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Survey: 56 Percent of US Developers Expect To Become Millionaires

msmoriarty writes: "According to a recent survey of 1,000 U.S.-based software developers, 56 percent expect to become millionaires in their lifetime. 66 percent also said they expect to get raises in the next year, despite the current state of the economy. Note that some of the other findings of the study (scroll to bulleted list) seem overly positive: 84 percent said they believe they are paid what they're worth, 95 percent report they feel they are 'one of the most valued employees at their organization,' and 80 percent said that 'outsourcing has been a positive factor in the quality of work at their organization.'"

467 comments

  1. wait, what? by jaymz666 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    80 percent think outsourcing has been positive? They must not be working with the resources we do... They lie, lie and lie some more. Shirk responsibility and ignore questions.

    1. Re:wait, what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hence ensuring job security...someone has to fix the shit outsourcing creates

    2. Re:wait, what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's been positive for us... What's that, we need a database table with thousands of values cross referenced against legal texts from 35 years ago? Oh you want me to type all that in? No thanks. Send it to 'those guys'.

    3. Re:wait, what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ya that was a big clue to me that the survey was full of shit.

    4. Re:wait, what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      80 percent think outsourcing has been positive? They must not be working with the resources we do... They lie, lie and lie some more. Shirk responsibility and ignore questions.

      You are confused, 80% of them were H1B workers... ;D

    5. Re:wait, what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, when we outsourced, we got shafted. Shouldn't have gone with Americans.

    6. Re:wait, what? by Ryanrule · · Score: 1

      Yeah, i think they are lying about who they surveyed. Prob went to a libertarian mixxer or something.

    7. Re:wait, what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are confused, 80% of them were H1B workers... ;D

      Ah, so they expect to earn a million Rupees, or about $16,500 USD. That shouldn't be too hard.

    8. Re:wait, what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Yeah, i think they are lying about who they surveyed. Prob went to a libertarian mixxer or something."

      Your ignorance is showing.. Do you even know what a libertarian is, w/o using a dictionary?

    9. Re:wait, what? by rainmouse · · Score: 1

      80 percent think outsourcing has been positive? They must not be working with the resources we do... They lie, lie and lie some more. Shirk responsibility and ignore questions.

      I repeatedly warned him against doing it, but our fearless leader decided to outsource all the menial work in our office to Eastern Europe. Of course when the bosses up on high realised it was only the menial work that was actually making any money, we didn't need to come into the office any more.... ever again.
      At least when our entire office was closed down, the manager that screwed us all for a Christmas actually screwed himself out of his own job too; and hence also his Christmas bonus.

    10. Re:wait, what? by Ryanrule · · Score: 0

      I know what the word means, and I know the types who use the label for whatever meritocracy bs they may be spewing at the time.

    11. Re:wait, what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For my company, outsourcing has been positive in the fact that they never deliver on time, deliver sub-standard and often incomplete product, and just generally cock up anything they're working on.

      This is great for us, because then we get called in to fix what the outsourcing group has totally cocked up.

      In general, businesses are starting to realize that outsourcing IT projects will often cost them more in the end when they have to bring in another contractor to fix what the outsourcing group fucked up.

    12. Re:wait, what? by radarskiy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      They only surveyed those still employed.

    13. Re:wait, what? by Uloi · · Score: 1

      I found outsourcing to be very positive. Watch China mess it up and then they appreciate the work we do all the more.

    14. Re:wait, what? by AlphaWolf_HK · · Score: 5, Insightful

      These sound like developers, not management.

      And you know what? I agree with them. Mainly because I don't think outsourcing means what you think it means. Outsourcing doesn't mean "send your job to India." In many cases that particular job never existed within your company to begin with for one, and it may not necessarily go to India number two, but rather it goes to the company down the street.

      Outsourcing takes advantage of trade, only on a much larger scale. For example, if your mom makes a batch of cookies and UPS'es them to you, she "outsourced" the task of bringing them to you to UPS. She did this for a multitude of reasons: UPS can deliver them cheaper than she can, UPS can deliver them in a much shorter amount of time than she can, UPS can more efficiently deliver them than she can.

      When outsourcing goes overseas, it tends to be due to what economists refer to as comparative advantage. Steve Jobs (who I am not a fan of, but respect in various ways) once notoriously mentioned this: Some manufacturing tasks that you'll find they can do in China (such as rapidly changing design specifications in a mass production line) simply aren't available here. So it isn't necessarily that the labor is cheaper in China (it is cheaper) but that the jobs that you need to do just aren't available in a domestic US facility.

      Generally it is easier to not to send work tasks offshore. This mainly has to do with issues like language barriers, customs, etc making offshoring more difficult. You need to really be able to justify doing it, not only due to those reasons, but for reasons like KKK type groups complaining that you're giving brownie a job, or liberal groups claiming that you're not paying dues to the labor unions, and both giving you bad press about it in their respective circles. Both of them are douchebags for doing that, by the way, but that's life. At any rate, if they can do it so much cheaper overseas than it can be done domestically, then you should do it. Why? Competitive advantage (not the same as comparative advantage.)

      You see, you selling your product to Americans who will only buy American is fine, but Australians, Canadians, indeed even BRIC nations buy our products en masse. But you know what? They never follow the "buy American mantra." They go for whoever offers the best value, and that can't be you if you don't minimize your operating expenses, which may include getting cheaper labor if that's what it takes. No amount of mercantilism (tariffs, etc) will fix that, so don't even think about calling your congressman. If foreign companies can do the job much cheaper, eventually your entire company moves over there, or it just goes belly up because it can't compete with global competitors.

      But anyways outsourcing is good, and in light of paragraph 3, 4, and 5, offshoring is also good. If I were them, I would also ignore questions asked by labor unions. Why? Because no good can come of it. No matter what your answer is, they'll always demonize you.

      And I speak as somebody who is in one of those careers that is most vulnerable to offshoring and H1-B competition (by the way, I support H1-B as well.)

      --
      Careful with names containing L slashdot.org/~AiphaWolf_HK slashdot.org/~AlphaWoif_HK slashdot.org/~AiphaWoif_HK
    15. Re:wait, what? by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      Outsourcing has definitely made me work harder and remember to say "Yes Sir!" to my overlords when they ask me to fetch coffee.

    16. Re:wait, what? by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

      I always found it ironic for libertarians that are government employees that say the government is spending to much money; then I get uncomfortable when agree with them.

    17. Re:wait, what? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 4, Funny

      They lie, lie and lie some more.

      Are you implying they made the wrong career choice and should have gone for statistician jobs instead?

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    18. Re:wait, what? by losfromla · · Score: 1

      You would be correct if we were all corporations, but we are not, so you are wrong. We are physical people who need jobs so we can get money so we can pay for housing and food for ourselves and our physical offspring. We cannot simply live well by shopping at walmart if we haven't any decent jobs. Walmart shoppers are mostly a fat and unhealthy lot (or thin and flabby) mainly because it is cheaper to eat poorly and that is all they can afford.
      steve jobs was only right about capabilities only being available in china due to the tremendous amount of offshoring which has destroyed the US manufacturing base. It is a self-fulfilling prophecy. Mercantilism is working fantastically for china, isn't it? All of their agreements for advanced technology products include sections for significant training and IP (gawd I hate that word) transfer and training for their engineers and companies. This includes planes, trains, and automobiles. I couldn't give two-shits about someones company going belly up vs going to another country, same difference to me, no jobs for us.
      Yeah, I think that way, I think about myself and mine first because I am not a moron.

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    19. Re:wait, what? by nukenerd · · Score: 1

      we need a database table with thousands of values cross referenced against legal texts from 35 years ago? ... Send it to 'those guys'.

      And you trust them to do it conscientiously, do you?

    20. Re:wait, what? by AlphaWolf_HK · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      Walmart shoppers are mostly a fat and unhealthy lot (or thin and flabby) mainly because it is cheaper to eat poorly and that is all they can afford.

      Walmart sells the same food you get anywhere else. Same brands, same species.

      Being overweight isn't a result of eating unhealthy foods, rather it is a result of eating too much food. This is what we call a first world problem. Does walmart contribute to that? Probably, because by eating their food you get a lot for your money. It's really up to you to determine how much food you need, not walmart.

      Stores like whole foods rip you off. The shit they sell isn't any better than what wal-mart sells, rather it just has a feel good label on it that makes you think it's somehow better. That, and they sell homeopathic medicine that is completely useless, yet people pay out the nose for it anyways thinking it's so natural and pure.

      When given the choice between paying a lot more and getting nothing better (whole foods) and getting exactly what you pay for (walmart) I choose walmart, thanks. Whole foods bans ingredients that have actually proven to be harmless, including MSG. Some "natural" researchers don't even seem to understand what it is, like this:

      http://www.naturalnews.com/034...

      Notice they don't even seem to understand what the term means. Mono-Sodium Glutamate. They refer to it in the singular form, and then point to chemicals that don't have sodium (rather potassium) as being MSG (while additive-wise it serves the same purpose, it isn't the same chemical.) The proper thing they should be targeting are the glutamates in that case (this is the only thing on the "list" that they all have in common.)

      Here's what the real research says:

      http://www.yalescientific.org/...

      Even if it did cause allergies, peanuts are known to be fatal for some people, yet you won't find whole foods banning peanuts. So why all the hate for MSG but not peanuts? I'll tell you why: It's because whole foods caters to people who are gullible idiots, and a fool and his money soon part. People who bitch about MSG are every bit as idiotic as those who claim they have electromagnetic allergies.

      You know who follows the mainstream (rather than fringe) science though? Walmart.

      And by the way, unlike most people, I actually know what "processed" means when it comes to processed foods, and I'm just going to call it like I know it: It isn't unhealthy. In fact I've actually turned my own health from provably bad (based on my blood work) to very good (again based on the same metrics.) Part of that included eating food at walmart and mcdonalds (prior to this I never actually ate at McDonalds; the reason I eat there now is because their food is so well documented I can know exactly what's in it.)

      the tremendous amount of offshoring which has destroyed the US manufacturing base.

      In a word: Bullshit. The US is still the worlds #2 manufacturer of physical goods. Frankly I'm surprised we're even that high; we're a very distant #3 on the global population list, but most of our population prefers to work in service jobs. So many of us look down their nose at people who work on assembly lines yet at the same time believe that there aren't enough manufacturing jobs.

      --
      Careful with names containing L slashdot.org/~AiphaWolf_HK slashdot.org/~AlphaWoif_HK slashdot.org/~AiphaWoif_HK
    21. Re:wait, what? by Cederic · · Score: 2

      No. Luckily people to review/validate the work can be outsourced too, so that's also cheap and easy.

    22. Re:wait, what? by jaymz666 · · Score: 0

      I know exactly what outsourcing means, and sending the same coding jobs that were being performed locally to the -India has been a huge negative when it comes to quality and skill.

    23. Re:wait, what? by jaymz666 · · Score: 1

      Sure... except they would lie and say they studied that

      We have had one person interview for a job, and on day 1 of that job a different person shows up. Claiming to be the same person.

    24. Re:wait, what? by rochrist · · Score: 1

      And then you can outsource the people to validate the work of the people hired to validate the work of the people doing the data entry! It's turtles all the way down!

    25. Re:wait, what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It could be that 80% think outsourcing was positive because it taught their employers not to outsource.

    26. Re:wait, what? by Livius · · Score: 2

      Presumably the same 80% who believe they are above average...

    27. Re:wait, what? by AlphaWolf_HK · · Score: 1, Insightful

      If quality and skill are heavily reduced, then it wouldn't be worth sending work there. You really can't have it both ways on this one -- either they're smart businessmen who know India saves money, or they're smart businessmen who are wise to a lack of quality and skill.

      Often times you simply can't afford to hire your own in-house development staff. Imagine for example that you run a small business and you don't have any programmers on staff, nor does your business operate in the IT sector. Suppose you need a custom inventory management solution because no pre-built ones from any domestic companies are available. Your solution in this case may very well be to hire an outfit in India to do it. You may very well not have the amount of money that a US based firm would ask for, in which case what is your alternative? "Not doing it at all" isn't a good answer.

      --
      Careful with names containing L slashdot.org/~AiphaWolf_HK slashdot.org/~AlphaWoif_HK slashdot.org/~AiphaWoif_HK
    28. Re:wait, what? by losfromla · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You are seriously quoting an article written by what appears to be a college freshman trying to get some points for a lower division english class as scientific proof of something? To further the absurdity of the article, it quotes as relevant authorities the USDA, WHO and the Food and Agriculture Organization of the UN. None of those care about nutrition, they care only about pushing the products of their sponsor organizations, agribusiness, big pharma, and the petroleum/chemical industry. There was no information about disenting views, their scientific evidence, their arguments, or trully any evidence of them really existing. Therefore, I find your MSG argument unconvincing. Furthermore, it was irrelevant.
      Now, McDonalds as a health food? The stuff at walmart is healthy? Have you seen people shopping at walmart? I have, they load up their carts with frozen pizza (carbs mostly), chips (carbs mostly), cookies (carbs mostly), soda (hfcs), pasta (more carbs), and maybe some diet soda if they are feeling like health nuts. An optimal human diet is composed primarily of fat (from animals fed a natural diet), lots of vegetables (for bulk and satiety), and moderate protein. The walmart diet offers none of that. Now if you got healthier eating a mcdonalds diet, I wonder what kind of garbage you were eating before. Were you living on twinkies and mountain dew?
      Also, processed is very much unhealthy, that is how I call it cause I am informed. Try to get your information from agencies that don't have a vested interest and are not sponsored (bought) by companies with a vested interest.

      As a bonus, here is a quote from one of the commenters on the site you linked:

      scientists believe that primates are susceptible to excitotoxic damage[26] and that humans concentrate excitotoxins in the blood more than other animals.[27] Based on these findings, they claim that humans are approximately 5-6 times more susceptible to the effects of excitotoxins than rodents are.[28] While they agree that typical use of monosodium glutamate does not spike glutamic acid to extremely high levels in adults, they are particularly concerned with potential effects in infants and young children[29] and the potential long-term neurodegenerative effects of small-to-moderate spikes on plasma excitotoxin levels.[30]

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/G...

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    29. Re:wait, what? by dbIII · · Score: 1

      such as rapidly changing design specifications in a mass production line

      That's always available and at a cheaper cost when you actually own the mass production line. Of course you need some sort of volume to justify production yourself instead of paying someone else to do it and you need to employ engineers for longer than it takes for the first setup of the line which is why such a thing is very unpopular in the USA.

      A move towards the short term and cutting things with long term benefits made local manufacturing inflexible. Meanwhile the Chinese are still copying the successful US businesses of the 1960s so are still flexible.
      If they hit the "just change the appearance every year and it will sell - sack those engineers we don't need them anymore" attitude of a great deal of US manufacturing management then there will be no benefit to outsourcing. However, if the trend continues, by then they will own the market and there won't be US money available to pay the Chinese to make stuff.

      I agree, outsourcing is good if you want something done you can't do in-house, but I wanted to point out why I think it's not being done locally and how I think some places that have outsourced their core business are doomed.

    30. Re:wait, what? by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      Yes he does. Because Alphawolf_HK is a college kid with no real life experience himself.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    31. Re:wait, what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In the immortal words Albert Speer: The no men are all six feet under.

    32. Re:wait, what? by BobMcD · · Score: 1

      He is right to contrast Whole Foods with Walmart:

      http://dailycaller.com/2013/05...

      http://www.thetasteoftomorrow....

      http://www.thedailybeast.com/a...

      In short, stupid people shop at both Walmart and Whole Foods. It's just that the Whole Foods stupid people are trying to let other people think for them, where as the Walmart stupid people don't particularly care.

  2. I must be in the minority. by B33rNinj4 · · Score: 1

    I just enjoy fixing broken code, and making something better. I guess I'm doing it wrong.

    1. Re:I must be in the minority. by Shatrat · · Score: 2

      They must just be asking a lot of people who are understand math and have a little discipline. A carpenter can become a millionaire by retirement, all you have to do is start saving and keep saving.

      --
      09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0
    2. Re:I must be in the minority. by Mordok-DestroyerOfWo · · Score: 5, Insightful

      They must just be asking a lot of people who are understand math and have a little discipline. A carpenter can become a millionaire by retirement, all you have to do is start saving and keep saving.

      I fully intend to be a millionaire by the time I retire, and with inflation that should be enough for a tent and some camping supplies.

      --
      "Never let your sense of morals prevent you from doing what is right" - Salvor Hardin
    3. Re:I must be in the minority. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I just enjoy fixing broken code, and making something better. I guess I'm doing it wrong.

      If you're working for Oracle and looking to make it better, trust me, you are in the minority.

    4. Re:I must be in the minority. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure becoming a multimillionaire is (theoretically) easy. But nothing I do will make me a billionaire that doesn't rely primarily on luck, and those things have a high probability of failing and compromising the millionaire objective.

    5. Re:I must be in the minority. by zerro · · Score: 3

      yeah, in 20 years, i suspect being a millionaire would be like what it is today to earn a "six-figure income" - which is B.F.D.
      I remember when I was a kid in the 80's, a "six figure income" was meaningful. Now in some places where software development is a common trade (cough: silicon valley), six figures is just-getting-by

    6. Re:I must be in the minority. by mysidia · · Score: 1

      Sure becoming a multimillionaire is (theoretically) easy. But nothing I do will make me a billionaire that doesn't rely primarily on luck

      You just need to become a millionaire and then double your money 10 times.

      Once you have the millions, there are plenty of high-risk investments to pick from that are likely to do just that.

    7. Re:I must be in the minority. by Khashishi · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It looks like you skipped over the part, "that doesn't rely primarily on luck".

    8. Re:I must be in the minority. by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      They must just be asking a lot of people who are understand math and have a little discipline. A carpenter can become a millionaire by retirement, all you have to do is start saving and keep saving.

      I fully intend to be a millionaire by the time I retire, and with inflation that should be enough for a tent and some camping supplies.

      ^^^This, exactly!

      I assume the people asking / answering the question are talking about being a millionaire in today's dollars... already it is easier by a factor of 4 since I graduated high school (1984) to accumulate 7 figures in your net worth.

    9. Re:I must be in the minority. by quarterbuck · · Score: 2

      If your investment growth keeps tracks with inflation, then they balance out. If you can save 15K in 401(k) a year and put in an equivalent amount into a house, that is 30K a year and by the time you retire, should make you millionaire equivalent (zero inflation adjusted growth).
      Add to this the fact that the profile of a millionaire is very similar to that of a Developer .
      Average millionaire is educated with atleast college degree, earns about $100 K (which according to Dept of Labor) is what developers earn, own homes,work 40-50 hours a week etc.
      Add to this the fact that most millionaires are very near retirement age and it makes it highly probable that a developer is highly probable to retire a millionaire.

      --
      http://slashdot.org/submission/1062723/Cheap-mobile-data-plan?art_pos=2
    10. Re:I must be in the minority. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What makes you think you're doing it wrong?

    11. Re:I must be in the minority. by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      I'm pretty sure I'll have a million all told in various things and I'm not the highest paid or even a financial whiz (I'm lousy at investing or monitoring what the money is doing, which is why my peers will do so much better than I will). However that's not as much as it used to be. It's not necessarily a comfortable retirement where I live. The condo I have worth a bit over $300k is dumpy and in a borderline neighborhood, and the price has gone down since I purchased it.

    12. Re:I must be in the minority. by rk · · Score: 3, Informative

      Even outside of the valley in more normal priced places, if the first digit of that six figures is a '1', it's still solidly middle class, nothing more.

    13. Re:I must be in the minority. by mysidia · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It looks like you skipped over the part, "that doesn't rely primarily on luck".

      It doesn't depend primarily on luck. It depends on your ability to select a sequence of investments that will have an average payout of more than twice what they cost. You don't know the outcome of any one investment (success or failure), but your ability to pick a sequence of investments that are expected to offset each other's random risks and have sufficient average payout when taken together (expected total gain minus loss averaged more than twice cost), is one of skill, and it relies on decision making abilities.

      Good luck is when the average payout turns out to be twice as much as expected and happens less than 1% of the time. Bad luck is when the payout is half or less, and happens less than 1% of the time.

      This is assuming a skilled selection.

      When we say "high risk"; we do not mean visiting a casino and placing bets, where you have an expected loss of 10% due to the house edge, (assuming you had infinite cash and placed bets forever).

    14. Re:I must be in the minority. by lgw · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Unless the meaning of millionaire is changing to mean "a seven figure income", then why would anyone with a six figure income not expect to become a millionaire? Are people just really bad at saving? That's too low to even be a good retirement goal, unless you're sure of Social Security to compliment it (in which case it's about right - but who doesn't expect SS to be "means tested" and taken away from those who save?)

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    15. Re:I must be in the minority. by Salgat · · Score: 2

      Doubling your money just once is very difficult, good luck doing it 10 times in a row. An amazing annual return is considered > 10%.

    16. Re:I must be in the minority. by mysidia · · Score: 1

      An amazing annual return is considered > 10%.

      This is true: only until you have access to accredited investor status and hedge funds.

    17. Re:I must be in the minority. by MalleusEBHC · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I'm tired of all this "six figures is just-getting-by" bullshit. I'm a software engineer in the valley who only a few years ago was making almost exactly six figures, and I was doing far, far better than just getting by.

      I bought a house even before making $100k. It's a small house in a good part of San Jose. I probably would have had to get a roommate for the first few years had my then-girlfriend not been chipping in rent, but that's somewhat expected with a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. My monthly payment will stay the same forever, and inflation and salaries, even for non-engineers, are generally only going up in the long run.

      Even with the house payment, I've always been able to stuff a significant amount of money into my 401(k) and IRA. By starting early and investing in index funds, I'm going to easily have enough money in retirement.

      Even after putting a lot of money into a house and retirement, there was still plenty of money leftover for fun stuff. I was able to go out to nice restaurants, I bought myself nice toys like laptops and bicycles, and I generally didn't have to worry about money.

      Admittedly I don't have kids and wasn't trying to support a family by myself, but a second income would also balance that out.

      Are you able to buy a 5 bedroom, 3,000 sq ft house in Palo Alto on $100k? Hell no, but you can still live an extremely nice life. It's an insult to the people living paycheck to paycheck to say that six figures is just getting by.

    18. Re:I must be in the minority. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's an insult to the people living paycheck to paycheck to say that six figures is just getting by.
       
      Maybe he works for congress?

    19. Re:I must be in the minority. by artor3 · · Score: 2

      Even assuming that you get your million dollars forty years before you plan to retire, you would need to pull in returns of more than 18% per year to hit a billion.

      No one can do that reliably. It's luck.

    20. Re:I must be in the minority. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Having a $1m net worth already is like having a $100k salary. NBD in either case. There are almost 10 million households in the US that have a net worth of $1m+

    21. Re:I must be in the minority. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep. If the assholes in power keep devaluing the monetary base, we'll all be millionaires. Won't count for much when a loaf of bread is $50.

    22. Re:I must be in the minority. by mysidia · · Score: 1

      No one can do that reliably. It's luck.

      That's not true. There are people who can do that. You need enough money to be allowed to freely invest in private firms and such though.

      And you need to have not so much money, as well. Too little money OR too much money, and you cannot make good returns. It is not as if your potential return is independent from the amount of money you have, there, so it is a bit meaningless to throw around numbers such as 18%.

      If you have too little money -- then you don't get access to investments (except ones that have already become public companies, which suck) ---- if you have too much money, then you actually exhaust what good options are available.

    23. Re:I must be in the minority. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If six figures is "just getting by" and a million dollars makes you solidly middle class, then you and zerro are pretty good indications that wealth causes brain damage. I'll agree that maybe it's still technically middle class, albeit the extreme top edge, but only because America is insane. If you're earning six figures and just getting by, you're incompetent with money, even with the cost of living in places the rich have perverted.

    24. Re:I must be in the minority. by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      Not getting a serious illness that your insurance won't fully cover is luck. Not being sued into oblivion by some asshat is luck. Not retiring during a major world recession is luck.

      Also, if you hadn't noticed, there are a lot of rip-offs, scams and ponzi schemes going on in the investment market. Supposedly skilled and knowledgeable investors fell for them because the crooks are good at what they do. Would be nice if you could get by with just safer, guaranteed return investments rather than having to become some kind of financial expert.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    25. Re:I must be in the minority. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you have to take out a 30-yr mortgage, you've bought way more house than you can afford.

    26. Re:I must be in the minority. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You obviously don't have a wife and kids.

    27. Re:I must be in the minority. by melchoir55 · · Score: 1

      You probably haven't lived anywhere with a high cost of living while simultaneously attempting to create a lifestyle that is sustainable and will secure you for your retirement years.

      Let's do some napkin math.
      1 bedroom in San Francisco in a good area is about $3500/month = $42k per year

      But of course "middle class" means you should be able to pull off raising a family with 2.5 children. For that you would generally want a house. You aren't going to find a livable house in San Francisco under 1 million, but let's move out to the suburbs since that is traditional middle class practice. How about mountain view? Oh crap, average price there is over a million. But mountain view is google, so of COURSE its expensive there. Let's try Redwood City (which is a shithole). Uh oh, average price is 820k as of january 2014.

      Without factoring the myriad other costs of life and family someone making $100,000 per year can't even afford *housing*. If you make less than 100k in that city you can't afford to be there. That means poverty. If you make less than $200k you can't afford anything better than an apartment or condo. That means lower-class. Middle class in the bay area is 400k to 800k income per year, where you can buy an average house.

  3. Holy shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Where do 56% of you guys work? Need a Java developer?

    1. Re:Holy shit by binarylarry · · Score: 1

      It said "expect" not "can expect."

      AlthoughYouShouldHaveAlreadyRealizedThat

      --
      Mod me down, my New Earth Global Warmingist friends!
    2. Re:Holy shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Um... acquiring a million dollars in your lifetime isn't hard these days.

      I wouldn't even be surprised if the average house price is about a million dollars by the time I die. Inflation is fun.

    3. Re:Holy shit by Opportunist · · Score: 3, Informative

      Being a millionaire not only means you acquire a million but also that you get to keep it. Essentially, it means you earn one million more than you need to live your life.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    4. Re:Holy shit by Wycliffe · · Score: 1

      I make 90k a year. Not an especially large amount for a computer programmer.
      I spend about 50k per year which is more than most non programmers make.
      That gives me 40k a year worth of savings. 1M/40K = 25 years to be a millionaire.
      Some of the 40K is money spent on my house and other assets but I would say
      that's pretty common. It's hard to spend 90k a year and not accumulate some
      assets.

    5. Re:Holy shit by mellon · · Score: 0

      You need more than a million to retire comfortably. If you start banging 20% into your 401k every year, you'll reach a million fairly quickly on a developer's salary. So I would restate that as you need to earn a million more than your run rate, because retirement isn't entirely optional. Of course, you may get hit by a truck and never get there, but that seems like a lousy outcome to plan for.

    6. Re:Holy shit by NiteMair · · Score: 1

      And that's hard?

      As mentioned further below, saving ~$5000/year is possible - maybe throw away that $100/mo TV subscription or something.

    7. Re:Holy shit by Herkum01 · · Score: 1

      I remember doing a project where if someone put in 3,000/year from age 21 till retirement could have a million in savings (on compounded growth of 10%). It is doable, though 10% growth is not going to be the norm in the near future.

    8. Re:Holy shit by jythie · · Score: 1

      I think most people think of 'millionaire' as having over a million in potentially liquid assets at any given time. So neither 'cumulative pay' nor '401k' would count.

    9. Re:Holy shit by TsuruchiBrian · · Score: 1

      From wikipedia:

      A millionaire (originally and sometimes still millionnaire) is an individual whose net worth or wealth is equal to or exceeds one million units of currency.

    10. Re:Holy shit by plopez · · Score: 1

      Assuming no major medical issues, no layoffs, no major accidents, etc. Your estimates may not work out.

      --
      putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
    11. Re:Holy shit by AK+Marc · · Score: 0

      Not all issues are negative. Relatives die, leaving you things and such. I've had a similar plan, and am still on track to retire at 55 with $5,000,000+ in net worth. 15 years into the plan, and still nothing that set it off track. That includes a few layoffs, some major medical issues, no accidents.

      It's simple. It just takes a plan, and some self control. Why aren't you a millionaire?

    12. Re:Holy shit by jaymz666 · · Score: 1

      yeah, wait til you're married, have kids, etc. Money flies out the door

    13. Re:Holy shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So to become a millionaire, you need to live 200 years?

    14. Re:Holy shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      no divorce and child support to "liberate" you of that extra 40K a year........

    15. Re:Holy shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Years don't have 50 months.

    16. Re:Holy shit by Mordok-DestroyerOfWo · · Score: 1

      And that's hard?

      As mentioned further below, saving ~$5000/year is possible - maybe throw away that $100/mo TV subscription or something.

      Hell, my wife is in her mid 20's and I'm in my early 30's and we manage to squirrel away $28,000 every year on our two salaries (I'm a server admin, she's an engineer). If you're in the right industry and have a modicum of self-restraint it isn't too difficult to save.

      --
      "Never let your sense of morals prevent you from doing what is right" - Salvor Hardin
    17. Re:Holy shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And a million bucks isn't worth what it used to be.

    18. Re:Holy shit by Quirkz · · Score: 1

      Really? I think most people would accept "net worth" as the proper metric.

      Now there's probably some who don't think about that much and assume millionaires have tons of cash on hand and spend wildly, but generally you don't get to be (or stay) a millionaire doing that.

    19. Re:Holy shit by Tokolosh · · Score: 1

      Well, that is a stupid and bad plan.

      --
      Prove anything by multiplying Huge Number times Tiny Number
    20. Re:Holy shit by Quirkz · · Score: 1

      He also neglected to include any sort of interest/growth in that calculation. You could easily get there in much less time at $25k/year with even 5% interest. Or some problems come up and it takes you 30 years instead of 25 - that's still shorter than most people work. Or get a few raises and work your way up to contributing $50k/year in a decade.

      In other words, there are obstacles, but there's plenty of wiggle room in both directions. If you're paying even a little attention, it's not a hard goal to hit with a developer's salary, which is generally considerably above median income.

    21. Re:Holy shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yeah, wait til you're married, have kids, etc. Money flies out the door

      So don't get married, don't have kids, etc. Don't assume that everyone wants the same things that you want.

    22. Re:Holy shit by SQLGuru · · Score: 1

      I expect to be a millionaire at some point in my life....but 1) I expect it to be because I've saved over the years and 2) by the time I have $1M or more, it won't be the same as having $1M today. I don't necessarily expect it to be my salary or that I've sold "the next big thing" to Facebook.

    23. Re:Holy shit by umghhh · · Score: 1

      forgot about divorce

    24. Re:Holy shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The IRS max annual contribution to a 401(k) is $17,500. So unless you are getting a really tremendous return on your investments it may take a little longer than you think. Of course you can save in other retirement vehicles...

    25. Re:Holy shit by zerro · · Score: 1

      and it wont be worth what it is today in the future..
      look at that gold price... someone mentioned the price of gold should be looked at less as a "price of gold" as much as a measure of the devaluation of the dollar over time...

    26. Re:Holy shit by joss · · Score: 1

      Yeah, he has a AlthoughYouShouldHaveAlreadyRealizedThatExceptionFactory

      --
      http://rareformnewmedia.com/
    27. Re:Holy shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, look how much Skinner makes -- $25,000 a year!
      Let's see, he's 40 years old, times 25 grand... whoa, he's a millionaire!

    28. Re:Holy shit by PIBM · · Score: 2

      I've solved that a while ago. My referring currency is now cents and I was a millionnaire even before being out of school! :)

    29. Re:Holy shit by Enigma2175 · · Score: 3, Informative

      And that's hard?

      As mentioned further below, saving ~$5000/year is possible - maybe throw away that $100/mo TV subscription or something.

      Hell, my wife is in her mid 20's and I'm in my early 30's and we manage to squirrel away $28,000 every year on our two salaries (I'm a server admin, she's an engineer). If you're in the right industry and have a modicum of self-restraint it isn't too difficult to save.

      The key is being in the right industry. The median income in the US is around $27,000/year. It is VERY difficult to save $28k if you are only making $27k. It seems to you like you have "self-restraint" because you still have money left over after paying for your necessities. Half the people in the country that make income make less per year than just a portion of your disposable income.

      (and to the GP, you threw away that 100/mo TV subscription, that is only $1200 - where does the 5k come from?)

      --

      Enigma

    30. Re:Holy shit by TsuruchiBrian · · Score: 1

      Having +$10,000 while in school (i.e. rather than debt) is actually pretty good.

    31. Re:Holy shit by Kjella · · Score: 1

      Really? I think most people would accept "net worth" as the proper metric.

      Well, he said "potentially liquid" not "liquid", like if you decided to become a Buddhist monk and give away everything you own selling your house, car and so on could you liquidate your 401(k)? From what it looks like you must pay a 10% early withdrawal fee and income tax, so it's a lot less worth to have $1 in a 401(k) than in a regular bank account. On the other hand should you include things like sales commission on the house? I don't know, but in an informal sense I'd say that you're only a millionaire if you could literally gather a million dollars in cash if you wanted to.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    32. Re:Holy shit by O('_')O_Bush · · Score: 2

      Whoever mentioned that was an idiot.

      Gold prices are driven by 1. Speculation and fearmongering about the state of the economy (I.e. preppers, pump and dump scammers, etc). 2. By how low interest rates are(if they can't gamble on the stock market or in loans, they gamble in gold). So, gold is a gamble against the economy (and therefore, the dollar), but that has nothing to do with inflation.

      And that can be extended to the world economies as well.

      If you want to see real inflation, you have to look at low profit margin commodities on a broad scale.

      --
      while(1) attack(People.Sandy);
    33. Re:Holy shit by lgw · · Score: 3, Informative

      Gold is a good measure of inflation if you take the 10-year-average, or maybe the 20-year, of gold prices. While gold is hopelessly volatile in the short term, it seems to keep reasonably equivalent purchasing power century-by-century.

      Home prices work out about the same, BTW. While real estate markets can be just as volatile, long term house prices are flat with inflation, which makes a lot of sense (the % of income people are willing/able to spend on housing won't change unless human nature changes, so you expect the average house to represent a given amount of purchasing power).

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    34. Re:Holy shit by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Use the Somalian Shilling as reference and it gets even ten times easier to become a millionaire.

      Btw, is it me or is it funny that the Somalian Shilling is abbreviated SOS?

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    35. Re:Holy shit by lgw · · Score: 1

      Most employers match that at least a little. Long term tax-free growth of "double every 10 years" is reasonable to expect from stocks. After 30 years, having 70 years of savings is a reasonable goal. Of course, your pay's going up and inflation is too and so on, but still, becoming a millionaire from 30 years of 401K savings is quite practical. Doing the same for "millionaire in today's dollars", a far more interesting goal, is quite practical given 40 years of 401K savings.

      Of course, best to save more elsewhere, and try to retire earlier than 40 years.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    36. Re:Holy shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And interest rates aren't 0% either

    37. Re:Holy shit by St.Creed · · Score: 2

      10% growth won't be the norm in the near future because it's never been the norm, just a weird exception in some periods of intense growth. The average ROI over centuries is very very stable at 4%. This corresponds roughly to the price of houses.

      I read an article today that explained that since 4% is higher than the average growthrate of economies, people having assets will tend to collect a larger and larger share from the GDP as opposed to just working for it. Hence the growing divide in society between people having money gathering more and more of it, and the rest gaining less and less.

      Replace assets with capital and working for it with labour, and I think we're back at where Marx once started his analysis.

      --
      Therefore, by the (faulty) logic you're using, you're just a cow with a keyboard - osu-neko (2604)
    38. Re:Holy shit by NiteMair · · Score: 1

      No, but you can start by eliminating that $100/mo TV subscription, and then find some other ways to save money too

      I'm constantly amazed at what people spend per month on things they think are "necessary".

      I've come to realize that many people will spend every dime they make rather than save it - and then complain about it later when they have nothing saved and are still living paycheck to paycheck. I've witnessed several times people spend their "raise" after they get it, buying a new car, etc. It's pitiful.

    39. Re:Holy shit by benjfowler · · Score: 1

      Admirable. Prudence is a virtue that's underappreciated these days by society at large, and especially by our irresponsible, feckless leaders.

      And we've been egged on by our wasteful, idiotic consumer-driven society to piss all our savings up the wall rather than save it; and have policymakers deliberately engineering the economy to strip the people of their savings (how else can we interpret ZIRP?). Besides the financial costs, there are the moral costs of breeding generations of feckless, impoverished spendthrifts who blow all their money on overpriced tat and live paycheque to paycheque.

      The Fed and friends get a lot of hate (in places like Zero Hedge especially), but it's justified.

    40. Re:Holy shit by babyrat · · Score: 1

      The article is about developers - I would guess not many developers make less than $50K and the average is probably significantly higher than that. If you are in a career that starts at $50K and goes up from there and DON'T expect to save a million dollars in your lifetime, then exactly how are you expecting to retire?

      And the GP specifically started with $100 TV subscription and find other ways to save - the point being there are lots of things we spend a lot of money on, that we could eliminate to save more, while still having a pretty good standard of life now.

    41. Re:Holy shit by Wycliffe · · Score: 1

      I did this while I was married with 3 kids. I still do it now that I'm single with 3 kids.
      50k is solidly middle class where I live. Most of my friends who work at the local
      university, etc... with bachelor degrees and sometimes masters degrees make less
      than 50k as do most of my relatives. I could upgrade to a higher lifestyle but I have
      no desire. My kids and I have everything we need and then some. We also have
      more disposable income than most of our peers which would make it easy to keep
      up with the Jones but I have no desire to keep up with anyone.
      The USA is strange in that our spending on housing and cars goes up almost
      linearly with income. This doesn't make sense to me. Why should I buy a
      house or car twice as expensive just because I make more money?

    42. Re:Holy shit by babyrat · · Score: 1

      From what it looks like you must pay a 10% early withdrawal fee and income tax, so it's a lot less worth to have $1 in a 401(k) than in a regular bank account.

      Yes - and that is how official net worth calculations are generally done.

    43. Re:Holy shit by babyrat · · Score: 1

      Really?

      http://financeandinvestments.b...

      25 year average return numbers say 10% (+/- 2%) is probably a good a number as any.

    44. Re:Holy shit by ranton · · Score: 1

      The IRS max annual contribution to a 401(k) is $17,500. So unless you are getting a really tremendous return on your investments it may take a little longer than you think. Of course you can save in other retirement vehicles...

      With a 10% annual growth, you hit a million in 20 years. That grows to $5 million in about 35 years. That becomes $2.5 million after 35 years when you count inflation, but that still shows it is pretty easy to hit a million in any professional level job.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    45. Re:Holy shit by ranton · · Score: 1

      He meant starting at 1500, not 1900. There are people who believe that the past 200 years have been an aberration caused by free energy, and that when it ends the world will return to when growth was closer to 2% per year.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    46. Re:Holy shit by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      No, but you can start by eliminating that $100/mo TV subscription, and then find some other ways to save money too

      I'm constantly amazed at what people spend per month on things they think are "necessary".

      Like saving up for retirement? Not sure why having a million dollars to spend in retirement is more important than having $100/month to spend on cable TV today?

    47. Re:Holy shit by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      And that's hard?

      As mentioned further below, saving ~$5000/year is possible - maybe throw away that $100/mo TV subscription or something.

      Hell, my wife is in her mid 20's and I'm in my early 30's and we manage to squirrel away $28,000 every year on our two salaries (I'm a server admin, she's an engineer). If you're in the right industry and have a modicum of self-restraint it isn't too difficult to save.

      ...and are married to somebody with comparable income. Swap that wife out for somebody who doesn't make much more than minimum wage, and your $28k/yr basically evaporates. You'd save more being single, but your non-discretionary expenses as a single aren't that much lower than a couple's.

    48. Re:Holy shit by cusco · · Score: 1

      A better measure is to pick a few specific items that you personally consume on a regular basis and track those. When we lived in Peru we watched the price of rice, tea, a specific brand of tennis shoes that Rosa liked, bus fare, and a quarter of 'pollo a la brasa' (roast chicken) to track the actual value of the Inti over time.

      --
      "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
    49. Re:Holy shit by jimbolauski · · Score: 1

      Assuming you work for about 35 years, invest 10% of your salary pretax and get a 6% return you will have a million in retirement. That doesn't include other assets like a house or company stock. Getting to a million is not that difficult, it just takes some time and planning.

      --
      Knowledge = Power
      P= W/t
      t=Money
      Money = Work/Knowledge so the less you know the more you make
    50. Re:Holy shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who has a $100/month TV subscription?

    51. Re:Holy shit by jimbolauski · · Score: 1

      If you retire with 1 million in savings you can expect to spend between 60-80k a year and not tap into your principle. 60-80k a year is more then enough to live on when you consider there are no mortgage payments to be made.

      --
      Knowledge = Power
      P= W/t
      t=Money
      Money = Work/Knowledge so the less you know the more you make
    52. Re:Holy shit by jimbolauski · · Score: 1

      My wife says at home, I have 3 kids, 2 of them go to private school, and I still manage to squirrel away 20%. My house is smaller them my co workers, my car is one of the oldest. I just have different priorities.

      --
      Knowledge = Power
      P= W/t
      t=Money
      Money = Work/Knowledge so the less you know the more you make
    53. Re:Holy shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Glad you'll be able to afford to take care of me in my old age then! :)

    54. Re:Holy shit by MorbidBBQ · · Score: 0

      1) Invest early, & aggressively.
      2a) Contribute the max at 20, and continue for 10 years.
      2b) Invest in funds with an average of >10% return.
      2c) Stop contributing, let interest accumulate, wait ~10 years.
      3) PROFIT! (~$1,000,000)

    55. Re:Holy shit by crunchygranola · · Score: 2

      ...

      With a 10% annual growth, you hit a million in 20 years. That grows to $5 million in about 35 years. That becomes $2.5 million after 35 years when you count inflation, but that still shows it is pretty easy to hit a million in any professional level job.

      Heck! With 20% annual growth you can hit a million in 14 years, and with 30% annual growth you can hit a million in 11 years!

      Just ask Bernie Madoff!

      The real long term return on stocks is 6% or so. You only get 10% if you carefully draw the period to cover two bubbles and avoid the post-bubble malaise, collapse and ensuing low-grade depression. That's called "cheating with statistics".

      And even stock market optimists (like Jeremy Siegel) feel that returns over the next few decades will be around 5%, as the long hang-over of the Bush crash persists, and the relative decline of consumer purchasing power continues.

      With a more realistic return of 5%, the time to accumulate a million is 30 years.

      --
      Second class citizen of the New Gilded Age
    56. Re:Holy shit by coinreturn · · Score: 1

      The IRS max annual contribution to a 401(k) is $17,500. So unless you are getting a really tremendous return on your investments it may take a little longer than you think. Of course you can save in other retirement vehicles...

      Um, no. The max pre-tax amount is $17,500. The max contribution from all sources (pre-tax, employer match, and post-tax) is $52,000. And if you're over 50, you can add another $5K.

  4. Of 1000? by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    And how could one become one of those 1000? Even if just 56% of them become rich that's good enough a chance for me.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    1. Re:Of 1000? by John+Jamieson · · Score: 1

      Being a Millionaire before you die does not mean you ever became rich by North American Standards. Especially if you have another 30 years to work, and inflation goes to work.

    2. Re:Of 1000? by aardvarkjoe · · Score: 1

      Even if just 56% of them become rich that's good enough a chance for me.

      The thing is that being a millionaire really isn't the same as being rich.

      Think about it -- if you were of retirement age today, how much would you want in assets to feel comfortable retiring? A quarter million? A half million?

      Now consider the amount of time that you actually have left until then. Depending on how long it will be, a half million dollars today will very likely be equivalent to over a million when you will need it.

      I would venture to say that most people who are relatively early in their careers, and expect to be able to put away the money they'll need for retirement, should expect to be worth at least a million dollars at some point in their lives -- and that won't be being rich; that's just going to be "comfortable."

      --

      How can we continue to believe in a just universe and freedom to eat crackers if we have no ale?
    3. Re:Of 1000? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Even if just 56% of them become rich that's good enough a chance for me.

      I am not sure if accumulating $1M over a lifetime counts as "rich". I started working 35 years ago. I immediately started regularly and automatically putting a little from each paycheck into my IRA, invested in an index fund. The monthly payroll contribution was less than my car payment. Yet, today my IRA has over $700K. Unless there is a market crash, it should be over $1M by the time I retire.

    4. Re:Of 1000? by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      I'd want $5,000,000. I have 15-20 years until retirement. I'm on track. Are you?

      I'd re-define "millionaire" (as in the rich with no money cares rich) to be people with unearned income greater than a million a year. That's the level of comfort people think of for millionaire. The millionaire next door type (I know quite a few) don't live that well. A tiny 2-bedroom house, raising one child, one new car every 10-20 years. Saving most of their disposable income. Having just enough so that when their health fails, they can go into a nice home, rather than the worst ones (and there's quite a difference). Maybe leaving a little for their child. Of course, the one I'm thinking of managed to put their child through medical school, paying her whole way, so she got her inheritance early. Each generation better off than the one before. Not like my father who left us nothing. Well, piles of bills that will never be paid. But my plans never counted on that anyway.

    5. Re:Of 1000? by boristdog · · Score: 1

      I have almost a million in assets (less debts), I am not near being able to retire. I figure 1.6 million is my minimum amount to cover emergencies/market fluctuations and still live a good life, 2.2M is my goal where I can just quit with no worries.

      Fortunately once you have higher balances the compound interest and dividends start building up more rapidly. My real estate investments have also made a big difference. Asset variety is paramount.

    6. Re:Of 1000? by rolfwind · · Score: 1

      $5,000,000 might be nice if the USA doesn't start to hyperinflate by then. Have some hard assets as backup.

    7. Re:Of 1000? by starless · · Score: 2

      I am not sure if accumulating $1M over a lifetime counts as "rich". I started working 35 years ago. I immediately started regularly and automatically putting a little from each paycheck into my IRA, invested in an index fund. The monthly payroll contribution was less than my car payment. Yet, today my IRA has over $700K. Unless there is a market crash, it should be over $1M by the time I retire.

      The usual estimate of how much you can withdraw from your savings per year without having too much chance
      of drawing down your capital is 4%.
      So, $1M gives you an annual income of $40,000, not exactly a high salary, even adding in ~$30k in social
      security income won't make you especially well off.

    8. Re:Of 1000? by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      You don't need to become one of those 1000, all you have to be is delusional enough to believe that you will be fabulously wealthy...

    9. Re:Of 1000? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A million dollars is nothing - it's a house, a couple cars, and some stuff. Hardly the territory of "rich", and hardly out of reach for someone working a 100k job.

    10. Re:Of 1000? by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      I think that's a little extreme (1,000,000 unearned), but agree in principal.

      I was pretty upset that the "tax the wealthy" bill was called such, to say that earning $250,000/year makes one wealthy is absurd. Those people will likely become wealthy at some point, but they hardly are wealthy when they start.

      I'd say wealthy means you have enough to be getting 6 figures after reinvesting to match inflation, and millionaire would be someone with over 1000000 liquid and disposable.

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
    11. Re:Of 1000? by stymy · · Score: 1

      If you have a mortgage on a decent apartment or house in SF or NY, between that and your 101k that's probably at least a million by the time you pay off the place.

    12. Re:Of 1000? by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      What, are you a goldbug? "hard assets" include real estate. The only thing with actual value everywhere, and everywhere in history. Beats gold most of the time, and, so long as there's any government at all, won't ever be worthless. Stocks are also "hard assets" as much (or more) than people who buy gold in a remote vault. For all you know, they sold the same bar 10 times. And keeping it under your matress isn't very secure.

    13. Re:Of 1000? by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      A touring golf pro making $1,000,000 a year is scraping by. Paying 20-50% of that to fees and support staff, 25% on travel, and much of the remainder on training, they take home almost nothing. Same with some of the entertainers. I find it funny that so many people measure "wealth" by income. They are related, but certainly not the same thing. Wealth is power. Income provides an opportunity to generate and store wealth, but certainly isn't a guarantee. See Bobby Brown and Willie Nelson, and so many others. Made more in a year than most do in a life, and still went bankrupt. You have to store it and invest it to be wealthy. But the 1% is usually measured in income. But the wealth divide is much greater, and the core problem. But taxing wealth will never work. It's only ever tried with real estate, and even there is problematic.

    14. Re:Of 1000? by toddestan · · Score: 1

      If you're young and steadily put money into a retirement account, being a millionaire by the time you retire is certainly very possible. Of course, by then a meal at McDonald's will cost $30, a gallon of milk $15, and a new car will top $100k.

  5. Want by Garybaldy · · Score: 4, Funny

    I want the drugs those developers are on.

    1. Re:Want by plopez · · Score: 1

      They were really good in the 90's. At some start ups people were getting paid in stock options and landlords were taking stock options for rent. I joined a start up but I held out for cash, I was never that stupid.

      --
      putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
    2. Re:Want by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I just joined a startup myself. Getting paid a bigger salary than ever - and stock options.

      It's theoretically possible I could make over $300k next year.

    3. Re:Want by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's called crack... the same thing high schoolers who dream of the NBA, NFL, MLB (and any other legally sanctioned monopoly) are smoking.

    4. Re:Want by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      34 years old
      65% of the way there.

    5. Re:Want by Garybaldy · · Score: 1

      I remember how much fast food restaurants in the south bay had to offer to get people to apply. When the lowest no skill position at startups were paying 15 to 20 an hour.

    6. Re:Want by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      100% of lottery ticket buyers expect to become millionaires too. Same delusion. And identical to the one driving MLM schemes - "Hey look, Joe here made $15,000 sitting in his bathroom on one weekend! You can too!"

    7. Re:Want by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      It goes by many names, most common the American Dream or Thatcherism. The idea that you can make it big if you work hard, and should only support policies that will be good for you when that time comes. Of course for most people it never comes, but it doesn't stop them voting against their own interests.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    8. Re:Want by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm a software engineer. At my 10th high school reunion, I had a house and was worth, perhaps $50,000. At my 20th my net worth was $1million. At my 30th it was $3 million. I've never made any money from stock options, just from saving and investing.

    9. Re:Want by plopez · · Score: 1

      Empirically not very likely. Either the company will implode; which happens to most small businesses I think the statistic is 90% in the first year or two; or you will move on after burning out, or die, or your stock options will never be above water before they get bought out and then you are laid off, or the principles disappear after getting another round of funding, or one of the principles dies or gets very ill, etc. I grew up in a family of small business people. It can be REALLY hard to get a business up off the ground, especially when you are running on borrowed money and promises. The "Startup BIllionares" are few and far between compared to everyone who takes the gamble.

      --
      putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
  6. Expensive habits by barlevg · · Score: 0

    All the developers I know smoke 2+ packs a day and take weeks off to go to gaming/comic conventions. Maybe if they didn't do that, they could put away a bit more money.

    1. Re:Expensive habits by locopuyo · · Score: 2

      Out of the 30 or so I know only one smokes and none take weeks off to go to gaming/comic conventions.

    2. Re:Expensive habits by jeffmflanagan · · Score: 1

      I don't know a single developer that's dumb enough to still be a tobacco smoker.

    3. Re:Expensive habits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I am, I got hooked at 12 when it was cool.

    4. Re:Expensive habits by Uloi · · Score: 1

      Depends on the part of the country. Seattle it's very, very rare to see a developer smoking. Raleigh, more common.

    5. Re:Expensive habits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In the Bay Area, my experience is all the hard core programmers smoke - all smoke weed and many smoke tobacco and weed - all the pretentious UX/UA or various other front end people-type thingies dont smoke anything. Oh, and all the recent college grads dont either.

    6. Re:Expensive habits by barlevg · · Score: 1

      Thank you! My experience is in central Ohio, Austin and DC.

    7. Re:Expensive habits by fbartho · · Score: 1

      I know 0 developers who smoke tobacco. I know many who go to multi-day conventions.

      --
      Gravity Sucks
    8. Re:Expensive habits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There was never a period when smoking was cool.

  7. A million dollars isn't *that* much by neminem · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I think I have a good shot at becoming a millionaire in my lifetime - not from hitting it big, just from saving more than I spend (especially into my 401k, with company matching).

    And what *about* the current state of the economy? It seems to me that it's mostly recovered at this point. And it's not unreasonable for white-collar workers to expect *some* kind of raise at least every couple years, even if it's just a raise on par with inflation.

    1. Re:A million dollars isn't *that* much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly. In 40 years, when I retire, a million dollars isn't exactly going to be a fortune.

    2. Re:A million dollars isn't *that* much by dpilot · · Score: 2

      Years back, in the days of much higher inflation, my brother said he fully expected to be a millionaire one of these days, and he also expected to spend something like $100 of that money to get a hamburger at McDonalds.

      --
      The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
    3. Re:A million dollars isn't *that* much by binarylarry · · Score: 1

      Or even enough to retire on!

      --
      Mod me down, my New Earth Global Warmingist friends!
    4. Re:A million dollars isn't *that* much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      ^^^ THIS.
      I make a modest salary, but live below my means and save about 1/3 of my gross. I don't get to drive brand new cars (and stay away from depreciating assets in general) and my house is not the greatest, but it's fine for me and I think, barring another 2008/2009 debacle, I'll be over $1M on paper in about 10 years from now. It's very doable, as long as you don't fall into the 'keep up with the Joneses' trap and understand that compound interest will be your friend long after all your current friends have stabbed you in the back and moved on. With the current trend in the government towards chopping social programs and threats to eliminate SS and Medicare, anyone that's not taking charge of their own retirement finances is playing a very, very dangerous game.

    5. Re:A million dollars isn't *that* much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'll let you in on a secret - many companies don't give raises unless you ask for them ;)

      If 84% of these people think they're already being paid what they're worth, and 66% of them think they'll get a raise in the next year, then I suspect these are a bunch of devs who probably haven't learned this lesson yet.

    6. Re:A million dollars isn't *that* much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      This.

      If at some point your net worth doesn't edge above $1M, you aren't saving enough for retirement.

      $1M in the checking account is a completely different animal. if 56% of developers think they are on track to have $1M in ready cash, then we have proof positive that you don't need to be that bright to get a job as a developer.

    7. Re:A million dollars isn't *that* much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Everyone that is 40 or younger now should be a millionaire if they want to retire at a middle of the road income level. Those younger than 30 will need to be multimillionaires to retire at a middle class level. Considering most developers earn an upper middle class income I suspect that they would like to retire that way.

      I am in my middle twenties and I will retire a millionaire if I earn less than 5% on my current assets and contribute nothing else. Not that impressive if you think about what everything will cost when I retire.

    8. Re:A million dollars isn't *that* much by mellon · · Score: 1

      It's recovered for us, for the moment, but it's still pretty brittle. I wouldn't get too attached to the "recovery" if I were you.

    9. Re:A million dollars isn't *that* much by umghhh · · Score: 1

      why do you need a proof?

    10. Re:A million dollars isn't *that* much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The state of economy seems to be far from removing any IT-related jobs. Any place I worked at for the last 10 years had way more work than hands to get it done. Sometimes the pay can be shitty, but there is plenty of work, and if you keep at it, eventually you find a place with decent pay.

    11. Re:A million dollars isn't *that* much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I expect to become a millionaire any day now... my father-in-law smokes like a chimney, doesn't exercise, eats poorly, and refuses to spend any money on himself. :)

    12. Re:A million dollars isn't *that* much by k6mfw · · Score: 1
      --
      mfwright@batnet.com
    13. Re:A million dollars isn't *that* much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not about economy of any kind, just mentality.

      That's a culture that trains every individual to become a winner, but never helps them deal with losing or taking second place.

      I remember in my own country, before 2008, how lots of people just kept on spending, getting loans from the banks, without a care for contingencies. A few years later, they were selling at a loss.

      Or how about sports? Let's say 80% of grade school children dream of becoming sports superstars. A small percentage make that dream work into college, and an incredibly small one makes it into the pro field. Of those, maybe a handfull of that generation completely fulfill that childhood dream. And when they fail, nobody is around to pickup the pieces, because "it's all their fault".

    14. Re:A million dollars isn't *that* much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah well. I am a software developer - now 59 - and I am a millionaire. (After all, just about any house in Sydney Australia is worth a million). And the government forced us all to pay into a superannuation fund (pension fund, 401k, whatever).
      So my net worth is well over a million.

      Do I feel terribly rich? Sadly, no. My family shares a small Toyota, the mortgage is paid off, I have a very small boat (built in 1980, 25'), we ski occasionally (it's outrageously expensive in Australia), we sometimes go overseas.
      But rich - no.

      I reckon you need about 10 million to feel rich. 3m for a moderately flash house (in Sydney), 1m for a holiday house, 5m for investment income, 1m for play money.

      So I need to double my money about 3 times over, dammit.

      I want a Maserati.

    15. Re:A million dollars isn't *that* much by Billly+Gates · · Score: 1

      Anyone saying that has not been raised by a single Mom, supported oneself at a minimum wage job, lived at home with his parents due to +$30,000 in student loan debt, or had to go on food stamps.

      40% of Americans had these bad things happen to them in the last recession according to statistics at least once since 2008!

      Shoot a few years ago I dreamed of making $35,000 a year so I could be so rich!

      Thankfully I gradually got out of that but I learned some tough lessons.Working 2 jobs and not having any money left by was insulting and humiliating to say the least. When I hear someone whine how they only make $80,000 a year and life is sooo hard waa waa poor me I want to smack them.

      There are people in India who have 8 people to 1 - 2 rooms. THey eat at KFC or Mcdonalds once or twice a year as a nice expensive treat. THere are those who work at Walmart for $10/hr and are so poor they need food stamps to still buy food after working 38 hours a week.

      1 million is very very nice income. Sure you can't your own damn island with that but you never have to worry about how you are going to eat. Or how to pay for that unexpected medical expense that insurance wont cover. Or what if you will be homeless this month if you need to make a choice between fixing your 10 year old car or paying rent? Anyone who says otherwise is in a bubble and not in the real world the rest of America is in. Even successful people I know who pull in 6 figures of income had rough times and will never forget them when success comes.

    16. Re:A million dollars isn't *that* much by neminem · · Score: 1

      Oh, I completely agree. I'm not saying having a million dollars is meaningless. I certainly don't have anywhere near that *now*. I'm just saying that having that much at some point in your life might give you the right to call yourself financially stable, but it doesn't give you the right to call yourself "rich" anymore. Unless you're like 25. Even 30. Not 65, though. I'm not saying I would expect that the average person on the planet is likely to have that much by the time they retire - just that the average currently-employed software developer in America is.

      (And incidentally, I do know people who make 80k a year and who have legitimate reason to say that their life is terrible... yes, they don't have to worry about being able to afford necessities, and yes, if given the choice I'd rather work 14 hours a day including weekends and crash exhausted in a new condo than work 14 hours a day including weekends and then crash in a dump in a slum that I'm worried I'll get evicted from, obviously. But it still blows hard having a stressful, neverending job from hell even if it pays well.)

    17. Re:A million dollars isn't *that* much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ^^^ THIS.

      I make a modest salary, but live below my means and save about 1/3 of my gross. I don't get to drive brand new cars (and stay away from depreciating assets in general) and my house is not the greatest, but it's fine for me and I think, barring another 2008/2009 debacle, I'll be over $1M on paper in about 10 years from now. It's very doable, as long as you don't fall into the 'keep up with the Joneses' trap and understand that compound interest will be your friend long after all your current friends have stabbed you in the back and moved on. With the current trend in the government towards chopping social programs and threats to eliminate SS and Medicare, anyone that's not taking charge of their own retirement finances is playing a very, very dangerous game.

      Interest is not keeping up with REAL inflation (not the absurdly low quoted figures). You're basically delusional.

    18. Re:A million dollars isn't *that* much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I retire in 20 years at the earliest - inflation running at 3% would mean in that time 1 million would be the same as a little over 500k in today's money.
      I think that's within the realms of possibility - my pension (plus company matched contributions) would account for 200k of that, without any growth.

    19. Re:A million dollars isn't *that* much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep. Most anybody who manages to hang around Silicon Valley long enough to pay off their mortgage will be a "millionaire".

  8. What? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I fully expected the source of this post to be TheOnion.com.

  9. How is this remarkable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    How is this remarkable? Becoming a millionaire during your lifetime isn't remarkable at all. To have 1 million dollars at retirement, all you need to do is save $5,000 per year into any normal savings account. If you're a college educated software developer, you should be able to manage this easily.

    I'm more worried about the other 44% that don't think they can manage that.

    1. Re:How is this remarkable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It will take a mere 200 years of work at that rate!

    2. Re:How is this remarkable? by hubie · · Score: 1

      I'm not interested enough to click through and read the article, but instead of net worth, maybe they think their annual salary will be a million dollars.

    3. Re:How is this remarkable? by DudeTheMath · · Score: 1

      This is pretty much what I was going to say. The other 44% apparently either can't live within their means or can't do the math of simple compound interest.

      I'm not even a particularly well-paid developer, and my wife and I are about 80% of the way there (in our retirement accounts) after not quite twenty years of saving.

      --
      You save only 59 seconds over 8 miles by going 75 instead of 65. Do you really have to pass that guy? Do the Math!
    4. Re:How is this remarkable? by The+Grim+Reefer · · Score: 1

      To have 1 million dollars at retirement, all you need to do is save $5,000 per year into any normal savings account.

      I suppose as long as you can work for 200 years, this will work out great. Too bad the rate of inflation is outstripping the .06% savings accounts are at right now. In 200 years, I'm not sure a million dollars is going to buy you a tall coffee at Star Bucks.

    5. Re:How is this remarkable? by NiteMair · · Score: 1

      It's funny how often you run into a "software developer" that is also bad at math - it seems to be pretty common these days.

    6. Re:How is this remarkable? by beelsebob · · Score: 1

      Well, with your maths, it's not surprising that you think it's easy to become a millionaire. Unless you think your working life is 200 years long. That, or you think a typical savings account pays nearly 14% interest. Both of which are... Rather off the scale.

    7. Re:How is this remarkable? by Stormy+Dragon · · Score: 1

      No, if you save $5k per year with a 50% employer match and a 5% average rate of return, you'll have over $1 million in 43 years.

    8. Re:How is this remarkable? by Stormy+Dragon · · Score: 1

      Why is your retirement savings in a savings account?

    9. Re:How is this remarkable? by beelsebob · · Score: 1

      No, we can do compound interest maths...

      The sum, from i = 25 to 0, of 5000 * (1.138 ^ i) is just barely over a million. So for the maths to stack up, you need to be being paid 14% interest. That's not even close to reality.

    10. Re:How is this remarkable? by jonsmirl · · Score: 1

      How do you get 200 years? Money in the stock market makes returns.

      Use this calculator
      http://www.calculator.net/futu...

      Put in $5,000 payment
      Nothing at start.
      43 years (65 - 22), 6.3%
      Do this in an IRA so there are no taxes involved.
      You will have $1,018,527 at the end.

      6.3% is reasonable. I have been averaging over 8% for last 20 years including the big meltdowns.

    11. Re:How is this remarkable? by beelsebob · · Score: 1

      Because the grand parent specified a typical savings account explicitly.

    12. Re:How is this remarkable? by The+Grim+Reefer · · Score: 1

      Why is your retirement savings in a savings account?

      It's not. That's what the GP stated.

      My retirement is in lottery tickets. ;-)

    13. Re:How is this remarkable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He didn't say invest it, he said this:

      >all you need to do is save $5,000 per year into any normal savings account.

      The 1990s called, they want their savings account interest rate back.

    14. Re:How is this remarkable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sorry for not understanding that some people can't understand that your RETIREMENT SAVINGS go into a RETIREMENT SAVINGS account.

      Are you part of that 44%?

    15. Re:How is this remarkable? by beelsebob · · Score: 0

      You're missing the point. We all know our options for how and where to invest money. The point is that the root of this chat thread talks about "it's simple to save a million dollars, just stick $5000 into a typical savings account a year". That's why people are discussing savings accounts.

    16. Re:How is this remarkable? by babyrat · · Score: 1

      Where did you get 25 years from? Also, interest is compounded much more frequently than once a year...not a huge difference, but if you are going to claim to be doing the math, you might as well be doing it right.

    17. Re:How is this remarkable? by The+Grim+Reefer · · Score: 1

      Sorry for not understanding that some people can't understand that your RETIREMENT SAVINGS go into a RETIREMENT SAVINGS account.

      Are you part of that 44%?

      It doesn't matter if you find an account with a 5% return. At $5K per year you are not going to get to a million dollars between the time you graduate college and want to retire.

      $417 per month ($5004 per year) at a rate of 5% compounded yearly will take 49 1/4 years to get to $1,006,351.71. Realistically you're not going to get a job right out of school that allows you to save that kind of cash, especially if you have student loans and need to start a household. Nor is a 5% rate of return all that realistic currently.

      At a 3% rate of return it'll take almost 66 years.

  10. A million isn't what people think it is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    If these developers are fairly young, expect to retire and desire to not eat cat food, they'd better become millionaires. That's the minimum savings needed to retain a decent standard of living for many people that are not immediately close to retirement currently. We live fairly long lives after what many consider retirement age, but cost of living continues to increase (alongside cost of care), and inflation is a very real thing.

    http://www.forbes.com/sites/lawrencelight/2012/10/04/how-much-money-will-you-need-to-retire/

    1. Re:A million isn't what people think it is by vux984 · · Score: 1

      This. I expect to require 3 million to retire comfortably, and be able to live off the interest without drawing down the capital leaving the 3 million to the kids when I go. At this stage I'm skeptical I will make that 'stretch goal'.

      I think I require 1 million at minimum to retire comfortably, and be able to live off the interest, drawing down the capital as I go, and have enough to make it to my death.

      Both scenarios bar major health expenses like paying for live-in-care out-of-pocket.

      I have not factored any likely inheritances from my own relatives either, as I do not expect to receive substantial money. (And frankly find it rather disheartening watching some of my peers live extravagant idiotic lives on the assumption -- in some cases, the correct assumption, that when their folks kick the can they'll be covered. -- but that's a separate issue)

      And I'm maybe half way to retirement. Anyone just entering the work force now will need even more than that due to inflation.

  11. 401k by ThatsDrDangerToYou · · Score: 1
    Well, if you work at a fairly professional wage, put away a decent chunk in a 401k, perhaps get some company match, the millionaire mark isn't out of reach for most professionals.

    Then again, I too have been guilty of riding the startup dream.

    1. Re:401k by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Why does everyone want a 401(k)? I had a 401(k) for a while. I stopped making that mistake, and I'm far better off.

    2. Re:401k by Stormy+Dragon · · Score: 2

      If you don't understand why people want the ability to save large amounts of money without paying taxes on the principle, interest, or dividends until they withdraw it, I'm not sure you're as well off as you think you are.

    3. Re:401k by ThatsDrDangerToYou · · Score: 1
      Yes, please explain why a 401k is a mistake.

      In short, you should have both a Roth and a 401k if you are in the US. The conventional wisdom is that you should save about 10% of your income for retirement. If you rely on your tech IPO to make you rich, well, good luck with that.

    4. Re:401k by ThatsDrDangerToYou · · Score: 1

      Actually, there is generally one mistake here: company 401k's tend to not have great investment selections and fairly high fees. Be sure to roll all your savings into low cost index funds.

    5. Re:401k by Quirkz · · Score: 1

      Would you like to elaborate on why you don't like them? Or what you using as an investment vehicle instead?

    6. Re:401k by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      I'm investing in debt.

      I have a mortgage, no longer have a car loan, I have some credit card debt that I've leveraged for home improvement because of $500/mo utility bills due to really bad insulation (7/8 of that is due to poor insulation in one room which needs new windows and work in the wall, ceiling, and floor). Rather than have all that mandatory spending and interest, I'm funneling my money into paying off my debt.

      I paid off the car loan. $400/mo free to add to my mortgage, which will be paid off after a total of 3 years. Once the mortgage is paid off, I'll put the great mass into savings with my other savings, because I'll have under $500/mo of expenses.

      The problem with 401(K) investment vehicles is the stock market is a big game to take money from idiots and give it to rich people with culturing and lots of study into how to rape the stock market for all it's worth. It's just a money transfer vehicle, like a game of poker, which as well is less about the cards and more about experienced players shaking up new fish and taking all their chips.

    7. Re:401k by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because eventually you will be forced to buy worthless 30+ year treasuries with your 401K balance, effectively confiscating it.

    8. Re:401k by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      I have debt. So I'm paying off my debt. You know, the mortgages and credit cards and car loans people have that they pay all these fees (like interest) on, but claim they're "saving money".

      After that, a savings account will do better than a 401(k). I don't play funds because it's too much work to keep my money from shrinking--I've done it to the tune of 1% per day, and I was a fucking nervous wreck but I'd turned $800 into $3000 and I had 5 pages of taxes to file for 230 trades. Yeah, no, you know what? Honest living. It went from running an illegal gambling ring and tax fraud behind a front business (a "Computer Entertainment" business as a front to install gambling machines explicitly marked as not-gambling machines in various businesses) to stock market trading to pure, clean, honest living, and let me tell you, there is nothing quite like it. I'm even way past the statute of limitations after the illegal front business thing, although I can't get a security clearance due to running a miniature organized crime syndicate for a while.

      This is also why I elect Traditional IRA (pre-tax) rather than Roth (Post-tax): I deduct taxes and pay that much less in taxes (for now), and when I cash out I'll pay taxes on it. Thing is I'm not investing, so I don't get to do massive capital gains and then dodge the income tax "because it was already taxed". Since I'll need much less in retirement than I need now, I'll be in the 0%-15% tax bracket, rather than the 33% bracket I'm slicing the money off--I'm getting an immediate, complete 18%-33% gain without putting any work in.

      Where do you think JP Morgan and insurance companies get their money? Investments. They transfer money from idiot traders who don't know how to keep their hands on their cash into the hands of smart traders who work for their investment branch. Unless you are an elite trader, you should not be investing. The only time I invest is when I play with updown, and that's usually to reset my portfolio to a million dollars and see if I can have 2 million in a month (usually I come out with 1.2M to 1.5M) since I'm not willing to get sucked into the long-term trading trap again.

    9. Re:401k by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      401(k) is a place to play the market, which is a lot like playing poker: it's not the cards and the luck that make you win or lose, but rather the other players shaking your inexperienced ass down so you make bad decisions and lose all your cash.

      I'm already financially ahead, I no longer have any 401(k) investments, and I've not yet had a job reaching $70k salary. I've got a mortgage--it's going to be paid off 3 years after its inception--and my mandatory expenses are less than 1/3 of my salary. I killed off a car loan and now have additional money to put toward my debt. I saw those $500/mo utility bills and leveraged credit card debt to do some insulation work; when I pay the cards off, I'll take my $350/mo savings on heating and AC (pays for the insulation in a year!) and get some medium-low to medium range windows (mine actually got wet on the inside last night, condensation).

      So you see, by the time I'm 30, I'll have a house paid off, I'll have $500/mo of expenses, no credit card debt, and just piles and piles of thousands of dollars being shoveled into savings. I spend a lot in discretionary spending, for example I'm expanding my knowledge base out of IT and into project management--that will open my career path, but I'm not banking on big salary jumps. When I get them (I'm not stupid--if I jump to a PM career, I'll get at least $80k), I'll look at my finances again and decide what to do. Notably I won't be able to get a tax deduction for IRA contributions AT ALL after that; I do get a tax deduction for HSA contributions, which I maximize because I USE THAT TO PAY FOR HEALTHCARE. That's not even a savings thing; that's a projected expense, which I just got a 30% discount from.

      So others my age have $50k or so in their 401(k) by now. So what? I can stick that much in savings in under 2 years. Your move.

    10. Re:401k by tokencode · · Score: 1

      Ummm.... 401k is pre-tax and if you have an employer match, you are essentially getting a raise. Your frugal lifestyle could still exist if you had a 401k. If you are saving money, and qualify, you should be putting the money into a ROTH IRA if you're just saving it post-tax anyway. You can withdraw up to the amount you contributed at any time with no penalty and you pay no tax on the interest and the money is tax free when it is taken out. Hoarding cash in a bank account or under your bed really causes you to lose money or time due to inflation.

    11. Re:401k by JMZero · · Score: 1

      401(k) is a place to play the market, which is a lot like playing poker: it's not the cards and the luck that make you win or lose, but rather the other players shaking your inexperienced ass down so you make bad decisions and lose all your cash.

      It's not really much like poker, because it's not a zero sum game. Stock value has gone up fairly steadily over a century. Sure you can find ways to lose money if you're trading actively and poorly, but passive stock investment has outperformed other investment options consistently for a long time.

      To be clear, I'm kind of "you in the future". I paid off my first house when I was 28 or so; I also started investing in stocks. The money in stocks did a lot better than the money that paid down my mortgage (you can measure this easily; interest is interest - and when mortgage interest rates are as low as they are, they're not hard to beat). It's riskier too, but when you're young is the right time to be taking that kind of risk (assuming you have your basic obligations covered); over time, stocks will win out, so they're the right choice for long term investment even if they may entail short term setbacks.

      I mean, say 5 years ago today you had put $50,000 into a vanilla ETF (we'll say QQQ). You'd currently have $128,860. I didn't cherry pick that or something, I just picked a round number time frame and an extremely common ETF. In the same time as you gained $78,000 on stocks, you could have, instead, saved $10,000 of interest on a 4% mortgage.

      That's not to say that there isn't other things worth doing. Maybe you want more education or windows or who knows what. Lots of things can make sense. But eventually, you'll almost certainly want money in the stock market if you're ever going to retire.

      --
      Let's not stir that bag of worms...
    12. Re:401k by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Others your age can probably do more than just a 401k too. You're presenting a false dichotomy and a ton of shady numbers.
       
      Oh, and there are tons of 401k options that don't involve "playing the market." You're not as smart as you think.

    13. Re:401k by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you're horribly misinformed.

    14. Re:401k by babyrat · · Score: 1

      What do you mean you won't get a tax deduction for IRA contributions at all? The amount of tax deferred income you can contribute to an IRA is not dependent on your salary, although it is much lower than that which you could contribute to your 401(K).

      Sorry the 401(k) at your place of employment doesn't have choices that suit you - mine has many index funds that are basically no-cost and over the 15 years or so I've been part of them, have generated returns of nearly 10% (yes, that includes the recent downturn)

      It's great that you are saving a lot of money, and paying down your debt...if you made smarter choices, like using a home equity line of credit instead of credit card financing to do your insulation work you'd save even more.

    15. Re:401k by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't really know what you are talking about. You should do some more research. You seem to think debt is more important to pay off no matter what, and that is simply not true. Specifics matter, but in general, a savings account will not perform better than a 401k. I have pulled a lot of cash out of the market, as a hedge for an imminent crash (and I'm nearing retirement), but for long term, the market is MUCH better than a savings account. You also seem to conflate day trading with long term investment. They are not nearly the same, and have very different risk profiles. Seriously, this is meant to help, not criticize. You need to do more research.

    16. Re:401k by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      I know about inflation. You seem to not know about interest. I'm getting, currently, around a 70% return on my money--this will scale back as I pay down my loan balances, of course. But essentially, I pay $220 in principal and $150 in interest per month; every extra $220 I pay on my loan balance (roughly--that number gets bigger each payment or pre-payment) saves me $150 (roughly--that number gets smaller) in total.

      My employer will match 50% up to 2% of my paycheck. So I get a 50% return, which is smaller. I put my money into HSA, which gives me a 33% return (which is still smaller) due to skipping taxes; but I spend the HSA on toothpaste, bandages, and dental work, expenses I'd have anyway, and I have 33% more money free to put into knocking down my loans. I can go for Traditional IRA, which will give me an even smaller return: it appears to be 33% (pre-tax), but when I withdraw I will pay taxes. Also I can get a 1% raise out of my employer? Fantastic.

      If you are saving money, and qualify, you should be putting the money into a ROTH IRA if you're just saving it post-tax anyway. You can withdraw up to the amount you contributed at any time with no penalty and you pay no tax on the interest and the money is tax free when it is taken out.

      If you have a ROTH IRA and you place post-tax money into it, you pay full tax. Say you pay 30% tax overall, you take $5000 and pay $1500 in taxes, store $3500. You can pull that $3500 when you retire, with no tax penalty.

      If you have a traditional IRA and qualify for the tax rebate (I almost don't),it's different. Instead of paying 30% tax, you stick $5000 in. When you withdraw, it's income. If you withdraw, say, $15,000 per year, you only pay 15% tax. So from that $5000, you pay $750 and keep $4250, which is $750 more than the $3500.

      But wait, there's more! Taxes are bracketed. Income below some $8925 is 10% taxed. Up to $36250, it's 15% taxed. So for your $15k, you'd actually pay $892.50 plus 15% of $6075 ($911.25), meaning you pay roughly 12.025% taxes if you withdraw $15k/year in retirement.

      It floats around, but the point is that you can expect roughly 15% total immediate growth from your pre-tax contributions. Post-tax contributions are for people who expect to spend more in retirement than their income while working, or who expect to play the market hard and win. Neither applies to most people.

      And honestly, what would you do if you spent all this money and found that, in the end, you're 30 years old with $500/mo expenses and $3200/mo post-tax income, with a full $3500/year going into HSA on top of that? Time to have kids? I mean you can certainly afford it (not to mention getting married would give you a huge tax payout with that $11500 standard deduction and 15% tax rate). Honestly I could have done this 5 years sooner, I'm just slow and it took me a while to figure out how to handle finances.

    17. Re:401k by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      It's not really much like poker, because it's not a zero sum game. Stock value has gone up fairly steadily over a century.

      Oh my god are you KIDDING ME?! This again?!

      Let's say you have 100 stock WORTH A DOLLAR. $100 = 100 x EAX. You go on the market and sell 100 stock, get $100 from the only other person in the market.

      Now the market has $100 and 100 stock. Jake has $100, and Tim has 100 x EAX he bought.

      Valuation of EAX goes to $2. Jake spends $50 and buys 25 x EAX. Jake now has $50 + 25 EAX, Tim has $50 + 75 EAX.

      Tim tries to sell Jake more EAX. Jake has $50, Tim has 75 EAX. Tim sells Jake 50 EAX for $45, taking a loss. Tim: $95 + 25 EAX, Jake $5 + 75 EAX.

      Now Tim tries to sell Jake 25 EAX.

      Jake has $5.

      How many EAX can you sell when there are $5 in the market?

      The answer is simple: Jake's $5 start to become much more valuable than EAX, because dollars are scarce. Eventually the price comes down to 20 cents per EAX, Jake gives Tim $5, Jake has 100 EAX and Tim has $100.

      We can change this dynamic by bringing more dollars into the game: Jake or Tim pony up more money in the bidding war, or Alex shows up wanting in on the action and brings us money. But here's my point: If you have $100 and 100 x EAX @ $10/share, you aren't going to sell 100 EAX and get $1000. The price of EAX is going to come down as there's less money in the market, thus less trading, thus the market crashes.

      Yes, it's a zero sum game. Exactly as much CASH DOLLAR CURRENCY as you put in comes out. Exactly as much of each individual security as you put in come out. There's a lot more money on paper than there is actual, accessible money; and for you to get your money on paper, somebody has to give you their actual, real, physical dollars.

      But eventually, you'll almost certainly want money in the stock market if you're ever going to retire.

      Except when the big correction comes and you lose 90% of it, and 10 years later still have not recovered. I know quite a few people who have taken to working in old age because their 401(k) funds became worthless. That's a black swan event, but it happens. The market was simply overbought.

      If I had $500,000 right now, in cash, I could simply retire. I'd make it until age 85, although I have luxury models that make me a pauper at 72 and frugal models that take me to 90-ish.

    18. Re:401k by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      The amount of tax deferred income you can contribute to an IRA is not dependent on your salary,

      See IRS.

      if you made smarter choices, like using a home equity line of credit instead of credit card financing to do your insulation work you'd save even more.

      My credit card costs me $80.

      I'm serious. I don't pay interest. And no, I'm not on any introductory rate. I simply don't pay interest; I have two credit cards, and I constantly get promos to pay 1%-4% for a balance transfer, so I run one card up like hell when I need a few grand and then pay it off with a balance transfer. $3000? $120. If I have some cash on hand, I just pay down the first card partly before doing the balance transfer. Then it's like... oh you transferred $2500 in March 2014? You have until November 2015 to pay it off. Yeah uh, it's going to be paid off in 2014 (but I stack cash in a separate bank account and pay it off all at once when it won't totally drain my liquid funds, in case I suddenly need CASH).

      Trust me, there's nothing obvious that's going to save me money. I'm not aggressively leveraging debt; I'm just aggressively looking for ways to minimize the impact of debt when leveraging cash is either not possible or actively bad (i.e. would I rather have $0 or would I rather pay $80 to have $3000 still on hand, but be $3000 in debt for the moment? Uhh... I'll take a little debt).

    19. Re:401k by JMZero · · Score: 1

      Except when the big correction comes and you lose 90% of it, and 10 years later still have not recovered. I know quite a few people who have taken to working in old age because their 401(k) funds became worthless. That's a black swan event, but it happens. The market was simply overbought.

      Over the last 60 years, stocks have returned an 8% compound return - through all the dips and bumps and whatever. There is no subperiod you could be talking about (longer than 10 years) where stocks wouldn't have done well. So either your anecdote people weren't in for long enough (and only saw a dip) or were actively/narrowly trading and swerving to avoid profit.

      There's a lot more money on paper than there is actual, accessible money; and for you to get your money on paper, somebody has to give you their actual, real, physical dollars.

      We could say this about any non-cash asset. We could say this about your bank account - the bank doesn't have nearly enough money to pay out everyone's accounts if everyone wanted their money out. Liquidity is not an all or none thing. Stocks, over a long time, have proven to be very liquid. And the core of their valuation - the ability of a company to create value - is more stable than most other asset classes.

      We can change this dynamic by bringing more dollars into the game: Jake or Tim pony up more money in the bidding war

      There's plenty of other ways money effectively enters the market. Companies pay dividends to investors. They buy back shares. Public companies are bought or liquidated. The reason stocks are worth money is because companies create value; they did that, and were worth money, before there were stock markets. Owning part of a company isn't just trading baseball cards for companies you like, it's owning a productive asset - and that's why companies are largely evaluated by their price/earnings.

      Nobody who has any understanding of economics thinks it's a zero sum game.

      If I had $500,000 right now, in cash, I could simply retire.

      In your ridiculous fantasy, how much interest are you getting back over inflation? How much are you spending a year? There's no way it adds up to anything like "luxury".

      Oh my god are you KIDDING ME?! This again?!

      So yeah... actually, don't answer those questions, because you've obviously already tuned out. I know you're proud of your sad, average financial achievements, but you don't understand any of this (really, honestly, this is very clear) and don't seem keen on learning. I mean, from your comment there, clearly people have tried to explain this to you before. And you can see, in thousands of ways all around you, that reality disagrees with your views on this.

      But you've decided that you've got this all sorted out better than people who have more experience, money, and understanding. One day perhaps you'll figure some stuff out, but I don't think it'll be through someone's rational explanation - so I give up.

      --
      Let's not stir that bag of worms...
    20. Re:401k by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Liquidity is not an all or none thing. Stocks, over a long time, have proven to be very liquid. And the core of their valuation - the ability of a company to create value - is more stable than most other asset classes.

      That's not money coming from somewhere; it's the ability to access money. The correct term for this is "solvency", and if you yank out the full actual dollars on hand then the bank (or stock market) becomes "insolvent". It's when you have less money being demanded than is actually there, even if there's much more money on paper than in reality.

      There's plenty of other ways money effectively enters the market. Companies pay dividends to investors. They buy back shares. Public companies are bought or liquidated. The reason stocks are worth money is because companies create value; they did that, and were worth money, before there were stock markets. Owning part of a company isn't just trading baseball cards for companies you like, it's owning a productive asset - and that's why companies are largely evaluated by their price/earnings.

      Nobody who has any understanding of economics thinks it's a zero sum game.

      Except dividends are money from outside being put into the market, increasing the money in the market. Buybacks are money being put into the market from outside the market, to remove stocks from existence. In any of these cases, there is money flowing into the market.

      Money flows from an outside source into the market. When an investor puts capital into the market to buy stocks, money comes into the market. When an investor sells those stocks, he has money that he can re-invest. If he decides to not re-invest some of the money, then that money leaves the securities market. If he decides to bring in more capital, he injects more money into the securities market.

      The securities market has exactly as much money as has been injected into it minus exactly as much money as has been removed from it; you cannot put $100 in to buy 100 shares of a stock, hit $2/share, sell that for $200, and actually get $200 unless another $100 is brought to the table from outside the stock market.

      This is called a zero-sum game. Every stock that's brought in is put there from the outside. Every dollar that's brought in is put there from the outside. The amount of money in the market minus the amount of money that has come from outside the market is zero, and when we all go home we have exactly the same number of dollars that we started with--just divided up differently. That somebody can bring more monopoly money in at any point in the game doesn't change this: money comes from outside, not from within. The market doesn't create money and it doesn't destroy money; it transfers it.

    21. Re:401k by JMZero · · Score: 1

      OK, just on the off chance, I'll try explaining stocks to you like I would a child. Maybe nobody has ever done this, and you actually will pay attention. I really doubt it.. but whatever. Worth the shot, I figure.

      I own shares of Rogers Sugar (symbol RSI.TO). They make sugar. Rogers Sugar hasn't changed a lot over time - they have a sugar processing plant near my old home town, and they sell sugar. In bags. To people. They make a small but reliable profit in this operation - last year, they made about $30 million.

      I own 700 of their 93 million shares (currently this is worth $3,300 Canadian - I like to own a little of a lot of stocks). Since Rogers isn't really growing or changing, they tend to just pay out their earnings to share holders. So this year, assuming their profit stays about the same, I'll get a dividend of 700 * 30 million / 93 million = $225. That's just a little under a 7% return on my investment. Not exciting, but also quite low risk. And in good years, if the company is run well and the farms around my home town produce well, the return will be better. I could, if I wanted, try to influence these decisions (because I own a small part of the company, the factory, and trucks, and whatever), but I'm happy with their current direction (and unlikely to weild much influence with my 700 shares anyway).

      I could have done all this before there was a stock market or tickers or a public stock price. All those things just make it easier to buy and sell portions of companies. In any market, you can speculate, and attempt to make money off buying low and selling high (which is the zero sum game). But that isn't how long term investors make money off stocks; rather they make money just like I do off Rogers Sugar - they own parts of companies that are profitable.

      Now many companies don't just pay out dividends like Rogers does. Some distribute in other ways, like buybacks. And many companies are growing (or trying to) and instead of paying out profits directly, they invest in themselves by buying assets. It's hard to see at first, but this isn't that different. Those assets that the company accumulates belong to the shareholders just as much as cash in their pocket would. If Rogers decides to buy a new truck instead of paying me money, I own 700/93 millions of that truck - and I'm happy to own that little piece of truck, because it'll be out there making me money.

      That's what it means to buy stocks.

      --
      Let's not stir that bag of worms...
    22. Re:401k by JMZero · · Score: 1

      Except dividends are money from outside being put into the market, increasing the money in the market.

      Yes.. The money is coming from people paying money to the company to do its productive activities. They're buying iPads and cars and stuff, and you're getting some of that money because you own part of Apple or Honda or whatever.

      This is called a zero-sum game. Every stock that's brought in is put there from the outside. Every dollar that's brought in is put there from the outside.

      So running a store is also a zero sum game. Because for some reason we're also including money "from the outside" in the sum.

      Oh wait, that's really stupid.

      When people play poker as a zero sum game, the only money coming in is from the people that are playing. You add up the wins and losses of the players, and it's zero. If you play in Vegas and the house rakes every pot, you're playing a less-than-zero-sum game. If you're playing for a prize on TV, then you're playing a more-than-zero-sum game.

      Similarly, when you trade stocks, you're playing a more-than-zero-sum game, because there's an inflow of profit money that's not coming from the "players".

      --
      Let's not stir that bag of worms...
    23. Re:401k by JMZero · · Score: 1

      That's not money coming from somewhere; it's the ability to access money. The correct term for this is "solvency", and if you yank out the full actual dollars on hand then the bank (or stock market) becomes "insolvent". It's when you have less money being demanded than is actually there, even if there's much more money on paper than in reality

      Liquidity is, in general, the ability to turn an asset into cash. If you can't take your asset (the bank account) and turn it into cash, it's not liquid. It doesn't matter why. Maybe the bank is insolvent, maybe the only open once a year, maybe they only let people withdraw 1% of their money a day; I'm talking about the property of liquidity, not why or how the item is liquid or not. Your original point was about how stocks require a buyer to be liquid. My point was that lots of assets have limits on liquidity, and that liquidity isn't usually a problem with stock investment.

      So you aren't just being pedantic here, you're really missing the point.

      --
      Let's not stir that bag of worms...
    24. Re:401k by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      That's just a little under a 7% return on my investment. Not exciting, but also quite low risk.

      You own $3300 of stock and get $225 per year dividend, so in about 14 years 9 months you'll break even in the event of a sudden bankruptcy, assuming their dividend doesn't decrease for any reason (i.e. more dividends to preferred, more stock issued from executive stock options exercise or otherwise, competitors, a change in government policy in the US to not buy 500,000 tons of sugar every year as a way to keep the prices artificially high...). We haven't even considered income tax on dividends, but some investment plans in the US have no taxes.

      Your risks are that the stock could go up, and you'd make more money; that the stock could go down, and you'd lose money (your break-even point approaches, but cannot exceed, 15 years); that you could save more than $225 per year by paying off debt instead of holding a stock; that profitability drops for any reason; that company policy leans toward more bonuses or more stock options; etc.

      The dividends come from profitability; the stock price is a spot price on the exchange, which is based on public sentiment. You could hold a worthless company taking heavy losses and the stock price is soaring. I did that for a while, made a lot from securities like IVAN and schizophrenic symbols like GMCR. But don't tell me you've found a magical risk-free investment.

      I got the advice years back that dividend stocks are more stable from The Motley Fool. It has been proven true. But that doesn't mean they're no-risk investments; they're lower-risk investments with more steady return. If Domino Sugar starts flooding the Canadian market with cheap sugar, your little nest egg will suddenly shrink, and you might take a loss or just break even.

    25. Re:401k by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      So running a store is also a zero sum game. Because for some reason we're also including money "from the outside" in the sum.

      Running a store is different. When you run a store, you are buying product and selling it for a profit margin. Tangible goods and services. You staff people for a certain wage and provide services for a higher hourly surcharge.

      The stock market is like running a store where you sell iPads, but nobody opens and uses the iPads. Instead, you sell iPads to other stores, and then use that money to buy iPads back when you think they're undervalued and can be sold again later next week for more money. Someone in this might get their hands on more money by other operations (i.e. actually selling iPads to customers) and buy more iPads from the supplier (new stock) or from other stores.

      Trade provides a comparative advantage, where one party can provide one economic service cheaper than another party, and vice versa. For example: consumers can't build iPads cheaply, and manufacturers can't open direct retail outlets cheaply. Thus manufacturers use ecommerce and shipping, as well as third-party retailers. Because of the comparative advantage each participant has over others, the total wealth of this system is greater than the wealth of only individuals accomplishing the same: less labor and capital and energy and other resources are expended to get the same result.

      The common argument for the stock market NOT being a zero-sum game is that share prices can be bid up without introducing new money. Unfortunately, this ignores the fact that you allegedly have $5000 of stuff to sell, but everyone together has only $500, and thus if you actually tired to sell all of that stuff you would eventually end up selling it all off for $500, in the process some of it likely becoming worthless.

      This argument, thus, ignores the whole of the market. It's the same argument as "I am rich because I buy lots and lots of shit I can't afford on my credit card": you're making the payments, but you're perpetually in debt you can't pay off and thus you are poor. That you just got another car loan for a $60,000 Jaguar is immaterial, since you still only have $1000/mo and you have a 40 year mortgage letting you pay $150/mo on that jag by some fantastic manipulation of the banks.

    26. Re:401k by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Liquidity is the ability to turn an asset into something else, I guess. It has to do with spending. If you can spend it, it's liquid. Savings accounts are less liquid than checking accounts because you can only make 3 withdrawals per month from savings (Federal regulations). Concrete is not very liquid because you can't trade directly in concrete; you have to liquidate it to cash first.

      I got something jumbled up above though, yeah. Solvency is access to funds equivalent or greater than funds required. Ugh.

      Point still stands: The stock market has as much money available as it has coming in and out. It does not, however, have the capability to liquidate its assets. It is insolvent: those $72 billion worth of AAPL are not worth $72 billion, because if you liquidated the whole fucking market cap you would find FAR more than $72 billion, but enough of it would be spent buying off other stocks that there wouldn't be $72 billion left for AAPL and the price would come down.

      Or something. Look, the mechanism is too complex in the real world to explain in any sensible terms.

      It's like the young universe: There's more matter (stock value) than antimatter (cash value), and if we ever tried to annihilate it all we'd wind up running out of antimatter and have just piles of matter sitting around that can't find any antimatter to react with. The stock market is valued at more than the actual cash value of the stock market in practice; there is not more money in the market simply because we turned up some of the numbers.

    27. Re:401k by JMZero · · Score: 1

      Wow that was a bizarre rambling comment.

      If Domino Sugar starts flooding the Canadian market with cheap sugar, your little nest egg will suddenly shrink, and you might take a loss or just break even.

      I didn't say it was no risk, I said it was low risk. And you agree, I think, in a lot of words. Certainly there's good reason to not have all your eggs in one basket. You buy a little of a lot of things, maybe some with more risks than others. There's no guarantee you won't still crap out somehow, but historically this strategy has done very well, consistently, and it's backed on a very real thing: companies are profitable.

      The dividends come from profitability; the stock price is a spot price on the exchange, which is based on public sentiment. You could hold a worthless company taking heavy losses and the stock price is soaring

      Well, yeah, there's higher risk options too. Sometimes you might make money by hoping there's a greater fool later on. I'm not claiming the opposite of any of this. You can certainly make money trading stocks day-to-day, though this is largely a zero-sum game where you rely on outthinking the people you're playing against.

      However, and this is my point (I have no idea what your point in all this is) you can also make money investing in profitable companies with reasonable valuations, and this is "new money" to the game - you're getting your share of their profit.

      --
      Let's not stir that bag of worms...
    28. Re:401k by JMZero · · Score: 1

      Running a store is different. When you run a store, you are buying product and selling it for a profit margin. Tangible goods and services. You staff people for a certain wage and provide services for a higher hourly surcharge.

      Well.. you've clarified your misunderstanding at least.

      Say I buy shares in Walmart. Say I buy all of them. I'm now, effectively, a store owner. I could (if the company weren't over statutory maximum size) just re-privatize the business and very little would change. Their costs on staff and stock are my costs. When someone buys a shoe, that's my money. I could shut the whole thing down, or do whatever I wanted. There's not a difference between owning a store and owning stock in a store because they're exactly the same bloody thing. Shares ARE ownership in the business. I wouldn't ever have to sell the company to make money - I'm making money by owning the company and thus receiving their profits.

      I can't imagine how this could be any clearer. If I buy a part of Walmart, I'm buying a part of their profit for the period I own that stock. Sometimes I'll obtain this money directly through dividends, other times I'll receive this value through the increase of the real value of the company which I own. Again, we're not just trading baseball cards. Shares have value independent of what they're worth to other investors (that's just what gives them liquidity).

      The stock market is like running a store where you sell iPads, but nobody opens and uses the iPads.

      You really just don't get this do you? There's two things going on: people are buying and selling ownership of companies.. but people are also buying companies and holding them over time so that they gain the amount of profit the business is making during that period. This is absolutely crystal clear in the case of low growth, dividend bearing stocks, but not that hard to comprehend for other stocks either.

      Again... I just don't see how this could be clearer.

      --
      Let's not stir that bag of worms...
    29. Re:401k by JMZero · · Score: 1

      If your argument is "many stocks are overvalued", that's absolutely true. I think Apple is overvalued. So I don't buy it. They make a lot of money right now, but their valuation assumes they're going to make that kind of money long term. I think that's unlikely. Other people disagree. Or they think they can make money anyway, by pawning the stock off on some greater fool. That's not how I like to invest, but you can make money that way.

      It does not, however, have the capability to liquidate its assets.

      Liquidity is usually a function with parameters are "item type" and "amount", where liquidity tends to decrease as the amount rises. Selling a thousand dollars of Apple shares is unlikely to affect the price. Selling a billion dollars of Apple shares would definitely lower the unit price received. However, in terms of the amounts "normal" investors are dealing with, equities are generally seen as having good liquidity compared to other assets. But if you are investing a lot of money in a small stock, such that your trades are a good percentage of the overall volume, managing liquidity is certainly something you want to consider.

      Definitely equities aren't perfectly liquid, but reasonable, non-"penny" stocks (especially on exchanges with professional market makers) are normally liquid enough that an individual investor doesn't have to worry too much about it. Again, it's normally seen as a positive property of stocks as compared to other investment types.

      --
      Let's not stir that bag of worms...
    30. Re:401k by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      This is something I'd actually like to see. What happens if you buy up 50.1% of the common stock of a company, and it then goes bankrupt?

      The moment the company files bankruptcy, common stock is cancelled. So the company you own is ejected from your ownership with no pay-out. Think about that.

      It's suddenly an interesting question. Though, now you're just arguing semantics and fantasies; the reality is your "ownership" of a portion of a company means precisely dick, you have no rights to any of their money unless they say so (it's called "embezzlement"...), etc. Money being spent is not "your money"; you own stock, you don't have more than the valuation of stock, and the company doesn't owe you anything for that.

    31. Re:401k by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Yes but that's my point. The entire stock market is overvalued. People believe that this overvaluation means that money is created in the stock market--that the stocks are worth something, and that if you buy a stock and it goes up in price and you sell it then the stock market just created the $200 you made. In reality, you got that $200 by making other people $200 poorer.

      The only time money actually moves into the market is when people put money there, through dividends or buying into the market or whatever. The amount of money in the market is untrackable, as it's basically however much people are willing to spend--it's theoretically the total BUY orders on the books everywhere, but there's more money in the market waiting for something to reach a price where it makes sense to place a BUY order. Ye cannae measure it all.

      Point is that the whole market is worth less than the valuation of the market. It's overvalued. Of course stock prices are overvalued or undervalued relative to where you think they're going on a timescale; but I'm talking about the immediate timescale--there is not actually more money in the market, just the prices in the market increase. People buy some fraction of the total market cap, and the spot price goes up; what about the rest of the market cap that wasn't traded? The difference between volume and total shares, you know, all those shares for which there is no demand at this price point? People value the market by multiplying the stock spot price by all issued shares--and that's obviously wrong. You can only get out exactly what was put in.

    32. Re:401k by JMZero · · Score: 1

      and the company doesn't owe you anything for that

      Well, actually it does. Public companies have obligations to serve the interests of shareholders. If they purposefully betray shareholder interests, shareholders can sue, and this happens reasonably often.

      In practice for more day-to-day decisions, shareholders control companies via the board of directors (who shareholders can vote for) - who in turn can select executives. Again, in practice, the shareholders who actually exercise these voting rights are typically large, institutional investors. However, their interests - mainly increasing company profits - are generally aligned with those of smaller investors, so the fact that smaller investors don't normally get involved isn't terribly material.

      The third level of control is "voting through investment". If you don't like the decisions of a board or an executive team, you value it lower (either by selling it or not buying it) - and those cumulative investor decisions are felt through changes in share price (which in turn controls who executives are and what they're paid).

      Sometimes the connection gets tenuous, and sometimes companies make bad decisions. It's a risk. Some companies are effectively privately held despite being public (eg. Facebook is essentially only subject to Zuckerberg). Again, this is a risk that you consider when investing in these companies.

      But shareholders are truly owners, and there are real, effective mechanisms by which they can exert control.

      --
      Let's not stir that bag of worms...
    33. Re:401k by JMZero · · Score: 1

      People value the market by multiplying the stock spot price by all issued shares--and that's obviously wrong.

      Well, it's actually obviously right. Everyone who owns that stock has the option of converting one unit into that amount of money. Why wouldn't they? Because they value that stock at >= the stock price. Otherwise they'd sell for that amount. I mean, sure, some investors are probably asleep at the wheel (and that can be fine as an individual) and have let the value drift above what they would value the stock at, but generally there's going to be enough active traders that the stock price matches what people think the stock is worth. If it was too low, more people would buy. And if it was too high, more people would sell. That's how markets work.

      And why do people value things as they do? Clearly it's not coincidence that, say, Rogers Sugar stocks are valued what they are. Investors - in aggregate - figure that, for the amount of risk and potential Rogers Sugar represents, they expect about a 7% return on investment. So their stock ends up being priced such that that's the return you get - the price effectively seeks that value. Again, if people were willing to get less than 7% return from this company, they'd buy more and push the stock price up such that the return was lower. If investors, in aggregate, demanded more return, they'd sell the stock, the price would go down, and the return on investment would go up.

      You can only get out exactly what was put in.

      Companies grow and become more valuable because they earn more profit. As a shareholder you own a percentage of a company. As that company grows, the value of your investment increases.

      So of course you can get out more than you put in.

      --
      Let's not stir that bag of worms...
    34. Re:401k by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      It's cute you think share price controls executive salary, instead of, you know, contracts. I mean come on, we have companies rewriting contracts to get rid of CEOs by paying them a pile of money. There's a contract for X salary, Y bonuses, Z stock options, plus a golden parachute in case of termination.

    35. Re:401k by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      So of course you can get out more than you put in.

      No, you cannot get out more than WHAT EVERY FUCKING PERSON PUT IN.

      You put in $10. Sam puts in $10. You get out $20, Sam gets $0. Market becomes illiquid because there are $0, all stocks become worthless.

    36. Re:401k by JMZero · · Score: 1

      We've already been over the other ways money enters the system. I can't explain it clearer than I already have.

      --
      Let's not stir that bag of worms...
    37. Re:401k by JMZero · · Score: 1

      It's cute you think share price controls executive salary, instead of, you know, contracts

      God you're confident in your ignorance. But you're not right. Executive compensation (I didn't say "salary", I said "what they get paid") normally varies with performance, and often it's quite public how this works. Look at Intel's arrangement, as an example:

      http://www.intc.com/intelProxy...

      The other obvious way executives' compensation varies with performance is, as you mention, stock options. Stock options are obviously worth more as share prices go up (and are often, indeed, worth nothing at all unless share prices go up).

      You probably think executives are paid too much or something. So do I. But if you can't see something as banal, obvious, and easily verifiable as "share prices control what executives get paid", I just don't know what to say. This isn't like some kind of gray area or something that's hard to grasp, and I can't imagine under what grounds a rational person would dispute that it's true. It's just reality; many, if not most executives will make a lot more money if share prices go up.

      I see two possibilities here. You realize I'm right, and maybe that will open some crack of light into your mind that maybe you don't understand things as well as you think you do, that maybe you're not working very hard on comprehension, and you just don't bother to reply. Or, you double down on stupidity and anger and pathetic attempts at condescension and write a really, fantastically stupid response.

      I'm betting on the latter. Either way, I'm done. Bye.

      --
      Let's not stir that bag of worms...
    38. Re:401k by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Yeah, by companies getting money from people (sales and services) and paying it out into the system as dividends.

      Stocks do not increase in total value. 100 x AAPL going from $10 to $100 does not give you $10,000; someone has to come along with $10,000 to buy it, or else there's only $1,000. The stock market is "worth" more money than the entire economy ffs, there isn't that much money in the world.

    39. Re:401k by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Executives are paid what is required to attract them. If you divide executive salaries and total compensation (including stock options) out by the employees, you get anywhere from fractions of a penny to lunch money per year for all the employees. People were calling for Ford's executives to take less salary so they could pay Ford employees more; Ford had over 300,000 employees and the executives made $6M-$9M total compensation, which came out to a few dollars per pay check. I mean like 5 or 10 bucks a week here.

      Intel's output is fairly complex, which is interesting. Funny enough, they're talking about the company's financial performance, which isn't about share price. You see, Intel could have huge losses, and release press releases about bogus research that's going nowhere that they claim will be hot and cool and majorly profitable and take over the world, and their share price soars. But if you look at the graph, it does say, you know, "average cash incentive payments have varied based on Intel’s net income results". Guess what? Net income doesn't control share price.

    40. Re:401k by JMZero · · Score: 1

      Phew. I thought for a second you weren't going to post a really stupid reply, and I would have hated being wrong about that.

      And I don't even have to tell you why this reply is dumb. I mean, just read it yourself again in the context of the conversation. If you can't see that it's hair splitting contrarian wankery, me spelling it out long hand isn't going to help. No thanks; I'm joining the probably very long line of people who can't be bothered to talk to you.

      --
      Let's not stir that bag of worms...
    41. Re:401k by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Hair splitting?! Are you serious?! You're saying that separating stock performance from financial performance is hair-splitting?!

      What next? Are you going to claim that separating a car engine's horse power output from the car's body material is also hair-splitting? Presumably because a 400HP engine would accelerate the car more slowly if the body were heavier, such as by being steel instead of carbon fiber?

      To call the difference between financial earnings and share price "hair splitting" is to say that you have no clue whatsoever what "Earnings Per Share" (a fundamentals analysis benchmark) is, or P/E ratio, or anything about the stock market.

      No wonder you're so whacked. You actually think stocks reflect earnings.

    42. Re:401k by JMZero · · Score: 1

      To call the difference between financial earnings and share price "hair splitting" is to say that you have no clue whatsoever what "Earnings Per Share" (a fundamentals analysis benchmark) is, or P/E ratio, or anything about the stock market.

      Yep. That's what it is: I don't know what PE is. I had predicted "pathetic attempts at condescension" before, so I'm glad you delivered on that.

      No wonder you're so whacked. You actually think stocks reflect earnings.

      People usually grow out of their "reflexively contrarian" phase in high school. Again, read the whole conversation again. Look at the stupid crap you've argued for. How could anything I say make you sound dumber?

      I'm not providing new fodder for conversation. I'm just going to insult you from here on out. I kind of thought you'd get more angry, so I'm still looking for some of that.

      --
      Let's not stir that bag of worms...
    43. Re:401k by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      i.e. you've stopped arguing because the arguments are actually getting too hard for you to defend except in the most nebulous of ways, or by making more and more ludicrous statements which can be more easily dismissed.

      I rely on this idea that if I've been where you were once, and I found I was wrong, and I revised my position, then you're probably wrong. As that's about where we are, I'm just looking back at a past snapshot of myself before I figured out how things worked, and wholly unamused that I was ever dumb enough to believe the kind of crap you're spouting, even if I do know better now.

    44. Re:401k by JMZero · · Score: 1

      Yes. That's probably what it is. You're probably me in the future.

      That's bad news for me, because that means I'm going to lose most of my net worth, start earning well under half what I make now, and become really, really stupid. And I'm not sure how I'll reconcile my experience doing things like "presenting in board meetings of large companies", and "planning acquistions and deciding on company valuation" with what will be my newfound understandings of how these things "really work", that deep understanding that you have based on paying off your house and buying windows and retiring on $500,000. All these revelations I'm about to have will be very disconcerting. Maybe my university will give me a refund on all those economics, business, and accounting courses?

      I guess I'll also be 3 or 4 years younger - and I'll also be extremely confident, impervious to reason, and desperately smug about my stupid cynical worldview. So I guess that's cool too.

      or by making more and more ludicrous statements which can be more easily dismissed

      Yes.. I've said some crazy stupid crap here - that the stock market is a zero sum game, stock prices don't affect executive pay, "the ability to access money.. is 'solvency'", and that stock prices don't reflect earnings.

      Oh wait, those were all you. Or maybe you're right about all those things, and it's basic enonomic theory and observable reality that's wrong.

      --
      Let's not stir that bag of worms...
  12. a million 401K isnt that large by peter303 · · Score: 4, Informative

    It has an annual safe return of $40k to $50K. For younger developers who may not retire until 2050, that is not much after several decades of inflation.

    1. Re:a million 401K isnt that large by vux984 · · Score: 1

      $40k to $50k today is a decent standard of living. 40 years from now? It'll be below the poverty line.

      If you are retiring today 1Million is enough. If you are retiring 40 years from now and aim to have a million... you'll be deciding between a card board roof or cardboard food.

    2. Re:a million 401K isnt that large by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, recently WSJ had an article stating that if you are to retire today and have 2.2M in your bank account, that is the bare minimum to live comfortably till the age of 100. This was given that you invest your savings in US Bonds. Somewhere else, it has been mentioned that in today's money millionaires are people with 5M invested in assets outside of their prime residence.

    3. Re:a million 401K isnt that large by New+Breeze · · Score: 1

      All those figures tossed around by the financial planning community are a little screwy based on my observations. They like to use things in their models like a bond yield at 2.5% to show why you should have more invested so it pumps their management fees. But they don't actually put most of your money there, otherwise why would you need them?

      Once my kids are out of college and the house is paid for I expect my 'need' to drop rather dramatically. But all the planners start with your current income to estimate what you will 'need' in retirement.

      If you think about the amount they are saying we will need to live on, I have to wonder what lifestyle they are expecting you to have at 75+? My parents and in-laws are in decent health, but they're long past constantly jetting about on vacations. Their homes are paid for and they aren't driving to work or running kids around any more so they get new cars when they feel like it, not because it's ragged out and unreliable. Meals out a few nights a week, property taxes and household expenses don't add up to much.

      That doesn't mean I'm still not planning for that sum as I can dream of wondering the world in my old age, but I suspect my kids are going to be the real recipients of decades of saving and investing.

  13. A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by fatboy · · Score: 0

    With what developers make in my city (Nashville, TN), yeah. They should be able to accumulate enough money to have a net worth over $1 million dollars, over their career. It comes down to do they have the discipline it takes to direct that nice income in a way that they don't waste it on things like mortgages, car debt, credit cards, and other bad habits that keep people at "average" and "normal" net worth.

    --
    --fatboy
    1. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by CavemanKiwi · · Score: 1

      In the San Francisco Bay Area the only discipline required, is pay your mortgage. In five years I will be a millionaire with the equity in my home and money in my 401k.

    2. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      With what developers make in my city (Nashville, TN), yeah. They should be able to accumulate enough money to have a net worth over $1 million dollars, over their career. It comes down to do they have the discipline it takes to direct that nice income in a way that they don't waste it on things like mortgages, car debt, credit cards, and other bad habits that keep people at "average" and "normal" net worth.

      Hmmmm, "fatboy." Alex, is that you?

      BTW, a mortgage on a home in Nashville is not wasted; the real estate market is booming. In a lot of zip codes in the Nashville area, prices are consistently outperforming the stock market. You seem to think that home equity is not part of net worth.

    3. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by Last_Available_Usern · · Score: 1

      that they don't waste it on things like mortgages, car debt, credit cards, and other bad habits that keep people at "average" and "normal" net worth.

      How is a mortgage a waste? You even listed it first as if to denote it's importance of being avoided. Owning your own home is advantageous for a lot of reasons, but the most important of which is people base their rent prices on what their mortgage costs. If you're renting - you're paying off someone else's mortgage for them. Unless you want to be single your whole life and rent a flat with a bunch of other guys I fail to see how renting would ever be worthwhile over purchasing.

    4. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by mellon · · Score: 1

      And as the knowledge economy shifts to the point where non-local geeks are just as good as local, the value of that house will go back down to something sensible. You are in a bubble. It's not out of the question that it will continue for the rest of your life, but I'd suggest a wee bit of diversification, just to be sure.

    5. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Liquidity is the advantage, if you have no idea where the hell you'll be following work.

    6. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by fatboy · · Score: 1

      I think you misunderstood what I said. I'm saying don't get a mortgage, purchase the home outright. :)

      --
      --fatboy
    7. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      Exactly. I know people who rent in the same neighbourhood I live in, in exactly the same model of house. Their rent is actually higher than my mortgage payments. The only difference is that I had to save up for a down payment. Not only that, but rent payments keep increasing, while mortgage payments (assuming constant interest rate) actually stay the same, so they go down relative to inflation.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    8. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by TheRealMindChild · · Score: 1

      Because when you lose your job for a year and can't make the payments and get foreclosed on, all of that money you paid on it that you swore was "worthwhile" is now gone, and now you still have a debt with the bank.

      --

      "When life gives you lemons, don't make lemonade. Make life take the lemons back!" -- Cave Johnson
    9. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by PrimaryConsult · · Score: 1

      As a renter, if your apartment burns down, you don't still have to mail in a monthly check for a smoldering hole in the ground. Yes, this is what homeowner's insurance is for, but the disaster that destroyed your house may not have been covered. Other reasons not to own:
      -They may build a sewage treatment plant down the block and you want out. Of course your property value has plummeted for the same reason you want to leave.
      -Your town jacks up the property taxes.
      -You may meet the love of your life in another city.
      -As the sibling AC said, you may need to chase a job somewhere.
      -You're not mechanically inclined and don't want to have to do your own maintenance.
      -You'd rather not worry about security.

      On a personal level, if I had a full time telecommuting job, I would want to travel the world by living in a different city every month. Being able to divert 100% of my stationary living expenses into travel expenses would make that financially feasable.

    10. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I was moving to a different city and rented out my old house for a couple of years. When I decided I was never going back to that city I offered the family who were renting it the chance to buy it - the mortgage would have been less than the rent but they weren't considered a good enough risk to give a mortgage to (yes, it was a long time ago).

    11. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're confusing "owning a home" with "having a mortgage". A $200k mortgage is going to cost you more than $400k in total payments before it's paid off. You're pretty much just throwing away $200k at that point, and that would most certainly fall under the category of "waste" the GP was referring to.

    12. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by Last_Available_Usern · · Score: 1

      Ok, so after X amount of years of renting or paying a mortgage you've spent $400K. In one of those situation you have an investment that is VERY likely to be worth a lot more than the original $200K purchase price, and in the other you have nothing. How is wasting some of the money on mortgage interest better than wasting ALL of the money on rent?

    13. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by Last_Available_Usern · · Score: 1

      None of your reasons show that owning a home is a bad financial decision, which is all my point was meant to convey. If owning a home is bad a decision for you logistically, then you shouldn't own. But all things being equal, buying a home within your means makes far more financial sense in the long run than renting.

    14. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by TheRealMindChild · · Score: 0

      VERY likely to be worth a lot more than the original $200K purchase price

      Are you stupid?

      --

      "When life gives you lemons, don't make lemonade. Make life take the lemons back!" -- Cave Johnson
    15. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      At 4% apr right now, my investments earn more than the interest you'd pay on a mortage even before you take the tax break into account.

      Same thing with cars, there are savings accounts that give you better rates than you pay for new car loans....not recommending a new car because of the immediate depreciation but if the choice is pay outright or let the same stack of money earn interest while you trickle out payments you really should do the math.

      "Debt" used wisely vs debt used stupidly is the key.

    16. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's why you make sure you have (relatively) liquid assets that can cover more than a year of full living expenses including mortgage...

    17. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by Stormy+Dragon · · Score: 1

      If only there was some sort of product available that would, if you house burned down, reimburse you for the lost value.

    18. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's not a problem if you have cash to live for a year. Buying a house by taking on debt that you can barely service and sinking all your free cash into it is a bad idea.

    19. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      http://www.nytimes.com/interac...

      My rent is 900. Any home I'd want to live in would be at least 250k. Property tax of at least 2.3% also kills it.
      Investment rate in that calculator is also a pathetic 4% by default.

    20. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because the mortgage + tax + maintenance can easily be 100s more than rent each month. That's money I wouldn't be able to invest if I bought a house right now. Also consider investing the down payment. It adds up over the years. After 30 years of that I should have enough to buy a house with the savings.

    21. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I fail to see how renting would ever be worthwhile over purchasing.

      If there is a good chance you will move in the next year (say you have a contract job), the transaction costs associated with buying make renting a better deal.

      If you can't afford a house without a mortgage, and no bank will lend you money at a reasonable interest rate, renting for a year while you get your credit in order will almost certainly save you a lot of money.

      If you believe housing prices will fall in the next few years, renting can allow you to buy a house at a lower price. Buying is a gamble that prices will go up. That is not always a sensible bet.

      but the most important of which is people base their rent prices on what their mortgage costs.

      You need to learn to negotiate.

      The date of last sale, price paid, and recent tax assessments are available at redfin.com. Use that to estimate the cost of the house to your potential landlord. Offer half. I had one lady tell me she wanted my rent check to cover her mortgage payment. The following line made her see reason:

      "When you are done with all those payments, you get to keep the house. When I am done paying rent, I get nothing. No intelligent person would pay the whole cost of the house without getting the house at the end of the mortgage. Do you think someone foolish enough to do that will be a good tenant?"

    22. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by PrimaryConsult · · Score: 1

      Sorry, you are correct; it is usually a good financial decision. If nothing else, it's an excellent hedge against inflation. I was just pointing out that it isn't a sure-thing risk-free investment... I just got out of almost purchasing a home, for many of the reasons above (though the main show stoppers were 9k/yr taxes and a complete lack of public transportation).

    23. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In theory, yes, but realistic rents are typically much more than the total cost of ownership of a similar house or apartment and you stop paying for the mortgage after some time, leaving you with a house you can sell. Renting only makes sense if you expect to live somewhere only for a short period.

    24. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Rent, like any price, is determined by supply and demand, not by cost.

    25. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by fatboy · · Score: 1

      You should really factor risk into your equation. I would not leverage my house (or car) to do investments. I would never buy a new car, unless I could write the check and not notice. I would absolutely never finance depreciating asset. As far as large ticket, depreciating assets go, cars/boats/bikes/RVs are at the top of the list.

      --
      --fatboy
    26. Re:A "millionaire" isn't what it used to be. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree completely. People think "i dont want to pay the banks money for a mortgage, so i rent". they not only are paying the mortgage of the place, but also all else included (maintenance, possibly utilities, etc) but paying another crook's profit. nobody rents out a place for less than it costs them to own and operate. nobody even rents out a place for the exact amount (i am sure there are probably a few in certain circumstances actually, but in general nobody does). everyone (in the business of renting out domiciles charges more than their costs, which includes their mortgage :) after say 10 or 15 years for a commercial type mortgage you pay it off and continue renting, its way gravy at that point, but for that decade or more, you're not going to want to be unpaid :)

  14. making up. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And 99% of those asked said they were just making s*&% up.

  15. Yes, we will all be millionaires. by jcr · · Score: 0

    That is, unless we abolish the federal reserve and re-establish sound money.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    1. Re:Yes, we will all be millionaires. by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 2

      What's sound money? Fiat money is okay, gold standard money has deflationary problems, fractional reserve systems appear to establish money by loaning it into existence. Our current fractional reserve system appears to preclude economic growth: any "growth" is a growth of debt, a growth in economic sickness.

  16. This explains a lot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Although if they'd interviewed someone outside of Silicon Valley they'd find that developers aren't all sociopathic narcissists.

  17. Averages by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just wait until they realize that 50% of them are below average.

  18. Shock by American+AC+in+Paris · · Score: 3, Insightful

    In case y'all hadn't noticed, our community is rife with hazardously inflated egos. This is a natural extension thereof.

    --

    Obliteracy: Words with explosions

    1. Re:Shock by digitalPhant0m · · Score: 1

      No kidding. Count how many /. Comments begin with "I"

  19. Sure by CauseBy · · Score: 1

    That sounds about right to me. I think the top-half-earning programmers will likely get to one or two million dollars in total net worth by retirement. A million dollars isn't a hell of a lot of money.

    1. Re:Sure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Fed giveth and monetary policy taketh away. The rate at which the currency you work for is devalued has been computed by algorithms designed by the architects of the economy, the uberlords of wealth, and the developers of institutionalzied disadvantage. Good thing there are so many opportunities for geeks to rule their little fiefdoms, notwithstanding the power of the H1-B or the laws of global supply and local demand.

    2. Re:Sure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A million dollars is roughly the point at which you can safely retire, as long as you live modestly and don't get the "millionaire" idea into your head.

  20. Inflation means lots of millionaires by unimacs · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I've got a rather dumpy house in a nice urban neighborhood. It's paid for and worth a bit over $200,000. Looking at long term trends and the increasing popularity of urban living, it will most likely appreciate a fair amount before I retire.

    That alone will get me a good chunk of the way towards being a millionaire in terms of net worth.

    Now add in the gobs of money that they recommend you save for retirement and by the time you do retire... well, you've got a lot of money. This assumes of course that you can navigate yourself past the agism that's also part of being a developer and remain a well paid part of the workforce until you retire.

  21. This by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Outsourcing is GREAT for menial gruntwork. It is horrible if you try to outsource any real design.

  22. Expensive habits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Interesting. I know zero developers who smoke OR go to nerd conventions, with the exception of maker fair.

    Maybe if it wasn't an IT or crappy gaming shop you'd experience something different.

    I do work in a very different industry than most "developers" though.

  23. Small Sample Size by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Can we really expect 1000 people to be a representative sample? Were the ages properly distributed? I would assume a younger developer would be more likely to expect to be a millionaire, for example.

  24. I will be a millionaire. by TsuruchiBrian · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I am a software developer with 9+ years experience. I bought a house at the end of 2011 for $570K and zillow says it's worth $695K now. In 27 years, I think it's pretty likely I will be a millionaire due to inflation and paying off my house.

    1. Re:I will be a millionaire. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      I am a software developer with 15+ years experience but I have $1500 in my bank account and still live with my mother.

      Fuck me.

    2. Re:I will be a millionaire. by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 2

      Or we'll get rid of QE and get 7% or 11% interest rates again, and your home value will stay the same plus inflation, but the sale price (your asset) will drop. Then people will again be able to buy a house and pay it off in 10 years or so instead of 30, since we'll be talking about putting a hundred or so dollars on top of their loan instead of paying 3.5x to pay it off in 10 years instead of 30.

    3. Re:I will be a millionaire. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      'Sup ruined buddy!

      It's hard for those of us just as qualified and skilled as the Silicon Valley crowd to watch those arrogant egomaniacs achieve stratospheric success while we go nowhere because we don't live in the same area or have the right "network." So let me give you a tip to help you cope.

      Live like there's no fucking tomorrow. You've got nothing to lose. Indulge yourself on every penny. Responsibility? You don't have the budget for that shit. It's overrated and practically worthless anyway. What else are you going to do, save up and...still not be able to afford anything meaningful in life? When life sticks you in quicksand you make it the rockin'est quicksand pit you can until your face goes under.

      I spend all my meager earnings on extreme sports mostly. I quit trying to save up once I realized there was no way I could save money at a speed relevant to a human lifespan, which was within my first 5 years of working.

    4. Re:I will be a millionaire. by TsuruchiBrian · · Score: 1

      Yeah that makes a lot of sense. Lend someone hundreds of thousands of dollars for the golden opportunity of making a whopping $100. Good luck convincing anybody, much less banks, to go along with this.

      But that's the kind of logic I expect from someone who thinks gay marriage and legal sex between adults and children (i.e. what NAMBLA wants) are comparable.

    5. Re:I will be a millionaire. by Rob+Riggs · · Score: 1

      The only way that we will ever deal with our national debt is with very high inflation. We will all be millionaires soon enough.

      --
      the growth in cynicism and rebellion has not been without cause
    6. Re:I will be a millionaire. by Anubis+IV · · Score: 1

      I don't live in the same areas as "those arrogant egomaniacs [who] achieve stratospheric success", nor do I really have a professional network at all, yet I seem to be doing just fine for myself, despite only being out of grad school (which I dropped out of, incidentally) for about two-and-a-half years. Those things you think matter? I'm living proof that they don't always.

      My job doesn't pay extraordinarily well, but it's work I enjoy doing at a company of great people, and the pay is "good enough" (I was offered 50% more at two other companies, a number which was in-line with industry averages for my skill set and experience, but turned them both down for this company, which I liked more). I'm already investing, have a home on which I was able to put 20% down, am tossing extra toward my house payments each month, and have still been able to make somewhat bigger purchases for myself every few months.

      I simply live within my means and make sure that the amount out is less than the amount in. I choose carefully what things actually matter to me and then put my money towards those things, while buying budget-friendly items in the categories that I don't care about.

    7. Re:I will be a millionaire. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or we'll get rid of QE

      You CONservatives are disgusting. The 10% average inflation due to easement is the only thing saving the poor in this country from starving. It is a backdoor tax that affects only Republicans. It takes around 10% of their income each year to give to the public. Without that, people would die. Fuck you for wanting to end that. You Republicans are all alike with your hate and your lack of fundamental understanding of economics.

    8. Re:I will be a millionaire. by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      I actually did some funky math and found out that it works out better for the banks too, to the tune of twice as much profitability with 14% interest rates. It turned out that they would get half as much money from interest if people started aggressively paying down loans for a 10 year mortgage cycle; but it would be half as much money in a third as much time, so about 50% more profitable. Meanwhile, the individual paying their way out of debt has to make about 30% larger payments to get the mortgage paid off in 10 years (with 2.25% interest rates, it's 150% larger--you pay $2700 instead of $1150 to get a 10 year payoff on a $425k house with a $310k price tag, versus a $450k house with a $110k price tag), but shave about half the cost off the house.

      That means house valuation is complex. House valuation isn't just sticker price, but total payment on the house. Problem is that itself depends on what people are willing to pay per month and how long of a loan they're willing to pay--30 year loans because nobody wants 45 year loans and nobody will pay up for 10 year loans. But at higher interest rates, you start talking that $425k house gets stickered at $110k and in 30 years you pay $425k from $1150/mo ... but $1500/mo payments get you out of it in 10 years, $200k less total payment, so now it's apparently a $225k house--at least, it's a $225k house on a 10 year payment plan, because people are willing to pay that much per month to get out of debt in 10 years, but they won't pay that much per month for 30 years.

      Complicated market forces at play.

      But this is of course from years of research and some unimpeachable scientific subject called "Mathematics". It's hard to explain in simple terms.

    9. Re:I will be a millionaire. by TsuruchiBrian · · Score: 1

      Well if you say you used "mathematics", it must be true....
      /s

    10. Re:I will be a millionaire. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or houses will start depreciating instead of appreciating. The only reason houses appreciate is because the National Association of Realtors is such a strong political force right now. There's absolutely no market-based reason for a box of sticks to appreciate like the housing market has been doing.

    11. Re:I will be a millionaire. by bored · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure the math works out the way you want it.For 10+ years I expected house values to correct to levels similar to early 2000's housing values (average income vs average house price).

      Hasn't happened, during the "housing crisis" house values in some areas of the country fell but in "desirable" areas they went down maybe 10% (see Texas, Colorado, etc). Then starting early last year they came ripping back, with a 20% increase in one year.

      If you expect the government to stand by while the banks and REITs loose money in the housing market your going to be as wrong as I was last time. The US government will do everything in its power to preserve the values of houses in the US. The second a 8% interest rate looks to be slowing the housing boom down you can be sure that QE will return.

    12. Re:I will be a millionaire. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You seriously think your house's value will go up by 20% every three years forever?

    13. Re:I will be a millionaire. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That ain't mathematics---that's arithmetic.

    14. Re:I will be a millionaire. by Billly+Gates · · Score: 1

      So it goes up in value with interest rates near 0!

      What do you think will happen when interest rates hit 7% or 8%? Think it wont depreciate? Think again.

      Home values are determined by their monthly mortgage rate. Not the sticker price. So that 2300 a month home is now 3700 a month even if the price tag is the same?! THink you will find anyone with a budget willing to pay 3700 a now? Probably not.

      You need to lower your home well below 570k to to get it back to $2300 a month again etc.

    15. Re:I will be a millionaire. by TsuruchiBrian · · Score: 1

      If you had read what I said, you would have noticed that I did not mention anything about interest rates staying low. The only economic factor I actually cited was inflation.

      I never said my house was going to appreciate in value. I said it would be worth at least $1 million US dollars in 27 years.

      Furthermore, I wasn't saying that my house is *the reason* I will be a millionaire. This was just a reference point. I would be a millionaire just from putting my paychecks into a bank account with no interest. Buying the house has helped a bit because I bought near the recent bottom (a year early actually) and have a pretty low interest rate locked in, but that's just a bonus.

      A lot of my colleagues got raped when the housing bubble burst. They will also still probably become millionaires, it will just take them a little longer due to bad luck.

      The only thing that could prevent me from being a millionaire is a catastrophic event (e.g. death, illness) or if somehow the dollar is prevented from depreciating in value.

    16. Re:I will be a millionaire. by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      If interest rates go up, the price of homes could drop if not just level off. That's because people purchase a home based on what they can afford each month. Combine that with new laws now in place from the previous housing crash. Effectively, the banks are now making a profit rather then the home owner.

      However all that said, Texas home prices aren't going anywhere but UP. Houston, Katy, Austin..etc. Exxon is the 2nd largest US company behind Google and is moving its HQ to the Woodlands which will employ 10,000 employees at the campus. Our governor has been poaching businesses from other states. People from said states are driving in droves to Texas. It's nuts! The traffic is getting worse and worse each year. Regardless, now the Chinese are investing in Texas real-estate which can only lead to a nasty bubble.

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    17. Re:I will be a millionaire. by Dahamma · · Score: 1

      Except long term real estate in desirable areas has proven to continue to rise despite whatever short term policies like you describe may slow it down a bit.

      When he retires in 30+ years his home will undoubtedly be worth more than a million in today's dollars, and I can't even imagine how much it will be worth in non-inflation adjusted dollars (which is what a lot of people have pointed out - "millionaire" is going to be a solidly middle class by then).

    18. Re:I will be a millionaire. by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Dude, I can only dream of buying a house and paying it off in 30 years! In the UK the average wage buys you a kennel. I'm on well above that, but even so I can only afford a fairly shitty 1 bedroom flat on a 35 year mortgage and a government "help to buy" scheme.

      We reached the point where to buy even a small house you need two people earning a well above average wage.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    19. Re:I will be a millionaire. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How can a tax affact only the members of one political party?

    20. Re:I will be a millionaire. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So fucking what? Are you going to eat your house in your retirement? How do you idiots not get that value in your house doesn't count for this number? It actually counts against it. You've still got taxes to pay. How are you going to do that?

    21. Re:I will be a millionaire. by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Well at least one person in the whole fucking world gets it besides me.

    22. Re:I will be a millionaire. by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Home prices are artificially high right now. Like when furbies were $400.

    23. Re:I will be a millionaire. by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Yes that's the result of giving women rights. You don't think anyone really cared about that whole "Women's Suffrage" thing, do you? It went like this: heyyyyyy... maybe we can convince women they're equals.... yeah, and heyyyyyyyyy then they can get jobs! And then... they'll have MONEY! And then, when couples want to buy a house, settle down, have kids like, ya know? Then, we'll milk them for all they're worth! Yeahhh! /zephod

      If women had just stopped at "right to vote" and not gone on to "right to be men and have careers as steel workers and go to college and all get jobs", we'd have been better off. Women already had jobs. Have you ever been a bachelor? Have you ever worked a 40 hour work week, then came home and had to do your own house work so you don't live in an unkempt shithole? THAT SHIT IS HARD. Women were cooking and cleaning and doing mildly complex manual labor (look, I don't know about you, but my biggest problem with cleaning house is WHERE THE HELL DO I PUT SHIT THAT ISN'T TRASH?!), and then we told them, oh, you should get actual jobs.

      Are. You. SERIOUS?!

      A married woman has a job. If you bang her the right way, she'll have three jobs. If I ever had kids, I'd do the housework and tell the woman to deal with the babies. Fuck that. I can handle dishes and vacuuming and ironing, she can get up at 2 in the morning to change diapers.

      So yeah. If you want to buy a small house, you need two people working at least three jobs.

    24. Re:I will be a millionaire. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Taxes in the US are slightly progressive. The Republicans pay a slightly higher percentage than the average person. We need to increase taxes on the rich so that they can begin to start paying their fair share. The top 10% of earners only pay 70% of federal income taxes. That is fucking ridiculous considering they earned 12% of all(!) income. That is how you affect only one political party with taxes.

    25. Re:I will be a millionaire. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or we'll get rid of QE and get 7% or 11% interest rates again, and your home value will stay the same plus inflation, but the sale price (your asset) will drop. Then people will again be able to buy a house and pay it off in 10 years or so instead of 30, since we'll be talking about putting a hundred or so dollars on top of their loan instead of paying 3.5x to pay it off in 10 years instead of 30.

      Except, of course, getting rid of QE also means you'd wind up with a higher mortgage rate when a home is purchased. Or, if you already bought your home, the person trying to purchase it next will need to make a lot more money to be able to afford the house, thereby reducing the pool of people able to even make an offer.

      Honestly, the second half of your comment made no sense, but generally speaking people who think getting rid of QE would be a clear win are taking an overly simplistic view of the economy.

  25. A million is easy by byteherder · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If you can't find a way to get to a million by retirement, something is wrong.

    Here is a simple way to do it. Put $16,000 in your 401k and $5,000 in your IRA every year. Investing in a good S&P500 index fund which will return about 10%. In 18 years, you will be a millionaire.

    Now getting to $10 million is tough.

    1. Re:A million is easy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...
      Yup something is wrong.
      This: http://money.cnn.com/2013/09/17/news/economy/poverty-income/
      I'll just save 21k of my 50k if I'm lucky enough to be on the top half of Americans. Cause living off of 29k pre-tax is super simple. Are you really that ignorant of economic problems?

    2. Re:A million is easy by RabidReindeer · · Score: 2

      If you can't find a way to get to a million by retirement, something is wrong.

      Here is a simple way to do it. Put $16,000 in your 401k and $5,000 in your IRA every year. Investing in a good S&P500 index fund which will return about 10%. In 18 years, you will be a millionaire.

      Now getting to $10 million is tough.

      Actually, the hard part is getting the first million. Then it feeds itself. Especially since the second million, etc. aren't being held back for basic living expenses.

    3. Re:A million is easy by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      This is the worst advice ever.

    4. Re:A million is easy by byteherder · · Score: 2

      Most Software Developer in the US make significantly more than the median household income of $50K. A first year college grad in CS can make that much. After 10 years experience, many are making $100K. If you are making $100K+, $21K a year is not that hard to save.

    5. Re:A million is easy by byteherder · · Score: 1

      It comes down to basic math. Save regularly and let the compound interest work for you.

      The alternative to saving for retirement is just to work until you die.

    6. Re:A million is easy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why is it that so many Slashtards scream "You're wrong!" and don't say why or don't say what's right? Are you afraid that someone will show you up as not being too bright yourself or maybe even an outright moron?

    7. Re:A million is easy by Ichijo · · Score: 1

      Investing in a good S&P500 index fund which will return about 10%. In 18 years, you will be a millionaire.

      It's closer to 7%, so you'll be a millionaire in 22 years. You can bring this down to 19 years by contributing the maximum into your 401(k) ($17,500/year), your IRA ($5,500/year), and an HSA ($3,300/year for individuals).

      --
      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    8. Re:A million is easy by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      They're not saving. They're playing a game they fundamentally don't understand. A game of strategy, group psychology, numeric analysis, graphical analysis (shortcuts through visualization--"I can just see it"), tracking the news (HEY MARKETWATCH!), etc.

      When I was last into it, I had a coworker arguing with me about how the S&P grows 10%, so he just buys SPY with all of his money. I told him that's a bad idea and S&P was about to drop. It did. He delayed his retirement by 5 years, and came out with a little less money than he started with.

      The S&P growing 10% was never true. Averaged over 80 years of volatile movement, it's been shown to grow by 10% per year on average. The market is a hellish place where you don't belong if you are not ready to face dragons and Forbes telling you false things about the market and claiming they are "debunking myths".

    9. Re:A million is easy by PRMan · · Score: 1

      Now getting to $10 million is tough.

      Nah, just put the $21,000 in bitcoin instead...

      --
      Peter predicted that you would "deliberately forget" creation 2000 years ago...
    10. Re:A million is easy by byteherder · · Score: 1

      Depending on your time frame it could be closer to 7%. Here are the numbers.

      S&P 500 Index Avg
      .Yr. . .1 Yr. . . . 5Yr . . 10Yr . .20Yr . .25Yr
      2013. 29.60% 17.94% 7.40% 9.22% 10.27%

    11. Re:A million is easy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Saving $21,000/year is not a reasonable number according to the median income of the US population. If you total up living expenses and apply a moving average, then subtract that # from median salary: you're usually in the red.

      The only way to have a net profit is to have a higher than median salary and/or to have a standard of living normally considered "poverty level". Most people(51%+) in the United States cannot even break even on a single-income 40 hour work week. Expecting them to have a surplus is a fantasy. Most of these people have realized this treadmill is a fool's errand. The stupid ones quit smoking, cancel their newspaper subscription & cable television, pirate movies, and then just generally live like peasants. The smart ones take their shitty salary/standard of living, light the FAFSA powder-keg under their chair and spend the next 2-8 years of their life milking the Federal Government as professional students.

      Among THIS class of bottom feeder, ~16% learn something useful and contribute to degree inflation, ~2.5% learn enough to be desired employees when they hit the job market, and ~84% learn pretty much nothing useful to anyone. Only 0.3% of the population will ever be pursued with the ferocity that allows this 84% to believe they will be fast millionaires(illusory superiority). This same group of delusional people also the same ones who empower the federal government to ravage them based on consistently voting for regressive economic policies.

      IMHO its hilarious poetic justice that their own lack of empathy for people less advantaged than themselves is the very bludgeon used to beat them in to poverty. Plutocracy can't exist without vicious, ignorant, and ambitious people. Welcome to America. Divided and conquered by the idiot box & PACs.

      http://www.businessinsider.com/major-study-finds-that-the-us-is-an-oligarchy-2014-4

    12. Re:A million is easy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So living expenses plus $21,000? Nice to be earning that.

    13. Re:A million is easy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except 401k, IRA, and S&P500 index funds don't pay interest. There is absolutely no guarantee that they will pay anything at all, and can actually take away instead of paying out. The interest you speak of would come from traditional savings accounts and similar vehicles, which are all paying significantly less than 1% right now. Compound that all you want and you're still going nowhere in a hurry.

    14. Re:A million is easy by byteherder · · Score: 1

      Except 401k, IRA, and S&P500 index funds don't pay interest.

      S&P 500 does not pay interest but it does pay dividends, currently around 2%. 401k and IRA can pay interest depending on what they are invested in. You are never going to reach $1million if you rely solely on traditional savings accounts paying 1%. If you limit your investment choices to only the safest ones, you will always get the lowest returns.

      Compound that all you want and you're still going nowhere in a hurry.

      Compounding is exactly what I want. 10% compounded over 7 years doubles my investment, 7 more years and it doubles again. With enough time all those doubles will turn a small investment into a large one.

    15. Re:A million is easy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So much BS, so little time.

      I think you need to get out of your parents basement more often.

    16. Re:A million is easy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...
      Yup something is wrong.
      This: http://money.cnn.com/2013/09/17/news/economy/poverty-income/
      I'll just save 21k of my 50k if I'm lucky enough to be on the top half of Americans. Cause living off of 29k pre-tax is super simple. Are you really that ignorant of economic problems?

      This discussion is about developers. The median income is $90k according to:

        http://money.usnews.com/careers/best-jobs/software-developer/salary

      Living on $69k per year is easy if you are single, and not a stretch if you have a family of four.

    17. Re:A million is easy by Billly+Gates · · Score: 2

      10% return?! What the hell are you smoking! THat is a return only wall street sharks and investors get. Seriously.

    18. Re:A million is easy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, but the point is you're not getting 10% interest *anywhere*. Even 10% returns from the stock market can be iffy, especially if you get caught in a correction and lose a bunch of money.

    19. Re:A million is easy by Typical+Slashdotter · · Score: 1

      You are wrong. The Vanguard S&P 500 Index Fund, for example, which is a very basic fund that does nothing but track the S&P 500 index, has had an average return of 11% since its inception in 1976.

    20. Re:A million is easy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, totally. It's all a giant meritocracy dude. The reason I pull 6 figures is because I work so much harder than the plebes. ;) Enjoy your "Just World" fallacy man.

      I'm sure you got where you are today because of hard work and not because of economic circumstances beyond your realm of influence. The reason you're free to post on slashdot and don't live in a prison cell is because of your moral character and not because of the color of your skin. The reason your father wasn't executed before you could be conceived was because we have a righteous criminal justice system that applies the death penalty fairly across ethnic and economic demographics.

      The reason I hold these opinions is because I live in my parents basement and am embittered because I can't find a job despite my superior merit to all the uneducated morons in the work force. The reason I resent success is because I'm unsuccessful and not because I got ahead by cheating and consider it to be a joyless victory. The reason you're successful is because you worked harder than everyone else. The reason you attack my post is because it's illegitimate in foundation and whiny. Definitely not based on real life experience in the private sector on what does, and does not, lead to financial success.

      I laugh because I did everything wrong and walked away smelling like roses. I watched my peers lose everything over less-severe transgressions. I was smarter about it. I got away with it. I had people to bail me out when I didn't. The reason the well-off don't want their children associating with the riff-raff is because they grow up to be liberals when they realize they are where they are for all the wrong reasons. You think you're special because you pulled yourself out of some hole in to an elevated stature? I've been up and down this ladder several times, both ways. I'm not impressed by someone who can surf a wave and call it swimming.

      You should like, totally move to Spain! Then, you can cleanse your resume of every degree, certification, and job history entry and start from a clean slate as a recent graduate of the public school system! Just like "Adrian Veidt"! Take those NINJAs to school and show them how it's done! Just remember: dipping in to your capital reserves, credit score, or otherwise utilizing prior access to wealth in any way(healthcare, car insurance, privately owned transportation) is cheating. If you're self-made it should be a piece of cake right? Hell, you did it once so it must be possible! There's no way you'll resort to using a skill where you've developed specialized knowledge to your advantage. You're starting over remember? If it isn't taught in public school and you didn't learn it on a computer purchased with a minimum wage job, or at the public library: it doesn't count as a fresh start.

      Just to be sure that clean straight teeth aren't working to your advantage, you need to camouflage those pearly-whites in cigarette tar and coffee stains as quickly as possible. Don't forget to get in a few car crashes. That should compensate for the added risk of physical injury and death associated with longer commutes.
      My personal favorite is watching some asshole who makes 3x more and lives 5 minutes from the office writing up some poor SOB that has a 45 minute commute for showing up late and/or having to take the bus. I used to think people like you knew something. Eventually I grew up and realized judgmental pricks are too confident to learn anything from the world that doesn't confirm their preconceived notions. They'll keep living paycheck to paycheck thinking they finally "made it" and feel entitled to look down on the people who never got the chance to feel smug. Old-money don't usually have illusions about where they came from, but these new-money assholes are something else. Nothing can be allowed to penetrate their world-view cause it's just that fucking fragile. It's a giant house of cards which isn't supported by facts and comes tumbling down around them if they let in the truth: they were lucky, not good.

    21. Re:A million is easy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your name is very appropriate because that is exactly the type of "knows just enough to be dangerous" bad advice I would expect from a "Typical Slashdotter".

      Your 1975 start time is from before the market volatility which began in the mid-90s. If you look at the 3 extreme market swings over the past 20 years, you would observe that the S&P Index appears to be massively overbought and due for another extreme correction. Tell them to dollar-cost-average and that it's impossible to time the market. Personally, I'll wait until people are done panic selling before I put any of my assets back in stocks.

    22. Re:A million is easy by Dahamma · · Score: 1

      It's long term, not short term. He's right, the S&P has earned just over 10% a year averaged over the last 30 years. The point of the 401(k) is to let it sit in a conservative investment long term until you need it, and it has historically been a great retirement vehicle if you do exactly what he said...

    23. Re:A million is easy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      +1

      In this day and age of no pensions, folks should be shooting for more than $1 million. At software developer incomes, if you do a half-way decent job of saving, becoming a millionaire is not a lofty goal.

    24. Re:A million is easy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can attest, I received multiple offers that dwarf $50k when I first got out of college. I also received offers in the $30-40k region, but ignored them blithely, and that was 2-3 years ago. I'm sure it's a bit better now.

    25. Re:A million is easy by Billly+Gates · · Score: 1

      But that includes the inflation of the 1990s which are overbought. If you include from the beggining and including the great depression you will see a much less modest return. 10% growth is over as everyone is in now.

    26. Re:A million is easy by Dahamma · · Score: 1

      It's going to be hard to follow the S&P 500 index during the great depression since it was STARTED in 1957.

      And if you go back that far it actually averages about 10.8%.

      But that's the whole POINT of this thread. Ignore the short term volatility and look long term. There really is no indication that it's much different today than it was 30 years ago or that "the growth is over". Seriously, go look at the actual numbers before you state these "facts", not only are they easily found, it's one of the most heavily analyzed aspects of the entire stock market.

    27. Re:A million is easy by Billly+Gates · · Score: 1

      I find no straight 10% line unless you include the volatility of the 1990s so I am skeptical and would never think my savings will always grow 10% compounded year over year. If that were the case the top 20% would all be millionaires by now.

    28. Re:A million is easy by Dahamma · · Score: 1

      I find no straight 10% line unless you include the volatility of the 1990s

      Sigh. You don't NEED a straight 10% line! That's the point of using the S&P for a *retirement* account like 401(k). All you need is an averaged 10% over 30 years, which is pretty much true over any window that size.

      Hell, when you *include* the single largest drop in the history of the market (1987 crash) it's *still* up 10% in the last 30 years. Much of the "90's volatility" was a recovery of the late 80's downward volatility, just as the early 80's were a recovery from the late 70's, just as the mid 2000's were a recovery from the early 2000's and the last couple of years a recovery from the late 2000's. It's a giant sawtooth, sure, but it's an upward pointing sawtooth with a long term averaged gain of about 10%.

      If that were the case the top 20% would all be millionaires by now.

      It only happens if you 1) invest enough each year for that interest to accumulate to that level, and 2) ACTUALLY FOLLOW what was said in this thread. The fact is, most people don't do #1 and max out their 401(k), or do #2 and follow the simple guideline suggested, ie. cautious investment in an indexed S&P fund vs silly risky investments and pointlessly moving around their funds (which is usually a losing battle against the market makers). And one BIG area people fail is to get scared of a bad year and not invest as much or more the next, even though time and again that's the BEST time to invest. Look at most of the years that the market was down double digits, and it was often up double digits the next year. When the market tanks, it's time to double down, not run away (as long as you in toe the long run). And sure, don't trust me on that, Warren Buffet has used that investing strategy pretty damn well...

      Oh, and if you include homes, the number of millionaires in the US is pushing 15%+, anyway. It's over 5% if you exclude homes (but why many stats do I don't know, real estate in many areas is clearly a major capital investment). A million just ain't what it used to be...

    29. Re:A million is easy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      10% return is not impossible. You won't get it every year, but S&P 500 index funds would be up 18% or so in the last year. A good year for sure, but investing in index funds is cheap and simple for us normal people.

  26. Sure, but it won't mean the same thing by Gavrielkay · · Score: 1

    Being a millionaire in "our lifetime" probably won't mean much. With inflation and medical costs of growing old, you'll need a few million just to retire. Unless they think they'll earn that million in the next 5 years or so, it's not going to get them what they think.

  27. You sure you interviewed developers? by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    Sounds more like the interview happened in some management circles.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  28. Very possible by albeit+unknown · · Score: 1

    This is certainly achievable for a technical professional. I've done it. I'm close to the million dollar threshold at age 40, and have done it while working solely at "competitive pay" (HR-speak), non-management, no-stock-option jobs. The secret? Save 20% or more of my income and start saving on day one out of college. My first job paid $50k but I treated it like $40k. I don't have cable. I don't drive a fancy car. I don't take out loans to buy things. Barring a major life calamity, I can now coast the rest of the way if needed.

    1. Re:Very possible by vux984 · · Score: 1

      I'm not at all skeptical of your claim, but I'm curious: married? (dual income?) kids? own a house?

    2. Re:Very possible by albeit+unknown · · Score: 1

      I would like to be married with children but am not. I have chosen to rent and invest the difference. Obviously I have made some "sacrifices". I also receive zero tax credits and writeoffs. My point was to treat savings as a necessary expense on par with food, health care, and basic shelter. If something will cut into your savings rate, such as a larger house, a nicer car, or HBO, YOU CAN'T AFFORD IT. I know I must be prepared for opportunities in tech to be more scarce once I reach age 50. I don't view this as a plan to get rich. This is a plan to avoid being poor.

    3. Re:Very possible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have chosen to rent and invest the difference.

      You do realise that the difference is typically negative? It is very hard to find a rental apartment or house that is not at least 30% more expensive than the monthly mortgage pay for buying something similar (and fully owning it after 25 years)?

  29. Why only a sample size of 1000? by qwijibo · · Score: 1

    Where did they get the 1000 responses? Did some management magazine offer free subscriptions to managers who stood over their employees as they filled in their responses to the survey? The data suggests this happened at least 98% of the time.

  30. System Admins: Gaurdians of the Millionaires by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It certainly seems that way judging from the comments on this site.

  31. Infrastructure by DaMattster · · Score: 1, Insightful

    The infrastructure guys always get fucked over, always! Without infrastructure, what will your whiz bang application run on? Software Engineers, developers, you guys have it made whereas the lowly systems and network admins only get recognition when something takes a shit.

    1. Re:Infrastructure by nine-times · · Score: 1

      Without infrastructure, what will your whiz bang application run on?

      And where are we all without the construction workers, janitors, and migrant farm workers?

  32. Old story by no-body · · Score: 1

    How many (%) excpect to go to heaven (or equivalent, based on believe-system)?

    Much higher than those puny 56 %, and millenia older as well...

  33. "Millionaire" - The Middle class retirement goal. by netsavior · · Score: 1

    Developers are white collar workers, who can do math. If you ask any white collar worker in america "Do you expect to become a millionaire?" If they answer no, they are either bad at math or bad at retirement planning, or both.

    Now I am not saying "everyone will be a millionaire" but I am saying that if you asked the same thing of a Nurse, pharmacist, professor, regional manager at Jack-in-the-Box, or a School Administrator... they should have the same answer, as they have similar salary levels to a "Developer."

    Any young-ish person in the $75k+ salary level should answer yes to that question... or should seriously downsize their spending.

  34. Think it through. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    After retirement age, you also receive social security payments (in addition to your retirement income).

    1 million dollars invested in a conservative bond fund will yield $40,000 a year, with no hit to principle. Most of America lives (comfortably) on that (or less) today. In addition to that, you will have social security.

    This income puts you in the top 10 percent of the world's wealthy. If you can't live comfortably on that, you are absolutely doing it wrong.

    1. Re:Think it through. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >After retirement age, you also receive social security payments.

      Not bloody likely with the way that government finances are going.

    2. Re:Think it through. by Ken_g6 · · Score: 1

      After retirement age, you also receive social security payments (in addition to your retirement income).

      You hope.

      --
      (T>t && O(n)--) == sqrt(666)
    3. Re:Think it through. by vux984 · · Score: 2

      1 million dollars invested in a conservative bond fund will yield $40,000 a year, with no hit to principle. Most of America lives (comfortably) on that (or less) today. In addition to that, you will have social security.

      And if you are of retirement age today, 1Million is enough. Now project that forward 30 or 40 years.

      To put it into perspective, if you had 500k in 1980, that gave you the same purchasing power as 1 million does today.

      So if you think 1 million today is enough to retire, and you plan to retire in 25 years, you actually need to aim for 2 million.

      If you are just entering the work force (18 to 20), you are looking at working 40-50 years, and will need even more. close to 3 million.

      After retirement age, you also receive social security payments

      Only a fool would count on it being there in another 25-30 years. Its already seeing the force of the boomer generation hit it. If you've got a million+ in capital at retirement I wouldn't be surprised that your social security will be stripped to zilch. I can hear the politicians bleating now... "we're paying middle class millionaires social security...is that worth a tax increase?"

    4. Re:Think it through. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only a fool would count on it being there in another 25-30 years.

      Only a fool would count on their saving being there in 25-30 years. The US is a ponzi scheme of welfare benefits and government debt.

    5. Re:Think it through. by vux984 · · Score: 1

      Only a fool would count on their saving being there in 25-30 years. The US is a ponzi scheme of welfare benefits and government debt.

      That's why you'd use international diversification. And if that doesn't work, odds are you are going to have bigger problems than your savings being wiped out at retirement.

    6. Re:Think it through. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To put it into perspective, if you had 500k in 1980, that gave you the same purchasing power as 1 million does today.

      Nah, it'd be closer to 1.5M USD

    7. Re:Think it through. by coinreturn · · Score: 1

      Only a fool would count on it being there in another 25-30 years. Its already seeing the force of the boomer generation hit it. If you've got a million+ in capital at retirement I wouldn't be surprised that your social security will be stripped to zilch. I can hear the politicians bleating now... "we're paying middle class millionaires social security...is that worth a tax increase?"

      That's what they were saying in the seventies and here it is 40 years later and still around. Seniors vote. Seriously, they vote.

  35. Sure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Everyone in Zimbabwe is a millionaire too. Your cost of living will be astronomical and you'll be working harder than previous generations to get less. But don't forget how productive you are! Produce, produce, produce, produce, produce! Oh yes! Produce some more!

  36. yeah and... by JustNiz · · Score: 4, Informative

    >> 56 percent expect to become millionaires in their lifetime.

    yeah and 99% of software engineers also seriously believe their initial time estimate to have that feature implemented by was actually realistic.

    1. Re:yeah and... by MozeeToby · · Score: 1

      More than 56% of developers should be millionaires before they hit retirement age, that is about what you need to comfortably retire today at age 60, in 20 years it won't be enough. To quote Number Two: A million dollars isn't exactly a lot of money these days.

    2. Re:yeah and... by ADRA · · Score: 2

      http://articles.latimes.com/20...

      There are roughly 9.6 million millionares in the US presently (NOT INCLUDING HOUSES). That works out to roughly 3% of the population, so not a ton.

      Given that I think most dev's probably fall into the top 1/3rd earners in society and that the 'millionaire' mark errodes yearly with inflation, its very likely that a large number of software developers will in fact be millionaires by the time they retire. The real question is in 30 years, what will a million bucks be in buying power, and will the next big number be 10 millionare, etc. instead.

      --
      Bye!
    3. Re:yeah and... by WaffleMonster · · Score: 1

      yeah and 99% of software engineers also seriously believe their initial time estimate to have that feature implemented by was actually realistic.

      I'm privileged to be part of that 1% elite who believes all of their time estimates are wrong and laughably absurd while making them.

    4. Re:yeah and... by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Yours is the best comment in the story.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    5. Re:yeah and... by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      Thanks :-)

    6. Re:yeah and... by Dahamma · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but not including houses makes no sense. I'm pretty sure by the time I (and many others in the same boat) retire I'll be able to sell my very modest SF Bay Area house, move almost anywhere else in the country, and be much better off financially for it.

  37. It's easy by sideslash · · Score: 1

    Just publish an app. And monetize it. Problem solved.[1]

    [1] Note that for many programmers who try this technique, the universe may opt to substitute an equivalent product, such as gained knowledge about how the world works and reduction of personal naivete.

    1. Re:It's easy by Quirkz · · Score: 1

      I've tried duct tape art, a web game, a book, and a dot-com startup, but no apps yet. I think that's next of my checklist of educational monetary failures, though. If they say you've got to try seven businesses before one becomes successful*, I've only got three more to go before I hit it big.

    2. Re:It's easy by sideslash · · Score: 1

      You know what they say, have fun but don't quit your day job!

    3. Re:It's easy by Quirkz · · Score: 1

      That there is the true secret to my success.

  38. Sure by BenSchuarmer · · Score: 2

    but a million bucks doesn't go as far as it used to

  39. Very simple by neonv · · Score: 1

    Becoming a millionaire in a person's lifetime is very simple and most people can do it. Contribute 10% of your income to your retirement accounts over the course of your lifetime into a diversified portfolio, and you will become a millionaire. Time and discipline are the keys, not generating a large income. Unfortunately, most people are missing one of those two attributes.

  40. Paid Advertising? by jythie · · Score: 1

    Seriously, did they pay slashdot to run this garbage? "IT consulting company produces colourful but unattributed info-graphic saying developers are important but IT is to slow." would be a better summary.

    1. Re:Paid Advertising? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Slashdot is owned by Dice now isn't it? You really have to ask if someone was paid to run something like that?

  41. Million Dollars by byteherder · · Score: 1

    1. Buy a million dollar house
    2. Spend the next 30 years paying off the mortgage
    3. Poof. Instant millionaire.

    1. Re:Million Dollars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not exactly instant if it takes 30 years. Plus you're going to end up paying 3 million when interest is included with that principal, so your plan actually requires someone to pay 3 million in order to have 1 million. And then you have to add the property taxes, maintenance, repairs, etc.

      Thinking like that is exactly why so few people accumulate any meaningful wealth in their lifetimes.

    2. Re:Million Dollars by byteherder · · Score: 1

      Not exactly instant if it takes 30 years.

      Not exactly instantly but it is typical of how people purchase a home.

      Plus you're going to end up paying 3 million when interest is included with that principal, so your plan actually requires someone to pay 3 million in order to have 1 million.

      Actually you will only be paying $616,560.88 total interest with a 3.5% mortgage over 30 years, $1,616,560.88 in total payments. The upside is that you are not paying rent and you get 30 years of appreciation in the home. Look at the price of home 30 years ago and compare them with today. That $1 million home could be worth $3-5 million.

    3. Re:Million Dollars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hell, I did that 3 years ago and the 1M house is now worth about 1.6M. So, amend that:

      1. But a million dollar house
      2. Cross your fingers for 5 years and hope that there are no giant bubbles, earthquakes, and there are at least 1-2 decent nearby IPOs.
      3. Poof. Even faster millionaire.

      Of course the problem is the same reason the 10 "sell your house!" fliers I get a week are pointless: I like where I live, so what's the point of selling? Ya gotta live somewhere...

  42. Download The Study by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    On the page it says "Download the Study". That is not a study, those are results of a study.

  43. Newbies... by mhkohne · · Score: 1

    I'm thinking the respondents were all fresh out of school, and haven't had their absurd expectations ground down by the real world yet...

    --
    A thousand pounds of wood moving at 300 feet per minute. Don't get in the way.
  44. Work hard... by Gavin+Scott · · Score: 1

    Work hard, save as much as you can, invest wisely. Should be easy to accumulate $1M.

    Unfortunately that's not really all that much money these days...

    G.

  45. Dear Boneheads: Don't ever be happy on paper by vinn · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I remember when I was younger and management would send out employee opinion surveys. I'd answer them, be truthful and feel like my opinion actually mattered. I felt it was proper to express exactly how happy or unhappy I was and that the survey was some mechanism for improving things.

    Then I became part of management and I realized how completely wrong I was.

    The employee opinion survey mostly serves as a crutch for manager's to pat themselves on the back and the do a very good job curve fitting the results to their preconceived notions of how things are. It also serves to weed out people with bad attitudes - I've overheard more than one discussion of trying to locate an employee based on the comment they made on the survey.

    So, if you say you're happy with the wage you're getting, you won't be getting a raise. In fact, it's even seen as a sign that pay cuts should be happening. Likewise, if you feel like you're a valued employee, good luck getting any more benefits. It's more likely management will use that as an excuse to strip away that one little perk, like free soda or something, just because they'll decrease the amount of HR budget dedicated to keeping employees happy. Don't ever be happy on paper.

    Unfortunately, it's not enough for just you to express your desire for a raise. If 40% of your colleagues think they get paid enough, that's probably enough for management to little to no wage increase. You really want less than 5 - 10% say they're happy - in other words, 90% of the employees in your department need to express displeasure with their wages in order for the survey to have any meaningful effect on wages. (There's plenty of other ways to get a raise though - an employee survey is probably one of the least likely ways for it to happen.)

    PS. If you think your company is one of those awesome companies that cares, you're probably wrong. If you sat in the room with the CEO, COO, and HR Director and heard that private conversation about the survey, you'd be horrified.

    --
    ----- obSig
    1. Re:Dear Boneheads: Don't ever be happy on paper by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Pretty much the same thing with your annual performance review.

      Excellent, good, or above-average = status quo.

      Average or unsatisfactory = HR ammo to use as an excuse to fire you in the future if necessary.

    2. Re:Dear Boneheads: Don't ever be happy on paper by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not under the delusion that the upper execs care about my salary, but where I work we get a raise every year. Last year I received a 4.3% raise and a promotion which was 5% more on top of that. This year we were hit by budget cuts pretty hard(including lay offs) and most people increased somewhere between 0.5-2%. I'm new to the company, so if the low raise turns out to be the norm I'll get out, but most people I've talked to said that this is rare. Raises are usually on the order of 2-5%

  46. Depends on when they started their careers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If it was 10 years ago, then they are more likely to have seen mass layoffs and departments shutting down due to outsourcing.

    2 benefits that I've seen of outsourcing is that the menial tasks/ busy work can be passed off to someone else (so my job satisfaction and engagement tends to be higher) and poor quallty code coming from outsourced teams will keep me employed for years.

  47. Expect? by PPH · · Score: 1

    I hate to break the bad news to them. The only people that will be making a million developing s/w will be making a million rupees.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  48. It's the surprises that get you. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    Being out of work for a couple of years, while still paying mortgage and COBRA and kids expenses, really takes a chunk out of your savings. That's not even counting what could happen when (not if) the banks or S&Ls or whatever other financial institution does a number on the economy and your stocks tank. (And like a few folks I know, I have a drawerful of stock options in companies which no longer exist.)

    If you're an older software developer prepare to be out of work for a long time if the economy turns sour. (I was out for 18 months when things went south in 2001/2002. I came back into the industry as a sys admin. Doesn't matter how good you are -- I still routinely learn new languages/packages/frameworks since I'm now in devops -- there's definitely an age bias especially in start-ups. The exceptions are those managers who are smart enough to recognize that the real skill in development is knowing what to do with a tool, not just how to use it. Any monkey can learn to code in a new language. Too many places don't want to pay you what you're worth, and don't want to hire you for what you're willing to take because "you'll just leave when something else comes along".)

    1. Re:It's the surprises that get you. by Mister+Mudge · · Score: 2

      +100

      Been there. Still digging out from the last 2 1/2 year stint of being jobless.

      --
      Mudge

      In theory, theory and practice are the same.
      In practice, they're not.

    2. Re:It's the surprises that get you. by luis_a_espinal · · Score: 1
      Word.

      I've been unemployed three times in the last 15 years. Once during the dot-com bust (on and off for almost a year). Then in 2008 (6 days right before my first daughter was born) for almost 4 months, and then just recently (end of the year 2013) for three months.

      I cannot imagine how bad it is to be unemployed longer than that, and I consider myself lucky that it was just a few months. But even if it is a few months, as you said, it is stuff like COBRA and other eventualities that get you.

      On my last unemployment event, when I tally the amount of salary lost + expenses that I must pay no matter what (COBRA, children medical bills, food, housing), that pretty much tallied up to a $30K loss. My wife and I were very well prepared financially in terms of savings. But no matter what, $30K are $30K. It hurts.

      Being out of work can pretty much amount to losing between $8K to $10K a month if we really analyze the situation. 12 months out of work is not unrealistic, regardless of talent, so I shiver to think at the very concept.

      And the worst thing is that unemployment can (and will come) regardless of performance. In the job I lost at the end of 2013, it was just someone in accounting that cancelled projects at the closing of the year. Nothing to do with performance.

      Shit happens, even in software, even if we have mad skills. Good thing that I learned my lesson during the dot-com bubble.

      I've been living by a formula: expect to be unemployed one-to-two months for every year of continuous employment, and plan for it.

      Now, I'm planning to bump it to two-to-three months per every year of continuous employment. The older we get the more that we have to bump that ratio, specially if we decide to remain technical as opposed to transition into management.

  49. What's with all the attitudes? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I imagine a lot of people here are software developers and in a similar position to myself. I made $70k my first year out of college, then $110k at my second job, and now I'm at my third job earning just under $150k. I definitely believe I will be a millionaire by 35. I was lucky to get in at a good time and have been living below my means while investing my money wisely.

  50. Slashdot trashed my less then symbols by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    if it was less then 10 years ago, then outsourcing has always been part of the job market. So they are less likely to have seen the massive negative impact of entire departments losing their jobs.

    if it was more then 10 years ago, then they are more likely to have seen mass layoffs and departments shutting down due to outsourcing.

  51. 8x Salary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I looked it up the other day. Answer is 8x final salary is the suggested number.

    1. Re:8x Salary by Enigma2175 · · Score: 1

      I looked it up the other day. Answer is 8x final salary is the suggested number.

      Only if you only intend on living 8 years after retiring (or even less considering inflation).

      --

      Enigma

    2. Re:8x Salary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't reply if you are completely ignorant. Your post shows you have no clue what you are talking about.

      Thanks

    3. Re:8x Salary by babyrat · · Score: 1

      Ooooh - come invest your money with me - I'll pay you the zero interest you are expecting and we'll both be happy.

    4. Re:8x Salary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is there some place paying better than zero? You really gonna keep your retirement in a high risk investment? When you need it to live? I think maybe you're the one lost in space.

  52. By the time most of them retire... by JustNiz · · Score: 1

    Being a millionaire is nothing.
    Lets assume the average age of a developer is young 30's. by the time they retire, a million won't buy much at all.

    Given inflation if someone currently aged 30 starts a mortgage on an average house now, they will probably be a millionaire in property assets alone by the time they retire.

  53. Wishing doesn't make it so by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    One could say the same thing about high school athletes expecting to go pro.

  54. I'm on track. Are you? by TechnoGrl · · Score: 1

    On the Internet nobody knows that you're unemployed.

    --
    ----- In Your Cubicle No One Can Hear You Scream...
    1. Re: I'm on track. Are you? by AK+Marc · · Score: 2

      Yeah, but if you are unemplyed, rob a bank to make up the difference. The best thing is, proceeds from robery are tax free, as the bank never files the 1099 under the right SSN.

  55. This just goes to show ... by Mister+Mudge · · Score: 4, Funny

    ... that developers are no less short-sighted, ignorant, or stupid than the rest of the US population.

    --
    Mudge

    In theory, theory and practice are the same.
    In practice, they're not.

    1. Re:This just goes to show ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I am a software developer, I am 25 and already have $100,000 in 401k + savings. Getting to a million doesn't seem like it will be that hard.

  56. Oh it'll happen, it's just... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    By the time I become a millionaire, a million dollars will be enough to buy a mid-sized sedan.

  57. In 20 years ... by laughingskeptic · · Score: 1

    You will have to be a millionaire in order to have anything close to a decent retirement. Even today, In order to retire on $60K a year right now and live another 40 years, you would need in the $1.6M range. People talk about teachers, soldiers and other public servants having low pay, but if you were to value their retirements as annuities you would see that they largely become millionaires when they retire. Being a millionaire isn't what it used to be. Upper middle class will in the near future translate to millionaire.

  58. Millionaires? Not aiming very high, are they? by FuegoFuerte · · Score: 1

    I expect by the time I die, McDonald's workers in the US will be able to become millionaires pretty quickly. Zimbabwe is full of millionaires, if you're talking Zim dollars. Of course, they burn their currency in the street to stay warm because it's cheaper than newspaper.

  59. A million isn't what it used to be... literally by nitehawk214 · · Score: 1

    A developer can make $100k easy and have a career that lasts for more than 4 decades.

    --
    I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
    1. Re:A million isn't what it used to be... literally by Mister+Mudge · · Score: 1

      A developer can make $100k easy and have a career that lasts for more than 4 decades.

      True - but earning a million dollars and being a "millionaire" are sets that don't necessarily intersect.

      --
      Mudge

      In theory, theory and practice are the same.
      In practice, they're not.

  60. here's how by buddyglass · · Score: 1

    Start working at 25. Work until you're 60. Put $800/month, every month, into an account that earns 4% nominal interest (i.e. counting inflation) annually. Buy a home worth about $300,000 and pay it off over 30 years. Assume the value of your home increases at about the same rate as inflation, so 1.5% annually. This is probably a low estimate. When you retire your savings account should have about $550,000. Your home should be worth about $450,000. Voila, millionaire.

  61. PFFFT! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I suppose next you'll expect us to believe that Nokia had a production ready web tablet 13 years ago! HAHAHAHA! Hogwash!

  62. Software Business?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I am in the Empire Business!

  63. Won't everyone be a millionaire? by swillden · · Score: 1

    At least, won't everyone who's paid a middle to upper middle class wage, buys a house and saves for retirement eventually be a millionaire?

    If you want to retire at 65 and have enough money to live a decent life for 30 years after that, you need pretty close to a million dollars plus a paid-off house. And, frankly, it's not that hard to accumulate a million dollars of net worth over a ~40-year career, assuming reasonable returns on your retirement account and modest appreciation on your home. I'm actually targeting net assets of two million for retirement, given that it's still 20 years away and I expect that inflation will roughly halve the value of the dollar between now and then.

    --
    Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    1. Re:Won't everyone be a millionaire? by Shados · · Score: 1

      Yup. Those numbers aren't surprising.

      If you're a decent software engineer and live in San Francisco, Boston or NYC and you buy a house today, by the time you retire, it will probably be worth 1-2 million.

      Then other stuff in the summary:

      being most valued employee at your organization. If you exclude the execs, yes, software engineers probably get the best work to salary + benefit ratio if any profession right now.

      Any decent software engineer who doesn't get a raise this year is probably quitting faster than their employer can tell them the news, and will start their new job with an extra 10-20% pay tacked on before they finish their sentence.

      In place worth working at, outsourcing is frequently used for level 1 and 2 support, click testing (so actual QA Engineers can do something more meaningful), and to deal with legacy software no one else wants to touch.

      Its not that way everywhere, and that's why the numbers aren't 100% in every category. But they seem about right.

  64. Not what it used to be by istartedi · · Score: 1

    During the housing boom, a friends father was surprised when we reasoned that he was a millionaire. All it took was his house, which was almost paid off (and probably worth north of $600k at the time) and a decent 401k since he was at or near retirement. Easy millionaire. I'd go so far as to say that if you don't expect to become a millionaire, it simply means you've landed on the wrong side of our increasingly bifurcated economy.

    --
    For all intensive purposes, "whom" is no longer a word. That begs the question, "who cares"?
  65. In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Being a "millionaire" is basically middle class in most major US cities.

  66. A million is nowhere near enough to retire! by Moof123 · · Score: 1

    Shortly after starting my first job I calculated I would need 4 Million to retire, and pretty much the day I got there I could retire regardless of how old I was (conversely, I really can't retire till I get there). A dozen years later I re-ran numbers with new assumptions (having forgotten my old ones), and came up with 3.5 Million. At the pace I am at I might be able to retire in my early 60's at best. Sadly, even if I crank up my contributions I make little change in that date, thanks to compounding interest.

    My goal now needs to be to start saving more into things that can be cashed out before 59.5 without penalties to hedge my bet.

    YMMV.

  67. Doable by allcoolnameswheretak · · Score: 1

    If you are 25, earn a decent wage (+60k $ a year) and are able to save 20% of your income, which you invest in stocks that pay dividends of 3% on average, which you reinvest, and assuming that you get a moderate wage increases of 3% a year, being a millionaire at 65 is doable.
    At least that's what my financial planning Excel sheet says.

  68. i expect that alot of people in their 20's will be by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    given compound interest and the average inflation rate of around 3% a year a fairly average mid level engineer can happily make $60k a year assuming a decent developer is going to be ending their career on closer to 100k (possibly more) in todays money, that actually works out to 331k a year in 2055 dollars assuming you were able to save 10% of this at a rate that matched inflation that would be three quarters of a million dollars (assuming somewhat steady salary growth). add on the value of the house you've probably bought and the value of inheritances it adds up to well more than a million dollars. Though given the house prices in the UK i would have to work pretty dam hard not to be a millionaire off the value of one of my parents houses (average house price in the area i was born is $500k for a decent sized 3 bed in todays money) This is not atypical.

  69. ok by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    My wife and I did it in 13 years and she has a regular non-software job making 1/2 my salary. I also never hit it big, just regular job over time. The half of it is maximizing the 401k every working year and contributing to Roth IRA and saving 90% of any performance bonuses in addition to regular non-retirement savings of 15% salary. We felt horrible 2008 - 2011 but we cruised our way to a mil in 2013. Our salary during those years hardly made any difference.

  70. A million is easy by KingMotley · · Score: 2

    Yeah, if you continue to make 50k for 18 years straight, especially as a developer, you've done something very wrong. Living off of 29k pre-tax isn't difficult. Just difficult if you try and live like you have 50k to spend and only really have 29k. Getting ahead isn't easy if you have no self control, but it's really easy if you plan ahead and stick to it.

  71. By what definition of "millionaire"? by QilessQi · · Score: 1

    If we're talking "has a net worth of over US$1M", that's not too crazy, especially given how inflation will affect salaries in the coming years. Heck, even though they called Thurston Howell III a "millionaire", he was probably a multi-millionaire, since $1M in 1964 would be just about $7.5M today*.

    But if we're using millionaire figuratively, as in, "will be in the top 1%", well... not likely. You'd have to have a net income of around $1M to make it into the top 1%, and a net worth of about $16M. A net worth of $1M (and a net income of $250K) barely gets you into the top 20% ( http://www2.ucsc.edu/whorulesa... )

    * Yes, "Gilligan's Island" is 50 years old come this September. Half a century. I have just made some of you feel incredibly old.

  72. Definition of Millionaire doesn't include your hom by sparkyradar · · Score: 1

    Yes, your home will be worth that much quite easily, I bet. But, the "new-age" definition of a "millionaire" is having $1M investible... *NOT INCLUDING* your home. But these days, being a millionaire at retirement is just middle-class - nothing exceptional, but you should be comfortable. It's a great aim-point.

  73. Define "millionaire" by sootman · · Score: 1

    20 years at $50k is pretty reasonable. Now just quit charging things and you might actually have some money in 20 years.

    --
    Dear Slashdot: next time you want to mess with the site, add a rich-text editor for comments.
  74. 56 percent are dilusional. by Lumpy · · Score: 1

    Programming is the new factory work, and software patents have ruined the industry so badly that anything that is slightly innovative is murdered by assholes with patents.

    --
    Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
  75. a million in my birth year is $8M now by peter303 · · Score: 1

    We had a decade of high inflation in the 1970s that contribute almost half of the dollar depreciation since my birth. I think my 'birth million" would feel like a real million, i.e. a decent retirement at any age. A millionaire in all those silly 1960s sitcoms was a real millionaire! conversely my fathers coworkers felt OK if they retired with a $100K or two.

  76. Re:Definition of Millionaire doesn't include your by TsuruchiBrian · · Score: 1

    I really don't even hear people use the term millionaire anymore. Plus I could just sell my home and I would have $1 million not including my home. Do I really need a million dollar home AND a $1 million in a bank account for this weird new age definition? Why not just require $2 million net worth? Or better yet how about a relative term like "the 1%". I assume that the richest 1% of people will always be considered rich.

  77. I did it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm a software engineer and my net worth is > $1 million, and most of it came from developing software.

    How I did it:
    1. Got a BS in engineering and an MS in math -- qualified me for good salaries right from the start of my career.
    2. Taught myself FORTRAN, then assembly language, then Pascal, then C and C++. Switched focus from traditional engineering to software engineering (in technical application areas, like aerospace and communication)
    3. Worked for first rate firms that paid well and offered good benefits.
    4. Lived comfortably but beneath my means. Paid mostly cash and saved consistently, with max contributions to 401k. Invested carefully, most notably in MSFT in the late 80's, and later in solid companies and S&P 500 Index funds. Always re-invested dividends.
    5. Got lucky in the California real estate boom of the late 90's and early 00's. Took my profits and left SoCal and its expensive real estate.
    6. Switched to lucrative contract work in recent years and endured motels and modest apartments while on the road;

    Did this mostly on one salary, after a divorce and paying *big* alimony for ten years (or I would have reached 1 mil sooner).

  78. Money grows. $500 / month X 32 years = $million by raymorris · · Score: 1

    Money invested grows. First, the money you put in grows, then the growth grows.
    Then that "free" money you got from growth itself grows some more money.
    This is the magic of compounding. With average returns, $500 per month for 32 years will grow to $1 million.

  79. 89% of US Citizens Expect To Become Millionaires by beefoot · · Score: 1

    Let me use my trust worthy excel (oh no) to calculate the future value of savings of $5K per year for 50 years at 5% interest rate, guess what, it is +$1M.

  80. Starbucks by raymorris · · Score: 1

    > (and to the GP, you threw away that 100/mo TV subscription, that is only $1200 - where does the 5k come from?)

    Starbucks. Making a pot of coffee at home instead of buying Starbucks is another $1,200 / year. The point is ditch the stuff, LIKE THE $100 / MONTH TV, that is less important than a comfortable retirement.

    Just be sure to hide the money you're saving by giving up the deluxe cable package and the Starbucks. In a few years, you'll have enough money to pay your bills for 25 years of retirement. At that point, there will be millions of people who spent their money on crap screaming "he's a greedy millionaire! Tax that away from him and give it to me, because I don't have squat!"

  81. Dunning-Krugger Effect? Self-Selecting Bias? by luis_a_espinal · · Score: 2

    56 Percent of US Developers Expect To Become Millionaires

    I downloaded the study by Chef (which amounted to a 3-page PDF), and there was no breakdown of the sample population by age, race/ethnic make-up, gender, marital status, location, degree and primary/secondary software skills. So, one has to wonder how much of a self-selection bias took place in this so-called study.

    For instance, I cannot see a way by which a sample population of single men in their late 20s working as developers (or founders) at start-ups in Silicon Valley will respond the questionnaire in a manner comparable to, say, a mixed gender sample population of developers in their mid-30s or 40s working at established companies out of, say, Austin.

    Also, regarding age, someone starting up today should not find it impossible to become, literally, a millionaire as in "having earned a million" by the time of retirement. To effectively be a millionaire - meaning having net assets worth a million or more (at current purchasing power) counting inflation, that is another thing.

    The thing that made me scratch my head the most is that 2/3 of the sampled population believed their profession to be recession-proof. That strikes me as naivete (or stupidity) of youth/inexperience/arrogance.

    The software industry is not recession-proof. It is recession-resilient for those who actively cultivate their professional network.

    But recession-proof? Not. A. Chance.

    Either this study is seriously affected by the Dunning-Krugger Effect, or it is an exercise in intellectual self-pleasure, or somehow Chef managed to sample a population composed by truly elite multi-discipline engineers, owners of very hard-to-get skills (like building software for radar systems or something.)

  82. Being a Millionaire by labradore · · Score: 1

    My dad was a small-town banker and my father-in-law was a box factory floor manager.

    Both managed to save over half a million before they retired through no particular brilliance, just hard work and saving.

    If you're a developer younger than 35 and don't save a million before you retire, there's a good chance that you're either not going to retire or you're going to be poor when you do.

    Retiring at 65 and living to 85 gets you 50k per year with a million dollars of savings. Investment and interest could extend that another 5 to 10 years. On the other hand, medical technology advancing gives you a pretty good chance of living that long. Save now. Spend later.

    1. Re:Being a Millionaire by bwcbwc · · Score: 1

      What I get for not scrolling down before posting. Being a millionaire ain't what it used to be: it's definitely middle class now.

      --
      We are the 198 proof..
  83. Headline is silly... by bwcbwc · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If you earn $80k+ a year, you need to be a double millionaire just in retirement savings to maintain your income when you retire. I guess this means 44% of developers don't expect to retire at age 65?

    --
    We are the 198 proof..
    1. Re:Headline is silly... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's also silly to think you need the same amount of income after you retire as you had pre-retirement.

      If you make $80k/yr and are putting $25k/yr into your 401k you are sitting at $55k in adjusted gross income. Not having to work means you are spending as much on clothes, transportation and eating out. Social Security would probably replace $15-20k of that $55k meaning you really only need to come up with $30-35k of income to maintain your lifestyle.

      Not that having 12x your final annual salary in retirement savings isn't a good goal, it isn't likely to really be necessary. Your heirs might appreciate though.

    2. Re:Headline is silly... by stenvar · · Score: 1

      If you make $80k and save 10% every year in your 401k, you'll easily be a millionaire in 30 years.

      http://www.bloomberg.com/perso...

      Furthermore, things don't magically get better with defined benefit plans; if you were to get a pension for the same amount, you effectively have to save up the same amount of money somewhere, except that other people likely will take a substantial chunk of it away.

    3. Re:Headline is silly... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have to agree with the parent - this isn't shocking to me at all. In fact, I'm slightly surprised it's as low as 56%. Remember that "millionaire" is traditionally your total net worth - including all sorts of assets that aren't liquid. Your house value, your unrealized investment gains (401k, IRAs, and traditional investments), all the crap you own (cars, high value items, and other relatively durable stores of value), savings, etc.

      I've been in the industry post-college for about 15 years. I'm a very good part of the way there already - enough so that I should probably cross the line by the time I turn 45. Of that, 45% is in my 401k and IRAs (which is essentially untouchable in the near future), 30% is in more liquid investments, and 25% is in my house equity. I'm by no means all that highly paid, but I live cheaply, had a wife who made a roughly equal salary for the first ten years of getting started (which made my fixed expenses much less for that decade, but counts for about a 100k loss when we split), work both my day job and do contracting work in my spare time (so work my ass off), and have done reasonably well with investments.

      In 25-30 years, a million won't be that much for retirement. At least not at a lifestyle level that any reasonably-paid professional developer would want to be at.

    4. Re:Headline is silly... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Do most people expect to carry on earning the same amount in retirement? Usually by that point your expenses are much lower, since the kids have left home and the mortgage is paid off. No need to commute five days a week, and you can take holidays outside of peak times when everything is cheaper. You could downsize your family size home to get a lump sum too.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    5. Re:Headline is silly... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's... not how that works. You don't need to maintain your income. You need to cover your expenses. Presumably if you saved two million dollars on $80,000/year, you don't need to maintain that income level after you retire.

  84. A million isn't much, but is easily achievable by Oddhack · · Score: 2

    Becoming a millionaire over the course of a working lifetime isn't too challenging. Stay employed and put 15-20% of your income into broad-market index funds every year without fail. Don't throw it away on booze, drugs, or houses in a housing bubble. That said, a million bucks isn't a lot of money - it is maybe just barely retirement money at the same standard of living you had while employed.

    Becoming a multimillionaire over the course of a few years is pretty challenging, and if that's what the survey really means, those people are mostly going to be disappointed.

  85. What's wrong with the rest of them? by pubwvj · · Score: 1

    Only 56% expect to become millionaires?
    What is wrong with the other 44%?

  86. Interesting number by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You do realize the 50% of developers are below average performers.

  87. So... by benjfowler · · Score: 3, Insightful

    So, no different to the peculiarly American trait of considering poor people "temporarily embarrassed millionaires". No thanks to the self-serving ideology peddled by the rich, that we'd all be better off if we all worked harder, never mind the fact that the rich get rich by capturing the surplus value of your labour.

    There's a degree of this everywhere (e.g. the hundreds of millions of retards out there who consider themselves "middle class", despite needing a paycheck each week/month to survive), but nowhere is this stronger, than in the US.

  88. Oh Snap! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oh no you Did-ent!

  89. Yes. No JOkE. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well, at a salary of $80,000 US dollars a year and working for 30-35 years, yes you will earn well over $2.4 million.

    So what's the point?

  90. Good Luck with that ..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yeah as a developer at Intel in 2000 I was looking out 6yrs forward at about $850,000 in stock options based on all things remaining more or less equal stock price wise. Well that got burned when the tech bubble blew-up. And even more folks got burned in 2007 -2008. Good luck with our boom-bust cycle that only favors the 1%.

  91. 9 years at my job by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    When I saw "The average developer expects to stay at his or her job for nine years." I lost a lot of faith in the study.

  92. Methodology Missing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Lies, damned lies and statistics, TFA links to an executive summary only. I tried my best to find a full report with the methodology they used, but came up with nothing. Slashdot, I expect better of you before posting this garbage.

  93. and they are right by stenvar · · Score: 1

    Do the math here:

    http://www.bloomberg.com/perso...

    Saving 10% of your salary is going to give you a lot more than a million dollars over 30 years, even in constant dollars.

  94. WOW! 95% delusional... by Rick+in+China · · Score: 1

    This part is hilarious, "95 percent report they feel they are 'one of the most valued employees at their organization" What that says to me is - those people's managers need a raise! Clearly they're making everyone feel like the unique special super outputting flower they aren't, keeping them with the organisation by feeding their ego, that's absolutely awesome - I need to learn their tricks of the trade to use on my wife!

  95. Inflation by flyingfsck · · Score: 1

    Every day, it is becoming easier to reach that target. To 'retire' on rental income, you need to own 4 or more apartments and that is already over a million bucks.

    --
    Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
  96. DIdn't realize developers Michiganites by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

    Apparently they are all from Lake Woebegone, where the children are all above average.

    --
    She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
  97. retiring will require being a millionaire by ganv · · Score: 1

    With inflation and continued erosion of social security and other retirement income sources other than assets, my calculations say that I simply can't retire with a middle class income if I don't have quite a bit more than $1 million in 2040 when I retire. Real returns are below 5% these days, and $1million kicks off less than $50,000 per year which will likely be well below median in 2040. As others have noted, it is not all that hard to reach $1 million with regular investing and modest real returns (and assuming we don't have a market collapse which is not an entirely justified assumption). But it is a system that a large number of numerically handicapped Americans seem not to be able to plan for or cope with. I would translate the headline: "44% of US developers don't think they are going to be able to retire (or simply have never done the math)".

  98. No problem, until.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ..you get hosed. In the late '90s, I was a millionaire (on paper) for about 4 days, a month or so before our dotcom was purchased by a bunch of wackjobs from the friendly north-lands. By the time I could exercise any of my options, they were worth about $400K. A year and a half later when I walked out the door for the last time, they were worth $1200. Hosers.

  99. And by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    1. Don't drink or smoke or do anything unnecessary that costs $. (There's your IRA contrib.)
    2. Don't have any kids. (There's your 401K contrib.)
    3. Move very far from your parents and family so that you are the last person considered when someone needs money or care.
    4. Living in a van down by the river helps, too. (I wish!)
    5. Don't work for a University, where salaries are about 40% of what you'd be making at a real company. (A personal problem.)

  100. So Much Fail by sirwired · · Score: 1

    1) A typical well-diversified index fund delivers returns over the long-term well over the interest charged on mortgages or car loans if you took out those loans when you have decent credit. It makes utterly no sense to lose the ability to take advantage of tax-advantaged investments in order to pay off low-interest loans at a vastly accelerated pace. It's a worthy goal to have your house paid off by the time you retire, but no need to be crazy about it. (Yeah, credit cards do suck and you should pay those off ASAP after you get your max 401(k) match, if offered.)
    2) You should be taking advantage of every tax-advantaged investment you have available. That means dumping the max into an IRA, and if your employer has one available, also dumping the max into their 401(k) program.
    3) Even if your employer has a lousy 401(k) program, once you've maxed out your individual IRA limit (which doesn't take much if your employer offers a 401(k)) it still makes sense to dump as much money as you can into it. The next time you switch employers, you can roll over your 401(k) into your IRA. (My employer's 401(k) is quite good, with expenses of only 0.12%/yr, so there's no reason ever to take my money out.)
    5) If your employer offers a 401(k) match (even 50 cents on the dollar), you'd have to be a complete blithering idiot to not take advantage of it.
    6) Seriously? You claim your investing acumen is SO good, that you can routinely achieve 20-50% returns in a month in a practice portfolio, but you don't invest because a five-page Schedule D is your idea of too much work? (Especially since most of the "work" is nothing more than copying the data from your statements into a tax program.) I call B.S. That kind of return would make Warren Buffet look like an amateur and the finest hedge fund kingpin look like he was running a lemonade stand.

    1. Re:So Much Fail by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      1) A typical well-diversified index fund delivers returns over the long-term well over the interest charged on mortgages or car loans if you took out those loans when you have decent credit.

      Buy and hold! If you buy-and-hold, you are nearly guaranteed not to loose--and if you do, it'll probably be less than a 3% loss over 20 years. Sure, you might gain 14% in 20 years (not the much touted 10% per year), but importantly you won't lose so much. Of course trying to time your investments to the market can make you 56% gains per year, or lose you 48%--and that's a lot more loss than a buy-and-hold strategy might expose you to, and a lot more likely to happen!

      Yeah, the market is hard. The easy version of the market is slow.

      (Yeah, credit cards do suck and you should pay those off ASAP after you get your max 401(k) match, if offered.)

      My credit cards cost me less than my house. Consider $150/mo per payment, versus a one-time $80 payment and a year and some months with no interest. I do some monkey business with the cards to get that kind of thing going on (BAC has 14 month no-interest balance transfers all the time), and I frequently have exceedingly high credit card debt which costs me all of $200/year in fees and interest the worst of times. If I ever bought a $6000 motorcycle, I'd finance it with my credit cards in part, due to 6% motorcycle loans. For the most part, my cards stay high because I target other debt or stack up cash before paying them--it's a strategy that has saved me thousands of dollars.

      My employer's 401(k) match is a lower immediate return than paying extra into my mortgage, which is nearly a 70% return. To make this more physical: If I put $225 in my 401(k), I get a match of $112.50. If I put $225 in my mortgage payment, I skip about $150 of interest at the moment. $150 > $112.50, even though they both end in 50.

      You have not done full-scale investment. I can tell. I can tell because you obviously have not spent several 8-12 hours per day analyzing the indexes against each other (it's just division), analyzing technical metrics, analyzing news (yay Marketwatch), waking up at 4am to read the news and check the foreign markets, making trends predictions, drawing arcs and channels and other funny things on graphs, squinting hard when you see multiple indicators in conflict, trying to resolve the conflicts to work out a good guess at what the market will do, and then just gave up and cashed out on Friday so that you don't have to worry about 2 non-trading days and what might happen while you can't do anything about it, come back Monday to start again.

      Have you ever seen someone who was completely sober, had gotten 2-3 hours of sleep per night for weeks, and talked reallyreallyfastliketheywereonmeth? That was me for a few weeks.

      This is not a leisure job. You don't lay back, masturbate some while checking out Playboy Asia, idly click on a few things, buy, sell, mmhmm... It's not World of Warcraft. It is a vicious game of absolute timing, of completely predictable behavior that requires mountains of knowledge to actually predict, of a complete lack of those mountains of knowledge, of strife and fear and reflexes and reaction and bounds and calculations. It's chaos theory: the random element is what you don't know. Insider traders get to look at all the cards, high-level traders look at some of the cards and do card counting, and the fish are there just throwing down chips and hoping they can get a full house.

      I don't care to work that hard. I got an honest job instead, and worked on minimizing my mandatory expenses and enhancing the stability of my financial positi

  101. Just adopt the Leaf as our currency! by LaughingVulcan · · Score: 1

    We can all be millionaires! (And spend several deciduous forests for one peanut.)

    Thank you, Douglas Adams!

    Seriously, why do a majority of people think each can live "the good life" and not have to do some kind of labor for a living?

  102. So that's what's wrong with slashdot today by whitroth · · Score: 1

    All the idiot 20-somethings and 30-somethings who are *SURE* they're going to be millionaires, and so want to make sure millionaires pay lower taxes than they are now. And they'll never need to worry 'bout healthcare, and of *course* they'll retire at 40.....

    Allow me to reiterate: there are two kinds of Republicans, Libertarians, and neoConfederate "Tea Partiers": millionaires, and suckers.

                        mark

  103. just like high school football players! by a11ikat · · Score: 1

    Guess this explains the conservative / libertarian tone of so many slashdot posts & replies. Voting for tax cuts for rich and food stamp cuts for poor is OK, because they're planning on joining the rich! Incredible! How about expanding your world view outside the edges of your screen.

  104. but how many of them expect to by a house? by mlemley · · Score: 1

    Most live in San Francisco, after all.

  105. This is no good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This will just encourage my wife to keep asking when I'm gonna write an app that makes us rich so we can retire on the beach.

  106. Re: yeah and.... by admintpj · · Score: 1

    It probably also says that developers want to spend time writing documentation, creating project plans, and attending "mandatory, all hands" meetings rather than coding.

  107. Conflict of Interest? by bbsalem · · Score: 1

    This raises red flags that it represents an effort by the owner of Slashdot, dice.com, a major recruitment firm, to spread prejudicial opinion to support its interests, and that brings into question the wisdom of posting to slashdot that the headlines are mostly plants by biased individuals working for the special interest of the parent company.

    On the face of it the expectation cited by the OP doesn't square with reality. I would rather see what the real earning power of developers is, statistics, a distribution of income, rather than some pollyanna wish, some pumped up and self-serving propaganda. I expect that the percentage of developers who have made $1 million is far less than this hoped for amount. That most are not successful to that extant.

    And besides, why choose that amount of money? $1 Million is not a huge amount of money, by today's standards. Maybe it is for a couple of people to live off the fat of the lamb, but really not that much. If you estimate 10X inflation of prices over 40 years, or so. $100 K in 1974 would be the same amount of money.

  108. taxes are only going up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I don't understand why people don't want to pay taxes *now* and have money immediately available, versus locking that money up and paying much larger taxes later. It should be obvious to everyone taxes are not going any lower, ever. So I'm not exactly sure what the advantage is. Unless you're one of the lucky ones where your company matches your contribution 100%.

  109. Inflation and Cost-of-living by evilviper · · Score: 1

    "According to a recent survey of 1,000 U.S.-based software developers, 56 percent expect to become millionaires in their lifetime.

    That's not difficult if you're earning 6-fixgures, aren't staying in a very expensive area, and are just good with money.
    <Insert joke about nerds being single>

    66 percent also said they expect to get raises in the next year, despite the current state of the economy.

    I personally expect to get a raise every-single-year. Inflation stays around 3% every year. If my company doesn't give me AT-LEAST a 3% increase in salary each year, I consider it a slap-in-the-face. A pay cut by another name. And worse, a pay cut after a sterling annual review, and a year of hard work.

    Inflation/cost-of-living year-over-year was only at zero for ONE year, during the depths of the recession. It's not an ongoing excuse to withhold annual raises.

    There's little that pisses me off more than hearing that "company policy" limits raises to no more than 3% (or 2%, or 1%). That's institutionalizing yearly pay-cuts for all employees, including top-performers. Even when I make a stink and get more than that, it makes me look at that company with utter disgust, as they show how much they HATE and want to be at war with their (good, long-term reliable) employees. Nothing makes a company better than the few long-timers, who have everything about the company and all the systems in their head. "Company policy" that punishes them for staying instead of job-hopping is the most utterly moronic thing I could imagine... But this rant is getting off the rails, quickly...

    84 percent said they believe they are paid what they're worth, 95 percent report they feel they are 'one of the most valued employees at their organization,'

    Well, obviously people don't stay at a company where they feel ignored and undervalued (see above). And when your work will determine whether the company hits or misses a deadline, you speak to CxOs on a regular basis, or you're responsible for many millions of dollars of equipment, it's easy to feel highly valued, even if perhaps you are not.

    I know I've occasionally been the highest paid person in some medium-sized companies. With the higher contractor rates, and overhead of contracting firms, it's not too difficult to end up costing the company more than the CEO's salary, even if not all of it goes into your pocket, and some of it is government taxes/fees/programs that get stuffed into salary for contractors but not regular staff.

    --
    Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
  110. Millionaire? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    >>According to a recent survey of 1,000 U.S.-based software developers, 56 percent expect to become millionaires in their lifetime.

    But that is so 1990's.. Aim higher, try Billionaire.