Domain: ornl.gov
Stories and comments across the archive that link to ornl.gov.
Comments · 647
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Re:Anticlima(c)tic Rush to Judgment (Day)
human output of CO2 is the cause, when it's about 1% of natural output
Only when you ignore the absorption side of the natural carbon cycle.
Humanity's 2004 CO2 emissions: 7.9
Oceanic CO2 outgassing: ~90
Terrestrial CO2 outgassing: ~120
(gigatons carbon - GtC)
Based solely on those numbers: 7.9 / 210 ~= 3.8%
Yes - insignificant. However...
Oceanic CO2 absorption: 92
Terrestrial CO2 absorption: 121.3
(GtC)
The oceans and land surface are net CO2 sinks. Since 1751 roughly 315 billion tons of carbon have been released to the atmosphere from the consumption of fossil fuels and cement production. Half of these emissions have occurred since the mid 1970s.
http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Library/CarbonCycle/carbon_cycle4.html
http://cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/emis/tre_glob.htm -
Coal is radioactive
Coal appears to be worse than nuclear
According to http://www.ornl.gov/info/ornlreview/rev26-34/text/colmain.html
"For comparison, according to NCRP Reports No. 92 and No. 95, population exposure from operation of 1000-MWe nuclear and coal-fired power plants amounts to 490 person-rem/year for coal plants and 4.8 person-rem/year for nuclear plants. Thus, the population effective dose equivalent from coal plants is 100 times that from nuclear plants. For the complete nuclear fuel cycle, from mining to reactor operation to waste disposal, the radiation dose is cited as 136 person-rem/year; the equivalent dose for coal use, from mining to power plant operation to waste disposal, is not listed in this report and is probably unknown." -
Perhaps Nickel Vapour
If the meteorite was of Iron/Nickel composition there's a good chance a fair amount of nickel was boiled off and carried into the area, possibly some produced by the head of the impact and blast.
Please see: Toxicity Summary for NICKEL AND NICKEL COMPOUNDS
Acute inhalation exposure of humans to nickel may produce headache, nausea, respiratory disorders, and death (Goyer 1991, Rendall et al. 1994).
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Re:If the ice melts and there's nobody on the beac
It's the unprecedented rate of change that is "unatural" and a "clear and present danger".
False. Please check the Vostok data. Going all the way back to 400,000 years ago, the time resolution is about 500 years. No one can tell you what happened on the 50 year scale this long ago, and thus no one can say how quickly temperature fluctuated on this time scale back then. In fact, if you check the data, you will see that it only has data on the 50 year time scale going back about 5000 years. And on the 40 year time scale going back a mere 2000 years. Therefore we cannot say what precedent was set any farther back than this. (Notice how in a plot of this data, the short timescale fluctuations in temperature increase substantially as you get closer to the present. This is due to this resolution time scale.)
Now, if you look for examples of large change within this time frame, you can see a few. For example, from 397 to 552, 155 years, it changed 2.94C. From 397 to 420, 23 years, it changed 1C. From 2291 to 2331, 40 years, it changed 2.14C. But you can't look much farther than that, because ice core data smooths out all of the long timescale changes as you go farther back.
Any way you look at it, calling a 2C change over the next 50 years unprecedented is complete crap. (I mean no offense by this. You were probably just repeating what someone else told you, since there's a lot of propaganda flying around on this topic. But now hopefully you will correct people in the other direction in the future when this topic comes up.) -
Re:How "scaled up" is this?but right now we're generating power using f'ing COAL.
It's worse, much worse. Burning coal releases copious quantities of radioactive isotopes into the air.
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Re:Old reactors
Building a *safe* nuclear plant is expensive
And since regulations require safe nuclear power plants, building *a* nuclear power plant is expensive.
The "economic" calculations do not factor the long term storage of Nuclear waste
Long-term storage of nuclear waste is not due to a lack of funding. A kilogram of *unenriched* uranium (like you'd burn in a CANDU) produces something like 10 million kWh of electricity (i.e., several hundred thousand dollars of income). For just a single kilogram. The funding is there. The reason for a lack of long-term storage of nuclear waste is due to NIMBYism and NIMBYism alone. Nobody wants a repository in their backyard.
the decommisioning of exising plants
This is one of the main "subsidies" in existence currently that the hope is will be able to be phased out.
or the poorly researched medical consequences of long term exposure to the elements that Nuclear plants vent (Noble gasses that decay into deadlier elements) as standard operating proceedure
In normal operation, a nuclear reactor releases less radioactivity, *including* releases from mining and processing, than burning coal. And we're talking only about *radioactive elements* here, which are not the prime threat from a coal power plant. Here's a guide to how much radiation you're exposed to by various sources.
Additionally alot of greenhouse gasses (as yet unfactored costs) are produced from mining the ore to refining the fuel.
What, you think they get fuel for free? Come on. You better believe it's factored into operating costs. The thing is that you need so darn little of the stuff that the marginal operating costs on a nuclear power plant are very low compared to fossil plants. A kilogram of coal will run a hundred watt lightbulb for 4 days or so. A kilogram of *unenriched* uranium, 200 years.
Carbon dioxide output used to power the enrichment process, CFC 114 (20000 times more potent than c02 as a greenhouse gas) and Uranium hexafluoride [wikipedia.org].
Yes, uranium processing is dirty (although they don't *vent* hex or CFC 114 in any significant quantities -- and CFC-114 is not universal, and is being phased out, just like other industrial CFCs, while hex is what they want to process (venting it would be wasting money)). No, it's not anywhere even remotely approaching as dirty as coal mining, nor anywhere remotely approaching as bad for the environment as coal usage.
Reflecting the true cost of of a well engineered plant and the cost of doing business even when subsidised by government. If nuclear power is so good, why should it need massive subsidies
I just explained why; go back and read my earlier post. Nobody wants to deal with the nightmare having a project that you can be sinking money into for decades only then to have a regulator say, "We've decided not to grant you an operating license". It was a regulatory nightmare. Not the safety regulations, which were quite reasonable -- the licensing procedure was the primary problem.
If you want to see how nuclear has become more economical even *ignoring* new designs, go back and look at the history of power generation in the US. Despite no new construction of nuclear power plants, nuclear has been holding steady as a percentage of US energy production. How? Improved efficiency of operation. In the 1970s, nuclear power plants spent nearly half their time as downtime -- very different from the present day. This extra power is nearly pure profit. Some modern reactors, like the CANDU, now are designed to have *no* downtime -- they can be refuelled while the reactor is running. It's a whole different ballgame. Combining this with the new regulatory environment, and the fact that now *coal* and other fossil fuels are an insurance liability (due t -
Re:They avoid mentioning Global Warming...
The drought in the southeastern US has not yet been conclusively linked to global warming.
Neither has Katrina. That doesn't take away that those "global heating alarmists" the US government declared to be wrong had been predicting for years that more and stronger hurricanes would be one of the results of global heating....is overloading the capacity of the river system as it is by over reliance on nuclear power so that it is increasing costs for rate payers.
Wrong, times two.
One: nuclear plants don't cause more thermal pollution per megawatt than classic power plants do (with the exception of combined cycle natural gas plants -- which I wouldn't call traditional because they're relatively new). If they do cause more (local) thermal pollution, it's because their output is higher.
Two: nuclear energy is cheaper than that produced by traditional power plants. Having to replace it by other-source energy now is at least as important a part of the reason for the increase in cost as having to go buy it somewhere else.
BTW, some trivia. Did you know that because of the natural presence of uranium and thorium in coal, coal plants are releasing more radioactive material into the environment than nuclear plants? The world's coal plants currently release about 12000 tons of thorium and 5000 tons of uranium into the air, per year. The US are good for a quarter of that (source here). -
Re:feasible
will doubtfully be more than about 80% efficient (electrically).
actually I was just looking into HeatPumpWater heaters, according to a couple articles I read, the efficiency is stated as 1.4 (IE you get 40% more heating of the water than pure electric power into)Compare to direct solar heating, where damn near 100%
actually Google search tells me even with solar concentrators, your efficiency would be closer to 60% in direct to water.
so a 40% efficient solar panel, into Heat pump EF of 1.4 would be a net of 56% efficient conversion, very close.
That heatPump extra 40% comes from having a warm ambient, so you get some free AC cooling their as well if desired. For some reason the HWHP systems are all air based heat pumps, I would think for maximum temperature and efficiency, I would want a hybrid, IE a closed loop solar water heater feeding into a heat pump heat exchanger, then to your hot water system. This would likely increase the efficiency's of both the systems above, since the incoming water temperature is cooler, the solar water heater is more efficient, since the Heat pump in is warmer, the HP is more efficient...
Also this would allows you to use antifreeze, and anti-corrosion chemicals in the Solar water heater as well, so you don't have issues with water freezing in winter, and with constant air bubbles into a open water heat exchanger, increasing corrosion rates, or hard water deposits, etc, etc. -
Coal and Nuclear
It got more bizzare with the bit about burning nuclear fuel - a bit of a hint there that coal is more radioactive than nuclear fuel perhaps or is it an even more bizzare fantasy?
Coal, unfortunately, is heavily laden with radioactive isotopes (as are many things that have to be mined). The effective dose of radiation from a 1000 MW coal plant is 30 times higher than that from a 1000 MW nuclear plant ... and they release 5 times more uranium in their ash (which goes into the air that we ... you know, breathe) than a comparable nuclear plant produces in convenient little barrels... as well as hundreds of times more thorium. Incidentally, both of those elements are highly toxic, and their toxicity is actually much more of a danger than their radioactivity when it's in our air.If nuclear plants simply INCINERATED their waste, they would be WAY ahead of even the cleanest coal plants as far as radiation and toxic emissions are concerned. And of course, that's not even getting INTO the mercury that coal plants spew out. Naturally, no one intends to incinerate nuclear waste; the point is simply that nuclear waste is a concern only to stupid people with too much free time and too little common sense.
Here's a reference that you might find helpful (including a very good list of further sources).
http://www.ornl.gov/info/ornlreview/rev26-34/text
/ colmain.htmlCommercial nuclear power is unfortuantely still stuck in the 1950s
All kinds of new power cycles are being researched all the time. Third generation reactors are online in a number of countries. France already gets over 75% of its power from nuclear plants, and reprocesses 30% of the waste (making them the most energy-independent of all western nations). Japan gets 30% of its electricity from nuclear power, and has advanced reactor designs in place and more under construction.Of course, there have been setbacks, and there will inevitably be more of them. But I'd like to think that we're not so cowardly and meek as a species that a few setbacks will stop us from exploring such a promising set of technologies.
...perhaps accelerate thorium...
You're preaching to the choir on that one. World thorium reserves are vast -- even more so than uranium, which is quite abundant itself. Of course, with reprocessing and the technology to implement a variety of fuel cycles, we can happily use both, breed fuel from unenriched materials (like all that depleted uranium that the US has sitting around), reuse the waste until there's nothing left but harmless low-level stuff, etc.Wind and solar are nice, but there needs to be a stable backbone -- and nuclear offers that in spades. We've got enough nuclear technology RIGHT NOW to keep the lights on, and with the research happening right now we can make sure that the next generation of plants are so clean and safe that our grandchildren will wonder why we ever screwed around with fossil fuel plants at all. It would be nice if we could save the oil and coal for things that don't have alternatives yet, like making plastics. The petrochemical industry still doesn't have a whole lot of alternative feedstocks yet.
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Point number 1...
Your first point is exactly the response I was going to make, but luckily I found that you had already made it. The only thing I have to add to that point is a link.
As for your second point, in a perfect world I would agree. Unfortunately, reprocessing that spent fuel also makes it more usable for nuclear weapons, dirty bombs, etc. I'm not against reprocessing, but honesty requires one to acknowledge the downsides to reprocessing as well.
Your last point almost went without saying. Almost, except for the fact that it hadn't seemed to occur to him.
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Re:Age?Really? How old are you? I remember Rush Limbaugh, for one, making exactly those comments in the early 90's. To wit, he brought up these new satellite results that were able to measure the effect of the full moon on temperatures and then claimed that it was funny that with such sophisticated techniques they still weren't able to measure global warming. There were plenty of ditto-heads who took that statement and ran with it.
Rush Limbaugh is dead from the neck up. And he is not a scientist.
Neither are most other sceptics. As far as warming is concerned, yes there is definitely warming. The Earth has (generally) warmed since the trough of the Little Ice Age in the early 17th Century.
Yes. But more in the last 30 years than in the 300 before. If you're referring to modern warming, the satellite record shows warming from 1979, but only in the Northern Hemisphere. The SH has not warmed at all, which sort of makes a mockery of the notion of "Global Warming"
Nope. http://cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/temp/jonescru/graphic s/nhshgl.jpg. The guy you got that from probably isn't a scientist either. Why don't you do a little personal research on the Mann Hockey Stick? Try to go to sites that cover actual science and not just politics though, okay? Also avoid sites that admit to being junkscience.
I have. Check out Climate Audit and spend some time asking questions about it. Stay away from UnRealClimate because its viciously skewed and you never know when or what has been deleted.
IOW you refuse to do it. Instead you go to the site of a (former) mining executive who refuses to admit that the "hockey stick" also shows on all other reconstructions but his own - and the fact why it doesn't show up with him is also well known: he kept ignoring data-sets until he got the result he wanted. -
Re:As Fry Would say...
For instance, the main reasons for the favourable trend in Germany in the 90s are an effort to increase efficiency in power plants and the restructuring of the industry of the former DDR after reunification
s/restructuring/collapse.
Why do you think Europe was so keen to pick 1990 as the base year, and the USA/Canada are not so keen on it? Why do you think Russia signed on to Kyoto at all? The collapse of the communist economies led to emissions reductions, all right, giving Germany a big head start (their CO2 emissions reduced 16% from 1990-1995 as the former DDR's economy collapsed; their emissions have flat-lined since) and Russia a bunch of "hot air" credits that they could sell to the highest bidders (their emissions fell almost 30% in the early 90s and have also flat-lined since).
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Brazil?
Actually, if you look at the numbers http://cdiac.ornl.gov/ftp/trends/emissions/bra.da
t (not the abstract http://cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/emis/tre_bra.htm) Brazil is reducing its CO2 emissions. At a conference I attended last week http://mdsolar.blogspot.com/2007/05/juicing.html I found out more about why. Their renewable fuels program is really taking off. -
Brazil?
Actually, if you look at the numbers http://cdiac.ornl.gov/ftp/trends/emissions/bra.da
t (not the abstract http://cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/emis/tre_bra.htm) Brazil is reducing its CO2 emissions. At a conference I attended last week http://mdsolar.blogspot.com/2007/05/juicing.html I found out more about why. Their renewable fuels program is really taking off. -
Re:The Moon is a perfect place...
Stop trolling, troll. You know, people had setellites in space using misterious things called "SOLAR PANEL"s for their power production for a few decades now. And guess what? The EM flux from the sun didn't change, yet, global warming!
According to
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_dioxide
Earth's atmosphere contains about 3 trillion tons of CO2.
Now, let's get some real data about emission,
http://cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/emis/tre_glob.htm
In 2003, 7.303 billion tons of additional CO2 emitted from fossil fuels
See the nice graph they have,
http://cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/emis/graphics/cumulat ivedata.JPG
Now if they just add India and China accelerating consumption, we would see a huge spike at the end.
So, we are have an ADDITIONAL 7.3/3000 => 0.24% of CO2 by weight per year to the ecosystem.
Now, according to http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_dioxide_in_the _Earth's_atmosphere, ALL volcanoes release about,
130-230 MILLION tons of CO2.
So humanity is releasing, oh, 30-50 TIMES the amount of CO2 by volcanoes during the SAME AMOUNT OF TIME., well, back in 2003.
This also means that current natural system is balanced at volcanic emissions of CO2, not 50 times that, hence CO2 is rising and not being tanked.
Also, if 3000 billion tons of CO2 is 380ppm, then 7.3 (from fossil fuels in 2003) is only 1ppm.. So, that doesn't even account for the total increase of CO2 now hence the number is too low (additional release of CO2 from burning forests probably accounts for the rest, but who weights forests??). CO2 is going up at a current rate of 2 ppm per year and accelerating.
Anyway, what you say is bullshit as seen above. Volcanoes do not account for even a fraction of what is happening in CO2.
Just wait a little bit and "mother nature" will help us increase the CO2 rate much, much faster than even currently. When the Siberian and Canadian bogs defrost and warm up, the Atlantic (aka. Bermuda Triangle) and Black Sea releases their methane (it just needs to warm a little bit more), well, then we'll see global warming. CO2 will be over 1000ppm by end of the century and then, well, you or your kids may just see what happens then. -
Re:The Moon is a perfect place...
Stop trolling, troll. You know, people had setellites in space using misterious things called "SOLAR PANEL"s for their power production for a few decades now. And guess what? The EM flux from the sun didn't change, yet, global warming!
According to
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_dioxide
Earth's atmosphere contains about 3 trillion tons of CO2.
Now, let's get some real data about emission,
http://cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/emis/tre_glob.htm
In 2003, 7.303 billion tons of additional CO2 emitted from fossil fuels
See the nice graph they have,
http://cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/emis/graphics/cumulat ivedata.JPG
Now if they just add India and China accelerating consumption, we would see a huge spike at the end.
So, we are have an ADDITIONAL 7.3/3000 => 0.24% of CO2 by weight per year to the ecosystem.
Now, according to http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_dioxide_in_the _Earth's_atmosphere, ALL volcanoes release about,
130-230 MILLION tons of CO2.
So humanity is releasing, oh, 30-50 TIMES the amount of CO2 by volcanoes during the SAME AMOUNT OF TIME., well, back in 2003.
This also means that current natural system is balanced at volcanic emissions of CO2, not 50 times that, hence CO2 is rising and not being tanked.
Also, if 3000 billion tons of CO2 is 380ppm, then 7.3 (from fossil fuels in 2003) is only 1ppm.. So, that doesn't even account for the total increase of CO2 now hence the number is too low (additional release of CO2 from burning forests probably accounts for the rest, but who weights forests??). CO2 is going up at a current rate of 2 ppm per year and accelerating.
Anyway, what you say is bullshit as seen above. Volcanoes do not account for even a fraction of what is happening in CO2.
Just wait a little bit and "mother nature" will help us increase the CO2 rate much, much faster than even currently. When the Siberian and Canadian bogs defrost and warm up, the Atlantic (aka. Bermuda Triangle) and Black Sea releases their methane (it just needs to warm a little bit more), well, then we'll see global warming. CO2 will be over 1000ppm by end of the century and then, well, you or your kids may just see what happens then. -
Re:looks OK. one question bothers me...
It's fractional distillation and the heat is recovered from both the water and the ammonia. This is a good document on GAX Absorption Heat Pumps and the wikipedia Gas Absorption Refrigerator entry.
The step-by-step detail PDF outlines what is happening in the SHPEGS cycle along with the Flow Animation.
Ammonia/water is also not the only possible working pair, but it is commonly used in heat pumps and Industrial Heat Transformers and was used in the system to simplify explaining the concepts. A commercial absorption heat pump powered by a geothermal source with images and diagrams.
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Re:How to drive a hybrid
I can get 60MPG in city driving if I drive at a fixed 35-40MPH with no stops and use cruise control. The magic number in the Prius is 42MPH. Above this speed, the gasoline engine must run or one of the motors will spin too fast. At or below this speed, it can run pure electric. The other part is everything must be warmed up which usually takes 5 minutes or so according to the graph. Not only the engine has to warm up, but so does the transmission and electric motors (which have oil in them). A couple of very useful documents I found are http://www.osti.gov/bridge/servlets/purl/890029-W
I fqPO/890029.PDF and http://www.ornl.gov/~webworks/cppr/y2001/rpt/12258 6.pdf. These documents are great for geeks like me since they show detailed pictures and graphs of what's inside the hybrid system.
I think if Toyota put in more powerful motors, bigger batteries, and a more powerful engine they could actually improve milage further since the electric only system could run better at higher speeds and help more during acceleration. This is what Toyota is doing for the 2009 model, changing to Lithium Ion batteries, more powerful motors, and making it so you can plug it in as well.
I find it impressive how efficient the electric hybrid system is, with the inverter getting 95%+ efficiency and the motor also getting over 90% efficiency. Their simple CVT design also is fairly efficient as well.
I agree that the old EPA tests were severely flawed, though. Car manufacturers could by law not give any other numbers other than the EPA ones. -
Re:Give me a break...
I have one simple question about this whole 'Global Warming will kill us all and is the work of the devil' debate.
What's the right temperature?
Was it when we had sheets of ice covering 50% of the earth's surface? Was it when Vikings were setting up farming communities on Iceland?
The Vostok ice core seems to show a cyclical C02 level, with spikes at approximately 400 thousand years ago, 325 thousand years ago, 225 thousand years ago, 125 thousand years ago, and one that we're in the middle of. When compared with these time scales, looking at levels in times we can directly measure is as useless as picking a random 1 minute period to watch the stock market, and using that to predict market trends for the next 20 years. We cannot demonstrate that industry is causing this 'problem' because, not only do we have no direct readings from before industry, we don't actually know that there's a problem. This could easily be all natural.
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/icecore/antarctica/ vostok/vostok_data.html
http://cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/co2/graphics/vostok.c o2.gif -
Prius owner chiming in, braking not the big winner
I own a 2007 Prius. IMHO, you're correct about the regenerative braking not being the big money maker in the vehicle. It's the hybrid train switching off the engine when you're on the freeway on slight declines.
It's got a screen that shows your energy consumption, including the net gains from the regenerative braking, and I watch it fairly closely as I drive. If you're on a slight decline, the car gets around 75mpg with the gas engine providing minimal torque. The scale maxes at 100 when the engine shuts off, and that'll happen on the freeway sometimes too. Occasionally I can drive the thing on a non-flat road under 35mph it'll switch to all electric as well. On slight incline, it's about 20-25mpg, depending on if I'm trying to accelerate. A round trip averages out to around 50mpg, and that's what I'm seeing. My average is 52mpg.
As for the regenerative braking, the display will show you how much energy you net in a five minute period by a collection of little green "leaves". For every 50 watt-hours, you get a green leaf. Usually I net a half of one in a five minute period. That's not much at all. Best I've done is 4 I think, and I was coasting downhill a lot on that 5 minute segment.
So a really good five minute drive will net you three leaves, or about 150w/h. If we do the math on that, here's how that breaks down. (no pun intended)
A gasoline engine is about 20% efficient. A gallon of gas holds 115,000 BTUs, which is 33.69Kwh. A car will make use of about 20% of that, so a gallon of gasoline will provide you with 6.738Kwh, or 6378wh. Those three leaves add up to 2.35% of a gallon of gas. With gas at $3/gallon, those three leaves save you $3 * 2.35% = 7 cents.
Nope, not much money there. The big savings is when the thing coasts or nearly coasts on the freeway. That's why the smart-car idea that makes you coast a lot produces similar savings. No surprises there.
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Re:TFA seems to have a bias against CFL's
Let's do some math!
"For bituminous coal it is assumed that 16 pounds of mercury per trillion Btus is emitted; for anthracite coal, 18 pounds per trillion Btus (USEPA 1997a);"
www.epa.gov/nrmrl/pubs/600r02104/600r02104chap4.pd f
"1 BTU = 0.00029307107 kilowatt hour"
http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&client=firefox- a&channel=s&rls=org.mozilla%3Aen-US%3Aofficial&hs= ooc&q=BTU+to+kilowatt+hour&btnG=Search [google.com]
293,071,070 KWH per 16 pounds Hg, that makes 18,316,942 KWH per pound of HG,
that makes 40.3819444 KWH per milligram Hg released from coal-burning utilities in the US
So, one 15watt CF lasts 6000 hours, conservatively, and so compared to 60 watt incandescents, it saves 45 watts * 6000 hours = 270,000 watt hours or 270KWH of juice,
270 / (KWH per mg Hg released) = 6.6861565 miligrams of Hg not emitted to power the CF (as compared to an incandescent, and assuming that your power comes from coal)
This is 270 KWH generated (i.e. raw BTU content of coal), and Hg "emitted" (unsure if scrubbers and cleaned coal have been accounted for)
Assuming that coal to your light socket involves a 50% loss, then it's more like 500KWH saved, or 12 miligrams of Hg kept out of the environment.
"The mercury content of compact fluorescent bulbs varies between 2 and 15 mg per bulb, depending on the model."
http://www.productstewardship.net/productsMercuryF luorescentFAQ.html [productstewardship.net]
So, I'm not convinced that even if you just throw your CF in the trash that you have actually put more Hg into the environment than you've taken out. Of course, we should dispose of CF's responsibly (I'm sitting on a pile of about 6-7 dead bulbs).
And yeah, Steve Milloy is a troll.
More links:
According to
http://www.nei.org/doc.asp?catnum=2&catid=106 [nei.org]
it takes 1 pound of coal to generate 1 kilowatt hour
According to the DOE, one kilowatt hour from coal releases 2 lbs of CO2
www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricity/page/co2_report/ co2report.html
"according to Environmental Protection Agency figures released in 1984, average values of uranium and thorium content have been determined to be 1.3 ppm and 3.2 ppm"
http://www.ornl.gov/info/ornlreview/rev26-34/text/ colmain.html [ornl.gov]
"Approximately 75 tons of mercury are found in the coal delivered to power plants each year and about two thirds of this mercury is emitted to the air, resulting in about 50 tons being emitted annually" (which, in turn, is about one third of all domestic mercury emissions)
http://www.epa.gov/mercury/control_emissions/index .htm [epa.gov] -
CF = more or less Hg pollution?
Let's do some math!
"For bituminous coal it is assumed that 16 pounds of mercury per trillion Btus is emitted; for anthracite coal, 18 pounds per trillion Btus (USEPA 1997a);"
www.epa.gov/nrmrl/pubs/600r02104/600r02104chap4.pd f
"1 BTU = 0.00029307107 kilowatt hour"
http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&client=firefox- a&channel=s&rls=org.mozilla%3Aen-US%3Aofficial&hs= ooc&q=BTU+to+kilowatt+hour&btnG=Search
293,071,070 KWH per 16 pounds Hg, that makes 18,316,942 KWH per pound of HG,
that makes 40.3819444 KWH per milligram Hg released from coal-burning utilities in the US
So, one 15watt CF lasts 6000 hours, conservatively, and so compared to 60 watt incandescents, it saves 45 watts * 6000 hours = 270,000 watt hours or 270KWH of juice,
270 / (KWH per mg Hg released) = 6.6861565 miligrams of Hg not emitted to power the CF (as compared to an incandescent, and assuming that your power comes from coal)
This is 270 KWH generated (i.e. raw BTU content of coal), and Hg "emitted" (unsure if scrubbers and cleaned coal have been accounted for)
Assuming that coal to your light socket involves a 50% loss, then it's more like 500KWH saved, or 12 miligrams of Hg kept out of the environment.
"The mercury content of compact fluorescent bulbs varies between 2 and 15 mg per bulb, depending on the model."
http://www.productstewardship.net/productsMercuryF luorescentFAQ.html
So, I'm not convinced that even if you just throw your CF in the trash that you have actually put more Hg into the environment than you've taken out. Of course, we should dispose of CF's responsibly (I'm sitting on a pile of about 6-7 dead bulbs).
More links:
According to
http://www.nei.org/doc.asp?catnum=2&catid=106
it takes 1 pound of coal to generate 1 kilowatt hour
According to the DOE, one kilowatt hour from coal releases 2 lbs of CO2
www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricity/page/co2_report/ co2report.html
"according to Environmental Protection Agency figures released in 1984, average values of uranium and thorium content have been determined to be 1.3 ppm and 3.2 ppm"
http://www.ornl.gov/info/ornlreview/rev26-34/text/ colmain.html
"Approximately 75 tons of mercury are found in the coal delivered to power plants each year and about two thirds of this mercury is emitted to the air, resulting in about 50 tons being emitted annually" (which, in turn, is about one third of all domestic mercury emissions)
http://www.epa.gov/mercury/control_emissions/index .htm -
Re:No, I buy nice ones.
You would think but you would be wrong.
You see a landfill gets many things dumped into them that should not be. The major problem with this is that many of these chemicals end up reacting with mercury which causes more problems then most people realize, please see some of the URL's below as to why you are mistaken in assuming that mercury is a noble gas. On top of this you also have the problem that it appears bacteria found in landfills are able to convert mercury into the much deadlier form of methylated mercury which is again bad.
http://www.sciencenews.org/articles/20010707/fob1. asp
http://pubs.acs.org/subscribe/journals/esthag-w/20 01/jul/science/kc_landfill.html
http://www.esd.ornl.gov/people/lindberg/lindberg3. html
http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_hb4814/is_20 0507/ai_n17457809 -
Re:wtf?
The Prius was never for real environmentalists anyway. It's for lazy yuppies who want to put out an environmentally conscious image.
I came to that conclusion when I did a calculation of the energy saved by turning off my computer when I wasn't at work. It's amazing how many people leave them on all night to save minor hassle (I know sometimes there good reasons, but not for most cases where I see it).
I worked out turning my one work computer off as I leave the office keeps about 1 ton of CO2 per year out of the atmosphere (workings below), plus an amount of mercury and other pollution, assuming the electricity here comes from coal. It takes 100 gallons of gasoline to produce 1 ton of CO2. Please correct me if I'm wrong
- My machine: a twin Xeon, draws 140W at idle. More efficient machines may draw little more than half of that. Laptops, significantly less again.
- If it's off 15 hours at night and all weekend: 123 hours
- Coal generation produces about 2.3lb CO2 per KW/h (reference)
0.140 * 123 * 52 * 2.3 = 2059lb
- CO2 per gallon of gasoline: ~19.4lb (reference)
therefore 2059 lb is produced by around 106 gallons of gasoline.
That's about how much I'd save if I had a Prius (I do ~8000 miles/year). Sure, many people do more, and have more efficient computers, but it puts it in perspective.
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Cellulosic Ethanol Coming Like a Frieght Train.Yeah, don't forget cellulosic ethonal. There were some stories last week about the DOE or some arm of the government handing out 380 million to build 6 cellulosic ethanol plants.
If cellulosic becomes attainable, and it will, then the pressures on corn will decrease tremendously.
Link to article about the program And then there are those wacky ORNL researchers making both ethanol and hydrogen from algae..
The future seems bright enough for ethanol production, with new ideas popping up all the time. Its pretty fun to drink too...
:) -
Re:Not the final solutionThen we should have nuclear power behind all those 220v outlets... and 90% of cars should be much smaller,
Exactly. During the summer when the grids are already at full capacity it would be a very bad idea to have hundreds of thousands of electric cars charging at the same time. Then you won't pay your hard earned $$$ to BP or Exxon but instead to power companies like Enron. We actually need two things - 1) more energy and 2) a good way to store it (this implies a safe and economical way to distribute it as well...). It would also be nice not to make much of a mess in the process. Nuclear power seems like the way to go. In US they have not build a nuclear power plant in ages instead they burn tons and tons of coal that ironically enough releases a lot more radio-isotopes into the environment than nuclear power plants would, not to mention other more obvious pollutants. Check this link out. -
Re:global warming is a complex issue
How much CO2 is human activity producing?
Google makes possible some rough estimates:
- Annual global coal production: 50,000 million metric tonnes (World Coal Institute)
- Global oil production: 85 million bbl/day, converts to the equivalent of 128 million metric tonnes of coal per year (as reported here and in other stories, with conversion from bbl/day to tonnage/yr here)
- Annual global natural gas production: 2,500,000 million cubic meters, converts to the equivalent of 2 million tonnes of coal per year (UNCTAD estimate of 2000, with conversion factors from above)
- Total annual release of fossil fuels into the global environment: 50,130 million tonnes
- Percentage of carbon in coal (by weight): 90% for anthracite, which is what these numbers are based upon (Encarta)
- Percentage of carbon in CO2 (by weight): 27%
- Annual introduction of CO2 into the biosphere from fossil fuels: 167,100 million metric tonnes
- Estimate of atmospheric CO2: 2,870,000 million metric tonnes (CDIAC)
- This suggests that the use of fossil fuels would have increased atmospheric CO2 by 5% in the last year, disregarding all other factors
- Measurements at Mauna Loa suggest that there is a net increase in atmospheric CO2 of about 1% per year (NOAA Global Monitoring Division).
Evidently something is buffering the increase in atmospheric CO2. While this has been beneficial in the sense that it has limited the impact of burning fossil fuels, it is also very worrisome since homeostatic mechanisms like this one tend to failover very rapidly into alternative stable patterns when the buffering capacity is exceeded. There is no way to determine how close we are to a tipping point. And there is no way to predict the nature of the new stable pattern. For instance, there are mechanisms that could kick in to significantly increase the Earth's albedo and toss us into an ice age, despite the increased greenhouse effect.
What is that, as a percentage of total CO2 being produced from all natural and artificial sources?This is reintroduction of carbon into the biosphere that had been sequestered away for a hundred million years or more. The last time there was this much carbon in the biosphere was before the age of dinosaurs. It is possible that the last time there was this much carbon in the biosphere was before there was enough free oxygen for chordates.
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Re:global warming is a complex issue
Humans produce about 150x the CO2 output by volcanos.
Methane and CO2 levels are way, way up since the industrial revolution.
Basically, it's pretty irrefutable that mankind is having a significant effect on global warming. The fact that the sun is also warming doesn't mean, as the summary implies, that global warming is "not a human-induced" phenomenon, just that it also has other contributing factors. This should, if anything, spur humanity to greater levels of effort to reduce emissions. -
Re:global warming is a complex issue
Humans produce about 150x the CO2 output by volcanos.
Methane and CO2 levels are way, way up since the industrial revolution.
Basically, it's pretty irrefutable that mankind is having a significant effect on global warming. The fact that the sun is also warming doesn't mean, as the summary implies, that global warming is "not a human-induced" phenomenon, just that it also has other contributing factors. This should, if anything, spur humanity to greater levels of effort to reduce emissions. -
Re:RTFA
methane, use say. Now I'm assuming you have NOT checked ANY sources at ALL. Or only crackpot websites. So,
http://www.epa.gov/methane/scientific.html
so at about 1700 ppb (billion) or 1.7ppm at about 21 times greenhouse effect than CO2.
CO2 concentrations are at 380ppm (million),
http://cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/co2/sio-mlo.htm
So methane "heat trapping equivalence" would be 1.7ppm*21 => 38ppm CO2. CO2 is at 380ppm or 10X that of methane equivalent. So, methane does not account for the greenhouse. It only accounts 10% of the greenhouse effect.
Oh, and since you are comparing uneducated people with idiots, then you must be a big one. Methane *used* to play the vital role in keeping Earth warm. That was, 4 billion years ago. As soon as oxygen jumped to ~0.1% or 1% of atmosphere, methane disappeared and CO2 became THE major source of keeping the Earth warm. That disappeared about 500 million years ago when O2 spiked to over 20% (quickly - plants developed). Each of the events caused Earth to freeze for some time. Anyway, I'm sure you'd not research these facts either... (facts - they are in rocks!) -
Re:Off topic :: Firehose
I think it means something like this
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Not Invented Here syndrome
I worked for a company, that wrote its own distributed computing system (in Java/XML). It sucked awfully by all measures (latency, CPU-load, memory requirements, bandwidth), but they would not dump it in favor of PVM or one of the MPI implementations because:
- We don't know, who wrote that PVM thing and how to support it.
- The guys, who wrote our own system are both really nice and dumping their work would offend them...
This is such a common problem, there is a term for it...
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Umm... it exists already...
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MapReduce provides a nice model of parallel computation to be exploited: in a multicore chip, you can treat each core as a node with a very reliable network and fast I/O.
Don't like MapReduce and want something more... heterogenous... you could use PVM: http://www.csm.ornl.gov/pvm/ ; which later became MPI: http://www.hlrs.de/organization/par/services/model s/mpi/ or a nice collection of learning materials at: http://www.hlrs.de/organization/par/par_prog_ws/ .
Want something from Sun? OpenMP: http://developers.sun.com/sunstudio/articles/openm p/openmp_content.html
I think that we have the software to do it, already, yes. -
Coal Radioactivity
Read http://www.ornl.gov/info/ornlreview/rev26-34/text
/ colmain.html it will surprise you!
A government physicist, Alex Gabbard, calculated that the general public is directly exposed to 100 times more radiation each from coal-fired plant, than from each nuclear plant of the same megawatt output.
He also says that, while it is very widely distributed, lessening the danger, in 1982, each typical coal-fired plant released 5.2 tons of uranium, and 12.8 tons of radioactive thorium in to the environment. These elements are extremely long-lived, and accumulate in the environment over time.
On top of that, massive amounts of heavy metals, sulfur dioxide, and carbon dioxide are released by burning coal. -
Unless that nuclear "waste"...
The other thing about nuclear waste is that you know where it is, you don't just go pumping it out into the atmosphere and hope for the best.
Unless that nuclear "waste" is coming from coal burning plants, of course. Then you are literally pumping it into the atmosphere and hoping for the best. -
Re:Anti-nuclear biasEasiest match I could find.
The link itself references the December 8th, 1978 Science magazine article "Radiological Impact of Airborne Effluents of Coal and Nuclear Plants", where the authors determined that:
"Americans living near coal-fired power plants are exposed to higher radiation doses than those living near nuclear power plants that meet government regulations. This ironic situation remains true today and is addressed in this article."
More specifically:Trace quantities of uranium in coal range from less than 1 part per million (ppm) in some samples to around 10 ppm in others. Generally, the amount of thorium contained in coal is about 2.5 times greater than the amount of uranium. For a large number of coal samples, according to Environmental Protection Agency figures released in 1984, average values of uranium and thorium content have been determined to be 1.3 ppm and 3.2 ppm, respectively. Using these values along with reported consumption and projected consumption of coal by utilities provides a means of calculating the amounts of potentially recoverable breedable and fissionable elements (see sidebar). The concentration of fissionable uranium-235 (the current fuel for nuclear power plants) has been established to be 0.71% of uranium content.
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Re:Anti-nuclear bias"Former ORNL researchers J. P. McBride, R. E. Moore, J. P. Witherspoon, and R. E. Blanco made this point in their article "Radiological Impact of Airborne Effluents of Coal and Nuclear Plants" in the December 8, 1978, issue of Science magazine. They concluded that Americans living near coal-fired power plants are exposed to higher radiation doses than those living near nuclear power plants that meet government regulations. This ironic situation remains true today and is addressed in this article."
http://www.ornl.gov/info/ornlreview/rev26-34/text
/ colmain.html -
Re:Today's waste tomorrow's power sourceSure. And if you look at the ORNL decay paths for the various isotopes of plutonium [1] you will notice that the primary radiation is alpha particle, not gamma rays. So it is relatively easy to shield the nanorobots from the alpha particle effects. This is why Robert Freitas choose Gd-148 (also an alpha particle emitter) as a power source for nuclear powered nanorobots [2].
You have to keep in mind that it doesn't matter whether ionizing radiation is destroying the atomic bonds within nanorobots (and therefore gradually disrupting the normal function of the nanorobots) so long as there is either (a) sufficient redundancy in the nanorobot to tolerate gradual loss of functional components (as is the case in many biological systems); or (b) the nanorobot can remanufacture damaged parts faster than the radiation can destroy them. That is something which should be possible for relatively sophisticated nanorobots (though not the most simple variants). Even simple "bionanorobots" such as E. coli, if supplied with sufficient materials and energy, could replicate to the mass of the Earth in less than 2 days. So having nanorobots (or microscale nanofactories) recycling radiation damaged nanorobots and replacing them with functional nanorobots doesn't seem to present a significant problem.
1. http://www.ornl.gov/sci/isotopes/
2. http://www.nanomedicine.com/NMI/6.3.7.1.htm -
Re:Can't get to orbit that way
Of all of the possible uses of Nuclear power, using it to power a rocket out of the atmosphere is perhaps the last one I'd want to see actually implemented. It is hard to think of a better way of spreading radioactive particles all over a huge landscape, not to mention what happens when you crash.
I'm sure it'd be trivial compared to the spread of radioactive particles from coal power plants.
http://www.ornl.gov/info/ornlreview/rev26-34/text/ colmain.html -
Re:I agree most of the timeAccording to wikipedia, solid information on the minimum lethal dose of cyanide is not known and in fact may vary considerably from person to person. Concentrations well below lethal doses are detectable by smell - most chemical tests are far more sensitive than the human nose. I think that you are the one that needs to 'Look it up'. Celebrities are not by any means the only type of person that should not comment on things they know little about.
This article gives some numbers, they are not 'barely detectable' at all.
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Re:Patented Breast Cancer Genes?
How can you patent something that is a 'naturally' (using that term loosely) occurring genetic abnormality?
click -
Re:Um.
Bollocks to you, this is about my Country. I do not agree with you at all.
That's fine, you don't have to. However, if you would like to learn a few things, I would recommend you read this. It does a nice comparison between coal and nuclear including a comparison of radioactive wastes (broken down by type), radiation exposure and consumption levels. It also points out how various regimes could use coal to get their weapons grade material.
Now, you can choose not to believe a scientist from Oak Ridge National Labs, but they are experts in the field. If you still don't believe them, check their references.
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Informative? Mod down (-1, BS)
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Informative? Mod down (-1, BS)
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Re:Nuclear Power is the only power _source_...
Saying that nuclear power isn't "safe" is ignoring the facts:
A nuclear reactor under normal operating conditions releases less radiation to the environment than a comparably-sized coal power plant. http://www.ornl.gov/info/reports/1977/344560511508 7.pdf
Containment-breaching accidents in the entire history of nuclear power amount to exactly 1 in approximately 10,000 reactor-years of total operation, and the RBMK (Chernobyl) is a dog of a design that under any rational oversight system would never even have been built. This is in line with probabilistic risk assessments which indicate a CMF (core melt frequency) of 1 in 10^4 reactor-years, and a LRF (large release frequency) of 1 in 10^5 reactor-years. Current designs (specifically the AP1000) reduce these to 4x10^-7 and 4x10^-8 respectively. http://www.nuclearinfo.net/twiki/pub/Nuclearpower/ WebHomeCostOfNuclearPower/AP1000Reactor.pdf
Nuclear power isn't without its problems: high capital costs, mostly as a result of legal fees associated with brain-dead NIMBY protesters, and the waste management issue, although even that is only a problem for at most 10,000 years under a competent, well-thought out fuel cycle (e.g. NOT in the US).
Compared to the global economic and environmental consequences of our current fossil fuel addiction, whether or not to transition to nuclear power, and quickly, is no choice at all. But rational inquiry doesn't play as well on the news as "OMG IT'S NUCULAR THINK OF TEH CHILDRENZ!!!!1`one" -
Re:FRAUD Alert?
I'm with you in calling shenanigans on the content and source of that article. Plus, wasn't this little tidbit of information missed altogether by the authors of the article? And, there's a post below this saying "clean, potable water" being in short supply globally. Well, yeah, duh, but you don't need clean, potable water to produce hydrogen. You need clean, potable water to drink. I can suck up some water out of a puddle on the street and make hydrogen through electrolosis. Actually helps if the water is ionized, and any impurities will be left behind.
I really believe that a viable organic method for producing sufficient "industrial" quantities of hydrogen is achievable in my life time. -
Re:Anythingsome of which is radioactive? We spew more radioactive materials from coal fired power plants than we use in nuclear plants!
http://www.ornl.gov/info/ornlreview/rev26-34/text/ colmain.html
This little tidbit is even better:Consequently, the energy content of nuclear fuel released in coal combustion is more than that of the coal consumed! Clearly, coal-fired power plants are not only generating electricity but are also releasing nuclear fuels whose commercial value for electricity production by nuclear power plants is over $7 trillion, more than the U.S. national debt. This figure is based on current nuclear utility fuel costs of 7 mils per kWh, which is about half the cost for coal. Consequently, significant quantities of nuclear materials are being treated as coal waste, which might become the cleanup nightmare of the future, and their value is hardly recognized at all.
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Re:Good Science meet REALLY bad math
OK, according to the Chromosome FAQs:
http://www.ornl.gov/sci/techresources/Human_Genome /posters/chromosome/faqs.shtml
The X chromosome comprises ~5% of the genome while the Y chromosome is ~1%. Since women are XX and men are XY, men and women differ by ~6%.
If chimps are only 2% different from men, then men are more closely related to chimps than women. QED -
Re:Water Vapor?
Recent Greenhouse Gas Concentrations
The atmospheric lifetime of carbon dioxide is difficult to define because it is exchanged with reservoirs having a wide range of turnover times; IPCC 2001, (page 38) gives a range of 5-200 years.
The lifetime of excess atmospheric carbon dioxide (Global Biogeochemical Cycles - American Geophysical Union)
If one assumes a terrestrial biosphere with a fertilization flux, then our best estimate is that the single half-life for excess CO2 lies within the range of 19 to 49 years, with a reasonable average being 31 years. If we assume only regrowth, then the average value for the single half-life for excess CO2 increases to 72 years, and if we remove the terrestrial component completely, then it increases further to 92 years. -
Re:NOVA episodeThen why is there warming in the smokey Northern Hemisphere and none at all in the Southern Hemisphere?
We now wait for the traditional round of excuses.
We'll save the excused for actual facts, shall we? The Southern hemisphere is warming, despite recent assertions to the contrary from certain unreliable sources.
You are entitled to your own opinions but you are not entitled to your own facts.