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Defending Earth From Asteroids With MADMEN

jolomo writes "A partner of Atlanta-based NASA Institute of Advanced Concepts is working on a concept they call MADMEN (Modular Asteroid Deflection Mission Ejector Nodes), which would launch a distributed attack against large Earth-bound objects. Thousands of MADMEN could be built by many nations and when launched, each would land on the object, drill into its surface and remove enough material to change its course."

107 of 499 comments (clear)

  1. Experiment by zeux · · Score: 4, Interesting

    If you want to see this effect try this (a teacher told me about that 10 years ago):
    on a day without wind go in a light boat with something like 300 pounds of rocks. Go in the middle of a lake and launch all the rocks in the same direction as far as possible. After a while you'll notice that the boat is moving slowly in the opposite direction (depending on the weight and speed of the launches).

    Nice trick that makes lot of sense in vaccum, with hundreds of 'rock launchers' and continous launches over a very long time.

    As we say in French, "toute action entraine une reaction".

    1. Re:Experiment by zeux · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Yes that's in part why you have a strong kick backward with a gun when you fire a bullet.

    2. Re:Experiment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

      What's the other part? The Mystic Gun Faeries pulling on you?

      Dolt.

    3. Re:Experiment by rokzy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      it's not the explosion pushing the gun backwards, it's conservation of linear momentum.

      if you could have an explosion that was only forwards, you'd still get recoil.

    4. Re:Experiment by Doesn't_Comment_Code · · Score: 5, Funny

      Actually you can do a similar experiment in a boat with a gun. If you shoot out the back of the boat enough times, the boat will move slightly forward. Shooting forward will make it move backward a little. If you shoot up in the air, the boat will move downward slightly before springing back from boyancy.

      Once strange thing I've never been able to figure out though, is why shooting downward also makes the boat move downward?!

      --

      Slashdot Syndrome: the sudden, extreme urge to correct someone in order to validate one's self.
    5. Re:Experiment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

      Easy: the hole you just shot in the bottom of the boat allows water in, causing the boat to sink

    6. Re:Experiment by sketerpot · · Score: 2, Insightful
      The way I see it, the explosion is pushing out in all directions. The gun barrel isn't about to change shape, since it's strong. The bullet is pushed out of the gun. The explosion also pushes back against the gun.

      Correct me if I'm wrong, but why wouldn't the explosion push the gun backwards?

    7. Re:Experiment by hikerhat · · Score: 5, Funny

      Dude, when someone tells you to load 300 pounds of rocks into a boat and take it out on the lake he isn't trying to teach you something. He's trying trick you into spending a day moving 300 pounds of rocks and sinking your boat.

    8. Re:Experiment by w42w42 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I believe this would be one of Newtons Laws. Something about an equal / opposite reaction.

      A nice example of this though is the A-10 Warthog, a slow aircraft used by the marines with a very large gatling gun (rounds size of old milk bottles). The kick back on that gun is apparently close to equal with the thrust of one of it's two engines.

    9. Re:Experiment by rokzy · · Score: 2, Informative

      the gun does move backwards, but it's not about "pushing". this is a subtlety important in space, where people sometimes think "how can a rocket work when there's no air to push against?".

      if you have an object made of two parts (e.g 'gun and bullet' or 'rocket and exhaust gas') which is initially stationary, then if one part moves forwards, the other part MUST move backwards to conserve linear momentum.

    10. Re:Experiment by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 4, Funny

      I wish posts could be moderated two things. For example, the above post could be both "redundant" AND "unbelievably retarded".

      -B

    11. Re:Experiment by InfiniteWisdom · · Score: 3, Funny

      I wish PEOPLE could be modded. You could be both "humor impaired" and "anal"

    12. Re:Experiment by geoffspear · · Score: 4, Funny

      Actually, you can do a similar expirment on a boat with oars. or an outboard motor.

      --
      Don't blame me; I'm never given mod points.
    13. Re:Experiment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Marines don't typically fly A-10's. Unless they moved over to the Air Force.

      The A-10 is somewhere between air-cavalry (which would be the army's business) and fighter (which of course the air force would command).

      Since it's got fixed wings, and requires (a relatively long runway), and all the support equipment and personel related to fixed wing aircraft, it's the Air Force's.

      But you're right about the gun.

      Search for A-10 test clips on the 'net. It's insanely powerful.

    14. Re:Experiment by flewp · · Score: 3, Informative

      The gun is actually a 30mm Gatling Gun. I'm not sure the total size of the shell, but the individual bullets are only 30mm in diameter. They're also made of depleted uranium so they're pretty heavy. As you said though, the kick back is so severe, that they can only shoot in short bursts. That, and I don't think you'd need more than a short burst to take most thing out with a gun like that.

      --
      WWJD.... for a Klondike bar?
    15. Re:Experiment by Firethorn · · Score: 2, Informative

      A couple of corrections, the A-10 is the Air Force's toy. And the recoil from the gun actually exceeds that of both engines. And from seeing the rounds, they're actually larger than the old milk bottles. I like the GAU-8. Because the Warthog can move so slow, and is armored, it can provide 'close air support' closer than any explosive.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    16. Re:Experiment by Smidge204 · · Score: 4, Funny

      Yeah, you you're standing in the boat, and you throw the outboard motor or the oars out the back as hard as you can... ...then you get out your trusty flare gun and signal for help, because now you're stranded!
      =Smidge=

    17. Re:Experiment by iminplaya · · Score: 2, Funny

      If you shoot out the back of the boat enough times, the boat will move slightly forward.

      Then it will move somewhat less slighty downward(because you just shot out the back of the boat?)

      --
      What?
    18. Re:Experiment by spongman · · Score: 4, Informative
      the conservation of energy is a law, it explains why things must happen, it doesn't explain why they happen.

      • a rocket works in space because the expanding gas exterts more pressure on the aft-facing components of the engine (including other gasses) than the bow facing ones.
      • In exatly the same way, a propeller doesn't move a ship forward because it's pushing water backwards, it does so because the water behind the blade is pushing forward (relative to the aft-moving inertial frame of the blade).
      • with a bullet in a gun, it's the expanding gas exerting pressure on the rear of the chamber that causes the kickback. of course, the intertia of the bullet governs the amount of pressure exerted, but it's not the forward motion of the bullet doing the work. That's just an effect.
    19. Re:Experiment by turbod · · Score: 2, Informative

      I beg to differ, both scientifically and in RL (tm).

      Scientifically/mathematically, the gun expels a small amount of mass accelerated to a given velocity by the propellant in the cartridge. This generates a back push (the bullet leaving the barrel - not the exploding powder). Simple action/reaction -- because the bullet is moving freely down the barrel (what energy lost is heat in the rifling, which is dissipated off the barrel), the gun is not accelerated by the "explosion" - the bullet is accelerating, not the gun.

      Proof that the burning powder does not push against the gun, is that the barrel does not flip up (torque the gun), until the moment the bullet has exited the barrel, otherwise no bullet would ever hit a target it was directly aimed at.

      Furthermore to correct most people on the thread, the bullet is accelerating all the way down the barrel --- the powder is burning through the entire path of the bullet down the barrel (not exploding at the cartridge --- though the initial pressure surge of the burned powder that separates the bullet from the cart is extremely important), enhancing the bullet's performance down the barrel. This is also why magnums or other high powered bullets have a lot of muzzle flash, these cartridges are stuffed with excess powder to give the bullet an extreme kick in the pants all the way down the barrel. Usually this results in an excess heated gas wave carrying burning burning powder and exiting the barrel of the gun, with burning completed outside of the gun barrel (and to no effect on the bullet). The excess is not a big deal -- unless you are firing somewhere close to a combustible object or liquid/gas. It's better to have more powder (since its cheap), to guarantee the effectiveness of the accelerator (as long as the accelerator can hold up to the pressures involved), with the accelerator being the barrel....

      There is little to no push on the gun from the gases exiting the barrel... until the burning powder exits the gun barrel, all of the energy being released by the burn should be transferred to the bullet (save for the heat loss and frictional losses to the barrel).

      TurboD

  2. Appropriate acronym by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Obviously a project named after the inventors.

    1. Re:Appropriate acronym by vensonOnSlashdot · · Score: 3, Funny

      Perhaps they haven't yet heard of the aliens' newest project - PSYCHIATRISTS.

    2. Re:Appropriate acronym by Wellspring · · Score: 2, Informative

      One of them is my DM. He runs a tight ship, and yes, he's insane. :)

      This is finally some good use of taxpayer money. Science and technology like this is rarely applied directly as intended, but the spinoffs are what give us MRIs, integrated circuits, etc. </preach target="choir">

    3. Re:Appropriate acronym by hesiod · · Score: 4, Funny

      > the aliens' newest project - PSYCHIATRISTS

      Propelled System Yielding Continuous High Intensity Asteroids To Remove Ignorant Species on Terran Surface?

      Maybe I should have wasted a bit more time on that one...

  3. Am I the only one? by st0rmshad0w · · Score: 5, Funny

    Who read that as Defending the Earth From MADMEN with Asteroids?

    1. Re:Am I the only one? by snake_dad · · Score: 3, Funny

      I didn't. But my mind's eye saw huge linear accelerators slinging the earth's maddest men at asteroids... Bye Lance! Bye Darl!

      --
      karma capped .sig seeking available Slashdot poster for long-term relationship.
  4. DOS an asteroid? by pixel_bc · · Score: 5, Funny

    So... like... a DDOS against a chunk of rock? ... heh. Imagine a Beo... nevermind.

  5. MADMEN? Drilling? by Thud457 · · Score: 3, Funny

    We cannot let there be a astronautical mineshaft gap!

    --

    the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

  6. Please... by evilmuffins · · Score: 3, Funny

    Will someone please tell these companies to stop turning to local schools for names for their projects.

  7. MADMEN? by Bobdoer · · Score: 3, Funny

    NASA really has beaten Congress in the stupid name department.

    1. Re:MADMEN? by line.at.infinity · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I've noticed from my University experience that astronomers are quite mad. Other acronyms they've come up with:

      WIMP = Weakly Interacting Massive Particles
      MACHO = MAssive Compact Halo Object

  8. Side effect by Unnngh! · · Score: 2, Funny

    On the off chance that aliens drop by for a visit, could we use the drones to try breaking their ships into little pieces too? After reading Mission Earth years ago I always thought we needed some sort of space-pointing defence system, just in case;)

    1. Re:Side effect by Bendebecker · · Score: 2, Interesting

      No, it will probably be liek "This island Earth" where the aliens use asteroids to attack other planets. Go to asteroid belt, get big rock, throw at planet, return to belt to get more. We are defending oursleves from alien invaders when we prevent asteroid strikes. Of course, any alien race that can get here will probably just kick our asses the odl fashioned way when asteroids fail anyway. DOn't believe me? Think Gort x 1,000,000...

      --
      There's a growing sense that even if The Future comes,
      most of us won't be able to afford it.
      -- Lemmy
  9. Think outside the box? by JohnGrahamCumming · · Score: 5, Funny

    Why, oh why, do they keep coming up with these silly "destory or deflect the asteroid" schemes? Such "inside the box" thinking.

    When is someone going to focus on the important alternative: how about moving Earth out of the way instead?

    John.

    1. Re:Think outside the box? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      No, that would be to difficult. We should simply dig a hole through the earth where the asteroid is supposed to impact.

    2. Re:Think outside the box? by Doesn't_Comment_Code · · Score: 2, Funny

      Continue to encourage NASA to shift earth's orbit to avoid asteroids. It's a GREAT idea!

      Meanwhile, I will buy a bunch of arctic/desert land for cheap. Then, when they shift the earth ever so slightly the climate shift will make all the paradises of today baren wastelands. And who's left with all the sugar? Me.

      I know this will work. I saw something similar on Superman a long time ago.

      --

      Slashdot Syndrome: the sudden, extreme urge to correct someone in order to validate one's self.
    3. Re:Think outside the box? by savagedome · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Archimedes is said to have declared that long time ago.

    4. Re:Think outside the box? by NanoGator · · Score: 4, Funny

      "When is someone going to focus on the important alternative: how about moving Earth out of the way instead?"

      Or we could just spin the planet so we can control where the asteroid will land. "Hey France, CATCH!"

      --
      "Derp de derp."
  10. All nations, huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    I can see it now
    Russia: We pushed left, why didn't it change course?
    USA: Why didn't you check first? we pushed right!

    1. Re:All nations, huh? by hoggoth · · Score: 2, Funny

      China: towards USA
      USA: towards China
      China: towards USA
      USA: towards China
      China: towards USA
      USA: towards China
      China: towards USA
      USA: towards China
      China: towards USA

      USA: Ok, Ok, stop it! This is stupid! We're both pushing and it's not changing direction! I saw we both push AWAY, ok?
      China: Ok.
      USA: You first.
      China: You first.

      USA: towards China
      China: towards USA
      USA: towards China
      China: towards USA
      USA: towards China
      China: towards USA
      USA: towards China
      China: towards USA

      --
      - For the complete works of Shakespeare: cat /dev/random (may take some time)
    2. Re:All nations, huh? by Gaijin42 · · Score: 2, Informative

      um. Which side of the earth an asteroid hits is pretty much a function of when it gets here, since the earth spins. So unless you have a way to delay it getting to earth (and delaying it would allow earth to just move out of the way)

      So really the only way you could get it to hit the "other" side of the earth, would be to delay it AND deflect it to be into the new spot in earth's orbit. If you can deflect it, just deflect it the OTHER WAY.

      In addition, an asteroid of any significance hitting the earth (singificant enough that we would try and deflect it) would be pretty much cataclysmic regardless of where it it. Tidal waves, and dust plumes, and fires would do the damage no matter where they started from.

  11. Only in Atlanta... by chamilto0516 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Only in Atlanta would an idea like, "Shoot it a bunch of times and see if it goes away" would such a solution be born.

    --
    Magic Eight Ball: Outlook not so good., Hmmm, how about Excel and Word?
  12. Testing should be interesting by jstave · · Score: 5, Funny

    I can see it now: "Yes, we're about to launch a large number of missiles armed with powerful explosives. All nuclear powers please remain calm. This is only a test. No, really, none of these will malfunction and visit death and destruction on somebody we're having a disagreement with. Honest."

  13. Re:This is a boondoggle by Gil2796 · · Score: 2, Funny

    I disagree. If we let nuclear proliferation and environmental degradation continue, our atmosphere will a perfect shield against asteroids. Any potential asteroid threat will simply burn up in the radioactive waste that is our atmosphere.

    I saw it in this Simpson's episode once! It's true!

  14. How good will the system be? by millahtime · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Will the MADMEN be good enough to stop say.... The moon gets hit by an asteroid knocking it off course and towards the earth.

    So, maybe I played too much pool as a kid.

    1. Re:How good will the system be? by sketerpot · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Playing pool would be a good aid to getting a handle on asteroids bumping into each other, except for two things. First, collisions in pool are mostly elastic, so there isn't that much loss of momentum. You can't expect that from asteroids or the moon. Second, pool balls are, in an honest game, all roughly the same mass. The moon is much bigger than an asteroid, and the forces keeping in in balance with the earth are probably enough to absorb a little asteroid collision easily.

  15. Re:This is a boondoggle by antis0c · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Yeah its not like Asteroids ever caused any mass extinctions in the past.. .. Oh wait, thats right, Dinosaurs.

    --

    ..There's a-dooin's a-transpirin'
  16. hm by EMH_Mark3 · · Score: 2

    How would you get thousands of units all fire chunks of asteroids in the same direction if the asteroid is rotating? If you fire in all direction the net effect would be pretty much nil.

    --
    Burn the land and boil the sea, you can't take the sky from me
  17. Yes! by B3ryllium · · Score: 4, Funny

    I fully support using world leaders as ammunition to deflect asteroids.

    I, for one, welcome our new Madmen-flinging overlords.

  18. Alternative methods by Doesn't_Comment_Code · · Score: 4, Interesting

    My favorite approach that I've heard so far is to paint the asteroid while its still a long way out. You paint one half to absorb radiation and leave the other side alone. The idea is that after long enough the sun will push the asteroid off course.

    What kind of goofy people come up with this stuff?

    My second favorite is to put rocket engines on lots of little asteroids and crash them into the big asteroid coming for earth. Some lucky bastard would get paid to sit in his chair at NASA with a joystick and play asteroids.

    Imagine the pressure!

    --

    Slashdot Syndrome: the sudden, extreme urge to correct someone in order to validate one's self.
    1. Re:Alternative methods by de+la+mettrie · · Score: 2, Informative

      Painting half the rock black will not do: a) asteroids rotate, b) they already have a pretty low albedo and c) the irradiated area is likely too small to cause trajectory changes outside the margin of error. Large solar sails might work better.

      Even so, the considerable problem of detecting a small, dark object at a very great distance with enough time left to be able to deploy countermeasures is not solved. This might require deploying a network of passive sensors across the solar system...

    2. Re:Alternative methods by PassiveLurker · · Score: 5, Informative

      Actually, painting the entire rock a brighter or darker color significantly different from it's current color would work - if you have enough time, it's the best possible solution, as it's a passive one.

      I'm not sure why people seem to think that you only need to paint half. I'm also not sure why other people think that because asteroids rotate this doesn't work - it is actually *because* the rock rotates that it does work.

      This relies on a phenomenon called the Yarkovsky effect. It can be thought of this way: Imagine you're standing on the asteroid where it's "asteroid high noon". Light is being absorbed throughout the "asteroid day" and heats the surface, particularly if the asteroid is darkly colored (e.g. a carbonaceous asteroid). After a while, the asteroid rotates and the sun sets. The asteroid then reradiates this heat in the direction of "asteroid evening". As it rotates more, by the time "asteroid morning" rolls around, the area your standing on has cooled down enough to radiate much less. Ergo, there is a differential radiation pressure on either side of the asteroid, which results in a net force over time. If it rotates with the same spin orientation as its orbit, its orbit will get wider. If it rotates with the opposite spin as its orbit, its orbit will get smaller.

      By painting the rock, you change this force - the brighter the paint, the more light is reflected, the less thrust, thereby changing the path.

      One last comment - the effect is subtle, so it would need to be applied early. It also preferentially favors diversion for small asteroids, since the Yarkovsky effect is a surface phenomena. The larger the asteroid, the smaller the surface-area-to-volume ratio, and the less deflection this thrust will do.

    3. Re:Alternative methods by lommer · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Wrong, Wrong and, Wrong. Please Play again.

      The trick is you paint the rock white, not black (i.e. you increase its albedo). The act of reflecting light imparts double the momentum of the act of absorbing it, thereby changing its orbit. Further, it doesn't matter that the asteroid rotates as you paint the whole asteroid. And actually, surprisingly, some of the guys at JPL have calculated that the area is actually enough - provided that the paint is applied early enough (several years prior to the predicted impact). The Yarkovsky effect is pretty small, but if you give it long enough, it will change the asteroid's orbit.

  19. That is so weird! by teamhasnoi · · Score: 5, Funny
    I was just discussing with a coworker about using asteriods to defend ourselves from madmen.

    In fact, a good sized asteriod could clear up a lot of this country's problems in a snap!

    Look out congresswhores! Mama needs a new box a' cooties, and she is mad!

  20. Hmmm, let's think about this for a sec. by StringBlade · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Thousands of MADMEN could be built by many nations and when launched, each would land on the object...

    How many nations have put rockets (with significant payloads) successfully into orbit? Right, I can count them on one hand too. So where do the other 995+ nations come in and what makes us think that any rouge nation that can lauch a rocket into space has the ability to aim it, much less land it on the surface of the asteriod?

    And finally, are we suggesting that we want thousands of nations to have the ability to launch rockets with payloads into outer space (or at least orbit)? I'm not being elitist here, but I think most of use agree that nuclear proliferation wasn't quite the boon we all thought it was going to be.

    --
    ...and that's the way the cookie crumbles.
    1. Re:Hmmm, let's think about this for a sec. by shadowbearer · · Score: 2, Interesting

      One question:

      Where did you get "thousands of nations" from "thousands of MADMEN could be built by many nations"?

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
  21. QUESTIONS... as AC to protect clearance ;-) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Food for thought:

    1) With such a system in place, would the United States be morally or legally bound to intervene if an asteroid was destined (for example) Cuba, or North Korea?

    2) Can such as system also be used to DIVERT or even AIM such a projectile as a weapon?*

    *(If it helps you sleep, you can answer this to yourself as "it saved millions of lives and cut short the war by several years". You know what I am talking about)

    Posted AC, because I work for The Man sometimes.

  22. Re:This is a boondoggle by cybermace5 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    It's a shot in a million, but if it happens we're toast. I'd like to know that there's a backup plan.

    Granted, most space-based weaponry capable of taking out an asteroid would also be pretty effective against ground targets, or other countries' ballistic missiles.

    --
    ...
  23. Re:This is a boondoggle by SirWhoopass · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You are correct. An asteroid impact is not very likley. If it occurs, however, the cost is very high. This research is only $75,000. Cheap insurance.

  24. I have a better idea... by UncleBiggims · · Score: 5, Funny

    Why not use an Illudium Q36 Explosive Space Modulator?

    Are you Corn Fed?

  25. Swarm good by ka9dgx · · Score: 2, Insightful
    I think it's crucial to have redundancy in such an oviously critical mission such as saving humanity. It also offers mission flexibilty, allowing the allocation of resources in response to the threat vectors presented.

    --Mike--

  26. Sagan by leehwtsohg · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I think that Carl Sagan made a very good point, saying that the chance of an astroid hitting earth is increased when one develops a technology to deflect astroids from their path, not decreased.

    1. Re:Sagan by mikeee · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Because you may also be able to use it to aim an asteroid towards earth.

    2. Re:Sagan by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 3, Insightful

      That would be a tricky weapon to use. You would have to choose an asteroid with exactly the right mass to destroy an enemy without ending life on Earth. Then you would have to both aim and time the asteroid to hit your enemy. Compare the difficulty of that to building or stealing a nuclear weapon. I'd worry about the nukes.

      -B

  27. Re:This is a boondoggle by Bendebecker · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "I'm sorry but worrying about asteroids is downright silly. Instead of spending money on something as fanciful as this, it would be much better to spend our energies on real problems: enviromental degradation, nuclear proliferation and such.

    We may as well worry about the boogyman as far as issues that are likely to affect us."


    Flashback 65 million years ago to the the late cretaceous: I'm sorry but worrying about asteroids is downright silly. Instead of spending time on something as fanicful as this, it would be much better to spend out energies on real problems: dropping stegasaurus populations, longer teeth and such.

    We may as well worry about another protozoan extinction as far as issues that are likely to affect us...

    He who failes to plan is dogmeat. What happens if we do nothing and say five years from now we find an asteroid coming towards us to wipe us out? You'll probably be the first to bitch and moan "why didn't we do something when we had time?"

    --
    There's a growing sense that even if The Future comes,
    most of us won't be able to afford it.
    -- Lemmy
  28. One wonders... by CoolVibe · · Score: 3, Funny

    Does NASA (or any other US gov thing) have a special department that think up cool acronyms?

    1. Re:One wonders... by hoggoth · · Score: 4, Funny

      > Does NASA (or any other US gov thing) have a special department that think up cool acronyms?

      Yes, of course they do. The Best Retired Alumni Implimenting NASA Symbolism group (BRAINS).

      --
      - For the complete works of Shakespeare: cat /dev/random (may take some time)
    2. Re:One wonders... by hoggoth · · Score: 2, Funny

      >> Does NASA (or any other US gov thing) have a special department that think up cool acronyms?
      > Yes, of course they do. The Best Retired Alumni Implimenting NASA Symbolism group (BRAINS).

      Or perhaps the Wasting Taxdollars Foundation (WTF).

      --
      - For the complete works of Shakespeare: cat /dev/random (may take some time)
  29. Re:This is a boondoggle by mikeee · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Asteroid (meteor?) strikes are more common than you'ld think; just in 1908 what was probably a comet struck Siberia with the force of a good-sized atom bomb and leveled 1200 square miles of forest. Had an inhabited area been struck, destruction would have been massive.

    Our best estimates seem to be this this is likely to happen every few hundred years; given that such an event might kill millions, it seems worth a minimal effort to take out a bit of insurance, and at least as sensible as banning GMOs.

  30. Movie? by kcornia · · Score: 2, Funny

    I haven't seen the movie on this yet, so I'm unable to comment one way or another.

  31. Better idea by ENOENT · · Score: 4, Funny

    Just post a link to the asteroid on /.

    --
    That's "Mr. Soulless Automaton" to you, Bub.
    1. Re:Better idea by thomasdelbert · · Score: 5, Funny
      Just post a link to the asteroid on /.
      No that would bring the asteroid down - which is what we are trying to avoid!
      --
      ___ This sig is in boldface to emphasize its importance!
  32. Re:credit ? by Bendebecker · · Score: 2, Funny

    "ya but who would take credit for saving the planet ?"

    You know its going to be Bush... He'll claim to have saved the planet from rogue asteroids...

    --
    There's a growing sense that even if The Future comes,
    most of us won't be able to afford it.
    -- Lemmy
  33. Re:This is a boondoggle by millahtime · · Score: 2, Funny

    "you'ld think; just in 1908 what was probably a comet"

    That was almost a million hours ago. That is a lot of time in between strikes.

  34. Rail gun by painandgreed · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Wouldn't it be esasier to build a large rail gun on the moon that could shoot projectiles into the asteroid instead? This would save the trouble of having to deal with the problems with what would be the equivilant of thousands of Mars landers.

  35. scifi meets country..... by millahtime · · Score: 2, Funny

    when a country song is written about not only loosing the girl, house, truck and dog but the whole damn planet.

  36. Better than IMBECILE by gearmonger · · Score: 2, Funny
    Inbound Menace Bombardment and Eradication through Concentrated Insults and Lurid Epithets

    No, wait, that's what the RNC is calling this year's election campaign.

  37. I'm sorry, but by The+Angry+Mick · · Score: 2, Funny

    Thousands of MADMEN could be built by many nations

    Aren't a LOT of nations already producing thousands of mad men already? Do we really need any more?

    Still though, this would make a great plot device for a James Bond movie.

    --

    I'm not tense. I'm just terribly, terribly, alert.

  38. Stupid monkeys... by demo9orgon · · Score: 4, Funny

    Hey, goddist filth!

    The only thing you're supposed to do when a heavenly object is about to obliterate you is to pray. PRAY!
    What?
    Don't you believe in the tennets of your fairy tales? You're supposed to welcome the end of all the unbelievers with the faith and understanding that only the devout will make it to paradise. You're devout and you will be saved.
    Riiiight?
    That asteroid is nothing short of the HAND OF THE ALMIGHTY/STARK FIST OF REMOVAL.
    You should accept it willingly, lovingingly. Even before it becomes a visible-eye object there should be enough songs and stories about it that the armies of the anointed will leave no dry-earth unshadowed as the seas surge and the sky darkens with its approach.

    This whole "playing god" thing will just interfere with the destiny issue.
    What happens when humanity does avert a disaster which is supposed to render all human life null-o-void-o?!
    Why, would anyone want to interfere with that!?
    Virgins for everyone?
    Constant bliss that makes orgasm seem like a hangnail?
    If anything you'd think humanity would just use a laser to sky-write
    "SO LONG AND THANKS FOR THE TEMPTATION" moments before impact.
    My guess is, a Sky-writing laser is much less expensive than a bunch of godless toys. Whoops, there goes my common sense again...if there's a buck to be made the more expensive option will be selected.

    Stupid meat monkeys, you were put here to suffer, to suffer tempation and vice, shucks, you're all tainted...ahahahah! I've got your original sin RIGHT HERE and I'm wearing a fashionable red bow on it.

    --
    Every new form of media has it's own Requirimento
  39. Re:This is a boondoggle by thelasttemptation · · Score: 2, Funny

    Its like buying SCO licences, they may do nothing at all but someone somewhere will gain some peace of mind from it.

    Daryl? Is that you?

  40. Smaller pieces.... vaporize it by ka9dgx · · Score: 2, Interesting
    A mass driver is a precision piece of machinery, which would have to work under high load for a long time... testing opprotunities aren't going to be very plentiful, unless we do it on the moon. You'll have large quantities of golf ball sized debris moving through the mass driver... it's inevitable that you'll create an problem with erosion of the mass driver hardware, that might even gum up in the presence of water. The notion of billions of space golf balls had high velocity isn't appealing either.

    Consider instead a high power microwave source ionizing the mass that would have previously been cut into golf ball pieces, then using a particle accelerator instead of a mass driver. If the ion temperature is kept high enough, you'll only have pure ions to deal with, nice and conductive, and easier to control. You can then ship them out along the thrust vector of your choice, without the headaches of mechanical processing of materials.

    Electrohydrodynamic accelleration of mass can be studied in labs on the ground, thus reducing R&D costs. It also offers the advantage of being throttled to any desired rate. In the hard vacuum of space, it should be feasible to keep the ions from contacting, and thus eroding the accelerator.

    The mass will eventually condense back to solid matter, but will be quite dispersed by the time that happens, thus creating dust, instead of solid projectiles.

    --Mike--

    1. Re:Smaller pieces.... vaporize it by shadowbearer · · Score: 2, Interesting


      Neat idea, but the smaller you want the rock pieces, the more precise (and therefore prone to failure) your mechanisms will be, and therefore your failure rates will go up. Keep the moving parts and the precision of their machining to a minimum.

      Any mining company knows this.

      In this particular application, "large-bore" EM accelerators would seem to have the lowest overall failure rates, given vacuum "cementing" of moving parts.

      Of course this would depend on the type of asteroid. Are we talking nickel-iron asteroids, or carbonaceous (carbonaceous would be easier to convert to particles that, say, an ion engine could use - just melt the ice and seperate out the impurities)

      Any more knowledgeable engineers like to comment on this?

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
  41. I can see it now... by fltsimbuff · · Score: 5, Funny

    MADMEN diverts a disaster by knocking an asteroid off course.

    2 years later, Aliens invade because we "attacked" their home planet with an asteroid.

    That's a way to initiate first contact!

    Honestly, I'd rather be incenerated by an asteroid collision than be dissected by thousands of Alien Hordes angry because we threw rocks at them.

  42. Would we know? by FreshFunk510 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Maybe I've watched too many movies, but if an asteroid were on direct path to hit the Earth and would likely cause the extinction of mankind, do you think the government(s) would let us know about it before they took a crack at pushing it off course? Or do you think due to civil unrest that they would wait until the problem was solved to tell everyone?

    Perhaps the scientific community would let it out first.

    --


    "Injustice anywhere is a threat to justice everywhere." - Martin Luther King, Jr.
    1. Re:Would we know? by beeplet · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I think there are enough amateur astronomers who keep keep track of astroids that even if the government attempted to hide the discovery, the news would quickly spread. And there's a significant chance such an astroid would be discovered by an amateur or academic astronomer to begin with, and the details would be public knowledge almost instantly. But even supposing the government has the power to keep it secret, wouldn't they prefer to have every available person working on possible solutions?

  43. Re:Well... by smack_attack · · Score: 2, Funny

    The other half of China will shoot them while they are in the air.

  44. Cooperation by aml666 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Thousands of MADMEN could be built by many nations and when launched

    We couldn't even cooperate on the International Space Station (still not done). How would many nations work together on a defense system?

    --
    www.thejulingtoncreekplantaion.com
  45. Re:65 Million Years Ago by Tackhead · · Score: 2, Interesting
    > Yes, several times in the past 4+ billion years asteroids have impacted our planet. However, the odds of one occuring anytime in the near future are absurdly small. I'd rather spend my time worrying about things that are more likely to kill me than this.

    Even a small impact of a cometary fragment such as that that happened over Tunguska would be devastating if it happened in a populated area.

    Question: Suppose such an event happened over a populated area today. How long would the authorities of that nation wait before retaliating against their enemies for what looks, to a layperson's eye, an awful lot like a nuclear strike?

    And is that time longer or shorter than the time it would take the scientific community to conclude that it wasn't a nuclear strike and convey that information to the leaders of the rocksmacked nation?

    And would the population of the nation actually believe what the scientists were saying?

    That's if the world's lucky enough that the rock in question lands in a nation that even has scientists.

    What would the world be like had the Tunguska event occurred in 1968 instead of 1908?

  46. Re:This is a boondoggle by Wingnut64 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Whats worse is it does nothing but give a slight piece of mind.

    It's not about piece of mind, it's about the survival of our species. Besides, I'd rather that 5% of the DOD's money go to stopping asteroids then be spent on tanks.

    --
    echo 'Header append X-HD-DVD "0x09f911029d74e35bd84156c5635688c0"' >> /etc/apache2/httpd.conf
  47. Re:This is a boondoggle by Mysticalfruit · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There is someone here on slashdot that has a sig that sums it up

    "The moon is covered with astronomical odds".

    Nobody wants nuclear proliferation and global degradation (other than GWB). However at the same time, it'll all be mute if suddenly an astronomer goes "Oh Shit, were gonna get slammed with a texas sized rock in 10 years" and we have no plan in place to deal with it. The problem is that nobody will take this kind of threat seriously until our feet are in the fire...

    I'm of the mind set that we should ensure humanities survival by sprending ourselves out and working towards colonizing other planets and working on longterm off earth space colonies. Part of that strategy would be that every offworld establishment would have a complete copy of the earths data (world history / theorethical / medical / scientific / mechanical / etc) Basically, everything you'd need to build anything and the knowlege stored so it could be taught.

    --
    Yes Francis, the world has gone crazy.
  48. Playing the odds by seniorcoder · · Score: 5, Insightful
    It seems that much time has been spent calculating the odds of a killer asteroid wiping out all life on Earth.
    Has any time been spent calculating the odds of a killer maniac (or group thereof) wiping out all life on Earth?

    As an rough estimate, with the Doomsday Clock as a reference, I humbly propose that the odds of a maniac killing us all are massively higher than the rogue asteroid issue.

    Maybe we should be putting available cash towards world peace as a slightly higher priority.

  49. Re:This is a boondoggle by i_r_sensitive · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Really?

    Ever consider that the dinosaurs might still rule the Earth if they had MADMEN?

    Anything even remotely on the scale of another Alvarez event will make any of those "real problems" seem trivial by comparison...

    Besides, the Earth has been hit many times in it's history, ample evidence exists. The moon and our other neighbours in the inner system all show evidence of repeated strikes from comets/meteors through their history. The number of nuclear weapons detonated through the last 60 years doesn't even come close to being significant in view of the number of strikes the Earth has taken from other celestial bodies.

    Bottom line, it's a fact that we've been struck before, and it is a statistical certainty that we will be struck again. Ever seen shooting stars? How often do those small items come to Earth? pretty common event really. Consider the damage that man made items not even a billionth of the mass of a medium sized asteroid have caused coming down...

    I'm not marginalizing the other issues you bring up. Environmental degradation and nuclear proliferation are issues which demand our attention, but they aren't justification to marginalize this issue. Nor would an increase in our presence and utilization of space have anything but a positive effect on those issues.

    Moving polluting industries to space is the single best way of keeping those polluting industries that our society depends on, while minimizing the environment they can damage. Proliferation of nuclear weapons is less tangible, but still a positive effect. If you are an emerging nation, which is going to be a bigger return for you on the world stage, possessing nuclear weapons or being part of the exploitation of space? Nuclear weapons may intimidate your neighbours, but have never positively impacted any society's material prosperity. Further, history bears out that those nations which partake in colonization outstrip their contemporaries which do not, and in pretty short order. So if the choice is colonize space, and reap the awards, or garner nuclear weapons, and reap some unproductive holes in the ground...

    --
    "Talk minus action equals nothing" - Joey Shithead, D.O.A.
    "Talk minus action equals /." -
  50. LUNATIC?? by PetoskeyGuy · · Score: 2, Informative

    I thought he was a Miserable Failure

  51. Why so much negativity? by Frennzy · · Score: 5, Informative

    I can't believe people would be as short sighted as to say 'the chances are so slim' blah blah blah.

    If you had RTFA, they address those odds pretty well. The odds of getting another Tunguska sized impact are roughly 1 per 1000 years. That's an *average* people. To break it down, it could theoretically happen tomorrow. Further, if you had RTFA, you would note that an object of roughly the same size as the estimated Tunguska object (150 meters across) which was first discovered this year just passed within 3.8 million miles of our planet. That's roughly 16 times (two bytes) the distance from us to the moon....or pretty damn close.

    These are ideas. If they sit around and come up with 1000 bad ideas for every good one, I still don't care. That one good idea might save my ass...or my family's collective ass.

    There's always people who won't believe it can happen to them, though. Look at all the folks who insisted that, because of the SF quake in 1906, that they would be safe 'for their lifetime' since it couldn't happen again. Whoops. Tell that to the folks smashed in their cars when the elevated roadway collapsed. Or, 'Well, we know Mt. St. Helens is a Volcano, but it hasn't erupted since we've been keeping track...so it'll be safe as long as I'm alive.' Tell that to those folks who chose to stay and whose bodies will never be found underneath 100's of feet of mud.

    Hell, the odds of being struck by lightning are VERY slim...but plenty of research goes into preventing that, and no one complains. The odds of being shot and killed are miniscule...but look how much money we spend on prevention. But as soon as you begin researching something that could, quite literally, kill millions of people in an instant, you're branded a 'waste of time and money'.

    Tell you what. Give me back the taxes I spent that went to teaching your children, and I'll gladly redirect them to fund this type of research.

  52. Serious Problems by DynaSoar · · Score: 4, Interesting

    It is almost inevitable that any incoming rock will be rotating on all 3 axes. To move it efficiently would require these beasties being smart enough to know when to throw their rock. That's doable.

    But how often will one of these things be in the right place at the right time? You would need hundreds if not thousands sitting and digging and waiting their turn.

    How much will these things weigh? With a nuke generator, and drilling and launching equipment to handle a pound of rock at a time over and over, say 1000 pounds max.

    If that thing isn't going to get the chance to launch 1000 one pound chuncks of rock, due to not being pointed in the right direction often enough, you'd do better to slam the things into the rock to try to move it.

    I think the best idea yet is building a bunch of large engines and fuel tanks, going out and capturing some rocks, herding them into stable orbit at L-4, and strap on the engines. If they're ever needed they can easily fall out of L-4, slingshot around the moon, and head out towards the incoming. A properly placed kinetic swat will send it off into a safe orbit whether or not it breaks up.

    --
    "I may be synthetic, but I'm not stupid." -- Bishop 341-B
    1. Re:Serious Problems by pclminion · · Score: 4, Informative
      It is almost inevitable that any incoming rock will be rotating on all 3 axes.

      That's physically impossible. In the absence of torque, a rotating object will rotate about precisely one axis. It is possible for objects to "tumble," i.e., continually change the direction of their angular momentum vector, but this only occurs if there is a similarly complex external torque. If the external torque is constant, the resulting effect is called "nutation" or "precession," but it is not tumbling.

      For an example, consider the Saturnian moon Hyperion, which is irregularly shaped and thus tumbles chaotically under the influence of the gravity of Saturn and the nearby moon Titan. However, if we removed Hyperion from the vicinity of Saturn and put it out in space far from any external forces, it would rotate quite simply around one axis only.

      Asteroids do not "tumble" unless they are A) very irregularly shaped and B) extremely close to a massive body, which can supply a tidal torque.

    2. Re:Serious Problems by Dirtside · · Score: 2, Informative
      That's all well and good, until a very irregularly-shaped asteroid decides to come extremely close to the massive body known as "Earth".
      If the asteroid is close enough to Earth for Earth's gravity to cause a tidal pull (and give it significant tumbling), it's going to be hitting earth very shortly. The MADMAN project would be used when the asteroid is still a long ways away, maybe years away from striking Earth, and not close enough to any significant gravity source for tidal forces to be problematic.
      --
      "Destroy science and religion. Science would re-emerge exactly the same; but not religion." - Penn Jillette, paraphrased
  53. FINALLY!! by Hohlraum · · Score: 2, Funny

    Now we can get rid of that freakin moon that hogs all the good sky. ;)

  54. Madmen? by Cro+Magnon · · Score: 3, Funny

    Are they really going to launch Howard Dean up there?

    --
    Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
  55. Re:It only makes sense by dankney · · Score: 4, Funny

    I thought that was supposed to go "if you aren't a conservative when you are old, you have no money."

  56. Re:Not the greatest threat... by hopemafia · · Score: 2, Informative

    You sir, are an idiot.

    CFC stands for Chlorofluorocarbons, which are manmade organic molecules produced at petroleum refineries for various uses. They do not exist naturally in any significant amount, and most definitely do not come from volcanos.

    Disclaimer: I am a geologist

    --
    If God had had a computer it would have taken him 7 months to create the earth...if he even bothered to do it at all.
  57. Proliferation was great for the USA by geoswan · · Score: 4, Interesting
    The non-proliferation treaty defined two kinds of proliferation. "Horizontal proliferation" was the spread of nuclear weapons to nations that hadn't had them before the treaty. This was considered a bad thing. "Vertical proliferation" was an increase in the number of nuclear weapons by nations that had already had nuclear weapons before the treaty. This was also considered a bad thing .

    All the members of the nuclear club increased the size of their nuclear arsenals without regard to their treaty obligations. And the USA won. The USA is the pre-eminent super-power now because it won the Arms Race. It wouldn't be the pre-eminent super-power if the smart bombs were not backed up by a nuclear arsenal. It wouldn't be the pre-eminent super-power if the B2 wasn't backed up by a nuclear arsenal.

    Oh yeah, there was another clause in the non-proliferation treaty. Part of the Quid Pro Quo was that the nations with Nuclear power were supposed to make sure the nations without Nuclear power shared in the benefits of Nuclear Power. We haven't see much of that happening, have we?

    1. Re:Proliferation was great for the USA by king-manic · · Score: 2, Informative

      Torpedo technology: Their torpedos are super sonic. the US torpedos are sub sonic.

      Planes: The Russian counter part (Su-27) to the F-22 has been in production longer than the F-22.

      Helicopters: The Apache helicopters are much less robust then the Hind. The apache is expensive and requires a lot of maintainence and can be shot down by co-ordinated rifle fire or unguided rpgs. The hind is more durable.

      Generally: The US tries a lot of advanced technology but a lot of tiems a lower tech solutions is better. For instance the A10 warthog is a flying ofrtress that is very successful at it'a goals. IT's effective, cheap, druable, and low maintainence. The Army wants to scrap it in favor of a higher tech solution. The Colt carbides the army uses are expensive to make and not much mroe effective than the Ak lines that the russians make. The AK's are cheaper, more durable and essentially provide the same performance.

      Right now, the russian military has been sinking into decay, but before the end of the cold war, their war machine was more cost-effective and more effective.

      --
      "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
  58. If brains were antimatter... by M0b1u5 · · Score: 2, Interesting
    If brains were antimatter - they wouldn't have enough to blow their noses.

    Look, it's this simple: Asteroids ROTATE, in wildly different ways and have a miniscule amount of local gravity.

    How on earth is your loauncher supposed to touch down, let alone anchor itself? Then, if that can be achieved, how does it know which direction and when to chuck a load? Unless ALL units are completely sorted out, randonly chucking stuff off a rock is a waste of time - the combined effects will cancel eacg other out.

    Look, this isn't rock(et) science - this is Laser Science. :P

    The best and ONLY viable way to divert asteroids is to hit them with light pressure. Nuclear bombs and rock-chucking bots are the legacy thinking from military minds, and not logical thinking.

    Here's how to divert a rock:

    Launch a 500 Megawatt Nuclear reactor into orbit, and attach it to a giant "Laser Beam". Use a high power ION drive to get the system into a position where it leads the asteroid by a few thousand klicks. It then positions itself such that it can place 500 Megawatts of laser power onto the surface of the asteroid, pushing in one direction only.

    It sits there for a few years pushing on the asteroid, while using the ION engine to hold it's position (Newton says action = reaction!). We send several missions to refuel the ION engines and tend the reactor.

    You only need to adjust an asteroids speed by 2 cm/s to effectively make it miss the Earth - and we'd want even less than that, because we'd want to actually snatch the thing into a highly elliptical Earth Orbit. Say 2,000,000 x 450 Kilometres.

    Then we'd not only save the Earth, but snag a trillion tons of raw materials which can gradually be mined and used by the burgeoning space manufacturing and orbital processing facilities which will bound to develop if that much "free" material is just sitting there asking to be used.

    Alternatively, and arguably easier is to use Gigawatt class lasers (which perform multiple duties: launching payloads into LEO, illuminating search and rescue efforts at night, light battlefields, accelerate interstellar probesm send data into the cosmos, a Ballistic Missile defence syste, providing light in the Luna night, satelite killer, surgical strike weapon par-excellence, space junk de-orbiter and asteroid diverter!) based on Earth to deflect incoming NEOs.

    Earth based is preferable because it's cheaper and has many other uses. Plus, you can build 50+ Gigawatt class lasers and combine the power which would deflect objects the sizes of Ceres.

    1x Gigawatt is the power required to launch a 1 metre diameter, 1 ton payload into Low Earth Orbit. Check out http://www.lightcrafttechnologies.com/ This from Liek Mayabo the CEO.

    --
    How many escape pods are there? "NONE,SIR!" You counted them? "TWICE, SIR!"
  59. What percent could be stopped? by FrankSchwab · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I don't have the answer to this. Scenarios I consider: 1. An asteroid whose path through space is essentially tangent to the Earth's orbit, and is coming head on. How many days warning might we have? How could we get anything to it an appreciable distance from Earth? 2. An Asteroid whose path is perpendicular to the plane of Earth's orbit. Same questions. In either of these two scenarios, unless you could get a year or more's worth of warning you could never position a defender. Accelerating to high speed to get into position kinda prevents landing on one of these bodies- you'd have to decelerate, then reverse direction and accelerate up to the body's speed. Even worse, you're coming from a bad angle - if the body is going to hit you in three months, you have to launch a defender to essentially where the earth will be in three months - that's a lot of distance. Given a few minutes with google, you could work out the distance the defender would have to cover (thus it's speed), and the acceleration it would have to accomplish to match it's speed and path to that of the incoming asteroid. Seems to me the only scenario this works with is asteroids more-or-less in earth's orbit that get bumped into a collision course, or comet-like bodies with a predictable period where we can pre-position defenders.

    --
    And the worms ate into his brain.
  60. Money Won't Buy Peace by reallocate · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Sorry, but no amount of money will buy peace.

    People will fight and kill for what they want. Peace always takes a back seat to anger, greed, ideology and a belief in inevitable victory.

    --
    -- Slashdot: When Public Access TV Says "No"
  61. Interesting point by BillX · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Ever consider that the dinosaurs might still rule the Earth if they had MADMEN?

    That's an interesting point you bring up. It makes me wonder, how would today's Earth have evolved if the dinosaurs had never been wiped? Would the planet be ruled by huge, smart reptiles? Or perhaps dumb ones?

    Perhaps the occasional cataclysm is beneficial to the planet in the long run, by wiping out species that have hit (or are approaching) some sort of evolutionary wall. If humans were similarly wiped by an asteroid, would something still more advanced evolve in our absence?

    --
    Caveat Emptor is not a business model.