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The Robots are Coming

An anonymous reader writes "LinuxDevices.com's new 'Linux-powered Robots Quick Reference Guide' offers an interesting glimpse into of some Linux-powered robots currently available or near production, and provides an extensive reading list with further information on Linux in robotics. According to a fascinating article at TechNewsWorld, Linux is poised to play a centrol role in an emerging industry that many expect to overtake the PC industry in size: robotics. Japan is currently driving robot innovation, according to the article, impelled by a looming labor shortage. Consumer robots like the Sony Aibo and Honda Asimo make headlines, but ubiquitous, cheap, and practical utility robots are what most Japanese robot makers are focused on, and 'carmaker Honda believes that robots will become its most important business,' according to the TechNewsWorld article. Watch out -- the Linux-powered robots are on the march!"

239 comments

  1. We prefer... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    ..the term "Electronic-American", you insensitive carbon-based clods!

    1. Re:We prefer... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, doesn't that count as violating the laws of robotics?

      The whole clod thing really hurt... *sniff*

    2. Re:We prefer... by I+don't+want+to+spen · · Score: 2, Funny

      Is that you, Gentoo D2?

      --
      Don't go to a brothel if you want to buy broth
    3. Re:We prefer... by uncoveror · · Score: 1

      Yes, sci-fi geeks are already demanding human rights for robots. I wonder if the RIAA will respect their rights once they are making all popular music?

      --
      The Uncoveror: It's the real news.
  2. Linux-powered robots? by paul248 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Finally, a solution to our needless dependence on batteries!

    1. Re:Linux-powered robots? by macdaddy357 · · Score: 1

      Linux powered robots would certainly be better than Windows powered robots. Who would want a robot that doesn't work?

      --
      How ya like dat?
    2. Re:Linux-powered robots? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Your wit is extraordinary! Have you considered becoming a sitcom writer?

  3. yeesh... by wrinkledshirt · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Japan is currently driving robot innovation, according to the article, impelled by a looming labor shortage.

    Ugh. I get as excited about robots and Linux as much as anybody, but the semi-marxist in me gets a little freaked out by things like this.

    How long before innovation that can take the role of a worker in a labor-shortage environment ends up being used to replace real people in a labor-glutted environment?

    --

    --------
    Bleah! Heh heh heh... BLEAH BLEAH!!! Ha ha ha ha...

    1. Re:yeesh... by OtakuHawk · · Score: 3, Insightful

      but you have to remember, there will always be people needed to FIX the robots when they break down. and OTHER robots capable of doing this job won't be around for a long time.

    2. Re:yeesh... by civilengineer · · Score: 2, Funny
      For every job replaced by a robot, there will be many more created, and the overall productivity of the robot+humans teams will be higher than the only human teams.

      Therefore

      don't worry

      --

      New year Resolution: Don't change sig this year
    3. Re:yeesh... by JanneM · · Score: 4, Insightful

      A good question.

      But, don't forget that the "robotics revolution" is really a pretty long-term thing, and long-term, demographics show that population - especially the work-age population - is or will be trending downwards in more and more countries. For most industrialized countries, "labour glut" is simply not happening thirty to fifty years down the line.

      What is happening (and has really been happening for a long time already) is that automation tends to remove the jobs that are the most brainless, dangerous or repetitive, at the same time creating new (but fewer) jobs "higher up" in the organization - as somebody already said, you need people to design, deploy and manage the automation systems. It does mean that education and training is becoming steadily more important, however. We are already long gone fron the days when someone could attend just grammar school, then start a job and learn in place. Twenty or thirty years down the line, having a high school diploma only will likely be similarily useless.

      --
      Trust the Computer. The Computer is your friend.
    4. Re:yeesh... by JJahn · · Score: 4, Informative
      Well...right now is when robots will replace people. For example, I work as a web developer at an investment casting company. We extensively use robotics throughout our process, and I would say we are probably the most automated investment caster in the world.

      Where the robots excel are at the jobs that finding reliable people for is almost impossible. Its hard to find people who will take factory positions and do a good job at it. Keep in mind though, that the more robots there are, the more high-paying programming, troubleshooting, etc. jobs that are made to support them.

      Oh, and its really cool to watch robots dip molds or pour molten steel ;)

    5. Re:yeesh... by Dylancable · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Total replacement will never happen. Companies make money by mass producing products to the public, If the public has no work they have no money to buy these products that keep these people rich.

    6. Re:yeesh... by netsharc · · Score: 1

      Most importantly, they're going to have labor shortage?!?!? Hell I'm sure a lot of folks in USA and Europe (Western as well) wouldn't mind having jobs. Maybe the Japanese can outsource their jobs.

      --
      What time is it/will be over there? Check with my iPhone app!
    7. Re:yeesh... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In a labor glut automation will not appeal because of the cheap human labor... that is unless no human is willing to do the job. In that case the robots should be welcome.

    8. Re:yeesh... by Imperator · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Oh, but I'd love to live in a world where robots did all the work. Where I showed up to work one day a week to code the robots a bit, and spent the rest of my time in leisure pursuits. The only problem is that won't happen. We constantly want more. If we were happy with our current standard of living we could steadily reduce the workweek for decades to come. But instead Americans are working ever longer and harder.

      No, right now we have solved the problem of scarcity at a level Marx never dreamed of. If we wanted to, we could eliminate (not just reduce) poverty, homelessness, and hunger in America. It would take a massive shift in values, but it would not be technically or economically difficult. If we aren't doing these things now, why should we think that robotics (or any other technological improvements) will change that? No, we'll just keep working our asses off so we can get shiny new cell phones every six months.

      But all that will probably be denounced as socialism by some knee-jerk American. As far as I'm concerned, the advanced societies of this century are the ones being built in Western Europe. They are not perfect, but they are trying new things and consciously trying to leverage the economic and political successes of the last 55 years into better societies. America is falling behind, and that worries me.

      --

      Gates' Law: Every 18 months, the speed of software halves.
    9. Re:yeesh... by RealProgrammer · · Score: 2, Funny
      ...there will always be people needed to FIX the robots when they break down. and OTHER robots capable of doing this job won't be around for a long time.

      And when the robots can repair themselves, they'll still need us to supply the power ... oh, sorry, that was just a movie, right?

      --
      sigs, as if you care.
    10. Re:yeesh... by Agent+Snith · · Score: 1

      These aren't the droids you're looking for, please move along.

    11. Re:yeesh... by Animaether · · Score: 1
      Keep in mind though, that the more robots there are, the more high-paying programming, troubleshooting, etc. jobs that are made to support them


      Not that it's particularly important as the Earth is over-crowded anyway, but you do realize that if you replace 25 workers with 25 robots, that those 25 robots will likely require perhaps just 1 maintenance person, right ?

      Even including all the other tasks involved with these robots.. design, standards compliance checking, etc. those are all 1-man jobs that are then applied to the entire line of those robots.

      So it's not as simple as saying that the 25 jobs lost at the industrial workers' positions will just be redistributed to the top end.
    12. Re:yeesh... by Simonetta · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Japan's 'impending labor shortage' is nothing more than plain old-fashioned bushito bullshit. The world's population is exploding, which means that there is no labor shortage in real terms. When they say 'impending labor shortage' the Japanese mean not enough of 'our people' to do all the work that needs to be done.

      This is an indicator of the overwhelming but subliminal racism that permeates Asian culture. It never occurs to the Japanese that there actually could real decent intelligent civilized human beings outside of Japan that could be encouraged to move to Japan, do the work, and eventually become Japanese citizens and even, over time, actually even become Japanese.

      Contrast that frame of mind with the Americans. The Americans talk endlessly about the levels of racism, both overt and subliminal, between the various groups of people who move there and live there. But after a few generations of being part of American culture, everybody is accepted as part of the 'salad bowl' of American society.

      This could never happen in Japan. There are families of Korean background who have lived in Japan since the Tokugawa era (1600's) and they are still marched down to the local police station every year to be registered as 'gaijin' (foreigners). The Japanese even practice racism against their own people. They created a social sub-class called 'buraku-min' which get treated a second-class citizens even though there is no disconcernable difference between these people and the mainstream.

      It's all just accepted as the way that things are, have always been, and should always be. But do they actually have a real labor shortage in a world that doubles in population every twenty years?

      No way.

    13. Re:yeesh... by BinxBolling · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Not that it's particularly important as the Earth is over-crowded anyway, but you do realize that if you replace 25 workers with 25 robots, that those 25 robots will likely require perhaps just 1 maintenance person, right ?

      And where did those 25 robots come from? Did they just spring, fully-formed, from the maintenance person's head? Or were they maybe manufactured by some other company that employs tens of thousands of people?

      (Yeah, yeah, I know that not all of those 10s of thousands of people are directly traceable to the 25 robots, but my point is that your accounting is far from complete.)

    14. Re:yeesh... by Ossadagowah · · Score: 1

      Please let me know when they have some Saber Marionettes available for purchase. Mmm.
      [Oh god, I'm so lonely ...]

      --
      anata sekai o kakumei surush ga nai deshou? Anata no susumu michi wa yoi shite arimasu.
    15. Re:yeesh... by Sepper · · Score: 1

      Oh, but I'd love to live in a world where robots did all the work. Where I showed up to work one day a week to code the robots a bit, and spent the rest of my time in leisure pursuits.

      Well, with the way things are going, it will probaly be more like:
      "...showed up to work one day a week to code the robots a bit, and spent the rest of my time in lawyer pursuits."

      --
      I live in Soviet Canuckistan you insensitive clod!
    16. Re:yeesh... by benzapp · · Score: 1

      You think because you just make this statement, we are supposed to believe it?

      --
      I don't read or respond to AC posts
    17. Re:yeesh... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A high school diploma is pretty much at that point now. A bachelor's degree certainly isn't worth what it used to be; in some fields, a graduate degree is expected/required.

      And as is to be expected, graduate degrees are being watered down to compensate for a workforce that, though not necessarily more qualified, is at least(?) more credentialed.

      I call this "degree inflation," and it has many effects--college gradually devolving into highschool, graduate programs by mail, graduate programs where writing isn't even required(!) ("non-thesis"), etc.

      Where we go from here will be interesting. Non-thesis PhD's? Industry jobs that increasingly require doctorates? ...Multiple doctorates? "Get your GED & PhD by mail"?

    18. Re:yeesh... by Politicus · · Score: 1
      Innovation in robotics is not happening in other countries mainly because none have the fear of gaijin as do the Japanese. Lack of a labor shortage leads to a lack in robotics innovation. The financial pathway to building robots does not exist if service labor can be imported ala Mexicans in America or manufacturing labor can be readily exported ala Chinese.

      Technology alone can not solve social problems. Therefore, robotics can not create some 10 hour work week utopia for the average human.

      --
      Politicus
    19. Re:yeesh... by Animaether · · Score: 1

      Of course my accounting is far from complete.

      My point was that often it is said that those jobs lost in one place are gained in another.
      More often than not, however, that is just not the case. And it very rarely is the case that the workers who lost their jobs in that one area can -get- those jobs in the other area.

      Example : magazine distribution.
      Let's imagine 50 drivers across a small country distributing the magazines.
      Now let's imagine that the publisher abolishes the tangible magazine, and instead goes 'online only'.
      Getting the magazine to the client is now a task of just e-mailing it out, or e-mailing the location of it out, or even just putting it online and letting whatever subscriber access it. Let's take the stupidest route and say it gets e-mailed out.

      They already have a DTP redaction, and there's no need for a particular design change, just a format change. Most likely format would be PDF where Acrobat Reader can just import whatever format they were using before, but let's again go with the difficult route and say they make it HTML.
      Now let's imagine that nobody in the design group knows HTML and such already. They could outsource, but for whatever reason, they look at the drivers first.
      Weekly publishment, need timely changes in case of last-minute changes.. say 3 minimum staff.
      Now let's be optimisting and say 3 of the drivers know this stuff, too.

      Leaves 47.

      Okay, so it needs to be e-mailed out to the clients. Let's say that they didn't have an internet presence yet. They'll need a mail account. So they'll need some people who know mail and internet things - i.e. getting an account setup, and maintaning it. For whatever reason, those 3 webguys can't do it, or they just don't want to bother them. They could, again, outsource it, but instead... they pick a driver. Shouldn't need more than 1, right ?

      Leaves 46.

      Okay, so they create an account with an ISP. The ISP sets up the additional account, and notes that their N-man strong team could really use an extra guy to handle a few hundred more accounts (and yes, 1 guy often handles a few hundred or more accounts, as it's just a question of keeping the sites up - it's not rocket science extroardinaire), including the one created. They hire one of those drivers.

      Leaves 45.

      Alright.. so they've got their mail account, which will be managed, , they know how to do a mass mailing, and they can do so in the format required.
      So now they e-mail it out. It hops on over to the destination addresses as per usual. Do you think that an internet node will think "Hmm... think we'll hire somebody extra, those newsletters are straining out machines." ? No. If that were even the case, their existing techies would install an additional machine - no extra jobs created there.

      The people get their newsletter. Some can't read it, and call their ISP. Do you think the ISPs need more people to handle the bunch of newsletter subscribers ? Perhaps in the initial flood their support team would have to deal with them in a high volume for a moment, but after that... no. no extra jobs created there either. But let's be optimisting and say 10 ISPs (which is a lot in a small country) think differently - and it just so happens they can hire 10 of those drivers!

      Leaves 35.

      So now these people read their newsletter, and by wonder of the internet, they start sending in their own stuff.
      The magazine people already -have- staff to deal with sent in letters, no reason they can't do the same with e-mail. But they'll probably need training. They hire a driver (if you need more than 1 guy, the guy's not doing a very good job.)

      Leaves 34.

      And that's where my trail sorta ends.
      That's 16 jobs refound as a direct result of what caused 50 to be lost.
      Let's be really nutty, and say we need redundancy for all those people, in case they ALL get sick at the same time.
      That would be 32 jobs.
      At the magazine side, they'd likely need another manager to deal with t

    20. Re:yeesh... by lrucker · · Score: 1
      This is an indicator of the overwhelming but subliminal racism that permeates Asian culture. It never occurs to the Japanese that there actually could real decent intelligent civilized human beings outside of Japan that could be encouraged to move to Japan, do the work, and eventually become Japanese citizens and even, over time, actually even become Japanese.

      Contrast that frame of mind with the Americans.

      Yes, the way Americans find real people in India, encourage them to move to America, do the work - no, wait, there's an extra step in there.

  4. Why Linux? by ergo98 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It really is a serious question. All software systems generally have a technical focus guiding their design, but when they're crammed into uses beyond that what they are designed for, product disasters usually result (see embedded NT. Indeed for the portable market Microsoft basically threw it all out and wrote CE from scratch for that platform).

    I guess my question is given the plethora of extremely proven, capable solutions in the embedded market, what would make Linux (which was designed for the desktop/server market) a credible choice beyond perhaps catering to the hype machine?

    1. Re:Why Linux? by Shoggoth+of+Maul · · Score: 1

      Well, the server thing may be a factor. I mean, robots only become really useful when they communicate with each other, right?

    2. Re:Why Linux? by Daytona955i · · Score: 1

      buahaha... to build an army to take over and destroy Bill Gates!!!!

      But seriously, this makes perfect sense. The linux kernel (unlike NT's kernel) is configurable so you can take out or add whatever bits you'd like. So say I don't want to use a printer, modem, but I do want to use the microphone and speakers. I can remove and add the availability by either a simple recompilation of the kernel or by loading or unloading modules.

      It takes a lot to write a OS from scratch and robots are very complex things. If I was working on a robot, I'd rather work on the robot's functions than reinvent the wheel.

    3. Re:Why Linux? by thrillseeker · · Score: 1
      I guess my question is given the plethora of extremely proven, capable solutions in the embedded market, what would make Linux (which was designed for the desktop/server market) a credible choice beyond perhaps catering to the hype machine?

      I think you are missing what made Linux the thing that it is. It's not that it was designed for the server or the desktop or whatever - it's that it was written to scratch an itch - whatever particular itch the writer of a piece of it most wanted to scratch - and the server/desktop was that particular itch then - and that it worked and works so well specifically because of its open-source copyleft model - a developer "pays" for access to the wealth of work that came before him by agreeing to release his own work to that pool.

      Linux's advantage in most programming situations is that because of its free nature it's got a lot of eyeballs to look at the core of it, which can therefore more safely be assumed to be correct. The grunt work can then go into the special code that runs some particular device.

      Any paticular embedded device could be massaged to run more efficiently with custom code - just like any given electronic device could be made to run with less transistors than those on an embedded CPU - but why bother when the lifecycle of technology is so short. Instead the payback is in getting an operable system employed quickly, and Linux's evergrowing depth and breadth of appplication (because it has that wealth of previous effort behind it) allows its use in more and more places.

      Critical applications will still require more critical QA efforts of course - but cheapness and time-to-market drive everything to using CPUs with millions of transistors and and on-the-surface overly-complex-OSs to do simple tasks.

      For example, I wanted to help my kid with some vocabulary words - and it became obvious he was going to have a lot of 'em over the school year. In about an hour I'd written a database-driven PHP script with a web interface running on my server to do the job. It'd be insane to write all the OS, web-server, etc. code from scratch to do such a thing, but once the tools are there then they can be easily extended to do new things. In the embedded world, as reliable implementations of Linux systems can be installed with a few chips, then the developer can write simple extension code that tells a robot to do this, do that, etc.

    4. Re:Why Linux? by HoldmyCauls · · Score: 1

      That's an excellent question. This is one of the cases where the uncapitalized 'free' can be of a much more applicable use, however. Any other system would be developed in a proprietary environment, and would be very expensive to license. In this case, the *already-skilled* developers (we're not talking about IT in the workplace being "given" code to learn from, but actual EE's and CS's who have systems and electronics expertise) benefit greatly from having an Open codebase, the cost of choosing which would be to give back whatever modifications they needed to make to market the product in question.

      Remember that Linux is also easily portable, as evidenced by the early ports made back in 2.0-time. The developers now have a somewhat widened choice for the hardware they can use. What's more, they have their choice of the interfaces a robot can use for control, given Linux's extensive library of ethernet, serial, USB, bluetooth, etc. drivers.

      Those are the only two things I can think of which can answer your question (it's 5:15 here in Wales, son of a motherless goat!), but I think you can agree that they're useful to those whose job it is to consider them.

      --
      Emacs: for people who just never know when to :q!
    5. Re:Why Linux? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, I'll bite. Why use linux? It has nothing to do with an open code base, or portability. Nor does it have anything to do with the out of market engineers.

      I'd wager the farm that it has a heck of a lot more to do with the fact that many, if not most, Robots already use one *nix flavour or another (proprietary, albeit). The tech's out on the lines are used to using that interface, and alot of industry support already exists for these machines.

      When I fire up an ADEPT robot, or ABB, or whatever, chances are, I may not know everything about the system (Like what soft code style it uses, or some of the custom subtlies of the machine), but I'll know how to navigate the 'dot prompt'. Devlopers like Linux becouse it's somthing that the folks on the floor already know somthing about.

    6. Re:Why Linux? by hel0hel0 · · Score: 1

      Well, I can tell you why I'm picking linux for my embedded project. I'm an engineer for a very small start up in the home automation field. Linux makes sense for me because: 1) it's free 2) it's open source 3) it's accepted 4) it's fairly efficient 5) it works Linux works, and it doesn't cost anything. If for some reason it doesn't work, I know I can fix it without a lot of red tape. Lots of products use linux and we all know that it is reliable. With the cost of embedded hardware constantly dropping and the feature set quickly evolving, what else would I pick? There are probably 20 operating systems that I could pick that would 'work' for my application. Given the consistent relevance and flexibility of linux, why would I pick something else? I think that perhaps you are experiencing 'the fear'. There are thousands of established embedded technologies that are about to be wiped off the map. In the next 2 years, the market will be flooded with cheap and powerful SBCs that run standard operating systems. The proprietary systems of the past will be abandoned and replaced by x86 and ARM systems running windows and linux and java. Capitalism, like nature is very cruel. Efficiency and cost will always win. Every proprietary system thus far has died or will die soon. Thats why I pick linux.

    7. Re:Why Linux? by Onnimikki · · Score: 1

      Or how about "Why Linux for real time control?" Can Linux, with whatever "real time" extensions, provide honest-to-goodness real-time control? In other words, can it guarantee that my program will have all the priority it needs to achieve 1ms loop time? This is critical for all sorts of real robotics work.

    8. Re:Why Linux? by bluGill · · Score: 1

      When working with robots the best would be a written from scratch machine language (not assembly! See the story of Mel for some of the things machine language gives you that assembly doesn't, even without drum memory the lessions apply) program that does everything. It would also take all the programers on earth 20 years to do what a small team using an easier language and a lot of third party tools can do in two. Sure it would take a lot more CPU, but it is cheaper.

      Linux means that you won't be obsoleted by your tools. Where I work we choose a compiler that is no longer made, back when it was a good compiler. Today it doesn't support some new extentions to the language that we really want, and it doesn't support some new calling conventions that are used often (with good reason, the new way is better). Come to think of it, we started with OS/2, which isn't going anywhere.

      Linux in an embedded enviorment means that you can fix your toolset if it doesn't do what you want in latter years. One robot company couldn't justify it, but if everyone but robotics companies droped linux, they can still get togather to add some feature that robotics needs.

  5. Linux powered robots have existed for years... by Saeed+al-Sahaf · · Score: 2, Funny

    ...here at Slashdot!

    --
    "Who are in control, they are not in control of anything - they don't even control themselves!" - Glen Beck
  6. This is a good thing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    These robots will not be connected to the Internet, so we don't have to worry about what happened to GNU/FSF, GNOME, Debian, and now Gentoo, all in the span of six months.

  7. Linux Overlords by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    I, for one, welcome our new Linux robot overlords!

    1. Re:Linux Overlords by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How long before chaos theory predicts that they all go insane?!??

  8. It's all extreemely interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    But will someone please post some pictures?

    Thanks!

    1. Re:It's all extreemely interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

      Here it is. These robots look amazing, and I, for one, look forward to our new robot overlords.

    2. Re:It's all extreemely interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      No, thats not what I wanted. It is, I suspect, what you do, though.

      TROLL ALERT!!

    3. Re:It's all extreemely interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      But I've seen that link on other posts with other names!

      /me filthynewb

    4. Re:It's all extreemely interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, how did you get that photo of Michael Sims?

  9. Who do you think.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Who do you think is developing these robots? I'll tell you. People that know what they're doing. If they are choosing linux, obviously there is some reason they are doing so. That is because, the kernel is extremely stable.

    Now, they aren't installing KDE or X on the robot, goodness me. I think you're making the mistake of lumping linux all together, when they are really talking about the linux kernel here.

  10. Would you like fries with that? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful
    If robots will be able to do most the menial jobs in the future, how are all the displaced human laborers going to feed themselves if society doesn't change its selfish views on "liberal" social welfare?

    If the gap between the robot-owning haves and the hungry have-nots grows too large then those rich gated communities are going to have a hell of a time keeping angry mobs out. A little socialism is a good thing.

    1. Re:Would you like fries with that? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      socialism is for communists! what are you? some kind of terrorist?!

    2. Re:Would you like fries with that? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      crack adict. How about you get a goddamn robot-servicing job and shut the hell up.

  11. I'll buy a robot... by TwinBeam · · Score: 0, Redundant

    when it can wash and fold the clothes and put them away.

  12. The real SCO plan revealed by Joe+Tie. · · Score: 1, Funny

    1. Gain controll of Linux
    2. Command army of Linux robots
    3. Take over the world!

    --
    Everything will be taken away from you.
    1. Re:The real SCO plan revealed by Christoff84 · · Score: 1

      4. Profit!

  13. Perhaps... by Azureflare · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Perhaps our social labor structure needs some redesigning? Perhaps not everyone needs to work nearly as hard as we are?

    I think the developments in robotics are going to force us to seriously reconsider our philosophy about life. If robots can do what we do now, better, what are we here for?

    Personally, I'll welcome the day when robots can do all our work for us, and I can go and relax on the beach all day long.

    1. Re:Perhaps... by wrinkledshirt · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Personally, I'll welcome the day when robots can do all our work for us, and I can go and relax on the beach all day long.

      But how are you going to be able to purchase the necessary commodities of life? Food/shelter/clothing and all that?

      It's not like the people who have these robots are going to donate the fruits of their labour for free.

      --

      --------
      Bleah! Heh heh heh... BLEAH BLEAH!!! Ha ha ha ha...

    2. Re:Perhaps... by Azureflare · · Score: 5, Insightful
      True... That would be really horrible if the corporations used the robots for all the work and then charged for the fruits of those labors. If those corporations in charge of the use of the robots decide to do such a thing (which is likely, given the fact that they want profits more than anything), there are going to be a lot of poor in the world...

      I think now is a time when ethics and morals are really, really important in our capitalistic society. Without them, we are at the mercy of those who can develop such systems.

    3. Re:Perhaps... by Neop2Lemus · · Score: 3, Funny
      Simple! The robots will be collectively owned!

      Its nay-sayers like you who keep us back from this wonderful utopia of endless beaches and relaxation. Sometimes I wonder if you're with us or the robots.

      --
      Needle Nardle Noo
    4. Re:Perhaps... by JanneM · · Score: 5, Insightful

      But the companies will be paying taxes on their income, right? As will the people that do have a job (and those jobs are likely very highly paid; if they didn't need very qualified people for them, they would have automated as well, right?). So the government will still have quite a lot of income.

      What would be needed is a social coverage system that does make allowances for having perhaps 50%-80% unemployment; in essence, "unemployment" would need to cease to be an abberration at all, and become the norm. In effect, you'd have everybody - having work or not - on a basic income (that may be purely monetary, or in a hybrid form) that gives you a basic but decent standard of living.

      Now, I'm sure free-market people are busting a vein right now, but consider the alternative: having more than half the population with no money, no work, and no prospects of ever getting either? Can you spell "riots", "looting", "crime wave" and "insurgency"? I knew you could!

      This is all of course contingent on the assumption of the parent posters that new work opportunities aren't opening up in sufficient numbers.

      Also, there is a world of options in between our current 40h+ work week and "relax on the beach all day long". You have quite different amount of work being done in different parts of the world already; in Europe, we generally work quite a bit less than in the US for instance; valuing the extra hours of off time more than the added income. You could imagine a future where the normal work week could be an average of 10 hours or so (maybe as 20 hours per week for half the year).

      --
      Trust the Computer. The Computer is your friend.
    5. Re:Perhaps... by quandrum · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Except, if no one has any capital because their jobs have been replaced by robots, who will purchase the fruits of the robots labour?

      New forms of redistribution will emerge. The free market demands it. Perhaps more people will find work in creative endeavors.

    6. Re:Perhaps... by Herkum01 · · Score: 1

      More likely, the robots will own of all us. You see they will be the only one's working, ie:the only ones getting a salary. Sooner or later they will have all the money and we will have to sell ourselves into slavery for a "white chocolate mocha"... mmmmm mocha, OK where do I sign? >:)

    7. Re:Perhaps... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      That would be really horrible if the corporations used the robots for all the work and then charged for the fruits of those labors

      Um, that's just what they do now. (except they pay the robots $5 day. And by robots I mean 12 year old mylasian children. And by $5 a day, I mean $0.87 a day.)

      I think now is a time when ethics and morals are really, really important in our capitalistic society

      And has been for quite sometime, the tech to do it by robot does not make it more important.

    8. Re:Perhaps... by Cannelbrae · · Score: 2, Interesting

      ...fixing the robots?

    9. Re:Perhaps... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      just put all the money you'd pay the robots in a big pile. Then tell the robots "here you go. just come over here and get your money." but make sure you didn't give the robots wheels. then when they don't take the money cuz the can't reach it, take it back and go "oh, ok, if you don't want it, we'll take it back" and then you can go buy your sweet, sweet mocha of life.

      And don't give them guns either, 'cuz then they'll just blow your fucking head off. Robots don't miss either.

      No wheels. No guns.

    10. Re:Perhaps... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      How does the free market demand "redistribution"?

      Why can't the people who own the robots and the land just live happily and say fuck you to the rest of the people? You know like we do to Africa right now?

      Except the whole world will be Africa...

      If your robots can produce everything you can just keep it or exchange it with other robot producing people. There can be a real great synnergy between big land owners and robot owners. What do they need the masses for?

      Africa really isn't so bad as long as you don't get your arms hacked off by child soldiers, or starve to death, or die of AIDS...Hmmm, well at least there is some nice wildlife around, tigers and lions and whatnot... try to stay positive!

    11. Re:Perhaps... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      looool. You need a little sunshine.
      Here you go.

      *Trickle*

      ^_^

    12. Re:Perhaps... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your robot will hunt and sew your clothes for you, and build you a house.

    13. Re:Perhaps... by Kaboom13 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      If the robots really make human labor obsolete, there would be no point in depriving others of their use. Lets say I make a robot capable of doing anything a human does but better, able to make more of itself, repair itself, and power itself. Now this robot supplies me with everything I desire. Now I can either keep this robot to myself, and put up with the hordes of people demanding I let my robot help others, or I just let my robots build some robots to help others while they arent working for me. Either way I have everything I want, but one way I'm annoying rich guy who the masses are seriously considering over running and stealing his robots, or the guy who gave the world robots. Furthermore, if I built the robots, someone else following the same train of thought can duplicate my robots, or even make better robots. Property and wealth are social constructs. If I am stronger then you, and you have something I want, I could just take it. The only thing that keeps me from doing that is knowing that a much larger, stronger force doesn't want me taking your things without compensation. Even if I am the strongest person, they are stronger when they form a suffeciently large group. Society has empowered a large group of "strong" people to punish me for using my strength to impose my will on others. This moves the contest of strength to the next level, where instead of physical strength we compete on wealth, political power, ability, etc. With no need to compete (Anything you have I want the robots will give me if I ask) theres no need for the property model. The only thing we would have to compete for is rare elements for our robots to make us things with. But with robots, noone would want to fight when they could send robots to do it for them, so the contest would be who has the best robots. Either society would split into factions fighting never ending robot wars over rare natural resources, but the elements required for adequate food/shelter/clothing are not rare enough to be worth wasting your robot army resources on, so those content to relax on the beach all day would probably be fine, or some sort of agreement or governing body would form, in which case you are back on the political power competition. However it turns out, unless someone is able to gain sole control over robot technology, which is highly unlikely (anything that a human can be build another human can duplicate.) The concept of a robot using "ruling class" which forces the working class to starve or toil for no purpose doesn't make any sense. Capitalism works because it is neccesary for us to compete, because of scarcity. Remove scarcity and there is no reason to attempt to mantain the same model.

    14. Re:Perhaps... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      ah but thats the thing wit capitalism it cant happen. lets say all the companies replaces all thier work pwer with robots and try to sell stuff
      to make money. well who would buy the things that they are trying to sell when 90% of the population is unemployd. sure there would be some rich fellas but they would have more mony than they could spend there wouldnt be a market.

    15. Re:Perhaps... by Fat+Cow · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If everyone owned stock in the corporations producing the goods, they would make money off the robotic advances too.

      --
      stay frosty and alert
    16. Re:Perhaps... by canajin56 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Lets just hope they realize that robots don't buy the products.

      --
      ASCII stupid question, get a stupid ANSI
    17. Re:Perhaps... by penguin7of9 · · Score: 1

      But how are you going to be able to purchase the necessary commodities of life? Food/shelter/clothing and all that? It's not like the people who have these robots are going to donate the fruits of their labour for free.

      We already have an example of a product that costs nothing to mass produce once it's been designed: free software. You can download it from the Internet and share it with your friends. Presumably, the same principle will apply to other goods and services that can be replicated for free. If most of your needs can be satisfied by free products, then you won't have to work much anymore to pay for the rest.

    18. Re:Perhaps... by hel0hel0 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, lets all sit on the beach and lets let the robots do everything for us. That's a sure path to the destruction of our species. If you take a look at nature, you will never be able to identify any organism that's been able to just on it's ass and exist. The truth of our reality is that there are billions of species that want to dominate the planet, from virii to insects to household pets. When we get fat and lazy is when something else moves in and takes over.

    19. Re:Perhaps... by irc.goatse.cx+troll · · Score: 1

      Lets just hope they don't make robots that buy the products.

      --
      Pain lasts, kid. Its how you know you're alive. Sometimes I think this growing up thing is just pain management-TheMaxx
    20. Re:Perhaps... by irc.goatse.cx+troll · · Score: 1

      Hopefully by the time we have robots doing everything we'll be beyond the greedy capitalist system. Watch some startrek episodes sometime, specificly next generation. Everything the federation does for eachother is for the better of mankind. Everything between other species is using the barder system (as it should be).

      Sure its just a tv show, but theres no reason we couldnt use the same system. The only thing standing in the way of that is personal greed, but eventually humankind might evolve past that.

      --
      Pain lasts, kid. Its how you know you're alive. Sometimes I think this growing up thing is just pain management-TheMaxx
    21. Re:Perhaps... by rubypossum · · Score: 1

      The fundamental value produced by workers is thought, not manual labor. When they can produce computers that can think better than humans - that's when we have to start worrying.

      Most people are not paid for factory labor. They're paid to solve complex (as far as a computer is concerned) problems. Like how to make a hamburger.. or how to make a SQL server engine.

      Also, if they actually do automate everything then I'm gonna be the guy writing the software for a competing robot that costs 20% less than theirs. And I assume there'll be a lot of other /.'ers out there doing the same (probably selling robots that cost less than mine.)

      I.e. SOHO companies will have these things in no time (presuming the bastards don't include any nasty patents.)

      Which translates into lower cost for the consumers all around. Which makes the cost of living go down.Oh... and due to the lost jobs... it also makes a lot of underachievers go to college instead of working at a charcoal plant.

      --
      I have a theory that the truth is never told during the nine-to-five hours. - Hunter S. Thompson
    22. Re:Perhaps... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But how are you going to be able to purchase the necessary commodities of life? Food/shelter/clothing and all that?

      Food - I can (and do) grow that.

      Shelter - Build that. (Did that with my parents - finished in time to leave)

      Clothing - Bah, go naked.

    23. Re:Perhaps... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So we have a whole bunch of people who get the same paycheck regardless of if they work or not, and everything goes through the government.

      Sounds like something that collapsed a few years ago...

    24. Re:Perhaps... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Sounds like something that collapsed a few years ago... "

      Shhh...Don't tell the slashcommies...

      I've already read several posts which have mentioned marx, socialism, communism IN A GOOD LIGHT?!??!?!

      I MEAN W...T...F...?!?!??! ...and of course several more trying to villify anyone who might point out their HORRIBLE stupidity as 'knee-jerk', 'terrorist hunting'(this is bad??), or the worst..'american'(pffhhtt) ...but, to get back to the article...
      1-robots are becoming more popular/efficient
      2-they'll eliminate low-end crap jobs(good)
      3-people can retrain and improve themselves

      3a-if people DON'T want to retrain and improve themselves(lazy) then the 'rioting,looting,etc' that many a slashcommie has said will result will be interesting to watch. Darwinism at work, people...any caveman too lazy to think anymore(retrain) can say hello to my little friend as he tries to loot my store...

      I gotta say...for an allegedly smart bunch of technical people, this constant slumming in tribal commie group-think is a real letdown

    25. Re:Perhaps... by sillybilly · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "For more than five years I maintained myself thus solely by the labour of my hands, and I found, that by working about six weeks in a year, I could meet all the expenses of living." - Henry David Thoreau You could already redesign the social labor structure, but when robots take over the simple work, the issue will be more looming. These days everyone is ushered into a hampsterwheel of 'jobs' and 'debt,' just so you never get bored and you always have something to keep you busy, something to strive for. Problem is that if you get everything you need too easily, then you just sit back and become bored, and people, especially males, when they are bored they end up going to war. Just watch the native american tribes after they obtained the horse, and suddenly, their greatest enemy, distance, was conquered. Now they had plenty food, more than they ever need, but what do these idiots do? Go run for glory, heroic death. In Egypt and during the Inca heydays food surplus resulted in humongous oppression too. Yes, some day 5% of the population will work in growing food, 5% in providing all the material needs, 5% designing robots for the two before, and the rest, well the rest can sit on their asses, like couch potatoes, or root for football teams, or battle it out in quake. Not everybody is scientifically inclined, but under such conditions I'd hope that at least 50% of the population would choose scientific challenges for themselves, even if they are on the simpler level of amateur radio - not every scientific endeavour has to be on the forefront of technology. The biggest problem is: will people stay sane when they are totally free and bored, or will they start acting crazy?

    26. Re:Perhaps... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      lol! / give'er a 5!!!!!!!!!!!

    27. Re:Perhaps... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      then with humanity saved from manual labour we are free to begin the next phase of our evolution- we bcome spacebourne creatures!

    28. Re:Perhaps... by nayaniabhishek · · Score: 1

      Maybe we are moving towards a culture similar to that of "Star Trek". Nothing like employment or unemployment, just "duty". Also, since most of the tasks except for administration would be done by ppl, no need to pay anyone. Would be nice if we do get there.... /me goes back to dreaming

    29. Re:Perhaps... by znesic · · Score: 1

      > ... try to stay positive!

      HIV positive? ;->

    30. Re:Perhaps... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Robot technology should be available to individual people, not just corporations. Linux, as the platform, is a step into the right direction, but the AI software itself should not be proprietary or patented. This is where the open source developers can make a difference.

  14. I for one... by roseblood · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    welcome our Linux powered robotic overlords

    --
    There are lies, damned lies, and statistics.
  15. For the conspirists... by pointzero · · Score: 1

    Judgement Day is near... the Terminators are here!!

    I bought the extra shiny aluminum for my hat this week.

    1. Re:For the conspirists... by deglr6328 · · Score: 1

      thankfully I just renewed my Old Glory insurance policy with a robot plan. you should to, when robots grab you with thier metal claws you cant break free, because they're made of metal, and robots are strong.

      *Warning: persons denying the existance of robots may be robots themselves.

      --
      - "Hear that?! The percolations are imminent! Cease your ingress!"
    2. Re:For the conspirists... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      hell ya. that was one of the funniest snl skits evar...

    3. Re:For the conspirists... by xtal · · Score: 1

      "Judgement Day", really is inevitable. It's just a matter of what's going to be judged, who's going to do it, and when it will happen. The growth rates of technology all point to a climax in the near term.

      --
      ..don't panic
    4. Re:For the conspirists... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      The growth rates...all point to a climax in the near term.
      Think about baseball then.
  16. Tux Terminator by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It doesnt feel it doesnt crash and it definately will never ever give up. Mrs Gates theres a robot with glowing red eyes and a plasma connon shaped like a pengiun at the door. Mr Gates aaaw crap

  17. Take this to the bank by paiute · · Score: 4, Funny

    There is no reason for any individual to have a robot in his home.

    --
    If Slashdot were chemistry it would look like this:Cadaverine
    1. Re:Take this to the bank by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      was there not once a time where people were saying "there is no reason for any individual to have a computer in his home"???

  18. Robot make good car by raisinets · · Score: 0, Troll

    I'm in middle management at Honda, and the real reason they are so interested in robots, Linux or otherwise, is to automate the car manufacturing process. The company line is to have robots doing 80% of the manufacturing of an auto by 2010.

    J

    1. Re:Robot make good car by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And by 2020 robots will be driving 80% of the autos!

    2. Re:Robot make good car by EMH_Mark3 · · Score: 1

      How much is done by robots right now?

      --
      Burn the land and boil the sea, you can't take the sky from me
    3. Re:Robot make good car by TwinkieStix · · Score: 1

      Riight... http://slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=88536&threshol d=3&commentsort=0&tid=106&tid=126&tid=137&tid=185& mode=thread&cid=7664245

  19. OT, but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "Japan is currently driving robot innovation, according to the article, impelled by a looming labor shortage..."

    Excuse me?? Japan, with a labor shortage? This is the same Japan w/ the huge unemployment rate, runaway deflation, and enormous national deficit, right? Or, is this some other Japan I haven't heard about yet?

    Looming labor shortage, my ass - robotic workers can't form unions, don't need health insurance, don't go on strike, don't quit, don't disobey orders, yada yada yada.

    Corporate Japan's fascination with robotic workers has nothing to do with a 'looming labor shortage', and everything to do with eliminating the blue-collar worker to increase the white-collar's income.

    Bastards.

    1. Re:OT, but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful
      eliminating the blue-collar worker to increase the white-collar's income.

      That needs to be repeated.

      robots are all about eliminating the blue-collar worker to increase the white-collar's income.

      REVOLUTION!!!!!!!! Humans first!

    2. Re:OT, but still... by Rasta+Prefect · · Score: 4, Informative
      Excuse me?? Japan, with a labor shortage? This is the same Japan w/ the huge unemployment rate, runaway deflation, and enormous national deficit, right? Or, is this some other Japan I haven't heard about yet?

      This is the Japan with an extremely low birthrate and a population aging faster than any other in the first world. This is the Japan that not too many years down the road is going to have one retired worker for every productive one. This is the Japan where labor just costs too damn much to be able to justify doing manufacturing there.

      --
      Why?
    3. Re:OT, but still... by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 1
      Corporate Japan's fascination with robotic workers has nothing to do with a 'looming labor shortage', and everything to do with eliminating the blue-collar worker to increase the white-collar's income.

      At least they're keeping their blue-collar jobs inside their own country, creating quite a few good jobs for engineers and technicians to design and fix these electronic blue-collar workers.

      Here in the USA, we're shipping the blue-collar jobs to 3rd world countries instead. All that leaves here is employment for a few low-level PHBs whose jobs are to make long-distance calls at weird hours. Boring.

  20. Linus? by Lord_Dweomer · · Score: 0, Offtopic
    I, for one, welcome our new robotic........errr....Linus Torlverlord.

    --
    Buy Steampunk Clothing Online!
  21. Old Glory Robot Insurance by iamdrscience · · Score: 2, Funny

    This article reminds me of the need, now more than ever, for insurance plans that cover robot attacks such as the Old Glory Robot Insurance plan.

    See the video here

    As a senior citizen you're probably aware of the threat robots pose. Robots are everywhere and they eat old peoples' medicine for fuel. Well now there's a company that offers coverage against the unfortunate event of a robot attack: Old Glory Insurance. Old Glory will cover you with no health check up or age consideration. You need to stay safe and that's harder and harder to do nowadays because robots may strike at any time. And when they grab you with those metal claws you can't break free, because they're made of metal and robots are strong. Now, for only for only four dollars a month you can achieve peace of mind in a world full of crime and robots, with Old Glory Insurance. So don't cower under your afghan any longer, make a choice. Old Glory insurance, for when the metal ones come for you... and they will.

  22. You already have several robots in your home by wowbagger · · Score: 4, Interesting
    There is no reason for any individual to have a robot in his home.


    You already have several robots in your home, more than likely:
    • You have a robot for cleaning your dishes
    • You have a robot for cleaning your clothes
    • You have a robot for drying your clothes
    • You have a robot for maintaining the temperature of your house


    In addition, there are folks like me who have robots for preparing their coffee in the morning. Some have robots for baking bread, and for making ice cream.

    Most people make the mistake of thinking ROBOT = anthropomorphic device but that is not true.

    Now, if you want to say "There is no reason for any individual to have an anthropromorphic robot in their home" you are correct, today

    But as my mother, who was born in the 1920's once said to me, "When I was your age, if somebody had told me I would have a computer in the home, I would not have believed them - simply because I could not have seen any use for one." This, as she was playing cards on her computer.

    Be careful, or you may find yourself up there with the "there is a market for 6 computers in the world", or the (non-quote) "640K is enough for anybody".

    1. Re:You already have several robots in your home by reiggin · · Score: 1

      Dang. I read the first part of this post and thought he was going to talk about the wife and kids. Then I remembered this is slashdot. So no wife or kids. Oh well. Hail the robots.

    2. Re:You already have several robots in your home by Overly+Critical+Guy · · Score: 1

      You know, Slashdotters have a thing for being hung up on semantics and missing the big picture. His point still stands.

      You could have just said, "Lots of things could be considered robots, though. But I know what you meant."

      --
      "Sufferin' succotash."
    3. Re:You already have several robots in your home by paiute · · Score: 5, Funny

      I think there is a world market for maybe five robots. I have travelled the length and breadth of this country and talked with the best people, and I can assure you that robotics is a fad that won't last out the year.

      --
      If Slashdot were chemistry it would look like this:Cadaverine
    4. Re:You already have several robots in your home by Myopic · · Score: 1

      If others are making the mistake of thinking all robot are anthropomorphic devices, then you are making the mistake of thinking all machines are robots. I do not, for instance, consider my thermometer to be a robot (or did you mean furnace? I don't think my furnace is a robot either). I don't know exactly how I would define 'robot', but I disagree with your assertion that I already live with them in my home.

      Although a washing machine might be a border case.

    5. Re:You already have several robots in your home by Rallion · · Score: 0

      More than five people bought Aibos. A single factory these days has more than five robots. WTF are you talking about?

    6. Re:You already have several robots in your home by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Be careful, or you may find yourself up there with the "there is a market for 6 computers in the world", or the (non-quote) "640K is enough for anybody".

      Um... heh, funny. Guess the joke went right over your head... And how ironic that you'd post what you did.

      There is no reason for any individual to have a computer in his home. - (Ken Olson, President, Digital Equipment, 1977).

    7. Re:You already have several robots in your home by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Would someone mod this halfwit down. The original poster was making a joke. It's a twist on the old DEC quote about computers.

      Doesn't anyone know they're history anymore...

    8. Re:You already have several robots in your home by Radical+Rad · · Score: 1

      It is a thermostat not a thermometer (/nitpick). Wowbagger does seem to think every machine is a robot doesn't he? But the property a robot has which makes it specifically a robotic machine is to be capable of being programmed to perform general tasks. The range of programmed motions for a true robot is virtually infinite. In other words, if the dishwasher were actually a robot then I would be able to reprogram it to turn on and off the water pump, heating element, and any other actuators it was equipped with at varying intervals, in any order, and possibly in response to inputs such as encoder feedback from servos or contact switches.

    9. Re:You already have several robots in your home by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, you are wrong. I intend to post a more complete rebuttal as soon as I finish reading this fascinating Isaac Asimov book, "I, Simple Lever".

    10. Re:You already have several robots in your home by uberdave · · Score: 1

      Well, apart from the fact that I don't have any of those in my home*, I don't classify any of them as robots. A dishwasher, washing machine, and dryer all follow a pre-programmed sequence of actions. A dishwasher doesn't monitor the cleanliness of the dishes. It isn't even aware whether or not there are dishes inside. Same thing with washing machines and dryers. These are all dumb machines, not robots.

      Thermostats, although they sense their surroundings and respond to them, are basically the same: unintelligent machines. It has no feedback analyzing whether the furnace is actually heating the place or not.

      A machine needs to have intelligence to be a robot. It needs to be able to sense it's environment, and choose it's actions in order to accomplish a goal. Simple binary feedback loops, and canned sequence following machines just don't cut it.

      * I live in a basement apartment and the thermostat is in the Landlady's apartment.

    11. Re:You already have several robots in your home by Chairboy · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Oh sweet jesus, you are stupid.

      I know I'm gonna end up burning precious, precious karma for this post, but good lord. I weep for a human race that includes your DNA.

    12. Re:You already have several robots in your home by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe you should get a new robot, one for explaining jokes to you.

    13. Re:You already have several robots in your home by iamroot · · Score: 1

      Good point, but newer devices are more complex that you think. First of all, any automatic device is covered by the dictionary definition of a robot, but for this, I'll use a much less general definition. It must use sensor feedback.

      Anyways, A bit more about the thermostat:
      Our thermostat(a pretty basic digital one) reads the temperature of the room and looks up the proper temperature for the current time of day and day of week in its memeory. Then it compares the two and runs through a set startup sequence for the heater or a/c. Once its turned the heater and fan on, it monitors the room temperature, and times how long it takes for the room to heat up. Then it adjusts the data in memory to improve its efficiency on the next cycle. There are also a whole bunch of other processes going on at the same time, like reading data from the keypad, updating the display, checking which mode(heat/off/cool) its is, etc...

      Meanwhile at the high-efficiency furnace(I am not a HVAC guy, so I might have some details off):
      The furnace gets the signal to start. It starts the inducer motor and monitors its current draw. If the current draw is too high, it will shut down. It then uses a pressure switch to make sure that the inducer is actually pulling air. Again, if its not, the furnace shuts down. Next, it releases gas into the burner assembly, and checks with a sensor to see if it is ignited by the pilot. If it isn't, the controller uses the electronic ignition to try to light the burner. It checks for flame again, and if it fails, the furnace shuts down. Otherwise, it will continus. This is done by a logic controller.

      A lot of equipment like that has feedback devices for safety and control.

      Our washer uses an electronic pressure sensor to measure the water level. Some new ones have a touch screen display, and various configurable programs.

      Some dryers have electronic moisture sensors that determine the degree of dryness.

      We don't use a dishwasher right now, so I'll use another one for this example. It had a keypad on the front, where you could enter temperature and cycle information. There was an LED display that told the current status and temperature. It would monitor the temperature, and control a heater in response. It also used an electronic sensor to measure the water level and maintain it. It had a built in microprocessor to do this. It looked like it also did some calculations to improve efficiency.

      Most new cars are also partly a robot. The engine control computer does countless calculations to optimize fuel efficiency based on data from several sensors. It controls exactly how much fuel is injected, among other things. It will monitor systems and give you a warning if something isn't right. It might log data for later diagnostics. Then there's also the traction control system and anti-lock brakes on some cars.

    14. Re:You already have several robots in your home by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is no reason for any individual to have a robot in his home.

      I think you missed the point. He was being sarcastic.

      "There is no reason for any individual to have a computer in their home."
      - Ken Olsen (President of Digital Equipment Corporation), 1977.

    15. Re:You already have several robots in your home by uberdave · · Score: 1

      Another characteristic I think is missing from the devices you mention is that they are "hard coded" devices. You can't take a thermostat and reprogram it to assemble calculators. You can't take a dishwasher and reprogram it to make automobiles. They just aren't general purpose machines. A pick and place industrial robot has that flexibility, but it generally lacks the "intelligence", the self adaptability, to be considered a robot in my books. In short, there are very few true robots in the world. Most of them are in AI labs.

    16. Re:You already have several robots in your home by Rallion · · Score: 0

      Robot - A mechanical device that sometimes resembles a human and is capable of performing a variety of often complex human tasks on command or by being programmed in advance. I know an Aibo is not, technically, a robot. But it's a...predecessor to true robots, I suppose, and the fact is there are a number of people (rich people, yeah) who would want to have some for sheer entertainment. More than five. A robot that could sing and dance or something. As impressive as that would be, I wouldn't like one, but there are people that might. It has nothing to do with the discussion at large, here, but paiute said there was a market for at maximum five robots. That makes no sense at all. I apologize for not explaining more fully in my previous post, I should have just waited until I had time.

    17. Re:You already have several robots in your home by danila · · Score: 1

      Look up on the Net what head of IBM said about computers in the past. Hint: he was talking about 5 computers.

      --
      Future Wiki -- If you don't think about the future, you cannot have one.
    18. Re:You already have several robots in your home by Rallion · · Score: 0

      I hate being stupid. Sigh.

  23. Robots eat old peoples medicine for fuel by nb+caffeine · · Score: 0

    what are you going to do when the robots come for you. and they will. An insurance policy with robot coverage? Surely, im too old for that. and when they grab you with those claws you cant break free, coz they are made of metal, and robots are strong http://www.robotcombat.com/video_oldglory_hi.html

    --

    "Something's wrong with you...and I hope we never do meet again." - Deftones When Girls Telephone Boys
  24. Robots are Coming? by twoslice · · Score: 4, Funny

    Sounds like Data and Tasha Yar are at it again...

    --

    From excellent karma to terible karma with a single +5 funny post...
  25. Processing power will determine usefullness by t0qer · · Score: 3, Informative

    Humanoid robots use a lot of processing power, every little shift in weight, wind, all has to be compensated for with carefully calculated counter-movements. A robot lying down or sitting would not use as much CPU.

    It's why you see the Asimo moving so slowly. Even if faster motors were put into it, and it was rated for a higher top speed, those calculations for balance would have to be done more often.

    This is before we even get into random terrain navigation. The robot has to know how to recognize different sorts of terrain (carpet, cement, gravel, dirt) and adjust its stride accordingly.

    On top of all that we have the "interacion" layer. Facial recognition, speech and vocabulary. Now we have the perfect robot.

    It's 2003, we can barely get the Asimo to walk up some stairs or do a few preprogrammed tricks. Our current limitations are CPU, storage, and battery life.

    I think CPU, storage, and battery life will increase, as we create more powerful lower wattage components. Batteries themselves look as though they may be a dead end technology, so robots might be powered by methane fuel cells or some alternative power source we haven't discovered yet.

    I think we have another 20 years before we see robots good enough for general use for labor, and maybe another 20 after before we can no longer tell the difference between what is robot, and what is human.

    1. Re:Processing power will determine usefullness by xtal · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Another 20 years.. it's always another 20 years. Have you seen Asimo? It's jaw-dropping how good he is. I think we're going to start to see humanoid robots deployed much, much sooner than that. People claimed it was impossible to do what Asimo is doing now.

      People are mistaken when they think the robot has to be smart, at least right away. Most of blue collar labour in the manufacturing sector revolves around humans are general-purpose movers and fitters of pieces. Some fixed machines can be used to speed this process, but much of the final work requires flexibility that you need a person for.

      If you have a robot that can duplicate all the motions of a human, then you can replace a very large percentage of manufacturing labour - and you have a generic platform to reprogram for specialty tasks. Just as a person can do two things on an assembly line, so can a robot. Robots don't need to stop, either.

      Honda isn't stupid, either - if you can mass produce cars, then you can certainly mass produce robots. One car is horrifically expensive. Make a million of them and the cost goes down by several orders of magnitude. The only real question will be if there is going to be a tremendous worker backlash - and with much work being done in countries where worker backlashes are put down with rifles, perhaps the North American worker will not have the chance.

      --
      ..don't panic
    2. Re:Processing power will determine usefullness by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      "It's why you see the Asimo moving so slowly."


      That's an old rev you're talking about. Recent Asimo's are dancing, kicking soccer balls, and doing karate.


      A few iterations of Moores law, goes from slow to fast very quickly.

    3. Re:Processing power will determine usefullness by Rallion · · Score: 0

      Or, you just put it on three or four wheels. It'll still do what you want. This isn't hard, people.

    4. Re:Processing power will determine usefullness by Ilan+Volow · · Score: 1

      In other words, blowjobs and dismemberment of enemies might require a few more upgrades
      .

      --
      Ergonomica Auctorita Illico!
    5. Re:Processing power will determine usefullness by Orne · · Score: 1

      Or maybe, the North American worker already doesn't have a chance. If you wait until all the human manufacturing labor is outsourced to other countries (which is happening fast), you can appeal to the local nationalism to build factories and robots in the country, in the name of "bringing back Made in the USA".

      You could build a factory of robots anywhere in the world, so why are they built in some nations and not others? Regulations, and tax structures... two items that are seriously broken in the USA. When the tax structure is made more fair for corporations & high tech salaries, we can expect jobs to come back.

    6. Re:Processing power will determine usefullness by HiThere · · Score: 2, Funny

      Consider trying Mountain Dew(tm), or possibly moutain dew (original formula) as fuel cell power supplies.

      The first choice will require metabolizing sugar. I'm not sure how your robot will use the caffine, but it's reputed to improve CPU function.

      The second choice is move volitile, and reputed to interfere with balance, but can be used in a simple burner with thermal-electric generation.

      Both formulae are liquid for easy transport and high energy density. The first formula is traditionally dispensed under pressure for easy injection into the fuel cell, though one must be slightly concerned about the bubbles that tend to form, so venting will be needed, and clients may prefer that this not be done in their presence.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  26. What I am surprised by NOT seeing yet by wowbagger · · Score: 1

    What I am surprised that I have not seen yet is McDonalds investing in some robotics.

    Consider how the average McD's runs - there is a proceedure for EVERYTHING, and they pretty tightly control everything, as well - the time the fries are in the oil, the time burgers are on the grill.

    Let the minium wage be raised a few times more, and I would not be surprised to see a McFryer that you load a pallet of frozen fries into, and it handles thawing, frying, drying, salting, and storing, and a McFlipper that takes a cartridge of meat patties, grills, flips, and stacks them onto buns.

    I can foresee the day when your average McD's has one PFY busing tables while acting as a meatware speech recognition unit and occasionally loading a cartrige of food into a machine, with an ATM style interface in the store for the normal customers, and all the cooking is done by machine.

    True, that is too expensive for them to do, today. But like I said, a couple of hikes in the minimum wage, maybe a law about health insurance, and it will happen.

    1. Re:What I am surprised by NOT seeing yet by jcdick1 · · Score: 2, Informative

      They do, to a certain extent.

      I have been to a couple with fully automatic beverage dispensers. The order is placed with the cashier, which sends a signal and the system drops a cup of appropriate size, feeds it under the appropriate soda flavor, and conveys it out to a person to give to the customer. Someone just has to fill the cup hopper.

      And I have seen the soap-and-squeegie equivalent of the Roomba moving about in one once, as well.

      --
      What?
    2. Re:What I am surprised by NOT seeing yet by mistert2 · · Score: 1
      Back in my college days(pre-1991) I listened to a think tank guy talk about McD's ability to get the meat from the freezer to the grill with robotics.

      Back in high school I remember the BK broiler conveyor belt carrying hamburger across the flames.

      I think by now, they can get it wrapped in a bun. Extra pickle, no problem.

      This same think tank guy said they had computer replacements for the cashier, but people paid more money to talk to a real person, than order themselves.

      I think a robotic McGriller is ready, but is the world ready for the robotic McGriller. What would all those high school kids do for work? What about everyone else?

      I guess they have a bun manufacturing facility in the midwest that puts Krispy Kreme to shame.(insert pun or off color humor here.)

    3. Re:What I am surprised by NOT seeing yet by MarkJensen · · Score: 4, Informative

      In fact, McDonalds did a very specific test of robotics in their food lines. It was a Fanuc A-510 that had its cast components replaced so it had a stainless steel body (for wash-down purposes). It also had the regular grease replaced with non-toxic grease. It was edible, but NOT tasty! :P You can see archive.orgs cache of a page that mentions the A-510's successor, the A-520i, here. Needless to say, it never made it past the initial study.

      Also, to be technical, there is a difference between the term "robot" and what is called "hard automation". I have seen people claim that a dishwasher is a robot. It is not. A robot is programmable and multi-functional. A dishwasher has a single purpose (two if you count torturing the cat). The same is applied to factory automation that is driven by automated equipmet runnign off of cams or pneumatic/hydraulic cylinders. Those are "hard automation" devices, as they perform a single function until they are mechanically altered.

  27. Maybe we will force them to hand over those fruits by Cryofan · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    You know, the citizens can elect representatives that redistribute wealth to the people from those who own the robots.....

    --
    eat shiat and bark at the moon
  28. when governments no longer need citizens... by LionKimbro · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There is a saying:

    "What happens when goverments no longer need citizens?"

    It applies just as much to the network of corporations as it does to the network of governments.

    1. Re:when governments no longer need citizens... by HiThere · · Score: 1

      But since nobody ever took the question seriously, nobody bothered to answer it.

      How long until it's cheaper not to bother exporting jobs?
      How long until it's cheaper not to bother with slave labor? (see prison labor)

      Remember, the corporations aren't competing against you, they're competing against each other. It one adopts a method that cuts prices, the others are forced to adopt it. It may as a combined act destroy their customer base, but if one does it, he wins. It's another tragedy of the commons.

      And if the end result is that there aren't any customers? There still isn't any way to avoid it. Not even if they bother to see it coming. (OK. A real scenario is more complex. They buy each other out until there's a monopoly, e.g., is one alternative answer.)

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  29. You Misread by LionKimbro · · Score: 1

    There will be an impending shortage of labor... ...for those who need to labor!!

  30. The land of the giant robots by vandemar · · Score: 1
  31. Robonurse, come here sweet thing .... by RealProgrammer · · Score: 3, Funny
    Meanwhile, Mitsubishi is targeting the medical market. The company has developed a robot designed to perform many functions that a human nurse can perform.

    Hmm, but I bet they don't look as nice in white stockings.

    I wonder how long before they develop a blow-up version.

    --
    sigs, as if you care.
    1. Re:Robonurse, come here sweet thing .... by jcdick1 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I would, however, be uncomfortable with a robot as phlebotomist. I can only imagine sticking my arm in a thing like the bloodpressure checkers at KMart so that a robot arm can scan for a good vein and draw blood. Ugh...

      --
      What?
  32. Re:Maybe we will force them to hand over those fru by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You know, the corporations can get representatives elected to prevent such a thing from taking place...

  33. Welcome to GM's plant in the 1970s... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I don't think it ever came about, but it is clean from comments by GM executives in the 1960s that they expected that they would soon reach 80% of the work done by machine. Wouldn't surprize me if they have, but how do you compare when cars are getting complex all the while you are installing robots. Hard to find a Model T plant anymore (even then I'd argue the assembly line is a robot...) so you can assemble a modern car with no robots.

  34. what do i type here?? by Sarojin · · Score: 0

    have fun dealing with killer robot kernel panics

    --
    HOW'S MY POSTING? CALL 1-800-POSTING
  35. Robots coming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Linux-powered robots can feel orgasm by automatic self fscking at startup!

  36. Japanese Drive towards Robotics by randall_burns · · Score: 1
    In Japan, mass immigration is simply politically unacceptable. Robotics is a means by which Japan may cope with an aging population without immigration. Time will tell if the leaders of Japan are wiser than those of the United States and the EU(personally I suspect the Japanese leaders are wiser-leadership in Japan carries very real responsiblities and consequences for failure can be severe).

  37. Re:yoda yodayoday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Dude, you really need to format that. I'd read it otherwise, but damn, come on...some freakin' carraige returns for godsake...

  38. Automatons will initially create economic chaos by Ars-Fartsica · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Your point is valid - mechanization and automation always create huge economic imbalances as workers are dislocated and the wage/consumption cycle breaks temporarily. ITs been happening since the cotton ginny.

    Yet you and I are not adversely affected by autoamtion of cotton production, so its clear that a flexible workforce can, over time, adapt. The key is education and a willingness to change. If you don't have those, you're screwed.

    1. Re:Automatons will initially create economic chaos by Lord+Kholdan · · Score: 1

      Your point is valid - mechanization and automation always create huge economic imbalances as workers are dislocated and the wage/consumption cycle breaks temporarily. ITs been happening since the cotton ginny.

      Yet you and I are not adversely affected by autoamtion of cotton production, so its clear that a flexible workforce can, over time, adapt. The key is education and a willingness to change. If you don't have those, you're screwed.


      I have to disagree with you on that one. There exists a point where there is nothing humans cant do better then computers can. As the capabilities of computers grow the professions we can do better then them grow thin. What to do on the day the last human is replaced by a robot?

  39. How?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    >

    How are fans supposed to help the robot move in a vacuum?

  40. How the hell? by BhAaD · · Score: 1
    It will also contain fans for movement..

    How are the fans supposed to help it move in a vacuum?

    1. Re:How the hell? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "It will also contain fans for movement.. "
      "How are the fans supposed to help it move in a vacuum?"

      It isn't a vacuum on the space station or space shuttle (unless things go very wrong...)

      JD

  41. Yes, but the potential for bad PR!!!!! by smchris · · Score: 1


    Pioneers get the arrows.

    I know industrial robots have already killed people. Does anybody have a breakdown by OS?

  42. Re:Maybe we will force them to hand over those fru by va3atc · · Score: 1

    You know, the citizens can elect representatives that redistribute wealth to the people from those who own the robots.....

    I'm sorry but Robin Hood already has that job.

    Steve

    --
    Candle burns its brightest in the dark
  43. why invent a class system? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    the term "Electronic-American"

    ..and perfectly illustrates one of the class separation problems that America has. When you differentiate yourself as a [Something]-American you're inventing a category to place yourself in.

    Italian, African, Indonesian, Chinese, British, French, Spanish, whatever - your ancestor's country of origin shouldn't make a damned bit of difference. The term "American" ought to be perfectly acceptable - even for electronic lifeforms. Classification of physical nature should be separate from nationality. For example:

    "Yes, I'm an Electronic-American" - Bad.
    - vs -
    "Yes, I'm an American AI" - Good.

    (As someone who wasn't born in the US, is now an American but who's physical appearance could indicate otherwise - this topic has always annoyed me. I chose to live in this country, dammit, stop putting me in a box).

    1. Re:why invent a class system? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      (As someone who wasn't born in the US, is now an American but who's physical appearance could indicate otherwise - this topic has always annoyed me. I chose to live in this country, dammit, stop putting me in a box)

      I'm the grandparent poster. I was mocking the hyphen-Americans, while trying to get a laugh. But that's not important.

      What I want to say to you is:
      Welcome, fellow American, welcome to a country made by, of, and for individuals like you.

    2. Re:why invent a class system? by cluckshot · · Score: 1

      Just have to add my "Amen" to the choir reports here. Welcome and don't ever forget why you came here!

      I am married to a lady from the Philippines. When we were going to have a child she said that the child would be 1/2 Philippine and 1/2 American. I said NO!~ 100% American! American is a Race by IDEA not by blood. Besides, I come originally from 7 EU type races (all White skinned) but frankly I am a NATIVE AMERICAN. I was born here. That makes me as native as anybody! I resent as you do those who would Balkinize us.

      --
      Never Politically Correct ~ I prefer the facts If you don't like what I say, get a life, or comment yourself.
  44. "We, the Electonric People" by ciaran_o_riordan · · Score: 3, Funny

    Ah, now I get it. Diebold didn't fake any election results, the machines were just exercising their right to vote. That's okay then.

    So are the thoughts of Electronic Americans covered by the DMCA?

    1. Re:"We, the Electonric People" by ivanmarsh · · Score: 1

      It makes perfect sense that robots would be republicans. Soon they will be putting everyone out of work.

  45. PAK CHOOIE UNF by Keighvin · · Score: 2, Funny

    Do you have stairs in your house?

    To protect the people of earth, from the horrible secret of space...

    --
    Any spoon would be too big.
  46. warning: amount of robots is questionable by Theranthrope · · Score: 0
    Well, let me get my geek on...

    By "robot" you mean a mechanical automaton, which may or may not be self aware. I.E. not a piloted humanoid shaped vehicle.

    Evangelion

    analsis: "robots", I.E. the Eva's, are cloned alien lifeforms intragrated with human tech that are piloted by angst-y juvinile humans.

    status: no robots

    RahXephon

    analsis: same as above, but with a better storyline (and characters you don't want to see killed)

    status: as series' north american release is incomplete and I haven been able to see it all robots are unconfirmed at this time

    Macross/Southern Cross/Mospedia (Robotech)

    analsis: signature mecha are piloted transforming aircraft/tanks/motorcycles, on the other hand there are several true robots as mobile vending machines, payphones, and photomachines (Macross) as well as police support units (Southern Cross)

    status: some robots, but not as signature mecha

    Gundam

    analsis: same as above, signature mecha are piloted vehicles, also as above, there are some true robots such as Haro (U.C. Gundam, Gundam SeeD) or the Virgo (Gundam Wing)

    status: some robots but none as signature mecha

    Start: geek_rant

    The japanese are carful do diferentate between what a "robot" is and is not. They use the term "mecha" (and for gods sake don't call anything a "mech" unless it's a battlemech from the mechwarrior line) to describe just about anything mechanical including robots, but show better judgement on using "robot" than lazy minded americans.

    End: geek_rant

  47. You have to much faith in democracy... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    You assume democracy will hold...

    There's no guarantee anywhere that says democracy has to last longer than say 500 years before imploding into some kind of corporatism.

  48. Yes... by RefriedBean · · Score: 1

    ...but when can I get my Linux powered APU?

  49. Linux-powered robots? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I hope they dont swear allegiance to Darl.

  50. that'll have to change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Again, they do have massive unemployment. Much as the IT workers in this country found out, if you can't find work at the rate you previously got, you may have to consider lower rates.

    It is difficult to simultaneously have a high unemployment rate and unaffordable labor. It is a supply and demand situation.

    1. Re:that'll have to change by LionKimbro · · Score: 1

      Actually, what I (IT worker) found out, was that if you can't find work at the rate you previously got, that they won't hire you period, even if you offer to work for free.

      You are right- it will be a supply and demand situation.

      The supply of 24-hour a day small one-time payment professional and obedient humans that can instantly jack into the intelligence architecture and interacting with you by a slick GUI will be very, very, very, small.

      There may be a world market for, what, maybe five humans.

  51. Prediction by JFMulder · · Score: 2, Funny

    The world will never need more than 5 robots.

  52. "I for one, welcome our new robot overlords" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Dude. This guy got modded up for essentially saying "I, for one, welcome our new robot overlords."

  53. Industrial Robots by MarkJensen · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Of industrial robots, I know that KUKA uses Windows 95, and now Windows XP in their robot controllers.

    At one time ABB also used windows in what they called the "top hat", which was little more than an industrial Win 95 laptop supported above the controller. I am not sure if their new products have changed.

    The third major player is Fanuc. I worked for these guys for a little over 4 years. They use thier own OS.

    Working with the Windows-based robots has had some issues (BSOD, etc.), and I think it would be nice to have some of these running Linux. All the Win portion is used for is/was the GUI, anyway, so the real path execution is handled separately. Perhaps some of the industry heavies are considering Linux already...

  54. History shows productivity boots everyone by PudriK · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It's also not as simple to say that all these people will be out on their keister, except for the one repair guy. History shows that mechanization and boosts in productivity benefit everyone, starting with the use of agricultural machinery to get people out of the fields. Yes, in the short term jobs are displaced, but the increase in productivity means that fewer people are needed to generate one commodity, and so that the remainder are free to open up new lines of business and create new services and commodities. There will always be a group of obselete workers, but I would take issue with anyone who says artificially protecting their jobs is for the greater good.

    The worst case, unfortunately, is that if you artifiically protect certain jobs, they will be moved overseas to where those protections don't apply. In the short term, those workers keep their jobs, but in the long term, the economy of your nation is put at a disadvantage from your neighboors, and that hurts everyone.

    1. Re:History shows productivity boots everyone by Yohahn · · Score: 1

      The whole point of computerization is to improve productivity. That may mean less people, same amount of product, or it may mean same number of people, more product.

      Unless you do it wrong, you either end up with more product (and the problems related to this..) or less employed people (with its problems as well).

      If you do it wrong, you end up with the technology bubble (spending on technology but not really getting any benifit from it).

      If you computerize and it requires the same number of people to do the same job, something went wrong.

      The really interesting ethical question is: "Why is reducing the amount of work people are required to do a bad thing?"

      Hrm...

    2. Re:History shows productivity boots everyone by e.colli · · Score: 0

      In my understanding, robots will first substitute jobs were generally people don't want to do, house cleening for example. It's interesting to see in third contries like ours (Brasil) the "exportation" of this type of working people to first world european countries. The human labor move is to intelectual, tourism, arts, etc. Hand work is faded to die, but i hope, this will no occur in this century.

    3. Re:History shows productivity boots everyone by HiThere · · Score: 1

      If by the short term you mean for a century or two, then I agree. But you didn't talk about what it's like to live through that century. Or about what proportion of the people normally do. Most europeans today don't have largely (say more than 60%) peasant ancestors, but if you go back very far, you find over 90% peasants. This is because the peasants tended to die, unpleansantly, whenever things became difficult. Their *normal* lives were close to the edge.

      Do you really like the prospect of living through another period like that? Actually, that should be phrased "Do you really like the prospect of living INTO a period like that?" The living through it part is wildly optomistic.

      N.B.: Don't take any of the statistics seriously. They are handwaving approximations of something that would be said much more verbosely if I were talking.

      But do you notice all the people named Richard, Richardson, Hixson, Dixon, Dick, etc. Those are names that were, at one period, were given to the children of very wealthy men. And if they were inherited in your family, they indicate that your ancestors included very wealthy men. Also Miller, Smith, Cooper...not so wealthy, but by no means minor. I'm not sure about the Farmers. But that isn't a common name anywhere I've ever lived. And of course most names don't mean anything.

      Now this isn't determinant. Family names only track patrilineal descent, and traditional names naturally tend to favor the wealthy and powerful. (If we name our kid after great-aunt Horsebottom, she may look on us with favor.) But other modes of evaluation tend to point in the same direction. During periods of stress, the relatively powerless tend to suffer even more than the powerful, frequently to the point of dying.

      Then again, it was the black death that was the foundation of the middle class in europe. The labor shortage became so extreme that peasants were able to sell their labor to other than the "rightful lords", so the fled from the abusive ones. If they stayed free for a year and a day (in some places) then they could never be haled back by legal means. And this was the basis of the rise of the towns.

      We are headed into a period of such danger as the world has never seen. It's coming quickly. I fear and despise it. And yet...
      As I watch the actions of our government this wildly uncontrollable rate of change seems like it may hold our only hope of survival. The government act in ways that seem calculated to ensure the destruction of all life on earth. If it's not nuclear holocaust, it's 100% lethal plagues. And next we'll find they've been playing around with the grey goo. But perhaps some unexpected result will throw all it's plans awry.

      Now I'm sure that the government doesn't plan to kill everybody off. And teenagers who play chicken don't plan to kill themselves. But somebody, somehow, needs to stop them. (P.S.: This doesn't mean any particular government. All the one's the seem capable appear anxious to join in the game.)

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    4. Re:History shows productivity boots everyone by PudriK · · Score: 1

      You are ignoring that that innovations in agriculture during meant that many peasants were able to move into the cities, and by the 18th c. had become the primary labor of the industrial revolution. This would not be reflected in their familial names. Right now the loss of manufacturing jobs in the US seems to be more the result of moving them overseas than to automation. Also, I think you don't take into account that modern life is much more mobile. It is much easier these days to learn a new trade, move to where the work is, or for your kids to do something completely different than their parents. So I don't forsee two centuries of proletariat poverty anytime soon. I would be more concerned with bringing much of the third world up to the standards of the developed world, and part of this will involve moving jobs from "developed" coutries. As for your bleak view of the future, I don't know what to say. I would consel that you don't want to "stop" governments... first, as an individual, you can't. Second, you have to work within the established systems to transform them in the directions you seek. If you think this can't be done, I would point to the progress of entire last century. Yes, marches and demonstrations get the word out, but it was specific laws that changed, thanks to the self-interest of politicians following public sentiment, not any revolution.

  55. Robot postings? by Wolfier · · Score: 1

    Is there some sort of auto comments generator that automatically generates comments on Slashdot?

    How about a challenge - can anyone make a robot that produces, without hardcoded input, a +5 comment?

    1. Re:Robot postings? by Dwedit · · Score: 1

      Yeah, scan a bunch of slashdot articles, find any nearly identical +5's, especially with recurring keywords, then post those.

      Soon words like Dying, Beowulf, and Soviet would end up in the database.

      Don't even need the robot.

    2. Re:Robot postings? by Prof.Phreak · · Score: 1

      How about a challenge - can anyone make a robot that produces, without hardcoded input, a +5 comment?

      For that, all you'd need is a beowolf cluster of robots located in soviet russia, all Windows hating, Linux loving, making you produce the +5 comments.

      Amm... and occationally add in a Simpsons reference, and you're set :-)

      --

      "If anything can go wrong, it will." - Murphy

  56. Why *NOT* Linux? by MarkJensen · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Now, I am not talking that Linux has to be in control of the robot. In industrial robots, Windows is often just used as the 'front end' GUI for the operators and technicians. KUKA and ABB both use Windows for this. Why can they not use Linux instead? It is certainly a very capable OS for a GUI system that needs to communicate TCP/IP to something like VxWorks (on the robot control end).

    I think that the lure and attraction of a royalty-free OS would have had industrial manufacturers already on Linux. Corporate inertia is what is really driving the Windows GUI on industrial robots.

  57. Re:Maybe we will force them to hand over those fru by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You know, the citizens can elect representatives that redistribute wealth to the people from those who own the robots.....

    Wake up and smell the capitalism people!

    This system already exists, YOU ARE THE ROBOTS.

    A programmer only costs maybe $75,000 a year to maintain, a office manager bot maybe $50,000 a year, a hamburger maker bot will run with only $20,000 maintainence.

    LABOR IS A COMMODITY.

    Do you think the owners care if they are paying to develop and maintain a robot or just paying for a human laborer, it's all the same to them!

  58. Mining Robots by Colymbosathon+ecplec · · Score: 2, Interesting
    I have been working with my brother for years trying to develop robots with mining related applications. We have gold mines that we could reopen if we could cut the labor cost, which is the greatest expense. We are experimenting with off-the-shelf technology from other industries.

    On the other hand, as miners in a long family of miners, we are concerned at the loss of mining jobs. That concern is tempered by the lack of participation I see from other miners when it comes to being politically active. It's hard to keep the fight for rights up when you're alone. And that apathy is exactly why groups get BOHICA'd. Soon we'll have UAV's flying aeromag and other airborne geophysical surveys, which is fine by me, considering the prohibitive cost with the conventional method.

    Alaska Village invited to test cheap, clean nuclear power

  59. Linux on NASA Robots by goatbar · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I think it was about 1997 that a bunch of us at NASA started replacing VxWorks systems on robots such as the Marsokhod and Nomad with Linux systems. Much more pleasant to develope Linux based systems. Then there was the time we were forced to cope with a WinNT box on Nomad when it went to Chile. Bad memories.

  60. Sorry in advance... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I for one welcome our new robot overlords!

    (comeon - the title was asking for it)

  61. Nothing new by jmv · · Score: 2, Insightful

    At the lab where I'm working, we've been using Linux robots (ActivMedia Pioneer 2) for years. Linux actually came pre-installed on them (the only option). We've even been developing a bunch of Linux tools for robots.

  62. what's the problem? by penguin7of9 · · Score: 1

    How long before innovation that can take the role of a worker in a labor-shortage environment ends up being used to replace real people in a labor-glutted environment?

    That's not a technical problem, it's a societal problem: the notion that you are a bad person if you don't work needs to change. A large fraction of the population will simply have to get money from "the government" and "other people's taxes" since they will have no useful skills that other people would be willing to pay them for.

    I mean, what's the alternative? Smash all machines in an attempt to create work artificially? You might as well go to work crushing rocks or do something similarly meaningless. Or do you propose that everybody who doesn't have a useful skill just starve to death?

  63. If the robots are self-replicating... by arevos · · Score: 1

    If a robot can build another robot, then all it wouldn't really be worth much for a select few to keep the robots to themselves. When the day comes when robots can do all our work for us, then they'd obviously be complicated enough to repair themselves and create new copies. If there are more robots than are needed in the world, and robots can be produced, effectively, for nothing, then there's no economic motication for hording all these 'bots for oneself.

    What if some benevolent person bought a robot and, after making sure it was legal to change it's software, commanded it to work for the betterment of humanity, creating more and more copies of itself. Perhaps the benevolent person could create a limited company as a front. That way the robot could do services, and deposit money in a bank account, and buy material, even if it has no rights itself.

    There are problems with a world dependant on robots (Issac Asimov delved a lot into that subject), but if the robots are truly as advanced as we are, then I doubt there would be much of an economic problem.

    1. Re:If the robots are self-replicating... by Tokerat · · Score: 1

      There are problems with a world dependant on robots...
      ...speak for yourself, copper-top!
      --
      CAn'T CompreHend SARcaSm?
  64. Hardly by mongbot · · Score: 1

    The blue-collar worker won't be eliminated. Instead robots will make particularly repetitive and simple jobs redundant. With the money that the company saves by using robots they can employ former blue-collar workers to do jobs that only humans can do, jobs that actually require human intelligence and creativity.

  65. Great by mongbot · · Score: 2, Funny

    so with Linux robots making cars, I can expect to be driving via a command line interface instead of a steering wheel in the future? ignition left right accelerate break On the other hand, it might be cool to be able to write shell scripts. if $CAR $== $POLICE then pullover; else accelerate; fi

  66. robots by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    LOL.
    Not for another 5-7 years imho, robots are still quite costly. Sony has two robots and they bought sell quite horribly (compared to the rest of there product line). Again, it'll be a few years until robots become practicaly, here's my expirements with my mindstorm kit.
    http://pluto.phpwebhosting.com/~akbara/priva te/sit e/robotvision.htm

    1. Re:robots by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sorry about that. robotics link

  67. It's been done, but not much by Animats · · Score: 1
    A few years ago, McDonalds made a big deal about moving to robotics in their outlets. But other than drink dispensing, not much seems to have been deployed.

    AMF built a hard-automation hamburger stand in the 1960s. It had huge capacity but was inflexible. The test location was outside some big industrial plant where most of the day's business was in a single half hour period.

    Airline meals are sometimes assembled on conveyor lines by industrial robots.

    But illegal immigrants are so cheap.

  68. This is my favorite post. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I got a score five. But this is my favorite post.

  69. Sony SDR by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Honda Asimo robot at this stage is quite old... search for "Sony SDR 4x" for one of the leading-edge humanoid robots in development (although, unlike Asimo, the SDR is not (yet?) in production (like the AIBO was, it's currently a toy for Sony's engineers :) ) (SDR = Sony Dream Robot))

    Features:
    2x smaller than Asimo
    AWESOME vision system (it creates 3d occupancy grids using binocular vision)
    in general, better actuators and better navigation
    it can get up from a lying down position!!!

    (note: in no way am i saying that "sony is better than honda" or any such nonsense. but if you'd see one of these things, you'd understand why i think they're so cool compared to "grandpa" Asimo :) )

  70. Marshall Brain; old idea by PsychoKick · · Score: 2, Informative

    Marshall Brain wrote about this in his online novel Manna. The later chapters concerning the "Australia Project" bear a striking resemblance to the never-implemented 1930s-era theory of Technocracy (The actual main Technocracy site is rather ill-organized).

  71. More Photos of Robots by rpiquepa · · Score: 4, Informative

    In addition to the Linux Devices guide, Paul Baron spent some time shooting 61 pictures during the 2003 International Robot Exposition in Tokyo about two weeks ago. (Warning: navigation is somewhat difficult; the screen is getting refresh when you just want to scroll). Here is a link to a shorter selection. And for more information about Linux-based robots, you can take a peek at a former overview, "Real-Time Linux Robots Are Coming."

  72. That's why bi-peds suck by nnnneedles · · Score: 1

    They should just settle with robots on wheels with a really stable body (think R2D2) and make them use the elevators.

    Going up stairs at 0.00000001 mph is pointless anyway.

    --
    Will code a sig generator for food
    1. Re:That's why bi-peds suck by azuretek · · Score: 1

      I think the reason for bi-pedal robots is to cross terrain like jungle and swamp. Military application is probably the driving force in how robots are going to be designed for the future.

    2. Re:That's why bi-peds suck by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I take offence to that.

  73. Don't tell me someone missed it...? by djneko · · Score: 1

    Because I, for one, welcome our new robotic overlords.

    Or was that too obvious?

    --
    `/\/\
    (^.^)
    (")(")
    not quite an analog pussy, just a cat that plays with vinyl
  74. Long, long way to go. by some+old+guy · · Score: 1

    Not with the Bots themselves, but with the way they (or anything Linux) can be interfaced into current CMMS and CAD/CAM architectures.

    I've worked with programming and networking ASEA/ABB and Fanuc industrial bots in the automotive industry for years, and getting a Linux-based robot language to run seamlessly with the dominant Windows-based platforms like Wonderware, Rockwell, MP2, Alta, or Visual Plant is a real API challenge(not to mention the political battle with the bean-counters and corporate IT hacks).

    It wouldn't surprise me if the Japanese do it first, given their coporate technical xenophobia. They'd rather spend a mint on a domestic solution than see an Allen-Bradley or Siemens logo in their plants.

    I'd love to see it, but probably not in my ever-shrinking lifetime.

    --
    Scruting the inscrutable for over 50 years.
  75. aw, I've seen THIS one before..... by trick-knee · · Score: 1

    robots running linux are nothing new.

    http://folk.uio.no/hpv/linuxtoons/robotman.1999- 09 -10.png

  76. Linux for all devices please by cccemper · · Score: 1

    Well - I guess not only the robotics and mechanics industry is urging for cheaper operating systems... nowadays Linux is being implemented in smart-phones aswell as digital video broadcast receivers...

    Cheers, christoph
    PS: as I said, we had that Linux 3G phone newsitem some days ago...

  77. Within 100 years by roman_mir · · Score: 1

    robots will be twice as powerful, ten thousand times larger, and so expensive that only the five richest kings of Europe will own them.

  78. Robots Are Good for Communism! by Vagary · · Score: 1

    Didn't Marx specify that communism would not work until technology was to a point that people's basic needs could be cheaply met? Didn't he warn Lenin that Russia could not sustain a communism unless Western Europe were also involved?

    Robotic labour is exactly what we need if we want communism. The only way we can save mankind from the tyrrany of greed is if labour is optional.

    A lot of posters are pointing out that robots won't replace all labour but leave just a few highly qualified positions, how will we get those people to work in a communism? Well tell me this: how many /. readers would be willing to tinker with robots for free if they didn't have to worry about a job? At least as many who'd tinker with pure software, I think. Science fiction will be the propaganda of the revolution.

  79. Guaranteed Income is the Future by Vagary · · Score: 1

    Athens produced so much philosophy and science because slaves gave the citizens lots of time to sit around and think. If we have robot slaves, we'll also have lots of time to sit around. A high-technology communism would cause an explosion in philosophy, art, science, and open source code. :)

    Since we now know that centrally planned economies are unable to adequately allocate resources (this is why the USSR fell -- it had nothing to do with socialism), guaranteed income to citizens to be spent on the free market is the best implementation of a future communism.

    I, for one, welcome our robot slaves.

  80. Honda Didn't Outsource? by Vagary · · Score: 1

    So Honda is now interested in robots because they didn't outsource the manufacture of their production line robots, right? As a requirement of their core business, the companies has been forced to become experts at what they now see as their future business. If that's not a brilliant argument against outsourcing, I don't know what is.

  81. Different Strokes for Different Folks by Vagary · · Score: 1

    Japan's retirement problem is certainly worse than the rest of the First World's, however the problem of increased retirement is epidemic. Different countries have different solutions:

    Japan: build robots.
    United States: outsource to the Third World.
    Canada: bring the Third World to us (via immigration).

    Although many First World countries would benefit from Canada's approach, very few are so non-xenophobic and have a culture capable of integrating so many immigrants. The US perhaps comes close, but since manufacturing jobs can be exported (unlike Canada's resource jobs), and the US is run by corporations only interested in short-term gain, they're fucked.

    Japan's racism is the real reason they must turn to robots, not their demographics.

  82. +1 Insightful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Only post that isn't just slobbering cheering for Linux. I think this is very valid as my own embedded work has been either VxWorks or QNX Neutrino - Both extremely proven and capable systems. The idea of using Linux just seems ridiculous.

  83. The Robots are Coming by sharkey · · Score: 1

    Mmmmm... robot porn.

    --

    --
    "Outlook not so good." That magic 8-ball knows everything! I'll ask about Exchange Server next.
    1. Re:The Robots are Coming by doombob · · Score: 1

      Haven't you ever heard of the three D's?

      Robots will do jobs that are
      1. Dull
      2. Difficult
      3. Dangerous

      Not sure where robot pr0n fits in there...

  84. They do by bluGill · · Score: 4, Informative

    Back when I worked at McDonalds (I quit in 1995) we already had a robot to fill the fry baskets, we just took a basket off the machine, and put it in the fryer. Nearly all McDonalds have this machine now.

    This machine is actualy a spinoff from the fully robotic fryer. McDonalds had a fryer delivered that you poured froozen frys in one end, and out the other came fully cooked frys. That machine was too expensive for most stores to justify purchasing, (at current wages anyway...) but the figgured they could make the basket filler a seperate machine for a reasonable price and save come labor there. Eventially all stores will have the full robot, but not until prices come down a little more.

    The fryer will come before the robotic grill, because while either can be done, the fryer is much more dangerious. More serious burns result from accidewnts involving the fryer than the grill. However McDonalds can't figgure out how to make money putting the robotic fryer in each resteraunt. (higher prices won't sell in thie buisness)

  85. Michael Moore by CGP314 · · Score: 2, Funny

    Will all the displaced workers sing 'me and my buddy' about the robots?