"The fox is building a beautiful hen house to protect American hens! Believe me, the fox knows protection better than the wealthiest lock-smith. And the cows will pay for it! Make hen-houses secure again!"
You don't get an industry that's healthy by shielding it from competition. All you get from erecting barriers to competition is lazy, complacent industries that offer no benefit.
Having the middle class decline into poverty can also cause revolutions.
Our trade imbalance arguably led to Trump being elected, which is arguably a mini-revolution in that traditional candidates were rejected. Many swing states happened to be in the rust-belt, which has been hit hardest by lopsided trade. Factories moved out en mass. The anger over loss of factory jobs is a big factor in T's election. Had the USA been more protectionist, the rust belt may not have rusted nearly as much.
Perhaps stuff would be more expensive for consumers, but that doesn't tick people off nearly as much as job loss. "More jobs!" is a much more common campaign promise the world over than "cheaper shit!" (outside of houses, food, and medical care, which trade affects much less anyhow.)
Analysts (aka 'data scientists') feel pressured to exaggerate their own [AI-ish] capabilities
Unfortunately, I have to say, "go for it!". Because you are competing in the marketplace with exaggerators, if you want the prizes, you have to play the game. Don't outright lie, just take advantage of fuzzy definitions.
For example, I can claim I once did "AI programming" because I made script that did something similar to sorting in-coming email messages to auto-distribute them to the proper department. It parsed out each word and ran each one through a word-probability table with a (simplified) schema that resembled: WordCategories (table) ----- WORD......CATEGORY....RANK nigerian..spam...........9 offer.....spam...........3 offer.....contracts......2// word can be in multiple categories problem...customer-srvc..5 broken....customer-srvc..7 due.......billing........4 invoice...billing........6 court.....legal..........5
The message would be routed to the department (category) with the highest total score (sum of ranks). If the score were low overall, it would get routed to general customer service or a receptionist to manually inspect it.
Pretty basic, but it can still fall under the general category of "AI".
The theory assumes proverbial spherical cows. You ignored my war scenario, for one. Going back to the Venezuela example, just because oil is currently your country's Comparative Advantage at a given point in time does not mean it will stay that way. If the bottom falls out of oil, your population starves. There's also the risk of financial bubbles due to uneven exchanges caused by imbalance.
And, tariffs are NOT the end-goal; but rather balance. Tariffs are an encouragement tool. Countries like China may loosen up imports or business regulation that previously made things hard on other countries' businesses. Right now it's too difficult to micromanage the barriers they put up. General tariffs would encourage them to loosen barriers on their own without an army of lawyers needed to sue away each and every barrier.
or "buzzword chasing". I've seen it many times since the beginning of my career. When relational databases became The Thing in the mid 1980's, every database product made just enough tweeks to call their database "relational", even though the implementation was either questionably relational, and/or done poorly.
When GUI's were The Thing when Windows 3.1 came out, every product tried to shoehorn their app into a GUI. Often they bundled it with the DOS version so that when customers found out the hard way the GUI version was dodgy or immature, they'd install and use the DOS version. Their phone support people echoed, "try installing the DOS version, you may like it better" hundreds of times a day.
I was just reading about the early years of Oracle corporation. They bragged their database ran on a dozen or so computer brands (AKA "cross-platform"). In practice, it didn't work very well on most those listed on the brochure because they didn't bother fixing the platform-specific bugs for low-sales platforms. So, in practice, Oracle really ran on just a handful of computer brands.
Jamming dodgy AI into products to call them "AI based" seems to be the same ol' game.
Large trade imbalances are a problem; not just for jobs, but because the financial imbalances it causes, and a host of other risks. For example, if we gut our manufacturing base, we could have insufficient manufacturing facilities during an extended war. Venezuela's problems have a Yuuuge lesson: don't put all your economic eggs in one basket. Variety is a backup system, even if it causes short-term inefficiencies.
BUT, Trump is doing it wrong; or at least not in a coordinated way.
An imbalance penalty tariff should be applied to trade with a level based on the imbalance amount: the bigger the imbalance, the bigger the penalty. We'd have to tell the WTO to shove it, though; or get them to change the rules.
However, the penalty shouldn't suddenly be applied in full, but gradually ramped up to give the country and companies time to adjust. We don't want to shock the system. Trump doesn't have the patience for gradual ramp-ups; and the full effect may outlast a presidential term even. It would have to be a coordinated political effort.
I've used both Android and iPhone, and I found the iPhone just "cleaner" and more straight-forward. Apple controls the user experience carefully, and refuses most junk and clutter.
It may not be that Android is "bad" per se, but various phone vendors either don't give enough thought to a clean UI, and/or put junkware and play games to get you to buy their crap. It's more wild-west in flavor. On the upside, Android may have more potential options and shortcuts if you fiddle and dig enough.
It's much like the old Mac vs. Windows debate: Mac is easier to "just use" out of the box, while Windows is less expensive and has more potential software, but needs more babysitting of the machine to do it and keep running, and UI design that sometimes makes you cringe. Google is the new Microsoft, for good or bad.
"Profits are so 90's, believe me. Losing is winning, and I win by losing bigly! I know more about losing than losers you never hear about. Ya never hear about em', right? They lose wrong, so sad. But everyone knows ME because I do the best losing, beautiful losing!"
the mortgage thing was a problem because the banks loaned more than the houses were worth and thus could not get their money back.
They were "worth" sufficient during the bubble, but it was of course a bubble.
Similarly, if the financial worth of college education dropped across the board due to recession, outsourcing, automation/AI, fraud, or a combo, the bottom could fall out on college loan repayments.
Were are a relatively small shop, and those devs with influence convinced management to switch to what seems the entire Microsoft stack, with service layers on top of service layers, and other middle-man gizmos. It's as if they get points for every service and service layer on the MS brochure they use. Pokesoft: gotta install em all! If you add a new column to a table, you have to update something like 17 spots. Dagwood wouldn't even eat this thing.
They are kicking KISS/YAGNI right in the balls. Either I don't get something, or they are trying to pad their resumes with enough gizmo experience to move on to Big Pay, leaving us suckers to babysit their bloated orphans.
Student loans need better regulation before we have the equivalent of the mortgage meltdown for education loans.
The mortgage bubble nearly threw us into Great Depression 2.0. (Yes, I do credit Obama for saving us. GOP's "recovery" plan was too close to Hoover's for comfort.)
If the meat is from a horse, then it's a "horseburger" and not a hamburger, correct? But then it's overloaded with pigburger (hamburger). Or is it named after a town in Germany? Doesn't matter if it tastes good.
Microsoft UI's always sucked. But, over time people got used to them and found work-arounds and short-cuts. As long as MS doesn't change them and fixes clear-cut flaws, people will just grow accustomed to the current Windows and stop complaining.
For example, MS-Office tool-bars always seemed arbitrary to me, but I got used them out of shear rote...UNTIL the "ribbon" versions came and shuffled everything into different arbitrary combos. Cussville. Some claim the ribbon is better, I don't see that*, but unless it's Yuuugely better, I'll value familiarity. Some of their changes seem logical, but many are probably marketing gimmicks or PHB's just inventing themselves a job.
It's a two-way deal with MS: don't move our cheese, and we'll stop bitchin'.
As far as the privacy issue, hopefully 3rd parties will start to sell blockers or scramblers for a decent price.
* I've been in rather long debates on the ribbon and doubt objective proof they are significantly better can be produced. It probably comes down to subjective opinions in UI design.
If that were the case, then right-leaning universities, such as Liberty and BYU should be seeing vast increases in attendance and demand. I see no evidence of a rush that way, do you? Therefore, it seems to be a general anti-learning bent.
Slashdot Mirror
"The fox is building a beautiful hen house to protect American hens! Believe me, the fox knows protection better than the wealthiest lock-smith. And the cows will pay for it! Make hen-houses secure again!"
That's ridiculous, they can't just suddenly pull the
You mean like what our competitors are doing?
Our trade imbalance arguably led to Trump being elected, which is arguably a mini-revolution in that traditional candidates were rejected. Many swing states happened to be in the rust-belt, which has been hit hardest by lopsided trade. Factories moved out en mass. The anger over loss of factory jobs is a big factor in T's election. Had the USA been more protectionist, the rust belt may not have rusted nearly as much.
Perhaps stuff would be more expensive for consumers, but that doesn't tick people off nearly as much as job loss. "More jobs!" is a much more common campaign promise the world over than "cheaper shit!" (outside of houses, food, and medical care, which trade affects much less anyhow.)
Unfortunately, I have to say, "go for it!". Because you are competing in the marketplace with exaggerators, if you want the prizes, you have to play the game. Don't outright lie, just take advantage of fuzzy definitions.
For example, I can claim I once did "AI programming" because I made script that did something similar to sorting in-coming email messages to auto-distribute them to the proper department. It parsed out each word and ran each one through a word-probability table with a (simplified) schema that resembled:
// word can be in multiple categories
WordCategories (table)
-----
WORD......CATEGORY....RANK
nigerian..spam...........9
offer.....spam...........3
offer.....contracts......2
problem...customer-srvc..5
broken....customer-srvc..7
due.......billing........4
invoice...billing........6
court.....legal..........5
The message would be routed to the department (category) with the highest total score (sum of ranks). If the score were low overall, it would get routed to general customer service or a receptionist to manually inspect it.
Pretty basic, but it can still fall under the general category of "AI".
The theory assumes proverbial spherical cows. You ignored my war scenario, for one. Going back to the Venezuela example, just because oil is currently your country's Comparative Advantage at a given point in time does not mean it will stay that way. If the bottom falls out of oil, your population starves. There's also the risk of financial bubbles due to uneven exchanges caused by imbalance.
And, tariffs are NOT the end-goal; but rather balance. Tariffs are an encouragement tool. Countries like China may loosen up imports or business regulation that previously made things hard on other countries' businesses. Right now it's too difficult to micromanage the barriers they put up. General tariffs would encourage them to loosen barriers on their own without an army of lawyers needed to sue away each and every barrier.
or "buzzword chasing". I've seen it many times since the beginning of my career. When relational databases became The Thing in the mid 1980's, every database product made just enough tweeks to call their database "relational", even though the implementation was either questionably relational, and/or done poorly.
When GUI's were The Thing when Windows 3.1 came out, every product tried to shoehorn their app into a GUI. Often they bundled it with the DOS version so that when customers found out the hard way the GUI version was dodgy or immature, they'd install and use the DOS version. Their phone support people echoed, "try installing the DOS version, you may like it better" hundreds of times a day.
I was just reading about the early years of Oracle corporation. They bragged their database ran on a dozen or so computer brands (AKA "cross-platform"). In practice, it didn't work very well on most those listed on the brochure because they didn't bother fixing the platform-specific bugs for low-sales platforms. So, in practice, Oracle really ran on just a handful of computer brands.
Jamming dodgy AI into products to call them "AI based" seems to be the same ol' game.
Large trade imbalances are a problem; not just for jobs, but because the financial imbalances it causes, and a host of other risks. For example, if we gut our manufacturing base, we could have insufficient manufacturing facilities during an extended war. Venezuela's problems have a Yuuuge lesson: don't put all your economic eggs in one basket. Variety is a backup system, even if it causes short-term inefficiencies.
BUT, Trump is doing it wrong; or at least not in a coordinated way.
An imbalance penalty tariff should be applied to trade with a level based on the imbalance amount: the bigger the imbalance, the bigger the penalty. We'd have to tell the WTO to shove it, though; or get them to change the rules.
However, the penalty shouldn't suddenly be applied in full, but gradually ramped up to give the country and companies time to adjust. We don't want to shock the system. Trump doesn't have the patience for gradual ramp-ups; and the full effect may outlast a presidential term even. It would have to be a coordinated political effort.
I've used both Android and iPhone, and I found the iPhone just "cleaner" and more straight-forward. Apple controls the user experience carefully, and refuses most junk and clutter.
It may not be that Android is "bad" per se, but various phone vendors either don't give enough thought to a clean UI, and/or put junkware and play games to get you to buy their crap. It's more wild-west in flavor. On the upside, Android may have more potential options and shortcuts if you fiddle and dig enough.
It's much like the old Mac vs. Windows debate: Mac is easier to "just use" out of the box, while Windows is less expensive and has more potential software, but needs more babysitting of the machine to do it and keep running, and UI design that sometimes makes you cringe. Google is the new Microsoft, for good or bad.
"Profits are so 90's, believe me. Losing is winning, and I win by losing bigly! I know more about losing than losers you never hear about. Ya never hear about em', right? They lose wrong, so sad. But everyone knows ME because I do the best losing, beautiful losing!"
They were "worth" sufficient during the bubble, but it was of course a bubble.
Similarly, if the financial worth of college education dropped across the board due to recession, outsourcing, automation/AI, fraud, or a combo, the bottom could fall out on college loan repayments.
Were are a relatively small shop, and those devs with influence convinced management to switch to what seems the entire Microsoft stack, with service layers on top of service layers, and other middle-man gizmos. It's as if they get points for every service and service layer on the MS brochure they use. Pokesoft: gotta install em all! If you add a new column to a table, you have to update something like 17 spots. Dagwood wouldn't even eat this thing.
They are kicking KISS/YAGNI right in the balls. Either I don't get something, or they are trying to pad their resumes with enough gizmo experience to move on to Big Pay, leaving us suckers to babysit their bloated orphans.
Student loans need better regulation before we have the equivalent of the mortgage meltdown for education loans.
The mortgage bubble nearly threw us into Great Depression 2.0. (Yes, I do credit Obama for saving us. GOP's "recovery" plan was too close to Hoover's for comfort.)
While riding it? That's like selling parts of a car while driving it. "Pssst, dude, roll down your window, I gotta great deal on a distributor..."
Are you referring to the size of the cow or the size of the customer?
If the meat is from a horse, then it's a "horseburger" and not a hamburger, correct? But then it's overloaded with pigburger (hamburger). Or is it named after a town in Germany? Doesn't matter if it tastes good.
test@NewInternetThingy.com
Yes, MySpace probably put holes on purpose, hoping hackers will place new content on it.
Microsoft UI's always sucked. But, over time people got used to them and found work-arounds and short-cuts. As long as MS doesn't change them and fixes clear-cut flaws, people will just grow accustomed to the current Windows and stop complaining.
For example, MS-Office tool-bars always seemed arbitrary to me, but I got used them out of shear rote...UNTIL the "ribbon" versions came and shuffled everything into different arbitrary combos. Cussville. Some claim the ribbon is better, I don't see that*, but unless it's Yuuugely better, I'll value familiarity. Some of their changes seem logical, but many are probably marketing gimmicks or PHB's just inventing themselves a job.
It's a two-way deal with MS: don't move our cheese, and we'll stop bitchin'.
As far as the privacy issue, hopefully 3rd parties will start to sell blockers or scramblers for a decent price.
* I've been in rather long debates on the ribbon and doubt objective proof they are significantly better can be produced. It probably comes down to subjective opinions in UI design.
You have to add a negative sign to everything down under because it's upside down.
Most EULA's ask you to do business with a sewer.
Are you saying there's no middle-ground schools?
If that were the case, then right-leaning universities, such as Liberty and BYU should be seeing vast increases in attendance and demand. I see no evidence of a rush that way, do you? Therefore, it seems to be a general anti-learning bent.
I expect another music/streaming service will buy them out.
Tech Crash in Seven Days For Head-First Dummies in a Nutshell Super-Bible Unleashed.