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China Considering Cuts In Rare-Earth Metal Exports

SillySnake sends in a report from the Telegraph on draft plans in China to restrict exports of rare earths. "Beijing is drawing up plans to prohibit or restrict exports of rare earth metals that are produced only in China and play a vital role in cutting edge technology, from hybrid cars and catalytic converters, to superconductors, and precision-guided weapons. A draft report by China's Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has called for a total ban on foreign shipments of terbium, dysprosium, yttrium, thulium, and lutetium. Other metals such as neodymium, europium, cerium, and lanthanum will be restricted to a combined export quota of 35,000 tonnes a year, far below global needs."

456 comments

  1. Woo-hoo - by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Manufactured shortages, here we come!

    1. Re:Woo-hoo - by jgardia · · Score: 1

      Yes, I won't be able to buy anymore the neodymium magnets to reduce the fuel consumption of my car...

    2. Re:Woo-hoo - by BizzyM · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Makes perfect sense: we won't export "super computers" like the Playstation to China. China had to figure out what they have that we want and then squeeze it. With all the "green" technology relying on electric motors, we need those rare earth magnets. Bravo, China. Bravo.

    3. Re:Woo-hoo - by NeverVotedBush · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Do you really expect a country that at least used to charge families for the bullets used to execute family members to act in a humanitarian way?

    4. Re:Woo-hoo - by Sulphur · · Score: 2, Funny

      Someone is making magnates.

    5. Re:Woo-hoo - by BizzyM · · Score: 3, Insightful

      NO. I expect them to exact revenge.

    6. Re:Woo-hoo - by pohl · · Score: 2, Funny

      ...and rare earth magnates at that, since most of us on this planet are not.

      --

      The "cue the foo posts in 3, 2, 1..." posts will commence with no subsequent foo posts in 3, 2, 1...

    7. Re:Woo-hoo - by Amiga+Trombone · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Maybe this would be a good time to re-arm Japan.

    8. Re:Woo-hoo - by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 2, Funny

      Maybe we could re-arm the Soviet Union while we're at it.

      Or, maybe we could all just admit that you said a dumb thing.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    9. Re:Woo-hoo - by compro01 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      This distinctly reminds me of an old joke.

      A man walks into a Chinese restaurant and sees the owner reading the paper and smiling. He asks what he's happy about and he points to the front page of the paper which says "100000 Chinese killed in combat!" with "10000 Japanese killed". The man is confused as to why such a stunning loss would be cause for happiness. The Chinese man replies "At this rate, there soon won't be any Japanese left!".

      China is BIG. They've got roughly 1/5 of the world's people. They've got more people than the EU, the US, Japan, and even Russia all put together.

      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
    10. Re:Woo-hoo - by Goffee71 · · Score: 1

      Japan is doing pretty well at rearming on its own - http://www.strategypage.com/htmw/htnavai/articles/20090904.aspx

      --
      If he's the Walrus then can I be a penguin please?
    11. Re:Woo-hoo - by WgT2 · · Score: 1

      Nope.

    12. Re:Woo-hoo - by MrNaz · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Revenge? It's not revenge. It's their resources, they can CHOOSE to sell it to us, or they can CHOOSE to hoard it for their own use, or they can CHOOSE to turn it into a life sized replica of the pyramids just because they can. That's the nature of it being THEIRS.

      Looking at the history of things like rubber, tea, diamonds and oil, it would seem that we are not aware that we have no God given right to the resources of others, no matter how much we tell ourselves we need it for our survival. Has UK/US historical foreign policy gotten that far into the public mindset that we now get all angsty and self-righteous whenever some country decides that they need their resources more than we need their resources? Seriously people, if we're going to think this way and then acquiesce to the military being used to go fetch those resources and destroy the other country in the process, then lets at least not act all surprised when they get fed up and fly planes into our buildings.

      --
      I hate printers.
    13. Re:Woo-hoo - by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And as Russia demonstrated until General Winter intervened - quantity cannot make up for lack of quality. The F-15/16's had something like a 12-1 kill ratio and the F22's have something like a 10-1 kill ratio against them. Transitivity doesn't necessarily hold, but 30-1 or so would not be unrealistic against what China has. MAD makes this potential war moot - while I'm not sure China could destroy the US like Russia could, the cost would be too high to make such a war worth it for the US.

    14. Re:Woo-hoo - by blackraven14250 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      No, we don't have a right to it. You can't, however, say they aren't being dicks to the global community, as that's who they're restricting the exports for, not just the US.

    15. Re:Woo-hoo - by Mo+Bedda · · Score: 1

      Dude, what are you talking about? Who is "we"? Last I knew, Sony was a Japanese company. Is "we" referring to Japan?

      I remembered this story from 2003 about the U.S. more or less outsourcing missile guidance systems to China. Given that we are letting the Chinese buy and relocate our manufacturing capacity there, and given the amount of computer products we ship there to be "recycled"; I have a hard time believing there are any significant trade restrictions with China. Perhaps you can supply some references? How does Lenovo manage to manufacture Thinkpads and PCs without a steady supply of Intel CPUs?

      The story I recall regarding Playstation "supercomputers" involved them being imported into Iraq pre-invasion.

    16. Re:Woo-hoo - by jamstar7 · · Score: 1

      Maybe we could re-arm the Soviet Union while we're at it.

      Ignoring the fact that the Soviet Union went out of business almost 20 years ago, keep in mind that they were one of the largest weapons manufacturers around, and when they fell, just about anything not nailed, tied, & welded down got sold.

      Except for their cars. Nobody wanted their cars except for some weird collectors.

      --
      Understanding the scope of the problem is the first step on the path to true panic.
    17. Re:Woo-hoo - by Runaway1956 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I hear ignorance speaking. China is definitely moving into the 21st century. Their arms may not yet be equal to everything the west has, but they are catching up.

      But, more importantly, China can suffer losses at a 100 to 1 ratio, and win against any competitor. If it came to war, the west would either form a coalition, or lose. Oh yeah, we could go nuclear - but so can they. Warring with China isn't something that you want to see happen. It wouldn't be a walk in the park.

      Perhaps most people are unaware that China has been involved in all the wars in Asia over the decades? Mostly indirectly - supplying "advisors", technical advice and training, putting observers on the ground, and offering moral and political support.

      N. Korea still stands as a thorn in the west's side.

      There is no longer a "South" Vietnam.

      Discounting China's ability to fight, based on the poor quality of outdated hardware is foolish and dangerous.

      More, China isn't looking for a conventional war, any more than we are. "Assassin's Mace" is a plan to gain world domination via assymetrical warfare. The restrictions on strategic resources is part of that plan, just as the flooding (devaluing) of the market in past years was part of that plan.

      Go ahead, mock the "sleeping giant", if you will. It only exposes your ignorance.

      --
      "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
    18. Re:Woo-hoo - by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 1

      Yes, but how many of our aircraft carriers did the Soviets sink?

      The suggestion that we should re-arm Japan is pretty stupid. Go ask anybody's grandpa how dumb that idea is.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    19. Re:Woo-hoo - by Publikwerks · · Score: 1

      Is China your daddy? And, umm, sorry to ruin the China love fest, but China has 1.3 Billion people. The US population is 300 million. More of a 4-1 ratio. Would I bet agaisnt them if the US invaded? Hell no, cause I never get involved in a land war in Asia But could the United States lay a beat down on China, mongul style? Hell yes. Our military is superior on every front except numbers. And if it came down to a Nuclear showdown, I don't know how many weapons they could get to the United States, but it would be more a question of how many could they get off before the United States reduced them to rare-earth elements. Now Am I saying a military solution is the answer? No. But the United States isn't some limp-dicked European Nationa either.

    20. Re:Woo-hoo - by PC+and+Sony+Fanboy · · Score: 1

      buuuullllll sheeet.

      The USA has been forcing Canada to export bottled water and other natural resources for years. It isn't fair, but it what it is. Now that china is standing against the USA, of course americans are going to cry. They're on the receiving end and don't like taking it in the rear.

    21. Re:Woo-hoo - by Runaway1956 · · Score: 1

      "Is China your daddy?"
      Most definitely NOT.

      Our military is superior - yes. But, the balance is changing. I stated that. Look at just the Navy. 50 years ago, China's navy wasn't even a sad joke. Today? They have hardware and crew to man that hardware in the Indian Ocean, patrolling for pirates.

      As for the limp dick comment - well, let's put politics and morality aside, and examine only military conquests. After the US subdued the technologically disadvantaged native tribes, what conquests can we show that compare with Germany's performance in the early part of WW2? Limp dicks, indeed.

      I'm an American, and a veteran, but I don't subscribe to the ethnocentric arrogance that so many of us seem to love.

      Put a beatdown on China? Uh-huh, possibly. A 200 year old culture can beatdown a 5000 year old culture - it happens every couple of decades, right? There is much more to warfare than just putting troops and hardware into the field, assuming they are used to best advantage.

      --
      "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
    22. Re:Woo-hoo - by Shakrai · · Score: 1

      I'd say you missed the boat. Japan is already re-armed. Other than the US and a handful of NATO members they have the most powerful Navy and Air Force in the World. They could become a nuclear power almost overnight if they made the decision to do so. The only thing Japan is lacking is the political will to flex it's military muscle to protect/advance it's national interests.

      I don't know why you are worried about them. A lot of their weapons systems and military technology came from us. This means that we know what the capabilities of their systems are and they rely on us for spare parts/technical assistance. The major issue with Japan openly using her military power is that it would scare the crap out of the Chinese and Koreans and likely lead to an Asian arms race. She isn't a threat to the United States though.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    23. Re:Woo-hoo - by Publikwerks · · Score: 1

      Well, in regards to Germany's WWII performance compared to the United States, you can take a lot of ground when you use deception and modern hardware against a foe. Lets not forget, Poland threw mounted Calvary against tanks. Not much of a contest. More or less, if we picked our battles(and not just militarily, economically and politically as well), we could beat the crap out of China. If we did not, we could lose badly. And while I am wary of playing hardball with China, I see it as an eventuality at this point. China wants to rule the world. If they would only taker their place as an ally, an equal, everything would be fine.

    24. Re:Woo-hoo - by Runaway1956 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Problem is, we aren't fighting, let alone choosing our battles. China's export industry is expanding throughout Africa and Asia at exponential rates, while our exports shrink. Worse, American corporations are actively exporting technology and jobs to China. IBM, among others, are moving out of the country.

      The corporate world has largely abandoned the United States, and many of those who have abandoned us have thrown in with China.

      There IS a war, of sorts, and China appears to be winning it.

      Our military might may outclass China's, but military muscle is useless without logistics. All of the world's greatest military leaders have been masters logistics. Poor logistics killed the German army on the eastern front, remember? Most people claim that the Russian winter killed that army, but in fact, it was the lack of logistics. If humans on one side of the war survived the winter, then the humans on the other side of the war could have survived - had they planned ahead, and provided the shelter, clothing, and food required to survive such an environment.

      "when you use deception" and "I am wary of playing hardball with China". I assure you, China is playing hardball, and we are being deceived.

      --
      "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
    25. Re:Woo-hoo - by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 1

      Who said I was worried about them? Are you saying that it would be smart to re-arm Japan?

      Because if you're arguing that, then I'll point that Japan is already re-armed. Other than the US and a handful of NATO members they have the most powerful Navy and Air Force in the World. They could become a nuclear power almost overnight if they made the decision to do so. The only thing Japan is lacking is the political will to flex it's military muscle to protect/advance it's national interests.

      My point stands. No matter which way you approach the issue, it's stupid to re-arm Japan.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    26. Re:Woo-hoo - by Shakrai · · Score: 1

      No, I'm saying it's stupid to argue about the wisdom of "re-arming" them when we've already done so. Unless they obtained the Aegis combat system, F-15, F-16, M-16, M-1, Patriot, etc all on their own. In which case we should sue them for patent infringement ;)

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    27. Re:Woo-hoo - by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's their resources, they can CHOOSE to sell it to us...

      Well, here in the west, we don't like capitalism. These minerals belong to the world, and communism should ensure US corporations get them.

    28. Re:Woo-hoo - by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 1

      So, you're saying that we should not re-arm Japan. That's what I'm saying too. So why are we disagreeing?

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    29. Re:Woo-hoo - by WinPimp2K · · Score: 1

      While I agree with you in general, the China that we might be in a war with does not have a 5000 year old culture. More like a 60 years old - and I suspect that their youngsters would be no more thrilled about such a conflict than ours - less so since they are on average more intelligent (look it up if ya want a citation) and even more aware of the just how corrupt their own government is.

      --

      You either believe in rational thought or you don't
    30. Re:Woo-hoo - by SEWilco · · Score: 1

      Maybe you'll have to buy finished goods. Like neodymium crowbars. Then improve them a little.

    31. Re:Woo-hoo - by Zencyde · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      And the entire world can CHOOSE to seek war against China. You assume ownership is an inherent right granted by the Universe. But I have news for you. Organisms fight. Organisms try to obtain resources. China doesn't "own" shit and if they decide not to play nice then they'll have to suffer the consequences. And if you disagree with me, then please prove that ownership is a concept that wasn't developed by people.

      --
      What day is it? Could you please tell me?
    32. Re:Woo-hoo - by ikono · · Score: 1

      I'd love to see you try to take a hambone away from a pit bull...

      --
      Karma is for whores
    33. Re:Woo-hoo - by Zencyde · · Score: 1

      One could easily argue that by disconnecting the world from their primary source for these materials would follow along the same lines. Simply put, nothing good can come from China stopping trade on these goods.

      --
      What day is it? Could you please tell me?
    34. Re:Woo-hoo - by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Well, in regards to Germany's WWII performance compared to the United States, you can take a lot of ground when you use deception and modern hardware against a foe.
      Amazing. You say that China is basically not a threat, yet, you acknowledge that deception and modern hardware works wonders. Lets see; How modern is China's military? Most is not. OTH, they are working hard on their nuke and space forces to modernize them. And they are building neutrons as well as launchers (mobile land, fixed land, aircraft, and sub) at a rate never seen. Hmmmm. Not a threat?

      BTW, 1956 has it right. Germany invaded to cause WWI and yes, they were HORRIBLE. As in quick and fast. Germany has had many campaigns over the milliniums. Obviously, Russia, Britain, France, Italy (rome), Nederlands, Spain, Portugal, etc have had their fair number of military mights as told by the large number of colonies that they all had. Limp-dicked indeed.

      But I think that many ppl agree with you assesment of CHina. Far too many are hoping that it is not true, but too much evidence that says otherwise.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    35. Re:Woo-hoo - by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Easy. Shoot it in the head. Take hambone. My hambone.

    36. Re:Woo-hoo - by Prune · · Score: 1

      "Oh yeah, we could go nuclear - but so can they."

      Not really. The US has long had the unofficial policy of first strike capability while taking minimal return-fire damage. See this peer-reviewed article in a major journal: Lieber, Keir A.; Press, Daryl G. The Rise of U.S. Nuclear Primacy. Foreign Affairs, March/April 2006, Vol. 85 Issue 2

      --
      "Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason."
    37. Re:Woo-hoo - by Dahamma · · Score: 1

      China has at least 400 nuclear warheads, and missiles perfectly capably of striking anywhere in the world. That's plenty to destroy the world as we know it many times over. The Western world isn't really in a much better position than it was with the USSR during the cold war. Taking their resources by force means taking over their land, and you better believe that would be a nuclear showdown...

      Where we are in a vastly better position is that unlike the Soviet Union, most of China's growth is based on exports of goods to Western countries (often manufactured by Western countries in Chinese factories). I think it's pretty clear they are just playing poker on the international stage like everyone else. They have no interest in anyone calling their bluff...

    38. Re:Woo-hoo - by infinitelink · · Score: 1

      The above comment, I submit is evidence that PMF is a troll who just doesn't get it; seems he can't distinguish 'we shouldn't' from 'that's a stupid statement, its' already been done, so you can't say 'we shouldn't''; perhaps the username 'Profane MuthaFucka (574406)' is also good evidence.

      Remember one of the utmost of important rules: DON'T FEED THE TROLLS. Remember another one appropriate to /.: mod them down into obscurity.

      And p.s., in the event Japan were not already re-armed, whether re-arming them would be a stupid idea or not is all a matter of perspective when considering the world situation.

      Moving on...

      --
      Intelligent idiots are we. | Evil men do not understand justice.
    39. Re:Woo-hoo - by infinitelink · · Score: 1

      I love your comment, but there's one difficulty: China has one of the youngest cultures on the Earth: its cultural inheritors are not the mainland communist Chinese, who's founders pushed all to destroy their own culture. Furthermore, there is not a 'Chinese' culture, there are hundreds of separate peoples and cultures in China.

      That said, never underestimate the power of nationalistic myth-making, and its potent obliteration of facts. Furthermore, never underestimate it for the U.S. either: the U.S. was the target(and continuees to be) of Marxist thought and politicking; the West has its own long and venerable culture--more continuitous and thoughtful, in fact, than any Asian country could ever dream of: even before the communists, the ancient "Chinese" cultures long ago actually ceased to exist. Asia never removed itself from a, or subjugated its, superstitious mindset: where Asia today is starting to thrive is where it has taken-up Western development and institutions (brought by Westerners before the revolutions); where the West is declining is where its own venerable institutions are either faltering, or are supplanted by counterfeits making pretense of being in its tradition: like it or not, we're all Western now; and like it or not, we're all under the same ideological threats--the same 'terrorism' of the mind by zealots of modernist and reductionist philosophical bents.

      And I'm not trying to be dramatic, or over-serious, or alarmist: I try to appreciate these things for their qualities, strengths and weaknesses, opinions, etc., but make no bones about the necessity of human maintenance--intervention--of its treasured developments: they don't endure on their own due to intrinsic value, because they're human, not above human.

      --
      Intelligent idiots are we. | Evil men do not understand justice.
    40. Re:Woo-hoo - by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 1

      OK, you get it. You may step aside while I fuck with the stupid people. Especially the ones who want to argue that we should re-RE-arm Japan.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    41. Re:Woo-hoo - by lsatenstein · · Score: 0

      Why do Americans still believe that they are #1 in the worldÂ. Two guys named Bush and Cheney squandered away that position. They essentially morally bankrupted the USA, and if you look at your economy and unemployment levels, it is apparent that the fantastic American citizen, the warm caring people have been led astray by faulty leadership. Please give support to President Obama. He is the light at the end of the tunnel to restore the worlds respect of the USA. If caring for the well being of the population is socialism, then so be it. Every modern country in the world has better well-being and care for its citizens then does the USA. Don't let greed stand in the way of public health and do things to help your leaders restore economic health. You may not be #1 in the world again, but you can be a great runner up.

      --
      Leslie Satenstein Montreal Quebec Canada
  2. The new "oil" by MasterOfGoingFaster · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Just what the world economy needs. A single-country "cartel" that will cause prices to greatly rise. This should be interesting to watch.

    I guess rare-earth metals are the new "oil".

    --
    Place nail here >+
    1. Re:The new "oil" by jmorkel · · Score: 1

      A single-entity "cartel" is called a monopoly. Cartel implies collusion between multiple entities.

    2. Re:The new "oil" by NeverVotedBush · · Score: 1

      And what do you think Afghanistan has lots of... (Hint: It isn't oil.)

    3. Re:The new "oil" by kimvette · · Score: 2, Insightful

      One quick and easy solution is to respond by this by deporting all Chinese nationals who are attending American schools.

      "Okay, so you want to hoard rare-earth metals? I'm sorry, but your students are immediately no longer welcome at our schools until you have fully reconsidered the matter. They will be returning to China by the end of the week and we will be invoicing you for the travel costs. Thank you, come again."

      The problem is, corporate types have been thinking short-term for a couple of decades now. Short-term boosts to the bottom line were to be had by not retooling American factories, but building new factories in China, Vietnam, Mexico, etc.

      Name one television manufactured in America. One hard drive. One car manufactured entirely in America (indluding all parts). One consumer camera, etc. - You can't, can you?

      It boosted the bottom line of big corporations for a while, so the stock price could be driven up and the execs raked in tremendous record "profits." The thing is, this line of thinking has finally bit America in the ass, and the people who got rich from it don't care at all because they have theirs. Everyone else is left holding the bag with a shitty economy where we import almost everything.

      Politicians who are supposed to be our servants have instead been fighting business. We have a NIMBY syndrome. We oppose factories, nuclear power, natural gas depots, new/modern fuel refineries, wind farms. Green or fossil-based, it doesn't matter. Most people have NIMBY as their way of thinking, and idiotic treehuggers have BANANA (build absolutely nothing anywhere near anyone). Politicians have cowed to foreign nations and lowered (in some cases dropped) import tariffs, while those same trading "partners" slap huge tariffs on our exports, making us completely uncompetitive on what little we do export. Incidentally, losing that tariff revenue has lead to heavy dependence on income and property taxes, breaking the middle class's back.

      Politicians need to be reminded that a good leader is a SERVANT. They need to keep their own people's well being a higher priority than foreign interests at ALL times. They need to have a long-term outlook for our nation, not short-term profitability so corporate executives can rake in huge bonuses and then profits on their stock grants and options.

      The best solution to these issues is:

        * ban foreign nationals from attending our schools
        * rethink our lowering and eliminating income tariffs
        * introduce huge incentives (read: tax breaks) for manufacturing goods entirely in America

      Right now, China has us over a fire. It can be solved very quickly, without making 'rare-earth metals [are] the new "oil"' Some parity needs to be reintroduced into the marketplace.

      --
      The Christian Right is Neither (Christian nor right). See: Matthew 23, Matthew 25, Ezekiel 16:48-50
    4. Re:The new "oil" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just what the world economy needs. A single-country "cartel" that will cause prices to greatly rise. This should be interesting to watch.

      I guess rare-earth metals are the new "oil".

      Beter China then America.... I trust them more.

    5. Re:The new "oil" by xerxesVII · · Score: 5, Funny

      Muslims?

      --
      "We shall grapple with the ineffable, and see if we may not eff it after all." - Douglas Adams
    6. Re:The new "oil" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      lol
      you don't know shit about economy or politics, do you? The US has such a large debt with China that any childish retaliation like the one you described is simply a no-no. China's dollars made from exports bought america. Thank greenspan for the handovers.

    7. Re:The new "oil" by Hurricane78 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Uuum, what have the Chinese nationals to do with their asshole government? They are not their government. It's like punishing you for the murderings by the US Army in in Afghanistan and Iraq. Wouldn't you feel unfairly treated?

      Perhaps they even go to American schools to *avoid* "their" government.

      It's people with your mindset that create hatred against a whole nation for the fault of a few.

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
    8. Re:The new "oil" by Joebert · · Score: 1

      "Okay, so you want to hoard rare-earth metals? I'm sorry, but your students are immediately no longer welcome at our schools until you have fully reconsidered the matter. They will be returning to China by the end of the week and we will be invoicing you for the travel costs. Thank you, come again."

      Something tells me China is going to laugh that one off.

      Isn't getting a free-thinking American education illegal in China ?

      --
      Wanna fight ? Bend over, stick your head up your ass, and fight for air.
    9. Re:The new "oil" by srealm · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This is typical protectionist crap. Sorry, but you may be right about businesses thinking short term, but if America starts banning foreign nationals from its schools, and slapping tariffs on foreign imports, how does that make America any better than China?

      And for the record, America DOES still slap tariffs on foreign imports into this country. Usually at the behest of the powerful lobbies. Ever look at things like sugar and wheat imports? Both have either rather large tariffs, or just subsidies for the domestic industry. Why? Because the industry lobbies for those products demanded it. And it has caused a lot of friction with America's trading partners.

      Hell, I remember a 'free trade' agreement a few years ago with Australia where not only did America put tariffs on Australian wheat imports (because of pressure from the US wheat lobby), they also insisted as part of their free trade deal that Australia adopt something similar to the DMCA as part of the deal - at the behest of the RIAA/MPAA. So if you really believe America has been doing other countries a favor in it's trading practices (Food for Oil anyone? Or how about withholding aid money, which is supposed to be completely unrelated to trade), then you're deluded.

      In short, protectionism is bad no matter what. Now whether China is banning these exports because it truly doesn't have enough to satisfy domestic demand, and thus can't afford to supply foreign demand, or they're trying to use this threat to gain more concessions from the international community is irrelevant. Instituting protectionist policies won't help Sino-American relations, and considering, as you have said, America relies so heavily on China for it's manufacturing of almost everything we buy, America just can't afford to ruin it's relationship with yet another country, especially one it relies so heavily on.

      America used to be able to take the high moral ground, and used to be viewed in a generally favorable light in the world. It's America's own greed and arrogance (not to mention going around the world like a bull in a china shop sticking it's nose in everyone else's business) that has tarnished this reputation. The election of Obama has actually started to repair this a little, but only when America starts playing fair with the rest of the world again (ie. treating other countries as equals, as opposed to approaching each trade deal as a "we want this, give it to us or else you're not our friend anymore!" deal) will it actually gain respect again. You seem quick to cry 'foul!' when another country starts using the same tactics America has been using for decades against America. You (ie. America) wrote these new trading rules, don't be surprised when someone else plays by them.

    10. Re:The new "oil" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      * ban foreign nationals from attending our schools

      As if it mattered.
      Foreign nationals have been THE GREAT resource of the US.
      One example above all: project Manhattan.
      Perform a quick search about any scientific/technological branch (just name it) and you'll find a zillion of "foreign nationals" names.
      That's the way it worked so far, in case you missed it:
      - set up top notch research facilities and fund them well
      - invite researchers from all around the world (Europe, India, Far East, ...)
      - make a patent out of it
      - profit (possibly by actually making the goods abroad)

      The only think USA are churning out are lawyers (and weapons).

    11. Re:The new "oil" by mqsoh · · Score: 1

      What if foreign nationals find they prefer it here? Then we're sapping China's intellect and making a bunch of smart people happy.

    12. Re:The new "oil" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's supply and demand. They have a supply and demand we pay dearly for it.

      Who's surprised? I'm sure as hell not.

    13. Re:The new "oil" by linzeal · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Ok, mister xenophobe.

      Why shouldn't China be entitled to use its own resources to build out its own economy? China has a horrible standard of living for the amount of production present in the country and the pollution that goes along with it. I hope they use it all for domestic green energy projects, because frankly they need it more than we do where going "green" is more a luxury than anything. Building green jobs here with our own rare earths is entirely possible considering we have far more known rare earth ore deposits than they do. So what exactly are you complaining about, that we can't rape their country for all the resources? They have a billion people and it is highly unlikely they will ever have the same standard of living as the US in our lifetime but the very least we could do is not bitch and moan every time China does something nice for its own citizens.

      You know, I would rather deport people like you than hard working or studying immigrants. Why don't you all go down to the south of the US and secede, this time the rest of us northern folk won't stop you. Well considering there is hardly any natural resources in the south besides coal and oil you can all have your coal power plants and big trucks and you won't need to worry about new-fangled technologies irritating you. You can all live gloriously embittered lives scapegoating the rest of the world for your problems as you walk around yelling in the swamps, marshes and hurricane-prone areas of the gulf states like some sort of swamp curmudgeon. You could yourself America for Americans only or something. Build yourself a Lou Dobbsian wall around your entire country to keep Yankees and Mexicans out. Give all those janitorial, landscaping and construction jobs back to Americans because we all know how much Americans love doing menial labor for low wages without health insurance. Right, mister xenophobe?

    14. Re:The new "oil" by dbet · · Score: 1

      So, punish Chinese people because of the actions of their government? Many of them stay here and work anyway.

    15. Re:The new "oil" by CensorshipDonkey · · Score: 1

      Best revise the immigration policies then. I think it's insane that we educate some many smart, hardworking people and then send them straight back to China without even giving them the option of settling here.

    16. Re:The new "oil" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Soylent muslim is people!

    17. Re:The new "oil" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "ban foreign nationals from attending our schools" -> Have you been to an engineering or natural sciences department lately? If you do that, they can shut down immediately, because there would be no grad students and no faculty left.

    18. Re:The new "oil" by demonlapin · · Score: 1

      America used to be able to take the high moral ground, and used to be viewed in a generally favorable light in the world

      ... and you were right on the money up to here. If you think that is the case, please think back a little further. The Marshall Plan was pretty well received in Europe, but then seeing as post-WWII central Europe was a devastated hellhole in which huge numbers of people had no homes, no jobs, and no food, it didn't take a lot to impress them. Go ask a Central American from the 1850s onward what they think of the US. Go ask a Briton whose hometown had an American base nearby in the late 40s or early 50s about the phrase "overpaid, oversexed, and over here". Dislike of America (and Americans) is a complicated topic, with a large number of reasons underlying it - European elites looked at it as a country composed of the dregs of society, while others in the Americas despise the extensive intervention in their politics. India was defining itself during the Cold War (as a "nonaligned nation") in terms of not being America, and the rest of the Third World (especially Africa) was caught up in a tug-of-war between the US and USSR.

      And what has Obama done? So far, I've seen a very heavy domestic agenda, but essentially nothing on the foreign policy front except some really awful gift exchanges with Queen Elizabeth and Gordon Brown (mind you, probably deserved in Gordo's case).

    19. Re:The new "oil" by jabuzz · · Score: 1

      According to the soviets Afghanistan does indeed have significant reserves of oil and gas, in particular gas.

      Try Googling "northern afghan oil platform"

    20. Re:The new "oil" by wvmarle · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Uuum, what have the Chinese nationals to do with their asshole government? They are not their government. It's like punishing you for the murderings by the US Army in in Afghanistan and Iraq. Wouldn't you feel unfairly treated?

      The first part you are totally right. The second part actually is not even that unreasonable, after all the US is a democracy, where the government is elected and as such directly represents the population. If the population at large doesn't like what the government is doing, then they can vote them out of office. This is more or less what happened to Bush who got into Iraq and got replaced by Obama who is doing his best to get out of there.

      Now try that in China.

    21. Re:The new "oil" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's people with your mindset that create hatred against a whole nation for the fault of a few.

      Your total separation of state and governed is just as fucked up as guy you are criticizing. Maybe even more so.
      Government is an amplification of the mindset of an entire nation. The weaknesses of the individuals are expressed though government (along with a massive dose of petty ambition by those in power).

      Homophobia, racism, victim-hood, and disregard for the environment are very common Chinese attitudes: And pretty much the official stances of the state.
      The importance of Christianity, and a view that they are number one in the world is prevalent in American attitudes: The government try to police the world.
      A disregard for privacy, general ass-covering behaviour, and political correctness gone way too far in the individuals, creates the Britain you see today.

    22. Re:The new "oil" by sp3d2orbit · · Score: 1

      He's angry but that doesn't mean he is completely wrong. China is part of the WTO, it has obligations under international law to be a fair player. China wants all the benefits of capitalism and free trade but without any of the costs.

      More effective would be to inflate away the trillion dollars of debt China owns so that investment becomes a huge loss.

    23. Re:The new "oil" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This might turn out to be good in the long term for space colonization. Now countries may be forced to look outside the earth for these metals after their deposits run out.

    24. Re:The new "oil" by Eddi3 · · Score: 3, Informative

      That's not at all what happened to Bush. He served two full terms, and then was no longer eligible for office. He was never voted out.

    25. Re:The new "oil" by sp3d2orbit · · Score: 1

      Very well said. But, you used the words "idiotic treehuggers" and Slashdot only tolerates free speech from the left.

      I think more effective would be to force China (I'll explain how in one second) to:
      - Allow their currency to float on the free market.
      - Disallow any state owned or state subsidized company from doing business in the United States or with American companies.
      - Open up all resources to free trade, including rare earth metals
      - Meet FDA guidelines for safety on all products exported to the US

      How can we force China to do anything when we owe them a trillion dollars? Well, it works both ways. If China doesn't play by the rules of the free market we should inflate away that trillion dollar debt so that they lose the entire investment.

    26. Re:The new "oil" by sp3d2orbit · · Score: 1

      China has a horrible standard of living because it squandered its economic resources for most of the 20th century and is only now opening up its markets to free trade. But, free trade carries benefits and risks. China seems to think it can take the benefits of the free market while the rest of the world assumes the risk.

    27. Re:The new "oil" by sp3d2orbit · · Score: 1

      Not that I agree with the original poster, but China is not a colony. They aren't a puppet state. They chose their own government and market system. Who else is responsible for China except the Chinese?

    28. Re:The new "oil" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The US Army is murdering people? Sweet! Apparently killing the the asshole trying to kill you is "murder" to this ass backwards son of a bitch.

    29. Re:The new "oil" by wvmarle · · Score: 1
      True - I should have said his administration, not the person himself. After he "won" a second term with a minority of the popular vote, his party at least has taken several beatings over the last elections, and McCain (nominated to be his direct successor) didn't stand much of a chance.

      The president is of course not alone at the top, though he does have a lot of power.

    30. Re:The new "oil" by azgard · · Score: 1

      It's not oil. Oil is energy. But this is just elements. You can recycle them, if you have energy to do that. But you can't recycle oil without using more energy that you can gain from it.

    31. Re:The new "oil" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'd rather deport people like you along with the niggers and spics back to mexico and africa. Fuck your non-existant hard working and studying immigrants when they are illegally living here in the USA and STEALING our money. They are wreaking havoc on the Social Security and Medicare systems by committing fraud, and directly preventing otherwise employable American citizens from getting jobs by agreeing to work for wages under the Federally protected minimum.

      The problem is that there is a loophole that the liberals keep open that prevents the Feds from deporting these illegals; which is a good reason to shoot to kill all the lawyers protecting these sons of bitches.

    32. Re:The new "oil" by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      After he "won" a second term with a minority of the popular vote,

      This might be significant if Clinton hadn't won BOTH of his terms with a minority of the popular vote.

      However, it's not significant in either case. Both won elections by the rules in place, even if neither managed a majority of the vote (which isn't actually required anywhere but in the Electoral College).

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    33. Re:The new "oil" by zerocommazero · · Score: 1

      The parent didn't say Bush was voted out of office. But you can plainly see that Bush's unpopularity hurt his political party's efforts for replacements. Bush's popularity was ridiculously low by the end of his Presidency.

    34. Re:The new "oil" by vux984 · · Score: 1

      The US Army is murdering people? Sweet! Apparently killing the the asshole trying to kill you is "murder" to this ass backwards son of a bitch.

      The OVERWHELMINGLY VAST MAJORITY of afghani's that have been killed in the war wouldn't be trying to kill you if you hadn't invaded their country. And the civilian casualties, the farmers, the women, the children? They never tried killing anyone, anywhere.

      I'm not EVER going to call the soldiers murderers, as long they go where they're told and shoot what they're told to shoot at.

      But the army itself is merely a weapon on some level. The people wielding that weapon are guilty of murder. These wars were not justifiable. Too many innocent people have died on both sides for no good reason.

    35. Re:The new "oil" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's people like you who allow the Chinese govt. to continue their activity and not criticize them.

      Is that how it works in China? "the fault of a few?

      Take off the mitten gloves and dish it out like Americans get it everyday.

    36. Re:The new "oil" by MartinSchou · · Score: 1

      The best solution to these issues is:
          * ban foreign nationals from attending our schools

      I'll refrain from labelling you, but with regards to that one, what will that accomplish?

      There are two ways to attend a US college if you're an EU student:
      1) Pay the same tuition as any US student does
      2) Be an exchange student

      The exchange student programs are usually made in such a way, that if School A gets one student from School B, School B must accept one student from School A.

      One of the reasons the US became a leader in quite a lot of technological fields was by ... *gasp* ... opening its borders for foreign students and experts. One of the reasons so many US colleges and universities are amongst the best in the world, is that they too attract the best and the brightest - and wouldn't you know it, quite a few of those are not from the US.

      What you're advocating with that particular suggestion is cutting off the blood flow and oxygen to the universities. And guess where most of the innovations comes from?

      But sure, go ahead. Close down access to US colleges and universities for non-US students. That'll just make the other colleges and universities around the world better.

    37. Re:The new "oil" by VisceralLogic · · Score: 1

      Poppies?

      --
      Stop! Dremel time!
    38. Re:The new "oil" by IRWolfie- · · Score: 1

      They chose their own government and market system. Who else is responsible for China except the Chinese?

      Since when do they choose their own government... Your whole argument is based on the chinese plk

    39. Re:The new "oil" by darkwing_bmf · · Score: 1

      China seems to think it can take the benefits of the free market while the rest of the world assumes the risk.

      Yet they ended up assuming the risk (our currency) while giving us the benefits (trade goods). Ironic isn't it?

    40. Re:The new "oil" by LearnToSpell · · Score: 1

      This might be significant if Clinton hadn't won BOTH of his terms with a minority of the popular vote.

      Don't be pedantic. Clinton won by six million votes in '92, and eight million in '96. Bush got fewer votes than Gore in 2000.

      [And of course I'm assuming that the gp is talking about the first election, even though stated otherwise. Bush not only won the popular vote in 2004 but had a majority. (Which is a hell of a lot scarier to me than the first election, but hey...)]

    41. Re:The new "oil" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      [A]fter all the US is a democracy, where the government is elected and as such directly represents the population. If the population at large doesn't like what the government is doing, then they can vote them out of office. This is more or less what happened to Bush who got into Iraq and got replaced by Obama who is doing his best to get out of there.

      Now try that in China.

      It's not a democracy. It's a republic (until it finishes its current metamorphosis into a fascist dictatorship).

      In a democracy, issues would be put to a public referendum, rather than to an elected legislature.

      Bush was not voted out. He had served two full terms as president, which is the limit imposed by the 22nd amendment to the U.S. Constitution. Unlike Zelaya in Honduras, he didn't try to violate the Constitution and run for an extra term.

      I'll accept your closing statements with the substitution of "Republican administration" instead of "Bush," though.

    42. Re:The new "oil" by DaFallus · · Score: 1

      I agreed with you until you made that stupid generalization about the south. There are plenty of racist, xenophobic idiots up north too. Denigrating an entire group of people simply because they live south of an imaginary line isn't any better than hating on people because their skin color is different or because they speak a different language.

      --
      No one cares what your captcha was

      Houston TX, USA
    43. Re:The new "oil" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      • rethink our lowering and eliminating income tariffs
      • introduce huge incentives (read: tax breaks) for manufacturing goods entirely in America

      Right now, China has us over a fire. It can be solved very quickly

      Indeed it can. If the Federal Reserve Bank were suddenly to purchase about $3e12 worth of reminbi the problem would solve itself very quickly.

    44. Re:The new "oil" by my_left_nut · · Score: 1

      So.

      We are *already* pwned by them and all they need to do is call in the IOUs. But what would calling in the those IOUs look like?

      There's no way they'd be able to successfully mount a land or sea invasion with their 20 million surplus men, and I'd doubt if they'd be prepared to nuke us to enforce it. If they'd use nukes, we would retaliate, and what's left of them would have to deal with the subsequent nuclear winter and short-term (100-200 year) radiation threat, just as much as we would.It's just not good for business.

      Perhaps the result is that people recognize us for the paupers we currently are, and our existing domestic economy (i.e. way of doing things) irrevocably goes into the shitter.

      At that point, after all of the social and political unrest eventually quiets down, a decreased number of us start the whole process over again in a diminished capacity.

      Count yourself lucky that you got to live in a relatively quiet time for at least a little while.

    45. Re:The new "oil" by Dun+Malg · · Score: 1

      there will be a huge crunch in the interim that could set the US and the rest of the world behind in developing new more efficient technologies.

      Are you kidding? China sends thousands of students to the US and pays their way to boot. The US is still the best place to get specialized education in a variety of scientific disciplines, and state universities love foreign students because they pay the confiscatory out-of-state resident student fees.

      --
      If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
    46. Re:The new "oil" by Dun+Malg · · Score: 1

      You know, I would rather deport people like you than hard working or studying immigrants.

      He's not talking about immigrants. He's talking about Chinese nationals sent here on the Chinese government's dime to get advanced degrees, after which they are required to return home. There is actually some validity to the argument. State-funded universities take in an awful lot of foreign students because they pay higher tuition fees as non-residents. Trouble is, the state universities are supposed to be there for the education of state residents, space for whom is diminished every time they let a foreign national on a student visa enroll.

      --
      If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
    47. Re:The new "oil" by Dun+Malg · · Score: 1

      Actually, the vast majority of them do not. They are here on the Chinese government's dime, and it's damn near impossible to get a green card.

      --
      If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
    48. Re:The new "oil" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Slashdot only tolerates free speech from the left.

      Are we reading the same Slashdot? What is with the right-wing victim thing?

    49. Re:The new "oil" by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      Bush got fewer votes than Gore in 2000.

      And Grover Cleveland got fewer votes than the guy he beat. But he won where it counted, in the Electoral College.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    50. Re:The new "oil" by celtic_hackr · · Score: 1

      The US gov't already slaps big tariffs on all kinds of things, which is why we USA people pay more for sugar than the rest of the world. Why we (USA people) pay more for medicines. And many other things. I see no reason not to slap tarrifs on everything coming in from China, based on the foregoing reasons, but would rather have cheap solutions to everything too. But would rather protect American jobs.

    51. Re:The new "oil" by Meski · · Score: 1

      Perhaps China would enjoy a total ban on steel sales from Australia?

    52. Re:The new "oil" by qw0ntum · · Score: 1

      Hey now. Not all of us in the South fit your stereotypes. Maybe there are more douchebags like the grandparent here, but quite a few of us "get it". I don't go around insulting your part of the country just because I meet an asshole from there, so I'd appreciate if you didn't do that to mine. I was just born here, not given much say in the matter.

      kthxbye.

      --
      'Every story, if continued long enough, ends in death.' --Ernest Hemingway
    53. Re:The new "oil" by MasterOfGoingFaster · · Score: 1

      I find it quite odd that you take my comment about economic games (that I dislike) and slander me with accusations of being a xenophobe. Then you show your own bias against other groups. There is nothing I could say that could top what you said about yourself.

      You know nothing of me, yet you flame me. This is your method of showing how "superior" you are? Odd.

      I hope you get over whatever anger issues you have against "Southerners", and why you feel the need to slam them.

      --
      Place nail here >+
  3. Update by Dingadong · · Score: 4, Funny

    Terrorists found in Beijing and Shanghai, U.S. Troops invade.

    1. Re:Update by Stu101 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Issue with that is that I think China, unlike Iraq, Iran and Saudi could stand up for themselves.

      Don't forget they DO have WMD, massive military complexes and stolen US designs for highly deadly weapons.

      Then there is the cyber angle. I suspect America could be pwned quite quick.

      Lastly, who is gonna supply walley word with cheap tupperware and lawnmowers to the post nuke surviviors. There is no way that could happen.

      China is the new economy. Western Europe is just on a downhill spiral.

       

      --
      http://www.writeitfor.us - Writing IT for the IT generation.
    2. Re:Update by fastest+fascist · · Score: 2, Interesting

      China doesn't really need WMDs or stolen designs to hold off an invasion. Conventional weapons combined with their sheer manpower would make it a suicidal proposal to attack them on their own turf. It's not exactly Iraq.

    3. Re:Update by RobotRunAmok · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Then there is the cyber angle. I suspect America could be pwned quite quick.

      Because...?

      Lastly, who is gonna supply walley word with cheap tupperware and lawnmowers to the post nuke surviviors

      Ohh, I see now. Midwest-hating urban hipster. never mind...

    4. Re:Update by AndrewNeo · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Midwest-hating urban hipster.

      He's just upset we'd still be here after.

    5. Re:Update by SerpentMage · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Actually people completely underestimate this...

      I always make the argument, what if China decided one day to the next that 300 million (about a quarter of their country) decided to go for a walk and moved to the US via Alaska. Do you really think anybody could stop 300 million people? Answer NO! So in other words the US could double in population and there is not a DAMM thing the US could do about it!

      In other words you could never defeat China! Face those facts and life gets simpler.

      --

      "You can't make a race horse of a pig"
      "No," said Samuel, "but you can make very fast pig"
    6. Re:Update by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Midwest-hating urban hipster.

      The weird part is, most of them come from the Midwest in the first place. We (the urban natives) don't want them either.

    7. Re:Update by 4D6963 · · Score: 4, Funny

      China is the new economy. Western Europe is just on a downhill spiral.

      No. We are Willie Wonka. China is the Oompa Loompas.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    8. Re:Update by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      of course we could defeat china. we might destroy alaska in the process, but (i can't believe i'm quoting the matrix) "there are levels of survival we are willing to accept".

    9. Re:Update by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm pretty sure a nuke or two would take care of that. It wouldn't be popular, but China wouldn't be either.

    10. Re:Update by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I always make the argument, what if China decided one day to the next that 300 million (about a quarter of their country) decided to go for a walk and moved to the US via Alaska. Do you really think anybody could stop 300 million people? Answer NO!

      I don't think anyone really has to. There isn't enough food between China and Alaska, or between Alaska and CONUS, to feed 300 million people. So if the Chinese decided to do something like this, we could reasonably expect the one survivor to be completely unnoticed in the trail of 300,000,000 corpses along the way.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    11. Re:Update by LordAndrewSama · · Score: 1, Funny

      what if China decided one day to the next that 300 million (about a quarter of their country) decided to go for a walk and moved to the US via Alaska

      300 Million people will have to take their shoes off for border control, then get sodomized or whatever the procedure for finding terrorists is?

    12. Re:Update by Big+Hairy+Ian · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Then there is the cyber angle. I suspect America could be pwned quite quick.

      Bearing in mind just about every router/switch in the US Gubment has "Made in China" on them do you honestly think there are no back doors?

      --

      Build a Man a Fire, and He'll Be Warm for a Day. Set a Man on Fire, and He'll Be Warm for the Rest of His Life.

    13. Re:Update by Sponge+Bath · · Score: 2, Funny

      ...trail of 300,000,000 corpses

      The grizzly bears, wolves, and cougars would be well fed.
      Always look on the bright side of life!

    14. Re:Update by pawnipt · · Score: 1

      LOL, my thoughts exactly =\ although china scares me!

    15. Re:Update by pjt33 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      China has a lot of coastline, but even so I imagine that most of its population aren't capable of swimming the Bering Straits, so boats will be a serious limiting factor on the number of people they can move.

    16. Re:Update by Chris+Mattern · · Score: 1

      Ha! You fell victim to one of the classic blunders! Never go up against a Sicilian when death is on the line! Wait, that's not the right one...

    17. Re:Update by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah. The only minor question is how do you move 300 million people across Alaska in a reasonable amount of time.
      The only other minor question is how will people react, when they start getting shot down like dogs, and the boss says "relax guys, there is so many of us they soon will run out of ammo". I guess you imagine they'd march forward in orderly fashion.

    18. Re:Update by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Having worked alongside and with typical Chinese engineering processes, I sleep well knowing that an attempt to actually change or reinvent something, besides simply copying it with enough precision for it to be a passable replacement, is well beyond their current 'state-of-the-art'.

    19. Re:Update by DrMaurer · · Score: 1

      At least your quote isn't an over-used one. :-)

      --
      Dan
    20. Re:Update by MakinBacon · · Score: 1

      Actually people completely underestimate this...

      I always make the argument, what if China decided one day to the next that 300 million (about a quarter of their country) decided to go for a walk and moved to the US via Alaska.

      Somehow I doubt China has enough planes and boats to move that many people.

    21. Re:Update by russotto · · Score: 1

      Do you really think anybody could stop 300 million people?

      300 million people trying to walk to the US via Alaska? Yes, without difficulty.

    22. Re:Update by DrMaurer · · Score: 0, Troll

      Wow, you're an urban native? They must have no cities at all in the midwest.

      The hipsters move because they have the resources and desires to. End of story.

      --
      Dan
    23. Re:Update by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And the US has a lot of missiles and torpedoes.

    24. Re:Update by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      I would point out that works in reverse. The Pacific fleet is far bigger than China's fleet and to get those troops into Alaska they need to cross the water. You don't need to kill 300M people, just sink the 49 amphibious craft that china has (http://www.comw.org/cmp/fulltext/iddschina.html). China is extremely limited and isn't able to invade Taiwan because of that water between them. China also doesn't have any aircraft carriers and their newest jets were obsolete by western standards before they even came out. And the Logistics for a large army means it would be very easy to deny them supplies.

      China fears its own people, everything else is just them trying to saber rattle and distract their citizens.

    25. Re:Update by CastrTroy · · Score: 1, Offtopic

      I'm guessing satellites would pick up such a mass movement of people. You could probably wipe out 80% of them before they even left Chinese soil. Sure you'd have to worry about civilian casualties, But you could just wait until they get to an uninhabited place and then bomb them. Also, if they wanted to go to alaska, they would have to cross over Russian soil. I don't think the Russians would like this, and would probably help to bomb them all. Also, they would still have to cross some ocean, as there is no connecting land mass. At that point we could easily start sinking ships. Also, it would be quite hard for them to organize 300 million people to all attack at once without some of the news of the attack getting out before they actually started to move.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    26. Re:Update by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2, Funny

      The grizzly bears, wolves, and cougars would be well fed.
      Always look on the bright side of life!

      How do you think the one survivor made it?

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    27. Re:Update by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't forget they DO have WMD, massive military complexes and stolen US designs for highly deadly weapons.

      As opposed to, say, slightly deadly weapons.

      Killing me softly with his gun, killing me softly...

    28. Re:Update by demonlapin · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Can we cut a deal? We'll keep the hipster kids from the farms from going to New York if y'all will promise to go to LA and keep them from moving into the rest of the West.

    29. Re:Update by Entropius · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Mod parent the hell up.

      I'm in Tucson for graduate school and have been here for five years. Pretty much every native Tucsonan is tired of the various metastases that have come off of the primary tumor in southern California. For my part I'm about ready to start stabbing the LA-types with sharp pointy cacti.

    30. Re:Update by sp3d2orbit · · Score: 1

      Yes true. But most of Russia is quickly turning Chinese. It is simply a matter of time before China becomes the largest country in the world by population AND size.

    31. Re:Update by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Decepticons found in Shanghai, U. S. Troops invade.

      This message has been confirmed by Hollywood.

    32. Re:Update by Mr.+Sanity · · Score: 1

      Next on Ask Slashdot:
      How do you say "Donner Party" in Chinese?

    33. Re:Update by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Issue with that is that I think China, unlike Iraq, Iran and Saudi could stand up for themselves.

      Don't forget they DO have WMD, massive military complexes and stolen US designs for highly deadly weapons.

      Another important part is that Chinese citizens generally support their government (yeah, yeah, dictatorship can have popular support), and especially in the event of U.S. invasion the patriotic feelings would be on the rise. Not only this means no lack of human resources to replace losses, but also consider: how do you counter guerrilla warfare in an occupied country with a population of 1.5 billion, virtually all of which is hostile towards you?

    34. Re:Update by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Odd, and here I thought that the people from Tucson that come to LA were just desperate to get away from the conservative, xenophobic attitude of most of the Tucsonan natives. Whereas we ship out our biggest jackasses (read conservative xenophobes) to Tucson.

      I guess it really is all a matter of perspective.

    35. Re:Update by tmosley · · Score: 1

      And when the Oompla Loompas said to WIllie Wonka, "Why do we need you any more?", he said, "Because I pay you in these little sheets of paper than I have printed. Without me, who will pay you for the things you produce?"

      They then promptly tossed him out with the bad nuts.

    36. Re:Update by Calithulu · · Score: 1

      Well, don't tell me we're involved in a land war in Asia! Oh, yeah, Afghanistan...

    37. Re:Update by MarkGriz · · Score: 1

      "so boats will be a serious limiting factor on the number of people they can move"

      Plus, Sarah Palin is reportedly keeping an eye out.

      --
      Beauty is in the eye of the beerholder.
    38. Re:Update by Entropius · · Score: 1

      Conservative xenophobes?

      There are some of those here (mostly associated with the military base here), but Tucson overall is a pretty liberal city. Phoenix, on the other hand...

    39. Re:Update by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, don't tell me we're involved in a land war in Asia! Oh, yeah, Afghanistan...

      FYI most of the "Middle East", including Iraq, is in Asia as well.

    40. Re:Update by macshit · · Score: 2, Funny

      Terrorists found in Beijing and Shanghai, U.S. Troops invade.

      Immediately get stuck in traffic. Nobody notices.

      --
      We live, as we dream -- alone....
    41. Re:Update by mgblst · · Score: 2, Interesting

      No, this is not true. I don't think you realise how powerful the US military is. They spend an order of magnitude every year more than all other countries combined. They have the most advanced equipment by far, that they wont even sell to their allies like UK and Australia.

      They don't have this stuff for Iraq or Afghanistan. They have it for Russia (less so now), and for China.

      Most of the stuff they pay for are really advanced war equipment, for fighting a major player.

      They would crush China. There is no two ways about it. They plan for it everyday, China is the big threat out there today. Not because they are aggressive, they are actually very peaceful. But they are the challenge out there.

      The US military is built around taking down China, in the hopes that they never have to.

    42. Re:Update by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "and stolen US designs for highly deadly weapons"

      You mean like worse than a bad curry?

    43. Re:Update by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      By eating 300,000,000 corpses?

    44. Re:Update by mjwx · · Score: 1

      I don't think anyone really has to. There isn't enough food between China and Alaska, or between Alaska and CONUS, to feed 300 million people. So if the Chinese decided to do something like this, we could reasonably expect the one survivor to be completely unnoticed in the trail of 300,000,000 corpses along the way.

      Plus there is the issue of getting 300 million people to do any single thing in any kind of semi-organised fashion. Contrary to some US people's beliefs the Chinese people aren't sheep following an authoritarian government, the Chinese people are very independent and will happily refuse an extreme order (and the Chinese government has built itself around the traits of the Chinese people).

      In addition to this has there ever been, throughout all of recorded human history a successful forced migration. Forced migration in recent history tends to go hand in hand with the word genocide.

      and there's the bearing strait, that would cause a bit of a problem for people on foot.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
    45. Re:Update by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You know they eat everything that moves, including grizzly bears, wolves, and cougars

    46. Re:Update by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...trail of 300,000,000 corpses

      Best heavy metal band name EVER

    47. Re:Update by Domini+Canes · · Score: 1

      Ah, you think in the right direction here my friend, however there is one more step you are missing.
      Actually those 300m people could get to US (provided that there is enough water along the route) if they resort to cannibalism.
      In such setup quite a few people would get through, eating their fellow-travelers.

      It's a little bit like a rocket equation - rocket goes up, carrying rocket fuel and spending that rocket fuel along the way.
      You just need to plug the right constants into equation.

      I would SWAG that some 50m (1 out of 6) would get through to USA.

    48. Re:Update by Domini+Canes · · Score: 1

      WRONG.

      Any grizzly bears, wolves and cougars, who are misfortunate enough to find themselves near migratory path of this mass of people would be EATEN.
      Such a mass of people in need would strip the land bare.

      Such things are not theoretical but do happen - e.g. in the past army campaigns....

    49. Re:Update by Loko+Draucarn · · Score: 1

      Where do the Vermicious Knids fit into this metaphor?

    50. Re:Update by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The cannibalism thought occurred to me too, and I heard on a radio program that 1 cannibalised human can feed something like 75 people (presumably that's just one meal). I wouldn't be surprised if the figure making it through was somewhat higher than 1 in 6.

  4. and so it begins... by Dharkfiber · · Score: 1

    Maybe they are already finished with those aircraft carriers I saw being built in Dalian last year.

    1. Re:and so it begins... by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      That one may be, but they have many more coming. Along with the multitude of nukes that they are building and the 1-2 new boomers each year. Personally, I do not mind a dozen boomers and say 500 nukes. Problem is that they are positioning themselves for a first strike, not a defensive position. My understanding is that all the new warheads are neutrons, not regular hydrogen bombs. When I see that, it makes me nervous that Obama and others are talking about dropping our nukes. If we have enough, we guarantee MAD, which guarantees no first strike. OTH, if somebody thinks that a nuke war is winnable, then it is possible for countries to be ran by fools/idiots (google GWB or Mao Zedong) who would then go for it.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    2. Re:and so it begins... by Calithulu · · Score: 1

      All the more reason to fund missile defense systems. The one Boeing (and partners) has been working on is still in test, and over budget, but a 75% hit ratio is a good starting point. Now we need to deploy the damn thing on the West Coast, Hawaii, and Alaska.

      Destroy their ability to create an overwhelming first strike and you've already prevented a war... now we just have to compete economically.

  5. That's ok by Joebert · · Score: 2, Funny

    That's ok, we still have plenty of Uranium...

    --
    Wanna fight ? Bend over, stick your head up your ass, and fight for air.
    1. Re:That's ok by tgd · · Score: 1

      No we don't. That comes from Africa.

    2. Re:That's ok by bramblez · · Score: 1

      Actually, you may be more correct than you realized. Reprocessing spent nuclear fuel is a great way to get rare earths. Depending on which, you might have to wait a few years for them to cool down though. In the long term, I think they're our best supply, or perhaps asteroids.

    3. Re:That's ok by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The new alchemy? Uranium + technology = you give me whatever I want?

  6. I for One... by modmans2ndcoming · · Score: 1

    I for one Welcome our new, short, communist overlords.

    1. Re:I for One... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except there are more communists in the Republican party than in all of China.

    2. Re:I for One... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are they any better than the current tall black communist overlord err POTUS...

    3. Re:I for One... by Entropius · · Score: 1

      Those are fascists; there's a difference.

  7. Space Exploration Curtailed by Benson+Arizona · · Score: 3, Funny

    Let's hope that they don't stop dilithium shipments!

  8. Operation Chinese Freedom by characterZer0 · · Score: 0, Redundant

    Looks like we have to "liberate" another country from an authoritarian regime.

    --
    Go green: turn off your refrigerator.
    1. Re:Operation Chinese Freedom by fastest+fascist · · Score: 1

      Try that, and I think you'll find in communist China, it is the authoritarian regime that liberates the people of the aggressor nation.

    2. Re:Operation Chinese Freedom by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      Sure ... you can live without all those cheap Chinese imports.

      Just wait 'til the price of training shoes, TV sets and video consoles goes through the roof.

      --
      No sig today...
    3. Re:Operation Chinese Freedom by mrboyd · · Score: 1

      Both countries have the capacity to annihilate each other and I have difficulty seeing how it would end up differently. I can't see how the US would win a conventional warfare as 350 millions people nation trying to beat into submission a 1.6 billion correctly armed one seems just impossible. Even in the eventuality of a US victory it would be impossible for them to get any kind of control over a territory that big even if they shipped every US citizen over there. Invading China would be a moot point.

      Most likely they would end up nuking the crap out of each other and we would all get to play fallout for free. (well.. not all of us.)

    4. Re:Operation Chinese Freedom by lwsimon · · Score: 1

      I realize you're just being contrary, but China lacks the force projection to threaten the us militarily.

      --
      Learn about Photography Basics.
    5. Re:Operation Chinese Freedom by maxume · · Score: 1

      New Balance sources most of their labor from the U.S. (or at least, much of it, I'm not sure how things break down exactly), and while they don't charge $10, they don't exactly charge a fortune either.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    6. Re:Operation Chinese Freedom by chrispatch · · Score: 1

      I heard a quote from my time in the military (a long time ago, when the Soviets/Warsaw pact were the big bad enemy).

      "China could field an army of 17-30 year old males greater than our population". The conventional wisdom was they lacked the logistics and force projection to deploy any meaningful force against us.

      A general told me "True, but if we nuked a million of them a day , we would still have a few years work ahead of us"

      Scary!

    7. Re:Operation Chinese Freedom by kimvette · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Oh, you must be one of those self-hating white liberals! Jay Severin is right, you people really are that stupid.

      How many colonies has America set up since WWII? How many people has America freed (or attempted to free in the cases of Vietnam and Korea - and yes, I know the Democrats got us involved in Vietnam through engineered situations but let's ignore that since it is irrelevant)? Didn't America free almost an entire continent way back in WWII? Hasn't every conflict America has gotten into in recent years resulted in more liberty for the citizens of the invaded country?

      Are Iraq, Kuwait, and Afghanistan now American colonies? Or, was Kuwait freed from aggressors, and were Iraq and Afghanistan freed from oppressive megalomaniac tyrants?

      Don't get me wrong; I don't agree with the stated reasons for getting into the (second) Iraq war. If George DUHbya Bush were honest and said "Hussein is a douchebag and needs killin'" in classic Texas style, I'd have supported it. If he had said more eloquently "Hussein is an oppressive tyrant and we need to deal with him preemptively" I'd have supported that. However, Bush lied about WMD. I don't not support the war and not support the troops; I don't support the contrived reasons for getting into it when it was clear as day that there were many very real good reasons to terminate Hussein's regime.

      Have you spoken with any troops who have gone there? I have. Several of my friends have done "tours" there. They all say the Iraqis are grateful for what was done.

      It may be true that Iraqis are tired of our troops being there, but they're not afraid of dying for voting for the "wrong" candidate in elections any more, or voting the "wrong" way on any issues. If you think that is the result of imperialist tactics, I don't think that any rational discussion can be had with you.

      Also, in case you missed it: China has carried out several acts of war against us in the last decade or so, one of those being colliding with and downing one of our EP-3 aircraft that was over international waters. Now, it's true that the EP-3 is a reconnaissance aircraft, but surveying foreign territories is SOP, for China, Russia, and America alike. You don't see us taking down Chinese aircraft, do you. China is an aggressor and why we treat them as most favored trading partner is beyond me.

      --
      The Christian Right is Neither (Christian nor right). See: Matthew 23, Matthew 25, Ezekiel 16:48-50
    8. Re:Operation Chinese Freedom by FooAtWFU · · Score: 2, Insightful

      China is an aggressor and why we treat them as most favored trading partner is beyond me.

      Treat them as an aggressor and there will be war and millions (of Americans, even!) might die. Treat them as a trading partner and there will be trade and millions will have manufactured goods (that they wouldn't otherwise). Not exactly a difficult decision...

      --
      The World Wide Web is dying. Soon, we shall have only the Internet.
    9. Re:Operation Chinese Freedom by mark-t · · Score: 1

      China is an aggressor and why we treat them as most favored trading partner is beyond me.

      This is a no-brainer... it's because they could totally kick our ass if push came to shove.

    10. Re:Operation Chinese Freedom by fastest+fascist · · Score: 1

      Oh, you must be one of those overly defensive knee-jerk militarists.

      Sheesh,way to go off on a tangent. All I said was, China isn't the kind of place the US can just waltz into and "liberate". They're not exactly defenseless. What your baseless assumptions about my political agenda or your rants about China's aggression have to do with it is beyond me. The fact remains, currently any military conflict between China and USA or allied countries would be far too costly for both parties to be worth it, both in terms of military losses and in terms of economic ramifications. And that, I suspect, is also why your country isn't taking an aggressive approach to Chinese transgressions.

    11. Re:Operation Chinese Freedom by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "You don't see us taking down Chinese aircraft, do you."

      All that means is we are better at doing it.

    12. Re:Operation Chinese Freedom by wvmarle · · Score: 1

      Also, in case you missed it: China has carried out several acts of war against us in the last decade or so, one of those being colliding with and downing one of our EP-3 aircraft that was over international waters.

      If it is an incident like the blocking of some US marine vessel then not sure who is correct. In that case the US sais their vessel was in international waters, China said it was their waters. That because China was lookign at an international agreement that the US didn't sign. So both were right, in a way.

      Also Chinas army as it stands is primarily defensive (except forces aimed at Taiwan). They don't even have an aircraft carrier yet. Now compare that to the US army. Chinese military bases can be found all over China, US military bases are all over the world. Oh and have a look at the number of wars they were in - or better, the number they started in the last couple decades. I wouldn't see China as more aggressive than the USA at all.

      Now, it's true that the EP-3 is a reconnaissance aircraft, but surveying foreign territories is SOP, for China, Russia, and America alike. You don't see us taking down Chinese aircraft, do you. China is an aggressor and why we treat them as most favored trading partner is beyond me.

      I have also not yet heard about Chinese military aircraft flying missions in or near US air space. Save Alaska they may not even have the capacity to do so in a substantial manner.

    13. Re:Operation Chinese Freedom by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      Ever since the Korean war, "liberation" has proven increasingly difficult. Many of these countries we try to "liberate" don't understand or relate to democracy and western values and we haven't figured out how to make them "get it". Plus, it gives the US a reputation for interference. We created the problem in Iran by propping up a greedy dictator, for example. And, Saddam acted as a counter-balance to Iran, as bad as he was. In his absence, Iran's influence has grown. Our record of meddling is poor. There's as many failures as successes. Let's try NOT meddling for a few decades and see if things are better or the same. We shouldn't meddle unless there is a CLEAR advantage of meddling.

      As far as China, they wouldn't have so much money for their military if we simply didn't run a giant trade deficit with them. Tariffs are not evil, they reduce imbalance-caused bubbles, for one; and encourage more purchasing on their part. (And it wouldn't trigger a "trade war" because they don't buy enough from us to have real counter-leverage. It's like a VW Beetle trying to play Chicken with a Hummer.)
           

    14. Re:Operation Chinese Freedom by sp3d2orbit · · Score: 1

      Very well said. It didn't take a genius to see that the WMD talk in the run up the war was just propaganda. Anyone who fell for the propaganda as the true reason for the war is exactly as stupid as GWB wanted them to be.

      I tried to find a paper I read in the 90's, but can't find it online anymore. It was written by 4 Chinese generals as basically they're version of "A Project for a New American Century". It laid out exactly how China should compete with and conquer the United States in the long term. Most notably it stressed asymmetric warfare on all fronts.

      As I see China buying up our economy, restricting our access to necessary resources, propping up anti-America regimes in Venezuala, Iran, Sudan..... I can't help but think that the paper has been implemented and the war has already started. The Chinese leadership is much, much smarter than the American populace.

    15. Re:Operation Chinese Freedom by CCW · · Score: 1

      >> The Chinese leadership is much, much smarter than the American populace.

      you don't set a very high bar. Americans as a group are incredibly willfully ignorant and shortsighted. Electing a willfully ignorant president, twice, is but one example. Pulling children out of PUBLIC schools so they don't get brainwashed by a speech made by the President of the United States is another. Not building nuclear power plants due to irrational fear of radiation is another. Not recognizing that taxes and spending actually have to balance in the long term. Not insisting politicians deal with the structural imbalances of Medicare and Social Security early to minimize the pain.

      There are many more examples...

    16. Re:Operation Chinese Freedom by drsquare · · Score: 1

      Hasn't every conflict America has gotten into in recent years resulted in more liberty for the citizens of the invaded country?

      Are you only counting the ones where American directly intervened, or are you including the ones where the war was fought through the CIA?

    17. Re:Operation Chinese Freedom by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not to mention that all those wonderfully noble "freedom" exercises kill a hell of a lot of people. Saddam may have been an evil bastard, but the war has caused the deaths of tens to hundreds of thousands of people and made Iraq an unstable, terrorist-filled hellhole. Improvement? Even if it did hypothetically improve the "freedom" of the population, would they think it was worth the price? For WWII, perhaps, but Iraq?

    18. Re:Operation Chinese Freedom by Calithulu · · Score: 1

      Well, current estimates of military strength beg to differ.

      I once read that their military has one gun for every eight "fighting" troops currently. While I doubt this is true, looking at the numbers the CIA gives for their army it appears unlikely that the US would be outgunned, even if the US would be out-manned.

      However, their nukes will certainly annihilate us even as ours annihilate them, so war really isn't a viable proposition.

    19. Re:Operation Chinese Freedom by lwsimon · · Score: 1

      Meh, not really. If it came to full-scale nuclear war, most of China's population is near the coasts. We could take out their entire industrial infrastructure in half an hour with SLBMs. They are also somewhat reliant on hydro power in many locations, and dams wouldn't last long in all-out war.

      A few million soldiers do no good at all if you can't feed, fuel, or clothe them.

      Cool tidbit - the Three Gorges Dam holds back enough water that the filling of the reservoir actually caused small earthquakes from the shifting of the Earth's crust to accommodate the weight. Breach the dam, and all that weight moves quickly - a nuclear war could actually cause fairly serious earthquakes in the region.

      --
      Learn about Photography Basics.
  9. And so it begins... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I *never* expected this would happen

  10. Background information by auric_dude · · Score: 1
    1. Re:Background information by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I could swear I'd seen this exact same Times article as a front page topic on Slashdot earlier too. But maybe it was in a user comment instead.

      Maybe it's just a weird deja-vu feeling.

  11. Not a Great Analogy by eldavojohn · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Just what the world economy needs. A single-country "cartel" that will cause prices to greatly rise. This should be interesting to watch.

    I guess rare-earth metals are the new "oil".

    Some key points you may have missed from the article:

    Mr Stephens said China had put global competitors out of business in the early 1990s by flooding the market, leading to the closure of the biggest US rare earth mine at Mountain Pass in California - now being revived by Molycorp Minerals.

    So, if this goes through, we merely open the mine in California. I'll feel better about paying a higher price for something if it is created under tighter environmental regulations than what they have in China. Cheap labor and lack of an EPA and potential corrupted officials? Of course they can undercut California!

    Secondly a rare metals dealer in Australia said

    This isn't about the China holding the world to ransom. They are saying we need these resources to develop our own economy and achieve energy efficiency, so go find your own supplies.

    So your analogy is lacking in many ways. We can refine the metals here and China needs them for their own growing demand.

    --
    My work here is dung.
    1. Re:Not a Great Analogy by raddan · · Score: 4, Interesting

      On the other hand, cost drives innovation. As the article stated, it may take several years to bring the old rare-earth mines back into operation. In that time, we either pay more, or use our engineering degrees and come up with workarounds. I have a feeling that the latter may frequently be the case. For instance, if rare-earths are required to manufacture hard disk drives, SSDs (which I assume do not require these metals since they require no magnets) will probably become favorable.

      China's move may affect regular people but I suspect not. This is probably more important to you if you're in manufacturing or trade.

    2. Re:Not a Great Analogy by ZekoMal · · Score: 1
      Actually, that just makes it more like oil. When we were first denied oil, we immediately plunged into our own giant oil fields and sucked 'em dry. Now we have no choice but to rely on the Middle East. So, unless these rare-Earth metals are renewing themselves, in the future we'll probably run out before China does and then have to rely on them.

      China could possibly have purely innocent reasons to do it...but...I just don't see any government anywhere doing anything that doesn't simultaneously help them and harm someone else. In this case, cutting off the rest of the world and just sitting on the metals could lead to another monopoly that we need if we want to continue our research.

    3. Re:Not a Great Analogy by jonbryce · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Or alternatively we buy our hard drives from Chinese manufacturers, which I think is what they want to happen..

    4. Re:Not a Great Analogy by lambent · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Our oil fields are not dry. Our demand outstrips domestic production. It's just easier to buy refined oil from other countries. The bottleneck has been our craptacular refineries for some decades, now.

      We have lots of choices of where to get oil, including the choice to stop using oil. It's just easier to pay someone else to do it for us.

      I assume the same is true of these rare earth metals.

    5. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So your analogy is lacking in many ways. We can refine the metals here and China needs them for their own growing demand.

      To follow this argument through: because every country needs everything, it makes every country better off to ban export of everything. Then they can produce lots of useful goods by combining their now much bigger store of export-banned materials with the component parts they import from other countries.

    6. Re:Not a Great Analogy by EroticPotato · · Score: 1

      I agree.

    7. Re:Not a Great Analogy by ZekoMal · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Not dry, but not nearly enough to supply us. If we stopped importing oil and relied on just our remaining oil, we wouldn't even be able to power the country for a year.

      Furthermore, we can't stop using oil until someone finds an alternative. Know why? Our public water, manufacturing, electricity, heating, transportation, food, shipping...you name it, you can trace oil back to it. We have the choice to stop using oil, but in doing so prematurely, we would be reduced to horse drawn carriages and made-by-hand stuff. If you pass a cursory glance at Congress, they're at best doing a half-assed attempt at fixing the oil problem, but it's not a priority to them.

      So we'll probably end up in a similar situation with rare earth metals. With our own fields being opened up, the power of money will convince the users of these metals to make their product indispensable and integral to American life. Once demand goes way over American supply, we'll rely on China. Then we'll have the same discussion about whatever new quirky natural material America desires and thinks it can get on its own.

    8. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually the bottleneck has been the impossibility of bringing additional refining capacity online in the US. This is mostly about NIMBY syndrome, but also about regulatory hurdles. Just try starting a new refinery in the US: best of luck to you. If you do get a location that will allow it, you will find that you have no access to shipping (must rely only on a pipeline that you have to build and get right of ways for in order to get feedstock). In short, it can't be done without major losses.

    9. Re:Not a Great Analogy by hany · · Score: 4, Funny

      Or alternatively we buy our hard drives from Chinese manufacturers, which I think is what they want to happen..

      ... and "mine" those Chinese hard-drives for this rare materials to manufacture our own hard drives. :)

      --
      hany
    10. Re:Not a Great Analogy by cats-paw · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I'll feel better about paying a higher price for something if it is created under tighter environmental regulations than what they have in China. Cheap labor and lack of an EPA and potential corrupted officials? Of course they can undercut California!

      Isn't this the problem ? There is no such thing as "free trade". We're all Ferengi now, the profit is what's important. The mine should have not been allowed to close in the first place. It's ridiculous to say companies have to compete when the competition is an autocratic country with no environmental laws and other "advantages".

      And no, the answer is not to weaken our environmental laws, that's called the race to the bottom, and I don't want to run in that race.

      Child labor, lack of environmental laws, repressive regimes, none of it matters when it comes to "free trade".

      --
      Absolute statements are never true
    11. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your information is lacking. We do not buy refined oil from other countries. We buy crude oil from other countries and sell refined oil back to them. There is no refinement capability in the middle east at all, nearly all gasoline sold in the middle east is refined in the United States.

    12. Re:Not a Great Analogy by ZekoMal · · Score: 2, Interesting
      [citation please]

      Your post argues that everyone, including the oil companies, are lying to us. That we have plenty of oil that we're just not using because of hippies.

    13. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, if this goes through, we merely open the mine in California.

      In other words, we're fucked.

    14. Re:Not a Great Analogy by mc1138 · · Score: 1

      You might have missed where it said it could take years to bring the other world sources back online, and the fact that they won't be able to produce enough to meet demand. Yes this very well could be about China helping to grow its own economy, but it is more likely about them thinking long term, great for them, bad for everyone else that needs these resources. The analogy is pretty spot on that this is going to put a crunch on things the same way the gas crisis of the 70's did, especially if fuel efficient cars double in price effectively making them worthless from a cost perspective. Even if the US mine is able to meet our demand, because it will take so long to get up and running there will be a huge crunch in the interim that could set the US and the rest of the world behind in developing new more efficient technologies. Just some food for thought...

    15. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Joebert · · Score: 2, Funny

      [citation needed]

      Everybody lies.

      --
      Wanna fight ? Bend over, stick your head up your ass, and fight for air.
    16. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Frankly, I miss the days of over-engineered machines built of inferior materials.

      I have wood working machines from the early 1900's that are more durable, accurate, and mammoth than the cheap plastic shit you buy today.

      Funny thing is, they still work. Like new.

      If this means we actually start over-engineering and building things to -last- again, I'm all for it.

    17. Re:Not a Great Analogy by OwnedByTwoCats · · Score: 1

      US Oil production peaked in 1970, at around 9 1/2 million barrels per day. Current US Oil production is down to 5 million barrels per day, and is dropping at an average around 150,000 barrels per day per year. Ten years out, if we're lucky, the US will produce 3 1/5 million barrels per day. Oh, and US demand for oil is at 10 million barrels per day and rising.

    18. Re:Not a Great Analogy by BlueStrat · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Not dry, but not nearly enough to supply us. If we stopped importing oil and relied on just our remaining oil, we wouldn't even be able to power the country for a year.

      Well then, we need to tell the environmental groups to shut up and start drilling in ANWAR and the Gulf of Mexico where there were new huge deposits just discovered and in all the other places where they scream either about some lizard, worm, fish, or where they're completely talking out of their ass like with Caribou in Alaska which absolutely love pipelines, etc. Their numbers skyrocket because of the favorable conditions. We also need to tell the NIMBY crowd tough toodles too.

      I'm sick to death of the people who scream bloody murder about domestic oil drilling while expecting society to provide them with a lifestyle, technology, and consumer goods & services that demand we do things they protest about. You can't have it both ways. TANSTAAFL.

      Technology and our knowledge & skills have advanced and we can now drill with far, far less impact than in the '60s, or even the '90s. The same goes for mining.

      Resource infrastructure is really where the US is lacking and what drives the US to engage in much of the types of foreign-policy nastiness so many dislike in order to obtain what our modern society needs to sustain itself while refusing to pay the price ourselves. There are resources the country *must* have to sustain itself and our lifestyles.

      If we prevent those resources from being obtained domestically, then we'll have to live with making nice with countries that abuse their people, trample freedom, are militarily aggressive, support terrorism, and want to harm the US & the West in general. And who, by the way, also don't give a crap how much they pollute the planet. We just end up outsourcing our pollution and enable bad people to do bad things.

      At least if we're drilling in ANWAR, the Gulf, and offshore in California, or mining in California and elsewhere domestically, we can limit the environmental impact which won't happen if we're getting our resources from China, the Middle East, and elsewhere.

      We can mitigate our oil consumption to an extent, but it will realistically take 3 to 5 decades to make a truly significant impact unless we are prepared to allow many people to suffer and many to die unnecessary deaths. We will still need large amounts of oil to sustain plastics, medicines, etc even if we reduce transportation-related uses significantly.

      Or, alternatively, we can just keep whining about domestic oil drilling and domestic mining, in which case little will change except for things getting worse.

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    19. Re:Not a Great Analogy by ZekoMal · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I'm not against drilling; drill away. The problem is that there isn't enough; even if we just started drilling in every spot we could, we wouldn't have enough. It's. Not. Sustainable. Every time we find a new pocket of oil, everybody falls silent and slows down work on alternative energy. Look at our alternative energy options: all of them rely on oil in some way. We have no plans, and drilling to fix our oil problems is so short term that it's laughable.

    20. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Svartalf · · Score: 1

      Our demand only outstrips domestic production because it's cheaper to get it elsewhere than here. It's a bottom line thing coupled with holding on to the bulk of what we've got for a rainy day.

      --
      I am not merely a "consumer" or a "taxpayer". I am a Citizen of the State of Texas
    21. Re:Not a Great Analogy by ZekoMal · · Score: 1

      B-b-but then...you're lying too D: I'll never trust again!

    22. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Hurricane78 · · Score: 1

      Well, at the current quality of being cheap knock-offs adopted from foreign products, produced with no experience and outdated factories, I don't think we want to buy those. ;)

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
    23. Re:Not a Great Analogy by BlueStrat · · Score: 1

      I'm not against drilling; drill away. The problem is that there isn't enough; even if we just started drilling in every spot we could, we wouldn't have enough. It's. Not. Sustainable. Every time we find a new pocket of oil, everybody falls silent and slows down work on alternative energy. Look at our alternative energy options: all of them rely on oil in some way. We have no plans, and drilling to fix our oil problems is so short term that it's laughable.

      That depends on what you call "sustainable". Nuclear is not "sustainable". Our sun is not "sustainable". The universe will die of heat-death and is not "sustainable". Nothing is "sustainable". Two or three hundred years of oil combined with a sensible usage & conservation policy should be sufficient to see us start to harvest comets and other off-planet resources for hydrocarbons.

      We have nothing practical in the immediate future to replace oil. The only way we could make truly significant cuts (20-30-40%) in oil usage over the next 2-3 decades would involve much death and suffering. People would not tolerate it and would throw out any government that attempted it.

      Take the example of the Chinese export bans on rare metals. Would you be ok with and re-elect politicians in the US and/or other Western countries that favored banning production and ownership of private-citizen-owned personal computers to conserve resources?

      Or would you insist that they mine domestically?

      This is one of the reasons we need a well-funded and aggressive space program. No matter how much we conserve we will run out of stuff on this planet.

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    24. Re:Not a Great Analogy by ZekoMal · · Score: 1

      Yup, but as of right now the plan is to drill just to keep living as we do, and not to expand into space. If we don't start working on the future now, we're gonna be screwed when the future arrives at our doorstep. You can certainly kiss the space station dream goodbye if we run out of oil before we figure out how to harvest from space.

    25. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And if it costs manufactures more for materials who do you think is going to pay for the increase?

    26. Re:Not a Great Analogy by ZarathustraDK · · Score: 1

      That depends on what you call "sustainable". Nuclear is not "sustainable". Our sun is not "sustainable". The universe will die of heat-death and is not "sustainable". Nothing is "sustainable". Two or three hundred years of oil combined with a sensible usage & conservation policy should be sufficient to see us start to harvest comets and other off-planet resources for hydrocarbons.

      And so the cosmic law of expected hostility from extra-terrestrial civilizations arose: Since oil and the universe is not sustainable, and since oil is organic, there is a high likelihood that any extra-terrestrials possessing the technology to visit Earth will do so with the motive of converting us into oil.

      --
      If you quote this signature there'll be 72 copies of Windows ME waiting for you in Heaven.
    27. Re:Not a Great Analogy by mR.bRiGhTsId3 · · Score: 1

      By some (admittedly conspiracy theorist nuts) there are several fields on/near alaska besides ANWR that could sustain all of America at 2000 consumption levels for 100 years. Clearly not sustainable, but that would definitely buy us plenty of time to make the transition. I always thought it makes more sense to have a long term plan about it. Drill for oil and then slowly ratched up a tax on it to fund investement in other energy sources and de-incentivize its use. If you have 50 - 100 years, the price increases aren't going to be painful for the average consumer and there should be plenty of people working on alternatives since everyone knows whats coming. Unfortunately, that is probably too long for the US gov't to make plans by a factor of about 50/4 (6 or 8).

    28. Re:Not a Great Analogy by sp3d2orbit · · Score: 0, Troll

      A biologist I studied under in college took yearly trips to the northern Alaska. He worked at the cancer research institute at my university and went to Alaska every year to collect biological samples. Those samples were brought back to the institute and analyzed for any cancer treating properties. Most didn't have an affect but some of the animals from that region did contain compounds that were effective in killing tumor cells.

      These yearly trips it was always with a group of biologists. Some biologists where from other universities. But, some of the biologists were from the oil companies. Their job was to travel to the same areas, the areas now proposed for drilling, to certify that there was nothing of biological significance in the desired territory. Which, of course, they dutifully did.

    29. Re:Not a Great Analogy by sp3d2orbit · · Score: 1

      You realize that you got a -1 for using the term "loony leftist" not because of the content of your statement. Next time be more careful, censorship does exist on slashdot.

    30. Re:Not a Great Analogy by mujadaddy · · Score: 1

      Pretty confused as to why you felt the need to hide your identity for this post; it's a good comment.

      --
      Populus vult decipi, ergo decipiatur...
      "Force shits upon Reason's back." - Poor Richard's Almanac
    31. Re:Not a Great Analogy by AJWM · · Score: 2, Informative

      Two or three hundred years of oil combined with a sensible usage & conservation policy should be sufficient to see us start to harvest comets and other off-planet resources for hydrocarbons. (emphasis added)

      Right. Like that's going to happen.

      Of course we no longer have two or three hundred years' worth of oil, and as for harvesting off-planet hydrocarbons . . . for what? To burn them? If you though the greenhouse effect was bad now . . . .
      (BTW, all the propane on Titan wouldn't meet the US's propane needs for more than a year and a half, although we'd do better with the ethane.)

      The other options - nuclear, solar, etc may not be infinitely sustainable, but they're a lot closer to it in human terms than oil or even coal.

      --
      -- Alastair
    32. Re:Not a Great Analogy by ZekoMal · · Score: 0, Troll
      This ignores that pretty much all of the oil companies have over-exaggerated how much oil they are actually getting from their fields. It's already estimated that we discovered all of the large oil fields by the 50's, and that we've already tapped all of the easy to drill fields.

      If that's true, it will cost more to drill the new fields in Alaska, both in energy and money, then they would actually get from drilling.

      We need to think up a plan that can generate more energy without needing oil to start it. If we can't figure it out soon, we'll see oil rationed off strictly to research. I don't think the common people will enjoy not being able to drive to work and having to farm/hunt/forage until the collective governments of the world agree to stop fighting and work together to save us.

      So, in order for us to succeed, we would need the following:

      -No more war

      -Everyone working together, damning the expenses and not cheating anyone out of anything, 100% transparency

      -Rationing of oil to work on necessities like new fuel and space colonies, thus taking it apart as a business: no profit, no set costs

      -Cutting spending on weapons, ocean exploration, bridges, roads, and everything else to focus on getting this done quickly

      If those things happen, I can see it all working out. Otherwise, we'll have delays, government hoop jumping, wars, profiteers, and long UN meetings ironing out who gets what chunk of space so that everyone can prepare for space wars. Unless the entire world agrees to cooperate, we will waste a -lot- of time and energy figuring out useless and pointless things. If they don't cooperate and do things quickly, we'll end up with a shoddily built space station, space wars, space pirates, and very limited resources. Our current ways, political and consumption, will only serve to destroy us in this Utopian space future we all desire.

    33. Re:Not a Great Analogy by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      By some (admittedly conspiracy theorist nuts) there are several fields on/near alaska besides ANWR that could sustain all of America at 2000 consumption levels for 100 years.

      Too bad they're admitted conspiracy nuts, not geophysical engineers. Alaska has been researched by all sorts of geology types with multiple agendas. If there were huge economically viable deposits, then we would all know about them. There are enormous deposits of petrochemicals in Alaska and Canada (ie, the Alberta shale sands), but they're not viable at this point.

      We have plenty of petrochemicals (think coal) - the issues are the costs to recover it. Both from an economic and environmental standpoint.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    34. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 1

      Lots of hard drives from the major brands seem to be made in China already.

    35. Re:Not a Great Analogy by TheLink · · Score: 1

      Thing is you only see the ones that didn't break (and/or that people bothered to maintain).

      --
    36. Re:Not a Great Analogy by drsmithy · · Score: 1

      I have wood working machines from the early 1900's that are more durable, accurate, and mammoth than the cheap plastic shit you buy today.

      And were probably priced (relatively speaking) to match, with fewer capabilities.

      If this means we actually start over-engineering and building things to -last- again, I'm all for it.

      You can buy stuff that lasts today, but it'll cost you (and probably won't have as many features).

    37. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Joce640k · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The Chinese have started a massive pebble-bed reactor building program. They're got the economy, they'll have the energy, they have the mineral resources.... They'll also own an awful lot of American mortgages and can squeeze the USA on debt repayments.

      The USA will be a second class citizen in a few years time if they stop being such consumer-driven dumbasses.

      --
      No sig today...
    38. Re:Not a Great Analogy by amicusNYCL · · Score: 1

      I agree.

      --
      "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
    39. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I disagree with your statement that we don't have enough oil. Each and every year we are told that we are going to run out of oil. The weekly reader told me when I was 8 yrs old in 20years we would be out of oil. Now Im 38yrs old and we have found more oil than we had 30 years ago. The Dept of Land management has concluded we have 1.2 to 2 trillion barrels of oil in our territory. Not that I dont want alternative energy because electric has the potential to deliver unlimited amounts of power when it comes to autos. But currently its almost more wasteful than sticking strictly oil. You may say well we will run out , you may be correct but the question is when ? For decades we have heard the doom and gloom reports of 20 years which seems to be the magic number for all who claim this will take place but never seems to materialize. Whats amazing is if you look out in Saudi Arabia they are finding old wells somehow once again are becoming productive and theres only theory as to the reasons why. So until alternative is better than oil I would say its going to be a very long time or until the technology is geared to optimize alternative energy which I personally would like to see rather than using oil the way we do. Im all about efficiency. We will need oil for a very long time no matter what but to the extent we use it I would liek to see less and less of it being used.

    40. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Calithulu · · Score: 1

      You realize that you got a -1 for using the term "loony leftist" not because of the content of your statement. Next time be more careful, censorship does exist on slashdot.

      If I put "loony leftist" in a statement I would expect moderation to kick it down. If I put "fascist neo-con" I would expect the same. While a statement may have valid points, sophomoric name calling is a perfectly legitimate reason to mod someone down.

    41. Re:Not a Great Analogy by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      ... and "mine" those Chinese hard-drives for this rare materials to manufacture our own hard drives. :)

      I think a more likely scenario is that we pay Taiwan or even Vietnam to do that for us (both mining and manufacturing).

    42. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Calithulu · · Score: 1

      Not at all. California has a major industry in agriculture and raw materials. We'll just have to do it in a way that meets EPA standards. While businesses will bitch, they won't have the excuse that foreign competition is driving them out of business since that foreign competition has willingly stopped exporting. Frankly, on this issue I'd like to see tariffs on rare earth metals to keep the business in house just in case the Chinese change their mind later and once again dump materials to drive our industry out of business.

      While we're at it, lets get steel production going again. I know Michigan and Pennsylvania could use the industry...

    43. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Adambomb · · Score: 1

      Child labor, lack of environmental laws, repressive regimes, none of it matters when it comes to "free trade".

      and is probably one or more of the rules of acquisition!

      --
      Ice Cream has no bones.
    44. Re:Not a Great Analogy by myrdos2 · · Score: 1

      The wikipedia says US oilfields are running dry. You're already down to 1940s levels of production, less than half of what you used to produce.

      http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/5/58/Hubbert_US_high.svg

    45. Re:Not a Great Analogy by jbengt · · Score: 3, Insightful

      No long term need to drill in expensive, hard to reach places. The US has plenty of matural gas and coal, which could replace much of the oil when costs rise enough to get people to do the engineering.

    46. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We could also pour more research dollars into recycling of rare metals that we already have instead of shipping it all back to China to sit in landfills when we're done with it. 50 years from now when the world has exhausted all the natural sources of these metals, China will be fine since they can just start to mine the dumps that are full of discarded tech gear.

      A current hard drive shouldn't require much more rare-earth material to produce than one from 10 years ago. If we salvage those metals from the discarded drives, it should be possible to build almost as many new drives without importing new raw materials.

    47. Re:Not a Great Analogy by harlows_monkeys · · Score: 1

      It's not just China we have to worry about, though. There are about a dozen or so elements that are important to US technology that we rely on imports for. Some, like the ones we get from China, we have supplies of ourselves--we just don't mine them because it was cheaper to import, so we can switch to domestic sources, albeit it a higher cost. However, there are some for which the US only has a small supply, such as platinum.

      Collectively, these are called strategic minerals, and a distressingly large fraction of the world's supply of many of them are concentrated in small countries that are very politically unstable.

    48. Re:Not a Great Analogy by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      The problem with alternative energy is the NIMBY crowd as well. Just look at how long it has taken us to get back to building nuclear reactors, and that tech is proven with a great track record. I for one would be happy to see more reactors like AR Nuclear 1 & 2 providing cheap sustainable power to our country, like what I currently enjoy here in AR.

      But I'm afraid you'll have the NIMBYs lined up around the block having a living shitfit every time somebody wants to build one, as we have seen time and time again. At least with oil it is refined in already built refineries to which the NIMBYs don't have a shitfit. But we have seen shitfits over nuclear, wind, solar, etc, because the NIMBYs think it is fine and dandy as long as it is built nowhere near THEM. Which is why if we are ultimately gonna get anywhere we are just gonna have to tell the NIMBY to STFU. And since I have been castigated in the past for not explaining acronyms allow me to say that NIMBY is "not in MY back yard!" which is sadly a pretty constant problem here in the USA, with lobbying groups simply bribing....errr lobbying to have things that would end up in their back yard moved from one place to another before eventually being killed.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    49. Re:Not a Great Analogy by default+luser · · Score: 1

      Well then, we need to tell the environmental groups to shut up and start drilling in ANWAR and the Gulf of Mexico where there were new huge deposits

      ANWR best-case estimates will increase Alaskan oil production by roughly %30 (worst case %10-15), and will still be dwarfed by Prudhoe Bay Field. Since Alaska only supplies 16 percent of US crude, that means an overall %2-3 increase in production. But since other fields are already reducing production over time, it will only soften the bleeding of older fields, not allow for a real increase in US domestic oil production.

      The environmental groups "won't shut-up about it" because the impact on total US production won't be that much (as-of now). We'll probably eventually drill it, but not until we're much more desperate.

      BP's new "Tiber" field in the Gulf, at 3 billion barrels, is half the size of ANWR's lowest-case estimate, and only a fraction of that can be extracted at reasonable cost. Sure, the Gulf is mostly sweet, light crude, but ocean 2 miles deep and regular hurricanes does not make extraction a done deal.

      You can talk about tapping "new" oil reserves all you want, but the fact of the matter is that "new" oil finds are appearing at a slower rate than the world is using-up proven reserves. And none of these new finds would be enough to make any difference in US oil dependence. We haven't been able to supply domestic oil needs since the 1950s, and that's not going to change while our demand continues to grow.

      --

      Man is the animal that laughs.
      And occasionally whores for Karma.

    50. Re:Not a Great Analogy by dcollins117 · · Score: 1

      ... and "mine" those Chinese hard-drives for this rare materials to manufacture our own hard drives. :)

      ... then sell the drives back to the Chinese...

    51. Re:Not a Great Analogy by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      We have nothing practical in the immediate future to replace oil.

      Except nuclear, but people seem to prefer having their houses wiped out by sludge tsunamis coming from the friendly neighborhood (fossil fuel burning) coal plant's toxic sludge containment lake to having electricity produced relatively cleanly by ZOMGSCARY radioactive materials safely contained within driving distance of their house.

      Also bringing things back from space won't be profitable until we have radically cheaper ways of getting things between planets...as long as we're pushing our spaceships directly between point A and point B it's just not going to happen.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    52. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Dun+Malg · · Score: 1

      The mine should have not been allowed to close in the first place.

      Not allowed? How do you "not allow" private property owners to stop incurring the expense of pulling underpriced dirt out of a hole on their own land? Take the land at gunpoint? Then operate the mine subsidized by tax money to be competitive with Chinese peasant labor? To what end? Why don't we nationalize the entire economy then, Mister Trotsky?

      --
      If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
    53. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Dun+Malg · · Score: 1

      there will be a huge crunch in the interim that could set the US and the rest of the world behind in developing new more efficient technologies.

      Behind what, exactly? Behind where we might've been in a magical fairyland where everything happens exactly as we'd like it? Dealing with contingencies isn't a disaster, it's business as usual.

      --
      If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
    54. Re:Not a Great Analogy by AK+Marc · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Not allowed? How do you "not allow" private property owners to stop incurring the expense of pulling underpriced dirt out of a hole on their own land?

      You change import tarrifs such that they compensate for the working and environmental conditions of the originating country, and that would keep the prices artificially high in the US such that the mine would not have closed.

      Why don't we nationalize the entire economy then, Mister Trotsky?

      You are assuming a level of force that wasn't there. Not "not allowed" in the sence of forcing them to stay open at a loss, but "not allowed the conditions that resulted in the closure." The closure happened because of a flooding of the market of products below cost (when externalities are included), and the US should have prevented it, but didn't.

    55. Re:Not a Great Analogy by cyphercell · · Score: 2, Interesting
      --
      Under the influence of Post-Cyberpunk Gonzo Journalism
    56. Re:Not a Great Analogy by couchslug · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "I have wood working machines from the early 1900's that are more durable, accurate, and mammoth than the cheap plastic shit you buy today."

      Woodworking was much more important in the early 1900s, labor was cheap, and people who purchased machinery were usually mechanically literate, professional users. They expected commercial quality gear when they bought machines, while the home hobbyist carpenter could make do with hand tools instead. Mass production has made inexpensive, capable, but non-commercial-quality gear available to the consumer.

      The materials, btw, were NOT necessarily inferior. Ever wonder why the metal on many old tools and on farm equipment doesn't rust much but develops a nice patina instead? Different metallurgy. Those nice old castings were over-engineered because welding was not as highly developed as it is today and sand casting was less hassle.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    57. Re:Not a Great Analogy by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So your analogy is lacking in many ways. We can refine the metals here and China needs them for their own growing demand.
      Sadly, your facts and analogy are far far worse. China has more then enough REMs. In POF, if they were to supply 100% of the worlds demand, including the coming increases, they would have more than enough for over 100 years.But you really screw up. Lets assume that this really is about them. If so, then a simple stockpile would guarantee that they had plenty for the future. It would be like us (and western EU) who have large stockpiles of Oil, Natural Gas, and gasoline. We have plenty in the ground. We just make sure that we have enough with easy access in case of major disruptions.
      So, that is not the reason. So, lets assume that it is about profits. If so, then they would LIMIT the sale. Yet, they are instead saying that they will not release a number of them after having dumped for the last 8 years. So, THAT is NOT THE REASON.
      OTH, if they stop the flow, then it means that they are looking to control other countries. Currently, they have the stockpiles as well as the mine resources. The fact that they have ran around for the last 4 years trying (with some success) to buy up foreign mines including in western nations, says that this is PURELY ABOUT CONTROL and NOT ABOUT BUSINESS. When you try to starve ppl from needed items, then you are trying to win a war without firing a shot.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    58. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      You just discovered the kind of logic behind the recent "economic reforms" we've been witnessing.

    59. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Funny. Sweet child o' mine.

    60. Re:Not a Great Analogy by mgblst · · Score: 1

      Stop buying the cheap plastic shit then. You can get cheap stuff, and you can still get good stuff.

    61. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Rare-earths are a particularly important component in solid-state lasers (CD/DVD burners, potentially future projection systems), one of the most common being Nd:YAG (Neodymium: Yttrium Aluminium Garnet). There are also several other uses.

    62. Re:Not a Great Analogy by WoRLoKKeD · · Score: 1

      Or we buy hard drives cheap on eBay, break those drives down to their component parts and rebuild using the resources while saving money! At least, it works in EVE....

      --
      Immolation is the sincerest form of flattery.
    63. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Eclipse-now · · Score: 1

      I'm very keen to hear some of the uber-engineers & industrial chemists response to this, mainly for the electric car market. "Better Place" seems to be one of the smarter contenders for killing our oil addiction, but if it is limited because full EV's require rare earth's well just HAVE to come up with a work-around. Any ideas?

    64. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sounds pretty balanced censorship to me, I always get modded down when I mention right wing gun nuts.

      Or do you regard it as censorship if you dont ageee with it, and not censorship if you do?

    65. Re:Not a Great Analogy by zeldorf · · Score: 1

      I'm with you there, ther only trouble is that manufacturers don't like it because they sell less when their product doesn't break.

    66. Re:Not a Great Analogy by badkarmadayaccount · · Score: 1

      Electricity can wipe the floor with oil. Nuclear generated electricity, more precisely. For organic precursors, biomass - treated in a (possibly solar) furnace.

      --
      I know tobacco is bad for you, so I smoke weed with crack.
    67. Re:Not a Great Analogy by badkarmadayaccount · · Score: 1

      Read the links you post, idiot. The parent is correct.

      --
      I know tobacco is bad for you, so I smoke weed with crack.
    68. Re:Not a Great Analogy by ZekoMal · · Score: 1

      And the parts to build the nuclear facilities? And the repairs? These would still no doubt be oil-run, as would transportation to the facility. Solar parts are currently built using oil at some point or the other, and biomass requires huge amounts of resources in order to do what oil does. We chose oil not because it's easy to obtain, but because it gives us the most bang for our buck.

    69. Re:Not a Great Analogy by badkarmadayaccount · · Score: 1

      So we'll need some oil to bootstrap everything. Better than sitting on our hands hoping for the best.

      --
      I know tobacco is bad for you, so I smoke weed with crack.
    70. Re:Not a Great Analogy by ZekoMal · · Score: 1
      True, although here's the reality:

      -Finally convince congressfolk to do something.

      -Congressfolk feel that current system works.

      -When oil finally runs out, they didn't plan a new way to fuel repairs, thus leaving us a very short period of time to try and find alternatives.

      Or maybe I'm just so pessimistic that I can't see things working D:

    71. Re:Not a Great Analogy by badkarmadayaccount · · Score: 1

      I'm a pessimist as well, I was just hitting the crack pipe. Cheers!

      --
      I know tobacco is bad for you, so I smoke weed with crack.
    72. Re:Not a Great Analogy by holmstar · · Score: 1
      How about you actually read the article you reference before you call people liars.

      "We estimate there are nearly 700 million barrels of propane on Titan, said Nixon. "That is enough to fill six-billion 20-pound tanks of liquefied propane gas. It sounds like a huge amount, but that would satisfy total U.S. consumption of propane for only 18 months."

    73. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ehh, nope. They're intentionally doing this to you. Your leaders don't give a sh1t about u or any of their 'underlings'
      Just like they reopened up the oil pipelines in Alaska (the trans-Alaskan)- they didn't BTW for the heads up, lol

      Wake up sheeple..

    74. Re:Not a Great Analogy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have wood working machines from the early 1900's that are more durable, accurate, and mammoth than the cheap plastic shit you buy today.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivorship_bias

  12. Buy your lasers now! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This could increase the price of many optically pumped crystal lasers (like yag). GET THEM WHILE YOU CAN!

    1064 4ever!

    1. Re:Buy your lasers now! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh seriously now. Nd:YAG is extremely lightly doped (~0.2-0.5% for CW, ~1.0% for pulsed operation) with neodymium. And yttrium is hardly "rare" even though it's called a "rare earth metal". Plus a single 5g piece of Nd:YAG costs hundreds of dollars anyway, material cost is no doubt but a fraction of it.

  13. So "Shocked" by ZekoMal · · Score: 1

    China sees that it can strike while the iron is hot. Without declaring war on everyone, at that. All they have to do is restrict trade while the major countries flop around with oil pains and they'll soon be the top country.

  14. My super-villian theory by WarJolt · · Score: 1

    Hmm...what doomsday weapon requires mass amounts of rare earth metals?

    1. Re:My super-villian theory by Aladrin · · Score: 2, Funny

      The giant magnet. Pull asteroids into Earth's orbit to rain firey hell on your enemies..

      --
      "If you make people think they're thinking, they'll love you; But if you really make them think, they'll hate you." - DM
  15. Time to deploy... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ... nano - materials!

  16. render unto beijing..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    our rescue/survival will not require any gadgets. using the creators' patentdead newclear kode base, all things are possible. see you there?

  17. Coming to a Store Near You by kiehlster · · Score: 1

    Look for "Yttrium-free" stickers on all your LED products. None of them will have red LEDs, but who cares, it's yttrium-free.

    1. Re:Coming to a Store Near You by mysidia · · Score: 1

      So hard drive failure lights and alarm lights on new gear will now be green instead of red?? :)

    2. Re:Coming to a Store Near You by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I hope. Red LEDs are so obnoxious.

    3. Re:Coming to a Store Near You by Jeremy+Erwin · · Score: 1

      And blue LEDs aren't?

    4. Re:Coming to a Store Near You by jd2112 · · Score: 1

      Red LEDs are soooo 1997. Blue is the new red.

      --
      Any insufficiently advanced magic is indistinguishable from technology.
  18. Indium by PvtVoid · · Score: 1

    Geeks should be equally worried about indium, of which China is the main producer. So much for those cheap LCDs...

    1. Re:Indium by LunaticTippy · · Score: 3, Insightful

      All of the LCDs I have bought lately have been made in China. Their export ban changes nothing with regard to finished products.

      --
      Man, you really need that seminar!
    2. Re:Indium by Joebert · · Score: 1

      Their export ban changes nothing with regard to finished products.

      You're not thinking ahead. It actually has a huge impact in finished products.

      The Chinese produce things for cheap because it allows them to compete with the rest of the world in the easiest way using their most abundant resource, people. Banning export of resources only they are known to have leaves to reason for them to produce the items made using those resources for cheap.

      China regulates how many children you're allowed to have. I wouldn't put quadrupling the price of resources they control past them. If they control the source of materials used to make the finished products, they control the finished products.

      --
      Wanna fight ? Bend over, stick your head up your ass, and fight for air.
    3. Re:Indium by LunaticTippy · · Score: 1

      They already dominate many finished product categories. They keep their prices low because they are still very profitable and do not encourage other countries to stay in those categories. If they quadrupled the price of LCDs for example then other countries would have plenty of incentive to start making LCDs again. If certain materials are short and expensive then other countries will have incentive to reopen mines.

      --
      Man, you really need that seminar!
  19. Good. by Gordonjcp · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    Maybe now we won't have cars with catastrophic converters messing up the air. Yeah, let's get rid of carbon monoxide and sulphur dioxide, and have hydrogen sulphide instead. What could possibly go wrong?

  20. here's one by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    all the nukes, tritium triggers, have to be replaced every so often, allegedly

    hard to tell though, never heard of half those metals on the list.

    1. Re:here's one by pjt33 · · Score: 1

      Tritium is not a rare earth metal.

    2. Re:here's one by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'd avoid posting even anonymously if you're THAT ignorant.

      Tritium - Unstable Hydrogen Isotope comprising 1 proton and 2 neutrons. Metallic, by the definition of "metal", but definitely NOT a Rare Earth.

      Rare Earth - Heh... Let's just get a blockquote shall we?

      As defined by IUPAC, rare earth elements or rare earth metals are a collection of seventeen chemical elements in the periodic table, namely scandium, yttrium, and the fifteen lanthanoids.[1] Scandium and yttrium are considered rare earths since they tend to occur in the same ore deposits as the lanthanoids and exhibit similar chemical properties.

      The term "rare earth" arises from the minerals from which they were first isolated, which were uncommon oxide-type minerals (earths) found in Gadolinite extracted from one mine in the village of Ytterby, Sweden. However, with the exception of the highly-unstable promethium, rare earth elements are found in relatively high concentrations in the earth's crust, with cerium being the 25th most abundant element in the earth's crust at 68 parts per million.

      Moreover, tritium isn't typically used as a trigger material for anything and is used in luminescent indicators and iron sight highlights.

  21. 2 weeks old? by psyque · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    Why are we getting an article from Aug 24 now? I though we were faster then that. Stale.

    1. Re:2 weeks old? by CXI · · Score: 1
      Why are we getting an article from Aug 24 now? I though we were faster then that. Stale.

      Yeah, all this news from the past is boring. I want news from the future dammit! If it happened more than 3 seconds ago it's unimportant to me.

  22. Reciprocal regulations by valinor89 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I think that if they do so they won't mind if we ( as in the other western countries) put prohibitions and restrictions of our own in other product importations. We could revive our cloth, electrodomestic, chemical, (whatever) old industries. It might be a bit expensive at first (mostly for those multinationals ) but then we can be sure of better occupation rates. I's a shame that this is only wishfull thinking...

    1. Re:Reciprocal regulations by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Yes, please, let's unlearn everything from the Great Depression in the middle of a recession. What could possibly go wrong?

    2. Re:Reciprocal regulations by khchung · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It does not even make sense! China restricts exports and you propose retaliation by restricting imports?!

      I assume you live in US (who else always talked about reviving local industries?), do you even know how many export restrictions there are in the US? Crypto, high-tech stuff, whatever vaguely related to "national security", you name it.

      All countries (except those that have already became a vassal state of the US) restricts exports of critical resources, and this is allowed in WTO treaties. Examples from countries all over the world include restricting natural resources, science & technology, and even critical infrastructure (you do know that US blocked a company from buying the operations of the Panama Canal for "national security" reasons?).

      Only in /. would this non-news story becomes news worthy to make the front page.

      --
      Oliver.
    3. Re:Reciprocal regulations by Dolohov · · Score: 1

      "Won't mind"? That's probably the point -- they can then use this as a bargaining chip to get access to anything they happen to be short on, or political concessions. They're betting, probably correctly, that while there are substitutes for cloth, wood, petrochemicals, and lots of other raw materials, nothing short of transmutation will give us yttrium in quantity.

    4. Re:Reciprocal regulations by elrous0 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Sadly, we're well beyond that now. A trade war with China now would likely hurt the U.S. a *LOT* more than the U.S. 30 years of "free trade and free markets" aren't something you can just turn away from now without a total economic collapse. Most of our largest retailers now are all but owned by China.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    5. Re:Reciprocal regulations by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      sorry my friend.. U need to get your sources updated....
      The Panama Canal is a government independent business operated solely by Panamanians. What the US "try" to block was the permit to operated the biggest Panamanian port in the Atlantic Ocean, now in hands of Evergreen, a Chinese company.
      The Panama Canal canÂt be sold to any company or foreign country according to our (panamanian) constitution.

    6. Re:Reciprocal regulations by jeffliott · · Score: 1

      It is called leverage, and you use it when you need to, if you think it will work for your benefit. It is key to negotiation for trade of resources. Without leveraging your positions, you will lose the game to those who know how to do it safely.

    7. Re:Reciprocal regulations by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      After all what would China do without all those worthless IOUs it gets in exchange for useful products.

    8. Re:Reciprocal regulations by magus_melchior · · Score: 1

      Strategically, this may be the opportunity the Chinese were looking for all along. They are on track to see an 8% growth in GDP, while the US and other economies are struggling to get back in the game. If they can set up a much better deal for them while the other side is hamstrung...

      --
      "We are Microsoft. You shall be assimilated. Competition is futile."
    9. Re:Reciprocal regulations by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Not really. You are confusing facts with your opinions.

      Even EU is getting upset about CHina. France, Germany, and UK have pushed China to remove their import restrictions that they were suppose to remove nearly 7 years ago (china now claims that they need another decade or two). In addition, China was suppose to free their money 7 years ago and have not. Nearly all countries are pushing for them to free it, but they are saying that it is free enough. Restricting imports from a nation that has fixed the game does not make sense. But the west DOES need to keep nations from competing unfairly, which is what China is doing.

      The west restricts MILITARY use tech, while China is restricting an element to which they have control. Nobody in the west restricts access to elements/mineral. They are on the market for all. We DO restrict others from OWNING AND CONTROLLING RESOURCES WITHIN OUR BORDERS WHEN THERE ARE LIMITED OPTIONS. For example, America recently told China that they could not buy several mines (including a REM mine). The reason is that it was obvious 2 years ago that China is trying to create a number of monopolies.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    10. Re:Reciprocal regulations by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, yes, if one of the players is attempting to deny you both the raw material and the ability to acquire it.

      China also restricts imports. China also has "foriegn" companies playing by a more "dynamic" set of "laws" than do the home-grown companies.
      In short, the playing field is not level. It isn't even near level.

      You need to think of the second order effects. In making the price of the material higher (short term), you make an incentive to develop the industry locally.
      This (renewed) local industry may then be able to sate your demand at prices lower than that of the external party... or at least temper the behavior of that external party.

      China has done a good job of destroying heavy industry in the U.S. (and probably elsewhere). It has done so via market manipulations which would be illegal were China a company subject to anti-trust and anti-competive laws. Recently, the U.S. gov't stopped China from buying out mines in the U.S. in order to prevent China from exerting monopoly power over yet another thing.

      One of the problems with China is that THEY DON'T HOLD TO THEIR ECONOMIC TREATIES, YOU MORON!
      Saying that X is allowed by the WTO treaties, and thus it is OK overlooks the fact that China does whatever the heck it wants, regardless of the rest of the stipulations of those treaties and agreements.

      China is playing the part of an economic bully. If the other kinds on the playground aren't stupid, they'll get together and shun the bully. Then, maybe, the bully will mend his ways. If not, well, hopefully he'd starve.

    11. Re:Reciprocal regulations by mgblst · · Score: 1

      This makes perfect sense. China sells us less stuff, so lets buy less stuff from China.

      You see, we don't actually want that many rare earth metals, it was OUR decision not buy as many.

      Oh yeah, and we broke up with China first.

    12. Re:Reciprocal regulations by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The political implications might be non-newsworthy, but the implications on technology (possibly shortages of materials, discussions of alternatives) are relevant to slashdot.

  23. Will somebody in the WTO finally grow a pair by antifoidulus · · Score: 3, Interesting

    and finally call China out on it's myriad of violations? The US and Europe seem content over bickering about Airbus and Boeing when in actuality, those two companies' violation(if any) are a real drop in the bucket compared to China's insanely flagrant violations. However, the US is an addict hooked on selling China our debt, instead of oh I don't know, not invading a country that had nothing to do with 9/11 we decided it was a much better idea to sell ourselves lock stock and barrel to the Chinese. This is just the tip of the iceberg.

    1. Re:Will somebody in the WTO finally grow a pair by Ritz_Just_Ritz · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Fat chance. The US and Western Europe are indeed addicted to the unsustainably cheap supply of Chinese credit and cheap labor. We effectively wink at them gobbling up global resources so they can be churned through a cheap labor pool and nonexistent health/safety regimens in order to satiate our desire for a high standard of living at minimal cost. China never had any real intention to abide by the WTO's rules and viewed membership as a national pride issue. Don't hold your breath waiting for China to alter its behavior even if the WTO adds some stank to their toothless regulations.

    2. Re:Will somebody in the WTO finally grow a pair by RobBebop · · Score: 1

      we decided it was a much better idea to sell ourselves lock stock and barrel to the Chinese.

      And now that it's time for them to collect on that debt, it's probably a good idea for them to stop giving us these cheap resources that are also important to their own development. In school lunch terms... if somebody borrowed $10 from you last week because they wanted to buy stuff from the cafeteria, would you agree to sell him your bag of Doritos this week for a quarter?

      This is a hard lesson to learn, but those in debt deserve to be CUT OFF.

      --
      Support the 30 Hour Work Week!!!
    3. Re:Will somebody in the WTO finally grow a pair by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      http://www.wsu.edu/~brians/errors/myriad.html

    4. Re:Will somebody in the WTO finally grow a pair by whywhywhy · · Score: 1

      I agree to this. Usually the U.S. gains economic wealth through war but they decided to be over advanced for such a simple country and lost money. With all this money they've wasted they have yet to defeat the terrorist. We'd be better off just attacking China before we lose our world power and China decides that they want the America's.

    5. Re:Will somebody in the WTO finally grow a pair by lwsimon · · Score: 1

      The Congressional Research Service puts the cost of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan at $3 trillion. Obama has been in office for 6 months, and we now have a "projected" deficit of $9 trillion, last I heard.

      Three times the debt, in 1/12 the time. There's some change you can believe in!

      --
      Learn about Photography Basics.
    6. Re:Will somebody in the WTO finally grow a pair by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      What makes you think it would make any difference? The WTO has made multiple rulings against the US which the US has simply ignored. Why would China care what the WTO says?

    7. Re:Will somebody in the WTO finally grow a pair by Hurricane78 · · Score: 1

      How in the world do you twist it in your mind, to think that another nation has to sell you their precious resources? I mean how arrogant can a person be? Especially since your own nation is the king of export restrictions for "national security" reasons!

      There are things done by China, that we can all agree on to be not OK. But there are not that much less things done by the USA that fit that category too. (Wars for example. Wait for China to attack foreign nations!)

      Oh, and one must be very egocentric, to define "violations" only trough what oneself and one's friends think of right any wrong. Shall we ask Iran about what they call "violations"? ^^
      See... someone stating it does not mean it's globally correct. Not even if it's yourself stating it. :)

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
    8. Re:Will somebody in the WTO finally grow a pair by samkass · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The Congressional Research Service puts the cost of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan at $3 trillion. Obama has been in office for 6 months, and we now have a "projected" deficit of $9 trillion, last I heard.

      Three times the debt, in 1/12 the time. There's some change you can believe in!

      The deficit is the difference between revenue and expenditures each year. The debt is the total accumulated deficits over time.

      The Congressional Budget Office projects that if nothing changes (ha!) over the next 10 years, in 10 years the DEBT will be almost $10T. That number includes the wars, tax cuts, prescription drug benefits, and the first bailout under Bush, as well as the second bank bailout under Obama and the stimulus. Which is big. But not catastrophic. It's more or less a return to Reagan-era budgets.

      More relevant to the article at hand, trade deficits (exported goods vs imported goods) have shrunk dramatically this year as the dollar weakened and the cost of domestic labor shrank.

      --
      E pluribus unum
    9. Re:Will somebody in the WTO finally grow a pair by S.O.B. · · Score: 1

      I think you're forgetting that much of the current deficit is in response to the economic meltdown that started before Obama became president.

      However, to clarify, the current projected deficit is $1.6T. The $9T estimate is for 2010-2019. Although the long term estimate is alarming it not likely to be accurate. Could be more, could be less.

      --
      Some of what I say is fact, some is conjecture, the rest I'm just blowing out my ass...you guess.
    10. Re:Will somebody in the WTO finally grow a pair by JordanL · · Score: 1

      Ummm... perhaps... I doubt the debt will be only $10 trillion in nominal terms in 10 years, considering the Net Present Value of the US government is about -$60 trillion.

    11. Re:Will somebody in the WTO finally grow a pair by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow give up on the 9/11 bashing crap, even your new president hasn't pulled out and is following Bush's plan for withdrawl. Hope you enjoy sharia law

    12. Re:Will somebody in the WTO finally grow a pair by antifoidulus · · Score: 1

      Um, maybe you should, oh I dunno, actually READ the post before responding? I was complaining about China's violations of WTO(World Trade Organization, TRADE being the key word) rules which forbid both import and export restrictions(China has heavy rules regarding both). If China doesn't want to export its minerals fine, then withdraw from the WTO and deal with the import restrictions that other nations impose. Every time a nation even attempts to limit Chinese imports China throws a huge hissy fit, but China seems to think that the rules only apply to everyone else, not itself. Sorry, China is not some sacrosanct country, either play by the rules that everyone else does or go home. It's that simple.

    13. Re:Will somebody in the WTO finally grow a pair by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm not sure how this is relevant to subject at hand, since this isn't a violation of any obligations of China as a member of WTO.

      Simply put, you don't have a right to refuse to buy for no good reason, but you have absolutely no obligation to sell.

    14. Re:Will somebody in the WTO finally grow a pair by cdrguru · · Score: 1

      Problem is, China is making all the stuff that people want. Countries have little choice but to import it from China - nobody wants those nasty factories in their country. Also, because of labor costs it would mean the prices would go up about 10x for literally everything if it wasn't made in China but in the USA, Germany and places like that. Nobody wants to start paying 10 times as much for stuff.

      We are going to have a pretty simple choice soon. We can pay China for the stuff and they can raise prices as much as they want because they will be the sole supplier. So we might be paying 10 or 20 times as much as it costs today. Or we can decide to just do without until the Chinese economy collapses. They might start a war to get out of that hole.

      I don't see any nice alternatives, none at all.

  24. Silly policy for a country that cannot feed itself by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sounds like we are headed for yet another trade war - China wants a tonne of wheat, they can furnish a tonne of rare-earth metals.

  25. Alternatives will surface by kriston · · Score: 1

    As much as the world's stock of precious metals is being depleted by pseudoenvironmentalist hybrid drivers there will be alternatives. Remember when we all had to change our automotive refrigerants in the late 1980s and early 1990s? Even after the air conditioners were retooled we still found an alternative compound that works with the old R12 models.

    --

    Kriston

    1. Re:Alternatives will surface by Truekaiser · · Score: 1

      Your making a assumption that has no basis in reality not to mention you have used a very bad past situation as a analogy. many gases can be used as coolants. In most instances what these rare earth metals are used for are vital because there are no alternatives.

      Frankly i view this as a very smart move on china's part considering we have been busy putting military bases around them and Russia.

    2. Re:Alternatives will surface by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      There are alternatives: inductive engines. They are known since nineteenth century.

      It's just cheaper to use permanent magnets.

    3. Re:Alternatives will surface by phoenix321 · · Score: 1

      Where'd we get all that copper?

    4. Re:Alternatives will surface by kriston · · Score: 1

      There *are* alternatives. It's going to happen.

      --

      Kriston

  26. Why dictators where loved by AHuxley · · Score: 1

    This is why so many of the worlds worst dictators where loved by Moscow and Washington.
    As long as the rare raw materials flowed, mass graves where just enemy propaganda.
    National Security Study Memorandum 200 (NSSM 200) - April 1974
    http://www.population-security.org/28-APP2.html
    "It is vital that the effort to develop and strengthen a commitment on the part of the LDC leaders not be seen by them as an industrialized country policy to keep their strength down or to reserve resources for use by the "rich" countries. Development of such a perception could create a serious backlash adverse to the cause of population stability. Thus the U.S. and other "rich" countries should take care that policies they advocate for the LDC's would be acceptable within their own countries. (This may require public debate and affirmation of our intended policies.) The "political" leadership role in developing countries should, of course, be taken whenever possible by their own leaders."

    --
    Domestic spying is now "Benign Information Gathering"
    1. Re:Why dictators where loved by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For the love of Christ learn to spell "were".  You sound like an illiterate retard.

  27. Ramp up Recycling by Neutral_Observer · · Score: 1

    Recycling of these metals should be the focus. Getting oil out of tar is feasable at a cost. How high do these prices have to go to make recovering these metals worth it?

  28. What can I say. Slashdotters needs to get out more by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why do people think our set of rules are always the right set of rules to follow? By Chinese standard, the fact that the US has so much porn is just unheard of. Porn is not only illegal but also considered immoral. This is just a cause of different people with different views of the world. If we spent more time outside our bubble and open our eyes, we would understand their point of view. And yes sometime, in those rare cases, they might be doing something right. I am not saying this is one of them but there are things we do pretty backwards.

  29. Cool by jonpublic · · Score: 1

    Can they restrict the export of the following too? Lead paint(makes kids retarded), melanine(kills cats), drywall(poisons houses), heparin(kills people dead) and keep them for their own internal market?

    Or maybe someone could be held accountable.

    1. Re:Cool by chill · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Or maybe someone could be held accountable.

      You mean like when China executed several management types found "responsible" for these incidents? That type of accountable?

      --
      Learning HOW to think is more important than learning WHAT to think.
    2. Re:Cool by pla · · Score: 1, Troll

      Lead paint(makes kids retarded)

      Y'know, I've always wondered about this one. I have never said to myself, "Self, those paint chips look pretty yummy, let's try a few!". Kinda makes me wonder if we don't have a... shall we say "selection bias" in kids who eat lead paint experiencing neurological problems.


      melanine(kills cats)

      Do you like your magic erase sponges? 99% Melamine with a surfactant added. Do you have formica countertops? also mostly melamine, with a resin added to harden it. But not a very good pet food, no.


      drywall(poisons houses)

      Phosphogypsum only causes problems in modern energy-efficient houses with little outside air exchange. Gypsum (including Phosphogypsum) occurs as a natural mineral virtually everywhere in the world, including the US. We make our own drywall domestically, and only post-Katrina did we have a need to import it. China met that demand, except we got burned for not knowing that they don't differentiate between the two minerals (physically more-or-less identical, for their use in drywall). Not a case of fraud byt the manufacturers, so much as the importers not wanting to ask too many questions.


      heparin(kills people dead) and keep them for their own internal market?

      Although this amount to outright fraud by the companies involved, the deaths came not from a specifically unsafe product, but because of allergic reactions to a much cheaper but similar chemical. Again, no defense whatsoever for selling chemical-P as chemical-Q, but you have to wonder why our medical establishment would rather use an expensive drug that requires raising and torturing livestock to produce, rather than a nearly identical drug with no pigs involved... And the deaths in this situation don't answer that question, because plenty of people have allergies to heparin itself.


      Mostly this boils down to greed, sometimes the fault of manufacturers cutting corners, but always the fault of us, the end users, willing to look the other way to save a buck at Wallyworld. Take it as a given that TANSTAAFL... So whenever you can buy a foreign-made (and I mean that to apply anywhere, not just the US-vs-China) product for less than the same thing locally made, stop and ask yourself: How they can afford to make and ship something 10k miles and still charge less than your neighbor making the same thing?

    3. Re:Cool by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, that just kills me. Here in the US we use the death penalty largely on the poor and minorities for committing violent crimes, but in China they'll send the head of the FDA to the electric chair for taking bribes. I'm against the death penalty if general, but I guess if you're gonna use it...

  30. Leveling by JoelMartinez · · Score: 2, Funny

    But how will I level my blacksmithing if they stop posting mats to the auction house? guess I'll have to take up mining :-/

  31. I need to find a decent font on this Windows box. by NoYob · · Score: 1
    ...insanely flagrant violations...

    I thought you said "insanely fragrant violations" and I was scratching my head there for a while.

    --
    It's NOT me! It's the meds! I'm on 1000mg of Fukitol.
  32. An interesting observation about these materials.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They all seem to be key elements for crucial semiconductor, magnetical and optical (laser) components.

  33. Re:I need to find a decent font on this Windows bo by Chris+Mattern · · Score: 1

    Of course, he meant "insanely fragrant violets". They're a big seller for FTD!

  34. Cash for Rare Earth Metals Program by Maltheus · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Maybe they're getting tired of exchanging their wealth for our paper. I admire the way China is focused like a laser on their infrastructure and the acquisition of raw materials, while we're busy making up new problems to solve as a way of avoiding the very serious ones we already have. Perhaps if we focused on production, rather than consumption, we might have a little extra wealth to spend on our own decaying infrastructure.

    1. Re:Cash for Rare Earth Metals Program by russotto · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Perhaps if we focused on production, rather than consumption, we might have a little extra wealth to spend on our own decaying infrastructure.

      Production is icky and bad for the environment.

    2. Re:Cash for Rare Earth Metals Program by arthurpaliden · · Score: 1

      This is what you get when your government does not have to spend all its energy fighting the next election the day after after it gets elected. They can actually put long term plans in place and do nto have to cater to small swing voting blocks.

    3. Re:Cash for Rare Earth Metals Program by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I admire the way China is focused like a laser on their infrastructure and the acquisition of raw materials, while we're busy making up new problems to solve as a way of avoiding the very serious ones we already have.

      Urban infrastructure, yes. Anywhere else, decidedly not. China is best at building facades, making the homeless vanish, covering decaying buildings during the Olympics, computer generated fireworks, lip-syncing and wrapping inferior electronics in the shells of well known products. It is all a smoke screen built upon the backs of of cheap labor, inhumane work environments and with a little bit of ethnic repression thrown in.

    4. Re:Cash for Rare Earth Metals Program by azgard · · Score: 1

      Production is icky and bad for the environment.

      Yes, and living is bad for your health.

    5. Re:Cash for Rare Earth Metals Program by Nethemas+the+Great · · Score: 1

      Thank you. You had to go and depress me with the truth again didn't you? If the "founding fathers" could have seen the end results of their work I honestly think they'd have put a musket to their heads.

      The only way for a democracy to work is to have a strong majority of well educated and engaged citizenry. The only way for a totalitarian government to work is for it to consist wholly of well educated, selfless, empathetic leaders and bureaucrats. As far as I can tell, both are positions of unstable equilibrium and practically speaking unattainable. With that in mind... Anyone got a better idea?

      --
      Two of my imaginary friends reproduced once ... with negative results.
    6. Re:Cash for Rare Earth Metals Program by arthurpaliden · · Score: 1

      Get Drunk :-))

    7. Re:Cash for Rare Earth Metals Program by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...and consumption is good for the environment?

  35. Oops by elrous0 · · Score: 1

    Meant to say "A trade war with China now would likely hurt the U.S. a *LOT* more than China."

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    1. Re:Oops by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      China already won the trade war. America gave away her productive base in exchange for cheap goods and debased her currency at the same time.

      Sure it cost China a lot too, but that's expected in "war".

  36. Oil refining capacity by Paua+Fritter · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Actually the bottleneck has been the impossibility of bringing additional refining capacity online in the US.

    True. And actually this isn't just the case in the USA; there are virtually no new refineries anywhere in the world.

    But actually the main hurdle isn't the NIMBY syndrome or over-regulation - it's a simple matter of return on investment. No-one wants to build a refinery because they take a long time to build, and a long time to recoup your investment, and the world's oil supply is known to be running out. Globally, oil-fields are now considered to be at peak production levels; that's to say, it's unlikely that there will ever be more oil being pumped than there is today. So building new refining capacity is a poor investment. Instead, people are just making do with what there is. That's why Iran is now importing refined petroleum from Venezuela.

    1. Re:Oil refining capacity by Zcar · · Score: 3, Informative

      Actually the bottleneck has been the impossibility of bringing additional refining capacity online in the US.

      True. And actually this isn't just the case in the USA; there are virtually no new refineries anywhere in the world.

      While the US hasn't built new refineries, existing ones have been expanded with a near 2 million barrel per day increase (over 12%) from 1985 to present (most of the increase has come since 1995).

    2. Re:Oil refining capacity by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      That's why Iran is now importing refined petroleum from Venezuela.

      I suspect there's more wink-wink in that deal than meets the eye.
         

    3. Re:Oil refining capacity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Known oil fields. The Bakken formation has not been touch yet (I think).

      Bakken Formation

    4. Re:Oil refining capacity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Saudi is building the worlds largest refinery and there is one being built near the ca arizona border. Saudi wants to beable to ship refined gasoline to its customers rather than oil.

    5. Re:Oil refining capacity by phantomcircuit · · Score: 1

      The refinery in Richmond CA wants to simply change to a cleaner method of production, but the NIMBY people have decided that they cant even FIX their refinery.

    6. Re:Oil refining capacity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's plenty of oil out there. For example, in recent news:
      http://www.statesman.com/business/content/business/stories/other/2009/09/03/0903gulfoil.html

      The trouble is that you can't just stick a 100 foot straw in the ground and let it gush out, a lot of it is tricky to get to or not yet discovered. And then there's the refining problem. But saying oil is at peak levels is naive, there's plenty out there to be had.

  37. End free trade with non-free countries by edfardos · · Score: 1
    When did the USA decide it was okay to support communist china? Why do we have "free trade" agreements with non-free countries? Even my little girl can figure out the problem with that policy. China manipulates their end of our free trade agreements. I think the US should ban the export of US dollars to China -- if China can manipulate the free market, then we should be free to do so as well.

    --coolio

    1. Re:End free trade with non-free countries by marcuz · · Score: 1

      lol, you have no idea how does the world function these days. so you propose USA should stop importing stuff from china (e.g. stop exporting dollars as you said). ehm okey... and where would you get all your clothes from? electronics? etc... you cannot build all the missing factories in a day or a year. things are not as simple as you might think they are

    2. Re:End free trade with non-free countries by Sets_Chaos · · Score: 1

      Exactly. China doesn't want to give us what we want, we don't have to give them what they want. It's pretty simple. Put an embargo on our goods, we put an embargo on yours. Same thing applies here. Why can't people just play nice? We had a great thing going on. Some people really need to study economics.

    3. Re:End free trade with non-free countries by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      So funny.

      That's the end game anyway, you know where China wins the trade war it has been waging on the US for the last few decades.

      The US won't actually have to do anything, when the dollar collapses we won't be able to afford to buy anything from China anyway.

      And the day China stops buying US dollars is the day the dollar collapses.

    4. Re:End free trade with non-free countries by drsquare · · Score: 1

      What do you define as 'non free'? The USA has all sorts of violations on civil liberties and restrictions on the market.

    5. Re:End free trade with non-free countries by Travoltus · · Score: 1

      "you cannot build all the missing factories in a day or a year. things are not as simple as you might think they are"

      Wanna bet?

      --
      --- Grow a pair, liberals... stop letting the Republicans bully you!
    6. Re:End free trade with non-free countries by Travoltus · · Score: 1

      "And the day China stops buying US dollars is the day the dollar collapses."

      Maybe that's what we need. We can start over by being self-reliant. Or better yet by ending all trade with China and then ending trade barriers with Western democracies.

      It's either that or China rules the world in a century.

      --
      --- Grow a pair, liberals... stop letting the Republicans bully you!
    7. Re:End free trade with non-free countries by marcuz · · Score: 1

      oh really? so you're the guy who can develop mines, factories and can hire and train all the people that would create all of the required industries that could support huge USA import needs in a year? well, you should run for a president! (courage and big mouth is sometimes all you need! :) china was building this for years. and they have the cheap and abundant labour USA doesn't. Good luck finding people who would work 12 hours a day for couple of dollars.

    8. Re:End free trade with non-free countries by Travoltus · · Score: 1

      Do you realize how fast we threw factories up to fight World War II? It wasn't a year but it sure was incredibly fast. And we certainly didn't pay them peanuts (adjusted for inflation) like someone like you would try to now.

      --
      --- Grow a pair, liberals... stop letting the Republicans bully you!
    9. Re:End free trade with non-free countries by marcuz · · Score: 1

      No I do not - but you can provide some links with reasonable data to convince me :) However, there are several problems with ramping up capacity in the states. Where would you get all the money to build the factories? More debt? That is not really a brilliant idea right now because there have been already too much money printed. And forget about semiconductor producing factories and all the high tech stuff. Its expensive and takes a while to build. Where would you get all the workers for example for jeans factories? I highly doubt that US workers could produce jeans for 4$ like they do in china. Thus such product prices would be unbearable. There would be labor shortages as well and salaries will rise. So there is no chance to make jeans for 10$ either. I really can't imagine where would you get all the raw materials for building the factories. There would be huge shortages, prices of commodities will skyrocket. And after all China would be mad and could start selling dollars so that the states would be bankrupt shortly after. All in all I don't see a point in building additional factories in a recession like environment. Its a nice dream but it is not 1940ies anymore and also the economy is far more global then it was in those days.

    10. Re:End free trade with non-free countries by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1
      Things might not be simple, but things aren't as complicated as you seem to think they are.

      You want money to build manufacturing (which is mainly what we're talking about here)? Easy. Tax the hell out of companies that use foreign outsourcing, as Andy Grove recently suggested. That would do two things: (1) generate revenue that could be used to help finance manufacturing infrastructure, and (2) encourage U.S. businesses to make use of that infrastructure.

      The U.S. is not short of labor. The U.S. has too much labor. That is one reason most families have 2 working adults today, when a few decades ago 1 was sufficient. That is also partly why so many are currently unemployed, and why wages have not been keeping up with real inflation (as opposed to official government figures for inflation).

      Also, if more people are more gainfully employed, it is not as important to manufacture jeans for $4... which are being marketed to U.S. consumers for $30-$40 anyway!

      You don't know as much about the market as you seem to think. And China, sell dollars? Two things about that: If they sold dollars cheaply, they would lose far too much of their investment. They can't afford to do that. (2) If they sell dollars but not cheaply, we do not have much reason to care.

      All in all I don't see a point in building additional factories in a recession like environment.

      That's because you don't understand how the economy works.

      Its a nice dream but it is not 1940ies anymore and also the economy is far more global then it was in those days.

      That can change.

    11. Re:End free trade with non-free countries by marcuz · · Score: 1

      You want money to build manufacturing (which is mainly what we're talking about here)? Easy. Tax the hell out of companies that use foreign outsourcing

      Its not a bad idea generaly. Sure, encourage local markets and get back to the smaller sustainable microeconomies inside nations. First thing striking as unrealistic is that the elites ruling this world are rolling the globalisation scenario and won't go back with it until they satisfy some global domination goal they have. But lets not care about those for a moment.
      Economy is wobbling and falling on its knees. No, seriously, do you believe in this miracle recovery we saw an indication of in the markets for the last several months? Job market sucks, real estate bubble is deflating. They already mess with the system trying to patch it here and patch it there, print some more money and hope for the best. We can be certain that changing some of the policies drasticaly is very risky bussiness right now. Like suddenly abandoning trade deficits. They can make some progress reducing it with China now perhaps more open to start manufacturing goods for their own people. But it certainly won't happen overnight.
      I see world economies struggling for the next couple of years. The governments on the verge of bankrupcy will tax the hell out of people, bet on it. But its questionable to what degree will they punish foreign outsourcing practices. I guess all the taxing will just be a direct need to raise some money to survive. Life will be thougher for common folks, food is going to be expensive. And now you suggest to tax the goold old cheapo china goods heavily. The prices will skyrocket. Don't forget all the money printed that will eventually find its way out and could cause massive inflation as well. Keep in mind that the important changes has to be gradual, and that takes time. The balance of the world markets might be more complicated than you think :)
      Another thing to consider is the response to such higher taxes from China. They might not like it.

      I agree with you on that China selling dollars thing. Its true that they must do it the smart way. Like buying up commodities and companies producing them - like miners. They are already doing that. But I don't think that the US should not be worried that China is getting rid of the dollars as you call it not-cheaply, its the other way around. In this way they can accumulate wealth with still valuable dollars.

      But yes, what do I know. I follow these events and speculations as a personal hobbie. Thanks for your response anyway :)

  38. Re:What can I say. Slashdotters needs to get out m by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 3, Informative

    By Chinese standard, the fact that the US has so much porn is just unheard of. Porn is not only illegal but also considered immoral.

    Hold it, I thought only right wing Christian nutjobs wanted to make porn illegal? Are you trying to tell me that the Chinese government is controlled by right wing Christian nut jobs?

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  39. Go to Space by ericdujardin · · Score: 1

    Wonderful, one more incentive to fund asteroid mining.

  40. This makes sense in the long run. by miffo.swe · · Score: 1

    Moves like theese shows a forward thinking that the west has tossed out the window long ago. When we moved our factories abroad we sold our butts for a fast buck and a nice swimming pool for some executives. My country happily ships all resources out instead of processing them and we loose billions in the long run on this, not to mention jobs lost and trade balance.

    Keeping important natural resources inside the country and selling them highly processed (in cars, computers etc) gives much better yield than to just sell it abroad and then buy the refined products back. Im must give it to the Chinese, they are shrewd economics but the really dangerous part is that they think ten years longer ahead than most westerners do that only worry about the next quarter at most.

    --
    HTTP/1.1 400
  41. That's it! We're going to war! by Hurricane78 · · Score: 1

    I mean, it would be business as usual. :P

    --
    Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
  42. Re:Not a Great Analogy - merely open the mine by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Just because somehting was up and running once doesn't mean it is just sitting there waiting to turn on when we want ti back. Steel isn't a rare earth metal, but Geneva Steel was shut down in Utah and sold to China. We can't just turn it back on, we gave them our business and Geneva couldn't match their prices. Now instead of giving China our business, we sold them the business too.

    Now for some irony, before Geneva steel went away they needed to buy new bricks to line their furnace. Only two places in the world made the brick they needed China, and Lehi Block who was just miles up the road from them. Geneva Steel bought brick from China and then complained when they shut down that too many people bought cheap steel from China.

  43. Biblical tie-in by BenEnglishAtHome · · Score: 1

    Funny you should list those facts. "The end of the world is coming" fundamentalist Christians point to the same set of facts as partial justification for some of their beliefs about how the battle between good and evil will play out. Everyone who believes there will be a battle of Armageddon agrees that it will be a huge battle. But, depending on who you read, how do you get the 200 million-plus troops for the invasion? The only way to put that many foot soldiers on the battlefield is to get a big commitment from China. China may not be able to project much power very far across the Pacific, but they could start marching westward.

    Of course, I get a little tired by people who let such thoughts keep them up at night. But I did find your post interesting in that context.

  44. This makes a lot of sense by Dunbal · · Score: 1

    After all, socialism's ideal is to control the sources of materials and production. China is a growing country and is looking ahead. Why not build a stockpile, since future economic growth will probably depend on that stockpile. They already own the US' debt anyway (the rest exists in the form of IOU's from the Federal Reserve, and any individual foolish enough to buy US treasuries nowadays). No need to play nice anymore.

          Expect terms and conditions to be dictated to the world by China in 20 years or so. I expect them to play nice with the Russians/CIS because they share so much land border with them defending it wholly would bankrupt both countries - much like the US and Canada are obliged to be best friends. But the rest of the world? No one has done China any favors in the past century - expect none.

          However the Chinese government has shown itself to be hugely oppressive at times, and Chinese people tend to be quite racially intolerant (we are after all the "barbarians"). Perhaps they will be the answer to islamic extremism - a Chinese bullet to the back of the head.

    PS: I am not Chinese.

    --
    Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  45. I just wanna know... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How the hell did our rare earth metals end up under China?

    1. Re:I just wanna know... by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Because W wanted support and funding for his Iraqi invasion and occupation. Basically W traded our future for his oil.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  46. Americans by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Pathetic Americans complaining about market fixing/manipulation, that's all you do these days. You make nothing of value anymore just use the influence of achievements from days gone by to move piles of money around. Get back in school, learn some math, sweat some and maybe the world will pay attention. You are not your parents or grand parents that made great things. You are twitter addicts that enjoy abusing each other.

    1. Re:Americans by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Shut the fuck up tard, if you think these Slashtards like yourself represent real americans, your are bigger dickwad than you appear to be. Now get back to your marxist socialist economic slave state until the time comes for them to deem your at the end of your useful life in some Logans Run scenario only lemmings like you and the rest of your ilk so readily agree to while you take it up the ass. Next time you need the US to do the fighting for you, you may be surprised at our unwillingness unless of course you surrender the booty and in the end, you will as always. So choose your miserable future fate, Islamo-naziism or American Corporatism, dumbass

  47. SO MUCH FOR THE CLAIM TO GREEN by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    All this talk of green tech really translates into extracting more ore from the earth that is a) not as abundant b) more damaging since there is less of it and more earth needs to be mined and c) is no different than traditional tech aka "non green" in that access to it will be subject to manipulation, control and war

    Green is the new color of the lie!

  48. Moon/asteroid mining opportunity :-) by knarf · · Score: 1

    If only China *really* were the sole source of these minerals on Earth this would make a perfect business case to finally launch a moon or asteroid mining operation... Given of course that these bodies contain said minerals...

    --
    --frank[at]unternet.org
    1. Re:Moon/asteroid mining opportunity :-) by marcuz · · Score: 1

      who would launch such thing? almost bankrupt USA certainly not. It would take many years and shitloads of money to build some infrastructure for getting those rare minerals from space. And worst would be that after all minerals would be way overpriced to be used by anyone.

    2. Re:Moon/asteroid mining opportunity :-) by cdrguru · · Score: 1

      Then we better start making some alternative plans that do not include resources controlled by China.

      It is true that the USA probably is no longer in a position do anything about this any longer. The time has pretty much past. Other countries are going to be throwing money into uselessly trying to "solve" poverty and the like as well. Tne end result is simple, Man is stuck on Earth forever because the opportunity was missed. We gave it all away and now we get to live with the result.

      Yes, this probably means an 1850s level of standard of living for first-world countries and something much, much less for third-world countries. But we aren't going to have the materials to do much beyond that.

      War? Unlikely at this point. A war with China would not likely free up locked-down resources. Neither will trying to bargain with them - it is certainly going to be their way or the highway for a long time. They figured out a way to hold the whole world hostage because of limited access to new technology. Problem is, I think they seriously miscalculated on the determination of many people not to be dictated to, especially by a power that most of the world dispises.

    3. Re:Moon/asteroid mining opportunity :-) by marcuz · · Score: 1

      I think that Man is not stuck on earth forever. There are still huge reserves of metals and other rare elements which we will need to have when moving to other planets but maybe its better to wait until technology gets better and more efficient. Next decades will be focused on resources more than ever. This will of course cause drop in standard of living as you have written. Stuff won't be as cheap. There won't be today's cheap (and abused) labour from china because china is done with focusing on exports and will start to develop itself with all the dollars it accumulated (and is now buying loads of commodities with them).

  49. Doubtful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It is doubtful that China is the only viable source of anything. Any restrictions they implement will simply push mining and prospecting in other places where I'm sure the world will find abundant supplies.

    In the meantime I wouldn't expect the congresses of the world and the WTO to sit idly by without imposing import restrictions on Chinese goods that offset the losses. China is playing a game that only has losers.

    1. Re:Doubtful by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      It is doubtful that China is the only viable source of anything.

      Uh, baby girls. Male babies are favored because carrying on the family last name is very important in their tradition.

           

  50. Oil by zogger · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It will get more expensive, but we still have significant oil reserves

    Rare metals, who knows. If it gets down to national survival, there's a buhzillion acres in federal land (parks and etc) that are currently off limits to mining, but that could change fast.

    And we are just scratching the surface on R&D with biofuels. Corn (any cheap sugars) ethanol and soybean (and many other crops) biodiesel are mere first gen efforts, they work right now but are resource and cash expensive. Once next gen gets rolling, like with engineered algae and waste biomass conversion and so on, which could be combined with solar and wind power to run the conversion facilities, we could have liquid transportation fuels for a long time, indefinitely really, as long as we also keep working on better efficiencies and get a lot of the commuter cars running on electricity, and save the liquid fuels more for long haul trucking and ag machinery and aircraft uses etc..

    1. Re:Oil by holmstar · · Score: 1

      Except that "waste biomass" isn't really waste at all... normally it is spread out onto the fields where it is broken down and helps to fertilize the next crop. If we use that waste biomass to produce fuel, then we need more fertilizer than before, and guess what nearly all of our fertilizer is based on... petrochemicals. The same would apply to algae production. The algae need something to grow on too. Lots of light and water isn't enough. Bio fuels are not the answer.

  51. Americas best export = culture by spineboy · · Score: 1

    Movies, education - it all adds our value to the world, and helps usually to beneficially influence those who come to live here and study. Kicking out thousands of CHinese students is like getting rid of thousands of allies.

    --
    ..........FULL STOP.
  52. They are not CONSIDERING; They DID IT by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Interesting

    China is now refusing to export a number of rare earth elements. These are ones that are currently expensive to get elsewhere. In addition, they HAVE put caps on other ones. But that is not the real problem.

    The real issue is that they are running around BUYING UP all the mines in the free world. Basically, they are trying hard to make a monopoly of this. The place to watch is Australia, Canada, and America. America has the largest active RE mines and China made a bid for these last year(US gov said no). They currently are trying to buy 2 start-up mines in Australia. Finally, IIRC, they DID buy a Canadian producer (though I do not recall where mines were located).

    The other day I commented about how we should be mining space, to which a fool responded that it was not practical. At that time, I pointed out that long-term countries would try to limit access to various elements/minerals. Sure enough, that day was when I found out about China thinking of limiting REM. The problem is that when items are taken off the market, it means that you limit countries capabilities. That tends to make wars happen. Imagine if another GWB gets into office in say about 2 years and REM is expensive to the west. GWB would go to war over this because CHina is building up their military and will want to stop it before they get too strong. Keep in mind that China is positioning themselves for a first strike, not for a defensive position. If we want to avoid stupid wars, we MUST get into space and locate new elements/minerals esp. REMs. They are the foundation of militaries as well as electrical systems. All of our future motors and many of the advanced electronic boards depend on these.

    China is not about playing fair. They are very much in a cold war with the west, whether we like it or now. If we want to prevent a hot war, we will have to prevent them from limiting our access to resources (either by war or by finding new cheap mines) and will have to bring back manufacturing.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:They are not CONSIDERING; They DID IT by ZarathustraDK · · Score: 1

      Or you could just shake hands and make Chinamerica.

      Nah bollocks, rather start WWIII than join territories, they are the bad guys after all.

      --
      If you quote this signature there'll be 72 copies of Windows ME waiting for you in Heaven.
    2. Re:They are not CONSIDERING; They DID IT by nedlohs · · Score: 2, Interesting

      What else are they supposed to do with all the foreign reserves they have?

      Wait for them to become worthless? Or use them now before they do to buy useful productive assets.

    3. Re:They are not CONSIDERING; They DID IT by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Well, they COULD buy pollution controls for all their coal plants, mines, etc. They do not want that. Instead, they want us to GIVE IT TO THEM. Seriously, if they really wanted to use that money to buy goods and join the world trade, they would buy these controls. But instead they would rather not buy it and will only buy things that can deny the west later. That alone should speak about China's gov. intentions. What amazes me is that so many disregard it. They pollute their ppl horribly and say that it is because the west will not GIVE THEM the tech. Yet, they are sitting on close to 4 TRILLION IN DOLLARS that would enable them to quit polluting with mercury, SO2s, etc. Heck, 1 trillion alone would do it. And it would revive the world economy.

      China is in a cold war with us and is winning because the west does not want another one.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    4. Re:They are not CONSIDERING; They DID IT by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      America has been extending the hand. That is exactly why China has MFN and is in the WTO even though they have not met the conditions for either. We are in a one-sided cold war that is headed towards a bad outcome. The reason is because reagan and W ran monster deficts, W allowed china to skip their legal obligations, and now china is feeling that if they keep it up that they can win a hot nuclear war.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    5. Re:They are not CONSIDERING; They DID IT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The reason is because reagan and W ran monster deficts, W allowed china to skip their legal obligations, and now china is feeling that if they keep it up that they can win a hot nuclear war.

      Maybe it's just because I'm playing Fallout 3* right now, but reading this sentence made me flinch.

      *For non-gamers, the Fallout series is set in the USA after a heavy nuclear exchange with China, not the USSR/Russia, as the main antagonist.

    6. Re:They are not CONSIDERING; They DID IT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      China has to prepare for first strike. Civilized china is concentrated in a handful of cities such as Beijing and Shanghai. It would take all of 5 minutes and a handful of bombs to bomb China back to the stone ages, so a defensive stance isn't a good option.

      (Admittedly bombing of a few cities would devestate any country, but not to the extent it would China)

    7. Re:They are not CONSIDERING; They DID IT by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      My understanding is that you are wrong. China may have its manufacturing in a hand full of cities (I understood about 1-2 dozen), but their military capabilities are spread ALL OVER. And I do mean all over. They are more spread out than America, Russia, or even EU is. They have a number of sites that are hoping are quietly producing new weaponry. No doubt we do not know them all and they are counting on it. America has taken a lot of heat for having used the bomb in a war (that we did not start or even provoke), but America has never put itself or its adversaries in a position to have to use it (hence the cold war). China is working towards a hot war using a number of weapons that they are not allowed to have (space based weapons) and others that they are not claiming (neutron bombs are now known to be on a production line; hard to say how many will be created; hopefully, between NSA/CIA/DOD as well as Russia's intel, we will find out )

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    8. Re:They are not CONSIDERING; They DID IT by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      The westerners are the ones who don't like the pollution. If China is fine with it, then why would they bother changing it?

    9. Re:They are not CONSIDERING; They DID IT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Keep in mind that China is positioning themselves for a first strike, not for a defensive position.

      Two things.

      #1 Citation needed.

      #2 So do you mean that all countries have a moral obligation to be open for invasion from the USA? Like, everybody should be "defensive", so that the holy US army can rape them as they displease Uncle Sam?

    10. Re:They are not CONSIDERING; They DID IT by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      We will skip the BS about citation.
      How does being defensive keep you open to an attack by US? Iraq was built to be first strike, not defensive. Defensive means that you repel an attacker. First strike means that you are the attacker. America is built around defense, not attack. That is why it takes us so long to stage anything. For example, the world KNEW that we were going into Kuwait. They knew we were going into Afghanistan. They knew we were going into Iraq. Nothing about America is geared for a surprise attack except on small operations. We are not capable of doing a surprise first strike attack on China and take them out. They would hit us back with many of their now nearly 1000 warheads.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    11. Re:They are not CONSIDERING; They DID IT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You the mean we should actually let China use the paper money the we printed for free? To buy things around the world?! Instead of sending them back right away to buy more US govt bonds?!

      What a shocking thought!

    12. Re:They are not CONSIDERING; They DID IT by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Because they are not fine with it. Citizens are upset about it. In addition, even China admits that its pollution is spreading the world over. And they claim that because we will not give it to them, that we are the guilty party.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    13. Re:They are not CONSIDERING; They DID IT by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      China isn't a democracy, "China is fine with it" means that the people running the show are fine with it, since they are "China". The people are just along for the ride.

      They don't care. Why would they give a shit if their pollution is spreading the world over? What's the rest of the world going to do about it?

  53. Time to mine landfills by Steve+Hosgood · · Score: 1

    With the sudden shift in TV and monitor designs to using LCD panels rather than CRTs, old glass TVs and monitors are being junked by the tonne. There's rare earths in them thar CRTs! The cathode coatings and the phosphors themselves are full of 'em.

    OK, so only a small amount per CRT, but it all adds up when you've got millions being dumped. In the EU this is probably made easier because the rules concerning disposal of electronic goods are fairly well defined, in some countries you might have to start digging up landfills.

  54. Wrong by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    The ones in there are the ones that China is limiting to increase the price. The ones that we want (that china has not prevented from being sold), are NOT in our landfills. They are in fairly new use on permanent magnet motors as well as high-end circuitry's. In addition, these require MINUTE amounts on these (the world uses several tons a year on a few of these, but are hard to obtain).

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  55. feeding the trolls by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    and it's people like you who keep feeding the trolls.

  56. Anonymous Coward by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's only fair.

    Nobody can force the chinese or any other country to export anything.

    1. Re:Anonymous Coward by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You mispoke you should have said...."Qruickly United States! You need to go and riberate the Chinese preople!

  57. Now that I think about... by ZarathustraDK · · Score: 1

    What DOES America export?

    Things I can think of: Microsoft, Hollywood-stuff, Weapons, McDonalds, patents, death of popstars, hmmm...

    Come to think of it, it's been ages since I've seen "Made in America" anywhere except on TV.

    --
    If you quote this signature there'll be 72 copies of Windows ME waiting for you in Heaven.
  58. Anonymous Coward by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Quickly United States! You need to go and liberate the Chinese people!

  59. An informative post by calidoscope · · Score: 1

    Your one of the few that pointed out that there are vast rare earth sources outside of China - one of the largest being in California.

    --
    A Shadeless room is a brighter room.
    1. Re:An informative post by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Actually, there are not known "vast" rare earth sources. There are some known locations of these sources. Problem is that several of these, so far, appear to be mostly in China. That is why they are limiting these. It is not because they fear running out. It is that they appear to be acquiring total control over several of them (the ones that they will not allow to be exported). I hope to god that we are bright enough to prospect for a lot more of these, including in space. We need to send a number of vasmir/nuke powered sats into the asteroid belt and start locating different minerals. At the same time, the west needs to start a massive program of locating any and all elements/minerals that are limited to various nations that China wants to control. Otherwise, China's cold war is going to turn hot.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  60. Mars by matt_martin · · Score: 1

    Fine, this will just push us into that Turbidium mining project on Mars a few years sooner.

    --
    Lurking in the desert
  61. Africa by Shag · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Another big source of uncommon metals is sub-Saharan Africa - for example, something like 80% of the world's supply of either Cobalt or Coltan comes from mines in the Congo. And China has been making big inroads into that region too, in terms of international aid and trade.

    There are times that being an officially godless commie state comes in handy, really. US shows up and says "we'll give you aid money as long as you don't promote safe sex, and oh, sorry, our business community is a little too nervous to really trade with you." China shows up and just says "look, we want to do business; you have resources we need."

    Unsurprisingly, African governments are talking more to China these days.

    --
    Village idiot in some extremely smart villages.
    1. Re:Africa by Gryle · · Score: 1

      US shows up and says "we'll give you aid money as long as you don't promote safe sex, and oh, sorry, our business community is a little too nervous to really trade with you."

      I heard a story on NPR a few weeks back about mineral imports from Africa. US business is reluctant to import minerals from theses regions due to guerrilla wars being fought over mining sites, similar to the blood diamond conflict.

      As for the safe sex issues, can you provide a citation? I hadn't heard anything about this.

      --
      Only two things are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not entirely sure about the universe - Einstein
    2. Re:Africa by Shag · · Score: 1

      http://www.google.com/search?&q=usaid+abstinence

      Most of them are biased one way or the other, so you can pick which ones you want to read. :)

      --
      Village idiot in some extremely smart villages.
  62. short-sighted thinking by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Interesting
    is EXACTLY what has gotten us to where we are. China is in a cold war with us and it needs to be addressed.

    I TRUST that you are kidding about tariffs, yes? They do not work. The issue is that China was given MFN and into WTO by promising to open their borders and to free their money. All good. Problem is that China has not LIVED up to their word. They still have barriers up and most of all, the money is not traded freely. It is in a "basket" that is controlled by their gov. In addition, they allow pollution (co2 and other ) to be emitted in large amounts to give an even larger boost to low costs. Our energy bill is going to be a disaster and will encourage China,India,Mexico, etc to pollute more to take more jobs.

    So, here is my solution:
    1. Pollution is a serious issue, but so are economic issues. Kill the new energy bill before it gets implemented. Instead put in a TRUE cap/tax. We need to put in a cap on our CO2, and then put in a tax on ALL GOODS (local and imported). It should be based on the pollution that comes from the areas that the good was made from. That means that each country has a sliding scale based on CO2, and ideally the pollutions such as SO2, Mercury, etc. To implement this all at once would hurt the world. Instead, create a max of say 2-3% and than slowly raise that several percent each year. That gives each nation the opportunity to change (including America).
    2. Drop the MFN for all nations. Nearly all the countries that are part of that were for political reasons only. That needs to be stopped. Instead, create a new MFN and set up the conditions in which ALL NATIONS that meet it would get it. It should be a limited set of conditions.
      • freely traded money (EUdollar is freely traded; Yuens -> dollar is fixed).
      • Free trade. Not sure exactly HOW free, but most if not all goods should be allowed to move back and forth. Exceptions should be made for certain goods. For example, NAFTA was overall good. It has helped Mexico and Canada.
      • A minimum standard of an environmental condition. That would prevent countries from subsidizing the goods by degrading the world. Personally, I would prefer Canada as minimum. MUCH cleaner than most. We would probably just use ours though.
      • A minimum wage and labor condition.
      • A minimum education condition (such as requiring all children in school up to a certain age), etc.

      If we do the above, then there will be no real need for free trade acts. What is really needed is to make certain that we avoid exceptions. There are a number of countries that we allow to have one-way trade with us and do little to nothing to help those countries.

    If the above is done by the west, it would bring up conditions all over the world. EU has talked about doing Free Trade agreements with Latin America, but they want to use it to push better conditions for the citizens. I have to say that it is not a bad idea, but I think the above is even better.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:short-sighted thinking by BZ · · Score: 1

      Why free trade in goods only? What about services?

      Put another way, why only expose blue-collar workers in the US to global competition?

    2. Re:short-sighted thinking by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      I said that exceptions can be made for certain goods (military usage; etc). What services would you want excepted? Another way would be to allow exceptions up to a certain percentage.

      Personally, I want as much free trade as possible. BUT that only works when it is 2 way and it is FREE (as in free trade money to allow economies to adjust). When either and certainly both conditions are gone, then the concept is screwed.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    3. Re:short-sighted thinking by BZ · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure why services should need exceptions. Why should there not just be free trade in services?

      Examples of services we currently do NOT have free trade in: legal, medical, certified public accountant. For these, in addition to any professional examinations (which do make sense) there are also education requirements which give existing members of the profession veto power over who is allowed to practice the profession in the US. The result, as with any monopoly, is high prices. Precisely the sort of situation free trade is in theory supposed to address.

      I can assure you there is no shortage of doctors in India who would be willing to work in the US if they were allowed to and are qualified to do so. Legal and CPA involve some knowledge about the specifics of local regulations, but I'm sure if the market were there there would once again be no shortage of takers.

      Of course I doubt this sort of change to our trade agreements will ever be made, given the lobbying power of the AMA and the various bar associations.

    4. Re:short-sighted thinking by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A minimum wage and labor condition.

      If you set this minimum wage at third-world levels, it might as well not exist for imports from first-world nations. If you set it at first-world levels, then no one's going to operate third-world sweatshops at ten times their old cost - so the sweatshops close, and the people lose jobs and starve.

    5. Re:short-sighted thinking by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Many nations do not have minimum wages. Others like China ignore all the labor conditions. So, if we say that you must have a CERTAIN LABOR CONDITION that is enforced (such as nobody under age 14 working, no forced prison labor, no slave labor, etc) and you say that minimum is say 1/10 or even 1/5 of our nation (or some other trigger), then you get improved lots for all. In the end, we want money to go to MANY ppl, not just a corrupt gov and few corrupt ppl. In addition, we want free trade with nations. It benefits all, if done fairly.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    6. Re:short-sighted thinking by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      kind of funny that you mention the docs. My wife is Indian and I was talking with the in-law. Dad suggested exactly what you did, but the discussion was that the Indian Med schools have a long way to go to becoming like the west. Basically, the students still need about another year or so of school. What I found interesting is that mom said that we should NOT allow them in because she was worried about taking away from India. From where I sit, if they can pass a test, and want citizenship, I see no reason why they should not be allowed. Sadly, AMA seems more and more like a political group, then the professional group they used to be.

      But yeah, we have FAR too many exclusions. It would be nice to allow accounting and legal services to be exported. I think that right away we would see politicians require FAIR free trade.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  63. Revenge? by WinPimp2K · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Not really, nor is it a manufactured shortage, but it is another shot in their ongoing half-assed trade war. I say half-assed becasue while there is a definite nationalistic bent to this, China is also trying to develop it's own industries.

    So, China started out dumping rare earths on the global market (find your own darn citations you needy buggers), but as they see their own internal demand ramping up, they are going to divert more of their production to their own use. Of course some of that internal use will be for exportable products. Remember that they are making big investments in battery technology. I expect they plan on having an electric car that will need the rare earths currently going into Prius motors. Expect that car to be a big export item. And it will be aimed directly at hybrids and electrics and priced low enough that their competitors will have to sell at a loss to compete on price - at least until China needs them for internal consumption.

    Before China started dumping (look up your own darn citations) rare earths on the world market, the US was the major producer worldwide. The US firms that used to supply the vast majority of our needs (from our own resources) have shut down most of their production. It is very hard to compete with the combination of slave labor and non-existent safety and environmental regulations. It was a series of environmental violations given as the reason for the shutdown of one of the biggest US mines, but it may have really been related to a ability to see the handwriting on the wall regarding Chinese imports as well.

    --

    You either believe in rational thought or you don't
    1. Re:Revenge? by MrNaz · · Score: 1

      So China is setting its policy to suit its own internal needs rather than America's?

      How mean of them.

      --
      I hate printers.
    2. Re:Revenge? by WinPimp2K · · Score: 1

      Nah, the mean part isn't putting their own needs first. That is completely understandable. The mean part is the dumping they do before they have the internal need. That dumping sets up the rest of the world to expect unrealisitcally low prices and eliminates non-Chinese suppliers. Do try to keep up.

      --

      You either believe in rational thought or you don't
  64. Dont forget copper. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    China has also attempted to control the copper production in Chile and also drove the price up when it began buying huge amounts of it. Depriving other countries of strategic materials has always been a precursor to armed confrontation.

  65. Re:What can I say. Slashdotters needs to get out m by nedlohs · · Score: 1

    Yes because Muslim fundamentalists love the porn, that's why they make their women wear no clothes when they go outside.

  66. Protectionism is a failed ideology by Citizen+of+Earth · · Score: 1

    “When goods cannot cross borders, armies will.” — Frédéric Bastiat (1801–1850)

  67. Re:Racist! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ... says the racist.

  68. Chani has done this in other markets as well by Terje+Mathisen · · Score: 3, Informative

    Until about 10 years ago, there were many magnesium manufacturers around the world, including one in my home town of Porsgrunn (in Norway).

    When China decided that light metals was a crucial market for them, they started a bunch of very low-tech/high-pollusion magnesium smelters, and many/most Western competitors folded.

    In the latest (for the year 1998) SFT (Norwegian EPA) regulations for the Porsgrunn factory (in norwegian), the limit on some pollutants was set to maximum 1 gram/year, I suspect the Chinese smelters are many orders of magnitude above this level.

    Terje

    --
    "almost all programming can be viewed as an exercise in caching"
  69. Hooray! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If this pushes the world towards sustainable hardware production as much as the OPEC pushed it towards sustainable energies, I'm all for it. (I'm serious.)

  70. Planned Obsolescence by MindKata · · Score: 2, Interesting

    "I miss the days of over-engineered machines built of inferior materials." ... "Funny thing is, they still work. Like new."

    Sadly thank the Gillette razor manufacturer for creating the tread with their idea of the disposable blades, just over a hundred years ago. Since then ever more products have been designed to wear out and fail. Its the whole concept of planned obsolescence which is a big marketing tactic. (So much for conserving and using earth resources responsibly. These companies are far more (self-)interested in profit). Its disturbing how much thought goes into planned obsolescence, e.g.
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planned_obsolescence

    Here's an eye opening discussion about the idea of "Ending the Depression Through Planned Obsolescence" back in 1932.
    https://www.adbusters.org/blogs/blackspot_blog/consumer_society_made_break.html

    Its a tactical move by companies. No wonder we have such problems now with everyone consuming earth's resources after decades of companies behaving like this.

    But I don't know how it'll ever be stopped. For decades everyone has been led to believe in the idea of getting things ever cheaper, but that quietly assumes the product will fail sooner and so need replacing sooner and so in the long run, it'll end up working out more expensive. But then everyone has been also led to believe almost everything is out of fashion and so needs to be replaced regularly. While thats true of some things (especially technology due to improvements) it doesn't apply to everything we buy.

    Another problem is it costs more to produce something well rather than cheaply. So the cheap companies win and the well produced product companies end up going out of business. So we are rushing towards a world that produces ever more cheap rubbish that keeps needing to be thrown away and each time its thrown away someone profits from replacing what was thrown away. So we have ever growing rubbish mountains all around the world, which is also causing ever more environmental damage. :(

    --
    There are 10 kinds of people in the world... those who understand binary and those who don't.
    1. Re:Planned Obsolescence by PC+and+Sony+Fanboy · · Score: 1

      Don't blame gillette, blame apple ... or microsoft! (It's the cool thing to do)

      Do we need new versions of windows, or of ipods?

    2. Re:Planned Obsolescence by sonicmerlin · · Score: 1

      ...Which is why we've used government regulation for the past several decades to prevent companies from putting out ultra-cheap, break-in-a-few days products (like shoddy housing construction).

      If you really want better-quality products for higher cost, than simply create a government mandate for it. However in reality there is always a balance that's struck.

    3. Re:Planned Obsolescence by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Its the whole concept of planned obsolescence which is a big marketing tactic. (So much for conserving and using earth resources responsibly. These companies are far more (self-)interested in profit). blah blah blah companies evil ... capitalism ... satan ... more expensive ... evil ... markets wrong ... evil

      By the way, just out of plain curiosity ... who made those companies. Who liked planned obsolence more ? Certainly there were reusable blades available, yet that company went broke.

      Surely it's a government conspiracy, probably Stalin mated with Satan to produce a horrible goat that crapped out gilette after eating a particularly mean rat that was once fucked by hitler (movie at 8), right ?

      Well, no, in reality WE decided we like cheap, zero maintenance, short-lived stuff better than quality 5 minutes work every day blades.

      The fault lies with us, not with gilette, not with capitalism, not with greed. The problem is our lazyness. Nothing more.

      Scrubbing the cooking plate for 35 minutes every day without any soap whatsoever is more efficient and so much better for the environment ... and besides ... what are women for, right ?.

      Only an idiot that has never given 10 minutes thought to how people actually lived back then could make a post like that. It sounds somewhat reasonable on the surface, yet it's utter bullshit. Gilette's throwaway blades beat the crap out of keeping your own razor sharp in everything. Ease of use, likelihood of injury (know any guy that has not cut himself with a reusable blade every month ?) and, well frankly, even in price* (not that I don't respect people who do it anyway, in fact I've done so myself for 2 years, but ... let's face it, it's not easier than buying gilette blades every 2 weeks or so).

      * yes for the first year or-so. I realize that.

    4. Re:Planned Obsolescence by hitmark · · Score: 1

      cant speak for anyone but myself but no, i dont need either.

      but then i use linux, and my phone as a dap ;)

      --
      comment first, facts later. http://chem.tufts.edu/AnswersInScience/RelativityofWrong.htm
  71. All your *iums.... by cylcyl · · Score: 1

    Are belongs to us!

  72. Re:What can I say. Slashdotters needs to get out m by misexistentialist · · Score: 1

    Everyone in power always wants to make everything illegal since telling other people what to do is what power is.

  73. In the near future ...... by morsmortis · · Score: 0

    Today China announced its plan on building a moon base to extract helium-3 by 2050. In other news law makers in the house passed a bill okaying a 100 billion dollar package to promote more liberal arts and business degrees.....

  74. Pot = Kettle = Black by Tokolosh · · Score: 1

    See http://www.bis.doc.gov/licensing/exportingbasics.htm

    As usual, the Chinese are stealing ideas from us (government interference in free enterprise, that is).

    --
    Prove anything by multiplying Huge Number times Tiny Number
  75. Brass Tax by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Countries talk, we talk, yadda yadda.

    2 Words:

    "Ohio Class"

    If it REALLY came down to it(serious threat of invasion), one of these(which I'm sure is within spitting distance of the South China Sea) could have 192 Acme Brand Parking Lot Makers on the scene, paving and laying asphalt in 2 minutes or less....

  76. Re:What can I say. Slashdotters needs to get out m by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yeah, they're all a bunch of homophones.

  77. 3.5 years worth by LanMan04 · · Score: 1

    The US consumes 20.8 million barrels of oil per day.

    The Bakken Formation holds 3.65 billion barrels of oil.

    That's a little over 3.5 years worth. Nothing to sneeze at, but not a panacea.

    --
    With the first link, the chain is forged.
  78. This thread is all American imperialist propaganda by superyanthrax · · Score: 1, Flamebait

    News flash, the Chinese government serves the interests of the Chinese people, not yours. The governments of other countries around the world exist to serve and protect their own people, not to serve and protect American interests. It seems that most American have forgotten that and expect every government to be an American shill. We refuse to be your shill.

    Speaking of capitalism and free trade, you're all for it when you are crushing nascent industries in underdeveloped regions like Africa to ensure that your industries will have free reign to sell stuff there, but when a country like us can actually compete with you, or possibly even out-compete you, you cry foul and demand protectionism. Free trade is only good when America gets the advantage, it seems.

    Speaking of corrupt and autocratic governments, your government is nowhere near clean of corruption, and you have never shown any compunction to support autocratic and corrupt governments when they serve your interests; I don't think I need to bring up all the Cold War examples but if you want an example of today, look no further than the PLO Palestinian authority government and Karzai's Afghan government.

    American imperialism and hypocrisy is on full display in this thread.

  79. I keep hearing... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...rumors that they were going to save on export costs by slipping the metals into the food they export... :D

  80. Sort of, a longer range view here by zogger · · Score: 3, Insightful

    At current recovery rates and tech level, yes, but that will get better, there's more there, and they are still finding big fields elsewhere, like the recent big gulf discovery..and who knows what they have squirreled away in the arctic, either known about and kept secret, or still to be found.

        Combined with more efficient vehicles,(a LOT more efficient, it's possible today with bog standard today's tech, every place BUT the US has a much wider choice of better mileage vehicles) and electric vehicles, and using what petroleum we have in blends with advanced biofuels, we could get by on a reduced petroleum supply load for even longer.

        And telecommuting, a few tens of billion in better data infrastructure could eliminate the need for hundreds of billions worth in commuting costs and pollution., which is cheaper and easier, transporting some electrons, or millions of meat sacks in heavy steel boxes twice a day?

        Giant office towers that are there just so folks can sit in front of a computer screen are *rather wasteful*, when folks can stay home and sit in front of a computer screen. All that commuting and having to keep those huge buildings running, proly 3/4ths wasted right there just because a lot of these companies haven't had the right incentive (that would be clubs to the head to get them to wake up) and cut loose from the Ebenezer Scrooge and Bob Cratchitt 1700s mentality of the necessity of BEING at the office all the time, and make better use of the tech we have now and enter the 21st century. Plus think of the sheer millions of man hours that could be saved not riding in a car or bus or train or even a dang bicycle back and forth and back and forth and back and forth to work.

    We can go a long ways to dropping petroleum (and coal and natgas and..) demand without sacrificing any cool modern way of life, just by doing things smarter instead oif perpetuating obsolete tech because a few already rich people can skim so much profit from it. Heck, we could probably get by with very few new powerplants if they adjusted building codes (and mortgage loan approvals) to require a lot more insulation. The bulk of our electricity use is heating and cooling, and I know that this demand/requirement level can be dropped drastically, I used to be in that biz for a while, retrofitting for more energy efficiency.

        You can read a scosh about it here, superinsulation. It's amazing, you got to see it to believe it almost. You can get some serious savings by just *using* tech that has already been developed decades ago. It ain't sexy for wallstreet skimmers and gamblers that much, so it isn't pushed "in the market" as it could be, or for academic wanking research, but it IS possible. No new nuthin needs to be invented or funded by vulture capitalists or needs "government studies". Just double or triple our generic 50s and 60s level insulation that exists in millions of homes and buildings, along with a few other tweaks like better windows and doors and so on, and you'd be surprised how that works out for the electric bill.

        Easy enough done with a simple one page legislative bill and decent and credible sized tax credits, extended for some years. It could create a million new and actually *useful* jobs and save hundreds of billions in energy costs and dramatically reduce air pollution. But no one big company could get a monopoly on it, not a lot of patents to troll with, etc, so it ain't pushed, and dang sure the energy companies don't push it, cuts directly into the ole bottom line there. Lip service at best, they push what I would term 1/4 ass efforts, not even half assed. And they call that "good cents". I call it deliberate misdirection and marketing propaganda.

    You want to see what really could be accomplished today, with both housing and transportation, check out some of the designs at the solar decathlon competition.

  81. Yeah right by smoker2 · · Score: 1

    Cue the hissy fit from a bunch of undereducated yanks about how they have a RIGHT goddammit, to buy anything they want from anybody, and if those little yellow fuckers won't sell, well we'll just go over there and take it from them. But the free market is still our God. Not quite so free is it ?

  82. Re:What can I say. Slashdotters needs to get out m by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Chinese standards change daily.
    Actually, they change 15 minutes after they say they do, by law.

  83. Re:This thread is all American imperialist propaga by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Shut the fuck up tard and get back to your communist marxist socialist economic slave state until the time comes for them to deem your at the end of your useful life in some Logans Run scenario only lemmings like you and the rest of your ilk so readily agree to while you take it up the ass. You want to talk of imperialism, are you that fucking clueless or still on your knees in front of your hung like a pimple emperor. Has your miserable history not taught you a fucking thing, your being pacified with so called "properity" while in the background your Orwellian 1984'ish scenario plays out but its ok, as long as you can pirate american intellectual property and make substandard products otherwise, your happy right. Thats progress and yet, its really not. You will never attain what we have as long as you bow like the subservient slave you all are, 1 billion slaves!

    The good news is that there are so many of you fuckers, there will be plenty of organs to harvest for us in our time of need lol!

  84. show em who's boss by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well nuke the living daylights out of em lets see them stop anything then or better still some nasty little virus to clean the place out in a few weeks then it dies off and leaves it all squeaky clean then the rest of the world stomps in and does the proper thing

  85. You are missing a few things by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    China obviously intends to go nuclear. Their current generation of warheads that they are building are neutrons, not normal hydrogen bombs. The have a new ICBM that they have been trying to keep quiet; the DF-41. It will (does?) carry 10 MIRV and will be both vehicle and sub launched. They currently have 10 boomers with apparently more in the works, but are trying hard to hide them. That is why they built their new island which is a sub base and why they are fighting against the west monitoring even the edge of their 200 mile border. They do not want the rest of the world to know what is coming. Finally, they have been working towards taking out sats with simple anti-sat tech, but have been quietly working on lasers. The lasers are expected to be part of their many new manned space stations.

    Worse of all, their focus is on first strike, not defensive. When USSR and the west were in a cold war, neither side was focused on first strike, but strictly on Defensive. reagan did few things right, but he did have it right about dealing with USSR (and vice-versa); Trust, but verify. In doing that, it allows both sides to build up common ground. China is not interested in that. They are strictly gearing up for a nuclear war against the west. And we almost appear to be helping them by not holding CHina to 2 way trade and free money exchange. Add to that the insane invasion/occupation that the neo-cons did of Iraq, while ignoring the real issue of AQ (which could and should have been solved in the first year or two). Unless we change our way, China will soon feel that they can win a nuclear war. I spent my childhood being under desks, with my father ready to fly fatmen into the middle of Russia, and later, my young adulthood researching the USSR's biological weapons as well as working on defenses against them (they had some pretty "interesting" items). Back in the 60's, I was concerned esp. when my dad was gone for a week in late oct. 1962 (found out later that he was on end of runway ready and fueled to go). But it was obvious by mid/late 70's, that USSR was going to go under. Now, I look at CHina and KNOW that they are gearing up to do what all of us in the 60's did not want. The next decade will be interesting. Hopefully, this does not come to be.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:You are missing a few things by Prune · · Score: 1

      You're wrong. The US has been focused on first-strike for years. See Lieber, Keir A.; Press, Daryl G. The Rise of U.S. Nuclear Primacy. Foreign Affairs, March/April 2006, Vol. 85 Issue 2

      --
      "Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason."
    2. Re:You are missing a few things by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      And see this instead. Lieber/press are way wrong. Not just on assumptions, but on facts. Lieber's argument is that while the number of LV and warheads have dropped dramatically, their capabilities have been improved. He also claims that subsonic stealth bombers are a first strike nuclear system. Yet, these are never likely to deliver nukes. They are used in conventional warfare for the first strike of enemies who do not have the capabilities to see it. Russia can track the B2 and we have known that since before the break-up. In the end, the 2 ONLY measures against a weakened Russia. They made the assumption that many of Russa's systems are gone, which we know to not be the case. Russia is not a first strike threat to us or we to them. Even now, Obama is working with Russia on a new set of warhead and LV drops. That shows that we are about not having Nuclear first strike. and disproves your premise as well (which is several years old and ignores the current actions).

      The real issue should be us looking at China. It is possible that Russia would join forces with China, but I doubt it.

      Personally, I want to see MAD remain. The absolute WORST thing that can happen is for the west OR russia to drop to too few nukes. That would allow another country like China to think of winning a nuclear war with their neutron bombs. When looking at China's emphasis (remove our communications, remove our ppl but leave the equipment, etc), it should be obvious where first strike is sought and not sought.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    3. Re:You are missing a few things by qeveren · · Score: 1

      Why the heck would China bother with something like neutron bombs? They're anti-armor weapons, and it's not like they're going to be fighting massed tank battles with anyone, if things go nuclear. I'm pretty certain the whole 'ER nukes as infrastructure bombs' thing is mythical.

      --
      Don't just stand there, get that other dog!
  86. What's surprising about this? by Gaian-Orlanthii · · Score: 1

    Hello all you steel workers who shop in Wal-Mart! China has been buying America's (and everyone else's) resources as fast as the money classes of those countries will sell them. They've been buying because they always knew there would be a shortage in the future, which would allow them to either corner the market or possess industrial resources everyone else had run out of.

  87. Re:What can I say. Slashdotters needs to get out m by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Porn in China is illegal but hardly considered immoral. In fact, even mainstream websites are not above putting some flesh on them to help attract more viewers.

    This is a country where mistresses are so commonplace among people who have extra money, that its almost accepted.

  88. Re:What can I say. Slashdotters needs to get out m by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I am not familiar with this "nut job".
    Are these legal in the US?

  89. Books related to your proposals by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Your thinking about using a rather technical domestically applied VAT or sales tax reminds me of some of the ideas raised in Paul Samuelson's "The Great Inflation and it's Aftermath".

    "The Great Inflation..." is actually quoting some other writer, but the essential proposal put forth is: At some level in the United States, we should move to a "consumption tax". Some European countries have a tax like this, called a VAT and the tax is around 20%.

    Regarding your thought about creating a new kind of MFN status, your thinking reminds me of Thomas P.M. Barnett's book "The Pentagon's New Map".

    His book is about the strategy of recognizing which nations are relatively civil places ready to engage in trade. Then there is a boundary and large areas of extreme instability. When drawn on a globe, that is the eponymous map of the book's title.

  90. Europium? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I thought that came from Europe.

  91. Re:This thread is all American imperialist propaga by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Orwell was a Socialist.

    Your obsession with gay sex speaks volumes.

  92. Re:This thread is all American imperialist propaga by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Funny, your the one who mentioned "gay sex" probably because its fresh on your mind from last night, tard. Socialism, Facism, Communism, the three brothers of oppression and control you fucking dope. Now get back to work before the death van arrives to harvest your organs dumbass

  93. yes and no by zogger · · Score: 1

    (dislaimer: I am both a commercial farmer, a long time private organic gardener-since the 50s-, and also a long time alternate energy enthusiast and experimenter and user-since the 60s-, that's why I chime in on these topics and threads. I am not a software programmer, so I don't comment there much...although I do read some of those threads for funzies and to see if a little of that knowledge can slop over easy.. I do not profess to be the ultimate expert, I learn new stuff every single day, but I have more than a passing level of knowledge on these various subjects I comment on here..else I wouldn't, there wouldn't be any point to it.)

    *Some* of that waste ag biomatter is plowed in, but a lot of it is ground up now and used for inexpensive and barely functional alleged "nutritional" bulk roughage in animal feed. They DON'T plow it under in a lot of cases because it is a tradeoff, they found they have less diseases that way, and if you go two years in a row with your big commercial crop and it gets wiped out from diseases and/or pests, etc, sorry, you are now in debt and seriously bankrupt and ain't gonna be farmin no mo.

    Right now on this farm, I mean this experiment starts next week with the next flock "right now", we are using a form of really cheap to get waste biomass-sunflower seed hulls- that normally just get more or less tossed into animal feed just to get rid of them or dumped on hillsides for erosion control or something- in an authorized by our upstream company experiment to replace/augment some normally much more expensive and getting harder to get wood shavings we use for absorbent bedding in the poultry houses. It could just as easily go into making ethanol when they get that rough cellulose enzymes and bioreactive agents tech down better (said research going on in dozens of labs right now). Then it very well could be put to fuel use instead, as it would be worth more for that.

    Really big farms (such as where we sourced those hulls from) now have gone to "no till", they rarely if ever plow anymore, at most they use a very little fast surface cultivation, and a lot of them don't even do that, they just spray various chemicals and fertilizers and rotate crops. Plant, spray, harvest, do it again. And that's in transition as well, ag industry evolves as it needs to. Now some of the newer tech I like, some I don't, but it is way too varied to comment on in a single thread, and this will be long enough as it is.

    Biofuel tech is exploding, it is going in several different directions right now, and a lot of it is quite promising, so I will have to just 100% disagree with your dismissal of biofuels for the future, just to get that out of the way.

    Biofuels are quite practical solar fusion power.

    These biofuels and solar PV and solar thermal are the ONLY forms of practical fusion power we have now, or are *likely* to have in the next buncha decades given the status of the results of the last several decades on man made fusion power, like with magnetic and plasma and laser whatever gee whizz sci fi containment bubbles and so on.

    As such, they really are our best hope right now for developing affordable-enough and sustainable and carbon neutral liquid transportation fuels that can be introduced easily full strength or in blends into our already existing and extremely expensive to replace right now liquid fuel based entire "transportation stack"

    . So that's why I disagree with you so much. They *are* working so far, and it shows more promise, and just thousands of dedicated scientists and technicians are working on it to get it better, and it will continue to get better because of that.

    Here's an example right now where it is going good and expanding, jatropha seed oil for biodiesel in India. It's just a fast growing weed, it grows readily in scrub land they have there in abundance where you really can't grow anything with any food value, especially if you can't irrigate, yet it thri

    1. Re:yes and no by holmstar · · Score: 1

      I'm not a farmer, but I grew up on a farm. While some of that bio-waste might end up as roughage, it does end up back in the field, in the form of manure, and proper crop rotation can help to avoid disease. You also never addressed the fact that almost all of our fertilizers are petrochemical based. If the plan is "harvest everything above ground level and use it to make fuel" then you are removing lots of vital compounds from the soil. Those have to be replenished or eventually the only thing that will grow are things like desert grasses that don't need very much from the soil. If you are replenishing them via commercial fertilizers, then you are just using oil/natural gas in a round-about way, rather than directly.

      Yes, there are lots of sources of bio-matter, such as the dead trees you are talking about, and the grasses that catch fire every year or so. But those play a part in the natural scheme of things. Even when burned, the ash helps to fertilize the soil and support further plant and animal life. If we remove all of that grass/brush/dead trees, then we remove those nutrients from the environment and less is able to grow in that place. Look at those rain forest farmers you mention. They burn down the forest to make room for fields and to fertilize the soil, farm the fields to death (until their crops won't grow anymore) and then burn down more forest. The exact same thing would happen here if it weren't for commercial fertilizers.
      Biofuels will more than likely play a small part in the future, but I stand by my claim that they are not the answer for energy independence.

      Personally, I believe the answer is nuclear. Using modern reactor designs, we have enough nuclear fuel to power the world for thousands of years at the very least. We can use surplus power from nuclear reactors that are built a little larger than necessary to create fuels from air and water. No need to use up vast tracts of land, and the power/fuel plants provide high paying jobs. The waste that is generated by the reactors is short lived, thus much less dangerous than waste from the old 1970s era technology we use now. Nuclear is the future.

  94. Mostly yes, but one no by zogger · · Score: 1

    I understand and we do that with composted manure here (chicken litter), huge mass quantities of it. We have a dedicated custom spreader truck for that. This is what we do on our both our pastures and our hayfields. I also use some in my personal garden. I also understand about the petrochemicals, and I agree with you long term it's nuts, but short term it is what we have. I support people buying more locally and more sustainable from organic farmers.

    I am way more in favor of biochar production and getting that down into the soil to develop tilth though. It lasts longer (centuries quite literally), remains stable longer, works better, etc than just cultivation, although I am in favor of light surface cultivation, for seasonal weed control, with the crops that you can do that with during the season, row crops. Freaking wheat, stuff like that, I have no idea how to do that, never investigated how organic wheat guys keep weeds under control...have to find out because I am cluless there. I tried to grow a little, just for a hoot, it greew quite well, but man it gets weedy fast, then when it comes to harvest you get way too much weeds mixed in with it to make it worthwhile to separate.

    Anyway, just for soil tilth, the biochar as the next "green revolution step" is what I would like to see done with all that huge cubic miles of wood and brush that burns up all the time out west. It also helps better than anything else to help maintain soil moisture, another critical aspect out there and most every place else. They can do *small controlled burns* after harvest to improve the soil and kill off diseases and repleish those things that need to burn to reproduce, and also allow continuous rotating thinning with the goat herds, just expand that practice as well, it's already being done.

    As to energy, have to disagree on this topic as pertains to nuclear fission. I am in favor of nuclear energy-fusion, but not fission, except for a very few really restricted niche applications (submarines, spacecraft, etc). Fission has too many unsolvable problems and is a leading source of some really bad geopolitical tensions that could, and quite very well *might*, lead to global war, which then could..well..you know. Just ain't worth it to me to chance that..

    I also like our practical nuclear fusion conversion tech, because it scales from massive baseload sized all the way down to joe homeowner size, and he can OWN his own means of production, get it *paid off*, not be in thrall and servitude forever and two days to BIG Corrupt Co., and have both future economic security along with future production security, that can't be mucked around wuth by forces outside his control.

    To that end, I have started true "investing" in my own sources, we now have both solar PV and a small wind genny. The genny is currently not being used, but I retain it as an emergency backup. Where we lived previously it was practical, higher elevation in the mountains, but were we are now solar PV is where it is at. That and we use sustainable biofuel, our home heating is primarily wood now, where previously it was a combo of electric and propane. I have to do maintenance all the time, fix fences, clean the creek, etc, where falling trees and branches break stuff or could interfere with the cross creek barricade fence thing I made to keep the beefers in and not wandering around the neighbors yards eating their flowers and stuff (happened before..most embarrassing and hard to get them back in), so I thought might as well use the stuff as long as I have to cut big amounts of it all the time. Works quite well, and is very comfortable and cozy and I do not have to rely on some local energy monopoly for my supply, plus frees up loads of cash. win/win/win for me and is carbon neutral, plus nice healthy exercise with a lot of "resistance training" HAHAH! Big tree trunk chunks get pretty hea

  95. return of the alchemists? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It sounds like there is money to be made out there for the innovative alchemist.