Problems with models
on
Sim Epidemic
·
· Score: 5, Interesting
A friend of mine works with the WHO which has solicited many different people to do work like this for them. In light of all the terrorism talk and threats of bio-terrorism, we've had talks on this. Different universities etc. The problem with it is that no model is able to conform to historical records of various outbreaks well enough across the board to develop policy on. One model is highly based on an aids breakout of the 1980s or an asian flu epidemic, and the model fits well to it. But when the model is applied to different epidemics they don't work out. There are just so many factors differing by area, culture etc. Think close knit community vs big city. Also the way things are transmitted. You would have to have a different model for each scenario which is very difficult/costly. Until we can predict everything going into a situation these models aren't very useful.
Models working with more people is definitely a step forward, but just an improvement.
Aw man, so you've got this wimpy server that serves something you like and you decided to post it to slashdot knowing it'll go down and just taunt all us who may wish to use it.
Makes me want to use my best shatner voice and shout "Khaaaan!"
IBM just decided they wanted a new measurement system, the number at end of a human hair, or naeoahh. Everyone just needs to get used to this, much as our loc data size measurement, number of volkswagons for volume, and football feilds for length. We now have naeohh for density.
Are these really better suited for the big screen than a real live actor? Granted I know nothing of the story, so I don't know if it would be impossible for a live person to do the role or not, but once hollywood starts seeing that they can just conjour up an actor via computers for a probubly fraction of the cost will we start seeing a decrease in real actors in films? Reminds me of the TV reality craze that networks love because it's all normal people and they don't have to pay any professional actors. Maybe I'm just rambling, but what do you people think?
I've been looking forward to this game for quite a while, even been playing through GT3 again to prep for the new one. Just too bad it comes out on the tuesday of Penn State's Finals week... that reving engine sound you hear is the preping of my prof/TA's gas powered red pens...
I'm confused, such a great story but what lame old joke do I use?
I for one welcome our new robot shotgun bearing overlords? In Soviet Russia, robot shoots you? Something about Sara Conners? All your base are belong to them?
Oh well, I'm sure someone will choose the right one and get the +5 funny
Installed it on my tibook. Don't see any problems, no major differences. Haven't heard of any other problems from any of the major sources. Don't see why you shouldn't get it.
But updates to calculator? It's a calculator, shouldn't they have at least this program perfect by now?
The thing is, if you're sitting at your computer, the 'computer speakers' are designed for the listener to be much closer to the actual speakers. For music when you're farther away, yeah the standard stereo will sound better in a room for music when you're around in the room, when you're at your computer playing a game, or whatever, the close field of the computer speakers can sound better, and the huge stereos can be overkill.
The main problem is that most computer speakers are made on the cheap, and no matter what will sound like crap. This doesn't mean that good speakers designed to be placed at your computer at close range can't be better. Basically, you buy a stereo to listen to music in a room. You buy computer speakers to listen to sound specifically right at your computer. People trying to replace one thing with another is where problems come in.
Well if you look at the page, what's sent over the wire is an image of the glyphs, kinda like the tex format to image converters. The server must read the code, translate it then convert the output into an image and shove it in the page where it should be before sending it out to the user. Really cool.
Doesn't seem like a huge innovation, but it's a great thing for the intuit people. The large advances for people seem to be taking something that's developed and applying it in a new way. Good work.
Sure it won't be the other way around? Bush has had how many years to hunt down one man and has failed? He led us into war with a country that was not involved with 9/11 under the guise that a) wmd's and b) most people at the time of our invasion were led to believe that iraq was highly involved in the initial attack (so they didn't come out and say it, they were counting on the ignorance of the american public) instead of focusing on getting bin laden and all his minions.
why won't voters see this and say: hey bush had his chance and now has been proven to have failed in getting the guy that was the largest threat against america?
With its neverending quest to be able to search everything and anything, perhaphs you'll be able to search the surface of the earth for things in the future through google. Like mapquest but without needing an address, just a starting location then a google search for something as the destination. Come to think of it, that could be pretty cool. What else could they use this for? It can't just be another revenue stream for google can it?
Yeah, I'd like to think that, but I'd like to know how many people out there are like that, just would be interesting to find out. We know the average voter is pretty stupid ( the recent UMD survey for example and others the same with the other side) if someone spoofed a lot of polls, and it got well known how many people would that sway?
I've been following along the election with www.electoral-vote.com, and while it's good to have predictors, I wonder how much impact these have on the outcome, do sites like this have a detremental effect on the election by creating a self fulfilling prophecy? Have there been studies on this effect, say a voter sees that bush has a 72%chance of winning, and decides that the country can't be wrong and goes along with it.
Anyway, I like electoral-vote's way of going about it better, shouwing actual state polls and the number of electorial votes each candidate has rather than a straight up prediction of the outcome in a percentage. Lets you see how close the race is as far as votes and what your effect based on your state can be, it's a lot more empowering when you see your state is very close and has a lot of electorial votes, and how close the candidates are.
Come on guys, not everyone has raid with two fast drives, last I'd checked a lot of consumer pcs still ship with 5400 drives. This bottleneck may indeed be a problem with burning 16x dvds on the average system.
Yes, although very slowly. Friend of mine just bought a 4 port usb2 card for $9, so I can't see anybody not having it unless you don't have the expansion space. (yes it was the full or high speed whatever it is, the fast one.)
The way I see it, the best thing for the industry to do is make the fuel cell be in the same form factor of a normal battery, that way for like around the house or office you use a standard rechargable battery. If you want to get on a 8 hour flight and or goto a coffee shop for a couple hours or whatever, something that you need more time than the average charge you bust out your long lasting fuel cell.
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A friend of mine works with the WHO which has solicited many different people to do work like this for them. In light of all the terrorism talk and threats of bio-terrorism, we've had talks on this. Different universities etc. The problem with it is that no model is able to conform to historical records of various outbreaks well enough across the board to develop policy on. One model is highly based on an aids breakout of the 1980s or an asian flu epidemic, and the model fits well to it. But when the model is applied to different epidemics they don't work out. There are just so many factors differing by area, culture etc. Think close knit community vs big city. Also the way things are transmitted. You would have to have a different model for each scenario which is very difficult/costly. Until we can predict everything going into a situation these models aren't very useful.
Models working with more people is definitely a step forward, but just an improvement.
There's I've and I'm in there =)
Engineers have 10 fingers while mathematicians only have 2.718...
Aw man, so you've got this wimpy server that serves something you like and you decided to post it to slashdot knowing it'll go down and just taunt all us who may wish to use it.
Makes me want to use my best shatner voice and shout "Khaaaan!"
Why would you buy the internet access on the plane to get the live tv on your laptop if you don't in fact have a laptop?
IBM just decided they wanted a new measurement system, the number at end of a human hair, or naeoahh. Everyone just needs to get used to this, much as our loc data size measurement, number of volkswagons for volume, and football feilds for length. We now have naeohh for density.
Are these really better suited for the big screen than a real live actor? Granted I know nothing of the story, so I don't know if it would be impossible for a live person to do the role or not, but once hollywood starts seeing that they can just conjour up an actor via computers for a probubly fraction of the cost will we start seeing a decrease in real actors in films? Reminds me of the TV reality craze that networks love because it's all normal people and they don't have to pay any professional actors. Maybe I'm just rambling, but what do you people think?
Nature apparently agrees with Sir Mix-A-lot
I've been looking forward to this game for quite a while, even been playing through GT3 again to prep for the new one. Just too bad it comes out on the tuesday of Penn State's Finals week... that reving engine sound you hear is the preping of my prof/TA's gas powered red pens...
But for the rest of us a link to the actual groklaw story and it's analysis is more helpful. Legalease is too much for me.
I'm confused, such a great story but what lame old joke do I use?
I for one welcome our new robot shotgun bearing overlords?
In Soviet Russia, robot shoots you?
Something about Sara Conners?
All your base are belong to them?
Oh well, I'm sure someone will choose the right one and get the +5 funny
Installed it on my tibook. Don't see any problems, no major differences. Haven't heard of any other problems from any of the major sources. Don't see why you shouldn't get it.
But updates to calculator? It's a calculator, shouldn't they have at least this program perfect by now?
I played the game for quite a while, and ewoks still kicked my ass. Now jawas on the other hand...
The thing is, if you're sitting at your computer, the 'computer speakers' are designed for the listener to be much closer to the actual speakers. For music when you're farther away, yeah the standard stereo will sound better in a room for music when you're around in the room, when you're at your computer playing a game, or whatever, the close field of the computer speakers can sound better, and the huge stereos can be overkill.
The main problem is that most computer speakers are made on the cheap, and no matter what will sound like crap. This doesn't mean that good speakers designed to be placed at your computer at close range can't be better. Basically, you buy a stereo to listen to music in a room. You buy computer speakers to listen to sound specifically right at your computer. People trying to replace one thing with another is where problems come in.
Well if you look at the page, what's sent over the wire is an image of the glyphs, kinda like the tex format to image converters. The server must read the code, translate it then convert the output into an image and shove it in the page where it should be before sending it out to the user. Really cool.
Doesn't seem like a huge innovation, but it's a great thing for the intuit people. The large advances for people seem to be taking something that's developed and applying it in a new way. Good work.
Sure it won't be the other way around? Bush has had how many years to hunt down one man and has failed? He led us into war with a country that was not involved with 9/11 under the guise that a) wmd's and b) most people at the time of our invasion were led to believe that iraq was highly involved in the initial attack (so they didn't come out and say it, they were counting on the ignorance of the american public) instead of focusing on getting bin laden and all his minions.
why won't voters see this and say: hey bush had his chance and now has been proven to have failed in getting the guy that was the largest threat against america?
With its neverending quest to be able to search everything and anything, perhaphs you'll be able to search the surface of the earth for things in the future through google. Like mapquest but without needing an address, just a starting location then a google search for something as the destination. Come to think of it, that could be pretty cool. What else could they use this for? It can't just be another revenue stream for google can it?
Yeah, I'd like to think that, but I'd like to know how many people out there are like that, just would be interesting to find out. We know the average voter is pretty stupid ( the recent UMD survey for example and others the same with the other side) if someone spoofed a lot of polls, and it got well known how many people would that sway?
I've been following along the election with www.electoral-vote.com, and while it's good to have predictors, I wonder how much impact these have on the outcome, do sites like this have a detremental effect on the election by creating a self fulfilling prophecy? Have there been studies on this effect, say a voter sees that bush has a 72%chance of winning, and decides that the country can't be wrong and goes along with it.
Anyway, I like electoral-vote's way of going about it better, shouwing actual state polls and the number of electorial votes each candidate has rather than a straight up prediction of the outcome in a percentage. Lets you see how close the race is as far as votes and what your effect based on your state can be, it's a lot more empowering when you see your state is very close and has a lot of electorial votes, and how close the candidates are.
High performance, laptop, cheap. Choose any two.
Just be glad I'm not running it, to me that's not a problem, that's a bonus!
Come on guys, not everyone has raid with two fast drives, last I'd checked a lot of consumer pcs still ship with 5400 drives. This bottleneck may indeed be a problem with burning 16x dvds on the average system.
Yes, although very slowly. Friend of mine just bought a 4 port usb2 card for $9, so I can't see anybody not having it unless you don't have the expansion space. (yes it was the full or high speed whatever it is, the fast one.)
Umm yeah, lets start with www.cdbaby.com all independednt artists, lets not forget they've signed up with ITMS as well.
The way I see it, the best thing for the industry to do is make the fuel cell be in the same form factor of a normal battery, that way for like around the house or office you use a standard rechargable battery. If you want to get on a 8 hour flight and or goto a coffee shop for a couple hours or whatever, something that you need more time than the average charge you bust out your long lasting fuel cell.