Domain: scienceblogs.com
Stories and comments across the archive that link to scienceblogs.com.
Comments · 763
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Re:Young earth creationists
Even more impressive, while the Gallup poll shows that 31% of the Americans self-identify as literalists in those very strong terms, a 2007 Princeton Survey poll for Newsweek shows that 44% believe that the earth was created within the last 10,000 years.
Article: http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/2008/05/creationists_in_the_american_c.php
Dataset: http://roperweb.ropercenter.uconn.edu/cgi-bin/hsrun.exe/Roperweb/Catalog40/Catalog40.htx;start=summary_link?archno=USPSRA2007-NW05 -
Re:fundamentalists
The first is that the fundamentalists whom you see in your media are representative of all US fundamentalists.
16% of American biology teachers believe the earth was created within the last 10,000 years, as compared to 48% of the US population. That 16% is, of course, is not evenly allocated across the US. Entire generations within certain states are growing up scientifically illiterate.
http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/2008/05/creationists_in_the_american_c.php -
Re:Microsoft's Official View of the Situation
"stupid" yes, "fast" not so much.
The "C is Efficient" Language Fallacy. -
Re:Really?
It's worth noting that the interviewees, despite being in the credits of the film, weren't allowed to see it. PZ Myers was barred from an open invitation screening as hilariously related on his blog here.
There was further discussion about how open the invitations to that particular screening were, but the fact that Myers (and Richard Dawkins) was IN THE FILM and NEVER allowed to see it makes the overall situation quite clear. -
Re:Monkey's uncle?
Of couse its only a book, because the scientific journals wouldn't accept it.
Where were they submitted? What were the reasons for rejection? That's the point I'm trying to make. There are lots of claims of persecution and not a lot of evidence that any real work was actually done to get the work published. It's a lot easier to make a bunch of money by playing the victim to the popular press than by taking your rejection letters, improving your work, and laboring in obscurity to get your results into the mainstream like normal scientists to.
That being said, Behe has not managed to respond substantively to some very basic critiques of his idea (above and beyond the fact that it's clearly just the same god-in-the-gaps that has been applied to just about everything else until we figured out the answers).
The first is that irreducibility necessarily assumes that to get to a system with N parts, a part is added to a system with N-1 parts. Behe assumes that if we can enumerate all possible systems with N-1 parts, we can show that a destination with N parts is impossible to reach. He ignores the set of systems with N+1 parts entirely. It's like seeing a climber who has climbed himself down into a trap and claiming that he couldn't possibly be here because there was no way to climb *up* into that position.
The second is the simple fact that Behe goes back and forth between two positions, depending on what part of the argument he's addressing. On its face, irreducible complexity amounts to, "If a system is irreducibly complex, then there is no possible path for evolution to produce it." Then, when somebody posits a theoretical path, he immediately moves to, "Sure, but you didn't prove that it did happen that way. It's a just-so story!" completely ignoring the fact that it devastates his original claim that there is no theoretical way for it to get there.
Third, there are good reasons to believe that there is no way to show definitively that a system is irreducibly complex. It simply amounts to, "We haven't figured it out yet." I will gladly concede that Behe is the Isaac Newton of the branch of "We haven't figured it out yet" science, but that doesn't really get you into the journals with any regularity.
Basically, Behe has raised some interesting questions, but they are in no way devastating or even really able to add something meaningful to the body of knowledge, and he hasn't really done anything to flesh out his work. I would be interested in seeing what form his ideas take that he thinks would be novel and publishable, but I doubt that he has made any such thing public. The fact that he's demonstrably not keeping up with the literature or testing his hypothesis is just icing on the cake. -
Re:A toastHas anyone actually watched it? I mean really. Ironically, they've actually kept people from watching it, including someone who they interviewed for the movie!
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Re:The irony is thick in this one
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Re:Really?
One of the biologists they interviewed mentioned it in his blog:
http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/2007/08/im_gonna_be_a_movie_star.php -
Re:The comments here indicate the movie was a succI wouldn't consider it "great effort", but since this apparently hard:
Richard Dawkins on meeting Mark Mathis:Could Mathis have been sincere when he originally told PZ and me the film was an honest attempt to examine evolution and intelligent design? The evidence that they had already purchased the Expelled domain name argues against this. Certainly Mathis' friendly demeanour disarmed me into cooperating with him -- indeed, I went out of my way to HELP him on his visit to Britain -- in a way that I never would have if I had had the slightest suspicion that his outfit was in fact a creationist front. I may have misremembered the details of our exchanges, by eMail and by telephone, but I vividly remember his reassuring me, over the telephone, that he was on the side of science, and he made no attempt to distance himself from my sarcastic jokes about 'Intelligent Design'.
The Cell video plagiarism is mostly documented at ERV. There are too many posts on the issues to link individually.
After they humiliated themselves, they proceeded to tell lies to cover up their incompetence.
Since their screenings were such a fiasco, they attempted to "filter out" any critics by lying to anyone who might be critical by saying that the showing was cancelled, while telling people they deemed "okay" when it was on.
The people behind this movie are pathological liars. It's like, telling the truth about anything is alien to them. -
Re:The comments here indicate the movie was a succI wouldn't consider it "great effort", but since this apparently hard:
Richard Dawkins on meeting Mark Mathis:Could Mathis have been sincere when he originally told PZ and me the film was an honest attempt to examine evolution and intelligent design? The evidence that they had already purchased the Expelled domain name argues against this. Certainly Mathis' friendly demeanour disarmed me into cooperating with him -- indeed, I went out of my way to HELP him on his visit to Britain -- in a way that I never would have if I had had the slightest suspicion that his outfit was in fact a creationist front. I may have misremembered the details of our exchanges, by eMail and by telephone, but I vividly remember his reassuring me, over the telephone, that he was on the side of science, and he made no attempt to distance himself from my sarcastic jokes about 'Intelligent Design'.
The Cell video plagiarism is mostly documented at ERV. There are too many posts on the issues to link individually.
After they humiliated themselves, they proceeded to tell lies to cover up their incompetence.
Since their screenings were such a fiasco, they attempted to "filter out" any critics by lying to anyone who might be critical by saying that the showing was cancelled, while telling people they deemed "okay" when it was on.
The people behind this movie are pathological liars. It's like, telling the truth about anything is alien to them. -
Re:The comments here indicate the movie was a succI wouldn't consider it "great effort", but since this apparently hard:
Richard Dawkins on meeting Mark Mathis:Could Mathis have been sincere when he originally told PZ and me the film was an honest attempt to examine evolution and intelligent design? The evidence that they had already purchased the Expelled domain name argues against this. Certainly Mathis' friendly demeanour disarmed me into cooperating with him -- indeed, I went out of my way to HELP him on his visit to Britain -- in a way that I never would have if I had had the slightest suspicion that his outfit was in fact a creationist front. I may have misremembered the details of our exchanges, by eMail and by telephone, but I vividly remember his reassuring me, over the telephone, that he was on the side of science, and he made no attempt to distance himself from my sarcastic jokes about 'Intelligent Design'.
The Cell video plagiarism is mostly documented at ERV. There are too many posts on the issues to link individually.
After they humiliated themselves, they proceeded to tell lies to cover up their incompetence.
Since their screenings were such a fiasco, they attempted to "filter out" any critics by lying to anyone who might be critical by saying that the showing was cancelled, while telling people they deemed "okay" when it was on.
The people behind this movie are pathological liars. It's like, telling the truth about anything is alien to them. -
Re:Win Ben Stein's Attention
wrong wrong wrong wrong wrong..
Yes, Dawkins DID say that, but it doesn't mean what Stein wanted you to believe it means... I suggest you read up on this instead of following the dogma of stein.
I suggest you read up on how Stein has EXPELLED a scientist (PZ Myers) from a viewing of his movie.
> I went to attend a screening of the creationist propaganda movie, Expelled, a few minutes ago. Well, I tried ... but I was Expelled! It was kind of weird -- I was standing in line,
> hadn't even gotten to the point where I had to sign in and show ID, and a policeman pulled me out of line and told me I could not go in. I asked why, of course, and he said that a
> producer of the film had specifically instructed him that I was not to be allowed to attend.
http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/2008/03/expelled.php
But back to how, as you say "What does that say when one of the leading Darwinist admits that there is the "possibility" that there was some intelligence that started the entire process? At least he was open for the debate. I think that we should also."
Well, what he says about the movie.
>Please, don't pay to go see it. Let it die a quiet theatrical death. If you really want to see it, wait for a free opportunity that won't line Mathis' pockets.
http://richarddawkins.net/article,2400,Expelled-Overview,Josh-Timonen-RichardDawkinsnet
Of course he was open for debate, but, nothing came of it, ID/Creationism is a waste of time, he knows it, and says so.
Oh, btw, do you know how much Stein mislead all the scientists in the movie?
> I shall not discuss the main message of the film -- that American creationist scientists are being victimized for their views -- except to say that it was very much NOT its main
> message when the film was called Crossroads, and when I, together with PZ Myers, Eugenie Scott and others, were conned into taking part.
> And Kristine asked Mathis to explain what had become of a film called Crossroads which had mysteriously morphed itself into Expelled. The import of her question was the widely known
> fact, which I have already mentioned, that PZ and I had been tricked into participating in Crossroads without ever being told that the true purpose of the film was the one conveyed
> by the later title Expelled -- the alleged expulsion of creationists from universities.
http://richarddawkins.net/article,2394,Lying-for-Jesus,Richard-Dawkins
This clip is a video of Dawkins and Myers talking about Myers being EXPELLED, and about the segment that mislead you
http://youtube.com/watch?v=c39jYgsvUOY
But yes, lets put the trust in the development of our children into a scamming, lying pile of junk like Stein who deceits to get his point across.
And by the way, comparing Evolution to Nazism was probably not the best thing the man could have done. Especially not considering that Hitler considered himself very christian - Note, this is NOT a Godwin... Stein made a Godwin, i didn't.. -
Would that work well?
PZ Myers recently made a post on Pharyngula about this topic. He came to the conclusion that growing meat on domesticated animals is the best way to grow meat.
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Re:Thimerisol has not been debunked.
I think maybe you've been misled by some of the appallingly bad reporting on the Poling case.You should read this
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Re:No peer-review necessary as long as you agree..IPCC Peer Review Process an Illusion, Finds SPPI Analysis http://icecap.us/index.php/go/political-climate/peer_review_what_peer_review/ [icecap.us]
Hmm, SSPI, who are they? Ah, they used to be the Center for Science and Public Policy at Frontiers of Freedom. To quote Sourcewatch quoting the NYT: "Frontiers of Freedom, which has about a $700,000 annual budget, received $230,000 from Exxon in 2002, up from $40,000 in 2001, according to Exxon documentsâ. They also get tobacco money for their little public policy "research". Amazing how not-hard it was to find that.
But why stop there? Who is this McLean guy that wrote it? Let's consult his own description of himself: "John McLean has an amateur interest in global warming following 25 years in what he describes as the analysis and logic of IT." Apparently he has a Bachelor of Architecture.
So your no-consensus argument comes down to a piece written by a guy who isn't a climate scientist for an oil-industry funded think tank. Convincing. There's some criticism of the actual paper here, and more linked to from there.
Apart from accusing every climate scientist of some mass conspiracy, do you have an actual argument to make, or some actual climate scientists to quote?
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Interesting studyIt's an interesting study. I emailed Barnett for a copy of her poster and it's the real deal (though it hasn't yet been peer-reviewed). There has actually been similar work (which Barnett cites in her poster) previously. RPGs are definitely different from shooters or games like Carmageddon where the whole point is to take out innocent people.
The take home point is that all "violent" games are not equal. Some games fire us up and some cool us down.
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Re:No, you are wrong about that, money talksDoctors, Lawyers, CEO's and other professions make over $100k Congratulations, we've finally identified that professions with high barriers to entry (intelligence, schooling, well placed parents, etc.) make higher salaries. Blogging requires, um, a keyboard and an ability to type. Oh, sure, there are probably PhDs out there blogging. Okay, okay, I'm kidding - I sincerely doubt it - unless they were useless in their fields to begin with. Um...P.Z. Meyers, Phil Plait (the Bad Astronomer), Dr. Steven Novella (NeuroLogica)...Those three exceptions just came to mind.
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Bruce Why Have Your Forsaken Me?
Bruce needs to read more before he posts stuff like this: http://scienceblogs.com/pontiff/2008/03/shor_calculations.php
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Re:Losing my faith in politicsI see little difference between the tactics of HRC and those of George W. Bush. Hillary's entire campaign since Super Tuesday has consisted of FUD. Fear (who do you want answering the phone at 3AM?), uncertainty (he won't survive the Republican attack machine) and doubt (he hasn't been vetted). Her stated goal is to throw the "kitchen sink" at him and hopefully create enough doubt in the minds of the superdelegates that she can overturn the will of the voters.
Don't forget her trying to willfully subvert the process by all her talk that delegates don't legally have to vote for the candidate they're pledged to, but can just vote for who they think is the better candidate. I don't like Hillary one bit, her stances on censoring videogames in particular I find unpalatable, but up until this bit I probably would have voted for her if she won the candidacy over Obama. Now I can't, to me this type of tactic is Karl Rove/George W. Bush redux, and we've seen enough damage done to our country by similar tactics already.
On the bright side, this strategy has already back-fired on her at least once. Frankly when I first heard about her doing this my first thought was "that's a rather dangerous strategy since it can work both ways." I'm glad to see it back-firing on her.
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Re:Experince
I think to make programming too different from natural human thought processes will result in less manageable code and probably less performance & profit for effort.
Human brains are not like brains and are not serial oriented:
http://scienceblogs.com/developingintelligence/2007/03/why_the_brain_is_not_like_a_co.php
But our conscious mind might be.But why should programmers be forced to learn how to do this?
For the same reason a programmer should learn anything -- to understand what is going on in the background. -
Re:Origin of life ?!
...doesn't have a lot in common with the process of evolution.
Interesting you should say that. Here's a biologist (who you may have heard of) who disagrees with you):
http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/2008/02/15_misconceptions_about_evolut.php
I'm not a biologist, so I can't say, with authority, one way or another. Just wanted to point out that not all biologists agree. -
Actually, that's sort of a cop out.
PZ Myers put it pretty distinctly:
"'Evolution is a theory about the origin of life' is presented as false. It is not. I know many people like to recite the mantra that "abiogenesis is not evolution," but it's a cop-out. Evolution is about a plurality of natural mechanisms that generate diversity. It includes molecular biases towards certain solutions and chance events that set up potential change as well as selection that refines existing variation. Abiogenesis research proposes similar principles that led to early chemical evolution. Tossing that work into a special-case ghetto that exempts you from explaining it is cheating, and ignores the fact that life is chemistry. That creationists don't understand that either is not a reason for us to avoid it."
http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/2008/02/15_misconceptions_about_evolut.php -
Re:What we have here
Yeah, it's disheartening, but like the fact that when we die we cease to exist, it's reality, so the best thing to do as a scientist is to deal with it as reality, not ignore it and engage in wish-thinking.
There's lots of debates online about this, witness the disagreements between PZ Myers ( http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/ ) and Matt Nisbet ( http://scienceblogs.com/framing-science/ ) about how best to "sell" science to the public. They both have good points, but I'm not sure either one has much science/data backing up their opinions. For some of it, they may also be "talking past each other", as they have different goals and starting points.
Not sure what the answer is, but it's a question scientists should be investigating, rather than just assuming they know the answer, or ignoring the problem. -
Re:What we have here
Yeah, it's disheartening, but like the fact that when we die we cease to exist, it's reality, so the best thing to do as a scientist is to deal with it as reality, not ignore it and engage in wish-thinking.
There's lots of debates online about this, witness the disagreements between PZ Myers ( http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/ ) and Matt Nisbet ( http://scienceblogs.com/framing-science/ ) about how best to "sell" science to the public. They both have good points, but I'm not sure either one has much science/data backing up their opinions. For some of it, they may also be "talking past each other", as they have different goals and starting points.
Not sure what the answer is, but it's a question scientists should be investigating, rather than just assuming they know the answer, or ignoring the problem. -
Re:free market?
I can't beat 100million (though Wikipedia suggests a max estimate of 43m for TGLF).
You're right to say it was safer to be in England at that time but being in one of the colonies was a whole different story.
The British Empire brought mass starvations and wholesale murder. And starvation during periods of bumper harvest, unlike Mao who precipitated famine through mismanagement (aside from the purges).
20% of the population of Eire
12-29 million Indians in the late 1800s
This is the time that the Brits invented the concentration camp. One of which is reported to have a 94% death rate.
http://scienceblogs.com/thescian/2008/01/late_victorian_holocausts_the.php
http://books.guardian.co.uk/comment/story/0,,1674478,00.html
also 40% of the soldiers sent to India died of disease, very few saw real combat. -
Re:Other instances of numbers widely offGo back and read your link again.
The split of Humans from the Apes pushed back by another 6 to 7 million years earlier than previously thought based on molecular genetics. The difference from the earlier estimate of around 5 to 6 million years is therefore over 100%
http://www.news24.com/News24/Technology/News/0,,2-13-1443_2169361,00.html
In the article they claim that :Fossils of early apes especially during the critical period of 14 to eight million years ago were virtually non-existant - until now.
Which is pretty close to true. Why do they switch between numbers and words half-way through? WTF.
The datum that's being reported is a gorilla-related fossil dated to 10 to 10.5 million years. Which is close to half-way through the interval which is devoid of fossils. It's about the best correction that you can make - remember your lectures on search algorithms (I'm assuming that you did do some Computing Science when you were at univerisity) - binary searches - remember? And that new datum (the tooth fossil) being of an organism noticeably more similar to a gorilla than as human, that pushes back the separation between gorilla-ancestors and human-ancestors to the far side of 10/10.5 Ma, and possibly as far back as the 14 Ma that previously known fossils suggest pre-date the humanoid-gorillaoid split. But equally it could be only 11 or 12 million years. What we really need now is to be hunting forest-margin palaeoenvironments of about 12.5 million years to try to pin down the the split more closely.
I wouldn't be terribly upset about a molecular clock being in disagreement with palaeontology. There are an awful lot of assumptions in calibrating a molecular clock, and finding that one of those many has been violated is like finding that it rains when your raincoat is at home. Look at molecular clocks used to calibrate the differentiation of the various animal phyla : according to the molecular clocks, this happened on the order of 1500 Ma ago. But there's nothing in the fossil record until the Duoshantuo embryos pretty close to 600 Ma ago. Of the two, I know which I'd put more confidence in, even given that absence of evidence is not evidence of absence. -
Re:You know I believe in evolution ... but ...Um, "selective extinction caused by someone/something" doesn't map to genocide - genocide implies intent, an actual crime. As I noted, droughts and meteors can't have an intent. I honestly don't grasp your apparent desire to hold "someone/something" "responsible". (Oh, and migration isn't "nearly always" an option - look up 'habitat tracking'; it can be awfully tough to track a habitat when a species is fairly specialized or the environment is restricted by geography - islands or mountains or whatever.)
Evolution would still happen in a universe of infinite resources, just in a different way. Things that reproduced faster/more prolifically would be more common, and the more of any one reproducing thing there is, the more mutants it would produce, and the even-faster mutants would in turn become more common...
Anyway, no, 'wealthier families having fewer children' isn't a universal truth - but in anything like the current social, political, and technical environment we're in, it's a strong overall tendency, and that's enough for a control input. Lots of perfectly stable, predictable systems can be built from stochastic, random-with-some-bias processes. See, e.g., here.
Again - "Evolution For Everyone", David Sloan Wilson.
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Re:There is one simple solution to the problem
Good luck, he's "authored" over 1000 papers! Yes, that's one THOUSAND: http://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2008/01/aetosaurs_and_whistle-blowing.php
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Tim Lambert
I wouldn't be quoting John Lott as an authority on anything. Have a look through Tim Lambert's weblog [scienceblogs.com] for a very extensive collection of stories on Lott's utter lack of credibility.
I have trouble saying Tim Lambert is any more credible than is John Lott. Take his article "Another fabrication from John Lott". In it he critics Lott as saying that laws "that require guns be locked up and unloaded face a five-percent increase in murder and a 12 percent increase in rape" and provides a paragraph from a study in the AMA's "JAMA" that supposedly supports his position. Yet not once in the paragraph is either murder or rape mentioned once. All it talks about is how laws that held firearm owner responsible saw a 23% drop in children under 15 being unintentionally shot and die. And there are more way of holding owners responsible than by requiring firearms to be inaccessible to children.
There are many people who grow up with firearms yet only a small number of them ever commit a crime with a firearm. For instance in the neighborhood I grew up in I knew a bunch of kids who grew up with and shot firearms if they didn't own one themselves. I was given my first firearm, a
Falcon .22 long rifle, before I was 13. My dad and my best friend's dad used to take the two of us out for target practice, as were other kids in the neighborhood. Yet the only person from the 'hood I knew who was ever accused of a violent crime was someone who stabbed a person, no firearms involved. On the other hand a friend of mine was shot and killed, we were in the army and stationed in Germany then and he was shot while in the unit's armory cleaning weapons. The armorer was playing around with a .45 and not realizing it was loaded, how he became an armorer I don't know as it's easy to tell if a .45 is loaded, he pointed it at my friend and saying "bang" he pulled the trigger killing my friend. -
Re:Accept he logic of the State Triumphant.. or no
I wouldn't be quoting John Lott as an authority on anything. Have a look through Tim Lambert's weblog for a very extensive collection of stories on Lott's utter lack of credibility.
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Re:The Brain Uses the Cerebellum to MultitaskHowever, in the case of "energy meridians", of which I am also a skeptic, there does remain the fact that acupuncture is an AMA-approved treatment for several ailments now... even though it cannot be explained with our current understanding, even by the placebo effect. Several points:
1. Even if acupuncture worked, that doesn't constitute evidence for "energy meridians". You can describe a real effect with a completely bogus "explanation".
2. IMHO, AMA approval may not mean what it used to, given the infiltration of non-evidence based medicine into medical schools (e.g., here).
3. I don't know of any "ailments" for which acupuncture is AMA approved, if by that you mean actual diseases. It may be approved as some kind of alternative therapeutic pain relief program (see below), but I'm not sure about that either.
Regarding point 3, about a year ago I did a literature search on PubMED about a year ago, to find out for myself what was the evidential support in for or against acupuncture's efficacy. I found:
4. Acupuncture has not been reliably shown to have any efficacy, beyond a placebo effect, concerning the treatment of any disease.
5. Acupuncture does appear to have a weak but statistically significant ability to temporarily relieve certain kinds of chronic pain. (IIRC, they now even have experimenter-blind versions of the experiment, where they use Hollywood-like mock needles, so the experimenter doesn't know whether they're actually being inserted or not.)
6. However, this appears to have nothing to do with "energy meridians": "fake acupuncture" experiments in which the needles are placed at random or in other patterns, instead of at acupuncture points, also show an equal effect.
7. Nobody knows what is responsible for the acupuncture effect, if it exists (although it's not what acupuncturists say it is), but some have speculated that puncturing the skin releases chemicals which help with pain, or perhaps stimulates nerves in some way to mask the pain. -
Re:Creationism in Europe?
One interesting thing about the Atlas of Creation is that it uses photos of fishing lures as examples of life to compare to fossils to show a lack of evolution.
http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/2008/01/well_fly_fishing_is_a_science.php
Fishing lures.
Yeah, this is something I can believe in... -
Re:Journalism
Another good source is http://scienceblogs.com/ On specific ones, I also really like http://www.theness.com/neurologicablog/index.php It shifts away from the main author's professional background in neurology fairly often, but that also makes it a lot of fun.
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Re:Correlation != causation
That's a very rigorous analysis you've subjected the results to, but one of my freaks above (you'll notice because he's been modded to five) already linked to an even more thorough statistical analysis of the results, that controlled for even more of the possible explanations you mentioned, and STILL found correlation at the p less than
.001 level.
That is, there is a 1/1000 chance that it's just a coincidence. -
Re:Correlation and Causation
http://scienceblogs.com/developingintelligence/2008/01/the_diebold_effect_hillarys_vo.php [scienceblogs.com] --I mentioned it above.
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Diebold Effect Persists
I had just submitted this other story about the Primaries in NH to Firehose: Diebold Effect Persists even after statistical removal of demographics covariates. http://scienceblogs.com/developingintelligence/2008/01/the_diebold_effect_hillarys_vo.php
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Here you go.
Not to mention that energy usage wouldn't be as much of a problem if we would just produce it from more efficent and cleaner sources. That CFL what is powered by a coal fired plant is more damaging than an incandescent bulb powered by solar (or wind or tidal or geothermal or nuclear ad nasuem).
Do you get your energy from renewable sources? Wait, scratch that; it doesn't matter. the entire grid is interconnected, which means that if you use less energy, then less coal is burned, period.And isn't mercury a component of current CFLs? While it may not be a global warming danger, I centainly don't want any more mercury in my house than neccessary (anyone with a link to a site that compares the *production and disposal* of CFLs to incandescents?)
Here you go. In short, less mercury is released into the environment from a broken CFL than from the amount of coal burned by the equivalent incandescent. There are charts.
Most fluorescent bulbs aren't recycled; lamprecycle.org has information about where you can get them recycled. My municipality, for example, has a pickup program for burned-out lamps. (They also hand out free CFLs, six per household.) So: even if they're thrown in the trash, they release less mercury into the environment than the equivalent coal usage from incandescent bulbs do. However, the net release can be dropped to zero by recycling them. -
Big Push for a Presidential Science Debate
People interested in this thread should take note of Science Debate 2008. It's an effort to encourage a presidential debate on matters of science and technology. I'm pleased to note that my humble blog was a charter member. At present many influential scientists have signed on.
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Re:Image
Thanx for the link, but Bryan has a better article.
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Re:Not just Vaccination, also Evolution
You need to read my comment closer. I said "Now that it is SCIENTIFICALLY proven that Abortions INCREASE the risk of cancer". People having abortions are indeed at higher risk for cancer. It doesn't prove causality, but that it is likely to be a contributing factor at minimum.
So you're drawing a distinction between "increasing the risk of" and being a cause? If that were the case, I'd recommend rephrasing it as "abortion and cancer are correlated" in which case you'd only be factually wrong rather than factually wrong and statistically misleading.
Actually, it was a new study released this last week, if you cared to read the article.
Speaking of not caring to read the article, the link that I provided did refer to exactly the study that your article referred to. The difference is that the oncologist whose site I linked to read and shredded the article before newsmax.com credulously regurgitated its conclusions. For starters:
1) I'd be hesitant to call The Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons a widely respected peer reviewed journal. Aside from anti-vaccination articles and bad mercury/autism link articles that couldn't hack it in mainstream journals, it published the piece of junk you referred to. A good discussion starting point for this journal is on the same blog here.
2) The article makes some truly amusing uses of statistics as discussed here and here. Discarding data that has a weak linear correlation as uncorrelated based on his data set? Bad dog.
3) Ignoring a bunch of known risk factors when coming up with your model? Doubly bad dog.
Basically, we have a fringe journal (seriously... you have a "medical" journal publishing anti-global warming papers that's linked to a conservative advocacy organization and they're trying to sell themselves as an unbiased journal with no political leanings?) publishing what appears to be a very weak study on one hand. On the other hand, we have a number of major studies being unable to find the link that this study finds. I have a hard time attributing the bad statistics and modeling to incompetence over dishonesty (especially given the journal's), but even if I do, I have a very hard time calling anything "scientifically proven" by any stretch. I'd tend to believe that this is more likely a piece of bad, agenda-driven science published in a bad, agenda-driven journal to create something that the anti-abortion movement can cite and sound like there's scientific data to back up what is fundamentally still a philosophical position.
Note that while I don't take an anti-abortion position, I certainly don't think that the people who do are irrational. We're working with a different set of basic premises. What I object to is the abuse of science going on here in an attempt to shape public policy. -
Re:Not just Vaccination, also Evolution
You need to read my comment closer. I said "Now that it is SCIENTIFICALLY proven that Abortions INCREASE the risk of cancer". People having abortions are indeed at higher risk for cancer. It doesn't prove causality, but that it is likely to be a contributing factor at minimum.
So you're drawing a distinction between "increasing the risk of" and being a cause? If that were the case, I'd recommend rephrasing it as "abortion and cancer are correlated" in which case you'd only be factually wrong rather than factually wrong and statistically misleading.
Actually, it was a new study released this last week, if you cared to read the article.
Speaking of not caring to read the article, the link that I provided did refer to exactly the study that your article referred to. The difference is that the oncologist whose site I linked to read and shredded the article before newsmax.com credulously regurgitated its conclusions. For starters:
1) I'd be hesitant to call The Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons a widely respected peer reviewed journal. Aside from anti-vaccination articles and bad mercury/autism link articles that couldn't hack it in mainstream journals, it published the piece of junk you referred to. A good discussion starting point for this journal is on the same blog here.
2) The article makes some truly amusing uses of statistics as discussed here and here. Discarding data that has a weak linear correlation as uncorrelated based on his data set? Bad dog.
3) Ignoring a bunch of known risk factors when coming up with your model? Doubly bad dog.
Basically, we have a fringe journal (seriously... you have a "medical" journal publishing anti-global warming papers that's linked to a conservative advocacy organization and they're trying to sell themselves as an unbiased journal with no political leanings?) publishing what appears to be a very weak study on one hand. On the other hand, we have a number of major studies being unable to find the link that this study finds. I have a hard time attributing the bad statistics and modeling to incompetence over dishonesty (especially given the journal's), but even if I do, I have a very hard time calling anything "scientifically proven" by any stretch. I'd tend to believe that this is more likely a piece of bad, agenda-driven science published in a bad, agenda-driven journal to create something that the anti-abortion movement can cite and sound like there's scientific data to back up what is fundamentally still a philosophical position.
Note that while I don't take an anti-abortion position, I certainly don't think that the people who do are irrational. We're working with a different set of basic premises. What I object to is the abuse of science going on here in an attempt to shape public policy. -
Re:Not just Vaccination, also Evolution
Next up, Abortions. Now that it is SCIENTIFICALLY proven that Abortions INCREASE the risk of cancer, I wonder if you'll bring the Bible thumpers as a means to dismiss this evidence
Actually, no, it's far from proven. I'm not surprised that people are still kicking that POS study around, though. .... -
NASA Declares No Room; Re:Intersting comment
SPACE SCIENCE: NASA Declares No Room for Antimatter Experiment
Science 16 March 2007: 1476
DOI: 10.1126/science.315.5818.1476
News of the Week SPACE SCIENCE:
NASA Declares No Room for Antimatter Experiment
Andrew Lawler
NASA has no room on its space shuttle to launch the $1.5 billion Alpha
Magnetic Spectrometer, which is designed to search for antimatter from
its perch on the international space station.
Expanded and posted on a science blog where it was being discussed:
NASA: Alpha to Omega
Category: astro
Posted on: March 18, 2007 10:39 PM, by Steinn Sigurðsson
http://scienceblogs.com/catdynamics/2007/03/nasa_alpha_to_omega.php [scienceblogs.com]
SPACE SCIENCE: NASA Declares No Room for Antimatter Experiment
Lawler
Science 16 March 2007: 1476
DOI: 10.1126/science.315.5818.1476
News of the Week
SPACE SCIENCE:
NASA Declares No Room for Antimatter Experiment
Andrew Lawler
NASA has no room on its space shuttle to launch the $1.5 billion Alpha
Magnetic Spectrometer, which is designed to search for antimatter from
its perch on the international space station.
Hey, isn't that the Samuel Ting-Michael Salamon project?
Yes, it is:
http://ams.cern.ch/AMS/Secretariat/AmsWhosWho.html [ams.cern.ch]
NASA HQ is surely going WAY over the edge in punishing Michael Salamon. He was the head of fundamental Physics at NASA HQ, then they sent him to the White House, where he was for half a year or so the
Director of Physics at OSTP (Office of Science and Technology Policy). They pulled him out of the White House for what looks like political reasons.
This was to be the major actual Science experiment on the space station. And they are killing it -- why? I am leaning towards thinking that it is a purely political decision, as the "room" or money
argument is unconvincing, and as I say, it seems to be the #1 science project in the entire Space Station program.
If one detects even a single anti-carbon nucleus, one almost has to conclude that someplace there is an anti-star performinbg anti-nucleosyntheis, which exploded asn anti-supernova.
What a huge discovery that would be by the Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer. For that tremendous science value per dollar ratio alone, it should fly.
I am going to write to my congressman and senators. Maybe it would be worth writing to, say, Oprah. The tax-paying public deserves to have SOME science done with their NASA tax dollars.
====
Yep, I'd like to see it launched, too. Cancelling an experiment after spending 1.5 billion to build it is just the sort of idiocy that the govenment does all the time, though.
If you follow NASA politics, though, you'd see that there's no reason to invoke any sort of "punishment" to understand this call. Griffin was given the order to cancel space shuttle by 2010. When you add up
all the things that Griffin has been instructed to do with the shuttle before the drop-dead do-not-fly-it-any-more date, and look at the maximum flight rate that's considered to be safe, there are zero flights available.
Of course, adding one more shuttle flight in 2011 would make perfect
sense-- the replacement for the shuttle won't be available for
another four years, so why not? But at the moment, that is being
considered the "camel's nose under the tent" thinking, and "cancel
shuttle by 2010" is a non-negotiable deadline.
- Show quoted text -
From the same blog and thread, a reply about Michael Salamon and the
Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer:
==========
He was the head of fundamental Physics at NASA HQ, then they sent him
to the White House, where he was for half a year or so the Director of
Physics at OSTP (Office of Science and Technology Policy). They pulled
him out of the White House for what looks like political reasons. -
Re:summary wrong, as usualnd we don't know what online communities she posted on. She could very well have been spouting all kinds of nonsense and generally making an ass of herself.
OK, I just came across a copy of the email at scienceblog:Dear Austin-area friends of NCSE,
I thought that you might like to know that Barbara Forrest will be speaking on "Inside Creationism's Trojan Horse" in Austin on November 2, 2007. Her talk, sponsored by the Center for Inquiry Austin, begins at 7:00 p.m. in the Monarch Event Center, Suite 3100, 6406 North IH-35 in Austin. The cost is $6; free to friends of the Center.
In her talk, Forrest will provide a detailed report on her expert testimony in the Kitzmiller v. Dover School Board trial as well as an overview of the history of the "intelligent design" movement. Forrest is a Professor of Philosophy in the Department of History and Political Science at Southeastern Louisiana University; she is also a member of NCSE's board of directors.
For further details, visit: http://www.centerforinquiry.net/austin/events/barbara_forrest_inside_creationisms_trojan_horse_lecture/
Sincerely,
To which Ms Comer added (spouted?) "FYI".
Nonsense? -
Re:As much as I disagree with him...
I've yet to see any evidence that either he or almost any publicly religious official actually hold the beliefs they state.
It's not really any wonder that politicians love a block of voters that believe anything you say because you say you believe a book. Or in Jack's case, audience attention that gets him paid air time on major news networks.
An example:
http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/2007/11/mysterious_case_of_ethical_myo.php -
Research posters
For those curious, this speech prosthesis research was presented in a number of posters at the Society for Neuroscience (SfN) conference a couple weeks ago. Their six SfN posters can be found on their website here, covering topics like the circuitry they developed, Bayesian signal analysis, and so forth:
http://migrate.speechprosthesis.org/DNN2/SpeechProsthesisHome/tabid/52/Default.aspx
There's also a nice blog entry on this over at Neurophilosophy:
http://scienceblogs.com/neurophilosophy/2007/11/speech_prosthesis.php -
Re:LSD is serious buisness
They also gave the Elephant 2.8 grams of Thorazine and an unknown quantity of Pentobarbital. One of these is likely what killed it.
See here for a much more complete account of the story, posted by a very pretty geek girl with whom I am madly in love. If only she knew who I was... -
Re:cruel experiment in 2005-6: circumcision and AI
Wow, your comment had me convinced until I read the link provided by an AC:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2007/5/1/125028/8808
Very good argument that it was poorly done science in search of a pre-ordained conclusion by an interested party. I read through all the opposing comments as well, and they certainly don't seem satisfactory and are mainly just the Courtier's Reply. To be more explicit, The author of the article points out several ways in which the experiment did not have a sufficient control group and the counter-argument was that some of these are accounted for statistically. However it seems that list of things accounted for doesn't include all of the problems, and the counter-arguer just repeats himself more vehemently and seems to have absolute faith that sufficient rigor was taken despite lack of support from the research paper and multiple instances of other scientists and groups of scientists pointint out the exact same problems brought up in the article. Given the available options, we should in fact not trust the one scientist who has probable cause to fake the results and as the article points out, has already been suspiciously injudicious in his methodology. That's not just an ad hominem attack, the study itself has been attacked successfully, with a large variance on trustworthiness, and the circumstantial evidence only serves to point out that prudence urges caution in accepting the results. That some scientists agree with the research paper is not good support, as people (even scientists) who don't know tend to go with whoever's loudest, which creates false consensus.
(BTW, joe, this long reply is just to summarize the linked article and address possible concerns, not because of anything you said. I'm certainly interested in hearing any rebuttal if anyone has one) -
Re:and this has WHAT to do with peace
I find your post "informative." You really "know" what you're talking about. NOTICE THE QUOTES?
See, you are completely wrong: no court had ANY of those "findings," as as you claim.
The judge described "errors" -- with quotes -- in order to reference the plaintiff's claims.
An 'error' is not the same thing as an error -
BZZT. Wrong.
The parts of the film that were considered unfounded:
The judge did not say all those assertions were "unfounded."
His ruling referred to items that were in dispute as "errors" (notice the quotes).
...He was talking about "errors" that were alleged by the plaintiff, and thus, in dispute in his courtroom.
For example, look at this sentence, which I just made-up:
In the interest of a fair and informed debate in the classroom, these "errors" may require a contradictory argument in the classroom.
An 'error' is not the same thing as an error