Slashdot Mirror


Bill Nye: Climate Change Denial Is 'Running Out of Steam,' Thanks To Millennials (mic.com)

An anonymous reader shares with us an article on Mic: Famed science educator Bill Nye has long been an outspoken critic of people who continue to doubt climate change, the main driver of freaky weather patterns, rising global temperatures and sea level rise around the globe. In an interview with Mic, Nye said that despite lingering skepticisms, there is nearly 100% scientific consensus that climate change is happening and is here to stay -- and people are becoming increasingly anxious about its effects on the planet, particularly younger generations. "Almost every person in denial about climate change is older," Nye said. "It's very hard to find a millennial-aged person that is not concerned about climate change. I think the climate denial movement is running out of steam, I guess that's a pun."

837 comments

  1. Semantics by jbmartin6 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I know just being picky, but no one doubts that climate change is behind changes in climate. I don't think anyone doubts climate change. Now perhaps some doubt anthropogenic climate change, technically this summary doesn't mention that.

    --
    This posting is provided 'AS IS' without warranty of any kind, implied or otherwise.
    1. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I know a number of people who don't think the climate is changing at all, anthropogenically or otherwise. "Weather changes all the time!" they exclaim. One of them is running for President.

      Never doubt the potential of human stupidity or denial.

    2. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      i doubt it!

    3. Re:Semantics by Trailer+Trash · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I know just being picky, but no one doubts that climate change is behind changes in climate. I don't think anyone doubts climate change. Now perhaps some doubt anthropogenic climate change, technically this summary doesn't mention that.

      Most people believe in climate change simply because it's been observable over my lifetime. The temperate zone chart has moved up something like half a zone during that time. In other words, if you used to be in the middle of zone 6 you're now at the top of zone 7. There's been a marked change in some areas.

      What Bill Nye doesn't like is that most "deniers" aren't denying actual change - they're "denying" that it's going to end in a huge catastrophe like Bill Nye, Al Gore and company like to say. Remember how the polar ice caps are supposed to be gone by now, snow is done, etc. etc.? People take notice of these things.

      And the old "Al Gore isn't a scientist" canard is wonderful, but the bottom line is that he's been leading the charge for years, and cashing in on it. And he's not the only one.

    4. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      No, you're not being picky. You've merely described one of the tricks the AGW proponents use in their arguments.

    5. Re:Semantics by goltz20707 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Oops, that was me. Forgot to log in. Signed, Anonymous Coward.

    6. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >and cashing in on it
      That's funny. how much money are we talking about (source?) and how much money is in the fossil fuel business ?

    7. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      All of these things happen, and it's easy to find them all over the Internet:

      - People saying the climate didn't change.
      - People saying the climate does change, but it doesn't matter.
      - People saying the climate does change, and it does matter, but it's not human's fault.
      - People saying the climate does change, and it does matter, and it's (at least in part) human's fault, but we can't fix it.
      - People saying the climate does change, and it does matter, and it's (at least in part) human's fault, and maybe we can fix it, but it's not worth it to try.
      - People saying the climate does change, and it does matter, and it's (at least in part) human's fault, and maybe we can fix it, but it's actually a good thing.

    8. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't forget the huge benefits we get from fossil fuels.

    9. Re:Semantics by religionofpeas · · Score: 5, Informative

      I don't think anyone doubts climate change.

      Ted Cruz does. He's arguing that the global temperature hasn't gone up in the last 2 decades, for example.

    10. Re:Semantics by Sir_Eptishous · · Score: 0

      Actually, if you had been paying attention, the predictions from five, ten or twenty years ago were less less dyer than the current predictions and recent observed changes in the climate.

      --
      We play the game with the bravery of being out of range
    11. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, at least you used an appropriate name...

      There has been a huge concerted effort by people who profit from selling and burning fossil fuels to deny everything possible about climate change

      This is for the primary purpose of delaying anything that would reduce their profits from the resources which they have spent money to acquire

      We should all be adult enough to recognize that this desire to protect an investment is the primary reason for the narrow and well-funded propaganda campaign to deny climate change, or any potential industry cause for climate change

      When you reduce your argument to pejoratives and personal slight, then YOU expose all of your arguments to be trivial and, to an informed audience, unbelievable

    12. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're being overly pedantic. It's pretty well understood that when people talk about "climate change" that it's a short-cut for "anthroprogenic climate change."

    13. Re:Semantics by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      I think the context is pretty bloody clear.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    14. Re:Semantics by guises · · Score: 4, Insightful

      most "deniers" aren't denying actual change anymore

      You missed a pretty important part of that sentence there, deniers have been and continue to deny whatever they can get away with when it comes to climate change. In the face of a lot of publicity from the likes of the people you mention, what they can get away with has changed rapidly in recent years from "It doesn't exist." to "It's not our fault." to "Well so what if it is our fault, it's not such a big deal anyway."

      Eventually, eventually, they will run out of excuses and actually make some changes. Very small ones at first, no doubt, coupled with a lot of fan-fare saying "This is surely enough to placate those crazy environmentalist pinheads." I'm too much of a cynic to believe that things will progress beyond that, but that doesn't I'm just going to give up and roll with it.

    15. Re:Semantics by BlueCoder · · Score: 1

      Precisely. A dozen different subjects and doubts are attributed to "climate change deniers."

      Climate on earth is not static and never has been. The polar caps have melted and come back many times. Extinction has always happened.

      The discussion of "anthropocentric climate change" needs to change into the argument that we need to actively engineer the worlds climate and how to do it and how we can agree on what the climate should be. A warmer earth will actually be beneficial to some.

      All that exists now are doomsday profits that can't wait to put "See I told you so" on their gravestones without actually doing anything.

    16. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't forget the huge benefits we get from fossil fuels.

      Progressives don't think that way. The only benefit to their causes is whether or not it makes them feel good about themselves.

    17. Re:Semantics by MightyMartian · · Score: 2

      Changes in rain belts is going to have massive effects, and not just with brown skinned people with funny names in parts of the world many in the West don't know much about and care even less about. Try to ponder North American rain belts shifting a few degrees northward. That means large part of the Great Plains could become far less productive, and meanwhile the grain belt shifts northward in Canada. While that seems okay, that means a tipping of the agricultural balance of power in North America, and whatever it's about, it's always about food.

      But for some areas it will be catastrophic. Sea level rises are going to make coastal areas even in the industrialized world more difficult to maintain, and some areas, like big portions of Florida, will likely end up having to be abandoned.

      This isn't even talking about CO2 absorption in the world's oceans which are having an increasing effect on aquatic ecologies. Fisheries could collapse, and considering how important sea-based protein is to millions of people, it's hard to see how that is going to end well.

      Yes, the industrialized world will make it through, largely because of the vast amounts of money most industrialized nations can throw at the problems AGW will cause. But there are a lot of people who are not so fortunate, and for them it very well could be catastrophic.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    18. Re:Semantics by MightyMartian · · Score: 5, Insightful

      People used to get huge benefits from being able to flush their shit into the nearest waterway. That is, until they rendered the nearest waterway a poisonous stew.

      Just because something has a short term benefit doesn't mean you can just happily ignore the long term effects.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    19. Re:Semantics by religionofpeas · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The polar caps have melted and come back many times.

      But not many times this has happened over a few decades. http://www.skepticalscience.co... while millions of people were living in coastal zone cities.

    20. Re:Semantics by GameboyRMH · · Score: 0

      Semantic pedantry - any form of climate denial is equally bad and they all rely on a conspiracy theory.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    21. Re:Semantics by religionofpeas · · Score: 5, Insightful

      "It doesn't exist." to "It's not our fault." to "Well so what if it is our fault, it's not such a big deal anyway."

      Followed by "it's too late to do anything about it now"

    22. Re:Semantics by reboot246 · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Well, it looks to me like the propaganda has been nearly 100% effective. Notice that it has not been as effective on people who are older than millennials. Wonder why?

      Even if Bill Nye and his kind get everything they want, in a couple of hundred years who will be able to tell if they were right or wrong? There won't be much "civilization" left. The world will look like the movie 'Idiocracy".

    23. Re:Semantics by danbob999 · · Score: 2

      Not exactly. Some people are denying the fact that the climate is changing, no matter if it is anthropogenic or not.

    24. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Remember how the polar ice caps are supposed to be gone by now, snow is done, etc. etc.?"

      I don't remember that because other than really bad Hollywood science fiction movies I don't remember anyone claiming that. The waning of the Arctic sea ice and the polar ice sheets is a very real process, but the change takes a long time to unfold. I don't recall anyone suggesting it should be "gone by now".

    25. Re:Semantics by CWCheese · · Score: 0, Troll

      "deniers" never were deniers in the first place, they are dedicated and honest scientists, mathematicians, and engineers who can see plainly the severe failings of the GCM (models) and are loathe to let such anti-intellectualism proliferate without warning the public.

      --
      Have a Day!
    26. Re:Semantics by ihtoit · · Score: 1, Troll

      well, Gore's documentary grossed half a billion (that's BILLION with a "B") Dollars in the US in its first eighteen weeks.

      Propaganda makes a LOT of money.

      Oh. Source

      --
      Political debates have me rolling my eyes so much I think I got optical whiplash. I should sue. - Foamy The Squirrel
    27. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If that's the measure then it's hardly something peculiar to "progressives", whatever that's supposed to mean. It's a basic problem with anything that someone doesn't like to hear.

    28. Re:Semantics by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      And he's right.

      Thank you for proving my point. Funny how you didn't respond to parent post saying that you're one of the people denying climate change.

    29. Re:Semantics by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 4, Informative

      I know just being picky, but no one doubts that climate change is behind changes in climate. I don't think anyone doubts climate change. Now perhaps some doubt anthropogenic climate change, technically this summary doesn't mention that.

      Well... As recently as Feb 2015, Senator Jim Inhofe, Republican from Oklahoma, chairman of the Environment and Public Works Committee, with jurisdiction over climate issues, brought a snowball onto the Senate floor to offer persuasive evidence climate change was a hoax. This would just be funny, if he weren't (a) a US Senator, (b) chairman of an Environment committee.

      Links: Google (About 198,000 results)

      • https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/02/26/jim-inhofes-snowball-has-disproven-climate-change-once-and-for-all/
      • http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2015/03/06/jim-inhofe-genesis_n_6815270.html
      • yada, yada, yada
      --
      It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    30. Re:Semantics by tsphillips · · Score: 1

      If climate change is not anthropogenic, it is a bit arrogant to think that humans can do much about it. If climate change is anthropogenic, it is a bit arrogant to think the species that caused such a calamitous problem is the same species that can fix that problem. The Dust Bowl in the U.S. was just the tiniest taste of how powerless humans really are.

    31. Re:Semantics by Hylandr · · Score: 3, Insightful

      This could not have been said more eloquently.

      Now if everyone could realize Bill Nye is an *entertainer* and stop taking their science from the entertainment industry.

      --
      ~ People that think they are better than anyone else for any reason are the cause of all the strife in the world.
    32. Re: Semantics by tysonedwards · · Score: 5, Interesting

      "Scientists" say the ship is sinking. Then why is my end 200 feet in the air?

      --
      Thirty four characters live here.
    33. Re:Semantics by Z00L00K · · Score: 4, Informative

      At the same time there's an article in Nature indicating that the climate has varied a lot more than what we see in the reference model: http://www.nature.com/nature/j...

      (OK, I haven't read the full article)

      --
      If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
    34. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is exactly what the alarmists do. They show evidence for actual climate change, which is real, then pretend it's because of CO2, which it absolutely isn't. Anyone who quite correctly points out the truth is treated as if they're denying the climate change, not the human involvement.

    35. Re:Semantics by mrchaotica · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Screw "all over the Internet;" it's easy enough to find them being said by the same idiot, during the same conversation, in sequence as each argument gets demolished.

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    36. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, if you had been paying attention, the predictions from five, ten or twenty years ago were less less dyer than the current predictions and recent observed changes in the climate.

      The word you are looking for is dire.

    37. Re:Semantics by radarskiy · · Score: 1

      "no one doubts that climate change is behind changes in climate."

      Yes, they do. The whole point of the claim of the stall since '98 is that the climate hasn't changed.

    38. Re:Semantics by budgenator · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The point isn't "Is the Climate Changing" because the climate is always changing, the points are
      1. is the change due to anthropogenic CO2 emissions, (probably a little bit)
      2. if the change is due to anthropogenic CO2 emissions, will the rate of change accelerate, decelerate or stay linear as CO2 increases,
      3. if we reduce CO2 levels, will the Earth actually cool
      4. can we reduce CO2 levels without killing off billions of people
      5. is the change due to land use changes, (probably a fair bit?)
      6. have you really seen any climate change over your lifetime, even the alarmist are saying it's less than a degree
      7. if the denialists are in thrall to "Big Oil", why do you assume the Alarmists aren't in the other sides pocket
      Bill Nye is an engineer by training, a professional Entertainer by trade and not afraid to commit scientific fraud for "dramatic effect".
      OBTW "It's very hard to find a millennial-aged person that is not concerned about climate change. I think the climate denial movement is running out of steam, I guess that's a pun." is a manipulative sales technique known as social validation, it's rather effective on persons with narcissistic tendencies; it strongly appeals to the hive-mind drive to be "one of the cool kids".

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    39. Re:Semantics by wisnoskij · · Score: 3

      Umm, it seems pretty clear that with a quote like "Weather changes all the time!" that they actauly do not doubt that the climate is changing at all.

      --
      Troll is not a replacement for I disagree.
    40. Re:Semantics by Bengie · · Score: 1

      Remember how the polar ice caps are supposed to be gone by now, snow is done, etc. etc.?

      The North Pole has shrunk enough to open up some water that hasn't been opened in tens of thousands of years. Now they're running fiber from London to Japan over the cap to shave off some tens of milliseconds. And the North Pole is 45% gone. Not too far off of the prediction of 100%. Just a factor of 2.

    41. Re: Semantics by TheReaperD · · Score: 2, Funny

      As a karma whore, is resent/resemble that remark, you insensitive clod!

      --
      "Be particularly skeptical when presented with evidence confirming what you already believe." -
    42. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't deny climate change. It's been changing since there was a climate. I as well as Ted Cruz don't think man made climate change has been proven to the point to require massive social engineering and government spending. It's your religion, go pray for my sins.

    43. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are wrong. Lots of people will say they doubt Climate Change is a factor in our changing climate because they've bee programmed to deny anything that sounds like Global Warming and we all know Climate Change is Global Warming rebanded becaise liberals are such pussies they can't even stand their ground on the wording of entirely non political scientific weather theroies.

      You will also see people deny Global Warming more than Climate Change even though they know that Climate Change is nothing more than Global Warming rebranded to help dumb fuck conservatives deal with their mental blocks caused by years of brainwashing. Liberals just update the name and try again until willful ignorance is replaced by warranted fear.

      In reality liberals should not rebrand and should stick the point hard that they told you so since at least the 80s.

    44. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...and yet you cared enough about what he said to comment

    45. Re:Semantics by jbmartin6 · · Score: 2

      Thomas Jefferson was also convinced there was something wrong with the climate, due to observable changes over his lifetime. And now that I re-read that, I'm not quite sure what my point is.

      --
      This posting is provided 'AS IS' without warranty of any kind, implied or otherwise.
    46. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Off top of my head, one NASA scientist in 2000 said the ice caps would be gone by 2012. Don't remember his name off the top of my head, so google that shit will ya?

    47. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      WTF? That's a piss poor example. The dust bowl was caused by and fixed by humans. Maybe you should watch the Ken Burns documentary? It's not that long actually (well, compared to others he's done).

    48. Re: Semantics by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      ...because the other end... isn't.

      I know, that's what you were implying. I just liked saying it. :)

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    49. Re:Semantics by MrTester · · Score: 1, Informative

      There is a difference between "weather" and "climate."

      Yes, weather changes all the time. The climate tells you what the expected variations of weather should be. If you are seeing weather consistently outside of those patterns, then either your understanding of the climate is wrong (i.e. its based on 100 years of weather, but there is a 200 year cycle of weather patterns) or the climate is changing.

    50. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Of course it has. Your car has also slowed to a stop from speeds greater than 60 mph I bet, but are you willing to ride it in to see what happens when that slowing takes place in one hundredth the "normal" distance?

    51. Re:Semantics by budgenator · · Score: 1, Informative

      The satellite record pretty much agrees with Cruz, hasn't been any statistically significant warming (as in temperature) for over 18 years in the satellite data. USCRN hasn't shown any significant warming either; HADCRUT, GISTEMP, BEST and USHCN show some warming.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    52. Re:Semantics by randallman · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If by propaganda you mean 30+ years of peer reviewed scientific work, then yes. It should be enough that we've changed the composition of the atmosphere of the one habitable planet we have. But "deniers" demand 100% proof of future devastation while offering ABSOLUTELY NOTHING in legitimate scientific evidence. This is Slashdot, a website for Nerds. Of all places, people here should understand how critical the scientific method and peer reviewed is to sound science.

      BTW, what exactly does Bill Nye want? What's in it for him that he would risk his reputation defending "propaganda"?

      Oh, and my ID is lower than yours. I don't buy your wisdom by age argument.

    53. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "It doesn't exist." to "It's not our fault." to "Well so what if it is our fault, it's not such a big deal anyway."

      Followed by "it's too late to do anything about it now"

      And "It was the democrats/republicans fault for not acting sooner"

    54. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Climate does change. Humans might have some small part in that. Far more massive forces are the drivers - the sun, the earth's own core and oceans. Bill Nye is not a scientist, just a left-wing God-hating talking head, exploiting current trends to have a 'career' and 'fame'. People like him have destroyed our society. It goes like this: these activists rant and rave, have Carbon Taxes and other such BS implemented, then all the manufacturing closes down, jobs are lost - and the manufacturing moves to India or China where there is zero emissions / pollution oversight. So the environmental impact is increased, our economies die off, but we all line up like sheeple for the next shiny 70" TV, 10" slablet and iGadget. The play jewellery your little kids want is laden with lead, cadmium and arsenic. The plastics your daily household items are made of is inferior and has a massive impact from making it - now hidden far away in a sludge pond in a remote province of China. A recent article on ./ mentioned you still need to make widgets to have an economy, but to restart any manufacturing is too expensive and you cannot compete any more. Thank you Bill Nye and your beigeist friends, who have been relentlessly working this agenda over the past few decades.

    55. Re:Semantics by Layzej · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The RSS satellite record shows warming of between -0.177 to 0.199 C/decade since 1998. Because of this large uncertainty in over the period you end up with a result that is consistent with predictions. Uncertainty could be reduced by picking a larger period, but then you start to see the long term warming trend and you remain consistent with predictions. Ted Cruz doesn't really get it.

      Curiously, if you split the RSS record at 1997, you will find the trend after 1997 is almost flat (with very large uncertainty), and the trend before 1997 is flat (with large uncertainty). But the trend over the whole period shows a strong warming trend (with narrow uncertainty). How can this be? No warming before, and no warming after, but warming over the whole period? See here for example: http://phosphorus.github.io/ap...

    56. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      None of the people running for Pres are stupid. Every single one of them knows exactly the effects man is having on the earth. The evidence is obvious. You don't get that far in life by being a dolt. The bliss of selective ignorance isn't a luxury you can afford when you're presidential material.

      What you say and do when you have that knowledge is entirely different. When you know the truth, but go on to publicly deny it- well knowing you're complicit in the harm.

      That's what we call evil.

    57. Re:Semantics by 0dugo0 · · Score: 1

      Generation X here, I was taught that climate was the 30 year average weather.

    58. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Um... you would think that yes, but NO, the polar ice at the north pole has shrank much more than you know

      https://www.google.com/search?q=uss+skate&source=lnms&tbm=isch&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwiQ7vm_xf3LAhWBnJQKHVf0CwwQ_AUICSgD&biw=1248&bih=658#tbm=isch&q=uss+skate+north+pole

    59. Re:Semantics by khelms · · Score: 1

      Wait. Politicians LIE to get elected!???

    60. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're joking right?

      http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/earth/energy/6491195/Al-Gore-could-become-worlds-first-carbon-billionaire.html

    61. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Statistics aren't actually real science. So.

    62. Re:Semantics by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      I know just being picky, but no one doubts that climate change is behind changes in climate. I don't think anyone doubts climate change. Now perhaps some doubt anthropogenic climate change, technically this summary doesn't mention that.

      Technically, the summary is about that. Maybe this implies that this "doubt" is actually just an inability to read and understand the subject matter properly.

    63. Re:Semantics by KeensMustard · · Score: 2
      So this situation could be worse than predicted by the science?

      And why is this a reason to do nothing again?

    64. Re:Semantics by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      What Bill Nye doesn't like is that most "deniers" aren't denying actual change - they're "denying" that it's going to end in a huge catastrophe like Bill Nye, Al Gore and company like to say.

      Which 'catastrophe' in particular do they have doubts about? When did Bill Nye reference it?

      Remember how the polar ice caps are supposed to be gone by now, snow is done, etc. etc.? People take notice of these things.

      Nope, don't remember that. But I'm sure you can quote a paper which predicts there will be no snow and no antarctic or arctic ice cap by April 2016.

    65. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Argument win! Climate change can't be real because something Al Gore did.

    66. Re:Semantics by DamnOregonian · · Score: 1

      Don't forget the huge benefits we get from energy sources.

      FTFY.

      Extra credit: See if said benefits exist with other energy sources without the terrible hidden cost of trying to give the Earth a Cretacious period climate again.

    67. Re:Semantics by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Remember how the polar ice caps are supposed to be gone by now, snow is done, etc. etc.?
      If anybody claimed that, he is an idiot.
      If someone believed it, he likely is even more an idiot.

      I never saw such a claim, any links?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    68. Re:Semantics by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      For Al Gore, it's about $100 million he's made, mainly on making investments in green companies that received billions in Federal subsidies and grants. Hmm, ex VP and presidential candidate for the Democrat Party invests in green energy, and those companies happen to receive billions and billions of dollars from the Federal Government, enabling said ex-VP to inflate his net worth from under $2 million to over $100 million. No connection there at all, eh?

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    69. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      well, Gore's documentary grossed half a billion (that's BILLION with a "B") Dollars in the US in its first eighteen weeks.

      Box Office Mojo lists the worldwide gross as $49,756,507. The imdb numbers are cumulative, not weekly. Not adjusting for inflation, a half billion dollar box office performance would put you in the #7 all time spot between The Dark Knight and The Phantom Menace.
      Source: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/m...

    70. Re:Semantics by KeensMustard · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Well, it looks to me like the propaganda has been nearly 100% effective. Notice that it has not been as effective on people who are older than millennials. Wonder why?

      Well, the basic science behind climate change can be trivially demonstrated via experiment. Probably these millennials were in school and saw that experiment or the teacher said one day "basic science behind climate change can be trivially demonstrated via experiment" in which case, they probably recognise (as most people do) that denying climate change is the same as claiming that some form of magic occurs when the radiative properties of CO2 or methane are measured. i.e. A perhaps an invisible time traveller travels to each school and interferes with the experiment to makes us think that climate change is real, for some nefarious purpose. And went back in time to change this observation every time the experiment was performed, prior to us realising its full significance. Or perhaps a deity, for some reason, wants us to think that CO2 is a greenhouse gas, when it isn't: and somehow, the earth is warmed by other means, which are for some reason not detectable.

      This is a hard narrative for people to believe. It is entirely unscientific. It doesn't really explain anything. Mostly, there is no reason for millennials, or anyone with a basic understanding of logic, to imagine that this particular piece of science is the work of an army of invisible time travelling antagonists, whereas other science is just what it seems to be.

    71. Re: Semantics by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      That's funny because the "scientists" had to change their terminology.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    72. Re:Semantics by KeensMustard · · Score: 1
      Why don't you show us this real science then?

      If the theory that CO2 is not a greenhouse gas (or sometimes, the theory that secondary forcings behave differently to record observations) is based on science, where is this science? Can we review it? Where is it published?

    73. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I know a number of people who don't think the climate is changing at all...'Weather changes all the time!' they exclaim." A lot of people think climate == weather. This could add to some of the confusion.

    74. Re:Semantics by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      6. less than a degree on average for the whole planet!

      31th december of 1974: - 30 degrees
      23rd december of 2013: + 23 degrees

      This is celsius. Feel free to check wolframalpha.com what that is in fahrenheit

      Since 15 - 20 years we have no winters anymore, I call that global warming. How you call it, is up to you.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    75. Re:Semantics by DamnOregonian · · Score: 2

      Terrible example. The Dust Bowl was in fact caused, and fixed, by the same species

    76. Re:Semantics by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      The first link clearly shows a warming trend.
      The second link is a web page about climate research, no data shown ...
      Did not bother to read the othe rlinks, they likely show no data either ...

      Is there a name for idiots that copy paste some links in the hope to win an argument and the links show nothing of relevance or even contradict the argument?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    77. Re:Semantics by hairyfeet · · Score: 1, Interesting

      So which country do you wish to murder? India? China? Because to get to the numbers they are claiming we need to reach you will have to kill a couple billion because they will have to live in conditions similar to what cave people lived in, with all the disease, starvation, and mass culling that implies.

      Of course the REAL reason many are against those preaching AGW is NOT because they don't believe we have a problem, its because their "solution" is nothing but snake oil designed to enrich a few 1% insiders by pulling a reverse robin hood on the poor and middle class. Its actual effect on the climate? Will be about as much as buying my "climate fixing rocks" which I will be happy to sell you for the low low price of $10K per person.

      Is dumping more carbon in the air bad? Yep, dumping too much of anything is bad...and the alternative is? Unless someone comes up with fusion technology or some other near limitless energy? You have several countries with billions of people that aren't gonna happily die in squalor just so you can keep your iCrap. They want to live in nice homes, have electricity and phones and laptops and fridges...you know, all the things your first world behind takes for granted? And to give them those things WILL require ever increasing carbon.

      So unless you are willing to go "final solution" on the third world? Not really any more we can do than what we are doing now, in fact what we have done now is simply cripple our own country to benefit a handful of global elite. after all you can pass all the climate laws you want, they can simply go to a third world country and have their widgets made, dump as much toxins in the air and water there as they please (because to the locals its better than starvation) and then simply slap the widgets on a ship and sell it your your little green flag waving self. All these laws you pass? Not gonna cost them a dime because they are not gonna follow them, as long as your government allows so called "free trade" they can always find another country they can pollute.

      So all you are buying is snake oil and bullshit designed to make you feel better about yourself, while screwing the poor and enriching the elite...all so you can put a "hastag i'magreen" on your tweets.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    78. Re:Semantics by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Lots of claims about ice-free Arctic waters... Even though there's a net increase in total ice at the poles, mainly due to the Antarctic adding 82 billion tons of ice a year.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    79. Re:Semantics by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2

      Meanwhile, the Antarctic ice cap is adding 82 billion tons of ice a year... Enough to offset the arctic ice loss, so the total ice mass stays the same...

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    80. Re:Semantics by Hylandr · · Score: 1

      Finally someone gets more to the point.

      Can you tell me where to find the conditions the original experiments were performed to determine CO2 raises the temperature? I know it was measured in a greenhouse but how was the CO2 generated? What was the delivery mechanism? What were the controls?

      This is a very serious request: Where can we find the accurate details on how this experiment can be replicated?

      --
      ~ People that think they are better than anyone else for any reason are the cause of all the strife in the world.
    81. Re: Semantics by CWCheese · · Score: 0

      Climate Change is real and has been for billions of years. AGWCC is a semi-religious article of faith by those who truly deny science.

      --
      Have a Day!
    82. Re:Semantics by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      Can you tell me where to find the conditions the original experiments were performed to determine CO2 raises the temperature?

      You don't know?

      I know it was measured in a greenhouse but how was the CO2 generated?

      1. Was it?

      2. You don't know?

      What was the delivery mechanism? What were the controls?

      You don't know?

      I find it hard to believe you've disproved an experiment which apparently you know nothing about.

    83. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dumping fossil fuels for energy is only a problem if you do not substitute it with a power source of similar capability and cost, which is nuclear energy

      Ask people why they do not want to use nuclear energy and you will run into a lot of fud planted by the fossil fuel industry to protect their income

      We have to change, delaying that change makes it more dangerous and the fossil fuel industry are the ones who backed us into that corner

    84. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow, talk about an absurd viewpoint. According to your viewpoint I have to cool my entire house or my bedroom won't be cooled cause its all or nothing. That is just crazy. Speeding along like nothing is wrong is not going to help anybody. If we continue then there will be mass deaths brought on my disease, stronger weather, and rising oceans. This is going to turn a lot of fertile land into desert and a lot of frozen land into fertile land. This kind of change will be very painful as we adapt. The longer we wait the more painful it will be.

      We absolutely don't need to go back to an agrarian society but we can certainly slow our rate of consumption to give us more time to deal with the problem properly.

    85. Re:Semantics by linatux · · Score: 1

      There seems to be plenty of doubt about anthropogenic climate change, but it isn't likely to win you any cash for research.
      The only news you are likely to hear is that the science is settled line, so the headline is hardly surprising.

    86. Re:Semantics by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Remember how the polar ice caps are supposed to be gone by now

      No?

      BTW: Al Gore did not make his fortune by educating people about climate science, he has testified in the Senate that he doesn't personally profit from that activity, all the money goes into the education foundation he established. Similarly none of the thousands of scientists who work on the IPCC report that Gore faithfully presented in his "movie" do not receive a dime for their countless hours of tedious work on the reports.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    87. Re: Semantics by johnsmithperson123 · · Score: 1

      I think there are four categories, really. 1. Alarmists- rabid people who believe that humans are the sole and only cause of climate change, take any Warmist or Alarmist scientist's word as doctrine, as long as it agrees with their view and tend to be prophets of doom. 2. Warmists- believe the Earth is warming up and humans have some impact, but believe that the models are generally too extreme and the policymakers summary is garbage at the IPCC. They are thoughtful and tend to make legit points and good science. Hated by deniers. 3. Skeptics- they know the climate is changing, but view humans as having a minimal impact and attribute things to solar activity and orbital variations and such. Like showing graphs of Midieval Warm Period, Ice Ages and The Pause. Generally thoughtful and have decent enough science, but hated by Alarmists. 4. Deniers- claim that the Earth is cooling down, deny all warming or climate change and believe humans have no impact on the climate. None at all. Also tend to beleive that the UN is using it to gain power and various other conspiracy theories. And of course Type 5: Don't care about climate at all; most Americans fall in this category.

    88. Re: Semantics by johnsmithperson123 · · Score: 1

      Weather is not climate. Show me evidence the entire planet is colder and such and I will believe you. For example I could use this as a valid point to say the Earth is cooling under your theory: 19xx, April 8: 60 degrees Fahrenheit 2016, April 8: 20 degrees Fahrenheit

    89. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      See carbon credit trading. Look it up yourself.

    90. Re:Semantics by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      So which country do you wish to murder? India? China? Because to get to the numbers they are claiming we need to reach you will have to kill a couple billion because they will have to live in conditions similar to what cave people lived in, with all the disease, starvation, and mass culling that implies.

      That's your claim. It's YOUR claim that mortality rate will be 20% if we cease to generate power from coal. Have the guts to own your own predictions.

      Taking you figure as read, and the fact that economists predict the cost of adapting to be approximately 5-10 times the cost of mitigating the risk so we don't face significant change, under you alternative plan (of doing nothing) 10 billion people will die. Congratulations, you just advocated killing off the human race.

      I don't think I would be exaggerating if I called you a moron. Would you agree with my assessment?

    91. Re: Semantics by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      AGW is a semi-religious article of faith by those who truly deny science.

      What science is being denied?

    92. Re:Semantics by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      The point isn't "Is the Climate Changing" because the climate is always changing, the points are

      1. is the change due to anthropogenic CO2 emissions, (probably a little bit)

      2. if the change is due to anthropogenic CO2 emissions, will the rate of change accelerate, decelerate or stay linear as CO2 increases,

      3. if we reduce CO2 levels, will the Earth actually cool

      Let me stop you there. That's not a list of points. That is a list of things you don't personally know. If you are ignorant of the science, that is YOUR fault. Nobody has been given the job of ensuring that you are up to date with the facts. If you want to dispute the factual basis of AGW, you need to know what it is before you can credibly dispute it. Ignorance of facts is not a dispute of facts.

    93. Re:Semantics by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      The satellite record [woodfortrees.org] pretty much agrees with Cruz, hasn't been any statistically significant warming (as in temperature) for over 18 years in the satellite data

      You've (deliberately?) selected a subset of data that only reports on the anomaly in the tropical/subtropical regions. A different set of data covering the regions where the anomaly is the most evident (at the poles) yields a different result.

      But I suspect you already knew that.

    94. Re:Semantics by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      Is there a name for idiots that copy paste some links in the hope to win an argument and the links show nothing of relevance or even contradict the argument?

      I've heard the term 'liar' used in such situations.

    95. Re:Semantics by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      Precisely. A dozen different subjects and doubts are attributed to "climate change deniers."

      I wonder if that is because the same group of people provide multiple different/conflicting reasons why the established science is wrong.

      Riddle me this: if the science is wrong, why isn't there just a single explanation as to why it is wrong? Why don't you guys stick to the one line: e.g. It's the sun causing the warming?

      Seems you might make some (much needed) credibility gains by pruning out the people from you own ranks who aren't telling the truth.

    96. Re:Semantics by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      This is exactly what the alarmists do. They show evidence for actual climate change, which is real, then pretend it's because of CO2, which it absolutely isn't.

      What IS causing the climate anomaly then? Or is providing actual evidence and explanations the department of some mysterious other? When will we be able to speak to the other guy?

    97. Re:Semantics by RabidReindeer · · Score: 2

      Climate changes all the time as well.

      The fault lies in the binary assumption that climate can be changing either naturally OR because of human action, but NOT BOTH.

      Actual climate is the sum total of a number of contributors that are for the most part (excepting human growth) constantly cycling up and down over longer or shorter periods. What we're concerned with is whether or not the human contribution is pushing things to extremes and whether it's doing so so fast that neither humankind nor the planet can adapt to it.

      And even that isn't a boolean variable. If we can physically adapt but the economic consequences are ruinous, that's nearly as bad.

    98. Re:Semantics by RabidReindeer · · Score: 1

      They lie after they're elected, too. On both sides of the question. Sometimes at the same time.

    99. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And you cared enough to... Ok fuck it lets stop this here.

    100. Re:Semantics by dryeo · · Score: 1

      As the local meteorologist put it, 30 years is the minimum before considering weather as climate.
      We know there are longer climate cycles such as the Miloksevic (sp?) cycles (changes in the Earths orbit)

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
    101. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is little doubt that the climate of the Earth is changing. Global average temperatures have gone up somewhere between 0.5 and 1.5 C during the past 50-150 years. Note the almost 10x variance in these estimates from the IPCC - this is a common problem, as most climate models have large variances that are quietly dropped when alarmists get to preaching.

      However, during the past 22 years, satellite measurements, widely hailed since the 1970s as far more accurate than surface measurements, have shown no statistical warming. This is a fact. Many of the faithful believers don't like it, and have been trying to present it as a lie - but you can easily run the numbers yourself, using their own data, and see it.

    102. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nice straw men you have there.

      Gee I don't want to buy snake oil. Killing a billion people sounds bad, too. You must be right. I'm sure there is no other way.

    103. Re:Semantics by dryeo · · Score: 2

      People used to really deny that having shit in your water supply would make you sick as well. At that the whole history of the germ theory of disease was full of denial-ism, often for minor reasons. Surgeon considered his blood covered outfit to be a status symbol so no way is he going to believe that cutting open dead people and then helping a birth without washing in between could cause an increase of mother/child deaths. Shit some were just too lazy to wash their hands and so denied the evidence.
      Of course it didn't help that the evidence was mostly statistical at first and moving wells away from cesspits cost money.

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
    104. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's too bad that people won't just voluntarily lower the birth rate to a sustainable level that would eliminate our exponential population increases.

    105. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the denialists are in thrall to "Big Oil", why do you assume the Alarmists aren't in the other sides pocket

      Which pocket?
      Big Science?

    106. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your line of reasoning is basically that unless we can come up with a perfect solution overnight that we shouldn't even bother trying. I call bullshit. This is a defeatist viewpoint.

      There are plenty of meaningful things that we can do, and some are already being done.

      Increasing energy efficiency of houses/offices is relatively painless. Some efficiency investments can payback in a couple months. Especially with lighting. About half of our electricity use is lighting.

      Utility-scale solar is getting close to cost parity (in $/kwh) with coal - the worst offending fossil fuel for CO2 emissions. As coal comes offline most of these power plants are being replaced with renewables in the US. This will further drive down the cost as we move along the learning curve.

      Improvements are always being made to bring down costs of products, most of these improvements necessarily involve improving yield, reducing waste, and reducing consumed materials - in other words increased efficiency in terms of energy use and raw materials (which take energy to make).

      I could go on. The problem isn't too big, the problem is people like you who give up when confronted with a challenge. It's not too late, every small thing we do today to put ourselves on a less greenhouse emitting path will save future generations from huge headaches. Yes, we'd be in better shape if we started sooner, but it's no reason to just give up now.

    107. Re:Semantics by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      This would be the equivalent of an owner of wells drilling them into cesspools, and when someone came along and said "My microscope shows all kinds of really nasty bugs in your water, and my peers and I have determined they cause a lot of disease", basically being attacked with "You're all a bunch of frauds, consensus isn't science, and you can't trust those microscopes!"

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    108. Re: Semantics by mspohr · · Score: 1

      If people stopped eating meat, the planet could support ten times the current population.
      Now who is elite for insisting that they must eat meat?

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    109. Re:Semantics by L.+J.+Beauregard · · Score: 1

      This "Democrat Party" sounds like a lot of douchebags. Good thing I'm going to be voting for the Democratic Party.

      --
      Ooh, moderator points! Five more idjits go to Minus One Hell!
      Delendae sunt RIAA, MPAA et Windoze
    110. Re:Semantics by flyingfsck · · Score: 1

      We need a few more degrees of global warming, to make coal, to use for heating during the next ice age.

      --
      Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
    111. Re:Semantics by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Given the way the nomination is being handled by party insiders and a tight clique to crown the pre-ordained Hillary in place of Sanders, it's hardly democratic.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    112. Re:Semantics by Chas · · Score: 1

      Actually the question of whether it's anthropogenic is largely irrelevant.
      As amelioration regimens would likely need to start with anthropogenic sources in the first place.

      In short, who CARES whose fault it is. Let's just clean the shit up!

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    113. Re:Semantics by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      he has testified in the Senate that he doesn't personally profit from that activity

      And you believe him.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    114. Re:Semantics by Hylandr · · Score: 1

      I find it hard to believe you've disproved an experiment which apparently you know nothing about.

      You're closer.

      I find it hard to believe that CO2 as a causative factor in climate change has been adequately proven based on the information I have found.

      I never said I had disproved anything. I said that I doubt the science behind it, and suspect those who stand to profit of pushing their own 'beachfront property in Nevada' scheme.

      I know the answers to the questions I posed above. If you knew, and paid attention to science in highschool ( as a beginning point ) then you would understand the basics. But your responses tell me you don't know and aren't likely to look it up either.

      Arguments like yours appear to have taken a political cause and regurgitated the same tired mantra that the entertainment industry has been pushing.

      I was hoping for more information, so the rest of us can 'citizen science' and reproduce this for ourselves. Then perhaps we can finally get somewhere real.

      Bottom line is the Earth has always been changing. We have only recently become aware of it. There's so many other potential sources for the change from errors in recording, to inaccurate equipment and methods from 100 to 200 years ago to misplaced instruments within cities that can break .78% variation in observations.

      The humans need to get over themselves and understand the planet is undergoing normal changes and there are people trying to make money from it.

      --
      ~ People that think they are better than anyone else for any reason are the cause of all the strife in the world.
    115. Re:Semantics by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      Technically this should not really matter. However those who don't think it's being caused by humans also seem to have the opinion that there's no reason whatsoever to change anything. Since they think we didn't cause climate change therefore it's impossible for us to mitigate it. Which is stupid, because why argue about why the house is on fire while you're standing in the living room?

      Guess what, most earthquakes are natural and not caused by mankind, but we still should make sure we build houses according to code (and for those who are religious there is even a parable here that applies).

      There are some people I think who just refuse to believe in climate change or that it's just part of a typical trend. Some believe it's absolutely impossible because the Bible has already stated how the world will end (it's not so clearly stated though), so any claims of climate change is a secular/atheist plot and all a part of the broader culture wars. Which ignores all those verses and sermons about being good stewards and such.

    116. Re:Semantics by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      I find it hard to believe that CO2 as a causative factor in climate change has been adequately proven based on the information I have found.

      Information which apparently you lost again because when challenged to show us this information so we may critique it, you chose to pivot to your own ignorance of the subject instead. Very believable.

      I never said I had disproved anything.

      Righto. What's your timeframes on this? Should we expect your working by the end of the week? By August?

      Next year some time?

      I said that I doubt the science behind it, and suspect those who stand to profit of pushing their own 'beachfront property in Nevada' scheme.

      When called upon to show us a meaningful basis for this doubt, so we may critique it, you chose to pivot to your own ignorance of the subject instead. Very believable.

      I know the answers to the questions I posed above.

      Really? Didn't you just say that the experimental observations in relation to the radiative properties of CO2 (Fourier. Tyndal et al.) took place in a greenhouse ?

    117. Re:Semantics by Hylandr · · Score: 1

      Ok that's enough.

      I am more interested in leading a constructive conversation not waving intellectual d!cks in the air.

      When you're ready to have a constructive conversation you can PM me. I am sick and tired trying to discuss this topic with chicken littles.

      The Earth will f*cking survive and Humanity will adapt as usual it's not the end of the planet.

      Good Day.

      --
      ~ People that think they are better than anyone else for any reason are the cause of all the strife in the world.
    118. Re: Semantics by Evtim · · Score: 1

      It would not matter - the absurd demand for infinite growth will remain but it will shift entirely to planned obsolescence...if there are no new people to buy phones expect every model to last for maximum 6 months, the same for every other product. Our socio-economic model is that sick, yes!

    119. Re: Semantics by davester666 · · Score: 1

      it two or three winter's ago, there was a congressional/senate panel on climate change, big snowstorm, and of course, an R comes out for a press conference "See, it's cold and snowing out, clearly the climate isn't warming."

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    120. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because we all understand that for decades now when somebody has talked about climate change they have been talking specifically about human induced climate change on happening on a much smaller time-scale than anything we previously experienced or can find in any proxy records we have available.

      This is just like we understand that when somebody talks about democracy they are almost certainly referring to Roman style representational democracy. One can figure out what is being said here from the context - it doesn't need to be spelt out.

    121. Re:Semantics by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      The GRACE satellites which measure changes in the mass of ice by changes in gravity disagree with the NASA study you cited. A study from 2015 found that Antarctica was losing a net 92 billion tons per year from 2003 to 2014 mainly from West Antarctica. I tend to believe the GRACE data more than others because it's a relatively simple way of measuring changes in mass on the Earth. The NASA study you cited was measuring changes in the elevation of the ice in Antarctica with satellites but the elevation measurements have a lot error in them and the study made modeled assumptions about how the ice compacted rather than observations (it's a difficult place to send observers to).

    122. Re:Semantics by riverat1 · · Score: 2

      Finally someone gets more to the point.

      Can you tell me where to find the conditions the original experiments were performed to determine CO2 raises the temperature? I know it was measured in a greenhouse but how was the CO2 generated? What was the delivery mechanism? What were the controls?

      This is a very serious request: Where can we find the accurate details on how this experiment can be replicated?

      Of course John Tyndall first measured the infrared absorption characteristics of CO2 back in the 1850s. More recently an experiment that ran from 2000 to 2010 at sites in Oklahoma and the North Slope of Alaska directly measured the increase in radiative forcing from increasing CO2 from the ground.

      They found that CO2 was responsible for a significant uptick in radiative forcing at both locations, about two-tenths of a Watt per square meter per decade. They linked this trend to the 22 parts-per-million increase in atmospheric CO2 between 2000 and 2010. Much of this CO2 is from the burning of fossil fuels, according to a modeling system that tracks CO2 sources around the world.

    123. Re:Semantics by KeensMustard · · Score: 1
      I find your strategy for convincing us that the science is wrong to be a bit of a puzzle. How does chucking a tizz convince us? How does saying "I'm not convinced by the science" convince us that the science is wrong?

      Sounds to me like your argument is a bit of a burden of proof fallacy.

    124. Re:Semantics by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      To quote my reply to you above about the NASA study:

      The GRACE satellites which measure changes in the mass of ice by changes in gravity disagree with the NASA study you cited. A study from 2015 found that Antarctica was losing a net 92 billion tons per year from 2003 to 2014 mainly from West Antarctica. I tend to believe the GRACE data more than others because it's a relatively simple way of measuring changes in mass on the Earth. The NASA study you cited was measuring changes in the elevation of the ice in Antarctica with satellites but the elevation measurements have a lot error in them and the study made modeled assumptions about how the ice compacted rather than observations (it's a difficult place to send observers to).

    125. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But all this besides the point - unless you are trying to score points for pendantry

    126. Re:Semantics by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Apparently you disbelieve him simply because of who he is.

    127. Re:Semantics by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Actually both satellite temperature series have set new records recently for temperature. Here's the graph.

    128. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The population growth around the world has slowed down significantly. Check the facts, we are not living in the 70's anymore.

    129. Re:Semantics by blindseer · · Score: 3, Insightful

      He brought the snowball inside because he noted that it was not that long ago that another senator that I do not recall said that if trends continued that we would not see snow in DC by that date. Time passed, the snow fell, and the other senator was proven wrong. Senator Inhofe showed that the climate models used to predict climate change did not predict correctly.

      While past performance does not assure future results that is the wise way to bet. If the climate models predicted no snow, and snow fell, then how much faith can we put in future predictions of this kind?

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    130. Re:Semantics by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      The satellite record pretty much agrees with Cruz, hasn't been any statistically significant warming (as in temperature) for over 18 years in the satellite data.

      Actually if you extend your WoodForTrees graph for just a little bit into 2016 it shows a completely different picture. Take a look at this. Of course your starting with 1998 is a huge cherry pick. If I change the start year to 1997 it looks like this. And if you extend it to a climatologically significant 30 years you get this.

    131. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Followed by "no one could expect or imagine this!"

    132. Re: Semantics by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

      That's funny because the "scientists" had to change their terminology.

      Yeah. They started calling it "global sinking", but some idiot on the stern kept on yelling "how can this be sinking, my end is going UP", so the scientists started calling it "catastrophic depth change" which essentially means the same but it lacks the simple, mindless "rebuttal" from people who can't tell the difference between local changes and global ones.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    133. Re:Semantics by Hylandr · · Score: 1

      Thank you.

      This is much more what I was looking for.

      --
      ~ People that think they are better than anyone else for any reason are the cause of all the strife in the world.
    134. Re:Semantics by Hylandr · · Score: 1

      If you were discussing the science and offering materials to forward your argument rather than making personal attacks you would make much more progress in convincing people to consider your point of view.

      Saying I am right and you are wrong and that makes you ( fill in the blank ) for not accepting whatever ( name of the latest marinate ) has said on the subject.

      --
      ~ People that think they are better than anyone else for any reason are the cause of all the strife in the world.
    135. Re:Semantics by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Too bad I don't have a subscription, I'd like to read the whole thing.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    136. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Correct. There is no ice left in the Arctic.

    137. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 3, Interesting

      You're ignoring that during the summer opposing factions will point outside and say "look at how hot it is"... so its a double edged sword.

      You have to admit that BOTH sides have on occasion replied on some pretty specious evidence to back up their positions. I mean... the UN report that based the Himalayan glaciers retreat on a misquote from a climbing magazine that the interviewed scientist said didn't represent his position was pretty bad. It also demonstrates a despiration to find anything to support a narrative by some.

      This is not to say that anything is true or false but rather that there are sophists on both sides of this discussion. And claiming that one side is all angels and holier than thou super human humans and the other are demonic subhuman hell spawn is just demagoguery.

      Bill Nye has done nothing to contribute to a more scientific approuch in this discussion and has instead poured fuel on the flame war by saying that anyone that holds a contrary position is either stupid or a shill. Never mind the fact that quite a few of the claims have been disproven and quite a few of the predictions didn't happen.

      Hanson for example predicted that half of New York City would be underwater by now. Well, it isn't.

      The whole "the science is settled" position that Bill Nye stands behind has been debunked repeatedly not only on a case by case basis but also fundamentally as a scientific concept.

      You don't get to close the book. Ever. The science isn't settled on gravity and these people want to have it settled on something that we can't even accurately model? THAT is stupid.

      Here is what I believe:

      1. The world is warming.
      2. The seas are rising.
      3. The climate is changing.
      4. The rate of sea level rise over the last 200 years has remained pretty consistent which argues against human activity having any impact on sea level increases.
      5. Linking global temperature to human activity is very difficult. We have evidence of the temps going up and down over millions of years. And the current temps are not inconsistent with what they might have been with no humans at all.
      6. I don't think there is anything magical about CO2 that makes it more inclined to cause problems in our atmosphere than anything else. I have looked at the light spectrum absorption patterns and compared them to other common gases in our atmosphere and nearly everything in that spectrum is overlapped by other spectrums of more common gases such as water vapor. As such, I question the relevance of CO2 in this discussion at the current concentrations of the gas.
      7. The lab experiments that showed that CO2 was a green house gas are misleading in several particulars. First, any gas is a green house gas. Hydrogen can be a greenhouse gas. Helium can be a greenhouse gas... and so on. The experiments also did not account for water vapor in the chamber. The air was desiccated. I'd love to see the difference in energy absorption of two gas samples... one that contains what we think our atmosphere would be without humans... including a reasonable moisture content. And then compare that to the energy absorption of an analogue of the current atmosphere. I rather doubt the difference is going to be anything assuming the air pressure isn't changed.

      So... I am a believer in global climate change. Whether that climate is being significantly effected by human activity is something I am skeptical about. The politics on the issue are obviously tribalistic at this point and in that environment you can't cite how many people support you versus don't. Science is not a democracy. Science is not about how many people on facebook agree with you. Science isn't about voting or even what you believe.

      Science is an outgrowth of stoicism. And as much as sophists try to dominate science, the discipline itself will remain hostile ground for those that care more about winning political disputes than "being right". Stoics don't care who thinks they're right. Stoics just care if they're right.

      There is room for skepticism on many climate change issues. That's just a reality. Claiming we know more than we do is delusional.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    138. Re:Semantics by KeensMustard · · Score: 3, Informative

      If you were discussing the science and offering materials to forward your argument rather than making personal attacks you would make much more progress in convincing people to consider your point of view.

      I'm not engaged in an attempt to convince people to consider my point of view because (as Bill Nye has helpfully pointed out) the number of people who matter and who are not convinced by the science is vanishingly small, and getting smaller, and their view is their problem, not mine. There are already mechanisms in place to ensure that they will pay their due along with some extra for delaying the process, when the time comes. It's a solved problem,

      Rather, this conversation is about your assertion that the science says something other than our greenhouse gases is causing the current climate anomaly.

      Saying I am right and you are wrong and that makes you ( fill in the blank ) for not accepting whatever ( name of the latest marinate ) has said on the subject.

      I'm not saying I'm right. Your argument is with the science. You said the science was wrong. I have no reason to accept that the science is wrong from someone who doesn't even know what the science says or where it comes from.

    139. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No model predicted no snow. Another senator predicted no snow. Many senators predict the return of Jesus Christ to usher in the Final Battle and end the world as we know it.

    140. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ‘because it's been observable over my lifetime’
      When I was a teenager, it used to snow every winter. Not a lot usually, but enough for some snowball fights. Now it hardly ever snows and we can walk around without a coat in what is supposed to be midwinter.
      Conversely, we weren't happy with our summers, and often joked about the summer being the sunniest day of the year. Now we've got the opposite problem: the summers are so hot that many people are physically uncomfortable and avoid going outside.
      Meanwhile, the rising sea level is a ticking budget time bomb. It will be during my lifetime that the coastal defences have to be redone and it will be even more expensive than the previous round. It will be my generation that'll have to pay for this through the nose.

    141. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Speaking of semanitcs, who is "we" ? I presume it means your family living in your home. Obviously it doesn't make sense to think anything otherwise.

      If you choose to purchase an electronic vehicle and/or invest in solar panels, then by all means spend your money as you see fit. But if I want to buy a Hummer then that's my choice as well. If you don't like that, that's your problem - not mine.

    142. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Traffic in my city of 650,000 is insane as it is. Personally I'd love for there to be a concentrated effort to severely reduce global population. Personally I'd say under 2 billion is a nice goal - under 500 million would be phenomenal.

    143. Re:Semantics by dywolf · · Score: 1

      something isn't wrong because of who said it.
      if Bozo The Clown (may he rest in peace) talked about it, it would still scientifically accurate.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    144. Re:Semantics by BitZtream · · Score: 0

      If by propaganda you mean 30+ years of peer reviewed scientific work, then yes

      Yea, they all agree too, except when they don't ... or when they suddenly have to explain why they manipulated data to 'correct it'.

      And btw:

      <Bonnie> Hey Clyde, do you think we're bad people and we should go to jail?
      <Clyde> Hell no Bonnie, its those pesky anti-criminal coppers that are wrong, we have proof that they are holding us criminals back and harming us irreparable! Look how well we're doing and look at all this money we have since we started running this scam^H^H^Hervice.
      <Bonnie> Do you think that might have something to do with cherry picking the data we want to analyze so it supports or view point?
      <Clyde> I'm offended Bonnie, I'm a scientist, not a human being. I could never be biased, corrupt or looking for my next grant and riding the wave, thats just not possible. I'm a scientist, not a human!

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
    145. Re:Semantics by dywolf · · Score: 1

      1) Yes, a lot.
      2) Accelerate.
      3) Depends on what you mean.
      -a) Reduce emission rate? Not at first, and possibly not at all. There is an inertial factor to consider. And now that the CO2 that used to be locked up is released, it may take some considerable time for it to be locked away again, which leads to B
      -b) Reduce total concentration in atmosphere? Yes, if we can manage it. though again, there's an inertial factor.
      4) Without a doubt.
      5) Within the S, No. We sink more CO2 through land use and land use change than we emit in the process. Globally, yes. Next to CO2 emissions, its the next largest source, reducing the biological sinking of CO2, and emitting a significant amount of CO2, especially with practices such as slash/burn agriculture (a double whammy) and deforestation.
      6) I was born in 1981. In my lifetime, the global average temperatureevery year I have been alive has been above both the 100year average of the 20th Century, and the 100year running average. Essentially, if you born in the 80s or later, you have never once experienced an "average" year. Every year has been warmer than that average. And your summation of the temperature change is not accurate.
      7) Not all deniers are in thrall to Big Oil. Some are just stupid. Some do it simply out of partisan spite, the same automatic opposition that Obama faces: "well, Al Gore is against it, so it must be good!". This is also of course, ignorance.

      Bonus:
      Nye is not an entertainer. As an engineer he actually has a good grounding in science. While this alone doesn't make him correct (the source doesn't determine validity, though it may help). What makes him correct is that he is correct, ie, what he says is scientifically accurate.
      ...But as long as your dismissing someone based on qualifications: Wattsupwiththat is not a scientific nor accurate nor scientifically accurate source. And Anthony Watts actually is an entertainer by trade (we call this projection btw), being a former TV weather man lacking any training or education in weather or climate science beyond the ability to read a teleprompter and wave his hands in front of a green screen.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    146. Re:Semantics by Whibla · · Score: 1

      While I broadly agree with your position on this topic, allow me to expand upon a couple of points you've made, as well as disagree (in the loosest sense) with one of them.

      Climate changes all the time as well.

      Indeed. However, it's the current rate of change which is of immediate cause for concern. I have just thought of a suitable car analogy. Let's think of climate change (dc/dt) in a similar fashion to acceleration (dv/dt). If your moving car comes to a gentle halt dv/dt is small and negative, and you and your car remain undamaged. If, however dv/dt is large and negative, i.e you've hit something, at the very least your car is likely to suffer damage and, depending on safety features, you might too. The greater the magnitude of dv/dt the greater the damage. So it will be with dc/dt.

      The fault lies in the binary assumption that climate can be changing either naturally OR because of human action, but NOT BOTH.

      I do not know anyone, who actually has a genuine interest in the sciences, that subscribes to this false dichotomy. Clearly the Earth's axial tilt, its various gravitationally caused precessions, and the eccentricity of its orbit around the sun, while having significant effect on Earth's climate, are, for the moment anyway, firmly out of reach of mans' influence. What we do have 'control' over is the quantity of CO2 we're pumping into the atmosphere, this being the most significant lever at our disposal to influence global climate.

      What we're concerned with is whether or not the human contribution is pushing things to extremes and whether it's doing so so fast that neither humankind nor the planet can adapt to it.

      Don't worry about the planet. It will adapt just fine. The semi-stable state of todays' climatic systems might switch into new semi-stable states for example the meridional overturning circulation (basically a superset of the gulf stream) might change its terminus or stop altogether, or increasing temperatures might further increase the amount of water vapour in the atmosphere causing additional, long lived, warming, or ... well, lots of 'unhealthy' and severe changes could happen.

      I'm pretty sure mankind will adapt too. Likewise society will adapt, after all, that's what a society does in response to stimuli. However, taking a worst case, tipping point, scenario that society and any civilisation we have will be far removed from those of today's world.

      And even that isn't a boolean variable. If we can physically adapt but the economic consequences are ruinous, that's nearly as bad.

      Indeed!

    147. Re:Semantics by dywolf · · Score: 1

      We covered this misunderstanding yours before.
      As well as your inability to even read what you post.

      The fact you continue to misrepresent it indicates you either lack the intelligence to be educated, or the integrity to admit when you are wrong, or both.

      It barely offsets it's own ice loss, let alone the ice loss of the Arctic which is an average of 238 Billion tons per year.
      So no, the total ice mass is not staying the same.
      (Bro, do you even math?)

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    148. Re: Semantics by tbannist · · Score: 2

      Bill Nye has done nothing to contribute to a more scientific approuch in this discussion and has instead poured fuel on the flame war by saying that anyone that holds a contrary position is either stupid or a shill. Never mind the fact that quite a few of the claims have been disproven and quite a few of the predictions didn't happen.

      It would be easier to criticize his position, if he wasn't correct. Climate change "skeptics" come in three types: dishonest, deluded or ignorant.

      Hanson for example predicted that half of New York City would be underwater by now. Well, it isn't.

      Thank you for proving that he is correct.

      Stoics just care if they're right.

      The problem here is that you obviously don't care if you're correct. You repeat falsehoods blithely and you dismiss expert opinions because you wish they weren't true. You use "tribalism" as an excuse to dismiss the cold hard facts. Frankly, you're a sophist masquerading as a stoic, the only question is whether or not you're also fooling yourself.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    149. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      oh f off

    150. Re:Semantics by budgenator · · Score: 1

      The first link shows no statistically significant warming, RSS even show a statistically insignificant cooling. The second and subsequent links describe the datasets and have links to the actual data, so you could do something like do your own analysis on the data if your were so inclined. Additionally the first link has the data, which can be add to the graphs through by clicking the add series button selecting the data on the drop-down lists and then clicking the plot graph button.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    151. Re:Semantics by dywolf · · Score: 1

      His speech was a long rambling "it cant be warming because it's winter", that also trotted other tired typical BS like:
      "the science is not settled"
      "we don't know"
      "its too expensive"
      UN, IPCC, and climategate dog whistles
      "they cooked the data"

      No, he's still an ignorant idiot.
      As is anyone who defends him.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    152. Re:Semantics by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      And I choose to believe the NASA study because I beleive it is a relatively simple way of measuring actual thickness of ice, and would not be tricked by magma flows under the continent. So we have to studies differing by nearly 200 billion tons of ice a year, and varying in different directions. And based on that variation, we want to radically change the entire economy?

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    153. Re:Semantics by Bengie · · Score: 1

      However, during the past 22 years, satellite measurements, widely hailed since the 1970s as far more accurate than surface measurements, have shown no statistical warming.

      Quite the bold faced lie. Trolling or actually a nutter? Run the numbers yourself from this random blog on the Internet!

    154. Re:Semantics by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      The links show nothing what you claim ... sorry.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    155. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I would hardly call Bill Nye a reputable scientist.

    156. Re:Semantics by Hylandr · · Score: 1

      You keep forgetting Bill Nye is an entertainer, and as such, his opinion on the number of people that don't believe humans are causing natural climate change is unreliable.

      --
      ~ People that think they are better than anyone else for any reason are the cause of all the strife in the world.
    157. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "It would be easier to criticize his position, if he wasn't correct."

      But Bill the Science Clown thinks the 'history' begins 200 years ago.

      And as stated, there are no models that can accurately predict the climate. So we have a relied on Garbage In -> Garbage Out methodology. If you don't like the results of the simulation, change the inputs until you get what you want.

      To date, models have not predicted, with reliable accuracy, the climates increase OR decrease (and it has cooled for several years).

      So get your science down, then talk to me.

    158. Re: Semantics by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      That is not a theory that are two well chosen data points.
      Which show warming, and if you had an idea what a degree celsius is: you would be shocked.

      However if you care to dig out historical data then simply check the average winter temperature in north Germany in the years 1966 till 1976 and compare it with e.g. 1996 till 2006 or 2006 till 2016 ... use the januaries ... they are colder, so the "warming" is not that "dramatic" :D

      Everyone living here knows by life experience that the winters are between 10 degrees and 20 degrees celsius warmer than 30 or 40 years ago. And it goes up to extreme examples where we have 50 degrees higher temperatures (low point around -30 and lower, high point around +23 and higher).

      When the arctic vortex hit north America a year ago, Europe and Scandinavia hat record high temperatures in winter.

      When was the last winter that the channels in Netherlands froze and they could do their skating competitions?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    159. Re: Semantics by dave420 · · Score: 0

      I stopped reading at #4 as clearly you are lacking some knowledge vital to understanding this topic. If only you channelled your rage into learning - you'd be less ignorant and far less angry.

    160. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      #4 does not appear to be true: http://papers.risingsea.net/future-sea-level-rise.html

    161. Re: Semantics by dave420 · · Score: 1

      You appear to be out of your depth. The facts you are clinging to in order to make your point are flat-out incorrect. It might help for you to get your science down before telling others to do the same.

    162. Re: Semantics by operagost · · Score: 1

      Of course, we'd plunge much of it into malnutrition due to lack of B12 and lose a significant portion of people's cultures to your fascist ideal, but yeah-- we could do that instead of family planning.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    163. Re: Semantics by mspohr · · Score: 1

      B12?
      Is that the best you have?

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    164. Re:Semantics by operagost · · Score: 1

      Bill Nye isn't strictly a scientist, either. He's an engineer.

      It's not that he doesn't know anything. He knows a lot of stuff. I would be annoyed if people disregarded everything I said that wasn't part of my core occupation. But he's not a researcher-- he depends on other people's data and results.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    165. Re: Semantics by operagost · · Score: 1

      That's no more disingenuous (although admittedly a bit more stupid) than people who point to a photo of a polar bear on an ice floe and say, "Look! The polar bears are going extinct!"

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    166. Re: Semantics by operagost · · Score: 1

      Philadelphia
      April 8, 1974: high 14c, low 7c.
      April 8, 2016: high 7c, low 5c.
      GLOBAL COOLING!

      Weather is not climate. Two data points mean nothing. Don't hurt the issue by using bad science.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    167. Re:Semantics by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      I think you choose to believe the NASA study because it says something you want to hear. It stands as odds to nearly every other study that's been done recently.

    168. Re: Semantics by NoImNotNineVolt · · Score: 1

      So... I am a believer in global climate change. Whether that climate is being significantly effected [sic] by human activity is something I am skeptical about.

      You sound like a reasonable, level-headed person. So, based on what you've said, I have only a single question to ask:

      Why does it matter if climate is being significantly affected by human activity or not?

      From where I sit, it seems that a warming climate, rising sea levels, and acidification of the oceans would impose significant costs on human civilization. Whether these things are being caused by human activity or not, it seems worthwhile to engage in efforts to stop and undo these changes to the climate. Consequently, I am unable to see the relevance of the distinction you draw between natural climate change and anthropogenic climate change.

      --
      Chuuch. Preach. Tabernacle.
    169. Re:Semantics by AnalogDiehard · · Score: 1

      But "deniers" demand 100% proof of future devastation while offering ABSOLUTELY NOTHING in legitimate scientific evidence.

      False. There is body of scientific evidence that disputes climate change and is recognized by national science academies of all the major industrialized nations.

      The climate change people go out of there way to discredit these people and suppress any evidence that conflicts with their agenda. That is not the disposition expected of professional scientists. Such tactics were practiced by oppressive regimes over the centuries. This may be Slashdot but we do not tolerate manipulative tactics.

      --
      Eternity: will that be smoking, or non-smoking? I Corinthians 6:9-10
    170. Re: Semantics by werepants · · Score: 1

      You have to admit that BOTH sides have on occasion replied on some pretty specious evidence to back up their positions.

      Agreed. Resorting to sophistry on any side is always a bad play because it really just muddles the issue and contributes to polarization. Even if your side is right, the ends do not justify the means (shitty arguments). Because in any case, sloppy argumentation doesn't really help in the long run.

      1. The world is warming.
      2. The seas are rising.
      3. The climate is changing.

      Sure.

      4. The rate of sea level rise over the last 200 years has remained pretty consistent which argues against human activity having any impact on sea level increases.

      Couple things: The older data is much less precise. Also, the rate of sea level increase (first derivative) has been increasing steadily - we're looking at quadratic increases, certainly. What explains the faster rate of sea level rise if not human activity? The best correlate is CO2.

      5. Linking global temperature to human activity is very difficult. We have evidence of the temps going up and down over millions of years. And the current temps are not inconsistent with what they might have been with no humans at all.

      Historically we've never seen such a rapid temp increase. That has never been witnessed in the geological record. And you have no substantiation for your last statement - temps "might" have been anything with no humans at all, what we can look at is the historical record and our current data. And the experts on the matter believe that CO2-caused global warming is the best explanation.

      6. I don't think there is anything magical about CO2 that makes it more inclined to cause problems in our atmosphere than anything else. I have looked at the light spectrum absorption patterns and compared them to other common gases in our atmosphere and nearly everything in that spectrum is overlapped by other spectrums of more common gases such as water vapor. As such, I question the relevance of CO2 in this discussion at the current concentrations of the gas.
      7. The lab experiments that showed that CO2 was a green house gas are misleading in several particulars. First, any gas is a green house gas. Hydrogen can be a greenhouse gas. Helium can be a greenhouse gas... and so on.

      Not sure where you are getting this. Not all gases are equal. Most atmospheric gases allow a vast majority of visible light through, but where they differ is in their absorption of IR. Oxygen or CO, for instance, are practically invisible in the IR spectrum, whereas CO2, Methane, and H2O are very opaque. Since incoming light is visible spectrum and outgoing light is IR (due to blackbody radiation from the earth), some gases end up allowing tons of heat to radiate in, but much less heat to radiate back out.

      Scientists aren't just picking CO2 to complain about because they hate industry or something - CO2 is the only one that has shown a significant increase in concentration that correlates well with the temperature increase we've observed. Water vapor and methane also qualify as greenhouse gases because of their absorption spectra, but they haven't shown an appreciable change in concentration.

      The politics on the issue are obviously tribalistic at this point and in that environment you can't cite how many people support you versus don't. Science is not a democracy.

      Don't listen to the politicians, then. Listen to the qualified experts who were studying this long before it became politicized. Would you try to tell the world's leading particle physicists that they haven't actually found the Higgs at the LHC? If you did, and weren't yourself a particle physicist, you would be treated as a cute but annoying enthusiast. Surely you understand that a few hours of reading articles on the internet doesn't outweigh years of study and years of research by hundreds of experts.

      Why are you trusting the opinion of yourself and a handful of dubiously-funded detractors over the community of scientists who have devoted years of their lives to studying the climate?

    171. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you're defaulting to the kindergarten method of intellectual discourse? "My dad can beat up your dad!" "Nuh uh!" *kid's dad beats up kid's dad* "See? I'm right!"

      Senators are notoriously known for not being scientists. And they tend to make up things all the time that are incongruent with science. You can pat yourself on the back for demolishing that strawman you just created, but the rest of us aren't dumb enough to fall for it.

    172. Re:Semantics by Aisha.Washington · · Score: 1
      Taking you figure as read, and the fact that economists predict the cost of adapting to be approximately 5-10 times the cost of mitigating the risk so we don't face significant change, under you alternative plan (of doing nothing) 10 billion people will die.

      Wha ... ?

      So, if homeslice buys carbon offsets (or whatever it is that you're advocating that he do), those 10 billion people will be immortal?

      How is that going to happen?

      I really hate to be the bearer of this news, but those 10 Billion people are going to die regardless of what he does. Damn-near all of them within the next 80 years. 100% of them eventually.

      Couldn't he just as easily say that if people do what you're suggesting, 50 Billion people die? Because it's factually 100% true. They eventually will.

      If you're goal is preventing people from dying, well, let's just say that you're going to need to look a lot further than climate.

    173. Re:Semantics by operagost · · Score: 1

      Well, ABC did...

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    174. Re: Semantics by allcoolnameswheretak · · Score: 1

      First, any gas is a green house gas. Hydrogen can be a greenhouse gas. Helium can be a greenhouse gas... and so on.

      You know that most of our atmosphere is composed of Nitrogen and Oxygen, right? These are not greenhouse gases, whereas CO2 is a very effective greenhouse gas.

    175. Re:Semantics by igobyjoshua · · Score: 0

      is obama still alive? Bohemian Grove or BUST 2016!

    176. Re: Semantics by WeezulDK · · Score: 1

      This the most reasonable response to any "climate change is settled science" nonsense argument that I've seen written down. I tend to agree with you, I think there are more factors at play than just CO2 in the atmosphere. And the chicken littles of the current Church of Climate Change need to realize this.

    177. Re:Semantics by GPS+Pilot · · Score: 1

      Oh, so he's taking the position supported by scientific data. What a scoundrel!

      --
      That that is is that that that that is not is not.
    178. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Glad there are still intelligent people out there somewhere.

    179. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let's be honest. Very few politicians like Cruz actually doubt climate change (actually, he might, since he ascribes everything free-market related to being God's Plan). They must know what's going on, but since their wealth and campaign funds come from the likes of the Koch brothers, they have to peddle this cover story and lies that the fossil fuel industry concocted a few decades ago when the science started to prove climate change.

    180. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If by propaganda you mean 30+ years of peer reviewed scientific work, then yes. It should be enough that we've changed the composition of the atmosphere of the one habitable planet we have. But "deniers" demand 100% proof of future devastation while offering ABSOLUTELY NOTHING in legitimate scientific evidence. This is Slashdot, a website for Nerds. Of all places, people here should understand how critical the scientific method and peer reviewed is to sound science.

      BTW, what exactly does Bill Nye want? What's in it for him that he would risk his reputation defending "propaganda"?

      Oh, and my ID is lower than yours. I don't buy your wisdom by age argument.

      Political Science != Science. Does that help?

    181. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You forgot to mention that some people that would be skeptics on the current science have learned not to try to have a conversation about it with a shill like Nye. Maybe that is more of a factor, and some may not have a clue who nye is anymore.

    182. Re:Semantics by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      I know just being picky, but no one doubts that climate change is behind changes in climate. I don't think anyone doubts climate change. Now perhaps some doubt anthropogenic climate change, technically this summary doesn't mention that.

      Odd, I personally know several people who deny that greenhousw warming exists. And many more on line.

      So our Carbon Dioxide and Methane is somehow different?

      And if is a matter of not believing puny humans could do this, just think of it a all of the sequestered Carbon being re-released at one time. Whether done by us, or volcanos, it's the same Gas. And unless the greenhouse effect doesn't exist, which we are lucky it does, elsewise we would probably not be alive, then it's a mighty steep hill the deniers have to climb, they have to deny the physics, then applty a new theory.

      But Nye is correct, it's changing. The 4 steps of denial go as such: 1. Deny the problem completely - it doesn't exist, It's a liberal plot

      2. Deny that the activities of humans have anything to do with it - That's liberal hogwash 3. Deny we can do anything about it - Liberals just don't understand how small we are in the world

      4. Say yes, there's a problem, yes, it's our fault, but theose damn liberals made us spend so much money fighting them on this - we don't have enough money left to do anything about it - Gawdammed Liberals anyhow.

      In any event, it's liberal's fault. Michael Mann is an Asshole" just doesn't serve to refute basic physics any more.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    183. Re: Semantics by swalve · · Score: 1

      Yeah, they did. That's what science does: it discovers new things and refines our understanding of things. Yes, the globe is warming. But that's not a very complete definition of the totality of effects. Climate change is a much more specific phrase. And, not for nothing, it avoids the dummies who confuse climate with weather.

    184. Re: Semantics by DontTrustWhatIType · · Score: 1

      You sound convincing... except that you (1) make false statements that are not supported by science and (2) are cherry picking in a dangerous way. For example:

      The rate of sea level rise over the last 200 years has remained pretty consistent which argues against human activity having any impact on sea level increases.

      Hint: Do a google scholar search on this. Less than 1% of papers agree with your statement, and if you know anything about science, then you know that when you get more than 80% of publications saying A, the chances of not-A are already rapidly approaching 0. There is no balanced skepticism on this matter. Period.

      Contrary to "climate denier"'s (or, if you'd like "human impact on climate change denier") proclamations, no one ever got tenure, ever won a MacArthur Genius grant, or ever received a Nobel Prize by proving everyone else right, so there is a lot of pressure to be different and "novel" or "shocking" when publishing. There is no conspiracy to push a climate change agenda in the scientific community. If anything, disproving General Relativity or human-made climate change will get you a place in history. 80% consensus is hard to get. We essentially have 99.97% agreement that climate change is (1) real and (2) human made. Don't believe me, do a scholarly article search and pull up the last 10,000, or better yet, look at the two most recent publications that did that for you.

      [...] the UN report that based the Himalayan glaciers retreat[...]

      Either you did not read the report (likely) or you may want to go back and read it if you believe that the 900 pages of document and over 100,000 pages of supplemental material were all based on quoting one news clip. The last report was based on very literally trillions of data points, from thousands of researchers [mostly funded by governments that WANT TO DENY THE ISSUE such as the US, UK, all OPEC and most developing countries], government agencies, and private organizations. You pick one "error" that is immaterial to the conclusion -- that they misquoted an article even though there are several studies showing that all major glaciers, the Himalayan ones included, are retreating.

      Your gravity point is a good analogy to what you have done here. We have an essentially infinite number of causative experiments on the effects of gravity and the rules that govern the force, but because we have not found a way to marry it nicely to a grand unified theory of matter and energy, you seem to believe we should be "skeptical". Skeptical of everything because we have not tied one knot out of a 10^30 knots?

      I'm not going to go over all of your points since there are too many, but to those who might feel a rekindling of skepticism, remember that there IS NO significant corroborating evidence that suggests climate change is not human-made while there is so much corroborating evidence that suggests that it is that no single human could read it all. If you know that, and are still skeptical, then, yeah, you should be skeptical that a bowling ball dropped from the Eiffel Tower will fall every time, because, you know, we haven't tied up all the loose ends on gravity yet.

    185. Re: Semantics by tbannist · · Score: 1

      Damn dem scientists! They dirn't no nuthin' about Science like me and Billy Bob McCheese! Weese smurt.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    186. Re: Semantics by Shred303 · · Score: 1

      Awesome!

    187. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So... I am a believer in global climate change. Whether that climate is being significantly effected [sic] by human activity is something I am skeptical about.

      You sound like a reasonable, level-headed person. So, based on what you've said, I have only a single question to ask:

      Why does it matter if climate is being significantly affected by human activity or not?

      From where I sit, it seems that a warming climate, rising sea levels, and acidification of the oceans would impose significant costs on human civilization. Whether these things are being caused by human activity or not, it seems worthwhile to engage in efforts to stop and undo these changes to the climate. Consequently, I am unable to see the relevance of the distinction you draw between natural climate change and anthropogenic climate change.

      I'm guessing because this whole discussion is based around a series of theories or assumptions that drive the next decision as to what we do. In this case we have the following chain:

      Theory 1: The earth is undergoing climate change with an overall trend toward higher tempertures. Right now this is considered settled based upon available scientific data.

      Theory/Assumption 2: The trend toward higher temps is bad and should be slowed/stopped/reversed if at all possible. Widely accepted as true, and your list of side effects certainly paints a grim picture.

      Now that we've decided to do something about climate change, let's figure out how

      Theory 3a: Climate change is entirely, primarily, or even merely majority (>50.1%) caused by human activity. If true then we should prioritize the removal of carbon emissions wherever possible. The problem is that even without entrenched financial interests like "big oil", there's still the fact that getting rid of carbon emissions is expensive and time consuming. There's removing/minimizing emissions by moving away from coal and other combustion based electricity generation, improving efficiency of how we use energy, replacing combustion engines with electric wherever possible (road vehicles, aircraft, ships), and reducing emissions in manufacturing. All of this is expensive, and gets even more expensive the faster we try to do it, however, the expense is worth it if this theory is correct.

      Theory 3b: Human activity has little to no impact on climate change. If this is true then shifting our society away from energy production that has carbon emissions will do little good in combating climate change, and would be a massive distraction/diversion of resources, money, time, and research away from finding a solution (assuming one exists). Hypothetically if this theory is the correct one then an increase in global carbon emissions in the name of getting to a solution faster would be the correct choice (i have no clue how that would work, maybe constructing a weather control device that requires power orders of magnitude greater than what we have now?).

      Based on his comments Karmashock sounds like he tends to think option 3b is more likely than 3a, thus lowering the priority of changing from the current status quo.

    188. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Anthropogenic Climate Change is running out of gas. Pardon the pun.

    189. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You might want to consistently measure temperatures in the Arctic for more than 50 years before you go making predictions for hundreds of years out.

    190. Re: Semantics by NoImNotNineVolt · · Score: 1

      Theory 3a: Climate change is entirely, primarily, or even merely majority (>50.1%) caused by human activity. If true then we should prioritize the removal of carbon emissions wherever possible. The problem is that even without entrenched financial interests like "big oil", there's still the fact that getting rid of carbon emissions is expensive and time consuming. There's removing/minimizing emissions by moving away from coal and other combustion based electricity generation, improving efficiency of how we use energy, replacing combustion engines with electric wherever possible (road vehicles, aircraft, ships), and reducing emissions in manufacturing. All of this is expensive, and gets even more expensive the faster we try to do it, however, the expense is worth it if this theory is correct.

      Theory 3b: Human activity has little to no impact on climate change. If this is true then shifting our society away from energy production that has carbon emissions will do little good in combating climate change, and would be a massive distraction/diversion of resources, money, time, and research away from finding a solution (assuming one exists). Hypothetically if this theory is the correct one then an increase in global carbon emissions in the name of getting to a solution faster would be the correct choice (i have no clue how that would work, maybe constructing a weather control device that requires power orders of magnitude greater than what we have now?).

      So, you're saying that the disagreement is over the particular mechanism with which we gain control over the global climate? That would be easier to swallow if the 'Theory 3b' people had a suggestion more comprehensive than "i have no clue how that would work, maybe constructing a weather control device that requires power orders of magnitude greater than what we have now?"

      The AGW-denying side has not yet proposed a mechanism by which to stop non-anthropogenic global warming. Furthermore, they haven't even indicated a willingness to do so. If they were proposing geoengineering techniques unrelated to managing atmospheric CO2, this would be a much more believable claim, but they're not. The argument, as I've heard it, runs along the lines of "it's not our fault, so there's no need to do anything about it".

      --
      Chuuch. Preach. Tabernacle.
    191. Re: Semantics by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      As a street walking whore, I resemble that remark!

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    192. Re:Semantics by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      That link lists $23m total gross for its entire run (in the US), where do you get half a billion from?

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    193. Re:Semantics by budgenator · · Score: 1

      At U.S. Climate Reference Network (USCRN), the second link on the page, Quality Controlled Datasets which contains the links for Monthly, Daily01, hourly02 and subhourly01 datasets, there is also links for FTP access; seemed pretty clear to me, sorry it was over your head, I'll leave the other for you to practice on.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    194. Re:Semantics by KeensMustard · · Score: 1
      Thanks for popping in that ad-hominem there.

      Of course, it doesn't matter if Bill Nye is a scientist, or an entertainer, or a milkman, or a gardner. He is merely reporting what the science says. As am I. You on the other hand, have chosen to dispute what the science says. That requires you to counter Arrhenius with better science. What are your scientific credentials?

      To quote myself from another conversation in this thread:

      Depends on the context. In this context, a small number of people dispute the science. If I quote the works of Bohr or Einstein or Webb, and someone random guys says "I don't believe you" then what is that to me? Am I responsible for his stupidity? No, really Nye and others are being unnecessarily polite: saying "this science is widely accepted" is not proving that the science is true, is doesn't need to be re-proven by Nye. It is a polite way of reminding deniers that their "doubt" is irrelevant both as science, and as a social construct. To disprove the hypothesis scientifically, deniers merely need to provide evidence that it is wrong. To disprove it sociologically (i.e. convince us to do nothing) they merely need to provide a compelling argument.

      Neither of these things has actually been done, or even attempted, in the 20 years since denying the science became a thing.

    195. Re:Semantics by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      So, if homeslice buys carbon offsets (or whatever it is that you're advocating that he do), those 10 billion people will be immortal?

      Maybe you should, I dunno, read the post before commenting on it?

    196. Re:Semantics by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Hmmm. The article I linked explicitly states 82 billion tons of ice gained. And to date you've MADE the claim of arctic ice loss, but never posted a link to it. So... Sorry.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    197. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The UN is not a scientific agency. Neither is a climbing magazine. And a scientist's random interview, no matter which side they are on, is also not science. Published, heavily peer reviewed studies are what you should be looking at. Anything less is just bullshit that might happen to be right from time to time.

      I'd say there isn't any room for skepticism at all in real science. Either the evidence and the studies are wrong or right. If you can prove they're wrong then great and scientists will welcome that. If you (and others) can't then you should believe them until some else proves them wrong. Period. Of course all the thing you mentioned weren't actual science.

    198. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "hurr durr 420 blaze it faggot!" is being a loud, obnoxious, know-it-all. What a surprise.

    199. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      While past performance does not assure future results that is the wise way to bet. If the climate models predicted no snow, and snow fell, then how much faith can we put in future predictions of this kind?

      Considering a single point of data or missed prediction is not indicative of absolutely anything, I'd say we can put quite a bit of faith into it. Hell, the human species loves faith. They can believe in a skydaddy why no climate models.

      Also, you and the senator don't seem to understand what climate model are or how they work, which is why you and him shouldn't be allowed to make decisions involving them or what they represent. I don't even mean that meanly. People (myself included) that don't understand things shouldn't be involved in the decisions around that topic.

    200. Re: Semantics by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      What you seem to be missing about CO2 is that we've totally overwhelmed the CO2 cycle. There's about as much water vapor in the atmosphere as there ever was, and it stays that way. Put more in, and it rains out. Take some out, and evaporation compensates. Water vapor is a greenhouse gas, sure, and very important, but it can't drive a climate change. As humans, we've managed to run CO2 from 280ppm to 400ppm, and it isn't going to go down again any time soon. CO2 can drive a climate change.

      Science is never absolutely settled, but few scientists spend time verifying that we breathe to get oxygen that is used in combination with food to produce energy. Anything in science is subject to reconsideration given the evidence, but rejecting the "settled science" without strong evidence is usually wrong.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    201. Re:Semantics by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Okay, what is this "solution" that you think is bad? I've seen lots of proposed solutions. Carbon credits and carbon tax, properly applied, would do well. In the meantime, we can encourage the production of energy from sources other than fossil fuels, such as solar energy, wind energy, and nuclear energy.

      We don't have to start in the undeveloped world. They don't produce nearly as much CO2 as the more developed nations. We don't have to have a 100% solution in place immediately, but it's better to reduce emissions sooner than later.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    202. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Nothing you're saying even addresses my argument. You say I'm missing something but you're not talking about what I was talking about.

      As to the science not being settled. Good. Then drop any arguments that ultimately rely on that as a position - Full stop.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    203. Re: Semantics by AutodidactLabrat · · Score: 1

      No, they didn't. They cleaned up the language for the idiots

    204. Re: Semantics by cyber-vandal · · Score: 1

      Based on what? What are your credentials?

    205. Re:Semantics by AutodidactLabrat · · Score: 1

      Ouch!
      is it still argumentum ad hominem if you simply point out the obvious about the denialist?

    206. Re:Semantics by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      If you read a few paragraphs into that, you'll notice that this thickening has been steady for a long time, while other parts of Antarctica have been losing ice at an increasing rate, so in a few decades the scientists involved expect Antarctica to start losing ice, net.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    207. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      As to sea levels, we have good records going back in a few places on earth. I have looked at Dutch sea level rise charts that go back as far as they've kept records which is farther than anyone else has done with accuracy. They show a consistent sea level rise between the beginning of their record keeping and now. We can also see similar charts in New England. Manhattan for example was something that Hanson claimed would be half underwater by now. Well... it isn't. And the historic charts on Manhattan's sea levels show over time change in the Delta.

      As to majorities of papers... Science is not a democracy. It doesn't work by voting. Your argument is ad populum and is a dead give away that you rely on sophistic thinking. I don't say that to suggest you are a liar. Rather, I think you have been educated in how to think by sophists and simply don't know what you're doing wrong.

      You're attempting to argue science with politics. Don't do that.

      As to the term "denier" you do know that term was coined to conflate questioning climate change theory with Holocaust Denial, right? Its basically argumentum ad Hitlarium... or Godwin's law. I'd prefer if you used the term skeptic or anything that wasn't transparently crafted to insult the opposition. I could just refer to the pro-we're-all-going-die faction as sophistic alarmists in their raw designation. Would that be agreeable to you?

      As to people being inclined to do things that are novel and shocking... you mean like the heading figures of your position making novel and shocking claims that turn out to be false? Yes. That was my point. New York is not half under water. Is it? Shall I list all the predictions of the climate lobby that turned out not to happen?

      We've been going back and forth on this issue for a long time now. And that means I can pull claims your faction has made from the beginning of this discussion. The things they said would happen should have happened by now in their own words. Basically none of their predictions have come true. And yet you expect to lose no face despite being unable to predict, model, or describe anything with actual accuracy? That isn't how science works.

      As to you doubling down on the Himalayan glaciers... Allow me to take what remains of your undeserved credibility in a stroke then.
      http://www.theguardian.com/env...

      They've already conceded the point. They have already admitted to making a mistake and being "wrong".

      As to you not going over points... I think this clip sums up my opinion of that:
      https://youtu.be/z2mXrndt1ZI?t...

      You made a false claim on sea levels.
      You used ad populum
      You used godwin's law - I'll give you a pass on that one because its so commonly done that you probably don't realize you did it.
      You used a double standard with the shocking and novel comment.
      You failed to grasp that this has been going on long enough that we can just look at predictions that were made at the start and see if they happened. They haven't.
      And then you doubled down on the Himalayan thing.

      And then you presume to high hat me and say but 'I'm not going to lower myself to going through the details with a filthy peasant like you'... Okay then. Don't. What do you have to offer to the discussion that would be of value in the first place? By the above display, I'm going to assume little to nothing.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    208. Re: Semantics by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I follow the science and am not alarmist, but (a) it's clear that most of this climate change is human-caused, and (b) it's gonna be bad over the rest of this century. I also don't want to be called Warmist, because I'm against global warming. I think it's bad. I wish it wasn't happening.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    209. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Any gas that is a gas is a green house gas because any gas can absorb and retain thermal energy and can absorb a portion of the EM spectrum.

      Define greenhouse gas, please. And then I'm going to go through the chemical compositions of other planets in our solar system and show that their temperatures are not actually effected by the varying chemistry of their atmopsheres.

      Here is what effects temperature in an atmosphere.

      1. The energy output of the star.
      2. The distance from a planet from that star.
      3. The air pressure of the atmosphere you're going to measure.
      4. Any additional energy inputs such as nuclear fission or fusion... typically natural and typically only in larger gas giants.

      And after you've accounted for that, you should be able to estimate the temperature within a reasonable margin of error.

      Have you ever made a study of the temperatures of our neighboring planets? I really doubt it. if you did, you'd see that the chemistry doesn't seem to matter much to the temperature.

      Venus for example is so hot because the atmosphere is a great deal denser than it is on earth... added to which it is closer to the star. Jupiter or Neptune are not nearly as cold as you might think once you've reached 1 atmosphere in their atmosphere. Accounting for distance from the star the temperatures in either planet are analogous to the Earth despite having very different atmospheric chemistries.

      You can do that in Venus as well... rather than measuring Venus at ground level, measure it at 1 atmosphere. Its hotter than Earth's atmosphere even at 1 atmosphere. But accounting for the closer distance to the star it isn't outside of what you'd expect if Venus any other chemical composition in its atmosphere.

      One of the many things you're not taking into consideration is TIME. All these planets are in the oven all day and all night for millions of years.

      What you're ultimately arguing is that you're not going to freeze to death in the snow if you wear a good jacket. Well... depends on how long you're out there doesn't it? The jacket will slow down the process... but ultimately you are going to reach the external temperature of the environment. You will hit baseline unless that jacket is just f'ing amazing. And the CO2 is not significant enough to bias the system that that extent. It might slow down or speed up a process but if the system is already in equilibrium then its like saying you're going to speed up something that is already done. It can't be sped up more than that. Its done.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    210. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      1. The old Dutch data is probably pretty good actually.

      2. As to quadratic increases, the rate has been consistent over time. So... it doesn't correlate with recent events.

      3. As to us never seeing such rapid increases in temperature. Would you cite what you think the temperature delta is and I'll see if I can find contrary information for you. If you don't cite the Delta you're basing that statement on then it won't be possible to respond to your statement factually.

      4. As to IR and what is and is not a greenhouse gas... if you examine the other planets in our solar system that have very different chemistries to Earth, you'll find that their temperatures do not vary based on the chemistry but rather their proximity from the star and the density of the atmosphere. The chemistry appears to be all but irrelevant. We can go over that if you like. Look at Venus at 1 atmosphere. Look at Jupiter at 1 atmosphere. Look at Neptune at 1 atmosphere. You can even compare the Earth to Mars if you grab the Earth temperature at martian pressure. And so on. Planets nearer the star are warmer and planets farther away are cooler. Variations beyond that are predictable within a reasonable margin of error entirely with air pressure. So... I don't think there is anything special about CO2 when worrying about planetary temperature.

      5. As to what scientists do or don't do... they're not the only ones in this debate. Bill Nye for example isn't a scientist. He's a media personality. And Al Gore is a politician. And once I've stripped away all the people that aren't actually scientists doing science everything becomes a great deal more open to conjecture. Which is fine. That's how science is supposed to work. I'm not saying you're wrong about everything. I'm saying merely that the discussion is valuable and the science requires that people be open to the discussion. If you're not then science isn't going to happen. The cultish behavior of many on this point is not productive.

      6. I will not listen to anyone merely on who they say they are... I will listen to the argument. Science doesn't care who you are. The "do you know who I am" argument out of people that presume to represent science is just sophistry. That is not a scientific argument. You can't cite on a paper "this is right because I have a degree". So why would I accept that as evidence? If you think science works by name dropping and degree citing... then you don't know how science works. It doesn't matter how many people agree with you. It doesn't matter what your degree is. It doesn't matter if some guy or other likes you. None of that is relevant in science. You were demonstrably educated in this subject by sophists because you are not using scientific arguments. I don't think you're doing that on purpose. I don't think you're a liar. I do however think you were mislead as to how science works. Science is not politics. And your arguments have been largely political.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    211. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Sure. Well, if the temperature is not being relevantly effected by variable X then how are you going to change the system by manipulating variable X?

      See... man isn't doing this... then why would man not doing something result in any change in the climate?

      See the problem?

      Now if you're an advocate for direct applied geo-engineering. Then we can talk about that. What is your plan for changing the global climate... excluding manipulating trace amounts of CO2 which I frankly don't think matter.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    212. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Dave, this statement from you is a great example of why you can't have a civil discussion about any issue that touches on your politics. You're so tribalistic that its laughable. All you're doing is shaking a spear at me and claiming I am an insult to your various gods.

      You say I'm angry... but you're the one spazing out.

      *yawn*

      Lets do an inventory of my feelings... I am a little sleepy... and I should probably make dinner soon... Oh... and I find you to be very boring.

      Full inventory of my feelings right now. No anger. Anger requires fear. Anger is linked to the flight or fight response. You'd have to be a threat to me for me to be angry. I don't fear you, Dave.

      What is funny, is that you're trying to claim that you're imposing somehow via the sideways argument of saying that I am angry... and thus in your implication feel threatened by you... and thus you attempt to argue fear through anger.

      You're not smart enough to actually pose a real problem for me. Your childish ploys are transparent and rather sad. Has to be said.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    213. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Your open with a tautology that everyone that disagrees with you is wrong. A religious fanatic could make the same argument about non-believers in his faith.

      I am a little amused by all the people that presume to be more scientific and rational that are not making scientific or rational arguments. Look at your statement and tell me if it is scientific. It isn't. Look at Bill Nye's argument and tell me if it is scientific? It isn't.

      This is sophistry. Make scientific arguments. I did in my first post. I know what science is and what it is not. I am not a sophist. I don't care if you believe me or agree with me about anything. I care merely if I am right. In the end, my own position + reality wins every time in science. You can have as many likes on facebook as you want. You can have all of them. Reality doesn't care how many times you've been friended and followed on social media.

      You say I dismiss facts and say I proved one thing or another true or false... but don't cite your argument. Do you believe being vague is a shield against criticism? Do you think that if you're incoherent that I won't be able to find the logical and factual contradictions in your position? This is a tactical error. I will rather simply point at the vagueness of your positions and the fact that you're making claims that can't be audited. My claims can be be audited. I made claims that can be checked. You have not.

      Which of the two of our arguments is more likely to come from a sophist or a stoic? The one that can be either true or false or the one that is so vague that it can't be verified?

      You are obviously the one making sophistic arguments because you're the one making statements that can't be proven true or false. Sophists like arguments like that. It lets them continue to spin bullshit because they can be disproven because their statements can't be audited.

      I'm assuming that you're going to be wise enough to know that if you actually give me anything that can be audited, I will rip your argument to shreds. So I'm assuming you're going to stay vague to protect yourself from audit. As you please. Your aversion to inquisition however speaks to your nature. When you chicken out... I'll know you know what you are. ;-)

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    214. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Okay... so show me the scientific consensus absent the politics.

      Because it doesn't exist.

      Once I strip away the politicians, the international political organizations, the lobbying groups, and the advocacy groups... you just have people. And first off, the predictions are VASTLY less extreme from the scientists than what is suggested by lobbyists. And there is lots of room for debate and contrary theory.

      What is more, the peer review process itself has been repeatedly shown over the last few years to not be definitive. Getting something published doesn't mean it is valid. And getting something rejected by a publication doesn't mean it is invalid.

      Who is reviewing these papers is often a secret. This is done for "reasons" but those reasons do not change the fact that who is actually auditing these things is not known. Being judged by a man in a mask is not something that fills me with confidence in the legitimacy of the trial.

      I'm a much bigger fan of the open peer review process. Where in anyone can publish anything and then everyone can judge for themselves if something is sensible or not.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    215. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      I think Nye merely is projecting his ambitions on a situation. Positive thinking... The stats on belief in climate change show a trend towards skepticism. So his claim that he's winning the political struggle is not supported by data.

      His claim that new generations are changing the dynamic has the problem that what someone believes when they're 20 is not actually that informed and is quite likely to change over time. Whilst an opinion held by someone that is 40 or something is likely to be better informed and less likely to change. I mean, how many years has a 20 year old had to form an opinion about something like that? 5 maybe? At what age would we start crediting someone's opinion about a geopolitical or scientific subject? 5,10,15,20? What's the magic year. And how many years of knowledge would that year actually include?

      He's basically crowing about having the least informed people agree with him. Its sort of funny.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    216. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      http://www.jcronline.org/doi/a...

      Where is your data coming from? Every data set I check shows no change in the Delta UP... besides some pacific island that are honestly probably just eroding.

      I've checked the Dutch sea level charts (to determine how high the dike's must be raised), several of the English sea level charts (kept for naval purposes), as well as a few other sources throughout the world. They show no acceleration.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    217. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Climate Change" is the colloquial expression for man-made climate change. Welcome to earth.

    218. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The real question is are you willing to give up your life style in an attempt to fix things.

    219. Re: Semantics by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      My first paragraph addressed your #6, by showing what's special about carbon dioxide as compared to, say, water vapor.

      My second was to debunk your comments about "settled science", by pointing out that "settled science" is settled for a reason, and needs strong evidence to reconsider.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    220. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      your argument relies on a flawed application of a laboratory experiment to an altered context in the atmosphere.

      Did your experiment with CO2 in a controlled lab experiment include water vapor in the chamber or was it desecrated?

      What is more, given the way convection works the transfer of energy from one part of the atmosphere to another is not so magically locked as your theory would require.

      Air mixes. And the CO2 is really only concentrated in the lower atmosphere. The heat will and does transfer via many means.

      As to the specialness of CO2, I see nothing about CO2 that makes it especially relevant in the atmosphere. You note that the concentration of CO2 has doubled. I don't contest that. I rather contest the relevance. I also question you general trend lines because I can look at preindustrial trends to now and find little to support your position that we've caused a change.

      Look at the Dutch sea level charts. They go back farther than anyone's actively recorded charts and they are quite accurate because they needed them to be accurate to know the rate at which they must raise their dikes. Those charts show no relevant change in the delta. The rate of change is consistent. Which argues against your thesis.

      What is more, all but the most vague predictions from the climate lobby that intersect with the current years have failed to occur. Hanson said that New York city would be half under water at this point. It isn't.

      Your faction makes many predictions and call anyone that disagrees with you idiots. Yet when the year rolls around when the doom should have happened... and it didn't... do you admit that the people you called idiots were right and you were wrong? Never. No, you forget that you said that and just roll along as if you've never made a mistake.

      Well, the mistakes are cataloged. And being arrogant and dismissive is no defense against it. It is rather an intellectual retreat into sophistry.

      If you wish to discuss the issue we can go through your premise. Any browbeating attempts will be answered in kind.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    221. Re:Semantics by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      And to be perfectly fair the study you cited may be accurate. It's possible that ice is accumulating in some areas of Antarctica while the overall mass balance for the ice sheet is negative. In a warming world warmer air can hold more water vapor which means more water available for precipitation. If it's still cold enough that will fall as snow.

    222. Re: Semantics by Tamerlin · · Score: 1

      In other words, you're an idiot.

      The only "science" that's been debunked is the propaganda claiming that it's not our fault. Anyone who still disagrees with that is either an imbecile or a schill.

    223. Re:Semantics by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      I'm always surprised that study doesn't get more attention.

    224. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Really? Shall I show how many predictions laid out have failed to come to pass?

      I grant that the most conservative and vague claims have not been touched... but they're not what you base your position upon. It is not those claims you use to scaremonger people into giving you money and power.

      You call me an idiot... but I made statements which can be discussed scientifically. You've just hurled insults.

      Is this the basis you wish to imply scientific superiority over me? Your disinterest in empirical analysis and interest rather in name calling?

      *yawn*...

      try harder.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    225. Re: Semantics by Tamerlin · · Score: 1

      The problem here is that explanations don't do squat for imbeciles. You've already stated that you are basically choosing your beliefs based on what you wish is true, so you clearly have no value. There is an astonishing amount of information out there based on observations that confirms that the only thing that the actual scientists have gotten wrong is to underestimate the sheer stupidity of humanity.

    226. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      So you say... your argument basically boils down to this "I'm right. I don't have to prove I'm right. I'm intellectually superior. I don't have to justify that. You're stupid. I don't have to substantiate that."

      Well, claims such as that can be struck down as easily as they are made.

      I negate your opinion by casting an opposing one. There you go. Your position is null.

      As I said, try harder. Or leave it where it stands... your position being null.

      Your choice.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    227. Re: Semantics by tbannist · · Score: 1

      Your chest-thumping and self-congratulations are really quite tiresome, personally I think you don't win arguments as much your boorish behaviour convinces them to simply avoid you.

      I can't be bothered to debunk all your delusions, so let's just stick to the first one, one I've personally correct you on before only to have you ignore what was explicitly written in your sources with a hand-waving argument about how your interpretation of a graph was far more important than what the person who made the graph wrote explicitly in the accompanying article. See level rise has not remained consistent over the last 200 years. It's been increasing at a rate of 0.013 mm (+- 0.006) per year per year. I can provide quite a few additional sources for that information, but I don't believe you will ever accept any amount of evidence that is contrary to your pre-existing beliefs so it would very likely be a waste of my time to list them. But here's a hint, it's all of the other sources, with the possible exception of certain retired weatherman's blog.

      So, since you claim expertise on the subject and the very first point where you diverge from mainstream climate science demonstrates wilful ignorance of the facts, you are thus proven to be either a sophist with delusions of stoicism. For the record, the other places you diverge from the mainstream views are equally wrong, but as previously mentioned, it is simply not worth my time to debunk them to someone who's proven in the past that he will refuse to listen to facts, arguments, and reason whenever it suits his purpose.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    228. Re: Semantics by BasilBrush · · Score: 1

      Here is what I believe:

      1. The world is warming.

      Well that at least is progress. You used to argue that it wasn't warming.

    229. Re:Semantics by golodh · · Score: 1
      @z00l00k

      And how is that article relevant? You're relieved our planet didn't turn into a second Venus perhaps? Good for you.

      Youre relieved to see we've got fossils from hot and cold periods? Well, I'm not. I'm not interested in whether a couple of dinosaurs got wet feet ages ago. But I *am* interested in the impact of a changing climate on our society.

      Like draughts where we live because changing weather patterns make it rain elsewhere, huge tracts of land becoming too dry for ordinary agriculture, wars over water resources, developing countries being destabilised more and spewing forth waves of refugees, cities flooding because sea levels rise a few feet, increased energy levels in our atmosphere leading to more extreme weather (like bigger storms and hurricanes).

      I'd rather do without such developments, thanks. Nevermind what happened to a bunch of dinos long ago.

    230. Re: Semantics by BasilBrush · · Score: 1

      The world doesn't owe you an explanation every time you say something stupid.

    231. Re: Semantics by BasilBrush · · Score: 1

      I'm a much bigger fan of the open peer review process. Where in anyone can publish anything and then everyone can judge for themselves if something is sensible or not.

      What's your qualification for reviewing climatology papers?

      As to politics, you are the one who's arguing because of your right wing politics. You are arguing against people who's views are based on the science.

    232. Re: Semantics by BasilBrush · · Score: 1

      The listing of polar bears as an endangered species comes from scientists estimating their populations via perfectly reasonable scientific methods.

      Of course when the topic is reported on in the press then of course they want an illustrative picture. It doesn't mean that the idea that polar bears are endangered came from that picture.

    233. Re: Semantics by BasilBrush · · Score: 1

      Many papers have shown vegetarians have longer life expectancies than meat eaters. So how are they malnourished again?

      (Personally I'm a meat eater, but I'm opposed to people talking crap.)

    234. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      I already contradicted that claim with my own citation.

      I can show you the dutch tide tables, the New York tide tables... etc.

      You're just repeating something I already slapped down.

      As to being boorish, all you've done is try to win the argument by being condescending. I am merely returning your pathetic rhetorical tactic back at you. If you find it obnoxious then you would find yourself to be obnoxious.

      Hypocrisy is to be expected from sophists. What is more, stoics don't respond to claims that they're boorish. One of the biggest proponents of the stoic school was Diogenes.. who literally urinated on people like you... or spat in their self important faces.

      Your opinions of me mean nothing to me. Nothing.

      My school of philosophy created science. I care more about being right than scoring meaningless social status points. That's all sophists care about. They grope for power and status and favor. But the truth means nothing to people like you.

      Have the discussion or don't. You're hardly signaling your sophisticated grasp of the issue by citing a wikipedia article a child could find.

      Try harder. If you're looking for an excuse to run away... some social mistake on my part that gives you the right to be offended and thus bow out of the discussion without losing face... just ask and I'll say the thing that you feel justifies you walking away without making an argument and making a lot of stupid claims. Seriously. Your obsession with such things is what is actually tedious. You have no business being in a scientific discussion at all with your mentality.

      Either engage or bail. You have nothing to contribute to the discussion of any value if you won't defend your position with more than stupid insults.

      I am very happy to have a rational discussion about this... but we're going to talk about the issue. Not your endless logical fallacies.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    235. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Actually many geo engineering options have been suggested. Its just that the alarmists are so busy strawmanning, demonizing, ad homineming, and other associated fallacies that in all likelihood you have no idea what so ever what their opposition believes if you only listen to one side.

      The "denial" name for example is a name assigned to us by those same people to associate skeptics with holocaust deniers... which basically means they've invoked Godwin's law... That's how far up their own asses they are on this issue.

      The side that compares you to hitler in a scientific discussion is probably not arguing in good faith... don't you think?

      As to whether I would geoengineer the planet to stop the warming... why? The change in sea levels is not happening quickly. Some coastal cities might be effected eventually but so what? That isn't a global problem. That's a coastal city problem. The world is not a few coastal cities. I'm not interested in wasting resources on this project. We have bigger problems.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    236. Re: Semantics by khallow · · Score: 1

      so the scientists started calling it "catastrophic depth change"

      Except they did not. A proper analogy to "climate change" would have no reference to depth or catastrophe. Perhaps, "vessel change"?

    237. Re: Semantics by prof_robinson · · Score: 0

      Sorry, but he elucidated his case rather well, and listed several points to back up his skepticism. You can do nothing but ignore all of them. Not only would it be easier for you to criticize Nye's position if "he wasn't correct"...it would also be easier for you to defend him, if he were. Nye is degrading the entire argument. If I say to you that I have problems believing in AGW because of the raw satellite data, and your retort is, "you're just a stupid denier that hasn't realized that all the scientists agree with me"...I have WON that argument. You do realize that, right? Noting that Hansen was incorrect in his prediction of doom, does not "prove that he is correct". That's sheer idiocy. It means you should be skeptical about trusting any other "predictions" he offers. Especially ones he refuses to provide his data for. You've offered not one factual rebuttal of anything he stated - instead you strut around, ridicule, and condemn. The sad thing is you like to call that "science".

    238. Re:Semantics by prof_robinson · · Score: 0

      Just like I never doubt the ability of humans to take a fraud and elevate it to a religion. It happens all the time - from weight loss scams, to fortune tellers, to scientology.

    239. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So out of all the scientists in the world, you and a small group of science noobs valiantly fight for truth and justice in climate change?

      The verdict is in from hundreds of people each one smarter than you, and working full-time on this. And you still don't agree!!

      We dont need home schooled heroes on slashdot. Just find something you know about (full time) to rant on

    240. Re: Semantics by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      "Anthropogenic Buoyancy Change", or ABC.

      Torpedo, mine, ram, various ballistic insults. Or as in the case of the tug Blish (Detroit Free Press, April 23rd, 1862), just leaving something open you really shouldn't have... :)

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    241. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I already contradicted that claim with my own citation.

      Except that you did not provide a citation, anywhere in this thread. Your claim to the contrary is 100% false. Are you lying intentionally, or are you just so ignorant of reality that you don't realize that you are lying?

      How amusing that the captcha is "outraged". As in, you seem to be so outraged at being fact-free and wrong that you are digging in your heels and making up nonsense about having proven facts that you have not proven.

    242. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think to understand climate change we need to start with the Sahara Forest and why the Great Salt Lake is salty.

    243. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The creators that coined the term are slightly idiotic for using sloppy language.

    244. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Their shield is the appeals to authority fallacy and ad hominem attacks. Engaging arguments isn't really in their wheelhouse.

    245. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      https://www.reddit.com/r/askscience/comments/18kuzj/why_do_co2_ch4_h2o_etc_absorb_infrared_radiation/

      Go forth and reconsider your understanding.

    246. Re:Semantics by miniskunk · · Score: 0

      While people who believe in the theory disregard any evidence that runs contrary to the theory, proper science takes into account all evidence. Rejecting data that runs counter to what you are trying to prove is very unscientific. There is plenty of denial to spread around. The ones who reject what the global warming believers say have seen the inconsistencies in the evidence submitted and refuse to be brain washed. The biggest lie about global warming theory is that spending our way out of it will stop it from happening. This is nothing more than a trumped up scheme to transfer wealth. The poor are hurt the worst by this. Studies have been done and shown that it is far cheaper to adapt to climate changes if they happen than to try and alter it.

    247. Re:Semantics by miniskunk · · Score: 0

      Bravo! I rather be right in my beliefs than try to appear cool by going along with the crowd.

    248. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Any robust lie must contain obvious truths which correlate to confuse the skeptics and encourage the useful idiots.

    249. Re: Semantics by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      A couple of points for you to think about. There's no point in continuing until you understand them.

      First, the important thing about carbon dioxide is that it is not self-regulating. When you put more into the atmosphere, the concentration goes up. All other components are staying pretty well where they were. Since it's a greenhouse gas, and that's been known since the late 1800s, it's causing global warming.

      Second, you're arguing against the body of climate science by picking out some vaguely mentioned Dutch sea level measurements, ignoring the evidence that the temperature is indeed going up. You're nitpicking some CO2 experiments you've read about. Scientists are intelligent, or they wouldn't be scientists. They tend to think of problems with experiments themselves, because that's what scientists do, and you are highly unlikely to come up with any flaw in the experiment that hasn't been brought up and corrected.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    250. Re:Semantics by budgenator · · Score: 1

      6. less than a degree on average for the whole planet!

      31th december of 1974: - 30 degrees
      23rd december of 2013: + 23 degrees

      This is celsius. Feel free to check wolframalpha.com what that is in fahrenheit

      Since 15 - 20 years we have no winters anymore, I call that global warming. How you call it, is up to you.

      +0.73 deg C is less than a degree

      The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for March, 2016 is +0.73 deg. C, down a little from the February record-setting value of +0.83 deg. C (click for full size version). This makes March 2016 the warmest March in the satellite record (since 1979), and statistically tied with April 1998 for the second warmest month. UAH V6 Global Temperature Update for March, 2016: +0.73 deg. C

      Back in the 70's the Alarmists were talking about a coming ice-age

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    251. Re:Semantics by budgenator · · Score: 1

      No that's a list of things that no one knows all though some have pretended to.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    252. Re: Semantics by beastofburdon · · Score: 1

      You mirror my stance perfectly.
      Our insistence that we are causing climate change is nothing more than our primal urge to be in control. The very thought that climate change cannot be completely controlled by humans scares the hell out of the weak minded, so they insist that the current trend of slow warming must be caused by us, therefore it can be stopped by us.

    253. Re:Semantics by hucker75 · · Score: 1

      It isn't changing any more than it always has, before industrialisation.

    254. Re: Semantics by werepants · · Score: 1

      1. The old Dutch data is probably pretty good actually.

      Sure, there's some decent data - but it wouldn't be honest to claim that our sensing capabilities haven't improved dramatically over the last hundred years. We've got far better quantity and quality of temperature measurements now, so it seems to me that recent data should have more weight than older data.

      If you don't cite the Delta you're basing that statement on then it won't be possible to respond to your statement factually

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      Look at the first graph on the page from the NASA GISS data. The slope is getting steeper. The rate of rise is increasing.

      4. As to IR and what is and is not a greenhouse gas... if you examine the other planets in our solar system that have very different chemistries to Earth, you'll find that their temperatures do not vary based on the chemistry but rather their proximity from the star and the density of the atmosphere. The chemistry appears to be all but irrelevant.

      This definition of a "greenhouse gas" isn't up for debate - the effect has been understood since the 1800's. 1824 to be exact, see Joseph Fourier's initial discovery and calculations. It is a fact that the Earth would be dramatically cooler without greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. As in, cold enough to make it impossible for many species to survive. Greenhouse gases are well understood and play a critical part in insulating the Earth.

      Planets nearer the star are warmer and planets farther away are cooler. So... I don't think there is anything special about CO2 when worrying about planetary temperature.

      The fact that solar insolation impacts temperature is completely orthogonal to the greenhouse gas question. Nobody is asking whether the Earth would be warmer or colder if we changed distance from the sun, the answer is obvious. The question is: Why is the average global temperature of the Earth increasing? We haven't moved closer to the sun in the past 100 years, so it isn't clear what explanation you are trying to offer here.

      Also, the fact that you don't see "anything special" about CO2 means you don't understand the fundamental nature of the argument underlying all of this. It's trivial to demonstrate the role that greenhouse gases play in a high school science experiment. Place a temperature sensor in a bin, cover it with insulating layers of differing gases, and shine an incandescent light through the whole thing. Some will insulate better than others. This experiment has been done, many, many times. CO2 is special because its absorption spectra make it a greenhouse gas, and it is the only one that has seen an appreciable change in atmospheric abundance over the time period in question.

      5. As to what scientists do or don't do... they're not the only ones in this debate. Bill Nye for example isn't a scientist. He's a media personality. And Al Gore is a politician. And once I've stripped away all the people that aren't actually scientists doing science everything becomes a great deal more open to conjecture.

      Don't listen to either of them. That's what I said earlier. Listen to the climate scientists: there is a close to unanimous consensus that the Earth is warming and that the cause is increasing CO2 levels from human activity. Beyond that point, things become less clear, but there just isn't appreciable disagreement within the scientific community on the basic points. Any scientist that could credibly disprove all of his colleagues would be famous and swimming in grant money, but that hasn't happened because the basics are settled and the real meat of the matter has been understood for 100+ years. In effect you're still arguing about whether Michelson and Morley disproved the existence of the aether, while everybody else has moved on to discussing the relativity th

    255. Re:Semantics by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      No that's a list of things that no one knows all though some have pretended to.

      So prove it. Prove that nobody actually understands the climate.

    256. Re:Semantics by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      You do realise that random shmucks posting stuff on slashdot doesn't constitute science?

    257. Re: Semantics by tbannist · · Score: 1

      I already contradicted that claim with my own citation.

      A real stoic would have actually provided a citation, instead of claiming that he had one.

      You're hardly signaling your sophisticated grasp of the issue by citing a wikipedia article a child could find.

      That is quite the sophistry: You claim that my statement is wrong because any child could find the same, correct, answer? Do you also wish to dispute that the world is round and that 1 + 1 = 2?

      I care more about being right than scoring meaningless social status points.

      Unfortunately for you, all of the facts in evidence show this statement to be false. If it were true, you would have refuted my statement with a few simple words, instead of replying to it with meaningless posturing and irrelevant claims and failing to actually address the fact that you believe things which every subject matter expert says is wrong.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    258. Re:Semantics by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      No idea what you want to say.

      A temperature difference of 50 C degrees because of a global average increase of .73 C ? (In german winter on two places roughly 100km from each other)

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    259. Re: Semantics by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Since it's reason versus fantasy it's difficult to be polite.
      The politics isn't even conservative versus not - Thatcher took the side of the experts versus fantasy with climate change. The politics is being paid by a vested interest who wishes to push a fantasy versus not being paid by that vested interest.

    260. Re:Semantics by budgenator · · Score: 1

      31th december of 1974: - 30 degrees
      23rd december of 2013: + 23 degrees

      This is celsius. Feel free to check wolframalpha.com what that is in fahrenheit

      No idea what you want to say.

      A temperature difference of 50 C degrees because of a global average increase of .73 C ? (In german winter on two places roughly 100km from each other)

      That's BS, no way Germany was anything like -30 deg C as a representative temperature unless it was taken on the highest peak of the Germany Alps, Zugspitze, back in the 40's; -30 is Arctic temperatures. citation please, original data.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    261. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Politeness isn't the issue. Making a reasoned argument is the issue.

      its all well and good to say "I'm reasonable" like any trilby tipping twit on facebook but that doesn't actually mean anything.

      Anyone saying anything can as easily make the same argument. Its inherently fallacious.

      As to politics and political arguments... I like that you're said it was a matter of reason versus fantasy and then made a political argument.

      In what way is Thatcher a scientific argument? Does that mean you automatically agree with anything Thatcher has to say about anything? Or are you merely picking and choosing what you like about thatcher arbitrarily? And how is cherry picking quotes evidence of anything?

      If you want to talk about "reason", "science", etc... We can do that. If you want to trade cherry picked political quotes... we can do that.

      But conflating ONE with the OTHER... is fallacious. It really isn't possible to disagree with that and maintain credibility.

      At the heart of every Marxist argument is undeserved moral authority. I've yet to have that maxim fail on me. I don't cite that as evidence against you... merely sharing my own amusement.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    262. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Nor does the world owe you respect just because you lack the ability to back up your own pretensions with a sound argument.

      *kiss kiss*

      I'll respond to your query about my qualifications on climate papers... Name the person that judges if a specific paper passes peer review.

      The information is generally kept secret. You have no fucking idea. Thus asking my qualifications is a false dichotomy. I'll tell you what... I'll offer a secret panel that will review the papers. Deal?

      Same thing. There are reasons for keeping those names secret. They're just not good reasons.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    263. Re: Semantics by tbannist · · Score: 1

      Sorry, but he elucidated his case rather well, and listed several points to back up his skepticism.

      The problem, is that none of the points he listed are real.

      If I say to you that I have problems believing in AGW because of the raw satellite data, and your retort is, "you're just a stupid denier that hasn't realized that all the scientists agree with me"...I have WON that argument. You do realize that, right?

      Unfortunately for you that is not the case at all. Neither of us would have won anything because neither of us has said anything of value. You seem to falling for the fallacy fallacy, in which you think you can win a debate by showing that your opponent used a fallacy. And frankly, you wouldn't know what to do with the "raw" satellite data, and I strongly suspect you have no idea how the satellites work at all.

      Noting that Hansen was incorrect in his prediction of doom, does not "prove that he is correct".

      It's not that Hansen was right or wrong, it's that the indicated prediction was never made. Hansen made a prediction for 40 years in the future if CO2 doubles, neither condition has occurred so he it's a bit hard to evaluate the accuracy of his prediction before it can have occurred.

      The sad thing is you like to call that "science".

      No, I call science, science. This is merely debunking idiots on Slashdot.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    264. Re: Semantics by prof_robinson · · Score: 0

      Sorry, but Hansen's predictions are a bit more complicated. His premise was originally a "doubling of CO2", but at later dates made reference to a doubling of HUMAN-CAUSED CO2. The Fanatical Environmental Left frequently confuses these two things. Human-caused CO2 has doubled, just in the last 10 years, but human-caused CO2 is only 4% of the total CO2 volume - which the Left does not want to mention, since it's kind of invalidates their whole premise: that human-caused CO2 is the problem. So they straddle the two figures, pretending one is the other when convenient.The facts are the ocean burps and swallows more CO2 every year than all of humanity produces...and scientists still haven't figured out how much.

    265. Re: Semantics by BasilBrush · · Score: 0

      i.e. You have no relevant qualifications.

    266. Re: Semantics by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Politeness isn't the issue. Making a reasoned argument is the issue.

      How do you make a reasoned argument against fantasy and lies to those who consider reason itself to have no more relative value than emotion? There lies the problem with the climate "debate". Climate reality versus vested interests that wish to distract from reality and have little or no scruples.

      In what way is Thatcher a scientific argument

      It isn't. It's an example of someone from the conservative side of politics that took advice from subject matter experts in the absence of a lobby group giving contrary advice. It is to point out that this is not a "conservative versus liberal" issue at all.

      At the heart of every Marxist argument

      What has that got to do with anything? Are you setting me up as some kind of strawman?

    267. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      I did. I referenced my citation. You can find it very easily if you make any effort what so ever.

      I'm a stoic... I'm not autistic. If you are clearly going to make no effort to look at anything then I'm going to draw the obvious conclusion that evidence doesn't matter to you. And that has the consequence that I can then deal with you with that position validated. Claims to caring about evidence or facts can be discounted as meaningless words.

      I to sophistication, I didn't say you were wrong. I said you weren't signaling sophistication. Nice try there, sophists. You try with your strawmen but they're not going to work. I will simply error check your fallacy.

      As to you being right or wrong, you didn't cite a position. You just dropped a link and pissed off. Whether you understand anything in that citation... whether you've read it at all... is unknown. If you want to make an argument, and use that as evidence, then you can do that. But you have to actually MAKE an argument.

      As to facts in evidence, I just cited a source that backed up my position. So you're automatically wrong on that statement.

      Your kind are parasites. You build nothing but coalitions and consensus... you are masters of politics, rabble rousing, and lying to idiots. But that's all you're good for... advertisers that have deluded themselves into thinking they can be good kings because they write such catchy jingles.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    268. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      1. The Dutch sea level data is sea level data. Not temp data. Nice try. The dutch sea level data is about as good as it gets actually. Going with any other data requires the use of proxy data and that's not really that precise in a lot of ways.

      2. As to the wiki citation, I'm talking about sea levels. Not the GISS temp data. I can find a lot of problems with that if you want. I will go to individual temp stations and start going through it. But I really doubt you have the stamina to deal with that.

      So lets do something that will actually be productive. Look at the Dutch sea level tables. Look at them. Then explain it. I can go around the world and show you tables like that anywhere good records are kept. Explain it?

      3. As to Greenhouse gas being not up for debate, then do not cite the term to me. Until you are willing to examine a definition I will not accept its use. You don't get to use tautological definitions which is what an unexaminable definition is by definition. Tautology is fallacious. Any educated person knows that. So you can discuss what these things mean or I don't want to hear them used.

      Greenhouse gas is now a blacklisted term between Werepants and Karmashock. Sealed and signed.

      4. As to your rejection of other reference points of the same effect, that is not valid. If you say X+Y+Z=M... and I show you a different context where the equation doesn't work the way you said it does... it invalidates the principle.

      What is more, Venus is specifically used as evidence of this climate model. And thus examining the atmosphere of Venus to question that model is entirely valid.

      Really, a lot of your statements boil down to "I'm rational which is why I don't question. I am educated which is why I don't read. I am scientific which is why I don't check hypothesis."

      If you're rational then you question things. If you're educated then it means you make an effort to inform yourself. If you're scientific then it means you test things.

      You do none of these things. You just want the titles associated with them. You have no interest in actually earning any of them.

      5. As to you listening to climate scientists, which ones? Cite names. And why do you listen to the ones that push one version but not another? Because they don't all say the same thing. And even the ones that agree... most of the agreements are tepid. Read the papers. I do. Bet you don't.

      7. Actually the appeal to authority is false when not all the authorities agree. Remember that the experts of the day once thought Germs weren't real and the men that said tiny creatures we can't see with our naked eyes were responsible for people dying of infection in hospital. Your method of appealing to authority just takes a poll of what you think to be a majority and you simply turn science into a political election.

      Science is not a democracy. I'm sorry. It is not a democracy.

      It is a scientific and logical FACT that ONE or even NO scientist can hold an opinion and that opinion either held by one or none could be right whilst everyone else could be wrong.

      Thus saying "well I have lots of people that agree with me" doesn't actually mean you're right.

      It might mean you're more LIKELY to be right but it doesn't mean you are ACTUALLY right.

      So, technically... given that the statement of "well X number of Y people agree about Z in science so it must be true" is logically invalid. To be logically true... it would have to be true period. As in 1+1=2. That's logically consistent. Saying I have a lot of experts that agree with this position so it must be true is not valid. Logically. if it were true then it would be true in all cases.

      But as I just pointed out and anyone that is educated in the history of science knows... the majority of scientists are on the wrong side of scientific fact on occasion. It happens. And if it happens then you can't say that because they're on one side or the other that that side might be the right side. Because sometimes it isn't the right side.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    269. Re: Semantics by werepants · · Score: 1

      The dutch sea level data is about as good as it gets actually.

      Are you arguing that it's superior to global sea level data, including from satellites? The data might be very good, but there's just no comparison to the scope of data collection we've got currently. My contention is that data continues to get better, so the best data is the most recent. In what ways is the dutch data superior to modern data collection?

      As to the wiki citation, I'm talking about sea levels. Not the GISS temp data.I can find a lot of problems with that if you want.

      You wanted a citation for my claim that the rate of temperature increase is higher now than ever before. The GISS data demonstrates that.

      So lets do something that will actually be productive. Look at the Dutch sea level tables. Look at them. Then explain it.

      Provide a link, or better yet, the title of a peer reviewed journal article. I've looked around for "Dutch sea level data" since that's the only citation you've provided, but all I see are a handful of personal blogs from anti-AGW folks, and even those show plenty of data indicating a sea level rise. So why don't you provide an actual citation, and then I'll let you know if I agree or disagree.

      As to Greenhouse gas being not up for debate, then do not cite the term to me. Until you are willing to examine a definition I will not accept its use.

      Shall we debate the molecular structure of CO2? Should we debate what blackbody radiation is? Should we debate whether infrared radiation exists or is just a government conspiracy? I'm happy to do so, but my point isn't that I'm unwilling to discuss whether CO2 is a greenhouse gas, it's that you seem to be skeptical about whether greenhouse gases exist at all, but this is science that has been settled since the 1800's. You can find lots of simple physics tutorials online that will explain the concept to you. Just google "greenhouse gas demo" and watch one of the youtube videos or perform one of the high-school science labs yourself. It's literally that easy. I'd be happy to keep arguing it, but first you need to actually address why you don't accept the common understanding of absorption spectra and radiative heat transfer that I've described.

      What is more, Venus is specifically used as evidence of this climate model. And thus examining the atmosphere of Venus to question that model is entirely valid.

      What? I've heard some Bill Nye types referring to Venus as an extreme example of greenhouse warming, but that's just for dumbed-down TV explanations. No scientists are relying on Venus temp data to support their global warming findings. And that's because there really isn't much - the most successful Venus probes have lasted mere hours before breaking down, and almost none of them have actually reached the surface. We don't know the atmospheric composition of Venus very well, we don't understand the temperature very well, and so it quite simply has limited use in a global warming discussion. And, at any rate, what limited data we have indicates that Venus is much warmer than mere solar influx would suggest, so the atmosphere is acting to retain a substantial amount of heat on the planet. Nothing there refutes what we know about greenhouse gases and global warming.

      Really, a lot of your statements boil down to "I'm rational which is why I don't question.

      Not really. What it boils down to is that in those areas where I'm not an expert, I tend to trust the experts. I'll still learn and listen to the arguments and form my own opinions, but I know from the areas I am somewhat educated in (physics, electronics, and aerospace in varying degrees) that uneducated skeptics often are so clueless that it is difficult to even explain to them precisely how they are wrong. For instance, many, many people expect to build perpetual motion machines or create free energy, an

    270. Re: Semantics by tbannist · · Score: 1

      I to sophistication, I didn't say you were wrong. I said you weren't signaling sophistication.

      Excellent, then we both agree that you are making factually incorrect claims that can be verified as false by children. Frankly, I don't know why you bothered to write anything else. Please try to remember, in the future, that your previous beliefs on sea level have already been shown to be inconsistent with reality.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    271. Re:Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not even the anthropogenic part I have an issue with. It's the "Use both sides of the toilet-paper" or "People should stop having children"-style approach to solutions. Most of the proposed solutions don't balance human needs of society with what is obviously an important issue.

      In fact, putting this on the same level as The Holocaust means we can't have a reasonable discussion about what are the best cost/benefit options to address pollution, energy efficiency, and species destruction. The FOUNDER OR GREENPEACE doesn't back the current conversation about Climate Change. How many bad ideas got funded because of this unbalanced view? How many hectares of rainforest could have been bought and preserved with this wasted money?

    272. Re: Semantics by jschlesinger · · Score: 1

      Karmashock said:

      "1. The world is warming."
      Correct. However, on the same basis that 'the science is never decided' he should be saying 'current evidence and best interpretation is that the world is warming'. This is 'semantics' after all.
      "2. The seas are rising."
      Correct. And same comment as above.
      "3. The climate is changing."
      Correct. As above.
      "4. The rate of sea level rise over the last 200 years has remained pretty consistent which argues against human activity having any impact on sea level increases."
      Incorrect. See http://oceanservice.noaa.gov/f.... On the best science (see above) there is no evidence that sea levels rose from 0AD to 1900. Since 1990 best science shows sea levels rising 0.04 to 0.1 inches per year, more accurate satellite data shows sea levels rising .12 inches per year since 1992.
      "5. Linking global temperature to human activity is very difficult. We have evidence of the temps going up and down over millions of years. And the current temps are not inconsistent with what they might have been with no humans at all."
      Incorrect. This is the same argument used to say that we don't know that smoking causes lung cancer. It plays on the 'correlation is not causation' argument to say we don't know things we do know. Richard Muller, being unconvinced of the climate change arguments, set up his own non-profit institute (BEST) and did his own statistical study of the temperature record. He showed that the world is indeed warming and that on best science it can only be accounted for by increased CO2 in the atmosphere. He eliminated volcanoes and solar activity.
      "6. I don't think there is anything magical about CO2 that makes it more inclined to cause problems in our atmosphere than anything else. I have looked at the light spectrum absorption patterns and compared them to other common gases in our atmosphere and nearly everything in that spectrum is overlapped by other spectrums of more common gases such as water vapor. As such, I question the relevance of CO2 in this discussion at the current concentrations of the gas."
      Incorrect. This is worse than incorrect, it is irrelevant as stated. It does not matter what someone thinks, science is based on evidence, prediction and explanation. The absorption argument is a long standing piece of pseudo-science that has been debunked many times. It is indeed true that water vapour is a very significant greenhouse gas. But radiative transfer theory, exceptionally well verified by experiment, is excellent at explaining all the known facts about the greenhouse effect. Water vapour exists in the lower atmosphere and almost not at all in the upper atmosphere. CO2 however, rises through the lower atmosphere to have an increasing presence in the upper atmosphere as human activity increases its emission. The height at which atmospheric radiation dominates convection determines the amount of radiation emitted by the planet. We now know that increasing CO2 concentration raises this point reducing radiation and causing the greenhouse effect. Best scince now agrees that doubling CO2 concentration in the atmosphere causes about 3.7 watts per square metre of extra radiation across the surface of the earth. There is no concensus on the amount of feedback present that reacts to this extra radiative driving but all the science is pointing to the sensitivity being higher than conjectured. This sensitivity, not the greenhouse effect, is the final last refuge of skeptics who maintain scientific credibility and it is fast dissapearing.
      "7. The lab experiments that showed that CO2 was a green house gas are misleading in several particulars. First, any gas is a green house gas. Hydrogen can be a greenhouse gas. Helium can be a greenhouse gas... and so on. The experiments also did not account for water vapor in the chamber. The air was desiccated. I'd love to see the difference in energy absorption of two gas samples... one that contains what we think our atmosphere

      --
      John F Schlesinger Temenos UK
    273. Re: Semantics by NoImNotNineVolt · · Score: 1

      Actually many geo engineering options have been suggested. Its just that the alarmists are so busy strawmanning, demonizing, ad homineming, and other associated fallacies that in all likelihood you have no idea what so ever what their opposition believes if you only listen to one side.

      I'd greatly, greatly appreciate any citations of AGW-deniers suggesting and/or promoting geoengineering solutions to climate change. That would be truly awesome.

      The "denial" name for example is a name assigned to us by those same people to associate skeptics with holocaust deniers... which basically means they've invoked Godwin's law... That's how far up their own asses they are on this issue.

      The side that compares you to hitler in a scientific discussion is probably not arguing in good faith... don't you think?

      I find it surprising that you automatically associate the word "deny" with the Jewish holocaust. In my [anecdotal] experience, this isn't a common association. When I write firewall rules, I don't think I've ever had my mind wander to Naziism.

      As to whether I would geoengineer the planet to stop the warming... why? The change in sea levels is not happening quickly. Some coastal cities might be effected eventually but so what? That isn't a global problem. That's a coastal city problem. The world is not a few coastal cities. I'm not interested in wasting resources on this project. We have bigger problems.

      See, this is more what in line with what I'd expect from an AGW-denier (or skeptic, or philosopher, or whatever you prefer). Not proposals for stopping [supposedly non-anthropogenic] global warming or mitigating its effects, but instead further denial of global warming (or climate change) or its effects. So, once we get past the superficial "it's not manmade" argument, it seems we always get to a "the climate's totally fine" argument.

      I wanted to believe that it's just that the alarmists and I were just too busy strawmanning, demonizing, ad homineming to really give you a fair shake, and here you seem to be demonstrating that no, really, you're just penny wise and pound foolish. I'm still hoping you prove me wrong.

      --
      Chuuch. Preach. Tabernacle.
    274. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm sorry, but you are completely wrong. All evidence point to human effort causing global warming, and all scientists believe in it except for the same fraudulent and paid-for scientists that support fake science such as marijuana and anti-vaccination policies.

      You are delusional.

    275. Re: Semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ONE REPUBLICAN USED A SNOWBALL ONCE!!!!

      Don't forget to jerk off NASA and every "climate scientist" that comes out screaming that one month is the hottest month on record, when adjusted for inflation, so therefore climate change IS happening.

      Your head is so far up their asses that you're literally choking to death on their farts -- and yet you're complaining over the stench of a burp.

    276. Re:Semantics by JimGleaves · · Score: 1

      I thought this was a very interesting claim. If it were true, that would seriously challenge many of the sources I trust on this issue. However, the article you link to does NOT say that global ice mass has remained constant, just that the mass in Antarctic has stayed the same. Meanwhile, several other articles on the exact same NASA website address the question of total global ice mass and state things like "the decreases in Arctic sea ice far exceed the increases in Antarctic sea ice. (http://www.nasa.gov/content/goddard/nasa-study-shows-global-sea-ice-diminishing-despite-antarctic-gains).

    277. Re: Semantics by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      As a karma whore, is resent/resemble that remark, you insensitive clod!

      As a karma pimp, I pedanticise your spelling error.

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    278. Re:Semantics by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      And interestingly, one shit problem that, er, out-weighed the rest, was from horses.
      And the solution for that was, ironically, the problem that we're dealing with now.
      And I'll betcha that whatever solution we settle on, will cause a problem for a future generation.

      And for extra credit...
      Does human transportation inherently cause pollution of some sort?
      Above what level? Tribe? City? Region? State?

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    279. Re:Semantics by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      I had to chuckle. PID pissing at 6 digits. Fun, huh.

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    280. Re:Semantics by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      I thought his comment was clever. Then I saw yours.

      "To iterate is human, to recurse, divine."

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    281. Re:Semantics by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      Exactly. I remember as a kid telling my Uncle Farmer how pretty all the rows of trees were along the roads and fields. I that's when I started learning about conservation. 'Course, a good 'ol boy like him didn't call it that.

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    282. Re:Semantics by dryeo · · Score: 1

      Yes, even unlimited fusion will create waste heat problems.
      Pollution is simply too much of something. Horse shit is a valuable fertilizer but as was discovered in the late 19th century, too much is pollution. Same with CO2.
      Any form of transport can be polluting. Even walking if there is enough walkers as they have to shit and piss. Tribes are usually small enough that don't produce enough waste to be polluting, at least long term.

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
    283. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Okay so you concede you have not made a scientific or even rational argument. You've basically spouted a bunch of fallacies...

      What you're doing is confusing politics with science. I can play that game too if you want. Want to play politics. Seen the polling numbers of who is supporting whom in the general population?

      I'm winning. That's the only politics that matters if you want to play that game.

      Look, people let you get away with crap mostly because they let you conflate different intellectual disciplines. I won't.

      You want to argue science? Argue scientifically.

      You want to argue rationally? Then make self consistent arguments that are not inherently fallacious.

      You want to argue politics? Then science and rationality go out the window and we're just seeing which of us can get more people to put our stone into the clay jar to win the election.

      The stoics and the sophists have had many wars over the years. Sophists win when things cannot be proven one way or the other. When its all hearsay. When things actually have to work... The universe has a bias to those that subsume their opinions to the empirical.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    284. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Neither do you. Its a double edged sword. By this logic, no one has a right to an opinion that doesn't have a given degree. Your premise is fallacious. People without qualification X or Y are sometimes correct. That means having that degree doesn't make you right or someone else wrong.

      As such having or not having the qualification doesn't mean anything you're saying is inherently right or wrong.

      That is self evident logic. You must concede the point or declare yourself as illogical.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    285. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      The sat data doesn't go back very far. The dutch data does. Furthermore, I really have to be clear here... I am not questioning the oceans are rising or that the temps are going up. I question the correlation with CO2 emissions. And if you don't have correlation, then you can't have causation.

      As to temp data, I'm not interested in talking about that data set because is basically opaque. Its like that joke computer from The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy... meaning of life is 42. Its a generalizing and averaging issue. Lets focus on the sea levels and the theory. I can audit those. The I can't audit the temp data. Its not reasonable to cite data that can't be audited.

      As to links, here is a fun one:
      http://www.bom.gov.au/oceanogr...

      The dutch link takes a bit more work. I'll get back to that if you're open to debate. The issue and the good thing with the dutch data is that it is raw. Also when the dutch started taking these they didn't think the oceans were rising. They just thought the ground was sinking. So their old dike graphs which were kept accurate so they knew how high to make the dikes... Anyway, they're cited as subsistence graphs. But they go back to 1700. The trick is to figure out what the real subsidence was... then tilt the graph so that that line is horizontal. Values above that line are sea level rise and lines below it are sea level fall. Anyway, its a pain in the ass.

      Most sea level charts that I see that cite a specific auditable tide gauge show no acceleration in the sea level rise. And where you do see that, if you query that source you tend to find references to a subsistence rate that is not factored into the tide gauge data. When you do that the curve tends to flatten. Look, if I trusted opaque numbers that can't be audited using methodology that is often not fully detailed... then I'd be right there with you and agree with everything you're saying.

      I don't trust things that I can't audit. I like information that is either raw or very easily reconstructed because the methodology is detailed specifically enough that I can put whatever transformation in reverse and get the literal original. I don't like super averages of huge data sets. It requires that everything being averaged together be "like" elements. Going through every one of those stations and auditing the information individually is not something I think anyone does when they build these tables. They maybe discard outliers. But I really think you have to go through all those stations one at a time and make sure each one is properly calculated. And that process has to be part of the actual paper that averages them. You have to show in the paper that averages that the things you're averaging can be averaged. Something I'm aware of is that subsistence is a really big problem with these graphs. I really doubt that the majority of people on this site that will tell me I'm a fool for not just listening and believing to whatever you say... I doubt most of them would know what subsistence was if I didn't explain it to them. Once you internalize things like that the political impact of lots of people disagreeing with you becomes ignorable because they didn't look into it at all.

      As to terms you won't debate... I won't debate terms that you won't debate. You either debate or you don't.

      As to your assertion that science is in fact a democracy, I have no problem with the statement that the consensus is likely to be correct. However, it is not always correct. It is sometimes in error. There are many documented cases of the consensus being wrong. Thus it is a fallacy to say that because the consensus says X that X must be true. You can say that your "vote of hands" idea is often correct. However, it isn't always right. So that isn't evidence of being correct.

      As to listening to climate experts... there are climate experts that say many different things and many of them are contradictory. Your policy is to go with t

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    286. Re: Semantics by BasilBrush · · Score: 1

      By this logic, no one has a right to an opinion that doesn't have a given degree.

      No. By this logic you don't have any right to contradict the scientists that are qualified in relevant fields and are doing this stuff everyday. Well you can contradict them, but you will inevitably be wrong.

      You must concede the point or declare yourself as illogical.

      Actually that would be you saying "As such having or not having the qualification doesn't mean anything you're saying is inherently right or wrong." Of course it does.

    287. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Failing to signal sophistication =/= making false statements.

      You're making illogical statements.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    288. Re: Semantics by werepants · · Score: 1

      I don't like super averages of huge data sets. It requires that everything being averaged together be "like" elements. Going through every one of those stations and auditing the information individually is not something I think anyone does when they build these tables. They maybe discard outliers.

      So, you're saying that huge datasets aren't trustworthy on account of their hugeness. And that smaller datasets are better. You're basically just speculating idly about possible sources of error, claiming with no evidence whatsoever that all temp data, period, is inadmissable to the discussion. Cherry picking fallacy and baseless speculation here. And really, even if we go along with your claims, the strongest thing you can say based on the Dutch data is that it shows a sea level rise, but doesn't correlate directly with CO2 increase. Well, check it out: Models don't predict a direct relationship between CO2 levels and sea level rise, and particularly not in the short term.

      As to terms you won't debate... I won't debate terms that you won't debate. You either debate or you don't.

      I'm happy to debate it. Just refute (or respond in some way) to the simple explanation of blackbody radiation and absorption spectra that makes CO2 a greenhouse gas. Oh, and just to be clear, what you're really debating is the definition of a greenhouse gas, with a cursory google search I've found two different dictionary definitions that agree with me:

      greenhouse gas
      noun
      a gas that contributes to the greenhouse effect by absorbing infrared radiation, e.g., carbon dioxide and chlorofluorocarbons.

      As to your assertion that science is in fact a democracy [...] Thus it is a fallacy to say that because the consensus says X that X must be true.

      Lots and lots of strawmen here. I never said that consensus proves truth. Or that science is a democracy. I'm not saying you can't debate AGW, or that you aren't allowed to disagree, or that you are provably incorrect (almost nothing in science can be "proved", at any rate). I merely said that, if you are going against the consensus of the experts, and are not yourself an expert, you are likely to be wrong. And if you are rational you should accept the fact that your opinion is most likely wrong. It is indeed a bet, and the odds are against you.

      Who you are, who I am, who the consensus is, who the skeptics are... irrelevant.

      Not true. Because some sources are more trustworthy than others, and we live in a world with finite time. In such a situation, we must choose to accept many facts on authority and so who is telling us something is tremendously relevant (even if that isn't irrefutable proof). I'm guessing you accept the fact that the sun is powered by fusion. And accept the fact that the earth is round. And trust that your grocery store is actually selling you pork and not diced up human flesh. Since it is a reality of human existence that you can't be an expert on everything, and can't verify every claim singlehandedly, the issue becomes which authorities we should trust. When I look at the debate around anthropogenic global warming, I see scientists and experts aligning themselves overwhelmingly on one side (as demonstrated by the IPCC, among others) and on the other side I see mainly conservative politicians and people associated with industries that have a financial incentive to keep pumping out CO2 with no repercussions. So, for people like you and I who do not have PhDs in climate science and have to accept some things on authority, what is the rational response to this situation?

    289. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      You're fucked! :D

      Okay, so point 4, the seas were not rising prior to 1900.
      http://www.giss.nasa.gov/resea...

      Yawn. You guys think you're so smart... but you're so stupid.

      Your only citation instantly debunked using a source you can't impeach without cutting the dick off your own argument.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    290. Re: Semantics by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      1.
      You're not going to find any AGW deniers saying anything because its like referring to a position as "Nazis"... Which is the rhetorical point of that label.

      They're skeptics on the findings of a lot of things. I personally see no way to argue that there isn't warming, sea level rises, etc... What I do however find difficult to validate is the connection between CO2 and these changes. You have at BEST correlation in some cases. But I've seen a lot of evidence that you don't even have correlation. Absent correlation you can't have causation. And even with correlation you do not have causation.

      There are a few geo engineering ideas. The sulfur dioxide sprayed into the upper atmosphere idea is one. The amount of the gas required to cancel the warming would be an amount that could be squirted out of two garden hoses... ideally roughly on opposite ends of the planet. The idea would involve a tube held aloft by balloons...

      Another idea involves flinging sea water into air to marginally increase cloud cover. The concept either suggests that cargo ships be fitted with units do this on the rear of the ship or that purpose built ships be created to do it.

      Most of the geo engineering ideas after that focus on sequestrating carbon which may or may not even be relevant. Mostly they involve simulating algae growth on a massive scale.

      2.
      As to you finding it odd that the term "denier" in heated political discussions, a term crafted by politicians, and a term used to discredit rivals has no dirty political connotations... I think you may be naive.

      It is a term rendered to associate AGW deniers with holocaust deniers and thus with neo nazis or something. Its a pathetic ploy to bury a baseless ad hominem in a title. And then just as you're doing... when this is pointed out... you'll say "who me?"...

      The pretense is tiring.

      3.
      I didn't deny the warming. So denial is inaccurate and offensive for the reasons stated above. As to proposals to stop climate change. Lets assume the warming is entirely natural for the sake of argument. If we assume the warming is a natural process that would happen with or without humanity... would you still want geo engineering to stop this climate change? Because everything you're saying is predicated on an assumption. You get upset because I don't buy into your assumption. But I don't share your assumption as you can clearly see so why would you be surprised when I wouldn't react as if I did buy into it?

      Now that doesn't mean I don't see problems here. I do. I however see the problems in a different context because I don't see it as man made. For a moment, demonstrate this presumed sophistication you pretend to have and put yourself in my shoes. Can you do that? Imagine if you didn't see the changes as man made but rather a natural process. Recalculate how you'd address it.

      Make an argument if you can as to why I should move heaven and earth to address something that I didn't cause and doesn't appear to be a threat to me?

      Here you're going to go into chicken little mode and scream the sky is falling. What is going to happen that means I should care? If you have a good argument, I'll agree with you.

      I can't offer better than that. No honest person can.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    291. Re: Semantics by NoImNotNineVolt · · Score: 1

      1.
      You're not going to find any AGW deniers saying anything because its like referring to a position as "Nazis"... Which is the rhetorical point of that label.

      Too poorly written to parse. I find AGW deniers saying things all the time, so you're factually incorrect on that point. I have no idea what you mean by 'referring to a position as "Nazis"'. Moving on.

      They're skeptics on the findings of a lot of things. I personally see no way to argue that there isn't warming, sea level rises, etc... What I do however find difficult to validate is the connection between CO2 and these changes. You have at BEST correlation in some cases. But I've seen a lot of evidence that you don't even have correlation. Absent correlation you can't have causation. And even with correlation you do not have causation.

      If I weren't so old, I'd respond with "cool story, bro". This is all fantastic stuff, but it's not evident how this relates to my request for evidence backing the claim that AGW-deniers support geoengineering solutions to climate change.

      There are a few geo engineering ideas. The sulfur dioxide sprayed into the upper atmosphere idea is one. The amount of the gas required to cancel the warming would be an amount that could be squirted out of two garden hoses... ideally roughly on opposite ends of the planet. The idea would involve a tube held aloft by balloons...

      Another idea involves flinging sea water into air to marginally increase cloud cover. The concept either suggests that cargo ships be fitted with units do this on the rear of the ship or that purpose built ships be created to do it.

      Most of the geo engineering ideas after that focus on sequestrating carbon which may or may not even be relevant. Mostly they involve simulating algae growth on a massive scale.

      I'm aware of various geoengineering strategies that might control the global climate, including the ones you listed. What I asked for was evidence that AGW-deniers support any of them. You haven't provided that yet.

      2.
      As to you finding it odd that the term "denier" in heated political discussions, a term crafted by politicians, and a term used to discredit rivals has no dirty political connotations... I think you may be naive.

      The English "deny" comes form the Middle-English "deny" which comes from the Old French "deni" which comes from the latin "denegare". The Latin roots "de-" and "negare" mean "formally" and "say no", respectively. It is a word whose origins trace back much longer than the debate about climate change. There is no evidence that it is a term crafted by politicians. My alleged naivety has no bearing on these facts.

      It is a term rendered to associate AGW deniers with holocaust deniers and thus with neo nazis or something. Its a pathetic ploy to bury a baseless ad hominem in a title. And then just as you're doing... when this is pointed out... you'll say "who me?"...

      While I have no issues giving you the benefit of the doubt and assuming that you earnestly believe this, I question your motives for wanting to abandon the dictionary definition of a word in favor of some flowery interpretation instead. The word "denier" predates the Jewish Holocaust by a healthy margin, so it's hard to fathom how it could have been used to associate things with an event that had not yet occurred. Regardless of your opinion about the intent of using such a word, let me be explicit: when I refer to deniers, I refer to people that disagree that some claim is factually true, and I do not seek to associate them with AGW-deniers, holocaust deniers, or any other deniers, beyond the fact that they all deny some thing or another. If you attribute additional meaning beyond this to my words, you do so in error.

      The pretense is tiring.

      What's tiring is you trying to explain to me what I mean when I write to you. You have no ba

      --
      Chuuch. Preach. Tabernacle.
  2. Millenials by qbast · · Score: 5, Funny

    That's not actually a ringing endorsement.

    1. Re:Millenials by serviscope_minor · · Score: 4, Funny

      Hi Socrates, is the youth of today still terrible?

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    2. Re:Millenials by jellomizer · · Score: 1

      Well they are not as screwed up as those damn baby boomers.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    3. Re:Millenials by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

      When you indoctrinate kids at an early age in government-run schools, they tend to believe what they're told.

    4. Re:Millenials by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I'm more irked by the claim that it's right because of consensus. It's *probably* right because of consensus; the current understanding seems to suggest correctness; and we've got an open dialogue about the scientific community's consensus about fat, salt, and heart disease being totally backwards.

      Massive, highly-publicized scientific consensus has been shown wrong plenty of times--probably because it's such an important political dialogue as to only be right by chance. The harmfulness of saturated fat and salt are the basis of many school lunch campaigns, USDA campaigns, CDC campaigns, and AHA campaigns, right up to the freaking President of the United States and his wife making and publicly speaking on the gravity of such policies. Not simply the fact, but the *extent* of human-induced climate change is a matter of international politics. We're to believe the scientific consensus on one of these was wrong, and the other can't be wrong?

      Correctness of consensus about fat and salt failed *because* of its political importance; and correctness and consensus of climate change seems to have succeeded *in spite of* this political dialogue. Even then, an objective observer can't deny that the *extent* claimed seems to be all over the place, and--perhaps to the credit of the climate-change consensus in general--hasn't exactly reached stable scientific consensus. It's not hard to see how someone could be skeptical of the consensus argument; and it's *easy* to see how someone might be skeptical when, in 2007, the IPCC claimed global warming was occurring at 1/4 the speed they previously claimed, and then in 2010 claimed it was happening 10 times faster than they previously claimed--noting they intentionally shaved down the numbers because "nobody would believe the truth"--and then claimed it was just happening 10 times faster than previously predicted.

      I want to hear about evidence and models, not "people are dumb for not believing this because me and my nerd friends believe it and you should trust us because we went to school for this stuff and rich people believe us." You and your nerd friends have been wrong *many* times; I believe a lot of the things you say because you insist on explaining *why* you're right in more robust terms than "I take computer science 3; I know what I'm talking about!"

    5. Re:Millenials by eth1 · · Score: 1

      That's not actually a ringing endorsement.

      That really just happens to be the label that currently applies to "people old enough to be aware of the problem, and young enough that they'll be around to deal with the effects."

      I'm guessing that the reason older people can still deny it is that they don't really care - they'll probably be gone by then, so why would they make themselves worse off now.

    6. Re: Millenials by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Which is why maintaining liberal control of schools is so critical to enacting social change.

    7. Re:Millenials by Sir_Eptishous · · Score: 1

      Well they are not as screwed up as those damn baby boomers.

      No, they are just the offspring of the Baby Boomers...

      --
      We play the game with the bravery of being out of range
    8. Re: Millenials by qbast · · Score: 2

      Indeed they are. Hold on, I think another of the damn kids is on my lawn.

    9. Re:Millenials by religionofpeas · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I want to hear about evidence and models

      So, what's stopping you ? You can start with the IPCC reports and all of its references to supporting literature. You can download source code of the models, and raw temperature data. If you don't believe in consensus, that's your right, but don't claim there's no evidence provided, and that it's all based on trust.

    10. Re: Millenials by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most climate researchers provide R scripts to reproduce their analysis.

      The Deniers claim you are stupid if you can reproduce their results, but they don't provide code or detailed methods.

    11. Re:Millenials by ihtoit · · Score: 1

      computer models that rely on dat athat stops prior to 1976 isn't evidence. That's a broken model.

      --
      Political debates have me rolling my eyes so much I think I got optical whiplash. I should sue. - Foamy The Squirrel
    12. Re:Millenials by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let's go ask Golden Age Greek Civilization...

      What's that, you say? It collapsed? Oh.

      Socrates may have been off on the timing, but history shows multiple points where the younger generations really *couldn't* handle the responsibility.

      Now get off my lawn.

    13. Re:Millenials by religionofpeas · · Score: 2

      computer models that rely on dat athat stops prior to 1976 isn't evidence. That's a broken model.

      Well, I guess it's a good thing that there are also people running models with modern data. But that wasn't even my point. The point is that all the tools and data are there to show how the consensus is wrong. And yet, nobody's doing that. If you think the model is broken, please fix it, and show your results. You'll be famous.

    14. Re: Millenials by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Terrifying to see it openly admitted.

    15. Re:Millenials by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You know, sometimes, some times, the complaints about the next generation might be grounded in some truth.

      Just sayin'.

    16. Re:Millenials by ihtoit · · Score: 1

      that's simple, yet the people who run the models refuse to do it because it'll show the bias in their models: use older data. It's available, it might not be five-nines accurate or 100% there, but it's there to use.

      --
      Political debates have me rolling my eyes so much I think I got optical whiplash. I should sue. - Foamy The Squirrel
    17. Re:Millenials by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      yet the people who run the models refuse to do it

      Why are you waiting for them ? Download the models and do it yourself.

    18. Re:Millenials by wyHunter · · Score: 1

      Yeah they're even worse than the boomers.

    19. Re:Millenials by ihtoit · · Score: 1

      Sure. Send me US$170million in unmarked bills so I can buy the computer I'll need to run it.

      --
      Political debates have me rolling my eyes so much I think I got optical whiplash. I should sue. - Foamy The Squirrel
    20. Re:Millenials by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      Send me US$170million in unmarked bills so I can buy the computer I'll need to run it.

      Since your efforts will save us billions of dollars in mitigation, I'm sure that funding can be obtained. Have you tried contacting Shell or Exxon ?

    21. Re:Millenials by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Please supply a link to the raw unadjusted data.

    22. Re:Millenials by tsotha · · Score: 1

      You can certainly hear about models, but there isn't any actual evidence for the "A" in AGW, unless you consider models evidence.

    23. Re:Millenials by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's argument behavior. Whenever I have economics discussions, I cite particular things I've studied and analyzed. I don't just state that other people believe me and so that's good enough. Sometimes I deal with annoying people who want that by pointing out Robert Solow's theories are close to mine (Solow won a Nobel Prize of Economic Sciences for his work, and modern economics uses his models to separate labor force growth from technological growth), and then go back to explaining *why* the things I'm claiming are correct, backed up by economic history.

      Nobody points out broadly-studied theories and models and historical behaviors when arguing climate change; they just claim arbitrary consensus. They bring nothing to the table but "I have met with the Council and they have rendered their decision!"

      It's no good to just tell people they can believe you or go look for themselves. That's not a strong argument point; it's a position that suggests you don't actually understand why you're taking a position, other than that it seemed like the one everyone else was taking.

    24. Re:Millenials by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      its cool a bunch of 15 year olds had a vote to decide what the correct science is

      now to get more women into STEM courses - all the girls in gender studies class tell me that's a big problem

    25. Re:Millenials by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, Gen X is the offspring of the Baby Boomers. Millenials are the offspring of Gen X.

    26. Re:Millenials by medv4380 · · Score: 2

      What's the point? I have convening proof that the Global Warming claims are wrong. I've provided source code, and detailed analysis. All that happens is the Global Warming advocates call me the equivalent of a Holocaust denier. Just go download the Global Historical Climatology Network dataset. Pull out the Evaporation Rate data for yourself. Then calculate the change in evaporation rate for all the stations that have data over the last 30 years or from 1950 to present if you're game. You won't find any meaningful increase or decrease from 1950 to 2010. Unless you want to change the claim that Global Warming Started around October 2010 then global warming doesn't exist as it's been claimed.

    27. Re:Millenials by Gussington · · Score: 1

      and we've got an open dialogue about the scientific community's consensus about fat, salt, and heart disease being totally backwards.

      Er, what? I thought this thread was about climate change, but oh well let's go here. Who has what backwards, can you be specific? I mean that because most of the time when people claim 'science got it wrong', what they really mean in 'the media got it wrong', or 'someone trying to sound like a scientist got it wrong'. Especially with nutrition, there are a whole world of 'experts' out there with no formal training who claim all sorts of crap. So I'd be interested to hear more of this scientific consensus that you speak of.

      Massive, highly-publicized scientific consensus has been shown wrong plenty of times--

      When exactly? And since you demand evidence and models, I'm expecting the same standard here.


      It's probably also worth noting that science routinely gets stuff wrong, that is the whole point of experiments, to validate/invalidate theories. And when it is wrong, it gets proven wrong by more rigorous science, not by politics or religion. That's the beauty of science, it has its own error-correcting mechanisms built-in.
      You seem to imply that because science has gotten stuff wrong we should abandon the whole process and try something else instead?

    28. Re: Millenials by sexconker · · Score: 1

      Did you just double self reply to make this point?
      Everyone knows that government education = liberal indoctrination = intolerant zealotry.

    29. Re:Millenials by budgenator · · Score: 1

      We've heard it before, back when we were running nosed kids, and have been around long enough to see how it didn't panned out; same shit, different day.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    30. Re:Millenials by sexconker · · Score: 1

      At best you'll get a link to data + codes along with a table of code definitions listing the data as "adjusted", "dropped", "known bad", "missing", etc.
      If all the retards who believe in this shit would spend 5 fucking minutes to look at the data, something they so frequently scream at others to do, they'd realize it's a farce.

    31. Re:Millenials by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      or more likely, the grandkids of the Baby Boomers

    32. Re: Millenials by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, with any luck, he's got some nice warm hemlock soup for you.

    33. Re:Millenials by Layzej · · Score: 1

      there isn't any actual evidence for the "A" in AGW, unless you consider

      Unless you consider physics...

    34. Re:Millenials by Foobar+of+Borg · · Score: 1

      That's not actually a ringing endorsement.

      Why not? Because the current generation is going to the dogs? How many times have we heard that? The baby boomer generation, who are now the old farts, were constantly belittle for their stupidity and selfishness when they were young. You can easily see it from 1950s films. I also suggest checking here. It's number 29, entitled "Only Johnny Knows". Notice how what is said could just as easily apply to millenials, baby boomers, generation x, and so on. This nonsense is really get tiring...

    35. Re:Millenials by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      Yeah, and while you're at it, read the US Tax Code before you come to me and bitch about how high your taxes are.

    36. Re:Millenials by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'll get on running them as soon as you can tell me if they're correct. Are clouds still just a fudge factor? If you feed past results to they actually accurately predict the past observed behavior? Cuz if they haven't managed those yet there's real no point running them again.

    37. Re:Millenials by DamnOregonian · · Score: 1

      You are correct about this...
      However, it would be quite foolish to straight up doubt the "A" for lack of evidence, because- well, thermodynamics.
      If anything, I'd be more concerned why you're having trouble finding the evidence for the "A", as it *must* be there, because again, thermodynamics.
      That means you're missing pieces of the system, and you should be afraid that you're altering a system without understanding it.

    38. Re:Millenials by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Perfect! You proved his point. When you go to select the data you have 3 options:

      1. GHCN v3 adjusted + SCAR data

      2. After removing suspicious records

      3. After GISS homogeneity adjustment

      None of those are actual raw data; they're already adjusted, heavily edited to remove "outliers", or homogenized with other data. The link is not the raw, unadjusted data.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    39. Re:Millenials by NicknameUnavailable · · Score: 1

      So, what's stopping you ? You can start with the IPCC reports and all of its references to supporting literature. You can download source code of the models, and raw temperature data. If you don't believe in consensus, that's your right, but don't claim there's no evidence provided, and that it's all based on trust.

      Every time someone has done that without political bias they've found holes in the research on this subject.

    40. Re:Millenials by Trogre · · Score: 1

      Link, or it didn't happen.

      --
      "Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
    41. Re:Millenials by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      You can run climate models on a laptop in our days.
      Get your head out of your arse.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    42. Re:Millenials by Layzej · · Score: 1

      Or you can choose option 2 and get the raw station data.

    43. Re:Millenials by AthanasiusKircher · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Nobody points out broadly-studied theories and models and historical behaviors when arguing climate change; they just claim arbitrary consensus. They bring nothing to the table but "I have met with the Council and they have rendered their decision!"

      Actually, plenty of people have offered this information. Most of us are tired of doing so.

      At some point, when the 300th idiot claims, "Einstein's relativity doesn't make sense, and here's my crazy theory about why!" you just want to say, "Hey, go read a textbook." This often comes up around evolutionary theory too among the "skeptics." There are thousand-page long college textbooks on evolutionary theory, but you'll still get morons claiming that "there's no consensus" and "WHERE'S THE PROOF?!?!?"

      It's no good to just tell people they can believe you or go look for themselves. That's not a strong argument point; it's a position that suggests you don't actually understand why you're taking a position, other than that it seemed like the one everyone else was taking.

      Except we've reached the point now where the evidence has stacked up so much that it's no longer rationally sustainable to argue against climate change. Yes, if you're arguing about a particular theory or a particular model, of course you should cite details, just as in your economics examples

      But 90% of the public "debate" for climate change is over whether it exists AT ALL. We can argue about the magnitude of the change or how much various factors contribute to its cause, but for those people who deny it's happening at all, it's really not up for debate anymore.

      And that's the problem. At some point you just turn to the lunatic young-earth creationist and say, "Go reader the freakin' college textbook on evolutionary theory. When you've digested it, and you feel like you still can refute all of it point-by-point, maybe come back and we can have a discussion."

      But they won't do that. Just like the climate-change denier won't do that. They don't want to have rational debate anymore. They've decided their position a priori, and they'll seek out whatever evidence will support that a priori argument.

      At that point, it's no good to debate AT ALL. And that's why many of us stop citing stuff. We're just tired... it's not that we don't understand. It's that the other side is a bunch of people who aren't interested in rational discourse anymore.

    44. Re:Millenials by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      And you believe your own words?
      Is there a name for this illness?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    45. Re:Millenials by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      The models model climate.
      They don't model humans, that is what the A stands for, Andromorphic or something.

      If you are to dumb to google for CO2 increase and to dumb to realize that the CO2 is human made ...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    46. Re:Millenials by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      No you don't. You get the stations that are deemed "OK". What stations are tossed out? What data was edited, removed?

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    47. Re:Millenials by Layzej · · Score: 1

      You are crazy paranoid if you think they're hiding something by not providing access to station data that aren't even part of their analysis. If you are curious about how the data is selected and processed maybe read the published literature?

    48. Re:Millenials by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      I'll get on running them as soon as you can tell me if they're correct.

      Your entire argument is that they are not correct. If you didn't know, why not just say so?

      Are clouds still just a fudge factor?

      Download the code and notes on methodology and find out.

      If you feed past results to they actually accurately predict the past observed behavior?

      Why not run them and find out?

      Cuz if they haven't managed those yet there's real no point running them again.

      That's entirely the reason for running them - to demonstrate that your allegations are true. You couldn't be more wrong.

    49. Re:Millenials by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      It's argument behavior. Whenever I have economics discussions, I cite particular things I've studied and analyzed. I don't just state that other people believe me and so that's good enough.

      Depends on the context. In this context, a small number of people dispute the science. If I quote the works of Bohr or Einstein or Webb, and someone random guys says "I don't believe you" then what is that to me? Am I responsible for his stupidity? No, really Nye and others are being unnecessarily polite: saying "this science is widely accepted" is not proving that the science is true, is doesn't need to be re-proven by Nye. It is a polite way of reminding deniers that their "doubt" is irrelevant both as science, and as a social construct. To disprove the hypothesis scientifically, deniers merely need to provide evidence that it is wrong. To disprove it sociologically (i.e. convince us to do nothing) they merely need to provide a compelling argument.

      Neither of these things has actually been done, or even attempted, in the 20 years since denying the science became a thing.

    50. Re:Millenials by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2

      Scientists aren't afraid to share the data - ALL the data. And explain why they discounted it. Why is this data hidden? What was the criteria for dropping stations? Especially when an independent audit found that less than 8% of all stations had an accuracy of less than 1 deg C.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    51. Re:Millenials by medv4380 · · Score: 1

      Link to which the GHCN data from NOAA, or the source code and analysis that you can easily do for yourself.

    52. Re:Millenials by medv4380 · · Score: 1

      Yea there is. It's called RayDavisItis, and symptoms including having socially unacceptable results.

    53. Re:Millenials by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      You should read this FAQ. It contains links to papers that explain the reasons and methods used for adjustments to the raw data. You might learn something. Even if you had the raw data you would still have to make your own adjustments to account for things like station moves, instrument changes, changes in the time of observation, etc.

    54. Re:Millenials by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      How does Evaporation Rate data prove global warming claims are wrong? What is it about evaporation rates that show that. I'll admit that temperatures probably affect ERs but I imagine absolute humidity has an effect on them too. Evaporation slows down when the humidity is higher.

    55. Re:Millenials by tsotha · · Score: 1

      Oh, what was I thinking? You're right, of course. The entire world is just like a big glass box with CO2 in it. Case closed.

    56. Re:Millenials by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      You can certainly hear about models, but there isn't any actual evidence for the "A" in AGW, unless you consider models evidence.

      Of course there is. It's easy to show that the increase in CO2 is due to human burning of fossil fuels. It's easy to show the infrared absorption properties if CO2. This study from 2000 to 2010 showed an increase in radiative forcing at ground level from increasing CO2.

      They found that CO2 was responsible for a significant uptick in radiative forcing at both locations, about two-tenths of a Watt per square meter per decade. They linked this trend to the 22 parts-per-million increase in atmospheric CO2 between 2000 and 2010. Much of this CO2 is from the burning of fossil fuels, according to a modeling system that tracks CO2 sources around the world.

    57. Re:Millenials by Blaskowicz · · Score: 1

      So what?
      Are you suggesting we ignore missing or wrong data and put a bunch of zeros or 0xFFFFFFFF in there instead?

    58. Re:Millenials by tsotha · · Score: 1

      Yeah, like I said. Actual, observational evidence? None. The models amount to not much more than speculation. Informed speculation, but speculation nonetheless.

    59. Re:Millenials by sexconker · · Score: 1

      I'm pointing out that data is cherry picked and manipulated.

    60. Re:Millenials by Layzej · · Score: 1

      How do you suppose we know the physical properties if not through observation?

    61. Re:Millenials by Layzej · · Score: 1

      It's not hidden. It is published in the literature. Enough of the crazy.

    62. Re:Millenials by medv4380 · · Score: 1
      One of the many claims that Global Warming has made is that Evaporation Rate has increased increasing the amount or humidity, and thus increasing the amount of rain. However, the precipitation data from the same dataset that has an radical increase in precip started in last 2010. Now just think about what you said.

      Evaporation slows down when the humidity is higher.

      The data shows that evaporation from 1950 to 2010 hasn't slowed down or speed up. It's stayed relatively constant. From your own logic and the data it's easy to conclude that no global warming exists from 1950 to 2010.

      I've analyzed the data enough that just about any question you can come up with to poke a hole in it can easily be answered.

    63. Re:Millenials by ihtoit · · Score: 1

      if that were true, then why does the NOAA need some of the biggest iron in existence JUST TO RUN CLIMATE MODELS??

      #2 at Oak Ridge! If you can do it on a fucking laptop WHY DO THEY NEED THAT??

      YOU get YOUR head out of YOUR arse!

      --
      Political debates have me rolling my eyes so much I think I got optical whiplash. I should sue. - Foamy The Squirrel
    64. Re:Millenials by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Whiny little shits who expect success to be handed to them?

      Sounds like the youth of today.

    65. Re:Millenials by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      They don't *need* they *want* that is a difference.

      Also the question is what you actually want to model, e.g. currents in the sea, rain distribution, typical shifts of wind patterns over the year etc.

      If you only want to model how much the planet is warming up if CO2 reaches concentration X a few python scripts will do that in seconds.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    66. Re:Millenials by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      That actually comes pretty close to it. However if you want to compare it with a glass house: the CO2 is the glass.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    67. Re:Millenials by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Exactly, what?

      Exactly that you are wrong. It was not a "made up crisis". It was a server crisis which luckily got isolated and confined.

      Gives us money to intervene, otherwise Quotes like this show us you are cynical asshole. A huge deal of people involved where unpaid volunteers.

      This number was ridiculous since it assumed ritual funerary Quotes like this show that you are an complete idiot.

      Ebola is highly infective ... as soon as one is coughing around you you might catch it. Lethality rate is depending on variation 40% to 80%. At least was the case before the last outbreak during which the first working treatment was announced.

      Astonishing that you know everything better than experts, while you actually have no clue about the matter at hand.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    68. Re:Millenials by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      By all means, publish your data. Let us have at it. If you disprove climate change, you'll be one of the most important scientists ever on this planet.

    69. Re:Millenials by tsotha · · Score: 1

      You don't get to AGW from first principles. There's a lot of guesswork involved, and a lot of feedback loops. The problem is they come up with models and have no way to test them.

    70. Re:Millenials by tsotha · · Score: 1

      No, actually, that doesn't at all come close to describing global climate.

    71. Re:Millenials by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Models are evidence. A scientific theory is basically a bundle of data with more or less quantitative models attached. The models are used to generate predictions of what certain experiments and observations will see, and the theory is adjusted based on what's actually observed.

      We know that humans are putting lots of carbon dioxide in the air, and have raised the concentration a lot. We know that CO2 is a greenhouse gas, and is capable of causing global warming.

      If your nuts hurt, would you blame me just because I kicked them just before the pain started? You'd be assigning blame based on a coincidence in time and a model.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    72. Re:Millenials by TylerJWhit · · Score: 1

      From someone who knows climate change exists, and doesn't believe in Evolution, your entire argument in this post is a big ad hominem. In fact, in your attempt to refute the comment above you, you did EXACTLY what he claimed.

      Most 'Climate Change deniers' that I know of aren't denying climate change itself, but the conclusions drawn from them, that the world and all of humanity will be doomed as a result of us humans not conserving, that the results of global warming are as catastrophic as some propose, and whether or not humans are to blame.

      Just because someone doesn't agree with you, doesn't make them an idiot.

    73. Re:Millenials by Layzej · · Score: 1

      Nonsense. Thermodynamics, Stefan–Boltzmann law, solar isolation, and radiative transfer equations = AGW. Feedbacks can be measured. We know how much extra moisture the atmosphere is accumulating as it heats. We measure the change in albedo as the ice melts. Etc.

    74. Re:Millenials by tsotha · · Score: 1

      Nonsense. You're measuring third order effects. That's not evidence, particularly when the models seem to have almost zero predictive value.

    75. Re:Millenials by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Evolutionary theory sounds nice, as long as you stick with carefully the guarded statements and artwork they put in the textbooks. Believing it is also pretty easy, since not doing so gets one labelled an idiot. However, the theory does tend to break down under any serious attempt to quantify it: Pick any two reasonably separated species of which it is said that one is descended from another, then estimate the number of generations between the two and how much information is randomly generated or inserted and selected for (also with per-generation figures), then compare with observed rates of comparable mutations (mutations which increase the amount of information in a creature, enabling new features are not the same as mutations which decrease the amount of information, disabling or removing existing features, and so should not be conflated) - pretty soon, you venture into wild speculation and have to go looking for something that resembles an infinite number, just to make it seem plausible.

      Abiogenesis gets you into similar problems. For that matter, so does DNA coding for complex proteins with little or nothing of benefit to have been derived from.

    76. Re:Millenials by Layzej · · Score: 1

      That the world will warm as atmospheric CO2 increases is basic physics. The radiative forcing from that CO2 is well constrained (given by 5.35 ln(c/c0)wm^-2). That ice melts as it warms is basic physics. That water is less reflective than ice is basic physics. That the atmosphere will hold (and is holding) more moisture as it warms is basic physics. That water vapour is a powerful greenhouse gas is basic physics. The amount of warming directly attributable to the added moisture is well constrained. (see http://www-ramanathan.ucsd.edu...)

      We believe that the amount feedbacks will enhance warming from CO2 is well constrained, but there could be (and already have been) surprises. For example arctic ice melt is well beyond what we had anticipated. We have underestimated that feedback.

      To some extent you are being alarmist by suggesting that we don't really know, but then again, this is a grand experiment and we may need to learn to expect the unexpected.

    77. Re:Millenials by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      We missed a chance on labeling the offspring. Should'a been called Baby Bouncers.

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
  3. Like his career by Trailer+Trash · · Score: 3, Funny

    ran out of steam 20 years ago.

    1. Re:Like his career by rsborg · · Score: 1, Insightful

      ran out of steam 20 years ago.

      Nice ad-hominem. I see you're a regular reader of the Conversational Terrorism handbook!

      --
      Make sure everyone's vote counts: Verified Voting
    2. Re:Like his career by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      You took the wind out of his sails, there!

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
  4. It's only a matter of time. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    Now we just have to wait 30 more years for millennials to get into positions where they can do something about it.

    1. Re:It's only a matter of time. by tnk1 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Now we just have to wait 30 more years for millennials to get into positions where they can do something about it.

      At which time they will act like people who are 30 years older than they are now.

      Young people like to get behind causes to save the world, but burn out after a few decades of reality. News at 11.

    2. Re: It's only a matter of time. by 110010001000 · · Score: 2

      TMZ at 8. Is that more your style?

    3. Re:It's only a matter of time. by gachunt · · Score: 2

      > At which time they will act like people who are 30 years older than they are now.

      Amazing what happens when one grows up and has to start paying their own way through life eh?

      Placing a monetary value on "save the world" causes tends to put things in perspective.

    4. Re:It's only a matter of time. by Gussington · · Score: 1

      At which time they will act like people who are 30 years older than they are now.

      Young people like to get behind causes to save the world, but burn out after a few decades of reality. News at 11.

      Which is why the world today is still exactly like it was in the 18th century. Oh wait...

    5. Re:It's only a matter of time. by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Young people like to get behind causes to save the world, but burn out after a few decades of reality. News at 11.

      What a load of crap. The world has been getting progressively better for each generation since the industrial age started. Climate change is just the latest in a long line of trends that a young generation doesn't want to put up with when they get older, and the older generation doesn't care about as they are about to kick the bucket anyway.

    6. Re:It's only a matter of time. by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, that's true. In the 18th Century, they didn't have cars, iPhones, or nuclear weapons. I feel better already.

    7. Re:It's only a matter of time. by unimacs · · Score: 1

      I don't think that's quite it. I think it has more to do with the fact that pushing for change involves taking certain risks. And you're right, this is easier when you only have yourself and your own limited possessions to worry about. That doesn't mean their ideals are or were misplaced. It means that over time there's a tendency to get more entwined in the system as it exists. Thirst for change dwindles to the point where some actually fear it, - even if they would ultimately benefit from it.

      I can guarantee that today's millennials will develop customs and behaviors that are unhealthy and destructive. Their grandkids will learn from science the truth about these behaviors and many of today's millennials will kick, scream, and claim conspiracy rather than change.

    8. Re:It's only a matter of time. by khallow · · Score: 1
      I don't think that's quite it. I think rather it's for one of the same reasons that high tech start ups like young workers. Because they're gullible. In 30 years, after being burned a few times, they'll be less gullible.

      I can guarantee that today's millennials will develop customs and behaviors that are unhealthy and destructive. Their grandkids will learn from science the truth about these behaviors and many of today's millennials will kick, scream, and claim conspiracy rather than change

      Cool story, bro. I think a large part of the problem is that belief happens because it's a cool story, not because it has bearing in reality.

      For the record, I believe humanity has a measurable impact, via elevated levels of green house gases on the long term climate. What I don't believe are the alarmist predictions of irreversible doom, if we don't drink the kool aid right now.

  5. Except... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Except that it's quickly being followed by a "environmental concern is White Privilege" narrative.

    1. Re: Except... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sorry, Dan. This is the second time I have ever heard that.

    2. Re: Except... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We must not be following the same people.

    3. Re: Except... by Tailhook · · Score: 1
      --
      Maw! Fire up the karma burner!
  6. Doubt is essential to science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    otherwise we fall back into dogmatic belief

    Despite being very easy to disprove, Aristotle's theories on gravity persisted for centuries, until Galileo of course. So call me a little skeptical of 100% proven anything

    1. Re:Doubt is essential to science by unimacs · · Score: 1

      It's fine and good to question, but the best information we have says that there's a problem that needs attention. CO2 levels in the atmosphere were 280 ppm in the mid-18th century and now they're 402 ppm. We can hope that continuing increases won't have any severe consequences but it would be wise to consider the real possibility that they will.

    2. Re:Doubt is essential to science by budgenator · · Score: 1

      The effect of increasing CO2 on temperature diminish logarithmically; unlikely to be severe. we might not even have enough fossil fuel left in the ground to get to severe..

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    3. Re:Doubt is essential to science by unimacs · · Score: 1

      Doesn't that depend on what you consider severe? I would consider permanent flooding of some coastal areas and more frequent flooding of others coastal areas to be severe. I'm not inclined to believe that humans are going to be wiped out by AGW but that doesn't mean lesser consequences aren't extremely serious.

    4. Re:Doubt is essential to science by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Perhaps you should look at the equation?
      It is logarithmic but for all practical purpose it is more or less linear at the levels we have right now.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    5. Re:Doubt is essential to science by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Your right of course, right now they are saying most of the warming is in the Arctic, if that means it's up to -25 instead of the more typical -35 winter temperatures, I don't see that having a lot of practical physical significance; however if it starts hitting 0 earlier in the spring and the Tmax is a couple degrees higher all summer, you have a different situation. The Arctic is a tough nut for climatologist, the historical record isn't as accurate as they would have you believe. DEW line radar jockeys getting paid basically minimum wage, aren't the most reliable about going outside where you can freeze to death in minutes or get eaten by a polar bear to read a thermometer when they can just sit in the ready room and just write down whatever they feel like. Even satellite coverage isn't the best over the Arctic.

      There have been plenty of predictions of an ice free Arctic and 20m increases in sea-level that haven't panned out.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    6. Re:Doubt is essential to science by budgenator · · Score: 1

      I don't think your grasping the concept of logarithms properly, it's more of a calculus thing than a arithmetic thing. Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity is how many degrees of temperature change we would expect for each doubling of the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere. If Climate Sensitivity is 2, (a middle of the road value); and we have 280 ppm (a generally excepted value for pre-industrial levels); then you would expect a 2 degree when CO2 hit 360 ppm, another 2 degrees when CO2 hits 720 ppm. Each 2 degrees require twice as much CO2; there is no linear area, it might look that way when graphed, but if you look at the scale, the numbers are not equally spaced, they are logarithmically scaled

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  7. Are millennials better at Science by mi · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "It's very hard to find a millennial-aged person that is not concerned about climate change."

    Is this because Millennials are better at Science, or simply because they believe, what public school teachers told them?

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    1. Re:Are millennials better at Science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're talking about religion there.

    2. Re:Are millennials better at Science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is this because Millennials are better at Science, or simply because they believe, what public school teachers told them?

      Those evil public school teachers making fortunes like $40k/year to peddle outrageous lies to our children.
      My grandfather wasn't a monkey ! Good day to you sir !

    3. Re:Are millennials better at Science by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 0

      "It's very hard to find a millennial-aged person that is not concerned about climate change."

      Is this because Millennials are better at Science, or simply because they believe, what public school teachers told them?

      The former.

      Next question?

    4. Re:Are millennials better at Science by istartedi · · Score: 1

      This. Take away religion and other things step in to fill the void.

      --
      For all intensive purposes, "whom" is no longer a word. That begs the question, "who cares"?
    5. Re:Are millennials better at Science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Climatology is a religion.
      They only grow by silencing heretics and non-believers.
      It is why they get so upset with "deniers".

    6. Re:Are millennials better at Science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "It's very hard to find a millennial-aged person that is not concerned about climate change."

      Is this because Millennials are better at Science, or simply because they believe, what public school teachers told them?

      IMO, the second.

      Millennials were the first to be indoctrinated into climate change from childhood, thus it doesn't surprise me that they are concerned about climate change. What does concern me is that Millennials don't seem interested in thinking critically about the topic, but I guess that's just part of the indoctrination process.

      As for me, I'm clearly in the older population. I don't deny climate change as a phenomena, but I do deny a particular source as the reason for it. Quite frankly I'm not convinced either camp has made a convincing argument for a particular source, or a lack of one.

    7. Re:Are millennials better at Science by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      Yeah, hence so many of them signing petitions to remove that terrible chemical dihydrogen monoxide from our environment.

    8. Re:Are millennials better at Science by mi · · Score: 1, Insightful

      The former.

      Typically, such answers are accompanied by arguments and citations of supporting evidence... Unless, of course, you wish me to accept it on faith — like the rest of the AGW...

      Next question?

      Please, cite two scientific statements made by climatologists between 1970 and 2011, that made a useful prediction. Each of your two (or more) examples must contain a link to the prediction and a link to confirmation...

      Of course, if you can't find such statements, we'll have to conclude, that Climatology is not really a scientific discipline and thus scientific powers of Millennials aren't, after all, related to the argument... Thank you!

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    9. Re:Are millennials better at Science by CWCheese · · Score: 1

      it also has a structure for indulgences

      --
      Have a Day!
    10. Re:Are millennials better at Science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      What a crazy idea that teachers should inform students about a major issue that scientists have developed a consensus about, and which might profoundly affect today's students over the next few decades when they will start making decisions about the direction society will take to address the challenge. I guess we should instead keep them in the dark and continue to party on as if nothing is happening.

    11. Re:Are millennials better at Science by acoustix · · Score: 2

      Modern environmentalism is a religion. It has deities, a set dogma, a clergy, heresy and excommunication, and even its own apocalypse (complete with punishment for sins).

      The only thing missing is the smug farts.

      --
      "A plan fiendishly clever in its intricacies"- Homer Simpson
    12. Re:Are millennials better at Science by will_die · · Score: 1

      A lot of them have just accepted the group think of not thinking for themselves. They just accept and repeat what they hear as the majority of the people and go along with that.
      So in cases like this they accept the message about global warming and don't really care. If they have the money they will purchase items that make it look like they care. As one example look at the Prius. There are plenty of other car models that do as well but they look like the regular car. The Prius looks differently and that is one of its major selling points.

    13. Re:Are millennials better at Science by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 1

      I think I've seen this trick from you (or someone like you) before.

      I don't think there is any possible thing I could post, from any source, that you wouldn't deny with semantic games and make new demands. I doubt that there is any objective evidence in this entire universe that you would allow to conflict with your preconceived world view. I'm not going to waste my time like that.

    14. Re:Are millennials better at Science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not even about believing. Beliefs change with facts and evidence.

      No, this generation has been taught to feel. They feel the correct feelings with their feely feelers that make them feel right in their feely spot that global warming is real, black people can't be racist, and we live in a rape culture because there aren't enough girl emoticons on the iphone.

    15. Re:Are millennials better at Science by mi · · Score: 1

      I think I've seen this trick from you (or someone like you) before.

      Yes, I've used this rhetorical device before.

      that you wouldn't deny with semantic games and make new demands

      The only "demand" I forgot to identify is that the two links in each example I'd expect be themselves different and several years apart. No "semantic games" — not even sure, what that may mean...

      I doubt that there is any objective evidence in this entire universe [...]

      Yes, I doubt it too. But not because my mind is so unchangeable in general, simply because AGW is bullshit.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    16. Re:Are millennials better at Science by ADRA · · Score: 1

      Most scientific journals are out there, published and free(ish). Don't cast stones unless you're willing to do the research yourself.

      The reason young people care about the environment:
      1. Young people are generally less wealthy and so are more concerned about 'social' issues -- http://matrix.berkeley.edu/res...
      2. They'll actually be alive long enough to see climate change cause serious ecological and lifestyle damages (and they know it)

      I must say though, in terms of lifestyle changes, I've seen people (at least in my city) abandoning car travel in much larger numbers than my generation in the (Gen-X-ish) crowd. Even for people in my age range, I see a heck of a lot more bike riders than I ever did before (All subjective IMHO).
      Although, if you look at air travel: http://data.worldbank.org/indi...
      Air travel rates are more pegged to economic conditions than anything else, and they seem like we're at historical highs...

      --
      Bye!
    17. Re:Are millennials better at Science by sexconker · · Score: 1

      I think I've seen this trick from you (or someone like you) before.

      I don't think there is any possible thing I could post, from any source, that you wouldn't deny with semantic games and make new demands. I doubt that there is any objective evidence in this entire universe that you would allow to conflict with your preconceived world view. I'm not going to waste my time like that.

      So, you can't do it. No need to cry about it.

    18. Re:Are millennials better at Science by mi · · Score: 1

      Most scientific journals are out there, published and free(ish).

      Why, then, are we discussing patently unscientific predictions here, on Slashdot? They all sound gloomy, but always contain the unfalsifiable "could" or "may"...

      Could you answer my earlier challenge — list two (or more) scientific predictions made by climatologists between 1970 and 2011?

      The entries would each contain links to a) the prediction; b) its confirmation. The linked-to pages of each entry are to be dated several years apart, and the predictions themselves must be marginally useful — something like "the temperature will fall or rise within this range" is not acceptable.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    19. Re:Are millennials better at Science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All jokes aside, we know non-condensing dihydrogen monoxide is a much more potent green house gas than carbon dioxide. As far as the condensing kind goes, well, it's still up in the air.

    20. Re:Are millennials better at Science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "It's very hard to find a millennial-aged person that is not concerned about climate change."

      Is this because Millennials are better at Science, or simply because they believe, what public school teachers told them?

      It's worse than that, they actually believe what qualified scientists have agreed upon! Who believes scientists? We all know they're in it for the huge paychecks. Those lab coat wearing guys are making bank while the poor energy companies are starved of funds, barely eking out a living. Yes, this is all a plot by Big Science! They must be stopped. Irrationality and religion will see us through this assault on our strong anti-intellectual beliefs.

    21. Re:Are millennials better at Science by Layzej · · Score: 1
    22. Re:Are millennials better at Science by mi · · Score: 1

      Too easy

      Fail. You did not include links to predictions — only to the supposed confirmations. The reason I insist on seeing links separated by space and time is that it is too easy otherwise to pick 1 "successful" guess out of 1000 less successful ones. For example, I can reliably "predict", how a coin falls, by making two guesses and publishing only one of them after I know the actual result.

      Which is why I wrote:

      Each of your two (or more) examples must contain a link to the prediction and a link to confirmation...

      and then added:

      the two links in each example I'd expect be themselves different and several years apart

      That said, I can't help but notice, that your second example does not even claim a successful prediction! According to it, the actual data for 2012 is far outside the supposedly predicted range.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    23. Re:Are millennials better at Science by Layzej · · Score: 1

      Check the IPCC smart guy.

    24. Re:Are millennials better at Science by Layzej · · Score: 1

      your second example [typepad.com] does not even claim a successful prediction! According to it, the actual data for 2012 is far outside the supposedly predicted range.

      Yes. It turned out to be much worse than predicted. This is the problem with uncertainty. Things may not be as well constrained as we hope.

    25. Re:Are millennials better at Science by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Of course he can do it.
      But he pointed out he is to lazy.

      You could find such links.
      His parent coukd find such links him self, too.

      But neither of you WANT to.

      Nor do I ...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    26. Re:Are millennials better at Science by mi · · Score: 1

      Yes. It turned out to be much worse than predicted.

      I don't know, if "worse" or "better" are applicable here. But I do know, that the prediction (if indeed there was one) failed.

      And you personally are failing at the little challenge I posted...

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    27. Re:Are millennials better at Science by mi · · Score: 1

      Check the IPCC smart guy.

      Giving up already? The burden of proof is on you, remember? You want me to change my way of life, so you have to convince me...

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    28. Re:Are millennials better at Science by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Modern environmentalism is a religion. It has deities, a set dogma, a clergy, heresy and excommunication, and even its own apocalypse (complete with punishment for sins).

      Some of it even has actual scientific evidence to back it up.

    29. Re:Are millennials better at Science by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Don't bother. mi argues like a lawyer, not a scientist.

    30. Re:Are millennials better at Science by Layzej · · Score: 1

      If you are curious, they've compiled a document with the answers. If you are not curious then I am not interested in playing whatever this game is.

    31. Re:Are millennials better at Science by Layzej · · Score: 1

      I don't know, if "worse" or "better" are applicable here.

      It is worse in terms of cost. As you've pointed out, we've failed to fully appreciate the impact of even the modest warming we've experienced so far.

    32. Re:Are millennials better at Science by mi · · Score: 1

      If you are curious, they've compiled a document with the answers.

      I'm curious why you keep posting without offering the links like I asked you to... It was not a particularly egregious request. Maybe, the information really is not as easily available as you claim it to be?.. Which would be rather strange, because IPCC and similar bodies have a vast vested interest in presenting their data in the most convincing way possible, don't they?

      It is worse in terms of cost. As you've pointed out, we've failed to fully appreciate the impact of even the modest warming we've experienced so far.

      That Russia can use northern shipping routes for longer is not worse — it is better for them "in terms of cost". But, either way, that's just economics...

      The point remains, it was not a successful prediction. And it is perfectly normal for a scientific discipline to have some failed ideas. It is when its adherents can't cite any successful ones, that one can legitimately doubt, whether it is practiced as a science at all.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    33. Re:Are millennials better at Science by Layzej · · Score: 1

      I'm curious

      No. No you are not.

      The point remains, it was not a successful prediction.

      You are right. This is a grand experiment. We should learn to expect the unexpected.

    34. Re:Are millennials better at Science by mi · · Score: 1

      This is, what, your fourth response under my post containing a challenge — and none of them contain admissible examples of the successful predictions made by climate scientists to date.

      I'm unlikely to respond here again — do your homework better next time. Fail.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    35. Re:Are millennials better at Science by Layzej · · Score: 1

      This is, what, your fourth response under my post containing a challenge — and none of them contain admissible examples

      "Admissible" your honour?

      I'm unlikely to respond here again

      Promises, promises. At least we have established that we have clear examples where the impacts of climate change were much greater than even our worst case prediction. This uncertainty makes the problem all the more challenging. Should we prepare for our "worst case" for sea level rise? It looks like we should prepare for something much worse.

    36. Re:Are millennials better at Science by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Last I looked, the Prius also had exceptionally good gas mileage for a US car. Please name the other car models that do as well.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    37. Re:Are millennials better at Science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It may also be simply because they are the ones that will most likely be affected by it. The boomers that are running everything now will all be dead by the time things start getting really bad. It's really no surprise that the "me" generation isn't going to do shit about it.

    38. Re:Are millennials better at Science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      your "challenges" are meaningless deflections.

    39. Re:Are millennials better at Science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ah, the old tired conservative viewpoint that education is evil, and teachers are corrupting the youth.

      I'm never surprised that people who are climate change deniers also hate education and believe the Bible has all the learnin' you need.

      You are profoundly ignorant.

    40. Re:Are millennials better at Science by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      "It's very hard to find a millennial-aged person that is not concerned about climate change."

      Is this because Millennials are better at Science, or simply because they believe, what public school teachers told them?

      ...said in Rod Serling's voice, with those four little notes playing over, and over, and over again...

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
  8. This is because by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    The NEA and public schools in general are now indoctrination centers, not learning centers. Both of my kids, and I'm not exaggerating, have about 75% of their science and social studies assignments centered around global warming/climate change. I'm fine with covering it, but they aren't learning any real stuff. They certainly aren't learning to explore and question for themselves. For instance, covering the causes and effects of warming is fine. But my kids are routinely sent home with narratives about how Reagan is to blame, corporations are evil, Obama is the messiah and other nonsense. It's all part and parcel with being "very conscious" about global warming and the environment. I have to battle weekly with the nonsense my kids are sent home with. Before someone mentions it, yes I've discussed this with the school administration, but we live in a Democratic/Union machine state,especially with regards to teachers. A teacher had sex with an underage student and couldn't be fired. They were place on administrative leave. Paid leave. Yeah. This is the engine that is going to teach my kids to think critically about global warming and other issues. Yeah.....

    1. Re:This is because by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This. I'm not opposed to covering some of this stuff in school... however I am seeing the same, and it's excessive. My kid is learning nothing of practical value at school in science. He goes to public schools. All he has covered in two years is: recycling, global warming, religious material like "You can't eat meat on Friday because it's God day"

    2. Re:This is because by istartedi · · Score: 1

      Wait, what? You're telling me that public school is pre-Vatican Two when it comes to diet?*

      *Note, a quick googling revealed that the 2nd Vatican Council and fish Fridays has some subtlety to it. They didn't abolish fish fries, they just told Catholics to do some other penance if abstaining from meat was not a penance.

      Anyway, unless you're sending your kids to private religious school, I don't know how you could have any kind of "God day" in public school in the US.

      --
      For all intensive purposes, "whom" is no longer a word. That begs the question, "who cares"?
    3. Re:This is because by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's about Gaia, and starting them on the path towards veganism by first eliminating meat one day a week. Then it stretches to all 7. Then no dairy or eggs and there you go: a vegan, with Gaia-worship roots!

  9. Max Planck... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

    ... explained this as "Science advances one funeral at a time." The longer version is more like, "A new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die, and a new generation grows up that is familiar with it."

  10. Bill Nye should bring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    himself to Oklahoma, U.S.A. and talk to some _UNIVERSITY_ students. He may be in for a surprise.

  11. Concerned? by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

    Concerned in that they will attend rallies and post on Facebook about it. But not concerned enough to stop driving automobiles or using Facebook. Everyone is so "concerned" about climate change, but the EU keeps emitting more and more CO2 every year. Why is that? They all claim to be "concerned" about it.

    1. Re:Concerned? by religionofpeas · · Score: 2

      Why is that? They all claim to be "concerned" about it.

      It's called the Tragedy of the Commons. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... Even if you know and understand the concept, and you want to fix the problem, it's pointless to do it by yourself, because somebody else will pick up your slack. The only effective solution is to impose mandatory controls for everybody.

    2. Re:Concerned? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This.

      Anecdotal to be sure, but my office building has a large revolving door flanked by two banks of large manual-open glass doors. About a year ago, the building operators placed signs on stanchions just inside the flanking doors--clearly readable from outside--that say something like "Be Green. Please use the revolving doors to conserve energy." One tenant in the building is basically fully staffed with 20-somethings. Every morning and afternoon, while I'm using the revolving door to conserve energy streams of the millennials wander through the flanking doors and walking right past the sign that they are ignoring. Meanwhile, all the old people use the revolving door.

    3. Re:Concerned? by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

      Really? So the reason the EU doesn't do anything is they figure it is pointless to do anything about it? But EVERY country is "concerned" about it. Why do the ALL keep increasing their CO2 output? I think it is called "Money talks and Bullshit walks". Everyone likes to be "concerned" about it, but no one really wants to sacrifice anything of theirs to get there.

    4. Re:Concerned? by ChunderDownunder · · Score: 1

      My country had a carbon tax once. The other side panicked "OMG, they have a policy!" and promptly dismantled it over a propaganda campaign about the cost of living.

      A problem with thieving conservatives is that they sell of government-owned power industries to multinationals who then bribe the political class to oppose any action that would threaten their profits. This new government then turns up to Paris and claims to have solved global warming through creative accounting. At the same meeting there is a pledge to end fossil fuel subsidies, which this current mob refuse to sign.

      Oh and no, I don't drive a car. At the state level one party pretends to care about public transport for a new inner city metro while doing nothing for the 'peasants' in the outer suburbs, who swapped their humble sedans for guzzling SUVs years ago - so they vote for the other party that promise more and more freeways. "World's Most Liveable City", my arse.

      If the political system is rigged but one's household is personally reducing emissions by replacing old appliances with more efficient ones and installing solar panels yet emissions keep rising then, sorry champ, my apathy kicks in.

    5. Re:Concerned? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      you are an idiot.

      'The EU' is decreasing CO2 output since decades. No idea why you always come up with that nonsense.

      But 'the EU' gets new members every few years. So as 'political block' the output might increase because the EU grows by 50-100 million people every five years.

      Get a damn clue, you idiot!

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    6. Re:Concerned? by blindseer · · Score: 1

      t's called the Tragedy of the Commons. ...
      The only effective solution is to impose mandatory controls for everybody.

      I see you misunderstand the concept.

      The tragedy of the commons is that people do not see ownership and therefore do not see a need to care for a common good. The solution to the tragedy of the commons is to put people in control. People need to see the personal benefit or they will not put in the personal effort to get the rewards.

      Imposing government controls is the government removing ownership and placing something in the commons, creating the very problem you wish to prevent.

      An example. A common garden for which everyone works and everyone eats will not be productive since someone that works hard will not see a proportional gain. If the garden is divided up so that everyone has their own garden to eat from then you will find that people will work very hard to get more produce, because that is what they themselves must live upon.

      Now a society needs a government and government needs resources. So a portion of the produce should go to the government. If this tax is too high then you get the tragedy of the commons again because people don't see ownership any more. Tax to little and the government cannot function. There is a balance that must be struck.

      It's not just taxes either. Mandating what people may grow can create this impression of a loss of ownership. If someone wants to grow flowers in their garden then they should be allowed to do so. They won't get any food from the garden but the neighbors will likely be willing to trade some food for the flowers and everyone wins.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    7. Re:Concerned? by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The amount of CO2 I cause to be put into the air will have absolutely no perceptible effect. If I inconvenience myself to reduce my emissions, it will not have even a barely noticeable effect on anybody, except that I'll be inconvenienced.

      The only way to reduce CO2 emissions to a point that would do even a smidgen of good is to do it collectively, preferably over the whole world.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  12. Userless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ADMINISTRATOR MCCARTHY: “I’m not disagreeing that this action in and of itself will not make all the difference we need to address climate action, but what I’m saying is that if we don’t take action domestically we will never get started and we’ll never”

    EPA Chief Admits Obama Regs Have No Measurable Climate Impact: ‘One one-hundredth of a degree?’ EPA Chief McCarthy defends regs as ‘enormously beneficial’ – Symbolic impact

    1. Re:Userless by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      The longest journey starts with the first step. Is it better to start making incremental changes now or wait until we can fix it all instantly?

  13. Not quite by s.petry · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The game has been about money, which is where people hate and label people deniers. Everyone is supposed to pay a carbon tax to some unknown entity to sustain their current standard of living. In fact, the demand has not just been for paying off some unknown entity, but wealthier countries like the US, UK, Germany, etc.. all need to pay for previous generation of carbon.

    We have massive amounts of pollution. We know it, but nobody will do anything. It's cheaper to dump and pay off people to look the other way than fix the problem. People making big piles of cash are not held accountable, and the politicians with greasy palms are not either.

    Until we have a better solution than "give money to the people in shadows" people will argue and nothing will get done. Except that people like Bill Nye will still get paid very well to keep us arguing.

    --

    -The wise argue that there are few absolutes, the fool argues that there are no probabilities.

    1. Re:Not quite by swb · · Score: 2

      I think the money and power angle is where the real trouble is, not the idea of climate change itself is or isn't occurring.

      I think the real hard questions boil down to: How much climate change is occurring? How accurately can we predict the changes in climate 5, 10, 20, 50, 100 years in the future? Is there any way of knowing what we could do that would make climate change less disruptive? Who will pay for it or have to make sacrifices for these actions?

      This is what the real struggle is about.

    2. Re:Not quite by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Gore went from a couple hundred thousand to 100's of millions (not an exact amount, but the jump was about 3 orders of magnitude), using just such a scheme. And by golly that genius entrepreneur has kept making money & never looked back.

    3. Re:Not quite by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is the most sicking part of the whole thing. It smells of a scam to give .01%rs more money.

      I fall on the 'probably not' side. Just to get that out of the way. However, I disagree on the 'do nothing'. Pollution (which is what this is) is not a good thing. Taxes will just distort the market (as they usually do).

      Except that people like Bill Nye will still get paid very well to keep us arguing
      This is what galls me. It is the staggering amount of 'we vs they'. The way it is structured seems to be nothing more than a do nothing and then a swindle to milk us of more money. With the green washing of 'i care'. Bill Nye is doing nothing more than seeding more of 'we vs they'. It sadly seems to be his whole point in life these days. We are in this together. We all live here. But Mr Nye wants to make his designated group the important ones and dismiss the rest of us as if we are just silly outdated things. The more I read about him the more he comes off as someone trying to divide us into manageable groups who have the same group think.

      but nobody will do anything.
      This is important and what many do not realize. Until 'the market' decides it is better it will not happen. Oil fracking has done more to shut down coal plants than anything else before it. The staggering amount of NG coming out of these wells has inverted the market. Suddenly you have energy companies tooting their own horns about how 'green' they are and shutting down coal plants. Solar, wind, and nuclear will be important components in the future. But so will coal and NG. Yet it is not entirely clear that fracking is good. In fact it has the earmarks of pollution but underground. The the nasty strip mines we are creating for solar do not seem to be good either as well as the perm mags needed for wind. It seems if we want energy we have to decide what is acceptable pollution. Which is a Faustian choice.

    4. Re:Not quite by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Until we have a better solution than "give money to the people in shadows" people will argue and nothing will get done.

      The carbon tax is an attempt to let the market sort out where and how the cuts are made, but if that's ineffective we can move to the central planning model and legislate cuts across the board. We may have to.

    5. Re:Not quite by riverat1 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The game has been about money, which is where people hate and label people deniers. ...

      If you're worried about the money before you determine the validity of the science you're already behind the game. If the scientists are right and you are wrong it's going to cost you a whole lot more money and possible cost you other things as well than they are asking of you now. You're just betting the scientists are wrong and that's probably a poor bet to make.

    6. Re:Not quite by MightyMartian · · Score: 3, Insightful

      And what is wrong with pricing any commodity to reflect it's true cost? If fossil fuels are not priced to take into account the real costs to society, and ultimately to the national and global economies, then what is effectively happening is a classical example of privatizing profits and socializing risk.

      This is like complaining about cigarette taxes. Why should anyone have to pay an artificially hiked price for tobacco? Well, that's because tobacco products cost society a huge amount of money in health care costs, and by not building that cost into the price of tobacco profits, all that's happening is that society ends up footing the bill as tobacco companies count their profits. We have insulated them from the harm their product does, not to mention encouraging smokers to partake of a habit that not only harms themselves, but will end up costing everyone around them a great deal of money.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    7. Re:Not quite by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      We know the answers to these questions to a reasonable enough level of accuracy to know that if we can't hold warming below 2 degrees celsius by the end of the century, we will severely fuck things up. And the answer to that problem is to wean ourselves of fossil fuels.

      For fuck's sake, even the Saudis know this, which is why they're taking this opportunity to create one of the largest sovereign wealth funds in the history of humanity. They know the game is going to be up sooner or later, and they're laying the groundwork for a post-oil world, and making sure they retain the money and power that they command now. If even one of the most important fossil fuel producers in the world has clearly understood what's going to happening in the coming decades, then is there really any point in make believing that AGW isn't real and that human activity isn't driving major global climate changes? At what point does it cease to be even nominal skepticism and simply become empty-headed petulance?

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    8. Re:Not quite by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      The game has been about money, which is where people hate and label people deniers.

      It is interesting to think about this hate because it begun as being merely non-plussed that 100 year old science was suddenly in dispute, to mild irritation and some anger when leading scientists were defamed and defunded in an attempt to silence them, climatologists receiving death threats aimed at themselves and their kids etc. for merely mentioning the self evident and obvious problem that adding more climate forcers into the climate will change climate behaviour (of course it will). Now it is turning to fury, and widespread fury at that. Angry mobs are not out of the question.

      I've long suspected that the deniers secretly think that if they can hold out long enough then someone will offer them an olive branch, a compromise will be reached ("let's say that methane is a greenhouse gas, but CO2 isn't any more" or something like that). But of course climate change becomes more evident, and more serious, the longer we delay action. So all that is happening is that their numbers are dwindling and exposing the power brokers who were shielded by the numbers, and the ordinary plebs who accept the science are just getting more and more furious.

      I think they should just cut and run ("me? no, I always thought the science was right"). What's the point of clinging on at this point?

    9. Re:Not quite by dryeo · · Score: 1

      The carbon tax that I pay goes into general revenue and when introduced it was supposed to be revenue neutral so corporate income taxes and personal income taxes were cut. Since then we got a new government leader and the excess money from the carbon tax goes to subsidizing various industries, namely the film industry and natural gas industry. We also pay the highest price in N. America for gasoline (today, $1.14 cdn a litre)
      The next province over, which depends on oil for revenue has the oil industry actually begging for a carbon tax, they just want it to apply to everyone equally.

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
    10. Re:Not quite by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And what is wrong with pricing any commodity to reflect it's true cost?

      Even with relatively cheap fossil fuels, there are billions of people living at the margins who are just barely making it right now. If you take away cheap energy you will price them out of existence. In the past, before fossil fuels and industrialization changed the way we live, the world had a much lower total population, something like a few hundred million, because that was all we could support with the technology and energy that we had available at the time. We could probably support more now without fossil fuels, but not the 7+ billion that are currently living. So fossil fuels will continue to be used until we can find viable substitutes. Any attempts to force the issue before we're ready are likely to result in wars and famines.

    11. Re:Not quite by jjo · · Score: 1

      This is the modern version of Pascal's Wager. Just as with the original, the modern version fails because it underestimates the downside of accepting the wager. Radical restrictions on the use of fossil fuels would push the world into recession, and foreclose any possibility that the truly poor, in their billions, will have any hope of approaching the comfortable lives we take for granted in the developed world. Fossil fuels have impacted human life in an immeasurably positive way, and removing them would be painful for the developed world, but catastrophic for the "developing" world (which would be developing no more due to the lack of reliable, plentiful, affordable energy).

    12. Re:Not quite by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      You're still betting that the climate scientists are wrong and the effects won't be that bad. Energy is a fungible product. It doesn't matter that much where it comes from and we know plenty of ways to produce it without burning fossil fuels. No one (with any sense) is pushing for radical restrictions on fossil fuels without having a replacement source of energy. Your assumption that it would drive the world into recession is just that, an assumption. It shows a lack of imagination on your part that you can't see a way to replace fossil fuels for the most part. If you're young enough to live another 40 or 50 years you'll find out how badly you lost that bet..

    13. Re:Not quite by shabble · · Score: 1

      Well, that's because tobacco products cost society a huge amount of money in health care costs

      If you're going to cite the costs of healthcare while they're still alive, you're going to have to net off the savings made by them dying earlier and not incurring the health costs of looking after long-lived dementia sufferers and government pensions not paid out.

      People who live longer cost "the health system and taxpayer" more than those that die earlier of $SIN_DU_JOUR.

    14. Re:Not quite by uninformedLuddite · · Score: 1

      This is like complaining about cigarette taxes. Why should anyone have to pay an artificially hiked price for tobacco? Well, that's because tobacco products cost society a huge amount of money in health care costs,

      I have never believed that the financial 'burdens' on society caused by smokers is real. Either does this Australian senator who thanks the Australian smoking public for their forced financial contributions to a society that hates and maligns them unfairly. I once saw a very interesting chart showing the rise in lung cancers and it showed a very close correlation with above ground nuclear testing. I am not saying that that is what the cause of the massive spike in lung cancers that started in the fifties is but what does warrant investigation is why lung cancers are still increasing while simultaneously smoking is dropping off rapidly.

      --
      The new right fascists are bilingual. They speak English and Bullshit.
    15. Re:Not quite by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      I hear that the insurance companies are betting on the scientists.

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    16. Re:Not quite by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      "...classical example of privatizing profits and socializing risk."

      Ha! I remember asking my boss about that, during the first bailout.

      His answer? "No it doesn't".

      And that was all.

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    17. Re:Not quite by avandesande · · Score: 1

      Have at it- double or triple the cost of fuel and see what happens to the price of food and consumer goods. Nothing is for free...

      --
      love is just extroverted narcissism
  14. Obscene by Hevel-Varik · · Score: 1

    The mass bulk of humanity, regardless of age, gives fuck all about 'climate change.'

    It's what you concern yourself with when you have nothing real to be concerned about, and it's what you advocate sacrificing for when your aren't doing any actual sacrificing.

  15. Re:Bil Nye LOL by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Be nice.

    How would you feel if you were an engineer that couldn't get a job as an engineer so you have to pretend to be something else.

  16. Mmmhmm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is nothing more than your typical psychological/manipulative statement (employed by many high profile individuals these days) to depress the "deniers" and encourage the "believers" in an attempt to make his statement a reality by capitalizing on common human behavior. IE: "Oh no! If you deny climate change, then you're all alone! You don't want to be alone do you? Better get on the bus now!" This is a prime example of why "deniers" deny.

  17. Nobody Denies Climate Change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Deniers don't give a shit whether climate change is happening and don't care whether the science is correct. What 'deniers' are angry about, and what they are objecting to, is the obscene waste of public funds, the use of climate change as a justification for social engineering projects, and the utterly incompetent handling of the situation by governments. The term 'denier' is essentially used as a condescending replacement for 'objector'.

    Climate change could have been addressed decades ago had we invested heavily in nuclear power, but the people who are frothing at the mouth ranting about climate change are the same people who have prevented the expansion of nuclear power. The very people who have created the climate change issue are chastising us telling us we need to destroy our economy and society by spending countless billions on inefficient, inconsistent and obscenely expensive renewable. 'Deniers' are sick of the idiocy, the hypocrisy and the waste, and rather than denying climate change, we're just not listening and we don't care.

    The situation we have is basically this:

    Environmentalist: Climate change is going to destroy the world! We must reduce our carbon output!!!
    'Denier': How about we build some carbon neutral nuclear power plants? They're cheap, consistent and will solve the problem.
    Environmentalist: No! We won't tolerate those filthy things! We'd rather burn coal and gas than have the satanic nuclear power!
    'Denier': Fuck off then. If you're not going to be reasonable about this I just don't care any more.

    For politicians and environmental groups aren't interested in solving the problem but instead just want to push forward their ideology. They want renewable energy, not because it will be effective at reducing climate change or because it's cheap, but for idealogical reasons. Politicians, particularly in the EU, want to use it as an excuse to bring tens of millions of people from Africa and the Middle East to Europe because they say that land will be unusable. Politicians want to use climate change as an excuse to raise taxes, because they believe in high taxation.

    'Deniers' are sick of the whole situation. We're sick of effective solutions being rejected. We're sick of the abuse in the name of climate change. We're sick of your endless ranting about climate change but total inaction. We've reach a point where we're simply not listening. You've abused this situation to such an extent that we don't want to hear anything you have to say and we certainty won't do anything to help with your stupidity.

    If you want to build nuclear power stations to resolve the problem, I'm all for it. With them in place we could take our time to develop efficient, cost effective renewable sources of energy. However, if you want to generate energy by hugging trees, if you want to tax the life out of us, if you want to destroy our lifestyle, if you want to destroy our nations by bringing "victims of climate change" into the country by the boat load, then fuck you! We will actively oppose anything you say or do!

    1. Re:Nobody Denies Climate Change by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      One thing that nuclear power plants are not is cheap.

    2. Re:Nobody Denies Climate Change by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      There is a real world out there. You don't have to pull all observations from your imagination.

      Deniers are willing to believe that there's a science-wide conspiracy for political ends to avoid believing that we're warming up the place.

      People who actually have a clue and are concerned about global warming don't speak with one voice. Lots of us want more nuclear power.

      Renewable energy is good for a lot of reasons. It isn't a political scheme to flood Europe with immigrants (and deniers aren't going to admit that the Middle East unrest has anything to do with AGW in the first place).

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  18. Now what? by ledow · · Score: 2

    ARGH ARGH ARGH ARGH ARGH!

    Sick of making the same tired old post.

    WE GET IT.
    WE BELIEVE YOU.

    Now what the FUCK would you like us to do about it that we're a) not already doing, b) will provably (or probably) make a measurable difference within a reason time, c) doesn't cost the (non-literal) Earth, d) that will get approval from those parties that need to do it?

    Ignore all the name-calling and shit, let's assume we ALL agree it's happening. I'm of scientific mind, I can do that for any subject that I agree with or not.

    But... Now what?

    1. Re:Now what? by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      >> c) doesn't cost the (non-literal) Earth

      So we should only do something to save the planet if its affordable?
      You crazy Americans seem to think literally everything should come down to a dollar consideration, even the survival of the whole planet and all life on it.

    2. Re:Now what? by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      OK sorry I made a stupid assumption there....

    3. Re:Now what? by Oligonicella · · Score: 2

      You realize that if you can't afford to do it, you can't do it, right?

    4. Re:Now what? by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      WE BELIEVE YOU.

      Maybe YOU do, but a considerable number of people don't. You can start by educating them.

    5. Re:Now what? by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      So what if you can't afford climate change ?

    6. Re:Now what? by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      No I actually don't think that money ever trumps the need to do something to prevent our planets and therefore our extinction.

    7. Re:Now what? by JoshuaZ · · Score: 1

      Well, there's a lot you can do. You as an individual can change behavior, take public transit more, or buy an electric car or hybrid (the new Tesla 3 is really nice!). If you own a house, you can get more insulation for the house, and possibly get solar panels. You can reduce your meat consumption since growing meat is a major contributor to climate change. Similarly, you can buy more efficient appliances.

      , or Everybody Solar http://www.everybodysolar.org/, and the Solar Electric Light Fund http://self.org/. All of these have slightly different approaches and you should choose for yourself which makes the most sense. Similarly, you can donate to the Wind Energy Foundation http://windenergyfoundation.org/. There's no really good place to donate for nuclear power which is unfortunate since, any eventual full-scale solution is going to likely require it.

      You can also vote for and donate money to politicians who support dealing with climate change when they are running against those who don't. One race that's a good example of this is in Maine- Emily Cain is running against Bruce Poliquin who is not at all good about climate change. So you can go donate to her campaign http://emilycain.com/. This is going to be one of the closest congressional races in the country, so every dollar will make a difference.

    8. Re:Now what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In this you would be wrong. Money OFTEN trumps the best interest of the planet and its inhabitants, whether in big things or small. That's because money == power to tell somebody to do something, which then becomes necessary for their PERSONAL, SHORT-TERM survival or comfort, which trumps everything else. Capitalize that term if you wish to, but beware of the trademark and copyright lawyers.

    9. Re:Now what? by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      of course we can always afford to do something if the alternative is certain death of the entire planet.
      As an example, the most extreme example I can think of right now is that all world governments could immediately make all human activities that result in man-made greenhouse emissions illegal under penalty of instant death.
      Obviously that would immediately end all man-made causes of global warming at a very high cost to literally everything we know, (including almost literally going back to the stone age and half the planet dying from starvation and other things) but it would end human causes of global warming, and assuming we haven't gone too far already, hopefully stop runaway global warming itself, so at least a few people would stay alive.
      My point is that a ridiculously extreme solution to saving the planet does at least exist, so we can start from there and keep toning it down until we get to something we can't afford to implement, then take one step back and implement that, no matter how unpalatable it might be its still better than mass extinction of everything.
      yes its a very ridiculous illustration of worst case, but its still less ridiculous than any statement that we should not try to save the planet because it might impact the economy.

    10. Re:Now what? by Layzej · · Score: 1

      WE GET IT. But... Now what?

      Maybe we're already doing it. Tesla only has capacity to build about 500,000 cars a year. They got about 200,000 pre-orders in two days on their new car. Consider that when watching this video on S curves: https://youtu.be/NOPHHgJgJ2s

    11. Re:Now what? by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      I definitely agree with your assessment of nuclear, and even maybe about eating meat. But since the vast majority of greenhouse gas emissions are all industrial. It actually has remarkably little to do with what car you drive or how well insulated your house is, so buying some metrosexual electric car does nothing other than give you some pretentious feel good factor based on bad science and clever marketing.

    12. Re:Now what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      States going along with the Clean Power Plan would be nice. If your state is one that is fighting it, contact your governor and tell them to call off the dogs.

    13. Re:Now what? by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      Not owning a car is much better than owning a tesla.

    14. Re:Now what? by freeze128 · · Score: 1

      What if you just don't WANT to afford it?

    15. Re:Now what? by ledow · · Score: 1

      Money (excluding profit) is directly correlated to difficulty.

      If something saves "the Earth" but bankrupts your country, you aren't going to be any better off overall. Look at Greece. Look at the African states. Poverty is just as deadly as a choking atmosphere.

      This is my point. What's the IMPACT of your PROPOSED SOLUTION. Let's all stop using oil, for instance? Great. How many people (worldwide, because this is about the global situation) will die due to lack of heating, power, life-saving products and medicine, etc.? Is that number more or less than those that might be flooded out by a rising ocean or killed by a rising air temperature? We have literally NO FUCKING CLUE because nobody proposes solutions (only "We have a problem that we must fix") and few analyse the possible impact of full implementation of that solution.

      I'm over-exaggerating, but leaping from the frying pan into the fire is a real possibility with snap decisions made by politicians and knee-jerk reactions rather than putting a few serious proposals on the table and telling people "You can do this, but you will lose this to do so", whether that's tax money, mod-cons, certain materials or freedoms, or whatever.

      (P.S. No, I'm not American as you later found out).

    16. Re:Now what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Life will survive and if humans wont it all gets back to norm. And problem with cost is not for those who already had industrial age in their countries but all those countries that need that economical boost industrial age would give them. So you literally fighting poor countries not USA.

    17. Re:Now what? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      You realize that if you can't afford to do it, you can't do it, right?

      What if it costs you more in the long run to not do it than it does to do it?

    18. Re:Now what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You crazy Americans seem to think literally everything should come down to a dollar consideration, even the survival of the whole planet and all life on it.

      To quote Jim Morrison, "Nobody gets out of here alive" or, if you prefer somebody who was a bit more cerebral, the economist John Maynard Keynes observed that, "In the long run, we're all dead". Finally, there was the Bob Marley song which rhymed, "If you know what life is worth, you'll look for yours here on Earth." The point is that very few people are willing to sacrifice their current standard of living for uncertain benefits that accrue only to their great grand children or their children. We Americans are simply being pragmatic about the whole affair.

    19. Re:Now what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe YOU do, but a considerable number of people don't. You can start by educating them.

      Just because we agree that there's a problem and what the problem is doesn't mean that we necessarily agree on the responses to that problem. I think that sometimes climate advocates forget that.

    20. Re:Now what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ratify and implement the Paris agreement later this month.

      Then get to work on the details.

    21. Re:Now what? by ledow · · Score: 1

      Been there. Said that. Some countries (*COUGH* AMERICA *COUGH*) didn't bother to do anything about it.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    22. Re:Now what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's where guys like Nye fall apart. They have no solutions except tired old songs about renewables. It won't happen, it won't replace fossil fuels.

      Investing in 19th century ideas with glossy coatings gets you nowhere. The future was always nuclear. We just let the hipster doofuses lead us astray.

  19. Idiots by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    Sick of this.

    Bill Nye lost any respect from me as a Scientist, he is nothing more than just another Pope of a Different Church called Pseudo Science. I am sick and tired of People Called out as the deniers in this way. Sure I don't have a problem with the Science that the Earth might be warming. The problem is the claim that we can actually do something about it and this is mankind's fault! We hardly have enough information to truly know any better combined with all of the foul science and politics written all over it we will likely NEVER know until it really is too late. One thing that is for sure is that our lands are being poisoned with chemicals and even that more proven science has taken a back seat to the Church of Global Warming because it lacks "Socialism" on the order that is needed to mind control the unthinking plebs.

    I think Freeman Dyson said it best...

    Science and religion are two windows that people look through, trying to understand the big universe outside, trying to understand why we are here. The two windows give different views, but they look out at the same universe. Both views are one-sided, neither is complete. Both leave out essential features of the real world. And both are worthy of respect.

    Trouble arises when either science or religion claims universal jurisdiction, when either religious or scientific dogma claims to be infallible. Religious creationists and scientific materialists are equally dogmatic and insensitive. By their arrogance they bring both science and religion into disrepute. The media exaggerate their numbers and importance. The media rarely mention the fact that the great majority of religious people belong to moderate denominations that treat science with respect, or the fact that the great majority of scientists treat religion with respect so long as religion does not claim jurisdiction over scientific questions.

    All of this sounds like like the Fat is bad for you shit from the 50's that we are only just now recovering from in the Medical Community.

    Lack of Wisdom and Life experience or hardship, make the millennials ignorant and willing to have more faith in science than most Christians have in Christianity.

    The actual science is far from settled and it is amazing that people are so willing to hand themselves over to a corrupt politician to do something about it. Such great fools, and there are far too many for the few intelligent people to combat! Those seeking to destroy entire economies over the fear of global warming are sick in the head. According to forecasts by your "religious leaders" like Gore we should already have been in near apocalyptic global warming distress since 2015 with millions dead already from Ice Cap melts.

    There is always some religious cult claiming worldly destruction, this one just seems to be taking on a lot more steam because people foolishly think that science is some how corruptible through money or politics.

    There is a famouse line about Scientific Advancement by Max Planck

    A new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die, and a new generation grows up that is familiar with it.

    This is the truth of the Millennials, fools that know nothing other than what they are taught. They have made no effort to learn of or understand the world on their own terms, they have been fed dog food their entire life and know nothing of anything else!

  20. Illustrates the real problem with life extension. by gurps_npc · · Score: 0

    Imagine a world with a life expectancy of 160, rather than 80 years. Just talking about doubling it.

    160 years ago, slavery was still legal. Imagine having people that used to own slaves still being able to vote today.

    Imagine if Castro, Lenin, Papa Doc, all the escaped Nazi's etc. were still alive.

    To mis-quote Joss Whedon - "Death is our gift".

    --
    excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
  21. Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    The argument is entirely pointless unless you can get every country to agree to cut emissions.

    1. Re:Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by danbob999 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      are you seriously using the perfect solution fallacy?

    2. Re:Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, because exempting India and China is intentional. They just have to agree and get ridiculed for not meeting their targets. As it is, the "climate change frameworks" give these countries an intentional free pass.

    3. Re:Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by mark-t · · Score: 2

      It's not a fallacy in this case, because only a perfect (or at least nearly perfect) solution will actually make a difference.

    4. Re:Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by Gussington · · Score: 1

      Whenever I scan down the comments section, the stupidest ones are always by AC. I suggest you ignore them so they don't get any more attention than they deserve, and let the mods do their thing...

    5. Re:Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by danbob999 · · Score: 1

      I bet you didn't read the (now expired) Kyoto protocol.
      The goal was that developed countries, which historically contributed more to global warming (being industrialized first), should cut their emissions first, and that meant before 2012. During that time, countries such as China and India would get the capacity to actually monitor their emissions. How can you verify that you cut emissions if you can't even measure them? The next step, after 2012, was to give them emissions targets too. But developed countries, leaded by the USA, made sure the first step was never completed so that there is no second step.

    6. Re:Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by danbob999 · · Score: 1

      Of course not. Any reduction in CO2 emissions is better than status quo.

    7. Re:Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by MrTester · · Score: 1

      Exactly right.
      And while we are at it, lets stop wasting our tax money on the whole judicial system and police!
      I mean, how many years have we been trying to stop crime and yet there are STILL people out there committing crimes!
      Its obvious that doing the right thing for its own sake is completely pointless....

      Every parent spends so much effort to get their kids to clean up their own messes. But for some reason when it comes to corporations we give them a pass because "it would cut into our profits." Just like a kid whining "But mom, I have to study for this test so I just dont have time to clean that up!"

    8. Re:Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by mark-t · · Score: 1

      "better" for insignificant amounts of better, perhaps.

      Sure you can always theoretically scale that up... but by the time you've gotten together enough people for all of their otherwise insignificant contributions to actually add up to something measurable, you've implemented the aforementioned perfect or nearly perfect solution anyways.

    9. Re:Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      corporations will just move production out of regulated countries into unregulated countries.

    10. Re:Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by Trogre · · Score: 1

      Yes, and it isn't a fallacy.

      Think about it.

      If every country except just one enacts measures to actually reduce carbon emissions then that one country will have an opportunity to over the course of a decade become the major world power.

      Significantly cutting carbon emissions is very, very expensive, particularly if your economy depends on industry.

      This is close to what has happened to China. People don't want to deal with pollution or effective slave labour in their own country so they outsource it (and then of course wonder why no one has a job any more).

      This isn't like whaling where every country but Japan stopped doing it, to the benefit of whale populations. One country will become the world's factory and ramp up production to compensate, resulting in a zero net reduction in carbon emissions.

      --
      "Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
    11. Re:Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by bluegutang · · Score: 1

      China, not India.
      China is the world's largest CO2 emitter by a large fraction.
      India produces less than a quarter the CO2 that China does (despite having a similar population), and less than half what the US produces.
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    12. Re:Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And when you ask them to, their response will be "well you're not, why should we?"

      So given that _everyone_ will need to sooner or later, why not start, and then have the moral high-ground when negotiating with places like India and China.

      On top of that - they actually _are_ making efforts to reduce their emissions.

    13. Re:Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      It's not only CO2, but GDP/CO2.

    14. Re:Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      It's not a fallacy in this case, because only a perfect (or at least nearly perfect) solution will actually make a difference.

      So is there a problem with incrementally implementing the solution as opposed to an all or nothing approach?

    15. Re:Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      There are also insightful comments by ACs. I read everything down to -1.

    16. Re:Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by danbob999 · · Score: 1

      If we were all emitting like the Chinese, we would solve the CO2 problem. They emit much less CO2 per capita than the USA or even most European countries.
      When they reach the same level as the west, then you might have a point. Until then, you are wrong. The more countries lower their emissions, the better.

    17. Re:Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by danbob999 · · Score: 1

      Wrong, if 50% of the planet reduces CO2 emissions, this is significant but not perfect.

    18. Re:Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by mark-t · · Score: 1

      Getting half the planet to reduce their CO2 emissions does nothing when the rest of the planet is still producing more of them. Or did you suppose that somehow, magically, everybody that didn't reduce their CO2 emissions would just stay the same where they were?

    19. Re:Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by danbob999 · · Score: 1

      Let's say there are two scenarios:

      1. half of the planet lowers CO2 emissions by 10%. The rest does nothing, and their CO2 emissions rise by 10%.
      2. Nobody does anything, and the world emissions rise by 10%, globally.

      It's obvious that 1 is better than 2, even if it would be even better to get the perfect solution where everybody would reduce emissions.

    20. Re:Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by kaatochacha · · Score: 1

      But their Capita is much much larger.

    21. Re:Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by mark-t · · Score: 1

      Because the effort necessary to implement an incremental solution effective enough to make a difference is not actually significantly less than the effort of doing almost all of it at once.... it's getting over that first big barrier of social apathy and inertia that is the real problem.... once you can do that, you're sailing... but even then, only if you've influenced enough of the population to offset the inevitable increases caused by regions that didn't bother to implement your new policies.

    22. Re:Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by danbob999 · · Score: 1

      so? Are you saying you should have a right to emit more because somehow others happen to be regrouped in an artificial entity called "country" which happens to have more citizens than yours?

    23. Re:Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by Trogre · · Score: 1

      Carbon emissions per capita is an irrelevant and stupid metric.

      Imagine an island nation with ten people, but they happen to be very good at farming dairy. Their per-capita carbon emissions is likely to be larger than any other country so by your logic they should be sanctioned more heavily than China, which is without any reasonable doubt a worse offender.

      If anyone is interested, look at actual CO2 emissions by country and tell me I'm wrong. In particular note the shift between CO2 emissions in 2013 and cumulative from 1970-2013. Which country is at the top?

      If you don't like it, feel free to update that page since it is a wiki :)

      --
      "Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
    24. Re:Now Convince India and China to Cut Emissions by danbob999 · · Score: 1

      Carbon emissions per capita is an irrelevant and stupid metric.

      Imagine an island nation with ten people, but they happen to be very good at farming dairy. Their per-capita carbon emissions is likely to be larger than any other country so by your logic they should be sanctioned more heavily than China, which is without any reasonable doubt a worse offender.

      Wrong again.
      If they farm a lot, they will have a lot of exports. These exports will pay for the reduction of CO2 in countries where it is more efficient to reduce emissions. That's the whole point of carbon credits exchange, which is allowed in agreements such as the Kyoto Protocol.
      On the other hand, a country which inefficiently burn oil to heat uninsulated houses in the winter will produce nothing of value and will need to buy credits.

      Per capita emissions is a valid metric. Just because countries merge or divide doesn't change the problem. China would no longer be #1 if they split in three.

  22. Earth by sandmarq · · Score: 1

    Earth : 4 Billion Years Of Climate Change... No one deny the changes... some argue the causes.

    1. Re:Earth by danbob999 · · Score: 1

      some deny the fact that their is a much faster change since the industrial revolution, which has nothing to do with slow change occurring in billions of years.

    2. Re:Earth by JohnnyMindcrime · · Score: 1

      And how were we able to make comparisons to temperature/climate measurements made before the industrial revolution?

      --
      Windows 10 is great - I used it to download Linux.
    3. Re:Earth by danbob999 · · Score: 1

      There are various ways. When we find traces of past glaciers in a tropical zone, usually that means the climate was not the same before.

    4. Re:Earth by JohnnyMindcrime · · Score: 1

      So we have had glaciation during the industrial revolution to allow us to make a comparison?

      --
      Windows 10 is great - I used it to download Linux.
    5. Re:Earth by danbob999 · · Score: 1

      In some part of the world, of course. But anyways, thermometers existed back then, if that was you concern.

    6. Re:Earth by JohnnyMindcrime · · Score: 1

      What parts of the world? Stop with the sweeping statements!

      I'm accusing you of a case of "MSU" ("Making Shit Up"), we have not had the capability of using temperature or climate measurement tools over a long enough period to make any assumptions about what happened to the climate prior to the industrial revolution.

      By all means, if you find a Medieval volume from the 9th century or so where a group of monks recorded temperatures over periods of some years using parchment and quill pens, then that may serve as some evidence.... but I don't think you are going to find it.

      --
      Windows 10 is great - I used it to download Linux.
    7. Re:Earth by danbob999 · · Score: 1

      Parts of the worlds such as Antarctica, Greenland, etc. Did I just loose 10 seconds on this?

      You should read on climate proxies. We can have hints even without records.
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    8. Re:Earth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And can we take anything said by someone who doesn't know the difference between "their" and "there" seriously?

    9. Re:Earth by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Or that the continent with such traces was at some time 'elsewher'.
      Facepalm.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    10. Re:Earth by danbob999 · · Score: 1

      Of course. But that doesn't mean we do not have hints/proxy of previous climate.

    11. Re:Earth by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Of course we have, trees with growth rings e.g. ice cores with historic CO2 trapped etc. there are plenty.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  23. Noise by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Human caused climate change. Blah blah blah. We're all gonna die. Blah blah blah. Millennials said so. Blah blah blah.

  24. Or biased teaching in schools... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Schools for the most part are controlled by liberals. It's no wonder that the young lean more towards liberal positions when teachings are biased.

    1. Re:Or biased teaching in schools... by danbob999 · · Score: 1

      And what if the liberals were right? How would you know it?

    2. Re:Or biased teaching in schools... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I would gladly add it to the very, very short list of things they ave been right about when it comes to real policy. Now, mind you , don't assume I am implying that the opposite political "team" in the US has fared better, but after almost 50 years of more and more so called "progressive" policies, I feel pretty secure in saying that liberal polices haven't just failed, but failed spectacularly.

  25. Young and inexperienced by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Older people have been alive longer to see more weird weather events from time to time. It's easier for them to discount today's weird weather (or tomorrow's predictions) as just another blip in the circle of life.

    Millennials freak out the first time they see a tree blow over. There's nothing magic going on here, it's just the way age and experience work together.

  26. Millenials defined as... by kick6 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Social and financial pressure to agree (or at least pretend to agree). Everyone is now too concerned about "getting Eich'ed" to take a stand against any of the typical left-liberal talking points. So, of course, the same left-liberals are going to harp on the consensus that they willed into existence through terror to defend their righteousness. In the end, they might be right...maybe. But undoubtedly the way the treated people on that road makes them pieces of shit.

    1. Re:Millenials defined as... by wyHunter · · Score: 1

      At this point, it doesn't matter for any western nation. What we today call liberalism, and used to call fascism, has destroyed all these societies, and they'll fall before we see 2030.

    2. Re:Millenials defined as... by Gussington · · Score: 1

      Social and financial pressure to agree (or at least pretend to agree). Everyone is now too concerned about "getting Eich'ed" to take a stand against any of the typical left-liberal talking points.

      Of course the easiest way to argue science is with better science. Or you could try the crying baby routine/conspiracy theory routine and see where that takes you.

    3. Re:Millenials defined as... by Gussington · · Score: 1

      What we today call liberalism, and used to call fascism,

      Fascism is now called Authoritarianism on the political spectrum, which is the opposite of Liberalism. Here's a diagram that might help: http://www.politicalcompass.or...
      You want to at least ensure you know the basics before making stupid comments like that in public forum.

      has destroyed all these societies.

      Yes that's it, destroyed. The highest quality of life in history of humanity is right now, yet it's still not good enough for you....

    4. Re:Millenials defined as... by Notorious+G · · Score: 1

      Of course the easiest way to argue science is with better science. Or you could try the crying baby routine/conspiracy theory routine and see where that takes you.

      Ummm, looks like that will take you to jail. But, that's science for you though. Either agree with the consensus or off to prison. http://www.breitbart.com/big-g...

    5. Re:Millenials defined as... by wyHunter · · Score: 1

      Let's see, in the US we can't use coal, gas, or oil for making electricity in the near future. Gee, have fun sitting in the dark. And if you don't call the current US government "tilting authoritarian" I won't argue with you. Have fun.

    6. Re:Millenials defined as... by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Modern Liberalism, at least as "claimed" in the US, is actually quite authoritarian. And given it's penchant for demand to control industries as a whole, bears a striking resemblance to fascism. Yes, classical liberalism is radically different, but maybe that's why those in the US who claim the Liberal mantle the loudest, claim it - to deflect from more fitting nomenclature.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    7. Re:Millenials defined as... by Gussington · · Score: 1

      It only looks that way if your version of truth is sourced solely from media headlines.

    8. Re:Millenials defined as... by Gussington · · Score: 1

      Let's see, in the US we can't use coal, gas, or oil for making electricity in the near future. Gee, have fun sitting in the dark.

      Yes we can. Do you just make stuff up to try and win an argument? Maybe should run along back to Reddit...

    9. Re:Millenials defined as... by Gussington · · Score: 1

      Modern Liberalism, at least as "claimed" in the US, is actually quite authoritarian.

      True, but the Modern Liberals still represent the least authoritarian of all the candidates on offer right?

      Unless you think banning Gays, Abortions, Muslims and Mexicans is "liberal"?

    10. Re:Millenials defined as... by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      I would argue no. I don't know which candidate is banning gays and Muslims and Mexicans. There is talk of controlling immigration of non-citizens - but that's not banning those here (at least those here legally). Abortion, IMHO, should be banned as it is currently practiced because it actually is State-legalized murder.

      The positions of Hillary and Bernie are actually quite authoritarian as well. They seek to remove rights (the 2A, the 5A, the 10A), forcibly redistribute wealth (not just income), and remove the 1A freedom of association right. Nationalization of industries and companies is exactly what they want (energy, healthcare, education) which is highly authortarian.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    11. Re:Millenials defined as... by wyHunter · · Score: 1

      At the moment, for now, we can. Next year? Not so much.

    12. Re:Millenials defined as... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Read your frippin' link. The attorney general was looking at companies that knew perfectly well they were damaging the planet and argued that there was no global warming to avoid hurting their business. Knowingly lying for commercial purposes is fraud.

      If you actually believe there's no global warming, and you appear to be that stupid, or aren't making profits based on denying it, you're perfectly safe.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    13. Re:Millenials defined as... by Gussington · · Score: 1

      I would argue no. I don't know which candidate is banning gays and Muslims and Mexicans.

      You should pay more attention then.

      There is talk of controlling immigration of non-citizens - but that's not banning those here (at least those here legally).

      So you think that's not authoritarian? Keep drinking that kool-aid...

      Abortion, IMHO, should be banned as it is currently practiced because it actually is State-legalized murder.

      Of course you do, because like typical hypocrites you pretend support liberty unless it's someone who isn't you. This how fascists operate.

      The positions of Hillary and Bernie are actually quite authoritarian as well. They seek to remove rights (the 2A, the 5A, the 10A), forcibly redistribute wealth (not just income), and remove the 1A freedom of association right. Nationalization of industries and companies is exactly what they want (energy, healthcare, education) which is highly authortarian.

      Whatever they are, they are still less authoritarian than the other guys. So stop kidding yourself that it's anything different.

    14. Re:Millenials defined as... by wyHunter · · Score: 1

      So according to your logic, preventing a car theft is a bad thing, because, after all, you can't keep folks who are breaking the law from doing so, because it's authoritarian. You have a truly interesting outlook. Please, stay in California.

    15. Re:Millenials defined as... by wyHunter · · Score: 1

      And of course your comment that Bernie and Hillary are "less authoritarian than the other guys" SO, when did you stop beating your wife? Would you prefer execution by firing squad, or by hanging?

    16. Re:Millenials defined as... by wyHunter · · Score: 1

      Indeed, classic liberalism is exactly what I am - but modern liberalism is merely fascism and statism under a new name.

    17. Re:Millenials defined as... by Gussington · · Score: 1

      So according to your logic, preventing a car theft is a bad thing,

      No. And you might have to construct you argument a bit better, as this really makes no sense.

    18. Re:Millenials defined as... by Gussington · · Score: 1

      And of course your comment that Bernie and Hillary are "less authoritarian than the other guys" SO, when did you stop beating your wife? Would you prefer execution by firing squad, or by hanging?

      What? Do you even know how to read?
      Authoritarian is a political position, just like Libertarian, or Left or Right. I don't make these up, each candidate positions themselves on the political spectrum based on their policy choices.
      Based on policy analysis, Bernie is the least Authoritarian candidate still remaining, followed by Hillary. while Trump and Cruz are the most Authoritarian.
      Is this news to you?

    19. Re:Millenials defined as... by wyHunter · · Score: 1

      Bernie believes in the supreme power of the state. QED.

    20. Re:Millenials defined as... by Gussington · · Score: 1

      Well if you say so it must be true.
      The standard of 'Nerd' must be dropping in this place.. There was a time when you could engage in debate and get an intelligent response...

    21. Re:Millenials defined as... by wyHunter · · Score: 1

      Anyone who believes that the state exists to solve our problems believes in the supreme power of the state - otherwise how could it solve all our problems.

    22. Re:Millenials defined as... by Gussington · · Score: 1

      Anyone who believes that the state exists to solve our problems believes in the supreme power of the state - otherwise how could it solve all our problems.

      If you say so...
      Do you have any ideas that don't exist entirely in your head?

    23. Re:Millenials defined as... by wyHunter · · Score: 1

      By definition I don't have ideas that exist anywhere except in my head. However, others may share their ideas with me via (printed word, music, etc.) and I can get, er, a copy of those ideas. I may have access to them, extend them, but the original idea has come from someone else.

  27. He says, I say by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Bill Nye to Climate Change Deniers: "You Can’t Ignore Facts Forever"

    Denier to Bill. I can ignore the 'facts' that are without basis.
            The weather seems strange lately. Probably true.
            We have a theory for what might be happening: True.
            We can connect the dots and understand what is happening: Probably not the truth
            We have models that tell us what is happening with sufficient accuracy to know what to do to improve things: No way
            It seems a good time to apply the Greens universal truth of doing less to the environment: Probably true, provided it is balanced with keeping our lifestyle.

  28. semantics &c. by ihtoit · · Score: 1

    OK, there's 100% consensus that climate change is happening. It's a fucking dynamic system, how can it be static?
    HOWEVER, there is ZERO consensus that it is caused by human activity.
    The sum total of human activity on this planet takes place in the lower 37,000 feet of the atmosphere, to a depth of about a thousand feet beneath the surface.
    THERE IS MUCH MORE in the Universe than that seven and a half miles. A LOT more that directly affects this planet, to much larger extent than even our entire nuclear arsenals are capable of.

    Vulcanism. Tectonics. Solar flares. Asteroids. Tidal forces. Precession. Whale farts.

    --
    Political debates have me rolling my eyes so much I think I got optical whiplash. I should sue. - Foamy The Squirrel
    1. Re:semantics &c. by danbob999 · · Score: 1

      OK, there's 100% consensus that climate change is happening. It's a fucking dynamic system, how can it be static?
      HOWEVER, there is ZERO consensus that it is caused by human activity.

      Of course there is:

      The scientific consensus is that the Earth's climate system is unequivocally warming, and that it is extremely likely (meaning 95% probability or higher) that humans are causing most of it through activities that increase concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, such as deforestation and the burning of fossil fuels. In addition, it is likely that some potential further greenhouse gas warming has been offset by increased aerosols

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    2. Re:semantics &c. by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      Vulcanism. Tectonics. Solar flares. Asteroids. Tidal forces. Precession. Whale farts.

      Go ahead and show how any of these mechanisms is responsible for last 50 years of warming.

    3. Re:semantics &c. by Jason+Levine · · Score: 0

      HOWEVER, there is ZERO consensus that it is caused by human activity.

      Actually, 97% of climate scientists say that climate change is driven by human activity. I'd call 97% a pretty good consensus. Could those 97% of climate scientists be wrong? It is within the realm of possibility, but it's not very likely. In any event, all of the raw data and methodology is public so anyone can download it, examine it for themselves, and try to come up with their own theory. If their theory meets the facts better than humans causing climate change, that theory will be accepted by more scientists and the "97%" figure will fall.

      Until that happens, though, what do we stand to lose by making changes to slow down climate change. I see four possibilities:

      1) If we make the changes and the 97% are right, we slow down climate change and we all win.
      2) If we make the changes and the 97% are wrong, we don't lose all that much. We'll have a better environment with less dependence on oil so we'll still be ahead in some areas.
      3) If we don't make the changes and the 97% are right, we all lose as the climate shifts causing droughts in some areas, flooding in others, wrecks havoc with agriculture, etc.
      4) If we don't make the changes and the 97% are wrong, we don't lose anything but don't win anything either.

      In short, if we don't make changes, the best we can hope for is status quo and the worst is horrible shifts in climate. If we do make the changes, the best we can hope for is avoiding horrible climate change impacts, the worst is a slightly better status quo.

      --
      My sci-fi novel, Ghost Thief, is now available from Amazon.com.
    4. Re:semantics &c. by danbob999 · · Score: 1

      Also you forget to mention that if they are wrong but we reduced our emissions, when we find out in 10-100 years, we will have more oil left to use. Not using oil, and keeping it for later, is never a loss.

    5. Re:semantics &c. by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Vulcanism.

      Humans emit orders of magnitude more CO2 than volcanism, and when volcanoes emit ash, they cause cooling.

      Tectonics. Solar flares. Asteroids. Tidal forces. Precession. Whale farts.

      All ruled out already, except whale farts. Why don't you get on that?

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    6. Re:semantics &c. by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Yeah, about that 97% consensus... It's a pretty cooked statistic, cooked nearly as much as Mann's single bristlecone tree which produced the infamous hockey-stick of warming. But it does make a great talking point, even if it's not true!

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    7. Re:semantics &c. by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      HOWEVER, there is ZERO consensus that it is caused by human activity.
      Just because idiots like you don't 'consent' it does not mean that scientists, or for that matter: it does not mean the rest of the worlds educated people, don't consent either.
      In other more simple words: you might disagree, but you would be wrong!

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  29. Deniers? Nah by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Deniers? Nah. I'm just not going to voluntary pay to fix it. Convince enough men with guns that I need to pay and we'll talk. That's why you and I pay other taxes, after all.

  30. Underwhelming, sorry. by davide+marney · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Bill Nye is an entertainer, not a scientist. Millennials are, by definition, young, inexperienced people. That young people believe what a TV personality tells them is not exactly a news flash.

    --
    "We receive as friendly that which agrees with, we resist with dislike that which opposes us" - Faraday
    1. Re:Underwhelming, sorry. by blindseer · · Score: 1

      Bill Nye is an engineer and an entertainer. As an engineer myself, and as someone that has contact with other engineers regularly, I tend to trust the opinion of engineers on scientific topics. Not only do I trust the opinion of an engineer because of their education to get to be an engineer but I also trust them because if they did not understand science then they would not be an engineer for long.

      That said I don't trust Bill Nye's opinion on climate change because his education and experience is in mechanical engineering. While mechanical engineers must understand thermodynamics and such which would be helpful in understanding weather it appears he's placed too much faith in the opinion of others rather than doing the math himself. Had he done so then perhaps he'd have come up with a better argument than just a bandwagon argument.

      I mean if his argument is 9 out of 10 twenty-somethings agree then it must be right then perhaps he needs to think a bit more about what he's saying.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  31. Climate Anxiety by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As long as the climate prophets of doom preach/propagandize that any climate change is bad, why wouldn't people become more anxious?

    Take a page out of the Nazi playbook - lie big and lie often

  32. Re:Illustrates the real problem with life extensio by Phasedshift · · Score: 1

    Castro is still alive. I think maybe you mean Stalin.

    Anyway, it goes both ways. Many would argue that people who were born at the beginning of the 20th century were harder working, didn't believe they were "entitled" to various benefits and supported many of the ideals that this generation has forgotten.

  33. Six of the ten biggest companies... by Etherwalk · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Six of the ten biggest companies in the world are in the Oil & Gas Industries. The costs of global warming--literally, one planet--would bankrupt them if they ever actually had to pay for the damage in a lawsuit or under a new law.

    It turns out that the dregs of those trillions of dollars buys not only protection from lawmakers, but that the lawmakers and related armies of talking heads will espouse the theories your pet "scientists" prepare as talking points, until even they no longer remember that you started those rumors. The stories about how good you are or how natural global warming is or about how government regulation of environmental protection is bad make it into the press (and your perspective jury pool) free of your fingerprints.

    As a result, plenty of good people--even intelligent people who share the political beliefs of your army of lobbied lawmakers--come to believe that it's not your fault.

    Poof, the anthropogenic nature of global warming and the needs for action and environmental regulation start going up in smoke. And you can keep burning your oil.

    1. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by s.petry · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Some friendly advice. Stop believing that people care about the world the same way you do. The ultra wealthy didn't become ultra wealthy because of their high moral standards. They became ultra wealthy at the expense of everyone else in society. Trying to threaten the 200 or so people that hold 99% of the worlds wealth with bankruptcy is a laughable tactic.

      --

      -The wise argue that there are few absolutes, the fool argues that there are no probabilities.

    2. Re: Six of the ten biggest companies... by TheReaperD · · Score: 2

      Threatening (or just using) the guillotine would be far more effective than bankruptcy.

      --
      "Be particularly skeptical when presented with evidence confirming what you already believe." -
    3. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by linuxrocks123 · · Score: 1

      No, most non-US countries recognize the problem and are taking appropriate action. Even the US is taking appropriate action, despite the not-in-power political party wanting us not to. Yeah oil and gas companies hire lobbyists -- they have a duty to their shareholders -- but even some of them are starting to come around, because they're getting scared.

      And you should think about the implications of what you say before asserting it: if the cost of anything were "literally one planet", we'd all be dead, including the ones with supposed lawsuit immunity. The cost isn't "literally one planet". It's a high cost -- relocating away from coasts etc. -- but we're not all going to die.

      --
      vi ~/.emacs # I'm probably going to Hell for this.
    4. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by alvinrod · · Score: 2

      It's not fair to place the blame solely on those companies. We're all complicit in it. I like being able to drive in my nice heated car when it's cold out or the weather is too nasty to walk to work and I don't want to stand around waiting for a bus either. I like the other nice things that I have and all of the other creature comforts that were made possible from industrialization. Modern society and all its material wealth wouldn't exist without those fossil fuels. It's not really a matter of fault and I think even the people who deny it know what they're doing. The truth is that we collectively just don't care enough to suffer the discomfort of not having that life and the only way to fix it is to make using environmentally friendly energy generation less expensive.

    5. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by roman_mir · · Score: 2

      The costs of global warming--literally, one planet--would bankrupt them if they ever actually had to pay for the damage in a lawsuit or under a new law.

      - stop and explain something to me right now: are these companies PROVIDING you with the oil and gas products or are they USING them and producing the carbon emissions themselves?

      WHY IS IT THAT THE EFFECTS ON CLIMATE ARE SOMEHOW ON THE SUPPLIER OF OIL AND GAS PRODUCTS AS OPPOSED TO ON THE USER?

      What does that means: these oil and gas (and coal of-course) companies are responsible for putting out all of this pollution, aren't the consumers of these energy resources the actual polluters?

      Who is forcing anybody to live on this planet exactly and how would this planet sustain 8,000,000,000 people or so (and eventually more) if companies did not provide people with energy sources required for this human expansion?

      Under this logic shouldn't farmers and doctors and scientists and engineers be responsible for the expansion of the human race, which is really where the pollution is coming from - the human race, not companies that supply human race with energy, food, shelter, medicine, utilities, etc.?

    6. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by Etherwalk · · Score: 1

      Some friendly advice. Stop believing that people care about the world the same way you do. The ultra wealthy didn't become ultra wealthy because of their high moral standards. They became ultra wealthy at the expense of everyone else in society. Trying to threaten the 200 or so people that hold 99% of the worlds wealth with bankruptcy is a laughable tactic.

      That's what big tobacco said until they started losing lawsuits.

    7. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Reliable Source: the guy you just met.
      Informed Source: the guy who told the guy you just met.
      Unimpeachable Source: whoever started the rumor originally.

    8. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by DamnOregonian · · Score: 1

      Agreed. The French had a far more effective solution to the problem. Off with their fucking heads.

    9. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by DamnOregonian · · Score: 1

      WHY IS IT THAT THE EFFECTS ON CLIMATE ARE SOMEHOW ON THE SUPPLIER OF OIL AND GAS PRODUCTS AS OPPOSED TO ON THE USER?

      I'd agree, largely... Except our wonderful system of campaign finance and "public welfare organizations" allows the suppliers of those products to use the gains of their energy source- energy being essential to civilization, though their source not nearly being irreplaceable- to convince the masses and the politicians that have either conflicts of interest, or are beholden to their campaign financiers, that there is no hidden cost to their snake oil, and that it is folly to look elsewhere for energy.

      And that makes them evil, and far more "complicit" than the ignorant.

    10. Re: Six of the ten biggest companies... by Man+On+Pink+Corner · · Score: 0, Troll

      That's the whole idea behind gun control: to make sure 1984 isn't going to be like 1789.

    11. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      that there is no hidden cost to their snake oil, and that it is folly to look elsewhere for energy.

      - well that's nonsense, quite the opposite seems to be happening everywhere. Solar and other alternative energy companies are springing up propped up by tax money, taxes that are extracted from the general population via direct taxation, borrowing, inflation. AFAIC all businesses must survive on merits dictated by the free market, not by any government.

      Saying that oil, gas, coal businesses are peddling 'snake oil' is at the very least weird. They are delivering energy and chemical products used in 95% of our daily lives, in everything, from manufacturing and food to shipping, energy of all forms, roads, construction, medicine, everything. To say that solar or wind can replace oil and gas and coal on merits today is disingenuous.

      The free market may decide to replace oil and gas and coal when the prices become right for it.

    12. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by blindseer · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Do you realize how easy it would be to bankrupt the oil and gas companies? I mean these companies are in business because people buy their products. They'd go bankrupt almost over night if people just stopped buying their stuff.

      But why do people buy their stuff? Don't they know the damage they are doing to the environment? I'm quite certain that they do. Or at least I'm quite certain that they've been told numerous times by now, unless they live under a rock. I don't place the blame on the oil and gas companies, I place the blame on the people that buy their stuff. Did you buy and oil or gas lately? I'm quite certain you did since about 1/4th of the electricity in the USA comes from natural gas, and almost half comes from coal. If you drive a car, take a bus, ride a train, or fly in an airplane then you've burned oil.

      Unless you heat your house with corn cobs and light it with beeswax candles then this is your fault. Unless you walk or pedal to wherever you go this is your fault. If you buy food at a grocery store instead of grow it yourself then this is your fault.

      Instead of placing the blame on the oil and gas companies then I suggest you lead by example. Show me how to live a better life free from petroleum products.

      You are a hypocrite. You lecture to everyone about how oil and gas companies are ruining the world while sitting in a home heated with natural gas, lit by coal, and eating food brought to you with petroleum. It is because of oil, gas, and coal you are living the life you live. If you want people to stop buying oil and gas then show them a better path. But a better path is not easy.

      We've tried wind power but the wind doesn't always blow. We tried sun but it costs four times what electricity from natural gas, coal, or nuclear would cost. We tried bio-fuels but it became apparent very quickly that we don't have enough land to both fill our bellies and our fuel tanks. Algae fuels, wave power, fusion reactors, and so on are just theories right now. If we had those figured out then we'd see them as more than just science fair exhibitions.

      Where can we turn? What do we have that can light our homes but not foul the air? Nuclear fission? Yes, nuclear fission. I guess you don't like anything "nukular", do you?

      When I bring up nuclear power I get people that talk about Fukushima and Chernobyl while ignoring the dozens (hundreds?) of nuclear power plants that are operating safely on Earth right now. Nuclear power is the cleanest, safest, and most reliable energy source we have today. It's also one of the cheapest. Even with a reactor that blows it's top every 30 or 40 years the number of people that dies from nuclear power is orders of magnitude less than those that die from wind and sun on a per kWh basis. As safe as it is now we can make it safer. We can make it cheaper. Why don't we have more of it?

      I suspect we have not solved this problem of burning oil and gas because we have hypocrites like you that demand they eat cake and have it too.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    13. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by DamnOregonian · · Score: 1

      Solar and other alternative energy companies are springing up propped up by tax money

      And Oil companies sprung forth propped up by government, as well... You do know that, right? Do you consider their manner of origin so truly different, or are you being intellectually dishonest?

      They are delivering energy and chemical products used in 95% of our daily lives

      Not to be a dick... But you're better than that argument. Buggy whips. They're the massively capitally invested energy source du jour, nothing more. There were energy sources before them, there shall be energy sources after them.

      To say that solar or wind can replace oil and gas and coal on merits today is disingenuous.

      Depends on your definition of merits. If the merit of oil, gas, and coal is that it is cheap, then sure, you're right.
      But you know as well as I that it is cheap because of massive amounts of public dollars going into its exploration and development.

      The free market may decide to replace oil and gas and coal when the prices become right for it.

      Again with this bullshit. You know *damn* well the fossil fuel industry has *nothing* to do with the free market. You're lying through your teeth.

    14. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by dryeo · · Score: 1

      Well there is evidence that Exon financed anti-nuclear groups to kill one of the better alternatives. Another oil company bought up battery patents and refused to license them to anyone who wanted to use large batteries. Then as others mentioned there is the lobbying and FUD that they spread.
      As long as some industries are subverting the free market, the market can't operate very well.

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
    15. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      And Oil companies sprung forth propped up by government, as well... You do know that, right? Do you consider their manner of origin so truly different, or are you being intellectually dishonest?

      - wrong, the government stepped in to destroy the most profitable company in the world when it took down Standard Oil, which was built in a free market economy by a person competing against others to the best of his abilities. Government destroyed that company, since then oil products never went lower in price.

      Not to be a dick... But you're better than that argument. Buggy whips. They're the massively capitally invested energy source du jour, nothing more. There were energy sources before them, there shall be energy sources after them.

      - Ha! They are providing the cheapest form of energy ever known to man kind on this planet, they are also providing the most important chemicals used across all industries, from food to medicine to materials, you name something, it uses oil to exist.

      Buggy whip was no longer useful when it was replaced by a car. To argue that solar and wind are the modern cars is the disingenuous argument and no, I don't think you are better than that but then I don't give a rats ass about being a dick.

      Depends on your definition of merits. If the merit of oil, gas, and coal is that it is cheap, then sure, you're right.

      - as far as the market is concerned that's the only thing that matters, but no, they are not only cheap. They are the most convenient.

      They are the most transportable, the most convenient to use, the fastest to use, the best in terms of energy density (unless we are going to get our nuclear cars, I am all for nuclear cars).

      But you know as well as I that it is cheap because of massive amounts of public dollars going into its exploration and development.

      - wrong. There is no 'public dollars' going into exploration, unless of-course you are talking about loans that some companies get from banks (and they are not loaning in this market, not even to oil and gas developers, thanks to idiotic public policy of money destruction through inflation). If banks are in any way 'public' that's a problem in itself that needs to be solved by removing government from money and interest rate manipulation, from business oppression, but that's a different story.

      Again with this bullshit. You know *damn* well the fossil fuel industry has *nothing* to do with the free market. You're lying through your teeth.

      - clearly oil and gas demand is some of the most free market there is out there, sold internationally to the highest bidders.

      Yes, cartels manipulation production but they are manipulating production up, which is great for the consumers.

      I am not anywhere near done with my arguments but I am tired of bullshit that I read here.

    16. Re: Six of the ten biggest companies... by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Your understanding of history and politics is laughable. I'm sure you thought it was better, but all you managed to achieve is demonstrating just how inaccurate your perception of the world is. Tragic stuff.

    17. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Because we all pay for the pollution made by oil companies, whereas they only have to shoulder the same burden as everyone else, while directly profiting from it. It's not too hard to understand. Their business model is predicated on not having to clean up after themselves. Societies the world over have sought ways to limit companies making money of the misery of others, yet these are still holding out, due to their large influence.

    18. Re: Six of the ten biggest companies... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, we are not all complicit in it. Those responsible are the factory/manufacturing owners for the past several hundred years. Those are the people (and their investors) we need to penalize.

    19. Re: Six of the ten biggest companies... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Translation: I got nuttin'

    20. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by houghi · · Score: 1

      Start small and stop buying bottled water. That wuld mean already a LOT of less bottles and energy that won't be used anymore.

      "but the water here is really bad" No it isn't in 99.9% of the western world.

      But it is easier to quote marketing droids from thos that sell you water. I am old enough to know how we laughed at people who were buying water while you can get it for free or as good as free.

      Stop using an electric tootbrush. Use a normal one for a bit longer. The small things will make you more aware of the larger things and it is much easier.

      I have sold my car and now use car sharing. I do a LOT of less km per month as it is less convinient. I live in a place that has great public transport, so it will not be an option for everybody, but there will be things that you can do. Most people do not want to.

      --
      Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
    21. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nuclear power is the cleanest, safest, and most reliable energy source we have today.

      No, that would be solar and wind.
      All the benefit, none of the radiation and proliferation drawbacks.

    22. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, we are trying all those things and they are working, in spite of you and people like you.

      Loser.

    23. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by operagost · · Score: 1

      Then off with the heads of the people who took off the heads of the first group.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    24. Re: Six of the ten biggest companies... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're right, the guillotine is good for the small people... whether threats or "just using" it.

      The influential "big" people have never faced justice, because enough money makes you immune to justice. This has been a fact (IMO of course) since we stopped living as hunter-gatherers and began the slow rise towards caves --> villages --> cities --> nations.

      I'm not saying "there's nothing that can be done about it" because there are fixes to some degree. Political, financial... but people are imperfect, greedy, selfish and amoral. The shit always floats to the top, always has, always will, in some form or another.

    25. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by ikebottema · · Score: 2
      "When I bring up nuclear power I get people that talk about Fukushima and Chernobyl while ignoring the dozens (hundreds?) of nuclear power plants that are operating safely on Earth right now."

      There are just under 400 currently operating, as you say, safely. ... And when one examines our energy demands versus what can be supplied, the ONLY answer that works is nuclear.

    26. Re: Six of the ten biggest companies... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you get one more cavity in the next thirty years, the environmental effects of getting first world dental care for it will likely outweigh the puby electrical draw of an electric toothbrush.

      This is what I hate more than anything about climate change evangelists; a complete disregard for rational impact analysis.

    27. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep, everyone just needs to stop using any form of hydrocarbon fuels right now. Too bad that will kill most people (literally) and destroy society. We need to change but it's not by entirely ending our way of life. People ARE looking for alternatives and most people don't have any idea where their power comes from. I happen to have wind but only because it cost about the same. Close enough to be acceptable. Of course, the prices of hydrocarbon based power are controlled by a handful of uber companies which in turn control government regulation (in ALL governments, not just the US). I can't drive electric because there simply isn't an option I can use at ANY price point. I would say people, generally speaking, HAVE changed their views about fossil fuels but they aren't going to stop their lives for some alternative power or transportation method that doesn't exist. The funny thing is the fossil fuel industry really converted most people themselves. Raising gas prices like they did for as long as they did a large number of people basically decided fuck you guys, we'll find something else. But that takes time. More time then it's been.

    28. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I use electricity and burn gasoline, but I'm not married to fossil fuels. If I could get my electricity and heat from non-fossil sources and drive an electric car, I'd be fine. However, the companies that supply fossil fuels would be screwed. If energy use had an accurate climate change tax added (that we don't currently know how to compute), fossil fuel energy would go up a lot, while nuclear and solar and hydroelectric would be very little affected.

      It isn't a matter of blame so much as who's going to lose big when we do something about global warming.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    29. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      It's a tragedy of the commons on a global scale. The amount of CO2 that gets into the atmosphere because of me does approximately no harm to anyone. The amount that gets into the atmosphere because of me and a few billion close personal friends does a great deal of harm. So, if I inconvenience myself to reduce my CO2 contribution, it doesn't help anyone and just punishes me. If my gigaBFFs and I all inconvenience ourselves, we're all a lot better off.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    30. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      It isn't a matter of blame so much as who's going to lose big when we do something about global warming.

      ........

      If I could get my electricity and heat from non-fossil sources and drive an electric car, I'd be fine.

      - one word: price.

    31. Re: Six of the ten biggest companies... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, just for a lark, the next time you go to shave or even just wash your hands, plug the sink first and try to save water. See how much water is there by the time you finish. That's your contribution to climate change. I guarantee it will be far greater than you currently believe.

    32. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by prof_robinson · · Score: 0

      What is it about you people that you think you can simply discount mountains of evidence and raw data just by cueing up the spooky music, and bitching about that nefarious villian, "Big Oil". Make sure you say "Big Oil" that out loud with a sneer, so everybody knows how you feel about it. A few things you forget: the Green Industry is now a 7 TRILLION DOLLAR market; it must be just as corrupt, by your srgument. And of all the oil companies in the world, the only two private ones are American - and they control less than 10% of the market. All the other oil companies are state-run. they are socialist enterprises. This whole mysterious evil plan by oil companies to hide the truth about your doom prophecies is just to deflect from you actually having to study the issue yourself, or defend it.

    33. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by beastofburdon · · Score: 1

      You act like walking or taking the bus is always an option.
      Guess what, it's not!
      If you do not live in one of the big cities of the US then you don't have the option of a bus at all, and you likely don't have the option of walking to much of anything.
      Where I grew up if you didn't have a car you didn't have a job and you couldn't go to school(beyond high school) either. The closest bus was over 50 miles away and the closest town about 20 miles away. Having a working car was absolutely essential. Hell, even the Mennonites out there have a car, not because they want to, but because they have to.

    34. Re:Six of the ten biggest companies... by beastofburdon · · Score: 1

      [starts slow clap]

  34. Degrees of skepticism by Alomex · · Score: 1

    Clearly climate change is happening. We have enough data to assert that without question, unless you are a shill for the CO2 emitting industry or a jihad anti-climate change ideologist who uses this as a litmus test of blind allegiance.

    I am still a "the world is coming to an end" skeptic, for many reasons:

    One is that the press focuses on bad news because it attracts readership.

    Another is because made up crises attract more funding. To give an example of a made up crisis on top of a real problem was last year's prediction by WHO of 1.4 million dead from Ebola. Actual deaths? About 11,000.

    The third reason why I'm an end-of-the-world skeptic is Stein's law. If things do seem to become nearly apocalyptic we can expect that rapid, drastic action will be taken. E.g. the first time the Koch brothers mansion in the Hamptons gets flooded will see a very different tune coming from the GOP.

    Fourth reason is because as a technologist I know that some seemingly insurmountable problems are often overcome via technology. E.g. the drop in the prices of solar cells has been much more dramatic that I had ever expected. Cost used to be the main problem with solar, not any more. Now it seems to be storage and lo an behold improvements in battery technology (power wall anyone) seem rather promising.

    Fifth, the models are a hell of a lot more imprecise than the press lets you know. We *are* tickling the climate dragon, so we *will* get a reaction. What exactly will it be? pretty hard to tell just yet.

    So every time some one predicts the end of the world be it Ebola, overpopulation, or global warming I put my skeptic hat on.

    Having said that, I'm in favor of renewable energy and less CO2 production now because polluting less makes sense regardless of apocalyptic climate change or not.

    1. Re:Degrees of skepticism by acoustix · · Score: 1

      Clearly climate change is happening.

      Most likely. Very few people disagree with that.

      We have enough data to assert that without question, unless you are a shill for the CO2 emitting industry or a jihad anti-climate change ideologist who uses this as a litmus test of blind allegiance.

      This is where the disagreement occurs. Is climate change a normal occurrence? Or is it only occurring because of man's actions? Is it cyclical? Isn't this cycle very similar to previous changes in climate?

      --
      "A plan fiendishly clever in its intricacies"- Homer Simpson
    2. Re:Degrees of skepticism by JohnnyMindcrime · · Score: 1

      Exactly. There's geological evidence that this planet went through at least four Ice Ages before man was here.

      And, no, that does not mean that man isn't having an impact now or that we should not burn less fossil fuels as a precautionary measure. But the fact is that the only evidence that exists are measurements showing climate changes over the past few decades, not the causes of it.

      --
      Windows 10 is great - I used it to download Linux.
    3. Re:Degrees of skepticism by Alomex · · Score: 1

      Most likely. Very few people disagree with that.

      Hmm. 13M+ Rush Limbaugh listeners likely disagree with that.

      This is where the disagreement occurs. Is climate change a normal occurrence? Or is it only occurring because of man's actions? Is it cyclical? Isn't this cycle very similar to previous changes in climate?

      I agree with this, with a minor caveat. I think it is pretty clear that we are putting out enough CO2 to assert that at least some of that change is man-made. We haven't fully ruled out a second factor that might be making things much worse. In particular one of the most ignored issues in the popular press on AGW is why there isn't a straight direct correlation between CO2 and temperature, as one would first expect. I've read scientific articles stating that this is the $64K question of the day, and who ever answers it will likely take home a Nobel prize.

    4. Re:Degrees of skepticism by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      There was no WHO *prediction* of 1.4 million ebola deaths.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    5. Re:Degrees of skepticism by Alomex · · Score: 1

      Sorry my mistake. It was the CDC:

      http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/previe...

    6. Re:Degrees of skepticism by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1
      > Now it seems to be storage...

      There was no point in reducing the price other the pieces of solar remained at $30/watt (I've seen it recently at $0.26/watt which is a one year payback time in Phoenix). Not only that, but other uses for storage have better economics than solar (a smartphone that lasts a week or a 500 mile car battery). I really don't know why inverters still cost so much. I paid $1600 for my 3.6kw inverter used for solar, but can buy a very similar 5kw industrial inverter for $150.

    7. Re:Degrees of skepticism by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1
      > 13M+

      4% of the us population. 1/25

    8. Re:Degrees of skepticism by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      They didn't predict 1.4 million cases of Ebola would happen. That was just the modeled result with no intervention. You'll notice there was a rather robust intervention even though it was slow to get going.

    9. Re:Degrees of skepticism by Alomex · · Score: 1

      Exactly, it illustrates the made up crisis. Gives us money to intervene, otherwise there would be a 1.4million dead people!!! OMG!!

      This number was ridiculous since it assumed ritual funerary practices wouldn't change even after 1.4 million dead people.

  35. I'll tell you what... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I will believe in global warming if - and ONLY if - I see DEMOCRATS start believing in global warming. This means Al Gore using the train, instead of his private jets. This means Obama admitting that Air Force One should not have been tootling him around the country campaigning for his various causes when he knows perfectly that just warming up the engines on that thing will negate every possible CO2 sacrifice I will ever make in my entire lifetime. I want to see celebrities taking selfies from trains and buses instead of with Ferraris and Lamborghinis. I want to see celebrities LIVING FULL TIME IN CALIFORNIA AND PAYING "THEIR FAIR SHARE" BY THE LIBERAL'S DEFINITION instead of bookkeeping their way - by jet - around the country to multiple residences so they can "live" in some state with lower taxes while they leave behind the California middle class to pay the confiscatory taxes they advocated for them. I want to see Al Gore trading in his multiple mansions for one or two two-bedroom houses that don't take 500 megawatts to heat and cool. I want to see Bill Nye the Science Guy not going to political events because the extra carbon emissions for that travel are gratuitous and, after all, *I* already believe, and I'm the last person who ever would - UNLESS I saw DEMOCRATS actually ACT like they REALLY DO BELIEVE IN GLOBAL WARMING. BECAUSE RIGHT NOW THEY DON'T, AND IT'S JUST THAT SIMPLE!

    1. Re:I'll tell you what... by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      To be fair Obama and any President doesn't have a choice about using Air Force One. The security apparatus and communication needs of a President preclude that.

    2. Re:I'll tell you what... by kaatochacha · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but he does have a choice of constantly travelling to California, shutting down roads and disrupting traffic, etc. for fundraising only. And yes, I know, "his campaigning will elect people even BETTER at helping the environment, blah blah blah".

    3. Re:I'll tell you what... by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      You'd have a better argument if he was doing any different than other Presidents.

  36. Oh look, a mechanical engineer by Tailhook · · Score: 1

    When non-climate scientists are critical of this consensus science we're told they have no standing because they're not climate scientists.

    --
    Maw! Fire up the karma burner!
    1. Re:Oh look, a mechanical engineer by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

      You forgot the part about being clueless.

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    2. Re:Oh look, a mechanical engineer by hyades1 · · Score: 1

      So you'd take your sick child to a physicist?

      Great idea! Go for it!

      --
      I've calculated my velocity with such exquisite precision that I have no idea where I am.
    3. Re:Oh look, a mechanical engineer by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Bad analogy. It's more like taking your kid with a sore throat to a GP or nurse practitioner or pharmacist instead of an otolaryngologist. Yes, the OLO is the specialist, but the GP, NP, or pharmacist will diagnose the same problem and recommend the same treatment as the OLO. You don't need the OLO to get a diagnosis, and you wouldn't really discount the diagnosis of the GP or NP, would you?

      And when it comes to complex environments with lots of chaos and thermodynamics in action, a good physicist would probably give you better insights and answers than a climatologist.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    4. Re:Oh look, a mechanical engineer by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Sure the physicist would give you answers. He'd start with a spherical planet of uniform density and temperature, except for solar insolation. Once he had enough details in there to make a reasonable prediction, he'd be a climate scientist.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  37. Bill Nye got caught faking a experiment by Notorious+G · · Score: 4, Informative

    Bill Nye (along with Al Gore) got caught faking a experiment to "prove" climate change - the results were totally not reproducible in any way and the footage he had was cut to make it look like it proved his claim (google "bill nye fake experiment" to see it exposed). Since then, I don't see why anyone listens to the guy. He's Bill Nye The Propaganda Guy

    It seems every time there's 'proof' of man made global warming, the data is cooked, the experiments are not reproducible, the predictions don't materialize. Not sure how that state of affairs became the standard of "science".

    1. Re:Bill Nye got caught faking a experiment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I googled it, but I didn't find much of interest, if you were referring to
      http://mediamatters.org/blog/2011/09/30/climate-skeptic-proves-conclusively-that-he-kno/181110

    2. Re:Bill Nye got caught faking a experiment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you're the guy claiming that CO2 has different properties than what are listed in textbooks? Or are you some other type of moron?

      Personally, I think it could have been a better experiment. I would rather see an experiment with one jar being filled with pure O2, another with a mixed atmosphere, and an IR-only light source. The O2-only jar should not trap heat, assuming the container is IR-transparent. You could vary the CO2 level and watch the temperature change in response, up to the point of saturation.

      Not sure how that state of affairs became the standard of "science".

      It didn't. You're just not listening to scientists. Honestly, if there were an easy answer, then all of you motivated contrarians would collectively be able to prove that something else is happening, even if you had to go out and collect measurements yourself. But even Exxon's scientists agreed AGW was true. The public is gullible. The public doesn't get raked over the coals by peer review and politicians. The public can afford to believe in conspiracies.

    3. Re:Bill Nye got caught faking a experiment by Notorious+G · · Score: 1

      I kind of doubt you googled it: https://www.google.com/search?...

    4. Re:Bill Nye got caught faking a experiment by Notorious+G · · Score: 1

      See, that's how it always goes. When the faked data is exposed, you get some childish name calling - no wonder the millennials are the best hope, it seems that's their forte. Hey, are you thinking the earth is encased in glass, you know, like a green house? Sure, it could have been a better experiment - by not being faked and actually doing some real science. Do you even science, bro?

    5. Re:Bill Nye got caught faking a experiment by GuB-42 · · Score: 1

      Just look at this video from Veritatium : https://youtu.be/s7MTM4BKZ_E

      The proof of global warming is in statistics : plenty of data, some maths, and we know with little doubt that global warming is happening even when the weather is cold. That's how science works but it is seen as intangible and boring.
      We all prefer conclusive experiments. So for popular science, they usually do some experiment that may not be serious science but show a point, mythbusters style. And sometimes they do it wrong, but this is simply bad communication, the numbers behind it don't lie (with p<0.05).

    6. Re:Bill Nye got caught faking a experiment by phantomfive · · Score: 1
      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    7. Re:Bill Nye got caught faking a experiment by BitZtream · · Score: 1

      Its kind of like scientology is a cult rather than religion. This is a religion rather than science. Most people on both sides are 100% sure the know the the right ... whatever they know.

      The reality of it is, both sides don't know dick and thats why nothing is going to happen.

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
    8. Re:Bill Nye got caught faking a experiment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I would wager because you look specifically for those results, and ignore the multitudes of evidence that does not fit your acceptable window. Like a creationist ignoring all positive reinforcement of evolution theory and pointing out "Bananas are made to fit human hands!"

    9. Re:Bill Nye got caught faking a experiment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, are you the guy who thinks there's more than one way to transfer heat energy into a vacuum, or are you some other kind of moron?

      This isn't even to the level of "we need an experiment". This is stuff that is in every textbook, stuff that was proved centuries ago and wasn't particularly controversial at the time. You're like the physics crank with a beef against Einstein. We can't even argue experiments with you because you don't know the basics. Pick up a textbook on atmospheric physics and after that, the IPCC reports, and then we'll talk about what experiments you think were badly done and why.

  38. Re:Illustrates the real problem with life extensio by gurps_npc · · Score: 1

    Correction, if Castro was still in power.

    As for your opposing world view, I believe it is garbage. Everyone always thinks "their" group was better.

    What usually happens is that when group (A) is wrong, group A2 fixes the problem. But group A mostly can't admit they were wrong, so they claim the 'fix' that A2 did is really a problem.

    Prime example is the 'entitled' feeling you discuss. It's roots is in the belief that rights are you actual rights, rather than privileges. As in , blacks are entitled to a fair trial, Jews are entitled to go to law school, women are entitled to an equal wage.

    But if you disagree with the above entitlements, you get shouted down for being a racist, anti-Semitic misogynist.

    So instead you complain about a generic "entitlement" culture of today's youths.

    Similar thing happening now with the new sexual liberation. The backlash is about how we are 'oppressing' good honest Christians that just want to live by their sincere beliefs.

    If your sincere beliefs are hateful, bigotry, then yes, we are not going to let you live by those beliefs - at least not to the extent that they infringe on other people's actual, real civil rights.

    --
    excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
  39. Corruption by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think the main issue folks have with Climate Change is that there is just so stinking much corruption in the government and all the organizations that buy their agendas ways into the government, that people have become disenfranchised. I would bet the demographic split mentioned in the post would support that argument as well. Millennials haven't seen enough political corruption, disappointment, and dishonesty to really loose faith in what leaders are telling them. Those advanced in age might just be fed up with all the corruption and are just pissed about the whole situation.

    I don't know - but the demography seems interesting. Intelligence has never been associated with a "generation", so it is not like Millennials have figured out something Boomers haven't. Not generationally anyway.

  40. Follow the money! by King_TJ · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Exactly! Best reply I've read on Slashdot this week, s.petry.

    The problem most people have with the climate change issue is that people with expensive agendas are found swirling all around it. There's lots of money on the table, waiting to be swept up by anyone proposing "environmentally Green energy alternatives" their business can supposedly provide. If you want to make sure that gravy train doesn't end, you've got to keep everyone fearful about the future and believing your solutions will save them.

    The "carbon tax" thing isn't actually an inherently terrible idea. It falls apart in practice, though, because we simply don't have an equitable way to collect an appropriate amount of tax from everyone polluting and then spending it again on things that actually work to remove that much pollution again. All it does is help a few rich people get richer the more they can encourage people to continue contributing to the problem and then paying them to compensate for it.

    The elephant in the room that many people choose to ignore is the fact that we've all collectively gotten so much benefit from the energy produced by the fossil fuels that are so despised. I don't know that it's remotely fair to make the oil, coal or gas company the "bad guy" who must pay for all the environmental damage the use of their fuels caused, when it was all of us willingly buying them or the energy produced by them, the whole time. There needs to be more recognition that fossil fuels helped advance society for everyone on this planet who could take advantage of them. And yes, it looks like that caused downsides we need to examine more closely and start addressing. But doing so may just involve accepting we're in for a slightly warmer climate, and relocating some people and buildings would be a good idea over the next 100 years.

    1. Re: Follow the money! by TheReaperD · · Score: 2

      I've never been one to say that fossil fuels are bad and we should have never used them but, now they are causing significant damage to our health and environment and we have the ability to replace them with much more environmentally friendly options now. The arguments against changing are always FUD based. Either along the lines of we can't say for sure exactly how much of the damage is being caused by the fossil fuel industry or exactly how much impact it is having on our health and environment and they say that until we can, we shouldn't try to change anything. It's the exact type of arguments (and PR firms) the tobacco industry used to try and stop smoking regulations. We shouldn't fall for this tactic again. Imagine how many lives and how much money could have been saved if tobacco regulations had been enacted 30 years earlier.

      --
      "Be particularly skeptical when presented with evidence confirming what you already believe." -
    2. Re:Follow the money! by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      . It falls apart in practice, though, because we simply don't have an equitable way to collect an appropriate amount of tax from everyone polluting and then spending it again on things that actually work to remove that much pollution again.
      No idea what you are talking about. In the EU especially germany it works quite well.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    3. Re: Follow the money! by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      I personally changed and didn't wait for someone to do it for me. There's no reason that others also cannot change. I even spent very little money. Wanting others to do what you won't do for yourself is hypocritical.

    4. Re:Follow the money! by k6mfw · · Score: 1

      The elephant in the room that many people choose to ignore is the fact that we've all collectively gotten so much benefit from the energy produced by the fossil fuels that are so despised. I don't know that it's remotely fair to make the oil, coal or gas company the "bad guy" who must pay for all the environmental damage the use of their fuels caused, when it was all of us willingly buying them or the energy produced by them, the whole time.

      that pretty much sums it up right there. I believe there is a climate change (global warming or whatever term) simply put that certain places are changing (less ice in Greenland, Seattle has seasonal weather instead of rain all the time, Calif lakes are much lower than before). Now there's all kinds of people arguing over sematics or finding faults in scientist's reporting (I'm like every other field there's some mischief). Unfortunately this country is becoming more scientifically illiterate and more religious zealots. I think the oil companies should come "clean" and be objective. Hey, they are not going to go broke as we all need their gas (sorry but not all of us can go electric). Too bad we can't discuss this objectively. My concern is if certain regions go bone dry in a generation like what happened to the Sahara or if arctic ice shrinks up and the Atlantic current cycles stop leaving England and much of western Europe have severe winters like Canada (London is about same latitude as Calgary).

      --
      mfwright@batnet.com
    5. Re: Follow the money! by IWantMoreSpamPlease · · Score: 1

      We are not all you.
      In some places of the world switching away from cheap oil and byproducts, is very costly and cannot be afforded. ...something to think about

      --
      So rise up, all ye lost ones, as one, we'll claw the clouds.
    6. Re: Follow the money! by kellymcdonald78 · · Score: 1

      I think the challenge is that most of the focus has been on electricity. We now have some generally usable environmentally friendly options, however electricity only represents a small portion of total energy use that comes from fossil fuels. In 2000 90% of all energy use (not just electricity) came from fossil fuels. 15 years later after all the massive investments in renewables, we're now at 85%. Transportation still is a massive user of energy and even though there have been strides in consumer electric vehicles, even a massive shift (growth of 20%-30% in the EV market), we would still looking at more than half of all vehicles on the road being internal combustion well into the 2040's and not really phasing them out until the 2070's or 2080's. Never mind transport trucks, ships, planes, and trains. Then there is heating, industrial processes, etc, etc, etc. We seem to treat this as if the "mean oil companies" would just get on board and stop the FUD, the problem would be solved quickly. It wont, modern society is literally built on fossil fuels, they permeate every aspect of our lives. Personally I think we should looking more at geoengineering, because if the changes that are coming are as severe as some are predicting, its really going to be our only option.

    7. Re:Follow the money! by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      We don't have to spend carbon tax revenues on anything for them to be productive. Impose carbon taxes and reduce other taxes to stay revenue-neutral, and let the market figure out the best way to reduce CO2 output.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  41. Whatever happened to "Man-Made Global Warming"? by JohnnyMindcrime · · Score: 2

    What troubles me is the suddenness at which that phrase seemed to have been dropped by the media and "believers" in favour of the more generic term "climate change" that does not, somewhat conveniently, attribute a possible cause.

    Do I believe "climate change" is happening? Yes, according to geological evidence it's happened at least four times before during planetary Ice Ages, we're probably about due a fifth Ice Age.

    Do I believe man is the cause? Unsure, I don't think we've been able to measure our potential impact on the planet over a long enough period to make too many assumptions - we'd probably need to compare temperature measurements over the century before industrialisation to temperature measurements after industrialisation to make any reasonable assumptions. But we don't have that data.

    Do I think burning less fossil fuels, recycling more and being green are worthwhile? Not everyone who smokes gets cancer but not smoking reduces the risk of cancer. I don't smoke because I want to minimise my risk of cancer, in the same way I am happy to be greener *in case* my carbon emissions are having a big impact on climate.

    I don't see the above as being a doubter, I am happy to proceed with caution until empirical evidence proves things either way - and I don't think the proof exists for either way except that we are very confident that this planet went through at least four cooling/warming cycles before man was ever here. Therefore my opinion at the moment is climate change is more than likely natural, whilst keeping an open mind.

    --
    Windows 10 is great - I used it to download Linux.
    1. Re:Whatever happened to "Man-Made Global Warming"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I find this whole line of reasoning quite asinine.

      Surely you are aware that the ice-age/interglacial cycle is caused by periodic shifts in the earths orbit, that we are right in the middle of an interglacial and are not expecting ice-age conditions for something in the order of 10,000 years.

      Also surely you are aware, that while we don't have good thermometer measurements for the period immediately preceeding the industrial revolution we have quite a number of different types of proxy records. We have enough of these to show statistically that the warming in the late 20th century/early 21st century is abnormal. Obviously we have to draw bigger error bars than we would have to if we did have the thermometer data but saying that we can't make reasonable assumptions just shows a complete lack of familiarity with the research that has been done.

      How to put this. We know how greenhouse gasses work, it's basic physics. We know roughly how much of the stuff we are producing (say within an order of magnitude) we can use that to fairly reliably get a minimum change in the global energy balance for the amount we are putting in the system. We know that this accounts for slightly more than 100% of the delta in greenhouse gasses.
      We know that due to positive feedbacks that the change in energy budget will be higher than that but not really how much. There are a range of estimates.

    2. Re:Whatever happened to "Man-Made Global Warming"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do I believe "climate change" is happening? Yes, according to geological evidence it's happened at least four times before during planetary Ice Ages, we're probably about due a fifth Ice Age.

      You've conflated several things there. "Belief" generally doesn't require evidence; it's the adoption of some position based on who says it. The current situation doesn't require that; evidence is readily available that 1) warming is happening; 2) it's happening faster than at any other point in geological time (though the time resolution of those previous warmings is still subject to some question); 3) it's having a measurable effect beyond the short-term variance due to weather; 4) many of the expected side effects of higher CO2, such as ocean acidification, are becoming evident; and 5) despite some variance, the warming *is* actually consistent (despite the views of those who like to tinker with satellite data) with the addition of CO2 to the atmosphere from, dominantly but not exclusively, use of fossil fuels. Also, there's little evidence that we're due for another Ice Age on any human-perceivable time scale, and even if we were the current rate of warming would more than counteract the rate at which previous coolings (other than short-term ones related to some cataclysm) happened.

      Do I believe man is the cause? Unsure, I don't think we've been able to measure our potential impact on the planet over a long enough period to make too many assumptions - we'd probably need to compare temperature measurements over the century before industrialisation to temperature measurements after industrialisation to make any reasonable assumptions. But we don't have that data.

      Human activity, especially but not exclusively related to the use of fossil fuels, is almost certainly the major cause. Are other things also happening? Certainly, but they act at slower time scales than what we're seeing. And BTW, the basic science of this, and concern about it, isn't anything new: the way CO2 works as a GHG was well-known even in the early 20th Century, and its global effect was well-established in principle in the 1970s, when the Boomers were out there protesting various things and being environmental activists (when were EIRs born?). Then they got jobs, had families, built businesses, bought SUVs, and got comfortable with a high-GHG-emitting lifestyle, and basically forgot (perhaps deliberately, perhaps induced by others who were making money off them; probably some of both and other things too) what was known. Difference is that back then there were only 4-5 billion people on the planet; now there's 8-9, and the effects are a lot harder to ignore.

      Do I think burning less fossil fuels, recycling more and being green are worthwhile? Not everyone who smokes gets cancer but not smoking reduces the risk of cancer. I don't smoke because I want to minimise my risk of cancer, in the same way I am happy to be greener *in case* my carbon emissions are having a big impact on climate.

      That's the "precautionary principle" at work. People who believe (there's that word again) that nothing can be learned from history, which is actually a corporate motto in some circles, are doomed to repeat it, including all the mistakes that previous generations made. Good Judgment comes from Experience; Experience comes from Bad Judgment; and History is the record of Bad Judgment by other people so it can be used, if desired, to expand Experience beyond what's personally observable. Nothing is truly certain, but I think you have it figured out; unfortunately, a lot of others either haven't, or have but don't want to accept it, so you (we) need to figure out how to live with the changed conditions.

      I don't see the above as being a doubter, I am happy to proceed with caution until empirical evidence proves things either way - and I don't think the proof exists for either way except that we are very confident that this planet went through a

    3. Re:Whatever happened to "Man-Made Global Warming"? by idji · · Score: 1

      Tell me what you think of CO2 level changes and ocean acidification measurements and why you think they may not be anthropogenic? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    4. Re:Whatever happened to "Man-Made Global Warming"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Therefore my opinion at the moment is climate change is more than likely natural, whilst keeping an open mind.

      That makes you a Climate Denier, heretic, and ye shall burn for it.

    5. Re:Whatever happened to "Man-Made Global Warming"? by JohnnyMindcrime · · Score: 1

      Surely you are aware that the ice-age/interglacial cycle is caused by periodic shifts in the earths orbit, that we are right in the middle of an interglacial and are not expecting ice-age conditions for something in the order of 10,000 years.

      You've just defeated your own argument there and then, I need go no further. On the basis that an Ice Age is the coolest point of a interglacial cycle, then if we are in the middle of an interglacial, then we are presumably at, or nearing, the warmest point? And is warming not going on now?

      And please don't use terms like "asinine". I don't claim to be a climatologist and I am happy to listen to reasoned discussion from people who know more about the subject than I do. But I am a systems engineer of some 30 years experience and reasoned logical deduction is a speciality of mine, you need it for fault-finding systems.

      Like I said in my first post, I am prepared to be open-minded on the topic and accept actual proof when it arrives. But you certainly provided that here, you've actually strengthened my case that it's a natural cycle.

      --
      Windows 10 is great - I used it to download Linux.
    6. Re:Whatever happened to "Man-Made Global Warming"? by JohnnyMindcrime · · Score: 1

      If I had mod points and could mod you up, I would do.

      Thank you for a very interesting and reasoned response, I appreciate you taking the time to write it.

      --
      Windows 10 is great - I used it to download Linux.
    7. Re:Whatever happened to "Man-Made Global Warming"? by kaatochacha · · Score: 1

      He/She called someone asinine for slightly disagreeing with his belief.
      Ladies and gentlemen, I present: The Horribly Stereotyped Millenial!

    8. Re:Whatever happened to "Man-Made Global Warming"? by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I really, really don't care what phrases are used by the media. We have global warming. It's caused by people. However, it isn't a simple matter of making things a little warmer all over. It's going to change the climate. Therefore, "climate change", which currently is almost completely caused by global warming caused by people. (Nothing else changing the climate is doing much on these time scales.)

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  42. Thanks to Millenials by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The most brainwashed, lazy, uneducated generation of all time.

    As long as Bill Nye says it's true it must be!

    1. Re:Thanks to Millenials by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      Because he's the only one saying it....

      Oh wait, he isn't. Just about every climatologist out there is saying it.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  43. Of course Millennials believe in climate change... by Kaptain+Kruton · · Score: 2

    It's very hard to find a millennial-aged person that is not concerned about climate change.

    Of course Millennials are concerned about it. Modern school systems and society have basically indoctrinated Millennials in the belief of man-made climate change. Society often considers them to be fools or ignorant for even questioning the belief, instead of encouraging them to ask "why" and search for truths and data that supports or refutes climate change theories. Furthermore, Millennials have never been taught or seen the things that make some of the older people doubt the validity of claims related to global climate change.

    The fact that Millennials believe in things related to climate change really has nothing to do with greater acceptance of scientific research. It is just a product of their upbringing.

  44. clarification by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What he is really saying is that young, naive people are easier to brainwash.

  45. Re:Illustrates the real problem with life extensio by quintessencesluglord · · Score: 1

    Yeah, no.

    Depends very much on what life looks like at 160, but as it is the human brain doesn't fully develop until mid-twenties, so that leaves about 30 or so good years of being in full control of your faculties.

    Not really enough time to gain some wisdom and put it to good use.

    I believe they saying "history repeats itself" is precisely because no one ever lives long enough to have a broad view, and certainly doesn't live long enough to come to terms with the follies of their youth and move towards something better.

    Extending middle age will be one of the most dramatic shifts ever in our species, pushing intelligence further than even the web, and for the nihilist, forcing people to live with their decisions.

  46. Probably because by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Millennials are weak minded, incapable of critical thinking and are dimwitted enough to believe whatever people tell them.

  47. Re:Dead last by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Climate Change ranks dead last on the list of things that people are concerned with these days.

    Go ahead, try to hide the facts again by down modding

  48. Climate is not weather by fyngyrz · · Score: 5, Insightful

    it seems pretty clear that with a quote like "Weather changes all the time!" that they actauly do not doubt that the climate is changing at all.

    Weather is not climate. For about the millionth time.

    And as stated above, yes, the climate is changing.

    How much of that is caused by man, and more importantly, how much will be caused by man in the next hundred years or so, has not been established. The models that purport to be predictive disagree with one another; disagree with the actual observed climate; offer no precursor climate event that shores up their ideas; suffer from precursor climate events that contradict their ideas; and are almost certain to be massively disrupted by technological change even if they were spot on WRT today's conditions anyway.

    Aside from that, the obvious sane path is to contribute the least that is practical to changes in atmospheric gas mix, particulate levels, and temperature change. Solar and nuclear power are the two technologies that offer the best shot at reducing all of those. Solar is growing and advancing technologically at a very high rate, storage (a required facet of really solid general solar power supply) is behind but changing fast in the right direction, and nuclear... sigh. Nuclear is still suffering various slings and arrows that have little or no actual relevance today. Never underestimate the power of fear-mongering. They ever want to put a nuke in my back yard then PIIMBY (Put It In My Back Yard), I'll bake them a cake and move all my stuff out of the way.

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    1. Re:Climate is not weather by wisnoskij · · Score: 2

      I think that in this case weather is used as a synonym to climate tho. These people do not say that the average global temp has been the same since the earth's crust solidified. They claim, rightly, that the climate has been in huge flux for as long as the earth has had an atmosphere, and that it is actually quite relatively cold relative to the distant past.

      TL;DR: The claim made is not that weather is chaos, but the climate is permanent and unchanging. The claim is the the climate is constantly changing.

      --
      Troll is not a replacement for I disagree.
    2. Re:Climate is not weather by fropenn · · Score: 1

      Why does it matter how much of climate change is caused by man? If it is 1% or 99%, all of it is bad and threatens our existence on the planet. (Which concerns 100% of us.)

    3. Re:Climate is not weather by 0dugo0 · · Score: 2

      It does very much. If if we pretend that using the atmosphere as a dumpster doesn't ruin the the climate while it actually is we are missing the opportunity to change our behaviour. The tilt of the earths axis is not something we can change, but the moderation of what we dump into the atmosphere is! We had great success in reducing the growth of the ozone hole and reducing the acidity of rain despite nature contributing to these threats as well.

    4. Re:Climate is not weather by fyngyrz · · Score: 2, Funny

      Your argument that any climate change caused by man is "bad and threatens our existence on this planet" is such that you need to go find another argument. Because if what's happening now is bad, and we change it to not-bad, then that's climate change caused by man. Which, according to your maddened outburst, would then be bad. Which puts you in the positioning of arguing for not doing anything that would change the climate from bad to good.

      Try not to wave your hands so hard. You're going to hurt your wrists. :)

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    5. Re:Climate is not weather by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      Other things as well. When I was a young man, the habit of the previous generation(s?) had been to throw crap out of car windows, throw cigarette and cigar butts on the ground, pollute the living hell out of lakes and streams, etc. Some pretty awful ecological results came about; and visually.... ugh. Awful.

      We got most of that handled; it was one of the more important challenges of my generation.

      You have some new ones, like keeping the idiots from dismantling the EPA and so on; I wish you the best of luck dealing with that.

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    6. Re:Climate is not weather by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      The models that purport to be predictive disagree with one another; disagree with the actual observed climate; offer no precursor climate event that shores up their ideas; suffer from precursor climate events that contradict their ideas

      The problem with this argument is that it demands the impossible. We can't build a second control Earth. Expecting extremely precise predictions of such a chaotic system as a planetary atmosphere is unrealistic, and the denial camp has failed to produce anything better.

      Despite this, the basic hypothesis that human activity is causing climate change is fairly well settled now. The precise level of impact and effects are still being determined, but that it is happening is in little doubt. A great example of this is the recent "pause", which deniers took to mean that the Earth wasn't warming. Turns out most of that energy was going into warming the oceans, which we didn't fully predict. The fact that there is still warming is not in doubt though.

      As for nuclear, it's not NIMBYs, it's the cost. If you look at the history of nuclear in the US it's rarely NIMBYs and protests holding things up, it's almost always funding problems, budget over-runs, and suddenly finding that the market changed or the politics/subsidies changed during construction and it gets mothballed.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    7. Re:Climate is not weather by MightyMartian · · Score: 2

      It matters, because if we're only a small part of the change, then we're just along for the ride. However, if we're a big part of the change, that means that we could potentially slow down, or even to some extent even "freeze" (ha ha) that change, and go some distance to mitigating the problem.

      Now to be clear, there is very little debate among climatologists and people in related fields that humans are a big part of the changes in climate seen over the last few centuries, and in particular over the last few decades. There is a direct correlation between CO2 emissions and increases in lower atmospheric temperatures, oceanic temperatures and changes in ocean pH levels. There are certainly debates about the specifics, as there are in any scientific field, and new data will inevitably alter models. The newest reports coming out suggest that clouds contain a good deal more liquid water than ice, and that has altered projections, and not for the good. In reality, this is about answering one of the chief complaints of real skeptics (and no, not the fake ones that the Koch's pay), that there isn't a good understanding of how clouds may play a part in absorption of solar energy, but of course, for pseudo-skeptics, like Creationists and tobacco companies, there is no amount of evidence that will ever be enough.

      And you're seeing the shift already. The "climate is always changing" meme is really just the forerunner of the newest pseudo-skeptic claim, which is not to deny to the established facts, but rather to claim that there is no point in attempting to arrest or at least minimize climate change, or, more technically, to shoot for keeping warming below the 2 degrees celsius line that climatologists have drawn in the sand. Now, suddenly, warming is an unstoppable force, so we'd best live with it.

      You will notice the common element of climate psuedo-skepticism all along, and that is to defend the continued, and indeed, growing use of fossil fuels. If climate is "always changing" and "there's nothing we can do about it", then we should just keep puking CO2 into the atmosphere. All of this boils down to one thing; some very very very very rich people do not want fossil fuel use reduced, and will use their vast wealth to make sure that an army of morons buys into their views. Some of that army are posting here right now.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    8. Re:Climate is not weather by TapeCutter · · Score: 2

      That human activity is responsible for most, if not all, of the observed warming of the last 100yrs is an established scientific fact.

      Some people object to that 'fact" in the same way that some people object to the fact we evolved from apes, or the fact that smoking causes cancer, or the fact that vaccines do not cause autism, etc. They simply refuse to accept the evidence because it contradicts their firmly established religious/political/financial needs and beliefs. We all do this to some degree but most of us are capable of some level of introspection and are not so stubbornly adverse to reason and evidence

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    9. Re:Climate is not weather by khallow · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Why does it matter how much of climate change is caused by man? If it is 1% or 99%, all of it is bad and threatens our existence on the planet. (Which concerns 100% of us.)

      Even if climate change were bad enough that it threatened our existence (ignore here, that the assertion is not backed by evidence), we still have the resulting control problem. If we're responsible for 1% of climate change, then cutting back isn't going to do a thing to the ongoing climate change.

    10. Re:Climate is not weather by rtb61 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Not the best way to tackle the statement that climate changes all the time. Yes, it does but it is incremental changes, apart from major ice ages the source of which has yet to be publicly determined and accepted. However cities can not adapt and we are bound as a social societies to attempt to preserve those structures, as failure to do so will result in massive loss of life and extreme hardship. Whether natural or unnatural we are bound to attempt to stabilise the Earth's climate by what ever means is necessary and that includes undoing the harm our activities have caused to that stability of that climate.

      The biggest defence for nuclear is the requirement to maintain stability of energy supplies in the event of any catastrophic activity. Renewables tend to be very subject to environmental conditions being major permanent structures (even something like every property should require solar panel roofs, something that takes decades to develop but a major hail storm could disrupt and take years to rebuild). So to replace portable fossil fuels, portable (relatively speaking) nuclear power or extremely hardened structures to provide not just regular energy use but also reserve power. You could build a nuclear power station and have it idling for centuries, as nuclear fuel does not go off and have the power station periodically go full power should a vulnerable renewable go off line.

      Also having energy to spare, means we can use that energy to clean up the environment and make recycling far more resource affective as well as look at other forms of food production, like mutli-story metropolitan area accessible aquaponics or high energy fully bio-engineered alga (forget goofy soylent green nonsense, taking the stalks, leaves and storage pods of algae to produce low allergen high quality foods, with engineered tastes and textures, strawberry steaks, banana custard melons or sugar free vanilla milk - all equivalents of course). This to free up hundreds of thousands of square kilometres of farm so that they can return to being environment cleaning bio diverse forest and by used by the majority as recreation areas.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    11. Re:Climate is not weather by khallow · · Score: 1

      Turns out most of that energy was going into warming the oceans, which we didn't fully predict.

      No, that doesn't explain the pause. You're wide open to a shell game where discrepancies in predictive models from the actual system are pushed into the least observed parts of the system. It's not enough to say that seas are warmer, your models have to explain why that happened too.

      As for nuclear, it's not NIMBYs, it's the cost. If you look at the history of nuclear in the US it's rarely NIMBYs and protests holding things up, it's almost always funding problems, budget over-runs, and suddenly finding that the market changed or the politics/subsidies changed during construction and it gets mothballed.

      NIMBYs do a great job of raising the cost of such projects via all of those cost-related problems you mentioned. It's like saying the Mafia didn't keep you from working, it was the two broken legs you got through an unfortunate accident which kept you from working.

    12. Re:Climate is not weather by dryeo · · Score: 1

      Just listened to a list of problems being experienced by shell fish farmers caused by the oceans getting more acid. Seems even if CO2 doesn't cause climate change, it can still have large negative affects.

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
    13. Re:Climate is not weather by Xyrus · · Score: 1

      How much of that is caused by man, and more importantly, how much will be caused by man in the next hundred years or so, has not been established. The models that purport to be predictive disagree with one another; disagree with the actual observed climate; offer no precursor climate event that shores up their ideas; suffer from precursor climate events that contradict their ideas; and are almost certain to be massively disrupted by technological change even if they were spot on WRT today's conditions anyway.

      This is pure nonsense. There is a rather large and voluminous work exactly on this subject, called the IPCC report complete with a full list of references to peer reviewed scientific research. From that one source you can dive into as much detail as you want about the models, modeling, errors, unknowns, assumptions, etc.

      --
      ~X~
    14. Re:Climate is not weather by khallow · · Score: 1

      Just listened to a list of problems being experienced by shell fish farmers caused by the oceans getting more acid.

      There are a variety of reasons oceans get more acidic for a time. It doesn't mean that it's due to human-produced CO2.

    15. Re:Climate is not weather by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      As for nuclear

      In the US, per capita energy use is 250kwh/day. Building 10x as many reactors as we have now would provide 100% of all the energy use in the US (not just electricity, but all energy). It's a relatively simple and straight forward engineering problem just look at what the industrialization and mobilization for WWII accomplished in 5 years.

      If people were truly serious, then that is what we would be doing right now, until then I have a had time believing that people think it's a problem.

    16. Re:Climate is not weather by khallow · · Score: 1

      The newest reports coming out suggest that clouds contain a good deal more liquid water than ice, and that has altered projections, and not for the good.

      Depends on what the starting position was. For example, it means is that clouds can form with more heat than previously thought. Cloud formation is one of the key steps to creating storms which greatly increase heat radiation to space. One of the narratives going around is that hotter air results in less cloud formation and hence, less storms and less heat radiated to space.

      I think that there's been a lot of moving of the goalposts here.

      And you're seeing the shift already. The "climate is always changing" meme is really just the forerunner of the newest pseudo-skeptic claim, which is not to deny to the established facts, but rather to claim that there is no point in attempting to arrest or at least minimize climate change, or, more technically, to shoot for keeping warming below the 2 degrees celsius line that climatologists have drawn in the sand. Now, suddenly, warming is an unstoppable force, so we'd best live with it.

      At least, it means someone is listening. I find it interesting that you have no similar sensitivity to propaganda such as the 2 C line in the sand, "climate change" as a label for a very specific set of phenomena (global warming from human emitted green house gases), or your use of the term "pseudo-skeptic".

      You will notice the common element of climate psuedo-skepticism all along, and that is to defend the continued, and indeed, growing use of fossil fuels. If climate is "always changing" and "there's nothing we can do about it", then we should just keep puking CO2 into the atmosphere. All of this boils down to one thing; some very very very very rich people do not want fossil fuel use reduced, and will use their vast wealth to make sure that an army of morons buys into their views. Some of that army are posting here right now.

      And this really misses the point. Sure, maybe someone out there is fighting the good fight for a coal company or whatever, but we don't "puke" CO2 into the atmosphere arbitrarily. Instead, that goes to running a global, industrial civilization. There have been numerous attempts over the past few decades to deal with global warming at some scale. Most of these have been some degree of incompetent and economically destructive, such as the doubling of Germany and Denmark's electricity prices or the money that was thrown at dead end renewable energy projects throughout the developed world.

      So we're to expect that the transition from fossil fuels to something else is going to be mostly painless even though there's several decades of history indicating otherwise. My view is that the predicted consequences of global warming are mild and not likely to suddenly come up with a slew of observations that are "not to the good". If there really was some bad consequence out there, they would have found it and touted it to the world.

      But there are huge consequences to making billions of people poorer such as increased population growth (overpopulation being the key reason global warming is a problem in the first place) and less care for the environment (if you have trouble just feeding yourself, you're far less likely to do some for the environment, especially when it makes you hungrier).

      So rather that speculate further on the pseudo-skeptics, how about we show that global warming is worse than the fixes for it?

    17. Re:Climate is not weather by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      The use of fossil fuel brings far more benefit to the life of the very poor than the very rich. For the poor, it's the difference between life and death.

      Having fun calling people morons? You're promoting death.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    18. Re:Climate is not weather by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are talking out of your backside here.

      I don't see a huge contradiction between precursor events and current observations (not unless one wilfully confuses regional shifts with global ones).
      We do in fact have a pretty good idea of how much is caused by humans, We can compare the our theoretical expectations against the observed *pattern* of warming which makes us pretty confident that what we expect from what we understand of the underlying physics is playing out.
      On the carbon side, we can do estimates of human carbon emissions, we can compare carbon isotopes, look at changes in oxygen levels. On the temp side, we mesaure the output from the sun, changes in orbital forcing. Changes from volcanism have a very specific footprint. What's more we can compare these potential forcings against the pattern of warming.

      There are areas we are less sure about like the exact amount of extra energy that will trapped for a given increase in % of greenhouse gasses. But we do have reasonable upper and lower limits for this. The biggest thing we can't predict over this span is human behaviour, what the IPCC does instead is give a reasonable range of outcomes for a specified set of human behaviour. We can still look at the probability distribution of outcomes for all the universes we might find ourselves in under which the observations we have seen could reasonably occur. We don't know which of those universes we live in but we do know that in most of them we are way better off acting to do something about this now.

    19. Re:Climate is not weather by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      I agree that we should get serious and have a massive building programme, but for renewables rather than nuclear. If you are going to do it, you might as well pick a cheaper and cleaner source of energy to do it with.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    20. Re:Climate is not weather by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Your argument is incredibly superficial. You are using some good words, but the argument behind them is vapid at best. If you were right, the scores of people far more educated than you, with positions of power etc., would have torn this whole debate apart. As they haven't, you might want to consider whether you are barking up the wrong tree or not. The signs are not good.

    21. Re:Climate is not weather by dbIII · · Score: 1

      It's a relatively simple and straight forward engineering problem

      Just add money, time and a large number of people to be trained to construct, fabricate and operate equipment that only a handful of people now close to retirement age can do.
      It's a complex, difficult and time consuming engineering problem involving spending time constructing prototypes of anything newer than 1970s nuclear technology, spending time testing them, revising the designs and then finding a way to scale up to building more than a couple of reactors at a time.
      I don't object to doing that, in fact I think it's a really good idea. I only object to it being framed as being an easy thing to do and suggest that it's not a good idea to phrase things that way or you could get labelled as either a blatant lair or depressingly ignorant about a topic you advocate.

      100% of all the energy use in the US

      Nuclear reactors are big and generate a lot of power per unit - that's kind of the main point for using them in the first place. A consequence of a nuclear monoculture would be a supply curve with great big steps of 500MW or so - somebody needs another 2MW and you have to bring another 500MW unit online. That costs. Among other things every time you have a heating and cooling cycle that reduces the life of the unit a bit - do it a lot and the unit may last half as many years as desired. Filling in the gaps is what small gas fired units and a pile of other things are for. Anyone pushing a monoculture is either selling something or an idiot and I don't think you want to be mistaken for either of those even if your 100% is for illustration purposes.

    22. Re:Climate is not weather by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      NIMBYs do a great job of raising the cost of such projects

      If that were true how come they fail so hard at raising the costs of renewables? There is so much outrage over wind and solar farms, tidal lagoons etc.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    23. Re:Climate is not weather by khallow · · Score: 1

      If you were right, the scores of people far more educated than you, with positions of power etc., would have torn this whole debate apart.

      Looks like they did to me. But climate change has huge propaganda muscle behind it.

    24. Re:Climate is not weather by khallow · · Score: 1

      If that were true how come they fail so hard at raising the costs of renewables? There is so much outrage over wind and solar farms, tidal lagoons etc.

      There are two obvious reasons. First, there isn't that much outrage. Where is the Hollywood propaganda corresponding to The China Syndrome? Where is the political muscle to stop or halt all renewable energy projects for several decades? Second, most renewable projects are far smaller in scale and can be put together before lawsuits have a chance to delay the project and add cost.

    25. Re:Climate is not weather by Stonent1 · · Score: 1

      If it's not caused by man, then it's natural. Suck it up in that case.

    26. Re:Climate is not weather by dave420 · · Score: 0

      There are a variety of reasons for the sea to get more acidic, yes. It has been demonstrated time and time again that CO2 emissions contribute a great part of the acidification. You not knowing that doesn't change anything, except maybe lowering your reputation as clearly you are arguing from a position of ignorance. This stuff has been demonstrated time and time again, but with seemingly every post you make you include some half-baked claim not backed up by current understanding, and expect everyone to just nod and praise you as some sort of sage. You are not. You are ignorant of the basic science, you are ignorant of the publications which disagree with you, and you are ignorant of just how much of a fool you look when you trot out these useless canards.

    27. Re:Climate is not weather by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Sure - they've torn it apart in hastily-written, error-drenched angry blog posts, but nothing peer reviewed. If it was as easy as you say, it would have been disproved by now by the countless scores of scientists trying to poke holes in these findings. But it hasn't. So you are demonstrably wrong. I wonder what other closely-held beliefs you have which are based on things you've misunderstood, or on feel-good nonsense people have fed you. The mind boggles.

    28. Re:Climate is not weather by tbannist · · Score: 1

      It's a relatively simple and straight forward engineering problem just look at what the industrialization and mobilization for WWII accomplished in 5 years.

      If people were truly serious, then that is what we would be doing right now, until then I have a had time believing that people think it's a problem.

      Yes, it's only a matter of money. Well it's actually a lot of money, the North American nuclear industry is already near or at capacity. Start building more nuclear plants and the build rate will decline for all of the projects including those underway, as the new projects begin poaching employees from current projects. Then the price for every project will increase exponentially as competition drives the wages for nuclear qualified engineers into the stratosphere. Sure, they'll eventually come back down to earth after people notice and new engineers start rolling into the industry, but we're probably looking at a 5-10 year delay before that even starts happening.

      So, yeah, if you have infinite money, it's a pretty solid plan that would eventually work...

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    29. Re:Climate is not weather by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      I think that in this case weather is used as a synonym to climate tho.

      Surely you jest! I've had to listen to doxens of deniers who every time it is below freezing, they say "So much for global warming." They never say anything when it's 78 degrees in January, but sometimes when it snows, they quip "Just shoveld a foot of global warming out of my driveway.

      Of course, they point out that they don't believe in global warming period.

      These people do not say that the average global temp has been the same since the earth's crust solidified.

      They certainly don't. Who are yuo kidding? As likely as not, if you were to bring that up, they'll start yapping about the age of the earth. And yes, many of the people who believe that the earth was created roughly 6000 years ago are also stalwart deniers. THen believe that the earth and the life on it was created over seven days and in it's present form. They don't believe any of that "claptrap" about a much older universe, and all of the physics and biology we know of today.

      They claim, rightly, that the climate has been in huge flux for as long as the earth has had an atmosphere, and that it is actually quite relatively cold relative to the distant past.

      So what to they say is the reason for the constant change? Looks like you are surrounded by the most savvy deniers on earth. Good.

      I know exactly why some ages of earth were warmer than the present. And you and your denialist friends are going to really hate the answer to that.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    30. Re:Climate is not weather by tendrousbeastie · · Score: 1

      All of what you say is fine, and I don't want to argue against it. But it does lead to a philosophical issue, specifically one of epistemology:

      It is generally accepted that for something to be scientific it should propose a model for how a particular physical system works (or set of related systems), and this model should make unique predictions about future events, and these events can be tested by experiment.

      This is clearly true for physics and chemistry.

      It is basically true for biology - not every detail can be predicted, but a model can be made and unique predictions derived and these predictions can be tested.

      Social sciences have a much looser claim - economics makes some claims that can be tested experimentally (NAIRU, etc.) as do psychology, but we are not so certain here.

      The parent poster to whom you are replying is making the argument that climate science is making an illegitimate claim to being a science - it does not make claims that can be tested.

      This means that its predictive power is less, and hence it is less useful for policy planning, but more importantly for this post it means that it is not subject the basic requirement of the scientific method - i.e. falsifiability via reproducible experimental test.

      None of this says the facts of climate change are necessarily wrong, but to claim they are a science is a matter of debate.

    31. Re:Climate is not weather by wisnoskij · · Score: 1

      I think there are people who fall into all camps, but the people who say that weather has always been in flux, are typically the people that will bring out graphs of the average temperature over the last few hundred million years that show the current day as nothing out of the ordinary and quite a bit on the chilly side of this ordinary. Among these people there will be those that do not think humans have had any significant effect on the modern climate ("natural fluctuations"), and others who believe that we have but that it is a great thing to drag the Earth out of the ice age it is currently stuck in.

      --
      Troll is not a replacement for I disagree.
    32. Re:Climate is not weather by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      A testable theorem is the end goal of the scientific process, but especially since we only have one Earth to experiment on we have to make decisions based on what we believe to be true right now.

      The evidence is pretty strong. A lot of engineering gets done on current, incomplete understanding. Demanding a fully, experimentally proven theory is just demanding inaction in the face of near certain disaster.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    33. Re:Climate is not weather by tendrousbeastie · · Score: 1

      I don't necessarily disagree with what you say, but people shouldn't therefore claim that it is a proven science.

      Claim that they think it is true, claim that it is necessary to act on it due to the threat implied.

      My only point is that it is not science as we understand the term.

    34. Re:Climate is not weather by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      I think there are people who fall into all camps, but the people who say that weather has always been in flux, are typically the people that will bring out graphs of the average temperature over the last few hundred million years that show the current day as nothing out of the ordinary and quite a bit on the chilly side of this ordinary. Among these people there will be those that do not think humans have had any significant effect on the modern climate ("natural fluctuations"), and others who believe that we have but that it is a great thing to drag the Earth out of the ice age it is currently stuck in.

      FIrst off, there is no ordinary climate to be out of. We've had much warmer periods, interestingly enough, at the time the sun was dimmer, and giving us less insolation. Roughly 541 million years ago during the Cambrian, The atmospheric CO2 content was around 6000 ppm, as compared to totay's 385 ppm with a sea level hight rising steadily as much as 90 meters over present day.

      That time was known as "greenhouse earth"

      Then there is "Snowball Earth" hypothesis Whether the earth surface was completely frozen over is the speculation - regardless, it was damn cold. around 700 million years ago. This was very possibly a result of oxygen reacting with methane, to produce CO2 - ironically, but methane is a much stronger greenhouse gas. There was very little of any greenhouse gases regardless. Volcanos probably enriched the atmosphere, eventually providing more CO2, which then allowed the world to heat up.

      So while your buds are thinking "Friggin awesome! I'll never have to shovel snow again!", increased warmth comes at an impressive cost. And the rate at which it is happening makes it less predictable. Some areas that are now verdant may become deserts. Nebraska for instance, is a desert waiting to happen. A bit less average rainfall, and the dunes underneat the state will become the dominant landscape once again. Places like England might become colder, interestingly enough, if the glacial melt from Greenland overwhelms the Gulf Stream. Today, palm trees grow in Ireland, but if the Gulf stream is weakend or interrupted, the British Isles might end up with weather like Montana, at which latitude they lie.

      It is highly possible that some superpowers today might disappear, as weather alters the earth.

      And if your buds are like mine, who get excited about things getting warmer, most of them want to live in Florida, which is getting smaller every day.

      You think your buddies would like that?

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    35. Re:Climate is not weather by khallow · · Score: 1

      It has been demonstrated time and time again that CO2 emissions contribute a great part of the acidification.

      I noticed earlier you claimed that "peer review" was important to establishing such claims. I think it would be very instructive to you to try to find a peer reviewed article which backs your claim.

      All I can say is that when I did a google search on shell fish farmers problems acidity, all I got were articles on Pacific Northwest shellfish problems which describes ocean acidity problems that probably have been present in the area for millions of years. They don't even have enough evidence to claim that the problems are more frequent or severe than they've been in the past. And you expect there to be repeated demonstration of something which has yet to be shown first? Maybe you should stop just saying shit on the internet?

    36. Re:Climate is not weather by harlequinn · · Score: 1

      "Weather is not climate. For about the millionth time."

      One of it's meanings is the weather conditions in a particular geographical area regardless of time (as opposed to the more modern meaning of weather measurements averaged over a period of time).

      Why don't you check out how the popular meaning has changed in recent years:

      https://books.google.com/ngram...

    37. Re:Climate is not weather by harlequinn · · Score: 1

      To be clearer I should have said "one of the definitions of "climate" is the..."

      (and its not it's).

    38. Re:Climate is not weather by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      The problem with this argument is that it demands the impossible.

      It's not an argument. It's a set of facts. The only argument I made was that we should actively work to minimize human contribution to climate change.

      the basic hypothesis that human activity is causing climate change is fairly well settled now.

      A hypothesis is not a theory; by definition, it's an insufficiently tested set of ideas not yet (or possibly ever) worthy of the description "theory." None of which means we should be making any more of a mess than we absolutely have to.

      As for nuclear, it's not NIMBYs, it's the cost.

      First principles: The NIMBYs are a key factor in what jacked up the costs to the ridiculous levels they are at now. From legislation to location, the NIMBYs underlie a great deal of the problems. The rest are sourced by entrenched coal and oil interests. The actual cost of such plants is not at all unreasonable. The tacked-on costs most certainly are.

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    39. Re:Climate is not weather by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      Demanding a fully, experimentally proven theory is just demanding inaction in the face of near certain disaster.

      You are overstating the case the other way, though. How about just expecting a model that does a decent job before we accept its output as actually likely to be predictive of what's actually going to happen? That seems eminently reasonable to me. I am unaware of any such model at this point in time (and I'd be delighted if there was one, so by all means, point one out if you know of one.)

      Again, no reason not to behave as reasonably as possible in the interim, releasing the least pollutants, particulates, greenhouse gasses, etc. into the ecology.

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    40. Re:Climate is not weather by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      They ever want to put a nuke in my back yard then PIIMBY (Put It In My Back Yard), I'll bake them a cake and move all my stuff out of the way.

      You just put the raw materials in a cakepan and set it outside the containment building, amirite?

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    41. Re:Climate is not weather by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That human activity is responsible for most, if not all, of the observed warming of the last 100yrs is an established scientific fact.

      The terrifying thing is that you believe this yet it is completely false. Terrifying.

      You're completely brainwashed. You've been fed this misinformation so long that you've actually ingrained it into your brain as "truth" yet it is nothing near that. Please reconsider how you've incorporated a popular lie into your measurement for "truth" and then go and sin no more. Humankind is responsible for about 8% of all atmospheric CO2 (as a high estimate). Now there's a shit-ton of bullshit that apologists will scream about "unbalancing the cycle" because they have the memories of goldfish and can't remember that the planet has historically had 6x the atmospheric CO2 and it was an extremely lush period, biodensity-wise. This is assuming, of course, that CO2 is even a greenhouse gas (protip: It doesn't act like a greenhouse gas under lab conditions, so they all hope it does in a larger system and nobody will say that the Emperor has No Clothes)

      Established scientific fact decided per political movement? Let's just pump the brakes on the train there, because you've debased yourself to accepting fairy tales as "scientific truths"

  49. The massive CO2 production levels say he's wrong. by dsmatthews9379 · · Score: 1

    There is nothing like a few inconvenient facts to demonstrate how out of touch with reality a person's ideas are. Look at the numbers, there has not been a significant improvement in how humans are actually behaving with regards to the issue of climate change. There is no purer form of denial than actually ignoring advice completely, as if it was never given.

  50. Move the target by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Instead of focusing on just climate change, why don't people focus on what can be seen?

    Smog: you want to breath this in?
    Water quality: See Flint Michigan.

    There's numerous examples of people dying or having near immediate symptoms.

  51. Re: Dead last by TheReaperD · · Score: 1

    Every opinion poll taken says you're full of shit.

    --
    "Be particularly skeptical when presented with evidence confirming what you already believe." -
  52. Re:Illustrates the real problem with life extensio by danbob999 · · Score: 2

    Imagine having people that used to own slaves still being able to vote today

    You mean as opposed to having people that used to force people with black skin at the back of the bus still being able to vote today?

  53. Re:Bil Nye LOL by sexconker · · Score: 1

    Probably pretty bad. I might take up chain smoking, ignoring the SCIENTIFIC CONSENSUS that's it's terrible for me and despite telling children not to smoke, waving my hand in front of my face as if I couldn't bear the smell.

  54. Mellennials by p51d007 · · Score: 0

    These are the same people, that, when stopped in the street, cannot find their own state on a map, think Hitler would be a good VP, get hosed by some talk show guy thinking a phone handed to them is the NEW iPhone and on and on. These 20-30 somethings, have been INDOCTRINATED into the culture of socialism, that private business is BAD, all good comes from government, that they need a "safe space", should be treated like a little snowflake. Boy, these clowns will get EATEN ALIVE if they ever go into business.

  55. The models ARE lacking by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 4, Informative

    computer models that rely on dat athat stops prior to 1976 isn't evidence. That's a broken model.

    Well, I guess it's a good thing that there are also people running models with modern data. But that wasn't even my point. The point is that all the tools and data are there to show how the consensus is wrong. And yet, nobody's doing that. If you think the model is broken, please fix it, and show your results. You'll be famous.

    There is a middle ground between the consensus being wrong and the models being right.
    We KNOW the last century has been warming.
    We KNOW that CO2 concentration has been increasing.
    We KNOW that CO2 is coming from our activities.
    We KNOW that increased greenhouse gases will trap more energy and cause warming.
    That's the consensus. Things like how bad things get by 2100 and what impact our changes in emissions will have are NOT well understood. It's the IPCC that says so too, so again that's also the consensus.

    The models do NOT have strong evidence to help us predict the impacts of climate change. This is because the models CAN NOT realistically hind cast the global energy imbalance, let alone predict it. The IPCC states as much in the fifth AR: ...maintaining the global mean top of the atmosphere (TOA) energy balance in a simulation of pre-industrial climate is essential to prevent the climate system from drifting to an unrealistic state. The models used in this report almost universally contain adjustments to parameters in their treatment of clouds to fulfil this important constraint of the climate system

    It's fundamental that the entirety of the physics beneath global warming is more energy being trapped leading to higher temperatures. When the models can NOT accurately hind cast this without being hand tuned, they are NOT able to predict the future impacts either.

    That isn't saying models are worthless. Models are terrifically valuable in furthering our understanding of climate functions, and iterative improvements to this will get us to the point where they CAN hind cast energy imbalance on their own. Until they reach that benchmark though, we do not have a strong understanding of what impact future emission and change scenarios look like. We are vastly over stating our understanding to suggest otherwise.

    1. Re:The models ARE lacking by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      The models do NOT have strong evidence to help us predict the impacts of climate change.

      So in fact, the outcome could be worse than what the models are predicting?

      And THIS is the reason we should do nothing?

    2. Re:The models ARE lacking by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 2

      The models do NOT have strong evidence to help us predict the impacts of climate change.

      So in fact, the outcome could be worse than what the models are predicting?

      And THIS is the reason we should do nothing?

      I never said a solitary thing about what I thought should or shouldn't be done. I merely pointed out some of the things we are certain about, and some of the things we are less certain of. That you immediately presume I'm lobbying for inaction says every thing about yourself, and nothing about me or the IPCC results I pointed to.

      With us being very confident that things are warming and that our continued emissions will continue to contribute to the warming, we obviously SHOULD be taking action. With us lacking certainty on the severity of future warming, we should probably use past trends as a benchmark for the future and see what it tells us about the 'best guess' the models have. If you look at the IPCC evaluation of models they include the following observation: ...an analysis of the full suite of CMIP5 historical simulations (augmented for the period 2006–2012 by RCP4.5 simulations, Section 9.3.2) reveals that 111 out of 114 realizations show a GMST trend over 1998–2012 that is higher than the entire HadCRUT4 trend ensemble...

      Since the IPCC wrote that, global averages have trended up again, but we still need several more years like this one to bring the 20 year average in line with the model predicted LOW end. So, if we are to make a guess, it seems we have reason to estimate that the model predictions are, if anything, a bit pessimistic when benchmarked against reality.

      If you want my recommendations, I would advocate a shift to nuclear power, like yesterday. Doubly so the more worried we believe we should be about future change. I would advocate for a large shift to electric cars, again starting as soon as possible.

      If we could find workable nuclear power that could run an entire country like, say France, we should adopt that more broadly. If we could build an affordable electric car, we should try and get hundreds of thousands of them out to people right away. These of course being things that have ALREADY happened. I vote strongly that these two fronts be the focus as they would massively reduce global emissions, and are financially profitable businesses already today. Unlike solar or wind or all the other 'green' alternatives out there today, they are ready now and require no new research and are not subject to any hedging or what ifs. What is more, the stronger you feel about the urgency of our actions, the more important my path is for the fact it is the fastest and most certain route to lowering our emissions.

    3. Re:The models ARE lacking by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      With us being very confident that things are warming and that our continued emissions will continue to contribute to the warming, we obviously SHOULD be taking action. With us lacking certainty on the severity of future warming, we should probably use past trends as a benchmark for the future and see what it tells us about the 'best guess' the models have. If you look at the IPCC evaluation of models [www.ipcc.ch] they include the following observation: ...an analysis of the full suite of CMIP5 historical simulations (augmented for the period 2006–2012 by RCP4.5 simulations, Section 9.3.2) reveals that 111 out of 114 realizations show a GMST trend over 1998–2012 that is higher than the entire HadCRUT4 trend ensemble...

      The link you posted says:

      The causes of both the observed GMST trend hiatus and of the model–observation GMST trend difference during 1998–2012 imply that, barring a major volcanic eruption, most 15-year GMST trends in the near-term future will be larger than during 1998–2012 (high confidence; see 11.3.6.3. for a full assessment of near-term projections of GMST). The reasons for this implication are fourfold: first, anthropogenic greenhouse-gas concentrations are expected to rise further in all RCP scenarios; second, anthropogenic aerosol concentration is expected to decline in all RCP scenarios, and so is the resulting cooling effect; third, the trend in solar forcing is expected to be larger over most near-term 15-year periods than over 1998–2012 (medium confidence), because 1998–2012 contained the full downward phase of the solar cycle; and fourth, it is more likely than not that internal climate variability in the near-term will enhance and not counteract the surface warming expected to arise from the increasing anthropogenic forcing.

      In short, the link you posted contradicts your assertion, since the IPCC says that any variance in the models from the observed temperature for the last 15 years is not indicative of a long term trend differentiation, and the expectation is that the temperature will return to it's prior phase (which, roughly, is what happened)

      Besides which, doesn't your methodology essentially involve drawing a regression line through past results and using that to estimate future temperatures? In which case, why would we use models at all? Does such a line actually correctly estimate past temperatures if we map backwards?

    4. Re:The models ARE lacking by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 1

      With us being very confident that things are warming and that our continued emissions will continue to contribute to the warming, we obviously SHOULD be taking action. With us lacking certainty on the severity of future warming, we should probably use past trends as a benchmark for the future and see what it tells us about the 'best guess' the models have. If you look at the IPCC evaluation of models [www.ipcc.ch] they include the following observation: ...an analysis of the full suite of CMIP5 historical simulations (augmented for the period 2006–2012 by RCP4.5 simulations, Section 9.3.2) reveals that 111 out of 114 realizations show a GMST trend over 1998–2012 that is higher than the entire HadCRUT4 trend ensemble...

      The link you posted says:

      The causes of both the observed GMST trend hiatus and of the model–observation GMST trend difference during 1998–2012 imply
      that, barring a major volcanic eruption, most 15-year GMST trends in the near-term future will be larger than during 1998–2012
      (high confidence; see 11.3.6.3. for a full assessment of near-term projections of GMST). The reasons for this implication are fourfold:
      first, anthropogenic greenhouse-gas concentrations are expected to rise further in all RCP scenarios; second, anthropogenic aerosol
      concentration is expected to decline in all RCP scenarios, and so is the resulting cooling effect; third, the trend in solar forcing is
      expected to be larger over most near-term 15-year periods than over 1998–2012 (medium confidence), because 1998–2012 contained
      the full downward phase of the solar cycle; and fourth, it is more likely than not that internal climate variability in the near-term will
      enhance and not counteract the surface warming expected to arise from the increasing anthropogenic forcing.

      In short, the link you posted contradicts your assertion, since the IPCC says that any variance in the models from the observed temperature for the last 15 years is not indicative of a long term trend differentiation, and the expectation is that the temperature will return to it's prior phase (which, roughly, is what happened)

      Besides which, doesn't your methodology essentially involve drawing a regression line through past results and using that to estimate future temperatures? In which case, why would we use models at all? Does such a line actually correctly estimate past temperatures if we map backwards?

      You aren't properly reading either my statement or the IPCC's. I stated one of the only meaningful benchmarks to put model results against is reality. The IPCC compared exactly this and found that the last 15 years was warmer than reality in 111 of 114 models. From this, I modestly suggested that is some evidence that we might want to expect the models are estimating on the high side. You know, given that over the only 15 year time span we have for comparison that's what's happened so far. kind of akin to how we expect continued warming because that's what happened over the 100 year time span we have records for.

      The IPCC made no dispute with what my assessment. They just differ in stating they believe that future 15 year trends will be significantly higher because then the average would match the predicted. I'm gonna say wait and see. Given the previously noted uncertainty of our models, I can't hardly feel bad about lacking strong faith in their predictive ability,

    5. Re:The models ARE lacking by TylerJWhit · · Score: 1

      Electric cars are not by themselves lessening carbon emissions. In fact, in some countries, they increase carbon emissions. While the car itself may no longer be a direct contributor, the coal factories that supply the power to run these cars increase their emissions, making such environmental benefits moot. We have to tackle both the energy plants and the vehicles, otherwise, we only make the matter worse.

    6. Re:The models ARE lacking by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      The IPCC compared exactly this and found that the last 15 years was warmer than reality in 111 of 114 models. From this, I modestly suggested that is some evidence that we might want to expect the models are estimating on the high side.

      You clearly have no idea what you are talking about. If you were able to confidently predict that the temperature would remain under what the models were projecting this means that 2 are correlated and the models are functioning correctly. Or, you yourself have a better model that you are using to achieve this confidence. Predicting things (as you have done) requires a model. If it didn't, we just use regression. We don't use regression, we use models. For your prediction to be any good, you must therefore be using a model. Where is this model?

      The IPCC made no dispute with what my assessment.

      Except for the bit where they completely contradicted you.

    7. Re:The models ARE lacking by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 1

      The IPCC compared exactly this and found that the last 15 years was warmer than reality in 111 of 114 models. From this, I modestly suggested that is some evidence that we might want to expect the models are estimating on the high side.

      You clearly have no idea what you are talking about. If you were able to confidently predict that the temperature would remain under what the models were projecting this means that 2 are correlated and the models are functioning correctly. Or, you yourself have a better model that you are using to achieve this confidence. Predicting things (as you have done) requires a model. If it didn't, we just use regression. We don't use regression, we use models. For your prediction to be any good, you must therefore be using a model. Where is this model?

      Quit with the word smithing. The models are the consensus 'best guess' at future trends. I pointed out the fundamental problems with our models, as identified by the IPCC. I pointed out their inaccuracy over the only 15 years we could compare them to reality, as identified by the IPCC. I then made the very modest suggestion that our 'best guess' as derived from the models was erring on the high temp side.

      The IPCC made no dispute with what my assessment.

      Except for the bit where they completely contradicted you.

      You never pointed out any such reference so I'll thank you for refraining from repeating that without providing a shred of evidence for it. My entire point was that the model predictions were on the high side. I quoted the IPCC stating 111 of 114 models were on the high side. If you want to claim the IPCC proclaims the opposite you'd better have something a little more persuasive than the IPCC's explanations for WHY they were on the high side...

    8. Re:The models ARE lacking by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      Well, that was pretty lucid.

      thx

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
  56. some guy said some thing, for sure, just google it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    some guy said some thing, for sure, just google it

    you sound like a fucktard. YOU prove it.

  57. Earth has had climate change forever by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think its been proven a long time ago that the Earth has gone through many changes in climate. Long before man has ever had any ability to affect it.
    The question is, whether man has anything to do with it now? Or is it just another cycle of the many that has happened over millions of years. The debate is more can we actually do anything about it? Or is it inevitable that change will happen no matter what we do?

  58. CO2? Really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I get it, climate change is real. But, FUCK, there are so many bigger problems than CO2. The air, the water, the food are more and more toxic and you want me to cry over CO2 that makes the C we are made of and the O we breathe?. One big volcano eruption and we have more green-house gases than the CO2 we make. Climate change is hard, but guess what, it happen in the past. DEAL WITH IT!

  59. The Carbon Cycle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sorry Billy and Millennials But https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o3XlooigupM

    Whats Bill Nye's and Millennials plan for when the carbon cycle shuts down and everyone starves and suffocates in the name of hastening the start of the next ICE AGE?

  60. Oh, boy! Let's hop on the bandwagon! by LaughingRadish · · Score: 1

    Can we at least get an argument from Nye that isn't a variation of argumentum ad numerum?

  61. Re:Of course Millennials believe in climate change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Propaganda + Inexperience = Belief in anything. Hence Millennials believe in just about anything as they are fed the most propaganda ever. I don't think climate change is the problem, the problem is getting everyone to question the answers and figure it out for themselves. Science seems to be the pet of those with money. Just as the "news" agencies sold out to money so to have the scientists. Until the news media and the scientists are given funds without knowing where the funds came from and not attached to puppet masters, or expected answers, the information we receive is going to be specious at best, propaganda at the worst. There needs to be a firewall between the funds and the scientists who receive them so they don't know what answers they are supposed to give or what answers will bring in the next funding cheque, rather the would be funded by the quality of the results whatever those results are. Perfect world expectations maybe, but regardless there does need to be a higher standard or most people will believe what they want to believe and will always be able to find "science" to prove it, and higher quality proof comes with deeper pockets.

  62. Bill Nye by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The mechanical engineering turned comedy actor guy!

  63. Well, in our school... by Pollux · · Score: 1

    Just the other day I had a conversation with an 11th grade student and a science teacher about global warming. Turns out, the students were doing a research essay on the subject, one page, and the teacher accepts every paper that's backed up with good sources. And they have a good conversation even evaluating some of the sources. He openly tells students that he firmly believes global warming is real, but it's an open dialog with students.

    Not every school discourages open conversation regarding climate change. And I'm equally frustrated that there's just as much closed-minded fervor from both sides of the conversation.

    In my study of the topic, I've concluded that climate change is happening, and humans are partially responsible for the change. But the Earth has ways of compensating for the change, though some of these compensations will necessitate either adaptations or extensions from all walks of human life. We humans have had such success in adapting to our environment that we should have no troubles adjusting, but ironically, we resist change. In order to adapt, we need to talk about the changes taking place and how to respond to them accordingly. That's becoming incredibly difficult; climate-change believers are so self-righteous, they feel humans need to take full responsibility for its existence and pretentiously claim we have to "undo" it all; and climate-change deniers don't want to accept any responsibility at all, especially due to the costs.

    Climate is changing every moment of every day, and the complete calculus that is climate is so complex, it's nothing short of arrogance to think we alone are at fault. Milankovich cycles. Volcanic vents. Solar output. Water vapor. Not to mention butterflies, methane emissions from cattle (and don't forget buffalo), forest fires, surface volcanic eruptions, and who knows what else. The only explanation I have for taking a ~30 year warming trend within the billions of years of our planet's existence and constituting it as a global crisis is because we humans like to imagine that we're in control of this world. But we're not.

    It angers me even further that, just because there's so much in this world that we do not and cannot control, there's no good reason -not- to do what we can to clean up our planet. Until we can find another one to take its place, and find a way to get a subset of the human population there, this is the only one we have. So let's not fuck it up.

    1. Re:Well, in our school... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      it's nothing short of arrogance to think we alone are at fault.
      You are an idiot.

      The next relevant change in Milankovich periods is due in 60,000 years.
      Volcanos have a cooling effect, not a heating effect due to the amount od SOx they exhaust.
      Solar output is since about ten years on a minimum (and the variation is less than +/- 1% anyway)
      Water vapour obviously increases when the temperature increases, so you somehow try to tell us, it is warming and water vapour is the 'reason' and the vapour comes from 'nothing'?

      Learn some basic physics, then you can start to argue about man made global warming.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    2. Re:Well, in our school... by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      there's no good reason

      There are plenty of good reasons, but you have to weigh to cost benefit of each to decide what to do.

  64. Re:Dead last by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

    citation?

  65. of course, for self sentered idiots by publiclurker · · Score: 1

    the only acceptable solutions involve other people making sacrifices while said idiots continue to do whatever they want.

  66. Thread is most amusing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I refer to the tonal change. /. climate change articles regularly bring out the worst of the deniers, and the worst in those deniers.

    Yet here we have an entire thread of comments saying things like "well yes, of course climate change is real. What I object to is some tiny little side issue..." Yet in 20 years of reading /., the deniers routinely disputed literally everything about climate change, including that it was real at all. The personalities and behaviour of the scientists involved were attacked. Allegations that "big money" and Al Gore and bizarre secret societies were drumming up the whole matter.

    What we have here is a collection of suddenly more reasonable deniers. Was it the compelling personality and impeccable dress of Bill Nye that caused you to change tone? No, of course not. And yet it was something...

  67. take one for the home team by sdinfoserv · · Score: 1

    Climate change deniers are a symptom of the larger problem. We have in the United States a wholesale attack against science in general. Fracking causing earth quakes and contaminating ground water, intelligent design, global warming, corporations have human rights, are just a few of the battle fronts in this war. The purchasing of propaganda power of largest ½ dozen companies in the world combined allow them to do anything – change any law, commit any crime, plunder any resource in any country anywhere on the planet. Anyone with a contrary view must be discredited at any cost. The only way to reverse the trend in the US is to change how the election process is funded. Make politicians accountable to voters not oligarchy who currently buy and sell them. Members of today’s oligarchy were once idealistic Woodstock goers. Just as today millennials will grow into responsibility and power and they too will do what it takes to keep the status quo and silence opposing opinions.

  68. Oh millennials by JustAnotherOldGuy · · Score: 1

    Oh millennials, is there anything you can't fuck up?

    Now if they phrased it such that "the weather is being oppressed by culturally-appropriated microaggressions", you'd see them all rally around the cause and tweet tirelessly until #ClimateChange was fixed.

    --
    Just cruising through this digital world at 33 1/3 rpm...
  69. Re: Dead last by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

    Gallup's regular poll of the Most Important Problem doesn't even have Climate Change on the list.

    --
    Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
  70. Good Grief by s.petry · · Score: 1

    Are you attempting to claim that Phillip Morris had one owner, and that owner only owned that one business, and when tobacco sales started to dry up they owner became destitute and died poor?

    How do you live with absolutely no depth perception?

    --

    -The wise argue that there are few absolutes, the fool argues that there are no probabilities.

  71. A Bit Of Terror by JimSadler · · Score: 0

    Florida is already suffering the consequences of climate change. Donald Trump's mansion is on the beach in my county. The beaches in the area are already having sand added as they have been vanishing. It is sad that so many people can not calculate the damage from just a bit of rising seas and warming. It is also sad that it takes the government so long to catch on to things that are changing. For example, the snakehead fish is considered a serious issue now. But i was catching snakeheads in the Pompano, Fl area as early as 1989. There are also a couple of lakes in the Pompano and Deerfield area that have yielded the red belly piranhas since about 1985. Personally, i enjoy catching invasive species, but they do represent a tremendous threat to native wildlife. Hooking into the banana piranhas is quite an experience. It is like hooking the bumper of a large truck at speed.

  72. Really! ??? - How arrogant humans are by bwanagary · · Score: 1

    Climate has been changing radically, warming, cooling and everything else in between since earth had an atmosphere. Who could possibly imagine that just because humans are so populous now that the laws of millions of years of nature would suddenly stop? We really, really don't matter in the grand scheme of things. Earth, biological life and climate changes existed long before we showed up and they will exist long after we disappear.

  73. Re: Dead last by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Gallup's regular poll of the Most Important Problem doesn't even have Climate Change on the list.

    Well then, the poll doesn't tell us anything about public sentiment on climate-change because they didn't ask about it. They did ask about "Environment/Pollution" but that's a poor proxy.

  74. Re:Climate is not weather, NOT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Climate is weather on a longer time scale.

    Weather systems can form in hours and last for weeks.
        State is held in air masses and surface state.
        Scientists have a history of measuring and modeling these. (With occasional success.)

    Climate systems perhaps can change in years and last for millennia or longer.
        State must be in something longer like ocean circulation patterns or ice packs.
        Scientists are only starting to measure the oceans in any depth, detail, or time scale and models are a wish and a prayer.
        Climate scientists seem to have a history of over estimating the availability of models in this area.
        Perhaps because there is money there?

  75. Nike Free Run 2016 Pas Cher by zhenlinfan · · Score: 1

    Nike Free Run plus a replacement of for reasonable shoes seriously isn't a large selection because excellent designed running footwear can provide higher feet mid-foot ( arch ) help, much less tiredness, increased jogging ease, and therefore significantly less calf as well as feet agony. All this suggests that eventually you will find yourself conserving money in the long term by way of protecting against high-priced incidents plus persistent harm. Listed below are tips that will aid to prolong the life span of one's running footwear. 1 - Keep your current footwear in the neat, dry position. You desire keep away from high temperatures and you also need to prevent humidity. The 1st will trigger your own stuff to bust and the second can cause the particular matrix which makes up the sole to shrink. Plus, it is advisable to switch the running sneakers simply because jogging truly does weaken the bottom, especially when it happens to be moist the particular running shoe desires time for it to air flow away and go back to its initial kind. Allowing the item the suitable volume of period to recoup is the vital thing to retaining your own footwear in excellent form.

  76. We understand the problem by blindseer · · Score: 4, Informative

    Instead of pointing out the problem I suggest we start pointing out solutions.

    Why are coal miners even in business? I mean if global warming is a problem, and burning coal makes it worse, then shouldn't we see coal miners find something else to do? We see coal miners in business because people want cheap electricity. Without something that can provide electricity as cheap as coal we will burn coal.

    We don't burn coal because we want global warming. We burn coal because we like hot pizza in the winter, ice cream in the summer, air conditioned movie theaters, computers, cell phones, and all the other things that cheap electricity can bring us. What alternatives do we have? Wind is cheap but we can't rely on the wind to blow. Solar power costs double or quadruple what coal power costs. If we burned wood for electricity then we'd have made the land barren long ago.

    Bill Nye is an engineer, he's studied this stuff in school and for his job. For a product to sell it must be on time, on budget, meet fit/form/function, and be better than the other guys' products. Do we have anything that can do that? Yes, nuclear fission.

    Instead of saying the same thing over and over again about how climate change is "undeniable" I say we start talking about how to fix this. Barring some leap in technology the only solution we have is nuclear fission. So I say we need to talk about how we are going to build nuclear power plants at a rate sufficient to replace coal and meet future demand.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    1. Re:We understand the problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's because they are partisans. They want to hammer their opponents with labels about deniers instead of proposing workable solutions.

      The fact that millennials find this attractive says that nothing will get done except speeches and protests from their safe spaces.

    2. Re:We understand the problem by thatshortkid · · Score: 1

      american coal miners are going out of business, right now, and at a pretty fast clip. but it's because of cheap natural gas.

      --
      The IRS is the one organization that you don't want to fuck with. Remember, these are the guys who took down Al Capone.
    3. Re:We understand the problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bill Nye has NEVER studied climatology. He is a hack TV show host who isn't even qualified to be a weekend weatherman.

      he is nothing but a rabid radical leftist pushing a political agenda to gullible sheep.

  77. celebrating the results of propaganda by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    What young people have been propagandized to "know" is NOT any indicator of the validity of what they have been taught to regurgitate.

    This mindless moron, who is only a scientist on TV while talking to children, could have said the exact same thing about Jews in 1943 Germany. He could have celebrated the idea that all the young were in agreement that Jews were untermenschen and that, happily, the demographics and the efforts of herr Goebels had combined to make it that only a minority of older Germans still held the wrong-headed idea the Jews were human beings. Throw about a Godwin label if you like, but the example is perfectly valid, and I am NOT calling Nye a NAZI, just highlighting how bad the argument is and how it could be used to support the worst of things.

    It's very amusing to watch the high-priests of the church of AGW use an endless supply of irrational arguments and sneaky dishonest political tactics to try to prop-up the faith and reassure each other. Even the labels they use are fallacies and political tactics rather then the tools of science which they only pretend to use. They label critics "deniers", seek to banish them from the scientific paper publishing and peer review processes, eliminate them from educational institutions, etc. I just cannot seem to recall the details of the time that Einstein labelled all his critics "deniers" and tried to get them banned......

  78. Ever heard of Alfred Wegener???? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Only a few decades ago, all the world's scientists held the "consensus" opinion that the earth's surface geology was essentially fixed and stable and had been since the early phases of the planet's formation. There were a few lonely nutjobs who denied this obvious FACT.

    Alfred Wegener argued that the continents were actually on sections of crust floating on molten rock rubbing against each other at the edges and moving around over time. The majority of published and peer-reviewed scientists of the day disagreed. He turned out to be right and we all now believe in plate tectonics.

    "Majority" and "consensus" are tools of politics, NOT of science, and the person who uses them is a politician, NOT a scientist.

    1. Re:Ever heard of Alfred Wegener???? by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      And????

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  79. Re: Dead last by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

    No, it was an open-ended question: what do you think is the most important problem facing this country today? You didn't even read the page, did you? Respondents could answer with ANYTHING. The fact that climate change/global warming doesn't even show up - AT ALL - shows that it's really not a concern for the vast majority of people.

    --
    Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
  80. Re:Of course Millennials believe in climate change by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    The problem is not if Millennials are concerned or not.
    The problem is that people that are way older and *see* the climate change are to *blind* to realize it.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  81. Is it happening fast enough? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Stupidity is reduced as the old, who tend to be more "conservative," die off, but is the decay-rate of morons rapid enough to result in a population smart enough, and informed enough to ACT before it's too late?

    The most virulent form of this idiocy causes people to imagine that as you pump more and more heat-trapping poison into the air, you somehow DON'T get greater amounts of retained HEAT, or that doing so won't cause problems. That kind of stupidity runs deep, and might be contagious, or worse, hereditary.

  82. Running out of steam? by PPH · · Score: 1

    I thought AGW was going to result in more steam, not less. So they are saying we are cooling off?

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  83. Global Cooling is around the corner by flyingfsck · · Score: 1

    Just wait a few more years and global cooling will be back. Obviously, the term 'climate change' will still apply.

    --
    Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
  84. Its bullshit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's called climate change because global warming was proven wrong .its bs. Bully isn't even a scientist and you are all dumb ass sheep. Please punch bill Nuer the science douche

  85. Motives for climate change denial. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Dams kill fish, solar plants kill birds, windmills tilt at Spanish knniggits. There's just no winning with you people.

  86. Re:Illustrates the real problem with life extensio by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    I do not think or know if my group was better, nor do I care, but I think we had a lot more fun than today's generation. The whole media government thing about nuclear war with moves like Threads was worrying if you thought about it too long, but to quote Prince and every other song from that period

    The world's got a bomb/we could all die any day/before I let that happen/I'll dance my life away

  87. Meat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is the most important point and it is a law I'd pass in an instant.

    We are not cavemen, there's no reason to keep eating meat with all the alternative food there is.

    A lot of people (and me) are proof that you don't NEED meat to live. You just WANT it.

    As opposed to transportation, which gets you to your workplace and goods to your town, agricultural machines, house heating, lightning, energy for factories, etc. which are things we NEED, the way our world is organized.

    To the many religious people it should not even be a question: eating meat in 2016 clearly qualifies as GLUTTONY, which I believe is harshly condemned.

    1. Re:Meat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually we do need it. We are omnivores, we evolved as such. There are ways to supplement a vegetarian/vegan diet to make up for the meat but we do in fact need to eat meat or to compensate.

      Eating meat is not gluttony.

  88. CO2 levels up - C3 plants photosynthesis improves by zilym · · Score: 1

    Growing up, I used to believe in global warming. Then I started learning about growing crops, solar energy, and the first law of thermodynamics. Increasing atmospheric CO2 concentration improves performance of the C3 photosynthesis engine predominately used by most plants. When plants can convert more sunshine to biomass, less sunshine is converting into heat (first law of thermodynamics). This means there is an inherent counteracting force steering us away from run-away global warming. Al Gore, Bill Nye, etc -- these guys PROFIT from people believing their global warming propaganda. Long before humans showed up, the planet had much higher CO2 concentrations than we have today, and that is why C3 photosynthesis was adopted by most plant life compared to CAM and C4 photosynthesis that doesn't benefit as much from high CO2 concentrations. The C3 plants thrived and the planet survived to produce humans.

    Plant fruits, nuts, vegetables, shade trees, and solar panels around your house. Forget about global warming and tell the propagandists to go to hell with their pseudo-science crap.

  89. Re:Of course Millennials believe in climate change by blindseer · · Score: 1

    I'm probably a but too old to be a millennial. At a minimum I am on the older end of the millennial spectrum. I can recall seeing the shift in teaching about global warming. Now that I've gone back to college I find myself surrounded by the younger end of the millennial spectrum I find the difference in my earlier education quite profound.

    Way back then I remember people openly mocking global warming and no one would say a word. Now you have people, seemingly seriously, calling openly for punishment of deniers. Some say the global warming deniers are such a threat that the death penalty should be imposed. I did not expect a Spanish Inquisition.

    I'm studying mathematics in college (or rather a narrow branch of it) and I find my computer science professors taking class time to lecture on global warming. In statistics class I find nearly half of the class examples being about temperature, snowfall, ice sheet mass, rainfall, or some other climate phenomenon. (Much of the rest is on some racial, gender, social status, or something else to feed social justice warriors. A small portion of the class examples are on things like material strength, rock composition, or something else politically neutral.)

    I'm in my fourth semester and I find that only the math professors seem content to keep their political beliefs to themselves. Oh, and the music instructors but that's an elective, not required for my course plan.

    It's no wonder that millennials think global warming is a problem, they've been told it is in every class they took from kindergarten to graduate school. With the possible exception of courses like math and music like I've seen.

    Oh, wait, I do recall politics coming up in music class. We got on the topic of old musical instruments and that lead to the discussion of certain woods being a problem politically and things like ivory and bone which may have come from endangered species.

    Now that I say this I may have jinxed myself and politics will come up in math class tomorrow.

    Also, way back when the problems were acid rain, polluted waters, deforestation, ozone layer depletion, and other such problems that rarely come up any more since we've basically solved those problems. I have to wonder if the people that fought for those things back then feel a need to keep fighting and will cling to anything, even if that something doesn't exist.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  90. THAT's your reply? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Rarely have I witnessed such a clueless person who cannot see the obvious. I'd explain it if I thought it would help, but I think you just established that no amount of assistance will cause the proper mechanisms in your cranium to engage.

    1. Re:THAT's your reply? by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      First of all, plate tectonics has been the leading theory for over a half a century now, so it's a lot fucking longer than "a few decades" ago, a rhetorical trick you employed to make it sound like a young theory.

      Second of all, so what? So a new theory was developed as new data came along. That's what AGW is. Mind you, the actual fundamental aspect of AGW, that increasing CO2 concentrations in the lower atmosphere will lead to more energy being trapped in the lower atmosphere, goes back over a century.

      So here's a challenge for you, when you're not trying to make crap analogies and pointless asides into some sort of grand argument against a science you don't like. Where the fuck is that energy going if it isn't heating up the lower atmosphere, surface temperatures and the ocean? If you're going to assert the underlying theory is faulty, then you need to explain how the physics is wrong. Are you going to now claim that a thermodynamics is wrong? Are you going to claim that CO2 absorption and re-emission patterns are wrong?

      All we have here is another moron who thinks he's got a killer argument against AGW, but this isn't even an argument against AGW, it's a vague claim that somehow because one branch of science, half a century ago, produced a new theory, that any day now, science will supplant AGW.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  91. Can an ant move the elephant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Agree with climate change and deny humans can do anything about it. Sun's total energy that hits the Earth surface is 25 000 Terawats of heat energy every year. Think about it. Any spot with sunshine on Earth surface instantly heats surrounding ground, waters, plants, animals and atmosphere around us. It's physics law of thermodynamics, that this Sun's giant energy is dissippated into the ground, waters, atmosphere, human bodies etc. Now think about this fact: the entire modern humanity produces only 25 Terawats energy annually from all energy sources together, including nuclear. Yes, only 25. It is not a mistake. It is a fact! Again, this humanity generated energy is dissipating in the same way mostly across the Earth surface, as the Sun's giant energy. Can an ant move the elephant? Sun's activity periodically changes within 5%-7% over some 10 and 50 thousand years, and even every 11 years. Proved scientifically. Climate change is inevitable because of our changing star. Human technology is still tens of thouthands of years away from our capability to even slightly change the climate change. The guy who wrote the article better take his physics courses again. Hate this type of people who create histeria among politicians based on fears about the changing future. Hate also scum capitalists who subsidize with "research" grants for those fear-mongering "climate scientists" to earn billions of illicit fear money from their mislead by fake guilt societies in wealthy countries. Look at all those hedge funds and trading-bankers buying CO2 quotas for cheap in Africa and selling to naive Europeans, for instance.

    1. Re:Can an ant move the elephant? by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      The scaremongering serves the politicians. it justifies them getting more power, more money, and people owing them more favors.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    2. Re:Can an ant move the elephant? by allcoolnameswheretak · · Score: 1

      >Sun's total energy that hits the Earth surface is 25 000 Terawats of heat energy every year.

      Exactly. And the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere is a big factor in how much of that energy is captured in the atmosphere. Despite your parents unqualified personal opinions on what constitutes a greenhouse gas or what it even means. The two biggest components in our atmosphere, Oxygen and Nitrogen, are NOT greenhouse gases.

    3. Re:Can an ant move the elephant? by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      If we go through every planet in our solar system which have very different chemistries... and factor for distance from the sun AND air pressure... you can estimate the temperature at that pressure and distance within a reasonable margin of error. This suggests the chemistry isn't especially important. We've sent space probes to these worlds. How do you explain this?

      Venus is as hot as it is because its atmosphere is very much denser and the planet is closer to the sun. Both qualities increase temperature. Factor for both and the temperature falls to something you wouldn't find unusual on earth despite having an atmosphere almost entirely composed of "greenhouse" gases.

      We can go over the theories in detail but I am familiar with the science and the equations. I have found precious few would be sages on this issue that actually understand the science in any real detail. Most of them repeat political blogs or quote abstracts without understanding how anything is actually being calculated.

      There are many problems with the fundamental theory much less the data. I am not a child. An explanation that involves cartoons and no actual explanation of methodology is not acceptable.

      Again, the world is warming and the oceans are rising. No question. But they were doing that before the industrial revolution.

      I'm not giving you trillions of dollars and dictatorial control over global industry on this basis. Try again.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
  92. Nye - I'll take you on your bet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'd even raise the stakes to $100,000 but I feel bad taking your money.

    However we need to agree on what the definitions of temperature are - and there absolutely must not be any bullshit tweaking of the data as is done, as is currently done on climate reports to fulfill your conspiracy theory.

  93. Because ... older people have been around by fygment · · Score: 1

    No surprise that older people are more skeptical. In fact, that's kind of a silly observation.

    Of course they are! They've had decades more experience in being served BS and are more aware of the fact that some people will intentionally mislead other people for personal gain.

    Once upon a time the phrase was, "[The young] are more impressionable." Well, yeah. There was another: "If you are not a socialist when you are young, you have no heart. If you are still a socialist when you are old, you have no brain." So be a climate activist when you are young, and when you get old well you'll be wiser ... and seen as the 'doubter' for whatever the youth issue of the future is.

    --
    "Consensus" in science is _always_ a political construct.
  94. Really?!? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    100 comments and NOBODY has even mentioned HAARP? lmgtfy...

  95. Sheep... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The fact that millennials are most susceptible to the propaganda of the left is no surprise. The less experience and easily influenced usually are. The idea that climate change (if it is occurring, bias in the science makes it impossible to know at this point) is caused and can be changed through human activity is laughable. What I love is how these true Marxists like Nye and Gore will say the most outrageous, demonstrably false, things and nobody makes them accountable. To say that nearly 100% of scientists agree on climate is so incredibly ridiculous it puts these guys in line with NAZIs and fascists. After all, EVERY study says 110% of scientist reject this crap and think that Bill Nye is a moron. Ok?

  96. Re:Of course Millennials believe in climate change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Or maybe it's because that they're the ones that will have to live with the consequences of what the Boomers are doing now? Hmm?

  97. climate has always changed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    thats what climate do, change

    lets reinvent the wheel

  98. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Scientists believe" is not the same as scientific proof !

  99. Crazy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    On one hand we hear "education is horrible..our kids score worse in the world ranks." Now we hear "kids are smart. They believe climate change"

    Which is it?

  100. Hard to trust someone that needs a 'safe place'. by johnlcallaway · · Score: 1

    Really?? We are supposed to respect the opinions of a bunch of whimpering babies that can't stand the sight of a Trump sticker on their campus without running in fear?? People who have signed petitions to ban the first amendment??

    I suppose if Mr. Nye is desperate enough to look anywhere for support, he'll turn to anyone. Even the chronically clueless...

    --
    I rarely read replies, it's my opinion and if you thought about your opinion a little more, I'm OK with that.
  101. Look up the word "implicit". by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And, since technically a summary cannot contain everything, else it would be a transcript, the fact that the summary did not explicitly mention AGW as the cause for climate change is irrelevant. Moreover, since the entire conversation was about climate change today, where the climate is changing because it's AGW, if it WEREN'T about AGW, what the hell would the subject be about?

    Your point is pointless. I discard it utterly and cry heavenwards for the arrogant idiocy you have here displayed.

  102. Re:Well that was bare faced lie. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    See, for example, BEST.

    Of course, after they didn't get the wanted result the deniers hoped for, they insisted that BEST was corrupt. It seems that the oly proof of corruption is not asserting that AGW is false....

  103. The Omni-Present Elephant in the Room by Aisha.Washington · · Score: 1
    The more affluent one is, the more likely they are to be concerned about global warming. The more affluent one is, the more energy one is likely to use.

    If you believe in climate change, yet still drive anywhere other than work, or fly for any reason other than to support yourself, I don't really see how you can in good conscience look at anyone else. You haven't done all that YOU can do yet. Until you have, I don't care what you're cop-outs are, people are not going to listen to you. And that's the problem. Climate change is everyone else's fault. Always.

    It's not the environmentalists criss-crossing the world in private jets to attend climate change conferences. Oh no. No no. Perish the thought. Academia's farts don't stink, nor do their vehicles emit pollution. Instead, they emit magic pixie dust. It's those gosh-darn working-class and unfashionable other-party industries.

    Would you believe the Democrats take more annual airplane flights than Republicans, as well as fly more miles? Shhhhhhhhh. I won't tell if you don't. Those gosh-darn working-class southerners and their oil farmers whose products the liberal elite use more than anyone!

    I do not own a car, nor have a flow in over 10 years. So, you'd think the climate change proponents would love me, right? Nope. They could not care less what my carbon footprint is (the bottom 1% of all Americans). Could not care less. They are upset because I don't talk about climate change and parrot their views.

    Any you wonder why it doesn't get better?

    It's because its most vocal advocates are insincere. Think about it. The people who are "too selfish" to have kids (their words), care deeply about what happens to the planet once they're dead and buried.

    Why?

    Why would they do that?

    Why would proud, openly-selfish people give a damn about the well-being of people 10 generations from now? Generations they will not even be contributing to?

    Well, they wouldn't care. They only reason they'd give a damn about global warming, were if it somehow benefitted them to pretend to give a damn about it.

    Oh, but not you, though. You care so much about the people who will be alive 100 years from now because that's just who you are as a human being.

    Okay, what about the homeless we have living on the streets today? We have more than enough money in this country to house everyone. Why do some people care more about climate discomfort when they no longer exist, than the do about needy people right now? Why do you always need to wait for a bandwagon to care about a problem? Why do you always wait until it brings you kudos and pats on the head before getting worked up about an issue? There are so many worthy issues not in the public eye right now, can you name three of them?

    Why, exactly, do we need consensus on climate change when the affluent-class could make a HUGE difference just by themselves? IF everyone who believes that climate change was an issue, stopped driving and flying tomorrow, that would in and of itself, if not solve it, make great strides.

    But they don't. Instead, they say it's your fault, or their fault, or someone's fault, then they fly home for mom's pumpkin pie. Yummy!

    What you are witnessing is yet another ruling-class, neo-puritan moral-panic. It's not about climate change, it's about them. If you want to know what people really care about, pay no attention to what they say. Instead, watch what they do.

    If you do, you will come to the conclusion that those who actually care about it talk less and do more.

    It's not about what you do, though. It's about what you say. Snark, snark, sarcasm, snark. Climate change proponents are rich in snark. They'll tell you with the wit of Lorne Michaels why "the others" are oh-so-lame.

    If only snark, sarcasm, and insults solved the problem (climate change proponent's primary solution to the issue), it would be solved. You care about humankind so much that you run around calling

  104. The Party of Personal Responsibility by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's amazing the hoops conservatives jump through just to avoid saying 'I was wrong'

  105. Millenials by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    To be honest, I also know a lot of Millennials who believe in Ghosts wandering around their apartments, and that their cat is the same as a child, and that almost everything is a "hate crime". So.....

  106. Track Record by Aisha.Washington · · Score: 1
    I live in Seattle, Washington. We were told that this fall/winter would be drier than average due to El Nino. They couldn't say how much, exactly, but all of the trends and statistical analysis definitely pointed to a drier 6 months. This was the official long-term forecast of the very best, expert meteorologists we have, both local and national. It ended up being the wettest on record.

    If you don't believe that these same people can accurately forecast the general trends 50 years from now, however, you're an "idiot". A "moron" even. A redneck, probably poor, but definitely, oh DEFINTELY unfashionable.

    I got called similar things last week during a discussion about gender issues. Before class began, a group of UW Students informed me that gender was a 100% social construct, and had no basis in science whatsoever. I do not exaggerate, this was, verbatim, their claim. When I mentioned chromosomes being the primary thing that determines gender, they called me, well you know ... they ridiculed me.

    Then, one of them said something like "I bet you don't believe in climate change either!"

    I'll let that stand on it's own.

  107. Denier? by GPS+Pilot · · Score: 1

    There seem to be Orwellian rules for applying the term "denier." I don't deny the UAH satellite data.

    UAH satellite data

    Do you deny the UAH satellite data?

    --
    That that is is that that that that is not is not.
    1. Re:Denier? by guises · · Score: 1

      Never heard of it, I don't hang out on those kind of websites. However, a quick search gives a wikipedia article saying that there were some problems with that dataset and a number of corrections needed to be made. So... yes?

    2. Re:Denier? by GPS+Pilot · · Score: 1

      You don't hang out on "those kind of websites" -- i.e., web sites that apply critical thinking to the assertions promoted by James Hansen, the assertions promoted by Michael Mann, the assertions promoted by Al Gore, etc.

      Restricting oneself to uncritical, non-diverse sources of information -- a filter bubble, an echo chamber -- is a problem, is it not?

      The datasets that do show warming have received far more corrections than the UAH satellite dataset. So by your criteria, they are more suspect than the UAH satellite dataset.

      --
      That that is is that that that that is not is not.
  108. Nothing in legitimate scientific evidence? by GPS+Pilot · · Score: 1

    You're claiming the UAH satellite data isn't legitimate scientific evidence?

    UAH satellite data

    I do not deny the UAH satellite data. Do you?

    --
    That that is is that that that that is not is not.
  109. I don't give a shit what Nye says... by Methadras · · Score: 1

    Because he is a giant douched and his douchiness pushes me away from proselytizing about climate change/agw/whatever the fuck they are going to call it next. Look, I don't care if global warming is occurring. I really don't. I have no fear of it and it's a dumb thing to even talk about.

  110. You mean weather. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yes the weather(You call climate change) is happening all the time.
    But, how can you tell me about future global warming, when you can't even actually predict the temperature tomorrow.

  111. Millennials by Tighe_L · · Score: 1

    I'm sure Nye (Cocteau) is right, the Millennials have been taught/conditioned to believe anything a person in position of authority says. It's really quite sad. Skeptics are needed and necessary. https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

  112. Wisdom by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The reason why "older" people don't jump at weather(climate change) is because we remember when alarmists(scientist) where jumping up and down about Global Cooling in the 70's, and then Global Warming in that 80's these alarmists(scientist) were jumping up and down saying that by now New York City would be under 100ft of water.
    It isn't doubting climate change, it is wisdom every time an alarmists(scientist) is jumping up and down about something.

  113. Climate Change is Politics not Science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I am very proud to say that I stand with the first victims of the Climate Change debate: the scientists. For sure it is about politics...whereas dissenting opinions regarding scientific theories are treated with respect dissenting opinions regarding politically charged scientific theories are treated with disdain to the point of potential political punishment. There is no debate that climate change is happening but the question is why. It is not because of people. It is because of SUNSPOTS...too discount the effect of the sun is ignorant. Finally humans do not effect the weather unless they are blowing things up at the behest of the same Robber Barons seeking to control the means of production through rationing so that the fat cats in DC, NYC, London, and Paris can get even fatter while the rest of us are destitute.

  114. Nye is NO real scientist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A real scientist would never refer to others in the field as 'Deniers'.
    He is nothing more than a media whore.

  115. Millennials... Well, that's a fail for Nye by zkiwi34 · · Score: 1

    Noting that millennials care more about Facebook/Instagram etc, the Kardashians (and other "celebrities") than they care about most anything else speaks volumes.

  116. Climate has ALWAYS been changing by carbonates · · Score: 1

    Climate has been changing on this planet since the planet formed. What is his point?

  117. Climate Change: Rational 4 Depopulation????? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    See Georgia Guidestones for true agenda which is genocide wrapped in Climate Change movement. Yes it is a movement because 10 years there was no such thing as "Climate Change". Back then it was global warming. 10 years or so before that it was something else. It goes back to Agenda 21 which is really a soft approach to depopulate the planet. Listen to Bill Gates...he will give you the formula for genocide...

  118. While people are debating... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I am going to tell you all one thing: while we're debating who's right and who's wrong for decades, climate *is* changing and we're not doing enough about it.

    While our only home we call Earth is becoming increasingly more hostile to all life, we are debating. It will be of absolutely no importance who's wrong and who's right once the life on Earth becomes really hard, because we're all in this together. :(

    Have a happy life...

  119. Poisonous Water, Food, and Air take backseat to do by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Instead of spending billions on doomsday scenarios which will never happen how about fixing our poisonous water and food!!!!

  120. set back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This news, if true, only confirms the failure of science education; we now have a generation of teachers who don't know science leading the next generation into a society based upon fascist myths

  121. Moo! moo! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Moo! Moo! All the cows get in line, all aboard the climate change crazy train! The band is playing the symphony of destruction and it's a sing along, right to the slaughterhouse. Now you'll do what they told you. Now you're under control! Moooo! Right to the slaughterhouse...

  122. gee gosh willey. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Bill Nye now expands the scientific evidence for climate change by saying that young people believe Man Man Global Intergalactic Climate Flux (MMGICF) is a 100% proven fact. This is outstanding news.

    Not only do we know that 9 / 10 climate scientists believe in MMGICF, we now know that young people believe them. So obviously it is true.

    Nowhere does it mention anything that would be considered science. Yet people still wonder why people doubt science. If Bill Nye wanted to change the hearts and minds of those stupid white southern republicans who believe MMGICF is a conspiracy by smug liberal elites to keep the price of energy high, maybe he should have talked about science in his press statement. No. Cant do that. Better just to talk about how many people believe in MMGICF, and to call all those who don't believe in it faggots, because obviously they are. After all 9/10 climate scientists agree that anyone who disagrees is a commie.

  123. Not so fast by ebvwfbw · · Score: 1

    Yes it's warming up. It's been warming up for over 1000 years. Not man's fault. Even NASA is distancing themselves from the bullshit some of their "scientists" have put out there - https://www.rt.com/news/338810... . If Turkey can tell you're full of crap, isn't it a bit obvious guys?

    BTW, understand that Bill Nye isn't a scientist. He just plays one on TV. Check out his bio.

    1. Re:Not so fast by Layzej · · Score: 1

      Yes it's warming up. It's been warming up for over 1000 years.

      You say these things with confidence but they are quite wrong, You may consider whether you could provide a citation for your statements before you commit them. In fact the global mean temperature has been falling for the last 1000 years - up until about 1850 when it suddenly rocketed upwards. See here for CO2 and temperatures over the last 1000 years: http://phosphorus.github.io/ap...

      In fact it's been cooling for about 8000 years since the peak of the current interglacial. Up until about 150 years ago anyway.

      You should consider reading the following if you are interested in paleoclimate: Zhao et al 1995, Petit et al 1999, Alley 1999, Thompson et al 2002, etc etc through to this one by Marcott in 2013: http://science.sciencemag.org/...

      If Turkey can tell you're full of crap, isn't it a bit obvious guys?

      Wow. The Turkish minister didn't even address the right organization. I'm sure your Göktürk is spectacular, but your minister is talking out of his ass here.

  124. It's not about money, it's about politics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nealy all the teachers in the US are members of the giant Teachers' unions that are integral parts of the hard-left base of the modern Democrat party.

    These are the completely dishonest and fanatical freaks who used students (other people's kids) as human shields in the PR fight in Madison WI while they occupied the state Capitol building during their temper tantrum over the idea that the state might no longer serve a a dues-collector for the union and might no longer force its teachers to belong to unions.

    It's in their vested interest to produce adults who are stupid and brainwashed, bad at math, bad at logic, ignorant of history and who will blindly vote for Democrats. In return, the Democrat party will protect the Teachers' unions from reform and competition (remember when Obama killed the charter schools in DC?) and will protect their pensions no matter what happens to the taxpayers (most of whom HAVE no pensions) who are paying for those pensions.

  125. Bad at basic math too? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Half a century" (your rhetoric to pretend it's longer than I indicated) equates to about 50 years AKA 5 decades. Five is "a few".

    You are working very hard NOT to get the point that what is the "overwhelming consensus among scientists" has many times in history (even VERY recently, as in the case of plate tektonics, which I cited) been proven wrong and the opinion of the tiny minority in the field has been proven right. Simply being in the minority does not of course make one correct, but it as absolutely true that "consensus" and "majority", while vital to windbags in political offices, are meaningless in science. "consensus" and "majority" are NOT evidence.

    As for being a moron, I designed instruments that were being used by Woods Hole decades ago, while you feel compelled to resort to expletives to cover your intellectual deficit.

    I need to make no arguments to you about thermodynamics because I made no argument about or criticism of thermodynamics, which I suspect I have a better understanding of than you do. In fact, thermodynamics has nothing to do with this argument about the validity of AGW and the application of consensus to arguments of scientific validity, but I'm sure you got that on some web site as something to refer to in an argument with a "denier".

    As far as I am aware, nobody is arguing about the thermal properties of CO2, although anybody using a closed jar of CO2 as an analog for an open and mixed upper atmosphere in a simplistic attempt to prove AGW is only good enough to mislead school children.

    Is there CO2 in the atmosphere? Yes. Does CO2 have different thermal properties than other gasses? Yes. Do humans produce CO2? Yes. Does this prove all the AGW hype? No.

    Is there asphalt on the ground? Yes. Does asphalt have different thermal properties than grass? Yes. Do humans produce asphalt? Yes. Does this prove all the AGW hype? No.

    The fact that something may contribute to some degree to some aspect of the planet does not mean it proves all sorts of associated things, nor does it establish the contribution as being significant, or the most significant, or a problem, nor does it establish control of that thing as the best solution if the problem itself is real. The picture is made more cloudy when you realize that there is no design document for the system, therefore you do not know what the ideal conditions for the system are. The fact that a particular global temperature (if such a thing is even valid, or more important than for example regional temperatures) is something other than what we humans consider best does not in any way prove that the particular temperature IS optimal. Other lifeforms on this planet might do better with a different temperature and might be worse adapting to the temps we prefer than we are at adapting to the temps they prefer.

    You really need to drain yourself of all the pent-up hostility and emotion and start thinking a little more clearly.

  126. REBOOT the planet by NewYork · · Score: 1

    Just drop a https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermobaric_weapon in Antarctic Ice Sheets. You'll REBOOT the planet.

  127. Re: Dead last by Imrik · · Score: 1

    It does, however, have environment/pollution on the list.

  128. Useless information by spkay31 · · Score: 1

    When will people start talking about the real 'unscientific' remedies being touted as 'solutions'. You don't need to be much of a scientist to recognize these politically motivated economic changes are basically more about rewarding industries with political ties than providing real scientific facts to show these or any actions can have a measurable effect on halting or reversing the stated effect. Try getting some research funded for that and you will see this is all a political charade.

  129. Karmashock ftw by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Karmashock is perhaps the most rational commenter I've ever seen on a climate change thread. Thank you for at least attempting to raise the level of the discussion.

  130. Reason to be skeptical by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If the science were really that strong, the believers wouldn't have to resort to threatening Aussies with sex.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-04-09/climate-change-and-your-sex-life/7311702

  131. comment on: post - Bill Nye: Climate Change Denial by thesquire · · Score: 1

    Bill Nye and the Numbskull who posted a comment about his views on April 7th, 2016, raised my ire and demanded a response. There are very few people who hold the view that there is no such thing as climate change. There are plenty, however, unlike Nye and his ilk, who are un-fanatical enough to see, realize, admit, that it is not only possible, but essential,. to realize that it is not human causation (sometimes called anthropomorphic Global Warming (AGW) causing climate change. Such claims are non-scientific, foolish and, may I say it, stupid. The Global Warming Cabal has attempted to and, has fairly successfully, yelled down, victimized, pilloried and witch-hunted anyone who does not swallow the cool-aid of AGW. There are not only many, many, scientists, but many others as well, who are, for some reason, able to see that the AGW hypothesis is goofy and tragically flawed. These people, of whom I am one, for some reason have managed to maintain their sanity in an insane world. Remember the devastation caused to many fellow humans by the thoroughly discredited ideas and proponents of society being devastated by witchcraft and devil worship, or by Satanically-influenced child abuse, or even by an epidemic of deadly cholesterol caused by eating eggs, or by 'recovered' memories of long past sexual exploitation. AGW and these other witch hunts are on a par, but the longest lasting delusion of AGW wins the anti-prize.

  132. Re:comment on: post - Bill Nye: Climate Change Den by thesquire · · Score: 1

    I forgot to add one important fact: The vaunted millenial-aged cohort that 'unquestionably' believes in AGW according to Bill Nye and his supporters were probably the ones that voted in the Canadian federal Liberal party and their leader Justin Trudeldumb because he promised to legally legitimize marijuana use in Canada. What a reason to suddenly get interested in politics. Who cares that his policies will likely bankrupt Canada! Naive fools abound.

  133. Nye is not a weatherman by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Contrary to what he pretends to be, Bill Nye has absolutely ZERO climatology education or experience. He is not even qualified to be a weekend weatherman for a small-town TV station.

    However, Bill Nye IS a rabid progressive liberal, which means he lives by the mantra of "the end justifies the means'.

  134. Climate Change Scams by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Apparently, Bill Nye has never heard of Milankovitch Cycles and their role in influencing our climate. Nobody seems willing to even mention them.

    http://www.climatedata.info/forcing/milankovitch-cycles/

    More than likely, like his hero, Al Gore, he is set up to profit greatly from the carbon credit and cap and trade scams. I find it convenient that our government passed numerous job killing "free trade" agreements which sent most of our carbon producing, manufacturing jobs overseas, before further taxing and regulating the few survivors that remain.

    https://www.nationalreview.com/nrd/articles/339222/climate-profiteers