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How Long Do You Want Digital Media To Last?

spamfiltertest writes "CNET asks 'Would you like your digital-storage media to last 20 years, 25 years, 30 years, 35 years or 40 years?' If you're an organization or government agency, the U.S. government and an optical-disc industry group would like you to answer that question in a quick survey. I would think that we would like our data to last forever, but maybe it's just me."

398 comments

  1. I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by garcia · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Would you like your digital-storage media to last 20 years, 25 years, 30 years, 35 years or 40 years?
    If you're an organization or government agency, the U.S. government and an optical-disc industry group would like you to answer that question in a quick survey.


    I work in the records department of a two year tech college. We use document imaging hardware and software to store student files on WORM optical media permanently and then we destroy the physical paper files over time.

    We expect that our digital media will far outlast what we have on other permanent storage mediums, such as microfiche, which go back to 1972. If the "antiquated" microfiche can hold up that long why not our records stored on the digital media?

    We realize that no storage method is 100% foolproof (i.e. you can misfile microfiche, lose physical files, misplace pages, etc) but we have put a lot of faith into the setup we currently have. If time has a negative effect on both the originals and backups we could find ourselves reverting to tried and true methods used in years past.

    It's mildly humorous to me that long term data integrity (i.e. "forever") is never mentioned when companies present you with all the benefits of a digital setup. The benefits of the system are great (such as easy access to student information at various sites without any reproduction necessary, security features, etc) but will our microfiche outlast our digital media? I may never know but currently, based on recent discussions about the degradation of digital media over time, it appears that it may.

    I feel sorry for the poor bastards that would have to go back to storing and reproducing everything to and from microfiche if and when we find out that digital media might not have the necessary longevity we require.

    1. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by blueg3 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Why would you assume digital media is necessarily going to last longer than older media?

      The trend is not for newer storage methods to outlast older ones by any stretch of the imagination.

      Stone inscriptions, stored reasonably well, will last quite a long time. Books printed with appropriate inks and stored well will also last ages. Comparing to those, "antiquated" media like microfiche will be useless much earlier.

      From what I recall, we use newer media forms not because they last longer but because they're more convenient. You can store information much more densely on a DVD than you can on microfiche, which is in turn a more dense storage form than paper, which was a big improvement over marble and clay tablets.

      If you really want longevity you should take your microfiche and cut the words into sheets of gold.

    2. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I haven't read the survey, but I think that the question may be taken out of context here. We all know that digital media last "forever". But sometimes we don't really need data to last that long. While Ill say yes to wanting my Counting Crows CD rip lasting forever, I would not say want my tax, voting, or say IP information stored "forever". If we kept everything forever, we will quickly run out of physcial and digital storage space.

      So, the question is valid to what it is asking. Answering "forever" doesn't really help anyone with this survey.

    3. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by wolenczak · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You can always upgrade/copy/replace your digital media as opposed to regular paper files. Say your DVD's have a life of 20years, well, in 15 years you can copy a bunch DVD's into the new media and keep upgrading constantly.

    4. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by El+Cubano · · Score: 1

      I feel sorry for the poor bastards that would have to go back to storing and reproducing everything to and from microfiche if and when we find out that digital media might not have the necessary longevity we require.

      I feel sorry for our society and culture when I think of how much information and content is now only available digitally. Don't get me wrong, digital is good: it provides quick access, easy searching, etc. However, It is still new technology (especially with the constant advances in material science) and we don't really understand how it will last over the long haul. Look at the recent push to move to acid-free paper for archival of books and journals. I think that for the longhaul, we should continue to archive in tried and true (microfiche is a good example) media.

    5. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by metlin · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I agree.

      For me, I treat digital media like traditional media - particularly books.

      While the digital media maybe flimsy, there is no reasonable reason why the information therein should _not_ survive for more than 40 years.

      At the very least, one can be sure that it would have historical significance. And I'm fairly certain that I would be alive 40+ years from now, which would merit the necessity for me having the media, or atleast the information therein. While the information may eventually become irrelevant, it would at the very least have posterity value.

      Digital information is no different from a library of books - it's just stored digitally. I do expect my books to last as long as possible (hell, books have lasted centuries, if not more). Then why should it be any different for other media?

    6. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by Xopl · · Score: 1

      What if there was a *significant* cosmic x-ray and magnetic event? Would that one-two punch be able to destroy all film and magnetic storage on the planet? Good reason to keep paper copies of things around. Pressed CD/DVD-ROMs should be fine after such an event though, right? How about CD/DVD-WORMs (CD/DVD-R)?

      Maybe the level of x-rays needed to destroy film on the planet would kill all life anyway? Supposedly you can pass developed film through an x-ray machine just fine at the airport?

    7. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      If you really want longevity you should take your microfiche and cut the words into sheets of gold.

      I did, but this Joseph Smith guy dug them up and completely mistranslated them.

    8. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by Jim_Maryland · · Score: 2, Interesting

      well, in 15 years you can copy a bunch DVD's into the new media and keep upgrading constantly.

      This works fine if you are dealing with a fairly limited amount of data but what happens if you are a library, the Census Bureau, or some other agency that may have longer storage requirements. Hopefully the organizations that require massive amounts of data to be stored essentially "forever" have considered the task of migrating from the "current" media to "future" media. I'd hate to be the organization that finds the current system doesn't have a reasonable "export to new system" option availble.

      For home info, I'd like all my purchased video/audio media to last my lifetime. I don't know that all media (do I really need a CD, with patches I downloaded, to last more than a couple weeks or even months?) would need to last a persons lifetime, but having media labelled appropriately would help a user know the expected lifetime of the media and they'd purchase it based on expected needs.

    9. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by Secrity · · Score: 1

      I work in the records department of a two year tech college. We use document imaging hardware and software to store student files on WORM optical media permanently and then we destroy the physical paper files over time.

      We expect that our digital media will far outlast what we have on other permanent storage mediums, such as microfiche, which go back to 1972. If the "antiquated" microfiche can hold up that long why not our records stored on the digital media?


      The Research Libraries Group (RLG) anticipates that properly handled microfilm has a life expectancy of 500+ years. Kodak believes that their CDR's will last for over 200 years, and TDK estimates archival lifespan of it's CDRs to be 70 years. It will be interesting to see if over time if these life expectancies are even close to being realistic. The microfilm people have over 50 years of archival data, optical media companies have maybe 5 years of archival data. My money is on existing optical media to be reliable for archival data storage for less than 20 years. Another factor is that adequate information can frequently be reliably obtained from even moderately physically damaged microfilm. It takes relatively little physical damage to render recordable optical media unusable.

    10. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by qwijibo · · Score: 1

      The problem with digital media is that there is usually a lot more than the data that needs to be stored. We can look at the past as a reasonable approximation of the dangers that need to be considered in the future as it pertains to digital storage.

      The availability of the devices is an important factor. 15 years ago, 5.25" disk drives could be found anywhere. How many people who used them back then could find a drive easily now?

      Also, the programs needed to read those files need to be available. 15 years ago everything was in weird proprietary formats. Nowadays we're not much better off.

      I have disks that are more than 15 years old that I have no idea if I could get the data from anymore. However, I make a point of making copies of important stuff after making sure it's usable every few years when I have free time.

    11. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by sh00z · · Score: 1
      We expect that our digital media will far outlast what we have on other permanent storage mediums, such as microfiche, which go back to 1972. If the "antiquated" microfiche can hold up that long why not our records stored on the digital media?
      The "antiquated" methods really don't hold up that long either. When I was in college in the mid-80's, I had a work-study job at the Graduate Library's preservation office that alternated between searching for books with brittle pages (and sending them off to be microfilmed, after researching and determining that no other major library had done that already ), and inspecting the microfilm for spots of fungus (and sending *those* off for cleaning/duplication). It all felt a bit Sisyphean.

      They seemed able to just about keep pace with the aging of the colleciton by having four of us on the job every semester. I would pray that by now, with PC-based scanning, this Intarweb thingie to help them know what other libraries are up to, and optical digital backup media, that they would have been able to dump the film/fiche, and keep away entropy with just 1-2 students.

    12. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by ChrisLambrou · · Score: 1

      Unlike microfiches, the digital nature of DVD storage means that the archived data can be duplicated onto fresh disks every 15 years or so (with a statistically insignificant loss of data, thanks to the error correction mechanisms). Even though individual DVDs won't last as long as microfiche, it's possible to periodically duplicate the data, and thus archive it indefinitely.

      It basically comes down to a question of cost. I'll bet that the average cost of archiving data on DVDs in this way is far less than keeping the same data on microfiche, over, say 100 years (or until a better/cheaper archiving solution arrives).

      Furthermore, once the microfiches reach the end of their shelf life, however long that might be, the cost of duplicating several filing cabinets full of crumbling microfiches would be much higher than duplicating a few dozen DVDs every decade or so.

    13. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by CreatureComfort · · Score: 3, Insightful


      The difference is that with books, all you will need to read them in 40 years is your mental ability to read, your natural vision, and maybe a set of bifocals.

      In 40 years try to find a way to read your DVD full of MSAccess95 DBs, Word 95 docs, etc. Heck I still have a shoebox full of cassette tapes that (at least used to) have Commodore VIC20 software on them. I've got an 8" floppy-disk that we use as a frisby in the office. None of those have anywhere near the longevity of a book, due to technilogical change, totally seperate from any media degredation. From TFA:

      (One should consider the issues of digital obsolescence and migration - Is 100 years (or 'forever') really practical for typical long-term digital storage strategies? While you may need to preserve data for a particular length of time, is it really necessary to preserve that data on any particular technology or can it be migrated to newer technologies?).

      --
      "Unheard of means only it's undreamed of yet,
      Impossible means not yet done." ~~ Julia Ecklar
    14. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by Synn · · Score: 1

      Optical media doesn't last forever by any stretch of the imagination. Figure your WORM media disks will have a shelf life of 20-30 years.

    15. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by imsabbel · · Score: 1

      you need more power to kill a bit (like in creating a electron/hole cascade or flipping a magnetic domain via particle interaction) than to fuck up a part of our dna.

      If there is an gammaray burst or a supernova near enough to get the bits behind the metal of their enclosured/concrete of the houses,ect, we dont need to worry about data...

      --
      HI O WISE PRINCE. WHT TOOK U SO DAM LONG?
    16. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by Mitijea · · Score: 1

      So what you are saying is - no answer is appropriate for this survey.
      I agree. The longevity needed/wanted is contextual based. Choosing one length of time over another (especially the ones given, which seem arbitrary at best) for a standard does seem pointless. Might as well go with the average length of time the medium physically lasts minus a hefty margin for safety based on the importance of the data. If technology begins to outdate the medium and the data is still important, then propigated it. Oh, wait, that is already what we do... So exactly what is the point of this survey?

    17. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by cayenne8 · · Score: 4, Interesting
      "The difference is that with books, all you will need to read them in 40 years is your mental ability to read, your natural vision, and maybe a set of bifocals....In 40 years try to find a way to read your DVD full of MSAccess95 DBs, Word 95 docs, etc."

      I second that. Even on a more basic note...even if you had the ability to read the content (word 95, msaccess...etc.)..what if you don't have a DVD player to read from? Sound hard to believe? Not really.

      One example I recently read about...during the compilation of the Led Zeppelin DVD and CD sets..they were going through the archives, and found much of the sound of the concerts they were trying to save and reformat, was on old 2" analog tape of some kind. As I understand the story, they had methods of baking the tapes to get them unstuck and playable for transfer, but, they ran into the problem of trying to find a tape player for the media!! They had to look worldwide and had a very difficult time finding one that was functional and high enough in fidelity.

      And c'mon...this for concerts recorded only 30+ years ago in the 70's.

      Stuff recorded on todays DVD standard...well, could possibly be hard in 40 years to find a player backwards compatible enough to read today's media....

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    18. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by kpwoodr · · Score: 1

      >If you really want longevity you should take your microfiche and cut the words into sheets of gold.

      You went a little overboard here, but you were close to the point the line before. Modern media may not have the longevity as "antiquated" methods, but they have a much greater capacity, ie a much larger volume of data can be stored in a reasonably small amount of space. Sure some of the data may degrade, but this has always been the case. For each ancient volume of data that survived, there are countless thousands that were lost. Entire cultures have blinked out of existence, and appear never to have existed because of a lack of surviving data.

      The problem we have is one that dates back to the first written record. How do I make this last forever? Inevitably the answer is we can't, and we get very caught up in this brilliant computer technology and can't grasp the concept that one we will not be here forever, and neither will the data we created.

      --
      This sig has been removed pending an investigation.
    19. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by justins · · Score: 1
      If the "antiquated" microfiche can hold up that long why not our records stored on the digital media?

      I'd be more worried about the longevity of the equipment you use to read that media. Someday soon they'll stop making equipment capable of reading whatever WORM media you are using. What then?
      --
      Now before I get modded down, I be to remind whoever might read this that what I am saying is FACT. - bogaboga
    20. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by BaudKarma · · Score: 1

      If the "antiquated" microfiche can hold up that long why not our records stored on the digital media?

      What do you really worried about the longevity of... the media, or the data on that media? Media that lasts a long time tends to be expensive and inconvenient. Media that is more convenient seems to be a lot more fragile.

      Instead of worrying about the longevity of the media, take advantage of the convenience. Make multiple copies and store them off site. As better storage methods become available, move your information there and increase your redundancy. Something engraved in a stone tablet might last for thousands of years, but it could also disappear tomorrow if disaster strikes. Multiple digital copies of something might not be as secure indvidually, but as a group they almost guarantee that you'll be able to access your information in the future.

      --
      It's the land of the brave, and the home of the free
      Where the less you know, the better off you'll be.
    21. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by otherniceman · · Score: 1

      Your biggest problem (or if you are lucky, your sucessors) is maintaining the hardware to be able to read the WORM media.

      I work in Document Management and have seen problems in the past with Optical drives, mainly with support in newer OS's and hardware; trying to find SCSI cards that work in new machines with old (8 bit) connectors, drivers for modern OS's and also replacement drives.

      I have had great fun in the past when a customers almost new (9 months old) drive failed only to be told that they had stoped making them and could not replace or repair the drive and there was no upgrade path as they had decided after 6 months that the design was a dead end.

      Their only suggestion was to look in the small adds for someone selling an 'old' drive.

      One other to make sure is that the format you are storing them in is an open standard (e.g. TIFF). I could tell you stories of that would give you nightmares about vendor 'lock-in'.

    22. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by Jeremiah+Cornelius · · Score: 3, Funny
      I want my digital media to be waiting for me...

      When I'm extracted from the CryoPod in 3056.

      --
      "Flyin' in just a sweet place,
      Never been known to fail..."
    23. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by MagicMike · · Score: 1

      Hard drive storage, DVD .iso files as format, linux loopback mount to read them. Dish them out over the network.

      This is probably one of the reasons hard drives look more attractive than any optical media, despite the obvious drawback of having things like moving parts and needing power...

    24. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by Nebu · · Score: 1

      Say your DVD's have a life of 20years, well, in 15 years you can copy a bunch DVD's into the new media and keep upgrading constantly.

      But what if I have a collection of DVDs I've gathered over time, and I don't know which ones are brand new and whichs ones are "nearing death"? How do I know which ones I should copy to the new media?
    25. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by KevinKnSC · · Score: 1

      But what do you do in twenty years when you can't find a computer that will boot an operating system capable of reading those files? Or of even having that hard drive plugged in?

    26. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by Soporific · · Score: 1

      You look for an old machine on e-bay. :)

      ~S

    27. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by MagicMike · · Score: 2, Insightful

      VMWare :-)

      Or Bochs or similar. I admit its a little silly, but as long as what you're working on is completely open, i.e. fully understood specs down to the hardware, its completely virtualizable, and you can just package your data up along with all the open source software that reads and runs it, and know that it will be available later

      I will be fully amazed if the chain of necessary virtualizations to recreate an x86 computing environment, implemented in an open source way, capable of running linux ever breaks.

      Obviously this is unprovable at this point, but I think its a safe bet, and I've taken it - its not just conjecture - I've got massive amounts of data, and I use optical media as coasters. Mine lives on multiple raid5 arrays, monitored closely, but online.

    28. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by wolenczak · · Score: 1

      labels? file timestamps? scratches? dust? metainfo? c'mon!

    29. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by Xugumad · · Score: 1

      Yikes. Err, okay, last time I checked, recordable optical media really wasn't so great for longevity. It depends on the dyes used, but if you're just using basic off the shelf CD-Rs, stop, and go find out how long they'll last.

      Googled for articles, and found:

      Care and Handling of CDs and DVDs
      Measures of CD-R Longevity

      The first in particular goes into a lot of detail, and references of lot of articles which may make good further reading.

    30. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by Nebu · · Score: 1

      Label: Sometimes there isn't enough room to place an extra timestamp, sometimes it would just make the label look uglier by putting a timestamp on there.

      File timestamps: If I have a collection of several thousand or tens of thousands of DVD, I'd like to avoid loading them into my computer, one by one, to check the file timestamps. Furthermore, the file timestamps indicate when the file was created on my harddisk, not when the files were burnt to the CD, so this information may very well be useless for determining the age of the DVD itself.

      Scratches: Again, I don't want to actually take tens of thousands of DVDs out of their pouches, one by one, inspecting them for scratches.

      Dust: Since I keep the DVDs in pouches, dust hasn't been an issue for me.

      Metainfo: I don't understand. Metainfo about what? Stored where?

    31. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      I don't think it's going to be nearly as hard to find a DVD player. I regularly run across computing equipment from twenty years ago in all kinds of random places. Twenty years from now, I would expect more of that stuff to be available on the internet.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    32. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is probably one of the reasons hard drives look more attractive than any optical media, despite the obvious drawback of having things like moving parts and needing power...

      I'd like to see someone try to read optical media without power...

    33. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by eric76 · · Score: 1
      want my digital media to be waiting for me...

      When I'm extracted from the CryoPod in 3056.

      May I suggest the Digital Pyramid Project?

      It involves constructing a string of pyramids in the desert in a binary pattern and will last many tens of thousands of years.

      The only downside is the meaning of what is encoded thousands of years in the future.

      Will scientists ever learn the Egyptian meaning of the number 7 (111 base 2)?

    34. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by swv3752 · · Score: 1

      CDROM is over 20 years old (1982 is when first inroduced in EU and NA), yet next gen optical drives (Blu-Ray or HDDVD) will still support it.
      While HDDVD or Blu-ray may notbe around in 20 years I fully expect CD and DVD to still be supported. Some media standrads are much longer laster than others. The ubiquitous nature of CD and DVD is more likely to last much like cassette tape and VHS. You can still buy radios with cassette decks. You can still buy VHS deck some with dvd players.

      --
      Just a Tuna in the Sea of Life
    35. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by swv3752 · · Score: 1

      Old cdr (12x or less media) can be expected to last a long time. I had an old 4x cdr sitting in my car that lasted over 5 years. I have 4x media archives sitting in a cabinet that is over 8 years old. The 48x media is garbage though. It stops being readable in a car in about 6 months. It lasts about 2 years in a cabinet.

      --
      Just a Tuna in the Sea of Life
    36. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      we have put a lot of faith into the setup we currently have.

      I put a lot of faith into my lottery tickets...

    37. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by RzUpAnmsCwrds · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "Stuff recorded on todays DVD standard...well, could possibly be hard in 40 years to find a player backwards compatible enough to read today's media...."

      Unlikely. CDs have been around for almost 25 years, and all proposed next-gen drives (Blue-Ray and HD-DVD) will have CD and DVD compatibility.

      Moreover, people have large collections of DVD movies, which alone will ensure the availability of DVD drives for years to come.

      VHS is 29 years old, and you can still buy players. Heck, even Laserdisc and Betamax players are pretty easy to find if you look on eBay.

    38. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by myowntrueself · · Score: 1

      "Stone inscriptions, stored reasonably well, will last quite a long time."

      And theres good evidence to suggest that heiroglyphics were *intended* to be legible for a long time; the writing system incorporates some amazing redundancy techniques such that its possible to lose lots of paint fragments from a section of wall and still be able to figure out what it originally said from whats left.

      --
      In the free world the media isn't government run; the government is media run.
    39. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by dmarcoot · · Score: 1

      why you raise a good point, i doubt that will happen with DVD or CD media.

      Look at the Atari VCS system. it is almost 30 years old, and if you want one to play your old games, you can get one off ebay right now. CD/DVD players are far more ubiquitous than that Atari ever was. heck they are even putting them in cars.

      i would venture that 80% of general public has at least one device which can read either media.

    40. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by jackb_guppy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      But, I still have my paper tape from Teletype that was hooked up by 110 baud modem to an HP2000F!

      I can use a flash light to read to the holes...

      And realy I do have the 30 year old paper tape!

    41. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by NuclearDog · · Score: 1

      Got your 5.25" disk drive right here...
      /me pats his server.

      --
      This statement is forty-five characters long.
    42. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by FLEB · · Score: 1

      It's a good point. If a standard is to be made, the most valuable would be a stair-step standard. One grade for "no guarantees" media, one for, say 25 years, and one for 50 years.

      I'd imagine (me not being actually versed in the technology, mind you) that with just the chemical makeup of (DV|C)Ds, trying to push much further past that would end up being prohibitive enough to warrant a different, less dense but more durable media type.

      --
      Information wants to be free.
      Entertainment wants to be paid.
      You just want to be cheap.
    43. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by elgatozorbas · · Score: 1
      The trend is not for newer storage methods to outlast older ones by any stretch of the imagination

      Interesting to see that one can convert old movie pelicule to modern DVD standards (to be able to see old family movies), while on the other hand you can also have modern video tapes converted to pellicule for longevity...

    44. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So why aren't you working instead of sucking up taxpayer money while posting for hour after hour on Slashdot. And how many decades is it going to take you to finish your two-year degree?

      God knows I'm sick of garcia's karma whoring and his foul-mouthed AC responses when modded down or disagreed with. It's hard to believe people still mod his drivel up.

    45. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by blueg3 · · Score: 1

      Well, the nice thing is that books are well-designed. They take advantage of equipment that (basically) every human has and standards that we've all adopted. The standards only change on time scales of the order of a human life.

      Of course, they have other design flaws, and just because the standards for interpreting them -- language -- changes slowly doesn't mean it changes at all. There are some texts for which the language they're written in is completely dead.

    46. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by The+Snowman · · Score: 1

      While the digital media maybe flimsy, there is no reasonable reason why the information therein should _not_ survive for more than 40 years.

      Actually, there are some reasons. First, the data density in books is far less than on a CD or DVD. One word in a book may be measured in millimeters, while the same word encoded in binary on a digital medium would be measured in nanometers. Smudge a book and I guarantee you can read enough of the text and figure out the smudged parts to get 95% or better data retention. Smudge the bits on a CD, and you might lose the whole thing, which could be a hundred books worth of data.

      Another reason is the quality of the inks and dyes. Older books last because they used thicker paper and tough dyes using "old" technology that lasts, sort of like old lead paint on cars. I had a 1986 Ford where the paint had all worn off, leaving it a dull grayish color. I had a tough time damaging the "paint" that was left over. I nicked the edge of the bed on my truck with a piece of plastic, leaving a small gouge in the paint. Modern books do not use high quality inks, partly because of costs, partly because of environmental concerns. The same is true for CDs. If you burn your digital archives to a true CD, they will last a while, at least 20 years if stored in a climate controlled vault (we are talking libraries/archives here, not a CD sitting on your desk at home). My brother has CDs from the 1980s, some of the first CDs ever released, and they play fine even though they were stored in adverse conditions most of their lives. However, CD-Rs operate by marking dyes on the aluminum platter, which is also exposed to air because it sits on top the plastic, not inside it. Don't trust CD-Rs for long-term storage.

      I backup my data every week or two, and destroy old CDs every few months. I know I cannot depend on CD-Rs to last more than a year or two, so I don't. This also gives me an opportunity to keep my data in modern formats, as I convert them every few years when some great new format becomes widespread.

      --
      24 beers in a case, 24 hours in a day. Coincidence? I think not!
    47. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by harkabeeparolyn · · Score: 1
      File timestamps: If I have a collection of several thousand or tens of thousands of DVD

      ... then you've collected enough pr0n. Your pud is going to fall off long before all those DVDs decay. If you already have 10,000+ discs and only now are thinking of having a separate index of metadata for all those data and media, then you ought to hire someone who knows what they're doing before it is too late. With some scripts and a minimum wage ape to load and unload the media, they can still dig you out of this for a few thousand dollars of labor.

    48. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by MerlinTheWizard · · Score: 1
      Why would you assume digital media is necessarily going to last longer than older media?

      Why? Are you really asking this question? Because this is one of the primary concerns when it comes to permanent storage! (I almost feel like saying "duh".)

      Of course, if you only need to keep your data for a few days to a few weeks (or months), such as in digital cameras, MP3 players, and the like, longevity doesn't matter at all. But for all long-term purposes, it *does* matter, it's one of the top priorities along with ease of use and speed. And if it is not "the trend" as you say, well, maybe we have a problem here: because clearly, digital media will (and is already) replace all other kinds of media in a relatively near future...

    49. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't see vmware and the like virtualize the laser used in the original media...whos to say we will have drives that use the same laser wavelength (blueray anyone?)..so that (emulation) would not be too effective.

    50. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by jafac · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Right now, I'm currently in a project to copy all of my Vinyl LPs to digital media, via my old turntable, a preamp, and Audacity.

      I'm not sure how much longer my turntable will hold out.

      I heard that NASA was having a similar problem a few years back, GIGABYTES of date from space-probes was being lost because it was stored on tape (magnetic?) for which there were only a few readers available, so the media was degrading at a higher rate than they could recover it, given the volume of data, and throughput of their readers.

      Considering the COST to obtain this data in the first place - I find it deeply disturbing that their IT people didn't have a schedule for media rotation, and upgrade to new formats over time.

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    51. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by zeno_2 · · Score: 1

      My friend taught me this amazing technology.. Im only beginning to grasp the fundamentals as we speak.

      When I burn a disc, I write the date physically onto the top of the disc with a sharpee type pen. It makes it fairly easy to tell when that disc was burnt.

    52. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by MagicMike · · Score: 1

      First step - rip media to disk
      Second step - mount media image on disk as virtual disk in virtualization software
      Final step - profit! (I kid, but it is /.) Seriously, then you do whatever you need to...

      To tack on another meme (since I've already got the third step / profit thing in there), this strategy does make it all the more important that media shifting continues to be a right instead of an illegal nuisance to media publishers...

      Anyway, does that make sense? I actually do this, so I know it works. I typically refuse to let media actually play - if I can't rip it and then play or use the media through this method, I won't use it. I haven't had anything fail to work yet though (3-4 years, and counting)

    53. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by ag0ny · · Score: 2, Interesting

      CDs have been around for almost 25 years, and all proposed next-gen drives (Blue-Ray and HD-DVD) will have CD and DVD compatibility.

      Yes, the technology is likely to be supported, but what what will happen to the disks that you already have? Will they still be readable 5 years from now? 10 years? 20?

      Let me tell you: they won't. And copying the data to new media (say, every year) sometimes it not an option.

      I stopped using CD-Rs for storing my important data when some 2-3 year old not-so-cheap disks started became unreadable. Now I use CDs for the data that I wouldn't mind much if I lose (MP3s, videos), and magneto-optical disks for the important stuff that I want to keep for years.

    54. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by Nebu · · Score: 1

      That was address under "label". Like I said, sometimes it ruins the look of the CD, especially if I'm printing custom labels for them.

    55. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by zero_offset · · Score: 1

      The only downside is the meaning of what is encoded thousands of years in the future

      I salute your exuberant optimism!

      --

      Slashdot quality declines as the number of hot grits posts decreases. - Provolt's Law, Apr-09-2005

    56. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by PhotoJim · · Score: 1

      If you burn it slower, you get better quality (to a point anyway). 48x media generally burns way better at 16 or 24x than it does at 48x. 4x media could only be burned at three speeds: 1x, 2x and 4x.

    57. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by blueg3 · · Score: 1

      You certainly want long-term storage to last a long time, and you want to know how long it lasts. Clearly.

      That doesn't mean that you should assume that a newer storage technology necessarily has a greater longevity than an older storage technology. There are other design factors in long-term storage, and newer technologies have favored these over permanency.

      This would be like assuming that a newer or more expensive car necessarily has better gas milage. It's one of the things you want in a car, right? But it's not the only design factor, so making that assumption would be... unwise.

    58. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by blueg3 · · Score: 1

      Of course it's overboard, and intentionally so. As I and others have mentioned elsewhere now, digital media favors two huge design choices over longevity. First, it's dense. You could probably shove the sum total of human knowledge on DVDs and store it in a reasonably sized building. Second, it's designed to be easy to move the information to a newer medium. As long as you have the reading equipment, digital standards make it fairly easy to, say, copy your CDs to DVDs and then your DVDs to whatever they come out with next.

      Of course we'll never be able to make something last forever. That's not really what we want, either, we just want it to last a very long time. I'm not even sure why we always want that. I mean, studying ancient text now is primarily to satiate the curiosity of historians. Discovering what Aztecs ate for breakfast rarely helps us. Storing library data for the next couple hundred years, though, that's useful.

      A lot of people bring up the problem of standards, like CDs, becoming antiquated. This is really the same problem as looters stealing your messages cut into gold sheets. All bets are off if you don't take care of your stored data. Making permanent storage that you never have to maintain is a whole different problem, and one you probably shouldn't get into. Look at what NASA did when they wanted a message to be permenent so they could send it off to aliens. Cut it into metal that won't degrade quickly. In space, that'll last quite some time. Words cut into stone last a long time if you keep them indoors. If you want digital media to remain usable forever, though, your best bet is to maintain your archives, moving them from one generation of storage to the next while you still have all of the equipment for both.

    59. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by YrWrstNtmr · · Score: 1
      I'm not sure how much longer my turntable will hold out.

      I'm doing the same thing, but I had to get a new turntable to start with. My Technics from the 70's would not hold a constant speed. The cheapo $100 Sony from BestBuy is doing a credible job.

    60. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by MerlinTheWizard · · Score: 1

      No one said it should be assumed. I just said it should be a top priority, and clearly right now, it's not.

    61. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by a8o · · Score: 1

      I like to htink my time on this earth is worthy of preserving and will provide somebody in the future pleasure to study in the same way as I gain great pleasure out of the histories of the Greeks and Romans. We have technology which can condense data to such a small area, but when we are considering something such as longeivity and the legacy of our generations, do we not look for a solution? Given we can store thousands of books in a milimetre of CD-R, should we not then reduce the efficiency of this space:data ratio to instead ensure our data will last forever. I think it is one of the major issues facing us.

    62. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by blueg3 · · Score: 1

      Nobody said it should be assumed?

      Me: "Why would you assume digital media is necessarily going to last longer than older media?"

      You: "Why? Are you really asking this question? Because this is one of the primary concerns when it comes to permanent storage! (I almost feel like saying "duh".)"

      The parent to my original reply did make the silent assumption that newer technologies should have greater longevity. I was just pointing out that there are other priorities.

      You might think it needs top priority, but clearly the developers of new media disagree with you, as do consumers. They want cheap, convenient, high-density storage.

    63. Re:I'll take the survey in a bit, but... by MerlinTheWizard · · Score: 1

      Well, of course: the basic consumer is after "instant gratification". Which is well summed up in your "They want cheap, convenient, high-density storage.".

      I think with this trend, we're going to run into huge issues in a relatively short-term future. We need ways to have reliable, long term storage, and this, more and more, even for the "average" user, as digital storing of almost any kind of information becomes as common as the paper was years ago. Clearly, people are going to wake up all of a sudden and be in demand of reliable storage (not to mention, of course, that many professional settings already need it). It needs to be addressed. That's what I'm saying. Consumers don't disagree, they just don't care until they have to face the problem. And they won't until the very last minute, as always.

      I'm sorry, but I absolutely *don't want* to hear that the solution is "online" storing for everything. To me, it's not a solution, it's a huge mistake.

  2. Not always forever by DustyShadow · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I would think that we would like our data to last forever, but maybe it's just me.

    My company recently started deleting our email after 90 days. One of the reasons I heard was to protect us in lawsuits.

    1. Re:Not always forever by me+at+werk · · Score: 3, Funny

      You work for Diebold?

      --
      For context, click Parent.
    2. Re:Not always forever by mobiux · · Score: 1

      That's a little different situation.
      That's records management, and yeah, it's best to delete stuff after a period of time. Business wise.

      As a home user though, I want my backup cd's and dvd's to be there until I get rid of them.
      I don't want to have my digital photo albums start decaying after 10 years.
      I have some already at 6 years old.

    3. Re:Not always forever by Rosyna · · Score: 2, Interesting

      One of the reasons I heard was to protect us in lawsuits.

      Which is often the reason. I imagine the government cares because there is a statute of limitations on how long information can remain classified. So if the physical media the records are kept on expires before the statute of limitations comes into affect, there is no records for them to release.

      But lawsuits are a huge reason, as you said, when computer records are involved. You keep everything that could incriminate you on age sensitive media and backup everything you can use to defend yourself or sue others for on different media before it "expires".

    4. Re:Not always forever by Shalda · · Score: 1

      While I would like media to last forever, it's been pretty consistent over the last 50 years or so that media formats tend to have a maximum lifespan of about 15 years before they become obsolete. Right now, CD is being replaced by DVD which will be replaced by something else in about 5 years. Tried to buy a 5-1/4 floppy drive lately? So, I think it's pretty realistic that every 10 years or so you'll need to migrate all of your digital archives to a new format. As such, if your media is rated for 20 years, you should be in pretty good shape. I remember about 10 years or so ago when it was a big thing to have old Super-8 films transferred to VHS. Recently, my Dad has been converting old home movies from VHS to DVD. Then there's also the issue of transferring data formats as well. Converting from MPEG-2 to MPEG-4, CD to MP3, EBDIC to ASCII, etc. What good will it do me to have media that lasts 100 years if the equipment to read it will only be found in museums?

    5. Re:Not always forever by vsprintf · · Score: 1

      My company recently started deleting our email after 90 days.

      I'd suggest that's not so much data as random noise if it's anything like our company. There are many companies that produce/process/archive real data that has or will have historic significance and costs a good deal of money to generate.

      Consider some of the digitizing work that is currently going on. There are historic documents, photographic plates, and film of course, that are cracking, fading, darkening, or otherwise deteriorating. Many of these are being saved by techniques that are beyond me, but the results are all digital. It makes little sense to store them in any other format. You aren't really going to trust the pictures you took with your digital camera to a single HP printout are you?

      We do want the data to last forever, but currently, the best medium is still tape. It is necessary to transfer the data to new tapes every 10-15 years. Given that the archived data grows in a greater than linear fashion every year, the task becomes greater each time even though tape capacity continues to increase.

  3. Forever by The+Slashdot+Guy · · Score: 2, Funny

    Any other questions?

    1. Re:Forever by magarity · · Score: 1

      Making the data on the media last forever isn't really that much of a problem. What isn't addressed, and is much more important, is: How long can I still get parts for my vintage Mark I media reader when the manufacturer is much more interested in selling me a brand new non-compatible Mark XX in a couple dozen years?

    2. Re:Forever by vondo · · Score: 1

      I want the data to last for ever. The media? Meh. 10-20 years is probably enough. I'm guessing before long everything I have will be on a backed up harddrive and transferred from one to the next every five years.

    3. Re:Forever by The+Slashdot+Guy · · Score: 1

      You should be able to get the parts right up until you need them.

    4. Re:forever by AJWM · · Score: 1

      I don't need it to last forever. I'll settle for until the protons in the media decay.

      --
      -- Alastair
  4. Last forever by blueg3 · · Score: 2, Funny

    Yeah, I'd like my digital media to last forever.

    While they're at it, can they make my car run forever? I also want to stay young forever, if that's not too much trouble.

    1. Re:Last forever by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 2, Funny

      When God was designing the human being, he was faced with the same set of tradeoffs that face designers everywhere. He could design around the tradeoffs better than anyone else, of course, since he made the universe with those rules in the first place.

      You can choose from good, fast, or cheap. God was under both time and budget pressures, because there were 7 days allocated for the project, and he had already used up 5 of them. If he was to get a day off, 'fast' had to be one of the compromises.

      So, he had to choose from good and cheap for the other compromise. I don't know if you have ever looked through a telescope, but those ornaments were really expensive. The budget was blown back on day one, and everything else had to be scaled down a bit. So, cheap was the other compromise.

      And that is why I think that human life is fast and cheap, but not typically as good as we'd like.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    2. Re:Last forever by hackstraw · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I'd like my digital media to last forever.

      While they're at it, can they make my car run forever? I also want to stay young forever, if that's not too much trouble.


      Sure it would be nice if our bodies or car lasted forever, but if your 1900 Model T still ran like it did in 1900 would you still want to drive it to and from work every day? I wouldn't.

      Now data is a different story. It is very common for data in one form or another to outlive a human life. Although its not that old, I am listening to a music recording that is 30 years old. Audio tape archiving is what I'm most familiar with, and I know that it is common to store audio reels in climate controlled conditions and in some instances a recording with the best available technology at the time is made _every time_ the tape is played, just in case.

      Stone tablets have pretty good longevity, but they are not very portable and have difficulty in interfacing with other equipment. Paper has its limitations as well. Its difficult to duplicate, its bulky, and pretty much a fire hazard in itself.

      Digital archiving of data seems to me to be the best way to do so. Compression techniques can dramatically increase capacities of current devices. Its easy to replicate, etc.

      However, there is bit rot and other physical limitations of digital media that exist. For photography, film, and audio, I still believe that analog is clearly the best way to record the data. But again, there are many physical limitations in preserving that data.

    3. Re:Last forever by 88NoSoup4U88 · · Score: 1

      They allready can make lightbulbs that will last forever : It's not the impossibility of something to achieve that always holds it back from being put on the market.

    4. Re:Last forever by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      While they're at it, can they make my car run forever?

      Once we run out of oil, gas, coal and uranium, whether your disks are good or not won't matter. At the rate at which we use up resources (and don't forget to add in China and India), it may not be so hard to make disks that last that long.

  5. Make it.. by Turn-X+Alphonse · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Make it last as long as possible. Any media set to self destruct after a set date is no use to anyone. Make the best you can and keep inproving it.

    --
    I like muppets.
    1. Re:Make it.. by avandesande · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Obviously there is a cost/benfit balance here...

      if you want you could probably etch your data on a block of gold, but what would that cost?

      --
      love is just extroverted narcissism
    2. Re:Make it.. by GreyPoopon · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Make it last as long as possible. Any media set to self destruct after a set date is no use to anyone. Make the best you can and keep inproving it.

      I think the whole reason for the survey is that it's not cost-feasible to make long-lasting media, and that the efforts to drive prices ever-lower will also product media of lower quality. If you want long lasting media, you're going to have to pay for it. Personally, I'd be OK if they made two (or more) different grades. I don't need most of my computer files to last longer than 7 years, but I'd want my photos and videos to at least survive me. Hopefully, technology will one day allow me to achieve that goal without intentionally stepping off the curb in front of a moving vehicle.

      --

      GreyPoopon
      --
      Why is it I can write insightful comments but can't come up with a clever signature?

    3. Re:Make it.. by antifoidulus · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well, there is a cost/benefit analysis here. Media that lasts longer will probably cost you more. Do you want to pay that cost? For example, childhood photos are something most people want to keep for a very, very long time, but the production reports of ConGyps Co's Colorado factory for the month of May 1987 probably aren't anything that people 100 years from now would have any sort of interest in. Should they have to pay extra for longevity you want for your photos though?

    4. Re:Make it.. by Have+Blue · · Score: 1

      Nobody's suggesting that the media be "set to self destruct". The question here is, what should be the balance of the tradeoff between cost and resistance to natural wear and decay? If you use better materials and more exacting tolerances, the disks will last longer but also cost more. So which would you prefer- a $30 pack of 30 CDRs that last 30 years, or a $50 pack of 30 CDRs that last 50 years?

    5. Re:Make it.. by Skidge · · Score: 1

      Any media set to self destruct after a set date is no use to anyone

      Well, unless you're a secret agent of some sort.

    6. Re:Make it.. by Xugumad · · Score: 1

      Disagree. Blank media that holds data for a year or so is fine for almost everything I want. For archival purposes I'd like something a lot better, and am willing to pay for it, but for burning Linux install CDs, or just moving data between remote machines, basic cheap CD-Rs do the job just fine.

      For anything I buy (CDs of music, DVDs with games/videos on, etc.), I expect much better. If we're not talking over a decade at least, I'm not impressed.

    7. Re:Make it.. by ryanvm · · Score: 1

      if you want you could probably etch your data on a block of gold, but what would that cost?

      Cost isn't that bad, but it sure does piss off the person who owns the block.

    8. Re:Make it.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I want it to last as long as the data is not requested by subpoena. The day the subpoena is served is the data the media should naturally deteriorate.

      Kenneth Lay

    9. Re:Make it.. by Artifakt · · Score: 1

      Good Evening Mr. Phelps...

      --
      Who is John Cabal?
    10. Re:Make it.. by Mad_Rain · · Score: 1

      Any media set to self destruct after a set date is no use to anyone.

      I disagree - Many people wouldn't want their pr0n backups lasting forever for their grieving family to find. (cue Bill Hicks joke...)

      --
      "What do you think?" "I think 'What, do you think?!'"
    11. Re:Make it.. by Mad_Rain · · Score: 1

      Oh, here is the rant I was thinking about:
      Hey, man, that Clarence Thomas thing, I guess you watched that, eh? Boy, I tell you something, I learned something very important watching the Clarence Thomas hearings, you know what I learned? I don't stand a fucking chance. Don't even call the committee to order. It'd be a real short hearing.

      "Uh, Mistuh Hicks, are you familiah at all with a video series called 'Clam Lappers' Volumes One through Ninety?

      "All of them? I don't recall."

      "Uh-huh. Uh, Mistuh Hicks, are you familiah at all with a man named Manuel, who works at the Show World Adult Video Parlor?"

      "Manny!"

      "Mista Hicks, dey subpoena me, dey subpoena me!"

      Shit. Boy, I tell you, after the Pee-wee Herman thing, and then after the Clarence Thomas hearings, pornography has gotten a really bad name in our country. And I'd like to state, for the record, right now - I love pornography. Love it. I have tapes that are pure fucking art, I'm telling ya. People fucking, sucking, every imaginable position, the finest looking women, fucking, sucking - I love it. For the record.

      "Mistuh Hicks, thank you for your testimony. I don't know if we have a place for you right now on the Supreme Court-but, boy, you ever thought about becoming a Senator? C'mere, boy. Bring some of them tapes over here, lookit that-whooah. Bring them over Teddy's house, yeah, look at that there-oooh. She go to that like a duck to water, look at that there. How, how, how."

      That is one of my big fears in life, that I'm gonna die, you know, and my parents are gonna come to clean out my apartment, find that porno wing I've been adding onto for years. There'll be two funerals that day. I can see my mom going through my stuff.

      "Look, honey, here's Bill when he was a Cub scout. Look at how cute my baby is. His little short pants, his little hat. Look how cute my baby was... I wonder what's in this box over here. 'Rear Entry', Volumes One through Forty?!"
      Eeeeerrrr, CRASH! The only guy going through the gates of Heaven with his mom spanking him. Spank!

      "Mom, they were on sale!"
      Spank! Spank!
      "Someone named Manny called."
      "Oh, shit!"
      Spank! Spank!

      --
      "What do you think?" "I think 'What, do you think?!'"
    12. Re:Make it.. by AmberBlackCat · · Score: 1

      I'd settle for it lasting just a few years if there were a visible indicator of when it's time to make a new copy.

    13. Re:Make it.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Modpoints Impossible.

    14. Re:Make it.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      if you want you could probably etch your data on a block of gold, but what would that cost?

      A lot, and by virtue of the fact that the gold is worth a lot, your data would be less secure. Why? Because materials that are worth a lot of money tend to get stolen. If someone breaks into you house, and they see a CD-R and a block of gold sitting next to each other, which one are they going to steal?

      Also importantly, if at some point in the future you lose your job and are broke, what are you going to be thinking when you look at the block of gold? That the data in your archive is important, or that you could pawn that stuff for money? The same thing applies to organizations: at some point someone will be in charge who thinks the gold is more valuable than the information.

  6. Secrets? by kneecarrot · · Score: 4, Funny

    Sometimes I think it would be great to have optical storage last forever. But then I think about my grandchildren going through my CDs years from now and stumbling on all my porn. Hmm... not good.

    --

    I always save my last mod point to mod up a good troll. You people are too serious.

    1. Re:Secrets? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well.... not everyone is Bob Crane I guess.

    2. Re:Secrets? by Rorschach1 · · Score: 5, Funny

      Yeah, they'll probably have a good laugh about how quaint and tame early Internet porn was, having been totally desensitized at that point by full sensory immersion porn featuring the genetically engineered offspring of Goatse man and tubgirl.

    3. Re:Secrets? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I want it to last until the Feds are kicking down the door...

    4. Re:Secrets? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      by the time your grandchildren come around, they'll probably think your porn is just some old MTV shows grandpa decided to record.

    5. Re:Secrets? by Dirtside · · Score: 1

      Wait a minute -- how is a Slashdot geek going to have grandchildren? :)

      --
      "Destroy science and religion. Science would re-emerge exactly the same; but not religion." - Penn Jillette, paraphrased
    6. Re:Secrets? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are a horriable man. I just conjured* the mental image of unimaginable horror TubGirl in the tube but laying down in the Goatse man pose. Sorry for making anyone else think of that but this is the only outlet I can let out the horrors I have imaged in my mind. *Conjured is defaintly the right word because such powerful imager cannot merrilbe create it must be summoned forth.

    7. Re:Secrets? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nice, that's a genius reference.

      Too bad the drooling furry-suit-wearing parents-basement-dwellers here won't have a clue what you're referring to.

  7. Maybe Not Forever by GweiLeong · · Score: 3, Funny

    Ya I really want my grandkids finding the 60 year old pr0n pix/vidz of grandma the day before we go into the home.

    1. Re:Maybe Not Forever by DrScotsman · · Score: 0

      You have pr0n of your grandma!? I'd delete that NOW let alone wait for your kids to see it.

    2. Re:Maybe Not Forever by hesiod · · Score: 3, Funny

      Read the times of the posts. THEY WERE POSTED THE SAME FUCKING MINUTE! So he couldn't read it.

    3. Re:Maybe Not Forever by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're right... his was better.

    4. Re:Maybe Not Forever by Striikerr · · Score: 1

      " Ya I really want my grandkids finding the 60 year old pr0n pix/vidz of grandma the day before we go into the home." Uhm, your computer was compromised last month and all of your coveted pictures of "future grandma" are readily available on the net.. She looked pretty spiffy in those assless-chaps I must admit.

    5. Re:Maybe Not Forever by Stu22 · · Score: 1

      There's nothing better than a flame getting modded higher than the original message.

    6. Re:Maybe Not Forever by hesiod · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I'll admit my post wasn't meant to be funny, nor was it insightful in the slightest. Stupid moderators. After all, if I complain about other stupid mods I have to complain about my own.

  8. forever, but... by sum.zero · · Score: 5, Insightful

    i want it locked up in some archaic and obsolete drm so that i can't get at it anyway.

    sum.zero

    1. Re:forever, but... by superpulpsicle · · Score: 1

      Nah that's not going to happen. Before your DRM last a year, some corporation would have changed it 3x and make them all incompatible.

    2. Re:forever, but... by dr_dank · · Score: 1

      Considering Moore's law, wouldn't it be reasonable to assume that off-the-shelf hardware of the future could make short work of most DRM schemes today?

      --
      Where does the school board find them and why do they keep sending them to ME?
    3. Re:forever, but... by jimicus · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Not at all.

      Provided:
      • The function used to encrypt the data is a "trapdoor" (ie. easy to encrypt, very hard to decrypt without the keys)
      • Nobody finds a mathematically quicker way to decrypt it
      • The difficulty of brute-forcing it increases as the number of bits in the key increase

      Then with a long enough key, it is possible to prove that the data is secure for, oooh... a couple of billion years.

      Note that these points apply to most forms of encryption in common use today. Every bit you add to they key length doubles the number of potentially-correct keys, so 128-bit encryption is twice as hard to break as 127-bit encryption.

      Losing that set of keys effectively means your data is gone for good. Whether or not quantum computing would solve the issue I really don't know.
    4. Re:forever, but... by Yartrebo · · Score: 1

      Quantum computing will be able to break just about all encryption but the one-time pad; however, it's the thought that counts for me.

  9. I want media tied to my vital functions by ites · · Score: 4, Funny

    So that the media will destruct at the moment I die. This will save my heirs from a lot of unnecessary work and embarrasment.

    --
    Sig for sale or rent. One previous user. Inquire within.
    1. Re:I want media tied to my vital functions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Funny

      I think the bastard offspring of a human and goat will have more to be embarrassed about than the digital images you kept of their conception.

      (It's a joke, not a troll. I promise!)

    2. Re:I want media tied to my vital functions by MadFarmAnimalz · · Score: 2, Funny

      So that the media will destruct at the moment I die. This will save my heirs from a lot of unnecessary work and embarrasment.

      I think you mean your vital signs, unless you want to have to redownload all that pr0n everytime you take a crap.

      --
      Blearf. Blearf, I say.
  10. Until the feds break down your door? by ZipR · · Score: 1

    Or until my music goes out of style?

  11. Do I not understand the question correctly? by stlhawkeye · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ...are they asking how long I want the rights to use it? Or how long the file should retain its integrity? Or ... something else? I guess the intent of the question is irrelevent. In all those cases, if I paid for it I expect it to last at least as long as I do.

    --
    "I have never won a debate with an ignorant person." -Ali ibn Abi Talib
  12. does it matter? by kevinx · · Score: 5, Insightful

    In 25 - 30 years, the data on that disk probably won't be readable by the current software available. Just like that 8-track that you will never find a car to use in. To keep your data current you'd have to convert and rearchieve every so many years.

    1. Re:does it matter? by hey! · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Well, there are companies that will transfer your old 8 tracks onto CD. Some of them will even recover audio from your grandpa's old wire spool recordings. That's an audio technology so old I doubt one slashdot reader in a thousand has even seen one. It was obsoleted by the tape cassette in 1963.

      I think we'll see CD media be readable by the consumer for at least ten or fifteen years. The consumer will probably be able to get a CD/DVD reader if he so desires for ten or fifteen years after that -- after all CD and DVD are popular formats, unlike 8 track which was never very successful.

      After that, I'm sure there will be companies that will be able to read your old optical media into the quantum dust specks or whatever they'll be using in fifty years. If your CD-Rs last that long -- which they probably won't unless you are very careful about storing them.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    2. Re:does it matter? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


      Jpegs are over 15 years old. They show no signs of slowing down in the amount of use that they will see.

      MPEGs are a similar age. VCDs are nearly 13 years old, and we're still seeing VCD players coming out on the market.

      CDs are ALREADY 30 years old, and we still have "current software available" to read them.

    3. Re:does it matter? by sanermind · · Score: 1

      Well, I doubt you're right about software. I'm sure there will be emulators available. The question will be whether there is any currently available hardware that will be able to read the ancient disks. An old dvdr probably won't fit into the slot of your standard 2.5 exabyte holocube reader.

      --

      ---
      the pen is mightier than the sword, the sword is mightier than the court, the court is mightier than the pen.
    4. Re:does it matter? by stlhawkeye · · Score: 1
      Yeah like every.... 20 to 30. The storage media I used 20 years ago has basically undergone one major revolution.

      I used to use floppy disks. Now I use CDs. And it's not really that difficult to find computers with floppy drives, nor operating systems that can wrangle a 5.25" floppy drive. And how old is that technology?

      Expect CD-readers to be widely available for at least another 10-20 years. I expect DVD-readers to have an even longer lifespan. And I think it's a reasonable expectation.

      I bought a new computer about a year ago. I had an LPR port, two COM ports, and a some serial ports. When was the last time you gave a crap about your UART? I don't have any devices left in my house that can't be plugged into FireWire or USB. And yet my computers all still support aging ports.

      Of course, we shouldn't be too proud of ourselves. Supposedly we'll be inventing time travel just to recover IBM castaways from the 70's in the coming decades.

      --
      "I have never won a debate with an ignorant person." -Ali ibn Abi Talib
    5. Re:does it matter? by kevinx · · Score: 1

      I think I made a mistake in using the 8-track analogy. As it is a form of media. I was meaning as in 8-track is the format and the player is likened to software. Even if you can read all the bytes on the disk, will they be in a format that is readable? Do you have any 25 year old spreadsheets or doc files? If you do, I don't know if you have the software to actually make sense of them. Even characters ascii characters are being phased out by unicode. Who knows what the next 30 years will bring.

    6. Re:does it matter? by hackstraw · · Score: 1

      Just like that 8-track that you will never find a car to use in.

      The 8-track is a low fidelity end user thing that seemed neat to someone at sometime.

      However, I would bet that any commercially available recording that has made it on 8-track is stored on some other more standard media that is still usable today.

    7. Re:does it matter? by m3j00 · · Score: 1

      In 25 - 30 years, the data on that disk probably won't be readable by the current software available. Just like that 8-track that you will never find a car to use in. To keep your data current you'd have to convert and rearchieve every so many years.

      Why on earth not? I can't imagine that in 30 years we'll have forgotten about the concept of backwards compatibility. Now, the hardware in 25-30 years may not be able to read the CD's and DVD's of today, but judging by the industry's affection with the 5 1/4" shiny discs of varying storage capacities, I doubt that.

    8. Re:does it matter? by hey! · · Score: 1

      Well, it's your own fault if you save in .xls or .doc, isn't it? Those .txt files are holding up fine. XHTML would be a good format too.

      OpenOffice IIRC can read your old lotus 1-2-3 spreadsheets from the early 80s, not to mention those WordStar files. It's also likely that OpenOffice stuff will be readable in twenty or thirty years, provided it's important. It's just zipped XML.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    9. Re:does it matter? by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 1
      Do you have any 25 year old spreadsheets or doc files?

      The oldest Lotus 1-2-3 spreadsheet file I found in my computer is almost 25 years old. Both Gnumeric and OOo were able to open it with no problems.

      Even characters ascii characters are being phased out by unicode.

      One of them most popular Unicode encodings, UTF-8, is a strict superset of 7-bit ASCII, so it's fully backwards compatible.

      The various extended charset encodings for different languages are another story, but I don't see how the simple translation tables that convert these to Unicode are going to somehow get lost in the foreseeable future.

    10. Re:does it matter? by LiquidCoooled · · Score: 1

      Your right, but the resolution of your camera phone/kitchen sink/wristwatch/glasses/life saver/holovision/pda/tablet/defib/computer device should be able to snapshot the pits and pores with ample megapixels left over for error correction.

      --
      liqbase :: faster than paper
    11. Re:does it matter? by Artifakt · · Score: 1

      The 8 track was a low fidelity end user thing that had three great advantages: it could be built using 1966 technology, it supported endless loop recording for radio stations to put commercials and short songs on, and it could easily and safely be loaded and unloaded by an automobile driver. It was invented by William Powell Lear, creator of the Lear Jet.

      http://www.recording-history.org/HTML/8track1.htm

      It seemed neat to someone because it really was neat, at least compared to vinyl records.

      --
      Who is John Cabal?
    12. Re:does it matter? by Kanasta · · Score: 1

      Yeh. Like the humble CD. Since the introduction of DVDs half a decade ago, CDs have no longer been readable by the current DVD related software available. Oh wait...

    13. Re:does it matter? by unitron · · Score: 1
      You need to go back and re-read the source you cite. Somebody (or bodies) else came up with the continuous loop tape cartridge used in broadcasting and the original 4(audio)track "Mad Man" Muntz consumer version.

      What Lear did was come up with a version that incorporated the pinch roller into the cartridge, which made the player cheaper to produce, and crammed more music onto the cartridges by going to 8 narrower tracks and, if memory serves, halving the tape speed from 7 1/2 inches per second to 3 3/4.

      --

      I see even classic Slashdot is now pretty much unusable on dial up anymore.

    14. Re:does it matter? by Artifakt · · Score: 1

      You need to go back and re-parse the post and the one just before it. I claimed Lear invented the 8 track. I offered the opinion the 8 track had certain advantages which made it, (by 1966 standards) neat technology. Since this was in response to a post that described the 8 track dismissively as simply a low fidelity system, I cited features the 8 track incorporated to back up my opinion with facts. I didn't claim Lear invented all its predecessor tech, so there's no need for you to attempt to refute that claim.

      --
      Who is John Cabal?
    15. Re:does it matter? by unitron · · Score: 1
      You would be completely in the right and I completely in the wrong (due to my not reading slowly enough), except for this part:

      "...it supported endless loop recording for radio stations to put commercials and short songs on..."

      By the time the 8-track came along the George Eash Fidelipac cartridge was already the broadcast standard. No radio station in their right mind would have used the 8-track. Otherwise you were quite correct, once again Lear found a niche and filled it brilliantly.

      If I had read the parent of your original post more slowly I would have pointed out to him the James Brown album that was only released on 8-track (although I suppose one could go back and make a CD from the original studio tape).

      --

      I see even classic Slashdot is now pretty much unusable on dial up anymore.

  13. forever by bob+zee · · Score: 1

    I think 25 years is a good, round figure.

  14. pr0n by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As long as my addiction to pr0n...

  15. Life span for government by raider_red · · Score: 1

    I don't want any data storage that lasts past the statute of limitations. Of course, at that point, it probably doesn't matter anymore.

    --
    It's good to use your head, but not as a battering ram.
  16. It should last forever by ebh · · Score: 1

    If it lasts forever, we still have the option of destroying the media if we're only supposed to keep it for a finite amount of time.

    What we really need is fireproof paper.

  17. 5 minutes by justforaday · · Score: 0

    5 minutes. Nothing more. Nothing less.

    --
    I'll turn into a supernova and burn up everything. Well I'll turn into a black little hole and you'll turn into string.
  18. Why depend on physical media by PxM · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Wouldn't it be better to switch to a RAID style hard drive system? As long as the data can be transferred quickly (no CD swapping) I don't need the hardware to last for decades if I can move the data over to another system without a problem before it fails. The whole point of digital data is so that it can be replicated and transfered rather than for the hardware to last forever. In the future, we could just have multiple personal petabyte data archives in various places that store all of our personal information where the physical system isn't such a big deal because bandwith makes it easy to move the data to my PDA or to my bank's digital data vault.

    --
    Or try a free Nintendo DS, GC, PS2, Xbox. (you only need 4 referrals)
    Wired article as proof

    1. Re:Why depend on physical media by garcia · · Score: 4, Insightful

      As long as the data can be transferred quickly (no CD swapping) I don't need the hardware to last for decades if I can move the data over to another system without a problem before it fails. The whole point of digital data is so that it can be replicated and transfered rather than for the hardware to last forever.

      The whole point of storing data on WORM media is to prove that the data remained unaltered during storage.

      You want to be able to have an audit trail that shows any modifications (timestamps included) to the records. You also want to make sure that images that were stored were unaltered ("photoshopped"). You want to make sure that an exact copy of the information was stored and remains exact for the life of the media.

      If it's not stored on write once media then that can't be guaranteed.

    2. Re:Why depend on physical media by PxM · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      My main gripe is the transfer times CDs and DVDs require you to manipulate plastic to get to your information so if you want to copy your entire DVD library to the new HD-Ultraviolent-Blu-Ray media disc, you have to pick up each disk and place it into a DVD drive. However, with a RAID system, you just cp a directory over the network. If you have one of those automated backup system with moving arms, I guess it's similar but that's a bit extreme for home use. I have a lot of VHS tapes, CDs, and physical photos sitting at home because I'm too lazy to manually copy them to an easy to access digital system. If they were already on my home data server and I wanted to send them to a physically offsite backup, I could just ftp them overnight assuming I have the bandwith. The latter method makes it easier to have backups and backups to protect important data. I'm more concerned with data loss due to fire or a localized physical problem. If I could easily replicate data between my PDA, my home server, and a few offsite backups, I don't need my physical media to be able to last for years since I can just replace the components as tech gets better or parts start to fail.

      --
      Want a free Nintendo DS, GC, PS2, Xbox. (you only need 4 referrals)
      Wired article as proof

    3. Re:Why depend on physical media by Homology · · Score: 1
      Wouldn't it be better to switch to a RAID style hard drive system? As long as the data can be transferred quickly (no CD swapping) I don't need the hardware to last for decades if I can move the data over to another system without a problem before it fails.

      Erh, food for thought : 1) Major power surge burning out most electronics. 2) A careless administrator (you?) drops the entire server on the floor from 1 meter 3) The fire alarm goes, and drenches everything in water. 4) The machines gets massively overheated and every harddisk start failing. 5) The list goes on.

      The point is that magnetic media in genereral is a fragile media, and hard disks even more so. That said, tape backup technology is much less fragile than a hard disks.

    4. Re:Why depend on physical media by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The point is that magnetic media in genereral is a fragile media, and hard disks even more so. That said, tape backup technology is much less fragile than a hard disks

      tape is also magnetic media...

    5. Re:Why depend on physical media by lgw · · Score: 1

      WORM tape is coming for regulatory complaince, and should be far more dense than optical media. With a robotic tape library you can have all your records near-line (and therefore accessable through a server from anywhere), so you get the best of both worlds.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    6. Re:Why depend on physical media by pintpusher · · Score: 1

      This idea, along with offsite backups mentioned in other reply, make sense. Cost of mass storage devices is constantly falling. Never delete anything, just archive it deeper and deeper into your ever growing hard drives. As one fills, mirror it over to a second larger one and so on. As new technology comes out, there is always a time period where both the old and new tech can work on the same machine so cobble together a cross-technology mirror and keep on rolling. Eventually we'll all have multiple terabyte thumb drives in mirrored arrays with offsite dupes and we'll have every bit of data we've ever generated.

      Frankly, I think lots of people do this already (well, okay, one -- me). Whenever I upgrade a machine, I just take the old harddrive out and cram it in the new one while I'm migrating. At some point(weeks or months later), I go through the old drive with a fine-toothed comb and grab whatever last things are left on there that interest me. (Then wipe the old drive, put it back in the old machine and turn it into yet another legacy hardware linux box that doesn't really have a purpose but is fun to playwith.) Before long I'm doing it again. result is that my harddrive has some really old crap on it that I keep dragging behind me. If I added the mirrored drive, i'd be pretty damn secure.

      --
      man, I feel like mold.
    7. Re:Why depend on physical media by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Write the data to RAID, write the digital signatures and timestamps to WORM.

    8. Re:Why depend on physical media by pla · · Score: 1

      The whole point of storing data on WORM media is to prove that the data remained unaltered during storage.

      Uhh... Perhaps a naive question, but what stops someone from taking the WORM media and making an inexact copy, then replacing the original with the altered copy?

    9. Re:Why depend on physical media by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Why depend on physical media?
      Wouldn't it be better to switch to a RAID style hard drive system?

      Because
      (a) HARD DRIVES ARE PHYSICAL MEDIA, butthead!
      and
      (b) online storage is storage that is subject to someone accidentally doing rm -rf or other OS equivalent for the whole time they're online (and you're suggesting continously, right?).
      and
      (c) RAID is not standardized and RAID hardware and software 5 or 10 years from now will be different. No big deal if you succeed in transferring to a new RAID volume once something starts to get obsolete, but if you don't think to do it (maybe you can't afford 3 new drives for a while, or you're just lazy) and then your raid controller dies (or software gets erased and you can't get the install media to replace it, or you can get the software but you can't figure out how to reconstruct the configuration), then you are left with this pile of drives whose data you can't read.

  19. I Want A Known Quantity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting
    I want the MTTF to be a known quantity. If the CDs (soon to be DVDs) that I store my family pictures and videos on has limited lifetime, I'd like to know what it is so that I can refresh the media to avoid losing data.

    The length of time isn't terribly important, as long as it doesn't make the cost of new media too high (e.g. DVDs aren't too expensive, so if I have to reburn them every five years or move to the next media format at that point, that is a good use of money and time).

    1. Re:I Want A Known Quantity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I want the MTTF to be a known quantity.

      If you just want to know the mean, do you also want to know the standard deviation?

    2. Re:I Want A Known Quantity by imsabbel · · Score: 1

      You know what statisics are? Even if the mtbf is 1billion years, if there are a billion media in use, one poor fellow will be fucked up in the first one.
      Its not like there is that mystical data after which all media fail....

      --
      HI O WISE PRINCE. WHT TOOK U SO DAM LONG?
    3. Re:I Want A Known Quantity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I realize that, but I'd be playing the odds. Two copies of your data, in separate buildings, and refreshed ahead of the MTTF should be good enough (and that's my call to make for my data, after all :).

    4. Re:I Want A Known Quantity by ydrol · · Score: 1

      Make sure you use different brands of media :)

    5. Re:I Want A Known Quantity by noidentity · · Score: 1

      Maybe this can be done with current CD drives, but what I'd like is software which reads the CD and reports the error level as an indicator of media condition. Compare a few regular measurements and you could predict when the degredation would start to result in uncorrectable errors. This would also give you a good indication of what media and storage conditions are best.

      The first CD-R I burned is now 9 years old and still readable; I'm crossing my fingers.

    6. Re:I Want A Known Quantity by robogun · · Score: 1

      MTBF for removable media is highly susceptible to batch failure. Some lots will never fail in our lifetime, but a bad batch might delaminate in months. The first sign is a cyclic redundancy error on read - backup the whole bunch when one goes bad.
      What I would do is write duplicate copies to two different brands of optical media. Use a writer which has been tested to burn discs that can be read by other types of drives. Your loss percentage should be acceptably low with that method.

  20. 100+ years by plopez · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The company I work for uses USGS data going back to about 1900. It is interesting to think that data collected 100+ years ago may outlive data currently being gathered....

    --
    putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
  21. As long as needed. by Tribbin · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It must at least last until you are sure you don't need the data anymore.

    --
    If you mod this up, your slashdot background will turn into a beautiful sunset!
  22. How long? by genjo · · Score: 3, Funny

    At least until the FBI gives my servers back to me. They DO give them back, right?

  23. Why not for centuries? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It seems rather pathetic that modern, high-tech digital media have a far shorter lifetime than good old paper. There are many files (e.g. historical data, classics of music and literature) that we want to preserve indefinitely. With the current technology, these could easily be lost for all time.

  24. Diamonds are forever...but... by tuxq · · Score: 1

    Forever doesn't mean much to me because I don't plan on living forever--and everything after that I don't really care about :P

    So, if my digital media lasts around 80 or so years--awesome...I'll be buried with it... Hey maybe I'll be able to use them wherever it is I'll be going--if anywhere. Think they have fibre for everyone? :D

    1. Re:Diamonds are forever...but... by enigmathegreat · · Score: 1

      I'm trying to live forever. So far, so good.

    2. Re:Diamonds are forever...but... by tuxq · · Score: 1

      Well in the sense of forever...
      Forever is only as long as the person who uses the word.
      So I'm trying to live forever as well...
      Actually, everyone is :)

  25. forever by gamboot · · Score: 1

    i want it to last "to infinity and beyond"

  26. Data Archive Services want something different... by zoomba · · Score: 4, Funny

    If you're a business that specializes in the massive backup or translation of data from one medium to another, you probably want media to last a few years at most. That way, organizations are constantly coming to them with stores of data that they need re-recorded.

    Pretty much the only way to make your media last forever is to have it stored in a solid state (like being etched into the surface of a DVD) and then sealed and stored in a moistureless, airless, lightless temperature controlled environment. But with all the talk about self-destructing DVDs and CDs that the recording industries are trying to push, I don't think even that's possible.

    CONVERT ALL YOUR DATA INTO BINARY AND THEN LASER ETCH IT INTO GLASS! THEN SANDWICH IT BETWEEN TWO OTHER LAYERS OF GLASS AND HIDE IT ON A MOUNTAINTOP! YOU MUST SAVE YOUR PR0N COLLECTION FOR ALIENS TO DISCOVER AFTER WE'VE BLOWN OURSELVES TO ATOMS!!

    This rant was brought to you by the Reynolds Society for Tin Foil Hats... Remember, only Reynolds Wrap brand tin foil can protect you from the strongest of the alien mind-control rays!

  27. Die with me by ari_j · · Score: 1

    I want all of my data to die with me. (Except my will (living or otherwise). That should stay around a bit longer. Maybe on a floppy.) That way, I will be remembered for what I was eating and wearing when I fell over dead rather than all the inflammatory shit I've written over the years.

  28. Paper covers disk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    see, for example, the dead sea scrolls...2,000 years and still read-accessible.

  29. Data != Media by TheFlyingGoat · · Score: 5, Insightful

    While data is obviously stored on media, talking about the lifetime of data is not the same as talking about the lifetime of media. So, the original poster's "forever" comment is unrelated to the survey he links to.

    If you have media that you know won't last over 30 years, just copy it onto new media at the 20-25 year point. In most cases, that's not that big of a deal. Besides, by the time that 20-25 year mark rolls around, it's very likely that you'd want to convert to a faster "online" media anyway, like holographic storage.

    --
    You have enemies? Good. That means you've stood up for something, sometime in your life. --Winston Churchill
    1. Re:Data != Media by Nkwe · · Score: 1
      If you have media that you know won't last over 30 years, just copy it onto new media at the 20-25 year point.

      The problem with this is that you have to know what data you have and you have to remember to convert it every so often. There is a lot of knowledge out there that is not necessarily cataloged or managed. Such information can be "forgotten" or "lost" for decades. Think of stories you hear about some guy who died and when his stuff was gone through, they found some book or important papers that no one had seen for 50 years. Think of cases where old records are "found" years after they were misfiled.

      Data that is stored on short term storage must to be cataloged and managed or it will be lost. There is a risk that data we don't think is valuable enough today won't be put on permanent enough media, or will be put on short-term media without a proper management plan. Who is to say that that data might not be more valuable in the future?

    2. Re:Data != Media by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The only problem with this idea get's into the volume of data that needs to be archived. Seems that we will eventually have more data than can resonably migrated in a timely manner to the new medium.

      I, for one, do not wish to have to keep copying my old files from the old to the new and also have to add the new data, over, and over, and over again.

      Look at that amount of data that even a small contemporary family generates today. A few word processing docs, tax records, bank records; OK that's not much. BUT, I know have a digital camera and video. And that data grows quickly. Right now my photos cover some 5+ CDRs and now I'll write to DVD and add more data. And I haven't yet digitized my family videos. This gets unworkable quickly.

      That is a small issue compared to the 5 terabytes of data we manage at work. Now we have a real problem. I just upgraded one of our databases to new equipment, and that took 5 days to transfer.

      Seems to me that the media longevity should approach the useful lifetime of the data. And that is a long time.

  30. Should last a lifetime at least. by code+addict · · Score: 1

    In my opinion, digital media like CDs should last AT LEAST a lifetime if not more. So, my feeling is that 100-150 yrs is a reasonable expectation. I mean I've got old reel-to-reel tape recordings (eg. Queen Elizabeth's coronation that was taped off the radio) from around 50 years ago.

    The ironic thing is that I was going to "update" it by copying them to CD, but the would actually have a better chance of lasting in there current form than as a CD with it's average 10yr lifespan.

  31. The MEDIA, not the DATA by SmokeHalo · · Score: 1

    I would think that we would like our data to last forever, but maybe it's just me.

    That's not the point of TFA at all. They're talking about finding ways to basically note the shelf life of the media itself, i.e. the quality of the product.

    --
    I'm not good in groups. It's difficult to work in a group when you're omnipotent. - Q
  32. dvda.org? by mwronski · · Score: 1

    What does the pRon watchdog group that manages double oriface insertions have to do with archival media? Or are they just concerned with the preservations of my copy of Orgazmo?

    1. Re:dvda.org? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I had the same beavis and butthead moment when seeing the url

  33. "Forever" would be nice, but... by BeBoxer · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm not sure it's realistic. One nice thing about digital storage is you can copy it to new media with no loss at all. A book, or painting, or photograph, might last longer (in theory). But when it does wear out it can't be magically duplicated like bits can.

    So if you want stuff to last forever, each generation of people needs to convert the old stuff into a new format. But if you are only doing this once a generation, it's not that big of a deal. You could even make it a family tradition, the passing of the old to the new. Assuming of course that you actually care about keeping something 'forever'.

    1. Re:"Forever" would be nice, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, it wold be nice to have conversions happening every year, but eventually, the combined relics of so many generations would turn into a full time job, even if only for just one family.

      I suppose that if it were purely digital, you could probably have it work semi-independently, just letting a shell script (or whatever future equivalent) plug away for days at a time. All the same, though, I just can't imagine a dozen generation's worth of media being re-processed in a trivial amount of time.

    2. Re:"Forever" would be nice, but... by Surur · · Score: 1

      In sufficiently large numbers digital starts approximating analog, and you run into fidelity problems. Bit rot and flipped bits sets in, which defeat even error correction (in large enough numbers).

      After enough generations even digital would have accumulated errors and have degraded, and after 100's of generations it will be useless.

      Surur

      --
      Information is the location of things. Computation is moving things around.
    3. Re:"Forever" would be nice, but... by ka9dgx · · Score: 1
      Think of what would be lost if all of our >25 year old media went away. All of the wax cylinders, vynil records, photographs, negatives, microfiche, etc. would be lost, unless it had an active archivist. Public domain works wouldn't exist at all.

      Clearly, this is not acceptable. There must be a long term storage media for data. I worry less about the format of the data on the media than the actual stability of the media itself. You can always get someone (or a program) to render an obsolete arraingment of bits into something useful, assuming you haven't lost the bits.

      I know that eternal storage impossible, but wouldn't it be nice to force someone way down the line to look at my quaint 4 digit folder years? ;)

      --Mike--

    4. Re:"Forever" would be nice, but... by limon.verde · · Score: 1
      Not if you use good error correction (not detection) methods. If the code is good enough for the degradation of your media, you should be ok.

      Each generation gets the previous' data, corrects the error, and reaplies the protection code. The odds of one generation not being able to retrieve the data depend on your code, but can be made "arbitrarily" low.

  34. The Darl McBride answer... by the_rajah · · Score: 1

    "Very soon, but not less that a week."

    "Do the Right Thing. It will gratify some people and astound the rest." - Mark Twain

    --


    "Do the Right Thing. It will gratify some people and astound the rest." - Mark Twain
  35. Durrrrr by ari_j · · Score: 1

    Oops, I got the wrong URL in that link. This is what I meant.

  36. Longer than the copyright protection by NetDanzr · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I'd like the media to last at least a few years after the copyright protection expires. Only that way we can legally guarantee that many great works don't disappear alltogether, as the copyright owners keep them in storage, and their media become unusable before enthusiasts can legally get and preserve them for the future. So currently, I'm looking for a roughly 100 years media lifetime.

    1. Re:Longer than the copyright protection by HTH+NE1 · · Score: 1

      Actually, with people living longer, plus the ever extending post mortem limits, baby's first copyrighted digital work could require media longevity of 200 years or more.

      --
      Oh, say does that Star-Spangled Banner entwine / The myrtle of Venus with Bacchus's vine?
    2. Re:Longer than the copyright protection by wings · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You might have actually hit the nail on the head here. If the archival media doesn't last longer than copyright, the material may never enter the public domain. We're already seeing this loss with film and books.

    3. Re:Longer than the copyright protection by dallaylaen · · Score: 1

      I'd like the media to last at least a few years after the copyright protection expires.

      So, should that be a digital media that prolongs it's lifespan when needed?</sarcasm>

      --
      WYSIWIG, but what you see might not be what you need
  37. I Want My Unborn Grandkids by Doug+Dante · · Score: 1

    To have all of my digital pictures. 100 years would be nice. Just set a reasonable price and I'll buy it.

    --
    The world will not get better through technology. We must seek to be better people.
    1. Re:I Want My Unborn Grandkids by mrm677 · · Score: 1

      To have all of my digital pictures. 100 years would be nice. Just set a reasonable price and I'll buy it.

      I suggest picking out your favorites and get them printed onto Fuji Crystal Archive paper. These will last for your grandkids to view in case the digital bits are lost somehow.

      Personally, I bought the negatives from my wedding photographer and made several silver halide prints onto traditional B&W fiber paper. I toned then in selenium. These should last several hundred years assuming no natural disaster.

      For color, the most archival film ever developed is from the 40s-- Kodak Kodachrome (yes, the song). You can still buy this film, but Kodak is slowly killing it off even though many say it is superior to anything else out there including Fuji's vaunted Velvia film. I just found my dad's Kodachrome slides from the Vietnam war, hidden at the bottom of a closet, and they are just beautiful and incredible.

      Inkjets are not there. Sorry. Manufacturers make many claims, but even the Epson Ultrachrome inks do not last as long as Fuji Crystal Archive.

  38. Re:But don't forget ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    2 Late it's already /.ted

  39. 53.3 Years by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    53.3 years... because 640 months should be enough for anyone.

  40. Forever??? by hesiod · · Score: 1

    I don't know if it's related to the idea that teenagers think they are immortal, but "forever" is a long time. How much of that information will have any value in 40 years?

    3.5" floppies took about 2 decades to become obsolete, do they seriously expect this new standard to last 40 years without the need/request to transfer everything to another format?

    1. Re:Forever??? by shdragon · · Score: 1

      The article specifically talks about government(s) and organizations wanting archival technology to last as long, if not longer than previous data. In this context, this is a very important and serious undertaking. Not to long ago, some janitors cleaning out the basement of a government building about to be destroyed in DC discovered pay ledgers dating all the way back to 1791. They were all still in pristine condition and legible. They not only told how much each delegate was paid each day, but also provide concrete dates as to when they arrived & left.

      Read more about it here http://hnn.us/comments/5103.html

      --
      "...we dont care about the economics; we just want to be able to hack great stuff."
  41. Longer than... by Reignking · · Score: 0

    I'd like my media to last longer than it'll take the web site to get slashdotted...whoops, too late.

    --
    One man's Funny is another man's Offtopic.
  42. When life give you lemons... by Thud457 · · Score: 1

    Real colleges post their records to teh intarweb and let a million identity scammers do the backup for them!

    --

    the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

    1. Re:When life give you lemons... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      +1, funny + -1, overrated = -1, bad math.
      You are making a false assumption about the relationship between 1 funny and 1 overrated (ex: 1 funny = 1 overrated).
      +1, logical observation + -1, faulty assumption = -1, bad sig
    2. Re:When life give you lemons... by notthe9 · · Score: 1

      I'm highly offended at the content posted in the Homepage field of your postbit.

  43. How long? by killmenow · · Score: 2, Funny

    I was going to pontificate about usefulness of data and a bunch of crap like that until I realized how simple the answer to this question really is:

    42

  44. Domain by chingador · · Score: 1

    Did Orgazmo come to mind when anybody else saw their domain name ?

  45. 25 years? by Godman · · Score: 1

    How many /.ers have cds from 25 years ago? That's what I thought. They didn't HAVE CD's 25 years ago (Not like we do today, at any rate)

    In 25 years, this will be a moot point. We'll have some insanely big storage medium. Right now, our current technology just has to hold the data for about 5-10 more years, then we can all switch over to the new system.

    Case in point: All the old floppies we used to run stuff on are obselete now. I'm sure back then, the people running them hoped that the floppies would last "forever". Who's running 5 1/4 floppies now? They've all switched over.

    And now I've RTFA, it seems that this is a point they make in the survey. Just something to keep in mind.

    --
    I have this really funny quote that I like to put here. Unfortunately, there's this really annoying thing called a char
    1. Re:25 years? by bloosh · · Score: 1

      I have a nice collection of Apple II 5.25 floppies from the early 80s that still work perfectly. They don't hold much, but they are far more reliable than brand new 3.5 floppies that seem to develop bad sectors after a single use.

    2. Re:25 years? by Godman · · Score: 1

      True that...blasted 3.5s never work.

      I haven't used one in years.

      --
      I have this really funny quote that I like to put here. Unfortunately, there's this really annoying thing called a char
  46. NIST study about CD/DVD Longevity by karvind · · Score: 4, Informative

    Earlier slashdot story regarding NIST study about potential lifespan of CD-Rs and DVD-Rs.

  47. microsoft's reply by SensitiveMale · · Score: 1

    Until the next trial

  48. completely irrelevent, but by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    an optical-disk industry group
    you mean the DVD Association... also known as the DVDA... heehee ::snicker::

    1. Re:completely irrelevent, but by urbster1 · · Score: 1

      too bad someone beat you to it

  49. Depends on which media! But no archiving by redelm · · Score: 3, Interesting
    I expect expensive commercial movie DVDs to last my lifetime. I expect extortionately expensive music CDs to last my grandchildren's lifetime. I expect the backup CDs I burn to last 2 backup cycles, say 3 months.

    I will not "archive" materials. If it's important, it stays online, migrated & backed-up. If it's no longer important -- delete. Online (HD) isn't that expensive. Archives can get lost or corrupted. Or readers may no longer be available.

  50. Hmmm, is this ok? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Is there a way for AC's to opt out of the "Take this servey" portion of /.? Cool, it's news but if those types of postings are ok around here now then does that mean that I can use /. to distribute my efforts to collect marketing data? (Not that I handle marketing but that seems like what is underway here.)

    Oh, the group's membership is listed on the left here: http://www.itl.nist.gov/div895/gipwog/

  51. Tiered costs? by startleman · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I think that the story makes a good point, namely that some Data / Format migration is inevitible.
    Therefore, optical storage producers would be smart to offer several "levels" of guaranteed life, and you could purchase based on how long you think you need you need your data to live. e.g. price per unit... 5 years: 1 dollar, 10 years: $1.50, 20 years: $2.00 etc.

    1. Re:Tiered costs? by edremy · · Score: 1

      Already done. You'll pay a lot more than for the generic 100 to a spindle CD-Rs, but they should last a lot longer.

      --
      "Seven Deadly Sins? I thought it was a to-do list!"
    2. Re:Tiered costs? by Hackeron · · Score: 1

      Yes, good idea. But survey starts at 20 years. Which leads me to believe its a survey that will be used in DRM application, not media reliability.

      For me, I think 5 years is fine for a media to last, as long as I can take the data and transfer it to another media. Naturally, with TC and DRM that will not be the case and *thats* the problem.

  52. I say "forever" by khendron · · Score: 1

    I'll go with the "forever" option, or at least a long long time. Yes, older technologies can be migrated to newer technologies, but that is irrelevent. There is no way today we can make the decision about what will be of interest 1000 years from now. The only way to get the data of today to 1000 years from now is for the storage medium to last 1000 years.

    --
    Life is like a web application. Sometime you need cookies just to get by.
  53. Of course we want our data to last forever... by bradbury · · Score: 1

    The preservation of our data is the understory of what it is to be human. No preservation = no humanity. All we are is just "dust in the wind".

  54. Permanent Media by Thunderstruck · · Score: 1

    ... is already available. You only need two components:

    1. A punch card reader; and
    2. Punch cards made out of that plastic that lasts for a length of time statistically indistinguishable from forever.

    Presto! Permanent media.

    --
    Trying to use sarcasm in text-based forums does not work.
    1. Re:Permanent Media by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      3.25 x 7.375 x 0.007 = 0.16778 cubic inches to store 80 bytes. So 1024^3 * 0.16778 / 80 = 2.252 million cubic inches to store 1 gigabyte, or 1,303 cubic feet per gigabyte. Or picture a ten by sixteen foot room with 8 foot ceiling full of cards, for a gigabyte. Assume a specific gravity of 1.4 for a good archival polyester film, and that pile o' cards weighs 59 tons.

  55. My prediction: by Thud457 · · Score: 1

    In 100 years, the only archival footage available to historians will be pirated copies of films. We all know Hollywood was already letting films rot in the vaults before they got all paranoid about the scourage of perfect digital copies.

    --

    the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

  56. DVDA.org? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    DoubleVaginalDoubleAnal.org?

  57. Tape lasts 100 years by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 2, Interesting

    CDs last 3-5 years
    Floppies last 4-5 years

    The problem isn't storage, it's READING the data stored in an old format. We have many miles of census data stored on punch cards and paper tapes, but don't have the machines to read them anymore - at least not in quantity.

    So making it last isn't important - I can still play my records, but it's hard to find needles to play them.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  58. A short History of written media by jimbro2k · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Stone - lasts about a million years. Clay - 100 years - (10,000 years if burned!!) Parchment/Vellum - 1000 years unless eaten by bugs. Papyrus/Paper - 500 years, MUCH longer if kept dry. Acidic Paper - 100 years or less. Notice the trend - it is NOT toward longer-lived media. Volitility seems to trump Archivability every time, and possibly for different reasons in each age.

    --
    There is not nearly enough love in the world, but there is far too much trust.
    1. Re:A short History of written media by TurtlesAllTheWayDown · · Score: 1
      Stone- non-portable. Heavy, awkward
      Clay- lighter than stone, but bulky and fragile
      Parchment/vellum- lightweight but bulky and difficult to mass-produce
      Papyrus/rag- lighter than vellum, easier to store, easier to produce
      Acid paper- lighter than Papyrus/rag, less bulky, even easier to produce

      seems to me, that portability and useability have been the driving factors; throughout the ages.
      Few scribes, historically, have kept the Ozymandian standard,
      but in the end, even stone withers.

    2. Re:A short History of written media by sploxx · · Score: 1

      Stone - lasts about a million years. Clay - 100 years - (10,000 years if burned!!) Parchment/Vellum - 1000 years unless eaten by bugs. Papyrus/Paper - 500 years, MUCH longer if kept dry. Acidic Paper - 100 years or less. Notice the trend - it is NOT toward longer-lived media.
      Emmm... isn't that da potential fallacy?
      I mean... the people in stone age may just as well have written things onto papyrus or maybe even simple leaves for quick notes. How do you know? But these media decayed over time and what is left are stones.
      There isn't neccessarily a trend not towards longer-lived media. Though I also don't believe that the digital media are longer-lived...

      Maybe people in the future will catch our space probes and decipher the information in them - maybe because they didn't suffer from earth's microbes... who knows?

    3. Re:A short History of written media by theguyfromsaturn · · Score: 1

      Digital media, however offers the added difficulty or requiring a compatible system to unencode the data just to be able to view it. At the rate standards are changing it is very likely that players capable of rendering the contents of digital media will not be available even before the medium becomes inaccessible (with excellent care). An analog copy of all important digital info should always be kept somewhere.

      --
      I like my dinosaurs feathery, and my pterosaurs hairy (or is it pycnofibery?)
    4. Re:A short History of written media by 91degrees · · Score: 1

      Clay - 100 years - (10,000 years if burned!!)

      It's sort of ironic that the reason we have so much information about the Mesopotamia is that various attackers destroyed the cities that held the clay cunieform tablets.

      It's really time someone put together a Rosetta Stone. Put the same text in all known languages (including dead languages) on a very large hunk of durable material. Certain plastics will be pretty durable against general wear and tear (if not extreme conditions). It's just a matter of where to keep it.

    5. Re:A short History of written media by decipher_saint · · Score: 1

      I think there is more redundancy now that most of us can read / write and the act of transcription takes only a few seconds and costs less than 10 cents a sheet...

      Don't mind me, I'm extra bitter today...

      --
      crazy dynamite monkey
    6. Re:A short History of written media by elgatozorbas · · Score: 1
      Notice the trend - it is NOT toward longer-lived media

      Hm, tough one here. Obviously only the time-resistant media survived...

    7. Re:A short History of written media by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  59. Re:How before Linux has to reboot? by takis · · Score: 1

    Strange, my tiny PentiumMMX 32MB RAM server is still running, ignoring "the nasty reboot bug" which has been in there for 10 years...

    takis@eros:~$ uptime
    20:55:12 up 64 days, 36 min, 1 user, load average: 0.00, 0.01, 0.00

    takis@eros:~$ uname -a
    Linux eros 2.6.9-ac12-eros #2 Thu Dec 9 01:49:39 CET 2004 i586 unknown

    And our student server seems to be running fine, ignoring that "reboot bug":

    -(~)> uptime
    8:56pm up 74 days, 5:07, 2 users, load average: 1.12, 0.70, 0.66
    -(~)> uname -a
    Linux lumumba 2.4.29-rc1 #1 Sat Jan 15 14:32:12 CET 2005 i686 unknown

    Sure, I should have ignored your flamebait...

  60. Flat text files by rewt66 · · Score: 1

    ... had better be readable in 25 years by the software that exists then. If for no other reason, because so much of UNIX is based on text files.

    Now, the text files of 25 years from now may well not use 8-bit characters (think Unicode here). So current text files may in fact not be directly readable by the current software in 25 years (though I would bet that there will be some software in 25 years that still has an "import old 8-bit files" option, again on UNIX/Linux if nowhere else).

    HTML will almost certainly still be readable. Doc format? Forget it.

    Hmm, I think I see a pattern here. Open formats survive longer than closed ones.

    1. Re:Flat text files by KingEomer · · Score: 1

      I thought that the low 8 bits of unicode mapped to ascii? If that's so, then shouldn't it be fine? I would think that the main problem would be with filesystems and such. I.e. nothing 25 years from now might be able to read an NTFS/FAT32 partition.

    2. Re:Flat text files by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's the low 7 bits of UTF-8 and yes, it's already working fine.

    3. Re:Flat text files by rewt66 · · Score: 1

      I guess I wasn't clear enough, so I'll try to me more clear.

      Let's suppose you have a file that has the text "ABC" in it. Currently, the bytes in the file (in hex) are "41 42 43". But in a Unicode world, they should be "00 41 00 42 00 43" or even "00 00 00 41 00 00 00 42 00 00 00 43", depending on whether we wind up with 16-bit or 32-bit Unicode.

      So the hypothetical Unicode text-file program in the future reads "41 42 43" and sees one and a half characters rather than 3, and the one complete character it sees does not correspond to any ASCII character.

    4. Re:Flat text files by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


      You clearly have no understanding of how Unicode encodings actually work.

      Most of the popular stream encodings (UTF-8, etc) are variable-bit length fields, and are backwards compatable with ASCII.

    5. Re:Flat text files by rewt66 · · Score: 1
      Sure - if the file is actually stored as UTF8. And, in fact, that's current recommended practice, because one OS doesn't necessarily encode the same as another, and so anything that you want to be portable between platforms you had better save as UTF8. In the same way, wire formats had better be UTF8, as well. (And, yes, UTF8 isn't the only possible encoding. It's the most universal, though, and if you want to produce something that everybody can read, it's your best bet.)

      But that's the current situation. The original question was about 25 years down the road. Will everything (textual) be saved then as true Unicode, just as in the past everything was saved as ASCII? (For that to happen, one Unicode format would have to become the standard.)

      And by the way, I've spent the last four months working on adding Unicode to a fairly large product, and have had to get it compiling on four different UNIX flavors, so I think I have at least some familiarity with how Unicode encodings work...

    6. Re:Flat text files by Teancum · · Score: 1

      Keep in mind that UTF-8 is a superset of ASCII, and all of the code points of ASCII have been maintained in UTF-8... in otherwords, it goes to show how useful some standards have become.

      I don't see anything surpassing Unicode anyway unless the Unicode Consortium decides to get an idiot committee in charge that starts to really push on the intellectual property front. There isn't a competing format at the moment, and even for open source programmers all of the relevant information (encoding algorithms, meanings of datapoints, even technical manuals) are all available freely and free-as-in-beer with few exceptions.

      If the Unicode Consortium decides to become stupid, this will change, but even at that point it will likely produce only a fork in the development of Unicode data code points. Data using the current Unicode data points will be relatively safe.

      This is nothing like the EBDIC vs. ASCII issues in the past (which had very different code points).

  61. Choice by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

    Fast, cheap, good. Pick any two.

    --

    --
    make install -not war

    1. Re:Choice by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So insightful again, thank you. I can't believe you do not charge /. for your services. Where is the meat?

  62. "archaic" "obsolete" [n/t] by sum.zero · · Score: 1

    this text is not here.

    sum.zero

  63. Where does the US gov keep its records? by manifoldronin · · Score: 1

    One of these days we would still like to know who on earth killed JFK, you know.

    --
    Tyranny isn't the worst enemy of a democracy. Cynicism is.
  64. DVDA? by DaPhoenix · · Score: 2, Funny

    Why would the porn industry be interested in conducting a survey of the lifetime of digital media?

    I say porn industry because its DVDA.org... Double vag... come on, you all watch southpark.

    --
    -- -=innocent ramblings from the mind of an insomniatic programmer=-
  65. Biodegradable media by KevinDean · · Score: 1

    I think another important issue is the amount of waste generated by throw-away CDs and DVDs. How long do you want the average mix-CD made by Joe Teenager to last? He probably won't be using that thing longer than a year. Biodegradable media may serve the purpose for 90% of optical storage, and more permanent metal/plastic discs could be used for archiving pictures, documents, and the like. Answering the data-life question is important for determining how long biodegradable media should last. Plus, the life of the disc doesn't determine the life of the data. If you have something really important, you can probably spare the time once every 20-25 years to copy it to a new medium before the old one becomes unusable. I'm sure most of us wish that those AOL CDs would biodegrade before they ever made it to our mailboxes and front doors.

  66. are we talking hookers? by sum.zero · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    i'll take cheap and good.

    sum.zero

  67. The real limitation here by Skyshadow · · Score: 2, Interesting
    In my experience, the real limitation in terms of data storage isn't the media so much as it is the hardware.

    When is the last time you saw a 5.25" disk drive? How easy is it to find a Jaz drive these days? WORM reader? Something that will read your old files stored on analog cassette tape? I could go on naming defunct storage media solutions for half the day.

    The only real solution for long-term storage is to keep the files "live" on a system someplace. Under and other arrangement even if the *media* the bits are stored on doesn't go bad, there's a pretty good chance that the hardware to read that media will go the way of the dodo when you're not looking.

    So, once again, good planning and systems administration proves to be the answer. Set up a reliable system in a RAID mirroring setup and cut backups on a regular basis.

    This became a major concern to me once I switched over to all digital photography. I have a Linux fileserver running a RAID-1 setup that serves up all my important files. Once a month, I cut three sets of backups to DVD -- one gets stuck a CD tower in my apartment, one gets taken to work and the other one goes to a storage area I have (I figure if anything ever happens to take out all three at once, losing my data will be the least of my worries). I'm up to four DVD's to back up all my data now, thanks mostly to digital photos.

    It's important to be able to rely on your media over a fairly reasonable term, but in any long-term situation live filesystems are the only way to fly.

    --
    Every year during my review, I just pray the words "slashdot.org" aren't mentioned.
    1. Re:The real limitation here by MrAnnoyanceToYou · · Score: 1

      In contrast to that, however, hard drive connectors (standard err.... tip of my tongue, built a computer last month... screw it) have not changed drastically from a user standpoint in at least 10 years. The storage and retrieval inside certainly has, though. CD's? A CD from 15 years ago will work just the same theoretically, if you've kept perfect care of it... Anyone know how CD's freeze?

    2. Re:The real limitation here by Mycroft_514 · · Score: 1

      >When is the last time you saw a 5.25" disk drive?

      Every time I go home, I have 2 of them yet.

      >Something that will read your old files stored on analog cassette tape?

      Got 1 backup tape reader, for reading files off my backup tapes and my Dad's backup tapes. Never really used a cassette reader, but I do have paper tapes and punched cards still.

      >This became a major concern to me once I switched over to all digital photography.

      One reason I still use FILM, 100 years and the film is still there.

      I know what you are saying, but you are throwing money at what a low tech and lower cost solution will do more easily.

    3. Re:The real limitation here by Nebu · · Score: 1

      Isn't my DVD drive a WORM reader? WORM stands for Write Once Read Many, right?

    4. Re:The real limitation here by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      You can trivially find all of those devices on ebay. A lot of computer hardware tends to sit around in cheap, dry warehouse spaces in the middle of BFE and then it turns up on ebay when someone sells the warehouse or something. There's not a lot of worm drives on there, but there's an awful lot of jaz drives and plenty of 5.25" floppy drives.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    5. Re:The real limitation here by ArbitraryConstant · · Score: 1

      Well consider how the media has changed since floppies were standard.

      There was never any (popular) successor to the floppy that was backwards compatible, apart from incremental updates (eg 360k -> 720k -> 1440k), and things like the Jaz drive were always proprietary and never very popular.

      In contrast, the CD and its successors are backwards compatible. You may assume a DVD drive, and whatever comes after that (Blu-Ray) and whatever comes after that (UV-Ray?) will be able to read your CDs for many years to come. So the lifetime of such media is an issue.

      Live filesystems are a practical solution for a different reason. For many people (though not necessarily all people or all businesses), hard drives have kept pace with the need for storage, and it is practical to simply dump the contents of the old drive onto the new one and leave it there in addition to the new stuff. My "old computer backup" folder contains the "old computer backup" folder from the previous computer, probably nested 4-5 deep.

      That way, the lifetime of the backup media doesn't matter because if you lose the drive, you only need the latest full backup and any subsequent incrementals, which rarely covers more than a few years.

      --
      I rarely criticize things I don't care about.
  68. Stone tablets by iminplaya · · Score: 1

    last thousands of years. Paper can last thousands of years. Film? al least a hundred years. Vinyl, so far about 80 or 90 years. It seems that every new medium we come up with has a shorter lifespan than the previous. Doesn't seem right, does it? Digital should last at least as long as vinyl. CD's made of glass and gold are the only materials that can provide suitable durability. Good luck finding a player a thousand years later. Actually the constant changes in technology make digital archiving impractical. You have to re-archive averything to keep up with the tech. You only need daylight to read stone and paper, and you can play your vinyl on a potter's wheel if you have to. Neither requires electricity. That by itself gives it a huge advantage over digital.

    --
    What?
    1. Re:Stone tablets by Locke2005 · · Score: 1

      No, digital data lasts forever, provided you copy it onto new media about once a year. The fact that we're sitting here comparing easily copied media to difficultly copied media just indicates that most people don't yet understand what "being digital" is all about. Want your data to last forever? Convince 1000 different web sites to mirror it!

      --
      I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
    2. Re:Stone tablets by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      You're making alot of assumptions, there. Can the world really support a global IT infrasture in even 100 years for everyone at the rate of growth it has now? Maybe the earth really can't take that much poisoning & depletion of resources.

    3. Re:Stone tablets by iminplaya · · Score: 1

      If being digital means making it more difficult to archive the info, then where's the advantage of going digital? Of course it's for the ease of access, but it does nothing for long term durability. All data lasts forever. It's the medium that it's stored on that doesn't. Analog or digital. There's a bit of a conflict here. You can have accessability or low maintenance long term storage. So you need digital for one and stone tablets for the other. You're(editorially speaking) making things difficult(archiving) to make things easy(access, convenience). That's a little like waking up to take a sleeping pill. Another problem of copying to new media every year or so is the not so remote possibility of data corruption. Somebody will add a bit here, drop a bit there. Pretty soon the data no longer resembles the original. Even digital is not completely error free, and error correction can screw things up pretty good after 1,000 or 10,000 generations of backups.

      --
      What?
    4. Re:Stone tablets by Locke2005 · · Score: 1

      You're correct; the problem with using massive redundancy to preserve digital data is that it is very high maintenance. However, I don't think the accumulated error problem needs to be as bad as you say; if you simply keep several generations of backup, and do bit-by-bit compairisons of newer generations with older, you can detect and throw out any generation that has errors. I guess what I'm trying to day is that the ease of copying of digital data makes it easy to use a massive redundancy scheme to acheive any reliability and lifetime you want, but it does require constant work to keep it going.

      --
      I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
  69. It's not just the media. by glyn.phillips · · Score: 1
    Somewhere in my storeroom I have an 8-inch CP/M format floppy disk. The hardware (and software) to read it are long gone.

    Given the current half life of media readers and writers, you can expect to migrate your data every five years or so. When 5 1/4 disks became an endangered species, I moved what was important to 3 1/2 disks. When 3 1/2 drives start to become scarse, the data on 3 1/2 disks that I still care about will be to moved to whatever technology seems likely to hang around the longest at the time.

  70. Heiroglyphics by srobert · · Score: 1

    Last night I went to a museum and saw a great deal of ancient Egyptian art with lots of heiroglyphs that was about 3500 years old. I'd like our storage media to last at least that long.

  71. At least one year longer than copyright by OglinTatas · · Score: 1

    so when it starts to degrade, someone can make another copy if necessary.

  72. It needs to last forever.. by SmegTheLight · · Score: 1

    Everything is going to be on digital media soon.

    Think how the last few thousand years of our collective knowledge would look if the media it was recored on only lasted 40 years.

    Sure, the data people want to be preserved will be copied, spread around, and duplicated - but what about the data people in power DON'T want to be around.

    You can bury a book, in a container, before it get's burned, and hundreds of years later someone can unearth it. Humanity needs to be able to do the same thing with digital media.

    --
    Time travel is possible. We are quickly heading for 1984.
    1. Re:It needs to last forever.. by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      digital media might be useless and unintelligable in a thousand years - what if technology goes in the direction of mods to the human body/plants/animals, or that hyper-advances to technology without common sense just a fad that goes away?

    2. Re:It needs to last forever.. by SmegTheLight · · Score: 1
      digital media might be useless and unintelligable in a thousand years
      Like say, Egyptian Hieroglyphics ?

      No one could read them thousands of years later, but that didn't stop people from trying and eventually succeeding.
      --
      Time travel is possible. We are quickly heading for 1984.
  73. What about me? by Hyksos · · Score: 1

    My pr0n only needs to last about... say... 3 minutes?

  74. Show of hands by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Who out there still has hundreds of floppy disks filled with porn downloaded from Usenet that are completely frickin' worthless now?

  75. Forever is long enough by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    I would think that we would like our data to last forever, but maybe it's just me.

    I was going to say 'until Disney lets copyright expire' but I guess forever will suffice.

  76. Re:How before Linux has to reboot? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    LIES, these screenshots have been tampered with; i have proof

  77. 10 years is more than enough... by Havenwar · · Score: 1

    no really... at this time in life I have never had any data that I would want to keep for more than a decade. There are several reasons:

    Within a decade there will be new technology out that will require me to transfer everything anyways. Example given: all my old VHS tapes met the scrapheap as soon as I got a DVD-burner.

    Within a decade I most likely will not be listening to the same music... Example given: The 80s. or most any decade. For golden oldies you still prefer, see the above point.

    Any thing I wrote a decade ago is either published, or crap, or both. Anything to be kept for emotional purposes, see point one.

    And finally, any program I liked a deacade ago, most likely wont play on my new computer. If it does, I can always keep a copy in whatever format is popular at the time.

    Well, maybe there is one more reason...
    If ANYTHING is THAT important to me after more than a decade, for gods sake, smack me, I'm living in the past. For any exceptions to this, again... see exampe one about transfer.

    So who the friggin heck needs this anyways?
    I have a bunch of 5.1/4 floppys that work just fine, but seriously, what use are they to me?

    (I'll answer that one myself... Decoration and shooting targets.)

  78. I can't believe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I would have thought the first comment would be something about the movie "Orgazmo" considering the website was DVDA.org

  79. Maintained, digital format is superior by Anonymous+Custard · · Score: 1

    If you want to maintain a text, store it digitally and redundantly. You can keep a text for thousands of years, assuming people continue to maintain redundant copies, purely because digital files can be copied with no degradation. Paper will fade, and manual copying of text is prone to human error. As long as you keep sufficiently redundant digital copies, you'll be fine.

  80. My reply: by durandal61 · · Score: 1

    Digital media is replacing, and thus should match the longevity of, non-digital media, such as paper and photographs. It would be insane not to aim for the longest term storage possible. Lost protocols may be deduced, but lost media cannot be recovered.

    --
    My motorbike travels in Chile.
  81. Missing points... by code65536 · · Score: 1

    The article talks about getting media labeled with lifespans. In the case of optical media, the burning process contributes to the longevity just as much as the physical disc itself. I'd imagine that moving a laptop while its internal drive is burning could be problematic and lead to media that won't last as long. Or improper laser calibration.

    Second, how do the manufacturers know how long a disc will last? They do accelerated aging tests by exposing discs to extreme conditions, but are those results good estimates? Maybe, but we'll never find out until decades down the line when we can finally verify the validity of such claims empirically.

  82. Don't forget Shellac Disks by CohibaVancouver · · Score: 1
    After all, Shellac is the 'Sound of the Future'!

    http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?story Id=1216161

  83. disappearing data by brammo · · Score: 1

    I would like them to last 'till the point I forget about them I just hope sysadmins and so don't agree :-)

    --
    Tha-tha-tha-tha-that's all folks!
  84. Re:Longer than CowboyMeal wears his underwear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Longer than "forever"? How do you suggest media manufacturers pull off such a thing?

  85. My response... by ErikTheRed · · Score: 1

    40+ Years:

    Artistic creations (photographs, movies, etc) which cannot be replaced are now stored almost exclusively in digital form. Having media decay with time creates an ongoing job of having to continuously re-copy data. Should you miss any, it's gone forever. In my estimation, this is even more important for families that want to maintain an historical record of their lives for posterity. I've recently come across writings and records of my ancestors dating back several hundred years, and it's a wonderful and fascinating thing. I would like to make sure that my great-great-great-grandchildren have something similar available to them. Outside of that, there is interest in preserving artifacts of our culture for future generations as well. As we discover that modern film, prints, magnetic and optical media have a much shorter lifespan than good old-fashioned paper (and even modern paper tends to contain acids, etc., which shorten its lifespan) and carving stuff into rock, one must wonder if our present world will vanish into the mists of time - to be outlived, as it were, by some of the ancient civilizations that by historic and technological accident chose to use superior media.

    --

    Help save the critically endangered Blue Iguana
    1. Re:My response... by smoker2 · · Score: 1

      one must wonder if our present world will vanish into the mists of time - to be outlived, as it were, by some of the ancient civilizations that by historic and technological accident chose to use superior media.

      Which might go some way to explaining anomalies like the ancient and accurate maps of the land mass under the antarctic ice ...

  86. Follow the chain of technology upwards by AHumbleOpinion · · Score: 1

    Follow the chain of technology upwards. The data on my key DOS-era QIC-80 tapes was burned to CD-R. Recently the data on my key CD-Rs was burned to a DVD-R. I also use an old machine as a home server and have copies of this data there.

  87. I want my digital pictures to last forever by Laoping · · Score: 3, Insightful

    So for me I think of it this way. My parents and grand parents have only a few pics of the gererations that came before. Some really old picutres we have came from around 1910. The pictures are for the most part not in very good share. I see these pictures of these people who were loved deeply by the people I love and I wish I could know them better.

    Now I have a nice digital camera(Canon Digital Rebel) that was expensive, but I got it for a good reason. I am about to get married and do the whole family thing. I hope someday that a great-grand kids over maybe even a further down the line will be able to look at all the pictures I will take and maybe understand a little better where they came from, what the world was like, and how pretty there great grandma was:)

    1. Re:I want my digital pictures to last forever by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wish I could mod you up "+1, sweet". :)

    2. Re:I want my digital pictures to last forever by trongey · · Score: 1

      And of course you'll be setting up a trust to ensure that your great-grandchildren will have access to some technology that can read the media and formats on which you stored those pictures.

      Or did you also buy a photo printer?

      --
      You never really know how close to the edge you can go until you fall off.
    3. Re:I want my digital pictures to last forever by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I simply make two copies of each of my photo CDs. If one of the two copies stop working, I make a second copy from the one still working. I don't think there's any media that lasts longer than digital media if you do this.

  88. Re:How before Linux has to reboot? by mottie · · Score: 1

    I believe he's actually referring to a Windows 98 bug that has been fixed for over 5 years now.

    Oddly searching for "windows 98 reboot bug" brought up way too many irrelevant references.. who would have guessed that windows, reboot, and bug would be on the same page?

    http://www.windowsitpro.com/Article/ArticleID/1854 0/18540.html

  89. Punched aluminum? by shadowpuppy · · Score: 1

    I had this discussion awhile back with a coworker. Our hypothetical solution was aluminum punch cards. Not so great for data density but it has a few positive features.

    1. long life. Hopefully more durable than paper. Aluminum also shouldn't corrode to much.

    2. reader simplicty. The reader should fairly simple to make. A scanner and some black paper should get it into the computer then it's just a matter of oftware. Other methods should be easy also.

    3.If you're straight forward with the data it should be fairly easy for archeologists to figure out years from now.

  90. How about... by Junior+J.+Junior+III · · Score: 1

    Making it line up neatly with copyright? Life of the owner, plus 75 years? That way, when copyright expires, the media will just self-destruct, and there will be nothing to fall back into the public domain. Of course, as we simply keep extending copyright, it'll mean that media will never self-destruct.

    --
    You see? You see? Your stupid minds! Stupid! Stupid!
  91. The answer by paranode · · Score: 1

    To me the real answer to this question of how long our media should last is "Long enough for us to move it to the next most convenient and efficient format". The storage we have now is impressive but any forward-thinking person would reasonably assume that it will be outdone and become obsolete relatively soon. Of course most organizations will choose not to ride the wave of new technology for cost reasons, so that has to be factored in as well.

  92. Offsite backups by PxM · · Score: 1

    Local fires won't damage the offsite backups ("my bank's digital data vault") if the bank has the backup scattered all around the world.

  93. Please please please by mentaldrano · · Score: 1

    Please use your real name and email address! If we want the industry types to take this survey seriously, don't give them an excuse to write off the results as "ballot box stuffing." If your email address is noone@nowhere.com, I apologize for all the spam I have given you over the years, but now is the time to tell the truth.

  94. Readable for 70 years. by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

    I would like to last 70 years (as in doesn't degrade). I.e. I don't want it to become cloudy, split into pieces, or fade as long as I store it properly. I would like to to be readable for at least that long as well. (as in new standards have to be backwards compatible that long). i.e. I put a dvd into a dvd player in 30 years, I expect it to play my old 9.4gig dvds as well as the 80 terrabyte dvd's I'll be using then.

    --
    She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
  95. Until a pron-raid by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 1

    Pixel perfect until the feds come knock on the door.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
  96. mod parent up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "I don't mean to sound gay or anything, but I think unicorns kick ass."

  97. Optical VS. Tape? by vidarlo · · Score: 1

    I'm currently doing backups to tape, in the hope that it takes more to destroy the entire tape than a cd, and also that tape lasts longer. I'm wondering how this stands up today? Is tape lasting significantly longer than disk? Than Optical mediums?

  98. You mean hardware? by gotr00t · · Score: 1
    I would think that the software to read old media would be easy to come by, but the hard part is finding the right hardware to interface older with modern hardware.

    For example, I have an old 20mb 5.25" drive with a logical edge connector. I don't think any modern system uses that kind of connector anymore, and though I have IDE controller cards that have it, they're all ISA cards. When was the last time you saw an ISA slot on a P4/AMD64 motherboard?

  99. Forever is bad by syntap · · Score: 1

    I mean, is anyone nowadays looking at cavewoman pr0n? That's how we'll look to humans 50,000 years from now.

  100. They want my name and email? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I didn't easily see any privacy statement on what they would do with my name/email, how well they would protect it, why they needed it.

    The form won't accept if the fields are blank. Of course, I could enter bogus data, but there should be a clear policy statement.

  101. Reliability by enigmathegreat · · Score: 1

    I'd say my biggest problem with the whole "migrate your data to another medium later" mentality is all the information that people don't consider to be of enough importance to migrate (even though it could be very important centuries later). After all, look at the Exeter book. The thing's almost a thousand years old, was used as a cutting board, had various things spilled on it, has pages missing, etc. and is one of the most important records of Anglo-Saxon literature in existence (even though some people clearly didn't care what happened to it at the time).

    Furthermore, the thing can still be read. If you even give a CD a decent scratch, some drives are going to cry uncle and refuse to read it. The fact is that digital media can't take very much abuse at all and remain useful. Paper and other such media can (some more than others, of course), which is why all my important stuff exists in hard copy somewhere.

  102. 40+ years at least! by lux55 · · Score: 1

    If I'm passing things on to my kids and eventually their kids, I don't want the media to wear out in my own lifetime, let alone theirs. I'm talking about family photos/videos/personal recordings, etc. not my MP3 collection. I understand that technologies become obsolete, but the continual migration to a new format (or else lose it all!) is no excuse for the old technology to forget all of your data if you don't migrate in time.

    I still have records from 40+ years ago that play just fine -- if newer technologies really are better, then they would last even longer. It's a scam to help ensure the mass migration to new technologies that the storage media expire in such a short time span as they do now.

  103. gold is a bad idea by johnny+cashed · · Score: 1

    If you really want longevity you should take your microfiche and cut the words into sheets of gold.
    looters. That is why we only have stone statues from early times. The bronze ones were melted for other purposes (cannons anyone?)

  104. I have 1.2MB floppies a good as day one and.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    and they havn't been kept in safe pristiene storage conditions. Dust, on the floor, yet I can still read the disks without any problems. They're 15+ years old. All the so called superior 3.5's though are like trying lifting a fingerprint from a weak print. Lots of premature dead and dieing cdrs. Don't get me started on tapes. So what'd they do right with 1.2 MB floppies? Why are they so durable?

    1. Re:I have 1.2MB floppies a good as day one and.. by drinkypoo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Your experience is the opposite of mine. 1.2MB floppies use the majority of their theoretical storage capacity and as such are quite fragile. The most durable floppies, in fact, are 360kB DS/DD 5.25", as they store the least data per unit of area. (Or, of course, single sided 180kB discs, which are basically the same thing.)

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  105. 20, 25, 30, 35, 40... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Would you like your digital-storage media to last 20 years, 25 years, 30 years, 35 years or 40 years?


    Where is the CowboyNeal years option you insensitive clods?!
  106. Nah by Synn · · Score: 1

    Emacs has been around for the last 30 years, I'm sure it'll be around in the next 30 as well :)

  107. Juat as long as... by mikvo · · Score: 1

    ...standard copyrights allow. Before too much longer, that should be effectively forever...

  108. Movies from 100 Years Ago... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "...many of Edison's films survive on printed paper reels submitted to a copyright office that at the time had no way of cataloging film."--Review of this DVD set

    The nitrocellulose backing used for pre-1950s motion picture film is inherently unstable (as well as explosively flammable) and will spontaneously self-destruct [pictures here-- scroll down]. (Turns out the acetate "safety" stock has decomposition problems, too. Not to mention the color-instability of modern prints! [Library of Congress White Paper].)
  109. Use this formula by janneH · · Score: 1

    Average user:
    Storage time desired (in years) = 74 - your current age
    (slightly longer for women, and varies depending on country, how much you smoke, and several other parameters).

    Optimistic user:
    Storage time desired (in years) = 90 - your current age

    Extreme user:
    Storage time desired (in years) = 122 - your current age
    (standard set by Jeanne-Louise Calment, 1875-1997)

    1. Re:Use this formula by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      a realistic answer might be a person's lifetime from teenage years plus half the lifetime of a young beneficiary, partner, etc. So over 100 years, anyway.

  110. holographic media by brontus3927 · · Score: 1

    When holographic media comes to market, a disk the size of a CD/DVD will have the capacity to hold the text of every book ever written

    1. Re:holographic media by FLEB · · Score: 1

      They say something like that about every new media. "It can hold the same as THIS MUCH PAPER!!!" Yeah, in ASCII plaintext. Judging by the size of HDDs being sold now, though, people will just keep finding higher and higher bitrate information types to fill them up.

      --
      Information wants to be free.
      Entertainment wants to be paid.
      You just want to be cheap.
  111. I'd want it to last forever.... by whitetiger0990 · · Score: 1

    But I really doubt that's gonna happen anytime soon. Some new format will probably come out every once and awhile and then the old format will have to be rearchived. What would the ideal format look like?

    --
    You have been warned.
  112. Parchment 1000 years? by 192939495969798999 · · Score: 1

    The Book of Kells is illuminated onto parchment and it's more than 1200 years old, and I can testify from having seen it first-hand, it looks practically brand new. The colors are strikingly vivid and the text incredibly crisp. I think that it is a testament to the extent that the longevity of a given medium can be extended, given proper or excellent care.

    As an MFA candidate, I am qualified to make the above aesthetic observations in the stated objective manner.

    --
    stuff |
    1. Re:Parchment 1000 years? by goof21 · · Score: 1

      As an MFA candidate, I am qualified to make the above aesthetic observations in the stated objective manner.

      Doesn't take someone not yet finished with a masters program to judge, "Hey, that really old book looks nice!"

      Yes, something taken care of well will last a long time. I take great care of my 8-track collection, and it takes up a whole hellova lot less room than the same number of books.

      To your credit, however, there aren't exactly 8-track players readily available at the local Best Buy...doh!

  113. Re:Data Archive Services want something different. by pentalive · · Score: 1

    Since glass is a liquid, I wonder if etched glass would just re-flow over centuries erasing the data.

  114. Maybe not forever, but... by IdJit · · Score: 1

    it really should last for as long as the format and storage technology is able to last.

  115. Bizarre question/answers. by corporatemutantninja · · Score: 1
    Only an industry association would provide such a bizzarely indistinguisable range of answers. Gee, I actually want my data to last 32.7 years, but that's not one of the choices. What do I do?

    BSA survey: "How often would you like to re-license software? A. Every year. B. Every 11 months. C. Every 10 months."

    --
    Actually, I was trying to be Insightful, not Funny.
  116. I'd like it to last as long as it takes me... by dpille · · Score: 1

    to install my replacement-by-RMA backup hard drive and complete the new backup.

    Unfortunately, I seem to have discovered this week that some media did not last quite that long.

  117. Make it accessible forever. by jbarr · · Score: 1

    While we should probably be able to choose to delete it, data, in any form, should have the potential to last indefinitely, regardless of the media. The most important consideration is that data should be stored such that it can be readily accessed and easily read. If encryption or DRM is to be used to protect the data, then it should exist only in the data, not in the media.

    Consider media like cave paintings, stone tablets, scrolls, books, etc. The data stored is readily accessible. (Whether we can interpret it is another issue, but access is indeterred.)

    The point is to separate the data from the media such that one is not dependent on the other. Even if the media starts to wear out, the data could be able to be transferred to the newest, best media.

    --
    My mom always said, "Jim, you're 1 in a million." Given the current population, there are 7000 of me. God help us all!
  118. pack em smaller = not lasting longer by johnrpenner · · Score: 1

    i've seen the metal from an old nail
    fuse into a piece of 300 year old stone.
    matter eventually leaches together.

    if you can guarantee a backup regime that will
    copy your data to a medium every 10-20 years
    (if your hardware & software format is even
    still used) -- then you may be able to keep it.

    but if you just put it on a magnetic medium
    and expect it to last without periodic recopying --

    the smaller and finer you pack the bits,
    the less long they'll last.

    j.

  119. Re:Depends on which media! But no archiving by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What is unimportant to you may be incredibly important for future historians. There is no way of gauging the importance of even the least document produced in any time, especially considering the transience of most forms of storage.

  120. Simple by melted · · Score: 1

    Cheap media - 10 years of _guaranteed_ reliability (storage industry radically changes every 10 years)
    Expensive media - forever (for governments, libraries, archives, motion picture industry, etc.)

  121. Another important point by InfiniteWisdom · · Score: 1

    While an individual recording on a digital medium might not last for all that long, with digital media you can make a perfect replica, provided you do it before it has degraded beyond what the error correction can handle

    Instead of expecting a given CD to last forever, maybe it's better to do long-term rewrite old data onto the then-best form of digital storage every 20 years, or so. That would also have the advantage of saving physical space as bit density increases over time. You could conceivable have a special kind of cartridge that holds hundreds of disks that can be accessed automatically (kind of like the tape libraries used for large backups) to make the process less labor intensive

    1. Re:Another important point by gurps_npc · · Score: 1
      Studies have shown that most CD's become unreadable in 10 years - even some that claim tot be good for 20.

      Unless you get high quality stuff, you are going to be in for a nasty surprise after 20.

      --
      excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
    2. Re:Another important point by InfiniteWisdom · · Score: 1

      20 years was meant to be an example, not the gospel truth that everyone must follow

  122. The difference between good policy and reality by alhaz · · Score: 4, Insightful


    Professional archivists tend to recommend that data be turned over onto new media every 5 years regardless of how well it's weathering the years.

    But the truth is that, paradoxically, the most critical data tends to be the least likely to be refreshed, because access to it is typically quite limited.

    Our own department of defense doesn't know where it stashed all of it's nuclear materials over the years. Why? because they recorded it on a magnetic tape, put the tape in a vault, and had someone stand in front of the vault with a gun for 40 years, and now the tape has turned to goo, and in other cases the tape seems readable but there is no technology available to read it.

    We should always strive for and recommend rigorous archival policies, but we should also strive for media that can possibly withstand the ages should some knucklehead put it in a concrete box or just forget about it completely for a few decades instead.

    --
    This is just like television, only you can see much further.
    1. Re:The difference between good policy and reality by professorfalcon · · Score: 1

      and in other cases the tape seems readable but there is no technology available to read it

      I'm sure there are some hackers here on Slashdot who could whip up some code over the weekend to get the job done.

  123. Re:Data Archive Services want something different. by lgw · · Score: 1

    That's a myth, BTW. Glass is an amorphous solid and does not flow slowly over time. Old windows that look wavy looked that way when they were new.

    --
    Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  124. Re:Data Archive Services want something different. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For the record, the idea that glass flows is an urban
    legend

  125. The more interesting trend is... by asr_man · · Score: 1

    ...what is the product of information x reliable storage time doing.

  126. Y2K and Unexpected Longevity by radtea · · Score: 1

    One of the things that created the Y2K problem was the unexpected longevity of code. No one coding in the 80's seriously believed that their code would still be used as the basis for released applications in the late '90's.

    On the basis of things like this we should expect digital content to remain of interest considerably longer than we might currently expect. There are other reasons to believe this: I own a number of books that are more than 40 years old, and some of them are not only useful but still quite current (Heitler's Quantum Theory of Radiation, for example.) And I'm reading a novel at the moment that was printed over 100 years ago.

    The nice thing about paper is that if you leave it alone under reasonable conditions it persists pretty well. If digital media can't do the same, then there is a significant hidden cost involved in using them. For large organizations this cost is just one component of the usual process of archival data management, but for the average person it is something new.

    --Tom

    --
    Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
  127. Listen to Brewster Kahle talk about this. by jbn-o · · Score: 1

    Brewster Kahle talked about some related matters in his recent Library of Congress talk. C-SPAN re-aired his LoC talk last night and it's on their website in some proprietary format like RealVideo or Windows Media (unfortunately).

    Some of what I've gleaned from his talk and related discussions on archive.org: no matter what media you purchase you will want backups so keep multiple copies in different locations under different management strategies, make sure one uses free software file formats (even hiring programmers to write free software to create such formats when needed is cheaper than relying on a proprietor to do this work) so prefer FLAC to Shorten (for example), and keep one's budget on the same order of magnitude for multiple neighboring cycles (if you say a cycle between making whole-archive copies is 15 years, think about 30 or 45 years down the road) so that one can afford to buy a set of storage devices that hold significantly more than what one has now (hard drives, for instance, hold a lot more data now than they did 15 years ago).

    His plans involve storing digital copies of all published work (scanning and OCRing all books, storing copies of all published CDs, digitizing all LP records, etc.) and when he laid out the numbers it seemed quite approachable when one considers the budget of the Library of Congress.

  128. Insightful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Change is good. Change is life.

  129. Format-shift by Nichotin · · Score: 1

    My stuff will last forever because it can be format-shifted. This is essentially why we do not want copy protection.

  130. As someone with a MA in History by MixmastaKooz · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Yes! Someone would be interested in company X's records! A lot of good history is done with business records: look at Cronan's Nature's Metropolis about the history of Chicago. And let me bring it back to the digital world: I talked to Pop Top software while I was working on my thesis about how computer games present history, and they used old records/manifests from railroad companies in the 19th and 20th century to make Railroad Tycoon!

    1. Re:As someone with a MA in History by 91degrees · · Score: 1

      I read about linguists translating an ancient language from greek. One of the resources was something that was quite clearly some sort of a list. This was useful as a crib since we know the sort of things people are likely to be writing in a list, and with a few more clues the writing can be matched up to such things as placenames and numbers.

      My memory of this is a little vague. Simon Singhs's "The Code Book" goes into a quite a bit of detail about translating "Linear B" though.

      In addition to this, no doubt we'd be interested in such things as just how much grain they consumed since this would indicate population size and typical diet.

  131. As long as it lasts longer than me... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    After that, I don't care because I'll be dead... :P

  132. Only 40 + years???? by lcsjk · · Score: 1
    Why would 40 years even be a consideration or even 100 years?? That's not even as long as a person expects to live. Imagine if your grandparent's pictures made in the 1800's or early 1900's faded away after 40 + years.

    I have an old book that was printed about 1895. I bought a 35mm camera in 1953 and the slides from that first roll are still the same as when I first took them. (Kodak film speed was ISA-10)

    My main concern is that a fire or water damage from a tornado or hurricane might destroy the data, not having the archives fail. I still expect my digital pictures to last as long as my slides and color negatives and prints last.

  133. Integrity of othe media by youngerpants · · Score: 1
    this is a bit late, so probably wont be read.


    I realise the word "forever" is redundant now but we must look at the resilience of existing media. How long does vinal last? How about tape? I wont use paper or books or even wax tablets as examples, but if something can be broken down into 1's and 0's why not look at the integrity of another media instead of CD's and DVD's or tape which have proven to fail us.


    A chip that was "written" 50 years ago still holds its integrity. Why not improve the integrity of flash memory? Or if that fails, use some ingenuity. There are other media that can hold data, or virtual media. To paraphrase Linus "real men upload their data to an ftp server and have other people mirror it"


    just my 2c, which probably wont be read now anyway

  134. DVDR by ylikone · · Score: 1

    My blank DVDR's packaging says it lasts for over a 100 years. That's good enough for me.

    --
    Meh.
    1. Re:DVDR by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

      In 20 years you won't be able to read the DVDR.

      And the surface coating will flake off within 10 years anyway, unless carefully preserved in climate-controlled conditions without sun exposure.

      Hope you have a north-facing wall that you keep them stored in.

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  135. Orwell is at it again? by WhoOnFirst · · Score: 1

    Hmmm... according to 1984, one of the principles of Ingsoc is "he who controls the past, controls the future." If records are less than persistant, and whoever is in charge at the time that info is copied to new media doesn't have the integrity to accurately copy all of the bits (perhaps a neo-Ministry of Truth?), hmmm... Short lived media seems to fit Ingsoc very well.

  136. "Forever" is a long time by bugnuts · · Score: 1

    For the average user, 15 years is overkill for digital backups. How badly do you miss your floppy disks?

    Everyone here has lamented the loss of a crashed harddrive and that gziped email archive you had, but we're talking about archival stuff -- when was the last time you actually looked at your college notebook carefully stashed away in the garage, or that 10-yo gzipped email archive? When was the last time you cared what was on that 9-track tape other than wondering if anyone had a machine that could possibly read it?

    My claim is that for the vast majority of computer users, if you haven't looked at the data in 15 years, the chances are extremely slim you care to retain it. I certainly believe that in the unlikely case you really believe you might want that information (like old business memos and things), there does need to be some medium out there that can store it longer. It's just that most people won't need such archives.

    I'd even claim that just 5 years would be enough for the majority of computer users, although the number of people satisfied by 5-yo guaranteed media will be significantly lower than 15-yo guaranteed media. It doesn't sound good on paper, but in reality, I seriously doubt that over half the /. subscribers have pulled out any backups over 5 years old.

    1. Re:"Forever" is a long time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I had data on a cassette tape that I no longer have a reader for. I've wished for close to a decade that I could read it.

  137. That's easy by led_belly · · Score: 0

    I would like my personal data to last the span of my lifetime then disappear at the same moment I leave this life. Any other archival data meant to survive for the edification of humankind should last forever. 'nuff said.

  138. Dumb question? by GeorgeMcBay · · Score: 1

    How much money would you like me to give you?

    10 dollars, 20 dollars or 100 dollars?

  139. Real Men by roman_mir · · Score: 1

    Shoot their data into the vastness of space with a laser beam, directing it at some planet that is in the same colour spectrum as the laser, so that it bounces back into their receiver/repeater antenna, which then amplifies the signal and shoots it into the space again.

    That's the only way.

  140. History of archival Audio- was Re:does it matter? by StonyCreekBare · · Score: 1

    Comparing to audio recordings, I have 78 RPM records from parents and grandparents, over 100 years old, and they still play perfectly. Players are getting rare, but still around and technologically simple enough I could build one with the tools in my garage.

    I have 4 Track tapes (NOT 8-Track. Anyone remember 4-tracks?) from the 1960's that might still be playable if I could find a player.

    I have 8-Tracks that are still playable, and my mother still has an old player that works. Don't know where to find another.

    I have lots of reel-to-reel tapes. Haven't seen a R-to-R system for a while, but bet they're still around and the tapes are still playable, although getting pretty rare. Again they are technologically simple enough I could build one.

    I have 100's of cassettes, and a good Denon deck to play them on. The ones from the early 1970's are getting a little iffy though. Don't see any good quality decks available for purchase today, but a few crappy ones are still available.

    I have dozens of DAT tapes, and only one working deck left. Haven't seen another DAT in years. Good luck building one of those in a garage.

    I have CD's from the 90's that no longer play. I have created hundreds of CD-R to transfer my 78's, cassettes, and so on to. But many of the ones I created five years ago are unreadable.

    In short, 78's and even LPs are nearly as good as they ever were, Reel-to-reel still sort of viable, but every other recording I obtained since 1970 or so is in imminent danger of becoming lost.

    I am converting them to digital (PCM, not MP3) and storing on multiple working computers, on the theory that I can always copy them in the future to the next computer I buy.

    Lesson: Modern media are more convenient, but not reliable.

    If I wanted to archive my audio collection for a new generation, I would place it on a good quality reel-to-reel and store it carefully with the best deck I could buy. And keep "live" digital copies on working computers.

    This situation really is unacceptable. The CD/DVD form factor has enough critical mass that it should stay around for a very long time. We need optical media that will last for centuries if cared for properly, and we need to place a priority on backwards compatability for each follow-on generation of equipment. Have the ability to record in the latest blue-ray technology, or whatever, but read old CD-R's from the past.

  141. Good quality CDR and DVD+/-R life span? by ylikone · · Score: 1

    I buy high-end CDRs and DVDRs... the packaging often says "Guaranteed 100+ year archival quality". They advertize technologies such as Super-AZO, Gold, etc... So, is this false advertizing? Will my CDR's and DVD's really last at least my lifetime (assuming I store them in dark temperature controlled places)?

    --
    Meh.
  142. Digital media is easily migrated... by Lodragandraoidh · · Score: 1

    Something folks haven't considered yet is that digital media is easily migrated. This can not be said for stone carvings, paper based writings, or clay tablets. In fact, digital media (in the form of digital cameras and scanners) allow us to preserve stone carvings, paper based writings and clay tablets - which are mostly 'one of a kind' in their native antiquated formats.

    In my own experience I have files that have existed on magnetic tape at one point in their life. These same files were migrated to floppy disk (various formats), and then further migrated to hard disk, to CD Rom, and finally to solid state memory devices (usb flash drive).

    So the concept of 'lifespan' of the data is effectively 'forever'. However, the degradation of its current storage medium could corrupt the data before it has been migrated. I have had data that was corrupted - some recoverable and some irrecoverable from magnetic floppy drive media after 10 years. On the other hand, I have CDROM media that has yet to show signs of any degradation after 15 years.

    The key to successfully managing data that needs to have long life-spans is to determine the average lifespan of the medium and plan for moving the data to new media when the time comes. I have done this successfully for personal writings and other information. For large organizations this can be a daunting task - but is well worth the effort when considering the value of the data.

    --

    Lodragan Draoidh
    The more you explain it, the more I don't understand it. - Mark Twain
    1. Re:Digital media is easily migrated... by jwilkins13 · · Score: 1

      But you also still have to migrate the software. It doesn't help for me to copy all my records from 5.25" floppy to Plasmon UDO, if the format is WordStar 2000 or Word for Windows 1.0.

      I agree that the key today is to understand that media don't last forever and plan appropriately. That was the thrust of the comment. The thrust of the survey is to communicate to media (and hardware) manufacturers what is needed, not how long what is available will last: a subtle but vital difference.

      The lifespan of data today is not constrained by media, but by hardware lifespan (do you have a 8" floppy?) and by software compatibility issues.

    2. Re:Digital media is easily migrated... by Lodragandraoidh · · Score: 3, Insightful

      That is why I have always used plain text for the most part.

      The files I wrote in the late '70s are still around today, and completely readable and editable.

      Whatever editor I used (I used edlin for a very short time, and then WordPerfect and MS Word - as well as several no-name apps - on DOS machines - later I found vi and emacs under Unix - and have dabbled in OpenOffice and Abiword on my Linux systems) I made sure it had the option of saving the files as plain text - or I quickly stopped using it.

      Nowadays I am using XML for anything significant (that I think I may want to publish - on the web or in print) - and plain text for everything else (and XML is really plain text from a software standpoint).

      I don't have any software incompatibilities because I don't use proprietary formats to begin with.

      Everyone doesn't think like that, however I am trying to educate as many as possible. Some yahoo sent me a Visio drawing the other day; I sent him a message saying, "save it as jpeg or png so I can read it". He did, and I was happy (not to mention I could easily incorporate his drawing in my own documentation/notes or translate it to some other format if needed).

      This happens all the time, someone sends me a Microsoft Project file, or some other format that I do not have software for. I force them to change it to an open format - and after awhile they learn (at least to send me data that fits my open model - or that I can translate to something open). When their tools are dead and their files are useless, I will still be able to reference information that happened in the past.

      So, your argument about software is only valid if you use proprietary file formats (only readable by one software application). I do not - and so your argument is not valid for me.

      No one should use proprietary file formats for this reason - proprietary file formats hinder the migration of data from one technology to another (hardware or software).

      --

      Lodragan Draoidh
      The more you explain it, the more I don't understand it. - Mark Twain
    3. Re:Digital media is easily migrated... by jwilkins13 · · Score: 1
      Absolutely agree - and as ugly as WordML, etc. are, I can strip out all of the extraneous stuff and end up with clean, reasonably reusable XML that I can then apply stylesheets to. And, if I had to, I could print it on archival paper, microfilm, etc. and store it for 500 years without loss (usual caveats, environmental conditions, etc.).

      However, for the 99% of people who today ARE using, e.g., Microsoft Office or WordPerfect (who owns them these days?), it's tough to convince them that there are better, non-proprietary ways of doing business. I haven't completely switched to OpenOffice.org, but I'm getting closer & closer. Cheers, jay

  143. You're right! by jimbro2k · · Score: 1

    There is strong evidence that the Minoan clay tablets represent the temporary, "scratch-pad" records of that civilization. No other written records have been found (I'm not counting the Phaistos disk). This raises the obvious speculation that they may have put their permanent records on papyrus, which was available to them as an import item. The clay tablets survived thanks to burning, but the papyrus (if it was used) may have gone up in smoke.

    --
    There is not nearly enough love in the world, but there is far too much trust.
  144. Media life = Copyright life by ssk77077 · · Score: 1

    How about and media sold with copyrighted content on it should be legally required to last as long as the copyright?

  145. It's not the media that's the problem... by jwilkins13 · · Score: 1

    It's the hardware and software. I do some work on digital preservation, and what I have found is people in the audience have data stored on everything from the newest blue stuff from Sony (PDD) and Plasmon (UDO) back at least as far as 8" floppy disks and old Winchester platters. They have all the media, and it looks like it's OK, but they can't really tell. Why? THEY HAVE NO FUNCTIONING READERS!

    And even if ya went on eBay and found a functioning 1541 or Datassette recorder for your C-64, good luck finding software that can read Xywrite, Geoworks, Wordstar, Nota Bene, etc. etc. etc. from 20 or more years ago. When I filled out the 2-question survey, I commented that 10-20 years is sufficient GIVEN that the hardware won't be available longer than that, and the software certainly won't be. In a couple more years, after all our files are belong to XML, then maybe. But until we solve the software/file format issues, even the hardware is not the main bottleneck. As Dr. Jeff Rothenburg said, "Digital documents last forever - or five years, whichever comes first."

  146. You want forever? by smithmc · · Score: 1


    Put it on the Web. It'll end up cached and mirrored all over the place and it'll never go away.

    --
    Downmodding is the refuge of the weak. Don't downmod, make a better argument!
  147. Schematics by dakryx · · Score: 1

    Why don't we just store schematics of what ever medium being used to access the media on paper? That way if it doesn't exist anymore we can just build another.

  148. Why would we even want 20 years? by HeadlessZeke · · Score: 1

    How much has storage media changed in the past 20 years? How much do you think it is going to change in the next 20 years? I know my 5-1/4" disks and tapes still hold the data they had on them, but am I still able to access it? Do I even want to be able to access old tapes? Storage media doesn't need to last forever because we are always coming up with new, better methods for digital storage.

    Out with the old, in with the new.
    HeadlessZeke

  149. I already took it, and I agree with you by Roadkills-R-Us · · Score: 1

    It's easy enough to read data from 40 to 50 year old, 1/2" magnetic tape reels. Why should today's "newer, improved" technology be less useful for long term storage?

  150. If, say, X years is your ideal... by exp(pi*sqrt(163)) · · Score: 1

    ...I'd like to hear why you think X years is better than, say X+10 years.

    --
    Doesn't it make you feel good to know that our freedoms are protected by politicans, lawyers and journalists.
  151. How long should the media last? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How about longer than the ridiculous f*cking length of the copyright.

    ~AC..K~

  152. mnb Re:does it matter? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A lot of industrial hardware is just in the last year or two switching to USB from serial connections.

  153. mnb Re:Why depend on physical media by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    that's voodoo you're speaking!

    But seriously, what happens when, in 20 years time, a way to create collisions in the signature hash you are using is discovered?

  154. mnb Re:Data Archive Services want something differ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    damn! you got slapped down on that one!

    You're learn not to stick your neck out so nekkid on here in the future.

    A better post would have been:
    "I've heard glass is a liquid. I wonder if etched glass would just re-flow over centuries erasing the data."

    Never state as fact things you don't know.

  155. Transfer data to new media technology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    5.25 inch to 3.5 inch
    3.5 inch to Tape/HDD
    Tape/HDD to CD
    CD to DVD
    DVD to Blue Ray?
    etc...

    This is how I undertake it and have never had a problem with achieve retrieval.

  156. At least as long as what we have by ifwm · · Score: 1

    I don't think it's unrealistic to expect a few hundred years on average.

  157. Melancholy Elephants by Trillan · · Score: 1

    Those of you who have not read Spider Robinson's (free) short story Melancholy Elephants should.

  158. How long is long enough by qray · · Score: 1

    One thing to consider is the life of the technology. DAT's, CD's, DVD, and on. Technology advances. I think media should last probably around twice as long as it's in vogue. It's easy enough to create backups of your backups.

    At some point it's going to be difficult to find readers for older media. For instance anyone know where you could get a Hawk or CMD drive? I imagine you can probably still get 5 1/4" inch floppy drives, though I've not see any advertised in any mainstream store.

    So I think a media's lifetime only needs to be longer than it is popular. Maybe add 50% to that time or possibly double it.

    --
    itrict maptro drutock podrecko

  159. Old newsgroup postings by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I wish my old drunken college newsgroup postings (with my real name on them) would just DIE! Damn you, google groups!

  160. Re:mnb Re:Data Archive Services want something dif by pentalive · · Score: 1

    Heh. Thanks for the advice COWARD.

    Like most people I thought I did know. So I was wrong. Big Deal.

  161. Forever... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's why I'm planning to engrave all the important stuff onto stone tablets

    --me and ozymandius, we go way back.

  162. If archiving ... store readers with media by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just an idea ... If archiving for long periods of time, store at least a few, if not 10 - 15, brand new readers (from different production runs) with the media. (If using CD-Rs, then store a few CD-ROMs with the collection of CD-Rs, for example) That way you'll be sure to have technology to read your data if it is not transferred to new technology.

  163. This is why the Egyptians used stone. by TractorBarry · · Score: 1

    All societies that have stumbled upon something they really, really want to tell you carve it into stone. It's one of the few mediums that can survive serious climactic upheaval (not to mention a tremendously severe slashdotting)

    Either that or they do something like transcribe it into the DNA sequence of the humble fruit fly in such a way that the answer will be obvious to any other beings on their wavelength. Sorry but I can't tell you anything more about th... (bzzzttt... signal lost)

    --
    Sky subscribers are morons. They pay to be advertised at !
    1. Re:This is why the Egyptians used stone. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And the Egyptian's messages remained an almost total mystery to us, and to the people who lived where they had once ruled, for hundreds of years.

      Big success story.

      Many of their fairly important messages aren't on stone at all (because, like us, they recognised that it's hopelessly inconvenient) and of those some were destroyed deliberately when it became obvious that they would soon be translated (see also: wacky Judeo-Christian cults), others were simply destroyed because their value wasn't recognised, and still more simply rotted, tarnished, dissolved or burned in the ordinary course of nature.

      Whereas, things I wrote on Usenet, a supposedly ephemoral medium, are all on Google.

      Honestly: If you want everyone to know something, broadcast it, and if that doesn't work, tell a 5 year old kid or a tabloid journalist not to tell anyone.

  164. worst idea ever by stungod4 · · Score: 1

    do you think any of us will recognise/like the Internet after a few more years of its ongoing corporate/government evolution?
    People will probably be classified as subversives/placed on no fly lists/ deported/harassed and discriminated against because of what they have written in the past.

    You may not have access to those 'archives' but I know who will :(

    [queue creepy paranoia inducing music]

  165. Re:Data Archive Services want something different. by YoungHack · · Score: 1

    Glass is a fluid. The plates will melt together and you'll have lost your data.

  166. Will the media outlast access mechanism by Open+Council · · Score: 1

    In much of the UK's Local Government the introduction of "document management systems" is posing a great threat to future accessabilty of information and records, for, while incoming snail mail is scanned and stored on WORM media, the majority of records and documents are now computer generated, mainly by MS Word.

    These Word documents are being stored on DVDs and CDs that are claimed to have a long storage life. Unfortunately neither MS nor the system suppliers will offer any guarantees that the information on them can be read beyond the current version of MS Office. MS depends on people continually buying new versions and so has no incentive to keep old formats.

    Already we have Councils where the rich departments (like Legal) have Office XP while the poor departments (roads, parks) are still on Office 97. Legal can read Parks docs but not the other way round .... and Legal often gets asked to amend docs.

    When you suggest the use of an open standard like XML they say "but MS Office is a de-facto standard!". So was WordPerfect once...

    --
    Paul
    www.opencouncil.org
    Open
  167. History? Whatsahistory? by Anonumous+Coward · · Score: 1

    Imagine if Sokrates had been asked whether he wanted his lectures transcribed on media lasting 10, 20, 30 or 40 years...

  168. on the importance of the media by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The digital media that we need and don't have should last at least as long as paper (modern paper, not the old acidic variety). While standards for reading data will certainly change, the data itself can be lost if nobody imports it to the new standard, and even if there's going to be people converting old discs to new standards full-time (Library of Congress, anyone?), data will be lost if the media degrades. Whether it's a video game or a digital encyclopedia, or a family photo album, there's no reason we can't get everything, given that storage in the future will be so far beyond that which we have today that available space will be no issue. All these things are part of our culture, and should be preserved for posterity. Will people need the game Asteroids in the future? Not any more than we need Monopoly today. Will they need private family photo albums? Not any more than we need old portrait photos from the late 19th century. Will they need an old outdated digital encyclopedia? Not any more than we need the Dead Sea Scrolls. It all comes down to preserving our culture. Media should be, for all intents and purposes, immune to degradation over time. Protected and undisturbed (properly stored) it should be able to last for centuries, even millennia. We can't expect these things to survive fires, prolonged exposure to sunlight, or moisture, but it's not unreasonable to hope for something that lasts as long as the Dead Sea Scrolls did.

  169. analog vs digital = apple vs oranges by krunk4ever · · Score: 1

    we're really comparing apples and oranges here. on one side, 8-track and cassette tapes are analog media to to be able to play them requires special hardware for each of them. however, data stored on optical discs are digital formats, and to be able to play something digital is basically installing a software decoder, which probably is a chipset firmware upgradable.

    that's why nowadays, you have dvd players that act as cd players, and pretty soon we'll have hdvd-players which will act simultaneously as a dvd and a cd player.

    as long as the industry is supporting some sorta of optical disc format, we'll be able to retrieve information off optical discs back to the beginning of CDs.

    but as someone earlier mention formats like trying to read word95 or access95 documents and not being able to, finding a convertor or reader for these types of files will be many many times easier than finding an old equipment to read off from analog media.

  170. Diamonds are not forever. by zippthorne · · Score: 1

    Under the right conditions they will burn, and over time (much longer than you'll live) they will slowly decay.

    In fact, even the wikipedia mentions this,
    "Thermodynamic stability: At surface air pressure (one atmosphere), diamonds are not as stable as graphite...However, owing to a very large kinetic energy barrier, diamonds are metastable; they will not decay into graphite under normal conditions."

    So buy your fiancee a graphite ring.

    (I seem to remember that every element lighter than iron is at a higher energy state than iron, and every element heavier is also at a higher energy state, so all elements tend to decay towards iron. So really, only iron is forever.)

    --
    Can you be Even More Awesome?!
  171. You're mixing up plans 'B' and 'A' by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If paper does, in fact, last longer than the digital medium, then it is obvious: store the data on paper.

  172. We don't need it to last forever... by gumpish · · Score: 1

    As noted in other comments, the longevity of new media forms has actually been decreasing with each new technology.

    But we won't need our media to last any longer than it takes The Singularity to arrive.

  173. a lesson in digital regeneration by goon · · Score: 1
    the 'Oils ... are oils!'

    I'm a bit of a midnight oil fan and have been since I was at Uni. so Imagine my suprise when JJJ re-release a concert televised back in '85 - Oils on the Water. The concert was recorded in 1" broadcast video, 4:3 & digital stereo tapes for the Goat Island Sydney Harbour concert. On the same release is a Super 16 mm film and analog multitrack recordings of the Capitol Theatre concerts back in '82.


    Exhumation, resurrection and final product

    I guess some of the key lessons to learn can be read in the detailed discussion of how they re-mastered the images & sound to produce a DVD and CD of the original concerts. Some of the key takeways are:

    • keep track of items together so they dont get lost
    • check your media as it decays - especially transitional new media that has yet to reach stability
    • you may only have one chance to re-record, transcribe the originals so get good technical advise
    • have a continuity plan for resurecting the data as it was originally intended

    The reason I've bothered to highlight this restoration is so you can see what happens with information stored on old media over period 20 years. In both cases, Goat Island & The Capital, the original data had been collected but only the prior data had been kept in a professional archival environment.

    Is your data as future proof ?

    --
    peterrenshaw ~ Another Scrappy Startup
  174. Nothing, except... by Kjella · · Score: 1

    ...it is kinda like forging an old document. You would need an authentic blank disk from the era (or the manufacturer's disc type would give you away), recorded on authentic hardware (16x Z-CLV burning? burn-proof? Those didn't exist in year 199X"), worse yet if the original drive exist, do a drift comparison (probably as unique as a gun signature), and maybe you can somehow measure the age of the tracks themselves (do the edges of the pits change at all during the lifespan?).

    It is not that it can't be done, it just ups the scale by several orders of magnitude. Same with printed money. They *can* be forged, it is just a question of how accurate you can be (or need to be). For many cases, WORM integrity is sufficient, RAID integrity is not. If neither is, you better have signed statements in triplicate ;)

    Kjella

    --
    Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
  175. Great concept by KZigurs · · Score: 1

    Except, of course, for the fact that your family life definetly won't be improved with your fixation on your mum and kids generally don't enjoy being chased with a camera all the time. Even if it's called "REBEL".

    Get a life, shag well and stop your fucking moronic "past was better" attitude. Typically you DON'T start a family for a chance of photo-ops.

  176. 10.000 years by Eminence · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Some people have already approached the problem of making some data readable after a very long period of time - The Roseta Project. While their medium isn't digital, it is extremely durable and technology independent. It only takes a conscious observer to be able to (gradually) read it. Great idea.

  177. What about Decentralized Replication? by pixelcort · · Score: 2, Interesting

    What about Decentralized (P2P) Replication of data? Perhaps the sheer number of nodes on the internet today combined can replicate all data to the point that a file's SHA-1 or whatever can be used to retrieve that file at any point in the future. And, 160 bits isn't hard to physically write out to another medium, either.

    The answer to every question is Decentralized P2P. Or at least I think it is.

    --
    http://pixelcort.com/
    1. Re:What about Decentralized Replication? by Teancum · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There are several problems with P2P data storage techniques:

      1) The data over time becomes corrupted. This can be from ordinary memory copy errors (a stray cosmic ray turns a 1 into a 0 or the other way around), or when you send a packet over the network somehow the checksum works out even with corrupted data (it does happen quite often... especially over many generations of data). It happens, so get used to it, and over thousands of years it will be a huge issue. I've found that bit rot over even 10-15 years is incredibly huge for most magnetic media, and optical media, while slightly better than magnetic media, still has some serious problems over time. Electronic memory (RAM) is even worse.

      2) P2P data stores are based on popularity. Data that is frequently requested will always be available. The problem is with the data that may only have occasional usefulness, but when it is needed it is very valuable. This is BTW a problem of the ages as well, as even dead-tree librarians also struggle with this same issue, where you have to discard genuine garbage from time to time, and have to decide if it truly is garbage or something that has long term value. The difference with a dead-tree library and a P2P system is that this cycle is 5 to 10 years for a dead tree library but only on the order of days or hours for a P2P repository, and stuff gets discarded much more quickly.

      3) Trusted sources of data are hard to identify. This is an issue even larger for P2P systems. The point of a decentralized P2P system is that taking down any one node won't kill the network or even lose the data (hopefully). The problem here is that with all nodes being (supposedly) equal you can't tell real data from forged and/or modified data (avenues for censorship of all kinds and forms). Just because you have 10 copies from 10 sources that says one piece of data is a certain way doesn't mean that the one lone server that says differently is wrong. What is the criteria to show which data packet should be ignored? Again this is a dead-tree library issue as well, but there you have publisher reputations and "original manuscripts" to compare against that are not available in a P2P environment.

      While a neat idea, there is quite a bit more work to be done addressing these and other problems with P2P networks. There are valid uses for the technology, and some of these issues are being dealt with in various degrees, but you can't ignore the fundimental problems with the technology and information storage issues in general.

  178. Re:Data Archive Services want something different. by Teancum · · Score: 1

    This is so wrong on so many levels that I don't know where to begin.

    Glass, while you can technically call it a "fluid", is just as stable as just about any other fixed mineral that you can come up with, including granite or even sheets of metal.

    The problem with glass is that it breaks rather than bends... again a problem with many other kinds of rocks.

    So while over millions of years you might have glass "ooze" over each other, there are many other issues that make glass a poor archival medium well before that becomes an issue, including fagility of the stuff, having it scratched up (even if on a diamond substrate), or acids used for the etching process coming in contact with the glass. Water will eventually erode just about anything, and can do some incredible damage to glass in particular.

  179. Human-readable CDs by SeanDuggan · · Score: 1

    ^_^ One occasionally sees "news stories" about people being able to read CDs with the naked eye, but all of them seem to someone modifying the story about this guy.

    --
    This sig has absolutely no significance and serves only to take up screen space and waste the time of the reader.
  180. 2 years or 200, just tell me! by dmhayden · · Score: 1

    No media lasts forever, so what really matters when archiving data is that you know how long it will last. That way you can copy the data to new media (and possibly a new format) before the media goes bad. My father used a DECmate II word processor throughout the 1980's. After he died in 1992, I spent considerable time figuring out how to covert those files into MS Word format. About a year ago, I went to read of his documents again and found that Word wouldn't convert the doc (I didn't have the Word-for-DOS converter installed). As a result, I spent an evening converting all the files again, this time to Word 2000 format. And of course, along the way the data has gone from 5.25" floppy disk, to MFM and RLL hard disks, to SCSI and now IDE as I've done hardware upgrades. I'd be in real trouble if those Word for DOS files had been on an RLL hard drive in the closet instead of being in the /archive directory of my home computer. SO the lesson is that both the hardware and software technology changes rapidly. My advice is to copy the data and convert it to a modern format every 5-10 years. Always keep the original format too, just in case you turn out to have a picture of the Grassy Knoll or something equally valuable.

  181. Just make two copies! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Come on people! Just make two copies of each of your CDs. If one of the two copies stop working, just make a second copy from the one that's still working. I don't think there's any media that lasts longer than digital media if you do this. This way you don't have to care about the period of time you make backups. If you care about loosing the two copies at the same time (is it really possible?), just make three!

  182. Rolling copies by Weasel+Boy · · Score: 1

    Until recently, every hard drive that I bought had enough capacity to store the entire content of all my previous hard drives, with room to spare. So for the past umpteen years, more or less everything I have has been rolled over onto the newest drive.

    In a pinch, most software is disposable. All of my self-authored documents could probably fit in a few (100) MB. Add in my digital photos, and it's maybe 10 GB. Add the latest version of application software that can read this store of data, and we're still looking at 15 GB. Seems like my rolling copy method of archival has a few years of life left in it.

  183. SHA-1 is good enough by pixelcort · · Score: 1

    Yes, but one would think a 160-bit key would be good enough for most things. I doubt data corruption wouldn't get caught using this.

    As for the popularity issue, that is a problem that will need to be addressed. Structured overlays may be the trick here, but time will ultamitely tell.

    --
    http://pixelcort.com/
    1. Re:SHA-1 is good enough by Teancum · · Score: 1
      Yes, but one would think a 160-bit key would be good enough for most things. I doubt data corruption wouldn't get caught using this.


      We are not talking about casual on-line display of information, but of long-term storage issues. A P2P system is going to come across all of the bugs of any computer system (even down to CPU bugs that only affect 1 per quadrillion operations) when dealing with storing data even for periods of time like 10-30 years on such a network.

      The best "hard" data to look at is with the Seti@Home project, where huge volumes of data have been exchanged between various clients and the central science server. This project has also been going on now for close to five years, so lifetime statistics can also be derived from this data.

      The point I'm making here is that the Seti@Home team has discovered several anomolies with a statistically small number of packets. When they get the same data set come back with differnt results from different clients, some "alarms" go off to try and find what might be the problem. In a few cases it is some people trying to "spoof" the system to send in false data to inflate their "workunit" counts. In a few cases, however, it appears to be purely random data fluctuations that have come from either network traffic breakdowns (the data got transfered in error despite passing the error correction tests), or the CPU itself malfunctioned (verified by having the same exact application package being run on roughly identical machines and operating system platforms... sometimes from the same machine running the same data twice).

      Error correction methods are good, but not foolproof. In order to do a good P2P data storage system, I am suggesting that there may be a need to significantly improve error rates beyond what is typically done with normal internet traffic, and that you can't ignore the memory systems for internal storage of the data either. It is just the nature of what is needed for long term data storage, which is not what was intended with most computers and dataprocessing equipment.