Slashdot Mirror


Shuttle to Launch Despite Objections

sam0ht writes "NASA has just named July 1st as the launch date for the space shuttle Discovery, a year after the last shuttle mission. Last July's mission was the first since the break-up of Columbia in 2003, but after foam again broke away from the main tank, the shuttle fleet was grounded. More foam has been removed from the main tank, but NASA staff are divided over whether this is enough to ensure the flight's safety, with some reporting that both the lead engineer and top safety official are against launching again so soon. Managers want to make only one major change at a time, and plan that if damage does occur, the crew would be able to stay in the International Space Station, to which they are delivering supplies, rather than trying to land a damaged shuttle."

314 comments

  1. Fireworks! Whee! by daniil · · Score: 0, Troll

    What a great way to celebrate my birthday!

    --
    Man is a slave because freedom is difficult, whereas slavery is easy.
    1. Re:Fireworks! Whee! by couchslug · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      In other news, old junk goes "boom".
      There is no compelling need to put people in space with primitive technology now that the Cold War is over. Life is cheap, courage abundant, but life support equipment is insanely expensive. Send robots first, gather data, and save sending humans for later. It is not rational to rush. Let technology evolve, send more unmanned systems to explore, then send more mature designs to follow.
      Oh, by the way, put the jettisonable explosive bits BELOW the fuselage next time.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    2. Re:Fireworks! Whee! by Drooling+Iguana · · Score: 1

      Robots can't fix the Hubble.

      --
      ... I'm addicted to placebos
  2. Common sense by Solra+Bizna · · Score: 4, Insightful
    ...both the lead engineer and top safety official are against launching again so soon.

    If this thing blows up, guess who're going to be blamed for it?

    -:sigma.SB

    --
    WARN
    THERE IS ANOTHER SYSTEM
    1. Re:Common sense by WindBourne · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Everybody except the top ppl. For some odd reason, the day of the the buck stops here is now that shit flows downhill.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    2. Re:Common sense by 0racle · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Exactly what have they been doing in the past 5 years that they can't give the go ahead to something that has flown for over 20 years with only 2 disasters? They know they'd be blamed if something went wrong, and thats a big reason why they won't give their blessing. If something goes wrong they can fall back on "I told you so."

      The Shuttle is probably statistically safer then your car.

      --
      "I use a Mac because I'm just better than you are."
    3. Re:Common sense by stratjakt · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Government folks (non-contracted) abhor responsibility and accountability. I've worked a few federal contacts lately - actually one was supposed to be at the KSC, last week, but they cancelled it due to the launch because apparently when they scheduled it a month ago they didn't know they had a shuttle, but I digress..

      Nobody who works for the government will do anything, sign anything, and it's completely frustrating being an outside joe like myself who has a job to do. Although, I learned how to work the system... Everytime some dinkus stands in my way, for instance: I had to have an escort at one federal site, my escort chose to show up for work at 11:30, and look at his watch around 2 PM and say "lets call it a day", I say fine and ask them to sign a stop-work order... Asking them to put their name on something, in ink, why, why, why, thats accountability!! It works every time (the guy I mentioned had to work 8 hour days for the first week in his life, "work" of course meant sitting there googling the intarweb while I did work)

      What was my point? Oh yeah, if it's govt employees doing the whining, they're safe to ignore.

      --
      I don't need no instructions to know how to rock!!!!
    4. Re:Common sense by Rich0 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Any project is a compromise between quality, cost, and timeline. The goal is to balance these goals appropriately. I've seen many a bureaucracy where you have a QA group who has to sign off on all code, but they only get rewarded on the basis of how few issues come back to haunt them and not on how many projects get done. Therefore, their goal is to avoid signing anything at all - they would get the best bonsues if no code were released at all - since then nothing would fail. On the other hand you get a project leader whose only goal is to get the code out the door so that he can get a promotion before the complaints start rolling in.

      Why companies can't just give people incentives to relase code when it is ready and not before or after I can't understand...

    5. Re:Common sense by MvD_Moscow · · Score: 1, Interesting
      The Shuttle is probably statistically safer then your car.

      You have no clue what you are talking about. Out of 114 launches, there have been 2 disasters. That's like a 2% fatality rate. That is very high. I don't think these sort of figures would be exceptable for a car. (chech wikipedia and other source if you don't believe me).

    6. Re:Common sense by Breakfast+Pants · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Completely depends on your metric. Fatality per mile, the shuttle is no doubt kicking cars' ass.

      --

      --

      WHO ATE MY BREAKFAST PANTS?
    7. Re:Common sense by aneroid · · Score: 1
      mod parent up +1 Funny, +1 Insightful

      Fatality per mile, the shuttle is no doubt kicking cars' ass.
      longest journey moment: the hover/shuttle bus which crashes and the stat from the cop "it's the safest mode of travel...if you're not in it."

      so imagine how much worse it'll get if/when 5th element mode-of-travel becomes current tech (read: reality).
    8. Re:Common sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So in other words, it depends on how you use statistics to lie.

      GP's post is treading water as well. "My car" hasn't blown up in the last 20 years. That beats the shuttle.

    9. Re:Common sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting


      I grew up in the era when all the shuttle launches were televised and it seemed that every other kid wanted to be an astronaut when they grew up. I was one of those kids and I believed that all the cool science and break-throughs were made by astronauts up in orbit.

      However, during college, I realized that the shuttle program is about 95% politics and 5% science. I got an internship within the space program, but in the unmanned satellite area. After college, I continued to work in the area of space sciences and now I have several missions under my belt. Having seen how things work from the inside, the majority of good science comes from our unmanned satellites that don't make the news and the majority of the public don't even know about. While there are certain scientific benefits that the shuttle program has brought, the majority of the shuttle program has been a public relations campaign and politics.

      While I already believed that every precaution should be taken before sending the shuttle back up, I want NASA to make extra sure that every precaution really has been made because we are risking people's lives in the name of politics and public relations. Don't get me wrong, I don't want people to risk their lives in the name of science or exploration either, but there will always be some risk in exploration. There shouldn't be any risk (with respect to people's lives) just to play politics and get nice photos of Americans and Russians together in orbit.

      I don't want to see the manned program disappear. But I do want to see NASA be as responsible as they can be. I don't know where the "acceptable risk" falls, but I sure hope it's really low.

    10. Re:Common sense by Rich0 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Ok, for those who didn't see the relevance - in this case you have engineers saying don't launch, and managers saying launch. It is in the interests of the engineers to never certify a launch - that way they can say "I told you so" if it blows up - as one of the parent posts pointed out.

      The point is that if somebody is only going to get beat up if the launch fails, and there is no penalty for unnecessarily cancelling a launch, then you're going to get nothing but no-go decisions. These engineers are working in government posts - the only way they lose their job is if they mess up. A mess up is defined as an exploding space shuttle. A deorbiting ISS is also a mess up, but in a different department. Therefore the shuttle support engineers are best off just leaving the thing on the pad while they tinker with designs until retirement.

      I'm sure many or most of the engineers dont' have this attitude outright - but the incentives are probably aligned this way - so deadlock is going to be the way things go until the shuttle is retired...

    11. Re:Common sense by geobeck · · Score: 1

      That depends: per mile under power, or per mile coasting?

      the shuttle is only under power for a few thousand miles, until it achieves orbit, then for a much shorter distance when it de-orbits. My car has ptobably made 85-90% of its 245,000 km with the engine actively delivering power to the wheels.

      Anyone have any stats as to the powered mileage of the average shuttle?

      And, by the way, no one has ever died in my car.

      --
      Find environmentally and socially responsible products on http://buy-right.net
    12. Re:Common sense by StarkRG · · Score: 1

      Nobody's ever died in the other Shuttles either, therefore, by your logic, they should be safe...

    13. Re:Common sense by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well, I won't go that far, but I'll also point out that it's easier and safer for your career to say 'no' than to say 'yes.'

      Suppose you say 'yes,' the Shuttle goes up and disaster happens. You're to blame.
      Suppose you say 'yes,' the Shuttle goes up and everything is fine. No one cares.
      Suppose you say 'no,' the Shuttle goes up and everything is fine. No repercussions.
      Suppose you say 'no,' the Shuttle goes up and disaster happens. You were right all along.

      Obviously, looking at a cost/benefit analysis, if you say 'yes,' either no one will care or you'll be in trouble. If you say 'no,', either (a) no one will care or you'll be a hero.

      Gee, I think I'd say 'no', too.

    14. Re:Common sense by tftp · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Fatality per mile, the shuttle is no doubt kicking cars' ass.

      Possibly. But "fatality per ride" is kinda high (2%). If you drive your car to work and back, and on weekends to friends and back, then you would be dead, on average, within 1-2 months.

    15. Re:Common sense by kfg · · Score: 1

      On the other hand when traveling in a car your risk is lowest as you turn it on, whereas the shuttle is at it's lowest risk "out on the highway" where it travels really, really fast. It's biased toward looking good in fatalities per mile.

      Fatalities per turn of the key isn't a bad metric for the shuttle. Its the one I'd be most interested in if offered a ride.

      KFG

    16. Re:Common sense by geobeck · · Score: 1

      Good point. But to make this a fair comparison, we need to compare the shuttle to high-end race cars, which are completely re-built between every 'mission'. Otherwise, if you count miles per fatality, under power, between complete overhauls, the average car kicks the shuttle's butt.

      Which goes to show how meaningless such statistical comparisons are.

      --
      Find environmentally and socially responsible products on http://buy-right.net
    17. Re:Common sense by StarkRG · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The shuttles aren't rebuilt each time, they're given complete, detailed inspections every time, and tiles are replaced. Comparing them to any kind of car is pretty pointless. I'd say, compare it to other rockets, like missiles, for example...

      Something like, for every type of rocket, how many people died for each launching, I think the Shuttles would be pretty good in that comparison... Or, perhaps, compare it to other government jobs, like soldiers for example... Hell, I'd bet that astronauts beat even postal workers for lowest per-capita death rate. Or is that kill rate?

    18. Re:Common sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      did you work the math? auto death rate is somewhere near .015 per million miles. a million miles is quite a large number of times around the world!

    19. Re:Common sense by NecroPuppy · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Government folks (non-contracted) abhor responsibility and accountability.

      Not really.

      It's just that by various laws, we (government employees) can't take that responsibility.

      Take your average government contract. Of the government side people working on the contract or with the contracted group, a very small subset of them are actually authorized and allowed to make changes no matter how much sense there may be to make those changes. The average government employee may be held liable for a stop work order or a contract change, when they don't have the authority to make it. So yeah, there is some passing of the buck in that regard.

      And yeah, there are idiots like you describe who pull a 4 hour day and fill out a time card for 8 hours. But I saw the same thing in the private sector, and worse. At least government side, the people I work with know what we have, so they don't end up ordering a bunch of stuff that walks out the door as soon as it gets shipped in.

      But, at least in my small part of the government world, we come in when the job demands. If that means working over holidays, pulling a 24 hour day or more, or whatever is needed to make the fleet go, then we do it.

      --
      I like you, Stuart. You're not like everyone else, here, at Slashdot.
    20. Re:Common sense by M0b1u5 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Hang on, let me get this right.... You **don't** want people to risk their lives for science and exploration?

      WTH? That's EXACTLY what I want people to do. People are CHEAP - we have lots and lots of 'em. More than enough to spare sending a few out into space, without having to worry about them.

      Personally, I'm in the camp which says "Send men to Mars, but don't give them a way to return." Just keep sending more men, and more equipment, with absolutely no thought to how to get them back. Who cares how to get 'em back? Earth has enough humans! This would make space travel to Mars quite affordable, and possible within just a few years.

      Hell, you'd have so many people apply it'd be scary.

      In this stupidly politically correct USA-centric world, we have forgotten that exploration IS risky, that science needs volunteers sometimes, and that sometimes those volunteers get hurt, or die. BIG DEAL. Just accept the fact that space is a big bad place, that people will die, and that expensive hardware can go East. This is the way exploration has ALWAYS been. It seems now, however, that people are more concerned about appearances than substance.

      It seems like no politician has the guts to stand up and say "Yeah - we're goign to send men to Mars - and we'll worry about how to get them back in 10 years or so. If they're still alive when we are able to retrieve them, that will be a huge scientific triumph for us."

      --
      How many escape pods are there? "NONE,SIR!" You counted them? "TWICE, SIR!"
    21. Re:Common sense by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 4, Funny
      Fatality per mile, the shuttle is no doubt kicking cars' ass.

      I don't know about that. Most shuttle trips are pretty short: They start at one of the Kennedy Space Center's launch pads, and they disembark just a couple of miles away at the shuttle's runway.

    22. Re:Common sense by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      On the other hand when traveling in a car your risk is lowest as you turn it on, whereas the shuttle is at it's lowest risk "out on the highway" where it travels really, really fast. It's biased toward looking good in fatalities per mile.

      To be honest, if you're measuring it by the mile, the highways are the safest place to drive. Sure, it's safer just sitting in your driveway, but it's not useful that way. The most dangerous part of shuttle/car rides is the beginning and ending. For cars this would be the in-city driving. Sure, you have the highest speeds on the highway, but you generally have less traffic, fewer variations in speeds, no routing stopping, controlled entrence/exit.

      Fatalities per turn of the key isn't a bad metric for the shuttle. Its the one I'd be most interested in if offered a ride.

      Agreed, especially given that it's much easier/safer to exit a car 'mid-ride'.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    23. Re:Common sense by Firethorn · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Hell, you'd have so many people apply it'd be scary.

      Yes, it's indeed somewhat scary. I remember them doing a survey for this ., basically asking 'Would you volunteer to be part of an expedition to mars even if it's guarenteed that you won't come back, and it's very likely that you'll be dead within 5 years?'. Given that there are ~300 million americans, let alone 6.5 trillion humans on earth, we'd have no real problems finding volunteers, even highly qualified ones if the volunteer rate is even in the fractions of a percent. Heck, if one in a million volunteer, that's 300 volunteers.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    24. Re:Common sense by HardCase · · Score: 1

      I don't know about that. Most shuttle trips are pretty short: They start at one of the Kennedy Space Center's launch pads, and they disembark just a couple of miles away at the shuttle's runway.

      Most auto trips are shorter. Mine start at my driveway and end there, too.

      -h-

    25. Re:Common sense by Starker_Kull · · Score: 1
      Completely depends on your metric. Fatality per mile, the shuttle is no doubt kicking cars' ass.

      Yes, but after the first mile in the Shuttle, you're committed to another 1,000,000 miles or so. No pulling over to the side of the road and bailing early. I'll take the car.

    26. Re:Common sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Safety metrics like this are usually done in fatalities per hour.

    27. Re:Common sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You mean 6.5 billion. If there were 6.5 trillion humans on earth, we would be in huge trouble.

    28. Re:Common sense by Bill_the_Engineer · · Score: 1
      The problem with your analogy is that the fatility of the space shuttle was caused by a mechanical failure. Most mechanical failures on the space shuttle will have fatal results.

      For a car, the vast majority of mechanical failures are pretty benign and at most result in the car being inoperable on the side of the road.

      --
      These comments are my own and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of my employer or colleagues...
    29. Re:Common sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      6.5 billion is the more correct world population. I believe you are thinking of the National debt (it's in the trillions). If only we could send that on a one-way trip to Mars.... Unfortunately, it would probably come right back!

    30. Re:Common sense by jongleur · · Score: 1
      A related article at The Guardian may provide the insight needed. The Shuttle isn't wanted by the current administration, it exemplifies civilian uses of Space, which is obviously too important strategically to have mere people allowed to be involved.

      The of NASA Administrator puts it this way:

      Michael Griffin, the Nasa administrator, overruled colleagues who wanted the mission postponed for safety improvements, arguing that there was no danger.

      "We have elected to take the risk," he said. But he admitted that a "major incident" would lead to the closure of the 26-year-old shuttle programme and the likely scrapping of the half-built International Space Station. "If we were to lose another vehicle, I would be moving to figure out a way to shut the programme down," he said. "I think at that point we're done."

      I don't know how he can possibly believe that he would be looking to shut down the NASA Space Program in the event of a disaster. He should be looking either for another job, or good counsel to help him keep out of jail when the investigation follows.
      Unless of course, he is simply following orders...

    31. Re:Common sense by geobeck · · Score: 1

      Good point. It's hard to pull over at the nearest service station when it's 600 miles below you, whizzing past at a few thousand miles per hour.

      --
      Find environmentally and socially responsible products on http://buy-right.net
    32. Re:Common sense by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      What people wouldn't do to stop paying taxes...

    33. Re:Common sense by Beryllium+Sphere(tm) · · Score: 1

      >if somebody is only going to get beat up if the launch fails, and there is no penalty for unnecessarily cancelling a launch

      Challenger happened because there was enormous pressure to launch on schedule. Google "Boisjoly", see how bad it was.

      >in this case you have engineers saying don't launch, and managers saying launch

      Precisely what killed everyone on Challenger.

      >It is in the interests of the engineers to never certify a launch

      It is in the interests of the engineers to have a living program. They wouldn't have jobs if there was never a launch. And they wouldn't get to see rockets go up, a perk that civil service benefits just can't equal.

    34. Re:Common sense by Keebler71 · · Score: 2, Insightful
      If this thing blows up, guess who're going to be blamed for it?

      The same people who will be recognized in the silence of obscurity if the mission goes off flawlessly.

      --
      "It takes considerable knowledge just to realize the extent of your own ignorance." - Thomas Sowell
    35. Re:Common sense by Ohreally_factor · · Score: 3, Funny

      Comparing them to any kind of car is pretty pointless.

      You must be new here. This is slashdot, where car analogies are king.

      --
      It's not offtopic, dumbass. It's orthogonal.
    36. Re:Common sense by StarkRG · · Score: 1

      I thought it was Libraries of Congress... I guess I'm a bit behind the times...

    37. Re:Common sense by bm_luethke · · Score: 1

      For the most part I agree. But I don't think it is govt only, very few want to take responsibility. Most are afraid they will be high enough to take the blame, low enough to not get out of it.

      Being a govt employee for a number of years I can see it. I didn't like signing for anything I wasn't 100% sure of - I could loose my job. Non Govt people wouldn't sign for anything either - they could be fined huge sums of money.

      For example, a contractor would wants a signature like you state (lets, for a moment, assume that the individual in question had worked normally - I usually pulled 70-80 hour weeks. Some groups had no real accountability on work hours for reasons of responsibility, research groups were not one of them). I would sign it if the someone who said "I'm done and it works" says so. They generally refused to sign it too unless I took full credit.

      Of course, I don't know you, some would sign it, I would sign anything I actually had authority and knowledge to certify (an idea that can tend to be rare amongst workers), so do not take it personally.

      Essentially the system is such that no one wants to take authority. Most govt employees are paid horrid so they do no want to take responsibility. Most contrators liability is horrid so they don't want to either. It leads to what we have now. I can't blame most people - the system is geared towards producing that.

      Don't get me started on in-govt work orders - you want terrible, have a NIC die and be in an office you can not lock the door. The only people that believe the process you have to go through are other govt employees - I've had few non-govt people remotely believe what you have to do and pay for. The 100 dollar screwdrivers popular in the 80's are a chip of the iceberg.

      --
      ------- Sorry about the spelling, I suffer from two problems. Dyslexia makes it difficult to spell well, lazy makes it
    38. Re:Common sense by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      Wrong, the most the Shuttle is committed to is an abort once around. During launch they can abort to Kennedy in a Return to Launch Site (RTLS) abort, carry out a Transoceanic Abort Landing (TAL) where the shuttle lands in Africa or Europe on prepared sites, an Abort Once Around (AOA) which makes a low earth orbit and returns to Edwards or Kennedy or an Abort to Orbit where a failed launch means the orbiter achieves a different orbit (happened once thus far in the programme). There are lots of possibilities open to Shuttles after they leave the pad.

    39. Re:Common sense by teledyne · · Score: 1

      You make a good point. I hear more about people dying for "freedom" than for science.

    40. Re:Common sense by Professor_UNIX · · Score: 1
      On the other hand when traveling in a car your risk is lowest as you turn it on

      Who are you, James Bond?

    41. Re:Common sense by drsquare · · Score: 1

      Orbit is 200 miles above Earth. With a two percent failure rate, and assuming a round trip, that would be equivalent to a car blowing up with everyone in it every 20,000 miles. I'm not counting the distance floating round and round in orbit as that's not where the danger is.

    42. Re:Common sense by smitth1276 · · Score: 1

      Well, did anybody here actually read about their reasons for launching? They cite the law of unintended consequences... they have already made the single largest change to the vehicles aerodynamics since it was designed. They don't want to "fix" all of it at once, opting instead to make small incremental changes. What is it with slashdot and cynicism. It's always "the man"'s fault.

    43. Re:Common sense by geoffspear · · Score: 1

      I can't seem to easily find statistics on how many unique individuals have flown on the shuttles, but there have been 703 crew members on the 114 flights, and 14 deaths.

      I don't know how bad your neighborhood is, but most people would find it hard to believe that almost 2% of postal workers are killed on duty.

      --
      Don't blame me; I'm never given mod points.
    44. Re:Common sense by xtieburn · · Score: 1

      Im sorry did you just pass off giving a shit about human life as being politically correct hokum... Saying that an evil black knight is racist is politically correct hokum. Being against needlessly sending people to there deaths is called, not being a total prick.

      Exploration is dangerous and people will get hurt and die but there is one thing that just about explorer has done in the entire history of science and that is to give themselves the best shot. (Which was the whole point of the post you responded to.)

      Incidentally this is a far cry from this kind of nonsense where top engineers are being over ruled and arseholes like yourself arnt giving a crap very likely because your not the one who has to sit inside a shuttle that could go horrifically wrong. The pilots signed up for this mission not with the intent of dieing for science they signed up because they want to survive and further science. ITs the responsibility of everyone there to make sure that happens.

      Lets look at it coldy though seeing as you appear to not give two shits about anyone. There is absolute zero benefit to anyone if the shuttle goes wrong and in the worst case people die. There is absolutely no reason they shouldnt wait a while to make sure that this has the best chance of working. There is every reason to believe the lead engineer and top safety officials know a metric shit tonne more than the managers and most certainly you or myself. There is every reason to believe that if something does go wrong it will set the entire space program back a massive amount.

      Any way you look at it this decision is questionable. I agree that appearance over substance appears to be the way of things thats been proven in the wishy washy way parts of the Iraq war have been handled. Its fairly clear that the choice of sending an unsafe craft up has nothing to do with substance and everything to do with trying to demonstrate how active the space program is regardless of the risk.

      Exploration shouldnt be lets fire off as many humans as we can and hopefully something will turn up. Thats more along the lines of comic book super villain or genocidal maniac...

      If someone dies because of an avoidable mistake then yes it is a big deal whether someone like you can grasp that or not.

    45. Re:Common sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Have you tried commuting in rural India ?

    46. Re:Common sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In 86 after the Challenger accident a friend who was an engineer was in Texas working on a project and his office was next door the an engineering firm that was involved with the overall systems on the shuttle. Of course he went to "talk shop" to the engineers next door. Some of them had been present at the "Go - NoGo" meeting before the launch.

      At the meeting the consensus of the engineers that were present was, "Conditions are outside of parameters. We don't go."

      One of the manager types concluded the meeting with the statement, "You need to stop thinking like engineers and start thinking like businessmen. We go."

      I always wondered what happened to the "all business" guy. I bet the career of 'business guy' went a bit south after that.

    47. Re:Common sense by paiste404 · · Score: 1

      Even if NASA suddenly wanted to adopt your plan to send people to Mars as unreturnable lemmings, they would never do it. The key variable here is not human lives, its dollars spent. A one-way trip to Mars costs billions. Until a one-way trip costs an order of magnitude less than a round-trip, we can never leave humans on Mars no matter what country they are launched from. And this doesn't even begin to touch on the PR disaster one-way flights would create (at least here in the US).

    48. Re:Common sense by kfg · · Score: 1

      If I were James Bond I think I would want someone else to do my key turning for me.

      I just drive in Manhatten, Boston and the occasional disaster area . . .but I repeat myself.

      KFG

    49. Re:Common sense by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      In fact, if you want to be pedantic, the shuttle is the name for the entire stack, the thing that orbits and later lands is called the orbiter.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    50. Re:Common sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Now what do you suppose the chance of death was for the men who signed up with Christopher Columbus? I'm sure if you took a survey they all would have put it at much higher than 2%. It has only been recently that ocean voyages have become "safe." Need it be said that the "Unsinkable" Titanic had a 68% death rate. The pioneers heading west across America would have happily accepted a statistic of a 98% survival rate. Early aviation was not any safer; how many planes crashed or just vanished without a trace?

      Now if for the sake of argument one considers Space Shuttle flights so far to have been 98% safe, and the O-ring problem with the Challenger being completely solved, that makes the current Shuttles 99% safe. Now we obviously want to strive for 100% safety, but the reality is that we are dealing with an aging Shuttle fleet. If there was a 50% reduction in the chance of a foam strike since Columbia, that would make the shuttle 99.5% safe, but only if you ignore the aging of the Shuttles and resulting failure points such a degrading circuit bards and wiring that could cause a disaster at any time, which probably cancel out much of the safety improvement.

    51. Re:Common sense by BaseSequence · · Score: 2, Funny

      You must be new here. This is slashdot, where car analogies are king.

      Actually, car analogies at slashdot are the Cadillac of comparisons.

    52. Re:Common sense by Illserve · · Score: 1

      People are cheap.

      Trained and capable astronauts are not.

      The amount of time and effort spent in turning an average Joe on the street into a flight certified astronaut is probably a bit staggering, especially when you factor in all the costs training an washing out the 99.99% of people who apply and don't end up going for one reason or another.

      Dollarwise, those astronauts that set foot on the orbiter on launch day are some of the most expensive people in history.

    53. Re:Common sense by MentalMooMan · · Score: 1
      your not the one who has to sit inside a shuttle that could go horrifically wrong
      Yeah... I'm pretty sure that nobody has to fly if they don't want to.
      Besides, if I was offered a chance to fly on the shuttle, even if there was a 50% chance of getting killed, I'd sign up right away, and I'm sure that many, many other people would too.

      There is absolute zero benefit to anyone if the shuttle goes wrong
      Well, I'd say that they could learn from what went wrong, and maybe make it safer for the next group of people to go up, even if they don't fix the problem entirely, it gives the next people a better chance.

      Without people taking risks, we would not have anything like the technology that we have today. America would never have been discovered and colonised, and like would be a lot more boring. Some of the engineers objected, but others agreed that it was safe to fly.
      After taking both viewpoints into consideration, the shuttle's program administrator said that "We do not believe we are risking the crew.".

      Please, stop hindering human advancement.

      And buy a dictionary.
      --
      43rd Law of Computing:
      Anything that can go wr
      fortune: Segmentation violation -- Core Dumped
    54. Re:Common sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your metric is faulty, it should be 'fatalities per powered mile'. Your metric is like saying that a new Toyota in a dealer in New York would already have 10,000 miles on the odometer from its ocean voyage.

    55. Re:Common sense by codehoser · · Score: 1

      As of April 2001, the shuttles logged a total of 375 million miles (http://www.space.com/news/spaceshuttles/shuttle_f uture_steps_010412.html). I'm not sure what the number is now, but at that time there were 7 fatalities, bringing the number of fatalities per 100 million miles to about 1.86.

      By contrast, the number of fatalities per 100 million miles in automobiles (U.S.) is at about 1.5. It's unlikely that the shuttles have doubled their logged miles between April 2001 and now, but the fatalities have doubled, so the fatalities per 100 million miles is likely over 3 -- or twice as bad as automobiles.

      But I would definately take the shuttle over a motorcycle!

    56. Re:Common sense by jafac · · Score: 1

      What I don't get is; where the FUCK is USAF Range Safety with this issue?

      They have the privilege of overriding NASA management if NASA hands them an unsafe vehicle. It's their duty to protect range personnel, and the populated cities over which the vehicle flies. Nobody on the ground died when Challenger and Columbia remnants impacted. But that was luck. Especially for the Columbia situation.

      A foam impact on launch could just as easily rip off a wing, and cause the whole vehicle to veer off course on the way up. It's not just the astronauts lives that are at stake. I've seen launches cancelled due to high upper-atmospheric winds and the safety hazard they pose (very common).

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    57. Re:Common sense by xtieburn · · Score: 1

      'even if there was a 50% chance of getting killed, I'd sign up right away'

      Easy to say when your typing on a forum.

      'Without people taking risks, we would not have anything like the technology that we have today.'

      because I disputed that... where exactly? I was very clear in what I said. Avoidable risks. _Avoidable_. Of course risks are a part of exploration neither the poster this began with nor myself have ever denied that fact. In fact we stressed there always would be risks on multiple occaisions...

      The whole point of this argument was never, lets not do anything till theres no risk at all. Its, lets not do anything until the risk is minimised as much as possible. Without making things as safe as possible id be willing to bet the resulting accidents and problems would set us back a damn site more than the delays itd take to put whats wrong, right. I really dont understand how people can argue against this point of view.

      'Well, I'd say that they could learn from what went wrong, and maybe make it safer for the next group of people to go up, even if they don't fix the problem entirely, it gives the next people a better chance.'

      We know something thats wrong already. We know that the foam is still not safe enough, it can be improved. The fact that they have planned for if it goes wrong is proof positive of this. We can already give this set of people a better chance. But hell why bother just fire off them off, who gives a crap if they die? Oh thats right anyone who isnt a complete bastard. Them and every politician who will find ample reason to cut the budget on the space program the moment anything goes wrong.

      So in your own words 'please, stop hindering human advancement.' This additional risk has _nothing_ to do with advancing us and everything to do with the slow appearance of the space program. You have two choices

      1. Take a gamble with human lives.
      2. Take the PR hit involved with a delay.

      No real 'hindering' involved here unless something goes wrong. Guess which number that is more likely to happen with... This is politics not advancement and human lives shouldnt be risked on that much.

      'And buy a dictionary.'

      You shouldnt start a sentence with 'and'. I also believe you ment life not 'like'. Know how much your mistakes bothered me? Not at all.
      Dont treat a post on a forum like a professional essay. The typing errors in my posts (and apparently yours as well...) are many and obvious to all who can read... on slashdot. Guess how much I care?

    58. Re:Common sense by ultranova · · Score: 1

      While I already believed that every precaution should be taken before sending the shuttle back up, I want NASA to make extra sure that every precaution really has been made because we are risking people's lives in the name of politics and public relations.

      NASA isn't risking anyone's lives. The astronauts are risking their own lives for whatever reasons they have for being an astronaut. NASA is simply giving them the option of doing so.

      While risking other's lives is despicable, risking your own is not - it is at worst stupid and irresponsible, and the latter only if you have dependants (such as children) and haven't taken the steps to ensure they get taken care of in the case you die.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    59. Re:Common sense by ultranova · · Score: 1

      But to make this a fair comparison, we need to compare the shuttle to high-end race cars, which are completely re-built between every 'mission'. Otherwise, if you count miles per fatality, under power, between complete overhauls, the average car kicks the shuttle's butt.

      That sounds suspiciously like "I don't agree with the results of this comparison, so I'll change the parameters". Surely it can't be unfair just because it shows the shuttle being less safe than an average car ?

      Which goes to show how meaningless such statistical comparisons are.

      No, it goes to show that an average car kick's the shuttle's butt when it comes to safety :).

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    60. Re:Common sense by bobs666 · · Score: 1
      Personally, I'm in the camp which says "Send men to Mars, but don't give them a way to return." Just keep sending more men, and more equipment, with absolutely no thought to how to get them back. Who cares how to get 'em back? Earth has enough humans! This would make space travel to Mars quite affordable, and possible within just a few years.


      But first you need to learn to feed'em.

      Remember the First Biosphere project failed. Due to simple lack of understanding of the chemistry of a biosphere. You can not send people to mars or space until this basic research is perfected.

  3. grow a pair by v1 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If this group was in charge of the appolo missions we'd still be doing near earth orbital testing.

    Space is dangerous, expensive, and offers very few good opportunities. If you want to get anywhere you have to take risks. I'm not saying that people should just throw their lives away for nothing, but every trip they make into space breaks new ground and teaches them new lessons. If you want the rewards you have to be prepared to walk away with a bloddy nose now and again, especially in a game like this.

    It may be harsh, but I would say that if they are trying to make space travel 100% safe, it's just plain never going to happen. Right now I think we should be happy with 90%. From a purely practical perspective, if a dozen people lose their lives to accellerate the space program 10 years, I would call that a good trade. And I'd be happy to be one of those 12.

    --
    I work for the Department of Redundancy Department.
    1. Re:grow a pair by Pyromage · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah, but keep in mind the Challenger, as an example: they launched *knowing it was dangerous*. And guess what happened? It was!

      The crew know what they signed up for, probably better than any other explorer ever has. But knowing the normal risks they run isn't the same as asking them to go up when they know the thing that brought the shuttle down last time hasn't been fixed!

    2. Re:grow a pair by murrdpirate · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Exactly. We have a pretty good safety record considering what we're doing. It gets more and more expensive and takes more and more time to reach slightly higher safety levels when we're as high as we are. I think it might be safer in the long run to try to reach a reasonable safety level of around 90% and actually get some experience. We've been doing the same stuff for decades, if it was acceptable then, why isn't it acceptable now?

    3. Re:grow a pair by stratjakt · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The thing that brought the shuttle down really cant be fixed.

      It may not strike a chunk of foam, but hey, it might smack a big old bird on the way up, ro get nicked by a meteorite or some space-junk.

      They are going up this time with a contingency plan to possibly repair such damage after it happened, but it's always going to be dangerous.

      --
      I don't need no instructions to know how to rock!!!!
    4. Re:grow a pair by HaloZero · · Score: 5, Insightful

      And when Thirteen blew up due to a bad tank coil - 2/3rds of the way to the moon - they actually FIXED the problem before Fourteen left the pad.

      Yes, it's perfectly dangerous, but there's no reason to make it worse by not performing your due dilligence, and building a spaceworthy craft. Yes, there are going to be problems, but there's something to be said for learning from your mistakes.

      --
      Informatus Technologicus
    5. Re:grow a pair by Pyromage · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That's certainly true, but just because there's other dangers doesn't mean it's smart to ignore the ones in your control. You may not be able to stop birds and meteorites, but the foam we *can* stop, and it's irresponsible for us to not.

    6. Re:grow a pair by demachina · · Score: 5, Interesting

      "It may be harsh, but I would say that if they are trying to make space travel 100% safe"

      This particular team is an institutionalized bureaucracy. Their pay is the same whether they fly or not. Not flying is substantially easier and safer. They are mostly just trying to preserve their jobs until CRV or some other program comes along to which they can all be transfered and which point CRV will become extraordinarily expensive jobs program with a poor track record.

      There is actually somewhat greater job security in flying infrequently, and stretching out how long it takes to finish the ISS, because when they finish the 16 flights or whatever their careers are over unless their is a big new project to transfer to, i.e. CRV and the return to the Moon. They just have to be careful that they don't frustrate the politicians that pay them to the point they pull the plug on them prematurely. Not flying in the name of safety is the safest methodology.

      The Shuttle payroll stays the same, yet their flight rate has reached a truly glacial pace since Columbia. I sure would be curious to see what the actual cost per flight has been for the last flight and this one. I'm guessing probably in the $5-10 billion range per flight, and these two missions have accomplished nothing beyond hauling supplies to the ISS which should have been done with a cheap, expendable booster. Though when we spend $8 billion a month on Iraq to no obvious good end, I guess $5 billion isn't so bad. But still, we spend so little money on space and technology(outside weapons) you are left wishing the dollars we do spend were spent more wisely than to just keep jobs going in Texas and Florida for political reasons. I assure you whenever NASA's budget comes up the jobs program it drives is way more important to the politicians that fund them than are what they actually accomplish which is why the manned program has a huge payroll and accomplished very little. NASA kind of needs to be like a corporation, where either you succeed or you go under. The way it is now they can fail and just keep failing.

      The basic problem with our space program is their is no objective, there is no goal, there is nothing to reach where there will be celebration and a sense of accomplishment. At this point the objective is just to kind of keep the shuttle from another catastrophic failure and kind of half finish the ISS. At that point there is a 50/50 chance success will be declared and then they will have to figure out how to abandon the ISS safely since it sucks money out of more worthwhile endeavors, and does next to nothing useful.

      At this point getting getting a life boat colony on Mars, mining asteroids, or finding a new energy source are the only objectives that really excite enough to justify manned presence.

      Getting a permanent colony on Mars would be priceless. It would teach us a lot about ourselves and our society, compell innovation and give people who hunger for a frontier a place to go, and there are always people hungry for a frontier.

      At the rate our exploding population is exhausting both mineral and energy resources on our home planet, starting to explore space alternatives would be worth doing though it will be a long time before they will be viable. When we start running out of minerals having asteroid mining proved will be priceless.

      --
      @de_machina
    7. Re:grow a pair by solitas · · Score: 5, Interesting
      The space program has sufficiently proven that it can't accelerate ten years in twenty years. The first launch was 4/81, the first accident was 1/86 (#51), the second accident was 1/03 (#107) - there have been something like 113 launches since 1981 (how'd they get the numbering screwed up?) and they're still doing it the same way. and there's nothing being visibly tested (press releases, test launches, etc).

      IMO: when it comes to "accelerating the program" I don't think it matters so much what experiments they're doing so much as how they're getting them up there.

      The U.S. manned space program went from 'nothing' to 'shuttle' in about 21 years (1960-1981), 'nothing' to 'moon' in about 8 years, did 'moon' for three-plus years, did 'Skylab' for only SIX MONTHS, has been running at 'shuttle' for the last 25 years, was stuck at 'o-rings' for two-plus years, and has been stuck at 'foam' for the last three years.

      Where has 'acceleration' been 'lately'?

      --
      "It's time to take life by the cans." ~ Bender ("Bendin' in the Wind", ep. 3-13)
    8. Re:grow a pair by kfg · · Score: 5, Interesting

      If this group was in charge of the appolo missions we'd still be doing near earth orbital testing.

      I take it you are unaware that Von Braun was under constant pressure for being too slow, too much a perfectionist and too insistant that everything be as close to just right as we could make it before he would agree to light the fuse?

      In fact he drove the "let's just plug ahead and get this baby done" folks nuts with his attitude that we should "just plug ahead and get this baby done right".

      Understand that at that point in time he had seen, and even been personally responsible for, more launch failures than any man alive

      KFG

    9. Re:grow a pair by Alien+Being · · Score: 5, Insightful

      That's an unfair comparison. The explosion on Apollo 13 was the result of straightforward engineering and manufacturing errors. The shuttle suffers from an inherent design flaw.

    10. Re:grow a pair by T-Ranger · · Score: 1

      Design "flaw", or just "design"? The goals of the design was for a system that would have a catostrpohic failure 1 in whatever number of flights. The shuttle has a record that significnatly beats that requirement.

    11. Re:grow a pair by HaloZero · · Score: 1

      While you do have a point, it is completely irrelevant in the context of this case. The fundamental design of these vehicles was never in question. That being said, would you care to make a counter-comparison?

      My opinion pertains to troubleshooting a problem, and the ability or willingness to take the time to fix the problem correctly, in order to increase the productivity of the program in a safe manner. It would seem that others disagree with my position, and say that the crew are prepared to take the risk, and are expendable by rationalization of 'They knew it was dangerous.' I don't think that's acceptable.

      --
      Informatus Technologicus
    12. Re:grow a pair by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Space is dangerous, expensive, and offers very few good opportunities. If you want to get anywhere you have to take risks.

      Risks are fine as long as you don't have plutonium on board.

    13. Re:grow a pair by CastrTroy · · Score: 1, Insightful

      That's exactly the way it was 600 years ago, when people were trying to discover our own planet. How many sailors died trying to find the new world, or travel the northwest passage. We hear of Christopher Columbus and Magellan, but there was probably many other sailors who weren't so successful in their voyages. And there were probably a lot of crew members that we don't know a lot about, who gave their lives to discover the new world. People give their lives every day for wars about oil and religion. I'm sure, given the choice, many would choose to give their lives if it meant that someday we may reach another hospitable planet.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    14. Re:grow a pair by Idiomatick · · Score: 0

      I agree, thats how it SHOULD be. The only problem is the overly emotional mob. Look at the last crash, though it is worth it to sacrafice a live for a year of improvements it won't work that way. Each life lost sets us back a year. Each life lost gets picked up by the news, played 1million times and convinces a few thousand people that we shouldn't be exploring space for another 30years. Sad but true, if the mob made rational desicions the world would be a much different place.

    15. Re:grow a pair by couchslug · · Score: 1

      End-run the problems by improving robots (and capturing the useful technology) instead of rushing to put meat in space. We have plenty of time to play with. The Cold War is over, so no need for cawk-size comparisons/moon missions.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    16. Re:grow a pair by NetGuruFL · · Score: 4, Informative
      Design "flaw", or just "design"?
      He is refering to the fact that putting the orbiter in such a vulnerable position on the external tank was probably the worst idea to come out of the STS program, A design flaw. After the foam loss of STS-1 it was obvious and we/NASA just became more and more cocky as the orbiter was spared debilitating damage.
    17. Re:grow a pair by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When we start running out of minerals having asteroid mining proved will be priceless.

      It has been suggested here in slashdot before (I can't find the reference) that any attempt of large scale asteroid mining is near to impossible. All the mass entering the atmosphere would generate too much heat. But take it with a grain of salt, I cannot reproduce the numbers.

    18. Re:grow a pair by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      Where has 'acceleration' been 'lately'?

      Probably "hiding" between a pair of "apostrophes".

    19. Re:grow a pair by Zackbass · · Score: 1

      Thank you for making this point so well. As the situation currently stands there is no incentive to take any risk in the shuttle program (and many other government programs). This isn't entirely bad, it works well for things that aren't difficult or inherently risky, but when pushing envolope it just doesn't work. I don't think the people working on the program are actively thinking about job security in the macro perspective of prolonging the shuttle program. My personal experience leads me to believe that it's mostly a major case of short-sighted risk aversion on the micro scale (like "the evidence indicates this pretty strongly but we really need to do more several more test cases to be completely sure")

      --
      You gotta find first gear in your giant robot car
    20. Re:grow a pair by ThreeE · · Score: 0

      Give a better alternative that would meet the design constraints that the STS was subject to

      I bet you can't.

    21. Re:grow a pair by jheath314 · · Score: 1

      I strongly agree with your sentiment that there are times when great risks should be taken to achieve great rewards. However, when it comes to the STS, I have two objections:

      1) The rewards from the shuttle program aren't particularly great. We live in an age of computers and robotics, so it seems to me that developing automated systems to do basic things like satellite repairs would be a logical use for the dollars currently used to send humans on routine missions. Apollo at least had romance and glory to justify the risks to human life... the same cannot be said of STS.

      2) The risks are insufficiently addressed. Major portions of the design of the shuttle are deeply flawed, and the current approach is to apply patches rather than fundamentally redesign the vehicle. It isn't possible to draw the risk down to zero, but there is a different between courage and carelessness when it comes to risk.

      --
      Procrastination Man strikes again!
    22. Re:grow a pair by UltraAyla · · Score: 1

      stuck in a budget bill, most likely

    23. Re:grow a pair by demachina · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "... is near to impossible"

      Declaring stuff impossible isn't the kind of attitude you need to do hard things.

      Two words.... Space elevator.

      --
      @de_machina
    24. Re:grow a pair by nolesrule · · Score: 1

      Actually, Challenger was STS-51L, the 25th mission. Columbia was STS-107, the 113th mission. The most recent Discovery flight was STS-114 (114th mission) and the upcoming flight of Discovery is STS-121.

      As for the numbering being screwed up, not really. The mission numbers (with the exception of the 10th through 25th which used the alphabet soup method) are assigned based on the order in which the flights are created, not the order in which they actually fly.

      --
      -- nolesrule
    25. Re:grow a pair by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      True enough but then we run into the emotion problem again. Landing man on the moon is cool as useless as it may really be. Something akin to a weather sattelite isn't that exciting but probably 100x more useful. Look at the sad fate of the hubble telescope which is worth way WAY more than landing yet another man/monkey/dog on the moon/ISS. Either we need to reduce cost for doing useful things to the point where some rich guy/company picks it up or we continue doing things at the publics whim, hopefully we can squeze some actualy science in with, The next Lunar Idol.

    26. Re:grow a pair by IdahoEv · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Acceleration will return with remarkable speed the day China lands dudes on the moon.

      Because nothing kicks a country in the ass like a perceived enemy they want to outdo. CF. the "Space Race", which only happened because of a gargantuan pissing contest between two big countries.

      Which by the way, is a fantastic thing, despite a negative name like "pissing contest". When it comes down to it, a technological show-off pissing contest is a lot better thing than a war. Think how many lives would have been spared if the Allies had had a space race vs. Germany instead of WWII.

      I'm really hoping the US can have a space race vs. China instead of WWIII!

      Because China is going to pass the US economy sooner than most people realize, and technologically not long behind that. Usually when one nation surpasses the dominant country it means war. Maybe this time it will mean dudes on Mars instead.

      --
      I stole this sig from someone cleverer than me.
    27. Re:grow a pair by Starker_Kull · · Score: 1
      If this group was in charge of the appolo missions we'd still be doing near earth orbital testing. Space is dangerous, expensive, and offers very few good opportunities. If you want to get anywhere you have to take risks. I'm not saying that people should just throw their lives away for nothing, but every trip they make into space breaks new ground and teaches them new lessons. If you want the rewards you have to be prepared to walk away with a bloddy nose now and again, especially in a game like this. It may be harsh, but I would say that if they are trying to make space travel 100% safe, it's just plain never going to happen. Right now I think we should be happy with 90%. From a purely practical perspective, if a dozen people lose their lives to accellerate the space program 10 years, I would call that a good trade. And I'd be happy to be one of those 12.

      Yeah, we've learned a whole lot. We learned from the Challenger disaster that rubber gets inelastic in the cold.... oh wait - we've known that for over 100+ years. We've learned from the Columbia disaster that chunks of low density materal can damage stuff at high speeds. I think that's been known somewhere around when we figured KE = 1/2*m*v^2.

      I know you are trying to make a reasonable point about having to take risks to achieve goals in space, but the pieces of the shuttle that were considered most susceptible to failure - the main engines fuel pumps, the main engine exhaust guides, and a few hundred other "critical" (meaning no backup system - system fails, hull loss occurs), are NOT the ones that have brought down the shuttles - stupid, wishful thinking about simple risk assessment did. Read the detailed write-up on the Challenger by Feynman, right from NASA's own website: http://science.ksc.nasa.gov/shuttle/missions/51-l/ docs/rogers-commission/Appendix-F.txtThings that could be FIXED, if we actually put a fraction of the dollars (real dollars, not nominal ones) that we put into the Mercury, Gemini, and Apollo programs, along with some engineering sense. We are doing space on the cheap, and ignoring ways of improving it. If we were finding new and useful information about the dangers and engineering necessary to enter space, great. But we are not - we are "discovering" that foam at the speed of sound can hurt things, that rubber is brittle in the cold, and that a launch date is more important than fixing a problem. That, to me, is not balls, but whistling in the dark and hoping you don't get snake-eyes this time round.

    28. Re:grow a pair by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      While you do have a point, it is completely irrelevant in the context of this case. The fundamental design of these vehicles was never in question. That being said, would you care to make a counter-comparison?

      What do you mean "never in question"? NASA has now admitted the shuttle is a bad design. The ship should be on *top* of the rockets, not by the side. You cannot fix that without changing the entire configuration. The Apollo 13 fix did not change the general shape and config of the craft. IIRC it was a couple of valves and pipes that were re-engineered.

    29. Re:grow a pair by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      unless their is a big new project to transfer to
      their is no objective

      "there".

    30. Re:grow a pair by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's exactly the way it was 600 years ago, when people were trying to discover our own planet.

      And boy were their faces red when they realised they'd been standing on it the entire time!

    31. Re:grow a pair by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      Slowing down is a kind of acceleration.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    32. Re: grow a pair by gidds · · Score: 1
      Come one, there are loads of posts misusing apostrophes, and you pick on one that isn't!

      --

      Ceterum censeo subscriptionem esse delendam.

    33. Re:grow a pair by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm really hoping the US can have a space race vs. China instead of WWIII!

      WWIII will be fought in the Middle East when fundamentalist Islam mixes with tyrannical dictators with a common purpose (defeat the West) and the wherewithall to do it (controlling the supply of oil and having nuclear weapons.)

      Unfortunately, we're 80% of the way to WWIII due to G W Moron and Blair.

      After WWIII has been fought, no doubt a pyrric victory for the West, there will be no money, people or infrastructure left for space exploration. Food, water and shelter will be our main concerns. Maybe our friends in China will send us aid?

    34. Re:grow a pair by maxpublic · · Score: 1

      If there is a government-run Mars mission it'll be in much the same vein as the Apollo missions: PR stunts with little to no real value. And you can forget about any sort of permanent colonization, much less the effort required to do something useful, e.g., mine the asteroids. Besides, any serious mining of the asteroids would crash the rare metals industry, destroying the wealth of a whole lot of very influential people; so you know *that* isn't going to happen any time soon even if we did have the technology.

      There's been a viable plan to establish permanent space stations, a large moon base, and at the same time solve Earth's reliance on limited fuel sources since the '70's: the 'High Frontier' proposition, put forth by O'Neill. But no one in government cared since the payoff was so very far in the future (certainly beyond the next election), and anyways - it threatened the energy cartels. It might have been a win-win for the average Joe (or the children of the average Joe), but it's lose-lose for politicians and their flunkies.

      If you want any sort of real space program it'll have to be by private interests who go into space because they see a way to make a buck, and learn the things that they do because it's necessary if they want to make the buck more efficiently (or at all). It'll begin with short suborbital rides for the wealthy, followed by longer orbital rides, then a space station designed for tourism, then a moonbase that does the same thing and perhaps gets into the mining gig as well, followed by some wealthy loon sending out a factory ship to the asteroid belt looking for a big, fat lucky strike, and so on.

      Private industry will lead the way because although it defies long-standing liberal claims, private industry has more interest in long-term investment and wild long-shots than government does. Government policies are dictated by 2-year spans for representatives (actually one year, since the second is consumed by re-election), 4-year spans for Presidents (actually two years, for the same reason), and 6-year spans for senators (actually four years). With this sort of cycle and considering that their are only two monolithic parties who work based on the shortest of these terms in their eternal struggle with one another, government can never be anything but short-sighted and completely uninterested in anything that extends beyond the next crop of elections. And they sure as shit aren't interested in long-shots of any kind; the high risk of failure wouldn't be tolerated by either party.

      Max

      --
      My god carries a hammer. Your god died nailed to a tree. Any questions?
    35. Re:grow a pair by Pometacom · · Score: 1

      "Getting a permanent colony on Mars would be priceless. It would teach us a lot about ourselves and our society, compell innovation and give people who hunger for a frontier a place to go, and there are always people hungry for a frontier." Mission Control, I'm now standing on Mars. It looks just like all those pictures the rovers sent back. I'm now digging into the Martian soil. It looks just like the soil the rovers dug into. I'm now launching the organic chemistry analysis device. I'm getting the same results the devices on the rovers got. Boy I miss my wife.

  4. Rules of Shuttle Flight by ettlz · · Score: 5, Funny
    1. Do not ignore the engineers.
    2. Do not ignore the engineers.
    3. Do not open the windows.

    Ignoring engineers hasn't got the Shuttle very far in the past. From the Challenger Wikipedia article:

    [Feynman] was so critical of flaws in NASA's "safety culture" that he threatened to not sign off on the report unless it included his assessment, which appeared as Appendix F. He pointed to the discrepancy between management claiming a 1 in 100,000 chance of serious failure and the engineers claiming 1 in only 100, a risk one thousand times greater.
    1. Re:Rules of Shuttle Flight by kimvette · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You got it wrong. It's:

            1. cut funding
            2. ignore the engineers and launch anyhow
            3. blame the engineers when something goes wrong
            4. State the problem is not what even high-school dropouts suspect is the problem
            5. Ignore the engineers for weeks until it becomes patently obvious to even idiots that the problem engineers warned about and laypersons expected was the problem IS the problem

      --
      The Christian Right is Neither (Christian nor right). See: Matthew 23, Matthew 25, Ezekiel 16:48-50
    2. Re:Rules of Shuttle Flight by alshithead · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You forgot... 6. Have Congress rape NASA's budget further by requiring earmarks for their favorite local pet projects having any kind of a "space" theme.

      --
      I reserve the right to think for myself. Others' opinions are optional. Puppy on lap = typos...not illiteracy.
    3. Re:Rules of Shuttle Flight by stratjakt · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The nay-sayers here aren't engineers, they're beurocrats.

      They may have once been engineers, in a former life, but once you get that cushy government paycheck, your job becomes "not being held accountable for stuff".

      It's no accident that "the lead engineer and top safety official are against launching".

      BTW, it may seem I've contradicted myself, but "lead engineer" doesn't imply any actual engineering any more than "software project lead" implies that the guy could cobble together a four-line vb script.

      They aren't against the launch, they just voiced some concerns, so when it blows up, and people come to them with questions, they can say "see! see! somebody elses fault".

      Like everything else that goes wrong in America, if there's an accident, it will all somehow be Bush's fault. After all, the guy didn't even prevent Hurricane Katrina from hitting New Orleans, the rat bastard! (Not only that, he hasn't even announced a comprehensive plan to prevent hurricanes from hitting the coast again!)

      --
      I don't need no instructions to know how to rock!!!!
    4. Re:Rules of Shuttle Flight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well yes and no, in the past we have not had the ability to sustain the crew for very long in space. Acording to the press confrence they held the crew can last for about 80 days aboard the ISS. With the added help of russian modules / another shuttle mission within that timeframe it is possible to rescue people from space. So the shuttle may not be 100% safe to fly up and land on its own, but with the photos the ISS can capture and the scanning of the surfaces they will do, it is extremly unlikley that any problem will be missed. If there is a problem then the ISS can cary the crew of the shuttle until there can be a rescue opperation, Hence making it safe enough to fly. Going into space is dangerous, but with the shuttle it is now less dangerous than the 115 other shuttle flights which have 99% of the time gone without major incident.

    5. Re:Rules of Shuttle Flight by Gary+W.+Longsine · · Score: 2, Insightful

      7. Employ a keen sense of irony by killing any R&D programs that might lead to affordable, reliable, and frequent access to space before they produce results, using the excuse that the research and development programs have run over-budget. Ignore the fact that the greatest budget over-runs occur in the operational Space Shuttle program. Hope nobody notices that a viable alternative might threaten continued funding of the Shuttle program. See X-33, DC-X, et. al.

      --
      If you mod me down, I shall become more powerful than you could possibly imagine.
    6. Re:Rules of Shuttle Flight by timeOday · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Are engineers on the line for effectiveness, or just safety? If safety is the only consideration, the obvious course of action is never to fly.

    7. Re:Rules of Shuttle Flight by powers_722 · · Score: 1

      Wrong again, it's:

      1. cut funding
      2. ignore the engineers and launch anyhow
      3. blame the engineers when something goes wrong
      4. State the problem is not what even high-school dropouts suspect is the problem
      5. Ignore the engineers for weeks until it becomes patently obvious to even idiots that the problem engineers warned about and laypersons expected was the problem IS the problem
      6. Profit???

    8. Re:Rules of Shuttle Flight by advocate_one · · Score: 1
      BTW, it may seem I've contradicted myself, but "lead engineer" doesn't imply any actual engineering any more than "software project lead" implies that the guy could cobble together a four-line vb script.

      bolloxs... a "Lead Engineer" signs off on the design or project being up to spec... he's the one who carries the can if he's wrong, so he's the one who should be kicking up a stink if he gets overridden by senior management and should kick the paperwork up to them for them to sign off on.

      Look up the responsibilities of Chartered Engineers someday... you'll be scared at just how much responsibility they carry on their signatures. I suspect you've never really had true responsibility.

      --
      Donald 'Duck' Dunn: We had a band powerful enough to turn goat piss into gasoline.
    9. Re:Rules of Shuttle Flight by kimvette · · Score: 1

      I agree with you, but only providing it's more specific:

      6. $$$Profit$$$ earned by government officials pet contractor$.

      --
      The Christian Right is Neither (Christian nor right). See: Matthew 23, Matthew 25, Ezekiel 16:48-50
    10. Re:Rules of Shuttle Flight by What+me+a+Coward · · Score: 1

      Uhm

        6 should actually be Problem what problem?
        7 Profit???
        8 pretend their was no profit and put it into your Camon island account.
        9 after your forced to retire for items 1-6 live off the profits from 7 & 8
        10 laugh at all the suckers in the US from your nice island resort.

          Ok so maybe the last couple don't really happen but they sounded good so I threw em in.

      --
      Coward? Coward! Thems fighten words!!
  5. sweet by M0b1u5 · · Score: 3, Funny

    Good. About friking time I had a new wallpaper for my 3840 x 1024 desktop.
    Each time the shuttle goes to the ISS I get new wallpaper.
    That might be just about the best thing to come out of the ISS program. *sigh*

    --
    How many escape pods are there? "NONE,SIR!" You counted them? "TWICE, SIR!"
    1. Re:sweet by Radish03 · · Score: 1

      What wallpapers are these?

  6. A somewhat less alarmist version of the story: by HardCase · · Score: 4, Informative

    From space.com:

    Two senior NASA managers - chief engineer Chris Scolese and Bryan O'Conner, the associate administrator of Safety and Mission Assurance - did have concerns over the potential risk of foam debris posed by a number of insulated ice frost ramps along Discovery's external tank, NASA officials said.

    About 34 foam-covered ice frost ramps line the shuttle fuel tank, insulating brackets that connect a cable tray and pressurization line.

    "From their particular discipline, they felt they wanted their statement to be No-Go," William Gerstenmaier, NASA's associate administrator for space operations said. "But they do not object to us flying and they understand the reasons and the rationale that we laid out in the review for flight."

    1. Re:A somewhat less alarmist version of the story: by Beryllium+Sphere(tm) · · Score: 2, Interesting

      >"From their particular discipline, they felt they wanted their statement to be No-Go," William Gerstenmaier, NASA's associate administrator for space operations said. "But they do not object to us flying and they understand the reasons and the rationale that we laid out in the review for flight."

      Can anyone understand this?

      How can "No-Go" and "do not object to us flying" possibly be true at the same time?

    2. Re:A somewhat less alarmist version of the story: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Doublespeak.

    3. Re:A somewhat less alarmist version of the story: by HardCase · · Score: 1

      On the off chance that you're not just being sarcastic, it seems pretty clear to me. The two engineering managers initially wanted to say "no-go", but after reviewing the case that the rest of the management team (and don't fool yourself - the two "engineers" are most definitely managers) presented, they decided to drop their objections.

      Maybe it's good, maybe it's bad, but it's not indecipherable.

      -h-

    4. Re:A somewhat less alarmist version of the story: by What+me+a+Coward · · Score: 1

      Translation :

          It's a repeate of the norton thyocall O-ring objections that were withdrawn after the heads of Nasa threatened them down which ended up leading to the challenger accident.

        It seems some people never learn.

      --
      Coward? Coward! Thems fighten words!!
  7. Good! by stratjakt · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Glad to know there's someone with a set of balls at NASA.

    If we wait for everything to be 100% iron-clad safe, we'll never leave this rock.

    There's always going to be a nay-sayer somewhere up the chain. Beurocrats get so uptight about their jobs that that they'd never greenlight anything, for fear of being accountable for something (feds are 100% allergic to accountability, anyone who's ever worked a government contract will know this).

    Godspeed and have some fun up there.

    --
    I don't need no instructions to know how to rock!!!!
    1. Re:Good! by fermion · · Score: 1
      It is tempting to simplify the issue, but here is the problem we have. In April of 1981, we once again launched people into space, albeit LEO, and everything was good. We had a theory that we made a great improvement with a reusable space craft that would have quick turn around. This not only might provide cost saving, but also opportunities for the common researchers, or even student, to have a greater access to the space environment. But there were two problems. The first, which was pretty quickly discovered, was that the space shuttle was not a resuable machine, but in fact many of the compnents were single use consumable, and had to at least be rebuilt. This decreased the shuttle's value.

      Second, was when challenger was destroyed. This event showed us that the shuttle were subject to catastophic disasters, and replacing them would be no small task. Though endevour was started with the orginal fleet, I do not believe it was fully funded until after the los of Challenger, and took five years to flight.

      At that time, money was desperately needed to build a new fleet of ships, without the problems of the Shuttle, namely the need to have human safety for cargo ships. It was clear that this was a problem, and that a new fleet would be needed, perhpas as early as 2000.

      That funding did not emerge, and then we lost Columbia. We are now down to fleet of three. The president wants the US to magically get a man to the moon and the mars, and NASA wants us to magically get build a new fleet of ships in 4-6 years. As far as I know there are no hard contracts for the building of the next generation ship. As far as I know we are stuck with the shuttle, mostly because money was not invested in space transport in the 80's.

      So, what we are taking about here is not naysayers and fear mongering. What we are saying here is that we have three ships and no replacements. We have a job to finish, the space station, using these three ships. We are not going to building anymore. We do not a replacement design on the horizon. And, from a practicle point of view, we are unlike going to conitnue flying shuttles after the next accident. The best hope we have is to stop flying shuttles soon before such an accident occurs.

      --
      "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
    2. Re:Good! by vtcodger · · Score: 1
      ***If we wait for everything to be 100% iron-clad safe, we'll never leave this rock.***

      On the contrary, if we keep on wasting shuttles and crews on silly, pointless missions, I expect that humanity won't get off this rock for centuries.

      If, on the other hand, we focus on getting as much information about the universe as possible as cheaply as possible. We'll probably find in maybe five decades, that space technology has progressed enough that we can actually afford a manned space program.

      Personally after three and a half decades of shuttle and space station whackiness, I no longer much care about humans in space. IMO, we're wasting money, and time, not learning as much as we could for each dollar spent, and are most likely going nowhere.

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    3. Re:Good! by Beryllium+Sphere(tm) · · Score: 1

      >Glad to know there's someone with a set of balls at NASA.

      There is nothing manly about chanting "LA LA LA, I CAN'T HEAR YOU!" when an engineer advises you on an engineering issue.

      There is nothing manly about neglect of duty.

      There is nothing manly about killing people for no good reason. Exploration is a good reason. Sweeping issues under the carpet is not.

  8. Chemical rocketry is lame by danratherfoe · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    It is not clear why we still need the shuttle at this point. The shuttle is really not a tool for manned exploration of space because all it does is orbit, and its continuing scientific contributions are dubious, as well. Most if not all of the missions that the shuttle is used for could be accomplished by robots (with the exception of repair missions such as Hubble and the missions where the objective is to "determine the effect of weightlessness on the human body"). I think we should just scrap the shuttle at get to work on real technologies such as field propulsion that will get people excited about the space program again. If we stop wasting money on shuttle missions, maybe we won't be stuck with this stone-age chemical rocketry for another 50 years.

    1. Re:Chemical rocketry is lame by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      "field propulsion". What a careful troll.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    2. Re:Chemical rocketry is lame by maxume · · Score: 1

      Have you noticed some exploitable physical phenomenon that no one else has happened upon? Or do you just think that wishing hard enough will do the trick?

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    3. Re:Chemical rocketry is lame by maxume · · Score: 2, Funny

      Having a plan to harvest the awesome flying monkey energy promised to you by everybody who ever answered you with "when monkeys fly out my butt" won't actually cause the monkeys to fly...

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
  9. Re:Maybe this shuttle will blow-up in NASA's faces by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The shills shrill yet again. Hopefully you will be arrested, tried, and executed for high treason.

  10. Finally! by 99luftballon · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The ISS project is dying on it's backside without the shuttle and we need the fleet to get operational as soon as possible. Yes, there is danger but there always will be with space travel. The astronauts know this and accept it and if they want to step down there are plenty more qualified people eager for the chance. But these issues highlight a larger problem. We need a new space vehicle - the space shuttle was always a pale shadow of what it could have been. If we are to get the ISS functioning properly and go onwards to the Moon we'll need either a much heavier lifting platform or a totally new way of getting into orbit.

    1. Re:Finally! by demachina · · Score: 3, Interesting

      "The ISS project is dying on it's backside without the shuttle"

      What exactly is it the ISS is doing that makes it worth keeping alive, especially when its diverting billions of dollars from all those new things you list, so they mostly aren't happening?

      Whenever people start lobbying in favor of the ISS I generally ask what has the ISS done that justifies the price tag, the zero G physiology research simply doesn't. The Russians did far more for far less on Mir, and still today the gist of it seems to be intensive exercise helps fight the effects of zero G. Not sure that really justifies a $100 billion price tag. I'm sure you can dig up some esoteric research done on the ISS but I assure you, you could could have gotten far better research spending the $100 billion elsewhere.

      Someone also always says its crucial practice for taking the next step. With this I guess I can agree, it has been an invaluable lesson in how not to run a large space project.

      --
      @de_machina
    2. Re:Finally! by maxume · · Score: 1

      "it has been an invaluable lesson in how not to run a large space project."

      Governmentally?

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    3. Re:Finally! by Ksevio · · Score: 1

      Yeah that $100 billion could go to a few more months in Iraq!

    4. Re:Finally! by demachina · · Score: 1

      As I said elsewhere most stupid wastage of money pales in comparison to Iraq, but when you have a finite amount of money to spend on research and development, whether it be in space or elsewhere, squandering over a hundred billion on a space station that doesn't do anything isn't really good either. Its not good to have to weigh which place your tax dollars is less stupid.

      About the only thing Shuttle and ISS have done is keep on life support a manned aerospace industry and kept a small cadre of aerospace engineers employed, but its been such a waste of a life its not really drawing many new and promising people to aerospace. It was vividly illustrated that was the goal of the program when the U.S. hired Russia's aerospace engineers to keep them employed and out of trouble, though in fact they had real space station experience and their Mir derived designs are the core of the ISS.

      I've often pondered what NASA would be like if the people there were given a subsistence base salary and really big incentives when they launch on or ahead of schedule, and accomplish their missions. When their are catastrophic failures there is a serious price to pay. I think NASA needs something like stock options in a startup so they have a motivation to succeed. The problem with the civil service is the pay is the same whether you succeed or not. During Apollo NASA was young and the people were driven to succeed because they were doing something amazing and that had never been done, so they didn't need motivators. Today they are doing nothing that hasn't been done before, and they have no real motivation to succeed which is why they fail.

      --
      @de_machina
    5. Re:Finally! by i41 · · Score: 1

      On a six month trip to Mars the crew will be almost completely on their own. We need a place to train the astronauts and test equipment and procedures. To put one example, has anyone ever attempted surgery in microgravity?

    6. Re:Finally! by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      I'll grant you that the ISS is currently doing little but floating around the Earth sucking money.

      I'm not a member of NASA. I don't work in the space industry. So I'm not privy to any plans about ISS. That said, where I see ISS is as a "platform" for space research. Yes, the kind of research where someone says, "Can a cat ever cope with zero-G?"

      Suppose someone wants to send a cat into space to study the effect of zero-G on a cat's nervous system. Actually, let's make it more entertaining--send a pregnant cat up and see what effect zero-G has on the kittens born in space. Leave them up there for about a year, so the kittens will grow up, then bring them back and see how they cope with gravity. What would they have to do? Okay, they'd have to design some sort of capsule for the cat and kittens to live in, with appropriate amounts of food and water and automated systems to feed the cats, regulate air, etc. They'd need some kind of communication system to monitor the cats. They'd have to come up with some way for the cats to come home to study them further, so they'll need a heat shield and automated re-entry systems. Or, they could send the cat up in a Progress drone--subsidized by the government--with cans of off-the-shelf catfood. The "support systems"--food, water, air, communication are all subsidized by the government and other experiments. Which do you think would be cheaper?

      Of course, you can say, "Who cares about whether cats or kittens can ever cope with zero-G? That's esoteric research!" I'll agree. I know that whether cats and kittens can cope with zero-G has no effect on my life. But I'd point out that landing a probe on Titan has no effect on my life, either. There's lots of esoteric trivia that was learned about Titan when we did it.

      Landing a probe on Titan is a lot cooler than sending a cat to the ISS. It was pretty cool to see the camera view from Huygens as it fell through the atmosphere. Heck, I just watched it again last night. Neat stuff. But is the research somehow more valuable? Did any exciting new technologies have to be developed to land a probe on Titan--technologies that will change the way we live or work or even send new probes to other places? Nope.

      That's one place where I take exception with what you said. You seem to feel that the experiments performed on the ISS are of interest to only a few. You're right. But that doesn't mean we shouldn't fund them. Consider the Apollo program. We made it to the moon! Huzzah for mankind and the good ol' U.S. of A! But after we did it? Then they started doing boring old experiments and research and things like that and most of us lost interest. We learned alot more about the moon from Apollos 12-17 than we did from Apollo 11. But it was pretty esoteric stuff--nobody but geologists really cared. So by your reasoning, we shouldn't have bothered spending the money on 12-17. We should have just funded it until we got to the moon and then said, "Okay! On to Mars!"

      There was an old line I remember hearing about the US space program--"No bucks if there's no Buck Rogers" (As an aside, I've read "Buck Rogers" and it has nothing to do with space). You're right--it's tough to make flame research interesting to all but a few people. But that doesn't mean we shouldn't be doing it.

    7. Re:Finally! by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      The actual point of the ISS was to enable countries other than Russia to get experience of running longterm occupation experiments and facilities. Only Russia really had experience of longterm occupations (talking months here, even years), the US only had short term spaceflight experience.

    8. Re:Finally! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The ISS project is dying on it's backside

      "its".

    9. Re:Finally! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      especially when its diverting billions of dollars

      "it's".

    10. Re:Finally! by 99luftballon · · Score: 1

      I know, I know. Spotted it too late. My bad.

    11. Re:Finally! by demachina · · Score: 1

      "We need a place to train the astronauts and test equipment and procedures."

      Granted there are some useful things being done on ISS in this regard, none justify the price tag. ISS just isn't that great a place to practice for the trip to Mars or once you get there, neither is the Moon.

      If you build a real prototype of the Mars vehicle and put it in an orbit where it has the same radiation issues, and has no resupply from Earth, etc I could see the value.

      One thing about ISS that totally doesn't work for Mars is the dependence on ground control from Earth and on nearly instantaneous communication.

      ISS is all practice, no do.

      "To put one example, has anyone ever attempted surgery in microgravity?"

      I seriously doubt you are going to be afforded the luxury of a functional hospital on a ship where space is at a premium, and I really doubt the odds would justify it. You would instead be thoroughly screening the astronauts before they go, and taking basic precautions like making them all get their appendix out. I could see maybe taking a doctor and having emergency facilities to deal with burns, cuts and broken bones. I can't see you doing heart surgery or cancer treatment in space. Yes you would need to get a hospital established on Mars as soon as you could manage it but that isn't zero G and I doubt medicine would be very different except for the extreme constraints on medical supplies.

      --
      @de_machina
    12. Re:Finally! by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      Whenever people start lobbying in favor of the ISS I generally ask what has the ISS done that justifies the price tag

       
      Whenever I see a statement like this; I generally ask 'what kind of idiot expects anything from an facility which is under construction'.
    13. Re:Finally! by demachina · · Score: 1

      Spending a hundred billion to play with cats is why the public has no appreciation for the space program beyond launch, landing and disaster. You see that hundred plus billion in tax dollars is our money they are spending. It is our right to expect them to do something worthwhile with it, esoteric research with no practical application is not that. Zero G research which is only of value if they push on the next step is not that and many people will doubt they can manage the next step.

      When Apollo started America was a rich nation flush with post World War II economic success because the U.S. was one of the few not destroyed in World War II. The U.S. could afford a grand stunt like Apollo and the spinoffs did make it worthwhile. There aren't many spin offs any more and the U.S. is the world's biggest debtor nation now. We can't afford Iraq, and we sure can't afford a couple billion to play with cats. Either NASA comes up with a mission that matters or they should probably pack it in. The return to the Moon is borderline because the Moon is a barren, boring place which is why we got bored with it last time.

      -- Ed

      --
      @de_machina
    14. Re:Finally! by What+me+a+Coward · · Score: 1

      >The actual point of the ISS was to enable countries other than Russia to get experience of running longterm occupation experiments.

          I thought the whole point of the cold war was to stop russia and keep other countries from getting the experience of running long term occupation experiments?

          Ok bad joke but it was all i could think of when i saw that line. :D

      --
      Coward? Coward! Thems fighten words!!
  11. Re:Maybe this shuttle will blow-up in NASA's faces by rolyatknarf · · Score: 1

    Not even good enough to rate as flame bait. How terribly boring your life must be.

  12. Indirect investment in ISS, Management Decisions by NevarMore · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Spending money on the ISS is a good thing. If it has to get the funding and upgrades it needs as 'plan B' so be it, it's still funding.

    Time and time again NASA illustrates the things that can go perfectly right and horribly wrong when engineers and pioneers are held accountable to politicians via managers/beauracrats.

    Sometimes it works. Kennedy told them to put a man on the moon, and they did it. They were tasked in the 70's with making a reusable spacecraft, they did pretty good for a first project, especially getting it to last damn near 30 years. Then in the 80's they were tasked with long term space visits, had some help with that, but got it done still.

    Now the managers are no longer managing but worrying about political decisions. Without good management the actual work stalls as the geeks don't know what to work and jump ship.

    I'm torn as to how to resolve this. I don't want public money going to private companies, nor do I want to see it squandered in a dinosaur of an organization.

    At the very least acknowledge that NASA has some issues and see what we can do to ease any restrictions against private companies moving into orbit and sharing with them research that was done with public money at NASA.

  13. The Space Shuttle or STS will never by safe by vgmtech · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The failure rates are like 1 to 75-100 compared to the Project Constellation 1 to 2000.

    The main reasons that killed the shuttle was safely, costs, lost of life and other payload rockets like the Ariane, Atlas and so on. I think a few years from now SpaceX will have most control over payload rockets.

    1. Re:The Space Shuttle or STS will never by safe by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Informative

      While I suspect that SpaceX may have small payload rockets, it will probably be quite sometime before they have something as big as the cargo part of constellation.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    2. Re:The Space Shuttle or STS will never by safe by seriv · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I would not believe the prediction that the project constellation has a failure rate of 1 in 2000. NASA made all sorts of claims about the shuttle that it did not come close to meeting. Everyone wants a safe and cheap rocket, but it is not realistic. Manned or unmanned, rockets are unsafe. For what NASA does, NASA has a fairly good safety record. We need to change our expectations and realize how daring astronauts are.

  14. Re:Damn them, indeed! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just like your spelling!

  15. ifwm/flyinwhitey by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I thought that you left /.? Apparently not.

  16. Re:Indirect investment in ISS, Management Decision by sunspot42 · · Score: 4, Insightful


    Spending money on the ISS is a good thing.

    Why? The ISS is going to cost US taxpayers in excess of $100 billion, to boldly sit where Skylab has sat before. Since we don't currently have a reliable manned booster to rotate crew on and off the station (having trashed the working, reliable, relatively inexpensive and more powerful Apollo launcher for the unreliable, outrageously expensive Shuttles), or a reliable means of emergency escape, the ISS is limited to 3 crewmembers on a longterm basis. That's barely enough staff to keep the station running, which means there's virtually no science taking place aboard the station.

    I say abandon the ISS now, along with the Shuttles, and divert those tens of billions of dollars into designing and building a state-of-the-art launcher utilizing the lessons learned from the successful Apollo program and those parts of the Shuttle program (such as the engines) which have proven worthwhile. Or spend that money on researching and developing tech which could dramatically lower the cost of access to space, such as carbon nanotube structures or new propulsion technologies. Either would be a far better use of taxpayer money than the useless ISS or the expensive, unreliable Shuttle, which I believe are now up to a billion dollars a launch, making them the most expensive launcher ever by a wide margin. We could launch fleets of astronauts into space aboard Russia's safer Soyuz booster for the price of a single Shuttle launch. Like the ISS, the Shuttle is a crippled dog and needs to be put out of its (and our) misery.

  17. Re:Damn them, indeed! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    joke

    o -- your head
    + /\

  18. Make the managers ride along by Harmonious+Botch · · Score: 1

    "Managers want to make only one major change at a time, and plan that if damage does occur, the crew would be..." uh, yeah, the crew would the people who thought that launching was a good idea.

    1. Re:Make the managers ride along by interiot · · Score: 1

      Only if the flight crew are the ones paying for the ground crew to sit on their thumbs while the shuttle continues to go through R&D.

  19. Bad! by Gary+W.+Longsine · · Score: 4, Informative

    It's not a question of hormones. NASA is willing to take risks. NASA management however has a skewed understanding of their incentive, which results in the wrong things for the wrong reasons. We have built a system which costs dramatically more to fly than the nation is willing to spend. It costs so much to fly that we have reduced our expectations and plans over and over and over to fit within the flight budget, even as monies are re-allocated from doing stuff to flying the Shuttle. This silliness must stop.

    Every time the Shuttle flies, we fall about six months further behind where we could be. We still have not started to think about replacing it with a system that will deliver reliable, inexpensive and frequent access to space. The capsule replacement on the drawing board won't be inexpensive and it won't fly frequently. It's a stop-gap measure to provide access to the International Space Station, assuming the Shuttle can fly without disaster something like 18 more times to finish the construction. That is definitely not certain. The loss of only one more orbiter -- even in a ground accident as has nearly happened -- will make it all but impossible to finish construction of the ISS.

    If you think human and other activity in space is important then you should be in favor of immediate cancellation of the Shuttle program. I don't know what sort of wake-up call that Congress and NASA need to get the hint, but we really need to start working on a next generation system right now.

    --
    If you mod me down, I shall become more powerful than you could possibly imagine.
    1. Re:Bad! by stratjakt · · Score: 4, Interesting

      we really need to start working on a next generation system right now

      We are, and quoth that article: "The winning concept will be chosen in 2008, and the manned vehicle flown in 2014."

      But, in the meantime, the Shuttle is all we got, and we should use it, rather than waiting until 2014 to go back up into space.

      What if Lewis and Clark waited for the railroad to be built before heading West because canoes and horses were too risky?

      --
      I don't need no instructions to know how to rock!!!!
    2. Re:Bad! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What if Lewis and Clark waited for the railroad to be built before heading West because canoes and horses were too risky?

      Beats me. Maybe less Indians would be driven off their land?

      Way to show what too much testosterone can do...

      What we need is braaaaaiiinnnsss.... ;)

    3. Re:Bad! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can you just image Lewis riding off on a horse and then BOOM the frickin horse explodes? I would think that horses are slightly more stable to ride on then a space shuttle...

  20. Kill it now. by Gary+W.+Longsine · · Score: 4, Insightful

    They got the Shuttle to last nearly 30 years by flying it dramatically less often than planned, and spending dramatically more than planned to fly it at all. Reliable, frequent, and affordable access to space can only happen by euthanizing the Shuttle program.

    --
    If you mod me down, I shall become more powerful than you could possibly imagine.
  21. eject by pizpot · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Maybe a small cockpit, in a capsule that could eject would be smart.

    1. Re:eject by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sir,

      As Chief Engineer for Space Missions, I invite you to send a résumé to jobs@nasa.gov for review by our staff.
      After a couple routine checks, you'll be joining the NASA Space Team as Idea Maker, replacing retiring Jonathan P. Wilson.
      You can start next monday.

      Congratulations and welcome on board.

      Philip W. Tierson, Chief Engineer for Space Missions At NASA.

    2. Re:eject by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dang it.
      I knew I should have posted my idea that the engineers just design the shuttles not to explode.

  22. Your sig. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    While that used to be true, It seems like more and more the party is being neo-coned. As if it was not bad enough that they have hijacked the republicans, now they seem to want to control libertarians as well.

  23. Re:Indirect investment in ISS, Management Decision by solitas · · Score: 1
    ...to boldly sit where Skylab has sat before

    I like that!

    --
    "It's time to take life by the cans." ~ Bender ("Bendin' in the Wind", ep. 3-13)
  24. What's the Problem Lately? by Hercules+Peanut · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I'm sure I'll get slammed for this but, well who cares. I remember watching the first shuttles go up. It seemed like we flew a lot of shuttle missions without any problems (sans Challenger, I know BIG PROBLEM). The point is that it seems like problems are far more common now with all of the new tech and more importantly lessons learned than in the old days.

    What's happened? Did we redesign something? Are they so old that the parts are wearing out and we can't replace them as well as we built them to begin with? Are we just publicizing problems more now than we used to? I haven't seen anything to tell me why it seems we can't launch a shuttle without something faling off when the old ones flew without a publicized hitch.

    Anyone?

    1. Re:What's the Problem Lately? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      It's very simple: ignorance is bliss.

      The early shuttle flights had all of the problems of the later flights. A large number of flights came close to the catastrophic failure of Challenger. In fact, the engineers knew it was going on, told management that there was risk of the thing blowing up if the weather was too cold, and management ignored them. Then one day the weather was too cold and they launched anyway and it blew up.

      Likewise the ice problem has been there since day one. But nobody realized it was enough to kill the ship (or possibly, the people who did think so never figured out a way to prove it to their boss) until one of them actually did get killed by it.

      The simple fact is that the risks they're protecting against now just aren't that great. The shuttle currently has a historical accident rate of about 1 flight in 60, with two accidents over 100+ launches. The fixes that are going in now are supposed to mitigate known causes for accident #2 (#1's problem were considerably simpler to fix and have not been an issue since) after the original fixes were shown to be inadequate during the first post-accident flight.

      The shuttle seemed safer before because we didn't know about these particular problems, even though they still existed. This is much like why people get scared of planes but they have no fear during the car ride to the airport, even though they probably have ten times the chance of dying during that phase of their trip as they do on the airplane.

    2. Re:What's the Problem Lately? by dinther · · Score: 1

      I recon mankind simply got scared. Scared to take risks, scared for men in beards waving guns, scared to be wrong. As a result we duck and dive. Were is the pioneering spirit. The "Can do" attitude. If I look at the posts there are a lot of people that already blame management if the mission goes wrong while praising the technology when it goes right.

      Space flight is dangerous! So get over it. The astronouts know what they are getting into, their families know so if one goes poof then let's study it and try again. That is how they got to the moon, That is how they build the Empire state building and twin towers. Man has been capable of great things but our generation simply sucks, were bean counters, scared and lack vision and drive.

      For god sake, if we would put our mind to it we could be oil independent in a matter of years. But we won't will we, were scared of the consequences, scared of the shareholders, scared to fail so we do....

      NOTHING.

    3. Re:What's the Problem Lately? by tftp · · Score: 3, Insightful
      What's happened? Did we redesign something?

      Yes. Most of Shuttle's electronics had been upgraded, probably more than once.

      Are they so old that the parts are wearing out and we can't replace them as well as we built them to begin with?

      Yes. It was reported many times that they found cracks in these cryogenic tubes, in those control wires, in that RSS panel, and so on. That is on top of regularly scheduled replacement of parts. Some of these parts can not be made exactly as they were made 30 years ago. Metals and alloys changed, CNC mills changed, cooling oil for those mills changed, milling bits' material changed - and all that can affect everything. Worse with electronic parts - you can't buy today many components that were mainstream 5 years ago - they are not made any more, fabs ripped apart and upgraded to new technology. So you need that old i80186 silicon rev B2 ? Tough luck.

      Are we just publicizing problems more now than we used to?

      Probably so. NASA top echelons graduated from engineering to politics, and when an engineer would be searching for a technical solution these folks are searching for a PR solution, as if one can talk a machine into not failing.

    4. Re:What's the Problem Lately? by roystgnr · · Score: 1

      What's happened? Did we redesign something? Are they so old that the parts are wearing out and we can't replace them as well as we built them to begin with? Are we just publicizing problems more now than we used to? I haven't seen anything to tell me why it seems we can't launch a shuttle without something faling off when the old ones flew without a publicized hitch.

      What happened is that we realized what the real risks are. There are several failure scenarios which we had irrationally hoped were one-in-a-hundred-thousand events, but which we have been forced to admit are more like one-in-a-hundred events. Generally what forced the admission was when some unlucky Shuttle crew became the one-in-a-hundred.

      Stuff fell off the Shuttles from the very first launches. It was never a serious problem until Columbia, partly because it's unlikely for any falling foam to do major damage, and mostly because we were lucky enough that "unlikely" didn't happen for a hundred flights. For that matter, the O rings on the SRBs eroded many times in the earliest Shuttle flights. It just wasn't until Challenger that one eroded badly enough for gas to break through and start tearing the thing apart.

      Back when we thought that these sorts of things were unlikely to blow up a shuttle, we ignored the problems and flew anyway. We could probably continue ignoring problems and flying anyway, but we'd probably continue losing a Shuttle or two in every hundred flights. That's more risk than NASA is willing to accept.

      It has nothing to do with "the old days" vs. "new tech". The Shuttles we're flying today were all built decades ago, and despite a few upgrades here and there, they're basically the same 1970s era technology designed to fit 1970s political compromises.

    5. Re:What's the Problem Lately? by Elrond,+Duke+of+URL · · Score: 2, Informative
      Likewise the ice problem has been there since day one. But nobody realized it was enough to kill the ship (or possibly, the people who did think so never figured out a way to prove it to until one of them actually did get killed by it.

      It's probably more accurate to say that the public's ignorance is bliss. Only the public has been, by and large, ignorant of these problems. The engineers knew about all of them right away and made sure to inform management who then did little.

      I just finished reading Mike Mullane's book "Riding Rockets." I highly recommend it to anybody interested in NASA and the shuttle program. His account of his career as an astronaut paints NASA as a far more enjoyable and human organization while at the same time not avoiding the harder issues like the terrible management and disasters like Challanger.

      On Mullane's first flight (something like the 15th shuttle flight, I think) mission control saw a large piece of the foam come off and strike the orbiter. That flight had the robot arm installed so they used it to inspect the damage. To the crew the damage looked very bad, but mission control said, repeatedly, not to worry about it. Upon landing they looked at the underside of the orbiter where the foam had hit. The damage was, in fact, very bad. It was the worst tile damage until that which did in Columbia. Mission control later said that the quality of the downlink video from the robot arm was not very good, so to them the damage did not seem as extensive.

      None of the problems which led to the loss of either Challanger or Columbia were new or unknown. Engineers had seen them, had been worried about them, and attempted to make a case to management. But, as Mullane describes it, management took the view that if damage this bad had not caused a shuttle loss, then having it happen again was an acceptable risk. And we all know how the story turns out.

      --
      Elrond, Duke of URL
      "This is the most fun I've had without being drenched in the blood of my enemies!"-Sam&Max
    6. Re:What's the Problem Lately? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But, as Mullane describes it, management took the view that if damage this bad had not caused a shuttle loss, then having it happen again was an acceptable risk.

      I hadn't heard that story but it sounds amazingly like what happened with Challenger. As the problem of O-ring erosion got worse and worse, the closer a flight got to disaster, the more management decided it wasn't a problem. After all, if the rings had come within a hair's breadth of burning through and the flight was still fine, how could there be a problem? It makes no sense, but that's how they thought, and if what you're saying is true then that's how they thought about all their problems. That level of incompetent thinking is just scary.

    7. Re:What's the Problem Lately? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I recon mankind simply got scared.

      Unless you mean the short form of reconnoitre, the word you're looking for is reckon.

    8. Re:What's the Problem Lately? by dinther · · Score: 1

      and you didn't pick up on my incorrect spelling of "astronouts". Come on mate surely you got better things to do. Go and find "News that matters"

  25. This ain't the NASA of the moonshot by Opportunist · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The moonshot was a "fuck money, whatever it takes to get there" project. They got the best people, the best equipment, priority funding and restrictions simply didn't exist. Success was paramount. Failure was no option, whatever the cost, no failure may happen, for this is a fight of ideology.

    Now, this changed big time. NASA gets the people it can afford, it gets the equipment the contractors that bid lowest and offer the best counter-contracts offer, they receive funding whenever something's left from the bomb budget and they have to deal with environmental restrictions and people complaining about the noise of their testing facilities.

    Space flight has turned from a prestige object into a business. It has to try to be profitable. Now, it is VERY hard to actually be directly profitable in manned space flight. The moonshot did boost economy and quickened development in many, military as well as civilian, areas, especially we, in the IT biz, would be far from where we're today without the space program.

    But today, everything, even science, has to be profitable. That's the big problem with the NASA today. They aren't "worse" than they were in the 60s, they don't slack or work more sluggish. It's just not space race time anymore.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    1. Re:This ain't the NASA of the moonshot by k_187 · · Score: 3, Funny

      which means the only solution is this: terrorists in space.

      --
      11 was a racehorse
      12 was 12
      1111 Race
      12112
    2. Re:This ain't the NASA of the moonshot by BiggerIsBetter · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That'll change as soon as China gets properly motivated. Once the Chinese land on the moon, the race will be on again.

      --
      Forget thrust, drag, lift and weight. Airplanes fly because of money.
  26. Re:Indirect investment in ISS, Management Decision by alshithead · · Score: 1

    The general, non-science following population needs to be able to see a tangible goal for each launch in order to make it seem worthwhile to them. Until we can provide them a better goal, resupplying and manning ISS is something they view as a goal.

    --
    I reserve the right to think for myself. Others' opinions are optional. Puppy on lap = typos...not illiteracy.
  27. Rollout Pictures by mikeboone · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I came across this site with images of the shuttle rollout to the launch pad. A few pages in are some panoramics as well. Whatever its technological flaws, the shuttle is pretty to look at. I wish everyone involved the best until we can get the shuttle's replacement off the ground!

  28. For christ's sake by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

    I would suggest you and all the other morons on here actually do some research instead of spouting off. The incidence of foam hitting the shuttle is extremely high and has occured since the beginning, if flights had continued at the same rate as they occured at the start of the shuttle program we would have had many more critical hits. If you don't believe me, ask NASA. Or better yet, read the emails and information that was available to the team members during the Columbia mission:

    http://harvardbusinessonline.hbsp.harvard.edu/b02/ en/common/item_detail.jhtml?id=305032

    This is the same damn problem they've had since the beginning--only they've continued to make changes without enough testing. The fact that they recently altered the foam is good cause to be even more cautious.

    And to the people denouncing the engineers and gov't workers and accountability on this thread, get a clue and pick on another agency. NASA -- the entire agency -- is highly accountable for failed missions from the top on down because it relies on image and public support. The higher ups are accountable to a congress that wants more frequent launches and toys with the budget and priorities--and has a short memory with regard to why we have such a moronic shuttle design. The engineers are doing their job, they did it during columbia, they did it during challenger. In both cases management failed and senior management was fired/retired/encouraged to leave. So spare me the covering-their-asses mentality.

    1. Re:For christ's sake by conJunk · · Score: 1
  29. First rule of Shuttle Flight Club by CrazyJim1 · · Score: 2, Funny

    You do not talk about Shuttle Flight Club.

  30. ice ramps by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Think the controversy has to do with the ice ramps on the side of the tank. They have seen some accumulation of ice on these ramps. Yet, these particular ramps have not caused a failure in the past. Given that there have already been changes I think management at nasa is reluctant to add more variables to the launch. The management looked at the historic probabilities over a hundred or so flights. Until more data is gathered on the ice ramps proving there is an issue, then change them.

    My problem is, I think there should be a skeleton crew on these test flights.

    Looking forward to seeing ISS completed and shuttle retired. On to the constellation program!

    By the way, ISS can have many uses. eg. researching how full a liquid fuel tank is in space. ( or any liquid tank ) There are numerous research possibilities -- just requires some imagination and real problems...

    Anyhow, if the shuttle does blow then its over for the shuttle. That is right from the administrators mouth.

  31. Re:Damn them, indeed! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So that explains NASA's recent troubles. (At least ScuttleMonkey isn't in the NSA.)

  32. What O/S does NASA use? by gravy.jones · · Score: 2, Funny

    If the next shuttle explodes then just blame it on their O/S.

    --
    Where's the 0xBEEF
    1. Re:What O/S does NASA use? by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      If the next shuttle explodes then just blame it on their O/S.

            Your digital rights have been revoked. Have a nice day. Ker-pow!

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    2. Re:What O/S does NASA use? by Neal+Saferstein · · Score: 1

      Os/2 :-( Neal Saferstein

  33. Re:Indirect investment in ISS, Management Decision by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    > Spending money on the ISS is a good thing

    No, it isn't. The ISS is worthless pork.

    > They were tasked in the 70's with making a reusable spacecraft, they did pretty good for a first project

    No, they didn't. They were tasked to make a spacecraft that could go into orbit every _week_, and they made one that goes into orbit every _year_. And it's not reusable; at best it's remanufacturable. An F-16 is reusable. An SR-71 is reusable. Spaceship-One is reusable. Anything that needs 100 hours of maintenance for every hour of operation isn't.

    The reason they were told to make it reusable was so that it would be _cheaper_, but they made something much much more expensive. That's abject failure, not success.

    > especially getting it to last damn near 30 years.

    No, they didn't. If I keep a car in the garage and only drive it once a year, of course it'll last 30 years. It would be impressive if they did what they promised: make a system you could frequently use for a long period. It doesn't fly enough to wear out - that's utter failure, not success.

    > Then in the 80's they were tasked with long term space visits, had some help with that, but got it done still.

    Something the Soviets did, better, safer, on a shoestring budget, a decade earlier. When you're a decade behind the clunkly old Soviet Union, makers of the Chernobyl reactor and the Lada Riva, that's total failure, not success.

    And when the hi-techiest agency in the hi-techiest country in the world has to DEPEND (it's not help, it's dependance) on the Jules Verne era Russian space program just so its astronauts can eat and drink and breathe, that's complete failure, not success.

    > I don't want public money going to private companies

    Private companies built the F-117 and the Sears Tower and the Internet. Private companies succeed because if they don't, they're destroyed. NASA fails because it's allowed to survive its failures.

    > At the very least acknowledge that NASA has some issues

    NASA is the issue. It should have been abolished in 1970. It's 36 years past its best-before date. Scrap it, scrap ISS, scrap STS, scrap the whole weird crypto-soviet command-economy model of US government space operation and go back to doing things the way Americans are really good at - open competition in a free market.

  34. they have pushed their luck enough by zogger · · Score: 5, Interesting

    ...a good possible use for the remaining shuttles is to launch them unmanned and somehow attach them to the ISS or park them near by for other uses. On the ground sitting still they are OK. Up in space floating around they are OK. The transition in and out of the atmosphere is where they *blow goats*, so do that one more time with no humans in them. As already-up-in-space vehicles and as work/living space they are fine,and they are already built and functional. I say move them to orbit one last time and never return them back down, haul some cargo up with the last launches of them but stop risking humans in them with launches and reentry nonsense. Comes a time to cut your potential losses. Just the savings over the next few years would do wonders for NASA's budgets and to help re-fund a lot of the unmanned satellite jazz they are dropping-because the shuttle sucks down most of their cash. Spend the time designing the next replacement vehicle, and let the Rooskies haul the folks back and forth, they got the rig that works for that.

    1. Re:they have pushed their luck enough by juancnuno · · Score: 1

      The "Rooskie" Buran shuttle had the ability to fly unmanned. The first and only orbital flight was unmanned.

    2. Re:they have pushed their luck enough by dbIII · · Score: 2, Insightful
      park them near by for other uses
      They need fuel to stay there - you can't "park" them in low earth orbit and expect them to stay there for long, and you can't get them to go any higher due to the same fuel problems. You could put a big tank full of fuel in the cargo bay and have that as payload with some sort of hack to feed that into the main tank - but they are not currently designed to stay up for long. I find the design of the thing hanging off the side of the launcher really bizzare in the first place - think of the bending moment alone before you even think about flight stability getting up through the atmosphere. The USSR approach of bundling rockets together like pencils held together by a rubber band and putting the payload on top makes more sense mechanicly than attaching a big heavy object to the side of your launcher - the major part of the shuttle design appears to be a nasty hack put in when the project goals shifted from looking at it's history.

      I suppose the answer is to let rocket scientists design the next one and not a committee of politicians. The committee should be there to say - "it should get this high, carry this much, we want it in ten years plus whatever, and we don't want it to cost more than this amount if you can help it" then go away. None of this garbage micromanagement of insisting that different parts get built in different areas for the purpose of generating votes which resulted in a design change that killed people - the proirity should not be votes for the party that dominates to committee but building a working vehicle.

    3. Re:they have pushed their luck enough by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      The shuttle crew compartments are actually really tiny. As living space the shuttle is pretty useless.

      I like your water etc plan, but if you're just going to launch cargo into space it'd be cheaper to use Arianes or other bulk launch vehicles, especially since water or photovoltaic panels won't have any trouble with the accelerations. The shuttles are cool, but science and space exploration would both be better served by selling them to theme parks :(

  35. CEV is only a stop-gap by Gary+W.+Longsine · · Score: 1

    The CEV is not intended to bring a serious reduction in the cost of access to space. It will probably be less expensive to fly than the current Shuttle, and it might be possible to fly it as often as a couple times a month if needed, but it is not a next-generation space access system. CEV is needed, but it is not all that is needed.

    --
    If you mod me down, I shall become more powerful than you could possibly imagine.
    1. Re:CEV is only a stop-gap by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      it might be possible to fly it as often as a couple times a month if needed

      That's what they said about the space shuttle. Originally, they planned for a 2 week turn around with the shuttle. All things being perfect, they might be able to pull this off, although I don't think it has ever happened, or ever will happen. I also don't think there's enough demand to launch 2 shuttles a month.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    2. Re:CEV is only a stop-gap by mrchaotica · · Score: 3, Interesting
      I also don't think there's enough demand to launch 2 shuttles a month.

      But there would have been, if shuttle launches were actually as cheap as they were supposed to be!

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    3. Re:CEV is only a stop-gap by atomicstrawberry · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Originally they didn't plan to strap it to the side of a whopping great rocket and shoot it into space, either. Originally they had planned to have a very large, reusable delta-winged aircraft which the shuttle would clip into (this is one of the reasons why it fits so cleanly onto a 747). The booster aircraft would take the shuttle up to a very high altitude, the shuttle would take off into orbit, and the booster would return back to the ground where it could be re-used. They didn't build it, convinced it would cost too much to put the desired payloads into orbit. In retrospect they probably would have been better with the original idea. Certainly it would have been better then the horrible kludge they came up with.

    4. Re:CEV is only a stop-gap by Gary+W.+Longsine · · Score: 1

      I didn't mean to imply that a given CEV craft will fly that often--it won't. The entire fleet might be capable of sustained flight rates of 1 or 2 launches per month.

      --
      If you mod me down, I shall become more powerful than you could possibly imagine.
  36. Launch it by ronanbear · · Score: 1
    I saw go for it

    What's the worst that can happen?

    --
    the more they over-think the plumbing the easier it is to stop up the pipe
    1. Re:Launch it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Hi. This is NASA.

      Would you like to become an astronaut?

  37. Sounds like Dilbert by The+MAZZTer · · Score: 1

    The top guys who know what they're doing KNOW it's a bad idea, but management says do it anyway.

    Said management is definately looking a little pointy-haired.

    1. Re:Sounds like Dilbert by GISGEOLOGYGEEK · · Score: 1

      Sounds like the people who were in charge when the first shuttle blew up are back at the helm. They were told the shuttle would blow ... and it did.

      --
      George Bush + Linux = "I will not let information get in the way of the fight against Windows"
    2. Re:Sounds like Dilbert by antispam_ben · · Score: 2, Funny

      Sounds like the people who were in charge when the first shuttle blew up are back at the helm.

      No, I don't believe that. It was 23 years ago when the Challenger exploded. The people in charge now are the children of the management 23 year ago.

      There's gota be a name for this, perhaps nepodilbertism.

      --
      Tag lost or not installed.
  38. Good for them by Oopsallberries · · Score: 1

    I think the space program is very important. We can't let ocassional failures stop our progress into space. If they do see a problem they can, like they said, just wait at the space station for rescue. Humans learn from mistakes.

    1. Re:Good for them by Arimus · · Score: 1

      Assuming that the launch doesn't fail... hard to get to the ISS while bits of your craft are disintegrating around you.

      --
      --- Users are like bacteria -> Each one causing a thousand tiny crises until the host finally gives up and dies.
  39. Rocket to Nowhere by bbc · · Score: 2, Informative

    This article should not have been published without a link to Maciej Ceglowski's excellent analysis, Rocket to Nowhere. It seems to answer a lot of questions folks have here.

    A quote: "Taken on its own merits, the Shuttle gives the impression of a vehicle designed to be launched repeatedly to near-Earth orbit, tended by five to seven passengers with little concern for their personal safety, and requiring extravagant care and preparation before each flight, with an almost fetishistic emphasis on reuse. Clearly this primitive space plane must have been a sacred artifact, used in religious rituals to deliver sacrifice to a sky god.

    As tempting as it is to picture a blood-spattered Canadarm flinging goat carcasses into the void, we know that the Shuttle is the fruit of what was supposed to be a rational decision making process.
    "

  40. Stay in the space station? by deft · · Score: 1

    "Managers want to make only one major change at a time, and plan that if damage does occur, the crew would be able to stay in the International Space Station"

    Astronauts: So we're safely out of the damaged ship, so how do we get back now?
    Ground Control: Dunno, we only make 1 large change at a time.

    --

    There's nothing Intelligent about Intelligent Design.
  41. What happened to explorers with balls? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How many thousands gave their lives to explore new frontiers just a few hundred years ago? I'm all for making space travel as safe as possible, but NASA has just become one big bureaucratic mess. With all the red tape & bullshit, we'll be lucky is NASA gets to the moon again in the next millenium.

    http://science-fair-projects.qctx.com/

  42. Looks like we'll have to rehash that old NASA joke by Espressoman · · Score: 1

    Needs Another Seven Astronauts...

  43. Cut out the middle man......... by Jerim · · Score: 1, Funny

    .......and just kill the astronauts here on the ground. Why spend billions just to kill them in space?

  44. They should move the launch to the Fourth of July. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Since the safety manager and the engineers cannot get them to not launch, they should ask for the launch date to be moved to July 4th. That way when there is an accident and things blow up, they can say that those managers who forced the launch despite the engineer's objections, all planned it as a part of their "Independence Day fireworks celebration".

    That would get those morons fired really fast.

  45. "dangerous" vs. "needlessly dangerous" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    If you want to get anywhere you have to take risks.

    Here we go again. This sentiment appears repeatedly in every Slashdot discussion about the US manned space program. Yes, manned spaceflight is dangerous. The problem I have with NASA is that they make it needlessly dangerous.

    The Shuttle is terrible: solid rockets (can't be throttled or shut off), TWO solid rockets (it will cartwheel if one of them doesn't light), no launch escape system, and fragile re-entry surfaces exposed to falling ice (and birds!) during launch. And the new CEV will be little better. It will still use a solid rocket, and it has only one engine, so there's no one-engine-out capability. Werner von Braun had it right: manned rockets should have multiple, liquid-fuelled engines.

    And going back to the Moon would be a lot safer if we sent robots first, to build a manned habitat and make it safe and ready to occupy BEFORE sending people there. I think this is doable; in light of the DARPA Grand Challenge and Japan's work on robots. Also, imagine the spinoffs from this sort of technology.

  46. Re:Install small nets? by Dunbal · · Score: 1

    install small nets with many "floors" in order to catch the falling objects

          LOL!

          Oh, sorry. You were serious? There's a thing called laminar flow which tends to be disturbed by thousands of little nets. These nets also need to be made of some material with extremely high tensile strength so they don't just rip apart in the airstream. Oh and to make matters worse, what happens when your "net" actually "catches" a piece of debris? The piece of hull where the net is attached is suddenly ripped out, and debris, net and all decide to leave the shuttle. Or assuming a successful "catch", the sudden asymmetric drag suddenly sends the vehicle into an unstable flight. Oops!

          IANAAE (I am not an aerospace engineer), but I don't think this would work.

    --
    Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  47. Re: Shuttle destruction: powered vs unpowered by some+guy+I+know · · Score: 1
    That depends: per mile under power, or per mile coasting?
    Well, statistically speaking, the Shuttle has just as much chance to be destroyed while coasting (Columbia) as it has while under power (Challenger).
    --
    Those who sacrifice security to condemn liberty deserve to repeat history or something. - Benjamin Santayana
  48. Re:Indirect investment in ISS, Management Decision by mrchaotica · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Since we don't currently have a reliable manned booster to rotate crew on and off the station...

    Yeah we do; it's called the Soyuz. There's no reason why we can't just build a bunch of them instead of continuing to launch overgrown school buses at the thing!

    See, that's the big problem with NASA. They're stuck in this stupid mentality where they think they either have to use the Shuttle or design something brand new and impossibly perfect. That's a false dichotomy. Any replacement for the Shuttle doesn't have to be perfect, it just has to be better than the Shuttle. Freakin Apolllo fits that description; they could just build some more of those! And all they'd have to do is change the shape of the hatch to be compatible with the ISS and run the sucker off a graphing calculator instead of the heavy 60's-era computer technology.

    --

    "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

  49. Knee jerk by p3d0 · · Score: 1
    You need to know who is in favour of launch and who is opposed. I guarantee, if management wants the launch and the engineers want to postpone, then postponing is the right choice.

    And I'm not saying that only because I'm an engineer. :-)

    --
    Patrick Doyle
    I mod down every jackass who puts his moderation policy in his sig. Oh, wait a sec....
  50. Taking refuge in the space station is no plan... by Holistic+Missile · · Score: 1
    These are peoples lives they are risking. Their contigency plan sucks for two reasons:

    What if the problem occurs during lift-off? They can just go to the space station?

    If the problem happens after they are in space, and they actually manage to get to the space station, is there enough room/provisions for all of these extra people? For how long? How do we pick them up?

    The status of the shuttle fleet:
    • Challenger - Blown up
    • Columbia - Blown up
    • Enterprise - Stripped for parts and now a museum piece
    • Endeavour - Still undergoing testing to possibly be ready for flight late this year
    • Discovery - That's the one they're leaving in
    Can't they see the problems here? C'mon guys, it isn't rocket science (heh heh!), it's common sense!!

    By the way, NASA management ignored the engineers who told them it was too cold to launch Challenger on its final voyage. They launched anyway. Then they blamed the engineers. (I watched a program about the whole fiasco on The Discovery Channel a couple of years ago. Google is your friend if you want specifics...)
    --
    When you're dead, you don't know you're dead. It only affects the people around you. Same thing when you're stupid.
  51. Wallpaper by M0b1u5 · · Score: 1
    --
    How many escape pods are there? "NONE,SIR!" You counted them? "TWICE, SIR!"
  52. Re:Taking refuge in the space station is no plan.. by mmzplanet · · Score: 1

    You forgot one.... Atlantis.

    Also you could send a Soyuz capsule or two (one at at a time...limited docking ports) up to bring them back. In addition there is a capsule up there for an emergency return situation (ISS crew)already isn't there? You would just have to replace it later.

  53. Parent==Troll by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    got any facts to back your rant up? 'institutionalized bureaucracy'? 'just trying to preserve their jobs'? Please, you sir know nothing about the individuals involved and next to nothing about how NASA operatres.

    1. Re:Parent==Troll by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and you do ? ive worked on a number of satellite launches with nasa and its just a huge mess full of Ph.Ds who couldnt build their way out of a cardboard box.

  54. The Soyuz is safe now, no need to kill astronauts by bigtrike · · Score: 1

    The problem with continuing to use the shuttle is that there already exists a safe alternative, called the Soyuz. It's more fault tolerant of launch failures, more passively safe on reentry, and less likely to fail because it uses safer fuels. It's also much cheaper to launch and not subject to wear since they're only used once. The Soyuz has only failed twice in 860 flights, only one of which was manned. It only killed one crew member due to the design. We'd still need the shuttle for its lifting capacity, but we could retrofit it to fly on autopilot and have humans meet it up in space. US astronauts aren't dying in the name of science, they're dying for nationalism and government pork.

  55. Re:Taking refuge in the space station is no plan.. by GISGEOLOGYGEEK · · Score: 1

    Ummm buddy

    Enterprise was never meant for space and never flew in space, in fact it was not even a full size mock-up. It was built purely for for testing concepts and air-worthyness.

    You've forgotten about the shuttle Atlantis.

    But, most importantly, you're forgetting that the extremely reliable Soyuz space capsules of our Russian friends are available, ready, and waiting. To help fund the Russian space agency, and in order to have something reliable themselves, your own government recently purchased the rights to fly a few Soyuz capsules.

    The lifeboat is ready.

    --
    George Bush + Linux = "I will not let information get in the way of the fight against Windows"
  56. Simple- Black satellites by speedlaw · · Score: 1

    the shuttle is still going because certain surveillance sats only fit in the big shuttle bay. Indeed, Mike Mullane in his excellent book hints at some black ops. The shuttle may be in the "white world", but a lot of those flights move "black" payloads. That's not a bad thing-but the fact is that this tail wags the shuttle dog, and while it needs updating badly, we are locked into sat replacement on a steady basis-and some of those freight car sized devices can't ride anything else-not that we'd let them.

    1. Re:Simple- Black satellites by ThreeE · · Score: 0

      The Shuttle hasn't flown a non-civilian payload or mission in ages.

    2. Re:Simple- Black satellites by tsotha · · Score: 1
      This is simply false. For the most part, military satellites are polar orbit birds. The shuttle hasn't flown a military mission in a decade, but even then they were probably just adding to the DOD's communications bandwidth. To my knownledge the shuttle has never made a polar orbit.

      To launch a spysat, you need a rocket attached to your payload so it gets to the proper orbit. This turns the shuttle into a 52 billion dollar (well, 1980 dollars) first stage. Marvelous.

      The black stuff has gone up on Delta and Titan, for the most part, from Vandenburg.

      The real reason the shuttle is still going, as others have pointed out, is it employs 20,000 people in key congressional districts.

  57. Didn't the Fuel Tank Change? by SeaFox · · Score: 1

    What's happened? Did we redesign something? Are they so old that the parts are wearing out and we can't replace them as well as we built them to begin with?

    If I remember right, weren't the external fuel tanks on the early shuttle flights painted - over the foam insulation? I seem to recall some dicussion on the news after Columbia about the paint helping keep the foam from breaking off.

    The paint added weight and (of corse) cost, especially considering the fuel tank was only used once. So they dropped it later on.

    1. Re:Didn't the Fuel Tank Change? by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      I find that very hard to believe given how thin the paint would've been and how rigid the foam actually was.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
  58. Fix For Fragile Foam = Pallet Wrap! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It seems pretty obvious to me that a nice tight 1/2 overlap wrap of Pallet wrap would prevent shredding of the insulating foam.

    There are some surprisingly hi-tech pallet wraps available now, resistant to UV and all sorts of other degradation.

    I have written twice to NASA about this, but have received no 'thanks for saving our space-faring asses' letter in return.

    Perhaps with the power of slashdot, this idea will somehow percolate to NASA. Besides, it would be a lot cheaper than a giant condom.

    - Goldfrapp fan

    1. Re:Fix For Fragile Foam = Pallet Wrap! by Ken+Erfourth · · Score: 1

      They already stopped painting the foam because it saved a couple of hundred pounds of weight. Pallet wrap would for something as big as the shuttle would weigh how many times as much as paint?

      Since a lot of the problem is woodpeckers and other birds burrowing into that lovely foam material for shelter, they might be better off spraying the outside with some cayenne-based critter repellent.

      --
      Fundamentalism is a crime against humanity
  59. use management as test subjects by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think its not a bad idea to launch management couple of times before launching the astronauts. This way, we will not lose the valuable astronaut brains and skills.

  60. Yes, I forgot about Atlantis...Thanks! by Holistic+Missile · · Score: 1

    And as far as I can tell from the same type of searching I did on Enterprise and Endeavour, Atlantis should be ready to fly; it has already completed the upgrading that Endeavour is just finishing.

    I left out the Soyuz option because I don't believe the U.S.' plan should rely solely on another country. Certainly they could be a 'Plan C', but who knows how much time/money Russia would need to deploy one?

    I think the ISS has an emergency capsule, but I doubt it would hold seven to ten people! I would also wonder about the life support capabilities for any length of time, with so many unexpected visitors.

    You guys bringing up Atlantis makes me wonder why it is not the one they planned for this mission, instead of Discovery, the one that experienced very similar problems to Columbia the last time it flew? Atlantis has flown 26 missions and Discovery has flown 31. Five missions could really be a lot of wear....

    --
    When you're dead, you don't know you're dead. It only affects the people around you. Same thing when you're stupid.
    1. Re:Yes, I forgot about Atlantis...Thanks! by mmzplanet · · Score: 1

      With Soyuz as you say "Plan C": I figure the emergency Soyuz could return 3 of them immediately to relieve strain on the life support supplies. The 4 remaining could be returned on an Atlantis mission or after they sort out an in orbit repair of Discovery (if its possible). If additional repair supplies are needed or other supplies...a progress supply could be sent as well. Just some more ideas. But it all comes down to the most effective option is to send another shuttle. Even then you cant return all 7 at once...9 would have to come back. Either way 2 flights are required. The shuttle requires 2 and can only add 5 more...unless they thought of that already.

  61. Privatize Space by Bob_Robertson · · Score: 1

    Abolish NASA, get the laws restricting space travel repealed. Let the same profit motive that explored the planet explore the other planets.

    Yes, it is easier to say than do. Doing is what entrepreneurs do best. If moon rocks could be sold, there would be more moon exploration looking for interesting rocks than Congress could fund in 100 years!

    And then there are asteroids, just floating there waiting for someone to go grab one...

    Bob-

    --
    The Ludwig von Mises Institute. The reasoning individuals economics
    1. Re:Privatize Space by be-fan · · Score: 1

      Except it doesn't work that way.

      Space exploration is such a high-risk, capital-intensive venture that no private firm rich enough would be stupid enough to try. There is actually economic theory on how the free market breaks down in such distant-reward, high-risk situations like these.

      This is why the government has to fund things like quantum physics research. The potential pay-off is huge (ie: the semiconductor industry wouldn't exist today without the fundemental physics research done earlier in this century), but at the same time, it is so distant, and the capital rquirements are so high, that private firms will not fund it themselves.

      The free market cures many things, but even economists today acknowledge that like all solutions, it can only be applied to appropriate problems.

      --
      A deep unwavering belief is a sure sign you're missing something...
    2. Re:Privatize Space by Bob_Robertson · · Score: 1

      "no private firm rich enough would be stupid enough to try."

      Burt Rutan and Steve Allen, "SpaceShip One".

      "but even economists today acknowledge that..."

      No, only government economists place such artificial limitations on "private" efforts.

      Real economists talk about private space exploration and exploitation every day.

      http://www.mises.org/fullstory.aspx?Id=1644 Profit, Loss, and Pluto

      http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&q=%22private+sp ace+exploration%22&btnG=Google+Search

      There's the shotgun approach for you. I hope you can learn something about both economics and "risk". The problem being that government never risks itself, and private ventures "bet the farm" many times. That is why private efforts always out-perform government ones, be it "dollars to orbit", crossing the South Pole, finding the North West Passage, or delivering fresh strawberries to my grocery store in January cheap enough that even I can afford them.

      Oh no, such an effort for mere strawberries would be a waste of taxpayer money. It's too risky.

      --
      The Ludwig von Mises Institute. The reasoning individuals economics
    3. Re:Privatize Space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bob, there is a simple procedure to privatize space, and this only applies to you.
      Go find a cliff or a bridge somewhere, then take your entire fucktarded family. Have all of them jump to their death, after that jump to yours. Problem solved.

  62. Not So Much, No by patio11 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The space shuttles have flown a combined total of 420 million miles (see here: http://www.space.com/missionlaunches/missions/sts9 2_longhaul_sidebar2.html, and I'm adding in a rough guesstimate of flights up until the most recent fatal disaster) and have suffered a total of 14 fatalities, for one fatality every 30 million miles. In 1994 alone, US cars travelled a combined total of 1.793 billion miles (somebody actually tracks this: your tax dollars at work http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/rtecs/chapter3.html ). If cars were as "safe" as the shuttle were, you would assume about 60 traffic accidents would happen per year.

    However, this is really stacking the deck in the shuttle's favor. If you want to be technical about it, my bicycle hurtled hundreds of thousands of miles through space on my morning commute this morning... relative to the position of the sun. Granted, relative to the position of my house the displacement was only about two miles. Almost all of the mileage wracked up by the shuttle was it coasting around orbiting, when the only thing it had to accomplish was "don't spontaneously explode or have every life support system fail at once". If you want to compare times when the shuttle was actually under directed movement (and a realistic likelihood of danger), which would be essentially limited to lift-off and flying back to earth with some very minor positional adjustments once you're in orbit, the shuttle is many millions of times more dangerous than a car. Some back of the envelope math: the trip to orbit is about 200 miles, the trip down the same, and we'll be VERY generous and say the shuttle travels another 100 miles once its up there in positioning changes and whatnot. Thats a total of 500 miles per trip. There have also been 114 shuttle missions over the course of the space program. Thats one death per 4,000 miles. If cars were that much of a deathtrap we'd expect about 450,000 traffic fatalities in 1994. There were about 43,000 last year.

    Bonus points: if you charge the deaths to alcohol instead of cars (hey, the cars would have been perfectly safe if the guy hadn't been driving drunk -- thats like charging a passenger airplane for fatalities if it gets hit with a missile), roughly half of the car fatalities vanish. Presumably the shuttle program does not have an alcohol problem.

    1. Re:Not So Much, No by Bill_the_Engineer · · Score: 1
      As I mentioned on a previous post:

      The problem with your analogy is that the fatality of the space shuttle was caused by a mechanical failure. Most mechanical failures on the space shuttle will have fatal results.

      For a car, most mechanical failures are pretty benign and at most result in the car being inoperable on the side of the road. This makes all your fatality stats pretty worthless, since no fatality means no statistic. Now if you had the number of major mechanical breakdowns for automobiles, that may be a better metric. Just judging by the number of recalls in the press, the space program looks absolutely reliable.

      While according to you, most automobile fatalities are from driver errors (drunk driving, reckless driving, etc), none of the shuttle fatalities were caused by any actions of its crew.

      Being under active propulsion versus orbital momentum is immaterial since the vehicle is under constant stress within a hostile environment. Besides the riskiest time for the shuttle is liftoff and re-entry and both are under power (Well, re-entry is mostly physics once de-orbit has been established).

      While using a car as an analogy seems logical, it is really a useless metric only to perpetuate bullshit.

      --
      These comments are my own and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of my employer or colleagues...
    2. Re:Not So Much, No by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Bonus points: if you charge the deaths to alcohol instead of cars (hey, the cars would have been perfectly safe if the guy hadn't been driving drunk -- thats like charging a passenger airplane for fatalities if it gets hit with a missile), roughly half of the car fatalities vanish. Presumably the shuttle program does not have an alcohol problem.
      I'm sorry, but you are plain wrong.

      Drink driving is a factor in about 18% of all fatal crashes in NSW. This figure is even higher (27%) in country areas. In fact, 70% of all fatal drink drive crashes happen in the country.

      That means that 73% of ALL fatal driving accidents are caused by perfectly sober people. So please don't pull statistics out of your ass...

      The shuttle is a bad design; the Russian space program is much safer. Go look it up if you don't believe me.
    3. Re:Not So Much, No by AGMW · · Score: 1
      That means that 73% of ALL fatal driving accidents are caused by perfectly sober people.

      Which means ... statistically, you'll be less likely to have an accident if you have a few beers before driving anywhere.

      Oh ain't statistics great! It's really no wonder Politicians make use of them so often.

      --
      Eclectic beats from Leeds, UK
      handmadehands.co.uk
    4. Re:Not So Much, No by FatAlb3rt · · Score: 1

      Obviously you're not a golfer.

      500 miles of directed movement per flight, which includes a "very generous" add'l 100 miles? Have you seen a flight profile? Contrary to what you may think, the shuttle does not launch straight up 200 miles, then make a hard turn to achieve 17500 mph orbital velocity. Nor does it come straight down - it actually begins deorbit around Australia.

      But to even go into that vein to define commuting miles shows a significant ignorance of the hazards of life in orbit. Temperatures that swing hundreds of degrees every 90 minutes, no atmosphere so you better hope that cabin doesn't leak, flying debris that could literally put a hole right through you, no gas stations, no place to pull over to the side of the road...

    5. Re:Not So Much, No by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you're comparing the number of accidents in New South Wales, to the number of people killed in the US, and expecting your point to have some sort of relevance? I don't know what your smoking but I want some.

    6. Re:Not So Much, No by RESPAWN · · Score: 1

      The shuttle is, however, safer than driving a car in India: http://onlypunjab.com/fullstory2k5-insight--status -21-newsID-12414.html

      --

      If Murphy's Law can go wrong, it will.

    7. Re:Not So Much, No by The+Cydonian · · Score: 1

      Nope. The link only says that 10% of global road-deaths are in India; it makes no claim whatsoever on whether the deaths are car-related or not. Most of the urban vehicular traffic in India is from motorbikes.

    8. Re:Not So Much, No by RESPAWN · · Score: 1

      Good point. I'd always heard that India is one of the worst places to drive in the world, so I just did a quick search for an article with some statistics but didn't think about the fact that it was overall road deaths and not just car related deaths.

      --

      If Murphy's Law can go wrong, it will.

  63. What was worth dying for? (with linebreaks) by patio11 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Can you point to a single result coming from the shuttle program that was worth a human life?

    The development of the personal computer, that might be worth someone dying. Or something of great utility like, I don't know, the automobile. The green revolution. The vaccine for polio. A cure for cancer. If a scientist was killed in a laboratory accident trying to develop one of these things we could eulogize him with "Dr. Bob would be happy to know that he died as he lived, in the service of mankind, and in the cause of something greater than any one of us". Can you name, off the top of your head, any of the "science projects" the Challenger crew was carrying with them? Must have been something of great importance to all mankind to risk 7 lives for, right? Well, lets check the books... Here's what the crew died trying to accomplish:

    1) Deploying the Tracking Data Relay-2 satellite, a process which is accomplished dozens of times per year without needing to send humans into space.
    2) "Shuttle-Pointed Tool for Astronomy (SPARTAN-203)/Halley's Comet Experiment Deployable, a free-flying module designed to observe tail and coma of Halleys comet with two ultraviolet spectrometers and two cameras." This was a nail developed because we already had a hammer and needed something to bang on -- it could just have easily been done with an unmanned craft (and even if it couldn't, "Pictures of the tail of Halley's Comet" is something mankind can do perfectly fine without).
    3) FDE Fluid Dynamics Experiment.
    4) Comet Halley Active Monitoring Program CHAMP (see #2, also 100% accomplishable from the ground).
    5) Phase Partitioning Experiment (PPE)
    6) three Shuttle Student Involvement Program (SSIP) experiments (Now, without discounting the massive contributions to science our high school students provide on a regular basis, I'm guessing that adding low gravity to a science fair project does not result in something worth dying for)
    7) a set of lessons for Teacher in Space Project (Just like a regular teacher, except she's in space!)

    So, which of these projects was worth someone giving their life for? Or, if you prefer, what project ever accomplished by the shuttle program was worth the cost (heck, ignoring the 2% risk of death of everybody on board there's nothing thats been accomplished that was worth the cost of fuel... examination of the effecs of weightlessness on spider webs? Yaaaay?)

    1. Re:What was worth dying for? (with linebreaks) by j35ter · · Score: 1

      What do *you* expect to die for? Imagine getting killed in a car accident while driving to work. Does that make you a devouted worker? Will anyone say "He died for his work"? In case you answered yes to any of these questions, quit your job right now for it is dangerous!

      --
      Delta-Mike November Bravo Tango
  64. Editing error by patio11 · · Score: 1

    Paragraph two: "many millions of time more dangerous than a car" was my off-top-of-my-head guestimate before I actually broke out paper and pencil and ran the numbers. I may not be the sharpest knife in the drawer, but I can tell the difference between 10^1 and 10^6... most days. Maybe I should apply for work designing orbiters...

  65. Is it an *inherent* design flaw? by DaveAtFraud · · Score: 2

    I look at old systems such as B-52s still flying missions and question whether the problem is *inherent*. How about, nobody has been asked to come up with a better solution. Why not "peel the banana" and have a coating on the external tank that is *designed* to safely fall away? Or use something like Space ShipOne/White Knight that uses and an aerodynamic system for initial assent?

    It may be cheaper in the long run to replace the shuttle but I haven't seen enough discussion of the alternatives to know that. I look at SpaceShipOne/White Knight and see that its possible to have a safe, economical, and reusable launch system.

    I don't think that the shuttle has an inherent design flaw; it just suffers from being the first operational attempt at making a reusable launch system. Its probably possible to design a shuttle version 2.0 that looks a lot like the existing shuttle (keeps lots of development costs down) but that doesn't have the risks or costs of the current shuttle. Most of the other posts regarding the shuttle focus on risks but NASA hasn't met the original goals for shuttle trip costs or turn-around time and this probably has a lot more to do with efforts to replace the shuttle than flight risks.

    Cheers,
    Dave

    --
    They that can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither safety nor liberty.
    Ben
    1. Re:Is it an *inherent* design flaw? by dyslexicbunny · · Score: 1

      Or use something like Space ShipOne/White Knight that uses and an aerodynamic system for initial assent?

      This was proposed while NASA was selecting an architecture for next-gen. Limited payload options requiring increased launches and therefore, decreasing mission success rate. If it requires 24 launches to go and one fails, you are fubared.

      Its probably possible to design a shuttle version 2.0 that looks a lot like the existing shuttle (keeps lots of development costs down) but that doesn't have the risks or costs of the current shuttle.

      CEV already has reduced development costs by takign advantage of previous development from both Apollo and STS. They are using SRBs with a modified external tank for heavy lift and then a joint SRB/external tank concept for the crew. This setup also eliminates any foam concerns - granted it completely ignores trying to fix any such problem. But unlike Apollo, we will be landing on land, which should reduce costs associated with an oceanic landing.

      A lot of the technology is very promising and NASA has thought this out very well (compared to the shuttle). The next 20 years will be quite exciting so long as everything stays on schedule.

    2. Re:Is it an *inherent* design flaw? by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      I look at old systems such as B-52s still flying missions and question whether the problem is *inherent*. How about, nobody has been asked to come up with a better solution.

      They've been attempting to come up with better solutions since about .025 seconds after the B-52 contract was signed. The problem is, the better solutions are invariably quite expensive - so the problem is simply redefined such that cheaper upgrades to the B-52 are a temporarily acceptable solution. Then a contract is let to study new and better solutions... Lather, rinse, repeat.
       
       
      Why not "peel the banana" and have a coating on the external tank that is *designed* to safely fall away?

      Because you need the coating on the tank nearly to burnout - otherwise aerodynamic heating would boil the LOX and LH2, causing pressure problems, and raising the temperature of the same, causing engine problems.
  66. water and PV by zogger · · Score: 1

    The space station and humans in space will always need water, so that should be the "fuel" they haul up with one of the shuttles, as much water as possible. Another shuttle should haul up as many advanced solar PV panels as they can deploy. Then they can have a lot more electrical power for actually doing some useful stuff, and also make more fuel (electrolysis),and burn hydrogen and oxygen in a small rocket to maintain orbit. An added bonus is more oxygen for the crew if it is needed. I don't know how practical that would be due to temperature variances tough, perhaps they need to maintain their water storage deep inside the station where it is protected more. The shuttles are allegedly pretty well insulated though (the famous foam), so inside them might be sufficient.

    Do you happen to know offhand approximately how much fuel of what type they currently use to maintain ISS in that orbit?

  67. Re:If science is worth dying for... by joe_adk · · Score: 2, Insightful
    If science is worth dying for can you point to a single result coming from the shuttle program that was worth a human life?
    I believe the parent is saying, in effect, that human life isn't worth very much (in a supply/demand kind of way), and that the gain we get as a species is worth the cost of a few hundred people blowing up or dying of radiation on the trip to the moon/mars/the nearest solar system/NEO. The disconnect between you is the cost of human life. He says that spiderwebs in space are worth 7, and you say they aren't. Personally, I lean more to the "meh, they volunteered," side than the "oh the huge manatee!" side (as if you cared).
  68. That can't be right by fredmosby · · Score: 1

    US cars travelled a combined total of 1.793 billion miles
    There were about 43,000 [car related deaths]last year.

    That would make about one death every 40,000 miles, my car has about 170,000 miles on it. If those numbers are right I would be expected to have killed 4 people with my car in the 14 years I've owned it.

    1. Re:That can't be right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are teenage drivers drunk-dialing on their cell phones making up for your lack ;~)

      I shouldn't joke, it's probably true.

  69. $100 per seat for the show ? by MaxOliverBR · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    I heard that NASA will charge $100 per seat to watch the fireworks ???

  70. Just because they one employee... by Bill_the_Engineer · · Score: 1
    Nobody wants to escort (babysit) a contractor. That was probably not in their job title and it's not thier fault that regulations require someone to escort you.

    Personally, I am glad to see some internal controls in access to foreign workers but I digress...

    I doub't that your experience with this employee is a reflection of the crew involved with the space shuttle. My experience has been the opposite.

    --
    These comments are my own and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of my employer or colleagues...
  71. Re:Taking refuge in the space station is no plan.. by atomicstrawberry · · Score: 1

    There was also Pathfinder, which was used for ground tests, and Explorer, which is a museum replica.

    This actually illustrates a side point. We're running out of actual, real shuttles. Enterprise doesn't really count as much since it was never intended to be launched. The sad fact is that the shuttle program is coming to the end of its lifespan. As things progress, we're not going to need the shuttles we have remaining. Atlantis will be cut up for parts to keep Endeavour and Discovery going, and then probably we'll end up cutting up Endeavour to keep Discovery in the air for those final few flights. Assuming, of course, that there isn't another catastrophic accident.

    The sad thing about this is that it will mean there's a chance we won't have a real, complete shuttle that actually saw use in space to put into a museum. Regardless of the flaws in its design, the Shuttle is a symbolic piece of equipment. It seems like a huge shame that there's a chance that all we may end up with is the shell of Discovery or Endeavour, the remains of Atlantis and whichever of the other two active ones is used for parts, and the whatever they haven't torn off of Enterprise left to show our grandkids 50 years down the track. Discovery would be the ideal, as of the remaining shuttles it had most of the high profile missions, such as launching Hubble.

    We may have replicas like Explorer for the museums, but a replica is simply not the same.

  72. Re:French @ the world cup by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well at least they scored for the first time since the Cup started.

    And going back to topic...

    I think it's about time to go, and hey, why don't they send a crew of slashdot trolls, that'll clean up the gene pool for sure.

  73. von Braun and risk management by Beryllium+Sphere(tm) · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Absolutely right: perfectionist, budget-buster, and committed to testing every part before putting them together.

    I highly recommend the new von Braun biography, "Dr. Space".

    One thing NASA has forgotten from his legacy is the need for absolute honesty in engineering. He rewarded people for coming forward and admitting screwups even when they might have been blamed for loss of a vehicle.

    Honesty, safety margins, and a culture of "there's no such thing as 'sort of' working" give you machines that work and that don't kill people. Von Braun's team designed the Saturn first stage. It's entertaining to calculate the total energy that was stored in one of those, and divide it by c squared. 300 milligrams. All released in a few minutes. Von Braun's team made that work safely and successfully every single time.

  74. You're right. What a difference a comma makes... by patio11 · · Score: 2, Informative

    I need to get my eye glasses prescription bumped up again. If you look at the page I linked to, it was a comma there (1,793 billion miles, not 1.793 billion miles), not a period. Which changes the calculation by three orders of magnitude. Doing some additional Googling I found that the NHTSA has broken down the numbers for us: there are roughly 1.51 deaths per *hundred million* miles travelled. This means that, by any definition of "miles travelled" the shuttle is less safe.

    http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/pdf/nrd-30/NCSA/TSFAn n/TSF2001.pdf

  75. cognitive dissonance regarding bureaucrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Your post should have been modded "Off Topic" but instead you have racked up the mod points today in this and other posts by bashing bureaucrats. Congratulations, I guess. I really don't get it, though, as nameless bureaucrats are easy prey. It's the Slashdot equivalent of hunting quailtards. Bash a nameless bureaucrat and win a prize.

    I'm confused however by your defense of the leader of the pack of not-accountable bureaucrats.

    I suppose you may be suffering cognitive dissonance and not even realize it. In any case you have employed a straw man logical fallacy in support of your position (misrepresenting the position of your debate opponent). Bush is not responsible for the Hurricane. His many public critics such as Paul Krugman (economist and New York Times columnist) have not claimed that preventing the hurricane from hitting New Orleans was his, to use a phrase popular with Bush, "job."

    Krugman and other critics have said, however, that appointing someone with no relevant experience of any kind to head FEMA led directly to a dramatic reduction in the ability of the agency to respond to a crisis, measured against past performance. FEMA under the Clinton administration was one of the most highly regarded of federal agencies. FEMA under Bush is the butt of jokes: Federal Emergency My Ass, et. al.

    Within the last week it was revealed by Congressional audit to have mismanaged the Katrina relief so badly that as much as $1.4 Billion (with a B) dollars have been wasted. Nearly as many people died as the result of Katrina as from the terrorist attack on September 11, 2001. Most of those people drowned. They drowned because the apparatus of the federal government ignored warnings, failed to prepare, and then was unable to offer the timely assistance that the tax paying citizens of this country expect and paid for. How can you possibly bring up Katrina in defense of Bush? It's completely insane to do that.

    Bush wants everyone to believe that he's a great manager, but the evidence is pretty clear -- he sucks. He was an utter failure in every business endeavor he ever participated in. In a matter of a few short years he turned the country around, and it's now on a beeline course headed into the ground, racking up debt that your grandchildren will be paying for their entire lives. Do you feel good about that? I don't. I don't even have kids and I don't want *your* kids saddled with this kinda pointless and stupid debt. Bush is the worst manager we have had running the country for such a long period of time that only historians are qualified to debate whether or not Bush is The Worst President Evar (TM).

    Bush supports the space program during the occasional speech where he thinks he's going to pick up a few votes from the "hope for the future" space enthusiast and Star Trek set. You seem to be keenly interested in the space program. How can you not see through Bush's cynical ruse?

    Wake up.

    P.S. This is not a personal criticism, merely friendly advice: Learn to spell "bureaucrat", your criticisms will be more effective.

    1. Re:cognitive dissonance regarding bureaucrats by What+me+a+Coward · · Score: 1

      Wow!.... Just WoW!

          If your a woman i have to say i love you.

          If not then I'd like you for a friend :D

          Herm sorry a bit of emotion their but I couldn't agree with that sentiment more.

          P.S. not meaning to criticise either but if your correcting someone elses spelling then making spelling errors yourself is not a good thing (Ever not Evar).
          Sorry i don't mean to be a spelling Nazi i actually hate them as everybody maks (- I did it on propus :D) mistakes and really shouldn't be called on it unless they are doing something professional like an article, book or a magazine were they actually have people who's job it is to proofread and correct such errors and mistakes. Otherwise you end up spending more time correcting yourself and less time living then you should and get less done than you could or would.

        Live more correct less life is more fun that way.

      --
      Coward? Coward! Thems fighten words!!
  76. Not quite by phorm · · Score: 1

    It does roll downhill in terms that those higher up will blame those lower, but when it comes to public opionion and visibility it's more likely those at the top (or at least high-up and in the public eye) will be the ones taking the bad publicity and opinion.

    1. Re:Not quite by WindBourne · · Score: 0, Offtopic
      • When you think of the outing of Plame, do you think of GWB/Cheney or do you think of Libby (who has already said that he was following orders from his bosses)?
      • When you think of the Abu Grave, do you think of the Rumsfield and/or generals with nebulous orders or do you think of the grunts at the bottom (who were following nebulous orders)?
      • When you think of the deficits that have been ran up over the last 6 years, do you think of GWB who has the real say or do you think of congress (who is just a mass with no real responsibility)?
      • When you recall columbia, do you think of Sean O' Keefe who was the head and denied the use of outside pixs or do you think of the engineers (who asked for outside pix of the hull but was denied)?
      • When you think of challenger, do you think of Fletcher the head of NASA at the time who was putting pressure to keep the schedule, or do you think of engineers (who were opposed to flying it due to the low temps that had occured)?

      The s**t flows downhill; it is no longer the buck stops here. Only Fletcher took a hit, but that was more tied to an ongoing investigation (I do not recall, but you can google it). Consider the difference between how Nixon was treated over watergate vs. Reagan with his IranContra or GWB with his PlameGate.
      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    2. Re:Not quite by Ohreally_factor · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Iran-contra was an ugly episode in this country's history, but I clearly remember Reagan going on national TV, admitting mistakes were made, accepting personal responsibility, and apologizing to the American people. Reagan had both balls and humility in that moment, and it's a big reason why I think of him as a great president, despite his failings.

      W stands for Weasel.

      --
      It's not offtopic, dumbass. It's orthogonal.
    3. Re:Not quite by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Unlike just about everybody here, I have indirectly dealt with Reagan. In 1981, I was at CDC when we found out about the beginning of HIV. My group was called in to approach reagan for funding. I saw how he treated the situation. Based on what I saw of the man and his integrity, I have no doubt that he was directly involved with IranContra as well as having Iran hold the hostages until after the election.

      In light of what happened at CDC, I have nothing but disgust for the man. As to the apology, He was simply an actor delivering a good performance (Based on his movies, I would sat that this was perhaps the best that he had). Think of how Clinton came off during his apology. Also another actor.

  77. Re:Indirect investment in ISS, Management Decision by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

    Well, there is a minor issue with using Soyuz--it only holds three people. So, at best, you're going to have six people on board and hope that any disaster doesn't block the docking area.

    That said, I sort of agree. I remember NASA spending big bucks on a "space lifeboat." Frankly, for the amount they spent on it, they could have bought a bunch of Soyuz capsules instead andbuilt a couple of docking areas for redundancy.

  78. Re:Install small nets? by dosun88888 · · Score: 1

    Oh, come on. They can get the same company that makes the shuttle's windshield wipers to make them some nets, too.

  79. Problems were underreported on the early flights by Beryllium+Sphere(tm) · · Score: 1

    For example, Aviation Week reported that the SRBs recovered from one of the first few flights had a near-complete burnthrough, at the nozzle I believe, which nearly caused loss of vehicle and crew. Tiles fell off routinely, a problem which has actually gotten better over time as processes have improved. We didn't hear much, because it was considered too boring or technical to be newsworthy.

    The Challenger explosion was like the Apollo 1 fire, in that it prompted everyone to turn over rocks and see what was underneath. After Challenger, all the safety-related incidents suddenly became newsworthy.

  80. BBBBUUUUUUUUURRRRRRRRNNNNNN by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    burn burn burn

  81. Re:People are cheap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I agree, we have a surplus of cheap, disposable, and easily replaceable humanity. But unless we just need to update the dogs- and monkeys-in-orbit survival data, we need people smart enough to actually *do* something useful while they are up there. And as all /. readers are painfully aware, clueful thinkers are in alarmingly short supply.

    Or were you suggesting that the smart people stay on the ground and develop assembly-line mentality tasks for those we send up -- which sounds suspiciously like outsourcing our astronauts.

  82. Sh*t flows somewhat down the hill by 6th+time+lucky · · Score: 1

    From what I've seen;

    you get the top guys saying that "it was the manager/s below me who were responsible for oversight on that matter"

    and the bottom guys going "it was the manager/s above me who were responsible for that matter"

    The guy/s in the middle who now have two votes to one don't stand a chance at who gets the blame...

    Don't be caught in the middle (-managment)...

  83. Re:You're right. What a difference a comma makes.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Looks like a good time to stop using commas (or anything else) to denote 000.

  84. NASA feedback on Slashdot by dpilot · · Score: 1

    Looks about par for the course.

    Half the people are cursing NASA for flying the shuttle too soon.
    Half the people are cursing NASA for taking so long to fly the shuttle.

    The only concenses is that nobody likes NASA, and anybody and everybody could do it better, including Homer Simpson.

    --
    The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
  85. In other time... by DrYak · · Score: 2, Insightful
    It seems like no politician has the guts to stand up and say "Yeah - we're goign to send men to Mars - and we'll worry about how to get them back in 10 years or so.

    During mankind's past history, this same stuff was called "colonizing the americas" and "colonizing australia".
    If they're still alive when we are able to retrieve them, that will be a huge scientific triumph for us."
    Maybe, they'll be still alive.
    With luck, they'll be happy to stay there, escaping from the police-state that would have developped by then accross the occident on Earth. (and becoming the *new* land of the free).
    With more luck, after a couple of centuries, they'll manage to become the new cultural and economic super-power.
    And then, most probably, several decades later, they'll start to protect their corporation, abuse their new patent system, waive personnal freedoms in the name of planetary security, be constantly affraid of imaginary "pedo-terrorist-pirate" that reportedly posses anti-matter weapons, declare wars against anyone standing in the way, etc... ...And history will reapeate itself once again...
    Only this time, the catapult-over-the-mexican-border will be a little bit more complicated to do.
    --
    "Sufficiently advanced satire is indistinguishable from reality." - [Tips: 1DrYakQDKCQ6y52z6QbnkxHXAocMZJE61o ]
  86. The "Crazy" scientist, of course! by insanarchist · · Score: 1

    How many bad SciFi movies have started with something along these lines? An incredible invention that has the possibility of killing someone or someones (but that would *never* happen!), a gung-ho project director who just won't listen warnings from the aforementioned "crazy" scientist, and 7 other scientists/pilots/citizens who are willing to put it all on the line in the name of science. C'mon people, we know how this is going to end!

  87. Shuttle on the fron lawn by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wouldn't that be great if the ISS had a broken down shuttle parked next to it. It would be just like a Redneck's home! The only difference is that they don't have to mow....wait...The Rednecks don't mow anyway.

    Attention Sensitivity Police: I can say it because I'm a Redneck...but then, talking trash about Rednecks doesn't bother the PC crowd.

  88. Re:Indirect investment in ISS, Management Decision by alita69 · · Score: 1

    --"those parts of the Shuttle program (such as the engines) which have proven worthwhile. "

    Not sure what you're talking about. The shuttle main engines have been one of the biggest headaches of the program. While they haven't caused any crashes yet, the things do not do what they were originally designed to do. NASA still has to tear them apart and overhaul them every mission since they can't predict what kind of failures they're going to see. As a multi-launch-capable long-term solution, these fail miserably.

  89. This is the right decision by Chanc_Gorkon · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's apparant, to me, there's NO way to make the Shuttle 100 percent safe....there's no way to make ANY spacecraft 100 percent safe. Space is a hostile environment. The astronauts know this. One thing that cannot be disputed is that the shuttle has flown before with foam ramps falling off the shuttle. What happened to Columbia was very unfortunate, but in my book, it's a freak accident. There are so many variables that had to happen JUST RIGHT in order for the vehicle to be lost. All that can be done is try to minimize it. It can't be prevented. What happens if a Heron or some other big bird is in the way when the shuttle launches? Odds are, a BIRD can bring the shuttle down just as easy as a piece of foam. The odds are very low that this will happen but NOT zero. Does that mean we don't launch?? No.

    What I do see happening is a return to the traditional capsule like format. It could even be done in a reusable format MUCH easier and less prone to problems then the shuttle. We have to keep in mind....space is different. We can't send airplanes into space. We have to send spacecraft into space.

    --

    Gorkman

  90. History by t_allardyce · · Score: 1

    Didn't Challenger blow up because it was launched despite objections?

    The only opinions that should matter regarding launching are the engineers and safety experts. Anyone else, politician, management, media etc should go to hell.

    --
    This comment does not represent the views or opinions of the user.
  91. Re:If science is worth dying for... by nincehelser · · Score: 1

    >point to a single result coming from the shuttle program that was
    >worth a human life?

    The needs of the many outweigh the needs of a few. Sacrifice if part of exploration. Mountain climers willing sacrifice their lives and body parts just to climb that mountain. What good result comes from that?

    Just use google to find successful shuttle experiments. As is typical in science, most experiments are failures. Very few result in something as dramatic as directly saving human lives. However, the failures also teach us what doesn't work. So in the long run we gain either way.

    Could some of the projects be automated? Probably. But a human brain can think its way out of a jam better than any machine we hope to produce in the near future. Humans are creative, and can excel where machines fail.

    To sum up, lots of people are willing to risk life and limb to explore...it's part of being human. Advances in knowledge usually come in small jumps...and who knows what seemingly trivial experiment might result in an earth-shattering technology?

    Human safety is important. Part of space exploration is to make space safer for everyone. That alone can justify a space program.

  92. Re:6.5 trillion? by Migraineman · · Score: 1


    6.5 Trillion? Either I was asleep while *everyone* was breeding, or you're off by three orders of magnitude. I'm not trying to be a Population Nazi, but having 6.5 trillion meat-popsicles on this rock would be pretty disturbing.

  93. Re:6.5 trillion? by Firethorn · · Score: 1

    Moment of idiocy...

    Trillion->Billion

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
  94. NASA - Nothing About Safety Afterall by ONOIML8 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    When I joined the workforce it was with Uncle Sam: the federal government. That's the same outfit, for those of you who might be unaware, that runs NASA. The federal government is a large and interesting organization that has a rule book for everything and everything is done by the book. Or Else. As it was explained to me, the government doesn't like having to explain replacement of expensive things because of stupid mistakes. They make enough stupid mistakes as it is. They also find it difficult to deal with angry families or foreign nations when these accidents impact those entities.

    My early work experience was very similar to the business of space travel. I worked on high performance fighter aircraft. You had to focus very hard on safety and doing your job right because the danger level was already higher than most people see in their lives. On top of that, I was an armament systems specialist which means that I worked with things intended to blow up or otherwise kill people. Usually these devices were intended to kill large quantities of people or destroy very large and heavily armored vehicles or buildings. Safety was therefore extremely important because you didn't want one of these things going boom at the wrong time or place. Our goal was in fact to have the pilots fly around with these things and bring them back to us in one piece not having killed or destroyed anything. If/when we pulled that off it was A Good Thing(TM) . We were told, and I have witnessed, that if we took the time to do our jobs safely we would be doing them faster and at less cost than if we threw caution to the wind. Yes, I said that I have witnessed it.

    Safety was preached to us all day, every day. We began each day with a mission briefing, a prayer and a safety briefing. On the flightline we started every load with a safety briefing. At the end of the day we debriefed so that we might learn from the experience and be more safe tomorrow. If, at any step of the operation, anyone thought conditions were unsafe, they would speak up and everything stopped until the situation was corrected. It didn't matter if the person crying safety was a general or the newest airman fresh out of tech school and wet behind the ears. The fact that I ended my enlistment with all of my limbs is a testament to this culture of safety. When you consider the dangers involved....it's pretty darn mindblowing.

    If you compare tactical fighter operation with shuttle operation, the danger levels are very similar. Why then do we have NASA willing to launch a shuttle despite their top people saying it is unsafe to do so? When the engineers are saying "STOP", why is the mission allowed to proceed?

    This is not the first time that NASA has had a disregard for safety. In fact it's something of a way of life for them. Remember the Apollo 1 disaster and the hatch that couldn't be opened by the astronauts? And that's not the first such stupid unsafe act they were involved in. NASA and the CIA have always had this acceptable risk culture as part of their flight operations.

    The military has a culture of safety and, although their jobs are extremely dangerous, they do not believe in acceptable risk. The military is always working to make their jobs safer. NASA, on the other hand, has a culture of acceptable risk. They seem to figure that their jobs are dangerous and that's just the way it is. I'm thinking NASA could learn quite a bit from DoD. Yes, I actually typed that.

    If we're ever going to get off this rock, space travel has to become safe. If we're ever going to use space to our advantage it has to become affordable, and that means we can't be accepting high risk all the time. Therefore this culture of acceptable risk is holding back our space program.

    The Russians don't have the safest space program around but they sure have a cheaper space program that is just as active. The Soviets, when they ran the show, had a hell of a lot of stupid accidents. Then again, they have never spent the kind of

    --
    . Quit playing Monopoly with Bill. Switch to one of many non-Microsoft products today.
  95. Men Wanted for Hazardous journey... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative
    Small wages. Bitter cold. Long months of complete darkness. Constant danger. Safe return doubtful. Honour and recognition in case of success."

    -- Ernest Shackleton, 1900

  96. Sustainability by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The key to all of the arguments regarding the flight of the Shuttle is sustainability. A good analogy is the Precision Daylight Bombing campaign the US waged in World War II. The British tried to do precision daylight bombing, but had to revert to nighttime area bombing because their losses showed the effort would not be sustainable. There were many reasons, but chief among them were that the British didn't have the Norden bombsite initially, and that at the time they tried to make Precision Daylight Bombing work, the German Luftwaffe was a far more formidable foe.

    The US came into the picture in 1942, and wanted to validate Precision Daylight Bombing. They had a precision bomb sight that allowed them to pinpoint where the bombs would land in a highly technical and accurate way. This made the effort worth trying. Even so, the losses sustained after each mission were, initially, unsustainable. Several tactics had to be developed to give the bombers better protection, including the delivery of fighter aircraft that could escort the bombers directly to their targets. These changes lowered the losses to a point where the losses were sustainable, and much of Germany became of smoking hole as a result.

    The Shuttle is similar, but in microcosm... We started with 5 shuttles, and now have only 3 after losing 2 of them to spectacular failures. The questions that need to be answered after these initial losses are whether or not the fleet has a sustainability problem. If a shuttle is likely to explode or fail in some other way ever 25 missions, then the question of sustainability is answered. We will blow them all up eventually, and that will be the end of the program.

    The problem to solve is whether or not conditions have changed to a point where 3 shuttles can fly sustainably where before we had 5. Given that the shuttle is now a dead end project, and we are only looking to fly it for far less than would be implied by the 25 missions per shuttle failure, it would seem that sustainability is guaranteed.

    However, it will not work that way. If another shuttle fails spectacularly, it will end the program immediately. This is because the sustainability question would then be answered in that you don't get a solid 25 missions out of them, you get 5. And with only two remaining, you can't guarantee a significant liklihood of success with any given mission.

    If, on the other hand, the shuttle can be redesigned so that the will only fail every 100 missions or so, then the program can come to a normal termination. That's why the engineers are so balky about this at this point in time. Another shuttle failure, and there is no retirement. Just a nasty job search for a steely eyed rocket man in his middle 50's looking to keep from starving...

  97. Re:What was worth dying for? by Kuxman · · Score: 1

    What about exploration into the great unknown? Is that not important? 200 years ago, there was this thing called the Wild Frontier. Unsettled, unclaimed, and dangerous as hell. Oregon trail and Dysentery?

    My point is that exploration is vital to the survival and expansion of the human race. What would the world be like if Jefferson hadn't gone through with the Louisiana Purchase? And yes, while space travel is *very* young in its development relative to (first world) human life on earth, that's OK, because sooner or later, we MUST go into space to survive.

    --
    http://www.asti-usa.com
  98. I Wonder by GmAz · · Score: 1
    You have to wonder if this 'deadly foam' isn't a normal occurance. I mean up until 2003, it was never an issue. Perhaps the foam came off every launch and it just wasn't ever noticed. Now that the accident happened in 2003, everyone is watching for it to happen and just like it has since the shuttle's first launch, the foam falls off.

    Its just like if you go to the doctor and tell him to do a full physical on you, MRI, blood test, the works. Its almost a guarantee they will find something wrong, even if you have had it for years. The NASA engineers just never looked for falling foam.

    --
    Click Click Bloody Click PANCAKES!
  99. Risk assessment by Jeff1946 · · Score: 1

    Look we have had 120 flights, next one is STS-121. Challenger problem has been fixed so it doesn't count. So based on past performance one can say odds are about 1 in 100 something fatal may happen. I believe we only have about 20 more shuttle launches planned so odds are quite good nothing awful will happen. Maintaining the infrastructure is quite expensive so it's time to get on with it. We have three shuttles so there should be no problem finishing the station which is the only reason for maintaining the shuttle. I don't want to get into discussing the station as I start foaming at the mouth about what a waste of resources. Of course using a shuttle mission for something valuable to humankind, like prolonging the life of the space telescope is out of the question. I think NASA's motto has become "To unboldly not to go".

  100. Full speed! Damn those ageads! by aqk · · Score: 1

    from the damn-the-torpedoes-full-speed-agead dept

    Man! The beaurocracy at NASA is damnable!
    They even invent names for some of their more obscure departments!

    Let's hope they insulate them with some of that excess foam before the shuttle takes off...

    - Tony .... tonyking.tk

  101. Re: Shuttle destruction: powered vs unpowered by zippthorne · · Score: 1

    The thing that destroyed Columbia happened during the powered phase.

    --
    Can you be Even More Awesome?!
  102. Re:Indirect investment in ISS, Management Decision by maxpublic · · Score: 1

    Why? The ISS is going to cost US taxpayers in excess of $100 billion, to boldly sit where Skylab has sat before.

    I agree. What critical science has the ISS done that couldn't have been done with cheaper unmanned launches, for considerably less than $100 billion? Has it done *anything* worth $100 billion? So far as I can tell the answer is a resoundingly bloody "no!".

    I say kill the project, and the shuttle along with it. I'm not interested in maintaining a manned space program with my tax dollars simply because a few geeks with far too much testosterone floating around in their bloodstreams want to measure dick sizes. Or perhaps because they think they're 'entitled' to a shot at being an astronaut on my dime.

    When there's an actual NEED to send manned craft into space then we'll talk, assuming private industry hasn't already taken the lead. Until then I'll lobby my congress critters to shut down the manned program and instead put that money into unmanned probes and experiments.

    Max

    --
    My god carries a hammer. Your god died nailed to a tree. Any questions?
  103. Important Factor: Space Shuttle is NOT a car by iamlucky13 · · Score: 1

    So you're suggesting the space shuttle is about 10 times as dangerous per mile as a car, 20 times if you factor out alcohol.

    Considering the fact that it starts out as a couple million pounds of explosives, operates in an environment hostile to both man and machine, and survives high accelerations, ridiculously high temperatures, and debris and micrometeors traveling over 10 times as fast as a bullet, that sounds awesome. When cars become able to do that and deliver 50,000 pounds of cargo to orbit, and support science, and dock with a space station, and recover cargo from orbit (something no other spacecraft can currently do) then miles per death will have meaning when comparing cars to space shuttles.

    There is no longer any real doubt that the side-by-side stack and the overall complexity of the STS architecture add unnecessary risks compared to other designs. Some sort of ejection system like a launch escape motor is now considered a must-have. Combining crew and cargo on a single launch is also rather frowned upon. These were lessons driven home at a high cost, but that doesn't change the fact that the space shuttle has flown more than any other manned spacecraft, including Soyuz, which has also suffered loss of crew on two missions, had a couple more close calls, and represents multiple generations of design.

  104. Shutttle, July 1 Launch by p33p3r · · Score: 0

    If the TOP BR*ASSES had any common sense, they would launch on the 4th of July.
    This way they could possibly KILL (no pun intended) two birds with one stone.
    If all goes well, what day would be more perfect than Independence Day? Independence from gravity. If it does not go well, what a firecracker it would be.

  105. The really sad part is by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    that Nixon gutted the program by not funding it enough in the early phases. That is the time to spend a little. That is a big part of why the shuttle was the nightmare that it is. Now, with the CEV, Congress and GWB are trying again to underfund it. I am hopeful that Griffin will actually force congress to fully fund it by the games that he is playing (cutting all else except for ISS, the shuttle, and the new rocket, means that congress will have to fund the others).

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  106. Re: Shuttle destruction: powered vs unpowered by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Columbia wasn't actually destroyed until it was coasting in for a landing, unpowered drive-wise.
    But if you want to look at it that way, then the thing that destroyed Challenger (frozen O-rings) happened while it was sitting on the launch pad during an unpowered phase, so it evens out.

  107. I wonder if leaving off paint is part of problem by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

    Back in the early part of the design, the foam was supposed to have a coating of white paint. Then the engineers figured out how much it would weigh (which would come RIGHT out of payload capacity) and decided to leave the foam unpainted.

    I wonder if leaving off the paint made the foam more susceptable to environmental problems - like water getting into the texture and freezing - or if the paint would have provided enough added tensile strength to the surface to avoid the fracturing and detachment.

    And if so, perhaps a suitable stabilizing/strengthing paint could be found or designed that would provide enough inuslating quality to replace an equivalent weight of foam, or encourage a compensating amount of condensation or rainwater/dew to slide off during flight, that the weight penalty could be avoided.

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
  108. Re:Indirect investment in ISS, Management Decision by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
    Why? The ISS is going to cost US taxpayers in excess of $100 billion, to boldly sit where Skylab has sat before.
    Right. And the entire ocean has been gone over multiple times with research vessels - so we can scrap them all, there's nothing new to learn after all.
  109. Re:Indirect investment in ISS, Management Decision by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
    Since we don't currently have a reliable manned booster to rotate crew on and off the station...
     
    Yeah we do; it's called the Soyuz. There's no reason why we can't just build a bunch of them instead of continuing to launch overgrown school buses at the thing!
    Here in the real world, Soyuz safety and reliability is roughly on par with the Shuttle (to the limits of statistics with such small sample size).
     
     
    Any replacement for the Shuttle doesn't have to be perfect, it just has to be better than the Shuttle. Freakin Apollo fits that description; they could just build some more of those!
    Actually, Apollo (the CSM) had problems and faults of varying significance on nearly every flight - and it didn't fly nearly enough to state with confidence just how safe and reliable it would be over the long term. (Hell, the Soyuz (90 odd flights) and the Shuttle (117 flights) haven't even flown enough to be confident of their safety and reliability rates.)
  110. no wonder ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    ... let alone 6.5 trillion humans on earth ...

    The global population went up by 3 orders of magnitude recently? No wonder it's so crowded lately. Sheesh ...
  111. Re:The Soyuz is safe now, no need to kill astronau by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Who gives a rat's nad about that cheap ass piece of crap soyuz!

        Honastly shut up about that flying garbage heap.

        Let's hear about some real and usefull alternatives to the shuttle not crap like
      this that doesn't deserve mention to begin with and should have been tossed in
      the garbage long ago.

        Utter trash and crap that's all soyuz was is and will ever be.

  112. The Astronauts and Safety by DarkNemesis618 · · Score: 1
    One thing that I didn't see mentioned is this. Space is inherently dangerous. Whether it be going up on the Shuttle, Mercury capsules, Gemini Capsules, Apollo Capsules, or Soyuz Capsules, space is dangerous. It doesn't matter what the success rate is, whether you have one accident in 10 launches or 1 in 2 million, space is still dangerous and the astronauts are made FULLY aware of the risks. But the astronauts believe in what they're doing so they accept the risk and go up. Heres a few lists of NASA disasters or close calls.

    Mercury 2 - hatch blows off prior to rescue ship reaching capsule. Sinks to the bottom of the ocean with astronaut Grissom still aboard

    Gemini 6 - Engines cut off 6 seconds into launch. (you're sitting upon fuel that if it were to explode would equal that of a small atom bomb without the radiation)

    Gemini 8 - Upon docking with the Agena target vehicle, Gemini capsule spins uncontrollably, Astronauts Neil Armstrong and David Scott almost black out and die. (The first astronaut to land on the moon was almost the first to die in space)

    Apollo 1 - Fire in the cockpit during a routine test, all 3 astronauts killed.

    Apollo 12 - Rocket hit by lightning twice during launch.

    Apollo 13 - Oxygen tank explodes halfway to moon crippling the spacecraft. (you know the rest)

    Challenger - Explodes 73 seconds into launch, all 7 astronauts killed

    Columbia - Breaks up during reentry, all 7 astronauts killed

    Russia's first capsule (I forget the name) - explodes on launchpad instead of launching, astronauts and engineers killed

    Soyuz - parachutes failed and capsule slams into the ground

    I write this to show that despite the popular belief that the shuttle is the only craft that has problems, it is/was not. And the astronauts as I said earlier know this and I think NASA does their best to minimalize risks. If this wasn't the case, you would have seen another shuttle on the launchpad shortly after the Challenger failure and after the Columbia tragedy. But NASA worked on things to try to cut down on foam loss. They thought they had it last July but were proven wrong when a big chunk still fell off. So again, they grounded the fleet instead of ignoring it and launching again. In all actuality, eliminating all foam loss is probably not possible. What they're doing is making sure that any foam lost is small enough that it won't do any damage. Either way, the astronauts no FULL well, what they're getting into when they climb into the orbiter.

    --
    What's the matter, James? No glib remark? No pithy comeback?
  113. Another Failure of the Free Market. by Bob_Robertson · · Score: 0, Redundant
    "If this thing blows up, guess who're going to be blamed for it?"


    That's easy: Capitalism and the Free Market.

    That's who gets blamed for every government bureaucratic boondoggle.

    Slashdot is hardly the place to call for abolishing NASA and repealing all the laws against individual exploitation of space. Too many government run public school "graduates" who have accepted the "government is good" Big Lie hook, line and sinker. Or rather, "lock, stock, and barrel."

    Bob-
    --
    The Ludwig von Mises Institute. The reasoning individuals economics