Verizon Refuses To Provide Complete IPv6
Glendale2x writes "I'm a progressive sort of guy and I want to go full dual-stack, IPv6 for the future, etc. However I recently tried to turn up a new Verizon circuit with IPv6 (after a 6-month fiber install process), and to my chagrin the order they accepted back in May they're now saying is against their policy to provide. They're missing around 29% of the IPv6 internet and refuse to carry it. Tell me again how we're supposed to encourage IPv6 adoption in the face of a huge black hole like this?"
They'd damn well better give you a full refund if that v6 was an essential part of the contract.
If verizon's pulling this shit AND trying to keep your money they need their asses spanked in court, big time.
I think IPv6 is going to end up as another VCD (Video CD). That is, a pre-mature solution that won't ever actually see wide-scale adoption, but will merely fill the space until the _real_ solution is invented (out of genuine necessity).. which will probably be widely adopted quite quickly.
Lets face it.. we've been on the brink of running out of IP's in the IPv4 space for _years_... and life has continued. One day we will... but I think by that point a better technology than IPv6 will have been invented to fix the problem.. and IPv6 will be viewed as a bad dream :(
That being said.. the situation you describe is complete bullshit.. and inherently _everything_ we've come to expect from a large telco
From the EVIL 29% of the internet.
IPv4 Exhaustion is expected approximately 734 days from today's date. That is just about 2 years.
It takes a lot longer than 2 years to develop a networking standard, and gain acceptance from the community, and no alternative has even been proposed.
There are two solutions on the table: IPv6 and IPv4 with carrier grade NAT.
It's going to be one of those things, in two years.
IPv6 is a very mature solution. The reason you've been hearing about the IPv4 space running out for years is because it's been prepared for, for about that long of a time. Estimates as to when it'll run out haven't drastically changed, although we are now much closer to the point than we were five years ago :-)
Plus I have an IPv6 connection and home and I'm loving it!
I'm sure Comcast will find it very interesting to know that their impending deployment of IPv6 to millions of devices will have all been a bad dream.
If you don't know what's actually going on behind the scenes with IPv6, I suggest you stop talking. You just make yourself look silly.
Does that imply there was a contract between you and Verizon? If so you should pursue them for breach.
I don't think the Telcos are finished punishing us for de-regulation yet. They want us to cry for Ma Bell, and then when the rates go through the roof, we might be forgiven.
The cost of that cleanup, of course, will be borne by taxpayers, not industry.
Maybe AT&T is better; I just came off a two year contract at Verizon, supporting provisioning tools for your very product. For years the big push at Verizon has been to off-shore. I'm not sure they really understand Data they way they run "worldcom/MCI".
If it was my money, I would try AT&T, they are way bigger (I hear) than Verizon in the Data arena.
http://[2001:4860:b006::84]/search?hl=en&q=cache:http://www.rollernet.us/wordpress/2009/10/verizon-refuses-to-provide-complete-ipv6/&aq=f&oq=&aqi=
I think IPv6 is going to end up as another VCD (Video CD).
It's gonna be HUGE in Asia (for a time) while being ignored by the rest of the world?
so are you saying that the ISP is filtering the packets ?
can you tell what equipment they are using ?
personally I wish ISP's would just send out routers that where IPv6 compliant (are you listening British Telecom...)
regards
John Jones
ipv6 access to rollernet.us seems to be down.
Either that, or your site's been slashdotted...
"Carrier-grade NAT" is not a solution, it's an oxymoron, and one that has already been rejected by the real world.
another VCD (Video CD)
You mean it will be widely deployed in Asia, be very cheap, better compression and without DRM?
Sounds good.
What's wrong with IPv6 exactly?
I've been running dual stack on test servers just because and it seems to work fine. I've tested Windows Server 2008 and Vista clients with IPv6 and it works fine. I even get IPv6 connections to some internet servers like Mozilla.
Admittedly, I'm not an expert, but I'm looking forward to the end of NAT on every router.
That 29%? All porn. And we're talking good stuff, too.
They're missing around 29% of the IPv6 internet and refuse to carry it.
That's because 28% of it is 4chan and the other 1% is unaccounted-for dark matter.
"Tell me doctor, with all of your defenses, are there any provisions for an attack by killer bees?"
Tell me again how we're supposed to encourage IPv6 adoption in the face of a huge black hole like this?
Well call me Captain Obvious, but I'd say don't subscribe to Verizon. If enough people want it, eventually either Verizon will offer it or they'll go out of business. Either way it's a win for consumers.
"The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." ~Thomas Jefferson
Right, and they have been saying two years for about 12 years now. Just like how we've been 10 years away from running out of oil for close to 40 years, and about 10 years away from commercialized fusion for about the same amount of time.
The Christian Right is Neither (Christian nor right). See: Matthew 23, Matthew 25, Ezekiel 16:48-50
Except China. The latest figure I've heard is six levels of NAT in some places.
How many vendors right now are still deploying products that don't have ipv6? how many of these companies who could provide firmware updates won't so that they can simply force hardware upgrades on users? ipv6 can be easily switched in 6months if the networking hardware companies were willing to provide free firmware updates for hardware up to 2 years old. If they did that we'd be talking about ipv6 coming in 6months instead of the current situation of non-existance.
IPv4 is a measurable finite resource. There are 2^32 of them. You can plot it on a graph fairly accurately.
if the reason that the big boys don't want to go to IPv6 is that they stand to lose an additional money maker. They can charge for publicly available IP addresses with IPv4. In IPv6, every address would be public. This might explain carrier reluctance to make the change. It gives them one less way to nickle and dime the consumer.
Let us know when the exact number of available IPv4 addresses is in dispute. A comparison to oil in this context is absurd.
The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
[citation needed]
In 2003, RIPE NCC noted that estimates fell around 2012. I will grant you that 2003 is not 12 years ago, only 6, but that was a result on the first page of google for "IPv4 run-out estimates over time."
I'm unfamiliar with oil reserves and cold fusion research, but I'd like to see your justifications for those claims, too :-)
If you think this is bad just wait for comcast to bill you per ipv6 ip how about $5/m per system.
-Aggressive purchase/selloff of unused IP space (there are companies with class As that come no where near 16.7 million systems).
-ISPs dropping granting an IP to residential customers and phones on the base plans, using NAT upstream
In other words, the world is so IPv6 averse that the IP exhaustion will not really happen in the medium-term future. While it is sad, the fact that 95% of the internet does not care or know about having a globally unique IP address will keep NAT a viable solution for a while. I.e. just as some people pay extra for a single static IP address, in the next few years, expect to have to pay a premium for a single real IP for others to reach you at.
XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve the problem, use more.
Verizon has been notorious for seriously resticting its network usage on both the wired and wireless sides. When your able to shape things to minimal usage, its easier to have 5/9 service and minimize congestion.
Thanks to China's Carrier-grade NAT you aren't seeing levels seven through 1,345,751,000. In China OLPC means One Level of network address translation Per Citizen.
Knowledge is how to play a game, intelligence is how to win, wisdom is knowing what game to play.
I know I'm only seeing a small piece of the diagnostics here, but it's my understanding that they are correct that Verizon's end-user network should act as a stub as far as end-user traffic is concerned. If the problem is that they won't route traffic from your address (inside Verizon's /32) to another direct-allocation network that is in fact a legitimate BGP peer for IPv6 services, I'd complain to ARIN directly that their traffic is being dropped.
IPv4 Exhaustion is expected approximately 734 days from today's date. That is just about 2 years.
Remember the story about the boy who cried wolf? Yah. This is that.
Comment of the year
IPv4 is a measurable finite resource. There are 2^32 of them. You can plot it on a graph fairly accurately.
Predicting the end of IPv4 addresses is like predicting the end of any other measurable, finite resource:
As we get near the end, if there is demand there will be rationing or an increase in price to drive demand down. Either way, the supply will last longer than a naive prediction would indicate.
IPv4 NAT has already reduced the rate of exhaustion beyond what it would be without it, albeit at the price of reduced inter-connectivity.
If IPv6 isn't rolled out nearly globally soon, I think you'll see a lot more carriers handing out NAT'd addresses for new customers unless those customers are willing to pay extra for a world-visible address. Within a year after that they'll jack up the prices on existing customers who don't "downgrade" to the cheaper NAT'd plan. This will buy more time, but, again, at the cost of decreased connectivity.
Of course, I could be wrong, there could be something new and easier to implement coming down the pike, in which case all bets are off.
Knowledge is how to play a game, intelligence is how to win, wisdom is knowing what game to play.
I expect RFC 3041 will make that somewhat difficult.
VCD's never caught on in the U.S. or Europe, but they were quite important in East Asia. According to Professor Wikipedia, over half of all Chinese have a VCD player.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Video_cd#Adoption
You actually have to twiddle a setting to block all incoming unsolicited connections! *cue rim shot*
Thank you, thank you, catch my next show tomorrow night and every night at:
http://192.168.0.1/davidwr/shows
Knowledge is how to play a game, intelligence is how to win, wisdom is knowing what game to play.
I'm not sure what the rules are on reselling IP-addresses (is it up to the individual IPv4 registries?), but even finite resources never truly run out, they just get more expensive over time (see Hotelling's rule). With a liquid-enough market in IP addresses, it get's even better (Hotelling's rule assumes the resource is used up, like oil, not reusable, like IP addresses). As the price of IP addresses goes up, more and more work will be put into NAT or similar workarounds (like how HTTP 1.1 introduced the host header), as those efforts will suddenly become cost effective. People who really need raw IP addresses will always be able to get them, just for a price. It is kinda similar to oil in that plotting current trends is always going to be misleading, as that will overlook the effect of future innovations. I actually like IPv6. I just highly doubt the dire predictions about what will happen to IPv4 734 days fraom now.
therefore, ipv6 is bad for Verizon?
Build your own energy sources from scratch. http://otherpower.com/
No it won't. It will be some bandaid solution thought of at the last minute that will patch things together until the current crop of CEOs get their golden parachutes.
Sorry, but I'm very cynical on this. Few businesses are "forward looking"; most look back to the heyday when life was good and want nothing to do with any new invention if they can help it. Look at the entertainment industry, the paper press industry, the telecom industry... They've all been fighting new tech for years.
Heck, if it was up to AT&T we'd all be dialing on our Princess Phones.
Since 99.44% of the Interwebs are porn, odds are you aren't missing much unique material.
Knowledge is how to play a game, intelligence is how to win, wisdom is knowing what game to play.
The boy who cried wolf might have turned out differently if the boy were able to predict the approximate future date at which the wolf would come, and periodically reminded people that the date was getting closer.
You know the whole story surrounding IPv4 and IPv6 really reminds of a cool short story written by Isaac Asimov called The Last Question. It's really an awesome story about how ever-increasing entropy means that human life will someday run out of energy. It entails various people from vastly different periods in future human history posing the question what will happen when entropy reaches maximum, how to reverse it, and then reflecting on a temporary solution. For instance, humanity is running out of coal and whatnot so they turn to the Sun, yet two men discuss how that is only a temporary solution and so on.
It's hard to tell from the summary, but did you sign a contract with them back in May that included IPv6 support? If yes, and they spent six months building out the line only to tell you in the end, "oh, sorry, we don't want to do IPv6 anymore" then you can get them in court for material change of contract. If there was no contract (hard to believe if there was a 6-month build-out), or if it never specified IPv6 anywhere, then you're hosed and pretty much get what you deserve for taking Verizon's word at face value. :)
First and perhaps foremost, a lot of the industry has formulated a non-trivial amount of their business plan around the artificial scarcity of IPv4. It is recommended that even residences get /48 prefixes, though some have asked that to be reduced to /56, giving every person up to 255 subnets to route, each subnet being able to host 18 quintillion hosts in a globally unique fashion. Giving a singe IP address just won't cut it since no one has bothered to do NATing on IPv6.
Secondly, no sanctioned way exists for an IPv6 only 'client' to communicate with an IPv4 'server'. I know that the engineers of IPv6 have a pure vision of a peer to peer internet where NAT is evil, but they needed to embrace it to get a very bad problem addressed. If it were baked in, then ISPs would suddenly have an incentive to migrate. As it stands, IPv6 represents only a financial burden, since it requires investment *and* they can't cut off IPv4 due to lack of interoperability. With this, suddenly, the still valuable IPv4 space wouldn't need to be given out to end customers, and IPv6 could carry them through.
One alternative would be for ISPs to start giving out private IPv4 addresses and doing the NATing for IPv4 that way, then assigning IPv6 networks for usage more in the spirit of symmetric peers. However, ISPs aren't particularly incentivized to go beyond the first step of taking away globaly IPv4 addresses. This comes to a third reason, we can still game the system with ISP level NAT a lot more since a vast majority of IP addresses in use are used by people who wouldn't even know they were behind an external NAT gateway if it happened to them one day. Most every modern internet usage is designed to tolerate NATs. Torrent and friends are more impacted than others, but most people still use http for 99% of their internet experience, and do not serve at all.
XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve the problem, use more.
IPv4 is already a problem for certain industries.
Take mobile networks for example. How many cell phones are out there? How many smartphones with web browsers? How much private IP space is available? These technologies use IP, and it is becoming a serious network deployment issue. I guarantee you that there is no way in hell that Verizon would be able to get themselves a /6 (64 million ips) of ipv4 space in order to solve their problems - and that might not quite do it either. It's not just the phones, its every GSM/UTMS network device in between as well.
The average person in the first world is already probably using 2-3 IP addresses themselves, and it's only going to get worse. Just wait another 5 years until most (currently) second world countries, say another 2.5 billion people, start moving into that range.
NAT saved us a lot of time. That is why life has continued. But it's starting to reach the end of its use - we've consolidated and masked things too much. Some industries of which I have involvement are already duplicating 10/8 multiple times in order to be able to continue. IPv6 MUST happen, and preferably not too far from now.
Reselling IP addresses is exceedingly difficult unless you do it under the table.
Strictly speaking, it's explicitly not allowed in most regions.
Yeah, except for I've been hearing the "two more years" stuff for at least the last 5 if not the last 10 years. Always 2 more years. And those years have passed and we haven't run out yet.
Taxation is legalized theft, no more, no less.
Citation needed. The only predictions I ever recall hearing were "Sometime around 2010-2012".
I'm sure Comcast will find it very interesting to know that their impending deployment of IPv6 to millions of devices will have all been a bad dream.
If you don't know what's actually going on behind the scenes with IPv6, I suggest you stop talking. You just make yourself look silly.
You know what else makes one look silly? When you complain about someone else's ignorance without enlightening us all as to how that person is mistaken and what the truth of the matter might be. And no, saying "Comcast is using IPV6" doesn't tell us anything about the other providers and how quickly those others are exhausting IPV4 addresses. If you're going to be this much of a dick about it, you should back it up with something more than a one-liner.
And yes, we know you're the supreme master of superior IP knowledge, your shit doesn't stink, and you can walk on water. You're just a better human being than anyone who doesn't hvave all the facts about IPV6, so your blatantly condescending reply is completely justfied. Feel better now? Good. Now quit putting down the GP and answer my request, please.
Get in touch with your state's Attorney General, saying that they only notified you about their non-compliance after you had all ready committed to them. CourtesyCopy the FCC, which seems actually interested in regulating monopolistic corporations on the Internet.
Attach as much material support of your trials and tribulations as possible. The paper trail will provide these lawyers with the material support to begin the attack.
Gods don't kill people, people with gods kill people.
How much private IP space is available?
Hypothetically, assuming only one tier of NAT, could be around 4 quadrillion or so. Beyond what is reasonable, but suffice to say, even the fanciest phones can get by without a universally addressable IP for 99.9% of their users, and I anticipate the cellular carriers to take full advantage of that before putting users on IPv6, effectively 'breaking' most of the 'real' internet as far as their customers would observe and think of it. A lot would be easier with managing their network with globally unique addresses, but as it stands they could segregate management of phones such that 16 million are in one 10. namespace, another 16 million are in a distinct 10. namespace, etc etc.
XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve the problem, use more.
Not sure about him but I was told 2050 for oil reserves 15 years ago. Not ten years. Cold fusion research is random about every 10 years a major break through happens with a media saying that we will have it in another 10 years.
Of course listening to the media is like listening to fox news. you don't get anything useful if your an open minded intelligent person. the rhetoric and misdirection is just too much.
i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
I'm assuming you don't have much experience in the real world. I am an architect on a fairly large network. 100,000 active unique DHCP's per day. We use PAT EXTENSIVELY. Unless you have a very specific reason to have a real world external IP, you don't get one. And very few people get externals. We usually give 1:1 NAT's before externals.
Why...? The average American consumer does not comparison shop for price or quality or some other logical value - they shop for convenience.
/. geek techies included - who do NOT shop around, read reviews, care about prices, actually know if what they're buying will do what they need or want it to do, or cannot make good logical reasoned timely decisions out here buying things for most businesses to care much about anything except selling the product.
That means that most businesses advertise and emphasize products for those buyers who have been educated by advertising, lifestyle, convention, popularity, and so on since the end of WW2 to be consumers. They know full well that while some dissatisfied buyers will complain, ask for rebates or refunds, etc., the more difficult it is to get satisfaction the more likely it is disgruntled buyers will opt for the convenience of not pursuing their complain and just go away. That's why they make it more convenient to just go away.
The businesses also know that with an increasing number of buyers, maintaining popularity by branding and constant advertising to make the product's name very familiar, and a cycle of planned obsolescence that promotes replacement by incompatibility, they will always have enough business to keep going and satisfy their investors who want a positive, increasing ROI.
The common response of "I'll take my business elsewhere" means nothing - unless it's a twittered cause or class action suit or patently illegal or there are bodily injuries that the news media can use to fuel its own promotional fires. There are too many average consumers - IT
And the bigger the company (think telco, think monopoly or near-monopoly, think what you want) the more emphasis there is on balancing income and expenses to turn a profit - which means that the expense of a certain number of problems with the product like warranty issues, replacements or repairs, or servicing customers has already been built into the price. If problems are fewer than planned for, profits are higher. And vice versa. Which is why businesses make it difficult for problems to cost them money (non-responsive customer service, denying claims, short or limited warranties, minimal product support, and so on and so on).
keywords: planned obsolescence, minimal customer service, consumer mentality, the power of a group, investor mentality
I assume he refers to the ability to realistically have more than one public address in your house, whether it be static or dynamic in nature. I personally have one public IPv4 address and maybe half a dozen devices to share it.
And to extend on his point, I will bet in the next year or so ISPs will start issuing addresses to residences that are in a private subnet range and charge people extra for not being behind a NAT gateway (if they haven't already).
XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve the problem, use more.
That's like the claim that species never go extinct.
While it's true that THIS finite resource will never run out, because there will always be the same number if addresses, that's not what you said. And this sloppy thinking infects the rest of your argument.
E.g., NAT is already used in a large fraction of the cases where it is a satisfactory solution. This means that it will increasingly be used in cases where it's not a satisfactory solution, because there isn't any alternative.
OTOH, I agree that 734 days is too precise a prediction. I'd have said somewhere in the range of 600-1000 days. And there will be a continued dribble of a supply as entities drop their IP that will last for at least years. But it will be just a trickle supply.
However, I haven't heard of any technical problem with IPv6...though I admit I haven't been paying attention. To me it looks as if the only problem is lack of adoption by the nets. And I'm not sure if there's any reason for that beyond inertia.
I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
It'd be really cool if someone out there were to run a REAL service provider. You know, someone who provided a certain amount of access for a specific price, but otherwise didn't meddle with the traffic. No blocking of VOIP, no intereference with P2P, no other "service related" shenanigans. Just a stinking COMMON CARRIER with a neutral communications platform based on open standards. WTF?!
COMMON CARRIER for the ISPs out there, since they apparently have NFIWTF they are supposed to be doing, means that you don't muck with stuff that is none of your business. I don't care if you want to provide all kinds of additional services for the customers that want them. That's fine. Just leave the rest of your customers traffic alone and provide a baseline level of service. Sell users their 1MB, 100MB, or GB of bandwidth with a specific latency expectation, then back off.
Your meddling is the equivalent of a telecom introducing static to phone calls that continue longer than you would like, or blocking certain phone numbers from being called. It is uncalled for, it is stupid, and sooner or later you will pay the price. Good business is good for business, morons.
take your ipv6 and get stuffed hippy! .... you probably drive a prius too!!!! The widespread use of 1918 space has virtually eliminated any need for ipv6 on the public internet .... if you NEED ipv6 its either because you just got your ccna and you're trying to prove something or you just read network computing from 1900 and found out that it's the next big thing. ... it's adoption far outweighs that of elective colonoscopy but really who want's something shoved in their arse ;)
I'm getting rather sick of reading posts along the lines of "it doesn't work," "it'll never work," and "you need to have one work for the other." In 2006-2007, I tried deploying an IPv4-based TINC setup on my office computers. However, to maintain this, you needed a computer at each of the bigger sites, and smaller systems tied to a common system: I had over 100 nodes chained together like this. By summer 2007, it was unsustainable: I had already been researching IPv6, and decided to start implementing it as a solution for accessing things like Intranet, VNC, and remote file systems. By the end of 2007, I had more or less eliminated the IPv4 chains with a setup of our sites using NAT'd IPv4 in the 192.168-whatever range, and individual IPv6 subnets for each site, tied together by an ethernet-based TINC install on OpenWRT routers. It has worked above and beyond my expectations: we can use regular Internet; we can use IPv6 global and internal resources. If it doesn't support v6 out of the box, chances are it works with "portproxy" fine. With a transition to newer Linux systems and Vista/2008 Windows systems, it becomes more streamlined. You can't avoid v6: its all around you. I believe in it and I've made it work.
Life is irony, and nothing ever goes as planned.
The service they promise (sort of)... but they're being *******'es about it. If I understand correctly they provide article author two options (1) Use Verizon IP addresses, or (2) Use their ARIN assignment and peer with Verizon AS 701.
Where Verizon blocks announcements of prefixes longer than /32.
This is a long-standing (braindead) policy on Verizon's part, that doesn't even account for the fact that RIRs are handing out /48 PI assignments in some cases, and there can be multi-homed sites with /56s.
In other words, a third of the V6 internet. You can think of this as the IPv4 equivallent of only accepting announcement of a /19 or larger block of IP addresses.
Verizon isn't well known for having complete IPv6 connectivity, a lot of "IPv6 providers" don't. If you are serious about V6 connectivity, you definitely want to get multiple providers.
In the V6 world, connectivity is sparse, and filtering is overly aggressive from the likes of Verizon and other big V4 players, almost as if they're not really all that serious about ensuring global V6 reachability. I would say 2 or 3 transit providers is needed for bare minimum connectivity. And naturally it's better if you can peer with others...
IPv6 itself isn't a premature technology. If suddenly adopted every where, the world would ultimately not have the NAT problem anymore. The problem is that no solution that would extend the address space can exist and be perfectly inter-operable with IPv4 during a transitional period.
Have some blessed strategy to have IPv6->IPv4 NAT in place at the ISP level, and it's feasible. Problem is, that would have to compete with the more straightforward case of IPv4->IPv4 NAT that is much cheaper to strategize around. Sadly, it looks more and more like the 'real' solution is the NAT we have today, as it fits the needs of 95% of the internet users even if you took their one public IP address away.
XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve the problem, use more.
IPv6 is a very mature solution.
No. No it is not. Speaking of only things off the top of my head that affect my business: IPv6 at an aggregation router level that can handle complex ACLs only exists in the highest end hardware (meaning MUCH more expensive gear than what I need for IPv4 - as in 3x the cost or more). Most SIP hardware vendors simply don't support IPv6 (think session border controllers and RTP proxies), client side software is no better, and I'm not away of a single major termination carrier that supports it, nor any origination. So, if it doesn't even work for one narrow case (VoIP wholesale/retail blend), just how many others do you think are out there where it's simply not ready? I'm going to guess A LOT, because my business is just not all that out of the ordinary.
Do not fold, spindle or mutilate.
The problem is that any known solutions are incompatible with existing IPv4 infrastructures. Utilities don't want to replace their old IPv4 only routers, and instead are waiting for a magical holy grail that will fix all the problems without costing any money. The _real_ solution is here today, it's called IPv6 and it is not a space filler, and hardware exists today that can make use of it unlike any hypothetical"better technologies".
Until the government steps in and mandates the complete IPv6 spec, it's not going to happen. It's been dragging along for years. Someone...and I'm not sure who...is going to have to declare an end to older standards and set a transition date. There's a lot of good reasons to do it, just no looming cliff to force the issue.
Then we can look forward to old network engineers standing up at public meetings and screaming to keep the government out of their internets. ;)
That's our life, the big wheel of shit. - The Fat Man, Blue Tango Salvage
Ok... what's the band-aid solution the CEOs use when the Enterprise SQL server has less than 10GB of disk space remaining on its data drive, and business requirements demand that approximately 1GB of new data be stored every day (transaction records) ?
Are you suggesting the businesspeople won't authorize the storage system be upgraded or changed to allow more storage capacity?
There's really no inexpensive band-aid solution that effectively lets you get around IP exhaustion.
I hadn't heard anything on oil reserves; 2050 is interesting, seems like the time is right to be experimenting with alternate energy sources, kind of like we are :-) I kinda guessed cutting edge research would be generating sensationalist stories, but big media's only out to expose more viewers to attached advertising anyway.
Can you try another ISP? If they fully support IPV6 then they should attract customers away from Verizon. The free market will solve this problem if there is real value to IPV6.
I'm afraid that while IPv6 has many features, the upstream roll-out is hindered by necessary hardware and configuration upgrades, and interoperability with IPv4 for at least another decade. And frankly, with the effective use of NAT and staggered layers of NAT around the world, the overwhelming need of IPv6 has also evaporated for another decade.
Can you show me a single feature of IPv6 that Verizon's customers actually need? One that isn't also manageable with NAT and reasonably intelligent load balancers?
That won't be a problem.
Since when have companies ever followed the rules?
Especially corproations that have the government in their pockets.
It's sorta how bribing the ref can make sure you win the game.
The trouble is using a linear formula to predict a negatively exponential event.
You know, that "sky is falling" prediction has been coming and going for years now. It's always just a couple years away. Things get reallocated, and then it's "oh a couple years away". Someone always "discovers" IPv6, because they were just taught about it and suddenly it's the most important thing to them since storing rations for Y2K.
Sept 1998 ... IPv4's 4.2 billion addresses will run out in about 10 years-by 2010 at the latest.
In many ways, the transition from IPv4 to IPv6 marks the period of the Internet's adolescence. Within the user community, there's angst over
July 1999 - Wired
The Internet on Thursday began moving from its old addressing system to a radically new one, though no one is likely to notice.
After four years of testing, the Internet Assigned Numbers Authority on Thursday rolled out Version 6 of the Internet Protocol (IPv6), the next-generation numeric addressing system for the global network.
March 2002, screen digest
Under present conditions, Internet protocol (IP) addresses will run out by 2005, according to report by European Commission. Old IP version four (IPv4) cannot provide each person around the world with one address, especially since greater proportion of addresses have been assigned to North America.
May 2007, internetnews.com
The IPv4 Address Report lists two possible dates for when the number of IPv4 dates will run out: April 17, 2010 or December 2, 2010, depending on the source.
Serious? Seriousness is well above my pay grade.
So what exactly is wrong with IPv6 that it needs to be replaced by 'better technology'? I've always been under the impression there is nothing (major) technically wrong with IPv6 and that its lack-luster adoption is simply because there is no urgent need for it, and so no business willing to update their infrastructure for it yet.
So that must mean we will never run out of IP's or oil then...?
Just because the estimates may be off doesn't negate the reality of the situation.
Still, those ISPs can start offering cheaper plans to those willing to take a NAT'd IP address (read: charging more if you want a raw IP. This is already happening in the commercial space). The logic still works. Those who really need IP addresses will be able to pay to get them. And those who don't will work with improved NAT and related technologies.
In 734 days, you will be able to get an IPv4 address if you really want one. Still, as I said, I like IPv6. Who wants to pay a premium when the "scarcity" is artificially created by a limited number of bits?
"listening to the media is like listening to fox news"
What? So, you're saying they're *all* as bad as Fox News? I would agree, just seems funny that Fox News ends up as the example.
I think IPv6 is going to end up as another VCD (Video CD). That is, a pre-mature solution that won't ever actually see wide-scale adoption, but will merely fill the space until the _real_ solution is invented (out of genuine necessity).. which will probably be widely adopted quite quickly.
It will only be another VCD if another technology comes in and trumps it. In the case of VCD it was trumped by DVD, because which ever way you look at it there was always a need for something better than VHS. In the case of IPv6 it provides solutions to the problems we have today. The problem we have are people trying to implement IPv6 solution using approaches designed for IPv4, such as NAT or DHCPv6, or just aren't waking up and smelling the coffee. Its not happening faster because many people don't want to put the time or effort into it. If you are upgrading hardware, why not make sure that IPv6 is basic functionality that you can activate when your upstream provider provides it.
If you look around implementing IPv6 is not complicated, but it is complicated while important parties are playing their part.
I have been using IPv6 for the past two years and have learnt about it. What I have learnt is that in North America we are dragging out feet big time and the only workaround is using IPv6 tunnels. I have used a mixture of Teredo, SixXS, Freenet6 and the Apple Airport Extreme, depending on where I am. One thing that surprised me is that IPSec was originally an IPv6 technology 'back ported' to IPv4. In France Free.fr already provides IPv6 to its customers and apparently used this technology to make it happen:
http://www.ietf.org/id/draft-despres-sam-03.txt
Jumpstart the tartan drive.
Oh sure. That was back when companies used to get piles of addresses and then they realized they didn't need them. However, now you can actually plot out the max number of IP4 addresses and see almost to the day when we're going to run out. It's a moot point, this is coming, it will be here, and in 2yrs give or take a couple of weeks shy of more address blocks being released back into the public domain; that'll be it.
Om, nomnomnom...
IPv4 Exhaustion is expected approximately 734 days from today's date. That is just about 2 years.
It's not 734 days... It's 1173 days. Mayan predicted the end of IPv4 on Dec 21 2012.
I agree, I personally have rented the use of 1000's of IPv4 addresses, I have also rented the use of 100's of gallons of beer, and a few hundred barrels of oil.
I am now done using 99% of all of the above and have returned it, although only the IP addresses were returned in the same condition as before I rented them (although some of the uses were pretty darn disgusting.)
Since IPv4 addresses are never used up, and infinitely re-assignable I am guessing you would always be able to purchase those, much like the beer I purchased. Not sure how that will be true of the oil though, I guess it should replenish in a few million years.
Wow, you clearly know nothing of the history of the VCD. HINT: VCDs, while never very popular in the USA, continue to enjoy great popularity in other parts of the world, especially most parts of Asia (with the exception of Japan).
Ask Slashdot: Where bad ideas meet poor googling skills.
... a big public statement from the FCC saying that this kind of action is not to be upheld?
I hope EFF knows what to do here.
There are two solutions on the table: IPv6 and IPv4 with carrier grade NAT.
It's going to be one of those things, in two years.
Carrier grade NAT would be fine for a lot of users. Just make cheaper plans with NAT for the facebook,myspace,email crowd.
Mobile phones don't need public IP addresses and there are only a handful of things that most users do that requires incoming connections.
P2P, VOIP, IM file transfers all of which the ISP could proxy in some way.
2 years is also not long enough to deploy IPv6 for a lot of ISPs. I imagine it's just going to get more and more hacky until they can't hack it anymore, which will probably be in 10 years.
...and that is all I have to say about that.
http://jessta.id.au
It's a bit like suggesting you can sell parts of your land (real-estate) under the table, without notifying the county records office of the sale..
The problem is... there's a registered owner (or deed holder). And having someone tell you that you can use some IP addresses is useless unless you can get traffic to them.
The action required to get traffic to go to an IP address is very public, you have to announce the IP address space using an AS number.
The only way for you to do it without setting off alarm bells is to pretend that you ARE the person you "bought" the IPs from under the table, using their AS number.
Your announcement will probably be filtered, since your IP block is a portion of theirs (it's smaller than the assignment)
So the traffic goes to them... unless they happen to be an ISP connected to you, you are now in a sticky situation.
So the difficulty in simply 'acquiring IPs' under the table, is the need to get connectivity to them. Controlling that connectivity is harder, and if the company that sold you the IPs goes bankrupt, you're screwed.
You're better off just getting your ISP to allocate you the IPs. Either that... or buying/merging with other companies for the sole purpose of acquiring their IP addresses, and throwing away all else.
(Depending on how scarce IPs get)
I think IPv6 is going to end up as another VCD (Video CD). That is, a pre-mature solution that won't ever actually see wide-scale adoption, but will merely fill the space until the _real_ solution is invented (out of genuine necessity)
Wasn't that what IPv5 was?
Actually, if the hierarchy really is that deep it would sure make filtering out bad sites damned easy. Since only the top level routers can see outside, only one door to lock.
You're right, and that's not even counting the fact that human actors might alter the prediction. That industry boards have put stopgaps and an alternate standard ready for deployment in place, and that the monetary value of some of what's "scarce" now might affect it's supply.
Contrived scarcity should be especially condemned when "going without" is not an option.
This is why water hoarders back in the west got rich...the only choices were pay or die.
It has been rejected by the customers. That means essentially jack.
ISPs will implement it and offer their customers the choice of a NATed solution or real IP for premium price. Expect to pay more for your IP address in the future, they can charge for it, so they will. You don't like it, try finding an ISP that offers you one for free. You won't find one.
We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
Yes, there was a serious IP shortage looming 10 years ago. The issue was a boneheaded allocation strategy that provided most users more IPs than they needed. Everything was either a number of /24s, a /16, or a /8.
The introduction of CIDR bought some time, because it made allocation as efficient as it can be in IPv4.
The EU Commission's report was not credible.
The IPv4 Address Report is.
This is not the sky falling, this is the big fat meteor inching down bit by bit. It finally hits, and causes epic cataclysm, sometime in 2011.
IPv6 is not required yet, it may not be required for another 5-10 years, and even then it can probably be postponed by forcibly splitting up a few more class A's. Yes, it would be better and cheaper for everyone involved if we did IP6 slowly and in a planned and measured approach, but that's not going to happen. We'll get IPv6 when it's required either for a very good business reason, or because the central servers stop supporting IPv4 and there's no choice.
The plus side is that most hardware can now support it out of the box, and most likely nearly all hardware in production will by the time the switch happens. This means we'll have a couple of weeks of very hectic configuration at worst and not the end of the internet as we know it. It may not even be that bad.
What you're not going to see is mass adoption of IPv6 any time before it's necessary, it's a huge waste of resources to configure and support it at the moment.
I know it is a bummer but ARIN should not have issued PI addresses. Verizon is simply taking a stand on this issue. It's like blaming AT&T for not having DNS entries from OpenDNS. It's not AT&T's job to continuously keep up to snuff on every Tom, Dick, and Harry who puts up a DNS server or make's an independent entry. Likewise, it's not Verizon's job to get BGP information from independent routes. Yeah' it sucks big time and Verizon should be shunned for it, but really do you blame them? 2620:0/23 is a black hole on a lot of ISP's, why is Verizon special?
In this case, freely allowing the purchase and sale of parts of IP blocks piecemeal would be an internet routing table disaster.
The routing table has already gone over 300,000 entries. Filtering is already a reality for many sites, and many ISPs, common equipment already can't handle the full routing table much longer at the current rate of expansion.
Equipment that can do better in hw is extremely expensive, and out of reach of much of the market.
Now, the registries today allocate blocks of IP addresses in a manner that allows filtering.
For example, if you get a /22 for multi-homing, that block gets allocated from a block from which only /22's are allocated. That way, everyone can filter to the /22, you advertise one /22 route, if you try to break up that /22 and advertise 4 /24 routes, for traffic engineering, you can do it, but many sites will filter it.
The same applies to organizations who get a /20 direct assignment, they can chop up their /20 into 16 /24s and also advertise each one with different values or from different places for traffic engineering, and it's common to chop that up a bit, but most sites will filter those, and only their /20 announcement is propagated.
Now, imagine if policies were different, and you got a /19 you later didn't need half it. You are supposed to return the /20 you don't need to the registry and exchange keep only the smaller block if this happens.
But imagine you didn't... you sold 16 /24s (256 IPs each) to 16 different entities.
Now they each want to announce them (they're not connected to you)... that's 16 more entries in the routing table.
Ok, that matters but is not massive.
What is HUGE is the fact that when people apply their filtering rules (accepting only /20 or larger) advertisements from your block allocated from a block from which only /20s are allocated.....
Suddenly those networks you 'sold' those blocks to aren't reachable by networks in the DFZ that do this filtering.
And they'll be complaining to them, demanding they relax their filtering, which ultimately causes costs to be massively increased for everyone, or their equipment blows up, or they tell the people you sold IPs to to go get a proper block... in any case, the result is bad for the community
Even though you benefit from selling IPs, and they benefit from being able to get them from you, the community as a whole incurs a massive expense, it's basically an abuse of the commons.
Thought experiment: assume we start to carry all possible /48 prefixes in the BGP routing table. You end up with 2^48 entries in the tables. Guess what: if we tried that, even if routers did somehow manage to get enough memory, they would just choke under the weight of routing updates. So there is a limit to what can be absorbed.
The solution is aggregation. With proper aggregation, all Verizon customers appear in BGP under a small set of short prefixes, instead of millions of /48 prefixes. With fewer routing entries, BGP tables are smaller, routing more efficient, and the whole Internet more stable. This is exactly what IPv6 address allocations were designed to accumplish.
You got a unique /48 number from ARIN. That's fine, but that is just that, a number. It does not provide you with any particular right to spam the BGP routers with your entries.
-- Louarnkoz.
If you want a world routable IPV6 address on Verizon's network, just set up a tunnel and don't depend upon them for your IPV6 routing. I used to hate everything about Verizon. They never seemed to get anything right; and when they did, it would usually break shortly thereafter. I've changed my opinion since I've had FiOS installed. It has been reliable and fast (and I still have a tunnel so I don't depend upon them for routing).
-- This space for rent
It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
Unless there is a significant manufacturing difference between IP4 and IP6 then that cost is irrevalent to how mature IP6 is. Currently there is less demand for IP6, meaning less supply, meaning higher prices. If demand rose, Id wager that venders would start producing a lot more IP6 gear and the costs would go down drasticly.
Mature only refers to stuff like stability and our ability to produce, not the end user costs. Blue-ray is mature, but it is still hidiously expensive.
From the article it's not clear if Verizon is actively blackholing those prefixes, filtering them from their peers, or if they lack transit to the ASes from which the prefixes come.
I find it hard to believe that even Verizon is so disorganized that they would blackhole or filter that large a chunk of IPv6-land. My guess is that the situation is that not all of the Tier 1s have their IPv6 peering agreements in place yet. As we've learned from the various "depeering" events over the years, if a Tier 1 isn't hearing another Tier 1's route from that AS, they're not going to get it from their other peers, because that would cause the other peers to act like transit providers, and Tier 1s really don't like providing transit for eachother.
In other words, traffic for those prefixes probably doesn't leave 701 because 701 doesn't know where to send it.
The way the Internet is built it's not possible for any network to guarantee transit between you and a specific AS or prefix. There are so many factors external to a provider's network that could cause them to not know the route, or other issues that I don't even want to try to list 'em all. Simple little things like the owner of the prefix deciding not to advertise it to your network can look like this. This is also why the FCC or other government agencies don't have a hope of regulating peering agreements.
I can't believe I'm coming to Verizon's defense here...
I'm sick of this excuse. Voting with your dollar works when your dollar is the only dollar.
Let's see. You pick up your marbles from the big bad company, and nobody else leaves with you. So... your answer is to try and impose your will on everyone else. Maybe all those other people simply didn't care about the same issue as you. Like, maybe your opinion doesn't matter.
This is my sig.
Virtually everybody with a standard DVD player has a VCD players as well (they're not strictly required to support it, but it's such a simple thing to support, practically all of them do)
Mature only refers to stuff like stability and our ability to produce, not the end user costs. Blue-ray is mature, but it is still hidiously expensive.
Exactly my point. Maybe you aren't familiar with the technology I mentioned, but most of it is a software issue, not hardware. Since the software doesn't exist in production with any major carrier, or even out of beta for any major commercial product I'm aware of, I don't think it can be said that it meets your definition of "mature." Right now, it's vaporware, at best.
Do not fold, spindle or mutilate.
Admittedly, I'm not an expert, but I'm looking forward to the end of NAT on every router.
Assuming ISPs allowed regular customers to get a handful of IPv6 addresses-
1. I don't think it would technically be a 'router' anymore if all you're doing is internet connection sharing, since all you'd need is a switch.
2. That would be the end of automatic firewalling, which we all curse, but it prevents probably millions of people from getting infected computers.
Buckle your ROFL belt, we're in for some LOLs.
That would explain the fucked up routing issues I've dealt with in Shanghai.
Six levels of NAT?? That's really bad!
Life is not for the lazy.
Do they just say why they won't route to it?
I realize it's assigned to arin, but why is it so special?
No, that's not how it will work. It will work just like IPv4 blocks you get today, they just cost too much for the home user.
You'll have a router that talks to an upstream router just like they do now (and for a long time, it will also be doing IPv4/NAT).
Your subnet will only be able to address your router, and your router should block all unsolicited connections by default, just like they do now.
Verizon's FIOS service has lacked any sort of 'restrictions' that you're talking about. I don't personally have it, but I have a friend/co-worker that does and he maxes out his connection all the time, and he's had FIOS for over a year without issue.
How many times has the predicted date come and gone? None. That's how many.
It's being implemented by 2 tier 1 carriers in the US that I know of. Though it's not really going to be geared towards computers. It's all more or less smartphones and other non PC end devices.
Some ISP's will just do the IPV4-6 conversion in your modem and everything at the home will be IPV4. I'm sure for 99% of the people out there it will be fine. The rest of us are going to be pulling their hair out.
There is no requirement for handling the entire IPv4 routing table on edge devices. If you're a small network using BGP you ignore the internet and just advertise default routes OUT of your network. If you're a big network, MPLS + BGP free core is the way to go. In general vacating traffic to the nearest edge connection (when cost is not a factor) is the best policy.
Where cost comes into play there are numerous ways around carrying the routing tables again. The only reason you would carry full tables is if you provide BGP connectivity to your downstream customers. In that case you segment that portion of the network and provide for it in a small controlled manner to avoid unnecessary complexity of your "dumb" network.
If you read the summary, it sounds like Verizon is dropping a bunch of traffic from non-Verizon customers, but if you read the actual article, this isn't the case. To quote from TFA, "If you wish your /48 to be visible globally, you'll need to return your direct /48 allocation to ARIN and obtain a Verizon /48 from our network pool. Since our /48 assignment would be part of a /32 that we are announcing, your network would be globally routable. Otherwise, you are limited to AS701."
What this basically says is that if Verizon is your ISP, you must use IP addresses assigned to you by Verizon if you want your network to be globally visible. That makes sense to me, and it is certainly how things work in the IPv4 world. I don't see what all the fuss is about.
If I can be modded down for being a troll, can I be modded up for being an orc, or a balrog?
Unfortunately the way I have heard it is that this time the wolf is there.
DOD is moving to IPV6, Comcast and other ISP's are planning public deployments next year. By 2012 companies will begin vacating IPV4 spaces, most of that will not be re-allocated so as to pressure remaining networks to get off the IPv4 address space in favor of IPv6.
I'm still not all that convinced.
The allocations are still seriously screwy.
1.0.0.0/8 is still reserved
2.0.0.0/8 is still RIPE testing
5.0.0.0/8 is still reserved
14.0.0.0/8 is still reserved
I just bounced through the /8's to 20.0.0.0
A while back, I worked for a company who had millions of people hitting their main web site every day. I had the luxury of parsing the logs when I felt like it. That was more of an exercise in insanity, as a week was very easily 1,120,000,000 log lines. (8 million per day with 20 requests each as very very conservative numbers). Needless to say, it wasn't handled with a cat | cut | uniq
For my own entertainment, I used that as a decent sampling of what IP blocks were actually allocated. The odds were in my favor that if IP's in a /8 were being used, one would hit. :) There were huge glaring holes where those IP's had been allocated to somewhere, but weren't actually being used for anything.
We were pretty conservative with our IP utilization, but I've known plenty of places that aren't. For example, I've known places that had so many IP's on a single machine, you'd get a headache trying to comprehend it. For example, over a dozen /24 hosted on a half dozen machines, for the simple idea that search engines didn't like seeing web sites on the same IP. This was insanity, since virtually hosted domains had been in popular use for over a decade. Silly me, I always felt a little guilty having two IP's on the same box that could use up 100Mb/s on an average day. :)
Serious? Seriousness is well above my pay grade.
Suuuuurrre..
CEO "hey Cisco we invented a fix so we dont have to go to IPV6"
Cisco: "Yeah so what?, you expect us to switch to your untested solution, vacate billions in research development and manufacturing and try to convince the world it's the way to go"
CEO: "Yes!" *click* "Hello?"
You can read the report for yourself here
http://www.potaroo.net/tools/ipv4/
I don't know everything.
So your proof that IPv4 address exhaustion isn't going to happen is to provide a bunch of sources that say (except the EC) that it is going to happen next year and current predictions are that it will be 2 years from now. Only a year off in trying to predict something 10 years in the future sounds like pretty good accuracy to me.
I am using 2 IP addresses, but only because my ISP does not want to link my two connection at their end (so I would have two physical connections, but only one IP). Actually this dual IP setup is worse for me.
My cell phone provider gives a private IP (10.x.y.z) for cell phone internet and with their cap of 500MB/month I have no need for a public IP.
OverLoad of acronyms Per Comments, I think
Knowledge is how to play a game, intelligence is how to win, wisdom is knowing what game to play.
Hypothetically, assuming only one tier of NAT, could be around 4 quadrillion or so.
Not quite that much, even for short scale.
Anyway, my Nokia (N82) seems to support IPv6 just fine. I don't see why cellular carriers would "take full advantage of" the opportunity to have a massive clusterfuck for a network configuration when they probably are among the best prepared for IPv6 both in network structure and endpoint devices. They've been feeling the limits of IPv4 for some time, seeing the fastest growth in internet connected devices, much of it areas like Asia and Africa that got in late to the IP allocation party. I suspect a lot of (non-US) cell phone networks are already running largely IPv6, but I don't have the hard data.
Oh, lookie what I found: http://www.circleid.com/posts/20090609_verizon_mandates_ipv6_support_for_next_gen_cell_phones/
Looks like the iPhone is still a bit behind, but we'll have to cut it some slack; I hear they just got support for this new-fangled MMS stuff.
Let's say you're a Tier1 or a Tier2 transit provider.
There's no such thing as "segmenting that portion of your network", your customer networks are separate, period.
And you still have to filter, or fork over billions$$$ for massive upgrades...
Well, the "proof" ranges from 2005 to 2010 as the outside date. There were plenty of others that I have read in the past that dated it all the way from the late 1990's through early 2000's, but I unfortunately couldn't find them in a quick search, and haven't bothered to keep them as proof of anything, other than my own little mental note that predictions are frequently inaccurate.
I'm not going to argue against IPv6, other than the fact that I don't believe it will ever be fully implemented. I've tried on and off over the years to get an IPv6 address that could be appropriately routed for normal use, and it simply doesn't happen. Oddly enough, I've tried with both big and small lines, and pesky things like making web sites work with it. No IPv6 gateway wanted to take on multiple Gb/s of traffic when I worked with a large site. The providers couldn't provide IPv6 natively. Now that I don't even have the pull of a multimillion dollar contract (for the bandwidth, not my paycheck), I've been having a bastard of a time doing it with my own relatively small sites. I did get a routed IPv6 IP from a gateway, but it wasn't static, and the gateway was slow for the few things that did do IPv6. It's far from being prime time, and will remain there long after the again tragic death of IPv4, which I'm sure will loom right through to Dec 21, 2012. :)
Serious? Seriousness is well above my pay grade.
The IPv4 Address Report lists two possible dates for when the number of IPv4 dates will run out: April 17, 2010 or December 2, 2010, depending on the source.
How about December 21, 2012 ???
Not all /8s are used for client networks that you'd see web browsers from.
The 1.0.0.0/8 was been widely used by many organizations as their own "private internal address range" (before RFC1918), and still the case, that IANA would be unlikely to ever allocate this.
Nowadays 1.0.0.0/8 is used also for anoNet, and 5.0.0.0/8 for zero-configuration of certain internet apps.
It's not like the addresses can be allocated without major caveats.
14.0.0.0/8 is allocated to to the international system of public Data Networks (X. 25 gateways), these IPs map to their X.121 addresses, as indicated by rfc 1356, see RFC1700, page 181.
That's not very many IP addresses, anyways.
What makes you think it was an attempt at fairness? If they had tried to make things *fair* there wouldn't be class A in the first place. The whole allocation system was pretty much designed so the early players (defense/government, certain universities and certain large corporations) were guaranteed absurdly large chunks of continuous address range.
Just add a no-additional-cost ipv6 option to carrier-level NAT and this seems to me like a good description of how to kick-start a transition to ipv6. I think this is the intent: that we will go dual-stack for a while, but the NAT'ed masses will eventually start demanding services via ipv6 simply because it will be less flaky. This whole process will take years, but will probably be marked by only sporadic and minor headaches. I think that is the whole idea.
No the DOD is not moving to IPv6 at any great speed. They are actually pushing towards RFC private IPv4 addressing on their larger networks and reassigning or returning address space. A good example would be NMCI which uses 10.x.x.x RFC private addresses internally. One large reason for this is the distinct lack of security and auditting tools for IPv6. It's much easier to police IPv4 traffic at their internet gateways.
I was under the impression that Comcast's deployment did not extend to the end user, and that they would be Natting at the cablemodem. In essence, the carrier-grade NAT that has been discussed previously. So really the IPv6 is just internal to Comcast and transparent to the end user.
Disclaimer: I'm trying to read the wiki page on IPv6, but I'm so ignorant that I can't even understand that... so maybe answering this question will be pointless. I'm not following why verizon is not allowing IPv6?
The final line in TFA is
And based on their position, theyâ(TM)re probably (although we have not confirmed, but based on the 29% figure we came up with it is extremely likely) blocking similar ranges from the other regional registries in the name of global routability.
So it isn't that it will cost them more money to provide the full internet, it's that it's easier for their organization purposes? They just really want IPv4 exhaustion because then it will be harder to criticize Verizon? Or is it more likely someone at Verizon knew about as much about IPv6 as I do and decided they didn't like the sound of it at all?
So... Fox News isn't the media?
"You don't have to be an ass about it, but politely and firmly letting them know you are unhappy..."
Better politely and PLEASENTLY letting them know that there's a problem. Mistakes and accidents happen, and most businesses (as well as the restaurant in your wine example) will do what they can to set things right... if, as you say, you're not being a jerk about it.
Was at a Wendy's last week and a well-dressed woman came storming in, demanding to see the manager. Turns out she go extra tomato instead of lettuce and she went ballistic over it. The manager was exceedingly polite, asked what she wanted and what he could do to fix the problem, and did so. Bombastic female grabbed the bag, loosed a few final parting shots, and stormed out of the restaurant in a huff.
Have no idea how he kept his cool like that. Me, I would have shot the *****, as I can't stand people so self-important that they think the world must stop in it's tracks and accede to their every whim....
"...and are willing take measures to get what you paid for..."
By all means, but try the above first. Too many people wheel out the canons at the first hint of trouble. Usually, however, they're not needed and the sight of them will only serve to escalate the issue and destroy any goodwill the person on the other side may have had or felt regarding your problem.
This is ESPECIALLY true if you're dealing with someone who fields complaints or sevice calls all day long. Be polite and pleasant, discuss the problem calmly and rationally, and you'll stand out like a breath of freash air. And even better, they'll usually go out of their way to help you out.
Be rude and obnoxious out of the gate, and you'll be in voice mail hell so fast it will make your head spin.
Or as Paula Poundstone said when she was waitressing long ago at IHOP, "He made me so mad that, in the back... I touched his eggs!"
Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
That was a far from an all inclusive list. It was only using the /8's as examples anyways. I'm frequently amazed at how many /24's aren't being used for whatever reason.
Really, within a /24 that a customer may have requested and gotten, they may only be using half or more, and they are only required to say that they will be using 80% within x days to request more. If more of this allocated but unused address space was utilized, things would change drastically. While it's good in theory, how do you request the last 18 IP's off a /24 without really screwing with their netmask? No provider does. It's not worth fixing.
I think what we miss a lot of is that allocation does not equal utilization. We'll run for an awful long time at 100% allocation, until it actually becomes 100% utilization.
Serious? Seriousness is well above my pay grade.
An static IP4 address differs from water in some rather important ways though, don't you think?
I've got a static IP address with my Demon Internet account in the UK. Everywhere else it was dynamic. All the dynamic IP addresses I've seen look like real ones assigned to the ISP. Still it seems like there is nothing to stop the ISP giving me a private IP address and putting me behind a layer of address translation.
Now, like most people, I don't run any servers at home so I wouldn't notice if this was the case. In fact the router I got with my current DSL connection has NAT turned on and they don't give you the password for the administrator account, so there's no way to set up port forwarding now.
What I think will happen as IP4 addresses run out is that the ISP will use NAT inside the network so normal consumers have a private IP address assigned to their router. Of course that means no torrents and no servers. Business users will pay extra and get a public IP address, though of course there not the ones doing the torrenting.
Now my guess is that there's nothing in any contract you've signed in the last few years that commits the ISP to give you a statically allocated public IP address, so legally there's nothing to stop this.
echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
We're not 10 years away from running out of oil. We're some number of years from global peak oil.
Not the same thing.
In all the cases you cite, these are real, finite, and measurable resources. They will run out. It's a matter of time. And you only know for certain when it occurs *after* it occurs.
IPv4 dates back to 1981. At the time, I'm sure handing out Class A's did not seem such a bad idea. Noone at the time expected IPv4 to be the be all end all of network addressing, they expected it to be used for awhile and then replaced by something else. Back in 1980, did you think there would be a personal computer (or several) on every desk and in every home, all connected to a global internet tying every on of them together? This is a good 10 years before most people ever heard of the "Information superhighway". The people participating and building the network, getting it off the ground, got large chunks of addresses to use as they saw fit. That sounds fair to me. Is it fair for people to wait until others made a massive investment in the network, and after it becomes wildly successful, to then demand they byproduct of their investment?
Noone could have expected IPv4 would achieve the status it has today, noone predicted address scarcity being a problem before a better protocol could be designed and implemented. Presumably the designers, being intelligent, reasonable men, expected other intelligent, reasonable men to follow them, capable of implementing upgrades to add new address space as the demand required and the technology was available. Unfortunately the internet devolved into being led by squabbling, political maneuvering, corrupt fuckheads. I don't think it's fair to blame the original designers for that.
We're getting laughably close to IPv4 address exhaustion without IPv6 support on nearly any home routers...
Being under 100% utilization is small comfort for the new organization that wants to get some internet connectivity, or the organization that's opening an additional facility and needs full internet connectivity for their new web farm...
The few currently unused IPs in Customer A's /24 are quite unavailable to Customer B.
Why would you actually want v6? What is it you cant do right now with v4?
Need Mercedes parts ?
Finally!!!!! A company with some sense in to it. IPv6 sucks. IPv4 should continue to exist(and no i don't care about address depletion, other resources have depleted as well and the world is still running despite what all kinds of destructionologist said) until a better replacement than this crappy, incomplete protocol shows up. What worries me is that lobbyists already managed to make it a law for public agencies to have IPv6. Not that i am surpised .... In a world where you can manipulate an entire nation to think that weapons of mass destruction exist in a country that barely can feed itself everything is possible....
Equipment that can do better in hw is extremely expensive, and out of reach of much of the market.
It's kind of the other way around than expected. Small ISP's have no problems, a full-table-capable Juniper J-series is quite cheap and a Mikrotik RB1000 is $695. A full table in a software router just isn't a problem anymore.
Once you need a lot of packet forwarding capacity you'll need hardware forwarding, and then you can hit problems. It isn't THAT hard (or costly) to double the CAM table size though, as long as you don't do it faster than Moore's law. Routing table growth is almost linear, and the last doubling in size has taken 4 or 5 years.
The growth of the IPv6 table is more uncertain, of course. Right now it's extremely small.
Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
Mobile phones don't need public IP addresses
Mobile phones were originally invented for peer-to-peer communication...
Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
As near as I can tell, aside from its absurdly incomprehensible addresses, the only real(and significant) problem with IPv6 is that it essentially requires everyone to upgrade to it at once. If I have an IPv6 address, I can't talk to the majority of the internet, which means I simultaneously need an IPv4 address, which means the rest of the internet has precious little reason to follow my example or even join an IPv6 network at all.
The essential problem here is the disconnected nature of IPv4 and IPv6. There really is no way to establish two way connections between these
networks. You can't get Aunt Tilly's or anyone elses IPv4 network card to talk to an IPv6 network card without a significant upgrade, and there is general apathy and unwillingness to install such upgrades at all levels of the network. If a backbone ISP won't do it, why should a webhost, company, or regular user.
I've seen various comments suggesting that IPv4 scarcity will spur people to make the switch or that a "market based" solution will deliver us. You'd think people would figure out by now that the market cannot find its ass with both hands. If this situation is allowed to continue we will face indefinite IPv4 rationing and price gouging, increasingly more convoluted and disruptive NAT, and a general decline in the usefulness and global communications potential of the internet.
There is only one solution. The Law. Governments worldwide need to cut this Gordian knot by mandating that you cannot sell, provide, service or even eventually own any network connected device or OS that cannot use, by default, IPv6. We have the technology. The move needs to start with ISPs, retailers, hosting companies and business; These all need to be using, selling and servicing only IPv6 capable devices in three years. That's a realistic timespan. After this, home users and others will simply be told that after, say, 2015, IPv4 devices will no longer be permitted by law to connect to an ISPs network without a permit or the like.
Harsh. Possibly extremely disruptive and expensive. But if such steps are not taken then we will be stuck forever with expensive IPv4 address and the unholy scourge of NAT, three layers deep or more. It will be expensive. It will be painful. But it will be worth it. We need to get Y2K on this problem before the coming quagmire gums up and possibly fragments the internet.
Amen.
May the Maths Be with you!
I assume you have some sort of support. I would suggest raising a support ticket for each unrouted block.
What is wrong? Some committee designed it, and to keep the number of global routes under control, they decided to make IP address allocation 'hierarchical'. So if you are a DSL consumer or a big company, there is no problem (you get a /64 or a /32). But if you are a medium sized company, you must get your IP addresses from a bigger company. And if you want to multihome (for redundancy), you are pretty f#cked, because you cannot get the same /48 from two different upstreams. So all your servers need 2 public IPs, and your DNS needs two records per name. Which basically means you can only use DNS for failover, and are limited to 15min failover time (global DNS propagation time).
That is reason enough for a lot of small/medium companies to just keep using IPv4. Or to lie through their teeth to RIPE/ARIN/APNIC about their allocation sizes in hope of getting a /32.
--Blerik
Right, and they have been saying two years for about 12 years now. Just like how we've been 10 years away from running out of oil for close to 40 years, and about 10 years away from commercialized fusion for about the same amount of time.
So your point of view can be summed up as: "people have cried wold before and been wrong, so resources are never going to run out?". I won't speak on cold fusion, but for both oil and IPv4 addresses, the debate is just on when. Maybe instead of hiding your head in the sand you should try to do the math, or check someone else's math. For IPv4 you may want to check out this link http://www.potaroo.net/tools/ipv4/. It currently reads: "Projected IANA Unallocated Address Pool Exhaustion: 13-Oct-2011". And as far as oil is concerned, the prediction from Hubbert in 1956 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M._King_Hubbert was not that we would run out of oil in the seventies, but that the US oil extraction would reach a peak in the seventies. Time has proven him right already: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Hubbert_US_high.svg.
I'd argue that the whole existence of NAT means that the addresses have already been effectively exhausted. Maybe there are still some left, but the scarcity has made the price go up in a way that makes it impossible for normal people to get their own IP address. My own carrier has to rotate IP addresses because they've simply got more customers than addresses, and all the other carriers are the same. It's simply impossible to provide normal people with even one IP address. The end of IPv4 addresses has been with us for quite some time now. Everyone hates the situation, and we have a fix, but no one applies it. Normally when that happens the government would step in and mandate the fix, why doesn't it do that now?
You'd better tell British Telecom this. They don't seem to see a problem in RFC-1918 addresses appearing in the middle of traceroutes.
I'd like to think this is simply a router which is misconfigured and is replying with the IP address of a management port. But I have my doubts.
voting with your dollars means you LOSE money, not a smart business decision
"Better politely and PLEASENTLY letting them know that there's a problem."
Visiting in person and spitting the dummy can be deeply satisfying...
I came back to a busy mobile phone store for the fourth time regarding enabling a AU-$30 sim chip, I had also had several lengthy conversations with the phone company over that time. I went through the story (again) with a disinterested "manager" who said it was the phone companies fault, however I used to work for the telco so at this point I knew he was making excuses to brush me off and get back to earning comissions from the 30-40 people milling round the store. I had also just been watching him successfully use the same routine on the woman he served before me.
My blood started simmering but I kept a lid on it and said I no longer cared who's fault it was I just wanted my money back, he replied that the phone company had my money, I said (with a raised voice) "I don't care about the fucking phone company, I gave the money to you". He forcefully refused again claiming he no longer had the money. I replied with some loud random abuse and then picked up a display box of leaflets from the counter and threw them in the air along with the sim chip and paperwork. The "manger" was now tripping over a printer trying to back away into his office - I am at heart a "gental giant", realising I had already scared the shit out of the guy I calmed down.
I quietly turned around to leave and to my surprised delight the previously packed shop was now completely deserted, even his staff had run off! Most memorable $30 I ever spent, my kids still rib me about it 10yrs after the fact.
And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
"Just like how we've been 10 years away from running out of oil for close to 40 years, and about 10 years away from commercialized fusion for about the same amount of time."
Are you absolutely sure you have not been watching the same documentries over and over again for the last 40yrs?
And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
Gee you mean the IPv4 addresses are running out? So there is going to be a shortage of something. I guess a business could A) Provide an easy alternative B) Fleece the fuck out of the customer over the dwindling supplies. Now kids, does Verizon seem like an A company or a B company?
Now my guess is that there's nothing in any contract you've signed in the last few years that commits the ISP to give you a statically allocated public IP address
Dynamic IPs solve nothing when DSL is connected 24/7 - it was a good solution for dialup but is increasingly anachronistic these days. I agree carrier grade NAT *will* happen - first on the cheapest ISPs (the £4.99/mo ones that are only good for browsing and email anyway), but there's no reason for that to be dynamic either (Mobile Broadband already uses carrier grade NAT... My dongle gives me a 10.x.x.x address).
Now currently my ISP will give me any number of IPs that I can justify (by justify I mean 'I want more IPs' is a valid justification, but RIPE rules mean you have to say that on the application). If they become scarce then that policy may change, but there's no sign of that yet... the ISP already provides fully routed IPV6 to anyone that asks so they're setup for the future.
But that doesn't change the fact that the system for allocating addresses wasn't designed with "fairness" in mind (misguided or otherwise) as the original poster indicated. The system was designed as an oligopoly benefiting the initial investors. Which is fair (as you indicated), because it was their network.
Certain members of that same oligopoly have a vested interest in people continuing to use IPv4 and that's one of the things that is standing in the way of a market driven solution (and IPv6 for that matter). Of course the original designers couldn't have foreseen this problem, but that doesn't mean it isn't one.
That potaroo site is hopeless. It's now at 738 days. That's two days *more* than the last time this came up on slashdot a month or so ago. It's also roughly the same as it was last year, and the year before that. It predicts nothing. Their baseline assumptions are wrong, otherwise they'd at least have a figure that would go down at some rate approximating 1 day per day.
That's because they keep pushing it back.
That potaroo site is hopeless. It's now at 738 days. That's two days *more* than the last time this came up on slashdot a month or so ago. It's also roughly the same as it was last year, and the year before that. It predicts nothing. Their baseline assumptions are wrong, otherwise they'd at least have a figure that would go down at some rate approximating 1 day per day.
I think you misunderstand what they are trying to do. They are making predictions based on the assumption that ip assignment practices remain the same as they are now. Not because they believe there will be no changes, but because that is a meaningful prediction to make. If practices are changing, it is because scarcity is inducing the changes, and some of these changes may well have a cost.
They are not trying to be an oracle, and they adjust over time to changing practices. For instance see the comment from may 11th:
I've made a couple of changes to the prediction model to align with current RIR practices and my understanding of the manner in which the legacy B and C blocks will be managed by the RIRs.
The RIPE NCC has commenced allocations from 188.0.0.0/8 in February 2009. This is a legacy Class B block that is marked as "various". I've moved this block into the RIPE-managed address pool and used the recent allocations from this block as part of RIPE's total set of allocation in terms of demand modelling RIPE's future needs.
Also, scarcity basically increases the price of an IP address, therefore reducing the number of new addresses assigned. If you do a prediction based on current trends, the date may move forward as price increases reduce demand. But that only means that the scarcity already has a cost TODAY, not just 2 years in the future.
"Carrier Grade NAT" is a brilliant way to gain control over net neutrality and "consumers" who "publish" services even on asymetrical DSL, such as VoIP, and hence by "enabling" a crisis that requires a carrier "managed" Internet solution that effectively can make these services impossible for people to use or external providers to offer in the future. Ultimately, the carriers I think would love walled gardens, little AOL's if you will, all their own, with tollbridges everywhere, including for companies that wish to offer hosted services to users, whether by bandwidth throttling that has run into regulatory problems, or by access control offered through carrier NAT instituted as a "solution" to a problem they deliberately refuse to resolve by other means.
It's a bit like suggesting you can sell parts of your land (real-estate) under the table, without notifying the county records office of the sale.. The problem is... there's a registered owner (or deed holder). And having someone tell you that you can use some IP addresses is useless unless you can get traffic to them.
I lease my business space from a person who has the entire parcel under a 99-year lease from the family estate that actually holds deed on the property.
Why not sublet IP address space?
You know, that "sky is falling" prediction has been coming and going for years now. It's always just a couple years away. Things get reallocated, and then it's "oh a couple years away".
Are you trying to argue that being in a state where everything needs to be reallocated every year in order to fit into our ancient addressing system is a good thing?
I personally would prefer to cure the disease rather than reduce/delay the symptoms.
What's wrong with IPv6 exactly?
I've been running dual stack on test servers just because and it seems to work fine. I've tested Windows Server 2008 and Vista clients with IPv6 and it works fine. I even get IPv6 connections to some internet servers like Mozilla.
It's got too many fools claiming that is sucks, and many more fools believing them, resulting in that it still hasn't jumped the adoption chicken and egg problem, except for a very small amount of isp's and users.
Admittedly, I'm not an expert, but I'm looking forward to the end of NAT on every router.
Hear Hear. I have been looking forward to that for quite a few years now. Unfortunately it seems the rest of the world doesn't agree, and will do anything in its power to 'solve' the problem by adding even more levels of NAT...
There is only one solution. The Law.
Then we are already doomed.
That's the main thing hampering it. IPv6 hosts need to be able to connect to IPv4 servers.
You mean, homeless, wearing a sandwich-board saying "Hark! The wolf is NIGH!", and yelling at people on a busy street corner?
Not actually. I've been seeing the estimate of some time around 2012 for YEARS now with the confidence level steadily rising and the error bars shrinking steadily, exactly as would be expected as the prediction goes from long to short term.
Observing ARIN certainly bears it out. They've gone from handing out ranges like candy with no more than the assurance that you want them, to steadily more detailed justifications being scrutinized more and more carefully
But when your upstream provider has 2 /8's allocated, that leaves plenty of unutilized /24's to be handed off to their clients.
Serious? Seriousness is well above my pay grade.
You know, that last line makes me think of the swine flu nonsense going around now. Hurry up and push out a possible cure, and worry about what will happen later. Raise the allowable mercury levels, so we can get it out, and hopefully there won't be too many toxic side effects. It will be a great epitaph for humanity. "In their fear of one disease, they wiped themselves out with another toxin"
Serious? Seriousness is well above my pay grade.
Exactly!
IPv4 Exhaustion is expected approximately 734 days from today's date. That is just about 2 years.
Remember the story about the boy who cried wolf? Yah. This is that.
Except this time the boy is 32 bits , and the wolf is a roll royce.
Crap. That didn't work at all.
Captain Obvious:
Both incorrect in substance as well as rating - it's not insightful. (Though no offense intended!)
While it's a near-certainty at this point that the world would be a better place without Verizon, they are a (sanctioned) monopoly in most markets where they operate. Also, many non-monopolies are operating well outside the "do what the customer wants, or else" version of Capitalism. They do more or less what they want, within the comfy dictates of the FCC.
This is why the poster has a problem with Verizon offering this "flavor" of IPv6.
Your argument would hold water (e.g.) if this were the old days of IPv4 Internet and you or I were complaining about getting a "full connection" from our local mom and pop ISP. In that scenario one could (in most towns) walk up the street and get the better connection you were looking for from another mom and pop.
(No concidence that in those days the likes of Verizon - or what would become them - was fully regulated, were much, much smaller. There was no room for the "Verizon flavor" of the Internet.)
-Matt
"Carrier-grade NAT" is not a solution, it's an oxymoron,
Many big companies have all thier users behind NAT, it's really no stretch that ISPs could do it as well. Yes there is state but it's perfectly managable as long as you do things in reasonable sized blocks (say 256 users behind a nat with 16 extenal IPs).
and one that has already been rejected by the real world.
Only an idiot would do it at the moment. It's much better buisness wise for them to grab as many of the (soon to be scarce) IP addresses as they can while allocations are still availible. When the addresses run out they can then gradually recover them from home users to use for more profitable purposes (buisness customers, hosting customers, the internet side of the new NAT boxes etc)
note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
Comcast's IPv6 strategy has absolutely nothing to do with NAT. A simple google search would reveal the mass ignorance being displayed in this thread.
Their initial deployment is for device management. Every device (set-top box, cable modem, etc.) on a DOCSIS network needs an IP address (most actually need two or more). Switching them to IPv6 has become an immediate necessity, as there simply are not enough IPv4 addresses left to deal with it.
Once the switch happens, they'll have freed up several million IPv4 addresses for use on end-user PCs, which will make the need for IPv6 on customer PCs less of a crisis for Comcast, but it's not going to put it off forever.
The reality is that most of Comcast's network is already capable of deploying IPv6 to everything, including end-user internet connections (and the parts that aren't are being actively upgraded). They've been preparing for this for years. Turning it on for end-user connections is primarily a business and customer service problem, not a technical one.
The FCC is currently doing a full review of the telecomminications policy for Internet neutrality. I caught some of these sessions on CSPAN with Verizon coming up roses. I'm sure the FCC would be quite interested in knowing that Verizon is not the good network citizen that it claims it is. Here's the FCC link to file.
Quit playing Monopoly with Bill.
Linux - of the people, by the people, and for the people.
In North America, at least, an organization applying to receive IP addresses has to sign a contract with the registry (ARIN), before any IP addresses will be assigned. Some of the terms of this agreement are designed to prevent "selling" or "sublet'ing" ip space.
Also, guess what... if the registrant of record fails to pay the bill, ARIN permanently revokes the IP address resources after a certain period of time. This is like leasing a property for 99 years from someone who doesn't own the property.
Some of the provisions of the contract include:
It's true, but the registries, and ARIN particular has not handed out /8s liberally, not in the past 10 years they haven't.
The policy is to provide an ISP up to a year's supply of IP addresses maximum (after they've been an ARIN member for long enough), based on their network design, and justified need.
Unless the ISPs committed blatant fraud and massive overexageration on their IP applications, they don't have more than a year's supply of unutilized /24s laying around.
Maybe they indeed have.. This is no consolation to the ISPs who have followed the rules...
Or providers with multiple upstreams... as you can't just take an assigned unutilized /24 from your upstream's PA space and expect to reliably multi-home with it (even when your link to the primary provider that issued the IP block goes down), due to aforementioned filtering.
Many SPs will only use the particular manufacturer of network gear whose name starts with a 'C'. Because, for one thing, they're not trained in the management and unique characteristics of the MicroTik or Juni products, and so few people use them, getting help is harder, consultants are more expensive, and the support organizations behind those platforms are less trusted.
Software forwarding is just fine for end users, but not for SPs who are transit providers.
Anyways, suffice to say, they have reasons that taking larger tables incurs additional expenses
They have two options: (1) use all their money to buy better equipment, raise prices on their customers, or (2) Filter.
Number (2) filter is better for the health and efficiency of their networks.
They save money from avoiding premature upgrades they may now be able to use for other things, like IPv6 migrations :)
Wow, that's rough.
handle complex ACLs only exists in the highest end hardware
Most SIP hardware vendors
True, I really dont follow the whole ip4 vs ip6 at all, but your posts are a bit inconsisted. The first is talking about the hardware costs, which I said and you agreed will go down, then you said its a software problem. Im not following you somewhere :P
I understand how that is confusing....I was talking about two different things and didn't really differentiate. As you said, the routers will come down in price. They are the bits and pieces that need hardware differences (ASICs, RAM, etc) to be IPv6 ready with handling ACLs outside of the base chassis CPU. I use mostly Cisco gear. IOS has handled IPv6 just fine for some time. Try to toss too many IPv6 ACLs at it and run lots of IPv6 traffic, and your CPU will melt down unless the hardware directly supports it. The SIP gear is typically sold as a "Box". Most of these boxes are not specialazed (they are rackmount PCs running Linux or very dumb boxes full of transcoder chips that netboot some minimal OS to bring up a SIP stack and shove RTP through their specialized hardware). They do not need any hardware changes, but they do need software that will handle IPv6. That is the software that is lacking in mature form, and in many cases, in many cases at all. Example: Dialogic (formerly Cantatta) IMG 1010 transcoder.
Do not fold, spindle or mutilate.
Cisco 7600, ASR-1000, ASR-9000, and CRS-1 all have sufficient space for the next 5 years, with the 7600 being the first to hit the wall.
It really is a solved problem, as long as you can afford to replace your supervisor modules every 5 years.
Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
Yes, and the prices of that gear are high, eg
7600 - >$30,000
ASR-1000 - >$50,000
ASR-9000 - >$80,000
CRS-1 - >$500,000
I never said it was impossible, only that it gets expensive. Replacing your sups every 5 years with the shiny newest model isn't cheap either.
Think of how rapidly the tables would grow if masses of deaggregated /24s started appearing due to "IP sales". There are already some ASes that announce every /24... imagine how messy it would be for a much larger percentage of /24s to be individually announced.
And ye who want to be able to sell random /24s out of your IP space... really have no right to force all the providers in the world to give you those routing slots, they don't want to, and to an extent, policies and common practice reflects the desire to keep costs low.
If costs are high, ISP services and internet connectivity gets more expensive for all..
Well if you want to be cheap, just go for the 7200. With those platforms you're paying for the hardware forwarding, not for the ability to route the full Internet. Ok, the RSP720CXL is marginally more expensive than the RSP720C, but that really is in the noise. (And the ASR-1000 is technically a software router, it's just damn fast.)
Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
IIRC while you can't directly sell them you can transfer them to a parent company or subsidary and you can sell a subsidary complete with it's IP addresses.
So time to set up a shell company, maybe with some token assets.
note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
No it won't. It will be some bandaid solution thought of at the last minute that will patch things together until the current crop of CEOs get their golden parachutes.
ISP level nat *IS* the bandaid soloution. By forcing home lusers behind ISP level NAT there will be enough IP addresses left for those who really need them for a while. The cost will be able to be spread out by migrating users to NAT in groups as thier IPs are needed.
note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
Sure, but you can only dispose of a complete allocation in this way, such as a /20, not a small number of IPs such as a single /24. And you can only get lots of IPs with some good justification and some proof of your need for the IPs (including adequate utilization of a block allocated to you by an upstream provider).
As of this morning Verizon is blocking The Pirate Bay too. Of course we've all learned how the Chinese get by the Great Firewall and guess what ... these same techniques also get around the Great Verizon firewall too.
Take that you corporate assholes!
You get one of the few ISPs that'll actually give you a full IPV6 stack to your house and suddenly *they* owe *you* for not routing part of the IPV6 network to you? How quickly people gain an undeserved sense of entitlement.