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Last Time CO2 Levels Were This High, There Were Trees at the South Pole (theguardian.com)

An anonymous reader shares a report: Trees growing near the South Pole, sea levels 20 metres higher than now, and global temperatures 3C-4C warmer. That is the world scientists are uncovering as they look back in time to when the planet last had as much carbon dioxide in the atmosphere as it does today. Using sedimentary records and plant fossils, researchers have found that temperatures near the South Pole were about 20C higher than now in the Pliocene epoch, from 5.3m to 2.6m years ago. Many scientists use sophisticated computer models to predict the impacts of human-caused climate change, but looking back in time for real-world examples can give new insights. The Pliocene was a "proper analogy" and offered important lessons about the road ahead, said Martin Siegert, a geophysicist and climate-change scientist at Imperial College London. "The headline news is the temperatures are 3-4C higher and sea levels are 15-20 metres higher than they are today. The indication is that there is no Greenland ice sheet any more, no West Antarctic ice sheet and big chunks of East Antarctic [ice sheet] taken," he said.

190 of 408 comments (clear)

  1. Re:And now, on Slashdot by aicrules · · Score: 5, Funny

    Yes, we must figure out what humanity did 5.3 million years ago to change the course of climate change so that we don't destroy ourselves.

  2. Hmmmm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    It's almost like CO2 isn't an issue.

  3. Good. I'm excited for a new continent to explore. by io333 · · Score: 1

    Born too late to conquer the Americas.

    BTW, what round for dinosaur?

  4. Thus demonstrating CO2 alone is not warming by SuperKendall · · Score: 2, Insightful

    This is yet another demonstration that CO2 by itself is not causing much warming. There are other factors involved, including solar output...

    That's the worst thing about the whole scare-mongering over global warming, the misleading people into believing such a simplistic picture of a complex system. It lets many believe they are doing something to help, when in fact they are doing nothing or possibly making things worse.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Thus demonstrating CO2 alone is not warming by MightyMartian · · Score: 2

      Thermodynamics still applies to complex systems. If you raise the thermal equilibrium of a system, simple or complex (however you define either term), there will be substantial effects. The only issue in a system with a lot of inputs and variables is just how those changes propagate and how they may effect existing cycles and create new feedback loops and cycles. But using the word "complex" does not make the entire premise disappear.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    2. Re:Thus demonstrating CO2 alone is not warming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Weird it's almost as if a system as large and complex as the earth's climate can't change on a moment's notice the second a large quantity of greenhouse gas is hastily introduced, you fucking idiot. It's almost like our planet is 70% covered by what's essentially a large battery that has acted as a buffer for a couple centuries. Jesus Christ you're retarded.

    3. Re:Thus demonstrating CO2 alone is not warming by Bryansix · · Score: 1

      Exactly. Correlation doesn't necessarily imply causation. If CO2 was this high with warmer temps before and colder temps now, it seems to actually imply the correlation is pretty weak.

    4. Re:Thus demonstrating CO2 alone is not warming by caladine · · Score: 1, Interesting

      This is yet another demonstration that CO2 by itself is not causing much warming.

      Serious question: Why do you think so?

      The rapid rise in atmospheric CO2 in the past ~150 years is essentially an impulse to what is admittedly a complex system. The "demonstration" is that system at something much more closely resembling steady state. So while this "demonstration" isn't a smoking gun of what will happen, but a suggestion of what is possible once the system settles (since I'm not sure we have a comparison of solar output, etc). But it's certainly not evidence that CO2 "isn't causing much warming". Seems to me you have a simplistic picture on how quickly the system would respond to a boost in CO2.

    5. Re:Thus demonstrating CO2 alone is not warming by barakn · · Score: 5, Informative

      No, it's not a demonstration that CO2 by itself is not causing much warming. The Pliocene warming occurred over a time span of 2.7 million years, and our CO2 has only had a century to do its work.

      --
      "I'm so moist I'm sticking to the leather." -Kermit the Frog on The Late Late Show
    6. Re:Thus demonstrating CO2 alone is not warming by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      You can certainly predict some things. And once again, complexity doesn't make thermodynamics go away.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    7. Re:Thus demonstrating CO2 alone is not warming by MightyMartian · · Score: 1, Informative

      So you think the safest thing to do is just let CO2 levels rise, because, you know, what exactly? This is an argument based on little more than short term stupidity. We know in general terms that increasing CO2 levels raises surface temperatures, and we know a helluva lot of things like ocean currents and rain belts are influenced mightily by those temperatures. Once again, pleading to ignorance doesn't make thermodynamics go away.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    8. Re:Thus demonstrating CO2 alone is not warming by Dragonslicer · · Score: 1

      This is yet another demonstration that CO2 by itself is not causing much warming. There are other factors involved, including solar output...

      Yeah, all we have to do to stop the sun from shining, then it won't matter how much CO2 is in the atmosphere.

      It's like arguing that it was the gravitational attraction by the Earth on the brick that killed you, not the fact that I dropped a brick on your head.

    9. Re:Thus demonstrating CO2 alone is not warming by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      It's beneficial now. It ain't gonna be beneficial in a few decades. And I'd argue that it's already detrimental.

      I think I have a better idea than someone who magically thinks that thermodynamics can be defeated by "complexity".

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    10. Re:Thus demonstrating CO2 alone is not warming by eaglesrule · · Score: 1

      And I'd argue that it's already detrimental.

      Again, there's no evidence for this.

      Because conducting an experiment with our planet's atmosphere without any clear understanding of the outcome could only be beneficial, or at the least have no impact at all. Try harder, shill.

    11. Re:Thus demonstrating CO2 alone is not warming by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      And we don't know enough (anything much) about longer term cycles, feedbacks and so forth.

      Err, that is pure, unadulterated bullshit. Detecting and studying those changes and cycles, globally, is part of my job as a geologist (though I use the data for evaluating the potential presence of producible hydrocarbons). If you actually believe that bullshit, you need to go back to junior school and re-learn some science.

      That is to say, the cure may be worse for Humanity than the disease.

      Humanity is fucked, at least for this next 100 to 200 thousand years. Which probably means for the rest of the duration of this species. When the global society collapses and the species goes through a round of allopatric speciation, something different will probably come out of it. Whether they'll be able to read a word of what we leave behind, or whether it'll be down to future archaeologists and geologists, is frankly, something I don't care about.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    12. Re:Thus demonstrating CO2 alone is not warming by mapkinase · · Score: 1

      >and our CO2 has only had a century to do its work

      So it will really hits us in 2.7 million years I guess.

      You are one dumb imbecile.

      --
      I do not believe in karma. "Funny"=-6. Do good and forbid evil. Yours, Oft-Offtopic Flamebaiting Troll.
  5. Quiet... by jfdavis668 · · Score: 3, Funny

    Don't let the lumber industry hear about this.

  6. And why is this bad? by ghoul · · Score: 3, Funny

    Co2 is plant food. the more Co2 the more plants and a greener world. Just what do climate change opponents have against trees?

    --
    **Life is too short to be serious**
    1. Re:And why is this bad? by CohibaVancouver · · Score: 2

      Just what do climate change opponents have against trees?

      Pretty tricky to grow lush, green trees across vast swaths of land that have turned to desert.

    2. Re:And why is this bad? by fat+man's+underwear · · Score: 2

      the fact that we aren't trees
      the fact that many parasites will thrive in a hotter climate
      water is also plant food
      guess you won't mind a bit of flooding in your house every spring
      what do you have against plant food

    3. Re:And why is this bad? by crow · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The big issue is that in the past, these changes have taken place over thousands of years. This could happen over decades. We just can't adapt that quickly.

      The sea level rise is the big issue. We're talking about flooding many major cities. We'll try to add sea walls and such, but if we're talking 10+ meters, that won't work.

      And without the sea level rise, we're fine as a species, but much of nature isn't, and isn't going to adapt fast enough. We're talking about a major extinction event. Yes, in some cases, this will help agriculture, but the benefits will be dwarfed by the problems.

    4. Re:And why is this bad? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      5 million years ago there was no land mass at the south pole. The land mass that is at the south pole now was around the tropics 5 million years ago. So yeah, it had trees and the temperatures were 20-30 C higher. Because it was in a completely different place.

    5. Re:And why is this bad? by Kernel+Kurtz · · Score: 1

      Even NASA has no real choice but to admit that.

      https://www.nasa.gov/feature/g...

      Of course we are all doomed regardless.

    6. Re:And why is this bad? by ghoul · · Score: 1, Insightful

      A warmer world means more rain and the Sahara and Australian desert turning green. What makes you think hotter means dryer?

      --
      **Life is too short to be serious**
    7. Re:And why is this bad? by barakn · · Score: 1

      Liar.

      --
      "I'm so moist I'm sticking to the leather." -Kermit the Frog on The Late Late Show
    8. Re:And why is this bad? by jpaine619 · · Score: 1

      According to this article we might end up with another habitable continent. Seems like some of the losses might be negated by gains.

    9. Re:And why is this bad? by lgw · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Nah, it goes the other way. Much more rain on a Warm Earth. Of course, last time is was ferns, not trees, but plant life was so vigorous that it supported herds of 40-ton herbivores.

      We know a Warm Earth supports far more life than out current ice age Earth - it's the transition that's worrying. Humans like our territorial boundaries, and if all the arable land moves, even if there's vastly more at the end, there will be wars.

      But the problem is humans, not the ecosystem.

       

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    10. Re:And why is this bad? by ghoul · · Score: 1

      You claim the benefits will be dwarfed by the losses. I claim otherwise and while your benefits are in the future mine are here and now - more rain in Africa== more crops== less people starving to death.

      --
      **Life is too short to be serious**
    11. Re:And why is this bad? by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 3, Insightful

      A warmer world means more rain and the Sahara and Australian desert turning green. What makes you think hotter means dryer?

      It's a little more complicated than all that though. Some places will see more rain, often too much rain, the kind that causes seasonal flooding; many other places will become much drier.

      Less of the rain that falls will be in the form of snow, meaning the summer run-offs from mountains will be less; as a result it will be lots of rain, but over a short period of time. Ironically, this means people will be less able to capture water without extensive reservoir and water retainment systems. As we get more rain, we'll have less water to use.

      It means many agricultural economies set up on arable land will collapse as the ideal places to grow crops moves to places that don't have the infrastructure set up to grow and harvest them- and by the time they build those infrastructures, if warming continues, the ideal growing places will move again. Because of our lack of ability to capture the more seasonal and more "all-in-one-go" type rains that accompany global warming, we will have less water to irrigate crops with.

      So yes, more rain, but not necessarily more usable water. A tree won't benefit from increased rainfall if it all happens in one month of the year and the tree experiences drought like conditions the rest of the year.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    12. Re:And why is this bad? by fatwilbur · · Score: 1

      Serious question, but do you have any sources for your claim that we can't adapt that quickly? I actually think the opposite, that tens of years is plenty of time to adapt. The changes aren't instantaneous, we can measure rising sea levels (currently in the mm per year range) and plan appropriately for it.

      Similarly with nature, tens of years is many generations for most species, how do we know they cannot effectively adapt (which is the one thing organisms have been adapting to do since the start of life)? We've already seen evidence that polar bears are effectively adapting to lower sea ice levels contrary to the hypothesis that they couldn't and would go extinct.

    13. Re:And why is this bad? by ghoul · · Score: 2

      Thats an Engineering problem. One California has solved. We get all our rain in 2 months and still manage to irrigate the Central Valley which is technically a desert.
      Other nations can do the same too.

      --
      **Life is too short to be serious**
    14. Re:And why is this bad? by ghoul · · Score: 1

      Its not like flyover country is away from water. 80% of the households in flyover country are within driving distance of a river or a lake. In fact the coastal idiots are rich enough to afford the sea walls. Not sure if they will be willing to fund levees in flyover country.

      --
      **Life is too short to be serious**
    15. Re:And why is this bad? by crow · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Do you really think your economy is that independent from what happens on the coasts?

    16. Re:And why is this bad? by WoodstockJeff · · Score: 1

      >5 million years ago there was no land mass at the south pole. The land mass that is at the south pole now was around the tropics 5 million years ago. So yeah, it had trees and the temperatures were 20-30 C higher. Because it was in a completely different place.

      That's only if you believe the people spouting off wild theories about "plate tectonics". Only kooks believe that Earth experienced change before man started dinking around with it.

    17. Re:And why is this bad? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Because in the dry areas, hotter means dryer? Moron?
      Hotter means only more wet in wet areas ... and even that is not granted, see Thailand, Isaan, or California.

      Why are you posting here? You have no clue about anything. Are you paid to post here?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    18. Re:And why is this bad? by jpaine619 · · Score: 1

      A tree won't benefit from increased rainfall if it all happens in one month of the year and the tree experiences drought like conditions the rest of the year.

      Says who? That's exactly how Joshua Trees get through life. Things adapt.. Takes a while, sure.. But to simply declare that life won't benefit seems rather...short-sighted. To be clear, I'm not claiming Climate Change is a good thing. We know things are good the way they are.. They could become better, they could become much worse.. I'd rather stick with the devil i know, but I don't run around declaring how things are going to go.

    19. Re:And why is this bad? by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      5 million years ago there was no land mass at the south pole. The land mass that is at the south pole now was around the tropics 5 million years ago.

      Ah, no. The plates move, but they don't move nearly that fast. The Antarctic plate is moving away from the Pacific plate and into the Atlantic plate, but it's moving at 12-14 mm per year at the moment. At the top end it may move at 1 cm per year. So at the beginning of the Pliocene, its Atlantic edge was no more than 50km further south and its Pacific edge was no more than 50km further north. That's about it.

      Now that difference could result in radical differences in climate due to changes in ocean currents. There's essentially no data about historical ocean currents because most of what is ocean now was ocean then, so it's hard to study the changes to the sea bed, and even harder to ascribe changes to the sea bed to any particular change in water motion. At the moment, the models of ocean currents are severely lacking. There are efforts underway to produce detailed maps of deep ocean currents, but it's a difficult problem in data acquisition. The kinds of radio frequencies we know can get through water don't lend themselves well to lots and lots of small subsurface buoys that can follow currents.

      Over the course of multiple geologic epochs, it has moved considerably. There's reason to believe it was once connected above water to the North American plate. But that was back in the Ediacaran period of the Neoproterozoic era, 600 million years ago. The Pliocene started 5.3 million years ago. Prove the fossil trees are 600 million years old and not 6 million and you'll have an argument.

    20. Re: And why is this bad? by TimMD909 · · Score: 1

      You're on a slippery slope towards Bender B Rodriguez's 'Kill All Humans' talk... I'm voting for Chris Zaxxar Travers.

    21. Re:And why is this bad? by ghoul · · Score: 1

      Hotter means more evaporation from the oceans and more rain so the dry areas dont stay dry.
      The reason California is so dry is that the water off California is too cold to generate rainclouds and we need rainclouds created in Hawaii for our rain.
      As the oceans get warmer, California will also get more rains from rainclouds generated locally.

      --
      **Life is too short to be serious**
    22. Re:And why is this bad? by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      As the oceans get warmer, California will also get more rains from rainclouds generated locally.

      Actually, it's more likely that future California will get the rainfall associated with the chapperal of central Mexico, while what rainfall California and the Sierra Nevada used to get moves up to British Columbia and Washington.

      Which will leave LA in approximately the position of the 7th Century Maya. And SF not a lot better.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    23. Re:And why is this bad? by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      Tosh.

      Antarctica got to it's present location well over 40 million years ago, but was connected to South America at the time, forcing ocean currents to move heat from the equator to the pole. When (about 40 Myr ago) the Drake Passage opened, that heat supply stopped, and the freezing of Antarctica started. Antarctica has not moved significantly in 5 million years. (It has moved around 250km in that time.)

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    24. Re:And why is this bad? by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      Now that difference could result in radical differences in climate due to changes in ocean currents. There's essentially no data about historical ocean currents because most of what is ocean now was ocean then,

      Actually, estimating sea-bottom currents is a part of the process of evaluating the distribution of underground sand bodies for oil exploration. There is a huge literature on it - dozens of books of review papers alone, thousands of paper. We do have a reasonable understanding of past currents. When the Drake Passage opened - about 40 Myr ago - there was a signifiant change in ocean circulation because it opened up a new connection for the network. When Central America rose, that changed North Atlantic circulation. As Indonesia is growing (and when Australia/ PNG smashes into it) that is going to change the currents between Pacific and Indian oceans. But describing these changes in words is hard - you really need the datasets. Maps derived from them are a good intermediary. And for that, well, dive into the literature. I only go into it as far as I need to.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    25. Re:And why is this bad? by ghoul · · Score: 1

      Its not as simple as saying whatever happens at a lower latitude moves up to a higher latitude. A warmer world has more TOTAL rain. Everywhere gets rainier.

      --
      **Life is too short to be serious**
    26. Re:And why is this bad? by houghi · · Score: 1

      How do we get the water into the e.g. Sub-Sahara countries from the US states that California takes the water from? Just wondering.

      Also: I always support Californian farmers financially by buying as much almond products I can get.

      --
      Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
    27. Re:And why is this bad? by ghoul · · Score: 1

      Are you trying to be funny?
      Assuming you are just confused - There will be more rain in the sub Sahara and snow in the Central African Highlands due to Global Warming , it will be heavy rain over short periods like in California and they need to build California style storage to store the water to irrigate the Sahara desert like we irrigate the Central Valley desert. Nothing to do with US Water.

      --
      **Life is too short to be serious**
    28. Re:And why is this bad? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Everywhere gets rainier.
      Erm ... just, no!

      To rain somewhere the cloud needs to get there ... if the cloud can not get there it is not raining ... a no brainer.
      I really wonder why people are so stupid ...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    29. Re:And why is this bad? by ghoul · · Score: 1

      Me too. Angelo. Me too. Get some help.

      --
      **Life is too short to be serious**
  7. Re:Conservative Morality by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Insightful

    We weren't here the last time CO2 levels were that high. Yes, the Earth survived. Hell, the Earth survived the Dinosaur Killer strike, but a shit ton of species died.

    It's hard to assess with statements like that whether the poster is just playing a rhetorical game, or is indeed a complete fucking moron.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  8. Re:Conservative Morality by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    more like tragedy of commons.

  9. Re:Conservative Morality by DalM · · Score: 1

    The debate is over.

    "Money is morality" is the only morality you will care to understand.

  10. World ends in 10 years anyway... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Right aoc?

  11. No denial by ghoul · · Score: 1, Insightful

    I dont deny the world is warming.
    I question why is that a bad thing?
    Use of fossil fuels lets developing countries develop much faster so that by the time say Bangladesh needs flood defenses of the type Netherlands has , it can afford them.
    Not to mention a warmer world means more rains, a greener Sahara, less drought prone India and a greened Australian desert.
    Increased food security- as the world has warmed since the 70s the incidence of famine in Africa has gone down.

    Yes there are some losers - Florida gets worse hurricanes, California Drought-Flood cycle gets more extreme, UK freezes as the Gulf stream shuts down but on net balance more countries benefit than lose from Global Warming.

    --
    **Life is too short to be serious**
    1. Re:No denial by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      Your nearsightedness is showing. Please read up on the subject to discover how many things you're ignoring.

    2. Re:No denial by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      So is mine, but I'm saying *WE* need to do something not sit on our hands and ignore it.

    3. Re:No denial by alvinrod · · Score: 4, Insightful

      None of the things you point out are a bad thing, but you have to consider that the climate will change in places that aren't the Sahara, and not always for the better. People generally don't like big changes in life. It's not as bad for countries like the U.S. which due to industrialization and less rigid societal norms are undergoing rapid change on a continual basis, but for people who have been herders in a region for hundreds or even thousands of years, the changes are much more jarring. The world has shown how little ability it has to deal with migrants from Syria due to conflict. What do you think will happen when 200 million people need to move because climate change has suddenly left them unable to continue on as they have been doing for generations?

    4. Re:No denial by ghoul · · Score: 1

      The solution is to move towards a border free world not to try and assuage our collective guilt by forcing poorer nations to take more inefficient development routes.

      As it is most of the impact is going to be on North Am and Europe - areas best able to take on the costs while the benefits are mostly going to the global South.

      Except for a few small island nations (we can just give them refugee status and US residency. The number is too small to matter)

      --
      **Life is too short to be serious**
    5. Re:No denial by slack_justyb · · Score: 1

      TL;DR version of the below - There isn't a bad or good thing. It's a question of are the governments of this planet ready to spend the required money to get us ready for a planet with global warming? The answer is "no". Therefore, I question if global warming is truly something we actually want.

      I question why is that a bad thing?

      You shouldn't question things as bad or good. What you should ask is "are the consequences ones we as a species wish to deal with down the road?" Ultimately, global warming includes things that will make some things that we currently value more expensive or require more effort to continue to have them. Coffee is my usual go to answer. As the climate in the coffee belt continues to change, the ability for coffee to adapt to the change becomes less and less, since coffee requires a pretty stable environment to grow at the yields we currently enjoy. Because the environment is changing it becomes less favorable for coffee and more favorable for different plant species, some that we can use as a food stuff, but many that we cannot. But the point remains, we will have less coffee which in turn will drive the price up. So while we may currently enjoy a can of coffee at $9.99 today, we may be in a world in thirty years where that price has increased dramatically. That does not mean that we have zero coffee, but it does mean we as a species will be drinking a lot less coffee. There are those who say, oh well we can just grow it further north/south from the equator. And the problem with that is a lot of plants have specific sunlight requirements. The further you move away from the equator, the fewer hours of sunlight you get. So even if Canada had the temperature and rainfall to support coffee, it would never have the sunlight requirement to grow it at any yield close to what can be grown at the equator. And so we'd still have coffee, just a lot less of it. Again, is that something we're ready to pay for? And that's just a simple example.

      Use of fossil fuels lets developing countries develop much faster so that by the time say Bangladesh needs flood defenses of the type Netherlands has , it can afford them

      And that's not untrue, the question to ask is that ultimately what do you want to spend your money on? We could put up a flood wall around the entire coastal border of the US and not have to worry about Florida, the question is, is that what we want to spend our money on? Would it be cheaper to go some other route? Would we get more bang for our buck not having to erect flood protection for thousands of miles of the US and perhaps spend it on something else? Would it just be cheaper to move everyone inland? Lot's of if and no one really has good answers to any of them. More importantly, no one is even preparing for any of them. We do know what will happen, but pretty much a lot of folks have just taken a "meh" approach to prepare for those things we know will happen. I mean, if we know that Florida is going to be underwater, why are people still moving there and building massive buildings that will become major losses?

      Not to mention a warmer world means more rains, a greener Sahara, less drought prone India and a greened Australian desert.

      Sort of. A greener Sahara doesn't mean a more useful Sahara. Plants don't adapt very quickly without a lot of intervention via GMO or selective breeding and there isn't a whole lot of plants well suited for the conditions that a green Sahara would bring. Perhaps we might be able to engineer a few after spending billions of dollars on researching that, but then that goes back to the question of, "Is that something we want to spend money on?" We might be able to grow things in a greener Sahara within the confines of a greenhouse, but again that begs the question, "Is that something we want to spend money on?" And again, more importantly, if that's something we're totally okay with, then why aren't we devoting resourc

    6. Re:No denial by BlueStrat · · Score: 2

      The solution is to move towards a border free world

      In a border-free world you will be ruled over from half a world away by those who are the most ruthless, authoritarian, and driven to attain ever more power & control.

      Sounds lovely. Don't worry, everybody gets a Harkonnen-style heart-plug. /s

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    7. Re:No denial by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 2

      A warmer world might mean more rains.
      But not necessarily at the spots you want it, see: https://www.bbc.com/news/world... or https://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/...

      Assuming that the upcoming climate change has anything *good* in it, is just idiotic.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    8. Re:No denial by tsa · · Score: 1

      Bangladesh always needed the type of flood defenses we have in the Netherlands, and more, and it could never afford them. There will probably be a whole lot less of Bangladesh in the foreseeable future thanks to global warming, which makes it harder for the country to earn the money for flood defence.

      --

      -- Cheers!

    9. Re:No denial by tsa · · Score: 3, Insightful

      All your questions have been answered and the result is that we have to reduce the amount of CO2 we emit enormously if we want to keep a nice planet to live on. Everybody who reads a good newspaper every now and then knows that. So why are you still asking those questions?

      --

      -- Cheers!

    10. Re:No denial by Cyberax · · Score: 3, Informative

      BTW, what part of a Warm Earth makes this "not a nice planet to live on". More plant life, more arable land, basically the current tropics as year-round weather everywhere. Seems quite nice to me.

      One of the predicted outcomes of the global warming are non-survivable areas. Right now a healthy human with access to shade and sufficient water can survive natural heat anywhere on the Earth. If the climate warms some more, there'll be regions where humans can't phsyicaly survive without air conditioning.

      The predicted locations will be in India and Asia - the opposite of what you'd call "Western countries". See: https://insideclimatenews.org/... or http://climateguide.nl/2018/12...

      Oh, and Texas is predicted to be affected too.

    11. Re:No denial by lgw · · Score: 1

      There's lots of land today where humans can't survive without some serious cold weather gear. A Warm Earth warms much more at the poles than the equator (at least, if CO2 is the reason for the warming). But a few degrees of warming won't make an area deadly if it's not borderline now, as highlighted by your links.

      But if we're talking about end state, not migration, the question is "will there be more nice land than before". Obviously site puching a political agenda will point to all the places that become less livable, not the places that become more livable.

      But all of that is vastly better than a return of the glaciation that's been normal for the past 10 million years. Do you think it's possible to force a stable climate? Even though that's very rare in the historical record - pretty much only the past 10,000 years? Or is it a choice between warm and cold?

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    12. Re:No denial by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 2

      "Sometimes the cure is worse than the disease."
      The 'disease' may be FATAL; you really want to deal with that? The 'cure' is NOT FATAL. At worst it'll be a little inconvenient. But if someone (You?) can't be bothered to change even ONE THING about the way you live, in order to ensure the Human Species gets to continue and the Earth remains habitable, then you're the problem, not the 'cure'.
      We do not NEED to keep using fossil fuels. There are viable alternatives, including nuclear power.
      We can all move to plug-in electric vehicles.
      Those two alone would mitigate a big percentage of human CO2 release into the atmosphere, and it would be more or less painless.

      Don't be such a big baby about this.

    13. Re: No denial by ghoul · · Score: 1

      Actually we have had that for the last 400 years. North Am was settled by climate refugees from Europe fleeing the mini Ice Age. Led to creation of a wonderful society in USA and Canada. Not all migration is bad.

      --
      **Life is too short to be serious**
    14. Re:No denial by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      There's lots of land today where humans can't survive without some serious cold weather gear.

      Except that this gear is quite literally stone-age technology. Air conditioning is 20-th century technology. It also won't make near-polar areas especially better, as you still have to design with worst-case scenario in mind.

      But a few degrees of warming won't make an area deadly if it's not borderline now, as highlighted by your links.

      It will. A 34C wet-bulb temperature is hard non-survivable and it takes just one non-survivable event to kill a human. And around 2 billion people will live in these borderline areas by the middle of the century.

      But if we're talking about end state, not migration, the question is "will there be more nice land than before". Obviously site puching a political agenda will point to all the places that become less livable, not the places that become more livable.

      As far as I know, the current answer is "no".

      But all of that is vastly better than a return of the glaciation that's been normal for the past 10 million years.

      Technically we're still in the ice age (since Antarctica is glaciated) that has begun 34 million years ago. I'm also not sure it would be that much worse.

    15. Re: No denial by cyber-vandal · · Score: 1

      The earth will be fine. Whether we will be is another matter. If our food and water supplies are threatened lots of people will either starve or move. Better build that wall around the whole of the US.

    16. Re: No denial by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      The proposed cure is Marxism.

      Only in the eyes of idiots for whom anything that is not libertarianism is Marxism. Fortunately not that many people are *that* stupid.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    17. Re: No denial by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Thorium is potentially even more expensive than current proven reactor designs that at the moment are themselves three times more expensive than the currently available renewable generation.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    18. Re: No denial by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      If there's cooling, you just burn more coal. It kills two birds with one stone.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    19. Re:No denial by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      "Number of rich westerners affected" is basically just something you add to "number of people displaced". Where do you think those displaced go? If the more recent history is any indicator, it ain't gonna be Siberia.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    20. Re:No denial by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Because developing countries are hardly in a position where they benefit from a hotter climate. You do know that Africa is located right around the equator, right?

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    21. Re:No denial by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Sadly, this is not going to be the case.

      What will happen is that places in Africa become uninhabitable and people will be displaced. Where to? Well, the ones that can be worked like slaves and have the strength, skill and/or brain to offer something Europe and the Americas want will be taken in, mostly to push down wages. The rest will be left out to perish, which they will, very understandably, refuse to do and try to get into the habitable areas by force, which in turn will be used to justify not only laws that pretty much allow to kill anyone trying to get in but do the same to the foreseeable domestic unrest that the increasing number of disenfranchised people in the various countries will eventually lead to. All of that "democratically" sanctioned by those portions of the masses who still cling to some sort of property that fear to lose what little they still have.

      In other words, just like now. Only more.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    22. Re:No denial by cpaglee · · Score: 1

      Are you off your rocker? People have been living in equatorial countries for millennia, but you believe there will be "non-survivabe areas"? Based on WHAT science? Methinks you are not an engineer or you're a very poor one, easily duped by political fearmongering.

    23. Re:No denial by ghoul · · Score: 1

      A hotter world means more rains. Africa's problem is not that its too hot. Its that large portions of it are desert. More rains means the Sahara greens.

      The world currently is too cold. There really is no place where a human cannot survive due to tthe heat whereas there are a ton of places which are too cold to survive. A hotter world means more livable places.
      Hot places will not get hotter due to the feedback loop of more rain but cold places will get hotter.
      All scientists agree the poles will warm up much more than the equator.

      --
      **Life is too short to be serious**
    24. Re:No denial by ghoul · · Score: 1

      According to most projections Africa, India, Australia benefit from a hotter and rainier world while Europe freezes into a tundra.
      The climate refugees will be going from Europe to Africa not the other way so its in Europe's interest to promote a border free world NOW while the flow is still towards Europe.
      Similarly in NorthAM - In the West Alaska and British Columbia become nice while the North East freezes. East Coast folks better start planning by buying vacation homes in Cancun and learning Spanish (We Californians already speak Spanish)

      --
      **Life is too short to be serious**
    25. Re:No denial by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Even if it was true that a warmer climate leads to more rain, what on earth makes you assume that this rain would fall on the Sahara desert? Did you take a look at a globe recently? The Sahara desert is pretty close to oceans, i.e. a source for water that could rain. Closer at least than the very green and fertile plains of eastern Europe. Notice something? Doesn't rain there now. Certainly not for a lack of global water, but simply because the winds don't blow that way.

      What you DO get with more rain is that those places that already get plenty of it get more of it. In other words, flooding will get worse.

      Then again, why do I care? It will take more than 30 years to fuck up this place for good, and by then I'll be dead. So yes, I'm with you. Don't change a thing. I want to live out my years squandering, not scrimping.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    26. Re:No denial by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      I'd really LOVE to know where you get that bullshit from. Europe freezing over really is a new kind of bizarre that I haven't seen even in the most insane loony claims.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    27. Re:No denial by Cyberax · · Score: 2

      But the alternative is not global cooling, isn't it? Even if we somehow return to pre-Industrial concentration of CO2, the ice age won't come until the next glaciation cycle several thousand years in future.

      On the other hand, unchecked CO2 emissions will result in a plethora of changes, most of them will be bad and/or require very costly mitigation. Like abandoning coastal cities (Miami, Houston, Shanghai,...) and even whole countries (Bangladesh).

  12. Dibs on Patagonia by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1

    Dibs on rice paddies and wheat farming in Patagonia. Easy access to Asia, Europe, NA without Panama canal. yay!

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
  13. No need to be concerned about sea level rise by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 2

    Long before sea levels rise 20 m, annual weeds would have become perennial. Bugs and vermin killed by annual frost will thrive year around. Pesticide and weedkiller usage will skyrocket, and all the farm hands will die of cancer or leave the fields. When the North American break basket is lost, the global famine will wipe out most of the infrastructure and civilization. The surviving Homo sapiens postapocalipsia will simply pitch their thatched huts on higher and higher ground from the seashore.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    1. Re:No need to be concerned about sea level rise by Bryansix · · Score: 1

      Farm hands? You know they have self driving tractors now right?

    2. Re:No need to be concerned about sea level rise by crow · · Score: 1, Informative

      I disagree. Sea level rise is the threat that we can't mitigate. Farms can shift to different crops. We can tweak the DNA of existing crops to adjust as needed, potentially protecting them from new pests. Yes, we have a public health threat looming, but we can manage it. It will be a disaster for the fishing industry, but we've been overfishing for years, so that's not unexpected even without climate change.

      But there's not much we can do about sea level rise except move, and we've put massive infrastructure on the coasts, and that will be lost. It's not like we have empty cities waiting for us to relocate our coastal populations to. Well, there's Detroit. Do you want to have to move to Detroit in the next decade or two?

      One foot of sea level rise is probably the limit of what we could tolerate before we start pulling out of coastal areas. One meter and we're losing many towns and building walls around others. Ten meters and it's goodbye to most of the coast.

    3. Re:No need to be concerned about sea level rise by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Or, you know, we, as a species, could stop being pants-on-head stupid about this, get our collective fingers out of our collective ears, uncover our collective eyes, actually acknowledge this shit is happening and it's at least in part our fault, and actually DO something about it.
      Just sayin'..

    4. Re:No need to be concerned about sea level rise by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      ..or, you know, we could stop dumping so much goddamned CO2 into the atmosphere.
      Just sayin'..

    5. Re:No need to be concerned about sea level rise by ghoul · · Score: 1

      Most of the world manages to farm just fine without an annual frost. Wake up and smell the Tea. North Am is not the breadbasket of the world. The Ganges Delta and the Yangtze Delta produce most of the human food in the world. Losing North Am would mean no more Beef or Pork but humans would be just fine (Humans dont eat the shit North Am farmers grow. They grow animal feed not food)

      --
      **Life is too short to be serious**
    6. Re:No need to be concerned about sea level rise by SlaveToTheGrind · · Score: 1

      we, as a species, could could stop being pants-on-head stupid about this, get our collective fingers out of our collective ears, uncover our collective eyes, actually acknowledge this shit is happening and it's at least in part our fault, actually DO something about it.
      Just sayin'..

      Spot on. For example, just think of the reductions "we" could achieve were "we" to cut back on banal moral preening on the internet.

      Just sayin'...

    7. Re:No need to be concerned about sea level rise by fatwilbur · · Score: 1

      That is fair, however any plan we're contemplating which may damage the economy in such a way that people simple starve now vs. in the future isn't realistic just to "do something".

      In my younger days, I used to be a staunch environmentalist and would ridicule those bringing up economic interests as stupidly "thinking about money" when so much more important matters were on the table. When I got older I realized economic concerns deserve as much of a priority as anything else - "money" is actually a proxy for hospitals, food, infrastructure, energy, education, the list goes on...

    8. Re:No need to be concerned about sea level rise by crow · · Score: 1

      Yes, but then the question is how much of the excess already in the atmosphere will get pulled out by natural activity? Or have we initiated processes that will cause more carbon to be released?

    9. Re:No need to be concerned about sea level rise by ghoul · · Score: 1

      Netherlands is an entire country below sea level. Given enough money (which fossil fueled development can generate) nations can build similar defenses. That gives enough time to move to higher areas.
      The building of flood defenses is just as good a way of pumping money and jobs into an economy than building a military bigger than the next 20 militaries.

      --
      **Life is too short to be serious**
    10. Re:No need to be concerned about sea level rise by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Netherlands is an entire country below sea level.
      So is Switzerland. What is your point?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    11. Re:No need to be concerned about sea level rise by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      The biggest export nation for rice is ... Thailand. Or was a year ago ... not sure :D

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    12. Re:No need to be concerned about sea level rise by Miamicanes · · Score: 1

      In Florida, the difference between 'annuals' and 'perennials' is ALREADY kind of academic, and has little to do with their official categorization. Just about ANYTHING left to grow in Florida will survive for years. To Floridian homeowners, the thing that REALLY distinguishes between 'annual' and 'perennial' is, "does it look good year-round, or does it get ugly and look like a weed after it stops blooming?"

      Case in point: marigolds. Left to grow without human interference, marigolds in Florida will live for YEARS. But they only bloom for a few months per year, and in the meantime... they look like ugly, spindly weeds.

      Ditto, for "grass". If you keep it mowed, it looks like... well... grass. If you leave it to go wild, you'll eventually end up with tufts that are taller than you are, with blades as wide as your arm.

    13. Re:No need to be concerned about sea level rise by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      "Waah, I don't like people talking about things I don't like hearing about!
      Blow me. Shushing people up because what they're saying doesn't suit your agenda is Page One from the Authoritarian Playbook. Bugger off.

    14. Re:No need to be concerned about sea level rise by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      Stop making doom-and-gloom assumptions. Nobody wants to wreck the economy (except a certain sitting POTUS, who is so inept at business that he doesn't understand 'the economy' at all). Being a Negative Nelly doesn't serve anyone, including yourself.

    15. Re:No need to be concerned about sea level rise by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      Well then I guess we need to get The Stupid People the fuck out of the way. Either that or whatever species rises to sentience next (***IF*** there is one that is) will look at us and say "Call it evolution in action", because we were too stupid to survive, AS A SPECIES.

    16. Re:No need to be concerned about sea level rise by SlaveToTheGrind · · Score: 1

      I'm not at all shocked that went straight over your head. Posts like the one of yours I first responded to accomplish precisely nothing (other than garnering fawning mods from other people who apparently think sitting around repeatedly saying "we should just DOOOO something" [and by "we" you of course mean someone other than you] moves the ball forward).

      If you truly believe we should all do as much as you possibly can, there's plenty you yourself could actually do, including minimizing your electricity usage by not wasting time online churning out useless posts. And hey -- that would also reduce the amount of electricity we all burn reading your angry missives. That's what they call a win-win.

    17. Re:No need to be concerned about sea level rise by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      Yes, but then the question is how much of the excess already in the atmosphere will get pulled out by natural activity?

      No, that's not an important question. We know the answer from studying the rocks deposited incorporating atmospheric CO2 in the early Eocene. It'll essentially all get pulled out.

      The important question is, how long will it take? And again, we have the answer from the geological record : it'll take 100 to 120 kiloyears.

      Or have we initiated processes that will cause more carbon to be released?

      Almost certainly, yes. And once again it's by looking at the geological record. Plus, of course, looking at methane releases from the thawing permafrost. The data is available - at a price, because it is commercially valuable. You can also use natural methane venting as a pointer to hydrocarbon deposits in the near sub-surface. I.e. oil and gas fields.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  14. Pliocene epoch by PPH · · Score: 1

    When new animal species (including our ancestors) sprang up, existing species diversified and successfully spread across all the continents.

    Sounds good, man. I can hardly wait.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
    1. Re:Pliocene epoch by crow · · Score: 1

      That works much better when change is gradual.

  15. They why tell us it is? by SuperKendall · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Weird it's almost as if a system as large and complex as the earth's climate can't change on a moment's notice the second a large quantity of greenhouse gas is hastily introduced

    You should tell that to the people who were promoting fear around runaway warming (even though as the headline points out, CO2 has been this high before with no runaway warming). Or maybe you should talk to multiple politicians today claiming we have only 10 years to solve this problem...

    If as you say the climate in fact changes more slowly the the fear-mongers claim, then why will the natural decrease in CO2 output as alternative energy uptake increases across the world, not take care of the problem long before there is significant warming? Don't forget the planet itself is a natural consumer of CO2, acting to scrub out excesses over time as long as output diminishes.

    Unless you wish to change you story that is, and start claiming CO2 has a rapid effect on climate after all. Otherwise why should we fear it?

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:They why tell us it is? by lgw · · Score: 1

      My favorite is the Chicken Littles who fret that "we'll become Venus", but can't be bothered to look at the amount of carbon involved. Hint: the amount of CO2 in the oceans is a rounding error compared to Venus.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    2. Re:They why tell us it is? by DogDude · · Score: 1

      Or maybe you should talk to multiple politicians today claiming we have only 10 years to solve this problem...

      Who's saying that we have ten years? The IPCC reports suggest that we're probably already too late to stop a few more degrees of warming.

      --
      I don't respond to AC's.
  16. Re:Back to the Drawing Boards by ninjabus · · Score: 1

    Just like how pots of water boil instantly after being placed on the burner, yes.

  17. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  18. Re:Conservative Morality by jbssm · · Score: 1

    It's funny 'casue it's Chinese doing most of the pollution.

  19. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  20. Re:Good. I'm excited for a new continent to explor by GLMDesigns · · Score: 1

    AFAIK, we're not allowed anything larger than a 50 BMG so I hope that'll do the trick.

    --
    If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
    Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
  21. Cool - a whole continent will open up! Antarctica by cjonslashdot · · Score: 1

    Although drowning NYC - I have mixed feelings about that ;-)

  22. Re:Conservative Morality by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Your all-or-nothing thinking shows you're not smart. We don't have to """dismantle""" society. We have to CHANGE THE WAY WE DO THINGS. Fucking deal with it.

  23. Stop using alarmist-speak by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    And then we have water, which doesn't consume, but absorbs and acidifies.

    The only thing water does when absorbing LOTS of CO2, is becomes more neutral - not acidic.

    If you want people to take you seriously, stop using the language of fear and get your terminology correct.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Stop using alarmist-speak by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      super kendall voice: no heckin' way am *I* listening to the un-scientific alarmist know-nothings at (checks notes) the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

    2. Re:Stop using alarmist-speak by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      The only thing water does when absorbing LOTS of CO2, is becomes more neutral - not acidic.
      Erm ... no?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    3. Re:Stop using alarmist-speak by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Hey, you know those things that let you carbonate your own water? You know how soda water has that distinct taste? The taste of carbonic acid? You should drop a pH test strip in some of that stuff.

  24. Why would you assume this is steady state now? by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    Serious question: Why do you think so?

    Because with the CO2 levels we have, predicted rise is only around 2C.

    The same CO2 levels that once had the atmosphere at a far greater degree of warming.

    Thus there must be some other factor involved in warming climate besides CO2 alone.

    The rapid rise in atmospheric CO2 in the past ~150 years is essentially an impulse to what is admittedly a complex system.

    Correct.

    a suggestion of what is possible once the system settles

    Serious question for you - why would you assume the earth would settle at CO2 levels we have now? Since the rise is artificial, once the CO2 is absorbed back into the system, and human output decreases over time (inevitable given the uptake in alternative energy), WHY would you, or how could you assume the CO2 levels today are anywhere near a steady state? Indeed a rise of 2C of warming means lots more flourishing plant life around the globe. Guess what plants absorb from the atmosphere...

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Why would you assume this is steady state now? by caladine · · Score: 1

      Serious question for you - why would you assume the earth would settle at CO2 levels we have now? Since the rise is artificial, once the CO2 is absorbed back into the system, and human output decreases over time (inevitable given the uptake in alternative energy), WHY would you, or how could you assume the CO2 levels today are anywhere near a steady state?

      Fair question, and perhaps I shouldn't, but not really for the reasons you're pointing at. A better assumption (barring large scale CO2 removal efforts) would have steady state (for purposes of human time spans) be higher than where we are now, into mostly uncharted territory (> 5My).

      Indeed a rise of 2C of warming means lots more flourishing plant life around the globe. Guess what plants absorb from the atmosphere...

      Yes, thank you for pointing that out. /s

      While I too agree that CO2 will likely be absorbed back into the system, even the sharpest drops in CO2 concentration in NOAA ice core data have a drop of ~100 PPM over 10,000-20,000 years, longer than our written history. That's not a time scale that allows us as a species to do little about it. We're going to be dealing with this one way or the other. The only question is how much it's going to cost.

    2. Re:Why would you assume this is steady state now? by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

      While I too agree that CO2 will likely be absorbed back into the system, even the sharpest drops in CO2 concentration in NOAA ice core data have a drop of ~100 PPM over 10,000-20,000 years,

      But that's when changes were more gradual, as you said the more rapid introduction of greater CO2 is unlike previous changes. Rather than plants evolveing to assume a higher level of CO2 is present, we can also assume that modern plants will consume it more greedy than they would if the increase happened over a long period of time. Basically, we just do not know the system-wide response to more rapid CO2 increases either way, and I don't think it's safe to make any assumptions about where the eventual steady state lies from the natural world alone...

      Furthermore, there is always the option for humans to engineer CO2 absorbing systems, which we do today on a small scale but can easily do on a much larger scale if within 50-100 years it appears the steady state is larger than is comfortable (and by then we'd understand a lot better the role CO2 truly plays in global temperature).

      That is why I see no possible future in which CO2 steady state levels are at the level that would bring large scale disaster, because either naturally or unnaturally they will fall (or be kept at levels deemed acceptable), along with production. That is simply inevitable because of human nature combined with the inflation of the natural systems on earth to use excess CO2.

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  25. Re:And now, on Slashdot by beavhd · · Score: 1, Informative

    Actually, 5 million years ago, the continents were in about the same place. Even when the last of the dinosaurs were around, the land masses were very similar.

    One of many sources

  26. Conservatives only ones fixing climate change by SuperKendall · · Score: 1, Troll

    As far as I can tell, all Liberals do is talk about climate change, while either doing nothing at all that actually helps, or actually do great harm (like so-called "environmentalist" over the years have done by stopping nuclear energy projects, or by people like Al Gore flying private jets all over the world).

    Meanwhile Trump seems to be the only one actually trying to fix the climate.

    Really, it's a matter of historical ignorance to claim conservatives do not want to help the environment, as all of the strongest supporters of the environment to date have been conservative (like Theodore Roosevelt, and now Trump).

    Furthermore, from traveling the world a great truth I have seen is that countries that have poor economies do a great deal of harm to the local environment, those that are well off do not. So the absolutely first step of a true environmentalist is to ensure a healthy economy and a prosperous people, who have the kind offer time and resources totally help where it counts.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Conservatives only ones fixing climate change by fafalone · · Score: 5, Informative

      Trump trying to fix the climate? Good god are you dishonest. He's taken numerous steps to dismantle environmental protections. Heck boosting coal use is explicitly a major part of his platform. He's appointed numerous climate change denying energy industry cronies to the EPA and they've suppressed information and dismissed staff that won't play ball, or just because they're scientists who've pushed research and policies that contradict the pro-coal and CO2-is-good agenda. Some conservative leaders in the past indeed promoted policies that strengthened environment protections, but Trump is absolutely not one of them, and you're continuing your non-stop propaganda where you confuse what the right is saying they're doing with what they're actually doing. You have to be totally brainwashed to read the article you linked and conclude it portrays someone supporting environmental protections and not gutting them, especially considering what's omitted.
      I'm right there with you about the left's ridiculous opposition to nuclear... but this seems to be an ongoing trend with the right, you're great at pointing out the problems with the left, but supremely intellectually dishonest about how much worse the right's alternative is. Sometimes I think SuperKendall is Kellyanne Conway or Sarah Huckabee-Sanders with all the double-talk and lying about conservative policy outcomes like "well conservatives said policy x will help y too, therefore it does" in spite of overwhelming evidence it will hurt, not help y. Trump is weakening environmental protections and you damn well know it. If you think that's fine because the dangers of AGW are exaggerated and pollution isn't all that bad, that's one thing, it's stupid sure, but to outright deny what he's doing is just dishonest.

    2. Re:Conservatives only ones fixing climate change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You're literally talking about the president who wants to drill for oil in our wildlife reserves and bring back coal power no matter the cost, while putting extra taxes on solar panels and speaking against wind power. Are you mentally ill or high on crack?

    3. Re: Conservatives only ones fixing climate change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Teddy Roosevelt was a progressive. In the Republican Party.

    4. Re:Conservatives only ones fixing climate change by tsa · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Trumo trying to fix the climate? I laughed out loud reading that. And if you would have taken the time to actually look at what your link points to you would see that Trump is still the same second hand car salesman we all know and hate.

      --

      -- Cheers!

    5. Re:Conservatives only ones fixing climate change by eaglesrule · · Score: 1

      Yes we know who Trump is. Putting all the blame on him is stupid, though.

      It's exactly what the establishment republicans Trump is forced to surround himself with for political support enjoy, having a nice scapegoat. The guy that was a new york democrat for decades, now pushing the policy of the robber-barons, and almost noone bothers to ask why. Couldn't possibly be because "resist!!" forces him to play by their rules, could it?

      Job number one is to preserve his presidency, and he can't do that if both sides are utterly maligned against him. What's he supposed to do, when the dems yammers endlessly on about collusion conspiracy theories and "impeach!" and the press does "two scoops!" stories on him cover to cover? He tried appeasement with bump-stock bans and angered his base, and look what that got him from the left. Zilch.

      This is not a defense of Trump, it's just acknowledging political reality. What it means is that these anti-environmental policies were only to be expected because the left treats Trump as enemy #1. The left wants better environmental policies? Put the irrational hatred aside and learn to deal with him and compromise, or you'll have five more years of watching the robber barons get what they want.

    6. Re:Conservatives only ones fixing climate change by tsa · · Score: 1

      Of course he doesn’t have all the blame. Much of the blame is on the GOP for allowing this totally incompetent twit in their vicinity, despite stern warnings of influencial people from BOTH parties. Now they are stuck with him and do as he says and does because they fear for their jobs and the piles of money they will lose if Trump fails to be re-elected.

      --

      -- Cheers!

    7. Re:Conservatives only ones fixing climate change by Scroatzilla · · Score: 1

      Let's examine your Trump list, shall we?
      >> He's taken numerous steps to dismantle environmental protections.
      Do you mean regulations? Regulations are not directly responsible for anything other than raising the cost of market entry for small businesses, thereby stifling innovation that could lead to technological advances to create renewable low- or no-carbon energy, or technology that can scrub the air of CO2. Regulations may be good guidelines for things, but are also vectors for corruption and foster the domination of corporatism. Also, I have yet to hear a good explanation of why people freak about about the removal of regulations. When regulations are removed, do companies all of a sudden say, "Aha! Now I can once again begin killing all the wildlife and stop filtering the pollution from my smokestacks!"?

      >> Heck boosting coal use is explicitly a major part of his platform.
      Energy independence is important, as are jobs. Championing coal serves both of those needs. These are immediate needs. It certainly makes sense to explore other sources of energy given the finite amount of fossil fuel we have {{cough}}generation 4 nuclear{{cough}}, and the pollution fossil fuel creates {{cough}}generation 4 nuclear{{cough}}, but we have to think beyond small-scale and unreliable stuff like wind {{cough}}generation 4 nuclear{{cough}}.

      >>He's appointed numerous climate change denying energy industry cronies to the EPA
      Please show me someone who believes that the climate is not changing. I stopped believing that there were "climate change deniers" within seconds of daring to look at the "skeptic" side of the climate change issue. Nobody who I have come across denies the science data showing climate changes throughout time.

      >>and they've suppressed information
      What information have they suppressed? Is it the secret information that proves that everyone should be alarmed? Is it the 12-years-and-we're-dead information? Wait, I've heard that one, so that's not suppressed. Is it the 97% agreement thing? Nope, heard that one. Actually, that 97% thing is dubious because they included scientists who wrote papers that were tangentially related to climate alarmist dogma, some of whom have expressed surprise or irritation that they were included in that 97% figure. Is that the suppressed information?

      >> and dismissed staff that won't play ball, or just because they're scientists who've pushed research and policies that contradict the pro-coal and CO2-is-good agenda.
      Politics works this way; when you have the ability to hire and fire as an executive, you get to pick people who support your agenda. I'm curious about the research and policies of which you speak? Is there some sort of shortage of research funding for climate change alarmists who keep inventing ways to blame climate change for every single thing in the world, including racism? On policies-- well, I am still failing to connect the dots on how the government is going to pass any law that is going to reverse this now-irreversible climate change. Or is it still not too late? Or will we go back to using the term "global warming" rather than "climate change"? Will we switch over to "global cooling" again? Perhaps that can write the law up like Mad Libs (no political pun intended, but noted), where they can just fill in the blanks every few years to suit the current trend of political bashing?

    8. Re:Conservatives only ones fixing climate change by fafalone · · Score: 1

      When regulations are removed, do companies all of a sudden say, "Aha! Now I can once again begin killing all the wildlife and stop filtering the pollution from my smokestacks!"?

      Yes. Yes they do. Any compliance cost is less profit, and most companies will protect the environment only to the extent required by law.

      Energy independence is important, as are jobs. Championing coal serves both of those needs.

      This can be accomplished in a less harmful manner. Nuclear is not unreliable.

      Please show me someone who believes that the climate is not changing. I stopped believing that there were "climate change deniers" within seconds of daring to look at the "skeptic" side of the climate change issue. Nobody who I have come across denies the science data showing climate changes throughout time.

      Right they just argue humans have nothing to do with it or that it could actually be a good thing. My bad. Such big difference. Lol.

      What information have they suppressed? Is it the secret information that proves that everyone should be alarmed? Is it the 12-years-and-we're-dead information? Wait, I've heard that one, so that's not suppressed. Is it the 97% agreement thing? Nope, heard that one. Actually, that 97% thing is dubious because they included scientists who wrote papers that were tangentially related to climate alarmist dogma, some of whom have expressed surprise or irritation that they were included in that 97% figure. Is that the suppressed information?

      You're deliberately uninformed so raise strawmen, and incorrectly describe them at that. And yet you wonder why conservative intelligence gets insulted...

      Politics works this way; when you have the ability to hire and fire as an executive, you get to pick people who support your agenda.

      Firing scientists to replace them with non-scientist energy cronies or because of their research is ridiculous and anyone sane knows it. These weren't political positions I'm mainly talking about. And the few at the top who were... you're really going to tell me putting a dirty energy exec in charge of the EPA is just politics as usual? Maybe on your side.
      The rest of your post is basically "yeah we're trashing the environment lol o well can't do anything might as well pollute with abandon!".

  27. Re:Conservative Morality by DogDude · · Score: 1

    Sod the asteroid strike, the earth survived 15 ton, 20 ft tall bipedal walking mouths with teeth as long as steak knives. I'm pretty sure we'll be OK.

    Hey dipshit, humans weren't around for either of those two things. That's the whole point.

    --
    I don't respond to AC's.
  28. The change is gradual by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    That works much better when change is gradual.

    The fact that CO2 levels were as high then as they are now, yet our temperatures are much lower currently provides absolute proof that changes are gradual.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:The change is gradual by crow · · Score: 1

      No, by gradual change, I mean on a geological timescale like in the past. Now we're compressing milenia into decades.

  29. Re:Remember before the activists got control of /. by DogDude · · Score: 1

    More climate stories than tech.

    Slashdot isn't a tech site, dipshit. It's "News for Nerds". Climate change is news for biology/ecology/sociology nerds.

    --
    I don't respond to AC's.
  30. Re:And now, on Slashdot by mschaffer · · Score: 1

    For example, the "Pilocene beech fossils in Antarctica when CO2 was at similar level to today point to planet’s future."

    There never was a "Pilocene" epoch.

  31. Re:Prove it is, then. by ghoul · · Score: 2

    First time in my life I have been called a right-winger LOL.

    I do like poking people's assumptions whther on the right or the left and the climate change industry has become a gravy train for too many and their bubble needs to be poked.

    --
    **Life is too short to be serious**
  32. Eh, building will stimulate the economy by lamer01 · · Score: 1

    Moving people/stuff further from the oceans won't be an issue either. Food will be plentiful, animal species will flourish. Judging from past warm earth evidence, it won't be so bad....

  33. Misinformation again by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1, Offtopic

    Last time the CO2 levels where that high, Antarctica, the continent in question, was not at the south pole ... wow, a no brainer. Firth of all the continent had not drifted so far and secondly the earth axis was different. No idea why "climate researchers" don't know basic stuff like this. (There was even a period where Antarctica already was down there, but the earth axis was in a position that half of it was in tempered zones ... one idea why some people think the mythical Atlantis could have been there before the last "ice age")

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    1. Re:Misinformation again by JoePete · · Score: 1

      Also not to be overlooked is the impact of geology on the climate. As land masses drifted they altered oceans and currents. As they smashed into each other, they gave rise to mountains and other activity that impact the carbon cycle. The climate is an incredibly complex model for which we have limited data. All of this may mean that as much as we all may be arguing about how to save our home, our home may be telling us that were are no longer welcomed.

    2. Re:Misinformation again by Baki · · Score: 1

      Of course they know, are you really that arrogant?!? No probably just spreading misinformation for whatever reason.
      Read https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/..., continents have moved between 250km and 70km from todays position.

      You're an evil person.

  34. Re:Nope, absolute denial. by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 5, Informative

    Satellite pictures clearly show a greener Sahara.

    This is complete bullcrap. Satellite photos show the exact opposite: The Sahara is expanding southwards into the Sahel, and the Sahel is expanding into the grasslands further south.

    Google for "Sahara expansion" and you will see dozens of articles and satellite photos documenting it.

    Google for "Sahara greening" and you will see a handful of small projects to grow crops in the desert by draining non-renewable aquifers, along with a few denialist websites that refer to "doomsday-obsessed media, activists and ruling politicians" but are devoid of any actual evidence.

  35. Re:Cool - a whole continent will open up! Antarcti by neo-mkrey · · Score: 1

    Sounds like a win-win situation to me.

  36. Re:Nope, absolute denial. by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    Satellite pictures clearly show a greener Sahara.
    No they don't moron.

    The only single spot that is greener is a Egypt research project west of the River Nil.

    The rest of the Sahara is growing by miles every year in every direction where it does not hit the mediterranean sea.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  37. Re:Why are you so in denial? by Dragonslicer · · Score: 2

    That article doesn't mention the Sahara Desert at all.

  38. Re:Conservative Morality by thegarbz · · Score: 1

    You are probably being sarcastic but humanity has only demonstrated one thing over the past 20 years, we don't fucking deserve to survive. I'm off to do by bit by running the A/C with the window open.

  39. Re:Nope. Engineers don't work for free by jpaine619 · · Score: 1

    Always the attitude of the statists... The government must do it... Nevermind the fact that the first police departments, fire departments, and road construction were all volunteer or privately funded endeavors... Hell, we had volunteer fire departments still in operation here in California until just a couple of years ago when the State forcibly absorbed them... They did have some limited state funding, but the vast majority of the operations were done sans-payment.

    People can/will band together to get things done..

  40. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 2

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  41. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  42. Re:And now, on Slashdot by Aighearach · · Score: 1

    There never was a "Pilocene" epoch.

    There was so, but it ended when Millennials decided they hate being mammals, and started shaving everything.

  43. It's not about what humanity did by rsilvergun · · Score: 1

    it's that we know that there were extinction events the last time there was a major change in climate. And we're going through one of those changes now. It takes a scientist to prove that beyond reasonable doubt, but a layman can put two and two together.

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
    1. Re: It's not about what humanity did by pslytely+psycho · · Score: 1

      Rich.
      Misstates the vast majority of scientific consensus, then says start thinking.
      Must be one of those 'alternative facts' fans.....

      --
      Donald Trump, on a crusade to make Nixon look respectable
    2. Re: It's not about what humanity did by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      I'm absolutely with you. I don't have kids. I have about 30 years to live. And I don't want to change my behaviour. Care to explain to me why I should give a fuck whether the predictions are true?

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  44. Re:Conservative Morality by Aighearach · · Score: 2

    It's hard to assess with statements like that whether the poster is just playing a rhetorical game, or is indeed a complete fucking moron.

    No, that isn't hard. Just toss out your false and baseless assumption that you should choose between the two things that there is evidence of. The more likely answer of course is that they're complete fucking morons playing rhetorical games.

  45. This has been debunked by rsilvergun · · Score: 1

    By YouTuber Professor Stick..

    TL;DW, plants "breath" through little holes and they lose water when they breath. The close those holes to prevent water loss. They have to balance water loss and CO2 intake. As temperatures rise they'll take in less CO2 to avoid the water loss. Making increased CO2 a bust for plant growth in many if not most cases.

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
  46. Re:Conservative Morality by DalM · · Score: 1

    Funny thing about "Freedom", it's not the fluffy-nebulous term people think it is. It's actually quantifiable well defined. "Freedom" is options.

    For example: In the desktop computer world, a user largely has three degrees of freedom in regard to operating systems. Linux, Windows, Mac. If the user needs to use Microsoft Office, then their freedoms are limited further.

    Similarly, "Religious Freedom" is the number and types of religions and practices allowed. In the US, we generally have a pretty high degree of religious freedom, with limitations only on extremes.

    But no, "standard of living" nor "freedom" is equivalent to nor a measurement of morality. But at this point I wouldn't expect you to be able to comprehend what morality even is much less be capable of it.

  47. Re:Conservative Morality by tsa · · Score: 1

    It's you buying all that cheap crap you don't need that makes the Chinese pollute. Have you ever thought about that?

    --

    -- Cheers!

  48. Vastly Underestimated by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I think you have vastly underestimated the impact of rapid climate change. A 20m sea level rise would affect every major city on a coast and as well as flat, low lying areas which are often highly populated. The shutdown of the gulf stream would not just affect the UK but all of Scandinavia as well as France, Benelux, Germany since their climate would all switch to being similar to central Canada and, having lived in both locations, not many European plants will survive a Canadian winter where it freezes in November, hits -30 to -40C in January/February and the snow only fully melts in April (we still have some on the ground now).

    Of course, Canada and Russia will be doing great as more land becomes farmable and the permafrost retreats further north but when water supplies start running out in the US and elsewhere governments are going to have to take action to secure the water their citizens need to live. This is going to cause political instability and probably wars.

    Climate change is definitely survivable as a species but the death, instability, famine and ecological damage it will cause is going to be terrible.

    1. Re:Vastly Underestimated by ghoul · · Score: 1

      My point is not that it wont be bad for Europe. My point is why should the rest of the world care as it will be better for them? if Europe wants to hold on to the current climate then they had better pay countries to not use fossil fuels instead of trying to scare them into not using fossil fuels.

      The 15-20 m scenarios are as likely to happen as an asteroid wiping us off in the next 100 years. They are outliers in the model.
      The most likely scenarios are 2-3 meter sea level rise which can be handled with Netherland style dykes.
      Plus the earth has many stabilizing loops built in. As temperatures go up plant growth goes up which pulls CO2 out of the atmosphere.
      Till now almost all the alarmist models have failed and the earth has warmed much less than predicted as these models did not account for negative feedback loops.

      So I am not underestimating, you are overestimating. (Vastly)

      --
      **Life is too short to be serious**
    2. Re: Vastly Underestimated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Canada and Russia won't do better if the gulf stream shuts down. Artic ice is melting right now, like a battery running down. Once the artic ice runs out we lose that conveyer motor, which means the warm equatorial water will stop flowing northward/(poleward). That means Russia and Canada will lose their ability to grow wheat where they currently do. There will be some coastal access improvements but the polar regions don't get enough sunlight to grow even Russian winter wheat. Sure, there is 20 hours a day of sunlight in polar summer for a few weeks, but that is some faint, weak, low angle irradiance. And it will have variably colderwinters. Winters which are already enough to have frozen and exploded all the trees north of the current taiga line.

      The southern hemisphere doesn't really have enough land mass laid out east to west to pick up the slack if the north collapses. There will be a mass die off, not from starvation, but from war as the poorer, hungrier castes get pushed out of their homes due to lack of survivability.

      Worst of all, coffee won't be growable outside of a greenhouse with artificial heating and cooling year round less the plant die. Think Starbucks pricing even for burger kind coffee.

    3. Re:Vastly Underestimated by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

      My point is not that it wont be bad for Europe. My point is why should the rest of the world care as it will be better for them?

      They will care because it will almost certainly NOT be better for them either! There are entire nations in the Pacific that will be wiped out entirely because they live on low-lying islands. Large cities on the US and Canadian coasts and elsewhere will be severely flooded. Europe's problems will by no means be the worst and the problem they will have - harsher winters and flooding - is probably easier to cope with than no water at all which is what large parts of the US and elsewhere will have to deal with.

      Plus the earth has many stabilizing loops built in. As temperatures go up plant growth goes up which pulls CO2 out of the atmosphere.

      This is absolutely true, and the oceans absorb a lot of CO2 as well. However, despite these protective mechanisms the global CO2 levels have still dramatically risen to 400ppb. It is also dangerous to rely on complex ecological feedback mechanisms that we do not fully understand. For example, one report was suggesting that the oceans might be reaching saturation in the amount of CO2 they can absorb. This is the problem with global warming: we are effectively conducting a large, geoengineering experiment without any good understanding about what will happen. I do think that these feedback mechanisms will tend to slow and damped the effects of any change we cause but in our global, interconnected world even small temperature rises and the consequential effect on climate and sea level can have a large impact on our society even when where we ourselves live might not be particularly affected.

    4. Re: Vastly Underestimated by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

      That means Russia and Canada will lose their ability to grow wheat where they currently do.

      Highly doubtful. Most Canadian wheat is grown in the prairies in the centre of the continent and a long way from the east coast where the gulf stream is and in the opposite direction to the prevailing westerly winds. Indeed, the prediction for northern and central Alberta from a few years ago was cooler and wetter summers and warmer and wetter winters since the expectation was that warming oceans would drive more moisture over the Rockies in the north leading to increased rainfall and a more oceanic climate. In the south of Alberta the prediction was that winds from the interior of the US would dominate causing less rainfall and longer and more severe droughts.

    5. Re: Vastly Underestimated by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      That means Russia and Canada will lose their ability to grow wheat where they currently do.

      Highly doubtful.... the prediction was that winds from the interior of the US would dominate causing less rainfall and longer and more severe droughts.

      Hm....

  49. Re:Conservative Morality by lgw · · Score: 1

    You didn't propose an alternative. You didn't even argue against my statement. You post amounts to "nuh-uh, stupid-head!" Would you care to post an intelligent response?

    Do you think morality should be concerned with human happiness and well-being, or something else? If so, do you have some way to quantify that that's better than the well-studied economic approach?

    --
    Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  50. OMG WERE ALL GOING TO DIE by spaceyhackerlady · · Score: 1

    The weather is nuts. That's obvious. What to do about it is not at all obvious. And any "solution" that doesn't have China and India on board isn't a solution.

    The world will come to an end in 12 years. It's on the internet, so it must be true. AOC said so, so it must be true. How will people to do their best to make the world a better place if they've already given up?

    Personally, I see it as an opportunity. Consider how we could increase agriculture productivity if temperate and northern climates had longer growing seasons.

    ...laura

  51. Re:Nope, again by barakn · · Score: 1

    The title of the article in your link is "Warming May Turn Africa’s Arid Sahel Green: Researchers." I don't know where or when you learned to speak English, but when I was taught English, I learned that there is a definite difference between "may" and "will."

    --
    "I'm so moist I'm sticking to the leather." -Kermit the Frog on The Late Late Show
  52. Re:Nope, again by ghoul · · Score: 1

    Its obvious you still havnt learnt to speak English. Never confuse American with English.

    --
    **Life is too short to be serious**
  53. Re:Why are you so in denial? by barakn · · Score: 2

    The large map at the top of the article in your link is titled "Change in Leaf Area (1982-2015)" and the bulk of the Sahara is depicted in shades of gray rather than the colors in the legend because there is no leaf area to measure in the Sahara. However, the Sahel, the region on the southern edge of the Sahara, is depicted in reds, oranges, and yellows, which according to the legend correspond to areas of declining leaf area. So according to your source, the Sahara is browning, the exact opposite of what you claimed. I don't know if you are a troll or just an idiot, but in my experience there's very little difference.

    --
    "I'm so moist I'm sticking to the leather." -Kermit the Frog on The Late Late Show
  54. Re:Good. I'm excited for a new continent to explor by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

    BTW, what round for dinosaur?

    Depends on the dino, I suppose. Pretty much any elephant gun should do fine for anything short of the largest plant-eaters.

    Though you might want to practice cycling the action quickly before you annoy a T-Rex....

    --

    "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  55. So, why it is not happening *now*? by PaulBu · · Score: 1

    Does not this finding support the notion that there is something else besides CO2 which drives temperature, like that bright thing in the sky visible during daytime? ;-)

    Paul B.

    1. Re:So, why it is not happening *now*? by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      Water, in the atmosphere, is our number-1 greenhouse gas. It always has been, and it always will be. It's contribution to current temperatures - today's, not a model of the future - is about 15degC. Without the water in the atmosphere, most of the planet would be frozen - the "Snowball Earth" scenario.

      Carbon dioxide is the most labile of the GHGs, because we can - and have - significantly alter it's concentration by our own activities. Or by geological processes (the freezing of Antarctica is as much due to the erosion of the Himalayas removing CO2 from the atmosphere as it is to opening of the Drake Passage isolating it from equatorially-sourced ocean currents.

      No, it's not simple. That doesn't make it incomprehensible.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  56. ELI5 please by ElizabethGreene · · Score: 1

    If CO2 levels were the same then as now why is the South Pole still a popsicle?

    (Not trolling, genuinely asking.)

    1. Re:ELI5 please by ghoul · · Score: 1

      CO2 is like insulation. Just because you have the same amount of insulation doesnt mean you have the same temperature in a house. You still need to turn on the heater. We have turned on the heater. Give it a 1000 years and you can have nice beachfront property in Antarctica.

      --
      **Life is too short to be serious**
    2. Re:ELI5 please by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      In addition to "ghoul's" comment, there is a simple lag factor. It takes days or weeks of warm sunshine to melt the foot to metre of winter snow when spring comes. The sun has to provide energy to raise the temperature to 0degC, then it has to provide more energy to overcome the latent heat of fusion of the ice into water (that energy goes to breaking down the crystal structure of the ice). That takes time. For multi-kilometre-thick ice sheets, that time can be in the millennia. Which is long enough to show up in the climate records.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    3. Re:ELI5 please by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      BTW, what is an "EL 15"?

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    4. Re:ELI5 please by ElizabethGreene · · Score: 1

      Internet slang for "Explain it Like I'm 5". i.e. Dum it down for a layperson.

      Thanks to those that responded. Our climate has a big hysteresis factor. Got it. That's a good thing. It gives us time to fix it or colonize that big sexy red rock in the sky.

  57. So is Trump by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    Teddy Roosevelt was a progressive. In the Republican Party.

    That's exactly what Trump is. Trump is the first president (of any party) that publicly supported gay marriage before being elected to office. How is that not progressive?

    The real meaning of progressive is that you are for the progress of humanity, moving forward. That is what Trump is doing - on social, and environmental issues alike.

    You may be snowed from seeing it now, but over the course of the next six years it will become apparent even for those who do not want to see.

    A prosperous country means more freedom to do ANYTHING you like, as long as you are not harming others. That is exactly what Trump supports.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  58. Re:Since it's only deniers claiming that by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

    The way things are going, nobody can even start to make plans because the people who are like that guy quash all discussion of it immediately.
    Step One has to be "get the roadblock people the hell out of the way"; you're either HELPING or you're HINDERING, there's no middle ground allowed.

  59. Re:Nope, again by ghoul · · Score: 1

    Doesn't the same argument apply to the rising temperature? How do you know its caused by Anthropomorphic climate change and not just solar variation, increase in evaporation (water is a much more potent climate change gas than Co2) or a 100 other factors which affect the climate?

    But then it's useless to try and debate with an AC.

    --
    **Life is too short to be serious**
  60. Re:And harikari is better than skinned alive by ghoul · · Score: 1

    The climate as it is sucks for a lot of people. Sure it may not suck for Europe or North Am but the rest of the world would be very happy with a warmer wetter world if the cost is Europe and the Northeast freezing over.

    --
    **Life is too short to be serious**
  61. Working on it by ghoul · · Score: 1

    Google Space Mirrors

    --
    **Life is too short to be serious**
  62. Re:Conservative Morality by eaglesrule · · Score: 1

    Deserve? We only just managed to walk upright, and tapped cheap abundant energy to get civilization where it is. We're observing gravity waves and detecting the presence of extrasolar planets light years away, are are most likely past annihilating ourselves with nuclear weapons, and we don't deserve to exist because why? We allow ourselves to be ruled by greedy, selfish, and short-sighted people who probably believe some kind of sky-daddy is ensuring our survival?

    Hmmmm... well, you might have a point.

  63. Re:Conservative Morality by rally2xs · · Score: 1

    Ooookkkaayyyy... "Change the way we do things." Right. How, exactly?

    What all the analyses always seem to step over is the fact that fossil fuels bring prosperity, and their lack brings poverty. We have enough people in poverty already, and artificially depriving ourselves of fossil fuels will simply increase the amount of people in poverty.

    Also seemingly unknown to the masses is that poverty kills. Smoking will take up to 7 years off your life, but living in poverty can take 10.

    So, how many million / billion people do we want to throw into poverty by attempting to cease use of fossil fuels? Ready to be a murderer? That's what you would be if you pass a law that says, "no cars / planes / etc in 10 years."

    The solution to this is going to have to come out of a lab, and cannot come out of the halls of any government. People can pass all the laws they want, and the result will only be millions of dead people, killed by poverty.

    What we want to do is to ensure the research into the better battery and the better ultra-capacitor. Either or both of these will likely be found in a "practical" electric car. The "practical" electric car will be able to perform better than a 1987 Yugo, that circulated the USA in the 1987 One Lap of America, travelling 9,000 miles in 10 days and carrying 3 people (friends of mine, actually.) But the feat that no electric car can currently match is the range of the vehicle, rapid "recharging" of the vehicle, and the fuel availability for the vehicle being "almost anywhere." Tesla S cannot match the '87 Yugo. Tesla would be found on road, discharged somewhere around the country as the Yugo went over the horizon.

    So, lets ensure the continued research of battery tech, ultracapacitor tech, and any other energy storage tech that might work to solve the transportation sector's roadblocks to using electricity. And, OBTW, the current electric cars are getting about 3.5 - 4 miles per KwH, a KwH around here is about 12 1/2 cents, and so at 4 mi / KwH, it will go 100 miles on $3.12. Know any gas cars that will go 100 miles on $3.12? Me either. Current car gets about 25 mpg, at near $3 / gallon for premium (which will _still_ not accelerate as well as an electric car), so 100 miles would be $12. So, the holy grail for the project may be carbonless emissions, but the side-effect of dramatically lower fuel costs would be something not to sneeze at.

    So, I think the correct approach is to attempt to make electric cars viable in all respects. We do that, things get CHEAPER in a hurry, and we can then look to a horizon of fossil-fueless existence.

  64. Re: Nope, absolute denial. by Silicon-Surfer · · Score: 1

    Youâ(TM)re way off with suggesting that Australian Deserts will become greener, itâ(TM)s becoming hotter and much drier here.

  65. Re:Nope, again by stealth_finger · · Score: 1

    The title of the article in your link is "Warming May Turn Africa’s Arid Sahel Green: Researchers." I don't know where or when you learned to speak English, but when I was taught English, I learned that there is a definite difference between "may" and "will."

    Also that Sahel and Sahara are two different words.

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  66. Re: And now, on Slashdot by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    Sibiria would get warmer, all right, but that's not gonna solve another problem: It's also dry as a fart. To make that arable, you have to put water there somehow. What you might get is a hot desert instead of a cold desert, but arable isn't quite the term I have in mind when thinking of Sibiria, even if you increase the temperature.

    Europe should be doing ok, considering that most of its climate is warmth by the gulf stream which is most likely going to fizzle away when the climate changes, so it's gonna be warmer but at the same time the heating is going to be turned off, in total it's gonna be all right.

    I'd be wary of places like Florida, though. I guess America's Wang will be dipped into the sea and all the pensioners will have to buy house boats.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  67. Re:Good. I'm excited for a new continent to explor by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

    Birdshot. Literally.

    --
    Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  68. Re:Back to the Drawing Boards by ninjabus · · Score: 1

    That's what climate models are.

  69. blame game by eaglesrule · · Score: 1

    So the GOP is to blame for not acting like the opposition by rigging their primary, for not being in the pocket of one of the candidates themselves, and for not relying on superdelegates to shut down populist candidates. I suppose that's true.

    That 'incompetent twit' is going to get reelected because the left continues to act like petulant children. They've positioned themselves as being an existential threat towards the very nature of the country, of being bigoted and racist against whites and white males in particular, and condone violence and censorship to shut down political speech while at the same time demanding complete disarmament of lawful citizens.

    That's a lot of distraction in keeping the president from leaning towards better environmental policies.

  70. And proof of correlation? by Tjp($)pjT · · Score: 1

    While perhaps factual, there is no causality proven. This is like connecting the twin towers terrorist attack to Chicago weather that day and predicting when the 4 mph wind from the se dies out and the air pressure on the clear day drops to 30, with a morning temperature of 67 and rising, then large symmetric buildings in nyc will be attacked.

    When a friend explained tracking hurricanes to me, his job, he said there are 100s of variables correlated to estimate the track. Using just CO2 as a metric is ridiculous. You might as well be casting bones and reading the signs.

    And more fun, when Antarctica had trees, and Greenland was forested, the tropics were, well, tropical. If global warming were real, I’d worry more about what to do with a huge expanding agricultural belt, corn growing in the Canadian provinces and the wheat belt expanded to the Yukon. Meanwhile temps in the tropics won’t be rising to much. And since we aren’t geologically primed for equatorial deserts on a widespread basis, no worries there.

    However, we’re heading into a grand solar minimum. Much less solar output. Much colder climate headed our way. And we are cycling to where north america’s Summer is when the earth is farther from the sun. So i’m Expecting by 2055 the Thames will freeze over, and London will need snow removal equipment in abundance.

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    - Tjp

    I am in wallow with my inner money grubbing capitalistic pig. ... Oink!

  71. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  72. Re:Nope, absolute denial. by mapkinase · · Score: 1

    >Google for "Sahara expansion"

    Why Google? I have a KML loaded into Google Earth right in front of my eyes that shows stations like AGADEX, TAHOUA, TILLAVERY, DORY, BENOUftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/da...

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  73. Re:Then prove the causation false by Bryansix · · Score: 1

    I can't even trust the underlying data so that's a pretty big mountain to climb.

  74. Re:You need to learn about Switerland by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    Yeah, and?
    If Netherlands is below sea level, then Switzerland is too ...

    Oh the Irony :P

    Hint: Netherlands is not below sea level, a few small parts of it are ...

    --
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