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Virgin Galactic SpaceShipTwo Crashes

Fallen Kell writes: Virgin Galactic's SpaceShipTwo has crashed. "'During the test. the vehicle suffered a serious anomaly resulting in the loss of the vehicle,' the company said in a statement. "The WhiteKnightTwo carrier aircraft landed safely. Our first concern is the status of the pilots, which is unknown at this time.'"" ABC says one person is dead, and another injured. This was the craft's fourth powered test flight, and its first since January.

292 of 445 comments (clear)

  1. Not a good week... by Enigma2175 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Wow, with the Orbital Sciences launch failure and now this, it is really turning into a bad week for privately funded spaceflight.

    --

    Enigma

    1. Re:Not a good week... by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Sadness for the casualties and their families.

      We can't forget that space flight is a challenging, dangerous, risky affair for private industry as well as governments. It will be interesting to see how the private side deals with these setbacks.

    2. Re:Not a good week... by halivar · · Score: 1

      This sounds callous, but progress is not without required risk. I hope Virgin Galactic continues the good work of private spaceflight that will be essential to continued advances in space exploration.

    3. Re:Not a good week... by PsychoSlashDot · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This sounds callous, but progress is not without required risk. I hope Virgin Galactic continues the good work of private spaceflight that will be essential to continued advances in space exploration.

      Not callous at all. But it sure as hell refutes the attacks on NASA that were saying "the private sector will do space flight cheaper and safer". Meh. This stuff is inherently dangerous, and isn't yet routine, so stuff will go wrong.

      Condolences and thanks to the family and friends of the crew. Your loss was in the interest of enriching us all.

      --
      "Oh no... he found the .sig setting."
    4. Re:Not a good week... by CauseBy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That's right. People risk their lives to do adventures like this because it's worth it. Some of them become martyrs for the knowledge needed to achieve the goal. It's still sad and we are still right to ask if we could have done better, and how we can do better now.

    5. Re:Not a good week... by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, this sort of thing can't really be classed as space exploration :\

    6. Re:Not a good week... by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Wow, with the Orbital Sciences launch failure and now this, it is really turning into a bad week for privately funded spaceflight.

      Orbital Sciences launch was being paid for by NASA - how is that privately funded? Otherwise, ULA is a privately funded spaceflight company too.

    7. Re:Not a good week... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      the good work of private spaceflight

      Why is private spaceflight "good work"? I mean, it's good if you're a shareholder and you stand to profit, but where is the moral good in that?

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    8. Re:Not a good week... by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      Yes, we should listen to the people who think 'man-rated' means killing the crew one time in sixty is OK.

    9. Re:Not a good week... by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      But it sure as hell refutes the attacks on NASA that were saying "the private sector will do space flight cheaper and safer".

      NASA made space flight looked so routine with the space shuttle program (i.e., boring) that people stopped paying attention. When space flight becomes dangerous (i.e., Challenger and Columbia disasters), people pay more attention. For a while. After the problems are fixed, and space flight becomes routine again, no cares about it.

    10. Re:Not a good week... by Goetterdaemmerung · · Score: 5, Insightful

      No offense, but "the goal" was achieved decades ago. These people died for the profit of shareholders, not some "goal" of space flight which has been going on for half a century.

      The goal of commercial manned spaceflight was already achieved decades ago? Odd. I seem to have missed it.

    11. Re:Not a good week... by MightyMartian · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Cheap access to space is a pretty damned worthy goal, regardless of profit.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    12. Re:Not a good week... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      They choose the risk, they were trying to bring an experience to the masses. If a profit is made, great. That means more people can experience it. If the company was negligent then use the court system to bring suit.

    13. Re:Not a good week... by Charliemopps · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The goal was "privately funded spaceflight" so that eventually, everyone could go into space instead of just fighter pilots.

      And I do take offense to your statement... The men that died building the empire state building were in fact heroes. I'm sure their loved ones would take issue with your opinion. They were dedicated steel workers that risked everything because they had pride in their work and knew they could get it done. They built one of the greatest buildings ever designed, it's still stands today because of their unquestionable skill. They knew exactly what the risks were when they started that Job. Even today construction workers risk their lives to build masterpieces. Any of them could easilly get a job building ranch style houses in the Midwest for about the same pay, yet they chose no to.

      Those of us sitting in chairs with our lumbar support and wrist protecting keyboard trays have no business declaring anything about the goals and risk of men that do real work for a living.

    14. Re:Not a good week... by lgw · · Score: 1

      The goal is practical spaceflight - a still-distant goal. SpaceX is no more or less "private" or shareholder-motivated than Boeing or Lockheed-Martin. And there's no rule that says you're only a hero if you work for the government! What kind of statist would you have to be to believe something like that?

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    15. Re:Not a good week... by swillden · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Some of them become martyrs for the knowledge needed to achieve the goal.

      No offense, but "the goal" was achieved decades ago.

      Nonsense. The goal of low-cost sub-orbital manned flights with completely reusable spacecraft has not been achieved. The fact that sub-orbital space flight was achieved decades ago, at massive expense and with single-use craft (or craft that have to be overhauled after every flight), isn't relevant. Achieving regular manned commercial space travel is also worthwhile, and also unachieved. What Virgin Galactic is trying to do is new, and worthwhile, in several ways. And even if all of the above had been done, that still wouldn't make it useless to design and test new spacecraft designs... and that's still an inherently dangerous process. Test pilots still die from time to time in aircraft, and we've been doing that for a half century longer yet.

      I realize that you just wanted a chance to poke at your favorite strawman, but that just increases the ridiculousness of your statement.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    16. Re:Not a good week... by ganjadude · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      i know right? we should listen to the people who tell us that tell us the government can fix everything if we just give them more of our own money instead

      --
      have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
    17. Re:Not a good week... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 2

      The guys (and woman) who died in Challenger were heroes. The casualties from this crash were like the people who died building the Empire State Building.

      I'm not sure I agree, but I think there's a lot to say on both sides of this.

      Here's what gets me though: while this was the 4th powered test flight, it was the first with a different fuel.

    18. Re:Not a good week... by Goetterdaemmerung · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I am glad not everyone shares your viewpoint. This is an entire industry still in its infancy. Using a strategy like selling rich people seats so they can be the first ones up there is perfectly satisfactory to get the technology developed and bring costs down an open it up to a wider audience. It's not a zero sum game.

    19. Re:Not a good week... by SillyHamster · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Commercial manned spaceflights add nothing here. The ultimate goal being profit for shareholders and find a new way to waste money for the wealthier in exchange of something nobody else can buy, do. But at the end, it does not contribute anything to make this planet better.

      Do those space ship designs look anything like what was previously used? Why is exploring new spaceship designs and launch mechanisms useless?

      When you attack "profits", realize that it is profits that drove the creation of the computers and networks that you're typing this on, right? It is hypocritical for you to enjoy the benefits while disdaining the means.

      No, I am not ready to die for my neighbor to live in space or elsewhere.

      No one asked you to. On the other hand, how hard is to not shit on other people's achievements?

    20. Re:Not a good week... by roman_mir · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The guys (and woman) who died in Challenger were heroes. The casualties from this crash were like the people who died building the Empire State Building.

      - you know you are an actual asshole, right? What, the difference between people that are flying space ships for private business and for NASA or whatever agency is that in private business they are billionaires? Nope. The owner of the company is, the people flying the fucking rockets are heroes even before they blow up.

      By the way, asshole, the only way to achieve real cheap space flight is to have commercial space flight, and just like anything that is done before it becomes the thing that everybody can afford, the first years of it are going to be expensive and only affordable by the wealthiest individuals. Just like cars used to be.

    21. Re:Not a good week... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Really? Because my father is currently employed by the State of New Mexico to help get Spaceport America ready. So, it's contributing to jobs, for one thing. For another, it is absolutely ESSENTIAL for humanity to expand beyond Earth if we are to survive AS A SPECIES. If you don't want to go into space, fine...fortunately for the rest of us, who understand what commercial space flight means for humanity, you get no say in any of this.

    22. Re:Not a good week... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      And Anteres blew up.

    23. Re:Not a good week... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There is a massive difference between being able to do something, and being able to do it on a large scale. Having 5 cars in a country is great, but it is not the same as every person having a car. Yes, colonization is an option, just not any time soon. People like you probably said that cars could never work because you couldn't travel without filling your gas tank, and could not envision gas stations all over the place.

    24. Re:Not a good week... by dbrueck · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Nah, I think the goal can be a bit broader than just that.

      The larger goal is getting people and cargo to and from space cheaply, reliably, and downright commonplace. Getting the private sector involved is almost certainly a key to making that happen.

      In the short term it might have a lot to do with low-orbit tourism and profits and losses, but that's ok. That's part of what it takes to get the money spent, that's part of what will lead to making it economically feasible, it's what will (hopefully) lead to greater interest by the public, and a lot of the technology and discoveries that make it all work well will move things forward towards the big picture goal.

      Taking the reference to the Empire State Building: you can look at the construction of that building purely in terms of the economics and the time period or whatever. But regardless of whatever motives caused it to be built, it pushed the envelope of large scale construction and now, nearly a century later, a new building of that size is hardly noteworthy because now there are structures over twice as tall. Similarly, I hope companies like Virgin Galactic do the same thing for the space travel industry, regardless of what their publicly stated goals are.

      Also, I'm betting that many (most?) of the people involved aren't putting their lives on the line just because of a paycheck, but because they really want to advance the space travel industry.

    25. Re:Not a good week... by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      Search for "Bill Stone moon" and see what that guy's attitude is toward the future of spaceflight.

      Some people still believe.

    26. Re:Not a good week... by tomhath · · Score: 1

      That's mostly just conservatives and libertarians.

      Oh really?

      In a major shift in the function of NASA in American human spaceflight, the Obama administration proposal would rely solely on launch vehicles designed, manufactured, and operated by private aerospace companies, with NASA paying for flights for government astronauts.

    27. Re:Not a good week... by hondo77 · · Score: 1

      we should listen to the people who tell us that tell us the government can fix everything if we just give them more of our own money instead

      Can you produce a single, real, living person who believes your straw man?

      --
      I live ze unknown. I love ze unknown. I am ze unknown.
    28. Re:Not a good week... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I try to make it a matter of principle to never use my mod points to downvote a comment. But I had to tell you AchilleTalon, that I modded you down because you truly deserve it. To use a tragedy to promote your negative philosophy seems trollish at best and hateful at worst. Sorry mate, you may be right and yes you have the right but in this case, two rights do make a wrong.

    29. Re:Not a good week... by Spy+Handler · · Score: 1

      But it sure as hell refutes the attacks on NASA that were saying "the private sector will do space flight cheaper and safer"

      Bullshit, it refutes nothing. This was a test flight, as in they were testing a new design. The saying is "private sector WILL do it safer", not "private sector is safer right now when it barely just got started".

      A large part of safety is the number of flights. More you fly, more you iron out the bugs and perfect the design. Anything by NASA is going to be so expensive (think Shuttle, SLS), it's going to end up with a tiny number of flights compared to something like a Falcon 9/heavy. Will the SLS be safer initially? Quite possibly yes. Will it be safer than Falcon after 500 flights? Hell no, because SLS will never get to that number, it'd be lucky to get a dozen flights. It will never get a chance to reach the mature tried-and-true phase that Falcon will go on to, all due to cost.

    30. Re:Not a good week... by brainboyz · · Score: 4, Insightful

      How do you expect to ever get there if rich people aren't funding it first? Like it or not, rich people funding novelties leads to mass production and streamlining of processes which in turn make everything cheaper for us little guys. On top of that, it's THEIR money. Why should they give a damn about your opinion on how they spend it?

    31. Re:Not a good week... by GameboyRMH · · Score: 4, Insightful

      By the way, asshole, the only way to achieve real cheap space flight is to have commercial space flight, and just like anything that is done before it becomes the thing that everybody can afford, the first years of it are going to be expensive and only affordable by the wealthiest individuals. Just like cars used to be.

      Some things will only be cheap when energy is absurdly cheap, due to the amount of energy that is required. Supersonic flight, space flight, running large wind tunnels, heated pools...those kinds of things.

      Cars went almost directly from proofs-of-concept puttering around to mass affordability in less than two decades. Although the one-off concepts had been driving around for roughly a century before the first production vehicles were made.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    32. Re:Not a good week... by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 1

      NASA ... would rely solely on launch vehicles designed, manufactured, and operated by private aerospace companies...

      Isn't that pretty much how it's always been to one degree or another? NASA has helped design and mostly operated, but never actually manufactured launch vehicles. Contractors did the rest. Perhaps the distinction is now contractors working *for* NASA vs. contractors/private working *with* NASA.

      --
      It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    33. Re:Not a good week... by websitebroke · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I was with you until you suggested suicide. Please don't ever suggest to anybody that they kill themselves, particularly as ammo in an argument. It's petty.

    34. Re:Not a good week... by websitebroke · · Score: 2

      It seems pretty unlikely that the pilots in this crash were in it for anything other than the love of their jobs.

    35. Re:Not a good week... by halivar · · Score: 5, Insightful

      There was a time when only the rich flew and the rest of us schmucks were still sailing in boats. Your assertion is inconsistent with history.

    36. Re:Not a good week... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      it is absolutely ESSENTIAL for humanity to expand beyond Earth if we are to survive AS A SPECIES.

      You do understand that we are DOOMED as a Species right and I'll point to your "we must expand beyond Earth" statement as proof. Beyond Earth is totally uninhabitable and there is zero chance to develop technology that can make it habitable. No, I'm not talking about the lack of air, or how cold it is or how there are literally no usable resources out there to collect along the way. but the unyielding, unrelenting, killer radiation. It's everywhere and there is only ONE effective way to deal with it and that's a lot of mass. And deal with it you MUST or you are sending humans to their deaths.

      Sure, you might be able to keep humans in space for years, maybe even a decade or two, but after that, you are going to have serious trouble keeping them alive, even if you manage to supply enough food, water and breathable air for that long. Radiation will kill *everything* alive eventually.

      So you are right, we are doomed. Get used to it because that's the way it is. We are stuck here.

    37. Re:Not a good week... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      We will not expand beyond earth in any meaningful fashion without a fundamental revolution in our understanding of the physics required to travel interstellar distances. It's really that simple.

      "But the space station!" - nope, sorry. Never anything more than a scientific / research outpost.

      "But the moon!" - lol no. Worse than Mars, still dead if our sun goes.

      "But Mars!" - nope, sorry. That will never be anything more than a small colony requiring constant resupply from Earth. Our Sun goes, Mars goes too. Species wiped out.

      "But generational starships"- nope, sorry. We can't build a Buick where the fucking bumper doesn't fall off in 3 years... we are sure as SHIT not building a spaceship that will last the literally tens of thousands of years required to travel to our nearest neighbors with orbiting planets while supporting huge amounts of life on board. Let alone the fact that there's no guarantee the planets you find on the other end of that 30,000 year flight will be habitable in any appreciable way.

      Unless and until we have "Faster Than Light" travel, we are NOT going to be traveling interstellar (or intergalactic) distances with manned flights. It really is that simple, friend.

      Commercial space flight does NOTHING to probe those fundamental physical boundaries. Commercial space flight is nothing more than APPLIED SCIENCE. We know enough to send people up, and bring them back down again now. We understand how it works - commercial space flight is now just tinkering with the formula trying to make it cheaper for everybody to have a thrill ride - and with our current understanding of the universe, that's literally all that orbital spaceflight will get us. Pour that money into theoretical physics if you want to eventually get humanity off this rock as a hedge against extinction. Any other expenditure is foolish.

    38. Re: Not a good week... by websitebroke · · Score: 1

      You know, a good bus driver kind of _is_ a hero. They take on a huge responsibility for crappy pay. Unfortunately, many of them are rather bad at it, but it's pretty understandable that anybody with any sense would choose another line of work.

    39. Re:Not a good week... by Motard · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The benefits of every technical achievement went to the rich people first. From the toilet, to electric lighting, the automobile, the iPhone, etc. Every one.

      Even military advances. Thanks God that it turned out, starting in the 1600-1700s that private enterprise - working independently of the aristocracies - led to wealth generation outside of the political structure. This gave societies as a whole the power to increasingly influence governments, leading to popular revolutions in America and France, and the neutering of royal power in England.

    40. Re:Not a good week... by halivar · · Score: 1

      Because if spaceflight becomes common place for the rich, it will inevitably become common place for the poor (just as air flight did). The boundries of man expands, and we can begin to look further.

    41. Re:Not a good week... by Truekaiser · · Score: 1

      And it is at this time the realities of what they are doing finally hit home.
      Don't forget these are the same people who decried NASA on their obsession on safety calling it government over spending.

      Don't mind me. I am just sitting here, amused, as i watch these people relearn the same lessons that NASA and the Soviet space program learned over 50 years ago because they believe that their 'free market' 'privately run' space program by some magic makes them immune to the same problems.

    42. Re:Not a good week... by CauseBy · · Score: 1

      "The ultimate goal being profit for shareholders and find a new way to waste money"

      So, just to be clear, the goal is for humanity to conquer the universe. Rich people riding rockets is a means, and we're playing a long game.

    43. Re:Not a good week... by CauseBy · · Score: 1

      "The goal of low-cost sub-orbital manned flights"

      Expand your goals! That one is little. We have a long ways to go.

    44. Re:Not a good week... by CauseBy · · Score: 1

      The goal is "to know everything". The Challenger crew was on a frontier of that goal.

    45. Re: Not a good week... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Yeah fuck those people actually doing something, because obviously no development from this will help anyone. Testing different fuel compositions have zero use to us plebs on earth. Maybe when someone, one day, invents satellite services and global comms it'd be useful knowledge. Cost developments have no use either as we can conduct tests in space with tax money, which will never be an easy. Ever.

    46. Re:Not a good week... by CauseBy · · Score: 1

      No offense take at all. We differ on what we think the goal is, that's all.

    47. Re:Not a good week... by Ostrich25 · · Score: 1

      Posting solely to undo accidental moderation. Dammit.

    48. Re:Not a good week... by Koreantoast · · Score: 1

      People forget too that NASA's manned spaceflight is extremely safe and "routine" because it forces its contractors to place layer after layer of redundancy on its programs. NASA paid a premium to buy that extra percentage point of safety.

    49. Re:Not a good week... by 0123456 · · Score: 2

      In what sense, exactly, is killing the crew one time in sixty 'extremely safe'?

    50. Re:Not a good week... by war4peace · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Or horse carriages, or trains, or cars, radios, TVs, mobile phones, computers... pretty much anything that was "brand new tech" at some point in the past.

      --
      ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
    51. Re:Not a good week... by blue9steel · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Travel in suborbital space for the wealthiers accomplish nothing.

      By itself no, but orbital solar power stations, asteroid mining and zero gee manufacturing would accomplish things and this helps us move in that direction.

    52. Re:Not a good week... by SillyHamster · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I do not "attack" profits. I am just stating what this whole thing is about. Profits can also be made from doing actually useful things. Travel in suborbital space for the wealthiers accomplish nothing.

      You disdained this business seeking profit by building new spaceships. As opposed to those profit-seeking businesses who sell food, or consumer tech, or cars?

      Since you're have set yourself up as a judge that things need to be about making the planet better - what have you done to make this planet better? Slashdot posts don't count.

      BTW, what achievements are you talking about? We have already send people to the Moon and we are routinely sending people in low orbit of the Earth. There is nothing to see here.

      I guess you're not an engineer. Even a failed prototype is an achievement. Do you think successes are picked off trees or something? What do you think successful achievements are built upon? The lessons from the failures.

      The test pilots were testing a new type of space vehicle. There was an immense amount of work going into a challenging problem. You are familiar with the term, "it's not rocket science", yes? They are tackling rocket science.

      Please do elaborate on how you're part of the "we" who sent people to the moon or who send people into low orbit.

    53. Re:Not a good week... by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

      If low-cost ion drives can make robo mining or bringing asteroids to Earth cost efficient, I'll bet guys like you will be the first to yelp well will you look at that, someone found a way to make it profitable, and people will start moving out en mass, hey, you can't let commercial interests mine things (and you make a little wincy-face, a fleck of spittle leaving your lips) so governments should outlaw it for The Benefit of The People, only connected corporations permitted to do it.

      We must stop any Mayflowers!

      Sorry! Sorry, dude. I'm full of bees and vinegar and waiting for Congress to spring into action, on top of OSHA and a million other regulations, grinding American innovation to a halt even faster.

      --
      (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
    54. Re:Not a good week... by blue9steel · · Score: 1

      That's mostly just conservatives and libertarians. It's a matter of faith for them that the private sector does everything better.

      More efficiently, which may or may not be "better" depending on your objectives.

    55. Re:Not a good week... by blue9steel · · Score: 1

      Is there a shortage of crew applicants or extreme upwards pressure on crew wages? If not then the safety standards are probably acceptable. At this point we're talking about a specialist labor market so the usual problems of worker desperation aren't relevant.

    56. Re:Not a good week... by Jartan · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What nonsense. Someone somewhere is designing a leafblower right now and learned something that leads to cheaper access to space. Some scientist studying bug locomotion learned something that leads to cheaper access to space.

      That is how progress works. Technological "breakthroughs" are always a culmination of extremely small leaps.

    57. Re:Not a good week... by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      Each shuttle flight was a million parts riding Roman candle into space. I think one early study published prior to the Challenger disaster predicted a catastrophic shuttle lost as being one in 25. NASA had a good run with two disasters in 135 shuttle flights.

    58. Re:Not a good week... by ArmoredDragon · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Absent several technological breakthroughs that are each tantamount to magic - this technology doesn't scale to cheap, useful, access to space. It's pretty much limited to being a thrill ride.

      No, this is just yet another problem that needs solving. Like somebody else mentioned earlier, you used to have to be pretty wealthy to be able to afford privately owned automobiles and airplanes. At that time, everything you just said applied to those as well.

      I know it's the "hip" luddite/social justice thing to talk about making everything cheaper is a race to the bottom that only costs the common man his job and such, but the truth is that whole concept of being a race to the bottom itself is such a lie to begin with it's pathetic. If that notion was even remotely true, we'd have a global 90% unemployment rate by now seeing how long ago the industrial revolution was. Things being cheaper makes them more accessible to all.

    59. Re:Not a good week... by kenai_alpenglow · · Score: 2

      Obama. Hillary. Wasserman Shultz. There's 3...

    60. Re:Not a good week... by ArmoredDragon · · Score: 1

      I do not "attack" profits.

      Then what the fuck is your point? Honestly two posts ago you did nothing but attack this whole thing because you were against the idea of it making a profit.

    61. Re: Not a good week... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      So we'll just do what the US Patent Office did in the past and shut down. *

      No new things to discover.

      *Look up the citation yourself, the parent post made me not care.

    62. Re: Not a good week... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      As a rocket scientist, I can assure you it's not that difficult.

    63. Re: Not a good week... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      No. You're wrong. Radiation will not kill everyone. *I* will kill everyone.

    64. Re:Not a good week... by ArmoredDragon · · Score: 3, Informative

      Can you produce a single, real, living person who believes your straw man?

      Absolutely. There's this asshole:

      http://slashdot.org/~AchilleTa...

    65. Re:Not a good week... by CaptainDork · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "I think there is a world market for maybe five computers."

      Thomas Watson, president of IBM, 1943

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    66. Re:Not a good week... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Commercializing space flight is a good thing? Explain why.

      Because the Earth is too small for both of us, that's why!

    67. Re:Not a good week... by cmdr_klarg · · Score: 2

      That was quite an illuminating rebuttal.

      Going into space is not like air travel. It costs a lot of money per pound, it's a vacuum, it's cold, and there's radiation. We already see permanent health damage from astronauts on the ISS after only six months. It's not that there are technological challenges to be solved, it's that some of these problems have no solution. Ever.

      This isn't a matter of discovering Bernoulli's principle, it's a matter of discovering a new power source, or a way to defeat gravity, neither of which are likely to happen any time soon.

      I'm sorry to dispel your childish notions of space travel for everyone, but it just isn't going to happen in your lifetime. Space travel will never be economical enough for anyone but governments, and it will never be profitable. Thus, I laugh at people like Elon Musk, who is just a 13 year-old boy with billions of dollars to waste on the silly flights of fancy.

      You might want to get some help, MightyMartian. You're projecting your suicidal thoughts and inadequacies on others.

      Translation: Space travel is hard, so we should not do it. Much easier to sit and do nothing but consume like a good little cog in the economy.

      I for one am glad that we have MightyMartians in this world. If we were all macsimcons we'd still be living in trees.

      --
      THE SOFTWARE, IT NO WORKY!!!
    68. Re:Not a good week... by hondo77 · · Score: 1

      So you say. Please provide references for your really interesting assertion, otherwise I'll have to believe that you're talking out of your partisan ass.

      --
      I live ze unknown. I love ze unknown. I am ze unknown.
    69. Re:Not a good week... by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      starting in the 1600-1700s

      You do realise that the King was forced to sign the Magna Carta in 1215 by a group of wealthy merchants who threatened to stop funding his wars, right? The boom in private enterprise in the 1600-1700 was largely due to the invention of modern banking by the Medici family combined with the discovery of new lands and trading routes.

      led to wealth generation outside of the political structure

      "Generating wealth" has always been the path to political power, the most peaceful period in the history of the British Isles was in the bronze age, wealth was measured in bronze axes and there was a thriving economy based on them that lasted almost 1000yrs, however the reason it was peaceful was there was a low population, meaning there were enough resources for everyone so nobody felt inclined to fight for them.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    70. Re:Not a good week... by swillden · · Score: 1

      "The goal of low-cost sub-orbital manned flights"

      Expand your goals! That one is little. We have a long ways to go.

      No argument. I was just restricting it to what SpaceShipTwo was working towards. It's intended to be sub-orbital only, AFAIK.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    71. Re:Not a good week... by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      How many people do you think are going to pay $200,000 for a few minutes in space if there's a one in sixty chance of not coming back?

    72. Re:Not a good week... by vux984 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      They built one of the greatest buildings ever designed, it's still stands today because of their unquestionable skill. They knew exactly what the risks were when they started that Job. Even today construction workers risk their lives to build masterpieces. Any of them could easily get a job building ranch style houses in the Midwest for about the same pay, yet they chose no to.

      Wow. That's some real hero worship.

      My grandfather worked on one of those megaprojects. It wasn't really some noble pursuit. That was his trade and it was where the work was.

      They certainly took pride in it of course, as they are, after all a big, highly visible, project. But nothing so grand as you make out.

      People were injured, and died. It was certainly dangerous work. But he certainly didn't think it was especially "heroic" work.

      Those of us sitting in chairs with our lumbar support and wrist protecting keyboard trays have no business declaring anything about the goals and risk of men that do real work for a living.

      Right because, as even the 20th century steelworkers knew, a real hero works the tuna boats, where each season its not a question of whether someone would die, it was just a question of whom.

      Those steelworkers with their safety lines attached to rigid structures on dry land, and for whom when the weather becomes just too wild can go back inside and have a coffee to wait it out instead of riding it out in small tub on an angry sea.

      What does a steelworkers know of real work? /sarcasm

    73. Re:Not a good week... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Seems like a whole lot of governments already have taken off, independent of each other.

    74. Re: Not a good week... by macsimcon · · Score: 1

      Wow, troll much? You completely changed the subject.

      No one was discussing the benefits of pursuing space travel, but the likelihood that the average person would ever go to space.

      You DO know how to read, don't you?

    75. Re:Not a good week... by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      Martyrs? Who killed them for their beliefs?

      Go away, troll. They certainly died while pursuing something intensely important that they were willing to risk their lives for. The fact that you weren't around to pull the trigger makes them no less martyrs.

    76. Re:Not a good week... by turp182 · · Score: 2

      Going to Six Flags for a day accomplishes nothing. Except for the personal enjoyment of the rides (contrasted against the pain of waiting in line, a poor example of anticipation buildup).

      --
      BlameBillCosby.com
    77. Re:Not a good week... by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      I noted you completely ignored my answer.

    78. Re:Not a good week... by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 2

      More importantly, the people who actually undertake the risk believe it's worth it.

    79. Re:Not a good week... by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 4, Funny

      When the New World was discovered and colonized, it did not mean that Europe had to die off as a result. It just meant that people like you were left behind in it.

    80. Re:Not a good week... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      >the people who actually undertake the risk

      They have more right to make that judgement than some bystander.

      On the other hand, meth addicts seem to think that's worth it, too.

      Meth addict vs. adrenaline addict: is there a difference? Not to me, but I'm no brain expert.

    81. Re:Not a good week... by LennyDotCom · · Score: 2

      You probably believe this guy was a crackpot also

      I have discovered that a screw-shaped device such as this, if it is well made from starched linen, will rise in the air if turned quickly.

      — Leonardo Da Vinci, Codice Atlantico, describing his Helical Air Screw, 1480.

      --
      http://Lenny.com
    82. Re:Not a good week... by LennyDotCom · · Score: 1

      It seems obvios that "AchilleTalon (540925)" is just a troll

      Nobody could be this stupid

      --
      http://Lenny.com
    83. Re:Not a good week... by Zynder · · Score: 1

      OH SNAP!

    84. Re:Not a good week... by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      Unlike government programs, private efforts like Branson's are highly portable. If you people were to gain power and prevent them from spending their own money as they wish, they will just move the project to some country that needs their presence more than you do, such as Brazil.

    85. Re:Not a good week... by Zynder · · Score: 1

      You keep repeating this stupid one-liner. You can't find any other thing to gripe about? Look, how many cars kill people every year? They're considered extremely safe too yet I bet you drove one in to work this morning didn't ya?

    86. Re:Not a good week... by Motard · · Score: 1

      Yes, bronze axes. That's all anyone needs - a bronze axe.

    87. Re:Not a good week... by lgw · · Score: 1

      Energy from orbit outwards will become vastly, amazingly cheaper the first time we drag a CHON asteroid into orbit, and there are companies with plans to do that. Making fuel from raw materials in space isn't cheap or easy, but it will be far cheaper than boosting fuel to high orbit, and it can evolve as a technology.

      Supersonic flight may benefit from creating a plasma envelope, in a similar technology idea as cavitation torpedoes (except on state of mater "up") - beyond current technology, but funding hypersonic missile research would get us closer.

      Technology is doing more from the same resources, especially energy. Only the simplest tasks can't be made less energy intensive given sufficient technological cleverness.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    88. Re:Not a good week... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Good story on Wired that doesn't go quite as far as I think it should, but spells out some of the more important points for ignorant folks who are trying to mod this post -1 troll because they don't know any better and get shiny eyes when they hear "commercial space exploration".

      So if you feel like modding parent down, read the below story first. You just may get an understanding of the angle being pursued and change your mind.
      http://www.wired.com/2014/10/v...

    89. Re:Not a good week... by Motard · · Score: 1

      But it wasn't really a New World after all. It was the same one. The Europeans just didn't know about that part of it until then. When they found out about it though, they were all over that sucker. Air, water, lumber, animals, seafood, -- everything.

    90. Re:Not a good week... by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      To me the value of private efforts in edge technology has little to do with the financial efficiency of capitalism over socialism. It's the vulnerability of government programs to anti-science nutters like the ones posting today. Though socialists can and historically have been capable of risky adventure (Hoover Dam, the Manhattan Project, Apollo), we live in an anti-science era today. Because our legal system privileges activist political minorities, any government effort of this kind can be derailed by the first accident, as was NASA's orbital development after Challenger and Columbia. Branson, on the other hand, can tell the Luddites to go piss up a rope and move on.

    91. Re:Not a good week... by tnk1 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      That's right. They know the risks, they know what has happened to people before, and what could happen to test pilots in the future.

      The benefit is that they get to do things no one else has ever done before and sometimes they even get a lot of credit for it while they live. Sometimes they don't get credit, and sometimes they end up dead.

      If only we all could meet our inevitable end in the pursuit of something worthwhile.

    92. Re:Not a good week... by tnk1 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I don't see your point. Money is money. Do you think that Branson wants to only fly around rich people forever? His choices to get the funding from point A to point B are rich people, getting a government grant, or starting up a Kickstarter for a couple billion dollars. Or all of them put together. It's expensive. You take what you can get.

      The point is to make space something that isn't going to get cancelled the next time the Congressman from Kansas (or wherever) wants to get a corn subsidy. A corn subsidy that no one needs, but makes him look good to his district.

      The problem with the national programs is that there is no motive to take the next steps. They can only seem to get up the gumption to really make it matter when they need to do some old fashioned dick waving. That's why the US and USSR did it, and that is why China and India are doing it.

      Commercialization isn't the only way of doing it, but commercialization is a method that does work for other products and services. It sure beats having to have a war (or a Cold War) to make some progress.

    93. Re:Not a good week... by tnk1 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The Wright Brothers built a plane, glider really, that would have no possible application today other than recreation.

      As you surmised, it is unlikely that something like this space plane will scale out for mass usage of space flight, but its a necessary start.

      Yes, we've been to the Moon courtesy of the taxpayer. And how long has it been since anyone has been back? The US is not in such bad shape that we couldn't afford to go back. The government just sees no benefit *to them* in doing so. The people themselves have other concerns. Been there, done that.

      If some rich people have the ability to fund a vision beyond what is right in front of them, then thank goodness for rich people. Some rich people, anyway. At least they are using their money for something more useful than snorting cocaine, starting wars, and fixing elections.

    94. Re:Not a good week... by Greyfox · · Score: 1

      Rocket science is hard. We've kind of been taking it for granted that it's not so hard to get your ass into orbit, lately. If it were easy, everyone would be doing it.

      --

      I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

    95. Re:Not a good week... by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Commercializing space flight is a good thing?

      Explain why. Be very detailed, because I'm sure a lot of us would like to know how it is beneficial to spend so much resources just so that a few rich folks can have a better view than the rest of us when flying.

      Much better that we take all our meds, avoid doing anything dangerous, and leave a well preserved corpse after spending the last 20 years of our safe, non-dangerous, no acceptable risk lives in a nursing home.

      Here's the only detail you need:

      You're a sissy.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    96. Re:Not a good week... by SpeedBump0619 · · Score: 1

      Out of curiosity, how many crew members do you think died in the first 100 or so trans-Atlantic sailing boats? I'd wager it was a hell of a lot more than 1 in 60.

    97. Re:Not a good week... by cbhacking · · Score: 2

      Considering that SpaceX is not public (and will not go public until they have demonstrated Earth-to-Mars capability, according to Musk), SpaceX is vastly less shareholder-motivated than a company like Boeing or L-M. They also don't operate on cost-plus government contracts, which means its up to their own engineers to make a profit on the budget they have. If they do well, that's a big profit; if they do poorly they'll go broke. No "this is costing too much and taking too long, we'll need another billion dollars, thanks Mr. Fed..."

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
    98. Re:Not a good week... by blue9steel · · Score: 1

      Quite a few actually. Obviously they should build customer risk aversion into their cost models though.

    99. Re:Not a good week... by nitehawk214 · · Score: 2

      If we decide to all sit around and wait for cheap plentiful energy... we will never have it.

      --
      I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
    100. Re:Not a good week... by cbhacking · · Score: 1

      Orbital designed, built, and tested the spacecraft on their own dime (much like SpaceX).

      When the government hires and pays a private company to develop a battle tank, it's publicly funded even though the work is done by (private) contractors. Same when the government hires and pays contractors to develop a spacecraft.

      When the government buys a Ford Taurus to fit it out as a police cruiser, they're buying a car that was developed privately and is sold to anybody who wants to pay for it, public or private. Even if Ford begins the development with the goal of "let's build a car that'll make a really good police cruiser" (note: I'm picking the Taurus here because I can't imagine why anybody in the private space would want/have wanted one) and hopes to sell a bunch of them to various government agencies, that doesn't make it a government-developed car unless the government paid for the development.

      Both the Falcon and Antares rockets are privately developed. A significant number of Falcon launches aren't even remotely government-related. Every aspect of, say, the Atlas V, was developed through government funding as part of the Air Force's EELV program. While the Falcon 9 is (as of half a year ago) certified for EELV launches, it wasn't developed with EELV funding.

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
    101. Re:Not a good week... by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      Sorry, I read "But really, the science will not be that different in two centuries from what we know today" and realized that you haven't been keeping up with either science or history.

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    102. Re:Not a good week... by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      Hear, hear! That comment about heroes rubbed me the wrong way, too.

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    103. Re:Not a good week... by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      "People want space flight because space flight is sciencey. They'll talk about colonizing Mars and saving ourselves from extinction, but that's really fancy talk. They want to live in Star Trek, end of story."

      Hell yeah. Wouldn't need your "socialized medical research institute" in that case.

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    104. Re:Not a good week... by spitzak · · Score: 1

      It's always fun to see rabid extreme and nonsensical left-wing opinions here. Provides some balance to the right-wing trolls. Thank you.

    105. Re:Not a good week... by schnell · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Did you notice that we got to space, as in actually into orbit and beyond already? As in several nations, separately with separate independent programs? Without rich people funding it?

      Er, rich people did fund it, although it was in the form of taxes. Everyone else in the US and Soviet Union funded it too, because those governments shoveled nontrivial portions of their GDPs into the effort at the expense of using that money for things like reducing poverty, improving education or curing diseases.

      Today, you have private companies spending their money on this effort instead, to the potential detriment of basically nobody but their own shareholders who voluntarily chose to take a risk on that investment. How can that possibly be a bad thing?

      You know, the commercial aviation industry post-WWII was seen as nothing but a luxury for the "one percenters" of that day. Over time you evolved a deregulated airline market in the US that provided flight options for el cheapo travelers, first-class jet-setters and everyone in between. Maybe space flight will get there too but it doesn't do so without that first phase of being a toy for those entitled rich snobs who "just don't have the patience to take the train like the rest of us."

      --
      "95% of all Slashdot .sig quotes are incorrect or completely fabricated." -Benjamin Franklin
    106. Re:Not a good week... by pherthyl · · Score: 1

      In what sense, exactly, is killing the crew one time in sixty 'extremely safe'?

      In the relative sense. How many private manned space flights have we had? How many have ended in death?

    107. Re:Not a good week... by Princeofcups · · Score: 2

      "I think there is a world market for maybe five computers."

      Thomas Watson, president of IBM, 1943

      He did not say "I predict in the future there will only ever be five computers." He said "I think we currently have five potential customers for our computer device."

      --
      The only thing worse than a Democrat is a Republican.
    108. Re:Not a good week... by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

      And by 1945 ...

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    109. Re:Not a good week... by khallow · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Absent several technological breakthroughs that are each tantamount to magic

      The SpaceShipTwo design already is cheap access to space for researchers who want to run experiments above 100 km. And for the thrill ride. Don't need new technology development beyond what's already been done (except it sounds like they might need a more reliable rocket).

      I think you ought to learn more about what the market is for suborbital before telling us about all the magic that needs to be done.

      Sure, they'll need to greatly modify the design in order to get an orbital vehicle with viable thermal protection system for return to Earth. But so what? As I've noted before, Scaled Composites has demonstrated that they can design and build such things,

    110. Re:Not a good week... by wagnerrp · · Score: 2

      That's right. People risk their lives to do adventures like this because it's worth it.

      This is spaceflight in definition only. It's nowhere near orbit. It's not even useful as a suborbital transportation system. If you want to perform tests in rarefied atmosphere or vacuum, sounding rockets are vastly cheaper and offer better performance. This exists for tourism, for people who want a few minutes of weightlessness all at once, rather than a several arches in a "vomit comet" a dozen seconds at a time, and for people who want to claim they technically went to space, even though most people expect that means you actually stayed there for more than a few seconds.

      This isn't worth it.

    111. Re:Not a good week... by wagnerrp · · Score: 1

      The guys (and woman) who died in Challenger were heroes. The casualties from this crash were like the people who died building the Empire State Building.

      - you know you are an actual asshole, right? What, the difference between people that are flying space ships for private business and for NASA or whatever agency is that in private business they are billionaires? Nope. The owner of the company is, the people flying the fucking rockets are heroes even before they blow up.

      The NASA astronauts were working to expand our breadth of knowledge. Orbital Sciences, SpaceX, Bigelow Aerospace, Blue Origin, while ultimately working for profit, are building technologies that enable the expansion of expand science and civilization. Virgin Galactic and XCOR Aerospace exist to provide entertainment. Their designs cannot be scaled to actually reach orbit. Their designs cannot be scaled to provide practical transportation. It's for entertainment, and while entertainment is important, it's just a distraction to fill down time.

    112. Re:Not a good week... by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      Irrelevant what the reasons to fly rockets (weird different designs of rockets, no less) are. Completely irrelevant. Everything we do 'expands our breath of knowledge'. If the entire purpose of Virgin Galactic is to provide entertainment, that's fine by me, their rocket pilots are heroes regardless.

    113. Re:Not a good week... by l0n3s0m3phr34k · · Score: 1

      Ion drives are really low thrust, not too useful for moving around inside the Earth-Moon gravity well. It's big plus is that it hardly uses any fuel, so that low thrust can be applied for a long time to build up speeds for intra-system probes...very small ones lol.

    114. Re:Not a good week... by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      It's somewhat irrelevant, but I thought you might want to know that quote isn't very accurate. Especially since the concept of a computer wasn't fully formed in 1943. He probably would have called it a "programmable difference engine" or something like that.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    115. Re:Not a good week... by cytg.net · · Score: 1

      one plot is a dot, two plots is a statistic, so scrambling to the top of my mind is 'sabotage'. Who would stand to gain, on a larger scale, from these 'anomolies'. When is spacex'es next launch? Sure hope it is not tomorrow and sure hope they'll be checking everything an extra time or five.

    116. Re:Not a good week... by Gavagai80 · · Score: 1

      Suborbital rocket planes aren't developing significant relevant tech though. Progress will come from more efficient orbital rockets lowering in price, not from developing the plane-assisted suborbital rockets dead end that has no prospect of going orbital.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank
    117. Re:Not a good week... by wagnerrp · · Score: 1

      So someone who straps a couple homemade AP motors to the side of an ultralight qualifies as well? (One could argue doing such a thing would preclude them classification as an ultralight...)

      They're daring, sure, but they're not pioneering new territory, as we did this over 50 years ago; they're just making it cheaper. Even when they do get there and make it cheaper, there's no way to expand upon its capabilities without a complete from-scratch redesign. They're not enabling anything further. Unless they directly expand science, industry, or medicine, or indirectly provide the tools for others to do so, they're not benefiting society, just themselves personally. Being a hero implies acting for the benefit of someone other than one's self.

    118. Re:Not a good week... by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Then how are those involved in this one not counted? Making things "cheaper" drives innovation. And that's what happens when profit-motive gets involved.

    119. Re:Not a good week... by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

      It's not that there are technological challenges to be solved, it's that some of these problems have no solution. Ever.

      Well, aren't you so clever. Radiation and a lack of gravity causes health damage. Both of those things have simple solutions, namely radation shields and artificial gravity through spinning sections. The solutions are simple to say, but they're a question of scale.

      Radiation shielding is simple: there's 10 tons of atmosphere above you per square meter, so putting 10 tons of stuff per square meter outside the habitable sections will provide the same shielding as the atmosphere.

      Spinning stuff is simple: you need a thing and to spin it. Turns out to avoid motion sickness it needs to be big, as in around 100m.

      Neither of them are complicated, they're just really sodding huge and both need a vast amount of heavy, inert crap lifted into space at a scale far, far larger than any previous space program.

      That is in fact precisely the problem that cheap space flight will solve.

      Thus, I laugh at people like Elon Musk, who is just a 13 year-old boy with billions of dollars to waste on the silly flights of fancy.

      So basically, you laugh at a billionaire who spends his vast wealth having a really, really good time?

      Do you laugh at people who have tons of great sex as well?

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    120. Re:Not a good week... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Er, rich people did fund it, although it was in the form of taxes.

      But that was a period characterized by a shift in taxation towards the middle class. I don't think rich people did fund it.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    121. Re:Not a good week... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      He did not say "I predict in the future there will only ever be five computers." He said "I think we currently have five potential customers for our computer device."

      You're forgetting the IBM (and indeed corporate) mentality. To the president of IBM, those two things were one and the same.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    122. Re:Not a good week... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      The men that died building the empire state building were in fact heroes

      No, they were in your opinion heroes.

      I'm sure their loved ones would take issue with your opinion

      I'm sure that does not bear on whether the average person would consider them heroes.

      I think most people would consider them failures. Most people who worked on those projects didn't die. How many of those people died because they tripped, or because they otherwise didn't pay adequate attention to safety?

      They built one of the greatest buildings ever designed

      It's an eyesore we only "need" because of the twisted shape of our society. Oh look, my opinion is different from yours.

      Try this on for size: A construction worker helping to build an energy-intensive concrete and steel monstrosity is actually harming the rest of us. How in fuck does that make them a hero? It seems to me like they're the antagonists in this story.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    123. Re:Not a good week... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      They're daring, sure, but they're not pioneering new territory, as we did this over 50 years ago; they're just making it cheaper.

      What makes someone a hero is other people's dependence on them. We install businesses into high-rises for convenience, not out of necessity. There would be lesser environmental impact using another method; indeed, we have usable commercial buildings sitting idle all over this country, and sprinkled across much of the planet. Ask China or even Spain about that.

      Being a hero implies acting for the benefit of someone other than one's self.

      Exactly. And, one might add, at potential cost to oneself.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    124. Re:Not a good week... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      It's not that private spaceflight is the only good work, it's that spaceflight is good work. It benefits the human race, or at least, it has done so in the past, continues to do so in the present, and has the potential to do even more. Anyone who advances spaceflight without my tax money is doing a good deed in my book.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    125. Re:Not a good week... by Sarius64 · · Score: 1

      That's certainly a wild assertion. Pray tell you're able to quantify why almost any advance in these systems isn't a part of the overall Virgin strategy? Oh that's right, apparently you can read minds.

    126. Re:Not a good week... by khallow · · Score: 2

      I know what the market for suborbital is - and the difference between suborbital and the usual meaning of "cheap access to space". Unlike the fanboi's, I debase the meaning so I can sneak SpaceShip Two in.

      My point remains. If you don't need orbit, but merely high enough for a few minutes, then SpaceShipTwo would provide a remarkably cheap access to space.

      Since they haven't designed and built an aircraft with anything even remotely resembling those performance characteristics...

      SpaceShipOne being the obvious counterexample. In the highest flights, it achieved about a quarter of the delta v needed to reach space, reached a vacuum good enough that it effectively had no drag/lift, and had a rudimentary system for reentering the Earth's atmosphere. Yes, that's not orbital capability, but that is a demonstration that they have the ability to design and build such things. It certainly achieves the "remotely resembling" threshold here.

      I suppose I just get annoyed by the exaggerated FUD you routinely bring to the table.

    127. Re:Not a good week... by Sarius64 · · Score: 1

      Personally, I'd love your "socialized medical research institute" working. Unfortunately, we again have Richard Nixon reincarnated making insurance companies richer. I'll not be surprised at all when Obama is appointed to a dozen or more insurance BODs.

    128. Re:Not a good week... by jwdb · · Score: 1

      "But generational starships"- nope, sorry. We can't build a Buick where the fucking bumper doesn't fall off in 3 years... we are sure as SHIT not building a spaceship that will last the literally tens of thousands of years required to travel to our nearest neighbors with orbiting planets while supporting huge amounts of life on board. Let alone the fact that there's no guarantee the planets you find on the other end of that 30,000 year flight will be habitable in any appreciable way.

      Except it may not take nearly that long for the ship itself. If you can scale up one of the low impulse drives they're developing now, say the ion drive, and accelerate the ship to say 90% the speed of light, time dialation kicks in. For crew and ship, a 27,000 light year journey will only take 13,000 years subjective. At 99% a 29,700 light year trip would only take 4000 years subjective. High speeds, but if you can keep accelerating during the whole journey, they're not unfeasible.

      Relativity makes FTL possible, in the subjective sense that 29700 light years / 4000 years is a speed faster than light.

    129. Re:Not a good week... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Well, your link has some pretty pictures, but it's a poor argument. I'm not going to buy that "Space Tourism isn't worth dying for" just because an Adam Rogers says so. I find this sort of argument tiresome because rich people spending money isn't exactly a new thing. At least, by spending it on space tourism rather than on a new yacht or house, they're actually pushing new ground and contributing to open up the universe to us.

      Nor is life particularly valuable in itself. I find Rogers's theatrical concerns about the single life lost in the pursuit of rich people in space to be unworthy of my time spent reading the article.

    130. Re:Not a good week... by khallow · · Score: 1

      If that observation turns to be relevant, then it might be because a large chunk of fuel broke off and plugged up the rocket nozzle. That's the sort of failure mode you can see in hybrid motors when they first pour new formulations. I would expect that the new fuel was tested repeatedly in test firings on the ground though.

    131. Re: Not a good week... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Fortunately for the universe, nature has made the possibility of human space colonization well beyond our foreseeable capabilities. The best man could do currently is build a sophisticated coffin and propel it out of the solar system. The occupants might be able to breed, but those offspring would die in tansit.

      Or colonize the wide variety of Solar System bodies out there. That seems a bit more practical than sending coffins out of the Solar System.

      But having said that, you have an interesting business model for a future funeral service. It wouldn't be too hard to send corpses or cremated remains out of the Solar System, say to impact with another star.

      Given the state of scientific concensus on the short term prognosis for earth's ecosphere, the dream of turning suborbital space into an amusement park for the wealthy and privileged is reserved for the socioapathetic.

      Funny how on Slashdot, the term "sociopathic" has devolved to merely mean "people I don't like" or maybe "rich people". Words should mean things, not merely be devalued to be an doublespeak, throwaway phrase to indicate disapproval.


      But the developed world has already solved the pollution problem. Suborbital flight turns out to be irrelevant to the matter.

      The wealth being squandered on the goal of commercial space 'flight' is better invested in overcoming the near term challenges that could lead biological collapse down here on the surface of the planet.

      Not at all. The countries with the actual pollution problems already can solve their problems. They just choose not to. Throwing wealth at that isn't going to change things that wouldn't change anyway.

      And space tourism is a stepping stone to space colonization which has considerable relevance to any sort of sustainable living. When you have to manage and recycle virtually everything to a very high level including the water you drink and the air you breathe, just to survive in space, that gives you both massive incentive to develop technologies relevant to reducing humanity's impact on Earth and a real appreciation for environmentalism and conservation.

    132. Re:Not a good week... by 14erCleaner · · Score: 1

      Achieving regular manned commercial space travel is also worthwhile

      When I see statement like this, I think of the Everest guiding industry. In many ways, carrying tourists to 100 kilometers and then returning is much like guiding them to 29,000 feet. Neither one has any real purpose other than bragging rights. Arguably the boom in Everest climbing tourism has had major negative effects, including pollution of the high-alpine environment and a high death rate by the employees. I wouldn't be surprised if the suborbital tourism industry took a similar path, but pretending that it has some long-term benefit is deceiving yourself, IMO. Richard Branson isn't going to colonize the stars, any more than Alpine Ascents International is colonizing the high Himalayas.

      --
      Have you read my blog lately?
    133. Re:Not a good week... by radl33t · · Score: 1

      I wonder what someone with such a self-righteous attitude does for a living.

    134. Re:Not a good week... by radl33t · · Score: 2

      you took a sensible position off the high dive into the deep end. There are no lies. Cheap production makes products more accessible. Apparently, you are incapable of grasping that this is not a mutually exclusive property of industrial progress / globalization. The race to the bottom does cost jobs. Real people lose jobs when industry relocates following cheap labor. It is easy from a systems perspective to understand the former property, but one lacks intelligence if they can not simultaneously grasp the latter property. In other words, please refine your simple thinking.

    135. Re:Not a good week... by radl33t · · Score: 1

      I'm glad we have an anonymous expert on (everything?) to clear up the limitations on humanity's potential. Thankfully engineers and applied scientists have a good record of overcoming this expertise. I think there are plenty of us who would literally die trying rather than except your conclusions. So as always in the history of mankind, please understand many of us will exert influence contrary to your expert opinion.

    136. Re:Not a good week... by radl33t · · Score: 1

      What is the point here? We should also respect fisherman for the risks they take? Or do you just not like to respect the important accomplishments of those before you? Is this some kind of psychological issue you have with your Grampa? Snap, I think you're do for another commit on the new Twitter api.

    137. Re: Not a good week... by hagalaz0271 · · Score: 1

      Woo, look at you, Mister Fancy Pants Bronze Age Technology and your axe! Back in my day all we had were sticks. Two sticks and a rock. And we had to share the rock!

    138. Re:Not a good week... by wallsg · · Score: 1

      We can't forget that space flight is a challenging, dangerous, risky affair for private industry as well as governments. It will be interesting to see how the private side deals with these setbacks.

      It is hard. I don't mean to sound flippant, but the comparison to "rocket science" (or rocket surgery) is made for a reason. People forget that sometimes and just take it for granted. I think Science Fiction movies have a lot to do with that. We see how easy it is there and don't realize that IRL how lucky we were that we lost only two Space Shuttles.

    139. Re:Not a good week... by AchilleTalon · · Score: 1

      I kept up. That's not the point. Despite huge effort and massive investment into big science, we are still have such a thing like the Standard Model in physics that still hold water and we are really struggling to imagine an experiment which could be conducted and enable us to discriminate between this model and all other proposals.

      You know, when the complexity of a problem is growing exponential, even if you could use all the energy in the universe you will not able to solve it. That is the point. Grabbing bits of knowledge are becoming always more and more expensive and complex. So far, and I believe it is safe to say for the next two centuries, we will not be able to build a particle accelerator the size of the galaxy.

      --
      Achille Talon
      Hop!
    140. Re:Not a good week... by AchilleTalon · · Score: 1

      Nothing to do with what I am saying.

      --
      Achille Talon
      Hop!
    141. Re:Not a good week... by AchilleTalon · · Score: 1

      Neither this has anything to do with what I said.

      --
      Achille Talon
      Hop!
    142. Re:Not a good week... by AchilleTalon · · Score: 1

      Are you capable to make a distinction between a screw and building a particle accelerator the size of the galaxy? I am pretty much sure, with a confidence level of 99%, we will not be able to build on such accelerator within the next two centuries. You just do not realize what experimental conditions are required to make a quantum leap into our understanding of the physics if there is something beyond the Standard Model. It is very unlikely we will be capable to create experimental conditions that will lead us to a model very different than the current one. That is what I am saying.

      --
      Achille Talon
      Hop!
    143. Re:Not a good week... by vux984 · · Score: 1

      What is the point here?

      That just doing your job doesn't automatically make you a 'hero'.

      Being a steelworker on a skyscraper doesn't automatically make you a hero. Being a fisherman on a tuna boat doesn't automatically make you a here. Being in the military doesn't automatically make you a hero.

      Or, if it does make you a hero, then being a hero doesn't mean anything at all.

    144. Re:Not a good week... by swillden · · Score: 1

      commercial != tourism, though that is and will be one component. Everest is a bad comparison because there isn't any value in going there other than tourism.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    145. Re:Not a good week... by Optali · · Score: 1

      The guys (and woman) who died in Challenger were heroes. The casualties from this crash were like the people who died building the Empire State Building.

      Heroes, in my book, as worthy as the rest.

      --
      -- 29A the number of the Beast
    146. Re:Not a good week... by Optali · · Score: 1

      Yes, I see why Zero gee would be a good thing for humanity.

      --
      -- 29A the number of the Beast
    147. Re:Not a good week... by quenda · · Score: 1

      Smart guy, but not a great engineer. Unlike Archimedes water screw, his device does not work.
      All DaVince did was see an ancient water-screw and suggest using it in the air. He was wrong.
      Not that he ever even tested the idea so far as we know.

      My 4-year-old can draw a flying robot, but I do not count that as an invention.

    148. Re:Not a good week... by jwdb · · Score: 1

      The simple impracticality of trying to replicate a duration which represents most of the recorded history of mankind in a spaceship is sheer foolishness.

      Just because you lack imagination, doesn't mean it's not possible.

    149. Re:Not a good week... by Bartles · · Score: 1

      That's just silly. We can honor them all day long. But they are not martyrs. Martyr is a word that has a specific meaning. I'm not disagreeing that they died doing something important. They would certainly fall into the hero category.

    150. Re:Not a good week... by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      One of the definitions I found was:

      One who makes great sacrifices or suffers much in order to further a belief, cause, or principle.

      I am sure that fits. While SpaceShip II is mainly intended for a non-exploration purpose, the program has resulted in some significant advances in rocketry and White Knight II has significant non-tourism use. These pilots have been involved in other space efforts, I remember the one who was injured from the Rotary Rocket test flights. There are lots of safer ways for these folks to make as much money as a test pilot is paid. They do what they do to advance our progress in aeronautics and space.

    151. Re:Not a good week... by strikethree · · Score: 1

      Travel in suborbital space for the wealthiers accomplish nothing.

      By itself no...

      Actually, even by itself it does. Instead of sitting on a plane for 32 hours flying to Australia I could take a suborbital and be there in four hours... if the wealthy had financed such research.

      The GP is just being a reactionary luddite at this point. No imagination.

      --
      "Someone needs to talk to the tree of liberty about its ghoulish drinking problem." by ohnocitizen
    152. Re:Not a good week... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      It doesn't matter. Everyone marks me troll because it's true *and* I'm bashing their religion.

    153. Re:Not a good week... by NoImNotNineVolt · · Score: 1

      Really? Because my father is currently employed by the State of New Mexico to help get Spaceport America ready.

      Cool. My father is currently employed by the Glassmakers Union to go around town breaking windows. He helps create jobs too.

      I support any/all efforts to increase access to space, including Virgin Galactic's thrill ride. However, to spin Dick Branson's efforts as valuable because he's creating jobs, well, I question the logic there. We don't need jobs for the sake of jobs.

      --
      Chuuch. Preach. Tabernacle.
    154. Re:Not a good week... by CauseBy · · Score: 1

      "Then how are those involved in this one not counted?"

      What's the question exactly?

    155. Re:Not a good week... by CauseBy · · Score: 1

      Holy shit I just got defended by Bruce Perens.

      For what it's worth I'm totally comfortable with my use of the word martyr. People killed for religious beliefs is one sense of the word; it is the historical basis of the word; but today the word is widely used the way I used it, widely accepted that way by native speakers.

    156. Re:Not a good week... by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Since "space flight" is a solved question, solved in the '70s, how is a 1996 event make "heroes" and 2014 doesn't?

    157. Re:Not a good week... by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      Obama is now Nixon? The man's rep is growing to mythical proportions.

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    158. Re:Not a good week... by Fjandr · · Score: 1

      Because eventually the human race will need to expand beyond the borders of our atmosphere if it is to survive. Then Earth probably won't be destroyed tomorrow, but it is inevitable.

    159. Re:Not a good week... by Fjandr · · Score: 1

      And every dozen generations or so that "magic" becomes commonplace.

    160. Re:Not a good week... by Fjandr · · Score: 1

      The point was pointless whining, I'm pretty sure. Moving the goalposts is par for the course.

    161. Re: Not a good week... by Fjandr · · Score: 1

      Actually, a significant part of the discussion is about how this has nothing to even do with space travel, and is completely inapplicable to anything having to do with orbital flight.

    162. Re:Not a good week... by Fjandr · · Score: 1

      I agree, though I wanted to point out that early highrise steel workers rarely used safety lines. It's one of the reasons that construction firms went out of their way to hire Mohegans, as for some reason they didn't get the vertigo that's common amongst most of the rest of the human race. Actually, they still fill the ranks of steelworkers to this day.

    163. Re:Not a good week... by vux984 · · Score: 1

      though I wanted to point out that early highrise steel workers rarely used safety lines

      Fair enough, safety in general has come a long way. I'm not sure when steel toed boots and hard hats become de rigeur for that matter either.

      It's one of the reasons that construction firms went out of their way to hire Mohegans, as for some reason they didn't get the vertigo that's common amongst most of the rest of the human race. Actually, they still fill the ranks of steelworkers to this day.

      Seems to be a myth.

      There ARE a lot of native american's in steework, but it seems to be more cultural (feats of fearlessnes being revered -- aka its a macho thing) and economic (reservation inhabitants don't have a lot of real opportunities) reasons behind it.

      And then once a demographic has a foothold in a market, its common to grow. Friends and family apply to where friends work, because friends and family will refer or help get them hired...), children apply where Dad can help get them in, and it becomes inter-generational.

    164. Re:Not a good week... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Would you consider answering my question rather than answering why "developing space flight is a good thing"?

    165. Re:Not a good week... by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      "You know, when the complexity of a problem is growing exponential, even if you could use all the energy in the universe you will not able to solve it. That is the point."

      I believe that I read that before the end of classical physics, things were getting very complicated. It took various theories--electo-magnetism, relativity, quantum mechanics, etc--to make sense of the experiments that were being done at the end of that era.

      Similarly, we're now trying to resolve relativity vs. quantum mechanics. I believe that the complexity that we have now is due to the fact that we have to reconcile two theories that don't match "reality", and today's experiments have complex results, and when the answer to life, the universe and everything is found, and a new unified theory supersedes modern physics, a lot of the theoretical complexity will go away.

      I expect it to be less than two centuries for that to happen.

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
  2. Using NASA's dictionary by DougOtto · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Apparently, "anomaly" is a synonym for exploded into may tiny pieces.

    Who knew?

    Kidding aside it's a sad day for the family of the person killed.

    --
    Solving Unix problems since 1989...
    1. Re:Using NASA's dictionary by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      Apparently, in space flight, "anomalies" can lead to disaster.

      Who knew?

    2. Re:Using NASA's dictionary by NotDrWho · · Score: 1

      Remember in the Challenger explosion, when the guy kept reading off telemetry after the explosion? I seem to remember him finally looking up and saying something like "There appears to be a malfunction."

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    3. Re:Using NASA's dictionary by jdavidb · · Score: 2

      May we mourn the loss of this brave pioneer and honor his or her legacy. I think this is a perfectly appropriate time to quote these words:

      I know it is hard to understand, but sometimes painful things like this happen. It's all part of the process of exploration and discovery. It's all part of taking a chance and expanding man's horizons. The future doesn't belong to the fainthearted; it belongs to the brave. The [SpaceShipTwo] crew was pulling us into the future, and we'll continue to follow them...

      The crew of the [SpaceShipTwo] honored us by the manner in which they lived their lives. We will never forget them, nor the last time we saw them, this morning, as they prepared for the journey and waved goodbye and "slipped the surly bonds of earth" to "touch the face of God."

    4. Re:Using NASA's dictionary by gstoddart · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Apparently, "anomaly" is a synonym for exploded into may tiny pieces.

      Engineering and operating equipment at this level requires a certain level of being fairly clinical and detached about it, and not devolving into a screeching monkey while it's happening.

      So "anomaly" being "outside of expected parameters", sure.

      I'm pretty sure that doesn't mean that inwardly you're not going "oh, crap, no" .. but like first responders and medical people, while it's happening you need to keep it reined in.

      I wish I could dredge up some examples, but I seem to remember seeing some things which some of the astronauts said in the middle of a crisis which made them sound like it was just a little thing, when the rest of us would all be screaming "we're all gonna die we're all gonna die".

      I seem to recall one of them went through an explosion or a crash or something, and then joked about it being a bit of a rough ride or something. Even the other astronauts were all stunned by it, I just can't recall the specifics of it. Apparently he was back at his office the same day, and flying the next as if nothing happened.

      Big Brass Ones are kind of required at this level.

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    5. Re:Using NASA's dictionary by dimeglio · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I remember vaguely. Didn't he say "major malfunction?"

      --
      Views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of the author.
    6. Re:Using NASA's dictionary by necro81 · · Score: 3, Informative

      I wish I could dredge up some examples, but I seem to remember seeing some things which some of the astronauts said in the middle of a crisis which made them sound like it was just a little thing, when the rest of us would all be screaming "we're all gonna die we're all gonna die".

      "Houston, we have a problem" when an oxygen tank has just exploded and practically ripped the service module in half. Yup, that seems like a good start.

    7. Re:Using NASA's dictionary by rasmusbr · · Score: 2

      http://spaceflightnow.com/chal...

      T+1:56 "Flight controllers here are looking very carefully at the situation. Obviously a major malfunction."
      T+2:50 "We have a report from the flight dynamics officer that the vehicle has exploded. The flight director confirms that. We are looking at checking with the recovery forces to see what can be done at this point."

      (The main explosion happened at T+1:13.)

    8. Re:Using NASA's dictionary by fgodfrey · · Score: 2

      The incident you are thinking of is, I think, when Neil Armstrong crashed in the Lunar Module Simulator.

      http://www.huffingtonpost.com/...

      Apparently the story goes that he was back in his office eating lunch a few hours later like nothing happened.

      --
      Go Badgers! -- #include "std/disclaimer.h"
    9. Re:Using NASA's dictionary by gstoddart · · Score: 3, Funny

      You might be thinking of Neil Armstrong's comments after the 'flying bedstead' crash.

      That sounds plausible. Or Gemini 8. Or any number of things. He was a test pilot on some pretty extraordinary things, and pretty famous for being cool under pressure.

      Neil Armstrong was someone who is entitled to a place of honor in the Big Brass Ones Club.

      Chuck Norris would think twice about messing with Neil Armstrong. ;-)

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    10. Re:Using NASA's dictionary by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Engineering and operating equipment at this level requires a certain level of being fairly clinical and detached about it, and not devolving into a screeching monkey while it's happening.

      I wish I could dredge up some examples, but I seem to remember seeing some things which some of the astronauts said in the middle of a crisis which made them sound like it was just a little thing, when the rest of us would all be screaming "we're all gonna die we're all gonna die".

      Yep. On (USN) submarines, we called everything from a few pints of spilled diesel fuel to significant flooding a "casualty" - for precisely the reasons you said. We're concentrating on fixing the problem, not on what's happening or what's going to happen if we don't. The term is specifically used and meant to alert the listener to Pay The Fuck Attention.

      When the problem happens, and while it's going on, it's all calm, cool, and collected - freaking out is for over beers when you get home.

    11. Re:Using NASA's dictionary by steelfood · · Score: 1

      I wish I could dredge up some examples, but I seem to remember seeing some things which some of the astronauts said in the middle of a crisis which made them sound like it was just a little thing, when the rest of us would all be screaming "we're all gonna die we're all gonna die".

      How about: "Houston, we have a problem."

      --
      "If a nation expects to be ignorant and free in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be."
    12. Re:Using NASA's dictionary by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 1

      Remember in the Challenger explosion, when the guy kept reading off telemetry after the explosion? I seem to remember him finally looking up and saying something like "There appears to be a malfunction."

      Obligatory XKCD: Houston

      --
      It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    13. Re:Using NASA's dictionary by x_t0ken_407 · · Score: 1

      Great reference, but sorry I need to nitpick it (being one of my favorite movies growing up). ...
      President: Enough with this anomaly horseshit! What is this thing?

      BBT: It's an asteroid sir. That's what took out the shuttle.

      President: How big is it? (?)

      Random NASA grunt: Sir according to our calcuations blah blah blah

      BBT: --It's the size of Texas, Mr. President ...

    14. Re:Using NASA's dictionary by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 1

      I wish I could dredge up some examples, but I seem to remember seeing some things which some of the astronauts said in the middle of a crisis which made them sound like it was just a little thing, when the rest of us would all be screaming "we're all gonna die we're all gonna die".

      "Houston, we have a problem" when an oxygen tank has just exploded and practically ripped the service module in half. Yup, that seems like a good start.

      I posted this earlier in the thread, but it seems more appropriate here, as you mentioned it explicitly:
      Obligatory XKCD: Houston

      --
      It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    15. Re:Using NASA's dictionary by Fwipp · · Score: 2

      They're not mutually exclusive.

    16. Re:Using NASA's dictionary by jdavidb · · Score: 2

      what if this happens because Branson wants some results to show to investors and pushed too much? Would you still say he was a brave pioneer or just an abused employee?

      In that case I'd say he was both. He was made a pioneer by his intentions. He wouldn't be the first pioneer to be abused and mistreated, just as he is not the first pioneer to give his life trying to get humanity to the next frontier.

    17. Re:Using NASA's dictionary by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      His exact words were "obviously, a major malfunction."

    18. Re:Using NASA's dictionary by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      "We're Gonna Be In the Hudson"

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    19. Re:Using NASA's dictionary by wagnerrp · · Score: 1

      To be fair, we already reached that specific frontier over 50 years ago.

    20. Re:Using NASA's dictionary by Archimonde · · Score: 1

      Big Brass Ones are kind of required at this level.

      I don't agree. It is just a matter of training. While I'm no spaceship captain I was in couple of quite tight spots where the probability of loss of life of my crewmembers and me was quite high. Shouting and panicking over the communications channel helps absolutely no on,e and I would be very much surprised if the Apollo 13 or some other Captain was screaming on the radio to Houston.

      It is just drill, drill and drill more. You don't think much, everything is done almost by reflex. So you are crediting those those brave guys with a bit too much. I've even read somewhere that in tight situations a very small minority will panic, other will keep their wits about them.

      --
      Trolls are like broken clocks. They show the truth two times a day. The rest of the day they talk nonsense.
    21. Re:Using NASA's dictionary by Cederic · · Score: 1

      I disagree. Read a book by any top test pilot, they can barely walk without clanging.

      Was reading one by Eric Brown, many times in the book he mentioned aircraft or maneuvers that killed the pilot before or after him. When the request is "try this, we want to know why it killed your friend" it isn't training that makes you say "sure".

      These guys wrote the fucking manual; they learned it the hard way. I don't really do hero worship but test pilots get pretty fucking close.

  3. Huge setback by PvtVoid · · Score: 3, Insightful

    As in the kind of setback that could put them out of business entirely. This isn't a cargo ship.

    1. Re:Huge setback by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Virgin is a wealthy company backed by a very wealthy man.

      This is a setback, but crashes happen.

      If everyone had given up on airplanes in the early days because of a few deaths, then we'd all be taking the train today.

    2. Re:Huge setback by NotDrWho · · Score: 1

      They're backed by Richard Branson. No way is he giving up that much potential money that easily.

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    3. Re:Huge setback by itzly · · Score: 5, Funny

      Becoming a millionaire is easy. Just start with a few billion and create your own space company.

    4. Re:Huge setback by Lilith's+Heart-shape · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If everyone had given up on airplanes in the early days because of a few deaths, then we'd all be taking the train today.

      We gave up on zeppelins because of a few deaths. :)

    5. Re:Huge setback by 0123456 · · Score: 2

      Hey, it's the anti-Space Nutter Nutter.

    6. Re:Huge setback by 0123456 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      We gave up on zeppelins because heavier-than-air craft became much more capable and cheaper to operate. They still crashed and burned on a regular basis.

    7. Re:Huge setback by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      This is a setback, but crashes happen.

      If everyone had given up on airplanes in the early days because of a few deaths, then we'd all be taking the train today.

      Right, you've gotta break some eggs if you want to see the big return on investment.

      A few lives here and there aren't going to stop the quest for profits.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    8. Re:Huge setback by gatkinso · · Score: 1

      yeah but there are still blimps

      --
      I am very small, utmostly microscopic.
    9. Re:Huge setback by gstoddart · · Score: 1

      We gave up on zeppelins because of a few deaths. :)

      And, yet, we still have airships which hang around sporting events.

      So, no, we didn't completely give up on them. We just decided it wasn't good to be filling them with flammable gas, and painting it with flammable aluminum paint (or whatever it was).

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    10. Re:Huge setback by gstoddart · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Right, you've gotta break some eggs if you want to see the big return on investment.

      A few lives here and there aren't going to stop the quest for profits.

      In fairness, I would say the guys who are flying these things know damned well what the risk is, and would fight tooth and nail for the opportunity to do it.

      And I seriously doubt Branson would view any of these people as expendable assets.

      Because I suspect he wants to fly on this as much as anybody else does.

      It's sad, it sucks ... but nobody is just looking at this as a cost of doing business. A very real possibility, yes. But I very much doubt anybody treats it as anything except a really terrible loss.

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    11. Re:Huge setback by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      If the business plan for a new venture such as this didn't include unexpected "anomalies" in operations, it wasn't much of a plan at all.

      Saying "I'll spend Billions until the first failure, then close up shop and go back to selling vinyl records" doesn't seem like the personality type we're talking about.

    12. Re:Huge setback by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      Yep, and many other technologies got set back like that, but mostly because there were safer alternatives.

      To go from point A to point V, there aren't a lot of safe options, yet.

    13. Re:Huge setback by bheading · · Score: 1

      Virgin is a wealthy company backed by a very wealthy man.

      And, according to Tom Bower, $200m in subsidies from the state of New Mexico, courtesy of a starstruck Bill Richardson.

      Branson's core businesses are built around operating monopolies and extracting subsidies from governments.

    14. Re:Huge setback by Koreantoast · · Score: 1

      Yet wealthy men and wealthy companies become wealthy because they know how to calculate, and recalculate, risks and financial cases especially after catastrophic losses like this. Hopefully this loss won't tip the balance to less profitable and lead to cancellation.

    15. Re:Huge setback by ogdenk · · Score: 1

      A blimp isn't as versatile as a rigid zeppelin. Germany couldn't really use helium because we had the market cornered on it and it was hideously expensive.

      Hydrogen is flammable but not quite as volatile and easy to light as one would think. The brits had to come up with fiery phosphorous bullets to take them down effectively.

      The only thing that prevented the zeppelins from erasing England in WW1 was the fact that high-altitude bomb sights didn't yet exist and high explosives weren't as vicious as the ones that came later in WW2.

    16. Re:Huge setback by ogdenk · · Score: 1

      It took a long for heavier-than-air aircraft to be able to fly from the US to Europe without refueling. For the Hindenburg this was no problem. It was also much larger and much more roomy than flying coach in a modern passenger jet. I'd actually LOVE to see a true modern take on a full rigid airship. With modern materials science, we could probably do something truly amazing with it.

      In WW1, the massive rigid airships were actually just as fast as fixed-wing fighters in many cases. The only thing that prevented the zeppelins from erasing England in WW1 was the fact that high-altitude bomb sights didn't yet exist and high explosives weren't as vicious as the ones that came later in WW2.

    17. Re:Huge setback by NormalVisual · · Score: 1

      In fairness, I would say the guys who are flying these things know damned well what the risk is, and would fight tooth and nail for the opportunity to do it.

      To me, it'd be a hell of a lot better to be able to say I died advancing the state of aeronautical science (whether for profit or not) rather than just fading away in a nursing home somewhere. At least something useful would be learned, and I'd feel that my death brought others some benefit.

      --
      Please stand clear of the doors, por favor mantenganse alejado de las puertas
    18. Re:Huge setback by cbhacking · · Score: 1

      Not for what zeppelins were used for. Zeppelins were passenger and cargo ships that happened to be lighter than (surface-level) air - "airships" in the truest sense. They were fairly fast and were typically designed to get themselves and their cargo - human or otherwise - from place A to place B.

      The blimps that we use today have minimal propulsion and almost no cargo capacity. Their purpose is simply to stay in the air, only slightly more controllable (though with longer time aloft) than a hot air balloon.

      If a zeppelin is an ocean liner, a blimp is just a largish navigation beacon, basically a floating lighthouse.

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
    19. Re:Huge setback by cbhacking · · Score: 1

      Zeppelins and blimps are extremely different things. Zeppelins were fast, high-capacity cargo ships and passenger liners. They were built to go places and deliver cargo, living or otherwise. Structurally, they are rigid and have a narrow front profile, have internal cabins, and are easily capable of going upwind (in the same sense that an airplane is, that is, assuming the wind isn't too strong for the engines). Blimps aren't even close to the same thing, aside from the general concept of being a lighter-than-air craft. They're more similar to hot-air balloons than to zeppelins. We absolutely stopped using zeppelins.

      Oh, and FYI, zeppelins were used as military craft. They were extremely hard to shoot down. When the interior is entirely hydrogen - that is, it contains no oxygen - even incendiary rounds don't really do anything. The amount of damage required to reduce their buoyancy sufficiently to bring one down was similarly impressive. Admittedly, using a flammable coating was... unwise, but people flipped their shit over the Hindenburg because it was the first high-profile catastrophe in zeppelin use. Imagine if boats were a new invention and had been seen as almost totally safe for their first decades of use... and then when the technology of rigid floating boats was so new it still seemed revolutionary, the Titanic was built and as soon as it was full of passengers (but still in front of everybody, not out in the middle of the ocean) it exploded. Not sank and killed most of the passengers, exploded and killed everybody. That's what the history of zeppelins looks like.

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
    20. Re:Huge setback by Princeofcups · · Score: 1

      If everyone had given up on airplanes in the early days because of a few deaths, then we'd all be taking the train today.

      We gave up on zeppelins because of a few deaths. :)

      But we did not give up on zeppelins BECAUSE of a few deaths. We were already abandoning the technology for sea planes.

      --
      The only thing worse than a Democrat is a Republican.
    21. Re:Huge setback by sunking2 · · Score: 1

      It could be up to 10 years before they can have a replacement up to this level testing. Sounds crazy, but not unrealistic.

  4. That's a shame by NotDrWho · · Score: 2

    I've been following this project since I saw that great documentary "Black Sky" on SpaceshipOne. It really does look like the first truly reliable commercial means for someone to go into "space" without being an astronaut/cosmonaut or being insanely wealthy. Of course, at $200,000, it isn't within reach of most of us--but it's a helluva lot better than the $20 million that some have spent in the past.

    --
    SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    1. Re:That's a shame by NotDrWho · · Score: 1

      Well, not TODAY, obviously.

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    2. Re:That's a shame by itzly · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Well, the $20 million actually gets you into orbit.

    3. Re:That's a shame by 0x537461746943 · · Score: 2

      I was following you until "It really does look like the first truly reliable". Replace reliable with cheaper and I would agree with your statement. Reliable is something that has to yet be proven. They are still in test phase so there is hope.

    4. Re:That's a shame by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Obviously.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    5. Re:That's a shame by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      $200,000 is actually in reach of far more than 1% of the US working population... it's not an easy thing, but if it's all you ever want to do in your life, it's attainable with median income and a few decades of living frugally and wisely investing every spare penny.

      This is a huge change from the late 1960s where your odds of becoming an astronaut were roughly equivalent to two lottery wins in the same year.

    6. Re:That's a shame by Kjella · · Score: 1

      This. Ask people who the first man in space is and if they have a name it's almost certainly Yuri Gagarin, unless they confuse it with the moon landing. Very few count Alan Shepard's suborbital flight as really going into space even though he took a peek and got the astronaut wings for it. What SpaceShipTwo is delivering will certainly give you some bragging rights, but you'll also find many party poopers who'll tell you it's $200k spent on not really going into space anyway.

      And there's a lot of potential for SpaceX to improve on that $20 million/head if they take a Falcon Heavy which should be able to lift 8-9 Dragon capsules to orbit as it has payload 53000 kg to LEO, one Dragon is 6000 kg launch weight. My guess is that it's possible to design a "Dragon XXL" to carry 100 people to sit on top of that rocket. At $85 million for the rocket let's say $100 million total with capsule - a $1 million/head trip seems entirely within reach in the next 10-20 years. While that is still out of the average persons' reach there's literally millions of millionaires out there who could go if they spent their entire net worth going. And thousands who wouldn't even feel it.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    7. Re:That's a shame by voidptr · · Score: 2

      The reason people say Yuri Gagarin when you ask who the first human in space was is because Yuri beat Shepard by almost a month (April 12th 1961 vs May 5th 1961).

      I've never, ever, heard anyone suggest Shepard didn't deserve Astronaut wings or the title "first American in space" because it was suborbital.

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      This .sig for unofficial government use only. Official use subject to $500 fine.
  5. Sad, regrettable and probably inevitable. by DumbSwede · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I think I may have posted years ago this was sadly inevitable and a bad investment for states subsidizing “space ports”. We may put up with the occasional loss of life in pursuit of loftier goals, but suffer any deaths in pursuit of “space tourism” and it would probably be the death knell for the industry.

    Have any of these “space ports” entered the construction phase? Surely backers will see this as good money after bad now. This coming so shortly after the Antares rocket explosion can only seem to amplify the perceived risk of attempting flights into space.

    I’m all for progress, but how about we wait until access to space for industry and government is routine before we think about tourism?

    1. Re:Sad, regrettable and probably inevitable. by jratcliffe · · Score: 4, Insightful

      People die every year climbing Everest, and yet every year, people climb Everest.

    2. Re:Sad, regrettable and probably inevitable. by steamraven · · Score: 3, Informative

      Spaceport America (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spaceport_America) is one of these "space ports" in my area. While I don't think this was a good investment for the local governments, it is operational and launching rockets. Virgin Galactic is the main company but there are several others. This includes SpaceX who is doing testing here (Their main spaceport will be in Texas).

    3. Re:Sad, regrettable and probably inevitable. by CRCulver · · Score: 1

      People climb Everest every year with commercial sponsorship. Someone might die, or more probably have to turn back a few hundred metres from the summit, but by the time they do, they've given a few press conferences where they flaunt the names of their backers, and maybe have appeared in some extreme sports documentary or website wearing very visible "Pepsi" or "[national supermarket chain]" corporate logos on their jackets, so it is ultimately worthwhile to fund these expeditions. (Source: close friend climbs an 8000-metre peak with annually). A rocket explosion, however, is a much more public disaster, and it's no surprise that those who earlier were prepared to invest might not back out.

    4. Re:Sad, regrettable and probably inevitable. by CRCulver · · Score: 1

      Sorry, that should have read "...may now back out".

    5. Re:Sad, regrettable and probably inevitable. by MobyDisk · · Score: 1

      The key difference is that Everest was already there before we arrived. Mount Everest could never be built by charging people a fee to climb it. It would not be economical.

    6. Re:Sad, regrettable and probably inevitable. by Prune · · Score: 1

      Everest death rate per summit is a mere 1.5% in the period 2000-2012. But sure, let's fear monger--this is Slashdot after all!

      --
      "Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason."
    7. Re:Sad, regrettable and probably inevitable. by jratcliffe · · Score: 1

      Some climb with commercial sponsorship, but most are doing it for their own purposes. "Today roughly 90 percent of the climbers on Everest are guided clients, many without basic climbing skills. Having paid $30,000 to $120,000 to be on the mountain, too many callowly expect to reach the summit. A significant number do, but under appalling conditions." Don't see a lot of logos in this picture of the summit: http://ngm.nationalgeographic....

    8. Re:Sad, regrettable and probably inevitable. by jratcliffe · · Score: 1

      Exactly my point. People are willing to take on a substantial risk of death (about 1 in 70 for Everest) in order to pursue an extraordinary experience. Now, if Virgin Galactic had that kind of failure rate, it would likely dissuade quite a number of customers, but the fact that there is some risk associated with it doesn't mean it isn't viable.

    9. Re:Sad, regrettable and probably inevitable. by Higaran · · Score: 1

      Look back a few hundred years, people would die crossing the Atlantic Ocean on ships headed for the new world. Those people knew just as well that they might not make it either but they still tried.

    10. Re:Sad, regrettable and probably inevitable. by johnjaydk · · Score: 1

      It's a hard thing to say but people die on a regular basis when flying untested, high performance aircrafts. There is a reason why test pilots can't get life insurance.

      --
      TCAP-Abort
    11. Re:Sad, regrettable and probably inevitable. by BitZtream · · Score: 1

      His point (not one that I agree with) is that not too many people invest millions of dollars into companies who want to make climbing Everest a product.

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
    12. Re:Sad, regrettable and probably inevitable. by MobyDisk · · Score: 1

      Space itself may be there, but the equipment to get there is around 10 million times more expensive than the equipment required to climb Everest. Thus, the OP's point holds: the financial model for Everest tourism is not comparable to the financial model for space tourism.

  6. and the irst powered flight since tinkering fuel by swschrad · · Score: 1

    which is the most forward instrument in the space opera, "ours all go boom."

    --
    if this is supposed to be a new economy, how come they still want my old fashioned money?
  7. Well past the time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    We are well past the time when these first tests must be manned. It isn't 1950.

    1. Re:Well past the time by NotDrWho · · Score: 1

      This is hardly one of the "first tests" of SpaceShipTwo. I believe they were getting pretty close to the point where they were going to start the first passenger flights.

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    2. Re:Well past the time by gatkinso · · Score: 1

      fourth powered test is pretty close to being the first

      --
      I am very small, utmostly microscopic.
    3. Re:Well past the time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Sadly, it was both. It was the first flight with the new engine (the old engine did not run well and would have destroyed the vehicle before reaching a full length burn) and they were claiming they would be carrying passengers early next year.

  8. Is this the first death in commercial space exp? by PseudoCoder · · Score: 1, Insightful

    I take it this is considered space exploration. Is this then the first death in commercial/private space exploration? I know in aviation one of the Wright brothers died during a test flight, and a great many busted their asses trying foolish stuff for centuries, but I don't know about space exploration.

    --
    "Now, I doubt any of you would prefer a rolled up newspaper as a weapon against a dictator or a criminal intruder."
  9. Just curious by WormholeFiend · · Score: 1

    Does Spaceshiptwo have ejection seats or do the pilots have to manually open a hatch and jump out?

    1. Re:Just curious by HairyNevus · · Score: 1

      The first link mentioned that the two crew ejected.

      --
      You were critically hit for no damage. The bruise will look nice, and maybe the scars will make good party talk.
  10. True... but... by DumbSwede · · Score: 2

    True, but rightly or wrongly those people are perceived of has being in control of their own fate and could have escaped death with better decisions. Here you just strap your butt to someone else’s bomb.

    1. Re:True... but... by irrational_design · · Score: 1

      But the people who strap their butts to someone else's bomb aren't being forced to do so. Surely those who pay $200,000 to do this would be considered to be in control of their own fate. I think the Everest analogy is a good one. It is expensive to climb everest and has a high likelihood of resulting in death, but nobody is forced to do so.

    2. Re:True... but... by Kjella · · Score: 1

      True, but rightly or wrongly those people are perceived of has being in control of their own fate and could have escaped death with better decisions. Here you just strap your butt to someone else's bomb.

      My impression is that between guides, porters, avalanches, snow storms and equipment failures they're highly dependent on other expedition members and accept quite a bit of inherent risk in what they're doing that they don't in any meaningful way control. It's not like you can walk off on your own, you bend or break with your team. If you can put your faith in them you can put it the people making your spaceship too, not because they'll be perfect because they won't but because they're (hopefully) smart and doing their best.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
  11. Re:Is this the first death in commercial space exp by Zocalo · · Score: 5, Informative

    In flight, definitely. But sadly not the first fatality for commercial space flight, or for Virgin come to that, Scaled Composites had an explosion during a ground test that killed three people in 2007. That set back didn't halt development, and I hope this one doesn't either.

    --
    UNIX? They're not even circumcised! Savages!
  12. Re:Is this the first death in commercial space exp by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

    I take it this is considered space exploration.

    This is space tourism.

    And yes, this might well be considered the first death in commercial space tourism.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  13. Thank an adventurer sometime by sjbe · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Spaceflight is dangerous. I think the best quote ever was by Mary Shafer of NASA who said "Insisting on perfect safety is for people who don't have the balls to live in the real world." These people clearly don't suffer that problem.

    I thank the explorers who take these risks, sometimes at the cost of their lives. Without them the world would be a much smaller and worse place. It's hard to even imagine the courage it must take to cross an ocean to an unknown continent or to fly into space. People who do these things have my everlasting respect.

    1. Re:Thank an adventurer sometime by DerekLyons · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I thank the explorers who take these risks, sometimes at the cost of their lives.

      Are you out of your friggin mind? No disrespect to them, but these guys weren't explorers. They were testing a commercial craft, no different conceptually from the guys Boeing hires to give an aircraft fresh off the assembly line a quick spin around the sky. They should be mourned, but for what they were - brave individuals doing a difficult job, not for something they weren't.

    2. Re:Thank an adventurer sometime by SillyHamster · · Score: 1

      Are you out of your friggin mind? No disrespect to them, but these guys weren't explorers. They were testing a commercial craft, no different conceptually from the guys Boeing hires to give an aircraft fresh off the assembly line a quick spin around the sky. They should be mourned, but for what they were - brave individuals doing a difficult job, not for something they weren't.

      Test pilots explore human engineering capabilities. This isn't a routine flight of a tried and true existing design. They are testing out completely new designs and finding out what works, and in this case, unfortunately, what does not work.

      It's not the same as discovering new locations and physical things, but it still a type of exploration.

    3. Re:Thank an adventurer sometime by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      It's not the same as discovering new locations and physical things, but it still a type of exploration.

      If it's not the same, then why use the same term and implicitly put them on the same plane? That's just debasing the term into meaninglessness.

    4. Re:Thank an adventurer sometime by SillyHamster · · Score: 1

      If it's not the same, then why use the same term and implicitly put them on the same plane? That's just debasing the term into meaninglessness.

      What part of "type of exploration" was difficult to understand?

      An iPhone is not the same as an Android, but it is still a type of smartphone.

    5. Re:Thank an adventurer sometime by NormalVisual · · Score: 1

      They were testing a commercial craft, no different conceptually from the guys Boeing hires to give an aircraft fresh off the assembly line a quick spin around the sky.

      Conceptually perhaps, but the devil is in the details. Kerosene is a *much* safer fuel to work with than what SS2 was using, and there are a whole bunch of other problems that can come into play when you're 60 miles up, having gotten there by flying almost 3,000 mph. It's not a very commonly explored flight envelope.

      --
      Please stand clear of the doors, por favor mantenganse alejado de las puertas
    6. Re:Thank an adventurer sometime by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      An iPhone is not the same as an Android, but it is still a type of smartphone.

      Which is a meaningless comparison because they are the same thing. Calling these pilots "explorers" is placing them on the same plane as Amundsen, or Aldrin, or Magellan - which they patently were not. (Which is why we have different terms for smart phones and not smart phones - they aren't the same thing.)

    7. Re:Thank an adventurer sometime by SillyHamster · · Score: 1

      Which is a meaningless comparison because they are the same thing. ... (Which is why we have different terms for smart phones and not smart phones - they aren't the same thing.)

      An iPhone is not an Android. They have different labels, which as you note is used to differentiate between different things. However, they are the same type of thing.

      Exploring engineering limits is different than exploring physical locations, but both activities are exploration. Exploration is done by explorers.

      If you want to say the test pilots are not physical region explorers, no one is going to disagree with you.

      Calling these pilots "explorers" is placing them on the same plane as Amundsen, or Aldrin, or Magellan

      So you'll call the pilot who made the flight to the Moon an explorer. What about every test pilot before Aldrin who proved out all the designs that led up to the actual Apollo missions?

      They're explorers because they take the risk, not because they happen to be successful, or are famous after the fact.

      Again, this is are test pilots trying unproven designs to push spaceflight innovation. They're exploring the unknown to make it possible for new things to be done.

      Their work may not be as famous or impactful as the explorers you mentioned, but the risks and the objectives squarely qualify them as explorers.

  14. Per aspera ad astra by Stormy+Dragon · · Score: 3, Informative

    Per aspera ad astra ("A rough road leads to the stars")

    1. Re:Per aspera ad astra by MRe_nl · · Score: 1

      Per ballista ad astra ("Shoot for the stars") ; ).

      --
      "Kill 'em all and let Root sort 'em out"
  15. Why use these hybrid rocket engines by halfdan+the+black · · Score: 1

    Don't conventional liquid engines give significantly more thrust per weight of propellent. From everything I've read, these hybrid designs are also far less controllable and have all sorts of odd dynamics as the solid propellent burns away.

    1. Re:Why use these hybrid rocket engines by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      As I understand it, they chose the hybrid engine because it was a fast way to get Spaceship One into space to win the X-Prize. And it worked well.

      It just doesn't seem to have scaled up to an operational vehicle, and should probably have been abandoned long ago. I've seen a number of people online over the last few years talking about their concerns with using these engines in this way, and how it was likely to go badly wrong.

    2. Re:Why use these hybrid rocket engines by Overzeetop · · Score: 1

      Strangely, it actually comes down to safety. Hybrid motors have a compromise between controllability and safety. Liquid fuel rockets often have at least one cryogenic component (sometimes both) or use a hypergolic fuel - both of which have very serious safety issues for storage and transport. Solid fuel rockets are very stable, but have little or no controllability.

      The hybrid here is generally more stable than cryo/hypergolic and controllable, though no engine is completely safe.

      --
      Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
    3. Re:Why use these hybrid rocket engines by 0123456 · · Score: 2

      If that were true, then the Space Shuttle would have used them instead of solid rocket boosters.

      Uh, it is true. The SRBs weren't chosen for their specific impulse, they were chosen primarily because they were cheap to develop compared to a new liquid rocket booster which would probably have required a new engine, too.

    4. Re:Why use these hybrid rocket engines by halfdan+the+black · · Score: 1

      I was talking about these hybrid (rubber / NOx) vs liquid (kerosene / O2) engines. I know conventional solid do make more thrust, but are not controllable -- hence they make a good booster but not a main engine. It would seem like for a main engine, conventional liquid would give the most thrust and the most controllability.

  16. Re:Is this the first death in commercial space exp by jeremyp · · Score: 1

    I know in aviation one of the Wright brothers died during a test flight.

    One died of typhoid in 1912 and the other of a heart attack in 1948.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/W...

    --
    All I want is a secure system where it's easy to do anything I want. Is that too much to ask ~~ Randall Munroe
  17. Brutally sad day by Thagg · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Burt Rutan, the designer of the Spaceship One and Two, has been a hero, perhaps the hero, of my life. A passionate, innovative aircraft designer; unbelievably aggressive in trying new things, pushing boundaries that nobody even knew existed.

    His first plane design, the VariViggen was an astonishingly different design than anything out there before; designed while a student at Cal Poly and built in his garage. And it flew beautifully. I saw that plane, his later VariEze and LongEz flying in formation at the Oshkosh Fly-in in 1980.

    He set up a shop at the Mojave Airport, called Rutan Aircraft Factory (RAF). In the middle of nowhere, nothing there but space to build new planes, and he built many. Each one more exotic than the last. His Boomerang, his last personal plane, is so far from the standard boring airplane designs that most people wouldn't believe it could fly; but it does fly, efficiently, safely, and every apparently crazy design idea has absolutely solid engineering and aerodynamic backing.

    I took my 14-year-old daughter to see the first flight into space of Spaceship One in 2004. Burt's long-time co-worker and chief test pilot, Mike Melville, flew it that day. As it was climbing to space, it started to spin, pretty fast (about 60 rpm.) Melville said that he was scared for a second, but then decided to wait until he was "in the safety of space" to arrest the spin. A test pilot, flying an experimental winged spaceship, who has never flown to space before, in a plane spinning at Mach 3, decides in a second to wait until he was in the safety of space. And of course, it worked out; he was able to use the reaction control system to arrest the spin; took out some candy to float around the cockpit, took some photos out the windows, and enjoyed the five minutes of weightlessness. Just one of a thousand, maybe ten thousand adventures in Burt's long career.

    I've wondered my whole life about how Burt responds when people die flying planes of his design. In 1983, while at Oshkosh, a VariEze crashed approaching the airport (it looks as if the linkage between the control stick and the elevator failed.) Burt, up on stage, described his trip out to the crash site. As professional as he could be, but I felt it must have been tearing him up inside. He gave the gift of flight to thousands of enthusiasts, but those great planes took the lives of some of those people. How do you reconcile that? I'm not sure I could have, or can today.

    Burt got out of the homebuilt airplane business after being sued too many times by the survivors of crashes. In the last suit, the guy built the plane incredibly wrong, instead of using the 10 layers of fiberglass to attack the fins to the wing, he just glued them on. Astonishingly, it held up for years, but finally broke during a low-high-speed pass. Burt won all the lawsuits, but it was clear that he would spend years defending himself instead of doing what he loved, so he closed the shop.

    Burt retired a few years ago, and lives up in Idaho instead of Mojave. Sadly, for all the innovation he created over the years, there were no commercial successes. This looked like it might be the one, but it's never going to happen.

    This is not the first death in the program; sadly. While testing a previous engine about 5 years ago, the nitrous oxide detonated, killing three of his engineers. I mourned for them, and for the pilot today. My joy over my whole adult life in seeing the achievements of Rutan and his team are about evenly matched by the heartache I feel for them today. They haven't announced the name of the pilot who died today, but may he rest in peace.

    --
    I love Mondays. On a Monday, anything is possible.
    1. Re:Brutally sad day by Thagg · · Score: 1

      It's all carbon composites, no sheet metal involved :)

      --
      I love Mondays. On a Monday, anything is possible.
    2. Re:Brutally sad day by BitZtream · · Score: 1

      His first plane design, the VariViggen [wikipedia.org] was an astonishingly different design than anything out there before;

      So a design based on an existing military aircraft, only smaller ... is astonishingly different?

      He didn't invent the canard or delta wing.

      I think you might want to read the first paragraph of the article you linked too.

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
    3. Re:Brutally sad day by jd · · Score: 1

      One of the common problems with any aircraft design is that you can't have backups for everything. There simply isn't the capacity, unless you double the size of the aircraft and thus eliminate all of the benefits of having a backup engine (perhaps the most critical system to have a backup of). Thus, some level of failure is inevitable.

      (Even if you have backups, that won't necessarily save your skin. The DH98 Mosquito could fly perfectly fine on one engine, but crashes from engine failure still happened. The Space Shuttle, on at least one occasion, lost two or more of the five onboard computers. There's a limit to what you can do in these sorts of cases.)

      All flight is, inherently, dangerous. That's the nature of the beast. You can improve safety, which is always a good thing to do, but improvements will be asymptotic to a value below perfectly safe. How much below is unclear, I don't think anyone has really done that calculation. Nonetheless, whatever it is, there's declining returns after a given point. Commercial manufacturers tend to put a ballpark figure on what's an acceptable number of deaths per thousand (miles|hours) of flight and will invest to around that level of safety. Understandable - more than that gets very expensive very quickly but won't affect sales, aircraft usage or aircraft reputation.

      Now, high atmospheric/suborbital/orbital/space travel is a great deal worse. Engines have to cope with vastly higher pressures, which means that much smaller defects can be disastrous. You've far worse radiation to contend with, so control circuits have to be better screened and radiation-hardened. They also have to cope with far greater G forces, vibrations from hell, variations in temperature that they're not going to like, and (since atmospherics can be nasty) survive (without producing erroneous signals) plasmas and electrical discharges that aren't always predictable and not always that well understood.

      In this particular case, it looks from the amateur footage that claims to be of the accident (you can never be sure) that the engine ruptured. The engine, as I understand it, was a new type. Probably smarter to do the first flight unmanned for that, but that's easy to say now. My guess would be that the engine casing had not been properly made and failed. Not enough to total the aircraft at high altitude, but enough to make a complete mess of things. Again, it's only a guess, but that sounds like the engine wasn't yet full power. If it had been, I doubt there'd have been anything large enough for the video cameras to film.

      Engine casings are tough to make flawlessly. You can do limited testing with ultrasonics and assorted remote sensors, and those'll find a lot of flaws, but the only known way to test if an engine is working perfectly is to fire it up to maximum power and hold it there until the fuel runs out or it explodes. If it's still intact, it was fine. It probably isn't now, though.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    4. Re:Brutally sad day by dotancohen · · Score: 1

      I love Mondays. On a Monday, anything is possible.

      So you are saying that they should have waited three more days?

      --
      It is dangerous to be right when the government is wrong.
    5. Re:Brutally sad day by ardor · · Score: 1

      > You can improve safety, which is always a good thing to do, but improvements will be asymptotic to a value below perfectly safe.

      To be exact, this is true for *everything* in life. There simply is no such thing as "perfectly safe".

      I do agree with your posting though.

      --
      This sig does not contain any SCO code.
  18. Re:Just curious (ejection tech) by RobinH · · Score: 1

    I thought this ship was suborbital. Re-entry isn't a big huge deal if you're not going multiple km/s sideways. The red bull space dive thing just had a guy in a spacesuit.

    --
    "I have never let my schooling interfere with my education." - Mark Twain
  19. Two failed launches in such a short time... by Karmashock · · Score: 1

    ... as others have said... bad week.

    --
    I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
  20. Re:Is this the first death in commercial space exp by westlake · · Score: 1

    I know in aviation one of the Wright brothers died during a test flight.

    On September 17, 1008, Army lieutenant Thomas Selfridge rode along as Orville's passenger, serving as an official observer. A few minutes into the flight at an altitude of about 100 feet (30 m), a propeller split and shattered, sending the Flyer out of control. Selfridge suffered a fractured skull in the crash and died that evening in the nearby Army hospital, becoming the first airplane crash fatality. Orville was badly injured, suffering a broken left leg and four broken ribs. Twelve years later, after he suffered increasingly severe pains, X-rays revealed the accident had also caused three hip bone fractures and a dislocated hip.

    Wright Brothers

    Wilbur died of typhoid fever in 1912, Orville of a heart attack in 1948.

  21. Re:Russia - you know it's true by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    lol - wrong country. ex-CAF Army - built into all rocket tech by Russia back when this engine was made but you civvies don't know that, do you?

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  22. Re:Is this the first death in commercial space exp by ogdenk · · Score: 1

    One of the brothers did crash a plane, but only suffered minor injuries.

    I think he killed his passenger though.

  23. Exploration comes in many forms by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Are you out of your friggin mind?

    No. My mother had me checked.

    No disrespect to them, but these guys weren't explorers.

    That is very disrespectful to them and they most certainly were/are explorers. Being a test pilot is most definitely a form of exploration. You think those aircraft are safe the moment they roll out of the factory? You think that anything involving spaceflight is routine? That's pretty clueless. They were flying an unproven aircraft which is part of an unproven space launch platform. If that isn't exploration then nothing is.

    1. Re:Exploration comes in many forms by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      It's not exploration. There's no unfamiliar area being traveled in.

      It's a risky activity. It's testing something that very well mightn't work. It's forward progress on engineering and science. But it isn't exploration.

    2. Re:Exploration comes in many forms by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      If that isn't exploration then nothing is.

      No, you have that backwards - if that's exploration, then the term is so broad as to be meaningless.

    3. Re:Exploration comes in many forms by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      They explored unknown flight envelopes.

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    4. Re:Exploration comes in many forms by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      Which is forward progress in engineer but not actually exploration.

      Sure metaphoric exploration, but I metaphorically explored different ratios of scotch and dry too - doesn't make me an explorer.

  24. Re:Is this the first death in commercial space exp by kenai_alpenglow · · Score: 1

    One of the Wrights crashed with a signal corp Lt, I believe. Was the first aircraft death. The Wright got banged up a bit, but lived.

  25. Double tragedy by boundary · · Score: 1, Informative

    It wasn't Justin Bieber's scheduled flight.

  26. Re:Russia - you know it's true by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    Two spaceship crashes in one week does seem awful suspicious, so sabotage seems like a plausible explanation. Likewise Russia seems like a plausible culprit given the ongoing proxy war in Ukraine. But I'm not aware of any actual evidence to support these reasonable guesses.

    I kinda doubt the Chinese would be involved. Current relations between Bushbama regime and CCP are, outwardly, pretty cordial.

    No idea. Have no field intel to this effect. But my suspicion meter is on yellow.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  27. Re:Just curious (ejection tech) by NormalVisual · · Score: 1

    The red bull space dive thing just had a guy in a spacesuit.

    You're right that we're not talking about a Mach 25+ reentry, but Baumgartner and Eustace jumped from less than half the altitude the Virgin craft will be reaching.

    --
    Please stand clear of the doors, por favor mantenganse alejado de las puertas
  28. Pale blue dot. by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

    There is nothing to see here

    I disagree, I can think of nothing the 1% desperately need more than a spoonful of humility.

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  29. Wasn't this hashed out.... by Rinikusu · · Score: 1

    This whole commercial vs government funded, ethics and morals, etc etc all hashed out in a Star Trek movie?

    --
    If you were me, you'd be good lookin'. - six string samurai
  30. They knew by caffiend666 · · Score: 1

    VG knew seven years ago that nitrous was unscalable and randomly dangerous. They should have switched then to plans for spaceship three, skipped spaceship two. Instead, they aren't going to see either.

    --
    Here's to losing my Karma Bonus again....
  31. BS Alert! by Zynder · · Score: 1

    Oh the hypocrisy! Two threads up you were trotting out the whole "In what sense, exactly, is killing the crew one time in sixty 'extremely safe'?" bullshit, but it's ok to give a pass to airplanes? Now I know you aren't actually here to talk about anything. You're just here to argue with any side, either side, and both sides. You enjoy the sound your keyboard makes when you pound on it. Nothing more, nothing less.

  32. Re:Is this the first death in commercial space exp by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

    But 1903 came at the end of a century in which risk was an accepted part of exploration of any kind. If the Donner party experience had occurred in the context of today's culture, California would still be unpopulated.

  33. Re:Is this the first death in commercial space exp by PseudoCoder · · Score: 1

    Yup. Thomas Selfridge was the name. I remembered a death in one of the early flights and I my bad memory thought it was one of the brothers.

    --
    "Now, I doubt any of you would prefer a rolled up newspaper as a weapon against a dictator or a criminal intruder."
  34. Testing a new engine? by l0n3s0m3phr34k · · Score: 1

    I saw a show where they launched and turned the wings and floated back. They also were testing the solid boosters too, which was some type of recycled rubber. One thing I noticed was as they left the atmosphere the thrust vector was really sporadic, not smooth at all like other rockets. Oh, and at one point the on-board computer died but luckily the pilot was highly skilled and landed it anyway...and I don't think the pilot that died was that guy either; he was pretty old lol.

    1. Re:Testing a new engine? by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

      and I don't think the pilot that died was that guy either; he was pretty old lol.

      Out of interest, what do you think "lol" means?

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
  35. Grumman didn't make it to the moon alone by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Of course it's a bad week for running spaceflight as a cottage industry instead of something with the expertise of a group like NASA behind the private groups. We've set it to be far too much of a hands off approach and the lack of expertise available for purely political reasons is showing.
    We have private nuclear with the involvement of a lot of government experts and government help so why can't we run spaceflight the same way instead of this odd and now tragic experiment in pretend private enterprise? It's not real private enterprise because governments are the main customer and define a major portion of each business.

  36. Wrong translation by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Try this - space travel is hard so you have to put a shitload of effort in and need the resources of a government or similar behind you to progress. So far that has been well and truly worth it and will be in the future, but pretending it's going to be easy is just setting up for "where's my flying car" disappointment.
    Gravity is a harsh mistress.

  37. New fuel by dmpot · · Score: 1

    It appears that the accident is linked to the use of new fuel and related modification to the engine. Unfortunately, no amount ground testing can guarantee safety in the air. This is true for jet-engines as well. However, a jet-engine failure rarely leads to a deadly outcome for the testing crew. In most cases, the pilot can land the plane safely even with a severely damaged engine. Failure of a rocket-engine leads to a large uncontained explosion with little chance for the crew to survive. In the age of drones, we should not use human beings during such tests.

  38. Such as by ThatsNotPudding · · Score: 1

    Things being cheaper makes them more accessible to all.

    With the exception of universal health care, housing, clean water, living wages...