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Ellison: Linux Will Soon Decimate MS Windows

cioxx writes "Speaking to a few-hundred ISVs at an Oracle-sponsored event in New York, Larry Ellison made a bold prediction , also covered in Infoworld, stating: "(Microsoft has) already been killed by one open-source product. Slaughtered, wiped out, taken from market dominance to irrelevance [...]", referring to Apache's displacement of MS IIS server. He continues on with a claim that battle for datacenter dominance is looming with a clear advantage on the side of Open-Source platforms, and desktop would follow once Star Office becomes completely "usable" to compete with MS Office. "And it's going to happen to them again on Linux." Newsforge also has a related article on Oracles ongoing linux efforts.

117 of 764 comments (clear)

  1. My girlfriend uses OpenOffice... by PHAEDRU5 · · Score: 5, Informative

    ...and she's a marketer.

    She does so to get a little street credibility with geeks.

    My point? If the marketers are going to software like this to get a marketing edge, then there is a chance Ellison is right.

    --
    668: Neighbour of the Beast
    1. Re:My girlfriend uses OpenOffice... by $rtbl_this · · Score: 5, Funny

      Well, mine uses VI. Of course when I say "mine" I actually mean my right hand, but as it's my only regular sexual partner these days I think it should qualify as an honourary girlfriend.

      My left hand also helps out with VI sometimes, but I try to keep it quiet to avoid making my right hand jealous. Women, eh?

      --
      "Are you being weird, or sarcastic?" said Emma. I said I didn't know because I get the two feelings mixed up.
  2. What does decimate mean? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    Decimate means "reduce by 10%".
    It does NOT mean:
    "Slaughtered, wiped out, taken from market dominance to irrelevance"

    chrisd, Get a dictionary.

    1. Re:What does decimate mean? by aurelian · · Score: 2, Insightful

      well I guess he must have meant we can expect Linux to take 10% of MS' market share. Hey that's quite plausible!

    2. Re:What does decimate mean? by LordLucless · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You should study language a little more. Definitions change, and the real meanings of words are defined by their usage. Meaning is defined by language, not the other way around.

      Just as an example, the word car is no longer used to describe a two-wheeled Celtic chariot. That doesn't mean you go around sneering up your nose at all those people who oh-so-incorrectly use car instead of automobile.

      --
      Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean there isn't an invisible demon about to eat your face
    3. Re:What does decimate mean? by jamesots · · Score: 5, Informative

      Exactly. And here is the Chambers 21st Century Dictionary definition of decimate:

      decimate verb ( decimated, decimating ) to reduce greatly in number; to destroy a large part or number of something. decimation noun. decimator noun.

      ETYMOLOGY: 17c in this sense; 16c in historical sense 'to select by lot and execute one in every ten': from Latin decimare to take a tenth person or thing, from decem ten.

      --
      Ho hum for the life of a bear
    4. Re:What does decimate mean? by salamander_sjv · · Score: 5, Insightful

      True, definitions change, but it's still reasonable to encourage people to use a more appropriate word instead of morphing the meaning of a similar but different word. An example is the American adoption of the word "momentarily" to mean "in a moment" when it really mans "for a moment". When an American Airlines hostess announces that "we will be landing momentarily" I always picture us doing a touch-and-go!

    5. Re:What does decimate mean? by Ricardo+Lima · · Score: 2, Funny

      He deliberately used the word to give himself an out later if it doesn't come to pass? Inconceivable!

      You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means.

      --
      Ricardo da Silva Lima
    6. Re:What does decimate mean? by oneeyedman · · Score: 2, Informative
      You are dead wrong. Usage determines meaning. Dictionaries track usage, not immutably fixed meanings, although they may also provide etymologies and usage histories of the meanings that have existed in the past. Dictionaries report, they don't prescribe. Only self-appointed language police prescribe what's proper and improper, but that is a matter of culture and politics, not linguistics. And in your example, "gooke beke fumf goosh dorf" means whatever we (a linguistic community) agree it means.

      If you want meanings to be fixed and stable, stick to mathematics.

      David W. Robinson, Ph.D.
      Prof. of English
      Georgia Southern University

      --
      *** "Freiheit ist immer die Freiheit des Andersdenkenden". -- Rosa Luxemburg ***
    7. Re:What does decimate mean? by Galvatron · · Score: 2, Interesting
      But there comes a time when you have to give up. "Momentarily" is such a case, I think. An even better example is "healthy," which is only supposed to be used to describe the health of a living thing. "Healthful" is the correct term for something that is good for you, but I'm not sure I've ever heard someone use that in everyday speech.

      "Decimate" goes far beyond the above two examples, because it hasn't even been used to mean "reduce by 10%" in living memory (indeed, once the tradition of killing every 10th person as punishment for mutiny was abolished, what need was there for a special word meaning "to kill every 10th person?"). Many dictionaries don't even list it as a definition, instead relegating it to etymology.

      Actually, going back to "momentarily" for a moment, I looked it up on dictionary.com, and came up with some bizarre results. Webster's lists the sole definition as being "from moment to moment," which is different from your definition. The American Heritage Dictionary lists "for a moment" as a definition, but also notes that 41% of their panel also approves "in a moment," or "at any moment." In contrast, only 26% of the AHD panel approves "decimate" for anything other than the slaughter of human beings.

      --
      "The question of whether a computer can think is no more interesting than that of whether a submarine can swim" -EWD
    8. Re:What does decimate mean? by adrizk · · Score: 2, Funny

      ...it's still reasonable to encourage people to use a more appropriate word instead of morphing the meaning of a similar but different word.

      morphing: A gradual animated transformation from one image into another, partially accomplished by moving certain points in the first image to corresponding points in the second image, in stages.

    9. Re:What does decimate mean? by sstory · · Score: 2, Funny

      I've seen her in that nightie. Your wife should be reduced by 60%.

  3. 2 questions by TopShelf · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Apache's displacement of IIS? I thought it had always had a competitive, if not dominating market share compared to MS.

    I think it will be quite a while before StarOffice becomes completely compatible with MS Office - it's in MS's own best interest to keep Office separate just to keep the installed base in place...

    --
    Stop by my site where I write about ERP systems & more
    1. Re:2 questions by khakipuce · · Score: 5, Informative
      I am currently working in a large UK company and we have websites on both IIS and Apache, but guess what? No Linux, No open source databases, no PHP/Perl/Python.

      The point is that Apache domiantes the server world becuase it comes with all commercial Unix boxes. And large companies are happy that this piece of open source that came bundled with AIX or HPUX or Solaris has some kind of formal support and backing (if the Apache project ever looked like folding, HP/Sun/IBM would keep it going).

      Only recently are we seeing the real dominace of Linux in ISPs, and that again is partly becuase of IBM and Sun (Cobalt, etc). So I don't think there is any linkage between the uptake of Apache and the corporate uptake of Open Source in general, either on the server or the client.

      --
      Art is the mathematics of emotion
    2. Re:2 questions by killthiskid · · Score: 4, Funny

      Hosting apache on windows is like hosting cheerios in beer.

    3. Re:2 questions by Sproggit · · Score: 3, Funny

      Actually it's like hosting Baluga caviar in horse-piss. ... Get it right.

  4. Apache displacing IIS? by Chanc_Gorkon · · Score: 5, Insightful

    IIS never had a chance. IIS came late. Everyone wanted a web site so they learned/ran Apache. IIS was never and has never been dominant. I do agree that Open source will take over for alot of things and Microsoft will be relegated to either another Linux distro or a application and hardware only company.

    --

    Gorkman

    1. Re:Apache displacing IIS? by Arcady13 · · Score: 5, Funny

      However, IIS is still dominant is security holes and crashes.

    2. Re:Apache displacing IIS? by SN74S181 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Actually, where IIS is dominant is in Workgroup servers on Intranets. Companies have departmental websites, and the administrative secretary and team leaders can open up the web pages with Microsoft Office if they're served on IIS. It cleanly prompts them for a password when they choose 'save' in Word and the web page is updated.

      It's kinda one of the things that Netscape was hoping to use their proprietary Server/Client features for before Microsoft drove them out of that market. And it's a big revenue area for Web Servers, unlike where Apache does well. Apache excels in the lose-money sector, where Internet sites are scrambling to find a revenue stream to back up their content.

      I know, I know, this sounds like Microsoft marketing boilerplate, but it's how things are.

    3. Re:Apache displacing IIS? by Rinikusu · · Score: 2, Informative

      Interesting how lots people predict that Apple will be relegated to obsolescence and should shift their business model to software-only (OS X on x86 and the like) and yet people think that MS should be relegated to.. hardware?

      IIS had about a good a chance as anyone. Sure, Apache was early to the market, but MS has billions to pour into pushing it. And, frankly, IIS *did* have sizeable marketshare, although nowhere near what it has on the desktop.

      --
      If you were me, you'd be good lookin'. - six string samurai
    4. Re:Apache displacing IIS? by bfree · · Score: 5, Insightful

      And the difference between the above and an apache box which also serves up its content by samba is? Each "site" has a samba share with appropriate permissions and then your apps can edit the content and save it back up. Best thing is no passwords prompts once you are logged in properly.

      --

      Never underestimate the dark side of the Source

    5. Re:Apache displacing IIS? by jelle · · Score: 2, Interesting

      About setting up a samba server on an apache content directory, you said: "The Windows solution doesn't require a $150,000 'system administrator' to make it work."

      Who's still hiring that kind of cash for such tiny and simple jobs?

      Wow, I set something like that up in a couple of days as part of another more important setup. And I'm making less than $150K per year. Did I do it too fast and am I underpaid now?

      Or is your statement just flamebait.

      --
      --- Hindsight is 20/20, but walking backwards is not the answer.
    6. Re:Apache displacing IIS? by ViGe · · Score: 5, Informative

      And the difference between the above and an apache box which also serves up its content by samba is? Each "site" has a samba share with appropriate permissions and then your apps can edit the content and save it back up. Best thing is no passwords prompts once you are logged in properly.

      Actually, you have a wrong question. The correct one is: "What is the difference between the above and an apache box running moddav?"

      Dav allows website editing directly with Microsoft Office, and it also allows website editing directly with just about anything. It is actually created for that purpose. And it is a lot easier to set up and use than samba.

      --
      It has to work - rfc1925
    7. Re:Apache displacing IIS? by IamTheRealMike · · Score: 2, Insightful
      IIS is point and click.

      Sounds silly, but when all you've ever known is the Windows GUI, the idea of editing a text file to make things run sounds scary, no, make that IS scary.

      I've long wished that Apache had a credible GUI for Windows, but so far have yet to see one.

    8. Re:Apache displacing IIS? by erikdotla · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I'm migrating the IIS setup to Apache and I see a few differences.

      With samba shares, it's almost as easy to open a site for editing (\\server\site) but not as intuitive as FrontPage extensions (http://server/site).

      Samba shares aren't accessible over the Internet without a VPN. People like editing sites at home the same way as at work.

      Previewing in FrontPage works great since you're editing the same place you're browsing. With Samba, the relationship is broken and you must manually preview everything in your browser yourself, typing the full URL or navigating.

      A great feature for Intranets/frontpage is source-control of the site, with checkin/checkout and ability to roll back a file from VSS to any prior version. It's all supported by the FrontPage client.

      These are serious issues that I'm finding take a lot of time for "users" to deal with when the setup changes. What, you mean "http://server/site" is edited at "\\server\site"? What the hell is \\? Where am I? Did I leave the iron on?

      I've considered the sourcesafe issue for my situation, and realized that a daily CVS would work fine, rather than every single check-in. Especially since most people wind up checking out and forgetting to check in. But for more version-sensitive documents, this could be a problem.

      Not to mention the lack of a single decent WYSIWYG HTML editor in Linux, forcing the clients to continue to use FrontPage. If I'm wrong, PLEASE guide me to it.

      --
      # Erik
    9. Re:Apache displacing IIS? by ViGe · · Score: 2, Informative

      I'm migrating the IIS setup to Apache and I see a few differences. With samba shares, it's almost as easy to open a site for editing (\\server\site) but not as intuitive as FrontPage extensions (http://server/site).

      Well, FrontPage extensions are available for apache. You can edit the pages using the intuitive http://server/site addresses. So what exactly is your point?

      --
      It has to work - rfc1925
    10. Re:Apache displacing IIS? by 0x0d0a · · Score: 2, Informative

      I believe Apache 2.0 has a Windows GUI, if you're a GUI kinda guy.

  5. strangely quiet by Sad+Loser · · Score: 5, Interesting

    on PostgreSQL and MySQL.
    why should the market forces that apply to MS not apply to Oracle?
    Build those yachts while the sun shines, Larry!

    --
    Humorous signatures are over-rated.
    1. Re:strangely quiet by LinuxXPHybrid · · Score: 2, Interesting

      > why should the market forces that apply to MS not apply to Oracle?

      Well, if I remember correctly, Larry Ellison said something like the following. Database cannot be compromised. It has to be secure and reliable. That's one software that businesses depend on, so database is the last software threatened by opensource such as MySQL and PostgreSQL.

      Despite how he views database market, speech and QA were pretty funny (broadcasted at http://www.oracle.com/broadband). I read a couple of those articles as well. What he said about Apache having taken over the server market from IIS was pretty interesting. He also said "It's (StarOffice) not awful (audience laugh)". "Netscape 7, not bad."

      I like how he speaks and answers questions; he's funny. He spends a fortune for his yachts and stuff, but his putting a lot of money in medical research justifies that (at least I think).

    2. Re:strangely quiet by sql*kitten · · Score: 5, Insightful

      on PostgreSQL and MySQL.why should the market forces that apply to MS not apply to Oracle? Build those yachts while the sun shines, Larry!

      At a conservative estimate, MySQL is 25 years behind the state of the art. No, I'm not even kidding or trolling, it's a fact - compare the state of relational databases in the late 70s to where MySQL is now. According to the press release, MySQL last week got features like relational integrity, row level locking, transactions and caching that products like Oracle and DB2 have had, quite literally, for decades. MySQL still does not have subqueries, stored procedures, or procedural constraints. And neither Oracle nor DB2 are standing still, they are continually adding new features. Larry has no need to lose any sleep over MySQL.

    3. Re:strangely quiet by richieb · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Well, if I remember correctly, Larry Ellison said something like the following. Database cannot be compromised. It has to be secure and reliable. That's one software that businesses depend on, so database is the last software threatened by opensource such as MySQL and PostgreSQL.

      Like an operating system is not a piece of software on which a business depends on?

      Larry should go and read "The Innovator's Dilemma".

      --
      ...richie - It is a good day to code.
    4. Re:strangely quiet by richieb · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Those are the situations Ellision/Oracle will need to be fearful of. Many many many applications *do not* require the featureset that Oracle provides, and therefore, you will start to see (as has already happened) projects getting picked off by the lowest end databases.

      I agree with you. Oracle is the "main frame" of databases. These days you can start developing and deploying with MySQL or Postgres and if the system really needs it you can move to Oracle. Cost savings can be astounding.

      --
      ...richie - It is a good day to code.
    5. Re:strangely quiet by ianezz · · Score: 2, Insightful
      MySQL is 25 years behind the state of the art.

      Agreed. OTOH, you should ask yourself in how many places you really need nothing less than the state of the art. Probably less than the 50% of the total.

      My guess is that such percentual is going to shrink as more people become aware of free RDBMS (I'm thinking more about PostgreSQL or SAP DB than MySQL), but Ellison has nothing to worry, since absolute numbers of RDBMS users will go up as well, and some of them are going to need Oracle sooner or later.

      In other words, a small percentual of a large number may still be a large number. I'd say there's plenty of space for everyone (everyone that does not stand still, obviously).

    6. Re:strangely quiet by Chief+Crazy+Chicken · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The admin tools for postgresql are there on win32 -- at least the pgadmin 2 tool that I use has been very easy. Better in a few ways than oracle's tools, and no worse in any. I like the fact that it's one tool (including the SQL exec tool), not 3 or 4.

      I will give you the point that it was not nearly as easy to set up as it should have been. It requires cygwin, which will be off-putting to people that don't already have it, and I actually had to TYPE things in FILES. Which will freak people out. Also, it requires some cleanup when the system crashes, which involves deleting a lock file. This is one of those things that will cause people to think that it sucks, even though it's a trivial thing.

      If they can get postgresql to install as smoothly as personal oracle did when last I had it on my system (4 years or so ago), they'll take care of this whole issue. I know that they're working on getting rid of the cygwin requirement, but I'm not sure where they are on the installation smoothing.

    7. Re:strangely quiet by MikeFM · · Score: 3, Insightful

      MySQL is a lot faster than Oracle on comparable hardware and it's progressing quickly towards including the more useful features of big db suites like Oracle. The majority of the websites that use a db use MySQL. Oracle is way to expensive for small websites and doesn't provide what most large websites need. That's a big market Oracle is missing out on.

      PostgreSQL isn't bad either but MySQL tends to be the favorite of web developers. They compete with each other and help drive each other forward.

      I don't think either MySQL or Postgres are a challenge to Oracle in the data center but as they mature they will be more so. They have the benefit of 20/20 hindsight too so they can mature much faster than products such as Oracle. They are missing features but they are adding those as demand grows or someone is willing to sponsor the addition.

      Everything said about Apache vrs IIS and Linux vrs Windows does also apply to MySQL vrs Oracle. It's all a matter of time. I think Oracle may bite the bullet a lot harder than Microsoft though because they are less diversified. Unless of course they open source Oracle and manage to adapt to the change. They have more time to adapt than Microsoft though sense they are more specialized.

      --
      At what price learning? At what cost wisdom? The price is a man's peace of mind, and the cost is his life.
    8. Re:strangely quiet by gmack · · Score: 4, Informative

      " Those are the situations Ellision/Oracle will need to be fearful of. Many many many applications *do not* require the featureset that Oracle provides, and therefore, you will start to see (as has already happened) projects getting picked off by the lowest end databases."

      Yes and the result is that Oracle doesn't even attempt to play in the low end anymore.

      Oracle will live a lot longer because while weve gotten the OS down and most of the server software the OSS folks aren't even close to high end in the SQL department.

      Mysql is pretty sweet for the low end but chokes all over itself once you start putting it under even moderate write load.

      PostgreSQL is better under load but lacks needed features such as mirroring.

      Took out the low end? yep! But now when you max out the OSS options your so deep into oracle land it's scarey. My last boss almost had a heart attack when he realised he had grown from needeing the free MySQL to $30 000 oracle.

    9. Re:strangely quiet by spells · · Score: 2, Informative
      I know this wasn't your point, but... You're the guy causing my team all the maintenance grief!

      Please, no more roll your own classes for features that have been part of the language for years, especially collection classes.

  6. IIS wiped out, irrelevant... by jraf · · Score: 5, Interesting

    So how does that explain the chaos from Code Red?

    1. Re:IIS wiped out, irrelevant... by gmajor · · Score: 4, Interesting

      At the shop I worked at, IIS was enabled by default on some Windows 2K installations (maybe all?), although IIS was never used. I don't think anyone even cared what IIS was, until Code Red hit.

    2. Re:IIS wiped out, irrelevant... by Balinares · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Certain MS products REQUIRE an installation of some MS Web packages. For exemple, MSVC++.NET (even the standalone version!) installs some Web foo (up to and including those damn Frontpage extensions) before it will even install. Even if you don't give a flying fuck about Web services, MS does, and since your computer belongs to them, they'd be stupid not to capitalize on it when given the opportunity. And they are not stupid.

      For the records, yes, you can uninstall that crap, and MSVC++ will keep working the same, but 95% of people won't bother. And won't even notice when they're hit by the next MS worm.

      What can I say. When you can't gain market share through technical superiority...

      --

      -- B.
      This sig does in fact not have the property it claims not to have.
    3. Re:IIS wiped out, irrelevant... by m0RpHeus · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Code Red and Nimbda wiped-put IIS. ;)

      Seriously, I know several companies who relied a lot on IIS. After the Nimbda incident, they thought of migrating evrything from IIS to Apache. Today, most of their apps rin under Apache.

      --
      Take-off every .sig! For Great Justice!
  7. And in other news: by M.M.M. · · Score: 5, Funny

    ... and the PC will be made obsolete by thin
    clients, stupid boxes without a hard disk (predicted by Mr. Oracle from way back).

    Does anybody remember those days?

    1. Re:And in other news: by zmooc · · Score: 2, Flamebait

      Those are the days of xterminals. They've been around forever and will be forever. It's just MS's stupid licensing scheme that causes you not to see them a lot anymore. They'll come back. Along with Linux or any other unix. Especially when we get sound integrated into X. You really don't want to know how much company-money can be saved by ditching windows, office and way too powerfull desktops and replacing them with a xserver/xterminal-setup in which the admin only has to admin a single box.

      --
      0x or or snor perron?!
    2. Re:And in other news: by Daengbo · · Score: 2, Interesting

      A lot of people still believe that will happen. In fact, the Ministry of Information and Computer Technology is setting to announce a thin client program for schools to reuse their old equipment, and I may be helping to develop a distro for it.

    3. Re:And in other news: by gbjbaanb · · Score: 2, Insightful

      As I recall, one of the reasons Larry's Network Computer failed was because you could buy a PC, (even with Windows pre-installed), and buy an X server software (and Office) and it was *still* cheaper than his Network Client, without having to shell out for the Oracle software you'd need to run it properly. And it had a rubbish processor.

      'course Larry (and Scott) want to sell you the server hardware and software you'll need to do this - and it won't be anything other than stupidly expensive. So much so that it'll easily wipe out all those TCO 'savings'.

      and you won't have sound either. Sorry, Larry doesn't have a clue then, and he still doesn't.

    4. Re:And in other news: by Baki · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Nonsense, in most enterprise environments your big smart Windows clients are completely blocked if "the server" or "the network" is down. You can't login, can't use outlook, can't access your documents etc etc etc.

      What people hated was the lack of GUI capabilities of old terminals. And yes, some people hate not having any control over their "own machine". I fear however there is no place for such people in todays enonomic climate: those are the ones playing all day with windows settings, new programs etc, I think todays CIO shall be happy to get rid of such people.

  8. News just in, by JamesSharman · · Score: 5, Funny

    Microsoft says windows will destroy linux,
    Oracle says linux will destroy windows
    Baath party says republican-guard will crush allies
    Washington says guard will be crushed

    What's going on? It's almost as if there is some kind of weighting to what people are saying based on the outcome they favour. I just don't understand it.

  9. difference oracle / microsoft? by ghum · · Score: 5, Interesting

    it is great news to read Larry Ellison telling nice words about Open Source Software

    I had to deal only remotely with Oracles licensing habbits. Seemed even more complicated than "open license" from MS.

    I had to deal closer with Oracles interpretation of SQL-Standards "we don't obey them, we set them"

    I had to deal with Oracles "bundled utilities" - documentation-files running across 400 screen pages. Comments like "if you want to change a tipped command, just simply erase it and type it new (decades after GNU readline)

    Where is the big difference in the companies attitude to Microsoft? Am I to blind to see?

    1. Re:difference oracle / microsoft? by Galvatron · · Score: 2, Insightful
      I think the difference is that a high-end database monopoly is unlikely to be leveraged into dominance of large portions of the computing industry. Futhermore, if someone wrote a better database, Oracle would rapidly lose their market position.

      In contrast, through bundling and other anti-competitive practices, Microsoft has been able to exploit their desktop OS monopoly to control several other sectors. People have written arguably better operating systems, but Microsoft has managed to set things up such that the cost of switching away from Windows is very high.

      I have no doubt that if Ellison were in Gates's position, he'd be no better. I doubt, though, that Oracle is in a position to fill the power void should Microsoft lose control. They might get bigger, and they might exploit their market dominance to a greater degree, but their abuses would still not affect the average computer user as much as Microsoft has.

      --
      "The question of whether a computer can think is no more interesting than that of whether a submarine can swim" -EWD
  10. Mission Accomplished! by justin_speers · · Score: 5, Funny

    Larry Ellison gets his name in the papers!

    Sorry if I sound underwhelmed, but I think this is just another example of him doing a good job at getting some publicity.

    Yeah Apache's winning, on the server side, Linux is winning... but the desktop, if it ever happens, is waaaay into the future.

    Microsoft isn't stupid, they won't go down that easy. And Ellison is THAT good at self-promotion.

    1. Re:Mission Accomplished! by dr_canak · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I agree that Ellison is a major showman, and thrives on the media and exposure. You don't get that rich sitting around. Controversy, media exposure, grand visionary statements are all good for him and his company.

      With that said, i still think it's a good thing when huge players in the tech industry bring up linux. No one who *really* matters is redifining how we think about IS and Microsoft based on slashdot articles/postings (unless of course it was an interview with Larry Ellison on Slashdot ;-) ).

      If there is any chance whatsoever that Linux and open source are going to fundamentally alter the way Microsoft does business and the products they create, Linux needs to be in the public eye, every day, all day. IS operations people can run all the linux servers they want behind the scenes and out of the watchful eye of IT managers, but it does nothing to really put the screws to Microsoft. For that to happen, major players in the industry need to be constantly extolling its virtues.

      Is that Ellison's goal? Not likely. Like you point out, his platitudes are publicity driven and come from his desire to be wealthier than Gates. But regardless of his motives, I think its good nonetheless.

      my .02
      jeff

  11. Hence the XBox by MrMickS · · Score: 4, Interesting
    Seriously I think that even MS sees that the need for a univeral mass market desktop operating system has a finite lifespan. We are already seeing the emergence of consumer focussed appliances that deliver what the majority of people use a computer for. MS can't miss this market if they want to keep in business for a long time so the XBox. An appliance computer with a specific function that can serve as the basis for future devices to deliver computing power to the average home. This will be the 'network computer' that Ellison tried to establish in the late 90's.

    MS wants to get people used to having a MS badged device in their home. One that just works, doesn't bluescreen etc, so that people are comfortable with it. They can then lever other services onto the platform; TiVo like capabilites, email, web browsing etc. This XBox follow up will be the hub of a home network.

    Sony are aiming for a similar thing with the Playstation line. So far they have a head start on consumer trust.

    --
    You may think me a tired, old, cynic. I'd have to disagree about the tired bit.
  12. IIS slaughtered? by aurelian · · Score: 5, Informative

    Looking at the figures it doesn't look to me like IIS has gone from market leader to irrelevance. For the last 5 years - since IIS appeared - Apache has maintained a market share roughly twice that of IIS. But both shares have grown.

    1. Re:IIS slaughtered? by a_n_d_e_r_s · · Score: 2, Informative

      On the other hand IIS has lost a big part if its market share the last year. IIS has lost nearly 1 in 5. Which seam to have gone towards Apache - probably because of the inroads Linux has made in the serrver market but also because of Red Code Worm and Nimba that hit many IIS users hard.

      In the last 12 months Apacha has 2 miljon more sites while IIS only have 1 miljon more sites.
      So even though Micsosoft has a large part of the server market - people do not use them as web server. With Linux ever increasing share of the server market we'll probably see a continuation of this scenario where IIS share of the total market continues to drop in favour of Apache or other webservers who run on Linux systems.

      So yes most servers have an inreasd the numbers of new users - but thats because the Internet market still grows very fast.

      --
      Just saying it like it are.
  13. Yet another bold prediction from Larry by Trurl's+Machine · · Score: 2, Informative

    ...Larry Ellison made a bold prediction...

    Again? Last time he predicted anything, it was the diskless "network computer", that will decimate traditional pc's. That was supposed to happen around 1997. Now that was a bold prediction. Probably as valuable as this one.

  14. Needs some friends by salesgeek · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I think Mr. Ellison has found his latest trendy technology crusade... Let's hope his predictions fo Linux are better than for instance:

    * Network Computers
    * Netscape
    * Sun One
    * Java (it's a success, but not so large as Ellison wanted)

    Don't get me wrong, I appreciate his support for Linux BUT this guy will say anything to make a buck.

    $G

    --
    -- $G
  15. Why is Apache a success? by SlashdotLemming · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Its not trying to be an IIS clone.
    Other OS products are trying to implement tomorrow what Microsoft did yesterday. You can't beat someone in a race if you're trying to follow in their footsteps.

    1. Re:Why is Apache a success? by pnaro · · Score: 2, Insightful

      >Its not trying to be an IIS clone.
      >Other OS products are trying to implement tomorrow >what Microsoft did yesterday. You can't beat someone in a >race if you're trying to follow in their footsteps.

      Then explain Windows Vs. Mac

      --
      If we can't fix it, we'll fix it so nobody else can!
  16. "Open" not "Star" by the_pooh_experience · · Score: 4, Informative

    According to the infoworld article and the computerworld article:

    Ellison deemed the Sun Microsystems Inc.-backed OpenOffice.org suite "almost usable,"
    not staroffice, as the /. summary indicates. Is someone jonesing for their old staroffice?
  17. Sorry, but I don't agree by AstroMage · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Q.: What's the difference between God and Larry Ellison?
    A: God doesn't think he's Larry Ellison

    Lets face it- Allison likes to needle MS and make outrageous claim. He can afford to, since he is one of the richest men on Earth. But before we all stand and cheer "MS is dead! Long live Linux!", let's remember that Apache is one of very few open-source projects which can compete with MS products in terms of market share. And you can bet your pants that in any of those areas, including web servers, MS is doing all it can to reverse that situation.
    So don't applaud Ellison's high words- they may do your ego good, but what the open-source world needs is better software, better marketing and less fragmentation. We are still a long long way from beating MS, so don't rest on your laurels just yet...

    Just my 2 cents worth...

  18. What I don't like... by torpor · · Score: 2, Informative

    ... is the insinuation that Microsoft once 'had' dominance in the webserver sphere. As far as I can remember (and I could be wrong, though I've been on the 'net since before the Web and this is my perception) Apache has *always* been the #1 web server, with IIS only ever coming close to playing catchup.

    So it wasn't that MS' dominance was ever 'beaten', its just that they cannot beat the dominant methodology for web servers, which is Open Source.

    I think there's a difference between saying 'beaten back' and just 'beaten from the gate'.

    --
    ; -- the corruption of government starts with its secrets. a truly free people keep no secrets. --
    1. Re:What I don't like... by NineNine · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So it wasn't that MS' dominance was ever 'beaten', its just that they cannot beat the dominant methodology for web servers, which is Open Source.


      That's a hell of a leap in logic there. Unless you're some kind of super market analyst, complete with surveys, research, etc., I think about all you can say is that more people use Apache now and in the past than those who use IIS. There's not necessarily any connection between IIS/Apache and OSS/non-OSS..

  19. context by pizza_milkshake · · Score: 2, Insightful
    i'm not going to disagree with Mr. Ellison, because personally I'd like to see how Microsoft reacts to competition -- hopefully by making better products, though likely it'll be lawsuits, speeches and talk of growth in other areas.

    remember that Larry Ellison has always made these kind of claims -- but I've yet to see Database-based filesystems or Sun's "dumb-terminal-esque" network computers take off in the mainstream. though supposedly Microsoft is working on the former.

  20. Not what he claimed by Galvatron · · Score: 5, Interesting
    Ellison did NOT claim that Linux would win on the desktop. He merely claimed that Linux would win in the datacenter, and that StarOffice would force Microsoft to compete on the desktop. I think he may be right. I don't claim to be an expert on datacenters though.

    I do believe that Microsoft's power will fade, due in large part to Office competitors. I can't see how Microsoft can maintain their Office monopoly when they keep rachetting up the price. Even the OEM version, bundled with a new PC, is several hundred dollars. So many people will turn to alternatives, like MS Works. Once many people are running scaled back versions like Works, then some people will start realizing that StarOffice (and others) are better, and even cheaper. Not everyone will switch, but all you need is a critical mass, which will give competitors enough money to reinvest in improving their office suites, allowing them to compete head to head with the full version of Office. Microsoft will have to cut prices for an indefinite period, which will lower profits. Lower profits in the Office division will reduce or eliminate their ability to absorb losses in other divisions, forcing a retreat from other markets. Sure, they have large cash reserves, but you'd be amazed how fast you can blow through billions of dollars when you're forced to compete for the first time in years.

    The only thing that's needed, as I see it, is a competitor to Windows. I would love for someone to make Linux into something the average computer user would be comfortable using, but I just don't think it'll ever happen. I'd love for OS X to run on commodity hardware, but I don't think that'll happen either. So I'm not sure that Microsoft will ever lose the desktop OS monopoly. I can always hope though.

    --
    "The question of whether a computer can think is no more interesting than that of whether a submarine can swim" -EWD
  21. I highly doubt that by Da+Fokka · · Score: 2, Insightful

    you can't extrapolate the success of Apache to the desktop market. Webservers have no problems with incompatibility and user-friendliness is less of a concern since the users usually are computer technicians.

    The desktop market is a whole different ballgame; Microsoft software is abundant and currently the only competitor in terms of ease of use is Apple and not the Open Source movement.

  22. Another linux distro you reakon? by Mattygfunk1 · · Score: 4, Interesting
    There will always be room for MS and any other company to do what they do - make software. I consider myself a fairly big open source fan and agree that it will make a major impact down the line, but it wont take over everything software related.

    __________________
    CowboyNeal has no association with Cheap web site hosting and probably never will.

  23. My thoughts on linux domination by EpsCylonB · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I have limited experience (managed to install and set up RH 8.0 as a router for my home network) with linux but here are a few thoughts.

    Linux is not ready for the dsesktop. The recent discussion about mozilla incorporating smooth scrolling illustrates a fundamental problem within the linux community. Most *nix users who want to see linux replace windows on the desktop aren't willing to compete with MS in the areas which really matter to a non techie user. Many people here laughed and scorned the screenshots of the recent longhorn builds where you had lots of new UI features, admittedly most of them will probably not amount to anything but the UI does matter.

    For a non techie user the choice at the moment is windows which is very easy to use but is prone to crashes amnd viruses, alternatively they have linux which is very difficult to get the hang of when coming from a windows background. Reliability means nothing if the user can't get anything done with linux. I'm no MS fanboy but I do beleive that they have gone in the right direction with the XP interface, and I also don't think you can really argue with the fact that games, multimedia and simple office apps are all easier to use for a non techie user on a windows platform.

    Now whether MS dominace is down to a genuinely more instinctive UI or whether people are just more familiar with it (and hence more productive) is down to debate. I'm sure many linux advocates will dismiss the idea that MS's windows UI is "better" that any of linux distos but they are reeally missing the point.

    If you want linux on the desktop then linux developers need to compete with MS. This includes making sure there is support for all types of multimedia, improving choice of games, improving window responsiveness, and all the other little MS UI elements that most *nix users would probably consider frivolous.

    1. Re:My thoughts on linux domination by ctid · · Score: 2, Interesting

      There are two types of desktop. There's the desktop in business, where "all types of multimedia" and games are not important. In fact on the business desktop, I think Linux's lack of games will be seen as an advantage by the suits. There's also the home desktop, where of course Microsoft will continue to hold sway for now. But to understand what is happening in business, you have to see that much of what makes Windows attractive on the home market is anathema to the desktop market.

      --
      Reality is defined by the maddest person in the room
    2. Re:My thoughts on linux domination by The+Ape+With+No+Name · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This is non-sense to the point of being a wonderfully crafted troll.

      Let's take RedHat8.0. My mom, who is an e-mailer of Proustian proportions, comes to visit. "Can I check my mail?" So I added an account for her on my workstation. She said "So this is Linux?" I got distracted for a second and by time I got back to being instructive she had Mozilla opened and was looking at some silly ass powerpoint some friend sent along in OO. This is a person who calls all technical matters "thingies."

      Of course, that's not the majority of users, isn't scientific, yada, yada.... Let's not even get on to Mandrake, which is, by far, the easiest OS install ever. Sure if you have some odd ball hardware, it can get hairy, but it is so much better than a vanilla XP on a Dell laptop.

      --
      Comparing it to Windows will be a moot point, since El Dorado is going to have a 40% larger code base than XP.
    3. Re:My thoughts on linux domination by f0rt0r · · Score: 5, Interesting

      A contraire, Linux IS ready for the desktop, I started my study of a Linux as replacement for MS Windows XP last year ( August ) and haven't gone back to Windows since. You have easy to use GUI, the installation detected and supported all of my devices ( printer, scanner, sound card , etc ) and which help files and community support galore.

      The feature list of Linux systems IMHO outdoes Windows XP by far, I especially like the ability to access my home system via my work computer ( Windows XP ) using putty and Cygwin. The stability is profound, the options it give you ( shell, GUI file system, etc. ) stuff Windows into a garbage can. And if you are ( like me ) and are forced to use MS IE at work with no other browsers allowed, its great to have the ability ( as I mentioned earlier in this post ) to be able to run it remotely from my home linux box.

      I could go on for hours about what Linux has that Windows XP wish it had ( MPLayer, anyone ? ), but then I would be late for work,

      Oopps, time to go, I hope I didn't make any major typos. Enjoy the post, and one more thing, for Gaming use WINE/WINEX. Nuff said.

      >>

      --
      I can't afford a sig!
    4. Re:My thoughts on linux domination by Deacon+Jones · · Score: 2, Insightful
      methinks you missed the main point.

      For emailers only, or even office work, sure you have a point (although OpenOffice chokes on many simple Excel spreadsheets, but that's a different argument).

      You must consider that gamers and games drive a great portion of the market. And I don't mean solitaire.

      In essence, its not Linux at fault, really, but the fact that you either have to compile from source, or use an rpm, and check dependencies, is a biggie. What the average end user, and heck, even my lazy self would want, is to be able to simply either put the cd in, or download the "install file," and have it "just work."

      Until the average joe can just doubleclick on "install" and have the latest game run, Linux will never be in first place on the desktop. Average joe doesn't want to know about chmod, the proper directory, e.t.c. He just wants to click it and play (or work).

      And I'm running slack myself, so I'm not trolling.

      --
      I pulled a jack move to cop this sig
    5. Re:My thoughts on linux domination by Tom · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Linux is not ready for the dsesktop.

      And neither is windows. People have just learned to put up with it.

      I'm entirely serious, and this is not a cheap shot at windows. The interface is horrible - if you doubt that, find someone who has no prior experience with computers, sit them down in front of a windows machine, give them zero instructions, and ask them for a few simple tasks ("write an e-mail to this address", "play the metallica .mp3 from this CD").
      Been there, done that. Original commentary from my mum (who I started on Linux) after she made a windows "internet" course: "I'm happy I don't have that windows at home, I don't like it."

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
  24. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  25. Re:In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    This is the same guy who said network computers were going to take over the industry, about 6 years ago.

    Larry Ellison doesn't have much of a crystal ball.

  26. Linux already has 'decimated' Windows by Ed+Avis · · Score: 5, Informative

    'Decimate' means to reduce by one-tenth. It originates from the punishment for mutiny given to a whole Roman legion: killing every tenth man. So if you think that Windows installations are 10% less than they would have been if Linux didn't exist, then Linux has already decimated Windows, at least on the server.

    It's the remaining 90% that is at stake :-).

    --
    -- Ed Avis ed@membled.com
    1. Re:Linux already has 'decimated' Windows by leshert · · Score: 2, Informative

      Actually, according to most dictionaries, that's no longer the only acceptable meaning. In fact, many list the original, literal meaning as a secondary definition, not the primary one.

      Language, like software, evolves. :-)

  27. Larry Ellision by SN74S181 · · Score: 2

    I worry about anything Larry Ellision gets behind. Not saying this to besmirch Open Source or Linux, but Ellision is evil, and always has ulterior motives.

    Hate and spitefulness are not good forms of advocacy.

    1. Re:Larry Ellision by masq · · Score: 2, Interesting

      His ulterior motive most of the time seems to be to piss off Gates.

      Very true.

      He has an inferiority complex.

      No, no, no. Ellison's the cockiest bastard I ever saw. He's aggressive, competitive, and likes to crush the other guys he plays "capitalism" with. He just always targets Bill, because he's already beaten everybody else, and Bill has screwed him over in the past. He doesn't have an inferiority complex at all, he just likes to bet on (and support) the little guy (which against Microsoft is everyone else), so that if (and when) they weaken Microsoft, he can watch Bill stumble, stagger, and fall to the ground bleeding. And then he himself can administer the coup de grace. Nothing would give him more pleasure.

  28. What's not usable? by rknop · · Score: 4, Interesting

    What's not usable about OpenOffice.org now?

    The one steady complaint I hear is "doesn't do a perfect job of opening Microsoft Office formats". THat complaint is, even if true, ridiculous. If OpenOffice.org is to replace MS Office, sure, the path to getting there is easier of people don't have to notice, but eventually the proprietary MS formats would become irrelevant. This isn't a real criticism. Might as well criticise Word for not being able to open all those legacy LaTeX files that scientists and mathemticians have all over the places, huh?

    (Not that I consider anything legacy about LaTeX myself... I still think that is definitely the right way to do large and technical documents.)

    The only realy complaint that I've got about OOo is the support for animations in Impress. It seems to crash on Flash animations even on computers where I've got the Flash plugin installed... and it seems to depend on the Flash plugin from mozilla, rather than from itself. First, I'd much rather there were an open vector animation format out there for OOo to use, but that's not necessarily OOo's fault; if there is one, it doesn't have widespread acceptance and prominence. But, even beyond that, I haven't figured out how to embed MPEG or similar animations into OOo presentations, nor have I figured out how to get OOo to put its screen to the back so that if I hack in mplayer via a command line script (not the best interface for most people using Impress, but one that works for me), the full screen animation can even be seen.

    As far as I'm concerned, solve that issue in Impress, and OOo is way more than anything I'd want out of an office suite like that.

    Well, OK, and the equation editor is severely limited. (Only 8 colours?) Plus it's a pain... I speak TeX equations, and am resisting learning a new one. Right now, I usually use TeX and ImageMagick to put equations in my Impress presentations as transparent PNG images.

    What are the things that people like Larry Ellison think are missing that make it only "almost" usable?

    -Rob

    1. Re:What's not usable? by arvindn · · Score: 3, Informative
      What's not usable about OpenOffice.org now?

      Takes 30 seconds to start up on my machine. Does that count?

    2. Re:What's not usable? by praedor · · Score: 4, Interesting

      My only real complaint/problem with OO/SO is as a researcher, I cannot use it. I need to make heavy use of citations and references. OO/SO doesn't do bibliographies and references the way that Lyx can (linux-side) or the way Wordperfect and M$ Word can on the Mac/Doze side (via 3rd party apps like EndNote).


      I have been finishing up my dissertation. I HAD to use Lyx because I exclusively use linux and nothing else can handle the references.


      If you are a researcher you need to be able to easily navigate your bibliography database(s) to find the references you need and then insert them into your text. At the end, when you produce the printed copy, those references have to be formatted into any of a half-dozen or more styles (ie, "text text text (Thomas and Eckes 1992). text text" or numeric in the order cited OR alphabetically). The reference pages need to be autogenerated to match the style required (journals and thesis offices all have different requirements) by your target. This is simple with Lyx w/bibtex and a bibliography frontend like the excellent pybliographic or using Word with EndNote. This is not really doable with OO/SO.


      When/if it becomes possible to do this with OO/SO then I will happily use it instead of Lyx which, while powerful, is a bit too complex and unintuitive for my taste (I LIKE to see what my output will look like BEFORE I generate it in some form. I like seeing how it is formatted as I am working on it, not after the fact).


      Other than this critical (for me and any other researcher of any type) shortcoming, OO/SO is quite good...just slow to get up and running. Note to Sun and the OO developers: the modularity that users called for wasn't so much so that they could only install this or that package, ie the wordprocessor OR the spreadsheet, etc, it was in the hopes of speeding the whole thing up. The original monolithic StarOffice was fine with all its components but the problem was that to start just the wordprocessor EVERYTHING else was loaded up too leading to a very slow startup. I don't see that the speed of starting has changed much (if at all) since the components have been "separated".

      --
      In Bushworld, they struggle to keep church and state separate in Iraq as they increasingly merge the two in America.
  29. Not until.... by shadoelord · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I don't think Linux will have a chance among gamers until the newest releases can be installed with ease (read: no dependencies, loading wine, or other backwards thing to make it :seem: like its on windows) and played right away. Until that time, I'm going to play some Generals.

    --
    this is my sig, there are many like it, but this one is mine.
  30. Don't forget MS was late to internet by YeeHaW_Jelte · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Following your argument, microsoft hadn't a chance when they (finally) got into the internet hype and launched Internet Explorer. They were very late to acknoledge the importance of internet, and netscape had by then achieved a pretty dominant position. However, they did succeed in displacing Netscape, and didn't succeed in displacing Apache. Obviously, there are other reasons why IIS never really got any foothold, Apache being open source and a really good product being the most import one, I think.

    --

    ---
    "The chances of a demonic possession spreading are remote -- relax."
    1. Re:Don't forget MS was late to internet by GrenDel+Fuego · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I don't believe that was his point.

      The article indicated that apache "displaced" IIS, meaning that it took IIS's lead away from it. Meanwhile, IIS never had a lead.

      Who knows, maybe IIS will take the lead some day, but for now that statement is misleading at best.

    2. Re:Don't forget MS was late to internet by garcia · · Score: 3, Insightful

      yeah but that's a different genre of software. IE did very well because they sunk tons of development time and effort into it and because MS basically forced you to use it by including it in every version of Windows AND then "integrating" it into the OS itself.

      IIS isn't something that EVERYONE is going to use. It also isn't something that should or could be "integrated" and thus forced on you.

  31. Re:Openoffice by SN74S181 · · Score: 4, Informative

    PDF is an archival output form, in many cases as opaque and uneditable as a bitmap. I wouldn't call it a useful format for documents that are 'live' and need to be editable. It isn't even intended for such purposes. As such, it's a horrible choice as an interoperability format for 'Office' documents.

    It's great for 'freezing' things to archive them, of course.

  32. Re:You utter twat by 91degrees · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Not true. It's derived from the term for punishment for Roman legions, in which every tenth man was executed.

  33. Re:Openoffice by nagora · · Score: 2, Insightful
    I would included PDF in that list however writing to PDF can be hard for people in M$ where they have to by Adobe distiller

    Apparently OO v 1.1 (now in beta) is going to have PDF as an output format. This is something MS has always avoided because they want Word's .doc to be the universal format and can't afford to promote PDF. If they have to then users will really have a win on their hands and it'll be due to competition.

    TWW

    --
    "Encyclopedia" is to "Wikipedia" what "Library" is to "Some people at a bus stop"
  34. This story is a troll by HBI · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Larry Ellison has about zero credibility. Remember "Network Computers" and how they were going to take over the world? Sure, Larry. There have been many other examples over the years. His crystal ball is more tarnished and cracked than Miss Cleo's.

    Larry is just being a cheerleader because he sees economic benefit in the vision of a Microsoft-less future. He'd also like to see Bill Gates take a hit. That's it. No facts here, move along.

    You people _really_ lack historical perspective, by and large.

    --
    HBI's Law: Frequency of calling others Nazis is directly correlated with the likelihood of the accuser being Communist.
    1. Re:This story is a troll by fbg111 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Larry Ellison has about zero credibility.

      Just b/c you don't like him, or disagree with his current point, doesn't mean that one of the most successful tech entrepeneurs in history has "zero credibility". Don't forget, your own credibility is at stake here as well.

      --
      Flying is easy, just throw yourself at the ground and miss. -Douglas Adams
    2. Re:This story is a troll by HBI · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Network computers in their current iteration require applications to be written to play to their strengths.

      When I see applications being written to these constraints, i'll agree that the day of the NC has come. I haven't seen that yet - in fact, modern applications appear to be going to the other extreme.

      --
      HBI's Law: Frequency of calling others Nazis is directly correlated with the likelihood of the accuser being Communist.
  35. Does anyone have a list of these comments? by OS24Ever · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I think it'd be interesting to see the number of times Ellison has come up and claimed 'this or that will kill Microsoft' over the last few years.

    I seem to remember something about network computers. As far as I can tell that was the biggest bit of vapor hardware ever. I've never seen anything like that in the enterprise.

    Were there any others?

    But not to say that I don't think that LInux has a chance. From where I sit I see lots of 4 Way Xeon MP servers coming along that are being at least tested against a Sun box. I've seen them save some companies over $2.0M a year in just hardware maintenance costs alone. So it can be done. However, they're moving Sun out of the datacenter with these, not Microsoft. Mainly because Microsoft was never in that space (yet).

    --

    As a rock-in-roll Physicist once said, No matter where you go, there you are.

  36. Re:Openoffice by Ben+Hutchings · · Score: 3, Informative

    Word format isn't even a reliable way to send documents between people who use Word. If they use different versions, or different fonts installed, then the formatting can go wrong, sometimes resulting in serious problems. (Actually, that link refers to use of RTF, but I think Word's RTF files are equivalent to Word's binary files.)

  37. strangely quiet by SgtChaireBourne · · Score: 2, Interesting
    On the theme of strangely quiet...

    I notice that the Infoworld article is 3 days old, but has not once been linked to from the start page. However, reviews of Microsoft products are, minus any critique of DRM- or Software-as-subscription- issues. Likewise for ZDNet and other sites. BYTE, perhaps, was getting a little too independent in its columns and is no longer available online.

    Even with primo product placement and censored product reviews, we're still heading towards a tipping effect where Microsoft will disappear as a relevant player in the world's IT sectors.

    F/OSS has been responsible for most of the Internet and Web. The bursting of the dot-com bubble co-incides with the short rise of the new-comer Microsoft, which has focused on growth through acquisition rather than innovation and on marketing rather than techology. Perhaps with the disappearance of this last dot-com pyramid scheme, we'll see new growth or even a small boom as businesses go back to what works.

    --
    Beta is broken and the link to classic doesn't work. Stop wasting our time or there won't be anybody left here.
  38. Re:In other news... by saden1 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I wonder what Ellison has to say about the future Postgres and MySQL. Will they ever become viable competitor and "slaughtered, wiped out, taken from market dominance to irrelevance" Oracle?

    --

    -----
    One is born into aristocracy, but mediocrity can only be achieved through hard work.
  39. Re:In other news... by CatOne · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Well... Larry is somewhat of a gasbag and he absolutely hates Microsoft... so he's gonna take any angle he can to pronounce the doom of Windows, even if it's as much his "want to have happen" as it is "he sees it happening." Same with McNealy. You wouldn't cite his prognistications as impartial either.

  40. And besides that... by Pope+Raymond+Lama · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I just checked today these 10 top selling books in IT in one of the largest bookstores here in Brazil.

    As you can see, not much for window~1 in there; people are buying books on Java, Linux, Operating Systens. And just one in 10 titles is specic to a M$ product - Excel.

    --
    -><- no .sig is good sig.
  41. The irony is... by drgroove · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ... people are now saying that Oracle will be wiped out by open-source SQL databases, such as MySQL and PostgresSQL.

    I don't necessarily disagree w/ Ellison, and I love Oracle's products, but I just find it ironic that he should be foretelling the demise of Windows in the datacenter and Office on the desktop, when there are also open source products right behind Oracle 9i (MySQL is rated #2 most used SQL db for websites... I forget where I read that, sorry).

  42. Apache vs. IIS in reality - flaw in his premise by mattdm · · Score: 4, Informative
    Quote from the article:

    "[Microsoft has] already been killed by one open-source product. Slaughtered, wiped out, taken from market dominance to irrelevance," Ellison said, speaking of the Apache Web server's displacement of Microsoft's Internet Information Services (IIS) technology. "They had a virtual monopoly on Web servers, and then they were wiped off the face of the earth. And it's going to happen to them again on Linux."

    As anyone can clearly see at Netcraft, IIS never even came *close* to beating Apache, let alone did they have a "virtual monopoly". Back in 1997 when Microsoft and Netscape (now SunONE) were struggling for 10% shares, Apache was already at 40% -- and it only went up from there.
  43. Re:Openoffice by nosaj72 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I noticed playing with the office 2k3 beta that microsoft has a new "PDF like" format called a .mdi (microsoft document image) file. I wonder if it might do well, considering how badly Adobe Acrobat works with Office documents.

    Typical Microsoft...

  44. Hardly so by Upright+Joe · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Well, you can hardly call IIS "irrelevant". Look at the number of worms it propogates. Look at the security holes that allow people to hijack boxes for DDOS attacks. It's very relevant - just not in the way Microsoft would like it to be I'm guessing...

  45. Re:Openoffice by Andrewkov · · Score: 2, Interesting
    What is really needed is a universal format (such as XML/RTF) where anyone can read/write a document and it would still maintain its formating.

    It's not that simple. Excel has thousands of functions you can call, macros, charts, not to mention a VB interpreter. To open a complex spreadsheet created in Excel in another program, the other program would have to implement all the function calls and VB scripting, etc. If you want a universal format, you'd need some kind of an API standard to really make that possible. Simple formatting is a different issue, but spreadsheets are often more complicated than that.

  46. Domination is not the goal by gosand · · Score: 2, Interesting
    I have limited experience (managed to install and set up RH 8.0 as a router for my home network) with linux but here are a few thoughts. Linux is not ready for the dsesktop.
    ...snip...
    If you want linux on the desktop then linux developers need to compete with MS.

    My rule of thumb when I don't agree with what is being said is to go to the very beginning, and look for the root assumption being made. Usually the entire argument is being made from one or more basic assumptions.

    In this case, I think the assumption you made is that tech people want Linux to displace Microsoft on the desktop. I do not think that is the case at all. That SEEMS to be what some people want, but I don't think it ultimately is. I think they are sidetracked because of the obstacles in their way. I want to be able to run Linux because I prefer it. I love tinkering with it. I can do what I need to do with it. Where I can't, as in games, I use Windows. I don't have a problem admitting that. But that situation is becoming more and more rare, the more mature Linux gets. (and by Linux I am lumping in OSS software too) Of course, this is at home where a "corporate computing standard" isn't imposed on me.

    I joke about wanting Linux to take over the world, but all I really want is for it to be accepted. I don't care about what everyone else chooses to use, as long as there is a choice. What has made Linux difficult to use? Can't print? That is because printer manufacturers don't produce drivers for Linux. Can't network effectively with Windows machines? That is Microsoft's doing by not cooperating. Can't read MSOffice documents? Microsoft again. The only reason we have OpenOffice is from reverse engineering. Multimedia players? Again, closed formats. I am amazed at how much engineering (and reverse engineering) effort has gone on in the Open Source and Free Software world. Imagine if that effort could have been used in different ways.

    I want Linux to succeed so I can use it. That is all. Other companies make it harder for it to succeed. Linux is about cooperation to make the overall computing experience work. If I may refer to it as a "thing", Linux is not anti-Microsoft, as many people think. It simply wants to BE. New video format? Hey, let us in on it. New document format? Let us in on the specs. I don't think any Linux tech people have a problem with cooperating and working with Microsoft products, but the opposite. We WANT to be compatible. Microsoft is the one who is hanging on tightly to their document formats, APIs, protocols, etc.

    Some people get too caught up in this "battle of the OSs". Microsoft can exist, it doesn't bother me. I don't want Linux to destroy them. I just want to be able to use it because I prefer it.

    I think of Open Source and Free Software like water. It is just flowing, doing it's thing. You may be able to put it in a container and hold it, or dam it up, but it will find the little cracks and seep through. All because it is just doing what is its nature.

    --

    My beliefs do not require that you agree with them.

  47. Re:In other news... by ergo98 · · Score: 4, Informative

    Ellison's prophetic comments, much like Scott McNealy of Sun, are generally worthless: If one looked at his historical claims they would find an astoundingly poor accuracy of their predictions. At some point shouldn't someone call him on his abilities as a seer?

    The most ridiculous part of his comments that immediately pointed out how uninformed and idiotic his vitriolic claims are is the statement "They had a virtual monopoly on Web servers, and then they were wiped off the face of the earth. And it's going to happen to them again on Linux.". The Slashdot summary itself points to the Netcraft graph, but strangely fails to points out the absurdity of Ellison's statement: Microsoft has never had a "virtual monopoly" on web servers. Indeed, Microsoft was an underdog, came into the game after Apache, and has grown to 28%, gaining 5% or so during a period when Apache marketshare has remained constant.

    P.S. Ellison is going to have to develop a new angle to push Oracle - When SQL Server trounced them in the clustered results on the TPC-C, Ellison and friends proclaimed that clustered results don't count, getting the TPC to allow one to separate clustered and non-clustered. Well now Microsoft beats Oracle at non-clustered results too. I'm sure there'll be some new angle to defend against this.

  48. Killed? by erroneous · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Quoting [Referring to IIS and Apache] :
    "(Microsoft has) already been killed by one open-source product. Slaughtered, wiped out, taken from market dominance to irrelevance [...]"

    According to the Netcraft survey, IIS use has gone from a peak of about 30% market share to their current level of about 30% market share?

    Yes, Apache has overtaken IIS. Yes, Apache is now and has been for several years dominant in the web server market. But it is at the expense of almost all the other web server suppliers, not at the expense of IIS which is holding market share admirably. IIS was never dominant in the web server market. It looked briefly like it could be in the late nineties, but IIS use peaked while Apache use continued to grow.

    Anyone who honestly thinks IIS was dominant, and has since been "wiped out" is clearly a bit of a loon.

    --
    erroneous: look me up in a dictionary
  49. Re:VBS == Virus Building System by Glorat · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I don't know about you but I've never seen anyone at work ever write a virus in an in-house app to be used in-house. I don't think one would need to be worried about that.

  50. So long to high paying jobs.... by johndeaux · · Score: 2, Insightful

    When the majority of Slashdot readers get their way and Microsoft is blasted from the planet and ALL software is open source and free GREAT NEWS, %70 of the high paying tech jobs will be eliminated as well.

    Be careful what you wish for because it might actually come true.

  51. to get the desktop underway... by elluzion · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I think, in order to really get Linux moving on the desktop, there will need to be some fairly major and widespread use of desktop security holes in Windows. I think the problems with IIS security and stability are the main factors pushing MS out of that area. We know there are security problems with Windows desktops, but there are usually not very many widespread attacks on them. Which is good, but it's not bringing the matter into the light like it did with IIS.

  52. Re: No M$ book sales by TeknoHog · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Of course, the reason is that Windows and other MS programs are so intuitive and easy to use that you never need any books or courses to use them to their fullest extent! ;-)

    But what do I know, I haven't used their products for years. I'm sure they have only improved during these years!

    --
    Escher was the first MC and Giger invented the HR department.
  53. mySQL Writes by daviddennis · · Score: 4, Informative

    A combination of slow queries and frequent writes will cause mySQL to die. Totally. It can cause data to take ten minutes to save.

    The solution is to rewrite your applications to use only fast queries, but if you really need to do slow queries it's a genuinely serious problem. I had it for a long time, and it drove people nuts. I eventually discovered how to optimize certain queries and the problem went away, but it is real.

    Slashdot doesn't have this problem because the queries it uses are rarely complex. You can do "select x,y,x from messages where thread_id = 10445" all day without it breaking a sweat. But try to do something it can't optimize with indexes and it will die.

    My problem was using:

    select * from cal where left(date, 10) = '2003-01-01'

    instead of

    select * from cal where date >= '2003-01-01' and date date_sub('2003-01-01', interval 1 day)

    The first can't use indexes and the second can.

    During these SELECTs, mySQL locks the tables involved, preventing writes from happening. So one slow query on crucial databases can hang the system.

    In the end, I found the problem was pretty easy to work around, but it took forever for me to figure out what it was. Watch out for those date fields!

    D

  54. Most OSS isn't about state of the art by egarland · · Score: 2, Insightful

    > At a conservative estimate, MySQL is 25 years behind the state of the art.

    But state of the art isn't what's important with OSS. OSS is about the commodity market and relational databases *are* a commodity now. True, not all the features you need are in both of these databases and it's easy to come up with a feature list where Oracle looks great. That's not the point. When you need a database for a project odds are one of these two (PostgreSQL or MySQL) will give you what you need. A lot of programmers don't like the idea of learning how to code against these two because they already know Oracle and with that knowledge they can tackle any project. The problem is the guy next to you who knows these two OSS databases can tackle that project for $10K less. Who's more valuable as a programmer? The answer isn't always going to be the OSS programmer but it will more often than not.

    These databases are especially important for commercial applications that need a DB back end. It's one thing to have a $2-$10K db license that you can share among multiple applications but when you are selling a product that relies on a database backend, using an OSS DB can save you the cost of the comercial database hundreds or thousands of times over.

    Ellison will still make money for years to come just like Apple has and Microsoft will. Being relegated to the non-mainstream doesn't mean death, it just means there is a new set of rules. No more rolling in wheelbarrows full of cash by charging big money for commodity software.

    --
    set softtabstop=4 shiftwidth=4 expandtab nocp worlddomination
  55. Hammer vs. Nailgun by Wintermancer · · Score: 2, Informative

    Not to pun, but you've hit the nail on the head.

    When I need to build a house, I'll use a nail gun. Why? Efficiency.

    When I need to hang a picture, I'll use a hammer. Why? Simplicity.

    The Oracle pundits would have you believe that you need a nail gun for all nailing purposes. The realists know that you use the right tool for the job at hand. Buy a nail gun when you need it.

  56. Open Source's Edge: Academia by Vagary · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I attended a presentation yesterday for one of my Master's colleagues. Her thesis topic is implementing a buffer optimising technique in PostgreSQL. She claims that although there is extensive theoretical backing for the algorithm, it has never been implemented.

    Clearly this will be a major boon for PostgreSQL. Why did she choose that as her platform? Because she can't get access to the source of other DBMSs, of course! (Actually her research group has close enough ties to IBM that she probably could have got DB2, but I'd assume that she's also favouring the smaller source size.)

    The best databases of today are commercial, but the best ones of tomorrow will be OS. Just as academia leapfrogged over industry to make Haskell, the really big ideas will appear in OS first.

  57. Ellison must have never used OSS. by c0d3h4x0r · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Most OSS is crap. Sorry, but it's true.

    It's pathetically difficult to install, configure, and use, and it lacks robustness.

    Apache, Ogg Vorbis, The Gimp, and a few other open-source success stories exist. I'm glad that they do exist, because I believe strongly in the principles behind open-source and free software. But it seems that only the relatively small, focused OSS projects end up being successful (due to their minimal management and coordination requirements), whereas anything much larger quickly becomes a chaotic sloppy mess of unneeded technical complexity and poor architecture.

    But the vast majority of OSS is crappy, and the various existing GNU/Linux or BSD systems (even the commercially-developed ones like Red Hat) lack the complete top-down development approach necessary to produce a coherent, easy-to-use system.

    I'm tired of all these "prophets" proclaiming what will or what won't happen. Everyone should shut the hell up and work on what interests them. If you want OSS and free software to succeed, quit talking about it and start working on the things it so badly needs (ease of installation, ease of use, standardizard user interface, more robustness, more hardware support). If you work on things with conviction, you'll make your desired outcome happen, and then you won't have to waste your time prophetizing.

    And no, this is not a troll. This is an objective and genuine opinion, and I stand by it. Feel free to disagree with me or reply with disgust or hatred, but don't be an immature jackass and moderate the post as a "Troll" just because you disagree.

    --
    Moderator hint: a comment is neither "Flamebait" nor "Troll" if it is true.
  58. Re:Openoffice by TheNetAvenger · · Score: 2, Insightful

    And that link was 5 years old? Wow, you are up on the technology....

    Word has (and was the first document technology) to have font embedding of Truetype fonts to ensure the document does not have formatting or font inconsistencies.

  59. Re:you migh have better luck by realdpk · · Score: 4, Funny

    I'd probably stop thinking of girlfriends as sexual partners if they'd stop getting so damned jealous when I fuck their best friends.

  60. Wait 'til Oracle users are switching to Postgres! by aquarian · · Score: 2, Funny

    I bet ol' Larry will change his tune then!