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Earth Releasing More CO2 Than Originally Thought

grqb writes "A new study out of the UK suggests that terrestrial sinks across the planet are mopping up much less carbon than predicted, on balance, and so the planet may warm at an even faster rate than expected. The study focused on the carbon content in soil at 6000 sites in the UK between 1978 and 2003 and found that the soil released the equivalent of 8% of the UK's total 1990 carbon dioxide emissions. These emissions are more than the entire reduction in emissions the UK has achieved between 1990 and 2002 as part of its commitment to the Kyoto Protocol. This would effectively cancel out the UK's recent successes in reducing greenhouse gas emissions, and would have wider global implications as well."

318 comments

  1. "Earth" by 42Penguins · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Anyone else puzzled at first at how "Earth" is releasing CO2 into space?

    1. Re:"Earth" by Freexe · · Score: 3, Informative

      Earth as in soil, not our planet.

      --
      "In a time of universal deceit - telling the truth is a revolutionary act." - George Orwell
    2. Re:"Earth" by kfg · · Score: 5, Informative

      No. It's called The Carbon Cycle. "Soil" (as opposed to "dirt") is composed of decaying plant matter, decaying because it is being metabolised my microoganisms, a process that releases the CO2 the plant bound in itself over its life.

      If the total biomass remains roughly constant, a plant grows for a plant that dies, the system remains roughly in balance, as the new plants absorb the CO2 released by the dead plants.

      If, however, the bio mass is declining. . .

      KFG

    3. Re:"Earth" by FooGoo · · Score: 2, Informative

      This doesn't only apply if the bio mass is declining. It also applies if the bio mass changes. Such as the introduction of plants with shorted lifecycles such as crops in the industrialized world.

      --
      People who bite the hand that feeds them usually lick the boot that kicks them
    4. Re:"Earth" by kfg · · Score: 2, Informative

      Not to mention destroying the soil itself, which is also an ecosystem in balance.

      KFG

    5. Re:"Earth" by Murphy+Murph · · Score: 1

      This is a result of the "paperless office" and green-freak's recycling efforts.
      If everyone in the western world took it upon themselves to use all the paper possible and then throw it away we would quickly lock up millions (if not billions) more tons of carbon in sealed landfills every year..

      --
      I dub thee... Sir Phobos, Knight of Mars, Beater of Ass.
    6. Re:"Earth" by kfg · · Score: 3, Interesting

      While cutting down (with fossil fuel burning machines) an equal mass of immature trees whose constituant matter is not returned to the soil from which they grew to grow new trees to absorb CO2.

      First learn barance, Daniel san. This redistribution of biomass is trickier than it looks.

      KFG

    7. Re:"Earth" by aaronl · · Score: 1

      I have a strong suspicion that he was screwing around with that post. I hope nobody honestly thinks that would be a good idea! ;-)

    8. Re:"Earth" by kfg · · Score: 1

      I hope nobody honestly thinks that would be a good idea! ;-)

      I've learned the hard way that that is not a safe assumption.

      KFG

    9. Re:"Earth" by FooGoo · · Score: 1

      Obviously, using a space elevator built from carbon nanotubes.

      --
      People who bite the hand that feeds them usually lick the boot that kicks them
    10. Re:"Earth" by FooGoo · · Score: 1

      I am interested in your concept of destroying soil. How do you mean? By introducing toxins or something? In the case of toxins the soil may be destroyed for human/animal/plant needs but there are certain microbes that thrive in toxic environments and usually end up making the soil useful again. There is balance.

      Now if you are thinking about another way to detroy soil like using a SAM (Soil Annihilation Machine) I am not familiar with those technologies. There could be other ways of destroying it as well.

      --
      People who bite the hand that feeds them usually lick the boot that kicks them
    11. Re:"Earth" by RWerp · · Score: 1

      Changing the humidity, microstructure (i.e., how porous it is) and the mineral contents.

      --
      "Long run is a misleading guide to current affairs. In the long run we are all dead." (John Maynard Keynes)
    12. Re:"Earth" by bradsdb · · Score: 1

      There is a website that explains all of this cycle and some solutions to carbon sinks. It is a funny read if you go into their forums. http://Carbonreclamationproject.org

    13. Re:"Earth" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mod parent -1: Doesn't get it.

    14. Re:"Earth" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      No. It's called The Carbon Cycle.

      The carbon cycle; Oh good, you've heard of it. Now, answer the following questions:

      • What covers two thirds of the Earth?
      • Where is the vast majority of the carbon on this planet stored?
      • How did the carbon get there?

      If none of your answers included "Rain Forest," you get a cookie. Now, go seed the oceans with iron sulfate and get back to me when you're all worried about global cooling again.

      Thanks.

  2. That's it... by tinrobot · · Score: 4, Funny

    I'm buying land in warm, sunny Alaska.

    Well... it'll be sunny and warm by the time I retire.

    1. Re:That's it... by Klivian · · Score: 2, Funny

      I'm buying land in warm, sunny Alaska.

      Well... it'll be sunny and warm by the time I retire.


      Don't forget to bring your anti-radiation-suite, the hole in the ozone layer will be bigger by that time too.

    2. Re:That's it... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And dont YOU forget to buy underwater breathing apparatus

    3. Re:That's it... by Whafro · · Score: 1

      Don't forget to bring your anti-radiation-suite, the hole in the ozone layer will be bigger by that time too.

      While a multi-program software package might help somewhat, a physical suit might be somewhat more effective.

    4. Re:That's it... by ketilf · · Score: 1

      Remember to buy that on high land. If the ice caps on Greenland and Antarctica melt, the sea level might rise by as much as 80 meters.

      Source: New Scientist magazine, 27 August 2005, page 26

  3. "Cancel Out"? by sH4RD · · Score: 3, Informative

    This would effectively cancel out the UK's recent successes in reducing greenhouse gas emissions, and would have wider global implications as well.

    In this case we have the earth releasing CO2 into the air, something we really don't have the means to stop. Although the net effect might mean the same emissions as before, at least the man made emissions are being reduced, that's what un-natural. If the earth is going to release some CO2, that's something that would have happened anyway. So that's not exactly "cancelling out" the effect.

    --
    WASTE - The Secure P2P
    1. Re:"Cancel Out"? by FooGoo · · Score: 1

      It canceled out any expected gains from the implementation of the Kyoto Protocol. You're right it is not as high as it would be without the Kyoto Protocol. But, using the Kyoto limits as a benchmark for improvement is not valid anymore in the face of this data.

      This proves once again feel good regulations aren't based on science. And that scientists really don't know whats going on. For all we know the earth could be releasing more CO2 to make up for the reductions called for under Kyoto....nature likes to find a balance.

      --
      People who bite the hand that feeds them usually lick the boot that kicks them
    2. Re:"Cancel Out"? by Bastian · · Score: 1

      In this case we have the earth releasing CO2 into the air, something we really don't have the means to stop.

      Not true! This man has the solution.

    3. Re:"Cancel Out"? by FooGoo · · Score: 1

      Mankind has killed all of it?

      Then where are you getting the crack your smoking?

      --
      People who bite the hand that feeds them usually lick the boot that kicks them
    4. Re:"Cancel Out"? by aztennenbaum · · Score: 2, Informative

      From TFA:
      'Up to one-tenth of the missing carbon may have leached into ground water, but Kirk says the majority is likely to have been lost as carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. This is likely to be due to plant matter and organic material decomposing at a faster rate as temperatures rise.

      More worryingly, soil sinks are predicted to release their carbon at an even faster rate as temperatures increase, giving rise to a feedback loop.'

      So, the earth is releasing CO2 on its own, but it is because of a feedback loop likely caused by global warming.
      Also from TFA:

      'Models had predicted that the rate of carbon released from terrestrial sinks would eventually outpace the rate of absorption of carbon dioxide, says Kirk, but it was thought this would not happen for another 10 to 50 years. "We've shown that it's happening rather faster than that." '

      In other words, the feedback loop will become self susaining in 10 to 50 years. If humans can stop global warming before that time, than the carbon dioxide will be reabsorped, and the feedback loop will not occur. We still have 10 to 50 years of hope. After that, we're screwed.

    5. Re:"Cancel Out"? by ScriptedReplay · · Score: 1

      It canceled out any expected gains from the implementation of the Kyoto Protocol.

      Of course - bloody planet noticed humans meant to stop it from getting too warm and fuzzy and it decided (just a few years ago) to start releasing CO2 from decaying biomass. Ha! take that, puny humans!

      Those who understand that what these measurements do is shift the *known* baseline for the emission part of the CO2 cycle (as in "there was this effect that we weren't aware of that has been going on since before mankind existed and obviously all those millenia when the overall CO2 concentration was stable in the atmosphere something else that we're probably not aware of balanced it out") should keep quiet to not disturb the "the planet did it!" crowd. Oops!

    6. Re:"Cancel Out"? by arminw · · Score: 1

      .....This proves once again feel good regulations aren't based on science.....

      Exactly! Where did all the carbon come from that we are now putting into the air by driving Hummers and other fuel hogs? Supposedly, fossils and fossil fuel came from once living plants that flourished on the Earth long ages ago. Where was all that carbon, if not in the atmosphere, to be accessible to those plants? There is plenty of fossil evidence, as well as oil and coal in arctic regions that indicates that it must have been very warm when these fossils were formed. All our cars are really solar powered, by energy plants converted to hydrocarbons ages ago.

      The water holding capacity of the air itself rises dramatically with increasing temperature. A warmer atmosphere also allows water vapor to exist much higher up before it gets to the altitude where it is cold enough to precipitate out again. Eventually some of it never precipitates because of the absence of dust particles in the upper atmosphere to facilitate condensation. All of these effects could combine to actually lower the level of the oceans.

      The existence of the extension of riverbeds of major rivers across the now submerged portions of the continental shelves is evidence that the water levels were once less than they are today. In the case of the Amazon, the riverbed extends all the way across the continental shelf to where it drops of into the abysmal plain of the South Atlantic. A warmer Earth would likely be quite a nice place for all living things.

      --
      All theory is gray
    7. Re:"Cancel Out"? by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      "A warmer Earth would likely be quite a nice place for all living things."

      Like so many others who don't have a clue, you are missing the point. If "all living things" were given a few million years to adapt then earth would likely be a much more "lush" environment. Sady the rate of change is much faster than this and left unchecked will complete the "sixth great extinction" in a very short space of time. When the ocean is turning acidic because of all the extra carbon in the atmosphere what do you think will happen to the food chain? Plankton are very sensitive to the water they live in, a few hundred years is not enough time for them to adapt. So before it becomes "a nice place" I think Nature will wipe the slate clean for the sixth time and start again using microbes and cockroaches.

      There is plenty of fossil evidence.

      Yes there is, it shows Antartica to have been tropical because it was in a different place, thousands of miles North of where it is now!

      "Where was all that carbon, if not in the atmosphere, to be accessible to those plants?

      Carbon has been released from the bowels of the earth for at least 4.5 billion of years via volcanoes, etc. Life has taken up alot of that carbon over the last 2-3 billion years and stored it as limestone, peat, soil, coal and oil. The planet did not start with a fixed amount CO2 in the atmosphere and then plants came along and turned it into petrol for your SUV. You SUV is not resoring the CO2 that was already there, it will not make more plants grow to make the oil and coal for future generations.

      "All of these effects could combine to actually lower the level of the oceans."

      I don't know what the obsession with ocean levels is all about, displaced people will be much less of a problem than the crop failures and famine headed our way. However if enough water vapour got into the atmosphere to lower the sea level significantly then we really would be in deep shit. Water vapour is a "greenhouse gas", the oceans evaporating in this manner would be called a "runaway geenhouse effect".

      ".....This proves once again feel good regulations aren't based on science....."

      No, this proves you wouldn't know "science" if it bit you on the arse.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    8. Re:"Cancel Out"? by arminw · · Score: 1

      ....Antartica to have been tropical because it was in a different place, thousands of miles North of where it is now....

      What difference does it make where Antarctica was? The point is that the whole Earth was a lot warmer and life was much more prolific because of that. It is an established fact that life processes operate best between about 90F to 105F. That is a big reason mammals were able to survive when the Earth became cooler over time. Even in historic times there were periods of wamer and colder, although not anywhere near the conditions of the time of the fossil fuel creation. NO fossil fuel is being made today. Today, when living things die, they decay, releasing their stored carbon back into the environment. To make fuel out of organic matter, decay by microorganisms has to be prevented.

      (....If "all living things" were given a few million years to adapt....)

      It has been observed that living thing can adapt quickly to environmental changes, often in one or two generations. Species that used to live in the wild places have adapted to and even became dependent on human habitation and in the process became major pests.

      (....than the crop failures and famine headed our way....)

      Many things actually grow better in warm climates. The are many regions on earth were not much edibles can grow because it is too cold. If the vast areas of northern Russia and Canada could get warm enough to grow grains, a lot of people would have food. What would be so terrible if Bananas and Coconuts would grow in Minnesota?

      The world's violent weather is caused by temperature DIFFERENCES in the atmosphere and between various regions of the planet. Water including its vapor form in the atmosphere is a great moderator to even out temperature extremes. A uniformly warm Earth would be a boon for all living things. Hurricanes get their ferocity from the energy flow between the warm ocean and the cold upper atmosphere. The warm air can hold and then dump quantities water sometimes measured in feet over vast areas as the air cools over the land. If the air did not cool, that water could not precipitate out.

      --
      All theory is gray
    9. Re:"Cancel Out"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...at least the man made emissions are being reduced, that's what un-natural.

      I think all of those plants and animals are the unnatural invaders.

      If the earth is going to release some CO2, that's something that would have happened anyway.

      The earth is only releasing CO2 because of the irresponsible, no reckless behavior of all the plants and animals over millions of years. In an insatiable quest to eat and reproduce, they have left the earth in tatters, teetering on the edge of destruction.

      To forgive them for their sins, because they provided temporary shelter and sustenance for mankind, would be as short sided as a creature who thrived in a high temp, high CO2, high sea level environment thanking the coal plant.

      I am a stranger in my home. My dogs growls like I am intruder. The birds and crickets, the background noise whispers of insurrection. They are not happy we are here.

      It has been so many generations since we came, but the stories of our coming rescue are vivid and celebrated in song and festival. For now, we wait on this lonely outpost, measuring and cataloging, hoping they will return for us. Because we know, we could not have been born here.

      Amen.

  4. Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by eggstasy · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Please dont flame me, I am not a chemist or a physicist or any sort of scientist.
    But if the alternative is to have most of the world's coastal cities suffer the same fate as New Orleans, why can't we put some thought and money into actively extracting CO2 and other greenhouse gases from the atmosphere instead of merely cutting down emissions?
    I know that it would take a lot of energy and currently most energy sources add to the pollution problem, but still, is it even possible to somehow filter the crap from the atmosphere? What would it entail?

    1. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by Rakshasa+Taisab · · Score: 5, Funny

      1) Plant a tree.
      2) ...
      3) Profit.

      This ofcourse assumes you don't burn them later on.

      --
      - These characters were randomly selected.
    2. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      I suppose what we'd need to do is figure out some way to permanently trap a whole crapload of carbon. Some of the natural ways to do this include peat bogs and huge forests, but neither of these options, as far as I know, are particularly easy to engineer. (The huge forest option is particularly not-ideal, because only living trees really trap carbon. Rotting vegetation is supposed to release CO2 fairly quickly.)

      Probably a decent way of trapping carbon is to do what oil reservoirs did: get as much organic material as possible, chuck it into a big hole, and bury it under enough pressure that any possible gasses can't escape. And, as a bonus, in a few million years, our distant descendents could dig it up again as oil.

    3. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by Klivian · · Score: 2, Insightful

      is it even possible to somehow filter the crap from the atmosphere? What would it entail?

      I'd guess starting to plant more rain forrest insted of cutting it down would help some.

    4. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative
    5. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by ciroknight · · Score: 1

      The question really is "should we start mopping up CO2?". We invented CO2 scubbers a long time ago; the moon modules had to have extensive scrubbers to keep the atmosphere breatheable for the astronauts.

      Putting this kind of scrubber in play on earth would be possible, but very, very expensive. And with expense, comes corporate questioning: is the gas really bad enough to warrant installing scrubbers to clean up the atmosphere? Or should we just spend the money on putting scrubbers on our houses, cars, and airplanes?

      I know it's terrible to think that the environment could be damaging itself just as badly as we are, and who knows, the CO2 might be a normal puff that earth releases every thousand years or so, to re-invigorate plantlife and exterminate species that are being evil... ;)

      So really, the answer is "who knows?". It's way too early to start thinking about that; right now the focus should be on reducing emmissions. Once they're reduced, we can think about reducing polution.

      --
      "Victory means exit strategy, and it's important for the President to explain to us what the exit strategy is." G.W.Bush
    6. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by rthille · · Score: 2, Informative

      Well, the earth is huge. Sure, humans have a huge impact on the earth, but the area we occupy is a small percentage. Volcanos put out large amounts of CO2. The believe that when earth was a complete snowball (entirely covered with ice) it was the volcanos putting CO2 into the atmosphere which warmed the earth again (despite the high reflectivity of the snow/ice).

      One of the approaches I've read about which would be high-impact for low effort would be to seed the shallow seas with powdered iron. From what I've read that is sometimes/often the limiting factor on growth of algae is the lack of iron. So the idea is to add iron to the system, the creatures (not sure if it's just algae, or diatoms or what) grows and sequesters CO2 and sinks to the bottom of the oceans. Of course this can cause lots of problems while the environment changes (red tides kill fish...), but may be our best bet to stop the CO2 increase.

      Here's a link I found on 'gardening oceans'.

      --
      Awesome furniture, accessories and cabinetry in Santa Rosa, CA: http://humanity-home.com/
    7. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      CO2 emissions --> Climate change --> desert growth in africa, oceanic current and temperature changes --> air current changes in the atlantic, over africa --> stronger tropical depressions because of an increase in net atmospheric energy due to CO2 'greenhouse' effect --> stronger, more frequent hurricanes hitting North America.

    8. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by Dun+Malg · · Score: 2, Informative
      I know that it would take a lot of energy and currently most energy sources add to the pollution problem, but still, is it even possible to somehow filter the crap from the atmosphere?

      It's not "crap", it's CO2. It's not pollution, it's a natural and necessary component of our atmosphere. The issue is about the balance.

      What would it entail?

      More plants. Probably the most efficient way, as they do it without being plugged into a generator.

      --
      If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
    9. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by dwlovell · · Score: 2, Informative

      The entire argument is bogus. Katrina is NOT caused by global warming. You have been brainwashed by the stupid political activists. There were more destructive CAT 3-5 Hurricanes in the 1920-1940 period than there have been any time since then, including this decade, so I guess we had a ton of global warming during 1920-1940? NO. Katrina is a natural part of normal storm cycles. The sky is not falling. You may resume normal activities now.

      -David

    10. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You forgot the part about where it's a really bad idea to build a city on a massive alluvial plain/river delta.

    11. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I blame the french.

    12. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by justforaday · · Score: 1

      Thank you! Yes, there are nasty storms from time to time. Always have been, always will be. The difference is that we have more and more people and structures in harm's way as time goes on. That's the reason storms seem to be getting more destructive.

      --
      I'll turn into a supernova and burn up everything. Well I'll turn into a black little hole and you'll turn into string.
    13. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by ultranova · · Score: 1

      The believe that when earth was a complete snowball (entirely covered with ice) it was the volcanos putting CO2 into the atmosphere which warmed the earth again (despite the high reflectivity of the snow/ice).

      Um, when was that ? I've never heard about Earth haven frozen solid before...

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    14. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      However, global warming is extremely likely to result in increased fluctuations in the weather conditions in general, thereby causing more cat-5 hurricanes. This is a general trend in a large number of computer simulations with different assumptions.

      The number of cat-n hurricanes in any particular 20 year period is not a useful statistic to reject this hypothesis, as it suffers from a number of systematic effects, and a small number statistics problem.

    15. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by anicca · · Score: 1

      I saw a show on discovery about ice core sample analysis. They plotted the average mean temperature which they cleverly derived from 1000s of core samples. They found that the earths average temperature fluctuated wildy up until about 10,000 (20..not sure I saw it a long time ago)years ago. Basically the climate has only been moderate for a brief span (all of human history) and now WE have whacked the balance out....the wild changes will begin again.....Katrina was just a foretaste...

      --
      A people that values its privileges above its principles soon loses both. Dwight D. Eisenhower
    16. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by KitesWorld · · Score: 1

      He didn't say that Katrina was caused by global warming - the reference to New Orleans was because NO has been flooded - which is the same fate that many cities are predicted to share as a result of GW.

      Try not to read what's not there. ;)

    17. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by ultranova · · Score: 1, Funny

      More plants. Probably the most efficient way, as they do it without being plugged into a generator.

      No, instead they require a direct line-of-sight to a nuclear fusion reactor. One that uses 4 million tons of fuel per second. Do you call that efficient ?!?

      Just because you don't have to foot the energy bill doesn't mean that someone doesn't have to - but I'm sure that in your socialist utopia Sun would be no one's private property and sunlight free to all...

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    18. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by aleator · · Score: 1

      in a funny way, you are absolutely right... have a look here: how much is that tree worth?

    19. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting
      I Am a Physicist. In fact I'm a Solar Physicists.

      Globe Warming is based so much more on the sun cycle than the green house effect that it's funny how much work is being done on that part.

      The sun and earth have cycles. In the mid 1600's we had a rather low point in solar activity, the number of sun spots was quite low indicating a lower solar temperature. Since then it's gone in phases. Around 1800 there was another relative min in what's know in the little ice age. The Rhine froze over then.

      Look, I'm not saying there's not a human effect, but it's small compared to Solar cycles. We've seen drastic shifts before and again. In the era of the Vikings, you had a major successfully run agrarian society in Sweden, Greenland, and Iceland. While in Roman and pre-Roman times their were stories about wine crops in Britain. In "The Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire" crop failures of these are mentioned as one possible cause of Imperial collapse. Libya used to be a major bread basket even.

      I'm gonna get flamed for even suggesting Global Warming isn't all it's cracked up to be, but climate shift has happened before and again. Unless someone wants to control the sun, it's not gonna be pretty.

      Heck, I'm more worried by some signs that the sun is started downward now. If it's true, and we reduce CO2 too much, we are gonna have major global cooling.

    20. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So GW is going to cause the bedrock under, say, New York, to turn into silt, thus allowing New York to sink as the increased weight compacts the silt? I'm sorry, I'm just not following...

    21. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by maelstrom · · Score: 1

      Yeah its amazing how there were no hurricanes before 1900.

      --
      The more you know, the less you understand.
    22. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually Climate change --> increased CO2 and Water Vapor --> more rain and plant growth --> desert retreat in Africa (as deserts are caused by lack of rainfall, not excessive heat) and less CO2

      As for hurricanes, currently not enough data to support your projections.

    23. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by danharan · · Score: 1

      A lot of the tree is underground... so I think it would be a carbon sink for a while even after burning.

      --
      Information: "I want to be anthropomorphized"
    24. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by klept · · Score: 1

      Yeah there's an easy way to do it. It's called growing trees, not cutting them down. Trees, and I believe plants in general, abosorb CO2, and release oxygen. I think certain trees and foilage do more of this then certain other plants. But then I am not a biologist either, so I could be incorrect.

    25. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by AaronW · · Score: 1

      If you did a bit of research you'd know that volcanos put out only a tiny fraction of the CO2 as human activity puts out. I hate it when people keep trying to say that humans occupy such a small area and try and say we have little impact because that just is not true. We may occupy a small area, but our impact is spread over large areas. Look at the United States, for example. Vast tracts of land are used for farming. Vast amounts of coal are extracted from the ground and burned. And wherever oil is to be found the surface is littered with wells pumping it out as fast as we can. We've deforested huge areas of land and are continuing to do so. It doesn't take a huge population density for humans to significantly change the environment of an area thanks to modern machinery or even slash and burn agriculture. We've drained huge areas of wetlands and swamps, and have even created some pretty sizable lakes by damning various rivers.

      --
      This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
    26. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I guess you guys aren't quite getting this concept. When the earth heats up because of global warming, the glaciers at the north and south pole will melt. Adding a lot of water to our oceans. This in turn causes the oceans to rise, flooding many costal cities. Turning things into a NO type affair.

    27. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Deserts aren't growing naturally. Human deforestation isn't exactly keeping the cycle a completely natural one.

      Anyway, they aren't *my* projections, I'm not "Atmospheric Scientist Anonymous Coward, Phd." They are the postulated projections of some, and there is certainly some debate yet as to wether the notion holds any water. The question was asked what it had to do with Katrina. That was it.

    28. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by mickwd · · Score: 1

      "Sure, humans have a huge impact on the earth, but the area we occupy is a small percentage."

      What about the percentage of the area over which we cut down the trees ?

      What about the rapidly-declining numbers of elephants, lions, tigers and all the rest ?

      What about the declining areas of rain-forest ? How much rain-forest is there left in asia now ?

      Take your hand from in front of your eyes. Humans have had, and continue to have, a HUGE impact on the whole planet.

    29. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by Caseman984 · · Score: 1

      Do you have any research to back up any of what you said? Because I disn't think sunspots had anything to do with tempeture.

    30. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The believe that when earth was a complete snowball...

      At this point I knew that you had no idea of what you were writing about. Modern science doesn't acknowledge your "snowball" theory. Where did you get it?

    31. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by poopdeville · · Score: 1
      OK, I believe that you're a Solar Physicist, and that you're making the claim that solar cycles have a greater influence on global temperature than terrestrial gas emissions in good faith.

      Now, some questions:

      • What causes these cycles?
      • Are there any theories with enough predictive power to give easily verifiable results in a reasonable amount of time?

      I suspect that the second question does not have a positive answer. Please correct me if I'm wrong. But if my suspicion is correct, the scientific community has a responsibility to look into all avenues for mechanisms that might cause global warming specifically because by the time your claim is verified or refuted, it might be too late to stop or slow the trend.

      --
      After all, I am strangely colored.
    32. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by shawb · · Score: 1

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Snowball_Earth

      Basically a runaway iceage starts because the albedo of ice is much higher than that of dry land. Sunlight reaching the earth simply reflects into space, not warming the earth, and the earth cools down in a positive feedback loop. It has been shown that the icecaps have extended all the way to the equator, and been theorized that the ice even covered the oceans (similar to how the north pole is covered in floating ice.)

      However, oceans are a very good sink of CO2 (primarilly through geobiological processes, such as how petroleum was formed.) Once they are disconnected from the atmosphere by a layer of ice, they can no longer absorbe CO2, so they stop fuctioning as a carbon sink. As a result the CO2 from volcanoes is allowed to build up in the atmosphere to such a high level that the greenhouse effect from CO2 can warm the earth despite the high reflectivity of ice. The volcanic ash being deposited on the ice would also increase the heat being absorbed by the surface of the ice, contributing to a warming such that the showball can start melting.

      Of course, there is still some debate as to whether snowball earth existed. However a lot of geological evidence tends to point towards it.

      --
      I'll never make that mistake again, reading the experts' opinions. - Feynman
    33. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by Jerry · · Score: 1

      No flames. Good question.

      The 2nd Law of thermodynamic: no process can take place unless the Entropy of the Universe increases.
      Even "intelligently directed" activity.

      Short story. It will take MORE energy to put CO2 "back into the bottle" than was consumed releasing it. And, if you don't use Carbon fuels to pump carbon out of the atmosphere, by what ever process, mechanical or chemical, what energy source would you use that has the density necessary to do the job in an adequate time scale?

      None.

      Building a city below sea leavel, or trying to save one which has sunk below sea level by continually pumping water over a levee is one of the most foolish wastes of energy I can imagine. Sooner or later another break in the levee will occure. Mother nature, terrorists, a drunker LSU fan....

      --

      Running with Linux for over 20 years!

    34. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by rthille · · Score: 1

      The other reply and the wikipedia entry cover it pretty well, but I got my data from a program on the science channel (nee the Discovery Channel) called 'Miracle Planet: Snowball Earth' produced by the National Film Board of Canada and NHK Japan. I've got it on my Tivo, and could probably put it on VCD if you were interested...

      --
      Awesome furniture, accessories and cabinetry in Santa Rosa, CA: http://humanity-home.com/
    35. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by rthille · · Score: 1

      Oops, I dropped a 'y' on the initial 'They' of that sentence there. But I don't think that confused you. But at least _some_ scientists believe the entire earth was covered with ice some 600 million years ago. From the initial result of googling for 'snowball earth':
      Many lines of evidence support a theory that the entire Earth was ice-covered for long periods 600-700 million years ago. Each glacial period lasted for millions of years and ended violently under extreme greenhouse conditions. These climate shocks triggered the evolution of multicellular animal life, and challenge long-held assumptions regarding the limits of global change

      That's from some small northeastern school (Harvard), but I got my initial comment from a program called Miracle Planet: Snowball Earth on The Science Channel. See some of the other replies or google around.

      --
      Awesome furniture, accessories and cabinetry in Santa Rosa, CA: http://humanity-home.com/
    36. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by davesag · · Score: 1

      we can buy carbon credits :-) see my sig below.

      --
      I used to have a better sig than this, but I got tired of it
    37. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by aleator · · Score: 1

      normally, if you destroy woods, you do this in the process of urbanisation. this includes destroying the soil. nobody just like that goes around killing trees because of fun.

      to all geeks: it's a struggle for life out there - stand up, leave your computer and check what is happening outside! ;-)

    38. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dunno about others but I value more
      the life of an animal rathen then a life
      of a human ( driving a 4x4 vehicle)

    39. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Earth is not a closed system, so its entropy can actually decrease. Putting it in internal energy language, it will take more energy to reduce the carbon than it took to oxidate it, but we have a pretty powerful energy source at hand: the Sun. It's "just" a matter of how to use it. A good first approach seems to be reforestation.

    40. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by rthille · · Score: 1

      I hate it when people keep trying to say that humans occupy such a small area and try and say we have little impact because that just is not true.

      But I started off by saying that humans have a huge impact. I guess I wasn't clear in the point of the entire post because most of the replies attacked the part of the post where I said we occupy a small area. (which I stand by: http://www.conservation.org/xp/news/press_releases /2002/120402.xml ).
      On the other hand, I guess I should have RTFA, or at least RTFS (summary), instead of just jumping to the comments and trying to answer someone's question, since I assumed that 'Earth' in the title was 'planet earth', not 'soil'.
      In response to the article I find it interesting that the soil is (perhaps) losing it's ability to hold CO2 due to the rise in temperature despite the raised atmospheric levels. The article I pointed to in my initial reply talks about using iron to cause phytoplankton blooms which would draw CO2 from the oceans, which would then draw CO2 from the atmosphere to maintain equilibrium. I would think (on first glance) that with rising atmospheric levels, the soils would absorb more CO2 (via osmosis) not less (though that may be true with a constant temp).
      Anyway, I agree we are (at least most of) the problem, that my post was unclear, but I did think that volcanos released more CO2 than they apparently do. Seems like the highest output from a single volcano is about 1/1000th of humans, but it's about 300 times higher than the 10th highest, so overall volcano output is probably on the order of 1/1000th of humans.

      --
      Awesome furniture, accessories and cabinetry in Santa Rosa, CA: http://humanity-home.com/
    41. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by Stephan+Schulz · · Score: 1
      Putting this kind of scrubber [as used in space craft] in play on earth would be possible, but very, very expensive. And with expense, comes corporate questioning: is the gas really bad enough to warrant installing scrubbers to clean up the atmosphere? Or should we just spend the money on putting scrubbers on our houses, cars, and airplanes?
      Actually, it is not possible in practice and total nonsense in theory. You need something to bind the CO2 to. That something has to be produced, using energy. Thermodynamics tells us we will lose out in the process. So if we use fossil energy sources, we need to create more CO2 than we can absorb. If we use any other energy source, we could just as well use the energy directly, without the extra loss and expense of burning carbohydrates in the first place.
      --

      Stephan

    42. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by thrillseeker · · Score: 1
      Basically the climate has only been moderate for a brief span (all of human history) and now WE have whacked the balance out....the wild changes will begin again

      Let me get this straight. For 4 billion years the climate fluctuated wildly over the eons. But once mankind showed up on the scene then any fluctuations are attributable to his existence over that 1/10,000th fraction of the Earth's age.

    43. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by Stephen+Ma · · Score: 1

      We'd have to petrify the damned trees, because any decomposition of the wood would return the CO2 right back into the atmosphere.

    44. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by Dun+Malg · · Score: 1
      No, instead they require a direct line-of-sight to a nuclear fusion reactor. One that uses 4 million tons of fuel per second. Do you call that efficient ?!? Just because you don't have to foot the energy bill doesn't mean that someone doesn't have to - but I'm sure that in your socialist utopia Sun would be no one's private property and sunlight free to all...

      You're right! I would rather die than live under a damned godless communist sun!

      --
      If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
    45. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by The+Monster · · Score: 1
      One of the approaches I've read about which would be high-impact for low effort would be to seed the shallow seas with powdered iron.
      That approach would be orders of magnitude less costly than the Holy Kyoto Protocols. Therefore it gets no attention. It's not enough to reduce C02 if we can't cripple Western economies in the process.
      --

      [100% ISO 646 Compliant]
      SVM, ERGO MONSTRO.

    46. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by arminw · · Score: 1

      .....And wherever oil is to be found the surface is littered with wells pumping it out as fast as we can......

      So then why don't you and everybody that agrees with you sell your car and start walking. Taking a bus is no option since buses also spew CO2. A bicycle should be OK though. You might also stop using paper and live in a cave so not so many trees would get cut, such as for your house. Since you posted this with a computer, presumably you use electricity which was generated by fossil fuel or maybe by one of the dams you decry. What are YOU doing to reduce the suposed global warming?

      --
      All theory is gray
    47. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by thethibs · · Score: 1

      Because the climate is a chaotic system. Not being a scientist, you may not know what this means, but you've probably heard of "the butterfly effect".

      The message of the butterfly effect is not that you can tweak something a little over here and get a big effect over there; but that a little tweak anywhere will have a totally unpredictable effect--unpredictable in ways that no amount of extra information or intelligence can improve.

      Tweaking the atmosphere's CO2 content might slow down global warming (the earth's climate is near the cold, dry extreme of its normal variation, so it doesn't take a genius to predict it will get warmer and wetter), it might accellerate it, it might plunge the climate into wild oscillations, or it might not have any impact at all. There is no way to know.

      So the tradeoff is between the highly predicatble costs of tweaking CO2 production and the totally uncertain climatic results of doing it.

      For some, the payoff is in doing something, anything, so they don't feel so helpless. Okay--but I'll want someone else covering my back in that dark alley.

      --
      I'm a Programmer. That's one level above Software Engineer and one level below Engineer.
    48. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      "Let me get this straight. For 4 billion years the climate fluctuated wildly over the eons. But once mankind showed up on the scene then any fluctuations are attributable to his existence over that 1/10,000th fraction of the Earth's age."

      No, not "any" fluctuation, the change in CO2 is directly attributable to Man. The size of the "fluctuation" has been seen before on the planet, the fact that the increase has occured in such a short time is (as far as we know) unprecendented in earth's history. Not to mention that 4 billion years ago the earths atmosphere was more akin to a warm Titan and would be toxic to humans. Muli-cellular life did not even get started until around 2 billion years ago. If you study Earths long and colourfull history you will find that when CO2 is up the temprature is also up.

      Any dweeb with a keyboard can point out times in earths history when the climate "fluctuated wildly", it has gone from snowball earth to tropical paradise and everywhere in between. What nobody can point to is a time when CO2 has increased at anywhere near the rate we have achived with the industrial revolution. The Earths history also shows that when things change rapidly, advanced life-forms seems to disappear rapidly.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    49. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      "Well, the earth is huge. Sure, humans have a huge impact on the earth, but the area we occupy is a small percentage. Volcanos put out large amounts of CO2. The believe that when earth was a complete snowball (entirely covered with ice) it was the volcanos putting CO2 into the atmosphere which warmed the earth again (despite the high reflectivity of the snow/ice)."

      There have been several "snowball" episodes, the end of some of them may be connected to Volcanoes but this was at a time before multi-cellular life evolved. It is belived that when worms first apeared on earth (2+ billion years ago) they triggered the melting of the last "snowball" and have kept it from reforming ever since (worms convert organic material into CO2, among other things).

      "...seed the shallow seas with powdered iron..."

      They have tried it on a small scale, it causes more problems than it solves.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    50. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by rthille · · Score: 1

      Well, maybe. It may also be that it would be like importing the Cane Toads into Australia to control another pest. The outcome is difficult to predict, and could cause devastation locally in where the ocean was seeded or cause a chain reaction which would spread the devastation widely. Certainly more study should be done before we just start dumping massive quantities of iron powder in the oceans.

      --
      Awesome furniture, accessories and cabinetry in Santa Rosa, CA: http://humanity-home.com/
    51. Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? by eggstasy · · Score: 1

      I did not say nor meant to imply that Katrina was caused by global warming. I merely alluded to rising sea levels causing coastal flooding, on a rather more permanent and destructive basis than Katrina.

  5. Cancelling out? by yar · · Score: 4, Insightful

    How is that cancelling out the emissions reductions? Aren't there less CO2 emissions overall because of those reductions? Aren't there fewer man-made emissions?

    1. Re:Cancelling out? by aleator · · Score: 1

      i think, the word "cancelling out" is a wrong one. the earlier models were suggesting that the biotope (that acts as a STORAGE of Carbon and therefore also as a SINK but if you burn parts of it (wood, plants ...) then it is a SOURCE) is a more effective sink than we know now from new data. the reductions that politicans agreed to aspire and we should do are calculated on the early models. now with new data, this actually means that we should reduce our emissions even more than agreed because the natural sink is actually not as effective as thought before. so i think "cancelling out" is simply a cooler and more "press-like" way to say this.

    2. Re:Cancelling out? by Tx · · Score: 1

      It cancels the reductions out as far as meeting a particular target for overall emissions is concerned. Obviously overall emissions would have been worse if those reductions had not happened.

      --
      Oh no... it's the future.
    3. Re:Cancelling out? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think that 'so i think "cancelling out" is simply a cooler and more "press-like" way to say this' is simply a cooler and more "press-like" way to say that 'cancelling out' means the opposite of what was ment and is therefore terrible reporting.

    4. Re:Cancelling out? by Illserve · · Score: 1

      THIS time they got the numbers right. This is *the last* huge error in the statistics. You can count on the data now. Before it wasn't correct, but now it's solid gold.

      And those last 500 times the data were wrong, well we're sorry about those, but NOW we've got it. 100% Guaranteed*

      *no guarantee

  6. No it would not by Da+Fokka · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This would effectively cancel out the UK's recent successes in reducing greenhouse gas emissions, and would have wider global implications as well.

    This would only be true if the soil would not be releasing CO2 prior to the recent reductions in greenhouse emissions.

    Yes, there is a lot of uncertainty concerning the mechanics of CO2 emissions. But that doesn't mean we should stop trying to reduce them each time we find out that we are not the only source of CO2 emissions.

  7. I know the world is slowly being destroyed ... by improbablecause · · Score: 2, Funny

    ... but I'm not going to hold my breath to save it!

    1. Re:I know the world is slowly being destroyed ... by aleator · · Score: 1

      nobody asks you to hold your breath ;-) what we all _should_ do more is to behave more respectfully with energy. especially energy that was once biomass (coal, oil, ...). -> shut down the computer/light/... when you leave the house and are not using this resources -> use bicycle or rollerblades for short-distance instead of a fuel-engined car -> plant trees, help others protecting woods/rainforests and so on... it can be really easy starting, without suffering much from less confort .... and it will be much confortable in the future - especially for future generations - if we start now!

    2. Re:I know the world is slowly being destroyed ... by FooGoo · · Score: 1

      In the 70's the enviros said we should start doing this stuff then or it'd be too late now. We didn't and we are still here. Now other enviros are saying we need to start now or it'll be too late in 20 years. If we can hold out another 20...when the next generation enviros say we need to start now or we'll be dead in 20 years I won't need to do anything anyway because i'm going to die during that time anyway.

      --
      People who bite the hand that feeds them usually lick the boot that kicks them
    3. Re:I know the world is slowly being destroyed ... by schnipschnap · · Score: 1

      But when you breathe out, you could try to breathe toward a plant's leaves (but don't push yourself too hard, or severe death may result).

    4. Re:I know the world is slowly being destroyed ... by arminw · · Score: 1

      ......If we can hold out another 20..... ...we'll have hydrogen fusion reactors which make unlimited, clean, carbon free energy from water. Of course we were told already back in the 1950s that in 20 years we'd have fusion generated power that would be too cheap to meter.

      It is more likely that life might be destroyed by a future war started by another madman. There are enough WMDs in various places (except Iraq apparently) that, if used could seriously threaten human survival as a species.

      --
      All theory is gray
  8. Neat! by Verteiron · · Score: 0, Troll

    From the article: Kirk and colleagues surveyed soil at 6000 sites, spaced 5 kilometres apart, across England and Wales between 1978 and 2003.

    See what happens when you get out and do real research? You find out that the computer simulations accepted previously are all inaccurate as hell! Shocking!

    --
    End of lesson. You may press the button.
    1. Re:Neat! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      An 8% difference is inaccurate as hell? Many modellers would call field validation to within 8% a triumph for the model.

  9. Well, Hell.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The plants ought to just love us then!!!

  10. Maybe by Saiyaman · · Score: 2, Funny

    Maybe the Earth wants CO2 to be released, so it is upping the CO2 in soil. Or the Earth wants to kill us by ridding us of precious O2.

    1. Re:Maybe by ultranova · · Score: 1

      Maybe the Earth wants CO2 to be released, so it is upping the CO2 in soil. Or the Earth wants to kill us by ridding us of precious O2.

      Well, since higher levels of CO2 in the atmosphere lead to higher level of plant growth, and plants release O2 to the atmosphere, I'd say that your theory about Earth's supposed genocidal tendencies is unlikely to be true.

      However, I do remember reading once that we are doing nature a favor by digging up coal and oil - remember, coal and oil are essentially CO2 that's been removed from circulation by being trapped beneath rock. The text claimed that without us, the CO2 levels in the atmosphere would eventually drop to the point where Earth would freeze solid (or, more likely, plants would stop growing and therefore stop getting buried and forming coal and oil - but the end result for life is the same).

      Anyone care to comment this ?

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    2. Re:Maybe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, I'll reply that it is moronic propaganda you've probably read somewhere like newsmax. We've been burning fossil fuels for about 5000 years and the whole planet hasn't frozen solid in what - 5 billion?

      There are natural processes that introduce C02 into the atmosphere - the respiration of thousands of animals and natural forest and brush fires.

  11. trees by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There are a number of programs which plant trees ... an easy way to "mop up" CO2 (if you don't cut them down again, and burn them). I wonder what the math would be on a program of "quick, everybody plant a tree!"

  12. cancel this by atw · · Score: 4, Insightful
    This would effectively cancel out the UK's recent successes in reducing greenhouse gas emissions, and would have wider global implications as well."


    Cancel out? Its not like by trying to reduce CO2 in area X, another area Y produced more CO2 in response to reduction in X -- this is not the case, and while knowledge of what produces CO2 is not complete, it is just plain silly to imply that there was no point to even try reducing it!

    If it had not been reduced then there would have been MORE of it, not less.
    1. Re:cancel this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are assuming the EU emissons have declined. They haven't. In spite of all the Kyoto rah-rah, the EU and US emissions have risen virtually the same since 1990.

      Japan and Canada's CO2 emissions have far outpaced the USs emissions in that same time period.

      http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/artic le/2005/06/28/AR2005062801248.html

    2. Re:cancel this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1
      I don't mean to be rude, but this is sloppy thinking on your part.

      Take corporate welfare, for example. A rich industrialist gets taxed at 31% instead of 33% under Bush, bringing him closer to the average person's 22% tax rate. Since welfare is redistributing money away from one party and to another, the "welfare" label is apt. This means... ah... let me try this from another angle...

      The greatest forest growth takes place where trees are being planted for lumber, and so the lumber and paper industries are evil and guilty of... shit.

      Let's go at this a third time. For every conservative churchgoer who went to help out with Katrina recovery efforts, four people went to rallies to protest the administration, making four times one... damn damn damn.

      Just trust me on this. It's good to be a hippy, okay? The math's there. My feelings tell me so. And if you tell me different, I'll tell you to read a book or wave a giant puppet head in protest.

  13. Let's march on toward the stone age by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    I suppose we'd better just adjust our targets so that we're back to hand-plows and starvation, then.

    I'm sure that once the Kyoto supporting countries do even better, they'll find out that some other scourge is addding CO2 to the atmosphere and we'll all have to hold our breath for two hours a day to meet targets.

    Fuck the bullshit environmental movement.

    1. Re:Let's march on toward the stone age by malex23 · · Score: 1, Insightful
      You must have an intensely low opinion of human ingenuity if you don't think we can do better than coal plants and internal combustion engines.

      Developing new green technologies that support, rather than diminish the biosphere's sustainability ought to be a driving priority for all industiral societies. For you to sit there and say "fuck the environment" just because certain agencies are reluctant to diminish their profit margin... that, my friend, is bullshit.

    2. Re:Let's march on toward the stone age by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your desire for the environmental movement to be "bullshit" will not magically make it so.

      Just because science doesn't support your lifestyle doesn't make the science wrong.

      Read a book every once in a while.

      (This got modded as "Interesting"? Why, because the author uses complete sentences?)

    3. Re:Let's march on toward the stone age by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let's take this all the way

      http://www.vhemt.org/

    4. Re:Let's march on toward the stone age by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      By the time you folk are done gobbling up the dwindling petroleum resources (peak oil) and spewing shit into the atmosphere, we will be marching into the stone age.

    5. Re:Let's march on toward the stone age by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      Keep in mind that just because science does support your lifestyle doesn't make it wrong either.

  14. Re:Neat! --- Great by Tuna_Shooter · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I'm just now having a skype discussion with a liberal buddy of mine in CA and as i have been telling him for the last 6 years ... WE NEED MORE RESEARCH like this. not some knee jerk reaction like Kyoto which is/was also a knee JERK reaction based questionable research. Dam people i make my decisions based on valid data... ... this planet changes and always will change... either with us or without us... lets see who of you will prevent the next ice age (or blame that one on man also)

    --
    *--- Sometimes a majority only means that all the fools are on the same side. ---*
  15. Source or Sink can depend on usage of the land by Shivetya · · Score: 3, Insightful

    An article from earlier in the year attests to how land use can affect if it will act as a sink or source. http://www.physorg.com/news3857.html

    Another article from the same site shows how studies of the Amazon river basin reveal that carbon emissions from the Amazon river are younger than previous thought http://www.physorg.com/news5471.html

    Really what comes about from these articles and others is that we still don't have a complete picture. While it is great press to claim we can simulate the earth and predict things like global warming and cooling we still run into the fact we don't know all the variables. Yes man contributes but how much? Indirect methods are revealed by how land use affected CO2 emissions and absorption.

    I do think that what the Earth is doing on its own in regards to CO2 emissions should not be weighed against how well we reduce our own emissions. Granted the changes in the planet may seemingly undo what we accomplish we still improve our ecosystem by reducing OUR effect on it.

    --
    * Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
    1. Re:Source or Sink can depend on usage of the land by ccarson · · Score: 1

      Apparently, the Earth magnetic field has decreased by 10% in the last 10 years. I'm an electrical engineer and during my studies in sub-atomic physics, I learned that a particles velocity can be effected by magnetic fields. I keep hearing about the increased activity of our Sun and I believe it's possible that more of the Sun's radiation is penetrating the Earth's magnetic field due to it being weaker. If more radiation hits the Earth and the Sun is spewing out more heat, shouldn't that also increase the overall temperature of the Earth and can global warming be attributed to this? I've been bouncing this idea in my head for a while now and I can't see why this MAY not be true.

  16. CO2 is not a substance by BrentRJones · · Score: 1, Redundant
    I am a Chemistry teacher and it is frustrating to see subscripts not supported in headlines.

    CO(sub)2(/sub) is the correct formula.

    where I let ( be a substitute for std. notation

    But slashdot does not support it.

    --
    Help end the use of Sigs. Tomorrow
    1. Re:CO2 is not a substance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      An anal-retentive font Nazi such as yourself is never going to find happiness on a plaintext blog. You really would be more at home over at one of the TeX-based blogs.

    2. Re:CO2 is not a substance by Saiyaman · · Score: 1

      I think most intelligent people understand that CO2 does not exist. But we type it as CO2 because it is easier and is just as well understood.

    3. Re:CO2 is not a substance by ArsenneLupin · · Score: 1
      CO(sub)2(/sub) is the correct formula.

      Wrong. CO<sub>2</sub> would be correct html. Angle brackets, not parenthesis. But you're still right: Slashdot doesn't support that one either :-(

    4. Re:CO2 is not a substance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I'm a cockbite and can't understand CO2." Also, I can't understand your sentence because it isn't punctuated properly (comma after teacher).

      I don't mind when wrong information is corrected, but this is a different, much stupider, animal altogether.

    5. Re:CO2 is not a substance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Since nobody here is really interested in isotopes right now, i think C02 works just fine.

      But Monday, why don't you talk to your kids about some of these natural sources of C02 in our atmosphere and explain to them how C02 levels have historically risen and fallen even (gasp!) in the absence of my noxious gas-guzzling Chevy Silverado and hurricane-spawning charcoal barbecue.

    6. Re:CO2 is not a substance by GoldAnt · · Score: 0

      The beauty of humanity is adaptation... I think we all got the point and many of us are involved in chemistry. on another note... Were worried about the temperature right now because of global warning, but as we have less things bringing O2 back into the atmosphere... shouldn't we Really be worried about the Oxygen content? I don't know about you but that alarms me a bit more than 110 degree weather.

    7. Re:CO2 is not a substance by BrentRJones · · Score: 1

      Well, "carbon dioxide" is easily understood as well. I was mainly pointing out how (1) sloppy people are with symbols [Our school had someone post signs asking for H2O bottled water for Gulf region people. Later it was correctly redone with the subscript.] (2) little advanced we are in information presentation in such a high tech forum as slashdot.

      --
      Help end the use of Sigs. Tomorrow
    8. Re:CO2 is not a substance by BrentRJones · · Score: 1

      Actually, you are both crude with your comment and wrong. The comma after teacher is not grammatically necessary. Deduction: your English is substandard like your comment.

      --
      Help end the use of Sigs. Tomorrow
    9. Re:CO2 is not a substance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Did your mother drop you as a child, or were you born that way?

    10. Re:CO2 is not a substance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The comma is required because the "and" connects two independent clauses. I hope you are not an English teacher.

    11. Re:CO2 is not a substance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, the comma would have been nice, but why are you such an asshole?

    12. Re:CO2 is not a substance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you're going to be pedantic, you'd better be more precise. The comma isn't always required when using "and" to connect two independent clauses. It's usually preferable, but your statement that it's required is incorrect.

      Those who live by the grammatical assertion die by the grammatical assertion.

      Refer to section 2 here.

      I hope you're not an English teacher. If you are, I hope you don't preach your nonsense with the authority you feign here.

  17. "Science" by dirtstar · · Score: 3, Funny
    As part of the Bush administration, I don't believe in this "Science" you speak of.

    Obviously the climate change is due to God's anger with various countries allowing gay marriages.

    I firmly believe this can be stopped by giving tax cuts to the wealthy.

    --
    I want to walk the Earth and kick ass where needed, like Cain from the TV show Kung-Fu.
  18. not the only problem by chasingporsches · · Score: 4, Interesting

    indonesia peat burning emits 1/7th of global CO2

    i'm surprised this wasn't mentioned as well.

    1. Re:not the only problem by constantnormal · · Score: 1
      Not to mention the thawing of the Russian permafrost, and subsequent decomposition of the underlying peat into methane and CO2 over millions of square kilometers.

      We have likely passed a trigger point beyond which global warming would continue even if all human releases of greenhouse gases fell immediately to zero, due to lags in the system.

      The good news is that this is not the first time this has happened over geologic time, and whatever mechanism turns it off and into another Ice Age will eventually kick in.

      But NOW would be a Real Good Time for researchers to begin bioengineering trees that produce carbon nanotube-laden bark, and grow at incredibly rapid rates.

    2. Re:not the only problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting
      I might be able to buy this if the claim were 1/7 of global man-made CO2, which is something less than 5% of global CO2. The greatest sources of CO2 remain rotting vegetation, termites (yes, the little bugs) and volcanos. The first human activities occur farther down the list, below even several mammals' herbivorous digestive tracts.

      But saying that buying Ikea furniture contributes to more CO2 than most natural events is just silly.

    3. Re:not the only problem by Gadgetfreak · · Score: 3, Informative

      The Earth emits more CO2 than most people are largely aware of. It's easy to figure out what humans create (buth by technology and breathing... 6 billion people can't be having only a negligible effect)

      Other things, both natural and man made, include coal mine fires, Volcanos that on average release 145 million to 255 million short tons of CO2 annually, not to mention an equally immense amount of SO2. Check out Mammoth Mountain in California's Sierra Nevada range. The National Park Service has closed it to camping because it emits so much CO2 up through the soil that it can kill humans who stay in the area too long. It killed a lot of trees, too. Estimates state that Mammoth Mountain emits 50-150 tons of CO2 per DAY, which might cast doubt on the earlier estimate of how much volcanos produce.

      I'm not going to suggest that we don't care about man-made emissions, but I think more study will find that it pales in comparison to nature. And what do we do if we find that the earth is warming up with or without our effort? Do we try to cool it down?? Might be something to think about, if in the next few thousand years Mankind eliminates "harmful" emissions to only find that the planet's trying to kill us anyways...

      --
      "No fair, you changed the outcome by measuring it!" - Professor Hubert J. Farnsworth
    4. Re:not the only problem by mcgroarty · · Score: 1
      But NOW would be a Real Good Time for researchers to begin bioengineering trees that produce carbon nanotube-laden bark, and grow at incredibly rapid rates.
      Look, maw -- I grew me a space el-e-o-vator!
    5. Re:not the only problem by amorsen · · Score: 1
      Estimates state that Mammoth Mountain emits 50-150 tons of CO2 per DAY

      Woohoo, ~50 thousand tons of CO2 a year.

      According to solarenergy.org "An average of 23,000 pounds of carbon dioxide are emitted annually in each American home. (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency)". So Mammoth Mountain manages to pollute as much as 5 US homes. I'm so impressed.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    6. Re:not the only problem by Lars+T. · · Score: 2, Informative
      --

      Lars T.

      To the guy who modded me down from perfect to terrible Karma - Apple haters still suck

    7. Re:not the only problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Estimates state that Mammoth Mountain emits 50-150 tons of CO2 per DAY

      Woohoo, ~50 thousand tons of CO2 a year.

      An average of 23,000 pounds of carbon dioxide are emitted annually in each American home. (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency)". So Mammoth Mountain manages to pollute as much as 5 US homes.

      1 ton = 2000 pounds. 23,000 pounds/yr/family=11.5 tons/year. Mammoth Mountain "pollutes" as much as 4350 families, or one entire city of 15,000.
    8. Re:not the only problem by Detritus · · Score: 1

      You might be more impressed if you learned basic arithmetic.

      --
      Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
    9. Re:not the only problem by killjoe · · Score: 1

      "I'm not saying that Linux is necessarily more difficult to install, just that it's something that Joe Normal doesn't want to go through."

      15K is a tiny city. Most football stadiums can hold over 60K people.

      So the thing emits as much CO2 as a tiny city. Still nothing compared to the rest of humanity.

      --
      evil is as evil does
    10. Re:not the only problem by amorsen · · Score: 1

      Yes, I was off by 3 orders of magnitude. But hey, so Mammoth Mountain pollutes as much as 5000 homes, and how many volcanos like Mammoth Mountain exist? And how many towns with 5000 houses? I'm still not impressed.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    11. Re:not the only problem by njh · · Score: 1

      Rotting vegetation and termites are carbon neutral and are irrelevant in this discussion. Volcanos produce (as quoted earlier) about 1% of the CO2 of human activity. Remember that we are talking about new carbon in the atmosphere, not stuff that is going around and around. (And ikea don't use indonesian clearfelled hardwood either - they use scandinavian plantation beech and softwoods)

      Inventing facts to support your world view is just silly. (Mind you, so is responding to ACs)

    12. Re:not the only problem by nihilogos · · Score: 1

      I don't think so

      --
      :wq
    13. Re:not the only problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just thought I would point out that the wiki linked above states "Researchers also determined that Mammoth releases about 1,300 tons of CO2 every day". The 50-150 tons per day refers to a tree kill area around Horseshoe Lake.

  19. Careful with your real estate speculations... by fm6 · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Everybody assumes that global warming means a uniform rise in temperature and sea levels. (Peter Hamilton wrote some remarkably bad SF on that premise.) The planet's a tad more complicated than that. I don't know about Alaska, but I've seen reports claiming that Europe would likely get colder, because the Gulf Stream will probably be diverted. Other reports claim that sea levels in some areas would actually drop.

    So if you're investing in Global Warming, don't buy real estate -- too uncertain what will happen to it. You might consider wind farming...

    1. Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... by Dun+Malg · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Other reports claim that sea levels in some areas would actually drop.

      Curious. Is this the "sea levels" that includes inland seas and lakes; or the ocean levels, which is usually what they're talking about in the context of global warming? If the latter, it'd be interesting to hear by what mechanism the earth's oceans would be higher in some places, but lower in others.

      --
      If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
    2. Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... by rthille · · Score: 1


      Tides? :-)
      </pedantic>

      --
      Awesome furniture, accessories and cabinetry in Santa Rosa, CA: http://humanity-home.com/
    3. Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... by drownie · · Score: 1

      Yes Hamilton might be one of the stupidest SF authors around. But as stupid as the Mindstar books are I really liked Night's Dawn. Rather strange: - the fortress of monaco, heavily armed since the starving ( because of climate change) french masses attacked - the good people of Petersborough who built a damn by hand to protect their city from the rising sea ( we are talking about a very fast rising sea ) - the russians who export only wood because all their trees died ... global warming

      --
      *an infinite number of monkeys wrote this sig
    4. Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... by klept · · Score: 1

      Another factor that may change the Gulf Stream is supposedly the rising temperature of the Gulf of Mexico. And the cause of this is guessed to be all the oil drilling activity there. This was told to me second hand, by an elderly French couple, who evidently read it in a French publication. And no, I am not trying to be funny in who told me the story. Please dont joke. They are nice, cosmopolitan, and enlightned people, even if the wife cant drink wine any more for medical reasons. And if they read this post I am mort.

    5. Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... by legirons · · Score: 1

      If the latter, it'd be interesting to hear by what mechanism the earth's oceans would be higher in some places, but lower in others.

      Other than the obvious twice-daily one...

    6. Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... by nbarriga · · Score: 2, Informative

      it'd be interesting to hear by what mechanism the earth's oceans would be higher in some places, but lower in others

      Actually, the pacific ocean is about 20 cm higher than the atlantic.See http://www.pol.ac.uk/psmsl/puscience/#3 or http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panama_canal for more in-depth information.

    7. Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... by mcgroarty · · Score: 1
      Everybody assumes that global warming means a uniform rise in temperature and sea levels.
      Global warming caused by greenhouse gasses would actually result in colder daytime temperatures and warmer nights, with the day's overall average trending higher.

      Greenhouse gasses not only reflect heat back at us from earth, but deflect heat from the sun. A given section of the planet loses less heat at night as it's reflected back at us, but also picks up less heat during the day as heat is reflected away.

    8. Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... by That's+Unpossible! · · Score: 1

      Actually, the pacific ocean is about 20 cm higher than the atlantic.See http://www.pol.ac.uk/psmsl/puscience/#3 or http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panama_canal for more in-depth information.

      Nice one

      --
      Ironically, the word ironically is often used incorrectly.
    9. Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... by RWerp · · Score: 1, Informative

      1. Tides -- may be stronger or weaker. 2. Variations in the Earth's gravitational field.

      --
      "Long run is a misleading guide to current affairs. In the long run we are all dead." (John Maynard Keynes)
    10. Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... by Laughing+Dog · · Score: 1
      Basically, if the average global temperature rises too much, those currents start to shut down. Under "normal" conditions, water freezes in the Arctic and Antarctic regions. This increases the salinity of the remaining, unfrozen surface water, thereby increasing its density, and causes the water to sink, helping to drive circulation. (Since the temperature of surface water there is often higher than that of the water below it, it would not ordinarily sink without that density change.) When the temperature rises, the ice melts, and, when combined with higher discharge from glacier-fed rivers and streams, the result is a sudden influx of comparatively low-density, warm surface water. This shuts down that mechanism.

      As production of the high-salinity "Deep Water" lessens or ceases entirely, currents like the Gulf Stream weaken. For example, an influx of freshwater off the coast of Laborador in the late 1960s prevented the formation of Laborador Deep Water. The Gulf Stream weakened, and, during the period of the Great Salinity Anomaly, Europe experience a few cold years. Theoretically, if enough freshwater hit the system at the right time, the current could actually shut down, plunging Europe and the Northeastern US (and most of the Northern Hemisphere, as the effects rippled through other currents) into a mini ice age. Granted that it would eventually start up again, but not on human timescales. The last time such a thing supposedly happened, the frigid conditions lasted about 700 years (Younger Dryas).

    11. Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He's not stupid at all. Have you actually read his books ?
      The Night's Dawn trilogy is amazing. He has a new series just started too.

    12. Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... by Stephan+Schulz · · Score: 1
      As production of the high-salinity "Deep Water" lessens or ceases entirely, currents like the Gulf Stream weaken.
      I'm not a climatologist, and I have not researched this in detail. However, it seems obvious to me that the gulf stream not only delivers heat to Northern Europe, it also removes it from the Gulf of Mexico. So waters in the gulf should be warmer on average...leading to an extended and stronger hurricane season. Hmmm...
      --

      Stephan

    13. Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      So if you're investing in Global Warming, don't buy real estate -- too uncertain what will happen to it.

      Uh, no. The correct advice would be to buy real-estate where the higher uncertainty makes the investment more favorable rather than less -- for example, an arid desert may turn temperate or tropical (say, it rains more in death valley) or a swamp may become excellent farmland.

      On the whole, global warming will amost certainly help as many places as hurt them --- it's just the rich guys that currently own the favorable land that would suffer as some poor folk's land becmoes nicer and their formerly nice land becomes some sort of hellhole.

      That's why I can't figure out why the canadians and russians and poor-hippies are the most vocal anti-global warming folk out there -- they're the ones most likely to benefit.

    14. Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... by hungrygrue · · Score: 1

      No, you are misunderstanding the problem. Heat is reflected, true. Light, however, is not reflected. Get it?

    15. Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not a climatologist, and I have not researched this in detail.

      don't quit your day job

    16. Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... by Dun+Malg · · Score: 2, Insightful
      1. Tides -- may be stronger or weaker.

      No, that doesn't fit with what the OP said. Increased tidal variation doesn't make the seas lower in some places and higher in others, it makes it both higher and lower everywhere. OP said "Other reports claim that sea levels in some areas would actually drop." This is clearly not a description of tidal variation.

      2. Variations in the Earth's gravitational field.

      Yeah.....OK. Now tell me how global warming manages that trick.

      --
      If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
    17. Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      "Greenhouse gasses not only reflect heat back at us from earth, but deflect heat from the sun. A given section of the planet loses less heat at night as it's reflected back at us, but also picks up less heat during the day as heat is reflected away."

      Sorry not even close, the radiation that comes in (light) is at a different wavelength than the radiation that goes out (heat), this is because it has been absorbed and re-emmited by the surface of the Earth. CO2 lets visible light get in but blocks infra-red "heat" getting out. True it would block infra-red from getting in but this has very little effect since the Sun gives of nearly all of it's radiation at higher frequencies. If there is any extra relection, (cooling) to be had, it would be because of extra water vapour (clouds) in the atmosphere. Nobody has a firm idea of the effect GW will have on clouds, they are one of the least understood variables. Lets just say for agrguments sake that there are more clouds. If this were the outcome then the situation would get even worse since water vapour is also a strong "greenhouse gas".

      This news plus the Siberian peat thawing out, plus the SE.Asian tropical peat fires, plus the oceans absorbing enough carbon to start becoming acidic all in the last few months is not good (to say the least). Taken as a whole, it would seem to indicate that the positive feedback effects that we have been warned about for at least the last 15yrs, are making a significant impact much sooner than was predicted. The system has built in "momentum" and even if we stopped pumping CO2 today, GW will keep right on rolling for millenia. I have no doubt that technology could give us the ability to adapt to a turbulent climate, but what the fuck are six billion+ people going to eat when the planets food web suddenly colapses.

      Premtive Simpsons joke: Mmmmm, soylent greeeeen.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    18. Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      You raise an interesting point, this summer has the highest gulf water tempratue ever recorded. I know that a individual storm event cannot be directly contributed to GW but it is interesting to note the path Katrina took across the US. It headed straight for Greenland and eventually disipated over Larbrador (IIRC, Andrew did the same). Heat energy must distribute itself around the planet one way or another (thermal equilibrium). If the ocean currents carry less heat toward the poles then the only way left for the heat to "escape" the Gulf is for the atmosphere to carry it away.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    19. Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... by quarkscat · · Score: 1

      Interesting idea about not speculating in real estate due to Global Warming, but I think your premise is incorrect.

      If Global Warming is not uniform (likely), there will still be an increase in the number and severity of differential weather patterns -- the result may include wider temperature extremes at a higher average temperature in the atmosphere and oceans. Warmer average air and water temperature means more retained moisture in the air, so some areas may experience more severe droughts while other areas may get far too much rainfall.

      As I see it, there are two sometimes conflicting results of (average) Global Warming -- warmer and wetter might mean more glaciation and wintewr snow pack, while colder and drier might result in bloody cold deserts. On the whole, greater temperature and moisture extremes will result in more violent weather, effecting coastal storms as well as tornado activity. Changing weather patterns may shift or expand regions of tornado activity, but without a dramatic rise in sea level, coastal areas are not likely to shift.

      The end result, IMHO, is that there will be a greater chance of typhoons and hurricanes hitting coastal regions, while tornados will become less predictable. I, for one, will not be buying retirement property on any coastline.

  20. I'm reminded of a joke by Timex · · Score: 0, Redundant

    The root cause of cancer of laboratory animals has been discovered. It's humans in lab coats.

    I think the same might be said of anything else...

    --
    When politicians are involved, everyone loses.
  21. Bit offtopic... by elgatozorbas · · Score: 1

    A way shorter and imho more legible notation would be Latex's: CO_2.

  22. Nope. Jesus will save us. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    My pastor said so and he's the smartest man I know.

    The only people that believe in global warming are educated, and educated people are dumb.

    I haven't read a book since 8th grade.

  23. Can someone tell me by WormholeFiend · · Score: 1

    when we'll finally have Florida weather in Canada during wintertime?

    1. Re:Can someone tell me by mindaktiviti · · Score: 1

      I'm from Toronto and I just took a trip to the Grand Canyon, Zion National Park, and Bryce Canyon, amongst other places in Utah and Arizona. I know that Arizona is pretty warm, but the smog and humidity in Toronto made the GC 120F temperature in some parts "Not that bad". So, Canada is warm, very warm (at least in the summer). But yeah, the winters are still cold. :P

    2. Re:Can someone tell me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Florida weather? You mean hurricanes 3 times a month?

  24. Re:Neat! --- Great by AvitarX · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Soil released 8%

    that is really not all that much.

    --
    Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
  25. DO hold your breath by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Everyone hold your breath until CO2 levels return to normal.

  26. yes it's worse! by spineboy · · Score: 1

    What they're worried about is that since the earth is warming up, it can retain less CO2 - in effect magnifying the greenhouse effect.

    --
    ..........FULL STOP.
    1. Re:yes it's worse! by timeOday · · Score: 1
      There are two ways of looking at this:

      1) We might as well pollute because the earth does it naturally, undoing whatever we do.

      2) We need reduce emissions more than we thought, because our emissions cause warming which increases the Earth's emissions, compounding our effect.

      I think the point of your parent post (curiously moderated 'troll') was to argue for interpretation #2.

  27. For Peat's sake by N8F8 · · Score: 1

    When will it stop!

    --
    "God fights on the side with the best artillery." - Napoleon, Marshal of France - speaking truth to power
  28. Global warming is a natural cycle... by slashname3 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    When are people going to accept the fact that the Earth goes in cycles? There have been and will be ice ages and warming cycles regardless of what humans do. Here is a report showing that the Earth is giving off more CO^2 that previously expected. So we change the models and get a new estimate on when things will become really dicey. Hopefully by that time we will have established self sustaining colonies in space and on the Moon and other planets. Only by getting humans off the planet will survival be better assured.

    The huge volcanoe that will erupt in Utah shortly along with a few other disasters will push us into another ice age quicker than most think.

    A concerted effort to achieve relatively cheap routine access to space needs to be initiated. Hopefully the private sector will do what NASA has been unable to do.

    1. Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... by van+der+Rohe · · Score: 1
      When are people going to accept the fact that the Earth goes in cycles?


      As soon as there's even an ounce of scientific evidence for it that isn't sponsored by right-wing industry-aligned think tanks.

      On the other hand, lots of people "accept" what you're claiming anyway. And a few of them probably even finished high school. But not many.
    2. Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... by FooGoo · · Score: 1

      So the ice ages are a myth propigated by a right-wing industry-aligned think and let me guess the eruption of Krakatu which reduced global temperatures by .25 degrees celsuis for about 2 years was engineering by Haliburton.

      --
      People who bite the hand that feeds them usually lick the boot that kicks them
    3. Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... by slashname3 · · Score: 1

      If you had put a :) on that I would think you were just trying to be funny. As is I think you actually think that there have not been ice ages in the past. Such ice ages have been shown to have happened. Obviously you have graduated from a school that teaches ID as part of science class. Shame you were not taught better.

    4. Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... by windows · · Score: 1

      So what you're trying to say is the science of paleoclimatology is a hoax?

      What about the use of fossils and ice core samples to get information about past climates and the composition of the atmosphere in the Earth's past? Is that all a right-wing hoax, too?

    5. Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

        When are people going to accept the fact that the Earth goes in cycles? There have been and will be ice ages and warming cycles regardless of what humans do.

      I think everybody accepted that long ago (except perhaps our creationists friends). What you don't seem to realize is that a "quick" natural climate evolution (a few degrees change) usually occurs in 5000-10000 years. The models we use today are all predicting a similar change (even if nobody knows exactly how much) in 50 - 100 years. 50 to 100 times faster. The consequences are unpredictable, but the last event of this magnitude we know of killed the dinosaurs.
      Try to read this for a more detailed analysis :
      http://www.manicore.com/anglais/documentation_a/gr eenhouse/only_action.html

      And I strongly suggest you to read the rest of this site before posting anything again on that subject.


      Hopefully by that time we will have established self sustaining colonies in space and on the Moon and other planets. Only by getting humans off the planet will survival be better assured.

      Yeah, of course. I'm sure that it will be easy to send more than 6 billions people in space in less than 100 years. I let you do the maths on how much space rockets (and fuel) by year that represents. And I suppose that you plan to do that after we finished to consume all of earth's fossil energy, aren't you ?
    6. Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As soon as there's even an ounce of scientific evidence for it that isn't sponsored by right-wing industry-aligned think tanks.

      Uh huh. I suppose the mini-ice age was Bush's fault as well.

    7. Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... by Lars+T. · · Score: 1
      When are people like you going to accept the fact that you are screwing up earth, and that saying "if we don't do it, nature will" is a pretty dumb?

      Quote the article: The overall carbon loss was consistent across environments as varied as grasslands, bogs, arable fields and woodland, suggesting the change is largely due to warming and not changes in land use. The average temperature across England and Wales has increased by 0.5C over the survey period. Earth is giving off more CO2 due to (global) warming, further increasing it.

      --

      Lars T.

      To the guy who modded me down from perfect to terrible Karma - Apple haters still suck

    8. Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Agreed, the global weather system does cycle from hot to cold.

      That cycle, however, does not take 100-200 years to change several degrees. It takes thousands to tens of thousands of years. Would you have us believe that the average temperature change since the Industrial Revolution correlates exactly with human CO2 production? Or that isotopic analysis of atmospheric CO2 shows that the new CO2 released into the atmosphere results from the combustion of fossil fuels? It's extremely irritating to listen to climate change deniers selectively use science to propound their flawed arguments.

    9. Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... by slashdot1968 · · Score: 0

      Sure all these models predict something disastrous in 50-100 years.
      Q: How many of these models have made accurate predictions on that time scale?
      A: 0
      How many "scientists" who produce these wonderfully accurate models have no interest the sensationalism of their predictions?
      A: 0

    10. Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... by GlobalWarmer · · Score: 1

      You obviously didn't read the fucking link. Here it is again : http://www.manicore.com/anglais/documentation_a/gr eenhouse/only_action.html Go to the end and look at the "model" and "observations" figures. Wow, the right one reproduce the real observations. Theses figures comes from the IPCC :http://www.manicore.com/anglais/documentation_a/g reenhouse/IPCC.html Could you explain me how sensationalism is supposed to help them ? And before giving any answer, take into account that even the USA is a member of the IPCC. And do read at least this quote from the link : Before being published and declared "official reports" of the IPCC, these assessment reports are explicitely approved by the full assembly of the member countries, where representatives are generally competent - but not always - in science. Up to this day, all the assessment reports of the IPCC have been unanimously approved by the member countries, including by the USA, or by Saudi Arabia.

    11. Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... by slashname3 · · Score: 1

      Probably about when you tree huggers realize that things will change over time regardless of what you or anyone else do. About the only way our impact on the Earth can be reduced is to get off this planet and use resources from other worlds. Until then about the best you can hope for is that a virus comes along and kills off most of the people on the planet. Of course then you will probably complain that no one is around to clean up the corpses.

    12. Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... by slashdot1968 · · Score: 0

      LOL,
      Of course I read the link!
      The question was ...
      Q: How many of these models have made accurate predictions on that time scale? A: 0 The answer is 0 because *nobody* has had a model in existence for anything like that time span.
      What you input into the model in terms of real world measurements has to have some accuracy in regards to what it's trying to predict. The Earth is a massive system that is very complex and to get accurate results you need *tons* of data that have only become available very recently (last 10-15 years as a guess, maybe someone can correct me.)
      To do this, you have input data, and output data, and you modify parameters until your model gets a "best" fit.
      This does *not* mean your model is an accurate representation of the real world.
      The amount of time that the earth has been modeled is infintesimal compared to earth's history, and using that little information to try to predict that far out is really sketchy. "science". In fact it's better termed extrapolation (or guessing), because no one has tested these models *in that time frame*.

      As far how sensationalism is supposed to help them, just think what would happen if their models predicted "normal" climate. Why should they get federal grants for further study?
      Their models are basically expensive experiments.
      You should read After the Ice Age http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/0226 668126/104-8145779-9328763?v=glance/
      by EC Pielou. It's interesting reading.
      Personally I think we're warming up the atmosphere a little bit, but what would happen if didn't? We might head to another Ice Age, There might be a large dry period, anything. The Climate is not static and I don't think we should blame ourselves for whatever happens. Maybe in far in the future (1000 years) they'll have perfected climatology and they'll have a recipe for what we should have done to keep the climate "just right".
      Until then I'll continue to be entertained by the Chicken Little's of the world, and enjoying some pretty damned nice weather. :)

    13. Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... by GlobalWarmer · · Score: 1

      Well. If it's so easy to stretch a model, why the "honests" scientists haven't be able to show us a model that correctly simulate past observations, and yet doesn't come to the same conclusions ?

      And while we're at it, where are those "honests" scientists ? What actual knowledge do they have on this subject ?
      Here's a hint :
      http://www.manicore.com/anglais/documentation_a/gr eenhouse/scientists.html

      Yeah, I'm quoting this site a lot, but it's because all your "arguments" are already answered there. It's a pity the english translation is a little rushed, but it's still understandable.

      Now if you don't care, just say it, we'll both gain time. Enjoy the nice weather while it's here, just make sure your children don't get too accustomed to it.

      As for your book suggestion, it seems very interesting and I very well could read it, so I thank you for it. But I fail to see the connection with this discussion, except that by bringing Ice Age into it you make a really good job at giving the impression you didn't read the link.

    14. Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... by Lars+T. · · Score: 1

      So do you have any evidence global warming is part of a natural cycle? And what's with the "nature is out to get me" paranoia? And why is your solution to kill it first?

      --

      Lars T.

      To the guy who modded me down from perfect to terrible Karma - Apple haters still suck

    15. Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... by Cally · · Score: 1
      When are people going to accept the fact that the Earth goes in cycles?
      When are people going to stop posting bullshit oon subjects they know very little about to Slashdot? When other idiots stop modding them up to +5 I suppose. *expletives deleted*
      --
      "None are more hopelessly enslaved than those who falsely believe they are free." -- Goethe
    16. Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... by slashname3 · · Score: 1

      So you don't think the earth goes through heating and cooling cycles? What evidence do you have to support that wacked out idea? The climate on this Earth will change over time. It has changed in the distant past and it will change in the future. Humans have a relatively short experience to draw on here on Earth. The Earth's climate has changed many times over the past several million years. Early in mans history there was a small ice age. For the past couple of thousand years things have warmed up. People may or may not have contributed to the warming cycle to a greater or lessor extent. The only way you are going to reduce or eliminate humans affects on the climate is to get rid of most of the people. So crank up your genocide machines and start fragging people. That is the only cure for what you percive to be the big problem.

      Of course that is not a real solution. The real solution is to get enough people off this planet so the humans can survive if something major happens to this world. And eventually something major will happen. Either an astroid or comet will hit or there will be a major volcano (Utah is a good bet) that will erupt and cause a quick climate change. I suspose then you will complain that no one did anything when you would not let anyone design and build the technology that might avert such disasters. Instead you want to limit people to living on organic farms eating only plants. And that means you are going to have to figure out a way to reduce the worlds population. Good luck on that one.

      Better try to embrace the changes that are coming.

    17. Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... by slashdot1968 · · Score: 0

      > Well. If it's so easy to stretch a model, why the "honests" scientists haven't be able to show us a model that correctly simulate past observations, and yet doesn't come to the same conclusions ?
      They may be making similar assumptions in some aspect of their model that are invalid. These guys don't work in vacuums. See this link http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/J._Harlan_Bretz .
      I'm guessing this is mostly unintentional, and may be best described by groupthink http://dictionary.reference.com/search?q=groupthin k .
      2: What scientist(s) have the time or resources to do this sort of thing without funding from the federal government?
      There is also the problem, which you seem to have ignored, that *nobody* has an accurate model for that time scale.
      I wish I could find the link to the graph that demonstrated how each model predicted correctly the 1st decade, but each took a path that was off of each other (never mind reality, which they can't use) by as much as 6 degrees by 2100.

      >Now if you don't care, just say it, we'll both gain time. Enjoy the nice weather while it's here, just make sure your children don't get too accustomed to it.
      Of course I care, but I think that these scientists are out on a limb with their predictions.
      I don't think driving my car is the best way to get around and I avoid it if possible.
      I try to consume as little as possible, and I think other could and should get by with less.
      But even If carbon emissions are as bad as the IPCC says they are, I don't think there is a chance that we can appreciably cut them.

      >As for your book suggestion, it seems very interesting and I very well could read it, so I thank you for it.
      >But I fail to see the connection with this discussion, except that by bringing Ice Age into it you make a really good job at giving the impression you didn't read the link.
      Don't see how, but I read more in depth the second time and it was interesting. Thanks for the argument. It's also been interesting.

    18. Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... by GlobalWarmer · · Score: 1
      I'm glad to hear that you actually care : if that really is true you won't mind reading some more links :-)

      First on the models and greedy scientists :
      How can we know what will happen later on ? (is this the link you were searching ?) :
      http://www.manicore.com/anglais/documentation_a/gr eenhouse/model.html
      Should we trust climate models ? :
      http://www.manicore.com/anglais/documentation_a/gr eenhouse/trust_model.html

      Hope it will make you think, at least.

      Oh, about Harlan Bretz, what is exactly your point ? Are you saying that because "mainstream" scientist have been wrong in the past (I don't know anything about this case, so I won't question it for now), they are necessarily wrong today ?


      But even If carbon emissions are as bad as the IPCC says they are, I don't think there is a chance that we can appreciably cut them.

      You may be right, but I'll let you search the site on some possible solutions to effectively cut thoses emissions (you can try starting here : http://www.manicore.com/anglais/documentation_a/gr eenhouse/index.html). It's possible, but clearly not easy, and supposes a lot of changes in our civilizations.
      If you really try to consume as less as possible, you're on the right track... On this subject this link is interesting (just to check if you're close to the "goal") :
      http://www.manicore.com/anglais/documentation_a/gr eenhouse/quota_GHG.html

      Take your time to check all of the site of Jean-Marc Jancovici. After all, even if you don't blindly believe everything (and you shouldn't), it will let you know most of the arguments of "the other side". You'll then be more able than ever to make your choice.
    19. Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... by slashdot1968 · · Score: 0

      First on the models and greedy scientists : How can we know what will happen later on ? (is this the link you were searching ?) :

      Sorry, this wasn't the link I was looking at, although I'd have to say they are all very interesting.
      And I don't think I made a generalization about scientists being greedy.
      I know what they are doing has benefit, but when claims are made that are IMO, and alot of other peoples opinions, unjustified and self serving, I'll certainly say so.
      I do this at work to (on a much smaller scale :)). I'm confident I'll have a certain programming problem resolved, and all of a sudden the evil Testing Department will prove to me otherwise.
      On the subject of trusting climat models http://www.manicore.com/anglais/documentation_a/gr eenhouse/trust_model.html
      I think they are very honest about what could be problems with their models, and I think even you will have to admit that these could radically affect the accuracy of current models.
      I'll try to thoroughly read everything on that site, but there's a lot of it, and other responsibilities get in the way. :)
      BTW, my choice is never permanently made, it's always subject to my own and other's criticism and as such get's continually refined.
      And I wouldn't have it any other way... :)

    20. Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... by Cally · · Score: 1
      So you don't think the earth goes through heating and cooling cycles?

      Of course it does; but I'm tired of the uneducated and ill-informed trotting this notion out as an "argument against global warming" [sic].

      --
      "None are more hopelessly enslaved than those who falsely believe they are free." -- Goethe
    21. Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... by slashname3 · · Score: 1

      It's not really an argument against global warming. It is an arguement against the knee jerk reaction the tree huggers have when the topic comes up. Very little that people can do will ultimately affect the climate, at least in the short term. If we survive another 1000 years or so we may actually learn how to control the weather and be able to regulate the the environment. Until then the best way to insure our survival is to get enough people off the planet that self supporting colonies can survive. Right now everything is in one basket.

      I find it funny that anyone with a different view from the tree huggers is labeled "uneducated and ill-informed". They don't seem to provide any realistic solutions, and no I don't consider reducing our technology to 19th century levels realistic. Fighting against nuclear power and development of other technologies that may eventually result in the very changes the environmentalists want to see just delays the results that everyone would like to see.

    22. Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... by Cally · · Score: 1

      Now you're just trolling. Discussion over.

      --
      "None are more hopelessly enslaved than those who falsely believe they are free." -- Goethe
  29. humans are affecting atmosphere by aleator · · Score: 1

    Well, the earth is huge. Sure, humans have a huge impact on the earth, but the area we occupy is a small percentage. Volcanos put out large amounts of CO2. The believe that when earth was a complete snowball (entirely covered with ice) it was the volcanos putting CO2 into the atmosphere which warmed the earth again (despite the high reflectivity of the snow/ice).

    volcanos are not that effective as humans are ... have a look at the measurements done in the last 45 years on CO_2 in atmosphere (for example here [Wikipedia Image:CO2-Mauna-Loa.png]) and you will realise that this data cannot be explained with volcanos but can be explained with CO_2 producing engines that burn C_n containing molecules.

    we (humans) ARE changing the atmosphere - that's a fact!

    1. Re:humans are affecting atmosphere by rthille · · Score: 1

      Oh certainly. I was just addressing the article title "earth releasing...'. I'm not one of those people who thinks we're not to blame, or that we need to study it to death before we start taking steps to alleviate the problem. (though I do question whether we really can 'destroy the earth', given life's resiliency. We may not make it though :-)

      --
      Awesome furniture, accessories and cabinetry in Santa Rosa, CA: http://humanity-home.com/
  30. Bad science... writing by 93+Escort+Wagon · · Score: 5, Informative

    The rate of increase of CO2 and methane in the atmosphere is easily and accurately measured. We KNOW how fast greenhouse gasses are going into the atmosphere. So the premise that "soils are absorbing less than we thought, so warming will occur faster than we thought" is fatally flawed.

    Until 2000 I worked in a climate research lab - not as a scientist; I was a tech. Here's what the actual research (that the article twists) probably found. It is well known that atmospheric CO2 is increasing less rapidly than our models predict, because we don't know what's providing the sink for about half of what we're generating. So it's likely that some British scientists had speculated these soils were part of this "missing sink" (bad pun intended). However now they know they aren't as much of a factor - so the search will go on.

    --
    #DeleteChrome
    1. Re:Bad science... writing by ConfigurationManager · · Score: 1
      Since you worked in a climate lab, maybe you can help me with this: I have always wondered why we should put any stock in the long-term predictions of climate models, when we can't even produce accurate weather forecasts beyond about two weeks.

      Are any of these climate models worth more than the proverbial bucket of warm spit? Or are there still so many factors that are unknown and/or unaccounted for that the models are no better than a WAG?

      --
      Remember, there's no "I" in "TEAM" -- but there *is* an "EAT ME" if you're willing to use the "E" twice. (Lewis Shiner)
    2. Re:Bad science... writing by yuiop · · Score: 2, Interesting
      I used to be a paleoclimatology research assistant. We would use fossil mollusca (basically, dead snails) that lived in lakes 20,000 years ago. By analysing the isotopic ratios in their shells, we could measure the climate in the year that they lived. (Actually by analysing each growth segment separately, we could see how the temperature changed throughout that year, which was a bit eerie.)

      Data like this, along with many other sources such as ice cores and fossil tree rings and stalagtite isotopic ratios and many other things gives us fairly reliable information about the climate tens of thousands of years ago. We don't know what the temperature was on a particular day, but we can tell what the average was in a particular few centuries, and our confidence is increased by having so many different sources to correlate together.

      Then, all this paleoclimate data is fed into the existing computer climate models that other scientists have brewed up. If they can then successfully generate the climate of the last 20,000 years given the initial data (and successfully predict all kinds of information about today's world that we can verify such as oceanic circulation and CO2 levels), we can - presumably - be fairly confident they are giving us good data for the next 1,000 years.

      That is one reason why we have confidence in climate models when they tell us the world is getting dangerously warmer... and why most climatologists I worked with are nervous (at best) or terrified (at worst) right now about global warming.

    3. Re:Bad science... writing by mcgroarty · · Score: 1
      Then, all this paleoclimate data is fed into the existing computer climate models that other scientists have brewed up. If they can then successfully generate the climate of the last 20,000 years given the initial data (and successfully predict all kinds of information about today's world that we can verify such as oceanic circulation and CO2 levels), we can - presumably - be fairly confident they are giving us good data for the next 1,000 years.
      This is where I start to have problems. To pick a different type of software model, there are dozens (if not hundreds) of stock market modeling packages that can take any span of past stock data and predict the majority of the following year's highs and lows. And yet none of these are good enough to trade on, once you ask it to produce results for the real future.

      Finding and justifying models to replicate existing data is trivial. The ability to do that doesn't lend additional credibility to man-made climate change arguments until all the major contributing factors are known and accounted for in the model.

    4. Re:Bad science... writing by NoOneInParticular · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Imagine that they offer you a stock model in which you feed the economic situation of before 1999, and let it run using that information alone. So no peeks at any data after 99. Further suppose that you can run this model to predict a particular stock or index until 2005 and it is makes good predictions: it predicts the bubble, it predicts the burst and all that comes after it. It also predicts the national debt of the US and of each country important enough to influence the global economy. All that data can be read out of the internal state of the model. This model would then be trustworthy as it is a complete model of the economic reality + stockholder psychology that predicts well for long periods of time.

      This is the kind of model the GP is talking about. It's internal state is some information about the climate, and the test is to see if it can update its state consistenly only given initial condition. You can test it for various things. It generates data, it doesn't merely predict. No stock model exists that can do this for even a few days accurately. To be able to do this, the model should have a fairly complete internal state that mimics economy: distribution of wealth for individuals, institutions, nations. A good grasp of the psychology that these actors have, and it should be the case that the economy is non-chaotically deterministic. This last point is probably untrue. You don't see real models for the stocks market but merely pattern recognizers, smart interpolators. There is no theory that says that patterns necessarily repeat, thus you see the overfitting behaviour of such 'models'.

    5. Re:Bad science... writing by Eivind+Eklund · · Score: 1
      There's a negative feedback loop between the quality of models and the prices following those models. Good models are used to trade on (and there's actually quite a bit of trading based on models). This change the price to account for any information in the models. Most of the really good models are in private software, and is making money for the people or company that wrote them.

      Eivind.

      --
      Doubting the existence of evolution is like doubting the existence of China: It just shows that you're uninformed.
  31. Re:Humans are a disease. by lionheart1327 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'm sorry, but just for the sake of argument, can we try not considering ourselves a disease?

    I mean even the actual diseases seem to have more self-love than people like you.

    Lets get a little more enthusiasm for our species going here, huh?

  32. Bush by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I wonder if George Bush made the earth release more CO2 by not signing the kyoto protocol...I wonder if making earth release more CO2 by not signing the kyoto protocol cused katrina. anyway bush's fault!

  33. Re:Neat! --- Great by Coryoth · · Score: 1

    I think it is a safe assumption, however, that unbalancing a natural system (as we are - burning coal and oil is messing with and unbalancing the carbon cycle) can have unpredictable results, and probably isn't wise if we can help it. The sensible course of action is to move toward a minimum footprint option where possible. That doesn't mean giving up technology and going back to living in the trees, that means trying to move forward technologoically toward lower impact systems. We're not talking about giving up our present lifestyle, just working to shift the means of how we achieve it.

    Reducing our need for carbon emissions for energy is a sensible option in those areas where it can be replaced with lower impact energy generation systems. Providing some incentive in that direction to encourage a swifter hange makes sense too. Now that doesn't mean I agree with the particulars and mechanics of the Kyoto Treaty, but I that I think the spirit of the idea is a good one. Moving away from an unbalanced unsustainable system as effiiently as possible is surely a sensible option, regardless of whether and to what degree we are effecting climate change. It simply makes sense as an effective form of progress: toward more balanced sustainability.

    Jedidiah.

  34. Ok where are you now? by ifwm · · Score: 3, Insightful

    When the discussion began about modeling the earth's atmosphere, I politley suggested that using models to decide policy was a bad idea. Particularly because of unknowns such as this one.

    What I would like to know is where are all the people who were accusing me of being a toady for Bush?

    Why won't you people admit that flawed inputs means flawed models and as a result the predictions are likely inaccurate.

    Stop trying to change the world until you know how and what should be changed. And yes, that may mean it gets much worse before it gets better.

    1. Re:Ok where are you now? by van+der+Rohe · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "using models to decide policy was a bad idea"

      Is it a worse idea than using religion? How about public opinion polls? Corporate donations?

      Models may be flawed, but at least they're something with a basis in science. The alternatives...?

    2. Re:Ok where are you now? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just because you call it a "model" doesn't mean it has a basis in science. What about the "model" that the earth is flat ? That it is a bowl resting on elephants who are standing on a giant turtle ?

      Generally speaking, when you take it upon yourself to tell your fellow human what to do -- whether it is "don't point that gun at me" or "stop driving that damn SUV" -- you should be able to make a clear case that his actions will harm you. In the case of Kyoto, the best you can say is that the earth might be warming; the carbon reduction by Kyoto might help it, and it might not be enough, and carbon production might not be related to the problem at all.

      Until you get some REALITY BASED explanation of how my gasoline hurts you, your demands are the equivalent of demanding that I pray for you, or help you sacrifice a voodoo doll.

    3. Re:Ok where are you now? by ifwm · · Score: 1

      "Is it a worse idea than using religion? How about public opinion polls? Corporate donations?"

      Who cares? That wasn't my point, so stop arguing straw men.

    4. Re:Ok where are you now? by FooGoo · · Score: 1

      A model is inherantly flawed because it is based on our knowledge of what we want to model. It is the worst kind of religion the kind in which I get to be god because I designed the model and what I think must be how the world works.

      Should we stop modeling? No, the more we model the more we realize what we know/think is wrong. But, each and every simulation of that model should not be help up as the pinnacle of human climate knowledge the way it is being done today.

      The fact is we model because we don't know how it works.

      --
      People who bite the hand that feeds them usually lick the boot that kicks them
    5. Re:Ok where are you now? by Starker_Kull · · Score: 1

      (I've never tried feeding a Troll before...)

      Well, by that logic our response to hurricane Katrina was perfect. Our imperfect weather models with their imperfect data inputs indicated that Katrina might score a direct hit on New Orleans, and our imperfect engineering models indicated that such a hit by such a storm might flood New Orleans and kill thousands of people. But rather than try and change the world, we waited until it got much worse and thousands of people were (and are) dying.

      There is no such thing as a perfect model nor perfect data; every model is flawed by definition - that's why they are MODELS of reality as opposed to the real thing. But they are the best tool we have; they are what allow us to build planes that fly, microchips that work, and in general make the modern world function.

      Are our models for world climate flawed and imperfect? Certainly. Are their predictions unambigious and all in perfect agreement? Of course not. But do the vast majority of them indicate warming is going on? Yes. Does the actual data of CO2 concentration in the atmosphere correlate strongly to the actual data about average world temperature? Yes. Does burning stuff release CO2? Yes. Do we burn a lot of stuff? Yes. If the earth warmed about 2 degrees C, would there be lots of unpleasant (as in land occupied by a Billion plus people go below sea-level) consequences? Highly likely.

      Doesn't it seem wise to be a bit more proactive in such a scenario?

      And since you seem to have no fear of things getting "much worse", I suggest you talk to some people who are barely at the edge of survival now, like about 1/4 of the Earth's population. They might have more objections to things getting "much worse" than you.

    6. Re:Ok where are you now? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Stop trying to change the world until you know how and what should be changed. And yes, that may mean it gets much worse before it gets better.

      Actually, we'd just like some consistency on the part of the administration. We applaud George Bush's boldness in invading Iraq on the basis of a hypothesis with sketchy evidence. We're just disappointed that the president has chosen not to act decisively and pre-emptively against an even greater threat-- global climate catastrophe!

      The president was re-elected overwhelmingly thanks to his leadership after 9/11. Americans have rallied to his support in passing legislation that benefits drug companies, banking interests, and auto makers. He can even point to the viciousness of Hurricane Katrina which has claimed possibly ten times more lives than 9/11. Why won't he take action?

    7. Re:Ok where are you now? by ifwm · · Score: 1

      Ok, it's interesting that you chose to bring up logic, then engaged in a classic logical fallacy.

      The models used for weather prediction are different than the models used for climate prediction. There are DEGREES of accuracy (understand, or should I go slower?). Are you unable to tell the difference? A stats class would help.

      "Are our models for world climate flawed and imperfect? Certainly. Are their predictions unambigious and all in perfect agreement? Of course not. But do the vast majority of them indicate warming is going on? Blah blah blah..."

      I've got one for you. Do we know that decreasing carbon emissions will have a POSITIVE impact on our climate? No, we don't. It might cause an ice age. It might do nothing. It MIGHT mean the extinction of the human race.

      So basing our actions on models that are known to be inaccurate, especially on a global scale is dumb. It's bad science, which, based on your post, is something you seem to have an affinity for.

      "I suggest you talk to some people who are barely at the edge of survival now, like about 1/4 of the Earth's population."

      So, which should I prioritize then, said people's survival, or the long term prosperity of the human race? WELL?

      While you seem to have the feel good touchy touchy crap down, the science and pragamtism of the situation escapes you.

      I suggest you try to develop a more sophisticated view and stop relying on your emotions to make decisions. You'll be able to avoid taking such ridiculous positions in the future.

    8. Re:Ok where are you now? by Starker_Kull · · Score: 1

      "Ok, it's interesting that you chose to bring up logic, then engaged in a classic logical fallacy.

      The models used for weather prediction are different than the models used for climate prediction. There are DEGREES of accuracy (understand, or should I go slower?). Are you unable to tell the difference? A stats class would help."

      Yes, I am aware that models have different levels of predictive ability. You seemed to ignore that point in your original post. My point was about models in general, not climate models in particular. And, I do seem to recall something about such things on the way to getting my B.A. in Applied Mathematics.

      " "Are our models for world climate flawed and imperfect? Certainly. Are their predictions unambigious and all in perfect agreement? Of course not. But do the vast majority of them indicate warming is going on? Blah blah blah..."

      I've got one for you. Do we know that decreasing carbon emissions will have a POSITIVE impact on our climate? No, we don't. It might cause an ice age. It might do nothing. It MIGHT mean the extinction of the human race."

      That's true. It's also possible that aliens will land and zap the extra CO2 out of our atmosphere with their ray-guns. I don't think it's very probable though. You are right, we don't know anything for sure - but some things are more likely than others, and it seems to be pretty likely that increasing CO2 levels in our atmosphere will lead to unpleasant consequences for the human race.

      "So basing our actions on models that are known to be inaccurate, especially on a global scale is dumb. It's bad science, which, based on your post, is something you seem to have an affinity for."

      So your suggestion is to ignore our inaccurate models, and replace them with complete ignorance? A "what, me worry?" attitude? Your position, in essence, is that since we don't know exactly what will happen, we might as well keep on doing exactly what we are doing now. In other words, wait until we have a definite, extremely hard to solve problem on our hands rather than try, imperfectly, to head it off a bit. And my illustration with hurricane Katrian and New Orleans was about the follies of that style of decision making, not about the specific predictivites of various models. You also confuse what science is. Science tells you information about the world - it does not tell you what to do with it.

      " "I suggest you talk to some people who are barely at the edge of survival now, like about 1/4 of the Earth's population."

      So, which should I prioritize then, said people's survival, or the long term prosperity of the human race? WELL?"

      For someone who was trying focus me on the different levels of nuance between different models, you seem to have neglected them when it comes to your decision methods. THIS or THAT. WELL?

      "While you seem to have the feel good touchy touchy crap down, the science and pragamtism of the situation escapes you.

      I suggest you try to develop a more sophisticated view and stop relying on your emotions to make decisions. You'll be able to avoid taking such ridiculous positions in the future."

      The most emotional one in this dialogue is you. That's why you are a troll.

    9. Re:Ok where are you now? by ifwm · · Score: 1

      "That's why you are a troll."

      And yet, amazingly you're the only one that engaged in namecalling...

      You are arguing points I never made. I never suggested not using models, and I don't know why you think arguing BS made up scenarios adds credence to the idea that there are UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES to poorly planned actions. If you were able to engage in reasonable discourse, you'd understand that.

      You clearly have no idea what you are talking about, nor obviously, what I was writing about. Instead you're taking a position against something I never suggested, which was doing away with models.

      So, in addition to a stats class, I would suggest an english class to assist you with your reading comprehension, then a rhetoric class so you'll know what a "straw man" and "appealing to the masses" are.

    10. Re:Ok where are you now? by toddestan · · Score: 1

      Stop trying to change the world until you know how and what should be changed. And yes, that may mean it gets much worse before it gets better.

      At what point do you think we should start acting? We aren't ever going to be completely certain of the future, so there will always be some uncertainity. Right now, I feel that we have reached that point - or in other words the models are good enough that is pretty foolish not to act upon them.

    11. Re:Ok where are you now? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Models may be flawed, but at least they're something with a basis in science. The alternatives...?

      Um, the point is that these models don't have a sound basis in science. It's all speculation. The math behind it is like the Drake equation: pick some arbitrary, unknowable coefficients, and make the answer come out how you *think* it should be.

      I find your suggestion that wrong science should be accepted on the basis that "at least it's science" quite disturbing. Science is a human convention to aid us in discerning truth/falsity. Your implication that it's more important to be scientific than correct misunderstands the purpose of science.

    12. Re:Ok where are you now? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Michael Crichton posts on /. as an Anonymous Coward?

    13. Re:Ok where are you now? by neildiamond · · Score: 1

      I'm all for using models in policy debate. They have to be more fun to look at than Dennis Hastert!

    14. Re:Ok where are you now? by Eivind+Eklund · · Score: 1
      We *always* use models to decide what to change, what policy to set. The question is how good the models are. Scientific models are, almost by defintition, the best ones we've got.

      They're the agreement we come to after debate between the people that have put the effort into learning a subject.

      Eivind.

      --
      Doubting the existence of evolution is like doubting the existence of China: It just shows that you're uninformed.
  35. Uh huh... by Poromenos1 · · Score: 1

    Then it's a WAR, baby!

    --
    Send email from the afterlife! Write your e-will at Dead Man's Switch.
  36. Re:Humans are a disease. by ScrewMaster · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Oh please. Spare me yet another gaiatribe. The Earth is a ball of spacegoing rock no more or less significant than any other similarly-sized chunk of cosmic debris. It has value to us because we live upon it, but Earth doesn't need "saving" and even if we set off every single thermonuclear device in our possession simultaneously we couldn't destroy it. And even if we could ... so what? Stop anthropomorphizing planets ... it's just silly. The Earth is not some living organism with an autoimmune system that is trying to eliminate an infection. We inhabit a thin, green paste on the outer surface of our world ... certainly we can render it useless to ourselves, but do you really think the planet gives a flying you-know-what whether there's life on it or not? I bet you believe in the tooth fairy too. Go on, admit it. You do.

    --
    The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
  37. It's working! by Tablizer · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Dear Dendrian,

    Our secret plan to trick humans into releasing more CO2 into the atmosphere is working. Now us green plants can breath easier and grow larger, eventually displacing those ugly pink and brown humans. Green Power!

    Your Friend, Piney Tree

  38. Re:Humans are a disease. by ifwm · · Score: 1

    You know, if you're going to steal your screed from agent Smith, you should do a better job of disguising it.

    And really, couldn't you pick a better movie to base your world view on?

  39. Re:Neat! --- Great by MrMista_B · · Score: 1

    Heh, you sound like one of those beurocrats who called for "more studies!" on the effectiveness of the levies as Katrina was bearing down on the city.

    Sometimes it's more prudent to act on what you know, rather than wait till you know everything, which is, of course, impossible.

    Damage reduction now, is always better than paniced destruction later.

  40. In other news by bigpat · · Score: 2, Funny

    Slashdottings contribute to .023% increase in CO2 emmissions due to increased power consumption.

    However, the sedentary nature of its readers cancels out this effect.

    1. Re:In other news by neildiamond · · Score: 1

      They do tend to smell more than others leading me to suspect they release CO and CO2 quite a bit from their anuses.

  41. Re:Neat! --- Great by Elrac · · Score: 1

    We need more research?

    How much more will we need to convince you? And what happens if it reaches the conclusion that the time spent researching should have been spent averting the catastrophe?

    Burning the fossils of millions of years in just a couple of centuries is a very unbalancing thing to do, and Western civilization's dependence on Middle Eastern oil is not helping world peace either. Whatever stops both is probably a Good Thing, and may just save our collective butts.

    --
    When one person suffers from a delusion, it is called insanity. When many people suffer from a delusion it is called Rel
  42. In other news... by dada21 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The UK business market continues to decline as burdens from Kyoto compliance make UK's unionized labor even less efficient on a global scale.

    More lives will be lost and more suffering will be created than any CO2 emissions can create.

    Exactly what Kyoto supporters want. Bring the middle class into the lower class through regulations and taxes rather than uplifting the lower class through opportunity and expansion of the industry base.

    1. Re:In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny
      Don't worry, global warming on earth will have absolutely no effect on you...

      ...considering you're living in your own little planet.

    2. Re:In other news... by yuiop · · Score: 1

      Unionized labor? Hardly anyone in the UK is in a union anymore, participation is at an all time low.

    3. Re:In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't spoil his nice little conspiracy theory with cruel hard facts... he might have to face the overwhelming scientific evidence that global warming is real, and that would scare him.

    4. Re:In other news... by kraut · · Score: 2, Informative

      >The UK business market continues to decline
      Gosh, that statement is so vague as to be almost immune to attack. But a couple of broadsides:

      Stocks are going up http://uk.finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=%5EFTSE&t=my

      The economy is growing, despite a dangerous asset bubble in the housing market. I'm sure you'd like to pin that on Kyoto as well - it'll be fun to watch.

      But anyway, while the UK economy is far from perfect, it's hard to see how it's declining.

      > as burdens from Kyoto compliance
      What burdens, precisely? Reducing your emissions by a few percent is trivial compared to the mess that Messrs Sarbane & Oxley cooked up for us.

      >make UK's unionized labor even less efficient on a global scale
      Unionised labour? What unionised Labour? http://www.statistics.gov.uk/cci/nugget.asp?id=4
      Maggy pretty much got them back into rational behaviour, and even Tony's not stupid enough to allow the union's to take over again.

      As for global efficiency, that's probably more down to a ridiculously inefficient and expensive goverment, and decades of a stupid education system, than Kyoto.

      > More lives will be lost and more suffering will be created than any CO2 emissions can create.
      That doesn't even begin to make sense. Even if there were an onerous Kyoto compliance regime trying to drive the UK economy into submission, how would that cause dramatic loss of life?

      >Exactly what Kyoto supporters want. Bring the middle class into the lower class through regulations and taxes rather than uplifting the lower class through opportunity and expansion of the industry base.
      Have you always suffered from a persecution complex? I mean, I hate regulations and taxes more than most people I know, but at least I don't base that dislike on a bizarre conspiracy theory.

      --
      no taxation without representation!
    5. Re:In other news... by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 1

      More lives will be lost and more suffering will be created than any CO2 emissions can create.

      Please back up the claim that Kyoto compliance will kill people.

      Exactly what Kyoto supporters want. Bring the middle class into the lower class through regulations and taxes rather than uplifting the lower class through opportunity and expansion of the industry base.

      Please back up your claim that Kyoto supporters want this.

  43. Woot! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We're all gonna die!

    *dances a jig*

    We're all gonna die!

    *laughs, blows kisses to the wind and dances some more*

    Hooyah!

    --
    Good riddance, stupid fucking species that we are.

  44. Most obvious solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    I can't believe everyone always neglects the most obvious solution (albeit one that takes a few generations)...

    HAVE FEWER CHILDREN.

    People, the earth does not need 6 BILLION humans on it. We are in no danger of becoming extinct and our gene pool is plenty large. With 4 billion fewer people on the planet, you can count on the level of environmental damage being much lower.

    Even neglecting environmental concerns, I don't see how humans continue to have more children than enough to replace themselves. Imagine how crappy a world with 10+ billion humans on it will be.

    1. Re:Most obvious solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      You are correct. The main problem is that the lesser races are over-breeding and stripping the earth of its food and resources, while the higher races are reproducing at the replacement rate.

      One would hope that some pandemic plague or famine will come along and wipe out that portion of the world's population which contributes nothing to the advancement of humankind. The world doesn't really need 3 billion third world children under the age of 15. Enough already!

      That's why I never contribute to any of those bleeding heart "Save the Children" fund raisers. Let Nature and Darwin take their natural course and the problem will go away.

    2. Re:Most obvious solution by mcgroarty · · Score: 1
      HAVE FEWER CHILDREN
      As an aside -- My favorite environmentalists are the ones obsessed with keeping the world safe from man, as opposed to keeping it safe for man. Because at least that set is forthright and honest about its religion.
    3. Re:Most obvious solution by Guppy06 · · Score: 1

      "HAVE FEWER CHILDREN."

      This is Slashdot. The only way we could have children is through a sperm bank.

      Beyond that, the countries with the highest birth rates are the ones who are not limiting their CO2 output to begin with.

    4. Re:Most obvious solution by kraut · · Score: 1

      >Beyond that, the countries with the highest birth rates are the ones who are not limiting their CO2 output to begin with.

      That's because they have much lower CO2 output per head to begin with.

      --
      no taxation without representation!
    5. Re:Most obvious solution by Luke-Jr · · Score: 0

      That's what people who advocate contraception say, and many countries are actually paying people to have kids because there are more old people than young people so they're not reproducing enough. Also, if you have fewer kids, that's fewer chances of raising someone who could find a cure for cancer. It's people like you who say have less kids who aren't solving any problems. We need kids to take care of all the old people and plant more trees to reduce the CO2. There's plenty of food for all of us - governments just need to stop being greedy and actually give it to the people who need it.

      Besides, if population were a problem (it's not; Earth can handle at least 35 bil), then God would be calling much more people to the celibate life instead of to matrimony-- tho I guess you could dismiss this point since there's so few Catholics, the vast majority would ignore their callings anyway. Since they won't listen to God, perhaps you can convince them to stop having sex? :)

      Anyway, the solution is simple: Mandate that everyone recycle the CO2 they produce. A good start would be requiring one house-plant per person in the household...

      --
      Luke-Jr
  45. This is good. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I go to public school and in my science class we study intelegent design and it proves this is all apart of the christian plan to bring jesus back. everyone who isn't christian is bad.

  46. Re:Neat! --- Great by ifwm · · Score: 1

    And exactly what research is this based on? What SCIENCE have you used to draw such a completely arbitrary conclusion?

    How do we know that 0.8% isn't significant? Are you basing your opinion on models?

    And even worse, you got modded up.

  47. Re:Nope. Jesus will save us. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Keep whackin' on that straw man, buddy.

  48. Really? by nwbvt · · Score: 2, Interesting
    "These emissions are more than the entire reduction in emissions the UK has achieved between 1990 and 2002 as part of its commitment to the Kyoto Protocol."

    I didn't realize the UK had ratified and began working on their commitments to Kyoto back in 1990, 15 years before it went into force and 7 years before it was written.

    Now that I think about it, it would probably make more sense to ratify it before it was written. After all, the only potential effect it could have would be to destroy our economy and thus reduce our ability to respond to climate change using technological means.

    --
    Mathematics is made of 50 percent formulas, 50 percent proofs, and 50 percent imagination.
  49. Re:Humans are a disease. by FooGoo · · Score: 1

    Sorry some people are just un-happy campers. They only way they can feel good about themselves is to view the rest of us as a disease. Makes them feel superior because they are so detatched and enlightend.

    The best thing you can do for them is to keep they away from sharp objects and up their preferred method of self medication.

    --
    People who bite the hand that feeds them usually lick the boot that kicks them
  50. You deserve a medal for telling the truth. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm sure the PC crowd will follow up shortly to mod you into oblivion but people will see it anyway.

  51. How much longer? by ThreeDayMonk · · Score: 1

    Most of the accepted rules of punctuation and capitalisation have been around for longer than Global Warming. If he hasn't yet accepted the former, I fear that he won't be convinced by the latter for a long time to come.

    --
    If your comment title says 'Re: Foo', I'm not likely to read it.
  52. Re:Humans are a disease. by Starker_Kull · · Score: 2, Funny

    You know, you probably already know about this website, but if not, I think you would appreciate it....

    http://ned.ucam.org/~sdh31/misc/destroy.html

    Hope it gives you a laugh!

    Cheers,

  53. A General Plea by Lord+Byron+II · · Score: 1

    If you haven't read "Mad Cowboy" I suggest you do. It highlights the dangers of not only eating cows, but of raising them as well. They are a major contributor of methane directly and once you add in the exhaust from hauling their food (16lbs of food per 1lb of cow), the exhaust from hauling them, and the extra emissions from the need to constantly refrigerate beef, you start to understand how inefficient eating beef really is. Instead, the bulk of the pollution controls fall on the consumer in the form of fuel additives, emissions for our cars, and taxes. Another chunk falls on industry. But who has ever heard of a rancher being fined for the emissions that he is responsible for?

    1. Re:A General Plea by Zakabog · · Score: 1

      If you haven't read "Mad Cowboy" I suggest you do. It highlights the dangers of not only eating cows, but of raising them as well. They are a major contributor of methane directly and once you add in the exhaust from hauling their food (16lbs of food per 1lb of cow), the exhaust from hauling them, and the extra emissions from the need to constantly refrigerate beef, you start to understand how inefficient eating beef really is. Instead, the bulk of the pollution controls fall on the consumer in the form of fuel additives, emissions for our cars, and taxes. Another chunk falls on industry. But who has ever heard of a rancher being fined for the emissions that he is responsible for?

      I always thought meat and potatoes was quite efficient for keeping my body going. Please tell me a more efficient form of food than beef that'll give me an equal or greater amount of protein.

    2. Re:A General Plea by Capitalist1 · · Score: 1

      One of the reasons beef is such a common staple food is the fact that it survives without refrigeration for longer periods of time than most other foods. In fact, beef jerky doesn't need any refrigeration at all, and it's just dried/salted/spiced beef, nothing special really.

      If we cut back on beef production, we'd see a net *increase* in refrigeration and production costs. Unless you expect people to replace beef with vegetation instead of another meat, in which case there are questions of exactly what volume of vegetation X it takes to replace beef in a human diet, the cost of producing/transporting that extra volume, the resource requirements for growing that extra vegetation, etc.

      --
      One man's religion is another man's belly-laugh. - LL
    3. Re:A General Plea by ultracool · · Score: 1

      In New Zealand!

      It has been dubbed the "Fart Tax".

    4. Re:A General Plea by Lord+Byron+II · · Score: 1
      Beef jerky = preserved beef
      Jam, dried fruit = preserved fruit
      Grain = lasts a long time without preservation
      Canning = preserved vegetables

      My point is that most foods can be preserved. But consider unpreserved beef/meat versus fruit, which also rots quickly. Would you rather eat beef that has not been refrigerated for 3 days after the cow has been killed or fruit that has not been refrigerated for 3 days after having been picked?

      There would be no need to grow extra vegetation. We currently grow 16lbs of soybeans to generate 1lb of cow. If you eliminate the cow, we can now feed 16 people 1 pound of soybeans each. The result would be a decrease in production. (This example isn't quite right, because it does take somewhat more than 1lb of soybeans to equal 1lb of beef, but entropy dictates that no matter what, eating soybeans directly will always be more efficient.)

    5. Re:A General Plea by Lord+Byron+II · · Score: 1
      It's a common misconception that people need massive amounts of protein to live. For the record, a well-balanced vegan diet supplies more than enough protein. Foods such as nuts and beans are loaded with protein and considering that soy-milk, many faux-meats, and faux-cheeses are made out of these ingredients it is easy to see that there's not much to worry about.

      But to more directly attack the protein-myth, I ask you: When was the last time you heard of someone dying from heart disease? Alright, and the last time someone died from lack of protein?

      If you're serious about a beef substitute, I would suggest:

      Gimme Lean
      and
      Steak-Style Strips

      Both are delicious and the first gives you 8g of protein per serving and the second gives you 15g.

  54. A whole lotta sodium hydroxide. by Wilson_6500 · · Score: 1

    If I remember my chemistry, NaOH sucks CO2 out of the air to produce sodium carbonate, a solid. You basically end up with a chunk of stuff in which CO2 is bound. You'd basically need to expose a bunch of air to a bunch of NaOH, and somehow extract the CO2 to recycle the NaOH. I think there's been a sorta-serious proposal for this sort of thing as a solution, but I can't find any good literature--I mean, I think I found a science fair report, and little else.

  55. No! It's the pirates! by ThreeDayMonk · · Score: 1, Funny

    Although your theory deserves attention, I'd like to suggest that equal consideration be given to Pastafarianism.

    The Flying Spaghetti Monster faith teaches us us directly about the causes of global warming, and how they are directly related to shrinking numbers of pirates in the world.

    We can argue about CO2 reduction all day; increasing piracy, however, is something that we can all start immediately. Give pirates a chance!

    --
    If your comment title says 'Re: Foo', I'm not likely to read it.
  56. The whole Earth? or just the UK? by SidV · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Well according to the article, it's only happening in the UK correct.

    Good thing North America is a Net Carbon Sink
    http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd= Retrieve&db=PubMed&list_uids=9774264&dopt=Abstract

    http://www.climatechangedebate.org/pdf/FanPaper.pd f

    And before someone says it's warmer since 1998, no it's not. Thanks the El Nino of 1998 we saw a tremendous spike, and tempreatures are cooler today than then.

  57. I, for one .... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    welcome our lanky, green-clothed, photo-transpiring overlords, before someone else does.

    Does that entitle me to a 'first welcome post'?

  58. Ah-Ha! by aelbric · · Score: 1

    So....the Earth is to blame. Take off. Nuke 'em from orbit. It's the only way to be sure.

    --
    nos laetus epulor qui would domito nos
  59. Re:Neat! --- Great by AvitarX · · Score: 1

    No, I am saying that if we want to reduce CO2 output, a hell of a lot of it can be reduced by curtailing our output, not so much by worrying about the soil.

    The soil releases about as much teh the reduction, and is releasing not absorbing due to already record high tempuratures.

    a slight reduction in output from people is the same result as a 100% reduction by the soil, but the only way to reduce the C in the soil is to reduce tempurature anyway, and to due that reduce greenhouse gasses.

    --
    Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
  60. Re:Neat! --- Great by ifwm · · Score: 1

    "No, I am saying that if we want to reduce CO2 output, a hell of a lot of it can be reduced by curtailing our output, not so much by worrying about the soil."

    No you weren't, you said this

    " Soil released 8%
    that is really not all that much"

    Only one thing could be inferred from that, so stop backtracking and admit you threw out an BS opinion.

    God, why is it so hard for you people to admit it when you get caught making shit up?

  61. Pink and Brown? by mOoZik · · Score: 1

    Where do you look when you meet someone?

  62. No surprise by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Shhhh... don't mention any sources of global warming (or cooling) that can't be blamed on the following:

    1) The United States, generally
    2) George W. Bush, personally
    3) White males
    4) Hummers (the vehicles, not the ... you know)
    5) Animal testing
    6) Microsoft
    7) Republicans
    8) Amazon.com's patent portfolio

    Good! Now, repeat after me: "All Hail Slashdot Groupthink! Flamebait == My Politics Differ! Troll = Possibly correct, but goes against my preconceived notions!"

    1. Re:No surprise by mcgroarty · · Score: 1

      Mod parent (-1, Doesn't Reaffirm World View) !

    2. Re:No surprise by Kafka_Canada · · Score: 1

      Yes, people who disagree with you are all "republitards" who hate homosexuals.

      --
      Fuck it
    3. Re:No surprise by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The fact that it got modded up disproves your claim.

      The fact that you got modded up further proves that moderation isn't consistenly biased, but rather arbitrary (as your claim turns out to be false).

  63. Basic statistics by Pentagram · · Score: 1

    I have always wondered why we should put any stock in the long-term predictions of climate models, when we can't even produce accurate weather forecasts beyond about two weeks.

    If you toss two coins, it's very difficult to predict how many heads you'll get. On the other hand, if you toss a thousand coins, you can say fairly confidently that you'll get close to 500 heads.

    It's the same principle: in many systems, long term effects are much easier to predict that short term effects.

  64. Re:if this is true... by Elbow+Macaroni · · Score: 2, Funny

    Bush's response to Hurricane Katrina proves to me without a doubt, that the man is a serial killer.

    Evidence:

    1. Lots of executions in Texas.
    2. World Trade Center (somehow it is just too convenient).
    3. The b.s. war on terror, and Iraq.
    4. Delay of 6 days before allowing any aid in.

    I seriously doubt he gives a damn about the planet in any way. I think he would like it if more people died.

    So there's nothing we can do we are all doomed by the whack job who runs the US government.

    --
    -------------------------------------
    Technically, we are beyond survival.
  65. The Obvious Reason... by RoverDaddy · · Score: 1

    The Earth has been drinking way too much Pepsi.

    --
    RETURN without GOSUB in line 1050
  66. Cut Carbon fuel use and support the death penalty? by Jerry · · Score: 3, Insightful

    CO2 in the atmosphere has risen from 275ppm to about 375ppm since measurements of that gas began more than 100 years ago. Everyone assumes it is due to burning of fossil fuels, but that assumption cannot be proven because Carbon atoms from various sources have not been tagged and followed by any global experiment that I am aware of. All assignments have been based on statistics, and with that science you can prove anything.

    At the equator water vapor is present in the atmosphere at 2,169 times the concentration of CO2 and water vapor has 7 TIMES the greenhouse power that CO2 has. That makes water, effectively, 15,000 times more powerful a greenhouse gas than CO2. Most people assume that CO2 is the culprit because of an unproven theory that water vapor amplifies the effects of CO2. Or, maybe it's the other way around. Unproven theories tend to be dynamic.

    Other sources of CO2 have increased: the human population has risen from 1 BILLION to 6 BILLION in the last 100 years, and humans exhale CO2 24/7, unlike combustion engines. Most humans on this planet do not own a combustion engine or use one.

    The ratio of CO2 produced / O2 consumed is called respiratory quotient (RQ), which depends on type of nutrients being used for energy. According to a study by the USDA [1], an average person's respiration generates approximately 450 liters (roughly 900 grams) of carbon dioxide per day, or about 5.4 Billion tons per day, or 1,971 Billion tons per year. That's about 538 Billion tons of Carbon. By comparison, the USA produces about a little more than 1 Billion tons of coal per year. The World demand for oil last year was 82 Million barrels per day, or around 9.3 Billion tons of oil per year. If I've made a mistake I'm sure someone will correct me, if they use the same source of information: http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/international/petroleu .html
    Please do.

    If my figures are correct human breath contributes more C02 to the atmosphere than machines do, probably because CO2 absorbed from the atmosphere by plants used as food, as they grow, is more than that created by farmers producing the food plants.

    Dr. Alfred Bartlett was the first to state that "Farming is just a way of using land to convert oil into food." It's takes approximately 7 times more energy to put a slice of bread in your mouth than you get by metabolising it.

    If CO2 is the cause of gloabl warming, humans appear to be the major source and the Carbon fuels used to feed them the minor source. If we cut back on the use of fossil fuel we condem a BILLION or more people to a death sentence by starvation, and the starving will continue until we replace Carbon with another energy source of equal or better density, or until the final population level can be supported by the new energy source.

    Personally, I believe the evidence shows, and long before the "Carbon Tax" became the newest wealth redistribution scheme, that the Sun is responsible for the Earth's mean temperature, even with 6 BILLION people calling Earth home.

    --

    Running with Linux for over 20 years!

  67. Re:Neat! --- Great by RustyTaco · · Score: 1
    I think it is a safe assumption, however, that unbalancing a natural system (as we are - burning coal and oil is messing with and unbalancing the carbon cycle) can have unpredictable results
    There's that famously flawed premise almost all "greenies" wave around: the earth is a balanced, stable system. It isn't, it's a huge, rolling, twisting, mangled cluster@#$@ that just happened to be keeping you alive at the moment. I agree with you that a stragegy of minimum impact is a good way forward but not because we're damaging a fragile system but because we don't know how hard the system will shove back if we push it.

    - RustyTaco
  68. Re:Neat! --- Great by AvitarX · · Score: 1

    I swear to you the the tone and the intent was to point out the obvious, our output dwarfs the soils.

    I got the feeling from reading the post I replied to that the implication was this supports the rapid and arguably dramatic climate change was just as likly caused by natural seepage of CO2 as by human outout,

    I was pointing out that 8% of 1990 levels of output is not going to have neer as much of an impact as 92% of it (which England still produces) .

    The statement was to try and help readers realize that gee, it is less than a tenth of what the people are producing, lets work on small changes there to bring down output.

    The article itself paints a more not less dire picture of global warming, and does nothing to even imply it is not caused by humans, maybe I falsly asumed people read it though.

    --
    Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
  69. ENMOD by theREALbillder · · Score: 0

    your science ideals are farcical nerds and geeks, wake up...its too bad that your conditioning has been so thorough, perhaps you will never awaken, but heres trying again: ENMOD Radiation Science and Earthquakes

    GLOBAL WARMING IS JUST ONE PART OF A FARCE WHOSE TRUE PURPOSE IS TO SECRETLY DEPLOY ENVIRONMENTAL MODIFICATION SCIENCE TO MELT THE ICE CAPS oil and mineral wealth galore! AND TO TERRORIZE ANY COUNTRY WHO WILL NOT GET IN LINE WITH THE CULT OF DEATH WHICH THE NWO IS.....

    Bearden Described The Working of TMTs Tesla Magnifying Transmitters:

    They will go through anything. What you do is set up a standing wave through the Earth and the molten core of the Earth begins to feed that wave We are talking Tesla now. When you have that standing wave, you have set up a triode. What you've done is that the molten core of the earth is feeding the energy and its like your signalthat you are putting inis gating the gate of a triode....then what you do is that you change the frequency. If you change the frequency one way dephase it you dump the energy up in the atmosphere beyond the point on the other side of the earth that you focused upon. You start ionising the air, you can change the weather flow patterns Jet streams etcyou can change all thatif you dump it graduallyreal graduallyyou influence the heck out of the weather...its a great weather machine. If you dump it sharply, you don't get a little ionization like that...you will get fireballs and flashes Plasma & Earthquakes that will come down on the surface of the earth...you can cause enormous weather changes over entire regions by playing that thing back and forth....

    THIS WAS DEFEATED BY BUSH SO HE AND HIS CHRISTIAN CULT OF DEATH COULD DEPLOY RADIATION TECHNOLOGY ON THE USA TO CONQUER IT FOR THE BANKS OF LONDON ROTHSCHILDISRAEL WHOM THEY ARE LOYAL TO.
    from The Space Preservation ACt of 2001
    NOTICE THE REFERENCE TO TECTONIC WEAPONS

    To preserve the cooperative, peaceful uses of space for the benefit of all humankind by permanently prohibiting the basing of weapons in space by the United States, and to require the President to take action to adopt and implement a world treaty banning spacebased weapons.

    This Act may be cited as the Space Preservation Act of 2001

    REAFFIRMATION OF POLICY ON THE PRESERVATION OF PEACE IN SPACE.

    Congress reaffirms the policy expressed in section 102a of the National Aeronautics and Space Act of 1958 42 U.S.C. 2451a, stating that it `is the policy of the United States that activities in space should be devoted to peaceful purposes for the benefit of all mankind.'.

    SEC. 3. PERMANENT BAN ON BASING OF WEAPONS IN SPACE.

    The President shall

    1 implement a permanent ban on spacebased weapons of the United States and remove from space any existing spacebased weapons of the United States; and

    2 immediately order the permanent termination of research and development, testing, manufacturing, production, and deployment of all spacebased weapons of the United States and their components.

    SEC. 4. WORLD AGREEMENT BANNING SPACEBASED WEAPONS.

    The President shall direct the United States representatives to the United Nations and other international organizations to immediately work toward negotiating, adopting, and implementing a world agreement banning spacebased weapons.

    SEC. 5. REPORT.

    The President shall submit to Congress not later than 90 days after the date of the enactment of this Act, and every 90 days thereafter, a report on

    1 the implementation of the permanent ban on spacebased weapons required by section 3; and

    2 progress toward negotiating, adopting, and implementing the agreement described in section 4.

    SEC. 6. NON SPACEBASED WEAPONS ACTIVITIES.

    Nothing in this Act may be construed as prohibiting the use of funds for

    1 space exploration;

    2 space research and development;

    3 testing, manufacturing, or production that is not related to spacebased weapons or systems; or

    --
    Light Happens.
    1. Re:ENMOD by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 1

      WTF?

  70. can we destroy life? by aleator · · Score: 1

    oh, then it's ok. i didn't read the "earth releasing" as literarly as it can be, because it would be really funny to assume earth actively releasing CO_2 to get rid of humans. ;-) on your question "can we destroy earth?" i think we must specify what we mean by "destroy". destroy astronomically/geologically i think this we can answer with a clear "no", because not even all weapons of this world would really harm the crust of this planet seriously. to make it more interesting, i would exchange the question with "can we destroy life?". and here it gets tricky ... theoretically, we "can" do such a stupid thing, but not without hurting the principle of the selfish lifeforms wanting to survive. everybody of us - even the species humans as such wants to survive. it would be really interesting from the biological point of view (i study mol. bio) to investigate if the humans evolved even further to do not respect this dogma of life any longer. can we act that suicidal? ---- in hope of good times to follow bad times caused by climate change caused by too much emissions of by-products of civilisation - have a nice day!

  71. what if by aleator · · Score: 1

    ok, but what if after 20 years it would be too late to do anything against the change? what would your children say when they ask you? the studies in the 70s were the beginning of the understanding of the meteorological chemistry. nowadays, we know much more and the models are much more accurate regarding things.

  72. ...and I thought it was all the cow flatulence... by FredThompson · · Score: 2, Funny

    Dirty farts?

  73. Astronomy Joke by Dharma's+Dad · · Score: 1
    Mars: Was that you?

    Earth: No, must have been Sirius....

    1. Re:Astronomy Joke by computechnica · · Score: 1

      Sirius: No, It's Uranus...

      sorry couldn't resist

  74. global warming B.S. by SyriusLuna · · Score: 1

    all it is is a con. if you look at the data of the weather reports and over all health of the planet over the past 100 years not only will you see that there is no such thing as global warming but also that we are improving the over all health of the earth. compared to 100 years ago. greenpeace and all thoughs so called save the earth people are being manipulated by old white guys that wanted to get rich of peoples fears. donations to these places range in the multi millions to billions each year. if you want to make a quick buck just go around saying your collecting donations to help out with global warming and i garuntee youll get a few hundred dollars from the sheep that follow anything that gets posted to the news. instead of reading the facts themselves and having their own opinions.

  75. oh yeah? by brunokummel · · Score: 1

    Considering
    this , it is even possible that we are releasing less Carbon than expected and Earth is actually getting COLDER!

    hooray for sensationalistic science and the new Ice age! =D

    --
    What is best in life? To crush your enemies, to see them driven before you and to hear the lamentations of their women.
  76. Re:Humans are a disease. by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

    As a matter of fact ... it did! I appreciate the lift (I've been home from work with the flu the past few days and I needed a good laugh.)

    --
    The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
  77. Re:Neat! --- Great by Coryoth · · Score: 1

    I wasn't really suggesting that the system without us is particularly stable or balanced, just that tipping or pushing it can have unpredictable results. In fact if it were some stable or balanced system then the tipping would have predictable results. It is precisely because the whole things is a wobbly mess that our actions upon it are so unpredictable.

    Jedidiah.

  78. Re:No! It's the pirates! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Does it matter if the pirates are gay?

  79. Cutting down on CO2 by connah0047 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Want to cut down on excess CO2? I know a few women that should be shot. They are large producers of CO2...babbling on all the time.

  80. Solution to what? by Ogemaniac · · Score: 1

    By reducing the population by two thirds, you roughly reduce human happiness by two thirds. I don't think this is a good solution at all.

    We should be targeting the largest human population that our technology can sustain, which is even now six billion or more and will only increase with time.

    Your "solution" reminds me of the dictator's solution to all crime - just imprison everyone!

    1. Re:Solution to what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wait a minute... you logic is a bit off here...

      Reducing the population by two thirds does not necessarily reduce human happiness by the same amount. I can think of at least 2 reasons:

      YOUR happiness and MY happiness are not the same item, and thus a 'sum of happiness' model is not necessarily a Good Thing. I think what we're really interested in is not 'the total amount of human happiness', but rather the individual happiness of the parts (min, max, average... whichever measurement you prefer). These values (average, at least) may actually increase in the event of reduced population. I'm not saying 'lets kill sad people', just that 'less people ?= happier people'.

      If the population is reduced through reduced births, how does this affect happiness? Surely you're not saying that the un-concieved children are less happy? They never existed anyway!

      Not having a kid (or having 2 instead of 4, etc) may affect the parent's happiness, of course, but how many parents are significantly happier with 7 kids instead of 6 anyway? If happiness grew linearly with additional children, the man with 20 kids would be 20 times as happy as the man (ceteris paribus) with 2 kids... I bet if you observed two such men for a few days, you would NOT come to this conclusion.

      In any case, none of this matters. I don't think it can be done. I've heard no good plans for getting anyone to agree to this, or any other population reduction scheme. Even if everyone did agree to having fewer children, 'cheating' would be rampant (tragedy of the commons). Much of what was gained would need to go into policing the agreement. What is needed is a solution that people are a) willing to agree to, and b) don't have any reason to break. I don't think such a solution exists. I'm not even sure if such a solution CAN exist.

  81. Re:Cut Carbon fuel use and support the death penal by GISGEOLOGYGEEK · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    First your carbon ignorance:

    In fact, the Carbon released by the industrial revolution has been tagged.

    The ratio of C14 and c13 isotopes compared to c12 is much less in carbon from coal and oil than it is in the biosphere. Hopefully you are aware that this isotope shift is also what makes carbon dating possible. Oil and Coal are very old, and therefore have much less of those isotopes.

    A shift in the isotope ratios in atmospheric carbon over time would be a strong indicator that we have released the carbon dioxide from fossil fuel sources. Of course I suppose you think its just a coincidence that the large jump in carbon dioxide over the last 200 years has happened at the same time as the industrial revolution over the last 200 years.

    Do some research, Im sure someone must have looked into the isotope ratio question. If I could think of it, then no doubt many scientists have already tested it.

    Now for your water vapour ignorance:

    Has water vapour been increasing or decreasing? We know carbon dioxide has been increasing and that it is a strong greenhouse gas. We know other greenhouse gases such as methane have been increasing tremendously due to agriculture. I suspect water vapour has also been increasing ... the sooty particulates we've added to the atmosphere from burning all that coal / oil / gas make great nuclei for the formation of water droplets in the atmosphere.

    Whether it is directly from our carbon dioxide emissions is irrelevant, it may just be another side affect of how we've placed back into the environment a large part of the carbon that was sequestered away a billion years ago. If we've caused an increase in water vapour than it only makes it more our fault for global warming. Carbon dioxide is not the only problem, just an easy one to track.

    Now to correct your ignorant math:

    900 grams carbon dioxide per person
    is 5.4million tons per day (not billion), or 1971million tons per year (about 2billion tons per year, not the 1971billion you've stated).

    How can you compare 2billion tons per year of human exhaled carbon dioxide with 9.3billion tons per year of oil? It's Apples and oranges! You need to find out how much carbon dioxide is produced by burning 9.3billion tons of oil per year.

    Assuming that oil consists of 50% carbon (a wild guess on my part, by weight the percentage is probably much higher) ... then burning the 4.65billion tons of carbon that are in that 9.3billion tons of oil gives you about:

    18.6BILLION TONS OF CARBON DIOXIDE! TEN TIMES WHAT HUMANS EXHALE.

    And of course that doesnt account for all the coal and natural gas the world burns, which could easily double my carbon dioxide estimate as many poor countries burn far more coal than the US does.

    And now about the rest of your ignorance:

    Dr. Alfred Bartlett may have been speaking of the SOLAR energy consumed by a growing plant, you have not distinguished the energy input from the environment from the fuels burned by the farmer.

    Starvation is caused by government corruption and greed. There has been an excess of food in the world for decades ... making the west fat. Why don't you share a little of it? Scared to feed hungry muslims? Scared to feed the blacks of Africa? Are you trying to keep them repressed so that you can live fat? Think about it.

    'wealth redistribution scheme'. Indeed, spreading the wealth around so that all people can live at a respectable level is evil! Let them starve while we grow fat in contradiction to your previous paragraph!

    go back to school DUMBASS, preferable one where the curriculum has not been set by George Bush or by Religion. The real problem with global warming is how you've let yourself be mislead.

    --
    George Bush + Linux = "I will not let information get in the way of the fight against Windows"
  82. The Soil CO2 emissions did not start in 1990. by GISGEOLOGYGEEK · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Hey Dumbasses!

    The emission of CO2 from soil has in fact NOT eliminated the benefit of the UK cutting their emissions.

    The soil did not start emitting CO2 in 1990. It has been emitting CO2 all along.

    The UK has still in fact reduced its overall emissions from industrial sources by the same amount, they just weren't aware of how big the rest of the CO2 pie was.

    What a piece o crap article ... we better not bother cutting emissions because theres other things we dont understand! run in fear! hide hide! ... its better to go ahead blind and ensure that what we are doing damages the world we have to live in!

    --
    George Bush + Linux = "I will not let information get in the way of the fight against Windows"
  83. MOD ALERT! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    pls mod parent down, calculations are utter bs
    900g x 6 x 10^9 = 5,4 MILLION tons, not billions

  84. And we know TV meterorlogists are right by abirdman · · Score: 1
    Every meterologist I've seen on TV says global warming has nothing to do with katrina.

    Yup, that settles it, if they agree, with that scientific survey, I'm going with that.

    --
    Everything I've ever learned the hard way was based on a statistically invalid sample.
  85. Why don't we just by vimbuza · · Score: 1

    Put a tax on volcano emissions?

  86. Mod Parent Up Please by thelizman · · Score: 1

    It's sad and sick when your average random slashdotter has more common fucking sense than the UK (and global) enviromental science establishment.

    Can I get a "hooray" for bad science?

  87. Whoa wait. by /dev/trash · · Score: 1

    I thought the the Rockies had more to do with Europe being warm.

  88. Re:Cut Carbon fuel use and support the death penal by cdn-programmer · · Score: 3, Informative

    Ratio of carbon to hydrogen in liquid fuels is about 1:2. The ratio in coal is about 0.6:1. Since carbon weighs 12 and hydrogen weighs 1 we get 12/14 of liquid fuel is carbon by weight and (0.6*12)/(0.6*12+1) of coal is carbon by weight.

    CO2 has an atomic weight of 44 so we get one tonne of oil * 44/14 makes 3.1428 tonnes of CO2. This is almost pi tonnes I guess. In addtion we get 18/14 = 1.2857 tonnes of water.

    ---------------

    Now what needs to be recognized is that CO2 levels during the Ordovician were 13x to 19x higher than now and the earth cooled by about an average of 22C. This demonstrates that the CO2 levels at over 5000 PPM are not enough to warm the planet out of an ice age. In fact CO2 levels of 5000++ PPM are not enough to KEEP the planet from going into an ice age. When we go into an ice age we lose large amounts of water vapour and thus it is much easier to keep the planet out of an ice age than to lift it from an ice age.

    Water vapour in the tropics literally is 80,000 PPM and it really is many times more powerful as a green house gas than CO2. Water vapour levels over a ice sheet are practically zero.

    So CO2 is being given a bad name by people who know very little and do bad science.

    About all an increase in CO2 will render on the planet is the ability for plants to grow a little faster. If course there are biologists such as David Suzuki who have suggested the increase in CO2 will overwhelm the ability of the plant life on the earth to absorb it.

    How stupid. He must have done at least some plant physiology in his undergraduate years and if so he will know that standard green house practice is to increase CO2 levels to increase growth rates.

    The truth is that photosynthesis evolved about 3 billion years ago and at that time the CO2 levels were about 20% of the atmosphere. 20% is about 200,000 PPM

  89. The argument goes both ways by Ogemaniac · · Score: 1

    First, I would say that the total effect is marginal, which is why I used the word "roughly". Two people are approximately twice as happy as one. Maybe this rough linearity breaks down in the extremes (being the only person is pretty boring, being a person in a place crowded to the point of starvation is obviously bad), but I do not think we are anywhere near either end.

    There is, of course, arguments as to why adding an additional person slightly decreases everyone else's happiness (competition for space and resources). However, I doubt the costs to others offset the gain of the new person. On the other hand, one can argue that an additional person increases other people's happiness by producing new products, new information, new technology new entertainment, etc. My best estimation is that these two effects either roughly cancel, or the latter wins (at least in the first world). Most people produce more than they consume.

    Either way, I would argue the net effect is small, and that six billion people are roughly three times as happy as two billion people.

    I strongly believe that it is important for us to replace ourselves with children who are productive, and unfortunately, while the population is growing, the growth is concentrated among the least productive people. We need to find ways to discourage population growth in places that cannot sustain it, while doing the opposite in the first world, which is already tetering on the edge of population decline.

  90. Concrete 10% co2 by mattlamb · · Score: 1

    FYI
    Concrete production accounts for almost 10% of man made co2 production.

    --
    { Pillar candles great for when the power fails and you cant see the keyboard..
  91. Volcanos emit something else, too by vlad_petric · · Score: 1
    Namely, sulfur dioxide, which has the opposite effect -- it increases albedo. See wikipedia.

    Furthermore, when they errupt, the effect is clearly a cooling one. For instance, Pinatubo is considered to have reduced the global temperature by a fraction of a degree. Other volcanos had an even more powerful impact. When Thera errupted ~3600 years ago (modern day the island of Santorini, and it's only a caldera left), the Californian sempervirens trees registered a significant decrease in temperature.

    --

    The Raven

  92. Re: Kyoto Compliance by Pranadevil2k · · Score: 1

    Exactly what Kyoto supporters want. Bring the middle class into the lower class through regulations and taxes rather than uplifting the lower class through opportunity and expansion of the industry base.

    To my knowledge, George W. Bush doesn't support Kyoto.

  93. This tool says different by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    Interestingly at the EPA they have a tool for calculating a rough estimate of household emission - the average total estimate they say is 60,000 pounds for two people.

    A few things are a little odd, like when you plug in the avergae percentages on the left for a few things they do not equal the averge amount generated on the right - but still interesting and a good guide to show you how you can help reduce emissions. An interesting artifact is that this thing claims that by turning up the heat by fie degrees more in the summer than you would otherwise it only saves something like 100 pounds of C02. So from that standpoint you could just set the thermostat to whatever you like, if you didn't mind the cost.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  94. forest fires by BeCre8iv · · Score: 1

    Not so long ago - 2001 or 02 maybe there were massive fires across the Asian and African rainforests (remember the killer smog in Indo). There is an animation in NASA's "World Wind" software, which demonstrates this.

    This was after the (dodgy to the benefit of industry IMHO) Kyoto calculations were done. What I dont get is why it took so long for the scientists and beaurocrats to realise their calculations needed to be adjusted.

    --
    This perpetual motion machine Lisa made is a joke, it just keeps getting faster and faster. - Homer
  95. Even the Posting Headline Misleads by charliedickinson · · Score: 2, Informative

    The headline for this posting (Earth Releases More CO2 ...) illustrates why discussions about the theory of global warming are often so wrong-headed and confused. The reported data is about CO2 emissions in the UK, not Earth in toto. With a few words, these results are scaled-up to the whole planet!

    Consider evidence the North American continent (and that includes a lot of guilty emitters) is on balance a carbon sink, based on data that's way more justifiable than most global temperature trend studies. Why? In part, in the States, we've been reforesting. In a generation, the USA will have as many trees as when the Pilgrims arrived.

    Yes, I don't think smog is good. I don't think diesel fumes that give urban children asthma are good. But the environment qua religion and what's become the faith-based doctrine of global warming will seriously bias and waste resources dealing with the problems we can solve.

  96. Re:Cut Carbon fuel use and support the death penal by GISGEOLOGYGEEK · · Score: 1

    Not bad at all,

    my GUESS of 4 tons of CO2 from 1 ton of oil was surprisingly close to your calculation. A pure guess only about 25% different from your calculation. In other words, my numbers are basically right when compared with the meaningless crap in the parent message that did not even consider the fact that 1 ton of oil produces more than 1 ton of CO2.

    I absolutely proved my point that we produce far more CO2 by burning fossil fuels than from the total amount exhaled by humans. .... Roughly 10 times more just from burning oil, without even considering the enormous amount of coal and natural gas that is also burned each year.

    Now as for bad science

    GET A CLUE YOU STUPID FUCK.

    The output of energy from the sun has increased over time. Solar energy output was about 20% less in the ordovician than it is today.

    If it wasn't for the massive amount of CO2 in the atmosphere at the time and the resulting greenhouse effect, an ice age would be the least of the problems, average surface temperatures would be closer to -40.

    You may not have noticed, but the earth no longer needs the help, its warm enough!

    CO2 contributes to about 25% of the greenhouse effect, no where near as much as water vapour, but still very significant. We have increased CO2 by 50% in 200 years yet you can sit there saying it has no meaningful effect.

    You have failed to consider that by adding CO2 to the atmosphere, the resulting increase in temperature adds more water vapour to the atmosphere with it's even more powerful greenhouse effect.

    You also have not considered that the amounts of greenhouse gases may not be extreme over geologic time, but that the RATE of CHANGE is unprecedented! Life has not had time to adapt.

    Already many species of birds have had their life cycles disturbed, reacting to the earlier spring temperatures before their food sources are available. Already many plant species have started flowering out of synch with the insects / animals that pollenate them.

    If you can actually do some real science, without the slanted / biased information to show that CO2 is meaningless, then please do so ... but in the mean time you are only hurting your own future and your children's future by ignoring the THOUSANDS of scientists around the world who have compiled the compelling evidence that global warming is happening, and is in step with our CO2 emissions.

    --
    George Bush + Linux = "I will not let information get in the way of the fight against Windows"
  97. No -- by JavaRob · · Score: 1

    ...sorry, but the Earth HATES being anthropomorphosized.

  98. Yellowstone is in WYOMING! by JhohannaVH · · Score: 1

    Um, yeah... Utah is pretty barren. But Yellowstone National Park borders Montana and Wyoming... NOT Utah. Unless it's a very small corner, I guess it's possible. But no, the Yellowstone Super-caldera is primarily in Wyoming. And yet, Cheney hasn't found a way for Halliburton to profit from it!!

    Jho

    --
    Sorry man... the Internet pooped on me.