Will Google and Android Kill Standalone GPS?
xchg passes along a WiseAndroid piece on the drop in value of Garmin and TomTom shares following Google's announcement yesterday of Google Maps Navigation. "Shares of GPS device makers Garmin and TomTom plummeted... through a combination of their quarterly results and the launch of Google Maps Navigation. Following both low guidance for Garmin's next quarter as well as poor results from TomTom, shares for the two fell 16.4 percent and 20.8 percent respectively and remained low through the entire trading day after news of Google's free, turn-by-turn mapping service became public." Today Lauren Weinstein posted a number of reasons why standalone GPS won't go away any time soon.
Some of us don't want or need cellphones.
They still make standalone mp3 players and pdas and cameras.
They still even make standalone cell phones.
For Android to kill GPS, they would have to offer it cheaper than a standalone and provide a working GPS function that did not require a cell phone service contract for it to work.
I thought garmin was about to make an android device, thus ensuring that they have nothing to worry (essentially a cellphone/gps hybrid or something, same as is released).
...when there is good, reliable, 3g coverage or better everywhere, and when data charges (especially when roaming abroad) are negligible. But frankly, the places I most need GPS are where coverage is poor and roaming charges are high.
It sounds like the maps will still only be hosted by Google, rather than stored on the device as with standalone GPSs. As long as that's the case, there will probably still be standalone units.
I don't want to talk to a computer unless it has Majel Roddenberry's voice.
The cost of that cleanup, of course, will be borne by taxpayers, not industry.
GPS is a free service. It's no wonder that it would become hard to make money off of it after awhile. At least Tom Tom and Garmin aren't crying for a bailout.
does this mean that using the north star for gps is obsolete then?
I didn't read the article, of course, but right away my first thought is trying to use the GPS and be on the phone at the same time would be a problem in an all-in-one style device. Of course you shouldn't be on the phone (technically, perhaps), but we do it anyways. At least I do. I won't speak for the rest of you since I know at least one person will say that of course they never do and I'm evil for doing it. But I know I've used my GPS and phone at the same time in general, let alone finding some difficult place that isn't fully locatable in GPS. Back roads, unlisted roads, mismatched turns, etc.
I will shred my adversaries. Pull their eyes out just enough to turn them towards their mewing, mutilated faces. Illyria
Will stand alone GPS be killed? Of course not! The military and civil navigation systems use it in stand alone settings and they will continue to do so. GPS can't disappear and the only valid question here is "Would Garmin or TomTom go out of business because of google or android?". The answer is still no because they won't die, and if they do it's not because of google or android alone.
1) It doesn't work EVERYWHERE. I'm not talking about everywhere with a wireless signal. I'm talking about EVERYWHERE.
2) I'm not going to pay a monthly fee to use something. I paid Microsoft $X for Streets & Trips. It's one of the rare programs that I will spend the time to virtualize. It's gotten me east coast to west coast with only 1 problem, and that was user error (Grand Canyon Park is NOT the same as "Grand Canyon", the geographic center. Though it was an interesting drive into nothing).
3) AT&T is choking hard with a ton of people browsing the web. Imagine if everyone on the road suddenly was streaming a few K/s. It would bring the network to its knees. I somehow doubt that AT&T is going to pull through and upgrade.
Will Google and Android Kill Standalone GPS?
Will Google and Android and Verizon Kill Standalone GPS?
0 = 1 + e^(Alt something)
I'll personally replace my outdoors-oriented Garmin when I can get a bicycle-mountable, rucksack-clippable, fully waterproof (i.e. submerge for a significant length of time, not just splashproof), robust and accurate GPS device. That doesn't cost more than I paid for the Garmin in the first place. And can run on AA batteries for long periods of time, so I can swap batteries when they run down.
In fact, I probably still won't replace my Garmin even if they match those features. If I'm trekking around outdoors with the thing, it's nice to know that losing or smashing it won't result in the loss of my phone, address book, PDA, MP3 and video player, camera ... I like the idea of having everything available in one device but for some applications it's nicer not to have all my eggs in one valuable (in monetary, information and functionality terms) device.
For stuff like car satnav devices I can see GPS-enabled phones making more of a dent, since the top of a car dashboard is a much friendlier environment for a phone. Moreover it's somewhere you'd probably want a phone anyhow, so you can use it handsfree, listen to music, etc. The really slick car satnav designs are integrated into the dash, though. Given we've already seen ipod docks built into cars, maybe in the future we're looking at a much more full-featured dock that'll connect the phone to audio, dash display, GPS antenna, etc. On the other hand, given computers are cheap and get cheaper, maybe that'll be unnecessary as the car will have bucketloads of integrated computers already.
Google's set of software does not facilitate navigation on seas in any way at all, which is a business area that f.e. Garmin is one of the top actors in, and most likely will stay there unless Google would happen to introduce nautical charts (AND keep them up-to-date).
And, yes, there are people who fare on the seas.
Phones are relatively fragile, and their batteries are relatively feeble; by comparison my hiking GPS takes two easy-swapped AA's and gives 12-16 hours of use from them, and it takes all the abuse I can think to give it.
I wouldn't want to risk my phone-GPS running down my phone-phone: that's a safety fail just waiting to happen.
These arguments don't apply to driving GPS, where there's power available, or mooching-round-town GPS, where trips are short and safety non-critical. So smartphone GPS won't kill the dedicated device, but it'll reduce it back to a niche item for outdoorsy types.
Here's my problem with the android GPS, and for that matter with cell phone google maps - it all works perfectly when you live in a huge country, and where the possibility that you might need to use the navigation features offered by GPS without ever leaving the country is fairly large - hence you are not really worried about the data charges, since you are using the same operator.
BUT. If like me, you live in a small European country, where within the country there is practically no need for the GPS because you know most of the country by heart. Thus the only reason for using a car GPS navigation is when you leave the country. But that's exactly the moment the huge roaming data charges begin to apply. Therefore the only practically viable option unless you don't care how much you spend on your phone costs is by using an offline solution like a Tom-tom or Garmin device.
./R My blog
All well and good it's free, and even if I could pre-plan a route and store that info on the deivce, it still creates big headaches when i can't access a cellular network data service and I want to search for something.
Also, my understanding is this is at best a basic GPS, turn by turn with limited lane identification, but no real-time route updates, automatic traffic reporting, etc.
For the casual user on their once or twice a year road trip to a popular destination, it's fine. For people who spend their lives on the road, it's not good enough. We'll see version 2...
Also, I'm SURE Garmin, TomTom, and the others all have some hard core patents in place ensuring noone's going to offer a competing system at better pricing.
There is no contest in life for which the unprepared have the advantage.
Maybe Garmin/TomTom will replace their current OS with Android. However, I don't see any outdoorsman/athlete tossing their Garmin device for a GPS enabled cell phone. Why? Garmin devices are purpose built, they can be strapped to my wrist, my arm, they are waterproof, I can easily mount it to the handlebars of my mountain/road bike, they have heart rate monitors built in, I can attach a secondary transponder to my dogs when they are out herding so I know where they are.
I also love the fact that they can download maps from the National Geographic Topographic Map Series. Now there's nothing that would stop someone from writing a android app to interface with these maps. But currently google maps doesn't help me out on the trail.
Garmin is a brand and people buy their products for the features, nobody buys Garmin b/c of the underlying OS.
There are plenty of reasons that a route-based GPS is not all-encompassing (pun intended); a lot of places are not available by road, or the road ended long ago and now the GPS is saying you're essentially in a brown or green void.
I can see that this is not necessarily ...mainstream..., but I've found that for hiking, geocaching, etc., I can use the TomTom to get me to the closest road or parking lot, and then I switch to (of all things) the iPhone 3gs for everything else, because of the compass and some excellent tracking software that's come out for it.
Don't Garmin and TomTom also provide the in-dash GPS for cars? I would think that would be a pretty good amount of $$$ too.
I go hiking/camping nearly every-other weekend during the summer and even some in winter. Cell signals are poor to non-existent (when they do exist, it's never 3g) and I might have not have access to a power source for a couple days up to a week.
Good luck with finding a cell-phone that can fit that bill.
Gone!
Which idiot modded the above troll?
They can always move on to Android OS like MIO is doing: http://www.pcworld.com/article/174434/android_moving_into_mio_mibuddy_navigation_device.html
o_O
As someone who travels by car to go backpacking/skiing/kayaking on the weekends, my trusty Garmin Streetpilot 2610 will not be replaced by any kind of device requiring a data link for a long time to come. Why? Because when you're driving to a remote location that you've never been to before, your iPhone/Android device's signal is likely to crap out just when you need it most -- which is, the last couple of miles to your destination after getting off the interstate. Google Maps can't help you when you're 20 miles from the nearest cell tower. Maybe this would be feasible in European countries where cell coverage is approaching 100%, but here in the US I often can't get decent cell coverage in my office, let alone the Adirondacks.
A GPS device is in every cell phone in accordance with US law.
Not technically true.
Ceci n'est pas un sig.
I love how ignorant tech writers love calling something the "killer". Kind of like how PDAs are dead and Palm back in its day started coming up with new acronyms to compensate for this death. PDAs never died, they changed into smartphones. Kind of like how GPS units won't die, they'll roll into converged units. Smartphones with standalone GPS units that use AGPS as an assist will start popping up more and more. Hopefully the obnoxious paid services like VZnav will disappear with time.
You. Have. Got. To. Be. Fucking. Kidding. I'm being forced to pay for a GPS device built into my phone, but now you want to deny me the use of it... because it would interfere with Garmin's profit margin? Here's a news flash, partner - Garmin is not entitled to legal protection of their profits. If I bought the damn GPS, I should get to use it.
In the same way that Walmart comes into a town and destroys local businesses, Google can enter into an industry/sector and destroy most of the competition overnight by giving an application away for free. Who is going to pay $100 for a Maps Application now (or more for a hardware device) when they can just download one for free.
Isn't this the same type of stuff we accused Microsoft of doing years ago? Yup, Walmart, I mean Google strikes again. Pray whatever industry you're in Google doesn't decide to suddenly release a free product.
We tend to go to places where cellphone reception is next to impossible (Death Valley, Moab, out kayaking on on open waters, etc.) You really need standalone GPS with proper maps for this sort of activities.
People tend to forget that gps has other applications outside of a car. Dedicated uses, such as air navigation, ship navigation, etc are unlikely to be replaced soon. And in those applications, Garmin pretty much is the standard (not to say there aren't others, but honestly, Garmin doesn't have much to worry about at this point).
I put on my robe and wizard hat..
No one is saying GPS units are obsolete. What this does say is that there will be a lot less margin in devices that are now one-trick ponies.
Others have commented on issues like lack of ruggedization and local caching of maps (at least for some device/software combinations), and display size and mountability to stuff like mountain bikes. Another reason why dedicated GPS devices probably aren't going away any time soon: quality of the GPS receiver itself. The GPS receiver built into the iPhone, at least, is sort of weak sauce. While it works well enough in a car, if you get any kind of overhead obstruction at all (even a few tree branches, for example), the signal quickly drops to essentially nothing. This is why TomTom felt the need to offer an external GPS receiver as part of their iPhone car kit.
Don't get me wrong, I really like the GPS built into my iPhone, and frequently find it useful... but it's far from a complete replacement for a standalone device.
Continuing on that tangent, what navigation apps for smartphones are considered "the best" regardless of the platform (Android, Symbian, Win-Mobile, etc.)?
Will smartphones kill all the devices that are converging to them? Why stop at GPS when from clocks and calculators to netbooks (including cameras, ebook readers and music players, of course) all are possibly being replaced by smartphones?
No. You're stupid for thinking this. Here, check this out.
Will portable gaming systems kill home gaming systems?
Will cell phones kill landline phones?
Will firefox kill internet explorer?
No.
The 2nd will always have a market, if not smaller, because some people just don't have a need for the first one or like the second one enough to keep it around.
Watch the video! It does traffic!
Garmin makes all sorts of products besides standalone GPS. They make specialized GPS units for use in various sports. They make aviation GPS and marine GPS. And they make modules to be incorporated into other products. Most of those they've been making longer than they've been in the handheld business. They're not going to die if the handheld and auto GPS markets are severely cut into by cellphones.
One issue with phone based GPS units is that they go stupid when there's no cell coverage. Thats easily fixed: Just load the map database onto the unit ahead of time. My standalone Garmin has a map update that comes on DVD that fits on a 2GB memory card with space to spare. With a smartphone with 8GB+ you could easily put the whole US/Canada database on it, or just the part of the country you need.
Garmin had this available for PDAs a while back, before flash memory was cheap. They could release a loadable database you put on the SD card in your Android phone and an app to use it loaded in the phone. They'd probably have better margins on that product than the standalone one.
Another issue with handhelds as car units is satellite visibility. That's where a well done car cradle can help. Charging is done as you go, or you can go wild and have a setup that integrates an external antenna.
Pure online map solutions aren't a good replacement for a standalone, but with cheap memory these days there's no reason a phone can't contain a map database, suplemented by additional information ( like StreetView or aerial photos ) when wireless coverage is available. Loading the entire map database into the unit would not likely be free though.
Remember when they added DVD drives to computers, and everyone stopped buying DVD players? Good times.
I mean, why would anyone need both?
Rephrase the question: Will a GPS solution that requires a 3G connection to work replace a stand-alone solution? No, at least in those areas which don't have good 3G connectivity -- like almost anywhere I'd want to go hiking, for instance. Hell, I've driven in suburbs where Google Maps on the Android didn't work, and I was forced to navigate the old fashioned way. Yeah, the article says the same thing.
As a side note, the Google Maps data is not always correct. What Google Maps shows as the street my house is on is not a street at all, but rather the driveway of one of my neighbors. Vendors keep telling me "Oh no, I don't need directions, I've got GPS!" then wind up at my neighbor's house, and THEN they call for directions.
I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
On-board devices will snuff out standalone GPS far quicker than Android with google maps ever will.
I doubt it will do any good while I'm out on my boat. I have a Garmin chartplotter GPS that shows marine chart information. Of course I guess there's no reason they couldn't add it, for coastal and inland waters anyways.
Maybe this will apply some pressure on Garmin and/or TomTom to not gouge quite so heavily for updated maps. (It's in the neighborhood of $70 to upgrade your maps the last time I looked, which makes one question whether to update the maps or just buy a newer, perhaps more feature-laden, device. Which is likely the reason for the gouge.)
I've heard various descriptions of what the location technology in these phones is -- Recently, a fairly knowledgeable person said that "assisted GPS" meant it used cell phones to get the ephemeris data to greatly speed up GPS start-up time, and was real GPS from there. If it's receiving the GPS signals, though, there's no reason in principle why it couldn't get the ephemeris data the old-fashioned way, from the satellites, if you were out of cell phone range.
That wouldn't help with the maps when you're out of cell phone range, though, unless they provide some way to pre-download them, at least for an area you're intending to visit.
Accoding to engadget the route is cached when calculated, so as long as you don't go too far of course....
http://www.engadget.com/2009/10/28/google-navigation-video-hands-on-you-want-this/
Did you RTFA from Google? http://googleblog.blogspot.com/2009/10/announcing-google-maps-navigation-for.html I'm sure there will be some bugs but it looks like it ticks most of your boxes. Also better pricing? the software itself is FREE, the only down side is carrier charges to access it.
No thanks, I prefer my TomTom ONE 3rd edition, complete with
- Decently sized screen.
- No expensive cell phone data plan required.
- No recurring service charges unless I want a map update.
There's really no reason to have all of these different devices, when the functionality can be properly collapsed into one.
We're not there yet, and there will always be some standalone GPS devices for very specific purposes. But as the general purpose devices get smaller and better, the single-function units will gradually be relegated to the margins.
Google street maps are not by Google (so far; this may change, of course). TomTom owns Tele Atlas (which owns GDT), and is therefore one of only 2 companies with established road network data business (the other one being Nokia, nee NAVTEQ - and Tele Atlas has always had a better coverage outside North America). The exponential explosion in geocoding devices cannot be anything but good for the licensing revenue of these 2 companies. Garmin, though, has no prayer in this segment and would do good to concentrate on hiking market.
I can assure you, the best way to get rid of dragons is to have one of your own.
I don't think standalone GPS is going to go away but it is probably going to drop significantly in marketshare. Between cars with built in GPS and phones with GPS options, the handheld units are going to go the way of the standalone PDA to some degree. They're useful and right now because they outperform the phone based GPS systems but much like MP3 players they are going to get increasingly integrated. There might me a small remaining market for standalone units but only so long as they can offer features not available on phones AND not in the car. I have a Garmin Nuvi but I only use it now when I'm traveling because my primary car has a built in GPS and my phone can't do the job adequately. If my phone could do the job I'd have little use for the Garmin and I've seen GPS systems for the iPhone that are approaching that level of performance. I think it might take another 5-10 years for the standalone units to lose most of their marketshare but I don't see them offering anything that would justify a separate device in the long term. Certainly not anywhere near the number of devices around right now anyway. I can see a few inexpensive low end standalone units but nothing more without some significant technological innovations.
My wife can take our Garmin in her car if she needs it or I could let a friend borrow it; I'm not going to lend my phone to someone to use as a GPS. Sure, I'll find it useful to have a working GPS on my phone, for like most things (camera, gps) I'm gonna go with the dedicated device for when I really need quality.
Imagine what will happen when the iphone will actually support bluetooth internet. garmins and other not-monthly-subscription devices can be left in the car an still have access to updates when you walk in the car.
-- I was raised on the command line, bitch
It's like this is the first and only GPS app for a phone that gives you turn by turn spoken directions. Sorry, the garmin app that's been available for both Blackberry, Windows Mobile, as well as others also supports this feature, has the very familiar and easy to use Garmin Interface, and also integrates with Panoramio to show places near you where people have taken pictures and direct you right to them. I've used it on the Storm, it's really nice. I'd personally say it's a lot better than the current version of Google Maps for Blackberry. Downside: It's $100 for the application, but if you're looking for a good GPS app, the Garmin is surely near the top.
Why does this even need to be debunked? The only threat poses is to smartphone navigation apps, not standalone GPS units.
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They want $150 (?) to fix the flimsy antenna on my Quest II so I bought a whole unit off craigslist for $100.
BUT, my map "license" is keyed to the serial number on the broken unit. They refuse to transfer it. So now I own TWO non-functional Quest II's.
...already does this, although, as usual for Verizon, it's completely proprietary and locked down. It works pretty well, though.
Probably not.
However, Google might concievably kill the market for GPS software for smartphones - which is something TomTom and others have invested in recently.
I'm not a heavy GPS user - if I was (and/or if I planned to use GPS overseas), I'd go for a standalone unit, for all the reasons discussed here by other posters. However, I got a HTC Hero phone, and it seemed a bit of a waste to have a GPS-capable phone with no turn-by-turn software so I bought Copilot - not perfect, but (IMHO) great value for money (probably better value than TomTom for Android/iPhone, but that's another issue).
I can see that Google's move could make a huge hole in such sales - but only if they add a cache facility to pre-load the maps for your journey while you have a good internet connection.
In a survey of 100 programmers, 111111 thought that duck-typing was a good idea.
I utterly and completely agree with you - particularly in rural areas, GPS needing 3G or Edge connection isn't going to cut it.
But, this will impact sales. I don't know about TomTom, but my experience with Garmin is that it's routing is shit. I have several units and there are a ton of spots where it will consistently take you via a route that takes much longer, it wants to exit from the fast highway usually one exit too early in order to go the roads beridden with stop signs and lights, and in some cases, it would take nonsensical detours from an otherwise straight road as if Garmin wanted you in a sight-seeing tour of the countryside, doubling not only time of a short trip, but the distance. Garmin has some seriously fucked up routing that even a non-native with just a map would ever pick, and I ran into this in Pennsylvania, Kentucky, Washington State, and even in Europe. It's not a localized issue. I love my Garmins in areas I don't know, but that is about it.
OTOH, Google Maps has some of the best routing I have seen, consistently, and in my native areas which I know well, it takes the routes I usually would as well. So, with the limitations in mind, it's perfect for urban/suburban dwellers. I only wish Google would make a standale GPS unit with no internet connection required and cheap updates - I would snap it up in a heartbeat.
Stand alone GPS has every road in the palm of your hand w/o any connection where Google's maps need gigabytes of pixel based maps at each resolution you want to view.
I have (and really like) a Nokia Internet tablet with Maemo Mapper and it is great but I am constantly managing the maps prior and during a trip. The golld old Garmin V had the whole US inside it just worked.
Another plus for stand alone is water navigation. Although a much smaller segment, I would think that small craft GPS would never switch to Google.
Yeah but GPSes are dirt cheap, you make money with the map subscriptions. Nearly everyone who needs real-time navigation also has a data phone. It's not just Android, there will be version for all cell phone OSes in a few months. They are doomed, the GPS receivers themselves will cost $10 in a few years.
Maybe Garmin and TomTom chould make cell phones, or cheap sat phone devices like the Spot tracker (http://www.findmespot.com/en/)?
Give a man a fish and you have fed him for today. Teach a man to fish, and he'll say "WHERE'S MY FISH, YOU IDIOT?"
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There are plenty of applications where standalone GPS is still necessary. Tracking of a mobile fleet of trucks, for example. Or planes using it for position information in conjunction with INS systems. Hikers/campers/outdoorspeople who don't have cell coverage. International travel where people don't have cell coverage. Lots and lots of reasons standalone GPS isn't going anywhere in the near future.
"Growing old is inevitable; growing up is optional."
... about how "if you have to explain the joke" probably applies here.
Yes, I'm going to be fully web-interconnected in a steep, densely canopied draw in Olympic National Park. And the Google and Tom Tom services are going to serve me there. Oh yeah . . .. And when I'm riding my bike in the middle of nowhere--the web will serve me there too . . .
I don't think so. Some people would rather not put their credit card on an IV hookup to a service provider if they don't need to.
On the other hand, if the maps are free, reliable, and downloadable . . .. Then I'm listening!
No Likly As an iphone normally isnt suitable for some of the following sports they simply break to easy or you dont get any signal so its usless anyway. Sailing / Hiking / Sea Canoe / Gliding / Many others ? Another fact is that my gliding instructor was told to stop flying with his phone on as he was causing havoc on the network he was jumping between multiple cell towers to fast
I have, if I can remember correctly, seven separate GPS units including two in each car (Magellan), two handheld units that are waterproof for sea kayaking (both Garmin but one has all the US marine charts and both do tracking), one stand-alone Garmin for our 1974 Carver 25-foot cabin cruiser that can take inputs from depth sounder and radar plus contains maps and charts for the entire west coast of North America (Garmin), one aviation-oriented Garmin that contains aviation charts and interfaces with my glider's computer, and one Magellan hand-held that my business used when we did a wireless ISP.
Even though my iPhone has a very inexpensive GPS application for marine charts (with downloadable maps), and even though I often take it (in a water-tight enclosure) with me sea kayaking, it's not likely to replace the hand held waterproof Garmins because they have specialized features (trip counters, currents, etc) that are easier to access and screens made for use in bright sunlight.
Similarly, the GPS units made specifically for aviation and marine use are not likely to be replaced by a combination cell phone/GPS. You need more than turn-by-turn instructions when flying from thermal to thermal in a glider, for instance.
And although many late model cars come with built-in GPS systems these are expensive to upgrade and do not allow any changes while the car is moving (even by the passenger). Their screens can be fabulous but the annoyance of having to pull over and stop if something changes has made several of my friends go buy a Nuvi just so they can get the functionality they want. So all their built-in units do is track and display speed, direction, etc. The turn-by-turn is left up to the stand-alone unit mounted on the windshield.
The biggest hurdle to mass use of cell phone GPS devices is likely to be the simple fact that 3G coverage is going to be spotty for a long time to come. Rural Oregon, Idaho, Nevada or Montana is not likely to have either wifi or 3G except along the main Interstate highways or in larger cities. And the same will hold true for many other states. Combine this with the handicap of the cell phone screen which is often too small to be seen when mounted 2 or 3 feet away on the dashboard or windshield and you will have people buying stand-alone GPS systems for a long time to come.
But the market for the stand-alone units is likely to shrink. Pedestrians or byclists who stay in town would take their cell phone anyway and having it track their rides or walks would make them unlikely to buy one of the Garmin wrist-mounted units. And if I traveled to a large city on business I'd take my iPhone but probably not a GPS unit; the iPhone could do whatever I needed it to do with the likelihood of 3G coverage.
No one ever had to evacuate a city because the solar panels broke!
But we go to places where there is no signal. Not just no cell signal, but no TV or FM radio, nothing. In the woods, in RF-unfriendly geographies, even SiRF-III GPS can struggle to get a lock. Also - what about planes & boats? No GSM base stations at sea, well, not without a dedicated satellite uplink. What about military apps where a mobile phone could easily be detected & targetted by the enemy?
There is no music - home taping killed it.
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Cellphones screens just aren't designed for in-car/while-driving use. I like my Garmin touch interface. You have to push harder than on an iPhone, where the slightest touch is counted as a click.
So, GPS-enabled phones will surely eat the casual-user market, but on the long run, it may even draw more attention to the GPS units giving Garmin and such a niche.... On a second thought, that is until Apple launches its tablet, designed for in-car use (and kindle use also).
Everyone has posted reasons that standalone GPS units will still be necessary. However, these examples are edge cases. The real question is "How much will Google and Android kill standalone GPS?" If every car and cell phone has Google Navigation, and every mountain biker + international traveler + shepherd + sailor has a standalone GPS -- then companies like Garmin and TomTom will shrink substantially. Those other uses are a very small part of the total market. Perhaps small enough that they might become expensive custom-made niche items.
Add in the fact that cell coverage and bandwidth are increasing. From an investors standpoint, these are not the companies you want to be investing in, even if their products do survive.
to discover the real meaning of a GPS.
Having a night watch, stormy weather.
See the ETA going up from 40 hours to eternity,
Like in the old days with modems and file-transfer.
Take a sextant and paper-charts as back-up with you.
I think than any good cloud only turn by turn GPS system would cache all map data required to complete the trip when then destination is selected. Then the only limitation would be that you could not change your route until a data signal is re acquired. Or an even smarter solution is that the phone would know where a signal is not available and cache only those areas. The ultimate solution would be a mixuture of cloud and device stored maps, that way the maps and points of interests are always up to date.
I seriously doubt that stand alone gps can truly ever be replaced... not for gps apps/solutions that rely on connectivity.
Perfect example: I recently finished a 6,000 mile road trip across Canada and back. Both my traveling companion and I had iPhones. We both turned off all data for the entire time we were in Canada... if we hadn't we'd have gotten multi-thousand dollar bills from Rogers Internet for data roaming. Think I'm kidding? last Canada road trip, my traveling companion didn't turn hers off. Got a call from AT&T halfway into the trip asking if she meant to be racking up $2000 in data roaming. Took us a couple days to get the pucker marks out of the passenger seat.
(okay, I kid about the pucker marks, but not about the bill or the call from AT&T).
Google Maps is great, but it relies on an active data connection... something you don't always have available whether due to low signal or STUPID high prices.
Stand-alone units don't have this problem.
The Digital Sorceress
Can we just fix the errors in the OSM so it's up to date? Then we can all just download that into whatever device we want. Netbooks have a bigger display than GPS devices and cellphones. I have a bluetooth GPS that cost $60 with no display - it's great.
Are YOU going to be embarrassed when you get lost.. :-)
I've got a better argument for standalone: privacy. I prefer NOT to leave my life with a totally untrusted 3rd party - even 8 years of attempted "think of terrorists" indoctrination hasn't changed that.
Insert
As many have pointed out there is no comparison between the flexibility offered by a hand held GPS and the limitations of using a GPS enabled cell phone. The significant threat for the big GPS players is the development of OEM in-car GPS by the auto industry. In 10-20 years this will be commonplace in all but the cheapest vehicles. If Garmin and Tom Tom don't work to have their expertise incorporated into those products they will be relegated to the handheld niche.
What is telling here is how the stupidity and short sightedness of the average day trader can cause gross changes in stock valuation for a company that hasn't done anything wrong and doesn't face a real threat from competition for the foreseeable future. This is the mentality that took our economy down. It's sad that no one in the press coming out about this has the clarity of thought to bring this issue to the forefront.
I am becoming gerund, destroyer of verbs.
Yes I read it (and others).
Nope, misses most of the points.
Needs the connection (no dowloaded routes)
Traffic indicator (but not intelligent traffic avoidance, it simply tells you "there's traffic on the route")
Rerouting it's got, but only if you have a connection. That's a problem in a lot of places I go.
Business data is only as accurate as google's crawl information, which i often find lacking, innacurate, or just plain wrong. AAA's database is much more accurate.
As for the "its free" that's exactly my popint. Given TomTom's patents, if Googles system did compete, it would not be able to be free, as the royalites (or patent infringement suits) would make that impossible).
Also, TomTom and Garmin have both made public annoucnements regarding the app. They've reviewed it and found it extremely basic, and no threat to their core business. Yea, it;s going to scuttle some bottom end GPS units, but those are barely profitable as it is, or are sold at a loss, coun ting on recouping revenue on map updages and product upgrades and accessories.
There is no contest in life for which the unprepared have the advantage.
My Nokia N800 and soon N900 can do multiple things at the same time.
Being on the phone over BT doesn't impact the music playing thru speakers or the GPS working or the ssh connection or the PDF file being viewed. The only limit is which app is currently displayed due to the screen size. Since I'm a hiker, I'm interested in my saved hike tracks and geocache locations.
you can't stop evolution
There is a time when a ruggedized GPS is better than a phone. Hiking, biking, and boating come to mind. If you drop or damage your GPS, your phone is still safely in your pocket.
Also it is great to have a standalone GPS without any ability to communicate. Call me a tinfoil hat person, but not having the ability to send my location to mystery server somewhere suits me just fine.
My iPhone with the TomTom North America app *is* a standalone GPS. It requires no network connection whatsoever to run once it's loaded.
No way I'd want something that requires net access to work, though.
That said, the iPhone's GPS chip is crap. Cruising along the TransCanada towards Ottawa, clear sunny blue sky from horizon to horizon, and it's still suddenly deciding I'm on a side road several hundred meters to the right? Crap. Hey, Apple, throw in a serial Bluetooth profile so I can use my Bluetooth GPS keychain with a frighteningly better GPS chip in it.
(Actually, I'm going to drink the TomTom Car Kit koolaid. If it ever comes out.)
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What I wouldn't give for that. I built a carputer a couple years ago and have been using some Windows GPS software under VirtualBox. It takes a huge amount of resources to keep it running. Could this lead to the possibility of a useful native X client for GPS navigation?
A government is a body of people notably ungoverned - AC
I'm on my 4th mobile phone, since the 1980's. Mostly because of gaps here and there, because plans were expensive and I didn't really need a mobile too much.
Now I'm on Pre-Paid and love it. Per month cost is 5 to 10 bucks, which leaves a _lot_ of money for things like buying a GPSr which will work more reliably in most places my mobile phone can't even score 1 bar (like much of Uvas Road, near Morgan Hill, California, where I witnessed an accident, but couldn't make a mobile phone call - nobody could! This, not far outside Silicon Valley!)
For commuters in Chicago, Lost Angeles, New Yawk, Bahston, Houston, Atalanta, etc. I expect their mobile to do a fine job for them, but in the crags, hollers and gulches they will likely find themselves utterly lost ("Why does the arrow say I'm 500 ft off the road?" - because it's guessing, based upon rate of speed and direction, which doesn't work is mazes of twisty little passages - all alike.)
I'll stick with a mobile for mobile stuff and a GPSr for GPSr stuff.
A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
Too many assumptions here. Just because iphone can not multi-task, no other phone can multi-task?!
There are lot of phone (even not as 'smart' as iphone) which can do that. Heck, my more than 2 years old BB Perl can do that.
So far, I have not read a single limitation that cannot be solved with a few years and changes which improve the current tech. For example, eventually I believe that the battery life problem will be solved one way or another.
Can anybody think of really good reasons besides technical limitations, as great as they are, and many are listed above, that will keep stand alone devices around?
Also, after reading this I cannot help of think about Ghost in the Shell, and the Standalone Complex.
I have never used a GPS and wouldn't know the difference between what comes standard in a GPS phone versus what comes standard in a stand-alone unit. Is it enough for most people who already have the former to also pick up the latter?
The GPS receivers in mobile devices today are OK, and good enough to find your way around pretty easily. If you are standing still they can pinpoint you really well.
True turn-by-turn, where the receiver has to keep up with your position in a few meters so it can warn you a turn is coming up? They are not nearly as good at that. When you are moving in a car, they can often lag or veer in weird ways.
The TomTom app in the iPhone plans to address that by having a custom dock that includes a more powerful receiver that the application talks to, which should yield more accurate results and allow turn-by-turn to work properly. The Droid has a car-specific dock, perhaps that will do something similar - I've not yet heard if that is the case.
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
You all forgot the main problem with Google GPS and that is the privacy issue. I don't want Google know where I am and follow my movements.
They want to access my phone book on my phone, see who I call, where I go, and what I look for in the internet and associate that to one phone number. A big no to Google. Get out of my space.
On one hand I don't really care if one technology kills another, older technology. So from that perspective this is a non-story. On the other hand I have a G1 and I love it, and the latest update automatically disables the power-sucking GPS when I navigate out of map mode, which is nice.
"Crude and slow, clansman. Your attack was no better than that of a clumsy child."
I know it will eventually. I use the T-Mobile G1 to download new caches into Geobeagle via pocket query or web access. I can log the caches as I find them by SMS or web browser.
Sometimes I want to do a quick find but my Garmins are at home. I can do it because the G1 is in my pocket.
When I am planning a Geocaching day I load up my eTrex Legend and GPS 76cx with the Macbook at home. The GPSr in the 76cx is much better under a canopy than the G1 but the eTrex is not.
The G1 fails when I am out in the wilderness. The GPS loads and programs like MyTracks, Radar, and Geobeagle work but the Google background map does not fill in. 3G is not needed but without Edge the experience is like a first generation eTrex without a basemap.
If I had the same network map now as I did when I had AMPS (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Mobile_Phone_System) under under AT&T it would be a clear winner. I was 25 miles out into a state forest and received a call where now I get nothing.
Consumers will want longer lasting GPS than an Android phone for handheld stuff, at least some of the time.
Some consumers will want GPS navigation where Google doesn't have maps.
So no.
But this will drastically cut into sales of GPSs for people who fit the Android/cell phone niche well, and that is a lot of people.
The response will be some mergers in the GPS space, or just companies going out of business, and will make GPS manufacturers do two things:
1. Concentrate on handhelds more, over car-based systems -- car systems will still be a big deal and the flagship, but more attention will go into smaller devices you carry with you, like watches and hats/backpack attachements where they can compete much better.
2. GPS manufacturers will add building topo like you see in Korean GPSs when you drive in Seoul -- 3d reps of many of the buildings in a city.
3. GPSs manufacturers will look for cheaper data rate contracts based on being able to estimate the data flow from their devices better than an android phone can.
4. One GPS manufacturer will look to the iPhone to compete, establishing a partnership with Apple to keep all other GPSs navigation software out. It will pay Apple a LOT of money. Apple will later screw them somehow as iPhone sales drop.
..... but I don't see it mentioned in the comments. Is there mention of in-car navigation systems? As these become more prevalent these will cut into Garmin's sales too. You really don't need a handheld gps to get around in a city. Maps give plenty of info and with cell based location it is probably more reliable than GPS in a lot of urban canyons. Once you own a handheld outdoor recreation GPS though how often will you upgrade it? I'm still using my Garmin GPS V and that will continue to be fine for me until it breaks. I wouldn't think people upgrade their GPSs as often as they upgrade/replace their cell phones and Garmin shouldn't expect them to.
"It's because they're stupid, that's why. That's why everybody does everything." -Homer Simpson
You are slamming the GPS for the wrong reason. The idea is that the unit will get you there, even if the route is not perfect. Google may have an advantage because they seem to have driven every street out there, where the Garmin routing is based only on the map.
Having said that, I have found entire highways missing from some of the Garmin base maps, and in one case with the detail maps, I could see my destination to the right, yet the GPS was wanting me to turn left, down a one-way street the wrong way. Now, that's crappy routing.
Why, without your clothes, you're naked, Miss Dudley!
Being able to show a Street View picture of where you are going to turn will be killer for a major portion of the public, women. I lost count of how many times I've tried to give the wife directions and receive that blank stare back. Even getting her a GPS hasn't built any confidence in her ability to move around a small area. She knows her set of stores she goes to and that is it. Show her to turn at the McDonald's and such and she could be better able to navigate.
Lord, I hope so.
does it work without a 3G connection?
No?
So basically, you're fucked if you happen to be in an area with shitty 3G coverage...
I.e. If you're in the middle of nowhere, where you're most likely to need it, it's going to leave you stranded.
Nokia Maps on the other hand, let you download complete maps to their phones. A damned sight cheaper BTW as well. Maybe they just understand wireless networks and mobile phones a bit better.....
Dude... they just released it. Tom Tom sucked when it was first released, and you have to pay for upgrades. Google collects massive amounts of data (it's what they specialize in). They've only just started to put it all together. Imagine a couple of releases later. This service will rock, give it time.
The producers of smart2go.
Nokia understand mobiles. They understand data costs, and the importance of working without a signal. (i mean, WTF? A satnav that *requires* 3G is just plain dumb.)
Btw, Ovi Maps is now v3 on the n97... It rocks. Though they're going to have to make the navigation & traffic avoidance stuff free now.
To be fair, your Blackberry Storm is probably also a $350 device. It is being subsidized by your $100 a month data plan that would only cost $40 a month (or less) if you actually paid for your phone though.
directions from my computer in my parents basement to the mini-fridge in my parents basement?
The problem with GPSs is that they haven't done anything with them while google and cell phone developers are innovating at the speed of light. The GPS manufacturers could just as easily turn a profit by selling apps (tomtom already does), but again, they'd have to compete with someone who is actually innovating.
I do security
All cell phones have cameras now. Do we still have digital cameras? Most digital cameras can take video. Do we still have camcorders? Google won't kill GPS, however it will just force Garmin & TomTom to refine their products more and make them more appealing. Case in point, read most of the previous comments... phones have fragile gps reception, aren't physically rugged, you name it. This is a non-issue and I'm not sure it's really worth discussion.
Oh wait. They didn't. Apple ain't stupid, they don't have an extensive range of MP3 players beside their smartphone just for the hell of it.
Or how cameraphones replaced camera's. Oh wait. They didn't.
Or how that really big black guy with the huge smile has totally replaced me in my gf's affections? Oh wait, she is telling me to get of the phone, Bubba needs his rest.
MMO Quests are like orgasms:
You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.
Cell phones won't make car navigation obsolete. They haven't made car stereos obsolete, either.
The real reason, however, is not what the author of the linked article thinks. The real reason is that they are just made for two different types of usages: The cell phone or smartphone is the device you carry with you (absorbing MP3 players and PDAs). The car nav is the device you use in your car. Simple as that.
The two classes of devices do share a lot of common hardware: processors, RAM, flash memory – and yes, some phones do come with GPS and some car navs do come with WWAN radio. But that's not the point. The hardware is not important and its price is neglectible. It's just a container for the functions and usage patterns. In other words, it's not important what the device is but what it does and where it does it.
The smartphone does everything in your pocket; the car nav does navigation in your car. Different devices.
Claus
The most Annoying flaw in my cellphone GPS, (with which I've driven across the country) Is when I'm late to an appointment, I need to phone ahead, but can't because I'd lose navigation.
That said, real time traffic, and weather related road outages, along with reactive routing are necessary features for a congested metropolis.
The unconnected GPS is dead.
Now that I have a car with built-in GPS, I have no use for a standalone GPS device or GPS in my phone (and I'd rather have a phone without GPS so that it has longer battery life, is cheaper, and that space in the phone can be used for other things). Some people will still want a portable GPS for things like hiking, but I think car navigation is the biggest market. What I'd like to see is Garmin partner with car manufacturers to provide the built-in GPS in their cars.
combo vibrating coffee-stirrer/dildo
Honey, my coffee takes kind of odd this morning, did we switch brands again?
I am not sure if I am missing something here.
Does the new google device come with the actual GPS technology where it receives satellite signals to locate itself?? Or is it just based on mobile network "Cells" based on which it locates itself. If the new google device does not actually have a GPS HW unit, then there is no point in the whole debate. How will it ever work if you go to remote places like 'Yosemite' where there is no cell coverage at all??
You must have missed the Slashdot story titled Standalone GPS Receivers Going the Way of the Dodo that was posted 4 months ago.
And I am sure that the people who actually rely on GPS (boats, planes, backcountry travelers, military) will continue to use standalone receivers. History has shown that there is never a cell tower where you really need it and if it is there, you won't have reception when the shit hits the fan.
The rest of us who just like to fruit out with GPS when we really don't need it will happily continue doing so on our cell phones.
Personally, I'll still be using (and updating) my TomTom. While I may use the Android GPS software on occasion, it does require having an active internet connection. Here, 3G connections are expensive - while you pay up front for 1GB a month, using something like this would use up that 1GB quite quickly, and the price per MB after that is high.
The search mechanism will be useful, though - I like that "Bring me to the museum where the King Tut exhibition is in San Fran". But I'll probably do that at home (on WiFi) and still just set the destination into my TomTom...
T.
Could anybody tell me how Google can survive with their business model? I've never pressed any of the "Ads by Google" ads... And I always ignore all ads in Youtube videos...
Actually, the inability to multitask on the iPhone is an artificial limitation that does not apply to some built-in programs like the iPod functionality and the Phone app.
On the iPhone, while you are on a phone call you CAN press the home button and launch any other app without interrupting your call (I jut tried it with the included Maps app and Google Earth). A green band appears on the top of the screen, wich you can touch to return to the phone app.
I'm not sure what would happen if the app resqueted to use the speaker or the microphone, though. On the other hand, I'm not sure what would happen in that case with other phones either!
Is that a result of your Garmin having a better receiver
It's that and having more power to work with too (being used in a car it has more ready access to power and being larger it has much larger battery storage).
The really compact GPS standalone devices meant for hiking suffer in the same way, if you try to use them in a car - it's not just software at work here, GPS software is well understood and optimized at this point and the devices do what they can.
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
I'm surprised nobody's mentioned the likes of VZNavigator. Basically, "No, Android won't kill standalone GPS", because VZNavigator and equivalents from AT&T, Sprint, US Cellular, etc. have been around for several years. They have not displaced stand-alone GPSes. If having a nice navigator on any old cheap phone hasn't displaced standalone GPS, then having a navigator that only runs on an expensive smartphone surely won't. Note, I've used VZNav, I think the TomTom's a little nicer but both are actually quite nice.
The one complaint, VZNavigator relies on having phone coverage. Both for map data and to get a GPS fix. The Droid at least has unrestricted standalone GPS, but it still couldn't get a map without data coverage. If I relied on GSM (EDGE and especially HSDPA "3G") then I would be very worried by this. Verizon has excellent EVDO "3G" coverage though, I've been relatively few areas without 3G now, and VERY VERY few that don't at least have 1X. 1X loads the maps a little slower but IS enough for the navigator to do it's thing.
On that we likely agree...
Still, don't market it as a TomTom killer if it's still a beta. I know Google themselves is not making such a fuss, it's mostly clueless media, but the media should be schooled and get it right.
Biggest issue though, it's live, not static data. I'd be fine if it auto-updated data as it had access, but its still useless if i can't use it where there's no connection... That's not a minor change.
There is no contest in life for which the unprepared have the advantage.
... while others say that no, the TomTom car kit device really does contain an auxiliary GPS receiver. But in either case, the fact remains: TomTom thought it necessary to boost the GPS reception for the iPhone, because the equipment built into the phone was insufficient.
I have the feeling that in Australia using a phone as a GPS is illegal And it seems to me that having the maps actually in the device is a requirement, Internet is not that omnipresent.
GPS and computer maps are still only "best effort" information, there was an article about both Google and Mapquest routing people down a flight of stairs, and Google in NJ had us following a road which ended at a cow pasture. The tech to match satellite photos to map data, as a sanity check, seems to have a way to go.