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Rumours of Playstation 3 in 2003

aosgood writes "PS3 in 2003? Bloomberg's got a story from some manufactures stating that they are to begin trial runs next month. All I can say is WOW. "Cell" is ready?" I've got my doubts on the veracity of this information - unidentified sources and all. But it does indicate that even if it's not this year, Sony may be rolling the 3 out sooner then previously thought.Update: 03/10 14:50 GMT by H : Yep Sony has begun denying it.

354 comments

  1. GDC by Terminus0 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I heard some talk of this at the Game Developer's Conference. A couple of the speakers (Warren Spector is the only one who's name I remember) mentioned it in their lectures.

  2. P3?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    Damn and i still have a playstation 2 on layaway, only 1354 more nickles and its mine

    1. Re:P3?? by quecojones · · Score: 1

      WOW! They're timing it so that you will be able to get it at the same time you manage to get the Network Adapter!

      --
      "PROFANITY is the inevitable literary crutch of the inarticulate MOTHER FUCKER." -- some PC user
    2. Re:P3?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have never understood why people, when faced with a consumer choice of a game console or a full-fledged personal computer with far superior gaming abilities and hardware, would choose the console. Maybe it's the price. They get roped in by a $200 machine that plays $50 games, whereas PC buyers get roped into a $1000 machine that plays $50 games. Still, I just don't get it. Why eat vegetables when there's real meat available?

    3. Re:P3?? by Lt+Razak · · Score: 1

      Because they're all vegetarians?

    4. Re:P3?? by pkunzipper · · Score: 1

      As an avid PC gamer, I can't remeber the last time I paid for a PC game. $10 ugprade maybe?

  3. I'm not holding my breath. by dreamchaser · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I somehow doubt that this (unverifiable) story is true. There may be some prototype units being made to test the new 'Cell' processor architecture, but the debugging cycle of a new processor can be time consuming. If the chip is still under developement, we won't be seeing the final unit this year.

    Smells like vapor...looks like vapor...maybe it is vapor!

    1. Re:I'm not holding my breath. by Komarosu · · Score: 1

      I could see Sony beginning to roll out a test sillicon in house to its other hardware development departments, but i dont think its anywhere near stepping out of the lab yet.

      --

      "What do you mean you have no ice? Do you expect me to drink this coffee hot?" - Random Customer, Clerks
    2. Re:I'm not holding my breath. by Rip!ey · · Score: 1

      Smells like vapor...looks like vapor...maybe it is vapor!

      Maybe increasing sales of the X-Box have induced Sony to start playing games with the minds of consumers.

      On the other hand, an extra competitor taking away market share might induce Sony to ramp up developement efforts for a surprise early release. Nobody *really* knows what they have under development and for how long it has been progressing.

      Without any 'official' advice from Sony, it's conjecture either way, whether it be vapour or not.

    3. Re:I'm not holding my breath. by Oculus+Habent · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Releasing a new console this soon could be damaging to Sony. Computers have advanced quite quickly, and this has lead to confusion and hesitant buyers (Why buy now when something better will be out in 2 weeks?).

      If game consoles start coming out more often, it will become more difficult for people to justify the expense. A console is worth it because it lasts. If new consoles are out every 2 years, plenty of people will skip generations to save on cost, and developers will go crazy trying to push out a newer, better version of their game for the next console.

      End result: Fewer games available for each platform. Unless Sony intends to make every console backwards compatible to the PS1 (it worked so well for Intel, right?) something would eventually give.

      --
      That what was all this school was for... to teach us how to solve our own problems. -- janeowit
    4. Re:I'm not holding my breath. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Maybe increasing sales of the X-Box"

      ???

    5. Re:I'm not holding my breath. by MORTAR_COMBAT! · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Unless Sony intends to make every console backwards compatible to the PS1

      I think a better thing for Sony to shoot for is to just keep one generation of backwards compatibility. The PS2 can play PS1 games. The PS3 should play PS2 games, but not necessarily keep the cruft around for PS1 games (10 years old by the time the PS3 rolls out).

      --
      MORTAR COMBAT!
    6. Re:I'm not holding my breath. by hawkbug · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I bet they will do as you describe - but I can only hope you're wrong. I would love to have a console that plays every PSX game ever made, from generation 1 up to whatever. I have so many PS1 games, it would be a shame if they ditched that backwards compatibility. Crash Bandicoot 1, 2, and 3, not to mention Crash Team Racing are some of my favorite games of all time.

    7. Re:I'm not holding my breath. by Oculus+Habent · · Score: 1

      That is an excellent plan.

      Hell, by the time the PS3 is out, the PS1 could easily be an expansion card for it.

      I wonder how badly not having compatibility to the PS1 would affect adoption, though. Many people play their PS1 games because they still can, and that loss might hurt initial adoption.

      --
      That what was all this school was for... to teach us how to solve our own problems. -- janeowit
    8. Re:I'm not holding my breath. by iabervon · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It's plausible that there will be PS3 units available to developers 2 years in advance of its release to the public, considering that it took developers two years to figure out how to heck to program the PS2, and the PS3 is supposed to be far more complicated to program. Sony doesn't want to repeat the release of the PS2, where it was released to much fanfare and then no really good games were available for years, after which people actually started switching to the system.

    9. Re:I'm not holding my breath. by letskillbill · · Score: 1

      i think that they will keep the compatibility because some people buy it because they can play the games from their other systems

    10. Re:I'm not holding my breath. by syle · · Score: 4, Funny

      The only thing we know to be true for sure is that the PS5 is to be released in 2016 and that the Ghost Of Christmas Future looks oddly like he's wearing a raincoat.

      --

      /syle

    11. Re:I'm not holding my breath. by ivan256 · · Score: 1

      As long as the PS3 can read the media, they should be able to implement PS1 compatibility in software. Right now they have essentially a single chip PS1 in each PS2. For the PS3 they could potentially have a single chip PS2, and some PS1 software. If Nintendo's GameBoy is any sign, it appears that backward compatibility is the key to continuing dominance, especially considering how many worthy or superior competetors it has crushed.

    12. Re:I'm not holding my breath. by MORTAR_COMBAT! · · Score: 1

      And the new Gameboy Advance SP is about to kick everything's ass... again.

      --
      MORTAR COMBAT!
    13. Re:I'm not holding my breath. by Gojira+Shipi-Taro · · Score: 0

      Ah, but if they drop PS1 compatibility they get to sell you those "classics" all over again. (assuming you didn't keep your PS or PS2).

      At least thats the reasoning I could see behind dropping it.

      Probably won't need HW compatibility anyhow. If Cell is everything it's supposed to be, they could put a software emulator on disk with the CD images for the "classics" when they repackage and sell them again.

      --
      "Oh my God. This is terrible. This is the end of my Presidency. I'm fucked."; ~ Donald J. Trump
    14. Re:I'm not holding my breath. by Theaetetus · · Score: 2, Informative
      More specifically, according to an old story in ZD, and a few others that a Google search turned up, they're currently working on squeezing the entire PS1 AND PS2 chipset onto a single CPU...

      Potentially full backwards compatibility.

      -T

    15. Re:I'm not holding my breath. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hell, they might just start making the damn things now so that they have enough in 2 years and they don't all break down like so many PS2's did.

    16. Re:I'm not holding my breath. by pkunzipper · · Score: 1

      Actually, I read a similar article more than 4 months ago. And my memory never failing me after binging on St. Patricks Day weekends...I can confirm that the Cell is being developed. However, I think the production, or test production is actually behind schedule.

    17. Re:I'm not holding my breath. by pkunzipper · · Score: 1

      Nintendo should have taken a hint before the GameCube. At this point they should trash teh Cube, develop a new system, the Erector, that would be able to play SNES and original Tetris for Nintendo 1 (including pluggable or remote use of the robot they had for awhile). Maybe then they wouldn;t have to rely on the GameBoy for rvenue so badly.

  4. Hmm... I don't think so by Gangis · · Score: 5, Insightful

    To be honest, I think the whole "Playstation 3" thing being released in 2003 is bull. I mean, think about it... The Playstation 2 was released with a LOT of fanfare. It was announced 2 years before, pictures of the unit a year before... If this is indeed true, I would be deeply surprised. Sony's famous for it's marketing and hype machine.

    I would know, I fell victim to the hype. I wanted one so bad that I wanted to trade my left nut for it. ;)

    (Thankfully that didn't happen as I was cheated out of a PS2 at Walmart, although I was able to pick a used one up a few months later for $125. Don't ask.)

    --
    "Black holes are where God divided by zero." - Steve Wright
    1. Re:Hmm... I don't think so by pr0c · · Score: 1

      Couldn't agree more...

      These guys are definitly not going to sell several million Playstation 3s if they sneak it in! Its going to take something to make people excited enough to buy it.

      Although i could picture them just putting it on the market and stop producing PS2s, I just think its extrememly unlikely.

    2. Re:Hmm... I don't think so by zackbar · · Score: 1

      Have they stopped producing the ps1 yet?

      I know they are still available at stores, right next to the ps2s. Probably just leftovers though.

    3. Re:Hmm... I don't think so by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tom Green?

    4. Re:Hmm... I don't think so by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      On the other hand, announcing PS3 too far ahead off the release would slow PS2 sales, and they wouldn't want to do that.

      If PS2 hadn't been selling very well they might have announced PS3 to slow sales of competing systems, but right now they would hurt themselves more than anyone else.

      Mattias

    5. Re:Hmm... I don't think so by override11 · · Score: 1

      Ahhh, but what if the 'unverified story' is being leaked by a M$ rep to purposfully slow PS2 sales?

      --
      No I didnt spell check this post...
    6. Re:Hmm... I don't think so by secolactico · · Score: 1

      Have they stopped producing the ps1 yet?


      I've seen a unit labeled PSOne on stores. It seems to be a PS1 with an LCD screen. Touted as a semi-portable gaming device.

      --
      No sig
    7. Re:Hmm... I don't think so by RevAaron · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The PSOne itself isn't the semi-portable gaming device- it's a repackaged original PS1. A lot smaller and cheaper than the original. You can get an optional LCD for it though, but it's not part of the package. You can get those for the GC (with optional 3-hour battery!) and others i'm sure. :)

      --

      Working toward a usable PDA environment in the spirit of Newton OS: Dynapad
    8. Re:Hmm... I don't think so by dawdygod · · Score: 2, Informative

      The ps1 is now called PS One. And yes it is still manufactured ( http://www.us.playstation.com/hardware/psone/ )and yes they still are making games for it. And no there is no end in sight for the PS One. And no it doesn't come with an LCD screen. Thats extra.

    9. Re:Hmm... I don't think so by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why does everything have to be a conspiracy by Microsoft?

    10. Re:Hmm... I don't think so by Bohnanza · · Score: 5, Insightful
      The Playstation 2 was released with a LOT of fanfare. It was announced 2 years before, pictures of the unit a year before...

      A big part of that was to convince people NOT to buy a Dreamcast. If they did the same thing this time, they'd mainly be convincing people not to buy a PS2.

      --

      -----

      Sorry, I'm only a 1336 h4x0r.

    11. Re:Hmm... I don't think so by LeotheQuick · · Score: 3, Interesting

      In response to the comment about the XBox 2...

      It seems to be a moot point to me, as the XBox is already doing pretty rotten in the GAMES department, which is generally what makes or a breaks a system.

      Do you think, to add insult to injury, Microsoft would spring a NEW $300 system on the unsuspecting public ? Who gives a DAMN about backwards compatibility - we're talking simply about consumer willingness to purchase a new system every 6 months!

      -Leothequick

    12. Re:Hmm... I don't think so by LeotheQuick · · Score: 1

      Sorry, I had another comment that I only thought of after posting the first. Has it occurred to anyone that Sony is purposefully tilting the release sales? For those of us with OCD, recall (or don't) the game we used to play as children on swings at the park... if you and the kid next to you were swinging in sync then you were "married". This seems to be an appropriate metaphor for what I am picturing. Sony skipped a beat, and they know that Nintendo and Microsoft can't just spring a new system on their public without losing TONS of support simply based on the speed of release. People _ALREADY_ complain about buying a new, top-of-the-line system and it being old within 3 years. This bar has been set and will not be lowered - consumers simply will not tolerate it. MS knows this, Sony knows this, Nintendo knows this, and Sony will be eating up sales while MS and Nintendo eat their dust (provided developers released good games for the PS3)

    13. Re:Hmm... I don't think so by Gryffin · · Score: 1
      To be honest, I think the whole "Playstation 3" thing being released in 2003 is bull. I mean, think about it... The Playstation 2 was released with a LOT of fanfare. It was announced 2 years before, pictures of the unit a year before... If this is indeed true, I would be deeply surprised. Sony's famous for it's marketing and hype machine.

      That was then, this is now.

      Right now, if Sony were to attempt that sort of early marketing push, I think one of the immediate effects would be to slow sales of it's own PS2, as gamers decide to hold off buying now and wait for the superior machine a bit later. The sales drop might even give the Xbox the #1 spot, which could cause a shift in developer priorities in the near term.

      If I were in charge over there, I'd work feverishly to finish the PS3 design, but keep it under wraps for now, or so long as I were still eating the pants of the Xbox. Once the Xbox begins to catch up, or once the PS3 is ready to go to manufacturing, then I'd crank up the marketing machine and take the market by storm.

      --
      Learn from the mistakes of others. You won't live long enough to make them all yourself.
    14. Re:Hmm... I don't think so by master0ne · · Score: 1

      yes *looks over sholder nervously* the anti-piracy officers are comming for me!

      --
      Noone writes jokes in base 13!
    15. Re:Hmm... I don't think so by EvilBudMan · · Score: 1

      >>A big part of that was to convince people NOT to buy a Dreamcast. If they did the same thing this time, they'd mainly be convincing people not to buy a PS2.

      Or an XBox.

    16. Re:Hmm... I don't think so by John+Harrison · · Score: 1
      In response to the comment about the XBox 2...

      If you want to respond to that comment then you should respond to it rather than its parent, don't you think?

      The point of the XBox2 post is that MS has some amount of flexibility in when it launches an XB2. Sony is aware of this and would probably rather have the PS3 out as far ahead of XB2 as possible. Hyping the new platform at this point might not be the best idea.

      You are right that the XBox has done poorly in the games department. It is still an atractive platform for developers though. Also, MS could "spring" a new platform on developers without much trouble since switching platforms for them (XBox developers) will be relatively easy. Now think of the trouble that a "surprise" new PS would cause developers.

      As for backwards compatibility, that is what makes a quick MS move possible without insulting the public. Your existing library of games still plays on the new system. No reason not to leverage that.

    17. Re:Hmm... I don't think so by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      The sales drop might even give the Xbox the #1 spot

      I doubt it, the X-Box is a loooong way behind. Why not the Gamecube? It is now 2nd in the race and beating X-Box in worldwide sales.

    18. Re:Hmm... I don't think so by pkunzipper · · Score: 1

      Becuase M$ has more in spendable cash ($30 billion) at any given time than any other company in history of the world...HOW COULD THEY NOT BE INVOLVED?!

  5. Playstation Name by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Redundant

    Didnt sony lose the rights to the name playstation to nintnedo a while back? are they going to pay royalties to use the name playstation 3?

    1. Re:Playstation Name by ideonode · · Score: 5, Informative

      Whilst there is still some murky legal sniping going on around the PlayStation brand, the story you're thinking of (Sony lose rights to Nintendo and must pay silly amounts of money as royalties) was a hoax.

      Sony will defend the PlayStation brand to the death - I'd say it's more valuable to them than 'Walkman' was in the '80s. Whilst I don't expect to see a PlayStation 3 in 2003, I do expect the natural successor to the PS2 to have the PlayStation moniker, whenever it comes out. Gamers love brands (think Nintendo, Sega, Final Fantasy, Zelda, Tomb Raider).

      But, what will the Third Place be for PS3?

    2. Re:Playstation Name by Rip!ey · · Score: 1

      But, what will the Third Place be for PS3?

      The fourth dimension?

  6. Still early by LookSharp · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Whether Cell is ready or not, you still have to go through manufacturing trails, quality assurance, a big Japanese release (with requesite game titles), then a US release.

    Even with a reputable source like Bloomberg, the odds that Sony would have a US launch before Christmas would be long, in my completely uninformed opinion. :)

    1. Re:Still early by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Did you actually read the article?
      Hon Hai Precision Industry Co. of Taiwan, which assembles the PlayStation 2 for Sony, and other parts suppliers on the island will start trial production next month, the report said.
    2. Re:Still early by LookSharp · · Score: 3, Interesting

      AC said: Did you actually read the article?

      Amazingly, yes-- I read the article. I know it is quite fashionable to pop in early comments without reading the article, but I was just shining a little skepticism on the "mid-year Japanese launch, US launch by end of year" comment. It's already March. A couple of engineering samples and manufacturing tests hardly covers Quality Assurance, and development time for a "launchable" base of games-- even a dozen or so-- within 90 days for the Japanese market.

      Besides the fact that Sony needs (and probably wants, to avoid chaos in the retail sector) a million units on hand before release. That in itself would take (an optimistic) 90 days on a fully ramped manufacturing pipeline.

      Again, I am completely uninformed though, as I originally stated.

    3. Re:Still early by Snowspinner · · Score: 1

      Hey, they made ET for the 2600 in 90 days...

    4. Re:Still early by dmszero · · Score: 1
      and then spent another 90 days trying to bury the leftovers in the nevada desert ;)

      dms0

      --
      -= world leaders choose world leaders not us, not a democracy, not a revolution! =-
  7. At this rate... by jkrise · · Score: 0

    If they don't bring out PS4 next year... must we wait till 2104??

    --
    If you keep throwing chairs, one day you'll break windows....
  8. I doubt it by Stapler · · Score: 3, Interesting

    They don't have to do it. There's no way XBox or GC can ever catch up to the PS2. There is really no reason for Sony to release this in 2003, and probably no reason in 2004 either. They've won the war. I think a PS3 release this year could only hurt them.

    --
    Kickin' it self-righteous school.
    1. Re:I doubt it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I dont want to jump on the fanboy bus, but I think the current console war is far from over, xbox is ramping up :P

    2. Re:I doubt it by Stapler · · Score: 1

      From the numbers read, and I could of course be wrong, the amount of PS2s sold is already more than NES, SNES and Genesis combined. Kinda funny this was modded as flamebait, as I'm a Sega man... I hate PS2/XBOX/GC all equally. ;P

      --
      Kickin' it self-righteous school.
    3. Re:I doubt it by krugdm · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I wouldn't say that it would hurt them, but it's an expense that would be completely unnecessary right now.

      I'd bet the could get another two years out of the PS2 easy. Maybe a Christmas 2004 launch?

      Perhaps this this the start of the PS3 hype machine. "Leak" a few rumors to start getting the fanboy interest up...

    4. Re:I doubt it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sega man? So you play Sonic and Virtua Cop over and over on your Dreamcast? I used to be a Sega man too, had every system back to a master system in 1987. Then Sega lost me when they released that shitty 32x and the Saturn. Both of those were a big "fuck you" to their loyal customers. I didn't buy a dreamcast because of the absolute shitty hardware they released and then failed to support.

    5. Re:I doubt it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Shitty hardware? Failed to support sure, but the Dreamcast was anything but shitty hardware. In all the games I've played on it, there is virtually NO slowdown in any game, the graphics are great (I don't see a worthwhile improvement in the PS2's graphics over the DC's), the system handles 2D and 3D very well, it's cheap, and there's a lot of decent arcade games available for it.

      The DC was a highly underrated system.

    6. Re:I doubt it by The_dev0 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I know you'd like to think that, but the current statistics have NGC outselling the XBox around the world, and with the imminent release of Metroid Prime, Zelda:Wind Waker, Phantasy Star 1 & 2 Online and heaps of other GCN only titles I can only see the distance between them getting bigger. On top of that is the fact that XBox is sorely lacking on exclusive titles, ie: Splinter Cell now on GCN etc. The war ain't over yet, XBox will have to do something amazingly amazing if it wants to be a serious threat to GCN, and then the PS2, which is miles ahead of both (saleswise, not tech).

      --
      Never fight naked, unless you're in prison...
    7. Re:I doubt it by zonker · · Score: 0

      nintendo won the war against the impossible to beat atari in the 80's. NEVER say never.

  9. No Way! by windsok · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I am willing to bet that bloomberg have got the story wrong, for starters their sources do not sound very credible. I think that that are confused with what has been dubbed the PS2.5, a new version of the Playstation 2, much like the psone was to the psx.

    1. Re:No Way! by larien · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Sounds more reasonable. However, a beta/alpha version of PS3 could be getting built now, probably mainly for development, both within Sony and for games developers.

      However, Sony are going to need to get PS3 out within a reasonable timeframe, simply to keep up with the Xbox. Right now, it's showing its age against the latest offerings and the only thing keeping it going is brand loyalty and a larger game base. Once MS catches up with the game base (particularly if it keeps buying companies and making Xbox-only games), the PS2 will start to lag.

      Heck, even if the PS2 comes out relatively soon, it may not be enough; MS are already thinking about XBox-2 which could leapfrog the PS3 (NB: wild speculation here!). If the timeframe between PS3 & Xbox2 isn't enough, Sony are going to have some trouble making sales.

    2. Re:No Way! by MyGirlFriendsBroken · · Score: 1

      Heck, even if the PS2 comes out relatively soon

      I cant wait to get my hands on one of thouse, my PS1 is getting tiered now!!

      --
      If you read a speed reading book, does it take you less time to read the second half?
    3. Re:No Way! by FatherOfONe · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You paint a bad picture for the PS2/3. I will counter that with a bleak picture for the Xbox.

      Xboxes currently being built are being sold below cost. One core reason is that Microsoft can't force (easily) Nvidia and Intel to lower the price of their hardware. So while Sony combines chips to lower manufacturing cost, Microsoft must still pay the higher cost, and loose money on each Xbox sold. Nintendo and Sony don't.

      Xbox sales are WAY below what Microsoft had hopped they would be. Understand that Microsoft generally sets extreemly low expectations for their products, and then brag about how great it is selling! Their shareholders were kinda pissed about 40Billion in the bank and no dividends being paid. Microsoft paid some, but now those same shareholders don't want Microsoft loosing money.

      Microsoft has been trying to get developers to ONLY develop for the Xbox. Very few companies have done this. The core problem is that Sony owns a HUGE chunk of the console market, those developers don't want to exclude that market.

      Now the biggest issue. The Xbox is just a Inter/Windows PC. Software development companies that "port" their games to the Xbox from the PC because it is "easy" find out that 95+% of their sales comes from the PC market. The Xbox generally competes against another Microsoft product... the pc. The customers that have an Xbox seem to also have a great PC, and the games play much better on their PC. There are a few exceptions, specifically sports games.

      A HUGE mistake Microsoft made was giving up the younger generation market to the GameCube and only going after the ~15-35 year old males. So the way I see it the maket kinda breaks down as follows:
      Kids and family gamers - Nintendo
      14-40 year old males without a good PC - Xbox
      Everyone Else Sony.

      That is a HUGE everyone else!

      I believe that Microsoft will probably not develop an Xbox2 for a LONG time if at all. If they put in a new Intel and Nvidea combination, then what would that buy them? The games run at 720X512 resolution? How much more is a P4 3GH and new Gforce going to give you, at that resolution? Yes 4X anti-aliasing is nice, but the current Gforce does a fine job at that low resolution. Now if HDTV becomes more mainstream, this may change things... but that will be a LONG way out.

      I honestly believe that Microsoft is going to get out of this market, but it will take a few years, and they will continue to support the current Xbox for at least 3-4 more years. Their primary concern is getting Intel and Nvidia to lower the cost of their chips!

      It has been said before, but it is the truth. When Microsoft can't leverage it's OS, it doesn't do well. I don't see Office for the Xbox any time soon.

      Another mistake is betting heavy on online games with the Xbox. Sony is kinda falling in to this trap to some degree. Nintendo is the smartest in this one... This is a topic for another day though... Just imagine letting your 6 year old play "Mario Online" and having them ask you what all those cuss words mean.

      --
      The more I learn about science, the more my faith in God increases.
    4. Re:No Way! by mikerich · · Score: 1
      Heck, even if the PS2 comes out relatively soon, it may not be enough; MS are already thinking about XBox-2 which could leapfrog the PS3 (NB: wild speculation here!). If the timeframe between PS3 & Xbox2 isn't enough, Sony are going to have some trouble making sales.

      I wonder if Sony is going to play the same game that worked so well against Sega? Dreamcast, which launched first, was fatally wounded by on-going speculation of the power of PS2. When Dreamcast launched, it had a fantastic line-up of games - but the suspicion of punters was that PS2 would offer a quantum leap over Dreamcast. Sales tanked.

      When PS2 came out, I think a good number of people were surprised at how poor the games looked by contrast to Dreamcast, but by then Sega was already talking about pulling the plug.

      My guess is that Sony will stay relatively quiet for a while yet, at least until XBox2 is better defined and then announce a product far in advance of the competition.

      Month upon month of strategic 'leaks', some 'in-game' shots, a few 'exclusives' to game-illiterate journalists all intended to drain hype from the other consoles. Then a release either shortly after XBox2, or in time for the big Christmas sales.

      I do agree that Sony is better placed than the competition to hold off a release for as long as possible. Not only is it making money on each console sale and each game, it is selling more games the the competition combined.

      Naturally my biggest hope for PS3 is that they apply a little of Sony's famed styling to the machine and produce something less pig-ugly than the nasty lop-sided, cheapo PS2. PS1 was a design classic - the PS2 - well, what happened?

      Best wishes,
      Mike.

    5. Re:No Way! by larien · · Score: 1
      Write 100 times: "I will proof-read my posts"

      *sigh*

    6. Re:No Way! by bfree · · Score: 1

      Well, MS seems to be trying to get the chip cost down by courting ATI. I'm sure they will play ATI and NVidia off against each other and they will probably both be keen to be the chip behind the XBox. The way I see it MS could release the XBox2 as a minorly upgraded box but a new GPU as long as they ensured that developers were unable to use specific NVidia routines (i.e. all XBox games must be flat DirectX). Thing is MS is just not winning this battle at all and looks to me like a fish out of water so god only knows what they will do to try and get out of the mess they are in!

      --

      Never underestimate the dark side of the Source

    7. Re:No Way! by falzbro · · Score: 1

      This is possible, but to my knowledge there has never been a console-redesign-shrinkage PRIOR to its older sibling arriving on shelves. Sega Master System II, SNES, Atari 2600 too, right?

      I guess the Genesis shrunk, but only slightly, and much for the worse.

    8. Re:No Way! by ahoehn · · Score: 2, Funny

      Ahh my friend, you forget the simple most important factor. Microsoft has exclusive rights to Dead Or Alive 3. Never discount the power of large bouncing breasts.

      In truth I've been holding out on getting one of the new consoles for a while, and though I would enjoy most of the games for the ps2 and GC better than anything for the Xbox, the mere fact that I can only play DOA3 on the Xbox is still holding great sway in my buying process.

      --
      Mod my comments down. It'll be fun.
    9. Re:No Way! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ATI is what is in the Gamecube. ;-)

    10. Re:No Way! by egoots · · Score: 1

      Yeah... ATI now makes the "Flipper" chip that powers the Gamecube graphics engine. They obtained this technology when they bought the company (Artx) that was making it. This is not to be mistaken for the current Radeon graphics card technology. It is way different.

    11. Re:No Way! by 17028 · · Score: 1

      "Software development companies that "port" their games to the Xbox from the PC because it is "easy" find out that 95+% of their sales comes from the PC market."

      First, I'd like to know where you got that stat from. I've never heard that from anyone else, and I hang out on game development board quite a lot.

      Second, check out the release date for Halo 2. I'm pretty sure that is also the planned release date for Xbox 2. Halo is the flagship product.

    12. Re:No Way! by FatherOfONe · · Score: 1

      To answer your question I will just look at stats.

      PC's > 150 Million
      Xbox total sales 30 Million.

      I will agree that Halo was/is a good game. Now put that game at 1280X1024 on a new(er) ATI or Nvidea card, or better yet look at it at 1600X1200 resolution. Now do the comparison to a TV and Xbox.

      Most people that own an Xbox also own a decent high end PC. They will buy the PC version if it is better, which in almost every case it is. There are a few exceptions. So if you are a development shop why would you spend time porting to an Xbox? You won't. They are the SAME market! Now there are a lot of people who own PS2's and GameCubes that don't have high end PC's, and since your market for PS2's is > 30 Million, then that is a market worth a port.

      A better question is to ask is what about games like:
      Doom3, Star Wars Galaxies, and even WarCraft III. Why will/are those games not ported to the Xbox on day one. The reason is the Xbox weak market share AND the fact that they are competing in the exact same markets as the PC game. The people that would buy one of those games would buy it for their PC first.

      I am willing to bet that Doom3 will sell many times more copies than there are Xboxes. Does that mean that Microsoft won't lock up some development shops (i.e. Halo) no. Sony and Nintendo both do that also.

      --
      The more I learn about science, the more my faith in God increases.
    13. Re:No Way! by 17028 · · Score: 1

      Those three games are bad examples, FPS and RTS don't play very well on consoles. Halo was somewhat acceptable because of the slower pacing, but even that was hard to master for me. Star Wars Galaxies is a MMORPG if I'm not mistaken, which needs a keyboard, ie you can't play it on a regular console.

      Consoles are good for the developer because the ratio of piracy is considerably lower. The owner of a console is likely to buy at least one game a month, which the average PC owner isn't very likely to do.

    14. Re:No Way! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Their shareholders were kinda pissed about 40Billion in the bank and no dividends being paid. Microsoft paid some, but now those same shareholders don't want Microsoft loosing money.

      LOSE money. Loose and lose are very different words. Lean to spell, damnit.

    15. Re:No Way! by nl69959 · · Score: 1

      What!!! Microsoft has the exclusive rights to large bouncing breasts??

      I already wondered where they went...

    16. Re:No Way! by FatherOfONe · · Score: 1

      Good points about piracy, but since most games now cause to you register, to download patches, and a ton are going to a monthly fee, piracy is becoming less of an issue.

      I used Doom3 because the example above used Halo.

      I don't know if I agree that the owner of a console is going to buy one game a month. I have heard that the avearage Xbox owner owns less than 5 games. Now granted that is because it hasn't been out as long as the PS2, but if your statistic was correct then the average owner of an Xbox would have around 20+ games now. That seems a bit high.

      Let me ask you this, if they release HaloXXX for the Xbox and the PC at the same time, AND the version on the PC can take advantage of a better monitor and processor, which would you buy? Now let me add that if you decide to play online people with PC's will have a big advantage over the Xbox, because they will be able to "see" further.

      My main point still stands. The Xbox and the PC are going after the same market. ~14-35 year old males. The problem for Xbox is that most of the gamers in that market own good to great PC's.

      --
      The more I learn about science, the more my faith in God increases.
  10. Need to press their advantage by SnowDog_2112 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Sony may be winning the console war, but I'd say their hold on their lead is pretty tenuous. They need to keep people buying their systems.

    My impression, and I admit it's from a pretty cursory overview of the console world, is that the PS2 gets its market share because of its market recognition (the name "Playstation" means "home console" in much the same way "Atari" used to) and its huge game library. Folks who are real graphics nuts are talking about how much the PS2 lags behind the competitors in terms of how "pretty" the games are.

    A fully backwards-compatible PS3 would definitely help this, without losing their two main advantages in the market. A PS3 that isn't backwards compatible had better have some real big pluses going for it.

    --
    Not representing or approved by my company or anybody else.
    1. Re:Need to press their advantage by garcia · · Score: 1

      does anyone honestly believe that after a great success w/backwards compat. w/the PS1 that the PS3 wouldn't be compatible back to the 1 and 2? Hell, I cannot find a game in a "new video game store" for an N64 but I can find PS1 games... Funny eh?

      Other comments about the reason that this isn't going to fly is the rumor that the PS3 would be fitted w/a possible SMP system? I am too lazy to search for the article but I believe that is what they were planning on developing (although it was most likely rumor and happened several months ago).

    2. Re:Need to press their advantage by EvilTwinSkippy · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Sony may be winning the console war, but I'd say their hold on their lead is pretty tenuous. They need to keep people buying their systems.

      Funny. I was under the impression that they were beating the pants off of everyone else. Hell, I'm seeing PC games being ported to the PS2. Sony's brilliant move was to be loose with the licenses so that developers could afford to take a risk. This may explain the 5 racks of PS2 games at the local game stop as opposed to the 1 rack of Xbox, and the 5 racks of games for the PC.

      Frankly I do see a difference between the major game consoles in performance, but if Intel has taught us anything it is be the first with the worst. The PS2 does and adaquate job with every game I've thrown in it. For the price, the selection, and the fact it doesn't eat an entire shelf by itself, PS2 wins.

      That said, consoles are gettign to be so cheap that you can afford to have more than one. My wife is talking about getting a gamecube for the little one. I'm for anything that keeps the kids off my PC.

      --
      "Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival."
      --Dr.W.Edwards Deming
    3. Re:Need to press their advantage by vidnet · · Score: 5, Funny
      I'm for anything that keeps the kids off my PC.

      Like drugs?

      (sorry)

    4. Re:Need to press their advantage by qoncept · · Score: 1
      but if Intel has taught us anything it is be the first with the worst

      I've said for years that this is why Sega can't afford to make consoles anymore. The software developers definately do their job better than the old market analysts did.

      --
      Whale
    5. Re:Need to press their advantage by RedCard · · Score: 4, Insightful

      While it is true that the PS is beating the pants off of every other competitor right now, you're forgetting the volatility of the console market itself. There was a point in time when the NES's lead seemed unassailable, but the SNES was only able to sell 1:1 with the genesis, and then both sega and nintendo were shellacked by the playstation.

      So what's the point? The point is that every manufacturer's lead is "tenuous at best" and that the fates of the current generation have little to no effect on the next.

      That being said, this is the first generation of systems where backwards compatibility may become widespread. This could act as a wildcard, and reduce some of the historical volatility that we've seen in the industry.

      As for 'be the first with the worst' - we've seen that proven untrue time and time again in the games industry.

      Finally, towards the end of every console cycle, consoles get so cheap that you can afford to buy more than one of them. When the next generation hits, they'll be so expensive that you'll only be buying one... at least for the first year or two. In fact, I would suggest that you could probably judge the time-to-death of the current life cycle by the relative afforability of the consoles. The more you can afford to buy, the closer they all are to going belly-up.

    6. Re:Need to press their advantage by cgenman · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The Playstation 2 does have the "videogame shorthand" going for it, as did Atari and Nintendo. However, what keeps it in the #1 position is a full library of great titles, like Devil May Cry 2, etc. That lead becomes cemented because developers looking to stay profitable aim for the dominant console, and so the cycle continues. That is not what I would call a tenuous lead, that's a solid lead.

      However, what you say after that is unfortunately totally wrong. A backwards compatible PS3 does not help the PS2 to "catch up" to the X-Box or the 'Cube in terms of graphics capability. A backwards compatible PS3 would be an entirely new system, which would segment the existing market and the development houses into multiple camps. You would have a large group of people who just invested money in the PS2 who would feel cheated by Sony (see also: SEGA), and who wouldn't buy the PS3. Likewise, the PS3 at this point might look better than the PS2, but not enough to justify spending an extra 300 dollars for most people. What you would have is a halfway release, cutting off the value of the previous generation of console while not delivering on the promise of the next. Plus, you again are saddled with a console that isn't as powerful as the machines from Microsoft and Nintendo when they release on the regular 5 - 6 year cycle. In short, Sony releasing a backwards compatible PS3 would ruin the market for them.

      A *forwards* compatible PS3 might be interesting, but such a PS2+ in order to not break PS2 compatibility could only contain more RAM, a few more graphical tricks, etc... but would royally tick off development houses who already find the PS2 to be a tremendous programming burden and wouldn't give the games any kick more significant than the PS2 can do for PS1 games (or perhaps the RAM pack did for the N64).

      And let's not forget, to achieve backwards compatibility with the PS1, the PS2 uses the PS1's processor internally as a DSP. Many games leverage that extra processor to help balance processing loads. This is one of the things that lead to the developer lament that the PS2 is the hardest console to develop for. For a PS3 to be backwards compatible, it would need to contain the chipsets of the PS1 and the PS2. The Emotion Engine is probably too large of a financial and technical burden to be included as a throw-in to the next generation of consoles (Hitachi made the SH-1 for other uses besides the PS1)... Such a solution would not be feasable until the PS2 chipset can be had for under 40 dollars, and with Sony having to keep a full fab plant running just for the emotion engine that doesn't seem likely.

      No, releasing the PS3 now would be an incredibly bad move. Sony needs to accept that the system they released is just not quite as graphically powerful as others on the market, and play up its strengths:

      System releases are like a game of chicken... you always want to release with a better technology than the other guy, which usually means launching just after them. But you do have to launch, and you don't want to give your opponent as large a launch window as Microsoft did with Sony. So the game continues, but the PS3 remains, thankfully, quite a while off.

    7. Re:Need to press their advantage by MonkeyDluffy · · Score: 1
      PS2 Backwords compatibility with the PS1 was easy - the I/O controller in a PS2 is a MIPS R3000 processor - the same as the main processor in the PSX. So the PSX games are run on the PS2 I/O controller processor.

      The PS2 is far more complex, so it might not be so simple. I could imagine that the PS3 may be able to run PSX games, but not PS2 games.

      Backwards compatiblily for the next gen X box should be easy for Microsoft, as long as they continue to use modified PC hardware in it.

      -MDL

      --
      Happy meals fund terrorism
    8. Re:Need to press their advantage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The PSX does not use an SH-1 it uses a MIPS R3000.

      I thought they has the whole PS2 chipset on a single die now anyway, just do another shrink.

    9. Re:Need to press their advantage by poot_rootbeer · · Score: 1

      For a PS3 to be backwards compatible, it would need to contain the chipsets of the PS1 and the PS2.

      Not necessarily... they could use an emulation layer in hardware to allow backwards compatibility with the PS2 and PS1 chipsets while moving in a more modern direction architecturally...

      Consider that modern Pentium-class processors are for intents and purposes RISC chips internally, but they can still run all the CISC instructions used by legacy software.

    10. Re:Need to press their advantage by RyuuzakiTetsuya · · Score: 1

      But when you're comparing current generation to current generation, the lead is quite huge. XBox 2 is quite some time away, and nintendo hasn't even announced any new game console. Not only that, more playstations have been sold than any nintendo or sega product, combined. Sony has a brand loyalty, loyal developers, and a huge library of games. I'd say sony's got a good hold on the console market for right now.

      --
      Non impediti ratione cogitationus.
    11. Re:Need to press their advantage by dead+sun · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Perhaps I really shouldn't be stating this, just in case some console bigwigs are reading this post, but I can't help myself. Backwards compatability means that I will buy a console of a different manufacturer the next time around. While it may be true that I would do so anyway, backwards compatability more or less guarantees it. Last generation I had (well still have I guess) a Dreamcast. Even had Sega followed it up and released a backwards compatable unit, I probably still would have bought a PS2 this generation. Why? Because now I can play all those PS1 games as well. Sure, the PS1 is awful cheap now, but I can instead put that money towards games.

      If next generation comes around and the PS3 is backwards compatable with the PS2 and PS1, and the Gamecube 2 plays its own games along with the original Gamecube's, I'll probably get a Gamecube 2. Only because now I can't play Gamecube games except at friends' houses where there are Gamecubes. If the trend continues then I'll be able to buy a PS4 or something and still get the games I missed (at a discount no less) and be able to play a whole different system with two generations of games until then.

      So I guess in regards to my opening, backwards compatability could be a double edged sword. If you don't have it, the console isn't going to look as attractive to those who didn't have your last generation console as well. If you do have it, people may give your console a miss this generation if they already have systems that are covered by the backwards compatability, and hope for backwards compatability again next generation, and go buy a different console that covers two generations they don't own.

      --
      If not now, when?
    12. Re:Need to press their advantage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "it doesn't eat an entire shelf by itself, PS2 wins"

      WTF are you talking about?
      unless you have your ps2 in vertical position
      it takes almost the same amount of shelf space as the xbox..

      im looking at them both as I type this...
      there truly is not that much difference.

    13. Re:Need to press their advantage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OTOH, a backwards compatible PS3 doesn't necessarily have to be a whole new console. I could imagine throwing money at making the PS2 a better console.

      For example, improvements on the graphics engine, so that even old games look better. For example, automatic anti-aliasing, faster framerates, and basically have a hard-coded list of PS2 games for which to enable these features. The idea being that exitsting PS2 game slook better. Add a hard-drvie so you can store music to listen to while playing, online capabilites and four controller ports and you got a killer console.

      Sure, you can make estra features that will make it easier to program for than the plain PS2, so that there would be PS3-only titles shortly. But still, it would work a lot better to aim for an incremental improvement, using the leverage from the extensive game library.

    14. Re:Need to press their advantage by cbuskirk · · Score: 1

      Actually Sony is very very very strict with their licences. It is extreemly hard to get Sony's blessing on your game unless it brings something signifigant or different to thier platform. They are very picky (and moody) when it comes to who they let publish games for the PS2.

    15. Re:Need to press their advantage by The_dev0 · · Score: 1

      Not only that, more playstations have been sold than any nintendo or sega product, combined. I call bullshit. The Gameboy/Color/Advance is the highest selling games machine in the world, with worldwide sales of over 100,000,000 units and climbing (These figures do not include the newly released GameboySP. Compared to this, the most recent information on the PS2 has sales that have hit 50,000,000. So not even half the sales of Nintendo's flagship console. Sorry.

      --
      Never fight naked, unless you're in prison...
  11. I call shenanigans.. by motardo · · Score: 5, Insightful

    ...for one reason only. PS2 is currently taking up the large share of the market as of right now, and sees now signs of slowdown. The only time that I think Sony would bring one out is when it sees imminent competition from the next consoles from microsoft or nintendo.

    1. Re:I call shenanigans.. by Komarosu · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Also would seem a bit stupid to roll out a new PS with the online ps2 rollout going good at the moment.

      Imho if PS3 was on the horizon wouldn't they of canned the online part of the PS2? Seems alot of money wasted on something that will last less than a year...

      --

      "What do you mean you have no ice? Do you expect me to drink this coffee hot?" - Random Customer, Clerks
  12. If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by Spencerian · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Sony was the first major game console maker I can think of that allowed reverse compatibility with its previous products. You couldn't use NES carts in Super NES, nor SNES in N64, etc. The XBox should allow reverse compatibility and, to some, is a superior platform to PS2. However, Sony has the stronger mindshare.

    But things change. The PS needs to stay competitive, and I was very concerned in news that PS3 wouldn't show as fast as Microsoft could update its XBox.

    --
    Vos teneo officium eram periculosus ut vos recipero is.
    1. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by Komarosu · · Score: 1

      Wasn't there a SNES -> N64 botch cart so you could play your old games? or am i thinking of the Gameboy -> SNES cart....oh i dunno but they've done summat like that in the past, Sony was not the first...

      --

      "What do you mean you have no ice? Do you expect me to drink this coffee hot?" - Random Customer, Clerks
    2. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Damn straight they weren't. Sega was the first with the Nomad system. It was a handheld that played Game Gear and Genesis games. Don't believe me? http://consoledatabase.retrofaction.com/consoleinf o/seganomad/
      And no I'm not going to make it all blue and clickable, it's not my fault some of you forget how to cut & paste.

    3. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by curtisk · · Score: 1
      Wasn't there a SNES -> N64 botch cart so you could play your old games? or am i thinking of the Gameboy -> SNES cart

      Yeah, theres a VERY third-party peripheral for N64 that allows SNES or Famicom/NES carts to be played.
      There also was the "Super Gameboy" like you mentioned, gameboy->SNES

      And if you're so inclined, theres the N64 version of that as well.. n64 / gameboy converter

      --

      Sehr geehrter Toilettenbenutzer!

    4. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by tie_guy_matt · · Score: 1

      You could play Sega master games on a Sega Genesis if you bought the adapter. The Genesis had a z80 processor just so this would be possible. You could also play atari 2600 games on many later atari systems. Before Sony came around many had tried the reverse compatibility trick but it never worked before. Sony has done a lot of things that were considered mistakes when others had tried them before; but I guess the other companies never had the money to spend on advertising that Sony has.

    5. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by Komarosu · · Score: 1

      iirc i think Nintendo did offically release the GB/SNES converter :)

      --

      "What do you mean you have no ice? Do you expect me to drink this coffee hot?" - Random Customer, Clerks
    6. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      " Sony was the first major game console maker I can think of that allowed reverse compatibility with its previous products."

      How old are you, 12??? look up 'atari' and marvel at the '7800'.

    7. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Troll troll troll troll.

    8. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by nanojath · · Score: 1
      If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great


      Yeah, I'm concerned that if they push the line this fast, they'll release that direct-neuro-input version (what was that, PlayStation 6? 7?) the showed in that one PS2 commercial before the cranial jack technology has really stabilized...

      --

      It Is the Nature of Information to Transgress Artificial Boundaries

    9. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by k_187 · · Score: 1

      Sony was the first major game console maker I can think of that allowed reverse compatibility with its previous products.

      Nope, Sega had an adapter that would let you play old Master System games on the Genesis. Granted it cost an extra 40 bucks I think, but it works pretty well.

      --
      11 was a racehorse
      12 was 12
      1111 Race
      12112
    10. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by derrickh · · Score: 1, Troll

      Sony was the first major game console maker I can think of that allowed reverse compatibility with its previous products.

      The Atari 7800 says 'Hi'

      D

    11. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by fbg111 · · Score: 1

      The XBox should allow reverse compatibility

      I beg to differ. You're assuming that b/c Xbox uses DX, a future version will be backwards compatible as long as it uses DX.

      However, that may not be the case. I'm no game developer, but I understand that Xbox exposes the hardware directly to the coders. If many games actually "code to the metal" on Xbox, these games may not run on Xbox Next with its different hardware.

      The only way to guarantee backwards compatibility is for Xbox Next to include Xbox's XCPU and XGPU, the way PS2 includes the PSOne IOP. The console recognizes when a PSOne game is inserted, and transfers control to the onboard PSOne hardware. Whether MS can afford to put 2 extra chips on Xbox Next is in question. I seriously doubt Nvidia and Intel will agree to combine their P3 and GF3 chips into one, as Sony did with EE/GS recently.

      --
      Flying is easy, just throw yourself at the ground and miss. -Douglas Adams
    12. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If by "many" you mean "one", then you're right. The 7800 was the only system that allowed for this. The 5200 used a wider cartridge, iirc.

    13. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by poot_rootbeer · · Score: 1

      You couldn't use NES carts in Super NES, nor SNES in N64, etc.

      You could use Sega Master System carts on the Genesis if you had the adapter, but then again the adapter was pretty much just a full-featured SMS that you plug into the cartridge port.

      Also, many of the first-generation consoles (first-and-a-half? I'm talking Atari 5200, 7800, Colecovision, etc...) were backwards compatible with 2600 VCS cartridges.

    14. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by RyuuzakiTetsuya · · Score: 1

      Nomad could only play genesis games, it was a genesis handheld.

      --
      Non impediti ratione cogitationus.
    15. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by RyuuzakiTetsuya · · Score: 1

      SuperGameBoy, and do i remember that well. And just think, Nintendo's about to do that trick again...

      --
      Non impediti ratione cogitationus.
    16. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by RyuuzakiTetsuya · · Score: 1

      WRong. that required the VGS adapter, which was an entire 2600 on a chip, which isn't too hard, it was only about three chips to begin with. PS2 was compatable OUT OF THE BOX from day ONE. No console can make that claim

      --
      Non impediti ratione cogitationus.
    17. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by M3wThr33 · · Score: 1

      What do you call the Atari 7800, Sega Genesis and THE NINTENDO GAMEBOY still playing original games TO THIS DAY.

    18. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The 7800 required no adapter to play 2600 games. You just plugged them straight into the 7800 and they'd play fine.(Except for a few with compatibility issues of course.) You're probably thinking of the 5200 which did require an adapter to play 2600 games.

    19. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by curtisk · · Score: 1

      yeah, GB->SNES was official , the VERY third party one I mentioned was the N64->NES->SNES->Famicom one...

      --

      Sehr geehrter Toilettenbenutzer!

    20. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by blincoln · · Score: 1

      that required the VGS adapter, which was an entire 2600 on a chip

      Actually, it didn't. The 7800 is fully 2600 compatible with no add-ons. You might be thinking of the 5200, the Colecovision, or the Intellivision, which all had 2600 adapters like you describe.

      --
      "...always new atoms but always doing the same dance, remembering what the dance was yesterday." -Richard Feynman
    21. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by SophtwareSlump · · Score: 1
      Here's a pic of the Sega Power Base Converter. You can't really tell by the picture, but I remember the thing being huge and awkward. I'm not sure if it even worked with the redesign of the Genesis.

      Now that I think about, I can't remember many Master System games I'd want to play. Safari Hunt? Out Run?

    22. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by RyuuzakiTetsuya · · Score: 1

      Oops. My bad.

      I revisit my statement.

      The PS2 is the only console in the last 15 years to have backwards support out of the box.

      --
      Non impediti ratione cogitationus.
    23. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Sega GameGear could play Sega Master System games with a simple cable adapter.

      Not quite out-of-the-box, but pretty inexpensive.

    24. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by derrickh · · Score: 1

      I revisit my statement.

      The PS2 is the only console in the last 15 years to have backwards support out of the box.

      The Gameboy Advance is calling you.

      D

    25. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by RyuuzakiTetsuya · · Score: 1

      Game Gear WAS a portable master system.

      --
      Non impediti ratione cogitationus.
    26. Re:If Sony Keeps Consistent, Great by RyuuzakiTetsuya · · Score: 1

      Console. Although, I'll give credit to nintendo for keeping the GB line backwards compatable. GB games aren't cheap, but aren't console level expensive. Plus, with as relatively expensive as consoles are, backwards compatability is more of an issue for consoles than handhelds...

      just my 2 pesos though.

      --
      Non impediti ratione cogitationus.
  13. What about games by r_arr · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Have they sent out any kits to game makers, you can't sell videogame console without games.

    1. Re:What about games by luzrek · · Score: 2, Informative
      Hmmm... I wonder if the first batch of PS3's really will be produced mid-year and goto game manufacturers rather than consumers. It sure would make one hell of a product anouncement. Hypothetically in mid-June we might read, "Today Sony shipped 3000 Playstation 3's to game producers. M$ cr**ed its pants."

      Whenever the PS3 comes out I sincerely hope that it is backwards compatable with the PS2 (and PS). Perhaps even in the same way the PS2 was backwards compatable with the PS. The entire previous system was produced on a single chip and inserted in the PS2 in addition to the PS2's own circutry (the same chip was the origin of the smaller PS). If Sony anounce that this would be the case with the Playstation 3 I think it would keep current PS2 owners from buying a XBox.

      --

      Galium Arsenide is the material of the future, and always will be.

    2. Re:What about games by cxreg · · Score: 2, Funny

      Have they sent out any kits to game makers, you can't sell videogame console without games.

      That never stopped Sega. Remember Saturn? Didn't think so.

    3. Re:What about games by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      People actually bought the Saturn?

    4. Re:What about games by GeckoX · · Score: 0, Redundant

      Hey, I had one of those.
      It rocked man! ...well...if there had been a good game for it it would have rocked! heh.

      --
      No Comment.
    5. Re:What about games by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, it was a wonderful car :-) Got 140,000 miles out of it, and never did more than change the oil and the clutch.

    6. Re:What about games by Ponta-kun · · Score: 1

      It eventually got good games, but too little, too late. I'm still looking for decently priced (ie. $80) copies of Panzer Dragoon Saga and Radiant Silvergun. Auctions for those can reach $100+ pretty easily because they are very rare, and very good. My former roommate has PDS but he's smart enough to not sell it cheaply, if he intends to sell it at all.

      Guardian Heroes, the other Panzer Dragoon games, and the Sakura Taisen series were also quite nice. In fact, if you were in Japan, the Saturn was a rather good system. Unfortunately, I wasn't. =\

  14. This wouldn't make any sense? by al_fruitbat · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Why would Sony shoot themselves in the foot like this? They're the current console market leader with millions installed, everyone's developing games for their system and they make money off of every title sold. Hell, in the console war, they're still selling a less powerful machine for more money than the others. All the while, Microsoft is bleeding on each Xbox it subsidises. So according to this article, they go and ruin it all by making the public think the Playstation2 is going to be outdated this year? I don't think so...

    1. Re:This wouldn't make any sense? by zackbar · · Score: 1

      More money? It costs the same as the xbox. Only the gamecube costs less.

      Heck, Sony has been releasing information about the ps3 since last year. Everyone already knows that the ps2 is outdated. The attempt may simply be to make people wait rather than buying an xbox.

      Even possibly to buy the ps2 anyway. If you buy the ps2 now, you can buy the games that you know will be playable on the ps3. If you buy an xbox, the games won't be playable on the ps3.

    2. Re:This wouldn't make any sense? by mb12036 · · Score: 0

      And I believe that everybody is losing money on their consoles, not just Microsoft. Give 'em the razors, but sell the blades...

    3. Re:This wouldn't make any sense? by RyuuzakiTetsuya · · Score: 1

      Sony isn't. They're making a few bucks per PS2 sold. So is nintendo. Nintendo and Sony are both international world class companies, they're not stupid. *coughMicrosoftcough*

      --
      Non impediti ratione cogitationus.
    4. Re:This wouldn't make any sense? by 17028 · · Score: 1

      That's the old business way of thinking.

      The new way of thinking is; if anyone is going to steal sales from our product, it should be us! I wouldn't be surprised to see Sony adopt that attitude, if they haven't already.

  15. Hear, Hear! by Mantrid · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I truly hope the PS3 will be backwards compatible. Definitely for PS2 games - as there are many I'm sure I will still play for years to come. PS1 would be nice too, but I rarely play any PS1 games anymore - I've got a few kicking around (King's Field, Vandal Hearts, and Frogger for the wife) - but heck it's probably trivial for them to include PS1 compatibility so they'd better do it!!

    One thing I would like to see that annoyed me about PS2- I think that they should've included the ability to partition off a small space in the PS2 memory card for a PS1 compatible storage area- it's a pain to swap cards (the PS1 cards don't always seem to like to fit as nice). If the PS3 has a HDD or higher capacity capabilities of some sort, I truly hope they allow this sort of thing for PS2 and PS1 media!

    1. Re:Hear, Hear! by C0LDFusion · · Score: 1, Troll

      If you thought PS2's memory card sucked, you should've got the package deal my friend got that screwed him over. His mom bought a Gamecube for him for Christmas, it came with a memory card, extra controller and "Animal Crossing" (A really sucky game). He used the memory card with Animal Crossing ONCE and it was full. FULL. No more space for you.

      I'm at least able to have an archive of PSX game saves AND a ton of PS2 saves on the PS2 card...

      --
      Only in slashdot are posts of solidarity modded at -1 Redundant, while posts of antagonism are modded as -1 Flamebait.
    2. Re:Hear, Hear! by mal3 · · Score: 4, Funny

      OK you're making some big assumptions here. Animal Crossing does not neccesarily suck. I know alot of people who were obssessed with it. I didn't personally like, but that's just me. I don't know what kind of package deal your friend got, but if you buy animal crossing(just the game) it comes with a memory card. That's because the save files for that game are huge. It tracks a complete assload of stuff. Given that your friend had a 1 assload card it was full. Nintendo also makes larger cards that can hold as many as 5 assloads.

      --Mal

      --
      Non gratis rodentus anus
    3. Re:Hear, Hear! by generic-man · · Score: 1

      Animal Crossing comes with its own memory card when you buy it in a store. This is specifically because Animal Crossing was designed to use an entire 59-block (512 kB) memory card.

      If you buy a separate 4 MB (or higher) memory card, you can save other games too.

      --
      For more information, click here.
    4. Re:Hear, Hear! by Bohnanza · · Score: 1
      Definitely for PS2 games - as there are many I'm sure I will still play for years to come.

      You say this now, despite also saying:

      I rarely play any PS1 games anymore -

      Nobody wants to play their old video games when they've got lots of shiny new one around. How many people play PS1 games on their PS2? Just about none, I think.

      --

      -----

      Sorry, I'm only a 1336 h4x0r.

    5. Re:Hear, Hear! by alphaseven · · Score: 1
      How many people play PS1 games on their PS2? Just about none, I think.

      If you go over to gamefaqs, you'll notice that there is still a lot of interest in the Final Fantasy PS1 games. The RPG crowd tends to be more nostalgic.

    6. Re:Hear, Hear! by CoolGuySteve · · Score: 1

      Interact also makes a card that holds 16 gamecube assloads (or 1 PS2 assload (8 megabytes)). It's pretty cool because with one memory card you can hold info for all your games since they're all designed with one assload of storage in mind. Unfortunately, Nintendo put a 128 file cap on the filesystem so you can never fill the card. I have one and had a similar one for the dreamcast and they have both never lost any data.

      Beware of 3rd party memory cards though, sometimes they suck and lose your data, buy them at a local store so you can get a replacement/refund if necessary. Actually, I have a dreamcast VMU that loses its data every 2 weeks or so, so 1st party stuff can suck too.

      Anyways, memory cards are a scam, you can buy your weight in floppy disks for about $20 now.

    7. Re:Hear, Hear! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      frankly, memory cards should be collected and burned. if you really feel the need to show someone your game then it should be accessible as a download file from a connected system via net link. physical carriage is gone.

    8. Re:Hear, Hear! by Mantrid · · Score: 1

      But I still do play them! PS2's graphics and sound are quite good so I think many titles will still do fairly well compared to whatever PS3 does. It's nice to have the option in any case...every so often I just have to play King's Field (and that was a first gen title on PS1).

  16. Test/demo silicon by Uncle+Ira · · Score: 2, Insightful
    There's no way- devkits haven't even been released to developers yet (have they?). So that leaves, what, 6-month development cycle for a next generation game on radically different hardware? Seems unlikely.

    If there's any grain of truth to this story at all, it probably has something to do with a few prototypes. That would give Sony time to have some hardware demos ready for the next E3. Then the promotional onslaught we've all come to know and love can begin.

    1. Re:Test/demo silicon by Ami+Ganguli · · Score: 1
      If there's any grain of truth to this story at all, it probably has something to do with a few prototypes.

      I was thinking this too. Or possibly a PS2+: same software, same performance, smaller form factor with built-in broadband, lower manufacturing costs.

      --
      It is tempting, if the only tool you have is a hammer, to treat everything as if it were a nail. - Abraham Maslow
    2. Re:Test/demo silicon by Xugumad · · Score: 1

      Another possibility is that they're getting lots of the simpler components made up in advance. Cases, power supplies, that sort of thing. This might help avoid some of the problems they had last time with not being able to meet demand (although meeting demands for the complex chips is still likely to be the bigger issue).

    3. Re:Test/demo silicon by bernywork · · Score: 1

      This is apparently a "Trial Run"

      My guess would be, is that they want some circuit boards they can use internally for QA of Cell when they get it working, secondly they are probably checking time to build and yield rates to get some numbers.

      I doubt they would label it as a trial if they are going to throw these things at game developers. Prototypes? Number crunching? Maybe. Parts that would actually go into the final PS3? I doubt it.

      If someone had these details (Especially Case designs etc) they would have been plastered all over the internet by now.

      Berny

      --
      Curiosity was framed; ignorance killed the cat. -- Author unknown
  17. I'd put money on it not being this year by Nexum · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I would put a lot of money on it not being available this year.

    This article reeks of "reports" from another source which itself has "unverifiable contacts" etc. etc.

    Even if the hardware is progressing quickly it would be a watershed moment in the industry for a concept on the scale of complexity of Cell to be available 2 YEARS early.

    Also what about the games? So you release the console 2 years early and have no games available for it? No way, this story is rubbish, read my lips, the PS3 will not be available for purchase this year.

    Sony's strategy would be undermined by releasing the PS3 now. Look how long the PS1 was on the market for, personally I see this as a great thing, I know when I buy a Sony console it will be around for a LONG time compared to other consoles, and that means a huge guaranteed selection of games in the future etc. etc. This is a key part of the Sony strategy that they would never go against even if the hardware was ready.

    One thing I hope it comes with is a CD burner... I think there is a great market for home users to burn compilations of tunes onto CD, and would be a gateway technology for home users downloading tunes from some online service... let's not forget how big a record label Sony themselves are... that's an asset Microsoft could NEVER approach...

    -Nex

    --

    This sig has been deprecated.
    1. Re:I'd put money on it not being this year by EnVisiCrypt · · Score: 1

      that's an asset Microsoft could NEVER approach...

      Well, considering Microsoft could buy Sony with change left to spare, I don't think buying a record company would tax them too hard.

      --


      *everything* is Orwellian to cats.
    2. Re:I'd put money on it not being this year by dreamchaser · · Score: 1

      Um...wrong. Even MS doesn't have the cash to buy out Sony. Do you realise how much of a giant Sony is? Certainly too large for even MS to swallow whole.

    3. Re:I'd put money on it not being this year by bdeclerc · · Score: 1
      Microsoft could buy Sony with change left to spare


      Uhm, in May 2002 Sony had a market Cap of 62 BILLION dollars. Even supposing that the US, European and Japanese governments would allow such a merger to take place (chance of that : 0%), Microsoft's largely theoretical cash reserve is estimated at "only" 40 billion, so they simply wouldn't be able to do this...

      And that's even without assuming that such an attempt wouldn't sink M$ stock price and inflate Sony's stock price...

      Think again Bro, M$ may be rich, but they're not that rich...
    4. Re:I'd put money on it not being this year by EnVisiCrypt · · Score: 1

      Sorry, bro, but this isn't may 2002, it's feb 2003, and sony has a market cap of $33.5B.

      And I wasn't stating that they would buy Sony just to get a record label. I was saying that if they wanted a record label, they could have one with no problem. The parent said they could never approach that.

      --


      *everything* is Orwellian to cats.
    5. Re:I'd put money on it not being this year by rtaylor · · Score: 1

      Sony does sell audio burners, but they only work with audio CDs. You know, those green ones that sell for about $4 a shot.

      --
      Rod Taylor
  18. Oh good. by mschoolbus · · Score: 1

    and when they push it out too early someone else will go on the same idea and be a best seller!!! (Anyone think of Dreamcast here?)

  19. Maybe not in 2003 by OuD · · Score: 2, Interesting
    The chip, called "Cell", is still in development

    I don't think we're very likely to see this in 2003..

  20. w00t by Apreche · · Score: 1

    I'm a gamecube guy all the way. I just don't see the other systems as having any games that are "must own" that I can't get for the PC or the cube. Except Kingdom Hearts, so far. But, if a PS3 comes out, it will definitely be ahead of everyone elses game, by a lot. And I'll need to have it, in a bad way. Especially if it comes this soon. I can't afford one, but I've had this Sony Credit card for awhile, and this is the reason I got it. Free PS3 for me!
    I really like this cell technology idea too. Anything that can potentiall increase the connectivity between the different electronics in my home is good. Even if it has lots of problems, or isn't particularly useful, it will at least be fun.

    --
    The GeekNights podcast is going strong. Listen!
    1. Re:w00t by Evil+Adrian · · Score: 1

      As far as your "must own" comment goes, all I have to say is: Gran Turismo 3 A-spec.

      Gamecube has some OK stuff, but I'm pretty much convinced that the only reason Nintendo still manages to sell hardware is because of their in-house games/franchises (Zelda, Mario, Metroid), to which a lot of people that grew up on NES/SNES are loyal... but none of the other Gamecube games really grab anyone by the yaggs and say "BUY ME!"

      --
      evil adrian
    2. Re:w00t by EvilTwinSkippy · · Score: 1
      ...to which a lot of people that grew up on NES/SNES are loyal...

      My wife wants a gamecube for that very reason. Okay, it's really for the kid... who is due in October... but when they are finally old enough to hold the controller he/she (we don't know yet) will want to play Mario cart and Zelda...

      --
      "Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival."
      --Dr.W.Edwards Deming
    3. Re:w00t by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      wow the kid barely has a developing brian and your already reading its mind that it wants to play mario....

    4. Re:w00t by flewp · · Score: 1

      Agreed. Gran Turismo was *the* reason I wanted a PS2. When it came out, it had possibly the best graphics out there. I have yet to see a racing game with better graphics that is also a good racing game. It is the only game that I find myself consistantly playing. Well, occasionally I'll take a break from it for awhile, but I always come back to it. I think 4 is supposed to be out in Japan late this year, so hopefully we'll see it in the States around Christmas time.

      I grew up on NES/SNES and probably spent more time with Metroid (well, maybe Contra) than any other game. However, I think part of my loyalty to it keeps me from wanting to play a new Metroid. It just wouldn't be the same. Same goes for some of the other NES/SNES games that now have Gamecube counterparts. So therefor, I have no reason to buy a Gamecube, since, as you said, none of the Gamecube games really grab anyone by the yaggs and say "BUY ME!"

      --
      WWJD.... for a Klondike bar?
    5. Re:w00t by EvilTwinSkippy · · Score: 1
      Nah actually he/she is going to be raised to be the next ruler of the world. Unfortunately there are no console ports of Civilization yet.

      OTOH all that exposure to simulated gunfire and carnage will certainly aid them on their path to utter domination. Say has anyone seen the one-ring? Somebody misplaced it about 3000 years ago...

      --
      "Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival."
      --Dr.W.Edwards Deming
  21. 2003 hurting Sony? by SimplyCosmic · · Score: 1


    Wouldn't a 2003 (perhaps even 2004) release hurt Sony in the meantime, as people hold off on purchasing PS2 consoles in anticipation of the new unit? Sony gives such large lead announced times for release dates that it gives consumers time to consider purchasing already existing hardware, knowing that they've got X months until the next big thing comes out.

    If anything, such a rumor could help the competition.

    1. Re:2003 hurting Sony? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Rumor help the competition? Nah, not really. If anything, people who think the rumor is true will wait on buying consoles (which means no PS2, but also no Gamecube or Xbox) until they see the PS3. Why get a console out on the market when something that is going to be better will come out not too long from now? So if anyone loses sales, it'll be everyone.

      But honestly, why would Sony release their PS3 so soon? They're denying the report because they still want PS2 sales.

  22. Hurray by Kenterlogic · · Score: 1

    The PS3 was out of the picture for me, I was expecting something like a GameCube sequal or something first. Remember, it too them 6 years to go from PS to PS2.

    --
    The New Root Council, kickin' ass sinc
  23. Duke Nukem Forever by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hail To The King Baby

    June 2003

    It's coming...

    1. Re:Duke Nukem Forever by techwolf · · Score: 1

      and I got all excited thinking you were quoting Ash.

      --
      I don't do this for karma, I do it for cash. It's much better.
  24. It's time for a new word by presroi · · Score: 5, Funny

    My favourite word has always been "vapurware" so I'm very confused. How do you call things that arrive at the market *before* the exspected release date? HurryWare? ChronitonWare?

    I won't start an "ask slashdot"-Session for this but I'd like to invite you for collecting new words for this phenomenon.

    Disclaimer: PS3 has still chances to become VapourWare :)

    1. Re:It's time for a new word by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Shoveware" comes to mind, not necessarily applicable here (which seems to be closer to rumourware).

    2. Re:It's time for a new word by Sgs-Cruz · · Score: 1

      TachyonWare... you know, those theoretical particles that travel back in time. Theoretical, because there is no way that the PS3 is actually comign out in 2003 :).

      --

      Karma: pi (Mostly due to circular reasoning in posts).

    3. Re:It's time for a new word by master0ne · · Score: 1

      how about nowware, nowwhere, nowwear, noware, nowhere, nowear. pick one.

      --
      Noone writes jokes in base 13!
  25. Cool ... by Gallo+Nero · · Score: 1

    PS3 before Halo 2, that's what I like to hear ;)

  26. Sony GSCube by SnowDog_2112 · · Score: 4, Informative
    This article, from Wired in May 2001, talks about how Sony was giving developers access to some prototype PS3-style hardware for tinkering/hacking. Granted it was just a bunch of beefed-up PS-1 processors in parallel, but it shows they were already courting developers for the PS3 a year ago.


    Here is a similar story on CNet.


    And, for more on the "cell" technology, check out this Red Herring article from last summer, and this Inquirier.net article that includes a picture from the USPT office.


    Given all that, I'd still be surprised if this was in US stores in time for XMas. I just don't think they'll have enough time to hype it sufficiently. On the other hand, if the tech is really almost done, do they want to wait until XMas 2004? Hrm....

    --
    Not representing or approved by my company or anybody else.
    1. Re:Sony GSCube by EvilTwinSkippy · · Score: 1
      On the other hand, if the tech is really almost done, do they want to wait until XMas 2004?

      That's easy: To give developers some time to come up with games that require all that horsepower. If I have learned anything from watching Sony, they never just sell you a product. They sell you a platform. (Which may partly explain the Sony Vaio on my desk that talks to my Sony Digital-8 camcorder over a sony Ilink...er...ieee1394 cable.

      They know people aren't going to buy a system just because it is faster or can display more polygons. They want to sell you a system that is going to do something the previous system couldn't do. I can't tell you how many of my friends bought a PS2 because it ALSO played DVD's.

      I think between the very friendly response to the Linux hackers, and an emphasis on networking, Sony may be making a run at an alternative platform for home computers.

      --
      "Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival."
      --Dr.W.Edwards Deming
    2. Re:Sony GSCube by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You mean a bunch of PS2 processors in parallel, not PS1. i.e R5900 not R3000.

    3. Re:Sony GSCube by bfree · · Score: 1

      Ever since Sony used Linux for a development environment and then released the Linux kit for the PS2, I have fully expected that Sony is hoping to bring a full featured stable computer system to the PSN thanks to Linux. The question is when will they decide that it is ready? The way consoles evolve will make porting a Linux distro both tricky (unique hardware and secrecy) aswell as simple (one design/spec so once you got it, you got it). I just pray that sony slap more ram and standard USB2 (preferably for controllers aswell, who'd buy a PS controller for their PC/Mac) into the PS3 so that people really could have a general computer + DVD Player + Console in one box. It's all a question of time , stability and commitment. As I say I reckon the key is USB as that will allow Scanners, Printers, Hard Disks/Burners etc. etc. into the game for next to no cost. Added benefit for me, we'd start to see manufacturers releasing products as PS3+Linux compatible breaking another stranglehold of MS (how many scanner manufacturers would develop Linux drivers without the enticement of taking the PS3 market aswell).

      --

      Never underestimate the dark side of the Source

    4. Re:Sony GSCube by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      BTW I feel that redherring article might be a ... er ... red herring.

      "Spanning the internet to use other idle processors"? That's the brainchild of a technological illiterate. The move from lower to higher powered consoles is exemplified by an increase in bandwidth between CPU and VRAM. GPUs move the bandwidth requirement nearer the VRAM. The idea that you can make a console faster by using other CPUs over a WAN is ridiculous. Strike one.

      Furthermore, for the cell idea to work, you must have a certain number of idle processors out there. Where's the guarantee that this will happen? Do I need to leave my PS3 switched on overnight so the Americans can use my spare cycles? So I spend money on electricity for what? So Sony can sell more product? Strike two.

      Can anyone supply the third ball for me?

  27. My prediction by NotTheAntiChrist · · Score: 1

    I think if Sony really has their plan thought out, this time the playstation 3 wont need a "Linux Kit". We can all pretty much safely assume the next iteration of XBox will be the living room/pc integration. Sony has to compete, and their "cell" technology and much better open source relations have paved the way for them.

    Maybe, just maybe, the Linux on the Desktop issue stands to become important to quite a few million more people.

  28. Console life time by marcomuskus · · Score: 0

    its a rumor, i dont mind Sony, making a new console after 4 years of launch PS2, afterall the PSX just have 9 years and counting (just look the sales).

    --
    LoL = Old school
  29. Call of Shenanigans accepted by pubjames · · Score: 1

    It's the same old trick. Stop people buying your competitors product by promising something better soon. Repeat until you actually have something to offer. It's a trick Microsoft have used many times too.

    I'm going to fetch my broom...

  30. There goes another $500... by Boo+Robin · · Score: 3, Interesting

    It's great to hear that the Playstation will be updated. But honestly, who wants to dish out another $500? I'm still debating whether or not to buy a PS2.

    But knowing how the game world works. Most people will run out and buy one the very same day it is released. This is madness. They are just doing what Sony wants them to do. Purchasing the console at an inflated price for maximum profit. If you go buy a PS2 right now for $300(Canadian), the store's profit is about $5. Compared to the $200+ when it is first released.

    In all reality, I'll probably buy one. But not until the price drops.

    --
    'Give me one more medicated peaceful moment'
    1. Re:There goes another $500... by EvilTwinSkippy · · Score: 4, Funny

      I finally broke down and had my parents buy me one for Christmas.

      --
      "Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival."
      --Dr.W.Edwards Deming
    2. Re:There goes another $500... by kinnell · · Score: 1
      But knowing how the game world works. Most people will run out and buy one the very same day it is released. This is madness. They are just doing what Sony wants them to do. Purchasing the console at an inflated price for maximum profit. If you go buy a PS2 right now for $300(Canadian), the store's profit is about $5. Compared to the $200+ when it is first released.

      This is common practice throughout the technology sector. There are always people whole will pay through the roof for the latest and greatest, so the products are priced accordingly. Economies of scale can't really kick in straight away, because the company does not know how successful the line will be, and has to factor in the risks of poor sales into its early production runs, so the product is more expensive anyway. Of course the "early adopters" get added value for their money, because being the first enhances their social status ;-) Personnally, last years technology works OK for me.

      --
      If I seem short sighted, it is because I stand on the shoulders of midgets
    3. Re:There goes another $500... by OblvnDrgn · · Score: 1

      The store's profit doesn't enter into this. When the PS2 came out for $300 (American) KB-Toys was selling it for $350 just so they could make decent profit. The stores made practically nothing off every PS2, and every other console, that they sell you when it comes out. That's why they won't sell 5 systems to anyone, because they don't make any money off the systems, they make it off the insane profit from controllers and memory cards that they get. I still don't think any one system gives the store as much profit from one game, but I know it's more now than it is at launch.

      And another thing, you're neglecting opportunity cost in your examination. If I buy a PS2 the day it comes out, I get one more year of gaming enjoyment than I do if I buy it at a year later for $50 less. (And the PS2 took longer than a year to come down in price) So the real question is if that year is worth $50 to you. If it is, then it's a good buy. The same thing applies to getting a game on launch instead of waiting a few months. It's not madness if you're going to get that much more enjoyment out of it, a purely personal opinion.

    4. Re:There goes another $500... by Boo+Robin · · Score: 1

      I know what you mean. A friend of mine works at Best Buy. According to him, the make barely anything of worth from selling a console. The whole profit in the industry is from selling accessories and games. That is why salesmen are so pushy when trying to sell you that game or controller.

      Yeah, you are right about having an extra year of game-play. And my argument is flawed when you look at it like that. But for some reason, I just don't like spending that type of cash on something when I know its price will go down. Oh well... my loss. ;)

      --
      'Give me one more medicated peaceful moment'
    5. Re:There goes another $500... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you buy something that a store might make a profit from, the terrorists have already won!! Down with profit!!

  31. Well duh by one9nine · · Score: 3, Funny

    How else are they going to compete with the YBox and Game Pentagon both coming out this August?

    1. Re:Well duh by mindriot · · Score: 1

      Wouldn't that be 'Game Hypercube'?

      Wonder what that design would look like.

    2. Re:Well duh by one9nine · · Score: 1

      I wanted to put the name of the solid that is formed from pentagons (i.e. a cube is a soild formed from squares) but I couldn't remember it and now it's driving me crazy. Does anybody know?

    3. Re:Well duh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My guess would be Pentahedron

    4. Re:Well duh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think the faces of a 12-sided die are pentagons, and the name for this shape is a dodecahedron.

    5. Re:Well duh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A buckyball, dumbshit.

    6. Re:Well duh by Andy_R · · Score: 1

      that's a Dodecahedron

      --
      A pizza of radius z and thickness a has a volume of pi z z a
    7. Re:Well duh by one9nine · · Score: 1

      Well, a buckyball also consists of hexagons, dumbershit.

    8. Re:Well duh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I must have missed where he said 'exclusively'. Oh, right, he didn't.

      DUMBSHIT!

    9. Re:Well duh by one9nine · · Score: 1
      "the solid that is formed from pentagons (i.e. a cube is a soild formed from squares)"

      It's very much implied with that statement if you bothered to read.

  32. Sony Denies Report That It Will Release PS3 by akiaki007 · · Score: 4, Informative

    Also picked up on Bloomberg. I don't have a link to the article, but here is the entire article:

    Sony Denies Report That It Will Release PlayStation 3 This Year
    2003-03-09 22:29 (New York)

    Sony Denies Report That It Will Release PlayStation 3 This Year

    Tokyo, March 10 (Bloomberg) -- Sony Corp., the world's
    largest maker of video-game consoles, denied a report in Taiwan's
    Commercial Times newspaper that it will introduce the successor to
    its PlayStation 2 video-game console as earlier as this year.
    ``The report is wrong,'' said Koichiro Katsurayama, a
    spokesman at Tokyo-based Sony Computer Entertainment Inc., Sony's
    games unit. ``The timing of the successor machine to PlayStation 2
    has not been decided.''
    Sony may start selling the PlayStation 3 in Japan as early as
    mid-year and overseas by the end of the year, two years ahead of
    schedule so Sony can widen its lead over rivals Nintendo Co. and
    Microsoft Corp., the Commercial Times said, citing unidentified
    people at Taiwanese parts suppliers.
    Hon Hai Precision Industry Co. of Taiwan, which assembles
    the PlayStation 2 for Sony, and other parts suppliers on the
    island will start trial production next month, the report said.
    Speculation over the timing of Sony's next console comes as
    Kyoto-based Nintendo, the company behind the Mario the plumber
    game character, prepares a new version of its GameCube machine.

    Chip Development

    Tokyo-based Sony, in collaboration with International
    Business Machines Corp. and Toshiba Corp., is developing a new
    processor, called ``Cell,'' which will be capable of handling
    sophisticated graphics and sound over the Internet.
    Sony and Toshiba, Japan's largest chipmaker, plan to use
    ``Cell'' in a range of digital consumer products, including TVs,
    cellular phones and the successor to the PlayStation 2.
    The chip is still in development, Molly Smith, a spokeswoman
    with Sony Computer Entertainment America, said on March 4.
    Sales of the PlayStation 2 console, which debuted in Japan
    three years ago this month, exceeded 50 million units in January.
    Sony released the PlayStation 2 four years after the company
    introduced the original PlayStation console.

    --
    "Time is long and life is short, so begin to live while you still can." -EV
    1. Re:Sony Denies Report That It Will Release PS3 by Sway · · Score: 2, Informative
      --

      Peace. Sway

  33. Me too, WOW! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I hope, I hope, I hope it's true. I just can't wait for the early obsolescence the PS2. I'm weeing in my pants!

  34. only $125? by Ender+Ryan · · Score: 4, Funny
    You got a PS2 a few months after release for only $125? You sold your _right_ nut for it, didn't you? :)

    --
    Sticking feathers up your butt does not make you a chicken - Tyler Durden
  35. Microsoft is screwed regardless by zackbar · · Score: 1

    even if they could sell anything approaching the number of machines that Sony has sold, Sony can make them far cheaper since they make the parts themselves.

    Microsoft will never be successful at this until they can make a profit on the machine and keep up with Sony. That can't happen if Microsoft constinues to buy the parts off the shelf.

    True, the xbox graphics kick ass. But Sony can come out with better machines cheaper and faster than MS can.

    Personally, I have a ps2 that I bought last summer. I was tempted to get an xbox, even after owning the ps2, until I heard that the ps3 should be out in 2004. If it comes out even in 2004, the xbox will be toast.

  36. what $500? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Pre-order from 3 stores, sell 2 on ebay/newspaper for an extra $250 == free PS3.

    Worked for me.

  37. Re:Be first with the worst by Bastian · · Score: 2, Insightful

    if Intel has taught us anything it is be the first with the worst.

    And if the 3DO and Dreamcast have taught us anything, Intel was just lucky.

  38. Not only is it vapor, it WILL NOT BE CALLED PS 3 by BoomerSooner · · Score: 0, Troll

    They are paying a ton of money to another company that had the Playstation name and sued them for royalties. The Playstation 3 will be called something like the SonyStation 3 or SonyGameStation 3.

    Mark my words (or not).

  39. I don't think so. by Sk3lt · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Come on it's Sony.. if they were going to be releasing the PS3 this year then there would already be tons of advertisements and articles straight from the horses mouth.

  40. PS2 looks like crap on High Def TVs. by Viewsonic · · Score: 4, Interesting

    It isn't the fact that they've won already, it's the fact that their standard games all look like total ass on High Def TVs, unlike the Cube and XBox .. They need to keep updating so people can get the games looking good on their sets. Just because they have 25 million owners doesn't mean none of us want some upgraded technology for our spoiled lifestyles.

    1. Re:PS2 looks like crap on High Def TVs. by will_die · · Score: 1

      Havn't never seen any of the console on a HDTV I am wondering.
      Is it a problem with the quality of the graphics stored on the disc, or is it a problem because of the video card used?
      If it is a video card problem, then I presume they could come out with a high-def version of the PS2 that would be fully compatable.

    2. Re:PS2 looks like crap on High Def TVs. by RyuuzakiTetsuya · · Score: 2, Informative

      It was a 2 year old system(Released in Japan in early 2000, late 1999) when XBox and GC hit the scene, even in Japan the amount of HDTVs on the market didn't warrant strong HD support. NOT ONLY THAT, the GC wasn't designed with HD in mind either. In terms of hardware life time, it's on it's third year, into it's fourth. When PS3 comes out in 2005(I believe the proper projected sony street date), it'll be almost six years old for god's sake.

      Besides, it does support 16x9 output anyway, so blame developers for not taking advantage of this. Konami does 16x9 with Beatmania IIDX, which was DESIGNED for 16x9(Take a look at one of the arcade screens, you'll know what I mean). Polyphony Digital does 16x9 with Gran Turismo 3: ASpec, not only that, it does it damn well.

      Atleast you're not bitching about the quality of games on the ps2 ;)

      --
      Non impediti ratione cogitationus.
    3. Re:PS2 looks like crap on High Def TVs. by dextr0us · · Score: 1

      ps2 looks like crap always. Look at those MLB 2003-4 commercials and tell me that PS2 is a great console. SONY's own 989 studios can't even make a decent looking game. So theres 3 exceptions, MGS, MGS, oh and... MGS!! [maybe possibly gran turismo when it launched, but still]ps2 has all around ugly games. NOT that ugly =! fun, because its quite the opposite, but never the less, its aliasing is shit.

      --
      "Martha Stewart can lick my Scrotum......do i have a scrotum?" -- Sharon Osbourne
    4. Re:PS2 looks like crap on High Def TVs. by blincoln · · Score: 1

      Just because they have 25 million owners doesn't mean none of us want some upgraded technology for our spoiled lifestyles.

      They're up to 50 million now =).

      Now what percentage of those 50 million have HDTVs or are going to buy them in the next two years? I bet with the US economy in its current state, the answer is "not enough to matter."

      --
      "...always new atoms but always doing the same dance, remembering what the dance was yesterday." -Richard Feynman
    5. Re:PS2 looks like crap on High Def TVs. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I plan on buying a HDTV when I can get a giant wall-sized display made from OLED's. cheap cheap cheap. This means, of course, that I plan on waiting more than 5 years.

    6. Re:PS2 looks like crap on High Def TVs. by aeoo · · Score: 1

      Are you smocking crack? How many people own HDTV? At 6k a pop, I don't think Sony has to worry about that market yet.

    7. Re:PS2 looks like crap on High Def TVs. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      There's no fucking way OLED HDTV'd will be cheap and widely available by 2008.

      OLED is a fantastic technology to be sure, but it has many hurdles ahead. Maybe by 2015 will you be able to buy a "roll-up" HDTV along with those ultra thin directional speakers.

      Being able to buy 7.1 speakers, a humongous display, and electronics, in a tiny home entertainment box at BestBuy is still science fiction.

    8. Re:PS2 looks like crap on High Def TVs. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My 57" projection HDTV was only 3K. Smaller sets are quite a bit less. And yes, the low resolution interlaced picture from the PS2 looks like crap.

    9. Re:PS2 looks like crap on High Def TVs. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You must remember that five years is a very long time in this industry, and the pace is accelerating as well. Large, flexible, cheap OLED displays should be quite commonplace by 2008.

    10. Re:PS2 looks like crap on High Def TVs. by mandrake*rpgdx · · Score: 1

      ohhh is that all, 3k. Christ. That's cheap. Wait....was I being sarcastic?

    11. Re:PS2 looks like crap on High Def TVs. by Hadlock · · Score: 1

      none of the TVs our family had in 1992 had RCA in when i got my super nintendo, they all still used composite in, but it still came a multi-out that is compatible with the N64, and GameCube. Hell, the original Nintendo came with RCA outs for video and audio... that makes it alot easier to hook up to modern televisions now that people are pulling these systems out 10, 20 years after their inception. I would be very suprised to see HDTV-out missing from the PS3, especially if it's slated to be on the market and dominating it for four years after it's release (2008), and then another 2 years as a "pocket" system (ala the PSOne)

      --
      moox. for a new generation.
    12. Re:PS2 looks like crap on High Def TVs. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's for a big-ass screen. A similar sized regular TV would run about 2K. A 27" HDTV runs in the $600 range. They're basically just big computer monitors with a wider aspect ration.

    13. Re:PS2 looks like crap on High Def TVs. by martyn+s · · Score: 1

      You must remember that five years is a very long time in this industry

      Which industry is "this industry"? We're talking about display technology, and even though, sure, the prices for displays have been dropping, 5 years still really isn't such a long time in the display industry. I really doubt you'll be seeing flexible (why does it need to be flexible anyway, if it's a wall mounted display?) cheap OLEDs by 2008.

    14. Re:PS2 looks like crap on High Def TVs. by spike+hay · · Score: 1

      One thing though. When you get cheaper, you don't get the full 1080p picture. (I don't know why that costs so much. My 200 dollar monitor pushes more than an hdtv)

      Most smaller "hdtv" screens I see are 7020 or even 480(!!). That's not worth it. Once they get 1080p displays for under 600, I'll be interested.

      --
      If you don't understand any of my sayings, come to me in private and I shall take you in my German mouth.
  41. the reason migh be royalties to nintendo by dybvandal · · Score: 1

    the reason for a quick release of the PS3 might be the fact that Sony does not own the name "Playstation" alone. They have to pay like 10-15% of all revenues they make through the playstation trademark to nintendo (or was it sega?).

    If I could only find the source, but it was all over the web back then (must be 3-4 months ago iirc).

    That might be a good incentive to move quickly to a new console with a new name.

    1. Re:the reason migh be royalties to nintendo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That was a fake report. You have been taken in by a hoax.

    2. Re:the reason migh be royalties to nintendo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      10-15%....you pulled that number out of your ass....
      Sony had profits of 1.8 BILLION last year.
      Using your number, that's 270 MILLION for the use of a name Nintendo did little to nothing to build up (i mean YOU didn't know who coined it, did you?)

      That might be a good incentive to move quickly to a new console with a new name.

      Sony's "Playstation" brand IS the new "Atari". My grandma has said "Atari" when refering to ALL video games for the last 15+ years....up intil last year when suddenly she started saying "Playstation"....This is more valuable than you know!

  42. Can you do it? by t_allardyce · · Score: 1

    Is it even possable to release a currently under-developement chip, the surrounding fully tested hardware, and enough games and software for people to want to buy all in one year? Oh and also make the adverts with cars hitting deer and strange-ass talking ducks?

    Now thats productivity

    --
    This comment does not represent the views or opinions of the user.
  43. PSM April Fools joke by gurnb · · Score: 5, Informative

    This was listed as a 'news' article in the APRIL edition of PSM. It also stated that ALL games on the PS3 would be cell shaded, and would even convert 'old' games to cell shade technology. The last line refernced that fact that this was an April Fools Joke.

    Guess the real joke was on Bloomberg News.

    --
    "This must be a Thursday, I never could get the hang of Thursdays."
  44. PSM magazine by randall859 · · Score: 1, Redundant

    I thought I read in the PSM magazine over the weekend about this, and they claimed at the very bottom that it was their April fools joke

  45. The same reason they went from PS1 to PS2. by Viewsonic · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The PS1 had a HUGE base installed as well, and in fact, devs are still bringing out games for it. In Japan the PS1 is selling just as much as the XBox. Why did they bother with the PS2? Because people always want more and better technology. The PS2 has a little ways it can go to be on par with the XBox and Gamecube.

    1. Re:The same reason they went from PS1 to PS2. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      The PS2 has a little ways it can go to be on par with the XBox and Gamecube.

      Why is it I ALWAYS see this comment, that the PS2 has to catch up with XBox and Gamecube? Is it just based on written specs? I will agree that I *really do* see better graphics on the gamecube, but honestly, I've NEVER seen *better* graphics on an XBox - about the same quality, yes, but not better.
      I realize what one sees is subjective, but...
  46. I don't buy it by Doomstalk · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The author of the article doesn't seem to get that an early launch can work against you as much as launching late. Drive the PS2 to obsolescence now, and you piss off developers with software in the works, and gamers who just bought one. Not to mention that a launch now would mean exactly zero launch titles for the PS3, since I doubt most developers have the final specs, let alone an actual development unit. And if they did manage to miraculously pull a title out of their proverbial rear ends, it probably wouldn't be very good considering the huge complexity of the PS3's proposed architecture (something on the order of 74 processors total).

  47. Re:Not only is it vapor, it WILL NOT BE CALLED PS by emotionus · · Score: 1

    Is that company Nintendo? http://www.theinquirer.net/?article=6822

  48. PS3 by jhines0042 · · Score: 1, Insightful

    I will buy a PS-3 when Gran Tourismo 4 comes out for it.

    Gran Tourismo 3 is why I bought a PS-2

    GT 2 and GT 1 are why I bought a PS-1

    --
    42 - So long and thanks for all the fish.
    1. Re:PS3 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, I bought a PS2 for GT3. That game sucked ass though. They took GT2, added better graphics, and made the game boring as hell. GTA3 is the only good PS2 game, the rest are stupid anime kiddie games. I'm getting an XBOX.

  49. That's just a hype article by sideveloper12673 · · Score: 1

    I recently saw an interview with one of the guys who helped create the xbox and he said that because Sony has such a huge lead on xbox and gamecube that they probably will let xbox release their next generation console first sometime in 2004 and PS3 will come out in 2005. So I wouldn't get your hopes up too quickly. I think there would be alot of unhappy people if they just recently bought a PS2 and now they have to shell out an additional $300-$400 to go up to PS3. Sony really has no reason to rush on releasing this.

  50. There's just no way - look at the costs! by Featureless · · Score: 5, Interesting

    This rumor can't be true for the simplest and most basic reason - the money doesn't work.

    You build consoles and sell them at a huge loss. It's a multi-billion dollar gamble only the largest players can attempt. If you win, you get a piece of the action for every product sold on your (dominant) platform, _and_ over time, your margin on the hardware comes back out of the red, and you make a profit selling that too. Sony has now been profitable on the PS2 hardware for some moderately short period of time.

    In order to make the billions necessary to go it again in the next round, you have a nice, long run with each platform. This is one of the good things about the console business model. Rather than the upgrade race the PC software vendors and hardware manufacturers like to suck you into, the console vendors are incentivized to make each revision of their hardware go as long as possible, so as to maximize their profits.

    While Sony may be concerned about Microsoft's growing marketshare, last I checked XBox wasn't even close to PS2's penetration. Trying to pre-empt xbox2 may be on Sony's mind, but given that sales of PS2 hardware and software are exceptionally strong (in fact, record breaking) right now, releasing a successor product will just kill their money factory. Yes, I'm sure prototype hardware will be floating around before long, and I'm sure the first games that will come out on the system have already begun. But Sony will wait as long as humanly possible before a retail release. Only lagging sales, or (much more likely) Microsoft and Nintendo will push them out of the gate, and it's way too soon for that.

    1. Re:There's just no way - look at the costs! by Kintanon · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You build consoles and sell them at a huge loss. It's a multi-billion dollar gamble only the largest players can attempt. If you win, you get a piece of the action for every product sold on your (dominant) platform, _and_ over time, your margin on the hardware comes back out of the red, and you make a profit selling that too. Sony has now been profitable on the PS2 hardware for some moderately short period of time.

      Ok, this will be the fourth time I've done this, so PAY ATTENTION. The per unit cost of each PS2, is GREATER than the per unit cost to build the PS2. The same was true for the PS1. They are not "taking a loss" on the consoles. Sony never has done that and never will. You can view it as "taking a loss" only if you divide the R&D cost across the first year of consoles, but the fact is that Sony sells each console for more than it cost to make that console. They had recouped their R&D by the middle of the second year the PS2 was out, they have been making straight up profit for over a year and pushing that into the R&D for the nextgen. Currently Microsoft is the only player on the market taking a loss on their consoles.

      The nextgen Sony console will most likely be released for Christmas of 2005, but if there doesn't seem to be a new console coming up from Nintendo or MSFT Sony will very likely hold the actual console release a bit. Their plan is usually to release just a few days or weeks before Nintendo does, but advertise for a year or so beforehand.

      Kintanon

      --
      Check out JoshJitsu.info for Brazilian Ji
    2. Re:There's just no way - look at the costs! by Cheviot · · Score: 2, Interesting

      This money losing stratagy may be true for other manufacturers, but not for Sony.

      The Dreamcast was a money losing venture for Sega. Sega went for broke in building the bestconsole they could buy with the Dreamcast, and sold them at less than cost. A lot less than cost. The theory being that scale of economics would catch up to let them rebuild their once glorious market share and, that the margins on their own games would be good enough to justify a loss.

      $800 million lost later, Sega cancelled the Dreamcast.

      Xbox. MS has decided to follow the Sega model. Buy off the shelf parts, have someone else build it, and take a loss in order to push units out the door.

      Microsoft is losing money per console sold, not including what they are spending advertising and support. Reports have it fall between $50 to $105 lost per console. MS has only said that they are losing money, and won't comment on how much.

      Notice what isn't on that list? The PS2.

      Unlike Sega and MS, Sony is an R&D hardware company. They make a lot of things. In designing up the PS2, they spent a ot of cash. Then they spent a hell of a lot more cash to build things like the chip foundries to produce the chips for the PS2.

      In the end, before the first PS2 rolled off the production line for consumers, Sony had spent $2 billion.

      Then we look at Sony's stock report for Oct-Dec 2000, and there is an interesting little blurb. It said that had Sony been able to meet demand with another 1 million PS2 units, they would have pocketed $175 million in profits. $175 million divided by one million consoles equals $175 per console profit.

      Now, that is a bit high. This assumed that the average consumer continues to buy four games per console (so around $24 in royalties), and 2 accessories (about $30 in profit total). That reduces the $175 to about $120. Sony is making $120 profit per system.

    3. Re:There's just no way - look at the costs! by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 1

      My impression is that consoles are sold at a loss - but only at first. Over time they manage to push costs down, in part through mass volumes and as I understand, in part though design revisions to be able to take advantage of cheaper commodity parts that might come along.

    4. Re:There's just no way - look at the costs! by basilisk12 · · Score: 1

      Thanks gord. put a link in next time.
      -b12

    5. Re:There's just no way - look at the costs! by Featureless · · Score: 1

      Can you cite a source that says this? This contradicts everything I've heard about both Sony and Nintendo's arrangements (I understood gamecube was initially sold at a loss as well).

    6. Re:There's just no way - look at the costs! by Featureless · · Score: 1

      So basically the article you plagiarised admits that every single recent console, from the dreamcast to the gamecube, with the exception of the PS2, has been sold at a loss "at least initially."

      Then it goes on to admit that the figures indicating Sony has always made a profit on each playstation are actually not taking into account the ammortized cost of the tooling and facilities that went into playstation 2 production. You see, Sony will build a lot more of their own parts. That means they take an even bigger up-front hit than their rivals, but then over time will reap even bigger rewards as their manufacturing investment pays off. And, in fact, the article you plagiarized goes on to admit that something like 20 million playstations will have to be sold (at what margin the author is vague, but the point is clear) before break-even.

      It's the same thing.

      Let me sum up.

      Nintendo, Microsoft, Sega, etc. outsource their parts, but pay more for them, so they lose money initially, and keep losing it until their suppliers lower their prices.

      Sony builds factories of their own, but then those factories produce parts for them at cost. They, too, lose money initially, because you have to consider at least part of their manufacturing investment in the equation if you want a rational comparison.

    7. Re:There's just no way - look at the costs! by Cheviot · · Score: 1

      It's not the same thing at all.

      Every product, including the XBOX, PS2 and Gamecube, have huge startup costs. The profit made on each PS2 console is gross profit, not net. Unfortunatly the Gamecube and XBOX are taking a gross profit loss. Not only are they not able to pay for the cost of the development and tooling from sales, they cannot even pay the price of the components that make up the console itself.

      The XBox and Gamecube can never make a profit until component costs drop. Never. In fact, they will lose more money as time goes on. The big question becomes, what reason could component suppliers possibly have to lower prices on parts?

      ATI, unlike Nintendo, has made a profit on every Gamecube sold. What's more, Nintendo cannot buy its GPU from anyone but ATI without the new manufacturer incurring huge startup costs. ATI has a captive audience for the Gamecube GPU and no reason to ever drop the price.

      But, you might say, then Nintendo won't use an ATI chip in it's next console. Thats expected. No console maker has ever used the same 3rd party manufacturer's components in its next generation console in the history of console gaming. ATI and other 3rd party component manufacturers know this. They have to make money while they can.

      This whole discussion is academic when it comes to the XBOX, which uses mostly off-the-shelf components. The price on components in the XBOX has dropped and will continue to do so. Unfortunatly, so have sales. XBOX will never go into net profit. Even if they suddenly began making $100 per console instead of losing $100 per console they would have to double their installed base to make up for the gross profit losses alone, not to mention the production and advertising losses.

    8. Re:There's just no way - look at the costs! by Featureless · · Score: 1

      No, it is entirely the same thing.

      Every product, including the XBOX, PS2 and Gamecube, have huge startup costs.

      You couldn't be bothered to quote them, because if you did, you would see the startup costs are considerably different; much higher, in fact, when you manufacture more of your own components. Hey, you'll look bad arguing this one, it's covered in the essay you plagiarized.

      The profit made on each PS2 console is gross profit, not net.

      A dictionary definition for net profit. A dictionary definition for gross profit. Drawing the gross/net profit distinction is specious - holding aside "taxes, interest, depreciation, and other expenses" doesn't matter. This kind of error makes you look like you don't really know what you're talking about.

      Your discussion about the politics between suppliers and console vendors is slightly interesting, although it more or less echoes what I originally said ("...but then over time will reap even bigger rewards as their manufacturing investment pays off"); it's also irrelevant to the point.

    9. Re:There's just no way - look at the costs! by Cheviot · · Score: 1


      Drawing the gross/net profit distinction is specious - holding aside "taxes, interest, depreciation, and other expenses" doesn't matter. This kind of error makes you look like you don't really know what you're talking about.


      The difference is very relevant. What do you think research and development, design, plant upgrades,advertising etc. are? They are "other expences"

      Cost of a product is the price of the components plus the labor to assemble the components. If you sell an item above it's cost you have made a gross profit.

      Sony does make a gross profit on every unit sold. After they sold aproximatly 20 million PS2's they paid back the entire 2 billion dollars in "other expences".

      Microsoft loses money on every unit sold, by some estimates between $50 and $100 per console. According to Microsoft's Home Entertainment Division own estimates they expected to lose 1.85 billion dollars in 2001 and 2002. (1)

      Microsoft could sell 20 million XBOXes tomorrow and they would instantly lose 2 billion dollars. Why? Because they don't make any gross profit on each unit sold. Instead they lose about $100. The more successful the XBOX is the worse it is for Microsoft.

      (1) http://www.redherring.com/insider/2002/0624/xbox06 2402.html

    10. Re:There's just no way - look at the costs! by Featureless · · Score: 1

      Tragically, you still don't seem to understand. I'll keep trying a little longer. If you need help, show your teacher, parent or guardian, and maybe they can explain it in more detail.

      The accounting principles under which a company's factories have been categorized are unimportant. The gross profit comparison itself is wrong.

      Saying, oh yeah, Sony makes a profit on PS2's: it's a "gross profit"... is like saying, oh yeah, I live in my house for free... not counting my mortgage! So what if Nintendo and Microsoft are renting their apartments. They are all paying the cost one way or another. Leaving it out for one and not the other just because of the way their investment was disposed is cheating.

      Is it starting to sink in yet? The essay you plagiarized is BS. They guy probably got a hundred emails by now explaining this, but he either can't understand them or simply just doesn't want to admit his little screed was entirely wrong.

    11. Re:There's just no way - look at the costs! by Cheviot · · Score: 1

      Lets try this again with a simple analogy.

      Bob and Stan both own businesses making similar products.

      Bob buys smaller quantities of components at a higher cost. Bob loses money on each product sold but he is confidant that, given time, the cost of the components will drop and that sales after the price drop will make up for losses incurred before the drop in production costs.

      Stan buys larger quantities of components at a lower price. Stan makes money on each product sold. Stan does not need to wait for component costs to drop before he can begin paying back his initial investment.

      The problem? Only one of the two products will ever sell enough units to pay back the initial costs.

      What if Bob wins? Bob's product sells like hotcakes for several years. With every unit sold Bob goes deeper into the hole. The cost of materials drops over time until eventualy Bob begins to pay back his initial costs. If Bob makes as much money on the profitable units as he lost on the non-profitable ones he must sell twice as many units just to break even. The more popular Bob's product is initialy, the the more units Bob must sell to begin to pay back his startup costs.

      What if Stan wins? Stan's product sells like hotcakes for several years. With each unit sold Stan pays back a portion of his initial investment. As the cost of materials drops, Stan pays off his startup cost faster and faster, until he's making a net profit. The more popular Stan's product is initialy, the faster he pays back his startup costs.

      Who cares how quickly the startup costs are paid back? Well, no one would if they would keep selling each product forever. But both products have a limited lifespan, selling for perhaps five years each. Building sales quickly is the only way to win the market share war and to keep selling units over the products whole lifespan, but Bob loses more money if he builds market share quickly. Bob needs to sell the bulk of his units later, after component prices drop.

      If Bob sells 20 billion of his product before the component prices drop and never sells another unit he has lost not only his initial investment but also his per-unit-loss times 20 billion.

      If Stan sells 20 billion of his product before the component prices drop and never sells another unit he becomes a very wealthy man.

      Who do you want to be, Stan or Bob?

    12. Re:There's just no way - look at the costs! by Featureless · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure whether you're not following along, or you're just trying to change the subject.

      I said (among other things): Consoles are initially sold at a loss.

      You said: [plagiarized an essay claiming Sony doesn't do that].

      I said: That essay is wrong. Here's why.

      You said: Well, ok, what I said was complete bullshit. But wouldn't you rather be Sony nonetheless?

      And to that I will reply: Obviously - since that was what I've been saying all along.

      As an aside, of course, you wouldn't want to be them if they hadn't been "the winner." Their success was a very likely bet, but nonetheless, it was gambling. If you make a much bigger initial investment in manufacturing rather than buy parts, and you lose the race, you lose your entire much bigger initial investment. Elementary.

    13. Re:There's just no way - look at the costs! by Cheviot · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure whether you're not following along, or you're just trying to change the subject.

      Me?

      Since you're very first reply you've engaged in logical fallacies which, until now, I've ignored. But if you're going to start accusing me of changing the topic...

      (for definitions of your logical fallacy see:http://www.geocities.com/anatheist2001/subskep ticismfallacies.htm)

      So basically the article you plagiarised admits

      Ad Hominem

      This kind of error makes you look like you don't really know what you're talking about.

      Ad Hominem (also you convienently forgot that my point was correct)

      Tragically, you still don't seem to understand. I'll keep trying a little longer. If you need help, show your teacher, parent or guardian, and maybe they can explain it in more detail.

      Ad Hominem. (Do you really think you're winning points with slashdot readers with these retorts?)

      The essay you plagiarized is BS

      Ad Hominem. (Get enough mileage off this one yet?)

      You said: [plagiarized an essay claiming Sony doesn't do that].

      Ad Hominem. (I guess not.)

      But lets move beyond that, shall we. Are you seriously suggesting that unless Sony sold it's first Playstation 2 for 2 billion dollars that it is selling each unit at a loss until they pay back their R&D expences?

      Is RCA selling every television it makes at a loss until they pay back their R&D expences?

      Is Toyota selling every car it makes at a loss until they pay back their R&D expences?

      The answer, of course, is no.

      The gross profit per unit = the sale price of a product minus the cost of a product (the price of the Bill of materials plus the labor to assemble the parts)

      actually not taking into account the ammortized cost of the tooling and facilities

      Lets look at that, shall we? The Playstation 2 has sold 50 million units wordwide. (http://www.ps2web.com/articles/viewnews.cgi?newsi d1043186072,96220,) Divide the 2 billion dollar startup cost by the 50 million units sold.

      The ammortized cost you were so worried about is $40.
      Subtract the ammorized cost from the gross profit per Playstation 2 ($100) and you will see that Sony made $60 net profit per console sold.

      Well, ok, what I said was complete bullshit.

      I said no such thing. I tried to demonstrate how Microsoft and Nintendo (Bob) differ from practically any other company in the world, Sony included (Stan).

      you lose the race, you lose your entire much bigger initial investment.

      Not at all. Even if Sony stopped making Playstation 2 consoles tomorrow they have a massive chip production plant and assembly factories that in and of themselves have considerable value. But this is all besides the point.

      The fact is Sony's Playstation 2, much like televisions, bottled water, automobiles and even the shirt on your back, had a huge startup cost before the first unit rolled off the assembly line.

      By selling their products for more than the cost of the labor to assemble them and the cost of the bill of materials all the companies that make the products noted above pay back those startup costs and make a profit.

      Something you cannot do if you don't sell your product for more than it costs to manufacture each unit.

      But wouldn't you rather be Sony nonetheless?

      Again, not what I said. I asked if you'd rather be the company that makes a gross profit on each unit or the one that doesn't.

      Would anyone want to be in Bob's shoes, hoping that maybe, someday they could start paying back their loans or would they rather be Stan, who is making payments against their debt since day one.

      Somehow you kept missing an important part of the problem with selling a console with a gross profit loss. Let me repeat it so you remember to address it this time.

      If you sell a product at a gross profit loss, the more successful it is before the cost of your bill of materials drops, the more money you lose. If Microsoft suddenly tomorrow had sold a total of 50 million XBOXes they would have lost between 2.5 billion and 5 billion additional dollars (given that they have a gross profit loss of $50 to $100 each).

      With the same number of sales Sony made at least 3 billion dollars profit ($100 gross profit per console minus the $40 per console ammortorized development and facilities cost times 50 million units sold). Note that the gross profit figure on the Playstation 2 console was gleened from Sony's annual report the year the console was released. Since then Sony has released a cost-reduced version of their console, thus increasing both the gross and net profit per console.

    14. Re:There's just no way - look at the costs! by Featureless · · Score: 1
      Uh oh... looks like someone's ego has been a little bruised. :) I was hoping you'd reach deep inside yourself and surprise me with some novel and original insight into all this, but instead, I find your response merely senseless and inflamed. Objectively, it looks as if you are desperate to make a combatitive response, but not very thorough in reasoning it out.

      • So basically the article you plagiarised admits

        Ad Hominem

        This kind of error makes you look like you don't really know what you're talking about.

        Ad Hominem (also you convienently forgot that my point was correct)

        Tragically, you still don't seem to understand. I'll keep trying a little longer. If you need help, show your teacher, parent or guardian, and maybe they can explain it in more detail.

        Ad Hominem. (Do you really think you're winning points with slashdot readers with these retorts?)

        The essay you plagiarized is BS

        Ad Hominem. (Get enough mileage off this one yet?)

        You said: [plagiarized an essay claiming Sony doesn't do that].

        Ad Hominem. (I guess not.)

        But lets move beyond that, shall we.



      Obviously you're proud that you've learned a latin term. And I can see where you'd like to pretend the fact that you plagiarized that essay doesn't have any bearing on this, but frankly, that's not true. It hurts your credibility. It makes you look dishonest. I suppose trying to deny and minimize this fact is par for the course, too.

      The funny thing is that this credibility issue is really bearing out - you see, you're sporadic, inconsistent, and wrong on your conclusions at a fairly good rate. Go figure. We pay attention to credibility and reputations for a reason. People are often consistent.

      Most reputable schools, and quite a few better places of employment would see you summarily dismissed for what you pulled in this forum. So if you plan on pretending to an air of credibility, you should expect to hear about your "mistake" quite a bit. When you're ready to forget you did it, just stop bringing it to my attention. Don't worry, your arguments don't have much to lose from the comparison.

      Your point was not correct... your insistence on gross profit was, is, and continues to be specious and misleading, as I have explained at length, and to which you have thus far made no sensible rebuttal.

      Are you seriously suggesting that unless Sony sold it's first Playstation 2 for 2 billion dollars that it is selling each unit at a loss until they pay back their R&D expences?

      Hmm... just sit back and read this a few times. Savor in it's breathless, misfired-insult idiocy. It's all downhill from here.

      Is RCA selling every television it makes at a loss until they pay back their R&D expences?

      If you invested a billion dollars in a factory, and then for some reason you didn't sell as many widgets as you expected to sell... so you didn't make back your billion... I suppose you'd have to say... on that investment... you took a loss.

      With me so far?

      Divide the 2 billion dollar startup cost by the 50 million units sold.

      Why don't you divide it by 69, Bill and Ted's favorite number?

      It is about as relevant. I will neglect to address the rest of your math springing from this meaningless comparison.

      The correct point to draw from this is that (given that we accept the gross profit per console figure) Sony had to sell 20 million playstations to break even on their initial investment. The source you plagiarized made this connection - why not you too?

      I said no such thing. I tried to demonstrate how Microsoft and Nintendo (Bob) differ from practically any other company in the world, Sony included (Stan).

      Heh. You stopped (I suppose now I should say "paused") in your attempt to force a gross profit comparison down our throats. Instead, you merely asked "who do you want to be?" You already knew my answer - since I started with it. You should know this, because maybe it really isn't sinking in: as you continue to fail to answer a point, you appear to concede it.

      Not at all. Even if Sony stopped making Playstation 2 consoles tomorrow they have a massive chip production plant and assembly factories that in and of themselves have considerable value.

      Remind me to come back to the issue of how much of the PS2's production investment could be recouped if the PS2 tanked later... when we've dealt with the matter at hand.

      Again, not what I said. I asked if you'd rather be the company that makes a gross profit on each unit or the one that doesn't.

      In other words, it is what you said.

      By selling their products for more than the cost of the labor to assemble them and the cost of the bill of materials all the companies that make the products noted above pay back those startup costs and make a profit.

      Now, back to the point, if you have 3 different companies that each make a different initial investment in manufacturing, and each of them has a different gross profit on their product (for two of them, that number is negative, and for the 3rd, the company that made the largest initial investment, it is actually positive), then you can say that the 3rd does not sell its product at a "gross profit" loss... I notice you like to repeat this a lot. It's funny, so I won't discourage you. But it doesn't make it relevant.

      Congratulations. #3 spent their billions up front, instead of spreading them out, ammortizing them over a long period of time (you like to imply it will be indefinite). Because they took a bigger risk, they are in the running for a bigger payoff. But until they sell enough units to recoup their initial investment, they are in the same boat as #2 and #1. Probably worse, depending on the sales figures.

      Let's see if you're with me on this so far. If Sony had sold 5 million units instead of 50, they would have taken a loss instead of a gain. I know, you're itching to answer it's not the same. Take your time. Think about it carefully.

      You want to compare XBox's total production costs, to Sony's production costs minus a big piece of their initial investment (which you have decided is not relevant in your comparison for some reason). But you don't get to count it out - it's a senseless comparison if you do. Oh yes, it may be better for Sony - it may even have been unwise for their competitors to do things their way. But it doesn't mean they don't all initially take a loss (and they all call it an investment, however it's structured) to provide you with hardware, in hopes that eventually they will get that money back (through whatever means are available).

      I know, I know. You really want to confuse the issue some more. Don't sweat it. Hey, to some folks, it's just free entertainment.

      It might be interesting to speculate on why other players didn't go Sony's route. One hopes they had their reasons.
    15. Re:There's just no way - look at the costs! by Cheviot · · Score: 1

      Uh oh... looks like someone's ego has been a little bruised. :

      Again with the insults. If you haven't realized by now there is a reason personal attacks have nothing to do with a well reasoned, logical response. Had you bothered to read the link I posted or any of the hundreds of other pages a quick trip to the search engine found you would have noted that most of the pages agreed that personal attacks in a debate are but one sign that the attacker simply doesn't have a valid argument. If he had one he wouldn't have to attempt to inflame, but could convince his opponent merely on the basis of his argument. Seeing that you refuse to debate in a rational matter (much less address a very telling point I've brought up several times and challenged you to reply to)(1) I see no point in continuing this conversation.

      Drop a line when you've grown up.

      (Now, as not to be accused of just ducking the issues..)

      Hmm... just sit back and read this a few times. Savor in it's breathless, misfired-insult idiocy. It's all downhill from here.

      That was the point. I was asking if you were really that stupid.

      Is RCA selling every television it makes at a loss until they pay back their R&D expences?

      If you invested a billion dollars in a factory, and then for some reason you didn't sell as many widgets as you expected to sell... so you didn't make back your billion... I suppose you'd have to say... on that investment... you took a loss.


      No one asked you about the investment, Listen to the questions being debated.

      Divide the 2 billion dollar startup cost by the 50 million units sold.

      Why don't you divide it by 69, Bill and Ted's favorite number?

      It is about as relevant. I will neglect to address the rest of your math springing from this meaningless comparison.


      Ammortization is the division of a debt or payment into smaller, equal installments over the life of the debt.

      You were the one that said that Sony's profit per unit didn't take into account the ammortized cost of their initial investment. The math, which you dismissed out of hand, proves this to be incorrect.

      At least if you actually ment "ammortized".

      The correct point to draw from this is that (given that we accept the gross profit per console figure) Sony had to sell 20 million playstations to break even on their initial investment. The source you plagiarized made this connection - why not you too?

      I do and always have. This has absolutly nothing to do with the question of Sony's per unit gross profit on consoles.

      You want to compare XBox's total production costs, to Sony's production costs minus a big piece of their initial investment (which you have decided is not relevant in your comparison for some reason).

      Do you never get tired of misstating my position? I have always quoted Sony's full production costs ($2 billion)

      Let's see if you're with me on this so far. If Sony had sold 5 million units instead of 50, they would have taken a loss instead of a gain. I know, you're itching to answer it's not the same. Take your time. Think about it carefully.

      This is a really nice point. Except no one is talking about Sony's profit on the Playstation line. Everyone else is talking about the fact they aren't selling -each unit- at a loss. That has absolutely nothing to do with their total profit/loss statement.

      I'm repeating the section below from my last post. One can only assume since you didn't bother to reply you simply had no answer. Not a wonder, as the only answer shows that the gross profit per console is important and your core argument is that the distiction is unimportant.

      -----

      Somehow you kept missing an important part of the problem with selling a console with a gross profit loss. Let me repeat it so you remember to address it this time.

      If you sell a product at a gross profit loss, the more successful it is before the cost of your bill of materials drops, the more money you lose. If Microsoft suddenly tomorrow had sold a total of 50 million XBOXes they would have lost between 2.5 billion and 5 billion additional dollars (given that they have a gross profit loss of $50 to $100 each).

      With the same number of sales Sony made at least 3 billion dollars profit ($100 gross profit per console minus the $40 per console ammortorized development and facilities cost times 50 million units sold). Note that the gross profit figure on the Playstation 2 console was gleened from Sony's annual report the year the console was released. Since then Sony has released a cost-reduced version of their console, thus increasing both the gross and net profit per console.

    16. Re:There's just no way - look at the costs! by Featureless · · Score: 1

      Again with the insults. If you haven't realized by now there is a reason personal attacks have nothing to do with a well reasoned, logical response. Had you bothered to read the link I posted or any of the hundreds of other pages a quick trip to the search engine found you would have noted that most of the pages agreed that personal attacks in a debate are but one sign that the attacker simply doesn't have a valid argument. If he had one he wouldn't have to attempt to inflame, but could convince his opponent merely on the basis of his argument. Seeing that you refuse to debate in a rational matter (much less address a very telling point I've brought up several times and challenged you to reply to)(1) I see no point in continuing this conversation.

      Drop a line when you've grown up.


      Let's tell a story about a person named "Cheviot." He/she came to slashdot, and decided to troll a valid point about a bit of trivia with a plagiarized essay which didn't really apply. When ridiculed by the crowd and questioned on it in detail, he tried to acquit him/herself with a lot of subject-changes, funny math and nonsense. And when people don't show him/her the respect he/she deserves, he gets a little upset, and proud.

      Awww, there there, Cheviot. I know, people can be so mean.

      That was the point. I was asking if you were really that stupid.

      But if you're going to (I chuckle at this) "take the high road," you have to actually keep it up for a few consecutive paragraphs.

      No one asked you about the investment, Listen to the questions being debated.

      So, it's pretty clear now you're just willfully ignoring the point. I guess I can understand. It's tough to admit you're wrong. Why not just pretend you're not?

      Ammortization is the division of a debt or payment into smaller, equal installments over the life of the debt.

      I guess in retrospect, defining things in order to cover up your misuse of them is one of your little trademarks, Cheviot. It's kind of cute, I suppose.

      You were the one that said that Sony's profit per unit didn't take into account the ammortized cost of their initial investment. The math, which you dismissed out of hand, proves this to be incorrect.

      Hmm. Actually, why don't you go back and read what I said. See if it had anything to do with dividing 2 billion by every console sold. Or just pretend it does. I'll be waiting.

      I do and always have. This has absolutly nothing to do with the question of Sony's per unit gross profit on consoles.

      Of course it doesn't. I never suggested it did. :)

      I have always quoted Sony's full production costs ($2 billion)

      Yes, just not every time you needed to.

      Except no one is talking about Sony's profit on the Playstation line.

      I suppose the right way to put it is that you wish no one was talking about Sony's profit on the Playstation line. In fact, I'm sure right now you're divising a way you can somehow insert the word "gross" into my previous posts at various intervals. That will show me.

      I'm repeating the section below from my last post. One can only assume since you didn't bother to reply you simply had no answer. Not a wonder, as... well... you're sensitive to being told harsh truths about your writing, so I'll let you draw the obvious conclusion.

      -----

      You want to compare XBox's total production costs, to Sony's production costs minus a big piece of their initial investment (which you have decided is not relevant in your comparison for some reason). But you don't get to count it out - it's a senseless comparison if you do. Oh yes, it may be better for Sony - it may even have been unwise for their competitors to do things their way. But it doesn't mean they don't all initially take a loss (and they all call it an investment, however it's structured) to provide you with hardware, in hopes that eventually they will get that money back (through whatever means are available).

  51. Possible explanation for stealth mode by John+Harrison · · Score: 5, Interesting
    Let's assume that this story is true, even though it probably is not. It if is, there is are some good reasons for Sony to be in stealth mode for this launch.

    1. They don't want to kill current sales of PS2. If they announced now that there would be a new platform for Christmas worldwide it would kill current sales. Also, if they do plan on launching before Christmas and then miss the date they have just killed their sales year. You can be sure that if they think they have something that will be ready for this year, they won't announce it until there are SURE they can deliver.

    2. They don't want to alert Microsoft to what is going on. Everyone says that it would be impossible to release a PS3 this quickly, but what about an XBox2? By using what is basically commodity hardware again MS can develop and release a backwards compatible followup to the XBox with relatively little effort. They will be able to meet a Sony launch date with much less prep time. So not tipping off MS would be a huge reason to not hype the PS3 until just before launch.

    3. The "surprise" of a new console this quickly will be hype enough. Think about it. How blown away would people be if this were true? It will generate its own hype. Especially if the tech is good.

    I think that if you though about it for a while you could probably come up with some reasons of your own why operating in stealth mode would be an advantage even though it is n't what they have done in the past. Remember though, that while your reasoning might be flawed, it doesn't mean that the article is accurate.

    1. Re:Possible explanation for stealth mode by HiredMan · · Score: 4, Interesting
      They don't want to alert Microsoft to what is going on. Everyone says that it would be impossible to release a PS3 this quickly, but what about an XBox2? By using what is basically commodity hardware again MS can develop and release a backwards compatible followup to the XBox with relatively little effort.

      The problem for M$ is that consoles always outstrip the current offerings by computers - that's how they survive. The newest console offers you things you can't do on your computer yet - and for a couple hundred dollars.
      If the PS3 performs anywhere close to the lofty goals they said they were shooting for then M$ has a real problem. The only way to compete with the PS3 (and then Nintendos new box) would be to design their own cutting edge hardware - but the XBox is just a repackaged PC. To repeat their (limited) success they would need to package a dual Opteron system with the newest NVidia system into a box for US$300. The original XBox was only able to compete in hardware because it came out several years after the PS2 shipped - in that gap the PCs had caught up to the consoles - as they always do.

      M$ is not a hardware company and they will be hardpressed to EVER ship a box within a couple of years of a console that competes with the newest consoles without becoming a hardware developer.

      =tkk

    2. Re:Possible explanation for stealth mode by xenocide2 · · Score: 1

      Yea, except you gotta actually have games for it to sell, and those come from developers, not just the manufacturing plant.

      --
      I Browse at +4 Flamebait

      Open Source Sysadmin

    3. Re:Possible explanation for stealth mode by John+Harrison · · Score: 3, Insightful
      I'm trying to distinguish between your use of the terms "couple of years" and "several years". I have to admit that I'm having a hard time of it.

      Anyhow, I disagree with your assertion that consoles always outstrip the current offerings of computers. In the past that might have been true some of the time. It certainly wasn't true in 1983 when the C64 was the best game machine out there. I don't think that it is true right now either. Perhaps in the SNES/N64 era there was some truth to that.

      MS has a huge advantage in that their upgrade path will always be clear. It will be inexpensive from an R&D standpoint. Backwards compatibility will be a no-brainer. It is a platform that developers are already familiar with. The big disadvantage is that over time your commodity parts become less common rather than more. An example of this is the HD in the XBox, which is now bigger than the original, but still is formatted to the same size.

      The Sony advantage is momentum. Right now they have the games, developers, and love of the public. The industry has certainly seen how that can change from one generation of hw to the next.

    4. Re:Possible explanation for stealth mode by John+Harrison · · Score: 1

      That is why I think this is a sham. The developers would need to have their hands on the hardware about two years in advance. My point was that to say, "It can't be true because Sony hasn't hyped it," is silly. There are reasons why Sony might not want to hype it. Your reason is not silly and I agree with it.

    5. Re:Possible explanation for stealth mode by thehunger · · Score: 1

      An easy and LIKELY explanation is that this is a rumor planted by Microsoft to hurt PS2 sales.

      As soon as people suspect the PS2 to be dying, they'll look elsewhere. Maybe wait for PS3, maybe look at the competition. Regardless, they'll avoid the PS2 because that is soon going to be yesterday's technology.

    6. Re:Possible explanation for stealth mode by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      it may not be as farfetched as it sounds for sony to be releasing a new system 03/04. a few recent articles floating about pointed at sony slashing the price 100-150$ (canadian) within the next few monthes. such moves drive the last of the herd into the old machine and BAM, new machine to pay full price for.

    7. Re:Possible explanation for stealth mode by blincoln · · Score: 1

      Anyhow, I disagree with your assertion that consoles always outstrip the current offerings of computers.

      Except for screen resolution, IMO the original poster is totally correct. PC game makers have to assume that most of their customers are not going to be using high-end hardware.

      I play both types of games, and I see all kinds of visual effects in games like Steel Battalion that aren't on the PC.

      The cost factor is also important - a PS2 is $200. Are you going to be able to play something with the same visual quality as Devil May Cry on a $200 PC? No.

      --
      "...always new atoms but always doing the same dance, remembering what the dance was yesterday." -Richard Feynman
    8. Re:Possible explanation for stealth mode by HiredMan · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Anyhow, I disagree with your assertion that consoles always outstrip the current offerings of computers. In the past that might have been true some of the time. It certainly wasn't true in 1983 when the C64 was the best game machine out there.

      Um... 1983? Okay - my assertion might not have been valid 20 years ago. But consoles weren't in competition with computers 20 years ago because personal computers were exotic and rare. (I was playing on an Apple][!)

      What I'm saying is the consoles survive by applying specialized hardware towards a certain goal (playing games) and do it at a lower price. Microsoft could not have competed with Sony at the PS2s roll-out because packaging 2 year-old computer hardware into a box and selling it at a loss would NOT have created a box that would have competed in performance with the Playstation. M$ was only able to compete because they entered the market well after the rising tide of general computing power floated general computing power into the range of specialized hardware.

      If Sony makes their stated target goal of 1 trillion FPU operations with the PS3 processor it will outstrip ANYTHING that M$ can field for another few years after the PS3 rollout (if they depending on general computing hardware) let alone field at the several hundred dollar price. M$ can continue they schedule of letting general computer power rise to the level of specialized hardware and then repackage it for the masses, but it's not working out very well for them now and it probably won't into the future.
      How many XBoxes are they going to sell when the PS3 is about to ship?

      =tkk

    9. Re:Possible explanation for stealth mode by PierceLabs · · Score: 1

      That's not entirely true. Certain developers get their hands on PS3 early, but the vast majority get it in a mere 12 months before the launch, or at least that's the way it was with PS2.

    10. Re:Possible explanation for stealth mode by Kinryuu · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The problem for M$ is that consoles always outstrip the current offerings by computers - that's how they survive.

      No. As a general rule, consoles NEVER outstrip the PC market. Are you trying to tell me that in November 2001, P3 733 w/ 64Mb was top of the line? Bzzzzzzzz... Or maybe you think that the PS2's ~300 MHz RISC was top of the line when it was released? Wrong. Next contestant please.

    11. Re:Possible explanation for stealth mode by chaddarland · · Score: 2, Insightful

      3. The "surprise" of a new console this quickly will be hype enough. Think about it. How blown away would people be if this were true? It will generate its own hype. Especially if the tech is good.

      Actually, Sega tried this with their saturn, in order to beat the Playstation to market, and that backfired badly, with not nearly enough release titles to compete.

      Sega's poor advertising strategy didn't help, either.

      --
      God is dead -- Nietsche

      Nietsche is dead! - God

    12. Re:Possible explanation for stealth mode by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To repeat their (limited) success they would need to package a dual Opteron system with the newest NVidia system into a box for US$300.

      Well, chances are the new "PS3" won't sell for US$300 whenever it's coming out.

    13. Re:Possible explanation for stealth mode by upt1me · · Score: 1

      Yeah Microhard will be making the hardware for the next generation Xbox, Microsoft will handle the software side. Hence the names.

    14. Re:Possible explanation for stealth mode by John+Harrison · · Score: 1

      You are right, there need to be plenty of good titles at release. Developers need the machines ahead of time.

  52. Sony's scheme ?? by Programmer_In_Traini · · Score: 0, Troll

    I'm just speculating here but for all we know, this could be a plan from Sony just to freak out the XBox team.

    IMO, Nintendo is not really in the console war even though their GC is somewhat respectable.

    M$ is already loosing money just to keep up with the PS2, so I'm guessing that if any of this should have some truth in it that's its a plan from Sony to put some pressure on M$ and have them do a mistake...like dropping their game's price for instance.

    I don't own a XBox so I don't know much about their XBox live network but it could also be a msg to MS that Sony is coming pretty fast on their tail to win the online console war as well.

    but again....just speculating here, the article doesn't get too specific and that means maybe I've been speculating on a st00pid rumor :p

    --
    If you look like your passport photo, you're too ill to travel. - Will Kommen
  53. Not without a Killer Game by Badgerman · · Score: 1

    Even if the PS3 is ready to go and backwards compatable to PS1, what's the point? There's nothing to use the new technology.

    I have no doubt Sony wants the technology as a ready as soon as possible, but they're not going to release unless there's a Killer Game or three out there and available and even more in the pipes. Otherwise what's the point?

    --
    "The Sage treasures Unity and measures all things by it" - Lao Tzu
  54. Development time is what matters by Junks+Jerzey · · Score: 1

    If developers haven't heard of the PS3 yet, and the average game development time these days is two years, then this rumor is unlikely to be true. Sony could pull a Nintendo and release a handful of internally developed games at launch, followed by a long drought, but that's about it.

  55. Re:Not only is it vapor, it WILL NOT BE CALLED PS by brandorf · · Score: 1

    They can just use the the name "PS3" besides, they'd have to pay that royalty anyway if they plan on any backwards compatibility.

    --


    Bork Bork Bork!!
  56. SEGA! by Acidic_Diarrhea · · Score: 2, Interesting
    the 3D0 wasn't a bad system, certainly not "the worst." And Sega's problems post-Genesis have always been with marketing and getting game developers to develop on their systems. They really burned a lot of people with the Sega CD followed by the 32X followed by the rush job they called the Saturn.

    I think if Company X, Company Y, and Company Z have taught us anything it is that you can't define a market strategy that will always work in a sentence. Yes, sometimes lesser products to gain footholds because of lead time and sometimes they don't. In business, it's not always quality that is king. There are quite a few more issues and trying to simplify those, as you did or as the parent did, are just going to fail.

    --
    I hate liberals. If you are a liberal, do not reply.
  57. Cell? by t0ny · · Score: 1

    I hope Goku doesnt hit "Cell" with a "DragonBall"

    --

    Manipulate the moderator system! Mod someone as "overrated" today.

  58. 2005 by emh0 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    There was an article on the IBM intranet a few months ago (the PS3 chip is being developed jointly by Sony, IBM and Toshiba), which says "Japan's Sony Corp plans to outpace its main rivals into the next generation of game machines by launching a successor to the PlayStation 2 (PS2) in 2005, earlier than expected".

    Somehow, 2005 seems far more likely to me - releasing the PS3 is pointless until the PS2 is actually threatened.

    1. Re:2005 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's what happened to Nintendo and the SNES -> N64 fiasco. The Big N has such a lead there was no hurry to release anything new that might splinter their marketshare.

      Then....here comes Sony and Namco (the only reason the PSX sold any units at all) and Nintendo is sitting in second place.

      Though I would love to see Sony crash and burn, taking their "quality" consoles with them.

  59. Sony = The new Atari by vasqzr · · Score: 0, Flamebait


    Atari's demise in the 80's will be Sony's fate.

    Look at it - Sure, EVERYONE owns one. Just like it was in the early 80's

    The market is flooded with CRAP games. Sure, there's a few good ones, but 90% of them SUCK.

    The economy sucks

    Sound familiar?

    You're going down, Sony. At the risk of turning this topic in to (-1, Flamebait), I'd like to say I never was impressed by the Playstation. The original PSX had some of the worst 3D graphics I'd seen, incredibly slow CDROM....

    I see the way of finishing Sony off:

    Microsoft BUYS Nintendo.

    The XBoxCube2 comes out, VERY small formfactor (look at how small the cube was, and look at how BIG the Xbox is. Maybe Apple can help them design it, or at least the controllers.

    The media will be a slot-loading DVD drive. EASILY copied, piracy helps sell consoles. Games will be broadband ready THE DAY the system comes out, no more of this "available late 2004" crap.

    1. Re:Sony = The new Atari by Acidic_Diarrhea · · Score: 1
      Piracy helps sell consoles but only selling games and getting those fat royalties will help Sony/Nintendo/Microsoft.

      For the record, Microsoft is not going to buy Nintendo. I guarantee it. If that ever does happen, e-mail me and I will apologize.

      --
      I hate liberals. If you are a liberal, do not reply.
    2. Re:Sony = The new Atari by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually since companies usually make their money off game sales, just give the next gen X-Box the ability to copy ps3 games. Give it a smoking fast architecture and develope a kit that allows computer games to be ported to X-Box.

    3. Re:Sony = The new Atari by Firehawke · · Score: 1

      Not going to happen. There's a huge difference in the market that you can thank Nintendo for.

      Atari didn't charge for licensing, nor did they require licensing. As a result, they had no control over what was being released. Nintendo changed this fundamental flaw in the whole plan with the NES.

      Like the Sony game selection or not, you can't deny the crap level is NOWHERE near what the 2600 had at the crash point, and I don't see anyone grumbling about the sheer "amount of bad games" at the local EBWorld, so...

      Sorry to break your dreams, but I really don't see it happening.

    4. Re:Sony = The new Atari by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I disagree.

      Nofriendo was involved in ONE market only...the console market.

      Sony, by contrast, has its hand in just about everything but the neighbor's daughter. They're a VERY diverse and VERY wealthy company, and I'd be surprised to see them go anywhere anytime soon. Like IBM, they just won't die.

    5. Re:Sony = The new Atari by Tsu-na-mi · · Score: 1

      The original PSX had some of the worst 3D graphics I'd seen, incredibly slow CDROM....

      I don't see how you can say that and expect to be taken seriously. Perhaps you only saw the PSX near the end of its life-cycle, and compared it to the PC 3D cards of the time. Well, when the PSX came out in 1995, it blew the holy hell out of anything on the PC for a few years to come. By modern standards (PS2, XBOX, PC), the PSX's graphics look dated, but go pop in Crash Bandicoot or Rage Racer (both circa 1997) and see how amazing they looked for the time. I don;t think there's been a PC racing game that looked better than Gran Turismo 2, let alone GT3 on PS2.

      The PSX was a hell of a piece of hardware, and is still not too shabby. It takes a PC with 10X the processor speed to even come close to the PSX graphics-wise (PSX had a 33MHz cpu).

      I won't argue that there are a lot of crap games. That's true of any system, and it's not exclusive to SONY. Playstation has more games period, so of course it's gonna have more crap. But it's gonna have more GOOD games, too.

      --
      I've built up so much character I have an alter-ego
    6. Re:Sony = The new Atari by vasqzr · · Score: 1


      In 1996 i was in AWE playing Quake (later 1996)and Duke Nukem 3D (Jan 29, 1996)was even better than most any game (graphics-wise) on the PSX

      1996 also saw the release of the 3DFX Voodoo chipset. That made 3D PC gaming what it is today.

      Gran Turismo on the PSX is horrible looking. Un-accelerated NASCAR racing on my old PackardBell Pentium 75 (back in 1996) looks better, plus, it ran at 640x480.

      You obviously haven't played many racing games on the PC. Some of them look flat out amazing.

  60. additional info by JohnLi · · Score: 1

    a quick google search led me to this page http://pc.watch.impress.co.jp/docs/2002/0327/kaiga i01.htm. It's in Japanese, but the fish works well enough.

    --
    The / in /. would be more accurate if it leaned to the left. http://www.metricnut.com
  61. no way by lmarvin · · Score: 1

    last week i saw an interview on a german games show called "nbc-giga-games". they had the german sony ceo/cio whatever is rank is on, and he said : "ps3 maybe in 2005/2006"... so 2003 sounds like a really wild and overhyped guess to me. but would be nice anyway

  62. April's fool by Rolfje · · Score: 1

    Think. What's next month? Do you think Sony will sell PS3 even if they had it? PS2 is still running strong.

  63. Production and Development by mobileskimo · · Score: 0

    The "sources" indicated parts manufacturing are performing trial production runs. This could mean anything. My uneducated guess says they are testing out the assembly line to see if the conveyor belt works. You get the picture.

    It also confirms that the chip is still in development. I don't need to tell any of you what that means.

    --
    "Last one in is a rotten goblin!" - Kepp
  64. Nahaa! The denial is a dupe! Clearly! by gspr · · Score: 1

    "Sony :P It is two-year advance-Taiwan economy paper (2) from an injection within S three years, and a plan."

    They're just kidding...

  65. Not bloody likely by Pingsmoth · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Come on, people. This is ridiculous. Sony has no reason to launch the PS3 this year, or even next year. The PS2 is still the king of all video game consoles, with sales several times that of the GameCube or Xbox. It's cheap, Sony is making money off of it (in contrast to the ~$100 Microsoft loses for each Xbox) and it's still the "coolest" console out there. If they released the PS3 this year, it would not only cut into their sales, but force a still-viable product (PS2) out of the market prematurely. Nintendo could have released the GameBoy Advance long before it did, but instead chose to make minor improvements on the original GameBoy because releasing a new system would have been disastrous. Which one would consumers buy...the old outdated one or the new expensive one? Neither. They'll go to a competitor whose product is still cool, i.e. Xbox or GameCube.

    --
    http://www.walkingtaco.com
  66. Re:Be first with the worst by UpnAtom · · Score: 1
    Not at all. Intel was the first to dominate a growing market. It's just that the market was relatively small at the time.
    Microsoft use the same tactic. They also have the monopolistic powers to play catchup without having to start risky new ventures.

    3DO, Dreamcast etc were all competing with an established market of earlier consoles.

  67. Re:Not only is it vapor, it WILL NOT BE CALLED PS by kwanbis · · Score: 2, Troll

    that was a hoax about Nintendo having the PlayStation name registered or something

  68. My guess on this. by RayChuang · · Score: 1

    In my personal opinion, Sony is still far from ready with a PlayStation 2 replacement.

    I think Sony will probably do the following:

    1. Reveal final specs for the chips on the next-generation machine some time this late this fall.

    2. Reveal the final machine configuration at the spring Tokyo Game Show in 2004.

    3. Ship the first machines for the Japanese market in early September 2004.

    3. US market machines will ship in mid-November 2004.

    --
    Raymond in Mountain View, CA
  69. Silly... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No offense to the fan boys, but in terms of overall capability, the XBox is more advanced than PS2, simply because it was designed a few years after the PS2.

    I know the fan boys will say "emotion engine" like that means something, but in a practical sense, all 3 machines are equivalent from a gamer's perspective.

  70. So they're getting PS3 soon, huh? by Uttles · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    maybe now sony will have graphics, speed, and feel of Gamecube and Xbox? nah, I doubt it.

    --

    ~ now you know
  71. HDTV or not, PS2 has all the games. by mandrake*rpgdx · · Score: 1

    and that's all that matters. GameCube is catching up (hopefully faster....i really lvoe that system...), but not enough yet. I mean if you want the new Silent Hill, what do you buy? The new Final Fantasy? The new Xeno-game? The new Breath of Fire? not an Xbox.

    Gamecube is catching up (with it's own FF release and Zelda, and RE), but it has a long way to go. PS2 has won the same reason why the PS won, and why the NES won.

  72. Yawn by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    XBOZ forver

  73. Broadband Playstation 2 by Martin+Spamer · · Score: 1

    There seems to be an assumption this is a next generation Playstation when it is seems likely that this is actually confusion over the Broadband enabled PS2 Sony have been planning on bringing to market this summer. They may call it a PS 3 but it is not the next generation Playstation everybody seems to be assuming.

  74. Don't think so by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    My friends work in Austin at IBM on the Cell. It aint true folks, they do not even have the prototypes running fully yet.

  75. Anyone remember the PS2? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sony started hyping it like a year before it was finished, trying to convince people not to buy other consoles. Their plan worked fantastically (look at the Dreamcast! Great console, great games, died horribly), and this no doubt is a refinement. Plant rumors, then deny them. They won't look as bad as last time, but they'll still shut out other consoles.

  76. MS Ploy? by BigChigger · · Score: 1

    Sounds like MS is starting rumours so that people will hold off on buying PS2s. Typical MS. Can't beat 'em, so sue, lie, buy, steal, cheat, etc.

    BC

    1. Re:MS Ploy? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      riiiight. I also found out that Microsoft started the war in Vietnam. Those bastards! Always one step ahead. Well, at least you and I know "the Truth". (X-files theme)

  77. PlayStation tempts gamers online by Martin+Spamer · · Score: 1

    PlayStation tempts gamers online

    The European trials of the online gaming service for the PlayStation 2 (PS2) will start at end of March, Sony has announced.

  78. Why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    $300 + $50 for a game for the latest console seems too high.

    I've been buying the last year's 'game of the year' for at least 5 years now and am completely happy with that.

    Then again, if i was 12 years old again, i would have to have the latest and greatest.

    1. Re:Why? by IrvineHosting · · Score: 1

      I just read about this on xbox.net

      I just paid $200+ for an Xbox. How can people afford to keep upgrading consoles every two years??

    2. Re:Why? by mortuusangelus · · Score: 1

      odd.. this is the arguement for consoles over PCs.. wtf is the point now, read a book instead.

      --
      Oh god... not again.
  79. timing is everything by anocelot · · Score: 1

    Damn it Beavis! Why didn't this rumor come out last month! Seriously, though... The PS2 goes for $250.00ish at Fry$ and I thought that sounded better than spending $500.00 to upgrade my desktop so I could play the latest games. Well, after the console, some games, memory chips and controlers I was up to around $500.00. The only thing that kept my wife from strangeling me was the game ICO. She thinks all PS2 games will be that pretty. If the PS3 is gonna be that great and that quick - I hope they wait 20 years before releasing the ps4!

    --
    This tagline brought to you by 1500 monkeys in just under 17 years.
  80. Hoax. by Anonvmous+Coward · · Score: 1

    Here are some reasons Sony wouldn't launch the PS3 this year.

    1.) No advertising campaign to push them.

    2.) PS2 is still going strong.

    3.) They need a bunch of games to start with. Saturn's early launch didn't do much to get it in the market.

    4.) Sony hasn't had time to shop it around at trade shows etc to get feedback and market it.

    5.) Until Sony and MS tip their hands, Sony's unlikely to even launch the machine because the sooner they do it, the more powerful the next-gen systems will be.

    Of course that's all just speculation, but I feel very strongly that this is not the year of PS3.

  81. The PS2 is fun and all, but the hardware sucks by cardshark2001 · · Score: 1
    I don't see myself buying a PS3, much as I love my PS2, for the simple reason that the hardware has already begun to fail. The DVD ejection tray doesn't work half the time, and the thing often fails to load games. I attribute both of these failures to Sony's inability to make a decent electric motor (or buy a decent one, or whatever). The electronic parts are great, the moving parts suck.

    I would think it was just an anomoly, except that I have a couple of friends who have the exact same problems. For $200-$300, we expect the hardware to last more than a year and a half. Unless they change their act, I won't be buying a PS3 no matter when the damn thing comes out. Please don't accuse me of misusing it, I use it correctly. I turn it off when not in use, and I haven't ever had the thing on for more than 5 or 6 hours. It's just some kind of design flaw, and really I think all zillion units should be recalled.

    --
    WWJD? JWRTFA!
  82. FUD? by Bram+Stolk · · Score: 1

    Maybe it is m$ FUD to slow down the PS2 sales?
    I wouldn't buy a PS2 if I knew PS3 is coming soon.

    --
    Bram Stolk http://stolk.org/tlctc/
  83. Re:Not only is it vapor, it WILL NOT BE CALLED PS by hawkbug · · Score: 1

    You are correct - it was a hoax. The next console is still going to be called the PS3, unless Sony has some *other* reason to call it something else. It has nothing to do with Nintendo, etc.

  84. Backwards compatability by Steveftoth · · Score: 1

    I think that you are correct in saying that backwards compatability is a wildcard. However I think that it will be crucial to the fate of the PS3.

    Why? The reason that the Genesis was able to overtake the Nintendo juggernaut was the SNESes lack of backwards compatability. Later, the SNES won but it took a long time. Without backwards compatibility, every new generation of consoles is exactly the same.

    Right now the GameBoy is number one in portable handhelds, it also has backwards compatability. It can play the original Tetris that came out with the original gameboy over ten years ago. I don't think that this is just a fluke. Having good games helped the Game Boy, but the genius is the backwards compatability.

    1. Re:Backwards compatability by M3wThr33 · · Score: 1

      See, that proves MY point. The genesis DID have backwards compatibility WITH an adapter, yet people today had NO CLUE there was even a console BEFORE the Genesis(*cough*Master System*cough*) which goes to prove that it's really just compelling games that makes it popular, and the SNES just didn't provide it at the beginning. Toward the end it got MUCH better, but it still was junk at the start.

    2. Re:Backwards compatability by Steveftoth · · Score: 1

      I have the master system converter still, it's how I play Zillion. ;)

      But the genesis was not popular because of the converter, it was popular because it came out before the SNES and it had good games. Backwards compatibility was just a fluke because nobody had a Master System.

      I'm saying that if the SNES had backwards compatibility, then the Genesis would never have had gotten a foothold. Why would you want to buy all new games when you can slowly upgrade them?

      The SNES had some great games out at first, Mario, Actraiser, F-Zero were some of the first.

    3. Re:Backwards compatability by M3wThr33 · · Score: 1

      Well, Super Mario World was great, but not Nintendo's brightest moment. Me, and many others, still prefer SMB3, which is making the wait for it on the GBA even more painful.

    4. Re:Backwards compatability by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm sorry but the fact that your online alias is the name of a pokemon spelled in l33t-speak give you very little credibility here.

  85. graphics schmaphics! by mekkab · · Score: 1

    Folks who are real graphics nuts are talking about how much the PS2 lags behind the competitors in terms of how "pretty" the games are.


    This was certainly true in the PlayStation vs. Nintendo 64 days. I had an N64, my friends had the PS. And the PS graphics blew!

    But they had more games, they had fun games, and that is what truly matters. Yes, a percentage of the consumer population will always hold out for the lastest and greatest, but that is a small percentage (I believe under 10, but I concede this is based upon 0 research, so take with a grain of salt)- the rest just want to play games, man!

    Now, couple that with the fact: PS2 is still pretty good looking and some of the PS1 games look good on it (I still play tekken 3 and I don't complain about the graphics), it is not so much of a factor for the non-fanatics!

    --
    In the future, I would want to not be isolated from my friends in the Space Station.
  86. cell is ready ? Probably... by charmer · · Score: 1

    I am ready to believe that Cell, the processor of PS3, is ready. It was to be developed by IBM, Sony, and Toshiba. The design specs of the cell were unbelievably similar to the IBM chip specs for blue gene, a petaflop machine which IBM had said would be ready in 2004. Although the blue gene project, in its original form, has been dumped (and replaced by something called blue gene / light, or BG/L), I suppose the processors should have been ready by now. In fact, Lawrence Livermore National Lab is rumoured to have placed an order for a massive BG/L machine. So, IMHO, the Cell should be ready. But definitely the games, or even the SDK are not ready.

    charmer

  87. Re: Update: Sony has begun denying it... by s88 · · Score: 1

    Hmm... Sony certainly has an interesting strategy for denying this!

    Scott

  88. Nice Ripoff by oGMo · · Score: 3, Informative
    <plagarized text snipped>

    Nice ripoff there. Next time try not claiming you wrote something many people here have read, and give proper credit where it's due.

    The full content of the article, however, is right on track, and coming from a much more authoritative source. I encourage everyone to click and read the real article; you may want to read the rest of the site when you're done, too, if you haven't. Quite funny.

    --

    Don't think of it as a flame---it's more like an argument that does 3d6 fire damage

  89. Atari 7800 played 2600 carts... by wikthemighty · · Score: 1

    Don't forget that the Atari 7800 was backwards compatible with the Atari 2600.

    --
    "There are people who do not love their fellow human being, and I _hate_ people like that!" - Tom Lehrer
  90. EverCrack for PS2 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I declare the Xbox dead... With a title like that on your console list, you can not fail.

  91. Surely they mean PrayStation 3! by Mustang+Matt · · Score: 1

    Praystation 3

    It runs on love!

    --
    The man who trades freedom for security does not deserve nor will he ever receive either. - Benjamin Franklin
  92. God's in his heaven.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ..And all's right with the console world.

    Nintendo is now a non-player. They're the equivalent of a pre-fall Sega. They've got their loyal fanbase who buy their systems for Zelda and Mario, and that's it. The new Zelda looks like crap (I'm sorry - even my most hardcore Nintendo-worshipping friends agree!).. They deny the value of networked gaming. They're going to go the route of Sega in the future unless things change.

    X-Box is now what Nintendo was after the Playstation 1. A cute little system that you can't really fault people for buying, because it does have some good games. However, the X-Box has its problems. Halo is entertaining, but not a killer game. Hell, I can't think of a single killer game it has. Plus, required broadband for network play. Broadband saturation is still 'teh sUx'.

    The PS2 still reigns supreme. It has the most games, the largest used game market (which is fast becoming a key market - most people who buy used games also buy new games), and has the hell advertised out of it. It doesn't require broadband for network play. It's got the Squaresoft crowd. It's got the GTA crowd.

    The next generation of consoles may change things, but I don't see that happening. Nintendo needs a major thought shift to rise back to the top; they're nothing but a lumbering dinosaur now. Microsoft has far too much FUD spread about it, and no must-have games that legions of drooling fans will buy an X-Box for. They'd need to spend quite a bit of their 50 billion to bring certain developers onboard.

    Of course, all bets are off if Sony truly screws up the PS3. I don't see that happening, though.

  93. Confused by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Maybe they meant Splinter Cell is ready.

  94. "a SCE rice corporation"?? by DeeKay · · Score: 1

    "At present, Cell is "being still in a development stage" (the public-relations person in charge of a S C E rice corporation, Mr. MORI Smith)."

    A translator-program did this?? Ah come on, you've got to be joking!

  95. OK... by Featureless · · Score: 1

    I just finished dealing with another reply below... pardon me if you're not saying the same thing, but it sounds like you are... See my response to this other poster.

    1. Re:OK... by Kintanon · · Score: 1

      We are agreeing.
      The deal is, the actual cost of production for each PS2 is lower than the cost it is being sold at. But at first that profit is eatten up by the initial outlay to build the facilities, except for one fact, the profit from the PREVIOUS consoles later years is used to establish a large portion of the production facilities for the next console. So Sony doesn't even lay out all that much money for the production facilities. So it usually only takes sony about 6 months of sales to be making nothing but profit from their consoles. No more recouping R&D or production costs, nothing but the cost to build the console and distribute it. Which is well under the cost charged to consumers.

      Kintanon

      --
      Check out JoshJitsu.info for Brazilian Ji
    2. Re:OK... by Featureless · · Score: 1

      Hmm. You say,

      So Sony doesn't even lay out all that much money for the production facilities.

      Their initial investment, including facilities, was ~2 billion by one source... And you go on:

      the profit from the PREVIOUS consoles later years is used to establish a large portion of the production facilities for the next console.

      Yes. Of course, making a fair comparison, whether the money to prepare for a product comes from an OS monopoly, a pokemon franchise, or a previous console system, you still have to consider it an initial investment whose costs must be recouped, and you have to look at net profits for any of it to make sense.

      Whether Sony did so well they paid back their few billion in 6 months, I suppose it's possible... By the way, do you have any citations for actual numbers?

    3. Re:OK... by Kintanon · · Score: 1

      I have a paper copy of Sony's financial report from last year around somewhere, I'll see if I can dig it up. The amounts listed as outlay for the production of the PS2 were slightly more than the profits from the PS1 from the 2 years before that I believe.
      So yes, Sony is putting out the money to build the facilities, but it's not borrowing money, it's not money that has to be paid back, or a loss to be recouped. It's the use of the money earned by the last console to fund expansion, ie the next console.

      Kintanon

      Kintanon

      --
      Check out JoshJitsu.info for Brazilian Ji
    4. Re:OK... by Featureless · · Score: 1

      Well, to be clear, when you say "loss" or "recouped" - it really just means that: this was their investment. Did they make it back (recoup it)? Etc. It doesn't matter if it was borrowed, for the sake of the comparison.

  96. Sony by kruczkowski · · Score: 1

    There is a good article about Sony in last weeks ECONOMIST. They mention that Sony is looking into dropping MS Windows and going for Linux (I'm sure that won't happen today, but there must be some R&D money put into that)

    They also went on saying that the PlayStation div of Sony stays far away from the rest of Sony.

    Another intresting point in the article was that sony produncts must incororate DRM becouse they own alot of music rights, unlike Apple, who does not have to worry about anyone stealing it's music.

    --
    hmm... for fun I enjoy launching DDoS attacks against 127.87.42.5
  97. Uh, no by jbellis · · Score: 1

    Xbox came out a year _after_ the ps2.

    1. Re:Uh, no by EvilBudMan · · Score: 1

      But not the PS3. It ain't out yet.

  98. PS3 NOT out this year by Daetrin · · Score: 1

    The "Cell" chip is not ready yet, it still needs to find and absorb Androids 17 and 18.

    --
    This Space Intentionally Left Blank
  99. Changing Market Conditions by Razzak · · Score: 1

    While I don't believe this article either, I don't think we can expect the two-year anticipation of PS3 that we did with PS2. The DC absolutely toasted the PS2 to market, and was vastly superior to the PS. PS2 is still a year and a half away, so what does Sony do? "Oh, here's the PS2. It plays DVD's. It's coming. It'll play your old PS games. Don't buy a DC for $100 wait and buy our PS2 in two years at $300."

    Smart move. Sega's marketing always blew, and is (imo) the real reason Sony won out.

    And no, I'm not talking about just marketing to consumers, but also marketing to developers, retail stores, etc.

  100. Re:wtf? by detect · · Score: 1

    Before I continue, are you retarded?

    --
    // The fastest Alt-Tab in the West
  101. what is really happening here... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    OK, obviously nobody here is buying the story. We've managed to analyze all the details concerning the market, technology etc... So it is safe to assume that the PS3 will not be out for a long time (at least 1 year).
    But look at what is happening here, this article (however false it may be) has generated a huge amount of hype. I think that it's reasonable to believe that SONY has intentionally started this article to start the hype. Many people have even said how they fell prey to the "hype machine" for the PS2. It's starting right now for the PS3! I am not joking. You are already making serious decisions on you next purchases, even regretting the purchase you made yesterday, when the console won't even be available to developers for more than a year! Don't let it get to you, it's all a marketing stunt, albeit a very smart one.

  102. Sony has succeeded!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hey, it's "Game Developer's Conference" time. Isn't it one of the better times to announce or "leak" some vapor, get people excited and generate some hype?

    Judging from what I've read on the Net lately, Sony have succeeded in doing just that.

  103. Frickin Memory Sticks by RMH101 · · Score: 1

    Why didn't Sony fit the PS2 with memory sticks instead of memory cards? They were around at the time, they're still proprietary enough for Sony to have control over and they'd have turned your PS2 into an MP3 player in the lounge for millions of people.
    I don't like proprietary formats, but if they're going to have their own model instead of CF or SM then why not standardise?
    And don't get me started about this new "Duo" format they put in cellphones...

    1. Re:Frickin Memory Sticks by Winterblink · · Score: 1

      Backwards compatability, one of the main selling points on the PS2 when it came out. It lets you use the same design of slot used with the PS1 cards without needing to build in a second slot type for a second card type. I can't see how it would increase the cost per unit of the hardware dramatically to add a second slot type anyway, but that's the above is what I think their reasoning was.

      --
      "I'm a leaf on the wind. Watch how I soar."
      -Hoban Washburn
  104. Re:wtf? by FatherOfONe · · Score: 1

    I just read one of your other post.

    "As an independant artists I would like to know how/if we could contribute music to these kiosks.
    If so it would be a great distribution medium for us indy artists"

    Indpendant artists in indy...

    Your asking me if I AM RETARDED!?

    Thanks for the laugh.

    --
    The more I learn about science, the more my faith in God increases.
  105. Towards the end? by Inoshiro · · Score: 1

    "Finally, towards the end of every console cycle, consoles get so cheap that you can afford to buy more than one of them."

    I had a GameCube when they were still 300$ CDN, and I grabbed an Xbox when they dropped to $300 CDN. I didn't grab a PS2 until I bought a preowned one with trades, though, simply because I didn't think it was worth even 250$ CDN.

    So in the space of one year, I spent about 800$ CDN on all 3 popular and current consoles. That's the same as upgrading my current PC to something more Doom3 friendly (a little less, since I'd need a very expensive processor and 9700 Pro). Why wait until they're dirt cheap, when you can get everything hooked up to your TV for less than keeping current on one system that's only good for RTS/FPS?

    --
    --
    Internet Explorer (n): Another bug -- that is, a feature that can't be turned off -- in Windows.
  106. Stop smoking so much pot. by Inoshiro · · Score: 1

    The stores didn't make $200 when a PS2 was released. Sony got all the money, the same as they do right now. If you actually cut open a current S hardware revision PS2 and compared it an R and first-gen, you'd notice the boards are simplified, and many of the chips in the first one have been combined using VLSI-like technology.

    The PS2 costs less to make now, and Sony (MS, and Nintendo) pass that along to consumers. Stores make their money on the games, like everyone else. To think that a store makes money on a console is to live in your own unique word of fairies and prince frogs, who live in a lollypop house on gumdrop lane.

    --
    --
    Internet Explorer (n): Another bug -- that is, a feature that can't be turned off -- in Windows.
  107. Backward compatability by Penguinoflight · · Score: 1

    I really don't think Microsoft will have a easy time with backward compatability from Xbox1 to Xbox2, if they make a xbox2.

    Just judging by the pc history, there's a lot of apps, and games that don't run on current hardware, that have on older hardware, and of course M$ will be putting a bunch of DRM crap in any new xbox, meaning they will have to switch from the win2k api's to something like xp.

    And remember, backward compatability is always harder when you are changing graphics chips also. Plus, Xbox has a real wacky configuration... A Nvidia nForce board, only with a PIII? why didn't they use a athlon, or why didn't they make the nForce for the pIII? Microsoft certainly didn't put out a machine comparable with current hardware when they made the xbox, and I dont think it will be any different in the future.

    --
    "And we have seen and do testify that the Father sent the Son to be the Savior of the World"
    1 John 4:14
  108. no graphical improvements? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I have an Xbox, which i do not regret buying, although i will admit that good new xbox games have been sparse for a few months.. and yes, i will purchase a ps3 if it is backwards compatible/really worth it, but i keep seeing people say that they see very little graphical improvements from ps2 to xbox/gc.

    are you kidding???

    the ps2 couldnt show the CREDITS for halo, steel batallion, any of the resident evil games, metroid prime...
    take a look at blood omen 2 on xbox, and then on ps2... i played it, and it really COULDNT show the credits for the game... are thats with MAJOR poly reduction, texture reductions, no FSAA, no bumpmapping, no anisotropic filtering... ps2 people who bought the game were demanding refunds/throwing out their copy, while people playing it on there xboxen enjoyed the game thoroughly.

    now, i do like some of ps2s games, and if i had the money, i would buy it also... but i dont, and oh god, those controllers hurt my hands...
    say what you want about xbox's big controllers, but at least theyre comfortable, and ergonomical..

    Mr.Big

  109. Re:wtf? by detect · · Score: 1

    LOL.

    "Your asking me if I AM RETARDED!?"

    Let's have a look at some of your intelligent quotes:

    "That is a HUGE everyone else!" (a paragraph on it's own no less)

    "Understand that Microsoft generally sets extreemly low expectations"

    "The Xbox is just a Inter/Windows PC"

    "Software development companies that "port" their games to the Xbox from the PC because it is "easy" find out that 95+% of their sales comes from the PC market." (oh, yes, "port" right.. we wouldn't want to "port" anything because it is "easy". Excellent use of quotation marks.)

    "The customers that have an Xbox seem to also have a great PC, and the games play much better on their PC. There are a few exceptions, specifically sports games."

    "Nvidea"

    "Another mistake is betting heavy on online games with the Xbox." (Um, have you seen the PS3s chip design?)

    "I will agree that Halo was/is a good game. Now put that game at 1280X1024 on a new(er) ATI or Nvidea card, or better yet look at it at 1600X1200 resolution. Now do the comparison to a TV and Xbox." (now do that comparison with any PS2 game)

    "I have heard that the avearage Xbox owner owns less than 5 games. Now granted that is because it hasn't been out as long as the PS2, but if your statistic was correct then the average owner of an Xbox would have around 20+ games now. That seems a bit high." (Oh, you "have heard" have you. Nice.)

    "Now let me add that if you decide to play online people with PC's will have a big advantage over the Xbox, because they will be able to "see" further." (Thanks for that tip, I dont need my glasses anymore)

    "My main point still stands. The Xbox and the PC are going after the same market. ~14-35 year old males."

    Yeah, which happens to be the same market as the Playstation. Did you really even need to make one post on that enlightening insight?

    --
    // The fastest Alt-Tab in the West
  110. Re:wtf? by FatherOfONe · · Score: 1

    Well at least you commented on something instead of posting some stupid comment like before.

    I will sum up your issues with my post as best I can.

    1. Bad english, and spelling. Yep you got me on that one. I wish I could run my post through a spell checker.

    2. You believe that Sony is also going heavy on online games because of the specs of the PS3. Could be; I don't know. Other than the Cell processor design overview I haven't seen much on it. I am willing to bet that Sony won't force software development shops to use ONLY their online service though...

    3. You seem to doubt my ESTIMATE on the average number of games that a Xbox owner has. My ESTIMATE comes from the fact that Microsoft has reported that they need to make that average to break even on the hardware. That was at the $200.00 price. Now it has been reported that they are still loosing money, some would say bleeding money on the Xbox. If it was around the 20-26 games that the previous poster said, they would be in the black big time.

    4. Sony and Microsoft target the same market. I agree somewhat, but sony didn't give up on the family market, nor did they ever say anything like... Your younger kids will probably be downstairs playing a GameCube or something, and the older children will be upstairs playing on their Xbox... That was foolish. That was a director of sales at Microsoft on Tech TV.

    My main point is that the Xbox and the PC are very similar platforms and compete against each other. The people that would own an Xbox and NOT own a high end gaming pc are rare.

    --
    The more I learn about science, the more my faith in God increases.
  111. Techno-advancement by Pichud · · Score: 1

    OK, we got all this crud about games getting smarter and smarter. Pretty soon, why don't we just put some smart chinese guy in a console and make him do all the thinking? We are gonna kill ourselves for one of these games. Personally, what I see coming is portable X-boxes. They could call them X-trons! then we could have Nintendo competing with Backpack-cubed where it holo projects the screen portAbly wherever you go! Then we could have some idiot refry (re-program) a gameboy and put in compicated software! We could have the portable fad! Wouldnt THAT be fun?

    -Pay no attention to the man in the Snes. (Nintendo forever!)

  112. Last Post! by alpg · · Score: 0

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