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The Luck of the Irish Runs Out

theodp writes "Looks like threatening to take their ball and leave paid off for US tech firms. The Irish government announced plans this week to tap the welfare state and working class for much of the $20B in savings they've pledged to find over the next four years, but the austerity measures will not touch large businesses like Microsoft, Intel, Google, HP, Facebook, LinkedIn, and Pfizer, which created jobs and fueled exports in Ireland after being lured by low corporate tax rates. More than 100,000 Dubliners took to the streets to protest the bailout plan, calling for the Irish government to default on the country's debts, and demanding an immediate election. 'We should default,' said a retired union worker, 'the idea that the workers of this country should pay for the gambling of the billionaires is disgusting.'"

809 comments

  1. Defaulting is worse! by Kensai7 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Going default will be a short-lived remedy. The country will go back to 1990 in terms of market appeal and productivity. And yes, if the big tech companies leave, the hope of reacquiring a high-tech knowledge industry will go away as well.

    --
    "Sum Ergo Cogito"
    1. Re:Defaulting is worse! by jchandra · · Score: 5, Informative

      Going default will be a short-lived remedy. The country will go back to 1990 in terms of market appeal and productivity. And yes, if the big tech companies leave, the hope of reacquiring a high-tech knowledge industry will go away as well.

      Paul Krugman's latest column addresses this. The main point is that Iceland let the banks default, while Ireland took the banks debts as public debts and guaranteed it. In the end, Iceland has recovered while Ireland's people have to bear the burden due to austerity measures.

      --
      god n. : the Supreme Being, indistinguishable from a good random number generator.
    2. Re:Defaulting is worse! by complete+loony · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Debt's that cant be repaid, wont be repaid. The only question is how you intend not to pay them.

      --
      09F91102 no, 455FE104 nope, F190A1E8 uh-uh, 7A5F8A09 that's not it, C87294CE no. Ah! 452F6E403CDF10714E41DFAA257D313F.
    3. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      And yes, if the big tech companies leave...

      You really think the European HQ of companies are getting moved to shangai... ? How many of those tech companies do it about the "high tech knowledge" in Ireland in the first place ?

      Production is always cheaper in asia even with the lower taxes... . Ireland is just a way to have the cheapest presence in Europe and so to evade taxes. The "don't do evil" company uses Ireland to evade taxes to Bermuda (http://www.theregister.co.uk/2010/10/22/google_double_irish_tax_loophole/ ) 3.1 billion dollars a year, seems a big sum to do some pressure.

    4. Re:Defaulting is worse! by mickwd · · Score: 5, Informative

      The debts involved are massive, too.

      From this article (though note it was written back in September):

      "Under the current program, we estimate that each Irish family of four will be liable for 200,000 euros in public debt by 2015."

      Ouch.

    5. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      Each American family of four is liable for about $200,000 in public debt.

    6. Re:Defaulting is worse! by hairyfeet · · Score: 5, Insightful

      That is why I figure the USA will default in 5 years, 10 tops. The only thing really keeping us afloat is the Fed printing money as fast as the presses will run and using it to buy our debt, basically making the money worthless. Then figure in the retiring boomers, huge masses of working poor that are only kept afloat by social programs, and the cost of two endless wars? Yeah I give it a decade tops. Enjoy it while you can folks, because from the looks of it another worldwide great depression will soon be upon us. The only question is whether we will learn from our mistakes and put heavy regulations on the banks like we did during the last one, or if those that believe in the free market fairy will win out. Without control free markets quickly end up corrupted when too much ends up in the hands of too few, just as we have now.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    7. Re:Defaulting is worse! by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Just for comparison http://www.nationmaster.com/graph/eco_deb_ext_percap-economy-debt-external-per-capita

      It does seem Ireland is in a bit of a bind. It *is* the case, however that Irish people massively benefitted from growing this debt. The sad fact of the matter is that most countries are in worse shape than the U.S. Yes, even post-Obama (the US could probably get away with financing it's social security obligations 4-5 years on borrowed money, even if there'd be hell to pay after those years). Of course, the US cannot borrow as much per-capita as other countries, due to being the main lender of last resort for other countries. One might think this was appreciated, but far from it. The sad fact is that if you bankroll other countries, you might think they'd be grateful. That doesn't seem to be true, you'll be universally despised. Why ? Because first, giving all this money gives you power, making you a scapegoat for all sorts of problems ("why can't you just give us more money"), and ... of course, one day you'll stop (or being forced to stop) doing that, meaning that "due to America" massive cuts are necessary. This has happened in many countries.

      Of course, historically, all bankers have always been near-universally despised. From the Persian empire, over Venice in the middle ages, to today. Also true, of course, is that bankers were the source of the wealth these countries had during their relative peaks, or at least you could say they were absolutely necessary.

    8. Re:Defaulting is worse! by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1, Informative

      Of course, if you haven't noticed, I seriously doubt any western (or eastern) economy had any intention of paying back it's debt since, oh, WWII. Except maybe the US up to 1980 or-so, but then the US followed other countries in the "who gives a fuck ! Money now" direction.

    9. Re:Defaulting is worse! by PolygamousRanchKid+ · · Score: 1

      "Under the current program, we estimate that each Irish family of four will be liable for 200,000 euros in public debt by 2015."

      Ouch.

      The economist John Maynard Keynes said something like, "If I owe the bank 200 pounds, I have a problem. If I owe the bank 200,000 pounds, the bank has a problem."

      In the case of Ireland, it seems that the banks seemed to have transformed their private debt, into public debt, to be paid for by their citizens.

      --
      Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
    10. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Sique · · Score: 2, Informative

      During the Clinton years, the U.S. was actually repaying its debts.

      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
    11. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Sique · · Score: 1

      The problem is that Shanghai has very different working hours than Europe. So if someone from Europe calls during business hours, it will always be in the night of Shanghai. This was one of the main selling points of Ireland beside the low corporate taxes.

      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
    12. Re:Defaulting is worse! by theVarangian · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Going default will be a short-lived remedy. The country will go back to 1990 in terms of market appeal and productivity. And yes, if the big tech companies leave, the hope of reacquiring a high-tech knowledge industry will go away as well.

      Paul Krugman's latest column addresses this. The main point is that Iceland let the banks default, while Ireland took the banks debts as public debts and guaranteed it. In the end, Iceland has recovered while Ireland's people have to bear the burden due to austerity measures.

      Iceland didn't let it's banks default as part of an act of clever crisis management even if that's what the members of the firmly right wing Icelandic independence party will confidently tell you. What happened was that a series of governments (dominated by the independence party) and stuffed full of free market fundamentalists sat around from the mid-nineties to 2008, deregulating everything, letting the banks grow at a fantastic pace and crippling the various organizations that were supposed to regulate the financial industry. For years they just held their ears shut singing: "lalalalalala... I can't hear you!" whenever somebody criticized the state of the icelandinc banks and the fact that they had become 12 times the size of the national GDP meaning that the state was therefore unable to back them up in a crisis. By the time the crisis finally hit the Icelandic government was completely bowled over. The Independence party had by now formed a coalition with the Social Democrats who proved just as useless as their right wing coalition partner and did little other than watch while the Independence party (who also dominated the central bank) fumbled about and caused things to fall apart. There were no emergency plans in place, nobody had anticipated this. After all, the infallible all-knowing free market should not act like this should it? They finally decided, at the climax of an epic panic attack, to nationalize the most endebted bank, Glitnir, which caused the whole icelandic banking sector to collapse like a row of dominos. Krugman (probably unintentionally) gives you the impression that the Icelandic Government that presided over the 2008 collapse allowed the banks to default by clever design when in reality they simply "pulled a Homer" a phrase which wikipedia defines as: "to succeed despite idiocy". Like Mr. Krugman I pity the Irish for their successful efforts to postpone the pain by a couple of years because it made the problem exponentially worse.

    13. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wouldn't take that site's numbers too seriously, the number for external debt for Sweden (2007) is about 4 times higher than Swedens total(internal+external) debt (2007) according to the Swedish treasury.

    14. Re:Defaulting is worse! by nospam007 · · Score: 3, Informative

      "You really think the European HQ of companies are getting moved to shangai... ?"

      No, they'll move to Luxembourg, like Ebay, Paypal, Amazon, iTunes already did.

    15. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      hmm... I suppose you should be glad that the dollar isn't worth much these days then... :)

    16. Re:Defaulting is worse! by shentino · · Score: 1

      Sounds like the same sort of crisis here with our own auto industry bailouts, yes?

    17. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That is why I figure the USA will default in 5 years, 10 tops. The only thing really keeping us afloat is the Fed printing money as fast as the presses will run and using it to buy our debt, basically making the money worthless. Then figure in the retiring boomers, huge masses of working poor that are only kept afloat by social programs, and the cost of two endless wars? Yeah I give it a decade tops. Enjoy it while you can folks, because from the looks of it another worldwide great depression will soon be upon us. The only question is whether we will learn from our mistakes and put heavy regulations on the banks like we did during the last one, or if those that believe in the free market fairy will win out. Without control free markets quickly end up corrupted when too much ends up in the hands of too few, just as we have now.

      So what part of that list of woes is due to "free markets"? The Fed printing money? Retiring baby boomers? Social programs? Two "endless" wars (one which is in the process of ending, I might add)? None of those items are due to free markets. Four words describe globally the bank/real estate problem: "private profit, public risk". It's not a free market when you can pass on risk of your investments to the public.

      Having said that, I don't know if you're accurate in your prediction of default. The US is a big train and there's still a window for improvement of US government finances both in the next two years and in the presidential term after that. Still, if we get another G.W. Bush or Obama, I'd have to consider default in the next ten years a real possibility.

    18. Re:Defaulting is worse! by freedom_india · · Score: 1

      Bankruptcy. Simply close shop.

      --
      "Doing what i can, with what i have." ~ Burt Gummer
    19. Re:Defaulting is worse! by freedom_india · · Score: 3, Insightful

      In a fiat money economy, the US does not need to default. It just needs to inflate itself out of debt.

      --
      "Doing what i can, with what i have." ~ Burt Gummer
    20. Re:Defaulting is worse! by freedom_india · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yeah, and Dubya came along and shattered that. Thanks to Dubya.

      --
      "Doing what i can, with what i have." ~ Burt Gummer
    21. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Znork · · Score: 1

      As far as I can tell, the Nationmaster link is public+private debt. You're probably thinking about Swedish public debt only.

      As governments today backstop private debt with taxpayers, it's becoming more and more appropriate to include private debt as public liabilities either way.

    22. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Rakshasa+Taisab · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      Lowest inflation in 50 years and you're worried about inflation... Been drinking a bit too much tea lately?

      The US can't keep printing money, but that's not due to inflation or fear of devaluation. Rather it will cause an arms-race between large export countries to keep themselves competitive.

      --
      - These characters were randomly selected.
    23. Re:Defaulting is worse! by defaria · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Actually the Fed doesn't print money, the Treasury does, and even they don't really do that that much anymore either. There are other ways of pumping liquidity into to the market that doesn't involved printing anything.

    24. Re:Defaulting is worse! by TheRaven64 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      How many of those tech companies do it about the "high tech knowledge" in Ireland in the first place ?

      One of the random bits of work that I did a couple of years ago was a study for the Welsh Development Agency examining the Irish and Scottish strategies for promoting their technology industries and seeing which bits were relevant to Wales. This involved digging a bit under the bullshit that the Irish government spouts about how great it is to have companies like Dell, Apple, and Google there. It turns out that, for the most part, they weren't attracting high-tech jobs. They were attracting minimum wage jobs, answering telephones and reading from a script, or putting computers in boxes. Part of the point of encouraging this kind of industry was to build a local pool of workers with the skills and experience to develop local companies, but it completely failed there. Ireland spent a lot on some very impressive incubator units for high-tech startups. Most of them were still empty over a year after construction.

      The biggest problem that Ireland has is transport. There aren't many customers for high-tech goods in Ireland (meaning corporate customers - the population isn't big enough to support much by way of consumer goods). To sell anything, they need to go to the UK or mainland Europe. This means flying (no Eurostar in Ireland), and that really means going from Dublin, which is about the most expensive place in Ireland to put a company. This means that it's hard for a company that doesn't already have an international distribution chain set up to have a base in Ireland.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    25. Re:Defaulting is worse! by whiteboy86 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Why is this rated insightful ?? Full of the usual crap like "Fed printing money". Why are you people even bother posting if you have no idea what are you writing about. Myth-Busters should do an episode for you about how money works, Feds issuing dept money and why and how this really works.. etc.

    26. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Hognoxious · · Score: 1, Informative

      The problem is that Shanghai has very different working hours than Europe.

      Right you lot, your options are to work through the night or fuck off back to the paddy fields and wade about in shit.

      Problem solved.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    27. Re:Defaulting is worse! by MrHanky · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Four words describe globally the bank/real estate problem: "private profit, public risk". It's not a free market when you can pass on risk of your investments to the public.

      Sounds like the only possible "free market" is in a classless Marxist utopia, then. Since in any society dependent on investments from rich capitalists, the latter will manage to make deals like in Ireland: No, either you pay, or I take my investment somewhere else. Which is, of course, the kind of market people usually refer to when talking about free markets.

    28. Re:Defaulting is worse! by rbarreira · · Score: 4, Insightful
      --

      The AACS key is NOT 0xF606EEFD628B1CA427BEA93A9CA9773F
    29. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Vaphell · · Score: 1

      no, the Treasury can only issue bonds and when the Fed buys them, it uses newly created money. They simply say 'ok, boys, we take the paper and you can add 100 billion to your account', so the Fed is where the money creation takes place.

    30. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Vaphell · · Score: 2, Insightful

      as Peter Schiff describes that currency war, it's the only war that is all about shooting at your own troops. After all every single holder of nation's currency is robbed off his purchasing power and becomes poorer.

    31. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      Sounds like the only possible "free market" is in a classless Marxist utopia, then. Since in any society dependent on investments from rich capitalists, the latter will manage to make deals like in Ireland: No, either you pay, or I take my investment somewhere else. Which is, of course, the kind of market people usually refer to when talking about free markets.

      Then those people are wasting my time. Rich people (who might be capitalists or they might be government bureaucrats) making special deals with government doesn't have anything to do with free markets, no matter what words get used.

    32. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Kjella · · Score: 1

      Which will make everyone's savings disappear and lead to an economic collapse like 1930s Germany, that worked so well last time. Defaulting will tank the market's credibility but it won't lead to the kind of riots and revolution letting the presses really go would. Personally I've never figured how a country can default anyway, people certainly can't default unless they have no assets to pay. Yet do I see them auctioning off every bit of public property to do it? Nah. It seems countries have this rule where they can just say "Well, I don't feel like paying anything so I won't". I guess it's due to you needing tanks and guns to force them to pay, but it still seems awfully easy compared to what the rest of us have to go through.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    33. Re:Defaulting is worse! by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      The only thing really keeping us afloat is the Fed printing money as fast as the presses will run and using it to buy our debt, basically making the money worthless.

      Where did you get that? The M2 supply is unchanged in the past several years. The Fed is not "printing money".

      People hear stuff on Fox News and just repeat it like it's gospel and never bother to check it out for themselves.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    34. Re:Defaulting is worse! by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      the US could probably get away with financing it's social security obligations 4-5 years on borrowed money

      Why would they have to do that? Social Security is solvent for at least the next 29 years.

      Don't make the mistake of thinking the US situation is anything like Ireland's. Remember, Ireland cannot print money. The US can if it needs to. Even with the economic downturn and outsourcing, the US is still an enormous economic engine. New York may not be London when it comes to the financial markets, but it's still very significant.

      Anyway, there's a world war coming that will sort out all this financial mess.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    35. Re:Defaulting is worse! by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 1
      While Iceland did not take the bank debts as public debts, they did stand as guarantor for them. See this quote from a letter from the Icelandic ministry of finance:

      The Icelandic government will support the Depositors' and Investors' Guarantee Fund in raising the necessary funds, so that the fund would be able to meet the minimum compensation limits in the event of a failure of Landsbanki and its U.K. branch

      Once Landsbanki collapsed the debt did become a public debt, and in a way Iceland did default: in a referendum, its people decided to compensate only Icelandic citizens. The clever part is the way they did it: simply deciding not to honour the guarantees on their bank, they avoided being punished by a poor credit rating. Of course no Iceland bank will ever get a European banking license again, but at this point who cares?

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    36. Re:Defaulting is worse! by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Very smart analysis, friend.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    37. Re:Defaulting is worse! by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      What if your "troops" are buying gold?

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    38. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      Lowest inflation in 50 years

      "Lowest", except for inflation in the cost to eat (food), stay warm and move around (fuel).

      Those luxuries are now ignored when computing the official inflation rate because (drum roll please) they were inflating too fast.

      No "inflation" figure that excludes the costs of eating and staying warm can be taken seriously.

    39. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Lonewolf666 · · Score: 2, Informative

      These are two distinct problems.

      The one you refer to is international corporations moving to places with low taxes (hello Google). Lets call this #1.

      The other one (#2 and IMHO worse) is politicians being scared into propping up banks that have mis-speculated. Which is the main probem of the Irish:
      The government has foolishly guaranteed for the banks' debts.

      Only now, when the massive impact from #2 becomes obvious, Ireland briefly considered changing #1.

      --
      C - the footgun of programming languages
    40. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They're not literally printing money... but where exactly do you think the Federal Reserve got the money for quantitative easing two? People just call it printing money because it's easier to explain than creating money electronically. The effect, however, is the same.

    41. Re:Defaulting is worse! by X0563511 · · Score: 1

      Then a needed commodity is being needlessly held up by assholes looking out for themselves?

      (tip: please pick something rare but -useless- to back currency in the future)

      --
      For large sets, this will be our guide even unto death, for the LORD will work for each type of data it is applied to...
    42. Re:Defaulting is worse! by PopeRatzo · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Sounds like the same sort of crisis here with our own auto industry bailouts, yes?

      Not at all. When you "bail out" a car company, a lot of people's jobs are saved and a lot of products get manufactured. When you bail out a bank, nothing gets produced and a lot of money goes into the pockets of a small number of people.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    43. Re:Defaulting is worse! by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      M2 includes all the electronically created money.

      It has not increased in several years.

      Whether you're printing paper currency or creating money electronically, the supply has not increased.

      The Fed "gets" that money from all the wealth that is "destroyed" in an economic downturn.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    44. Re:Defaulting is worse! by MrHanky · · Score: 1

      Rich people moving their capital to countries with lower taxes and wages, enabling them to take greater profits, has everything to do with free markets. It's how they ended up in Ireland to begin with.

    45. Re:Defaulting is worse! by nelsonal · · Score: 1

      Starting in the next few years, social security is solvent only if the government can continue to borrow, which might well be quite a bit shorter than 29 years at the current borrowing rates. (Social security begins drawing down the debt the government has accumulated fairly soon (it's already occuring on an seasonal monthly basis).

      --
      Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
    46. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    47. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, during the last few years under Clinton, a Republican controlled Congress, and highly inflated dot com bubble tax revenues, we were repaying our debt, albeit at a very slow rate.

      The dot come bubble burst as Bush took office. Liberals love to use economic data from the year 2000 against Bush, conveniently leaving out the fact that the economy was in massive decline as Bush took office (well before *any* of his policies were in place). Of course, if you use the same trick against Obama, liberals are the first to cry foul...

    48. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Vaphell · · Score: 1

      "Sir, they are refusing to get slain, these fuckers! Fortunately for us 99% are not, bwahahahaha!"

    49. Re:Defaulting is worse! by gtall · · Score: 1

      Just out of curiosity, why would reliance on gold help anything? Ever watch the price of gold lately? Is it a bubble? Is is real wealth? If your country has a lot of gold, could you mine it all and make your people rich? If you think so, read about Spain when they looted a lot of gold from S. America. It created a devastating inflation.

      Reliance on the gold standard wouldn't have prevented the housing bubble, or the techno bubble leading up to 2000, or the oil price shock of the 70's. Reliance on gold means tying one's economy in part to the commodities market. If you want to lose real money real fast, trying playing the commodities market.

    50. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Ex-MislTech · · Score: 1, Interesting

      When the banks and other business interests have the government
      in their pockets the government tends to pass what the banksters want.

      Mussolini was a prophet.

      http://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/quotes/b/benitomuss388775.html

      "Fascism should more appropriately be called Corporatism because it is a merger of state and corporate power."
      ~Benito Mussolini

      --
      google "32 trillion offshore needs IRS attention"
    51. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Vaphell · · Score: 1

      the fed is printing money, where do you think they will get that trillion dollars to buy treasury bonds in next few months? There are massive deflationary forces that shrink the money pool, so they have to pump shitloads of money into the system to merely counterbalance that.

    52. Re:Defaulting is worse! by mswhippingboy · · Score: 5, Interesting

      another G. W. Bush or Obama

      I'd say the chances of this are pretty likely. Barring a major upset, Obama will get the Dem nomination and the GOP will likely pick someone that makes GWB look like Einstien. I wouldn't be suprised to see "we must stand by our North Korean allies" Palin get the nod from the GOP.

      --
      Sometimes the light at the end of the tunnel is the headlight of an oncoming train.
    53. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Vaphell · · Score: 1

      SoSec is cashflow negative and the situation won't get any better. It will end just like every other Ponzi scheme, going down in flames.

    54. Re:Defaulting is worse! by jawtheshark · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Luxembourg? Where all these companies got, in best case, a manager and a secretary... A mailbox at best. Neither of those companies is big at all in my home country. I'm pretty sure I'd know some people working there as the IT world isn't exactly big in a small country, but I don't.

      It also doesn't help residents at all... For Amazon and eBay, we have to deal with Germany (Try ordering anything but books or CDs at Amazon from Luxembourg... won't happen...). PayPal is officially a bank, but that's really about it. As a matter of fact, I just checked, they are in the same building as the company I work for, which is filled to the brim with small tax-evading companies.... Doesn't inspire much confidence to me. (Yes, I do realize what it says about my job... No need to tell me.)

      iTunes? Luxembourg was one of the LAST countries that got access to iTunes from the end-user point of view. I highly doubt they have a single server here.

      Also, while Luxembourg is pretty good for corporate taxes (will change, we are impacted by the crisis too...), employees are expensive because the average wages are very high. Foreign companies have a hard time understanding that, especially if they come from countries with lower average wages like Ireland. The local average salaries are understandable, because the country is small and real-estate prices are insane. I have a pretty ok salary, but I don't dream of ever owning any real-estate. Unless I quit the country (which has other downsides), it simply is unaffordable.

      --
      Ahhh...the great dumpster continuum. Many a free computer will be found there. -- sowth (748135)
    55. Re:Defaulting is worse! by gtall · · Score: 1

      Not really; if it is an FDIC insured bank (and most banks and credit unions are), then a bank "bailout" is the feds coming in and either paying off those accounts or recapitalizing the bank. They generally chose to recapitalize the bank. The bankers usually get fired. The Wall Street Investment banks are in a different league. The U.S. should have a policy of, over time, picking off those bankers and busting up those banks.

      They also need to bring back the controls that allowed the bubble. That won't be easy because, quite wrongly, the U.S. economy came to rely on the size of the housing market which only got that large because banks were able to securitize loans. This was an easy sell to conservatives who thought a free market means one can trust the bastards (ALL the bastards starting with the American people who overbought, signed for ARMs, took out second mortgages, flipped houses etc., and the bastard bankers who gleefully knew they were playing with hot potatoes but figured they themselves were the smart ones who never held a hot potato very long without finding a sucker to buy it), and it was an easy sell to the liberals who thought that owning a house meant that the proles were getting their just share of the rich peoples' money.

      They were both wrong and unwinding the housing mess must mean unwinding the stupid philosophies of both groups.

    56. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Vaphell · · Score: 4, Insightful

      moving the capital around has everything with free markets, but exclusive deals, special treatments and subsidies for the chosen do not. Bailouts are such cases. Some failing bank or a car manufacturer gets bailed out, but your favorite bakery at the corner does not. Free market is a fair judge, treats all the same and the winners and losers are decided only by their merits, not by who they know.

    57. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except the fed is not printing money as fast as they can.

    58. Re:Defaulting is worse! by gtall · · Score: 1

      Nope, had nothing to do with Dubya. The stock market started tanking in the spring of 2000 when it looked like Gore would win the election. That too isn't the reason it tanked, it tanked because the techno-bubble popped. The final pin was the Year 2000 Bug turned out to be a dud mainly because of all the spending that went on during the techno-bubble to make sure it was a dud.

      Then 9/11 happened and the U.S. was off into another recession because Wall Street got the willies. If a "stimulus" would wake up the U.S. economy, then the U.S. deficit spending on the Iraq War should have done the trick. It didn't. Where the Bush administration and the Clinton administration failed was in recognizing a housing bubble, they both backed policies causing it.

      The reason Clinton was able to balance the budget was due to Bush Sr's tax increase and the techno-bubble. Also, he and Congress couldn't agree on how to spend money, so the Treasury was able to get fat without the Fixers in Congress coming in to clean it out.

    59. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Foobar+of+Borg · · Score: 5, Insightful

      moving the capital around has everything with free markets, but exclusive deals, special treatments and subsidies for the chosen do not. Bailouts are such cases. Some failing bank or a car manufacturer gets bailed out, but your favorite bakery at the corner does not. Free market is a fair judge, treats all the same and the winners and losers are decided only by their merits, not by who they know.

      The back and forth in this thread really just shows that a "free market" is an illusory concept. It is useful to a limited degree, but you have to keep in mind that it is not possible in real life.

      Once you throw government into the mix, you necessarily limit the freedom of the market. But, without a government, you don't have the structure to set up anything resembling a "free market".

      The other point that seems to have been missed is that, although you are right in saying that the Irish situation is not due to a real "free market", the term "free market" is what is thrown about to keep the proles in line.

    60. Re:Defaulting is worse! by dlcarrol · · Score: 1

      Just a note: It may've been pure happenstance, but a plan to let them default, intentionally, is the best plan they could've had, more "Inspector Gadget" than "Homer Simpson". Krugman doesn't acknowledge it, but this is the prescription from the Austrian school. Iceland (apparently, didn't read your link) diluted it a bit by bailing out Glitnir, but letting entities default is the action that a truly free ("non-mercantilist") government should pursue.

    61. Re:Defaulting is worse! by theVarangian · · Score: 1

      Once Landsbanki collapsed the debt did become a public debt, and in a way Iceland did default: in a referendum, its people decided to compensate only Icelandic citizens. The clever part is the way they did it: simply deciding not to honour the guarantees on their bank, they avoided being punished by a poor credit rating. Of course no Iceland bank will ever get a European banking license again, but at this point who cares?

      Not quite... What you are referring to is the Icesave dispute. What the icelandic president refused to sign and referred to a plebiscite wasn't whether or not to repay of the Icesave debt. It was a bill passed by parliament concerning a state guarantee of the 20.887 Euro compensation on Icesave accounts mandated by the European Union. The reason was that the corresponding treaty governing the payment of that compensation was widely considered to be grossly unfair in Iceland thanks to a variety of issues ranging from the amount, the interests, the fact that people felt that the EU screwed up as badly as their own leaders and a demagogic flag waiving campaign by the right wing Independence and Progressive parties. This is particularly ironic because those two parties created the completely deregulated environment in which the Icelandic banking system grew way beyond anything sensible and the Independence party was in fact the one who's ineptitude eventually caused the (by then) inevitable 2008 collapse. The whole Icesave mess is still being re-negotiated by the Icelanders, the Dutch and the British while the Icelandic president, an ardent publicity hound, is already threatening to refer any new agreement to another plebiscite. While the Independence and Progressive parties and their grass roots are standing firmly behind him. The really funny bit is that both the Independence and Progressive parties are archconservative. The president Mr. Grimsson, however, was formerly a major player in a quite radically socialist political party and the conservatives who, used to really despise this guy, are now praising him as a guardian of democracy and national independence. This is a plot that the authors of even the sharpest political TV-satire shows you can name would be very proud of had they managed to dream it up.

    62. Re:Defaulting is worse! by HangingChad · · Score: 1
      if the big tech companies leave, the hope of reacquiring a high-tech knowledge industry will go away as well.

      I think it's a bluff. Where are they going to go? China? Google already lived through the "China experience" once, I doubt they'd go back.

      The only other options aren't much better. Besides, the US could modify their tax code and make the "Irish shuffle" useless to avoid paying US taxes.

      Besides, this isn't over yet.

      --
      That's our life, the big wheel of shit. - The Fat Man, Blue Tango Salvage
    63. Re:Defaulting is worse! by fedtmule · · Score: 2, Insightful

      First of all, for whatever reason Iceland let it banks default, it was the right thing to do. And Ireland should have done the same.

      Second, is it so hard to believe that "free market fundamentalist" thinks banks should be allowed to default? After all, "Let fall what cannot stand" is a normal free market attitude.

      Thridly, free market people rarely claim that the market is all-knowing and infallible. They just claim that the market is better than the alternatives. When, I believe, Milton Friedman said "capatalism is a profit and loss system", he also recognizes, like most other "free market fundamentalist", that capitalism is not perfect. If you want to look for utopia, you need to go to the other side of the political spectrum.

    64. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Foobar+of+Borg · · Score: 3, Interesting

      another G. W. Bush or Obama

      I'd say the chances of this are pretty likely. Barring a major upset, Obama will get the Dem nomination and the GOP will likely pick someone that makes GWB look like Einstien. I wouldn't be suprised to see "we must stand by our North Korean allies" Palin get the nod from the GOP.

      Modded troll by some wingnut, but you're definitely right. Who thinks Obama is not going to get the Dem nomination? And, looking at the current crop of GOP candidates, we are likely going to wind up with someone like Palin. Gingrich thinks he is a serious candidate, but he would now be considered too "rational" and "nuanced" for the GOP. The current two-party plan is to keep the nation divided into two camps and have each side scared shitless of the incompetent fucker on the other side so that they feel like they have to vote for the least of two evils "just this one more time".

      In short, we are doomed.

      Sometimes the light at the end of the tunnel is the headlight of an oncoming train.

      Definitely sounds like the 2012 elections. ;_;

    65. Re:Defaulting is worse! by kurt555gs · · Score: 1

      Wonderful explanation of the US economy. I wish I could hear this on CNN.

      --
      * Carthago Delenda Est *
    66. Re:Defaulting is worse! by drsquare · · Score: 1

      Default is looking more like the only viable option. Ireland can't afford all this debt, their economy is too small. They'd have been better letter the banks go bust and making the Germany, Swiss and British investors take a haircut. This bailout is for them, after all.

    67. Re:Defaulting is worse! by drsquare · · Score: 1

      So what part of that list of woes is due to "free markets"?

      The inherent instability of free-market capitalism, which by its nature produces a continual series of booms and busts.

    68. Re:Defaulting is worse! by rolfwind · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Having said that, I don't know if you're accurate in your prediction of default. The US is a big train and there's still a window for improvement of US government finances both in the next two years and in the presidential term after that. Still, if we get another G.W. Bush or Obama, I'd have to consider default in the next ten years a real possibility.

      Except our mess very much isn't just the GWBs/Obamas of the US. We're in what, 13T(rillion) of debt right now?

      The problem is that the baby boomer generation promised itself SO MUCH, we're going to go bankrupt from entitlements. Social Security is a small part of it. The real meat is Medicare. And that's not all LBJ. For instance, after Bush barred seniors from going to Canada/Mexico to appease the drug industry, he and Ted Kennedy (I think) pushed Medicare Part D to appease the huge senior lobby. This was called the single most financially irresponsible piece of legislation in history and will cost $10 Trillion dollars looking forward. The debacle shows how much the dear leaders here are really for free market, how dare people shop for cheaper drugs! /s

      Looking forward, at current tax rates, we'll have a total of $50 Trillion dollar gap between revenue coming in and revenue going out. By 2030, the Federal Government will have little more revenue than to pay entitlements and interest on debt, nothing for it's official functions.

      And is this surprising in a country where most government workers (including Army, USPS, many suburban Teachers depending on their local contracts, etc) work 20-25 years and can then retire on half pay and full health insurance the rest of their lives. How many private sector jobs let you start at 18 and quit with by 43? Yeah.

      Most of my numbers came from David Walker, former US Comptroller General from 1998 to 2008, America's head accountant, appointed by both parties to various positions. Many of them came before the 2008 disaster although he was warning of a bubble iirc. It's probably worse now.

      http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-7461407498377956300#

      Anyway, I don't blame politicians except for bending to their constituencies. I blame following our democratic tendencies instead of our republican (small r) one starting with the 17th amendment. The People wanted entitlements, they got them.

    69. Re:Defaulting is worse! by schnikies79 · · Score: 1

      Thanks to accounting tricks.

      --
      Gone!
    70. Re:Defaulting is worse! by bigpat · · Score: 1

      In a fiat money economy, the US does not need to default.
      It just needs to inflate itself out of debt.

      Sort of. We need the Fed to continue to buy government debt and then to eventually forgive that debt. And we can't run deficits higher than the servicing of the existing debt otherwise the debt burden will continue to go up and we do end up in a situation where we have runaway inflation.

      So we don't need to default, per se, but as our own creditor we need to "fix" the balance sheets. If we do it over a number of years then it might be manageable.

    71. Re:Defaulting is worse! by osgeek · · Score: 1

      Don't you think this argument is a bit religious when you name a bunch of "big government" problems that have caused the debt we have yet you attack the opposite societal configuration of capitalism anyway?

      Big government is the root of the problem. Big government has become too easily controlled by big corporations. Now we have to fight both of them combined (corporatism) as they try to take away our money and every single one of our freedoms that prevents them from controlling us properly.

      How bad does this have to get before people wake the fuck up and slash the hell out of this government until it isn't powerful enough to hurt us anymore?

    72. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      During the Clinton years, the U.S. was actually repaying its debts.

      The debt grew every year he was in office, so no, not really. He never had a real surplus, just a projected one based on the idea that the tech bubble would never burst.

    73. Re:Defaulting is worse! by osgeek · · Score: 2, Informative

      That was during a perfect storm of an exploding US technology-driven expansion: we didn't start any wars so could downsize the military, we had a new conservative congress that was eager to show it was thrifty (for a few years at least), and a president who was shrewd enough (or too embedded in scandal to go against it) to roll with the semi-mandate that that new congress had.

      With the retiring baby boomers, increasing global competition, and a generally stupid voting population; we're probably not going to see a perfect storm again soon.

      The only people even talking about reducing the debt these days are some of the Tea Party folks. Between their eccentric individuals and the media's seeming zeal of taking them down, I don't have much hope that the good part of their message will go far.

    74. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Ireland cannot and could not have done the same, even if they wanted to. They are tied into the Euro. Being in the Eurozone brings a whole bunch of complications. Heck, even the UK, who are not in the eurozone, have real problems if the Irish economy goes down the toilet.

    75. Re:Defaulting is worse! by sourcerror · · Score: 1

      But 1 euro is wortth 1.324 USD. And the Irish GDP per capita is lower too (41k vs 46k).

    76. Re:Defaulting is worse! by drsquare · · Score: 1

      When has the US federal government ever defaulted, or missed a payment?

    77. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Tacvek · · Score: 2, Informative

      You are correct but that post is a bit misleading.

      My understanding is that the Treasury orders the production of coins and bills, but they are not money at that time (i.e. the treasury is not permitted to just use the new coins and bills). Instead the Federal Reserve purchases the bills at production cost from the treasury, and then it is money.

      My understanding is that it is also responsible for introducing and removing coins, although these it purchases at face value from the treasury. Never the less, doing so still adds currency to circulation, as where there was only $100 in paper money in the Fed, there is now $100 in paper money in the Treasury, and $100 of coins in the fed, for a total of $200 of currency in circulation.

      The Federal Reserve can remove money from circulation, and add new money at will. Thus if it has old bills in its "vault" it can have them destroyed, and it need not immediately get replacement bills.

      However, actually getting the bills into circulation is not particularly easy. While for example new bills can e sent to banks when they make a withdrawal, that is not increasing the money since they previously deposited old money.

      About the only way new money can be introduced in his fashion is by using it to buy Government securities, which it never redeems, and thus has inserted new currency into circulation. Unfortunately though, that technically means that introducing new money requires governmental debt, although I don't believe those bonds are normally considered part of the national debt.

      Of course, all of that above is based on my cobbled together understanding, and i could be very wrong in several spots. If I am, I would be interested in knowing the true story.

      --
      Stylish sheet to fix many problems in Slashdot's D3: https://gist.github.com/801524
    78. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      First, of-course the free market has nothing to do with this, this is pure manipulation by the government, money printing, wars, subsidies, bail outs, stimulus money, monopolies created by governments, regulations, etc. Stop blaming something that has nothing to do with this problem.

      Secondly, you are being much too generous.

      Unless you are blind, you should have noticed that the QE2 6 or 7 hundred billion dollars that's going to be printed by the Fed in the next 6-7 months is about equal to the amount that the federal gov't of USA is going to borrow in the same amount of time.

      This means that the Fed has become the lender of last resort to the US government by buying US bonds and funding US gov't debt.

      This means that the teaser/variable rate mortgage that the US gov't is holding is quickly changing its terms, the long term interest on bonds is going up and that's why US can't finance its borrowing on the normal market and is using the Fed instead.

      This also means that at the time of the next rollover, the US bonds just may have to be bought back by US gov't, because the interest rates will be too high, and since those bonds are all short term, this is very near future, less than a year, not 5 or 10.

      I am sorry to say, but what is coming is getting here much sooner than you think and it's going to be also much worse than most understand because US gov't WILL monetize all of its debt and that means 'goodbye' to the USD, 'goodbye' to the credit US is getting from abroad and 'goodbye' to all those cheap Chinese (and other) imports.

    79. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      This is a fallacy: the total public debt went up under Clinton. The only reason the debt appeared to shrink was an influx of 'surplus' Social Security funds which increased intragovernmental debt holdings but eased the publicly held debt burden. The net effect was an overall increase in our national debt.

      The US Treasury, which is responsible for the debt, breaks it down:

      http://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP/BPDLogin?application=np

    80. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I mean if you look at debt as a proportion of GDB it was Reagen who exploded government spending without raising revenue, and began the climb of the exponential debt. We can fix it though: The debt's been higher in the wake of the world wars. They fixed with a short-term marginal 90% tax.

    81. Re:Defaulting is worse! by CyberDragon777 · · Score: 1

      That's nothing.

      http://bankjegy.szabadsagharcos.org/xxcentury/p137.htm

      This is a one sextillion (10^21) Peng banknote.

      --
      We both said a lot of things that you are going to regret.
    82. Re:Defaulting is worse! by CyberDragon777 · · Score: 1

      That is is supposed to be Peng(U+0151).

      Implement Unicode already Slashdot!

      --
      We both said a lot of things that you are going to regret.
    83. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      While gov't does change the rules of the game, don't diss the free market, which provide the US with biggest and fastest growth between the Civil war and WWI.

    84. Re:Defaulting is worse! by mitgib · · Score: 1

      The only thing really keeping us afloat is the Fed printing money as fast as the presses will run and using it to buy our debt, basically making the money worthless.

      Federal Reserve Notes have always been a debt backed fiat currency, and always worthless

      --
      Being a spelling & grammar Nazi is a sign you do not poses the intelligence to contribute to the conversation
    85. Re:Defaulting is worse! by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Here's how a "free market" works. Australia tries to get a "free trade" deal with the USA. A negotiator from the USA says "you can have it if you sign up to these horrible copyright and patent restrictions, but you can't sell us any steel, beef, wheat, sugar or wool". "OK" says the idiot agrarian socialist from Australia "I've been here all week and I'm getting bored so I'll agree to anything, plus if I come back empty handed the voters will think my party is irrelevant".
      So Australia got a "free trade" deal, and software vendors think "cool, we don't sell anything on that list since we don't grow sugar - we can sell to the USA without restriction! That's almost worth the pain of being exposed to software patents!" They were of course wrong and are trying to sort it all out in court.

    86. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The back and forth in this thread really just shows that a "free market" is an illusory concept. It is useful to a limited degree, but you have to keep in mind that it is not possible in real life.

      It's not a very useful concept when used to argue we should remove trade barriers, which it is used all the time to do so.

      That, right there, is the real problem. It's not that corporations can make special deals with governments, there is functionally no way for any country to stop other countries from doing that. There is no way to solve that problem, ergo, that can't really be the problem. If houses you build keep falling down, the problem to investigate is not gravity.

      The solvable problem is that they then can continue to operate and sell in the US while not paying any taxes here.

      We need to get rid of the idea of 'corporate' taxes where profit can mysteriously move from place to place and they pay taxes somewhere we've never heard of. (And they're way to easy to avoid altogether.)

      We should tax them when they pay workers, in the location those workers are. We should tax them when they sell goods, in the location those goods are sold. (Or, easier, when those goods are imported.) We should tax their capital and real estate, in the location that capital and real estate is. We should tax their corporate dividends, in the location that stockholders live.

      Fuck asking where the company, an entity that is an artificial creation, 'lives'. Tax the things that physically exist where they actually are and tax the money going in and out where it's actually going in and out.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    87. Re:Defaulting is worse! by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Things were pretty grim all through 2001 so you can't blame it all on September.

    88. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      Americans don't have savings. We have net debt - nearly every one of us. Especially when counting our mortgages, credit cards, car and student loans, which of course totally count. When you count the $14T public debt (nearly $100,000 per taxpayer), which of course does also totally count, probably the entire "bottom" 98% of Americans are net in debt. The savings are just a cashflow account.

      But "iInflation" is not universal just because there's more currency in use than assets it values. Printing more money doesn't automatically increase incomes. But when incomes rise with inflation, debtors benefit just as if their debts shrank at the inflation rate. Americans whose incomes rise with inflation can inflate out of debt. That includes the government. But Americans who can't get even worse, as they keep their old debts, but don't get more income to pay for new consumption, which leads to new debt or starvation. If the government inflates its way out of debt, those Americans won't have as much public debt to pay, but their personal economies will be even worse off than before, even as the rest of the society gets past the debt.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    89. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hi, Rick Perry.

      http://www.politifact.com/texas/statements/2010/nov/14/rick-perry/rick-perry-says-social-security-ponzi-scheme/

      SS is not a ponzi scheme. You'll say, "but that's just a technicality. . ." but you will still be wrong. Words have meanings. You can say it's like a Ponzi scheme in these areas and give examples. You didn't and you won't.

      What's it matter, though? You're just another low-info voter who doesn't care about anything except your personal "truth."

    90. Re:Defaulting is worse! by FauxPasIII · · Score: 2, Interesting

      So what part of that list of woes is due to "free markets"?

      "huge masses of working poor" would be the main one you missed.

      --
      25% Funny, 25% Insightful, 25% Informative, 25% Troll
    91. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The back and forth in this thread really just shows that a "free market" is an illusory concept. It is useful to a limited degree, but you have to keep in mind that it is not possible in real life.

      I see the usual disagreement, but I don't see the "back and forth". The free market is an asymptotic idea. Here's how I see it. I consider a market "free", if it is close enough that the market and its participants behave as if the market were free. For example, if one trader gets a very slight tax break (say 0.1% less taxes paid than its competitors), then a market is still free (that is, there's no significant change in the market from this advantage). But suppose a trader pays 50% less of a very substantial tax load. Then that's a significant advantage which can lead to things like persistent monopolies or great wealth concentrations. The market is no longer free due to this substantial distortion.

      Once you throw government into the mix, you necessarily limit the freedom of the market. But, without a government, you don't have the structure to set up anything resembling a "free market".

      The presence of a government does not in itself limit the freedom of a market, especially if the market wouldn't exist without the government.

      The other point that seems to have been missed is that, although you are right in saying that the Irish situation is not due to a real "free market", the term "free market" is what is thrown about to keep the proles in line.

      As I said before, I don't care about such rationalizations past the consumption of my time in listening to them.

    92. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Both Medicare and Social Security have taken in more than they've made. In fact, they've reduced the debt because the government can borrow from them instead of from outside, and thus not pay interest.

      I would really like you to respond to that, but I suspect you won't, because it would break that crazy world view in your head.

      The deficit is due to two things: Fighting wars, and continuing to lower taxes for no discernible reason. That's it. That's all. That's the end of everything. There is no more discussion.

      For instance, after Bush barred seniors from going to Canada/Mexico to appease the drug industry, he and Ted Kennedy (I think) pushed Medicare Part D to appease the huge senior lobby.

      Wow, delusional much? Ted Kennedy supported a Medicare bill at that time, true, but it was completely replaced by the pharmaceutical industry give-away the Republicans invented, which he ended up voting against.

      And is this surprising in a country where most government workers (including Army, USPS, many suburban Teachers depending on their local contracts, etc) work 20-25 years and can then retire on half pay and full health insurance the rest of their lives. How many private sector jobs let you start at 18 and quit with by 43? Yeah.

      First of all, no teacher can start working at 18 unless you're living in crazy land where teachers don't need degrees. Secondly, teachers are paid by the state, not the Federal government, so could hardly be causing the Federal debt. And by 'some suburban teachers', you actually mean 'some teachers in the superrich parts of the country'. The fact a local government has more money than it knows what to do with so shovels it to teachers is not even vaguely related to the debt.

      Likewise, USPS is not tax supported, so it's a rather interesting concept that it could be causing the debt. USPS pays wages out of postage it takes in. You can bitch about their wages only if you want to complain stamps cost too much. (And stamps are, incidentally, about half the cost of other first world countries...USPS is efficient.)

      So, your complaint is that we're paying veterans too much? That after only 25 years of being shot at they can retire?

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    93. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      It's not a Ponzi scheme. It's an investment in somewhat low interest but extremely low risk US government bonds. You're paying into SS every paycheck, which the SS Admin takes and buys Treasury bonds. Those bonds pay off about 150% in usually 30 years, then get rolled over again. The total fund pool into which those rolling payoffs are reinvested pays you starting when you retire, as every year new 30-year old bonds mature to cash.

      Ponzi schemes don't gain any income. SS is not a Ponzi scheme, and even without any changes at all is good for another quarter century. Simply raising or eliminating the $100,000 cap on annual income against which SS is paid in would keep it liquid indefinitely.

      The Pentagon/intel budget at over $1T a year is entirely a Ponzi scheme. Cutting it to $300B annually would eliminate all debt except SS bonds within 15 years, perhaps as little as 10. Taxing banks and bankers the amount they cost the public would speed the paydown by several years. Taxing the petrofuel corps what they cost the public would speed it by several more years.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    94. Re:Defaulting is worse! by CaptainNerdCave · · Score: 1

      Without control[,] free markets quickly end up corrupted when too much ends up in the hands of too few, just as we have now.

      No, the free markets are mutated by the few with enough power to influence them. Look at what happened when Ford tried to stagnate the auto market, or Standard Oil, Carnegie, Vanderbilt, Xerox, Gates (okay, probably more Ballmer); the list goes on. My point is that the free market is as guilty of becoming corrupt as Smith & Wesson or Colt was for the US to expand across to the Pacific. Time after time, the market has killed bad ideas, or companies that don't respond to changing demographics and needs.

      That is why I figure the USA will default in 5 years, 10 tops

      As suggested by an economist I know: how will we default on bonds and other securities that we issue? We simply declare them void. Granted, that creates an ugly situation, but it's an option.

    95. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Kimen · · Score: 0

      Not really. Every administration, Dem and Rep, have been using creative accounting with entitlement surpluses to lower the "observed" debt. Add to that the tech (bogus) bubble during Clinton and the budget surplus is basically a false positive. As this remains true today, the debt is much worse than even the current horrible news...

    96. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Going default will be a short-lived remedy. The country will go back to 1990 in terms of market appeal and productivity. And yes, if the big tech companies leave, the hope of reacquiring a high-tech knowledge industry will go away as well.

      Paul Krugman's latest column addresses this. The main point is that Iceland let the banks default, while Ireland took the banks debts as public debts and guaranteed it. In the end, Iceland has recovered while Ireland's people have to bear the burden due to austerity measures.

      Except that Iceland has its own currency, which it "let" (or chose to) devalue. Ireland (and Greece, etc.) are stuck with the Euro.

      As Krugman points out in one of his weblog posts, devaluing is what many countries to when they're in a financial pickle, but that's not really an option for the Eurozone:

      http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/24/devaluing-history/

      P.S. WTF is up with disabling of pasting? How the hell am I supposed to put in URLs? The NYT isn't so bad to type out, but there are a whole bunch of others where it's a pain to. There's also the problem of selectively quoting the parent.

    97. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      About the only way new money can be introduced in his fashion is by using it to buy Government securities, which it never redeems, and thus has inserted new currency into circulation. Unfortunately though, that technically means that introducing new money requires governmental debt, although I don't believe those bonds are normally considered part of the national debt.

      No, you're looking at it backwards. Securities are IOUs.

      That's the opposite of government debt, or, rather, it's how government debt exists. The government sells a security, and now has cash, which it can use to buy things.

      It's like if you want something from a vending machine, you can't buy it with an IOU. You have to borrow money from someone else, aka, 'sell them an IOU', and then you have cash to buy stuff. Later, they come back with that IOU, and you have to pay them off.

      Now replace 'you' with 'the government' and 'IOU' with 'government securities'. (And the IOU has a specific time period on it, and has gained some interest during that.)

      If it didn't have a deficit, it wouldn't be selling securities, but the security aren't causing the deficit, they're enabling it.

      I don't have any idea what any of this has to do with getting new money in circulation, or anything about how that works. I guess they could give out new money when the securities are redeemed. (Although if they can do that I don't understand why not just use the printed money to buy the thing in the first place and skip all those middle steps.)

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    98. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Not really; if it is an FDIC insured bank (and most banks and credit unions are), then a bank "bailout" is the feds coming in and either paying off those accounts or recapitalizing the bank. They generally chose to recapitalize the bank. The bankers usually get fired.

      That's not normally called a 'bank bailout'. That's actually the opposite of a bank bailout...it's a bank collapse.

      FDIC insurance isn't really bailing out the bank, it's bailing out the customers, 99.99% of them who had no idea their bank was run by criminals and/or idiots. (And, luckily, it doesn't cost the government anything, as the bank paid insurance premiums.)

      The Wall Street Investment banks are in a different league. The U.S. should have a policy of, over time, picking off those bankers and busting up those banks.

      I agree with you. Pick them off when they least expect it.

      As they're walking down a street, a sniper on a building takes careful aim...

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    99. Re:Defaulting is worse! by diegocg · · Score: 1

      Iceland has its own currency, Europe can't let the Euro zone break down.

    100. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      G.W. Bush is as similar to Obama as your claim that laissez-faire capitalism (free markets) didn't create the current financial problems. The removal of the Glass-Steagall act and deregulation has caused all this nonsense. The repeal of which is promoted by the spectral "free market." The middle class has been brainwashed to believe that we're at the mercy of big businesses, as Ireland has just been goaded into submission to pass their debts to an ill-equipped working poor. I'm with Hairyfeet on the problems; will we default, I'm not sure.

      It's not a free market when you can pass on risk of your investments to the public.

      Actually, it really is a free market because without any regulation they can pass the risk on to anyone and we encourage it by electing people that removed Glass-Steagall; so much for the lessons learned from the GREAT Depression.

    101. Re:Defaulting is worse! by bsDaemon · · Score: 1

      The time of robber barons, chain gangs of Chinese and Irish immigrants slaving away on the rail road, the indian wars, pinkerton guards and the army busting strikes, etc? Yeah, man... that was totally fucking awesome.

    102. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What we really see is that the massive wealth of Western Europe and The US has been transferred over the past century to the oil producing Middle Eastern and the Asian manufacturing countries. Fluctuations in domestic real estate markets and bank failures on only symptoms of this transfer. The US printing money is actually a pretty good way to recover form this situation provided its done gradually. Note that China, India, Saudi Arabia etc have to accept foreign currencies because their internal markets are not developed enough to support their production capacity. The main reason Ireland is so bad off is that they can not print Euros. however, they are about to get an infusion of 120 or so billion of "printed" Euros which should help.

    103. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Acquiring" the operative term. Easy come, easy go. Having these firms in the country is sudo success, compared to the way Germany or China do business.

    104. Re:Defaulting is worse! by tmosley · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You do realize that what you have described is the opposite of a free market, right?

      I swear, 99% of arguments against free markets are really arguments against fascism (a form of socialism, where profit is appropriated by corporations rather than ruling party members), which is the OPPOSITE of a free market. It's like saying how terrible a color white is because it is so dark and nasty, and it absorbs all the light. When anyone points out that they are describing the color "black" then they say, oh, well, there is no such thing as white anyways, so we should start off with a baseline grey, which apparently won't change color and turn black like white does, except that in reality, it is closer to black, so it will get that way much faster.

      If you want white, pick white, and keep it as clean as you can. Just because you can never get it perfectly clean doesn't mean that the concept or idea of the color is any less valid. It is the same way with the free market. Sure, it is never going to be absolutely free, but it is far better than ANY other system, which is by definition NOT free. Understand that free markets are not just about removing regulations, they are about removing SUBSIDIES as well. Those evil banks that everyone loves to hate so much are totally dependent on subsidies at this point. A free market will wash them all down the toilet, with the fittest honest bank now able to step up and place the highest bid on thier capital, and expand. If they become corrupted, then they will fall, and others will step up to take their place. This is the way it was in the US right up through 1913, and that principle took us from desolate backwater devoid of rich resources other than lumber and fish to industrial superpower. Any nation which followed any other path wound up like any of the South American or African nations.

    105. Re:Defaulting is worse! by bsDaemon · · Score: 4, Interesting

      People always seem to drag this one out, but fail to understand what Mussolini meant by corporatism. Fascism is at its core a merging of Nationalism and Syndicalism. The corporation is a syndicate, which is a vertical trade union in which binds management and labor together. Its more like a guild.

      Each "corporation"/syndicate/guild elects deputies to the Chamber of Deputies, who are there to represent the interests of the industry as well as to speak on its behalf as experts in the field. Thus members of the transportation syndicate, who would include workers from railroads, airlines and the shipping industry, would be responsible for crafting the legislation that the executive committee, and ultimately the dictator, would be responsible for signing off on. This avoids the problem of having lawyers with no concept of how things work writing laws with regards to agriculture, communications, etc.

      Under Fascism there would have been no Ted "series of tubes" Stevens. The election for telecommunications representatives to the chamber of deputies would have been democratic through all levels of membership, from cable monkey to executive. The best people would be chosen to represent the interests of the guild and people with no clue get no say.

      Honestly, having read extensively treatments on various political ideologies in the left, right and center, by those who adhere to them as well as by those who critique them, the picture I got of fascism honestly doesn't sound half bad compared to some of the other harebrained bullshit people have come up with in the past.

    106. Re:Defaulting is worse! by mcneely.mike · · Score: 1

      The problem is, the US is a sort of free market economy: if it was truly free market, part of the auto industry would have been allowed to fail, a lot of jobs would have been lost and the on-coming train wreck would have happened now instead of later. Bailing out the auto industry was only a short-term fix... the long term fix, in my opinion, is going to be BAD.
      This is not a US problem only, though. IMO the world is coming to another depression... it may be Ireland now and Greece etc in a bit, then the US wreckage will bring everyone down.
      That's why i brew my own beer... it's cheap, i get 500 ml a bottle instead of the usual 341 ml and it's great beer. When the wreckage appears, i'll pop a cold one (or a warm one, depending) and keep on truckin'. ;-)

      --
      soylentnews.org Go there to enjoy the people!
    107. Re:Defaulting is worse! by tmosley · · Score: 1

      Yes, with the vast tax revenues that were generated as a result of the tech bubble. Good job there, Clinton. At least he didn't spend it, like so many other politicians would have (though he certainly did his share of spending). Problem is, the tech bubble burst, and all that tax revenue disappeared. If Clinton had had a third term, the budget situation would have been just as bad as it was under Bush. He would have tried the Keynesian solution to any recession, just like Bush did, and just like Obama is doing, and spent like a drunken sailor. Clinton's "debt elimination initiative" would have only worked had the tech bubble continued in perpetuity, something that is as impossible as keeping the tide from coming in by decree.

      This is not an endorsement of Bush, who I think should have left office at the end of a rope as a traitor who killed thousands of American soldiers and millions of innocent foreigners based on lies so he could fulfill his policy goal of "gettin' that guy that tried to kill his daddy".

    108. Re:Defaulting is worse! by slysithesuperspy · · Score: 1

      It's quicker saying "printing money" than saying something like "The New York fed purchasing treasury bonds from a primary dealer like Goldman Sachs by adding digits into Goldman's account with the fed." (Or however it's done.)

    109. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Yes, it's entirely likely that tax income would have slowed in 2000, and we would be back to deficit spending.

      But that doesn't change the fact that he immediately reduced taxes and immediately increased spending and almost immediately started two wars.

      Oh, and let's not forget Medicare Part D.

      Strangely enough, I do feel that Bush gets a bad rap for some stuff. Some of the tax cuts were probably a good idea in a recession, and it's not his fault that the internet bubble burst.

      The problem is that he started all that before before the recession. And did several things that were obviously bad to anyone who actually knew anything about economic, but the Republican still live in crazy trickle-down universe where tax cuts for the rich help the economy.

      And, of course, there's the fucking OWNERSHIP SOCIETY garbage that happened under him, encouraging everyone to get a house, and the fact he utterly ignored banks running wild and committing massive fraud at a never-before-seen level with the ownership of said houses. (I'm not talking about the making of the loans, which is more subjective fraud. I'm talking about actual documentation fraud. If you don't know I mean, google 'MERS fraud'.)

      Essentially, if you want to argue that the US economy was in the tank before Bush took office, you have to operate on the premise that it was in the tank the entire time, and that fact was just hidden by the fact that everyone was borrowing. This is, incidentally, the belief I ascribe to.

      So the recession isn't Bush's fault, but the fact he, instead of actually fixing it, continue to hide it under a mountain of easy consumer debt, while doing nothing that could possible reverse it like discourage outsourcing or whatever, until the entire goddamn thing blew up in 2007 when the easy debt went away, is his fault.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    110. Re:Defaulting is worse! by visualight · · Score: 1

      I'm not going to argue against the bulk of your post, you do raise some good points. But I do find fault with this tendency to paint "entitlements" as a bad word.

      If there's one thing I've learned in the last decade it's that in politics, labels and 'buckets' that you can lump things together in are the tools of the truth twisters. When you stick to the specifics, the details, it's possible for one plan to win out over others, logically. When things start getting painted in broad strokes we descend into dogma, propaganda, and further polarization.

      Not everything that can be characterized as an entitlement needs to be abolished. Unemployment Insurance is an entitlement that I think adds vital stability to our economy.
      Your last sentence: "The People wanted entitlements, they got them."
      Actually, the Government want to tax the wages of labor in return for entitlements (the New Deal). The People accepted. If 'Entitlements' are abolished then so must *all* taxes on the wages of labor, that was the original deal and I (and others) are not going to allow a renege. Right now labor is paying for the majority of the Federal Budget, without that revenue...

      You want to discuss changing or improving Medicare to make it more efficient and less of a burden, then that's another thing entirely. My point here is that most of these topics are complex and need to be treated as complex.

      --
      Samsung took back my unlocked bootloader because Google wants me to rent movies. They're both evil.
    111. Re:Defaulting is worse! by bsDaemon · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Borrowing from social security to pay for non-social-security-related expenses is like borrowing from your kid's college fund to pay for a new deck. Yes, you've increased your wealth in terms of material assets, but it's not like you can liquidate the deck to pay back the college fund later. So, the government has to borrow to pay back the cookie jar. The debt isn't reduced, it just gets muddled.

      As to your response re: teachers, you seem to harp on one part of a list to try and make the person you're replying to sound dumb. Soldiers, civil servants at various levels, etc, can start at 18 and retire after 20 years. And not all of those soldiers get shot at. Desk clerks, supply sergeants, etc, can all retire after never having seen action. Of course, there is a chance they could be made to if the situation were dire enough.

      Federal dollars do go to the states to pay for education, so teacher salaries are going to be a part of that. However, it's likely not statistically significant, but to say that its not at least a little bit related is just being sloppy at best.

      Frankly, this country has been on an unsustainable path since Andrew Jackson was President. We've finally reached the breaking point because we can't expand anymore. We've propped up all the countries we could expand into in order to get cheap labor and a new market without having to spend on infrastructure or let them vote, but they're realizing that they don't really need us anymore. We've spent too much, borrowed too much and let it get out of control.

      It's gotten to the point where no one on the left or the right really has the will to do anything about it, or a plan that's worth a damn if they do. Combined with lowered standards in education (my mother is a public high school teacher and has been for the last 15 years or so. New requirements that all students graduate in 4 years have created a situation where now teacher's aren't allowed to give any grade lower than a 40 and grades have been readjusted to a 10-point scale, making it practically impossible to fail no matter what. She's so angry about it she's about ready to just give up and go find a new job that doesn't suck (AB from an ivy league school and a MA in her subject, she's not going to be hurting to find work)), this is pretty much the death knell of America.

    112. Re:Defaulting is worse! by bsDaemon · · Score: 1

      Scarcity isn't going to create value. If no one wants something because its useless, then its not worth anything. Gold is valuable due it its usefulness and its scarcity.

    113. Re:Defaulting is worse! by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Palin was put on the ticket to make it unelectable in the first place, and if she is chosen again it will only be in order to keep Obama in power.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    114. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      BS - those companies still have a significant presence in Ireland

    115. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      Both Medicare and Social Security have taken in more than they've made. In fact, they've reduced the debt because the government can borrow from them instead of from outside, and thus not pay interest.

      Yet despite this revenue (which I might add got wasted like most such funds), government chose to borrow money in addition (aside from fiscal year 2000-2001). So the debt increased anyway. You can't even claim that the debt increased less than it other would, simply because the federal government has borrowed as much as it could get away with, decade after decade.

      As a final note, Social Security apparently transitioned from revenue positive to revenue negative this fiscal year. Medicare, despite the alleged 2010 cuts, still grows much faster than the rate of inflation. We can't count on revenue from these programs even with substantial cuts in service.

    116. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Still, if we get another G.W. Bush or Obama, I'd have to consider default in the next ten years a real possibility.

      Oh good, so you DO realize the US has 10 years tops. For a second there I thought you were trying to BS your way out of the argument.

      The only president you guys have had in the last 20 years that managed to do something about your country's finances you quickly kicked out of office because he couldn't keep his pants on. Yes, he also helped set up some of the problems currently on the go. Which makes things even worse for your future. It means you haven't had a suitable person in charge of your country in over 20 years.

    117. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      Likewise, USPS is not tax supported, so it's a rather interesting concept that it could be causing the debt. USPS pays wages out of postage it takes in. You can bitch about their wages only if you want to complain stamps cost too much. (And stamps are, incidentally, about half the cost of other first world countries...USPS is efficient.)

      There are two ways the USPS is tax supported. Congress makes up for budget shortfalls, which happen frequently. And the US is liable for USPS pensions.

      The deficit is due to two things: Fighting wars, and continuing to lower taxes for no discernible reason. That's it. That's all. That's the end of everything. There is no more discussion.

      The deficit is due to one thing: spending more than revenue. The primary contributors to that are mandatory spending, which is more than half the budget.

    118. Re:Defaulting is worse! by hitmark · · Score: 1

      I find myself wondering how much it comes down to not having a worldwide government. right now it seems that corporations can shop around between various nations with different labor and tax laws to find the combo that provides the most profits with the least effort.

      --
      comment first, facts later. http://chem.tufts.edu/AnswersInScience/RelativityofWrong.htm
    119. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Xyrus · · Score: 5, Informative

      That is why I figure the USA will default in 5 years, 10 tops.

      This keeps getting repeated and it keeps being wrong. The US CAN'T default on it's debt. Our debt is denominated in US dollars, which means the US government can always make payments, either through raising taxes or inflating the currency.

      The only thing really keeping us afloat is the Fed printing money as fast as the presses will run and using it to buy our debt, basically making the money worthless.

      So then, there must be rampant inflation then correct? According to economic indicators our currency has been strengthening recently, and inflation has been low to non-existent. In fact it has been too low which has worried some that we would enter a deflationary period.

      Then figure in the retiring boomers...

      Yeah, who will be taking their SS money and dumping it back into the economy. Sure it will stress the SS program but that money isn't evaporating into thin air. It will be re-entering the system.

      huge masses of working poor that are only kept afloat by social programs

      Mainly because we don't have a real education system in place for people to gain new skill sets. There's a reason why we rank far below other developed nations in education.

      and the cost of two endless wars?

      No argument there. The money that was spent on those two conflicts alone could have done much more good here in the US.

      Yeah I give it a decade tops. Enjoy it while you can folks, because from the looks of it another worldwide great depression will soon be upon us.

      You're a little late to the party on that one. So far it has mainly been a recession. The US is in a recovery, albeit a slow one.

      The only question is whether we will learn from our mistakes and put heavy regulations on the banks like we did during the last one, or if those that believe in the free market fairy will win out. Without control free markets quickly end up corrupted when too much ends up in the hands of too few, just as we have now.

      People like to think a free market is like nature, where survival of the fittest would yield the best companies. However this is naive. Companies will influence the market much like humans influencing their environment. Humans alter their environment, wipe out all competitors for resources, and any possible predators. Companies in a pure free market would act in the same regard. Eventually you would end up with one or a handful of companies that would completely dominate the market.

      You will always need to control greed.

      --
      ~X~
    120. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can we please stop with this nonsense that banks don't produce anything? Not all goods are physical--and I would think slashdot would realize this given the number of IT workers who produce "nothing". Banks provide capital. In a capital-rich economy as most of the Western world, arguably capital is more important than the physical goods themselves.

      More on-topic, GM was actually losing tremendous amounts of money. That is worse than producing nothing: value is actually being LOST. Why should we bail out a company that is losing money, so that it can keep losing more? The argument that it saves jobs is basically saying we're bailing it out for welfare. Why not just directly provide the welfare (e.g. forced retirement packages), it would be more efficient?

    121. Re:Defaulting is worse! by hitmark · · Score: 1

      And when the shit hits the fan, they pile on with uniformed thugs to keep the population in line...

      --
      comment first, facts later. http://chem.tufts.edu/AnswersInScience/RelativityofWrong.htm
    122. Re:Defaulting is worse! by gtall · · Score: 1

      I wasn't. The techno-bomb nailed the economy pretty good. The final straw was 9/11.

    123. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Clinton was not kicked out for not keeping his pants on.. his term limit was met.

      All your arguments are emotional, not logical, so you lose.

    124. Re:Defaulting is worse! by hitmark · · Score: 1

      fascism = socialism? now i have seen it all...

      --
      comment first, facts later. http://chem.tufts.edu/AnswersInScience/RelativityofWrong.htm
    125. Re:Defaulting is worse! by LurkerXXX · · Score: 1

      Teachers start at 18? Really? So you think their teaching certs materialize with no college?

      I'll just ignore the rest of your post after seeing that. Not worth the effort to rebut.

    126. Re:Defaulting is worse! by suomynonAyletamitlU · · Score: 1

      That was during a perfect storm: we didn't start any wars, congress was eager, and the president was shrewd

      You'll forgive me if I don't excuse those that came after for failing to live up to those standards.

    127. Re:Defaulting is worse! by hitmark · · Score: 1

      Could be the whole axis alliance thing with nazi germany and related events.

      Also, fascism was more then some union of economy and politics.

      --
      comment first, facts later. http://chem.tufts.edu/AnswersInScience/RelativityofWrong.htm
    128. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The country will go back to 1990 productivity?

      Why? Will everyone pull out of the closet all of their old computers and start using them?

      Will all of the infrastructure of the country be torn down and replaced with the stuff that they upgraded since 1990?

      I say let the multinationals leave and build your own high tech industry. It is fairly easy to do now days.

      Besides, you have no idea what these bankers are planning after they get away with robbing people and whole countries.

      This is just a test run to see if everyone buys the notion that a few people in the US borrowed too much on their homes and that is why all of the money in the banks are gone.

      -Hackus

    129. Re:Defaulting is worse! by X0563511 · · Score: 1

      Gold wasn't useful beyond a century or so ago. It was valued because it was rare, difficult/impossible to fake, and I suppose pretty.

      These days we have more mundane uses for gold, but everyone is still stuck on it for those silly historic reasons.

      --
      For large sets, this will be our guide even unto death, for the LORD will work for each type of data it is applied to...
    130. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      The only president you guys have had in the last 20 years that managed to do something about your country's finances you quickly kicked out of office

      Clinton stayed in for the full eight years.

      Oh good, so you DO realize the US has 10 years tops. For a second there I thought you were trying to BS your way out of the argument.

      Some degree of fiscal responsibility does happen on occasion. I think another president with similar fiscal responsibility and duration as Clinton in 1995-2000, might be able to pull the US from the precipice (or at least postpone the inevitable). Even if that all fails, a bit of hyperinflation combined with a suspension of the CPI, would sleazily do the trick. I see other negative outcomes possible aside from official default. The consequences would probably be similar, but there's some difference in how badly the various parties are affected.

    131. Re:Defaulting is worse! by HornWumpus · · Score: 2, Informative

      Fascism has _always_ been a flavor of socialism.

      There are three indisputable examples of fascism in history (Italy, Spain and Germany).

      In every case it was the government taking over the corporations, not the other way around.

      Your teachers lied to you.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    132. Re:Defaulting is worse! by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      He is saying (and is right) that a free market is not a philosophical construct. It is a very well defined concept. It also cannot exist for very long without external interference.

      By the government, whose role it is to keep the market free and undistorted, because "the market" can't do that on its own.

    133. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your two cents are now worth 1.97 cents, but if they're in physical pennies the metal is worth 3.5 cents.

      I kid though. The government *isn't* going nuts printing money - that would correlate directly to inflation, yet inflation has been almost zero for a few years. The "social services will bankrupt us" doomsday scenarios mostly came out of Republican hacks who were giving doctored figures (giving us the 2050 debt with compounded interest if we had zero funding and paid full benefits in an absolute worst case scenario).

      Cost of two endless wars: both of which are nearing an end (Iraq much faster than Afganistan, though). Always assume they'll go longer than claimed - so assume more like two full years left - but the cost is already lower than during the Bush years, and still diminishing. It will cost more if North Korea starts shooting again, though.

      > That is why I figure the USA will default in 5 years, 10 tops
      The key figures are total debt as a percentage of GDP, who that debt is to, and if you can keep making the payments. Ireland is currently screwed because they have a horrible ratio (debt is like 130+% of GDP), stagnant economy, and their debt is held by other EU countries. Yet Japan's debt ratio is pushing 200% and they're not collapsing. Where's the US in this? We're pushing 90%, the economy is growing - currently gradually, but traditionally we do about an evenly sustainable 4%/year, and most of the debt is internal (government owes different parts of the government, government owes US banks). [Though people LOVE to doomsay about US debts to China, China accounts for only about a third of the US debt held by foreign countries, similar to what Japan holds, and foreign debt is only about a sixth of the total debt, and it's in long term treasury bonds with low rates that there is no danger of the US being unable to pay].

      You may now ignore the numbers and resume forecasting grim darkness.

    134. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Borrowing from social security to pay for non-social-security-related expenses is like borrowing from your kid's college fund to pay for a new deck. Yes, you've increased your wealth in terms of material assets, but it's not like you can liquidate the deck to pay back the college fund later.

      So the grandparent's theory is that...the kids shouldn't go to college, and you should stop saving that money, and spend the existing money on the deck?

      Wow, critical failure on the analogy roll, dude. Are you some sort of fifth columnist arguing the wrong side? ;)

      I agree that you're correct in the analogy, but the problem is clearly building the new deck without the money to pay for it. Borrowing from the college fund instead of the bank to build the deck is not a 'bad thing', per se, it's a less stupid way to do a stupid thing.

      And blaming the college fund is just surreal. Especially when all the people blaming it do not immediately say 'After we stop collecting social security, we need to raise taxes to keep collecting approximately that much money, so we can spend it on other stuff.' And they're not just forgetting to mention that, they're members of a political philosophy that would seem unlikely to be thinking we'd do that.

      No, they want to get rid of the chance to go to college...but also take a cut in income so that the money that would end up the college fund no longer exists. So, um, yeah. That really doesn't have a hell of a lot to do with the deck.

      I'm really liking your analogy, BTW.

      As to your response re: teachers, you seem to harp on one part of a list to try and make the person you're replying to sound dumb.

      Because he is dumb. He was listing 'bad spending' examples that have nothing to do with the debt at all.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    135. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      G.W. Bush is as similar to Obama

      They are similarly incompetent and destructive (assuming Obama doesn't get reelected) to the US's future.

      as your claim that laissez-faire capitalism (free markets) didn't create the current financial problems

      Well, let's look at my claim. How did laissez-faire capitalism lead to the bailouts? There's no such thing as "too big to fail" in the free market. There's also not the huge amount of cheap government loans, pumping up any asset bubbles. So in a free market situation, sure there is the possibility that it could have been as bad, but there wouldn't be as much leverage due to the absence of a federal reserve bank and everyone would be mindful that they're operating without a safety net. So no Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. And people being a little more careful with the banks. As a result, we wouldn't have the likely insolvency of several EU nations at hand.

    136. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      Why would Microsoft/Intel/Google care if they default as long as the tax rates don't change?

    137. Re:Defaulting is worse! by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      It only matters that the debt goes up proportionately to the GDP. Whether it goes up or down in absolute terms is completely irrelevant. Once the people obsessed with making other people's lives miserable understand that, we might get something.

      Basically, if you decided to stop the government, and only use tax only to pay the debt, you would soon have no debt, and no economy either.

    138. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    139. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      You can't even claim that the debt increased less than it other would, simply because the federal government has borrowed as much as it could get away with, decade after decade.

      That is the strangest assertion I've ever heard, and not true in any sense. The government borrows exactly as much as it needs to do its budget.

      As a final note, Social Security apparently transitioned from revenue positive to revenue negative this fiscal year. Medicare, despite the alleged 2010 cuts, still grows much faster than the rate of inflation. We can't count on revenue from these programs even with substantial cuts in service.

      WOW. Just...wow.

      I want everyone to read that last sentence over and over and over, until they figure out what's wrong with it, and, by extension, what's wrong with the political thought on the right.

      You figured it out yet? No, it doesn't have anything to do with the strange idea we need to 'count on revenue' from those programs.

      DO NOT CONTINUE UNTIL YOU HAVE IT.

      Here it is: It's the idea that the only solution is to cut those services.

      Instead of, I dunno, raising the amount of money they take in.

      The political right cannot even conceive of raising revenue in any form or fashion. It is literally not even an option in their mind. The fact we could fix social security pretty easily by a small change in the income cap...it simply does not occur to them.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    140. Re:Defaulting is worse! by bsDaemon · · Score: 1

      Well, the deal with either college fund or the SS "Trust Fund" is that they money is pre-delegated for a purpose and should not be touched for anything else. Is it "less stupid" to "borrow" money interest-free against that for other projects? I suppose, but its no less irresponsible, as you're not going to be able to get that capital back as its tied up elsewhere, and eventually you're going to have to pay up when the kid goes to college/the boomers retire.

      Raiding on account to cover another may not increase the deficit, but it just shifts the debt around. The specified fund accounts are there to cover the cost of a debt you plan on incurring, and taking money from the fund will mean you're short when its time to pay up.

      This whole situation is bullshit and so convoluted that I suspect many people with economics or accounting degrees might get confused from time to time. I'm sure I only barely understand it, and that's probably why this has gone on for so long -- people can't tell they're being fleeced.

    141. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      Actually, it really is a free market because without any regulation they can pass the risk on to anyone and we encourage it by electing people that removed Glass-Steagall; so much for the lessons learned from the GREAT Depression.

      They couldn't pass the risk on to the public. As for lessons of the Great Depression, there was that 1) tariff wars make things worse, 2) Keynesian bailouts don't work that well, 3) creating oligopolies in order to save the economy won't, and 4) bad policies (such as the FCC or SEC) can last many decades.

    142. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ireland's debt is 60% of its GDP. The US's debt is 6% of its GDP. The difference matters.

    143. Re:Defaulting is worse! by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      To call something an investment you or I (not the feds though) would have to be involved in arms length transactions.

      Clearly, buying bonds from yourself is not an arms length transaction.

      Would Madoff have been running a legit business if he left 'Madoff Fund' bonds as his only asset.

      SS is a Ponzi scheme. We are paying off early members with money from later members.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    144. Re:Defaulting is worse! by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      Insightful? an ignorant talking point.

      Many, many defaults occurred through inflation, and only very little of them led to hyper-inflation. It is very difficult to actually cause hyper inflation. In a depression, when the rates are as close to 0 as you can make them, bonds and cash are equally liquid.

      While people actually believe there will be no inflation, they will buy your bonds at the crazy low rates -- such as now. And you can keep pumping money in the system without creating inflation -- even if you would like to!

      In fact, this is the greatest challenge of the FED these days, they need to avoid deflation, but don't seem to be able to manage it.

    145. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      The social security fund in the US is just there to cover short term fluctuations in expenses/taxes ... it's not a fully funded pension fund (it would have to be 30x greater than it is).

      So nothing like a college fund.

    146. Re:Defaulting is worse! by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      A country is not an individual. It is sovereign. It can decide not to pay its debt, just like that. The interest it usually pays reflects the risk of that happening in the eyes of the lender, and this is all.

      So a country can default, and this happens. But a country can't go bust, this is the big difference.

    147. Re:Defaulting is worse! by bsDaemon · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Well, first remember that National Socialism isn't Fascism. It's just similar. Italian Fascism was an attempt to regain the prestige of the Roman Empire combined with an odd form of Syndicalism which was influenced by the fact that Mussolini grew up in a Communist household, his father being an active party member. Mussolini's paper, Il Popolo, began as a Socialist paper that went more Syndicalist and finally, after WWI, became the nucleus for Fascist ideology.

      The Nazis are almost irrelevant to a discussion of Fascism in Italy. Mussolini was in charge of Parliament by 1922, while Hitler was in prison after the attempted rising in Munich. In Rome at least, possibly other cities in Italy as well and I just didn't notice, manhole covers and other public infrastructure items bare the SPQR (Senatus Populusque Romani) marking, which was re-introduced by Mussolini, iirc, as part of his bid to draw a link between himself and his movement and old Rome. Even the fasces themselves were the Roman symbol of authority, identifying the consuls at the time, being carried before them in procession by their retinue of lictors.

      Fascism isn't just a synonym for "really bad right-wing thing" which many, in some sort of post-Trotskiest mindset, want to believe. Hitler wasn't a fascist, neither was Francisco Franco. just saying.

    148. Re:Defaulting is worse! by mousse-man · · Score: 1

      Companies will also flee towards Switzerland as it's the only other semi tax haven in Europe, and since the Swiss did not outspend their tax receipts, they're in a financially pretty good shape and thus taxes will most likely stay low.

    149. Re:Defaulting is worse! by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      Inflation is a measure of what money can buy. All the money and all the things. You might care about the price of food, or fuel, but this mostly depends not on the value of money, but on production and demand. You probably don't care about the price of land or battleships, or whole corporations, but these things money buys also.

      The FED cares about the global supply of money, and what it can buy, not the price of consumer goods (thank goodness, that is what consumer protection agencies are for, not an institution devoted to macroeconomic adjustments!)

    150. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      There are two ways the USPS is tax supported. Congress makes up for budget shortfalls, which happen frequently. And the US is liable for USPS pensions.

      Both those are just the government guaranteeing the post office. The post office pays for itself on average. If the government loans it money one year, it will pay it back the next, with interest.

      It's not responsible for any of the debt.

      The deficit is due to one thing: spending more than revenue. The primary contributors to that are mandatory spending, which is more than half the budget.

      Jesus Christ, another one.

      Problem: Government spending is more than government income.

      How many entities are in the problem as stated? What is their relationship? How many of them could be changed, thus changing their relationship?

      Gee, we could reduce general spending...or, and here's a crazy idea, we could increase general revenue. Wow, I'm thinking outside the box today.

      And here's fun fact for you: most mandatory spending takes in more money than it spends. Medicare, and social security, as I mentioned, pull their own weight. They are a surplus.

      If you reduce them, you reduce their taxes, which would mean the fucking budget still wasn't balanced. In fact, it would be less balanced, as we'd end up paying interest on the money we borrowed from people, instead of borrowing from social security.

      The only way to reduce the deficit is to a) increase general revenue, or b) reduce things funded out of general revenue, because general revenue is the unbalanced part.

      I swear, I can't talk to people here anymore. We're SUPPOSED TO BE THE SMART PEOPLE.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    151. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      It also cannot exist for very long without external interference.

      I don't see this at all. For example, banks both had huge amounts of leverage pumped into them prior to the real estate crisis in 2007-2008 and were bailed out afterward. That's pretty bad breaking of the free market right there. And monopolies are weaker and fleeting. For example, Microsoft isn't taken seriously anymore as a monopoly in computer operating systems. Google is sometimes considered a monopoly except that Google has to continue to provide good service in order to keep its users and get paid for its advertising venues. Any slacking off and customers go to other search engines, email hosts, etc.

    152. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Arterion · · Score: 1

      If you're going to spend money you don't have, no matter what, it's better to do it interest free.

      --
      "That which does not kill us makes us stranger." -Trevor Goodchild
    153. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Technician · · Score: 1

      I see this GWB arguement quite a bit. I was given a tidbit of information on the GWB contribution. Congress not the president writes the budget. The congress was Democratic at the time GWB was president. Obama was in congress when GWB was president. Obama is now signing spending bills he introduced while in Congress..

      Do you still think GWB is the major player in the deficit? Look at Congress during the GWB presidency.

      "Many leading Democrats in Washington these days like to point to the fact that the federal budget was balanced for part of the time that President Bill Clinton was in office. What they do not mention is that those balanced budgets occurred only when Republicans controlled both houses of Congress."
      http://www.sodahead.com/united-states/no-democrat-controlled-congress-has-balanced-federal-budget-in-40-years-no-republican-president-has/blog-280121/

      --
      The truth shall set you free!
    154. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      Isn't minimum wage compensated for inflation?

    155. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      The median citizen holds negative currency, is granted purchasing power and becomes richer. Most of us are net debtors, just like the government.

    156. Re:Defaulting is worse! by hedwards · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Obama? Are you seriously suggesting that he's got anything to do with this? News flash, the problems were inherited by him, the Republican party ran up somewhere in the neighborhood of $10tn in debt.

      The fiscally responsible thing to do is to make the banking industry pay back in full what the government has had to pay out plus some. And not just the TARP money, all of the money that they lost on behalf of other people. Will it happen, in a word no, the Republican party is just way too opposed to any sort of meaningful reform that might hurt the wealthy.

      It's also important to note that we are coming out of the recession because of the stimulus not in spite of it, and that the folks at the bottom, you know the ones that actually create wealth, are still hard hit. The bills that folks tend to point to as fiscally irresponsible are probably the least of the problems. The biggest being the oversized DoD budget and tax cuts for the rich.

      The healthcare reform pushed the point of insolvency down the road by at least a decade alone, and the Republicans are the main champions of extending the tax cuts to the rich as well as delaying any sort of DoD cuts.

    157. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Holy shit, you think the current debt had nothing to do with Bush? What about lowing taxes, increasing spending, starting two wars, buffing defense spending for Cold War era technologies that don't help with the wars he started such as the joint strike fighter, creating several new government agencies including Homeland Security, ODNI, expanding the Department of Education, giving people $500 tax rebates just for the hell of it, etc, etc.

    158. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Is it "less stupid" to "borrow" money interest-free against that for other projects? I suppose, but its no less irresponsible, as you're not going to be able to get that capital back as its tied up elsewhere, and eventually you're going to have to pay up when the kid goes to college/the boomers retire.

      Granted, but that's not the point.

      The point is that people on the right keep presenting the problem as a problem with social security. Which is utter and complete nonsense.

      This whole situation is bullshit and so convoluted that I suspect many people with economics or accounting degrees might get confused from time to time. I'm sure I only barely understand it, and that's probably why this has gone on for so long -- people can't tell they're being fleeced.

      People's 'fleecing' is due conservatives constantly misinforming them about what's going on.

      Almost all social programs in this country, to get passed, compromise into paying for themselves...you're notice we have social security insurance, and medicare insurance, and unemployment insurance, etc.

      They are insurance. This means that people pay into them, and get money out of them, separate from the general revenue. They are not paid out of taxes. (Well, some of them are mandatory, so they are 'taxes' in a technical sense, but they aren't normal taxes.)

      Sometimes the separation is strict, like social security, sometimes it's somewhat fuzzy, like unemployment. But the rule is that the premiums have to average what is actually paid out, and they do get adjusted.

      Meanwhile, wars and stuff get paid for out of taxes, out of general revenue.

      The right has manged to twist this entirely backwards, and take the fact the general revenue has a constant shortfall of general spending, and hence borrows from those self-paid programs, which do not have shortfalls(1), that somehow those self-paid programs 'are facing disaster'.

      It is utter nonsense on the epic scale. 'This program is in trouble because we keep taking money from it to pay for our crap, so we should kill this program.'

      What. The. Fuck? Why do people let them get away with that? That's not only nonsense, it wouldn't even help anything unless the idea was that we'd get rid of unemployment insurance, but have people still pay the premiums for it, which seems rather surreal.

      1) At least not over time. Some have shortfalls from years to year, and Medicare, thanks to rising medical costs, has started burning through their reserve and would have hit it in 2019 without health care reform, and now will hopefully go to 2040. But that's what reserves are for.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    159. Re:Defaulting is worse! by hedwards · · Score: 1

      Indeed, which is why you see inflation at the tail end of a recession. The money has been there all a long, it's just not until it enters the economy from where ever it's been stashed that it can be measured. Doesn't matter whether it's stashed literally in a mattress or being stored in some sort of vault.

    160. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > If a "stimulus" would wake up the U.S. economy, then the U.S. deficit spending on the Iraq War should have done the trick.

      I agree with the general idea of your post, but this part doesn't quite work. Not all "stimulus" is equal. Wartime military spending is one of the least economically beneficial things; lots of that money is going towards fuel being burned and ammo being expended and hospital bills. It doesn't cycle through the economy as often or as evenly as other kinds of spending. A lot of the spending ends up being more of the Broken Window Fallacy type instead of being helpful; replacing destroyed stuff instead of adding to the total amount of stuff. The way the US wages war, it's even worse, because we also pay the cost of the stuff we're shooting at. Thus we bought a bomb to blow up a building that we then pay to rebuild.

      Infrastructure, tools, and things that go to the middle class are more effective stimulus. Infrastructure because you paid salaries AND got something highly useful out of it; tools because those can be used to make more things to sell; middle class stuff because they can spend it (on stuff, or put it towards paying off debt, both of which are great for the economy).

    161. Re:Defaulting is worse! by hedwards · · Score: 1

      The problem with them is that they never say what it is that they're going to cut if elected. Same goes for the Republicans in general. They say that they can do things more efficiently and cut government spending, but you never hear any sort of meaningful explanation of what's going to be cut and how they're going to find new savings.

      Not that the Democrats and Liberals in general are much better, but at least their plans for the economy are within the realm of reason.

    162. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      The Chinese accumulation of debt also made it absorb investment, ie. offshoring, making the US less independent. It's hardly a pure benefit to the US ... and it had to stop sooner or later, you can't just buy from them on credit indefinitely. Debts have to be paid off sooner or later ... isn't it better to pay it off with fiat money?

      It's not like the US doesn't still have a huge industrial output to pay for imports with, instead of debt. Even if the US starts running balanced trade it can manage perfectly well. Without the dangers and instability too much foreign debt causes (instability which Keynes predicted).

    163. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      That is the strangest assertion I've ever heard, and not true in any sense. The government borrows exactly as much as it needs to do its budget.

      Speaking of a "WOW" moment here, how do you think government decides how big the budget is going to be? Do you really think it is coincidence that Congress decides on budgets that happen to exceed revenue for decades?

      Here it is: It's the idea that the only solution is to cut those services.

      Instead of, I dunno, raising the amount of money they take in.

      Another "WOW" moment. I guess I didn't hint at the problems with Social Security and Medicare. The latter is growing faster (aside perhaps from a hiccup over this fiscal year) than GDP, not just inflation. That means we can't keep increasing taxes to keep up with it, because at some point it'll grow bigger than the economy which is funding it. As for Social Security, what does it do that we really need it for? As I see it, there are two groups, the handicapped and the elderly poor. Neither group is particularly large. Yet Social Security transfers several hundred billion from workers who need that money to raise families, educate themselves, etc to old people who don't need it as much.

      And as I pointed out earlier, I see plenty of evidence that Congress will budget more than revenue will cover, no matter how much revenue there is. So if we increase taxes to pay for the above programs, Congress will find new ways to spend that revenue.

      Finally, since the fundamental problems of cost growth in these programs aren't touched, we'll have to fix these programs again, either to increase taxes another time or cut benefits.

    164. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The only question is how you intend not to pay them.

      Well hiding is just way too easy. Lets get creative.
      Off the cuff I'd say scrub the air from the halls of politicians for methane and use that as feedstock for producing vast quantities of ammonium nitrate. Not only can you fertilize the ground to benefit agriculture, but by adding some diesel oil you get high-explosives with which to keep the repo men at bay.

      Another alternative is to abolish money completely and make all payments in salt. Desalinate ocean water with the power of the sun and dump it in their bays until they've had enough. The plus side is that it's renewable, since there's just one ocean.

      Or you could nationalize the patent trolls and send them on a mission to China. Just don't think you can do that with the RIAA goons. I hear they open fire at the very mention of that Spears' girl's name.

    165. Re:Defaulting is worse! by TheLink · · Score: 1

      You miss one very very important point in the US case. The "petro-dollar".

      Lots of countries hold billions (or more) of US dollars and use it to buy/sell stuff - like oil, electronics, grain, beef etc. Lots of countries lend money in US dollars, some even have lent trillions to the USA.

      Printing money is basically taxing everyone holding net positive amounts of your currency (whether in cash or as net creditors - like Japan, China).

      If the US Gov handed some of the created money to its own citizens then it's not so bad, because it means that the US Gov gets richer, the rest of the world holding US dollars get poorer, and the US citizens somewhere in between (depends on how much they get). And a lot of wealth is relative - so if the rest of the world is more screwed than the US citizens, the US citizens are more likely to be able to buy stuff from them rather cheaply (like bread and circuses, oh wait make that large TVs).

      The net debtors don't benefit that much - because it takes a while for most to realize "something has changed" and be able to charge higher prices, plus when inflation goes up, interest rates often go up too. The US on the other hand is able to create the currency it owes much of its debt in so go figure ;).

      It's not as complex as some financiers and economists like to pretend.

      But when you realize what's actually happening, it's pretty disgusting on many levels.

      --
    166. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Going default will be a short-lived remedy. The country will go back to 1990 in terms of market appeal and productivity. And yes, if the big tech companies leave, the hope of reacquiring a high-tech knowledge industry will go away as well.

      I don't think you understand. Corporations created this mess yet humans are the ones suffering. The Corporations can go, we do not need them to survive they need us. The Corporation was originally an structure that was supposed to serve the community not the other way round, lets let this lot go and have newer, better more fit for purpose ones. Altogether now "We want the finest creative destruction known to humanity and we want it now"*.

      *With apologies to Schumpeter and the script of Withnail and I

    167. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      It only matters that the debt goes up proportionately to the GDP.

      Too bad that that the ratio (for the US) is going up. Note the second graph has the highest levels since the end of the Second World War with current debt to GDP ratio barely beating out the early 90s (and shooting for the stars, slopewise). It's only matched by the decline in the 50s.

    168. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nah. Looking at the yearly deficit chart, I can't blame it all on the tech bubble bursting and 9/11. Chop a hundred billion a year off of that deficit for the Iraq war and another couple hundred billion a year for the tax cuts, and the remaining yearly deficits are (relatively) modest up until 2008.

      If you're willing to consider larger divergences from history, had we had a different president, the difference grows even more. You can subtract Afghanistan if the 9/11 attacks were prevented (possible, since we *know* that plans for it were intercepted and went all the way up to the Cabinet, where they weren't taken seriously enough). You can subtract pretty much the entire recent financial meltdown if sensible regulations were in place - more so the earlier they are put into place - or even if existing regulation was followed as well as it should have been. The Enron disaster might have been slightly less bad, also, though that was fairly early into the 2001-2004 term.

    169. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      "Keynes predicted". You know, I am not certain about all things his theories are credited with, but one thing is known for a fact: Keynesian shamanism was used to 'predict' that once the WWII was over the US would fall back into the 'Great Depression', because WWII was a huge spending spree by the gov't, which according to Keynes is precisely what's needed - spending, to counteract the reduced purchasing power of the people during a recession.

      However all this nonsense was proven to be completely false, because in reality what happened, was a huge boom exactly due to the gov't stopping the spending on the war effort, which allowed the private sector to regain the credit and the labor (returning soldiers) and to start producing consumer goods. Of-course the US was only able to have an enormous boom right then due to the fact that the rest of the world didn't provide any competition to the US producer, since the rest of the world was in ruin.

      As to the Chinese, you are correct, there is no way to continue borrowing from them AND buying from them, that's unsustainable, because then US only produces inflation, nothing else. It's clear from the 50Billion/month US trade deficit.

      As to how it is better to pay out the debt, well certainly the US gov't seems to think that inflation is what the doctor prescribed, precisely because US is the biggest debtor. Obviously in the process of printing, the US gov't is inflating the monetary supply, causing US dollar to fall and causing the eventual demise of it probably as well as the demise of the American life style, since the purchasing power of all the US dollar holders will be destroyed, and it's still mostly US Americans who live US dollar paycheck to paycheck.

      You seem to believe though that it is very easy to rebuild the production capacity that US has lost (evidence is the trade imbalance) once the dollar is destroyed, but where exactly is US going to get all of the tools and factories needed to rebuild its production capacity from, if the rest of the world stops supplying the US with all the cheap products?

      Well, of-course the US CAN do it, it's just it's unwilling even to try, and by prolonging this limbo it's ensuring that the restructuring will be so much more painful. I imagine that nobody in US really wants to see hyper-inflationary depression, the shortages of products, double digit interest rates, which will preclude anybody in US from getting any business related loans.

      All of this, of-course is coming, thanks to the gov't being such a heavy burden on the economy, rather than helping it by stepping away, as it did once in 1920 recession, when the US economy restructured itself completely without gov't intervention in about 1 year, and then US had what is known as the 'roaring twenties' (while the Fed was busy inflating the next equity bubble, everybody knows how that ended up.)

    170. Re:Defaulting is worse! by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      Yes. This is becoming urgent, as a public service...

    171. Re:Defaulting is worse! by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      Free market exists. Some guy get monopoly on force. Free market cease to exist. See? easy. Free markets can't exist on their own.

      Government are there to prevent that from happening. Democratic ones also add a modicum of public oversight.

    172. Re:Defaulting is worse! by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      Yes, and that is actually relevant. Of course, getting out of that situation without growing the economy is still impossible, but hey, at least you can have a meaningful discussion.

    173. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      US Government should be super pissed at these companies..

    174. Re:Defaulting is worse! by psymastr · · Score: 0, Troll

      Free market is a fair judge, treats all the same and the winners and losers are decided only by their merits, not by who they know.

      Distributing wealth according to "merit", which you probably define as intelligence, talent, education, luck and hard-working-ness, is only marginally preferrable to distributing according to nepotism and personal connections; there's little someone can do to influence either set of criteria.

      An equal distribution of wealth is far fairer; at the very least, no one should be abandoned in poverty while his fellow citizens spend extravagantly, even if this requires a state-defined limit to the wealth any one individual can amass.

      --
      Improve at backgammon rapidly through addictive quickfire position quizzes: www.bgtrain.com
    175. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      And here's fun fact for you: most mandatory spending takes in more money than it spends. Medicare, and social security, as I mentioned, pull their own weight. They are a surplus.

      Social Security isn't pulling its weight this year. Supposedly, Medicare will stay solvent till 2029, though the report notes this is based on assumptions that haven't been true in the past. Just getting rid of these two programs almost balances the 2009-2010 budget on its own. Roll over these taxes into the standard income tax. With a considerable cut from defense as well (it is bigger than these two entitlements taken separately), then the US is solvent.

    176. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Lord+Ender · · Score: 1

      I figure the USA will default in 5 years, 10 tops.

      You know, there is a reason nobody has entrusted the management of a large bond portfolio to you...

      --
      A slashdotter who didn't build his own computer is like a Jedi who didn't build his own lightsaber.
    177. Re:Defaulting is worse! by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      The free market also requires informed consumers, and corporations work very very hard to keep their consumers uninformed. So the government is anti-free market, and the sellers are anti-free market. When 100% of the supply is in the hands of those who do not want the free market, how do you propose some free market that's sustainable?

      In the history of the planet, there's never been one, but it keeps being pulled out as some utopia. Unfortunately, it is quite literally a utopia. I just suggest you figure out what that word meant to the person who coined it (hint: it didn't mean idyllic).

    178. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      Some guy get monopoly on force.

      So what's the "monopoly on force" for search engines or banks?

    179. Re:Defaulting is worse! by hackus · · Score: 1

      This isn't a party, republican or democratic issue.

      It is a one party issue. Both of which are owned by the bankers.

      Stop discussing differences that do not exist between parties as it is just propaganda to keep you unfocused about the massive wealth transfer that is going on.

      They both are massively corrupt and we need a revolution to settle this because the political system of change is no longer functional.

      Now, whether the revolution is peaceful you all have to ask yourself this question:

      Would you just step aside, if you had all of the power the Federal Reserve has in the good interest of democracy?

      You stand to gain billions in profits from scanning machines put everywhere to turn a society into a complete scientific police state? Would you just step aside in the good interest of freedom?

      What do you think?

      I think the banking class and the military industrial complex is not going to give up its power.

      It will have to be taken by force if we want to stop the ever growing number of children on food stamps, college kids highly trained and educated being told by these people "We can't find qualified people in the US"..."i.e. we can't pay slave wages..."

      I think the longer we wait to take it by force, the harder it is going to be.

      Already they are drawing up planes to deploy our own military against us.

      -Hack

      --
      Got Geometrodynamics? Awe, too hard to figure out? Too bad.
    180. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are super naive if you think the presidents have any thing to do with this.. >:-D

    181. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      No it's not. Once every many years the Federal government sets some minimum wage that is decided by negotiation in Congress. Inflation is a factor, but then years of inflation pass. The inflation adjusted minimum wage history shows how it gets lifted periodically to some middle-low value, then decays from there.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    182. Re:Defaulting is worse! by TheLink · · Score: 1

      Did the rest of the world ever buy most of their oil/grain/Intel CPUs/beef in Zimbabwe dollars?
      Did the rest of the world ever lend Zimbabwe lots of money payable in _Zimbabwe_dollars_?
      Does the rest of the world live in Robert Mugabe's Zimbabwe?

      The rest of the world lives at least partly in the US Gov's Zimbabwe.

      The US will lose its advantage if the rest of the world starts moving away from the US dollars. But until then, it's not the same.

      --
    183. Re:Defaulting is worse! by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Capitalism is socialism as well. "from each according to ability, to each according to need" where the ability is inversely related to income and need is proportional to wealth. Sure it sounds backwards, but everything is socialism if you try hard enough. Dictatorships are not capitalism (which would be the obvious end of a "free market" system, where those with the money buy power and enforce purchasing of their products until they have all economic and political power) but instead is socialism where everything is owned by the state (nevermind that the state is a single guy that if he wasn't the official head of state he could put his brother in power and keep the ownership to himself and it would become capitalism in 10 seconds).

      In the real world, all the government and economic types are intermingled and closer than zealots for any single one would like to admit.

    184. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 2, Insightful

      During the Clinton years, the U.S. was actually repaying its debts.

      - biggest lie.

      Clinton didn't 'repay' any debts, he REFINANCED them.

      There is a difference.

    185. Re:Defaulting is worse! by sqrt(2) · · Score: 1

      That's not a woe of the free market--from the people advocating for the free markets POV--, it's a desirable outcome for business that needs desperate workers that can be exploited to provide cheap labor.

      --
      If you build it, nerds will come. Soylentnews.org
    186. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      No, an investment is the spending of money with the expectation of growth in returns by the time the investment is liquidated.

      And as I said, which you just recognized, the SS payouts do not come from the current pay ins. They come from the interest on the bonds bought with the old pay ins.

      The US doesn't "buy bonds from itself". One agency buys bonds from another agency. The seller of the bonds has other means of income than the money from the seller. In fact actual greater returns are always given in cash to the people who invested with their SS withholding. This is an undeniable fact, just as if the bonds were bought from someone at "arm's length" (there is no such thing in the economy anyway, as the government regulates, taxes, and spends on every financial entity).

      During Bush Jr's terms, you were going around saying the US Federal debt could be ignored "because we owe it to ourselves". You and the rest of Glenn Beck's economics university have to stop just making stuff up because it's scary when you're not in charge, and other stuff because it's calming when you are in charge.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    187. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Funny-fun fact: the only time the US debt was paid off was under Jackson.

    188. Re:Defaulting is worse! by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      Not really, because the prices are going up by more than the fed is saying the inflation rate is. Being down here in the trenches surrounded by those "working poor" I mentioned I can tell you it is bad with a capital B. Those without a college education (which is the majority of Americans BTW) are either being kept afloat with government dollars or are going under. I have friends in construction and they have watched their wages go down by a good 40% in places, in part because hiring illegals means the foremen don't have to pay for things like safety on the job, and in part because there are simply so many out of work.

      When you add into this more and more skilled jobs are being offshored or replaced by H1-Bs, the fact that we've lost 21 THOUSAND factories, not jobs folks, factories, just since 2001, and anyone with eyes can see that the debt is simply unsustainable. Because the only thing keeping those masses of working poor from being a rioting mob is government dollars which simply can't be printed forever.

      That is why I figure 5, 10 years tops on the USA defaulting. You simply can't pile more taxes on the working poor, as they just don't have it. About 20% of those in my apt building last year are living in their cars this year, and this ain't an expensive building. I know good women that have had to turn to prostitution just to keep a roof over their heads. Yes folks it is THAT bad here in the flyover states. So the only real choices are to raise taxes to the pre 1960s 90% level on the top 2%, which as we know will NEVER happen thanks to bribery, or to default. You can only print money for so long before you end up like Zimbabwe and have to carry wheelbarrows full of it to buy a loaf of bread.

      And of course NO politician is gonna make those kinds of hard decisions anymore, because they can just take the bribes and book the hell out of dodge when the excrement hits the bladed cooling device, so you have what we have now: A complete sham of an economy where those in power can gamble on Wall Street like it is Las Vegas and NEVER lose thanks to bailouts, where the ultra rich mega corps can buy all the tax dodges their lobbyists can come up with, and the huge and ever growing masses of working poor slowly but surely sink as even government handouts simply can't keep up with the amount they are losing. YOU try keeping a family with 2 to 3 kids afloat on $300-$500 a week, because that is what the average working poor is getting around here IF they can even find a job. Many I know have been out of work for a year or more. It simply isn't sustainable, and anyone with eyes can see that.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    189. Re:Defaulting is worse! by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      She was put on close enough to the election to hope that she'd bring in the horny men and fence-sitting women. She was put on the ballot to win. That they didn't realize that would backfire because she is insane didn't cross their minds. She was the most attractive woman to hold the office of governor or higher that would accept the nomination, so she got it. That was all.

    190. Re:Defaulting is worse! by iserlohn · · Score: 1

      Another free-market apologist. Efficient markets have two main requirements that is never met in the real world - perfect information and equal market power of participants. This, coupled with the fact that humans do not act rationally in the economic sense is the main cause of boom and bust and illogicality in the reward or economic activities.

    191. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Its the Chicago Italians they should beware of now..

    192. Re:Defaulting is worse! by deapbluesea · · Score: 1

      Desk clerks, supply sergeants, etc, can all retire after never having seen action. Of course, there is a chance they could be made to if the situation were dire enough.

      While I agree with much of what you've said, I'm going to bet you've either never served, or did your enlistment and got out. Here's the real deal. In 12 years of service, I've moved 9 times. I've been sent to Iraq twice. Both times I've left my family behind for an extended period. In about a year and half, I'll be leaving my wife and children for a full year. I routinely work 70 hour weeks, and I'm on duty 24/7. I have been called in at all hours of the night, weekends, and holidays more than I can count. I have been shot at, and I'm not in a job that requires me to go near combat. I have been given anthrax vaccines, smallpox, and a few others I can't remember against my will.

      Now, if you can find a teacher or civil servant who has has similar sacrifices in 12 years, I'd like to shake their hand.

      None of this is to say that I think the retirement being offered to me is fair or reasonable. I think military retirement is too high. It should probably mirror social security or simply involve a 401k with matching dollars like many employers do.

      --
      Government is not reason; it is not eloquent; it is force. Like fire, it is a dangerous servant and a fearful master.
    193. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      Maybe I should have mentioned this spike in public debt per GDP from the start.

      As to growing the economy, it's worth noting that both items I mention, Social Security and Medicare, reduce economic growth. Social Security transfers wealth from people who work (and who had considerable value through raising families, getting educated, etc) to people who work a lot less. I gather most Medicare expenses are incurred by people who are near the end of their lives. While there are good reasons to consider continuing these programs in some form, perhaps a strictly needs-based one, it remains that a large portion of the spending of the US government doesn't contribute to economic growth.

    194. Re:Defaulting is worse! by hitmark · · Score: 1

      i am aware, but allying with the nazis may have forever colored whatever good fascism could provide. Rarely is an idea disconnected from the actions taken in its "name".

      --
      comment first, facts later. http://chem.tufts.edu/AnswersInScience/RelativityofWrong.htm
    195. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then figure in the retiring boomers...

      Yeah, who will be taking their SS money and dumping it back into the economy. Sure it will stress the SS program but that money isn't evaporating into thin air. It will be re-entering the system.

      The money won't evaporate, but injecting this money into the economy without some compensating form of material wealth creation will lead to even more inflation. There won't be default, but the results won't be pretty.

    196. Re:Defaulting is worse! by hitmark · · Score: 1

      Taking over, or getting into bed with? And i don't think there have ever been a drive for corporations to "take over" government, its to good a scapegoat for that.

      --
      comment first, facts later. http://chem.tufts.edu/AnswersInScience/RelativityofWrong.htm
    197. Re:Defaulting is worse! by hitmark · · Score: 1

      Indeed. if one take a step back, mass production combined with advertising takes on the appearance of a (partially, when cartels are not allowed to form) planned economy.

      --
      comment first, facts later. http://chem.tufts.edu/AnswersInScience/RelativityofWrong.htm
    198. Re:Defaulting is worse! by iserlohn · · Score: 1

      On the pain of repeating myself - efficient markets have two main requirements that is never met in the real world - perfect information and equal market power of participants. This, coupled with the fact that humans do not act rationally in the economic sense is the main cause of boom and bust and illogicality in the reward or economic activities.

      It is a fundamental problem with the application of free-market theory that the Austrian school loves to callously disregard. I'm not arguing with having markets - in fact they are probably at this point in time, the best way to allocate resources, but it must be ensured that markets operate efficiently (by regulation that is minimally intrusive). By the time the transformation of the industrialized economies into financial economies is complete, most of the economy will survive on rent-seeking activities, and these economies will implode on itself.

    199. Re:Defaulting is worse! by The+Mighty+Buzzard · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yeah, undoubtedly the worst definition of fascism I've ever seen.

      --
      Violence is like duct tape. If it doesn't solve the problem, you didn't use enough.
    200. Re:Defaulting is worse! by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      The latter is growing faster (aside perhaps from a hiccup over this fiscal year) than GDP, not just inflation. That means we can't keep increasing taxes to keep up with it, because at some point it'll grow bigger than the economy which is funding it.

      That's impossible. Because every dollar spent from it will count to the GDP. So even if it grows infinitely, it can never *exceed* the GDP, even if it's the only program left. At some point it could greatly dominate the GDP, but to have expenses in an industry exceed the GDP for the country is impossible when those expenses are counted in the GDP.

      That you'd say what you said indicates you don't understand economics or government at even a basic level. But then, I've always thought that's a requirement for being a conservative.

    201. Re:Defaulting is worse! by EllisDees · · Score: 1

      Hmm. Here's a graph of inflation for all items (including food and fuel) for the past 10 years:

      http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?chart_type=line&s[1][id]=CPIAUCNS&s[1][range]=10yrs

      While there was a little bump in 2008, the trend line has been steady.

      Here's the same graph without food and fuel:

      http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?chart_type=line=s[1][id]=CPILFENS&s[1][range]=10yrs

      That one actually looks like the slope has decreased. So why don't you get your head out of Glen Beck's butt and look at some real data?

      --
      -- Give me ambiguity or give me something else!
    202. Re:Defaulting is worse! by sunspot42 · · Score: 1

      So what part of that list of woes is due to "free markets"?

      What part? Deregulated "too big to fail" banks gambling literally trillions on debt backed by obviously worthless assets, losing it all, then turning to productive taxpayers and industries for a massive bailout.

      But hey, the CEO's made off with billions - who cares if the rest of the economy is a smoldering wreck as a result. Bozillo at Countrywide cashed in to the tune of over $500 million in a single year. Now it turns out many of those mortgages Countrywide originated don't even have legitimate paperwork behind them - Countrywide was too cheap to pay employees to do it properly. B of A bought Countrywide, and the lack of legitimate documentation could mean that billions of dollars worth of mortgages they were counting on for income and as assets don't actually exist. It could easily destroy the company, assuming taxpayers aren't forced to hack up another $100 billion bailout hairball.

      The funny thing is that developed countries with properly regulated banking systems are able to afford extensive social programs, retirement pensions and their military obligations. Germany seems in little danger of defaulting on their loans - in fact they're running around bailing everybody else out. The US once had similar systems, and curiously went about 70 years between economic meltdowns. Why, it's almost like there's a correlation between strict regulation and financial stability and growth . . .

      When you convert your financial services sector from an engine to fund industry and progress into a crooked casino controlled by a few well-connected thieves and greedy idiots, it doesn't take long before it wrecks your entire economy, regardless of how large that economy is. We saw this play out before, in the last Great Depression.

    203. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When you "bail out" a car company, a lot of people's jobs are saved and a lot of products get manufactured.

      If a car company defaults, there are others that will move in to capture the market share. The bigger the ca company that defaults, the longer it will take. But it WILL happen.

      Not sure how it would work out for banks.

    204. Re:Defaulting is worse! by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Corporations have taken over many a government (mostly in the 3rd world).

      That is a seperate issue from Fascism.

      Fascism has always been both a flavor of socialism and an insult used by leftists to describe anything they don't like.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    205. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To be perfectly honest, the only reason we're in such a shithole economy is because people like you believed that you could have social programs without paying for social programs. All of the crap like Medicare/Medicaid, food stamps, and public education are not free. They cost money. We all have to foot the bill for that.

      In a free market the people who could afford those items would be the only ones to receive them, which is how the world should work. The system of socialism is failing precisely because money doesn't grow on trees.

    206. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      That's impossible. Because every dollar spent from it will count to the GDP.

      Well, sure, it's impossible that Medicare will keep growing faster than GDP. Something will break somewhere. The eventually outcome is that benefits will be cut as expected.

      That you'd say what you said indicates you don't understand economics or government at even a basic level. But then, I've always thought that's a requirement for being a conservative.

      Well maybe I'll be able to talk some sense into you and you too won't "understand" economics or government at "even a basic level", but you will stop making rookie mistakes.

      The bottom line is that there's no limits aside from ourselves and the size of the tax revenue stream to control how much government spends and borrows. Increasing tax revenue without concrete reductions in spending just means that government spends more. We have centuries of data on dozens of democratic governments.

    207. Re:Defaulting is worse! by dbcad7 · · Score: 1

      I agree... and we recently had a similar race here in Nevada with Sharon Angle (although she is far from attractive) .. The polls all favored her, but I'm thinking.. this lady is nuts, no way she gets elected.. Yes people wanted change, but she was so wacked out that people decided they didn't want change THAT BAD.. Myself, I vote for people.. Dem, Rep. whatever.. if your obviously insane I'll pick someone else.. I seem to vote for more Dems because the Republicans have such a hard time coming up with decent candidates.. If they could come up with well spoken, intelligent candidates who don't spend their whole campaign trying to lie about their opponent and spend some time telling me what they have done or what they would do.. well I'd vote for em.. crazy and hateful just doesn't work for me.

      --
      waiting for ad.doubleclick.net
    208. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It just needs to inflate itself out of debt.

      http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/3/3e/Zimbabwe_%24100_trillion_2009_Obverse.jpg

      LOL - Zimbabwe, which got indebted in US dollars and Euros (i.e. currencies Zimbabwe cannot print (legally)), ruled by a madman dictator, is the only recent historic example you can cite? Is there no developed nation in your list, really? Wow!

      The fact is that inflating out of debt is a hugely successful approach, as long as the country is indebted in its own currency - like the US is today. The UK did it in the early 90s, successfully. Sweden did it successfully, Korea did it successfully, etc. etc. - there's many big and small examples of that approach.

      Here's Krugman's take on the right-wing hyperinflation fetish Zimbabwe.

    209. Re:Defaulting is worse! by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Ever hire one of the 'desperate poor'?

      Generally speaking they are terrible workers.

      You have to hire and fire a dozen before you find one who can get to work on time and sober.

      The problem with minimum wage is what if someones work just isn't worth that much. They are permanently unemployed or just employed long enough for their employers to find out how useless they are.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    210. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      Efficient markets have two main requirements that is never met in the real world - perfect information and equal market power of participants

      Those are two different concepts. A free market can be an efficient market, but that's not a requirement.

    211. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, who will be taking their SS money and dumping it back into the economy. Sure it will stress the SS program but that money isn't evaporating into thin air. It will be re-entering the system.

      No argument there. The money that was spent on those two conflicts alone could have done much more good here in the US.

      While there were funds that were supposed to go directly to Iraq and went missing, the bulk of the war money goes right back into U.S. hands just like you claim SS money would. So what's the difference between the war and SS?

      The problem has always been overspending or asymmetric spending. The money to pay for SS comes mostly from current workers, but it has (almost always, iirc) ran a positive balance since its creation. That means it is financially stable with respect to the availability of taxes on current workers. Investing 12% of your income for 40 years is going to provide 40% of your yearly income for 12 years. Given an average lifespan in the 70s, retiring at 65 basically leaves SS in the black when you throw the health care benefits in. The retirement of the baby boomer generation will cause an asymmetry of negative cash flow that the working generations will have to maintain with a higher tax rate. Once the boomers are gone and assuming the population growth remains steady, SS taxes and payouts will start to look a lot more realistic.

      Military spending in Iraq and Afghanistan is basically outside of the U.S.'s ability to raise taxes and so incurs debt. The money flows back through soldiers and contractors and factory workers into (mostly) the U.S. economy, but it has an inflating effect because it was originally raised through debt creation. When the wars are over and spending is reduced, there will be a following deflationary period as the incurred debts are repaid.

    212. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Christianity seems to be able to do it.

    213. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Just getting rid of these two programs almost balances the 2009-2010 budget on its own.

      Yes, if you steal hundreds of billions of dollars that people paid into social security and medicare and put that in the general budget, the US is in better shape financially.

      Roll over these taxes into the standard income tax.

      And then, later, you can cut those programs without anyone noticing, without reducing the tax. It's a magical tax increase. Wheee!

      Or we could just raise general revenue taxes to cover the shortfall in general revenue, instead of fucking around with a secret tax increase and blowing up social security.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    214. Re:Defaulting is worse! by u38cg · · Score: 1

      If you want to be taken seriously hen discussing economics, displaying some knowledge of the fundamentals of the processes you are talking about might be a start. Here is your first clue: quantitative easing does not involve physically printing any money.

      --
      [FUCK BETA]
    215. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      So what part of that list of woes is due to "free markets"?

      What part? Deregulated "too big to fail" banks gambling literally trillions on debt backed by obviously worthless assets, losing it all, then turning to productive taxpayers and industries for a massive bailout.

      Definitely not that part. Those trillions of dollars of bad debt were created by loose fed policy and special treatment of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Then the bailout most certainly was not free market.

      But hey, the CEO's made off with billions - who cares if the rest of the economy is a smoldering wreck as a result. Bozillo at Countrywide cashed in to the tune of over $500 million in a single year. Now it turns out many of those mortgages Countrywide originated don't even have legitimate paperwork behind them - Countrywide was too cheap to pay employees to do it properly. B of A bought Countrywide, and the lack of legitimate documentation could mean that billions of dollars worth of mortgages they were counting on for income and as assets don't actually exist. It could easily destroy the company, assuming taxpayers aren't forced to hack up another $100 billion bailout hairball.

      This is what bankruptcy court is for.

      The funny thing is that developed countries with properly regulated banking systems are able to afford extensive social programs, retirement pensions and their military obligations. Germany seems in little danger of defaulting on their loans - in fact they're running around bailing everybody else out. The US once had similar systems, and curiously went about 70 years between economic meltdowns. Why, it's almost like there's a correlation between strict regulation and financial stability and growth . . .

      Germany got hit as well. I don't consider their position all that stable especially with the string of EU countries that are tipping over.

      The US has had several meltdowns in the 80 years since the stock market crash of 1929. As I recall, there was similar bubble/burst activity in 1958 (which allegedly suffered from overbuilding following the Second World War), a mild recession in 1969-70, a serious one in 1973-1974, and a Savings and Loan mess in the late 80s through early 90s.

    216. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      What you fail to understand that fiat money is NOT the problem for a country such as US, it prints all the money it wants.

      The problem IS the productive capacity, so dissing the producers (those companies you want to tax) will force those companies to find different markets, not to return to US.

      On the other hand the US will have to find the supply of all those goods that those companies are producing. Supply is the wealth, not cash. Do you know how I know? Look at all that junk people are fighting to buy these days from all those evil corporations that are supplying them with this junk.

      What you fail to understand is that the wealth is in production, not in cash. Cash is the trivial part of economy (at least for a Keynesian oriented gov't), it's the supply that's the problem.

      However of-course for this economy the jobs are the problem, as they are disappearing and people are living their lives on borrowed time and money, again, all this courtesy Keynesian gov't, printing money, borrowing by selling bonds, trying to push the interest rates down but eventually failing on the long term interest.

      You think for some reason that the producers have to produce and supply you with goods and ALSO they have to supply you with the cash to buy those goods. Let's see how much longer this theory will hold.

    217. Re:Defaulting is worse! by felix+rayman · · Score: 2, Funny

      I'll do you a favour and take yours off your hands then. Let me know where to pick them up.

    218. Re:Defaulting is worse! by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      As suggested by an economist I know: how will we default on bonds and other securities that we issue? We simply declare them void. Granted, that creates an ugly situation, but it's an option.

      There are two ways to "default" on the loans. Inform the holders of them that we will not be paying them back, or pay them all back with printed money. Both have major drawbacks. They have both been done more than once before, but never by a currency so large and ubiquitous that it either currently is or recently was the currency of default for international trade. So the results might not scale up from others to know what the effects would be, but we'd have an idea.

    219. Re:Defaulting is worse! by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      You are an idiot.

      You can't even believe your own BS.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    220. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Another "WOW" moment. I guess I didn't hint at the problems with Social Security and Medicare. The latter is growing faster (aside perhaps from a hiccup over this fiscal year) than GDP, not just inflation.

      Medical costs are growing faster than the GDP. It has nothing to do with Medicare.

      Yes, if medical cost continue to increase, Medicare can't cover medical stuff...but neither can any other medical spending, at which point we all die of smallpox or something.

      Or, alternately, your model is stupid.

      That means we can't keep increasing taxes to keep up with it, because at some point it'll grow bigger than the economy which is funding it.

      It's like the way I can fire a gun downward, which accelerates at faster than gravity, which eventually means it will go faster than the speed of light.

      Or alternately that was just a bunch of random stuff strung together with no concept of what it means.

      Things cannot cost more than the economy that's funding them for two reasons. One, as AK Marc pointed out, it's part of the economy, so cannot be 'larger' than it unless it's a TARDIS or something.

      Two, even if it wasn't part of the economy, no one would actually be able to afford it. When normal people can't afford things, they can do them anyway by borrowing. When governments can't afford things, they can do the same.

      But when economies can't afford things, they actually can't afford them. Economies cannot borrow money or resources from...outside the economy. Likewise, they can't pay people outside the economy to do things. There is no outside! Economies cannot do things they 'cannot afford'! If they can do it, they can 'afford' it.

      If we actually reached the point where treating a cold cost as much, resource-wise, as going to the moon would, we could not keep treating colds and be in debt, just like we couldn't physically go to the moon a billion times. It doesn't matter how much we borrow, there is not enough production and resources that actually exist in the actual existing world.

      As for Social Security, what does it do that we really need it for? As I see it, there are two groups, the handicapped and the elderly poor. Neither group is particularly large. Yet Social Security transfers several hundred billion from workers who need that money to raise families, educate themselves, etc to old people who don't need it as much.

      What the hell are you yammering about? Why, exactly, do old people not need social security?

      But thanks for being open about the fact you want to get rid of social security, it make my point that social security has nothing to do with the deficit, but is instead being attacked by conservatives who don't like it on principle, not because of financial reasons, much much much more clear.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    221. Re:Defaulting is worse! by mabhatter654 · · Score: 1

      whoooosh!

      seriously, the point is that Social Security was SUPPOSED to be it's own trust fund the government set aside. It takes in 15% of your pre-tax pay right off the top. REALLY think about how much money that is...

      The "college fund" analogy fits perfectly, parents would think themselves clever by setting aside money from their paychecks every week.. that's a good, responsible plan. Except if they use the money for a home project (maybe the deck was unsafe, whatever, it doesn't really matter) then it's not just the SAVINGS taken out, it's the INTEREST on the savings they just lost. 7 years later that $10k you used for repairs WOULD have been $20k you don't have NOW to pay for school.

      So the original point stands. Sure you might have more wages now, but that means you need more CASH money right now to pay for the college and that causes a financial "crisis" that you didn't "plan" to have, but you didn't stick to the original plan to keep the money separate in the first place.

      This is exactly what's happening with Social Security now the government was supposed to be setting some money aside for these benefits they knew were coming, but now they have to pay them all out of current taxes, and it's not enough without being crushing debt on the kids.

    222. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The tech industries do not employ a significant portion of Ireland's people. They merely live off the economy and get tax breaks for their skilled workers and facilities. I wouldn't say they are helping the country.

    223. Re:Defaulting is worse! by deapbluesea · · Score: 1

      Instead of, I dunno, raising the amount of money they take in. The political right cannot even conceive of raising revenue in any form or fashion.

      Let's look at what happens when taxes are raised and lowered, then we can analyze why the political right doesn't want to consider increases in taxes.

      From the Heritage Foundation, excerpted from , Daniel J. Mitchell's, Backgrounder, The Historical Lessons of Lower Tax Rates, published July 19, 1996.

      Tax rates were slashed dramatically during the 1920s, dropping from over 70 percent to less than 25 percent. What happened? Personal income tax revenues increased substantially during the 1920s, despite the reduction in rates. Revenues rose from $719 million in 1921 to $1164 million in 1928, an increase of more than 61 percent.

      President Hoover dramatically increased tax rates in the 1930s and President Roosevelt compounded the damage by pushing marginal tax rates to more than 90 percent. Recognizing that high tax rates were hindering the economy, President Kennedy proposed across-the-board tax rate reductions that reduced the top tax rate from more than 90 percent down to 70 percent. What happened? Tax revenues climbed from $94 billion in 1961 to $153 billion in 1968, an increase of 62 percent (33 percent after adjusting for inflation).

      President Reagan proposed sweeping tax rate reductions during the 1980s. What happened? Total tax revenues climbed by 99.4 percent during the 1980s, and the results are even more impressive when looking at what happened to personal income tax revenues. Once the economy received an unambiguous tax cut in January 1983, income tax revenues climbed dramatically, increasing by more than 54 percent by 1989 (28 percent after adjusting for inflation).

      Each of these examples give a good idea of the result of lower taxes - increased revenue for the federal government. According to the WSJ , the opposite can be seen when raising taxes - that is, less revenue:

      Historians and economists who've studied the 1930s conclude that the tax increases passed during that decade derailed the recovery and slowed the decline in unemployment. That was true of the 1935 tax on corporate earnings and of the 1937 introduction of the payroll tax. Japan did the same destructive thing by raising its value-added tax rate in 1997.

      Perhaps, some states have tried this (being the incubators of democracy and all):

      "One year [after raising income taxes 6.25% on the highest bracket], nobody's grinning. One-third of the millionaires have disappeared from Maryland tax rolls. In 2008 roughly 3,000 million-dollar income tax returns were filed by the end of April. This year there were 2,000, which the state comptroller's office concedes is a "substantial decline." On those missing returns, the government collects 6.25% of nothing. Instead of the state coffers gaining the extra $106 million the politicians predicted, millionaires paid $100 million less in taxes than they did last year -- even at higher rates." Quoted from Millionaires Go Missing

      While you might reach different conclusions, it appears that those on the right have a lot of data to back up their claims. In fact, one could say that it is a rational response to the data. They are drawing a conclusion based on evidence. I haven't seen any evidence for your assertions yet.....

      --
      Government is not reason; it is not eloquent; it is force. Like fire, it is a dangerous servant and a fearful master.
    224. Re:Defaulting is worse! by mabhatter654 · · Score: 1

      except the REASON Social Security and Medicare don't have the money is that when tax revenues were higher than the amount needed for the services, the government pocketed the money instead of setting it aside. Now we NEED 20 years worth of that pocketed money. With compound interest, that is multiple years of FULL funding that we don't have NOW. In short, the people retiring now spent their money on "below cost" taxes for decades, there's not enough cash generation as the current boomers have a) been let go from employment way too soon (call it the free market) and b) there are not enough kids of boomers to pay enough taxes to cover the difference to pay "cash" for the benefits if they wanted to.

      There might be a saving element if we could get all the illegal immigrants on the tax roles, that would balance the boomers that didn't have enough kids to support them. Once they can openly apply for benefits, their employers can be sued (and jailed) for back employment taxes evasion, that should net some big money, and Republicans love taking money from "lawbreakers" and funding jails!

    225. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      The US CAN'T default on it's debt.

      - sure it will. It will monetize the debt, it's the same thing only worse, because the currency itself will be destroyed.

      USD will become irrelevant, if you don't think so then see how last week the Chinese and the Russians have signed an agreement to trade between their countries in Chinese and Russian currencies, skipping the USD altogether.

      So then, there must be rampant inflation then correct? According to economic indicators our currency has been strengthening recently, and inflation has been low to non-existent.

      - the 'economic indicators' are cooked. If you talk about CPI, then you should really pay attention more to what retailers are showing, for example Wall Mart just indicated that it sees inflation at 4%, not the official 1.8 or whatever. That's just one company but it's a big retailer, they know their own prices better than the gov't.

      Besides, what 'strengthening' are you talking about? 15 years ago Canadian dollar was about 60-65 US cents. Today it's 1:1. In all currencies the USD has lost 30% of value in 10 years. In commodities it lost hundreds of percent of value. The CPI is cooked, just like the GDP, which counts into itself various inflated military figures, gov't spending, borrowing, 'repayment' of the stimulus, etc. It's all cooked.

      In fact it has been too low which has worried some that we would enter a deflationary period.

      - Recession MUST cause deflation, which is contraction of monetary supply, which in turn should push the prices down for goods as well as for labor, it should cause layoffs and it should free capital and it should allow the capital to be reallocated as well as labor, so it can be restructured and allocated by the private sector to start new forms of production.

      What is wrong with all these people who are scared of deflation? Deflation, has it ever actually happened to you? Has it ever hurt you? Did you see prices falling? Well prices need to fall. Labor costs need to fall. But of-course the problem is not deflation for consumers, the problem is gov't debt. How are THEY going to repay their debt, right? Another problem is all the toxic mortgages still held by the bailed out banks and by gov't. If prices fall (as they should) the houses should become affordable at the current cost of the downpayment! You should be able to buy a house with what you pay downpayment today with.

      Sure, gov't is scared of that, it'll show that the banks are insolvent, it would push the interest rates up immediately and gov't will have to deal with its debt now instead of waiting and prolonging this into some future, which judging by QE2 numbers and comparing that to the gov't borrowing projected before June 2011 is not that far away.

      Deflation is good, it allows restructuring. That's what healed the US economy in 1920, when the recession went away in 1 year, after gov't reduced its spending by 70%.

      Yeah, who will be taking their SS money and dumping it back into the economy. Sure it will stress the SS program but that money isn't evaporating into thin air. It will be re-entering the system.

      - SS is bankrupt. It's insolvent right now, it's cash negative, it is ALL BONDS, which means you actually have to be able to SELL those bonds to get some money, and once you sell them, that's DEBT. SS is insolvent right now, it needs to be abolished and those people who cannot afford to live without it (*not everybody who gets it today) must re-qualify for welfare, because that's what SS is, since the actual money is spend and you can't spend the same 1 dollar twice. The voters already got something for that spent dollar, don't make the future generations pay for the mistakes of the past, they just won't do it and they'll be right not to. They'll leave.

      Mainly because we don't have a real education system in place for people to gain new skill sets. There's a reason

    226. Re:Defaulting is worse! by mjwalshe · · Score: 1

      well the grads from trinity will do what Irishmen have done for generations emigrate.

    227. Re:Defaulting is worse! by mabhatter654 · · Score: 1

      exactly, first you have to ask why are all these people SELLING gold for dollars if it's so important, unless they are getting the gold from other countries because of the currency difference. Second, it's not like they send you the physical gold. They keep it in their big safe (and probably sell it multiple times anyway) so when it's all hell in a handbasket YOUR life savings will be "owned" by somebody else anyway.

      Actually paper money is useful for a lot of reasons. England in the middle ages was so gold poor even a small amount of gold was worth far more than what it paid for, to the point that most regular folks bartered because "regular" folk simply weren't allowed to even HAVE precious metals. You'd work all year to get one piece of gold so you could pay your taxes with it, cause the king really didn't need another dozen chickens or turnips.

    228. Re:Defaulting is worse! by NoOneInParticular · · Score: 1

      Wow, brilliant reasoning. So everytime the government is involved, it's socialism? Feudalism, monarchies, tyrannies, right-wing dictatorships like Pinochet's, all a form of socialism? You're painting with a very broad brush here.

    229. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Huh?

      No, I know all that. The wealth of a nation is its production base.

      What you have failed to understand is that we have a nation of 300 million people who buy stuff.

      If they want to sell to us, they have to play by our rules, like paying taxes on imports. Which should make production in other countries more costly than just producing the things here.(1)

      Or they can just not sell to the biggest first world market in the world. Their choice. I'm sure other companies will pick up the slack.

      1) Of course, other countries would logically start doing the same thing, so in the end, it would even out, except it would even out with a distribution roughly the same as where companies sell the products, not tax havens.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    230. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Darkman,+Walkin+Dude · · Score: 1

      How did this get modded up. Intel has a lot of R&D jobs in Ireland, as do the pharmas; Viagra was invented in Cork. Chuckle up your sleeve at that one if you like, but its one hell of a money spinner. Not to mention much of that high tech industry is in Shannon, with its very own international airport. As for the incubators, most of the investment in the country was going into property, so that's that.

      Hope the WDA didn't pay you too much.

    231. Re:Defaulting is worse! by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      If a "stimulus" would wake up the U.S. economy, then the U.S. deficit spending on the Iraq War should have done the trick.

      I don't get that. Deficit spending to stimulate the economy doesn't work when the money spend is spent outside the country. The "right" way to do it is to find things that will be around 100 years from now and take semi-skilled work (not completely unskilled, and not something that takes years of training). I'd have sunk as much as I could into FTTH and other things like that. Building railroad lines capable of high-speed rail, roads, fiber rollout, and other things that make physical things that are useful and will remain in the US with little to no payments outside the US are what cause a stimulus from deficit spending. Buying finished products made elsewhere and importing them (many energy projects) or just sending the money out of the country will not work. Spending the money on a few skilled areas won't work (the people collecting the money are the ones that don't need it, and it will just drive up wages for a select few without access to jobs for everyone). Spending it on wages won't do it. That's a temporary boost that dies the moment the funding does. Roads, buildings, dams, and things like were done under the WPA increased real value so that once the wages were stopped, we still had value that is still paying off today.

    232. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This keeps getting repeated and it keeps being wrong. The US CAN'T default on it's debt. Our debt is denominated in US dollars, which means the US government can always make payments, either through raising taxes or inflating the currency.

      Sure you can always print more dollars, but if it hyper-inflates it's pretty much the same as defaulting.

      So then, there must be rampant inflation then correct? According to economic indicators our currency has been strengthening recently, and inflation has been low to non-existent. In fact it has been too low which has worried some that we would enter a deflationary period

      Currency strengthening? Against what? Up until this Ireland crisis the US Dollar Index had been falling and that doesn't even tell the whole story since the index is weighted heavily against the Euro. The Swiss Franc costs more than $1, so does the AUD, the Yen posted 15 year highs against the dollar.

      Inflation is only low to non-existent to people who rely on the core CPI which includes nothing that inflates, and that's by design since many things from SS COLA to TIPS, to pension payments and inflation premiums are tied to it. Inflation isn't even rising prices, it's an expansion of the monetary base. Rising prices are only an effect of inflation. I'd love to know where prices are falling though I don't see it except housing, since there's too many houses on the market. Food and Energy prices are certainly rising though.

      You're a little late to the party on that one. So far it has mainly been a recession. The US is in a recovery, albeit a slow one.

      The worst is yet to come, 2008 will look like a walk in the park compared to the inflationary depression that is looming if the US stays on the current course. There's no real recovery, the stock market continues to fall in terms of gold, and jobless claims continue to rise. GDP is a terrible indicator for economic growth, the government can just spend a lot of money to make it appear like it's growing. The government might as well just build some billion dollar missiles and blow them up. It would cause GDP growth, but is anything really gained? No. We're witnessing yet again how Keynesian economics doesn't work. It never has, and it never will. Excessive spending and low interest rates caused the 2008 fiasco, now we have even greater spending and even lower interest rates. We are in a bond bubble, more people are throwing money into bonds than they did equities in the Nasdaq bubble. When the Fed is forced to raise interest rates these people are going be wiped out.

      You will always need to control greed.

      We had one of the biggest regulators of greed taken away recently, failure. Now if you fail the government just gives you more money and big businesses know this. The government has created yet another moral hazard in business.

    233. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      A country is not an individual. It is sovereign. It can decide not to pay its debt, just like that.

      There's no real difference. A country and an individual can both decide to do whatever they choose - if they're big enough to beat up anyone who tries to coerce them.

      While you can't throw a country in debtors' prison, you can embbargo it, blockade it - or invade it.

      How sovereign was France in 1941?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    234. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      There was a recession at the end of WW2, as well as stimulus in the form of the G.I. Bill.

      The pre-WW2 problem was a lack of demand due to private debt and unemployment ... WW2 wiped out private debt (by converting it to government debt, which government then evaporated by an increased level of inflation). This removal of debt made the post WW2 recovery possible ... from a demand side perspective.

      Debt is the mechanism by which capitalism eats itself (the more free it is the better it is at creating debt).

    235. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      Yes, if you steal hundreds of billions of dollars that people paid into social security and medicare and put that in the general budget, the US is in better shape financially.

      Exactly. So what's more important? Honoring some corrupt and blatantly deceptive pyramid scheme from the last century, which I might add will never be fully honored, or saving the future of the US?

      And then, later, you can cut those programs without anyone noticing, without reducing the tax. It's a magical tax increase. Wheee!

      So we're equating spending reduction with tax increase (excuse me, "secret" tax increases)? Ok. I'd rather "increase my taxes" by reducing spending say by eliminating Social Security, Medicare, and a deep cut in national defense.

      Or we could just raise general revenue taxes to cover the shortfall in general revenue, instead of fucking around with a secret tax increase and blowing up social security.

      But then spending would increase to consume the increase in revenue. Much simpler and effective to cut things that don't help us.

      Raising taxes gives government incentive to increase spending, something they've demonstrated they eagerly do every year. And that money comes from people leading to an increased inefficient allocation of resources and some distortion in peoples' economic choices. Third, it increases government power. For example, the creation of Social Security enable a national system for tracking US citizens. The US power to tax income has lead to all sorts of intrusions into the lives of US citizens.

      Finally, the substantial increase in taxes has led to the creation of a class of smug parasites who whine about how Google doesn't pay their "fair share".

    236. Re:Defaulting is worse! by SpazmodeusG · · Score: 1

      I'd like to point out that the loans the US takes are in US currency. So paying loans with freshly printed money is an option in the US. It's not an option in Ireland or Iceland though as their loans are largely in foreign currencies.

      Obviously printing money to pay off debt isn't a good thing but it is different to what the Icelandic and Irish economies were able to do. So things may turn out far differently in the US, for better or worse.

    237. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > > That is why I figure the USA will default in 5 years, 10 tops.

      > This keeps getting repeated and it keeps being wrong. The US CAN'T default on it's debt. Our debt is denominated in US
      > dollars, which means the US government can always make payments, either through raising taxes or inflating the
      > currency.

      And given the complete lack of wherewithall in the country to raise taxes, the only option left is to inflate the currency.
      The catch here is that China may not buy into that. China is already annoyed at the latest action from the Fed to "print" another $600 billion. If the Fed were to say it needs to do that again and China said "no", things could become very very interesting for the USA.

      The US debt is 358% of its current revenue. In Greece the ration was only 318%.

      Although if the current Congress delays the continuation of the Bush tax cuts through their inability to do something, tax rates will go up. I'm actually curious if that is the path Congress will take to lift income tax with a follow up of both parties blaming the other for inaction and a hike in incometax.

      > So then, there must be rampant inflation then correct? According to economic indicators our currency has been
      > strengthening recently, and inflation has been low to non-existent. In fact it has been too low which has worried some that
      > we would enter a deflationary period.

      The calm before the storm.

      Since the Global Financial Crisis, the US monetary will have more than doubled by the time the Fed's current "print money" program finishes.

      Or to put it another way, by this time next year (if not already), there will be twice as many US dollars as there was at 1.1.2008. Usually when the supply of something doubles, its value halves.

    238. Re:Defaulting is worse! by SpazmodeusG · · Score: 1

      I mentioned this above but it is worth repeating. The loans the US government are in US currency. So paying off a US$1trillion loan by printing that much money is possible (even if it lowers the value of the currency to the point it hurts) because there is no currency conversion involved.

      Zimbabwe had loans in foreign currencies. Zimbabwe could never repay a EUR$1trillion loan because as soon as it converted some Zimbabwe currency to Euros the Zimbabwe currency becomes worth slightly less. If the Zimbabwe currency halves after converting and paying off half the loan, and then halves in value again when paying off half that remainder, etc. you end up with a situation where the loan simple cannot be repaid even when printing an infinite amount of money.

      The US doesn't have that problem as its loans are in US$. The loans drop in value when the currency drops in value. So while the dropping of the US$ will hurt greatly in itself at least there is a way to pay off the loans, unlike in Zimbabwe.

    239. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      Pre-WWII depression was caused by gov't trying too hard, mis-allocating resources, credit and printing money.

      Had it gone away, the way it did in 1920, the 1929 recession could as well be over as fast as the recession of 1920, which was over in 1 year.

      If you look at the history of recessions in 19 century, you'd see that they happened and quickly went away, giving rise to more economic growth, and it was all done without gov't intervention.

      Debt is the mechanism by which not the capitalism, but the gov't eats itself. Who do you think has the most debt at this point?

    240. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Jesus Christ on a pogo stick.

      President Reagan proposed sweeping tax rate reductions during the 1980s. What happened? Total tax revenues climbed by 99.4 percent during the 1980s, and the results are even more impressive when looking at what happened to personal income tax revenues. Once the economy received an unambiguous tax cut in January 1983, income tax revenues climbed dramatically, increasing by more than 54 percent by 1989 (28 percent after adjusting for inflation).

      Firstly, there were no tax cuts for 1983, there was one for 1982. Here is the tax revenue in constant dollars.

      1980 728.1
      1981 766.6
      1982 738.2 *first year of tax cuts*
      1983 684.3
      1984 730.4
      1985 776.6
      1986 790.0
      1987 854.1
      1988 877.3
      Wow, that barely kept ahead of inflation. In fact, it looks like it crippled revenue, setting growth back 4 years while the GDP continued to climb.

      Just go here.

      President Kennedy proposed across-the-board tax rate reductions that reduced the top tax rate from more than 90 percent down to 70 percent. What happened? Tax revenues climbed from $94 billion in 1961 to $153 billion in 1968, an increase of 62 percent (33 percent after adjusting for inflation).

      This is deliberate deception. See here. Then stand there argue with a straight face how nice JFK's tax cuts were.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    241. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      US debt is not an issue. They will print money until the start of World War III, at which time they can default on any amount owed to 'enemies' without issue.

    242. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      What YOU fail to understand is that US is running a 50Billion/month trade deficit, all that stuff you are saying you are buying, it's all foreign stuff. It's not whether they want to sell it to you, it's YOU who wants to buy it, because you have no economy, no production.

      US economy is on the brink of collapse and instead of welcoming the capital and production capacity by getting rid of income taxes and repealing all regulations you want to tighten it. As I said, good luck.

      You think you have the 'biggest first world market in the world', what you have a pyramid scheme, the USD (and bond) being the hot potato. You think that it is trivial that you will get all that supply, you will find out how trivial this is, once the US bond market crashes and USD is printed out of existence.

      As to other countries, you think you will get them to do what is profitable for the US, I guess you always got it, however watch out, China and Russia just signed an agreement to trade in their own respective currencies with each other, USD is becoming irrelevant.

    243. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      This is exactly what's happening with Social Security now the government was supposed to be setting some money aside for these benefits they knew were coming, but now they have to pay them all out of current taxes, and it's not enough without being crushing debt on the kids.

      I don't know if it's me you're WHOOSHing or the other guy.

      And we're near where the college fund analogy falls apart...stop putting money in a college fund, you have more money. A quick fix: Instead for putting aside 15%, your parents said they'd give you $200 a month to put in a college fund for your kids, as long as you promised to pay for their college with it. So you collect that each month.

      My complaint was conservative idiots who claim the problem is the college fund, and the solution is to get rid of it and stop collecting that $200 from their parents.

      This is because they don't like the idea of the kid going to college, and is not any serious solution to financial situation we're in, because it's not a 'solution' whatsoever, in any sense.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    244. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who modded that Insightful? It is pretty clear the the majority of Slashdot readers are not finance or econ majors.

      US Inflation by year

      Sure doesn't look like we are inflating our currency very fast. The great thing about being the world reserve currency is that our monetary supply is huge. For the US to match what Zimbabwe did we would have to print:

      Year 1: 22 quadtrillion (10^15) dollars
      Year 2: ~20 decillion (10^33) dollars

      We are safely ~21 orders of magnitude short of owing 20 decillion...

      What we have actually done:

      Year 1: 1 trillion (10^12) dollars
      Year 2: 600 billion (10^9) dollars

      hmm... no wonder we haven't seen much in the way of inflation... because we aren't actually printing that much money relative to the size of our money supply...

    245. Re:Defaulting is worse! by SmarterThanMe · · Score: 1

      One of the root causes of the GFC was the short-term-profit-at-all-costs mentality of Banks, particularly US Banks. The toppling of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae et al. were what precipitated the round of guarantees given to banks worldwide to ensure that their banking systems didn't collapse. Governments reasoned that the interconnectedness of the modern worldwide banking systems meant that their banks were exposed. Hence Ireland's guarantee to its banks (and my country, Australia, did the same).

      The subprime mortgage collapse was a situation that should not have been allowed to happen in a well regulated economy. Market regulations shuld have been in place to prevent banking institutions from operating with so many problematic debtors on their books. That they were allowed to do so (in amongst the rest of the problems with a deregulated financial system) was the object of the free market movement which puts profit in the short term ahead of long term viability and well ahead of societal benefit.

      The public taking on the risks in this regard was a windfall for the financial system and the investors that back it and was still something that the free market movement had been wanting. Was the full costs of the cleanup of the Gulf oil spill borne by BP or by the public? Who profited more out of the Iraq War, Halliburton et al or the public? Who profits from the increased privatisation of every aspect of Western-style national governance, private investors or the public? When infrastructure has to be built in a "Public-Private Partnership" for Electricity generation/transmission or transport who bears the greater risk if it all just doesn't work, the "Private", or the "Public"? On and on, what we see is that free market means being able to excise oneself from responsibility . This is what free market advocates have been calling for since time immemorial; this is what "deregulation" means.

    246. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      You can't at the same time claim that the low interest rates in the 20s caused the depression AND claim that the growth in the 20s was purely market driven. People were taking on too much debt because of the artificially low interest rates, private debt ballooned from the early 20s onwards ... but in the short term that was what was driving growth at the pace it did.

      The 20s were the same as the 00s ... the bubble setting us up for the fall. The fact that the Fed set the economy up for the fall with low interest rates is neither here nor there ... what's done is done.

      The debt overhang is there and we need to get rid of it. We can all start saving money, including government, but that has a predictable outcome ... less spending, less investment, less employment ... deflationary depression until everyone has finished defaulting.

    247. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      BTW, private debt exceeds government debt by over 2:1.

    248. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Exactly. So what's more important? Honoring some corrupt and blatantly deceptive pyramid scheme from the last century, which I might add will never be fully honored, or saving the future of the US?

      In other words, you want to steal from it because you argue that people like you will steal from it, so we should steal from it.

      Whereas I argue that we shouldn't steal from it, because no one is going to steal from it.

      I would keep arguing with you, but you're dying because I'll soon shot you in your head to put you of your misery, so I'm just going to shoot you in your head to put you out of your misery. Or something like that.

      So we're equating spending reduction with tax increase (excuse me, "secret" tax increases)? Ok. I'd rather "increase my taxes" by reducing spending say by eliminating Social Security, Medicare, and a deep cut in national defense.

      Eliminating social security and medicare won't decrease the deficit, you idiot.

      You are utterly failing to grasp that eliminating social security and medicare are REVENUE NEUTRAL, because when we eliminate insurance, we eliminate people paying the premiums! It in no way helps the budget at all. (In fact, it harms the budget, because now can't borrow from them anymore, and have to borrow from places we pay interest.)

      You really don't grasp that, do you? Social security and Medicare are funded separately. If you cut or remove then, their funding source will correspondingly be decreased. You cannot cut them and have more money for the government!

      Unless, as you suggested, their funding source gets merged into the general revenue, then you cut them...which as I pointed out is just a clever backdoor tax increase, and you could do the same thing just by raising taxes and leaving SS and Medicare alone.

      Raising taxes gives government incentive to increase spending, something they've demonstrated they eagerly do every year.

      Yes, in your delusional world.

      In the actual world, every tax decease has resulted in less revenue, and you can only pretend otherwise by generalizing over decades, as I pointed in your lying post about it.

      But, hey, we just had another example of it. We cut taxes in 2001.(1) Where's our increased revenue?

      Looks like the tax cuts set us back half a decade in growth of the taxes.

      Or, for fun, look at this.

      1) Yes, I know the 2001 budget was Clinton's, but Bush decided to give back money right after taking office aka, the Bush rebate.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    249. Re:Defaulting is worse! by NoOneInParticular · · Score: 1

      That worked just now, with Bernanke printing 600 billion dollars to pay off debt. However, future debt will take into account the risk of inflation, and the interest rate on that debt will increase. So, can the US inflate itself out of debt when interest rates on that debt are 10000%? Of course not. That is hyper-inflation, to pay off the interest on the debt you have to increase inflation, which increases the interest on the debt, etc. etc. The only way out of this spiral is to default and start over again.

    250. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      US economy is on the brink of collapse and instead of welcoming the capital and production capacity by getting rid of income taxes and repealing all regulations you want to tighten it. As I said, good luck.

      What the fuck are you talking about?

      I don't want to 'tighten' any regulations.

      I want to tax imports.

      It's not whether they want to sell it to you, it's YOU who wants to buy it, because you have no economy, no production.

      That is the stupidest thing I've ever heard. Yes, China really does care if we buy their stuff. Microsoft, to pick an example in the article, really does care if we buy their stuff.

      Companies, in general, need people to buy their stuff.

      You think you have the 'biggest first world market in the world', what you have a pyramid scheme, the USD (and bond) being the hot potato. You think that it is trivial that you will get all that supply, you will find out how trivial this is, once the US bond market crashes and USD is printed out of existence.

      We factually have the biggest first world market in existence. We have 300 million people. We are the largest country of first world people. Other countries have some places with high standard of living, and are larger, but it's all tiny areas of first world surrounded by poverty, like China and India.

      We are something like 2/5th of the entire first world, in fact, which is a shitload of bargaining power. Either companies play by our rules or they go under.

      You're trying to make some argument about the government. I have no idea how trusted the government is could be the slightest bit relevant. It doesn't matter if corporations distrust the US government, they still have to play by US law to sell stuff here, and if that means paying tariffs it means paying tariffs.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    251. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      Well the growth of the 20s was market driven GIVEN the gov't printing of money.

      However do not forget the main point - the recession was over in 1 year and gov't did on thing in the beginning of it, cut its spending by 70%.

      As to the 'deflationary depression', dude, I am so tired of people being scared of falling prices, it's not funny. Nobody has ever actually seen deflation in the 20th century.

      In 19th century though they did, the prices were falling constantly, the dollar ended up twice as valuable by the end of 19 century as compared to its value when it started.

      The Fed had ONE mandate: price stability.

      What a spectacular failure that has been! From the moment it was created until about now, the dollar has depreciated by 20 times, that means prices went up as many times. That's just sad, how can people argue for any centrally planned economy when it has shown itself to be such a spectacular failure over and over, from USSR and Cuba, all the way to the Fed, Great Depression and now.

      Also your other comment, you should not just forget the off-the books debt.

      US owes 13-14Trillion, that's on the books.

      The bonds that are covering SS and other programs are in the 60 Trillion dollar range. There is no bigger debtor in the world.

    252. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      As I said, go ahead, tax imports. US has no production capacity, much good it will do to tax imports, when you have no competing goods produced in US.

      ALL THAT YOU WILL DO IS CAUSE HIGHER PRICES FOR US CONSUMERS.

      You will not have ANY effect on the bottom line of the importing companies, because they will simply make your consumer eat that import tax.

      That's ALL. You have no competition from inside the country.

      You want the US consumer to pay more? Go right ahead and set your import taxes. I hope you have fire insurance, otherwise don't boast to anybody you have caused their junk to go up in price.

      That is the stupidest thing I've ever heard. Yes, China really does care if we buy their stuff. Microsoft, to pick an example in the article, really does care if we buy their stuff.

      - Any producer, who is based outside of US can sell their junk outside of US.

      Sure, they care to a point. But US will fail very soon and those companies will restructure and will sell to other countries. Don't flatter yourself, US is not that important a market anymore, when dollar is worth nothing. China is removing the dependence on US currency now, they have a billion people market, they will shrug it off.

      We are the largest country of first world people.

      - not anymore, you don't. US was the first world country when it was the first producer, now it's the first debtor. Sure, there is huge military there, but USSR also had a huge military, so what, they couldn't produce even enough toilet paper for themselves. Same with US at this point.

      As to the tariffs, you are just making me laugh here out loud, how silly your argument is. US has no bargaining power about the consumer products, because it doesn't BUILD them anymore. As I said, don't tell anyone you caused their new TV to go up in price by a factor of 2.

    253. Re:Defaulting is worse! by ziggyzaggy · · Score: 1

      so what? high tech goods aren't a necessity of life. Ireland can go back to making real wealth, which is taking resources and using labor and minds to add value. There's a planet-sized market for "low-tech' and "medium-tech" goods and foods. That's such a lie, that we need the big corporations to survive, they are the parasites. The bulk of any economy is the small guy and small business. We can burn 90% of the major corporations to the ground and be fine.

    254. Re:Defaulting is worse! by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Not really; if it is an FDIC insured bank (and most banks and credit unions are), then a bank "bailout" is the feds coming in and either paying off those accounts or recapitalizing the bank. They generally chose to recapitalize the bank. The bankers usually get fired.

      There is a huge difference between when the FDIC eats a failing bank and something like the TARP bailouts. All that happened during the TARP bailouts was that the banks that got saved used the money to buy the banks that did not.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    255. Re:Defaulting is worse! by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Starting in the next few years, social security is solvent only if the government can continue to borrow,

      It could easily be made solvent by raising the income cap for SocSec taxes.

      But of course, since the rich now own the United States government, that will never happen. Instead, we will raise the retirement age so and cut benefits to the poorest people so that the rich can enjoy a nice tax cut.

      This is how we'll go from being a second-rate nation to a third world nation.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    256. Re:Defaulting is worse! by winwar · · Score: 1

      "And is this surprising in a country where most government workers (including Army, USPS, many suburban Teachers depending on their local contracts, etc) work 20-25 years and can then retire on half pay and full health insurance the rest of their lives. How many private sector jobs let you start at 18 and quit with by 43?"

      Any of them that have pensions.

      Isn't ignorance wonderful? Just because you can retire after 20 years with a "full" retirement (generally about 40% of pay) doesn't mean you can collect it. There is almost always an age requirement if you don't work 30 years or more.

      So now your teacher who gets employed at age 24 (needs a MS degree, remember?) and works for 30 years straight could retire at age 54 and receive about 60% of pay. Not terribly impressive. And they probably are responsible for health care on top of that.

      In any case, this retirement is fully paid for by the contributions of the worker and employer during employment. It doesn't cost the government a cent. Unless of course the legislature was raiding the pension fund at the direction of the citizens.

      "The People wanted entitlements, they got them."

      The problem isn't entitlements. The problem is an unwillingness to pay for them. That was driven entirely by the politicians. Ultimately we have a revenue problem coupled with a health care problem.

    257. Re:Defaulting is worse! by wall0159 · · Score: 1

      I'm not a Republican, but I don't think Palin is as stupid as she's portrayed. I think it's part of a shrewd campaign to make Democrats and their supporters look snobbish and elitist when they come out laughing at the stupid things she says. Palin is trying to make herself look ordinary and human so that people will identify with her (actually, I think GWB did the same thing, do an extent). Seems to be working for her...

    258. Re:Defaulting is worse! by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      I notice that all your "solutions" involve taxing.

      Theft, even when it's the government that practices it, is never a net good.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    259. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Doctor+O · · Score: 1

      Fuck asking where the company, an entity that is an artificial creation, 'lives'. Tax the things that physically exist where they actually are and tax the money going in and out where it's actually going in and out.

      OK, I'll bite. I agree with the notion, but cannot see how you would tax somebody like Google without giving them opportunity to game the system. If some Chinese company buys Google ads for the USA, from Google China, but people watch them in the USA, there's no "American" money involved whatsoever, so nothing going "in and out". Maybe I lack imagination (and I really like your idea).

      --
      Who is General Failure and why is he reading my hard disk?
    260. Re:Defaulting is worse! by tmosley · · Score: 1

      I guess you never heard of the National Socialist party. Did you think they just threw the socialist part in there to sound cool?

    261. Re:Defaulting is worse! by mabhatter654 · · Score: 1

      If you're taking that route then the parents collected the money each month... then spent it each year. Now they don't "want" to collect the money anymore, AND the idea of college is "nonsense" now... after collecting the money for years and using it for other stuff. Now the money tree is dry and there's not enough to scrape up for their promises they made when they spent the money.

    262. Re:Defaulting is worse! by nelsonal · · Score: 1

      I don't disagree, except that the truly rich mostly have capital gains/carried interest which wasn't subject to social security in the first place (and as Ireland shows) is easy to move offshore. Really who you propose going after are generally smart people born poor or middle class (or the rare layabout who gets a very good job at daddy's company) whose assets aren't financial and whose income is the return on those assets.

      --
      Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
    263. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, yes. Socialism was very trendy at the time.

    264. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Reziac · · Score: 1

      "We should tax them when they pay workers, in the location those workers are. We should tax them when they sell goods, in the location those goods are sold. (Or, easier, when those goods are imported.) We should tax their capital and real estate, in the location that capital and real estate is. We should tax their corporate dividends, in the location that stockholders live."

      Wer already do that:

      1) Payroll taxes
      2) Sales and use taxes
      3) Import/export duties/tariffs
      4) Income tax

      All of which hurt everyone up and down the line, with the possible exception of import/export tariffs. Wages are suppressed by the amount of payroll taxes; consumer purchasing power is depressed by the amount of sales/use/income taxes. Any tax dinged against a business MUST be passed along to the consumer, which means higher prices (and proportionally more sales tax) because no business can absorb rising expenses forever and stay in business... paying wages and incidentally payroll taxes. Income tax on dividends hurts mainly small investors relying on it for their retirement, who hold (per the last figures I saw) over 90% of stocks.

      In California, gov't charges to business (payroll tax, workmans comp, etc.) account for approx. 70% of the cost of each worker. How much better off would we be if that 70% went into your paycheck (and into business expansion, which leads to more jobs) rather than being paid to the gov't?

      Finally, the notion that you can tax business into being a prosperous, fully-employed, debt-free nation seems to forget that poor people pay no wages. Wages are *paid* by people who are making money (ie. businesses). Make it impossible to make money, and who is going to pay your wages??

      The REAL problem is that the government has become the biggest corporation in every developed nation, and like all corporations, it looks to grow its own bottom line first and foremost. But the difference between gov't and business is that when gov't revenues aren't up to covering costs, it can simply make up the shortfall from its citizens.

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    265. Re:Defaulting is worse! by stdarg · · Score: 1

      Actually, the Government want to tax the wages of labor in return for entitlements (the New Deal). The People accepted. If 'Entitlements' are abolished then so must *all* taxes on the wages of labor, that was the original deal and I (and others) are not going to allow a renege. Right now labor is paying for the majority of the Federal Budget, without that revenue...

      The deal for the major entitlements (SS and Medicare) are bogus. They are pyramid schemes. Back in the 50s the SS tax was 3% total. Now it's over 12%. Can you explain that? Did the people who started paying into the system in the 50s and 60s really pay their fair share? If so, why is there even a possibility of having a shortfall in SS and Medicare?

      And no the answer is not that the government borrowed from the SS "fund". That borrowed money gets counted as an asset to SS, and there is still not enough money.

    266. Re:Defaulting is worse! by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      The bottom line is that there's no limits aside from ourselves and the size of the tax revenue stream to control how much government spends and borrows.

      Again, the rookie mistakes. The tax revenue is unrelated to the spending. If they tax more than they spend, they pay back debt. If they spend more than they tax, they take out debt. The taxes collected affect the debt, but not the spending. So don't bother trying to put "tax" and "spend" in the same sentence. They aren't related topics to the government, and when you have an unlimited credit line, they aren't related at all. Up until now, the USA has had unlimited credit, and there's no signs that will be stopping in the next 5 years.

      Increasing tax revenue without concrete reductions in spending just means that government spends more. We have centuries of data on dozens of democratic governments.

      No government has, over time, reduced itself. There have been a few that had a period of overspending followed by some restraint, but even then, they still continued to grow. "Democratic" is unrelated to the issue. As is "capitalistic" or "socialistic" or "communistic" or whatever. The results are always the same. Every government wants to be larger. Every manager wants to have a larger department and more power. Every politician wants to have a higher office. Pointing out such things as if they are insightful makes you sound like the elementary student that just learned it for the first time.

    267. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      keyes was an idiot. why dont you read some reall economist and not that fucking socialist faggot. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Austrian_School . now go learn something and quit pretending like you know shit

    268. Re:Defaulting is worse! by sir1real · · Score: 1

      Booms and busts are due to the Fed lowering and raising interest rates. They claim to do this in order to even out the business cycle but in reality get in the way of the market's self correction mechanisms.

    269. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Reziac · · Score: 1

      Between the Civil War and WW1, the U.S. gov't was funded by tariffs. Which is great if you've got something to export, and it keeps the size of gov't limited to what the hard-goods economy can actually support. (I'd note that since like all corporations, gov't wants to grow, under such a system it's in the govt's best interests to encourage the expansion of hard-goods production and export. BTW I distinguish this from service industries because I believe those actually represent an economic *cost*, not a salable product.)

      The trouble now, as you point out in another post, is that we exported all our manufacturing capacity and now import most of our daily-use consumer goods -- even food is going that way. Sooner or later the whole termite-riddled mess is going to implode.

      I'd love to see deflation, but it won't happen so long as population keeps expanding -- the definitive commodity that ultimately drives all inflation is real estate (no one ever sells at so much as a break-even price), and when that's getting scarcer per capita, costs necessarily go up, since ultimately everything sits on a piece of land.

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    270. Re:Defaulting is worse! by dbcad7 · · Score: 1

      it needs to be abolished and those people who cannot afford to live without it (*not everybody who gets it today) must re-qualify for welfare, because that's what SS is,

      Really ? .. come on.. First of all, Social Security is something that working people pay into.. um.. by working. The more you work, the more you make and pay into it.. The higher your benefit upon retiring.. It is not welfare, it's a forced savings plan that was implemented by the government.. It's also much like insurance (which is gambling pretty much).. many many many people die before collecting a dime. That they raised the retirement ages only gives the house better odds. That the government has mismanaged money and spent money like water while reducing their income (taxes) for so long does not take away from the fact that working people have been paying into this this forced savings plan since they could file a W4.. If you consider them welfare recipients because you think your smarter for having your 401k, then I am sure that you will only use your 401K money when you retire and not collect a dime from Social Security...Yeah right.. freaking lier.

      --
      waiting for ad.doubleclick.net
    271. Re:Defaulting is worse! by iserlohn · · Score: 1

      Being the most efficient mechanism for distribution of resources is the raison d'être of free markets, as it had been marketed to us for the past 60 years. In fact, not only is it unfair, it is also massively inefficient, mis-allocating resources on a grand scale.

    272. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      SS today is cash flow negative and it's all bonds, no actual cash. So whatever the, you know, working people put into it, it's all gone immediately and most of it is not even going to cover SS obligations.

      The point is that you cannot call something solvent if it's based on debt, which SS is based on. It's a bunch of bonds, and bonds need to be sold first, before you can call it money, and once you sell it, it's debt.

      So SS is all debt.

      To do retirement planning right for individuals, the gov't needs to let go of the income based taxes (and payroll of-course) and only be financed by consumption, and this will allow the people to save/invest their money themselves.

      The gov't though doesn't care about your ability to retire, only about its ability to spend on whatever, so it's taxing your income.

      If at least the money was actually there, invested or just cash/gold, OK, you could make an argument that they care about your retirement, but it's all BONDS. It's debt. It's gone.

    273. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Eskarel · · Score: 1

      The US won't default because it can't.

      That's the simple fact so many people seem to be missing. The US is still the backbone of the world economy, it might be rather rotten and full of holes, but it's still the backbone and one of the miraculous things about financial markets is that if enough people believe in something thin air can become solid.

      Until and unless the US is replaced in this role, any country who could possibly call in the US's debts would destroy their economy by doing so. Despite the complete and total failure of any US politician to actually do their job instead of being a radical partisan ass, the US government and its debts will continue for quite some time yet. Not forever of course, and we'll need to get some politicians who aren't owned by big business, have some sort of guts, and are willing to go for a goal that is more visionary than "Keep my seat and get the other guy out", which may never happen, but it's not going to happen in the next decade.

    274. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Reziac · · Score: 1

      I wonder if we should add private debt to that figure, since so much of America is presently underwater, due to rising costs/prices and falling purchasing power. I know it's reached the stage for me where the harder I run, the behinder I get.

      My own business costs have gone up by roughly a factor of FOUR in the past 10 years, yet I've had to drop prices back down to what I was getting in 1985. How the hell am I supposed to stay in business and stay out of debt? I'd be happy with 1985 prices if I had 1985 costs as well!!

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    275. Re:Defaulting is worse! by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Oh, I'm not a Paulian gold-standard type.

      I was TRYING to make a joke about how everyone seems to be buying gold, so the change in the dollar value would affect their savings...

      But I failed :)

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    276. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Xyrus · · Score: 1

      sure it will. It will monetize the debt, it's the same thing only worse, because the currency itself will be destroyed.

      Monetizing debt is not the same as defaulting. There is a big difference between being able to repay a debt and being able to repay a debt. The US will always be capable of repaying the debt, either through inflation or higher taxes. Higher taxes, of course, would be the first weapon before inflation.

      Our GDP still outstrips our debt obligations and tax rates on the wealthiest are still paltry compared to where they were in the '60's. We're not in any danger over the next decade unless the government gets really boneheaded. There's still plenty of income the government can tap to shore up it's coffers.

      That's not to say that it wouldn't have consequences. It's just not as apocalyptic as you seem to imply.

      USD will become irrelevant...

      I think what you mean is the USD may not remain being the world reserve currency, which is not nearly the same thing as becoming irrelevant. There is nothing stopping countries from using their own currencies for making deals. However, those countries must be prepared to take on the risk of those currencies.

      Regardless, the USD is still the reserve currency and that doesn't appear to be changing anytime soon. If it did, it would be changing from the USD to a basket of currencies.

      the 'economic indicators' are cooked

      Uh huh. And yet the market, with all it's big players and such, don't seem to disagree with them all that much.

      That 4% projection you're talking about is based on 2 months of economic data from just one company. I'd hardly call that conclusive. A 4% inflation is also a far cry from runaway inflation, especially since last year we had slight deflation.

      Deflation, has it ever actually happened to you? Has it ever hurt you? Did you see prices falling?

      Yes. Yes. And yes. The '70's weren't exactly a peachy time for the US economy. To stop the spiral they had to jack interest rates through the roof which cause even more economic pain. It wasn't pleasant.

      Deflation can be useful, but a deflationary spiral is not. So far, we've managed to avoid both extremes (inflation and deflation).

      SS is bankrupt. It's insolvent right now...

      Actuarially speaking, it isn't insolvent. The interest bearing bonds in the trust are real assets, paid by Uncle Sam.

      That's not to say that there isn't a problem with this. But SS still has about 20 years of life left assuming something cataclysmic doesn't happen between then and now.

      Also, SS is not welfare. They are separate programs with different purposes. I wouldn't curse anyone with the unfortunate task of working with this country's welfare system. If SS were to moved under the welfare blanket there would need to be some substantial changes in that program first.

      Not that any of this matters. Very few politicians have the balls to come within 100 yards of the SS program.

      Of course gov't must also get out of economy completely, with all its regulations and taxes, otherwise nothing will happen anyway.

      Well, the past ten years saw the SEC made toothless, the repeal of several critical regulations on how banks can operate, and other such legislation. That didn't work out so well.

      Greed is good. Unconstrained greed is deadly, and this has been repeatedly demonstrated time and again. The "invisible hand" of the market is the thing that punches you in the balls before robbing you blind and throwing you in a gutter.

      US is not recovering...

      According to the numbers it is. But you seem inclined to disagree with the numbers.

      its economy has a terminal disease, the name is government

      No, the terminal disease are amoral people looking only to serve themselves at the cost of society as

      --
      ~X~
    277. Re:Defaulting is worse! by stdarg · · Score: 1

      It's not a Ponzi scheme.

      "A Ponzi scheme is a fraudulent investment operation that pays returns to separate investors from their own money or money paid by subsequent investors, rather than from any actual profit earned."

      So yeah, Social Security is a Ponzi scheme, except it's not fraudulent because we all know the deal. Not that we have the option of avoiding it..

    278. Re:Defaulting is worse! by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      There are three indisputable examples of fascism in history (Italy, Spain and Germany).

      Wrong already. While Spanish Falange started out as an explicitly fascist party under its original leader, Primo de Rivera, it was effectively hijacked by Franco later on, and became a fairly stock authoritarian conservative party, not revolutionary in character the way real fascists are.

      Fascism has _always_ been a flavor of socialism.

      Socialism is collective ownership of the means of production. Neither Italian fascism, not German national socialism (despite the latter's name, which is also primarily a relic of its past; see Strasserism) were in favor of that.

      On the other hand, if you look at who supported both fascism and Nazism - it wasn't the socialist and communist parties of Italy and Germany. Indeed, those were the mortal enemies! No, it was wealthy bankers and industrialists who poured money into fascist and Nazi coffers. Same thing in Spain, by the way, both during the early "true fascist" period, and the latter authoritarian conservative reign.

    279. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      Whereas I argue that we shouldn't steal from it, because no one is going to steal from it.

      We already know that spending for these programs is out of control. Social Security is not revenue neutral this year and won't be revenue neutral after 2013. Under unrealistic assumptions, Medicare is revenue neutral for less than twenty years (and continues to outpace GDP). The only reason it stays solvent that long is because Obama "stole" (or rather will "steal" since it sounds like most of the cost cutting provisions have yet to be implemented) from it in the Affordable Care Act.

      You really don't grasp that, do you? Social security and Medicare are funded separately. If you cut or remove then, their funding source will correspondingly be decreased. You cannot cut them and have more money for the government!

      The reason I don't "grasp" that is because it isn't true. Social Security and Medicare are established by law. Congress can change that law. I recognize that the US probably won't destroy these programs, but it's foolhardy to claim that they are untouchable.

      In the actual world, every tax decease has resulted in less revenue, and you can only pretend otherwise by generalizing over decades, as I pointed in your lying post about it.

      Excuse me? I wasn't touching upon "trickle down" economics or whatever that is. I have no problem with lower tax rates resulting in lower tax revenue. My view is that about half to two thirds of the US government budget doesn't serve a compelling national need and should be eliminated for that reason along. This includes the things I already mentioned. The US doesn't exist to fund the US government.

      My sentence in question was "Raising taxes gives government incentive to increase spending". There's no discussion of trickle down economics or any claim that future revenue will be higher because we taxed less today.

      It looks to me like these high deficits are destructive to the US's long term goals. I've already given a bunch of reasons why I don't like increased government spending. But I'll finish with one reason why I don't think we should just raise taxes to deal with the problem.

      It's a matter of fairness. With your proposal to make up the deficit via tax increases, only taxpayers are sacrificing for the plan. Everyone who gets a bit of public funding doesn't have to cut back at all on their funding. So the end result is that a small group has to do most of the sacrificing. And the return on taxes isn't the same for everyone. A considerable number of people don't pay taxes at all. And then there are political enterprises, that make profit from public funding and/or government enforced rent-seeking.

      But there's a large class of people for whom government is a huge net loss. They can be small business owners or high income professionals in non-government related jobs. They get to pay taxes in order to be regulated, subject to massive paperwork and meaningless, bureaucratic hoops. So why is it fair that they have to pay more for their cage? Meanwhile the large variety of parasites do not have to feel sacrifice.

    280. Re:Defaulting is worse! by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      This is demonstrably wrong: social security is what allows people to take risks and not fall in indentured servitude.

      It allows people to look for the best job -- and therefore also serves economy as a whole. The moralistic aspects are only incidental.

      Health insurance has to be socialised, because a free market where one party is literally allowed to say "pay up, or else..." is bound to be highly dysfunctional.

    281. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Eskarel · · Score: 1

      The thing about the free market is not that it doesn't work, or isn't a really good idea, it does and it is. The issue is that the free market, at least as envisioned by its most ardent supporters doesn't exist.

      What the free market is is an optimizing algorithm. You take a certain set of constraints(technological limits, government regulations, consumer sentiment, etc) and the free market will find the optimum solution which matches that set of constraints. It actually works really well.

      The issue we have is that we have too many people who believe that the free market will automatically find the optimum overall solution. This is a load of hogwash. The theoretical free market which will solve all our problems is a lot like when you take physics classes and talk about throwing a baseball in a vacuum, it's all sort of true, but how often would you actually do that. The barriers to entry in any non trivial industry will never be zero, trade will never be 100% fair or free, consumers will never react 100% rationally, and people will never be guaranteed to put the good of everyone over their own personal gain.

      If we stop believing that the free market will find us the perfect solution we can start to create a much better and fairer world. We've all seen that the government determining what everything is worth and what everyone gets paid doesn't work, and can never work, but we've also seen that letting the market do whatever it wants doesn't work either, the government may not regulate the market, but the people running it certainly do and they regulate it to increase their own personal profits.

    282. Re:Defaulting is worse! by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      Sure, it is never going to be absolutely free, but it is far better than ANY other system, which is by definition NOT free.

      We have never actually tried a pure free market, or even a system which intentionally tried to stay as pure to free market as possible, so we have absolutely no empirical evidence to claim that it's "far better than any other system". All we have are conjectures. What's worse is that the Austrian school of economics, which is the one behind the free market idea, rejects the fundamentals of scientific methodology, and is really more akin to philosophy in how it "proves" its assertions. Needless to say, it's all very untrustworthy to anyone who understands how science is supposed to work.

      Meanwhile, most historical attempts of coming closer to free market, by reducing regulations, have had disastrous results in medium-to-long term. In every case, free market apologists have claimed that the failure was due to the burden of the remaining regulations, which, paradoxically, seems only to increase as there are fewer and fewer of them. It's as if the only free market that can actually work is the one that is "pure white" in your parlance, the one with absolutely no regulations - since even the slightest one is a wrench in that delicate mechanism.

      Well, that, or maybe the flawed idea is free market itself. It is certainly a far simpler explanation.

      By the way, speaking of "pure" free market - even communism sounds more achievable to me. At least they had a multi-stage program where only the last step is pure communism, while the preceding ones were more or less realistic!

    283. Re:Defaulting is worse! by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      See, _legally_ a country is allowed to default. By definition. Never an individual, lest he be the supreme dictator of his track of land.

      France in 1941 could have been sovereign: after the fall of France, it still had a huge empire. It was treason from the high command that did it.

    284. Re:Defaulting is worse! by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      The difference is that Zimbabwe Dollar was not a reserve currency used by the entire world.

    285. Re:Defaulting is worse! by __aasqbs9791 · · Score: 1

      That was far too well written for slashdot. Especially that last paragraph. What are you doing here?

    286. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Bigjeff5 · · Score: 1

      This was called the single most financially irresponsible piece of legislation in history

      In tribute the simpleminded wisdom of the great Homer Simpson:

      It was the single most financially irresponsible piece of legislation so far.

      Obamacare may yet beat it on that score, and if it doesn't there will be another further down the line.

      Also don't downplay Social Security's role in this overmuch, it still accounts for nearly 1/3 of the national budget and is growing rapidly. Every couple of years the retirement age is increased in an attempt to reduce the demand on the system. My hope is that eventually the retirement age will hit 75 or 80 and we can just stop paying Social Security, and therefore stop taxing for it (not likely, but one can dream, no?).

      --
      Security is mostly a superstition... Avoiding danger is no safer in the long run than outright exposure. - Helen Keller
    287. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Man+On+Pink+Corner · · Score: 1

      Well, yes, they "recovered" by defaulting, but who in the right mind is going to lend money to Iceland now?

      Krugman's columns mostly just amount to one facepalm after another.

    288. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      The tax revenue is unrelated to the spending.

      This statement is wrong. If a government has a budget shortfall, they have to borrow or print money. That is the "relation". Either task has serious consequences.

    289. Re:Defaulting is worse! by FiloEleven · · Score: 1

      It's also important to note that we are coming out of the recession because of the stimulus not in spite of it

      I'm not sure I buy this. The recession was declared to have been over by June 2009. That's two months after the stimulus package was passed. I have a hard time believing that it could have such a drastic effect in two months, which suggests to me that recovery was already happening. I won't go so far as to say the stimulus was a hindrance, but it certainly was not fiscally responsible when government is already up to its eyeballs in debt.

      and that the folks at the bottom, you know the ones that actually create wealth, are still hard hit. The bills that folks tend to point to as fiscally irresponsible are probably the least of the problems. The biggest being the oversized DoD budget and tax cuts for the rich.

      Tax cuts for the rich are demonstrably not the problem. The talk is all about letting the Bush tax cuts expire or not, and the fact of the matter is that it "costs" government more than twice as much to keep the cut for <$250k while letting >$250k expire than if the reverse is done. I didn't know this myself until I played with the New York Times' budget puzzle*. The projected numbers are:

      <250k: $172 billion in 2015, $252 billion in 2030
      >250k: $54 billion in 2015, $115 billion in 2030

      You can certainly argue that a 2-3% hurts more when you have less to begin with, and if you're going to argue that only the Bush tax cuts for >$250k should sunset then that should be the basis. There are a hell of a lot more people in lower group, though, which is why letting the lower cuts alone expire will give the government more money.

      I agree fully that DoD spending is out of control and accounts for a healthy chunk of the budget.

      * I'd love to link it for you but Chrome doesn't let me paste links on /. Googling NYT budget puzzle will get you there, and I think it's a worthwhile exercise for everyone interested in these issues.

    290. Re:Defaulting is worse! by nonguru · · Score: 0

      That's too much of a simplification. The Icelandic banks were sent into voluntary administration under a financial regulatory body, and depositors' savings were guaranteed by the Icelandic government. A number of Scandinavian countries gave Iceland loans to back up their financial system. This was naked self-interest since it was in nobody's interest for Iceland's financial system to collapse. The Icelandic Kronor floats independently of the Euro (or any other currency) so it was able to depreciate against global currencies which in Ireland's case is not possible. And before anybody gets too smug pointing out that Billionaire property developers caused Ireland's problems, the reality is that they could not have done it without the wholesale contribution of large parts of the Irish public chasing returns on property assets. That is the nature of a asset bubble. The cruel truth is that the public bought into the miracle of endless (?) financial growth of asset values without substance. "Pass the parcel" in other words.

    291. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      Being the most efficient mechanism for distribution of resources is the raison d'être of free markets

      Being "most efficient" still means it can be be a lot less efficient than an efficient market.

      In fact, not only is it unfair, it is also massively inefficient, mis-allocating resources on a grand scale.

      Why should a market (or any other system in which decisions are make and resources allotted) be "fair" in the presence of imperfect knowledge? And "misallocation of resources" implies that there is a better way to allot resources. While a regulated market may be better for markets that you want to keep conservative, I disagree that the free market misallocates resources any worse than any other system.

    292. Re:Defaulting is worse! by locallyunscene · · Score: 1

      The problem is that the baby boomer generation promised itself SO MUCH, we're going to go bankrupt from entitlements. Social Security is a small part of it. The real meat is Medicare.

      Not really. http://www.wallstats.com/deathandtaxes/ . Social Security has had a surplus. The only way it's contributed to the debt is that the surplus is spent for other programs before it's collected.

      Defense is the single highest budget item by far (895B). Then comes non military discretionary spending(520B). Medicare(491B) and Medicaid(297B) combined don't even match it. Health costs are going up and this spending will become more important in the future, but to use a medical analogy we have to fix the gaping chest wound before we can focus on the infection that might kill us later.

    293. Re:Defaulting is worse! by tmosley · · Score: 1

      Indeed it was, but that doesn't mean that they weren't socialist. Socialism simply means the state owns property, as was very much the case with the National Socialists. If you weren't a member of the party, you were very liable to have your business seized. Party membership had other "perks", like use of Jewish/"undesirable" slaves, Seats on government councils, etc. Today we have much the same, absent the race based slavery. At best, we have prisoners to be slaves. Of course, we have found a much easier way to enslave much larger portions of society--money printing.

    294. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 3, Insightful

      1) Payroll taxes

      Um, no. Unemployment insurance is about it, and that's capped at $434 a year, so isn't that impressive a tax. A tax of $1.19 a day is probably less than what the employee wastes in going to the bathroom.

      2) Sales and use taxes

      The Federal government does not collect sales tax or use tax.

      3) Import/export duties/tariffs

      We have almost no import and tariffs, and none at all on companies that are 'outside the US', but somehow manufacture all their stuff here, like Microsoft.

      4) Income tax

      Foreign businesses that employ Americans do pay income tax, correct.

      Your score: 1/4.

      Better luck next time.

      Any tax dinged against a business MUST be passed along to the consumer,

      No it doesn't. The price that customers are charged has NO BEARING on the taxes assessed against it.

      You have no clue how supply and demand works, do you? Businesses charge the amount they can. If they can charge more and make the same profit, they will, if they have to charge less to make a profit (by selling more), they will.

      In your universe, apparently, businesses sit there going 'Well, we're making 10% profit, and even though we could raise prices 5% more and make 15% profit, we're not going to....Oh no, they just raised taxes 5%, we better raise prices 5% to get back to our 10% profit.'

      Do you have even the simplest grasp of how businesses operate? Businesses do not pick a 'profit level' and operate there, moving up and down in response to costs.

      That is just insane. It's not even a simplified version of economic theory. It's an economic theory designed by a second grader.

      Income tax on dividends hurts mainly small investors relying on it for their retirement, who hold (per the last figures I saw) over 90% of stocks.

      If you want to assert that that's a bad idea, I will not object.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    295. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      That's not really gaming the system...I don't particularly see why they should have to pay taxes on that.

      I mean, if American google employees are doing it, those taxes get paid, and it's hosted on American soil, those taxes get paid. Advertisement isn't really a 'product', no one bought it.

      But there are always fringe cases.

      The point I am trying to make is that taxing 'corporate income' doesn't work at all. A corporation's 'location' is total nonsense, and it could be located wherever it wants.

      We need to tax the actual transactions it does with actual people, where those transactions happen. If it has workers in country X, X taxes them for those workers. If it sales goods in X, X taxes them for those. If it has a building in X, X taxes them for that.

      We need to remove corporate income tax and add, or sometimes just increase, those taxes high enough to make up for it.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    296. Re:Defaulting is worse! by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      If they turn on the light switch, the power bill will be higher. That they are directly related has no relevance to whether they will think of the power bill when they turn on the light switch. So the fact that one causes the other is unrelated to whether one is considered when doing the other.

      Credit is "free" to the point where budget shortfalls are not related to the overall spending. They just borrow and spend whatever it was they wanted to spend. If they take in more taxes or less, they do not adjust their spending. That is how they are not related at all.

    297. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      You will not have ANY effect on the bottom line of the importing companies, because they will simply make your consumer eat that import tax.

      BZZZT, you lose, thank you for playing, game over.

      I'm not even going to debate people anymore with such a poor grasp of supply and demand.

      Here's a hint, for the future: If businesses could charge more for those goods, and have people buy them, then they'd already charge more for those goods.

      Not understanding that pretty much disqualifies you from talking about what businesses 'would' do.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    298. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      I notice that all your "solutions" involve taxing.

      Um, actually, my solution involves less taxes. Namely, less, and even no, corporate income tax. Which would be made up by other taxes that can no longer be dodged by being in 'another jurisdiction'. Taxes on goods and employees. Taxes on actual physical things and actual money paid to people.

      Theft, even when it's the government that practices it, is never a net good.

      ...Oh.

      You know, I wish slashdot had a 'hide person' option that wasn't labeled 'Enemy'. Enemy is a bit...extreme.

      You're just very brainwashed.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    299. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      Honestly, I would recommend to get out of US, start targeting customers in other countries, US consumer is dying out and US currency is as weak as never and getting weaker, so what are you waiting for?

    300. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      We got over the dot com bust in a hurry as well ... in the exact same way as the 20s, by ballooning private debt.

      I just don't see how you can see the 20s as a market miracle without looking at the 00s as the same thing. IMO neither was, they were purely debt fuelled consumption binges.

      The last hurrah before reality took over.

      Social security is pay as you go (mostly, the fund covers short term fluctuations). It's not debt proper, more like a future tax increase to come.

    301. Re:Defaulting is worse! by yuhong · · Score: 1

      Yep, why do you think the US put federal deposit insurance and separation of investment and deposit banks in the same bill?

    302. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Except that we owe four times as much money to other people.

      We can owe the college fund $25,000 dollars...and the bank $100,000 , and the solution is to...stop collecting the college fund. Um.

      There is no situation where collecting the college fund can make things worse. In this world, where we're $1000 in debt each month, it reduces the interest payments. In an ideal world, where we pay off $1000 a month, it still reduces interest payments of another $200.

      No matter how crippled under debt you are, you accept interest-free loans...so you can pay off your interest-bearing loans. There is never any downside. There is not even a conceivable downside.

      If we really can't pay off 1/5th of the debt, we're pretty much reduced to this, and social security is the least of our problems.

      Either conservatives have no grasp of economics, or they just want to kill social security.

      Actually, I don't see why both of those can't be correct.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    303. Re:Defaulting is worse! by the_womble · · Score: 1

      Many of these tech companies (MS and Google at least, probably others) do not actually have significant operations in Ireland.

      All they do is bill transactions through Ireland so that they pay tax at the low Irish tax rate. The way it works is that for example, they will license software developed in the US to the Irish subsidiary at a low rate. The Irish subsidiary re-licences it to the rest of the world at a high rate, and the profit is made in Ireland.

      Note that the software development can be done in the US, or India, or where ever, so it does not create jobs, only tax revenues. The exports and the higher GDP are phantoms. The tax revenue is essentially a charge for providing a tax haven that is in the EU, and therefore less vulnerable to counter-measures than various Caribbean Islands and semi-detached bits of Britain are.

    304. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      Monetizing debt is not the same as defaulting.

      - I disagree. Monetizing debt is worse than just defaulting, selling assets and repaying maybe 20-35% on the dollar in the current dollars, whatever they are worth (though, seriously, USD is 30% below its value of 10 years ago in just currencies, and its maybe 300%-500% below in various commodities).

      Monetizing debt means a dishonest way to buy back bonds, it's dishonest and it will destroy the dollar on one hand and will push long term interest up into double digits on another. Even if there is no hyper inflation immediately, the double digit interest rates will preclude any economic activity in US for a long time.

      Our GDP still outstrips our debt obligations

      - again, military spending, bail outs, bond sales, stimulus, all of this nonsense is part of this GDP.

      What is US producing? Submarines I guess, because consumer goods show 50Billion/month trade deficit. Well, good luck eating submarines.

      and tax rates on the wealthiest are still paltry compared to where they were in the '60's.

      - I am sorry, that's just such a (expletive deleted) argument. First of all nobody was paying those stupid rates at the time, the effective taxes were LOWER than what the effective taxes today, that's why the capital is leaving. Secondly, why do you even think that there should be any income taxes at all, especially when what is actually LACKING is capital? Unbelievable.

      We're not in any danger over the next decade unless the government gets really boneheaded

      - hey, if putting hands over your ears and shouting "not listening" is working for you, it's fine then.

      I moved all money into gold quite a while ago, seems to me to make more sense. Got out of North America, working on a business in Europe/Asia, targeting non-Americans as consumers, because I do think that what US gov't is doing will destroy economy of US within 1-2 years from now. QE2 is a very good indicator - Fed printing as much money in 6-7 months to buy those US bonds as much US gov't is aiming at borrowing by June 2011. AFAIC this is debt monetization and now and it is Fed being the lender of last resort to US gov't.

      Why should Fed buy those bonds? Looks to me like nobody else is going to, that's why. Looks to me the US will soon have to buy back the bonds that are about to roll over, that's why. It's falling down right in front of us.

      You know what you are reminding me of? Bernanke, when he was sitting in 2006, 2007 an 2008, saying: there is nothing going on, no housing bubble, no recession, nothing.

      I think what you mean is the USD may not remain being the world reserve currency, which is not nearly the same thing as becoming irrelevant.

      - what I actually mean, is that you'll be carrying those dollars in a little wheelbarrow to buy whatever you still can, but don't leave the load in front of a store, somebody may just dump the dollars and steal the barrow.

      And yet the market, with all it's big players and such, don't seem to disagree with them all that much.

      - really? Which indicators are you looking at? I am looking at these:

      October 1 2010

      Gold: new high
      Silver: new 30 year high
      Gold stocks hit 52 week high
      Oil: strong day and strong week
      Dollar: dropped 13 percent from peak 3 months ago

      September is done, media says: this is best September in 71 years. Dow gained 7.7%, S&P gained 8.8%.

      However this month of September.

      CRB Index (commodities): gained 8.7% - beat DOW and just under S&P
      Soy beans: up 9.5% - beat S&P
      Copper: up 10% - beat S&P
      Rice: up 10% - beat S&P
      Oil: up 11% - beat S&P
      Corn: up 12% - beat S&P
      Silver: up 13% - beat S&P
      Frozen concentrated orange juice: up 13% - beat S&P

    305. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Social Security is not revenue neutral this year and won't be revenue neutral after 2013.

      Yes, if only we could, you know, slightly change it and have it remain okay.

      Oh, what's that? We can? We could raise the cap on income? Well, let's do that, then.

      Under unrealistic assumptions, Medicare is revenue neutral for less than twenty years (and continues to outpace GDP).

      Again, I have no idea what 'outpace the GDP' has to with anything. The reason Medicare is outpacing the GDP is that medical costs are outpacing the GDP.

      There's really only one actual solution to that, and it's getting medical costs under control. Getting entirely rid of Medicare won't change the fact no one can afford health care.

      Once medical costs are under control, Medicare is pretty automatically sustainable. If medical costs are not gotten under control, it hardly matters in exactly which manner we're unable to afford health care....we all died of typhoid or something.

      If you want to argue that the health care bill hasn't done that, well, fine. Feel free to argue for some other bill fixing that. (I would argue for a bill to kill health insurance CEOs and put their heads on pikes. That wouldn't solve anything, but it would be good for morale.) But that doesn't change what the actual problem is, and it isn't Medicare.

      The reason I don't "grasp" that is because it isn't true. Social Security and Medicare are established by law. Congress can change that law. I recognize that the US probably won't destroy these programs, but it's foolhardy to claim that they are untouchable.

      Well, no, as Medicare is voluntary, Congress could hardly remove the payout from it and expect people to keep paying premiums for Medicare insurance.

      If Medicare payouts went away, all incoming Medicare money (Which is more than outgoing Medicare money, at least for now.), would go away. Because no one would buy Medicare insurance anymore!

      Now, strictly speaking, Congress could remove the payout of social security, and yet keep removing SSI premiums from people's paycheck.

      I suspect people would take issue with that, though, considering that's an obvious tax increase.

      But I'll finish with one reason why I don't think we should just raise taxes to deal with the problem.

      If you want to remove social security, but keep collecting social security premiums by law, you do want to raise taxes, because those aren't SSI premiums anymore. You turned 'mandatory insurance premiums' into 'general taxes', removing payout from the insurance.

      You just didn't want it to look like you raised taxes. But that plan won't work. It's like removing garbage pickup from a city, but leaving it on the tax bill, but send it to general revenue.

      Firstly, that pisses people off, and secondly, people aren't morons and know damn well what you just did. You just raised taxes by that amount, and now you're lying to them about it.

      My view is that about half to two thirds of the US government budget doesn't serve a compelling national need and should be eliminated for that reason along.

      If you don't like Medicare, feel free to, you know, not get Medicare. It is voluntary, you know, and paid out of people who join it.

      Including it in a discussion of the deficit demonstrate how entirely unserious you are about this issue.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    306. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thanks, Captain Hindsight!

    307. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Moridin42 · · Score: 1

      The presence of a government does not in itself limit the freedom of a market, especially if the market wouldn't exist without the government.

      All governments limit the freedom of markets. Always. They need not limit all markets, and indeed the US government has done a wonderfully expensive job of not limiting the black market for drugs, but the very existence of a government limits some market.

      A government has a monopoly on making laws. That is an extremely limited market. And there is no real competition. I can only change governments by uprooting my whole life, which is pretty much the opposite of changing soft drinks or PC vendors, and it is bloody expensive. Not to mention that your new government is only going to be marginally less shitty than the old one. The marginal cost required to obtain marginal benefits (pun intended) is insane.

      Then, governments generally have a monopoly on enforcing those laws. If they can't enforce the laws they pass, they're don't really exist as a government. Enforcement of laws requires even more resources than creating laws. So.. governments must tax you in order to provide this service. I suppose they could collect an at-least-cost fee for doing their job, but that would create all kinds of incentive for corruption. So either they tax you to provide the monopoly service (market distortion x2) or they create a corrupted monopoly service (market distortion x2).

      --
      I don't expect morality, equality, consistency, or justice from the law. I expect only legality.
    308. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It also isn't a free market. Employers have asymmetrical information advantages which disrupts the requirements for a free market to exist.

    309. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Moridin42 · · Score: 1

      Thats because a century or so ago it was very valuable to have currency that wasn't easy to fake, didn't grow on trees, and was easy to exchange in many different countries.

      These days, those qualities aren't so much valuable. There are other ways to make currency that is difficult to fake, aren't easy to come by, and easily exchanged in other countries. Gold is still valuable because it has acquired new uses even as its old uses disappeared.

      --
      I don't expect morality, equality, consistency, or justice from the law. I expect only legality.
    310. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Reziac · · Score: 1

      If my business was portable, I'd consider it. As it is, I'm trying to get moved to a less business-hostile state, but that's being a very slow process.

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    311. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Reziac · · Score: 1

      Actually, I'm a small-business owner with 4 decades of experience.

      Guess you've never heard of state sales tax. Or worked out what it costs you to have a single employee in California (hint: almost 3 times as much is paid to the state as to the employee). Or figured out what level of revenue you need to stay in business at all, never mind make a profit sufficient to live on. When my costs (including taxes) go up, I can only eat the increase up to the point where I start losing money, even if I can afford to break even. So if taxes go up, something has to give. For a small business that's usually the owner's paycheck (owner gets paid LAST), then you have to start squeezing materials and employees. OR you can raise prices, if your market allows it. OR you can go out of business or flee that business climate. Sure, you charge what you can. But you seem to think that's always a great profit margin, and the truth is more the opposite, usually the most you can get barely keeps your business afloat. And when cheap foreign junk drives prices below your rising costs, then what?

      But hey, go right on raising taxes to business, and bang the drum of unrestricted globalization, then bitch about the tough job market....

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    312. Re:Defaulting is worse! by el3mentary · · Score: 1

      Speaking from the other side of the pond, from what we can see Obama is doing a much better job and is a far more competent leader than old Dubya.

      Despite the moronic cries of "OH NOES TEH SOCIALISM IS EVULZ!" from a lot of people especially online he seems to be doing a damn good job from where we stand (Europe) as far as we see it your entire country is still strongly right wing. Socialism works, well perhaps some of you should wake up and realise that.

      Expanding on that I don't know anyone who thinks having a certain Mrs Palin as the head of the most powerful country on earth would be anything less than exceedingly dangerous.

      --
      I reject your reality and substitute my own.
    313. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The US is not Zimbabwe, we have innovation and produce a food surplus and have a long tradition of freedom of speech and other essential American freedoms. The US is also not the Weimar Republic, we have not lost a World War (to US!) and we don't have reparation payments forced on us by the victors.

      As long as we keep innovating, we can print as much money as we want. Reagan proved deficits don't matter. Sarah Palin's grandparents were predicting their grandkids would not be as well off as they were but she's making millions...

    314. Re:Defaulting is worse! by iserlohn · · Score: 1

      The financial turmoil in the past few years (and some would argue for the past 30 years) is the direct result of these inefficiencies, including excessive remuneration of the financial industry in risk taking behaviour. You can not excuse the free-market in its excesses. But on the other hand, to take the cavalier attitude of letting moral hazard run its course and leaving millions of rather innocent people destitute is irresponsible to the extreme.

      At the end of the day, what we should be discussing is what we can do to improve the system in the future. This can only be done by improving transparency (so that end-consumers of products and services can make fully-informed choices much more easily) and to lower barriers of entry. That requires regulation without a doubt.

      If this mean banning "financial innovation", then so be it. The very opaqueness of the financial industry is what caused the problem in the first place.

    315. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Pecisk · · Score: 2

      I would strongly disagree.

      Like it or not, but when bank goes bankrupt, lot of shit hits the pan. I know "modern human" should despise banks, and I don't like them, but saying that services what bank provides - mostly short term credits and credits for production - are not worth saving is living in "la la" land. Yes, some banks goes bankrupt and nothing wrong with that, but if all sector slips underwater - it is a problem.

      Are banks stupid and arrogant? Yes. Did their speculations wasted world economy? Yes. Can we do without them? Unfortunately not. At least not now, not at this instance. Yes, we *should* look for better organization of economy, but unless there is some serious pioneering in this field by respected country (Scandinavia, India, Japan), this simply won't happen. Another alternative is to inform people about this complex issue and increase their knowledge in this field. Then they could start to request politicians to do something about it.

      --
      user@ubuntubox:~$ stfu This server is going down for shutdown NOW!
    316. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      A society dependent on "investment from rich capitalists" is not a free market either. Honestly. Was history a required subject when you went to school?

    317. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      If businesses could charge more for those goods, and have people buy them, then they'd already charge more for those goods.

      - BZZZT! You are a doofus. The prices for the junk you buy now do not have those high import taxes you want to implement.

      Implement your high import taxes, and unless you give ONE IMPORTER company a preferential deal, all of the prices will go up by the amount of the import tax you charge.

      YOU = BIG FAIL.

    318. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Jedi+Alec · · Score: 1

      In a free market the people who could afford those items would be the only ones to receive them, which is how the world should work.

      Ah, yes, let's stop educating the children of the poor and unfortunate. Because god forbid there's anyone left to work the knowledge jobs 20 years from now.

      --

      People replying to my sig annoy me. That's why I change it all the time.
    319. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Hahaha. This is the biggest lie of them all. This has nothing to do with capitalism. Rather, history shows quite clearly it is the market manipulations by Keynesians (and proto-Keynesians shortly before John Maynard made himself known). All you have to do is look at a simple chart showing how much the dollar bought at any given year.

      Reminder: nearly ALL the government economic advisers for the last 100 years have been basically proponents of Keynesian economics (even before it had that name), with the possible exception of Milton Friedman. And did these Keynesian economists EVER predict ANY major economic event? No, they did not.

      Reminder: despite the Keynesian's claim of a "scientific" approach to economics, in science a theory is only as good as its ability to PREDICT EVENTS. Keynesians' score over nearly 100 years? Pretty close to zero. They did not predict the "Great Depression" (and in fact modern economists believe the Keynesian "New Deal" actually prolonged recovery by as much as 10 years). They did not predict the "stagflation" that occurred during the Carter era (I am not blaming him but it occurred when he was Pres.). This "stagflation" is actually impossible, according to classic Keynesian economic theory. They had to revise their "theory" after the fact (and they were scrambling to do so, believe me) in order to account for it. But did it help?

      They did not predict the "tech bubble" of the turn of the century. In fact, same as before, they kept saying everything was fine (and it was, according to their theory). Until the shit hit the fan. Then -- yet again -- they went scrambling to try to explain why. Did their new ideas help?

      Cut to the "housing bubble" of recent years. Hey, wait a minute: exactly the same CRAP that was going on in another part of our economy around 2000, just now in real estate. Imagine that. And the Keynesians continued to insist that it was okay. Everything was okay. Everything is going to be fine.

      All the while, no mention of the fact that Keynesian theory advocates CONTROL of the market via the money supply and other factors. The Fed is the primary tool in this endeavor. But it has to be pointed out (as I have) that they have FAILED at every turn, to "control" the market in any way that benefits the citizens of the U.S.

      Reminder: market control is NOT "free market capitalism".

      Funny, though: during most of this period, back to and including the time before the Great Depression, the Monetarists and the Austrians (or proto-Austrians) did in fact predict economic mayhem. They were very open about their belief that the economic "control" was bringing disaster... as in fact it did.

      And they predicted "stagflation", which the Keynesians said was impossible.

      And they predicted the tech bubble. And the housing bubble. And all the while the Keynesians were saying "Everything is great. We can CONTROL the economy."

      Reminder: control is the opposite of free market.

      So why are the Keynesians still advising all the politicians? When in fact their record is, like, zero, and other schools of economy have actually done pretty well?

      You have two choices: Either they are all abysmally stupid, or there is something else going on. But whatever it is, it isn't, and hasn't been, free market.

      I'm not making claims or accusations. I'm just asking questions.

    320. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Jedi+Alec · · Score: 1

      If there's one thing I've learned in the last decade it's that in politics, labels and 'buckets' that you can lump things together in are the tools of the truth twisters. When you stick to the specifics, the details, it's possible for one plan to win out over others, logically. When things start getting painted in broad strokes we descend into dogma, propaganda, and further polarization.

      I'ts called framing and it's how the game is played these days. See also "Death Panels" etc. Actual debate on the specifics and details is few and far between, because both the pundits and the general public can't be bothered to listen for long enough. Besides, anything more than 3 2-syllable words won't fit on a sign for the next "grassroots" rally, now will it?

      --

      People replying to my sig annoy me. That's why I change it all the time.
    321. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      My other post had points to make, but I can sum a lot of it up in few words:

      If you look at a chart of what the dollar has been worth, over time, you will see that when the free market actually prevailed, it remained almost constant, over 100 years. It was only when "economists" started "controlling" the economy by manipulating the money supply, that "instabilities" occurred, and the value of the dollar has steadily plummeted ever since. It's history, man. Look it up. The free market does not "fluctuate" like that. Stop listening to people with agendas and instead study your history. It is the difference between taking someone's word, and looking up the facts.

    322. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      Like where? As bad as it is getting in the first world ... we still have the highest median disposable income, it's dropping ... but it's not going to be exceeded anywhere else any time soon.

      China is trying to inflate wages but it runs the risk of falling into the same trap as the US and just bleeding industry while their poorer neighbours buy up their currency allowing China to run a trade deficit with them ... until China too is mired in debt.

      Free trade is a race to the bottom. For decades China has stuck to the bottom (for the majority of their population) allowing their industry to grow ... but as they try to climb out of the bottom free trade will reverse that growth.

    323. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      What does this mean: China is trying to inflate wages?

      China is following US footsteps in terms of inflation (money printing), that I do understand. China shouldn't do that, they should decouple from the USD (and they are doing it gradually, they signed an agreement with Russia to trade in their own currencies, not in US dollars) and they should allow their currency to strengthen, because they are the world's producer and the should start behaving like one and start consuming the very goods they produce, they deserved it already.

      They will eventually of-course allow this to happen, their own consumer will see prices drop (relative to their own currency) and they will be able to buy more, while their wages will go up gradually, because the population is becoming more productive, more educated, more experienced in production.

      As to US having the highest median disposable income, is that on the TOP of consumer curve? Because actually US has the highest debt per family, so unless by 'disposable' you mean credit card debt, mortgages and other loans, then I don't see how that translates to being 'first world'.

      To me 'first world' means first of all PRODUCTION. You can produce stuff that everybody wants? Then you are first world.

      As to the free trade being 'race to the bottom', that's good, I want the race to be to the bottom.

      I want the race force prices to drop. I want deflation. I want lower prices. I want more competition among everything. I welcome it and I will benefit from it. You will too, you just don't see it. The correct thing to do is actually to have free trade and free market, but this means that gov't should not spend money on anything beyond minimum military and the justice department, it should not get credit that it's stealing from the private sector, it should not have debt, because it means it cannot actually pay for anything, it should not tax income, because that's taxing production, and free trade only will work for you if you allow production to flourish, not consumption through artificial means, printing, borrowing and artificially low interest rates.

      In any case, the question was: where should Reziac go, how should he restructure his business not to die out and still to make profit and to provide whatever benefit he provides to the society while making that profit.

      The answer of-course is clear: Asia and some places in Europe and probably South America, but it's obviously not USA, UK or France at this point in time.

    324. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      China wants to boost internal consumption, for that media wage has to rise (inflate).

      China meteoric rise has been accompanied by inflation all the way. It was to their benefit AND centrally planned.

      As for deserving it, I would disagree ... running trade surpluses is no better than running trade deficits. It can only be accomplished by currency manipulation, which has required massive money printing ... which you say you dislike. Without money printing (to buy dollars and US bonds) they could never have run a trade surplus for so long and attracted so much investment and industry.

      This was what my original comment about Keynes was about, he recognized that trade deficits and surpluses are destabilizing ... and his bancor scheme would have punished them. Unfortunately we got the US dollar as a reserve currency instead.

      Whether they deserve it or not will ultimately be irrelevant too ... as I said, as soon as they start increasing wages they will start bleeding industry. Free trade takes no prisoners.

      Interest rates are low, even after servicing debts people in the US/EU/Japan/etc still have the highest disposable income in the world.

    325. Re:Defaulting is worse! by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      that services what bank provides - mostly short term credits and credits for production

      My friend, there are banks and then there are banks. The banks that got bailed out here in the US are not the regular type of bank that gives credit to individuals and businesses, they are the kind of banks that deal in credit default swaps (CDO) and place high-risk bets on economies, knowing full well the government will bail them out if they lose. They are extremely irresponsible institutions and they're poison to our economy and to our future. They consistently skim the top 1/4 of our gross domestic product and light their cigars with it.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    326. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fascism isn't an opinion, it's a crime.

    327. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      China wants to boost internal consumption, for that media wage has to rise (inflate).

      - For now this is simply not true. If China actually wanted to see more internal consumption, all it would have to do is allow their currency to appreciate, which is the REVERSE of inflation. Inflation is money printing and it ends up in higher consumer prices. If you want to make your population be able to afford more (higher purchasing power), you do not inflate money supply, you reduce it. In case of China that would mean they'd have to stop printing money to keep up with US printing. For now that hasn't happened, they are keeping their currency pegged to US currency artificially and they don't need to, so I am sorry, your argument has no basis in reality for now. But China will decouple from USD, it's starting, that's what Chinese/Russian new trade deal is about.

      running trade surpluses is no better than running trade deficits.

      - did you type this on a Chinese made keyboard? Do you have more than one computer at home?

      Saying that running trade surplus is bad, is like saying: people really want FEWER things, not more.

      Again, this has no basis in reality. I see that people have capacity to consume unlimited number of things, no matter how much you throw at them, they will take it and ask for more.

      It can only be accomplished by currency manipulation, which has required massive money printing ...

      :) No. The way that Chinese did it is not by printing currency, it's by getting the capital to leave other countries and to come to theirs, because they have very impressive economic conditions ripe for growing at increasing rates.

      You get more production by inviting capital, by letting the private sector to flourish. You do that by reducing gov't spending, by letting the private sector to have that credit that gov't is not taking away, by letting the private sector to compete with as few laws regulating trade/production as possible, by letting the labor compete. I'd say China has much freer economic conditions than most of the rest of the 'civilized' world today, even though their top leadership is all 'communist' supposedly in nature.

      Well sure, they have 'communist' party there, but it looks more like a real 'capitalist' party to me, which allows and invites and promotes the capital to COME into the country, not to leave it, the way US is doing it.

      Without money printing (to buy dollars and US bonds) they could never have run a trade surplus for so long and attracted so much investment and industry.

      - No. Without money printing, China would just have to consume more of their own products, because their currency would appreciate and become more expensive compared to other currencies and the purchasing power of Chinese would rise and they would be able to consume more (and this does not require any sort of wage inflation).

      China is buying US bonds because it is still trying to prop up US consumer, it's all misguided of-course, they are slow to understand, but will.

      Japan did the same thing in the nineties, they listened to Bernanke (what a ridiculous thing to do) and flooded their currency supply, it was a disaster. But Japan still had all that production capacity, so they had cheap money, they reduced the purchasing power of their own consumers and they propped up US consumer, none of it was necessary for Japan, all of it was very bad for their economy, they should have let the factories to restructure and prices to fall, they can buy their own products and they can trade with countries other than US.

      ---

      Keynes, I have nothing good to say here, so I'll skip it.

      ---

      Interest rates are low, even after servicing debts people in the US/EU/Japan/etc still have the highest disposable income in the world.

      - Interest rates are low, ha?

      Interest rates are r

    328. Re:Defaulting is worse! by vegiVamp · · Score: 1

      > Under Fascism there would have been no Ted "series of tubes" Stevens. The election for telecommunications representatives to the chamber of deputies would have been democratic through all levels of membership, from cable monkey to executive. The best people would be chosen to represent the interests of the guild and people with no clue get no say.

      While I like the rest of your post, this is utter bullshit. Nothing prevents nepotism from rearing it's ugly head here, too; and after a while the people who get elected to the lawmaking side of things will still be those who can get the most done to benefit the people electing them, which is not necessarily that which benefits society as a whole.

      Imagine if the RIAA got to select their own lawmakers, instead of having to bribe existing ones.

      --
      What a depressingly stupid machine.
    329. Re:Defaulting is worse! by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      You know, making up "undeniable fact" still constitutes making things up.

      Quite frankly, lending from yourself (no matter how many "departments" are involved) is a fraudulent scheme, no matter which way you turn it. Basically the government has -somehow- gotten away with spending "we'll tax future americans" IOU's.

      The government has spent the pensions of American baby boomers. That is an actual fact.

    330. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      The Chinese plan to inflate wages is more of a long term plan ... they will buy plenty of dollars in the mean time, they will just ease off a bit.

      The way that Chinese did it is not by printing currency

      Gosh golly ... why did they do it then?

      That they printed fiat money to buy up dollars is beyond all reasonable discussion, the sun comes up in the morning and China printed Yuan to buy dollars ... that's just how it is.

    331. Re:Defaulting is worse! by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      I don't entirely understand his post either, but the fundamental premise is right : SocSec is a ponzi scheme.

    332. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      Dude, they print money to stay pegged to US dollar artificially, but that is not how they got all the capital and production :)

      If that was enough, just to print the dollars to be ahead of US printing dollars, then all the production would have been in Zimbabwe. They have hundreds of trillions of dollars per person.

      The trick is not in printing money, the trick is in having an ecosystem that is conducive to inviting and keeping the capital, production. The trick is to have a lot of cheap (or relatively to others cheaper) labor. The trick is to free the credit by reducing gov't spending and to let the private sector have all that credit. The trick is to have very low taxes, very few regulations and relatively unemployed population.

      US is getting there, in terms of unemployed population. The thing that's left to do is get gov't out of the way, reduce gov't spending and regulations and taxes and the capital will come back.

    333. Re:Defaulting is worse! by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      By 2030, the Federal Government will have little more revenue than to pay entitlements and interest on debt, nothing for it's official functions.

      2030? It's almost there now. In the 2010 Federal Budget, there are $2184 billion in mandatory spending (entitlements, interest) and $2381 billion in revenues.

      All but $197 billion of our tax revenues this past year went to entitlements and interest, leaving the trillion-odd dollars spent on the "official functions) to be almost entirely paid for by increasing the national debt.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    334. Re:Defaulting is worse! by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      Defaulting is the best of a set of bad choices. Bailing out the banks was a stupid choice in the first place but they're stuck with that now.

      Why would tech companies leave because Ireland defaulted on some debt?

      From a moral point of view default is the correct choice - the owners of and those who loaned money to the banks that lost it all are the ones who should take the hit, not the government and hence people of Ireland.

      From an economic point of view default is the correct choice - flush bad debts out of the system, those that invested poorly lose their capital since clearly they are inneficient allocators of it.

    335. Re:Defaulting is worse! by rgviza · · Score: 1

      It'll be $400k in about 8 more years.

      --
      Don't kid yourself. It's the size of the regexp AND how you use it that counts.
    336. Re:Defaulting is worse! by rgviza · · Score: 1

      Fascism is "Nationalist Socialism"

      --
      Don't kid yourself. It's the size of the regexp AND how you use it that counts.
    337. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1
      For Medicare, I was pointing out that keeping it going as it is, is a physical impossibility. It's a good thing you get that. Hence, benefits will be cut at some point in some way.

      What the hell are you yammering about? Why, exactly, do old people not need social security?

      The combination of Social Security and Medicare provides some very perverse incentives for the elderly. First, people who start retirement are generally the wealthiest category of age group. In other words, we start giving money to the age group that least needs it. Second, Social Security still provides an incentive not to work. Third, Medicare provides an incentive to deplete assets (say by spending them or giving them to the kids) when the serious medical bills start to show up. Fourth, people are living longer and the Baby Boomers are retiring. Yet Social Security doesn't take these changing demographics into account.

      My view is that the majority of US citizens can both pay for their retirement, assuming they would choose to do so in the absence of Social Security, and pay for their final medical bills. In other words, Social Security and Medicare aren't needed by the majority of old people.

    338. Re:Defaulting is worse! by rgviza · · Score: 1

      >>Any tax dinged against a business MUST be passed along to the consumer,

      >No it doesn't. The price that customers are charged has NO BEARING on the taxes assessed against it.

      The fuck they don't. You levy taxes against the sale of goods and/or services and the cost of the taxes get passed DIRECTLY to the consumer. See alcohol and tobacco tax for a very simple example...

      If the gov says tomorrow "Ok we're going to levy a $500 tax on all TVs" do you honestly think Best Buy will eat that tax for us? Hell no! The next day all TVs will be $500 more expensive.

      Best Buy HAS to pass that added cost on to us. They can't stay in business otherwise.

      If the tax is only levied against best buy, yea they have to stop selling TV's. They wouldn't be able to compete in that market segment anymore.

      >Businesses do not pick a 'profit level' and operate there, moving up and down in response to costs.

      This is correct. They pick a profit level and operate there, moving up and down in response to _demand_. On a level playing field, if every business is charged a new tax, every business will increase their price by the same amount, leading to higher prices for everyone. Demand will mostly stay the same and the prices will go up across the board. Again, see alcohol and tobacco tax...

      --
      Don't kid yourself. It's the size of the regexp AND how you use it that counts.
    339. Re:Defaulting is worse! by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      That is why I figure the USA will default in 5 years, 10 tops.

      This keeps getting repeated and it keeps being wrong. The US CAN'T default on it's debt. Our debt is denominated in US dollars, which means the US government can always make payments, either through raising taxes or inflating the currency.

      Just because they can print the money to pay off their debt doesn't mean they have to. They can also say "we aren't paying you back" or "we are only paying back 25c on the dollar). Of course politically that would be much more damaging and so even though it's likely less economically damaging, politicians aren't going to choose it.

      It's not impossible though.

      The only thing really keeping us afloat is the Fed printing money as fast as the presses will run and using it to buy our debt, basically making the money worthless.

      So then, there must be rampant inflation then correct? According to economic indicators our currency has been strengthening recently, and inflation has been low to non-existent. In fact it has been too low which has worried some that we would enter a deflationary period.

      There is rampant inflation. Sure it's mostly restricited to commodities (though food and energy are commodities so that isn't all good news), because it's essentially being exported to China (who have pretty large inflation numbers) via the Chinese psuedo-pegging their currency to the dollar.

      The US can basically inflate as much as they want without inflation taking off domestically because the Chinese are nice enough to inflate to match and move the price inflation to their side of the world. One day they'll stop though.

      Then figure in the retiring boomers...

      Yeah, who will be taking their SS money and dumping it back into the economy. Sure it will stress the SS program but that money isn't evaporating into thin air. It will be re-entering the system.

      Their money is held in treasuries by SS. Which means (when payouts exceed incomings) to pay them SS has to redeem some treasuries. Which means the Government has to pay them back - but the government is already running a deficit so that means the government has to borrow more money from elsewhere (or print) or reduce spending. Sicne they won't reduce spending that means more inflation since that is what borrowing or printing does.

      huge masses of working poor that are only kept afloat by social programs

      Mainly because we don't have a real education system in place for people to gain new skill sets. There's a reason why we rank far below other developed nations in education.

      That's part of it. There's also that production has moved offshore and with it those jobs. Now working in a factory isn't exactly the greatest job on Earth, however, there are a lot of people who are never going to be white collar workers but would be fine with those jobs.

      and the cost of two endless wars?

      No argument there. The money that was spent on those two conflicts alone could have done much more good here in the US.

      Yeah I give it a decade tops. Enjoy it while you can folks, because from the looks of it another worldwide great depression will soon be upon us.

      You're a little late to the party on that one. So far it has mainly been a recession. The US is in a recovery, albeit a slow one.

      Sure maybe. I suspect a US currency collapse is more likely - which won't produce a global depression, just a sucky decade for the US.

      The only question is whether we will learn from our mistakes and put heavy regulations on the banks like we did during the last one, or if those that believe in the free market fairy will win out. Without control free markets quickly end up corrupted when too much end

    340. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      If they turn on the light switch, the power bill will be higher. That they are directly related has no relevance to whether they will think of the power bill when they turn on the light switch. So the fact that one causes the other is unrelated to whether one is considered when doing the other.

      So you agree that there are relations, but you want to say that there aren't.

    341. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Sigh.

      Obviously what you're saying is correct.

      Of course, what I was presenting was altering taxes, not raising them across the industry. We were talking about a business, not 'businesses'.

      I'm really getting tired of having to defend myself from a billion different people who didn't read the context.

      For the record, I suggested that, instead of taxing business income (Which is incredibly easy to dodge.), we tax actual monetary transactions that happen in the US...we tax employees, we tax goods sold, we tax good imported even more, we dividends.

      At the Federal level, instead of income tax, at a level to make up the lack of income tax, as this has seemed to confuse everyone. I know we already tax some of that at various levels.

      Do you have an actual issue with that (An actual issue was, in fact, pointed out with taxing dividends, that a lot of poor people have them as the only income.), or not?

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    342. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Guess you've never heard of state sales tax. Or worked out what it costs you to have a single employee in California (hint: almost 3 times as much is paid to the state as to the employee).

      Yes, California behaves sanely here, but businesses just move elsewhere, and California can't tax imports.

      As I pointed out, states already try this, but have a rather fundamental flaw in that they can't tax imports.

      Likewise, the US uses 'corporate income tax' which is utterly nonsensical.

      OR you can go out of business or flee that business climate.

      Or, if you're a large company, you 'flee' the business climate, while still doing everything here and paying no corporate income taxes on it.

      But you seem to think that's always a great profit margin, and the truth is more the opposite, usually the most you can get barely keeps your business afloat. And when cheap foreign junk drives prices below your rising costs, then what?

      YOU. TAX. THE. FUCKING. IMPORTS. LIKE. I. WAS. SUGGESTING.

      Will you please read what I'm suggesting instead of trying to figure out a sentence to disagree with?

      I know we already tax those things at various places. My suggestion was to remove corporate income taxes (Which have been demonstrated to be sheer nonsense as only small business owners pay them, everyone who can afford it moves their mailbox to somewhere else.), and make up the difference in Federal taxes on those things, either new taxes or increasing the old.

      Do you have a comment on that?

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    343. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      The world is never black and white. You do need decent education and infrastructure ... but you can't run decades worth of trade surplus without currency manipulation.

      China didn't succeed by attracting capital. Business is done in China with Yuan, not with foreign capital. What they needed were entrepreneurs, dollars to buy raw materials, outsourced business from the US/EU to get know how. Capital they could simply print, which is what they did.

      If the US removes minimum wage and welfare who exactly would buy the potential output from US factories using the trick of cheap labour? The US is the consumer of last resort of the world productive output ... if the US median wage drops everything goes to shit, at least in the short term.

      Now you may promise a fast recovery ... but in the mean time given the amount of debt accumulated it's going to make the great depression look like a walk in the park.

      BTW, China destroyed over 10% of it's arable land ... removing regulations has side effects.

    344. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Reziac · · Score: 1

      Okay, tho that's not what I got from your previous post (nor your others in this chain, which I've read most of -- the impression I got was that you were FOR increased tax on business).

      My own solution would be to eliminate all the income and sales taxes (sales/use taxes unfairly penalise those least able to pay, as such tax is a much larger proportion of their income) and go to purely an import/export duty at both the federal and state levels... which certainly did us well enough before the income tax was instituted!!

      Government, both state and federal, would be limited in size, directly proportional to what the people can produce in hard goods (I contend that services are a cost, not a product). It would therefore be in the govt's best interest to not meddle in ways that unreasonably reduce our production capacity.

      There would be a better balance between some level of local protectionism and the needs of import and export markets, as it would no longer be more profitable to import cheap junk, if anything even reasonably equivalent could be made domestically.

      The real trouble is, as someone pointed out recently (and I find this a reasonable explanation for the unholy symbiosis that's developed between gov't and certain megacorp influences), that gov't has become the biggest corporation on the block, and like everyone else is engaging in shortsighted pursuit of the almighty bottom line. Only diff is, gov't can run at a loss forever, and we're forced to make up the difference.

      One of the big problems with ALL the present gov't revenue-shifting schemes is that they still assume the same level of expenditure by the gov't. Only gov't is allowed to have ever-increasing spending. This has to stop, and we need to go back to levels of gov't and spending that can be rationally supported by our true production value, as above. "Making up the difference" by raising taxes somewhere else should NOT be part of the equation, as it comtinues to enable this "spend it all" gov't mentality.

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    345. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Wow. Utter Poe's Law at an epic scale. I really have trouble telling if you're serious.

      First, people who start retirement are generally the wealthiest category of age group.

      Yes, strangely, invest money, and you will be most wealthy when you retire. Um, duh.

      However, you have no almost income.

      Second, Social Security still provides an incentive not to work.

      Yes, and the elderly must work, or, really, what are they for? *cracks whips*

      Third, Medicare provides an incentive to deplete assets (say by spending them or giving them to the kids) when the serious medical bills start to show up.

      Medicare does not means test, so your premise is entirely screwy to start with. How much money someone has has no bearing how many benefits it pays out, just like any other health insurance.

      Fourth, people are living longer and the Baby Boomers are retiring. Yet Social Security doesn't take these changing demographics into account.

      Because the media has been giving idiots who think it's 'failing' a megaphone instead of people just passing the trivial change required to keep it working, which is to remove or just raise the $106,800 cap on income. Right now, only the first $106,800 of income is taxed, which is, at most, $6621. A billionaire pays $6621 in social security each year.

      I.e., the only 'problem' with social security is that no one's bothered to increase the cap on it with inflation in recent history, and that's been blocked because Republicans want to insist it's 'failing'.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    346. Re:Defaulting is worse! by V+for+Vendetta · · Score: 1

      There are three indisputable examples of fascism in history (Italy, Spain and Germany). In every case it was the government taking over the corporations, not the other way around. Your teachers lied to you.

      Erhm .. WHAT?!? I can't tell for Franco and Mussolini, but Hitler was strongly supported by the Thyssens, Krupps, Porsches and the like. And none of their corporations was taken over by the regime. They still exist nowerdays.

    347. Re:Defaulting is worse! by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Implement your high import taxes, and unless you give ONE IMPORTER company a preferential deal, all of the prices will go up by the amount of the import tax you charge.

      Or, alternately, the business will go to the companies who do not have to import. Which is, you know, half the stated point of this entire thing. (The reason I brought this up was to to stop tax dodges, but it's equally nice it allows us to bring manufacturing back, also.)

      I don't understand how you got 90% of the way there, and then stopped.

      Now, obviously, there are a few industries where there are literally no native suppliers, and I assumed I was talking to someone with a minimal amount of logic that would realize we'd have to treat those a bit differently to start with. Like announcing we would start the taxes in five years, so local industry has time to build up.

      In fact, we'd probably want to do that for all of this. It's a giant process, where different industries and even different countries need different tariffs and they're going to tax us differently back, etc. And that's on top of the other changes I suggested, like getting rid of corporate income tax.

      But feel free to invent an imaginary implementation process which I didn't state at all, and then find problems with the thing you just invented. Because that's certainly useful.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    348. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Microsoft and Google are major employers in Ireland and contribute a very large percentage of the corporate tax paid in the country.

      e.g.

      http://www.examiner.ie/business/google-boss-plans-to-boost-staff-here-103700.html

    349. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      Eh, just stop whining. Demonstrate a need for these programs for everyone who uses these programs (not just a few poor people) or stop wasting my time. Sure, we could tax billionaires for these programs, but we could also just drop them and divert the resources that would have gone into pointless retirement and health care programs into paying down the debt and improving our freedom through a massive reduction in government power.

    350. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      The financial turmoil in the past few years (and some would argue for the past 30 years) is the direct result of these inefficiencies, including excessive remuneration of the financial industry in risk taking behaviour.

      If it were a true free market, those businesses would be bankrupt and we wouldn't be whining about how much bailout money bought so little gratitude or improvement in the risk taking behavior that started this drama.

      You can not excuse the free-market in its excesses. But on the other hand, to take the cavalier attitude of letting moral hazard run its course and leaving millions of rather innocent people destitute is irresponsible to the extreme.

      Ok, so it's "irresponsible". It also would have fixed the problem. Human parasites routinely take "rather innocent" hostages. And bailouts just reward them for doing so. The next bailout will have the same form and rationalization. Until those "rather innocent" hostages take responsibility for their money, they'll continue to be toys in "private profit, public risk" schemes.

    351. Re:Defaulting is worse! by farble1670 · · Score: 1

      Still, if we get another G.W. Bush or Obama, I'd have to consider default in the next ten years a real possibility.

      the reality is that an US politician that cuts spending to the required degree will be cast out of office. cutting spending inevitably means some go without, and it only takes a small number of "no more food for orphans" type of stories to hopeless weigh public opinion against them.

      the US populace doesn't want the government to stop spending.

      the only fact i can point to is that the debt decreased under carter and clinton and rose under reagan and the bushes. it grew massively under reagan in a time when the economy was booming when we should have been paying it down.
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_debt_by_U.S._presidential_terms

      draw your own conclusions. i think we need to wait and see what happens with obama, and bear in mind that it's pretty difficult to cut spending in a recession.

    352. Re:Defaulting is worse! by farble1670 · · Score: 1

      sure, and in a free market Big Bakery Inc. artificially lowers prices and drives Little Corner Bakery out of business. what stops them from doing that? government.

    353. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      You do need decent education and infrastructure

      - and gov't can't do any of it and shouldn't be even trying.

      but you can't run decades worth of trade surplus without currency manipulation.

      - says who? More importantly, who is NOT manipulating their currency? Are you saying that China is manipulating its currency and USA is not?

      US has been printing the dollar ever since the Fed was created and they ramped up the printing since Nixon's gold shock. Are you implying that US is not manipulating currency by printing it? US is accusing everybody of currency manipulation, while all it does is currency manipulation to export inflation to other nations, so I fail to see what is China doing that is so actually terrible compared to what US is doing. When these 2 a put side by side, US is clearly printing more and borrowing more. China is selling all this junk to US and US is printing to buy it all, obviously China is accumulating the dollars and that's why it's buying the bonds. It should stop though.

      China didn't succeed by attracting capital.

      - what? What does that mean? All these companies, who moved into China didn't bring their capital with them? They didn't move the factories? They didn't hire the workers? They didn't buy the tools? You are making no sense.

      Business is done in China with Yuan, not with foreign capital.

      - all the foreign companies, that moved into China, they all brought their foreign capital with them.

      What they needed were entrepreneurs, dollars to buy raw materials, outsourced business from the US/EU to get know how. Capital they could simply print, which is what they did.

      - what are you talking about? Entrepreneurs they got plenty, they are growing them in the country now, what they were missing all this time, while they were subsistence farming, was capital, and you can't print capital.

      Capital doesn't come from printing, no matter what your favorite non-economist Keynesian shamans are telling you. Capital is SAVED. You can get a credit, but that's somebody's savings.

      Capital cannot be printed, otherwise Zimbabwe would have been the most capital rich country, so would have Argentina and Germany before WWII. It's just pure unadulterated nonsense.

      If the US removes minimum wage and welfare who exactly would buy the potential output from US factories using the trick of cheap labour?

      - the welfare recipients, yes, those are the most powerful economic force. Do you know what makes somebody capable of buying stuff, what gives you purchasing power? It's production. If they produce, they can purchase. If they don't produce, they can't.

      The minimum wage is just a small problem, but it is a problem, creating destroying a bunch of jobs that could have existed otherwise, not letting many people without experience and connections to get their first job. The statistics are that 50% of the black youth between ages of 16 and 25 are unemployed. Many of them would have preferred working, but they can't get a job. Get rid of the minimum wage and all of a sudden a job, that is a net loss to a capitalist at 8.55 but is a net gain at 5.50 is on the market and somebody is hired maybe between 3 and 5 bucks an hour. Surely that doesn't hurt anybody if someone, who otherwise would have been a welfare recipient gets a job all of a sudden. Sure it's a poor man's job, but it's a start, it's with understanding that not all jobs are equal, you can't raise a family on it, but you can jump-start your experience and exposure rather than sitting, doing nothing.

      Deflation is necessary, all the regulations need to be removed, all of a sudden prices drop and those $4/hour job are not such a terrible joke anymore, especially if they are exposing people to their first work experience.

      The US is the consumer of last resort of the world productive o

    354. Re:Defaulting is worse! by farble1670 · · Score: 1

      but it is far better than ANY other system

      that's an opinion only.

      the most "free" market in the world is a great place if you are well off. otherwise, it's can be pretty crappy.
      if you don't know or believe that, pick up the CIA fact book and look at how the US ranks.

      i live in the US and i love my country, but we're not living in the 1950's anymore. many countries have surpassed us in quality of life rankings.
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quality-of-life_index

      we're #13, behind many socialist-leaning nations.

    355. Re:Defaulting is worse! by tmosley · · Score: 1

      You think they would steal from their big supporters? Corporations run by Nazi party leaders and major Nazi supporters weren't expropriated, but many, many, MANY others were. This especially happened to the Jewish owned companies, and any other group that was not politically favored.

    356. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      This is demonstrably wrong: social security is what allows people to take risks and not fall in indentured servitude.

      That's not one of the roles of Social Security.

      It allows people to look for the best job -- and therefore also serves economy as a whole. The moralistic aspects are only incidental.

      Neither is this.

      Health insurance has to be socialised, because a free market where one party is literally allowed to say "pay up, or else..." is bound to be highly dysfunctional.

      Socialized health insurance has a larger, more powerful party say "pay up, or else...". It's not materially any different in that respect.

    357. Re:Defaulting is worse! by iserlohn · · Score: 1

      If it was truly a free market, those business would have already become monopolies. There, FIFY.

    358. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      If it was truly a free market, those business would have already become monopolies.

      While monopolies (with very dominant market share) have sprung up occasionally in real world free markets, the key to understanding why they aren't bad is that they are temporary. New competition enters the market and forces these monopolies to continue to behave competitively in order to maintain market share. At some point, that's not good enough and the new competitors grab share from the former monopolist.

    359. Re:Defaulting is worse! by farble1670 · · Score: 1

      republicans haven absolutely been worse on the national debt, in the past 30 years at least. we'll have to wait and see what obama does, not that anyone pays attention to that when it comes to voting.
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_debt_by_U.S._presidential_terms

    360. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      The US manipulates it's own inflation ... but it doesn't manipulate the Yuan.

      Buying foreign currency with printed money is a direct attack on the competitiveness of foreign exports on your internal market (this is what China does). The same is not true for plain money printing to monetize government debt (this is what the US does).

      Without currency manipulation by government, companies in a trade surplus country will tend to chose to spend foreign currency they receive ... which means trade will have to balance out, since the foreign currency can only buy foreign goods.

    361. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      The US manipulates it's own inflation ... but it doesn't manipulate the Yuan.

      - by manipulating the reserve currency, USA is manipulating the entire world, there is a reason people see inflation as the largest export that US produces.

      Buying foreign currency with printed money is a direct attack on the competitiveness of foreign exports on your internal market (this is what China does). The same is not true for plain money printing to monetize government debt (this is what the US does).

      - first of all, this is pure nonsense. US prints money to buy the junk China produces, US doesn't COLLECT Chinese money!

      So this is a nonsensical argument.

      As to what happens to the US money that's printed for the honest reasons of 'monetizing debt', listen to yourself. No matter why the currency is printed, it's automatically inflation, that's what idiots like Krugman and all the 'mainstream morons economists' are missing. Well, that and a some gray matter. It doesn't matter if the money is just in a bank or in your pocket - it's inflation.

      The US prints money and what do you think it DOES with it? That's right, it pushes it offshore, it's inflating the holdings of US currency/bonds for all the US dollar owners. Well that, and it's destroying the purchasing power of its own people.

      What US is doing is 1000 times worse than what Chinese are doing. Chinese are trying to keep up with US inflation, US is CAUSING the inflation in the first place. The entire world is printing money to keep up with the 'reserve' bullshit currency that USD is. The Gig is up, everybody's onto US. It can't hide behind the status of reserve currency owner. Everybody knows US can't pay its debts back, US is admitting it every time some moron from Senate is on TV, spouting how the debt ceiling must be raised, or it's the world's economy that's going to suffer.

      They don't get it. The world is producing, US is consuming. You kill your own currency, you end up with no junk you can buy from the producers, that's all. But of-course it's worse than that, the interest rates will skyrocket and not only you'll end up with no junk to buy, but you'll end up with no possible way of getting any credit to rebuild your manufacturing capacity. It's going to be TOUGH to save all the necessary money first without borrowing it to rebuild the production.

    362. Re:Defaulting is worse! by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      I agree there is a relation between the numbers, but not a relation between the decisions. You are asserting there is a relation between both, and that makes you wrong.

    363. Re:Defaulting is worse! by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      Basically, a system which allows people to survive longer without a job, and therefore ups their odds of getting a job optimises worker's allocation in the economy. Never mind what you think it is for: this is what it does to the economy. Also, the only intelligent debate is about how long/how comfortable this ought to be to maximise global productivity, compared to the cost to the collectivity. This is a complicated and highly technical subject.

      As for socialised health insurance, if you cannot see the difference between a collective (the Nation) agreeing (through its representatives) to spend x amount on health, and x being used to optimise outcomes globally versus a _doctor_ (WTF happened to the Hippocratic oath) asking for your credit card before he will talk to you, you have a twisted, sad vision of the universe.

    364. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      The US government doesn't push money offshore, the fact that US workers don't work in factory dormitories and have pollution caused cancer as their #1 cause of death pushes money offshore.

      At least when combined with free trade and China's eagerness to absorb more offshored industry by making it's citizens work like that (US still has the largest industrial output in the world, there is still industry they can offshore ... that's why China is still buying dollars, it's not charity). Even if US M1 was completely static the same thing would have happened.

      China is willing to take IOUs and fuck over their citizen's wages (US inflation compared to China's over the last decade is a pittance). How exactly was an American worker ever supposed to compete with that?

    365. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      US government is PUSHING money offshore every single goddamn day. How many hundreds of billions of dollars are the wars costing exactly? How much of that money is pushed of-shore? All the bail outs and all the stimulus, what do you think happens to the printed money? It all goes offshore into foreign companies.

      What about all those US bonds that are printed and sold, the QE, the QE2, the QE3 and 4 and 5 that will come after that?

      When you say: China is printing money to buy US dollars.

      First of all, China HAS US dollars through trade, it trades JUNK it produces for US dollars.

      Secondly, US is not taking Chinese currency for their dollars, so saying this is just borderline insane, there is no such thing happening.

      What IS happening is that China is getting all these dollars through trade and it buys US bonds with it, because what ELSE does US produce except for bonds?

      Nothing.

      Bonds and dollars is the US production capacity. (well, weapons too, but that's unproductive stuff, filling in and emptying cartridges, just like digging and filling in holes in the ground that Krugman suggests.)

      Don't tell me things like: "yeah, if US didn't print money, China would still be buying US bonds." - that's bullshit. Where would China get the US dollars to buy bonds with if US stopped printing money?

      What would US do if it stopped printing money, pay with WHAT? When the somebody in the Emirates wanted to buy a port or two in US with US dollars, they were DENIED. That's because US doesn't want to give anything for their dollars (non-trivial amounts) that's because US doesn't want its own money, it's because US is inflating it, it's because it's a hot-potato pyramid and the end is near.

      When you say: China is willing to take IOUs (I presume US bonds) - what exactly SHOULD they be doing with US dollars, if they can't buy anything with them from US? They can buy nothing with those dollars, so they are stupidly keep pegging their currency to the ever inflating dollar, keep producing the junk US consumers want and keep subsidizing those consumers while neglecting their own people and you are saying China wants to see their own consumers purchasing power grow and that's why they are printing? What are you drinking? I want some! That makes no sense at all. I don't know what's the point of this debate, it's like talking into a black hole. Words go in, but none can be used to make any sense, they are all collapsed into nothingness.

      American worker needs to get rid of its American government and then see the capital come back to the private sector, see deflation of good prices and labor and start competing on the global scale against all those productive Chinese, but talking to you makes me think that American worker is drunk and doesn't know what is what.

    366. Re:Defaulting is worse! by iserlohn · · Score: 1

      By your logic, the Earth's existence is just as temporary as your Standard Oil, or Microsoft.

      It's a shame that in the real world, your ideal pictur of how markets operate don't hold up. Real world monopolies are rarely tempered by competition, but rather by external factors, such as a geo-political factors, active anti-trust regulation, and technological shifts. By the time this occurs, the damage had already been done.

      1. Humans are not the most rational economic actors, leading to a variety of problems with the application of market theory.

      2. The market itself is inherently unstable.

      Once you accept these facts, which have been proven by experiment over and over again (unlike the Austrian theories), you are up against this -

      3. Inefficient markets are no better than any other method of resource distribution.

      So what do you do? Do you put up and accept that the market needs "optimization", or preach how economies should work based on the ideas of people that offer no empirical evidence, and in fact reject economics as a empirical field altogether?

    367. Re:Defaulting is worse! by jacob1984 · · Score: 1

      And blanketed statements never represent reality. Seriously? NEVER a net good? I like my roads, libraries, police departments, fire departments, and various environmental regulations, thank you. Libertarians need a firmer grasp on reality.

    368. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Magius_AR · · Score: 1

      So then, there must be rampant inflation then correct? According to economic indicators our currency has been strengthening recently, and inflation has been low to non-existent.

      "Economic indicators" are bullshit, fudged numbers put out by the government to say whatever they want them to say. Have you seen the cost of oil? Cotton? Grain? Fertilizer? Metals? Prices are going up practically across the board and you're going to tell me there's no inflation? You really need to get off the gov't Kool Aid.

      Yeah, who will be taking their SS money and dumping it back into the economy.

      Why would they do that? This is a generation that has had their finances practically decimated by the stock market plunge. My parents are on the verge of retirement and the only thought on their mind is living a life of thrift, not of "spend, spend, spend!".

      Mainly because we don't have a real education system in place for people to gain new skill sets.

      So why is no real effort ever made to advance education? Why do politicians prefer no-strings-attached handouts over rewards for perhaps achieving or at least trying to better your situation? I'd be _much_ less averse to free government money for people who want a degree vs. free government money for subsidized food/housing/care for "the poor". We spend over a trillion a year indiscriminately giving money to the elderly (Social Security/Medicare) whether they need it or not and the poor (Medicaid, Food Stamps, Section 8, etc, etc) whether or not they're trying to better their situation . Where's the incentives?

    369. Re:Defaulting is worse! by jacob1984 · · Score: 1

      That's EXACTLY what Hitler did. William Shirer said it best in the Rise and Fall of the Third Reich: Hitler used populist catchphrases to gain more members. However, Hitler and his ilk were openly opposed to Socialism. He worked directly with Krupp and other companies to give them slave labor and insure they had a complete free hand (See Arms of Krupp). A true fascist government. Stop watching Glenn Beck.

    370. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Magius_AR · · Score: 1

      It is not welfare, it's a forced savings plan that was implemented by the government.

      If that's the case, it's a shitty plan that was horribly conceived. 40 years of the government forcing me to cram some money under my mattress is a ludicrously pisspoor way to prepare for retirement. Longterm (_not_ short term) market investing is a proven sound retirement option. Lifecycle funds that invest in indexes and gradually shift money to safer investments like bonds as you get older would be a reasonable "forced retirement plan". As implemented, it's complete garbage and should be repealed.

    371. Re:Defaulting is worse! by jacob1984 · · Score: 1

      Socialism simply means the state owns property

      You've effectively made the definition so broad as to render it meaningless.

      Have you actually read Marx? Socialism is controlling the means of production. the NSDAP did NOT own the means of production. Krupp, banks, etc. were NOT nationalized under Hitler. Private property was not eliminated.

      On the contrary, Hitler killed thousands of Socialists and Leftists. He was a big supporter of business and the military industrial complex. See The Arms of Krupp and the Rise and Fall of the Third Reich.

    372. Re:Defaulting is worse! by jacob1984 · · Score: 1

      You have it backwards.

      National Socialism is fascism. Fascism is corporatism, or the merge of corporate and governmental power. Note that "merge" is NOT the same as "takeover." It is open cooperation with corporate interests.

      Perhaps you should read Mussolini's works.

    373. Re:Defaulting is worse! by jacob1984 · · Score: 1

      Hitler wasn't a fascist.

      So when Hitler called himself a Fascist, praised his fascist ideology, and allied himself with the founder of fascism, Mussolini, he was just... joking?

    374. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      Chinese companies get dollars, Chinese central bank prints Yuan, Chinese companies get Yuan, Chinese central bank gets dollars and buys bonds with them. China buys bonds because it has the same effect as buying dollars but gives interest on top. Purely for the purpose of currency manipulation buying plain dollars works as well though.

      The US has a bigger industrial output than China. It's not that the Chinese companies can't spend those dollars, it's that the Chinese government gives them a more attractive offer and then proceeds to NOT spend those dollars on product from the US. Because it makes the collective choice for the country to depress wages, internal consumption and prop up the US dollar. All to be able to grow it's industrial base faster than it otherwise could with the help of offshoring from US companies.

      China wants to see it's internal consumption grow because their mercantilist scheme has almost run it's course ... but it's not quite there, they will be buying US bonds for a few years yet. They'd rather the Fed didn't keep up the QE (they would much prefer the US government to use debt funded stimulus instead) but in the end they will do it regardless.

    375. Re:Defaulting is worse! by jacob1984 · · Score: 1

      I'm not a Republican, but I don't think Palin is as stupid as she's portrayed.

      Then you haven't been paying attention. Don't listen to what the "media" say. Just listen directly to HER.

    376. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      China buys bonds because it has the same effect as buying dollars but gives interest on top.

      - starting with Clinton administration, US has been funding all of its debt with short term bonds, it's all short term, thus it is all low interest, should US decide to try and sell long term debt, the interest will skyrocket (and it is rising on long term debt now, US can't buy that stuff, at 130-140Billion dollars per 1% of debt).

      US will never give 100 cents on the dollar, it will keep printing them, they already lost 30% of value in the last 10 years just in other currencies, and the loss of value in commodities is in hundreds of percent.

      So WHO is manipulating currency? It's not China, it's USA. They are manipulating currency to monetize debt, what is all the dollars worth? Well, they are worth at the minimum 30% less now than they were 10 years ago. This will keep up, so the fall of value will accelerate, so those measly couple of percentage points on that short term debt is nowhere near the inflation level, so people will stop rolling US bond debt over.

      As for China selling US the crap it makes - takes 2 to tango. Don't buy it. You can't, cause you have no production capacity that can satisfy your demand, so talking about US industrial output is misleading. US has 50Billion/month trade deficit, so that's the amount US buys over one month in US dollars from manufacturers in other countries, you think US has 50Billion dollars/month worth of hot stand by production capacity? It does not. It produces military equipment that's overpriced, it's doing value added services and it assembles pre-built car parts. Good grief, just stop buying Chinese junk, see how fast the supplies deplete. I give US 6-12 weeks before there is nothing to buy at all.

      China is NOT going to buy more US bonds, is that such a mystery? What do you think QE2 IS? It's the Fed being the lender of last resort to buy the same amount of bonds from US (through Goldman, good for them, what a racket) as the US gov't is going to borrow before June.

      By the way, MARK MY WORDS: there will be QE3 this spring to buy MUNI bonds. That's right, who the hell is going to buy US municipal bonds now? Nobody.

      I don't think China is going to buy more bonds at all. Your FED doesn't think so, yet you do.

      I think China is going to stop rolling them over, get ready either to pay higher interest or to print more dollars or you know, to do the honorable thing and default (well, that's not going to happen, so I expect more printing.)

      China SHOULD want to see its internal market to grow and that's why it SHOULD stop rolling US debt over and stop printing and pegging their currency to American dollars.

      What I do not understand is how is it that US gov't and apparently people here think it's going to help US right at this moment? There will be no products on the shelves.

    377. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      Cumulative inflation in China for the last decade is well above 30%. They are also still increasing dollar reserves, pretty fast too.

      Who is going to buy municipal bonds if the Fed starts buying them? People, because the Fed will apparently not allow them to go bankrupt and will keep the market liquid ... at least until the whole economy goes bust. Short term they become a safer investment.

      Products from China becoming more expensive isn't really a problem ... yeah luxury products might become unaffordable for a while, but that's an economic opportunity for the internal market.

      Oil, now that's an issue ... but hey, there is always ANWR.

    378. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      "cumulative inflation in China" - WHAT? The Chinese products are cheaper and cheaper every day, that's not inflation, that's production capacity increase and obviously it's also productivity increase. Ask me how I know, ask me how I know.

      I'll tell you something, look up "A.S. Watson" and "Spektr" at the same time. If you find the link, I'll tell you why there is a connection between those 2 entities and myself.

      The products that China is making are cheaper year to year on wholesales basis, just take it from me purely on trust, but I can back up this assertion with actual numbers, year to year. Actual real numbers.

      China has a bubble, that is true, they have housing bubble as well as US, and that is because of the inflation. But it's because the US is pushing the inflation up, not China on their own.

      China is showing that it can produce the stuff cheaper and cheaper year to year, they have DEFLATION in consumer goods.

      --

      As to muni bonds and the Fed 'not allowing them to go bankrupt', that is again, turning a completely blind eye to the fact that now it's just the Fed who is buying the bonds. 'People' are not buying, it's the Fed.

      Anyway, as I said, QE3 this spring to bail out municipalities in US.

      As to products from China becoming more expensive, oh, that's not going to be US problem. US problem will be that its dollar will buy nothing at all. It's going to be worse than toilet paper, because at least toilet paper can be used in a toilet.

      As for oil, again, you think that your local reserves are going to be affordable in US dollars once this goes down, don't you? Here is how it will go: US will be selling raw materials including whatever oil it can get locally on the global markets to buy food and some every day products that it's not producing just to satisfy some basic demands.

    379. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      Basically, a system which allows people to survive longer without a job, and therefore ups their odds of getting a job optimises worker's allocation in the economy. Never mind what you think it is for: this is what it does to the economy. Also, the only intelligent debate is about how long/how comfortable this ought to be to maximise global productivity, compared to the cost to the collectivity. This is a complicated and highly technical subject.

      That is unemployment insurance not Social Security.

      As for socialised health insurance, if you cannot see the difference between a collective (the Nation) agreeing (through its representatives) to spend x amount on health, and x being used to optimise outcomes globally versus a _doctor_ (WTF happened to the Hippocratic oath) asking for your credit card before he will talk to you, you have a twisted, sad vision of the universe.

      The difference is that the doctor is then contractually obligated to provide you with health care.

    380. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      By your logic, the Earth's existence is just as temporary as your Standard Oil, or Microsoft.

      That's an especially pointless argument to make since the Earth is indeed temporary. It's also an inanimate thing not a participant in a market. Even if we treat it as a resource whose access can be monopolized, we'll quickly see that there are more than a hundred officially recognized (by the United Nations, which by itself precludes the market from being free) participants and a bunch of unofficial ones. There's plenty of competition for people and for resources that come from the Earth.

      It's a shame that in the real world, your ideal pictur of how markets operate don't hold up. Real world monopolies are rarely tempered by competition, but rather by external factors, such as a geo-political factors, active anti-trust regulation, and technological shifts. By the time this occurs, the damage had already been done.

      Perhaps you should give an example then. I see talk, I don't see a counterexample.

      1. Humans are not the most rational economic actors, leading to a variety of problems with the application of market theory.

      Markets don't rely on rational actors. In fact, I'd go as far as to say that markets are better for irrational actors than rational actors. For example, suppose a trader is completely gullible (brain damage, let's say). In a free market, he'd have a lot more competition for his money. So he'll get a better deal than if a single scammer could work on him in isolation. You couldn't get him to give up his wealth for one shiny, because someone else will offer two shinies, and so on.

      2. The market itself is inherently unstable.

      Why should a stable market be better? This is an important point. There are several advantages to an unstable market. In such a market, traders are less complacent since one has to continually worry about risk even in good times. The real world isn't stable either. So there are limits to how stable you can make a market. Finally, an unstable market is a responsive market. It reacts quickly to changes in the market or the perceived value of the goods at hand.

      Once you accept these facts, which have been proven by experiment over and over again (unlike the Austrian theories), you are up against this -

      3. Inefficient markets are no better than any other method of resource distribution.

      Even if we treated points 1 and 2 as disadvantages, claim 3 does not follow. Remember any other method of resource distribution has its own problems. And some of them are grotesque. For example, if I come by with a group of thugs on a regular basis and grab as much of your stuff as we can carry, that's a method of resource distribution that leaves you hurting. You'd be an idiot to claim that a market where I pay for things you're willing to sell me is no better than me stealing your stuff whenever I feel like it.

      Also you cite the Austrian school. You do realize they aren't the only people with economic theories out there. Just because some of my ideas and beliefs happen to overlap doesn't make me a member of that group.

      So what do you do? Do you put up and accept that the market needs "optimization", or preach how economies should work based on the ideas of people that offer no empirical evidence, and in fact reject economics as a empirical field altogether?

      Nobody knows how to optimize the market. It's been tried before and they usually screw up. And any "preaching" that I'm doing is for ideas that have been demonstrated to work in the real world.

    381. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      I agree there is a relation between the numbers, but not a relation between the decisions. You are asserting there is a relation between both, and that makes you wrong.

      I looked over your original post. You claim that revenue is not related to spending. Spending is not just a decision. It is also the transactions and activity that follow. If I create my own currency and decree "I'll buy a car with 100 Khallowbucks!" There's still the matter of getting someone to part with a car. The spending decision is only part of the spending. The further apart revenue collected and money spent is, the harder it is for government to acquire the things they want for the price they want.

    382. Re:Defaulting is worse! by iserlohn · · Score: 1

      I am only responding to your posts. You are the one that needs to provide the evidence that you failed to provide originally.

      With regards to monopolies, all historical non-transient monopolies were relieved from the market dominance by the above three factors I mentioned. In an stable geo-political and technological environment, no monopoly would succumb to competition because they have a initial cost advantage due to economies of scale, and they also have the market power to artificially raise the barrier of entry to defeat competition by use of strategies such as dumping. By the time a monopoly is formed, the damage to the market had already been done.

      The market requires constant supervision and maintenance. Without this, due to how complex systems interact, small fluctuations amplify and result in the boom and bust cycle. Credit is not the root cause of this, but only amplifies the damage caused by this cycle. It is perfectly possible to create a bubble in which credit is not involved. We had bubbles and crashes in markets before fractional reserve banking and even previous to that.

      Re: market stability, we have two factors to consider - Instability in the price equilibrium, and instability in the market structure itself (which tends towards favoring the bigger participants). Both are undesired in an efficient market.

      I fear that you have grossly misinterpreted me in my statement that inefficient markets are no better than anything else. I am not saying that it is worse than anything else, just merely that it is *no better* than any other form of resource distribution at the same level of inefficiency.

      Unfortunately your beliefs fall into the Austrian camp, especially your rejection of the central bank and fractional reserve banking. Please excuse me if I lumped you unfairly into that group but there was no indication from your post that you were otherwise. Personally I think their theories has some good points but unfortunately they had come about the wrong conclusion due to methodology. Besides, a broken clock is right twice a day.

    383. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      People are buying US bonds ... China has increased it's foreign exchange reserves massively in the last few months.

      If it becomes necessary the US will simply implement export tariffs for food, energy and materials low on the value chain (something China does quite frequently as well I might add). The US is probably the country most capable of self sufficiency in the world. It won't allow capital flight.

    384. Re:Defaulting is worse! by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      You claim that revenue is not related to spending.

      They are not related. The government decides what to spend. If the taxes are not what's predicted, then, in practice, they borrow without changing taxes. Thus, in practice, the two have no relation. They'll spend what they want to spend regardless of the income they have and borrow to fill the difference.

      Spending is not just a decision. It is also the transactions and activity that follow.

      The budget is always zero. By definition. So the numbers have a literal direct relation to each other. But the decision to spend any particular money is unrelated to what is taken in for that purpose. If there is a shortfall, they borrow and cover the difference. If there is a surplus, they spend that elsewhere.

    385. Re:Defaulting is worse! by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      Social security is a concept, and encompasses unemployment benefits. Did you know? The world goes beyond the US, and, say, Ireland has a different social security structure as the US?

      Also the doctor is not in fact contractually obligates to "provide health care". Not in the sense that he will actually make an attempt at improving your condition. He may or may not provide a correct diagnostic, and may or may not refer you to a specialist. Who, in turn may or may not be of help. This is not like grocery shopping where you actually know what you are getting for your money.

    386. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      Social security is a concept, and encompasses unemployment benefits.

      Not in the US.

    387. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      I am only responding to your posts. You are the one that needs to provide the evidence that you failed to provide originally.

      Ok. For example, the operating system market. Despite Windows being installed on almost every PC made for a period of time, Microsoft has lost its monopoly on OSes. In the US, they continue to lose ground with a free OS (linux) and Apple's OS X. Microsoft has lost the smartphone market.

      no monopoly would succumb to competition because they have a initial cost advantage due to economies of scale, and they also have the market power to artificially raise the barrier of entry to defeat competition by use of strategies such as dumping.

      Dumping means you're not charging monopoly prices and that you are losing more profit than the new entry is (even with economies of scale). And all a competitor has to do to break a monopoly is outlast that dumping period or to do their own dumping. Microsoft, for example, can run Bing forever at a loss. That means Google despite its market share advantage in search engine usage (a key part of its business strategy) has to lose profit indefinitely just to keep ahead of Bing.

      It's also worth noting that monopolies do not always maintain an advantage in cost. We have the operating system market above as an example. A monopoly traditionally bulks up with inefficient bureaucracy and obsolete business models.

      In airlines, there's a subgroup the "low-cost" airline (Southwest Air, jetBlue, etc) that competes primarily for passengers with price. Every airport they get access to (these are almost never monopolies, but usually are oligopolies), sees a drop in ticket prices among all providers upon entry. But that's never done to keep the low-cost airline out. Such a strategy would fail with great cost incurred by the existing airlines, precisely because a low-cost airline is better situated to win a dumping war.

      Basically, in a free market, there's always someone deep pocketed enough to ruin the day of a monopolist not matter how much dumping goes on. And it's very hard for a monopoly to maintain cost advantage over potential competitors over many years. Finally, if a business that has obtained dominant market share has to continually dump and has to continually maintain its cost advantage in order to maintain its market share, then that business is not a monopoly because it doesn't enjoy monopoly pricing power.

      I fear that you have grossly misinterpreted me in my statement that inefficient markets are no better than anything else. I am not saying that it is worse than anything else, just merely that it is *no better* than any other form of resource distribution at the same level of inefficiency.

      Ok. Then we're to the issue of what other resource distribution systems can achieve the same level of efficiency? As I see it, that boils down to markets with greater or lesser degree of regulation (but not regulation that vastly hinders the efficiency of the market, like the heavily regulated health insurance markets of the US). No other system is competitive with respect to efficiency because some variation of the following reasons: a) they don't have an efficient mechanism for communicating the effort and resources that go into providing a good or service (markets have pricing), b) they don't have an efficient mechanism for signaling demand (again markets have pricing), c) they don't have an efficient mechanism for adjusting to new information or economic conditions (markets have pricing), and d) they don't have a system for efficiently determining whether parties to an exchange of value desire that exchange (all transactions in markets are voluntary among the parties in the trade, the only issue is dealing with externalities, which other systems have to deal with as well).

    388. Re:Defaulting is worse! by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      Remember the topic? Ireland? the other side of the Atlantic?

    389. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      Remember the topic? Ireland? the other side of the Atlantic?

      The context was US Social Security. Besides unemployment insurance is an insignificant part of the budget compared to pensions or health care, even in Ireland.

    390. Re:Defaulting is worse! by tmosley · · Score: 1

      I hate Glen Beck with a fury that goes beyond the bounds of the Universe. Don't think for a second that I have watched more than ten minutes of his drivel in my life. The man is a betrayer through and through.

      Appropriating the work of some to the benefit of others is socialism, and that is exactly what you described. Sorry if you can't wrap your mind around that. Understand that socialism is not "left", and fascism is not "right", but rather both are for extreme control of the public in both personal and economic affairs. The left wishes for control of economic affairs while generally leaving private citizens to do as they wish in their private lives, while the right generally wants to control the private lives of citizens while leaving them free to carry out their business as they see fit. Libertarians Want freedom for individuals in both arenas.

      Socialism is not the opposite of fascism, rather they are simply different flavors of totalitarianism, with the opposite being libertarianism.

    391. Re:Defaulting is worse! by tmosley · · Score: 1

      Hitler was NOT a supporter of business! He was a supporter of party members who owned businesses! Don't believe me? Find me one Jewish owned company in Germany that survived WWII.

      And yes, I have read Marx. He was sadly mistaken in his divvying up of people into two classes. A blog posting I read a while back covers this concept quite well: http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2010/07/debtors-and-savers.html

    392. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      I just came to Russia, from Germany, didn't have a moment to see the reply.

      Who are these mysterious people that are buying US bonds? Pension funds? Well, those are always at the end of the curve, buying at the high, selling at the low.

      China increased the foreign reserves because it's selling crap to all these foreigners, that's not a surprise or a manipulation of any sort. However they are buying large portions of foreign companies that are resource exporters, they are investing into raw materials, into land (especially in Africa), they are THINKING about the future, unlike many others.

      OBVIOUSLY US will implement export tariffs and it will implement windfall taxes on any companies that make money aimed at foreign customers and it just may end up doing the same thing it did before, stealing the gold of US citizens. Sure, they can do all of that. However imagine the life inside the US when this goes down - basically, it's immense nationalization of resources and the people become dole receivers as there are no jobs, everybody is hired by the government to do massive gov't projects, there are no freedoms, as people with no choice in how they do business have no freedoms. It's communism all of a sudden and as always, it's dictatorial communism. I hope you like that kind of life, my parents and grand parents and great grand parents have something to say about this, it's not pretty. In USSR in 1930s my mom's side great grandparents lost their land, out of 18 kids, 15 were killed or died from hunger as the communist regime took away the food from the Ukrainian farmers to sell it to the foreign countries and to industrialize by buying foreign machines, tools and factories, the people themselves were sent to far Siberian lands, most of the people died on the way.

      This can and will happen again, the rulers who are there to 'feed you', will also kill you. You think that's not possible in USA? I believe history will repeat itself, maybe not in exact details, but I expect striking similarities.

      As to US not allowing capital flight, well sure, US will implement windfall taxes, will nationalize resources and will close the borders to prevent emigration (not immigration at that point).

      But that is going to be too late, so much capital has left the country already by NOW that your assertion that US will not allow capital flight is laughable. Where all the productive factories? Look up the list of Intel's factory locations, it's on the web, you can find it.

    393. Re:Defaulting is worse! by iserlohn · · Score: 1

      1. Windows is still a monopoly. You do not need a 100% marketshare to be a monopoly. It will likely stay being a monopoly until the next technological shift in computing

      2. Airline deregulation is a good example. The competitors arrived after the political decision to deregulate, which in effect was anti-trust measures. This effectively changed the market structure and allowed low-cost carriers to surmount the barriers to entry.

      3. Health insurance highlights another dynamic to regulation. On one had, it is necessary as it protects market participants which have much less power than their counterparts. When you buy health insurance, for example, you need to be sure that the insurer covers you adequately and that they are in good financial health. The average consumer will not know specialist medical details, nor will they know how to gauge the financial health of insurer.

      On the other hand, regulation raises the barrier of entry to a market, so a balance has to be made. It would be very irresponsible to argue that all regulation is bad as most regulation was put in place for a reason, and many of them actually have a real purpose rather than to artificially raise the barrier to entry.

      Furthermore, many industrialized countries are able to operate a universal healthcase system based mainly on private insurers. They have a fair regulatory system and legislatively mandates people to obtain coverage. Which is similar to the system that the US is moving towards. Some even have public healthcare as the default, while allowing a private market to flourish. The UK, for example, gives you by default the nationalized NHS as the source of care. With private insurance, you can supplement this or replace it altogether. In total, the UK spends 8% of GDP on healthcare, with outcomes which are comparable to the US in all the important areas. The US, by comparison spends ~ 16%.

      Some people in the UK aren't happy with this, including noted right-wing apologist Dan Hannan, and suggested we should dismantle the NHS so we can go with a health system like Singapore's, which is universal but private insurance based. They clock in at under 4% of GDP. What he fails to tell you is that the demographics of Singapore is completely different to the UK or the US. The elderly is only 1/2 as a proportion of population compared to the UK. It's easy to see where all the saving are coming from when you consider that most of the money in the health system is spent on procedures and care on the elderly.

      ---

      I can see that you are a very fervent subscriber to your beliefs, but this is exactly the point I am getting at. The market is useful for us because we *think* it is the most efficient *despite* it's many problems. The cause of the problem isn't the price mechanism, that's quite a straightforward concept of bridging supply and demand. The problem is with macro behavior, on how minor problems compound into major ones. Sometimes these behavors can be attributed to concepts we can see on the micro-level. Sometimes this is due to more complicated mechanism which result from the interaction between markets. In any case we should never focus on the how we get there, but where we want to go. If you repeatedly employ a single strategy in chess, you will be quickly defeated. The idea is to expand the arsenal and to use the right tool at the right time.

      When you drop into the mode that the default behavior is to let the market decide, then you are basically undoing the past 200 years of improvements we made in the field of economic theory. Since then policy-makers have developed tools to fix particular problems that tend to crop up. It is extremely hard to argue that the average person lived a better life 200 years ago than they do now, but that is exactly the logical conclusion of the Austrian school's argument.

      Which tool to use and when (and how much of it to use) is a completely different matter altogether. The problem that you have is that some (most) of these tools run contrary to your free-market ide

    394. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      Export tariffs to avoid capital flight are pure pragmatism, not communism. As I said, China does it too ... they do it because they subsidize so many raw materials for their domestic industries, which would essentially be the same thing the US would be doing.

      Free trade is not something countries who are (re-)building industry can rely on.

      Lets say for a moment that China is more industrialized than the US, still growing rapidly and can make more efficient use of every resource than the US (the level of existing industrialization acts like a multiplier and they haven't run out of subsistence farmers to put to work by a long shot). Why would any raw materials be used in the US to rebuild it's industry instead of putting them to work in China? China could always pay a better price because it could get more productivity out of it.

      If I took your point of view of American industry then the US fundamentally can't rebuild it's industry in a free international trade world until China stops expanding or the US has a cost of labour advantage sufficient to offset it's lack of industry (so basically they would have to be third world, at least from the factory worker point of view). It would have no comparative advantage otherwise.

      In a world with scarce resources any country who is looking to expand it's industrial base should never rely on free international trade (China certainly never has). That doesn't mean you don't rely on market mechanisms inside your borders and go communist though.

      Now I don't think things are that dire, I think the US still has enough of an industrial base to compete with China ... if China stopped propping up the dollar and devaluing the Yuan. China's central bank doesn't have to buy the dollars flowing into China, it could simply change the peg sufficiently that companies chose to spend dollars instead.

      China always has made the conscious choice to devalue it's currency and prop up the dollar, to attract outsourcing and erode the US's industry in favour of it's own. It's still doing it.

    395. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      Export tariffs to avoid capital flight are pure pragmatism, not communism. As I said, China does it too

      - you don't find it ironic at all that you are saying that it's not communism and then you are comparing this to the communist China? If you wanted to prove this wasn't communism then you should have chosen a different example. Countries that do this are having serious economic problems (no production of anything except raw materials, Russia for example) or communist countries, like China, that do this by design, because that's how they feed the gov't system.

      Free trade is exactly what countries who are rebuilding their economy need, as long as they follow the free market principles as well of-course. China, for example, gains much from free trade. US is losing to free trade because US is uncompetitive.

      Why would any raw materials be used in the US to rebuild it's industry instead of putting them to work in China? China could always pay a better price because it could get more productivity out of it.

      - it would, if you get rid of the gov't regulations and gov't spending, because:
      A. It would return the capital (credit) to the private sector,
      B. The reduced gov't spending would make US more competitive, because income and payroll taxes would have to disappear
      C. Without wage controls and regulations, the US labor would become competitive to Chinese.

      If I took your point of view of American industry then the US fundamentally can't rebuild it's industry in a free international trade world until China stops expanding or the US has a cost of labour advantage sufficient to offset it's lack of industry

      - as I said, get rid of gov't spending, regulations and taxes and US becomes competitive. It has plenty of unused labor and resourced that could be used, and the world is big enough for both, China and US.

      In a world with scarce resources any country who is looking to expand it's industrial base should never rely on free international trade

      - that's not true at all.

      Explain why does China need to have export taxes at all except to feed the expensive government system, which is only an impediment to the industrial development? It makes no sense.

      if China stopped propping up the dollar and devaluing the Yuan. China's central bank doesn't have to buy the dollars flowing into China, it could simply change the peg sufficiently that companies chose to spend dollars instead.

      - again, we disagree here fundamentally. I see that it is USA who manipulates currency by printing it, and China does not inflate the currency without backing it up with production increases *the way it should be.

      How do you justify the US printing dollars but you are blaming China for printing dollars, while China is increasing production? In fact if China's production output is increasing faster than they are printing their currency, their prices should deflate! And that is what I am saying, I am SEEING that the prices on wholesale from China are becoming lower year to year. This means that they increasing production.

      Now, they may be also printing their currency, but if their production is going up faster than that, then they are not even creating real inflation.

      US on the other hand is only printing, but its production is falling all the time, so that's real inflation and real manipulation of currency, and when you are the owner of reserve currency, that's the worst type of manipulation, because you are forcing the rest of the world to bear the consequences of your inflation, thus everybody knows, USA's main export is inflation.

    396. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      Windows is still a monopoly. You do not need a 100% marketshare to be a monopoly. It will likely stay being a monopoly until the next technological shift in computing

      But you do need the absence of significant competition. That's what makes Microsoft not a monopoly in the OS market (or the office software market as well).

      Health insurance highlights another dynamic to regulation. On one had, it is necessary as it protects market participants which have much less power than their counterparts. When you buy health insurance, for example, you need to be sure that the insurer covers you adequately and that they are in good financial health. The average consumer will not know specialist medical details, nor will they know how to gauge the financial health of insurer.

      On the other hand, the average insuree does have a better idea of what health insurance they really want. And government though it has better capability of gauging the health of insurance companies than individual insurees, it doesn't do that.

      This is similar to the banking failures that came up during the real estate crisis. There were a series of constraints which traditionally were assumed to make banks "healthy" (such as sufficiently high reserve to lending ratio). In practice, those constraints were circumvented or weakened, legally or not. The point here is that there are problems with assuming a particular vast organization has a particular role, when it has many other interests and roles, some which conflict.

      On the other hand, regulation raises the barrier of entry to a market, so a balance has to be made. It would be very irresponsible to argue that all regulation is bad as most regulation was put in place for a reason, and many of them actually have a real purpose rather than to artificially raise the barrier to entry.

      Good thing then that no one is making that argument. However, it's worth noting that a lot of regulation doesn't have a reason for being. Take the terms of the original Patriot Act for example. It came about because of a failure in enforcement of US law. I suspect that prior to 2001, it was illegal to kill thousands of people. I also suspect that we already had vast organizations with considerable power to keep such things from happening. So what did we really need the act for? To appear to be doing something and to grab a little more power for a few bureaucracies.

      Too often the reason for regulation is simply that someone hasn't enforced existing regulation or to fix imaginary problems. To shift things a bit on topic, there have been many proposals to toughen banking regulations. These ignore why banks got into the position they did. Regulators on their own weakened reserves and ignored enforceable problems in banks. Further, worldwide we already have solutions to insolvent banks, namely, bankruptcy law.

      And of course, the regulation rarely considers the cost of compliance. Even when regulation is necessary, how it is implemented can change how effective it is for the cost of the regulation. This gets especially ruthless when implementation can grant competitive advantages to certain parties.

      Sure there is good regulation, but the dynamics are in place to make plenty of bad regulation.

      I can see that you are a very fervent subscriber to your beliefs, but this is exactly the point I am getting at. The market is useful for us because we *think* it is the most efficient *despite* it's many problems. The cause of the problem isn't the price mechanism, that's quite a straightforward concept of bridging supply and demand. The problem is with macro behavior, on how minor problems compound into major ones. Sometimes these behavors can be attributed to concepts we can see on the micro-level. Sometimes this is due to more complicated mechanism which result from the interaction between markets. In any case w

    397. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      Russia has problems, but that's neither here nor there.

      The export tariffs in China aren't meant to generate revenue for government, you are a bit myopic in your view of taxes. They are meant to stop exports. They are meant to create an artificially depressed price of materials low on the value chain domestically, to advantage their domestic industry compared to foreign industry.

      I can somewhat understand free trade fundamentalists, if everyone had a small government and free trade it might very well optimize average global growth and everyone's wealth. That's never the metric China wanted to optimize though ... where free trade fundamentalism falls down is that large actors like China want to optimize a fundamentally different metrics. They want to grow industry, no matter how it affects their citizens and internal consumption. For that free trade is not the optimal strategy.

      The moment an actor as large as China doesn't play ball ... all the theories underlying free trade economics are just so much trash.

      Availability of raw materials is not flexible at all, the world is not big enough for everyone if people start cheating.

      I justify the US money printing because it's a domestic affair. Other countries should NEVER have build surpluses of their currency in the first place. That they are affected by the US choosing to devalue is unfortunate, but it's their own damn fault.

      The US manipulates it's own currency. China manipulates someone else's currency ... that's the difference.

    398. Re:Defaulting is worse! by iserlohn · · Score: 1

      1. Markets do not simplify resource allocation, it just provides a mechanism for this to work independent of central planning. Markets are extremely complex, and that is why we have trouble modelling them.

      2. Your Patriot Act example is extremely poor as it has no bearing on the market. Legislation != regulation. You can have regulation without primary legislation (ie. SEC in the US and FSA in the UK).

      3. Where we want to go is efficient resource allocation. I find it surprising that we are even going over this again. Can we not find common ground and work from there?

    399. Re:Defaulting is worse! by freedom_india · · Score: 1

      According to the right-wing lunatics, that never happened. The Bush period was one of prosperity and 100% employment with low taxes and free medical care for all.

      --
      "Doing what i can, with what i have." ~ Burt Gummer
    400. Re:Defaulting is worse! by khallow · · Score: 1

      Markets do not simplify resource allocation, it just provides a mechanism for this to work independent of central planning. Markets are extremely complex, and that is why we have trouble modelling them.

      Actually you have an example of simplification right there in your paragraph. The market here provides a decentralized mechanism. That tends to be more efficient than centralized mechanisms (among other things, you don't need the communication/information gathering/control infrastructure necessary to make centralized decisions). As for modeling a market, it's a lot more difficult to model a closed centralized system ("kremlinology"). You usually end up modeling decisions and consequences years after they started. Even relatively open centralized systems (such as the US Federal Reserve System) end up with a lot of tea leaf reading and frenzied interpretations of phrases like "irrational exuberance" and "quantitative easing".

    401. Re:Defaulting is worse! by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      Russia produces nothing and only exports raw materials, oil, gas, wood, aluminum, steel, it's a non-productive country.

      I don't trust the Chinese gov't, when they say: we want to stop paying rebates on the taxes, on the goods that are going abroad in order to reign in over-production - I don't trust them. I think they want to reduce currency supply before unpegging their currency from the USD.

      In any case, there is no such PROBLEM as over-production. It's not a problem if somebody is producing a lot of stuff, not a problem at all.

      The moment an actor as large as China doesn't play ball ... all the theories underlying free trade economics are just so much trash.

      - not true. The underlying theories are sound and remain sound no matter what China does.

      The reaction that will follow will display that the underlying economic principles are sound: somebody else will start producing and exporting whatever China will stop exporting. The market has signaled the producers in China information over the feed-back loop that the world is willing to consume all those products - that's free market working. Chinese gov't will cause trouble by not giving back the taxes they take - this simply will cause less exports, but doesn't negate the principles of economics.

      Somebody else will supply the missing difference that China will stop supplying - market principles in action.

      I justify the US money printing because it's a domestic affair.

      First: it's international affair because US dollar is reserve currency.
      Second: you are justifying it because you gain from the justification, you are willing to justify what US does regardless of the fact that US currency is reserve.
      Third: you are saying US dollar printing is justified, even though it's reserve currency and not backed up by any production, but Chinese printing some money while their production is growing is manipulation. This is hypocrisy.

      Yes, Chinese and everybody else should stop devaluing their currency. I think that's what the Chinese are trying to do - stop devaluing their currency and with the stop of the tax rebates, they are reducing the currency supply (who says that's not so? Gov't doesn't send back checks, looks like currency REDUCTION not printing! Yet you are arguing that they are printing currency AND that they are having higher taxes on exports all at the same time.)

      Looks to me they are tightening a bit.

      US manipulates the reserve currency of the world

      China manipulates their own currency, nobody except China has their currency, so they are clearly not manipulating currency of other nations.

      They are manipulating their own money and their reasons are foolish, but US is trying to manipulate the money of the entire world.

    402. Re:Defaulting is worse! by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      China does give back the taxes, it gives them back in the form of propped up dollars and cheaper prices for us foreigners. That is the whole point of what China is doing, it's selling it's citizen short and giving us a bargain ... just as long as we buy our products from their factories, and as long as we don't ask to get the same price on their raw materials as their own industry.

      They don't give a fuck about their citizens short term wealth, they just want more industry and will implement strategies to fuck over their citizens to accomplish it. It's an excellent long term strategy, a strategy which only a government can implement ...

      From a foreign point of view there is also no defence against it by anyone except for government. Individual consumers will always chose to buy the cheapest product after all. It's not a very nice strategy though and one which destabilizes the world economy if applied on too large a scale (and here we are).

      Inflation doesn't impact the dollar's function as a reserve currency. If you hold on to a couple months worth of income in dollars to pay for your international purchases the US inflation rate is annoying, but no more than that.

      It impacts China because it doesn't do that ... it has years worth of accumulated dollars and more, it's still accumulating more than it's spending. It shouldn't have done it and it shouldn't be doing it ... and it's getting what it deserves.

      Every country has the right to devalue, if for one reason or the other internal debt has gotten out of control ... even the US.

    403. Re:Defaulting is worse! by iserlohn · · Score: 1

      Never once did I asserted that modelling a command-based system is easier than modelling a market-based one. They are different and not directly comparable against each other. The complexity in markets is from "emergence" (of "simple" decisions), while the complexity from a centralized system is through the decision process itself.

      If the decision process is fully deterministic, then in theory you would not need to create a model - the model is derived from the process.

      The additional problem in market-based scenarios is that the supposedly "simple" decisions aren't. There is a whole field of Behavioral Economics that delve into this.

      Resource allocation (the activity itself) should be a commodity. There are many reasons why it isn't right now (mostly because the financial industry has grown enormous on rent-seeking behavior), and the idea is to find them and stamp them out.

  2. This is why by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    the mobility of capital is a good thing.

    1. Re:This is why by MachDelta · · Score: 5, Insightful

      According to whom?

      Surely it's not the workers, because when Big'n'Big Co pulls up their tent pegs and moves shop, all the workers are suddenly unemployed.

      It's probably not the consumer, because when Big'n'Big Co finds a way to half their cost of production, it's not guaranteed to drive prices down. Why bother cutting prices and taking a bigger market share when you can just shovel up a pile of cash big enough to buy your competitors (or a controlling interest in their stock)? Hell, why not just collude with your competitors to keep prices artificially inflated - then everyone's happy!

      Surely then, it is the desperate - those poor starving people in $Third_World_Nation who desperately need employment of any sort. Except that, after their standard of living starts to rise, Big'n'Big Co just moves on to the next shithole and leaves the desperate unemployed too.

      Well fuck, if it's not the middle class or the lower class, who the hell is left?
      Oh, right, the bourgeois. Well, as long as they're doing all right, everything is just peachy! Hurray for Capitalism! :P

    2. Re:This is why by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      It's probably not the consumer, because when Big'n'Big Co finds a way to half their cost of production, it's not guaranteed to drive prices down. Why bother cutting prices and taking a bigger market share when you can just shovel up a pile of cash big enough to buy your competitors (or a controlling interest in their stock)? Hell, why not just collude with your competitors to keep prices artificially inflated - then everyone's happy!

      Of course, that's already outlawed. So your argument is that we need more cops then ? I don't understand.

      Well fuck, if it's not the middle class or the lower class, who the hell is left?
      Oh, right, the bourgeois. Well, as long as they're doing all right, everything is just peachy! Hurray for Capitalism! :P

      And since this mobility first started, we moved from 1950's to 2010. Are you seriously claiming either the lower class or the middle class is worse off ? In most $third_world_nation, the current low class used to be killing the neighboring village in 1950. If you'd actually ask one of them, they'd tell you that there's no way in hell they want to go back. Given how much power "the bourgoisie" (that's how it's written btw) has today versus before capital mobility, I think they've lost A LOT. "The bourgoisie" (if a different bourgoisie) used to have power of life and death over cities.

      Besides, today's bourgoisie either earned their own fortune somehow, or they were 1st generation children from someone who did. Before capital mobility bourgoisie meant that your great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-grandfather actually did something worthwile. I assume you don't want to go back to that ?

    3. Re:This is why by Luckyo · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Of course, that's already outlawed. So your argument is that we need more cops then ? I don't understand.

      You're purposefully misunderstanding. Anyone living in 2010 knows very well that regulation has been essentially shredded in favor of exactly the kind of practices that grandparent described. Where it's still outlawed, the regulator monitoring is usually crippled by legislation purchased by Big'n'Big Co.

      Cases to point: microsoft, banking system.

      Well fuck, if it's not the middle class or the lower class, who the hell is left?
      Oh, right, the bourgeois. Well, as long as they're doing all right, everything is just peachy! Hurray for Capitalism! :P

      And since this mobility first started, we moved from 1950's to 2010. Are you seriously claiming either the lower class or the middle class is worse off ?

      This is just blatant trolling. The reason why standard of living has moved up is because science has progressed to the point where we can produce things needed to raise standard of living far more efficiently. If Big'n'Big collusion and significant income variance had been shrunk to reasonable size, average standard of living would be MUCH HIGHER.

      So yes, in comparison of 2010 without flaws, and 2010 with flaws is indeed obvious. If you want to argue that 1950 vs 2010, we can just as well start praising benevolent North Korean leaders, who made sure that their standard of living of their people is better then in 1800.

      Which is the whole bloody point, and to miss it, you have to make a real effort.

    4. Re:This is why by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      According to who? According to me. Those "third world shitholes"? You'll notice that they're the ones growing at 5-10%, while the first world goes sideways. Why are they growing at 5-10%? Because capital gets treated well there, unlike the first world.

      Cling to your inane stereotypes if you like; you're just shooting yourself in the foot.

    5. Re:This is why by blackraven14250 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, it's really hard to grow a third world economy at 5 to 10 % of their GDP.

      I mean, the GDP of some of those countries is lower than what single people in the US earn, but that means nothing.

    6. Re:This is why by tmosley · · Score: 1

      I'm afraid that Free Market Capitalism has never once in history created the situation you describe. If a company finds a way to cut costs, but leaves prices high, they are guaranteed to lose in the end under free market capitalism, as some of their employees will see what is happening, and leave to start their own company using the same high efficiency process, and cut into said big corporations market share. If they don't lower their prices, they will go out of business.

      Of course, what really happens is that those big corporations capture the government, and get regulations put in place that they, as an already existing, already big corporation, can afford to pay, but that new guys can't afford, such that they can cement themselves in place. They then get idiots like you to run around screaming for more regulation and cite the big corporations as reason, when those very regulations are what created the situation in the first place. All the while, the economic bloodletters have drained the nation of its vitality, and continue to do so, until they become a zombie nation, like Cuba, Venezuela, or North Korea, held aloft on little more than sentiment of the poor (our leaders love us!), and force of arms.

      The funny thing is that under a free market, corporations wouldn't even exist, as the corporate shield that makes them possible is an artificial imposition of the government. There is no method by which private individuals can own a company that commits crimes and not share some of the liability, except with a corporation, where the government says they can't.

    7. Re:This is why by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Though I think your post is exaggerated and largely wrong (you vastly underestimate the amount of price competition that's occuring and the benefits to the third world), there is an important point there that I'd agree with. Unemployment sucks. I think this is actually the best purely economic (perhaps "conservative") argument for welfare. There is a lot of economic friction associated with changes in employment, and having reasonable unemployment benefits smooths that out.

      The market can operate most efficiently when people are easily hired and fired, to increase the number of people whose comparative advantage matches their work. Hiring and firing has a lot of cost, but having a reasonable welfare program softens the blow associated with firing.

    8. Re:This is why by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So yes, in comparison of 2010 without flaws, and 2010 with flaws is indeed obvious. If you want to argue that 1950 vs 2010, we can just as well start praising benevolent North Korean leaders, who made sure that their standard of living of their people is better then in 1800.

      So you're decrying capitalism, and using north korea, one of only 2 non-capitalist countries worldwide as an example of how it shouldn't be done ?

      So you're not arguing capitalism. Not communism or socialism either. So what are you arguing ? That theocracy beats either ?

    9. Re:This is why by Luckyo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm arguing that extremes of any of the above are harmful, and when these extremes and their lackeys attempt to justify themselves through obvious strawman arguments, they're still wrong.

    10. Re:This is why by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Microsoft as an example of buying politicians and killing deregulation? You might want to read up on Neelie Kroes. Ireland (to keep on topic) is part of the EU, which means that the class of comapnies that can buy Irish regulators isn't actually subject to Irish regulations. Instead, they have to comply with EU directives, and the EU commission _will_ fine you. Even the most stubborn companies like Microsoft get the message at the second fine.

      As for the relative improvement of lower classes, that's inherently tricky. The new economic system creates far more jobs for engineers than it creates for factory workers. In fact, it will mechanize factory work. As a result, talent pays better then ever, while a lack of skills is more of a burden than before. The relative effect is dramatic. This is not someones explicit decision, but it follows from the same technological changes that you credit for the overall increase in welfare. You can't have one without the other; if you accept technology you will also have to accept its skewed benefits.

    11. Re:This is why by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      So, given the fact that the current "extreme" (heh) of capitalism can't feed even everyone ...

      we should switch to something else ??? Knowing full well, that every other system, both in (economic) theory and in practice produces less.

      Say we switch to a system 50% less efficient but "more fair" (for some ideology's definition of fair). That means we can (maybe) keep 4 billion people alive worldwide (and that's VERY optimistic) ... no more. How exactly will you organize the genocide necessary for this idea to even have a fighting chance ?

    12. Re:This is why by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Another strawman. Current capitalism is extremely inefficient in the way you describe - food supply.

      On one hand we have food literally being thrown away in massive amounts in western countries - the supermarkets count around 10-20% being simply thrown away ALONE. Add to the obvious problems with obesity and the fact that it's mainly caused not by quality, but quantity of food consumed, general inefficiency due to supply and demand not being controlled causing natural supply and demand contractions often reducing or increasing production in inefficient ways (that bring in moe money) and system inefficiency starts to get pretty damn close to that magical "50% inefficient" you tout.

      On of the other hand, we still have an eight-nine figure (depending on way of counting) of people suffering from starvation because logistics are optimized around delivering only to people with money, and at choking and killing off local farms in places where people are starving.

      In this regard, a planned socialist economy would most definitely be more efficient in a true sense of the word (results/effort). It would also likely produce less in total due to motivation factor problems.
      But as division between classes becomes more balanced, majority gets more, while the very top gets less. The current system is based on the fact that even in western "democracies", electorate doesn't hold any real power - it can only choose between candidates that are placed by the top 5% and will all serve the top 5% at the expense of the 95%.

    13. Re:This is why by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Microsoft as an example of buying politicians and killing deregulation?

      United States of America. They lose the case. They buy the government not to enact the court suggestion of splitting the company up.

      Look it up, it's all in the history books. Welcome to USA.

    14. Re:This is why by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      This is idiotic. Of course we have too much food in one place and too little in others. Ever tried growing food in the desert ? And then 80 million Egyptians decided to live there. (just to give an example). Trust me, this is not something that's going to change. Your unspoken assumption that food transport is free is beyond idiotic. It isn't free. Not in manpower, not in dollars, not in energy (and transporting food from, say, New York, to the middle of Africa actually costs quite a bit of energy and money)

      Besides, if Darwin is correct, we will be eternally unable to feed the human population, except perhaps in small periods of enormous economic growth. Most periods of history, both in the past AND in the future will see MUCH more starvation (at least in relative numbers).

      Your alternative system in operation : socialists looking after "the people".

      Your claim :

      In this regard, a planned socialist economy would most definitely be more efficient in a true sense of the word

      Whoops. Counterexample.

      Yes capitalism isn't perfectly efficient. It's even not all that efficient at all. No system is. That was not, at all, the claim I made. I simply said that it was more efficient than any alternative. No amount of pointing at local inefficiencies provides a counterclaim, of course.

      Both in theory and in practice capitlism works, and central plans fail (and just be glad we've ignored the Soviet genocides, and their deathcounts, which were mostly perpetrated through "more efficient" food production).

      But don't worry I expect to see a speach of how the fact that all planned economies in history have either failed to feed their people or worse (like the massive genocides most economic "plans" involved). I expect to read here how they weren't "really" planned economies, and how it's all the fault of <insert evil "un-communist" leader of a communist state here>. I expect to read how it's all a big conspiracy, in the academia, so well known for their extreme-right views of life ...

      Those poor misunderstood commies ... if they're just given control of all the guns, they'll repeal the laws of nature and all will be happy and content and just. And all those genocides, famines, war, terror, racist exterminations, ... their predecessors committed ? Well ...

    15. Re:This is why by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Your entire argument is based on following strawman arguments, which are often completely false, collapsing your entire logic chain:

      1. Assumption that profitability = efficiency. We could easily distribute food to entire world for a very small amount of money. Problem is, they can't afford to pay it = unprofitable.
      Case to point: WFP works on a hilariously small budget compared to amount of people they feed.

      2. Assumption that Soviet dictature was "socialist" in the real sense of the word as well as assumption that socialism was the driving force behind poverty in USSR and it's satellites.

      It is a widely accepted fact that biggest problem with poverty in Soviet Union was caused by both extreme wealth division (upper class lived better then most of the rich people in the West, while rest lived in poverty) and extreme military spending (over 40% of budget going to military).

      3. Assumption that capitalism, or socialism are directly tied to militarism.

      Case to point: Scandinavian countries are openly socialist, consistently score as both least militarist, most politically stable and incidentally (somewhat offtopic) most economically competitive economies in the world.

      USSR was extremely militarist, and military spending was the main source of their downfall. Incidentally one of the main reasons capitalist West is currently on a VERY shaky ground economically is that if functions on very same militarist principles which simply drain the economy too much.

      The difference is only in the fact that unlike USSR that took on the brunt of spending, USA has successfully used NATO as an umbrella to spread the costs (note: this is socialism at work) resulting in financial burden of militarism per capita being far lower.

      And honestly, do you REALLY want to talk about genocides, wars, terror, racism and so on... as a fellow Westerner? We could go back to anywhere from current wars "on terror" to colonialism and note that the most fitting saying is that infamous one born in colonies about us:

      "West has attained its position of wealth and power through its excellence in systemic and organised application of violence. Many in the West forget this. Those who had to be on the receiving end never do."

    16. Re:This is why by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      I even predicted your response :

      But don't worry I expect to see a speach of how the fact that all planned economies in history have either failed to feed their people or worse (like the massive genocides most economic "plans" involved). I expect to read here how they weren't "really" planned economies, and how it's all the fault of . I expect to read how it's all a big conspiracy, in the academia, so well known for their extreme-right views of life ...

      I guess you didn't feel like quoting that.

      WHY do all these communist states have such an enormous rich-poor division ? After all, that's what they were created to fix in the first place.

      Perhaps "communist" is just another autoantonym. Happens a lot in politics. You know, a word that means the opposite of what it says in the dictionary, like "democrat" or "republican", for example.

      The real purpose of every even marginally successful communist or socialist party was always personal enrichment of it's members.

      But I'm sure YOU are SO much better, right ? Because you're a "true" socialist. Completely opposite to all those distasteful genocidal dictators, from Hitler to Stalin, from Kim Yong Il to Mao Tse Tong. All "fake" socialists of course. Nothing like you.

    17. Re:This is why by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      First of all, a bit of history:

      Most stated that call(ed) themselves "communist" throughout the history of mankind have NEVER been communistic. This includes: USSR, North Korea, Warsaw Union states in Eastern Europe... List goes on.

      Two: Communist is an exact term. It's a person who adheres to views of communism. Communism is an economic system which is designed around the idea that nothing is personal and everything is communal. There is a wide argument in scientific circles that there were some heavily communistic tribes during stone age, and possible early bronze age.

      Three: "democrat" and "republican" are party names in USA. Just like most US names, they are typically heavily misleading and overly pompous.

      Democrat in reality refers to a person who follows democracy: a political system which is essentially a rule of majority, where every major community decision is made by a vote.
      For example, NONE of the western states (with possible exception of Switzerland) are true democracies. Previous known cases of true democracy were during Greek Polis (city-state) period.

      This is another thing on which you should educate yourself if you intend to argue about this issue in a more serious circle. Most of these terms have real, non-popular meaning which often has nothing to do with popular entity who has usurped the word in question.

      I even predicted your response :

      But don't worry I expect to see a speach of how the fact that all planned economies in history have either failed to feed their people or worse (like the massive genocides most economic "plans" involved). I expect to read here how they weren't "really" planned economies, and how it's all the fault of . I expect to read how it's all a big conspiracy, in the academia, so well known for their extreme-right views of life ...

      I guess you didn't feel like quoting that.

      You expected to have facts that clearly prove you false thrown in your face. Your emphasis here looks like "Ha, I trolled you good, didn't I?".

      The entire remaining part of your post has already been addressed in this thread. Some parts several times over. Including attempts to paint those opposing your point of view as "socialist", "communist", "capitalist" or any other word with a negative connotation. You chose to essentially disregard the fact that people like me argue for moderation, rather then take the extremes. In this regard, you are a true child of zeitgeist, one who sees the world in black and white, friend or foe and nothing in between.

      It's even more sad that you like to quote dictators who worked on completely opposite ends of political spectrum, such as Hitler and Stalin, and then call them both "socialist". Which is an epitome of stupidity and ignorance.

      To you and people like you, socialism is a mythical "evil" and capitalism is a mythical "good". As a result, you end up associating anything you consider "evil" with it - down to the point where you call people who were possibly some of the most anti-socialist in the world "socialist".
      You also end up considering even vices of capitalism "good", because mythical "good" can obviously do no evil.

      This renders any attempt to argue pointless. Which is rather sad, as the thread had a good potential for true discussion, rather then "but I believe black is white so it is" slugfest you derailed it into.

      One final note: Not a SINGLE revolution in the world in the known history of humanity has not been about a power grab first, and everything else at a distant two hundred and fifty seventh position, if even that.

      P.S. People like me are a true "moderates". We prefer to have a little of everything in moderation and see vice in extremes. If you bothered to read the thread throughout, you would've figured this out on your own.

    18. Re:This is why by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      From my post :

      But don't worry I expect to see a speech of how the fact that all planned economies in history have either failed to feed their people or worse (like the massive genocides most economic "plans" involved). I expect to read here how they weren't "really" planned economies, and how it's all the fault of <insert evil "un-communist" leader of a communist state here> I expect to read how it's all a big conspiracy, in the academia, so well known for their extreme-right views of life ...

      Yours :

      It's even more sad that you like to quote dictators who worked on completely opposite ends of political spectrum, such as Hitler and Stalin, and then call them both "socialist". Which is an epitome of stupidity and ignorance.

      To you and people like you, socialism is a mythical "evil" and capitalism is a mythical "good". As a result, you end up associating anything you consider "evil" with it - down to the point where you call people who were possibly some of the most anti-socialist in the world "socialist".

      'All this is true, of course, because you don't know "true" rationality and all the people you refer to are possibly some of the most anti-rational people in the world'. This is how you argue.

      A few questions :

      Has there been ONE SINGLE planned economy that qualifies as "true" communism (a reasonably sized state, the bigger the better, in the last 2 centuries) ? Apparently, no (needless to say, this would mean communism is about as existing as santa's flying reindeers, and since you're referring to a fictional concept, of course you can fantasize anything with a straight face. How you can possibly say something like that with a straight face, is beyond me).

      A further question is what went wrong all across the world with all attempts to create planned economies ? And why won't it just happen again ? Because quite frankly a lot of these attempts, from Chavez to Mugabe, are fast devolving into another round of socialist genocide.

      In short : All attempts to create planned economies failed "or worse" (and let's not forget that a few of the "or worse"s included mass genocide on a scale rivaled only by muslims genocides). Why did this happen ?

      It's even more sad that you like to quote dictators who worked on completely opposite ends of political spectrum, such as Hitler and Stalin, and then call them both "socialist". Which is an epitome of stupidity and ignorance.

      Yes, that's really an oh-so necessary part of your socialistic ideology, right ? That "national socialism", which of course advocates a centrally-planned economy as well (the essential point, as you say), is not socialism.

      And this charade must be kept up despite :
      1) for a nationalist party, the nazis had a bit of trouble limiting themselves to any specific nationality, or geography, don't you think ?
      2) any rational assesment of the left-right political divide, which is generally considered the difference between centrally planned economy versus distributed, free, planning economies would place the nazis squarely in the "extreme left" corner (of course, republicans would be considered more of a "centrist" party then too, and only something like the tea party could be considered rightist).
      3) other socialist states, including but not limited to the USSR and China had their own "judenrein" campaigns, also based on perceived problems with jewish genes. This one is especially
      hard to digest. If it really was so limited to nazism, then why did other socialists do ... exactly the same ?

      While I agree that some socialist "revolutions" were hijacked (the Iranian 1972 revolution comes to mind, as a good example, as does the "revolution" that brought Saddam into power), the one that brought Lenin and later Stalin to power wasn't hijacked. It really was communists in control.

      So : can you give ONE (realistic, si

    19. Re:This is why by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Addressing your questions, one by one:

      1. Why Hitler comparison was horrible (let's get this out of the way right at the start not to tempt Godwin's law).
      Hitler's party was "national socialist". It's key ideologies were:
      Fascism: Idea of corporate control of government.
      Nationalism: Idea that one race is superior to others.
      Militarsm: Idea that above two goals and idea of Great Germany should be advanced via military might.

      Considering that Hitler was openly anti-communistic (to an extent of which USSR of the time was considered communistic) and anti-socialistic (as fascism key tenets sit in polar opposite side to those of socialism), and finally nationalistic to extreme (which again sits in the very direct opposition to socialistic basics), calling him socialist is insulting at best and just utterly stupid at worst.

      Example: Basic idea behind socialism is that strong should help the weak. One of the basic tenets of nationalism, in which Hitler took active part was elimination of the weak. A great example of this was recovered in one of the Hitler's letters, were a german father of a mentally retarded son asked Fuhrer for a permission to, under key tenets of nationalistic supremacy teachings, right to kill his son to remove him from "polluting Aryan genetic pool".

      Permission was granted after personal letter exchange, signed by Hitler by hand.

      Essentially, the key point is that calling your party "socialist", "capitalist", "democratic", etc doesn't make it one. You're stuck on the faceplate without seeing what's under it.

      2. Forcible linking of social system to genocide. Also addressed in 3.

      Any modern major STATE (note, not system but state) has commited open genocide in its past. Example: USA, indians. Great Britain: India, South Africa. Example can be found on virtually any state that can be called "great". There are also numerous cases of modern, somewhat hidden genocide, such as Indonesia in the 50ties (essentially the birthplace of modern extremist islam, cultivated as an open secret by CIA to crush communist uprising in accordance to doctrine of the time).

      3. Modern communist states: There aren't any as far as I know. China, while calling itself "communist" is in fact mostly extremely capitalist state resembling USA of early 1900s. USSR was, as the infamous soviet time joke goes "standing with one foot in socialism, and one in communism, in a very uncomfortable position". It was essentially attempting a mix of capitalism and socialism on lower level of society, and extreme capitalism on higher levels (i.e. companies). It was a functional system to an extent too, as it successfully carried a massive ~40% military overhead for decades until eventual collapse (our current Western capitalism has trouble handing even current ~10%).

      The closest you can get to a "socialist state" is probably nordic states of Sweden, Finland, Denmark and Norway. They incorporate a mix of socialist and capitalist policies, and it's widely understood that most of their recent social problems have been rooted in the slow erosion of socialism in favor of more capitalist policies, creating massive inefficiencies within the system as old bureaucracies which were considered inefficient were found to be far more efficient then private services handling same sectors after public bureau was privatized. This particular experience is in no way limited to these four however, even with countries such as Great Britain getting the same problems (i.e. GB's privatisation of railways).

      It's worth noting that unless you count past of Great Sweden around 400 years ago, long before they became socialist, there has been a grand total of zero "genocides" commited by the aforementioned countries.

      Which brings me back to the point that genocide isn't tied to social system of the country, but to it's larger, foreign and internal policy goals, which tend to run independent of social system. I.e. openly socialist USA would've still killed off indians and openly capitalist USSR would've

    20. Re:This is why by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      And for the record, it's worth noting and anti-colonialism hasn't exactly been a great thing on large scale, as for every success story like Chavez, history will show a dosen of Mugabes and Jong-Ils. And if doesn't help that many just end up bought up and corrupt by the old colonial masters anyway (great case to point: Nigeria and it's oil wealth).

    21. Re:This is why by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      The only thing successful about Chavez is that we don't know about the genocides yet. Like Mugabe, you know, 15 years ago.

      Am I to take then that you consider Venezuela today a prime example of what a centrally planned economy does ? Because ... it's not pretty.

      Besides your idea of fascism is hilarious. Corporate control of government. Quite the reverse, obviously. Government control of corporations.

      Anti-some-communist-state does not mean that one is actually anti-communist. Besides you conveniently neglect to mention that there was quite a strong alliance between the USSR and Nazi Germany. The USSR actually helped the National Socialists start up the holocaust. But like all countries bent on world-domination, both the USSR and Germany had plans to conquer the other, and when a few acts of the USSR hit a little too close to home, Hitler did something Stalin didn't see coming : he attacked. 3 months later, the communist international turned on Hitler.

      Real, factual history does not paint nearly as anti-communist a picture as your speech, does it ?

      And in case you haven't noticed, the idea that one "kind of people" is superior to others is central to the very concept of communism. Centrally planned economy can only work more efficiently if
      (1) there is some subset of people that can plan better than people do themselves
      (2) this subset of people has some way to enforce that planning, and this is morally right to do

      In other words, if you're not of the opinion that there are certain people smarter (and won't accept the market's opninion of who that is, in other words, reality's opinion of it) then you're simply not a communist.

    22. Re:This is why by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      I think I'm done talking to the wall that is you because you:

      1. Ignore the history that is impossible to twist your way (Scandinavian countries) through a strawman.
      2. Claim that cases where history doesn't go your way in is "we just don't know about it yet" in spite of massive evidence to contrary.
      3. Admit that foreign and internal interests were the driving force behind Germany and USSR conflict in WW2, yet again try to make it somehow the financial system's fault without any facts or even arguments to back it up.
      4. Draw a conclusion from above three strawmen that history supports you.
      5. Describe the dictatorships that called themselves "communist", and instead of drawing the conclusion that dictatorships often elevate a smart minority to control the poor majority, you decide that in fact the communism does. I.e. you're once again unable to see the inside of the shop behind the neon sign in front.

      Essentially for every argument presented, you try to defeat it with a strawman. That makes arguing very tiring, because instead of arguing about the actual issues, we end up arguing on why your strawman claims are in fact useless, and they ignore most of the existing opposing evidence and are nothing but simple claims.

      And finally, the definition of fascism: Fascists seek to organize a nation according to corporatist perspectives, values, and systems, including the political system and the economy. In fascist Germany for example, all of the large corporations had representation in the very internal circles of the Fuhrer. They essentially drove the economy of the nation, down to the point of essentially enslaving entire ethnicities to work in their factories for free.
      Even better example was Mussolini's fascism, which was even closer to the roots of actual fascism.

      All in all, it's a nice argument, but you need to present something more then "but this country that called itself communist commited genocide, so clearly communism is bad, and so are YOU for arguing that it has some good parts to it!" strawman to argue. It works well when preaching to a choir of similarily narrow minded people, but not when you argue against someone who is actually presenting concrete facts and examples to the opposite.

      Try the following:
      1. How/why it was social system rather then militarism/home/foreign policy/other similar factors that caused the issues such as genocide/wars. In what way would this change if we changed social policy of the state?
      2. Why these wars and genocides different and more/less condemnable from ones caused by countries with another social system?
      Etc.

    23. Re:This is why by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      P.S. It's worth noting that Chavez has been in power for quite a while now, and with the exception of him being a rather epic-sized attention whore (which is probably a good thing, as he seems to crave attention far more then personal wealth), he has done nothing but good for most of his people. Unlike Mugabe the level of living for the poor in his country has increased substantially because unlike Mugabe whose policies were "grab from the colonialists and give to allies", Chavez's policy is "grab from the colonialists and put under government control".

      The judgement if he will get corrupted by the money in the end is still in the air, for as long as he's in power. This goes for pretty much every leader. But so far, so good, at least as far as majority in his country is concerned.

      International investors on the other hand, are obviously pissed - hence the massive propaganda push.

  3. foreign companies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I am curious how important foreign companies really are for Ireland. Are there any figures to support their government's decision ?

    1. Re:foreign companies by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      I'm pretty sure the foreign companies had little influence. Ireland decided to take credits from the EU emergency fonds, and those credits come with conditions. In short: Ireland doesn't change due to the threat of US companies. Ireland changes due to the conditions of other EU countries.

      Another thing they'll probably will have to change is the low taxes for companies. I'm pretty sure the companies didn't demand that.

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    2. Re:foreign companies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Low corporation taxes will not change. It is one of the few advantages that Ireland has for attracting inward investment. If demands in that regard are persistently made, then other issues will have to be addressed, such as the fact that a large portion of the blame for the current economic conditions in Ireland belongs to Germany. Ireland endured inflation at a much higher rate than the rest of the eurozone for many years, precisely because European Central Bank interest rates were fixed to aid the German economy, not those of smaller countries where a different rate would be appropriate. This was a huge factor in the property bubble that imploded 2 years ago. Another thing that would have to be addressed if the Germans start getting shirty with us, is the fact that Irelands primary natural resource, its fisheries, are used mainly by other EU countries, whose economic benefit from them has dwarfed the development subsidies given to the Irish over the years.

  4. Denial... by sznupi · · Score: 1, Insightful

    'We should default,' said a retired union worker, 'the idea that the workers of this country should pay for the gambling of the billionaires is disgusting.

    Yes, the "billionaires" lead the whole pack, and all that. However - not many of the proles stop to look around and wonder what brings the semi-dream around them while it lasts - but they do enjoy it. And cherish promises.

    That doesn't go only for the Irish of course.

    --
    One that hath name thou can not otter
    1. Re:Denial... by sourcerror · · Score: 1

      Yeah, saving the goverment saving the banks is really the fault of the proles ...

  5. Default? Really? by igreaterthanu · · Score: 1

    calling for the Irish government to default on the country's debts

    Who would ever lend Ireland money ever again?

    --
    I dream of a nation where a man is not judged by his skin color but by an number assigned by a credit rating agency.
    1. Re:Default? Really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In reality, that might not be such a bad thing long term - if the only loans the nation can get are at junk bond rates, that might be enough to enforce budget discipline and prevent future crises. The flip side is that national debt is held by a lot of ordinary people and their pension funds, so a government default does hurt a lot of the general public directly.

    2. Re:Default? Really? by khchung · · Score: 4, Informative

      Who would ever lend Ireland money ever again?

      Good, then maybe it will force their politicians to actually make do a balanced budget rather than keep running a deficit, spending money they do not have, effectively using the country's future income to secure their own positions in elections.

      Well, one can hope.

      --
      Oliver.
    3. Re:Default? Really? by igreaterthanu · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Government debt is also a useful tool (such as borrowing to buy infrastructure) but like any tool there are ways to abuse it. I wouldn't be so quick to throw it away.

      As for making a balanced budget, that is the responsibility of the citizens to vote for reasonable candidates.

      --
      I dream of a nation where a man is not judged by his skin color but by an number assigned by a credit rating agency.
    4. Re:Default? Really? by MachDelta · · Score: 1

      You mean deficit. Debt is bad.

    5. Re:Default? Really? by Znork · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Who would ever lend Ireland money ever again?

      Who would ever lend insolvent banks money again? It's not Ireland that went bust, it's Irelands banks. The Irish government just got suckered into backing them.

      The answer is, of course, the next sucker. Which we have a financial system full of, as if anyone loses their money lending to bums, the taxpayers will get to pay for it...

      But really, would you feel safer lending money to someone who will probably default in the near future as they carry unmaintainable debt than you would lending money to someone who'd restructured their debt to manageable levels? Neither would be very palatable in a sane system, but that's not what we have, and you as a taxpayer will not get a say in whether to lend or not.

    6. Re:Default? Really? by mweather · · Score: 1

      How do you run a deficit without generating debt?

    7. Re:Default? Really? by ebuck · · Score: 5, Funny

      How do you run a deficit without generating debt?

      Leprechauns

    8. Re:Default? Really? by TheRaven64 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Debt is not intrinsically bad. Anyone who believes this should spend some time playing Transport Tycoon - the best strategy in that game is to borrow right up to your limit, because a well run company will make much more profit from the capital investment than the cost of the interest. It's a very simplified economic model, but the point still stands. If a government borrows $n, has to repay $n+20%, and invests the money in infrastructure that generates $n+50% in tax revenues, this is a sensible and responsible thing for the government to do. This is why most companies have outstanding loans - they are making more money from the investment than they are losing from the interest payments, so repaying the loan would be a net loss.

      The problem is not debt, but debt without a plan for repayment.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    9. Re:Default? Really? by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      Sell your bonds to your own population.

      This of-course would require your own population to trust the gov't and it would require your own population to have money to buy the bonds, which just may require the gov't to stop collecting the income taxes.

      Seriously, if you can't fund gov't programs by even getting the very population, who the gov't supposedly belongs to, to finance this debt, then how can you expect anybody in the world to finance it?

    10. Re:Default? Really? by rbarreira · · Score: 1

      Who would ever lend Ireland money ever again?

      Many people. Both Argentina and Russia defaulted on their debt and they are able to borrow today.

      --

      The AACS key is NOT 0xF606EEFD628B1CA427BEA93A9CA9773F
    11. Re:Default? Really? by rbarreira · · Score: 1

      How do you run a deficit without generating debt?

      By saving during the surplus years to cover deficit years?

      Same thing with corporations and individuals. Just because you spend more than you make in some years (i.e. not making a profit), that doesn't mean you're necessarily going into debt.

      --

      The AACS key is NOT 0xF606EEFD628B1CA427BEA93A9CA9773F
    12. Re:Default? Really? by Vaphell · · Score: 5, Insightful

      in democracy with deficits allowed you are doomed to wreck your economy, because in order to win the elections you got to promise a shitload of 'freebies' (which are not free at all), otherwise someone else who promises a lot will win. Sanity and economic soundness are not valued by the average voter so it's the race to the bottom.

      as Tocqueville said

      The American Republic will endure until the day Congress discovers that it can bribe the public with the public's money.

    13. Re:Default? Really? by rbarreira · · Score: 1

      Selling bonds to your own population is still debt (look at Japan, that's exactly what they are doing).

      Running deficits without going into debt requires the accumulation of capital during the years when you're not running a deficit.

      --

      The AACS key is NOT 0xF606EEFD628B1CA427BEA93A9CA9773F
    14. Re:Default? Really? by roman_mir · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Debt is intrinsically bad when it's gov't debt, because gov't is not supposed to be a business.

      A business can invest money to generate some positive cash flow and then maybe even some revenue, gov't does not and shouldn't be expected to.

      When gov't borrows to finance its programs, it means the same thing as taxes, only this is taxes + interest forwarded to the future generations of voters, which is theft, because those future generations didn't agree to any of it, and it would be best for those future generations to get their belongings and leave the country, rather than stay repaying the debts of their parents/grandparents.

      Taxing consumption is the only true and honest way to fund a gov't, and gov't shouldn't be spending much on anything beyond basic protection against military invasion and a justice system *(and probably cops/prisons, to give teeth to the justice system.)

      Gov't IS consumption, any citizens benefits from gov't only as much, as he benefits from any other consumption. Gov't is consumption, and thus its income (taxes) should be proportional to other consumption that people are willing to spend on.

      When gov't taxes production, it cannot be controlled, the only feedback mechanism, by which a growing gov't system can be stopped (if it's taxing production) is basically loss of jobs and of productivity, which implies reduction in production and wealth and destruction of economy. In that case the gov't usually switches to acquiring debts, which shouldn't be allowed.

      Gov't with a debt, is a gov't that cannot be afforded by its country current and especially future.

      Consumption based taxes would provide gov't with enough money to finance the minimum required spending, while also creating a feed-back mechanism, necessary to control the size (budget) of gov't, because if people spend less on everything, they end up spending less on gov't, and this basically reduces gov't consumption just like all other consumption, and it is a good thing, needed to restructure a slowing economy.

      Obviously all Keynesian shamans' brains explode at this very moment, but that's also a positive thing, we need their brains to explode, they have done enough damage.

      The only way to get out of a recession is the way it was always done: stop spending, save money, rebuild savings, have a deflation by reduction of money supply, see prices for products and labor fall, use the saved capital to start new businesses, rehire people, start production.

      The gov't wants to do it like so: print/borrow money, prop up spending on consumer goods produced in different economies, OK, so support economies of other countries while destroying the currency itself, and robbing everybody who holds it of purchasing power, do not allow the savings to be rebuild by low interest rates. Somehow hope that this will inflate another bubble that economy will somehow use to float on, but this new bubble obviously needs to be bigger than the previous one, that caused the last recession.

      Every new bubble is bigger and will cause a bigger explosion, until the very bubble that will end up taking out the currency itself, as well as bankrupting the country and sending interest rates into the skies. Good luck with restructuring then, the pain will be enormous.

      Oh, the next bubble to blow - US bonds. Then it's probably hyper-inflationary depression, because the gov't still relies on Keynesians like Krugman.

    15. Re:Default? Really? by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      Well yes, there should be no debt in gov't, that's my position. My point is that if you are going to run debt, then finance it with your own population.

      As to Japan, it's problem was not the debt. Japan had huge savings compared to US. Japan's problem and and was that it was and is still following advices of people like Bernanke, and inflating their money to prop up US consumers by making their exports cheaper in USD. What they should have done instead is allow their markets to restructure to start selling the goods to others, who can legitimately afford it, including their own population, rather than following US inflation and printing and stealing purchasing power from their own people.

    16. Re:Default? Really? by rbarreira · · Score: 1

      Oh I'm not saying that Japan's problem was its debt. However, it is true that the government ran up debt (200% of GDP ?!?) to "stimulate" the economy, which will be a disaster for them at some point.

      --

      The AACS key is NOT 0xF606EEFD628B1CA427BEA93A9CA9773F
    17. Re:Default? Really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Debt is always bad. Always. For any situation, you just have to decide if the alternatives to accumulating debt are worse.

    18. Re:Default? Really? by Herkum01 · · Score: 1

      You are ignoring the other half of the equation. Debt can be bad or good, it is a lever to multiply the effect of a situation. If I borrow 1 million dollars and it becomes 1.1 million, I am 100 K ahead. What has been happening in the world is everyone betting nothing will go down. So I borrow 1 million dollars, and then it becomes 500 K. Now I can't pay that back! I also borrowed that 1 million dollars from a bank which *surprise* had also borrowed that money from someone else. So technically, I have two parties which have lost 500 K or 1 million dollars total.

    19. Re:Default? Really? by jgtg32a · · Score: 1

      Lots of people you would be able to get a good ROI from them because they defaulted.

    20. Re:Default? Really? by sourcerror · · Score: 1

      Are you suggesting it's better to pay back the debt and then borrow again then not paying back and not borrowing? (Protip: not paying intrest)

    21. Re:Default? Really? by dbIII · · Score: 1

      So that mean promise small government and deliver the biggest ever seen? Finally Bush is explained!

    22. Re:Default? Really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Alexis de Tocqueville never said that. It's been misattributed to him by the anti-deficit crowd to attempt to dress up their ravings with a touch intellectualism.

      The earliest written source for that quote is an unsourced attribution to Alexander Tytler in an op-ed by Elmer T. Peterson in the Daily Oklahoman back in 1951

    23. Re:Default? Really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Uh, I don't think governments 'generate revenue', especially not by 'building infrastructure'.

    24. Re:Default? Really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or, you know, you banked a surplus when you had one; instead of spending it.

    25. Re:Default? Really? by dkf · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Debt is intrinsically bad when it's gov't debt, because gov't is not supposed to be a business.

      That sounds like you've bought into that position as an a priori assumption. While I'd agree that governments aren't businesses, to say that all government borrowing is therefore bad is foolishness. The purpose of good borrowing is so that investment can be made so as to increase income in the future that will repay the debt and ensure more money to do other things with. When applied to a government, the purpose has got to primarily be to invest in steps that will lead to increased total tax take in the future, generally through increasing overall economic activity in some way.

      This is all independent of how wisely governments in your locale are spending, taxing or borrowing. If you're going to make an argument, it helps to start out from an intellectually-sound basis, which saying that "government borrowing is bad" is not. Reality just doesn't allow for such simple distinctions, and any sane policy must be at least grounded in reality.

      --
      "Little does he know, but there is no 'I' in 'Idiot'!"
    26. Re:Default? Really? by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      Sounds to me you like to argue semantics.

      Borrowing only makes sense if it is borrowing that actually has a reasonable chance to improve something in the future, what we see is that gov't borrowing does not fall into this category. This is all beside the fact, that it is not the gov'ts job to control economic outcomes in the first place, well, of-course you are welcome to change what the US is all about (private enterprise etc.) and try and turn it into some form of dictatorial socialist state, but as I mentioned, the people who will end up paying for the debt+interest with taxes OR with a destroyed economy are the people who are not voting yet, and for them to be in that sort of a situation I imagine will be very aggravating. I believe that those of them, who could have been business leaders of the future will leave the country (not a stretch, giving the reasons why most people actually came to US in the first place).

      If forcing future entrepreneurs out of the country into better economic zones is your goal, go ahead, let your gov't borrow.

    27. Re:Default? Really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That only works in an infinite growth economy. Economies have carrying capacities (and smaller markets have their own carrying capacities) so recognizing when it's a good idea to bet on 50% growth and when it's a good idea to stop investing and transition to a stable state is a requirement for a healthy economy. Given your transport tycoon example, I imagine there's a limit to the game engine or game world. At some point, your infrastructure reaches the borders and fills up all interior space. If you're in debt up to your eyeballs at that point, you are doomed. You need to plan to pay off your debt at the very instant you build your last rail/train/factory/whatever.

      Obviously humanity has some limits and we have no idea what they are. So far, growth economies have provided the most rapid improvements in our standard of living and allowed people to invent and discover many great new things. However, we are reaching the limits of what the Earth can provide for us. Oil and many other natural resources are beginning to peak, or already have, and we have to decide whether we're ready to jump into space and retain the growth economy or settle down and wait for the big asteroid.

    28. Re:Default? Really? by mikael · · Score: 1

      How can they have a balanced budget when all the taxes raised are going to be spent paying the interest on the debts that the banks racked up? That's why there are going to be "austerity measures", and things like a minimum wage salary are going to be thrown away.

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
    29. Re:Default? Really? by lennier · · Score: 1

      A business can invest money to generate some positive cash flow and then maybe even some revenue, gov't does not and shouldn't be expected to.

      Er. Isn't that exactly what public spending on health, education, policing and infrastructure is? Investment in a nation's productive capacity, which will lead to exports and tax revenue? "You have to spend a buck to make a buck", if true, applies equally well to nation-states as to organisations.

      You can either have an impoverished, ignorant, sick, criminal citizenry who spend their days breaking stuff, or a smart, healthy, productive citizenry who make and do useful things for others. Investing so you get the latter and not the former is exactly a government's job.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    30. Re:Default? Really? by lennier · · Score: 1

      Borrowing only makes sense if it is borrowing that actually has a reasonable chance to improve something in the future, what we see is that gov't borrowing does not fall into this category.

      Why does it not?

      Borrowing so you can build user-owned roads, farms, factories, hospitals and schools seems exactly like it would improve a lot of things in the future for any country which does it. At the end of the day, useful productive capital has been built which can start making stuff.

      On the other hand, borrowing just so you can invade other countries, line a Swiss bank account, export your manufacturing base to a foreign owner, or pay off IMF paper loans seems like it would do nothing but drain productive resources, and should be discouraged.

      Whether a government does the investing or the free market seems pretty irrelevant compared to the real question of what it is that the investment creates - real stuff or fantasy figure juggling.

      At the end of the day, you either have farms and factories and hospitals, or you don't.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    31. Re:Default? Really? by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      No it is not government's job to deal with economic situations, to 'heal', to provide education, etc. Government doesn't KNOW what is needed, it doesn't have any feed back loop mechanisms to correct the spending in any way, it doesn't compete with anybody and thus it cannot do price and quality discovery, but it can sink enormous amounts of money into whatever by printing and taxing and borrowing.

      So gov't surely can SPEND but it cannot run anything as a business, because it does not have to make ends meet apparently, it doesn't have to compete.

      Most importantly, it is not the gov'ts job to compete in health or education or anything.

      The job of a gov't (well at least in the US) is to make sure that the citizens are provided the freedoms and liberties to be able to provide for themselves, but freedoms and liberties from other nations, who'd want to take them away, the problem in US now, it looks like the US gov't is the entity that is taking these liberties away.

      Another gov't job is to maintain a working justice system to ensure that criminal and contract laws are followed.

      Anything else gov't does is misguided and ends up worsening the situation in the long run by mis-allocating the resources and destroying economy.

    32. Re:Default? Really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is called productive investment, the problem is .... every expense is always considered an inversion when it could be not.

      That is the reason even the more luxuriant industry like Tiffany's or million dollar paintings will try to convince you that you are not expending, but investing.

      That is dangerous because you can be fooled, and won't discover it until much later. Of course, nobody wants to look like a fool, if a politician makes a bad decision he is not the one telling you.

      If you could get $n+50% that should be fantastic, the only problem is more real numbers are $n-50%, because what the government takes from private money to make something public is not expended in a private way. Private companies are used to measure results(n+X%),get feedback because if they not profit (n+>0%)they close down, governments are not.

      If you go create a road on Somalia, is going to take you X dolars and is going to give you a big return(because roads are bad quality there), but making a road where there are already good quality roads will cost you 3X dollars and the return is not guaranteed, because you now have more roads(cost) to maintain and less impact per road .)

      PS: I was very good at Transport Tycoon, better than all my friends and never borrowed.

    33. Re:Default? Really? by roman_mir · · Score: 2, Insightful

      None of gov'ts business, it's not what the gov't is for - creating factories/hospitals/etc. I can't believe this is even an argument.

      Gov't is a monopolistic structure by default, which is incapable of any sort of competition and thus does not follow the rules of price discovery through trade.

      Gov't funding in itself is anti-competitive in nature, as gov't gets its funding by force. You can't build anything of use if it's all dictated by gov't, gov't cant't build independent structures in the market that are not profit motivated, and profit driven motivation system is the only sound economic system we have to date, it ensures market level price discovery through trade, it ensures nearly correct market saturation levels with various products/services at the prices that the market is willing to bear.

      You don't want gov't to deal with economy, it's a big mistake to allow a monopolistic, non-profit driven, income ensured, bureaucratic, ever growing, anti-competitive, money printing system to set economic rules, it will inevitably crash the society by imposing itself all over the economy.

      Gov't is supposed to be just a cost, it's a cost of having minimum military for protection and a cost of having a working justice system to look after criminal and contract laws.

      Leave the individuals to take care of market requirements, leave the individual choices for price/quality discovery, leave the market to set interest rates, do not allow gov't to borrow, do not allow gov't to tax production, keep it on a short consumption financed leash, otherwise it will destroy the economy and society, because it has no boundaries.

    34. Re:Default? Really? by winwar · · Score: 1

      "Debt is intrinsically bad when it's gov't debt, because gov't is not supposed to be a business."

      That has to be one of the most clueless things I have ever seen posted on Slashdot. Truly impressive.

      You are asserting that the infrastructure spending, in the form of bonds, that allow government to build things like roads, bridges, schools and the like are intrinsically bad. You believe that none of that spending should be done until the government has cash on hand. This means that you believe that any consequences from the delays are less severe than the mere act of government borrowing.

      That is truly absurd.

    35. Re:Default? Really? by BeanThere · · Score: 1

      Only problem is the built-in moral hazard: When a company gets into debt with private capital, it's on the hook. When the government gets into excessive debt, the taxpaying public is on the hook.

    36. Re:Default? Really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You say "ravings" but everything about that quote is completely logical. Maybe it isn't de Tocqueville, but so what? It's still true. In a democracy the government bribes the people with their own money. Which bit of this statement do you think is false, and why?

    37. Re:Default? Really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Faulty logic. You assume the young citizens would run away to another country without public debt. Somalia, perhaps? No, obviously they would run away to a country with a good infrastructure. But how was that infrastructure paid for? There's the basic assumption: that another country can magically get - without incurring debts - an infrastructure as good as the US. Well, here's a bit of reality: any county that your US citizen would consider acceptable to live in, has public debts.

      As for the idea of making gov consumption a lineair function of private consumption: right, just what we need in an overheated economy, even more demand. Keynes may have faulty logic at times, but his observation that production capacity is approximately constant is quite important. One may differ about the consequences, but your idea presumes that car factories can be created at a whim from thin air.

    38. Re:Default? Really? by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      Borrowing so you can build user-owned roads, farms, factories, hospitals and schools seems exactly like it would improve a lot of things in the future for any country which does it.

      In the USA, the government isn't actually in the business of building farms and factories. We leave that to private individuals.

      Hospitals? There are some that are built by the government, some that aren't. Other than VA hospitals, I can't think of any that are built by the Federal government, by the by.

      Roads? Yes, the government handles that. With the gasoline taxes, pretty much entirely - the revenue from gasoline taxes matches pretty closely the outlays for the maintaining/upgrading roads.

      So, pretty much none of your "good borrowing" is done by the Federal government, which doesn't seem to have slowed down the borrowing rate by the Federal government...

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    39. Re:Default? Really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ireland banked a surplus when it had one, that's where the 17.5bn of the 85bn bailout is coming from. Unhappily the banks managed to run up a very large amount of debt, way out of proportion to the countries earnings or savings.

  6. People would protest against raising corp. tax by zoney_ie · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Look, left-wing parties are likely to do well in our next election, but no-one sensible here, left or right, wants to raise the corporation tax rate. These companies provide our jobs.

    If a raise would be announced, ordinary people here would really start to protest.

    --
    -- *~()____) This message will self-destruct in 5 seconds...
    1. Re:People would protest against raising corp. tax by Haedrian · · Score: 2, Interesting

      But apparently the jobs being provided aren't going to be very supported when the level of education crawls downwards. Lots of money in education is needed for those sort of jobs. I think in the end its going to be unsustainable - if they'd need to get foreigners to do all the work for them - it'll be cheaper to just relocate. Maybe.

    2. Re:People would protest against raising corp. tax by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      These companies provide our jobs.

      If all the jobs in your country, or even a significant majority of them, are provided by international megacorporations and conglomerates that can and will move them elsewhere if it benefits them, and use them as blackmail material to get the laws they want, then you've got bigger problems than whether to lower taxes or not.

    3. Re:People would protest against raising corp. tax by zoney_ie · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Actually education is being given more preferential treatment in cuts being minimised compared to even healthcare.

      It's likely to be relatively unaffected by the cuts in government spending. Admittedly that means kids still going to school in rotting >century old buildings and temporary pre-fabs, but the level of people's education is not likely to drop. Quite the reverse given the fear of joblessness.

      --
      -- *~()____) This message will self-destruct in 5 seconds...
    4. Re:People would protest against raising corp. tax by OneMadMuppet · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The problem isn't the multinationals that provide jobs - they will stay. Intel can't move a FAB overnight. The issue is with the shells like Microsoft Licensing - that employ 5 lawyers, 5 accountants and a janitor - and that do nothing but funnel profits. THESE companies will up and leave in a heartbeat, because an extra 2% on $62BN is ENORMOUS. At the moment the corp tax income on these companies is E110bn - and the IMF money is nowhere near that. Raising the corp tax rate might mean losing 50-100 jobs, mostly accountants and lawyers (not exactly going to get a sympathy vote from most people), but could leave the country more than E50bn a year down - not really an option right now.

    5. Re:People would protest against raising corp. tax by bjourne · · Score: 0, Redundant

      Hahaha. Yeah right.

    6. Re:People would protest against raising corp. tax by Znork · · Score: 1

      The actual corporate tax rate isn't the most significant problem anyway, the problem is the holes that make the rate 2-3%. And those holes do not provide jobs; running a tax scam isn't exactly labour intensive. There hasn't been much said about whether or not those holes will be closed.

      On the other hand, on the more labour intensive business a 15% or 25% corporate tax rate isn't going to be that significant a factor compared to prevailing wages, availability of appropriate labour force, etc. If it were going to be moved to a low cost country the Irish 60% wage growth between 1999 and 2008 would be a rather more compelling reason to move such business.

      Personally I think the Irish have been rather whipped by the multinationals; first paying to save other countries banks from taking a hit on bad loans, then caving to whines about corporate taxes. Maybe some Irish politicians could ask Pfizer for the development of spine growth hormones in exchange for their low taxes.

    7. Re:People would protest against raising corp. tax by azaris · · Score: 2, Funny

      Look, left-wing parties are likely to do well in our next election, but no-one sensible here, left or right, wants to raise the corporation tax rate. These companies provide our jobs.

      If a raise would be announced, ordinary people here would really start to protest.

      Ireland is not the US, where lower-middle class working people will protest on the streets saying that Mario Antoinette should have more cake.

    8. Re:People would protest against raising corp. tax by jgtg32a · · Score: 1

      Mario?

    9. Re:People would protest against raising corp. tax by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "These companies provide our jobs."

      And then they take our money.

    10. Re:People would protest against raising corp. tax by horza · · Score: 2, Insightful

      They could go back to subsistence farming, even abandon the euro and go to a bartering system, but that is not the model they have decided to go with. Ireland decided to attract top-level business from all over the world via a highly educated workforce and a business-friendly environment.

      Yes this means working to remain competitive, but I don't think throwing a successful business model out in a tantrum is going to help them long term. The Irish banking crisis was not caused by low corporation tax, it was both private and public debt spiraling out of control exacerbated by a ridiculous property bubble.

      Phillip

    11. Re:People would protest against raising corp. tax by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      Nobody want to pay taxes, but everyone (most anyway) want government to pay for something they should pay for themselves. Which leaves us with Leftwing politicians promising free healthcare, and rightwing politicians promising no new taxes.

      We get free healthcare, but no taxes to pay for it, and eventually we end up broke and with no healthcare for anyone, even if you could pay for it.

      The problem isn't taxes, or socialistic programs. The problem is that there is no responsibility or accountability because the politicians are too far removed from the people they supposedly represent.

      In my city we have roads falling apart but great art work at city hall and a pretty new park. A politician is smart. Politicians are dumb stupid panicky animals, and you know it.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    12. Re:People would protest against raising corp. tax by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You could always build a wall around the country to keep the jobs and people in. That worked out great for the Soviet Union, right?

    13. Re:People would protest against raising corp. tax by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is not a significant majority, it is not a majority at all. It is a significant proportion however. About 3 times as much money in corporate profits are repatriated out of the country every year as are repatriated back in by Irish companies operating abroad. I heard somewhere that Ireland is the second largest foreign multinational investor in America.

    14. Re:People would protest against raising corp. tax by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course they have. They don't have a enormous country with bast resources and 300 million people. They have a little island very cold dark and rainy on winter.

      Some people who would not understand ever how lucky they are because they have never gone away of their lucky country could be luxurious enough to say F*CK YOU MEGACORPORATIONS!!

      Other people could not.

      PS: I'm from Spain, not Ireland, but have lived there for some time, love Irish people. I also had lived on places when having a refrigerator, let alone a car is a luxury, so please forget me when I hear people that never experienced shortcomings because of being born where they did gave lessons to others. Of course companies move if it benefits them, but companies also benefit people.

    15. Re:People would protest against raising corp. tax by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He saved the princess from the guillotine by dumping the revolutionaries in lava. As a reward for saving the monarchy, he got to fuck Marie and they had a son named after him.

    16. Re:People would protest against raising corp. tax by the_womble · · Score: 1

      What's really interesting about that is that the lie has been told so well that people in Ireland still believe it.

    17. Re:People would protest against raising corp. tax by Requiem18th · · Score: 1

      because an extra 2% on $62BN is ENORMOUS.

      Is it? 2% is just 2%, it doesn't matter if it means 1, 240 million dollars, it is *still* 2%.

      The reason why they would move to avoid paying 2% is because they are greedy, not because 1, 240 million dollars is too much because it is still 2%.

      Are you telling me that rising taxing 2% for poor people isn't a big deal because those are just a couple hundred dollars? I assure you that 2% means every bit as much to them than to corporations, if not much more.

      So it's not a case of 2% of 62E12USD being too much, it's just that giving back 2% to those that defend the country where they operate is too much for them.

      --
      But... the future refused to change.
  7. It's not the country's debts. by dackroyd · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's the private bank's debts.

    For some unknown reason the Irish government decided to guarantee all debts by banks in Ireland including banks that are owned and run by people who are not Irish or based in Ireland. These debts were not sovereign debts until the Irish government decided to unilaterally back them without any good cause. They did this back in 2008 and it's only now that they massive amount that they've basically handed over to private investors is becoming apparent.

    It's pretty nuts that private investors had hoped to make money by investing in Irish banks - but now that they're actually facing losses the people of Ireland are going to step up and cover all these debts. So for the private investors it's a case of head I win, tails you lose - where there is no risk of the private investors losing any money - and no chance for the public to get a share of the profits that banks were making in the good times.

    --
    "Free software as in beer, copy protection as in racket" - Telsa Gwynne
    1. Re:It's not the country's debts. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Mod up. Exactly right.

      Don't Guarantee ALL. Hand scrutinize all debts, and default on any that are over the size of the largest Irish one (meaning nobody in Ireland loose, ony foreigners).

      And you CAN default on debts and keep local companies - the two arguments are not related.
      Ony the Irish taxpayers are being stiffed.

    2. Re:It's not the country's debts. by icebraining · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "Unknown reason"? It's called FMI and EU pressure.

    3. Re:It's not the country's debts. by Charliemopps · · Score: 1

      You know, when Ireland did this, there was a lot of talk here in the US about doing the same. Not sure if anyone remembers that.

    4. Re:It's not the country's debts. by PaulOShea · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's the private bank's debts.

      For some unknown reason the Irish government decided to guarantee all debts by banks in Ireland including banks that are owned and run by people who are not Irish or based in Ireland. These debts were not sovereign debts until the Irish government decided to unilaterally back them without any good cause. They did this back in 2008 and it's only now that they massive amount that they've basically handed over to private investors is becoming apparent.

      I agree the guarantee was handled disastrously but I'm a little leery of the 'dirty foreigner' angle.

      Which dirty foreigner private investors would these be? Bank share holders? Anyone who bought shares in the banks over the last decade has seen their investment wiped out. The Irish government owns the lion's share of Allied Irish Banks and Bank Of Ireland. Anglo Irish Bank is fully nationalised, with all shareholders completely wiped out. They gambled, they lost.

      Who else then? Property developers with massive loans to the Banks that they cannot pay off? Maybe, but they are not dirty foreigners, they're home grown entrepreneurs!

      Where to next? The bond markets? Dirty foreign bastards, buying Irish bonds on the promise of a coupon paid over five or ten years. The cheek of them!

      Our problems are home made. Blaming the foreigners is lazy and unbecoming for a country that has sent her children to all corners of the globe. The sad thing is that because of the home grown cock up the exodus is happening again.

      Paul.

    5. Re:It's not the country's debts. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      I'm afraid not, the 2008 guarantee was a solo run by Ireland, it wasn't due to external pressure but pressure from wealthy people and senior bankers in Ireland attempting to protect their investments. The rest of the EU was pissed of with Ireland because it threatened a mini-run across Europe and forced EU goverments to respond with their own much more limited guarantees.
      The financial and political sectors in Ireland are extremely incestuous, the big financial backers of the government party also had large investments in the Irish banking sector, this was imploding so the government reacted to protect their financial backers. I am from Ireland.

    6. Re:It's not the country's debts. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      they did it because bank runs have a way of getting out of control, but I get the point.
      taking on all the banks bad debt seems a mistake, not sure what they can do now though.

    7. Re:It's not the country's debts. by gmuslera · · Score: 1

      A part (major? minor?) of what those banks have are their own people money. You MUST have your money in banks according to current culture/economy/whatever. So if those banks are gone that money will be too. And one thing is being kicked from your job, and another one being robbed of all your money (could not be a lot in the big scheme of things, but will be all for you).

      Of course, the screams of the small guys regarding this will be nothing compared with the screams of the big guys, the very ones that financed the campaigns of everyone in the government right now (well, this works for every country)

    8. Re:It's not the country's debts. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's the private bank's debts.

      It's not tho.

      Unlike the US where bankers played the rules with CDOs and when the market turned were left with valueless "safe" investments, banks in Ireland loaned the money directly. So it's the Irish people debt. Or at least that part of the Irish people that bought overvalued property.

      The government issue a blanket guarantee because the alternative was to let the entire banking sector (and the state as well) go bust, at which point the economy just stops functioning. Remember that no-one had any idea of the scope of the problem then. With 20/20 hindsight, of course, maybe what they should have done then was nationalise AIB and Bank of Ireland and let Anglo-Irish go bust. Maybe the markets would have accepted that as final and kept working. Or maybe not.

      With regards to Paul Krugman's article, I have to say I'm not impressed - then again I'm no economist. The problem in Iceland was banks playing abroad. As such the banking problem was solely a banking problem (and a foreign one at that). Because of this, letting (although I disagree with the term: they had no choice) the banks go bust (wiping the debt) and devaluing (putting costs back were they would have been were it not for the bank caused inflation) was a sensible course of action. The Irish economy is competitive, so devaluing wouldn't do much, worse it would lead the skilled (and thus migration-capable) workers to go get back their salary somewhere else. Just what Ireland needs right now: the tax-paying portion of the employed gone. As for letting the banks go bust, well you'd just shift the problem from banks owing money abroad to owners with mortgage owing money abroad.

    9. Re:It's not the country's debts. by Dravik · · Score: 1

      This is why banks shouldn't have been bailed out in any country. If the bankers want to take stupid risks and make loans to people with no assets or income, let them. When those foolish loans fail the banks should fail as well. When they have to pay for their own mistakes the remaining bankers will make good investments. If bankers continue to make bad investments GOTO sentence 2.

      --
      The purpose of language is communication, If the idea is clear the grammar ain't important
    10. Re:It's not the country's debts. by Smeagel · · Score: 1

      The problem with this is the entire world would have entered a global depression to teach the bankers a point. Most people would rather spare them their 'lesson', regulate them better, and prevent a world depression.

    11. Re:It's not the country's debts. by hedwards · · Score: 1

      Guaranteeing debts isn't inherently problematic. What is problematic is when you do so without any oversight or financial backing to do so. The FDIC and NCUA do that in the US fairly successfully. And had provisions of Glass-Stegal not been repealed it wouldn't have gotten anywhere near as bad.

      If the Irish government is having trouble with it, I'm guessing that they failed one or both of those items. Probably a lack of sufficient oversight combined with a failure to ensure that banks were having to pay enough insurance money for the service.

    12. Re:It's not the country's debts. by Dravik · · Score: 1

      How is this better than the global depression caused by sovereign defaults? The Germans won't keep paying to save the rest of Europe's banks and poorly run countries. They don't have enough money even if they wanted to.

      --
      The purpose of language is communication, If the idea is clear the grammar ain't important
  8. You voted for it! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    I'm a little sick of all those who live in a democracy, who hailed capitalism as the new world order and only now, that they find themselves at the short end of it, find others (government, banks, world bank, Europe, China) to blame. You voted for this! This does not mean that you can be dissatisfied with your government but please don't forget your own role in this. What did you do from 2000 to 2010 if it was all so wrong?

  9. Why it won't affect the companies.. by RabbitWho · · Score: 1

    Ireland is being criticized by the EU for unfair tax exemptions for certain businesses, they say other EU countries can't compete. But 20% of Ireland's GDP comes from foreign companies so there's no shaking them.

    Tech jobs are the only jobs that are still available in Ireland. We went from 4% unemployment to 12% in 2 years. [rant]There's a levy on the wages already, they argued that we had one of hte highest minimum wages in Europe.. but we also have one of the highest costs of living.. they're raising taxes on the poor, the rich already have to pay 40% tax so it would have been insane to touch that... but people are still complaining about it (go figure). the HSC has already done everything possible to destroy free medicine (and blamed it on the chemists by trying to force them to sell things at a loss and then saying with the support of the press they are evil capitalists for refusing) health care is damaged, free education is gone, language support for immigrant children gone, class sizes bigger..... Oh I could go on and on but I'm ranting.. all the perks are gone. The country is fecked, but no one is going to starve. And a poor person in ireland is still financially 150 times better off than a poor person in America, our social welfare never runs out, and everyone is always entitled to whatever health care they need. [/rant]

    1. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by zoney_ie · · Score: 4, Informative

      The rich aren't paying 40% tax! The top tax rate is 41% but this is only paid on income over €36K (single) or €45K (married) or €73K (married both working).

      But when you factor in people's tax credits and various tax reliefs, the statistical data for workers in Ireland shows that income tax peaks at about 20% of income. Those with a *lot* of income who would in theory be affected more significantly by the 41% tax rate actually pay tax advisors and use various schemes so that at the top end, the income tax proportion drops below 20% again!

      Most workers pay almost no income tax - as you pay none at all up to something like €17K (when you factor in tax credits). Median income is about 20K, and ordinary workers would pay a max of about 10% effective tax rate. On an above-average income, I pay about 12% total in tax.

      10% is the tax rate some countries charge the low paid! (as opposed to 0% here!)

      We do have many other taxes, but that's to make up for low income tax.

      Of course all this is only valid until the budget on 7th December.

      --
      -- *~()____) This message will self-destruct in 5 seconds...
    2. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by RabbitWho · · Score: 1

      Tax credit is now €15,200 since the 4 year plan.

      To be honest 40% is much too high anyway. If you have a high income it's because you generate a lot of money, you deserve it (unless you're a banker), you are an asset to the country and are probably bringing in more money than you're being payed.

    3. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by rtb61 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      No one ever 'generates' a lot of money, certainly the government mints print it but for every one else making s lot of money is all about being greedy. Paying very little for something and then putting a huge markup on it and selling (importing cheap junk), employing people where you have to capital to buy equipment and they do no and basically selling they're labour for much more than you pay for it, inheriting large sums of money and buying up all the income produce property you can, gambling with other peoples money at financial institutions, oh wait, they is always prostitution they certainly do generate money with their assets but they are the only ones (Psychopath pimps still take the lions share, hmm, much like the rest of the economy).

      Human society is a function of all humanity, those that profit most by it should pay the most for the benefit they gain, of course being greedy, they just want more. You neither read, write nor even speak without the support of the rest of humanity. It is time to put a stop upon preying upon the rest of human society and start working together for mutual benefit.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    4. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by roman_mir · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Marxist much?

      Without capital there are no jobs, people with capital are the ones that do in fact provide jobs by using the capital to organize tools/land/labor into a system that adds value to the society in total.

      Saying something to the tune of "importing cheap junk" is completely blind to the fact of how difficult it actually is to set up a working business, to meet the payroll every month, to keep the business afloat by somehow ensuring that business stays cash flow positive.

      If you are not a gov't created/maintained/subsidized/bailed out monopoly, you are actually competing against such monopolies as well as you are competing against other legitimate businesses (and when I say 'legitimate', I do mean businesses that are not subsidized by the gov't.)

      If it was a trivial matter - to "import cheap junk", to make it all work, to have a business that doesn't just run out of saved/borrowed money and die, something that actually works and employs people, while at the same time benefiting the society by providing it with wealth (and wealth IS the 'cheap junk', it's not money. People want 'cheap junk' and they are ready to part with their money to get it, because they it's this 'cheap junk' that gives them the quality of life they enjoy), it takes very hard work, very stressful hard work, very time consuming hard work, the kind of work that you do not do when you are on the clock, the kind of work, where you either really compete by innovating, by constantly working.

      If it was as trivial as you make it out to be, then obviously there would have been many more companies doing it and there would have been much fewer people looking for just a 9-5 job.

      Most people prefer not to work that hard, most people prefer the stability of a paycheck, most people do not in fact create wealth for their societies (and I mean wealth, as opposed to money.)

      It's always easy to diss somebody who is taking this work and making it big while doing it, but this completely disregards the fact that most who try to do this - they fail. They lose money as opposed to making money. They end up losing time and capital and a calm sort of life, which most people have when they are working on a salary. Working for yourself, taking a risk, building a business, hiring people and ensuring they do get their paycheck at the end of the month, getting the business into the cash positive territory, growing a business, generating a profit and all of this, while providing the society with the wealth it is demanding, this is truly amazing anybody can even do it.

      I put the regular businessmen much higher on the ladder of achievers than most other people, probably save for the most prominent scientists, who are at least at the same level if sometimes not more in terms of wealth generation for the society in total.

      Indeed the highest ranking people AFAIC (and I really mean it) are those, who first invent/build something, some new idea, some new invention and then are even successful at bringing the idea to life in form of some useful product.

      It's much harder to do that, than to be a pure scientist, but of-course we need pure scientists as well, it's not a or-or proposition.

      Dissing businessmen who are there, making the society wealthy, that's easy. To understand what many of them actually do and how this increases the overall quality of life for all people, while HOPEFULLY making them rich, that's different.

      AFAIC again, these people deserve much more respect than they actually get from the general public, but they are mostly hated I'd say due to the fact that SOME of them do end up much wealthier than any normal 9-5 worker and thus people are jealous of them and end up hating them, while not realizing even that they are benefiting from the dedicated and hard work of these very people through everything, from job creation, to wealth acquisition, to generally a basically working economy and stable and improving society, which depends on a working economy.

    5. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by Sique · · Score: 3, Insightful

      To be honest, during the golden 60ies in the U.S. the top tax rate was 91%, and the country was wealthy and strong.
      To be able to earn such a big income means that there are lots of external factors you can make use of, as in a stable society, a well maintained infrastructure, a strong military and low crime. And the more money you make, the more you use this infrastructure. People at the top easily forgot how much the country is supporting them, they live under the surreal impression that somehow they pay for everthing themselves.

      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
    6. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by Teun · · Score: 5, Insightful
      And because the Irish pay so little tax other Europeans have to raise €85,000,000,000.- to bail them out.

      Most of that money comes from countries where income tax is well above 50% (or even 72% in Denmark).

      Yes even the Danes that don't use the Euro have pledged a substantial guarantee.

      In the mean time two of the countries with the highest taxes, Denmark and The Netherlands, have the lowest unemployment of the Union, around or even below 5%.
      The implied claim high taxes destroy the economy is yet to be proven.

      --
      "The likes of Facebook and WhatsApp are free to those whose privacy is of zero value."
    7. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by strack · · Score: 1

      your utter lack of comprehension of grammar is making my eyes bleed.

    8. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by Bucc5062 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You make compelling, but misguided statements regarding the view of the "business man". Certainly there is value in what you say about the inventor and scientist. I even agree that a businessman is important for the building of order from chaos in the beginning steps of a market. You I miss in your statement is that the society does not hate the business man for making money, he/she angers the populous when greed is applied to the model.

      Most people would like to be rich, to have wealth. Many work such that they can provide a good life. When business leaders makes decisions that not only benefit the very few at the top of the wealth pyramid, but do so at the expense of the middle and lower foundations of wealth, they hurt all parties including themselves in the long term. For the USA, in the late 50 and 60s there was one of the highest tax rates on the rich, yet the country prospered. In times of lowered taxes in this country the only group that benefited were the top few percent leaving he rest with increased debt and redcued services. Raising taxes on the rich is not meant as a punishment, it is meant to stabilize their own growth, even as it helps stabilize a society.

      Sadly, at this juncture in the world economy, I feel that most governments will or cannot effect change upon the rich as many of the leaders are either in the pocket of, or have an attitude and wealth account that drives them more towards greed, and less towards help the general society. To put it another way, a happy society is less likely to revolt. History has shown time and time again that when the gentry gains too much wealth they can wind up on the sharp end of a pike or guillotine and the society runs amok for a long time. Axa final thought, Warren Buffet himself says that he does not pay enough taxes, but that the system is rigged such that he needs to take the loop holes.

      --
      Life is a great ride, the vehicle doesn't matter
    9. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by andy1307 · · Score: 1

      Indeed the highest ranking people AFAIC (and I really mean it) are those, who first invent/build something, some new idea

      I agree with most of what you say but none of this applies to bankers and the people who brought you the synthetic CDOs.

    10. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by roman_mir · · Score: 2, Interesting

      And I am not talking about the gov't created financial monopolies, that are subsidized and stimulated and maintained and bailed out by the gov't, the monopolies protected by the gov't, gov't who kills the competition by everything in their arsenal, including the regulations such as the 'Patriot Act' (many don't understand what this means, but that regulation is killing a lot of competition to the financials, it forces the hedge funds/banks/insurance companies to be CIA/IRS spies, it costs a lot of money to do that.)

      I said in my comment, I consider the businesses to be legitimate only if they are not sponsored/protected by gov'ts, who make monopolies out of preferred businesses.

      PS.
      I usually comment on stories where economics are discussed and usually people take it the wrong way by moderating my comments as 'troll', that's unfortunate.

    11. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by KingOfBLASH · · Score: 1, Interesting

      People at the bottom also tend to forget how much they need people at the top. If you were to erase a billionaire like Bill Gates or Larry Ellison or the guys who invented facebook from the history books, you'd also erase all of the jobs and wealth that their creativity had created for society. In addition, society would arguably lose technology or cheap resources that have been great benefit to it.

      Let me put it another way, if the boards of GE or IBM or any of these companies that pay their CEOs tens of millions of dollars were looking to replace their CEO, why don't they choose cheap labor over costly labor? Like me. I'll work for only a million a year instead of tens of millions, and I'm sure there are people out there who would work for free as CEO, just to get "CEO, GE" on their resume. Well companies don't hire the cheapest workers because they'd be unqualified -- a CEO who makes 100 million a year should create value for the company of many times that. And looking at the choice of hiring a CEO who will create a billion in value and cost the company 100 million, or me, who will cost only a million but probably destroy value, the company makes the rational choice.

      This is not to say that workers are not important. It's a two way street: a fat cat should not be allowed to exploit their workers (slave labor / sweat shops / etc). But to create value for a company and economy you need to pay people for the services they're doing (for lack of a better word, for their minds).

      There was another poster somewhere who hit it spot on: the problem with the crisis is not all businessmen, its the ones who created a cesspool of toxic debt and banks ready to crash. Those people are criminals, and should be prosecuted as the con-artists that they are. However, punishing all business for the acts of a few con men will create a reactionary response -- and hurt the irish more then it'll help it

    12. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes even the Danes that don't use the Euro have pledged a substantial guarantee.

      Denmark uses the Euro.

    13. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 4, Informative

      Unemployment in the Netherlands is a lot higher than the official figures indicate. We used to "park" a great many hard-to-employ people in our Medical Disability scheme, which is why at some point we have stopped counting people on Medical Disability as unemployed, because the figures became something of an embarrasment. That practise has recently picked up again in the form of the new Medical Disability for Young people (WaJong); a scheme which according to the Bureau of Statistics is set to become as large as the original disability scheme.

      We've about 900.000 people on Medical Disability in NL, that's roughly 6% of the population and 12% of our labour force. You can stop wondering why our unemployment is so low, because it isn't. Start wondering instead why our taxes are so high....

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    14. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not a bail out, it's a loan - with interest.

    15. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The implied claim high taxes destroy the economy is yet to be proven.

      That, my friends, is the one truth that the millionaires and billionaires want to keep out of the public debate at any and all cost. Roosevelt called these people "economic royalists" and he was right. Every country that has high marginal taxes on large profits and large incomes and sticks to it has a strong and stable economy. When you embrace the insanity that Reagan and Thatcher brought to the world, you get bubbles followed by crashes. It happens every single time it's been tried, but it's wildly profitable for the uber-rich and the hell with everyone else, right? Then they go around and spend some of that money convincing all you free market libertarian or conservative types to vote against your own economic interests. Religion, marginalizing certain groups or points of view, extreme nationalism all get trotted out to make the uneducated or the delusional vote for policies that directly hurt them. Lather, rinse, repeat.

    16. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Yes even the Danes that don't use the Euro have pledged a substantial guarantee.

      We may not use the euro, but our currency is still closely tied to it, being a small country with a lot of euro-neighboors and all.

      In the mean time two of the countries with the highest taxes, Denmark and The Netherlands, have the lowest unemployment of the Union, around or even below 5%.

      In Denmark we have quite a notorious unemployment-regime in place. Basically you're eligible for social security the moment you loose your job here, however, you need to send about 4 job-applications a week to stay eligible for social security, and willingly accept any and all jobs that comes your way (shrimp-picker, anyone?), otherwise you loose the right to social security. It works but it sucks, but then again unemployment is not supposed to be nice.

      The implied claim high taxes destroy the economy is yet to be proven.

      High taxes bolster the country's ability to deal with stuff like the recent crisis. Yes to an "outsider" it may seem like an outrageous thing to have your paycheck cut in half each month, but we're used to it, and it's not like we're struggling for subsistence because of it; my guess is, on the luxury-scale, the median of Denmark exceeds the median of the US.

    17. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by dmcq · · Score: 2, Informative

      Everywhere needs its unique selling points. Germany is in the centre of a large population and doesn't need to transport stuff by ship and air, Ireland has to compete by cutting down costs to companies. As to the huge amount, yes I think Ireland would have been better just guaranteeing its own citizens and letting Allied Irish fall over. The other banks weren't anywhere near so bad. It had a bank strike for ages once and the economy grew during that time so there's no need to lie down like a doormat for the banks. A proportion of the debt was due to a construction boom which was a large financial bubble but most was nothing to do with Ireland but more to other banks mainly in Europe channeling stuff through Ireland so quite a bit now if anything is Ireland helping prop up America which is just plain stupid. Those other banks know they'd be in very big trouble if the Irish bans fell over and that's why the other countries are rallying around offering loans. They know if anything happened it wouldn't just affect Ireland - in fact some of them could easily be far worse hit.

      --
      thou discernest my thoughts from afar
    18. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      Denmark uses the Euro.

      I have a Danish 50-crown note, acquired last month in Copenhagen and now sitting on my desk, that says you're wrong.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    19. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by mvdwege · · Score: 2, Informative

      Not quite. That 12% double-counts partial disability, which is also counted as labour force. The official numbers from the CBS make it around 8%.

      Mart

      --
      "I know I will be modded down for this": where's the option '-1, Asking for it'?
    20. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      You I miss in your statement is that the society does not hate the business man for making money, he/she angers the populous when greed is applied to the model.

      - a bit hard to decipher the meaning from the sentence there, but I assure you that most people actually hate those, who have more money, regardless of how the money was acquired.

      For the USA, in the late 50 and 60s there was one of the highest tax rates on the rich, yet the country prospered.

      - first of all the rich never paid the outrageous taxes in 50s-60s, everything was written off against expenses and also there is a little thing called 'the dividend', and taxing the dividends is double taxation, because that very income was already taxed at corporate level, so dividends are mostly tax exempt. I argue that the effective taxes in those times were lower than taxes today, that's why so much capital left the US.

      AFAIC there should be no income taxes at all obviously.

      Raising taxes on the rich is not meant as a punishment, it is meant to stabilize their own growth, even as it helps stabilize a society

      - really? What a stupid thing to say. The society is stabilized by having a working economy, and having excessive taxes and thus leaving capital and causing lack of jobs is hardly a recipe for a stable economy.

      As far as Warren Buffet goes, the guy has profited from the gov't bail outs, his very company would have gone under was it not for bail outs and he does not deserve to be called a free market capitalist anyway.

    21. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by drsquare · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Is there any actual evidence that the world needs these executives, or that they need to be paid what they are? The ratio between the pay of CEOs and their workers has sky-rocketed in recent decades, but in that same period the economy has stagnated and most people are worse off. They get paid what they do because they've convinced people that they're worth it, not for what they actually do.

      There were operating systems before Bill Gates, his accumulated wealth is merely at the expense of everyone else. A failed executive can run his company into the ground, jeopardising the livelihoods of thousands of workers, and still walk away with more money than a normal, hard-working individual will make in several lifetimes.

      I don't see how anyone not blinded by wealth-worship can possible justify these people.

    22. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      'Bailout' is a misnomer. The talk now is that Ireland will have to pay a 6.7% interest rate on the 'bailout'. Hardly charity, considering every country offering this money can borrow at substantially lower rates. They get to potentially make a profit while the Irish taxpayer keeps their banks from making a massive loss. (Assuming Ireland pays it back!)

      The fact is that (most) other European countries are contributing to the fund as it is in their self interest.

      As for the Danes, one of the largest retail banks in Ireland is National Irish Bank, owned by Danske bank. I'm sure the collapse of the Irish economy would not be something they would like to see..

    23. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by dmcq · · Score: 1

      Anglo Irish I meant of course - dunno why I make slips like that

      --
      thou discernest my thoughts from afar
    24. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by deblau · · Score: 1

      People at the top easily forgot how much the country is supporting them, they live under the surreal impression that somehow they pay for everthing themselves.

      Actually, they mostly do pay for it. According to the IRS's own tables of tax statistics for individuals, the top one tenth of one percent of tax returns account for over 20% of the total personal income tax revenue. The top one percent of returns account for over 40% of revenue. The bottom FIFTY PERCENT account for less than 3% of revenue. That was in 2007, and the trend is actually in the direction of getting even more skewed. Not to mention that the effective tax rate actually starts to decrease for people who make below $400k a year... so much for the "excessively taxing the middle class" hype.

      Raw data here: http://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-soi/07in05tr.xls

      --
      This post expresses my opinion, not that of my employer. And yes, IAAL.
    25. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The top tax rate was 91%, but that sure wasn't the effective rate. There were a bunch of deductions you could take to lower your effective rate.

    26. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by Darkman,+Walkin+Dude · · Score: 1

      And because the Irish pay so little tax other Europeans have to raise €85,000,000,000.- to bail them out.

      Wrong. The only reason the bailout is being forced on Ireland is because of loans given by German and UK banks to Irish banks. Ireland is quite capable of sorting out its own deficit.

    27. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A couple comments. First, can we please dispense with the idea that the 1950's tax rate had anything to do with the country's prosperity? This was after WWII and the US was the only economy that really survived. Anyway, the high tax rate led to extensive cheating on taxes and abuse of tax shelters--I believe when the tax was lowered, more income tax was collected.

      That's not to say a progressive tax rate is bad, but already the US has a huge progression. Over a third of taxpayers pay no taxes, while the upper bracket pays over 30%, not including state taxes. Most income taxes are paid by the wealthiest 10%. The biggest loophole, and this is what Warren Buffet is refering to, is the 15% tax on capital gains. Extremely wealthy investors who make most of the their income on capital gains (of which there are very few) may actually end up paying a fairly low tax rate. While there are economic arguments why a low capital gains tax is a good thing to encourage investing, IMHO it still looks like a loophole due to all the quirks in the definition of capital gains.

      Second is regards to greed. Clearly there are problems with business interests conflicting with social good. Obviously businesses will lobby governments for things that benefit them, but that is (provided there is a balancing argument also being made) essential to democracy. (Left to its own devices, the government would pass a lot of boneheaded regulations that would destroy business, so I'd argue business needs to have a voice in political discourse.) And businesses will do whatever makes economic sense given the regulations we have. Greed is inevitable and not something we should generally blame businesses for (bastards exist everywhere, rich or poor. I might even say I've met more bastards doing low-wage work than I have in white-collar work). It's the government's job to set up incentives that will align greedy behavior with social good: avoiding market failures, and imposing contemporary mores.

      Don't hate the players, hate the game, as they say.

    28. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by Lost+Engineer · · Score: 1

      The effective tax rate on the rich in 1963 was around 24%.

      It went up under Reagan IIRC.

    29. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by bit01 · · Score: 1

      People at the bottom also tend to forget how much they need people at the top.

      The science is in. There is close to zero correlation between executive performance and salary. All of the people you mention are easily replaceable. In some cases it would be a major improvement.

      why don't they choose cheap labor over costly labor?

      Jobs for the boys. CEO market failure.

      But to create value for a company and economy you need to pay people for the services they're doing (for lack of a better word, for their minds).

      ---

      Creating simple artificial scarcity with copyright and patents on things that can be copied billions of times at minimal cost is a fundamentally stupid economic idea.

      p>Yes. And in the case of CEO's that pay is vastly inflated. The market has failed.

    30. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by KingOfBLASH · · Score: 1

      Read Atlas Shrugged or an other Ayn Rand book. Objetivists (of which Alan Greenspan was one) can be a little wonky, but the broad strokes are right on. Atlas Shrugged does a good job of a thought experiment of "what happens if all the evil industrialists leave society"

      Or pick up an economics text book. The cost of people at the top is set by supply and demand. Businesses aren't stupid if they could find someone to run a company for less then a hundred million a year they would.

      Finally, you could argue that lacking a bill gates another operating system would come into being, but think about the personal computer market before windows (tandy computers had their own OS, commodore had their own os, amiga had their own OS). Unless you're implying that someone else would unify pc operating systems, in which case you're arguing that if there was no bill gates then there'd be someone similar (refuting your own argument)

      The thing we're really getting at is what's called the "principal agent" problem by economists. CEOs (and other rich people) are compensated to benefit stockholders, and add value to the company. However, CEOs might do things that destroy value (things like empire building, or using company assets for personal benefit). These problems are due to misalignment of CEO interests and interests of shareholders -- not an inherent evilness of fat cats and ceos

    31. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by KingOfBLASH · · Score: 1

      "The science is in"? Care to provide some citations?

    32. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sieg Heil! Mein Furher speaks to my basest animal instincts!

      Seriously, though, I'd rather live in the cutthroat world you describe than be limited in the forced cooperation you require. I know that it's been chic to propose fascist-socialist ideas as the solution to all our problems since long before I was born, but do you really think we would all be better off if government made all of our decisions for us?

    33. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And because the Irish pay so little tax other Europeans have to raise €85,000,000,000.- to bail them out.

      Nope. Because the Irish voted in politicians who gave a blanket guarantee to the banks, other Europeans have to raise €85,000,000,000 to give to wealthy investors, many of them in their own countries, and watch Irish taxpayers struggle to pay them back.

    34. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by Splod · · Score: 1

      And because the Irish pay so little tax other Europeans have to raise €85,000,000,000.- to bail them out.

      Have you read any of the comments here? The individual tax rate has nothing to do with the fact that the gov't got suckered/bullied into guaranteeing bank bond holders in 2008. The irony is that a significant part of these bonds are held by German banks who don't have to/don't want to share the downside of the property bubble they basically funded throughout the 00's.

      The Europeans are raising €85bn to loan the Irish and are charging 5.8% interest, which is 4.2% above the current European Central Bank base rate. All of this money will be paid back (hopefully) over the next X years by taxes on Irish citizens and cuts in public services.

    35. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The implied claim high taxes destroy the economy is yet to be proven.

      Every country that has high marginal taxes on large profits and large incomes and sticks to it has a strong and stable economy.

      Like Cuba?

    36. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by lennier · · Score: 1

      there are lots of external factors you can make use of, as in a stable society, a well maintained infrastructure, a strong military and low crime.

      While I agree that public infrastructure is a good thing, I'm less and less convinced that 'a strong military' is actually a productive asset to a democratic nation.

      A strong military means that you have an aggressive foreign policy, a culture of secrecy, and a lot of productive capital diverted into making things that destroy rather than create value. While in the short term this might yield impressive-looking gains from strongarming other nations into giving you stuff, they're not going to respect you as much as fear you. Eventually the fear will subside, your foreign policy will stumble, and then you'll be left with just a lot of stuff that goes boom and no hospitals and factories - and a domestic population who have been disenfranchised from government by all the military secrecy.

      Not at all a good mix.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    37. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by Homburg · · Score: 1

      Atlas Shrugged does a good job of demonstrating what would happen if rich people invented a perpetual motion machine and stopped needing people to, you know, actually do the work. It doesn't have much to say about the real world.

    38. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by CosmeticLobotamy · · Score: 1

      We can discount anyone that tried it while paired with a president-for-life, nationalizing foreign businesses, doing your best to destroy anyone with an IQ over 95, and getting embargoes sprayed all over yourself. Those things tend to muck up your economy independent of your tax structure.

    39. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by mike1210 · · Score: 1

      In America since 1950, average growth during high tax periods where the government confiscated more than 18% of GDP was 1.08%. Average growth during normal tax periods was 2.45%. (Source)

    40. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by Teun · · Score: 1
      The Europeans are not so much loaning the money to Ireland but instead mainly guaranteeing the loans Ireland has to take out to prevent their banks from collapsing.

      Because of these guarantees the Irish will pay substantially less interest than they normally would due to their awful credit rating.

      --
      "The likes of Facebook and WhatsApp are free to those whose privacy is of zero value."
    41. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      Read Atlas Shrugged or an other Ayn Rand book. Objetivists (of which Alan Greenspan was one) can be a little wonky, but the broad strokes are right on. Atlas Shrugged does a good job of a thought experiment of "what happens if all the evil industrialists leave society"

      It's a wonky argument that can be easily turned around. Imagine what happens if all the poor folk - you know, the factory workers, agriculture workers etc - leave the society? The effects are far worse. So why aren't they worth as much (remembering that 80% of the wealth goes to the top 20% in USA)?

      No-one is arguing for perfect income equality. One would think that, in a society that is reasonably just, the income would have at least some correlation with one's "worth", so to speak. Even the socialists don't argue that - they only differ on the definition of "worth". In a capitalist society, that is ostensibly the leadership qualities and the ability to innovate and compete. Fine!

      The problem is when you have a single person who alone is earning more than several million of ordinary working people, it does raise a brow. Is he that much superior to them? Is his work really that much more important?

      Or is it just "money begetting money" in action?

    42. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by toddestan · · Score: 1

      Denmark is part of the EU, but chooses not to use the Euro as its currency. This is different from countries like Norway, which is not part of the EU and doesn't use the Euro. Being that Denmark is part of the EU, that's probably why it had to pledge money to bailout Ireland, despite having their own currency.

    43. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by Reziac · · Score: 1

      For the people who like to diss business and "the rich" -- how many poor people do you see paying wages to others?

      Oh, that's right, poor people don't pay wages, cuz they can't afford to hire anyone. So, if you get rid of those nasty "rich folks" and evil businesses, who pays your wages?

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    44. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wrong assumption. The Dutch have one of the lowest effective tax rates of Europe, along with the Irish. For companies of course, not citizens. But that's what we were discussing here. Furthermore, one of other tricks the Dutch use is "rulings" - for companies, the taxman is willing to rule up front how to classify different sources of income. If you're a big company considering to move to .nl, you're likely to get a ruling that most of your income will be in a tax-exempt category.

    45. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A search. The first result for me is this study (pdf) that detects a negative correlation. By coincidence I came across this article today which says a similar thing about managers of investment funds.

      ---

      Creating simple artificial scarcity with copyright and patents on things that can be copied billions of times at minimal cost is a fundamentally stupid economic idea.

    46. Re:Why it won't affect the companies.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who let the objectivist in here?

  10. yes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  11. Luck of the International Bankers continues by vorlich · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Should be the more appropriate headline here.

    --
    Posts, MyBio or Sig, may contain satire, sarcasm, bolded nouns be sardonic or even witty & be Church of SD
    1. Re: Luck of the International Bankers continues by Black+Parrot · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Should be the more appropriate headline here.

      Yeah, in the USA we bailed out the banks. Could have bailed out the homeowners and thereby saved both them *and* the banks, But no, we only look after the big boys here.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    2. Re: Luck of the International Bankers continues by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      Should be the more appropriate headline here.

      Yeah, in the USA we bailed out the banks. Could have bailed out the homeowners and thereby saved both them *and* the banks, But no, we only look after the big boys here.

      When lobbyists have more power than voters, that's exactly what you would expect to happen.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    3. Re: Luck of the International Bankers continues by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you check under President Obama's Oval Office desk you will find a former Goldman Sachs executive, instead of Monica Lewinsky, giving service. Had the government bailed out the homeowners it would still have been less expensive than bailing out the banks since only the negative difference between house cost at time of purchase and current market value would have been necessary to help the homeowners.

    4. Re:Luck of the International Bankers continues by hedwards · · Score: 1

      It's luck the way that a Mob boss winning at cards is luck. Threaten enough people and you tend to get exactly the sort of "luck" you need.

    5. Re: Luck of the International Bankers continues by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      Or we could have let the banks, GM and Wall Street fail.

      OR we could have said "we'll give you this option, fail OR we'll bail the company out, but all common and preferred shares will become "worthless paper" The company will pay its debt with assets and profits and all future profits go to the treasury until the company is solvent enough to have an IPO, and proceeds for the IPO go to the US Treasury, up to the amount that was used to bail the company out.

      There are a bunch of different ways we could have handled this, all of which would have been better for most people. The problem is, nobody has the guts to do the right thing because it is distasteful (putting it mildly).

      The biggest problem is that we're not a people any more. We're a bunch of sniveling whiny bratty kids who want their allowance without having to do chores.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    6. Re: Luck of the International Bankers continues by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Corporations *are* our government now, even if their wishes are represented by proxies we call elected officials.

  12. 50,000, not 100,000 by ballyhoo · · Score: 2, Informative

    The Irish Times and The Irish Independent both claim 50,000.

    1. Re:50,000, not 100,000 by raynet · · Score: 1

      And 50,000 + 50,000 = 100,000

      --
      - Raynet --> .
  13. Non-story by ababydingo · · Score: 4, Interesting

    There was never any serious proposal to raise the corporation tax rate in Ireland, it's the one non-negotiable position of the Irish government and always has been. Having a low rate is also popular generally, though many would feel the rate could go up a few percent (though still well below other many other European countries) so that corporations do contribute more, but no-one seriously proposes raising it dramatically. What should perhaps be changed are the rules about moving profits around so that multinationals actually pay the 12.5%. I read this week Google only paid a few million in tax last year. It's not the rate, it's the application of the rate. Germany may have a nominal rate much higher than Ireland but the effective rate is often much lower due to special tax breaks in certain sectors.

    1. Re:Non-story by the_womble · · Score: 1

      Google pays a lower rate by funnelling profits though an Irish subsidiary.

      You are not going to build a solid economy by continuing to be the world's biggest tax haven.

    2. Re:Non-story by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Google employ a few thousand people here and just built a giant new office block. They pay an appropriate amount of tax for the scale of the local operation but use an additional set of companies here and in the Netherlands to avoid a huge amount of taxes. That needs to be fixed.

  14. Corporations are Assholes. by Arancaytar · · Score: 5, Insightful

    As usual, many people are quick to defend these pricks, saying that if it weren't for them, everyone would be out of a job. Yes, the economy is in their power. Calling that a mutually beneficial relationship sounds like Stockholm syndrome.

    If your very survival depends on receiving a living wage from a corporation that can simply choose to go away if it is asked to pay for the infrastructure it also uses, then you are not living a "dream" generously provided by altruistic corporations, but in slavery to organizations who can let you starve if they wanted to. Not only workers, even governments are forced to debase themselves before these corporations, lowering their living standard, their wage expectations, cutting their social system and their taxes bit by bit to compete with other countries that are forced to do the same.

    Ireland, and the entire European Union at that, should make a stand against this and play hardball. The fact is that while corporations can move their production elsewhere, they do have to sell something eventually. A high-tech market requires a high-tech industry to flourish: If corporations leave the country, the economy goes to shit and nobody can afford the flashy gizmos these corporations are selling. Standardize the tax hike over all EU states, accompany it with an import tariff on technology not produced inside the country, and suddenly paying a little more corporate tax will seem like a much better alternative. The workers are not only their slaves, but also their customers.

    1. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by khallow · · Score: 1, Troll

      As usual, many people are quick to defend these pricks, saying that if it weren't for them, everyone would be out of a job. Yes, the economy is in their power. Calling that a mutually beneficial relationship sounds like Stockholm syndrome.

      It's also a correct observation. We do have a mutually beneficial relationship with businesses, including corporations.

      If your very survival depends on receiving a living wage from a corporation that can simply choose to go away if it is asked to pay for the infrastructure it also uses

      This bugs me a lot. There's a zillion people talking about "infrastructure" in the comments, but I doubt most such government activity benefits rather than hinders business.

      For example, every developed world country has a big public pension problem. Public pensions don't provide a whit of benefit for business. Instead they merely drive up the cost of labor and/or increase government spending. Yet corporations "use" this "infrastructure". Regulation is another net negative for business (especially the rules on how to conduct business such as hiring and firing workers), yet they pay for (that is, "use") it, both in taxes and compliance. Then there's a considerable amount of rent-seeking (mostly in the form of subsidies). Sure some businesses benefit from that, but it's collective harm for most business. Google doesn't take advantage of agriculture or aerospace subsidies.

      Finally, I gather from comments that a big portion of the current Irish budget problem is debt for bailing out banks. Yet another activity that didn't benefit Google, but Google is expected to pay for.

    2. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by jpatters · · Score: 1

      Public pensions and "regulation" are not infrastructure. Roads, power lines, schools, public transportation and such things are infrastructure, and businesses of the kind that we are talking about could not exist without it.

      --
      "Remember, there never were pineapple-almond cookies here."
    3. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by JockTroll · · Score: 1

      The EU can make a stand, and then go broke. Those firms can dump a great number of unemployed people into the governments' lap, more they can afford to deal with. In less than a year, the EU will offer human sacrifice to have those corporations back.

      --
      Geeks are so full of shit that "beating the crap out of them" takes a whole new meaning.
    4. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by khallow · · Score: 1

      Public pensions and "regulation" are not infrastructure. Roads, power lines, schools, public transportation and such things are infrastructure, and businesses of the kind that we are talking about could not exist without it.

      So how much of what a government spends actually finds its way to genuine infrastructure? In other words, why harp on how business skimps on paying for infrastructure, when a considerable portion of taxes don't go towards infrastructure. And of the part that does, much of it is spent poorly. As I see it, there is such a thing as paying too much for what you get.

    5. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A high-tech market requires a high-tech industry to flourish: If corporations leave the country, the economy goes to shit and nobody can afford the flashy gizmos these corporations are selling.

      Possibly, but a national economy takes years to go to shit in the absence of global catasrophe, and by that time the C-level executives will have all moved on. Corps have no reason to consider consequences years in the future, which is the whole reason for regulation. Granted, governments don't seem to be able to think any farther out than the next election cycle, but 2 years is still longer-term planning than 3 months.

    6. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by Bucc5062 · · Score: 2, Informative

      The OP used infrastructure in the literal, not social sense (as I read it). Way too often large corportations used roads, electrical gris, government serviecs (like police, fire, and public works) to establihs a business, but fail to pay any taxes into the local government. Sure, the people have a job and they pay taxes, but there is still a greater impact on the local or regional area and it is that impact being effected without dues pay. Microsoft pays not a whit of taxes in Seattle for the simpel fact of paper filing in Las Vegas. Do we applaud them as great executives, or freeloaders on a local infrstrture.

      "Regulation is another net negative for business (especially the rules on how to conduct business such as hiring and firing workers),"

      So lets drop regulation and return to Jim Crow laws, rampant discrimination, unsafe working conditions and the concept of indentured servitude. No thanks. What out checks the few can and will abusive any system, human, environmental, political in the pursuit of greed. Regulation makes it safer for me to fly, not only because the parts and design have to be right, but that the people making the plane (hopefully) are happy at what they do thus care about what they do. I get the feeling y7ou'd been happy back in merry ol' Egypt holding the whip on the backs of the slaves building edifices to Ego.

      --
      Life is a great ride, the vehicle doesn't matter
    7. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by khallow · · Score: 1

      Microsoft pays not a whit of taxes in Seattle for the simpel fact of paper filing in Las Vegas. Do we applaud them as great executives, or freeloaders on a local infrstrture.

      Microsoft still pays property taxes in addition to the indirect taxes paid by its employees. I don't consider them freeloaders in any sense of the word.

      So lets drop regulation and return to Jim Crow laws, rampant discrimination, unsafe working conditions and the concept of indentured servitude. No thanks. What out checks the few can and will abusive any system, human, environmental, political in the pursuit of greed. Regulation makes it safer for me to fly, not only because the parts and design have to be right, but that the people making the plane (hopefully) are happy at what they do thus care about what they do. I get the feeling y7ou'd been happy back in merry ol' Egypt holding the whip on the backs of the slaves building edifices to Ego.

      None of these sentiments help business. Your point of view isn't the only point of view.

      Here's my beef. A good portion, if not most, government spending is not directed to infrastructure. Further, there's an almost pathological hostility in a lot of government regulation towards business. So why are businesses considered "free loaders" for legally evading taxes when they don't get that much out of government?

    8. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by KingOfBLASH · · Score: 1

      Mod parent up -- I couldnt have said it better.

    9. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by KingOfBLASH · · Score: 1

      So let's go to a communist society! The "pricks" (or producers in society) can have all of their profits taken from them. We'll give it to people who can't or won't produce, and we'll be happy because we'll have their big fat bags of money for ourselves!!

      Sadly it won't work. If you remove incentive, people stop producing because they say "well if I get the same no matter how hard I work, I won't work." This actually led to famines when Mao took over red china initially. They told all the farmers they'd been "liberated", and at the end of the farm year took all the food the farmers produced that they didn't need to live. Next year the farmers produced so there was little to no excess to be taken away, and there were widespread famine. Slave labor and a semi capitalist rewards system all were tried as ways to motivate farmers to produce

      It's true, it is a mutually beneficial relationship. Calling it anything else is criminal insanity (what else do you call the act of taking from others what isn't yours?)

    10. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by serutan · · Score: 1

      I gather from comments that a big portion of the current Irish budget problem is debt for bailing out banks.

      It's easy to gather that from comments anywhere, because the general public has been convinced by political pundits that these bailouts consist of the government handing out free money. In reality, business bailouts mostly take the form of loans which governments expect to be paid back at a profit. Yes this does increase the national debt, but not in the same way as when the government simply spends money to provide some kind of service that returns nothing.

    11. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by florescent_beige · · Score: 1

      If your very survival depends on receiving a living wage from a corporation that can simply choose to go away if it is asked to pay for the infrastructure it also uses, then you are not living a "dream" generously provided by altruistic corporations, but in slavery to organizations who can let you starve if they wanted to.

      For many years I have not worked directly for a large company, although my industry is dominated by them. I've been working either as a contractor or for small 3rd-tier companies for 15 years. This all started after my engineering R&D job was exported to Ireland in the '80s.

      No hard feelings though, things have worked out. The other day I was talking to an old friend of mine who is a vp at mega-corp where I contract now and he good-naturedly called me a bandit. Zing good one, but from my pov I'm just being enterprising. In fact, why does mega-corp get special treatment from various levels of government while tiny outfits like me get treated like pirates (I think that was another word he used) and evil "foreign workers"?

      Point is, more and more people are are taking more and more responsibility into their own hands, at what point do those people get credit for being enterprises in their own right, and get compensated for the risk they take on? After all, isn't that what free enterprise is all about? Or is that only for entities that take in more then 8 figures?

      --
      Equine Mammals Are Considerably Smaller
    12. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your prepared rant touches in no point on the post which it allegedly responds to. How is it that you seem to be capable of uttering coherent language, yet not reading it?

    13. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by khallow · · Score: 1

      In reality, business bailouts mostly take the form of loans which governments expect to be paid back at a profit.

      And in reality, there are two problems with the above statement. First, expectation of payment is not actual payment. Second, there's at least one government (the US) playing huge shell games with bailout loans.

    14. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by Bucc5062 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "Here's my beef. A good portion, if not most, government spending is not directed to infrastructure"

      Well at some point it was, because we drive on roads made and repaired by local municipalities and through local contractors. We use public water works brought to us by the acts of local and federal government. The roads are patrolled by law enforcement and even our legal system provides a basic security net for public defenders and prosecutors. Take these basic elements away, replace them with pure business and we revert back to either feudal state, war lord control of areas or plain anarchy. The early West in this country was a good example of this type world. I feel that the primary role of government is to provide a basic *stable* foundation for both business and society to thrive. Which leads to my next point...

      "pathological hostility in a lot of government regulation towards business"

      Perhaps some of the hostility comes from the abuse that business performs against the population and environment. Strip mining mountains, dumping toxic waste into the watershed, cutting corners on safety because business determines the cost of death is less then the cost of safety, regardless the toll on human relationships. When it is personal ,when it hits literally "home" then yes, it can get hostile. This is why I feel government needs to establish reasonable regulation that takes into account not just current impact (safety), but future impact on society. Clearly there are companies that have been able to make profit, even grow with this type of oversight. It is those companies that "cheat" or work around the rules that create the distrust. Me thinks there would be less hostility if the attitude was not "let em eat cake...oh, its poisoned, fuck em".

         

      --
      Life is a great ride, the vehicle doesn't matter
    15. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      You should have read the response to the article. The 'shell-game' accusation is factually quite incorrect.

    16. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by misexistentialist · · Score: 1

      Public pensions don't provide a whit of benefit for business.

      Retirement is part of the cost of labor. Public pensions' funding crises just indicates another area in which corporations have received government welfare. Instead of fully funding the retirement of the their employees through higher salaries they have made it the "public's" problem.

    17. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by khallow · · Score: 1

      Well at some point it was, because we drive on roads made and repaired by local municipalities and through local contractors. We use public water works brought to us by the acts of local and federal government. The roads are patrolled by law enforcement and even our legal system provides a basic security net for public defenders and prosecutors. Take these basic elements away, replace them with pure business and we revert back to either feudal state, war lord control of areas or plain anarchy. The early West in this country was a good example of this type world. I feel that the primary role of government is to provide a basic *stable* foundation for both business and society to thrive. Which leads to my next point...

      Did I say government doesn't spend money on infrastructure? No. What I said is that government spends considerable money on other things than infrastructure.

      Perhaps some of the hostility comes from the abuse that business performs against the population and environment. Strip mining mountains, dumping toxic waste into the watershed, cutting corners on safety because business determines the cost of death is less then the cost of safety, regardless the toll on human relationships. When it is personal ,when it hits literally "home" then yes, it can get hostile. This is why I feel government needs to establish reasonable regulation that takes into account not just current impact (safety), but future impact on society. Clearly there are companies that have been able to make profit, even grow with this type of oversight. It is those companies that "cheat" or work around the rules that create the distrust. Me thinks there would be less hostility if the attitude was not "let em eat cake...oh, its poisoned, fuck em".

      In other words, a lot of the hostility comes from abuses that happened many decades ago and have long since ended. Further, regulation isn't reasonably by default. It takes effort to craft law that is also fair to business. That has been lacking both in the US and EU where, for example, we have burdensome laws on retail goods packaging (in the EU) and hiring/firing employees (both US and EU).

    18. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by khallow · · Score: 1

      So "oarsman" is now a credible authority on the disposition of these bad loans? But let's ignore that and note that he claims the existence of "black holes" which might consume up to 200 billion dollars of TARP money (which in turn would make TARP unprofitable). Even if it turns out that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac weren't dumping grounds for bad loans from TARP recipients, there are other sources. The Fed, for example, has purchased $2.3 trillion in bonds. As I see it, even if we ignore the Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac problem, the US government has bought $3 trillion of bond assets and claimed a profit on $700 billion of those. That's pyramid scheme territory. If I did the same and got caught before I fled the country, I'd be facing jail time for fraud.

    19. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by khallow · · Score: 1

      Retirement is part of the cost of labor. Public pensions' funding crises just indicates another area in which corporations have received government welfare. Instead of fully funding the retirement of the their employees through higher salaries they have made it the "public's" problem.

      Retirement isn't a cost of labor. And if you think otherwise, call my bluff. Get rid of public pensions. Wages will probably rise and the net cost of employees fall as the income tax portion of pensions is split between employer and employee. The "welfare" is not to employers or employees but to retiring citizens.

    20. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It had little if anything to do with Communism.

      What happened was that Mao took what he needed to pay for imported weapons technology, and the peasants got whatever was left (IOW nothing, or close to it). The ones who didn't get shot as examples, that is.

    21. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As usual, many people are quick to defend these pricks, saying that if it weren't for them, everyone would be out of a job. Yes, the economy is in their power. Calling that a mutually beneficial relationship sounds like Stockholm syndrome.

      Being an international student in graduate school has made me accept the harsh reality of life - I am almost a slave in one form or the other.

    22. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by dangitman · · Score: 1

      Retirement isn't a cost of labor. And if you think otherwise, call my bluff. Get rid of public pensions. Wages will probably rise...

      You just contradicted yourself. If retirement isn't a cost of labor, then why would removing public pensions have any effect on wages?

      ...and the net cost of employees fall as the income tax portion of pensions is split between employer and employee.

      [citation needed] Oh wait, you were just talking out of your ass. Economic prognostication. It's so easy when you can just make stuff up about what would happen, without any kind of evidence. You just appeal to the magic Free Market Fairy who makes everything right.

      --
      ... and then they built the supercollider.
    23. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by khallow · · Score: 1

      You just contradicted yourself. If retirement isn't a cost of labor, then why would removing public pensions have any effect on wages?

      I assume that wages or the employer are directly taxed in some way to cover the pension. The tax is a labor cost that would go away.

      Oh wait, you were just talking out of your ass. Economic prognostication. It's so easy when you can just make stuff up about what would happen, without any kind of evidence. You just appeal to the magic Free Market Fairy who makes everything right.

      The dynamics of the "magic Free Market Fairy" are well understood and that's how they operate. You lower the cost of labor by dropping the pension tax, then there's only two parties who can benefit directly from that, the employer and employee.

    24. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by KingOfBLASH · · Score: 1

      The reference to "communism" refers to the ultimate meaning of this mentality of "big corporations are evil they need to suffer." It's the same thing in an extreme form

    25. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by KingOfBLASH · · Score: 1

      His original argument has little if anything to do with "Stockholm syndrome"

    26. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by dangitman · · Score: 1

      I assume that wages or the employer are directly taxed in some way to cover the pension. The tax is a labor cost that would go away.

      But why would wages rise (as you predict) upon removal of that tax, if it were not actually a cost of labor?

      The dynamics of the "magic Free Market Fairy" are well understood and that's how they operate.

      No, the dynamics of the market are not well understood. If they were, we wouldn't be having so many problems with the market. Economists like to claim that it's a well-understood science, but they are shown to be wrong time and time again.

      You lower the cost of labor by dropping the pension tax,

      But you said that wages would also rise, but overall the cost of labor would be lower. What evidence do you have to back that up? The government absorbs a lot of externalities. It could very well cost the employer more to provide for retirement privately via increased wages or other benefits.

      I'm not saying it will or will not, just that you don't give any evidence. Your argument amounts to "it doesn't involve taxes so it must be cheaper" which is not a valid or complete argument. You don't allow for any possibility other than your own ideologically derived conclusion.

      --
      ... and then they built the supercollider.
    27. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by khallow · · Score: 1

      But why would wages rise (as you predict) upon removal of that tax, if it were not actually a cost of labor?

      I already indicated that the pension tax is a labor cost.

      No, the dynamics of the market are not well understood. If they were, we wouldn't be having so many problems with the market. Economists like to claim that it's a well-understood science, but they are shown to be wrong time and time again.

      That's incorrect. There are two big problems with economics in this area: 1) lack of information about important aspects of the economy (in particular how much leverage and risk businesses and governments have accumulated and whether there are biases (intentional or otherwise) in the collection of economic data) and 2) conflicts of interest. Economic models work well when you know enough about the system to apply them and it's in your interests to accurately apply these models.

      In the case of the pension tax, there's always the possibility of a convoluted tax or regulation scheme that raises costs of labor in the absence of the pension tax or lowers the incentive to work. For the US system, removal of the pension tax (Social Security) drops labor costs by about 7.5% from the employer's point of view and increase worker's wages by 7.5% roughly. So right away, there's an incentive by the employer to both hire more people and pay more for the labor of their existing workers. Workers also have an incentive to work for less since they can take up to a 7.5% pay cut yet still earn as much as they did before the Social Security tax was cut.

    28. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Point is, more and more people are are taking more and more responsibility into their own hands, at what point do those people get credit for being enterprises in their own right, and get compensated for the risk they take on? After all, isn't that what free enterprise is all about? Or is that only for entities that take in more then 8 figures?

      Large businesses don't really want free markets with respect to certain areas of operation.
      It means that they don't get to pay for laws to be made. It means that small competitors can get off the ground because of fewer laws and regulations that benefit the big guys by eliminating competition. Friedman suggested that if someone metaphorically dirties your shirt (air, water pollution, property damage etc), you ought to be able to sue them for compensation. Businesses would prefer that not to be the case.

    29. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by Intrinsic · · Score: 1

      Right, you actually believe that if people dont have incentive, they wont work? Thats a load of crap. People have needs and they will find other ways to make it. The whole system of capitalism depends on scarcity. Which is flawed by its very nature. More people need to start business of their own, the whole idea of working for another company in this day and age amounts to slavery as someone else dictates terms to how you are going to survive.

    30. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      Businesses exist solely because of government, hence why they're considered "free loaders" when they expect to pay no taxes for the ability to exist.

    31. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by misexistentialist · · Score: 1

      I agree that retirees are getting more than they should from public pensions, but doubt that employers will ever be willing to pay enough for workers to fund retirement. Probably the majority of people work for less than a "living wage" as it is, so that they need debt or government assistance just to support themselves so that they can get to work.

    32. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      The Fed != Federal Government. Nor is it using Federal Government funds to purchase these bonds.

      Profit and loss associated with Fed activity is rather meaningless since they control the supply of money by printing it or not depending on what they want interest rates and the money supply to be.

    33. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by Tom · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You assume that the irish government is opposed to the tech companies. I doubt that. For some reason, this feels like on of the cases where a secret meeting ran roughly like this: "Hey, corporate guys. We here in the government would prefer to leverage the whole cost on the dumb sheeple, but we need a reason. The press is asking for corporate taxes to rise. Could you issue a press statement like the one we prepared here, so we can justify our actions? If you don't, we may actually have to raise corporate taxes, and that would suck, wouldn't it?"

      Corporations this size and local governments do not usually communicate via the press with each other. If they have something to discuss, they meet and discuss it, they don't post it in the newspapers.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    34. Re:Corporations are Assholes. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What? So it's better to get your money from the government (employed or not) rather than a company?

  15. Why: Rob and Run? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ... $SUBJECT is a sincere question!

    1. Re:Why: Rob and Run? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      if MAX($SHORT_TERM_PROFIT)

  16. It's OK To Raise Taxes On Rich Corps. by BlueStrat · · Score: 0, Troll

    Nothing bad will happen if corporate tax rates are raised in Ireland! That's just fear-mongering by the poor-hating conservatives!

    The US has been doing that, *and* heaping on all kinds of other taxes, *plus* tons of regulation on manufacturing and business, along with increasingly-heavy emphasis on unionization with incredible pension and healthcare costs for ages now, and our economy, trade balances, and employment levels are just...oh, wait.

    Never mind. Carry on.

    Strat

    --
    Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    1. Re:It's OK To Raise Taxes On Rich Corps. by blackpaw · · Score: 2, Funny

      Where's the "Drunk on the Kool Aid" mod when you need it ...

    2. Re:It's OK To Raise Taxes On Rich Corps. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Nothing bad will happen if corporate tax rates are raised in Ireland! That's just fear-mongering by the poor-hating conservatives!

      The US has been doing that, *and* heaping on all kinds of other taxes, *plus* tons of regulation on manufacturing and business, along with increasingly-heavy emphasis on unionization with incredible pension and healthcare costs for ages now, and our economy, trade balances, and employment levels are just...oh, wait.

      Never mind. Carry on.

      Strat

      Ireland has been the European experiment in being extremely 'conservative' and corporation friendly, extremely low taxes, friendly regulation, etc. Look where it got them. Then take a look at fx Scandinavia.

    3. Re:It's OK To Raise Taxes On Rich Corps. by BlueStrat · · Score: 1

      Where's the "Drunk on the Kool Aid" mod when you need it ...

      Oh, my! I totally concede all the ideas & principles in my previous post to your brilliant "refudiation".

      I see that the tax money taken from struggling families and used in your education was well-spent.

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    4. Re:It's OK To Raise Taxes On Rich Corps. by GrumblyStuff · · Score: 1

      Raising taxes? Try again. http://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-soi/02corate.pdf

      Regulation? Ha. Regulatory agencies are so fucking stuffed with corporate cronies it's not even funny. You got oil exes in what formerly was known as MMS (Minerals Management Service) and Wall Street guys have been fucking tearing up regulations since the 1980s.
      http://crooksandliars.com/susie-madrak/why-were-bp-executives-hired-mms-fox
      http://www.thedailyshow.com/watch/wed-april-15-2009/elizabeth-warren-pt--2 (eloquently explained by Elizabeth Warren)

      What's wrong with regulations anyway? 'cause I really want lead paint on my cadmium drinking glasses and diethylene glycol in my toothpaste and melamine in my pet's food and my car to explode into a fireball if rear ended and my heating furnace to leak carbon monoxide and e. coli on my chicken and spinach and botulism in my can food and motor oil used in cosmetic surgery and shall I go on?

      Unionization? What decade are you from?

      Never mind. You're just trollin'.

    5. Re:It's OK To Raise Taxes On Rich Corps. by BlueStrat · · Score: 2, Informative

      Nothing bad will happen if corporate tax rates are raised in Ireland! That's just fear-mongering by the poor-hating conservatives!

      The US has been doing that, *and* heaping on all kinds of other taxes, *plus* tons of regulation on manufacturing and business, along with increasingly-heavy emphasis on unionization with incredible pension and healthcare costs for ages now, and our economy, trade balances, and employment levels are just...oh, wait.

      Never mind. Carry on.

      Strat

      Ireland has been the European experiment in being extremely 'conservative' and corporation friendly, extremely low taxes, friendly regulation, etc. Look where it got them. Then take a look at fx Scandinavia.

      It "got them" all those corporations into their country and employing people, bringing in cash, and generally improving things for most of the people.

      The fault is with idiotic and greedy politicians that can't run a capitalist economy effectively, combined with the impact of the domino-like economic failures caused by the collapse of socialistic governments in Greece, Portugal, etc.

      By "Scandinavia", I assume you mean Sweden? Sweden isn't quite the paradise that most think. It suffered mightily in the '90s. Sweden has also started from a great advantage post-WW2 in that it didn't suffer the costs of WW2 in fighting, and also benefited in that it didn't need to rebuild much of it's economy, military, and manufacturing after the war as many countries did.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Sweden

      Sweden is unique in it's economy, society, and place on the world stage as a result of it's history, it's location, it's society, and it's size. The Swedish governmental/economic model only works in Sweden with it's particular history, location, size, & society. It would not and could not work elsewhere. One size does not fit all.

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    6. Re:It's OK To Raise Taxes On Rich Corps. by Znork · · Score: 1

      Then take a look at fx Scandinavia.

      To be fair, parts of Scandinavia look good because their housing bubbles haven't burst yet. When they do, their banks will get wiped out as well, and probably backstopped by the taxpayers.

      Asset bubbles and living on borrowed money seems so nice on paper. It's just when you can't actually pay it back it becomes such a bitch. Unfortunately they're inherent to low interest fractional banking systems, but hey, as long as the bankers are kept whole, we can live with being unable to plan for our future, invest rationally or trust our jobs aren't just artefacts of the latest bubble distortion.

    7. Re:It's OK To Raise Taxes On Rich Corps. by BlueStrat · · Score: 1

      What's wrong with regulations anyway?

      Not a thing. Mexico, whose workers are building US cars, car parts, appliances, making our breakfast cereals (bye-bye, Kellogs!), with more and more US businesses leaving the US every day, absolutely *LOVE* US regulation and taxation of US businesses.

      You're right, unions have no power in the US to affect anything. Well, except that Andy Stearn of SEIU was the most frequent WH visitor, and Trumka of the AFL-CIO is attached to Obama's hip. Oh, and the AFL-CIO has been given the green light to unionize the TSA...but that's only 60,00 or so. Oh, and the AFL-CIO was given a stake in GM by Obama and the preferred bondholders were left holding the bag which is completely against the law.

      Other than that, you're right.

      ...shall I go on?

      Yes, you should, as you missed things such as requiring all small businesses to fill out and send in tax paperwork for every purchase over $600. Oh, and enacting the drilling ban by executive order...while giving Mexico billions to drill in *the exact same area*. I'm sure Mexican oil rigs are much safer and the Mexican oil companies are much more ecologically responsible, though.

      Gosh, I feel safer already!

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    8. Re:It's OK To Raise Taxes On Rich Corps. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      By "Scandinavia", I assume you mean Sweden?

      Why? Feel free to add Denmark, Norway. And even Finland (lets expand Scandinavian to Nordic).

      Similar models (which Americans would probably call socialist, but of course it is not). None are perfect, but have a general standard of living, equality, safety and stability far ahead of most.

      The Swedish governmental/economic model only works in Sweden with it's particular history, location, size, & society. It would not and could not work elsewhere. One size does not fit all.

      Your absolute certainty that this 'would not and could not work elsewhere' is impressive. Even if ignoring that it also works very similar in Norway, Denmark and Finland. Not sure how to discuss absolutes like that.

    9. Re:It's OK To Raise Taxes On Rich Corps. by CptPicard · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Sweden and the rest of the Nordics. Denmark, Norway, Finland, Iceland.

      Some of it may be cultural and come from having pretty homogenous societies as far as social norms go, but IMO I've always considered our societies to be proof positive that many neoliberal claims of why "Socialism" won't and can't work are overhyped.

      It's certainly not paradise and has its issues, but I wouldn't want to switch -- and it seems to me that the people who are most ideologically bothered by how we do things up here to be those ones who feel that social stratification is desirable and that they are the übermensch who is being oppressed by the unwashed masses...

      --
      I want to play Free Market with a drowning Libertarian.
    10. Re:It's OK To Raise Taxes On Rich Corps. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then take a look at fx Scandinavia.

      To be fair, parts of Scandinavia look good because their housing bubbles haven't burst yet. When they do, their banks will get wiped out as well, and probably backstopped by the taxpayers.

      Many believe that this has already been mostly pre-empted or at least strongly moderated in Scandinavia, by active government intervention and regulation at an earlier stage.

      I'm not saying there won't be a drop in houseing prices, but the effect will be dampened by this, and by the general safety nets of these societies, including the low unemployment rate and high unemployment benefits.

    11. Re:It's OK To Raise Taxes On Rich Corps. by SteelAngel · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      European socialism does lead to drastic social stratification, however. Maybe not monetarily, but in terms of class.

      There is the mediocre middle class, where everyone's the same. These people have no voice whatsoever. If they speak up, they are racist or fascist nationalists.

      There's the slightly more mediocre poor class living on the labor of the middle class's taxes and providing nothing. These folks, typically immigrants from the third world can have a violence veto, and are courted by ..
      The elites, who control the language and the government bureaucracy, and force the middle class to suffer immobility and slow erasure of their national culture to appease ghettoized immigrant groups who form massive voting blocs that help keep the elites in power.

    12. Re:It's OK To Raise Taxes On Rich Corps. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Every sentence here except the first focus on race, in a negative and bitter way. No wonder you feel that you are branded as racist if you speak up if this is how you speak up.

    13. Re:It's OK To Raise Taxes On Rich Corps. by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      The fault is with idiotic and greedy politicians that can't run a capitalist economy effectively, combined with the impact of the domino-like economic failures caused by the collapse of socialistic governments in Greece, Portugal, etc.

      The first domino stones fell in the U.S., remember?

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    14. Re:It's OK To Raise Taxes On Rich Corps. by qmaqdk · · Score: 1

      Turns out there are more countries than Sweden in Scandinavia. You might want to look at the economy of Norway, which WAS invaded by the germans in WWII (not that that is in any way relevant to their economy today).

      --
      My UID is prime. Hah!
    15. Re:It's OK To Raise Taxes On Rich Corps. by BlueStrat · · Score: 1

      The fault is with idiotic and greedy politicians that can't run a capitalist economy effectively, combined with the impact of the domino-like economic failures caused by the collapse of socialistic governments in Greece, Portugal, etc.

      The first domino stones fell in the U.S., remember?

      You mean the "minor" economic trouble the US is having now?

      No.

      The US hasn't hit the big crash yet. It will soon at the rate the Fed is printing funny-money, countries are moving away from the US dollar for trade, and as China responds by raising rates on further loans dramatically and/or refusing to loan the US any more money, period. This is when George Soros will step in, as he did with Britain and the Pound, and collapse the dollar completely.

      The US will be the *final* domino. It will bring on a massive global collapse. This is what the NWO types salivate for, a collapsed US and weakened world where they can seize power.

      Oh, and the next time you hear the term "State Capitalism", keep this in mind.

      "State Capitalism" is just another term for National Socialism. Now, where have I heard of National Socialism?

      Sorry kids, but the world is about to turn *really* ugly, really soon.

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    16. Re:It's OK To Raise Taxes On Rich Corps. by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      The fault is with idiotic and greedy politicians that can't run a capitalist economy effectively, combined with the impact of the domino-like economic failures caused by the collapse of socialistic governments in Greece, Portugal, etc.

      Make note here. One thing that makes it completely pointless to argue with some libertarian types: as far as they are concerned, a free market capitalist economy is never at fault. No matter how obvious the opposite might be, it's always because of state regulation and/or socialism. Always.

    17. Re:It's OK To Raise Taxes On Rich Corps. by BlueStrat · · Score: 1

      The fault is with idiotic and greedy politicians that can't run a capitalist economy effectively, combined with the impact of the domino-like economic failures caused by the collapse of socialistic governments in Greece, Portugal, etc.

      Make note here. One thing that makes it completely pointless to argue with some libertarian types: as far as they are concerned, a free market capitalist economy is never at fault. No matter how obvious the opposite might be, it's always because of state regulation and/or socialism. Always.

      The other thing being that they are, for the most part, absolutely correct.

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
  17. CT rises were never on the cards by petes_PoV · · Score: 1

    The only people who wanted the Irish to raise their corporate tax levels were other countries who had, themselves, got higher rates of these taxes. It's a given that no country has the right to determine the tax rates in another country - short of invading them. The Irish know that as did these french^H^H^H^Horeign governments. What they were saying was purely for domestic consumption - since they would not have gained anything by an increase. The companies affected would NOT have moved their operations to (say) france or germany, as those places still have higher CT rates than an increased irish rate would have been. Plus, they make it harder to employ people "flexibly", have higher costs of doing business and don't speak english.

    --
    politicians are like babies' nappies: they should both be changed regularly and for the same reasons
  18. If you really want to know, from The Economist by PolygamousRanchKid+ · · Score: 4, Insightful

    http://www.economist.com/node/17577107

    I watched a German documentary this morning about how the Euro was bad (German is not my mother tongue, but I am fluent and could understand everything). Some of the stuff in that was political dynamite: I don't think that politicians in Europe understand the powder keg that they are sitting on.

    From the The Economist article,

    The most concerned onlooker is Germany, which sees its credit lying behind the entire euro area. As ever, Europe’s biggest tabloid, Bild, captured the mood this week, asking “First the Greeks, then the Irish, thenwill we end up having to pay for everyone in Europe?

    Oh, let's piss off the Germans . . .grand idea . . . in Europe, that always ends in tears.

    --
    Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
    1. Re:If you really want to know, from The Economist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Oh, let's piss off the Germans . . .grand idea . . . in Europe, that always ends in tears.

      Some people here in Germany would love if that were true (in the sense that people in Europe really would be polite or at least thankful for lending them a helping hand (in exchange for buying from German arms manufacturers in the case of Greece IIRC)). I for one am glad that the image of Germany had changed from something to be afraid of to something to at least respect, maybe even like in some instances. The image of Germany for all its helping fellow European nations (say what you will, even a selfish deed with selfish conditions that does good for the receiving end is good for both not only the giver) seems to be deteriorating again recently. I guess there will always be malcontents and chronically rebellious people everywhere who think that burning down banks is a way to change what they claim to care about. And then there are the tabloids who essentially do the same (sometimes worse), but purely in written form. It were great if the current crisis would teach people a little about how futile it is to just (want to) bash each others brains in and that talking and trying to put yourself in the other's shoes sometimes can go a long way.

    2. Re:If you really want to know, from The Economist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Perhaps we should simply annex the rest of the EU into the Federal Republic of Germany? At least then we would have a properly functioning democratic system with checks and balances, including a worthwhile constitutional court.

    3. Re:If you really want to know, from The Economist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...

      Oh, let's piss off the Germans . . .grand idea . . . in Europe, that always ends in tears.

      Usually only for the French, and sometimes the Belgians as the Germans have to march through Belgium to conquer France. And the French are so nice about it. Paris has all these wide tree-lined boulevards so the Germans can even march in full formation - in the shade no less.

      In fact, it's been about 70 years since the German army marched through Paris. They're long overdue!

    4. Re:If you really want to know, from The Economist by sobolwolf · · Score: 1

      Germany Is Tired of Paying Europe's Bills. "Sell your islands, you bankrupt Greeks. And sell the Acropolis too!"—headline, Bild newspaper, March 4, 2010 http://www.slate.com/id/2247257/

    5. Re:If you really want to know, from The Economist by jovius · · Score: 1

      Oh, let's piss off the Germans . . .grand idea . . . in Europe, that always ends in tears.

      Golden showers for everyone!

    6. Re:If you really want to know, from The Economist by lennier1 · · Score: 1

      Not that surprising. Germany would actually stand to profit a lot if they went on a more isolationist course and instead of subsidizing half of the EU simply pulled out. And once the rest comes crashing down, profit from buying up the pieces.
      Right now, the German administration's politicians are pretty close to career suicide anyway.

    7. Re:If you really want to know, from The Economist by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Short sighted of course. Germany's economy is very export driven. Bring the rest of Europe down and you will have no-one to trade with thereby destroying yourself.

    8. Re:If you really want to know, from The Economist by bmcage · · Score: 1
      Actually, the Irish are in problems because they helped the Germans in the first place. Due to their bad economy, we lowered interest rates, which provided the money to inflate the debt in Ireland (after all, bad loans are at the hart of the crisis).

      So, the Germans are to blame :-P If the Irish helped them a few years ago, then they can return the favour.

      Also, the Germans don't want the Irish to default the debt, because then the German banks run a high risk of falling. In several ways, the Germans give money to the Irish so they have money to give to the German banks. All in all, don't oversimplify things!

    9. Re:If you really want to know, from The Economist by Patch86 · · Score: 1

      The biggest problem with the Euro is that it is an apolitical mechanism tied to nationalistic politics of old.

      No-one complains that the dollar is shared by economies as disparate as farming Kansas, oil rich Texas, or banking hub New York. No-one complains that "Wyoming had to bail out New York" during the banking crisis, or that New York had to bail out Michigan when the car industry crashed.

      But when car-building Germany has to bail out one of the other states in the eurozone, suddenly it's "why are we bailing out those no-good foreigners?" time. Or when one of the economies seems to be booming out of control and needs pulling back into check, it's "meddling foreigners trying to wreck our booming golden age!".

      Greece and Ireland were allowed to sprint into an unsustainable bubble, and there was no central mechanism to tell them to stop. And now Germany, the UK, Denmark etc. have to bail them out, there is disproportionate resentment.

      Once the political grandstanding subsides, the Euro could work. Until then, it's just one long nationalistic rant waiting to happen.

    10. Re:If you really want to know, from The Economist by weicco · · Score: 1

      We are pretty much pissed off in Finland too. But it's not because of other countries like Iceland or Ireland. It's because our braindead politicians think that Finland has endless amounts of money which can be shared to the rest of the world. I'm not really sure what's our Minister of Finance's idea to throw money away but I'm sure he is benefiting somehow from all of this.

      Sometimes I really hate this socialist country. Luckily we have elections coming.

      --
      You don't know what you don't know.
    11. Re:If you really want to know, from The Economist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let;s not forget it wasn't that long ago that Germany also just about defaulted too and was fined by the EU, and it was only because of the much stronger neighbouring countries that helped Germany keep their economy going because of the German exports. People have very short memories.

      Germany have a strong manufacturing base unlike many of the EU countries which does help in this case - and is part of the underlying problem of many economies that are having problems. Germany may be tired of paying Europe's bills so to speak but much of Europe is tired of Germany's whining when it was they (and a few others) that wanted this single economic bloc in the first place.

    12. Re:If you really want to know, from The Economist by Alioth · · Score: 1

      And much of the problem is that the Germans and French ran the euro for their own benefit, with interest rates wholly inappropriate for the periphery (especially Spain) resulting in the enormous housing bubble they had there which has brought their economy crashing down. If the euro had been run for the benefit of all European countries, perhaps the problems wouldn't have been so severe.

      So it's quite right the Germans and French have to pay, after all they reaped the benefits of the euro's monetary policies being run for their benefit during the good years.

    13. Re:If you really want to know, from The Economist by lennier1 · · Score: 1

      That would pretty much be the death blow.
      "West Germany" is still paying to bring the East up to standard, even though those payments were supposed to end during the mid-90's.

    14. Re:If you really want to know, from The Economist by lennier1 · · Score: 1

      After a while it simply gets boring. One of those "been there, done that" things. ;)

    15. Re:If you really want to know, from The Economist by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      Perhaps we should simply annex the rest of the EU into the Federal Republic of Germany?

      Yep, and then we can call it "Grossdeutsches Reich". ~

    16. Re:If you really want to know, from The Economist by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      Oh, let's piss off the Germans . . .grand idea . . .

      Hey, you can always ask Russians to help if things suddenly go awry! ~

    17. Re:If you really want to know, from The Economist by risom · · Score: 1

      Not that surprising. Germany would actually stand to profit a lot if they went on a more isolationist course and instead of subsidizing half of the EU simply pulled out.

      The opposite is true. The entire reason Germany wanted the Euro zone is because that means creating one huge market to dump export products into. Look at the numbers at destatis.de, the German statistics institution - for years now, the only growing sector of the German economy exports. The only part of the economy growing currently: exports. The Euro zone collapsing would mean instant collapse to Germany's eonomy. After years of neoliberal politics the wages are so low (Actually lower now than 1990, if you correct for inflation. 20 Years of work of 40 million people without any gains in quality of life! Thats worse than nearly every other OECD country!) that domestic demand will not be able to compensate that. There is not one quantum of altruism in Germany supporting Greece, Ireland et.al.

  19. Do No Evil by retech · · Score: 1

    For a company that is all about being good, Google strong arms its tax sheltered position quite liberally across the globe. It's really sad to see that they cannot afford to pay taxes equally for the infrastructure from which they suck. Fucking pricks.

    1. Re:Do No Evil by slysithesuperspy · · Score: 1

      It's their duty to give as little away as possible to government. If they don't shelter it that'd be just more tanks, planes etc for the US to bomb innocent people in far away countries.

      And anyway, from my perspective they just give me free stuff, I don't even notice the adverts on their website. There would be less of that free useful stuff if they had to give away more for whatever social engineering projects those crackpot politicians have.

    2. Re:Do No Evil by bonch · · Score: 1

      This is one of the dumbest attitudes I've ever read. It can't be real.

    3. Re:Do No Evil by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      do no evil != do good.

  20. Why are they broke in the first place? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    'We should default,' said a retired union worker, 'the idea that the workers of this country should pay for the gambling of the billionaires is disgusting.'"

    Why are they broke in the first place? Isn't it the welfare state's massive spending? Doesn't sound like billionaires gambling to me.

    1. Re:Why are they broke in the first place? by EllisDees · · Score: 4, Informative

      No, they are broke because the government decided to cover the private bank's debt to the tune of a hundred or so billion euros.

      --
      -- Give me ambiguity or give me something else!
    2. Re:Why are they broke in the first place? by PaulOShea · · Score: 1

      They are also broke because they spent the annual windfall income from the property bubble to win re-election instead of saving for a rainy day.
      There has been a gap of around 20 thousand million Euro between spending and income EVERY YEAR since the property bubble collapsed (2007?).

      You can't carry on for long with at weight on your shoulders. The gap must be closed via tax increases, spending cuts or both because additional income from GNP/GDP growth ain't happening. The longer you leave it the worse it becomes.

      - Paul.

    3. Re:Why are they broke in the first place? by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      Why are they broke in the first place? Isn't it the welfare state's massive spending?

      No, not really. If you look around the globe, how well the countries do economically doesn't seem to be correlated with that strongly. In Europe, Ireland is (was?) one of the most economically conservative states. Similarly, Baltics were also an economic liberal paradise, and they did get fucked up big time. On the other hand, the "socialist" Scandinavia did very well, and Germany is good too. But then there's Greece and Spain, of course...

      Another interesting example is comparing the "free haven" of USA with "nanny state" of Canada. The latter fared much better in the crisis - indeed, even compared to many European states! - largely to much more stringent banking regulations. The social welfare net does burden the recovery process somewhat, but then it also did it primary job of softening the blow for the people, especially low-income earners.

      My overall conclusion from this would be:

      1. Massive social spending with no taxes to back it up - fail (Greece, Spain).
      2. Massive deregulation of markets - fail (Ireland, Iceland).
      3. Corrupt regulation of markets in the interests of big business - fail (US).
      4. Responsible regulation of markets with social welfare funding tied to actual economy levels - success.

  21. Not so fast... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Going default will be a short-lived remedy. The country will go back to 1990 in terms of market appeal and productivity. And yes, if the big tech companies leave, the hope of reacquiring a high-tech knowledge industry will go away as well.

    The main problem is the fact that big companies now are so powerful that they can hold entire tax systems hostage... they can play countries out against each other.
    But instead of having a single EU corporate tax system (which imho would make sense), we have all kinds of other silly EU rules... and corporate taxes keep dropping in a futile attempt to lure more big business.

    Governments should realize that big companies won't leave overnight. It'll take a little while to move people and offices.

    At the same time, a lot of countries are suffering from the crisis - so if the Irish increase their tax together with a number of other countries, to give a clear signal, then they might get away with it... Shareholders and investors in stock markets should pay a part of the crisis too - they are at the root of its cause.

    1. Re:Not so fast... by khallow · · Score: 1

      At the same time, a lot of countries are suffering from the crisis - so if the Irish increase their tax together with a number of other countries, to give a clear signal, then they might get away with it... Shareholders and investors in stock markets should pay a part of the crisis too - they are at the root of its cause.

      There was a fair mechanism for assigning blame: bankruptcy. Since that was subverted or bypassed in Ireland (as it was in a number of other places), it's too late to assign blame to the shareholders and investors in the failed businesses. Given that Ireland stepped up and took on all that liability, it's now the Irish taxpayers' fault.

    2. Re:Not so fast... by Yaa+101 · · Score: 1

      Europe should be clear that if a large company threaten to leave one of it's countries that the company will lose it's right to operate on the European market.

    3. Re:Not so fast... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No. Big companies can hold ignorant, weak governments to ransom. The general public don't show many signs of being cowed.

    4. Re:Not so fast... by mabhatter654 · · Score: 1

      except in that respect it's just like the USA. Companies threaten to leave states like New York, California, Michigan all the time.. while having soaked in 30 years of profit. The companies don't "leave" they just stop paying taxes where all the people are and move to the "country" where they only bring in the people they need. Back to the housing boom, that was a big part of the game because companies would build new factories and need new "executive" subdivisions built, that was how the locals got rich and plenty of taxes. Now that those houses aren't worth anything and new ones aren't being built, the new "locals" are realizing that they need these companies paying their "fair share" of taxes.... which is a boon to the states that never let the big corporations off the hook in the first place.

      back on topic, most of the companies are pulling roots from UK, Germany, etc to the newly minted members of the EU, the former Eastern Bloc countries. Just like Ireland swooped in and nicked business from the more established countries, the new additions are doing the same thing. It's the best of both worlds, still in the EU so the Euros transfer, but the people work for half the wages and property is 1/10 the cost. The best of both worlds, just like "in-sourcing" in the USA from California to Kansas.

    5. Re:Not so fast... by hey! · · Score: 1

      Well, bankruptcy doesn't preclude the government assuming certain liabilities, since stockholder liability is capped at the value of their stocks. It's quite possible to prop up a bank without propping up the shareholders. I'd say propping up the banks and letting the shareholders twist slowly, slowly in the wind is the way to go. You can't run an economy without banks. For one thing, those humongous banks are the only way for central banks to put money into the economy. But you can buy back the worthless stock of the stockholders and reissue it once the institution has been stabilised, thus preserving the flow of money in the economy and the principle of investor responsibility. Not that that has been tried anywhere, to my knowledge.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  22. Default is even worse by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If a country defaults on its bonds, it will face difficulty in borrowing in the future. Consequently a country would need to have a balanced budget which leads to _more_ spending cuts or/and tax increases.

    1. Re:Default is even worse by Lunix+Nutcase · · Score: 1

      Argentina and Russia seem to be doing okay on being able to borrow money after their defaults.

  23. a radical solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why cant they simply impound the corporate assets, imprison/publicly execute the execs under some made up law and sell off all the impounded corporate property incl. IP and know-how to the highest bidder? Methinks that would be profitable for the state AND show multinationals who _really_ has the power. Or is the irish government afraid to exercise their sovereign rights?

    1. Re:a radical solution by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      Why cant they simply impound the corporate assets, imprison/publicly execute the execs under some made up law and sell off all the impounded corporate property incl. IP and know-how to the highest bidder? Methinks that would be profitable for the state AND show multinationals who _really_ has the power. Or is the irish government afraid to exercise their sovereign rights?

      Likely because most of those assets aren't even in the country. Japan, for example, makes a lot of cars in the U.S., but doesn't share the knowledge of how to make many critical assemblies: those are still Made in Japan. Not that I blame them for that at all: I wish more of our corporations would take that same approach when dealing with our own foreign competition. But I suspect that trying to "nationalize" a chip foundry or a Google server farm wouldn't actually net them all that much, and would cause an international incident that Ireland probably doesn't want.

      Look, the U.S. is facing a similar crisis on many levels (and, because we're a much bigger economy, when our crash comes it's going to be Biblical) but the key takehome from all of this is simple: build your own domestic industries. Take care of your own, and don't depend upon foreigners to do it for you, because they are going to have their own agenda. Now that's okay because they don't owe you any loyalty. Furthermore, soon as your interests are no longer aligned, they will leave you high and dry. Face it: expecting otherwise from any multinational is naive at best. There's a reason for that: their loyalty is to their stockholders (if, indeed, they are loyal to anything at all) and most of them are in other countries as well.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
  24. A parable on taxing the rich by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    A parable on taxing the rich: http://gregmankiw.blogspot.com/2007/03/barstool-tax-policy.html

    1. Re:A parable on taxing the rich by Dr_Barnowl · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What it fails to mention is that most of the other 9 guys in the bar work for the 10th guy, and provided the labour that made him his riches. So he's magnanimous enough to pay about 60% of their bar bill, when all his riches came from the sweat on their backs?

      The other guys should say "Hey, how come you can afford to pay more than half of our bar tab, when we are the guys doing all the work? Why the fuck are we lining your pockets when you work no harder than us?", and then kick him out of the bar and find another drinking buddy who will do the same job (managing their labour) for a fair wage, allowing them to split the $60 fairly between them, making them all significantly more wealthy.

    2. Re:A parable on taxing the rich by Culture20 · · Score: 1

      They're free to borrow money and buy the company from guy number ten, but if they do, the leftover nine still won't have enough money for drinks until several years down the road. If they just steal the company from guy number ten, then they're no better than Vladamir Lenin.

    3. Re:A parable on taxing the rich by ErikZ · · Score: 1

      Why would you manage a bar for less money for the other 9 guys, when you could open your own bar and make more?

      --
      Democrats or Republicans. They are both taking us to the same place and they are not afraid of us anymore.
    4. Re:A parable on taxing the rich by uid7306m · · Score: 1

      This is, of course, blatant emotionalism. Taxing someone isn't the same as physically beating them up. But, changing countries is a lot like changing pubs. All of a sudden, there's no one to talk to. People don't move from one country to another very easily.

      So, what happens to the tenth man?

      Should we say that the tenth man ended his days as a sad drunk, drinking alone at home, because he wouldn't drink with his fellows? Or, is it a triumphal outcome for him? Does he go to another bar and find a better class of friends. Who knows?

    5. Re:A parable on taxing the rich by Lunix+Nutcase · · Score: 1

      Because not all people in the world are obsessed with making more money than they can ever spend in their lifetime?

    6. Re:A parable on taxing the rich by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      That's the funniest parable I've ever heard.

      The truth is the 10th guy is the guy with capital. The 10th guy is the retired man whose using his lifetime savings to provide the capital for the 9 20 year old guys to dig using mechanical diggers. When they kick the 10th guy out of the bar, he takes his diggers with him and the 9 guys get to keep 100% of the revenue from digging with spades. Which is 1/100th as much.

    7. Re:A parable on taxing the rich by mrlibertarian · · Score: 1

      The other guys should say "Hey, how come you can afford to pay more than half of our bar tab, when we are the guys doing all the work?

      So, let those 9 guys gather up their savings and start their own business (most millionaires are self-made, after all, so don't pretend as though the 10th guy had some advantage). Let them see how "helpful" the government is when they're the ones trying to run a business. And, if they actually manage to successfully grow a business, let's see how generous they are when their first employee, who didn't share any of the risk, comes along with his hands out and demands his "fair share" of the profits.

    8. Re:A parable on taxing the rich by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The 10th guy is the sober one.
      As soon as the rest kick him out of the bar, they soon run out of booze, sober up, and beg him to come back.
      He's been kicked out a few times, but he knows the game, so he always comes back.

      That's captains of industry in a nutshell, we're the designated driver.

      It's good to be the captain.

    9. Re:A parable on taxing the rich by cyber-vandal · · Score: 1

      Not a very accurate parable given that the rich guy actually pays something rather than the real story where he pays nothing by using a complex web of accounting tricks.

    10. Re:A parable on taxing the rich by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except it would never happen like that, would it? The 9 guys in the bar work for the 10th guy because the 10th guy did something they didn't. If he hadn't been around in the first place none of them would be doing anything. The employee always thinks he made the company, when in reality the company gave the employee a job.

      The guy who started the company 1) took the initiative 2) invested his own finances 3) invested his own time 4) manages jobs 5) deals with funding/payroll 6) found the got damn labor.

      The labor in your story 1) Did the labor. 2) Decided they were the shit and the guy who made it all possible needs to leave. 3) removed the guy who started it and cheered on a new guy who doesn't know anything more than them. 4) had no work after the first month. 5) unemployed.

    11. Re:A parable on taxing the rich by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Shut up you fucking commie piece of shit. Those 9 guys were clearly not capable of working their way up the ladder, and if they quit the rich guy will just find someone else who will work for competitive wages.

    12. Re:A parable on taxing the rich by ErikZ · · Score: 1

      Nonsense. Everyone wants to get the most out of their work.

      Lets try this again, why would someone want to work for those 9 guys for the rest of his life, instead of just 10 years and retiring? Or 20 years and having enough money to start a new business venture?

      And finally, there's no such thing as "Making more money than you can spend in your lifetime". You can spend Bill Gates fortune in an afternoon, and by actually buying things. Not just giving it away.

      --
      Democrats or Republicans. They are both taking us to the same place and they are not afraid of us anymore.
  25. Annexation by Edward_Colgate · · Score: 2, Funny

    The UK should buy Ireland, It'd look much neater on a map.

    1. Re:Annexation by JockTroll · · Score: 1

      If it leads to another Irish rebellion and more dead brits, I'm all for it. "And it's down in the Bogside, that's where I long to be/Lying in the dark with a Provo company/A comrade on me left and another on me right/ And a clip of ammunition for my little Armalite." Aaah, the good times.

      --
      Geeks are so full of shit that "beating the crap out of them" takes a whole new meaning.
    2. Re:Annexation by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      I don't think the UK currently would have the money for that.

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    3. Re:Annexation by petes_PoV · · Score: 1

      The UK should buy Ireland,

      Yeah, and China should buy the United States

      --
      politicians are like babies' nappies: they should both be changed regularly and for the same reasons
    4. Re:Annexation by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      China made a really bad mistake in that regard. They bought bonds issued by the US government rather than hard assets with their piles of USD from their trade imbalance. Now everyone knows that in the long run you are better off buying the the business (i.e. stock) rather than loaning the business money for operations. Not to mention in the case of dollars the US is running the printing presses overtime and full on right now. Holding a lot of dollars just doesn't make a lot of sense right now.

      I think now they have learned their lesson and are gradually liquidating in favor of hard assets like land, raw materials etc.

  26. What's the big deal? by flnca · · Score: 1

    The EU will pump € 85 billion into Ireland.

  27. missing the point about bank debt by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Equity tied to property is how real value has been disconnected from financial worth. To our parents the roof over your head was never considered an investment or a source of income. It was deemed a necessity that had to be payed for and really had little to do with an individuals financial future other than as an expense. Here we are creating an economy around an investment that has no real substance. It produces nothing.

    So essentially the banks have financed huge amounts debt to be repaid by individuals that might not have work next month. So as these individuals lose their employment they count on being able to flip their mortgage in a hurry and perhaps cash in some of the imaginary wealth that the property has gained over a short term. Then a bank finances someone else at a greater principle amount and the individual that flipped the property has some small income to get by till they find another job.

    This is the financial equivalent of a snake eating it's tail and will be the downfall of financial systems in the British Isles, Canada and Australia. It already hit the US and has created huge public debt for our children to pay off. The chickens are starting to come home to roost and the concept of real estate and all the hype that we have created around it will cause financial instability and bank failure on a massive scale within the next 3 years. So hold on to your hats the shit is about to hit the fan in more than just Ireland. Every time some real estate agent leaves advertising in my mail box asking me to flip with their firm I feel just about them same way as being solicited by a funeral director.

  28. Help from the "Irish" Americians by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They should just ask for help from the same people who helped fund the IRA' murderous bombing campaign, i.e. the yanks. Bet funding terrorism seemed a jolly good "craic" back then, still karma can be a bit of a bitch as the found out on 11/9.

    1. Re:Help from the "Irish" Americians by Cornwallis · · Score: 1

      They should just ask for help from the same people who helped fund the IRA' murderous bombing campaign, i.e. the yanks. Bet funding terrorism seemed a jolly good "craic" back then, still karma can be a bit of a bitch as the found out on 11/9.

      Why? What happened on November 9th?

  29. Capitalism is back! by udippel · · Score: 0, Troll

    Welcome to our new capitalist overlords!

    Yes, make the underclass work harder and pay more taxes, Yahoo!

    (I am aware that the type of mod points given for this comment depends mostly on the nationality of the mods. Let's see ... .)

  30. American chauvinist summarist by dutchwhizzman · · Score: 1

    I don't think that "threatening to take their ball and leave" by the big USA companies has been a very big factor in this Irish government plan. Looking at it that way is very chauvinistic and in my opinion shows a very limited and one-sided view of the world economy. They were facing being cast out of the EU and are in a lot more trouble financially, than just with a few USA companies that already have left Ireland for a good part anyhow.

    The Irish government probably figured that any production or tech support job, no matter who owned the company, was making the Irish economy money. The only reason production companies are producing in Ireland and not in China is because of EU tax regulations. Anything not manufactured in the EU is heavily taxed. A lot of manufacturing (Dell is a good example) has already moved out of Ireland to new EU countries like Poland in the last years. You won't believe how many unemployed computer assembly workers there are in Ireland at the moment. Raising taxes may be of some influence to production, but it's very limited since the bulk has moved away to cheaper countries already.

    As to the tech/help desk centers they have there. Real estate and wages are comparatively cheap in Ireland, especially compared to the level of schooling. Any other country in the western EU would still be more expensive to go to. You can't outsource everything to India (believe me, they keep trying) so "leaving Ireland if taxes rise" is not a serious threat at all for the bulk of those industries. Try finding people speaking at least 3 European languages (there are over 20) and with enough education to do advanced tech support. You won't find enough of them outside of Europe on one location. Maybe in the future, Africa (with a lot of people speaking French and English) will be providing here, but that will take another 10 years at least. Catering Eastern Europe will be done from the east, where labor is even cheaper and people speak those languages. Catering western Europe will continue from Ireland, even with raised taxes. Maybe, that will move to Eastern Europe in the future, but I doubt taxes will remain low there, they have to adhere to the same standards Ireland is now forced to uphold.

    --
    I was promised a flying car. Where is my flying car?
  31. Just quit by defaria · · Score: 1

    I see, you hate the billionaires because they do not wish to pay you for your non-work when you retire. The answer for you is simple. Why do you accept the money they pay you for your legitimate hard work that provides you and your family your life? The power is in your hands!! If these greedy businessmen are so evil then simply stop taking their money in exchange for your work. If you're so fucking smart and can do it so much better then do so! Start your own businesses and employ others. Make value (i.e. products and services) and exchange value for value in the open market place and soon, guess what? You'll end up understanding them and acting exactly as they do. Or, if your method is so righteous and correct, you'll conquer the world with your superior form of business. But to sit around and bitch smacks to me as being just a pathetic loser. These people give you life by exchanging value for value (wages for work) and you're complaining. If you think you're not getting paid enough (or not getting enough benefits - read: money for nothing) then by all means put your damn money where you mouth is and go out and do better than those who you complain about or STFU!

    1. Re:Just quit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      LOL!

  32. Re:Moral Hazard by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    FDIC though is a terrible moral hazard (and countries with no gov't deposit insurance do much better during the recessions, because their banks are less likely to gamble with deposits by defaults, since their customers, who are lending the banks their deposit money, do not automatically assume that the banks are always solvent, that their deposits are gov't ensured, so banks have to earn trust of their customers by not fooling around with the money.)

    Citation needed.

  33. Tell that to the Irish who will have to emigrate by fantomas · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Tell that to the people who will have to emigrate from Ireland in search of work. A bit of a sore point I believe because of history.

    100 years ago, they travelled to the USA. Now they'd probably not be allowed entry because the USA frowns upon economic migrants.

  34. A better title: Irish To Welsh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "100,000 Dubliners took to the streets to protest the bailout plan, calling for the Irish government to default on the country's debts, and demanding an immediate election. 'We should default,' said a retired union worker, 'the idea that the workers of this country should pay for the gambling of the billionaires is disgusting.'"

    Irish demand government to welsh on a bet.

  35. Interest.. by Sinus0idal · · Score: 1

    What I found quite interesting is that they're planning to save something like 15bn a year in austerity measures, but something like 10-12bn of that will go on interest! So they'll only be managing to pay back 3bn each year at best! Crazy.

  36. Germany is not paying Europe's bills by rbarreira · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Germany Is Tired of Paying Europe's Bills.

    This is over-simplified. Germany might appear to be paying for Europe's bills, but how much of this "bailout" is going right back to German/US/etc. banks which would go bankrupt if the IMF / EU wasn't "bailing out" Ireland?

    Follow the money, don't think just one move ahead. These bailouts are nothing more but the partial enslavement of Irish taxpayers in order to rescue foreign banks and governments.

    --

    The AACS key is NOT 0xF606EEFD628B1CA427BEA93A9CA9773F
    1. Re:Germany is not paying Europe's bills by theVarangian · · Score: 1

      These bailouts are nothing more but the partial enslavement of Irish taxpayers in order to rescue foreign banks and governments.

      Sure the banks and speculators have much to answer for but they are not the only ones to blame. I did not see the Irish or anybody else for that matter standing outside their government buildings and parliament house protesting the insane expansion of the economy while everything was booming and the money flowed. Let's not forget that somebody had to elect into office the pricks that created the environment in which this mess could happen. Maybe we should be more careful about whom we vote into office next time?

    2. Re:Germany is not paying Europe's bills by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Erm, those "bailouts" are for debt the Irish have created and spent.

      Ireland had a massive housing bubble.

      Most of that money was spent by the Irish and it financed their stellar "free market" "Celtic Tiger" growth for a decade. Now that they have to pay it back in a downturn and there's a hangover - and the 'free market' is now their enemy: it is speculating against them, in the tens of billions.

      Ireland, instead of following free market fundamentalists blindly, should have saved some more in the good times, to prepare for the bad times.

      Instead they allowed corporations run away with the extra profitsin the "Double Irish" tax evasion loophole:

      It is called "The Double Irish" because it requires two Irish companies to complete the transaction. The first holding company will own the profitable asset and directly receive revenue from its sale. But it will in turn, file a major overhead expense to its management company, a second holding company located in a tax haven, such as Bermuda or the Cayman Islands. The management and holding company in the tax haven country are both Irish legal entities. Because there are two Irish companies, the scheme is called "Double Irish". In this way, all of the profits from the sale is written off as a loss, leaving the Irish holding company to also avoid taxation. The company that actually receives the majority of the royalties will be the tax haven company, where no corporate taxes are collected on that revenue.

      Just in case you have ever wondered why Microsoft pays less than 1% of an income tax in the US, and has done so for the past 20 years, evading up to 100 billion dollars in US corporate taxes.

    3. Re:Germany is not paying Europe's bills by rbarreira · · Score: 2, Informative

      Yeah but you're ignoring the fact that most of their problems right now are from backstopping the Irish banks. Banks that owe a lot of money to foreign banks, with hundreds of billions of dollars in foreign exposure to Ireland.

      --

      The AACS key is NOT 0xF606EEFD628B1CA427BEA93A9CA9773F
    4. Re:Germany is not paying Europe's bills by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lots of people COMPLAINED, but if you want to know why people weren't protesting or striking, the simple fact is that the vast majority of the population, even throughtout the "boom" times, were working their arses off to pay the bills. A lot of it on mortgages for a home to live in, that they were forced to pay insane prices for. Now, they are not only left with negative equity on homes that they needed to buy, they are also left with a tax bill for the next few decades to bail out the banks who they borrowed money off to buy those houses at inflated prices in the first place. And on the subject of voting people into office, the Irish political system is completely broken. All politics in Ireland are completely local, none of them overly concern themselves with national strategies.

    5. Re:Germany is not paying Europe's bills by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But you are ignoring the fact that those Irish banks lent those monies to Irish citizens and corporations ...

      Pension funds from Germany, Norway and other EU countries, invested their hard earned cash in then-safe bonds of Irish banks, for a very modest interest barely above the ECB rate. These weren't high-risk investments - these were "boring" bonds with minimal returns, built up well before 2008.

      Those monies were spent by the Irish - to finance their 'free market' growth. Now you are saying that because banks were involved in the process of moving those funds from Germany, Norway, UK, etc. to Ireland, it is somehow bad to pay back those funds that have been spent? These monies are not capital of those banks - it's usually monies of ordinary depositors who purchased 'safe' instruments with a modest to poor return.

      Are you saying that just because the Ireland is in a bad shape after a 'free market' robbery left it underfunded, it should be allowed to permanently rob the monies they borrowed?

    6. Re:Germany is not paying Europe's bills by khallow · · Score: 1

      Just in case you have ever wondered why Microsoft pays less than 1% of an income tax in the US, and has done so for the past 20 years, evading up to 100 billion dollars in US corporate taxes.

      I don't know how Microsoft does it now, but they did it prior to 2001 through stock options. I don't remember how the gimmick worked, but they were able to incur large write offs against profit which didn't actually happen till the option was exercised years down the road.

    7. Re:Germany is not paying Europe's bills by rbarreira · · Score: 1

      Are you saying that just because the Ireland is in a bad shape after a 'free market' robbery left it underfunded, it should be allowed to permanently rob the monies they borrowed?

      I'm saying that as with any bad loan, the blame is shared between the one who took the loan and the one who gave it.

      I'm further saying that by "bailing out" Ireland (i.e. trying to make it pay insane debts by forcing pain upon taxpayers), the ones giving the loans are being rescued and not paying for their mistake, unlike the Irish.

      --

      The AACS key is NOT 0xF606EEFD628B1CA427BEA93A9CA9773F
    8. Re:Germany is not paying Europe's bills by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And who bought the overpriced houses in Ireland's real estate bubble? Foreign banks and governments?

    9. Re:Germany is not paying Europe's bills by rbarreira · · Score: 1

      And who bought the overpriced houses in Ireland's real estate bubble? Foreign banks and governments?

      Logically it was mostly Irish people who are probably pretty fucked today, i.e. either paying off a underwater mortgage or defaulting and getting foreclosed on.

      What point were you trying to make?

      --

      The AACS key is NOT 0xF606EEFD628B1CA427BEA93A9CA9773F
    10. Re:Germany is not paying Europe's bills by Tom · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You don't get the full picture.

      Germany has been economically successful the past years, including living through the crisis fairly well, by a constant and pretty aggressive redistribution from the bottom to the top. Real wages (i.e. adjusted for inflation) have been falling for years, the number of people employed in part-time and low-wage jobs (there's no minimum wage in Germany, except for a few very small areas) has exploded. Millions of full-time workers don't earn enough to feed a family.

      Now add the "paying for the rest of Europe" feeling to that. Do you think the simple people care if the money comes back to some german bank? Not the least. This is just the latest episode where taxes are raised to rescue banks and large corporations that gambled more than they could handle.

      Unfortunately, none of the left has so far realized and made into a political movement that the people in all countries are being exploited in the same way. The irish and the german taxpayers are both abused in this. The right-wing and neo-liberals have successfully divided the people of Europe against each other, with open animosity against the greek, etc. being visible already. There are some demonstrations with mottos like "we don't pay for your crisis", but very little international solidarity. If the left were serious in their opposition, they would not only demonstrate against the "rescue package" in Ireland, but also in Germany and France, which is basically taking money from the taxpayers to finance the package which then goes into paying the banks. It's a bank tax, and Ireland is just the step inbetween to make that less transparent.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    11. Re:Germany is not paying Europe's bills by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      German banks, which in turn suffered from Irelands mortgage crisis. Look, Europe is supposedly one economy, and companies including banks are certainly investing across Europe. The problem with the "one economy" fiction is that companies may operate in the whole of the EU, but politicians don't.

    12. Re:Germany is not paying Europe's bills by rbarreira · · Score: 1

      German banks, which in turn suffered from Irelands mortgage crisis.

      Apparently the German banks will be made whole by this bailout, which was my whole point. The Irish taxpayers are going to be stuck with all the losses, having to pay interest on these bailout loans is the insult added to the injury.

      Here's a novel idea: the stupid banks that loaned too much money to Irish banks should also lose some money for their mistake.

      --

      The AACS key is NOT 0xF606EEFD628B1CA427BEA93A9CA9773F
    13. Re:Germany is not paying Europe's bills by Muros · · Score: 1

      And who bought the overpriced houses in Ireland's real estate bubble? Foreign banks and governments?

      Logically it was mostly Irish people who are probably pretty fucked today, i.e. either paying off a underwater mortgage or defaulting and getting foreclosed on.

      Mostly Irish people yes. Saying that they had a choice in the matter would be dishonest. People need to live somewhere. We had a property bubble in the Irish economy, because the European Central Bank set interest rates that were inappropriate for our economy, and because most of our politicians are too stupid to understand that bubbles are bad. The shit hasn't really hit the fan though. We still have smug self satisfied politicians who don't really care that they have just screwed over the entire population of the country, their friends are laughing all the way to the newly capitalised by the taxpayer bank. The shit WILL hit the fan, when all the negative equity mortgage defaults start to happen. There are many tens of thousands of mortgages in arrears in the country, and this problem is being largely ignored. Now on top of the negative equity mortgages in arrears, we have rising unemployment and a rising tax bill. I'm glad I couldnt afford to buy a house a few years ago.

    14. Re:Germany is not paying Europe's bills by rbarreira · · Score: 1

      Good to see some feedback confirming my suspicions coming from someone who actually lives in Ireland!

      It seems that this bailout is not a done deal yet until the 7th of December, so you can still fight against it. I just read this article and thought it was interesting:

      http://gonzalolira.blogspot.com/2010/11/if-ireland-doesnt-take-bailout.html#more

      Best of luck fighting this, I know other countries will be next if Ireland falls to the global bankers.

      --

      The AACS key is NOT 0xF606EEFD628B1CA427BEA93A9CA9773F
    15. Re:Germany is not paying Europe's bills by Muros · · Score: 1

      Just read your linked article. Interesting. Unfortunately, I think things have too large a momentum now to be stopped. But I would like to see something done to have the burden of the fallout rest on the investors, and not the Irish taxpaying public. All the news is about the Irish economy being bailed out by European governments. All I see is international investors being bailed out by Irish taxpayers.

      Back on the initial topic that was being discussed in this mini-thread, I think it would be good to further explain one of the other reasons for the property bubble in Ireland, other than governmental ineptitude and the irrelevance of Irish economic needs to the decision making processes in the ECB. The other very, VERY, major factor. Most cultures have aversions to some things, that seem strange to others looking in from outside that culture. There is a reason Irish people payed the inordinate prices being asked for houses during the property bubble. For historical reasons, one of the most reviled words in the English language, from an Irish perspective, is "landlord".

  37. What is this, MSNBC? by windcask · · Score: 1

    I disagree with the tone of this article. When picking an article, I'm sure you get multiple submissions on the same topic; try to refrain from picking articles worded as "the government horsewhipped the destitute and needy for the enrichment and amusement of the rich and evil" and instead just report the facts.

    In my opinion, if these tax exemptions cause a few of the working Irish to keep their jobs instead of losing them, they're better off as a whole.

    1. Re:What is this, MSNBC? by LanMan04 · · Score: 1
      --
      With the first link, the chain is forged.
    2. Re:What is this, MSNBC? by windcask · · Score: 1

      That study was done at a university with participants being between 18 and 28 years old...the most liberal-thinking period of most people's lifetimes. Also, 6 to 11 points is hardly significant. Schools and big media tend to tell themselves what they want to hear.

      But what do I know? I'm just a stupid hillbilly. Feel free to continue looking down on me derisively from your ivory tower.

  38. Never default by DaveGod · · Score: 1

    Defaulting on debts would be an extremely bad position. It's an argument put forward by people who have absolutely no idea about finance.

    Even just a default of not paying interest turn bonds into junk and utterly destroys your credit rating. Putting aside potential court battles from investors, the credit rating determines the yield (effectively the interest rate) you have to offer on your future issues. Any more money raised (crucially, this includes refreshing existing debt) suddenly becomes more expensive. Much more expensive - Germany's triple-A puts their bond yields at 3% while Greece is 11%. Ireland hit 9%, though this partially reflects the - hopefully temporary - uncertainty. Britain, which was never quite as bad as Ireland but I'll grudgingly accept reacted on the whole swiftly and decisively is around 4.5%. These rates reflect the market's perceived risk of default.

    The effect of actually defaulting can last a very long time, investors will factor in your history of default probably for a generation or more.

    Regardless, there seems to be this underlying relief that bond holders are responsible. Bond holders merely loan the government money, in normal times it's considered the risk-free rate, basically the equivalent of a bank account for large institutions. They didn't put Ireland in this mess, their government did, and the people didn't stop them. Maybe the unions should consider that the vast majority of the bond holders are their own pension schemes.

    The argument about corporate taxes is a separate one. It's a complex situation because on the one hand, corporations do use resources and need to pay their way. On the other, they pay taxes, create tax-paying jobs, pay taxable dividends and inject capital into the economy which turns around a few times (similar to multiplier effect). Last I checked, Ireland doesn't really have much to attract corporations - minimal natural resources, geographically disadvantaged in moving goods into continental Europe, and a labour force that is reasonably skilled but a bit expensive (i.e. not particularly competitive). That leaves the almost sole competitive advantage being... Taxes.

    For an analogy, say you rent a room in someone else's home. The property isn't especially fantastic and is not in a great area (actually it's a bit of a nuisance getting to work and friends), you would only describe your relationship to the homeowner as one of a landlord & tenant and there are lots of other people offering rooms to let - you only chose this place because it was cheapest. The landlord notifies you that the mortgage rate has increased so he wants to put the rent up. Wouldn't you be house-hunting tomorrow?

    Corporations are not our friends. We use corporations and they use us.

    1. Re:Never default by Lunix+Nutcase · · Score: 2, Interesting

      That's funny because if it's so bad how do you explain that after Argentina defaulted that it now has the second highest per capita GDP in Latin America?

    2. Re:Never default by Fantastic+Lad · · Score: 1

      This is why people who study finance need to pull the camera back a bit.

      Credit ratings are a bank rule. What we're suggesting here is that we FUCK the banks before they kill us all.

      If this is done in time, their rules won't matter any more.

      If governments started printing their own money, rather than borrowing it at interest from international bankers, then none of this bullshit would have occurred in the first place. You understand math, so work it out; Interest cannot be paid back, because all the money in existence was borrowed at interest; the only way to pay it back is to borrow more. Nobody sees it happening, because the pool of money is so big and always in flux, but there's a reason everybody is increasingly feeling the squeeze. It's a control scam, and that really is how it works. No industrialized nation on the planet prints their own money; it all comes from the banking cartel through one convoluted scheme or another, and it's all about rendering populations powerless. It's about slave creation.

      They don't teach that in finance school, and there's a reason for it. The Elite need managers of slaves, so they teach a small sandbox of ideas which only work in the sandbox while ignoring reality.

      So you can either be a slave, a manager of slaves, of if you find the wherewithal to get out of the sandbox and start thinking for yourself, you might instead get to be free.

      I'd think carefully about talking loudly in support of the current financial structure. The world is waking up to the scam, and we are much closer to the point where people are going to be skinned alive and set on fire. Keep an eye on Ireland; it's the test model for the rest of the world; what happens there will be happening everywhere quite soon.

      -FL

    3. Re:Never default by Intrinsic · · Score: 1

      Last I checked, Ireland doesn't really have much to attract corporations - minimal natural resources, geographically disadvantaged in moving goods into continental Europe, and a labour force that is reasonably skilled but a bit expensive (i.e. not particularly competitive). That leaves the almost sole competitive advantage being... Taxes./blockquote
      Our whole economic system needs to be abolished for this very reason. It only serves the rich and wealthy and it only addresses one motive, profit. There are more than just this one motive to make products. Some people make products to help other people, some make things because they enjoy the act of creation. We have system that serves only one purpose and a select group of people, the rest try to get themselves into the rich and wealthy group while the rest who choose to not focus so much on making money for the sake of making money suffer. Its pretty insane if you ask me when you think about the underlining issues of capitalism. The resources of this world should be shared by everyone for everyone.

    4. Re:Never default by Intrinsic · · Score: 1

      Omg you are focusing in the wrong place, you have completely missed the post of the original post.

    5. Re:Never default by stolhs · · Score: 1

      Of course it is about creating slaves.

      Lets see something about Greece.

      In Greece salaries for most young people are not enough to pay the rent of a house, bills, food etc.

      But, there come the parents and grandfather-grandmother to save the day, by giving young workers the extra cash to help them withstand the difficulties of the month.

      Now pensions are reduced, because of Greece debt, despite the fact that the money saved are nothing compared to the debt.

      So what is happening now? Parents and grandparents are not able to help their littles ones (ok, not so little) and stressing and fear for the present and future is building up.

      People are loosing their jobs every day, jobs themselves are getting rare, and salaries are minimized even in the private section because of the debt. People dont count as people, they are only meat, only the debt matters.

      So distress and fear is in every corner, people has lost their smile and hope for tomorrow

      Changes in Labour law, ensures that more pressure will be applied to workers.

      More work, less money, more fear for losing jobs because new laws will give more power to employers to squeeze workers
      TV is full of silly programs like big-brother, big-sister and a lot of “Learn how to Cook and Sing” broadcasts.
      The news are ....hmmm... only shout “Measures are necessary for pay back the debt”

      People are not totally innocent of course, because they vote the same persons every time.

      But they are programmed by TV and mainstream media, and they dont try to see between the lines

      No one with good hurt has a chance to be in position of power, and try to make a difference

      So here we are, people are converted to slaves (as if they were not already) and some others are getting fatter.
      No light i see in the future.....

    6. Re:Never default by Lunix+Nutcase · · Score: 1

      Which is some claim that it completely destroys your credit yet Argentina's credit is just fine now and their economy is far stronger after defaulting rather than if they had chosen not to? Basically disproving his entire rant?

    7. Re:Never default by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      You can point to a country which defaulted on its sovereign debt and didn't recover in a decade or so, right?

      After all we can point to Argentina for a recent example of a sovereign default that worked out just fine. Far better then cripling the country to repay the debt would have.

  39. Re:Moral Hazard by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

    I don't know where to start with you. I'd say "citation needed" to your entire post, but you'd probably just provide some Fox News links and leave it at that.

    Regarding Mr Krugman, he is absolutely correct that hiring people to dig and fill ditches would do wonders for the economy, especially if after those ditches are dug and filled there are railroads, highways and bridges left behind. It's how we got out of our last Depression. Whether you think the public works programs or WWII solved the problem, the answer is the same. A war is basically the biggest kind of public works project. It's government spending on steroids. The only difference between the New Deal and our involvement in the War is that during the War there was no limit at all on government spending (that, and not nearly as many humans died in the New Deal). In fact, the effect of WWII on the US economy is the very best proof of the Keynesian theory.

    I always get a kick out of it when some computer support specialist first class in a comments section thinks a Nobel Prize winner has it all wrong.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  40. One more reason why businesses should not be taxed by serutan · · Score: 1

    There are already reasons why the whole practice of collecting taxes from companies should be stopped. For one thing, a company isn't a person, it's just a legal relationship between people who work together. Taxing the company is like taxing married individuals and then separately taxing the marriage itself. For another, business taxes aren't paid by the business, they're paid by the customers. Any tax levied on a company is just another expense that gets built into the price of the final product. We pay this at the cash register even though we don't know how much it is. The impossibility of figuring out how much of the price of any given product is tax makes business tax essentially a secret tax, which is not cool at all.

  41. Really? Facebook? by damn_registrars · · Score: 1

    How many people does Facebook employ in Ireland (or anywhere outside the US for that matter)? I have a hard time imagining that a large part of the Irish economy is hinged on facebook; or at least enough to justify presenting this article first with the facebook logo...

    --
    Damn_registrars has no butt-hole. Damn_registrars has no use for a butt-hole.
  42. Re:Moral Hazard by roman_mir · · Score: 0, Troll

    say "citation needed" to your entire post, but you'd probably just provide some Fox News links and leave it at that.

    - first of all I don't care about the ad-hominem implication there.

    Secondly, you may want to look at the banks in countries that do not have an FDIC equivalent - New Zealand and Germany as simple examples. Yes, Germany controls the banks behavior somewhat, but it does not have FDIC equivalent, neither does N.Z.

    Both of those countries bank systems dealt with the crisis much better because they had very little gambling with deposits, if they had it at all.

    Regarding Mr Krugman, he is absolutely correct that hiring people to dig and fill ditches would do wonders for the economy

    - wow.

    Insane in the brain much?

    What, does digging ditches make you happy? Why just not give out free money WITHOUT forcing people to do useless labor, that even ends up being a net negative on the economy even from simple view of traffic jam creation. That's just so stupid, I can't help you. For somebody who implies I am a 'fox viewing Republican/Creationist', you are displaying the intelligence of one.

    It's how we got out of our last Depression.

    - the one that gov't created.

    But you are so wrong on this. The way USA got out of the Great Depression (G.D. from now on) is by STOPPING the government spending!

    That's right. Gov't stopped spending on the war effort, and the capital that was diverted to that was then reapplied to the private sector and the cheap labor in form of the soldier, who returned from the war was then hired to produce the goods that the entire world needed.

    US was in a unique position of having the infrastructure intact after the WWII, unlike most other countries and there was a huge demand by all those countries for all the consumer goods US could produce with its intact infrastructure and cheap post-war labor, all while having the USD being reserve currency, which allowed US to print and spend so much money by exporting the inflation to all other nations.

    How wonderful to know, that that very system provided you with all this valuable education you are displaying here.

    I always get a kick out of it when some computer support specialist first class in a comments section thinks a Nobel Prize winner has it all wrong.

    - I get a kick out of the fact that Krugman still didn't give the Nobel Prize back even though he doesn't even understand what inflation is.

    Cheers.

  43. Re:Tell that to the Irish who will have to emigrat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Are you kidding? Please come displace the mexicans who don't speak our language and won't integrate into our culture.

  44. Re:Tell that to the Irish who will have to emigrat by smchris · · Score: 2, Funny

    Dude, There aren't any jobs here either. Most of us will have to live in the nest our rich shit into.

  45. Re:Moral Hazard by howardd21 · · Score: 1

    I wish I had mod points, that is the most coherent and direct post here. Thanks for that.

    --
    no comment
  46. Were billionaires really the problem? by gatkinso · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Or was it a universal feeling of entitlement while living in a welfare state?

    --
    I am very small, utmostly microscopic.
    1. Re:Were billionaires really the problem? by Fantastic+Lad · · Score: 1

      Or was it a universal feeling of entitlement while living in a welfare state?

      You do realize you just described the billionaires? We ARE talking about handouts here, aren't we?

      I don't understand those who hate the public. The regular people are the ones the billionaires made all their money by exploiting and yet despise. But that's how it goes; the slaves are always despised. Then they rise up and kill everybody. Ye grande olde cycle.

      -FL

    2. Re:Were billionaires really the problem? by Intrinsic · · Score: 1

      Any people that get rich while their poor people suffer deserve nothing. If you dont understand the dynamics of what cause people to loose everything they have then you are just offloading your resentment on people who dont deserve it. We need to move selfish people to their own island some where, see how long they last. Everyone is in this world together and we need to help people when we can.

  47. Re:Moral Hazard by gtall · · Score: 1

    "That's right. Gov't stopped spending on the war effort, and the capital that was diverted to that was then reapplied to the private sector and the cheap labor in form of the soldier, who returned from the war was then hired to produce the goods that the entire world needed."

    Yes and no, without the war, the U.S. would never have built out its manufacturing capacity. After the war, there was a severe recession and those factories had to repurpose to domestic consumption. Since much of Europe and the Far East was destroyed, the U.S. could export without much competition as you mention.

    However, the U.S. didn't export inflation, the U.S. was in recession after the war. Deficit spending started post-war in the '60s. By that time, Europe had recovered, Japan was just getting started.

  48. Re:Tell that to the Irish who will have to emigrat by SilenceBE · · Score: 1

    Tell that to the Irish who will have to emigrate.

    You are aware of the fact that a lot of European IT people moved (mostly temporary) to Ireland to work there as they had trouble to fill in all the positions ? Who do you think will first be shafted ?

  49. Re:Moral Hazard by roman_mir · · Score: 1

    Yes and no, without the war, the U.S. would never have built out its manufacturing capacity.

    - sure. However had the gov't reduced its spending in 1929-1930 the same way it did in 1920, when the recession ended in 1 year, after the gov't reduced its spending by over 70%, all that manufacturing capacity could have been created privately in a year as well.

    I actually think the Great Depression inflationary war was partly responsible for the start of WWII (well, that and of-course France's resolve to continue the draconian embargo on Germany, post WWI).

    The point is that gov't must stop spending for the private sector to pick up pace by restructuring the capital and labor. That's what happened after the WWII, but again, it didn't have to be that long. None of the recessions of 19 century nor the one of 1920 lasted as long as G.D. did and the one that's currently in progress, which will eventually be turned by the Keynesian gov't into a hyper-inflationary depression, after the gov't inflated US bond asset bubble explodes and US starts buying out its debt by printing USD. They won't go down quietly, they'll destroy the currency.

    US started exporting inflation immediately once US dollar became the reserve due to the Bretton Woods system. All of the US spending, the military bases across the globe, all of that relied on inflation and Nixon took the cap off of it with getting off the gold standard entirely in 1972

  50. Re:Moral Hazard by roman_mir · · Score: 1

    You shouldn't waste your moderation points on me, my comments on economics normally go through a number of cycles up and down and mostly end up in the '-1 Troll' territory. I am not sure who exactly thinks here that I am trolling rather than simply stating my opinion, but that's OK.

  51. US companies created neither jobs nor export by Coeurderoy · · Score: 1

    Ireland was/is used by US companies as a tax dodge mechanisme using intellectual properties shenanigans, the number of jobs created is negligible compared to the quantity of tax money lost by all European Union countries.
    The reason the EUcrats backed off is that basically they understand zilch about economy and are listening to the lobbyist of the same companies who have actually created the problem.

    It is a potato famine setup...

    1. Re:US companies created neither jobs nor export by mjwalshe · · Score: 1

      It will be interesting if SF (the political wing of the IRA) get in at the next election - some of the Big US companies should have kept their heads down as they could easily get the same treatment that BP got in the USA - if some politician wanted some one to blame. - Worst case I could see riots - don't forget Ireland had a civil war within living memory.

    2. Re:US companies created neither jobs nor export by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't think you understand the 'mechanisme' behind the great famine. This is nothing like that situation. A lot of jobs have been created. The 'EUcrats' don't have any jurisdiction over local tax laws, which Ireland were careful to safeguard in treaties.

    3. Re:US companies created neither jobs nor export by Coeurderoy · · Score: 1

      During the great Famine Ireland exported food to Britain, not because it was the best way to make money for the farmers but because it was useful for the political programs of the absentee owners.
      (who where not guilty of the various issues related to illness and weather, but who didn't even care to make the maximum of money).

      Many jobs have been created in Ireland, but many of them are "non wealth creating jobs" (patents atorneys are "useful" but do not create the wealth they are "protecting" (and they are only really useful because of other patent atorneys)..

      And it is true that the EUcrats do not have jurisdiction to manage local laws, and this is a key issue in the building of europe (not that they would probably do a good job of it, but tax differences and free markets are creating a situation where small countries can attract companies with very law taxes while leaving the other countries with having to provide the infrastructure to host the real workers.

      Now of course Ireland is finding out that their "gift" of money taken from other european countries to US companies is not bringing enough money to pay their infrastructure....

  52. Bad Moderation by PReDiToR · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    Disagreeing with something doesn't make it a troll.

    --

    Do not meddle in the affairs of geeks for they are subtle and quick to anger
    1. Re:Bad Moderation by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      Wait until I reiterate my position on SS and other various gov't programs.

      For example why SS is insolvent (funded by US bonds, which means there is no money there, only debt)

      Then you'll see the real outrage. As is, I only get -1 Troll on my comments if you see through this topic. If I end up posting the actual commentary on each gov't program separately, such as welfare, SS (which is also welfare), food stamps, minimum wage, subsidies to all businesses, regulations on any business, pretty much any economy related law, interest rate setting, printing etc., then you'll see dozens of replies each accusing me of some sort of travesty in addition to the simple '-1 Troll' moderation.

    2. Re:Bad Moderation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Disagreeing with something doesn't make it a troll.

      That's not what makes this a troll. The nonsensical unsupported assertions is what makes this a troll. You see, that's what trolls do. They say something that gets a reaction out of people, but they don't bother providing an supporting evidence for their statements. That post deserved to be marked troll. If the author did not intend to troll he could try posting again with data to back up his crazy ideas.

  53. "not taking" != "giving" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is not to say that I agree completely with the proposed changes - but when fiscal policy is discussed, the absence of tax increases are always treated (fiscally) as equal to a government benefit. It's not. Not confiscating lawfully-gained earnings is not the same thing as handing them out to someone else.

  54. Re:Moral Hazard by squiggleslash · · Score: 1

    It's hardly direct if it deliberately misquotes the parent (such as the digging ditches comments.) It's a lot of uncited handwaving, and as the GPP implies, it's a lot of Fox News talking points that deliberately misrepresents what Krugman actually writes.

    --
    You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
  55. Re:Tell that to the Irish who will have to emigrat by Hatta · · Score: 1

    The USA only frowns upon brown economic migrants. The Irish are white and speak English, they'll be more welcome today than they were 100 years ago.

    --
    Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
  56. Individual Insured bank deposits a big part by Punctuated_Equilibri · · Score: 2, Informative
    A big part of the private debts were individual's insured bank deposits. Foreigners (like the British) deposited money in Irish banks and considered it safe because those deposits were insured by the Irish state.

    In retrospect it is obvious that the state should not be insuring bank deposits when the amounts become so large relative to GDP, and maybe the Irish state should not have honored that pledge, but it's not stupid or corrupt of them to do so.

    Also you can't blame this on free markets, insured deposits are extremely mainstream but have nothing to do with free markets. The problem with the regulators was that they were asleep or caught up in the exhilaration of the housing bubble.

    --
    In group behavior: 'because they're evil/morons/sheep/crazy' is not 'insightful' it's 'oversimplified'
    1. Re:Individual Insured bank deposits a big part by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      In retrospect it is obvious that the state should not be insuring bank deposits when the amounts become so large relative to GDP, and maybe the Irish state should not have honored that pledge, but it's not stupid or corrupt of them to do so.

      No, that's not why Ireland shouldn't be insuring bank deposits.

      This entire thing is nonsense. The problem is banks that feel free to be irresponsible with money.

      No one should have 'insure' non-interest earning bank deposits, because that money should still be there. The entire idea that storing money in banks is 'risky' is complete fucking nonsense.

      Interest earning deposits should be some entirely different thing, with the risk actually related to the interest. (And there's a certain low level of interest where the bank is just buying government securities, and that shouldn't be very risky either.)

      Everyone's fucking banks are utterly broken. Investments should be at risk, not deposits. If the banks can't keep them apart, then they don't get to do both.

      Yes, yes, someone's about to point out how such behavior would 'constrict the money supply'. There's absolutely no reason it has to. The banks could ship money on deposit back to the Fed, who could give it out again. The money doesn't have to be actually 'in' the bank.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
  57. Re:Moral Hazard by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Secondly, you may want to look at the banks in countries that do not have an FDIC equivalent - New Zealand and Germany as simple examples [...] Both of those countries bank systems dealt with the crisis much better because they had very little gambling with deposits, if they had it at all.

    A single example does not a coherent argument make. You may very well be correct, but your argument would be just as convincing to me if you had named Uganda, Colombia or Antarctica as your shining beacons of sane gov't policy.

    What, does digging ditches make you happy? Why just not give out free money WITHOUT forcing people to do useless labor, that even ends up being a net negative on the economy even from simple view of traffic jam creation

    traffic jams don't apply to the 1930s. The problem with giving out free money without useless labor is a social problem, not an economic: how do you determine the distribution? Indiscriminately? Instantaneous inflation. Only male population? Feminists are outraged. Only married couples? Cue the sudden rise in short-lived marriages. Only people of certain age?

    By making people spend their time on it, you a) improve national mood (it's still work, very important especially for people who have just lost their job) b) increase the number of active participants in your economy (bottom-up spending stimulus for people with too much time on their hands) c) still retain the American spirit that you don't get nothing for nothing (you really think congress would have approved a socialist-style welfare package?)

    The way USA got out of the Great Depression (G.D. from now on) is by STOPPING the government spending![...] Gov't stopped spending on the war effort, and the capital that was diverted to that was then reapplied to the private sector [...] to produce the goods that the entire world needed

    So, you're saying that your gov't did the right thing when they invested heavily in domestic, menial labour? How is that "stopping spending"?

    US was in a unique position of having the infrastructure intact after the WWII, unlike most other countries and there was a huge demand by all those countries for all the consumer goods US could produce with its intact infrastructure and cheap post-war labor, all while having the USD being reserve currency, which allowed US to print and spend so much money by exporting the inflation to all other nations.

    I don't get it. How is the government stopping spending linked to the increased export capital you describe, other than that they were both caused by the ending of WWII?

    Also, you are implying that it took the US over 15 years to recover from the GD, and that the primary reason for the recovery is external to your country/government (i.e. exports). How then, can you argue that it was your government that got you out of the GD?

    I get a kick out of the fact that Krugman still didn't give the Nobel Prize back even though he doesn't even understand what inflation is.

    I don't really do kicks. However, I would not think of using an IT-oriented online community to learn about economics.

  58. Re:Tell that to the Irish who will have to emigrat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Tell that to the people who will have to emigrate from Ireland in search of work. Now they'd probably not be allowed entry because the USA frowns upon economic migrants.

    Then how do you explain the flood into the USofA of hordes of parasitic Indians. If Indians are not economic migrants the defintion must have been changed. Between the investment banks, corrupt CEOs and politicans, and India/China there is no hope for the middle class in any of the First World countries. Only a global war will resolve the situation.

  59. Re:Tell that to the Irish who will have to emigrat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Would these be the same Mexicans in the US of whom the majority can be found in the 1/3 or so of their country that the US robbed them of at gunpoint?

    You mean, robbed at gunpoint from... the Spanish?

  60. Re:Tell that to the Irish who will have to emigrat by Lunix+Nutcase · · Score: 1

    Did you miss the part of history class where they teach about the huge amounts of anti-Irish sentiment during their last mass migration to the US?

  61. Re:Moral Hazard by roman_mir · · Score: 1

    see, you should be moderated troll on the simple basis that I have actually never watched a fox program. This is probably because I never really lived in US for too long and am not a republican.

  62. Re:Moral Hazard by roman_mir · · Score: 0, Troll

    You may very well be correct, but your argument would be just as convincing to me if

    and who are you, anonymous coward, and why should I care to reply to somebody who says "ME, I", while not even having a user account?

  63. It depends. by boorack · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The capital deployed into a productive venture is a good thing. Speculative hot money pushed around various parts of the world does not accomplish anything except causing mayhem everywhere and enriching hot money pushers. And this is THE problem we suffer today. Too much hot money bumping around and too little capital willing to go into productive businesses (maybe except China).

    Back to Ireland. They are now forced to do draconian austerity measures on everyone except the banksters and to accept "bailout" loan that will propably have ~7% interest attached to it (and it doesn't matter that they don't need any money until mid-2011 - "bailout" has been pushed down their throat anyway).

    Over the course of this financial meltdown that has started in 2008 I see the same people that caused massive suffering of so many now 3-rd world countries (G. Soros, etc.) and it scares a hell of me. It seems that they are doing to as the same they did to so many other countries over the decades - just in a more outrageous way. In the past it was bankers pushing a country into massive debt by corrupting politicians into doing some, say, infrastructure projects that are far too expensive for such country (see most of South America, Indonesia etc.). Now I see some strange kind of "suicide bankers" bullying politicians using "whole economy will collapse if you won't bail us out" bullshit. So we end up giving outrageous sums of taxpayer money to those banks and then paying interest on it to the same bankers who got that money !! And then IMF comes in and forces crushing austerity measures on everyone except the bankers. This is the same kind of financial warfare they used in so many countries - just more sophiscated and effective.

    In short: Bankers are doing the same thing to us they did to 3-rd world countries in prior decades. Expect life conditions worsening soon as we'll get "demodernized" by those corporate scumbags.

  64. Which culture would that be? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Are you kidding? Please come displace the mexicans who don't speak our language and won't integrate into our culture.

    Would that be the so called "Native American" culture or the hodgepodge of cultureS brought in by immigrants from all around the world who then created the immigrant country known as United States of America?
    Or are you talking about "Anglo-Saxon" culture, which would mean that the USA is still nothing more than a British colony? At least regarding its "culture".

  65. Re:Tell that to the Irish who will have to emigrat by denzacar · · Score: 1

    Tell that to the Irish who will have to emigrate.
    You are aware of the fact that a lot of European IT people moved (mostly temporary) to Ireland to work there as they had trouble to fill in all the positions ? Who do you think will first be shafted ?

    The poor. Same as always.

    Wealth has no nation or political affiliation. Nor does it smell.
    Just like Nazi gold didn't smell for the Swiss or the Vatican.*

     
     
     
    *Just in case this topic wasn't Godwined by now.

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
  66. Taxing the big companies won't fix their problem by Shivetya · · Score: 1

    their tax income is some of highest in Europe, the problem is their spending out stripped their taxes. Raising taxes on the businesses will most likely hurt them long term.

    Typical of many governments, they started spending more and more instead of evaluating services and such for need. The EU wants Ireland to raise business taxes to put them at a disadvantage. Nothing other than pure greed amongst the rest of the EU.

    Ireland like California rolled in the big bucks and instead of constraining government spending they opened the checkbook for every thing under the sun, well you can't spend yourself out of a depression and you cannot tax out of it either.

    Cut the government.

    --
    * Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
  67. Eric Cantona by Anonyme+Connard · · Score: 1

    The ex-footballer / actor / painter / philosopher has got the solution: http://www.bankrun2010.com/

  68. Only 20 Billion? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Only 20 billion over 4 years? The TSA costs more than that.

  69. Re:Tell that to the Irish who will have to emigrat by Hatta · · Score: 1

    That's why I said they'd be more welcome today than 100 years ago.

    --
    Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
  70. Re:Tell that to the Irish who will have to emigrat by sourcerror · · Score: 1

    What about UK and polish migrants (ok, they're not native English speakers, but still not brown)?

    "Simon Darby, spokesperson for the British National Party, said that the plane was a symbol of the Battle of Britain and represented the economic struggle the country is facing at the moment.

    He said: "It's not like the BNP are against Polish people as a nation. We are against Polish people coming over here and undercutting British workers. "

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/politics/4935429/BNP-uses-Polish-Spitfire-in-anti-immigration-poster.html

  71. Re:Moral Hazard by drainbramage · · Score: 1

    You spoke truth, that hurts the feelings of the group thinkers.
    That group that intends to repeat histories failures is very self sensitive and reacts, well, poorly.
    Let me beat them to it: Citation Needed!

    --
    No brain, no pain.
  72. If you want to see what happens if you stand up to by dbIII · · Score: 1

    If you want to see what happens if you stand up to large multinational corporations and ask them to pay more tax then look at Australia and what happened this year. A very popular Prime Minister was removed then a few months later his party came very close to losing power to an opposition that couldn't even put a decent election campaign together.
    A lot of it was fear of lost jobs but it must owe something to the PR money that was splashed around.

  73. Welcome by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Welcome to the United Snakes of America.

  74. Re:Moral Hazard by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 2, Interesting

    You say the government created the Great Depression as some kind of argument that "paying people to dig ditches" didn't get us out of it. The government did create the Great Depression by letting people borrow unlimited amounts to spend on credit-inflated stock and the rest of an inflated economy (including hugely inflated liquor during the concurrent Prohibition). But that is totally irrelevant to the fact that "the" government got us out of the Great Depression. You tacitly concede that the government got us out of it, but you talk as if you've somehow proved something. BTW, there were two extremely different governments, not just "the" government: Republicans controlled the House, Senate and White House the entire 1920s that created the Great Depression, and Democrats controlled that elected trifecta during the entire 1930s-1940s that got us out of it.

    You're also wrong about "cheap labor in the form of the soldier". The returning soldiers did not work cheap. They were largely unionized and were well paid, which is a big part of what they fought to protect from Fascists (and from Communists, too, as well as slavers before that and lords before that). It's the organization and consequent power of American workers that could demand high pay, despite the organization and consequent power of capital owners that would (and does) insist on paying low despite any other fact, that made America's postwar economy "the envy of the world".

    Indeed, the main postwar benefit to America's economy was its large working industrial capacity paired to the rest of the world's destroyed production capital (and consequent huge demand for new production, including production of productive capital). Coupled with the Bretton Woods system of global finance that uses the dollar as the global trade reserve currency, requiring foreign stockpiles of dollars they buy from us. But without Americans getting paid a good share of that new income, America's economy wouldn't have been the envy of anyone in the world - except the various tyrannies that we either created in former colonies of our WWII allies or opposed in the clutches of our new Communist enemies. Without locking the Soviet Union into a box, the Soviet industrial capacity (and its - literally - rocketlike growth) would have resupplied Europe instead of the US doing so. Which points at the last major feature of managing the global economy that we did right but which is now lacking: we used global politics to direct global economics to prefer American exports instead of our "Communist" rival's. The US didn't export nearly as much inflation (the world's homegrown inflation from destroyed and wasted assets dwarfed what the US spilled abroad) as it did assets, which is the opposite of inflation.

    Plus Krugman certainly understands inflation better than you do. Reading what you've written here, against what he's written elsewhere, I can see that he understands it better than you do.

    --

    --
    make install -not war

  75. Someone will have to fail by amightywind · · Score: 1

    The PIGS teeter on the edge of bankruptcy as do several US states. Someone is going to have to fail. The EU has never spent stupider money by bailing out these countries using general funds. It is better to screw bond holders who buy the risk than taxpayers. It will be kinda fun watching California or New York become the new Mississippi.

    --
    an ill wind that blows no good
  76. RMS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The final comment which I want to write which Richard Stallman said was that he was appalled at states going around trying to under cut each other by offering tax breaks to large corporations to induce them to leave one state and settle in another. A comment from an "establishment" guy in the audience was, "What's wrong with that? Its a free market." Richard exclaims, "A free market in tax breaks? Oh GOD!" He then says that states should form a union, go to the federal government and get it to pass some laws forbidding this activity. He concludes this chain of thought by saying, "The name of this union is called, the United States of America." That to me, Stallman is true patriot.
    from http://linuxgazette.net/issue37/adler.html

  77. Re:Moral Hazard by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    government did create the Great Depression by letting people borrow unlimited amounts to spend on credit-inflated stock

    - you are just a bit off there, just like all other bubbles since the Fed, that one was also created by the loose money policy. It's not that the gov't let people to borrow, it's that the gov't was running a pyramid scheme with the money supply ever since the Fed was created and this pushed people out of money and into various assets. The G.D. started from the bursting of an equity bubble, which gov't inflated by printing money.

    You tacitly concede that the government got us out of it

    - that's the reverse of the truth, you know, a lie.

    I never conceded such a ridiculous thing because it's not true. I said the exact opposite, that the gov't had to stop spending in order for the market to recover. Just like they stopped spending in 1920 and that recession went away in about 1 year and US had the 'roaring twenties', if gov't stopped spending in 1929, the recession would have been over in probably also about a year. Instead gov't started printing more, started all the projects, which mis-allocated the resources, which finally were freed up after the WWII.

    as if you've somehow proved something

    - I have no idea what this is supposed to mean, what are you trying to prove or imply here?

    Also I don't care about the party lines, all this partisan BS will not do anything, as a libertarian all of you, republicans and democrats are pretty much witches to me.

    The returning soldiers did not work cheap. They were largely unionized and were well paid, which is a big part of what they fought to protect from Fascists

    - they were cheap enough to be hired in the post-war environment.

    It's the organization and consequent power of American workers that could demand high pay

    - no, it was the lack of competition from the other nations, whose capital was destroyed and thus who couldn't provide the same cheap goods as quickly as the US could. It was a market of growth based on lack of viable competition.

    Without locking the Soviet Union into a box, the Soviet industrial capacity (and its - literally - rocketlike growth) would have resupplied Europe instead of the US doing so

    - you have not a single clue about the USSR and I was born there, my grandparents worked there, my uncles and ants worked there, my parents worked there, there was nothing that USSR could do to supply anybody, less themselves with any consumer goods at all. USSR was selling all sorts of resources and only weapons to the world to buy food, because USSR could not provide even that to their own people. There was a reason why we had the 'black markets' in the USSR, that's because there was almost nothing produced there that could be used by non-military personnel. The country was printing trillions of rubles but couldn't produce even toilet paper in quantities needed, because it didn't have either private enterprise nor market based feed back loop to 'know' what was needed. Nor was it the policy of the country, the policy was all military. Shows what you know about that system to tell me fairy tails here, go find somebody else for this nonsense.

    As to USA not exporting inflation? You are as blind as I can see from your post. All of the countries of the world inflating their currencies to correspond to the printing of the dollar just to subsidize the US customer with their goods, that is inflation. Getting off the gold standard to print fiat to cover war costs without raising taxes honestly - that's inflation. All the US wars, it's all done for one reason - to maintain high levels of inflation of US dollar being dumped upon the world just to keep the US consumer with relatively stable prices within the country itself, so that the system could seem to be stable and so that the politicians could be reelec

  78. Re:Moral Hazard by roman_mir · · Score: 1

    I don't know why my comment was posted anonymously, must have checked the box by mistake somehow.

    ----

    government did create the Great Depression by letting people borrow unlimited amounts to spend on credit-inflated stock

    - you are just a bit off there, just like all other bubbles since the Fed, that one was also created by the loose money policy. It's not that the gov't let people to borrow, it's that the gov't was running a pyramid scheme with the money supply ever since the Fed was created and this pushed people out of money and into various assets. The G.D. started from the bursting of an equity bubble, which gov't inflated by printing money.

    You tacitly concede that the government got us out of it

    - that's the reverse of the truth, you know, a lie.

    I never conceded such a ridiculous thing because it's not true. I said the exact opposite, that the gov't had to stop spending in order for the market to recover. Just like they stopped spending in 1920 and that recession went away in about 1 year and US had the 'roaring twenties', if gov't stopped spending in 1929, the recession would have been over in probably also about a year. Instead gov't started printing more, started all the projects, which mis-allocated the resources, which finally were freed up after the WWII.

    as if you've somehow proved something

    - I have no idea what this is supposed to mean, what are you trying to prove or imply here?

    Also I don't care about the party lines, all this partisan BS will not do anything, as a libertarian all of you, republicans and democrats are pretty much witches to me.

    The returning soldiers did not work cheap. They were largely unionized and were well paid, which is a big part of what they fought to protect from Fascists

    - they were cheap enough to be hired in the post-war environment.

    It's the organization and consequent power of American workers that could demand high pay

    - no, it was the lack of competition from the other nations, whose capital was destroyed and thus who couldn't provide the same cheap goods as quickly as the US could. It was a market of growth based on lack of viable competition.

    Without locking the Soviet Union into a box, the Soviet industrial capacity (and its - literally - rocketlike growth) would have resupplied Europe instead of the US doing so

    - you have not a single clue about the USSR and I was born there, my grandparents worked there, my uncles and ants worked there, my parents worked there, there was nothing that USSR could do to supply anybody, less themselves with any consumer goods at all. USSR was selling all sorts of resources and only weapons to the world to buy food, because USSR could not provide even that to their own people. There was a reason why we had the 'black markets' in the USSR, that's because there was almost nothing produced there that could be used by non-military personnel. The country was printing trillions of rubles but couldn't produce even toilet paper in quantities needed, because it didn't have either private enterprise nor market based feed back loop to 'know' what was needed. Nor was it the policy of the country, the policy was all military. Shows what you know about that system to tell me fairy tails here, go find somebody else for this nonsense.

    As to USA not exporting inflation? You are as blind as I can see from your post. All of the countries of the world inflating their currencies to correspond to the printing of the dollar just to subsidize the US customer with their goods, that is inflation. Getting off the gold standard to print fiat to cover war costs without raising taxes honestly - that's inflation. All the US wars, it's all done for one reason - to maintain high levels of inflation of US dollar being dumped upon the world just to keep the US consumer with relatively stable prices within th

  79. Re:Moral Hazard by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You seem to be a supporter of the idea of menial labor being apportioned out as a requirement for receiving government relief. But the posts you're replying to seem to be saying that the labor is pointless, unproductive work, and you seem to be under the impression that it's actual useful work. Personally I think that actual, useful work is probably a good thing. If you improve the countries infrastructure without simultaneously creating a resource drain (consider that paying a hundred people for a hundred hours of work that doesn't need to be done, even if it is useful, is a net loss to the economy if, as a result travelers lose ten times that many man hours sitting in traffic and the work that was done doesn't gain that time back later on), then by all means, creating those jobs is useful. If nothing useful is produced, however (the "hiring people to dig and fill ditches" approach), then not only are the "jobs" demoralizing, they're just plain wasteful and it really is better just to give people the money. Whatever harm you do by giving people money without them doing "good, honest work" in return is less than the harm done to people when they realize that the work they're doing is neither good, nor honest (which they will realize). Plus, if you're paying people for construction work, in this day and age you have to figure that you're paying at least double their salaries for insurance, equipment, tools, materials, and so forth. Therefore, if the work isn't a net positive, then you're really better off just giving people the money.
    Since TFA in this case is about Ireland, the subject of people being paid to dig and fill ditches and other meaningless hard labor is especially relevant and a bit chilling in a historical context. During the Irish Great Famine (usually referred to as the potato famine), the man in charge of government relief was Sir Charles Trevelyan who hated the Irish and thought of them as lazy, stupid, and selfish. He was a strong believer in "good, honest labor" and didn't think that it was good for people to get something for nothing. Therefore, in order to get relief, those receiving it had to work and the work they did wasn't required to be useful, it just had to be hard. To borrow from the Great Famine article above:

    The Public Works were "strictly ordered" to be unproductive—that is, they would create no fund to repay their own expenses. Many hundreds of thousands of "feeble and starving men" according to John Mitchel, were kept digging holes, and breaking up roads, which was doing no service.

    Bear in mind that the Great Famine killed a million plus people in Ireland and drove a million more out of the country, whereas the same potato crop failure issues were happening all across Europe and the same kinds of horrors didn't occur over the rest of Europe. The Great Famine was, in fact, largely down to bad public policy. The lesson from history should be to avoid bad public policy, but there are just too many people who are averse to the concept of giving people "something for nothing" even when they're dying in the streets.

  80. "Everyone should pay"... plan isn't doing so by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The thing I don't get is how the government can claim that everyone must do their part, while not touching the business tax rate at all. I mean, sheesh, put it up a symbolic 1% and call the company's' bluff. At least it would look like everyone was carrying some of the load. But this? It's shameful.

  81. Google Leprechaun says... by Chas · · Score: 1

    ARR! Yer not gettin' me gold!

    --


    Chas - The one, the only.
    THANK GOD!!!
    1. Re:Google Leprechaun says... by NewbieProgrammerMan · · Score: 1

      Pirate leprechauns?

      --
      [b.belong('us') for b in bases if b.owner() == 'you']
    2. Re:Google Leprechaun says... by Chas · · Score: 1

      How do ye think we got our gold in the first place boyo?

      The plain, old fashioned, honest way of doin' it!

      STEALIN'!

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
  82. Re:Moral Hazard by InfiniteWisdom · · Score: 1

    And yet you've failed to provide a single valid citation. Maybe you've never watched Fox news, but you seem to be cut from the same cloth.

  83. This is what happens. by qmaqdk · · Score: 1

    This is what happens when you're a small country against big companies. For all the Anti-EU talk that has been going on the past couple of weeks, this just shows why it's necessary to unify even further. Big companies will be using this strategy again and again, and who can blame them? They have nothing to lose from threatening to leave. They could just stay anyway if it didn't go their way.

    Imagine if corporate tax was coordinated on an EU scale. Then Microsoft, Intel, Google and all the others could either pay up, or not sell in the EU. I think I know what their choice would be.

    --
    My UID is prime. Hah!
    1. Re:This is what happens. by iserlohn · · Score: 1

      Um..... I'm not anti-EU or anything.. but is is the common market and the free movement of goods, workers and capital prescribed by the Treaty of Rome (and subsequent EU treaties) that allows multi-nationals to pit nation against nation in their quest of ever-decreasing corporation tax rates.

  84. US federal government default by qbzzt · · Score: 1

    In the 1930s, when FDR redefined what a dollar means. It used to be about 1/20th oz. gold. After FDR's redefinition, it became 1/35th oz. gold, and only for foreign governments. Then, Nixon closed the gold window and made the dollar completely free-floating. It might not have been legally a default, but that's like Clinton saying that certain orgasm inducing acts weren't "having sex".

    --
    -- Support a free market in the field of government
  85. Throw away all the econometric models by istartedi · · Score: 1

    Dude, tell the prof and all the other TAs we're throwing away the econometric models we've been working on. We're going with Transport Tycoon. Hellllo, Nobel Prize!

    --
    For all intensive purposes, "whom" is no longer a word. That begs the question, "who cares"?
  86. buddy, you don't know what you are talking about by notionalTenacity · · Score: 4, Insightful

    You clearly know nothing about the situation, or our country, and just have a free-market axe to grind. Well buddy, I'm a believer in free enterprise, and I'm Irish, so let me give you a summary of what's going on. The billionaires referred to are the large investment institutions and the high net worth individuals that took bonds in the Irish banks. The argument is that they were paid interest for the bonds, in return for risk (thats how investment usually works, the reward is in return for the risk). The banks became insolvent (partly due to the global banking crisis, partly due to irresponsible behaviour, partly due to the low EU rate of interest (which suited the larger economies) providing cheap credit). The comment in the summary is referring to the fact that the bonds of the investors, who took the risk, are being guaranteed by the Irish state. Supposedly to avert a banking crisis, due to the systemic importance of the banks. Only we seem to have gotten a banking crisis anyway; which has made the billions poured into the banks seem like a bad use of money... As such, the losses of the bondholders (the 'billionaires' of the summary) are being socialised. This is what pisses people off. Irish people are very pro enterprise, pro business, and pro building shit. That's why so many companies invest here. We have a low rate of corporation tax, true, which is a big part of things; but we've also got a creative culture, and its a good business environment here. People like to have the craic; but they also like to work hard, and have a healthy disrespect for authority that helps them innovate. Now, sure, there is social welfare for the poor, and free health care, which maybe you are referring to. And its probably a little on the high side, these days. But Ireland doesn't have a culture of entitlement. The history of the people of Ireland is not one of entitlement, and its not in our psyche. Sure, some of the kids in the boom recently may be a little entitled - but thats because of the free money they had, not because of the welfare state. If anything, there isn't enough entitlement in Ireland. We didn't really know what to do with the money because it was the first time we ever had it; people couldn't believe how good it was, couldn't believe it could last, and that economic prosperity could come to us... ...and so didn't ask enough questions about whether it was being managed right, whether the politicians were properly serving us etc. And as regards the parts of a welfare state we have being so bad... Well, I remember spending a summer in Boston. Lived in cambridge, beside Harvard, MIT. I'll never forget walking past a really awful looking woman, sitting on harvard square. She was clearly pregnant and had a sign saying 'please help, pregnant with AIDS'. And she looked it. I've worked in the valley too - great tech culture, great enterprise culture. But walking around palo alto, past the homeless crazy guys on the street, asking for money, with nowhere to go... Well, no, Irelands not perfect; but there's aspects of a welfare state I'll take over the 'fsck the poor' attitude any day. Don't believe the false dichotomy - you can have a great culture of enterprise, without stepping over broken people on the way to work. If we can figure some way out of the bank bailout here, maybe we'll get there yet.

  87. Re:Tell that to the Irish who will have to emigrat by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

    They're more welcome now because they're not viewed as the fast-breeding Catholic bums that they were 100 years ago. It's the perception of Irishmen that's changed, not the general anti-immigrant sentiment. The fear of Irishmen, Eastern Europeans and Italians has been transferred to other groups; in particular Mexicans, who seem to fill the same bill; fast-breeding Catholic bums.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  88. Re:Moral Hazard by roman_mir · · Score: 1

    First, citation of what?

    Secondly, what is your actual question, 'infinite wisdom'?

    Third, I have typed enough words on this story already.

  89. LinkedIn and Facebook are large businesses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    LinkedIn has around 1000 and Facebook around 2000 employees worldwide. Significantly less than the other companies mentioned. (Source: LinkedIn, of course) Someone was shooting for pageviews with these articles...

  90. Re:Moral Hazard by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

    You love to just say stuff as if that makes it true. Like how your family living in the USSR, which had even worse propaganda and no alternative for facts than does the US today, somehow means you know how it really worked. You responded to the statement that the 1930s US government got us out of the recession with the statement that the government got us into it, which does not refute the original statement but rather supports it by demonstrating the government's power without saying anything to contradict it. That is known as "tacit acknowledgement", even if you try to assert otherwise - again, without saying anything actually contradicting the original statement, but rather simply insisting that you're not acknowledging it. Just saying stuff doesn't mean it has any value. You say that US labor organization didn't have anything to do with US economic strength, but if all that was operating was a lack of competition then low-paid US workers wouldn't have benefited from it, by definition. You don't bother to acknowledge that basic fact, or refute it - all you've got is some tautology that "they were cheap enough to be hired", even though they were making more than any workers elsewhere, or in the US before. Of course they were cheap enough to be hired - that doesn't mean they were cheap. I'm cheap enough to be hired by my employers, but I'm not cheap. You just want to say stuff that doesn't even connect to anything. The Soviet Union wasted its productive capacity on its military and on controlling its population in no small part because it was prevented from having markets for anything, by the Cold War. If Europe had bought products from Soviet factories, those factories would have produced them.

    You're a "libertarian", which is really just a corporate anarchist, like its best-known fictionalizer Ayn Rand (another Soviet emigre who liked to just say stuff about economics). "Libertarian" management of the economy was the deregulation of the stock market that let people buy stocks speculatively on credit, which was what funded the equity bubble that crashed. That credit didn't come from the government, it came from private banks, which got money from the unregulated government. Very libertarian, very Great Depression. You said that "the government" created the Great Depression (again, while tacitly acknowledging that "the government" fixed it), but there were two very different governments. Libertarians love to say that all governments are the same, but they're not.

    And Krugman understands inflation, as people better qualified to judge than either you or I agree. But since you cannot respond to anything I said legitimately, and indeed ignore what I said as well as conventional logic, I really don't care. This will go nowhere, like arguing with a character in a novel about economics. Goodbye.

    --

    --
    make install -not war

  91. Re:Moral Hazard by roman_mir · · Score: 1

    US government got us out of the recession with the statement that the government got us into it, which does not refute the original statement but rather supports it by demonstrating the government's power without saying anything to contradict it.

    - what is wrong with your reading comprehension, or is it so difficult to read something written by a person who speaks English as second language?

    US gov't NEVER GOT US OUT OF THE GREAT DEPRESSION - this is what I am saying.

    please stop repeating something I never said.

    but if all that was operating was a lack of competition then low-paid US workers wouldn't have benefited from it, by definition.

    - NO. The US didn't have EXTERNAL competition, but the demand for US based workers was high, that's why standard of living of US based 'blue collar' workers kept creeping up, not because of unions. It was the wealth that US produced, due to the fact that there was no competition from other countries, that provided the US worker with high salaries and ability to have a family with a single income, not anything any union can ever do.

    The Soviet Union wasted its productive capacity on its military and on controlling its population in no small part because it was prevented from having markets for anything, by the Cold War. If Europe had bought products from Soviet factories, those factories would have produced them.

    - USSR didn't even have ability to produce enough FOOD for its own population, what the hell are you talking about? USSR had a centrally planned economy, the number of toilet paper rolls was probably estimated somewhere, yet it still had to be imported by the ton because there was not enough supply, yet the USA was able to both, live through the cold war AND produce enough goods for the entire world to consume. You are just blind in the face of facts.

    "Libertarian" management of the economy was the deregulation of the stock market that let people buy stocks speculatively on credit

    - NO. It's perfectly fine to 'buy stocks speculatively on credit' as long as it's YOUR MONEY and NOT GUARANTEED BY THE GOVERNMENT.

    That's how the internet bubble ended - a bunch of private businesses lost a bunch of private money. Sure, the jobs were gone anyway, and to stop the recession, Greenspan lowered the interest rates to 1%, which was the original stimulus package. You are again, ignorant.

    1which was what funded the equity bubble that crashed

    - Equity bubble? Are you talking about the Internet bubble of the nineties or the housing bubble?

    The Internet bubble was funded privately, but nobody was paid public money to stay in business, so what's the problem? Free market in action - stupid people are soon parted with their cash.

    The housing bubble was creation of the gov't regulation (FDIC), low interest rates and insurance (Freddie/Fannie). Sure, the Glass Steagall was repealed - this was expected, as there was so much money accumulated by the gov't propped up banks, who got all that free money and wanted to gamble.

    So they took the moral hazard of FDIC and made sure that the counterbalance of the Glass Steagall is removed. Well, FDIC should have never existed in the first place and if you remove the couterbalance (Glass Steagall), you must also remove the reason for it (FDIC) or you end up with an unbalanced system, thank you government.

    That credit didn't come from the government, it came from private banks, which got money from the unregulated government.

    - do you even understand what you are writing? "Unregulated government". This is ridiculous, it's like you are from the twilight zone.

    Very libertarian, very Great Depression. You said that "the government" created the Great Depression (again, while tacitly acknowledging that "the government" fixed it), but there were two very different gov

  92. Re:Moral Hazard by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

    my comments on economics normally go through a number of cycles up and down and mostly end up in the '-1 Troll' territory.

    That's because they are direct lies. "Both of those countries (including NZ) bank systems dealt with the crisis much better because they had very little gambling with deposits, if they had it at all." NZ had a bank bailout just like everyone else. It was optional, but the government still opted to step in and spend lots of the people's money on bailing out bankers. Just because there isn't a law requiring the bailout doesn't mean that it isn't done the same in NZ. It is small enough of a country that it's done on a case-by-case basis. The implication that there wasn't a government bailout, or that there weren't FDIC-like protections in place is a complete lie.

    When you lie for effect, you get modded troll. It shouldn't be a surprise. And those that cheer your lies shouldn't get taken in by your irrelevant and incorrect statements.

  93. Re:Ireland should be uninhabited by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Yes Ireland has had many economic crises over the years, caused by foreign genocidal terrorism that has twice reduced the population by 50% in the last 4 centuries (the great Hunger of 1845-49, and the results of the scorched earth war waged by that genocidal maniac Oliver Cromwell), as well as annual smaller local famines for centuries. It has had wealth limits imposed by the foreign power at times, so that if a man was richer than a certain set limit, any further wealth could be confiscated by his landlord, or effective owner. It has had multiple forced migrations. It had externally forced bans on manufacturing industries and non food exports, so as not to compete with a certain other country. It had externally forced limits on education, even though we taught most of Europe how to read again during the dark ages.

    All done for the soundest (though inhumane) of strategic reasons. Britain conquered the world using the Irish. It impovrished a people, renowned for their warfare, and offered them jobs in the army. Irish people (and Scots and Welsh) with English commanders conquered half the world. Ever wonder why the start of the collapse of the British Empire coincided with Irish independence?

    But no, you ignore the millions of Irish deaths over the years, greater in numbers than the Jews who died under the Nazi regime, and cling to your racist hatred because a few thousand people died when civil rights violations led to the formation of the Provisional IRA and its retaliatory (and yes, murderous) campaign.

  94. Re:Moral Hazard by roman_mir · · Score: 1

    It's not a lie. N.Z. and Germany and most other countries do not have federal insurance, if you are unclear on that, it's easy to check and I don't have to 'provide citation' on this fact.

    Without gov't insurance the banks couldn't gamble with the deposits as much or at all, that's also a fact. You can, if you care, see how well the countries without FDIC equivalent did.

    As far as saying that 'lying leads to being moded as troll', that is also a lie. Troll moderation on this site has nothing to do with the merits of the comment itself, it has to do with the side the moderator takes.

  95. Re:Tell that to the Irish who will have to emigrat by theArtificial · · Score: 1

    The Irish aren't special in this regard. Immigrants are viewed with fear and suspicion by portions of the populous!? It's not a thing of the past either see the Turks of Germany, Mexicans (mainly in the US south west), or someone from the middle east. You make it sound like only the Irish have had problems. The new guy "always" gets it. Yay for humanity!

    --
    Man blir trött av att gå och göra ingenting.
  96. Re:Moral Hazard by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

    Without insurance, they gambled in NZ and the government bailed them out. With insurance, they gambled in the US and the government bailed them out.

    Any difference you assert between the systems is false.

  97. Re:Moral Hazard by roman_mir · · Score: 1

    New Zealand did not have any bailouts through this crisis that US is experiencing.

    Just bugger off.

  98. Re:Moral Hazard by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

    Regarding Mr Krugman, he is absolutely correct that hiring people to dig and fill ditches would do wonders for the economy

    - wow.

    Insane in the brain much?

    This is not an ad hominem attack: That you would leave out the rest of my statement about "digging ditches" proves that you are not discussing this in good faith.

    Plus, the historical analysis about the post-war period that you are parroting is only possible because everyone who was an adult during the New Deal is safely dead, so the free market fundies can now safely claim that government spending did not in fact lesson the suffering of the Great Depression and ultimately end it.

    You'll notice that all the books making the claim that the New Deal made things worse only started coming out in the '90s from American Enterprise Institute frauds who knew people like my mother and father were no longer around to call bullshit.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  99. Re:One more reason why businesses should not be ta by mabhatter654 · · Score: 1

    but if you take that course, then corporations can have Zero lobbyest, and zero contributions to ANY political organization. They should be treated like the hostile para-governmental agencies they really are. Corporate taxes would not be needed if they weren't allowed to retain earnings. You have companies like Apple and Microsoft piling up BILLIONS in untaxed profits. They become their own little "warlords" while their "stockholders" the real owners, get almost nothing. This is the entire problem of "capitalism" that these companies have enough money to BUY small countries, corporate tax is supposed to drain that money if they DON'T give it out to stock holders, because when they pay it to stockholders, the stockholders pay taxes on it.

  100. Re:Moral Hazard by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

    New Zealand did not have any bailouts through this crisis that US is experiencing. Just bugger off.

    Fuck you, you pompous lying prick. Not only have you been spouting lies constantly, you attack those who work to inform you. You are uneducatuable and should have your license to lie your useless shit revoked. For anyone else reading, one click should fix that. But the lying idiot above is obviously so personally committed to his insane dogma that he refuses to listen to others.

    I wish you'd stop lying to everyone, but you'll see this as some liberal attack or something, rather than someone informing you that your facts are wrong (and obviously all the lies you pile after them you call conclusions). Try reading up on world affairs before making an ass of yourself and lying like an idiot. Nah, too much to ask. It's all a liberal conspiracy to mod you down for being a troll, and not because you are a lying sack of shit and everyone recognizes it.

  101. Re:Moral Hazard by roman_mir · · Score: 1

    Fuck off, you useless scam, that's not a bank, that's a private lender. Just go away back into your rat hole where you came from.

  102. Re:Moral Hazard by Reziac · · Score: 1

    An interesting book which talks about the internal supply issues the Soviet Union had:

    Why They Behave Like Russians
    http://www.openlibrary.org/details/whytheybehavelik00fiscmiss

    As to the Great Depression, current thought by economics researchers (at least what I've read lately) is that FDR's "New Deal" Democrats and their policy of "spend your way to prosperity" actually *prolonged* the depression, and created the major roots of the issues we're suffering from today.

    --
    ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
  103. Re:Moral Hazard by countertrolling · · Score: 1

    Fuck off, you useless scam...

    Per chance did you mean "scum"?

    --
    For justice, we must go to Don Corleone
  104. Free Market Yeah! by Puff_Of_Hot_Air · · Score: 1

    Go the free market! The answer to all our problems! Just like extreme programming, if its not working you're just not doing it hard enough! Not enough extreme, that's so often the problem.

  105. Re:One more reason why businesses should not be ta by Reziac · · Score: 1

    "but if you take that course, then corporations can have Zero lobbyest, and zero contributions to ANY political organization. They should be treated like the hostile para-governmental agencies they really are. Corporate taxes would not be needed if they weren't allowed to retain earnings."

    While I totally agree with the first part of that statement (why should any entity that doesn't pay taxes have lobbying/political influence?) -- if corporations aren't allowed to retain earnings, what's their motivation for staying in business?

    --
    ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
  106. New title by noob22 · · Score: 1

    "The luck of the Irish ran out, but now it's back"

  107. Re:Moral Hazard by roman_mir · · Score: 1

    No, you don't understand. Krugman was on a radio-show about 2 months ago actually stating that even just hiring people to dig and fill in ditches is a worthwhile exercise if it 'employs' people.

    That is what I am talking about.

    As to the infrastructure - if this was the actual problem in USA, missing infrastructure, it would have been addressed by the private companies. Instead what is happening is that capital is leaving.

    Gov't is mis-allocating the remaining capital and credit, sure it can build whatever it wants, it's not going to change the fact that this is capital mis-allocation and will cause worsened situation.

    The USA didn't get out of the gov't created Great Depression because of 'new deal' or anything like it, it got out of the depression once the WWII stopped and gov't stopped spending on it and private sector was able to get the labor (soldiers) and the capital - factories/tools that were used for war and restructure this capital and use that labor to start manufacturing goods that the rest of the world needed. US had its level of economy go up because the rest of the world couldn't compete with USA, because most of the rest of the world didn't have anything left after the war and USA had its factories/roads intact.

    --

    Today, on the other hand USA is nowhere near the same position. It has no capital, it has no credit left (QE2 is the indicator of that) and the rest of the world is competing, producing everything and USA doesn't have this luxury of not having any competition.

    You believe that gov't taking the credit/savings of everybody and building INFRASTRUCTURE is going to do ANYTHING USEFUL?

    Why? There is no reason at all for any new infrastructure to result in ANY increased economic activity in USA.

    What USA NEEDS is DEFLATION and falling prices. What USA needs is to get capital (savings/credit) away from its disgusting government and USA needs to have the prices FALL so it can compete with the likes of China.

    If you think that today USA is in the same position, as it was after the WWII, think again. There was NO China, NO Japan, NO Germany producing everything the world needs.

    USA imports toilet paper today, forget about tools, it's just such an empty idea, to have gov't spending and hoping that will do anything, when in fact it took USA 16 years to wait until gov't STOPPED spending to get anywhere.

    I am done here.

  108. This by ThatsNotPudding · · Score: 1

    or I take my investment somewhere else.

    This is at the heart of the blackmail system. Either at the state level or the international level, the threat only works if there is unfettered, 'exit fee'-less access to a more corrupt/desperate 'somewhere else', causing excactly what they want: a race to the bottom where the cost of labor is roughly equivalent to that of air.

  109. Re:Tell that to the Irish who will have to emigrat by nedlohs · · Score: 1

    The US doesn't mind economic migrants. The Irish have white skin, right? Yeah, they won't be an issue at all.

  110. Re:Tell that to the Irish who will have to emigrat by cayenne8 · · Score: 1
    Hey...anyone that wants to immigrate to the US, if the know (or are willing to try very hard to learn) English, and they want to come here legally, you know...sign the guest book on the way in, and maybe even become a citizen, they are welcome.

    We don't care what color you are, but do follow the laws, and try to learn the language, and when you protest, for God's sake, quit sporting the flag of the fscking country you came from. If it is so great there..STAY or GO BACK there. If you're in the US and want to be..wave our flag, and protest all you like.

    --
    Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
  111. Re:Really? Facebook? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Facebook opened a Dublin office about a year ago with 50 employees and they have been recruiting constantly since. Google employ 1,700 people and Microsoft employ over 1,200, Accenture and IBM Ireland also contract a lot of employees to them. Throw in Sun, Oracle, Ebay and the others and US IT companies count for quite a lot in a total workforce of about 1.8 million people.

  112. Re:Tell that to the Irish who will have to emigrat by Hatta · · Score: 1

    The great thing about the US is that you can wave the flag of any country you want, and it's protected by the first amendment of the constitution. If you have a problem with that, maybe you'd feel more comfortable in a country that doesn't guarantee that right?

    --
    Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
  113. Re:Moral Hazard by V+for+Vendetta · · Score: 1

    "Both of those countries bank systems dealt with the crisis much better because they had very little gambling with deposits, if they had it at all."

    If you think the German bank system dealt with the crisis much better and didn't gamble, let me provide you some information:

    - IKB bank crashed (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IKB_Deutsche_Industriebank#2007_subprime_crisis)
    - After borrowing billions after billions to it, the Hypo Real Estate finally got nationalized by the government (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypo_Real_Estate)
    - Severval "Landesbanks" (state-run banks) suffered heavy losses from the debt crisis, too. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HSH_Nordbank http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BayernLB#Involvement_in_the_mortgage_crisis)
    - German government finally had to put up a big rescue package to ensure the banking system doesn't collapse (http://www.spiegel.de/international/business/0,1518,605044,00.html)

  114. So what to call "the other way around"? by zooblethorpe · · Score: 1

    If fascism is what we call the government taking over the corporations, what do we call the corporations taking over the government? Msicsaf ? (Technically, it's an extreme form of regulatory capture, but that phrase lacks a certain zing...)

    Cheers,

    --
    "What in the name of Fats Waller is that?"
    "A four-foot prune."