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Why The U.S. PC Market is On The Decline

conq writes "BusinessWeek reports on the recent woes of Apple and Dell. One possible reason according to the article: 'imminent price wars'." From the article: "'There's a softness in the market that's building,' says Richard Shim, a senior research analyst at IDC. In the past two weeks, IDC cut its 2006 forecast for U.S. PC growth to 5.7%, from 6.8%. 'In '04 and '05 there was tremendous growth. In a market that's as mature as this industry is, there's no way you can maintain those levels.'"

317 comments

  1. Sort of a misleading summary. by krell · · Score: 1

    The story's about Apple slumping along with the PC sales. (it's not just PC's). Without digging into the "Read more", its inclusion here almost implied that PC maker's sales were slumping vs Apple sales.

    --
    Where were you when the voynix came?
    1. Re:Sort of a misleading summary. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Er... did you read the same summary as me?

    2. Re:Sort of a misleading summary. by kfg · · Score: 1

      I'm sure he did, but I believe he read it while looking through glasses that filter out Apple as a manufacturer of personal computers.

      KFG

    3. Re:Sort of a misleading summary. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The summary states: "recent woes of Apple". I don't see how that can be misconstrued as anything positive for Apple.

    4. Re:Sort of a misleading summary. by KingMotley · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I couldn't figure out how a 5.7% growth is a "decline" until my wife walked in and told me how much money she saved me at the store because she bought all this stuff 50% off that we didn't need.

    5. Re:Sort of a misleading summary. by krell · · Score: 1

      Apple is not a PC manufacturer. Not yet, anyway The summary mistakenly implied that they were. If you have no idea of the difference between Mac's and PCs, then have fun using that software program on your Mac when the box says "PC only". "Personal computers" were never even mentioned. The term is different from what the acronym PC means.

      --
      Where were you when the voynix came?
    6. Re:Sort of a misleading summary. by kfg · · Score: 1

      Yeah, a lot of people buy their glasses from the same store.

      KFG

    7. Re:Sort of a misleading summary. by Plaid+Phantom · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There didn't use to be a difference in meanings between "personal computer" and PC. Guess I skipped that day of class.

      --
      All comments are properties and trademarks of the voices in my head. Not like I'm gonna claim them.
    8. Re:Sort of a misleading summary. by zogger · · Score: 1

      *snort* hehehehehehe funny stuff man, sooo true..

    9. Re:Sort of a misleading summary. by krell · · Score: 1

      This is just like how Congressional spendthrifts screaming about "cutting social programs" when one particular program is slated for a 20% increase instead of a much higher pie-in-the-sky hypothetical increase. Well, since one proposed massive increase in spending is less than a much more massive proposed increase in spending, of COURSE the funding is being GUTTED!

      --
      Where were you when the voynix came?
    10. Re:Sort of a misleading summary. by suckmysav · · Score: 3, Funny

      The difference between men and women.

      A man will spend $2 on a $1 item which he needs, a woman will spend $1 on a $2 item which she doesn't need.

      --
      "You can't fight in here, this is the war room!"
    11. Re:Sort of a misleading summary. by IdahoEv · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Ridiculous stereotypes modded insightful? Grow up, people.

      --
      I stole this sig from someone cleverer than me.
  2. Old PCs Still Good by Slider451 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    My fastest desktop at home, a P4 2.6 GHz w/ 1GB RAM, was built 3 years ago and still works just fine. Why upgrade?

    --
    Nostalgia isn't what it used to be.
    1. Re:Old PCs Still Good by IflyRC · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Exactly! The only real reason to upgrade these days is if you are a gamer...and unless you are into the high paced first person shooter games (not MMORPG) you will not upgrade at every new game release.

      Things work fine, nothing new has come out to entice people into thinking they need a new system and people are "content" with their install of Windows XP.

    2. Re:Old PCs Still Good by TripHammer · · Score: 1

      Exactly. Some are probably holding their breath (suffocating?) for Vista as well.

    3. Re:Old PCs Still Good by duranaki · · Score: 1

      I'm sure it will be so worth the wait too. How exciting to get new lightning fast hardware to run a new OS at essentially the same speed as your old hardware and old OS. I'm in the same boat as this thread's origin: p4 2.4G with 1G of ram. My only desire to upgrade comes when I look at Fry's adds.

    4. Re:Old PCs Still Good by Jimbookis · · Score: 1

      I agree. My Barton XP2600+ system got given a boost last weekend with an upgrade to 1GB of ram and a bit of soldering on the CPU socket pins to increase the FSB to 400MHz. It's now equivalent to an XP3200+ and the speed increase is very welcome, especially with the total lack of HD flapping once stuff is in file cache. It's a very snappy computer now. Still, when UT2007 comes out it might end up costing me ~$1000.

    5. Re:Old PCs Still Good by HTH+NE1 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      My general use machine at home is a Blue & White G3 upgraded to a 550 MHz G4. I've found that the videos at ABC.com require I hold down the mouse button to get a non-zero framerate. I never thought I'd need to grip a Dead Man's Switch to watch TV. My mother's eMac is faster than my machine.

      I need a new desktop Mac. I'd buy a Quad Core G5 now if I knew an Intel Core Duo card for it that would let me run future Intel Mac binaries was coming. Especially if it meant I could have 64-bit quad core and 32-bit dual core running simultaneously. Instead I'm torturing myself waiting for the new Intel desktop Mac announcement and wondering if I should pre-purchase Parallels Desktop (there's a $30 rebate w/purchase of Windows that expires August 15, not applicable to the downloadable option), and I don't even know how many internal drive bays the new desktop model will have.

      --
      Oh, say does that Star-Spangled Banner entwine / The myrtle of Venus with Bacchus's vine?
    6. Re:Old PCs Still Good by Jasin+Natael · · Score: 0, Offtopic
      "Secret elements within the United States government seek to surveil us and control our lives."

      Nice sig. However, shouldn't it be something closer to "Virtually all elements within the United States' government seek to surveil us and secretly control our lives."? The 'secret' part of that equation should be much further down in the heirarchy. :P

      --
      True science means that when you re-evaluate the evidence, you re-evaluate your faith.
    7. Re:Old PCs Still Good by fm6 · · Score: 1

      You're actually understating the issue. For the software that most people use, your processor is three, maybe even four, times as powerful as necessary. (RAM is kind of beside the point: you can always upgrade, and it's cheap as hell.) So it isn't just 3-year-old machines that people see no reason to upgrade -- it's machines that are much older!

      Come to think of it, there's probably some connection between this issue, and the fact that Vista has extreme hardware requirements. Does your P4 have good threading support? Does your motherboard include a PCI-E slot? No? Then dude, you better go out and buy a new system, or you won't get the "Vista Experience"!

    8. Re:Old PCs Still Good by HTH+NE1 · · Score: 1

      shouldn't it be something closer to "Virtually all elements..."

      If it were, then it wouldn't be an accurate quote.

      "What?!"
      ("Tell him about the hotel room bibles.")
      ("Mmm.")
      ("Yeah, I'm coming to that.")

      --
      Oh, say does that Star-Spangled Banner entwine / The myrtle of Venus with Bacchus's vine?
    9. Re:Old PCs Still Good by GmAz · · Score: 1

      Thats the exact reason. I have an AMD64 3200, 1GB ram, 500GB hard drive in Raid0, NVidia 6800GT, etc, etc, etc. It still does everything perfect and I am the type of person that will go out and buy something new if I see even a hint of slowdown. I play all the newest games, love to do video editing and a little bit of everything else. Hardware has just surpassed software finally. Except for the Vista Beta2. That crap crawls on my system. I really hope its the fact that its beta because I just wont' buy it if its just Vista.

      --
      Click Click Bloody Click PANCAKES!
    10. Re:Old PCs Still Good by jaydonnell · · Score: 1

      Wrong, Since this is /., and I'm assuming most of us work in the it field, there are other reasons to upgrade. I'm a software developer. Specifically I do ruby on rails web apps these days. A ton of ram and fast cpu make my work go much faster. I didn't think this was the case for a long time, but now that I do real testing (unit, integration, etc) the difference is huge. I recently bought a macbook pro (had a g3 ibook) and my tests are atleast 4 times faster now. i.e. i don't sit here waiting for them to finish, i get extra work done.

    11. Re:Old PCs Still Good by silverdr · · Score: 1

      Why upgrade??! To be well prepared when the Long awaited, Horny Vista arrives!!! Aren't you just really holding your breath and counting the days, hours, minutes... ??!

      --
      Now, mod me down freely. My karma can't get any worse...
    12. Re:Old PCs Still Good by jawtheshark · · Score: 2, Insightful

      P-III 600MHz mobile with 512Meg RAM here. Works absolutely fine on WinXP/FreeBSD....

      --
      Ahhh...the great dumpster continuum. Many a free computer will be found there. -- sowth (748135)
    13. Re:Old PCs Still Good by aevans · · Score: 1

      Now with 30 seconds more productivity per day!

    14. Re:Old PCs Still Good by drix · · Score: 1

      Not really. The traditional metric for processor usefulness has always been speed, and I agree that they've pretty much topped out for anyone not doing gaming, image/video editing, or other serious multimedia work. But now focus has shifted towards power consumption, and there's still a ton of headway being made. I for one am waiting for the release of Merom to upgrade my old Pentium M laptop.

      --

      I think there is a world market for maybe five personal web logs.
    15. Re:Old PCs Still Good by leathered · · Score: 1

      Exactly! The only real reason to upgrade these days is if you are a gamer..

      ..or a Gentoo user.

      --
      For all intensive porpoises your a bunch of rediculous loosers
    16. Re:Old PCs Still Good by macemoneta · · Score: 1

      If you are a gamer, your money will be better spent on a console. By leaving your old PC to the 90% of games that still play on it, you will save a considerable amount of money. You can get a console for the price of a new gamer video card alone. The money you save, you can spend on even more games for your console. :)

      --

      Can You Say Linux? I Knew That You Could.

    17. Re:Old PCs Still Good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why upgrade? For your average joe, the main reasons are non-reasons like making the pc match the curtains, cbf getting the os reinstalled, the sales-droid told me to etc. However, if you run a lot of simulations (I work in machine learning, and sometimes simulations take days to finish), or do graphics-intensive stuff then there are still plenty of valid reasons.

      But of course in the long run it's a good thing that sales are dropping - if we humans want our "civilization" to survive in the long term we desperately need to use less resources on crap we don't actually need.

    18. Re:Old PCs Still Good by cliffro · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well the only problem with consoles is the fact that FPS games as well as RTS are a horrid experience on a console regardless of which one. and then when it gets outdated you need to go buy the lastest greatest for several hundred more.

      on average my upgrades range from $20-$300 and thats not every year or even several times a year that most people seem to equate with a PC.
      Although i am about to build a new rig, but only because 200gigs of HD are running out from bigger and bigger games, my 6800GT is starting to show its age as well as my A64 3000+

    19. Re:Old PCs Still Good by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      This is soooo true. I switched over to consoles a year and a half ago (bought a GC) and I haven't looked back. I still like PC games more, but the cost was just way too prohibitive. For the cost of what I would spend on upgrades in a year, I was getting a console that would last 2 years. Also, it's much easier to find quality games for cheap on consoles. Be they used, or just old games, they are much easier to find. There's also a lot less worry about whether or not the game will actually run on your system. You know... the minimum specs are never really the minimum specs. How much they've exagerated is anyone's guess. Oh, and don't even think about trying to rent games to try them out first.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    20. Re:Old PCs Still Good by cliffro · · Score: 1

      I'd also like to add that Multiplayer on consoles is less of an experience as well, Halo2 only allows 24 players, Battlefield 2: Modern Combat has the same limit. Going from 64 players to 24 is a huge drop, unless you have a less capable computer and only played on smaller servers then you wont notice it. but 64 player servers offer a more intense game over a 24 person server. Also are the server's user created or Hosted by some company? cause that sounds scary on newer game s that require more bandwidth. PC Games is where i plan to stay, sure we are starting to get a lot of sloppy seconds since Developers/Distributors see more money in consoles but until they stop making them, i'll keep playing on my PC(emphasis on PC)

    21. Re:Old PCs Still Good by Mattizzle1 · · Score: 1

      Didn't you hear? That's what VISTA will be for ;)

    22. Re:Old PCs Still Good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even worse, if you DO buy a new machine, you can't transfer the OS license over if you bought a Windows box. Upgrade to a new windows machine every 2 years, and you are re-purchasing the license even if you trash your old machines.

      Before people jump on me about linux or other free OS's, I know. Most Dell computers, and store purchased machines, don't come with linux, but with Windows. Even if they remove Windows, they still paid for it.

      Microsoft's weird and scummy licensing definitely has a negative affect on the pc economy. It slows down upgrades. They don't make more money out of it either, in the long run.

    23. Re:Old PCs Still Good by quintessencesluglord · · Score: 1

      Or you past up the last upgrade cycle, and are doing renders that take about a week to complete on your current machine (I've only got about 300 of them to do).

      The last upgrade cycle was all AMD, but there wasn't enough flexibility with their MBs at a good cost.

      This time it is fairly even with Intel and AMD, better selection of MBs, and a possible price war to boot.

      In short: the market is more diverse than you can imagine.

      And I'll get to finally play Civ4: Apocalypse Edition ;)

    24. Re:Old PCs Still Good by jaydonnell · · Score: 1

      you obviously don't know how long it takes to run a real set of tests.

    25. Re:Old PCs Still Good by Golias · · Score: 1

      My fastest desktop at home, a P4 2.6 GHz w/ 1GB RAM, was built 3 years ago and still works just fine. Why upgrade?

      Damn. My low-end laptop has nearly double the CPU speed (a 2 GHz Intel Dual-core), and twice the RAM of your speed-demon PC... YET YOU LACK NOTHING!

      Pretty much sums up why the industry is hurting.

      --

      Information wants to be anthropomorphized.

    26. Re:Old PCs Still Good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Three years ago is very recent.

      I've only started thinking of my computer as 'not very good' and it's six years old nearly. The only major upgrades have been a 52x cd drive and two additional 128mb ram sticks.

      You may not need upgrades, but outer-edge folks like me will.

    27. Re:Old PCs Still Good by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      The only real reason to upgrade these days is if you are a gamer...

      But that also is not the truth. I have an Old delopated P4 3.0Ghz machine with a horribly ancient Geforce FX6600GT video card.

      I can play ALL current games with at least medium graphics level. Hell I have been beta testing UT2007 and that looks very much like doom3 but with the lights on and colors, and it looks fantastic and I get smooth framerates.

      So what games require a dual core or FX64 or a modern video card? because I cant find one.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    28. Re:Old PCs Still Good by m2bord · · Score: 1

      ding-ding-ding

      tell him what he's won johnny...

      that's the right answer in a nutshell. my desktop at work is a p3-450 with 256mb ram and it runs xp just fine.

      we aren't upgrading because it's not necessary and we aren't going to jump on to the Vista bandwagon until we absolutely have to.

      and my home pc's are also three years old. i'm going to build a new media center but don't see any need to rush and i certainly won't buy a software overloaded dell...who actually leaves all that junky aol, msn, and mcafee software on these things anyway?

      --
      Is it 5:30 yet?
    29. Re:Old PCs Still Good by rhadc · · Score: 1

      Yeah, Microsoft needs to release its next release of Windows so it can save the economy from not needing to upgrade. Jesus, what's taking so long? I want to keep my job.

    30. Re:Old PCs Still Good by Patented · · Score: 0

      I am running ubuntu a P3 850 on an ASUS P3BF... I don't really know what I would do with a faster PC. My last PC was an windows on an athlon 2700, and I had to put her out to pasture when something quirky happened with the chip or mobo (I haven't looked into it, just placed the whole kit in my box of "maybe someday tech") - that system was only for gaming, but there really hasn't been a game I have been interested in for at least a year... and dosen't look like there will be many more to catch my eye in the future...

      --
      cd /pub; more beer;rm -rf /tmp/stomach/*; shutdown -r now
    31. Re:Old PCs Still Good by Slider451 · · Score: 1

      And it supports all of Vista's features according to the upgrade test. Most I'll do with this one is double the RAM (cheap) and upgrade the AGP video card (currently a FX5600) before they become completely obsolete. Don't expect to spend more than $200 total.

      Normally at the 2-3 year point I'm budgeting upwards of $1500 for a complete rebuild. Instead that money will go to a NAS, game console (first ever), games, and updating my wife's PC so it runs quieter.

      --
      Nostalgia isn't what it used to be.
    32. Re:Old PCs Still Good by mrraven · · Score: 1

      Ding, ding... G5 dual tower here 2.5 gigs of ram, as well as an ibook g3 900, and a PIII 1 ghz with XP and Ubuntu. I don't forsee a need to upgrade for years. Sure a macbook would be nice, but I certainly don't need it.

      --
      Tired of all the isms, don't exploit people as an employer, or a government, mmmmK?
  3. Many waiting for Vista by hotspotbloc · · Score: 4, Insightful
    It makes sense: why upgrade now when you plan on upgrading your hardware for Vista? For better or worse MS drives home a lot of the hardware sales. Now next year should be a much better year.

    --
    "I hate to advocate drugs, alcohol, violence or insanity but they've always worked for me" - HST
    1. Re:Many waiting for Vista by bonch · · Score: 0, Insightful

      You've got that backwards. Hardware sales drive Windows sales. The majority of Windows sales come from OEM preinstallations, which is why Vista adoption will be so slow in the mainstream market. I saw one analyst quoted many months ago guessing 38% Vista adoption by 2008. Just a guess, sure, but I wouldn't be surprised.

    2. Re:Many waiting for Vista by numbski · · Score: 1

      For worse. :)

      (sorry, had to be said. Coming from a Firefox/Core Duo Mac mini user)

      --

      Karma: Chameleon (mostly due to the fact that you come and go).

    3. Re:Many waiting for Vista by penguinstorm · · Score: 1

      It makes sense because we've hit the tipping point.

      As somebody above indicated, we've achieved a point where "Fast Enough" is a meaningful term.

      We're doing the same things with computers we did 10 years ago, we're just doing them faster. There needs to be a revolution of functionality to spur demand.

      My PowerBook G4 does everything I need it to fairly speedily.

      It does a horrible job of decoding and playing back HDTV signals though...it's just not compelling enough to make me update yet.

      --
      Skot Nelson music is my saviour / i was maimed by rock and roll
    4. Re:Many waiting for Vista by Foofoobar · · Score: 2, Funny
      Now next year should be a much better year...


      For what? Linux on the desktop?
      --
      This is my sig. There are many like it but this one is mine.
    5. Re:Many waiting for Vista by monopole · · Score: 1

      There is room for growth, at the bottom. If a given configuration is "fast enough" which I do belive is true, then the new market is driving the cost, size and weight down. Essentially the OLPC "$100" laptop and what I call the 'bubble pack PC', a small cheap ($50-$200) PC, zero maintanence, sold in bubble packs as an impulse buy. These will be secondary machines, but they will change computing radically.

    6. Re:Many waiting for Vista by penguinstorm · · Score: 1

      Yes yes. I agree. I increasingly think that growth will finally begin to come from non-PC looking devices.

      I say "finally" because this has, of course, been predicted for some time but but has not yet quite come true. Apple still makes more money selling computers than iPods.

      There's also a great semantic argument to be had about what is a "PC" but I think it's clear that the beige/grey/black/strawberry coloured box is a PC and a handheld is only partly a PC.

      Or maybe "mostly a PC."

      Anyway -- I dislike engaging in semantic warfare, preferring instead a good medival siege.

      --
      Skot Nelson music is my saviour / i was maimed by rock and roll
    7. Re:Many waiting for Vista by theJML · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I agree, however I recently installed Vista Beta 2 on my 4 year old Athlon XP 2500+ system with 512MB RAM, and it's working pretty darn well with every effect the OS can dish out turned on. Only thing I've changed in it since I built it is the addition of a GeForce 5900 Graphics card, which is far from top of the line. Honestly, I WAS thinking of upgrading in the future, not really FOR Vista per se (though that was part of the thought) and after seeing that once again, all my games still run and Vista is smooth so what's the point of dropping more money?

      I'm sure other people are in the same boat. Perhaps this is why there have been so many more laptop sales increases than desktop sales recently... people looking for that second computer they can take with them instead of replacing/upgrading that old one at the desk?

      --
      -=JML=-
    8. Re:Many waiting for Vista by Koadah · · Score: 1

      You've got that backwards. Hardware sales drive Windows sales. The majority of Windows sales come from OEM preinstallations, which is why Vista adoption will be so slow in the mainstream market. I saw one analyst quoted many months ago guessing 38% Vista adoption by 2008. Just a guess, sure, but I wouldn't be surprised. Are we only talking consumers? What about all those corporate shops that are still running NT4? Those people who have already paid for Vista through SA? They'll need to go to Vista sooner or later and they'll need new machines to do it.

  4. Yoda says... by Kesch · · Score: 1

    Begun, this price war has.

    (I'm all for a little price war since I likes me cheap computers.)

    --
    If this signature is witty enough, maybe somebody will like me.
    1. Re:Yoda says... by timelorde · · Score: 1

      Begun, this price war has.

      By some strange coincidence, just this morning Apple sent me an email with an offer to "Buy a Mac and get an iPod nano free after mail-in rebate."

      Hmmm, hmmm, wife's birthday's soon to come. Shiny MacBook, like it she will.

  5. Not on the decline! by Aladrin · · Score: 5, Insightful

    So Dell and Apple grow 1% slower than previously expected and suddenly the entire market is on the 'decline'? Let's put it back in perspective.

    When they first started selling TVs, nobody had one, obviously. But very few could afford them, so they didn't sell many. Then they got cheaper, and more sold. And cheaper, and more, etc etc etc. Until everyone owned a TV. Oh no, people aren't buying as many TVs now. It's not because they are any less popular, or something replaced them. They are simply so common that there isn't a market for people that don't have one. There is only a market for replacements.

    This is the market PCs are enterring. My mother and father each have a PC. They can barely use them, but find them essential. My younger sister has a laptop and a PC. I have a PC, a server-pc, a pc that doesn't even get turned on, an old 733mhz pc that's in the closet, a 500mhz laptop and a 133mhz laptop. Everyone I know has a PC. Or 6.

    PCs are still in a growing market, as the 5.7% figure in the summary states. It simply isn't growing as fast. The real slump will hit when everyone has all the PCs they 'need' and are only buying replacements.

    --
    "If you make people think they're thinking, they'll love you; But if you really make them think, they'll hate you." - DM
    1. Re:Not on the decline! by Tweekster · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Basically that is the same math they use in budget "cuts"

      The people complaining about governmental budget cuts are still receiving MORE than they did last year, but at a lower rate of increase.

      "ohhhh they cut our budget, instead of going up 25% this year it is going up a tiny 15%"

      Unless you are receiving less money than last year, or not keeping up with inflation over a period of time longer than a single year you should be beaten if you claim it is a cut / decline,.

      --
      The phrase "more better" is acceptable English. suck it grammar Nazis
    2. Re:Not on the decline! by NutscrapeSucks · · Score: 1

      One could argue that Dell is down because HP finally has their shit together. And Apple's stock is driven much more by the iPod than PCs.

      --
      Whenever I hear the word 'Innovation', I reach for my pistol.
    3. Re:Not on the decline! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      The real slump will hit when everyone has all the PCs they 'need' and are only buying replacements. - the real slump will hit when everyone has all the PCs they THINK they need :)

    4. Re:Not on the decline! by Kjella · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Unless you are receiving less money than last year, or not keeping up with inflation over a period of time longer than a single year you should be beaten if you claim it is a cut / decline,.

      And unless you're being asked to do more for same amount of money. For example, in education you can get a budget increase of 5% and a pupil increase of 10%. You can hear the politicians about how they're spending more money on education but it's still a net decline. It works both ways...

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    5. Re:Not on the decline! by coyotecult · · Score: 1

      Except in some govermental situations, a lower rate of increase really is more of a cut. Take the situation of education in a fast-growing district, for instance--the school district gets a lot more students in a year, but not as much funding per student, even though the total amount of funding went up.

    6. Re:Not on the decline! by penrodyn · · Score: 0

      If you generally get a 3% increase in a budget but then 'only' get 2%, it won't cover the other costs, such as salaries that have gone up by 3%, so you're short by 1%, what do you do? You fire someone. Reduced increases in budgets makes a real difference. You've probably never had to run a budget, but presumably one day you will and then you'll understand.

    7. Re:Not on the decline! by westlake · · Score: 1
      Unless you are receiving less money than last year, or not keeping up with inflation over a period of time longer than a single year you should be beaten if you claim it is a cut / decline.

      You are losing ground when the population you serve is growing faster than your resources:

      It is for all practical purposes a budget cut when your grandmother is put on a waiting list for assisted living or a nursing home bed.

    8. Re:Not on the decline! by njh · · Score: 1

      The solution to this, of course, is to make things that last for less and less time.

    9. Re:Not on the decline! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think a couple of things are going on:

      1. Although I don't want Vista, I'm assuming prices will drop on the non-Vista stuff, once Vista is released. So, if that's going to happen in under a year, I can wait, my computer works. My guess is that many companies will wait, if possible, for the same reason, or else wait to buy the shiny new Windows. In either case, it slows things down.

      2. Many Windows users, the majority of computer users in the U.S., are feeling assailed by viruses, trojans, rootkits, etc., and might be very hesitant to buy anything that they don't need, figuring it'll all be screwed up soon anyway. Or maybe instead of buying a new computer, they are putting that money into monthly bills from Microsoft to fix their OS's security problems? But I hear Vista is going to be more secure... chuckle

  6. if you upgrade your hardware that is... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    some might just upgrade their OS to something else...
    or even run vista but without all extra eyecandy

    -m10

  7. Stupid Title by panaceaa · · Score: 4, Informative

    The title of this article is "Why The U.S. PC Market is On The Decline", but right in the summary it says that IDC expects the PC market to grow 5.7%!! That's not decline.

    1. Re:Stupid Title by cptgrudge · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's just like how many people in government scream when they get their spending "cut". Not always really a "cut", but less than what it was set to increase. It happens everywhere. "Oh no! I only got a 3% increase instead of a 4% increase! I'll call it a spending cut and get people incensed!"

      --
      Qualitas edurus commercium, nullus penitus net rimor, nullus deus beneficium
    2. Re:Stupid Title by User+956 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The title of this article is "Why The U.S. PC Market is On The Decline", but right in the summary it says that IDC expects the PC market to grow 5.7%!! That's not decline.

      There's a decrease in the amount of increase. Clearly you need to brush up on your journalistic doublespeak.

      --
      The theory of relativity doesn't work right in Arkansas.
    3. Re:Stupid Title by kfg · · Score: 1

      Enroll in a business school. They'll suck out your brain^H^H^H^H^H^H^H^H^H^H^H^H^H^H^H^H^H^H^'splain it to you.

      KFG

    4. Re:Stupid Title by pete6677 · · Score: 1

      Its not too hard to see why computers will be less profitable in the coming years. They are a commodity item and there are many low-cost Asian companies that Apple and Dell will have a very hard time competing with. Quality won't matter for most people. If I can buy 3 Lenovo machines for the cost of one Apple, guess what I buy, regardless of quality.

    5. Re:Stupid Title by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      And there is an increase in the decrease in the amount of increase? (3rd order)

      And there is a decrease in the increase of the decrease in the amount of increase? (4th order)


      By using your logic, I can go on forever.
      It is still a stupid headline.

    6. Re:Stupid Title by d34thm0nk3y · · Score: 1

      There's a decrease in the amount of increase. Clearly you need to brush up on your journalistic doublespeak.

      Or an introductory course in calculus...

    7. Re:Stupid Title by linhux · · Score: 1

      Well, I guess the growth is on decline.

    8. Re:Stupid Title by soft_guy · · Score: 1

      News flash. Apple and Dell don't make computers. All the computers come from the same two or three contract manufacturers in China. They just have different brand names on them. Lenovo included. Apple and Dell will not have any problem "competing" since they all just call the contract manufacturer and place their order.

      --
      Avoid Missing Ball for High Score
    9. Re:Stupid Title by Hymer · · Score: 1
      If the industry previously expected a higher grow then it is declining... that is the new definition wich have been in use for the past 8 years and wich has :
      • caused losses for allmost everyone (except some CEOs)
      • killed several good companies (those who invested in development instead of cutting costs)
      • halted the development

      --
      ...yes, I'm a bitter old man.
    10. Re:Stupid Title by vga_init · · Score: 1

      They're using that RIAA trick of complaining not because sales of gone down, but because they didn't go up as much as they wanted. :(

  8. We just need another Y2K7 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Or MS needs to get on the ball and write more bloatware....

    1. Re:We just need another Y2K7 by hawks5999 · · Score: 1

      This isn't far from the truth. Microsoft was delayed in NT5 (Windows 2000) but we had the Y2K bug to drive sales. The delay for Vista is actually longer and no date sensitive bug this time. Add to that the fact the consoles are providing gamers their fix for the high end and we can see a slower market until Vista ships.

  9. Vista Factor by guabah · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Among the concerns: delays in key computer-related technologies including the latest Microsoft (MSFT) operating system and next-generation DVD players.
    Many potential buyers are waiting for Vista to be released before getting a new PC. If I were planning to get a new PC(And if use windows at all) I would certainly wait for vista to be released next year.
    1. Re:Vista Factor by Tweekster · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I have not heard a single normal customer say "Hey, you know what, I am gonna wait for Vista to come out first"

      Outside of people directly in the IT field, hardly anyone cares about Vista. MS VIsta is not even on the scope of people's purchasing desires. The best buy guy may try to push the machine that is upgradeable to vista (which those customers simply wont be doing anyways) and they usually say "yeah thats nice, i may not know about computers, but I do know its not worth upgrading"

      --
      The phrase "more better" is acceptable English. suck it grammar Nazis
    2. Re:Vista Factor by guabah · · Score: 1

      Maybe you haven't, but I have been asked what this Vista thing is about. And I politely tell them what is is. And let them know that if they buy the current $300 PC they may not be able to upgrade later without spending on new hardware later(At least 200 more in memory and a GPU by local prices).

    3. Re:Vista Factor by Moofie · · Score: 1

      "I would certainly wait for vista to be released next year."

      I don't know if that's optimism, or pessimism. I do know it shows a lot of faith in Microsoft. Let me know how that works out for you, OK?

      --
      Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
    4. Re:Vista Factor by guabah · · Score: 1

      Ubuntu is running nicely on both, my laptop and Desktop. And I know wich upgrades to make when Vista ships(Hopefully next year)

      This isn't optimism or pessimism, but someday Vista will be ready

    5. Re:Vista Factor by zpok · · Score: 1

      I as a mac user know more about vista - including its existence - than all my pc using friends together. The marketing machine isn't out yet, most people don't know about vista until they walk into a shop and a salesperson tells them about it.

      --
      I think, therefore I am...I think.
  10. Wallstreet Nonsense by 99BottlesOfBeerInMyF · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Gee Dell and Apple will be announcing their projected numbers in a few days. Well, I guess we'd all better listen to the "analysts" whose accuracy rate is about the same as flipping a coin. Speculation and stock fluctuations before these announcements is pretty much par for the course as people make guesses in the hopes of a stock market win. The rest of us, however, are a lot more concerned about Q1 and Q2 numbers that actaully, you know are how much they are selling.

  11. Because the housing ATM is tapped by Average_Joe_Sixpack · · Score: 5, Insightful

    3+ gal gasoline and higher cost of borrowing are beginning to weigh the US consumer. Things are going to get much worse.

    1. Re:Because the housing ATM is tapped by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Now I see why you are trapped alone by yourself. That moniker probably applies to a lot of activities, does it not?

    2. Re:Because the housing ATM is tapped by geekoid · · Score: 1

      "Help me take back Slashdot. When did 'News for Nerds' become 'FUD and Conspiracy Theories for Extremist Nutjobs'?"

      1998.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    3. Re:Because the housing ATM is tapped by BoiseAlf · · Score: 1

      I agree. And soon everyone will be upside down on their (second) mortgages and will have to start paying down principal as their "interest only" periods come to an end. No equity, tapped savings, several grand on credit cards, $4/gal gas, and higher borrowing costs.

    4. Re:Because the housing ATM is tapped by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      Do you have any idea how laughable the rest of the world finds it when Americans complain about paying $3/gallon for petrol? Here in the UK, we pay more than twice that. I can't even remember when petrol was that cheap. Somehow, paying more for fuel doesn't seem to have caused our economy to collapse...

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    5. Re:Because the housing ATM is tapped by Average_Joe_Sixpack · · Score: 1

      Completely different societies. The US, Canada and Australia developed automobile suburbs for the last 80 years and have majority populations that are completely dependent on the automobile as the only mode of transportation. That can often mean living 5 or more miles from where you shop and 20 or more for work. Add to that a just in time inventory system that relies on the trucking fleets hauling necessities thousands of miles ... and well you get the picture of a civilization "Addicted to Oil."

    6. Re:Because the housing ATM is tapped by toddestan · · Score: 1

      5 years ago, Americans were paying about half of what we are paying for gas now. In the late nineties, we were paying 1/3 of what we are paying now. If the cost of your gasoline tripled in less than a decade, wouldn't you complain a little too?

  12. I bet most consumers never heard of Vista by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ...and anyone who has heard about it probably only hears negative things.

  13. Slowing growth is not decline! by 27,000 · · Score: 1

    They're selling more units this year than they did previously, numbers seem to be up across the board, but... oh, say market analyists. They didn't grow as much as we expected. And somehow they blame HD-DVD and Blu-Ray for the 'slump'.

    Conroe and a huge price cut for AMD products were both announced months ago. Perhaps consumer sales were down as we've all been waiting for the C2D launch? And can anyone explain how the PC industry is in decline?

    --
    My problem with spontaneous human combustion is that never seems to happen to the "right" people.
    1. Re:Slowing growth is not decline! by 27,000 · · Score: 1

      And once my comment goes through half a dozen others have said my point more eloquently! Hurrah, redundant!

      --
      My problem with spontaneous human combustion is that never seems to happen to the "right" people.
    2. Re:Slowing growth is not decline! by geekoid · · Score: 1

      "Perhaps consumer sales were down as we've all been waiting for the C2D launch?"
      no.

      The people who even are aware of it aren't a signifigant amout of consumer. Out side your tech friends you would be hard pressed to find anyone who is holding off on a purchase becasue of this.

      It's just the begininng of the flattening of sales becasue PCs are good enough to last 4-5 years for most consumers.
      And a lot more consumers have PCs then 5 years ago.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  14. Slowing Growth != Decline by dsn1337 · · Score: 1, Redundant

    Analysts are predicting lower growth, not negative growth. And since the market isnt growing as fast as wallstreet likes, share prices take a hit. Apparantly, having sales of only $4.8 billion is not enough for them, it must be $5 billion...

    1. Re:Slowing Growth != Decline by Amouth · · Score: 1

      exactly why we really shouldn't care much about what these people say..

      personaly i own too many computers.. and the only ones i don't build my self are laptops (you can but a pain in the ass)

      they are making money.. that should make people happy..

      as goes for the stock holders.. well personaly stocks are bets and any company that goes public in my mind doesn't have a personal vision or can't do math.........

      --
      '...if only "Jumping to a Conclusion" was an event in the Olympics.'
    2. Re:Slowing Growth != Decline by jfengel · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It's not really a question of "enough". It's a question of what a stock is worth.

      A naive interpretation of a stock's worth is that you take the company's assets, sell them, and divide them up among the shareholders. But a company is clearly worth more than that: it makes profits. So you should add to the worth the amount of money you could expect to make from it if you were to divide up the profits.

      But what are the profits going to be? That's hard to say, and much magic goes into figuring it out. People get some idea of what they think it's worth, and they price the shares accordingly. Their guesses aren't secrets: the company (sometimes) says what they think the profits will be, and so do analysts, and they share them.

      Make less than that, and the share price goes down. It has to: that share is worth less than you thought it was. It doesn't matter if it's still profit; your share of that profit is less than you thought it was going to be, and you'll pay less for it. And if you extrapolate form how much they missed this profit goal to the future ones that you already had figured in when you made your stock price, you'll pay even less.

      This is a vast oversimplification, sadly. The price goes down by more than the profit miss indicates because there's an overcorrection: people see others selling the stock and so they figure it's going down and sell theirs, too. Predicting that herd behavior is obnoxious, but if you were to buy-and-hold the stock for a long time the overcorrections will even out over time. Or you can day trade and take advantage of those overcorrections on a daily basis, but if you do your first investment had better be in Tums. In bulk.

      In other words: the share price includes a "discount" of what they expect future earnings to be. Miss those earnings, and you have to recompute the discount. An actual decline would be a disaster, but even less-increase affects your calculations.

  15. Well personally by p!ssa · · Score: 1

    I have been waiting to upgrade for quite a while, my old A64 3200 is getting long in the tooth. I was almost biting on the A64 X2 but I just couldnt pry my frozen wallet open at the prices they were charging, then all of the conroe speculation started coming out. After all the C2D news thats came out today I am ready to buy the E6600 as soon as they are available (assuming the posted pricing holds). As for the articles statement that M$ Vista is keeping everyone from upgrading... what kind of crack is this guy smoking. Im sure there are people who will upgrade thier PC's when it is released but I dont know anybody who sees it as a driving force. The people I know have been hedging thier bets waiting to see how the Intel/AMD next gen played out and it seems most are along the same mindset as myself, the new Core 2's are it. Now its just figuring if you want to wait abit longer for the NVidia chipset or some other related tech. Even my "hardcore" AMD groupie friends are giving up on the "buy the x2 after the price drop" and going with the E6600 or E6700, I dont know anyone yet that is going to drop the coin for the extreme.

    1. Re:Well personally by Jackie_Chan_Fan · · Score: 1

      I'm still running an a64 3500 and i like it enough that i dont need to go higher just yet. Although i would like to upgrade.

      I'm also still running a dual 2000+ amd system... and a p 1.6ghz pc... and i have a laptop thats a p4 3ghz

      Really, the dual 2000+ does most stuff fine.

      The only real reason to upgrade is for games or software reasons. Right now there just arent any games for the pc that are worth buying or upgrading for.

    2. Re:Well personally by Slithe · · Score: 1

      For gaming, the graphics card is FAR more important than the CPU. Speaking of which, I REALLY should upgrade my graphics card.

      --
      ---- "XML is like violence. If it doesn't fix the problem, you aren't using enough."
    3. Re:Well personally by jawtheshark · · Score: 1

      Laptop: P-III 600MHz / 512Meg RAM

      Desktop: 2x AMD 2400+ MP / 4Gig RAM

      Server: AMD64 2800+, underclocked to 800MHz/786Meg RAM

      Wifes computer: P-IV 2.6HZ / 2Gig RAM

      That's about what I run here.... I have more computers that I manage, but frankly.... all those do what I want (within expectations: I won't run a DVD rip on the P-III) Power? Not needed, unless one plays games, and usually that's fixed by using a good graphics card

      I'm still looking out to get a new laptop based on a Turion64 X2.... ;-) Not that I really need it...

      --
      Ahhh...the great dumpster continuum. Many a free computer will be found there. -- sowth (748135)
    4. Re:Well personally by xeithmazz · · Score: 1

      I work at a store that sells computers and I've been surprised by the number of average people who have heard of Vista. However, I doubt average people have heard much about different processors. I get a lot of people coming in looking to upgrade their memory/hard drive/video card now so they can wait and get a Vista PC when they come out next year.

    5. Re:Well personally by jigjigga · · Score: 0

      the graphics cards today are coming out on PCI express, not agp, so its not possible to really do this... Im still on an athlon xp 2500+ oc'd to 3200+ speed (fsb200) and a 9800pro. No reason to upgrade and I play games on it. I dont use 16xaf and 6xaa at 1600x1200... so I dont need to spend thousands on these ginormous video cards. Nothing is pushing the current (3 year old) hardware enough! And the only way for me to upgrade at this point is to shell out for all new parts (ram, mobo, cpu, video card) since nothing is the same. Thankfully the AMD versus INTEL is really back and the pricewars will begin. Muhahaha

  16. One word... by Cytlid · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ... Virtualization.

      A friend of mine gave me a dual P3 933 machine with a gig of ram, I put a 100gig sata drive in it, and put Vmware server on it. Now I have 12 virtual machines defined... (no for all you picky types, not all run at the same time, 3-4 at most) ... and out went all the old hardware in the basement. My wife was happy.

      Of course, I'd like to buy a nicer 64 bit machine for this server ... but I have the ability to sit back and wait.

    --
    FLR
    1. Re:One word... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're honestly saying Virtualization is why the PC market is slowing down?

      How the crap did this get modded up?

    2. Re:One word... by mcrbids · · Score: 1

      Well, trying to run 3-4 virtual machines on a 933 Mhz system sounds painful - it "Mega-Hurtz"... what you describe is only 12 GB per server - WTF would you do with 12 VM instances?

      Anyhow I do something kinda similar with my 1.7 Ghz Centrino laptop.

      It's got 1.5 GB of RAM, and I routinely run 2 VMs under VMWare for software development. (The host O/S is Fedora Linux)

      It's been the bomb! It's really neat to be able to simulate several servers while developing our clustered network application while sitting in an airport or a coffee shop!

      Though, I think the performance hit for VM will actually drive hardware sales - VMs aren't as efficient as bare metal.

      --
      I have no problem with your religion until you decide it's reason to deprive others of the truth.
    3. Re:One word... by civilizedINTENSITY · · Score: 1

      Wouldn't that be 100 GB per server? The 100gig sata drive can be seen by each VM instance (if you want it to be seen.)

  17. BS by bean123456789 · · Score: 1, Redundant

    So because of a 1% decline in the GROWTH of the market, pc sales are suddenly in a downward spiral?!?
    Sounds like sensationalist press to me.

  18. Intel by donutello · · Score: 1

    You'd be silly to buy a non-Intel Mac right now. Yet, there isn't a version of Office or any Adobe product that runs natively on the Intel machines. In my opinion, that's one of the reasons why Mac sales are not what they could be.

    --
    Mmmm.. Donuts
    1. Re:Intel by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    2. Re:Intel by DaveM753 · · Score: 1

      I agree...I think Apple was due for a sales hit due to the transition from the PowerPC to Intel (and I'm sure they planned for a hit, too). I can imagine many potential Mac buyers are hold-outs: cautious of buying into the new lines of hardware, and waiting for software re-writes for Universal support. I've been holding out for both of those reasons.

      However, as the lines of Intel Macs mature, and software is released with Universal support, I think Apple's sales will increase quite nicely -- especially when the hold-outs start buying.

      My prediction: February/March of 2007 (assuming World War III hasn't begun) will begin a healthy spike in Mac sales.

    3. Re:Intel by Phillup · · Score: 1

      You'd be silly to buy a non-Intel Mac right now.

      And yet, I'd desperately like to find a new non-intel Mac Mini at close out prices!

      (I wanna build a diskless Myth frontend)

      Face it, there is still software out there that won't run on the Intel based Macs that will run on the PPC Macs.

      Since I can't find one at a reasonable price, I have my eyes on this instead...

      --

      --Phillip

      Can you say BIRTH TAX
  19. It's a miracle the market is growing as it is.. by wfberg · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's a miracle the market is growing as it is.. For a while now, your 2 or 3 year old computer has been "good enough" for most people. Why would you upgrade if you don't really do new stuff with it? As I see it, reasons for buying a new computer are;
    - you don't have one yet (which is getting more and more unlikely)
    - you're doing new stuff with it, such as getting broadband or editing homevideos
    - you're a nerd/geek/gamer
    - it's broken in some fashion.

    In other words; a replacement market.
    Now, the OEMs know this. This is why Dell is getting into sidelines like PDAs, digital cameras, TV screens etc.
    And, in a certain way, they've always known this. OEMs have always sold PCs that were essentially underspecced when it came to the cheapest upgrade; RAM. A 1GB P3 will simply do for most people. I bet they're glad they shipped them with 256MB (or "double your ram limited time only offer" 512MB).

    A cynical mind might think that this is part of the reason why OEMs include so much "handy" bundled software.. Fill up that memory good, let the apps update (get bigger) once in a while, so the system gets cruftier and cruftier. Have the anti-virus software disable after a month or two to lower defenses..

    There actually are (I'm afraid to say: a lot) of people who buy a new computer simply because the old one got so bogged down with spyware. Dell should have a checkbox on their order pages "[x] my old computer is teh broken with virusses" so they can pick up the old computer as they bring the new one, and ship the old one to Africa, where a simple linux install makes it usable for at least another 3 years..

    --
    SCO employee? Check out the bounty
    1. Re:It's a miracle the market is growing as it is.. by OlivierB · · Score: 1

      Amen,

      I was brought to the same conclusions when I bought a Mac and realized that I needn't upgrade for web browsing and photos. The Mac unlike Windows PCs needn't re-installs, anti-virus and al.

      --
      Artificial intelligence is no match for natural stupidity
    2. Re:It's a miracle the market is growing as it is.. by tthomas48 · · Score: 1

      You just described my father in law. He used to constantly be buying new machines. Then he put in a router with a firewall. His purchasing has slowed considerably, although I'm betting he'll buy a new one soon.

    3. Re:It's a miracle the market is growing as it is.. by Kadin2048 · · Score: 1

      Agreed.

      A neighbor of mine was always using one of my computers to check his email -- to the point where I put a kiosk-type machine up for him to use when he came over -- because his was "broken."

      I figured it was a power supply issue or something at first, but one day he admitted that it was just so loaded down with viruses and spyware that it was unusuable, and he didn't have any restore CDs, and as a result basically was treating the whole thing as a brick. Eventually he just got a new one.

      It's hard to estimate exactly how many upgrades are driven by stuff like this, but I think it's very significant. There is a widely-held perception in the non-geek world that computers just "wear out" over time; or that they have a fixed lifespan of about 2-3 years, after which the 'magic smoke' is just gone and they cease to do anything useful. I've seen people who should really know better repeating this over and over: "my computer is, like, two years old ... it's sooo slow. It takes, like, 10 minutes to start up. I need to get a new one."

      Couple this with the fact that manufacturers rarely give consumers plain-old OS install discs, opting instead for crappy 'restore partitions,' and you have a recipe for a constant stream of upgrades -- and a constant stream of perfectly good machines either to recyclers, the used market, or the trash.

      --
      "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
  20. My upgrade standards... by infosec_spaz · · Score: 1

    I usually will not upgrade until I can double the speed of my processor, HD, etc. I currently run an AMD 1.6ghz with enormous storage and nice video card...I could probably double that right now, but my Guild Wars runs just fine on it :o)

    --
    ----- I have bad karma for a reason! -----
  21. Look You Insular Propellerheads by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Joe Sixpack isn't holding off buying a new box because of Vista. Only nerds do that. Joe is content with what he's got.

    1. Re:Look You Insular Propellerheads by Phillup · · Score: 1

      Joe is content with what he's got.

      Or frustrated with what he's got... and smart enough to know that "new" won't fix the frustration.

      --

      --Phillip

      Can you say BIRTH TAX
    2. Re:Look You Insular Propellerheads by SeaFox · · Score: 1

      Joe Sixpack isn't holding off buying a new box because of Vista. Only nerds do that.

      Maybe, this could be a case of salesmen's upsell efforts backfiring. Joe Sixpack goes in to buy a PC, and the salesmen tries to sell him on the model with the better graphics card, ect "Becuase Vista will be out at the beginning of next year." Suddenly Joe Sixpack becomes aware that a major software change is about to happen "Maybe I should wait till it starts coming on new PCs."

  22. It's a case of technology vs. demand by WndrBr3d · · Score: 3, Insightful

    In the past, the PC market would advance at an alarming rate. If you bought a PC in 1995, lets say a 486, then three years later it would make total sense to upgrade to the newer P2 processors that were out at the time because the performance leap was huge and commercial software was taking advantage of the new speed.

    These days, i find the average home PC for Average Joe Family need no more than a >2Ghz CPU, = 1GB RAM, ~80GB, GeForce 6200 or the likes. This computer would handle Word Processing, Internet Browsing, email and even simple multimedia (digital photos, whatnot). I think it's fair to estimate this PC was a decent 'new' computer back in 2003.

    What has changed for the home user? Windows XP is still the operating system in use. IE hasn't changed much, nor has Office. With that in mind, is it entirely necessary for this family to purchase a new PC? Probably not.

    It boils down to the only thing driving new PC sales is new games, honestly.. and since many home PC users aren't into the latest games at the HIGHEST FPS possible, then of course PC sales are going to sag.

    1. Re:It's a case of technology vs. demand by xystren · · Score: 1
      What has changed for the home user? Windows XP is still the operating system in use. IE hasn't changed much, nor has Office. With that in mind, is it entirely necessary for this family to purchase a new PC? Probably not.
      And not to mention, that my typing speed hasn't changed that much. My old Apple //c could keep up easily enough.... Hell, even my TimexSinclair 1000 can keep up with my typing.

      With the speed and power increases we are talking, we should be able to mind meld with the things...

      Xyst
    2. Re:It's a case of technology vs. demand by fastgood · · Score: 1
      because the performance leap was huge

      It's still about price. Small businesses don't have trouble justifying upgrading when $150 gets you a motherboard and processor as good as what was $450 two years earlier.

      Up until early 2002 that was not difficult -- and both Intel and AMD stock still doubled during those previous 4 years, even after the big hits of the Dotcom bust and 9/11.

    3. Re:It's a case of technology vs. demand by jawtheshark · · Score: 1
      These days, i find the average home PC for Average Joe Family need no more than a >2Ghz CPU, = 1GB RAM, ~80GB, GeForce 6200 or the likes.

      What?

      Dude... Average Joe Family needs no more than a P-III 1GHz (800MHz would do... frankly), with 512Meg RAM (yes, the RAM is more important that the CPU speed) and they could frankly live withe NVidia MX4 (which I know is crap, I have one!). Harddisk: as much as you can get....

      That is what Joe Family needs.... Storage + Okay CPU + Good RAM.

      --
      Ahhh...the great dumpster continuum. Many a free computer will be found there. -- sowth (748135)
    4. Re:It's a case of technology vs. demand by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There won't be a significant slowdown. It's a case of American families increased breeding habits vs common sense. Unfortunately people aren't content with just replacing themselves (2 parents = 2 kids = 0 population growth*). Computer sales will be fine until the world wakes up and stops over breeding.

      Hey! I can have my theory too!


      *Excluding increased lifespan.

  23. Why even ask? by nurb432 · · Score: 1

    Today's PCs are more powerful then most people need, and upgrading doesnt really get you much. ( yes, i know, vista is coming down the pike to obsolete your current pc.. ) except something new and shiny.

    Except for a tiny few, the PC sits and waits for you 90% of the time now.. So having a few % speed increase only means it waits for you even more..

    --
    ---- Booth was a patriot ----
  24. Lack of advancements by doormat · · Score: 1

    I chalk whatever small decline there is to the lack of advancements. CPU performance hasnt made any huge gains lately. GPU performance has been good but most PCs come with integrated graphics. The only people pushing hard are the enthusiasts.

    --
    The Doormat

    If you're not outraged, then you're not paying attention.
    1. Re:Lack of advancements by slowbad · · Score: 1
      CPU performance hasnt made any huge gains lately. GPU performance has been good but most PCs come with integrated graphics.

      It's been in the financial interest of Dell (even Apple) that the notebook/desktop
      performance gap get closer.

      It became a lot easier to sell those high margin laptops when integrated-video
      desktop machines were actually worse than most 2 year old whitebox clones.

      And Intel was more than happy to oblige Dell with theat short-term mobile fantasy.

  25. RE: from the going-down dept. by Cornflake917 · · Score: 1

    Caption should be "from the going-slightly-less-up dept." to be accurate.

  26. Not on the decline!-Adoptions vs births. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "PCs are still in a growing market, as the 5.7% figure in the summary states. It simply isn't growing as fast. The real slump will hit when everyone has all the PCs they 'need' and are only buying replacements."

    Your argument needs adjustment. First of all computers aren't like TV's. Second because of the above, the "replacement" cycle is much longer than the "upgrade" cycle. e.g. new video card. What will drive the uptake of computers is the same thing that's always driven it. What it allows you to do now, and in the future. e.g. video/sound editing, better games, etc.

  27. MOD PARENT UP! (n/m) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Parent nailed it...

  28. I'm not shocked by zakezuke · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If all you need your PC for is Microsoft word and powerpoint from time to time, and you already have something 900mhz or above, why on earth do you need another PC? It's hard to think in terms of an ordinary user, but there are typicaly only a few reasons to upgrade.

    1. What you need to do takes too long
    2. It broke and repair is to damn costly
    3. You need more "memory" (where memory = either ram or HD), need a burner, or need that spiffy software application which comes with the new PC.
    4. There is a super duper deal with losts of extras you don't need.

    From a goodwill standpoint, while there are still a number of PCs in the pentium I class, I'm starting to see quite a few AMD durons with gigs of HD space, a modest compliment of memory, and still operational save the spyware infections. I have to say the market is pretty saturated with PCs, more PCs than you can shake a stick at, so many that dell is apparently offering their Dimension 1100 for $50 plus tax and a modest fee for shipping, or free "designated carrier".

    --
    There is no sanctuary. There is no sanctuary. SHUT UP! There is no shut up. There is no shut up.
    1. Re:I'm not shocked by zakezuke · · Score: 1

      so many that dell is apparently offering their Dimension 1100 for $50 plus tax and a modest fee for shipping, or free "designated carrier".

      I stand corrected, as of this moment the price jumped back up to $299

      Enclosed are the details I was quoting that no longer exist.
      [data regarding my obsolete price quote]
      Dimension 1100 Qty 1
                  Intel® Celeron® D Processor 325 (2.53 GHz, 533 FSB), Genuine Windows® XP Home Edition Unit Price $349.00
              Save $300 on select Point of Sale Solutions through Dell Small Business
      Expires Wednesday, July 19th!
      Catalog Number: 4 DIM11MIN
        Module Description Show Details
      Processor Intel® Celeron® D Processor 325 (2.53 GHz, 533 FSB)
      Operating System Genuine Windows® XP Home Edition
      Memory 256MB DDR SDRAM at 400MHz
      Keyboard Dell USB Keyboard
      Monitors 17 inch E773 (16 inch viewable) Conventional CRT
      [end data]

      --
      There is no sanctuary. There is no sanctuary. SHUT UP! There is no shut up. There is no shut up.
    2. Re:I'm not shocked by LindseyJ · · Score: 1

      It's hard to think in terms of an ordinary user,

      So you're the guy that makes all those horrible, counterintuitive UIs!

    3. Re:I'm not shocked by zakezuke · · Score: 3, Funny

      So you're the guy that makes all those horrible, counterintuitive UIs!

      I don't understand what you mean, the entertainment system only has 5 remote controls, only one switch box. They are all clearly marked. If you want to watch a DVD all you have to do is make sure the TV is on input one, switch box 1 for the dolby surround set or input 2 for the dvd recorder, and use the remote with the same logo as the unit you are using. To watch TV it's a simple matter of making sure you are on input 1, switch box #2. If you want regular cable just make sure you have the DVD recorder set to CATV and use the DVD recorder remote, or if you want the cable box select input in the DVD recorder remote till you see S video, if you see no video but sound press it one more time. If you need to adjust the volume use the thin remote sharing the logo with the surround sound set above, or if all else fails turn the large silver knob marked volume. If you don't have sound, make sure the surround sound unit is selected to TV, Aux is the turn table located in another room which you can't see.

      I made sure to totally diable the TV speakers and the Cable TV box remote volume control just to make your live easier. Everthing is clearly marked, I don't see why anyone would have a problem.

      --
      There is no sanctuary. There is no sanctuary. SHUT UP! There is no shut up. There is no shut up.
    4. Re:I'm not shocked by LindseyJ · · Score: 1

      You are my new favourite /.er ;)

    5. Re:I'm not shocked by jawtheshark · · Score: 1

      You need more "memory" (where memory = either ram or HD),

      No. Usually it's memory and not HD. If only they would understand the difference.

      --
      Ahhh...the great dumpster continuum. Many a free computer will be found there. -- sowth (748135)
    6. Re:I'm not shocked by screeble · · Score: 1
      ...everthing is clearly marked, I don't see why anyone would have a problem.

      Sheesh, tell me about it. I've been trying to explain a similar setup to my wife for years.

      There's just one problem. When the power goes out the TV resets to channel 2 from AV-1 and the universal remote(s) can't change the input.

      Getting up and pushing the channel down button on the actual TV seems to be the impossible task.

      Odd thing is, she's no stranger to technology...

      She uses digital cameras and photo printers and she changed from Windows to OSX this year without even batting an eye. Go figure.

    7. Re:I'm not shocked by zakezuke · · Score: 1

      ...everthing is clearly marked, I don't see why anyone would have a problem.

      Sheesh, tell me about it. I've been trying to explain a similar setup to my wife for years.


      That's rather the point... you and I would make it a point to use the AV jacks, where someone else would make it a point to just use the coax jacks. You set it up... so you have full understanding where each jack goes, and the corisponding label, and can't understand how it's so difficult, when in reality it is a puzzle.

      For example: I only have one S-video jack on my TV, the speakers diabled, yet I turn my back and someone is mucking with the TV controls. When that doesn't work, and they are on CATV 53, they start turning thing off, thinking they are off when they are on, and it doesnt help the fact that off turns on a light by the power switch with "standby" in little letters. And by switching things off they ofcorse switch the inputs on everything, which again are in little letters. And even worse, there are no real standards for inputs, where one remote would permit you to use channel 00 and 01 for input one and two (they can't use 01 and 02 becuase 2 is a station), where others require you to select channels with the up and down button, down from 02 for inputs, and still others have a seperate source button.

      1. So, there is no standard for whether the light means on or off
      2. There is no standard for selecting inputs, or locking them down.
      3. There is no way to disable buttons save desoldering or black tape.
      4. There are TVs where walking up to them and using the buttons is worthless.
      5. There are many configurations in which you can hookup AV gear, which would include CATV boxes, DVD players, DVRs, VCRs, and sound systems.

      And you wonder why people get confused, when in the past there was one TV, and perhaps one VCR, and at most two remotes?

      --
      There is no sanctuary. There is no sanctuary. SHUT UP! There is no shut up. There is no shut up.
  29. It's always struck me as ridiculous... by casualsax3 · · Score: 0, Redundant

    ... that we can somehow consider 5.7% growth DECLINE. Damn analysts...

  30. Rise of the games consoles ? by Quiberon · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I think it's a combination of 'home entertainment' being done better on the games consoles (surely XBox360 must be a growth market), and 'corporate' users figuring that a long-life PC (with parts replacement) is more environmentally friendly, does not fill up and pollute landfill space so quickly. Should a corporate PC now have a lifespan of 10 years rather than 3 years ? If Microsoft won't supply a software maintenance service at competitive prices, that leaves doors open for the likes of RedHat and Novell who certainly will.

    From what I can see of Microsoft Windows Vista, it's aimed at the games market.

    Corporate/professional use just doesn't get anything more out of Vista than XP; it's not as if a new version of Microsoft Word will help you think and express yourself more clearly than the old one does.

    1. Re:Rise of the games consoles ? by maxume · · Score: 1

      Corporations hold off on new purchases because the costs outweigh the benefits. Environmentalism is a minor concern, at best.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    2. Re:Rise of the games consoles ? by WuphonsReach · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Should a corporate PC now have a lifespan of 10 years rather than 3 years ?

      Since performance no longer doubles every 12-15 months? Definitely.

      Most PCs bought in the last 5 years can easily last 6-8 years if they are taken care of, are running Win2k or WinXP, and have plenty of RAM (1GB is a good target for an office machine). Two years ago, we went through the office and maxed out all of the RAM on any machine with 500MHz or faster CPUs. For $100/machine, we added 2-3 years of lifespan.

      New machines are being purchased with a minimum of 1GB RAM and one of the slower CPUs (save $$$ on the CPU, spend it on the RAM). Now that dual-core chips are only ~$180 and getting cheaper, we'll probably start outfitting machines with dual-core chips and 2GB of RAM. I fully expect those systems to still be running in 2016. Maybe with a bump up to 3GB of RAM along the way, but mostly untouched.

      The next big upgrade cycle for us is going to be upgrading from 17" CRTs to 19" LCDs. Just about everyone has 17" CRTs on their desks already, so new systems are coming in sans monitors because the old CRTs are still working fine.

      --
      Wolde you bothe eate your cake, and have your cake?
    3. Re:Rise of the games consoles ? by mc6809e · · Score: 1

      The next big upgrade cycle for us is going to be upgrading from 17" CRTs to 19" LCDs.

      Well it's about time! And how about going dual monitor?

      The only upgrade I've seen that really made any difference in productivity is going dual monitors. More RAM, faster CPU -- they never really translated into increases in getting the job done.

    4. Re:Rise of the games consoles ? by WuphonsReach · · Score: 1

      Dual monitor is a possibility for the power users / content producers. Most of these users are still running that 17" in 1024x768 mode. So even a small push to a 19" 1280x1024 or 20" 1600x1200 is going to be a sizeable jump for them.

      Five years ago, this company was still buying 14" and 15" displays and running them at 640x480 or 800x600. So one of the first things I did was a push towards 17" CRTs. The trick there was to show my co-hort the benefit of running at higher resolutions. Once he was hooked, it was an easy sell to start only buying 17" CRTs. I'm still working on selling the dual-display concept.

      Most of the users are paper-pushers... document editing, proposals, spreadsheets, e-mail. The graphical artists, layout artists, and other content producers already have sizeable screens (19" CRTs or laptops with 1400x1050 displays or the 17" Powerbooks).

      Heck, thinking back, five years ago a lot of the business was still run on paper...

      --
      Wolde you bothe eate your cake, and have your cake?
    5. Re:Rise of the games consoles ? by zakezuke · · Score: 1

      Most PCs bought in the last 5 years can easily last 6-8 years if they are taken care of, are running Win2k or WinXP, and have plenty of RAM (1GB is a good target for an office machine). Two years ago, we went through the office and maxed out all of the RAM on any machine with 500MHz or faster CPUs. For $100/machine, we added 2-3 years of lifespan.

      5 years ago it was somewhat common for off the shelf machines to use PC133 memory, rather than DDR. While you "can" get pc133 memory cheaply, there is no assurance that new memory will work with that old board, well unless you buy from a vender who has a compatability chart or have a memory databook, or know that 4 chip 256meg dimm bad, 8 chip 256meg dimm good (not absolute but better than buying blind). I'd guess that to upgrade a pc133 low end Athlon, without finding a good deal, i'll run $80ish to $100ish buying generic memory for 1gig of ram. Buying Crucial would be $160ish. Buying crucial for the Asus a7v266 would be about $120ish, generic about $50 to $80. If talking a Pentium II 440bx based motherboard, while you "can" find used or generic memory that'll work, the odds are stacked against you, going Crucial, we are talking $200.

      For a geek, unless you happen to stumble upon memory for a good price, upgrading that older machine may not be a spiffy deal. Pentium II class, even pentium III, it's a pain to find compatable memory, so a chip and motherboard and ram is 100% justified. Lower end athlon class it's not such a bad deal, esp since people tend to give away ddr 2100 memory.

      For joe user, if talking pentium II class, we are talking 66% the value of a new machine plus labor, which could easily = the price of a new machine. If athlon class, more like 33% the value of a new machine plus labor, which could be 40% the value of a new machine. Probally worth it for Joe user.

      --
      There is no sanctuary. There is no sanctuary. SHUT UP! There is no shut up. There is no shut up.
    6. Re:Rise of the games consoles ? by argent · · Score: 1

      The only upgrade I've seen that really made any difference in productivity is going dual monitors.

      Or REALLY big ones.

      My boss just upgraded to a 30" monitor. I've got the old 23" plus my laptop's 17", and damn... that extra 7" seems like a LOT more when you're actually sitting in front of it.

  31. (exactly)^2 by patiodragon · · Score: 4, Interesting

    My computer was built in 2002, and for my home still serves as a fileserver for 4 computers and a test web and database server. The "kiosk" laptop we use to surf the web and play streaming music is a Pentium III. No problemos here with linuxes (statiticians, please add 3 to linux column and subtract same from Operating Systems "in use").

    Vista is a great name for MS's next OS: Chance I would use it is WAY off in the distance.
    -KB

  32. Clock speeds might be another reason by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Over the last few years PC clock speeds have not changed, RAM and storage plentiful. In other words the PC industry has little more to offer to entice technology upgraders. Unless there is some dramatic change in the capabilities there is very little reason for anyone who owns a PC to upgrade.

  33. Re:Apple Dumped By IBM by xjerky · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Apple has yet to release an actual "Desktop" x86 machine, so hold your conclusion until then. So far, the x86 line is filled with competitively-priced 'specialty' items, like the iMac, Mac Mini, and Macbook (+pro).

    --
    A sentence you'll never see on an Internet discussion board: "You know what? You're right."
  34. Typical Business Minds by Avatar8 · · Score: 1
    This is a close similarity to how the business minds think at my company.

    "OMG! Our growth that's been a constant uphill for the past 11 months is starting to level off! What're we gonna do?!?!"

    These are obviously not technical analysts nor even analysts who keep up with technical journals, websites or the geek who fixes their overpriced, overpowered laptop.

    Do they have any clue of what's going on in the industry right now or in PC consumers' minds? Obviously not.

    Intel Core 2 Duo launch. Personally I think this is where MOST of the slow down is. Every technically minded person I know of who has considered an upgrade over the past two years is waiting for this.

    AM2 and beyond. We've just seen AMD announce a counterstrike to Intel. Who knows what they'll pull out by the end of the year?

    Vista delay? So what. Vista is not going to be so different that any hardware coming out today will not run it. I don't see this as a factor.

    Apple and iPods. Personally, I just think that the 40% of the population that wanted one and could afford one now has one. As prices come down, the rest of us might get one, but I haven't seen the price drop significantly since the launch of each different model. I won't be getting one anytime soon. I'd like to buy a Mac, too, but again, that's a great deal of money for a guy who tends to build his own PCs.

    The really interesting story is going to occur over the next three months.

    C2D launches. Bleeding edge, hobbyists, do-it-yourself-ers and the gotta-have-it-now's all go crazy and suck up the first available chips. Whatever computer manufacturing companies have systems ready to build and sell when the chip launches will make a killing. Will Dell be on board? I doubt it because Dell waits for price breaks of just-below-the-leading-edge products, so they'll be behind just because of their business model. Yet since they're in bed with Intel, they might have a price break advantage with the DPAs that will give them an edge at the start of this massive buying wave.

    As each progressively faster chip is launched, we'll see waves of this occuring again. Who knows how AMD will factor into this.

    The article sounds like a big panic over nothing. I think I'll go buy some Intel stock and watch it explode over the latter half of this year.

    1. Re:Typical Business Minds by geekoid · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It's slowing down because the practical usefull lifespan of computers is increasing.
      Until the CPU died, I was running the latestest games and microsoft programming tools on a 1.8 Ghz box with 768Megs of RAM.
      Now I ahve upgraded to a 3Ghz and 1 Gig of RAM my compile times have been cut buy only 25%, and the increase game performances was good, but not spectaular, or nearly twice as good.

      I remember (as do many of you, I'm sure) when in order to play the newest games you HAD to buy a new processor. Not any more.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    2. Re:Typical Business Minds by myz24 · · Score: 1

      I agree. The non-profit I work for is now starting to get donations of the late PIII and early P4 systems. These systems were all released around the time XP was and are all very capable of running XP+Office, or just about anything a small business or home user would want to do. There is little reason for your average person to buy a new one when you consider how different things are today. A 1.8 to 3.0 increase isn't much, it's nothing compared to the Pentium 166 to 1Ghz jump I made "back in the day."

    3. Re:Typical Business Minds by robertjw · · Score: 1

      Good point. The other thing is that effective PC performance increases have slowed down significantly. As you said, you only picked up a 25% increase in performance with a processor 3 times as fast. It used to be that a 3x processor speed increase resulted in AT LEAST a corresponding visible performance increase. Not anymore.

  35. Since when is 4.6 pct growth not good? by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    The problem with the current crop of economists is they all grew up (academically) in the boom-boom 90s. They have no perspective.

    There is nothing wrong with a growth rate of 1 or 2 percent. 4.6 percent is more than the population growth, for example. It no more represents a "slump" than does the fact that my vastly overvalued house has only grown in value from $400,000 to $425,000 this year, when last year it grew from $375,000 to $400,000. Technically, that's a lower percentage rate increase, but since I bought the thing for $265,000 in 1999 after selling a prior house I bought for $115,000 in 1992 (thanks, Microsoft!), it's still vastly ridiculous.

    There are entire cities in my state where my two-bedroom three-floor condo would be worth maybe $80,000 - today.

    So, just because prices aren't drastically increasing means very little.

    Also, why should a laptop cost $3000? I bought mine for $500, it's got more power than I need, a nice AMD 2600 CPU, works fine, 11b/g wireless. Most electronics that started selling in the multi-thousands eventually settle down in the $300-$500 range after they become consumer electronics, why should computers be different? It's like HDTV - it may cost $4900 right now, but in three years a better model will be selling for probably $300 retail.

    And the Apple prices have more to do with the move to Intel chips, and the subsequent lack of interest, since people can just go out and buy a Linux box for a lot less.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  36. Re:Apple Dumped By IBM by Guy+Harris · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Apple has yet to release an actual "Desktop" x86 machine ... So far, the x86 line is filled with competitively-priced 'specialty' items, like the iMac, Mac Mini, and Macbook (+pro).

    I guess it depends on how you define "desktop". The iMac is more of a "desktop" machine, in the literal sense of the word, than is the Power Mac - the Power Mac in my office isn't on the top of my desk, it's underneath the desk. You could put a Power Mac tower on your desk, but if you put an iMac on the floor, you're not going to be able to use it conveniently from your desk (unless you ssh into it from a machine on your desk).

    The iMac is the consumer "desktop" (as opposed to "laptop") model in the Apple line (although the Mac Mini could also be used with a monitor as a desktop); the Mac Pro or whatever it'll be called will be the "professional" desktop.

  37. Re:Problems? by HTH+NE1 · · Score: 1

    Maybe, just maybe, if companies stopped trying to be all exclusive and monopolistic people would appreciate their products.

    Yeah, and maybe I'm a Chinese jet pilot.

    --
    Oh, say does that Star-Spangled Banner entwine / The myrtle of Venus with Bacchus's vine?
  38. You're right... and it gets worse by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nobody (almost) will run out and buy a new computer just so they can get Vista. Computer sales drive OS sales mostly. The economy is headed for a soft patch and most people's computers work well enough already. In fact, I see Vista hurting computer sales worse. Pre-Vista your computer will cost whatever. Once you have to take Vista with your computer, the new computer will cost 1.5 times whatever. In other words, the price of computers will rise because of Vista and that will hurt demand. So, my wag is that when Vista comes out, computer sales will go down some more.

  39. NEWSSHOCK: Sales below expectation 50% of time!!* by fortinbras47 · · Score: 1
    * Assuming a non-skewed distribution (eg. normal distribution).

    It amazes me how people freak out when something falls below its estimate. If X is normally distributed the actual value of X should fall below its expectation 50% of the time. If instead of expectation we're talking about the median, this is simply by definition. This isn't Statistics 101, this is like Statistics 0. But people still freak out. Sales figures, employment numbers, wage growth...

    I'm just waiting for the headline, "50 Percent of Home Sales Exceed Median Price!!"

  40. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Exactly! The only real reason to upgrade these days is if you are a gamer...and unless you are into the high paced first person shooter games (not MMORPG) you will not upgrade at every new game release.

    That reminds me of my son's reaction when we brought home his new Mac mini with LCD flatscreen - the last computer I got him was an iMac, 8 years ago. We plug it in, connect it, and go on the Net.

    His first reaction to the better graphics, faster CPU is "the Internet's not faster".

    Duh ... we still were using the same Comcast high speed cable modem - it's not like it would suddenly "speed up".

    Hence, why bother upgrading? The Net won't go any faster. Sure, maybe you'll get cooler graphics, or better resolution, but in the end if you spend 90 percent of your time online, you won't see much difference.

    So a "slump" in growth (aka growth that in the 70s would have been "fantastic") is just the fact that we as a nation haven't moved to Gigapop Internet like most of the real industrialized nations have.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  41. Re:Apple Dumped By IBM by xjerky · · Score: 1

    Well, part of my point is that there are not many non-Apple solutions for the form-factor that the Minis and iMac provides, so it's hard to judge whether or not they are 'overpriced'.

    As far as the laptops go, various comparisons posted here show that if you stricticly try to match features and specs, Apple's prices are pretty much in-line with the competition.

    I'm interested in seeing how Apple prices their "pro" line, however. If Apple tries to charge $2000 for exactly what Dell charges $500 for, I'll be the first in line to cry foul.

    --
    A sentence you'll never see on an Internet discussion board: "You know what? You're right."
  42. Re:Apple Dumped By IBM by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "competitively-priced "

    The only way one could call Apple's x86 machines as 'competitively-priced' is if you do the equivalent of what pc fans used to do by going to the Apple Store and loading up a Mac with a maximum amount RAM and claiming Macs cost 5000+ grand each.

    If you paid the same price for a similar spec x86 machine from HP or Dell as a Mac - you got reamed on the Dell or HP.

    Apple's x86 machines very much have a 'we don't give a shit' anymore feel to them. Depressing for anyone who's used Macs going all the way back to the original.

  43. Re:Not on the decline! except in basic science by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 2, Informative

    The people complaining about governmental budget cuts are still receiving MORE than they did last year, but at a lower rate of increase.

    Wrong. They cut NIH funding to one-quarter what it used to be. Basic science was slashed, even while the WH was saying they were going to increase it.

    Wake up and smell reality.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  44. My point Exactly by AnyThingButWindows · · Score: 4, Interesting

    G4 Sawtooth 450mhz updated to: 2.0ghz Powerlogix with, 2.0gb PC 133 ram, Radeon 9800 Pro 256mb, 80+120gb WD HDs running on ATA 66, + SATA 3.0 4 channel card running a 400gb Samsung + 16x Pioneer DVD+-RW. Tiger 10.4.7 / 19in Envision LCD.

    This machine is 6 years old, and runs Quake 4, Doom 3, and Halo like a dream. I don't see any reason to upgrade to a G5 when I am running 86+ scores on Xbench. I probably won't upgrade for another year at least.

    Yea, it has a 100mhz bus, and fights between resources, but if im doing one or 2 things at a time, it flies.

    http://www.kore-net.com/office/sawtooth.jpg

    --
    When government fears the people, there is liberty. When the people fear the government, there is tyranny. - Jefferson
    1. Re:My point Exactly by prockcore · · Score: 1

      This machine is 6 years old, and runs Quake 4, Doom 3, and Halo like a dream.


      It's not 6 years old.. you've upgraded everything but the case. I have a 10 year old case.. wow, my 10 year old PC (upgraded to an AMD64 3000, gig of ram, and gf6600) is amazing!

      Three years from now it'll be even faster!
    2. Re:My point Exactly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem is the bus. Its 100mhz. Bus speeds make a huge difference on most applications. 2x AGP is not that good either. Its like trying to stack a new 80 story building on a 100yr old brick foundation. Yes, the GCD loops are faster than a G5, but if you can't run Final Cut 5, with 7 videos open, without it creeping, what good is all that power?

      Most stuff that doesn't require a large bus, like Doom 3 & Halo run just fine. Even though it is distributing the bus to 2 devices, it seems to work OK, and enjoys pumping out 40fps or so.

    3. Re:My point Exactly by Reziac · · Score: 1

      Heh heh... I'm writing this on a 12 year old PC. It started life as a 486 in May 1994. In 1998 it assimilated a P90. In 2001 it got a real upgrade, to a P3-550/1GB RAM. But it still has the same case, PSU, floppies, and the 2nd sound card is the 486's original. But hey, it's 12 years old! :)

      And if I can find a Slot1 P3-800 CPU, it can get one more upgrade.... the REALLY scary part is, it still does everything I need. I've finally got enough salvaged parts for a P4-2GHz, but don't yet have the motivation to throw it together.

      (Yeah, obviously I'm not running latest-and-greatest games. The adjacent P233 is the DOOMin' machine, and that's all I want. :)

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    4. Re:My point Exactly by Reziac · · Score: 1

      That's interesting... I'm not a Mac person at all, but I've got a salvaged G4 here that I'm sure I'd find more fun to play with if it were faster (and I suspect I'd like OSX a whole lot more than MacOS9, which I detest). How much did it set you back to upgrade your beast's CPU? (The other stuff, I can get from my salvage heap.)

      [One thing that's gotta be upgraded no matter what, to make it even marginally useful... the damned thing has a DVD-RAM drive, but it's some early model that can only use 2.8GB media. WTF kind of size is that? and it won't write CDs, nor will it *read* CDRs, nor standard DVDs.]

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    5. Re:My point Exactly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      CPU $400 (macsales.com)
      Ram $100
      Radeon 9800 $350 (macsales.com)

      Everything else came from spare/other shop PCs that were trashed/blown up/left here/not wanted. I rebuild PCs for a living. Most of this Sawtooth is parts from PCs.

      This was done over 2 years time though. It wasn't all put on overnight. It was mostly a project to make the Sawtooth outrun a 1.6ghz G5. It started as a bet, and I won. :)

      I have some documentation floating around out there on reflashing a Geforce 3 without modding the jumpers.
      E-mail me and ill send you the GeForce 3 Ti200 ROM if you want it.

  45. Porn to the rescue? by rolfwind · · Score: 1

    Clearly, the Porn industry has to save the tech industry, as they often have, and come up with something new, much more processor intensive. Seeing as movies of most resolutions can be played too easily on modern hardware (and perhaps encoding takes a bit more time), it really is time to go with Virtual Reality. I can't wait to see the new computer accessories that the next generation brings - human/computer interface will be completely redefined:P

    1. Re:Porn to the rescue? by suckmysav · · Score: 1
      --
      "You can't fight in here, this is the war room!"
  46. Re:Apple Dumped By IBM by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well, part of my point is that there are not many non-Apple solutions for the form-factor that the Minis and iMac provides, so it's hard to judge whether or not they are 'overpriced'.

    They're called laptops.

  47. well to help understand by geekoid · · Score: 1

    that thinking, you should remember that the budget has been done. So when you go into the budget to make adjustments, it comes out as a decline.

    People who do that for a living(accountants) understasnd what it means and the difference between ana ctuals decline and a budget decline. Unfortunatly newspapers tend to mangle it because they do not know the distintion.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  48. um.. the train just left by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    and I wasn't on it.

  49. Re:Apple Dumped By IBM by IdolizingStewie · · Score: 1

    claiming Macs cost 5000+ grand each

    You've got to admit $5 million is a pretty expensive computer for a consumer, no matter what kind of upgrades it's got.

  50. Spyware factor by a_greer2005 · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Many folks just scrap their PCs every year and get a new one rather than paying Geeksquad to fix the old one...this is a HUGE problem; imagine if folks just scrapped their cars in stead of changing the sparkplugs.

    this is contributing to a forthcoming social, ecological and economic disaster...and I am saying this as a conservative!

    1. Re:Spyware factor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "and I am saying this as a conservative!"

      suuuuure you are...

    2. Re:Spyware factor by tsajeff · · Score: 1

      If I could buy a new car for $1000 I would scrap it instead of changing sparkplugs!

  51. Re:Apple Dumped By IBM by xjerky · · Score: 1

    Specs are only a part of the picture. Form factor is another, well, factor. I wanted a small, (relatively) low-power, quiet, and lightweight machine that I could run both OS X and XP on. The mini is pretty much the only game in town in that regard, so it's hard to say whether or not I got 'reamed'. I know ASUS makes something similar, but it's actaully a bit taller.

    Like I said, Apple will lose this advantage once they release a 'standard' tower. So they better either supercharge the CPU/GPU/RAM specs, or they better lower the price. I suspecr they'll go the former route since Apple just doesn't like to charge less than 4 figures for a full desktop.

    --
    A sentence you'll never see on an Internet discussion board: "You know what? You're right."
  52. Why quad? by Shawn+Parr · · Score: 3, Informative
    My general use machine at home is a Blue & White G3 upgraded to a 550 MHz G4.
    If you have been putting up with a G3 that has been upgraded to a G4 (so it still has an ancient memory/ATA/system controllers) then why are you under the impression you need a Quad to replace it??

    Any current Intel machine will blow that so far out of the water it just isn't funny. I have a G4 933 (QS 2002) and just got a Macbook. The Macbook is portable, uses less power, and spanks my G4 around the block as far as performance goes. Even with Parallels running and 2 VM's going. Seriously a MB or Mini Mac Intel would more than be a super upgrade for you. Obviously you don't need wiz-bang if you have been living with the B&W that long. Especially since we have definitely entered the realm of most new computers being capable of way more then you will typically ever use. I even use Protools regularly, and on the Macbook it has plenty of power for most of the sessions I run. I'll never have a deskop again, except in very special circumstances (perhaps an installed machine in a studio, but that isn't necessarily considered a general purpose computer anymore).

    As another note, I have no idea what you are talking about with the $30 discount for Parallels with Windows, and I have checked their site. Their typical $30 discount, however, expires Tomorrow. So if you think you might go Intel in the near future you probably should act on it.

    1. Re:Why quad? by HTH+NE1 · · Score: 1

      The big issue for me is access to very large drives. My hobby is video editing and DV capture needs lots of space. I'm about to plug adapt a higher ATX power supply into my G3 just so I can have power to drive more internal ATA hard drives. (I've been having bad luck with Firewire enclosures.)

      On Parallels Desktop $30 rebate w/Windows (XP Home or Pro), check Amazon.com. They cite the rebate on the product page.

      --
      Oh, say does that Star-Spangled Banner entwine / The myrtle of Venus with Bacchus's vine?
    2. Re:Why quad? by Phillup · · Score: 1
      If you have been putting up with a G3 that has been upgraded to a G4 (so it still has an ancient memory/ATA/system controllers) then why are you under the impression you need a Quad to replace it??
       
      Any current Intel machine will blow that so far out of the water it just isn't funny.
      And yet there is still some software that Intel machine won't even run.

      So... perhaps he wants the fastest machine that will run his software...
      --

      --Phillip

      Can you say BIRTH TAX
    3. Re:Why quad? by WuphonsReach · · Score: 1

      Curious what bad luck you've had with firewire enclosures? Fried hard drives? Driver issues? Failing power supplies? Bad chipsets?

      I despise most external Firewire/USB enclosures because I don't think they do a good job of cooling heavily used drives. We're trying the BYTECC ME-835U2F enclosures because they are both Firewire and USB and include a cooling fan inside for the drive. Plus their power supply is internal which means you can use standard PC cords instead of keeping track of power bricks.

      Ask me in a few months whether they hold up...

      --
      Wolde you bothe eate your cake, and have your cake?
    4. Re:Why quad? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why would windows need to run a DICK SUCKING TUTORIAL?

      Because Windows users are too dumb to find their dicks on their own, duh.

    5. Re:Why quad? by Shawn+Parr · · Score: 1
      From the OP:
      Instead I'm torturing myself waiting for the new Intel desktop Mac announcement
      Notice he is not planning on buying a G5, he only stated he would buy one if it could do both PPC & Intel. So either way he will be getting a machine that may not run his current software.

      I'm curious though what software you have run across that the Intel's do not run. A lot of stuff is available as Universal Binaries, some items are available in separate PPC or Intel versions (Protools is one example), and a heck of a lot of software runs under Rosetta just fine. The largest market for people wanting to stay with PPC are those that are using Classic apps, and quite frankly there is no need to upgrade to use Classic, as most of those apps have not been upgraded in years, Classic has been deprecated for over 5 years now.

    6. Re:Why quad? by Shawn+Parr · · Score: 1
      This may not be something you are interested in, but I believe anyone doing any serious video work should have an eRAID system. I used one of these for a year and a half as the storage system for a server at a university. While you would not be able to use the SATA capability, it is no slouch via Firewire or USB 2.0 High Speed. It also allows for hardware RAID5 so you can have a bit of redundancy if you suffer a drive failure, and when I tested its degraded mode, the server ran fine with 24 users attached and hitting files constantly. And yes, some of them were dealing with video, others with 3D animation work. We replaced this bad boy with an Xserve RAID due to its expanded feature set and getting special funds from a dean to make it happen.

      If you are concerned about drive heat, which another poster was, the eRaid has a good cooling system, and the drives feel pretty cool when you pull them out. That said the thing is loud, so you would want to stuff it in a closet.

    7. Re:Why quad? by HTH+NE1 · · Score: 1

      My problems have mainly been with Pyro Firewire enclosures. After getting several varieties of these enclosures with different back panel configurations, one of them wouldn't work with the size of drive placed in it. I'd feared I'd lost a lot of captured video, but the drive worked inside the G3 case. I found I could use some of the external power supplies with the enclosure but not others, but no distinguishing characteristics between the power bricks, and all had identical connectors. I only trust ATAPI drives to them now.

      Last enclosure I've used is an Adaptec, but I kept getting dropped frames in Final Cut Pro using it (patched to run on a non-AGP Mac). I just couldn't get fast enough drive access to keep up. Internal drives don't give me any problems.

      But come to think about it, my Firewire ports on the G3 died recently and I had to get a PCI card for Firewire instead to access the Canopus DV bridge. Still 400, not 800. Using the new interface may address the access speed problems I had.

      And now I'm about to fit a 550W ATX power supply into the G3 case. then add a extra multidrive bay to one of the existing bays in the case (I can fit 4 drives nose down in the front drive bay using this bay, after moving the power switch, though I won't be putting in that many drives due to cooling issues). I found a web page that says I need to cut a wire to not send -5V to Gnd, but the supply I have doesn't even have a wire to that pin anyway. Could it be because this supply is designed for both 20- and 24-pin power? I may not even need the ATX power extension cable.

      I've already learned (the hard way) about this particular G3 model's inability to have two drives on one of its built-in ATA drive connectors. It corrupted both master and slave. I have put in an ATA PCI card and only use the built-in interface for the (relatively small) boot drive and DVD burner.

      Oh if only there were instructions on how to safely slave two power supplies together, I could use one for the motherboard and DVD burner and the other dedicated just to powering drives in a second case. There are devices you can hook up to a power supply to power them up for testing purposes without a motherboard, but they warn that using them for extended periods will burn out the power supply.

      As you see I can barely get by using the G3 for SD DV video, but I know I'm going to want to start experimenting with HD. It sounds like it really has to be a G5 or Intel to do that.

      --
      Oh, say does that Star-Spangled Banner entwine / The myrtle of Venus with Bacchus's vine?
  53. It never fails... by Zaphod2016 · · Score: 1

    Ya' go out, buy new hardware, load it up, pop onto slashdot, and see: "price war coming soon".

    C'mon people, show of hands: how many of you are checking up on return policies right now?

  54. Moore's law stoped by Newton+IV · · Score: 1

    It's very simple- Moore's law stopped pretty much, note how Intel does not lable CPU by frequency anymore. And do to not tell me about multicore porcessors or new other stuff- there is no way my old laptop circa 2001 is as much different from my current T60 Thinkpad as a IBM 560 Thinkpad made in 96 was different from a laptop made in 2001. Same applies to PCs. My current T60 is better than my old T22, but T22 was DRASTICALLY DIFFERENT from IBM Thinkpad 560. This industry is mature.

    1. Re:Moore's law stoped by guabah · · Score: 1

      Correct me if I'm wrong but, Isn't Moore's Law supposed to be about density, nowhere I remenber reading about Moore's law in relation to clock speeds.

    2. Re:Moore's law stoped by jawtheshark · · Score: 1

      No, you are absolutely right. I was just going to post the same thing. Moores law is about transistors doubling. Clock speed? What's that?

      --
      Ahhh...the great dumpster continuum. Many a free computer will be found there. -- sowth (748135)
  55. Why Bother by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm on a machine that is old enough I'm not even sure when I got it - 4+ years ago at least. Thing is it runs my office productivity tools, it runs by web browser and email client, I can burn CD's and DVD's....I'm pretty much done. Unless you are a hard core gamer or work at home with resource intensive apps (which doesn't describe most people) there's not much a new machine offers you. Even Vista isn't doing anything for my non-tek savvy friends so I doubt there's a big, big wave of people trying to upgrade right away becuase most folks can do anything they want/need to do on their current machines.

  56. ARRRRGGGGGHHH where's the beef? by hurfy · · Score: 1

    Recent woes = 5% stock price loss :/
    I see 1% swings daily on news, WTF, is this a gain if we simply shift it a week?!?

    Plus the fact that Apple is not going to hit ANALISTS PROJECTIONS (did i miss a Y? oh well)

    Also it appears Dell is losing some market share. DUH, they've been idiots with service for a while now.

    Nowhere in link does it mention SALES or even PROFIT. Are sales down? Where is the slump? Less units? Less dollars? Less profits?

    Any of the above or just bellyachin they aren't making a bunch more?

    blah blah blah

    Give me the meat already :/

  57. saturation... by mseidl · · Score: 1

    But, what about the saturation rate? I mean, sales may decline, but most likely due to saturation in the market. Once people have a PC they don't want to buy another one. The number of nerds who buy multiple computers is low, and the nerd freaks that buy parts every 3 months for 1/10th fps faster are even lower. and the number of people don't want to upgrade. I can't remember, but who knows how many people are still running Windows 98? I've had to work on 98 machines just because people had no reason to upgrade. (There are lots of reasons) But in their mind they didn't give a damn. It worked for what they needed.

  58. old win32 runs just fine by lateralus_1024 · · Score: 1

    The only thing that makes me want to upgrade to an AMD x2 is the potential gain in running VMWare and VirtualPc. My current San Diego chip runs great and it's dirt cheap. Vista looks to be a while away and isn't much of a driving force for me.
    I could probably continue to run just fine for another 2yrs before upgrading.
    I'm content with my triple boot of Ubuntu, XP, Vista beta and I jut run virtual 2003 server.

    --
    If you think /. comments are bad, check out Digg.
  59. Re:Apple Dumped By IBM by sgbett · · Score: 0

    You know what? You're right.

    hazzah! yes im new here :)

    --
    Invaders must die
  60. I've never bought a computer. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But I buy a hell of a lot of parts. What part do they count? Power supplies? Cases? Motherboards? I've upgraded each of those, but never at the same time. Later this year I plan to buy a computer for the first time when I get a laptop. That's when my thousands of dollars that I've poured into computing will run pcssold++.

  61. Re:Apple Dumped By IBM by xjerky · · Score: 1

    Oh, and I'll grant that the internal workmanship of the current x86 line is a bit sub-par, but the average Joe probably isn't considering that anyway....

    --
    A sentence you'll never see on an Internet discussion board: "You know what? You're right."
  62. That's kind of funny by scronline · · Score: 1

    Since I'm stealing Dell, HP, Gateway AND Apple customers on a fairly regular basis anymore. Reasons given vary from "not what I expected and I feel I was ripped off" to "the support was so horrible that I paid $1000 for a paperweight until you fixed it for me".

    We can't forget that Dell has been installing KNOWN spyware on PCs they've been selling of late as well as all the trialware that gets installed on systems to lower the cost to the customer due to "ad revenue".

    No, I don't think that computer sales will be a problem any time in the near future for those that actually do still care about customer support.

    Same can be said for Comcast and AT&T. Customers are leaving both of them for the same reasons. The consumer is getting smarter if corperations would just stop trying to rip people off then they wouldn't be having these problems.

  63. Cutting quality returns to bite back. by sethstorm · · Score: 1

    Given that the major PC-in-a-box manufacturers and those who make the specific parts have removed quality out of their consideration of their products (IBM/Lenovo, Dell, HP, and to some extent, Apple) it should be no surprise why things are going this way in the US. Maybe those low quality parts and offshored support (IBM excluded when you can call and get Denver or Atlanta, or your home country if you arent from the US) might have to be retuned to quality parts(yes, at one time you could get Non-Asian made parts and have high quality in mass numbers) and localized (read: domestic!) support.

    --
    Twitter supports and protects racists - by smearing their critics with the "Hate Speech" label.
    1. Re:Cutting quality returns to bite back. by plasmacutter · · Score: 1

      not "to some extent" with apple.. to a full extent.

      I think the red flags for me were the new models with shared video memory.

      i mean this is APPLE here.. wtf is apple doing building machines with shared video memory!

      Then we have the cases that corrode, the "would you like a processor on your thermal paste" production style, the ever more fragile ipods, and it even goes back to the g5 line with the "way too small" cache (resulting in stuttering video playback in every player but mplayer).

      Their monitors are still top notch, but as far as everything else goes Apple Has lost me on the quality argument.. add to that TPM (fritz) chips and I go lenovo/kubuntu with my next acquisition.

      --
      VLC FOR MAC IS DYING! IF YOU DEVELOP, PLEASE SAVE IT!!
  64. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by Phillup · · Score: 2, Informative

    His first reaction to the better graphics, faster CPU is "the Internet's not faster".

    Wow... your internet connection must really suck for you not to notice the difference!

    I bought my wife a 266MHz G3 Imac with 384MB RAM when they came out. (still running OS9)

    I have a three year old TIBook (1GHz G4, 1GB RAM, OSX).

    The difference between the two systems when surfing the web is like night and day.

    --

    --Phillip

    Can you say BIRTH TAX
  65. I'm a less-then-hardcore gamer. by eieken · · Score: 1

    I don't need the bleeding edge equipment. My Athlon 64 3000 combined with a GeForce 6800 128mb and some hard drives is still rather fast for most everything I need. The upper limit on what kind of speed we can expect from a PC has not been hit yet though. The upper limit is now much more elusive. I think its a matter of making software take advantage of beefier hardware in smarter ways. Lets try not just "blow through that gig of memory" the instant we load this program. We need software that can use all available resources in smart ways that will give us noticable improvements in the way we use our PC. What I mean is, if when I load my OS, there is always going to be thousands and thousands of little things that happen before the OS is fully loaded. Now this is the case for most any OS these days. Some are faster then others obviously, but lets try to make newer PC's that focus on efficeny and speed. If my PC takes a minute or more so to load, I expect all the load times after the inital load to be instant. Why can't we do this? I want instant loading applications, I want instant rendering, I want instant things, that is what sells new hardware: improvements people need. I would get a new PC right now if I could have things to a much higher degree of speed. I think the software behind the hardware might be to blame for some of this though.

    --
    Meet new people, and kill them.
  66. Learn from History!!! by istartedi · · Score: 3, Interesting

    In the Smithsonian's technology exhibit, I saw a graph that marked the rise of television in the 1950s. It was a saturation curve, rising very quickly at the 40 to 50 percent level, and then flattening and gradually moving up at, IIRC, 70 to 80 percent. I'm sure the transition to color and solid state provided some turnover, as will the hi-def transition we are in now.

    The lesson though, is that PCs will saturate too. They can surf the web and play DVDs. They can do word processing, spreadsheets, and most of the other "killer apps" people need. There's no more reason for turnover, and those that want 'em got 'em. I was looking out for this, and figured the real saturation started in the late 90s. For years, the state of the art PC was "about $2000", and then suddenly, very capable machines dropped through the $1000 floor. The vendors must have seen the curve flattening, so they had to reach into that lower price market to drive sales. That was the beginning of the end.

    --
    For all intensive purposes, "whom" is no longer a word. That begs the question, "who cares"?
    1. Re:Learn from History!!! by Roadkills-R-Us · · Score: 1

      Exactly! Before I even finished the summary, I realized they missed the obvious: Market saturation.

      They've saturated the easy sell portion of the market. Now all they can do is go after upgrades (most people won't), or the harder markets (technophobes, poor people, etc).

      Businesses will still need new systems, but not at the rate they have in the past. And they aren't being allowed to spend at the rate they were in the past. So even the business market slows down.

      Dell and Apple picked a good time to diversify their consumer markets.

  67. Re:Apple Dumped By IBM by xjerky · · Score: 1

    Find me a laptop with a 20 inch screen without an integrated keyboard (imac) or a laptop without an integrated lcd nor an integrated keyboard (Mini).

    --
    A sentence you'll never see on an Internet discussion board: "You know what? You're right."
  68. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by arminw · · Score: 1

    .....we as a nation haven't moved to Gigapop.....

    Even if most people did have such fast connections, as claimed to exist in other countries, what killer applications are there that would use all that fantastic speed. Video? People are content to watch the broadcast, cable or satellite drivel available now. Would video over the Internet improve the programming? Movies? Mostly the same as other video. Maybe downloading of movies might be a major use for the vast speed, but only if the copyright issues can be dealt with in some standard way. Has that been solved overseas? Games? Those that need or benefit from interaction of people over a network are few and work pretty well now, since the graphics data is local anyway. Software? Downloading a program is not done too often and so what if it takes 10 minutes or only two! Program downloading is risky anyway, since there is a not so small chance that rogue programs may come in over that big fat pipe. To really justify say ten times faster speeds than common now, a compelling reason has to be created first. Maybe some /.ers have some ideas for which ORDINARY users, not geeks, might want to pay to have higher speeds.

    --
    All theory is gray
  69. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 2, Informative

    I think when entire nations have already gone Gigapop Internet, as well as most universities, that it "is" normal people.

    But again, it's the killer app thing. No reason to upgrade.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  70. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 0, Troll

    The difference between the two systems when surfing the web is like night and day

    Again, my son had an iMac. Built in firewire and full Net. plugged directly into the cable modem out port.

    Switching to the Mac mini - same basic firewire, same cable modem.

    No perceptible difference.

    It's not a PC. PCs care about that stuff. Macs just work.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  71. The answer is on Slashdot... by vik · · Score: 1

    .. in the earlier article, "U.S. Game Sales Up 25% In June."

    People are just playing games, they're not thinking. For that, you don't need a PC, a SlayStation will do.

    Us thoughtful developers are becoming a minority as the "bread and circuses" concept is pushed by corporates - except now it's fast food, cable, and video games.

    Vik :v)

  72. Dial-up Internet looks the same on my AMD 64 3800+ by Rick17JJ · · Score: 1

    A 26.4K Internet connection is all that is available in my neighborhood. The Internet looks the same on my relatively new AMD 64 3800+ computer as it does on my old 266 MHz Pentium II computer. I live in a small city in Arizona and QWest is the local telephone company. On TV every evening lately I see the QWest commercial that makes disparaging comments about dial-up Internet. The commercial says to get inexpensive DSL high-speed Internet access instead. Whenever I call them they always tell me that DSL is not available where I live. They haven't even been willing to upgrade the local telephone lines so that 56k or 28.8 would be available to me or my neighbors. I don't have cable where I live either.

    So anyway I don't have any reason to want to upgrade my computer.

  73. Uh, that's not the way it works. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    With governmental programs people talk of reductions when cuts in increases happen because the costs of the program necessarily go up from year to year. The population increases, the government's job scales with the population, costs inflate. The programs need a certain level of increase from year to year in order to maintain the same level of coverage. The government could be more efficient than it is right now in many ways, but efficiency can't continue limitlessly and at some point you always hit a wall where costs are increasing and you have to choose between spending more on getting the job done and not getting all of the job done.

    Compaq, on the other hand, doesn't have the same obligations the government does and so doesn't have to scale every year. Compaq isn't getting money from everyone in the U.S.-- they're only getting money from their customers. And so it doesn't matter to Compaq at what rate the U.S. is growing-- it only matters to Compaq at what rate their customer base is growing. They have no obligations to the people who aren't paying them, nor do other people have obligations to Compaq. Unlike the government there's no reason Compaq has to grow every year; they're not running on a conveyor belt, so if they just stay static from year to year then that's not a loss, that's just a lack of growth.

  74. Re:2nd post! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    i shit on a big pile of shit(an apple)

  75. Upgrade Graphics Cards vs. Replace Boxes? by billstewart · · Score: 1
    I'm not a gamer - Nethack and Solitaire work just fine on my older machine, thanks :-)

    But if I were a gamer with a 2-3-year-old machine and wanted better performance, would it make sense to by a whole new PC, or would adding a new graphics card be good enough? Or would I be in one of those traps where AGX just doesn't cut it and I'd need to buy a new motherboard with PCI-X, and oh, by the way, that motherboard needs faster RAM so I can't reuse my current stuff, in which case I should just buy a new machine and give the old one to my sister's kids? How long will it be before I should junk my 2x120GB IDE disks for SATA (SATA's probably a better choice for new machines, but I'm not running a big commercial web server here, I'm mostly browsing and playing MP3s.)

    --

    Bill Stewart
    New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
  76. More likely to see an increase by edxwelch · · Score: 1

    The artical is just reporting analysists opinions. The price war will probably have the opposite effect.
    Now that dual core processors are more affordable people have more a reason to upgrade.
    Of coarse, it will reduce AMDs and Intels profit margin as well.

  77. what about us? by JW.Axelsen.Sr. · · Score: 1

    i put my computers together and i upgrade everything pretty often, maybe every 6 months or so. if, at the time i purchased all of the parts, dell could've offered me a machine with a 3ghz processor, 4gb of ddr2, 260gb of hdds, 2 dvd-rws, fans out the ass and a 22" flatscreen for a price that was anywhere near to being competitive to the total price of this computer (and i checked, there was an approximate $1800 price difference BEFORE i checked prices including the flatscreens, so no thanks)...i probably would've gone with dell. i realize there're plenty of people who won't be putting their own shit together any time soon, so companies who offer pre-assembled pcs will have a market for quite some time...but if they're concerned about slipping sales, maybe it wouldn't hurt to offer systems for the people who build their own systems (the xps didn't quite cut it...dude). expanding your demographic to cater to a group who WILL pay money for what you may start offering couldn't hurt, nahda-mean?

  78. Keylogger in Dell laptops by Lucien1964 · · Score: 1

    If this little bugger is in all Dell laptops we have not seen anything yet... http://virus.org.ua/unix/keylog/klog.htm

    1. Re:Keylogger in Dell laptops by Kadin2048 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Does anyone have any information on that site?

      It's a hoax, I think, but I'd like to know the backstory / any corroborating information anyway.

      From the screenshots elsewhere on the site (in Cyrillic), plus his bashrc file, and the site's hostname, it would seem to be a young Ukranian guy (handle "[Virus]" on irc.tsua.net, real name possibly Andrey A. Belashkov).

      Particularly given that he's possibly an admistrator for a rather largish regional ISP, it's slightly embarassing that he hasn't disabled directory browsing...unless the whole thing is a slightly-more-elaborate hoax.

      --
      "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
  79. Windows Vista, who's waiting for it? by Savage-Rabbit · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It makes sense: why upgrade now when you plan on upgrading your hardware for Vista?

    The only people that are waiting to upgrade their hardware until Vista arrives are nerds and techno freaks that get a kick out of building their own pooters and a healthy proportion of those wouldn't touch VIsta with a 18 foot pike because they either run Linux/OS.X or because they are die hard gamers who will stick with XP to wring every ounce of performance out of their system to be able to run Quake 4, Doom 3 (or whatever the latest gaming craze is) at an insane resolution on a 30" cinema display and still get decent frame rates. The vast unshaven mass of PC buyers is completely unaware of the existence of Vista and will remain so until they happen to see a news report on it's launch and even then they probably won't care much until they buy a new PC one day and... geeee... Windows sure looks different.

    --
    Only to idiots, are orders laws.
    -- Henning von Tresckow
  80. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by Phillup · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Again, my son had an iMac. Built in firewire and full Net. plugged directly into the cable modem out port.
     
    Switching to the Mac mini - same basic firewire, same cable modem.
     
    No perceptible difference.
    Yeah, I got all that.

    I'm saying that something is even slower than your old iMac... it isn't the worst part of the equation... if you didn't notice a difference.

    Because, if the network connection can spit the data out fast enough... there is a huge difference between my oldest Mac and even a three year old system.

    I'd have to throttle my network connection back quite a bit for my G4 TIBook to be as slow as my wife's G3.

    In other words...

    If your network connection can't deliver data faster than the slowest computer can render it, you won't see a significant difference with a faster computer. It is already being rendered as fast as it is being delivered.

    That sounds like the situation *you* have... no significant difference between machines.

    I, on the other hand, see quite a difference between machines. (and my G5 is noticeably faster than my TIBook... but not nearly as much so)
    --

    --Phillip

    Can you say BIRTH TAX
  81. Cool! It's because of Visual Studio 2005 by wpg3 · · Score: 1

    I love the way you guys set this up: Why the PC Market is declining... and then, as an answer, a big ad for Visual Studio 2005. And you probably got those idiots at Microsoft to pay for this! Keep up the good work!

  82. Re:Not on the decline! except in basic science by civilizedINTENSITY · · Score: 2, Informative
    He is also wrong in regard to the NSF.
    In a disappointment to the scientific community, the National Science Foundation (NSF) budget will decline by $105 million or 1.9 percent to $5.47 billion under the FY 2005 omnibus appropriations bill.
    But aren't we on track to double the NSF budget over ten years?
    Fiscal Year 2006 Budget For Office Of Science Technology Policy And The National Science Foundation
    The proposed budget for NSF is just 2.4% above last year for a total of $5.6 billion. This barely keeps pace with inflation. Most disturbing is the cut to education programs. This budget actually cuts education programs by 12%. Research is increased by just over 2% - which barely keeps pace with inflation. Yet, salaries and expenses goes up by 22%, and Major equipment goes up by 44%.
  83. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    both machines are crammed with RAM, so it's not that perceptible, except in terms of graphics rendering and multi-window handling.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  84. Re:NEWSSHOCK: Sales below expectation 50% of time! by aevans · · Score: 1

    That's because the "expected" increase was expected. Tough to understand, I know, but if the market thinks the value of a share of stock will be worth 6.8% more than it was last quarter, and then it turns out to be worth only 5.7% more, then people have overpaid. To put it another way. Last year a bushel of apples cost $10. For some reason you expect them to sell at $10.68 this year, and invest accordingly. If it turns out that you can only sell your bushel at $10.57, you have 11 cents less than you thought. You've determined that you need a $0.10 per bushel profit margin in order for your business venture to break even. That means you're losing a penny per bushel to haul the apples from the farm to the market. Why would you be happy doing that?

  85. Re:never even touched a computer that fast by Bastian · · Score: 1

    My desktop at home is a 700MHz P3. The graphics card (Voodoo3) rather sucks, but otherwise I've never seen a thing that makes me feel that my computer is outdated. It does everything it did when I bought it sometime last millenium that it does now, and it does it all just as fast - that is to say, almost instantaneously as long as I'm not compiling a kernel or something.

    My laptop is a TiBook G4, 867MHz. Similar situation. My computer at work is a 2GHz G5, and the biggest difference I notice between the two is that at work I get about 2.36 seconds less time to read Slashdot while I'm waiting for something to compile - and that's if I have predictive compilation turned off.

    At this rate, my plans for my computers are about the same as my plans for my car - I'll get a new one when the old one disintegrates or explodes or something. In my mind, buying a new computer or car would be functionally equivalent to cashing out my checking account and throwing it all in the fireplace.

    But then, I'm not a PC gamer. (Nor do I want to be - I can afford to go out and have a few drinks with real human beings more often than my PC gaming friends.)

  86. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    You are fucking dense, aren't you? Steadfastly refusing to see his (very logical and true) point.

  87. They'll sell lots of "personal computers" . . . by Ph33r+th3+g(O)at · · Score: 2, Interesting

    . . . once it's impossible to access any legitimate "premium content" without a machine with a Fritz chip. With Dell, Apple, AMD, Intel, and Microsoft all onboard, and people wanting to watch new movies on their game consoles/DVD players/online banking terminals, there should be plenty o' sales all around once Vista arrives.

    --
    I too have felt the cold finger of injustice.
  88. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by Firehed · · Score: 1

    Not having a connection that can saturate your new in-built gigabit LAN socket doesn't mean the connection sucks. At least in the USA, you're going to need a computer in the sub-100MHz range before something out-bottlenecks the internet connection. Unless you've got the cash to burn for an at-home connection over a T3, the net connection will be the limiting factor. I've got 4Mbit which I wouldn't consider slow (in fact within the US, it's on the faster side of residential connections), but it's still a massive bottleneck for even computers predating a 10/100Mbit card.

    Of course, those odd rendering bits will come a bit faster on a new machine, but unless you're on a flash-heavy page or doing a lot of Java stuff, the difference will be mostly negligable since the data still isn't being spit out fast enough.

    So given your examples, I'm going to assume you DO live in a lucky area that gets LAN-speed home internet connections.

    --
    How are sites slashdotted when nobody reads TFAs?
  89. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by Danga · · Score: 4, Informative

    It's not a PC. PCs care about that stuff. Macs just work.

    A firewire connection to the cable modem won't make a difference so I don't know why you keep mentioning it, any PC that has a network card for the last 10 years had at least a 10 Mbps card if not a 10/100 Mbps card which both will max out the cable modems downstream just as much as a firewire connection would. Cable ISPs just don't provide the bandwidth for a firewire connection to have ANY advantage. Firewire was great for bandwidth intensive devices before USB 2.0, but now that USB 2.0 is the norm firewire is just about pointless and I hope it disappears fast and we just have one standard port.

    Switching to the Mac mini - same basic firewire, same cable modem.
    No perceptible difference.


    Comparing an 8 year old PC to a PC now on non CPU intensive sites will give you "No perceptible difference." as well as long as both machines aren't bogged down by spyware/adware. Trying both PC/Mac setups on CPU intensive sites will most definitely have the newer machines performing much better.

    Anyway, you can keep paying extra money for your Macs and thinking they are the greatest things on Earth, I will keep spending my money on much cheaper hardware which has always been easier/cheaper to upgrade/custum build my own computer myself (I have heard Macs are getting better in this area, but I do not know for sure) and also "just work". I also don't have the pompousness that a lot of Mac owners (such as you) have which I think is much preferable.

    --
    Hey, there is only one Return and it's not of the King, it's of the Jedi.
  90. mod parent up FUNNY by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ahahahahahahaha

  91. Why upgrade indeed by Skeith · · Score: 1

    Average joe doesn't see a need to upgrade, his computer surfs the web just fine
    Linux joe doesn't need to upgrade either

    The only people who aggressively upgrade computers now are gamers, even then its a once per 6 month upgrade at least. Most gamers live with the same rigs for a year or more.

  92. Re:More popular than PCs: Killing Iraqis. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Uh oh, someone else has been listening to bullshit again. Iraq is safer than Atlanta and many other US cities now, as well as many other countries like Jamaica. If you want to be pissed at Bush, be pissed that he's been more successful decreasing violence in Iraq than at home.

  93. Glass typewriters don't need vast power by dbIII · · Score: 1
    These days, i find the average home PC for Average Joe Family need no more than a >2Ghz CPU, = 1GB RAM, ~80GB, GeForce 6200 or the likes. This computer would handle Word Processing, Internet Browsing, email
    My work PC was purchased six years ago and is 600MHz and 512MB, and runs cluster monitoring software (ganglia), a web server, two copies of X (one for people to VNC in and look at 30 gkrellm monitors) plus mozilla, openoffice, acrobat reader and a pile of terminal windows - some of them Eterms with transparent windows, all at a decent speed. It was a spare I pressed into service in a hurry last year after my previous and much faster work PC died - and apart from openoffice and acrobat being slow to start it works as well as a faster machine. Budget is not an issue, I just haven't bothered to upgrade to a newer board, processor and memory becuase I don't need it yet - so I can see exactly why home computers are not being upgraded if people are not doing anything with video or large images.

    My home computer is many times faster than that and 64 bit - transcode needs all the CPU cycles it can get as do some games.

  94. Build shitier software by gelfling · · Score: 1

    Otherwise there's no rational excuse to get a new machine. What do they actually do more or new than last year's model? Nothing Last year's PC do as much as this years and this years machines are all first time sales not replacements. Such as kids going off to college, etc. But if Microsoft would just build shittier software, ever more bloated, slow and crashtastic then we'll surely have to go out and buy all new hardware.

  95. Re:More popular than PCs: Killing Iraqis. by koreth · · Score: 1

    Feeding the troll, perhaps, but if by "most of their money" you mean less than 1% of gross domestic product, then perhaps you would care to explain your innovative new system of mathematics to the rest of us.

  96. Or could it all just be because... by hullabalucination · · Score: 1

    ...the U.S. and the rest of the world is following Japan's lead?

    (July 5, 2006 article at InfoWorld): The number of Internet users in Japan accessing from cell phones exceeded those using it from personal computers in 2005, according to a government report published Tuesday.

    * * * * * *

    Either this man is dead or my watch has stopped.
    --Groucho Marx

  97. Apple Price War by Nom+du+Keyboard · · Score: 1
    Apple Price War

    Steve Jobs goes along into a room surrounded by mirrors and beats himself up.

    --
    "It's the height of ridiculousness to say for those 9 lines you get hundreds of millions."
  98. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    OMFG, I cannot tell you how aggravating it is to explain to your parents that it's
    a.) not your fault that they cannot connect to a high-traffic website
    b.) you cannot fix their website because it's somewhere else 100s of miles away

    People just assume the Internet is some commerical entity and do not understand how
    basic networking principles work.

  99. hang tough bro by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I was in the same boat until last week, when I finally got a high speed wireless connection out here in the boondocks. The tech is here now, eventually we'll pretty much all have something approaching at least reasonable high speed. WiMax is gonna set the ISP biz on it's ass bigtime, those cable and telco guys are gonna be hard pressed to keep customers without dropping prices radically and rolling out new copper or fiber. Even then it still won't be cost comparable to wireless, so look there for some solutions. It's a cinch without incentive the monopolists don't give a crap about rural dialup customers, and neither does the government. I got mine from a startup small scale mom and pop operation, MAN what a difference a good connection makes!

  100. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by pammon · · Score: 1

    but now that USB 2.0 is the norm firewire is just about pointless and I hope it disappears fast

    Firewire is much smarter, faster, more featureful, and less CPU intensive than USB 2. Why do you want superior technology to "disappear fast?" Is it because it's more expensive?

    I will keep spending my money on much cheaper hardware

    Guess so!

  101. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by Danga · · Score: 1

    Um, listen kid, take your fanboyism somewhere else.
    I am not a "fan boy", so shut your mouth AC, I stated facts.

    He mentioned Firewire because the initial iMac design didn't come with Firewire. Specifying it had Firewire was a way of pointing out that his iMac was one of the newer (and substantially faster) designs. If you had been a real geek and not a fanboy you would know this.

    Both of his posts related to how internet was not perceivably faster on his old Mac vs. his new Mac so by him mentioning firewire on both served no other purpose than to claim the firewire had something to do with it. I doubted a cable modem ever had a firewire port but since I know many of them have USB ports I wouldn't have been suprised if some did have firewire ports, so thats why I wrongly assumed he may actually own one that did have a firewire port. I also have heard of "IP over firewire" so possibly he thought if he had that setup (one Mac connected to the modem and then shared to the other Mac's via firewire) that that may make the internet faster compared to a normal ethernet connection even though the real limit is the ISP's downstream cap.

    CPU intensive sites? Holy crap, what sites are you visiting? Flash is not CPU intensive.

    Flash can be CPU intensive, but nothing like streaming video, try sites with streaming video on an 8 year old machine and compare it to a top of the line machine and then get back to me. Some myspace pages also bring my computer to a crawl, webpages are not universally fast as you imply.

    Basically you need to shut your mouth for a while and start learning, otherwise you're just going to continue to look like a schmuck. Yes, I'm sure the elitist fanboys you hang out with eat it up every time you repeat the same misinformation you've told each other countless times before, but you know what - they're also schmucks. Be very careful about what information you put into your head, because sometimes it's hard to get that information out.

    Everything I stated was correct, based on the moderation of my post I do not think I look like a scmuck. Also, what "misinformation" was I spewing out? I think you need to take that last sentence of your post and follow it yourself.

    --
    Hey, there is only one Return and it's not of the King, it's of the Jedi.
  102. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by Achromatic1978 · · Score: 1

    Mind you, in Australia you're starting to see cases where the cable modem is the bottleneck, too - some people have older cable modems, and one of the big ISPs has recently released a package which doubles your downlink from 8mbps to 17mbps. So you start mandating a decent 100mbps card, and 54/108mbps wireless if you have a home wireless LAN like me.

  103. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by jafac · · Score: 1

    We hit this limit in the mid 90's as well, between "shotgun" 256k modems, and the very early beginnings of DSL. Before broadband adoption.

    When broadband arrived, and Napster became a very useful tool all of a sudden - there was a sharp revival in PC sales. Until the guv shut Napster down, of course. That was when, children? 1999-ish? dot-bomb?

    --

    These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
  104. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by Danga · · Score: 1

    What relevant gains does firewire have that justifies its higher cost over USB 2.0 for the average consumer? Firewire is superior to USB 2.0 but unless you are using all external devices and doing a whole lot of digital video editing or other activity that needs large amounts of bandwidth then the extra cost versus the performance gained is not worth it. Most people just need to transfer a few hundred megs (not gigs, although USB 2.0 still is not shabby at doing that either) of data or hook up an external CD/DVD burner and paying extra for a firewire connection is pointless for them, there will be almost no performance gain.

    I think one port as the standard, being USB 2.0, which is "good enough" and cheaper is much better than having firewire ports as the standard. USB already has many more devices in the market versus firewire. Does a mouse need a firewire connection?

    --
    Hey, there is only one Return and it's not of the King, it's of the Jedi.
  105. It's the business cycle, stupid. by AWhistler · · Score: 1

    This thing happens every few years. There are a few years of growth in the PC industry, then doom and gloom for a year or two. Why? 'cause lots of people buy PC's and don't need another for a few years. Then we hear news reports about high tech is dying....again. Next year there will be news reports saying that analysts are forecasting a boom for the PC market in 2008 (maybe Christmas 2007).

  106. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by dangitman · · Score: 2, Interesting
    What the hell are you going to connect your Digital Video camera to? You don't have to so a LOT of video stuff to appreciate Firewire, you just have to do ANY video work. Try getting a consumer video camera user to set up their camera with that "USB streaming" shit, and see how quickly they become frustrated. It often just fails to work, or at minimum, needs a bunch of stupid drivers. And even if you can get it working, the performance sucks. Most people would gladly pay more just for the convenience of being able to use Firewire and have their camera work properly with their computer. Most people's time is valuable - and the time spent fucking around with USB for video costs a lot more than a slight price difference - which is so minimal as to be laughable.

    Also consider that USB is a shared interface - you don't want all your other USB gear interfering with high bandwidth tasks.

    This is not hypothetical - I have helped many people with this conundrum, because stupidly, most consumer cameras today come with a Firewire port, but not a firewire cable. As soon as I tell them to buy a $5 firewire cable, or a $20 Firewire card, their frustration disappears, and is replaced with happiness and productivity.

    --
    ... and then they built the supercollider.
  107. "Iraq is safer than Atlanta" ??? by Futurepower(R) · · Score: 1

    "Iraq is safer than Atlanta"

    Wow. There's a statement.

  108. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by Danga · · Score: 1, Offtopic

    What the hell are you going to connect your Digital Video camera to?... Try getting a consumer video camera user to set up their camera with that "USB streaming" shit, and see how quickly they become frustrated. It often just fails to work, or at minimum, needs a bunch of stupid drivers.

    I mentioned that firewire was superior for DV in my post. Anyway having a camera's USB 2.0 interface not work correctly is the manufacturers fault, not the interfaces fault. I also have hooked up many video cameras using the USB interface and they ALL worked just by plugging them in. To the OS's I use it just appeared as another removable hard disk, it was FAR from painful to get it working.

    And even if you can get it working, the performance sucks.
    If by "sucks" you mean takes a minimal amount of time more to copy the video off then you are correct. However if it only takes a minute or two longer to transfer the video using USB 2.0 people WON'T CARE or NOTICE.

    Also consider that USB is a shared interface - you don't want all your other USB gear interfering with high bandwidth tasks.

    Ok, I would bet 99% of users only have one device saturating the USB 2.0 interface at a time, so because it is shared is not a big hinderance. Most people hook up their iPod and transfer music to it or hook up their camera and transfer the video off of it, but rarely do they do anything else that is bandwidth intensive at the same time. I don't think my mouse/keyboard/UPS/etc that share the USB connection will be affected, even if I was burning a CD/DVD I would be fine (I have done this many times).

    Firewire is not bad, but it just does not have the market share that USB already has or the price advantage and that is why USB is the better choice and will win out in the end.

    --
    Hey, there is only one Return and it's not of the King, it's of the Jedi.
  109. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by Kadin2048 · · Score: 1

    Yeah but the problem is, in most residential areas in the U.S., very few people have connections sufficently fast that their computer can't render the incoming data as fast as it can come in. (Some exceptions -- loading a Java VM for the first time can be really painful on old hardware, and some heavy Javascript probably is as well.)

    But most residential broadband connections are, what, between 1 and 3 Mb/s? I'm pretty sure even a crappy $500 "Blue Light Special" from K-Mart, before it gets bogged down with spyware, can probably work fast enough to make a 3Mb pipe the bottleneck if it has enough RAM that it's not constantly swapping.

    So while I definitely see your point and accept its validity, I think for most people, their internet connection is definitely the bottleneck. If you live somewhere you can get a connection that's fast enough so that your computer is the slowest link, kudos -- but I know that's definitely not the case for most of us.

    I used a 400MHz computer up until about six months ago, when I upgraded because I started doing some heavy compressed-DV stuff, and my browsing hasn't noticably changed. The browser launches a heck of a lot faster, but actually browsing web pages is about the same as always on most sites.

    --
    "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
  110. and that should make... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...the CEOs outsource even more!

  111. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by generic-man · · Score: 1

    Flash Player for Mac OS X/PPC is notoriously slow. I've seen Flash animations that crawl on Safari when they run superbly on a supposedly-slower x86 computer. Even the poor-quality streaming video everyone watches in Flash requires a lot of CPU power to churn through.

    --
    For more information, click here.
  112. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by Fmuctohekerr · · Score: 1
    Relax, dude. I, myself, did notice a huge difference when I upgraded my 486 to 32 megs from 16 megs... in 1996. Now, I gave my parents an old PC I bought like in 1999 and it "runs the internet" (broadband) just as fast as my dual athalon with a gig of RAM. I think that's the point that's being made here and it seems pretty logical to me, as well. His eight-year-old mac "runs the internet" just as fast as his new one. And he said that he does in fact have high speed access.

    His point: Anecdotaly, I can confirm that most people won't need to purchase a new machine if their primary use is browsing the web and email. I have high-speed internet and two machines. One is eight years old and one is new. I cannot tell much of a difference between the two. And I have no idea why this other chap is insisting that I have a bad internet connection.

    Get it?

  113. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by soft_guy · · Score: 1

    What kind of iMac? What kind of mini?

    I notice real differences between a G4 mini and an Intel Core Duo mini for the work I do (i.e. the product I am developing - I use the minis for test.) The Core Duo mini performs as well as my dual proc Power Mac G5 - the G4 minis are very sluggish at the same task, although they do basically work.

    OTOH, I have an old titanium G4 PowerBook that I am still perfectly happy with. I think I can get another year out of it before I buy a MacBook Pro. Maybe by then, they will have most of the issues worked out.

    --
    Avoid Missing Ball for High Score
  114. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by Golias · · Score: 1

    What relevant gains does firewire have that justifies its higher cost over USB 2.0 for the average consumer? Firewire is superior to USB 2.0 but unless you are using all external devices and doing a whole lot of digital video editing or other activity that needs large amounts of bandwidth then the extra cost versus the performance gained is not worth it.

    You just answered your own question. Firewire is superior and better for handling lots of external devices and digital video editing.

    You might fire back by saying that an "average consumer" doesn't do digital A/V editing, but an "average Mac consumer" most certainly does. That's why iMovie, iDVD, and Garageband comes with every Mac.

    --

    Information wants to be anthropomorphized.

  115. Upgrading is more cost-effective... by Hymer · · Score: 1
    When the increase of power is less than 10% then nobody sane will buy a new PC...
    you can get the same increase by :
    • changing (or adding the graphics card
    • buying more RAM
    • changing (or adding) a CPU
    • changing the harddrive
    • finetune your OS
    ...and a PC system can usually be overclocked by 15% safely.
  116. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by RzUpAnmsCwrds · · Score: 1

    My university (the University of Colorado) has 100Mbps to every desk - but it really doesn't make a difference. The performance of your connection isn't just dependent on line speed - at some point, the network is oversubscribed, and it's that figure that often plays a role.

    Other than when I access Akamai sites (CU has a local mirror) and other university networks, I really can't tell any difference between my 6Mbps Comcast connection and the "100Mbps" connection at CU.

  117. Look outside of tech for the answer by Zhe+Mappel · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Vista? iPod effect? Come on, that's too nerdy to matter. Slowing PC sales have to do with tightening purse strings.

    Everybody knows the obvious reasons (e.g., gas prices, interest rates, outsourcing), but the lurking fat girl ready to jump out of the cake and start farting up a storm is home equity borrowing.

    Under Bush, you borrowed against your fast-appreciating home as fast as you could. Then you went out and bought crap.

    That money's spent (though usually still owed). Unhappily for those counting on the "home ATM" to work forever, there's a glut of homes and condos nobody wants and that owners can't sell. Speculation is rife, values have ballooned beyond the reach of most buyers and new building is continuing like a bad thyroid problem: this will lead to declining values. The WSJ observed a plateauing in new equity borrowing back in March; just wait. There's more signs of the hard landing ahead today at WSJ.com, where it's argued that "the current slowdown in homes sales is more profound that many had first thought," along with mounting fears of recession.

    Under mountains of debt and delusion many Americans are going to learn to live within their means, which will be reduced by the reckless choices--financial and political--made in this decade. Obviously, that means fewer new Dells and Apples among other things. Anyone looking for good prices on systems might want to wait for the foreclosure sales in McMansion land--lightly used, you know, just a little porn and Rush Limbaugh. ;-)

    1. Re:Look outside of tech for the answer by ce33na66 · · Score: 1

      Way to go!

  118. Re:More popular than PCs: Killing Iraqis. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    > Feeding the troll, perhaps, but if by "most of their money" you mean less than 1% of gross domestic product, then perhaps you would care to explain your innovative new system of mathematics to the rest of us.

    Your link there is out of date, we've spent quite a deal more since 2004. I think the only fair way to say we spend 'most' of our money on the war(s) is if you look at the $200 billion we've spent so far in additional appropriations above and beyond the general military expenditure over that same period. It's widely known that our "defense" budget commands the lion's share of the budget each year (~20-30%, only now reaching parity with 'social security').

    A fun way to look at the numbers is a http://costofwar.com/.

  119. Re:Dial-up Internet looks the same on my AMD 64 38 by dynamo52 · · Score: 1

    There is always satellite, but you're going to pay for it.

    --
    Like this comment? I accept Bitcoin! - 153sc8UUBXyp12ofQqfAWDmJrzyiKCYC1x
  120. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by pammon · · Score: 1

    What relevant gains does firewire have that justifies its higher cost over USB 2.0 for the average consumer?

    I didn't realize that was the criteria. Is everything YOU use something that the "average consumer" needs?

    I think one port as the standard, being USB 2.0, which is "good enough" and cheaper is much better than having firewire ports as the standard

    Bizarre dichotomy. I have both and I'm glad of it. I don't understand why a person that wants to "custum build my own computer myself" would be in favor of fewer choices.

  121. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by drsquare · · Score: 1
    Even if most people did have such fast connections, as claimed to exist in other countries, what killer applications are there that would use all that fantastic speed.


    Porn
    Illegal football videos
    Applications
    Funny foreign commercials
    MP3s
    Streaming radio/tv
  122. The wall by Kamiusd · · Score: 1

    Really, there just isn't any reason to Upgrade for most people. I'm still running a Amd Xp 2200 it does everything I do on a daily basis. I mean most people with the exception of very highend gamers are in the same boat. A large majority of people surf the net with a little light game playing thrown in. The truth is how is that shiney new computer gonna change the way you use OpenOffice or any of the other productivity stuff you use. Matter a fact the most popular online game World of Warcraft has fairly low hardware requirements. I mean I can play Oblivion on my Pc right now it's really hardware intensive and yeah I have to turn alot of stuff down but, it still looks good and runs smooth. Most likely the next time you will see a spike in growth is when Vista has been out a while. Most windows users I know tend to wait out the launch. As it is though when people begin adopting Vista I'm sure alot of us will re-evaluate our current rigs. Until that happens I'm just gonna peep over the wall and look at the new goodies shipping everyday that really won't affect they way I use my computer today.

  123. "Gross Domestic Product" is the turnover... by Futurepower(R) · · Score: 1

    They are taking advantage of your lack of understanding. "Gross Domestic Product" is the turnover of all the money for one year. So, if all the money changed hands 100 times in one year, on average, 1% of the Gross Domestic Product would be all the money. Money doesn't change hands that fast, of course.

  124. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by briancnorton · · Score: 1
    "It's not a PC. PCs care about that stuff. Macs just work."

    Not to start a flamewar, but when was it decided that Macs "Just work?" Back when I had macs, I had nothing but problems. The hardware felt well constructed, but cheap plastic kept breaking. Connecting peripherals was great as long as you bought the peripheral from Apple's 2 or 3 preferred models. Most of the software worked most of the time, but perhaps I was expecting more than is realistic.

    --

    People who think they know everything really piss off those of us that actually do.

  125. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Not to start a flamewar, but when was it decided that Macs "Just work?"

    You have to understand that Apple fans are very well trained, to the point that they accept Apple marketing slogans as if they were simple statements of truth. These people deserve our compassion; many of them can still be helped.

  126. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by dangitman · · Score: 2, Informative
    Anyway having a camera's USB 2.0 interface not work correctly is the manufacturers fault, not the interfaces fault.

    So what? It's still a problem in the real world, that isn't a problem with Firewire.

    I also have hooked up many video cameras using the USB interface and they ALL worked just by plugging them in. To the OS's I use it just appeared as another removable hard disk, it was FAR from painful to get it working.

    I suspect you might be talking about those crappy low-res videos stored on a memory stick, or otherwise you are lying. The video is stored on a digital video tape. The video tape does NOT work like a hard-drive. You have to play back the footage in real-time to get a proper copy. How exactly does that work if the camera is seen simply as a USB mass storage device?

    If by "sucks" you mean takes a minimal amount of time more to copy the video off then you are correct. However if it only takes a minute or two longer to transfer the video using USB 2.0 people WON'T CARE or NOTICE

    By "sucks" I mean that "USB streaming" reduces the quality of the video. If it takes any longer than real-time, then frames must dropped, which is a big no-no for video. Consumers aren't going to be happy with stuttering video, or lower quality.

    Ok, I would bet 99% of users only have one device saturating the USB 2.0 interface at a time, so because it is shared is not a big hinderance. Most people hook up their iPod and transfer music to it or hook up their camera and transfer the video off of it, but rarely do they do anything else that is bandwidth intensive at the same time.

    Again, you show your lack of understanding. Transferring stuff to an iPod is tranferring files - it doesn't have to be real-time, and can deal with interruptions. You don't have to saturate your connection to drop frames in DV transfer. A small interferance can screw the whole transfer process. Transferring full-quality DV footage is not the same as transferring files from a hard-drive or memory stick. You have to capture every frame at full resolution the moment it is played back over the connection.

    You appear to be under the illusion that the crappy footage recorded in "memory stick mode" or one of those garbage MPEG-2 recording disc recorders is the same as real DV footage from a tape. Most people want to use the full quality that their video camera has to offer. USB compromises this.

    Firewire is not bad, but it just does not have the market share that USB already has or the price advantage and that is why USB is the better choice and will win out in the end.

    That does not make any sense. Why does market share make any difference to the functionality of something? Who would be so stupid as to choose something based on marketshare? It is also inaccurate. Firewire is on 100% of decent DV cameras, and on the majority of today's computers.

    The price difference also does not make sense, as we are talking a few cents on some quite expensive equipment. It's not very smart to compromise quality or convenience to save a few cents. Far more money would be saved by eliminating legacy interfaces that are still common, and far more money is saved by reducing frustration and increasing productivity.

    The idea of "winning out" is inane. Use the best tool for the job. It's not a competition.

    --
    ... and then they built the supercollider.
  127. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A PC from 8 years ago? In the best case, that's probably a Pentium II with at most 450MHz. Using such a slow computer for any webbrowsing at all, even with Firefox can only be described as slow, and as soon as you open more than just a few tabs, it becomes outright glacial. There's no way mistaking the 400MHz workstation I use at home with my 2GHz notebook (both have 1G ram, and the workstation even has a latest generation 10krpm disk) from work, even for such trivial tasks as browsing slashdot. The difference is like night and day.

  128. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by MattPat · · Score: 1

    Of course, let's be clear: it is a pompousness that many Mac users seem to have, (which I agree with) but not all.

    I may be wrong, I don't see myself from the outside the way others do, but while I think I push that Macs are technically superior (which, in many cases, they are by virtue of operating system, not hardware), I'm not a stranger to acknowledging the things PCs do well (gaming, customizability, etc.). Besides, if I do have any pompousness, it's in computers only, not everyday life. In fact, one of the genuinely nicest people I know is a Mac user, with no side effects. (Now my Mac-using former math teacher... that's another story entirely, which makes him one of the "many").

    \joke{Now quit trying to force your erroneous PC-user logic on us and accept the facts: no one listens to PC users anymore.}

    (Please note the TeX-style joke ;))

  129. Platform flame games! by IdahoEv · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Anyway, you can keep paying extra money for your Macs and thinking they are the greatest things on Earth, I will keep spending my money on much cheaper hardware which has always been easier/cheaper to upgrade/custum build my own computer myself (I have heard Macs are getting better in this area, but I do not know for sure) and also "just work". I also don't have the pompousness that a lot of Mac owners (such as you) have which I think is much preferable.

    Wow, a good old-fashioned platform flame war. I love it! I'll chip in.

    As a freelance developer (LAMP and Java), I have both macs and wintel boxes at my desk, plus intel-based linux servers in the basement. I think all the platforms can be made to be perfectly functional development machines, but there are drawbacks. For me:

    1) The mac os is imho cleaner and more stable, faster to navigate files and easier to maintain. I spend less time doing technical support for my own mac than for my own PC by a large margin.

    2) Despite the hype, software support for the Mac is still not as good. Office for Mac is buggy as all get out. Bugs are far more rampant in Eclipse when running it on Windows. Guides for simple things like installing MySQL are harder to find. These are all basically because the platform has fewer users, so problems with 3rd-party code are not addressed quickly. I regularly run into 3rd-party apps with no mac equivalent, like the software for my Garmin Forerunner GPS system.

    3) The mac interacts with linux and LAMP infinitely better. Out of the box it has a shell, Apache, ssh, sshd, and most of the basic stuff you'd expect from a trim linux distro. I use a cron job and rsync to back up my mac filesystem to a linux server; this took about 30 seconds to set up. This makes it a much better environment than windows when developing LAMP applications.

    4) Linux has no Adobe suite. For me, that's death on the desktop; I use Photoshop and Acrobat pro daily, plus Illustrator at least 2-3 times/wk. But it's great for servers, I've got a posse of them.

    For me, #3 and #1 outweigh #2 so I use the mac for most of my daily work and use the Win PC for compatibility testing. There are certainly days when I curse that Eclipse/mac doesn't work right, though. (Subversion integration doesn't work right on the mac in either Eclipse *or* Zend Studio ... grrr!)

    Other item ... the most common reason I hear for PC's around /. is "I can build them myself / I can upgrade them". Anyone who really believes this doesn't work for a living, or can't do simple math. I built my last PC, saving approximately $250 over a comparable Dell. I will NEVER do that again. It took two days to get it working right, with a delay in between while I returned the RAM for a different brand with slightly different parameters. I bill my time at $100/hour. The time lost getting it working right cost me around $2500, enough to buy a new Dell AND a new Mac.

    Meanwhile, any machine (including a mac) is trivially upgradable with RAM and disk space. Hell, because of the gorgeous case design memory and storage upgrades are easier on a Mac.

    But by the time you'd want to upgrade anything else, there will be a new CPU you need that requires a different socket, a new graphics card that requires a different bus (PCI,AGP 2x,4x,8x,16x,PCI-X,PCI-E) a faster type of RAM, and the memory throughput of your old mobo won't be satisfactory. You'll need a whole new system anyway - "upgradability" is pretty useless IMHO. All you can save yourself is a $50 case and PSU. Big whoop. Maybe you can keep your old HD for a while, but if you do important work you really want to replace your HD's every 2-3 years anyway.

    --
    I stole this sig from someone cleverer than me.
    1. Re:Platform flame games! by IdahoEv · · Score: 1

      Oops, typo.
      Bugs are far more rampant in Eclipse when running it on Windows.

      Should have said: "Bugs are far more rampant in Eclipse than when running it on Windows."

      --
      I stole this sig from someone cleverer than me.
    2. Re:Platform flame games! by SheldonW · · Score: 1

      I'll join as well.

      Having started with MSDOS in 1984, running a BBS from 1990-1994 (A No B.S. BBS) and building PCs for a living from 1993-1996 (Royal Computers - Houston, Tx) and now switching to a Mac in 2005 - I can say my time is worth my money. My first few weeks with my Mac were boring and annoying. I was so used to spending time keeping my Dell optimized, updated, adware, malware and virus free that I felt like I had nothing to do on my Mac. I used to approach my Dell with the purpose of maintenance. A computer user should never have to say "I going to go home, reformat and get my PC running smooth again..." In a year, I have done no more than run the software updates for my Mac.
       
      I have to second the upgrading issue. Since about 1997, every time I go to upgrade more than RAM or the hard drive on a PC I have to buy all new components anyway. Upgrading is no longer a benefit of PC.

      Without including the money (Norton, Ulead Video, Toast, Firewire card, etc) and time (Maintenance, malware removal, maintenance, etc.) I spent on my Dell - my Mac was still cheaper. I gave the Dell to my girlfriend. After maintaining that PC for a year for her - Well, she now owns a MacBook.

      I'm not pompous - but I'll sit you down with my Mac and a brief tour and you'll consider switching.

    3. Re:Platform flame games! by Reziac · · Score: 1
      ...the most common reason I hear for PC's around /. is "I can build them myself / I can upgrade them". Anyone who really believes this doesn't work for a living, or can't do simple math. I built my last PC, saving approximately $250 over a comparable Dell. I will NEVER do that again. It took two days to get it working right...

      And I always wonder when I see a comment like that... how the heck do some people manage to make a simple job so difficult??

      I routinely build complete machines from random and salvaged parts (ie. where no one has even bothered to shop for "compatible" components), and I *never* have anywhere near that much trouble... in fact, most typically I plug in any handy parts until I have a complete PC, throw an OS and close-enough drivers at it, and everything works first time around.

      I also deal with a lot of OEM machines, and they are uniformly more trouble -- more likely to have driver issues, more likely to suffer from quirks and/or partial failures that are difficult to isolate, etc. Gateways and eMachines can generally be fixed or beaten into submission (but they are also the most clone-like of the OEMs) tho Gateways often reject their own drivers. But Dells and HPs, and worst of all IBMs and Compaqs, are just not worth the trouble.

      I've come to regard OEM machines as disposable, because they are so much more likely to exhibit issues that can't be fixed, thus their lifespan is typically so much shorter than that of the equivalent clone. And out of *all* PC components from any source, OEM-system motherboards are the single part most likely to fail.

      BTW I'm writing this on a machine that started life in 1994 as a 486 and has been through two major upgrades. It is now a P3, but still has its original case, PSU, floppies, and 2nd sound card. :)

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
  130. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

    If you're using an external drive and playing a game or doing anything else CPU AND hard drive intensive you'll definitely appreciate Firewire.

    USB is great for mice and keyboards. USB 2 is okay for memory sticks and things. Firewire is VERY nice for hard drives, video cameras, things like that. Does having the option of a higher performance port available for people who need or want it hurt you? You know you can get a Firewire card for about $20 right?

  131. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

    That means you're not running enough bittorrent downloads in the background. ;)

    Are you sure you have a decent connection to the rest of the Internet? I used to have fibre to my desktop running gigabit ethernet but the network was connected to the Internet through something WAY smaller.

  132. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Flash in Windows/Opera and Windows/Firefox isn't that fast, either. People think the Mac is "a lot slower" because they compare with Internet Explorer which has Flash running via ActiveX or something (direct OS hooks).

  133. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by Danga · · Score: 1

    If you're using an external drive and playing a game or doing anything else CPU AND hard drive intensive you'll definitely appreciate Firewire.

    I put all of my games and other software that are HD intensive onto one of my 3 internal SATA drives, I don't see a need to put stuff like that on an external drive. My external HD's are mainly only used for the storage of movies, music, and other files that I may want to be portable. Even so I have had great experience burning off ISO's on my external USB 2.0 drive while watching high definition video that was stored on the same drive while also downloading torrents onto the same drive. Sure, with firewire it may have done the job more efficiently but I did not notice any performance problems so USB 2.0 does the job fine for me.

    Does having the option of a higher performance port available for people who need or want it hurt you? You know you can get a Firewire card for about $20 right?

    No, it does not hurt me and I don't think having it available is a horrible thing, I just think it would make life easier for the average user if there was one standardized port that did everything. Then there would not be the confusion when a new device is purchased about how to attach it to the computer, they would just plug it into one of available ports since they would all be the same. I would much rather have a computer with 12 standard ports than something that must be split up between 2 or more types of ports, it is a limiting factor is all that I am saying. It is also a pain when purchasing devices because if you want firewire a lot of times there is a higher price that must be paid for it, if everything just needed to support one type of port things would be much easier and cheaper.

    Firewire is great and is superior to USB 2.0 and if it was cheaper and had the market share that USB has then I would be all for it being the standard, but that is not the case and that is why I think USB should be the standard. Computer life would just be easier and more enjoyable for everyone.

    --
    Hey, there is only one Return and it's not of the King, it's of the Jedi.
  134. Vomiting FUD by Foofoobar · · Score: 1

    With every effect turned out and it runs well? Now I know youre full of shit. Even Microsoft says that Aero needs 1 GB of RAM to run WELL. Nice try at fud though. Next time at least check the reviews and read the stats before trying to pull FUD out of your ass. Maybe then it might be believable... especially if you can match what Microsoft states about their own product.

    --
    This is my sig. There are many like it but this one is mine.
    1. Re:Vomiting FUD by edflyerssn007 · · Score: 1

      He's probably not talking fud. Btw, It's called "glass." And since most of the graphics work is being offloaded to the graphics card it probably is as responsive as he says, because the CPU is now not being tasked with drawing the desktop, as it was in XP. I'm sure MS numbers are there by marketing to increase sales of hardware.

      -ed

      --
      So you see what had happened was....
  135. Look around my house by ce33na66 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    There are currently seven functioning computers around my house. Three Ubuntu desktops, one freessco box, one headless XP machine, a wireless XP laptop and a wireless Ubuntu laptop that absolutely rocks.

    My personal desktop is a 766Mhz celeron running Ubuntu. It does everything I feel I currently need. My son is happy playing his online games on a three year old Ubuntu machine. My wife is perfectly capable of doing anything she needs towards finishing her college degree with the remaining systems.

    The XP desktop would not even be here if it were not for my wife foolishly buying a Canon "3 in 1" printer that only works on windows.

    Think about it. My family can do anything they decide to do with what amounts to other peoples throw away machines. Most of our closer friends have come to us when they felt that they needed new computers. If they were ready for linux, we put them on the favorite linux distro at that time (currently Ubuntu). If they were not ready for linux, we set them up with a 98lite gutted version of ME (don't laugh, its a pretty slick little system if you go the "micro" route). They are all still running along happily with no major complaints.

    I've been doing my part to stop this mentality that says "we have to upgrade because Microsoft has a new system." The old argument about how hard it is to use anything other than Mac or Windows doesn't fly in my house. We swapped to Linux in 1995. I'm not an IT pro. I'm a steamfitter. Guys, its just not that hard.

    Even my Macintosh nazi father-in-law is beginning to question this continual upgrade cycle.

    Perhaps the rest of the community is starting to figure out that they are getting ripped off by computer and software manufacturers.

    If it isn't broke, don't fix it.

  136. No need! by Supergibbs · · Score: 1

    I used to work at a computer store and built my self a top of the line computer 2 years ago. It runs fine, I don't need to upgrade. The only software that is pushing the limits of computers these days are games.

    --
    First post! (just in case I am...)
  137. The minimum requirements support this idea by lhaeh · · Score: 1
    I was just running a Vista beta for the past month, and I can tell you that it will at least get people wanting newer video cards, if not then new computers. They rewrote the graphics subsystem so that most old drivers are crippled and won't support glass (or whatever it is called). Minimum requirements are a 128MB 3D card for it, most people don't have one of those, even if they do it might not support glass. You also need 30GB of free space to install, but this might change.

    Either way people are going to see the new shiny stuff on other's computers and want it for themselves.

  138. Re:More popular than PCs: Killing Iraqis. by JW.Axelsen.Sr. · · Score: 1
    sorry /. but i'll take another bad rating for this

    Iraq is safer than Atlanta and many other US cities now
    lemme know the next time an IED hits your minivan when you're driving down the highway. and when a helicopter gets shot out of the sky and lands on your house, gimme a call. or the next time your parents are taken prisoner and killed because of what they believe. THEN i'll agree with you.
  139. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by rahrens · · Score: 1

    "Back when I had Macs..."

    When was that? 1999? I don't wonder - with the older OS, OS 9 or older, that was often the case, because of manufcturers failing to provide drivers, and also due to apple not always adhering to standards.

    I've owned Macs since 1987, and I can state with no qualms at all that since 2000, and the advent of Mac OS X 10.2 (and to an extent, 10.3), I have had NO trouble at all using peripherals, or even standard upgrade parts such as memory, HDs, printers, scanners, PCI cards, etc. in any Mac I've owned since then.

    I work as a support professional with the Feds, supporting PCs and Micro$oft windows based software, since my agency is M$ centric, and refuses to use anything not branded M$, unless they just don't make it. I also support friends and family that have Macs, and can state without reservation that Macs are infinitely easier to support than PCs. Adding peripherals to a Mac is just as easy as plugging it in, 99% of the time. At the office, when a user wants to get a peripheral added, it usually takes a support professional to do it, and watching the support tickets, as well as doing these things myself as well, I KNOW that it is often not nearly as simple to add such peripherals to PCs. Seeing the hoops we often have to go through, and the tricks we need to know to force things to work in Windows, its no mystery to me how Apple can claim, with real honesty, that things in OS X "just work" - because they mostly do!

    I don't doubt that you may have had problems - Apple is staffed with human beings, and human systems produce products that have mostly predictable failure rates. Some people just have bad luck to get those lemons - I often read posts in this and other forums by Mac users that do have such bad luck - they take their products back to Apple under warranty, and Apple fixes or replaces those products, as such warranty allows, from what I've read. Many times, I have called Apple, sometimes months past my telephone support warranty expiration, and Apple support people have helpfully assisted me anyway. Often, I have found, that if you have recently bought a piece of software from them, even if the hardware phone support (90 days) has passed, and your question has nothing to do with that software - they'll help you with that unrelated issue anyway, if it's just a software issue and does not require hardware return or replacement.

    Your milage may vary, and if you had bad experiences with Apple, I'm sorry for it, but your experience does not necessarily extend to the experiences of all users, nor the actual operability of the Mac OS over all. By and large, Apple's systems DO just work, and they have a valid claim to market their products using that slogan.

    --
    "Money is truthful. If a man speaks of his honor, make him pay cash." Notebooks of Lazarus Long, Robert A. Heinlein
  140. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by rahrens · · Score: 1

    Yes, I've been trained - by Apple products that DO "just work"! It's called experience, and I've used Macs since 1987, and most of mine have worked for years, without problems. All of the old Macs I passed on to others after buying new Macs have been working up to 10 years after they were first purchased!

    Sorry I have to decline your kind offer of help - but as a support professional that has been trained to support Windows, I help folks like yourself every day at work, when their Windows based products DON'T!

    Have a nice day the next time you have to reformat your HD and reload Windows to rid yourself of spyware or viruses that my Mac won't run!

    --
    "Money is truthful. If a man speaks of his honor, make him pay cash." Notebooks of Lazarus Long, Robert A. Heinlein
  141. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

    Okay then, we should standardize on Firewire. It does things that USB can't do, and everything that USB can.

    Sure, YOU don't need Firewire, but there are a lot of people who do. I probably don't require it, but I certainly appreciate it.

    Right now we have two standards. For things that don't need Firewire's advantages you use USB, which is a bit cheaper and easier to implement. For more demanding tasks you use Firewire.

  142. 90% need a PC for Email/Web, got that on my celly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Plus cellphone email clients don't currently have spyware problems, upgrade problems, and most websites are now viewable through a cellphone webbrowser... soon pcs just for gaming and development?

  143. You're giving Microsoft too much credit... by argent · · Score: 1

    "Corporate/professional use just doesn't get anything more out of Vista than XP"

    You misspelled "Windows 2000", and most of the differences even between XP and NT4 are only of interest to the system administrator.

    For the end user?

    NT4 - Runs all office applications.

    Upgrade to Windows 2000 - Runs all office applications and now USB thumb drives work without calling the system administrator.

    Upgrade to Windows XP - Runs all office applications and now Bluetooth works without calling the system administrator.

    That's pretty much about it, unless you're a gamer and want to upgrade from a Sempron to an Athlon X2 without reinstalling Windows to get the multiprocessor HAL.

  144. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by jwkane · · Score: 1

    If it is a digital camera the transfer speed should be entirely irrelivent to the quality of the output. That it is possible to drop frames during a video transfer it implies that the video is being re-encoded as it transfers. With a camera design that badly screwed up, I would expect problems.

  145. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by briancnorton · · Score: 1
    I had a Mac as recently as 2 years ago. (it wasn't new then) I had OS X and it mostly worked. (the plastic was crappy though) The hardware issue for me was totally hit-or-miss. My wireless card worked fine, my epson printer did notthing. My MS mouse worked great, my digital photo frame did nothing.

    As for support, let's not pretend that computers just sit there and go. I have had a good bit of enterprise experience, and quite frankly I have never SEEN Macs deployed in such an environment. Even if you wanted to, could you? Is there a centralized management capability? Can I script software installation? Can I log in remotely? How do I handle authentication? What do I use for email, calendar, etc? I am certainly not saying that all of these things CANT be done on Apple, but just because your home mac doesn't crash when downloading songs doesn't mean that the experience scales, or that the infrastructure is there.

    --

    People who think they know everything really piss off those of us that actually do.

  146. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by dangitman · · Score: 1
    If it is a digital camera the transfer speed should be entirely irrelivent to the quality of the output. That it is possible to drop frames during a video transfer it implies that the video is being re-encoded as it transfers. With a camera design that badly screwed up, I would expect problems.

    You don't seem to understand anything about current digital video cameras. The footage is stored on tape. The tape is played back at a contant speed. It is not a random-access device like a hard-drive. This does not mean it is being re-encoded. The computer is copying the digital information. However, because the tape runs at a constant speed, you can't just ask it to stop and wait for the computer to catch up.

    In fact, you have it backwards. The "screwed up" camera designs are those which record to memory stick, hard drive, or optical disc. Those tend to compress the video to MPEG or MPEG-2 formats. Those formats are meant for presentation and playback of finished footage, not the raw capture of original footage. The DV format is much less lossy, and has a lower compression ratio than the MPEG formats. So, in order to tranfer from a memory stick as a USB mass-storage device, the quality is lowered, and you end up editing your original footage from a highly compressed display format. When you are using DV tape, you are getting much better quality and lower compression. But you can't use the tape like a hard drive - the computer needs to be able to control the camera, and have guaranteed bandwidth to capture the footage as it comes from the tape.

    Your comments about "screwed up" design really show how much you don't know about the practicalities of using video footage, and how these cameras work. Cameras from nearly a decade ago manage to store high-quality video on cheap tapes, and capture them from Firewire. Meanwhile, more modern cameras that try to use flash memory and other forms of storage sacrifice quality for the sake of working over a USB connection. Consumers get screwed if they don't understand this.

    A decade ago, the storge of flash memory, or of miniature hard-drives was not capable of storing high-quality video, but tape was. So, how do you suggest those cameras should have been designed? Are you saying that we should have gone without digital video for all these years? How would you have designed them?

    It might be a good idea to learn something about what you are talking about before commenting. That you insist that capturing from a tape must mean that there is re-encoding involved, reveals just how ignorant you are.

    --
    ... and then they built the supercollider.
  147. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Fmuctohekerr (841734)

    Anagram of motherfucker!

  148. Re:More popular than PCs: Killing Iraqis. by Fantastic+Lad · · Score: 1
    Uh oh, someone else has been listening to bullshit again. Iraq is safer than Atlanta and many other US cities now, as well as many other countries like Jamaica. If you want to be pissed at Bush, be pissed that he's been more successful decreasing violence in Iraq than at home.

    I don't even know where to start. How about. . .

    "Does your definition of 'Safe' include people with brown skin?"

    Or maybe, "When was the last time you had your door kicked in by storm troopers?"

    Or perhaps, "When you say 'violence' do you only mean the kind which doesn't wear the mark of authority and carry an automatic weapon?"

    Or maybe I should just point to ancillary items and say things like, "Shrapnel and bullets aside, I wasn't aware that Atlanta had been infused with a fine spray of depleted uranium dust."

    But maybe I'll instead just ask. . .

    "Source Please."

    And then wait indefinitely while you realize your link was scripted by the DOD or some similar body with conflicting interests not consistent with actual journalism.


    -FL

  149. ten years UK petrol price has doubled by fantomas · · Score: 1

    from the BBC: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/800040.stm - in the UK the 1995 price of gas was 53.3 pence a litre, now in 2006 its just topped 100. So we moan a little too, but realise it will keep on going up because it's a finite resource and it's running out. Small cars are popular here, they are cheaper to run when gas is 6 dollars a gallon. Not that many people actually drive cars long distances, 6 days a week it is school runs with the kids or a few miles to the shops, 30 miles each way to work, something like that. The price of gas is only going to go up and I think in the USA it will go up more rapidly as its been more highly subsidised (or lower taxed depending on your perspective) for many years than in many other countries.

  150. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by rahrens · · Score: 1

    Ah! Now we're talking enterprise?!

    Why didn't you say so?

    Sorry, I wasn't aware that we were talking about putting Macs in an enterprise environment. But, just because you have never SEEN macs deployed there, doesn't mean that they aren't. I know that there are numerous companies that have Mac environments; I've seen news reports of companies moving to Macs en mass - as well as school districts, too - indeed, whole states (albeit, SMALL states...). Since I hear you asking such questions as "Is there a centralized management capability? " tells me that you don't know enough about them to be able to knowledgeably question their capabilitites - you don't know what they are. (Yes, they do it's called 'remote desktop', and it does allow scripting.)

    Don't get me wrong - I've never supported Macs in a large enterprise - mine doesn't allow Macs. So I don't have more than a theoretical knowledge myself of that environment regarding Macs. I do know, from what I read of others' experiences, and technical publications, that Macs can exist very well in the enterprise - they are actually more compliant with standard protocols such as tcp/ip than Microsoft is.

    I won't try to say that Macs can scale to the level that PC can. I know that Apple hasn't tried to make them do that, and that's well known among techies, even those of us that support Apple. But they ARE good network citizens, and are capable of existing on an AD network.

    Again, I can't speak for your experiences - although, I'll never own another Epson printer as long as I live!

    --
    "Money is truthful. If a man speaks of his honor, make him pay cash." Notebooks of Lazarus Long, Robert A. Heinlein
  151. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by Confuzzled · · Score: 1
    2 Things:

    Firewire was great for bandwidth intensive devices before USB 2.0, but now that USB 2.0 is the norm firewire is just about pointless and I hope it disappears fast and we just have one standard port.


            FireWire still has several advantages:

    1. In real world use it is faster than USB 2.0, even though the theoretical for USB is higher. The reason for this is that FireWire does not tax the CPU like USB can. In sustained transfer rate usually FW drives will score higher.

    2. You can daisy chain it, I already have 2 full 4 port hubs, don't want any more.

    3. For video work, FireWire just works. Allows you to capture video from any camera. Cameras that only have USB are a pain in the butt that require special software.

    I will keep spending my money on much cheaper hardware which has always been easier/cheaper to upgrade/custum build my own computer myself (I have heard Macs are getting better in this area, but I do not know for sure) and also "just work".


              My G5 tower is the easiest machine to upgrade, adding ram, hard drives and changing out the video card was a snap. The video card was more expensive than I could've gotten in the PC world, everything else was the same price. And to tell you the truth, I didn't spend that much upgrading to this new machine, since I sold my previous G4 tower for a nice chunk of change (even though it was a bit over 4 years old). I'm sure I would've spent a lot more on a comparable PC tower, since my old PC would've been worthless.

            Also I just don't buy the just works. I use PCs and always have to download firefox, install spybot, adaware and av free. Then after I have it nicely set up, there's always additional work that I simply don't have to do on my mac.

    I also don't have the pompousness that a lot of Mac owners (such as you) have which I think is much preferable.


    You should see my friends that have 5k alienware machines.
  152. inferior tech wins! by Joseph_Daniel_Zukige · · Score: 1

    This is tracking the argument that inferior tech always wins because iNTEL won with their inferior tech by making it just good enough to get the market and using the profits to fund the next ramp. Trash makes trash.

    Logical fallacies abound in the argument, but SCSI and Firewire are not on the motherboard, so it must be right.

  153. So, you want the market to dumb down? by Joseph_Daniel_Zukige · · Score: 1

    One size fits all results in callouses on my feet. So, it's my fault for getting a lot of exercise?

  154. You have time and space to store parts? by Joseph_Daniel_Zukige · · Score: 1

    I don't.

    If you do it every day for a living, if you have a good junkyard, if ...

    But I have to admit, if I want a x86 box, I'll build it myself. Makes it easier to reduce the number of iNTEL parts on it. (I don't care to support _any_ virtual monopoly.)

  155. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by HuguesT · · Score: 1

    Actually, just wanted to point out that really recent video cameras store their video on disks, so the GP might be right and might actually be recording very high quality video.

    A large proportion of HD cameras record on disk.

  156. just to keep up with browser ads by peter303 · · Score: 1

    Its seems like every portal is continously increase the number and bandwidth of its ads. Its not uncommon to have a half-dozen animations crowding the screen. Even Slashrot is plagued with these!

  157. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    What kind of iMac? What kind of mini?

    an iMac crammed with 96MB RAM. a Mac Mini (highest one I could get in July, intel chipset).

    Your results and perceptions may vary. I passed on a comment by a user who doesn't care why. He just said it wasn't faster, even though it is.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  158. Re:Old PCs Still Good and Net same speed by dangitman · · Score: 1
    Actually, just wanted to point out that really recent video cameras store their video on disks, so the GP might be right and might actually be recording very high quality video.

    How would this be practical 10 years ago? Disk capacity, size, and price has only recently made this viable. It does not make him "right" about tapes being seen as hard drives, doesn't make him right that there aren't frequent problems with USB in video cameras, and doesn't make him right that standard DV cameras are poorly designed. They had to be designed with different technical constraints due to the technology available when DV was developed.

    Additionally, very few hard drive cameras are high definition - and those standard definition ones that record to disk, do sacrifice quality, by using more compression to store on tape.

    --
    ... and then they built the supercollider.