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Disputed Island Disappears Into Sea

RawJoe writes "India and Bangladesh have argued for almost 30 years over control of a tiny island in the Bay of Bengal. Now rising sea levels have ended the argument for them: the island's gone. From the article: 'New Moore Island, in the Sunderbans, has been completely submerged, said oceanographer Sugata Hazra, a professor at Jadavpur University in Calcutta. Its disappearance has been confirmed by satellite imagery and sea patrols, he said. "What these two countries could not achieve from years of talking, has been resolved by global warming," said Hazra.'"

323 of 460 comments (clear)

  1. Reminds me of kids. by Merls+the+Sneaky · · Score: 5, Funny

    If you can't play nice with your toys and share, mom will take them off you.

    1. Re:Reminds me of kids. by girlintraining · · Score: 4, Funny

      If you can't play nice with your toys and share, mom will take them off you.

      "Buy land. They've stopped making it." -- Mark Twain.

      Addendum: They're deleting it now too.

      --
      #fuckbeta #iamslashdot #dicemustdie
    2. Re:Reminds me of kids. by sopssa · · Score: 2, Interesting

      But it's not like its completely gone now. According to the article the sea level is raising 5 millimeters (0.2 inches) an year, so the water is only just a little bit over the land. Lay over some sand, wood, whatever and you have land again - or build those wooden houses on piers. Venice is also build on top of water in the middle of a lagoon.

    3. Re:Reminds me of kids. by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

      Duck Dodgers in the 24th 1/2 Century seems even more apropos. Only difference is that it's an island instead of Planet X.

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    4. Re:Reminds me of kids. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You appear to have forgotten about soil erosion, which is a big problem with unconsolidated soils which are recently submerged.

      And regardin edification, you can't just build stuff on disputed land. Israel does that but it only does that because the people they are oppressing can barely muster any rocks to throw at them. You don't do that to a nation which has a semblance of an army.

    5. Re:Reminds me of kids. by Dishevel · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You can not start telling people that they are responsible to make rational, informed decisions. What the hell are you thinking? Next you are going to tell me that people should pay their bills!

      --
      Why is it so hard to only have politicians for a few years, then have them go away?
    6. Re:Reminds me of kids. by hey! · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Spoken like somebody who has no idea the power that moving water has.

      Water takes material from some places and piles it up in others, and it's incredibly hard to dispute with it. You might look at a sandbar that has been stable for decades, and think maybe I could shift it a bit to suit myself, or make it a little higher and have an island. Forget it. That sandbar is the result of self-organized criticality. It *looks* stable, but the individual sand grains in that sandbar are constantly changing.

      My wife grew up near the ocean, and there was this semi circular reef extending from two points on the shore that comes out of the water on spring tides, when you can walk the whole thing. Many times I've surfed my kayak over that reef into the deep water inside. The reef consists of cobbles ranging from the size of a grapefruit to the size of a soccer ball. One day one of the neighborhood kids had an idea: if we breech the reef at one point, we'll be able to anchor our boats inside the reef and not have to pay for a slip or launch fees. Next low tide he had the entire neighborhood carrying rocks away from the selected point, until they'd converted the reef into a pair of breakwaters creating an artificial harbor. It was an impressive feat, but the first storm -- not even a *big* storm mind you, and you couldn't tell the spot they excavated from any other spot. There literally was no trace left of their labors.

      What you'd have to do with this sunken island is create a new, artificial island using huge granite boulders like they use in breakwaters; or maybe you could set up coffer dams and build a reinforced concrete sea wall. But you have to admit that you're creating an artificial island.

      The reason that India and Bangladesh are fighting over this is to establish Law of the Sea rights to the surrounding water. They are trying to evade negotiations over resource disputes by appealing to a "natural" right in artificial law. Using an uninhabited island to establish territorial sovereignty is dicey enough. Using an *artificial* island is clearly absurd.

      They should just resolve the underlying dispute, instead of using legal flim-flammery.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    7. Re:Reminds me of kids. by jellomizer · · Score: 2, Funny

      That would be my approach to Israel and Palestine problems with Jerusalem Just say no one owns the areas... No residences are allowed but you can visit it for the history and religious pilgrimages. Perhaps the UN will make sure everyone plays fair in the area.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    8. Re:Reminds me of kids. by NoSleepDemon · · Score: 1, Offtopic

      That'd be because "Israel", formerly known as Palestine, was given away by the British to the Jewish. Understandably the locals were a little bit miffed at that.

    9. Re:Reminds me of kids. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Syntax Error: Unclosed Paren In .sig

    10. Re:Reminds me of kids. by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      And even granite boulders are not a long term fix. I was amazed at how many of the huge (around 5 ft) rocks behind the beach were displaced by the recent storms here in Southern California.

    11. Re:Reminds me of kids. by ravenshrike · · Score: 4, Informative

      It's also a big problem with large sandbars created in the 1970s by a flipping hurricane, the current object of dispute.

    12. Re:Reminds me of kids. by datapharmer · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I've heard Obama blamed for some crazy things, but this takes the cake.

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      Get a web developer
    13. Re:Reminds me of kids. by erikdotla · · Score: 5, Funny

      You gave me a great visual which got completely out of control in my head:

      Imagine India read your message and thought, "Hey, if we just GO there and build an artificial island, we'd clearly be reamed by the international community... but if we LAUNCHED enormous granite boulders from India into the sea as part of, say, a scientific experiment, and they happened to land on that island and were big enough, we'd have sovereignty again!"

      Then of course, Bangladeshi spies discover the plan and formulate a boulder launching initiative of their own.

      There's a great boulder arms race, a frantic push to move boulders to the coast, boulders destroyed before they can be loaded by opposition spies, boulder transport sabotage, and when they finally reach the coast and the enormous catapults specifically built by whichever local contractor said they could get them done in time are deployed, the great boulder launching war begins, each launching boulders "harmlessly" as part of scientific experiments toward the same island at the same time, using catapults prone to poor accuracy due to the late contractor bidding and the fact that they were built in India and Bangladesh.

      I can see the headline now:
      Mar 29, 2014: RARE MID-AIR BOULDER COLLISION RAISING TENSIONS
      Indian statesman quoted as saying "This is the fourth incident of Bangladeshi's clearly ruthlessly expansionist government interfering with our harmless scientific experiments through high-tech mid-air boulder tracking technology they have secretly been developing with neighboring terrorist states for years."

      --
      # Erik
    14. Re:Reminds me of kids. by Uranium-238 · · Score: 1, Offtopic

      Not just by the Brits you idiot...it was the UN who voted to give them the land since the whole of the western world felt bad/guilty about the holocaust.

    15. Re:Reminds me of kids. by timeOday · · Score: 1

      "Buy land. They've stopped making it." -- Mark Twain.

      Addendum: They're deleting it now too.

      This is no joke. Much of the world's most valuable real estate is on the world's coastlines, which are now being eroded by global warming. We're talking trillions of dollars here. Who bears the cost? You perhaps? Governments around the world are spending a lot of money on sea walls, restoring beaches and buttressing cliffs.

      I can see both sides, since beachfront property owners are no more personally responsible for global warming than anybody else is. However, since it is a slow process, I believe there should be a gradual (e.g. 10 year) transition from public to private liability. This will give global warming believers and doubters a chance to put their money where their mouth is by selling or shorting coastal real estate :)

    16. Re:Reminds me of kids. by Grishnakh · · Score: 1, Offtopic

      And regardin edification, you can't just build stuff on disputed land. Israel does that but it only does that because the people they are oppressing can barely muster any rocks to throw at them. You don't do that to a nation which has a semblance of an army.

      I thought Israel WON that land in a WAR, wherein the Arab nations all tried to attack them, and lost.

      I don't see the problem here. If you don't want to lose land to an enemy, don't attack him.

      The same thing happened in WWII. Germany lost some valuable farmland to France. They never did get it back. Why isn't anyone complaining that France is building on disputed land? I'm sure Germany wouldn't mind having it back.

    17. Re:Reminds me of kids. by ascari · · Score: 1

      Me too, but a little differently: Reminds me of king Solomon and the baby. (1 Kings 3:16-28). If any of the countries actually steps up and does something to limit global warming (i.e. tries to "save the baby") that country should be deemed the rightful owner of the island should it ever reappear. Or maybe get the fishing/mineral rights on the piece of seabed where it once was. Or something. Or not.

    18. Re:Reminds me of kids. by Mage66 · · Score: 1, Informative

      Erosion is a natural process and isn't caused by "Global Warming". Global Warming isn't happening as the data says we've been cooling since 1998. Global Warming isn't responsible for that Island being covered by water, but storm action can be.

    19. Re:Reminds me of kids. by sabt-pestnu · · Score: 1

      Much of the world's most valuable real estate is on the world's coastlines, which are now being eroded by global warming.

      Someone else pointed out your "global warming" fallacy. I'd like to point out, though, that while some coasts have eroded, others have accreted. See: Continental Drift.

      In many cases, the "erosion" you decry has been happening for literal millenia. The only reason it becomes topical is because someone relied on their coastline "remaining unchanged forever", and is QQing now because they were wrong about that.

    20. Re:Reminds me of kids. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Talpatti_Island
      that page tells the whole story of this Island, how it appeared naturally in the 1970s, and also shows that it's more erosion than global warming that made it disappear

    21. Re:Reminds me of kids. by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 1

      If Iraqis bulldozed your house and herded you into a refugee camp, would you be so sure that they're doing the right thing? I mean, you attacked them...

      I don't think you're really helping the Israeli cause by suggesting that victors of wars deserve spoils unconditionally, because there are many states who are stronger than Israel, and many more that will be. If you suggest that all it takes to legitimately rule the Holy Land is to take it by arms, that cuts both ways.

    22. Re:Reminds me of kids. by Keick · · Score: 4, Funny

      Sounds like it would make a great game too... Maybe we could call it Boulder Dash?

    23. Re:Reminds me of kids. by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      "Everyone" tried that back in 1967, and got their asses handed to them by tiny Israel.

      Which "everyone" are you talking about now? The only people I see wanting to take on Israel over this are the same "everyone" that got the crap kicked out of them back then.

    24. Re:Reminds me of kids. by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      It's only their capital because the allies gave it to them after WW2. It's belonged to someone else for most of the last 2,000 years - shouldn't they have a bit of a say in it too?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    25. Re:Reminds me of kids. by groslyunderpaid · · Score: 1

      We're talking trillions of dollars here. Who bears the cost? You perhaps.

       
      Holy Moly!! Here in the US, I can't even imagine what it would be like for citizens to bear the cost of a 10 trillion dollar liability!!

    26. Re:Reminds me of kids. by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      I'm Greek, you insensitive clod!!! Germany pays my bills.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    27. Re:Reminds me of kids. by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      I would pay good money to watch that.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    28. Re:Reminds me of kids. by amorsen · · Score: 1

      Well "everyone" handled South Africa, which ended peacefully. "Everyone" handled Serbia, which wasn't peaceful. "Everyone" handled Iraq after Kuwait was invaded.

      I'm holding high hopes that Israel will be handled too, preferably peacefully of course.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    29. Re:Reminds me of kids. by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      because there are many states who are stronger than Israel, and many more that will be.

      Which ones are those? Israel is nuclear-armed, don't forget. No other state in that area is. If Iran gets too close, they're going to be nuked.

    30. Re:Reminds me of kids. by Brother+Seamus · · Score: 1

      To mangle an Einstein quote: I know not with what weapons World War IV will be fought, but World War III will be fought with sticks and stones.

    31. Re:Reminds me of kids. by fm6 · · Score: 1

      Funny you should mention Venice:

      http://www.lifeinitaly.com/tourism/veneto/sinking-venice.asp

      The sea is a relentless source of destruction; global warming just makes an existing problem worse. And throwing out some sand or rock is at best a short-term solution, as anybody with ocean-front property will tell you.

    32. Re:Reminds me of kids. by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      Israel is nuclear-armed, don't forget. No other state in that area is. If Iran gets too close, they're going to be nuked.

      And if a third-party power decided to sell a few dozen under-the-counter more-or-less obsolete warheads to Iran, which the Iranians could fit onto their already-launchable ballistic missiles ... just who is going to be nuking whom? And who would win?
      And before you reply just think carefully as to which "third-party" power I'm talking about. Because I've got a short list of three credible ones and several others who could be fronts for the three most-credible ones.

      The genie of nuclear proliferation is out of the bottle of containment. Live with it.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  2. Just one more reason why Global Warming rocks! by XxtraLarGe · · Score: 5, Funny

    I say this year we nominate Global Warming for the Nobel Peace Prize for providing a peaceful solution to this heated dispute between Bangladesh and India.

    --
    Taking guns away from the 99% gives the 1% 100% of the power.
    1. Re:Just one more reason why Global Warming rocks! by viridari · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You seem to be under the mistaken impression that one actually has to do something to qualify for the Nobel Peace Prize.

    2. Re:Just one more reason why Global Warming rocks! by MadKeithV · · Score: 1

      Aww, come on, I'm sure Global Warming has the BEST of plans for us!

    3. Re:Just one more reason why Global Warming rocks! by arachnoprobe · · Score: 1

      Just give it to Al Gore :-)

    4. Re:Just one more reason why Global Warming rocks! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      Wow, you're right, the Nobel committee has handed out two Nobel Prizes for NOT being George Bush .

      That guy must suck. A lot.

    5. Re:Just one more reason why Global Warming rocks! by Aphoxema · · Score: 1

      Damn, beat me to it.

      --
      "Most people, I think, don't even know what a rootkit is, so why should they care about it?"
    6. Re:Just one more reason why Global Warming rocks! by royallthefourth · · Score: 1

      Worked for Henry Kissinger

    7. Re:Just one more reason why Global Warming rocks! by Yvanhoe · · Score: 1

      [troll]Or to even exist...[/troll]

      --
      The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
    8. Re:Just one more reason why Global Warming rocks! by Zordak · · Score: 1

      And since global warming is not George W. Bush, it seems to be perfectly qualified.

      --

      Today's Sesame Street was brought to you by the number e.
    9. Re:Just one more reason why Global Warming rocks! by martas · · Score: 1

      which one's the second one?

    10. Re:Just one more reason why Global Warming rocks! by ArsonSmith · · Score: 1

      One ran against GWB in 2000 the other ran against him in 2008. Even though GWB wasn't able to run in 2008.

      --
      Paying taxes to buy civilization is like paying a hooker to buy love.
  3. Fascinating by digitalhermit · · Score: 4, Funny

    New Moore Island, eh?

    So the new name is now No More Island, right?

    1. Re:Fascinating by Monkeedude1212 · · Score: 5, Funny

      Since its no longer an island, but more likely to become a Coral Reef just off the surface, they'll probably call it Nothing Atoll.

    2. Re:Fascinating by mindcorrosive · · Score: 3, Funny

      More like Nuthin' Atol (hat tip to Guybrush Threepwood)

      --
      + 3.14 Transcendental
    3. Re:Fascinating by flanaganid · · Score: 1, Funny

      If they expect any tourism to see Nothing Atoll, they better have a reef fund.

    4. Re:Fascinating by rwa2 · · Score: 1

      Awesome! I can't wait for Bollywood to take this on and make a classical documentary dramedy "Much Ado About Nothing Atoll"

      Or, quick, someone photoshop the place with a French vessel and title it: "Much Adieu", a boat, Nothing Atoll
      OK, I admit that was weak. I'll stop now. /been spending too much time on Fark lately.

  4. Hey, wait a minute by HangingChad · · Score: 4, Funny

    I thought global warming was a myth? Darth Cheney said so.

    --
    That's our life, the big wheel of shit. - The Fat Man, Blue Tango Salvage
    1. Re:Hey, wait a minute by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I thought global warming was a myth? Darth Cheney said so.

      That was when it was cold outside. Now it's warm outside, so global warming must be real. It will go back to being a myth in a few months.

    2. Re:Hey, wait a minute by oldspewey · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Weather |= Climate

      --
      If libertarians are so opposed to effective government, why don't they all move to Somalia?
    3. Re:Hey, wait a minute by m.ducharme · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Well to be fair, both sides of the debate have been using that fallacy, depending on how the weather has been in your local geographical area. It's THE major problem I've had with the climate change debate. The only public person I've heard who's actually tried to call people on it was Krugman over at the New York Times, who pointed out that by selecting your sample years carefully from the last 10-20 years, you can "prove" anything you want about the climate. He was arguing at the time against the anti-AGW crowd (as you might expect).

      As for me, I'm inclined to think we do have some cause for concern, based on what little actual evidence I've seen from both sides of the debate. I'm by no means convinced that we have enough evidence to support one side or another. I also think we have some other very good reasons to reduce carbon emissions, including a need to reduce particulate emissions of all kinds (air pollution), reduce dependence on petroleum products (whose supplies are probably running out), reduce the "need" to colonize the Middle East (eliminate the causes of terrorism), etc.

      --
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    4. Re:Hey, wait a minute by bdenton42 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I think they're sure that the Earth has been warming up. What they are not so sure about is if humans have any meaningful impact on the warming or if it is just mostly the natural heat/cool cycle at work.

      Given that where I live was under a glacier 11,000 years ago IMO a little extra help warming wouldn't hurt... a new ice age would be far more destructive to humans than a higher sea level due to warming.

    5. Re:Hey, wait a minute by ThomConspicuous · · Score: 1

      It's actually pretty easy to figure out. Don't stress yourself too hard over it.
      Global warming leads to greater water evaporation which leads to greater precipitation in some areas of the world.
      Also, the extra warming in the poles pushed cold temperatures down into the Nothern Hemisphere, making it seem unseasonably cold.
      This video explains it pretty well: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yDTUuckNHgc

      It's all about perception. If the planet was warming in the sense that most people expect GW to be provable, then we'd all be struggling to survive on a scorched earth.

    6. Re:Hey, wait a minute by Volante3192 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Local weather != global climate.

      Remember, while you were shovelling 9 feet of snow, Vancouver had to truck it in for the Olympics and south Alaska was having record highs. (The usual Arctic wind that keeps those places cool got pushed south a lot.)

      Admittedly, trying to justify it with everything that happens is moronic. Weather patterns are massively complex. In the end, what you have to look at is the year to year trend, and by that measure, 200X was the hottest decade on record.

    7. Re:Hey, wait a minute by delinear · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Exactly the point I was about to make - even the people who reject the idea that humans are responsible for global warming admit that it's still happening. My point of view is that I'm open to be convinced, but at the moment it seems to me to be arrogance on behalf of we humans to assume we can have a significant impact, although I suspect we're contributing in a minor way. I also agree we should move to cleaner fuels and be less wasteful in general (hey, there's no reason not to hedge our bets), I think even if we stopped burning fossil fuels tomorrow the earth will continue to warm and we need to start thinking of ways to live with that if tackling it is impossible. The problem is the whole topic is so clouded and has now been subverted by groups on both sides with ulterior motives, I don't know who or what to trust anymore.

    8. Re:Hey, wait a minute by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Indeed, this is the sort of reasonable stand I'd prefer to see (and would get the whole issue back on track, I'd hope, since most people are arguing one extreme or the other). Whether or not we're causing it or making it a lot worse, we may as well try and reduce our potential impact as well as dependence on the sorts of products that aren't exactly of infinite supply.

    9. Re:Hey, wait a minute by MozeeToby · · Score: 1

      What's the cost of doing something about it (in terms of food production, delayed development, reduced energy availability) compared to the cost of not doing something about it (in terms of food production, lost occupied land, ecological diversity). It's those numbers that I've never seen realistically presented, and it's those numbers that should inform the decisions. Why don't we see those numbers? Because it's really really hard to figure them out, probably impossible with our current understanding of climate, geology, ecology, economics, and sociology.

    10. Re:Hey, wait a minute by commodore64_love · · Score: 3, Interesting

      >>>Given that where I live was under a glacier 11,000 years ago IMO a little extra help warming wouldn't hurt...

      It might not have been that long ago. During the Mini-Ice Age from 1200-1850 the glaciers moved forward again, covering various places that are today dry.

      Imagine if this were the year 1800, and the former Vice-president was warning us about global warming. Technically he would be right, but the warming wasn't humans fault. It was merely a natural cycle, and a return to the climate that existed pre-1200.

      --
      "I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it." - historian Evelyn Beatrice Hall
    11. Re:Hey, wait a minute by IICV · · Score: 5, Insightful

      There's no "both sides" of the debate. There's the science, which universally points towards global warming (hell, we've even noticed that over the last forty years, migratory birds in the United States have been getting smaller, which is indicative of generally rising temperatures due to Bergmann's rule), and then there's the people with a PR department, who are busy making it look like there's a debate. Even calling it a "global warming debate" is a victory for them, because the evidence for global warming shows up everywhere.

    12. Re:Hey, wait a minute by commodore64_love · · Score: 1

      Most of ye seemed to have missed the point.

      I'm confused because pro-GW folks like Gore keep contradicting themselves. LAST year he said the lack-of-snow in the Baltimore-Washington area was proof of global warming. THIS year he said the record snow was also proof of global warming.

      What?!?!?

      --
      "I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it." - historian Evelyn Beatrice Hall
    13. Re:Hey, wait a minute by IICV · · Score: 1

      Yeah, what people don't seem to realize is that the global temperature anomaly due to global warming is on the order of 0.4 deg C since 1980. Can you even feel it when the temperature in your room fluctuates by 0.4 C? That's like a soft breeze blowing by.

      And yet, that 2/5ths of a degree C represents a tremendous amount of energy when integrated over the entire surface of the Earth. It's definitely going to do something. There will still be an Earth, just not necessarily as we know it now.

    14. Re:Hey, wait a minute by rthille · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "Well to be fair, both sides of the debate have been using that fallacy, ..."
      Well, to be fair, there are idiots all over the political and ideological map. Sometimes they end up in your camp, sometimes in the other camp. You can't judge who's right by who's got more idiots on their side...

      --
      Awesome furniture, accessories and cabinetry in Santa Rosa, CA: http://humanity-home.com/
    15. Re:Hey, wait a minute by dogmatixpsych · · Score: 1

      And a decade does not climate make. For climate we really need to talk about 100s and 1000s of years.

      Yes, local weather != global climate, which means that someone shoveling 9 feet of snow in D.C. no more has anything to do with global warming than no snow in Vancouver or Alaska. As one of the posters said above, that's a problem both sides of the GW debate make (attributing weather to climate).

    16. Re:Hey, wait a minute by m.ducharme · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Except that the scientists have PR departments too, and what we get from the scientists is PR, and not actual evidence. This isn't the fault of the scientists, it's in part the fault of the sad state of scientific education (in North America, at any rate), the sheer complexity of the science involved (climate science is hard and few of us have time or inclination to become climatologists), the recent skew of the major North American media toward infotainment and newstainment instead of plain old truthy news reporting, and other reasons.

      I can go check out your links, and even agree with them, but they mean almost nothing to me because I don't have any way to check the accuracy of the migratory bird data, no easy way to know whether Bergmann's Rule is controversial or settled, or know whether the effect described in the rule is attributable to climate exclusively or to other factors.

      I don't know these things because (1) I'm a law student, not a climatologist (2) nobody in the media is talking about this kind of data and (3) nobody in the PR departments of the sciency people or their opponents is using this kind of data in their public debates.

      What do?

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      Rule of Slashdot #0: You and people like you are not representative of the larger population. - A.C.
    17. Re:Hey, wait a minute by aquila.solo · · Score: 1

      The real debate isn't over whether or not the Earth is warming, it's over what (if anything) should be done about it. (There's also a debate over whether or not humanity is a major contributor.) Proper science is only concerned with observations, hypotheses, etc. Once you get into the realm of application, it's no longer science; you're then dealing with engineering, policy, business, sociology, etc.

    18. Re:Hey, wait a minute by m.ducharme · · Score: 1

      Indeed. Unfortunately, the stakes are high enough that we really need to figure it all out, and soon.

      --
      Rule of Slashdot #0: You and people like you are not representative of the larger population. - A.C.
    19. Re:Hey, wait a minute by Bigjeff5 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      When you only look back a couple hundred years, the global warming figures look absolutely frightening. Go back about 1000 years and it doesn't look nearly as bad. Go back about 20,000 years and you start to wonder if we should be cranking up the global furnace as fast in order to make the next Ice Age, which is inevitable and devastating, not quite so bad. On that time scale the current warming trend is insignificant and irrelivant. How do you compare a change of less than a degree over the last 150 years (which was coming out of a mini-ice age) to fluctuations of 10-20 degrees over the course of a few hundred years which is what occurs in an Ice Age?

      --
      Security is mostly a superstition... Avoiding danger is no safer in the long run than outright exposure. - Helen Keller
    20. Re:Hey, wait a minute by q-the-impaler · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I think that the Global Warming scare actually hurts the environmental movement. The theory got elevated to gospel, but there is still not enough evidence to prove human interference is the absolute cause. The fact of the matter is being more energy efficient is better for the Earth, the economy of the world, and quality of human life in general. Using Global Warming Armageddon to scare the masses into going green has not had the affect that was desired. People who were already green-minded just became more green, and those who doubt still haven't changed and in fact probably thumb their noses in defiance. Make environmentalism desirable through economic means and it will catch on much better.

      --
      Sierra Tango Foxtrot Uniform
    21. Re:Hey, wait a minute by joe_garage · · Score: 1

      according to that graph - a cursory look at it indicates in times of major conflicts there is a temp spike upwards.... so ......... well that will never work anyway .......

    22. Re:Hey, wait a minute by m.ducharme · · Score: 2, Insightful

      True, but the problem right now is that the idiots are running the asylum. Evaluating public debate in America basically amounts to trying to decide which camp of idiots is more likely to be right than the other camp. In the context of the climate change issue, failure to back the right camp of idiots will likely have disastrous consequences, as it's the idiots we back who are going to make policy.

      --
      Rule of Slashdot #0: You and people like you are not representative of the larger population. - A.C.
    23. Re:Hey, wait a minute by Bigjeff5 · · Score: 1

      Admittedly, trying to justify it with everything that happens is moronic. Weather patterns are massively complex. In the end, what you have to look at is the year to year trend, and by that measure, 200X was the hottest decade on record.

      Is that why global average temperatures have been falling since 1998? The 90's were just as hot, but they were on the rise. It's a cooling trend now, and CO2 levels haven't slacked off one bit, so that's obviously not the primary cause. We're back down to the average yearly temps we were about 15-20 years ago, and every year is colder than the one before. In fact, the winter of 2008 was the coldest since the 1930's.

      If all your graphs stop at 2000, you aren't going to get a good picture of temperatures up to 2009.

      On top of that, there are a number of methodology issues with a lot of the more lazy studies - like the fact that a lot of temperature studies use temperature readings from inside metropolitan areas without taking into account the urban heat island effect. Cities are much hotter than the surrounding areas, and while that does contribute to overall warmth if the majority of your readings are from cities, you will have a skewed result.

      Combine poor methodology with good timing and you can get some pretty insane results.

      --
      Security is mostly a superstition... Avoiding danger is no safer in the long run than outright exposure. - Helen Keller
    24. Re:Hey, wait a minute by andydread · · Score: 1

      The problem is not you local weather as much as the climate itself. It is an undisputed fact that CO2 is a green house gas. That is not in dispute. One doesn't have to look too far to see the effects of Co2 on the climate of Venus. The effect of CO2 can easily be verified. take 2 bottles. fill one with CO2 and cap the other with air in it. Put them in the sun for a few minutes and then measure the temperature in the bottles. The CO2 filled bottle will be warmer. SO if you indiscriminately pump loads of CO2 in the atmosphere what do you think is going to happen? 1+1 always equal 2 Now we are over 350ppm and climbing. What do we do? Stick our heads in the sand? Ignore it until its too late? Just write of science as kook stuff? Or do we look objectively at the situation.

    25. Re:Hey, wait a minute by Rei · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Except that the scientists have PR departments too

      Um, what...?

      That's news to me. So who funds the scientists' PR departments? Where do they hire their PR agents? Is it one PR agent per scientist, multiple PR agents per scientist, or does each university fund a communal pool of PR agents and contract them out to the scientists? What do I have to major in to become a PR agent for a scientist?

      (1) I'm a law student, not a climatologist

      Well, then your opinions on climatology aren't worth much then, are they? Perhaps you might want to consider leaving the climate science to the climate scientistsm who've published literally tens of thousands of peer-reviewed papers on the subject. Oh, and their "PR departments", too ;)

      --
      The Spanish-English dictionary is out of ink.
    26. Re:Hey, wait a minute by SpryGuy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      In addition to those two questions, factor in these other two questions:

      What's the cost if we do something about it, but scientists were wrong (i.e. there isn't any real global warming, or at least human-caused warming) vs. the benefits of doing nothing in that case....

      and

      What's the cost if we do nothing about it, but scientists were right (i.e. human-caused global warming is quite real and accelerating), vs. the benfits of doing something in that case...

      --

      - Spryguy
      There are three kinds of people in this world: those that can count and those that can't
    27. Re:Hey, wait a minute by joocemann · · Score: 1

      What debate? Nearly all people with enough education to understand the science do not agree there is anything worth debating. By and large the mass of people who think there even is a 'debate' are misled by propaganda and also likely poorly educated in sciences.

      If there was a debate, it is this: Well Demonstrated/Evaluated Theory VS. Ignorant Doubt Discarding Evidence and Providing No Viable Alternative Hypothesis.

    28. Re:Hey, wait a minute by IICV · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You're a law student, right? So when you come out of your cocoon and bloom into a full-fledged lawyer, will you explain every nuance of case research to your clients? Will you explain in excruciating detail the specifics of which laws apply? Will you explain the finest, tiniest aspect of how those laws are enforced? Will you, in short, force each and every one of your clients to have a law degree?

      Or will you just give them an overview and expect that they rely on your expertise as a lawyer to cover the details, which is why they hired you?

      Anyway, you can look at the evidence yourself. The IPCC's Fourth Assessment Report is freely available; you might want to start with Working Group 1's report and work your way onward from there. Your law school's library may have access to relevant papers as well, which are mentioned in the IPCC reports; if not, it can probably special order them for you. Further, there's a ton of blogs out there written by scientists that tend to discuss global warming if you look for them. Finally, I'm sure there's a climatology department somewhere near you; you can start e-mailing them (or go over there and talk to them!) if you have specific questions.

    29. Re:Hey, wait a minute by joocemann · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The people who are not sure are not sure because they don't know enough to have confidence. Sadly these same people conveniently have assurance from other things to which they are ignorant. For some reason when a product of science may have a negative implication to the person, insecurity ensues...

    30. Re:Hey, wait a minute by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      While I do not entirely buy anthrocentric global warming... this site reduced my belief in helio centric global warming a bit.

      http://www.skepticalscience.com/solar-activity-sunspots-global-warming.htm

      I'm still deciding whether i think the site is biased or not.

      However, the solar activity page shows the solar output has dropped since 1980.

      And the mars page addresses martian warming. This particular page feels a bit more like an argument than a statement of facts but it's a reasonable argument.
      http://www.skepticalscience.com/global-warming-on-mars.htm

      So keep your own skeptical blinders on- but give the site a look.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    31. Re:Hey, wait a minute by aaron+alderman · · Score: 1

      Assuming you are not trolling...

      There is no event which would disprove global warming nor is there any event which would prove global warming. Global warming is global, so individual weather events are statistically insignificant.

      Both the observations you mention are symptoms of weather instability. It is not inconsistent to say that some areas will receive more snow/rain and others will receive less and that these areas may be the same in different years or even months.

      As for the likes of Al Gore, I must ask - Why you are taking him to be an oracle of science? I'm sure you are an intelligent person and if you wish to have an intelligent opinion then you should be relying on reliable sources, not on a politician-cum-climatologist.

    32. Re:Hey, wait a minute by joocemann · · Score: 1

      If the science doesn't make sense to you, get an education in the related science. These scientists have tried to translate the complexity of their work to meet the needs of the simple and ignorant minds.... But in doing so, the message (by requirement of the recipient) is so dumbed down it is hard to believe. That is the fault of the recipient not having the capacity to understand; not the fault of the scientist to whom the recipient cannot communicate on an even plane.

      I find it comical that people only doubt science when it is inconvenient. I find it comical that they demand clearer explanations but make no effort of their own to make themselves capable of receiving the clearer explanation.

      How do you explain the big bang to a 3 year old? "A bunch of stuff blew out of a tiny spot, and over a long long time it became the universe; everything around us." But I'm sure a physicist explaining it to another physicist would be a bit deeper.

    33. Re:Hey, wait a minute by The+End+Of+Days · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You hurt your cause by calling anyone who questions your conclusions "deniers." That is an immediate red flag for anyone with a skeptical bent.

    34. Re:Hey, wait a minute by m.ducharme · · Score: 4, Interesting

      That's news to me. So who funds the scientists' PR departments?

      Well, they don't call them PR departments, true. They call them Environmental lobby groups. Groups like the David Suzuki Foundation in Canada, who do actually do good science, but also release press releases that rely more on PR gibberish than actual data. As I said earlier, I don't blame them for doing so, because they need to get their message in a format that most people understand. But it makes things harder for people like me who want to evaluate the evidence.

      (1) I'm a law student, not a climatologist

      Well, then your opinions on climatology aren't worth much then, are they?

      That's exactly my problem. I want to become reasonably informed about global warming, but I don't have time to go get the appropriate degree, and nobody out there is boiling stuff down to layman's terms so I can make a reasonably informed decision. Instead we get the climate deniers on one hand, who think that volume=debate, and people like you on the other hand, who stoop to insult and "just trust me, I'm a scientist" rhetoric on the other hand. You didn't even bother to ask me which side of the debate I support, before attacking my position and making an argument from the perceived authority of "tens of thousands of peer-reviewed papers", none of which I have ever read or am capable of understanding.

      For the record, I believe that we should be drastically reducing carbon emissions to mitigate any effect humans are having on the change in climate. I've been intentionally obfuscating this position because (1) climate debates on slashdot always devolve into Holy Wars, thanks to people like you and (2) my support for this position is based more on risk assessment and other incidental effects of reducing carbon dependence than it is on a true understanding of the core of the debate, and this makes me uncomfortable.

      --
      Rule of Slashdot #0: You and people like you are not representative of the larger population. - A.C.
    35. Re:Hey, wait a minute by Pentagram · · Score: 1

      As for me, I'm inclined to think we do have some cause for concern, based on what little actual evidence I've seen from both sides of the debate. I'm by no means convinced that we have enough evidence to support one side or another.

      Me too. I understand the science at a basic level (enough extra CO2 in the atmosphere causes warming), but who is to say what is the actual level of CO2 that will make warming significant? And how do all the feedback cycles and other variables fit in?

      Wouldn't it be great if we had some sort of system, ooh, let's call it the "scientific method" or something similar, where people who have studied the field could argue with their peers and put forward competing hypotheses to explain what is happening? Also, we could set up organisations to tell the general public what has been concluded -- maybe called the "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change" or something similarly poncy.

      That way we wouldn't all need to make a snap decision on the issue based on an incomplete understanding of the issue.

      Personally I'm unconvinced by climate change, just like I'm unconvinced that string theory is a viable theory, or many other advanced scientific topics. As I don't fully understand those fields however, I'm not arrogant enough to believe I know better than the experts.

    36. Re:Hey, wait a minute by m.ducharme · · Score: 1

      What debate? Nearly all people with enough education to understand the science do not agree there is anything worth debating.

      This is a very small number of people, relatively speaking. Climate science is hard, and most people are not qualified to understand it, even if only because we chose to specialize in other areas. For the rest of us, because of the nature of the discourse in North America, we're basically told by two opposing sides that we just have to trust them.

         

      If there was a debate, it is this: Well Demonstrated/Evaluated Theory VS. Ignorant Doubt Discarding Evidence and Providing No Viable Alternative Hypothesis.

      The problem is, both sides are claiming to have the well-demonstrated/evaluated theory, and without a lot of education (or a better media) we're not really qualified to evaluate these positions. I know which side I support (probably the same side you do, in fact), I'm just not as comfortable with my support as you are, because I'm perhaps more aware of how tenuous my understanding of the subject really is.

      --
      Rule of Slashdot #0: You and people like you are not representative of the larger population. - A.C.
    37. Re:Hey, wait a minute by Pentagram · · Score: 1

      My point of view is that I'm open to be convinced, but at the moment it seems to me to be arrogance on behalf of we humans to assume we can have a significant impact, although I suspect we're contributing in a minor way.

      It may be arrogance to *assume* humans can have a significant impact, but it is not arrogant to believe the *science* that indicates human have a significant impact. It is more arrogant to believe that one is in a better position to have a view on the issue compared to the experts who study it.

      The problem is the whole topic is so clouded and has now been subverted by groups on both sides with ulterior motives, I don't know who or what to trust anymore.

      Whilst it is not easy to get a good picture of the science through the fog of the media (which has indeed been subverted by various groups with different motives), how about trusting the scientists? Try believing the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

    38. Re:Hey, wait a minute by Dragonslicer · · Score: 4, Funny

      Weather |= Climate

      Weather is now weather or climate? Well that should make the debate easier.

    39. Re:Hey, wait a minute by skine · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Global warming means that the annual average temperature of the Earth is increasing, and not that local temperatures are necessarily increasing across the board.

      The effect it does have on local weather patterns, is that it makes them more variable. So what a person will experience at a given location should be an increase in the frequency of strange weather patterns.

      Also, no data or event on its own is proof of anything (except that the data was measured and that the event was observed to occur). They can be used as compelling evidence, but you can be fairly certain that someone who confuses evidence with proof likely doesn't understand the scientific process.

    40. Re:Hey, wait a minute by Dragonslicer · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What's the cost of doing something about it (in terms of food production, delayed development, reduced energy availability) compared to the cost of not doing something about it (in terms of food production, lost occupied land, ecological diversity). It's those numbers that I've never seen realistically presented, and it's those numbers that should inform the decisions. Why don't we see those numbers? Because it's really really hard to figure them out, probably impossible with our current understanding of climate, geology, ecology, economics, and sociology.

      One of my pet peeves is that those are political questions, not scientific questions. It's a legitimate position to say that we should do something even if the hypothesis might be wrong, but saying that we should do something does not equal scientific proof. This isn't directed specifically at you, nor am I saying whether the hypothesis is right or wrong, I'm only trying to point out that there should be a certain amount of seperation between the scientific and political parts of the discussion.

    41. Re:Hey, wait a minute by Dragonslicer · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There's the science, which universally points towards global warming

      Until you can create replicas of Earth (and probably a large part of the solar system as well) in a laboratory and arrange predictable, repeatable experiments, I don't think any science-oriented person should be making such absolute statements.

    42. Re:Hey, wait a minute by m.ducharme · · Score: 1

      You've misunderstood the thrust of my argument, in part because I've been obfuscating my true position to avoid a flamewar. Clearly that didn't work. ;-p

      For the record, I'm on-side with the experts you're talking about, and believe we should do something about it. My concern is more with how the issue is playing out in the public sphere in America (very badly, with a lot of mis-information from both sides) and the fact that the experts are answering it all by saying "just trust us, we know what we're doing", which I don't think is an adequate answer.

      We need better scientific education at the grade-school level, we need a discourse where magical thinking and entertainment value is not seen as a substitute for the truth, and we need the scientific community to reach out to the rest of us and do a better job of explaining things to us so that we can feel justified in trusting them. The stakes are far too high for the discourse to continue as it has.

      --
      Rule of Slashdot #0: You and people like you are not representative of the larger population. - A.C.
    43. Re:Hey, wait a minute by joocemann · · Score: 1

      I'm a scientist and I have an education in biology. This does not serve to be directly relevant, but gives me a level of understanding of complex ecological systems, the implications of changing environments, etc. And by being involved in science as a whole, what I learn is how the scientific process is carried out and what it means to become a credited/established scientist. It means you've done your job very well for a long time.

      By understanding how science works and how the heads of research get to where they are, I am made much more confident in their work/theories.

      Surely it is possible to inject doubt, but when the doubt has no alternative theory, or comes from people of much lower credential and usually much lesser relevant education/experience, I am forced to go with people who have demonstrated a high level of integrity and have established themselves as people I can generally trust.

      Most people who understand how science works were not even bothered by the 'they discarded data' climategate b.s. That was clearly an exaggeration of what is actually quite routine in science. To a person who does not understand *why*, it seems alarming, and thus the exaggeration and misinterpretation gets echoed and gains some form of undue significance.

    44. Re:Hey, wait a minute by m.ducharme · · Score: 1

      I'm not claiming that I can't look at the real evidence myself, I'm claiming that I don't have the time or training to do so effectively. I'm in law school, I don't have time to research 10s or 100s of papers in a subject that doesn't relate directly to the exams I'm going to be writing in 3 weeks. Furthermore, very few other people do have the time or ability to do this.

      As a lawyer, I'll probably not explain things to all my clients, as you say. And that's okay, because the client will have the option of going to another lawyer if they don't like what I have to say, or they can ask me for clarification of points they don't understand. They will have options, and can make reasonably informed choices on their own. The same isn't true of the climate change issue because the material is far more abstruse, and nobody in the public sphere is willing to make an effort to explain it in a form lay-people can evaluate for themselves. On the one hand you have "they can't take my Hummer away!" and on the other hand we have "just trust us, we're experts." Neither of these arguments is terribly persuasive.

      --
      Rule of Slashdot #0: You and people like you are not representative of the larger population. - A.C.
    45. Re:Hey, wait a minute by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      Set an upper limit on the cost to achieve "planet-saving" solutions (and who's going to be paying for it), then we'll talk.

    46. Re:Hey, wait a minute by Reziac · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That's why the people who want to "DO SOMETHING!" to halt the Earth's natural warming process scare me more than anything else. If they should succeed in reducing the temperature by so much as half a degree, they could throw us into a new ice age (and do so very rapidly, as climate changes go), and it's quite possible that this could upset the cycle to the point that we never come back out of it.

      Imagine a few years in a row like "the year without a summer" and wonder where you'll be growing crops sufficient to feed humanity.

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    47. Re:Hey, wait a minute by Martin+Blank · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You're attacking him, and yet, if anything, he implied that he might even agree with your view. And yet you completely missed his point.

      First of all, yes, scientists do have PR departments. They're often called "media relations" or something of the sort, and most universities and independent research organizations have them. They're involved in publicizing the results of research, because the appearance of an article in what to many people is an obscure publication may otherwise go largely unnoticed. Many people have heard of Nature and Science, but how many people know about Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences? Aside from the relative obscurity of these publications, they can be fairly expensive* for most people. Some publicity is helpful to those who do publish in those journals.

      Secondly, I would ask you what you do. Are you a climatologist? If so, your dismissive attitude towards his quite valid concern about access to the data is one of the things that has made many people dismissive of the science. If not, then your opinions on the subject would, by your words, be essentially worthless. I suspect that you fall into the latter case, since you were not aware of the publicity assistance that is available for many scientists. On that basis, why should we trust your opinion on the validity of the science?

      * Nature and Science run $199 and $146, respectively, for one-year subscriptions. JAS is available only to members of the American Meteorological Society, and then runs $200 for the average person ($60 for Associate Membership plus $140 for the subscription for 2010 issues, access to 2008 and 2009 journals extra).

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
    48. Re:Hey, wait a minute by bdenton42 · · Score: 1

      SO if you indiscriminately pump loads of CO2 in the atmosphere what do you think is going to happen?

      Assuming some nature is left to take it's course, the trees will start growing much faster, absorb the extra CO2, and eventually die off to create the next layer of coal for us to burn in the far future. Yes, that's already starting to happen now. http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/11/091116163206.htm

      Of course if we cut all the trees down we will then seal our own fate.

    49. Re:Hey, wait a minute by bdenton42 · · Score: 1

      I really hope you are not serious. Fun movie, yes. Science study, no. My father, who is a weatherman, was laughing hysterically at how completely stupid the science was in that movie.

    50. Re:Hey, wait a minute by m.ducharme · · Score: 1

      That's not their job.

      Not their job? You don't seem to get it: if you don't present your evidence in a way that the layperson can grasp they will not support the policies you want to ameliorate/reverse climate change . Sitting in the Ivory Towers and saying "just trust us" is not going to help politicians and the people who vote for them to support your position and you need that support if you want to fix the problem (instead of just describe the problem in 11,000 papers). Why is this so hard to grasp? We have in the US (and increasingly so in Canada) a debate that is dominated on the one hand by climate-change deniers who rely on volume and "what would we do without oil?" rhetoric and on the other hand scientists whose main arguments are "just trust us, you can trust authority figures, and we're authority figures, right? Besides, the polar bears are dying!!!!1!!!!one!!" arguments, and nobody is talking about the actual science in a way that makes sense to voters or politicians!

      This may seem like a uniquely American problem, but if the US (world's largest consumer of oil) won't move to control carbon emissions, then China (world's fastest-growing consumer of oil) sure as fuck won't, and then we're all fucked. The scientists need to start communicating (effectively!) with the people, instead of leaving it in the hands of environmental groups who have no choice but to fight their opponents with the same deceptive tools.
       

      --
      Rule of Slashdot #0: You and people like you are not representative of the larger population. - A.C.
    51. Re:Hey, wait a minute by jabster · · Score: 1

      actually, they aren't even sure about that. According to the head of the IPCC (now that Climategate has hit the scene), there has been no statistically noticable global warning in the last 15 years.

      --
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    52. Re:Hey, wait a minute by Sloppy · · Score: 1

      Is there ANY event that would disprove global warming?

      No. No specific events. The proof/disproof will be in tables of numbers gathered over decades. A hot summer or cold winter is just noise.

      --
      As copyright owner of this comment, I authorize everyone to defeat any technological measure which limits access to it.
    53. Re:Hey, wait a minute by IICV · · Score: 1

      What, exactly, do you mean by "nobody in the public sphere is willing to make an effort to explain it"?

      Do you mean that the news media isn't explaining it? That's not exactly surprising; they don't explain anything. They just say cell phone radiation will cause brain cancer, they don't say why.

      Do you mean that Wikipedia doesn't explain it? It does.

      Do you mean that there are no websites with explanations from and discussion with climate scientists? There are.

      Do you mean that there are no Youtube videos with explanations? There are.

      Do you mean that Al Gore didn't make a movie out of his Powerpoint presentation? He did. (yes, I know there are problems with it - but you know what? That's what happens when you assume that a layman has the intellectual capacity of a sea sponge, and hand the presentation over to a politician).

      If you cannot find layman's explanations for the science behind global warming, then that's because you're not looking. It's not like "the public sphere" can shove a tube into your brain and pump the information in.

    54. Re:Hey, wait a minute by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      Your initial assumption is that "humanity is doomed" if something is not done.

      I disagree with your assumption.

    55. Re:Hey, wait a minute by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      So, you're smart and anyone that disagrees with you is an idiot? You're data is as pure as the wind driven snow, and those that point out problems with it are just propagandist? The fact that many of the surface stations that all of these 'scientific' models rely on have been demonstrably discredited should just be ignored, because YOU are smarter than the rest of us?

      And yet, you haven't figured out why the opposing side doesn't have the least amount of respect for your viewpoint?

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    56. Re:Hey, wait a minute by Sloppy · · Score: 1

      Scientists already have multiple Earths. There's the Earth in 2010, the Earth in 2000, the Earth in 1990, etc. The trick is in repeating experiments, and making predictions takes a long time to test. ;-)

      --
      As copyright owner of this comment, I authorize everyone to defeat any technological measure which limits access to it.
    57. Re:Hey, wait a minute by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      Also, we could set up organisations to tell the general public what has been concluded -- maybe called the "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change" or something similarly poncy.

      I think that would be a great idea. Let's then set up a system such that this panel will be heavily influenced by political concerns so that certain people with vested interest will benefit greatly from it. That way, the data can be massaged to make the recommendation lead one way or the other. We wouldn't want scientist getting their reputations dinged, or people who've invested in cap-n-trade entities loosing their investments. That would be terrible.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    58. Re:Hey, wait a minute by AshtangiMan · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If you want to point out that Al Gore has been imprecise and self contradictory when talking about GW then fine. But don't confuse what he says with the science itself. Just like you shouldn't confuse what the "anti-GW" pundits say with the science itself. Otherwise you just look like a tool who doesn't have the capability of understanding that global climate != regional weather. This is true regardless of whether or not you are in the "pro-GW" or "anti-GW" camp. And falling into either one of those camps probably makes you a tool anyhow as science does not have a camp.

    59. Re:Hey, wait a minute by Rei · · Score: 2, Informative

      Not their job? You don't seem to get it: if you don't present your evidence in a way that the layperson can grasp they will not support the policies you want to ameliorate/reverse climate change

      No, you don't seem to get it. The public isn't even remotely qualified to assess the validity of claims that, say, how the Charney sensitivity will be affected by variations in gamma from coupled climate-carbon cycle models with differening geospatial and temporal resolution, or how the Solomon et al stratospheric water vapor rise ties in with methane atmospheric residency times. So if you have both the warmers and deniers dumb down their argument for public consumption, the public will go with whichever scientist did a better job of dumbing down their argument, even if the overwhelming portion of the people who actually do understand the science can tell that that one's "science" is pure hokum. And even worse, you'll have various groups with political agendas selectively reporting on the dumbed-down arguments of a particular side (Fox, MSNBC, email forwards, blogs, etc).

      What you're asking them to do is like asking asking a third grader to pick a design for a particle collider based on dumbed-down descriptions by competing scientists -- or worse, a scientist and a non-scientist hired by an industry with a massive budget. And then having the third grader only hear one of their arguments. There's no way the audience in question can make a valid, informed decision on the topic because the amount of background required is too great.

      To bring it back to warming: countless people online have bought into a lot of *really, really* dumb arguments being pushed by people like Monckton, Watts, and others. Let's just trot out a random one: the argument that "warming precedes CO2, so CO2 isn't the cause of warming". Even a most basic climatology education will tell you that what's being talked about here are Milankovitch cycles, which are a classic case of CO2 *amplifying* an external forcing on geological timescales (the calculated Milankovitch orbital forcings are far too small to explain the existing warming, but the warming is easily understood in the context of the orbital forcings plus the CO2 feedback induced by the orbital forcing -- the CO2 levels being readily measurable in ice core gas bubbles). But the people hearing these arguments don't have that background to know this. So they look at the graphs and think, "Aha! Those dumb scientists got it backwards!"

      I know you don't want to accept this. But the reality is that unless you're willing to spend years learning about the subject, you are not qualified to assess the science. "Dumbed down" or not.

      --
      The Spanish-English dictionary is out of ink.
    60. Re:Hey, wait a minute by The+End+Of+Days · · Score: 1

      I guess the big difference between theories about the Big Bang and theories about global warming is that no one says the Big Bang is definitively what happened, just that that's the best explanation we've come up with so far. AGW, on the other hand, cannot be questioned in any way.

      That's not a fine line, it's a gaping chasm.

      Call it a dumbed down message, call it the shrill call of the corporate shill, call it whatever the hell you want. I'm not much for believing anything, and the more someone tells me something is an absolute truth, the less inclined I am to believe it at all.

      The cute part is that I am a proponent of efficient living. I don't own a car. I buy only energy efficient appliances and gadgets. I pay extra to my electric company to ensure that my power usage is contributed by sustainable means. That doesn't mean I have the swallow whole the swill the government tries to feed me. Nothing about being in charge means they are absolutely right.

    61. Re:Hey, wait a minute by waives · · Score: 1

      Hello??? Have you ever been involved with a university? Of course there is a PR department, and everything the public sees comes from them, not from peer-reviewed journals.

    62. Re:Hey, wait a minute by waives · · Score: 1

      Forgot to say, although I personally think climate change is quite real, the GP's point is very valid and a real concern. Your disingenuous response is typical of the left-wing side in the debate, and it does little to convince anyone.

    63. Re:Hey, wait a minute by tmosley · · Score: 1

      Vancouver was the ONLY place where it wasn't snowing (which isn't to say that it wasn't cold--just dry). There was snow as far south as Houston, record snowfall across most of the US, snowstorms in Japan, more record snow and cold in Russia, etc. The whole northern hemisphere had a very odd cooling event that was accompanied by a large amount of moisture.

      That doesn't prove anything though. Indeed, the last 40 years of warming don't really prove anything either. It's just a tiny blip in geological in the time frame.

    64. Re:Hey, wait a minute by IICV · · Score: 1

      I know you don't want to accept this. But the reality is that unless you're willing to spend years learning about the subject, you are not qualified to assess the science. "Dumbed down" or not.

      Keep in mind that he claims to be a law student, so you would think that he'd understand this. I mean, just look at Slashdot - a hundred thousand people, each one with an opinion on what the law says, all of them wrong. Why does he think that climate science (a far more complex subject by orders of magnitude) should be reducible to something a layman can grasp in a day?

      My wife is a doctoral student in Earth Systems Science. Her first year consisted of graduate-level ESS classes, many of which involved the climate. She'd bring home diagrams that showed the cycle of various elements in land, sea and air, and each one of them was a flowchart from Hell - and each came with the implied caveat of "these are only the parts of the cycle we've found, there's probably more that we still don't know about". Her classes were punishingly hard (two students dropped out for academic reasons, and one of them had even run his own lab at one point) and required a strong background in chemistry, mathematics and geology.

      And this was just an overview of the current state of climate science; they didn't go particularly in depth about anything, they just covered everything.

      And you want scientists to explain all that to an uninterested layman in a short amount of time?

    65. Re:Hey, wait a minute by Volante3192 · · Score: 1

      Exactly. You can't use snowfall in one season as a measuring stick, but people constantly go "Oh, snow. Global warming must be a lie," when what actually happened was the whole climate system got jacked up.

      Whether or not 40 years is enough justification to make policy is more philisophical in nature.

      My personal thoughts on it are we should do what we can to decrease our footprint. Even if the trend is natural, there's plenty of other reasons outside of temperature to do so.

      Also, if the deniers are wrong and we actually are impacting our environment, what then?

    66. Re:Hey, wait a minute by Locke2005 · · Score: 1

      You've got to admit that whoever decided to have a Climate Change Conference in Denmark in the middle of December obviously wasn't the sharpest tool in the shed! How did they expect to accomplish anything in respect to curbing global warming when everyone was too busy complaining that it's too fucking cold outside!

      --
      I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
    67. Re:Hey, wait a minute by Martin+Blank · · Score: 1

      I'm not comparing anything. You took issue with the idea that scientists have some mechanism to get their message out to the media. "PR" is, after all, short for public relations, and despite the negative connotation that has been attached to the concept, it's not always evil, anti-environment corporations that use the term. Greenpeace Canada has three "Media and Public Relations Officers."

      Your narrow definition of the term does not mean that the rest of us have to hold to it.

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
    68. Re:Hey, wait a minute by joocemann · · Score: 1

      The government is only echoing the science. The 'corporations' that you suggest want to profit from AGW theory are only doing business as usual (but you should know that there are far more that will spread misinformation and inject doubt where it isn't necessary because their stake in the concept is loss).

      Big bang theory and AGW theory are both very well founded. Most scientists would speak of the big bang as if it were what happened, not noting the 'theory' of it. You're downplaying the way science is discussed among scientists. Everything in science is a theory; that is one of the fundamental aspects of the scientific method. But when you've pretended it doesn't happen in everything else, and that it is only happening with AGW theory, then you find a whipping boy to support your preconceived belief and distract your criticism away from the data and toward the insignificant flaws of character.

      Nobody is saying you are absolutely wrong, they are saying that it is extremely likely that you are. Sometimes they forget to say how likely it is and go with an assumption of 99.9999% being 100% truth. Its a shame that instead of attempting to discern this insignificant flaw in discussion, you focus on it as a point to refute the theory.

      All the while having no heavily backed/evident theory of your own; all the while forgetting to be as skeptical of other science that you conveniently accept. I bet you used a cell phone today and assumed it was safe... please...

    69. Re:Hey, wait a minute by Reziac · · Score: 1

      Considering the miniscule amount (some tiny fraction of a percent) that is ours, out of the very small amount of CO2 in the atmosphere to begin with, no, what man does about human CO2 output won't do a damn thing one way or the other.

      I remember when water vapour was the big "greenhouse gas". I guess we should have covered up the oceans, eh?

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    70. Re:Hey, wait a minute by joocemann · · Score: 1

      If you understood the science, you wouldn't have many other questions. Of course now is when you tell me you don't have time for that and you shouldn't need to know in order to understand.

      Guess what. The reason you don't understand is because you don't know how to. The glaring shame of AGW skepticism is the blind acceptance of most other scientific research that serves to benefit. When the science shows a real issue, a sudden burst of disbelief arises. How much do you know about cell phones? Medications? Automobiles? Energy production?

      I bet you don't know much about how much of that works, either, and if you placed as much ignorant skepticism effort into it, you could come up with a bunch of questions whose answers are beyond your comprehension.

      I'm not saying you should accept scientific theories outright, but its a bit hypocritical to do so when the theories benefit you and raise doubt when they do not. Did you think I wasn't going to call you on that? Do you think it isn't blatantly obvious that AGW skeptics are merely skeptics of inconvenience? I can't trust you if you can't be consistent. I won't place credit in your disbelief simply because I know you don't do it with stuff that you enjoy.

    71. Re:Hey, wait a minute by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      To the average low information voter, I can see them making the argument that Fox/CNN/Talk Shows are about the only thing they can comprehend, so I tend to go easy on lower educated person when they buy into the fake debate over AGW. (And subsequently become increasingly pissed at the horrible quality of journalism today).

      However, I really hope that as a law student you aren't making the claim that you don't have the time to buy an issue of Nature, Scientific American, or watch a Discovery show and realize just how one sided the debate is.....(in favor of AGW). I'm pretty sure you'd be able to understand a Discovery article...

    72. Re:Hey, wait a minute by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Citation needed.

    73. Re:Hey, wait a minute by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Global temperatures have not been falling since 1998! They just haven't risen quite as fast as they did in the 1990s. There is a graph of the global temperature anomaly from 1880 through 2009 here.

      The urban heat island effect is well understood and accounted for. A recent study [PDF] that used the surfacestations.org list of well and poorly sited stations showed that the poorly sited stations actually introduced a slight cooling trend in the data (but not enough to change the overall warming trend).

    74. Re:Hey, wait a minute by dontbgay · · Score: 1

      Yes. We do. I work as an integration engineer for a helicopter manufacturer and I have to communicate what I'm doing to all interested parties at all times. Who are you to talk down to someone who just needs information in a way they can understand? It's pompous arrogant people like you who think people are too dumb to get the gist of what you're saying that is killing us. Curious and interested parties getting shut down at "trust me" whenever they have a pointed and relevant question serves no purpose except to inflate your own ego.

      And besides, there's a vested interest in getting the layman on the same page as the climatologists. Policy can (and probably will) follow public opinion.

      --
      Sig not found.
    75. Re:Hey, wait a minute by da+cog · · Score: 1

      > I want to become reasonably informed about global warming, but I don't have time to go get the appropriate degree, and nobody out there is boiling stuff down to layman's terms so I can make a reasonably informed decision.

      This page has a bunch of links that do as you ask and try to boil the information down for you:

      http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2007/05/start-here/

      --
      Snarkiness is inversely proportional to wisdom because it emphasizes feeling right rather than being right.
    76. Re:Hey, wait a minute by Rei · · Score: 1

      I'll direct you back to an earlier statement:

      To bring it back to warming: countless people online have bought into a lot of *really, really* dumb arguments being pushed by people like Monckton, Watts, and others. Let's just trot out a random one: the argument that "warming precedes CO2, so CO2 isn't the cause of warming". Even a most basic climatology education will tell you that what's being talked about here are Milankovitch cycles, which are a classic case of CO2 *amplifying* an external forcing on geological timescales (the calculated Milankovitch orbital forcings are far too small to explain the existing warming, but the warming is easily understood in the context of the orbital forcings plus the CO2 feedback induced by the orbital forcing -- the CO2 levels being readily measurable in ice core gas bubbles). But the people hearing these arguments don't have that background to know this. So they look at the graphs and think, "Aha! Those dumb scientists got it backwards!"

      After seeing this happen about fifty times for completely different nonsense arguments, YES, I think it's about time people stop convincing themselves that they know more about the subject than the scientists in the field. There's a difference between explaining and convincing. No, you're not too dumb to have things explained to you. Yes, you don't have enough background on the subject to tell if someone is pulling your leg.

      --
      The Spanish-English dictionary is out of ink.
    77. Re:Hey, wait a minute by inthealpine · · Score: 1

      Call shotgun out on what? All that was said is there are inconsistencies and that is the basis of skepticism. There was no 'I accept this data, not this data'. You can't change your oppositions argument to discount their statement.

      When you ask: How much do you know about cell phones? Medications? Automobiles? Energy production?
      You're missing entirely why those are invalid examples. This is because all those items predictably work every time. The same is not even slightly true of AGW.
      Tell me prediction data from 10 years ago is spot on for this year and you have an argument. Respond with how I just don't understand global climate because I didn't take organic chemistry, then all you're offering is cool-aid.

      --
      "In God We Trust, All Others Pay Cash"
    78. Re:Hey, wait a minute by joocemann · · Score: 1

      If you understood the science, you would understand how little those inconsitencies relate to the bigger picture. If you don't know whats going on, something small may appear to be quite large, or vice versa. You conveniently ignore the implications of EM radiation from electronic devices and their potential to be causative to harm... You conveniently refrain from skepticism in any other science where there are plenty of inconsistencies and for you find a point of ignorant contention.

      Again, if you knew what you were looking at, it would make sense. The reason your opinion gets washed under the bridge is because it is ignorant and those that are educated in the field cannot tell you over and over to go learn *why* enough times. Good luck not knowing and fearing; I suggest a university to help you, but everyone I tell this to, as you, tells me they don't need to understand what's going on in order to have an opinion or a question.... That's like validating the opinions of children on complex subjects.

    79. Re:Hey, wait a minute by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      I'm an engineer/scientist, not a politician, so I prefer facts over spin and wording.

    80. Re:Hey, wait a minute by tmosley · · Score: 1

      Someone set up a logical matrix to address this problem, which I will try to reproduce here. The two elements are:

      Either global warming is real or false

      Either we act to prevent it or we don't.

      If global warming is real and we act to prevent it, scientists have told us that even capping emissions immediately would only have a minimal effect. We would have to cut our emissions to nearly zero to have a significant effect. The only realistic way to do this is to force the world into a continuing global depression, or cut the population by 90%. Some cuts could be made by conversion to nuclear power, but it wouldn't be enough, and it would take at least a hundred years to implement fully, by which time it would be too late. If we manage to get it done , the best case scenario is that humanity's population is significantly reduced either through war or starvation (or both), and the remaining population is now supported by nuclear reactors, solar power, and the few that can afford them drives electric cars (remember that global depression?).

      Next, global warming is real, and we do nothing. By doing nothing, we allow technology and science to progress naturally, as we have for the last several hundred years. As the world warms, the northern passage opens up, reducing the amount of fuel needed for commerce. New farmland opens up in Canada to replace that lost in Africa (which was already marginal). Weather events get more destructive, but with the extra productive capacity we have from not acting to prevent global warming, we are able to build more resistant shelters in at risk areas. Within a hundred years, seas are a foot higher, but the world economy and human technology have advanced to the point that that no longer matters. People are living in space. Poverty is widely eliminated as the remaining backward nations industrialize (we have seen rates of poverty decreasing rapidly in China as it industrializes, matching what has happened everywhere else it has happened). Eventually, poverty is made obsolete by a disruptive technology, like replication devices, cheap energy, or some other technology that I can't think of.

      Third, we have the case where global warming isn't real, but we act to prevent it. The effects of the above paragraph are basically the same, except it is cooler during this process (we're fixing it! the Pols will proclaim). Since warming isn't happening nearly as fast as was predicted, there is less push to get things done. We still go into a global depression thanks to cap and trade, but there isn't any purposefully genocidal war. We move to nuclear technology. There was less waste of resources due to war, so the people aren't as poor as they would have been, but those who started out this escapade in or near poverty are now starving as the elites have most assuredly moved to defend their own interests. This has caused significant political instability. There will be Civil Wars.

      The final option, there is no global warming, and we do nothing about it. Much like the second case, technologies and economies progress rapidly, with no need for investment in weatherproofed homes, the economy grows significantly faster. Moon colonies are likely, and martian colonization is possible within a hundred years. Disruptive new technologies pop up all over the place.

      The point is that attempts to artificially manipulate human economies will in all cases do more damage than good, and any government effort to prevent global warming is going to end in death and poverty for a lot of people, just like poor soviet planning lead to the same in the USSR. It's not because the Russians were stupid (they weren't), it's because you can't dictate market forces efficiently. If global warming is real, we can deal with the effects as they come a lot more easily in a free market than we can in a market frozen in place by government mandate.

    81. Re:Hey, wait a minute by bingoUV · · Score: 1

      Well, then your opinions on climatology aren't worth much then, are they.

      His opinion is worth the same as yours - shit. If you oppose others' criticism of climate scientists on the basis of their lack of qualification, shouldn't you oppose your own support for them on the same basis?

      --
      Bingo Dictionary - Pragmatist, n. A myopic idealist.
    82. Re:Hey, wait a minute by bingoUV · · Score: 1

      Strictly speaking, my assumption is that there is a non-zero probability that humanity is doomed if something isn't done

      There is a non-zero probability that humanity is doomed if something is done. The following 2 are non-zero:

      1. Risk of something (apparently) orthogonal to global warming. E.g. Sun exploding much before current predictions of its death.
      2. Risk of "doing something" causing catastrophic conflict. Banal example: nuclear war, melting the earth's crust.

      So doing is square with not doing in that respect.

      --
      Bingo Dictionary - Pragmatist, n. A myopic idealist.
  5. That's why... by spammeister · · Score: 1

    We can't have pretty/shiny things.

    --
    I tried to think of a good sig, and this wasn't it.
  6. HEY now. by Mekkah · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's not Global Warming it's Global Climate change. That way, when it comes resurfaces, we can blame it again!

    --
    ~Mekkah
    1. Re:HEY now. by Mekkah · · Score: 1

      That way when it resurfaces, we can blame it again.
      Going Afk; using typing tutor again.

      --
      ~Mekkah
    2. Re:HEY now. by bunratty · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It's not about "blame". It's about predicting what will happen if we engage in a particular activity. The warming due to humans burning fossil fuels was predicted over 100 years ago, and we're now observing that predicted warming. We now have confirmation that burning fossil fuels causes warming, so we know we can lessen the warming by burning fewer fossil fuels.

      If you know that germs cause disease, you can improve sanitation and lessen disease. It has nothing to do with "blaming" germs!

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    3. Re:HEY now. by MyLongNickName · · Score: 4, Funny

      If you are going AFK to use Typing Tutor, we may have discovered your problem....

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    4. Re:HEY now. by inthealpine · · Score: 5, Informative

      Everyone was having fun until the climate change evangelist showed up.
      I mean has anyone even looked into exactly why water covers more of the island now? Have the coast lines reflected the same gain? Is the island sinking under it's own weight?
      I know I'm killing everyone's climate change buzz by asking some basic questions, but it's not my fault the climate change evangelist made me do it.

      --
      "In God We Trust, All Others Pay Cash"
    5. Re:HEY now. by Botia · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Funny thing. The waters seem to rise and fall two times each day. I always thought the big circles in the sky had something to do with it.

    6. Re:HEY now. by nomadic · · Score: 1

      I mean has anyone even looked into exactly why water covers more of the island now? Have the coast lines reflected the same gain?

      No, sea level rose but only around that island. It's like a plateau of water rising out of the sea, careful if you're waterskiing, you don't want to trip over it.

    7. Re:HEY now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      >>We now have confirmation that burning fossil fuels causes warming, so we know we can lessen the warming by burning fewer fossil fuels.

      Geeze, I confirmed that a LONG time ago too. When I put more wood/coal in the stove it gets a lot warmer in here, but I can lessen the warming by not putting so much wood/coal in the stove.

    8. Re:HEY now. by bunratty · · Score: 1

      Ah, more of the blame game. Looking for a fight, huh?

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    9. Re:HEY now. by SnarfQuest · · Score: 1

      With "global warming", it's about predicting what will happen after it has happened. Predicting the past, falsifying data, ignore any problems with the theory, and call your opponents very bad names. That's how you prove Global Warming.

      --
      Who would win this election: Andrew Weiner vs Andrew Weiner's weiner.
    10. Re:HEY now. by Ornlu · · Score: 1

      Do you realize that Svante Arrhenius, the author to which you just linked, proposed the compulsory sterilization on non-white races? He was probably a big fan of genocide...

    11. Re:HEY now. by CannonballHead · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Because islands can't lose land mass. The only reason islands are "created" or are "deleted" (hehe) is the sea level...

      Plus, we all know that anything (read: including localized events) that COULD come from warming global temperatures is caused by "global warming" which is really AGW. On the other hand, any localized events that appear to contradict AGW are just localized events and can't enter into the debate.

      Me? Cynical?

    12. Re:HEY now. by Bigjeff5 · · Score: 1

      You know what was predicted 50 years ago?

      Why, the next Ice Age!! It was global cooling everyone was worried about, and it was the exact same stuff that was supposed to be causing it (but in different ways).

      Besides, the burning of fossil fuels does not predict the current cooling trend over the last decade - global temperatures peaked around 98-2000 and have been on the decline ever since.

      According to our CO2 levels, it should be a steady rise with perhaps some light fluctuations from year to year, a decade of cooling doesn't fit.

      Blaming CO2 is far, far too simplistic, especially when you ignore the source of 100% of our heat, 80% of which it provides directly. Can you guess what that is? And do you ever wonder if it has a climate of its own?

      --
      Security is mostly a superstition... Avoiding danger is no safer in the long run than outright exposure. - Helen Keller
    13. Re:HEY now. by joocemann · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      I'm sure people would give you answers but you won't have enough education to understand it. Thus they will reword the answers to something you *could* comprehend, but then you will discard it for its lack of details. Then they will explain in details (scientific papers) and it won't make any sense to you.

      It is your fault you can't understand complex science. It is also your fault that the message you get is not convincing enough. The actual messages going around are very convincing to those who can understand them. Sadly, and to your own disgruntle, you make no effort of your own and likely deliberately inject doubt because *this* science implies a change in your lifestyle that is detrimental.

      I bet you don't doubt Splenda. I bet you don't doubt your medications. GTFO.

    14. Re:HEY now. by jabster · · Score: 1

      hmmm....this might explain a lot....in the winter when it's cold we burn lots of fossil fuels to keep warm. This in turn causes the earth to warm, so we use less fossil fuels. As we use less, the earth gradually starts to cool again, until we are forced to burn lots of fossil fuels again, which heats up the earth......etc.

      --
      Slashdot: you'll not find a more wretched collection of villainy and disreputable types...
    15. Re:HEY now. by ArsonSmith · · Score: 1

      "Blaming CO2 is far, far too simplistic,"

      I believe in global warming, i like simplistic.

      --
      Paying taxes to buy civilization is like paying a hooker to buy love.
    16. Re:HEY now. by inthealpine · · Score: 1

      Ah, so because I don't buy the theory (er, sorry fact) that an island reclaimed by the sea is because of man made climate change resulting in rising sea levels that only rose around the island and not the surrounding shorelines...I'm the crazy one?

      Your right on one thing. I don't have enough education. Well, in science I don't have enough education. I do have quite a bit of education in history and history is just full of pompous people like you. You think you know better than me, not because you always question yourself, but because you dismiss those you deem unworthy.

      Science is mans quest to understand the world, not mans un-appendable facts about the world.

      --
      "In God We Trust, All Others Pay Cash"
    17. Re:HEY now. by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Actually Global Warming is a more accurate description because the total energy in the earth system is increasing. Climate Change was a phrased dreamed up by Frank Luntz for the GWB administration because it sounded less threatening.

    18. Re:HEY now. by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      And what does that have to do with the price of tea in China?

    19. Re:HEY now. by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      As I said in a previous reply to you, there has been no cooling trend over the last decade. That's not a scientifically supportable statement.

      And very few scientists have considered global cooling a real problem in the last 100 years.

    20. Re:HEY now. by da+cog · · Score: 1

      The reason why "global warming" was changed to "climate change" was because people were complaining that some parts of the world were getting colder and so it was obviously bunk, when really what was meant was that the global *average* temperature was increasing. So they changed the term to "climate change" in order to prevent this confusion, even though the predictions are exactly the same, but now they are being attacked for having changed their predictions to match the latest cooling trends (which, again, they didn't) as if this proves that you can't trust anything they say!

      This goes to show that you just can't win with some people.

      --
      Snarkiness is inversely proportional to wisdom because it emphasizes feeling right rather than being right.
    21. Re:HEY now. by joocemann · · Score: 1

      If you're too poorly educated to understand, of course you are unworthy to have a VALID opinion. Ask a 4 year old.

    22. Re:HEY now. by inthealpine · · Score: 1

      Apparently I need to simplify my statement for you. My formal education isn't in science. My degrees are in History and my occupation happens to be technology now.
      You see, that's how worthless people like you win arguments in your own mind, try and pretend your the only one with any education or knowledge. Do you understand now or should I post this on your myspace account with all the 4 year old children who's opinion you apparently revere (see I can play your games as well, anyone can and that's why it's worthless drivel).

      --
      "In God We Trust, All Others Pay Cash"
    23. Re:HEY now. by joocemann · · Score: 1

      A degree in history hardly gives you the basis for understanding the processes of climate science, or even the general activities of scientific method (wherein often outlier data is discarded or a rational address of its causes leads to its removal from the pool). Again, you don't know because you don't know, but you still think you know. Good luck with that. You can attempt to post on my myspace that I said a 4 year old shouldn't have a valid opinion about the science related to AGW... I won't permit you because you're just a trolling idiot now; but try your best.

  7. Children's Lesson by VorpalRodent · · Score: 1

    I learned that from my parents - "If the two of you can't share, neither of you gets the toy." As a side note, I doubt I was particularly happy at that, as I was an only child, and toys generally truly were mine.

    --
    Take it to the limit, everybody to the limit, come on, everybody fhqwhgads.
  8. Sound familiar to Pratchett fans? by makomk · · Score: 1

    I'm pretty sure this was the plot of a book...

    1. Re:Sound familiar to Pratchett fans? by NeoSkandranon · · Score: 1

      Just a wee bit :) Tagging article Jingo

      --
      If you can't see the value in jet powered ants you should turn in your nerd card. - Dunbal (464142)
    2. Re:Sound familiar to Pratchett fans? by thePowerOfGrayskull · · Score: 1

      You do know that nobody sees your tags except you -- unless you're a subscriber -- right?

  9. Sounds familiar... by dewie · · Score: 1

    I'm fairly sure this was the plot of a Terry Pratchett book.

    --
    Jurisprudence Fetishist Gets Off On A Technicality --theonion.com
  10. Haven't heard of Solomon's judgment? by DriedClexler · · Score: 2

    *sigh* Dude, the correct answer is, "No, no! Let him have it! Please! Just don't destroy it! I love it too much!" Shame on India and Bengaladesh!

    Everyone knows that by now!

    --
    Information theory is life. The rest is just the KL divergence.
  11. Wait - what? by Dunbal · · Score: 4, Informative

    From TFA: Until 2000, the sea levels rose about 3 millimeters (0.12 inches) a year, but over the last decade they have been rising about 5 millimeters (0.2 inches) annually

    So er we're talking a foot of water every 60 years? Sounds almost scary, except when you put it into context. Increases in sea level are not new phenomena. No doubt they were produced by all that fossil fuel consumption 20,000 years ago.

    --
    Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    1. Re:Wait - what? by bunratty · · Score: 5, Insightful

      First, 20,000 years ago the climate changed for other reasons. No one has ever said that the only way the climate can warm is due to humans burning fossil fuels. Deniers like to act as if AGW proponents have said that, however. 'Tis just a strawman.

      Second, 20,000 years ago we didn't have over 100 million people living in cities near the ocean. Over the next century, these millions of people will be displaced, or the land they're on will be protected, at a cost of trillions of dollars. If we can avoid it by spending much less money, say, only one trillion dollars, it makes economic sense to do so.

      Spending a trillion dollars sounds almost scary, except when you put in into context of saving several trillion dollars.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    2. Re:Wait - what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Increases in sea level are not new phenomena.

      Neither are world wars or mass extinctions, but I think we should work to avoid those.

    3. Re:Wait - what? by Shompol · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So you are saying that if we have a cataclysm similar to glaciers melting 20,000 years ago, it's okay because it happened before?
      Extinction of humanity sounds scary, except when you put it in context, species extinction is not a new phenomenon

    4. Re:Wait - what? by Xelios · · Score: 1

      I think it's more along the lines of "It's happened before, there's no reason to expect it won't happen again". Whether it's meteor strikes, supervolcano eruptions, earthquakes, or more subtle catastrophes like temperature changes, the world is a dangerous place. It doesn't hurt to keep that in mind. Though it also doesn't hurt to lessen our impact on the environment, people don't need to agree on what's causing the latest change in climate to agree that pollution is probably not the best thing we can contribute to the planet.

      --
      Murphey's fighting Occam, and we're in the stands.
    5. Re:Wait - what? by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      No. I am saying that there is a long term trend of increasing sea level. However if you note from the graph - those increases are increasing by decreasing amounts (ie the average rate is diminishing). Why? Because the vast quantities of glaciers that existed 20,000 years ago have already melted. You can't "create" more water - it's ALREADY in the ocean - 140 meters worth.

      You are the one mentioning "global cataclysms". First you must prove that one exists.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    6. Re:Wait - what? by SnarfQuest · · Score: 1

      You know that Al Gore is very seriously concerned about the rising oceans, since he recently bought beachfront property.

      --
      Who would win this election: Andrew Weiner vs Andrew Weiner's weiner.
    7. Re:Wait - what? by khallow · · Score: 1

      So you are saying that if we have a cataclysm similar to glaciers melting 20,000 years ago, it's okay because it happened before?

      What cataclysm? Doesn't seem to have hurt humanity and it probably lead to innovations like agriculture and civilization.

      Even if such an event were to happen now (well over the next few centuries or millennia), it wouldn't be a big deal. We're not plants that are fixed in one place and will be stuck under tens of meters of water. We can move and will have huge amounts of time in which to do so. We can also float on boats. Just because an area becomes ocean doesn't mean that it becomes useless.

    8. Re:Wait - what? by painandgreed · · Score: 1

      So er we're talking a foot of water every 60 years? Sounds almost scary, except when you put it into context [wikipedia.org].

      Actually, that is pretty scary once you put it into context. That's ten meters every two thousand years. Or rather as much rise in sea level in the next two thousand years as we've seen in the last eight thousand years. The sea level rise rate would essentially be back to the steep slope that it was when the ice age glaciers were melting as opposed to the shallow slope that it has been for the last eight thousand years according to that graph.

    9. Re:Wait - what? by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      OK, but how about spending $10T to save, well, nothing really.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    10. Re:Wait - what? by MaWeiTao · · Score: 1

      There you go. The key distinction between 2010 and 20,000 years ago is that we have billions of humans around the world more exposed to changes in climate. But as you point out, the climate has changed many times in the past for a variety of reasons clearly not due to human activity. Might human activity be aggravating the matter somewhat? It's entirely possible, but given that it's going to happen no matter what we do I almost think it's irrelevant.

      So what do we do? Take potentially disastrous measures and try to actually change the climate ourselves? And how to we even establish what an ideal baseline is? It's entirely possible the ideal temperature for humanity and nature to thrive is even higher than it is now.

      But on a more practical level, I do think we should move to clean, efficient fuels as much as is realistically possible. Many measures to protect the environment make sense for a variety of reasons beyond climate change. That said, I do have a fundamental problem with the alarmists and the suggestion that we need to dramatically change our way of life or that we should support policies which benefit special interests pushed under the pretense of stopping climate change.

    11. Re:Wait - what? by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      If you assume a 1% grade (probably less in lowland areas like Florida), a foot of sea level rise means the coast recedes by 100 feet.

    12. Re:Wait - what? by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      That's ten meters every two thousand years. Or rather as much rise in sea level in the next two thousand years as we've seen in the last eight thousand years.

            Or it could be that an "average" is merely a "central tendency" of data, however the data itself is not constant and varies year to year - as clearly shown in the graph. Even 1000 year's worth of recent data is not enough to "predict" anything more than a general trend - increasing vs. decreasing. Anyone who would have estimated future increases based on data from the years -22,000 to -20,000 would never have expected the Meltwater Pulse 1A. Likewise, anyone estimating future increases from 10,000 to 8,000 years ago would have been surprised by the failure of the oceans to live up to their promise.

            Therefore anyone can say what they want about any sudden "increase" - the reality will probably be something else. However you have to expect that at some point soon there will be no more ice. This "steep slope" you are "predicting" is going to be powered by what, exactly?

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    13. Re:Wait - what? by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      If you assume a 1% grade (probably less in lowland areas like Florida), a foot of sea level rise means the coast recedes by 100 feet.

      Funny my grandfather bought a condo on the beach in Boca Raton, Florida in 1970, and the ocean is still pretty much where it used to be when I went there earlier this year. Let's see now, 30 years at .12 inches per year + 10 years at 0.2 inches per year = 5.6 inches, almost half a foot. So what, the apartment building should now be about 10 feet offshore you say? Funny I don't remember wearing my waders.

      Just like inflation and unemployment numbers, "observation does not match the reported figures".

         

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    14. Re:Wait - what? by pclminion · · Score: 1

      I don't understand what your point is. Are you saying that because it has happened before (and nobody is disputing that), that is somehow isn't a problem? If sea level rises and begins wiping out portions of Manhattan, are you going to tell New Yorkers that they shouldn't worry about it because it's normal?

    15. Re:Wait - what? by Bigjeff5 · · Score: 1

      First, 20,000 years ago the climate changed for other reasons

      And you don't think those exact same processes are happening now? The current fluctuations in temperature are nothing new, why they'd suddenly be caused by us is a complete mystery to me. Influenced slightly I could see, but caused? Come on!

      Second, 20,000 years ago we didn't have over 100 million people living in cities near the ocean. Over the next century, these millions of people will be displaced, or the land they're on will be protected, at a cost of trillions of dollars [pbs.org]. If we can avoid it by spending much less money, say, only one trillion dollars, it makes economic sense to do so.

      And yet the rate of global warming was 1,000 times greater than it is now.

      Hmmm...

      --
      Security is mostly a superstition... Avoiding danger is no safer in the long run than outright exposure. - Helen Keller
    16. Re:Wait - what? by joocemann · · Score: 1

      WTF is a trillion anymore? US Citizens pay about 1.5 trillion per year for healthcare. In the last year and a half between Bush's bank bailout and Obama's big stimulus, they spent about 1.5 trillion.

      At the rate we're going, I'll be wiping my ass with a billion dollar bill when I'm 50.

      Its really time to start investing in highly productive scientific products such as massive rollout renewable energy generation and robotics. It may take trillions to pay people to protect those lands, but given an army of Wall-E robots, it would simply cost us energy. Obviously we'd have to have a social stake in the robots for it to work like that; a private business would try to profit so hard that it would probably equate to having paid humans to do it.

    17. Re:Wait - what? by ScentCone · · Score: 1

      No one has ever said that the only way the climate can warm is due to humans burning fossil fuels. Deniers like to act as if AGW proponents have said that, however. 'Tis just a strawman

      Regardless, the AGW pushers continually uses phrases like "climate change is the result of human activity." Sometimes they qualify that with "mainly" or "predominantly," but that's precisely the meme they're peddling ... along with it's implied counterpart: that absent human activity, it wouldn't happen. It's not a straw man argument to point out that bit of nonsense, since it's used loudly and regularly by people like Gore, and repeated ad nauseum by a generation of students who will soon be old enough to vote based on bad information.

      --
      Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    18. Re:Wait - what? by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      The doomers are drama queens and slippery in their predictions. The goalposts and degree of pending catastrophe are easily-changed variables. Whatever it takes to get alarmist headlines and the latest "scientific studies" blaming AGW for 3-eyed frogs, lack of smell in roses and the Red Sox winning the World Series.

    19. Re:Wait - what? by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      If sea level rises and begins wiping out portions of Manhattan, are you going to tell New Yorkers that they shouldn't worry about it because it's normal?

            Venice is still a functional city...

            Manhattan is currently 10 meters above sea level. At a rate of 0.2 cm per year, Manhattan might start having trouble IN FIVE HUNDRED YEARS. Frankly I have serious doubts that New York city will even exist in 100 years as it is today, let alone 500 years. Why? Because far more trouble is/will be caused by overpopulation than rising sea levels. Resources that are already scarce today are going to be unavailable if current population growth rates are sustained. So a crash in population when these resources run out (per capita, the resources aren't actually being "destroyed", only shared among an ever greater number of people) is inevitable. How this crash will happen is anyone's guess: disease, war, economic collapse.

            Really it's a self correcting problem. When we're all dead, there will be no more pollution. Global warming, on the other hand, will continue, until the natural cycle reverses and the Earth cools into another ice age in a few million years...

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    20. Re:Wait - what? by cdrguru · · Score: 1

      Well, it is sort of like the Moon. Its orbit is getting smaller all the time because of the drag of Earth's gravity. Increased human population is increasing the mass of the Earth, as do metorites. This increases the drag on the Moon further reducing its orbit.

      If nothing is done about this, the Moon will crash into the Earth, just like if nothing is done about Earth's climate some land will be submerged in the ocean. Believe me, the Moon impacting the Earth will likely destroy all life on the planet within a few seconds. This is potentially as huge a catestrophe as climate change and will have even further reaching effects. It is true that the Moon isn't likely to crash into the Earth next week, but neither will New York disappear into the Atlantic next week.

      I believe we can "solve" any possible climate problem by immediately stopping all burning of fossil fuels. This would make all current non-nuclear power plants, all production automobiles, all aircraft obsolete and unusable. We need to reduce the population to under 500 million, probably really under 250 million, although without powered farm equipment no ability to transport crops we will likely see a big population reduction anyway making any real action on the population front unnecessary. Overnight, the face of the planet would change and much of it would return to a verdant paradise that has only been written about in fantasies.

      So why aren't we doing this if there is a critical climate problem that we can solve? Perhaps because (a) it isn't that critical and (b) we can't solve it no matter what humans do.

    21. Re:Wait - what? by stdarg · · Score: 1

      No one has ever said that the only way the climate can warm is due to humans burning fossil fuels. Deniers like to act as if AGW proponents have said that, however. 'Tis just a strawman.

      This is your own strawman. AGW skeptics don't believe that AGW proponents believe that climate change can only be caused by humans burning fossil fuels. Indeed, that's why they like to bring up climate change that happened 20k years ago, because AGW proponents can't deny that climate change happens without human involvement.

    22. Re:Wait - what? by onefriedrice · · Score: 1

      First, 20,000 years ago the climate changed for other reasons. No one has ever said that the only way the climate can warm is due to humans burning fossil fuels. Deniers like to act as if AGW proponents have said that, however. 'Tis just a strawman.

      Actually, that just points out the problem with AGW "science." There are so many variables, nobody really knows why the climate is changing. For now, it's a theory that "greenhouse gases" are causing a significant change in the climate. Another theory is sunspots. For all the tree-rings examined, the only thing we know is that the climate changes. We can't even agree on whether or not that is a bad thing. To me, a warmer planet sounds pretty good. As for sea levels, we also happen to know that it has been rising steadily for thousands of years (obviously at a slower rate today than for several years after the last ice age). Accounts will obviously vary from source to source, but it also doesn't look like there has been a significant increase in the rate of rising over the past centuries.

      Most of us who get labeled "disbelievers" or "deniers" are simply opposed to massive, radical legislation surrounding something as murky as so-called "global warming" or climate change. Surprisingly, we don't even hate the planet or love pollution or big oil. But we also don't love the idea of setting up a fake market for the redistribution of wealth with questionable expected impact on the climate.

      --
      This author takes full ownership and responsibility for the unpopular opinions outlined above.
    23. Re:Wait - what? by bunratty · · Score: 1

      A rate of global warming 1000 times greater than it is now would be 200 degrees Celsius per decade. WTF are you smoking?

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    24. Re:Wait - what? by bunratty · · Score: 1

      Actually, that just points out the problem with AGW "science." There are so many variables, nobody really knows why the climate is changing. For now, it's a theory that "greenhouse gases" are causing a significant change in the climate. Another theory is sunspots.

      And yet global warming caused by humans burning fossil fuels was predicted over 100 years ago. I suppose it's possible that the warming is coincident with the increase in greenhouse gasses, and that it really is solar output the is causing the warming, but I'm not aware of a single research paper that reaches that conclusion. If anything, many papers reach the conclusion that increased solar output cannot account for most of the warming.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    25. Re:Wait - what? by tmosley · · Score: 1

      What happens when the savings vanish like a puff of smoke in the wind? Climate scientists have mostly agreed that there is nothing we can do about global warming at this point. If we take action now, we will do so by stopping production of CO2. The problem with that is that our entire global economy runs off of converting things into CO2 (even your basic life processes). Putting a limit on CO2 emissions does enormous harm, impoverishing nations and retarding technological progress.

      A better solution is to simply do nothing, and deal with it at a later date when our technology is more advanced. So what if the seas are a foot higher in a hundred years? We'll be living in cities that float on the Ocean, or in habitats circling the Earth, or on Mars. Ron Smith invented a molecular replication device that solved world hunger overnight, and has made poverty obsolete. Jane LeBaron's genetic research now allows humans to live and work under the sea. Or any of an infinite number of others amazing things that could happen. But a further tax on an already heavily strained economy will do nothing more than sow discord and breed violence. We are almost bankrupt as it is.

    26. Re:Wait - what? by tmosley · · Score: 1

      What are you, 48?

    27. Re:Wait - what? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Because you don't want said dbag to move in next to you when they are forced out of their current location?

    28. Re:Wait - what? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Actually at the current rate of global warming we are seeing temperature changes in a couple of hundred years that would have taken 5,000 years normally.

    29. Re:Wait - what? by nadaou · · Score: 1

      hint: it's not the current rate, it's the rate of change which is important.

      --
      ~.~
      I'm a peripheral visionary.
    30. Re:Wait - what? by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      hint: it's not the current rate, it's the rate of change which is important.

            hint, it's not the rate of change that's important, it's the trend. The "average rate of change" is just an average. Some years it could go the other direction, and the average "rate of change" over a 10 year period would just diminish slightly. A one year (or even 100 year) rate of change means NOTHING on a geological time scale. Hardly anything in nature moves in a straight line or a nice bezier curve.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  12. Re:"Always attribute to global warming... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "Hurry! Buy into my company's carbon credits scheme so you can keep polluting!" -Al Gore

  13. Global warming? Or.... by FooAtWFU · · Score: 1, Informative

    Global warming? Or mere subsidence?

    (Or both?)

    --
    The World Wide Web is dying. Soon, we shall have only the Internet.
    1. Re:Global warming? Or.... by vtcodger · · Score: 4, Informative

      ***Global warming? Or mere subsidence?***

      Subsidence or wave erosion of course. Sea Level rise continues at about 29 cm (a foot for us Americans) a century. Rates computed from sea level gauge and satellite data are similar. I'm guessing that it would take about 500-1000 years to get anything that was called an island rather than a reef to go away at current rates of sea level rise. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Current_sea_level_rise

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    2. Re:Global warming? Or.... by Suki+I · · Score: 1

      That was my first thought too. Haven't some of the US coastal cities dealt with this problem for decades?

    3. Re:Global warming? Or.... by Rei · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Quite true. And I say this as someone who agrees with the ~97% of active, publishing climate scientists who accept global warming. You can't just point to something that matches one theory or another and say that it's caused by that theory. That's unscientific. That assumes that there can only be one cause for a given course of action. Another couple examples of it on the pro-warming side are Atlantic hurricanes and the Kilimanjaro glaciers. A good example on the denier side is all of the people trying to argue that a cold, snowy winter in the US means that global warming is fake -- as though US = World and "1 year's weather" = Climate. Just like weather provides a huge amount of noise atop the climate signal (in this case, due to a record North Atlantic Oscillation), sandbars form and get erased on their own. No sea level rise required.

      Sea level rise is primarily a long-term threat, and primarily when compounded with storms (rather than on its own). It starts out slow but accelerates significantly over time.

      --
      The Spanish-English dictionary is out of ink.
    4. Re:Global warming? Or.... by groslyunderpaid · · Score: 1

      I'm just wondering how long until the gay post hoc ergo proctor hoc statements show up

    5. Re:Global warming? Or.... by cyberchondriac · · Score: 1

      Not to argue with your main point, but it wasn't only the US that had record snowfalls this year. The UK was uncharacteristically buried in snow this winter as well.
      Between North America (US and Canada) and parts of Europe, that's actually a pretty big geographical scope. For one year, anyway.
      FWIW.

      --

      Look back up at my post, now look back down, you're on the Internet. Now look back up. I'm a signature.
    6. Re:Global warming? Or.... by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Actually it's been a pretty warm winter in Canada and extremely warm in the Arctic above Canada and the west coast of Greenland.

    7. Re:Global warming? Or.... by Gadget_Guy · · Score: 1

      And yet here in Australia we have have been having records getting broken for the heat. I think the point is that you can't just look at certain parts of the planet and say that is representative of the global climate. What we should be seeing is an increase in the extremes of weather - which is exactly what is being reported here.

    8. Re:Global warming? Or.... by Rei · · Score: 1

      Do yourself a favor and look at a global temperature anomaly map. Here's January. Basically, the eastern US, northern Europe, and Siberia were cold. The other ~80% of Earth's land mass and most of the oceans were warm.

      --
      The Spanish-English dictionary is out of ink.
    9. Re:Global warming? Or.... by Rei · · Score: 1

      And by your arguement, the past 40 years of warming also doesn't equal radical climate shift.

      One year is not statistically significant. You need about 10-15 years minimum. Any statistical analysis of the data will tell you as much.

      --
      The Spanish-English dictionary is out of ink.
    10. Re:Global warming? Or.... by Rei · · Score: 1

      No, we have a huge geological record of how the planet has responded to various forcings in the past as well. And the models are based on First Principles and validated with historic data, and *do* function within their confidence interval.

      --
      The Spanish-English dictionary is out of ink.
  14. Local Sea Level Rise??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    Sea levels can't just rise in one place. They haven't risen enough to submerge islands. Period. Subsidence is to blame here.

    1. Re:Local Sea Level Rise??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      Have you seen the moon recently? No? That's because it parked over the Bay of Bengal whislt it went into India for a quick curry, and someone clamped it for not obeying the laws of motion. The clamping company won't release the moon until the fine is paid, but the moon has no money to pay for its own release. So high tide is permanently over the Bay of Bengal now.

    2. Re:Local Sea Level Rise??? by Sleepy · · Score: 1

      Glenn Beck makes a visit to Slashdot?

    3. Re:Local Sea Level Rise??? by RobotRunAmok · · Score: 2, Funny

      And Rachel Maddow posts here as "Sleepy."

      Now, did you have a point to make, or is just being ridiculous enough for you today?

    4. Re:Local Sea Level Rise??? by Anomalyst · · Score: 1

      Being ridiculous should be enough for anyone. -Billy Gate

      --
      There is no right to feel safe thru security vaudeville at the expense of everyone's freedom, privacy and tax money.
    5. Re:Local Sea Level Rise??? by Locke2005 · · Score: 1

      Sea levels can't just rise in one place.Yes they can. It's the tidal effect caused by 1 billion Indians putting on a lot of weight lately...

      Venice is also submerging, due mainly to subsidence, but aggravated by rising sea level and more powerful storms. I suspect it is a combination of factors in the Bay of Bengal as well.

      --
      I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
    6. Re:Local Sea Level Rise??? by JTsyo · · Score: 1

      If the island is located at the mouth of a river, the river might have an increased flow now, raising local sea levels.

    7. Re:Local Sea Level Rise??? by pclminion · · Score: 4, Informative

      Sea levels can't just rise in one place.

      Yes they can. For one example, consider the difference in sea level between the two sides of the Panama Canal of about 8 inches, mostly due to salinity and air pressure differences.

    8. Re:Local Sea Level Rise??? by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      Sounds like an almost endless supply of power if you can build a hydro plant big enough to run on 8" of gravitational potential energy. It isn't like you're going to run out of water anytime soon...

  15. Re:"Always attribute to global warming... by Errol+backfiring · · Score: 1

    So THAT is why I see all these geese who have never belonged here forming a real plague now. It's because the drop-dead obvious does not exist...

    --
    Nae king! Nae laird! Nae yurrupiean pressedent! We willna be fooled again!
  16. Super! by Junior+J.+Junior+III · · Score: 2, Insightful

    See, we just need to understand that global climate change isn't good or bad. It's both. It solves problems and creates them. We just have to accept that it will happen, and continue to do whatever we're doing. No need to change anything, just ride out the changes. We can live without coral and fish. It'll be fine. Because now we have less land to fight over. Which will result in less conflict because we'll be able to peacefully come to agreements about how to divide the less amount of remaining land that we now have. See? It all balances out.

    --
    You see? You see? Your stupid minds! Stupid! Stupid!
    1. Re:Super! by Bugamn · · Score: 1

      We can live without coral and fish.

      But if we have no fish, what will the dolphins thank us for?

      It'll be fine. Because now we have less land to fight over.

      Oh, yeah. Because more people with less land means more peace. Why don't we produce less food too?

  17. Rising sea level? by johndiii · · Score: 5, Informative

    According to the article, sea level has been rising by 0.2 inches per year. This would imply a rise of about two inches since 2000. Over the previous twenty years (back to the origin of the dispute over the island), the rise would have been about 2.4 inches, using the figures in the article. So the island, at its highest point would have been less than five inches above sea level.

    According to the Wikipedia entry, the "highest elevation of the island had never exceeded two meters above sea level." Which would indicate that it was at least one meter above sea level at some point, meaning that the cited increases in sea level could not have accounted for the disappearance of the island. For the quoted rise in sea level over time, it would take about 330 years for the sea to rise one meter.

    Yet "oceanographer Sugata Hazra, a professor at Jadavpur University in Calcutta" said "What these two countries could not achieve from years of talking, has been resolved by global warming." One would think that a university professor would have a slightly better grasp of the numbers than that. It helps nothing to make clearly false claims about the effects of climate change.

    --
    Floating face-down in a river of regret...and thoughts of you...
    1. Re:Rising sea level? by Scootin159 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      And if it was only 2.4 inches "high", one would think that most of the day the island would be underwater anyways. I'm not an expert on tides, but I'm pretty sure they're more than 3 inches in most places.

    2. Re:Rising sea level? by hierophanta · · Score: 1

      umm.. erosion? when the levels rise up they a likely to erode the land, and what may have been a meter high 'hill' could easily have washed away

    3. Re:Rising sea level? by kwbauer · · Score: 1

      What other type of claim is there about the effects of climate change?

    4. Re:Rising sea level? by KWolfe81 · · Score: 1

      You aren't taking into effect erosion. As the rising sea passed a threshold erosion likely exacerbated. Think of water behind a dyke. As soon as a little water trickles over the edge, a small channel will grow quickly. In this case, if it weren't for climate change and the rising sea, the island might have been fine.

    5. Re:Rising sea level? by inthealpine · · Score: 1

      +1 dumbass comment.

      --
      "In God We Trust, All Others Pay Cash"
    6. Re:Rising sea level? by sjames · · Score: 1

      What they didn't mention was that the "point" in question was on top of a politician's head.

    7. Re:Rising sea level? by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      That is actually an argument against it being global warming.

    8. Re:Rising sea level? by SengirV · · Score: 1

      That hasn't stopped the IPCC. Heck, here's a new one you'll NOT see posted at leftist slashdot - http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/environment/climatechange/7509978/UN-admits-flaw-in-report-on-meat-and-climate-change.html

      --

      Prof. Farnsworth - "Oh a lesson in not changing history from Mr I'm-My-Own-Grandpa!"

    9. Re:Rising sea level? by khallow · · Score: 1

      The "tipping point" argument was always a bit bogus, being more an excuse to invoke the Precautionary Principle for insignificant environment changes. Now it's being applied to something where it has no business being applied. A slight rise in sea level just means a slight increase in soil transport. Whatever goes away due to erosion, would have gone away anyway.

    10. Re:Rising sea level? by pz · · Score: 2, Informative

      Yet "oceanographer Sugata Hazra, a professor at Jadavpur University in Calcutta" said "What these two countries could not achieve from years of talking, has been resolved by global warming." One would think that a university professor would have a slightly better grasp of the numbers than that. It helps nothing to make clearly false claims about the effects of climate change.

      Agreed. Loss of a small island mass is more likely to be due to water-based excavation below the surface and the resultant settling of the land mass. We don't know, for example, that this island is on bedrock. If it is a silt deposit, then there's no reason to assume it has permanence in anything but the shortest time spans. That part of the world is one huge river delta, lending credence to the silt deposit idea.

      A couple of web clicks, and WIkipedia's introductory, summary sentence says it all: "South Talpatti Island as it was known in Bangladesh, or New Moore Island or Purbasha as it was known in India, was a small uninhabited offshore island that emerged in the Bay of Bengal in the aftermath of the Bhola cyclone in 1970 and disappeared at some later point." Therefore we can conclude that it was unlikely to be Global Warming / Climate Change, or whathaveyou in this case, but, rather, normal above and below-surface erosion and settling. It would appear that Prof. Hazara has made a naive mistake.

      --

      Put my fist through my alarm clock with its ding-dong death inside my ear. - The Blackjacks.
    11. Re:Rising sea level? by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      Have you heard of erosion?

  18. "Never let scientific evidence..." by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    "...stand in the way of a good ad hominem. HAHA! Al Gore's fat!"
    Now if you'll excuse me, I have to go listen to Rush while I jerk off to a picture of Ann Coulter.

    1. Re:"Never let scientific evidence..." by copponex · · Score: 1

      Now if you'll excuse me, I have to go listen to Rush while I jerk off to a picture of Ann Coulter.

      Real Republicans do it the other way around.

    2. Re:"Never let scientific evidence..." by dbet · · Score: 5, Funny

      "...stand in the way of a good ad hominem. HAHA! Al Gore's fat!"

      Hey! That's not an ad hominem attack! Observe:

      insult - Al Gore is fat.
      ad hominem - Al Gore is wrong because he's fat.

    3. Re:"Never let scientific evidence..." by oldspewey · · Score: 1

      go listen to Rush while I jerk off to a picture of Ann Coulter

      I'll not have you impugning a fine Canadian rock band that way.

      --
      If libertarians are so opposed to effective government, why don't they all move to Somalia?
    4. Re:"Never let scientific evidence..." by RunsWithMatches · · Score: 1

      Yes that is true, but easily corrected: Al Gore is wrong AND he is fat.

    5. Re:"Never let scientific evidence..." by Sloppy · · Score: 1

      Now if you'll excuse me, I have to go listen to Rush while I jerk off to a picture of Ann Coulter.

      While I prefer 2112 and Hemispheres, neither is very sexy. Try Signals.

      --
      As copyright owner of this comment, I authorize everyone to defeat any technological measure which limits access to it.
  19. Re:"Always attribute to global warming... by Itninja · · Score: 1

    Totally. It's like Wikipedia. If a lot of believe something, then it's a fact.

    --
    I judt got a nre Kinesis keybiartf so please excusr ant egregiou typos.
  20. Born by global cooling. by will_die · · Score: 4, Informative

    For people thinking this was a huge old island that is not so. The island came into being during the 1970 after a cyclone.
    Since the talk that it is gone came from a single photo will be interesting to know if the picture was taken during high or low tide.

    1. Re:Born by global cooling. by Ephemeriis · · Score: 2, Informative

      Since the talk that it is gone came from a single photo will be interesting to know if the picture was taken during high or low tide.

      From the summary at the top of this very page:

      Its disappearance has been confirmed by satellite imagery and sea patrols

      --
      "Work is the curse of the drinking classes." -Oscar Wilde
    2. Re:Born by global cooling. by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      Now, that is interesting. I didn't read that anywhere else. So, this was just a bunch of loose material that got pushed up into a hill? It's a wonder it lasted as long as it did then.

    3. Re:Born by global cooling. by Bigjeff5 · · Score: 1

      Yup, but obviously this 40 year old island was millions of years old, and only human-generated global warming over the last 200 years could have caused its destruction over the course of the last 40 years.

      Seriously, this island was 2 meters tall and 40 years old, even at their most dire figures the sea level rose all of 3 inches in that time. How the hell was that the cause? I would imagine it was more like 40 years of erosion finally took the thing down. The last few bits of destruction are always the fastest, in a month you'll see no trace that this island ever existed.

      And hey guess what? It didn't solve the problem, India and Bangladesh are still fighting over the area!

      --
      Security is mostly a superstition... Avoiding danger is no safer in the long run than outright exposure. - Helen Keller
    4. Re:Born by global cooling. by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      I did realize that erosion was likely the cause, and I immediately saw that the math was WAY off. I also know that sea levels don't rise locally. So, it was clear that the Global Warming claim was BS, but the fact that the island was basically an unstable mound of sand and mud piled up by a storm surprised me.

      So, if we want to use this island as a measure of Global Warming and Sea Level changes, then we would need to use a much longer time period than 40 years. Even if one were to use a still relatively short time frame of 1000 years, there is a dramatic 'Hockey Stick' of sea levels LOWERING. (Yes, I am making an absurd statement for dramatic effect.)

      Honestly, the AGW crowd do themselves a real disservice by not lambasting this sort of report. The people that think AGW is a sham will absolutely point to this as another example of clearly false claims. Speaking out against lies when they don't suit you, and then quietly stepping back and letting lies that work in your favor to stand is just another form of lying. It shows that one is not interested in being right. They are only interested in being able to SAY that they are right.

      The AGW crowd is claiming "The end of life on earth as we know it is nigh!". One would think that if they REALLY believed it, call out people who claim to speak on their behalf and in doing so feed their opposition by telling easy to spot lies.

  21. Next comes.... by vikingpower · · Score: 2, Funny

    ...the Netherlands. Oh, and Venice. We'll all end up as game addicts in a suburb of Sprawlopolis.

    --
    Religous speak to God. Insane are spoken to by God. When all shut up, one can finally hear Shostakovich in peace
  22. Know What Else Is Blatantly Obvious? by Petersko · · Score: 1

    Ice cream causes skin cancer. I know this because in places where they eat more ice cream they have higher rates of skin cancer.

    It's blatantly obvious, and I KNOW I can count on you to back me up on that. Power to the insightful, brother!

  23. If it is barely under water- call it Fiji. by gblackwo · · Score: 5, Funny

    If the water is still less than say 3 feet deep, crossbreed some sheep with dolphins and start farming leaping mutton!

    1. Re:If it is barely under water- call it Fiji. by dargaud · · Score: 1

      I think it's in the Shetlands that sheep have gotten used to grazing alga by swimming in the ocean shore. Probably a baby step to becoming cousins with dolphins.

      --
      Non-Linux Penguins ?
    2. Re:If it is barely under water- call it Fiji. by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      But doesn't their wool coat shrink and strangle them if they go in the ocean?

  24. Re:"Always attribute to global warming... by rrkbogie · · Score: 5, Informative

    There's lots of information available on the subsidence, via plate tectonics, of the Bay of Bengal, for exameple:

    http://www.sciencedirect.com/science?_ob=ArticleURL&_udi=B6V6X-4B4PWYT-1&_user=10&_coverDate=02%2F02%2F2004&_rdoc=1&_fmt=high&_orig=search&_sort=d&_docanchor=&view=c&_searchStrId=1269324457&_rerunOrigin=google&_acct=C000050221&_version=1&_urlVersion=0&_userid=10&md5=098986c85bd272474f1579b29771b39c

    The islands are made of silt deposited by the river, and rise and fall depending or whether or not the river floods are depositing mud and building up islands faster than wave erosion and subsidence of the underlying plate are taking them down. The process is weather dependent, but weather is not the only significant force at work. The islands have come and gone before and will do so again.

  25. Except it wasn't sea levels rising... by Shihar · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I know OMFG global warming is hip and all, but this almost certainly wasn't a case of rising sea levels. Sea levels are rising REALLY slowly. That isn't to say that a big hunk of the antarctic couldn't melt and slide off into the ocean and give me some beach front property, just that it hasn't happened yet. The island almost certainly simply sunk into the ground. The earth sucks stuff down and pushes other stuff up all the time. It happens.

    1. Re:Except it wasn't sea levels rising... by aquila.solo · · Score: 1

      Some of the ice sheets sitting atop rock are so massive that if they were to build up a little moment, break off, and slide in, they would visible raise the sea level.

      Yes, temporarily (on geologic scales). That ice weighs somewhere around a metric buttload; when it's no longer weighing down the continent, the continent will rebound, and sea levels will drop again. At least around Antarctica.

      See this and this for more information.

    2. Re:Except it wasn't sea levels rising... by Shihar · · Score: 1

      I am pretty sure the Antarctic raising further out of the water because it dumped its ice load wouldn't result in the Americans and Eurasia from jumping out of the water too. Whatever the case, who cares? Call me shallow (lol), but any geological actions that takes a few thousand years to happen isn't worth much worry on the part of humans. We can, you know, just move inland. Only fairly rapid sea level changes that cause "quick" evacuations (a few years) are much of a danger as they might kick off mass migration waves that can lead to geopolitical instability. Giving Bengal another meter of water would be a very bad thing.

  26. Leshp by sarhjinian · · Score: 1

    If no one has done so yet, this story needs to be tagged "Leshp"

    --
    --srj/mmv
  27. Fine then... by Sandhog · · Score: 1

    If I can't have it, then nobody can have it!

  28. Re:"Always attribute to global warming... by Improv · · Score: 1

    Attribute to plate tectonics? You mean the incredibly slow process whereby the continental plates move around? The process that's so slow that it couldn't make effects like this at the rate we're seeing? ... nah, you clearly mean some thing else that goes by the name plate tectonics. Sadly, I've never heard of another meaning. Please enlighten us?

    --
    For every problem, there is at least one solution that is simple, neat, and wrong.
  29. is that photo real ? YAHOO punted by cinnamon+colbert · · Score: 2, Informative

    a few days ago this was a top story on yahoo home page, with another picture, if you right clicked on the photo on th yahoo site, the info strongly suggested the photo was stock of someplace else, aka a lie

  30. Sandbar, not island by Orgasmatron · · Score: 5, Informative

    This is a sandbar in an estuary. It first accumulated enough silt to poke above the surface back in 1974, and was never more than 2 meters high. In addition, the nearest tide gauge is showing +0.54 (+/- 0.52, heh) mm per year rise in sea level, meaning that it would have taken nearly 4000 years for the local change in sea level to have caused it to disappear.

    If you insist on bringing up global warming, you have to blame the sandbar's emergence on global cooling during the 70s and notice that we are now back where we started. A much wiser choice would be to simply notice that rivers flush crap down stream, and ignore this "island" the way we ignore all the other sandbars and ephemera.

    http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/03/25/bengal-island-succumbs-to-global-warming-nonsense-ap-gets-nutty-over-loss-of-a-sandbar/
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Talpatti_Island

    Move along, nothing to see here.

    --
    See that "Preview" button?
    1. Re:Sandbar, not island by CannonballHead · · Score: 1

      and ignore this "island" the way we ignore all the other sandbars and ephemera.

      Ignoring something neither gets you votes nor money.

  31. Mom's gonna fix it all soon by Hohlraum · · Score: 1

    Mom's comin' round, to put it back the way it ought to be. Learn to swim.

    1. Re:Mom's gonna fix it all soon by Cicada7 · · Score: 1

      Where's the like button when you need it?

      Instead,
      I find your ideas intriguing and wish to subscribe to your newsletter.

  32. I love how Global Warming has to be everywhere by ugen · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This is clearly *not* global warming or "rising seas" but old boring "erosion" (I know, not fun).
    Consider this - less than 30 years ago India could sent paratroopers to this island's "rocky shores" (sic).
    Seas were rising 2mm per year until 2000 and 5mm per year thereafter, so we are talking about a rise of 2*20 + 5 * 10 = 90 mm , less than 10cm, or for those US-residents - about 3.5 inches.

    I am sorry, but something smells fishy here - a place can't be 3.5 inches above water surface and have "rocky shores" which paratroopers can walk on. Consider that a tidal range in those parts is at least a few feet, so those 3.5 inches would have to completely disappear under water once or twice a day. That would make this land a "shoal" by any maritime definition.

    If this island no longer exists it is because it has been washed away, as these things often occur, especially in river deltas - perhaps after a cyclone or hurricane. Nothing to see here, move along.

    1. Re:I love how Global Warming has to be everywhere by smashin234 · · Score: 1

      So Al Gore who recently purchased real estate by the beach is a tard by your definition?

      And here I thought I was the only one who thought that man was a bloated waste of space...

  33. Jingo? by Tinyn · · Score: 1

    Is this a Terry Pratchett novel? Jingo?

  34. You pussy kids today by elrous0 · · Score: 4, Funny

    You kids today think you have it so tough because all you can come up with in your "WE ALL GONNA DIE!" scenario is that you might have to abandon a few coastal cities and loose a few fucking islands?!?!? Let me tell you something, ladies--back in my day, we had REAL fears, like nuclear winter. We had roving packs of post-nuclear-holocaust marauders ready to cut our heads off just to steal a lousy tank of gasoline and some shotgun shells in OUR fucking doomsday scenarios! Has a little rising seawater ever caused your hair and teeth to fall out? Huh? Has a little coastal flooding ever caused packs of cannibals to roam the lands looking to rape your wife and have you for dinner? I don't think so! Ever had a supercomputer start an apocalyptic war with some slowly melting ice caps? Not likely!

    Grow up and get some real irrational fears, you pansies.

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    1. Re:You pussy kids today by delinear · · Score: 1

      I think you're possibly overstating the irrationality aspect of our cold war fears.

    2. Re:You pussy kids today by confused+one · · Score: 1

      I'm right there with you brother. Live in a first strike target zone (next to major east coast naval base) and remember that irrational fear well, running around the back of my mind...

  35. Re:"Always attribute to global warming... by oldspewey · · Score: 1

    The Sundarbans are also subject to some crazy tidal influences and currents, which have been known to create, reshape, and destroy islands in the past.

    --
    If libertarians are so opposed to effective government, why don't they all move to Somalia?
  36. Re:"Always attribute to global warming... by danbert8 · · Score: 4, Informative

    FYI, according to the USGS, the Himalayas are rising approximately 1cm per year (likely to assume land can drop that fast due to tectonic activity as well). According to the first line of the wikipedia page, the rate of ocean rise has averaged 1.8mm per year. So tectonics can be over 5 times as fast as ocean rising. Geological processes can quickly raise, lower, or split land. In an earthquake, landmasses can move several METERS in minutes. Tectonics is vastly more powerful than even the worst predictions of global warming.

    --
    Yes it's an anecdote! Were you expecting original research in a Slashdot comment?
  37. Beautiful essay on eroding islands by mdsolar · · Score: 2, Informative

    The Chesapeake Bay loses islands (famously in Michener's novel) and there is a nice essay about it here: http://www.bayjournal.com/article.cfm?article=1116

  38. John Locke must have turned that wheel... by doubleyou · · Score: 1

    Charles Widmore will not be happy to hear this news.

    1. Re:John Locke must have turned that wheel... by xavierpayne · · Score: 1

      I am dissapointed in the that this is: a) The only LOST reference in this whole chain of responses. b) Not modded funny. Are we the only two LOST fans reading this post? Come on people!

    2. Re:John Locke must have turned that wheel... by eleuthero · · Score: 1

      Well - I was a LOST fan... and that may be part of why they are cancelling the show after this season

  39. This is pus... by rickb928 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    So the Wikipedia (I know) says New Moore Island was never higher than two meters above the water. Oh, and that was at low tide. Was this any more than a shoal?

    Are you (or the FA writer) claiming the ocean there has risen as much as more than a meter???

    I call BS. In fact, I suspect it was erosion that has claimed this island. Maybe, MAYBE accelrated by a few centimeters rise in ocean level, if at all. Wind and water do just fine on their own. In fact, the island was close to, if not within, the main channel of the outlet of the Hariabhanga River. Erosion and currents probably did it in.

    What a pantload. Global warming? More likely predictable current-based erosion.

    New Moore Island wasn't much of an island. The river took it back.

    --
    deleting the extra space after periods so i can stay relevant, yeah.
    1. Re:This is pus... by thethibs · · Score: 1

      Why let the facts get in the way of a good story?

      --
      I'm a Programmer. That's one level above Software Engineer and one level below Engineer.
    2. Re:This is pus... by rickb928 · · Score: 1

      Precisely.

      --
      deleting the extra space after periods so i can stay relevant, yeah.
    3. Re:This is pus... by kurtib · · Score: 1

      I have a few questions that sit in my brain that makes my head hurt. If the ocean is rising because of melting ice caused by global warming, why does it not go up for dirt and rocks washed down the river? Back in the day everyone knew (all the great minds) that the sun went around the earth, but science changed that with one person questioning it. When did science change that it just goes with the group think? At what point is the earth the right temp? Is it today, was it 1,000 years ago, 10,000 years maybe. If it is not the right temp right now and it really should be warmer, but we are trying to stop the warming are we not hurting the system? If water has a cycle that water in a lake evaporates and goes up in the sky; then it forms a cloud and then rains back down on the lake. Why can’t carbon do the same thing? It is in the air, and plant take it in, then the plant is buried for 100,000 years were it turns into coal and oil, we bring it back up and burn it and it is back in the air. People forget that fossil fuel was all carbon in the air at one point. Thank you for your time. I would love to hear answers this these questions as they keep me up at night.

  40. History repeating by zarlino · · Score: 1

    Never heard about the Ferdinandea Island? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ferdinandea

    --
    Check out my cross-platform apps
  41. Dispute over sandbar resolved by SEWilco · · Score: 5, Informative
    1. Re:Dispute over sandbar resolved by Bigjeff5 · · Score: 5, Funny

      Yes, but obviously that sandbar had been there for millions of years since the 70's and we destroyed it with our man-made global warming.

      Where was cap and trade when we needed it most?

      --
      Security is mostly a superstition... Avoiding danger is no safer in the long run than outright exposure. - Helen Keller
    2. Re:Dispute over sandbar resolved by thijsh · · Score: 1

      The sea giveth and the sea taketh away.
      These sandbars (dis-)appear all the time... But to people who *want* to believe this was *obviously* the work of global warming (rolls eyes).

    3. Re:Dispute over sandbar resolved by SEWilco · · Score: 1

      Apparently someone should have capped their island with rocks and concrete.

  42. Let's make up by dwood520 · · Score: 2, Funny

    OK Bangladesh - you can have it.
    Luv,
    India

  43. comprehensive data pool by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Talking about the hottest decade on record is like me saying I'm the tallest person in my chair.

    1. Re:comprehensive data pool by aquila.solo · · Score: 1

      Give this AC a funny!

      I think I'm going to use that quote...

  44. An Island over a sink hole? by Jerry · · Score: 4, Informative

    One can easily check the last 10 years of photos of that region and determine that the coastal area less than 3 miles from the island hasn't changed at all. IF the ocean was rising enough to cover the island it should also move the shore back enough to be visible in the photos. It hasn't. I suspect that local subsidence and/or erosion is responsible. But, when you religiously believe in the AGW Hammer everything you see is a nail.

    --

    Running with Linux for over 20 years!

    1. Re:An Island over a sink hole? by TheSync · · Score: 2, Informative

      I suspect that local subsidence and/or erosion is responsible.

      Subsidence is typical in deltas if there has been any kind of civil engineering projects such as diversion of freshwater for human use, dykes, or other flood control projects. And indeed, this has occurred in the Ganges delta.

      This link claims that subsidence in the Ganges delta is 4mm/year, while sea level rise is only 1.4mm/year.

  45. Re:"Always attribute to global warming... by dogmatixpsych · · Score: 1

    So, logically, we should start some massive earthquakes to induce the rise of more land up in order to counteract the rising sea levels caused by anthropologic global warming. ;)

  46. Re:Terry Pratchett is having a good laugh!!! by SnarfQuest · · Score: 1

    Couldn't someone invent a "vehicle for going under water without drowning" device and check it out?

    --
    Who would win this election: Andrew Weiner vs Andrew Weiner's weiner.
  47. Peace Prize by 200_success · · Score: 2, Funny

    Whether it's global warming or the Internet, Al Gore has this year's Peace Prize coming to him.

  48. Sinking? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    The island is clearly sinking. The oceans are not rising. Go look at the data. A plate shifting or some seismic event caused this island to sink. Not global warming.

  49. bah... by bjk002 · · Score: 1

    You're just a /.er, What do you know anyway?!?

    --
    Opinion:=TMyOpinion.Create(Me);
  50. Hmmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    Ok ... hold on a sec. The whole global warming climate change is supposed to be making sea levels rise at a very slow rate. We're talking less than inches per year. I read that this island used to have at least a mile of earth sticking out of the water. I'm just going to go out on a limb here and say that this land was more than a few inches above sea level. Now, all of the sudden it just disappears?? wtf? Was it slowly disappearing at a rate of millimeters per year? Reading the article doesn't seem to indicate this. The article is worded as "They were fighting over an island and then 'poof' it disappears underwater" Ok.. if the sea levels just rose 10 feet in a day then yes I think that's cause for alarm. Somehow, I don't think this was the case

  51. Re:"Always attribute to global warming... by mmmmbeer · · Score: 1

    I knew that it was silly of people to claim that one or two islands could be affected by sea levels without affecting all islands, everywhere. But I couldn't find any data to back up or explain what specifically was happening in this case. I suspected it was either plate tectonics or erosion; turns out it's both. Thank you.

  52. NOT global warming by thule · · Score: 1

    I say this year we nominate Global Warming for the Nobel Peace Prize for providing a peaceful solution to this heated dispute between Bangladesh and India.

    ... not global warming:

    Sarasota Herald - May 29, 1937... see page 4, top section. "Islands" have disappeared before.

    The above link is from this page:

    Bengal Island succumbs to global warming nonsense – AP gets nutty over the loss of a sandbar

  53. I swear by B1oodAnge1 · · Score: 1

    Terry Pratchett wrote a book about this...

    A weathercock has risen from the sea of Discworld, and suddenly you can tell which way the wind is blowing. A new land has surfaced, and so have old feuds. And as two armies march, Commander Vimes of Ankh-Morpork City Watch has got just a few hours to deal with a crime so big that there's no law against it. It's called 'war'.

    He's facing unpleasant foes that are out to get him that's just the people on his side. The enemy might even be worse. And his pocket Dis-organizer says he's got Die under 'Things To Do Today'.

    But he'd better not, because the world's cleverest inventor and its most devious politician are on their way to the battlefield with a little package that's guaranteed to stop a battle.

    Discworld goes to war, with armies of sardines, warriors, fishermen, squid and at least one very camp follower. Jingo is the twenty-first in Terry Pratchett's phenomenally successful Discworld series. .

    --
    RUGBYRUGBYRUGBY
  54. Re:I think the answer is clear... by JTsyo · · Score: 1

    +1 Lost reference

  55. Re:"Always attribute to global warming... by Bigjeff5 · · Score: 1

    I'm guessing he's never seen a destructive earthquake, even though we just recently had two globally publicized events.

    You know the kind I'm talking about, where one side of the street rises 10 feet and the other side drops 10 feet in a matter of minutes?

    Yeah, plate tectonics move REAL slow.

    Here's a hint for the GP: Plate tectonics move slow on average, but if two plates collide that are not in an abduction/subduction relationship then massive amounts of energy build up and hundreds of square miles can move many feet in just a few minutes. It might take 200 years for that energy to build up, but when it reaches the breaking point - POP!

    Note that a lot of mountains were formed this way, so that should give you some perspective.

    For what it's worth, the Indian scientist blames global warming even though the Bay of Bengal has historically had abnormally high sea level changes, and the recent changes have been extremely abnormal. The rest of the world's rate of change hasn't risen like this, only the Bay of Bengal. So what halfway intelligent scientist would automatically attribute that to global warming, when there is obviously something else going on?

    The island was created 40 years ago by a hurricane, you didn't see global warming dumbasses claiming it was a massive drop in sea level caused by global cooling (which is what was hip at the time), why would the abnormal rise in sea level, localized to the bay of bengal, be caused by global warming? It's that kind of thing that pisses me off and muddies the whole issue. There is no way this was caused by global warming unless it's an indirect effect which they haven't spent nearly enough time studying to determine. They just throw it out there like it's the cause of all the world's problems. Assholes.

    --
    Security is mostly a superstition... Avoiding danger is no safer in the long run than outright exposure. - Helen Keller
  56. Or, do what Amsterdam does... by gbutler69 · · Score: 1

    ...have REEFER fund!

    --
    Over-the-top Response Guy! Giving "Over-the-Top Responses" since 1970.
  57. Another perfectly good agenda run amok. by singingjim1 · · Score: 1

    Global warming? A dubious reason at best. Just another excuse to inflate claims about a naturally occurring event to push an agenda. When will folks learn that some of us see through the nonsense and tend to discount the overall legitimacy of the authors of such tripe?

  58. I love how rising sea levels cause erosion by spun · · Score: 1

    Didn't even think of that, did you? The sea level may have risen "only" 3.5 inches (that's a lot) but that means more of the island would be underwater more of the time, leading to increased erosion rates. From the wiki article, I've gleaned that the highest point on the island was around 2 meters, that it appeared relatively recently, and was made mostly from silt deposits. It wouldn't take too much of a rise in sea level to change the rate of silt deposition relative to erosion.

    However, I think it is clear from reading the wikipedia article, this was a silt deposit in a river delta that floods once a year. It was never a permanent feature. Global warming likely sped things up, but this 'island' was never here to stay.

    --
    - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
  59. Mine by Sloppy · · Score: 1

    "It's mine!" -- Bangladesh

    "No, it's mine!" -- India

    "No, it's mine! -- Dagon

    --
    As copyright owner of this comment, I authorize everyone to defeat any technological measure which limits access to it.
  60. The good side by ComSon0 · · Score: 1

    "What these two countries could not achieve from years of talking, has been resolved by global warming," said Hazra.'"

    Perhaps this "Global Warming" dude should initiate a practice in mediation. Seems like he has a way to get arguments resolved.
    Go "Global Warming" dude!

  61. Benjamin Linus by masmullin · · Score: 1

    Benjamin Linus strikes again.

    The island is actually bouncing around through time... or maybe it sunk into the sea.

  62. Flood Israel by wild_oscar · · Score: 1

    Now, if only Israel and Palestine could be submerged...

  63. PR=Communications departments by fantomas · · Score: 1

    The scientists "PR departments" will probably be called "Communications Departments" in universities, probably the same in private industry as well. The majority of grants from funding bodies come with an obligation for scientists to promote the outcome of their work, and scientists are encouraged to generally. People look pretty poorly on scientists who want money but won't tell people what they've been doing with that funding.

    Generally scientists are encouraged to promote their work by attending conferences etc. They are encouraged to keep their university's Communications Department informed of major achievements, as the Communications Departments' jobs are to promote their university (and hence get funding at the cost of other universities). Scientists are increasingly encouraged to attend courses to learn how to best present and promote their work so if the opportunity does appear (like the local media needing an expert to talk about a topical issue) they can do a fair job of presenting the story in a media friendly way (precise clear summaries, avoid complex jargon, etc).

    If you want to becaome a "PR agent for a scientist" probably you need to phone up some communications and promotional people at universities and in the private sectors and ask them. I'd imagine qualifications in journalism, literature, media studies etc might help.

    1. Re:PR=Communications departments by Rei · · Score: 1

      I think you know quite well that the poster wasn't referring to university communications departments putting out press releases or scientists speaking at conferences. They specifically gave an example of the David Suzuki Foundation. Which is itself small peanuts compared to, say, the Heritage Foundation.

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  64. Oh, wisdom unseen since Solomon! by Valdrax · · Score: 1

    That would be my approach to Israel and Palestine problems with Jerusalem Just say no one owns the areas... No residences are allowed but you can visit it for the history and religious pilgrimages. Perhaps the UN will make sure everyone plays fair in the area.

    How big of an area do you clear out around a few holy sites, and what do you do with the nearly 750,000 people who already live in the city? I'm sure that the Palestinian territories would have *plenty* of room to absorb the roughly a quarter of a million people who are Muslim, and Israel's wide open spaces that give people plenty of room to build *on their own territory, instead of someone else's* could just soak up half a million people with no trouble, right?

    I mean dispersing a population density of roughly 15,000 people per square mile on behalf of a couple of temples -- which are the only reason anyone has to be attached to the city -- is child's play right? Easy as chopping a baby in half to resolve a custody dispute.

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  65. Wasn't much of an island. by Valdrax · · Score: 1

    I'm guessing that it would take about 500-1000 years to get anything that was called an island rather than a reef to go away at current rates of sea level rise.

    You may have assumed that this is something that sensible people would call an island. It's basically a sand bar, created by a hurricane in the 70s, that both countries wanted solely so that they can claim the surrounding parts of the ocean. No one could or would want to live there. It was an insignificant speck of land that was never more than 2 meters above sea level at its highest.

    This is a case where is could easily be both sea level rise AND erosion and subsidence. But I agree that the latter two forces were most likely to be the primary culprit here. The island was ephemeral from beginning to end. Who knows? In a few years, it might come back.

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  66. Re:International law has changed since WW2. by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

    Israel signed the treaty in 1949. Egypt (previous owner of the Gaza Strip) signed it in 1949. Jordan (previous owner of the West Bank) signed it in 1951. Syria (widely considered the owner of the Golan Heights) signed it in 1949. Lebanon (considered by most to own the Shebaa Farms area) signed it in 1949 on the same day as Israel. All of these parties were bound to the treaty and bound to respect the others' citizens under the treaty. Israel's occupation of disputed territories flagrantly violates the conventions in several ways, not the least of which is colonizing the territories.

    I definitely agree, Israel isn't helping the situation any with their colonization. I'm only arguing from the standpoint that they fairly acquired those territories in the wake of a war they didn't start (the Six-Day War). It seems like others on here are trying to demonize Israel for every single thing it's ever done, and acting like the Arab nations did absolutely nothing wrong, which is ridiculous. They seem to think that Israel should have just surrendered and allowed the Arab nations to do what they wanted with them.

    The German/French land I'm talking about is Alsace-Lorraine, which was German before WWI (taken in the Franco-Prussian wars in the 1800s), taken by France after WWI, taken back by Germany during the Nazi period, and taken back again by France after WWI.

  67. Nothing to do with AGW and sea levels! by spencertk · · Score: 1

    What a lousy initial post regarding sea level causing this little disputed bump to disappear. It is such an outrageous lie as is the associated image. Sea levels have been rising slowly and steadily for well over a century. Check out http://www.skepticalscience.com/Visual-depictions-of-Sea-Level-Rise.html for an excellent very recent article with a chart from back to 1870 along with very recent highly accurate data. Pretty minimal changes in past 140 years. At least seven author/sources are noted. Even the modest rate of change in continued rise since the 40's is well within natural variability in eon scale cycles. In the past 20 years the sea level has fallen in some areas!

    During the dispute time frame, the sea level rose a bit less than 3 inches. Had this occurred in the late 1800's the sea level would have risen a bit more than 2 inches.
    See: http://www.skepticalscience.com/images/sea-level-tidal-satellite.jpg for the first chart.

  68. You are flagrantly missing his point. by Valdrax · · Score: 1

    I know you don't want to accept this. But the reality is that unless you're willing to spend years learning about the subject, you are not qualified to assess the science. "Dumbed down" or not.

    And then what? How do we run a democratic society if the people are expected to never look too deeply at science? In a democratic society, we need a populace that is actively interested in trying to evaluate the work of scientists. How is the public supposed to know what to base their voting decisions on if they're just told to "listen to the experts?" What do we do in areas where the science isn't as solid as global warming and takes a decade or more to settle down -- such as all the various health panics over cell phones, MSG, aspartame, or MMR shots?

    If you encourage people to simply place a wide gulf of respect between themselves and scientists, then that wide gulf also can become one of distrust, like that which AGW-deniers and creationists have. If you don't speak the language of scientists and never try to learn it, then why would you ever trust the man in the lab coat more than any other authority figure? To many people in this country, the process of science is as opaque and foreign and is something understood only distantly and with a hearty dose of misinformation, skepticism, and distrust.

    The poster that you're unrepentantly bashing as simply unworthy of scientific understanding is someone who is trying to be informed about the issues and trying to make a good policy decision. Your sheer arrogance and belittling of him only makes things worse by trying to ensure that people treat science like religion -- something passed down from on high by people greater than yourself. In the fact of that, is it any wonder that many people simply pick their choice of experts when one looks as valid as the other?

    This is absolutely counter-productive unless you simply advocate giving up on democracy.

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  69. location on Google Maps by ChrisCampbell47 · · Score: 1

    I came in here to see if someone had figured out and posted the Google Maps URL for this location.

    Instead, even at +5, I've got 27 comments with the same tired "debate" about global warming.

    Slashdot, you suck.

    Here's the location, supposedly:

    http://maps.google.com/maps?q=New+Moore+Island,+Bangladesh&ie=UTF8&hl=en&cd=1&split=0&sll=37.0625,-95.677068&sspn=23.875,57.630033&hq=&hnear=New+Moore+Island&ll=21.638282,89.145126&spn=0.213497,0.276031&t=h&z=12

  70. Yes, it's a PR department. by Valdrax · · Score: 1

    You're calling media relations a "PR department"? You're comparing a small group of people who put out press releases with the massive industry-funded disinformation campaign which organizes massive denier conferences and offers prizes to scientists who can publish papers that support their position. Please, get serious here.

    You know, not all PR departments are nothing but lying conspirators out to twist and hide the truth. Most company PR departments do nothing but put out a little press release with some boosterism and self-congratulating -- just like university PR departments do. A lot of crappy science journalism gets its start with a boiled-down press release that proclaims that the university's researchers have released a study proving some fact when the study in truth doesn't say much of anything conclusive.

    For example, look at the story that was recently on Slashdot about HFCS causing obesity in rats. Several respectable science journalists have taken the time to look at the study more closely and concluded that it was deeply flawed and didn't prove much of anything. (1 2 3)

    So where did the wide-eyed, "Big News!" take on the study come from? Why from Princeton's press release. This sort of things happens all the time in headline-grabbing areas of science, like global warming, nutrition, anthropology / humanoid evolution, cosmology, etc. Universities know that donations and grants come to those institutions that make the biggest splash, and they are more than willing to trump up the importance of a study that isn't as powerful as the headlines might make it out to be. Just like all those massive industry campaigns you decry as so different, lazy newspapers pick up the PR piece and publish it almost verbatim as news.

    The problem of self-promoting PR compounded by a lack of journalistic integrity and diligence is just as prevalent in science as in industry. You want to know where the whole "eggs are good for you, eggs are bad for you" debate comes from? It comes from press releases overstating the importance of a particular study before it's faced years of peer review and double-checking. And this sort of irresponsible bragging is a large part of why the public is so skeptical about science actually knowing anything.

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  71. Seconded. by Valdrax · · Score: 1

    Your disingenuous response is typical of the left-wing side in the debate, and it does little to convince anyone.

    As a left-winger and someone who has been convinced that the science does show global warming is happening, I wholeheartedly endorse this statement. Telling people that they're not good enough to understand what the big people are talking about is no way to get people to vote to support the policies you endorse.

    If anything it's about as effective evangelism as standing around on a street corner with a sign saying "God Hates Fags" is for converting people to your faith.

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  72. Re:"Always attribute to global warming... by eleuthero · · Score: 1

    You must have missed the new variation on the SALT treaty that's being hammered out - no one is going to have enough nukes to create the kinds of earthquakes (deep underground detonation) we need for your solution.

  73. Re:International law has changed since WW2. by Valdrax · · Score: 1

    I'm only arguing from the standpoint that they fairly acquired those territories in the wake of a war they didn't start (the Six-Day War).

    Well, the problem is that international law doesn't really recognize land seized in war as "fairly acquired" anymore -- especially without a treaty where the surrendering parties cede the land. It's true that Israel was the attacked party in 1967, but that didn't give them the right to carve out payback on its own terms unless you ignore modern law in favor of more traditional rights of conquest.

    It seems like others on here are trying to demonize Israel for every single thing it's ever done, and acting like the Arab nations did absolutely nothing wrong, which is ridiculous. They seem to think that Israel should have just surrendered and allowed the Arab nations to do what they wanted with them.

    Nah, that's not my perspective anyway. I just think though that Israel has burned a lot of its position of moral superiority from that time period over 40 years of occupation and oppression of the Palestinians. The relative conditions of their peoples and the relative body counts in any conflict don't win them many points either. Israel has a right to live. It just doesn't have a right to act with impunity in responding to a self-created problem.

    The German/French land I'm talking about is Alsace-Lorraine, which was German before WWI (taken in the Franco-Prussian wars in the 1800s), taken by France after WWI, taken back by Germany during the Nazi period, and taken back again by France after WWI.

    Ah, I didn't even think about that because I've always thought of that as belonging to France in the first place. (Kind of hilarious that much of the Prussia of the Franco-Prussian War is not part of Poland.) I guess it makes sense to consider that part of Germany if you're of the "taken fair and square" camp, but it's moot since it's France's by treaty and the whole thing happened pre-Geneva.

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  74. Re:International law has changed since WW2. by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

    I guess it makes sense to consider that part of Germany if you're of the "taken fair and square" camp, but it's moot since it's France's by treaty and the whole thing happened pre-Geneva.

    If you're part of the "taken fair and square" camp, then you consider it part of Germany after 1870, part of France after WWI, part of Germany after 1940, and part of France after 1945. You wouldn't consider it extra-temporally part of any country, as each time it traded hands, it did so because the winner won the battle/war. Plus, if you go backwards from 1870, the history gets even more muddy and complex as it wasn't that long before then that western Europe was a bunch of small kingdoms, fiefdoms, or whatever. The nations of Germany and Italy are really quite recent developments.

  75. Re:International law has changed since WW2. by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

    Except that it's changed; according to the Wiki article, after France retook it after WWII, they pushed out all the Germans who had moved there since 1870 (that's 65 years' worth of immigrants), and also strictly forbade any public use of any language besides French, effectively oppressing the peoples' native languages.

    So the demographics of the area now are probably quite different from pre-WWII due to these policies.

    Personally, I think it would have been nicer if they let the inhabitants of the region vote on what they wanted, whether to join one country or another, or to be independent.

  76. So doesn't that mean they gave out 4? by NotSoHeavyD3 · · Score: 1

    I mean I thought the ones Carter and Klugman got were as a statement against Bush. (And for hating America too.)

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    1. Re:So doesn't that mean they gave out 4? by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      Yup.

      Poor Bill Clinton must be wondering how he missed out...

  77. I can see a problem with your control by Colin+Smith · · Score: 1

    There's the Earth in 2010, the Earth in 2000, the Earth in 1990, etc.

    They're coupled.

     

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    Deleted
  78. It's known as Continental Drift!! by howzit · · Score: 1

    Why is it that 'Ex-Spurts' are so narrow minded? The Christmas Tsunami was the result of volcanic activity in the Indian Ocean. The Himalayas are fold-mountains caused by India moving North and China having non of it. The epicentre of the Chilean Quake rose more than a meter (3 feet) in a matter of seconds. What goes up can come down. Even a sandbar island.

  79. when dinosaurs... by psyph3r · · Score: 1

    CO2 PPM ..2500ppm Co2 today? less than 400ppm. I'm quite sure the earth isn't going to stop it's natural cycles because of our pathetic existence. Especially not because of CO2, which is a common byproduct of most lifeforms on planet. In the grand scheme of things we are truly insignificant. any extra we put out just means the earth can support more plant life. I see this as an opportunistic piece to point at and convince people of the new terrorism. I'd be all for a cleaner environment and conserving resources if it weren't wrapped in sensationalist tyrannical agendas out to control the population.

  80. Again defaulting to AGW... by iterativeDesign · · Score: 1

    "What these two countries could not achieve from years of talking, has been resolved by global warming," said Hazra.

    Why does everyone default to anthropogenic global warming as the culprit? Global warming or even other events might (and probably do) have a varying significant impact on this island becoming submerged; yet it is shortsighted and laziness on this person's judgment to claim it was global warming to unquestionably. Get some scientific and reliable evidence before you make public claims as facts.

    - Why worry about the end, when people are already destroying the present?