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Hope for Hubble

yulek writes "It may not be over yet. space today reports that Bush's NASA administrator nominee, Michael Griffin, wants to revisit the Hubble decision. Space.com has some more details. The big question is: do we really want to save Hubble for the right reasons or is it more of a symbolic thing? Considering NASA's fiscal woes, is this a waste of funds? I have loved the Hubble images for the last decade, and the research that stemmed from them, but I think that the most incredible camera we've ever made may need more than just an upgrade. Perhaps it is obsolete."

241 comments

  1. Symbolic, Of Course by mikejz84 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    There was a proposal floated a little while ago to build a replacement for HST from spare parts that already exist and launch it on top of an expendable rocket. The kicker is that it would not cost much more than the servicing mission! I guess it has more to do with the name 'Hubble' than anything else. In a related story, why do they keep calling them gyroscope when they really are reaction-wheels?

    1. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by ChuckSchwab · · Score: 0

      why do they keep calling them gyroscope when they really are reaction-wheels?

      A gyroscope is just a generalized reaction wheel.

    2. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by Spy+der+Mann · · Score: 4, Funny

      Why not just call the thing Hubble II? People would say "Ah, a better hubble than hubble" and stuff.

    3. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by Martin+Blank · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You'd have to gring a new primary lens, which would take a long time to do (though it could be done the right way this time) and cost a small fortune. We have a known-good unit in place now, with upgrades to boost its primary capabilities by an order of magnitude. Better to go that route instead of adding in a bunch of new variables.

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    4. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by Ambush_Bug · · Score: 1

      Where on earth did you hear that? I find that truly hard to believe that the proposal was remotely feasible for that cost. If you had a reference, that would be great....

    5. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by hylander_sb · · Score: 5, Informative

      Because there gyroscopes. The Reaction wheels provide the energy to change HST's orientation and the gyros provide the feedback to sense the movement. Hubble's pointing and control systems are more fascinating to me than the science instruments.

      And where did you hear that it would cost less to build another?? Last I heard, only $300,000,000 or so is allocated for the SM. I'd like to see you build a telescope with the same stability and accuracy as HST for that little.

    6. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by Kiryat+Malachi · · Score: 1

      You can't even *launch* a shuttle for 300 million. Much less service the Hubble. I'd guess on the order of 500-800 million for a human servicing mission, and probably 1-1.5 billion for a robotic.

      Yes, based on the current Hubble spare parts inventory and expendable launch costs, we probably could launch a Hubble-duplicate for less than the robotic mission would cost.

      --

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    7. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by Martin+Blank · · Score: 1

      Ack. You'd have to grind a new primary mirror. I knew that sounded off.

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
    8. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by brontus3927 · · Score: 2, Informative

      The "current Hubble spare parts" make up only a small portion of the total parts that go into the satellite. One part there is no spare, is the primary mirror, which is the single biggest cost of the telescope outside of launch costs.

    9. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by shadowbearer · · Score: 2, Insightful

      We SHOULD be doing both. Or, at the least, (as you so eloquently put ;) we should be preserving the old one, which is still doing useful science, until we have a real replacement, and meanwhile, FUND a replacement.

      I hope Mr. Griffin realizes that, and has the moxie to browbeat the money out of the Administration. It's just a few drops out of the bucket after all compared to what everything else gets.

      Sigh. I'll just wait and see how serious he is about this.

      SB

      --
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    10. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by bluGill · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And it would be a better Hubble too because they would use a mirror ground correctly. That alone would make it better than Hubble can ever be.

      I take that back. It would be just like bureaucrats to grind a new mirror to the wrong specs just so everything is the same as Hubble is now. (or is it for political reasons? Makes no difference)

    11. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because there gyroscopes.

      "they're".

    12. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by dingDaShan · · Score: 2, Funny

      Stability and accuracy are great, but what about clarity? It does no good to have a satellite that can barely take pictures for us. The images from the hubble are disappointingly low resolution. The technology available now would make a far far far better telescope. Though it would cost more, there are improvements across the board. The truth is.. the hubble WILL be replaced eventually. I am a firm believer in euthanasia of satellites. If a satellite keeps wanting to die i wil help it.

    13. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by Kiryat+Malachi · · Score: 1

      And yet, the cost of developing a brand new robotic servicing system *from scratch* and launching it would be somehow less than making a new mirror to an existing design spec? You're fucking dreaming.

      The costs are probably about equal, between a human servicing mission and a replacement Hubble. If you start talking robotic repair, give up; replacing Hubble with a replica will be cheaper. The only reason to do robotic repair on Hubble is to develop the technology for the future; if you consider it as an amortization against all future robotic servicing missions, it makes sense. Otherwise, the robotic idea is just plain dumb. Human servicing is moderately cost-effective; however, Hubble as-is will continue operation for X years; most likely we would get more science out of not servicing Hubble 1 and launching Hubble 2 than we would out of either servicing option.

      --

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      Mod me down, you fucking twits. Go ahead. I dare you.
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    14. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by john82 · · Score: 1

      Please show me the trade study where you compared the benefits, risk factors and costs associated with a complex system that you know nothing about. You provide absolutely no data or reference to back up any of a number of claims.

      Just for the sake of curiosity, what is the value of several human lives in comparison to a robotic system? I'm sure the astronauts would like to know what monetary value you've affixed to them.

    15. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      I agree. I've read the studies that say that replacing the hubble would be about the same price as servicing it.

      It makes sense when you figure that the hubble was launched from the shuttle. You launch it from a rocket this time, and you don't have all the expenses of taking the shuttle up.

      Sure, it's slightly less cool, but it's cheaper, and you can be observing from both telescopes for as long as hubble 1 lasts. Then, as hubble 2 starts nearing the end of it's service life, you launch hubble 3, with all the bug fixes put into place since hubble 2 was launched.

      --
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    16. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by Betelgeuse · · Score: 1

      Just for the sake of curiosity, what is the value of several human lives in comparison to a robotic system? I'm sure the astronauts would like to know what monetary value you've affixed to them.

      Oh, give me a break! If this was what NASA was actually concerned with, they would be abandoning the ISS, altogether. Do you really think that the risk of a single trip to HST is larger than that of the several trips that they are planning on making to the ISS?

      I don't mean to imply that the astronauts' lives aren't worth anything, but there is an inherent risk in space travel that NASA seems to accept if it's going to the ISS (or the Moon, or Mars), that is somehow not acceptable when we are going to HST.

      --
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    17. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by hubie · · Score: 1
      I am not sure where you got that idea about the Hubble image quality. Hubble is performing near the diffraction limit. I believe it has a Strehl ratio around 0.8 in the visible, which is way way better than anything else at that size. Once you are at the diffraction limit you aren't going to get any better than that unless you put up a larger mirror, and the Hubble mirror is about as big as you are going to get launched.

      Could you please comment on the disappointingly low resolution? To what are you comparing this to?

    18. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by TheRocketScientist · · Score: 1

      An interesting point, but that particular mission is a power point mission - on paper only with no NASA funding for it. NASA did have congressionally approved funding for an HST servicing mission, and it was promised to the astrophysics community, even after Columbia. However that funding seems to have disappeared into the "Exploration Mission" which has no tangibles as of yet and has not been approved by Congress. The funding for the HST servicing mission has been lost to that organizational unit and will not come back into the "Science Mission" at NASA for the new telescope you cite.

      The scientific community has an organized, Peer Reviewed process for prioritizing science and missions. This process has worked effectively for quite some time and enables NASA to support the best science for the buck. The scientific community now is dismayed that NASA is planning science and technology initiatives by top-down presidential mandate rather than the tried and true, organized procedures that the physical science community uses to balance science objectives, serving the public interest and balancing the budget.

    19. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Kodak built an identical backup mirror for Hubble I, except it wasn't flawed. Last I heard, it was still in storage, so there would be no expense to make a new one.

    20. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by bluGill · · Score: 1

      That is what I was referring to (except I forgot who did it). NASA has a good mirror in spares, but it would be just like grind a new, flawed mirror anyway.

    21. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by Stephen+Samuel · · Score: 1
      Just for the sake of curiosity, what is the value of several human lives in comparison to a robotic system? I'm sure the astronauts would like to know what monetary value you've affixed to them.

      A number of Astronauts have said that they'd happily take on the risks associated with a Hubble repair mission -- enough to fill the mision crew (as I understand it).

      They know the risks far better than I do, and they'll be living the risks. If it's good enough for them, it's good enough for me.

      Life is not without risks. We take on risk everytime we do amything from driving the car to going to sleep in our beds. The question is: "Is this worth the risk?". The answer to that question is unique to each individual. I would never do some of the things that Evil Kenevil did, and I'm sure that there are some things that I've done that he would baulk at (probably with good reason).

      --
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    22. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by dingDaShan · · Score: 1

      Image clarity and image quality are two different things. Yes, extremely sharp pictures make up for lack of resolution, but only to a point. I am simply saying that a 6 megapixel camera will perform better than a 1 megapixel camera given the same lense.

    23. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by hubie · · Score: 1
      This sharpness verses resolution thing apparently is not well understood in this forum, given the number of posts that use it incorrectly.

      In a properly designed optical system the 6 megapixel camera will not perform better than the 1 megapixel camera, and in fact I can think of at least one reason why it would perform worse, but more on that later. Within the context of this topic, the only way to get better optical performance is to put up a bigger-diameter lens, not a bigger focal plane.

      The performance of an imaging system depends first and foremost on the aperture size of the system. If you have perfectly performing optics in front of an imager with infinitely small pixels, you'll still get a blurry image. The very fact that light entered your system (usually through a circular aperture such as on a telescope opening) means that it diffracts off of the aperture opening and prevents the system from generating a perfect focus. Most stars are so far away that they should appear as point sources, but through any telescope (or your eye, for that matter) they will always look like a blurry disk. The size of the blurry disk depends on the aperture diameter (larger apertures give smaller disks---it actually depends on the f/number, so if you have an iris in the system you need to take that into account) and the wavelength. For 500 nm light (sort of in the mid-visible) the Hubble creates a blur spot of about 12-microns diameter (Hubble has a 2.4 m primary with a 24 m focal length). You get better resolution by generating smaller blur spots.

      How sharp a picture looks depends on how many pixels you can get across the blur spot. Optical systems are designed to get about 2-3 pixels across the blur spot (anything less and you can't see the resolution you have in your image, and anything more is overkill). If you are using a sensor with 30-micron pixels to look at that Hubble 12-micron blur spot, there will be details you can't see (two stars very close together will create two 12-micron blur spots very close together, but they would both fall onto only one pixel and would appear as one star), i.e., it won't be as sharp as it could be. The ideal sensor for Hubble would have 4-6-micron pixels (this is all in an ideal sense as the Hubble has various additional optics that go to different instruments, and these optics make the blur spot larger, which means the different instruments can and do use larger pixels). If you used a sensor with 1-micron pixels, you'd have a lot of pixels across the blur spot but it does not buy you anything in performance.

      So, a 6 megapixel camera will only perform better than a 1 megapixel camera if the system was originally underdesigned, which is not usually the case. In fact, a 6 megapixel camera will probably perform worse in this context because as the pixels get smaller (which they would have to do in this case because your overall sensor size is designed to be the size of the field of view and anything physically larger than that is just wasted space), they aren't as sensitive (do not have as deep of an electron well).

  2. Nothing wrong with revisiting the decision by Rei · · Score: 4, Interesting

    There's nothing wrong with taking another look at the situation. After all, O'Keefe wasn't exactly thorough in the analysis.

    Personally, I'll be happy when the ESA gets Darwin up ;) Not only will it find terrestrial planets, but even be able to do spectral analyses on their atmospheres.

    --
    Margaret Thatcher died the other day. It was a sad day, but I like to think that she's looking up at us right now."
    1. Re:Nothing wrong with revisiting the decision by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They said that the de-orbit decision was *final*. There's something wrong with changing a "final" decision. I'm not talking about Hubble, but about the meaning of the word "final" which is being violated.

    2. Re:Nothing wrong with revisiting the decision by tumbaumba · · Score: 1

      Personally, I'll be happy when the ESA gets Darwin up ;)

      However they do have grammatical errors right on this very page you gave us link to. :)

    3. Re:Nothing wrong with revisiting the decision by Sinus0idal · · Score: 1
      However they do have grammatical errors right on this very page you gave us link to. :)

      Uhhhh.. .. nah.
    4. Re:Nothing wrong with revisiting the decision by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Right but that "final" came out of the mouth of a clueless blow-dried MBA idiot.

      The current maybe comes from a card-carrying geek who's now heading up NASA.

      I'm willing to be flexible in this case.

    5. Re:Nothing wrong with revisiting the decision by ezberry · · Score: 3, Funny

      grammatical errors like dangling prepositions?

    6. Re:Nothing wrong with revisiting the decision by ZenArchitect · · Score: 1

      TPF is complimentary mission but it will be into the next decaded before either of these fly.

    7. Re:Nothing wrong with revisiting the decision by indifferent+children · · Score: 1
      Not only will it find terrestrial planets

      I think that you meant 'exosolar planets'.

      --
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    8. Re:Nothing wrong with revisiting the decision by tumbaumba · · Score: 1

      grammatical errors like dangling prepositions?

      My inability to use proper grammer nor spalling is not in quastion here. :)

    9. Re:Nothing wrong with revisiting the decision by Rei · · Score: 1

      No. I mean "terrestrial" planets. I.e., "Earthlike". They happen to be extrasolar as well, but there's about a thousand accurate adjectives I could stick before the word "planets" that accurately describe what it's looking for ("habitable", "distant", "life-bearing", etc).

      --
      Margaret Thatcher died the other day. It was a sad day, but I like to think that she's looking up at us right now."
    10. Re:Nothing wrong with revisiting the decision by bware · · Score: 1


      And you'll have to wait for Darwin, because the Hubble will suck all the money out of TPF-I and TPF-C.

      Just keep putting money into that 77 Chevy.

  3. Interactivity? by knightri · · Score: 0, Interesting

    Why not put basic Hubble control [direction] on the web and allow users to sign up for time and have the 'scope zoom in to where the user wants. Would you pay a buck or two to control the hubble for 30 minutes?

    --
    'Or else pizza is going to order out for you'
    1. Re:Interactivity? by MHobbit · · Score: 1

      What if people destroyed it by making it set course for the atmosphere? It'd be pointless... Though the people could of course program it to be able to only be controlled to a certain degree, but by then, lots of time would be wasted...

      --
      Debugging? Klingons do not debug. Bugs are good for building character in the user.
    2. Re:Interactivity? by courseB · · Score: 1

      not sure why parent is troll, but interactivity will be a big part of future space exploration.

      read about plans to have a moon themed casino is las vegas, where one attraction would be to control moon rovers live.

    3. Re:Interactivity? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      taht'd only bring in about $35k/year extra at ~$2/30 minutes usage. why not make it $100? that seems worth it, too. that'd generate $1.5mil/year i think. hmm, still not enough. oh, and parent isn't a troll. it's a good point,

    4. Re:Interactivity? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't know if the Hubble was concieved with the point and click interactivity armchair astronomers assume. Even for a big telescope like Hubble, those beautifully detailed images we love so much are the product of long exposure times and careful DSP "massaging" among other things. Your average would-be citizen Hubble operator would not necessarily know anything about astro-photography or even photography in general. Thirty minutes of using a tool too complicated for the layperson to operate properly is more likely to produce frustrated impressions which would likely accelerate the demise of Hubble.

  4. Personally I think it would be worth repair by HunterSun · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It has been a very useful piece of equipment for the scientific community and would continue to be so. True the cost looks big, but compared to the many other expenditures NASA Makes its a small price for the gain you get from it. Unless you can put up a new telescope with at least it's capabilities for the repair cost its worth the investment.

    1. Re:Personally I think it would be worth repair by ebrandsberg · · Score: 1

      You could make a new hubble for the cost of repairing it. Which would be a better choice?

    2. Re:Personally I think it would be worth repair by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      probably be better to build a new one and launch it using something other than the shuttle, too. that's the another problem with repairing it: we could lose human life over it (assuming the shuttle is used to grab it and make repairs).

    3. Re:Personally I think it would be worth repair by Martin+Blank · · Score: 2, Insightful

      We can lose human life over the ISS, and yet there are no plans to scrap that. Hubble produces science. The ISS produces a moving light in the sky every so often and props up the Russian space program. Unless and until a heavy lift booster is used to kick things into orbit so that the shuttle is used more like a contractor's pickup (hauling crew and tools to the site) than a cargo truck (hauling parts to the site), the shuttle is going to continue to be a drag on the station's construction.

      Then again, a simple replacement for the shuttle would be nice, too.

      --
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    4. Re:Personally I think it would be worth repair by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >You could make a new hubble for the cost of repairing it. Which would be a better choice?

      You ask this as if you think you are really smart, and other people are really dumb, and you are pointing out the obvious. But you do have your own blind spots, I would say.

      My choice would be to both repair the old one, and build a new one.

      Hubble is a proven platform, and repairing it and upgrading it presents fewer risks than starting over from scratch.

      That being said, there are great benefits to starting over from scratch. But also great risks. Don't assume that just because you make a better telescope, it will actually successfully get up into orbit and function as intended. It might, but there is no guarantee. It's good to have a backup plan, and Hubble is already up there. It's a no-brainer.

      Invest the cost of getting a single piss-pot for a human to Mars in saving the Hubble, and keep it around.

  5. Adaptive Optics by eingram · · Score: 2, Interesting

    How do ground based telscopes + adaptive optics compare with the Hubble? I know the JWST will have optical capabilities too, but probably not as good as Hubble.

    1. Re:Adaptive Optics by Patrick+Mannion · · Score: 0

      Yes, but JWST is just a infrafred telescope. Hubble covered a wider range from near infrared into visible to ultraviolet. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hubble_Telescope#Futu re

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    2. Re:Adaptive Optics by Xolotl · · Score: 5, Informative
      JWST is an infrared telescope, able to observe at wavelengths in the range 0.6 - 28 microns. Hubble (depending on the instrument) can go to about 8 microns - so not as far as JWST - but it can also see in the visible and near-UV, which JWST can't do.

      As for ground-based telescopes, any space-based instrument has access to the continuous range of wavelengths, whereas ground-based telescopes (even with adaptive optics) are limited by the absorption and scattering in the atmosphere in the UV and infrared. They also don't have to deal with sky glow, which restricts both how long you can take an exposure for -- eventually the background will saturate your detector -- and also the contrast between the thing you're trying to detect and the background (think picking out a small light on a white background against on a dark background).

      This is also why Earth-based telescopes are put on mountains -- to get above as much of the atmosphere as possible. Adaptive optics can improve the "seeing" (blurring caused by turbulence) and, coupled with large-diameter mirrors possible on ground-based telescopes, it will improve the resolution, but it can't deal with the other effects,

    3. Re:Adaptive Optics by Tsiangkun · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And if I could ask a follow up to that question, Will ground based telescopes be able to adjust to increasing level of contaminants in the air, and changes in the atmosphere ?

    4. Re:Adaptive Optics by Xolotl · · Score: 1
      The only way for ground-based telescopes as a class to "adjust" to increasing contaminants and light pollution and to compensate for natural absorption (a lot of which is due to water vapour), scattering and emission in the atmosphere is to build them higher, dryer and more remote.

      Early observatories were built near (or within!) cities. With each subsequent generation they were moved further away and to higher altitudes to get away from pollution (light and chemical) and above as much of the atmosphere as possible.

      The current generation of top telescopes is to be found in places like central Chile at altitudes of about 2000m. The next generation will be in places like the high Atacama desert (further north in Chile) or even in Antarctica, both at altitudes of 3500-4000m -- even more remote and even drier (yes, the air in central Antarctica is very dry).
    5. Re:Adaptive Optics by justthisdude · · Score: 1
      Look angle is another trade off with ground-based telescopes. looking near the horizon ground scopes see even more turbulence, so they are limited to what is overhead (and so latitude is critical). To see the whole sky you need observatories at several longitudes, and each constellation is on the night side only certain times of year. In orbit this is not a problem, but you do have to deal with that pesky planet getting in your way 48 out of every 97 minutes, but that is mostly a scheduling problem.

      Also, absorption lines in the atmosphere are particularly important when looking for exoplanets: to find nitrogen/oxygen atmospheres you want to look at the very spectral lines that are blocked by our own. Good thing we made sure the ozone absorption lines will not be a problem much longer....

      --
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  6. Obsolete? Hardly. by samrolken · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I generally consider things to be obsolete when they have been replaced by something better. How does this apply to Hubble?

    --
    samrolken
    1. Re:Obsolete? Hardly. by Shadow+Wrought · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think the issue is whether something superior to the Hubble could be built and launched for less cost than the repair mission. If that is the case, then we would be better off replacing the Hubble with somehting better. The Hubble has had an amazing run, but if we can place something even better up there, then I think we ought to do so.

      --
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    2. Re:Obsolete? Hardly. by elgatozorbas · · Score: 1
      I generally consider things to be obsolete when they have been replaced by something better. How does this apply to Hubble?

      In general: yes. In this case: no. A better telescope isn't going to pop up by itself suddenly (rendering Hubble obsolete). As far as I understand the discussion, it is between investing more money in Hubble OR in this new telescope which _would_ make Hubble obsolete if it were built. In other words: it isn't about what (existing) telescope is better, but about what telescope technology is better.

    3. Re:Obsolete? Hardly. by brontus3927 · · Score: 1

      It's not like a replacement is sitting in NASA's garage waiting to go up. Some of the parts that would go into a replacement have been built, but nowhere near a majority of the parts. Add in testing, hardening, etc. It's 2, 3 years minimun before the replacement goes up

    4. Re:Obsolete? Hardly. by Shadow+Wrought · · Score: 2, Insightful
      That's the other end of the equation, how long can we wait? If reaplcing the Hubble takes two years, a year of which the Hubble is either gone or unusable, then is it still in our best insterest? I think the biggest risk with a replacement, as I sit here contemplating it, is that it either won't be ready to go, will go up and fail, or the funding for it will get cut. All of which are huge issues.

      I don't have a lot of faith in the current administration's commitment to continuing things which generate scientific results. In such a climate the waters would indeed become muddied as to the best course of action.

      --
      If brevity is the soul of wit, then how does one explain Twitter?
    5. Re:Obsolete? Hardly. by kevlar · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The issue is whether something exists on Earth that can replace an orbitting satelite for a fraction of the cost. The answer is YES. There have been an enormous amount of progress in adaptive optics since Hubble went into orbit. So much so that land-based telescopes can correct atmospheric distortion.

      The only benefit for an orbiting telescope now is to observe at wavelengths that the atmosphere naturally filters out.

    6. Re:Obsolete? Hardly. by hey! · · Score: 1

      Well, I suppose there are the latest generation ground based telescopes with adaptive optics. They can't do everything Hubble can do of course, but they do mitigate one factor that made Hubble important.

      --
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    7. Re:Obsolete? Hardly. by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      The only benefit for an orbiting telescope now is to observe at wavelengths that the atmosphere naturally filters out.

      And this isn't enough of a benefit to have an orbital telescope? Sure, let the land based get the wavelengths they can get, so develop Hubble II to concentrate on the wavelengths they can't get.

      Of course, there's a limit to what even adaptive optics can do, so a new space telescope also using newer technology (or just a bigger mirror) might place it on the top again.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    8. Re:Obsolete? Hardly. by hubie · · Score: 1
      Land-based telescopes can only achieve high optical performance in the infrared. The best they can hope for in the shorter wavelengths is the pre-spherical-abberation-corrected Hubble performance, so you will not be able to replace Hubble with ground observatories (nor with the JWST for that matter).

      There are a host of other issues with ground-based adaptive optics that limit their use (namely, you can only do it in the optical vicinity of reference stars). Because of the infrared performance, perhaps your argument works against building the JWST.

      A nice review of the issues involved can be found here.

  7. Save Voyager! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    For what it costs to determine if Hubble can/should be "saved" we can fund Voyager until it runs out of power. We have never had a man made object communicate with us from outside the solar system.

    1. Re:Save Voyager! by Eternally+optimistic · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Yes, for the amount of money spent just talking about whether it's worth saving the Hubble over the next year. Not counting the people on slashdot.

      --
      What keeps me going is my inertia.
  8. If You Have A Copy of the Hubble Manual... by ackthpt · · Score: 5, Funny

    If you have a copy of the Hubble Manual, 24 April 1990, NASA will pay you $10,000.

    --

    A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
    1. Re:If You Have A Copy of the Hubble Manual... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      I do,
      $ man hubble
      No manual entry for hubble
      damn

    2. Re:If You Have A Copy of the Hubble Manual... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thank you for your purchase of a Hubble Space Telescope... D'Oh who'd have thought a Space Telescope would be so complicated?

  9. Too costly by L0C0loco · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Saving Hubble will cost at least $500 million. That money could be used to keep all of the other spacecraft that are being considered for termination operating for a few years. There is a more capable replacement, the JWST, on the way in 2011. The only reason they are revisiting the Hubble decision is to appease Senator Mikulski of MD. Oh yeah, Griffin came from APL which is also in MD. You connect the dots.

    --
    -- Instant Karma's gonna get you! [320848 = 2*2*2*2*11*1823]
    1. Re:Too costly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      I don't think anyone is saying Hubble is more important than all the other space ventures. But there is something to be said for perfecting constructing and repairing devices in space. The more ambitious the better. Not just for the science after the fact, but the development of the know-how which can be put to use later. Hubble does have more value, and perhaps even 500 Million dollars worth. I'd be surprised if it didn't already return far more in commercial activity resulting from the pictures it returned than several times it's cost to date. Furthermore, I don't think Hubble will want for astronomers with objects to observe, and it might take pressure off newer instruments that succeed it.

      A better question is why not pursue a more reasonable fiscal policy and use the left over change to try and save Hubble? Why not kill tobacco or other agricultural subsidies? Why not audit companies under-reporting their tax obligation? Why not license all data recovered by NASA and charge small fees for non-peer reviewed or educational publication? There are a lot of alternatives aside from giving up on other important science.

    2. Re:Too costly by Tsiangkun · · Score: 1

      We could roll back the 4.6 billion dollar bush tax cut given to citigroup, and recover more than enough to repair huble, build the next replacement, purchase a new fleet of shuttles and renew interest in science and engineering in this country.

    3. Re:Too costly by hylander_sb · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Yeah...there are jobs at stake. Some programs in their early stages have been cannabalized to save the ones that are close to launch. I won't comment on their relative merits. The fact remains that Hubble has been highly successful for the past 15 years and can remain so almost indefinitely. It was designed that way. You all need to stop thinking about this one-time use stuff that's been the prevailing model for the last 50 odd years. Expandable and Upgradable is more cost effective in the long run. When a better video card comes out, do you throw out your whole PC to upgrade? Think of HST as a PC in space. Hell, it has a PC on board and it's the second rev! If we wanted to, and the chasis held up, we could opearate HST for another 15 years. Just about every system is replacable.

    4. Re:Too costly by Bad+D.N.A. · · Score: 1

      Yea, but APL will loose when these programs are cut.../voyager/ulysses/geotail/etc...

      "that money could be used to keep all of the other spacecraft that are being considered for termination operating for a few years"

      Yea, In a perfect world that would be exactly where the extra money went but we both know that given the current NASA vision this extra cash would be dumped into our grand new boondoggle--exploration.

      --
      "Truth is much too complicated to allow anything but approximations"
    5. Re:Too costly by spanklin · · Score: 2, Informative
      The only reason they are revisiting the Hubble decision is to appease Senator Mikulski of MD.

      Well, that, and the fact that a committee made up of scientists that are members of the National Academy of Sciences recommended saving Hubble, which you neglected to mention.

      To date, almost every survey of astronomers has resulted in support for saving Hubble. Senator Mikulski is lending her support to the effort, because the Space Telescope Science Institute is in her constituency, but she is also doing it because the NAS and the community of astronomers have asked her to do so.

    6. Re:Too costly by L0C0loco · · Score: 1

      You must realize that this is a political topic and not a scientific one. Yes, the NAS is on record as having firm support for keeping Hubble going. But in politics, the questions and answers are frequently posed and crafted to allow them to be taken out of context and misused. What was NAS asked - if they like Hubble? Or were they asked, if given a fixed amount of money, how would spend it? Were they asked to choose between one big thing and a bunch of little stuff (with the latter doing much more science, but not returning the pretty pictures)? You can think Hubble is fabulous and still think the money is best spent elsewhere. If you think Washington cares only about only the wonderful science that is about to be lost/postponed and not about the hundreds of millions that will be spent at/by GSFC (also in MD) you may want to think again. It should also be obvious that Griffin works for the president, he said so. He also knows he will have to work with the congress to make things happen. Both have agendas and are required to provide support for him to be effective. If spending $500M in MD paves the way for tens of billions to be spent elsewhere, maybe the administration will think it is a good deal and he will be seen as someone who can work the system to get things accomplished. All I really wanted to point out is that there is a lot more in orbit and being considered for termination than Hubble. In the politcal arena, arguments are frequently won by whoever gets to pose the question.

      --
      -- Instant Karma's gonna get you! [320848 = 2*2*2*2*11*1823]
  10. Voyeger is more important by sfcat · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Considering how low it takes to get a probe beyond Pluto and the strange pull on the spacecraft (it is off where it should be) and the low cost of continuing to monitor the probes, the voyeger missions should be continued too. Cutting them saves very little money but the budget is so tight that to save one or two mil, we are cutting these very important programs.

    --
    "Those that start by burning books, will end by burning men."
    1. Re:Voyeger is more important by Troy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This is a great point. If we have to choose between Hubble and Voyager, frankly I think we should pick Voyager. It may not be as sexy as the Hubble, but at least with the Hubble we could get a working replacement up and running in significantly less time than it would take to get an object to the edge of our solar system.

    2. Re:Voyeger is more important by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are talking about that choice like if something would happen to Voyager should we stop reading data it sends.

      Voyager is on its own now, we can listen to it or not but it is not like it is "going down from the sky".

      If funds are raised later for it, we can continue tracking it. Some data will be lost during the time it went without monitoring, though.

      Unless... how is Voyager antenna dish alignment adjusted? Does it require getting a signal from Earth?

    3. Re:Voyeger is more important by Richard+Kirk · · Score: 1
      There are arguments for cheaper replacements for Voyager too. The Voyager craft would be overtaken by a solar sail with just the instruments needed to measure what's out in deep space. The sail could perhaps double as a parabolic reflector for the radio signals.

      For people with sentimental attachments to Hubble, such as myself, maybe we could leave it in orbit when it dies, so future generations can get it down and stuff it in a museum.

    4. Re:Voyeger is more important by mattspammail · · Score: 1

      V-ger was already reclaimed. It turned evil, but our boys on the USS Enterprise took care of it. Star Trek

      --
      Now accepting PayPal donations!
  11. As a rule... by Otter · · Score: 4, Insightful
    The big question is: do we really want to save Hubble for the right reasons or is it more of a symbolic thing?

    In general, use of the word "we" around here refers to be people who don't, as a group, have the slightest idea what they're talking about, let alone any intention of making any contribution themselves.

    This is a perfect example. Given the inability "we" have to understand why false color images are used, I find it hard to imagine that "we" have an informed opinion on the utility of the Hubble.

    My impression is that the posters here who do know what they're talking about run about 80-20 against hanging on to the Hubble.

    1. Re:As a rule... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why not inform "us" instead of telling "us" we're stupid?

    2. Re:As a rule... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why don't you make some effort to educate yourself rather then expecting other people to do the work for you?

    3. Re:As a rule... by Astro+Dr+Dave · · Score: 3, Insightful
      My impression is that the posters here who do know what they're talking about run about 80-20 against hanging on to the Hubble.
      Really?

      Those who "know what they're talking about" will understand that:

      - NASA funding is being redirected away from science and toward flimsy "national pride" missions (ISS, the moon and Mars).

      - JWST is not a replacement for HST. At the moment there is no replacement for HST on the drawing board.

      - HST is one of the most productive science projects NASA has ever had.

      So explain to me again, why do the "informed" people think HST should not be serviced?

    4. Re:As a rule... by hylander_sb · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well, maybe you should talk to the end users, I think they're called astronomers and they might have some insight as to the usefulness of HST to their research. Why would we have gone through the time and expense to develop 2 gyro sciense if no one wanted to use it? There isn't a single terrestrial telescope that can touch HST in capabilities. It's only peers are other space telescopes and that's being charitable. They're all very good at doing only one thing be it X-Ray or Infrared. JWST isn't due out til '11 or '12 and it won't even be as capable as HST. It's primarily an Infrared telescope. HST after SM4 will see Infrared and Ultraviolet as well as Visible. We have no plans to truly replace HST. Why not get the most out of it?

    5. Re:As a rule... by shadowbearer · · Score: 1

      He probably meant the moderated up ones :-)

      You know what I hope? I hope Mr. Griffin has some backbone and tells the Administration that NASA will choose it's own projects, thank you for your input, but we are more qualified to choose what we can and can't do... and we're going back to what we did best, a science and R&D program, and let the private sector do what it does best. ...and then... and then he goes and does it and makes them eat it. With the right kind of publicity it could possibly be pulled off. I think a lot of people in this country right now need some goals that don't involve war.

      Yeah, I'm probably dreaming. But it's a good dream.

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    6. Re:As a rule... by Otter · · Score: 1
      So explain to me again, why do the "informed" people think HST should not be serviced?

      I am a biologist. I can explain to you why 98% of the people posting in biology-related stories don't have the slightest idea what they're talking about but will freely admit that I'm not qualified to offer an opinion on this one way or the other.

      As I said, most (not all) of the people who seem more informed than simple fanboys seem to support the JWST as a worthwhile replacement. If you can convince them they're mistaken, please tell them, not me, and I'll be eager to read it.

    7. Re:As a rule... by Otter · · Score: 1

      Astronomers are precisely who I'd like to hear from. The question posed originally, and the one to which I was responding, asked what "we" think. What "we" think is of no useful consequence.

    8. Re:As a rule... by adminispheroid · · Score: 1
      Along with the parent, I don't know where you get the idea that "informed" people think Hubble should be terminated. But here is a reason why Hubble should not be terminated. Hubble's two main niches are 1) UV and 2) high resolution in visible, UV, and near IR. Although JWST is touted by NASA's PR department as a "replacement" for the HST, it in fact does not do #1 at all. (JWST will do a lot of other interesting things -- I'm just pointing out that the idea of it acting as a replacement for HST has no basis in fact.) There is no planned mission to take over UV work from HST. Except for the little bit of wavelength space of UV that makes it through the atmosphere, UV astronomy will end with Hubble for the forseeable future. So there is significant benefit in keeping the thing going.

      Another point is that there are two shiny new instruments for HST, the COS and the WFC3, built at a cost to the taxpayer of around $200M, that will be worthless if they never get installed on Hubble.

    9. Re:As a rule... by quarkscat · · Score: 2, Insightful

      As a rule, posters that pull bogus numbers out of
      their very own "black hole" don't know what they
      are taking about.

      The HST (Hubble Space Telescope) is getting a bit
      old, technology-wise. It also seems that some of
      the replacement parts (gyroscopes come to mind)
      have not lasted as long as the originals. But,
      there is no scientific instrument either built
      or on the drawing boards that can entirely replace
      the Hubble. Period.

      The politicos and BS artists would like for the
      public to believe that the Cobb Telescope IS the
      replacement. In truth, it is an IR telescopic
      array, not an IR to visible to UV telescope.
      If there are any problems with the Cobb scope
      deployment (solar panel deployment, array element
      alignment, proper LaGrange orbit), it will be out
      of reach of any manned SST (shuttle) mission and
      could be considered lost (barring technology-defying
      advancements in robotic repair missions).

      All ground-based telescopes suffer from the very
      same environmental issues -- atmospheric distortion,
      atmospheric filtering (poor weather and/or air
      pollution) that limits bandwidth, and light
      pollution. Recent advances in stereoscopic
      telescopes have partially ameliorated the issue
      of atmospheric distortion, only.

      The Hubble WILL require some manner of servicing
      mission, if only to attach rockets for de-orbiting
      (originally planned for 2008).
      But the replacement parts have been built & tested
      for the continued (and improved) functionality of
      HST. A robotic servicing mission to perform the
      repairs and upgrades is 5 years and $2B USD away
      from reality. OTOH, NASA scientists/astronauts
      have already been trained to perform this mission.
      All that is lacking is the political resolve to
      (1) spend the money to complete the mission, and
      (2) risk the potential loss of life and spacecraft.

      Since any return of the SST (shuttle) into space
      already risks both spacecraft and human life,
      using such an argument against a manned HST
      mission is also an argument against any return
      of manned spaceflight. The current regime and
      NASA administrators need to "get a pair"...

    10. Re:As a rule... by mperrin · · Score: 2, Informative
      Hubble's two main niches are 1) UV and 2) high resolution in visible, UV, and near IR. Although JWST is touted by NASA's PR department as a "replacement" for the HST, it in fact does not do #1 at all.

      In fact it's worse than that. JWST is entirely an infrared scope. When HST goes down, we essentially lose all capability for visible-light high resolution imaging. With no replacement telescope even vaguely in planning (unless TPF gets rescoped to have a wide-field camera too... which would be cool but is unlikely) it'd be a long, long time before we have a HST-like capability again.

      And if anything, I should be biased toward JWST: I'm an infrared astronomer by trade. But I recognize that the infrared isn't everything, not by a long shot, and so JWST is not a replacement for Hubble.

    11. Re:As a rule... by mbrother · · Score: 3, Informative

      The "informed people" are the astronomers who use Hubble. The consensus plan for the astronomers, who spent a lot of time fighting and worrying about it, is that Hubble should be maintained at least until JWST flies (circa 2012). That's the informed opinion. The majority of naysayers are uninformed (and I can back this statement up pretty easily I expect).

      There is an argument about the cost and risk to lives, vs. the science goals. Only a tiny minority of astronomers are against the goal of servicing Hubble, and, from what I hear, most astronauts don't see the risk as too high. Even given the budget woes, servicing is a small fraction of some elective costs the US has taken on.

      I welcome Griffin reopening the issue. Maybe we shouldn't do it, but I would trust him reaching that decision more than O'Keefe.

      --
      Professor of Astronomy, Author of Spider Star & Star Dragon (Tor)
    12. Re:As a rule... by grozzie2 · · Score: 1
      The "informed people" are the astronomers who use Hubble

      The problem with this group of 'informed' people, is they are an elite group who have a skewed opinion. Astronomy is thier passion, therefore they will place a much higher value on the data returned from hubble, than that data really has in the 'big picture'. You need to temper the opinion of this group with the opinions of other informed professionals (professionals, not scientists) from other fields, to get a better relative value of the hubble and it's mission. The reality of it is, while hubble does provide absolutely unique scientific data, that's invaluable to folks in the field, it's a rather esoteric field, that really doesn't contribute practical knowledge back to the 'whole' in relation to the amount of resource spent obtaining that data. If hubble was a resource available to 'just anybody' in the field, this may be a different case, but it's not. Hubble observation time is only available to those in the inner circles of the elitist clique in the upper levels of the 'hierarchy' of the scientific group. It then gets justified to the masses by taking raw data, completely altering it to create 'pretty pictures', and publishing those to the masses. Most of the hubble data that gets published for public consumption is borderline fraud, cuz those pretty pictures bear little/no resemblance to the actual observed data.

      The hubble itself is nothing more than a modified KH-11. If you go take a look at the NRO inventory (including the classified stuff), you'll probably find a few of those that were never launched, sitting somewhere gathering dust. On conventional expendable boosters, one of those can be launched for about 200 million. The hubble repair mission will cost 500 million. I'm pretty sure, starting with an unused KH-11, it can be modified the same way as hubble was, for less than 300 million, keeping in mind that there is already an inventory of spare parts for hubble sitting at the KSC. The whole thing could be built, and launched, for less than the cost of a hubble service mission. This is likely a far better alternative to servicing the unit currently in orbit.

      Hubble was designed to be serviced and upgraded on station, on the premise that shuttle flights would be cheap. That premise has failed, and turned hubble into a huge cash sink. It just doesn't make sense to service it, when there's plenty of parts already kicking around to build another, and that new one could be in orbit for a total expenditure less than servicing of the existing unit.

      All of this pre-supposes, that space based visible spectrum observations continue to be worth the 500+ million it's going to cost to service it, and the ongoing operating budget to operate it. But that's another debate, for another time. I would love to sit down with folks that actually use the hubble, and ask the simple question, 'show me data from the hubble that is worth the billions of dollars spent on it today, real data, not color corrected public consumption images'. It would be an interesting debate, i'm sure I'd learn a lot about where the real value of the data lies, and I'm sure folks on the other side of the table, would gain an appreciation for just how little that data actually contributes to the big picture, outside the circle of 'astronomy professionals'.

      Then again, politics enter the equations too. Many would gladly concede the astronomers a dozen hubbles, if it came with the guarantee that the military would stay within it's allocated budget, and not go begging to congress for 80 billion dollar overruns. with those kind of overruns in the politicians minds, something has to give, and hubble is a pretty easy target.

    13. Re:As a rule... by mbrother · · Score: 2, Insightful

      While I think you have some valid points, you kind of crap out on it with statements like "Hubble observation time is only available to those in the inner circles of the elitist clique in the upper levels of the 'hierarchy' of the scientific group" and "Most of the hubble data that gets published for public consumption is borderline fraud, cuz those pretty pictures bear little/no resemblance to the actual observed data". Both of these are really ignorant and unfair.

      I've served on the panel that hands out Hubble time. It's pretty damn fair, with no elitist cliques (some big names in astronomy get savaged and some unknowns get time, based on the quality of proposals). And the "pretty pictures" ARE the observed data -- to claim otherwise if unfair. Those are real Hubble pictures, which contain valuable information.

      Other statements like "real data" vs. "color-corrected public consumption images" suggest you really don't have a good idea about this stuff.

      I'm fine with a public debate about the value of basic research like astronomy, and how much should be spent on it. I think current dollar values are in the ballpark, and don't really think the field needs/deserves lots more in the big picture. Nevertheless, the Hubble Space Telescope is one of the very best investments ever in astronomy, in terms of the overall science return and the science return by dollar (there have been papers published investigating this quantitatively based on publications and citations). Spending more money on it now is maintaining the mission, and is a lot less than starting from scratch. NASA says money is not the issue here, and I believe that.

      "Hubble was designed to be serviced and upgraded on station, on the premise that shuttle flights would be cheap. That premise has failed, and turned hubble into a huge cash sink." That premise failed long before 2004, when this decision not to service was made. The repair mission was on the books and approved before 2004 and the shuttle explosion -- that's the real issue, not the cost. That issue isn't really in play here.

      --
      Professor of Astronomy, Author of Spider Star & Star Dragon (Tor)
    14. Re:As a rule... by mbrother · · Score: 3, Insightful

      P.S. You do realize that all Hubble data, the "real" raw observed data, is publically available, right? You can go download it yourself, and do anything you want with it. There is no conspiracy of the elite to stop you, and, in fact, there are mountains of documentation and software to help you make sense of the data. Look at some ultraviolet spectroscopy, some infrared images, anything Hubble has ever looked at, available, for anyone forever. That's a scientific legacy.

      --
      Professor of Astronomy, Author of Spider Star & Star Dragon (Tor)
    15. Re:As a rule... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dude, what the hell is it with your 40 column post format? Did you use a Commodore 64 to post? Man, let me paypal you 5$ so you can buy a Commodore 128, at least it has an 80 column display.

    16. Re:As a rule... by phlinn · · Score: 1
      I have to disagree with the following statement.
      - NASA funding is being redirected away from science and toward flimsy "national pride" missions (ISS, the moon and Mars).
      It could be much better written as
      - NASA funding is being redirected away from astronomy and towards more practical endeavors (the moon and mars), with 1 flimsy "national pride" mission (ISS) continuing to recieve funding.
      There is a lot of scientific knowledge to be gained from manned space missions, largely consisting of "What are the negative effects of sending people on extended trips with little gravity? How do we cope with those effects? How are those effects ammeliorated? Can humans successfully settle another celestial body? etc." This is of huge pragmatic interest, if you subscribe to the notion that having humanity live on in case of a major catastrophe is a GoodThing. Some of this is already known, but further knowledge looks to be of much more immediate use than long distance astronomical observations. The ISS may make more contributions this way than I realize, in terms of being a test bed for future space construction projects, but I don't believe we are gaining much in the way of knew information or capabilities from it.

      Although astronomy can provide some very useful observations, as near as I can tell most astronmy using the hubble currently has little practical use. It may in the future, but it is not automatically the case that theoretical science is useful. Speaking as a lay person, tangible benefits seem far more useful than esoteric knowledge about distant objects. If the hubble can be serviced without significanly taking away from those tangible benefits, good. More power to it, let it stand. I cannot state whether or not that is the case, and so must defer to experts on that. I can however state that doing just astronomy at the expense of manned space missions is wrong.
      --
      "Pulling together is the aim of despotism and tyranny! Free men pull in all sorts of directions" -- Havelock Vetinari
    17. Re:As a rule... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow... this is some of the richest irony I've seen in a quite a while. And to think in a later post Otter admits that s/he/it knows nothing on this subject. Given that I have mod point and am relatively more well informed than the parent, I looked up and down the moderation list for "-1 ironic" but couldn't find a thing. I would have settled for "+1 ironic". Sigh, I can't believe this garbage was mod'ed up to +5 insightful. Otter, you sir are a fool and you do not even know it. Amazing! One finds all sorts on slashdot, one really does.

  12. Obsolete???? by hellfire · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Would someone mind telling me what exactly has made the hubble obsolete? What batch of super powerful telescopes has made the hubble unnecessary?

    Maybe the hubble is broken down, maybe it's too difficult to maintain, I'll even entertain the very unscientific assessment that the benefits of the hubble are outweighed by the costs now. However, you can't call something obsolete until something else comes along that's simply better and that can replace it fully.

    With repairs the hubble can still do tremendous things. The submitter calling it "obsolete" is an irresponsible use of words and that bothers me because it implies it has no further worth. That's simply wrong.

    --

    "All great wisdom is contained in .signature files"

    1. Re:Obsolete???? by jfdawes · · Score: 1

      Because repairing it would cost more than putting a new one up there. Not to mention the fact that the technology the thing uses is a number of years old.

      Yes, it's an awesome telescope, but we can build better for less than it would cost to repair it.

      Too bad no-one is suggesting (in any manner that gets press) that we do that.

  13. Tough call... by NoseBag · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I suspect that the answer to the question is "both". Hubble has provided stunning information over the years, and - quite frankly - it kicks b*tt! But its old, and NASA can no doubt do better now.

    What I would like to see is a detailed summary cost breakdown (un-spun by the politicos) and ongoing sustaining costs for the thing, as well as the schedule-of-use (i.e. who's using it and how much and for what). This info is probably available, but hard to find.

    Then I'll decide if I/we can afford my/our "feelings" about Hubble, nice as they are.

    --
    Cloned foods give the statement "We had that last week!" a whole new meaning.
    1. Re:Tough call... by CaptainAvatar · · Score: 1

      No doubt NASA can do better, but they're currently not planning to. Hence the problem.

      --
      The real Captain Avatar is a fictional character, so I suppose he doesn't mind if I impersonate him.
  14. Symbolism or hedging your bets? by Tackhead · · Score: 5, Insightful
    > do we really want to save Hubble for the right reasons or is it more of a symbolic thing?

    If you don't have $400M to fix a space telescope, you're not going to get $4B+ to build a new one.

    Consider, further, that if a hypothetical new telescope has a $400M sticker on it today, it'll cost at least $4B by the time Congress is done splitting up the contracts so as to maximize the amount of pork (and therefore votes) allocated.

    Consider, still further, the probability that this (or any other) administration is ever going to agree to spending one thin time on science. People into science tend to think. People who think tend not to vote as predictably. It's therefore in every Congressman's long-term interest to reduce the proportion of such people among the population.

    This isn't an R-vs-D flame. Space telescopes harm Republican politicians by draining money away from faith-based initiatives that would otherwise be used to indoctrinate the next generation of Republican voters, but they also harm Democrat politicians by draining money away from social programmes that foster the kind of nanny-state dependency that produces the next generation of Democrat voters.

    I support keeping the Hubble - even if obsolescent, it's better than nothing. And "nothing" is what we'll end up with if we let it crash and burn.

    As prior art, I cite the X-33 and other Shuttle replacements, all of which were canned years ago.

    1. Re:Symbolism or hedging your bets? by shadowbearer · · Score: 1

      That's probably the most insightful piece of realpolitik I've read in the Hubble threads yet. Spot on ;-(

      Cheers!
      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    2. Re:Symbolism or hedging your bets? by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      As prior art, I cite the X-33 and other Shuttle replacements, all of which were canned years ago.

      The various shuttle replacements, like the X-30, X-33, X-34, OSP, SLI, VentureStar, etc, were all horrific boondoggles and rightfully canned. They relied on large amounts of unobtanium and various nonexistent technologies.

    3. Re:Symbolism or hedging your bets? by duslow · · Score: 1

      Consider, even still further, that the irony of your post is that your analysis of why it would damage either political party uses the exact same generalization/sterotyping technique.

      There are indeed thinking people who align with a particular political party and are not simply sheeps looking for a shephard, towing the party line on every issue.

      It certainly is easier for you to make your point by reducing the proportion of such *thinking* people amongst your sample of the population.

    4. Re:Symbolism or hedging your bets? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      > There are indeed thinking people who align with a particular political party and are not simply sheeps looking for a shephard, towing the party line on every issue.

      True. The poster is only arguing that it makes politicians' lives easier to reduce the influence of such people.

      The easiest way to reduce the influence of a group of people is to reduce the proportion of such people in the population. As one politician once said - "No man, no problem."

      At least our politicians are doing it the easy way, by waiting for us to die of old age.

    5. Re:Symbolism or hedging your bets? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The various shuttle replacements, like the X-30, X-33, X-34, OSP, SLI, VentureStar, etc, were all horrific boondoggles and rightfully canned. They relied on large amounts of unobtanium and various nonexistent technologies.

      Not exactly true, for some of the examples you mentioned. In the case of the X-33, (Aside: the Venture Star was the full scale vehicle the X-33 was a technology demostrator) there was only one major technology hurdle they hadn't solved by the time the project was canceled. They were trying to find a light-weight composite that strong enough to build the shape they wanted, could handle the cryogenic temperatures, and wouldn't react as severly with LOX in a crash. There were composites that could satisfy one or two of those goals, but not all three. Lightwieght aluminium alloys could have been used as well, but it would have drastically decreased the payload mass the final vehicle would be able to launch (to below that of the current shuttle).

  15. Wrong question by tepp · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I think your question, is Hubble obsolete, is the wrong question to ask.

    Hubble IS obsolete. And will be replaced by the http://www.jwst.nasa.gov/JWST. But the JWST won't launch until August, 2011.

    Hubble will die soon. So what are scientists to do from 2006 until August 2011? Although we have many world class telescopes on earth, all of them have to contend with the atmosphere, plus earth's orbit - its rotation around the sun affect which part of our sky is visible at night, and because of this annoying thing called "day", those telescopes can only be used at night, which further restrict which part of the universe can be viewed at any given moment.

    I'm not insulting earth-based telescopes, but I do believe we need to keep Hubble functioning until the JWST is ready. For safety, Hubble should operate a few months after the JWST is launched, just in case the JWST has flaws that are only discovered after launch... remember Hubble's mirror flaw which required an additional flight to fix?

    --
    Tepp
    1. Re:Wrong question by El · · Score: 1

      So what are scientists to do from 2006 until August 2011? Perhaps they could try getting a life instead of staring off into space all the time? If I was a scientist, I might welcome a 5 year break.

      --

      "Freedom means freedom for everybody" -- Dick Cheney

    2. Re:Wrong question by rtaylor · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Do list off all of the things that Hubble can do and all of the things that JWST can do. I think you'll find that the lists are not identical and that you could easily find enough work for both in non-overlapping areas.

      --
      Rod Taylor
    3. Re:Wrong question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      JWST is *NOT* a total replacement for the Hubble. Sure, it will be a valuable astronomical tool, but it is an infrared telescope, while Hubble covers infrared, ultraviolet and visible wavelengths.

    4. Re:Wrong question by SA+Stevens · · Score: 1

      Naw. It's about funding. You know, grants, so you can get new lab equipment and the U can cart your old equipment off to store in a warehouse until it's obsolete enough to sell at a surplus auction for scrap gold prices.

      That's what a whole heck of a lot of 'science' is about, sadly.

    5. Re:Wrong question by mbrother · · Score: 1

      Who wants or needs a five year break?! I'd like five weeks, for sure, or maybe even five months. My grad students wouldn't.

      Observational astronomy is kind of harsh. It's very difficult to get a Hubble project through. It's easier with most ground-based telescopes, but weather and instrument problems can nail you. I just went 0/4 at Kitt Peak, and 0/4 at NASA's IRTF, due to weather this year. You need to overdo it, because some projects won't work out, at least not on short timescales.

      --
      Professor of Astronomy, Author of Spider Star & Star Dragon (Tor)
    6. Re:Wrong question by Shag · · Score: 1

      JWST is not only not a "total" replacement for the Hubble, it's about as unrelated as can be, and basically not a replacement at all.

      In addition to being optimized for a single wavelength, it's being designed to go float around at a Lagrange point, utterly beyond the reach of Shuttles and such.

      It's not upgradeable (though the original specs will, I assure you, be quite nice). And while Hubble was originally designed for a 15-year orbital life with servicing, then extended to 20 years, the non-serviceable JWST is designed to last 5 years, and they're hoping for 10.

      --
      Village idiot in some extremely smart villages.
    7. Re:Wrong question by MattHaffner · · Score: 1

      Perhaps they could try getting a life instead of staring off into space all the time? If I was a scientist, I might welcome a 5 year break.

      Sweet! Can I put this in my next proposal? That you personally would like your tax dollars going to me taking 5 years off on your dime and doing nothing? That rocks. Anyone else I can put down for this? I could use some trips to the Caribbean in there somewhere...

  16. It's an icon by brontus3927 · · Score: 4, Insightful
    If the White House burned down and it was discovered that it would only cost a little more to build a new White House over in Arlington then to rebuild it at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, which would you choose?

    The Hubble Space Telescope stands for everything NASA has done right in the last 12 years. At the completion of STS-61, the mission to replace the warped mirror, NASA's approval rating was at it's highest since the launch of Columbia. Possibly since the Apollo missions. Besides saving a $1.5 billion dollar investment. The mission proved that servicing missions could be done. It opened the door to the idea that in orbit manufacutring and repairs weren't just science fiction.

    Since then Hubble has increased our understanding of the universe 10 fold. Its more than just a space telescope, it's a national monument. I think every effort should be made to keep it in working order until the technology exists to safely return it to Earth intact so it can be displayed at the Smithsonian Air & Space Museum

    1. Re:It's an icon by Professor_UNIX · · Score: 1
      If the White House burned down and it was discovered that it would only cost a little more to build a new White House over in Arlington then to rebuild it at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, which would you choose?


      Arlington? I'd move it to a much nicer neighborhood... Washington, D.C. is too crime infested. Maybe move it to the midwest to secure it again terrorist submarine attacks.

    2. Re:It's an icon by SA+Stevens · · Score: 1

      Your whole second paragraph makes the HST sound like a PR stunt.

      Oh, and your third paragraph immediately degenerated into the same after the first sentence. Which you didn't back up with any evidence.

      I'm fairly certain the HST wasn't made to be a static display at the Smithsonian, and that the money would be much better spent on something else rather than 'preserving' it to be said static display.

    3. Re:It's an icon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I believe Hubble is to American of same importance as Mir space station was to Russians. Yet Russians were asked to sacrify Mir in the name of ISS funding... sounds familiar ?

  17. Re:Hubble is obsolete by Tsiangkun · · Score: 1

    Any links to pictures from the new scopes to get an idea of what to expect from the next generation of scopes ?

  18. I got an idea by bman08 · · Score: 4, Funny

    Maybe they can turn it around, point it at earth and use it to film new episodes of Star Trek Enterprise!

    1. Re:I got an idea by haydon4 · · Score: 1

      Maybe just put it up on EBay. I'm sure there's somebody willing to put up the money for it, and maybe fund a replacement.

  19. Awesome! by jlmcgraw · · Score: 5, Funny

    This sounds just like the Terri Schiavo case, except set in space!

    1. Re:Awesome! by hylander_sb · · Score: 1

      Yeah except HST can still talk and doesn't need a feeding tube. I'm sorry, I don't have a sense of humor about this.

      People, HST is still functioning as expected. The reason there is concern and extra measures taken to conserve the batteries and develop 2 gyro science is that uncertainty has been introduced about whether the next servicing mission will happen. It's just prudent to conserve your resources and prepare contingency plans in such a situation. It's called getting the most of what you have!

      Let's also remember that while unanticipated repairs were made to HST during the last 4 missions, the missions themselves were planned from the beginning of the project. As is the next one, though it was supposed to take place in '02 (I think). So, the thing isn't broken or breaking. It's wearing out, yes, but that was taken into consideration in scheduling the SMs. Let's see you spin around a few hundred billion times like one of those gyros and see if you don't start showing signs of wear. Or try going from near absolute zero to a few hundred degrees a few times a day and see if you don't get a little out of sorts.

      I know Voyager I and II are still sending telemetry, but does anyone know what percentage of it's instruments are still functional?

    2. Re:Awesome! by mbrother · · Score: 1

      Very good points. Hubble was designed to be serviced. The next mission was scheduled to happen, and only the shuttle explosion derailed it. Regarding the issue of risk to astronaut lives, in my opinion and those of many others -- including the astronauts, we should still do the mission. It isn't such a huge risk increase compared to a mission that can abort to the ISS, about a factor of two.

      --
      Professor of Astronomy, Author of Spider Star & Star Dragon (Tor)
    3. Re:Awesome! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I know Voyager I and II are still sending telemetry, but does anyone know what percentage of it's instruments are still functional?

      Well, it doesn't really matter what instruments are still functional, the Voyagers can still give us usefull information if all they can do is send back telemetry. Their posistion and velocity will help us determine the exact position of the heliopause, the "boarder" where our Sun's solar wind interfers with and becomes indistiguishable from the combined solarwinds of the neighboring stars. For just a few more years worth of funding we can get this information. If they decided they wanted a probe specifically for information like this it would take hundereds of millions of dollars and decades of waiting to get it.

  20. It's not obsolete, it's just politics by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Even though 90 percent of the public is way more interested in pictures from Hubble than they are in the International Space Station (ISS) or any moon base, the scaredy-cats in DC don't want to risk fixing it with the military space shuttle, so they can send more spy satellites up instead.

    Sigh. It will soon be replaced with something better from the EU or Japan anyway.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    1. Re:It's not obsolete, it's just politics by gilroy · · Score: 1
      Blockquoth the poster:

      The scaredy-cats in DC don't want to risk fixing it with the military space shuttle

      Um, you do know that The West Wing is fiction, right?
    2. Re:It's not obsolete, it's just politics by nmb3000 · · Score: 1

      Sigh. It will soon be replaced with something better from the EU or Japan anyway.

      Well if they're going to it's about time. Geez, they've had 15 years to work on something. Hell, maybe the EU should leave Microsoft alone for 10 minutes and pony up some of the dough they fined MS for to help keep Hubble functional until a replacment is ready.

      --
      "What do you despise? By this are you truly known." --Princess Irulan, Manual of Muad'Dib
      /)
    3. Re:It's not obsolete, it's just politics by WillAffleck · · Score: 1

      Um, you do know that The West Wing is fiction, right?

      And you probably think most space shuttle flights are civilian, right?

      Wrong.

      --
      Will in Seattle
    4. Re:It's not obsolete, it's just politics by Kiryat+Malachi · · Score: 1

      All shuttle flights *are* civilian. Have been since the early 90s. Historically, most of them *were* civilian. 19 have been military flights. There have been over 100 shuttle flights.

      Get over it, the shuttle is now a civilian program. It was not envisioned as one, but after Challenger the Air Force backed away from shuttle faster than Republicans backed away from Trent Lott.

      --

      ---
      Mod me down, you fucking twits. Go ahead. I dare you.
      (I read with sigs off.)
    5. Re:It's not obsolete, it's just politics by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

      And you probably think most space shuttle flights are civilian, right?

      All shuttle flights *are* civilian. Have been since the early 90s.

      Again, you confuse the "listed" flights and the actual flights.

      Most flights have at least one mil package, and some flights are mil only. The mil only flights haven't been listed since the early 90's - because we don't want to acknowledge they exist, just like the 50 percent of the budget that's the black budget which we officially deny occurs, but we all know exists (and the French and others actual detail in thier stats on the US economy).

      But, hey, I used to hold a military clearance myself, so I'm probably not correct - by your standards - right?

      I say again, the decision is political, not scientific. Not saying it's the right or wrong decision, but everything's a choice.

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    6. Re:It's not obsolete, it's just politics by Kiryat+Malachi · · Score: 1

      And I say again, I used to work at Kennedy (you know... where they launch the shuttle from?), so I knew pretty goddamn well when a launch was going up, because you can't prepare the Shuttle without everyone on base knowing. Further, I worked payload management. Believe me when I say that we knew which packages were what, because we had to. Military utilization of the shuttle in the last decade has been next to zero; a single military package on a flight by no means makes the flight military, and is in and of itself fairly rare these days, since ISS takes the entire bay and non-ISS flights have been rare since the late 90s.

      A random military clearance doesn't mean that you know what goes on shuttle - I know enough about the military to know that if you didn't need to know about it, you wouldn't. Working payloads for Kennedy, I *needed* to know what was going on my flights. And most of the time, it was purely civilian. The rest of the time, there was a small satellite or some form of earth-observation package, sitting next to the rest of the payload.

      To sum up: there are no secret military flights. That's absurd.

      To sum up: Most all military launches are done on expendables. Cheaper, and the military *can* control access to those a lot more closely, as a Delta launch takes a lot fewer people than a shuttle launch to get right.

      To sum up: I agree, there were minor human-operated military packages on shuttle on occasion, but nothing that comes even close to making a flight "military".

      --

      ---
      Mod me down, you fucking twits. Go ahead. I dare you.
      (I read with sigs off.)
  21. Re:Hubble is obsolete by ChuckSchwab · · Score: 3, Funny

    Nah, I was just BSing. Can't believe I got modded up.

  22. Re: CEV... by vrmlguy · · Score: 2, Interesting
    The space.com article also says that the timeline for the CEV (Crew Exploration Vehicle) will be revisited. I say, "Hurrah!"

    Much has been said about how expensive it is to keep a spare shuttle ready for a rescue mission in case something happens in orbit. And yet the United States and Russia have kept thousands of missles thirty minutes from launch 24x7 for the past thirty years. There must be some way to deliver supplies to an ailing shuttle while a rescue mission is prepared, without endangering the second crew by rushing things. Really, all you need is a stack of solid-fuel boosters to get a capsule into orbit. The whole thing could be put together using off-the-shelf parts and kept parked on a launch pad for years.

    --
    Nothing for 6-digit uids?
  23. Let it fall.... by pablo_max · · Score: 0

    into the ocean.
    The hubble has been great no question about it! But, there is no reason to keep dumping money into. Best to get something else/something better.
    It's like those people who have an old car. Sure, back in its day, it was great. Top of the line. But now, you always have to put more and more money into it. I know your attached to the car, but in the long run its going to cost you more. Even a cheap civic is going to be better then your 1982 audi.
    There comes a point when the cost outways the benifits.

    1. Re:Let it fall.... by wcdw · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Bad analogy, actually. Many studies have shown that it is, in fact, cheaper to maintain a used car (per year) than the cost of making car payments for that same year.

      My experiences (save for the time I threw a head bolt through the hood ;) have supported this.

      Note that my (current) car is old enough to drink legally; this is not hypothetical.

      --
      If you're not living on the edge, you're just taking up space!
    2. Re:Let it fall.... by shadowbearer · · Score: 1

      Ha! Our current vehicle just got it's Master's Degree ;-) - '81 silverado. Rusty but trusty!

      (purrs like a kitten too - in my experience knowing how to do most of your own maintenance is what brings that cost down :-D, that and older vehicles are simply much easier to work on)

      Cheers!
      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    3. Re:Let it fall.... by wcdw · · Score: 1

      I finally got all the (infamous) oil leaks stopped on my '84 Jag, so now I'm worried about rust, too. :)

      Good points both about doing your own work and how much easier the older vehicles are in that regard. Damnit, Jim, I'm a geek, not a mechanic!

      There is also often an abundance of references, as well as groups of others to provide advice (and sometimes assistance). I don't know that I would have gotten this far without jag-lovers.org, for example.

      --
      If you're not living on the edge, you're just taking up space!
  24. Re:Hubble is obsolete by jhoger · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You're ignoring the aspects of time and matter.

    A better telescope could be placed in to orbit, sure.

    But time on the telescope is a finite resource. If you want to look at something, you have to create a proposal, and get time scheduled on the device, get it pointed, etc.

    If the Hubble still has some significant utility, and the cost to repair it is worth that additional utility, than it should be repaired.

    But just being "obsolete" doesn't make it worthless, and I don't see this as a "sentimental" argument.

    -- John.

  25. Symbolic of failures too by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 1
    There's no denying that Hubble has generated some nice piccies, but Hubble had a lot of project issues (especially the lens thing) that a lot of people in NASA and associates would, I'm sure, rather have forgotten.

    For a lot of people, being able to bury history would be a GoodThing.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
    1. Re:Symbolic of failures too by JJ · · Score: 1

      Of the people I know at NASA, I'd have to say that I know not a single one who thinks that way. Of course, that could just be that I know only optimists. HST has been a huge success for NASA in spite of failures and NASA people seem to believe they do their best work when unforseen difficulties have to be resolved (Apollo 13 got this spot on.) Hubble has generated an enormous amount of scientific discoveries plus fabulous pictures to show to the kids. Everyone I know of at NASA calls it a big plus and not to be swept under the rug.

      --
      So long and thanks for all the fish . . . !!!
  26. better use of funds by omahaNerd · · Score: 2, Funny

    Instead of repairing hubble, NASA should use the money to train monkeys to work at the USPO. They could evaluate software patents more accurately than anyone currently working there.

    1. Re:better use of funds by Kiryat+Malachi · · Score: 1

      USPTO, not USPO. A USPO is a post office.

      --

      ---
      Mod me down, you fucking twits. Go ahead. I dare you.
      (I read with sigs off.)
    2. Re:better use of funds by theAtomicFireball · · Score: 1

      Yeah... and they already have monkeys working there...

  27. That poor telescope by Illserve · · Score: 0, Redundant

    It's like we're watching the Terri Schiavo drama all over again, with NASA repeatedly yanking and then replacing life support.

  28. Hubble, Hubble, Toil and Trouble by jd · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Fire Burn and Caldera Bubble...


    The problem with launching a replacement to Hubble is that there isn't one, right now. All space telescopes due to be launched are on very different wavelengths. Plans to build super-massive ground-based telescopes look interesting, but they aren't even started yet and there's no guarantee they'll ever get them to work.


    Hubble is what we have in orbit now. Whether it stays or whether it goes, no space-based alternative will exist for a long time - maybe a decade or two after Hubble is disposed of, if no rescue is launched.


    Space telescopes are vital because, although there are ground telescopes that can be programmed to correct for the distortion, the atmosphere is still not forgiving. Light that is absorbed cannot be calculated for, because you have nothing to base your calculations on. Also, most telescopes are either on top of active volcanos, in Earthquake zones, or in Hurricane-prone regions. It's impressive there are any left standing. One geophysical mishap could set the science of astronomy back thirty or forty years, maybe more.

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    1. Re:Hubble, Hubble, Toil and Trouble by heybrakywacky · · Score: 1

      I agree with the principle that we should keep Hubble until there is an alternative, but that alternative is not decades away. As someone posted above, JWST is just around the corner, slated to launch in six years.

      --
      I'm sorry sandwich! --Brak
    2. Re:Hubble, Hubble, Toil and Trouble by jd · · Score: 1
      As you probably noticed, though, JWST is an infra-red telescope, not an optical one, so won't show anything not visible in the IR spectrum and won't show the distribution or absorbtion bands within the optical region.


      (Actually, that's the no. #1 reason for an optical space telescope. You can then do much better analysis of the absorbtion bands at the optical wavelengths, without having to contend with the atmosphere and pollution interfering with the observations.)

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    3. Re:Hubble, Hubble, Toil and Trouble by inflex · · Score: 1

      One such mishap has recently occured in Australia, the Mt. Stromlo obsevatory was recently burned to the ground when a bushfire/storm wiped out the area.

  29. Hubble: the next BSD? by fygment · · Score: 0

    ... it's dead, it's dying, it's kinda up in the air ...er vacuum.

    --
    "Consensus" in science is _always_ a political construct.
  30. Re:Better Served by a Large Telescope on the Moon? by CadetUmfer · · Score: 1

    It'd be cheaper in the long run, and less complex. And it keeps the primary advantage an orbital telescope has over an Earth-bound one: almost no atmosphere to get in the way.

  31. Ground telescopes 40x better than hubble (link) by Spy+der+Mann · · Score: 1

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/4426535. stm

    Ground telescopes to 'super-size'
    Sunday, 10 April, 2005, 09:10 GMT 10:10 UK

    "A new generation of ground-based telescopes could be up to 10 times the size of existing instruments and have vision 40 times as sharp as the Hubble space telescope."
    There ya go. Hubble _IS_ obsolete.

    (On a second thought, I might submit this to slashdot tomorrow ;-) More fuel to the fire...)

    1. Re:Ground telescopes 40x better than hubble (link) by Martin+Blank · · Score: 1

      Something is not obsolete unless and until something is in place that will outperform it. Even then, it may have some capabilities (like not being affected by cloud cover) that make it useful.

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
    2. Re:Ground telescopes 40x better than hubble (link) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's a big difference between "could be" and "is".
      So, according the the article the Hubble is _NOT_ obsolete.
      There ya go...

    3. Re:Ground telescopes 40x better than hubble (link) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      *Resolution (sharpness) is NOT the only good thing about Hubble*

      This comes up 50 times in every single discussion about Hubble on here. I'm sorry I haven't written a stock response, and am too busy to go over this again...please look elsewhere in the discussion.

    4. Re:Ground telescopes 40x better than hubble (link) by Short+Circuit · · Score: 1

      So there's better resolution. As a number of other posts have pointed out, that doesn't mean you'll be free of atmospheric absorption of interesting regions of light.

  32. Space telescopes are obsolete by apt_user · · Score: 2, Interesting

    My physics professor said in a lecture two years ago that the Hubble is long obsolete; in fact it's nothing but a toy now. Ground telescopes have advanced their techniques for correcting atmospheric distortion of the image to the point that taking a picture with a telescope in space is less desireable. In fact, he suggests that putting telescopes in space is not even a worthwhile venture anymore, because updates in technology can be rolled out on the ground so much faster than in space that it doesn't make sense to invest your funding in a space launch. The same cost of putting a telescope in space is the same as putting a 2x-10x better telescope on the ground, which can be more easily upgraded in years following. In fact, the technology improves so fast that a telescope in space becomes essentially useless for research purposes within a fraction of its operational lifetime. It looks awfully silly when you've spent millions on putting a tool way up in orbit when it becomes a toy in less than twelve months.

    1. Re:Space telescopes are obsolete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      except when viewing IR. from the ground, you have outside heat sources. that new telescope jwst will be a space telescope at L1 away from the earth heat and will have a sun shield to block that heat. that i imagine would be preferred.

    2. Re:Space telescopes are obsolete by gilroy · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Blockquoth the poster:

      It looks awfully silly when you've spent millions on putting a tool way up in orbit when it becomes a toy in less than twelve months.

      Yes, and that would be a great point, if it were any way true. The images by Hubble have not been matched by Earth-based telescopes. Adaptive optics is a great tool and deserves all the kudos being thrown its way -- but it's a best-guess correction to atmospheric distortions. Once in, those distortions cannot be completely eliminated. Hubble isn't destined to be the best forever, but for the short term -- until James Webb goes up or the superscopes that are currently being talked about are actually built -- it's still the tops.

      And beyond that, it does have value as an icon.
    3. Re:Space telescopes are obsolete by Tsiangkun · · Score: 1

      Anyone have a link to some sites showing the pictures from these next generation scopes ?

      I'm curious to see how the images will stack up against the images from hubble. Right now it seems like a lot of hype, and not a lot of eye candy.

    4. Re:Space telescopes are obsolete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wish I had his optimism that the sky is gonna stay clear forever... when the great storms arrive there will be no more shuttle launches or windows into the cosmos.

    5. Re:Space telescopes are obsolete by Almost-Retired · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Methinks your professor is full of it clear to the roots of his hairpiece.

      Or, let me put it to you this way:

      If these ground based scopes that have been brought online in the last 5 years are so friggin great, why are we not being treated to some of their output? With the exception of the twins on Mona Kea that Mr keck financed, the rest of them have been so far as I know, built with public money. So I'm actually surprised that we have all these people preaching at us as to just how much better these new toys are in comparison to the Hubble, but frankly, I've not seen a single image to back those statements up.

      If the new ones are so much better in fact, then why are TPTB so afraid to let us look at some of their image data so that we, the taxpayer, can quite writing his congress-critters asking them to save what is not just a national treasure, but IMO a treasure to all humankind.

      So as Jeff Foxworthy would say, "here's your sign", you proponents of pulling the feeding tube from hubble, either put up images that prove what you're saying, or STFU. The ball is in your court.

      How about some movies of the last 90 days of eta carinae for instance, its right handy even, or maybe a movie of the last 6 months of the orbital goings on around Sag A? Maybe we could prove that Sag A is indeed a black hole of 6 million suns mass. And I'd love to see you attempt to duplicate the pair of really really deep space images, showing stuff over 10 billion light years away, that I'm using for 2 of my screen backgrounds here. But of course, being inside the atmosphere, thats simply impossible for ground based scopes.

      Maybe the hubble is obsolete, but as yet, I've seen nothing that can touch what its done. The JW scope works at different wavelenghts, so it won't be able to replace the hubble. Supplant it, confirm each others findings maybe, but not "replace" it, they simply do 2 different jobs.

      --
      Cheers, Gene
      "There are four boxes to be used in defense of liberty:
      soap, ballot, jury, and ammo. Please use in that order."
      -Ed Howdershelt (Author)
      99.34% setiathome rank, not too shabby for a WV hillbilly

    6. Re:Space telescopes are obsolete by hylander_sb · · Score: 2, Funny

      I'm sorry, that's just stupid.

      An example:
      2 of the 3 sources for the first optical evidence of a planet outside our solar system came from SPACE TELESCOPES (Hubble and Spitzer). This was last week I think. Maybe 2 weeks ago. Is that the work of an obsolete system?

      Your physics professor needs to stick to dropping balls from ladders and leave the astronomy to astronomers.

      Friggin' professors. They piss me off.

    7. Re:Space telescopes are obsolete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Um, if you want to see the pictures from telescopes other than Keck and Hubble, why don't you look for them. They are out there and they aren't all that hard to find. Just to be nice I'll even point you in the right direction. Google for ESO and NOAO.

    8. Re:Space telescopes are obsolete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "So I'm actually surprised that we have all these people preaching at us as to just how much better these new toys are in comparison to the Hubble, but frankly, I've not seen a single image to back those statements up."

      It's my impression that most of the people here on /. who say stuff like that *aren't actually astronomers*. Real astronomers might make a similar point, but they will generally qualify it properly.

      BTW, the other AC is right - ground based scopes produce some lovely images. Check out, say, the Subaru gallery.
      Lots of actual astronomy is done with images that look like crap, or spectra which are worse, so don't judge the scientific value of a telescope on prettiness - XMM-Newton produces images that look shockingly bad, but it's an extremely useful (X-ray) telescope because it takes good spectra.

    9. Re:Space telescopes are obsolete by ravee · · Score: 1

      Hubble or Rubble that is the major question on everybody's minds.
      I personally think that this whole astronomy or gazing stars using expensive ( billion dollar ) play toys is a waste of resources. Think of all the poor people that could be fed with the money being blown up by investing in these ventures.
      There are millions of poor people in this world who struggle to have even a simgle meal a day. I think elevating human suffering should be given more priority over gazing stars.
      Of course my above remarks do not cover aero space ventures like sending a communication or weather satellite in orbit which has lots of benefits for humanity.

      --
      Linux Help
      for all things on Linux
    10. Re:Space telescopes are obsolete by mbrother · · Score: 1

      Your professor is either not as smart as I am, or not as well informed, and while I'm good I'm not the smartest or best informed. You should ask for some of your tuition back.

      One thing that Hubble and a few other space-based telescopes can do that no ground-based telescope will EVER be able to do is take spectra and images in the ultraviolet. Ask him in class how to get a UV spectrum of a low-redshift quasar, for instance, without a space-based telescope. Make him look like the ass he is.

      I'm being kind of unforgiving here because any astronomy professor should know better, and this guy is not up to snuff.

      --
      Professor of Astronomy, Author of Spider Star & Star Dragon (Tor)
    11. Re:Space telescopes are obsolete by DerekLyons · · Score: 2, Insightful
      My physics professor said in a lecture two years ago that the Hubble is long obsolete; in fact it's nothing but a toy now.
      Frankly, he's badly wrong.
      Ground telescopes have advanced their techniques for correcting atmospheric distortion of the image to the point that taking a picture with a telescope in space is less desireable.
      Mostly true, in that a couple of telescopes on their *best* nights can correct for enough distortion to be almost as good as Hubble. Someday it maybe more than a few, and it maybe better than 'almost as good'. Maybe. (But resolution isn't everything. In facy, it's just one of a dozen or so possible functions to rate a telescope on.

      But let's look at what he didn't tell you:

      • I bet he didn't tell you that Hubble is more sensitive than any earthbound scope - even the giant at Palomar. All earthbound scopes have to deal with skyglow, the Hubble doesn't.
      • I bet he didn't tell you the Hubble can see into the UV, which no earthbound scope can, or ever will... because the atmosphere filters it out.
      • I bet he didn't tell you Hubble can look at targets that would be in the daylight sky for any telescope on Earth. (This means that any given target in the sky is visible to Hubble for 8-9 months out of the year, as opposed to 3-4 for an earthbound scope.
      In fact, he suggests that putting telescopes in space is not even a worthwhile venture anymore, because updates in technology can be rolled out on the ground so much faster than in space that it doesn't make sense to invest your funding in a space launch.
      Not really. Owners of big and expensive research instruments are loath to allow them to be out of service for weeks or months in order for modifications to be made. So in the end, you prove your stuff on smaller scopes and lesser instruments, and after years you move up to big boys. (Or, if you need a new instrument like the Keck, designing and funding and building takes years or decades.)
      The same cost of putting a telescope in space is the same as putting a 2x-10x better telescope on the ground, which can be more easily upgraded in years following.
      That's true. If you ignore and handwave away the things a ground based scope can't do that a space based on can.
      In fact, the technology improves so fast that a telescope in space becomes essentially useless for research purposes within a fraction of its operational lifetime.
      If your professor told you this, he was quite frankly smoking crack. You can still do useful science with a telescope built in 1990 and utterly unmodified since then. (You can useful science with older instruments too, just less of it.)
      It looks awfully silly when you've spent millions on putting a tool way up in orbit when it becomes a toy in less than twelve months.
      And you wouldn't look silly after spending the same amount of money groundside only to have it be obsolete in that time?
    12. Re:Space telescopes are obsolete by salmacis2 · · Score: 1
      Because modern astronomy is not about feeding pretty pictures to the media. In general, the results from telescopes are as dull as ditchwater to the general public. A lot of great science is being done at the moment with space based infra-red telescopes. What do you know about them? Practically nothing, because infra-red doesn't naturally lend itself to pretty pictures. And yet, the infra-red region is often exactly what we want to study, for seeing through dust clouds, and observing star formation for example.

      I would be amazed if Hubble wasn't obselete by now. Telescopes aren't getting any bigger, but the detectors and adaptive optics improve every year. On a purely cost/benefit analysis, saving Hubble doesn't make a lot of sense.

    13. Re:Space telescopes are obsolete by Math,+The+Ancient · · Score: 1

      You realize that professors in a lecture are the worst source of "accurate" information in these times?

      --
      If I really am talking out of my ass...explain it to me with respect so I'll at least pull my ears out to listen.
    14. Re:Space telescopes are obsolete by onedobb · · Score: 1

      Sorry buddy that was not Jeff Foxworthy that's famous words are "Here's your sign". That was Bill Engvall. Get your facts right before you quote someone. You actually might get some creditability if you actually do something right.

    15. Re:Space telescopes are obsolete by Almost-Retired · · Score: 1

      Damn the automatic logout slashdot is doing now, there is no way to click on an email from /. with the link, answer the message, discover you're not logged in, go log in and come back AND preserve the message you already composed. Thats pure BS!

      Anyway, my answer is that if these ground based scopes are so good in the infrared, then their images can be false colored to impress the frogs like me just as easily as those from the hubble are being color enhanced to impress us. But I don't see that happening. The stuff we're being fed here in the public hog trough has so far been graphics compositions based on (supposedly) what these modern IR behemoths have taken of the region around Sag A. Thats admittedly an impressive movie they've composed, but I want to see the real thing even if the colors have to be enhanced by making your 'ditch water' IR data into visible data.

      Anyone who wants to convince me that the hubble is obsolete, is doing a damned poor job of it as I won't be swayed until such time as they justify the taxpayer dollars spent on them by paying us taxpayers in impressive images produced. Yes, some were financed by private grants, such as the Keck twins, but I'd expect that even for the Kecks, operating expenses are taxpayer dollars.

      So show me Hubble is obsolete. I've sure not seen any 'proof' of that.

      --
      Cheers, Gene
      "There are four boxes to be used in defense of liberty:
      soap, ballot, jury, and ammo. Please use in that order."
      -Ed Howdershelt (Author)
      99.34% setiathome rank, not too shabby for a WV hillbilly

    16. Re:Space telescopes are obsolete by Almost-Retired · · Score: 1

      Humm, I could have sworn I heard Jeff doing a takeoff on that skit on the comedy channel a few years ago. Middle of the night, half asleep situation. For all I know, It could very easily have been Bill Engvall doing his own stuff & I missed the announcers intro. Stuff happens.

      Generally, my credibility is pretty good, but at 70, there may be a missed attribution from time to time. I can recall the saying, but not always the sayer that said it.

      --
      Cheers, Gene
      "There are four boxes to be used in defense of liberty:
      soap, ballot, jury, and ammo. Please use in that order."
      -Ed Howdershelt (Author)
      99.34% setiathome rank, not too shabby for a WV hillbilly

    17. Re:Space telescopes are obsolete by onedobb · · Score: 1

      Years ago when Bill Engvall was starting to become a comedian, he was the opening act for Jeff Foxworthy. That would be a reason why you thought it was Foxworthy. Half asleep middle of the night heard Bill Engvall's "Here's yours sign" then Jeff Foxworthy was came on as the final act.

  33. Ridiculousness by periol · · Score: 1

    I've read some bad /. threads before, but this is terrible. Anyone who both RTFAs and is capable of reading comprehension would have noticed that the issue to be decided isn't specifically about Hubble - it's about whether the improved space shuttle can handle the assignment of dealing with Hubble. A decision will be made after the shuttle is flying again and why know it's capabilities.

    I'm sorry, but this isn't news. It's called common sense.

    1. Re:Ridiculousness by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      NASA's previous administrator thought otherwise - that the shuttle would never, under any circumstances, ever go anywhere but the ISS. That's why this is news.

  34. Hubble is nice but... by Timmy+D+Programmer · · Score: 1

    I think that money would be better spent towards creating and launching one that's bigger, better etc.

    --


    (If at first you don't succeed, do it different next time!)
  35. Hubble Telescope replacement by Bananatree3 · · Score: 1

    There is a telescope on the drawing board that is ment to be a replacement for Hubble, but it has not even been considered by NASA. it is called the HOP telescope, and would be able to perform many of the same functions as Hubble, but it would be much more sensitive, and it would also be more efficient and easier to maintain.

    Not to mention, the upcoming James Webb Telescope will be able to see much farther then Hubble when it comes to the infrared spectrum. But it isn't going to even launch until 2011.

  36. It's not an icon, it's more useful by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    If the White House burned down and it was discovered that it would only cost a little more to build a new White House over in Arlington then to rebuild it at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, which would you choose?

    I would choose to use the money to fix the Hubble.

    Next question?

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  37. Jittery by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    The poor scope is going to bust in half out of nerviousness alone.

    "Mr. Hubble, itsa yes, wait......itsa no, now yes.....now no, yes, no, yes, no, yes, no.......A definite.......maybe!"

  38. How can a big mirror go obsolete? by johnm_10 · · Score: 1

    According to http://www.astrophys-assist.com/educate/hubble/hub ble.htm, the thing originally cost $1.5 billion but we've put another 3.5 billion into it so far just to maintain the thing. Seems expensive for a web cam attached to a big mirror and a wi-fi transmitter. I suppose there is that pesky little guidence system, but still, I bet I could build one for half that ;)

  39. Preserve Hubble for the future by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Rather than spend money on sending the Hubble into the ocean, let's send Hubble into a higher orbit (maybe one that will keep it around for a couple hundred years?) This way future generations can decide if it is worth saving. How much would we spend now to recover the Mayflower if it was out there somewhere waiting for us?

    1. Re:Preserve Hubble for the future by hylander_sb · · Score: 1

      I applaud your sentiment. However, once Hubble's batteries die and the heaters stop heating, it's over. The Hot/Cold cycle of the orbit will destroy the electronics. That's the most obvious problem.

      This is why the SM is so important, sure, we need to get some new gyros in there and it'll be dandy to have a new FGS onboard, but without new batteries, it's a moot point. Hubble is working on its original batteries still and even though they've done a great job (have you ever used the same rechargable battery for 15 years?), their time is coming.

    2. Re:Preserve Hubble for the future by surprise_audit · · Score: 1
      Even if the electronics die, won't there be other parts that might be worth something in the future?? It costs $$$/kg to get stuff into orbit. Is HST's orbit decaying fast enough for it to be a hazard any time soon?? If not, just leave it up there. There may be a future need for the shell and other structural materials, even if the cameras, mirrors and electronics are busted.

      Even if the orbit is decaying, couldn't the possible robotic mission to deorbit HST simply push it the other way, into a higher orbit??

  40. Its a question of money? by KoshClassic · · Score: 1

    Maybe I'm mis-informed,but wasn't the plan before the Columbia tradgedy to have a shuttle mission to service Hubble? What's changed? Would the cost of doing so, or the cost of sending an alternate vehicle if a shuttle mission is too risky, really be that much different post-Columbia vs the pre-Columbia shuttle mission that was planned? Didn't NASA already have the debate about the cost of saving Hubble years ago, and didn't they decided that the answer was "yes"?

    Isn't the real issue that the President (or his administration) has repurposed this money for going to the moon and to Mars, and (right or wrong) they've decided that this is more important than saving hubble?

    On one hand, I wonder if the Hubble and JWST could compliment each other if they were operating simultaneously (being that they use different wavelengths and all - concurrent observations of the same objects ought to be somewhat useful). On the other hand, since concurrent operation seems to be completely out of the question in any case, I wonder what's the big deal if there is a 5 or 6 year gap between hubble and the JWST?

    --
    Understanding is a three edged sword. - Ambassador Kosh Naranek, Babylon 5
    1. Re:Its a question of money? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The shuttle scheduled to fix hubble *WAS* Columbia. THAT is what changed.

  41. Keeping Hubble by mdmoery · · Score: 2, Interesting

    1. I agree completely with keeping Hubble going until the Webb telescope is in place. Remember Shoemaker-Levy 9? We had telescopes and probes in the right place at the right time to capture a once-in-a-lifetime event that could not possibly be foreseen. We need to maintain the capability. We have no idea what we might miss if we don't.

    2. We are not talking about changing a plan here. The servicing mission was always part of the plan. But Columbia made O'Keefe gutless. That fact is that it will be NO MORE DANGEROUS to go to Hubble with a crew now than it was all the previous times. In fact, it will be LESS dangerous since they will be operating post-CAIB with a can of Thermal Tile Fix-a-Flat in the glove box and a rescue shuttle on pad 39B.

  42. Space in between by blunt+arrow · · Score: 1

    If you foreigners are wondering whether Americans are giving up Hubble for something better, or we no longer want to gather knoledge that's not generating income: Upgrades are done when the replacement is already in place or ready to be up in a very short period of time; else, it's desertion. That money saved will get more votes funding a tiny fraction of resources need to bomb someone with theoretical WMD.

    --
    sorry for the bad handwriting
  43. Obsolete? by Pi_0's+don't+shower · · Score: 3, Informative
    Steven Beckwith, director of Space Telescope Science Institute, had this to say when the decision was first announced to cancel the 2006 mission. Here's a little snippet:
    In recent years, the telescope has helped scientists determine the precise age of the universe (13.7 billion years), discover planets outside our solar system, and chart weather patterns on Mars. By some estimates, Hubble's resume accounts for 33 percent of NASA scientific discoveries.
    In addition to what it was scientifically designed for, Hubble has done a lot of other cool things that were unknowable when it was first designed, including using Supernovae to discover the acceleration of the universe (which it's still doing), imaging individual, old stars in galaxies to determine their ages, and lots of other stuff that we cannot do with anything else. Applying for Hubble Telescope time is still the most difficult time to get for astronomers, because there's SO MUCH that we can do, especially with the new camera (ACS/WFC) that's on there. But when your president won't spend the money to make a safe shuttle mission to service the damned thing, what can you do except speak out?
    1. Re:Obsolete? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Now the president can be blamed for the safety of shuttle missions?

      I know; maybe we could cut back welfare payments to cover the cost.

  44. Re:Symbolic, Of Course (Found It!) by mikejz84 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Found it! Its called the Hubble Origins Probe http://www.pha.jhu.edu/hop/ The Hubble Origins Probe (HOP) is a proposed 2.4 meter free flying space telescope.The HOP concept is to replicate the design of the Hubble Space Telescope with a much lighter unaberrated mirror and optical telescope assembly, enabling a rapid path to launch, significant cost savings and risk mitigation. HOP will fly the instruments originally planned for the 4th HST servicing mission as well as a new very wide field imager, enhancing the original science mission of Hubble.

  45. Hubble Origins Probe: the best option by FleaPlus · · Score: 2, Informative

    As I often mention, a solution that everybody seems to be ignoring is putting up a new telescope, the Hubble Origins Probe. This new telescope would be more capable than the original Hubble and cost less than a robotic repair mission. For whatever reason, this possibility is almost never mentioned, although it's IMHO the best option by far.

    Obligatory blurb:

    Astronomy Magazine reports that an international team of astronomers has proposed an alternative to sending a robotic or human repair mission to the ailing Hubble Space Telescope. Their proposal is to build a new Hubble Origins Probe, reusing the Hubble design but using lighter and more cost-effective technologies. The probe would include instruments currently waiting to be installed on Hubble, as well as a Japanese-built imager which 'will allow scientists to map the heavens more than 20 times faster than even a refurbished Hubble Space Telescope could.' It would take an estimated 65 months and under $1 billion to build, less than the estimated cost of a service mission.

  46. Re: CEV... by TheRealStubot · · Score: 1
    Ummm... not quite.

    If you're referring to ICBM's, your data is incorrect. It's been over 40 years.

    The US had about 1000 Minuteman missiles and less than 100 Atlas missiles in the early 80's. The Soviets had a like number. The SALT treaties and the sands of time have eroded that number greatly since then.

    AND the response time was less than 30 minutes!

    PLUS Solid rocket fuel absorbs moisture from the atmosphere and is very sensitive to temperature changes. So, boosters must be cycled regularly and overhauled. They are not maintainence free! They are also bulky and difficult to transport. If a crack develops in the booster fuel, a hot spot will develop causing catastrophic failure and loss of payload.

    I would suggest a big sling shot to deliver a payload of oxygen and food for stranded ISS astrouauts. Or better yet, escape pods.

    --
    "I'd rather win in an ugly car than lose in a pretty car" - Jari Lahdenpera
  47. Less Complex? by alfrin · · Score: 1

    Less complex? The moon has a habit of turning alot, not only in circles but it also makes of habit about spinning on its axis. This would result in alot of Pointing At The Earth action, although very interesting, it's not the point of the telescope. And yes, the earth's atmosphere is prone to occasional meteors, the moon is more subject to them.

    1. Re:Less Complex? by DigitalRaptor · · Score: 1

      Isn't the "dark side" of the moon always away from the earth? I don't think the rotation of the moon would be any more of a barrier than the rotation of the earth is for earth-based satellites.

      The problem with an atmosphere isn't that it's prone to meteors (in fact the atmosphere protects us from 99%+ of meteors), but rather that it gets in the way of the telescope (atmoshperes contain particles, moisture, etc, etc that obscures our view).

      With the moon having almost zero atmosphere, the view is much better from up there. This is also one reason that harvesting solar energy from the surface of the moon is such a good idea: the bright side of the moon always has sunlight, and there is no atmosphere to filter out UV.

      --
      Lose Weight and Feel Great with Isagenix
    2. Re:Less Complex? by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 1

      The moon has a habit of turning alot, not only in circles but it also makes of habit about spinning on its axis. This would result in alot of Pointing At The Earth action ...

      Um ... no.

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    3. Re:Less Complex? by shadowbearer · · Score: 1

      I think I'll pass on what you're smoking, although the visuals sound rather interesting. ;-D

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
  48. Hubble can be replaced... by rice_burners_suck · · Score: 0, Offtopic
    It may not be over yet. space today reports that Bush's NASA administrator nominee, Michael Griffin, wants to revisit the Hubble decision.

    Told you Bush is a good president!

    (Now I bet I'll be modded -1 Troll or Offtopic or something like that for supporting Bush. But if I were to write a completely inflammatory, trollish, offtopic post about how much Bush lied (Bush did NOT lie, by the way), then I'd be modded +5 Insightful or something like that. Slashdot. What the hell did you expect?)

    Now the on-topic part of my post, as a reward for those Republicans out there who are actually reading this: I think that space exploration is a very meaningful industry, as it ultimately causes technologies to emerge which benefit the whole world. Better types of insulation, machining processes, computers, and other great things resulted from past missions to the moon. I think that further exploration has a lot to offer for the future.

    They are, however, discussing quite a hefty amount of money to fix Hubble, and I think it would be best if the thing could be replaced by a telescope that is much bigger and better. The cost of repairs would undoubtedly be smaller than the cost of building a whole new telescope, but at least several years down the road, we'd have a telescope that is a lot more capable than the current Hubble.

  49. Have to agree but... by Blitzenn · · Score: 1

    I have to agree that I think keeping Hubble going is very important. I do not however believe that Bush deserves any credit, so far. The plan is still in place to allow it to burn up in the atmosphere via controlled re-entry. It's not saved yet. If it is allowed to burn up, I think that would be a horrible legacy for the Bush administration. To have to watch the twin towers fall, our symbol of financial power, and see the hubble burn up too, our symbol of scientific achievement, under the same administration is simply horrific. I hope this guy can see that at the least.

  50. NASA budget by FleaPlus · · Score: 2, Interesting

    In an attempt to promote something resembling intelligent discussion, here's a link to official information on NASA's budget.

    In particular, I'd like to point out the $4.5 billion devoted solely to the Space Shuttle for FY2005, and the $1.6 billion devoted to the International Space Station.

  51. nostalgia by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why is it everyone only talks about the cost and usefullness of keeping the Hubble in orbit? Doesn't anyone else think that there is some sentimental value in keeping the Hubble in space, even if it is obsolete?

    In a few centuries, wouldn't it be nice if people could see the original Hubble in a museum, and not just some mock up? Did we trash the first automobiles and airplanes just because they were obsolete?

    1. Re:nostalgia by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What price do you place on sentimental value? any rescue mission is estimated to cost in the hundreds of millions of dollars. Is that money you'd be willing to spend on sentiment? Compared to a Hubble rescue mission, it cost next to nothing to preserve the first automobiles or airplanes.

  52. Re:Better Served by a Large Telescope on the Moon? by Almost-Retired · · Score: 1

    Yes and no. You would still have the problem of maintainance, which might be multiplied quite a bit if any of the moon dust should get into the supporting bearings. That stuff, not haveing had a few million years to blow about in the wind and round off its fractured edges, is very very abrasive indeed.

    Support structure flex as it moves about will be a constant calibration problem, and keeping the mirrors figure as it bends under that 1/6th moon gravity also need to be considered. None of these are a problem for the hubble as it truely is in a zero G environment. In fact, its quite strong, but that was only to support the mirror from the multigravity forces trying to rip it out of its mounts as it was being boosted to orbit when it was finally put up. Once there, a couple of strips of scotch tape could probably hold it together quite well unless the reaction wheels try to turn it to a GRB as its occurring, which has been done several times now. Then we're back to a row of 1/4" bolts to hold it.

    Also, don't forget that the farther away it is, the more that service mission is going to cost. We can goto the hubbles NEO 100 times for what its going to cost to goto the James Webb out at L5, or to something on the moon.

    --
    Cheers, Gene
    "There are four boxes to be used in defense of liberty:
    soap, ballot, jury, and ammo. Please use in that order."
    -Ed Howdershelt (Author)
    99.34% setiathome rank, not too shabby for a WV hillbilly

  53. sigh by eamonman · · Score: 1

    With the hubble going and the shuttle most likely gone for good, it's sad to see how space is getting less and less accessible. Successive generations are seeing less and less expolration, scientific experiments, and just plain cool stuff from space anymore. Without the cold ware, there's just less and less influence of science on the current administration to push through space-based research. From a purely practical economic standpoint, it is hard to find reasons to go into space. There's no military race for space right now (I don't think Bin Laden is working on a satellite attack system or countermeasure system) which is good but kind of sad.

    The only thing that would solve all these funding probelms would be MALEVOLENT SPACE ALIEN ATTACKS. Nothing like a good ol interplanetary tiff to get our cheap, isolationist political leaders to get that space race up and running again. I mean, with a few MALEVOLENT SPACE ALIEN ATTACKS going, we as a planet would definitely put Trillions more into the development of agile space flight, military stategy, new weapon development (energy based), etc. oh well. All we can do is hope and ask for MALEVOLENT SPACE ALIEN ATTACKS to happen soon. ;)

    --
    0- Eamonman Proud member of DNRC
    1. Re:sigh by What+me+a+Coward · · Score: 1

      Nah any race thats capable of traveling here is way more advanced than we are. Better to just bow down kiss their asses and hope they treat their slaves well. Otherwise were dead.

      --
      Coward? Coward! Thems fighten words!!
  54. Re:Hubble is obsolete by RpbboeDo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    How is it obsolete? Is the 200 inch Hale(?) telescope at Palomar obsolete? It was put in service about the same time as my mother,who is also still in service due to large government expenditures. Obsolete, hardly. How can you put a value on sentiment? People place great value on sentiment, not so much on the Hubble per se, but pictures taken from a fancy camera in orbit, which takes picture like no other. If work was already commencing on a new space telescope, a launch date set eith minimal downtime of the ability to take these pictures, then, ok. However, think of the true value of what the Hubble has done for all of us who are touched by its images, and how they have brought us all a little closer to grasping the immensity of what is out there and marvel of its beauty. The USA can afford this for both its scientific and spiritual benefits (like Dao and Buddist spiritual, not intending to imply or annoy Right Wing Religious Christian Fundamentalist zealots).

  55. Gotta be careful with that by shadowbearer · · Score: 1


    One man's bullshit is another man's treasure. - me ;-)

    SB

    --
    It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
  56. Hubble's history by NRP128 · · Score: 1

    I did a rather large paper for a history class last semester on this topic. it's in PDF at www.nick.eevfd.com/hubblehistory.pdf. I came up with pretty interesting stuff in those 20-odd pages, a lot of it surprised me. Like the fact that Kodak Eastman made a backup mirror for the damned thing incase Perkins Elmer messed it up, but because of the business politics and NASA's own internal politics the Kodak mirror was ignored.

    Also of note is that the 4th service mission would mark the end of teh COSTAR package, since all the instruments after that mission woudl have corrective optics built in, thereby freeing that 5th modular bay for another instrument, i can't remember which one, it should be in that paper.

  57. Whoa... by Short+Circuit · · Score: 1

    I'd guess on the order of 500-800 million for a human servicing mission, and probably 1-1.5 billion for a robotic.

    I'll have to ask for credentials before I'll take your word on that one.

    1. Re:Whoa... by Kiryat+Malachi · · Score: 1

      Well, I spent some time working at NASA Kennedy Space Center working on the payload management team back in 2002, so I have, in fact, seen shuttle mission provisioning costs.

      --

      ---
      Mod me down, you fucking twits. Go ahead. I dare you.
      (I read with sigs off.)
  58. Symbolic? by EndingPop · · Score: 1

    Symbolic?! Hubble is the source of virtually all of the science that is currently being performed by NASA in space. The space station does experiments when astronauts take time out of their personal time to do so. The vast majority of time is spent fixing hardware. Getting rid of Hubble would remove almost all short term scientific benefits we get from NASA.

    --
    My Company - Red Cedar Technology
    1. Re:Symbolic? by mbrother · · Score: 2, Insightful

      As much as I'm a Hubble fan, this isn't true. There are a number of other successful and productive NASA missions like Chandra, and a couple of dozen others, that NASA performs. And NASA also supports astronomers like myself and our space-based research programs (they've given my group over $200k this year). Hubble is the crown jewel, but far from the only one, coming out of NASA.

      --
      Professor of Astronomy, Author of Spider Star & Star Dragon (Tor)
  59. Boom Boom Ba by Ranger · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    At least when Hubble dies and falls into the ocean, we don't have to worry about having a space toilet hit someone and kill them like Mir did in Dead Like Me. But Hubble is going the way of all good TV shows. Cancelled: Firefly, Dead Like Me, Wonderfalls, and Enterprise. OK, strike that last one. Enterprise sucked. Oh well Boom Boom Ba.

    --
    "You'll get nothing, and you'll like it!"
  60. Robotic servicing by SaveHubble · · Score: 5, Informative

    As someone working on the Hubble robotic servicing mission (I know most /.ers will say this biases my opinion; really it just means I can speak from a position of knowledge), I can state 100% that this mission can be done, and can be done on schedule.

    Let me break down the phases of the mission for those who are unaware:

    1.) Launch - needs little explanation - a Delta IV or Atlas V heavy lift launches the HRV into Hubble's orbital plane

    2.) Checkout & Commissioning - The robot arm and other HRV elements are tested and verified operational

    3.) Orbit Phasing & Rendezvous - The craft will be commanded to approach Hubble. Autonomous systems will be used to coordinate the final stages of this approach, using technologies currently being proven out on the XSS-11 spacecraft which launched this week, and to be launched next week on the DART spacecraft.

    4.) Capture & Berthing- The robot arm is set up for capture, and when the vision system determines that the end effector is within tolerances, an autonomous capture is performed. HRV is performing station-keeping until just before, and when HRV and HST are known to have a negative relative drift rate (receding), the capture process is allowed to begin. A capture ends with the arm grappled to one of HST's shuttle grapple fixtures. The vision system is in development, and the hardware has been space-proven for the past ~20 years on Shuttle... in fact the exact same end-effector design has been used on all previous HST servicing missions. After Capture, the arm decelerates HST and then engages it into the HRV latches (same latching arrangement as on a shuttle servicing mission).

    5.) Battery Augmentation - HST's batteries will die soon, and are one of the prime schedule drivers for the mission. The dexterous robot (two armed robot) connects wire conduits from the HRV batteries to the outside of HST and routes solar array power to them. The hardest part of this task is transfering the 2 prime or 2 redundant connectors on each of the port and starboard diode boxes (located just under the solar array masts). This operation has been proven out on the ground, using a validated flightlike 1G testbed version of the actual dexterous robot, and a hi-fi Hubble mockup. In fact I think operators demo'd this very op just yesterday for maybe the 20th time. Trust me... it's highly doable.

    6.) Changout WideField and add Gyros - The gyroscopes are the next most likely item to fail on HST, and are another schedule driver. With the new two-gyro mode currently under investigation, the lifetime of HST could likely be extended beyond the 2007 timeframe. The Rate-Gyro Assemblies are attached conveniently to the outside of WFC3, the replacement wide-field camera for WFPC2. WFPC2 is the camera responsible for most of the majestic galaxy and planetary photographs we seen in the news and magazines. WFC3 will improve yet again over that. Changing out WFPC2 involves de-mating the internal connectors, removing the ground-strap, unlatching the instrument, and sliding it out of the -V3 radial instrument bay rails. The old instrument is transported down to a stowage location in the HRV, and the new instrument is installed in the empty HST bay in the reverse sequence. This entire operation has been demo'd several times over the past year.

    7.) Changeout COSTAR - After the two critical repairs (batteries and gyros), we move into the get-aheads and upgrades. The COSTAR instrument, sitting in axial bay 4, has performed corrective optics functions since its installation during the first servicing mission. Now that all HST instruments are built with integrated corrective optics, this instrument is obsolete, and can be replaced by something more productive; the Cosmic Origins Spectrograph (COS). To perform the changeout, the robot must unlatch and open the -V2 aft shroud doors, attach a handling fixture to COSTAR, attach a connector transfer panel to the handling fixture, transfer the 4 COSTAR harness connectors, transfer the ground

    1. Re:Robotic servicing by DerekLyons · · Score: 2, Interesting
      So there you have it. The mission in a nutshell. Granted it's far more complex than I've outlined, but all the major hurdles are being examined, tested, solutions proven, and checked off one by one.
      You forgot phase 0)Develop and test a dextrous robotic arm thats more dextrous than any yet built. Develop and test an autonomous docking system thats far more advanced than the system being tested on the XSS-11. Package and integrate these systems.

      Three very tall orders indeed.

    2. Re:Robotic servicing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "3.) Orbit Phasing & Rendezvous ... using technologies currently being proven out on the XSS-11 spacecraft which launched this week, and to be launched next week on the DART spacecraft."

      You're using week-old technologies? That's way out-of-date.

    3. Re:Robotic servicing by SaveHubble · · Score: 1

      You bring up a valid point, and this fact has not gone overlooked.

      The dexterous arms (There are two on the mission) are fully developed and are already built. Because of the Hubble mission timeline development of new arm technology would have been infeasible.

      The Space Station program had three identical arms built (SPDM) for launch... sometime. We've taken the spare arm from them as-is, and they will build another for us just like it (built-to-print). Then, with no Hubble mission schedule pressure, we'll build them a replacement spare.

      The arm we took has been fully tested and passed the acceptance review by the Canadian Space Agency. No new tech here, and it's ready to be flown to ISS for manned use, so it's certainly ready for us.

      The long grapple arm is using -identical- joint design to the SPDM's that we're taking. It has longer booms obviously, though the company that is building it are certainly experts in the field (4 SRMS shuttle arms, 1 SSRMS station arm, and so far two OBSS booms for shuttle tile inspections).

      By FAR, the robot system is the furthest advanced part of the Hubble mission. Really it looks like it's coming down to two Hard Parts(tm). As you say, the autonomous capture is hard. that's being worked on, and the final issues are scheduled to be resolved by CDR in September. Also, the tools are hard. The robot is finished (we're taking them as-is; only minor mods). HST is finished, obviously. it's the interface that's hard, and that's the tools.

      These have progressed significantly in the past year, with tool-tests and demos on-going virtually weekly at GSFC.

      Then, as you say also, the integration of these systems is the 3rd of 2 hard parts. A good integration plan is in place with a few issues to be resolved by CDR as well. The PDR reviewers were all highly impressed with progress thus far, and thought there was no reason not to proceed to CDR.

      The XSS-11 rendezvous stuff is virtually the same tech as the Hubble rendezvous stuff. It's the software that'll be somewhat different.

      I'm not saying everything's figured out and that this mission will be easy. It's not. It's hard. But it's being done the Right Way(tm).

      Hope that helps.

  61. Speaking as an astronomer... by mperrin · · Score: 1

    ... I'm utterly appalled at the decision to not service HST. This view is essentially universal among all the professional astronomers that I know.

    I certainly don't claim to have done a rigorous survey of the field, but here at Berkeley, at Santa Cruz, and at Caltech, pretty much anyone you ask will say that HST has been returning fantastic science, has unique capabilities that nothing else can match, and there's no technical reason why the servicing mission shouldn't be done. Speaking personally, I work in adaptive optics, which many people will tell you lets ground-based telescopes outperform Hubble. It's not that simple: in some circumstances AO does do that, but in others (for large fields of view or at visible wavelengths) it does not, nor is it likely to do so sooner than a decade from now, maybe more. HST has by far the highest resolution available in visible light, and it'll be devastating to lose that capability.

    1. Re:Speaking as an astronomer... by poopdeville · · Score: 1

      ... I'm utterly appalled at the decision to not service HST. This view is essentially universal among all the professional astronomers that I know.

      As an astronomer, you should realize that the universe is mighty big. Considering its size, it seems unlikely that you know even $2.5 \times 10^{-19} \frac{\mbox{astronomers}}{\mbox{parsec}^3}$. (Ph3@r my l337 \LaTeX ski11z!!!!11eleventyone)

      --
      After all, I am strangely colored.
    2. Re:Speaking as an astronomer... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unfortunately on slashdot your typical response will be:


      ah, the old appeal to authority, a common trick, but unfortunately it's a logical fallacy, as those who are accostumed to weilding occam's razor will quickly recognise. I'm afraid the fact that your an astronomer has no bearing on my judgement of the issues, and clearly that it would be better just to dump Hubble as we have newer/better/faster telescopes to deploy, which will cost less to develop.

  62. It is not "obsolete" by mbrother · · Score: 4, Informative

    Only an poorly informed idiot, or a non-astronomer, would say this. I got a proposal through this year to do some imaging work on a class of objects known as "post-starburst quasars." I can't really do the same project with any other telescope ANYWHERE. Is that obsolete?! The Hubble Space Telescope, especially one refurbished and updated with new insturments like COS (Cosmic Origins Spectrograph), can do things no other telescope in existence can do. Things that are useful. Again, only a poorly informed idiot would say it is obsolete.

    There is an argument, and discussion, that should be had in an honest manner, about the cost and risk to astronauts' lives. One of my old professors became an astronaut who serviced Hubble last time, and I've thought about applying for Mission Specialist myself, so I don't take this lightly.

    Mike Griffin, from what I can tell, is probably Bush's best nomination ever. I'll respect his decisions in a way I have not from the previous head. Hubble is perhaps the crowning jewel of NASA, and not to be discarded lightly. I'm not being sentimental here. I apply for Hubble time every year because the things Hubble can do can be done no other way.

    --
    Professor of Astronomy, Author of Spider Star & Star Dragon (Tor)
  63. Gotta factor James Webb into the equation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    If NASA is serious about the James Webb Space Telescope, then I say yes, put the money allocated for Hubble into JW. But if JW is too far out, then keep Hubble alive until JW is ready.

    That's my opinion.

  64. Sell Hubble (on eBay)? by Radiate · · Score: 1

    Wouldn't it be possible for NASA to consider selling the HST / Voyager projects to other space agencies who might want to continue maintaining and using them?

    1. Re:Sell Hubble (on eBay)? by sphariss · · Score: 1

      Alternativly, would there be enough intrest (or funding) for a consortium of Astronomers to purchase it. Nasa could be contracted out to make needed repairs, and would be able to focus on the newer missions.

      Since it is a public asset, I would think the "purchase" price would mostly involve setting up a control center. What does NASA actually contribute to the project now (I know they take care of operational costs, but does NASA actually pay for/perform most of the science?).

      If a bunch of Trekies can raise over $15 million to keep a weak version of Star Trek on the air, wouldn't there be enough intrest to keep a REAL piece of equipent on-line.
      http://datelinehollywood.com/archives/2005/02/28/d onations-to-keep-enterprise-alive-outpacing-tsunam i-relief/

  65. Fly it to the moon (Lagrange point) by garyebickford · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Others have proposed this: IIRC the present plan involves sending a robotic mission to Hubble to grab it and accelerate it (negatively) to de-orbit velocity, and steer it into the proper entry trajectory. But such a robotic mission could just as easily accelerate it (positively) so that its orbit reaches one of the Lagrange points (L2? I forget which is which), where it can rest forever, essentially. The only difference appears to be the relative fuel requirement. I don't know how much the difference is. It takes significant fuel to slow it down to suborbital velocity, just as it takes fuel to speed it up to a higher orbit that would (eventually) intersect the Lagrange point, then slow it down enough to allow the gravity well there to hang onto it.

    This would accomplish "saving" this historic piece of machinery, which could become our first extra-orbital National Monument to be visited occasionally by those moon tourists in a couple of decades. It has become such a major symbol in the popular conscienceness that it is possible that the additional money to do this might be raised in private donations. Perhaps NASA should consider moving ownership of Hubble to another entity that could try to do this, such as the Smithsonian or a private nonprofit set up just for the purpose. There are even perhaps 100 individuals who could fund this out of their own resources.

    It would also eliminate the rush, providing an opportunity to mount future missions to upgrad it, refuel it or whatever future folks want to do. As many have noted, there is still plenty of good science that can be done with it. As it becomes ever more obsolete, access to it will become easier, perhaps to the point that high school students might even have a chance.

    The Lagrange point might even be a good place to put it, out of the dust and dirt that Earth drags around, and even away from the Earth's bow shock in the solar wind, and the various other busyness around the planet.

    --
    It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
  66. Re:Hubble is obsolete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    It was put in service about the same time as my mother,who is also still in service due to large government expenditures.
    Either you omitted a part of the clause, or we really should comprehend that as you beeing a child of government funded (scientific?) facility that is still in use? How many siblings do you have?

    Well, I for one wellcome our new android overlords ...
  67. A little-appreciated mountain telescopes fact by newpath4comVersion2 · · Score: 1

    It isn't just the atmosphere in the way of telescopes. The heavy pollution molecules displace oxygen in the lower altitudes where many of us live. These molecules swirling around in the wind are distorting the telescope imaging. As an aside, thank goodness for us humans. Our lungs act as a giant collective pollution filter so our car engines run smoothly! http://tinyurl.com/5c4ll and http://www.newpath4.com/theanswer.html .

  68. swing it around by GoatMonkey2112 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    They just need to swing the Hubble around and make it a top notch spy satellite.

  69. Re:Hubble is obsolete by phlinn · · Score: 1

    There is a replacment already in the works. IIRC, the hubble is well past it's origianl planned lifecycle, and they have been designing a replacment since it went up.

    See here for details.

    --
    "Pulling together is the aim of despotism and tyranny! Free men pull in all sorts of directions" -- Havelock Vetinari
  70. Re:Hubble is obsolete by phlinn · · Score: 1

    "...replacement..."
    "...original..."

    I don't know how I missed that when previwing. I know how to spell, I swear.

    --
    "Pulling together is the aim of despotism and tyranny! Free men pull in all sorts of directions" -- Havelock Vetinari
  71. But, ironically... by MattHaffner · · Score: 1

    If you want to use the currently built next-gen instruments that were supposed to go on the next servicing mission, you'd need to couple either a good mirror with something that introduced the aberration or you'd have to make an identically bad mirror again. Or, send the instruments back to the drawing board to fix their optical paths. They both currently have optical fixes in their packages to account for the aberration that's in the Hubble right now.

    Fun, no?

  72. Hubble is outdated ... very outdated! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    short story long,

    hubble IIRC did cost about $6 Billion American dollars.

    for that money today, you could by ~6 ELT's (Extremely Large Telescope's) .. which these days come with 'adaptive optics' to compensate for the atmospherical disturbances, etc ... and out-perform the Hubble telescope so much that it isn't worth any more effort to keep Hubble around - except for sentimental reasons, and such ...

  73. Here's a thought. by danalien · · Score: 1
    Scrap Hubble from doing any more 'deep space' imaging ... within about ~5-10 years that is. Leave 'deep space' imaging to the up-coming new ELT's (extremely large telescopes)...

    and then assign/use it to search for asteroids and what not's ... it one of those things we haven't done proper findings on. (sure it need some upgrades ... but it'd be manageable to do in any case...)

    --
    I don't claim I know more than I know, and if you know you know more than I know, then by all means, let me know.