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European Agreement Sets Up Third Greek Bailout

An anonymous reader writes: Euro zone leaders have reached a deal that will attempt to resolve Greece's financial crisis. The deal sets up negotiations for the country's third bailout, and will require the Greek government to give up significant autonomy in financial matters. Experts have estimated that Greece could require almost $100 billion to stabilize once again. While this will be a significant cost to taxpayers in other European countries, the economic repercussions of letting Greece default on its debts would be much greater. "The agreement will call for Greece to raise taxes in some cases, parepension benefits and take various other measures meant to reduce what critics see as too much bureaucracy and too many market protections that keep the Greek economy from operating efficiently. ... Despite the agreement, Greek banks are expected to remain closed this week. The banks are acutely short of cash and Greek depositors may soon find it difficult to withdraw even small sums from ATMs."

485 comments

  1. Greeks surrender: no restructuring by l2718 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The most notable point is the that there is no firm agreement to restructure (cut) the debt. I wonder how Tsirpas will sell this to his constituents who just voted a firm "NO" to a deal without restructuring.

    1. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by xxxJonBoyxxx · · Score: 5, Insightful

      >> I wonder how Tsirpas will sell this to his constituents who just voted a firm "NO" to a deal without restructuring.

      Same way Bush (W) sold a tax increase to those he told "no new taxes"
      Same way Clinton sold the Defense of Marriage act to those who voted for him to continue the progress of civil rights.
      Same way Bush (GW) sold illegal immigrant-friendly policies to those who voted for him to close the border.
      Same way Obama sold the renewal of the Patriot Act to those who voted for him to kill the program.

      In short, he's a politician. I'm sure he'll manage.

    2. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by dkatana · · Score: 1

      What was the Greek government thinking? that the EU will just give more money without asking for more responsible measures. Meanwhile the European Central Bank maintains a freeze on emergency liquidity assistance. Tsipras had a popular mandate to say NO, he said yes. Game over!

    3. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by l2718 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      What was the Greek government thinking? that the EU will just give more money without asking for more responsible measures. Meanwhile the European Central Bank maintains a freeze on emergency liquidity assistance. Tsipras had a popular mandate to say NO, he said yes. Game over!

      No -- the Greek government was thinking that they (Greece) needed to implement serious reforms, and that they have already achieved primary surplus. However, given the state of their economy the would never be able to pay back most of the debt. So what they needed was (1) forgiveness ("restructuring") for a big chunk of the debt (2) a bridge loan until the reforms kick in and the economy recovers enough. Some of the loans would be eventually paid, but much shouldn't be (and the lenders should have known better).

      What the EU wants instead is (1) the pipe dream of Greece paying back everything and (2) higher taxes and lower pensions now to help this repayment. In other words, for the EU the goal of any reforms is not to get Greece back on its feet but to extract money from it to pay back the loans.

      So, the question was not on whether reforms were needed before any further loans (which was universally agreed upon), but rather on the goals. What Greece capitulated was not on agreeing to the reforms, but on accepting that notion that they will try to pay back loans despite knowing full well that they will never be able to afford to.

    4. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by gweihir · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Basically, the "NO" was a bluff in the hopes that the other side will yet again get soft. The problem is that the Greeks have vastly overplayed their hand. That a big crash was coming to them was visible for a very long time to anybody willing to look at facts. I know several Greeks that left the country 10 years or more ago because they saw no future for that country.

      As it is now, there is almost no sympathy left for what Greece is doing at the moment in the Euro-Zone. Newer eastern members rightfully point out that _they_ had to implement drastic reforms to even be allowed in. Citizens all over the EU are unwilling to pay anymore without vast concessions by Greece. Anybody being friendly or soft on Greece runs a serious risk of losing the next election just because of that.

      In other words, the gloves are coming off now. The main reason is that Greece is completely out of touch with reality.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    5. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2, Interesting

      What was the Greek government thinking? that the EU will just give more money without asking for more responsible measures.

      Yes, because that is basically what is happening. The Greeks will get 100B euros, they will implement a few minor reforms, and the EU will kick the can down the road. Greece will almost certainly need another bailout in a few years. Meanwhile, voters in Italy, Spain, and Portugal, will be asking why they aren't getting a bailout too. And voters in Slovakia, Poland, Estonia, Latvia, etc. will be asking why they are paying higher taxes to bailout Greeks that are on average far richer than they are, and on average retire five years younger.

    6. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by oh_my_080980980 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The EU is out of touch if they think Greece can pay it back and that more austerity measures will grow Greece's economy. Notice how there's no claw-back from Goldman Sachs which helped hide Greece's debt and helped double it.

    7. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by BarbaraHudson · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Its estimated that the economic turmoil of keeping the banks closed for two weeks has caused 25 billion in damage. Totally self inflicted. This is what you deserve when you have a clown appoint another clown as finance minister. There's a big difference between managing the economy in a game and realpolitik. Otherwise I would be finance minister for having finished sim city 2k. Also, it's far from a done deal. Will the Greek parliament pass the necessary reforms? And either way, will Greeks step up their national sport of dodging taxes? Throw in civil unrest and the expectations of the government getting the boot and a grexit is still the most likely scenario.

      --
      "Transparent" is a shit show that trades on every stereotype going. A man in drag is NOT a transsexual.
    8. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Did you read the Euro Summit Statement, posted by vivaoporto below? (http://www.ara.cat/mon/Lacord-cimera-liders-europeus-Grecia_ARAFIL20150713_0002.pdf)

      The bullet points are pretty clear. And nothing will be done until Greece enacts what are considered to be the top priorities. One sentence specifically states: "The above-listed commitments are minimum requirements to start the negotiations with the Greek authorities." From what I can tell, the commitments asked for are not going to be a walk in the part. Basically, Greece is in for pretty hard times ahead.

      And that's why the other PIIGS will not want a bailout, at least, not one with these terms.

    9. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The most notable point is the European countries would not face such horrific economic crisis without a unified currency. Greece would be in crisis; the Kronor and Franc and DM and dollar and Pound and Piece would be strong; tourists would show up with pocket change, scraps to throw the Greeks, staying in lavish hotels and buying expensive trinkets and high-dollar food for cheap; the influx of money toward Greek tourism and Greek exports would help support and rebuild the Greek economy; the sudden access to cheap Greek imports would improve the wealth of neighbors (instead of weakening their economy) by the principle of comparative advantage (and its genesis principle, the unifying economic theory which I developed to explain how wealth works); and everyone--Greece and the other Euro neighbors--would experience much less pain (Greece by more rapid recovery thanks to the more dramatic shift in trade advantage; everyone else by sudden access to more import goods for the same outlay of money--a local increase in wealth).

      Instead, Greece falters; its currency (Euro) becomes no weaker than any other currency (Euro); exports don't increase because the neighboring countries's currencies (Euro) don't have a higher value than the Greek currency (Euro); the Greek currency (Euro) becomes weaker; neighboring currencies (Euro) also become weaker, thanks to Greece's shitty economy; neighboring countries must raise taxes and outlay expenses to bail out Greece, with associated strain on their economy and no return on their investment (wealth destruction); and everyone's economy stumbles and struggles to get back up.

    10. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Baldrson · · Score: 1

      l2718 asks:

      wonder how Tsirpas will sell this to his constituents who just voted a firm "NO" to a deal without restructuring.

      Shhhh...

      The All New Slashdot IMF Editorial Policy is to leave questions like that answered in the subtext of the original post: The People Don't Matter and If You Think They Do You're a 'Populist' which is just shy of being an 'Extremist'.

    11. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Informative

      There are some pretty serious questions about the honesty of Greek officials in reporting the implementation of previous reforms. This is one of the factors that has lead to the near total lack of trust in Tsipras and the Greek government.

      Debt relief does not appear to be permanently off the table, but Germany, along with some other EZ members (notably Finland) want to see verifiable evidence of significant reforms, and not just Greek negotiators saying one thing to EZ officials and then going home and saying and doing quite different things.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    12. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The EU is out of touch if they think Greece can pay it back and that more austerity measures will grow Greece's economy. Notice how there's no claw-back from Goldman Sachs which helped hide Greece's debt and helped double it.

      Well, that's the modern big-business model. Downsize your way to greatness.

      First you buy it, then you shred it, then you dump the remains and PROFIT! No "????" step required!

    13. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by MightyMartian · · Score: 3, Interesting

      There will be no more can kicking. The Troika is now demanding a surrender of Greek fiscal sovereignty. All government legislation going ahead will have to be cleared with the Troika before the Greek parliament votes on it, and previous legislation will have to be amended to be brought into line with the new agreement.

      Greece, for some time to come, will essentially be in "administration". The Germans and other EZ members do not trust Greece anymore, and are not willing to simply allow Greece to come back in a year or two and pry more money from ECB's hands. The long and the short of it is that the Greek government will no longer exercise critical sovereign powers.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    14. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by SMTB1963 · · Score: 2

      The most notable point is the that there is no firm agreement to restructure (cut) the debt. I wonder how Tsirpas will sell this to his constituents who just voted a firm "NO" to a deal without restructuring.

      Why would he have to sell it to his constituents? Doesn't he know that when you owe a bank 1,000,000,000 the bank owns you - but if you owe the bank 380,534,382,133.32 you own the bank?

      Maybe the leadership of Greece just doesn't know how to negotiate. Should we send in Donald Trump to work it out?

    15. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There was and is no immediate need to restructure the debt. The bailout takes care of the debt that is due within the time of the program and the rest is not a pressing issue. With confidence in the Greek sincerity at an all time low, this has to wait until it is clear that the program is not just another ruse to get more money or debt cuts.

      A lot of people in and outside of Greece still seem to think that this is a situation of bargaining. It is not. It is a last-ditch attempt to save a country. That's what Greece stands to "get out of the deal". What does Europe get out of it? Pay close to a hundred billion Euros to a country which has squandered hundreds before, isn't expected to pay back the debts in the lifetime of most Europeans under the best of circumstances, and can at any time decide to just change their mind and squander it again. The people calling this a surrender are either delusional or full of it.

    16. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by MightyMartian · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It is in no small part because the other PIIGS states have gone some distance to implementing austerity measures that the Troika had no choice but to put the harshest conditions upon any agreement that allowed Greece to remain part of the Eurozone. If they had simply handed Greece more bailout money, or even gone the distance towards some debt relief, the other troubled EZ states would have had every right to demand the same considerations.

      Beyond that, so controversial is any bailout, that any agreement that did not amount to an unconditional surrender would have lead to political crises in some EZ states. Finland's government, in particular, is facing a non-confidence vote if a deal with Greece doesn't contain strong elements of control. That's a big reason for the huge asset sale the deal requires.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    17. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Tailhook · · Score: 2, Informative

      What was the Greek government thinking? that the EU will just give more money without asking for more responsible measures.

      Why not? They've done exactly that twice already. Three times, if you count Euro adoption in Greece, which actually was the first Greek bailout. Yes, the agreements came with some "austerity," but the Greeks back-pedaled, slow-walked and lied about much of that, the predicted economic recovery in Greece never materialized and the rest of Europe looked the other way while all this went on.

      If this deal goes down the same things will happen and we'll be right back here in three odd years with Greece another umpteen billion in debt, the money run out and herds of negotiators holding press conferences. Eventually this circus will happen in the midst of a recession in Germany and the appetite for throwing more money into Greece will be gone.

      Greece isn't going to become a productive, disciplined society of tax-paying citizens and honest public officials in the next 1000-ish days. Not even if the books were wiped clean tomorrow.

      Debt sucks. It's terrible and it's why some (too few) people think peace-time deficits are next to criminal. Tax-cut-and-spend RINOs and borrow-and-spend dhimmicrats are putting us in the same position as Greece.

      --
      Maw! Fire up the karma burner!
    18. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by MightyMartian · · Score: 5, Insightful

      What this all demonstrates is that the Eurozone needs to become a full fiscal union. What is happening in Greece, with the effective seizure, or at least oversight, of the Greek government's fiscal powers, is what needs to happen.

      Currencies like the US dollar work because, while there may be fifty states that use the USD, there is a single issuing central bank and a federal government that holds core constitutional fiscal powers. That's why you can have economies as diverse, small and large, as Rhode Island, Tennessee, California and New York in one federal state, because there is no "sharing" of fiscal sovereignty. The states are free to borrow money, but they have no control over central fiscal policy.

      In other words, as so many have been saying since Maastricht was signed, for the Euro to actually work, the Eurozone needs to effectively become a single state, and EZ members need to surrender their fiscal powers to a central fiscal authority.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    19. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      According to your logic, the USA should give up the US Dollar, and instead have all 50 states print their own separate currencies. They tried that way back, and it didn't work out well.

    20. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Z00L00K · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's Greece - they will get a new government instead and the agreements will be ignored. At worst it will be a hostile takeover. It wasn't long ago that Greece had a non-democratic government.

      It's probably easier and cheaper to abandon the Euro for Greece.

      --
      If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
    21. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      You seem to have (W) and (GW) backwards. (GW) was Sr.

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      Your ad here. Ask me how!
    22. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by NoOneInParticular · · Score: 0

      So what's wrong with a massive debt restructuring? The obvious way to get out of this mess would have been a significant inflation. 6% inflation for a decade and the debt would dissappear. Germans have been completely against this for historical reasons, thereby preventing an easy way out.

    23. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      According to your logic, the USA should give up the US Dollar, and instead have all 50 states print their own separate currencies.

      Fiscal union works in America because Maine and Mississippi have far more in common, both economically and culturally, than Germany and Greece.

      For an example of fiscal union failing, look at Puerto Rico, which is "America's Greece". They are tied to the US dollar, and stuck with the US minimum wage that is far too high for their level of productivity. They are deep in debt, and on the verge of default. They are unlikely to get a bailout from a Republican Congress, so the bondholders are going to get a haircut.

    24. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by NoOneInParticular · · Score: 2

      Have you ever considered that the predicted economic recovery for the austerity measures didn't materialize because the prediction was basically wrong? The entirety of the EU zone, not just Greece, has been in a depressed state for many years for as many years as we're trying austerity. Many economists predicted exactly that!

    25. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 0

      Currencies like the US dollar work because, while there may be fifty states that use the USD, there is a single issuing central bank and a federal government that holds core constitutional fiscal powers.

      I don't believe such unions are optimal; however, there are a lot of behavioral considerations involved. For example: the unification does prevent stupid shit like California's broken economy destroying Texas's flourishing economy (Texas produces $1.4 for every $1 it spends, or some such; Cali and Rhode Island, of course, are essentially failed economic states, like Greece). On the other, those of us who aren't living in economic shitholes would be better off on our own--if there were no North American Union, and each state were fully independent. In truth, neighbors would absorb states like Rhode Island; California and such would change economic behavior to survive, or fragment into smaller states and consolidate in the same way the United States has. The delineations would be smaller, naturally growing to the smallest viable size (the Union is an unnatural political agreement, not a natural survival behavior).

      My Citizen's Dividend plan is more viable--completely viable--on the United States as a whole, whereas a non-Union political landscape (50 individual states) may have some states capable of implementing an independent policy, others incapable. Centralized fiscal policy--notably, taxation and citizenship--across a fairly-stable broad economy (as opposed to across the globe, taxing independent states by a central world bank) makes it possible to increase mobility: in my policy, I cannot give the Dividend to anyone but natural-born, resident, American citizens (a much-diminished legacy system would cover families and immigrants); you can move across the United States like that, but the same policy would be necessary if it were Maryland and Delaware, and thus you couldn't leave either state without relinquishing your monthly stipend.

      Advantages and disadvantages to broad-union politics and economies. The balance is shifting; I believe the United States was a mistake, but in later years the Union is becoming the better alternative than a disassociated North American landscape. A single world-government would still be terribly wrong; as suggested in many scifi stories, any collection of civilizations spanning across planets with enough resources (wealth) to engage freely in interplanetary trade and tourism may find that the unit of "a planet", "a planet and its moons", or "a solar system" is the correct size of an economic unit. The management resources may, on the other hand, prove impossible: four separate 100-million-population entities may take far less each to manage than 1/4 of the same landscape as a single 400-million-population entity, as the amount of information moving within the unit grows faster than linearly (two people have one interaction; three have three; four have six; etc.).

    26. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      The USA is a single political unit with central fiscal management authority, behaving almost as one giant state; the EU is an authority over a bunch of sovereign states, with little authority over state budgeting. Most government services in America come from the Federal Government (25% taxation, plus 6.2% social security; I pay 2% of my income to the State I live in); in EU, your taxes go to your country, with minimum outlay going to fund the EU as a central government itself, and minimal authority coming down from the EU.

    27. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Unfortunately the primary surplus was a result (and the point) of the austerity measures, which Syriza promised to abdicate in the campaign for the 2014 election. People stopped paying taxes even before the election, and Greece hasn't had a surplus since then. As if things weren't bad enough, Syriza then undid some of the austerity measures and the budget deficit increased even more. This lead to capital flight and a collapse of the Greek economy, culminating in the hopefully temporary closure of the banks when the ECB had no choice but to expect a default and freeze the ELA credit line due to Tsipras dropping out of the second programme by walking away from the negotiations to hold a referendum.

      A big part of the problem now is that Greeks have little trust that their government can bring the Greek economy up to speed again. A bank run is still the most likely thing to happen if the banks were to open again without capital controls. Tens of thousands of Greeks are reportedly paying tax arrears now, but not because they think that it's the honest thing to do: Some even pay more than they owe, because in Greece it's possible to maintain a positive balance on your tax account, and people think the money is safer there than in the accounts of the Greek banks. They expect a bail-in to recapitalize the banks.

    28. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Debt restructuring, in this case, essentially means default on the debts. The parties proposing these restrictions are the creditors, so obviously they are vehemently against restructuring.

      FYI, I'm the grandparent AC.

    29. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 1

      The huge difference being that all of those policies were pushed by Congress, usually controlled by the other party, and then signed by the President.

      Tsirpas was the one who called the referendum last week, encouraged voters to vote "no" to the deal, which they overwhelmingly did, and then agreed to a worse deal days later. It's immensely more incompetent than anything you mentioned.

    30. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You and apparently also a large fraction of the people in Greece don't understand how "the EU" works. The finance ministers and prime ministers of 18 other countries need to sell to their voters and their own parties, and sometimes even to the opposition, that they will give Greece billions of euros yet another time.

      Unfortunately, many of those voters are fed up with Greece, because of this ridiculous clown parade that Tsipras (and even worse, Varoufakis, who is luckily gone) have performed. What do you think would happen if there was a referendum in the eurozone, asking whether "we must agree to pay such-and-such billions to Greece"? I can tell you what the outcome was, it would be "Grexit, please".

      Greece is only one of 28 EU countries, and the votes and democratic mandates of the populations of 18 other countries in the euro zone and 28 nations in the European Union must be respected as well. It is ridiculous to think these people will or should just "pay up" because austerity is so bad in Greece. This is not my opinion, by the way, I have always argued for a transfer union but then again I'm also an ardent European who would like to have a European passport. I'm only referring to what other people say, and people in Greece are kind of foolish to ignore the sentiments of the majority of the populations of 18 other countries.

    31. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by mccrew · · Score: 1

      Actually, what I think you both wanted was (W) for 43, and (HW) for 41.

      --
      Hey, Windows users, there is no such thing as "forward" slash, there is only slash and backslash.
    32. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      no worries, no consumers means no pay back. Keep bleeding the patient, and don't forget to add some more interest and fees.

      Looks a lot like a payday lender at a much larger scale.

      Credit is the problem, the chains that bind.

    33. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by aaaaaaargh! · · Score: 1

      Yeah, in times of crisis all those theoreticians and hobby economists know better, of course. Just like in hindsight everybody knew how to avoid the crisis in the first place...

    34. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Solandri · · Score: 4, Insightful

      What the EU wants instead is (1) the pipe dream of Greece paying back everything and (2) higher taxes and lower pensions now to help this repayment. In other words, for the EU the goal of any reforms is not to get Greece back on its feet but to extract money from it to pay back the loans.

      You're applying reasoning which works for a country with its own currency. If a country has its own floating currency, then raising taxes and lowering pensions is not necessary to reform the economy. You can just leave those as-is and the value of your currency will decline relative to everyone else's, effectively giving all your citizens a pay cut and thus helping to reduce your expenses (measured via other currencies than your own - that's what matters when you owe money to creditors outside your country). That's what happened to Germany in the 1930s, Mexico in the 1970s when they lifted price controls on the Peso.

      Greece is on the Euro though, so this is not an option. The fundamental problem is that Greek citizens are being paid too many Euros for the productivity they are generating (compared to other citizens in the Eurozone). Any long-term fix for this must involve increasing the Greek productivity-to-wages ratio to match the Eurozone norm. This is a mathematical fact - you cannot avoid it by holding an election or making political promises or complaining about fairness. Failure to correct this ratio means Greek debt will continue to increase regardless of whatever other measures you take. Even if you forgave all of Greece's debt, if you do not address this productivity-to-wages ratio imbalance between Greece and the other EU countries, Greece would just continue to accrue new debt.

      That means there are three options:

      (A) Boot Greece out of the Euro, forcing it to create and pay wages in its own currency. This currency can then decline in value vs the Euro until the average Greek's productivity-to-wages ratio (in Euros) matches citizens' in the Eurozone. However, neither the Eurozone nor Greece seems to want a Grexit, so you're left with the following two options:

      (B) Reduce average Greek wages. That's what higher taxes and lower pensions effectively do.

      (C) Increase avreage Greek productivity. That's what the privatization requirements and other reform measures in this package aim to do.

      At least one of those three things needs to happen. If none of them happen, Greece will simply continue amassing more debt no matter what else you do. Any proposal which does not include at least one of these things happening is simply not a solution.

      I should also add that it's disingenuous to claim Greece's problems stem from its creditors. When you borrow money, you are actually borrowing it from your future. Yes it is the creditors who gave you the money, but you pay it back to them in the future. The net effect is then that you are taking money from your future, and spending it today. The only thing the creditor gets out of it is some interest payments (which can be small or large depending on the lending terms). So aside from the interest the creditors earned, any suffering the Greeks experience today and until their debt is paid off, is the cost of them living it up during the 2000s. They did this to themselves.

      Debt forgiveness means the creditors (some banks and citizens in the other Eurozone countries) suffer for the Greeks having lived it up during the 2000s. Sometimes this is necessary if the interest on the debt is so onerous that the debt is growing faster than the country can pay it off. But it is not an action to be taken lightly, especially with Spain, Portugal, and Italy waiting in the wings hopeful that Greece will set a precedent which allows them to shed their debt without paying it back.

    35. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by l2718 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I agree with practically everything you say except the last bit.

      First, the Greek wages-to-productivity ratio must fall, by a combination of (1) Government-sector wage cuts (already started); (2) productivity increases in the government sector by (a) insisting that government workers actually do their job (b) firing redundant government workers and (c) privatization and (3) wage reduction and productivity increases in the private sector – made possible by freeing labour laws.

      However, raising taxes makes the wages-to-productivity ratio worse, because it increases the cost of hiring the worker without a corresponding cost to productivity, or equivalently increases deadweight losses. Instead, wage cuts in the private sector should be achieved by freeing the labour market (which is currently among the most restricted in Europe). In fact, workers need to be compensated for the wage cuts by tax cuts.

      As an aside, tax cuts would also increase compliance, which is the key problem with the Tax system (far more important than the rates).

      Regarding the source of problems, clearly they all stem from the behaviour of Greece (both the country and its people) and not of the creditors. Greece cooked its books before joining the Eurozone, and the Greek voters had ample opportunity to vote for free-market, better-government and smaller-government reforms in the years since.

      That said, the original creditors (eurozone banks) who lend to Greece until 2010 knew all this full well and decided to extend the credit anyway. The earned the interest rates they demanded, and should now have to eat the losses when, following the crisis and resulting economic contraction, Greece can't pay back. These banks may have had to suffer, but lending to sovereigns carries default risk (just like lending to private entities carries bankruptcy risk).

      What you are ignoring, however, is that the people of Europe were not creditors before their governments decided to take on the debt in 2010 (giving the banks a 50% haircut). Since the governments of Europe voluntarily decided to make public what previously was debt to private entities, they shouldn't now be able to turn around and claim that the taxpayers of Europe will suffer unfairly if the debt isn't paid. If the taxpayers were concerned about non-payments and didn't want to go into the debt vulture hedge-fund business they could have left the bad loans with the banks who made them originally.

      I personally thing that. beyond being against the EU treaties, the bailouts of Greece, Spain and Italy were also ill-conceived and morally wrong. But having gone into the sovereign loans business the EU can't complain about facing default risk.

    36. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by gweihir · · Score: 0

      Nice bullshit theory. There is not even enough nuclear fuel available for that, but even if it was, nuclear is an order of magnitude more expensive than any other energy source, and that does not take the extreme cost of accidents and of secure long-term storage of nuclear waste into account.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    37. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your comment on economic matters reminds me of a joke:

      A man asks a woman for a dance. She accepts and they start to dance.
      After a while, the woman remarks, "I see you like to dance."
      The man smiles and agrees, "Yes, very much."
      To which the woman replies: "Then why don't you learn how?"

    38. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Proudrooster · · Score: 2

      I agree, dump the Euro, default on the debt, and PROFIT! :)

    39. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why don't they just tax the fraternity houses more?

    40. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let's get back to reality here. A recession isn't going to happen. The Euro is still strong, arguably strong enough that the IMF might swap currencies, come fall, from the US dollar to the Euro for international trade. Unlike the US with all its military and economic issues, Europe doesn't have to worry about ISIS, nor wars multiple theaters bleeding its currency dry. Of course, the diminished US credit rating is not insignificant either.

      I wish people would stop the alarmist talk about a recession... I read that on a daily basis from the people who happen to be "preppers", where every bit of international news is a Chicken Little, OMG, SHTF incident.

      Germany and Europe are not going anywhere, and there are no rivals for their currency.

    41. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      And the Greek government would have continued to overspend and compensate by printing Drachmas. Greece had higher than 20% inflation in the 1990s. The Greeks are calling Germans Nazis because the Greek pensions were cut by 25%. What do you think 20% inflation per year would have done to the pensions over the same time as the austerity measures? Right. There is a reason why more than 8 out of 10 Greeks want to stay in the Eurozone. The Greek people, unlike some "economists", know what they would be going back to.

    42. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by gmack · · Score: 3, Insightful

      They don't expect the austerity measures to grow the economy. They expect the austerity measures to provide a hard landing rather than an outright crash. The idea is to loan them money until they are roughly self sustaining and no one expected that to be anything other than painful but still less painful than having the budget cut overnight when they can't get anymore loans.

    43. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by david_thornley · · Score: 2

      Also, in the US money does flow between the states, primarily from well-off states to poorer states. These aren't considered loans or bail-outs. If the EU considered subsidizing the worse economies as a cost of keeping the Eurozone, things would work a lot better.

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    44. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      In hindsight, people often still don't understand what they did wrong. Hell, the best explanation people have for communism failing is "human nature doesn't work that way"; I have more advanced theories than state-of-the-art, and am fully aware of the conditions in which communism is correct (that is, better than everything else, and thus viable), and so can plainly see why it was premature, is still premature, and will possibly always be premature as an economic system.

      Hilariously, I'm still trying to process the boundary condition; there's a potential for capitalism to fail spectacularly after reaching those conditions, possibly even before communism is a viable system, which suggests a null outcome (i.e. that it's not technically possible to reach the conditions of communism viability) is better. There's also an oscillation problem: communism can never be the perfect system, because resource scarcity can localize (e.g. you can build a dyson sphere and enter a post-scarcity period; you can colonize another star system and export parts to build a new dyson sphere; but, in transit, you will have resource scarcity and, thus, your post-scarcity, communist system fails), which causes interaction problems (as soon as you attach a post-scarcity system to a scarcity-driven system, you no longer have post-scarcity).

      Maybe our successors will build a new, post-scarcity system, after scarcity is gone. I can't imagine it being anything but a perfect utopia: by definition, everyone has everything. That's it, really. You can only create that system when people have so much wealth that they run out of things they want or need before they run out of wealth to spend; thus, transferring that wealth to others who have less wealth is not harmful. The big problem? People will ... want ... more free time, and so if 25% of your wealth goes unspent, you'll cut your 40 hour work week to 30 hours (automatic wealth redistribution: spreads employment without decreasing actual wealth, since the top 25% of your money can't be spent and is thus valuleless). Then they will ... want ... more social status, more mates, more friends, more attention, more political power--a scarce resource, suddenly one money cannot buy because all these people have more money than they could ever want. Goods and services are now free (total, perfect communism); power, favors, and assassination are the currency of the day (dystopia).

      Does this tell me capitalism collapses at the boundary, or that it smoothly slides into market-driven communism (by way of people just cutting back their hours, spreading work out until we all work 1 hour per week for more money than we could ever dream of spending)? If communism arises in that way, it is a natural process, needing no government intervention--and impossible to create; if it doesn't arise in that way, then the eventual pressure of infinite wealth growth will destroy civilization, as capitalism will stagger and sputter out before communism is viable; and, more likely, if people's greed is infinite, they will always find things to purchase with their money--things other than more free time.

      Think about all that. Our best economic minds have a simple explanation: "Communism goes against human labor, depleting the labor pool, and so it collapses." They have no victory conditions, and do not conjecture that such conditions are either impossible or eventual; they give a wholly non-economic explanation. The ones who try, who talk about economic factors (primarily scarcity), don't have any explanation for how these things arise and how they change over time--things which are blatantly obvious, so much so that economists openly comment on them while not realizing what they're looking at.

      Do you really think people are so brilliant in hindsight? A man cannot see what he stares straight at when his head is stuck up his ass. After all of this, they'll either dissolve the union and conclude such unions ar

    45. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 1

      Default doesn't mean debt repudiation. All they'd be left with is a massive debt denominated in euros they have to pay off with a debased currency.

    46. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by towermac · · Score: 1

      "Same way Bush (W) sold a tax increase to those he told "no new taxes""

      He didn't sell it that well; they fired him for it.

    47. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      Oh, true. Screwed up on the "Herbert" part. I guess that serves me right for not thinking and trusting too much!

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    48. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by slashdot_commentator · · Score: 1

      Ah, bloodsucking capitalist, I see. No, there will be a massive debt, denominated in euros, which Greece WILL NEVER make payments towards, once it leaves the Euro for a debased currency. Or are you suggesting NATO, or a German military alliance will invade Greece to extract payment?

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    49. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Grishnakh · · Score: 2

      That's a different issue. As I understand it, the EU is not dictating things like minimum wage to Greece. PR isn't the only territory or nation using the USD: lots of other territories use it too, such as Palau, Micronesia, US Virgin Islands, etc. And a bunch of nations too: Belize's currency is pegged to it 2:1, and Zimbabwe now uses the USD as its official currency because theirs was worthless. Obviously, foreign nations like Zimbabwe are not going to implement things like US Federal minimum wage standards, and they seem to think they're much better off with a strong currency than with their own worthless one.

      If you think Greece is a messed-up country economically, they're an economic paradise compared to Zimbabwe.

    50. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Proudrooster · · Score: 1

      That brings up an interesting question, can a country declare bankruptcy?
      Greece needs a fresh start.
      No matter how Greece's debt is restructured they will never pay it off. Why even try?

    51. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >What this all demonstrates is that the Eurozone needs to become a full fiscal union.
      > In other words, as so many have been saying since Maastricht was signed, for the Euro to actually work, the Eurozone needs to effectively become a single state, and EZ members need to surrender their fiscal powers to a central fiscal authority.

      Fuck you Hans. We want out. You can take your Deustch Marks and shove them up your ass. You won't get one country to budge one inch closer to ANY union with you, fiscal, economic, political OR cultural. #ThisIsACoup.

      I did not sign up for this. I'll take my basket case nation and better the devil I know.

    52. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by techno-vampire · · Score: 1, Troll

      I came to the conclusion weeks ago that having NATO, or some other group of European nations occupy Greece, enforce the existing tax laws (including prosecuting those who won't pay) and using the resulting revenue to pay off Greece's debts was the only way they'd ever see their money. I also suspect that this will never happen because today's European governments don't have the guts to do what's needed.

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    53. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by thrich81 · · Score: 3, Informative

      "Failed state" California sends more money to the federal government both in total and as a percentage of what it gets back than "flourishing Texas", although neither of them are net takers. http://wallethub.com/edu/state...
      Rhode Island is not a net taker either. That isn't exactly what you were trying to measure but if Cali didn't have to subsidize a bunch of other states then its finances would look better, which by the way is in surplus for 2015.

    54. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      The deal is as follows: Greece has to take the job at the cruise port laundry, while Germany agrees to stop calling Greece at work so long as Greece lays off the ouzo, goes back to the wife and kids while paying at least EUR 100 per week on the payday loan.

    55. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Greece doesn't really have much to export.

    56. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What they should do is give tax credit to consumers in the amount of 3% of any purchase which they document with a machine readable sales slip from a (sales) tax compliant business. Then they can match the sales slips to the documentation provided by the businesses. If a business is found to be dodging taxes, the tax credit on purchases from that business is not given (and the business prosecuted, obviously). This ensures that consumers demand sales slips, and a reputation of tax dodging would put businesses at a disadvantage.

    57. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by joeblog · · Score: 1

      "invade Greece" is such an ugly term for "bank foreclosure" which all responsible lenders have to eventually resort to sometime.

      --
      If it works, it's obsolete
    58. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

      So what's wrong with a massive debt restructuring?

      Because then the other PIIGS will want a restructuring as well. The EU could afford to forgive the Greek debt. They cannot afford to forgive Italy's debt. The other debtor nations have made hard choices, and found the political will to make reforms. That will all collapse if Greece is allowed to walk away from its debt.

      Another problem with debt forgiveness, is that many of the nations that will pay higher taxes to fund it are a lot poorer than Greece. Many of them are already voting for extremist parties because of resentment toward the EU's double standards.

    59. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      Hey, don't get mad at me. Maastritch was faulty because there wasn't a proper fiscal union. I suspect the underlying scheme was that the Euro would become so unmanageable and would generate so many fiscal crises in poor periphery Eurozone states, and would require so many bailouts from wealthier Eurozone states that finally everyone would throw up their hands and agree to a United States of Europe.

      If you voted for currency union, then you either voted for its ultimate failure, or for a fiscal union. There really is no in between.

      --
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    60. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by elmer+at+web-axis · · Score: 1

      No they would just cut trade to Greece until the debt is being paid back. If Greece doesn't want to pay it back they can see what life is like with north Korea as their biggest trading partner.

    61. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      Debt restructuring in this context is a polite way of saying "serious investor haircut, beginning below the jugular." And to put it into sharper relief, at this point, the chief creditors are now Eurozone taxpayers. That's the reason that several EZ leaders, including Merkel and the Finnish leadership, could never have sold their electorates on general debt relief. For that to become palatable at all, Greece is going to have to demonstrate it is capable of abiding by the rules being laid out. First they need to implement all the reforms and other stipulations of this agreement, and when that is done, Merkel may be able to lead the her country and other cynical EZ members into some out and out debt relief.

      --
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    62. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're wrong to put all the blame on Greece, Spain and Italy - they all bumbled along more or less fine for decades with their 'inefficient' economies the critical mistake was joining a Euro with a monetary policy set more or less exclusively to suit Germany and Northern Europe - the resulting flood of more or less free money in the 90s and 00s distorted the economies of southern Europe and its been more or less obvious from the beginning that they didn't have the institutional capacity to manage it. Setting monetary policy to suit the north makes sense in so far as that's where most of the economic activity is but they should have worked out some sort of stabilisation mechanism to deal with imbalances resulting.

      On the Greeks cooking the books - sure, and if you cast your mind back to the 90s pretty much everyone who was paying attention knew it - the Italians too - no one thought they really qualified, they were let in for purely political reasons and while I don't condone their actions I find the complaints of 'we were duped' now a bit rich.

    63. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by mcvos · · Score: 1

      They'll certainly never be able to pay off their debt while they're being subjected to measures that only shrink their economy further.

      The austerity was always a bad idea, and the stubborn fools of the Eurogroup would rather kill Greece and lose their money than accept that fact.

      A country can't declare bankruptcy, but it can refuse to repay their debts. After all, Germany has gotten away for decades with not paying their debt to Greece.

    64. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 1

      Good luck exporting to the nations to whom refuse you to repay your billions in loans, you halfwitted marxist pig.

    65. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In fact, workers need to be compensated for the wage cuts by tax cuts.

      As an aside, tax cuts would also increase compliance, which is the key problem with the Tax system (far more important than the rates).

      Regarding the source of problems, clearly they all stem from the behaviour of Greece (both the country and its people) and not of the creditors.

      Ladies and Gentlemen, Voodoo Economics at its finest!

    66. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You seem to have (W) and (GW) backwards. (GW) was Sr.

      Sr. is George Herbert Walker Bush. GHWB.
      Jr. is George Walker Bush GWB.

    67. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Cow+Jones · · Score: 1

      That's exactly how it has worked in the EU from the very start.

      But there is a difference between subsidizing economically weaker regions and countries, and bailing out a country, for the third time, to the tune of 100 million Euro. All the while being promised reforms and seeing very little actual change.

      --

      Ah, arrogance and stupidity, all in the same package. How efficient of you. -- Londo Mollari
    68. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      "do what's needed?" just like the invasion of the Ruhr by France after WWI when the Germans stopped payments?

      Unfortunately for the Germans the Greeks have the same amount of active soldiers and a lot more military hardware than they do. So if tried that they would just get their butts kicked.

      http://www.globalfirepower.com...

    69. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      No there was another way to do this. Raise German salaries according to the growth in GDP. The problem is actually that Greece raised salaries as GDP grew while Germany froze salaries.

    70. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Cow+Jones · · Score: 1

      billion, of course.
      It's 2015, we should be able to edit posts and fix typos like that inline :/

      --

      Ah, arrogance and stupidity, all in the same package. How efficient of you. -- Londo Mollari
    71. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1
    72. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They don't expect the austerity measures to grow the economy. They expect to collect the money from the remaining privatizations to be held. First you must make sure that everything of value was sold. And while the profits from lending to the Greeks, at an higher rate than it can be had from the BCE, the bailout theater will continue.

      As long as you can extract an higher rate, because the risk of default, but you can politically prevent the same default, that is a sure deal. And you also can make a lot of noise that you are reluctantly aiding those poor lazy Greeks...

    73. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

      Well, then just use NATO, as I originally suggested, but without any US forces because Greece doesn't owe us any money and it's really none of our business.

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    74. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This.

      The hard lesson here is that it is basically pointless to invent a single-currency area, fixing all the metrics and let people starve in one of the corners without correcting mechanisms to put things back on track when in trouble (not redistribute wealth per se, as much maintain a minimum level of ability for recovery).

    75. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      Yes. Fear will keep the systems in line. Those motley old fools discussing politics in the parliament are not necessary anymore.

    76. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      No they aren't voting for extremists because of "double standards". They are voting for them because EU policies are full of fail and incompetent. The beatings will continue until morale improves.

    77. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by manu0601 · · Score: 1

      What this all demonstrates is that the Eurozone needs to become a full fiscal union

      That will not happen: it has been calculated that the cost fro Germany would be around 12% of its GDP to help weaker economies in the euro zone.

    78. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      Well in that case maybe they shouldn't have bailed out their own banks like that in the first place. Had the debt been written down from the beginning this would have been over and done with now.

    79. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      Yes no more can kicking. It will just be like an IMF loan to an African country. The African country gets asset stripped for 30 years and pays the original loan value 3x or 5x over in interest alone. Then after those 30 years the debt is forgiven. Such magnanimity!

    80. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      And either way, will Greeks step up their national sport of dodging taxes?

      Of course they will. It's unfair taxation. I guess you never saw any Robin Hood movie did you? It's based on historical fact. That part about Prince John lying that he was collecting taxes to save his brother, King Richard, from some Germanic jail while he was funneling the money to his own pockets.

    81. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      In the end he had to cave and sign the Magna Carta. That was actually pretty tame in comparison to what could have happened...

    82. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by slashdot_commentator · · Score: 1

      Except that Greece can still trade with any nation not part of the Eurozone. The last time I checked, the USA and China had pretty large economic markets, and all those nations that aren't the USA, China, or the Eurozone, had markets larger than North Korea.

      If you had any comprehension of the political and psychological aspects of this debt crisis, you'd understand that no Eurozone nation has an interest in collapsing Greece in order that their motherfucker bankers can get 100% return on their predatory loan.

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    83. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 2

      Of course they did. That's the result of deflation policies like the ones imposed in Greece. Unemployment and a drop in GDP. See Brünning in 1930 Weimar Germany as an example. If the Germans didn't know themselves this they were stupid in the extreme. But the thing is they probably know this its just an asset stripping move.

    84. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      s/Brünning/Brüning

    85. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      Hahah. Nope. Check the EUR/USD and EUR/CHF rates. The market is speaking and people have been voting with their feet for like a year now.

    86. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      _they_ had to implement drastic reforms to even be allowed in
      So did everyone else. Including Greece.

      Citizens all over the EU are unwilling to pay anymore without vast concessions by Greece.
      It's each man for himself and God for all. Maybe the people of Eastern Europe will welcome the Russians with open arms as liberators again.

    87. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      If the Greeks don't like the deal, they can exit the Eurozone. The Germans were more in favor of that, and this deal has happened in large part because of the desire of the French not to see Greece exit the Euro.

      --
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    88. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by slashdot_commentator · · Score: 1

      The last time I checked, there were many nations besides France and Germany (and the rest of the Eurozone) that Greece could buy and sell products too. Hell, they can even use US dollars.

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    89. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      One might argue that this deal is the first step along that road.

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      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    90. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 0

      The Tyranny of the Majority it is. Spoken like a true German. The thing is dear chum, there's always someone bigger than you out there. You just blew out any sort of comrades you could have had. Only the lackeys remain. Those will leave as soon as the shit hits the fan.

    91. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by arglebargle_xiv · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately for the Germans the Greeks have the same amount of active soldiers and a lot more military hardware than they do. So if tried that they would just get their butts kicked.

      You're seriously saying the Greek army could repel anything? Have you ever been to Greece? The army is just as dysfunctional as almost every other institution there. All you need to do is invade before about 9-10am and the entire armed forces will still be either asleep or gradually getting round to breakfast.

      And that's something that's hard to explain to people who haven't lived in Greece, just how badly broken the entire country is. Nothing works. The tap water is so contaminated that you can't do anything more than wash your clothes with it (you'll get sick drinking it). Every toilet in Greece has a little bucket next to it for used toilet paper because the sewage system can't take it (I probably don't need to paint a picture of what that ends up like during a hot summer day). Raising taxes won't have any effect because payment of taxes is optional, and most people choose not to. I could go on and on and on with further examples, but to understand the Greek problem you first need to have lived there and seen how totally broken everything is. It's a lovely country and all and the people are great, but I've never been so glad to leave and get back to somewhere where things just work.

    92. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      Remember that next time someone tries to sell you a Gold backed currency or other crazy deflationary currencies like that. They are the thing of nightmares.

    93. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      No taxation without representation. Ever heard of that one? Would you have liked if the US was in a similar position vis-a-vis the IMF or whatever?

    94. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      The "reforms" were done and the results are shit because the remedy is shit. It has been tried again and again and it has worked nowhere.

    95. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      Actually yes they are. Part of the agreement is that Greece have to cut wages and pensions by a certain percentage.

    96. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      No it works in the USA because the economy is integrated and you have a Federal Government.

    97. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Well, nuclear energy fanatics are always distorting the facts. You are just giving examples of that.

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    98. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by manu0601 · · Score: 1

      Not exactly, since EU member states never give money to Greece: they loan it and expect it to return. In fact Greece have hardly benefited from EU help, wince each package is here so that Greece can reimburse the previous loan.

    99. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      The Greeks have made it clear a number of times that they don't want to exit the Euro. This is the price of staying in the Euro. If it is too bitter a pill, then they can reject the agreement and exit the Euro.

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    100. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by gweihir · · Score: 1

      So you advocate biting the hand that feeds you? Really smart.

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    101. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Indeed. Almost nobody seems to realize how close to a full crash Greece is now.

      There was one, not widely circulated, news-story in European media in the last few days that made it amply clear: The Red Cross and others have emergency plans prepared to feed the Greek population in case of a complete crash and are confident they can do it. These organizations would _not_ make such plans unless there is a real possibility of them being needed.

      It seems rather doubtful that the Greek economy can be grown at the moment. A lot of EU help has been pouring into the country for quite a while with zero effect. Greece is terribly, terribly inefficient and wasteful. That is a thing a modern nation cannot afford to be unless it is rich because of natural resources. For Greece to get on its feet again, it has to do drastic changes to the way things are run. Just giving them more money without conditions would not fix a thing. Letting them crash or giving them money with strong conditions attached are the only two options now.

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    102. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by gweihir · · Score: 1

      You are misinformed about Greece. The only thing Greece did to be let in was fake their numbers. You are also misinformed about "everyone else".

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    103. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Sorry if I was unclear. Being part of the EU and using the Euro, as I understand it, does not require any member countries to implement a particular minimum wage or anything like that (unlike being a State in the USA). Greece is only being forced to do such things now because they needed bail-outs.

      My point is that being part of a currency union, or just unilaterally adopting another country's currency, does not require adopting all the other economic policies that country has. Zimbabwe and Ecuador don't have US minimum wages, even though they use the USD as their official currency.

    104. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by mjwx · · Score: 1

      In short, he's a politician. I'm sure he'll manage.

      The difference is Tsipras is Greek and in Greece.

      The US is soft on its promise breaking politicians because by and large, everything keeps running as it was and there's no large scale disruption that affects everyone. Greece is not in this position with the level of austerity in Greece. Tsipras is not just fighting for his life politically, he's fighting for it literally. The Greek people wont hesitate to lynch him if they think it'll get them out of their current predicament, hell, they'll lynch him if they think he's not doing everything he can to get them out of their predicament. This is why Yanis Varoufakis (Tsipras' ex finance minister) got the hell out of dodge, he saw the writing on the wall.

      Tsipras got elected because he promised to take a hard line against the EU on austerity. As unrealistic as this was it's what the Greek people wanted rather than another meek EU toady and it will turn out bad for Tsipras if he turns into one.

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    105. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by khallow · · Score: 1

      I came to the conclusion weeks ago that having NATO, or some other group of European nations occupy Greece, enforce the existing tax laws (including prosecuting those who won't pay) and using the resulting revenue to pay off Greece's debts was the only way they'd ever see their money. I also suspect that this will never happen because today's European governments don't have the guts to do what's needed.

      Greece might be a huge mess, but there's no way the public there or Greek expatriots elsewhere in Europe will accept foreign occupation which solely benefits foreign powers.

    106. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by khallow · · Score: 1

      What this all demonstrates is that the Eurozone needs to become a full fiscal union.

      Because we should reward failure? The EU knew what it was getting into when it loaned money to Greece in the first place. A Greek default and taking Greece off the Euro is a better approach than digging the hole deeper and rewarding those who caused the problem in the first place.

      Much has been made of Greece's capitulation, but not of the corresponding capitulation of the rest of the EU. The current refinancing is just a transfer of wealth from the EU taxpayer to lenders who knew better.

    107. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

      In the long run, of course, it benefits them too. Not only does it pay off their debts, it gets them back into the habit of paying their taxes. And, of course, getting their finances back into proper order will help them rebuild their economy. They may not like it, but I'll bet they'll like having the rest of Europe let their country collapse even less.

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    108. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by MobSwatter · · Score: 1

      In other news Bitcoin is still up almost $50 US. Hmmm...

    109. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by giorgist · · Score: 1

      Easy ... the last line in square brackets is [In case no agreement is reached, Greece should be offered swift negotiations on a time-out from the euro area, with possible debt restructuring.] In other words, if you don't like it you are on you own and we are happy to provide humanitarian aid. You are welcome to take as long as you want to pontificate and come back whenever you like, no problems. There will always be conditions which will remain unknown until you decide to come back.

    110. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by gl4ss · · Score: 1

      for greece? perhaps.

      but the politicians are worried more about greek citizens than greece.

      if they leave euro and convert their bank savings into funny-drakhmas then for anyone with money it's pretty expensive.

      the problem was that tsipras & syriza promised politics that would have dependent on creating _huge_ inflation by printing out money - a choice that they don't have since tsipras also promised to stay in the euro (also because they didn't make any contingency plans for that option apparently the next few months would have meant that there would have been no foreign supplies of any kind for a few months at least).

      in practicality it's like Syriza came to power, hired a few thousand people back to push brooms&pencils around and then did nothing for like 5 months. literally nothing.

      personally, I'd say that they've stalled enough already - the greece left wing wants it to be venezuela so let them have it - of course then they'll blame again everyone else for their problems, while shouting at their bigscreen tv's bought with euros.

      --
      world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
    111. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Why would China/America endanger it's trade agreements with the Euro to trade with Greece?

      And why would they trade with a country who's unwilling to pay for things they purchased (in this case debt).

      Those 'evil' bankers as you like to think of them are simply middlemen who represent EU countries. If Greece doesn't pay back it's debt in full the money has to come from somewhere. If Greece doesn't pay back it's debt and it's wiped why wouldn't they rack it back up again with the hope that it again will be wiped.

      Everyone in the EU of course wants Greece to pay back it'd debt. But if Greece is simply unwilling to do that it's not going to be THAT bad for the EU as much as it's going to be bad for Greece.

    112. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by gl4ss · · Score: 1

      tyranny?

      it's tyranny? some of the countries have been performing cuts as well. what's so tyrannical of a country refusing to give greeks earlier pensions than they give to their own citizens...

      tsipras is a clown and his best chum gametheorist was an even bigger clown of a finance minister. he literally did no finance ministering AT ALL during his tenure, their game tactic was simply that varoufakis thought he was so super smart he could keep his own country as hostage in the negotiations.

      thing is there is _no_ possible way for the greeks to maintain their expenses.

      --
      world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
    113. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by slashdot_commentator · · Score: 1

      Those 'evil' bankers as you like to think of them are simply middlemen who represent EU countries.

      No, European politicians are the middlemen of the Evil bankers.

      If Greece doesn't pay back it's debt in full the money has to come from somewhere.

      Yes, it comes from the bankers. They take a loss on their loan. Its called capitalism.

      If Greece doesn't pay back it's debt and it's wiped why wouldn't they rack it back up again with the hope that it again will be wiped.

      They should never want to lend to Greece again. Its called learning from their mistakes. On the other hand, there would be nothing stopping Greece from developing trade relationships with countries other than the Eurozone, and rebuilding up their own financial assets. This is what bankruptcy means. The difference is that bankruptcy does not require 100% loss for the creditors, or is the debtor required to repay 100% of outstanding debts. This process is called "negotiation". If neither party can come to an agreement, they go their separate ways. Greece will have to start from scratch, not being able to borrow from other nations at "reasonable" rates. But they won't be stuck with a debt that's 170% of GDP, which they would never be able to pay back in a century (or many centuries).

      --
      There is no America. There is no democracy. There is only IBM and AT&T and DuPont, Dow, General Electric, and Exxon
    114. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Right.. The shitbag thieves of Greece steal billions, but it's the bankers who are evil..

      You're a total fucking moron.

    115. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by slashdot_commentator · · Score: 0

      The bankers are evil. They've lent Greece the equivalent of 170% of its current GNP. Its OBVIOUSLY more than Greece could ever pay back (except to the scumbag Greek politicians). If a banker makes a stupid loan, they should take the loss when the borrower can't pay back. Not try to attempt debtor slavery for generations. You've never heard of "predatory" lending?

      --
      There is no America. There is no democracy. There is only IBM and AT&T and DuPont, Dow, General Electric, and Exxon
    116. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or.. Maybe Greece shouldn't have been so fucking stupid.

      Socialist shithole living in economic fantasy deserves to starve.

    117. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by kenh · · Score: 1

      The Greek economy doesn't work without infusions of outside capital. Where will grace turn to for capital after it defaults on not only the IMF but also the EU?

      Once they raise the taxes on cargo ships The fleet owners will move their ships to a more tax-friendly country... Where will Greece get tax revenue from?

      --
      Ken
    118. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Beggars can't be choosers... Heard that one, you fucking tool?

    119. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except that I'm a religious fanatic, and I'm not content to just have everything.

      It isn't enough for me to win. I also want you to lose.

      Sorry about your stupid naive idea.

    120. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Z00L00K · · Score: 1

      Is there anyone that still have bank savings in Greece left?

      Those that have assets left in Greece have converted it to valuable assets by now so there's not much left.

      --
      If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
    121. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by kenh · · Score: 1

      they have already achieved primary surplus.

      Wow, by not making payments on debts, they managed to achieve a 'surplus'?! What an accomplishment! NW if they could only find a way to pay for past excesses AND generate a surplus they could be on to something!

      Greece defaulted on an IMF loan payment, that makes it impossible to get new loans from the IMF. In a few days they are likely to default on EU loan payment also... But hey, by not paying their bills they generated a 'surplus'!

      --
      Ken
    122. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      what's so tyrannical of a country refusing to give greeks earlier pensions than they give to their own citizens

      Nonsense. 92% of the loan money is used to pay interest on previous loans and prop up Greek banks which are heavily indebted to Central European banks. No money goes into pensions. Also the Greeks have increased their retirement age several times already. Heck even Syriza said they were receptive to increasing the retirement age for the 3rd time now. Ever since they were elected. What they were not in favor was in doing more cuts to previously agreed and granted pensions.

      How come the Greek government has to maintain their previous obligations to foreign creditors but is fine to break previous obligations to its own citizens?

    123. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Citizen+of+Earth · · Score: 1

      Atonement is the price of forgiveness.

    124. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      the best explanation people have for communism failing is "human nature doesn't work that way";

      The best I've heard is that, "Marx underestimated the value of those who allocate capital." Meaning, capitalists provide value, and you will need someone in that role even if you had people with ideal human nature.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    125. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And the mainstream media manipulators keep the populace docile while the pot is slowly being brought to a boil. All is right in the world today. The politicians and really smart intellectuals will make everything better. I am going to watch sports center like a good boy. No need to think on my own. The media experts have already done my thinking for me. I just need to go along with the program smugly aware that I am more enlightened, thoughtful, and conscientious than those uncivilized wacky conspiracy nuts who do not watch sports center.

      All Good Boys watch sports center
      All Good Boys watch sports center
      All Good Boys watch sports center
      All Good Boys watch sports center
      All Good Boys watch sports center
      All Good Boys watch sports center.....

      Does you neighbor not watch sports center? If he doesn't it is probably because he is spending all his time raping children or making bombs for terrorists. You should probably report him to CSI. They can have agent Jack Bauer correct your naughty neighbors. CSI is another good program to watch when Sports center is not on. It shows how good the government and police are.

    126. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I definitely agree - you have to go there & see it for yourself to believe it. People who would rather spend their lives living in half-built houses just to avoid paying the taxes that are due when the houses are completed, aircraft refuellers going out on strike because they won't be allowed to smoke anymore while they're out on the tarmac, the Athens subway that goes all over the place because they just kept on diverting the tunnel-diggers every time they hit ancient ruins ... Until you see it with your eyes you can't comprehend the mentality that you're dealing with there.

    127. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      Raise? They have no taxes on cargo ships. It is even in their constitution. Crazy country.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    128. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Actually what they want is for Greece to stop acting like a developing country and start acting like a developed one. You know, actually paying taxes in the private sector would be a good start. Having a land registry which says who owns what land would be a start. Not having corruption levels and political hirings as a norm and meritocracy as an exception would be a start.

      Funniest part is that Syriza came promising to deliver just that, and then proceeded with all the political hirings and corruption just like its predecessors. Power corrupts.

    129. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Not at all. You don't need military to extract debt payments. All you need is to cut country off from the international financing, then simply wait for its own populace to tear the idiots suggesting that it's a good thing to pieces when they cannot get medicine for their loved ones or fuel to get anywhere.

      And after angry mob has torn people like your to pieces on the streets, you make a deal with the people who understand what's actually at stake.

    130. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Actually Greek expatriates around Europe appear to be mostly apologising for their fellow Greeks' actions and ashamed of their current actions. We just had a nice interview on our state broadcaster with a couple of them, nice middle aged people. Well adjusted. And massively apologetic about their home country that doesn't understand that it needs to actually pay its taxes and debts.

      See, that's what happens when you leave to go live in a country where people actually pay taxes and expect debts to be repaid. And where things just work - you can drink tap water, sewage system can easily take the toilet paper, those kinds of things. Because there's enough taxes for it and because public servants take their jobs as serious jobs and not political handouts they're entitled to.

    131. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      One sided declaration takes you down the path of Argentina. You need a deal with all your creditors where they accept the terms, or you're simply going to be a pariah when it comes to getting funding from abroad for anything or owning anything abroad.

    132. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Seems to be mostly natural movement as related to slow recovery in US while EU is still in shaky semi-recession with large unemployment. Greek factor appears mostly as noise in occasional speculative up-down dibs.

    133. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      So your argument is that when democracy tells us to pay you, it's about "democratic will of the people", but when democracy tells us not to pay you, it's "tyranny of the majority"?

      I'll just leave this link here:
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
      It used to be a Greek word. You should at least learn your own history.

    134. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Eastern Europeans are the main opponents of bailouts. After Varoufakis straight up implied in his initial fiery speech that Estonians and Slovaks are subhumans beneath Greeks and then dismissed Estonian MinFin when he pointed this out to him after the speech, he basically ensured that no Eastern European with a shred of sanity would stand with Greece.

    135. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      No, they weren't. All we had was promises of reform that were barely implemented on the surface and not at all where it mattered. That's the reason why we're still in this mess.

      If Greece actually reformed, we'd see Greek workers in private sector paying taxes at the very least.

    136. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by KGIII · · Score: 1

      I believe that one of the South American countries did so. They took the credit hit and just kept on keeping on and actually are still coming out of it quite well as I understand it. For the life of me I can not recall the name.

      Anyhow, I do not have a tinfoil hat nor am I insinuating anything but has it occurred to anyone else that this whole EU and Greece thing seems incredibly scripted?

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
    137. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by goose-incarnated · · Score: 1

      And voters in Slovakia, Poland, Estonia, Latvia, etc. will be asking why they are paying higher taxes to bailout Greeks

      They didn't bailout Greeks, they bailed out private bankers. They should be asking tough questions like "why the hell did you use my taxes to buy the Greece debt from private banks?".

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
    138. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Treaties

    139. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by jmac_the_man · · Score: 1

      You have the most confusing way of referring to the 41st and 43rd President I've ever seen. They're both named "Geoege Herbert Walker Bush," so the older one goes by "George HW Bush" and the younger by "George W Bush."

    140. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      Please, present which facts are distorted.

    141. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In this case the order of things is as follows:

      1. Take a debt
      2. Default on it
      3. PROFIT
      4. ????

      In some ways this is easier to archieve than the standard model where the questionmarks come before the perofit part. Here you just profit, and other will figure out the questionmarks for you! It's like in Soviet Greece!

    142. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are, offcourse, right.

      " Since the governments of Europe voluntarily decided to make public what previously was debt to private entities, they shouldn't now be able to turn around and claim that the taxpayers of Europe will suffer unfairly if the debt isn't paid. If the taxpayers were concerned about non-payments and didn't want to go into the debt vulture hedge-fund business they could have left the bad loans with the banks who made them originally."

      The problem here is (once again), banks that are "too big to fail". Those huge banks going under would have taken several busineses and other banks with them, and then collapsed the entire banking sector. Because of this, however, the requirements for bank have now been tightened to prevent the "too big to fail" syndrome in future. So hopefully when this happens next* the investors will actually carry the risk.

      *(which it will, because for some reason investors seem to underestimate the risk associated with lending to states. Yes, they are able to collect taxes and eventually pay back anything, butthe question is do they want to. You can't make them pay)

    143. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The thing is we in the north already know which way money would flow in a situation like that. So no, we won't have it. The Greeks may starve on the streets for all I care if they can't get their act together. They could just cut all the wages by 40% overnight and be done with it. The exact same that would happen if they exited the euro now and let their currency float.

    144. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by slashdot_commentator · · Score: 1

      ll you need is to cut country off from the international financing,

      At best, the EU Central Bank can cut off Greece. The US is not going to cut off USD exchanges; it jeopardizes its status as the world reserve currency. The US did not even cut off Russia, during the Ukraine escapades. The only two countries formally cut off from western banking transactions is North Korea and Iran. And Iran is not even cut off economically from Russia, China, or India. I think even South Korea gets oil from Iran.

      The only two banks that Greece's banks will not be able to do business with is the EUCB and the IMF. In the short term, it won't be able to get loans from any Western bank, but that's only the short term.

      you make a deal with the people who understand what's actually at stake.

      Put Greece into economic slavery for at least a century? Its utterly implausible that Greece can "ever" payback the debt it owes to the EUCB/IMF at 100 cents to the Euro, without having a currency it can inflate. Germany did not continue to payoff its Versailles Treaty World War I debts after World War II.

      --
      There is no America. There is no democracy. There is only IBM and AT&T and DuPont, Dow, General Electric, and Exxon
    145. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by slashdot_commentator · · Score: 1

      CURRENTLY, the Greek economy doesn't work without infusions, because of its ridiculous debt, and profligate public sector spending. Greece goes drachma, and eventually it can rebuild its economy to the point some foreign bank would be able to lend it money. The bottom line is that the IMF and EUCB will have to take a hit on its loans, and if they're unreasonable, they're going to lose close to 100% of it.

      Greece is not going to raise taxes on its cargo ships, unless it agrees to let an EUCB agency take over its taxation and dictates any federal spending. And I don't think Greece's shipping infrastructure is that significant. The largest cargo ship capacity comes from Panama, Liberia, and some other countries.

      --
      There is no America. There is no democracy. There is only IBM and AT&T and DuPont, Dow, General Electric, and Exxon
    146. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      I have read all his speeches and I didn't find any such thing anywhere.

    147. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      I figured out a while ago why fiat currencies are superior. Interesting: if you find a new way to mine, say, copper, such that you require 1/10 the human labor? Copper value drops like a rock. Unstable inflation. The employees, however, then become 10 times as expensive, and so your society derives no wealth from improving efficiency in copper mining if it works on a copper-backed currency..

    148. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      "Ideal Human Nature" would result in nobody having initiation impulse to do anything.

    149. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I will offer some examples of how 'democratic' the EU is. Some countries had a referendum on the EU Constitution around 2005. The French and the Netherlands said no. However they just had to eat it the same anyway. Ireland said no and they were told to think again and redo the referendum until the right answer came out. The Greek Prime Minister at the onset of the crisis was deposed and replaced by a puppet of Goldman Sachs. The Italian Prime Minister was loped off, then the President of the EU came to Italy and told the Italians that it was a time for action not elections. So instead of elections they put an unelected ex-EU Commissioner as Prime Minister and former banker, with a bunch of also unelected ministers as his cabinet.

      The Greek Finance Minister goes to a meeting of the Eurogroup, where basically the finances of Europe are decided by unanimous consensus, and there are no official stored minutes of anything. He makes a speech and the President of the Eurogroup tells him they need to have a meeting without him to decide how to eject him and he asks how can the group meet without having all its members present. His response is that it is an informal group and there is no binding set of rules and regulations. At all. Then the President of the Eurogroup when asked by the journalists outside why the Greek Finance minister wasn't at that meeting answers the journalists that he left of his own free will.

      Now the Greeks had the audacity of actually doing a referendum... So of course they must be punished. This is an exercise of pure authoritarianism pure and simple. Which is bordering on totalitarianism.

    150. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      You mean "following orders perfectly?" lol

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    151. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      Good luck exporting to the nations to whom refuse you to repay your billions in loans, you halfwitted marxist pig.

      Like Germany has trouble exporting to Britain, France, Holland, Belgium, Italy and, by the by, Greece? Like Britain, France, Germany, Holland, Italy and Belgium have trouble exporting to the US? And Argentina, in spite of defaulting on a ton of loans exports quite a lot.

      Historically, the world does not work the way you suggest.

      But keep implying those who you disagree with are those who value ideology over facts.

      --
      Your ad here. Ask me how!
    152. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      You do not understand the topic. International financing is not about currency exchange, but about actual FINANCING.

      Look that word up.

      On a last note, Greece can easily repay its debt. All it would need to do was sell off a lot of state assets. The money exists in Greece already, it's just mainly tied to land rights, Orthodox Church holdings and so on. Greece is quite a wealthy nation.

      Problem is not lack of means. It's lack of will. Greek government was whining about actually establishing land registry for years now, which would actually enable them to sell many profitable territories for development. Great beaches and so on. They still haven't done it.

    153. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Look up his initial speach to the Eurogroup MinFins when he first met them in his new capacity and Greek MinFin. Then look at what Estonian media (Eesti Päeväleht etc) quoted their MinFin on the topic.

    154. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      You are pointing fingers at flies on the wall to avoid having to look at the huge Greek elephant shitting up the room.

      Get over the flies and look at the damn elephant. It is far more relevant to your situation than any of the off-topic faults you can find in EU's past.

    155. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      Still can't find anything. I can't read Estonian.

    156. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Welcome to Europe. Lot of different languages in relevant local media here that don't get translated into English.

      Story was big enough that this particular piece of news was all over Estonia to the extent where our (Finnish) media took note. He really pissed Estonians and Slovaks in that speech, as he basically stated that Greeks have a humanitarian disaster going on because of their current level of life and then named a specific sum.

      See, Slovaks and Estonians have a much lower level of life and have to live off far less, yet he expected them to pay up to help Greeks based on this "humanitarian disaster". And when Estonian MinFin went face to face and pointed this out fo him after the speech and asked him what Varoufakis thought of situation in his country if Greek level of life is a "humanitarian crisis", he was utterly dismissed because apparently Estonian MinFin "missed the point".

      After that Slovaks and Estonians were pretty much #1 in demanding that no further money be loaned to Greece. Varoufakis lost them in that first night through being simply incompetent in even basic human relations, a theme which persisted over the rest of his tenure as Greek MinFin. Most English media didn't take any note, as it generally doesn't care about smaller countries. Quite understandable, how often do you see news about Estonian or Slovak interests in English media anyway?

    157. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      What orders? No humans to give orders.

    158. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by micahraleigh · · Score: 1

      I thought NATO was enacted to protect against invasions ...

    159. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

      Raising taxes won't have any effect because payment of taxes is optional, and most people choose not to.

      Now that's something I didn't know and it explains quite a bit about the situation. What was the rationale behind this and did anybody actually expect people to pay their taxes if it were optional? If I were in charge of the negotiations for a bailout, making taxes mandatory would be my first, non-negotiable condition.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    160. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

      So don't call it NATO. Use troops from the various NATO countries (except the USA) and call it something different.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    161. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      That would surely end poverty.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    162. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by khallow · · Score: 1

      In the long run, of course, it benefits them too. Not only does it pay off their debts, it gets them back into the habit of paying their taxes.

      Unless, of course, that isn't true. We all know that Greece isn't going to ever fully pay off these particular debts. The only real question here IMHO is how much of a haircut lenders are going to receive.

    163. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

      One thing we do know is that Greece will never be able to pay its debts as long as paying taxes is optional. If they made it mandatory, including paying back taxes and enforced their tax laws there's no reason that they couldn't pay what they owe, given time. Alas, the only way that's ever going to happen is if the rest of the world refuses to help them until they stop acting like deadbeats, but that's a form of tough love that I can't see the Europeans showing because next time it might be them on the short end of the stick.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    164. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by khallow · · Score: 1

      If they made it mandatory, including paying back taxes and enforced their tax laws there's no reason that they couldn't pay what they owe, given time.

      If they were able to do that, would it be a good idea? These tax laws were passed without considering the consequences and Greek society has been working around them, perhaps in some cases for decades.

      I am reminded here of an observation. Everyone involved is interested in their interests, but no one seems to be interested in a Greece with a future. Without substantial reforms that allow for markets and freedom to create businesses, Greece will continue its decline.

      I don't see the current agreement as doing a thing to help that. As I've noted elsewhere, I see the current agreement as merely a transfer of wealth from EU taaxpayers to the holders of Greek debt. It doesn't actually force Greece to be a stable, prudent, tax paying country. They can after all revert to default at some future point when the EU money runs out again.

    165. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

      If they were able to do that, would it be a good idea?

      I don't know, but if nothing else, it would show the world that they are actually willing to pay what they owe and are trying to act in a fiscally responsible way. Do you have a different plan to offer that has even the slightest chance of working?

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    166. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not that payment of taxes is actually optional - it's just that the people see it that way. The country has a long long LONG history of tax avoidance, which goes back to ancient times when the country was invaded & under occupation & avoiding payment of taxes to the occupying power was seen as patriotic, and they never seem to have gotten out of that way of thinking. The government doesn't help the situation either with tax laws that have so many loopholes in them that payment is almost trivial to avoid (eg: example in another comment of people half-building a 2-level house and living in it rather than just building a single-level house & paying the taxes which are due on completion of construction, or when the government tried to introduce an extra tax on houses with swimming pools and the people just went out & bought tarpaulins to avoid the aerial surveillance & therefore avoid paying the tax). Then you've got the officials that either turn a blind eye to the wide-scale avoidance either because they & their relatives are all doing the same thing, or because they're simply corrupt (eg: shipping billionaires who declare their annual income as 25,000 Euro & no-one can seemingly put 2 + 2 together & bother to investigate further - really ?).

    167. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

      It's not that payment of taxes is actually optional - it's just that the people see it that way.

      If so, just put the screws on the current government to enforce the tax code as written, including the collection of back taxes with interest and penalties. Then, if that doesn't bring in enough money, start eliminating some of the more absurd loopholes. The point is, the problem isn't that there's not enough money in Greece for them to pay up and get things moving again, it's the simple fact that the Greeks aren't willing to do what's needed.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    168. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by khallow · · Score: 1

      I don't know, but if nothing else, it would show the world that they are actually willing to pay what they owe and are trying to act in a fiscally responsible way. Do you have a different plan to offer that has even the slightest chance of working?

      Kick Greece out of the EU and let them default. You ought to wonder why the powers that be are so keen on trying to keep Greece in the Union.

    169. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      The thing is the cost of living in Greece is not the same.

      If people get depressed salaries, as the EU is insisting (again), prices will come down in the long run sure but the adjustment is not immediate. It will take years and meanwhile people have to eat and live somewhere with reduced income. There is 25% unemployment in Greece and unemployment benefits were cut as well. People are starving and dying in Greece. A lot prefer to kill themselves rather than go on living. But people do not matter right? What matters is numbers with pretty little EURs in them.

      At the same time as salaries are to be cut the EU wants Greece to increase food tax from 13% to 23% VAT while medicine VAT remains 13%. I guess this is because the medicines are imported from Germany while the food comes from other poor southern European countries but maybe this is just me being snarky here. Surely this is an humanitarian gesture. As is the refusal of the EU to cut the Greek military budget which, surprise surprise, spent a lot of money buying Germans military hardware. Another coincidence must be that Mr. Schäuble, the moral statesman he is, was kicked a couple of years back from the CDU in a weapon sales kickback corruption scandal in Germany.

      If you don't call this a humanitarian crisis I don't know what you can call it. People lie penniless in the streets but I guess the rich can still use their ATMs so everything must be ok I guess.

      Estonia and Slovakia don't need money either because Albania is worse or Ethiopia is worse. Do you see the ridiculousness of this argument?

      Varoufakis did not want more loans he wanted a debt write-off or extension of payments which is something different. The result of current EU policy is what will keep resulting in more and more loans in perpetuity as the Greek debt cannot be paid off at the same time you kill the Greek economy. Unemployed people do not generate wealth.

      But as long as it allows the banker bosses of the EU to asset strip southern Europe I guess it is ok.

    170. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1
    171. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1
    172. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

      That's what may be needed in the long run. For right now, I'm working on the assumption that they're still worth salvaging but the only way they'll do what's needed is to be forced to reform whether they want to or not.

      --
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    173. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by eric_harris_76 · · Score: 1

      Goerge (H.W.) Bush didn't do so well at re-election time, as I recall.

      --
      There's no time like the present. Well, the past used to be.
    174. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      All you say is irrelevant to people who he just openly insulted. It's relevant to Greeks. Not to even mention the fact that people in those countries do in fact live in far worse conditions that Greeks do. Anyone who has ever been to Estonia and Slovakia can testify to it. They just don't take on massive debt, nor rely on corrupt state handouts for their survival. Something they learned from after collapse of USSR. And they know how to live frugally and save for a rainy day. Another thing they learned from USSR days.

      This is basic human relations. If you want to ask someone for help, you don't start it with "we are superior and you are lower than us". Varoufakis did. He acted like a professor teaching students, when in fact he entered an arena where he was but a first year student facing professors of political science. Needless to say he failed.

      That's the reality of it. You can polish this turd to your liking, I'm sure that demagogues in Greece won't have any problems blaming Slovaks and Estonians for the current situation to avoid look at faults at home. I've already heard suggestions from your defence minister that "Baltics have staged a coup in Greece". After reading that and PM's statement that he "doesn't believe in the paper he signed", I can see that this is the same old Greece. One that lies to its benefactors to get the next fix of easy money and then openly blames said benefactors that it wasn't enough when it gets home.

      Demagogues run your country now, as they do your media. And you have happily joined them. I only wish that you do in fact reject the terms of the third bailout, so we can stop paying for your tax avoidance because big European states are still unwilling to give up the geopolitical image.

      So call your MP in Greece and tell him to reject the bailout terms, pretty please? Who knows, it might help. And we're clearly in agreement that current deal is bad, so please reject it?

    175. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In fact there is a way to repay the debts and it is called privatisation, something that the greeks refused to do, on the basis that they prefer restructuring (aka non paying) their debts instead. Plane and simple.

    176. Re: Greeks surrender: no restructuring by arglebargle_xiv · · Score: 1

      Thanks for that, saved me the typing. To explain further how the housing thing works, you don't pay property taxes on unfinished houses, so people make sure their houses are never finished. What they'll do is, for example, to build a 2-story house, file plans for a 3-story house and only build the 2 stories they need, leaving some token rebar sticking up into the air or a skeleton of some part of the house. You drive through the countryside and see house after house like this.

      The government doesn't help. Generally taxes aren't collected during election years, to encourage voters to re-elect the current government. So every four years you get to take a tax holiday.

      Then there are the tax offices themselves. A while back the local tax office decided that their (already generous) government holidays weren't long enough, so they printed up a notice to say that their printers weren't working, hung it in the window, and went home. Come back in a week or two, we may take your tax payments then, if you feel like filing them.

      Now, let me tell you what it takes to set up and run a business in Greece.

      On second thoughts, I won't. I don't have enough beer available to go through that...

    177. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      Something they learned from after collapse of USSR. And they know how to live frugally and save for a rainy day. Another thing they learned from USSR days.

      Oh do they? I think at least one of those countries only joined the Eurozone recently. We'll talk again in a decade to see how low their debt is once the money spigots open up. If Russia hasn't clawed them back again by then. Then your little political "Spring" will end as well.

      Oh and I'm not Greek. You should also look at yourself in the mirror. There are plenty of demagogues around.

      Tsipras should have just rejected the deal. It was coercive and made in bad faith.

    178. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    179. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      They do. You should visit them to learn it first hand. Your underhanded insult merely underscores the fact that Greeks and people who agree with their current majority on this issue do indeed suffer from a nasty combination of superiority complex and persecution complex. Their problems are largely opposite of Greek ones, they have too much savings and too little debt, which causes underdevelopment. Which translates into poorer nation, but one that can stand on its own two feet without having to be a beggar of Europe.

      Your dismissive tone is quite telling.

    180. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      Spain's government debt to GDP ratio was 36.1% before the crisis. Slovakia's debt is 53.6% of GDP right now. Like I said. See you in a decade.

    181. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      You are the one who thinks being poor under the USSR gives you some sort of immunity from spending too much. You probably think Greeks were wealthy 35 years ago.

      Actually the poor are the easiest to swindle when the money spigots open up and they get easy to access to cheap credit.

    182. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      They had cheap credit forever now. Estonia for example had excellent credit rating for a very long time, and there was a lot of investment.

      But personal debt and public debt didn't balloon because it's a different culture with actual concept of responsibility. Only corporate debt grew due to investments, and most of these were on a solid ground with great pay offs, like selling electricity to Finland or dairy to Russia. Even with Russian exports taking a massive hit due to sanction issues, they still managed to keep their debts low.

      This has nothing to do with cheap credit and everything to do with culture of being honest and paying taxes versus culture of cheating and never paying taxes. Former can manage even under USSR, or on their own, latter can't manage on their own nor under EU.

    183. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Except that there is no overinvestment boom in Slovakia like there was in Spain and most of the debt they're taking on is because of fraudster states like Greece tanking EU economy.

      Suggesting that two completely different states will arrive at exact same problem just because they both had to take debt (for completely different reasons) says a lot about the person suggesting it.

    184. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      Estonia? It's a tax haven just like Luxembourg. It's a place where Finns (and the rest of Scandinavia) hide their cash so they escape Finnish taxes. Sure you can do something like that in a country with 1 million people inside a system like the Eurozone. Not in a large country.

    185. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1
    186. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      Right...
      http://tv.sme.sk/v/30393/v-bra...

      Slovaks are supermen.

    187. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1
    188. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      This is related to worker taxation. Not company taxation (what we actually call tax haven).

      Essentially what happens is that you hire a worker, have him work in Finland and register his taxes in Estonia. That lets you pay your worker less because of lesser taxation, social benefits and standard of living.

      This was a problem mostly back in the early days of the crisis, when people were looking for a way out. That's why news you quote is dated 5 years ago. Around 2012 we passed a reform which closed the relevant legal loophole and enabled checks by both tax officials and worker's union officials, as well as mandated that every foreign worker in relevant sector must register with tax office and carry a tax certificate when he's working.

      So no, it's a completely different problem. And no, Estonians still paid taxes to their own state in that case. That was the initial issue. They chose to pay taxes back home rather than with us, which is what they were supposed to do.

    189. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      I don't get it. You dig for singular problems in other states just to pretend that massive corruption and theft ingrained at all levels in your culture is somehow not as bad as it is.

      No, they're still just as bad. And the people you are trying so hard to look for flaws at are poorer than you. And they're still paying for your thievery and corruption.

    190. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      You need to read some more. A lot of tax havens are actually known as places to evade paying personal income taxes as well. Monaco is one of those places. Monaco basically gets their income from Casino profits. Again they can do this because the place is quite small. The Monte Carlo casino used to be known, and probably still is known, as a money laundering enterprise. You take your money, convert it into chips, gamble a bit, and then you convert those chips back into money again. The Casino and the Monegasque government gets their cut of course.
      But I can get something about corporate taxation in Estonia if you want me to:
      http://taxmoneyhavens.com/2014...

    191. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      The Greeks are also paying for Slovak thievery and corruption. In case you did not know Greece is now a net contributor to the EU structural funds.

      If you want to complain to someone, complain to France and Germany for pushing to roll bad Greek private bank debt to French and German banks into the ECB common pool which Slovaks (along with the rest of the Eurozone) are on the hook for.

    192. Re:Greeks surrender: no restructuring by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      The whole problem snowballed because the powers that be in Europe pushed private bank debt onto the taxpayers of the Eurozone. But sure keep bickering with the working stiffs in Greece and elsewhere who are also paying for a debt they didn't make.

  2. title is wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    it should read : European Agreement Sets Up BANK bailout. the Banks are saved, not the greeks.

    1. Re:title is wrong by CajunArson · · Score: 0

      No, it really is the Greeks (or at least their corrupt government). The banks left Greece a long time ago.

      --
      AntiFA: An abbreviation for Anti First Amendment.
    2. Re:title is wrong by znrt · · Score: 4, Insightful

      banks were mostly saved in 2010 already. the debt is since then public and will be repayed with european tax money, one way or the other.

      plus a bit of greek blood, i guess, since they have no money left. this show right now isn't about banks anymore, it's just political. it's about destroying syriza, sending a strong message throughout europe and, well, try to make this failed system last a little longer. doesn't look good.

    3. Re:title is wrong by savuporo · · Score: 2

      Greeks are OK, apparently. This is what Wikipedia entry on Greece kinda leads with :

      Greece is a democratic and developed country with an advanced high-income economy, a high quality of life and a very high standard of living. ...
      Greece, which is one of the world's largest shipping powers, has the largest economy in the Balkans, where it is an important regional investor.

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    4. Re:title is wrong by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      one of the world's largest shipping powers
      Were one. Past tense.

      the largest economy in the Balkans
      Which isn't much considering the whole place is in the shitter.

  3. Sunk cost fallacy by amorsen · · Score: 4, Insightful

    European leaders keep pretending that they are giving Greece new money, when they are merely shuffling old debts around.

    The money that was loaned to Greece has been lost. The whole crisis is about everyone involved being unwilling to accept this reality and thinking that the money will somehow magically come back once the Greeks have been punished sufficiently.

    It is the same theory behind debtor's prison. It should be abolished for the same reasons.

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    1. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Tokolosh · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Yes, there is no point in sending a debtor to prison. And there is no point in lending him any more money, now that he has proven to be a deadbeat.

      --
      Prove anything by multiplying Huge Number times Tiny Number
    2. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Compuser · · Score: 1

      Technically that is not true. To repay the debts, the Greeks would have to divert something like 20% of government spending towards repayment. So if they cut half the spending from budget then they could be solvent even accounting for the resulting shrinking in the economy and the debt payments.
      Technically, the Greeks can repay the debt, it just requires a good chunk of the country to starve to death in the process. And I mean literally because government spending is about half of their economy (a bit more actually).

    3. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Virtucon · · Score: 1

      Even if you loaned money to Greece at 1% I don't see how they'd pay it back.

      --
      Harrison's Postulate - "For every action there is an equal and opposite criticism"
    4. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Feral+Nerd · · Score: 2

      European leaders keep pretending that they are giving Greece new money, when they are merely shuffling old debts around.

      The money that was loaned to Greece has been lost. The whole crisis is about everyone involved being unwilling to accept this reality and thinking that the money will somehow magically come back once the Greeks have been punished sufficiently.

      It is the same theory behind debtor's prison. It should be abolished for the same reasons.

      There will be no "haircut" for treaty reasons but it has been suggested that the start of repayments will be postponed even more and the repayments will be made over an even longer period which allows inflation to gnaw away at the loans which in principle is the same thing as a haircut. IIRC they call that debt restructuring. That having been said while I acknowledge that Greece needs yet another haircut or something that boils down to a haircut, I have very little sympathy with Greece anymore. They have a bloated public sector, a completely unfunded state pension system, the country is completely overrun by corruption and patronage politics and don't even get me started on their asinine arms race with Turkey. Greece is the sick man of Europe and the country desperately needs reform but expect the EU to reserve the opportunity to force Greece to comply at every turn because nobody trust the Greek government anymore.

    5. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by magarity · · Score: 2

      Not the same at all. Debtor's prison threw debtors in jail where they couldn't work off their debts. Greece is not being thrown in jail. If they have the political will to radically overhaul their pension system and general government debt spending then they could pay it off. The only restructing needed is drastically renegotiated interest rates because compounding interest makes paying the principle amount nearly impossible. To insist the principle be repaid is not "punishment" by itself. Compounding interest at these levels can be "punishing" so the lesson needs to be learned in a way that is doable.

    6. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Krishnoid · · Score: 1

      The money that was loaned to Greece has been lost.

      It's not like they put it all in a big pile and set fire to it. (Or did they?) Where is all that money now, anyway?

    7. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Carewolf · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Even we forgave all of Greece's debts. They would still be in the negative. The reason they haven't gone bankrupt is because they CAN NOT AFFORD IT. They are that fucked up!!

      And no, to solve this they wouldn't need to starve. Greece as done all the stupid things to fix the budget, but the still haven't done a single thing that wouldn't have a negative effect on their economy or a positive one:
      1. They haven't raised pension age: Would be positive for the economy.
      2. They haven't address government corruption and tax dodging: Would be positive.
      3. They haven't sold off or reduced investment in their ridiculously oversize military which role is to fight a theoretical war with their 10x larger neighbour and fellow NATO ally Turkey. Would have no major net impact on the overall economy. (not that you can blame them for wanting such a military considering their history, but they can't afford it, and needs forget the past).

      Instead they have:
      1. Reduced benifits: Has a stong negative effect on the economy.
      2. Introduced silly ineffective laws. Has negative effect on the economy.
      3. Blamed the reduction and silly laws on everybody else. Has a net negative effect.
      4. Loaned money to pay interest even at 10+% interest. Has STONG negative effects on economy.

    8. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even if you loaned money to Greece at 1% I don't see how they'd pay it back.

      Just loan them bitcoins at -5%. Problem solved.

    9. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by sribe · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The money that was loaned to Greece has been lost. The whole crisis is about everyone involved being unwilling to accept this reality and thinking that the money will somehow magically come back once the Greeks have been punished sufficiently.

      Remarkable the extent to which economists agree with you and to which politicians disagree. Gee, I wonder who's right?

      Most notably, in the last bailout plan, the IMF called for growth in the Greek GDP to top 4% within a few years, and that's what would allow them to pay back the debt. So, in a very short time, while constrained by harsh austerity measures and with no ability to use govt funds to stimulate any job growth, Greece was supposed to leap from the bottom of the EU to the top in terms of growth. Yeah, right, pure fantasy--devised to soothe the lenders that somehow, some way, their investments in Greek loans are not a lost cause and that they will soon profit from them, if only Greece will get its act together and mumble mumble mumble something.

      The underpants gnomes had a better business plan ;-)

    10. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Debtor's prison isn't what you think it is. You're thinking of usury, which is where someone is in essence kept as a slave by increasing their debt at a faster rate than the payments are made. Debtor's prison was intended (remember, intended, in actuality it didn't work out) to provide debtors with either skills so they could exit and fix their debt issue, or it was intended to protect the debtor from creditors permanently in return for the debtor providing the necessary basic labour for his upkeep (eg: Running enough of a farm to feed himself).

    11. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by znrt · · Score: 1

      The money that was loaned to Greece has been lost.

      It's not like they put it all in a big pile and set fire to it. (Or did they?) Where is all that money now, anyway?

      according to a chief economist at the imf, about two thirds went directly to foreign banks. the remaining third went to greek banks.
      http://blog-imfdirect.imf.org/...

    12. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Thud457 · · Score: 2

      Surely the enter the EU there are certain prerequisites that need to be met. Such as :
      1. retirement age properly in line with demographics
      2. transparent and mostly non-corrupt government
      3. mostly fair and enforced tax system
      4. reasonable spending on military

      --

      the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

    13. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Correct! Their supporters think that the money grows on german (and many other countries) trees, but it's these taxpayers who divert their earned money to support Greece. I guess these self-entitled supporters don't care about german pensioners.

      Greece proposed some changes earlier this week, linked below. I looked at a published summary to see how terrible they were and it turns out they are basically becoming on par (but still below in many cases) with other countries regarding taxation. I thought, is it a farce? So essentially, they were barely taxed at all before but heavily subsidized all kinds of stuff with borrowed money.

      The referendum expressed the will to not pay back. So now it's a fiscal salvage operation.

      Link to the proposal: http://www.bbc.com/news/business-33474605

    14. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Krishnoid · · Score: 1

      The village is 500 EUR poorer and nobody understands why.

      At least 100EUR of that was because the room was dirty. Were they not listening to the story?

    15. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      Not the same at all. Debtor's prison threw debtors in jail where they couldn't work off their debts. Greece is not being thrown in jail.

      No, it has been thrown into jail. The further cuts will depress the economy even further, increasing the debt load. Also they'll lead to real starvation and homelessness for a large amount of population.

    16. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      Even we forgave all of Greece's debts. They would still be in the negative.

      Factually incorrect. Greece has a primary surplus.

    17. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Even we forgave all of Greece's debts. They would still be in the negative.

      Factually incorrect. Greece has a primary surplus.

      If that was true, then why are they not only refusing to pay what they owe, but they are demanding even more money? Why? Logically speaking, they're spending more than they're making. They are irresponsible, and now they are holding the Germans at gunpoint demanding more money.

    18. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by X10 · · Score: 2

      Even if you loaned money to Greece at 1% I don't see how they'd pay it back.

      Nobody expects them to pay it back. The conditions and restucturing and austerity and everything is there to make sure the Greeks will not need another €100 billion in a couple of years. Nobody thinks the Greeks won't need €100 billion in a couple of years time. But then we'll have saved enough to pay them again. And we'll keep doing this until the cows come home. It's like the story of the cricket and the ants. Some people work hard, others make music and dance.

      --
      no, I don't have a sig
    19. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 2

      Inkeeper is +100; inkeeper is then -100 (0), butcher is +100; butcher is then -100 (0), banker is +100; eventually, the Innkeper has to borrow money from the Banker, everyone is 100 euros richer (cleared their debt to 0), and the economy is somehow $300 euros richer and nobody understands why.

    20. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      1. They haven't raised pension age: Would be positive for the economy.

      [...]

      1. Reduced benifits: Has a stong negative effect on the economy.

      Raising pension age *is* a reduction in benefits.

    21. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      If that was true, then why are they not only refusing to pay what they owe, but they are demanding even more money?

      You have a $100/mo surplus, but $150/mo in loans. You take an additional loan structured to cost you $25/mo, but to bankroll enough money that you can pay $175/mo. You use some of that money to invest in other things (analogy: dishwasher uses 1/7 of the water that handwashing uses, but costs $1000; could save you $50/mo, if you could actually save up any money...), reducing your costs, increasing your surpluses. You divert the additional surplus to paying off high-dollar loans.

    22. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Debtor's prison isn't what you think it is. You're thinking of usury, which is where someone is in essence kept as a slave by increasing their debt at a faster rate than the payments are made. Debtor's prison was intended (remember, intended, in actuality it didn't work out) to provide debtors with either skills so they could exit and fix their debt issue, or it was intended to protect the debtor from creditors permanently in return for the debtor providing the necessary basic labour for his upkeep (eg: Running enough of a farm to feed himself).

      No.

      Debtor's prison worked by putting the indebted person into jail to squeeze friends, family, and business associates to come up with money to get them out.

    23. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by NoOneInParticular · · Score: 4, Informative

      Totally agree. However, back in the day when Greece was allowed in the EURO (not EU), their obvious unsuitability was waived by France and Germany (under loud protest from the Netherlands and the Finns). It's appalling to see the German politicians ride the moral high-ground after:

      1. Allowing the Greeks in the euro in 2001 in the first place when it was obviously a bad fit (same holds for Italy)
      2. Breaking the stability pact in 2003 when it was convenient for them, opening the floodgates
      3. Profiting immensely from the increased export that was fueled by ill-advised loans to a corrupt elite in the Southern nations
      4. Bailing out the banks wrt Greece and offloading the Greek debt on the European population at large
      5. Pointing the German anger at a foreign nation to hide their shenanigans

      From my point of view it's a very sinister game that's being played here and the European project has failed. The Germans in particular seem to be incapable of taking responsibility for their actions and have stooped to a very dangerous form of demagogy. Let's stop this farce.

    24. Re: Sunk cost fallacy by Z00L00K · · Score: 1

      It's like giving a drug addict more snd stronger drugs in the hope he will recover.

      --
      If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
    25. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by SMTB1963 · · Score: 1

      Raising pension age *is* a reduction in benefits.

      It's also a boost to the economy, assuming just 1 former retiree finds work. If you can grow that employment number, Greece will be in better shape to get themselves out of this mess.

    26. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      People aren't "deadbeats" or "not deadbeats". There are plenty of reasons to extend money to those who have defaulted on their loans... mostly, the only important question is "are they likely to pay the new loan back?"

      Prior defaults are a point of information, but not the only one. Someone who borrows money to open a dry cleaners, only to have a natural disaster wipe out the surrounding area so no-one wants clothes cleaned anymore will go out of business and default. But if there are valid reasons to think that the cause is unlikely to reoccur, why wouldn't you want to loan them money again?

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    27. Re: Sunk cost fallacy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Given that Greece already has 25% unemployment, how will raising the pension age get more people working?

    28. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Virtucon · · Score: 2

      It's like the story of the cricket and the ants. Some people work hard, others make music and dance.

      So we should ban "Zorba The Greek?" Is that what you're saying? I knew it.

      --
      Harrison's Postulate - "For every action there is an equal and opposite criticism"
    29. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Their primary surplus is pretty damn suspicious. I mean, hell, I had a good budget in college that had a primary surplus. It also didn't include the $100/month I drank away.

    30. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by NoOneInParticular · · Score: 1

      They still have the pay the interest on the debt, and the debt itself. They would need a few decades of 10% surplus to be able to address that.

    31. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      That only makes sense if you have full employment and your economy is starving.

      Among many arguments, people claim a Citizen's Dividend (or any basic income--or any WELFARE) will cause a disincentive to work. My primary argument is simple: that effect only occurs (bounds: conversion from pan-handling, theft, and prostitution to simply not working is considered "not occurring"; I'm asserting net effect), to any significant degree, at benefit levels which will consequentially cause hyperinflation and economic collapse anyway. My secondary argument is that any percentage of willful-unemployment below the general unemployment level is just shifting jobs to other people who want jobs, and so has no impact.

      The full discussion is actually large and fascinating, but irrelevant here. Similar--out to the complexities of the further discussion--is the impact of retirement: if there are already unemployed, making retirees into unemployed (seeking employment) just increases your unemployment rate, putting strain on your economy.

    32. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by amorsen · · Score: 1

      So, at a time with a very fragile government and civil administration in general, risks of unrest and protests, you want to cut the military.

      In such a situation, is it entirely out of the question that the military might consider other options, perhaps like Egypt? It would not exactly be the first time in history.

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      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    33. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "... everything is there to make sure the Greeks will not need another €100 billion in a couple of years."

      Of course they'll need another "€100 billion in a couple of years"!!!! They have to periodically rollover their debt, which will never go down under the current schemes. Even if their debt stops ballooning, I highly doubt the private sector is going to step into the breach and rollover their debt at anywhere near sustainable rates. Europe is on the hook to roll them over until they are willing to write off most of that debt.

      Coming back every few years and demanding more blood from a rock just to rollover existing debt that CAN'T BE PAID BACK is what they are doing and it is disgusting.

    34. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They had a primary surplus last year, which they could easily reestablish now.

    35. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by amorsen · · Score: 1

      They are not demanding more money. That is the what the confusion is all about. Greece just wants to go properly bankrupt, i.e. not pay back the money they owe. They will even settle for extending all the loans at a low interest rate, so the economy gets a chance to grow.

      New money is only needed because the EU will not accept the losses that already happened. This denial of reality means that anyone with any sense can see that Greek will eventually give up on the Euro, and therefore everyone sane does what they can to get their hands on actual Euro notes rather than numbers on a bank statement. Obviously the banks cannot handle this demand; no country could print paper money fast enough in that situation.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    36. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by amorsen · · Score: 1

      Why does it matter where the money is? The actual money itself went back out of the country to pay for imports and to be hidden by the rich tax-avoiders. The goods and services that it paid for have been used.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    37. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by amorsen · · Score: 1

      Exactly! The sane solution: Write off the Greek debt and don't loan them more money. The solution that Greece wants and needs. And the solution that no one will let them have.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    38. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by amorsen · · Score: 1

      If the country tries starving to death, debt rises as a percent of GDP. In order to have any chance at all at paying back the debt, the Greeks need to work, not be unemployed. How else will they produce the goods and services to sell abroad, so they can get the money to pay off the debt?

      Unemployment is still steadily rising in Greece. Each worker out of a job means one less worker to help pay the debt.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    39. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by david_thornley · · Score: 2

      Take a look at Greek GDP. Per-capita GDP went down by nearly a third between 2008 and 2014, and a lot of that is due to austerity measures. Asking for more is counterproductive and vindictive. Moreover, there has to be a certain amount of money in the country to keep the economy limping along, and

      Moreover, simply being in the Eurozone deprives countries of some effective means of managing their economies. Germany doesn't need these, but Greece does. Keeping the Eurozone functioning is going to require transfer payments to weaker economies to make up for that.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    40. Re: Sunk cost fallacy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Indeed, the Germans finally figured out how to take over Europe after all these years. They just needed to sugar coat it the right way. They used drug dealer tactics, got the Greeks and others hooked on easy money from the Germanic economic machine. Then when the party came to an end after the binge of spending, the Germans wanted their money back and didn't really give a shit if a bitch needed their knees capped. That's what the Germans are doing right now, kneecapping the Greeks, fiscally. The goal here isn't for Germany to get it's money back, but exercising control and influence.

      I believe that Germany would love nothing more than a full economic union, with the headquarters in Berlin....

       

    41. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by amorsen · · Score: 1

      The austerity is there to ensure that the Greeks WILL need €100 billion in a couple of years time. They are unable to deal with the interest on their existing loans, and since they are not allowed to go bankrupt, they have no way out. The agreement dooms Greece to have an ever-shrinking economy and therefore they will have even less ability to service their debt in the future.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    42. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      The plan is to sell off public assets for around â50bn, and put the money in escrow. In exchange the Greeks get to spend in stimulus programmes to get their economy moving.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    43. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by mlts · · Score: 1

      This. This is how to fix the issue for the long term stability of the EU. Write off the debt, let Greece pick itself out of the mud financially by itself over the next ten years, then start doing business all over again. The money gained from doing this will more than make up for the lost debt.

      Right now, there always needs to be the consideration of what happens if Greece gets too unstable. If people start starving and the government is unable to provide basic infrastructure needs, then Greece will never be useful to the EU, even in the timespan of decades. Even worse, if the people start revolting, Greece could have its government overthrown and a new rulership installed that could be extremely hostile to EU interests.

      Even though it isn't the same conditions, what happened in Iran comes to mind. Once people realize they have no economic future, they can latch onto anyone who looking for political office, and is a brutal firebrand who can promise them the world. Germany in the 1930s also comes to mind as well about what happens when other countries are too heavy handed in an economy.

    44. Re: Sunk cost fallacy by luisdom · · Score: 1

      Not that well informed you are.
      Greece is already in primary surplus, so yes, they could run the country and be in the positive after all.
      They have raised to 67 the retirement age, as requested. Progressively, as other countries are doing.
      It's curious, creditors didn't have any problem with corruption, while the current government thinks it has been the main reason for the situation they have today.
      Over military spending, when negotiations were held, the Germans didn't want to touch it, as it was the main contractor. Maybe it's the only goal Tsipras has marked, halve mil. spending for the next years.

      That's it for the facts, in my opinion they should bankrupt now , it's much cheaper than what they seem to be about to sign. As for banks liquidity, grexit and quickly create an electronic currency. In Africa electronic mobile payments via sms are quite common, Greece should be able to do it fast...

    45. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Reasonable spending on military? You must be kidding.
      This was actually offered by the Greek government and rejected by the EU (read the German government).
      Germany makes huge arms sales to Greece and they want to keep it that way, even if this means starving the Greek people.
      This is probably also the reason they tolerated corrupt Greek governments for a series of years: they were good for business.

      http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/complicit-in-corruption-how-german-companies-bribed-their-way-to-greek-deals-a-693973.html
      http://wolfstreet.com/2013/12/30/leaked-confession-cesspool-of-greek-german-corruption-2/

    46. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Cederic · · Score: 0

      I guess these self-entitled supporters don't care about german pensioners.

      If I were unemployed in Greece, no cash in my pocket, no jobs within 40 miles in any direction, and watching my country get fucked over just to boost the German economy, I wouldn't give a flying shit about German pensioners.

      Please, tell me, how would that make me self-entitled?

    47. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Finally said.

      And sometimes, it is just both lender's and debtor's fault. And repeating the mistake does not make it any better.

    48. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      hm...
      talking about the latter, this apparent "accident" of people thrown in jail to squeeze the society around them actually exists and "works"...
      which country did we say has the highest percentage of inmates worldwide?

      apologies for distracting us out of the topic, but this hit a humanitarian chord somewhere...

    49. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by cheesybagel · · Score: 0

      You are wrong. The whole of Europe is sick. Eventually Germany will realize they killed all the export clients they had and their remaining trade partner is China, with whom they have a trade deficit. Then the cows will come home.

    50. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      You are right. It isn't debtors prison. It's indentured servitude. Expect this one doesn't have a fixed time limit. It's "until the debt is payed back" which might as well be never.

    51. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      Yes the remaining third went to Greek banks who are indebted to foreign banks. It's all brilliant really.

    52. Re: Sunk cost fallacy by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      You would be wrong. Germany is economically stronger but military weaker than a lot of European countries.

    53. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      No the plan is to rape and plunder Greek assets.

    54. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by jschultz410 · · Score: 1

      "Even we forgave all of Greece's debts. They would still be in the negative."

      Wrong. They had a primary surplus last year and could easily reestablish it now. They only need money to pay interest and rollover their existing mountain of debt that periodically comes to maturity.

      Put it this way: you are spending less than your monthly expenses (primary surplus), but you have a HUGE loan outstanding and you need to pay it off next month when it's due. The eurozone is demanding all this retribution just so that Greece can rollover its debt (i.e. - pay it off with new debt establishing a new payoff date). Meanwhile they collect interest the whole time on the outstanding debt. Not too bad a deal for Europe so long as Greece doesn't default.

      "The reason they haven't gone bankrupt is because they CAN NOT AFFORD IT. They are that fucked up!!"

      Wrong again. If they cancelled their debt, then they wouldn't need to borrow another euro for anything. But they'd be kicked out of the eurozone. Well, technically their banks would be insolvent and the ECB wouldn't give them any more euros. Six of one, a half dozen of the other.

    55. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by mjwx · · Score: 1

      People aren't "deadbeats" or "not deadbeats".

      In the credit card industry, a deadbeat is someone who has a credit card and doesn't use it (therefore not racking up interest or merchant service charges).

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
    56. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      "Squeeze"? Syriza government decreased the unemployment (by about 1.5%) during the first months. Before the Fuhrer^W^W^W Angela Merkel decided to squeeze MOAR BLOOD from Greece.

    57. Re: Sunk cost fallacy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because you have your fucking hand out begging for money, you dumb cunt.

    58. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by adhdengineer · · Score: 1

      bringing people onto the public payroll does not count as a true reduction in unemployment..

    59. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, we know greeks are lazy bums who won't even bother to clean the room to get money. Nothing new there. That's the reason.

    60. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      Why? It worked for Roosevelt, Reagan and Bush.

    61. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by adhdengineer · · Score: 1

      I'm not saying government shouldnt hire people; I'm by no means a small government guy.

      However paying people to do nothing, pen pushers if you prefer, will not improve the economy anywhere near the amount proper investment will.

      Build roads, build high speed rail to link up the large cities. Subsidized industrial and farming modernization programs. Invest in schools for long term economic growth.

      Publicly owned utilities, electric, gas, etc, are good in theory but the problem is that they always suffer from under investment because governments hide the costs in general taxation and wont put the prices up to cover the needed spending since it would make them unpopular and hence lose the next election. They also have a tendency to become heavily unionized to the point where it becomes a drag on efficiency (London Underground, i'm looking at you). Again, I'm not against unions but they tend to dominate public sector working environment and make change almost impossible to implement, even when it is obviously needed. And don't get me started on the public sector pensions (yes i do in fact know about them, both my parents are on them and my wife is too.)

    62. Re:Sunk cost fallacy by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      However paying people to do nothing, pen pushers if you prefer, will not improve the economy anywhere near the amount proper investment will.

      It will, under specific conditions. Right now simply paying unemployed Greek people to sort matches and then mix them up again WILL improve the economy.

      Of course, hiring people to do truly productive work is a better idea.

  4. I'm a Jizz Fountain today by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    It's so good to see The Left fail once more!!

    That referendum really showed them! NOT

    1. Re:I'm a Jizz Fountain today by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's so good to see The Left fail once more!!

      That referendum really showed them! NOT

      And they're going to put a shitload of hurt on the right in the process. Who's the winner again?

  5. Very important link left out: the agreement text by vivaoporto · · Score: 5, Informative

    A very important link was left out: the agreement text (PDF).

    Read it, it is only 7 pages long and, although it mentions other documents, the gist of it is there.

    Commenting on the agreement without reading it is engaging in mindless speculation colored by your own misconceptions and ideological leaning ...

    Oh, who am I kidding, this is slashdot, nobody RTFA.

  6. no end in sight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's bailouts all the way down....until they finally admit the Euro is a failure.

    1. Re:no end in sight by war4peace · · Score: 1

      Euro isn't by any means a failure, what's a failure is the half-hearten attempt to trim the dead weight.
      It's like having a leg cut and repeatedly smearing urine all over it because that takes away the pain momentarily, instead of going to the hospital and pay to have it treated.

      --
      ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
    2. Re:no end in sight by gweihir · · Score: 2

      The Euro is not a failure (much as the US wishes it was), Greece is a failure. Greece is also not very large with 11 Million citizens, while the Eurozone has 468 Million citizens. That is about 2.3%. And keep in mind the worse the current Greek efforts to not pay their debts backfires on them, the less inclined will other Eurozone members be to try that as well.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    3. Re:no end in sight by fnj · · Score: 1

      It's like having a leg cut and repeatedly smearing urine all over it because that takes away the pain momentarily, instead of going to the hospital and pay to have it treated^W AMPUTATED.

      FTFY.

    4. Re:no end in sight by war4peace · · Score: 1

      I didn't say "cut off". I said "a leg cut" as in "a cut on the leg", as in "a superficial cut, but deep enough to ooze some blood".
      After all, Greece is somewhere at 2% of total EU production.

      --
      ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
    5. Re:no end in sight by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      There's other countries that are likely to follow Greece.

      The Euro is currently in trouble, because a large organization with a single currency needs to be able to act as a whole and have economic and fiscal policies that benefit the whole organization. The right thing to do is to centralize more (not popular) or kick a lot of a countries out of the Eurozone (a partial failure).

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    6. Re:no end in sight by Cederic · · Score: 2

      Why does the US wish for the Euro to be a failure ?

      Because a successful Euro would supplant the dollar as the primary world currency, with an associated loss of control, prestige and commercial benefits to the US.

    7. Re:no end in sight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Too well functioning EURO might be a bad thing for the USD. It all depends on the viewpoint surely, but there are some perks associated with controlling the "reserve currency of the world". For example, almost all of worlds oil trade is done is USD. The biggest reason being the dollars status, and smaller reason being US almost forcing everyone to do so to create a constant demand for the USD.

  7. Greece is like your brother-in-law by Virtucon · · Score: 2, Interesting

    That brother-in-law that keeps borrowing money, then borrows some more; never paying it back. Why? because they can't generate enough revenue to cover their spending. Finally when they can't seem to manage their finances at all and throw a big party, they still want more. Fiat currency arguments aside, it's probably better to let Greece figure this out on their own, with their own currency because the rest of the EU would be throwing good money after bad. Unfortunately the rest of the EU won't let that happen just yet because Italy and Spain would probably be next; it would give the UK further argument to pull out and that would mean serious trouble for the Eurozone.

    --
    Harrison's Postulate - "For every action there is an equal and opposite criticism"
    1. Re:Greece is like your brother-in-law by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But the difference between your brother-in-law and a nation, is that the less a nation spends, the less income they have. That's why it is so vital Greece increase spending. Austerity has been proven to reduce government income every single time. If Germany was serious about getting paid back, they'd demand that Greece widen their safety nets. Instead, Germany is demanding that Greece starve their residents. The Germans are so hateful, as they've proven over and over again.

      The sad thing is that the Germans will probably do what they have so many times before and invade Greece. That's how those people are.

    2. Re:Greece is like your brother-in-law by Krishnoid · · Score: 1

      To mangle a phrase, "who's the less responsible, the brother-in-law or the lender who keeps giving him 'loans' after he hasn't fully paid back the first ones?"

    3. Re:Greece is like your brother-in-law by Virtucon · · Score: 2

      but... but.. he's my brother-in-law, my wife will cut me off if I don't keep lending to him. Yeah he's a deadbeat, partying all night but he's still "family."

      Maybe it's just cheaper to divorce my wife and not deal with him anymore? :-P

      --
      Harrison's Postulate - "For every action there is an equal and opposite criticism"
    4. Re:Greece is like your brother-in-law by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The UK isn't part of the Euro. Are you suggesting the UK will shove off and float farther away from Europe?

    5. Re:Greece is like your brother-in-law by Krishnoid · · Score: 1

      my wife will cut me off if I don't keep lending to him.

      Ok, I see the problem now -- you loaned him the money out of the hooker fund. Thanks the clarification.

    6. Re:Greece is like your brother-in-law by NoOneInParticular · · Score: 1

      I guess that after this bit of power-play of Germany the UK will vote themselves out of the EU in 2017.

    7. Re:Greece is like your brother-in-law by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ah, but perhaps allowing Greece to figure this out on their own will lead to worse consequences? These types of complex situations with many geopolitical actors often don't follow the script and unintended outcomes reveal themselves only much later.

  8. Re:Sad to see the Naizs win again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Germans are unwilling to pay their fair share to help the Greeks. They hate the Greeks.

    Their fair share is $0, the entirety of the EU's fair share is $0. The Germans have paid way more than $0 as is, complaining that they wont give you more free money is spitting in their faces after they gave you two previous bailouts. Greece MUST fall, this nonsense of constantly bailing them out is going to cause it to hurt the rest of the EU (and even the world) that much more when their economy finally tanks too hard to bail them out again.

  9. Well so much for Democracy by Crashmarik · · Score: 0

    Silly Greeks you thought your vote mattered.

    1. Re:Well so much for Democracy by galabar · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I think the point is that they couldn't vote to have other countries give them money.

    2. Re:Well so much for Democracy by cold+fjord · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What do you mean? Of course it mattered. The Greeks were offered a deal and told it was the best deal they were going to get. They turned it down. Now they have accepted a worse deal. Democracy is politics, not magic, it doesn't magically fill accounts with funds and ATMs with Euros. It doesn't magically erase consequences of bad decisions and unpaid bills.

      --
      much of left-wing thought is a kind of playing with fire by people who don't even know that fire is hot - George Orwell
    3. Re:Well so much for Democracy by gstoddart · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Well, do you think Greece was going to successfully vote for other countries to give them money? Because that was never gonna work.

      The problem is Greece's current government came in on the claims they could renegotiate terms with little leverage because they said so. They they had a referendum to say how much they all agreed that other people should give them more money. Then they got told that their vote didn't really change anything.

      What's happening now is those other people are pointing out that the vote by the Greeks was pretty much symbolic at best, delusional at worst. Because voting to have someone else give you money is pretty meaningless to that someone else.

      Me, I think this is a problem with the whole concept of globalization and open markets in the first place ... you can't pretend that wages, skills, and goods are interchangeable on a global scale without accounting for the relative differences between countries. Which is why they had separate currencies with separate values in the first place.

      You can't just slap a common currency on that many countries, leave them to manage their own money completely separately, and then somehow magically assume the price of goods will be uniform across those countries.

      When this was happening a lot of people said it would never work.

      Honestly, this is like "voting" that the bank, instead of foreclosing on your mortgage should reduce the mortgage, give you lower payments, and give you money to pay your bills.

      This has nothing to do with democracy, and everything to do with the fact that once you're bankrupt, you can't pretend like voting it away changes anything. You're still bankrupt, and if your creditors don't want to give you more money, your temper tantrum doesn't mean a damned thing.

      Pretending like Greece had the leverage to change the terms to suit them is the failure here.

      This is like loaning money to someone who says they can't afford their bills, having them run out and buy a new TV, and then they want to borrow some more money because they can't pay their bills.

      In this case, Germany has said it's not getting stuck holding the bag. And I don't really blame them, otherwise the EU becomes a way to move money from wealthy nations to poorer ones.

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    4. Re:Well so much for Democracy by ScentCone · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Silly Greeks you thought your vote mattered.

      What? They got exactly what they voted for. The EU offered them a deal, and said that if they didn't take it, the eventual deal they would have to take would be a worse one. And they voted not to take the deal. They got exactly what they voted for, as promised: they still had to take a deal of some sort, and now they've got a worse one, just like they asked for.

      And as if that weren't enough evidence that Democracy works in Greece, keep in mind that they are in the position they're in because the position they're in is exactly the one they've been voting for all these years to obtain: they wanted more stuff than they could be bothered to pay for, and wanted to continue to elect socialist politicians who would promise them it would all be OK, and they'd always be able to get other Europeans to go to work each day in order to buy them the lifestyle they wanted. Democracy in Greece has worked perfectly. The problem is that the voters in Greece are fools.

      --
      Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    5. Re:Well so much for Democracy by Crashmarik · · Score: 1

      They voted against austerity measures and got worse ones. Their finance minister got shitcanned because he wasn't an idiot and wouldn't send the Greek people into debt servitude.

      I understand the need to personalize this as a morality play, but really it just boils to down to a ruling class that never had a concern for the welfare or will of the people.

    6. Re:Well so much for Democracy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Their vote did matter. They voted to continue spending money like drunk sailors, and now they're getting what they deserve. Maybe that's too harsh. Drunk sailors quit spending money when they run out. The Greeks then scammed and lied to get others to loan them even more money. A drunk sailor wouldn't do that either.

    7. Re:Well so much for Democracy by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Well, many people vote themselves bread and games until there is no bread or games left. Greece has reached that point, even if the population there does not seem to understand this. Some level of humility is required to realize shortcomings of that type and to be able to overcome them. The Greek Government seems to have finally found that humility, the population has not yet done so.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    8. Re:Well so much for Democracy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Time for real democracy: referendum in Germany and other countries to decide to continue paying into this.

      0-50%: Continue
      50-61.3%: Stop
      61.3-100%: Start the repo process

    9. Re:Well so much for Democracy by galabar · · Score: 1

      Viewed from the point of view of what the Greek people are asking (telling) the Greek government to do, I totally agree with you. I think it was more the Greek government twisting the meaning of that statement (A "democratic" decision in Greece should force other democratic countries to fund them).

    10. Re:Well so much for Democracy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Their finance minister got shitcanned because he wasn't an idiot and wouldn't send the Greek people into debt servitude.

      Not a bad move, considering this is literally one of the major textbook causes of WWII

    11. Re:Well so much for Democracy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They haven't got them yet and can still send their government to hell. The civil servant union has already called upon their members to go on strike on Wednesday, when their parliament is expected to turn some of the agreed-upon reforms into law.

    12. Re:Well so much for Democracy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In every other country, that referendum would've been illegal for a number of reasons. As it is, it's effect was only for cheap thrills from the leaders to their voters to help them sell this new agreement and more importantly save their own asses.

    13. Re:Well so much for Democracy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem is that the voters in Greece are fools.

      To be fair, the problem is that more voted no than yes.

    14. Re:Well so much for Democracy by aaaaaaargh! · · Score: 1

      Their finance minister got shitcanned because he wasn't an idiot and wouldn't send the Greek people into debt servitude.

      Actually, he was the worst international negotiator I have ever seen in my life. He did practically everything wrong that you can do wrong in such a negotiation. He was so bad that many experts outside Greece started to believe that the main goal of the Tsipras government was to ensure a Grexit ...

    15. Re:Well so much for Democracy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In this case, Germany has said it's not getting stuck holding the bag. And I don't really blame them, otherwise the EU becomes a way to move money from wealthy nations to poorer ones.

      Quite funny, actually, EU is effectively a way to move money from poorer EU countries to wealthy Germany.

    16. Re:Well so much for Democracy by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 1

      The problem stems from the currency. The EU consists of sovereign states that are not bound together as tightly as states in the U.S., but their economies are now coupled by the Euro.

      Can you imagine if places like South Carolina and Mississippi had to pay California back all the money they receive in federal funding from California taxpayers? They'd have to throw up their hands and start using Confederate dollars again.

    17. Re:Well so much for Democracy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They got exactly what they voted for, as promised: they still had to take a deal of some sort, and now they've got a worse one, just like they asked for.

      A lot of us read the vote as: We'd prefer to be out of the Euro than in under these terms. They didn't actually have to take a deal. They only needed to take a deal to stay in the Euro.

      At least if Greece were out of the Euro, they would have control over their own money and wouldn't be able to blame Germany for their budget decisions. As it is, every time they do something that the people think is stupid, they'll say that Germany is making them do it. Which would be all right if they were engaging in real austerity, but they're just as likely to be engaged in the same crony promoting corruption that got them into this mess.

      For example, the deal suggests privatization as a money raising exercise. But privatization can do two things. One, it can raise funds. Two, it transfers state assets into private hands. The thing is that only the latter is actually required for privatization to occur. They can transfer the assets into private hands for relatively nominal sums. This won't raise money to pay off debt, but it is privatization and it allows them to reward their cronies. It will be stupid, but hey, Germany made them do it! Even though this isn't what the makers of the deal intend.

      Real bankruptcies often involve a trustee who authorizes business decisions because they don't feel they can trust the officers of the bankrupt organization to make better decisions than they had in the past. Without such a trustee or some other change that enables reform, chances are that this deal just postpones the inevitable Grexit the way that all the other deals have. In another couple years, they'll have still evaded real reforms, still owe more money than they can pay back, still need to leave the Euro.

    18. Re:Well so much for Democracy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And I don't really blame them, otherwise the EU becomes a way to move money from wealthy nations to poorer ones.

      What's wrong with that? Rob from the rich and steal from the poor! Or something like that, maybe I got it wrong.

    19. Re:Well so much for Democracy by Cederic · · Score: 1

      If Germany starts 'the repo process' then it's WWIII.

      I will not let my Government stand by and watch Germany invade another NATO nation.

  10. Great work Tsipras by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You just bent over the EU yet again, you useless putz.

  11. Good news for the UK by russotto · · Score: 1, Troll

    The British Museum is going to get a chance to buy at auction the Greek cultural artifacts they didn't manage to loot.

    1. Re:Good news for the UK by DiehardIndependent · · Score: 1

      The British Museum is going to get a chance to buy at auction the Greek cultural artifacts they didn't manage to loot.

      Maybe it's good news for the US...the Greeks could sell the Parthenon to Disney and make it a theme park. Roller coasters and Micky Mouse will save them - and give the Greeks a good lesson in Capitalism in the process.

  12. Re:Sad to see the Naizs win again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If anyone needs protection it is you from yourself. Your mental illness is causing you to write stupid things and suggests you may be at risk of self-harm. Please, see a doctor before it is too late.

  13. Re:Sad to see the Naizs win again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Nazis copied the Romans, who in turn copied the Greeks. German racialism had absolutely nothing to do with hating Greeks. Even if it did, they haven't been in power for more than half a century. Maybe it's time you stop blaming NatSocs for everything.

    If you care so much about the "poor" Greeks who spend all their GDP on welfare, why don't you send them your money?

  14. Not quite by l2718 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Some important caveats:

    1. "Greece" is not a unitary person here -- the governments changed over time. You can't blame the debt on the current government (which didn't contract for it). The people of Greece are partially to blame (for voting for the wrong governments).
    2. Greece didn't just want extra money. What they finally recognized (at least, Varoufakis did) is the need for serious structural reforms: improving tax collection, raising the retirement age, reducing the public sector, actually providing government services, reducing red tape, and accompanying the cuts to government with tax cuts. If the economy returns to growth then it would quickly be able to afford current spending levels. An extra loan would needed as a bridge, but the key are the reforms not the loan.
    3. What the EU (Germany, that is) is insisting on is very different: they wants the bad debt paid back via higher taxes. But Greece can't possibly afford to pay those debts, and higher taxes will just further damage the Greek economy.

    I conclude Germany is destroying Greece to ensure that Spain and Italy toe the line from now on.

    1. Re:Not quite by Virtucon · · Score: 0

      you may be right, the 4th Reich has risen. Wait did I just Godwin this thread?

      --
      Harrison's Postulate - "For every action there is an equal and opposite criticism"
    2. Re:Not quite by gstoddart · · Score: 2

      "Greece" is not a unitary person here -- the governments changed over time. You can't blame the debt on the current government (which didn't contract for it).

      It doesn't matter if the current government contracted for it. It exists.

      Imagine you're a corporation (which in a lot of ways governments are kind of like). Now, imagine you get a new CEO who wants to get out of existing contracts because he didn't contract for them and doesn't want to pay them.

      Too damned bad. You don't get to go "waaah, we can't afford this so we want a do-over".

      I conclude Germany is destroying Greece to ensure that Spain and Italy toe the line from now on.

      Here's an alternate explanation: If Germany starts forgiving debts for everybody, then the Germans are paying for someone else's prosperity, and asking Germans to pay for that is like a mugging, but on a large scale and in slow motion. That would be completely irresponsible to German taxpayers who work hard and don't get to retire early.

      If the EU is going to devolve into state-level welfare, that will drag down the wealthy countries, and screw up everybody.

      All this talk about "destroying" or "humiliating" Greece comes down to "no, this is reality, and you can't hide from reality by using our money to do it".

      Greece has policies it can't pay for. They're expecting someone else to do it for them. Now, for the 3rd or 4th time.

      At what point do you stop throwing good money after bad? You can't just keep dumping money into Greece, changing nothing, and hoping to get different outcomes.

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    3. Re:Not quite by znrt · · Score: 1

      If Germany starts forgiving debts for everybody, then the Germans are paying for someone else's prosperity

      the debts europeans (not only germans) are paying were originally from private european banks who made big money investing in greece. europeans (and germans) should some day ask their respective governments why they made them responsible for those private debts.

      people are right, it's not a loan. it's a scam.

    4. Re:Not quite by DiehardIndependent · · Score: 1

      +mod points please.

      An important caveat:

      Germany destroying Greece to send a message to Spain and Italy is a bit of a stretch.

    5. Re:Not quite by NoOneInParticular · · Score: 2

      The difference between your example of a corporation and a nation is that the corporation has limited liability. The janitor of that corporation will lose his job, but he will not be held financially accountable for the bad decisions the CEO made. Not so for the Greeks. Their governments and elites had a ball, and the population is now forced to foot the bill.

      The fact of the matter was that Greece has lost 25% of their GDP in the last 6 years, largely due to austerity measures, but were able to create a balanced budget in 2014, and were on the way to have a surplus in 2015. So no, they were no longer living beyond their means. The debt is however crippling at 180% of their GDP (from 135% in 2009, see what a declining GDP can do?).

    6. Re:Not quite by speedlaw · · Score: 1

      No, because Germany took over without a single shot being fired. This is the true turning point in world politics...that one nation can subjugate another without even running a few Jeeps around a parade field in a show of force. Not a single plane encroached upon Greek airspace, not a single submarine run any offensive drill. Nope, a few bankers with a spreadsheet. Beats Genocide, at least....

    7. Re:Not quite by Virtucon · · Score: 1

      I Think Hitler's annexation of Austria and the Sudetenland was with zero casualties or shots being fired as well. If you read the terms of the agreement, such as changing the judicial system etc. Now I've definitely Godwin'd this thread.

      --
      Harrison's Postulate - "For every action there is an equal and opposite criticism"
    8. Re:Not quite by david_thornley · · Score: 0

      If German prosperity depends partly on the Eurozone, then they should share some of that prosperity with countries that suffered from being in the Eurozone. What Europe needs is not state-level welfare, but central economic and fiscal management that takes all of the Eurozone into consideration.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    9. Re:Not quite by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      how is the parent comment a troll? WTF moderators?

    10. Re:Not quite by dunkelfalke · · Score: 2
      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    11. Re:Not quite by micahraleigh · · Score: 1

      When you start borrowing money you are really welcoming invaders onto your soil.

      That's how it feels for me as a person with a mortgage anyway ...

  15. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by vivaoporto · · Score: 4, Informative
    Here it is, conveniently HTML formatted for your enjoyment. No emphasis added

    The Euro Summit stresses the crucial need to rebuild trust with the Greek authorities as a pre-requisite for a possible future agreement on a new ESM programme. In this context, the ownership by the Greek authorities is key, and successful implementation should follow policy commitments.

    A euro area Member State requesting financial assistance from the ESM is expected to address, wherever possible, a similar request to the IMF1. This is a precondition for the Eurogroup to agree on a new ESM programme. Therefore Greece will request continued IMF support (monitoring and financing) from March 2016.

    Given the need to rebuild trust with Greece, the Euro Summit welcomes the commitments of the Greek authorities to legislate without delay a first set of measures. These measures, taken in full prior agreement with the Institutions, will include:

    by 15 July
    - the streamlining of the VAT system and the broadening of the tax base to increase revenue;
    - upfront measures to improve long-term sustainability of the pension system as part of a comprehensive pension reform programme;
    - the safeguarding of the full legal independence of ELSTAT;
    - full implementation of the relevant provisions of the Treaty on Stability, Coordination and Governance in the Economic and Monetary Union, in particular by making the Fiscal Council operational before finalizing the MoU and introducing quasi-automatic spending cuts in case of deviations from ambitious primary surplus targets after seeking advice from the Fiscal Council and subject to prior approval of the Institutions;

    by 22 July
    - the adoption of the Code of Civil Procedure, which is a major overhaul of procedures and arrangements for the civil justice system and can significantly accelerate the judicial process and reduce costs;
    - the transposition of the BRRD with support from the European Commission.

    Immediately, and only subsequent to legal implementation of the first four above-mentioned measures as well as endorsement of all the commitments included in this document by the Greek Parliament, verified by the Institutions and the Eurogroup, may a decision to mandate the Institutions to negotiate a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) be taken. This decision would be taken subject to national procedures having been completed and if the preconditions of Article 13 of the ESM Treaty are met on the basis of the assessment referred to in Article 13.1.

    In order to form the basis for a successful conclusion of the MoU, the Greek offer of reform measures needs to be seriously strengthened to take into account the strongly deteriorated economic and fiscal position of the country during the last year. The Greek government needs to formally commit to strengthening their proposals in a number of areas identified by the Institutions, with a satisfactory clear timetable for legislation and implementation, including structural benchmarks, milestones and quantitative benchmarks, to have clarity on the direction of policies over the medium-run. They notably need, in agreement with the Institutions, to:

    - carry out ambitious pension reforms and specify policies to fully compensate for the fiscal impact of the Constitutional Court ruling on the 2012 pension reform and to implement the zero deficit clause or mutually agreeable alternative measures by October 2015;
    - adopt more ambitious product market reforms with a clear timetable for implementation of all OECD toolkit I recommendations, including Sunday trade, sales periods, pharmacy ownership, milk and bakeries, except over-the-counter pharmaceutical products, which will be implemented in a next step, as well as for the opening of macro-critical closed professions (e.g. ferry transportation). On the follow-up of the OECD toolkit-II, manufacturing needs to be included in the prior action;
    - on energy markets, proceed with the privatisation of the electricity transmission netw

  16. Worst possible deal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    Two nations behaved bad in this affair: Greece, who spent 350B dollars it did not have, and Germany, who started again to behave like an arrogant bully, just like before WW1. And the deal simply allows them to continue to do so: The Greek got more money to spend, and Germany is even more arrogant. The deal is planned to last for 2 years (it's clear that Greece cannot pay). Afterwards, all this circus will start again. All long-term solutions have been carefully avoided, and especially reforming the EU to make it federal and more democratic. The status quo, which favors Germany, was carefully preserved. The only thing that advanced is resentment against the non-democratic European structures...

    1. Re:Worst possible deal by gweihir · · Score: 0

      Actually, without German support, Greece would have been bankrupt a long time ago. Check your facts.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    2. Re:Worst possible deal by NoOneInParticular · · Score: 1

      Small correction. The Greeks spend about 80 billion euros that they didn't have. The rest is interest on the loans. The 86 billion in the agreement will almost entirely go straight back to the lenders. That's how you keep debtors humble.

    3. Re:Worst possible deal by EzInKy · · Score: 1

      The point is Greece would go bankrupt today if Germany wasn't so keen on exacerbating their pain.

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
  17. What "significant cost"? by demon+driver · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Problem is, the conditions will continue to even further strangulate Greek economy, so that an eventual back payment of Greece's debts will become even less probable.

    But the conditions, and that's the one major reason Germany kept insisting on them, will ensure that western European capital will be able to totally and completely plunder what's left of Greek property, while at the same time Germany's hegemony within Europe will be further strengthened.

    The 'agreement' that was reached today is a declaration of war to the Greek people, and it is the defeat and the end of the once so promising project called Syriza.

    "Wir schaffen es, ohne Waffen-SS" – a satirical comment dating back to the sixties, meaning 'we'll manage it [to subdue the world] without the military', was never more applicable to Germany than today.

    I wouldn't expect the Greek people to go along without struggle now, though. Somehow I think today's 'agreement' might not have been the last word.

    (Disclaimer: I'm German, but not a tiny bit proud of it.)

    1. Re:What "significant cost"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Note the people buying up auctioned off publicly owned Greek islands are the same people that are forcing the auction to happen at rock bottom prices: German bankers.

    2. Re:What "significant cost"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > further strangulate Greek economy,

      Exactly. This is the time when it is most critical for Greece to increase their spending to save their economy which is why the Germans are fighting so hard to shut them down. They want to destroy Greece. They don't even need to use tanks to do it like they used to always do. The Germans are now still constantly invading other countries like they have for hundreds of years, but now instead of Kaiser using his racists or Hitler using his tanks, they are now using their banksters. Their banksters are even more cold and calculating than the worst of the German guys that designed their concentration camps. They now kill with money instead of gas. This new economic holocaust will be harder to recover from the last one the Germans decided to do.

    3. Re: What "significant cost"? by BarbaraHudson · · Score: 1

      The Greeks hollowed out their economy using borrowed bailout funds to continue previous corrupt and unsustainable practices rather than make the necessary reforms they had said that they would, and this is nobody else's fault but their own. It's like using your student loans to party like crazy and then flunk out. Going to the well a second, then a third time, no wonder there are trust issues.

      --
      "Transparent" is a shit show that trades on every stereotype going. A man in drag is NOT a transsexual.
    4. Re:What "significant cost"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, for the creditors it's either get some money back or no money back. As the creditor, they're obviously choosing the former because it works out better for them.

      Greece still has latter option, but it will require leaving the the Euro behind and going back to a local currency. If you think that's a realistic solution out of the Greek problem, you're only kidding yourself. Think about it... A new, local currency would be extremely devalued compared to its neighboring currencies because Greece has nothing to guarantee the piece of paper it is printed on. This would make imports into Greece very expensive. Remember, Greece's economy is supported almost solely by tourism, with little crops and manufacturing. That would mean the cost of food and other basic goods would skyrocket, tanking the economy even more. On top of all this, few, if any, lenders would be willing to lend money to a country with such a devalued currency for a low interest rate, and Greece would be unlikely to secure loans to do even basic public works projects.

      In my opinion, Greece is out of options. The severe austerity measures were avoidable a few years ago, but not today. They either do it by accepting these terms, or they will have to do it on their own in the future.

    5. Re: What "significant cost"? by demon+driver · · Score: 1

      No one questions that things have been going wrong in Greece for decades.

      The problem is, completely regardless of whose fault it is, the conditions now imposed on Greece will strangulate Greek economy even further and thereby make the back payment of their debts even more improbable then it used to be. The Syriza idea of a haircut combined with other measures to leave room for the Greek economy to recuperate would, on the other hand, have increased the probability.

      But that wouldn't have given the rich parts of Europe, most important Germany, the opportunity to plunder the remains of Greek property.

      Which is, by the way, what renowned economists like Krugman and Stiglitz say, too.

    6. Re:What "significant cost"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      German people seem fine and friendly. But German politicians, no thanks. Hmmm. Sounds just like my country, then.

    7. Re:What "significant cost"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They have one more option. Print Euros with the press in their possession. I expect them to do it. The rest of the EU will immediately pull the plug on the money transfers but the local banks will re-open.

    8. Re: What "significant cost"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Die by your own hand.

    9. Re:What "significant cost"? by EzInKy · · Score: 1

      The more I follow this, the more I'm convinced German's are in conquest mode again. What will it take to remove the "superiority" gene from German DNA?

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
  18. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by monkeyxpress · · Score: 1

    Also listen to Varoufakis's interview. It gives you quite a lot of insight into how Greece got to this point:

    http://mpegmedia.abc.net.au/rn...

    Basically looks like Varoufakis was pulling the strings, but in the end Tsipras blinked first. What else could he do though, I think Varoufakis didn't grasp until late in the piece that powerful parts of the EU were quite happy to call his bluff on a Grexit. Seems like his ego is now in repair mode after making that rather fatal miscalculation.

  19. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by DiehardIndependent · · Score: 1

    Can you provide a TL;DR version? Thanks in advance!

  20. Not set in stone yet by Alien1024 · · Score: 1

    The bailout still has to go through a number of European national parliaments. There have been rumors about the Finnish parliament not ready to go ahead with this.

  21. Charles Dickens said it best by DNS-and-BIND · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure nineteen [pounds] nineteen [shillings] and six [pence], result happiness. Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure twenty pounds ought and six, result misery."
    -- Charles Dickens, David Copperfield

    Seriously, people, don't borrow money from scary international lenders who are just waiting for you to default so they can take control of your country. Don't borrow money from them! And if you do: pay it back! I can't stress that last point enough. It's really the key to the whole Greece problem.

    --
    Shutting down free speech with violence isn't fighting fascism. It IS fascism!
    1. Re:Charles Dickens said it best by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't borrow money from them!

      And even more importantly, don't hire Goldman Sachs to help you scam your way into borrowing even more money so you leave yourself in an even bigger hole. GS did some incredible accounting tricks at Greece's request in order to hide debt.

    2. Re:Charles Dickens said it best by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      No, it was at other EU members' request, not Greece's.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    3. Re:Charles Dickens said it best by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only that's not at all what happened. What happened was that irresponsible predominantly German bankers lent a whole bunch of money to the Greeks who couldn't pay them back, something the bankers knew very well. Then when the shit hit the fan, the bankers went to their government, and pleaded with them to loan more money to the Greeks, so the Greeks could pay their loans to the bankers. So, now the Greek debt is owned by Germany et al, and they are turning Greece into a modern day debt-colony. The Greeks should have just said "fuck you", left the EMU, gone back to the drachma and tried to make do on their own. Which would have probably been intolerable for the Germans, because then they'd lose a whole bunch of money and a valuable offset to their own economy.

      The bottom line is that the Euro, and the EMU is all about promoting and protecting the interests of German and to a lesser degree French economy, everyone else is roadkill. Which is what this crisis has shown quite conclusively. I bet there are more people in other countries watching, and fervently wishing they had never ever joined.

    4. Re:Charles Dickens said it best by green1 · · Score: 1

      You can't lend money to someone who doesn't take it.

    5. Re:Charles Dickens said it best by raftpeople · · Score: 1

      I've read this sentiment a few times ("scary international lenders") and I'm curious about why that phrase is being used. From my perspective, it seems like a person or govt should only borrow what they can afford and the blame shouldn't be on the lenders.

      Were the lenders fraudulent in some way in this case?

    6. Re:Charles Dickens said it best by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That doesn't change jack shit. You as a loaner have the responsibility to judge whether you're going to get your money back. The failure to do so in a normal economy is that you lose your money. This is nothing but a scam, where bankers have offloaded their bad loans to the European taxpayers, and now Germany is acting to basically liquidate Greece in order to extract as much money as possible in as short time as possible, and fuck recovery.

    7. Re:Charles Dickens said it best by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If that is so, then why is Greece still in the Euro? Are they being forced by an army of magical pink unicorns?

    8. Re:Charles Dickens said it best by Cederic · · Score: 1

      Were the lenders fraudulent in some way in this case?

      "In law, fraud is deliberate deception to secure unfair or unlawful gain"

      Tricky. The banks didn't technical deceive anybody, they just relied on state bailouts to cover any potential losses.

      So no, probably not fraud. Fuck irresponsible though, and they should've been allowed to go bankrupt for their incompetence and inability to properly assess risk and protect their assets.

    9. Re:Charles Dickens said it best by EzInKy · · Score: 1

      Or just don't borrow from superior people's, particularly Germans.

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
    10. Re:Charles Dickens said it best by goose-incarnated · · Score: 1

      I've read this sentiment a few times ("scary international lenders") and I'm curious about why that phrase is being used. From my perspective, it seems like a person or govt should only borrow what they can afford and the blame shouldn't be on the lenders.

      When the lenders make a risky loan, should they be allowed to pass on the default to the state?

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
  22. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by roman_mir · · Score: 1

    I read it, it's a bunch of nonsense and vague statements about future reforms.... sure, sure.

    The reality is that Greece needs to be booted out of EU. German people are not interested in donating (and lets be clear, this is a donation, not a loan) more money to the Greeks standing with their hands out.

    Without this bailout Greece would be forced to implement government spending cuts that would reform the economy and make it self sustainable. With this bailout this same exact problem, only with much larger numbers is going to replay itself a few years down the road. There is no escape - living on a handout does not produce any wealth, does not create a working economy, it simply creates even more culture of dependency and that culture will never go away until it is forced to simply by lack of free money.

    Without the free money Greeks would restructure their economy. With the free money Greeks will do nothing but spend the money and ask for more. That document is for show, it means nothing.

    Now, if you wanted a REAL document and a solution, Greece would be forced to repay at least some of its debts by selling its assets immediately. Then they could restructure the debt, pay 60 cents on the dollar or 30 cents on the dollar, doesn't matter. But they would truly display willingness to work with the lenders.

    What this is here, it is the display of denial from the Greeks and it is display of weakness from the Germans who cannot reign in their crazy government that is stealing from the Germans.

    If Greeks want charity, they should ask for charity from those same Germans. If Greeks want a real economy, they should build their economy by eliminating their unsustainable government programs and reducing their taxes.

    The real austerity comes in the form of very low taxes and very little government and without this there will be no rebuilding of the economy.

    I said this before and my comments went up to +5 and then to 0 and back to +5 and back to 0 and then to +5 and now to 2 I think (or whatever it is at the moment).

    Clearly this is a contentious issue, but it is the only solution. Moderating my comments lower does not change reality, it only prevents me from replying to other comments, so it's your call whether you want me to reply to other comments (even in this thread) or not.

  23. Re:Sad to see the Naizs win again by gweihir · · Score: 1

    And even a brief look at the numbers shows that you are full of shit.

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  24. Meanwhile, TTIP quietly moved forward by paul_metcalfe · · Score: 0

    While all eyes were on Greece, TTIP implementation has been moved forward another step.

    --
    Always read at -1, don't let others decide what you should and should not read.
  25. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Can you provide a TL;DR version? Thanks in advance!

    PAY DEBNTSQ!!!

  26. My solution by Tough+Love · · Score: 1

    Start renting out the Parthenon for parties. If that doesn't work, start charging $0.50 each for Thermopylae selfies.

    --
    When all you have is a hammer, every problem starts to look like a thumb.
    1. Re:My solution by jandrese · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You're joking, but the Greeks have to give away a ton of assets for this deal. It's hard to see where they're going to get the sums necessary without looking at the antiquities.

      This is clearly a bad deal and frankly it seems like most of the people at the table know it is a joke. Did you see the deadlines in the article? They're giving themselves basically until the end of the week to completely turn their economy around, for the mere promise that the rest of the EU will consider extending the repayment period of the debts. They aren't even considering debt forgiveness.

      IMHO, the correct solution for Greece, painful as it would definitely be, is an exit from the Eurozone and a return to a national currency. The Eurozone has fundamental structural problems that are going to put Greece back in the hotseat in a few years even with this deal. Combined monetary policy with independent fiscal policy is not a sustainable model. It's like giving your irresponsible uncle your credit card on his promise that he will pay you back for everything he charges, even though he has defaulted on every loan he has ever had and is currently tens of thousands of euros in the hole and doesn't have a job.

      It also doesn't allow your currency to fluctuate with your economy, which puts a stranglehold on your economy when you have a recession.

      Sadly, a unified fiscal policy is politically impossible in the current EU. It would give up way too much sovereignty and be political suicide in most countries. You're talking about the EU itself collecting taxes and spending them on infrastructure. Foreign governments gaining oversight over national governments, an especially worrisome situation when the national government is breathtakingly corrupt. There is no chance you would get even a simple majority of countries to agree, much less the supermajority that would no doubt be required.

      --

      I read the internet for the articles.
    2. Re:My solution by russotto · · Score: 1

      Start renting out the Parthenon for parties. If that doesn't work, start charging $0.50 each for Thermopylae selfies.

      Thermopylae no longer exists. Well, it does, but it's no longer the narrow bottleneck between the mountains and the sea that it was during Leonidas's time.

    3. Re:My solution by Tough+Love · · Score: 1

      Start renting out the Parthenon for parties. If that doesn't work, start charging $0.50 each for Thermopylae selfies.

      Thermopylae no longer exists. Well, it does, but it's no longer the narrow bottleneck between the mountains and the sea that it was during Leonidas's time.

      No problem. Just build a theme park there.

      --
      When all you have is a hammer, every problem starts to look like a thumb.
    4. Re:My solution by Perky_Goth · · Score: 1

      It reads like capitulation agreement and is probably worse than the treaty of Versailles. Might as well start a world war to get the debt forgiven at this point, no? /s
      Also, the "winning side" has no mandate or legitimacy to decide anything, let alone to politicize the ECB for six months to force the issue.
      It's a really sad state of affairs tat made me lose all hope in the EU. The sooner it collapses, the better, preferably before that next crash turns everything into chaos and before fascists are elected everywhere.

  27. Most Important by PopeRatzo · · Score: 5, Insightful

    First things first: We have to make sure that no banker ever loses so much as a Euro, no matter how bad the investment. That's primary in this deal.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
    1. Re:Most Important by jader3rd · · Score: 1

      First things first: We have to make sure that no banker ever loses so much as a Euro, no matter how bad the investment. That's primary in this deal.

      Do you mean individual people who happen to be employed at banks, or the banks themselves? Because yes, society at large has an issue with the banks losing large amounts of money. Why? Because is the money in the banks is societies money. Where did the bank get the money to lend to Greece? From you. So if the Greece defaults on their debts, and then banks don't get repaid, it's your money that went away and will no longer be able to pull out of the bank. If there's no money to pull out of the bank, there's no money to pull out of the bank.

    2. Re:Most Important by aod7br · · Score: 1

      The issue is not bank loosing euros... is Bank executives loosing bonuses and jobs for the bad investment advise.

    3. Re:Most Important by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      society at large has an issue with the banks losing large amounts of money.

      Society also has an issue with banks crashing countries' economies.

      Where did the bank get the money to lend to Greece?

      If we're talking about the IMF, they get it from the same place unicorns come from. It is most definitely NOT "society's money".

      So if the Greece defaults on their debts, and then banks don't get repaid, it's your money that went away and will no longer be able to pull out of the bank.

      Again, more horseshit. The reason it's "my money" is because those banks, after making bad investment decisions, will go to the government begging for a bailout. The IMF, Goldman Sachs, and the Eurobanks do not have one single cent of "my money".

      If there's no money to pull out of the bank, there's no money to pull out of the bank.

      Banks have gone under before. It's part of the risk of doing risky business. If a bank doesn't want to "go under" then they have no business playing with credit default swaps and playing Risk with depositors' money.

      There used to be laws that prevented banks from being investment houses. That law is now gone. Banks are high-risk operations.

      And before you say one fucking thing about Greece's irresponsibility, have a gander at what LIBOR did with $350TRILLION of the world's money:

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    4. Re:Most Important by nmb3000 · · Score: 2

      First things first: We have to make sure that no banker ever loses so much as a Euro, no matter how bad the investment. That's primary in this deal.

      That's what really bothers me about this whole thing -- it's a reminder that Big Finance no longer needs to evaluate the risk of their investments because they'll never again be held accountable for them. Listening to the coverage of the Greece problems gave me flashbacks to the subprime mortgage crisis, among others. Letting bad investments bite these mega-corporations in the ass isn't even on the table.

      I try to empathize with the Greek people, since the majority of them are probably being dragged through this due to no fault of their own, but I honestly hoped the EU wouldn't have come to an agreement, and Greece would just have to default on all the loans and declare insolvency. Even that probably wouldn't have put any real burden on the big investors (oh, the IMF owns the colessium now? how nice), but I'm sick and tired of bad investments only being bad for Joe Taxpayer (or in this case, Hans Steuerzahler).

      --
      "What do you despise? By this are you truly known." --Princess Irulan, Manual of Muad'Dib
      /)
    5. Re:Most Important by argStyopa · · Score: 1

      I know you're being cynical, but it IS the deal.

      Because of the unstated last clause: "...because we have to make sure they will keep loaning TO US!"

      It has been ever so, since the days of the Fuggers and the Medicis. Since kings can no longer simply decree pogroms against the people they are deeply indebted to, they've had to simply make sure the bankers get paid.

      Congrats, you just figured out civilization.

      --
      -Styopa
    6. Re:Most Important by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Which is _exactly_ why bankers are supposed to act responsibly and not lend money to people who can't possibly pay them back.

    7. Re:Most Important by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Because is the money in the banks is societies money."

      WTF. Wow. The money in your bank account is your money. The other money in the bank is the shareholder's money. If the bank doesn't get paid it is the shareholders who should lose.

      The level of brainwashing that has happened to us that someone can write that "the money in the banks is societies money" is just scary. "If there's no money to pull out of the bank" then there's the saver protection scheme where the central bank can just print the money needed to cover the problem.

    8. Re:Most Important by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      It has been ever so, since the days of the Fuggers and the Medicis.

      It's ever so until people have had enough.

      Iceland made a choice, and has lived with it. It is no longer "ever so" in Iceland.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    9. Re:Most Important by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is that before or after bankster bonuses and personal profits at the top of the economic vampire food chain? Yeah, that's right, cocksucker, never mention those because then the entire argument falls apart.

    10. Re:Most Important by argStyopa · · Score: 1

      You're right; 0.004% of the best-educated, most culturally advanced (IMO) people on the planet have figured out how to do it right.

      I"m not sure that's a very encouraging figure?

      Personally, I believe that Iceland - population 300,000 - is probably somewhere near a natural limit of actual connected, responsible government. In the same sense that true communism really only works at the household/clan/tribal level, it may be that representative democracy - as an actual thing, not just a pastiche of it - tops out at a certain point as well, and beyond that every government leans towards despotism, for practical effectiveness' sake even setting aside the apparently inherently aggrandizing and greedy nature of humans.

      --
      -Styopa
    11. Re:Most Important by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I get what you're saying, but I also wonder what ever happened to the Medici and the Fuggers.

      representative democracy - as an actual thing, not just a pastiche of it - tops out at a certain point as well, and beyond that every government leans towards despotism

      For a while. History has a way of dealing with despotism, but it's a slow ride.

      Maybe all we can hope for is some attenuation of despotism thanks to disruptive technologies. Centuries ago, that disruptive technology was guns. Maybe now it will be something else.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
  28. PRINT!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Works in the US. Why not Grease?

    Word!

    1. Re:PRINT!! by mcvos · · Score: 1

      Because they don't control their own money. They have the Euro. The only way for them to print their own money is to leave the Euro.

  29. Think of bankruptcy by l2718 · · Score: 1

    Imagine you're a corporation (which in a lot of ways governments are kind of like). Now, imagine you get a new CEO who wants to get out of existing contracts because he didn't contract for them and doesn't want to pay them. Too damned bad. You don't get to go "waaah, we can't afford this so we want a do-over".

    In fact, corporations get exactly that when the file for bankruptcy. a procedure designed exactly to restructure their debt. It's true that sometimes this means the company is liquidated entirely, with the assets used to pay the creditors, but often what results is a bankruptcy plan in which (1) the company is reformed (2) the debt is cut to something manageable in order to keep the company going.

    Here's an alternate explanation: If Germany starts forgiving debts for everybody, then the Germans are paying for someone else's prosperity, and asking Germans to pay for that is like a mugging, but on a large scale and in slow motion. That would be completely irresponsible to German taxpayers who work hard and don't get to retire early.

    Recall that Germany didn't make the original loans at all. The original loans were made by private banks (many of them German). So if Greece had defaulted in 2008 or 2010, the citizens of Germany would have not been on the hook for anything. But in 2010 the government of Germany decided to act like a predatory debt hedge fund: by forcing the first bailout on Greece, they effectively bought the debt from the banks, probably on the idea that they could force Greece to pay better than the banks. Once Germany took over the loans (which it didn't have to), it took over the risk Greece would default. German workers have only their government to blame for taking over the debt -- not the Greek workers or the current government of Greece, neither of which who had any say in the original loans.

    Second, it is agreed by the Greek government (at least, it was repeatedly stated by Varoufakis before he was forced out) that Greece needed serious reforms, including raising the retirement age. For Varoufakis the point of an additional loan would have been to bridge Greece while the reforms took effect, noting that they have already achieved a primary surplus. But cutting existing pensions to pay back the government of Germany makes no sense. Basically, German bankers made bad loans, German taxpayers decided to save the bankers, and now Greek pensioners are being asked to help the much wealthier German taxpayers recover money on a bad loan gamble.

    1. Re:Think of bankruptcy by tsotha · · Score: 1

      For Varoufakis the point of an additional loan would have been to bridge Greece while the reforms took effect, noting that they have already achieved a primary surplus.

      We've been down this road a few times already. The Greek government promises this time, honest, they'll get right to that reforming stuff. But they can't, because Greek voters won't tolerate substantive reform.

    2. Re:Think of bankruptcy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Based on a Swedish TV programme I recently watched, I'd say that whilst the Greek voters are angry with their politicians and don't trust them or what the media is telling them, there has been an attitude change. A shopkeeper said that every customer insists on getting a receipt to be sure that VAT is paid and that was not the case before.

    3. Re:Think of bankruptcy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      http://www.statisticbrain.com/startup-failure-by-industry/

      Half of companies go bankrupt in the first four years. And the reason for half of those is 'incompetence'.

  30. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by Cyberax · · Score: 0

    The reality is that Greece needs to be booted out of EU. German people are not interested in donating (and lets be clear, this is a donation, not a loan) more money to the Greeks standing with their hands out.

    Yet German people were quite happy to pump their debts into Greece, Spain and Italy over the course of last 15 years. Half of German economic growth was caused by this.

  31. Re:Sad to see the Naizs win again by oh_my_080980980 · · Score: 1

    Like Germany repaid the US after WWII?

  32. Bailout money doesn't really end up in Greece .. by nickweller · · Score: 1

    "In 2010 and 2012, Greece accepted bailout deals from European creditors totaling hundreds of billions of euros in order to prevent the collapse of the Greek banking system. The funds kept Greece from a potential default that would force it out of the eurozone, but most of the enormous sum of money involved in the bailouts ultimately didn't end up funding public services or directly going to the Greek people." ref

  33. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by stanjo74 · · Score: 0

    German people should absolutely be interested in donating to the PIIGs, otherwise their economy stagnates.
    Why do you think Germany went off the Deutsche Mark in the first place? Germany exports 60% of its output to the EU countries (can't be bothered with citation). They need the bailouts and the export-based economy going. Had Germany stayed with the Deutsche Mark, they would have priced themselves out.
    This is not about Greece, but about transferring money from the EU taxpayers into the hands of big corporations. And the EU taxpayer is a hostage - you may lose your job if you don't donate to the cause...

  34. Not a Greek bailout by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 5, Insightful
    It is not a Greek bailout. It is a bailout of German and French banks, that lent irresponsibly to Greece. They did not do due diligence, and they knew Greece would not be able to repay. They knew the banks will be bailed out. The banks have become too big to fail, their top honchos too big to jail. The incentives are for irresponsible reckless risky practices.

    True, Greece borrowed irresponsibly and spent it in wasteful ways. But the banks can not shirk their responsibility.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    1. Re:Not a Greek bailout by green1 · · Score: 1

      There's really only one way out, but neither side is willing to do it.

      Greece should stop paying what it can't afford, just stop repaying any loans.
      Everyone else should see that Greece is not fiscally responsible and stop loaning the greeks any money.

      This would lead inevitably to greece exiting the euro, printing their own money, and everyone would get exactly what they deserve.

      Creditors would be left holding the bag because they leant to someone they knew wouldn't be able to repay
      Greece would see runaway inflation, and prices on imported goods so high as to make their eyes water showing them that they can't take other people's money with no intention to repay it without serious consequences.

      Unfortunately both sides still want to find the solution that probably doesn't exist where the creditors get repaid and the Greeks continue their current spending spree. That world simply doesn't exist, and really can't exist. But in the absence of that possibility, both sides are doing something that really can be done, they're kicking the can down the road so that their successors rather than themselves have to deal with the (increasingly bad) consequences.

    2. Re:Not a Greek bailout by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, that was last time.
      Almost the entire Greek foreign debt is now held by the IMF, ECB, various EU institution and individual EU member countries.

      If Greece defaults without an agreement and basically writes off the debts, not only would the ECB (and several other EU institutions) become insolvent, but the governments in Germany, France, Finland, Spain, Poland and the other Euro countries vould have to inform their parliaments and citizens that loans made by those governments to Greese were now lost. That's likely to defenestrate a few ministers...

      And worse, if Greece left the euro and it appeared to work, Italy, Spain, Portugal, Ireland and probably France would by up in arms to break out of the Euro

    3. Re:Not a Greek bailout by 0dugo0 · · Score: 1

      The ECB can create euros out of thin air, how on earth will it ever become unsolvent?

    4. Re:Not a Greek bailout by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the banks can not shirk their responsibility.

      I love the sentiment, but could you please link to just one example which shows this is true. As far as I can see the banks regularly, and with more or less open glee shirk their responsibility

    5. Re:Not a Greek bailout by Cederic · · Score: 1

      Please happen. Please.

    6. Re:Not a Greek bailout by EzInKy · · Score: 1

      You would think the French would have learned not to involve themselves with Germans by now. They are only takers, never givers.

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
    7. Re:Not a Greek bailout by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Eh...STFU? The greek debt-loans are held by the governments of the EZ currently, not the banks. I'm against shady bank-business-practices too, but in this instance the banks did the only right thing and got rid of anything greek in their portfolios before the shit hit the fan. Any sane person would do the same. The problem arose because the EZ-governments thought they could save Greece, and now their collective dick is stuck in the letterbox.

    8. Re:Not a Greek bailout by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      O well ... that would be nice if banks did not take a 50% cut.

      Now it is Euro countries the ones helding Greek bonds.

      Read a bit about the scenario before rendering yourself a donkey.

      "while all private creditors holding Greek government bonds were required at the same time to sign a deal accepting extended maturities, lower interest rates, and a 53.5% face value loss."

      "As of early 2015, the largest individual contributors to the fund were Germany, France and Italy with roughly €130B total of the €323B debt"

      "Excluding Greek banks, European banks had €45.8bn exposure to Greece in June 2011, with €9.4bn held by French and €7.9bn by German banks.[129] However, by early 2015 their holdings were minimal, roughly €2.4B."

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greek_government-debt_crisis#Creditors

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greek_government-debt_crisis#Chronology

    9. Re:Not a Greek bailout by adhdengineer · · Score: 1

      only if germany lets it. which they have been very reluctant to do despite a lot of the other world economies doing it (USA, UK, Japan)

    10. Re:Not a Greek bailout by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is the third bailout. You're still talking about the first bailout. By far the largest part of Greek debt now held by banks is held by Greek banks. That's why those banks are closed: if they were open, there would be a bank run and they'd be forced to sell those bonds on the open market. And as that will pay cents on the Euro, it would mean instant collapse of the Greek bank system.

      The solution should be the Emergency Liquidity Assistance from the European Central Bank, but they stopped providing more liquidity as they don't trust Greek bonds either.

    11. Re:Not a Greek bailout by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The comment being voted insightful is very indicative of level of factual knowledge about the crisis. And the level is very miserable.

      The banks were already bailed out in 2010 when German and French states purchased the Greece debt.

      You keep repeating it, and people agreeing with it, and that just shows how far USA and UK are removed from the EU.

      There is no financial crisis anymore. If Greece defaults, those would be public, Euro-citizen tax money paying for it. If Greece defaults, the only people who would suffer would be the Greeks.

  35. Welcome to the new EU police state by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Congrats Europeans, you have now outed yourselves as anti-democratic tools of the bankers.

    The original loans to Greece were based on fraud (recognized by both the lenders and Greece (see Goldman Sachs' aid to the Greek Govt)). As such, the loans are fraudulent and have no legal standing and should be repudiated. The banks should eat the losses, otherwise we have major moral hazard.

    The Greek people spoke pretty clearly w/ the No vote. Tsipris should resign, as he has outed himself as corrupt as his predecessors.

    The Spanish just effectively created a police state.

    Who knew Marie LePen & Nigel Farage were right? It is fascinating watching Tsipris' body language when spoken to by Farage The fix must have been in, and Tsipris knew he was going to fold.

    So, philosophically, what does NATO stand for?

    Assuming it ever comes to a vote (which seems doubtful), I hope the British are smart enough to stay away from the EU.

    Congrats, Germany, on winning control of Europe without firing a shot.

    1. Re:Welcome to the new EU police state by EzInKy · · Score: 1

      Please be specific. These are German bankers we are talking about. Deutcshland Ucber Alles!!

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
    2. Re:Welcome to the new EU police state by adhdengineer · · Score: 1

      So if i lie to a bank to obtain a loan, the load has no legal standing? Is that really your argument?

  36. Privatize the profits, socialize the loses... by gbcox · · Score: 1

    Yup, the banks got bailed out and the debt is now publicly owned. It's the creed of Wall Street: Privatize the profits, socialize the loses; then have the mainstream media pump out spin to obfuscate it. So now you have the people of the EU fighting among themselves while the banks are quite happy since they've already got their money. The only way for Greece to recover is to leave the monetary union. They can remain a member of the EU without using the euro as their currency, the UK is an example of that; but every story you read in the mainstream media implies otherwise, which simply isn't true. Government doesn't exist to make a profit, it exists for the welfare of the people. This is going to backfire big time.

    1. Re:Privatize the profits, socialize the loses... by Grishnakh · · Score: 4, Informative

      The only way for Greece to recover is to leave the monetary union. They can remain a member of the EU without using the euro as their currency, the UK is an example of that; but every story you read in the mainstream media implies otherwise, which simply isn't true.

      It isn't just the UK; only 19 of the 28 member states of the EU use the Euro currency. Ones that don't include Denmark, Czech Republic, Romania, and Sweden. According to Wikipedia, however, it does seem that most of these are obliged to switch to the Euro when certain conditions are met; the only countries which have specifically opted out are UK and Denmark. But I do think it's interesting that very few eastern European EU nations have adopted the Euro so far (and instead, a couple of non-EU eastern European nations like Montenegro have unilaterally adopted it). If you look at the map, Greece kinda stands alone as a Euro user in that region, with only Cyprus (EU), Montenegro (non-EU) and Kosovo (non-EU) also using it.

    2. Re:Privatize the profits, socialize the loses... by gbcox · · Score: 1

      It isn't just the UK; only 19 of the 28 member states of the EU use the Euro currency. Ones that don't include Denmark, Czech Republic, Romania, and Sweden.

      Exactly... yet we read all the hand-wringing in the press about Greece leaving the EU; it's not that they're not smart enough to know the difference; their just spinning FUD. Yes, it would be a pain to switch currencies, but considering the alternative of paying off a ridiculous amount of debt, seems like the only viable solution would be go bankrupt and start over. Considering that Germany has gone bankrupt 7 times, I don't think they have much room to criticize. The wise thing would have been to make the banks who lent the money in the first place take the loss... but that ship has sailed. I would hope the Greek people would just wake up but it appears that they're all drinking the kool-aid.

    3. Re:Privatize the profits, socialize the loses... by Xest · · Score: 2

      "But I do think it's interesting that very few eastern European EU nations have adopted the Euro so far (and instead, a couple of non-EU eastern European nations like Montenegro have unilaterally adopted it)."

      It's because entrance into the EU is staged. It goes something like this:

      1) A country expresses interest to join

      2) That country must make political changes to meet EU standards- this means matching EU standards on things like product quality/safety, human rights, law enforcement and so on and so forth

      3) The country can, once reaching European standards in this area join the political union promising to advance towards joining the monetary union

      4) They must then reform and change their economy towards adhering to the standards required to join the monetary union. If they're a poor country, this means waiting until their economy has grown sufficiently to not be too out of par with the rest of the eurozone countries. The EU gives them financial help to do this, and being part of the political union makes it easier because they have free trade as a result of that with the rest of Europe.

      5) When they're ready economically, they must join the eurozone.

      Now that's how it's supposed to work. The reason most of those countries you cite aren't in yet is because they were relatively poor, and are simply at the political stage having not grown their economies sufficiently to join.

      Of course, Greece was one of the early adopters when they were still trying to kick the thing off and at that point they just wanted as much membership as possible to kick it all off. In hindsight Greece should've been lumped in with the not-yet-ready club, because they were fiddling their figures and lying about the state of their economy.

      So those non-members you cite aren't non-members out of choice (that only applies to the UK, Denmark, and Sweden), they're non-members because they're not yet ready. Countries like Romania, Czech Republic, Hungary and so forth aren't yet strong enough to sustain the euro as their currency. In reality neither is Greece, and arguably a country like the Czech Republic is now probably a more suitable candidate than Greece, but it's apparently not an option to return Greece to candidate status.

      Greece is alone in the region because most of those members in the region are fairly new entrants to the EU, Greece was alone in being a much earlier entrant to the EU- Most of that is down to the cold war. Many of those poorer nations that are non eurozone members but EU members were stuck behind the iron curtain as part of the USSR whilst Greece was not.

      So the idea with the EU is that it's a one-way track, you join politically, then you switch economically. Even Sweden is committed to this, but has quite reasonably said "Not until you get your house in order!". Only the two countries with opt-outs, the UK and Denmark can get away with it indefinitely. I don't know why Denmark has an opt-out, but the UK has it because there was no taste for losing the pound amongst the UK public, and the EU really wants the UK to be an EU member because a) It's one of the top 5/6 world economies, b) It's one of 5 permanent UN security councils, c) It's nuclear armed and one of the best militaries in the world, d) It's Europe's political and economic gateway to America and the Commonwealth. The UK therefore got special treatment.

      Most of those countries you mention may not be members yet, but they're legally committed to becoming so as part of their EU membership agreement.

      I think it's true that Greece could be dropped back to EU member status without being a euro user, but that would require treaty amendments and keep in mind that even the Greeks themselves don't want this because they don't want to lose the purchasing power the euro affords them (Greece is an import economy, based largely on tourism, so a weak currency doesn't benefit them as much as it would a manufacturing economy). Had Greece said 5 years ago "Guys, this ain't working for us right now, w

    4. Re:Privatize the profits, socialize the loses... by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Very good analysis. I do still wonder though how Denmark managed to get a permanent opt-out. Denmark isn't a cheap place to live by a long shot, it's probably one of the most expensive places in Europe to live.

      It seems like the EU project would have done better by setting up two currencies, a strong-Euro and a weak-Euro, and keeping them independent of each other, with the strong economies using the more valuable one and places like Greece and Portugal and the eastern nations using the weak one.

  37. Re:Sad to see the Naizs win again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Germany would have just started WWIII if their debt hadn't been forgiven.
    It was essentially terms of their surrender. Greece doesn't have the military might Germany had. Germany also had a functioning economy to provide economic input into the world. The economic engine behind Greece is so broken it can't do that without a complete teardown and rebuild.

  38. I fear the Greeks... by sethradio · · Score: 1

    ...even when bearing agreements.

    --
    "Nationalism is an infantile sickness. It is the measles of the human race." -Albert Einstein
  39. Fool me once, ... Fool me thrice... time, blame me by gurps_npc · · Score: 1
    Reminds me of Scotty's saying from Star Trek - "Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me." This is no longer Greece's fault, it's Germanys.

    The first bailout may have been Greece's fault. Maybe even the second one. But the fact that they need a third means that Germany et. al. CAUSED the third one by giving crappy demands after the second bail out.

    Clearly Greece's problems are no longer just caused by Greece, but a direct result of Germany's idiocy.

    --
    excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
  40. dog in the manger by Thud457 · · Score: 1

    honestly, what do you expect of a 100EUR / week hotel room?

    --

    the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

  41. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The real austerity comes in the form of very low taxes and very little government and without this there will be no rebuilding of the economy.

    Wait, are you serious? How do you think a government raises money? I'm really curious. Reducing government spending (because, you know, a little government can still spend a lot of money) is a piece of the puzzle but, just like any company out there, without meaningful inflow of cash (which can only be supported by taxes when you're talking about governments) you're going to go bankrupt no matter what.

    With that statement, you sound like one of those people that just regurgitate radio/TV/political celebrities in the US.

    By the way, almost everyone in Europe is "German people", because, as you may not know, Western Europe suffered a great migration by the Germanic tribes (aka. German people) after the fall of Rome. The word you are looking for is "Germans". Still funny that you think only 1 country in the whole European Union is part of the bailout. You, sir, are an idiot!

  42. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by vivaoporto · · Score: 5, Informative

    Yes, why not. Play by play below, italicizes are my asides. Sorry but no TL;DR of the TL;DR, it was hard enough to summarize the whole thing.

    1st paragraph: asks Greece to keep their promise this time.
    To be read with German accent as it was most likely added by Germany. It echoes the statement by Merkel this weekend that says "The most important currency has been lost and that is trust".

    2nd paragraph: tell Greece it is either both ESF and IMF or nothing.
    Meaning Greece will most likely have to agree to another set of measures imposed by IMF.

    3rd paragraph, pages 2 and 3, first item on page 4: sets the first measures to be taken and its deadlines.
    Some must be voted into law by 15 July (72 hours after the meeting) and some by 22 July, next week. They are more or less the same measures that triggered the referendum last week but with a notable absence: cuts in the military

    pages 4 and 5, aditional measures:
    - model for privatization.
    Instead of going to the public coffers it will go to a fund (managed by Greece, supervised by Europe). The assets (estimated 50B) will be split: 50/25/25. 50% to recapitalize the banks, 25B to repay loans, 25B for investiments.
    - model for the supervision: all draft legislation will be subject of their (EU and IMF) consult and agreement. Greece has until 20 July to ask to be helped.
    - reversal of anti austerity legislation: all of them, except the humanitarian crisis bill, must be reexamined and either reversed or replaced by an equivalent measure.
    SOP for "troika" (as in group of three, EU, ECB and IMF) technicians to become the fourth power in the country during the program duration. Happened in Portugal and Ireland

    end of page 5: states that Greece will need between 82 and 86B, unless it can collect more taxes or privatize better. 7 of those billion euros are needed before 20 July and 5 more before mid August. Also states that greece needs to "clear its arrears" to IMF and Bank of Greece
    Sibling post has it right, this part is "Greece, pay denbts"

    page 6: states that Greece either accepts the deal or banks won't reopen. Also, that it is syriza's )and whoever was its predecessor) fault by easing the policies during the last 12 months and that Eurozone can reconsider "longer grace and payment periods" but that will be "no haircuts"
    Again, "Greece, stop screwing up, pay denbts, all of it"

    page 7: states that if Greece accepts the deal the deal will go forward. Also, that in the next 3-5 years 35B will be mobilized to fund investment and economic activity (including SME) via EU programmes
    This must be the concession Tsipras is talking about, 35B for investment including small and medium-sized entrerprises not counting towards the loan but via EU investment.

  43. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

    Had Germany stayed with the Deutsche Mark, they would have priced themselves out.

    Had Greece stayed out of the Euro, they would now export cheaply, becoming more attractive than other players. Trade advantage would make everyone more wealthy--Greece would be down and climbing back up, while everyone else would be spending less money and leaving residual wealth in consumer pockets, which new markets could target.

  44. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by dunkelfalke · · Score: 2

    We were more or less forced to adopt Euro. This was the price for France allowing reunification. Switzerland does just fine with their own currency, Germany would be able to do so just as well.

    --
    "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
  45. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by MightyMartian · · Score: 2

    A number of Eurozone states, lead by Germany, were at a place where their governments would have been in very serious trouble had they simply repeated the process as it has rolled out to date. There were reports that if there had been another bailout like the last ones, the Finnish government would have collapsed, and Merkel certainly has been feeling intense pressure not to give in to Greek demands. The referendum seems to have been the final straw, however. The attempt to shame the Eurozone into handing Greece more money and forgiving more debt badly backfired for Tsipras.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  46. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If Greece had stayed out of the Euro, their government would still have been just as corrupt, and the Drachma's 20+ percent inflation of the 1990s would have persisted, robbing everybody of their precious pensions and shoveling the wealth to the ruling class. There is a reason why more than 80% of Greeks want to keep the Euro.

  47. Re:Sad to see the Naizs win again by currently_awake · · Score: 1

    The USA (and allies) stripped Germany of science and technology and patents worth billions. The Apolo space program was only possible because of that theft.

  48. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by DiehardIndependent · · Score: 3

    Well, my reply to you was meant as a joke - building on your accurate observation that slashdotters rarely read anything beyond the summary.

    It's amazing isn't it? We've got so much information available at the touch of our fingers, yet we can't be bothered to spend the *seconds* it would take to find a source document regarding the matter at hand. It's a sad commentary on the status of critical thinking skills among our ranks.

    Anywho, it's inspiring to find another of the few here willing to fight the good fight. Maybe one day the impulsiveness rampant on the internet will fade. (I know that's absurdly optimistic.)

  49. Credibility is key by l2718 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Indeed, whether Syriza would implement the reforms is the most important question. Varoufakis was very vocal about the need for the reforms, but he has been forced out (by the EU !). The left-left wing of Syriza is opposed. It's not clear what the majority would do, and like you I would have preferred to see some reforms passed in February and March while the negotiations were ongoing.

    However, some of the reforms Germany is asking for (higher taxes, pension cuts) cause me to doubt their bona fides here. The main problem is taxes in Greece is non-payment and the informal economy. Raising taxes is likely to exacerbate this problem by increasing the motivation to evade the higher taxes. Lowering taxes and simplifying the tax system is far more likely to raise more revenue.

    Similarly, the main problem with government pensions is early retirement. The solution should therefore be to raise the retirement age for those currently working, which in the long term resolve the problems without creating short-term pain. The German solution (cut pensions now) means asking current pensioners who have no prospect of other sources of income and cannot choose to go back to the jobs they retired from to help repay the national debt.

    1. Re:Credibility is key by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Greece has very uneven pensions. There are people, predominantly former government employees, who have quite comfortable pensions. The problem is that no Greek government has had the guts to cut those pensions and leave the low pensions alone. A quarter of the country works for the government in one way or another. That is a force not easily overcome. People had hoped that Syriza would end the clientelistic system of government, but of course that was doomed from the start. Socialists are not known for being better at cleaning house.

      Part of the prescribed reforms is to improve tax collection, not just raise taxes.

    2. Re:Credibility is key by MightyMartian · · Score: 2

      To my understanding, Portugal implemented a scheme whereby industries could be assessed based on average profits, rather than relying upon specific businesses to accurately report revenues. It sucks, and probably isn't fair, but where there is a culture of underreporting revenues or overstating expenses, or general evasion, then the only solution is to spread the pain between the law abiding businesses and individuals and the law breaking ones.

      One way or another, Greeks are going to be paying a lot more taxes, and if they continue this evasion as a national sport, the Greek government will simply be forced to work with general assessments.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    3. Re:Credibility is key by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      It strikes me that this new agreement solves this problem. It will essentially be the Troika that takes over supervisory powers for legislative and policy changes surrounding government expenditures and taxes, and so the Greek government can implement the hard policies, and blame those evil foreign occupiers.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    4. Re:Credibility is key by Luckyo · · Score: 2

      Essentially this is about the basic concept of "actually paying the taxes you owe". In Greece, that is a massive exception and I remember a friend from my golden days of WoW lamenting that her job at military meant that she was, and I quote from memory "the only one she knows who pays tax on her salary". She thought it was really unfair. Not that others weren't paying, but that she was.

      It's going to require a massive cultural change, not just a technical one.

    5. Re:Credibility is key by Xest · · Score: 1

      "Varoufakis was very vocal about the need for the reforms, but he has been forced out (by the EU !)"

      Yeah but that was exactly the problem. The EU didn't need someone who was very vocal. They needed someone who was actually willing to do it. Varoufakis was not that person - he's a charismatic populist, he talks the talk but does not walk the walk.

      The same thing was true in Italy for a while where you had these very vocal characters saying the right things to try and make everyone happy but not actually doing what needed to be done, but it wasn't until they fucked off and some competent technocrats came in to do the actual necessary that things started to improve.

      Some people like Varoufakis are simply focussed on making people like them, they say everything right to achieve that, but they wont do what's necessary because doing what's necessary would make many people no longer like them. That's why he had to go - it's not a fucking popularity contest, it's about actually solving the problem.

      Tsipras has learnt that the hard way, he's approached leadership as a popularity contest, desperately trying to avoid responsibility for the position he's put himself into, and now he's been faced with a choice between being the guy that finally bankrupted Greece and turned it 3rd world, or being the guy who accepts painful necessity, he's realised that some things are more important than just trying to be Mr Popular. Varoufakis never had that realisation, which is why he just had to go.

  50. Only a matter of time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It seems unlikely that this will fix anything but merely put Europe further into debt to keep Greece afloat for a little while longer. Its hard to say exactly who is to blame, the Greek people for avoiding their taxes, the Greek government for years of waste and corruption or Europe for continuing to bail them and the banks that have supported them out again and again. All that can be said for sure is that without major changes they're going to be right back in the same boat in a few years at most.

  51. Restructuring of inefficient bureaucracy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Something tells me some big consulting firms (likely those already in the EU in a big way) will prey on Greece in the coming years, with promises of increasing efficiency by selling Greece consulting packages to analyze and implement systems to improve their government operations.

    I'm betting these projects will likely fail, due to complex bureaucracy and missed deadlines. The consultants will get paid, but Greece government will be left holding the bag.

    Sounds like opportunity is knocking me thinks.

  52. Fork: Gunboat Diplomacy or Treaty of Versailles by hwstar · · Score: 1

    A fork in the road is approaching. Either this will be viewed in a similar light to the Treaty of Versailles and the disaster which followed that and lead to Nazi Germany:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treaty_of_Versailles
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyperinflation_in_the_Weimar_Republic

    or Gunboat Diplomacy where the stick is used to beat Greece into Submission:

    http://moox.ga/odore-roosevelt-big-stick-cartoon

    Bankers are powerful, yet they don't realize what happens when they go too far... They may end up getting more than they bargained for, or nothing at all.

  53. Re:Sad to see the Naizs win again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Germans have paid way more than $0 as is

    Around 60 billions, to be precise.

  54. Re:Sad to see the Naizs win again by ScentCone · · Score: 1

    The USA (and allies) stripped Germany of science and technology and patents worth billions. The Apolo space program was only possible because of that theft.

    Theft? THEFT?

    Germany spent years roaming Europe quite literally stealing anything and everything they wanted to put their hands on. They were the aggressors, and owed a huge debt everyone who had to spend blood and treasure to stop them. The Germans waived their right to complain about such things when they made it their policy to deny others that right. Since then, they appear to have their heads screwed on right, and look! - nobody is any longer subjecting them to that well deserved post-war treatment. They reaped what they sowed. That's not theft, and you know it.

    --
    Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
  55. Source of money for repayment by JigJag · · Score: 1

    I'm wondering if Greece will help itself to the lavish and rich Greek Orthodox Church possessions to help repay the debt, since "the Greek Orthodox Church owns property worth some €700 billion - more than double the country’s national debt." (source, dated 2011-06-27)

    --
    "The hallmark of humanity is the ability to move beyond sensory inputs" - Mary Helen Immordino-Yang
  56. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by aaaaaaargh! · · Score: 1

    Some must be voted into law by 15 July (72 hours after the meeting) and some by 22 July, next week. They are more or less the same measures that triggered the referendum last week but with a notable absence: cuts in the military
     

    I still don't understand why a radical left wing government would be so extremely opposed to cuts in the military. Is that part of the agreement with their nazi coalition partners or is there a real danger of a military coup d'etat?

  57. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by aaaaaaargh! · · Score: 2

    He probably still doesn't understand why game theory does not work in real life.

  58. The truth, from a ex-greek by lamer01 · · Score: 1

    1. Greece will never be able to repay the loans. 2. Forcing the country to either default or accept further austerity is causing a humanitarian crisis in the country. 2.1 The lower middle class and poor are literally without food or care. We would not accept that in any other western country 3. Unemployment among the young is 50%. 3,1 Everyone who can leave the country is leaving 4. Trying to make Greece into an example, is forcing #2, should be abhorrent to any civilized persons. The fact that past politicians created the problem should not make it palatable to us. 5. A lot of the money that was 'loaned' to Greece, exited the country immediately in the form of purchases of German/French goods even military equipment. It's not like all these loans stayed in the country. Many loans were issued with such conditions. 6. Siphoning euros out of a struggling economy to pay debts will further deteriorate that economy.Not saying that not paying the debts is ok, just saying that action will further destroy the country. 7. Greek tourism which was the country's main source of income suffered greatly with the Euro.

    1. Re:The truth, from a ex-greek by danbob999 · · Score: 2

      2. Forcing the country to either default or accept further austerity is causing a humanitarian crisis in the country

      They should have thinked twice before borrowing in the first place.

      5. A lot of the money that was 'loaned' to Greece, exited the country immediately in the form of purchases of German/French goods even military equipment

      Which Greece wasn't forced to buy. Let's face it. 99% of today's Greece debt comes from loans taken by a democratically elected government since the 80's.

      2. Forcing the country to either default or accept further austerity is causing a humanitarian crisis in the country.

      Last time I checked Greece was still richer than many northern neighbors from Eastern Europe. A lot richer than southern neighbors from Africa. Why would there be a humanitarian crisis in Greece but not in poorer countries?

    2. Re:The truth, from a ex-greek by chasm22 · · Score: 1

      I can't believe how many comments like this are floating around.

      So you don't think the world wide recession had any role? Maybe do some fact checking before you blame the Greeks for much of the woes. It's pretty much accepted that without the recession, the Greeks wouldn't be in this crisis. Unless you think they are responsible for that too.

      Doubt it will have an impact on your thinking, but here's a couple of links for you. http://blogs.wsj.com/brussels/...
      http://www.forbes.com/sites/jo...

      45 % of Greek pensioners live below the eu poverty line. Your asking about if there is really a humanitarian crisis? Well I would call it a crisis but what type I'll leave for others. I don't see you too worried about all the banks and euro leaders calling it a crisis so I guess you just have have
      a problem with applying to word to individuals instead of banks.

    3. Re:The truth, from a ex-greek by Citizen+of+Earth · · Score: 1

      And if you hadn't pissed everybody off, maybe somebody would give a shit.

    4. Re:The truth, from a ex-greek by danbob999 · · Score: 1

      Of course the recession had a major impact. But recessions happen. Greece should have planned for it. Instead, their budget deficit was 5-7% of GDP in the years before the recession.

      45 % of Greek pensioners live below the eu poverty line. Your asking about if there is really a humanitarian crisis?

      Being below the povrety line in Greece is still richer than being middle class in many countries. Anyway that measurement doesn't mean much, since it's relative to the country's wealth.

  59. So... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How many years before we revisit this with bailout #4, Greek politicians complaining about the loss of autonomy and the uptick in foreign influence, etc.?

    1. Re: So... by JWW · · Score: 2

      Yep. The most amazing part is that the EU has been duped to think Greece will pay them back this time for sure!!

    2. Re: So... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For the record: I am Greek and I wonder about exactly the same. Who are the fooling with these decisions?
      What is the problem that was solved with the current agreement? ... and was it?

    3. Re: So... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      They haven't. They simply have their own constituents to answer to, so they kicked the ball ahead to their successors. By the time Greek debt they're creating here matures, it will be our grand-grandchildren who will have to think about n+1st Greek bailout to pay for it.

      I'm really interested how our government here in Finland will hold over it. They have "no increased exposure to Greek debt" written into their government policy cornerstone paper just a few months ago when they created the government. I suspect there will be some massive waves, and the Finns party who was the key party behind that statement will take a massive popularity hit if they stay in the government and Tsipras actually manages to sell this awful deal to his parliament.

    4. Re: So... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You really think anyone things they will ever pay? It's just not possible for them to pay. The only thing left to figure here is what will germany and france do when spain and italy follow greeks path. The smaller countries better start making euro exit plans right now.

    5. Re: So... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, Greece has convinced the EU that they will implement a 23% sales tax because they do not enforce any income taxes

      All of the 'small government drowning in the bathtub' crowd should pay attention, because this is exactly what happens when you allow the wealthy to pawn off all of their responsibilities (i.e. paying income tax) off onto the hoi poi

  60. How does that saying go again . . . . by nehumanuscrede · · Score: 1

    Those who fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it . . . . .

  61. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by vivaoporto · · Score: 3, Informative

    His party didn't win he election with full majority and is part of a coalition. His coalition partner, Panos Kamennos, is both the founder of the right wing party that allows the coalition to govern and also the Defence Minister.

  62. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "What else could he do though ..."

    Return to the drachma and cancel all foreign debt? You know, something that would actually allow Greece to reset and quickly return to a functioning economy rather than staying on zombie life support forever ...

  63. Re:Sad to see the Naizs win again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Not theft - just compensation.

  64. The country is as good as dead by bspus · · Score: 1

    It pains me to say it, being a Greek but I think it's the truth.
    In 50-60 years time there will be nobody left alive remembering a time (pre-euro) when this nation, with all its dysfunctions could at least pretty much support itself.

    Greece should never have joined the euro. This is clear now. Our economy just wasn't strong enough for it and we cheated to get in. I remember it being common knowledge that we did so. I cannot believe that the eurozone did not know, they just pretended not to see.

    This then opened the can of worms. Suddenly so much money was available. Banks literally begged to lend you. In the mean time, the economy disintegrated as one by one industries closed shop as they could not compete anymore. But borrowed money was plenty so life was good.
    Needless to say, no serious reforms were made and subsidy money was being squandered. It was obvious but nobody rang a bell at the time.

    In 2009 things were bad but a newly elected Government managed to make things even worse. They lied to get elected (of course) and then strived to present the year's deficit as significantly higher than it actually was, thus bringing in the IMF. They also made sure NOT to accept a debt haircut and allowed debt to cross over to become debt to other nations as opposed to foreign banks, making a default all that much harder.
    In any self respecting country, this would be considered high treason. Instead, those people are still around, appearing on TV and running for office.

    Nothing really changes until 2015 when we have a left-wing government for the first time. They utterly failed to negotiate and in 6 months have barely managed to govern at all as all the time is spent negotiating.
    It could very easily appear to be incompetence, and maybe to an extent it is, but seeing Germany's conduct these last few days, I believe they never really stood a chance. They were boycotted right from the get go and actually been asked to resign in favour of other "better suited" alternatives. Those who actually did nothing all those years before. Even the pretense of sovereign nations has been abandoned.
    Now the whole country is practically put on mortgage to finance a debt that simply cannot be financed.

    Having seen this debacle, I now wish we had exited the euro even without preparation. I'd rather go hungry for a few years and live poorly for a lot longer than spend the rest of my life being considered a "lazy greek who wants to spend and get fat pensions and beg for money". When in fact I have never even had a loan, work as hard as any other "proper" european and will likely never get a pension at all. But I too will end up paying the price for other peoples crimes.

    1. Re:The country is as good as dead by Citizen+of+Earth · · Score: 1

      They utterly failed to negotiate and in 6 months have barely managed to govern at all as all the time is spent negotiating.

      ... and destroyed any good will from your creditors, and squandered 25B euros in the past two weeks on this pointless temper tantrum with untold residual damage going forward, and brought in the micromanagement on every bailout cent spent from here on out. Frankly, I think a majority of Europeans would prefer to see a Grexit also. They'd recover from your leaving within weeks. The best plan for any Greek with any willingness to work for a living to to leave Greece immediately.

  65. Grexit would have been smarter ... by jschultz410 · · Score: 1

    What people fail to understand is that the Greeks aren't living beyond their means any longer. They had a primary surplus last year. The size of their debt has barely increased since mid-2013:

    http://www.tradingeconomics.co...

    Greece is being forced to turn over its sovereignty simply to rollover existing debt, even though the creditors know it is impossible for Greece to pay down its debt and they've known this for years.

    It's disgusting. Economically they'd have been far better off going for Grexit within ten years then continuing in this charade. Also, Syriza and Tsipras wouldn't have had to make a mockery of their democracy too.

  66. Summary of what's going on by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    EU: "We won't lend you money unless you make several structural reforms, slackers!"

    Greece: "Fine, we'll file bankruptcy and leave the UE. That's too many reforms all at once."

    EU: "But you can't bail, it will destabilize the markets and hurt the EU!"

    Greece: "So? That's your problem. Either lend us the money or we bail and go our own way."

    EU: "(Sigh), okay, here's the check..."

  67. UK's role by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    UK is facing a £1bn bill in relation to helping Greece cover its immediate capital requirements. I don't think UK folk will be too happy at this prospect, it's all to do with UK's exposure to an earlier European bailout fund: http://www.investoo.co.uk/uk-c....

    1. Re:UK's role by Cederic · · Score: 1

      It's a cheap way to teach politicians and europhiles that joining the Euro would be a fucking nightmare.

    2. Re:UK's role by cheesybagel · · Score: 0

      That's typical German. They "pay" with someone else's money.

  68. The number of naive posts in this article is sad. by jammz · · Score: 1

    So many people just buy the BS rhetoric: "Greece spent too much." It seems like so few bother to study the issues or actually look at multiple examples around the globe. Greece collapsed like others before it: for the benefit of big banks & their profits. I'm not going to bother explaining the whole situation, I doubt many would even bother to read it if I did.

    For those few who are curious, here's a decent starting place and this one too.

  69. Re:The number of naive posts in this article is sa by jammz · · Score: 1

    For those who can't be bothered to read, here's a 2 min video that explains it in terms of "privatization" that will benefit foreign companies.

  70. No means no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Greek govt choose to implement the no mandate by saying yes, getting more money, and then doing nothing, or worse.

    The fault here is in the rest of the EuroZone for putting up with this yet again.

  71. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Had Greece stayed out of the Euro, they didn't even made the most simple reforms, and would still be stuck in some kind of monopolistic organized economy.
     
    Before they can export cheaply, they need to attract investment to produce cheaply. This would never happen in how the Greek economy was organized.
     
    The Greek waited way too long to do the reforms. When the finally have done all the necessary reforms, their economy can finally start growing. And the reforms is not only about cutting the pensions, but also the way how someone can start a business, how to reduce the bureaucracy, how to make people actually pay their taxes etc...
     
    But because they waited so long, the Greeks will suffer even more. But even in this awful economic reality, they still do better than pretty much all of Eastern Europe. Do the necessary reforms, help the weakest of the society, and wait for the economic recovery. That's all they can do. When they have done the necessary reforms, it will become a lot easier to invest in the local economy (by foreigners but also by the local 'rich').

    Once Greece has shown their goodwill, European leaders will trust them again. But currently, they have a communist prime minister. What right wing ministers trust communists?

  72. Re:Sad to see the Naizs win again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    or greece or anyone else. they'd be romania today if their debt wasn't written off. let's not forget usa and it's debt. always being smart about what eu should be doing. in all honesty only the chinese should be allowed to give advice or demand anything from anyone.

  73. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  74. Al Murray sums it up perfectly by norite · · Score: 1
    --
    -- Fuck Beta
  75. The whole thing is a shakedown by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I read this on the weekend http://globalresearch.ca/greece-the-one-biggest-lie-you-are-being-told-by-the-media/5460508

    It's horrific, the media spin is telling only one side of the story. Every country needs to start doing what Iceland did http://www.vox.com/2015/6/9/8751267/iceland-capital-controls

  76. Re:Sad to see the Naizs win again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    War reparations anyone? Mind you, Germany overall has got it pretty clean so far.

  77. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by roman_mir · · Score: 1

    You are an idiot. Debts that are not repaid by creating actual economic output and instead used for consumption purposes do not generate economic growth.

  78. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by Cyberax · · Score: 0

    You are an idiot, provably. Your models give predictions that don't work. Mine do.

    So instead of reconsidering your worldview you simply bury your head deeper in your anus. German economic "growth" was caused by forcing all the peripheral countries to carry the inefficiency of the German economy. For example, lazy Germans work 60% of hours compared to Greek workers and enjoy greater labor protections.

  79. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by roman_mir · · Score: 1

    What the fuck are you talking about? My models give predictions that work exactly as they are supposed to, which is why I knew about the coming 2008 collapse, the coming USD collapse and of-course as a result of the USD collapse the coming bond market collapse. My model does not try to predict the exact timing of the collapse, that's impossible.

    Your model predicts that if you print more money you will need to print more money, that's all it does.

    I lived in Germany for such a long time that I can with absolute certainty tell you that any inefficiency in that economy is only caused by the monetary policy that you espouse - printing money. They absolutely should not print money, the Swiss are showing them how its done. Greeks can never repay their debts and it doesn't matter how much an 'average Greek' is working. You can be 'working' digging ditches and filling them up all you want, which is exactly the model that you espouse, you and other morons like Krugman. Germans can absolutely afford to work fewer hours, as they are very efficient because of the capital that they built up and created the tools that make them so efficient.

    You have no idea what productivity is, you have no idea what efficiency means. In the former USSR people were 100% occupied and produced JACK SHIT compared to 'lazy' almost anybody at the time.

  80. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by Cyberax · · Score: 1

    What the fuck are you talking about? My models give predictions that work exactly as they are supposed to, which is why I knew about the coming 2008 collapse

    No, you haven't. Where is that hyperinflation caused by all this fiat money? Hiding under the bed? Why hasn't the stock market collapsed once QE had stopped?

    the coming USD collapse and of-course as a result of the USD collapse the coming bond market collapse.

    Oh, a coming collapse. Is it like the second coming of Jesus? When are we going to see it? The century or the next one?

    I'm willing to bet 1kg of gold (or its equivalent in any other reliable currency) that there'll be no USD collapse (defined as sustained hyperinflation or exchange rate collapse) in the coming 3 years. Do you wish to enter this bet?

  81. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by roman_mir · · Score: 1

    Hyperinflation is the worst case scenario, just because somebody is smoking doesn't mean they will die from cancer, but they will have serious health consequences. Hyperinflation is cancer that smoker gets, it doesn't mean it's inevitable. I never said hyperinflation is inevitable. I am saying that currency crisis is inevitable. It will either result in a huge spike of interest rates set by the market and the Feds will stand back (fat chance) or it will result in constant pressure by the Feds printing to prevent the huge spike of interest rates, collapsing the currency with very high inflation. Hyperinflation is only one possible outcome of many other horrible outcomes.

    As to the stock market - it is in a bubble, so is bond market, which is the largest bubble. However you are so fucking stupid, you don't realise that in case of hyperinflation (or even just very high inflation) the stock market is where money flows to OUT of currency. Everybody is trying to buy something to get out of the inflated currency.

    USA is much bigger than Greece, its debts are gigantic compared to Greece, but it is outsourcing its inflation to the rest of the world. The Chinese are printing to absorb inflation created by the USA Fed and Chinese prices are going up. USA is seeing rising prices that is some of its inflation making it back home from around the world, this process accelerates.

    Your entire position is that of an idiot, saying that just because the patient is not dead yet, the course he is on is ok.

    The smoker doesn't have cancer yet - keep smoking.

    You read my previous comment, where I specifically said I do not predict exact timing, only the most likely scenarios based on the course of action that is being taken and you immediately goad me into making a TIME BET? What the fuck is wrong with you, what the brain has completely dried out in that idiotic head of yours?

    Oh, and as I said: USSR - 100% occupancy. SO fucking what?

  82. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by Cyberax · · Score: 1

    I never said hyperinflation is inevitable.

    You did. Don't lie.

    You read my previous comment, where I specifically said I do not predict exact timing, only the most likely scenarios based on the course of action that is being taken and you immediately goad me into making a TIME BET? What the fuck is wrong with you, what the brain has completely dried out in that idiotic head of yours?

    So you're telling me that your predictions are true. But they are just delayed by an unspecified amount of time, rapidly approaching infinity.

    How about the same bet for the next 5 years, then? I'd bet for an even longer time, but I have much better use for my money over longer periods.

    So how about this - we both put 1kg of gold in an escrow account with a reputable company and in 5 years I take all of it. If in the meantime an incident of hyperinflation happens, then you take all of the gold immediately. Are you willing to follow through your believes?

    Don't have 1kg of gold now? I'm willing to give you a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity! You can place an IOU for $40000 into escrow instead of gold (I'll be placing real gold bullion).

  83. Not really by aepervius · · Score: 1

    I doubt anybody in EU think they (greece) will repay all. but what they want is a meaningful reform and a sign that greece attempt to pay *part* of it and reform itself so that in future they don't go into new spending spree. The last bit being important because if they stay in the EU with restructured debt, if there is no meaningful reform to limit new borrowing and spending.... Then in 10 years we are back to the same crisis. This is the last part that the "forgive all greece debt" camp seem to overlook.

    --
    C. Sagan : A demon haunted world:
    http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0345409469/
    visit randi.org
  84. Greek Bailout by hackus · · Score: 1

    What I find fascinating is that:

    1) The sums are gigantic and no way could the Greek People incur that sort of debt.
    2) Most if not all of the Bailout money goes to Germany's and EU's banks. while 5% of the total bailout will be used to capitalize EU banks in Greece.
    3) Greece is forced to sell most of its assets, including such things as islands, airports and public historical monuments to private EU bankers.

    Finally, how the Greek PM royally screwed the Greek people. Since most of the assets will be stolen by the bankers, there is no possible way the economy will ever recover under those conditions to pay any of the money back ever.

    So it would seem the end game for these little dealings is the countries natural resources and assets.

    The EU bankers (Troika) could care less about the paper, they want the assets.

    It is fascinating to watch a people completely sell themselves into slavery and subjugation.

    Grab the popcorn this is going to get really good about a year from now when te average guy on the street finally figures it out.

    --
    Got Geometrodynamics? Awe, too hard to figure out? Too bad.
  85. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by adhdengineer · · Score: 1

    It does work quite well. If you don't tell everyone you're employing game theory so they can work out your bluffing.

  86. This is what happens... by frank_adrian314159 · · Score: 1

    When you let the Masters of the Universe (TM) take over, you get chaos, destruction, and fear. Better to simply say no.

    --
    That is all.
  87. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by Xest · · Score: 1

    "It's amazing isn't it? We've got so much information available at the touch of our fingers, yet we can't be bothered to spend the *seconds* it would take to find a source document regarding the matter at hand."

    But that might mean us finding out that we were wrong about something, and no one is ever wrong on the internet.

  88. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by DiehardIndependent · · Score: 1

    The horror! The horror!

  89. Isnt' Germany supposed to sign a UN document? by whitroth · · Score: 1

    I mean, the US and the UK did, after invading and conquering Iraq, stating that they took responsibility, and that they had invaded and conquered.

    Alternatively, I propose that Greek citizens be entitled to vote in the German national elections.

                            mark

  90. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

    German people are not interested in donating (and lets be clear, this is a donation, not a loan) more money to the Greeks standing with their hands out.

    They should donate money to Greece. Greece has a lot of geopolticial importance and serves as a stopgap in a lot of ways. Their larger than normal military expenditures allow Germany to have lower than normal military expenditures.

    --
    Your ad here. Ask me how!
  91. If you can't PRINT currency by mundlapati · · Score: 1

    If you can't PRINT currency, you cease to exist as a nation. You're no different than a Corporation; http://www.lietaer.com/2010/03...

  92. How to increase productivity by GPS+Pilot · · Score: 1

    When you borrow money, you are actually borrowing it from your future. Yes it is the creditors who gave you the money, but you pay it back to them in the future. The net effect is then that you are taking money from your future, and spending it today.

    You have it completely right, of course, and Gov. Schwarzenegger had it completely wrong when he subversively convinced millions of fellow Californians that deficit spending is "a gift from the future." (The citizens of the future will correctly view it as "larceny from the past.")

    Increase avreage Greek productivity. That's what the privatization requirements and other reform measures in this package aim to do.

    I don't hear anyone arguing with this. Which is interesting; basically everyone is admitting that private enterprises are able to extract more productivity than state-owned enterprises.

    In other circumstances, some people forget this principle and argue vehemently for nationalization (as with single-payer healthcare -- as if eliminating the plurality of insurers who compete with each other on the basis of low premiums, would somehow cause premiums to fall).

    --
    That that is is that that that that is not is not.
  93. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by Uberbah · · Score: 1

    and no one is ever wrong on the internet.

    O'RLY.

    God you just failed so hard. The amount of arrogance you show when you post so aggressively when you do it makes it all the more funny. If you didn't always post like such an ass then you could at least get away with it just being an honest mistake, we all make them, but the way you blah blah blah blah The way you desperately try and salvage with the chairman thing whilst still demonstrating you don't know what powers a chairman has

    To paraphrase Churchill: at the end of the night, I fucked up on a date. At the end of the week, you're a fuckup who can't read and has no idea what power a chairman has. I'll speak slowly and use small words:

    To start with, Gates was Ballmer's boss. You do know that the CEO answers to the board of directors, yes? You also know that Microsoft hasn't lost their dominance because Ballmer picked the wrong release date for Office 2010 or hired a slacker for Marketing, yes?

    They've been left behind by their lack of vision. Vision can come from the CEO - but it can also come from the Board. You know, the people in charge of the overall welfare of the company, not just day to day operations? At any number of times, Gates could have called up Ballmer to talk about how to get ahead of this iPod thing. Or this Amazon thing. Or this iPhone thing. Or this Facebook thing - which at one point Microsoft could have bought for a couple billion, couch money for them. Acquisitions that would be approved by.....the Board of Directors. Chaired by Bill.

    But none of that happened, because Gates has no more vision than Ballmer, not because he no longer had a powerful position at the company.

    Which was my point from the beginning.

    leaves you such a massive laughing stock when you get it so badly wrong as you frequently do

    So frequently, eh? Can you even name the last time? I like to know what I'm talking about, as I don't suffer fools gladly, and there are a lot of fools around here. Like people who don't bother to take two seconds to read that Gate's retirement was already mentioned, and have no idea WTF they're talking about when it comes to corporate executives.

    So how about you, Xest? Still writing third rate propaganda demanding harsh action on Iran, when the NPT allows them to enrich uranium at any level they choose, and for the nuclear weapons program that even Mossad says they don't have?

  94. Re:Very important link left out: the agreement tex by Xest · · Score: 1

    Aww bless, my very own cyberstalker, and one that's nearly always wrong on the internet too! How on topic!