President Bush To Call For Return To Moon?
Brian Stretch writes " According to the National Review: 'When President Bush delivers a speech recognizing the centenary of heavier-than-air-powered flight December 17, it is expected that he will proffer a bold vision of renewed space flight, with at its center a return to the moon, perhaps even establishment of a permanent presence there. If he does, it will mean that he has decided the United States should once again become a space-faring nation.' Here's hoping. The article also includes talk of nuclear engines and using the moon as a testbed for going to Mars."
A moon base would be so much better than the ISS.
The article says nothing about the method, the cheapest way (just off the top of my head) would be to update the Saturn 5, but (I think) the best solution would be to leverage a Space Station (one in the "right" orbit) and use that as a way station. That way you could reuse a moon obiter lander repeatedly.
The grass is only greener, if you don't take care of your own lawn.
Finally, an opportunity to live somewhere that doesn't suck... not yet anyway...
Bush Phones Home
Must ... cover ... up ... economy problems ... iraq problems ... re-election soon ...
Earlier this year, the Space Exploration Act of 2003 was introduced into congress. It laid out a long-term, logical, realistic timeline for space exploration in a schedule that called for manufacturing facilities at the lagrange points and establishing permanent research bases on the moon and mars within 20 years. It was designed with an eye to what could best further the understanding and goals of science, and described oversight procedures to ensure that NASA actually kept to its schedule. It was about everything you could ask of a proposed revamping of the space program. The bill got almost no attention in the mainstream press, it was referred to a house subcommittee on 9/16/2003, and that was the last that was heard of it. I don't know if that means it's still alive or not, but either way, it's chances don't look good now.
Maybe I'm just being pessimistic, but I suspect that by the time we actually figure out what this new plan is, it will turn out to be utterly unambitious, re-doing what we've already done (um.. let's go to the moon! yeah!) for the sole sake that we feel like we have to one-up the Chinese. I hope I'm wrong, but this appears it is going to be politics driving science, not the other way around, and I question its usefulness if it is going to be implemented in the same closed and uninclusive manner it's being planned.
I mean, the direction of these plans look like they're being guided directly by NASA. I want to say that's a good thing. But NASA lately has shown a distinct lack of vision. NASA as of late has almost been more about lip service than anything-- being able to say, "Yup! We can get into low earth orbit!" or "We've got a space station!", but then not not actually caring what interesting or forward-looking things we can do as a result. This leads me to worry that if NASA is deciding what we do next, it will be the same sort of lip service-- just going to the moon for the sake of going to the moon, and not exploring what revolutionary or groundbreaking things that we could do in the process.
On the other hand, this looks like it would involve an increase in NASA's budget. I've heard it charged the problem with NASA's lack of ambition of late is not the leadership, but just that they don't have enough money to do anything more than the bare minimum. An increase in funds might mean they would have breathing room to do great things again. And most of NASA's such problems-- the aimless floundering that's characterized the attempts to replace the Shuttle, for example-- have been due to a lack of direction. A clear set of direction and goals, any of them, no matter now small, could once again cause NASA to streamline and orient itself toward getting positive work done. Bush's plan would very likely provide that sort of orientation.
Anyway, I just don't know what to think here. Am I being too pessimistic?
There will never be a permanent settlement on the moon. It's pretty well known by now that there is not enough water there to sustain any kind of colony of any sort (that ice cap turned out to be way too thin).
1. There are weapons of mass destruction on the moon.
2. Saddam or Osama, or both, may be hiding in a moon crater.
3. The moon is made of oil.
4. Don't want those pinko commie Chinese taking over our moon.
5. Because the Mooninites are really funny and he wants to meet them.
We always knew Bush was looney... now he's just plain lunar.
Oh jesus. And how about some bread and circuses?
The opinions stated herein do not necessarily represent those of anybody at all. Deal with it.
Bush's government doesn't have the money to pay for his military enterprises.
It lacks the money to provide for basic infrastructure.
At a time when commercial space flight is being touted as the most logical course, Bush is now saying that he wants to send people back to the moon?
I'm all for the new frontier. It would be great if people were inspired about space again. But Bush does not deserve to be the one to get us there. He couldn't even manage the Houston Astros.
...is now really the right time to be doing this? There's a lot going on in the US right now (Iraq war, etc.) in the middle of a recession, and going to the moon just doesn't seem like the greatest idea for us right now.
I meta-mod all positive moderation Unfair, because it's abuse of the system.
If Dubby does push for us to get serious about space travel again it would be the fist time I ever agreed with him on something. :p
Only in a Slashdot fantasy can a Slackware install turn into several hours of sex . . . . .
Do we have the money to fund this?
We need to do it but I don't know if we can afford it.
While I love the idea and think it'd be a great thing to do, I feel that it'd also be pretty much financially impossible to make happen as things stand right now. Going to the moon would cost billions upon billions of dollars when the government's already running a half-trillion dollars a year in the hole. This time, there isn't the pressing urge for dominance and brass-balls bragging rights that there was during the peak of the cold war, and without such a rivalry, I doubt the motivation exists within government to find funding for a project this massive in scope.
Going to Mars seems to be a popular idea. Before we try establishing a permanent base on Mars, even unmanned, I think we need to prove ourselves by going back to the moon AND staying there. I.e., establish a moon base, even a small one.
Obviously the moon is much closer. More importantly, we don't need to worry about the synchronization of our orbits. The moon is always roughly the same distance away from us no matter what day of the year it is. This makes it a much easier target to hit than Mars no matter what time it is.
24 beers in a case, 24 hours in a day. Coincidence? I think not!
You know, the tinfoil hatters who will now claim that we never landed on the moon and this is an attempt by Bush to steal the next election and distract us from Iraq.
IF Bush makes this statement during his speech, I will be completely in shock. As much as I dislike Bush, I think the United States definetely needs to reestablish a space presense, and on the moon, that would be great. The ISS is turning up to be more hype than anything else, anything more established.
By creating a real, strong, presence on the moon, we would research and develop much more technology, at a more distinguishable rate, and the rewards would be plentiful enough based on the technology that develops from increased space expenditure. Even if the moon is completely dead, and there are no resources, and no valuable information for us to gather on it, I think we would still come out ahead in this situation.
YOU'RE WINNER !
Another lame blog
That's the best idea I've ever heard! Lets rocket Bush to the Moon! ;)
Coincidentally, I just rented a couple of the Space 1999 DVDs from Netflix and all I can say is this is a bad idea. Magnetic fields will hurt the lunarnauts' brains and make them attack the other colonists!
And need I mention the Terrible Space Secret? I think not...
I will say Space 1999 had the coolest looking ships of any series. They actually seemed to be well designed and functional.
Didn't Slashdot say Bush was going to announce Project Prometheus(go to Mars) in his last State of the Union? I think I'll just wait and see what he actually says in his speach before I get too excited.
Jesus saves souls and redeems them for valuable cash prizes
It is time to liberate the people of the moon!
If all this should have a reason, we would be the last to know.
Bush has done everything he can to give the U.S. a massive $6E12 deficit, and now he calls for this?
He knows there is no way the congress can, or would, appropriate the money for this, given the deficit, so he's just blowin' smoke for PR (read: election) purposes.
Sorry, George. Ain't fooled.
"Don't blame the log for the fire." --Andrew Ratshin
I love the idea of expanding space exploration, and it has a good chance of bi-partisan support, but with the already grossly engorged nation budget, how in the hell are we going to fund something like this? Just plunge deeper into debt? Furthermore, I haven't seen much to address the management issues at NASA being done...this could wind up going very, very wrong.
hmm. smells like re-election politics to me. "keep me in office, and I will return us to the moon within my second regime... er, term as your president..."
Kip Hawley is an idiot.
Bush sure has his priorities straight - conquer the world, first Iraq, then the Moon and then maybe even Cuba. But seriously - can the States afford anything right now that has nothing to do with their social programs? I normally would never question the necessity for the space programs etc., I am all for the further development of science and progress of humans into the space, but I don't see how US can pay for this right now, whith the kind of spendings they have in Iraq....
One thing for sure: if there is any life on the Moon, they better pray that there is no oil there, or they will have to be 'liberated'.
You can't handle the truth.
When I look at his record for the promises he made about things I was in favor of... I'll believe him after he delivers. Even then I'll check to make sure he didn't sabotage the project, so that it will fold immediately after he leaves office.
OTOH, Texas has this big space center, so this might be a way to spread some cash around back home. So it's possible he doesn't have any motives other than the obvious ones. O, and he has this brother who's governor of Florida. They might be in for a cash infusion too. OK. He has "legitimate" reasons. But the first paragraph stands. (He's so far welched on most of the promises that I thought important.)
I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
He's just figuring we might find WMD there.
why do we *need* to do it, at least at this point in time? Would we necessarily learn more about the moon , or anything else than we already do?
I understand getting the space shuttle program back on track, because tonnes of experiments carried out in zero (or near zero) gravity has substantial implications for us here on earth. Perhaps the first landing on moon was a test of technology (and the "human spirit" bullshit), but what good is it going to do to go to the moon again? It's not ever going to support life, nor
is there any real chance of "mining" the moon once we've wasted all resources here on earth.
The law of excluded middle : Either I'm foo or I'm foobar
I think our country getting active in space exploration again is a great idea. HOWEVER -- Is it just my paranoia, or does this seem like one of many diversionary tactics of the current administration, designed solely to pull public attention away from the fact(s) that:
(1) bin Laden ('Old Salami BinBox' to me and some of my friends) is still at large.
(2) No matter how much spin has been put on it, the Iraqi war never had any solid justification that I can see. And Hussein ('Saddened HoseHead') is still at large as well.
(3) Our economy is still a shambles.
(4) The 'YOU-CAN-SPAM' bill is all but signed into law, thus (very possibly) bringing about the end of viable E-mail as we know it.
(5) The RIAA and MPAA continue to run roughshod over fair use rights.
I could go on, but I think we all get the idea. This is an election year coming up. The Shrub will pull out anything he or his advisors can think of to try and get himself reelected, and I really think that this is just one example.
Mod this down if you want. Heck, label it "Flamebait" if you want. I don't pretend to have even a hint of one answer, let alone all of them, but it certainly seems to me like there are other more pressing problems that need dealing with than making another trip to one very dead and airless rock.
Bruce Lane, KC7GR,
Blue Feather Technologies
Nothing but more lunacy from the Bush administration.
The cheapest way with current technology might well be to use Russian rockets. 'Course that puts a big ding in the presidential pride, right? A bit like the way the last series of American rockets using Russian engines only worse.
:v)
International organisations such as The Artemis Society know a lot more about this kind of thing than you realise. I work for TransOrbital, so I know what I'm on about. I speak here in an unofficial capacity, by the way.
Resurrecting Saturn V won't work. The teams are disbanded or dead of old age, the buildings re-used, the launchpads were demolished for the shuttles, and they don't make the tools to make the bits anymore.
Personally, I'd be a lot happier if it was an international effort. That way when the US Government gets cold feet again, or is unable to meet its end of the bargain again, the mission will continue and mankind as a whole gets something out of it.
Vik
Has this guy got a clue about budgets?
v e.com/4239a600.jpg)
Sorry, I'm sure to get modded as a troll for this, and I'm jazzed about our space programs getting money they need, but I'm also more terrified of the condition this country is going to be in under Dubya's rule.
I mean, if you haven't seen this chart, check out:
Bush's Budget Deficit (Google cache, an original is at http://dean-justinspoliticaljournal.cafeprogressi
$87 billion for Iraq, tax cuts aplenty, and now he wants space ships too? Oy.
In the Portland, Ore area and like card games? Check out: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/portlandgames/
What do you mean, "this time"? We really went there last time, you know. Or are you one of those "Capricorn One" clowns?
If all this should have a reason, we would be the last to know.
Where does that figure come from? US government programs are horribly inefficient. Like Corn ethanol that midwestern farmers insist is the next big thing... most of the money goes to ADM. For every $1 in revenue ADM has related to corn ethanol, the US gov't spends $30. It would be far cheaper to just pay the corn farmers to pick their pud than to pretend corn ethanol will ever be useful.
Anyhow, tax cuts are just as good for an economy as gov't spending. That tax cut money goes somewhere, maybe it goes into a bank account and the bank can lend the money out for someone to buy a house. Maybe it buys a yacht. Maybe it buys something else. That's better than being in the gov't coffers and ending up paying for a study on some senator's pet project with little or no redeemingvalue.
Do you even lift?
These aren't the 'roids you're looking for.
He'll have to do more than say "let's go back" before I call his plan bold. Okay, so he might mention the idea of establishing a permanent Lunar base and of going to Mars. As the article said, his father already did that:
I'd like to see this Lunar base and Martian mission. But I don't have high hopes that it will be any time soon. And I don't believe that Dubya will have anything to do with it.
Right up until the Bush administration, I would have been the biggest cheerleader in the world. But this is coming from the guy who is running a single-year budget deficit of five hundred billion dollars, $500,000,000,000.00
I cringe at the thought of adding another couple of hundred billion to that particular pile.
This is a budget deficit. It matters. It will hurt.
Now, where did I put my deed and lunar map...
Hopeuflly, Bush will try to unleash and provide a framework for America's creative genius. The big company / NASA / politics aproach is not working. The consolidate aero companies are currently wracked with scandal, though it's hard to think of ways to provide nuclear propulsion without heavy industry. The Wright Brothers were bicycle makers, but they beat out the whole world with it's huge companies, landed aristocrats and tyrants. We did it 100 years ago and many people are working to do it again today with cheap manned space flight. I don't know how Bush can encourage that kind of effort, but I know that it can and must be done. We shall see what Bush has to offer on the 100th aniversery of heavier than air flight. Simply paying attention to that day is a very good sign.
This is way better talk than the defeatist nonsense heard just a few years ago about ignoring the infinite resources waiting for us in space. Pro nuclear, pro space, great stuff.
Friends don't help friends install M$ junk.
Until Bush grants NASA a good chunk of cash (35 - 45 billion sounds about right) and somehow passes a law preventing the next administration from rolling back the grant, I won't be convinced. What if he just spouts rhetoric, then never funds it fully (remember fuel cell cars in the state of the union)? It's just a load of hyperbole until that time.
NASA needs to *know* that the cash will be available to fund crazy stuff, stuff that's way out there. We'll have to rebuild/repair quite a bit, launch facilities, bigger rockets, a massive hiring spree (NASA's hemorrhaged quite a few talented people in the last decade).
If this is for real, perhaps I'll switch my major (from cs, of course) to someone more related to space....
I don't really want to burst anybody's bubble here, but it ain't gonna happen.
We are not living the same political age as when Jack sent us to the moon, nor is Bush in the same position of political power that Jack was when he sent us to the moon.
Bush can say anything he wants, but it's going to go through the same political process as anything else he suggests at the moment.
Need I point out that his stock is a bit low at thet moment and this looks like an obvious ploy to to parlay patriotism into personal support?
The problem being that in 1957 we were blindsided by an outside "enemy" nation and clamored to regain a feeling of national supremecy.
Bush has blindsided himself.
This rocket ain't gonna fly.
KFG
Just think for a second . . .
.) remain neglected.
.
We have just given a major tax break.
We have gotten into a "perpetual" war, with no end in site (LAST month was the bloodiest for us . . . exactly WHEN did major combat end!?). We have already committed $83 BILLION dollars, and we will have to commit more.
Domestic problems (healthcare, SS, etc . .
Our surplus budget has become a major deficit.
I have always thought space expoloration to be the most nobel activity any nation could invest in, but is this REALITY, folks? Seems to me that this is more about distracting us from the HUGE problems that exist, than anything else.
I thought the idea was to either go commericial or international with space exploration . . . I think our relationships with some MAJOR space fairing nations are still weak as a result of our unilateral military adventures, so I doubt we could do this internationally . .
So we are going to fight an expensive and costly war (this is starting to look more and more like Vietnam, thought I am too young to know that for certain), give MAJOR tax breaks, AND return to the moon.
Come on . . . some ideas are ambitious and some things are just political agendas to get you looking the other way.
Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
We can't allow any possibility of radiation leaking into space.
Won't somebody please think of the children?!
Look, the U.S. needs to go to the moon starting tomorrow the way it needed to go pulverize Iraq on March 19. There's no hurry. In fact, a little bit of deliberation will make the U.S. a better space explorer, just as a little bit of patience might have made Bush a hero in Iraq instead of the biggest goof in world politics since Napoleon.
The United States budget will run almost a half trillion dollars in debt this year. Now, some of my fondest memories are of playing sick to watch moon landings in grade school, but I'd much rather spend money on educating kids and college students today who can do space exploration right ten and twenty years from now -- if we've dug out of the financial mess we're wallowing in now.
So no symbolic Republican missions to reproduce 1969 on the moon, thank you. If you're an American and want nonsymbolic space exploration in your lifetime, work to defeat George W. Bush and elect a president who will restore fiscal sanity to the United States. If we're lucky, the president after that, or the president after that, will have a chance to send human beings somewhere useful.
While the National Review article might be news to most Slashdotters, this is not news for those who have been following the ongoing space policy review by the Bush Administration. In late October SpaceRef.com first reported that a likely outcome of the policy review would be a call for resuming human flights to the Moon, with a Presidential statement on the issue coming as early as the Wright Brothers centennial speech at Kitty Hawk. On Monday SpaceRef.com followed up that original report with a new one, stating that "the return to the Moon by U.S. astronauts possibly by the end of the next decade" had become the "default" position of those planning the new policy. The National Review article doesn't add anything these two SpaceRef reports already provided.
There is no guarantee, though, that these reports are accurate. On Sunday the Orlando Sentinel reported (alternate link) that any new national space policy would differ little from current plans. This report was based on an analysis of internal NASA documents obtained by the newspaper along with interviews with those in the know. This report is actually not necessarily contradictory with the new SpaceRef report: if you're not planning to send people back to the Moon until the end of the next decade, there's little you need to do differently in the near term.
If you're curious about the current interest (or obsession) some have with crafting a new "vision" for NASA, I recommend the articles "The vision thing" and "Vision revision" at The Space Review. (Disclaimer: I'm the author. :-) This should give you an idea that while many in Washington believe there needs to be a new national space policy or vision, there is little consensus about what that should be. Thus, don't expect any major changes soon.
So, what rocket can be used instead?
Probably one that is launched from space, possibly the ISS. In the past there has been talk about a space launch platform in orbit. It is potentially much cheaper and easier to go from Earth to orbit to the moon than straight from Earth to the moon. Of course, this depends on us developing better propulsion systems.
The basic idea is that we can use existing technology to get into orbit, then have a new spacecraft that does not need to be able to enter the atmosphere and land -- it only "flies" in space. This allows extreme flexibility in design and mission capability since it doesn't need wings, those pesky tiles, huge engines, etc.
24 beers in a case, 24 hours in a day. Coincidence? I think not!
Q: Which of the states are most closely associated with the space industry?
A: Texas (Houston, home of NASA) and Florida (site of the Kennedy Space Centre).
Q: Which of the states are most closely associated with the Bush family?
A: Texas (where George W. was Governor) and Florida (where Jeb Bush is Governor).
Wow. What an amazing coincidence!
Now Texas is a republican stronghold and real Bush country. So sending a few billion dollars Texas's way is a great way of saying thank you to the folks back home.
On the other hand, Florida is up for grabs. Remember, when the Supreme Court stopped the recount process after the last Presidential election, Al Gore was slightly ahead, and looked like he would have won the Florida vote. Of course, it wouldn't have been so close if all thousands of black voters (90 percent of whom voted for Gore) hadn't been illegally stripped of their votes by wrongly being labelled convicted felons, if the butterfly ballots hadn't have been used (at Pat Buchanon admitted himself, those Jewish voters weren't voting for him), if those chads hadn't been such an issue and if the Republicans hadn't got away with having hundreds of overseas ballots that were clearly not properly filled in time and/or authenticated count in their favour.
Either way, even if you say that Bush was the legitimate winner (which, as I illustrated is a highly contentious point), you have to concede that the Florida voting process was far from perfect and that the state is a key battleground for next year's election.
So, given that Florida's where the war was won/lost(/stolen) last time around, it's doesn't hurt Bush 2004 if Florida's got a big reason to feel good about the current administration.
It's a bit like the illegal steel import tarriffs. The Bush administration knew that they were illegal, the knew that eventually they would be forced by the WTO to abolish them or face severe consequences, but they did their job. While the tarriffs were in place, US steel manufacturers got a nice boost, despite being inefficient compared to their global counterparts, and lots of people in the steel industry had a good reason to vote Republican rather than Democrat when they last went to the ballot box.
Yep, if you want something in business or politics there's nothing like an old-fashioned bribe to grease the wheels and open the doors.
"Accept that some days you are the pigeon, and some days you are the statue." - David Brent, Wernham Hogg
I'm going to be completely pessimistic here, and say that it won't happen.
We have no confirmation that Bush will announce any such plan, and while republicans love to spend money, especially on handouts for big business, this one may be a bit steep.
Additionally, should he announce this, NASA is in no shape to accomplish it. The agency is bloated, outmoded, and far to political. It's long since ceased to be a research and engineering agency, and is now a political animal, intent purely on justifying its budget to congress. It may still be capable of science, but only for political end, and no longer seems able to do science for science's sake.
The only hope, strangely, comes from the military. The recent JSF development program proved that project can still be done with efficiency and transparency, and any hope for space must rest on the same idea (and, if possible, the same team). Both Boeing and Lockheed-Martin both worked with the JSF Development committee, so it wouldn't be a radical change for them. It would be the end of NASA, though the name might survive.
I can see no other way to accomplishing this. Any furtherance of NASA as the entity it is today is doomed to bog down in a hell of bloated management and endless waste. I doubt such radical steps will be taken though, and I must therefore pronounce any American moon mission doomed.
Sorry.
This is all about the militarization of space. You can read their plans from the new american century website.
r ic asDefenses.pdf
i nc iples.htm
Quote: To increase their
effectiveness,
ground-based
interceptors like the
Armys Theater
High-Altitude Area
Defense System
must be networked
to space-based
systems. pg. 64
as will be discussed below, space dominance
may become so essential to the preservation
of American military preeminence that it
may require a separate service.
http://www.newamericancentury.org/RebuildingAme
If you've never heard of the NAC website, it's a think tank with all the leading NeoCons behind it. Dick Cheney, Paul Wolfowitz, Richard Perle, Donald Rumsfield...etc..
http://www.newamericancentury.org/statementofpr
The PDF was 2000 and if you read it, is become American policy.
If I remember correctly the original 60's moon missions made money. Yep, they were "cash positive". Not directly of course, but all of the spin off technology added more to the economy than the taxes it took to pay for it.
Perhaps it would have been a better investment to take that money and put it in the stock market. I don't have those numbers, and even if it was, who cares? It was a wonderful program because it advanced basic science, created high paying jobs, gave us something positive to look forward to, and "grew" the economy. For a government program, it was a hat trick and then some.
I have no idea if a modern moon or mars program could do that again, but wouldn't it be worth trying? Even if it only broke even economically, wouldn't we be ahead in science and national pride?
Personally I'd like to see more private investment in space, but I think that there is going to have to be a core of federal money to get the ball rolling.
- doug
The Russians are experts at getting and staying in Low Earth Attitude. I might be wrong, but I don't believe that they ever even tested a large booter like the Saturn 5.
Well, they did test one, it just blew up on the launch pad.
Here's an interesting chart that plots approval ratings for many recent Presidents (Clinton, Reagan, Carter...). I don't know how accurate it is, but it is nice to have some visualization.
They tested their moon rocket, the N-1, several times in the 60s and early 70s. Each one blew up, mostly due a combination of bad luck, design bureau infighting, and a design that used 30 engines on the first stage alone. (What are the odds of no problems with that?)
They had better luck in the 80s with the "Energia" core booster for their space shuttle clone, the Buran. It was designed so that it could be launched without the heavy shuttle and with extra booster units to achieve very impressive payloads. It successfully launched their shuttle for one unmanned orbital flight, but IIRC the project was canceled after that.
The moon mas plenty of resources, such as it's LACK of atmosphere. Do you think in any way the air on earth, or it's magnetic field, or it's clounds or airplanes or radio waves bouncing around inside it make it easy to use radio telescopes and such? The moon has little to none of that interference. Much less than low earth orbit, even. Solar power collection? 24-hour free solar energy beamed to earth? Yea, the moon is SO overrated.
And if you think that they're going to cancel space flights and deny someone taking off to return from the moon then you must be trolling. Let's leave them up there to definetly fir as opposed to taking the chance they might survive...good call.
The reason we don't go there now for cheap is we haven't done it in 30 years. Think about 30 years ago: big bulky unefficient cars, clunky appliences, computers the size of your house.
I'd say we're about ready for another wack at it.
CAn'T CompreHend SARcaSm?
Short term, you're right, there's no resources that one would want to go to the moon for. Long term, you can chemically extract oxygen and water from lunar rock. Since the moon has 1/6th the gravity of Earth, it becomes a very nice fueling station for longer trips to places where you will find those resources that are worth going into space for. The moon is simply a stepping stone, not an end.
common sense: noun
What those who are ignorant of the subject matter think; usually wrong.
There are some scientists etc, that say that a lot of asteroids deposited OIL to earth, because there are a lot of the major hydrocarbons in the rocks. Now also they have found a lot of oil is real real deep down in the earth near where large asteroid impacts have been found to be after disecting the earth with satelites/remote sensing. I doubt a lot of the oil thats real deep down got there by plants if those rocks themselves have been underground for billions of years. If those rocks never saw the surfaces then how did the oil get there?
l t h/ asteroid_oil_991213.htmlr chives/001857.php
So im not saying its the reason for going there, but imagine if deep test drilling did reveal 'solid' oil or oil mixed in the rock in the form of lots of hydrocarbons.
read some of these
http://earthsci.org/newsop/opinion/asteroid.htm
http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/planetear
http://unxmaal.com/mt/a
interesting though it is.
Liberty freedom are no1, not dicks in suits.
Woah, stop with the conspiracy theories. This actually all came about as a result of a coordinated effort by one particular blog. They decided to create the "Miserable Failure Project" and asked for their readers to stick in a link to this page to establish a link between Dubya and the term "miserable failure", which has worked out exactly as they hoped. There is more info at that link if you're interested in the juicy details.
The crack about Congressional Democrats would likely challenge a presidential declaration that the sky is blue.
In the interest of equal time I'd like to point out any such declaration would likely contain amendments authorizing Ashcroft to eat babies of suspected terrorists, promoting Justice Scalia to Pope of the One True Faith, and paying Halliburton $1 billion to stripmine Yellowstone and sell the tailings as a food additive.
Just type in "weapons of mass destruction" and hit "im feeling lucky", a windows error screen pops up with a few funny Bush bashing statements.
If the dollar is an "I owe you nothing", then the Euro is a "Who owes you nothing." - Doug Casey
I didn't know Halliburton built space rockets.
Besides, NASA is too incompetent to bring this off. They haven't been able to build a new launch vehicle in over thirty years. But they've spent more money trying than they spent on Apollo.
NASA has been described as "the world's largest sheltered workshop". For good reasons.
I think the best for everyone would be, if Bush announced that all barriers currently hindering private firms in their attempts to launch their vehicles into space (mainly licensing and other bureaucratic nonsense) would be immediately abolished.
Of course, he won't do that. Any government's worst nightmare is about people flying around the space freely, out of their control. After all, the colonization of North America occured due to high taxes (and their consequences) in Europe. Nowadays, the taxes are much higher than then, so there is even more incentive to flee from them. Travelling in space may be dangerous, but at the current level of technology, it is probably not more dangerous, than going from Europe to America on a ship was in the 17th century.
Bush didn't steal the election, for Christ's sake, the Supreme Court did. As was befitting the fact that elections are not fucking football games the Florida Supreme Court happilly ignored both Bush and Gore and did what they felt would satisfy them that the law was being upheld. Sadly, the Supreme Court was under the impression that elections are fucking football games in which it is the responsibility of the candidate to fight his side and tough shit for the voters if he doesn't.
Since then, of course, the numbers of conservatives in the country have exploded (I think we're down to 20-something% willing to call themselves "liberal" now) resulting in the 2002 election, and the Democratic party has splintered into Clinton vs. DLC vs. Dean vs. confused conservatives (as much to blame for 2k2 as anything else) while the Republicans have transformed into fucking Voltron or something under DeLay, crushing their enemies and seeing them driven before them to the lamenting of their women.
Ultimately, though, I think that'll be what fucks the Republicans. They aren't made for unity. It burns up all the talk-radio power just holding them together at this point. Sometime soon, sooner if Bush loses, maybe 6 months later if he doesn't, the Christan/neocons are going to have to break with the normal Republicans. Sadly, I think the real Republicans are going to get the shit end of that deal. I just hope somebody's around to slow down the flying monkeys once they shed all those damn rational people that've been holding them down.
Am I the only one who thinks that going to the moon at this point in history is not a good investment? For our current state of technology and economy, it is simply an unsustainable endeavor. We're still using chemical rockets for propulsion, and haven't even perfected nuclear fusion yet, forchrysakes.
Yeah, we can get there, but just think for moment how much cost and effort setting up and maintaining a permanent moonbase will cost us. You thought it was expensive to resupply the ISS, well how many bank-breaking rocket trips per year will it take to support a few people living on the moon, much less Mars?
Wouldn't a wiser investment be to put that space exploration money into fusion research, and the superconducting supercollider, and whatever other "high science" research projects are waiting in the wings or are just a glint in a Caltech professor's eye? How about we first devise a more workable propulsion system and more efficient and transportable energy source, things that also have the fringe benefit of being applicable on Earth, before we spend umpty-five-gazillion on going back to the moon?
Flying is easy, just throw yourself at the ground and miss. -Douglas Adams
actualy the washington post found that Bush would have won.
I am the Alpha and the Omega-3
The Florida SC invented election laws out of thin air that directly contradicted what was on the books. You can make a decent argument that SCOTUS shouldn't have interfered since it was a state matter, but don't hold the Florida judges up as paragons of integrity.
Sometime soon, sooner if Bush loses, maybe 6 months later if he doesn't, the Christan/neocons are going to have to break with the normal Republicans. Sadly, I think the real Republicans are going to get the shit end of that deal.
Yeah, there's a lot of us "South Park Republicans" who aren't happy with lots of Bush's policies, like huge spending increases, blatant pandering with steel tariffs, and corporate welfare in the energy bill. But as long as all the Democrats have to offer is "Bush is a Nazi", they're going to continue to get their asses kicked.
How to solve most of our problems: 1.Lots of nuclear plants. 2.Cure aging.
The Denver Post (or maybe the Rocky Mountain News, I forgot which...read both of them) reported that Bush would have won a partial recount, but Gore would have won a full recount.
Although, it was so close there was gonna be doubt either way.
Twenties Retirement
In John McCain's words, Bush is spending like a drunken sailor.
Conservatives are against runaway spending on principle, and because they figure libs won't give them any credit even if they do spend:
Federal spending soars under Bush's watch
According to one recent analysis, the government now spends $20,000 a year for every household in America, the most since World War II
Notice this isn't just on defense and homeland security (you know, the common defense that the Constitution actually calls for), but also for entitlements.
I'm still looking for AmeriCorps, the Boys and Girls Club, or job training expenditures mentioned in the Constitution.
Anyway, Bush is spending a lot. Why bother? He's being attacked by both sides. He might as well cut cut cut.
Slashdot "libertarians": Small government for me, big government for those I disagree with. -1, I disagree with you
The old fashioned way...
Yeah, I was thinking about a large sling shot too. I mean, Wile E. Coyote used several of them and they worked just find. Not counting the several times he maimed himself, but I'm thinking all the bugs should be worked out.
Think about it...
Note, IANAALS (I am not an acme labs salesman)
"You should always go to other people's funerals; otherwise, they won't come to yours." -- Yogi Berra
At the dawn of the 15th century, China ruled the seas. An armada of Chinese ships explored Japan, Tiawan, and the islands of the Pacific. Turning west, they reached Arabia and sailed all the way to the east coast of Africa. The ships were much larger than anything that had sailed the seas before. The largest were 400 feet long and 150 wide and carried nine masts. They were larger than anything that would be seen in the west for centuries to come. The Chinese fleets were fabulously successful. They carried loads of Chinese silk and porcelain to western ports and returned with all the riches of Africa and Arabia. Between the turn of the century and 1433, the treasure fleets sailed seven times. These expeditions established a vast trade network for China. They also included military conquests that brought a huge amount of land under Chinese control. At the conclusion of the last expedition, the Chinese Empire reached the Persian Gulf. The next expedition might had rounded the horn of Africa. China might have "discovered" and even colonized Europe. The ships held unmatched technology and were easily capable of reaching the Americas. China stood at the brink of dominating the world. But there was no next expedition. Instead, there was a change in political control. The new Ming emperors pulled back the fleets. The treasure ships were allowed to rot or deliberately burned to prevent their use. China turned inward, became insular, abandoned its distant colonies. It would be the Europeans that went on to discover the New World. And Europeans who would reach, and dominate, much of China for centuries to come. In 1969, Neil Armstrong placed his foot in a slightly gritty powder and left the first human mark on the moon. The United States had conducted a series of expeditions into space, using successively more capable craft. The rocket that delivered men to the moon was 363' long, the largest ever made. They were the most technologically advanced devices of their time. Under Democratic leadership, they had reached another world. Seven times, from 1969 to 1972, craft from the United States reached the moon. They were fabulously successful. They delivered a bounty of knowledge, a peaceful explosion of technology, and a focus for the world. America stood at the brink of endless possibilities. Another push might have established colonies, it might have lead to clean and endless energy, it might have... There was no next time.
so now you are smarter than the majority.
According to the Stanford-Binet scale, the average IQ is between 85-110. An 85 IQ is almost retarded (it's actually 75 or less to be considered mentally handicapped) and 110 isn't that brilliant.
So, if the average person is stupid, then half the population is dumber than that. Which means a democracy is lead by a bunch of idiots. I know I am smarter than the majority, and I'd wager you probably are too.
I am not the originally poster, but I had to point out that he is probably smarter than average, and thus the majority.
I know you have heard the saying "What is right isn't always popular, and what is popular isn't always right"
Think about that the next time you decide to defend the majority. I, myself, am always suspicous of them.
ymmv
This is a repost of my comment from earlier today on K5. It would have been nice if the AC had credited me, but I don't mind, because hey, this way it's at Score:5, and it's much higher up chronologically in the discussion than it would have been if I'd posted it.
Anyway, I'm just posting this here now because I want to link to the slashdot story on H.R. 3057, which I would like to suggest you check out.
Irritable, left-wing and possibly humorous bumper stickers and t-shirts
Yeah, there's a lot of us "South Park Republicans" who aren't happy with lots of Bush's policies, like huge spending increases, blatant pandering with steel tariffs, and corporate welfare in the energy bill. But as long as all the Democrats have to offer is "Bush is a Nazi", they're going to continue to get their asses kicked.
Ever see that episode of the Sopranos, where the gambling addict owes money to the mob and can't pay? So they take over his business and run it into the ground, borrowing money they have no intention of repaying, so they can recoup the loss and leave him in the hole. That's what this is like. The deficit has reached a record level and they keep charging more and more extravagant purchases. They even started a war as a corporate welfare project. We have the mob answering the phone.
Yeah, there's a lot of us "South Park Republicans" who aren't happy with lots of Bush's policies, like huge spending increases, blatant pandering with steel tariffs, and corporate welfare in the energy bill. But as long as all the Democrats have to offer is "Bush is a Nazi", they're going to continue to get their asses kicked.
I don't even care if Bush is a Nazi. Did the Nazis overspend this much? He is running this country into the hole and nobody cares! We have been in uncharted territory for a long time. The deficit has never been this high. How are we ever going to pay for all this shit? Doesn't anybody care about the future anymore? Do you need some sort of song and dance to convince you that the country can't survive four more years of looting on this scale?
Howdie,
Has anyone recently tried entering "miserable failure" in Google?
Can you tell me what happens?
Regards,
You don't need to see my
What do you mean, 'not real?'. Next you'll be telling me the Button Moon landing was faked.
And the more accurate usage is not :
"President Bush to Call for Return TO the moon";
its:
"President Bush to Call for Return OF the moon";
Whoever took the moon had better give it back, soon.
We NEED the moon. We need it for the children. This is a war - a war on terror. A war against whoever took the moon.
President Bush has called for a return of the moon - and with good reason!
How else are we going to govern the tides? I've done it by hand, and let me tell you, this "moon" thing they came up with is a lot better. I, for one, will be glad when it's were it belongs - back in the US, and out of the hands of terrorists.
Mod me down and I will become more powerful than you can possibly imagine!
Every president since JFK has promised new directions in the space program, but none has delivered the money. I'll believe GWB when he doubles NASA's budget (and the NSF's, for good measure). The sad thing is how little this would cost us.
In 1965 and 1966, the height of the build-up to Apollo, we spent about one-half of one percent of GDP on NASA - about $4.5billion in a $700B economy. How big would NASA's budget be today if we still spent 0.5% of GDP on it? $70B. What is it, actually? About $12B. NSF gets only a few billion a year for basic research in the physical sciences. We could double both for the cost of about two months worth of Iraq occupation. NASA is a rounding error in the DoD's budget. Unless that changes, grand plans for space are just hot air - ain't gonna make it to orbit.
Show me the money.
For too long, the moon and Mars have been a partnership of evil in today's solar system.
It isn't?
Damn and I was looking to living in an Arco...
Ya know...
It seems to me that there are certain people that would hate Bush even if he figured a way to eliminate 100% of poverty. Not that he will, but my point is that some of the posts I have been reading have the tone that "it doesn't matter what he does, I hate Bush".
I have the unprovable itch that some of these same people who are bashing his as-yet unanounced plans for moonbase 1 would have rooted and cheered if certain other presidents had made this same decision.
I have also seen numerous comments regarding Bushing fouling up the economy. I won't argue whether or not his plans to help the economy will work--that remains to be seen. Ask me again in 4 years, which is about how long it takes for a president's policies take to be felt (sometimes longer). If, even for a moment, you think that something Bush does today will affect the economy tommorrow, you are sadly mistaken.
Let me make this clear: I DON'T support everything Bush does. I don't like the Patriot act, and I certainly don't care for the way he has handled Iraq (if he wants to go around removing dictators, be up front about it, and be consistent). I do think Saddam needed to be removed. Yes I am aware that the US helped him gain power, but that was not GWB's decision (altough it may have been his dad's, which is NOT the same thing at all, no matter what anyone thinks).
I AM however, willing to let him try somthing different. So, what the hey, let's go to the moon. Just one thing. Before you blast Bush for this, think about whether or not you would have supported this idea if Clinton had been pushing it. If so, then don't rant and rave about how evil Bush is. Not that I expect everyone will be honest about this, but come on, give it a shot.
Now, having defended Bush, even a little bit, I am ready for the flame war. I expect that I have offended a good number of you, and that's okay--I expect to. But let's make one thing clear--I am not trolling, and this is not flame bait. I want to hear honest and considered opinions.
"We don't know what we are doing, but we are doing it very carefully,..." Wherry, R.J. Personnel Psychology (1995)
White House Shelved 44 Trillion Deficit Report?
By Peronet Despeignes of the Financial Times
May 30, 2003, 10:21
Thursday 29 May 2003
Study commissioned by O'Neill sees $44 trillion in red ink
The Bush administration has shelved a report commissioned by the Treasury that shows the U.S. currently faces a future of chronic federal budget deficits totaling at least $44 trillion in current U.S. dollars.
The study, the most comprehensive assessment of how the U.S. government is at risk of being overwhelmed by the "baby boom" generation's future healthcare and retirement costs, was commissioned by then-Treasury secretary Paul O'Neill.
But the Bush administration chose to keep the findings out of the annual budget report for fiscal year 2004, published in February, as the White House campaigned for a tax-cut package that critics claim will expand future deficits.
The study asserts that sharp tax increases, massive spending cuts or a painful mix of both are unavoidable if the U.S. is to meet benefit promises to future generations. It estimates that closing the gap would require the equivalent of an immediate and permanent 66 percent across-the-board income tax increase.
The study was being circulated as an independent working paper among Washington think-tanks as President George W. Bush on Wednesday signed into law a 10-year, $350 billion tax-cut package he welcomed as a victory for hard-working Americans and the economy.
The analysis was spearheaded by Kent Smetters, then-Treasury deputy assistant secretary for economic policy, and Jagdessh Gokhale, then a consultant to the Treasury. Mr. Gokhale, now an economist for the Cleveland Federal Reserve, said: "When we were conducting the study, my impression was that it was slated to appear [in the Budget]. At some point, the momentum builds and you think everything is a go, and then the decision came down that we weren't part of the prospective budget."
Mr. O'Neill, who was fired last December, refused to comment.
The study's analysis of future deficits dwarfs previous estimates of the financial challenge facing Washington. It is roughly equivalent to 10 times the publicly held national debt, four years of U.S. economic output or more than 94 percent of all U.S. household assets. Alan Greenspan, Federal Reserve chairman, last week bemoaned what he called Washington's "deafening" silence about the future crunch.
President Bush signed into law a $350 billion tax-cut package on Wednesday saying:' 'We can say loud and clear to the American people: You got more of your own money to spend so that this economy can get a good wind behind it."
The estimates reflect the extent to which the annual deficit, the national debt and other widely reported, backward-looking data are becoming archaic and misleading as measures of the government's solvency. Mr. Smetters, now a University of Pennsylvania finance professor, said tax cuts were only a fraction of the imbalance, and that the bigger problem "is the whole [budget] language we're using."
Laurence Kotlikoff, an expert on long-term budget accounting, alleged in a recent Boston Globe editorial that the Bush administration suppressed the research to ease passage of the tax-cut plan.
An administration official said the study was designed as a thought-piece for internal discussion -- one among many left every year on the cutting-room floor -- and noted the budget's extensive discussion of projected, 75-year Social Security and Medicare shortfalls.
OK, we get it. You hate George Bush. When I click on "Read More..." I had hoped to see discussion about returning to the moon. However, 90% of the posts are off topic (arguably) and redundant (definitely) about politics. The topic was not about the effect on the national budget of going to the moon, or the job Bush is doing in office. How about a compromise where you post on-topic and just end with something like BTWIRRRHGWBFMOVSR (BTW I really really really hate GWB for my own very specific reasons). Or go start your own Demdot ~Politics for Nerds. Democrats that matter. Have a nice day.
President Bush To Call For Return To Moon
I agree, he should really return to the moon ... and stay there for gods sake.
All you touch and all you see is all your life will ever be
The cheapest way with current technology might well be to use Russian rockets. 'Course that puts a big ding in the presidential pride, right? A bit like the way the last series of American rockets using Russian engines only worse.
The successful Atlas V rocket uses a Russian design RD-180 engine. The Russian's have accelled at developing high efficiency Kerosene/Oxygen lower stage engines. Lockheed Martin was smart enough to realise this when they developed the Atlas III/V series. But the key to success of American rockets which, sets them apart from Russia and Europe, is the use of LH2 in the upper stages. The Pratt and Whitney RL-10 engine, the J2, Rocketdyne SSME and RS-68 are all spectacularly successful designs.
Personally, I'd be a lot happier if it was an international effort. That way when the US Government gets cold feet again, or is unable to meet its end of the bargain again, the mission will continue and mankind as a whole gets something out of it.
One has only to look at the International Space Station as an example to see how an "international effort" might work. The U.S. should go it alone and send back TV pictures for the rest of the world.
an ill wind that blows no good
- Hate Bush
- Love space travel
What to do? What to do?Key to financial independence: Spend less than you earn. Save and invest the difference. Do it for a long time.
Puppets or not, Morocco and Algeria were defended by French forces not German. You can google for Operation Torch or read a description on the DTIC site: Joint Power Projection: Operation Torch
Hey! us right wing nuts bash Bush also!
Why, yes, I AM a Pagan Libertarian.
I could have...and think I did make damn near this same speech about Clinton.
Yes, some people hate Bush. Some people hate Clinton. That's okay, get over it.
The idea of going to the moon again and eventually going to Mars and beyond is an idea of value, regardless of who says it.
knock, knock.... does anyone in the class remember what this discussion topic was about?
Going back to the Moon.
The first Moon program, begun by JFK, was an absolute boon to the economy, returning about 7 times to the economy what was spent on the program. Most tech jobs today, and their subsidiary jobs, are a direct spin-off of the Moon program... transistors, plastics, ceramics, biology, medicine, miniturization of computers, software technology (and perhaps Slashdot itself)
If a return to the Moon has the same effect this time as it did last time the gains will create employement for a LOT of people and be a boon to the economy.
However, there is one thing we should do first: move our energy base from Carbon to Hydrogen. A Hydrogen Project similar to the "Manhatten Project", sans the secrecy, should be initiated to complete the necessary research, if it needs completion, and begin the transfer of our power generation and transportation industries. Solar Power Tower II is a very good start. Forward thinking communities could divert resources from dead-end Windmill plans to SPT2 sites and get a better return on their investment.
There is less than two decades of Carbon reserves remaining. We've got to get moving...
Running with Linux for over 20 years!
I'm old enough to remember the Johnson administration, and the phrase "guns and butter" to describe gov't spending back then. You know: guns for the Cold War (and the hot war in Vietnam) and butter for the domestic spending.
It seems today that "compassionate conservatism" is increasing spending, but not for the masses as in days of yore. (That Medicare reform bill that was passed a few weeks ago? The only winner was Big Pharma; it was an early Xmas present to Glaxo et. al.)
So, average Americans get fake benefits from the outrageous spending, while we funnel money into Iraq. (Iraq won't be another Vietnam, by the way. It will be worse: the US now has its own version of the Gaza Strip, only one about the size of California.)
Folks, this is "guns and margarine": real defense spending; tax breaks, patronage, and corporate gifts masquerading as domestic spending; and a lot of red ink that our grandchildren will never be able to mop up.
Don't get excited about the plans for NASA. The only thing you should consider is that somebody is trying to buy you.. with your grandchildren's money.
--- The American Way of Life is not a birthright. Hell, it's not even sustainable.
First he goes to Iraq long enough for a photo op, now he is going thru NATO for military support (something his opponents have said he should have done in the first place), now we have a JFK-esque drive to space.
One good thing about Bush: you can always count on him to distract people while he plunders the USA!
Manipulate the moderator system! Mod someone as "overrated" today.
No doubt, a renewed space program - such as the one envisioned in this article - would be a big boon for my hometown. (Huntsville, Alabama is home to the Marshall Space Flight Center, a major NASA center primarily responsible for the development of propulsion systems and launch vehicles.) However, I really doubt if any of this will happen. President Bush may propose, but the Congress will (quickly) dispose ...
...)
The primary reason? As mentioned in the article, personal relationships between members of Congress and high-level NASA officials are abysmal. There is a feeling (a strong belief) in Congress that NASA has lied to the Congress. There is deep mistrust and suspicion, and these feelings are longstanding. (A lot of this came out during the investigation of the space shuttle Columbia accident.) Also, NASA doesn't have a PAC and is not generally known for contributing to political parties. (Most of the time, when NASA goes up to Capitol Hill, it's with their hand out.) For politicians, (most politicians), the unspoken question is: "OK NASA, what's in this for me?"
As an example of what I'm talking about, consider the following. Going back to the moon (and beyond) will cost a LOT of money - at least in the tens (if not the hundreds) of BILLIONs of dollars. How would Donna's Congressman, Representative Howard Koble, explain a vote for that kind of expenditure to his constituents? I suspect his answer would be "I voted against it." (If there were a major NASA center, or a major NASA contractor, in Donna's district; Representative Koble might vote differently. All politics is local
For the majority of elected public officials, there is no political payoff in supporting the space program. The 1960's (and the race to the moon) was a fluke based totally on geopolitical considerations. My prediction is that this proposal will go nowhere.
With all these cost-cutting measures available, we could have an American moonbase for a quarter the price!
to give credit where's it's do, I'm linking to this.
The above post is taken largely from Bob Zubrin's excelent book Entering Space.
Blaze a trail to the New World
We're currently doing great things in space. This month and next, a flotilla of space craft will approach Mars. These are projects that are objective driven. They cost a minor fraction of what ISS or the space shuttle cost.
What is the mission of ISS? One answer has been that it is a necessary step in going to Mars. However, it does not solve problems of weighlessness during the trip, or address radiation shielding, or food growth or recycling.
Much of the science or technology that can be gained from low Earth orbit is better accomplished with untended platforms. For example, crystal growth, and space telescopes require vibration free environments, in addition to microgravity.
And ISS is expensive. The last estimate I heard was $97e9. For what?
The Space Shuttle is a marvel, but also quite expensive. It's primary unique capability - bringing large things back from space - is mostly unusued. It's pretty heavy lift, but despite reuse, it's more expensive than disposable rockets on a per-pound to orbit, even if you ignore original construction costs.
The main problem with the Shuttle and ISS is that they are goals unto themselves, rather than the means to some end. And, the programs are structured so that it seems to make sense to keep spending to keep the project alive.
I don't want to hear that we're going to create a permanant station on the moon. I want to hear about what we're going to do once we're there.
It seems to me that it should be cheaper to go to an asteroid like Eros than to the moon. Eros has little gravity, so launching from it does not require as much fuel. It still costs $10,000 a pound to get to low Earth orbit. The fuel has to get there somehow.
-- Stephen.