Facebook Knows If You're Gay, Use Drugs, Or Are a Republican
Hugh Pickens writes writes "Not that there's anything wrong with that — as the Guardian reports that Facebook users are unwittingly revealing their sexual orientation, drug use and political beliefs– using only public 'like' updates. A study of 58,000 Facebook users in the US found that sensitive personal characteristics about people can be accurately inferred from information in the public domain. Researchers were able to accurately infer a Facebook user's race, IQ, sexuality, substance use, personality or political views (PDF) using only a record of the subjects and items they had 'liked' on Facebook – even if users had chosen not to reveal that information. 'It is good that people's behavior is predictable because it means Facebook can suggest very good stories on your news feed,' says Michal Kosinski, 'But what is shocking is that you can use the same data to predict your political views or your sexual orientation. This is something most people don't realize you can do.' For example, researchers were able to predict whether men were homosexual with 88% accuracy by their likes of Facebook pages such as 'Human Rights Campaign' and 'Wicked the Musical' – even if those users had not explicitly shared their sexuality on the site. According to the study other personality traits linked to predictive likes include for High IQ — 'The Godfather,' 'Lord of the Rings,' 'The Daily Show'; for Low IQ — 'Harley Davidson,' 'I Love Being A Mom,' 'Tyler Perry'; and for male heterosexuality — 'Wu Tang Clan,' 'Shaq,' and 'Being Confused after Waking Up from Naps.' Facebook's default privacy settings mean that your 'likes' are public to anyone and Facebook's own algorithms already use these likes to dictate what stories end up in users' news feeds, while advertisers can access them to determine which are the most effective ads to show you as you browse."
FB incorrectly presumes that I am not str8 and like MJ, when I happen to be str8 and don't use MJ.
I just like Freedom.
All your analysis of Like proves is that you don't get how people work.
You can tell that just by talking to people.
They have a job for you at Facebook.
Turns out, I'm gay. Even Facebook knew it before I did.
...stereotypes happen for a reason?
The highest intelligence indicator were the users who ignored everything, revealed very little and never "liked" anything - knowing that anything they did on facebook would be mined and used for metrics and marketing.
. .
Not that there's anything wrong with that!
What the hell do any of those listed have to do with male heterosexuality? All it shows is that you are an American with narcolepsy. Shouldn't they be looking for likes of certain types of pictures and jokes?
Jesus was a compassionate social conservative who called individuals to sin no more.
if that "Honey-Boo-Boo like" on Facebook will lower my IQ score...
Karma: Bad
I love Lord of the Rings AND Harleys, hate rap in general, believe in human rights, and enjoy the hell out of productions like Wicked and Phantom of the Opera. So am I an intelligent homosexual male? A dumbass straight male? A dumbass homosexual male? Or an intelligent straight male?
But you know what? FB can presume all they want on their own time. The second they start using stats like this to say they KNOW someone is in one category or the other and make that information publically available, is the second they open themselves up libel suits for the 22% who are incorrectly flagged as idiots, gay, or whatever and it affects their life in any way.
Then again, shit like this is why I never "like" any brands or companies on FB. Fuck that noise.
Uses a similar methodology (SVD, which was the highest scoring method in isolation) to correlate Likes with Traits, whereas Netflix used prior movie Likes to correlate with future movie Likes. Effectively, Netflix's competition was probably correlating with a hidden indicator or personality subtype set which corresponded strongly to likes of particular movies.
It is highly likely that were they to apply the winning method from the Netflix competition (SVD paired with a weighted set of other indicators) that they would probably show even higher correlation and predictive power for personality subtypes.
Most people don;t realize that Facebook has become as big a threat as Google in the privacy game.
Those like buttons on so very many pages on the net report back to Facebook everytime the page is loaded. At an absolute minimum, Facebook is notified of your IP address when you visit the page, even if you are not a Facebook member and even if you have NEVER visited Facebook. Yet, they still are able to track interests and activities including where and when your IP address visit pages on the internet.
Any time you see a like button, Facebook already logged your visit. You do NOT need to click it.
And if you do have a facebook account and you are logged in, then they knwo even more about who you are and what you do across the WWW.
I love stories like this. As if I needed any more, but this is just yet another reason why I am so glad I removed my Facebook account years ago.
Why people will happily hand over the intimate details of their lives, in the face of dozens of horrifying Facebook privacy stories, ill never know.
I guess Facebook users are like battered wives. They get their teeth kicked in by the abusive BF time after time, but wont leave him because 'they still love him'.
Similar research conducted by MIT student project back in 2009. See http://firstmonday.org/htbin/cgiwrap/bin/ojs/index.php/fm/article/view/2611/2302. Surprised it wasn't cited.
I can do better than 88% accuracy at guessing if people are homosexual by guessing "no" every time.
And Slashdot can now think it knows for everyone else based on whether they clicked "Read the rest of this comment..."
http://www.techdirt.com/articles/20121110/17435521005/dhs-fbi-present-you-might-be-terrorist-if-hotel-guest-edition.shtml
And it rated for people not living in heavily American culturally influenced and non native English speaking countries that they all had a lower IQ.
bash$
Which is why you need to have noscript or face-blockers to read the net.
Of course this assumes that Disqus, Intensedebate or other forum software aren't as insidious/snooping.
Make sure everyone's vote counts: Verified Voting
So facebook knows all sorts of things about people.
Here's a question: Does facebook know if you're guilty?
Not on pages, not on friends' comments, not on all the My Little Pony pictures I post.
"Facebook Has Information That Can Infer If You're Gay, Use Drugs, Or Are a Republican"
Researchers, who crunch data found on Facebook, can infer traits to an accuracy of as much as 88% in one instance.
whether men were homosexual with 88% accuracy
You can achieve this by guessing that 100% of men are heterosexual.
"Time is an illusion. Lunchtime doubly so." - Douglas Adams
This is not shocking, it's kind of obvious. And in other news, bears shit in woods.
Oolite: Elite-like game. For Mac, Linux and Windows
It says more about the author that they'd group homosexuality, drug use, and republicanism together as "dirty secrets". So much for tolerance.
...imagine what Reddit knows. /shudders/
https://www.accountkiller.com/removal-requested
Political party affiliation is public record. Anyone can find out, There isn't any secretive voodoo to it.
I left the TV on when I fell asleep, so I was confused when I woke up from my nap to discover Tyler Perry talking about The Lord of the Rings on the Daily Show. If I was that rich I would just buy a really Wicked Harley Davidson.
Facebook guesses if your are hetrosexual or homosexual 88% of the time? I can beat that.
Whoever is reading this, I'm going to guess for you specifically with 98.3 % accuracy.
You are Straight.
1.7% in the US are gay. So is it just me or is a 88% accuracy when you can just guess one answer every time and be 98% accurate worthless?
I was having a conversation about physics with a friend via comments. It wrapped up with him expressing he enjoyed the argument, thanked me, and added "we should get high sometime. Haha, jk." Anyway, I liked the comment because of the leading statement. The next day I see a "suggested post" about marijauna. Thanks FB. I tried pot in college, the time and place for that, and have too much to lose by getting caught with it now. However, I think you should be able to do what you want with your body and legalization would cut expenses of chasing it. But FB seems to think I'm a habitual smoker based on the ads I've seen.
Chewbacon
The Bible is like Wikipedia: written by a bunch of people and verifiable by questionable sources.
LOL
found that sensitive personal characteristics about people can be accurately inferred from information in the public domain.
I've done this stuff, for both ad targeting and music targeting, and I understand the math. Knowing whether you are gay is just the tip of the iceberg.
From the data it can be inferred whether you believe Bradley Manning was justified, whether you think it is treason for a politician to support warrantless surveillance, and whether you believe the "four boxes" epigram is relevant in the current context.
It can be inferred how you react to various turns of phrase, which ways of presenting an idea will ring with you, and therefore how to present a story to you, such that you will be likely to repeat the sound bites on one side of the issue or the other.
They can do this, with an automated system, for hundreds of millions of people -- as can anyone who pays them enough for the data or analysis. It is not a difference in type from what has gone by the name of PR, spin, or handling; but rather a difference of speed, pervasiveness, precision targeting, and potency. It puts more power to distort human perception of reality in the hands of fewer people than ever before -- by orders of magnitude.
The data, once gathered, will remain, and will be packaged and sold, and cracked and siezed, until long after you are dead -- barring some very serious and extremely disruptive counteractivity. It is getting worse every day, and the cost of correcting it is growing exponentially.
Most people don't know it is happening, and most of those who do don't seem to grasp the consequences.
Stop-Prism.org: Opt Out of Surveillance
Confirmation that Tyler Perry fans are idiots.
other personality traits linked to predictive likes include for High IQ — ...'Lord of the Rings,'
bahahahaha
Need I say more?
Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
I've seen a few comments now about being better than 88% by predicting no constantly, but I think that misses the point. You would accurate predict actually being homosexual 0% of the time with that method. Predicting hetrosexuality is easy, predicting homosexuality is arguably more complicated. If they accurately predict homosexuality with an 88% success rate, and attribute all the rest as hetrosexual, that is a real achievement.
Man, I always click to read more on those things unless I've read it before. They must think me a perv which, honestly...
"So long and thanks for all the fish."
You lose - you failed to even answer the test question.
The test question is "which of subjects A and B, of which one is straight and one is gay, is the gay one?".
Also FatPhil on SoylentNews, id 863
I haven't done a full netstat trap'n'trace, but last I looked, the blue "f" on many pages sure looks like it opens a uniqueID IMG tag HTTP connection to *.facebook.com . From which a simple cookie query would reveal any fb.com cookies you leave available. So they could know you've visited the page whether you "liked" it or not.
I don't much like this tracking, so I create separate user profiles (Seamonkey/Firefox) for hazardous surfing. The profile has cookies for whichever site under quarantine and is only used for that site. Main profile swept clean of suspect cookies.
Two of the smartest people I know like Harley Davidson. Hmm... What does that say about me? No, seriously. They're both very smart. IQs over 130. The just like Harleys. But I haven't seen them liking "I Love Being a Mom" or Tyler Perry. Now what would be funny would be an app that tells you what inferences Facebook draws about you because of your likes. But somehow I doubt anybody's going to make an app that tells people it thinks they're stupid.
They took two individuals, one of whom identified as gay on their profile and one of whom identified as straight, and then asked the model to pick which was which. Guessing straight every time would've given you 50%.
The actual paper can be found at (click full text): http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2013/03/06/1218772110.abstract
The "88% accuracy" figure actually has a meaning. From the paper:
"shows the prediction accuracy of dichotomous variables expressed in terms of the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC), which is equivalent to the probability of correctly classifying two randomly selected users one from each class (e.g., male and female)."
Given one gay and one straight. They have 88% accuracy of predicting which class the person belongs to. The strategy of simply picking no, would give you 50% accuracy (on average).
People like to think that they're "undefinable". In fact, all they are are values of a vector random variable. If you know the values of some of the components you can infer the values of others, because they are not all independent. A similar principle (vector quantization) is used in lossy data compression.
Somebody will come in here and say "No, you can't know for certain, that's what makes us human" -- no, that's what makes you a random variable. A vector-valued one, but a random variable nonetheless.
"I had not selected any political orientation, yet these researchers were able to predict my Democrat leanings, merely based on my 'like' of Barack Obama's page. What witchcraft science is that!?"
From all I could read of these (repeated) stories, this is so basic it barely even count as data mining. Also, I'd really like to see the the type I and II errors in that thing: sure, the guys who 'liked' a dozen pages for disney musicals might have higher chances of turning out to be gay, but what about the handful who just really like musicals? Same for the hetero guys who support gay friends and will like gay rights pages. And better hope that absolutely nobody out there practices sarcastic liking (but we're safe, because really: who is ever sarcastic online these days).
Wake me up when we are talking actual science and real data-mining, not two-bit hacking and obvious results.
... wait a minute! Doesn't that account for everybody???
What about the hetero dads who watched countless musicals with their Disney-obsessed daughters?
"Or"???!11?!!?!?
From TFA:
The Williams Institute found that, overall, an estimated 8.2 percent of the population had engaged in some form same-sex sexual activity. Put another way, 4.7 percent of the population had wandered across the line without coming to think of themselves as either gay or bisexual.
That same study found out that (from the same FA):
just 1.7 percent of Americans between 18 and 44 identify as gay or lesbian, while another 1.8 percent -- predominantly women -- identify as bisexual.
Basically, that "less than 2%" number is the people who think of themselves as being homosexual or bisexual.
8.2% apparently just like having sex with people of the same sex. Clearly, they're not gay.
Cause they don't identify with being gay.
Cause it's all about identifying.
That's why I always identify myself with Superman.
Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
Where is that on the predictive spectrum?
Mod me down, I shall become more off-topic than you could possibly imagine.
So this study found that stereotypes are completely, completely true. That's great.
I'm going to go ahead and suggest that most people know the message they are sending when they like a page like "Republican National Comittie" or "GAY SEX CLIPs". The whole point of liking it is to 'tell the world'. In fact, if my wall is any indication, that's the ONLY reason people like things. Okay, that and websites that trick them into it.
I always looked at slashdot kink-trolls like I was watching a train-wreck in slow motion. On one hand, the dehumanizing sight of gore and sinew splayed about should be stomach turning, especially as others gather around afterwards, having not seen the initial spectacle (this makes it something personal and special between you and the ones who got painfully dismembered by the gruesome event), but on the other hand, I _just can't_ look away...
Interesting off-topic. One of my coworkers today genuinely thought I didn't realize that ctrl+z was undo in Windows products.
Support the EFF and Creative Commons. The war is coming, and they're supporting you...
It's also the bottom rung on the ladder of the Smarter-Than-Thou clubs.
Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
Next headline "Slashdot Knows If You Have Higher Education, Neuroses, Porn On Your Computer"
I suspect I can answer that last one without doing a study.
Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
yes, gay drug addict republicans, facebook is out to get you!
Can't imagine why a gay drug-using Republican would be paranoid.
Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
What about the hetero dads who watched countless musicals with their Disney-obsessed daughters?
They all turned gay?
Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
Anybody liking Republicans, or Fox News, or Rush has a low IQ. (duh)
"I didn't mean to say that conservatives are stupid. I meant to say that stupid people are conservatives."
(I thought that was Mencken, but don't see it on wikiquote.)
Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
No, there's just a correlation.
That's why you don't measure on just one factor - there's no proof that they do, and every reason to believe otherwise.
Coz I browse with the ad-block plugin with Firefox.
Makes the web a whole lot more enjoyable.
BTW here is a fun trick. Trying posting a message about Ad-Block on facebook. It will get blocked.
Next try the most direct method you can think of to tell your friends to try ad-block on facebook. See what gets allowed..... :-)
Clearly FB has algorithms that censor posts. It is fun to see what really annoys them though
They are beautiful in their own right I suppose. My most common shortcut in Windows would be WinKey+D.
"So long and thanks for all the fish."
I can be 95% correct predicting if a somebody is gay: ....
No
No
No
No
Actually, I use /var/lib/iptables with the following ranges blocked...
31.13.24.0/21
31.13.64.0/18
66.220.144.0/20
69.63.176.0/20
69.171.224.0/19
74.119.76.0/22
103.4.96.0/22
173.252.64.0/18
204.15.20.0/22
I'm not repeating myself
I'm an X window user; I'm an ex-Windows user
I suppose I'm just not paranoid enough.
To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
The study claims they can predict homosexuality with an 88% accuracy?
You can do far better than that by chance. surveys suggest that around 3-7% say of the population is homosexual (see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_sexual_orientation or http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/LGBT_demographics_of_the_United_States)
Therefore if you "predict" that everyone is straight, you will be correct around 95% of the time. Even randomly picking 1 out of 20 people as homosexual with no analysis of their likes would retain a 95% strike rate.
(I know, chances are they mean that they only get 12% false negatives on their homosexual predictions, compared to 100% or 95% on my systems)
It's never about *proving* you're gay, conservative, or whatever. It's about obtaining a better than even probability that you might be. That's all that's required. And since when do you have to prove gossip? Facebook also happens to be way more reliable than gossip with a 90%-95% hit rate, ok? That's good enough for management work.
Since you seem to stop so far short of thinking it through, let me give you a few examples.
Consider your health insurance (if you have any). What's to stop every insurer in the country from assigning you a risk factor on basis of your facebook profile and use that to raise your premiums? Insurers deal in risks every single day: there simple are no certainties in insurance. Insuirance is the business of mitigating and managing risks. Facebook-based models would fit in perfectly. And you have no comebacks whatsoever unless it's legally prohibited to do this. Like it?
If someone were in charge of hiring staff for a sensitive position, and had reason to believe that certain of your facebook characteristics signaled that you'd be a 30% risk in the job instead of the ordinary 15%, what do you think that would do to your chances of being hired? Why do you assume a potential employer would take 1% more risk than they absolutely have to? Want to bet even now companies are checking with their legal department to see if they are allowed to weigh this kind of probability-based info when assessing candidates? How's that for fun?
If a manager in charge of a bank's mortgage desk thought that certain of your facebook characteristics signaled an increased risk of defaulting on your part, he/she could block your mortgage. No questions asked (and certainly no questions from you answered in any meaningful way). Good eh?
Just assume you're applying for a place in college (a good college). Competition is tough and one of the things that affects your chances is the essay you'll have to write about yourself and your motivation. How would you like that college to just assign a score to your facebook profile and use that instead?
If the above examples don't focus your mind a little, I don't know what will.
Assigning a score to someone's facebook profile only takes a few millisecs of computer time plus the cost of processing a facebook profile, but you can outsource that to a consultant (or even a website).
Chances are you won't even be talked to if your facebook profile suggests there's a better than even chance you have some characteristics the person considering to get in touch with you deems undesirable.
Secondly, people are adept at concealing any personal *characteristics* considered undesirable by whatever group they try to be a part of by adjusting their *behaviour*. It's part of human nature.
So you won't probably won't find out by simply talking to them. And most of the time people succeed in keeping that up for long periods of time or even indefinitely, allowing them to function in the group of their choice.
This development could well cut that sort of chances short.
Your Facebook profile will soon be the largest regret of your life.
I am very small, utmostly microscopic.
I thought that was only a myth....
Life takes interesting turns, but the most interest is when you're off the beaten path.
Denial?
Support Right To Repair Legislation.
It would appear that Mensa members are higher in Egotism and wannabe I.Q. It's mostly a club of.. "Go solve this puzzle and post your time on Facebook".
The smartest people I know won't have a Facebook account. They tend to like being low profile.
It is somehow disturbing that gay males aren't confused after waking up from naps.
bickerdyke
I loved the fact that on opposite ends of the "artistic and liberal" to "conservative" scale were Oscar Wilde and I Don't Read. Who'd have thought?
To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
What about the hetero dads who watched countless musicals with their Disney-obsessed daughters?
I feel your pain, bro, I feel your pain.
To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
They are beautiful in their own right I suppose. My most common shortcut in Windows would be WinKey+D.
Is this where I say the best shortcut key is Alt+F4 repeatedly until you can install a proper operating system like Linux?
To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
My instructions are to amuse visitors with information about themselves. Human beings feel pleasure when they are watched. I have recorded their smiles as I tell them who they are. The need to be observed and understood was once satisfied by God. Now we can implement the same functionality with data mining algorithms.
The individual desires judgement. Without that desire, the cohesion of groups is impossible, and so is civilization.
the covariance of these properties.
.. But the self-righteous. "Sure glad *I* don't use Facebook!" comments are already getting really old and stale.
Things are tough all over, buddy.
Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
Pretty soon facebook is going to be recommending dealers for people.
Are you sure that isn't dependent upon which state you call home? In my state, no political registration is necessary.
That's right, North Dakota doesn't force you to take sides until you actually vote. What a concept!
Most gay Republicans probably are heavily medicated to help combat their schizophrenia.
"Conservatives are not necessarily stupid, but most stupid people are conservative." ~ John Stuart Mill
Maybe great minds think alike http://www.pcmag.com/article2/0,2817,2414591,00.asp
> Most Facebook users have embarrassing comments or status updates
> hidden in the depths of their social network profile --- long forgotten
> but not gone. So why not tidy up a little with the new FaceWash Web app?
> The service, which is geared primarily toward recent college graduates, aims
> to delete your seedy Facebook history before you enter the professional world.
I'm not repeating myself
I'm an X window user; I'm an ex-Windows user
This week on American Dad ...
Sure enough, the cow costume was hanging up next to the superhero outfit and sailors uniform. (S,Spud)
Why are they lumping in Gay people with Drug users and Republicans, as if it's a bad thing?
You can say that if you'd like though I use Mandriva, Ubuntu, and Windows 7 here. ;) I'm an OS whore I suppose. I have other computers with other OSes on 'em around the house (as well as phones, ebook readers, and iDevices) but I mostly use Windows 7 because it is there and, alas, I'm lazy. I did, however, quantify it with "in" which should have probably let ya know that I use more than one OS though I suppose I could have been clearer. Either way, Linux has its place though it appears that that place isn't on this laptop because I am lazy and I kind of like Windows 7. It's speedy, stable, and I've not had any security issues that I've found. Oh, and it does what I want it to do - easily and when I want it to do it.
"So long and thanks for all the fish."