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New Record For Solar Cell Power Efficiency

mdsolar writes "Renewable Energy Access is reporting that a consortium led by researchers at the University of Delaware has achieved 42.8% efficiency with a silicon solar cell. The method uses lower concentration (factor of 20 magnification) than the previous record holder (40.7% efficiency) so that it may have a broader range of applications, since tolerances for pointing the device will be larger. They are now partnering with DuPont to build engineering and manufacturing prototypes. They expect to be in production in 2010. On a roof, such cells would require less than half the surface area to produce the same amount of power as today's standard solar panels, which have an efficiency of about 17%."

351 comments

  1. The real question.. by Enderandrew · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Yes, but will it run Linux?

    Actually, while I'm glad they are making a more efficient solar panel, when will they make a cost-effecient solar panel for mass-adoption?

    --
    http://blindscribblings.com - Tasty pop-culture in conceptual fashion.
    1. Re:The real question.. by Enderandrew · · Score: 2, Informative

      The article is about solar panels. How is it off-topic to ask about solar panels?

      --
      http://blindscribblings.com - Tasty pop-culture in conceptual fashion.
    2. Re:The real question.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You only added the solar panel bit to try to avoid getting modded down.

    3. Re:The real question.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, his question was valid and on-topic; the moderator was stupid, as so many are.

    4. Re:The real question.. by Debug0x2a · · Score: 1

      Of course it runs linux. And no, not by the conventional meaning of the question. Just plug your linux box into a large enough series of these solar panels and there you go. Now for actually installing linux on your solar panel, good luck with that and tell me how it (fails to) works out.

      --
      First post = troll. Cleverly worded post designed to enrage others = flamebait.
  2. Smog by Rixel · · Score: 5, Funny

    Hopefully, Solar Cell efficiency will keep ahead of smog cover in major cities.

    --
    Never play chicken with a passive aggressive.
    1. Re:Smog by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Assuming YOU're serious - solar energy replaces fossil energy. More solar energy means less "greenhouse gases". Lesser albedo also mean more heat radiated back into the space over night, provided we lessen greenhouse effect enough for it to break through atmosphere.

    2. Re:Smog by R3d+Jack · · Score: 2, Funny

      Just move to a location upwind of all the pollution. Like, say, 50 miles west of Los Angeles.

  3. Waiting by Cassius+Corodes · · Score: 5, Funny

    Im waiting for them to reach above 100% efficiency before I'll buy

    --
    Control is an illusion, order our comforting lie. From chaos, through chaos, into chaos we fly
    1. Re:Waiting by Hoi+Polloi · · Score: 2, Funny

      Great, I'm stuck with the old 1st generation -135% efficiency solar cells. They are gas powered.

      --
      It is by the juice of the coffee bean that thoughts acquire speed, the teeth acquire stains. The stains become a warning
    2. Re:Waiting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      I'm waiting until it's even a bit more than that.

      1) Display image of sun on LCD monitor
      2) Disable screensaver
      3) Put solar array in front of monitor
      4)...
      5) Profit!

      What's the (light) efficiency of LCD displays nowadays?

    3. Re:Waiting by BUL2294 · · Score: 1

      Homer Simpson would never allow it... "In this house we obey the laws of thermodynamics!"

      --
      Windows 3.1x calc: 3.11 - 3.10 = 0.00
    4. Re:Waiting by GodGell · · Score: 1

      I imagine a -135% efficiency power cell would be more accurately called a lamp.

      --
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  4. feasible by farkus888 · · Score: 2

    a good grid tie system and these things will pay for themselves. I hope that panels of this efficiency are ready for public purchase when I am ready to be a homeowner. this is one of those things that makes economic and environmental sense and I hope it doesn't get stymied by people who are afraid to be "green" because they think it has to be more expensive.

    --
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    1. Re:feasible by Calinous · · Score: 4, Informative

      The most efficient use of solar power is the water heating system. Solar panels are a distant second for now - as they are very costly for the power they can produce (we assume your house needs heating or hot water). Depending on conditions, wind power might be a cheaper overall choice than solar panels.
              But in places like California, solar panels indeed pay for themselves

    2. Re:feasible by evilviper · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The most efficient use of solar power is the water heating system.

      I'm not too sure about that. How about a PV panel powering a ground-source heat pump? I'm willing to bet that would give you more hot water than direct solar heating, at least in most climates.
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    3. Re:feasible by evilviper · · Score: 1

      I hope that panels of this efficiency are ready for public purchase when I am ready to be a homeowner.

      Why? You planning on putting a 50:1 solar concentrator mirror/lens in your yard?
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    4. Re:feasible by Calinous · · Score: 2, Informative

      It might be so - however, I don't know the costs of a ground-source heat pump. Did any digging recently? Also, you can get hot water at a higher efficiency than electricity from solar power, and the costs of installations are lower to boot. What a solar water heating system can't give you (but a PV panel/ground pump could easily) is cooling

    5. Re:feasible by knarf · · Score: 4, Informative

      That is why the two should be combined... Water-cooled Photovoltaic panels give the best of both worlds: cooler PV panels which are more effective PLUS warm/hot water for heating, hot water or - indirectly - cooling. The technology is out there. It is simple. It works. As to why is is not used that much yet? Good question.

      A search on 'water cooled pv' gives some interesting documents about experiments done with this combination. Read them and then go and build something like that. My 2 puny 11 watt panels are somewhat to small for this application but anyone who has (plans for) panels on the roof AND a need of warm water does him/herself a disservice by not looking in to this IMnsHO...

      --
      --frank[at]unternet.org
    6. Re:feasible by Smidge204 · · Score: 2, Informative

      As per the summary, solar cells are 17% efficient. The efficiency of a heat pump will vary quite a bit depending on working temperatures, but the compressor motor will doubtfully be more than about 80% efficient (electrically). So overall, at best, 14% of the sunlight makes it into the hot water.

      Compare to direct solar heating, where damn near 100% of the energy you absorb gets transferred to the water. After all, the desired end product is heat, and it's trivial to convert 100% of any energy form into heat if you're patient enough.
      =Smidge=

    7. Re:feasible by antifoidulus · · Score: 1

      Certainly would keep the neighboors/local dogs off your lawn......

    8. Re:feasible by Smidge204 · · Score: 1

      Forgot to factor in the COP.

      A decent heat pump will have a COP of around 3.5-4.0. So that 14% becomes 56%. Still losing to direct solar heat.
      =Smidge=

    9. Re:feasible by dbIII · · Score: 1

      That all depends on where you are obviously. Boring deep holes is not cheap, but if you can get away with a shallow one it would be worth it.

    10. Re:feasible by GreyPoopon · · Score: 1

      Depending on conditions, wind power might be a cheaper overall choice than solar panels.

      The problem with wind power is that it's much more noticeable to your neighbors than solar. I live sort of at the top of a hill on 1.25 acres, and it's fairly windy. Theoretically, I could put of a few windmills and probably meet most (if not all) of my electricity needs, but my neighbors would definitely be complaining. The advantage of solar is that if you have good southern exposure and efficient panels, you can produce most of your electricity without your neighbors really even knowing that you are doing so. Windmills are a much better option when an entire neighborhood decides to use them to collectively. I think in the future we may see more of this -- new neighborhoods will be planned with open space on the high ground to install windmill farms.
      --

      GreyPoopon
      --
      Why is it I can write insightful comments but can't come up with a clever signature?

    11. Re:feasible by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      They are costly if you buy new, if you get out there and buy some of the used ones for quite cheap. when I was living the Green Mode in my dome home I had an array of 6 8 foot panels from a solar power plant out west. they were cooked to a brown color from their collectors and only have 70% of their original capacity but for the money spent they worked great.

      Biggest problem is these new cells are essentially worthless on a home. collector systems means you have to have trackers for every bank of 2 or 3 panels, and neighbors freak out when you have a solar farm on your property. you cant put them on your roof stationary because then you get peak power generation during 1 hour of the day and not most of the day.

      These new solar cells are all hype, they become useful when they hit that efficiency with NO collectors.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    12. Re:feasible by joto · · Score: 1
      Actually, the whole "economic and environmental" sense-argument is completely bollocks. At least when it comes to reduction CO2-emissions. If a thing (such as an electric car, or efficient solar cells) saves you money, and reduces your consumption of fossil fuel, you will end up with more money. This money must somehow be used, and in order to show you that it really doesn't matter much where you choose to spend it, I will consider some alternatives:
      • You take an extra vacation, and the plane spews lots of CO2 into the atmosphere.
      • You buy some luxury item such as a new spiffy computer, whose construction used a lot of energy, which eventually means consumption of fossil fuel.
      • You buy some luxury item whose construction is energy-efficient, such as fashion clothing. The rich designers and marketers get even more money to spend on things that will eventually lead to CO2-emissions.
      • You put your money in a bank. The bank now has more capital to use for investments, some of which will lead to CO2-emissions.
      • You buy a service instead of goods, such as sex from prostitutes. The prostitutes will now have more money to spend, or at least their pimp will have more money to spend, etc, and some of this money will eventually go to things that will lead to CO2-emissions
      • You give your money to a friend. See above.
      • You deliberately buy things that aren't as cost-effective as other stuff, but that reduces CO2-emissions. Unfortunately your money aren't "lost", someone will get rich, such as the bank, or the company CEO, so even this method isn't 100% convincing to me.

      There is only one way you as an individual can be 100% sure that you actually make a lasting contribution to reduced CO2 emissions: Don't earn that money! This means that you step down working, and chooses a simpler life-style. Even better would be to stop working at all, and live completely from welfare, because in that case you will also drain the economic resources of people around you. So people, if you are an environmentalist, don't get solar cells, get poor!

    13. Re:feasible by future+assassin · · Score: 1

      I would need 714+ of those flourescent light bulbs to replace for my 10 1000W light grow op.

      --
      by TheSpoom (715771) Uncaring Linux user here. I have nothing to add to this but please continue. *munches popcorn*
    14. Re:feasible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Perhaps but then you're not using solar energy only. This is like saying that the gasoline-powered solar array you build gets 200% efficiency.

    15. Re:feasible by TheMeuge · · Score: 1

      Maybe wind power is cheaper... but it's also fugly. I'll live with a semi-reflective roof... but I won't tolerate a 200ft monstrosity within sight of where I live. As for putting it where people don't live... I actually would like to be able to show my children some nature, thank you.

    16. Re:feasible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You have to compare lumens for light bulbs dumbass.

    17. Re:feasible by Calinous · · Score: 1

      On the other side, I like the look of the big wind turbines - but I don't know if I would like the whine of smaller turbines, or the "whoosh whoosh" of the big, slow spinning ones

    18. Re:feasible by BigDogCH · · Score: 1

      I might be off track here, please correct me if I am......

      What about after the water is already warmed though? I mean, once the sun has warmed your water directly, your gains are nil. Right? The solar panel->heat pump solution would then use the solar energy gained to supplement other things. So, there is a max benefit from the solar/water heat, but no max to the solar/elect system.

    19. Re:feasible by DFJA · · Score: 1

      and having your computers hibernate during the day and night when you're not using them

      Have you thought of actually turning them off??? Even in standby or hibernate, computers draw a significant amount of power.

      --
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    20. Re:feasible by xappax · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You deliberately buy things that aren't as cost-effective as other stuff, but that reduces CO2-emissions. Unfortunately your money aren't "lost", someone will get rich, such as the bank, or the company CEO, so even this method isn't 100% convincing to me.

      Seems like if you deliberately spend money on things that are less polluting than the mainstream offerings, you're helping to make that industry more economically viable. For example: if you buy residential wind turbines, the company that makes them will profit. Yes, some of that money will probably be spent on things that cause pollution, like employee salaries or airline tickets, however it will also be spent on improving and marketing a product that can reduce pollution dramatically.

      No institution or individual can ever have zero negative impact on the environment, but they can have a greater positive impact, so that their damage is offset overall. The question becomes, is a supposedly "green" institution really helping the environment more than they're hurting it? Some companies really are, and it's great to give them business, but some are just using environmental concerns as a marketing niche, and giving them money will do nothing but enrich them, and possibly allow them to create more pollution.

      I agree with your general sentiment, though. The key is being critical and informed about where your money goes. When you spend money, it doesn't just disappear - it goes on to pay for things that may be destructive or immoral, and couldn't happen without your money. Or, it may go on to pay for things that are constructive and really awesome. Though the amount of money you spend may be similar, the difference between these transactions is vast when you consider the consequences.

    21. Re:feasible by ChrisA90278 · · Score: 1

      The trouble is the capital cost. Who would put in a $10,000 solar eletric system when their electric bill is only $80 per month? They will never entirely bring the bill to zero. the ther is a not so small cost to run a solar power system - batteries have only a 5 year life and they are not cheap to replace. I'd be better off investing the $10K in the stock market and using the proceeds to pay the $80 per month bill.

      The cost is still 10X to high. They have a long way to go. But the panels are only half of the system. Batteries are the other half and I don't see the cost of batteries coming down

    22. Re:feasible by Firethorn · · Score: 2, Informative

      In such a setup, such as for a off-grid solar power house the cost benefits of using thermal solar for heating the water outweighs the loss of flexibility. Panels for solar water heating are generally at least an order of magnitude cheaper than solar electric panels. You simply oversize your water tank(and insulate it well) to last through a cloudy day/night.

      Along with that getting specialized home appliances can be cost effective; special extreme efficiency 24 volt DC refridgerator, for example. Reducing your install by 1 panel can save several thousand dollars easy.

      --
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    23. Re:feasible by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      But in places like California, solar panels indeed pay for themselves

      I'd tend to say that that's mostly because of the messed up power regulations there and high subsidies for installing solar power.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    24. Re:feasible by Talchas · · Score: 2, Informative

      Sigh, standby yes (although I expect some would differ on "significant"), hibernate NO. Hibernate is off with the ram written to the hard drive.

      --
      As the Americans learned so painfully in Earth's final century,free flow of information is the only safeguard against...
    25. Re:feasible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have considered exactly what you are recommending seriously. Buying land, and using that land to farm enough to feed myself and my family. Having enough livestock to replenish itself, and add to my food stocks. Sustenance farming is absolutely impossible, and what is more impossible is being green doing it. You have to pay property taxes. The money for these taxes come from somewhere. Thus you have to farm quite a bit more than originally thought just to cover those costs. Could this even be done by a family or would I have to hire help? How would I get product to market without impacting the environment? What about the help I hire? How can I guarantee that they do not impact the environment negatively? I guess you'll say move somewhere where there are no property taxes. While many states offer tax relief based on things like age and homestead exemptions, there is no state that has NO property taxes. Be it federal, state, local. There are a few where the taxes can be as low as $500 per year. $500 is a TON of money when your income is 0.

    26. Re:feasible by Dare+nMc · · Score: 1

      will doubtfully be more than about 80% efficient (electrically).

      actually I was just looking into HeatPumpWater heaters, according to a couple articles I read, the efficiency is stated as 1.4 (IE you get 40% more heating of the water than pure electric power into)

      Compare to direct solar heating, where damn near 100%
      actually Google search tells me even with solar concentrators, your efficiency would be closer to 60% in direct to water.

      so a 40% efficient solar panel, into Heat pump EF of 1.4 would be a net of 56% efficient conversion, very close.

      That heatPump extra 40% comes from having a warm ambient, so you get some free AC cooling their as well if desired. For some reason the HWHP systems are all air based heat pumps, I would think for maximum temperature and efficiency, I would want a hybrid, IE a closed loop solar water heater feeding into a heat pump heat exchanger, then to your hot water system. This would likely increase the efficiency's of both the systems above, since the incoming water temperature is cooler, the solar water heater is more efficient, since the Heat pump in is warmer, the HP is more efficient...

      Also this would allows you to use antifreeze, and anti-corrosion chemicals in the Solar water heater as well, so you don't have issues with water freezing in winter, and with constant air bubbles into a open water heat exchanger, increasing corrosion rates, or hard water deposits, etc, etc.
    27. Re:feasible by future+assassin · · Score: 1
      It all depends how close you have the lights to the plants. With the fluorescents you'd have them 2-3" from the plant with the bulbs all over the place. You'd get crazy light penetration. With a 100W bulb they have to be 16-18" from the plant. Other wise you get too much heat and too much light. You'll end up with burnt/bleached leaves, heat stress on the buds, probably have the buds bolt new shoots out of them and if you got spiders mites they'll love you for giving them the extra heat around the leaf zone.

      If you really want the lumen's then double the bulbs. This will give 100K lumen's per 140bulbs in a 4X4 area.

      --
      by TheSpoom (715771) Uncaring Linux user here. I have nothing to add to this but please continue. *munches popcorn*
    28. Re:feasible by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      Once you concede that renewables are cheaper than alternatives, then the rest of the economy will also be converting. Aircraft manufacturers are certainly looking at biofuels as aviation fuel now, the energy used to manufacture goods will also be converting. So long as renewables are enhansing prosperity, they'll become a larger and larger part of the energy mix. Economic activity can only hasten the conversion since it leads to more rapid reinvestment. Poverty is more likely to be the lot of those economies that hold back.
      --
      Save money with solar power: http://mdsolar.blogspot.com/2007/01/slashdot-users -selling-solar.html

    29. Re:feasible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But.. but.. but.. those proteins aren't going to fold themselves!!!

    30. Re:feasible by FrameRotBlues · · Score: 1
      Do you really want to take your kids to Tehatchapi? I don't think it's that huge of a tourist destination.

      And when your kids grow up and complain about the high price of fuel, electricity, or clean air, make sure you tell them that it's the price you paid for having a clean landscape to show them when they were kids.

      Putting wind farms in the middle of a forest isn't the wisest; wind farms normally go where the scenery isn't, such as the middle of the High Desert, or the middle of Nebraska, or Buffalo Ridge in MN.

    31. Re:feasible by TheMeuge · · Score: 1

      Or we could put efforts into solar power and nuclear power, and not fuck up whatever landscape is left.

      The combined investment into the ITER project is about $20 billion over the course of 20 years, by the entire world. That's literally little more than an insult. With that kind of a commitment to energy research, we can expect no advances to come anytime soon.

      But if you're going to ask me what's better - marginally higher electricity costs, or huge windfarms... I'll probably pick higher costs.

    32. Re:feasible by joto · · Score: 1

      Seems like if you deliberately spend money on things that are less polluting than the mainstream offerings, you're helping to make that industry more economically viable. For example: if you buy residential wind turbines, the company that makes them will profit. Yes, some of that money will probably be spent on things that cause pollution, like employee salaries or airline tickets, however it will also be spent on improving and marketing a product that can reduce pollution dramatically.

      Ok, so assume that my spending on WindTurbineInc finally allows them enough money for the R&D-department to come up with some profitable model. If it's profitable, it usually means their customers are making money by buying their power too. Which means that their customers now have more money to spend. See above.

      No institution or individual can ever have zero negative impact on the environment, but they can have a greater positive impact, so that their damage is offset overall. The question becomes, is a supposedly "green" institution really helping the environment more than they're hurting it?

      I'm not arguing against going "green". Being "green", in the way that you don't e.g. pollute farmland with nuclear waste products, is certainly something individuals, and individual companies can do, that will make a difference, both locally and globally. What I'm arguing against is the assumption that when you locally minimize both CO2-emissions and expenses, you will also globally reduce CO2-emissions. The reason I argue against that, is because our economy is so intertwined with fossil fuels, that any spending you do (including savings in a bank) will result in increased CO2-emissions by either you or someone else.

      I agree with your general sentiment, though. The key is being critical and informed about where your money goes. When you spend money, it doesn't just disappear - it goes on to pay for things that may be destructive or immoral, and couldn't happen without your money.

      In that case you misunderstood me. While I agree that ethical spending is important, for the environment as well as international worker rights, my argument was that when it comes to reducing CO2-emissions, it just doesn't work. Ok, paying somebody to actively remove CO2 from the air, and put it into the rock below the seabed, might work. But beyond that, the most efficient way of reducing CO2-emissions is to not earn a living.

    33. Re:feasible by xappax · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If it's profitable, it usually means their customers are making money by buying their power too. Which means that their customers now have more money to spend. See above.

      I think you're presupposing that all possible things someone can spend money on have the same CO2-emission potential. $1 worth of burnt coal (in the form of electricity) produces X amount of CO2. If MiracleTurbine becomes successful, and I get to keep that dollar, I'm not necessarily going to spend it on something that also emits X CO2. In fact, it'd probably be pretty difficult to do worse than paying a company to burn up as much coal as possible for $1 and give me the energy produced. Buying gasoline could be as bad, maybe, but most alternative uses will not be, therefore there will be less "CO2 emissions-per-dollar-spent".

      the most efficient way of reducing CO2-emissions is to not earn a living.

      Actually, given the premise that consumption in general is the cause of CO2 emissions, the most efficient way of reducing emissions would be to earn a living and then not spend any of it. After all, if you refuse to work, your potential employer will just take that money and do something else with it, right? Something that will probably contribute to CO2 emissions. So the most efficient thing to do would be to earn a lot of money and then sit on it - literally, take it out of the bank (banks invest your money in CO2 emitting companies/governments) and put it under your bed, or just destroy it entirely. This is the only way you can really be sure it won't be used for CO2-emitting consumption, and the more money you "take out of circulation" this way, the less consumption is possible.

      The problem with this strategy is, unfortunately, that the government creates as much money as they want. If money is taken out of circulation, they can just add more in to replace it and keep the cycle of consumption going. Really, money is only effective when spent, which brings me back to my original point. Strategically spending money (give money only to institutions which are helping to reduce CO2 emissions, boycott outright those which increase it) is possible, and unfortunately in a capitalist economy, probably the best available way to create a net positive impact on CO2 emissions.

    34. Re:feasible by undercanopy · · Score: 1

      that $20bn could build an awful lot of wind turbines.

      have you actually seen them in action? i guess it's a personal thing, but i find the one near me rather beautiful... it's brilliant white, has sleek lines and is basically free power.

      ridges in populated areas are already littered with broadcast towers, what's wring with a few wind turbines (at a fraction of the height, mind you) up there to generate very cheap power?

      I'm not talking about clear cutting forest land to put in wind farms, but why not off the coast, or on ridges, etc.. ?

      what is it that makes them so horrible?

      --
      -- D-23994, Muff#2613
    35. Re:feasible by Dare+nMc · · Score: 2, Informative

      Not only is the theoretical maximum efficiency of blackbody air to water (with solar deflectors added in) max out to around 60%, so not much improvement needed to be equal. (since this 40%+ efficiency needs deflector as well)

      being in the process of doing a solar water heater myself, regardless the path you choose, you still have to run a pump, to even get close to a 14% solar direct to water heater efficiency.

      IE you can place the storage tank above the heater, and pull your fresh water through the heater, and storage tank, allowing some thermal circulation, then your incoming water pressure to move things, but you surely won't be anywhere near even the 14% efficiency of a 14% EF PV panel (you will be much, much cheaper though)

      in my system I have got a 65Watt 12VDC water pump circulating pump, and on order, 3*15Watt PV solar panels, a cheap charge controller and a solar panel. I am re-using my old water heater, and ordering a on-demand water heater to make up for only having room for a 20 gallon tank, when a 100 Gallon tank would be better sized.

      even 100% DIY, many free parts, and Arizona sun. I am still going to be over $1000, to save maybe $200 a year in grid electric.

    36. Re:feasible by TheMeuge · · Score: 1
      that $20bn could build an awful lot of wind turbines.

      And we should've never spent money of nuclear research. All those billions would've been better spent digging up coal.

      By the way, that's not that many wind turbines. They cost tens of millions each... and produce amounts of power that I don't believe are worth it.

      As for what I don't like about them -> they are GIANT 200ft windmills! I am not Don Quixote... I am not going to fight them.

      P.S. 20bn also buys a number of fission power plants... which will produce a hell of a lot more power than the windmills.
    37. Re:feasible by undercanopy · · Score: 2, Informative

      for reference, i'm referring to the newer, more sleekly designed turbines than the older scaffold-looking eyesores (i'll agree with you there)

      given an estimated total build cost of $1.60/watt, that's roughly equivalent to nuclear, but without all of the ongoing costs of large security forces, fuel cycles, decommissioning, and all of the nasty waste left over. let's not forget that uranium is getting more expensive and the spent fuel is piling up.

      Now, i'm not anti-nuclear, in fact i think we should be building breeders as fast as wen can, but to discount wind, which is economically similar to nuclear in build cost per watt, is cheaper to maintain, and doesn't have a lot of the nasty side effects because of someone as subjective as "it's ugly".... seems silly to me>

      how pretty are a bunch more nuclear reactors all over the place?

      how much beautiful habitat will your kids miss out on because there's a power plant there?

      how much land will be restricted from your babies eyes because of the countless acres around the waste storage facility that are cordoned off for national security?

      wind turbines can be put right where power is needed if the location has a steady breeze, the're high enough off the ground that the land underneath is still usable for farming or.... whatever.

      it's not nearly as ugly as it used to be, is it really worth discounting?

      --
      -- D-23994, Muff#2613
    38. Re:feasible by TheMeuge · · Score: 1

      "how pretty are a bunch more nuclear reactors all over the place?"

      You need a lot less of them.

      "how much beautiful habitat will your kids miss out on because there's a power plant there?"

      They don't need to be placed on high, windblown places.

      "how much land will be restricted from your babies eyes because of the countless acres around the waste storage facility that are cordoned off for national security?"

      See rebuttal #1.

      "it's not nearly as ugly as it used to be, is it really worth discounting?"

      That's irrelevant. I am an environmentalist... partly because I love nature. I am an avid hiker, and I already have enough eyesores when I see high voltage wiring all over the mountains... even without the 200ft windmills.

      Surely, in some locations, some wind power may be a solution. But it doesn't scale well. Certainly it cannot be discounted, but neither can it be counted on to be a major source of power.

    39. Re:feasible by redcane · · Score: 1

      The problem is, what do you do when you have done all that? Hopefully your energy demands are now low enough you can cover it with a small amount of solar panels.

    40. Re:feasible by redcane · · Score: 1

      Even when a computer is "soft-off" some power supplies draw a couple of watts just to keep the PCs clock, and power switch working.... Newer supplies are better at this of course. It will use the same power if you just plug it in of course.

    41. Re:feasible by redcane · · Score: 1

      If you get a grid feed system, you don't need batteries... ;-)

    42. Re:feasible by Smidge204 · · Score: 1

      Just so you know, I'd like to point out two things:

      1) The site you linked to regarding solar collector efficiencies talks about heat engines, and mentions nothing about water heating. It makes plenty of mention about blackbody radiation, though, unfortunately all the math about efficiencies is using Carnot formulas and using ambient air temperatures as a heat sink - neither of which apply to this scenario. Try again.

      2) The PDF you linked to is a little outdated and talks about using air source heat pumps, not ground source heat pumps like we were talking about (Hence the piss-poor COP ratings). That's a slightly different ball game because air source devices need to operate over a much wider temperature range than ground source devices. Might wanna compare apples to apples instead.

      A standard, flat, solar-water panel does peak out at around 60% efficiency (I'll chalk up the similarity between this industry standard value and the site you linked to as coincidence, because the way they were arrived at are completely different). However concentrating designs - or configurations more elaborate than "a bunch of pipes in a box" - can certainly achieve higher efficiencies. Non-concentrating evacuated tube designs get up to about 75% for example... and they work great in colder climates where heat pumps have a really hard time.

      =Smidge=

    43. Re:feasible by vacuum_tuber · · Score: 1

      You should have your head examined.

      BTW, there is no such thing as federal property tax. Property taxes in the U.S. are levied under State authority, usually at the County level.

      --
      Look at the bright side: there's always seppuku.
    44. Re:feasible by Dare+nMc · · Score: 1

      good info, the statement you originally raised was that their was no comparing PV vs direct HotWater in efficiency. Their is not such a obvious winner in efficiency as you originally thought, but a clear winner in cost were my only points (I think we agree currently their?)

      Also, unfortunately I am not going to mix solar with anything resembling those 4 Ton ground based Heat exchanges, for a normal house. Those $6000 HeatPump units, would probably require $50,000+ worth of PV array to turn (so really not worth it to me to talk about curently.) So anything commercially available now with 4+ EF is out of my realistic range.

      I think I could stack up $2000 of PV panels, and turn one of the available HWHP water heaters. If I could modify that to go off of water instead of air, then I got something for some significant cooling and heating, whole house even, cold/hot water to boot.

      Now, I am also interested in what can be done with say taking apart a window A/C. IE, I would very much like to find a small window AC unit, stack up some PV arrays to turn the compressor with a new DC motor, and again pump water across the heat exchanger. In theory for a few grand, I could be getting a little solar cooling and heat their also (this is more for camping, than just home.)

    45. Re:feasible by evilviper · · Score: 1

      the efficiency is stated as 1.4 (IE you get 40% more heating of the water than pure electric power into)

      Very start of the paper:

      "Heat pump water heaters (HPWH) have the potential to reduce annual water heating costs for residential and commercial buildings by a factor of 2 or more compared to conventional electric resistance water heating products."

      Later they cite 2.47 for one unit. The only 40% I noticed was the absolutely worst case scenario. And more importantly, that paper is about ambient-air heat pumps, where ground-source universally does far better, no matter the local climate.

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    46. Re:feasible by BigDogCH · · Score: 1

      Makes sense, but I think we were referring to on-grid homes...........maybe not.

    47. Re:feasible by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      I specified off grid because on-grid doesn't make sense to me. The payoff time is too long. Whereas an off-grid install can be justified if the costs of hooking up to a distant grid is too high.

      The economies are still the same though. Solar water heating is highly efficient and the panels are cheap. Solar electric panels are expensive and relatively inefficient.

      There are people who install solar water heating without doing any sort of photovoltiac systems to save money.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    48. Re:feasible by joto · · Score: 1

      I think you're presupposing that all possible things someone can spend money on have the same CO2-emission potential. $1 worth of burnt coal (in the form of electricity) produces X amount of CO2.

      Yes. This is, in general, my presuppotion (wow, I learned a new word today). Sure, you can actively spend your money on burning coal for energy you don't need. But assuming you spend money for only things you want or need (food, clothing, housing, transport, various luxury items), I believe it more or less averages out. Our economy is more or less based on energy (energy is used in production of just about any product or service (including food, clothing, housing, transport, and various luxury items). Energy can theoretically be created by more CO2-emission-reduction-friendlier ways than burning fossil fuels, but in reality, it's hard to choose this. When you connect to the electric grid, a certain percentage will be created by burning fossil fuels. Even if you buy your own wind-mill, it's hard to control whether the energy used in the production of it (and the production and transport of the materials needed) comes from "clean" energy. Government regulation of the energy market (e.g. by simply not allowing fossil fuel power plants) would work, but that is not something you can do by being a conscientious buyer.

      Actually, given the premise that consumption in general is the cause of CO2 emissions, the most efficient way of reducing emissions would be to earn a living and then not spend any of it.

      Even if you are stuffing all your money into your mattress, you are still doing something that creates value. Your employer will benefit from your work, and the state will take a certain percentage as taxes. By being unemployed and living from welfare, you make sure that you aren't contributing to anyone, instead, figuratively speaking, you are stealing other peoples tax money.

      The problem with this strategy is, unfortunately, that the government creates as much money as they want. If money is taken out of circulation, they can just add more in to replace it and keep the cycle of consumption going.

      Assuming you keep working, and thus actual work is being done, yes. If everybody was on welfare, such a strategy from the government would fail, and simply reduce the value of all money. See third world countries, Germany during and after WW1, etc...

    49. Re:feasible by xappax · · Score: 1

      Even if you are stuffing all your money into your mattress, you are still doing something that creates value.

      I don't get it, I thought consumption (and the money required for consumption) was the problem? Seems like producing value is the opposite of consumption. Someone pays me $50 to fix their computer. I do it, take their $50, and stuff it in my mattress. How has this increased CO2 emissions?

      By being unemployed and living from welfare, you make sure that you aren't contributing to anyone, instead, figuratively speaking, you are stealing other peoples tax money.

      So you're still getting income and spending it on CO2 producing stuff (like food, clothes, shelter), the only difference is you're getting it from the government instead of an employer, and you don't have to create any value to get it. Again, I'm confused - how does creating value automatically increase CO2 emissions? Assuming of course the process you use to create value doesn't involve creating greenhouse gases or destroying vegetation. Obviously an airplane pilot or a coal miner does, but there are plenty of ways to create value that don't.

    50. Re:feasible by joto · · Score: 1

      Your consumption of stuff is not the problem, global consumption of fossil fuel is the problem. Whether you yourself are buying products or services that contribute to this, or are enabling others to do it, is immaterial. As long as your actions helps create value, and thus enabling someone to pay oil-companies (and gas- and coal-companies) for their products, you are still contributing to CO2-emissions. Sure, it's better to stuff money in your mattress than to spend them on plane-tickets, but if you absolutely don't want to contribute anything to CO2-emissions, you'd better not help anyone else get rich either.

    51. Re:feasible by si618 · · Score: 1

      Absolutely.

      In Australia, and no doubt many other parts of the world, along with ensuring proper insulation and efficient temperature control, solar water heating is the best way to save on money and greenhouse gas emission for your home. We recently moved into our new (16 year old) home, and one of the (many) reasons I was keen to buy was the house faces north by north east, with the living areas on the northern side, and the roof is perfectly positioned to capture solar energy. That and it's a short ride or walk to work.

      Unfortunately, with the increased cost of housing in Australia, it means I have less to spend on home improvements and more on financing our mortgage (currently gobbles up 37.5% of my net wage), so a grid connect solar panel system is still too expensive for our family. We're already on mains natural gas and evaporative cooling, but as soon as the next federal election is done, we're investing in solar water heating, and then putting in rainwater tanks for the garden and veggie patch. Both solar water heating and rainwater capture systems should receive increased subsidies thanks to the drought and increased energy demand. Next on the list after that is a gray-water system for the washing machine and showers.

      I really like how our electricity and gas bills now show us the amount of CO2 generated to provide us with energy. I estimate our 3 person household generates around 5 tonnes of CO2 per year, and although we use so-called green energy (combination of carbon offset and partial renewable power generation) I'm keen to try and get that down to less than a half a tonne per person per year. Solar water heating should help a lot.

      There are two things I'd like to see happen to get everything thinking and acting about energy efficiency:

      1. Link a portion of vehicle registration costs with their fuel efficiency. i.e. People who drive larger more polluting vehicles should pay more than those who drive smaller more efficient vehicles. Any extra money generated should be used for R&D in improving transport efficiency.

      2. Link a portion of council rates to the amount energy consumption used by a household. i.e. People who consume more energy and water, and generate more pollution should pay more than those who use less. Any extra money generated should be used for R&D in improving home efficiency.

      You could say that the free market will take care of this, as energy costs rise people will be forced into efficiency, but there are people who can afford it regardless, and why should we wait until later when we know the problem exists now?

      --
      Sometimes I doubt your commitment to Sparkle Motion
  5. hmmm. by apodyopsis · · Score: 4, Informative

    I'm interested in solar power as a means of lowering the fossil dependency - but there are other, better means of doing so. The CE manufacturers need to meet them half way and mandate more efficient devices that consume less power and bring back the humble ON/OFF switch that actually did turn off the power. Is it that hard to walk to the TV? And, of course, wind and tidal need to be followed up.

    The main problem is the general public. Everybody wants wind power (but not in their back yard) you have to actually change the law and rubbish collection to get them to recycle, and everybody needs to buy the latest and most powerful gadget on the market.

    Making a more efficient solar cell is an excellent step, but I'd be more interested in a more *cheap* one so they can be taken up on a mass scale.

    1. Re:hmmm. by NeilTheStupidHead · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Everybody wants wind power (but not in their back yard) That's one thing that I've never understood. I used to live about an hour's drive from a wind turbine and drove by it several times a day. I could never wait to drive by because I loved the sight. My new home is very windy and could benefit greatly from wind power. I simply cannot fathom the resistance to wind turbines.

      One thing I have always wondered though: given the fairly large surface area of the turbine blades, would it be possible to add a photosensitive material and pull a bit of power from the sun too? Probably not terribly practical at the moment, but I seem to recall reading, probably on /., about a paint on solar panel.
      --
      Lose: misplace or fail || Loose: not bound together
    2. Re:hmmm. by Calinous · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The wind turbines convert some of the wind power in electricity, some of it goes in vortexes, and some goes into sound. A small wind turbine will spin at higher rpm in wind, and the noise might become unpleasant.
            As for solar power from blades' surface - the tower where the turbine is seated has more surface area than the blades, extra mass is not usually a problem, and you have a sun-facing side - the blades don't always have a sun-facing side (so you'll need to put panels on both sides), the shape of the blades is critical for efficiency, and mass in a fast rotating, very long blade is always a problem

    3. Re:hmmm. by pzs · · Score: 2, Interesting

      What really depresses me is seeing the general public in interview and their complacency and dismissiveness about global climate change. People's sense of entitlement is astonishing: "I work hard so I have the right to a low-cost long-haul flight," even if we've done without that "right" for thousands of years and those flights are ultimately destroying the planet.

      There is also the huge number of people who believe that the consensus of thousands of scientists on climate change is a "global conspiracy" and their fear that it may eventually mean, shock horror, more taxes. This from people who will never know hunger, get free education and health care and live in the extreme safety and tranquiltiy of a developed nation. If you think I'm making this up, try looking at the "Have Your Say" debates on the BBC News web page.

      It really is enough to make me think this is a good idea.

      Peter

    4. Re:hmmm. by hcdejong · · Score: 3, Informative

      My parents live in an area that has lots of wind turbines. A few years ago, many of these were small, high-rpm turbines that were clearly audible from hundreds of meters away. Sitting in the back yard, you always had this droning noise in the background, this could be very annoying.
      Things did get better when they started replacing the small turbines with fewer, much larger ones. The turbines closest to their house were removed, and the new turbines ran at much lower rpm which means they produce less noise.

      As for sticking solar panels onto the turbine blades: this would make the blades heavier and less efficient. Also, you'd have to add slip rings on the root of each blade, and on the main shaft to transfer the power.
      Slip rings are expensive, heavy and they need maintenance, especially when you're transferring significant amounts of power through them.

    5. Re:hmmm. by monk.e.boy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      My friend lives about a mile away from a small wind farm. I is very noisy, it sounds like cars on a freeway, but far too regular. Almost like a loud heart beat. And when the sun catches the blades you get a nice strobe effect which sends you fucking crazy after an hour or so.

      My friend is selling up.

      I can't wait, we never visit him any more. His house sucks.

      Wind farms are ok - so long as they aren't in your back yard. Solar and Nuke is the real future.

      monk.e.boy

      PS check my .sig for Open Source Flash Charts (bar, line, area and pie)

    6. Re:hmmm. by lauwersw · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There's another idea about this gaining attention. Suppose people do care and start conserving energy. They pay less for their energy bill, so that means they own more money. What do they do with this money? Spend it on other things of course! So that means other people are earning more money, for example in other parts of the world that are currently using less energy. What will they do with this extra money? Yes, spend it and in that process use more energy than they would have before!

      Net result? 0

      Maybe this is just a general law in nature: a species will use up all resources it can find. The only real solution would be a real clean source of energy. Your alternative would work too, but is way less attractive ;-)
    7. Re:hmmm. by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There is also the huge number of people who believe that the consensus of thousands of scientists on climate change is a "global conspiracy" and their fear that it may eventually mean, shock horror, more taxes.
      This believe is partly justified. The conspiracy isn't by the scientists, and isn't a global conspiracy either, but the climate scare has given the meddlers of any political stripe the perfect pretext to push their own agendas. The climate debate has been thoroughly politicised, at the expense of proper science. That does not mean that all conclusions are incorrect or made up, but very often peer reviews are sorely lacking, and many reports have had chapters and sections stricken in the final draft, because those sections could cast doubt on the severity or existence of human impact on the climate. In many cases scientists voicing such doubts have not been gainsaid, but fired from "scientific" institutions. Because a widespread doubt in our impact on the climate would spoil the party for the meddlesome politicians. The political stakes are huge, perhaps the largest of any issue in our history.

      Why are long term trends not taken into account in these reports, for example. It is rubbish to say that we cannot accurately predict climate that far into the future because our short-term predictions are not very good. After all, we cannot predict the little ups & downs in next month's weather, but we can predict that winter will follow summer and autumn, and we know what the trends are in each of those seasons. The long-term trends in global weather can be predicted as well.

      On a geological timescale, we are in high summer. Winter is coming, and in 10.000 years we'll be in an ice age. The start of the downward trend in average temperatures is imminent (which means anywhere between now and 1.000 years)... Perhaps that is why the IPCC report does not look any further than the year 2100, the scary hockeystick curve will flatten out after that year, and if you look even further it will drop. Our distant descendants (if any) may even be grateful for the extra CO2 we have released, since it might make the next ice age a little less severe.

      But with all that said, conservation and reducing our dependancy on a limited resource is a good thing. But I refuse to join in the mindless panic.
      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    8. Re:hmmm. by Eisenstein · · Score: 1
      half way and mandate more efficient devices that consume less power and bring back the humble ON/OFF switch that actually did turn off the power.

      Oh, yes. I bought several of those multi-outlet things with their own ON/OFF-switch for everything I don't need to run while I'm not actively using it. Saves money and temperature down.

    9. Re:hmmm. by Anomolous+Cowturd · · Score: 1

      Go to the brothel.

      Not everything that can be bought is bad for the environment.

      --
      Software patents delenda est.
    10. Re:hmmm. by russ1337 · · Score: 2, Funny

      They pay less for their energy bill, so that means they own more money....Spend it on other things and in that process use more energy than they would have before....Net result? 0
      I didn't realize my energy company was denying me spendable income with the intention of saving the planet. Here I thought they were just squeezing every cent from their customers for profits!
    11. Re:hmmm. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      The hooker herself can be inherently bad for the environment unless you find an off-the-grid vegan hooker. But by that point, she's so skinny and annoyingly opinionated that you really wouldn't want to touch her with a 20 foot pole. Besides, those emo frame glasses were made from petroleum.

    12. Re:hmmm. by pjabardo · · Score: 5, Interesting

      These are *VERY* wise words!

      Instead of making more money, people could work less. Instead of buying all sorts of shit, people could do much cleaner things such as talking, writing, riding a bike, going to a brothel, taking a walk, singing, playing a part on a play, painting, fighting (if not pushed too far it is not necessarily bad for some people...).

      It is way too simplistic to say that there is a law of nature that says we will end up using every resource available. We are supposed to be rational beings even if we often do stupid things. One of the things of being rational (or partly rational) is that we can choose what we do. We don't simply answer any call of the wild (even if there is such a thing).

      We are changing from a production society to a consumer one. We are becoming a bunch of morons that just sit and receive stuff. Not very different from the Eloi in H. G. Wells' The Time Machine. I don't think just consuming is satisfying enough. It is much easier (and faster) just to watch a movie than it is to tell a story and we end up watching 10 movies. Maybe a little boredom is good for creativity. It certainly is much cleaner than riding a car 100 km to do anything "new".

    13. Re:hmmm. by tehcyder · · Score: 2, Funny

      I simply cannot fathom the resistance to wind turbines.
      They're planning on one near where I live, and the most amusing objection/worry is that one of the blades might fly off and decapitate a swathe of children playing in their school a few hundred yeards away...
      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    14. Re:hmmm. by Knutsi · · Score: 1

      Maybe this is just a general law in nature: a species will use up all resources it can find. The only real solution would be a real clean source of energy. Your alternative would work too, but is way less attractive ;-)

      Not really, since there are several spices on top of various food chains, and they don't eat a whole lot more than their stomachs can hold. But your point reaches to the root of the problem however: the reason these creatures don't virally consume the world like we do, is that they are unable to transform things they have not evolved to transform (food, sticks for nests etc) into anything useful.

      The "law" should read: "A species will deplete any resource it can transform into being usefully for itself to such a degree that it causes population growth"

      Our amazing ability to to just that, as was paved way for when we discovered our present totalitarian agriculture, is what is consuming the planet. IMHO, the answers to global warming is to a.) Become aware we are consuming the planet in a viral fashion, b.) Stop population growth, c.) Reduce population numbers, d.) Base our technology on environmentally friendly methods when possible, and it does not impede progress

    15. Re:hmmm. by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      There is also the huge number of people who believe that the consensus of thousands of scientists on climate change is a "global conspiracy" and their fear that it may eventually mean, shock horror, more taxes.
      I believe they're usually called "American slashdot readers."
      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    16. Re:hmmm. by lauwersw · · Score: 1

      That's exactly the point: what will the people there do with the money they just earned? They won't spend it at the same place, but probably by a car with it or whatever. In the end: they'll consume more energy!

    17. Re:hmmm. by lauwersw · · Score: 1

      That's the key: we're supposed to. Maybe as individuals we can be very smart, but as a herd we act very stupid, consuming all resources. Everybody wants to be rich and spend money. Those 1% that don't, will not count in the end result. We're doomed. Or we should conquer the universe, that will take us a little longer to consume.

    18. Re:hmmm. by OldBus · · Score: 3, Funny

      I simply cannot fathom the resistance to wind turbines
      It's probably drag and friction...
    19. Re:hmmm. by Retric · · Score: 2, Informative

      1) Ice ages are somewhat random events so saying 10,000 years we will be in an ice age is silly it may have already happened or yet to start. Looking back several million years ices ages have no where near the consistency as the seasons. They don't all get as cold they don't last the same amount of time and they don't occur on a regular basis.

      2) Both sides are trying to muddy the waters. You don't hear "Everything will be fine" and you don't hear "We are all going to die" because there is some give and take with every publication.

      3) Some people think we can't change the climate. But looking at the "Dust Bowl" in the US and "urban heat island effect" it's clear we can alter the local climate in significant ways.

      4) It's generally accepted that increasing CO2 increases global temperature up to a point but we don't know what all the effects of increased global temperature are going to be. It's probably going to be expensive / destructive for low lieing costal cities but most of the temperature increase is going to occur in the north which might increase economic activity enough to help offset some of the damage.

      IMO: I suspect in the long term (1000+ years) we will carefully control the worlds climate. Over the realy long term 10,000 - 1,000,000 years we may decide to alter the earths orbit and fine craft our heat output to deal with the amount of energy we are generating, but right now we don't have the tools or experience to deal with significant climate change. As with most significant changes large numbers of people are going to die and then the world will adjust and move on. It's not the end of the world just the end of our world as we know it.

    20. Re:hmmm. by RocketScientist · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I think you have a valid point but you need to look at why this happened.

      Among the general public, basically they've had the "global warming" concept beat into their heads, but they're watching the people doing it fly around the world in private jets and live in houses with 4K/month electricity bills.

      Among the geek skeptics, like myself, what I see is not science, it's religion. It's "we've solved this problem, we know it's happening, so NO MORE DEBATE ABOUT IT!!!!". That's not science. We're still debating gravity, we're still debating inertia, we're debating light as a particle or wave. That's science. The "no more debate, no more discussion, this is happening and anyone who doesn't believe must be shunned" vibe from most environmentalists is simply religion, not science. Not that the other side's better, buying off scientists and spinning science to meet a political agenda funded by energy companies. But therein lies the problem: this is a political issue, not a scientific one.

      My main problem is that we're extrapolating a 4 billion year old climate with about 150 years of directly observed but partial data and 30 years of directly observed global data. The tree ring studies originally done were riddled with accounting problems and were, very likely, fraudulent, and the remaining indirect methods seem to point in many different directions. Further complicating the issue is the ad hominem attacks every time a study comes out that supports either side. If I was an environmental scientist at this point, and no matter what I published I risked physical threats to my security, I'd probably find another line of work. That's the position we've put these people in. They can't publish science anymore, everything they publish is a religious tract, hoping to sway one camp or the other to provide them protection and cash so they can continue their work.

      Back on topic: Solar cells are nice, but once you factor in the environmental cost of production they're not efficient. Greenhouse gases are not the only pollutants, they're just the fashionable ones to bitch about right now. Arsenic, volatile and carcinogenic organics, acids, and heavy metals are created/liberated as a byproduct of solar cell production. The problems of these pollutants haven't been solved, they've just taken a back seat to greenhouse gases. When you consider the immediate problem of groundwater pollution against a backdrop of a possible global warming problem, solar cells seem to sell out the immediate problem in favor of the long term one. We've got the technologies to solve both problems with a minimum in absolute terms of toxic byproducts, but ironically the environmental movement hates it.

      go nukes.

      We have the solution to the problem, we just need the environmental movement in this western world to actually go through the enlightenment and discover that maybe, just maybe, science might fix this problem instead of religion.

    21. Re:hmmm. by Sandbags · · Score: 3, Interesting

      We don't even need a true power on off switch that has to be flipped manually. What we need is a remote power switch that cuts main power, and a small, rechargeable battery cell that can respond to the remote and re-activate main power. A tiny battery and a capacitor to have enough juice to throw a 2.5 volt magnetic switch would add about $1 in manufacturing costs to home theater devices, but save dozens per year in electric fees per home for "trickle" devices. All network devices should support Wake on LAN, but unfortunately, most don't (or do, but people don't know what that means or how to use it).

      Unfortunately, a lot of devices are always on, like DVRs, game stations with online access, and more. They do a lot of work at night updating databases, downloading new content, etc, and simply have to remain on. The fact that an XBox 360 doesn't spin down the graphic system power and down clock it's CPUs is a design issue we can change. An Apple TV box uses less than 20 watts when "asleep" and that included downloading content over wireless. Why can't the XBox and PS3 do that? They could even drop into an even lower power state when idle, spin down the HDD, and only "wake up" every 90 minutes or so to check for content without spinning the drive up again unless it needs to.

      Unfortunately, there are even more devices we can't really do anything about that are the real sappers in the house. The cable modem, wireless router/firewall, VoIP modem, second access point to cover downstairs, possibly an extra switch to add more than 4 wired devices (I have 7), and base station and answering machine for wireless phones. That's just the network. Now add the garage door opener, automatic sprinkler system, home alarm and smoke detectors (most run on house power and rechargeable batteries now), safety lights in your halls and bathrooms (night lights), and several clocks.

      I work for a computer systems manufacturer. We've got a meter (magnetic ring type thing) at the office that encircles a power line and displays the power being used by the device. We have it so we can document in our white papers the power consumption of our devices. I brought it home and played with it a few months ago when having a forum argument with another individual on this. My 27" tube TV used about 2 watts when sleeping. My 37" LCD used less than 1. My PS2 used no power (but the transformer was using 2 watts). My cable box used 12 watts when asleep, DVR used between 20 and 50 depending on what it was doing when asleep. What surprised me was the coffee pot was using 3 watts when off (it has a tiny built in clock). The 2 alarm clocks we have each use 5 watts. Adding up all my idle devices I was just over 220Watts in use! 10% of that was in scent plug-ins around the house and night lights, about 20% was in our cable boxes alone. 25% was in devices I can't turn off, like the garage opener, stove clock, built in microwave, etc. Another 20% was in my home theater equipment (amp, dvd, vcr, and TVs). There were some other random devices around as well, not including my network setup...

      After finding this out, I installed a "step on" power extension (like people use under the Christmas tree) in line between the wall and home theater, so I can press one switch at night to turn off all the device in the HT setup (except the DVR which has to stay pugged in all the time per the cable company or they'll void the warranty on the device). I threw out all the scent plug-ins in favor of passively diffused oils and popuri. I changed the few night lights we had out for LCD versions. I now have a programmable timer power strip in the computer room that I have 2 laptops, a small TV, a printer and a network switch hooked up to. Each night at 11:00PM the adapter cuts power to the laptops (which hibernate automatically after 15 minutes when on battery), my printers, the switch they're connected to, and the TV and cable box in there. My HTPC now uses sleep mode with Wake on Lan to save power and automatically shuts down and powers

      --
      There is no contest in life for which the unprepared have the advantage.
    22. Re:hmmm. by Ambitwistor · · Score: 3, Interesting

      That does not mean that all conclusions are incorrect or made up, but very often peer reviews are sorely lacking, The actual scientific literature published in journals is peer reviewed.

      and many reports have had chapters and sections stricken in the final draft, because those sections could cast doubt on the severity or existence of human impact on the climate. In many cases scientists voicing such doubts have not been gainsaid, but fired from "scientific" institutions. Please, give examples.

      And while you've raised the issue, shall we discuss political meddling in the opposite direction (cough EPA report cough)?

      Why are long term trends not taken into account in these reports, for example. They look at century time scales, but not longer, because (despite what you say) predictions are very hard to do for longer timescales, especially given the uncertainty in what humans will be doing in terms of atmospheric emissions and land use changes. Remember, climate physics is not the only input into climate prediction; you need projections of human activity as well. (See here.)

      Winter is coming, and in 10.000 years we'll be in an ice age. The start of the downward trend in average temperatures is imminent (which means anywhere between now and 1.000 years)... It is far from established when the next ice age cycle is going to start, and there are some who claim that due to patterns in orbital dynamics, the current interglacial could be exceptionally long (as long as 50,000 years). (See here.)

      Perhaps that is why the IPCC report does not look any further than the year 2100 Perhaps it is, as I said, hard to project much more than a century or two in advance.

      the scary hockeystick curve will flatten out after that year, and if you look even further it will drop The current rate of warming far exceeds the natural rate of cooling during glaciation. That rate of warming will eventually level off, but it's not going to be outweighed by glaciation any time in the next few centuries.

      It is true that eventually we will enter a new ice age, regardless of global warming, but no one is "ignoring" this fact. It's just farther off into the future; right now, the warming is what we have to deal with. If warming is a problem, you can't just ignore it because someday it will be cooler.

      Our distant descendants (if any) may even be grateful for the extra CO2 we have released, since it might make the next ice age a little less severe. If that turns out to be the case, it's better to release the CO2 then, rather than now, when we don't need it. As we have seen already, it's far easier to raise the temperature quickly than it is to cool it, having to do with the ease in emitting CO2 as a byproduct of civilization and with the long residence time of CO2 in the atmosphere.
    23. Re:hmmm. by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 1

      Ice ages are somewhat random events so saying 10,000 years we will be in an ice age is silly it may have already happened or yet to start. Looking back several million years ices ages have no where near the consistency as the seasons. They don't all get as cold they don't last the same amount of time and they don't occur on a regular basis.
      They are less random than it seems. There are models to predict them based on a number of climate cycles of varying periodicity and amplitude. Last time I read about this there were 6 of these supposed cycles, with numbers 4-6 being rather disputed (but they are also the ones of the lowest amplitude). Number 1-3 are related to celestial activity and are fairly well understood. They also match previous ice ages quite well (as far as can be determined), both in time, duration and severity. That's not to say that there aren't a few ice ages that do not match these cycles, but the trend is fairly well predictable.
      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    24. Re:hmmm. by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      My main problem is that we're extrapolating a 4 billion year old climate with about 150 years of directly observed but partial data and 30 years of directly observed global data. Well, what is your argument that this amount of data is insufficient to extrapolate the next 100 years? This is not just a statistical fit to data being extrapolated, either; there is actual physics involved.

      The tree ring studies originally done were riddled with accounting problems and were, very likely, fraudulent, Pretty strong words. I'm familiar with the M&M criticisms, but I'd like to see the basis of claims about outright fraud.

      and the remaining indirect methods seem to point in many different directions. Non-tree ring proxies, borehole temperature reconstructions, and the direct instrumental record all support late 20th century warming.

      If I was an environmental scientist at this point, and no matter what I published I risked physical threats to my security, I'd probably find another line of work. Very few scientists have actually received physical threats to their security.

      They can't publish science anymore, everything they publish is a religious tract, hoping to sway one camp or the other to provide them protection and cash so they can continue their work. Ok, please cite examples from the peer reviewed scientific literature of studies which are unscientific religious tracts.

    25. Re:hmmm. by koning_robot · · Score: 1

      It really is enough to make me think this is a good idea. Not much is needed to justify VHEMT. When the world population is increasing exponentially, it's bullshit to ban incandescent bulbs and think you're doing The Right Thing. If you don't breed, you can eat all the meat you want and burn all the gas you want and probably still have a smaller ecological footprint than a vegan with children (because the children will probably breed, and so will their children).

      Having children in this day and age is nothing to be proud of.
      --
      Good parents don't have children.
    26. Re:hmmm. by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Please, give examples.
      Here's one. The same happened with two scientists in a Dutch government-run climatological research institute. I'm sure you can find others, and I am also sure each of these examples can (and have) been countered by arguments of these scientists being fired for bad science or using "improper channels" to release their counter-claims.

      And while you've raised the issue, shall we discuss political meddling in the opposite direction (cough EPA report cough)?
      My point is that the entire climate debate is no longer about science, but about politics. That goes for both sides of the table, however most politicians, scientists and activists have far more to gain by a "let's impose controls" attitude than with a "nothing to see here, move along" attitude, the global warming camp is far more influential than the sceptics camp.

      The current rate of warming far exceeds the natural rate of cooling during glaciation.
      The current rate of warming is nothing exceptional, and might even be just a ripple in the trend. The past has seen increases in temperature of higher rates and over a larger range. That's also the pattern to most ice ages (and we're at the peak following a small one of a couple 100 years ago): a slow decline in temperature, followed by a sharp ramp upwards.

      It is true that eventually we will enter a new ice age, regardless of global warming, but no one is "ignoring" this fact. It's just farther off into the future; right now, the warming is what we have to deal with. If warming is a problem, you can't just ignore it because someday it will be cooler.
      Warming and cooling are natural trends, on which we have some (small influence). We should be worried about the warming trend, but not exaggerate our supposed influence. Thart's like worrying about a small wave, while the normal tide raises and drops the water level by several meters.

      As we have seen already, it's far easier to raise the temperature quickly than it is to cool it, having to do with the ease in emitting CO2 as a byproduct of civilization and with the long residence time of CO2 in the atmosphere.
      We have seen nothing yet. The current increase in temperature might be a ripple in the trend, it fits the trend itself, and it might also be caused or aggravated by human influence. But in the history of the earth it is most certainly not anything out of the ordinary.
      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    27. Re:hmmm. by Hoi+Polloi · · Score: 1

      "more taxes"

      Or lower taxes when they offer tax breaks for using lower impact tech or simply because you are spending less on resources.

      I think the real worry among the "it ain't happening" crowd is that they will have to show self restraint with regard to consumerism or be restricted against their will. They want their massive vehicles, gas powered toys, huge homes, etc.

      --
      It is by the juice of the coffee bean that thoughts acquire speed, the teeth acquire stains. The stains become a warning
    28. Re:hmmm. by Jeremi · · Score: 1
      We're still debating gravity, we're still debating inertia, we're debating light as a particle or wave. That's science.


      Where, exactly, is anyone still debating whether or not gravity, inertia, or light exist? We might still be discussing the details of how they work, but if you were to go around saying any of those was a myth you'd be ridiculed, and rightly so.


      To paraphrase, we know gravity is real, so NO MORE DEBATE ABOUT IT. :^)


      Solar cells are nice, but once you factor in the environmental cost of production they're not efficient. [...] go nukes.


      Nukes are nice, but once you factor in the political costs (proliferation) they're not efficient. Once everybody has nuclear technology, how much cheap power would the world have to generate to offset the costs of the occasional nuclear war?

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    29. Re:hmmm. by Ambitwistor · · Score: 2, Informative

      Here's one.

      A rather one-sided presentation, I might add, but since you concede that this has already been countered by pointing out Albright's poor science and publishing his own website calling his boss's work a "myth", I don't need to get into details.

      The same happened with two scientists in a Dutch government-run climatological research institute.

      Really? Who? The only one I've heard of is Tennekes, and as far as I've ever been able to determine, he was not fired — he simply retired. He certainly has said nothing to the contrary himself; all the claims about him being fired can be traced back to an off-hand claim by Lindzen.

      Who else were you thinking of?

      That goes for both sides of the table, however most politicians, scientists and activists have far more to gain by a "let's impose controls" attitude than with a "nothing to see here, move along" attitude, the global warming camp is far more influential than the sceptics camp.

      I am trying to imagine what scientists have to gain by imposing economic caps on carbon. I really hope you aren't going to drag up the "they can't get grant money otherwise" claim.

      The current rate of warming is nothing exceptional, and might even be just a ripple in the trend.

      On the contrary, there is no evidence for any rate of change as large as present, other than the abrupt D-O events associated with a collapse/restart of the thermohaline circulation.

      The past has seen increases in temperature of higher rates and over a larger range.

      You are obfuscating the issue. Remember that my point was this: the rate of warming is larger than the natural rate of cooling into an ice age. This is true. There have been other events, not associated with the ice age cycle, which have shown a rapid cooling. But this is irrelevant to either my point or yours (which was that we need the warming to offset imminent cooling). It's irrelevant because there is no such imminent cooling. Ironically, global warming itself is the only thing that could set off that kind of rapid cooling via a THC collapse right now, and even if it did, the amount of warming needed to trigger such a collapse would likely outweigh the resulting cooling itself.

      That's also the pattern to most ice ages (and we're at the peak following a small one of a couple 100 years ago):

      We are in an interglacial period, but it is dishonest to claim that we are at the "peak" of one, implying that it's all cooling from here on out; there is no evidence of this.

      a slow decline in temperature, followed by a sharp ramp upwards.

      The "sharp ramp upwards" during a deglaciation is still significantly slower than the current rate of warming, and is also irrelevant to your claims about imminent cooling.

      Warming and cooling are natural trends, on which we have some (small influence).

      The influence may be "small" compared to the total change involved in the ice age cycle, but that doesn't mean that the resulting impacts are negligible in any absolute sense.

      We should be worried about the warming trend, but not exaggerate our supposed influence.

      Nor should we minimize our actual influence.

      Thart's like worrying about a small wave, while the normal tide raises and drops the water level by several meters.

      That's also a dishonest analogy, since you are choosing as a basis for comparison something (a small wave) which demonstrably has no impact to society as a whole. You cannot demonstrate the same about current climate change. Furthermore, the fact that there have been large climate changes in the past is a red herring; sure, the Cretaceous was much warmer than today, but that doesn't mean that we'd prefer to live in that climate.

      We have seen nothing yet.

      Of course this is false; we have seen a warming trend, which appears inexplicable in terms o

    30. Re:hmmm. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow, this thread has reached new levels of being off topic.

      "Winter is coming, and in 10.000 years we'll be in an ice age."

      Damn, I wish it was sooner because I HATE hot weather.

      By the way, it is "This belief" not "this believe".

    31. Re:hmmm. by CommieLib · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Why are long term trends not taken into account in these reports, for example. It is rubbish to say that we cannot accurately predict climate that far into the future because our short-term predictions are not very good. After all, we cannot predict the little ups & downs in next month's weather, but we can predict that winter will follow summer and autumn, and we know what the trends are in each of those seasons. The long-term trends in global weather can be predicted as well.

      I've got to disagree with you from both sides of the political aisle. I will argue that we cannot make accurate climate predictions (at least within the range that is relevant to the anthroprogenic global warming debate) because we have utterly failed to do so in the past. That data that the IPCC use show no warming after 1999, which doesn't even fit the past of the model, let alone the future.

      I think really what the whole problem is with the debate is that there's a huge difference between the approaches of the typical person and the scientist to uncertainty. A scientist eats, drinks and bathes in uncertainty, and is comfortable with saying, "Gee, we just don't know. Maybe we'll know more in the future, but this is our best understanding currently, and it is almost certainly at least partially wrong." The typical person deals with decisions made on imperfect information in their daily life, and regards uncertainty as incompletion, or at worst, weakness. That's why we have people who believe in UFO's, ghosts, or fricking Sasquatch rather than saying, "I just don't know what the hell that was. I probably never will."

      As the previous poster pointed out, the whole debate is INCREDIBLY useful to authoritarians, as is any crisis which justifies sweeping powers and changes to society.

      --
      If your bitterest enemies are people who hack the heads off civilians, then I would say you're doing something right.
    32. Re:hmmm. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Solar and Nuke is the real future as long as it is not in your backyard.

      It seem we've gone well beyond nimby and into banana (build absolutely nothing anywhere near anything), We want everything exactly like it is, except when it doesn't look good, then it should be removed and not replaced.

    33. Re:hmmm. by pjabardo · · Score: 1

      Let's just hope that these new solar cells will help us build a warp drive so we can conquer the alpha quadrant!

    34. Re:hmmm. by Whiteox · · Score: 1

      Don't forget Global Dimming.

      Stressing environmentally friendly best practices would inevitably lower the reflective particle concentrations in the atmosphere, thus allowing more radiant heat onto the planet's surface.
      That will only exacerbate warming.

      It's not a simple as shutting down pollutants, but also reduction of C from CO2.
      It has to a specific solution, not a generic one.

      --
      Don't be apathetic. Procrastinate!
    35. Re:hmmm. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As for sticking solar panels onto the turbine blades: this would make the blades heavier and less efficient.

      Rubbish. Mass just slows acceleration/deceleration. Massive blades store energy and smooth out fluctuation in wind speed.

      Also, you'd have to add slip rings on the root of each blade, and on the main shaft to transfer the power.
      Slip rings are expensive, heavy and they need maintenance, especially when you're transferring significant amounts of power through them.


      Nonsense. The blade-to-shaft connection can be flexible wires and the shaft-to-base connection can be inductive coupling.

      All that said though, why not just put the solar cells on the ground under the wind turbine.

    36. Re:hmmm. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      One thing I have always wondered though: given the fairly large surface area of the turbine blades, would it be possible to add a photosensitive material and pull a bit of power from the sun too?

      With the added difficulty of extracting the electric current from a spinning solar array, wouldn't it just be easier to put them on the ground, next to the wind turbines?
    37. Re:hmmm. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This from people who will never know hunger, get free education and health care and live in the extreme safety and tranquiltiy of a developed nation.

      Free education? Then what the fuck am I being taxed for? Free healthcare? I thought that was compensation paid by my employer for the work that I do. Unless, of course, I work for free and they just give me money for free. In that case, then yeah, I could say that I get free money and free healthcare.
    38. Re:hmmm. by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      I will argue that we cannot make accurate climate predictions (at least within the range that is relevant to the anthroprogenic global warming debate) because we have utterly failed to do so in the past. Really? Hansen's climate projections from 1990 still hold up pretty well (especially considering the relative crudity of the models back then), although he somewhat underestimated the sea level rise.

      That data that the IPCC use show no warming after 1999, That's certainly not true. All the years after 1999 are warmer than 1999 (see Figure SPM.3 in the IPCC report). Actually, it's not really correct to pick a specific year and measure everything relative to that; to look at trends you want to look at a 5- or 10-year moving average, and that too shows warming after 1999.

      which doesn't even fit the past of the model, let alone the future I can't even parse that sentence. The post-1999 temperatures are supposed to fit both the past and future of the model? Which one is it? In any case, the IPCC model projections of post-1999 temperatures are consistent with what actually happened, within the range of natural interannual variability.

      I think really what the whole problem is with the debate is that there's a huge difference between the approaches of the typical person and the scientist to uncertainty. Well, I think that is certainly a big contributor. Witness all the misguided demands for "proof" of global warming.
    39. Re:hmmm. by sleigher · · Score: 1

      The only flaw in your reasoning is that the energy companies will inevitably raise costs as their profits dwindle due to conservation. So short term you might have a little more money but nothing that will dramatically change how you live your life or where you spend it.

      --
      All points of time and space are connected.
    40. Re:hmmm. by RocketScientist · · Score: 1

      I don't think anybody's really debating global warming, they're discussing where it comes from. Just like...where does gravity come from. Mars is heating at a similar rate to the earth right now, and I doubt a couple of rovers and some crashed stuff is causing that. Maybe, perhaps, possibly, the sun is getting hotter too? Is the earth getting warmer because of a temporally local phenomenon or is this part of a longer-timed cycle? Don't know. Not enough data. You can say it's gotten warmer in the last 30 years, maybe, but trying to find out all of the cycles of a 4 billion year old planet and a however-many year old sun is a bit out of scope for 30 years worth of data.

      Don't get me wrong, I think continued use of fossil fuels is ridiculous. But not for the same reasons of greenhouse gases. I've been much more convinced by arguments relating to the long-term health and environmental damage of SOx, NOx, and, in the case of coal, radioactivity (yea, best kept secret of the coal industry is that you'll get more radiation exposure standing downwind from a coal plant than you will working at a nuke plant). Coal wins right now, just because they have a better Senator. Who, by the way is a Democrat. Like that matters, they're all crooks anyway.

      Nuclear reactors can be made such that the cost to refine the spent fuel into bomb material is higher than bomb material. They can be made safely, the fuels can be transported safely, and the chances of environmental damage are lower than the certainty of environmental damage from creating solar cells or burning coal. Yes, it's possible to still create a dirty bomb with that stuff, but how many people die of cancer, asthma, and other stuff every year because of the other crap we put in the air. Balance.

      Unfortunately the science loses, and the journalists win. Every time.

    41. Re:hmmm. by constantnormal · · Score: 1
      Three assertions (points 1, 3 and 4), and one opinion (point 2).

      No substantiating data whatsoever.

      I suggest that you read "Plows, Plagues and Petroleum", a book that makes a strong stab at constructing an explanation that fits the observed data (this is called a "theory" in scientific circles), and offers lots of supporting references. At least make a feeble attempt to become educated before you go spewing your biases and opinions -- because without supporting data, that's all you have.

    42. Re:hmmm. by RocketScientist · · Score: 1

      Well, what is your argument that this amount of data is insufficient to extrapolate the next 100 years? This is not just a statistical fit to data being extrapolated, either; there is actual physics involved.


      OK, tell me what the weather's going to be outside tomorrow based on what the weather is right...NOW. A one-second interval. OK, so by my guess it'll be 90 degrees and about 70% humidity, calm winds. Of course, National Weather Service says 75 and raining, chance of severe thundershowers. No, that's not global warming-inspired volatility, that's typical Missouri weather.

      That's what we're trying to do here. Extrapolate 100 years in the future off of 30 years of reliable global data. We don't know about any of the other cycles going on here. None of them. The last ice age was 10K years ago, maybe we're entering into another cycle. Climates are complicated, and there are many different cyclical occurances, many of which we haven't seen before.

      Pretty strong words. I'm familiar with the M&M criticisms, but I'd like to see the basis of claims about outright fraud.


      You've read the rebuttals and surely came to the same conclusion I did: They disregarded any data that didn't fit with their theory. More audacious than Enron accountants. With less prison time. The guys from Enron were fraudulent-they did it for money. These guys did it for grants. If they were federal grants, I'd like to see prison time. If it was private grant money, I'd like to see civil suits. THis wasn't accidental. This was purposeful exclusion-falsifying data by leaving some out.

      Non-tree ring proxies, borehole temperature reconstructions, and the direct instrumental record all support late 20th century warming.

      And recent studies in Iceland show that the there used to be deciduous forests there. Studies from pre-industrial economics show that farm output increased, likely leading to the industrial revolution, because the growing seasons were slightly longer and the weather was warmer. We have a few written records from that time that show crops we'd consider untenable growing in very far northern locations. It's been warmer in the past. It's been colder. The indirect data is very fungible. I'm not saying I don't or do trust any of it, I'm saying that it's not as consistent as you've bought into it being.

      Very few scientists have actually received physical threats to their security.


      How many would it take to get a physical threat before some of them decided that their wife and kids were pretty important, they liked living and maybe, just maybe, it wasn't worth it to publish, and that they should start researching microclimatology.

      They can't publish science anymore, everything they publish is a religious tract, hoping to sway one camp or the other to provide them protection and cash so they can continue their work.


      M&M comes to mind. Many peer reviewed journals are refusing to publish any work that doesn't toe their line. If the Catholic church publishes something in one of their peer reviewed journals (and yes, they do have them), is it going to be friendly and cogent with druidic values? No. Religion matters. Environmental science is now religion.

      The arguments here are simply political, and not even that. Trying to take a countervailing position with someone is like talking abortion with someone. There's no point. It's religion, not science, not even politics.
    43. Re:hmmm. by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      OK, tell me what the weather's going to be outside tomorrow based on what the weather is right...NOW. That is not even remotely a valid comparison. More accurate would be, say, predicting the weather over the next few days based on today's weather data, but even then there are obvious differences.

      Extrapolate 100 years in the future off of 30 years of reliable global data. You have a funny definition of "reliable". The instrumental record extends back to the 19th century and, while not as accurate as modern data, is accurate enough to detect trends.

      You've read the rebuttals and surely came to the same conclusion I did: No, I didn't.

      These guys did it for grants. This, of course, is nonsense. You get a grant for what question you're going to investigate, not for what pre-determined result you say you're going to arrive at. Your findings are reported after you have the money.

      And recent studies in Iceland show that the there used to be deciduous forests there. So?

      Studies from pre-industrial economics show that farm output increased, likely leading to the industrial revolution, because the growing seasons were slightly longer and the weather was warmer. If you're referring to the world's emergence from the Little Ice Age, I don't doubt that was beneficial to the European powers who kicked off the Industrial Revolution. But, again, your point escapes me. If you're trying to argue that period of time was warmer than it is now, such a conclusion is not supported by the evidence. If you're trying to argue that warming is beneficial, you're begging the question.

      It's been warmer in the past. It's been colder. This is well known. Again, what is your point?

      How many would it take to get a physical threat before some of them decided that their wife and kids were pretty important, they liked living and maybe, just maybe, it wasn't worth it to publish, and that they should start researching microclimatology. I happen to know a number of environmental scientists, some of whom study global climate, and physical threats to their life are not even on their radar. I can't imagine that this is a prevalent concern. Even the ones who probably have received threats (like Mann) are still working in the field.

      M&M comes to mind. Many peer reviewed journals are refusing to publish any work that doesn't toe their line. Really? Then where do all the skeptical papers being hyped from the other side of the spectrum come from? Nearly all of the prominent skeptics have published in peer reviewed journals. Which peer reviewed journal has refused to publish "any work that doesn't toe their line" (whatever that line is supposed to be)?
    44. Re:hmmm. by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      Mars is heating at a similar rate to the earth right now, and I doubt a couple of rovers and some crashed stuff is causing that. I don't remember at what rate Mars has warmed, but if it's really the same rate as Earth, that's evidence against the warming trends having a common cause. The transient temperature response on Earth is dominated by ocean heat uptake and other factors which are nonexistent on Mars; the two planets should have very different transient responses (meaning decadal-scale) to external forcings (not to mention the different amounts of sunlight they receive!).

      Maybe, perhaps, possibly, the sun is getting hotter too? Neither the late 20th century Earth warming nor the recent Martian warming agree well in magnitude, rate, or timing with measured changes in solar irradiance. Note too the measured trends in Martian albedo during the warming period.

      For that matter, if you're so willing to place so much importance on our relatively scant knowledge of Martian climate, why are you so dismissive of our much greater knowledge of the Earth's climate and its drivers?

      Is the earth getting warmer because of a temporally local phenomenon or is this part of a longer-timed cycle? There is no evidence of any such cycle, nor is there any evidence of any actual forcings which could be producing such a cycle at this time. Cycles have to be caused by something, you know: periodic changes in solar irradiance, volcanism, orbital parameters, etc. No cycles have been identified which are capable of accounting for the observed warming. You can't just wave your hands and say "a cycle could be due". By contrast, greenhouse gas-induced warming agrees with the actual observed warming. Moreover, GHG warming has implications such as polar amplification, stratospheric cooling, and so on, which have been observed, and are different from the implications of other sources of warming.

      You also keep pretending that we only have 30 years worth of useful data, which is far from the case.
    45. Re:hmmm. by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      That's a good point. People often neglect the importance of aerosols in cooling. Projections and policy depend on all the forcings, positive and negative, not just the positive forcings from greenhouse gases.

    46. Re:hmmm. by d34thm0nk3y · · Score: 1

      Please, give examples.
      Here's one. The same happened with two scientists in a Dutch government-run climatological research institute. I'm sure you can find others, and I am also sure each of these examples can (and have) been countered by arguments of these scientists being fired for bad science or using "improper channels" to release their counter-claims.

      This is not an example, Mark Albright was not fired over the incident but stripped of the title "associate state climatologist"

      From the source article the heartland.org miss-interprets:
      Losing the title doesn't affect the man's employment at the UW

    47. Re:hmmm. by redcane · · Score: 1

      Where I live, it'd be close to impossible to get council to approve build a wind turbine mast.... But people are able to put up high TV antennas willy nilly... I don't believe the wind turbine would be louder than the drone of the waves on the beach nearby.

    48. Re:hmmm. by redcane · · Score: 1

      Yeah, nuke is the future, people are just waving their hands to get a nuke in their back yard....

    49. Re:hmmm. by redcane · · Score: 1

      And when they do, because your energy usage is low, it's a small up front cost to go solar, and get off their life-support.

    50. Re:hmmm. by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      Ob. Futurama quote:

      Windmills do not work that way! Good night!

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    51. Re:hmmm. by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      We're still debating gravity, we're still debating inertia, we're debating light as a particle or wave.
      Ladies and gentlemen, the Bob Jones University graduating class of 2007!
      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    52. Re:hmmm. by pzs · · Score: 1

      I agree with this very much. Adverts try to persuade us that we can buy our way to happiness, but actually (mega cliche approaching) the best things in life are free.

      I like all your examples of things to do as well, although I'm not all that keen on brothels.

      Peter

    53. Re:hmmm. by Retric · · Score: 1

      http://www.don-lindsay-archive.org/skeptic/argumen ts.html

      "Burden Of Proof" the claim that whatever has not yet been proved false must be true (or vice versa). Essentially the arguer claims that he should win by default if his opponent can't make a strong enough case.

      FYI: In debate there is zero need to site sources until a specific clam has been called into question. Failing to specify which if any assertions you disagree with implies you have zero counter arguments ("Failure To State") and generally speaking you would loose a debate a this point.

      PS: "At least make a feeble attempt to become educated before you go spewing your biases and opinions -- because without supporting data, that's all you have." is a nice use of Ad Hominem (Argument To The Man).

  6. Solar cell? Pfftt..... by ihaveamo · · Score: 4, Funny

    I'm working on a lunar cell at the moment... the other 50% of a day is totally untapped!!

    1. Re:Solar cell? Pfftt..... by Calinous · · Score: 1

      For when a starlight cell?

    2. Re:Solar cell? Pfftt..... by jenik · · Score: 1

      astral cell?

    3. Re:Solar cell? Pfftt..... by hacker · · Score: 1

      As you know, solar panels capture their energy from the VISIBLE light spectrum, hence the loss and cost.

      But there is actually work being done to capture the other 6 spectrums of light in one panel. This means you can capture the infrared (nighttime), ultraviolet (cloudy) and other spectrums.

      You can also point your solar panel at a streetlamp and get energy as well, but not as much as bright, cloud-free daytime sunlight can for you of course.

      Even with a solar panel that is only 20% efficient, that's 20% less money you're spending on something else to stay powered for that duration.

      It's free money, I don't know why more people aren't taking advantage of it.

    4. Re:Solar cell? Pfftt..... by owlstead · · Score: 1

      If you do, you're a lunatic :)

  7. What a pointless comparison by suv4x4 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    On a roof, such cells would require less than half the surface area to produce the same amount of power as today's standard solar panels, which have an efficiency of about 17%.

    Let me guess: you'll leave how your roof empty to produce the same electricity, or take the whole roof to produce more than twice the electricity. Hard dilemma...

    At this point solar energy seems inevitable in our future. Not long from now we'll have more efficient electric motors and even more efficient solar cells, so that would make it a viable backup to a car battery charge and mean you can drive for days and days at long distance without recharging.

    The big money now will go to those people who manage to best make use of our existing infrastructure and our new technologies (stellar examples include Toyota's hybrids... imagine if that electric motor they use also has few solar panels to help it in the next models).

    1. Re:What a pointless comparison by Calinous · · Score: 1

      Some cars already have a small solar panel in order to cope with the parasitic loads when the car is shut off (alarm, remote key, and other things). However, the solar power you could produce from the surface of a car is not enough to give you mobility. Look at the solar races, they reach maybe 100km/h during the day, using lots of solar panels, on a car that's worth hundred of thousands of dollars. And no air conditioning, it seems.

    2. Re:What a pointless comparison by suv4x4 · · Score: 1, Insightful

      However, the solar power you could produce from the surface of a car is not enough to give you mobility.

      They use conventional panels (17%). This one is 42%. Also I'm suggesting they won't run on pure solar, but support the electric motor in the same way the electric motor supports the diesel one in hybrids nowadays.

      It may drop your fuel consumption 15%, using "free" solar energy, still worth it.

    3. Re:What a pointless comparison by Calinous · · Score: 4, Informative

      Assuming your car has 20 square meters of surface, all of it oriented towards the sun. In Ecuador. With 100% efficient solar panels.
            You can get at most 20 HP of power from that. In your real situation, with maybe 5 square meters of surface available in the morning, and lower solar power, and the 40% efficiency solar cells, you get 2HP (or 1.5KW). Does it help? A bit, yes. If your car can load itself all day with energy, and know when she will reach destination, she could bleed the electricity storage battery (and reload it later). This way, you could get 10 square meters of max power, 8 hours a day, and with perfect efficiency in rest (charge, discharge, motor) you get 80 HP hours - or two hours at 40HP. Good enough for a commute... but...
            Now, you could buy solar panels at $5000 per kW (and 20 pounds). Assuming double efficiency is treble the price - you need $15,000 per square meter, so you'll pay $150,000 for solar on your car. Is it worth to drop your fuel consumption 50%? Or completely?

    4. Re:What a pointless comparison by tekrat · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So, run this by me again;...

      Consider that, aside from police cars and taxis, most cars spend most of the time PARKED, either in a parking lot at work, or a driveway at home. The average car's lifespan is mostly spent at rest, with about a 1/2 hr drive to work and a 1/2 hr drive home.

      Why is it NOT prudent to build a solar panel into the roof and/or engine hood to help recharge the batteries while the damn thing spends 8 hrs per day parked in the sunshine?

      Hell, if we could take the heat that builds up inside the car on a hot summer day and convert that into electricity, I bet I could drive home just on that!

      TTYL
      Brian C.

      --
      If telephones are outlawed, then only outlaws will have telephones.
    5. Re:What a pointless comparison by TheRaven64 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Seeing a car's power rated in terms of horsepower has always seemed somewhat excessive to me. For a long time, people used a single horse[1] to get around. They were quite slow for long distances, but could achieve something close to the legal speed limit for built-up areas. Since we're playing with absolutely ideal numbers, let's try another one; the car has zero mass.

      According to Wikipedia, the Sun produces approximately 1KW of energy per square metre. Your 20 square metre car then has a 20kW energy output (around 27hp). How fast can this accelerate a human? Assume for now that a human weighs around 100Kg (most people weigh less, so this includes a small luggage allowance as well). One Watt is one Newton per second, and one Newton is the amount of energy required to accelerate one kilogram at one metre per second per second. Your 20 kW car can accelerate a 100kg person at 20,000 / 100 = 200 meters per second, per second. Since this is roughly 20g, you would probably not want to do that very often.

      Now we have some absolute upper bounds on optimality, let's stray back slightly towards feasibility. At 40% efficiency, you get 80m/s/s. Still not bad. For reference, 0-60mph in five seconds requires just over five meters per second per second of acceleration. Of course, we're still assuming equatorial sunlight. Dropping the solar energy down to a more reasonable 50% gives us 40m/s/s. Our car still weighs nothing, however, so let's run this the other way; if we want 0-60 in 5 seconds, how much can our car weigh? The answer comes out at 700kg (800kg including passenger), which is not too bad; a quick google indicates that this is about half the mass of an average car.

      It seems that a totally solar car is not completely beyond the realms of feasibility with current technology, but it will probably not be commercially viable for some time. For one thing, you're going to need a battery for when it's cloudy or night, which will drive up the mass very quickly.


      [1] The original definition of a horsepower was for mine ponies, so a cart horse probably provided a few horsepower.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    6. Re:What a pointless comparison by gonk · · Score: 1

      I don't know about the rest of you, but I leave my car parked in a parking garage. I don't want it baking in the sun all day...

      robert

    7. Re:What a pointless comparison by inflex · · Score: 1


      > Not long from now we'll have more efficient electric motors

      Currently, brushless (3 phase) digitally controlled motors are already in the high 95~98%+ level at 'optimal' RPM, dropping into the 80% area when running at less than optimal RPM. Incremental gains from improved stator materials, smoother bearings/sleeves, more efficient drivers (MOSFET/IGBT) will come but for the most part you're already looking at technology that is extremely efficient.

      Some things I'd really like to see are;

        1. a good energy storage system (4~10x the energy density of lithium polymer would be nice)
        2. replacing linear voltage regulators with switchmode regulators (linear regulators burn off excess voltage as heat, horribly wasteful, switchmode is 95%+ efficient)
        3. low cost microturbines (1m dia or less) to fit onto households. ....mmm... looks like I've got myself some projects this weekend ;) :D

    8. Re:What a pointless comparison by Calinous · · Score: 2, Informative

      Let's see what is possible now:
      http://www.greencarcongress.com/2006/06/2006_solar _drag.html

            Solar drag racing (without batteries) can run the 1/4 kilometer (800 feet) in 57 seconds (using no batteries).
      Well, the new record is 30 seconds for 820 feet, and 50 mph on finish - see http://users.applecapital.net/~jim/solardragrace.h tm

            And the future is shiny:
      "As the race develops over time, solar dragsters may eventually exceed two horsepower"

    9. Re:What a pointless comparison by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Think lightweight golf buggy instead of SUV - it's not quite so stupid then. The better answer is of course public transport giving you an economy of scale where you can use it - a low powered electric vehicle to get you a short distance to the train makes more sense than a long slow trip into town.

    10. Re:What a pointless comparison by Rocketship+Underpant · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "Now, you could buy solar panels at $5000 per kW (and 20 pounds). Assuming double efficiency is treble the price - you need $15,000 per square meter, so you'll pay $150,000 for solar on your car. Is it worth to drop your fuel consumption 50%? Or completely?"

      This is the point where the central market planners jump in and shout that we should subsidize solar panels. But why does that solar panel cost $15,000 per square metre? Because of all the resources, energy, and labour consumed in producing it. Chances are those more than offset the gas you're not burning.

      When the manufacturer can make panels efficiently enough to be more affordable than gasoline, it'll be because they're finally less wasteful and polluting overall.

      A similar principle holds with recycling, by the way. In the instances where recycling actually saves on energy and raw materials, there is a cost savings as well, and the recycler will pay *you* for your bottles and cans. If the government has to make you do it, it's because the process is not cost-effective overall, and more waste is taking place in the recycling process than the recycling itself saves.

      --
      He who lights his taper at mine, receives light without darkening me.
    11. Re:What a pointless comparison by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      So what do I do in the winter here in Vermont?

    12. Re:What a pointless comparison by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      One Watt is one Newton per second, and one Newton is the amount of energy required to accelerate one kilogram at one metre per second per second.

      Umm... A Newton is a unit of force, not energy. One Newton is the amount of force required to accelerate one kilogram at one meter-per-second-squared. One Joule is the energy expended in pushing one Newton for one meter in the direction of the applied force. A Watt is a unit of power and is equal to one Joule/second or one Newton-meter/second.

    13. Re:What a pointless comparison by ErikZ · · Score: 1

      Are you kidding?

      Having a vehicle with a max driving time of an hour a day isn't very useful. Why in the world do you think people would buy those?

      --
      Democrats or Republicans. They are both taking us to the same place and they are not afraid of us anymore.
    14. Re:What a pointless comparison by Profound · · Score: 1

      >> When the manufacturer can make panels efficiently enough to be more affordable than gasoline

      Solar is cheaper than gasoline, after a sufficiently long time to cover upfront costs.

      Pollution from gasoline is also not counted in the equation. How much is clean air and no sound of internal combustion engines worth to you? It would make my life a lot better.

      >> If the government has to make you do it, it's because the process is not cost-effective overall, and more waste is taking place in the recycling process than the recycling itself saves.

      Untrue, because the cost of landfill, and other externalities like pollution are not in the equation.

    15. Re:What a pointless comparison by FJR1300+Rider · · Score: 2, Informative

      Some VW/Audi models have a "solar sunroof", which is nothing more than a small solar panel mounted on the sunroof. It is used mainly to produce energy to keep the AC fans working even when the engine is shut off (when there's sunlight, at least), to keep the interior of the car cooler than it would normally be if it were parked in the sun. Since the car interior is, on average, 20 degrees celsius cooler, the AC will have a much easier task of cooling the cabin to the desired value, thus saving a little bit of fuel. Pretty neat.

      This system is designed/manufactered by Webasto, I believe.

    16. Re:What a pointless comparison by Abcd1234 · · Score: 1

      Because of all the resources, energy, and labour consumed in producing it.

      Sorry, but that's just flat out wrong. Solar cells pay back their energy investment in as little as 6-7 years.

    17. Re:What a pointless comparison by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your recycling example is wrong.

      It's *cheaper* to suck oil (pre-stored energy) out of the ground than it is to recycle existing products. This doesn't mean that recycling doesn't save money...only that recycling doesn't save *as much* as burning more oil. In the short term.

      Put another way, it's also easier to just use another plate for your next meal, than to wash the first one. Problem is, you run out of plates.

    18. Re:What a pointless comparison by owlstead · · Score: 1

      Look at it at the bright side: it still saves up to two mine ponies.

    19. Re:What a pointless comparison by redcane · · Score: 1

      The reason is, your trying to reduce the weight of the vehicle to increase how far you can go on the energy you gather. So your far better to have the solar panels on the roof of your garage at home, and on the roof of the parking station or some other building at your workplace, and leave them stationary. Putting them on the car itself doesn't make them generate more energy, in fact they are far less likely to face the sun in this case, and they add weight to the car. You probably have more surface area on your garage than on your car in any case.

    20. Re:What a pointless comparison by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      A typical modern car uses about 10 hp at 50 mph for aero drag and less than that for tire drag plus peripherals; less than 20 hp overall. Your 40 hp estimate is much too high.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    21. Re:What a pointless comparison by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      Forget the solar powered car, and bring on the solar powered rollerblades. A photovoltaic cape would look pretty awesome.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    22. Re:What a pointless comparison by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      You're wrong on several points. When you ask "why does something cost $15,000?" your answer is wrong. It's not $15,000 because it took $15,000 worth of inputs. It's $15,000 because that's what someone else is willing to pay for it! You really think that the CD you bought had $19 worth of inputs? It's ten cents worth of plastic and paper.

      Energy from oil and solar are fundamentally different, economically speaking. Oil is theft. Consider: when we first mastered this whole technology shtick, we found ourselves on a planet with X trillion barrels of oil. We didn't create it; it was just something that was there, something that we could make use of. Of course, anyone over the next million generations of humanity could also find it to be a useful resource. But the first five generations are using up every drop of it. Obviously, the temporal logistics make it impossible for future persons to spend their dollars in present markets. If they could say, "Don't burn it yet! I'm willing to spend X to keep it available for my future use," then oil would be vastly more expensive than it is today. This goes the same for every non-renewable resource. Such resources are inherently priced artificially low.

      Solar power, in contrast, is being trickled out at a basically constant rate until the sun goes nova. Each generation the same amount of energy falls on the Earth. If people don't set up collectors to snag the energy, it disappears forever. Future generations can't bid on our present solar energy, because there is no way to make our allotment available to the future. It's our energy, and we should be using it instead of oil.

      The idea that subsidies only promote cost-ineffective outcomes is absurd, the worst sort of uninformed free market religious worship. Read this, and try to figure it out for yourself.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

  8. Equation? by marcovje · · Score: 1


    I'm not a solar panel expert, but the statement

    "On a roof, such cells would require less than half the surface area to produce the same amount of power as today's standard solar panels, which have an efficiency of about 17%."

    purely based on efficiency is dangerous. A lot of solar cells require a certain minimal light threshold before they start producing energy, and for reallife application, a lower threshold matters more than a few percent more of peak efficiency.

    IOW efficiency is a function of among others light intensity

    1. Re:Equation? by Squirmy+McPhee · · Score: 1

      A lot of solar cells require a certain minimal light threshold before they start producing energy, and for reallife application, a lower threshold matters more than a few percent more of peak efficiency.


      For conventional silicon solar cells, the threshold you speak of is somewhere down around indoor light levels (which are less than 10% of outdoor light levels on a bright sunny day -- don't trust your eyes on that, they have a logarithmic response to light intensity). Thin film solar cells like amorphous silicon and the ones discussed here won't have that problem (which is why amorphous silicon cells are used in solar calculators), but at those light levels a rooftop of solar cells will barely generate enough power to switch the inverter on and get power flowing into the house. In other words, the inverter is going to be the limiting factor here, and the intensity threshold on the solar cells is moot.


      IOW efficiency is a function of among others light intensity


      Above the threshold, efficiency is approximately constant (to be more accurate, it is a very weak, slightly nonlinear function of light intensity). If you model a solar cell assuming that efficiency is not a function of light intensity at all, the error in your calculation will be pretty inconsequential.

  9. How much power? by DoofusOfDeath · · Score: 3, Interesting

    On a roof, such cells would require less than half the surface area to produce the same amount of power as today's standard solar panels, which have an efficiency of about 17%."

    OK, but how much of a typical house's power would that supply? (I realize this depends on location and time of year.)

    Or how many panels would it take to give you a daily, full recharge of a plug-in hybrid in, say, Los Angeles? (Imagine that that would do for LA's smog.)

    1. Re:How much power? by Alkonaut · · Score: 1
      Found this at wikipedia. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_cells#Energy_co nversion_efficiency Efficiency seems to be how much of the energy is converted, at a standard point (equator, noon, equinox) the irradiation is 1000W, so 42.8% would mean 428W of power.

      At that efficiency I think you could easily supply a house entirely, at least in those sunny regions. The problem is if course the price per kWh and not the efficiency only. As for the hybrid, you could even imagine that covering the hybrid itself with cells would be sufficient to recharge it (if it normally charges at 1-2kW or something?). In that case, you can drive your hybrid to where the sun don't shine (and from there on it's gas...)!

    2. Re:How much power? by Calinous · · Score: 3, Informative

      Peak solar power is around 750W per square meter of installation. With those new panels, you could get - let's say - 1000W per 4 square meters (40 square feet).
            Assuming you are going at work using 10kW (14 HP) average for two hours (both ways), and assuming 6 hours a day peak power, and your losses are zero, you need less than 15 square meters (160 square feet).
            Now, if you add 50% losses in the recharge system (car and house), you need to double that - 30 square meters, or some 300+ square feet of solar installation, inclined to an angle equal to your location's latitude (equator- flat roof top, Alaska - sharp roof)

    3. Re:How much power? by ari_j · · Score: 1

      What bothers me is that the blurb (RTFA? never!) doesn't tell us exactly how loose the tolerances for aiming this one are. I don't care that it's more efficient if it requires me to put my house on a turntable and add a tilting roof.

    4. Re:How much power? by constantnormal · · Score: 1

      Instead of putting solar cells on the roof of a car, why not cover the south side of the garage roof with them, sell it to the electric utility during peak rates, and recharge an electric hybrid at night (when the utility rates are cheaper)? Seems like that would be a better way to power an electric vehicle, and generate a little cash to improve the household budget as well.

      In my case, I have at least 400 sq ft of south-facing garage roof (at a 12-12 pitch) and about twice as much on the house. Last month's electric bill showed 1105 kWh of power consumed. Depending on how much a photovoltaic panel installation would cost, it would seem to be a practical thing to do even now, with AC units and furnaces having useful lifetimes of about a decade, the payback time for solar panels would seem to be less than that, depending on the cost.

      Maybe in a few years, as the cost declines and experience improves the reliability, I'll open the wallet for a set of solar panels. Don't want to buy the version 1.0 model (or worse yet, the beta product).

    5. Re:How much power? by Keebler71 · · Score: 1

      No it isn't... solar output is 1367 W/m^2 +/- a small amount due to solar variation. At 42% efficiency a solar arry would yield 575 W/m^2. Don't forget that a solar array is not 100% by area solar cells so you loose some effective area due to structure, junctions, connections, etc) so maybe knock it down another 10 percent or so.

      --
      "It takes considerable knowledge just to realize the extent of your own ignorance." - Thomas Sowell
    6. Re:How much power? by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      Hey Greg! That is true on orbit. The solar constant is taken at the top of the Earth's atmopshere but by the time it gets to the ground you get about 1 kW/m^2 when it is clear. This map gives average anual per day energy adjusted for clouds and such in kWh/m^2:http://www.nrel.gov/gis/images/us_pv_annua l_may2004.jpg. This map is for tilted panels. Tracking concentrators have a somewhat different behavior, doing better in the southwest and, surprisingly, worse in New York:http://www.nrel.gov/gis/images/us_csp_annual_ may2004.jpg. Panels are less sensitive to clouds and haze. For panels, 5 kWh/m^2/day is a typical value which you then multiply by the panel efficiency. Note that Northeast Alaska is a pretty good place for tracking concentrators. Tracking panels might do even better; they'd have to spin 360 though.
      --
      Solar power without the spin:http://mdsolar.blogspot.com/2007/01/slashdot- users-selling-solar.html

    7. Re:How much power? by sshir · · Score: 1
      You forgetting one important thing: money.

      During the day you pump the grid at higher rate than when taking electricity from the grid during night hours to charge the car (I assume grid connection and no batteries in the house.)

      So you'll need a much smaller installation to power the car...

    8. Re:How much power? by redcane · · Score: 1

      People have been running villages off solar power since the 70s. It's not a version 1.0 model, it's more like a version 10..... Even the 17% efficient cells have been out there for decades of testing.

  10. Significant indeed by Calinous · · Score: 1

    It seems the cells uses three different solar receptors (low, mid and high energy light), and doesn't need precise tracking devices.
          A satellite-based solar panel could easily have the solar tracking device - however, tracking devices are expensive, could be affected by strong winds (for big installations), and use some power by themselves. Such a kit could bring higher efficiency in stationary panels, or (as suggested in article) could be used by the army as recharge packs for and instead of batteries.

    1. Re:Significant indeed by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      Yes, I think this shows the usefulness of DARPA's rapid development model. Their phased approach and willingness to tryout high risk ideas seems to be working.
      --
      Solar power with no installation cost: http://mdsolar.blogspot.com/2007/01/slashdot-users -selling-solar.html

  11. someone convince my local government by Shivetya · · Score: 5, Interesting

    that renewable sources of energy are a good thing.

    why?

    because my HOA (home owners association) does not permit them. As such it would take State or local laws to override the HOA; because in many States the HOA rules have strong legal backing at the State level.

    This is akin to the problems satellite TV faced in many locales. There were numerous ordinaces, both at the HOA and local level which blocked satellite dishes. Even the small ones we are accustomed to today were blocked. It took a Federal Law to end that restriction. Unfortunately its going to take another such law to allow many of us to use renewable energy. Hell, I cannot even get rain barrels approved even though they would not be visible from the street.

    --
    * Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
    1. Re:someone convince my local government by Alioth · · Score: 1

      If it's not visible from the street...well, it's better to ask for forgiveness than for permission. Just install the rain barrels, chances are no one will notice them.

    2. Re:someone convince my local government by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Too bad you bought a McMansion and not a real house, hoss.

    3. Re:someone convince my local government by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      #1: Why don't you convince them, if you're seriously wanting them?

      #2: Install them anyways. What are they going to do, sue you for saving money and the environment?

      #3: Sue them instead. Lawsuits like this get settled quick and fast because once the media gets hold of them, they blow up into huge, national spectacles, like the people suing McDonalds for their own stupidity. Even if they don't let you install them, you will have made a few bucks after lawyer's fees, and probably more than enough to sell your current house, move to a municipality that will allow you to install the panels, and get the panels on the Home Owner's Association's tab. Sounds like a win to me.

    4. Re:someone convince my local government by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      This is exactly how I treat my HOA. I do what ever I want and let them come and fine me for it latter. Really, my HOA is just a way for some Assholes with too much time on there hands to make money off everyone else. hmm, remind you of anyone?? Like they required that I have my house painted by company X, well, I went with company Y, payed a fine for it but still saved my money, they did a better job then my neighbors got plus I feel better not hiring a company that gives kickbacks to my HOA.

    5. Re:someone convince my local government by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Florida already has state laws preventing HOA nonsense. It covers any renewable energy device which means solar down to clotheslines (remember them?).

    6. Re:someone convince my local government by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is a perfect example of why I would never buy a house restricted by a "homeowner's association". The myriad of rules (not to mention outrageous property taxes) forced on me by local government is MORE than enough.

      When you come right down to it, what does it really mean when somebody else can legally tell you what you can and can't do to your house? It means you aren't the ultimate owner of your house. If I can't be the ultimate owner of my house, then why not just rent?

    7. Re:someone convince my local government by tpconcannon · · Score: 1

      All you have to do is convince the HOArseholes that by implimenting certain green features like rain barrels, solar hot water, solar power, and composting that they could get LEED certification. I have found that the ignorant people whom run HOAs will instantly bend over if they get a little piece of paper with a shiny foil star on it.

      --
      I found the "Any" key.
    8. Re:someone convince my local government by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Did you really just say "hoss"? Wow.

    9. Re:someone convince my local government by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My neighbor found out about that where I live is NOT a HOA. In my yard smashing his mower into my house mowing my yard. 'I am going to call the police on you for your yard', 'how about I go inside and call them for criminal tresspass'. I didnt mind him mowing my yard. I *DID* mind him smashing it into my house. Unfortunatly I had to do this to him. Or else the *next* week it would have been something else bothering him. With an HOA he would have used it to make me do what *he* felt was the right thing to do. And my yard 1/2 inch higher than his is not something to bitch about...

      Its not the set of crazy rules that bother me. Its crazy people... Power for some reason attracts crazy people. As any sane person doesnt want to deal with it. I for one will *NOT* pay for the privilage of dealing with crazy people.

    10. Re:someone convince my local government by Anne_Nonymous · · Score: 1

      >> Really, my government is just a way for some Assholes with too much time on their hands to make money off everyone else.

    11. Re:someone convince my local government by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, that's your mistake for moving to somewhere that has an HOA. Or agreeing to the HOA when you moved in. I've seen many people who move into an area who decline to be bound to the HOA. It can be done.

      HOAs are stupid and pointless IMHO and serve no one but the HOA board themselves to make themselves feel powerful, and attempt to artifically inflate property values.

    12. Re:someone convince my local government by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      Depending on where you live, there may be such a law. Look at the access laws column in this table: http://www.dsireusa.org/summarytables/reg1.cfm?&Cu rrentPageID=7&EE=1&RE=1. Everyone should be supporting the SOLAR access legislation now in Congress: http://www.thepetitionsite.com/takeaction/65431047 0
      --
      Simple solar power: http://mdsolar.blogspot.com/2007/01/slashdot-users -selling-solar.html

    13. Re:someone convince my local government by musicon · · Score: 1

      Shivetya, sorry to hear about your troubles. I'm both the president of my neighborhood association, and own a company that handles the day-to-day management of associations.

      The HOA itself, whose Board Members consist of homeowners living in your neighborhood, are usually good people who just want to help (but there are always exceptions). But, since these are volunteer positions, people don't always have the opportunity or time it takes to take care of everything themselves -- leading to the hiring of a management company.

      Most of the management companies out there are run by people with former realty experience (Realtors, title companies, etc.), but not necessarily people who have also been on the "other side of the fence" (ie, HOA Board Members). However, many of the people who do the day-to-day work at management companies (think bill paying, driving neighborhoods, answering phones) have little-to-no training or experience with actual property management. The vast majority of my business comes from HOAs that are looking for a less abusive, more responsive management company.

      My recommendation to you is as follows:

      • Find out who the actual Board Members of your Association are.
      • Mention your concerns and issues to the Board Members. Be specific, and brief; remember, these are volunteers and most likely won't even be aware of the issues you've run into (like the rain barrels) as that was all done by the management company.
      • Don't expect an immediate resolution. While they can grant an approval/exemption right then, most likely they'll want to talk to their contact at the management company first.
      • If your Board Members are dismissive or won't listen to your concerns, remember that you have the option of forcing a recall and/or running against them at the next election. Your Bylaws should have the specifics around recalling, term length, etc.
    14. Re:someone convince my local government by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not to rub salt in your wounds, but this is why I chose to buy a standalone HOUSE with a HOA of two: Me and my wife.
      I feel your pain. Move out of the project ASAP.

    15. Re:someone convince my local government by Danny+Rathjens · · Score: 1

      it's better to ask for forgiveness than for permission.
      It's not "better", it is *easier*.

    16. Re:someone convince my local government by bjdevil66 · · Score: 1

      In Arizona, there are a ton of HOAs - many of them in newer neighborhoods and all with a ton of restrictive rules (some of which are necessary, unfortunately). Many of the HOAs banned all solar devices or required that the HOA gave prior approval. The look of the solar panels was frowned upon in the more affluent neighborhoods. This continued until a few years ago, when the state government passed a law that pretty much said "if it's solar, you can put it up" - thus throwing HOAs under the bus. Even then, however, one Chandler HOA went after a resident with heavy fines for putting pool-heating solar panels up and wanted him to take them down - because "he didn't consult with them" before putting them up (apparently, there was an HOA loophole there about consulting with HOAs). The state, under more public pressure, closed that loophole as well, so now you can finally do just about anything you want with solar (within reason) without HOA problems.

      Remember that Arizona is the #1 state for year-round sunshine, and it still took multiple state laws and some high-profile legal battles to get HOAs to back off of them. We should have panels on EVERYTHING here - where was/is the common sense on those HOA boards? If you can, get involved with your HOA to keep the anal weirdos from setting up a fascist, mini-state within your own neighborhoods...

    17. Re:someone convince my local government by owlstead · · Score: 1

      Over here in the Netherlands they take a looksy from the skies now and then (they take photographs and compare them with old ones). Somebody with 4 kids living in a small house installed a roof over their bicycle stand (6 bikes, this is NL). The bike stand was behind a hedge. Unfortunately it was made out of a metal sheet, and the plane had no problem spotting it at all in the sun. He was told to remove the new "shed" (they could not see the bikes). Obviously he responded immediately; he painted to top green. So get some chameleon colored paint and start working those barrels.

    18. Re:someone convince my local government by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They can't tell you no if you don't ask first.

  12. Efficiency is less important... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    ...than price per watt. We got plenty of space we can cover with solar cells so it's not important that they are extremely efficient, just cheap enough so it doesn't cost much to cover large areas.

    1. Re:Efficiency is less important... by Overzeetop · · Score: 1

      Actually, price per watt is probably just below price per lifetime watt-hour. If it costs more to buy than the cells will produce, it's just an off-grid luxury item.

      --
      Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
    2. Re:Efficiency is less important... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Efficiency is important because we're in this for the long haul and the first step is to identify the technologies capable of achieving efficiency at any cost. Once identified, it's possible to engineer out the costs until, at some point, the resulting cells can be both efficient and cheap. If we ignoring this research because cheaper cells exist, we'll find ourselves stuck with the same cells 20 years from now, despite increasing energy usage and demand to increase the fraction of total energy production coming from nonemitting sources.

    3. Re:Efficiency is less important... by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      You are correct that looking at the durability of the panels is important. Aten solar sells panels for $3.00/Watt:http://www.ecobusinesslinks.com/solar_p anels.htm with a 25 year warranty (performance above 80%). So, with a cheapo ground mount (the panels are not very efficient) that you cut yourself from the woods and $1/watt for a 4000 W inverter (corrected to 25 year life) you are looking at $0.03/kWh if you are willing to keep the panels until they degrade to 40% of their original efficiency (100 years; 66 years new equivilent; you need to figure out the smaller and likely cheaper inverters for the last 75 years which might take you up to $0.034/kWh). Oh, and plus gas for the chainsaw. If you are not so cheap, or you figure you won't live that long and don't want to pass on the investment, you are looking at $0.09/kWh bailing after 25 year and just junking the panels (no aftermarket). This assumes and average of 5 h/day peak production equivilent which is typical: http://www.nrel.gov/gis/images/us_pv_annual_may200 4.jpg.

      So, if you have the land, you can either match utility rates or substantially undercut them. For rooftop applications $4+/Watt is standard retail for more efficent panels. Now, mounting costs something and you need to consider the reroofing timescale. By cutting out the middleman, we match utility rates with a rental model and can fix the rate for up to 25 years: http://mdsolar.blogspot.com/2007/01/slashdot-users -selling-solar.html. This makes solar power an overall savings rather than a luxury.

    4. Re:Efficiency is less important... by hawkfish · · Score: 1

      We got plenty of space we can cover with solar cells so it's not important that they are extremely efficient, just cheap enough so it doesn't cost much to cover large areas.
      While this may be true at the governance level, it is not true at the individual level. I live in a city house on a smallish lot, so putting solar panels on my house is limited by my roof space. So lack of efficiency is a deal breaker for me.
      --
      You will not drink with us, but you would taste our steel? - Walter Matthau, The Pirates
    5. Re:Efficiency is less important... by Overzeetop · · Score: 1

      Good for expensive electricity areas. I currently pay about 6.5-7c/kwh, and have zero (okay, net zero) to be on grid. Ignoring TVM, you still have to be in a more expensive area to beat the electric co. fwiw, I get most of my power from AEP, which had rates - all inclusive of fees and transmission - for about 5.8c/kwh as little as three years ago.

      I like solar, but it's hard to beat efficient, centrally generated power. I'm hoping, though, that that fact changes with time...or at least that central power generation starts to use more solar. It's about as low on the energy food chain as you can get here on earth.

      --
      Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
    6. Re:Efficiency is less important... by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      We can't beat $0.07/kWh yet and still make a profit but most people pay more than you do. At $1.50/Watt retail (about ten years hence on the cost curve) you'll likely be looking at this more closely.

  13. Another kind of efficiency by fringd · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The real problem with solar power is not getting more watts per square inch; it's getting more watts per dollar. From what I hear, high grade silicon is prohibitively expensive. It takes more than 3 years to pay back your monetary investment. This information is probably based upon old panels though.

    These new panels may produce twice the energy, but is there any chance that they cost less than twice the dollars? What is the limiting factor in solar panel costs?

    I've heard that some people are working on polymer solar panels, this would seem to deal with the dependence on expensive silicon...

    1. Re:Another kind of efficiency by farkus888 · · Score: 1

      3 years to pay for themselves is not a big deal in the long term, most of the current panels that are the grade you would use to panel your roof are warrantied for 10 times that long last I checked. you also have to think that this is something you put on the roof of your house, until recently people would only buy one house and spend their entire lives in it. 3 years is nothing in those terms. I just recently bought a brand new toyota, cost a lot more than a used ford pinto would have up front, but I plan to keep it a long time and it should be cheaper in the end because a used pinto will cost a lot more to maintain. the same math applies here, suck up the initial cost, its cheaper in the long run.

      --
      thats right, I rarely use capitals. deal with it. but don't mistake my laziness for stupidity
    2. Re:Another kind of efficiency by dwandy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It takes more than 3 years to pay back your monetary investment.
      "Three years" should not be a 'too long' perdiod to re-coup your investment.
      • That's less than 4% of an average lifetime.
      • I'd take an investment that was guaranteed to pay back 100% every three years.

      I don't see energy getting any cheaper on this planet, and I don't see energy consumption decreasing.

      The problem is it's not just the solar panels: it's the batteries and other infrastructure (and then maintenance!), and the last time I looked at it, it was closer to 20-yrs to pay back a whole system, and the system had a 20-yr life expectancy. That's break-even assuming it makes it to life expectancy.

      What I am interested in is directly attaching an AC unit to a solar panel. Where I live it's generally only hot when it's sunny, so the AC would run for free.
      Since the AC is one of the most expensive things to run it's win-win-win-win:

      • I can run it guilt-free
      • It runs whenever it's hot
      • I don't need the other infrastructure
      • I will still pay for the panel in a relatively short time.
      --
      If you think imaginary property and real property are the same, when does your house become public domain?
    3. Re:Another kind of efficiency by AnObfuscator · · Score: 1

      The problem is it's not just the solar panels: it's the batteries and other infrastructure (and then maintenance!), and the last time I looked at it, it was closer to 20-yrs to pay back a whole system, and the system had a 20-yr life expectancy. That's break-even assuming it makes it to life expectancy.

      Exactly. Also, the life expectancy of a solar roof is even worse if you live in a high-risk area, such as Florida. How well does a solar roof hold up to a hurricane? How much will it cost to repair?

      How well would a solar roof hold up to, say, 1 foot of snow cover? Or a hailstorm?

      What I am interested in is directly attaching an AC unit to a solar panel.

      Yeah, that is the real application of solar power that I see -- auxiliary power. It's already common for swimming pools to be heated with solar panels. This is a nice new step.

      Note also that the creators of this panel developed it for the US military, with the specific application of powering the field equipment of soldiers. They see it as a possible secondary power source for cell phones, laptops, etc. I think this is the right track; if these solar panels are being manufactured in large quantities for smaller goods, it can bring down the cost of the tech enough for applications like yours to be feasible.

      --
      multifariam.net -- yet another nerd blog
    4. Re:Another kind of efficiency by Thing+1 · · Score: 1

      It's already common for swimming pools to be heated with solar panels. This is a nice new step.

      Rude awakening when we moved to Florida: "solar heated pool" means "it's heated by the sun." :(

      --
      I feel fantastic, and I'm still alive.
    5. Re:Another kind of efficiency by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The used Pinto will cost a lot less after you back it into a brick wall.

    6. Re:Another kind of efficiency by dbIII · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If you are running AC then solar thermal in one of many forms is a better idea - use that heat to move heat around instead of making electricity and turn it back into heat to move heat around. Then you use your panel for your electronic stuff runing on DC - suddenly you don't need a very big panel anymore.

    7. Re:Another kind of efficiency by swillden · · Score: 1

      Since the AC is one of the most expensive things to run it's win-win-win-win

      However, the reason AC is so expensive to run is that it requires a *lot* of power, and PV solar panels don't produce a lot of power.

      I've met people who power their RV ACs with solar power, and it makes a lot of sense for that application because it means you can have AC even when you have no access to city power. It's not, however, very cheap. These folks set up arrays of 6-8 large panels, plus a dozen or so golf-cart batteries so they can store a little power up during the part of the day that is cool enough not to need AC.

      The result generates enough power to run a small, RV-sized AC unit, though they often have to be careful how much they run it in order to avoid drawing down the batteries. The cost of the solar panels, high-amp regulator and batteries is close to $5K at current prices and panel efficiencies. It's not cost-effective compared to city power, but it's worth the price if you want to have AC out in the boonies.

      At present, the best way to get your money's worth from a home-mounted PV solar panels is to use a grid-tie inverter and feed power back into the grid, essentially using it as a huge battery. In hot areas with time-varying power prices, this can already be very cost effective, because prices tend to be highest during the hours when the solar panels are producing the most power for sale to the utility company. For most of the world, however, PV is hard to justify.

      We need more watts per dollar before it really becomes widely useful. More watts per area is less important, but maybe it'll lead to more watts per dollar.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    8. Re:Another kind of efficiency by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      3 years to pay for themselves is not a big deal in the long term, most of the current panels that are the grade you would use to panel your roof are warrantied for 10 times that long last I checked.

      I'd have to agree, however I think that he's getting his figures mixed up. Last time I priced out solar systems they ran over 30 years for financial payback assuming my electricity rate doubled. Into the infinite if you assumed 5% interest. IE you could take the money for your solar panels; invest it in funds earning 5%, cover your electricity bills for life, with interest left over.

      The 3 year figure was for the time it took for them to generate more electricity than it cost to make them.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    9. Re:Another kind of efficiency by cinderblock · · Score: 1

      The real problem with solar power is not getting more watts per square inch; it's getting more watts per dollar.

      People use the %17 efficient solar panels because they are far cheaper than the more efficient ones.

      For satellites and the like, they use the absolute highest efficiency possible because the cost of getting enough low cost solar cells into orbit is so much more that then cost of higher efficiency.

      It would cost millions of dollars to replace your standard efficiency solar panels with the high efficiency ones.

      When solar panels first came around, there was big problem with the manufacturing. It took more energy to create a solar cell that it would ever generate in it's lifetime.

    10. Re:Another kind of efficiency by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't need batteries for solar. You should feed back into the grid. Most power companies will pay for what you feed them. If you have something like a fuel charge on your power bill, that's that rate you'll probably get. Other countries give you full rate, but I've not heard that anyone doing it here in the US.

      You AC is probably the biggest power guzzler in your home. You'll need a lot of panels, but at least in the cooler times, you'll be feeding a lot back into the grid.

  14. Re:You must have failed Physics class by montyzooooma · · Score: 1, Insightful

    I think you failed Humor 101.

  15. why don't they... by salec · · Score: 1

    ...cover the front of solar cell with deep, open, honeycomb-shaped, reflective walls (e.g. Aluminum or silver) grid? That would effectively act as a light trap, making solar panel more "absolutely black body"-like. Or, even better, make open "boxes" with walls covered in solar cells. Photon should have very little chance to escape after multiple reflections...

    1. Re:why don't they... by Calinous · · Score: 1

      Some of the energy is "lost" as light reflection, while some is lost as heat. Anyway, once a photon starts to go away from the cell, the reflective walls will direct it outwards

    2. Re:why don't they... by zqwerty · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Its 20 years since I looked into solar cells in my engineering job, but the figure quoted above must be close to theoretical maximum because solar cells amount to a forward biased diode and can never get to 50% efficiency, they also have poor temperature performance which falls off rapidly as they get hotter, so enclosing them and reflecting more sunlight onto them is exactly the wrong thing to do, they run most efficiently when cool. As said in this thread the big problem is cost and having to store the electricity when the sun is not around at night.

    3. Re:why don't they... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This kind of thinking eventually leads to a parabolic mirror. :)

    4. Re:why don't they... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Anyway, once a photon starts to go away from the cell, the reflective walls will direct it outwards
      So then attach a two-way mirror to the end.

      One thing that I've been thinking about... an LED-powered solar panel. LEDs use virtually no electricity. If you have LEDs powering an enclosed, mirrored, solar panel device, shouldn't you just have to get an initial amount of energy into the system to turn the LED on? The mirrors would guarantee that all of the photons would be directed into the solar panel, especially if this device were shaped like an orb or a cylinder with rounded corners. I'd think this would serve as a perpetual energy machine.
    5. Re:why don't they... by Squirmy+McPhee · · Score: 1

      Its 20 years since I looked into solar cells in my engineering job, but the figure quoted above must be close to theoretical maximum because solar cells amount to a forward biased diode and can never get to 50% efficiency

      The theoretical maximum efficiency for crystalline silicon solar cells is about 29%. However, these solar cells are not made from crystalline silicon. Not only that, they are essentially three different solar cells stacked on top of one another, each optimized for a certain part of the visible spectrum and transparent to the part of the spectrum the cells below it are sensitive to. If you had an infinite number of semiconductor materials, each with a different bandgap energy somewhere in the solar spectrum, and used them to make a "stacked" solar cell like this one the theoretical maximum efficiency would be more like 88%.

      they also have poor temperature performance which falls off rapidly as they get hotter, so enclosing them and reflecting more sunlight onto them is exactly the wrong thing to do, they run most efficiently when cool.

      Thermal performance is a function of open-circuit voltage (the higher the voltage, the lower the thermal degradation); these cells have rather high open-circuit voltages and won't suffer from the same amount of degradation as silicon cells. The higher efficiency also means that fewer photons are being converted to heat, which should help the cells run cooler. As for "enclosing" them, some sort of packaging is required if the cells are to withstand the outdoor environment. Standard silicon cells packaged in conventional modules lose 10-12% of their potential production in hot areas like the desert southwest, and less elsewhere. The cells discussed in this article will theoretically lose less, but since they're designed to operate under concentrated sunlight (which plays a role in the high efficiency) they will require some sort of active or passive cooling regardless. It's a well established mode of operation for solar cells that are designed for it.

    6. Re:why don't they... by Squirmy+McPhee · · Score: 1

      ...cover the front of solar cell with deep, open, honeycomb-shaped, reflective walls (e.g. Aluminum or silver) grid? That would effectively act as a light trap

      That's a pretty standard design feature in modern solar cells, though typically they use pyramids rather than honeycombs. It isn't practical to do on all solar cells, but nearly every monocrystalline silicon solar cell produced on the planet over the last 10-20 years has had this feature.

    7. Re:why don't they... by salec · · Score: 1

      That's a pretty standard design feature in modern solar cells, though typically they use pyramids rather than honeycombs.
      I know about it, the V-groove, like in VMOSFETS, but I thought it was done that way to make light-exposed area of P-N junction larger, not to lower its albedo?
    8. Re:why don't they... by Squirmy+McPhee · · Score: 1

      That's a pretty standard design feature in modern solar cells, though typically they use pyramids rather than honeycombs.
      I know about it, the V-groove, like in VMOSFETS, but I thought it was done that way to make light-exposed area of P-N junction larger, not to lower its albedo?

      Actually, it's not a groove (though that has been done) but four-sided pyramids that are etched into the surface of the silicon. They're made by a simple dip into sodium hydroxide or potassium hydroxide, which etches the silicon faster in certain crystallographic directions than in others -- a V-groove would be more expensive. The pyramids are used purely to reduce reflection. There would be little or no benefit to increasing the p-n junction area exposed to light, and in fact the increase in surface area that comes with the pyramids is detrimental (it increases surface recombination). Modern antireflection coatings do a good job of passivating the surface and preventing surface recombination, though, so this isn't really a big deal anymore.

  16. Getting sick of this. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Although these much-hyped "breakthroughs which are in fact so far from any kind of practical application that they are completely and utterly useless. Instead it just encourages expectations which cannot be satisfied.

    Unless you have plenty of money, photovoltaics isn't practical for any but those with no alternatives. Even then people in that situation tend to have systems which provide nothing but the very basics. (Maybe run a light or two, and a radio.)

    If you have plenty of money to spend on PV it's still not really practical from a purely financial perspective: the cost of the system will take many years to recoup. You'll save some money if you're grid-tied but average household electricity usage generally far exceeds that supplied from all but the biggest, most expensive installation.

    You'll pay no electric bills at all if you're not grid-tied, but unless you have the hell expensive system (with its related ongoing maintenance costs) don't expect to be running the washer-dryer too often, or do anything like welding.

    I'm all for PV and rely on it for my power needs. My site is too remote for AC Mains. But I can't afford a hypersystem to meet the kind of needs the average household expects to have on tap, therefore I live frugally. And these bullshit claims being plastered all over Slashdot every damn day about breakthroughs-which-aren't are really starting to piss me off.

    Now get the fuck off my lawn.

    1. Re:Getting sick of this. by Calinous · · Score: 1

      Even if your solar system doesn't generate more energy than what you consume, you might sell it at a far higher "day tariff" in some places. But the electricity company won't give you money back

    2. Re:Getting sick of this. by Big_Breaker · · Score: 1

      www.fieldlines.com is a good forum for off-grid issues. The site sponsor builds his own wind turbines - big ones. His latest has a twenty foot diameter and produces all the power he needs.

      The best off grid systems combine two or more sources of power. Wind, solar, microhydro - pick two and then get a back generator. Having more sources reduces the need for batteries, which is arguably the weakest part of any off grid system.

  17. About payback times by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    It probably takes a lot more than three years to pay back the investment. A three year payback would be astounding. If that were the case, you could shut down all the existing power plants and run the country just on solar. OK, that's a bit exagerated because solar doesn't make power all the time. Even so, a three year payback would see a dramatic increase in solar use.

    The calculation that produces a three year period says that you start saving money after three years. It assumes that you borrow money to buy the panels. After three years, the money you save on electricity is greater than the loan payments. The link below has a graph. You will notice that the savings take a big jump after twenty years. That's when the loan is paid back and you aren't making payments any more. So, using the link's assumptions, the payback on the investment is about twenty years.

    http://www.ongrid.net/PVPayback.html

    The point of the link is that, even if it takes a long time to pay for the system, you can still save money by going solar.

    1. Re:About payback times by olman · · Score: 1

      The point of the link is that, even if it takes a long time to pay for the system, you can still save money by going solar.

      Assuming maintenance free operation for 20 years, of course. No panel breakage or degradation, equipment failures, need to replace batteries..

  18. pfft... by djupedal · · Score: 1

    "At this point solar energy seems inevitable in our future. Not long from now we'll have more efficient electric motors and even more efficient solar cells, so that would make it a viable backup to a car battery charge and mean you can drive for days and days at long distance without recharging."

    It was more than 15 years ago when similar comments were being tossed about, as the Japanese Govt. began pumping money into solar as a technology. The prediction then was that within the decade, solar energy would be a thriving industry and a large scale, reliable alternative power source for the masses.

    At this rate, with not much having changed, it would seem a safe bet that 15 years hence we will still be hearing how solar energy as a commodity is 'just around the corner...'

    1. Re:pfft... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A bit like the flying car and Duke Nukem Forever :)

  19. So maybe there is an upside... by tgatliff · · Score: 1

    To me spending $3 per gallon of gas. Now maybe they can manufacture these solar cells cheaper than the power company can make them. Personally, I think it is only a matter of time until we see either solar cells or a solar collecting stirling engines on each home to offset peak power usage...

  20. Spot on. by ushering05401 · · Score: 3, Informative

    "The CE manufacturers need to meet them half way and mandate more efficient devices that consume less power and bring back the humble ON/OFF switch that actually did turn off the power."

    I recently had a new lady move in with me... and she insisted on actually unplugging things like my stereo when we were not using it. I was skeptical about the benefits of this tactic to save electricity, but being a curious person I was willing to humor her.

    By unplugging all of my electronic devices (there are many of them) when not in use we saved around $30 U.S. a month. Where was all that energy going? Not sure.

    If you are the type of person that has electronics in every room give it a try for yourself. Even if you don't care about being 'green' you will likely see a difference in your energy bill. Either way you win.

    Regards.

    1. Re:Spot on. by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 4, Informative

      By unplugging all of my electronic devices (there are many of them) when not in use we saved around $30 U.S. a month. Where was all that energy going? Not sure.
      It goes to heat production, mostly. However I prefer a step forward rather than taking a step back by having to turn everything off. It is possible to make equipment have a minimal power consumption on standby, by only running a small circuit that looks for the "On" button being pressed on the device. A lot depend on how you power this circuit... a transformer is a notoriously bad way of doing it.
      Some equipment behaves nicely on standby. Use a Wattmeter to check how much your stuff actually consumes in standby mode; you'd be surprised how little some things consume when idle, and there is little use in unplugging these completely. You might also be surprised at the large amount of power drawn by plug in transformers (The "wall warts"). Removing these when you are not using them saves a lot.

      Another good way to save without sacrificing convenience, is to use a "master-slave" power block with your computer. I have a lot of inefficient transformer power supplies next to the computer, for printers, routers, LCDs, speakers, etc. I installed a "master-slave" system, that will automatically switch off all this rubbish when the computer is switched off. The power draw of this system when idle is minimal compared to those transformers, and you don't have to switch off every individual piece of equipment either,
      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    2. Re:Spot on. by Luyseyal · · Score: 1

      Can you post a link to the "master-slave power block" thing?

      Thanks,
      -l

      --
      Help cure AIDS, cancer, and more. Donate your unused computer time to worldcommunitygrid.org. Join Team Slashdot!
    3. Re:Spot on. by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 1

      Here you go. Page is in Dutch but it has a manual (PDF) in English on it.

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
  21. Massive scale solar farming by Linker3000 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The development of solar power will go a good way to lowering our dependency on fossil fuels, but to be practical we need to deploy the cells in a massive scale - I'm thinking thousands of square miles of solar farms - so what we really need is a relatively flat landscape in a location with significant sunshine levels. It would also be ideal if the region could provide the raw materials for the manufacture of the cells to save in transportation costs, but to be perfect the region would also have an abundant supply of fossil fuels to power the manufacturing plants until such time as construction was complete.

    In summary, the ideal location would have:

    Sun
    Sand
    Oil

    You see what I did there!?

    --
    AT&ROFLMAO
    1. Re:Massive scale solar farming by TubeSteak · · Score: 1

      In summary, the ideal location would have:

      Sun
      Sand
      Oil

      You see what I did there!? The only problem with that plan is that "a relatively flat landscape in a location with significant sunshine levels" + sand = sandstorms.

      Sand makes maintanence insanely difficult and expensive.

      BP announced in March that they're building two giant solar facilities.
      One is in Madrid, Spain and the other in Bangalore, India.
      Notice how neither is in the desert?
      --
      [Fuck Beta]
      o0t!
    2. Re:Massive scale solar farming by dbIII · · Score: 1

      It can be very funny taking things to ridiculous extremes - but there is more than one option. Photovoltaics are great when you have small installations paticularly in places where it would cost a lot to run wires - which is why I've been seeing them on navigation beacons and telecommunications repeaters for over a decade. They are an additive solution, double the area and you get twice the output. Thermal power soutions, whether solar or other heat sources scale up - double the volume and you get more than twice the output up to a point. This is why the nuclear advocates really like to compare with photovoltaics - build anything thermal apart from a fast breeder (we don't know how to build one that works well at a large scale yet and they are too expensive at a small scale) up to a big enough size and it is going to come out ahead. Obviously then you do not build a 3 gigawatt photovoltaic farm - but a few megawatts in a remote area can really be worth it or simply for redundancy in other areas (I'm half convinced the solar google thing is effectively for a solar UPS - if the grid goes down in daylight) or less dependance on local power distributors. In a lot of places the people that buy the solar gear are those with boats and those with farms - a shed way out in the back paddock could have a diesel generator or you could use a panel if the stuff inside doesn't need much power.

    3. Re:Massive scale solar farming by nickyj · · Score: 1

      You are forgetting the limitations on electric distribution. You cannot transfer power over great distances without losses. Basically it's impossible to transfer power reliably and efficiently from the Midwest to the Northeast. See the Losses section of electrical power transmission. There are also other considerations that are listed on that page which are often overlooked by the masses concerning power distribution.

      --
      Causing Chaos Everywhere,
      Nik J.
      The strange world of a loner, in a populous city, drowning in society
  22. fail by jovius · · Score: 4, Funny

    Yes, this is great, but solar power will eventually fail completely, and there are no guarantees for long-term investments beyond five billion years from now.

    1. Re:fail by Cosmic+AC · · Score: 1

      We must ask Cosmic AC how to reverse entropy.

  23. Standby vs. remote power-on by CarpetShark · · Score: 1

    I don't really see the problem with leaving devices on "standby". I'm not an electronics type, but it can't take that much power for a small IR receiver circuit to flick the power on for the main circuitry. The only problem with that is that governments allow people to sell goods where "standby" means "don't show a picture until they press a button". Other (PC-like) devices are starting to have extended startup times, and so standby is starting to mean "keep memory running, but don't show a picture...". Maybe what we need is to differentiate between "sleep" mode and "remote power-on" mode.

    1. Re:Standby vs. remote power-on by StarfishOne · · Score: 1

      Using a kill-a-watt-like device I've actually learned that a particular lamp in my house, a 40W model, used 23W in stand-by mode!

      I'd tend to think that just a small IR receiver would not use a lot of energy, but looking at the lamp and learning the amount of influence of a bad transformer I trust nothing anymore until I've measured it.

    2. Re:Standby vs. remote power-on by redcane · · Score: 1

      Indeed. Chuck a power meter on your devices that are in "standby"...... You'd be surprised how much more than a simple IR reciever is drawing power in these devices that are in standby. According to this hardcoreware review at idle, the xbox 360 draws 157 Watts, the PS3 177 watts, and the Wii 13.5. In standby, the Wii draws 1.3 (or 9.6 with Connect24 On), the 360 draws 2.5 watts, and the PS3 uses 1.9. 2.5 Watts, 24 hours a day, just for being plugged in. Pathetic. I could leave a light on 8 hours a day and use less power.

  24. Economically feasible? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    What matters to me: Do those new cells finally "produce" more energy during their life than they required during manufactoring?

    1. Re:Economically feasible? by zero_Bytes_free · · Score: 1

      This question needs to be asked more often. It's all about the energy used from the beginning of the product to the end of life.

    2. Re:Economically feasible? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > What matters to me: Do those new cells finally "produce" more energy during their life than they required during manufactoring?

      Yes. See this article from Wikipedia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_cell under 'Solar Cells and Energy Payback'

    3. Re:Economically feasible? by dbIII · · Score: 1

      That happened a few decades ago as part of the integrated circuit revolution and is still improving, because they start with the same materials. High purity silicon (zone refined) is made in large quantities now and fabrication design improvements mean the wafers can be very large now with much lower energy input per gram than in the 1950s. Even photovoltaics made then most likely also produced more energy during their life - they last a long time, I've certainly seen light meters that old that still work.

    4. Re:Economically feasible? by Squirmy+McPhee · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What matters to me: Do those new cells finally "produce" more energy during their life than they required during manufactoring?

      What do you mean "finally"? They always have, though nowadays they recover the energy used in their production much faster than they used to. A few years to recovery is typical, and you really have to be trying to make it more than a decade. By contrast, the solar panels themselves are waranteed for 20+ years and thought to have useful lifetimes of 30+ years.

  25. Lunar power by CarpetShark · · Score: 1

    There was talk a while back of beaming microwave energy to earth from solar-power-collecting satellites, since they're outside the atmosphere, and in the sun at times when other spots on earth aren't. The moon might also fit into that satellite model, except that it's further away.

    1. Re:Lunar power by mooingyak · · Score: 1

      IIRC a satellite in a geosynch orbit is in sunlight for all but something like 10 minutes or so of a day.

      Can't find a reference at the moment though.

      --
      William of Ockham had no beard. The most likely explanation is that it was chewed off by squirrels every morning.
    2. Re:Lunar power by vigmeister · · Score: 1

      IIRC a satellite in a geosynch orbit is in sunlight for all but something like 10 minutes or so of a day. Off the top of my head, I would assume it would depend on what point on earth the satellite is synchronous to...

      Cheers!
      --
      Vig
      --
      Atheist: Buddhist in a Prius
    3. Re:Lunar power by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      Off the top of my head, I would assume it would depend on what point on earth the satellite is synchronous to... Which point it's synchronous to will determine at what time it's in darkness. But it shouldn't have much to do with the average amount of time it's in darkness, over the span of a year as the Earth travels around the Sun.
    4. Re:Lunar power by vigmeister · · Score: 1

      Would the inclination of the plane of the orbit not matter? e.g a Geostationary orbit vs one that passes over the poles?

      Cheers!

      --
      Atheist: Buddhist in a Prius
    5. Re:Lunar power by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      Yes, that would matter (as would the size of the orbit and other factors); I was only speaking of a geosynchronous orbit.

    6. Re:Lunar power by vigmeister · · Score: 1

      I was comparing a geostationary orbit (which is by definition geosynchronous) to a polar geosynchronous orbit... Both would have different 'daylight' percentages?

      Geosynchronous != Geostationary...

      Cheers!
      --
      Vig

      --
      Atheist: Buddhist in a Prius
    7. Re:Lunar power by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      Ok, you're right, I neglected the difference between the two. Yes, equatorial and polar geostationary orbits should have different daylight percentages.

    8. Re:Lunar power by CarpetShark · · Score: 1

      Ahh, so it's more for sun exposure, than for avoidance of atmospheric interference?

      Thanks :)

  26. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 4, Informative

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  27. Concentration Is Good by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Concentration of a larger solar input area onto a smaller solar cell is nearly always better than straight 1:1 reception. The efficiency goes up with these materials, which of course is good.

    But also the concentrators are a lot cheaper than the cells. The concentrator is usually a cheap (compared to the cell) lens or mirror. So a 20x concentrator gets 20x the input energy, but for a much lower cost than 20 cells. And that cell is operating at higher efficiency, on 20x the input. So a $10 cell fed by 20 $5 concentrators costs only $110 instead of $200. 5% more efficiency in the cell is applied to all 20 concentrators, not just the 1 cell, for 200% efficiency. So it's double the efficiency at 55% the price, or over 3.6x the $:energy efficiency. In reality, the concentrators are better than 5x cheaper, and the efficiency gains can go higher than 5% greater.

    And then there's all the savings from cheaper replacement concentrators, which could even last longer than the cells (though the cells typically last >30 years), and dropping all the other HW from the 19 (or however many) extra cells in favor of "dumb" concentrators. In fact, since concentrators are so cheap, the cells might not require HW to track the Sun for maximum absorbtion, but just array the concentrators in an arc (or bubble) that always leaves an array of concentrators facing the Sun (and the rest off-axis), without consuming energy to move. Or extra parts, or computing, and saving all the maintenance costs, too.

    So the more concentration, the better. After all, that's how the engineers thought up this stuff.

    --

    --
    make install -not war

    1. Re:Concentration Is Good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You forget about the one thing that concentrators also bring to the table. Heat. LOTS OF IT. You also get 20x the heat. Most concentrator type solar systems like that are actually black pipes with some sort of liquid in them that boils at a semi low temp (for cloudy days). That liquid is then used to push the fins on a generator. Much like nuclear and coal.

      Also the more heat you put into a cell the more you reduce the lifetime of the cell. They are meant to run in specific temp ranges...

    2. Re:Concentration Is Good by Big_Breaker · · Score: 1

      Concentrating has efficiencies that you cite but also costs. The mirrors have to track the sun to produce any power. The tracking mounts and controls are expensive. Off axis the mirror directs the light away from the target cell - no power - so tracking is critical.

      Non-concentrating panels produce more power if they track the sun but still produce power according to the cosine of the angle between the sun and the panel if they don't. Also direct panels can get some power from diffuse sun, such as on a hazy day. Contrators can only use direct sunlight.

    3. Re:Concentration Is Good by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      Ah, but as you point out, that heat can be recaptured.

      I didn't say there's no upper limit to concentration multipliers; I just quoted the summary's "20x". So I assume 20KW:m^2 doesn't damage the system, but rather drives it to higher efficiencies.

      I wonder what kind of mechanism could get maximum efficiency at really high concentrations, driving the collector material to its Gibbs Free Energy threshold, and actually driving all the electrons into an anode or something.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    4. Re:Concentration Is Good by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      No, concentrators can be made with all the optical absorbance characteristics of the actual cells, but cheaper. Optics says they are proxies for the collector. The only problem is making them closest to perfectly reflective/transmissive (100% efficient), even as dust accumulates. But otherwise there is no limit on concentrators that doesn't also apply to the cells. Except that concentrators are cheaper.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

  28. Not too bad by Gr8Apes · · Score: 5, Informative

    I looked into this recently. Installing a ground based heat pump instead of a regular air conditioner would have been around $6K (instead of $2K for the AC). Note that this was for an old style 12 SEER AC unit that's no longer available against a 25+ SEER heat pump (get added bonus of generating heat). AC units have almost doubled in cost, and now are about $4500 installed (new US regulations require higher SEER units).

    Why didn't I get the ground based system? Because when it's over 100 F and your main AC unit dies, I couldn't wait for the ground based unit installation taking over a week. I will plan for one at my next house though.

    --
    The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    1. Re:Not too bad by JonathanR · · Score: 1

      Why didn't I get the ground based system? Because when it's over 100 F and your main AC unit dies, I couldn't wait for the ground based unit installation taking over a week. I will plan for one at my next house though. I suspect this is the same reason for the slow take-up of solar hot-water systems. If the ol' one carks-it, then the temptation is to just replace like for like.
    2. Re:Not too bad by Orange+Crush · · Score: 1

      I bought a window unit for ~$200. Central AC is working fine, but if it dies, I can stuff that back in the window and be comfortable. The primary reason I have it is for hurricanes--much easier to power a window unit with a generator than a whole central unit.

    3. Re:Not too bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I suspect this is the same reason for the slow take-up of solar hot-water systems."

      Might be slow uptake where you are from, but where I am from (Perth, Western Australia) pretty much everybody has one.

      They have been extremely popular for the past 25 years.

    4. Re:Not too bad by Gr8Apes · · Score: 2, Informative

      Actually, there's another issue with solar hot-water systems: home owners associations. In my particular case, I can't put such a system on the preferred side of the roof because it'd be visible from the street (my house faces SSW). There's also the issue of performance, although I've not looked into this in the past 8 years so I'm not up on any improvements.

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    5. Re:Not too bad by JonathanR · · Score: 1

      According to this report (PDF) (2003), market penetration of solar hot water heaters is 4.8%. Unless something drastic has changed in the last four years, I'd reckon it's quite a stretch to say "pretty much everybody has one".

  29. What I'll never understand... by rAiNsT0rm · · Score: 1

    Is why every building/house isn't required to have at least one solar panel on the roof. I could care less about their efficiency, or the ability to run my whole house on them, but the relative low cost and huge amount of energy would benefit everyone. Give people a tax break like they do for weatherproofing your home and make it mandatory.

    Full systems to run a home only cost $10k-15k, and single fairly large panels and the needed wiring are ~$1k without batteries or other complexity.

    It would also bring down the costs and fund better efficiency and research due to the increased demand. Then some people would be more likely to add a few more or go fully solar, while others don't have to do anything more. It's a win-win. And yes, $1k is a lot for some, but I'd rather see energy co's and the government spending here than in forcing and subsidizing grandparents to get digital TV converters.

    --
    http://teasphere.wordpress.com - A little spot of tea
    1. Re:What I'll never understand... by zyche · · Score: 1

      Is why every building/house isn't required to have at least one solar panel on the roof. I could care less about their efficiency, or the ability to run my whole house on them, but the relative low cost and huge amount of energy would benefit everyone. Give people a tax break like they do for weatherproofing your home and make it mandatory. I recently visited Berlin, Germany, and from the top of the house I could see that most of the houses in the residential area had solar panels on the roof. I inquired about this and was informed that it indeed was the result of tax reductions. I gave me some hope...
    2. Re:What I'll never understand... by rAiNsT0rm · · Score: 1

      It only makes sense, which is why America will A. Never do it or B. Manage to screw it up so badly that each panel ends up costing tax payers $4,000 *and* a tax increase. It is such a simple and advantageous idea that would benefit everyone involved from top to bottom... that doesn't happen often.

      I have a lot of interest in green computing and sustainability and Germany and Japan are two countries leading the way, so it doesn't surprise me. I wasn't aware of it though, so thanks for sharing!

      --
      http://teasphere.wordpress.com - A little spot of tea
  30. Re:You must have failed Physics class by Bright+Apollo · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    mod parent +1 clueless and +1 physics major with no job prospects

  31. Impossible economics, take 761, action! by Ancient_Hacker · · Score: 1
    I wish at least someone would run the numbers on these things once and for all.

    • Solar collectors are expensive.
    • You need a mirror, a support, maybe a steering system, periodic cleaning and maintenance.
    • If the support is going to last more than one year, it needs to be rather sturdy in order to survive wind, rain, maybe snow and hail.
    • So we're talking an installed cost of lets say $500 per square meter, more if it's steerable. Plus yearly cleaning and maintenance.
    • Now a square meter of sunlight is about 1 kilowatt of light.
    • Going into a 17% efficient solar cell, allowing for clouds and "night", is going to average about 60 watts of DC.
    • At electricity going for the wholesale rate of 3 cents a KwH, which is, that's .2 cents per hour.
    • But wait, this is undependable power, going away at every passing cloud, so it either is going to have to go into a storage device, (more $$$, more losses), or the utility is not going to pay you the going rate for dependable power, instead maybe half that at best, if they'll take it at all (you see to take it they'll have to build more gas-turbine peaking plants to make up for the cloudy times).
    • So taking that into account, it nets out to about $9 per year. Probably closer to $7 if you include time down for maintenance and cleaning.
    • For an investment of $500.
    • So you can't even pay the cost of interest on the loan, much less the cost of cleaning and maintenance, much less making any headway on the principal.
    1. Re:Impossible economics, take 761, action! by burgundy · · Score: 1
      3 cents per kWh? Sign me up. Electricity in NY is several times more expensive than that.

      Here's a page that runs the numbers for a solar PV system on Long Island, NY:

      http://www.majesticsonli.com/7.html

      After taking into account all the tax breaks and kickbacks from the local utility, it's about a 10-12 year payback period. I think that length of time is right at the limit of what people in the US might consider.

    2. Re:Impossible economics, take 761, action! by Ancient_Hacker · · Score: 1
      >3 cents per kWh? Sign me up. Electricity in NY is several times more expensive than that.

      That's the wholesale price that utilities are willing to pay for unreliable power.

      Here's a page that runs the numbers...

      yeah. Very creative.

      First of all, in the long run you have to triple the cost, as the 2/3 subsidy will only work if very few people make use of it. Obviously, if EVERYBODY asked for the subsidy, it evaporates.

      And if you look at the bottom line, you have to pay out $12K ($36K actually), and maybe if you're lucky, get $1,200 a year back. Which isnt going to even pay for interest and maintenance, much less make a dent in the principal.

    3. Re:Impossible economics, take 761, action! by Retric · · Score: 1

      Wow, you really like pulling numbers out of thin air.
      "lets say $500 per square meter" wrong.
      "At electricity going for the wholesale rate of 3 cents a KwH, which is, that's .2 cents per hour." wrong.
      "instead maybe half that at best, if they'll take it at all (you see to take it they'll have to build more gas-turbine peaking plants to make up for the cloudy times)." wrong.
      "about $9 per year." wrong.
      "For an investment of $500." wrong.

      Do you happen to work in a management position?
      PS: Utility's operate on a scale where a single cloud is not going to significantly impact things. Wholesale rates vary based on time of day and season and location such that electricity generated by solar power is worth a lot more than other types of power as it tracks when people need energy. In any case a home solar system reduces your usage of metered power so you're payback is at consumers prices.

    4. Re:Impossible economics, take 761, action! by mdsolar · · Score: 1
      I thought this estimate for solar thermal to be interesting:

      Even without pricing cost externalities, the cost of solar thermal power is going down. Currently, the cost of solar thermal produced energy can be close to 12 cents (US) per k/Wh. However, many economists and investors predict that this price will continuously drop over the next ten years with increased installed capacity, to 6 cents per kW/h, as a result of technological improvements, economies of scale and volume production.
      http://www.solel.com/faq/ linked from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nevada_Solar_One.

      For states with renewable energy standards, this does not seem all that expensive. There is quite a range in what is paid for electricy at the supply end because spinning reserve is expensive. A peak demand matched profile may well be economical.

      High efficency panels (concentrators are built in) are going to have applications where they compete at retail rather than wholesale. We'll know where these particular ones are at in about three years.
      --
      Solar power for what you pay now: http://mdsolar.blogspot.com/2007/01/slashdot-users -selling-solar.html
    5. Re:Impossible economics, take 761, action! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >I wish at least someone would run the numbers on these things once and for all.
      I have many times.

      > Solar collectors are expensive.
      Yes, they are.

      >You need a mirror
      No you don't.

      >a support
      Yes. It's called a steel frame. Not expensive.

      > maybe a steering system
      No you don't.

      >periodic cleaning
      It's called rain and maybe hosing them off once or twice a year

      > and maintenance.
      No moving parts==no maintenance

      > If the support is going to last more than one year, it needs to be rather sturdy in order to survive wind, rain, maybe snow and hail.
      See "steel support frame" above. Here in Florida they can withstand hurrcanes.

      >So we're talking an installed cost of lets say $500 per square meter, more if it's steerable. Plus yearly cleaning and maintenance.

      A 130 watt cell that is .92 meters in area is about $600, with installation and grid tie-in you're probably looking at closer to $1000 installed, not your 500 estimate.

      >Now a square meter of sunlight is about 1 kilowatt of light.
      Yes. 1374 watts does about equal 1000, with a 37.4% error of margin.

      > Going into a 17% efficient solar cell, allowing for clouds and "night", is going to average about 60 watts of DC.
      You'll get an average of 6 hours of full insolation. That's averaged over the entire year. It will vary by region, but that's the number for where I live.
      Another way to look at it is KwH/day of insolation, which is 5.5 KwH a day for Florida.

      >At electricity going for the wholesale rate of 3 cents a KwH, which is, that's .2 cents per hour.
      I don't pay wholesale. I pay retail. 11 cents a KwH.

      >But wait, this is undependable power, going away at every passing cloud, so it either is going to have to go into a storage device, (more $$$, more losses), or the utility is not going to pay you the going rate for dependable power, instead maybe half that at best, if they'll take it at all (you see to take it they'll have to build more gas-turbine peaking plants to make up for the cloudy times).
      See above comment--6 hours per day average or 5.5KwH/ m2 / day.

      >So taking that into account, it nets out to about $9 per year. Probably closer to $7 if you include time down for maintenance and cleaning.

      My calculations are about $30 - $35 a year. (6 hours x .13KwH x 11 cents x 365 days or 5.5 KwH/day * .92 sq m * 17 % efficiency x 11 cents x 365) Do you really think my panel which has no moving parts will be "down for maintenance" 23% of the time (2/9th as you say?)

      >For an investment of $500.
      >So you can't even pay the cost of interest on the loan, much less the cost of cleaning and maintenance, much less making any headway on the principal.

      If I borrow $1000 at 6% and get a 30 year mortgage (the expected life of the panel is 30 years), I would pay $72 a year in increased mortgage payments. I save $35 a year in electricity. So it sounds like a bad deal. However there are other factors at play.

      First, let us talk utility rates. They go up an average of 4% a year. That means in 18 years, electricity prices will be double what they are now. So since our system is only paying approximately half of what it costs now, then we will lose money for the first 18 years, after that we will start making money because we fixed our cost of generating power in today's dollars. At the end of the term elecricity costs will be more than triple today's rates. Bottom line, you'll break even.

      Second let's talk state and federal subsidies. My state pays $4 per installed watt. The fed pays 30% up to $2000. So my installed cost falls to more like $300, which has a mortgage payment of $15. So with subsidies, I start making $20 per year for each panel I install.

      Third, let's talk future projected costs:

      Panel costs and installation costs are dropping and are expected to fall in half w

    6. Re:Impossible economics, take 761, action! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Where you live to get a kWh for 3 cents? I am paying for it about five times that amount ...

    7. Re:Impossible economics, take 761, action! by Ancient_Hacker · · Score: 1
      ahem, nice try, but we don't live in Utopia, where all your cherry-picked numbers and wishes come true:

      • Sun of 6 hours per day average or 5.5KwH/ m^2 / day. That's cherry-picking. At Talahassee it's about 4.5, lower in most other states. And that's at right-angles to the Sun, but you've already set on a fixed collector, which isn't going to catch the full insolation. Subtract another 30%.
      • ... 30 yr mortgage .... Go ask your banker if you can get a 30-year loan on a solar panel.
      • ... with subsidies ... Subsidies only work when very few people ask for them. If everybody qualified, then of course the subsidies are pointless... everybody gets them means everybody has to pay for them too. No benefit to anybody.
      • .. i pay retail electric prices I was assuming like TFA a solar concentrator, which would be unlikely for home use. A utility would only benefit the avoided cost of unreliable wholesale power, which is much much less than your retail cost of reliable delivered power.
      • I'd like solar power to take off too, but IMHO it's not helpful to spin wildly optimistic projections and end up with pissed off early-adopters.
  32. What about..... by bblboy54 · · Score: 1

    It doesnt seem they included this device in their calculations. I wonder why? :)

  33. So, how's UV solar coming along? by jollyreaper · · Score: 1

    I remember reading that there was a research program trying to make solar cells work with UV as well as visible spectrum light. That way, you can still make use of the UV part of the spectrum even on cloudy days.

    Speaking of solar power, have we yet come up with a way of capturing ambient heat and doing something with it? When I look at my car in the midday sun, I'm reminded of Texas prison movies with prisoners getting put in "the box." Sheesh! Can't somebody do something with all that heat just sitting around, doing nothing?

    In the past, most of the ginchy-keen ideas for alternative fuels always got shot down because fossil fuels were cheaper. You aren't going to get anyone to pay a cent more per kilowatt-hour than they have to. "For the environment?" you suggest. "Die, hippie fag," they reply. But the moment fossil fuels become more expensive, they'll be coming right back all like "Hey, buddy, what was that you were talking about, a hemp-powered car? Did I mention I like the Dead?" I saw some great work being done with solar ovens for third world nations lacking a dependable supply of cheap cooking fuel. These ovens were just shiny sheet metal bent into focusing mirrors. Sure, that's not as advantageous for us westerners, especially when we want to toast up some leftover pizza at night. For people whose choices are solar oven or nothing, a little something looks a whole lot better.

    Or look at housing. I live in Florida. Before the advent of the AC, a premium was placed on intelligent housing design to make things livable. The old-style Florida houses were designed for passive cooling and proper airflow through the structure. Once AC's came around, shit, who opens their windows these days? Build everything in blocks and use active cooling, elecricity is cheap. Well, now it ain't.

    --
    Kwisatz Haderach
    Sell the spice to CHOAM
    This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
    1. Re:So, how's UV solar coming along? by Sarutobi · · Score: 1

      Yes, people have come up with some interesting ideas to use the heat.

      They have one in Spain for instance. A fluid is heated in a pipe sitting at the focus of parabolic mirrors. It is pumped to to a facility where half is used to boil water directly and half is used melt sodium. The melted sodium is stored and re-used during the night to heat water to produce electricity. Simple as that.

      --
      Think about this: Axe and Dove are actually the same company. Vincent L.B.
  34. It's not as great as it sounds. by Sarutobi · · Score: 1

    While it is a step in the right direction, it is nowhere as good as they would like you believe.

    Like was pointed out before this device has several complex parts that might be hard to manufacture. Also, from what i gather, it's only the light that hits the light collector that is captured with a 42% efficiency. Unless that collector covers the entire surface of the solar panel, I would be surprised if 100% actually made it to the solar cells itself. In this way, the efficiency is probably more around 30%, which is still good. Efficiency is not everything. The amount of light captured is as important.

    Life cycle assessments are very important too. Until recently, it would take more energy to make a single solar panel than what it could give you during its entire lifetime. This is changing but, given the complexity of the proposed device, it could still be a problem.

    So, while I encourage scientists to keep working on solar cells (it's my field too, btw), I think they should refrain from making such announcements too fast.

    --
    Think about this: Axe and Dove are actually the same company. Vincent L.B.
  35. But how much is it? by f97tosc · · Score: 1

    This is great news, but I am a little curious about the cost of these things... The biggest barrier to solar cells right now is cost, not efficiency. This new cell is about twice as efficient as your typical single layer panel but how much more expensive is it? 50% more expensive? Twice as expensive? 10 times more expensive? This thing has several layers and optics to separate the light... apparently in a much tighter package than similar devices in the past, but still complex and big relative to your standard single layer solar panel.

  36. My HOA.... by whoda · · Score: 1

    My HOA routinely tries to have my vehicle ticketed and towed after being parked for 72 hours in one spot.

    I commute by bicycle and do most of my errands that way too. The HOA directors have no concept of someone actually NOT using their vehicle.

    1. Re:My HOA.... by Luyseyal · · Score: 1

      Heh, I think in New York City, the POLICE ticket you for that!

      -l

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  37. Mods, pay attention by p3d0 · · Score: 1

    Is the parent really a troll?

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    Patrick Doyle
    I mod down every jackass who puts his moderation policy in his sig. Oh, wait a sec....
  38. Buy more oil not solar. by bri_eh · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The power of Bush compels you! The power of Bush compels you! But seriously, transfer 1/16 of the money from the oil wars to research on making more efficient and cheaper solar cells and we will will have a energy independent North America and far less air pollution before the 2050 point of no return.

  39. Being done in New Mexico by mdsolar · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I razzed New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson on my blog yesterday saying he is trying to keep the southerneastern US off solar so he can build a huge New Mexican Solar Power Monopoly to supply them: http://mdsolar.blogspot.com/2007/07/new-mexicans-c onspire.html(tinfoil hat warning). One of the projects linked there aims to do just this, havesting the heat generated at the panels for building heating. Engulf and Devour, that's his motto.
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  40. Put some things into perspective by ilovethesun · · Score: 5, Informative

    Hi,

    I will try to put a summary to the interested folks around:

    A photovoltaic system is composed today by:
    - Module
    - Inverter DC/AC
    - Mounting system
    - Cabling
    - Measuring/Protection electrical stuff

    Most of the cost today is the module. Systems go (net) for 4-5$/Watt.
    More efficient cells (and modules) mean less installation costs. For the future, it will be important since cell and module prices will go down.

    Today, in California, if you take a system lifetime of 25 years, the kWh equivalent "price" is about 25-30cent.

    System price decrease is expected to be 5-10% yearly for the next 5-10 years at least. This means that very soon the PV power will be cheaper than the one sold by the utility.

    PV systems are perfect for distributed energy: a centralized power plant is not really cheaper or more efficient than a 5kW roof installation. And the energy transport kills the small margin that you had in favour of the big thing. That is why most utilities are not hot about PV: it is against their business model.

    For the moment, it is not cheap to get "disconnected" from the grid. Therefore, a mix of PV and other electricity is necessary. PV has a nice peak at max. consumption peak. However, the evening consumption must be covered otherwise. Wind, biomass, ocean waves, geothermal, whatever.

    PV in order to charge e-cars is OK today already. A car that uses 10 liter to do 100km, at a 20kW mean power, is using 20kWh energy for 10 liter gas, at 1$/liter it would be 50 cent/kWh. Make the calculation with your local gas price/gallon and you see that, even today, it is competitive. And cleaner. Only e-cars are not yet developed/deployed as they need to be.

    About Solar-thermal energy for cold- it works for mid-big sized equipments, it is cheaper and especially more reliable than electricity... PV supporting electrical AC is still a bit more expensive but both run a nice race.

    Ah, the typical guy asks about energy payback times: depending on technology, after 1-4 years your system has produced the energy needed to make it. Longer times belong to PV prehistory and to right-wing-thinktank analysis.

    Cheers!

    1. Re:Put some things into perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      System price decrease is expected to be 5-10% yearly for the next 5-10 years at least. This means that very soon the PV power will be cheaper than the one sold by the utility. I am a huge fan of alternative energy, solar included, but I have been hearing this "real soon now" line for years, and I think everyone is more or less tired of it. Geothermal is a far better investment in most areas. Also, where are you getting your 5-10% numbers from, and do they apply to theoretical lab made panel efficiency, or to actual commercial products on the market? I would love to see a source for that.
    2. Re:Put some things into perspective by ilovethesun · · Score: 1

      Hi,

      The "grid-parity" (same price of utility electricity and solar electricity) was a long shot a few years ago, but we are getting closer. How?

      The biggest market in the world is Germany, with more than 50% of sold PV. The laws there set a feed-in tariff (a electricity price at which the producer sells the electricity) for 20 years. This tariff is going down every year (means if you install today you get 20years of XX. If you install next year 20 years of XX-5%.

      As usuall, market is the driving force. If companies do not achieve this price reduction, they will just not survive. But the technology evolution in modules makes it possible to reach this 5% yearly. How? A mix of better technology and economy of scale. Take a look after September to the proceedings of the European PV Conference and you will see some serious content about that.

      For EU countries, system prices of 3$ achieve grid parity. In Hawaii, 4-5$ is already profitable. In California, 3-4$. Those markets with grid parity, if laws are put in place to make it easy to put PV on the roof, will boom with demand; but if the grid is further "protected" from distributed generation, it will take longer.

  41. steampunk solar! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This kind of thinking eventually leads to a parabolic mirror. :)
    Yes, and with addition of Stirling engine, dynamo and heliostat gear for whole setup, we can ditch them expensive, wavelength-picky quantum mechanic panels!

    "Solid state" ... well, duh!
  42. Wow, how innaccurate by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 2, Informative

    > On a roof, such cells would require less than half the surface area to
    > produce the same amount of power as today's standard solar panels,
    > which have an efficiency of about 17%."

    The article being quoted clearly states that these cells require concentrated sunlight -- this is true of all thin-film high-TSE cells. So basically you can't mount them on the roof, you'll get no power at all.

    Further, most solar panels get about 11% efficiency. There are ones that get into the 15-17% range, but these are much more expensive and see considerably less use as a result.

    These new cells will be very useful for large-scale energy developments, like large solar farms in the desert. They are completely useless for rooftop deployment.

    Maury

    1. Re:Wow, how innaccurate by ianare · · Score: 1
      from TFA:

      "This is a major step toward our goal of 50 percent efficiency," Barnett said. "The percentage is a record under any circumstance, but it's particularly noteworthy because it's at low concentration, approximately 20 times magnification. The low profile and lack of moving parts translates into portability, which means these devices easily could go on a laptop computer or a rooftop."
    2. Re:Wow, how innaccurate by Squirmy+McPhee · · Score: 1

      The article being quoted clearly states that these cells require concentrated sunlight -- this is true of all thin-film high-TSE cells.

      No, the article clearly states that the efficiency is measured at 20 suns concentration. They'll work just fine at lower concentrations, or with no concentration at all, but at a slightly reduced efficiency. Furthermore, the vast majority of thin-film, high-efficiency multijunction solar cells that have ever been manufactured were designed to operate without concentration and are currently circling the globe on various spacecraft.

      So basically you can't mount them on the roof, you'll get no power at all.

      Not true at all. As I said, you'll lose a few efficiency points, and without the 20X concentration the power output will be further reduced by (surprise, surprise) a factor of 20, but they'll still produce power. But then, why wouldn't you just mount the concentrator on the roof along with the cells?

      At any rate, while they talk about roof-mounting these cells, they were ultimately developed with DARPA funding and the military has various uses in mind for them (though the folks at U-Delaware are apparently talking to Dow about commercializing these for the rest of us a few years down the road).

  43. stirling engines by MobyDisk · · Score: 1

    Does anyone know how efficient stirling engines installations are compared with solar panels?

    1. Re:stirling engines by samwichse · · Score: 1

      Hi, In your link, the photo of the sign for the model plant says: 29.4% net peak efficiency Sam

  44. extra power usage by mickisdaddy · · Score: 1

    I did not see anyone mention this, but let's say you put some solar panels on your roof or have a solar array in your yard. If you are in a really sunny area and are not home much during the day so are not using as much energy as is being produced, any extra power produced is fed back into the power grid. Legally (in the US at least) your local power company has to purchase that power from you. I have heard of some people that have done this that ends up with a check from the utility company at the end of the month instead of a bill.

    1. Re:extra power usage by aggiefalcon01 · · Score: 1

      I've heard of quite a few people successfully doing this. Generally, during those times that their home produces more electricity than it consumes, they merely feed it back into the grid, and their power meter runs backwards. Usually, though, over the billing cycle (i.e. month) they still consume more power than they generate, so in effect they just have a much-lower bill than before.

      In a few cases, some people who've done this have managed to consume less power than they generate, and in these instances, the power-company owes them money. The power company usually checks *very* carefully to see that their meter is working correctly, but once satisfied, they do get checks for the going rate for electricity at that time.

      Contact Dr. Alan Zelicoff - he's done massive amounts of research into this. He's even written an outstanding small book about photovoltaics, saving energy, alternative (and efficient) HVAC systems based on water, etc.

      --
      Global warming is neither science, nor politics. It is a religion.
  45. Solar power by BlueParrot · · Score: 1, Flamebait

    Solar power, cheap, efficient, durable, pick two.

  46. Records are fine by adsl · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Records being broken for efficiency gains etc. are fine. But why are no new hone systems available today getting more efficient and better priced? It's always "tomorrow is the promised land". Enough already.

    1. Re:Records are fine by JazzLad · · Score: 1

      We'll get it when Linux has been adopted by 50% of computer users, the day before Duke Nukem Forever comes out.

      Troll/Flamebait mod == mods with no humour

      --
      "If you have nothing to hide, you have nothing to fear." - Every fascist, ever
    2. Re:Records are fine by Squirmy+McPhee · · Score: 1

      Records being broken for efficiency gains etc. are fine. But why are no new hone systems available today getting more efficient and better priced?

      Umm, they are. It's happening slowly, in part because global supply for solar modules can't keep up with the global demand, so supply/demand economics are keeping retail prices high even as manufacturing costs fall. Another factor is that the solar industry's demand for silicon has surpassed the world's ability to refine silicon, so silicon prices have skyrocketed. Once the supply/demand situations are fixed there should be a bit of a market correction, but in the meantime prices are slowly declining.

    3. Re:Records are fine by adsl · · Score: 1

      I challenge this moderator's action and request a moderator supervisor to review it. My post was in no way "Flamebait". It's the truth. Every week I read of massive potential improvements in efficiencies on Solar products. Yet when I actually (and I have done so a few times) go for quotations of systems to imstall in my house, the prices do not seem to fall much and the size of system remains the same. The only thing I can think of is that all these gains are not coming into production. So I seriously want to know what's happening. Why is Joe user of home solar systems not getting any radically improved products offeredto him/her? I was even thinking of suggesting that slashdot start a specific thread with posters offering their real experiences on systems and giving links etc. I hink this would be more useful than yet another thread talkin about fficiency gains in Labs! This is a serious subject and needs to be treated as such. Ergo moderation of my remarks as "Flamebait" is completely and utterly misplaced IMHO.

  47. Not silicon. by Gibbs-Duhem · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    The article isn't extremely clear, but these aren't made of just silicon. If that were the case, this would be much more awesome (and is why I was initially extremely excited). They split the light into high, medium, and low energy so that the most appropriate semiconductor can be used to absorb it. Silicon might be used for the medium or low energy light, because it has a band gap of 1.3eV. Something else would have to be used for the other two, running into the problem of gallium being unfortunately rare for widespread use.

  48. Why the comparison is there by mdsolar · · Score: 1

    The article was editied. I made the comparison to point out that this leaves roof area for charging a plug-in hybrid. Under most net metering laws you don't want to generate more power than you use because, after a year, the utility just confiscates the extra power, paying you nothing for it. Most home roofs have enough surface area to handle the power used by the building but it can be a tight fit. Adding in charging a car could mean drawing more from the utility, possibly at a higher price than today's electricity. So, developing the option to get more power from less area enables powering transportation as well as the home in most cases. To be fair, kdawson did add in the 17% number which I had left vauge. It is actually system efficiency that stands near 17%, panel efficiencies are a bit higher (about 19%).
    --
    Get solar power that matches your changing use of electricity:http://mdsolar.blogspot.com/2007/01/sl ashdot-users-selling-solar.html

  49. Re:You must have failed Physics class by 45mm · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Damn, did somebody urinate in your coffee this morning?

  50. per month pricing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It will be even faster once normal grid rates jump, which they will. and homeowners can't get long term electricity price contracts from the local power monopoly, but with solar they can.

  51. Re:You must have failed Physics class by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    On second thought, everyone, I've decided that I myself am an idiot who spells physics with a capital P.

  52. The real question by codeButcher · · Score: 1

    such cells would require less than half the surface area to produce the same amount of power as today's standard solar panels

    But, what are the costs of manufacturing? If the new panel costs more than twice as much as "today's standard solar panels", what's the use? (OK, energy density is nice if you have a small roof area, but that's about it). Now, if the cost is roughly comparable per surface area, that would be great - twice the watts for the same money.

    --
    Free, as in your money being freed from the confines of your account.
  53. Germany is leading green by IwantToKeepAnon · · Score: 2, Informative

    I saw a Nova (IIRC) where Germany is subsidising individuals to put up solar cells. Farmers are covering entire fields with them. They have a contract so that they are garunteed to recoup expenses and make a profit.

    Germany lines all of its freeways w/ solar cells. That is making good use of otherwise wasted space.

    I hope other countries (the US included) take some lessons from the Germans.

    --
    "Happy families are all alike; every unhappy family is unhappy in its own way." -- Anna Karenina by Leo Tolstoy
    1. Re:Germany is leading green by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Freeways are a particularly poor location. Cars kick up dust and mud, and make pollution which deposits itself on the panels. If the Germans salt their roads in the winter, that's really tough on any electronics that aren't sealed.

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    2. Re:Germany is leading green by pedestrian+crossing · · Score: 1

      But you know what? They are doing it anyway, despite your pessimism.

      Fortunately the people who are making this happen are a lot smarter than you seem to think you are.

      The Germans aren't just sitting around thinking up reasons that things can't be done, they are figuring out how to do things and then -doing- them.

      Maybe you should think about -that- for a minute.

      --
      A house divided against itself cannot stand.
  54. brilliant and informative by apodyopsis · · Score: 1

    brilliant and informative, many thanks.

    I would mod you up, but I have already posted the parent on this thread, anybody else care to do the honours?

    My own interest is because I used to work in the CE field writing software for for CD players, the idea of "standby" they had in china when they were being integrated was simply to turn off the display panel and light up a standby light. This meant the standby power was almost exactly the same as the normal power. Apparently it cost too much in HW and developement to put in a real standby.

    I don't work there anymore.

    But it really does annoy me. The EU has made a start by banning incandescent light bulbs - they need to follow up this by mandating maximum permissible normal and standby power to a range of CE devices. I know this will be contentious, but I also know the technology is there to do it and unless this is shrouded in law then the manufacturers will still follow the cheapest bottom line. The best thing is they build to the least common denominator - the stuff we developed would go into every market in the world with minor label changes. The point here is that if they have to lower to power consumption for the next batch of 15 million for only one region then they will across the board.

    A couple of simple regulations would then add up to one serious power saving.

    The bad news is that big business would fight this like nothing before because of the precedent it represents.

  55. Efficieny of Trees by MyLongNickName · · Score: 1

    For reference, is there a generally accepted efficiency rate of trees and other vegetation? Just curious.

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    1. Re:Efficieny of Trees by ChrisMaple · · Score: 2, Informative

      Vegetation varies greatly. I've seen figures as high as 10% for high yield plants. Just to guess, a fast growing healthy tree might be 1%, an old hardwood 0.1% or less. Something like a bristlecone pine would be very poor, indeed. Where I live (southern New Hampshire) the growing season is only 5 months, so more than half the year is completely lost.

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  56. solar *concentrator* == more watts/$ by smellsofbikes · · Score: 1

    The device in question, along with the other one it just surpassed, both are concentrators: they have big optic systems focussing light on small silicon PV cells. The whole point of this area of research was, originally, to reduce the cost per watt -- you make more optics, which are cheap, so the same amount of photovoltaic, the expensive part, sees more sunlight. It's a nice side-effect that it's more efficient, because photovoltaics are nonlinear, but the original reason people were looking at these was precisely to lower the cost-per-watt, and that's really what's important about this research.

    The most recent material I've seen from NREL research indicates the payback time for currently-available solar cells is about 10 years, which is still not bad, given that they have at least a 20 year lifetime. If someone else has a link or other numbers I'd be interested in hearing them.

    --
    Nostalgia's not what it used to be.
  57. 2.1% big deal... by DarthVain · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Am I reading this right? This story is about breaking the record and increasing by only 2.1%? Is that really news? If it was 50%, 25%, hell even 10% that might be something. But 2.1%, gimme a break! Not only that, but this is a singular event, not something being currently translated into the 17% technology....

    1. Re:2.1% big deal... by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      That's 2.1% in 7 months. So, how long to get to 50%? 50-42.8=7.2, at 3.6%/year that's 2 years. Is it news that things are advancing so quickly? To the army it is. Taking 20 pounds off is going to save lives. Might want to read the article.

    2. Re:2.1% big deal... by DarthVain · · Score: 1

      People and there assumptions.... yes so at that rate we shall have 100% efficiency in like 28 years eh? I may not have rtfa but I do know that you cannot assume a linear relationship from one point of reference. As to the rest and its applications and etc... I assume that this actually hasn't been in production yet, that this was a singular experiment that yielded some great results. When I can go our and buy said device (or the Army can), give me the news story then. Anything before, its just paper. It fine that someone is excited at the prospect of some new technology, but I have seen too many not live up to the hype. As the saying goes, I will believe it when I see it, and not before. I seem to recall a nano paint that you could use to paint surfaces and then use them as photoelectric surface, with crazy efficiency as well. That was on slashdot a long time ago. Where is it now? Probably still in some lab trying to make it A) practical in someway, or B) trying to make it so it doesn't cost 100,000$ to make a small amount of them. Anyway that is what I meant by "big deal".

    3. Re:2.1% big deal... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You ever watched Olympics? Do you have the same comment when somebody breaks a world record by "just" 2.1% ?

    4. Re:2.1% big deal... by renoX · · Score: 1

      >>Am I reading this right? This story is about breaking the record and increasing by only 2.1% No, apparently you're not able to read correctly: this story is about breaking the record and increasing by 2.1% with a solar cell *~1cm* thick whereas the previous record holder was *~30cm* thick! Quite a big difference, no?

    5. Re:2.1% big deal... by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      In photovoltaics, this is considered progress. There are some things you can do a 3% efficiency, some more at 6%, 19% gets a lot of applications but 50% breaks new ground. The power-to-weight ratio gets interesting. That is kind of the point of the effort. I'll buy you a beer when they get to 100%.

  58. A useful lesson by paladinwannabe2 · · Score: 1

    Perpetual motion machines break the laws of physics as we know them. All processes increase entropy, and energy is never created out of nothing. In your example, LEDs use minimal electricity, so the light they produce is also low energy. You can't get more power from any light source than it takes to produce the light. Because some energy is lost as heat, you can't even break even. Read the Laws of Thermodynamics and come back.

    --
    You are reading a copy of my copyrighted post.
  59. Roottop concentrators are being delivered by mdsolar · · Score: 2, Informative

    In fact, roof top concentrators look quite practical: http://www.technologyreview.com/Energy/18718/. I wish the original article had given a diagram of how their system is laidout, but it definitely mentioned rooftop use.

    You won't be all that competitive is you are producing 11% efficient solar today. I think perhaps you are thinking that most solar panels already sold have a lower efficiency. One company is selling at $3.00/watt for lower efficency panels as compared with $4.20/watt for most. You have to compete on price to offset the higher installation costs of lower efficeincy panels.
    --
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  60. Cell v. module by plawsy · · Score: 1

    On a roof, such cells would require less than half the surface area to produce the same amount of power as today's standard solar panels, which have an efficiency of about 17%.


    Don't confuse cell efficiency with module efficiency (numerous cells connected together, put into something that can go on your roof, and make useful energy). By the time you add an inverter (to convert the module's dc to ac) and especially if you add storage batteries (as opposed to a grid-tied system), the efficiency goes down further.

    That said, this is great news. Folks in enlightened states, like Kullyfornia, are already using rebates to make clean energy at their homes. Even without rebates, for the price of a Hummer, you can cover almost all your electrical needs from the sun TODAY ("Air conditioning not included!").

    With research cells (as opposed to commercially available modules) poised to get 40%, it's only a matter of time before the nuke and coal industries *really* start to hurt.

    See this article from a decade ago musing about 18% efficient cells http://lbl.gov/Science-Articles/Archive/pure-solar -cells.html
  61. FINALLY SOME GENUINELY GOOD NEWS by tjstork · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I've got my black colored glasses on, but to me it seems like almost every headline lately is either bad news for some group, or at least provokes a political brawl. But finally, after what seems like a brutal decade, there's been a bit of good news for Team USA. GM and Ford are both making money, and now someone has made a real advance in solar cell efficiency. As someone who lives in Delaware, and has seen banks slash their staff and Chrysler announce the closure of a key auto plant, the prospect of any industrial expansion is a welcome bonus.

    Let's say something political, now. Let's hope that the Government can come together with the kind of tax incentives they are waiving around for Ethanol and Oil production to help building owners migrate to solar cells. I think we've beaten the crap out of each other enough debating energy independence and its just time to get rolling.

    --
    This is my sig.
  62. Duh! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    On a roof, such cells would require less than half the surface area to produce the same amount of power as today's standard solar panels, which have an efficiency of about 17%
    It makes no difference to me whether they cover the entire roof, or just half. Space on my roof is free. The important question is, which solution is cheaper? I wish they would give us cost efficiency, as in dollars per watt. Watts per square inch is only important when land or space is terribly expensive.
    1. Re:Duh! by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      The original comparision was there to say you could power your house AND your car too. It got edited.
      --
      Get solar power that grows with you: http://mdsolar.blogspot.com/2007/01/slashdot-users -selling-solar.html

  63. Efficient IS cheap by Weaselmancer · · Score: 1

    Making a more efficient solar cell is an excellent step, but I'd be more interested in a more *cheap* one so they can be taken up on a mass scale.

    More efficient cells would go a long way towards achieving that goal. From the summary:

    On a roof, such cells would require less than half the surface area to produce the same amount of power as today's standard solar panels

    Assuming that they are similar in price to construct, you'd pay about half to purchase these efficient cells versus the older ones they're being compared with. And half in mounting hardware. And the failure rate (again, assuming they are similar) is half as well.

    More efficient cells are an excellent step towards affordability.

    --
    Weaselmancer
    rediculous.
  64. Been done - Mike Strizki's hydrogen home by Weaselmancer · · Score: 1
    --
    Weaselmancer
    rediculous.
  65. High tech one offs by Danathar · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I think most people would be surprised what can be created with technology when you only have to make a few of them. It's the mass manufacture of "scifi" like devices that is HARD.

    If I wanted to create super sci-fi stuff for my spy that's not so hard, custom made stuff with lots of money behind it can do amazing things.

    I'm really hoping that their method is mass manufacturable.

    1. Re:High tech one offs by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      They are partnering with DuPont to take it up to production.

    2. Re:High tech one offs by Danathar · · Score: 1

      If that's the case then it's REALLY BIG, since current photovoltaic cells are not very efficient.

    3. Re:High tech one offs by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      The principle investigator sounds like he has a clue and a half. But, there are high efficiency cells for special applications such as on orbit. They are just pretty expensive. If they are planning on making one per soldier, this should give some scale.

  66. I Don't Want Half The Space by Nom+du+Keyboard · · Score: 1
    On a roof, such cells would require less than half the surface area to produce the same amount of power as today's standard solar panels, which have an efficiency of about 17%.

    I don't want half the space. I want Twice the Power!

    Power is great. I can do more with more power, including selling more if it back to my utility.

    This whole mindset of "now you only need half the space now to do what you do," has irked me for a long time. I first remember it when IBM tried to replace the original PC/AT bus slots with MCA (Micro Channel Architecture, for those of you new here). The MCA cards were half the size, and provided less power, and the argument was that what took the old form factor and footprint 3 years earlier, could now be done in less space and power. The problem was, I didn't want to still do what I could do 3 years earlier. I WANTED TO DO MORE!

    I feel this approach was part of what doomed the MCA bus in PC's.

    --
    "It's the height of ridiculousness to say for those 9 lines you get hundreds of millions."
    1. Re:I Don't Want Half The Space by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      In my original post, that was the point. You can power your house AND your car, not just your house. For me, I'll just put panels out back when the car is ready but it is still nice to see the advance.

  67. Wrong focus? Ass backwards? by macraig · · Score: 1

    Can the impending disaster of Peak Oil be solved, and widespread adoption encouraged, by a feeding frenzy of expensive research, patents, and the overpriced result?

    As has been said SO many times before, for 90% of the applications neither size nor efficiency are really the issue... cost per Watt generated is the issue. There's no shortage of roof space for solar arrays. The reason more people don't install even the "low" efficiency varieties available now is COST.

    Perhaps instead of obsessing over improving the efficiency of the cells, that obsession should be refocused on the efficiency of the production process and making the "low" efficiency cells we have now less expensive to manufacture?

  68. HOA? Embrace, extend, elimnate by dazedNconfuzed · · Score: 1

    because my HOA does not permit them

    Then get on the board and change it.

    Given a convergence of choices, I ended up in a HOA-run community. First chance I got I joined the board, and am trying to make things as lenient as possible. Rules can be changed, and (easier) waved entirely. I suggest you do the same. Rules don't change (or get waived) unless someone motivated enough to change them changes them.

    --
    Can we get a "-1 Wrong" moderation option?
  69. Enviromental bang for buck by DerangedAlchemist · · Score: 1

    Suppose people do care and start conserving energy. They pay less for their energy bill, so that means they own more money. What do they do with this money? Spend it on other things of course! So that means other people are earning more money, for example in other parts of the world that are currently using less energy. What will they do with this extra money? Yes, spend it and in that process use more energy than they would have before!

    Net result? 0

    No the net result is that the quality of life for a larger number of people was increased for the same amount environmental damage. And the future technology moves closer to a sustainable, high quality of living for the total population of earth because more efficient use is gotten from finite resources.

    There are cases high energy costs hurt productivity and efficiency, but waste can be done with absolutely no benefit (flip side part of that not zero-sum game arguement.) Unless you actually use an SUV for things that cannot be done with a more fuel efficient vehicle, there was extra pollution for no gains in productivity. Pollution that will increase crop prices and lower quality of life for people. There is no reason not to charge through the nose for this privilege or disallow it completely (like requiring higher efficiency standards in cars.)

  70. Re:You must have failed Physics class by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    Q. How many slashdot pedants does it take to screw in a lightbulb?

    A. You can't screw in a lightbulb. It's too small! Two people would never fit in there and have enough room to move.

  71. Several breakthroughs by Intron · · Score: 1

    "This achievement is the direct result of the new architecture we developed under the DARPA program," Barnett and Honsberg said. "By integrating the optical design with the solar cell design, we have entered previously unoccupied design space leading to a new paradigm about how to make solar cells, how to use them, and what they can do."

    Coincidentally, this gaseous exhalation also achieves a buzzword density of over 42%. We have "new architecture", "integrating", "unoccupied design space" and "new paradigm". I have no clue what point they are trying to make. For extra credit, try to explain the difference between "how to use them" and "what they can do".

    --
    Intron: the portion of DNA which expresses nothing useful.
    1. Re:Several breakthroughs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      8/53 is 15%, far less than 42% (if "new" is counted as a "buzzword").

      "how to use them" would be explicit instructions, while "what they can do" would express their capabilities.

      "I have no clue what point they are trying to make." That seems consistent.

  72. Exactly what is "efficient" about solar, anyways? by FrameRotBlues · · Score: 1
    Isn't "efficiency" the ratio of energy in vs. energy out? How does one determine the 'energy in' of a solar panel? Who determines that X lumens in / Y watts out = 1? It would seem to me that the best PV cells currently in the industry are 100% efficient, and everything that doesn't do as well is less efficient. I understand that what isn't turned into electricity is wasted as heat, but PV systems that have solar water heaters over the PV section would be extremely efficient in that sense, capturing the heat AND the electrical value of sunlight.

    I agree, who cares about efficiency? Total cost invested / total returns should be the only "efficiency" mark to look at in a given period of time.

  73. During the day by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...has achieved 42.8% efficiency with a silicon solar cell (during the day).
    Efficiency drops considerably at night.

  74. Re:You must have failed Physics class by dotbenjamin · · Score: 1

    What? He's telling the fucking truth. Lack of job prospects or not, he's not "clueless" he's "correct".

    --
    Nothing like blowing your own trumpet.
  75. Dr. Alan Barnett (sadly not in wikipedia) by Medievalist · · Score: 1

    The team was led by the University of Delaware's Alan Barnett, who has had many similar achievements.

    His company AstroPower was founded on his new method for production of thin-film cells; the company was quite successful until the dot-bomb (when the supply of high grade post-commercial silicon for recycling dried up). It was eventually bought out by GE and Barnett went back to the life of a DARPA-funded university researcher.

    I've tried to put stub articles up for Alan Barnett and for Vic Singer (the rocket scientist and community activist) on wikipedia; but if I conform to their new requirements for references my articles are rejected as "This reads too much like idol worship than a quality article" and if I don't they say "not sufficiently notable". Incidentally, both men are admirable and notable, but also quite irascible, so I certainly wouldn't want either one as a "idol".

    In the old days, before the wiki police, I'd add both articles now, and regardless of how poorly I wrote them they'd be first rate within a week or so as the rest of the community added their contributions and polished up the work as a whole. I miss the old Wikipedia...

  76. Smug by smaddox · · Score: 2, Funny

    I'd be more worried about Smug. With all these people buying hybrids, Smug levels are on a record high!

  77. Subtracting manufacturing energy from the equation by xtronics · · Score: 1

    If you subtract the energy used in manufacturing over the life span of the cell - say 15 years - You will find it produces zero energy.

  78. EROEI - 66 by mdsolar · · Score: 1

    This might be true if you kept a tarp over it for the first 13 years. Panels take 2 years to payback energy. If you are willing to keep using them until their efficiency is degraded to 40% of new (that takes 100 years or more) the the EROEI is 33, higher than just about anything else (air dried firewood is 25 in favorable conditions). If you then recycle panels, the recycled ones have a payback of 1 year since you did not have to refine the silicon. The eventual EROEI approaches 66, beating all other technologies.
    --
    Solar for the future starting now: http://mdsolar.blogspot.com/2007/01/slashdot-users -selling-solar.html

  79. Dammit, you can't just subtract them. by pclminion · · Score: 1

    How do you figure 2.1%?

    42.8 / 40.7 = 1.052, or a relative increase in efficiency of 5.2%.

    Simpler, consider an increase of 1% to 2% efficiency instead. It's quite obvious that you've DOUBLED your performance, not increased it by 1%.

  80. its all good by hl2.exe · · Score: 1

    It's nice to see the solar panel finally be able to power something more than a calculator. Though, I'd prefer one that uses infrared light. That way it works anywhere above absolute zero.

  81. The real REAL question.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    2010?

    1) no moving parts
    2) mature industry with processing plants
    3) surely plants can be upgraded
    4) see 1)
    5) 2010?
    6) massive growth and demand for solar panels
    7) profit???

    2010? That is... remarkable. Perhaps I am just so used to the computer years of development that a solar panel being ready in 2010 makes me wonder if we will see duke nukem forever before we can sow these panels. I guess they have to refine the design and that. Still. 1) no moving parts. Seems rather a simple process to me.

    Any insights into why this is 2010 tech?

  82. New 42.8% record efficiency? by qmeg · · Score: 1

    Can any one point out where this result was publsihed (other than the news release)? I would like to know the actual solar cell structure.