Slashdot Mirror


Jesse Jackson, Jr. Pins US Job Losses On iPad

theodp writes "Illinois Congressman Jesse Jackson Jr. went on an anti-technology rant on Friday on the floor of Congress, blaming the iPad for eliminating thousands of American jobs. 'Why do you need to go to Borders anymore?' asked Jackson. 'Why do you need to go to Barnes & Noble? Buy an iPad, download your book, download your newspaper, download your magazine.' Jackson continued: 'What becomes of publishing companies and publishing company jobs? And what becomes of bookstores and librarians and all of the jobs associated with paper? Well, in the not too distant future, such jobs simply will not exist. Steve Jobs is doing pretty well. He's created the iPad. Certainly, it has made life more efficient for Americans, but the iPad is produced in China. It is not produced here in the United States."

422 of 628 comments (clear)

  1. I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by Cryacin · · Score: 4, Informative

    But are you for real?

    Talk about a load of xenophobe/technophobe nonsense! The trouble is not the technology, but rather that the good old US of A loves importing deflation and writing bad checks. Much easier to have a dumb populace of consumers who spend money they don't have, and then import deflation to counter it and blame a random fad technology than get to the actual issue.

    --
    Science advances one funeral at a time- Max Planck
    1. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by immaterial · · Score: 3, Interesting

      He's not wrong (about the US losing jobs part). Using the magic of economies of scale and increased efficiency, big internet companies are gobbling up the chain stores in almost the exact same way the chain stores gobbled up the truly local competition. I can't say I feel bad for the chain stores, but JJJr is right in that it will present a difficult challenge to the country once tens of millions of local "middleman" (sales) jobs and businesses are consolidated down to a few thousand each in two or three 50-square-mile warehouses in the desert somewhere.

    2. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by MightyMartian · · Score: 2

      And in other news, morons can get elected.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    3. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by Joce640k · · Score: 5, Insightful

      "There has grown in the minds of certain groups in this country the idea that just because a man or corporation has made a profit out of the public for a number of years, the government and the courts are charged with guaranteeing such a profit in the future, even in the face of changing circumstances and contrary to public interest. This strange doctrine is supported by neither statute or common law. Neither corporations or individuals have the right to come into court and ask that the clock of history be stopped, or turned back." - Heinlein, Life Line, 1939

      (Actually read that story yesterday. On real paper.)

      --
      No sig today...
    4. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by DurendalMac · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This guy is a grade A moron and lunatic. Only a few months ago he gave a speech on how the US government should pay for everything for everyone, and he even said iPods or iPads! How this yahoo keeps getting elected is beyond me. He's dumber than a box of hammers and batshit crazy.

    5. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by Tailhook · · Score: 1

      xenophobe

      He pointed out where the product is made. How is that xenophobe? Fuck you and your 'xenophobe' bullshit. I will talk about the state and behavior of other nations, and you can shove your 'xenophobe' crap back up your ass.

      --
      Maw! Fire up the karma burner!
    6. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by MichaelSmith · · Score: 2

      One example: Darlie toothpaste Its a very popular brand in Malaysia. But as a counterpoint, when I was working in Korea I saw a lot of African-American men with Korean girlfriends. Race didn't seem to be much of an issue there.
       

      kim chee

      C'mon be thankful it wasn't durian.

    7. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

      (Actually read that story yesterday. On real paper.)

      I am going to have to scan my Heinlein juveniles if my son is going to be able to read them. The paperbacks are falling to bits.

    8. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      He's a moron, but yet right. The US is exporting everything except service jobs, and those are tightening. We spend so much time managing recessions and such with fiscal policy, no one noticed that a small recession in a service-only economy is a massive problem as so many lay off disposable service positions.

    9. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by Bill_the_Engineer · · Score: 2

      The trouble is not the technology, but rather that the good old US of A loves importing deflation and writing bad checks. Much easier to have a dumb populace of consumers who spend money they don't have, and then import deflation to counter it and blame a random fad technology than get to the actual issue.

      Did you expect them to place blame on free trade agreements? Or on the corporations that pushed for them and benefit from the increased profit margins from off shoring of labor? They defend their actions by telling us scary sounding things like "trade war" or inflation from purchasing goods made with local labor.

      The number one reason for the US government's problems is the reluctance to tax. More importantly the reluctance to tax people who can afford it. The republicans made no hesitations to get us involved in two wars. While they tell middle class families to make sacrifices by sending their love ones overseas to fight. There is no sacrifice being made to actually pay for the war. The upper class are not having to make any sacrifice.

      Any mention of increasing taxes to stem the rising deficit due to the war, and they call Obama a socialist and accuse him of wanting to "redistribute the wealth". Yet they show no remorse for redistributing the jobs overseas. They accuse the democrats of wanting to start a class war. The truth is the republicans had already waged "war" on the middle and lower class, the democrats are just trying to counter the assault. Or at least the democrats are pretending to look out for the "little guy", but politicians on both sides of the aisle look after each other and create a partisan drama to keep the populace distracted and entertained.

      Until we start talking about taxes and tariffs, we are just pissing in the wind.

      --
      These comments are my own and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of my employer or colleagues...
    10. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by Billly+Gates · · Score: 1

      Lets not forget about the horse breeders and ranchers too.

      Cars suck as they steal many American jobs and pollute the environment.

    11. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by luther349 · · Score: 1

      lets not forget who makes those ipads oh yea its china slave labor not a usa worker. wile you can take my point any way you like im blameing the usa allowing all this dammed outsourcing.

    12. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by qubezz · · Score: 1

      duh, here?

    13. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by syousef · · Score: 1

      But are you for real?

      Yes he is for real. If we're going to make wild intolerant statements though, I'd rather blame his father and God. I mean if not for the Sabbath day, we'd have a whole lot more productivity, competition and spending, and hence more jobs. Perhaps we should also blame literacy. If it weren't for damned literacy no one would use the Internet. Maybe his dad had it wrong all along and instead of educating African Americans we should be denying everyone education.

      This guy is a complete traitor.

      --
      These posts express my own personal views, not those of my employer
    14. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by St.Creed · · Score: 1

      No problem - you can download the eBooks to your iPad :)

      --
      Therefore, by the (faulty) logic you're using, you're just a cow with a keyboard - osu-neko (2604)
    15. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by zymano · · Score: 1

      Blame the economy under Obama.

      They closed the Overland Park kansas Borders. Sucks.

      Yeah, electronic readers suck too but they aren't the main reason.

      Book stores can't be replaced. Borders is a good place.

    16. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by xnpu · · Score: 1

      You just need higher-tech. The Chinese aren't making airplanes yet, at least not comparable to the US or France. German cars are still produced in western countries, at least to serve the local market. Hell, if I go to Subway in China, pretty much all of the baking and toasting gear they use is imported from the US. Of course this all just a matter of time. There are things for which they are not ready yet, and this is the key.

      The problem is not that jobs disappear, it's that new ones don't get created fast enough. We have slowed down innovation, often artificially (think RIAA, patents, etc.), and it's biting us in the ass. While we often (rightfully) criticize China for their copycat products, Tudou (their Youtube) was launched before Youtube. Tencent (their social network mammoth) was highly profitable before anyone had ever heard of Myspace, let alone Facebook. The Chinese still play catchup in most areas, but they are closing in and will take the lead in more and more areas if we let them.

      We should stop whining about manufacturing jobs and get our ass back in the saddle. We either innovate and take back the lead in job creation, or settle for leftover jobs they'll start sending us if we don't get our act together.

    17. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by gmrath · · Score: 1

      Take a long look at the SHAPE of his congressional district in the Chicago area. Then ask your self how JJJr and other politicians get them selves elected and re-elected in all those gerrymandered districts (thanks to the U. S. Census and Democratic Party-dominated state legislature). I live in JJJr's district and I'm here to tell you my vote doesn't count.

    18. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by flyneye · · Score: 1

      It's the same bullshit as Daddy Rev'un Jackson pulls with his race baiting for profit scam with a different tech spin. After all this is a new century and pops ol' bullshit needs an update. Anyone out there honestly surprised?
      Jesse Jackson has done more for race relations than the whole Ku Klux Klan combined!

      --
      *Repent!Quit Your Job!Slack Off!The World Ends Tomorrow and You May Die!
    19. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by Yvanhoe · · Score: 1

      You know, as conservative that these talks are, I still believe they have a point. A few years ago I once was looking at (overpriced) encyclopedias in a book store. I felt really sorry for the people who were in the encyclopedia-making business.

      I mean, they lost their job and what was their fault ? They did not imagine that wikipedia would become a reliable source of information, that encyclopedia-level articles would be served for free. Is that really such an error that you can lose your job ? Just like there are aids for people losing their job after a natural disaster, there should be help for people whose job become obsolete. Preferably through education in a new field.

      --
      The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
    20. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by MtViewGuy · · Score: 2

      Unfortunately for him, I think this also points out the problem: we need unprecedented economic reform right now. And it must come in these steps:

      1. Every government agency at the Federal, state and local level should be audited for bureaucratic overlap and agency size bloat and use the audit results to cut the size of government 30% now and eventually up to 50-60%.

      2. We should massively overhaul the US national taxation system with far less complexity, lower compliance costs, and make it more business-friendly. That means at minimum we go with the Steve Forbes flat income tax plan he proposed in a book written in 2005.

      3. Environmental regulations should adhere to a single, national standard to simplify implementation of these laws.

      4. Aggressively overhaul financial services regulation with these changes:

      a. Reimpose the 1933 Glass-Steagall Act to protect bank assets against the ups and downs of the stock market.
      b. Require real liquidity backing to trade in hedge funds, derivatives, credit default swaps and other "exotic" investments or ban them outright as too financially risky.
      c. Increase the minimum margin requirements for trading in commodities, stock and stock index futures to 15%, with 25% for certain strategic items like certain foodstuffs, crude oil, certain petroleum products, certain industrial metals and precious metals.
      d. Revise the Sarbanes-Oxley Act to make it easier to do stock Initial Public Offerings (IPO's).
      e. Start a ten-year phase out plan to replace the Federal Reserve Note "fiat currency" with a new US dollar backed by gold, silver, platinum, palladium, copper and nickel (the most common metals used in coins and bullion blocks for monetary exchange).

      Once we get these changes, business activity will pick up very quickly, to say the least.

    21. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by stewbacca · · Score: 1

      I think BORDERS closed the Overland Park Kansas Borders, not Obama. I've been to Overland Park. Doesn't seem like there's a big enough market for one Borders there, so it closed ;-)

    22. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by Qzukk · · Score: 1

      Democratic Party-dominated state legislature

      Yet if the Republicans took control, they wouldn't do a damn thing to stop gerrymandering, they'd just gerrymander in their favor. Take a look at Texas's redistricting between census periods just because the Republicans can.

      --
      If I have been able to see further than others, it is because I bought a pair of binoculars.
    23. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by 19thNervousBreakdown · · Score: 1

      Never meant to make your constituents cry, I apologize a trillion times.

      --
      <xml><I><am><so><damn>Web 2.0</damn></so></am></I></xml>
    24. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by flappinbooger · · Score: 1

      Thank you for posting this. Do you not agree that more black folks need to stand up and publicly disown their victim-minded entitlement-society brethren and kick Mr. Jackson and his ilk to the curb? Even though I stand across the racial divide and cannot truly understand things, I personally recognized years ago that he and his ilk are not doing the black folks any favors...

      --
      Flappinbooger isn't my real name
    25. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by josepha48 · · Score: 1

      I think he missed the point of his own commentary. It is not the ipad that is costing us jobs, it's the fact that all the companies stopped manufacturing things in the US and we outsource everything. Everything from call centers, to software development, to manufacturing, and probably soon food and electricity. Everything in the US is being sold to these foreign countries too. Just look at how many 'US" companies are now foreign owned compared to how it used to be.

      --

      Only 'flamers' flame!

    26. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by Totenglocke · · Score: 1

      It's also a matter of this delusion that unskilled labor should be paid as much as skilled labor. Sorry, but factory work that takes a couple hours of training is NOT worth the same as a job that requires years of education. A factory job is in essence no different than a fast food job and is NOT worth more than say $30,000 a year tops. That's the real reason for the massive outsourcing in recent years - because people think that an unskilled job should be paying as much as an engineering job that requires a BS in Mechanical Engineering. When Americans accept that menial labor in a factory is going to be a below average paying job, then manufacturing will start to come back to the US.

      --
      "The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." ~Thomas Jefferson
    27. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by ancienthart · · Score: 1

      In your own words, encyclopedias were overpriced. If they hadn't tried to screw people over so much, would there have been such a strong drive to create Wikipedia? I find this significant, because you can see the same thing starting to happen with textbooks and big label music.
      If they hadn't been so greedy in the past, they would have held out longer before making themselves redundant in the present.

    28. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by Totenglocke · · Score: 1

      No, it's not about taxes. Why? Because the government's insatiable desire to spend and control exceeds the amount of money available to tax. Here's an article by an Economist explaining why taxing the rich to death won't fix the budget issues http://econfaculty.gmu.edu/wew/articles/11/EatTheRich

      Not just taxing away all of the income of anyone even vaguely considered "rich" but also confiscating all of their current wealth wouldn't come close to paying off the national debt. The only reason why we even come close to having the standard of living we have is that "evil" trade you despise. Go ask people who are old (and no, I don't mean in their 40's - I mean old). They'll tell you how the average person didn't come close to having the number of clothes we have today, how cars as a proportion of your income were much higher, how every damn thing available to guy was much more expensive (relative to income) and how there were far fewer choices to buy from.

      So please, go ahead - jack taxes and tariffs and see how fast the quality of life for Americans drops. Even you would flee the country if you actually created the America you desire because you'd realize it's a horrible place to live.

      --
      "The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." ~Thomas Jefferson
    29. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by Millennium · · Score: 1

      Anyway, there's no question that bad government can run a country into the ground because of poor management and corruption. Why couldn't a good government make a positive economic difference?

      Because of the inherent conflict of interest: in an ideal economy, people's dependency on the government is greatly reduced, and therefore, so too is its power. The "positive economic difference" cannot be maintained without that power, and so things collapse.

    30. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by zymano · · Score: 1

      Wrong. Asked the lady who worked there and they said landlords caused that store to close.

    31. Re:I'm sorry Mr. Jackson by Bill_the_Engineer · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the republican talking points (aka bullshit). BTW I was referring to the need to pay for the expensive war. Go ahead spend money on a war that isn't defending our borders while not making up for the expense with additional taxes. Let's see how long the US will continue to have a good credit rating on the international market... O wait too late.

      Couldn't do any better than the minority view from GMU?

      --
      These comments are my own and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of my employer or colleagues...
  2. He's right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    You know what else, those horse and buggy salesmen suffered the same fate when the automobile came out. Be warned!!!

    1. Re:He's right by McGiraf · · Score: 1

      cars were made in the states , not china. he has a point there, stupid none the less.

    2. Re:He's right by lazybeam · · Score: 1

      Most new books I can see around here are printed in China (or other Asian countries). I have a toddler and his aunties and uncles and grandparents always buy him books, which he loves. Though he loves the iPad too!

      --
      --
      no sig for you. come back one year.
  3. Why go to Barnes & Noble by Zaphod+The+42nd · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Where are you going to buy the e-books for your iPad? They don't come from thin air, and the iPad doesn't write articles itself. Just because we've moved from brick-and-mortar distribution to digital distribution doesn't mean ANY jobs were lost, they were just MOVED.

    Seriously, this made me sick to read. Rep. Jackson needs to keep his mouth shut on subjects he knows nothing about.

    --
    GCS/MU/P d- s:- a-- C++++$ UL++ P+ L++ E+ W++ N o K- w--- O M+ V- PS+++ PE Y+ PGP t+ 5- X R++ tv+ b++ DI++ D++ G+ e++ h-
    1. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by Zaphod+The+42nd · · Score: 1

      Video killed the radio star.
      Does that mean television ruined the economy?

      --
      GCS/MU/P d- s:- a-- C++++$ UL++ P+ L++ E+ W++ N o K- w--- O M+ V- PS+++ PE Y+ PGP t+ 5- X R++ tv+ b++ DI++ D++ G+ e++ h-
    2. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by gmhowell · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      Rep. Jackson needs to keep his mouth shut on subjects he knows nothing about.

      Opining on things he knows nothing about worked wonders for his father. And it has gotten junior into the US House. Seems to work for them.

      --
      Jesus was all right but his disciples were thick and ordinary. -John Lennon
    3. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Where are you going to buy the e-books for your iPad? They don't come from thin air, and the iPad doesn't write articles itself.

      Duh. They had to save something for the iPad 3.

    4. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by artor3 · · Score: 1

      Sorry, but you're the one who knows nothing about the subject. Jobs weren't lost, just moved? Yeah, to China maybe. What are you gonna tell all the people who worked at Borders? That they should relocate to Taiwan and work on the iPad assembly line? You're saying something about "Where are you going to buy e-books... we've moved from brick-and-mortar distribution to digital". Do you really think that Amazon's ebook store requires even 10% of the staff that Border's employed? If so, then you truly know nothing about the subject.

      Look, I'm big on technology. I fully understand and appreciate the benefits it has for society. But pretending there are no costs is stupid, and insulting to those people who are suffering the costs.

    5. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Is working in a bookstore a special skill? Why can't these people get any other job in retail?

    6. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by ChunderDownunder · · Score: 2

      B&N have the Nook, even they see the writing on the wall. As for printed vs digital, people still read books. People just don't buy as much retail.

      In Australia, several of our major bookstores too face downscaling or closure. Recently I've attended a couple of fire-sales offering 30-50% off. The books that remain? Stuff that has been sitting on the shelves at full price for several years. Even at half price, material that's 4 years out of date ain't worth it.

      Amazon killed the chain store, not the iPad.

    7. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by ncgnu08 · · Score: 1

      Some people prefer "real" books compared to e-books. /. had an article not too long ago about how we retain information better from "real" books, and read faster too. Then you have the feel and smell as well. Maybe not for everyone, but they will not go away completely.

      --
      Member of American Sarcasm Society - Motto: "Like we need your help!"
    8. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by TubeSteak · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Just because we've moved from brick-and-mortar distribution to digital distribution doesn't mean ANY jobs were lost, they were just MOVED.

      Uhh... moved where?
      The number of people required to run a datacenter 24/7 is a fraction of those required to run a bookstore, much less the supply chain that feeds the bookstore.

      The bookstore industry is facing a serious contraction/consolidation.
      They aren't going away, but there won't be as many bookstores around.

      --
      [Fuck Beta]
      o0t!
    9. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      "Just because we've moved from brick-and-mortar distribution to digital distribution doesn't mean ANY jobs were lost" Nice attempt at a troll but I'll bite. Clearly jobs have been lost when you move to a more efficient means of distribution and to think otherwise is ridiculous. Not that I'm complaining, I purchase all my books from Amazon now.

    10. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by Crypto+Gnome · · Score: 1

      BUMP!

      This retarded politician is attempting to treat the symptoms of a problem while ignoring the actual root cause.

      Rather ask WHY is it more commercially viable for American companies to actually produce *almost everything* in {some random foreign country}.

      THAT is the root cause of "american jobs disappearing".

      The iPAD is just the current POP Culture ICON he has attached his rant to, he deserves to be taken out the back and summarily fired from his position, clearly he is totally incompetent and 100% self-serving.

      --
      Visit CryptoGnome in his home.
    11. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by JMZero · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Uhh... moved where?

      At best, you're making a "broken windows" argument. Perhaps we could make book distribution even less efficient, requiring more people to be involved? Would that be positive?

      But even that's missing the point. The important job, the one we should focus on here, isn't "clerk at bookstore", it's "author". Because books are costly to produce, because money from sales has to be divided among so many, and because there is limited shelf space at a book store, very few people can make a living as an author. With e-books, there's the potential for many more authors to find niches, and I think the total money value of the industry could grow significantly as the breadth of subject matter, sales logistics, and means of discovery improves.

      Jobs generating ideas are the future, and having an efficient, vibrant market for books is great for that.

      --
      Let's not stir that bag of worms...
    12. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Exactly. Either slap tariffs on imports or remove most employment restrictions (minimum wage, benefits requirements, unemployment tax, etc.). But don't raise the cost of employment in the US, do nothing about imports, and then complain about the results. It only reveals your deep and abiding stupidity. Personally I favor removing all the impositions on the US labor market - let's have all those poor people and their crappy jobs *here*. They'll enjoy a still-recognizable rule of law, strong personal property rights, strong political and religious freedoms, and in a generation or two (or sooner) can work themselves into whatever social position they want - if that is what they truly care about and pursue. This is much better than what a poor person in China, Thailand, Bangladesh, etc. can hope for for. But if you prefer the opposite, fine. Tariffs would hardly be the worst thing our government is currently involved in. Then we can maintain a manufacturing base AND a certain quality-of-life, it just falls under the heading of wealth redistribution (and capital reallocation) within our own society. Hardly the worst market interference we have perpetrated. But do one, do the other, or sit down and shut up.

    13. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by TheGratefulNet · · Score: 4, Insightful

      yup. moved.

      overseas.

      THAT was his point. and as much as I dislike the guy, he was right, on that point.

      if we don't help ourselves, no one else will.

      the overseas labor game is one we can't win and the terms are not fair yet we continue to try to play using fair rules. we lose every time. gee ....

      --

      --
      "It is now safe to switch off your computer."
    14. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      I actually suspect that people will read more after we completely shift to iPad and Kindle and whatnot. They make it so much easier to make impulse buys.

    15. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 2

      They won't go away, but they will be pushed to the niche presently occupied by vinyl - an expensive and rare item targeted primarily at collectors or eccentric people.

    16. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by jbplou · · Score: 1

      No jobs will be lost?

      Books are printed, packaged, and shipped this envolves thousands of jobs the majority of which will be replaced by technology and a few IT workers. Yeah you still need authors and editors but that is only part of what's envolved, I wonder if you ever had an economics class or seen a factory or distrubution center.

      The history of computers has been replacing jobs this is no different. Typically new areas of the economy will have labor demands that will eventually fill the void of jobs lost. This is how technology effects economies, well before computers thousands of years ago even. the difference is the speed technology innovation is increasing making this occur more rapidly. the idea of new sectors in the economy springing up in the future is little solace though for the laid off.

    17. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by Nyeerrmm · · Score: 1

      I don't think the parent was necessary claiming it was a bad thing, just pointing out that the argument that the number of jobs stays the same is fallacious.

      The thing about the broken window fallacy is that if you have someone out breaking windows it *is* good for those directly involved with making windows, its just bad for the economy as a whole.

      In this case, it is absolutely true that advancements in technology are making mainstream brick and mortar book retailers obsolete. This will be painful to those who own them, those who work for them, and those who enjoy browsing them. The fallacy is that this is bad for the economy as a whole -- improving efficiency frees up productivity to do more new interesting things, and also might encourage more business for places like coffee shops. However, this shouldn't be taken to mean that transition will be painless. Those buggy whip manufacturers probably had a hard time too.

    18. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by SvnLyrBrto · · Score: 1

      > Moved where?

      > They are being replaced by a device that is not
      > even produced in the USA.

      There are a large number of very talented and quite well-paid engineers who designed the hardware and software for that device right down the 280 in Cupertino. There is a similar collection of gainfully-employed talent in Seattle, working on its book-reading competitor. I hear there's also some company in Mountain View that's done work on another competitor for that device; and that they have a goodly number of highly-desired jobs as well.

      --
      Imagine all the people...
    19. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by TheGratefulNet · · Score: 2

      But even that's missing the point. The important job, the one we should focus on here, isn't "clerk at bookstore", it's "author".

      got news for you; most people who lose their jobs in the 'lower level' service industry are NOT going to be magically capable of being authors. you are *dreaming* if you think this is at all, overall, going to be a boost for the US. when labor goes away, 'new ones' do not just appear. usually, they leave for good.

      you are watching your local world burn. do you enjoy that? I don't!

      --

      --
      "It is now safe to switch off your computer."
    20. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by MichaelSmith · · Score: 2

      Not sure if you are in Victoria but Borders opened on Lygon street Carlton right over the road from Readings. I reckoned at the time that that would be it for readings but they are still there and Borders are going out of business. Readings is always packed and people buy books there which they just wouldn't want to read in electronic form. People go there to browse after dinner and before their movie. I don't see them losing as long as they can keep the crowds coming in.

    21. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by AK+Marc · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Rather ask WHY is it more commercially viable for American companies to actually produce *almost everything* in {some random foreign country}.

      Because everyone knows and no one wants to discuss it. The number one cause is environmental/safety regulations. Want lead in your toys? Lead in your water? Because that's what happens when there are no regulations. And that's a large part of the cost of manufacturing in the US. Labor counts, but not as much as you'd think. Automation can correct for much of that, but automation isn't needed as much in areas where the cost of labor is small enough. But all those numbers are well known. In fact, the answer is as simple as one simple law. Just tax imports for the cost of the externalities in the US that aren't accounted for in the country in question.

    22. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 1

      This is *NOT* a broken window fallacy. The Broken Window Fallacy assumes that it's a waste because the resources could have been spent on something else.

      But he is actually making an excellent point and the reactionaries are those who are attempting to dismiss it as a straw-man.

      If we were simply looking at the publishing industry yes there would be no problem. The Horse and Carriage industry is gone true. But that's not analogous to the modern shifts. We aren't becoming more efficient while shifting jobs to new sectors--we're becoming more efficient and shifting resources to no-where.

      The Publishing industry in this case is a single example of a wider market shift where more is being done with less people. The inevitable outcome of this is that we'll be able to do everything with almost no workforce. A Lights-Out factory will produce robots to work in lights-out factories which will be delivered with driverless trucks created from ore mined in miner-less mines and smelted in worker-less foundries.

      I've seen this. I wrote an application which increased the productivity of one person by several dozen times. I essentially put 12 people out of work. Sure those people are now 'free' and the client is now free to spend those resources on other priorities but more likely they won't hire more people than they need.

      Sure there is more 'potential' for people to be authors now--but writing a book is incredibly hard and honestly the reason most books are unsuccessful isn't because they didn't get a publishing deal--it's because they suck. For every author there is probably 100 people or more who make their living off of publishing an author's work. If we have a pure author workforce then we'll have 99% unemployment. Now 99% unemployment isn't a bad thing. But when we inevitably get to the point where we simply don't need very many workers anymore we're going to need to shift our views on compensation so that those who simply are useless don't suffer.

      The broken window fallacy assumes there is other jobs to be had and other work to be done. But if nobody in the town is employed and there is no work to be done then breaking a few windows will re-distribute the wealth from the shop owner to the unemployed--who hopefully will spend it in the shop. The alternate is for the shop-owner to have food he bought from the robots while the rest of the townsfolk go hungry, or to tax the shop keeper and feed the hungry unemployed masses for doing nothing. Personally I think a few inefficient and useless services are preferable to charity.

    23. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by Zaphod+The+42nd · · Score: 1

      If technology was really the cause, then China would be losing jobs too over time. Its not a constant downward trend, its not that technology removes jobs from the world. Yes, the US has lost some jobs, but thats a result of the international market and our current downhill economy, with a currency that nobody believes in anymore, and all kinds of corporate taxes. Creating the e-book doesn't lose jobs; maybe there are less book distributors. But what about the new e-book designers, the e-book distributors, the website authors, the data entry clerks, the call center customer support... it goes on and on. Its just that nothing is produced in the United States anymore, we buy all our chips overseas. But that doesn't mean its technology's fault.

      --
      GCS/MU/P d- s:- a-- C++++$ UL++ P+ L++ E+ W++ N o K- w--- O M+ V- PS+++ PE Y+ PGP t+ 5- X R++ tv+ b++ DI++ D++ G+ e++ h-
    24. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by Zaphod+The+42nd · · Score: 1

      Face it, this is how our system works. As new technologies are developed, in gross figures, less labor is needed.

      Only if you hold EVERYTHING ELSE constant. And you don't. As we get more technology, we find more products that the average consumer requires. We find new things that become a part of the expected quality of life. We can support a larger population, etc. etc. etc. Did the invention of A/C ruin jobs? No, it created tons of A/C repairmen. Oh, but think of the poor fan-holding slaves! Where will people find work if all they can do is hold a fan?

      --
      GCS/MU/P d- s:- a-- C++++$ UL++ P+ L++ E+ W++ N o K- w--- O M+ V- PS+++ PE Y+ PGP t+ 5- X R++ tv+ b++ DI++ D++ G+ e++ h-
    25. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by narcc · · Score: 1

      They don't come from thin air, and the iPad doesn't write articles itself. Just because we've moved from brick-and-mortar distribution to digital distribution doesn't mean ANY jobs were lost, they were just MOVED.

      Yeah, because the only people involved in the production, distribution, and sale of books were the authors.

      No, that's not fair -- there are certainly new jobs, but far fewer than have been displaced. The printers are right out. Publishers are becoming less relevant, so they're partially out. Delivery drivers are out. The staff it takes to run a few online book stores ... hey, we found where the jobs "moved". However, the number of staff it takes to run an online bookstore is significantly less than that of the many brick and mortar stores it displaces. Moreover, Physical stores need maintenance, utilities, and other services and supplies to stay in operation -- that means less money moving in the local economies, leading to fewer jobs still.

      Yeah, I don't think you've thought this through.

    26. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 1

      The broken window fallacy assumes there is other jobs to be had and other work to be done. But if nobody in the town is employed and there is no work to be done then breaking a few windows will re-distribute the wealth from the shop owner to the unemployed--who hopefully will spend it in the shop. The alternate is for the shop-owner to have food he bought from the robots while the rest of the townsfolk go hungry, or to tax the shop keeper and feed the hungry unemployed masses for doing nothing.

      That's the problem with the broken window fallacy - it's so compelling to some because it creates the illusion of creating wealth; when all it does it inefficiently transfer resources back and forth. Some portion of the dollar the shopkeeper spends on the window goes to taxes (sales and income); so the glazer only gets a fraction of it. When he buys a loaf of bread from the shopkeeper, taxes again come out. So in essence all you've done is take some percentage of the money away for no real gain.

      Personally I think a few inefficient and useless services are preferable to charity.

      If they are useless and inefficient all they do is make the situation worse. Eventually, you've broken enough windows so nobody has enough money to fix them and everyone starves while shopkeepers cut themselves on the glass shards.

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    27. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by whisper_jeff · · Score: 1

      The number of people required to run a datacenter 24/7 is a fraction of those required to run a bookstore, much less the supply chain that feeds the bookstore.

      How many people does it take to make a datacenter?

      Yes, I realize that's not a long term job, but it's a job that needs to be done.

      People often forget that there are jobs that need to be done - jobs that will always need to be done - jobs that will never be moved overseas. Plumbers. Electricians. Even butchers. Some of them might not be glamorous but they are important and they will always be needed.

      And they'll never be shipped overseas.

    28. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by jbplou · · Score: 1

      It takes less jobs produce ebook than hard copy books, Idon't understand how you could possibly think it doesn't?

      Also the whole point of technological innovation is to do more with less. Look at the projections even China is projected to start loading manufacturing jobs in the next 30 due to automation. Also the United States is currently the worlds largest manufacturer, so what do you mean by nothing is made in the US anymore?

    29. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by nine-times · · Score: 1

      And the unfortunate truth is that making jobs obsolete is part of what makes the economy grow. We were (collectively, as a people) spending however many millions of dollars on distributing books around, and now we're spending a fraction of that. This saves us millions of dollars which can then theoretically be spent on something more productive than an obsolete business model.

      If there is a problem, it's not that jobs are being made obsolete by more efficient business models, but rather that the savings are being spent on hookers and blow for CEOs and bankers instead of being spent on infrastructure and innovation.

    30. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      Any tool is what you make of it. TV is a vast wasteland if you choose to treat it that way.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    31. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by moortak · · Score: 1

      It takes fewer jobs to build one datacenter than 100 bookstores. No matter how far back you draw the line efficiency has cut jobs in the industry. That may very well be good for the economy as a whole, but digital distribution is successful in large part because it eliminates those people.

      --
      Xavier Rabourdin for president 2012
    32. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by Zaphod+The+42nd · · Score: 1

      And yet, in addition to the people running the website, you need people writing website software, people hosting servers and data-centers, people who are sys-admins and keep the servers running, people who engineer those servers, the motherboards, the processors, the RAM, then there's the people who work on the e-book itself and the e-book software and OS, which are separate from the people who publish books on the e-book reader (so now there are two publishers where before there was one) I could go on and on. I don't think you've thought it through. And I don't think either of us can say definitively "x jobs were lost" or "x jobs were gained" so my point is that whatever it is, its pretty negligible.

      --
      GCS/MU/P d- s:- a-- C++++$ UL++ P+ L++ E+ W++ N o K- w--- O M+ V- PS+++ PE Y+ PGP t+ 5- X R++ tv+ b++ DI++ D++ G+ e++ h-
    33. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by JMZero · · Score: 1

      Now 99% unemployment isn't a bad thing. But when we inevitably get to the point where we simply don't need very many workers anymore we're going to need to shift our views on compensation so that those who simply are useless don't suffer.

      I agree. Eventually, full employment just isn't going to be possible. I think that'll be a good thing; however, I'd also agree that the transition will be awkward. But the way to deal with this isn't to try to halt technological progress. If we're going to artificially prop up jobs in order to smooth the transition, they might as well be more interesting jobs. People could build out public infrastructure, grow food (for the starving, of which there's still no shortage), create art, do research, increase services, or who knows what - but moving boxes of books is pointless.

      In any case, we're not at this point yet, and won't be soon. For example, I think supporting (and replacing) aging boomers is going to create a lot of labor shortage in the next 25 years (especially in, for example, Japan).

      --
      Let's not stir that bag of worms...
    34. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by Zaphod+The+42nd · · Score: 1

      Well, I can sit in my house and write a book and I can make a printing press and a I can make copies and I can sell them.

      On the other hand, I could spend the rest of my natural life trying to design my own e-book hardware and software completely from scratch on my own. And I would never get anywhere; Its likely I couldn't even produce my own vacuum tubes or transistors, much less assemble a modern architecture, which are ridiculously complex and have hundreds if not thousands and thousands of engineers working on them all the time.

      It takes less jobs to produce books than papyrus! This damn printing press makes it too easy; what about the good old days where we had to have hundreds of men employed copying books over and over by hand?!
      Yeah, because you don't need a man to build the printing press, or to sell the printing press, or to operate it... And yeah, the amount of men to operate a printing press is going to be much less than the amount of men required to translate book pages by hand over and over. But NEW jobs come about that did not exist before, and they replace the "old jobs" that you don't need as many people to fulfill.

      --
      GCS/MU/P d- s:- a-- C++++$ UL++ P+ L++ E+ W++ N o K- w--- O M+ V- PS+++ PE Y+ PGP t+ 5- X R++ tv+ b++ DI++ D++ G+ e++ h-
    35. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by Jonner · · Score: 1

      Digital distribution does cost less in human time and physical resources. I guess the representative's argument is that efficiency is bad for the US economy.

    36. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by CrackedButter · · Score: 1

      I wish the US had the guts to talk about the real issues in society instead of constantly procrastinating and doing things the hard way.

    37. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 1
      --
      A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
    38. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by bminata · · Score: 1

      A politician cannot keep his mouth shut on subjects he know nothing about... hmmm... nothing new here :D

    39. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by Totenglocke · · Score: 1

      Hardly. The cause is that Americans think that due to where they were born, they are entitled to be wealthy. When Americans finally realize that unskilled labor is (almost literally) a dime a dozen and start actually WORKING and getting real educations (diploma mills don't count and you need to LEARN something in school, not just get drunk and cheat off someone else), then we can start having a real focus on ending outsourcing. But instead of realizing that Americans aren't superior due to being Americans, they want to vilify the rest of the world and promote the uneducated unskilled workers who refuse to do something with their lives.

      Just tax imports for the cost of the externalities in the US that aren't accounted for in the country in question.

      Yes, then watch as prices rise (thus hurting every consumer in the US), due to higher costs and lower consumption there are fewer jobs, and other countries start taxing anything imported from the US which hurts US workers and consumers even more. I've said this dozens of times on this site - please, for the love of god, will you people learn the slightest thing about Economics and stop ranting about irrational crap that would HURT the people you claim to want to help.

      --
      "The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." ~Thomas Jefferson
    40. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      Exactly! They need to start educating kids and adults on content creation. It's not like it requires any real skills; one just has to know how to put the letters or notes down in the right order and the $$$ will flow in!

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    41. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      Bookstores may turn into more like restaurant/bar setups. I mean, everyone makes food and has booze at home but they still go out and spend $$$ to hang out at places and be social. Smart book store owners (mostly non-chain, I'm thinking) will work this angle.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    42. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      Ah, there's probably a million J.K. Rowling's out there, just waiting to be discovered. I mean, look at how children's literature and exploded in the last 15 years. There's so many books and series out there now, it's impossible to read them all.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    43. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      Wait, you're saying that all people aren't created equal and aren't equally good at everything and that creative talent is kinda' rare? If this were true, then there'd be a lot less books coming out of fanfiction.net, not to mention all those movies deals that those youtube folks keep getting.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    44. Re:Why go to Barnes & Noble by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      When Americans finally realize that unskilled labor is (almost literally) a dime a dozen and start actually WORKING and getting real educations (diploma mills don't count and you need to LEARN something in school, not just get drunk and cheat off someone else), then we can start having a real focus on ending outsourcing.

      I'm having trouble with your unintelligible rant. Are you arguing that Americans need to start "working" more (apparently you mean abolishing the minimum wage and working for very low pay) and "learn" at the same time so that we'll cut pay and increase education at the same time? That seems contradictory, and when you look at other countries who are beating the US, they don't have any of the fixes you claim we need. So it seems both contradictory and incorrect at the same time.

      please, for the love of god, will you people learn the slightest thing about Economics and stop ranting about irrational crap that would HURT the people you claim to want to help.

      I'm curious, where did you learn economics? Since you rail against the education in the US, you either got an inferior education, or worse, you "self educated." Go on, since you assail others based on their economics background, share yours. I'm guessing you won't. But I enjoy being proven wrong.

  4. Mark Twain said it best. by jcr · · Score: 4, Informative

    "Suppose you were an idiot, and suppose you were a member of Congress; but I repeat myself." -- Mark Twain.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    1. Re:Mark Twain said it best. by countertrolling · · Score: 1

      I never understood that sentiment. It seems that most congresspeople do pretty well for themselves.

      --
      For justice, we must go to Don Corleone
  5. Evolve or get out of the way by whisper_jeff · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I've worked in the publishing industry. I have no sympathy for people who are holding on to the past with both hands, fiercely fighting for things to not change. Things change over time. Adapt. Evolve. Move forward. If you fail to do so, you'll be left behind and forgotten. Blaming the iPad or the internet or anything of the sort is foolish. Times change - find the new marketable product (hint: it's probably digital), make that, and profit.

    Evolve or get out of the way for those who are willing to move into the future.

    1. Re:Evolve or get out of the way by geekd · · Score: 2

      To me, the HUGE advantage of an e-reader is this:

      You just finished Book One in a trilogy. It's only 9:30pm, you can read for another hour or so before bedtime. If you are reading on a an e-reader, you can be reading Book Two in about 90 seconds. If not, well, good luck finding a bookstore open at 9:30pm.

    2. Re:Evolve or get out of the way by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 2

      I don't think the adage applies the same way to the demand side, but rather, it really applies most to the supply side. If the demand changes, the supply must adjust. As long as the demand for paper can be met profitably, then it will remain. Only when the demand can't be met profitably, would the demand side must adjust, either by not having new product in the form they want, or by accepting the new technology. I don't think you have anything to be worried about for a long time, I expect printed novels to hang on a lot longer than printed textbooks, reference and periodicals.

    3. Re:Evolve or get out of the way by uofitorn · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I'm an avid reader. Occasionally I'll dip into fantasy or sci-fi where trilogies are more likely to be found. I've never been so impatient that I couldn't wait an "hour or so" to get to another title.

      To me, the BIG disadvantage of an e-reader is this:

      When Amazon goes belly up in a few (or 45 years) where will my books be? Next to me I have a 1887 4 volume edition of Les Miserable and I am confident that no matter what happens to the Little, Brown and Company publishing house, my book isn't going to go poof on my nightstand while I'm brushing my teeth.

      --
      "What kind of music do pirates listen to?" -Paul Maud'dib
      "Yeeeaaarrrrr n' Bee!!" -Stilgar, Leader of Sietch Tabr
    4. Re:Evolve or get out of the way by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      When Amazon goes belly up in a few (or 45 years) where will my books be?

      Wherever you'll put them. Here's how to strip away Kindle DRM.

      (ironically, I back up mine - after doing the above - to Jungle Disk, which is hosted on Amazon S3)

    5. Re:Evolve or get out of the way by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      That's a question only peons ask. Every successful businessman expresses the OP's sentiment, regardless of their age.

    6. Re:Evolve or get out of the way by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      It wasn't waiting an hour or two. It was having to drive to the bookshop assuming they are open - which is the opposite of the relaxing reading you want to be doing.

      Basically an e-reader lets you not do any planning or thinking in advance for your reading...

    7. Re:Evolve or get out of the way by tm2b · · Score: 3, Insightful

      41 here, and I completely agree.

      The scribes' union really hated the printing press, let me tell you...

      --
      "It is our blasphemy which has made us great, and will sustain us, and which the gods secretly admire in us." - Zelazny
    8. Re:Evolve or get out of the way by Kjella · · Score: 1

      I don't think e-books will accrue value in the same way an 1887 edition book will. They'll never be the rare first edition, signed by the author, only available in 674 copies around the world. All that will really matter is if someone has a copy that can be shared around. First off deposits will have been made with the library of congress, secondly there'll probably be hacks to do it and third if all else fails we can take pictures of the screen and OCR them to get the text - like Project Gutenberg has done with very many real books.

      Honestly, I don't get why people seem so glum. With various digitization projects we're now storing far more of our cultural output than we've ever done, every song, every book, every tv series, every movie, every big and small happening is recorded for posterity both on their side and our side. It's not like the BBC would delete a Doctor Who episode today.

      I do understand the part about wanting your own copy, like if Spotify disappeared you'd lose all "your" music, if Steam disappear you'd lose all "your" games and so on - and yes I heard their promises but they mean nothing when you're bankrupt. I still don't manage to buy the cultural doomsday predictions though, if something like that happened we'd all scamble to save what could be saved. And we'd still have a much better collection of the last 50 years than any other era in history.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
  6. Not anti-tech necessarily by orkysoft · · Score: 5, Insightful

    His rant can also be interpreted as against globalization instead of against technology. All the people who will become lose their jobs now that more and more brick-and-mortar stores are being obsoleted by websites, they're not getting jobs in electronics factories, since the electronic devices are almost all made in low-wage countries these days.

    --

    I suffer from attention surplus disorder.
    1. Re:Not anti-tech necessarily by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      No, why do we have to interpret him trying to say something intelligent. The guys is an idiot. First it was amend the Constitution giving every school kid a Nook, Kindle or iPad. Yes, read that again, AMEND THE CONSTITUTION. Now, the iPad is the devil's spawn. I guess this is how he's backing out off the Constitutional amendment "idea".

    2. Re:Not anti-tech necessarily by SEE · · Score: 1

      I figure a better explanation is that he's trying to shake down Apple for money. There's a reason why both progressive-left CREW and conservative-right Judical Watch list Representative Jesse Jackson Jr. on their corrupt politicians lists.

    3. Re:Not anti-tech necessarily by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 2

      Would you grant that someday.. not now... but someday, machines will be able to replace all manual labor done by humans?

      How many humans are suited to "brain" work when that time comes? 5%? 10%?

      What's the value of a $200k degree when everyone has to have one just to get a job?

      Not everyone can be a rocket scientist- and... even if they could, the demand for rocket scientists is actually quite low.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    4. Re:Not anti-tech necessarily by narcc · · Score: 1

      Would you grant that someday.. not now... but someday, machines will be able to replace all manual labor done by humans?

      Sure, why not.

      How many humans are suited to "brain" work when that time comes? 5%? 10%?

      A little on the high side, but I'll go with you here.

      What's the value of a $200k degree when everyone has to have one just to get a job?

      $200k. (You practically gave that answer away!)

      Not everyone can be a rocket scientist- and... even if they could, the demand for rocket scientists is actually quite low.

      Ah, see this is where you're first point comes in. See, as this hypothetical future world filled with unemployed rocket-scientists is teeming with hoards of Robots, the surplus population will rapidly be eliminated by virtue of the robot prime directive: Kill All Humans.

    5. Re:Not anti-tech necessarily by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      http://www.zpub.com/notes/idle.html
      In Praise of Idleness
      By Bertrand Russell

    6. Re:Not anti-tech necessarily by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      No- that's the cost-- not the value.

      A $200k degree in some cases (now- not in the future) won't get you a job which returns $200k. What's the value if it doesn't get you a job that pays much over $50k? If you have to take on so much (currently unforgivable, unbankruptable) debt that you will be unable to pay it off over the course of your entire life. (already happening too).

      Were you getting the degree because you had a sincere interest in a field or just because it pays well? If you are just looking for a paycheck, you probably won't love your work and you probably wont' excel at it.

      I don't foresee the "kill all humans"- but I do foresee a collapse of the mass markets. Right now- today, we have some multi-billion dollar companies (and I'm not talking about Google) which have 1/70th the number of employees. That's great for the salary of their CEO and (sometimes- but not always) their shareholders but money is just disappearing into them. It's not coming back out in the form of wages.

      The hypothetical future world is that only the connected get to work, most people are unable to find a decent job, and eventually things get violent (as they have repeatedly over history whenever all the benefits of society were going to only a tiny sliver of the population).

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    7. Re:Not anti-tech necessarily by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      We can hope!

      It could be that way. Personally, I think we should let go of the 40 hours week now and drop to 35 hours with an hour for lunch (so an 8 hour shift). It wasn't that long ago that people worked "9 to 5".

      We should also put in place overtime for salaried workers making under $250k at 50 hours.
      Salary used to be a tiny percentage of the job market- - companies have found ways to abuse "salary" that creates unemployment.

      If companies had to pay overtime for salary workers at 50 hours, unemployment would drop pretty dramatically for a few years.

      And... I do think things will get temporarily better from 2016 to 2024. The available employees will shrink by 4 million per year during that period (vs 2 million historically).

      Eventually productivity gains will catch up with that tho.

      I'm not as worried about offshore/overseas-- they are inflating rapidly-- another 8 years and it won't be a no brainer to shoot work overseas like it is now.

      Many "thinking" jobs are really quite simple and can be reduced to expert rules sets of 50 to 100 rules when studied carefully. At that point, the job can be automated or broken into lower skill chunks.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    8. Re:Not anti-tech necessarily by Jonner · · Score: 1

      What becomes of publishing companies and publishing company jobs? And what becomes of bookstores and librarians and all of the jobs associated with paper?

      This is necessarily a rant against technology. Specifically it is a rant against digital distribution of media, something which was enabled by US technologies and takes place completely inside the US as long as both distributor and buyer are in the US. Even if the iPads were built in the US, they'd still be just as much a part of the dismantling of the traditional publishing business.

    9. Re:Not anti-tech necessarily by orkysoft · · Score: 1

      Well, I guess that "the freedom of the press shall not be abridged" could be interpreted as One E-Reader Per Child.

      But why amend the Constitution then? You're right, that's totally insane.

      --

      I suffer from attention surplus disorder.
    10. Re:Not anti-tech necessarily by orkysoft · · Score: 1

      I don't foresee the "kill all humans"

      and eventually things get violent

      Imagine a robot foot stomping on a poor man's face, forever.

      --

      I suffer from attention surplus disorder.
  7. Evolution? by Flipstylee · · Score: 1

    Isn't this what happens when we as a people learn?
    I'm not putting apple in the spotlight, as i'm speaking about technology in general.

    Sometimes systems need to re-adjust, business models change and/or are eliminated.
    Times change, people change.
    I still read actual books though, i reason parchments to be my favorite backup storage type.

  8. Is he serious? by niola · · Score: 1

    Does he not realize technology marches on whether we want it or not?

    And does he not consider how many R&D jobs, app developer jobs, sales jobs etc all created around these devices?

    1. Re:Is he serious? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      This is less about technology marches onwards and more about globalisation. He is right about the job losses caused by the ipad, but this is just one cornerstone of what is happening. I always laugh when somebody says we are living in a post industrialized world, it is not like that the production just has been moved to asia where they are smarter to keep the industries in their countries.
      (Btw. I am non US btw. but the same idiocy also affects europe)
      The funny thing is, that in the current economic climate the countries which heave heavy taxes on import have a booming economy while the ones playing the free trade rule are bleeding out slowly.

  9. As fanbois queue in the dark, Jobs makes millions by bogaboga · · Score: 2

    Steve Jobs is doing pretty well. He's created the iPad. Certainly, it has made life more efficient for Americans, but the iPad is produced in China. It is not produced here in the United States."

    I for one will refuse to make a rich man even richer. I even wonder what will ever make me queue up in the dark of the early mornings just to get my hands on an iDevice. Am I boring or what?

    And on the subject matter, I happen to agree with the congressman to a large degree.

  10. Just like the car by krizoitz · · Score: 2

    We should never have invented cars, it made all those other jobs obsolete, horse and buggy makers, livery stables, etc. Screw progress, lets all be Amish!

    1. Re:Just like the car by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      The last group of Amish I ran into was in Iowa during a family road trip this last summer. They pulled up in a van, and proceed to shop just like everyone else. They bought their kids plastic toys, and on of them had a prosthetic arm. No a wooden arm, but one made of plastic and steel that was mechanical. The Amish aren't what they used to be. Even they have moved ahead with technology.

    2. Re:Just like the car by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      MENNONITE SURF PARTY!

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
  11. What about the Horse carriage jobs ? by unity100 · · Score: 2

    Why dont we bring horse carriage jobs by banning cars. or, by mandating 1 horse carriage be sold per car, or, 1 horse carriage worth of extra charges on cars, to be paid to horse carriage industry ?

    1. Re:What about the Horse carriage jobs ? by TheGratefulNet · · Score: 1

      wait - could you put that in a car analogy form for me?

      --

      --
      "It is now safe to switch off your computer."
  12. Even more strange by alvinrod · · Score: 5, Informative

    Even more strange. Just last month he wanted to amend the constitution and give an iPad or similar device to every kid in school in the country. Wonder what made him change his mind.

    1. Re:Even more strange by tripleevenfall · · Score: 5, Insightful

      He's a politician, he says what benefits him the most in that moment.

      But his complaints are not totally without merit.

      If he were smarter his point would be that all jobs have life cycles, and we need to develop and innovate so that we can place people in jobs that are ahead of the curve instead of behind.

      It's like everyone clammoring to bail out GM and save a bunch of low skill jobs that are going nowhere but overseas in the future anyway. It's a losing battle with the wrong objective.

      But from the left, his policies are reactive rather than proactive. Proactive would be getting out in front and stopping things that stifle innovation, like hostile business environments. Instead, he wants us (if he could expand, I'd wager) to outlaw things and restrict things and tariff things after the fact.

      Should we want to be one step ahead, or one step behind?

    2. Re:Even more strange by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The same thing that made Hillary Clinton shut up about "big pharma" and the same thing which will make the Goldman Sachs rhetoric disappear in 5 years. Politicians manufacture fake outrage in order to hassle a pay off. Once they've been paid off, they shut up. In this case he is probably looking to have both a carrot and a stick to "encourage" Apple and Apple employees to pay him off. The carrot is the government buying IPads and handing them out for free. The carrot is something he'll think of in the future in order to demonize Apple and make their life uncomfortable. They'll do it long enough and strong enough until they are paid off. Then they'll shut up. Oh, and why Apple this time around? It's where the money is at the moment.

    3. Re:Even more strange by TheGratefulNet · · Score: 1

      have we ever been pro-active? seriously. name once.

      I don't think people, overall, are that smart. the world seems to be run by 'the people of walmart'.

      --

      --
      "It is now safe to switch off your computer."
    4. Re:Even more strange by DurendalMac · · Score: 1

      Except the government buying iPads had a zilch chance of happening. Jackson isn't very good at the political bribery game.

    5. Re:Even more strange by khallow · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Should we want to be one step ahead, or one step behind?

      First, we need to keep in mind that proactive strategies aren't inherently better, if your understanding of the future is flawed enough or if it's just an outright bad decision. Being one step behind (as opposed to a zillion steps behind) means someone else can make some of your mistakes for you while you retain most of the advantage of being cutting edge (since you are almost cutting edge).

      Second, the stuff you refer to (such as bailing out GM) wasn't bad because it was reactive, but because it had no long term benefit and abused US law. Similarly, there's no societal benefit to what appears to be a shakedown of Apple (apparently, this politician was extolling the virtues of iPads in the classroom recently so I see this sudden about face as an indication that he wants something from Apple).

    6. Re:Even more strange by Sulphur · · Score: 3, Funny

      Two politicians approach a bridge too narrow for both.

      One says "I never step aside for scoundrels."

      The other stepped aside, and said "I always do."

      --

      It is now safe to switch your mind off.

    7. Re:Even more strange by nospam007 · · Score: 1

      "If he were smarter his point would be that all jobs have life cycles, and we need to develop and innovate so that we can place people in jobs that are ahead of the curve instead of behind"

      The education sucks. If the workers are so poorly schooled that their jobs have to compete with analphabet jobs at the end of the world which are paid peanuts, you have no chance, as long as there is cheap oil for transporting the junk.
      But that will change.

    8. Re:Even more strange by NetNed · · Score: 5, Interesting

      So are you saying that you don't understand a need to keep low skill jobs in the US? Sounds like you need a tour of a local high school to understand that not all students are destined for upper management these days. Maybe if you said the days of high paying low skill jobs are not sustainable anymore, that would make sense. But to say this country doesn't need a lower level working class seems to indicate you have little grasp of what our economy needs.

      I don't think the GM bailout was the best thing, but many good things have come from it, far more then other industries that the government has bailed out in the past.

    9. Re:Even more strange by williamhb · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It's like everyone clammoring to bail out GM and save a bunch of low skill jobs that are going nowhere but overseas in the future anyway. It's a losing battle with the wrong objective.

      Actually that's not true in two ways.

      First, I always think it's remarkably arrogant that we label manufacturing jobs "low-skill". My grandfather was a toolmaker in an aeroplane factory in World War 2. Imagine a job swap between us and see think which would be the bigger disaster: him trying to do some academic research and put a paper into a conference, or me trying to actually physically build an aeroplane good enough that your life could depend on it while the luftwaffe try to shoot you down. But for some reason it's his job that would be classified as "blue collar" and "low-skill".

      The second is that labour costs are much less of an impetus for moving "low-skill" jobs than they used to be. Wages in China have risen such that many companies have thought about moving manufacturing away to lower-wage countries like Bangladesh, etc. But the skills and infrastructure needed to run serious industrial scale manufacturing are not present there making business to difficult. It's no longer worth the saving. As globalisation equalises costs of living, the factories are going to stop playing musical chairs with countries, and start sticking where the capacity and infrastructure has been built up. And right now, regardless of costs, that is China because the US has been slashing and burning its manufacturing skills and capacity.

    10. Re:Even more strange by Luscious868 · · Score: 1

      It's like everyone clammoring to bail out GM and save a bunch of low skill jobs that are going nowhere but overseas in the future anyway. It's a losing battle with the wrong objective.

      Those greedy thousandaire GM auto workers are ruining this country. Millionaire bankers who created the great recession by purchasing bad mortgages and repackaging them with other bad mortgages via a formula not even the CEO's of their companies could comprehend, not a problem ... their mentally deficient counterparts at AIG who made millions selling insurance against those horrific bets ... not a problem ... those greedy thousandaire retirees from those evil socialist union loving auto companies ... clearly the problem here. Something must be done about these greedy thousandaires .... they are ruining this great country!!!!

    11. Re:Even more strange by Mr.+Underbridge · · Score: 3, Insightful

      So are you saying that you don't understand a need to keep low skill jobs in the US? Sounds like you need a tour of a local high school to understand that not all students are destined for upper management these days. Maybe if you said the days of high paying low skill jobs are not sustainable anymore, that would make sense. But to say this country doesn't need a lower level working class seems to indicate you have little grasp of what our economy needs.

      Even high-tech companies need janitors. OPs point is still sound though he left himself open for confusion. The goal is to fight to stay cutting edge, since every technical job will create a few non-technical jobs. It's not about the class of labor, it's about a constant treadmill of technology that allows one to stay ahead of the game as a country.

      For instance, consider textile jobs as a class of job that was once high-tech - during the time of the original Luddites, I believe. Over a couple of hundred years, that industry went from high-tech to relegated to the third world. Mindless factory work has been following the same trend. What we want to do is develop the Next Big Thing and keep the people who invented it here, train more people to do the work, and develop that Thing into a growth industry that provides jobs to people of all skill levels. After all, it still takes people to push the paper, build the buildings, clean the floors, assemble the new technical widgets, etc.

      The way to do that is to maintain the things that have kept the US (in my case) prominent in that game: invest lots of cash in higher education, allow students from all over the world to come here, and then let them stay. At the same time, provide an environment in which good ideas can easily find capital. These are the ingredients that create places like Silicon Valley.

    12. Re:Even more strange by pablo_max · · Score: 1

      I know what you mean. I spent forever deciding on a safe career. Though, if I am honest, I am not making too much cash as a prostitute.

    13. Re:Even more strange by Dot.Com.CEO · · Score: 1

      You're doing it wrong then.

      --
      Mother is the best bet and don't let Satan draw you too fast.
    14. Re:Even more strange by Cyberllama · · Score: 2

      His speech, from the snippet I read, had more of a "The times, they are a changin'" tone rather than "Damn you steve jobs" tone. It's nuance. I don't think he's suggesting that we try to swim upstream on the river of change, merely that we might consider building a boat or something. But hey, I don't know the guy, I can only try to guess.

    15. Re:Even more strange by TheLink · · Score: 1

      Even high-tech companies need janitors.

      .

      They may not need as many _human_ janitors if robots become cheaper.

      train more people to do the work, a.

      There's a limit to how much you can train an average chicken. And there is a limit for the average humans too.

      The post humans are going to have to keep humans around as pets, or it's going to get pretty ugly. ;)

      Of course that future may not happen - it depends on how the average human votes (but they might continue being dumb sheep headed for the slaughter).

      --
    16. Re:Even more strange by bgowing · · Score: 1

      I don't think people, overall, are that smart. the world seems to be run by 'the people of walmart'.

      Well, d'uh on the smart bit. If by being "smart" you mean "above average" , well then by definition most people are not smart. Always. If everybody was magically gifted an extra 30 IQ point over night, then guess what, most people would still not be smart because they still would not be above average. You see how that works?

      Your igorant slur on "Walmart people" always covers some pretty smart and wealthy people. I'm guessing you are one of the below average people.

    17. Re:Even more strange by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 2

      The US's comparative advantage is massive natural resources and a reserve currency, making countries willing to take IOUs to fund the present trade deficit. China and others are selling their citizen's short in the short term (stacking up piles of dollars to keep down their currencies) to get the US cheaper products and to fuel more outsourcing.

      It's impossible to keep people employed with that comparative advantage without subsidizing industry, it's the right response to foreign currency manipulation.

    18. Re:Even more strange by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 2

      He's a politician, he says what benefits him the most in that moment.

      Snip

      But from the left, his policies are reactive rather than proactive. Proactive would be getting out in front and stopping things that stifle innovation, like hostile business environments. Instead, he wants us (if he could expand, I'd wager) to outlaw things and restrict things and tariff things after the fact.

      Should we want to be one step ahead, or one step behind?

      As you pointed out, he is a politician. As with all politicians, they are for anything that protects jobs in their district / state and against any that eliminate them. It's not a left or right thing.

      That's why you have budget hawk Republicans defending (and taking) farm subsidies,; earmarks from both sides designed to funnel cash to the people back home; Democrats and Republicans rushing to bail out Detroit; and crying when their state didn't get a shuttle.

      Many are all for competition and free enterprise until Schumpeter comes around.

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    19. Re:Even more strange by nstlgc · · Score: 1

      Not to sound disrespectful, but unless your grandfather was actually inventing the planes himself, his job was the equivalent of building a Lego castle from a plan. While we definitely need people doing that (and we need lots of 'em), it's exactly what I would call a low-skill job.

      --
      I'm Rocco. I'm the +5 Funny man.
    20. Re:Even more strange by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      And rhe important thing to realize is why the USA is losing out in manufacturing and leaving those blue collar jobs to die on the vine. Hint: It ain't 'cuz of low-paid foreign labor. It is because of the 2nd highest corporate income tax rates on the planet and the class warfare being conducted by democrats to get votes from those remaining blue-collar workers while, ironically, killing them economically.

      Gov't needs to proote (US) businerss instead of persecute it, but getting rid of corporate income taxes completely is viewed as somehow favoring "the rich" when doing so would be exactly the opposite. Time for people to wake the H up and save our nation.

    21. Re:Even more strange by dosun88888 · · Score: 1

      If my heart stops beating I will die - we should give it a generic nobel prize just for being so intelligent.

      Manufacturing jobs are low skill because you could teach a dog to do them in a few hours, if the dogs had opposable thumbs.

      In any factory you used to have a bunch of unskilled labor, and then some skilled trades to fix things when they broke. Tinners, electricians, pipe fitters, welders, and so on aren't low skill; they're blue collar because they're labor intensive.

    22. Re:Even more strange by Culture20 · · Score: 1

      First, I always think it's remarkably arrogant that we label manufacturing jobs "low-skill". My grandfather was a toolmaker in an aeroplane factory in World War 2. Imagine a job swap between us and see think which would be the bigger disaster: him trying to do some academic research and put a paper into a conference, or me trying to actually physically build an aeroplane good enough that your life could depend on it while the luftwaffe try to shoot you down. But for some reason it's his job that would be classified as "blue collar" and "low-skill".

      Unless he's designing the airplanes, it is a lower creativity (low skill) job. Someone else gives him the designs and he reproduces them exactly. Now, computerized tool and die systems reproduce things more exactly and faster. But for the moment, we still need people to load raw material into the machines and remove the product.

    23. Re:Even more strange by Culture20 · · Score: 1

      getting rid of corporate income taxes completely is viewed as somehow favoring "the rich" when doing so would be exactly the opposite.

      As they have proved by moving manufacturing, "the rich will find a way". Squeeze the big guys, and they'll defer the pain lower down the foodchain. It's the dark side of trickle-down.

    24. Re:Even more strange by Just+Brew+It! · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Speaking of textile jobs, the company I work for started out over 100 years ago as a textile mill. Today they make head-mounted "augmented reality" displays. Those who are able to change and adapt will survive over the long term; those who do not will find that they've become obsolete. This applies equally on the small scale (as an individual keeping your skills current is the only true long-term job security), the medium scale (as with my employer), and on a national scale.

      IMO the rise of Wall Street as the dominant force in our economy is a big part of the problem. Putting our "best and brightest" to work figuring out new and creative ways to skim profits off of people moving money around is not a good recipe for remaining an economic superpower in a global economy.

    25. Re:Even more strange by hairyfeet · · Score: 2

      But I think while Jackson as usual is full of shit he does bring up a topic I think is worth discussing...If 60% of your population can only be trained up to a level D job, and those jobs are sent overseas or being done by machines, what do you do with the people? Execute them? Throw them all in prison? Cut them a check for life?

      This is a problem we in the tech field need to be seriously thinking about as it affects us more than most. It used to be you needed X number of guys to run the servers and maintain them, now we are at the beginning of self diagnosing servers and things will only get smarter. A factory down the street from me used to employ thousands of machinists making aircraft parts, good folks with families. Now their jobs are done by a handful who basically "watch the machines" to make sure there is someone there to hit the off switch if something goes wrong. Because frankly at the tolerances they are working now (a friend showed me their new laser gauges could even tell the difference in metals that you had held in your hand because of the difference in size caused by your body heat even after holding it in your hand for just a few seconds) there just isn't any way for a human to do the job there anymore.

      I see the same thing in my own job, if it wasn't for the SMBs and the work I've been doing for those at the college that constantly need more and more powerful machines for their CAD work I'd be hurting, as the push to laptops have turned most computers into "built for the dump" throwaway items as it is nearly impossible to get parts for the proprietary bastards, and it is more profitable for the OEMs to simply force people to shitcan that $400 laptop than it is to build them to be repaired, not with being able to crank the things out like flapjacks thanks to machines.

      So we honestly need to sit down and talk about what we as a society are gonna do, as we are ALL playing a game of musical chairs based on IQ, and the number of seats are getting smaller every day while the population is getting larger. There are plenty of good folks in my building that are having trouble even keeping a roof over their head even though they work their asses off simply because work for those that aren't white collar is getting more scarce by the day. These folks aren't Einsteins but they are good people and frankly don't deserve to have to live like animals just to survive.

      We really need to sit down and talk about this, because NONE of us has infinite intelligence, yet our "leaders" simply keep spouting the "continued education!" meme while refusing to admit there are plenty that simply can't climb higher and that often piling on the crushing debt of continued education simply doesn't pay back enough to keep their heads above water. We can't ALL be rocket scientists, and we really need to find a way for decent folks who are willing to work hard to survive, because frankly there is a hell of a lot of them and more coming every day. I simply don't see how we can stay on this path without disaster or revolution, I just don't.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    26. Re:Even more strange by stewbacca · · Score: 1

      These two stories posted back-to-back perfectly frame everything that is wrong with politicians.

    27. Re:Even more strange by stewbacca · · Score: 1

      as an european, i'd have to ask - what are those good things ? (trying to ignore "then-than" fuckup...)

      How about starting with, "The largest automobile manufacturer on the planet is still in business"? Not to mention, for the first time in GM history (during my 40 years of existence), they are actually producing some really good cars. ...which is really hard for me to admit, FWIW.

    28. Re:Even more strange by stewbacca · · Score: 2

      The reason manufacturing jobs are labeled "low-skill" is because they don't take much skill. Take your example. You and I are both in the academic field. Both of us can be trained in a few hours on how to assemble some machine components. The laborer, however, will most likely NEVER be able to conduct academic research. I think the anti-intellectual movement in the United States is a bigger disaster than if I were to go work on an assembly line putting airplane parts together.

      Nobody is arguing that low skill jobs aren't critically important or that their work isn't difficult, it's just that anyone can do it, which makes them "low-skill".

    29. Re:Even more strange by Culture20 · · Score: 1

      Anything except hard science/engineering at a doctorate level is stupid.

      PhDs? Doctors of Philosophy in hard science/engineering?

    30. Re:Even more strange by stewbacca · · Score: 2

      Right, because letting companies do whatever the hell they want is so good for the livelihood of workers. Ask some coal miner in West Virginia, or an oil rig worker in the Gulf how that worked out for them.

      If you think rich corporations will do the right thing just to create more jobs and not just give all their profits back to the rich old white guys on the board of directors, then you live in an alternate reality.

    31. Re:Even more strange by hairyfeet · · Score: 2

      But how much of that "comparative advantage" is horseshit? If I bash your skull in I could say I have a comparative advantage to your stuff, but I don't think you nor most other people would go for it. Right now last I checked 6 out of the top 10 cancer causing cities are in China. They dump heavy metals in the water, have land that makes our superfund sites look like a joke, and even now thanks to the "race to the bottom" or as I call it "The race for the 1%ers to fuck the world REAL good" we are already seeing things made in Malaysia as apparently they'd let them pollute even MORE than China!

      To say they have a comparative advantage is like saying I can be heavyweight champ of the world if I just shoot my opponent when I get in the ring. How much of a comparative advantage would they have if we made them have working conditions comparable to ours? if we refused to allow companies that throw up so much pollution in China that we can detect it on the west coast in? Whether the 1%ers want to admit it or not we are living in this tiny fish bowl they seem bound and determined to take a big old shit in. Just look at all the pollution and poisoning of our water table thanks to frakking and the "Halliburton clause". Is that REALLY what we want? To not stop until we ALL wear masks just to walk outside, and our kids can't even drink water for fear of heavy metals?

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    32. Re:Even more strange by stewbacca · · Score: 1

      Tinners, electricians, pipe fitters, welders, and so on aren't low skill; they're blue collar because they're labor intensive.

      They also aren't incredibly high skill either. It wouldn't take an intelligent person long to learn the principles of welding or electricity. Seems like high school science has those covered.

      But yes, they are blue collar because you get dirty, (hence a blue collar not a white one).

    33. Re:Even more strange by stewbacca · · Score: 1

      Except the government buying iPads had a zilch chance of happening. .

      Define "the government", because in my definition (schools operated at the state level count as the government), it's already happening. Keep in mind I'm in the education tech field as well, so I'm not just saying it's happening out of thin air.

    34. Re:Even more strange by spire3661 · · Score: 1

      Intelligence is not defined by averages. If everyone on the planet gained +30 IQ/brainpower/etc it would be a tremendous move forward for humanity on almost every level. Being able to deduce and think logically has nothing to do with average.

      --
      Good-bye
    35. Re:Even more strange by ComputerGeek01 · · Score: 1

      They may not need as many _human_ janitors if robots become cheaper.

      But then they will need maintenance workers for those robots. Installers to put in the other robots that build those robots. Instructors and exam writers to train those who use the robots. People to install new batteries and trouble shoot the 'hiccups' etc. ad infinum. There is plenty of room still for those who aren't too stubborn to learn, as long as our educational institutions can keep up with demand, which is why we all cry out for more support toward education.

    36. Re:Even more strange by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 2

      In short, foreign workers are refusing to get sick for little pay, the same way American workers did a century ago. Which will raise their costs, and reduce their country's comparative advantage.

      The foreign advantage in countries like China is primarily subsidized (comparative to US production) by externalized and hidden expenses in the environment and other costs to labor health. The environmental costs are already hitting the wall. The improved communications and emergence of disposable income in the labor pool, along with saturation of the labor supply by all the demand that switched to the comparably advantageous country, mean that workers there are gaining power and aspirations. So they will, as their Euramerican counterparts did as those same developments came in their countries, insist those externalized costs be paid by the producer of the costs, the owner of the production of the products.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    37. Re:Even more strange by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      Even Europe's industry is supported by the US manufacturing economy scale. Both in American consumers of European products, and in US production of components and materials bought and resold by Europeans.

      But indeed, the protection of the US manufacturing economy, and strategic products like vehicles, is better for Americans than for Europeans. As an American, I don't care that it is.

      BTW, while you're busy failing to ignore that "then-than" fuckup, you were creating the "uncapitalized inital letter of a sentence" fuckup, and the "an european" definite article and capitalization fuckups.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    38. Re:Even more strange by superdan2k · · Score: 2

      Sure you would. Because you've been programmed to think that everything that's built in a factory is nothing but "interchangeable parts" like Lego. The reality of the situation was quite different in WWII, and remains different in places where things are built by hand and not by computer. Do you think Bugatti has "low-skill" schlubs following instructions to build a Veyron? By that same argument, I can say that "most programmers are low-skill because they're just following instructions and linking code libraries together" (not true, I know).

      A couple years ago, I decided to learn the art of building custom bicycle frames. I'm a smart guy, how hard could it be? Turns out, it's pretty fucking hard. Welding, machining, etc. != low-skill job. It's just a different skillset than what you use.

      --
      blog |
    39. Re:Even more strange by Thiez · · Score: 1

      IQ doesn't measure absolute intelligence, it measures the intelligence of an individual compared to the rest of the population. The average IQ is 100, by definition, and the notion of everyone getting "+30 IQ" is ridiculous, and there is exactly one way to accomplish it: redefine the average to be 130 instead of 100.

    40. Re:Even more strange by hey! · · Score: 2

      Nothing strange here. People are reacting to a / . summary of some blogger's characterization of the speech as anti-tech or anti-Ipad. I think it might better be characterized as anti-China and pro-trade barrier, at least so far as trade with regimes with anti-Anerican values is concerned.

      Everyone knows that the Chinese regime is an abuser of individual liberties, but nobody sees it as their responsibility to take that into account when presented with a chance to share in the spoils.Even pro-regime thinkers believe China will become more open and democratic at some unspecified future date, just as they once thought the state apparatus would by some unidentified mechanism melt away and be replaced with an anarchist paradise. The reality is that the rights of individuals are seldom trampled for the benefit of future generations, they're trampled for the benefit of the people doing the trampling and their associates who choose to look the other way.

      And now that's all of us who aren't going to join an Amish community, thanks to decades of opportunistic policies where stagnant economic development in the US was masked by taking advantage of a brutal collective dictatorship. We're all culpable to some degree, but Jackson is right to single out individuals who took advantage and might have made a difference if they'd chosen to pay more than lip service to the problem. Jobs gets well-deserved credit for the financial benefits of transforming Apple from a manufacturing company to a design and marketing company. It's only fair he shoulder a share of the blame for the negative consequences. Saying that dealing with the fundamental corruption of the Chinese system isn't his job simply means he has in effect outsourced that corruption while stills enjoying its benefits.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    41. Re:Even more strange by MisterSquid · · Score: 1

      A couple years ago, I decided to learn the art of building custom bicycle frames. I'm a smart guy, how hard could it be? Turns out, it's pretty fucking hard. Welding, machining, etc. != low-skill job. It's just a different skillset than what you use.

      I think it's more accurate to say low skill != easy. The fact of the matter is that many types of blue collar work do not require the same levels of education as white collar jobs. Education and length of training are what determine "low" versus "high" skill, not the difficulty of labor. It's the facts that it takes a decade or more to train a doctor or nuclear physicist while a five-year apprenticeship often suffices for a machinist or welder that give "high" and "low" their meaning when applied to job skill levels.

      --
      blog
    42. Re:Even more strange by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      But he never makes any errors. And he paid good money for that comment, so it better darn-well be flawless.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    43. Re:Even more strange by spire3661 · · Score: 1

      Yes yes, i knew some troll was going to go there. The CONTEXT of what we were saying was that if the entire world jumped up the EQUIVALENT of +30 IQ, it would be a significant change all around. Global intelligence would increase dramatically regardless of the metric used. Thank you for wasting all of our time on the obvious but unstated.

      --
      Good-bye
    44. Re:Even more strange by smellotron · · Score: 1

      Your igorant slur on "Walmart people" always covers some pretty smart and wealthy people. I'm guessing you are one of the below average people.

      I think the GP was referring to a very specific people of walmart.

    45. Re:Even more strange by Mr.+Underbridge · · Score: 2

      Speaking of textile jobs, the company I work for started out over 100 years ago as a textile mill. Today they make head-mounted "augmented reality" displays. Those who are able to change and adapt will survive over the long term; those who do not will find that they've become obsolete.

      Wouldn't be the first textile company that grew a little. You're in good company. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Berkshire_Hathaway

      IMO the rise of Wall Street as the dominant force in our economy is a big part of the problem. Putting our "best and brightest" to work figuring out new and creative ways to skim profits off of people moving money around is not a good recipe for remaining an economic superpower in a global economy

      I'm of two minds on that. On one hand, it's true that these people aren't creating value. However, their efforts do have the effect of at least creating an insanely efficient market that reacts to stimuli in milliseconds. On the other hand, the error cascade for those systems is so huge that glitches cause crashes. Leverage is too damn high too.

      In the end, I think the fact that these graduates go to Wall Street is a symptom more than a problem: namely, industry doesn't have enough of a role for thinkers right now. I went to grad school at a place where the Wall Street companies come to steal talent, and they were probably 30% of the companies represented at career fairs (this was before the crash, though). I didn't work for them because that work isn't for me. But the problem was that there just weren't enough other attractive options to drown those guys out. If you're a mathie/physical scientist and you don't want to become a prof, work for a startup or a national lab, then you have fewer options than you might think, and Wall Street, management consulting (ie, Bain or McKinsey) and defense contractors dominate the remaining options. Sucks, really.

    46. Re:Even more strange by moortak · · Score: 1

      I have the feeling you have never set foot in a machine shop, especially for precision parts.

      --
      Xavier Rabourdin for president 2012
    47. Re:Even more strange by Majik+Sheff · · Score: 1

      If your grandfather was a toolmaker then his job was not "low skill". Not by any means. His job, in fact, was to make it so that the assembly line workers (who are low-skill) can operate at peak efficiency. Tool makers are the magic link between highly educated engineers who design the products and the mostly uneducated grunts on the production line.

      Hats-off to your grandfather and all of the tool makers through history. Our entire past is marked by their advances (stone, copper, bronze, iron, etc.).

      --
      Women are like electronics: you don't know how damaged they are until you try to turn them on.
    48. Re:Even more strange by richlv · · Score: 1

      why some company being business - just like that - is a good thing ?
      did they have some right to never fail ? or they were given guarantees that they will always be in business ?

      good cars is great - but it's not like nobody else would be incapable of creating them...

      --
      Rich
    49. Re:Even more strange by Omestes · · Score: 1

      I don't know about that. IQ itself is such a nebulous term as to be almost meaningless. What the hell does IQ actually measure? Your ability to take IQ tests, generally. Is IQ a substantive thing? Can I see it? Can I weigh it? Can I, with any degree of confidence, see how it effects the functioning of a living brain?

      At best IQ is a lose measure for mental potential. Without proper training, education, and environment, it is completely meaningless. Even then there is enough random variation in the enabling factors to make things a crap shoot. You may test into a 160 IQ, but you may only ever have the tools to sit at the average 100 in terms of actual ability. You may test as having an IQ of 80, but with tons of work and effort you could function better than people with IQs many SDs higher.

      Which makes me wonder, what does "function" mean? Are you, with your 160 IQ as socially useful as someone with an IQ of 100, or even 80? What are you contributing, that they can't? Sure, if everyone became engineers we might get some minor (mere) technological gadgets that may marginally increase our happiness. Who cares? A more likely scenario is these high IQ wunderkinds turning into quants at large financial firms and helping further tear down our economy, or work at large drug companies and help come up with slight variations of drugs to get around patents, or various other ethically dubious technical fields. Does a high IQ make you a better person? I rather doubt it, knowing many of the wretched, boastful, intelligent people I've met.

      I've known some very dumb people with very high IQs, and I've known some very intelligent people with sub-average IQs. There are tons of high IQ people rotting in prisons for murder (or in my experience, slowly drinking themselves to death), and tons of low IQ people who are working to make the world a better place. On its own, IQ is absolutely a stupid metric. It tells us nothing about the actual character, or larger usefulness, of the individual.

      Being able to deduce and think logically has nothing to do with average.

      People with a high IQ are as prone to illogical or contradictory thoughts as anyone else. IQ doesn't measure how close to being Mr. Spock you are. The world is messy. Accepting that IQ actually measures something meaningful, it still doesn't preclude emotions, lack of education, lack of forethought, basic psychological predispositions, and many other things that generally lead to harmful decision making. A lot of the worlds truly terrible dictators probably had an IQ far above average.

      --
      A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
    50. Re:Even more strange by Just+Brew+It! · · Score: 1

      I'm of two minds on that. On one hand, it's true that these people aren't creating value. However, their efforts do have the effect of at least creating an insanely efficient market that reacts to stimuli in milliseconds. On the other hand, the error cascade for those systems is so huge that glitches cause crashes. Leverage is too damn high too.

      Yes, the market is "efficient" (in the sense of reacting instantly to stimuli); but I think we're losing (if we haven't already lost) sight of the original purpose of the markets, namely to provide a mechanism to match willing investors with companies that need working capital. HFT (where the latencies of the trading algorithms are literally measured in microseconds not milliseconds) benefits nobody other than the gigantic trading firms who can afford to co-locate millions of dollars' worth of server equipment at the major exchanges.

      I went to grad school at a place where the Wall Street companies come to steal talent, and they were probably 30% of the companies represented at career fairs (this was before the crash, though). I didn't work for them because that work isn't for me. But the problem was that there just weren't enough other attractive options to drown those guys out. If you're a mathie/physical scientist and you don't want to become a prof, work for a startup or a national lab, then you have fewer options than you might think, and Wall Street, management consulting (ie, Bain or McKinsey) and defense contractors dominate the remaining options. Sucks, really.

      Used to be you could get a decent (and reasonably interesting) job in the telecommunications industry, but telecom basically imploded a little over 10 years ago. Funding for national labs is dicey these days as well. Over the course of my career I've made the rounds (several telecom firms, national lab, couple of stops in the financial industry, and now defense). Defense seems (relatively) secure for the moment... at least until the people clamoring for reducing the deficit face reality and realize that some of those cuts will need to come from defense. Regardless, I don't think this is what I want to do until I retire. As you say, the situation sucks.

    51. Re:Even more strange by Omestes · · Score: 1

      The laborer, however, will most likely NEVER be able to conduct academic research.

      Really? I really doubt that. My grandfather worked several low-skill jobs, but on the side he was an pretty damn good artist and wood worker. Obviously he was irrevocably mentally deficient because he didn't work in a field that you consider to be impressive. Later in his life, after running around and helping liberate some concentration camps, he worked on "point of display" advertising, which, looking at his old photos and notes, require much more math (think folding and topography) than most people are capable of.

      Intelligence is, to a very large degree, a matter of environment and training. Of opportunity. Yes, biology sets the highest potential (arguable measured by IQ), but all of the messy environmental bits actually set where your going to stand intellectually. My mom has a very, VERY, high IQ, and never got the training to actually do anything with it thanks to archaic marriage structures (women stay home and raise children, and most assuredly don't go to university). Many people have the capability of falling into you "gifted" realm, but never have the real world-opportunities to actually live up to that potential. I'm sure you would be sad to learn that many people could probably do your job if they only had the proper training, environment, and money to achieve that same place. Oh, and interestingly enough, a lot of people don't WANT to be academics or sit around staring at a computer monitor writing code.

      90% of your intellectual "superiority" is due to random environmental causes, and not any special trait innate to yourself. You are not special, you are not better than anyone. Your just another anonymous person, and I doubt very much that despite all of your superiority you will individuality contribute much more than any member of the so-called inferior underclass.

      Around less than 1% of people will ever do anything lastingly meaningful. How are you, or me, any different?

      I think the anti-intellectual movement in the United States is a bigger disaster than if I were to go work on an assembly line putting airplane parts together.

      I agree. Anti-intellectualism is pretty moronic, as is our embrace of the lowest common denominator as somehow superior. But then again, I would fall into the anti-elitist camp when confronted with your near-eugenic, baseless elitism. You aren't as special as you think you are, nor is anyone as inferior to you as you'd like them to be.

      --
      A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
    52. Re:Even more strange by DurendalMac · · Score: 1

      Let me rephrase that: The government buying iPads for everyone as Jackson had requested had a zilch chance of happening.

    53. Re:Even more strange by jd2112 · · Score: 1

      It's like everyone clammoring to bail out GM and save a bunch of low skill jobs that are going nowhere but overseas in the future anyway.

      Please explain why Toyota, Honda, Nissan, Hyundai, etc. all make many of their more popular models in USA? The jobs aren't all going overseas, just out of Detroit.

      --
      Any insufficiently advanced magic is indistinguishable from technology.
    54. Re:Even more strange by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 1

      But what if "surviving and adapting" means employing 3 people but consuming the what amounts to 100 people's median annual incomes?

      "But wait!" you say, "The owner of that person who owns this 3 person company that takes in 100 people's incomes in revenue will spend it back in the market."

      1) Only if the operating expenses are for items which weren't also produced by 3 to 100 employee companies.

      2) The business owner having found a marvelously labor efficient business will probably start a similar business with said money. (See #1)

      So you get into this cycle where a huge boost in efficiency. Profits a few but has no tangible benefit to the many. Eventually our future factory owner will be able to reduce everyone except for himself. He will be wildly profitable but have no customers.

      This is the point Jessie Jackson Jr was trying to make: efficiency for efficiency's sake isn't inherently bad--but if as a result we don't protect those who are no longer needed then we can create an unstable economy where only a few profit and the many suffer.

      Sometimes it's better to be a little less efficient when it results in a healthier population. After all the point of government is to look after the interests of the people--not it's GDP. If we doubled our GDP but halved the average wage... didn't the 'economy' improve? What if the GDP stagnated but the median income rose? Which of those scenarios would most people view as an improved economy?

      Honestly I don't give a shit if the GDP rose but my wages fell. I would consider that an economy that got worse--my economy.

      We have rightfully viewed the need to 'change and adapt' for thousands of years. But not only is the speed at which we have to change and adapt rapidly accelerating (faster than some can manage) but we're also reaching an unprecedented point in history where machines can not only do--but think. And when machines can think then you start replacing humans in the work force for good.

    55. Re:Even more strange by joss · · Score: 1

      It's wrong in a third way too. In the long run, a lot of the smart jobs have a depend upon manufacturing and one can only get away with outsourcing the physical "low-skill" stuff and keeping the design and services stuff for a limited period. There's a feedback loop, one learns different skill sets on the factory floor and the low level requirements drive higher levels (design/engineering just to start with). A university which dismissed all its experimental physicists because the experimental was considered lower status than the theoretical might gain a temporary bump in prestige (if one went along with the analogy of it being lower status) but it would not remain a top class institution for very long. The loss of manufacturing is going to hurt in the medium term and be a total disaster in the long run, whatever market theory says.

      --
      http://rareformnewmedia.com/
    56. Re:Even more strange by cdrguru · · Score: 1

      Jesse Jackson Sr. is very good at getting companies to knuckle under. He is famous for this and can trigger all sorts of things in the black community.

      Jesse Jackson Jr. is probably playing on hopes that Apple will give him millions to shut up. Or, give iPads to all the inner city black students that are "oppressed" using some rule that excludes all but black inner-city youth without ever saying "black" in the specific rules guiding distribution. He might win in the end because he can certainly use the House as a forum to make himself heard.

    57. Re:Even more strange by stewbacca · · Score: 1

      Less than 1% of people make a difference? Pessimist much? I'm in education. I make a difference every day (not public school or university, mind you, but training people how to do their jobs).

    58. Re:Even more strange by lawpoop · · Score: 1

      But then they will need maintenance workers for those robots

      But wouldn't the net effect anyway be less demand for human labor? I mean, isn't that the point of making robot/machine anythings? If all we're doing is build robots so we can do a new job for a while, why bother? Instead, aren't we building machines so that we have to work less? And with an Earth that's gaining people, isn't this going to be a problem?

      --
      Computers are useless. They can only give you answers.
      -- Pablo Picasso
    59. Re:Even more strange by exomondo · · Score: 1

      Sounds like you need a tour of a local high school to understand that not all students are destined for upper management these days.

      What about finance, design, science, engineering, arts, journalism, etc...? There are plenty of fields other than 'upper management' that don't fit into the category of 'low skilled jobs'.

    60. Re:Even more strange by manwargi · · Score: 1

      I see this sentiment thrown around a lot on the issue of robots making jobs obsolete but would the ratio of maintenance workers to robots honestly be 1:1? Would it honestly stay 1:1? If someone wasn't going to be displaced from this developments what would be the point of switching to robots?

    61. Re:Even more strange by orngjce223 · · Score: 1

      http://marshallbrain.com/manna1.htm

      Multiple, blatant logical and factual errors aside, this guy is effective at conveying the spirit of what's happening here. Ignore the utopia at the end, please (it's a structure that lends itself to being manipulated by demagogues), but the general premise of it is sound and compelling enough to be used despite the obvious errors.

      I personally am studying for a field of work that will lead to my being replaced by a small shell script^W^W^W^W an AI algorithm within the next few decades, once AIs get convincing natural language processing algorithms. Which is fine with me, provided that someone takes care of the "we will all be on welfare at the end of this" problem.

      I don't think anyone's taking care of that problem yet.

      --
      Note: I was 13 when I wrote most of this. Take with several grains of salt.
    62. Re:Even more strange by The+End+Of+Days · · Score: 1

      Most modern manufacturing is low-skill precisely because we no longer rely on the inconsistencies of building things by hand.

      Incidentally, picking planes as an example is fairly disingenuous. The article specifies iPads, which likely requires two weeks training tops to become proficient in whatever step the individual worker is doing. You can't really take examples from 65+ years ago and remotely hope to make them relevant to business today. It's not the same game.

    63. Re:Even more strange by williamhb · · Score: 1

      A WW2 era Toolmaker is not low skill. On the contrary it took great skill and was highly regarded trade back in the day.

      Absolutely, and that is precisely my point. But if you look at the other replies to my post, you will see exactly the sort of prejudice ("it was in a factory, therefore it must have been low skill and a dog could do it") that I was complaining about. In your case, you believe that there once were high skill jobs, but you seem to believe that there aren't any more. There is still a whole ecosystem of high-skill labour around setting up and running an efficient manufacturing plant that is also lost when manufacturing is closed down as an industry. People look at manufacturing and see only the low-skill jobs. I see old university friends who are chemical engineers, process engineers, polymer chemists, and many other fields who have to move countries to get a job because we just don't make anything here any more.

    64. Re:Even more strange by williamhb · · Score: 1

      Take any number of people coming out of high school from your grandfathers time (or heck even our modern time [or double heck grab a bunch of workers from a car factory), I'd like for you to find one that could design an airplane that flies, figure out all the materials required, then form assembly instructions that could be repeated for best results in the fastest way possible.

      Actually, that's pretty easy. My uncle on my mother's side. If I recall correctly, he did not attend university. However he most certainly was an engineer who designed aircraft and did just what you say, for British Aerospace. Or to give you another example, Frank Whittle invented and built the jet engine while he was an aircraft apprentice in the RAF. It was only after he invented the engine that aviation now totally relies upon that he attended university.

    65. Re:Even more strange by A.+Bosch · · Score: 1

      > But for some reason it's his job that would be classified as "blue collar" and "low-skill". I have to disagree with that. Blue-collar, yes. But tool and die makers are extremely skilled individuals. I worked in a machine shop back in the 1980s and the tool makers were well-respected and at the top of the pecking order in the shop (which was fairly large.) They were the blue-collar equivalent I guess of sys admins, bordering on BOFH status. They were catered to, and the other less-skilled machinists kowtowed to them. They were also the highest-paid in the shop.

      --
      Where there is the necessary technical skill to move mountains, there is no need for the faith that moves mountains.
    66. Re:Even more strange by ancienthart · · Score: 1

      I'm academically trained and I'd definitely NOT class toolmaking as 'low-skill' - metallurgy, tempering, shaping, cutting edges, welding, etc. Anything involving engineering practices (mechanic, carpentry, plumbing for example) is pretty complex to learn and do, even if it's done through trade schools (TAFE) rather than universities. (Have you SEEN the books recommended for Australian TAFE engineering or mechanical degrees? *shudder* There's a lot of very high level maths there.)

      But on the other hand, a hypothetical job-swap between true 'low-skill' jobs such as house cleaning, fast food service or politics isn't going to cause the country to collapse.
      In Australia we have something called the "Tall Poppy" syndrome (As in "Tall Poppies get their heads cut off."), where people seem to delight in classing people as "arrogant Ivory Tower Academics" or "humble, honest Average Joe's" with no recognition of the existence of the (very wide) middle ground or cross-over. I've met plenty of self-labelled "Average Joe's" who can out-arrogance anyone I've met at Uni.

    67. Re:Even more strange by ancienthart · · Score: 1

      An apprenticeship is much like a black belt in martial arts. Attainment doesn't denote proficiency or the end of training, just that they're now save enough to let them play with the big boys. It can take years of experience to create a master machinist or welder.

    68. Re:Even more strange by MoeDumb · · Score: 1

      Your joke, updated: Two politicians approach a bridge too narrow for both. One says "I never step aside for scoundrels." The other stepped aside, and said "I always do." The first crosses and yells "Sucka!"

      --
      Mod Me Up. You'll make a grown man cry.
    69. Re:Even more strange by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      The idea at one stage, was to use all those productivity gains to reduce the amount of time a worker needed to work. Of course the rich and greedy being insatiably greedy put paid to that idea, preferring to line their own pockets instead with all those productivity gains and calling workers greedy and lazy for daring to want a share of those productivity gains. Simply the majority got foolishly screwed over by the psychopathic minority.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    70. Re:Even more strange by BlackHawk-666 · · Score: 1

      I think the problem with your argument is assuming tool-makers are low skilled. It actually takes a lot of technical skill and craft to be able to perform the job well. Unskilled labour is the sort of work you see on an assembly line where a person can be trained for the job in hours or days at most.

      There was also an impedance mismatch between the two examples you choose - one being of a paper whose meaning is insignificant to all but a few bored conference members vs a fighter pilot in a truly dangerous situation where every last thing needs to go right.

      Had you instead chosen an example of a surgeon vs the person who screws caps onto toothpaste containers (now generally done by machine) then your result would have been completely different.

      --
      All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain.
    71. Re:Even more strange by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      And as a possibly interesting fact, we can get these industries back, employ not only those that go to college but those that learn welding & plumbing and "factory" type jobs as well, by getting rid of the income taxes, all of them. Read here:

      "Bill Archer, former head of the House Ways and Means Committee, asked Princeton University Econometrics to survey 500 European and Asian companies regarding the effect on their business decisions if the United States enacted the FairTax. 400 of those companies stated they would build their next plant in the United States, and 100 companies said they would move their corporate headquarters to the United States.[61]"

      Yes, that's footnoted 61 in the Fair Tax article in Wikipedia. The Fair Tax proposes to completely kill income taxes and replace them with consumption taxes - retail sales taxes. This would let our industries compete with the world.

      Just sayin' - I think people need to realize how badly we're shooting ourselves in the foot while using the income taxes to attack the "evil" rich and the "evil" industries. Income taxes are the 2nd biggest mistake this country has ever made, right behind slavery. Do we need another civil war to get rid of income taxes?

    72. Re:Even more strange by Phoghat · · Score: 1

      In other news he decried the dearth of buggy whip manufacturers saying that all those people would have to be retrained for work in other fields.

      --
      Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that.
    73. Re:Even more strange by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      We already have robot vacuum cleaners and the technology exists to empty bins, gather dirty mugs and plates etc. Most factory work could be or already is automated. Brick laying robots exist and eventually will be capable of doing almost all the work constructing a building. The problem with low skilled jobs is that they are the first to be replaced by machines.

      Skilled clerical jobs have already been made redundant by technology. A medium sized company used to need a whole department for accounting and payroll, now one or two people with a copy of Sage can do it.

      In the long run I think we just have to accept that eventually there won't be enough work to keep everyone occupied for 35-40 hours a week. I look forward to having more free time in the future.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    74. Re:Even more strange by nobodie · · Score: 1

      Maybe he realized that this is equivalent to giving kids a big screen PSP or DS since that is really all they are. I have yet to see anyone use them for anything other than stupid physics games (no,I am not saying that physics is stupid, just the games, physics is the adjective, not the noun) and the occasional: "hey look at the cool thing my iPad can do!" which is never repeated afterwards through that app.

      --
      Subversion of spatial scale luxury decoration ideas.
    75. Re:Even more strange by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      Look at all these little things! So busy now! Notice how each one is useful. A lovely ballet ensues, so full of form and color. Now, think about all those people that created them. Technicians, engineers, hundreds of people, who will be able to feed their children tonight, so those children can grow up big and strong and have little teeny children of their own, and so on and so forth. Thus, adding to the great chain of life. You see, father, by causing a little destruction, I am in fact encouraging life. In reality, you and I are in the same business.

      --zOrg, The Fifth Element

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    76. Re:Even more strange by Omestes · · Score: 1

      I got a little bit too snarky, and I apologize for that. I just can't stand when people think that they are somehow better than people, and then make up a biological basis to prove it. Its dangerous and factually wrong.

      That said... And please don't take this as a personal attack, since I don't know you; 90% of the teachers and professors I've ever had were completely forgettable, or worse, damaging. I can actually count the teachers who, in my almost 30 years of schooling, actually changed my life on one hand. Again, that wasn't a personal attack, you may be exceptional. But, thanks to the definition of the word, you probably aren't.

      This isn't to say your a worthless individual, or not worthy of respect or concern. You probably have the love and respect of your friends and family, you probably try your hardest. Your probably a very decent individual, which is pretty much all that matters in the end. But in the grand scheme of things your probably just as important as a "low-skill" factory worker, most of us are.

      --
      A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
    77. Re:Even more strange by stewbacca · · Score: 1

      I understand, however, I never made a biological basis to prove that I am better than anyone else. I made an education-level basis. As someone who deals with learner analysis every day, it is not unfair to deem certain learners only capable of learning to a specific peak level, based on all sorts of factors. One of them could possibly be biological, but I do not bother myself with the underlying reasons WHY somebody is less developed than others, only that they are (and what kind of training to design in order to fulfill their training needs).

    78. Re:Even more strange by Omestes · · Score: 1

      I understand, however, I never made a biological basis to prove that I am better than anyone else. I made an education-level basis.

      Then I apologize, I read; "The laborer, however, will most likely NEVER be able to conduct academic research." as as an advocacy of some biological standard of intelligence/worth. If it wasn't meant that way, please ignore my venom and ire.

      , but I do not bother myself with the underlying reasons WHY somebody is less developed than others, only that they are (and what kind of training to design in order to fulfill their training needs).

      Outside of the, probably, job specific way you phrase that; I think we should focus more on how to elevate the "low skilled" to the top of their innate ability than on how special us "intellectual types" are. I have a feeling that giving a bit of time and encouragement most of these people COULD write an academic paper, if they wanted to. Why they would want to, is a completely different question.

      --
      A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
    79. Re:Even more strange by NetNed · · Score: 1

      Really? You didn't take that statement as a generalization? It was meant to infer that some are not fit for ANY high level of education job.

      I know you were not the first to post something like this, but really, don't you live in this country? There are countless people that I run in to almost every day that I would even want doing more then simple labor for fear that they might hurt themselves or others. That is the simple reality of the matter. Not every student is fit for high level jobs that require strong thinking skills or high level education. When I say high level education, I mean a college degree, which might not be high level to some, but for kids that are struggling to get out of high school, college is unobtainable. For other, even trade schools are too much.

  13. Barnes and Noble Nook by colinrichardday · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Does he know that Barnes and Noble has its own e-reader? Or that Amazon had one before the iPad?

    1. Re:Barnes and Noble Nook by gmhowell · · Score: 1

      Does he know that Barnes and Noble has its own e-reader? Or that Amazon had one before the iPad?

      When you get a good rant going, it doesn't matter if other people know about the Germans bombing Pearl Harbor.

      --
      Jesus was all right but his disciples were thick and ordinary. -John Lennon
    2. Re:Barnes and Noble Nook by countertrolling · · Score: 1
      --
      For justice, we must go to Don Corleone
    3. Re:Barnes and Noble Nook by gmhowell · · Score: 1

      Please tell me you were 'joking'...

      Pssst it was the Japanese...

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V8lT1o0sDwI

      --
      Jesus was all right but his disciples were thick and ordinary. -John Lennon
  14. Save the horse whip makers! by Myji+Humoz · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If the odd case that anyone thinks Jesse Jackson Jr. has anything close to a valid point:

    1) Though jobs for some brick and mortar retailers are lost, the loss is due to a structural change in the market induced by increasing digitization rather than through any one product. Horse buggy makers went out of business when automobiles came out, and much the same rhetoric was spewed to attack the manufacturers of cars.

    2) China makes the iPads. True, but manufacturing is no longer a $40+benefits job with enough seniority. Gone for the foreseeable future are high paying manufacturing jobs that we as a nation want to focus on. The success of the IPad has spurred other technology companies to push their own tablets onto market. What does that mean? The tech companies hire more mechanical/electrical/computer/systems engineers, computer/materials scientists, programmers, designers, and production line developers. Those workers produce far more "value" to an economy than a factory worker in a mass production line. Ask a Foxxcomm worker (the guys who make iPads and iPods) if they'd rather be working in a Chinese factory or at the Apple headquarters, and guess what? They'd rather be an engineer.

    3) Librarians aren't useful because the buildings they're in have information. They're highly useful because they can advise us where to find the relevant information. The librarians at my university aren't there to restock books or charge late fees. They're hired because they can help students track down critical papers, research vital bits of information, and educate them about how to find the right kind of sources. Brick and mortar stores are useful because they offer a tactile shopping experience that online systems can't seem to replicate yet. Same idea: physical locations and people offer have value added characteristics.

    4) There are many things to blame for the job market pains in the United States. I don't think anyone is educated enough to really understand the "true" driving factors, but you know what? I sincerely doubt that stiffing innovation, creativity, and technological development is the way to go.

    Actually sorry, I'm wrong. On behalf of the *IAA cabal and the Chinese Council for American Advisement, I suggest that we focus all of our governmental energy on stopping piracy of songs and movies instead of nurturing markets and funding basic science. If we can stop all illegal firesharing, we can save up to $13 trillion a year in damages!! That's several times more than the technology market makes in a year!

    --
    Signatures are the new names.
    1. Re:Save the horse whip makers! by Idbar · · Score: 1

      If we can stop all illegal firesharing, we can save up to $13 trillion a year in damages!! That's several times more than the technology market makes in a year!

      Yes! And this money is going to feed many people! mmm... At least, as many as the singer/artist wants to donate.

    2. Re:Save the horse whip makers! by Rakshasa+Taisab · · Score: 1

      Horse whip makers were saved by the rise in BDSM.

      --
      - These characters were randomly selected.
    3. Re:Save the horse whip makers! by sznupi · · Score: 1
      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
  15. Re:Occam's razor - there's a more likely explanati by gmhowell · · Score: 1

    You trying to say you can't tell the difference between Jesse Jackson, Jr. and Johnny Cochrane? That's some racist shit there....

    --
    Jesus was all right but his disciples were thick and ordinary. -John Lennon
  16. Re:jessie who? by $RANDOMLUSER · · Score: 2

    George W. who? Name recognition is half the battle in politics. For better or worse, Jesse Jackson Jr. has it. And also like George W, don't expect anything any smarter from him than you got from his old man.

    --
    No folly is more costly than the folly of intolerant idealism. - Winston Churchill
  17. Progress by inventorM · · Score: 1

    Obsolescence is the result of progress. How many carriage manufacturers still exist? When automobiles were first introduced, they were direct competitors to carriages. However, since automobiles have proven themselves to be better than carriages, the carriages have become obsolete, and therefore are no longer produced, except as historical replicas. The carriage manufacturers all went out of business or converted to building automobiles. When a new technology replaces an old technology, businesses must adapt, or go out of business. Please not that a few companies still produce carriages. Physical media will always have a special place. Everyday reading may become increasingly digital, but digitizing ordinary books allows special books to have prominence on the physical bookshelf.

    1. Re:Progress by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Will somebody PLEASE tell this to the recording industry???

    2. Re:Progress by The+End+Of+Days · · Score: 2

      Why? DRM free digital recordings are widely available for reasonable prices. They seem to have figured out the right way to offer things.

    3. Re:Progress by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      No, "they" didn't, others did. "They" resisted changing their business model at all for many years. And in case you haven't noticed, "they" -- the biggest of them, at least -- are still resorting to trying to sue children rather than going to the trouble of pricing most of their product reasonably.

    4. Re:Progress by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Nothing intended to scare about it. Did you read the study that was completed recently, that showed that piracy was largely the result of the recording industry's own pricing model, not piracy? It was discussed right here on Slashdot.

      And the recording industry is not a "producer". Quite the opposite. In fact their historical business model has been to create artificial scarcity, while they promote "stars" of their own choosing picked out of the wannabes.

      But back to the original subject: when your pricing model is outrageous and you try to impose it by force rather than free market effects, yes, you should expect that you will get ripped off. If your company behaves like monopolistic mafia, people will respond in kind. Live with it.

    5. Re:Progress by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Perhaps THIS CHART will help give you a real perspective on just how much record companies "produce", compared to an open market that doesn't use their services, which many musicians are moving to.

  18. Re:Sad. by Dachannien · · Score: 1

    I think you got Jesse Jackson, Sr., confused with the subject of TFA, Jesse Jackson, Jr.

  19. Re:Print media is going nowhere by Anrego · · Score: 2

    Probably more likely they'll just go out of business.

    Unless you live in a huge area, you and your "serious reader" friends probably don't represent enough business to keep them afloat.

  20. Bob Woodward Blames Google for Killing Newspapers by theodp · · Score: 2

    Must've been something going around last week: Washington Post Assistant Managing Editor Bob Woodward said he told [Google CEO Eric] Schmidt that some day his tombstone will read, "I killed newspapers."

  21. Re:Occam's razor - there's a more likely explanati by $RANDOMLUSER · · Score: 1

    Any similarity to any other flim-flammers, demagogues or rabble-rousers, living or dead, is purely coincidental.

    --
    No folly is more costly than the folly of intolerant idealism. - Winston Churchill
  22. So can we work less? by h00manist · · Score: 3, Interesting

    If there is no need for wasting paper, why do we need to work? Is it a religion, does everyone have to work, consume, and waste? What's broken are the economists, who cannot adjust the economy to change with the technology. Humanity has evolved before, but it was never by resiting change, but thirsting for it. There is no need to work just to consume, consume, there is a need to study, research and invent. That is real work.

    --
    Build your own energy sources from scratch. http://otherpower.com/
    1. Re:So can we work less? by uofitorn · · Score: 1

      Your ideas are intriguing to me and I wish to subscribe to your newsletter.

      --
      "What kind of music do pirates listen to?" -Paul Maud'dib
      "Yeeeaaarrrrr n' Bee!!" -Stilgar, Leader of Sietch Tabr
    2. Re:So can we work less? by Xarius · · Score: 1

      You seem to be the only person to point this out so far, and I completely agree! If there is less work to go around, then why don't we work less?

      --
      C17H21NO4
    3. Re:So can we work less? by h00manist · · Score: 2

      You seem to be the only person to point this out so far, and I completely agree! If there is less work to go around, then why don't we work less?

      We need to organize in another way. Discuss among ourselves, organize, produce and work independently. We work for the profit of corporations, not to satisfy our human needs. We are not organized into task-forces to meet our own needs of education, health, transportation, communication, housing, and products. We are organized into working for companies, to produce profit, to pay the company's bills, which are the profit of other companies, which are the profits of investors, who don't actaully work at all, they just pile and save profits, and it goes to buy luxury, unecessary, wasteful products, which prople work to produce instead of what they really need. We are organized in a way planning work to produce profit margins first, perhaps accidentally a byproduct is to meet some human needs or wants, but that's not the real, primary objective, just sometimes a necessary part of the work to produce profit. We work to produce large profit margins, basically. Which is not so terrible, except that our own needs are not really made to be a priority.

      But the devil's advocate (corporation and government) justification will go, nobody does anything without money. Money comes from jobs and profit, jobs come from companies, companies depend on product consumption.
      Study it more, and money really is a representation of labor and goods from natural product extraction. No money or product exists without human labor and nature's raw materials. Companies are just organized human labor.
        So what we need is to organize ourselves, organize our work, produce for our needs, and that's what money and economy were designed to do originally - distribute work and product in an efficient, economizing way.
      But economies have been hijacked by intemediaries at several levels, abusing it, making "money" become just a formula to slice off portions of the work of other people, while giving various nonsense, twisted and misleading "explanations of the theory of productivity and economic efficiency"

      --
      Build your own energy sources from scratch. http://otherpower.com/
    4. Re:So can we work less? by meta-monkey · · Score: 1

      Imagine how much cheaper it would be to live today like our parents or grandparents lived. One income, modest house, one simple car, one TV, no cellphones. We keep hearing about how middle-class people have to work so hard to make ends meet, and it's mainly because middle-class people want to consume so much shit they didn't seem to need before.

      --
      We don't have a state-run media we have a media-run state.
    5. Re:So can we work less? by h00manist · · Score: 1

      people want to consume so much shit they didn't seem to need before.

      Market generation or something like that. There are actually tons of professionals who work every day planning how to create demand, increase desire, create needs, and then how to fulfill those needs, except not really, so that it becomes an infinite need. In other words planning how to make people dependent, addicted, hook them by whatever their basic weaknesses, running in circles spending all their money on nothing in particular.

      --
      Build your own energy sources from scratch. http://otherpower.com/
  23. It's not an anti tech rant! Watch the f'in video! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    It's not anti technology! The guy loves the iPad! He's just upset that the US is losing jobs to creative destruction and outsourcing and the GOP is worried about debt!!

    He's bang freaking on.

  24. Re:Blacksmiths and coopers by inventorM · · Score: 1

    The technologies that "replaced" blacksmiths has allowed them to take a time that blacksmiths used to spend making mundane things like hinges and nails, and spend that time making beautiful wrought iron fences, for example.

  25. Gutenberg, you bastard! by jcr · · Score: 1

    With your newfangled "printing press", you put all those scribes out of work! Damn you!

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  26. Re:As fanbois queue in the dark, Jobs makes millio by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    Am I boring or what?

    No, just a dumbass.

  27. Pitiful. by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Ah, a classic case of attacking the irrelevant symptoms and ignoring the relevant causes.

    Has the supply of US jobs that aren't either burger flipping or financial services scamming been gutted like a landed fish? Oh fuck yeah. Is that the iPad's fault? How can you even seriously consider such a foolish idea?

    With more respect than I can usually muster for Mr. Jackson, the numbers don't lie: American workers have been treading water or worse since the 70's. The economy as a whole has been doing OK, and productivity per worker has actually never been better; but fuck all of that has gone to the bottom 90-odd percent. The comparatively low-skill, low-capital populations that Jackson is probably most interested in appealing to have done particularly badly. The idea, though, that the destruction of a fairly modest number of low-skill, low-pay service sector jobs by technology is the root(or even a reasonably sized branch) of the problem would be hilarious were it not taken seriously. Low-skill, low-pay service sector jobs are the paltry rewards of the post-industrial economy, where people flip burgers for one another. If you are reduced to quibbling over those, you have already lost.

    1. Re:Pitiful. by noshellswill · · Score: 2

      You make the right point ... and don't see it. Something like 95% of all American workers are in-fact reduced to that quibble. Radical de-capitalization of American business is the **only** repeat **only** solution for those 95% of de-employed workers. Repeat that fraction until the truth no longer hurts. No (desirable) employment future exists for 95% of American workers. Then consider the rational de-industrialization options. That or a bloody-handed Luddite_motivated civil war which I think will kill-off 2-3-million byteboyz, but it may kill 70-million proles if the military starts to sterilize neighborhoods. Pick yo poison pilgrim.

  28. That man has ALWAYS been an idiot by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    You would think that he would be opposed to Illegals as well as China's manipulation of economic situation. Instead, he wants to blame IPad. Tomorrow it will be Android. Of course, later, we will find paychecks from MS or Bill gates.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  29. In the words of Bugs Bunny by Austerity+Empowers · · Score: 1

    "What a maroon."

  30. Re:Print media is going nowhere by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I think it's more likely that the bookstores will downsize or close. Retail shelf space has a cost, and they need a certain amount of turnover to pay that cost, going down the tail isn't going to help when you have a very limited amount of space. You need a lot of niche market spending to make up for the loss mass market volume, it's not impossible, but it is hard.

  31. Re:Blacksmiths and coopers by QuantumLeaper · · Score: 1

    Yep, door close on nice paying manufacturing job and another one opens down the street at MC Donalds.... Real 'high' paying jobs (sarcasm).

  32. Re:Minimum wage by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    Get rid of the minimum wage and more people will have jobs.

    But not money.

  33. anti-science - what does he expect? by rcpitt · · Score: 4, Insightful

    All this right after I read Wired Science's article on 7 science-education battlegrounds of 2011 If the US wants to be effective in technology they have to stop being stupid in education - otherwise we Canadians, along with the rest of the world, will beat the crap out of you.

    --
    Been there, done that, paid for the T-shirt
    and didn't get it
    1. Re:anti-science - what does he expect? by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      lol. funniest post in ages. too bad you posted anon.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
  34. In other news: by geminidomino · · Score: 2

    In other news, people with at least half of a functioning brain blame US Job Losses on Congress (including JJJr)

    1. Re:In other news: by cyber-vandal · · Score: 1

      Nothing to do with those jobs being moved to countries without inconvenient laws requiring them to treat their workers like humans then?

    2. Re:In other news: by geminidomino · · Score: 1

      Absolutely. And Congress, who clearly has no problem creating "disincentives" for we peons, does nothing about it.

    3. Re:In other news: by cyber-vandal · · Score: 1

      If it's any comfort the removal of people's disposable income will fuck the corporate scum and their pet politicians as much as the rest of us.

    4. Re:In other news: by geminidomino · · Score: 1

      It's not. Once they've bled it dry, they'll just flutter off to somewhere that actually has a standard of living almost as good as the one they destroyed.

      I wish I believed in karma.

    5. Re:In other news: by cyber-vandal · · Score: 1

      No one will be buying their products so they will lose out as well.

    6. Re:In other news: by geminidomino · · Score: 1

      Sure they will. Just not the people around them.

  35. Right now Jackson is at home... by Logos · · Score: 1

    ...playing Angry Birds on his ipad and laughing at how expertly he trolled slashdot!

    --
    We are agents of the free
  36. Double Slap by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    If he was smart, he'd focus on just problems of lopsided trade, which have more legitimacy in my opinion. Instead, he liberally sprinkled in some old-fashioned ludditism. He's giving trade complaints a bad name by mixing them in.

    I see it more as a symptom of regular folks getting nervous that the rich are getting richer while they are getting left behind. Regular folks cannot even afford an iPad. First manufacturing jobs were sent overseas, and now they are making products that most people cannot afford.

    It's like a double slap: first your job goes away, then things are made overseas just for the rich, the same people who benefit the most from off-shoring of your job.

    1. Re:Double Slap by Man+On+Pink+Corner · · Score: 1

      Regular folks cannot even afford an iPad.

      Who gives a shit? 15,000,000 people managed to scrape together enough dough to buy them in 2010 alone.

      Trying to start a class war in America is almost as dumb as buying into Jackson's rhetoric.

    2. Re:Double Slap by jbplou · · Score: 1

      What do you mean regular folks can't even afford an iPad? Sure the poor can't but the middle class can, why do think it sells so well at 499? If regular folks couldn't afford it, it would be a failed product. In America the middle class has HD tvs, Xbox360s, and other consumer electronics the iPad is no different.

    3. Re:Double Slap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Lopsided trade is a joke. Let's take the case of the iPad, obviously there are chips that go in it, those were probably developed by a US company. That US company outsources their manufacture to China or Taiwan. The chips cost $1 to produce, sell for $5, Chinese companies pay $5 for those chips and manufacture the iPad. The iPad is manufactured and imported to the US - our trade deficit goes up by the manufacturing price of the iPad. Meanwhile, US companies took $4 per chip in revenues, and the iPad sold for whatever the markup is, while the Chinese manufacturers made 5-10% on the pieces they put together. Sure, our trade deficit looks like hell, but guess what, we made all the money... Sure, China made $30 on putting together that iPad, but we made $500, who is getting the better end of that bargain?

    4. Re:Double Slap by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

      I've got news for you: trying to start a class war in America is indeed stupid, because one started years ago and is just entering the 'mop up' phase...

      Ironically for Jackson, consumer electronics are one of the things that have gotten cheaper faster than Joe Sixpack has gotten poorer, and thus are a lousy thing to try to get people worked up about.

    5. Re:Double Slap by klingens · · Score: 1

      From what I remember, The CPU ISA is designed by a british company, Parts of the CPU were designed by a mini startup (100? 200 people?) Apple bought and fabbed by Samsung. The flash chips are made by Toshiba (or Samsung?), another true blue american company there!

      As for the rest of your statement about which company profits from building the IPad: your understanding of multinational corporations economics is utterly moronic.

    6. Re:Double Slap by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      ...yes a whole half of one percent of the US population.

      You should probably cut that in half or by two thirds to consider world wide distribution.

      It really helps to have a grasp of math when trying to put some of these numbers into perspective.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    7. Re:Double Slap by Man+On+Pink+Corner · · Score: 1

      You should probably cut that in half or by two thirds to consider world wide distribution.

      Meh, whatever. You can run a pretty good business selling $500 items with $250 markup to 15,000,000 people through your own retail storefronts.

      It really helps to have a grasp of math when trying to put some of these numbers into perspective.

      You might want to check your own math, there, Rotsky. I hear there's an app for that.

    8. Re:Double Slap by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      Why? The rich keep bribing more concessions out of Congress. We are becoming a plutocracy.

  37. The horse/car comparisons are missing the point by DeepBrain · · Score: 1

    When the car industry replaced horses (in the U.S.), that created a wide range of American jobs for a broad range of people with a broad range of skill/education levels. Manufacturing jobs, engineering jobs, repair jobs (your neighbourhood mechanic, anyone?), construction jobs (all the roads needed for cars), etc.

    Apple (or most modern technology companies) doesn't. They create engineering jobs (until those get moved to India). They create jobs flipping burgers (the only jobs left for unskilled workers in America) in their cafeteria for the engineers and marketeers. Jobs for FedEx airline pilots who fly planes full of iPads from China. Retail jobs in the Apple stores. But unlike most innovations of an earlier era (cars, airplanes, trains, whatever), iPads (or iPhones or iPods) create next to no blue-collar jobs in the country that invented it. No repair jobs (what repair? send it back to China for refurbishment) and no manufacturing/assembly jobs (all done overseas). And the suppliers' manufacturing jobs (along with many high-skilled engineering jobs, e.g. for the LCD panels) are all overseas too...

    I had a BlackBerry a few years ago. It was made in Canada. If RIM can do some of their manufacturing in their home country (I believe they also outsource some production), so could Apple.

  38. Re:As fanbois queue in the dark, Jobs makes millio by Wovel · · Score: 1

    If you refuse to make rich man river, you can purchase very litle and limit your entertainment to grammar school plays.

  39. Ipod and job loss by lsatenstein · · Score: 1

    Sadly, Jesse Jackson is right. The IPod is responsible for the job losses. And with those losses, comes deflation. The unemployment rises, and the dollar drops. I live in Canada, and the US DOLLAR IS NOW AT 0.93.4 Cents Canadian. Job loss and US debt and the fact that aside from a few model cars, there is little we buy from the USA. All the goods we used to buy, from clothing, shoes, electronic goods all come from Asian countries. Even the help desk functions that were once situated in the USA are now offshore. The USA has to start taxing goods it imports, so as to reestablish jobs for Americans. If not, there will definitely be a reverse migration, of American Citizens moving to China, and Asia to find jobs and re-establish themselves.

    --
    Leslie Satenstein Montreal Quebec Canada
  40. Indeed by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The US turned into a service economy, now even the service jobs are being taken away.

    Another poster above complains about the saving of GM for the low skill jobs... but that is what the majority of people do. The majority is NOT working on the next generation chip technology or moon rocket (oh wait, that is China isn't it, my bad).

    There are several key industries in which people work:

    Food production, read farmers. This was once the mass employer but also a poor employer. Crops especially needed massive amounts of labour but only in certain times of the year. Seasonal labour is not all that great to have. But it still employed a great many AND also added some extra cash for people with tiny farms suitable only for feeding themselves. But now, food production is left to a handful and employment in the sector itself is very low.

    Food preperation. Quick, when did you last buy bread (US people, read on, I ate what you think of as bread, go stand in the corner and be ashamed and remember this, bread does NOT bounce!) from a baker who had his hands involved in the process? Wanna bet most bread comes from a factory paying very low wages? Luckily enough people still out so some people still make their money from food preperation but the time every few thousand people had their own bakery, butcher and grocer is long gone.

    Resource gathering. Often not really represented as a seperate group, I am talking about the miners and loggers here. Well, you can watch swamp loggers. A dozen men hauling of a dozen truck loads of wood in a day. Very impressive but not exactly going to put the masses to work is it? And very dependent on everyone else, if nobody is using wood to build houses, then no trees need to be cut down.

    Production. Factory work, either heavily automated or shipped abroad. Try to find anything in your house that is not made in China. Can you? Was on a US bus recently, most used ropes to call for a stop (looped through a metal thingy labelled marked in China) but one used buttons, grey bulges of smooth plastic with a red button. Exactly the same as in use in many Dutch busses... wanna bet their origin? Yes, this is low skilled work most of the time and it doesn't pay much. But millions upon millions once employed funded the moon landings with their taxes. A termite mound stands tall on the back of countless tiny worker backs. With the industrial revolution, this was the backbone of the economy.

    Service. This was the great new hope. What people who favored outsourcing thought would keep people employed when production went away. Sure, the iPad is not produced here but it must be sold here (how people are going pay for it if they don't have a job was never answered, or maybe it was seeing the recent crisis with debt). And now those jobs are indeed going away as well. Amazon does not employ the same number of people and certainly not at the same wage as the bookstores it is so busily replacing. Sure, it means cheaper books but also more people unable to find a decent job or indeed a job at all.

    ?????. What else is there? When farming went away as a mass employer, industry took over. When industry left, service took over. If service goes away... what is left? Government jobs? The army? Sex? No, these "industries" can only exist on the back of an employed society making enough money to afford them.

    But slashdot is a very bad place to discuss this. Most here have higher level jobs which are not YET affected all that much. Except, who is going to pay you in the future? Game developer? Who can afford a new console and 60 bucks per game if they got to combine 2 jobs or more at below minimum wage to just make ends meet? Regular developer? Your jobs are already being outsourced. IT support? Cost cutting already outsourced those jobs as well.

    But we still think we are safe. Somehow, magic new tech development is to employ around a billion people (the entire "west" is affected, not just the US) with no new line of work in sight.

    IF the high street really gets replac

    --

    MMO Quests are like orgasms:

    You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.

    1. Re:Indeed by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      They don't see it. They are blinded by luddism as a fallacy.

      It's worse than you think. Robotics and automation is accelerating.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    2. Re:Indeed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Minimum wage laws don't make undesirable workers less desirable. That is a myth intended to save companies money. Check out anyplace that changes minimum wage; if the wage goes up, employment doesn't go down because at that level companies already aren't carrying extra people - there is no fat to trim. Even more revealingly, if the wage goes down companies do not suddenly hire more people; their current staffing levels are already doing the job, after all.

    3. Re:Indeed by mrxak · · Score: 1

      The reason the iPad is made in China is because their margins over there are low. It's not like Apple is doing charity, they figured out they can make the most money over here by paying the Chinese very little. It also means more people over here can afford and iPad. Ultimately sending all your money overseas isn't that big a deal if you get all your stuff in return. I'd rather have lots of stuff than lots of money. Money is only good if it lets you buy stuff. The cash must flow.

      "Buying locally" is a nice bumper sticker, and it's good in the very short term, but ultimately it stifles everyone's growth. Specialization is more efficient across the board, which means more stuff for more people. The question is, what does the US specialize in?

      I'm all for having manufacturing jobs over here, but we need to figure out what specifically we can manufacture better, and why we want to specialize in it. I'd say building crazy new fighter jets and tanks is probably a good thing, for national security. Building crazy new engines and power plants is probably a good thing for national security and economic security. Building an iPad 2? Eh... I'd rather we have all the smart people over here figuring out how to build an iPad 3, and what features to add to it, rather than have all the dumb people over here build it for somebody else.

    4. Re:Indeed by phantomfive · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Do you have a solution? The complaints you are making are not new, people have been complaining about similar things for three hundred years or more, as global economies moved away from feudalism and into the industrial age. Somehow we survived.

      We can't try to hold back changes with things like tariffs, or subsidies. We can't continue giving jobs to the buggy whip manufacturers, they need to find new ways to survive. What we can do is make the transition easier. The world is always changing, and those who can adapt are the ones who survive. This is the idea behind the best European welfare systems, like the Danish Flexicurity. Help people adapt and adjust to changes in the world. That's the best we can do: the world is always changing.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    5. Re:Indeed by mrxak · · Score: 1

      And we certainly have Hollywood too.

      Ultimately, it doesn't matter where the money is flowing to, as long as it keeps flowing. If it was the case where all the manufacturing jobs were in the US instead of China or wherever, that would just mean we have lots of money and nothing to spend it on. China right now has lots of money flowing into it, but that just means more Chinese can afford to buy more stuff from elsewhere. Maybe they're buying stuff from other Chinese, but certainly not exclusively, and eventually, that money flows outwards to everywhere else. Around and around it goes.

      The thing to remember is, money is only as good as the stuff it gets you. Sure, right now we're sending lots of money to China. But hey, in return we're getting stuff. You can't run apps on your dollar bills, but you sure can run apps on an iPad. That's a net benefit for us. They're not draining our wealth by draining our pieces of green paper, because we're not overpaying them for the stuff we get in return, we're paying what the market has priced that stuff at. They may not be buying as much of our stuff as we're buying their stuff, but they're buying a lot of stuff from other people, and those people buy stuff from other people, and eventually that money comes back to us so we can buy more Chinese stuff. Even if this was a closed system, with just the US and China alone in an economic relationship, and we were sending them all our money for all their iPad manufacturing, the end result is us having lots of iPads and them having a bunch of money of equal value. I'd say at nothing has actually changed except there's more iPads in the world, and we've got them all. We can then use those iPads to come up with new ideas for stuff to sell. How is that a bad thing?

    6. Re:Indeed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Just want to add a foreigners perspective on your comment.

      USA is really important when it comes to food production and farming. It is the most important source of soy and some other stuff that is vital in compound feed. Most countries with animal farming depend on USA for fodder.

      When it comes to other food export (then raw material for fodder). Well, glucose syrup, but most governments try to make their citizens eat less of that, because it is extremely unhealthy to consume in large quantities. Rice, but US rice has a bad rep., so it is mostly sold to countries where people have to choose between eating bad quality rice or starve. Other then that, US made/grown foodstuff don't pass the health inspection in most countries (i.e. most European and Asian countries have tired of bad US chicken and pork products and by routine just deny any import). USA could be a mayor food producer (other then soy, rice and maize) if you upped food quality to the same level as the rest of the world and if you stopped your companies from trying to dump bad food in other countries (at least I hope that the "food" you try to export, is worse then what is consumed inside USA). USA is also the number one exporter of tobacco and tobacco products. But bad business practise make people quit smoking in most countries that USA export to (i.e. companies withhold information about health risks, centuries of use of radioactive and heavy metal rich fertilisers in USA ), the biggest tobacco markets, China & South America, will likely never start buying US tobacco, they produce their own tobacco at a lower cost and of better quality. [If you miss peanuts, it used to be a big US export, but most imported peanuts come from China these days, peanuts imported from USA is to a small extent used in fodder.]

      Production, factory. USA have a really bad reputation, the stuff you produce is really bad quality. You also have the worlds worse sales force. Most of them are lying their teethes of when describing how good your products are, leading to that nobody ever believe anything a sales person from an US company say. Falsified documentation and bribery are also an US company standard sales procedure. Leading to that if some US company actually sold a good product, nobody would buy it, because nobody would believe it was any good. US companies also have a really bad habit of selling stuff to other countries under gun point, a literary gunpoint, they often piggy back on the US army and the US government use military threats to sell US products, in the short run it increase sales, in the long run it makes people hate USA and US products.

      You mention mining and wood production. Kind of the same problem. Why would anybody buy timber (or wood) or raw metal or ore (you really suck at metallurgy, you are as bad as China was in the 80's, so nobody would buy consumer grade metal from you), when they could buy from countries where companies don't have a reputation of cheating their customers.

      When it comes to inventions, science and research. USA have always stolen most ideas from other countries, nowadays (since the 90's), at least US companies pay to use some foreign inventions (but it is still the capital country of tech pirating). It has also "stolen" most of its researchers and brainy people from other countries. USA is a huge country with a wast population, it has very little innovation/capita.

      As it is. USA lives on old money robbed from other countries (i.e. US pension funds, US companies patent portfolios). It has also the second largest consumer market in the world, which makes it important (especially since foreign companies can get rid of low grade stuff there, that would be impossible to sell anywhere else). You are also good at selling and marketing "designer products" (i.e. jeans, phones, mp3-players, music, cartoons), directly to (young) consumers in other countries. But the products is mostly produced by people from other countries, so it is not a mayor source of work for people within USA (i.e. jeans:China, Latin America; phones&mp3-players: S. Korea & Scandinavia; music: Latin America, Sweden, Germany; cartoons: S. & N. Korea, Malaysia, Japan).

    7. Re:Indeed by mrxak · · Score: 1

      So we outsource all our jobs. All of them, in every industry type ever. The rest of the world gets filthy stinking rich, and then decides that hey, it's cheaper to send jobs over to the poor US people who are desperate for work, and will work for pennies. Suddenly, the money all shifts back.

      That basically happens all the time, though not quite so extreme or quite so quickly. In reality it's a constant balancing act. In the world economy, people, companies, nations specialize. This isn't a bad thing, in fact it's the best thing, because it promotes innovation and efficiency. We send all our mindless manufacturing jobs over to workers in countries that are desperate to work and will work for razor thin margins. Eventually as their unemployment drops, their wage improves to the point where more of them can get better educations, better jobs, and the rest of the world can't afford to pay them, and looks elsewhere for cheap labor. Perhaps another developing country. Perhaps a better robot.

      Yes, there are booms and busts throughout all this, but these aren't bad things either. Natural flows of wealth around the world economy promotes innovation because everyone is trying to get an edge, and the flows always ensure somebody somewhere is willing to work for less to get cheaper products for somebody else. Ultimately, I think everyone would rather have a cheap iPad than work for pennies in an iPad factory. China is currently on the upswing with their average personal wealth. It's not going to hit US-levels and keep on going up and up, it'll hit the point where some other country can do the labor cheaper, and then China is going to lose a lot of jobs.

      I'd rather be in the US, coming up with new iPads, or new whatevers, than always building the iPads or whatevers somebody else came up with, hoping someday I'll be paid enough to buy one. Would anybody here rather live with a Chinese average wage and Chinese average standard of living, over the US averages? Bearing that in mind, which nation is really doing better in the current trade situation?

    8. Re:Indeed by mrxak · · Score: 1

      If communism worked the way you think it does, the Chinese would have invented the iPad, and the US would be building them.

    9. Re:Indeed by luther349 · · Score: 1

      oh i agree. these companys keep flodding are setors with all this new tec but dont stop to think how are people going to pay for this when we just fired a half million people and gave there jobs to china. yet they keep doing this then go on and on makeing excuses for why the usa is going head first into a depression.

    10. Re:Indeed by Anne+Thwacks · · Score: 1
      And we certainly have Hollywood too.

      But Nollywood and Bollywood are more fun!

      --
      Sent from my ASR33 using ASCII
    11. Re:Indeed by Swampash · · Score: 1

      When farming went away as a mass employer, industry took over. When industry left, service took over. If service goes away... what is left?

      Nothing. Country falls apart, resource-rich provinces declare independence and strike out on their own. It's happened uncounted times throughout history, it will happen again, and the next cab off the rank is the soon-to-be Former United States.

    12. Re:Indeed by hitmark · · Score: 1

      I guess there is always media, as in music, movies and such. Funny how US law seems to be more and more draconian in protecting said sectors existence...

      --
      comment first, facts later. http://chem.tufts.edu/AnswersInScience/RelativityofWrong.htm
    13. Re:Indeed by Karsten+Deppert · · Score: 1

      Sorry, but if you payed attention in the economics lesson you would know that this isn't the whole picture. There is a very simple solution - innovation. We cannot know what the advancement we have today will bring us tomorrow - be it the invention of steam engines that made thousands of factory jobs redundant, or be it computers, that made thousands of officejobs redundant by simply being more effecient. And is won't stop - even if cheap labour disappears (China now, Bangladesh / Laos tomorrow and probably Africa after that), then still automatisation will get better and better, and make more and more jobs "dissapear". But that is not a problem. People will still be around, and looking for things to do. And some of these people will be brave / stupid / smart enough to get an idea that they think solves a problem, be it a better payment system, a new way to build houses or just how to make better tasting coffee. And those people that get these ideas and see those problems that can be "fixed" by it, they will create companies and employ people to make it a reality. It doesn't matter if it is called service industries, or financial industries or anything else - it might just be all office work for what i know that is the future - but as long as people go around and get ideas, and more importantly, have a motivation for making those ideas reality, then they will create jobs. The only sure thing that would make the US jobless is removing incentives for people to follow through on there ideas, or for removing the ability to think of new ideas. But I don't think the US has to worry here - communism was quite good at removing those 2 factors, but still it wasnt the end of the world (it was however the end of communism).

    14. Re:Indeed by rajanala83 · · Score: 1

      I'd like to say: engineering,machine-building, mechanical engineering. Advanced toolmaking. Production of investition goods. But china is already a competition in high-skilled fields, even for germany.
      And there is not a lot of money to be made in the creative industries.
      Basic and applied research?

    15. Re:Indeed by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      The SOL doesn't have to drop at all. All that needs to happen is to get the income taxes off the backs of industry, and a non-taxed factory will be coming to a neighborhood near you, employing those people you knew in high school that were not on the same side of the median intelligence number as Albert Einstein, but could plumb and wire up a factory before you got done thinking about it. We absolutely have to do this, or we're going to go broke taking care of these poeple so they do not die because we have thsese vast oceans of unemployed. And, OBTW, if you think that killing the minimum wage is the answer, you'll still go broke with paying for gov't assistance to keep those people from freezing to death and starving to death while making $2.36 an hour, not to mention running the risk of a civil war when those people finally get tired of being abused and decide to take more direct action. Remember, we have over 250 million privately owned firearms in this country, and nobody has to put up with oppression...

    16. Re:Indeed by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      Farming isn't as labor intensive as it once was - the need has been going down ever since the introduction of heavy agricultural machinary. Intensive raising of livestock means fewer people to handle each cow or chicken. The only part left where masses of labor is needed is in the harvesting of some crops - and sooner or later, someone is going to come up with a robotic apple-picker. It's happening in every sector - even secretaries can now work many times faster with the use of computers than back when they were using typewriters. Those loggers can cut more trees per-logger-per-day now that they have better machinary. The only thing that prevents mass unemployment is that as the price of producing goods went down, consumption went *way* up - people in developed countries today waste things as a rate that would horrify their great-grandparents. They'll throw away clothes just because they have a small hole in, let food rot in the cupboard because it's easier than planning meals a week in advance, and use disposable diapers rather than have to face the unpleasant task of washing a reuseable one. Still, it does raise the question of when consumption will hit a limit - does there come a point at which people simply *won't* consume any more, no matter how cheap it gets?

    17. Re:Indeed by tgd · · Score: 1

      Generally I agree with most of what you said, but the fact that everything you listed has become automated is important for the US way of life.

      Why? The government has been monkeying with what it claims inflation rates are for 20 years, and the fact is the real income level of most people in the US has drastically fallen in the last 20 years. People don't feel it because of cheap debt, the housing bubble and most importantly a dramatic drop in the actual costs of things. It doesn't matter if the real value of the $60k a year you make is half what it was 25 years ago if everything you buy also costs half because of massive increases in productivity.

      If everyone was buying well-made durable goods like they did in the 40's and 50's, and if people's food was produced with human labor, that $60k a year would barely be keeping people middle class. No flat screen TVs, no new $30k car every few years, etc.

      Now, mind you, I think that would be a much healthier way for live to be in America, but society here is *not* ready for that kind of transition. People see the lifestyle of people massively wealthier than them on TV and think they deserve part of that.

    18. Re:Indeed by stewbacca · · Score: 1

      Upping the quality of our products cuts into our profits, which is entirely un-American. See "Chevrolet".

    19. Re:Indeed by stewbacca · · Score: 1

      Manufacturing (and other labor fields) will never go away completely. The problem is in the United States we dump all of our uneducated people into manufacturing jobs. We don't have too few manufacturing jobs, we have too many uneducated people.

    20. Re:Indeed by theurge14 · · Score: 1

      Telecommunications
      Broadcasting
      Entertainment
      Food service (restaurants)
      Financial
      Construction
      Shipping
      Military
      Textiles & Garments

    21. Re:Indeed by Qzukk · · Score: 1

      it can certainly cause a business that is near the edge of profitability to switch to the other side.

      There are no companies in that situation. Their shareholders would have killed them off long before minimum wage changes did.

      That said, there are companies where minimum wage changes could make the shareholders decide that the company isn't worth keeping alive because they can get a better profit somewhere else.

      --
      If I have been able to see further than others, it is because I bought a pair of binoculars.
    22. Re:Indeed by choko · · Score: 1

      Re-usable doesn't always mean less waste. You need to compare how much material, energy, and effort is used in every step to make an apt comparison. Who is to say that washing a dirty cloth diaper is less wasteful than using a disposable diaper? I'm not saying one way or the other, but it's something to consider.

    23. Re:Indeed by Culture20 · · Score: 1

      Sooner or later there has to be a way to live a dignified life even if the society does not need your work effort.

      Assuming that even star drives will be automated, we won't be able to automate the anal probing of lesser alien species on their home planets. That will take a human who can tell the difference between orafices (if there are differences, or even orifices).

    24. Re:Indeed by Kjella · · Score: 1

      What determines how hard the fall will be isn't really how the economy changes, it's how far off the ground you build the bridge to nowhere. The average American has had good money and there's been a huge service industry built up to serve them - as long as dollars circulate against dollars the money stays in the system. With the outsourcing and imports more and more is now made somewhere else and just sold in the US. But no economic system can over time have a flow of value that only happens in one direction, at some point Americans have to produce value for the Chinese and Indians too. Otherwise it'll just be like eating off your savings, then your savings turns to loans, then those loans turn into bankruptcy. A retail channel is only valuable when your customers have money, if they run dry then the value of the US retail industry will tank with it. Same with all personal services, there's no money in being a hair dresser for people with no money.

      The desire for something "new" is the hope that you'll hit some new fancy thing that'll again magnify our wealth over the BRIC world so this one-way trade can continue a little longer. That's not very realistic, despite the BS about an "knowledge economy". The world is no longer full of uneducated buffoons, these countries are just as capable of producing their own knowledge industry without a bunch of Americans and Europeans to think for them. I think we have to accept that soon we can't dodge them, we will have to compete with them. The only question is whether we can so more or less keep our standard of living while they catch up to it, or whether we'll take a hard fall - much harder than we already have. The latter could get very nasty, not as in "we have to cut public services" but as in "economic collapse, civil unrest, rioting and revolution" nasty.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    25. Re:Indeed by superwiz · · Score: 1

      Information gathering will remain a human endeavor until someone shows a way to make P=NP. Or until bureaucrats find a way to stifle technological progress in order to "save jobs". Information gathering ultimately pays for itself as a way to keep things which we use and which occur naturally from breaking. Things which occur in nature usually DON'T break by accident. Keeping them from breaking consistently is a human effort.

      --
      Any guest worker system is indistinguishable from indentured servitude.
    26. Re:Indeed by superwiz · · Score: 1

      But Nollywood and Bollywood are more fun!

      Not really. As bad as Hollywood is, it's able to reinvent itself much more rapidly than other movie industries. It does ride out formulas which work to the death, but it does experiment more and it does adapt much quicker.

      --
      Any guest worker system is indistinguishable from indentured servitude.
    27. Re:Indeed by ancienthart · · Score: 1

      Hmmm. Look at the Hollywood stars and starlets - if there is a point where consumption hits a limit, we haven't found it yet.

    28. Re:Indeed by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      You have 2 employees making same wage. You eliminate 1, get remaining employee to increase productivity and pay them 125% now. Less money goes into regular economy (consumer spending) and more money goes into black hole at top of income (ceo bonuses/corporate profits/overseas/non-taxed/high-level investments, etc.).

      What's the problem?

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    29. Re:Indeed by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Is that really your view of economics? What is your point?

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  41. Simplistic lecturing by happyhamster · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Thanks for simplistic high school level economics lecture. You are conveniently omitting the factor of scale. One or two orders of magnitude of manufacturing jobs are lost for every "mechanical/electrical/computer/systems engineer" job created. Also, manufacturing jobs can be made attractive again if you slap punishing tariffs on chinese dumping and corporations that facilitate it.

    I don't think anyone argues about complete halt of technological progress, but making it orderly and less harmful to society is certainly needed. Instead of blindly throwing people on the street by the million and giving them the moronic advice to "adapt", we should provide those people with a few years of social support and "useful" job training, paid for largely by the companies doing the firing. We are supposedly living in a human society and not in the jungle.

    1. Re:Simplistic lecturing by Billly+Gates · · Score: 1

      If we put punitive tariffs then Americans lose jobs doing business in thee countries as they will retaliate back. Many grandmas and people about to retire own stock and their life savings in these companies that pay their dividends with Chinese money.

      Doing that would cause more harm than good. My guess is many companies like John Deere and Nike would simply leave the US for good and become Chinese. I read that Pepsi makes less than 15% of their revenue in the US! Why would they even bother to market here?

      Be careful what you wish for.

    2. Re:Simplistic lecturing by cyber-vandal · · Score: 1

      Especially since the moronic economists seem to be blissfully unaware that every person unable to 'adapt' is a lost paying customer. This is nothing like the change from carriages to cars since the car jobs stayed in the same country. Megacorps have killed the goose that laid the golden eggs and now the remaining eggs are running out.

    3. Re:Simplistic lecturing by meta-monkey · · Score: 1

      Also, manufacturing jobs can be made attractive again if you slap punishing tariffs on chinese dumping and corporations that facilitate it.

      But won't that make the cost of those goods rise? So now I have to pay more for manufactured goods like iPhones and waffle makers and aluminum pans for the express purpose of keeping someone else in America employed.

      Wal-Mart has forced countless mom and pop stores to close their doors. Why? Because Wal-Mart provides the same goods for 10-15% cheaper. Is it sad that these stores are closed? I guess. But now other low-income people can buy cheaper goods and maybe be able to make ends meet. The alternative if for poor working-class people paying 10-15% premiums so a store owner can keep his store. Is that better? If we're using the power of government to force higher prices by punishing Wal-Mart or placing tariffs on imports isn't that just another form of welfare, involuntarily transferring wealth from some members of society to another?

      You're basically arguing for inefficiency as a make-work program to keep people busy doing inefficient things. Instead we should be training and educating them to do more efficient things.

      --
      We don't have a state-run media we have a media-run state.
  42. Re:As fanbois queue in the dark, Jobs makes millio by catmistake · · Score: 1

    If you refuse to make rich man river...

    Give a man a fish, he eats for a day. Give a man a river, he drowns. But Rich Man River, he don't say nothin', he just keeps rolling...

  43. Jesse Jackson's Shining Moment by macs4all · · Score: 1

    Compared with his recent rant, this is the most erudite speech he has ever given!

    1. Re:Jesse Jackson's Shining Moment by BancBoy · · Score: 1

      That his father has ever given...

      --
      [UID-HeinzIntel]
    2. Re:Jesse Jackson's Shining Moment by macs4all · · Score: 1

      That his father has ever given...

      Yeah, I know, I know... [facepalm]

  44. People voted for him? by thatskinnyguy · · Score: 1

    Oh wait....

    --
    The game.
  45. US has a space industry, for now ... by perpenso · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Another poster above complains about the saving of GM for the low skill jobs... but that is what the majority of people do. The majority is NOT working on the next generation chip technology or moon rocket (oh wait, that is China isn't it, my bad).

    Actually the US has a space industry, for now, but look what the taxation and regulation of California are leading to:

    "A big prerequisite for a risky new industry is product liability protection for manufacturers and an enforceable informed consent regime for operators – something New Mexico has addressed. Getting car insurance in California can be hard enough; imagine trying to cover a rocket ship. A space tourist does not demand the same level of protection as a kid boarding Space Mountain at Disneyland. Real spaceflight remains a risky endeavor and anyone who straps themselves into the first generation of vehicles is going to know to fully understand the dangers. All our serious competitors – New Mexico, Virginia and Florida – already have such protection and Texas just passed a similar bill.
    In regards to taxes, New Mexico’s top rate of 7.6 percent is a bit lower than California’s flat 8.84 percent. The Land of Enchantment uses a progressive structure far more conducive to nurturing small business and startups and it has created several tax incentives for the space industry. These include tax credits for the wages paid on newly created high-tech jobs, venture capital investments and a sales tax exemption for operations. This is a low-risk subsidy model for an all-or-nothing industry. If the private space businesses take off, thousands of jobs will be created and the state will see a wealth of taxable income. If, however, this industry turns out to be a profitless pipe dream, there is very little to be lost.
    If California chooses not to act, the business and tax revenues will surely head elsewhere in any case."
    http://m.signonsandiego.com/news/2011/apr/14/competitors-are-wooing-california-space-industry/

    1. Re:US has a space industry, for now ... by AK+Marc · · Score: 4, Interesting

      CA needs more businesses to leave. There are way too many people who want to live in CA. They spend plenty, but the real issue is that they didn't raise taxes to match. Get rid of the artificial caps on real estate taxes and the real estate market will adjust. And make sure to get taxes inline with expenses, and if people have an issue with that, they can leave. That wont hurt CA, they would be better off if more people left. Sure, the rich people who don't want to leave will be paying a little more, but my response to that is "waah."

    2. Re:US has a space industry, for now ... by mrxak · · Score: 1

      One advantage of the federal system here is that individual states can specialize, too, due to differences in regulation, taxes, etc. It gives us a diversity, along with immigration, that makes us competitive in more things, and lets us come up with all kinds of new ideas.

      The reason the US is losing manufacturing jobs, and service jobs, is because American workers expect a higher standard of living than most other places around the world, and therefore aren't willing to work for low enough wages to keep those jobs here. Clearly the economy isn't so bad here, because we're not desperate enough to fight for keeping those jobs here. I guarantee you, if a bunch of factory workers told their corporate bosses that they'd be willing to take a pay cut and work for Chinese wages, iPads would be made here. But those workers don't do that, they prefer their cushy pensions, collective bargaining, benefits, and comfortable wages, so they let their jobs go overseas.

      Well, welcome to the reality of economics. The job you factory workers are doing isn't worth the amount you want to be paid. Somebody else values it lower, and so they get your job.

      For all the fuss, it's actually not that bad a deal. Those factory workers go and get new jobs. Those call center workers go and get new jobs. Those computer programmers go and get new jobs. If they weren't able to adapt and change profession, or start their own companies and join the bourgeoises, unemployment would be a lot higher than it currently is, and whole generations now would have been lost. The reality is, people are out of work for a little while, then they get off their lazy butts and find a new job, even if that means getting educated, or moving, or whatever.

      The point is, we didn't want those jobs anyway. They aren't that valuable, and don't let us have the standard of living we want to have. If you notice, the previous transitions from agriculture to industry to service didn't destroy the countries that have so far transitioned through them. Standard of living in fact has continually gone up. Hey, we have iPads now, that's pretty cool. A farmer in the 1700s didn't have an iPad. A factory worker in the 1800s didn't have an iPad. A service worker in the 1900s didn't have an iPad. Lucky for all of us iPad-affording countries that there's still workers in the world willing to build them for us for very low wages and low standards of living.

    3. Re:US has a space industry, for now ... by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      The jobs were never offered in the US. Even if the jobs were taken by Americans for $0 it would still be cheaper to make it in China and pay to ship it to the USA than make it here. Sure, there are always the people who whine about the the workers causing their own problem, but that just simply isn't the main issue.

    4. Re:US has a space industry, for now ... by narcc · · Score: 2

      I guarantee you, if a bunch of factory workers told their corporate bosses that they'd be willing to take a pay cut and work for Chinese wages, iPads would be made here.

      Labor cost is only one factor, and not the only one that changes when you move manufacturing overseas (the savings in labor are partially offset by other expenses.)

      Still, ignoring your overly-simplistic analysis for the moment, you fail to understand that American workers *can not* work for Chinese wages because they'd starve to death.

      See, you don't seem to understand that "standard of living" and "cost of living" are two completely different things.

      But those workers don't do that, they prefer their cushy pensions, collective bargaining, benefits, and comfortable wages, so they let their jobs go overseas.

      First, collective bargaining is HOW union workers are able to have livable wages and humane working conditions. It's not something that is sought for it's own sake. (I seriously doubt that you knew this.)

      By comfortable wages, you mean a living wage -- you know, so that their families can eat every day and sleep inside.

      Benefits are important for every working family -- it's often the only way they can get health insurance thanks to our broken private system. They could pay out of pocket, sure, but they'd be lucky to afford a box of band-aids on the Chinese wages you seem to think they should be working for.

      If you think most pensions are "cushy" I defy you to live on the income the average pensioner brings in every month.

      Moreover, why do you suggest workers bargain collectively when you seem to think it's some unnecessary evil?

      I guarantee you, if a bunch of factory workers told their corporate bosses that they'd be willing to take a pay cut

      Hmmm... Workers banding together to collectively bargain...

      I'd comment further, but there wouldn't be any point. There is nothing redeemable in your post. It's complete and total uninformed nonsense untainted by any hint of truth or reason.

    5. Re:US has a space industry, for now ... by xnpu · · Score: 3, Interesting

      You highly overestimate the importance of low Chinese wages. In most products these wages form only a tiny fraction of total cost. Not to mention that China is in fact expensive when compared to other developing economies. To replace the Chinese wages with American ones would not increase prices that much.

      So why still produce in China? Because the Chinese government knows what it takes to make things attractive for manufacturing. Infrastructure, tax breaks, economic zones, environmental regulations, availability of energy and raw materials, managing a gigantic pool of laborers, etc. In places like Guangdong, Chengdu, etc. where production takes place, *everything and everyone* is geared towards production.

      I'm sure you understand you don't create a second silicon valley by asking IBM, Cisco and Microsoft to move next to a university in Florida. It's not that simple. Likewise you don't create an attractive climate for manufacturing by supplying cheap labor and telling Apple to move it's factory to the US. You'll need to do a lot more than that.

    6. Re:US has a space industry, for now ... by markov_chain · · Score: 1

      It kind of is wages, though, that and what goes along, i.e. the standard of living. To begin with, the working conditions in China are pretty bad, such as long hours and little pay. But then, there is this cultural attitude of obedience for the "good of the state" where people are willing to put up with crappy living conditions, small residences, living with parents, etc.

      I wonder what it would take to teach the Chinese labor class to stand up for itself. Raising their standard would raise our own back up too.

      --
      Tsunami -- You can't bring a good wave down!
    7. Re:US has a space industry, for now ... by stewbacca · · Score: 1

      I travel to Orange County several times a year from Austin, TX and the housing prices are like another galaxy to me. The reason CA jobs are coming to Austin is simple. My 2500 sq. ft. house cost me $200,000, while you can't get a a 900 sq. ft. shanty in Orange County for $200,000. They have artificially low property taxes, so the state appraises the houses at 5x their value to make up for the lost revenue (at the expense of people like me not ever being able to move there and the expense of companies not being able to hire people so they move to places like Austin). I have high property taxes (I pay $5,000 a year on $200k), but even if I pay $5,000 a year for one hundred years, my house will still be cheaper than an equivalent one in Orange County. The think with $5,000 a year in property taxes is I don't have to include that in the price of the house when considering a loan, so it's easier to get a loan as well.

    8. Re:US has a space industry, for now ... by stewbacca · · Score: 1

      The reason the US is losing manufacturing jobs, and service jobs, is because American workers expect a higher standard of living than most other places around the world, and therefore aren't willing to work for low enough wages to keep those jobs here.

      You've never been to the Southeast, have you?

    9. Re:US has a space industry, for now ... by Temkin · · Score: 3, Informative

      200,000. They have artificially low property taxes, so the state appraises the houses at 5x their value to make up for the lost revenue (at the expense of people like me not ever being able to move there and the expense of companies not being able to hire people so they move to places like Austin).

      It's actually worse than that... They don't "assess" 5x their value, they force high valuation by limiting development. It goes back to prop 13 in the late 1970's. California real estate was exploding, and little old ladies on fixed incomes were being priced out of their homes by year over year property tax increases. People rebelled at the ballot box and forced prop 13 on an unwilling political class. This froze property tax valuations at the time of sale. My parents still pay property taxes at rates set in 1978.

      This sets up a kind of enmity between local government and housing. They know they won't get to raise their tax assessment but once every 30 years. So they have to pre-load development to cover the expansion of services, everything from sanitation to schools. They do this with very very steep permit and planning fees. There are cities in the SF Bay Area that used to charge upwards of $70,000 in planing and permit fee's to build a single family home. This then implies that every existing house with a valid occupancy permit, even a "tear down", is worth a minimum of $70k in that city.

      You can then extend these tricks up and down the whole economy. Higher than average fuel excise taxes are applied before exceptionally high sales tax. Special California-only fuel blends... Electricity prices are insane ($0.249/kwh vs. ~$0.104 here in Texas), and getting worse. Those high fuel & energy costs then result in high prices for goods and services... Which again pads the bottom line on sales taxes. Lather, rinse, repeat... They've been building a closed market on the left coast for 35+ years.

      I can't shed so much as a tear for them. I'm a 5th generation Californian. In 2004 I packed up and moved to Texas, and I brought my job with me. Oddly enough, my property taxes are about the same. But I got a 10% raise by loosing the income tax. Virtually all goods & services are much cheaper.

    10. Re:US has a space industry, for now ... by the+Dragonweaver · · Score: 1

      Technically, property taxes can be raised every year, but the amount they can be raised is limited to a percentage of the valuation at time of sale. And I'd blame a certain NIMBY-ism in areas that are way overvalued (Marin County, anyone?) You're certainly right about the building regulations.

      Though IIRC, property tax revenue is currently about 200 times the increase in population as relative to 1977 values, which is one reason I despise politicians who use Prop. 13 for an excuse for our failing schools. They've had more than three decades to adjust; the fact that it's gotten worse as they spend money on every pet cause they can think of instead of education, public safety, and infrastructure is not the fault of the voters who were trying to fix something that was clearly broken (as evidenced by folks in other states slammed by the recent housing bubble in regards to their property tax valuations.)

      The problem is that unlimited development—one of the ways Texas has kept its housing prices down—isn't necessarily the best idea in California. Either you have building up on arable land—not a good idea for an agricultural powerhouse—or on a floodplain (they're often both for a reason), or you have development in nasty areas that no one really wants to live in (Salton Sea.) This makes those folks living in areas that are actually desirable price their houses in the silly range, and they think their house actually deserves it.

      --
      Actually I am a lab rat in an elaborate plot to take over the world.
    11. Re:US has a space industry, for now ... by MisterSquid · · Score: 1

      I can't shed so much as a tear for them. I'm a 5th generation Californian. In 2004 I packed up and moved to Texas, and I brought my job with me. Oddly enough, my property taxes are about the same. But I got a 10% raise by loosing the income tax. Virtually all goods & services are much cheaper.

      Do you think California misses you? Personally, I'm glad you left and hope you stay where you are. I have no doubt you feel the same.

      Having lived in two other states with conservative/retrograde tax models, I will say California has the most developed and best public infrastructure I know. Energy is more expensive but my understanding is that even Californians are not paying the full cost of energy due to subsidization and unaccounted for externalities.

      Plus, California is as awesome as you want to be: beautiful weather, innovative ideas, and a diverse population.

      Have fun in Texas!

      --
      blog
    12. Re:US has a space industry, for now ... by Aquitaine · · Score: 1

      Relatively speaking, it isn't hard to build public infrastructure. It's hard to maintain it.

      California did a great job building a lot of that stuff when they were flush with cash. Now they're in the unglamorous 'keep the wheels turning' phase and people are fleeing the state in droves. My inlaws are leaving (also for Texas); I'm doing the same thing but on the East coast, leaving New York ... also for Texas. My business, and my inlaws' businesses, are coming with us. I don't expect our anecdotal evidence to persuade anyone, but the census ought to. Here's just one example (pardon the terrible wallpaper):

      http://activerain.com/blogsview/1546143/the-mass-california-exodus

      The UC system is a great example. It was the pride of the state, and rightfully so. Then it got about a billion in the hole, which is not really a whole heck of a lot, except that they have a good hundred billion in unfunded pension obligations and pay their public sector employees more than just about anywhere else. That's fine, too, but it's a zero-sum game. If you want to add enormous hurdles to firing public employees ($50k-$100k+ to fire a teacher in LA - http://lifeexaminations.wordpress.com/2011/03/31/tenure-problem/) -- for one employee! -- then that's going to have consequences elsewhere.

      Texas has its share of problems, like a 2-year $27 billion defecit (which is about half of California's, since it's over two years, but still bad). But it's very difficult to fix California's problems, because the things that the state is spending money on are small things (like job protection) that effect huge numbers of people -- you can't even talk about them without being called a union-busting tyrant; look at LA's mayor, a former union boss himself, in hot water over the same issue.

      It's a great irony that California is home to so many people who talk about sustainability in design and economics but who purposefully keep their eyes shut to the costs of their decisions and their priorities, because I think they're not necessarily wrong in several areas. But to ask 'do you think California misses you' is not only arrogant, it's ignorant: California is hemorrhaging people. There are still a lot of people there, and a lot of good ideas, to be sure -- but to look at what is happening in California and conclude that it's anything other than that it is very much in decline is pretty tough.

    13. Re:US has a space industry, for now ... by MisterSquid · · Score: 1

      But to ask 'do you think California misses you' is not only arrogant, it's ignorant: California is hemorrhaging people. There are still a lot of people there, and a lot of good ideas, to be sure -- but to look at what is happening in California and conclude that it's anything other than that it is very much in decline is pretty tough.

      Thanks for your thoughtful comment, pointers to facts, and honest assessment of my rhetorical posture. I'm a California native recently reuturned and I have trouble taking criticism of my home state. I have little experience with Texas, but I will say that a "troubled" California is, in my experience, preferable to a "healthy" southeastern Ohio or central Virginia.

      --
      blog
    14. Re:US has a space industry, for now ... by superwiz · · Score: 1

      Don't fall into the trap of comparing relative evaluations with absolute evaluations. California is suffering losses (relative evaluation of California vs itself or vs Texas). California is in a better position than Ohio is an absolute evaluation which doesn't say much because they have different baseline. Reckless behavior is imprudent because it creates relative losses even if these relative losses don't push California below a baseline of some other place which started pretty low to begin with. But a loss is a loss is a loss. If you have a choice of behaviors, why pick the more destructive one? Comparing California to Texas is comparing 2 choices of behavior. Comparing it to Ohio is comparing 2 choices of circumstances so it doesn't say much about choices of behavior. And choosing what you will actually do is all you can do in life. Thinks which are out of your control are, by definition, out of your control.

      --
      Any guest worker system is indistinguishable from indentured servitude.
    15. Re:US has a space industry, for now ... by superwiz · · Score: 1

      First, collective bargaining is HOW union workers are able to have livable wages and humane working conditions. It's not something that is sought for it's own sake. (I seriously doubt that you knew this.)

      How absurd! Low factory wages was a historical fluke. It was a temporally local condition which produced a bunch theories by people who, like all people, thought they were living at the end of history and that the world would never change in its technical abilities.

      Industrial revolution is why slavery disappeared. Modern transportation system (which enabled replaceable parts) is why factories with back-breaking labor have disappeared.

      Gains in efficiency arise out of massive endeavors. But they don't get a chance to happen when the size of endeavors are curtailed by ignoramuses such as yourself. At that point, since they can no longer compete with the endeavors which did get big and enjoyed the efficiency gains, they move their production oversees where work is cheaper and ignoramuses as yourself and not in charge yet.

      Sometimes, they do stand up and fight, but the people who like building things are usually not the kinds of people who like fighting... at least not until they realize that ignoramuses such as yourself are a disease.

      --
      Any guest worker system is indistinguishable from indentured servitude.
  46. could be worse... by jaden · · Score: 1

    at least they didn't make it so that it could be read outside. imagine the economic destruction then.

  47. Re:It's not an anti tech rant! Watch the f'in vide by scumdamn · · Score: 2

    Getting the full source is hard. A misleading headline and a blurb that's out of context is all we need to get sand in our vaginas!

  48. Try reading a bit between the lines... by rsilvergun · · Score: 1

    He's using the iPad to highlight it, but the fact is that Americans were promised jobs in the new 'information economy' after all the manufacturing went away, and now we're seeing those jobs either aren't there or are going away. Expert systems are starting to replace knowledge workers. Factories are making millions of product with a few hundred workers (there's a sleeping bag company that cranks out 2 million bags/yr with 120 employees, and Sony just shut down a CD press factory that made 20/mil disc month with about the same). The white elephant in the room is, what are we going to do with all these people we just don't NEED?

    Maybe this is a false dichotomy, but I see us either becoming a socialist nation that redistributes the wealth created by automation, or a third world hell hole were 1% of the population has everything and the other 99% fights among themselves for the scraps so they don't die in the streets.

    Most people I pose that dichotomy too don't offer a third alternative, but they do say they'd rather everyone die in the streets than move to socialism ("Better Dead Than Red"). Of course, they've already convinced themselves through the lens of 'American Exceptionalism' that it'll never happen to them or theirs. Their much to smart/savvy/lucky/good looking/whatever for that. Plus nobody in this country can accept the idea that they might need civilization because they've convinced themselves if they do it means their a failure.

    Hate to be a pessimist, but damn, America is a fark'd up place...

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
    1. Re:Try reading a bit between the lines... by MichaelSmith · · Score: 2

      but I see us either becoming a socialist nation that redistributes the wealth created by automation, or a third world hell hole were 1% of the population has everything and the other 99% fights among themselves for the scraps so they don't die in the streets.

      The third option is to ramp up education to the point where your workforce can compete in the new environment.

    2. Re:Try reading a bit between the lines... by tprox · · Score: 1

      I think the key to what was said above was to have wealth distribution of profits created by automation. The only problem with that is that I'm sure the people who created the automation would want their fair share of their creation, unless they were people motivated by more altruistic ideals.

    3. Re:Try reading a bit between the lines... by toriver · · Score: 1

      Ramping up education does not help as long as American kids keep on going "I am going to be a lawyer!" or "I am going to be a stock broker" instead of "I am going to be an engineer!".

    4. Re:Try reading a bit between the lines... by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

      "I am going to be a lawyer!" or "I am going to be a stock broker".

      Hey don't underrate the entertainment business.

    5. Re:Try reading a bit between the lines... by stewbacca · · Score: 1

      or a third world hell hole were 1% of the population has everything and the other 99% fights among themselves for the scraps so they don't die in the streets.

      Other than a massive exaggeration, we are already there, and have been since at least the 1980s. That's how America works...haves and have-nots. Mostly because the have-nots keep voting against their own best interests and believe in things like "trickle down".

    6. Re:Try reading a bit between the lines... by ancienthart · · Score: 1

      And ramping up resources for education won't do a DAMN thing while kids are being told by everything else in society that it's more important to be pretty, popular and 'fun' than smart and successful.

      My evidence for this stance?
      Jackass I and II
      Reality TV
      Every ad/CD/movie/product targeted towards teenagers in the last two decades.

    7. Re:Try reading a bit between the lines... by Totenglocke · · Score: 1

      This - but it also needs to be combined with people realizing that just because you live in America does NOT mean that you're automatically worth significantly more money than someone with the same education from another country. If Bob in Florida demands $80k a year for an engineering job and Surresh in India is willing to do the exact same job with the exact same education for $50k a year - guess what? Bob's ass is going to be sitting in the unemployment line. Americans need to realize that the days of "I deserve to be rich because I was born in America!" are over.

      --
      "The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." ~Thomas Jefferson
    8. Re:Try reading a bit between the lines... by Totenglocke · · Score: 1

      Other than a massive exaggeration, we are already there, and have been since at least the 1940s. That's how America works...haves and have-nots. Mostly because the have-nots keep refusing to get an education and work hard and believe in things like punishing those who work hard to reward those who didn't and that by throwing money at a problem without fixing the sociological cause of it will fix things.

      FTFY

      --
      "The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." ~Thomas Jefferson
    9. Re:Try reading a bit between the lines... by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

      Americans need to realize that the days of "I deserve to be rich because I was born in America!" are over.

      Not necessarily. The USA got where they are today by developing products. Once Bob's job becomes a portable commodity he needs to be working on the next big thing.

    10. Re:Try reading a bit between the lines... by stewbacca · · Score: 1

      Yes, the 98% of America that isn't old rich white dudes are all lazy and refuse to be educated. Since it is safe to presume you aren't in the 2% of hard working educated people, thank you for making my point that you and your ilk keep believing things that are counter productive to your well-being.

  49. Yeah, he's for real by Compaqt · · Score: 1

    Obligatory Marshall Brain (founder of howstuffworks.com) essay on what will happen when (almost) everything's automated: Mass joblessness? Guaranteed income?

    http://www.marshallbrain.com/robots-in-2015.htm

    --
    I'm not a lawyer, but I play one on the Internet. Blog
  50. Energy is getting expensive by Colin+Smith · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Which means the low skill jobs will be coming back.

    hth.
     

    --
    Deleted
    1. Re:Energy is getting expensive by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Only briefly.

      The root of the problem is that machine intelligence is eating away at jobs by IQ. Sure the high level strategy jobs are secure for some time since AI isn't very good at inventing a new product but manufacturing automation has certainly reduced our need for manufacturing.

      Web services are displacing many service based jobs. For most of the population that might have used an H&R block or such their website is far more useful and efficient and I doubt the website employs as many people as the thousands of tax professionals.

      I buy almost everything on Amazon now. Amazon has a few thousand employees but they can offer lower priced goods because they require less employees. As the politician said it takes less workers to run a datacenter than it does to staff thousands of stores across the nation.

      Every industry is becoming more efficient through use of technology. Eventually there'll only be a handful of positions which can't be done better through software. And I'm sure the people who manage and write that software will be handsomely payed. But what do we do about the rest? If we had 75% unemployment but a larger GDP we still have a problem. Even if the net GDP is greater than now but only 25% can enjoy that luxury while the 75% starve then you have a broken society. We're going to face this problem in the not too distant future. Most jobs aren't terribly difficult and most jobs can be displaced completely by Artificial Intelligence.

      Look at the last recession. Our GDP is higher now than before the recession... and we have less jobs. Welcome to the Future, it's only going to get worse. Software is going to get better. And unemployment is only going to go up. You can cut taxes all you want but it's not going to drive up unemployment since these companies simply will realize they don't need very many employees anymore.

      I'll give an example from my own industry: advertising. As companies consolidate they need less marketing. If you have 4 companies which consolidate into 2 companies they'll probably cut their advertising since you can only air so many commercials per day. It might not be linear but they'll gain efficiency since they don't need multiple agencies anymore.

      And you can reach far more people now with far less effort. You don't need 100 different book stores in a city. Amazon is good enough. You don't need 100 gamestops--you have steam. That's not a case where one industry is supplanting another. You can't retrain these employees from working in gamestop to work in VRShop. The demand for low-skill labor is simply evaporating. And energy increasing in price will simply further increase the demand for efficiency. It's more efficient to stock an Amazon warehouse than it is 100 different shops. It might shift to the customer going to a neighborhood pick-up center instead of using Fed-Ex but that pick-up center could scan a credit card and automatically dispense your package.

      My final example is RedBox. RedBox displaces an entire Blockbuster store. I think about the jobs I applied to highschool:

      Call Center, Blockbuster and Bookstore.
      Future IBM Watson, Red Box and Amazon.

      The future is massive unemployment and Welfare or Make-Work jobs. It's time to start thinking about these things.

    2. Re:Energy is getting expensive by TheLink · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Thing is if people stop having jobs they stop being able to buy stuff from Amazon.

      Unless as you say, there is massive Welfare. In which case people could spend their "Allowances" to buy stuff they like from Amazon or elsewhere.

      Many of the EU countries already have massive Welfare and universal healthcare so if there ever is a future where robots do most of the work their migration path isn't so difficult.

      --
    3. Re:Energy is getting expensive by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      Except of course while this austerity sets in economic forces are also concentrating a lot of wealth at the top, in the big picture that doesn't matter so much for resource use ... but it's going to become destabilising for society. Why do we have to live more and more austere while the rich get more and more mansions, while nature reserves are privatised to keep down sovereign debt and either used for more mansions or given big ticket entry prices to keep out the riff raff, while we get forced into unnecessary wage slavery when machines could do most of the work?

      Yes, we have to start living more austere ... but there is no reason to be confined to ghettos in a police state and live a life of debt slavery ... yet that is where the economy is heading. The austerity is necessary, the loss of freedom necessary to protect the rich while it sets in is not.

      If you want to know the future, look at France in the past or China in the present (China says it wants to raise living standards, but the rich are taking over the Diet and fighting this tooth and nail). One of the two is where we are heading.

    4. Re:Energy is getting expensive by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      When robots get that good, it will be time to, and necessary to give up on the "everyone must slave their life away in jobs ttat 98% would rather not be doing"just in order to eat. It'll be time to sit back, enjoy that mint julip by the pool while robots maintain it, bring us the drinks, while we finally can take it easy. IOW, we can give up the idea that the purpose of life is for human beings, each and every one, is to change things. We will be able to let our robots do that for us.

    5. Re:Energy is getting expensive by Znork · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Not that many people lie on their deathbed wishing they had worked more over their lifetime. The fact that demand can't keep up with capacity means we're leaving the age of scarcity.

      There are two solutions to that problem; either 25% work, and we tax them 'til they scream and divide that wealth, as there is no demand for more work.

      Or everyone works 25% and we enjoy the free time.

      There are of course various other variations on that theme, like indentured servitude for the majority (the 'services' economy), or make-work ('keynsian') economy where the 25% productive work is taxed and redistributed through undesired jobs instead of directly, etc.

      But the least painful and wasteful way to deal is to cut down and distribute work less inequitably.

    6. Re:Energy is getting expensive by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      The massive welfare depends upon lots of tax money, which only works so long as plenty of economic activity is occuring. In the ideal future robots would do just about everything and people would be able to live lives of modest luxury and much free time without needing to be employed - but the path to get there isn't going to be easy.

    7. Re:Energy is getting expensive by Culture20 · · Score: 1

      When robots get that good, it will be time to, and necessary to give up on the "everyone must slave their life away in jobs ttat 98% would rather not be doing"just in order to eat. It'll be time to sit back, enjoy that mint julip by the pool while robots maintain it, bring us the drinks, while we finally can take it easy. IOW, we can give up the idea that the purpose of life is for human beings, each and every one, is to change things. We will be able to let our robots do that for us.

      You're forgetting about the sociopaths. Since they are in positions of power, things won't be as idyllic as you suggest. When robots get that good, why keep "excess" humans around who use up spaces around the pool and drink too many mint juleps? The leaders of the world will start killing off unproductive humans because they'll want the resources for themselves, and they'll have more (military) robots at their disposal.

    8. Re:Energy is getting expensive by stewbacca · · Score: 1

      Thing is if people stop having jobs they stop being able to buy stuff from Amazon.

      Or, you go work for Amazon (or any of the thousands of new companies that spring up because technology is changing the job markets).

    9. Re:Energy is getting expensive by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      Machines continue to get more energy efficient. And smarter.

      Which means machines will continue to do more low skill jobs. As the "low skill" point rises above merely mechanical and into intellectual, the energy efficiency of machines will jump past even larger fractions of the humans competing with them.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    10. Re:Energy is getting expensive by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      Except on the way to that ideal future the humans who control the machines will take human stuff from the less powerful humans. The powerful humans generally want to feel materially superior to other humans. Including each other.

      We could evolve past that petty scarcity-based social behavior. But the path there doesn't seem to exist.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    11. Re:Energy is getting expensive by Stormthirst · · Score: 1

      This kind of future has already been imagined in SLA Industries. While some of the fiction in the manual is rather dubious - as most 90s roleplaying games seem to be - it is one vision of the way the world is going.

    12. Re:Energy is getting expensive by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 1

      You're completely ignoring the point of both the parent and GP posts. In the future Amazon doesn't employ anyone anymore. It's automated. And all these other new companies that are springing up also don't employ people. We're rapidly approaching the point where the number of jobs available is less than the number of people to be served.

      If for example one person could raise all of the crops in the united states hypothetically it doesn't stand to reason that the cost of food would necessarily drop. It takes resources to construct a car. It doesn't necessarily take *people* to construct a car.

      Technology has historically opened up new avenues for people to work since people are intelligent and we have always needed human intelligence to operate machines. But machine intelligence is increasing to the point (from the perspective of labor) that one person programming 100 slave machines is 'smart enough'.

      As Amazon increases its efficiency it requires less and less people. Eventually that number can reach effectively 0. And Amazon, or companies like it, are going to handle a significant portion of our commerce in the not too distant future.

    13. Re:Energy is getting expensive by stewbacca · · Score: 1

      I'm not ignoring any points. So what if Amazon is completely automated in the future. It still takes humans to automate the automation and to by 100% automated would require a whole slew of NEW jobs to design, maintain and operate that automation. Most likely those jobs will be much higher paying as well.

    14. Re:Energy is getting expensive by Totenglocke · · Score: 1

      The future is people will have to get an education and make good decisions - or be left behind. Honestly, I don't get this massive psychological flip in Slashdot over the years - people here used to look down on the morons - now it's trendy on Slashdot to promote being a moron and insult anyone who wants to move society forward.

      Yes, yes, I know, the trolls with modpoints are going to come running to mod me down. Think about it though - which society would you rather live in: One that's technologically advanced and has a smaller population, but a higher percentage of them are intelligent or a society that's not particularly advanced and has a large population with a very small percentage of intelligent people?

      --
      "The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." ~Thomas Jefferson
    15. Re:Energy is getting expensive by wrook · · Score: 1

      Not that many people lie on their deathbed wishing they had worked more over their lifetime.

      I find it unfortunate that this line is so popular. It's as if people see working merely as a means to provide funds for what they *really* want to do. Would it not be better to hope that someone on their deathbed would look back on the activity that took up a third of their life and feel happy that they invested that time? To me, anything less than that is a tragedy.

      There really is no shortage of "work" to be done. Or, let me rephrase that, we have already gone *well* beyond the point where meaningful work took up a large percentage of our collective time. I mean that growing and distributing food, making clothes and building houses occupies a ridiculously small amount of our workforce. The rest of the work is geared towards improving our lifestyles. That people playing sports or music can be among the wealthiest in the world shows how far away our economy has shifted from being needs based.

      The thing about a job is that it forces you to think about other people. You can't just fart around as you please. What you do has to benefit others in some way (otherwise you won't get paid). This is a tremendously good thing. But it is important not to leave yourself out of the equation. If you are working only to make money to support your after-work lifestyle, you are already an indentured slave (especially true if you are working to pay off your debt, but somehow the debt never seems to get smaller)

      If the purpose of work is to do something with your life that benefits others, then I hope people can enjoy it to the point where they miss it when it is gone. For myself, many people ask me what I will do when I retire. I alternatively tell them "I am not going to retire." (I am not going to stop helping others), and "I have already retired." (I'm not working, I'm just having fun)

    16. Re:Energy is getting expensive by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      Yes, we could also use the spare time, which will have become 100% of our time, to kill each other, with your sociopaths attacking and the billions of average citizens defending. The sociopaths may be severely outnumbered, I think... or maybe not...

    17. Re:Energy is getting expensive by Culture20 · · Score: 1

      They'll have more robots (because they're already wealthy and in charge), and despite Asimov's stories, robots don't require the three laws to function.

  51. Better in the good ole days by wilson_c · · Score: 1

    The problem with the world today? It's literacy. Widespread literacy is putting all the scribes out of business. Once upon a time a slightly-educated man was guaranteed a job for life as a scribe, now by providing nearly universal literacy, schools have taken food from his table. What once required a specialist is now available to everyone.

    And don't get me started on the printing press. Sure, Gutenberg's doing fine, but what about all of the monks who made good livings penning bibles until he came along.

    Grrr...kids today.

  52. Re:As fanbois queue in the dark, Jobs makes millio by The+End+Of+Days · · Score: 2

    Unless you live completed disconnected from society at large, in some way you constantly make rich men richer. This has always been true, everywhere, and likely always will.

  53. It is *assembled* in China, not *produced* there by harlows_monkeys · · Score: 1

    Most of the parts for iPad and iPhone are produced outside of China. Assembly happens in China. Only something like 5% of the money spent to make an iPad or iPhone actually ends up going to China. The parts come from a mix of the US, Japan, Korea, and Taiwan.

  54. Re:Print media is going nowhere by Naturalis+Philosopho · · Score: 1

    True, they'll probably go out of business in many locations. But will that open the door for the small bookseller to move back in? It's now time for big retailers to adapt or die like they used to love to tell the mom and pop shops to do.

  55. heard this before by DynamoJoe · · Score: 1

    I understand similar statements were made about the poor ice producers when refrigeration became commonplace. This is just another keyword-based politician trying to be somebody by namedropping the iPad.

    --
    bah.
  56. Re:As fanbois queue in the dark, Jobs makes millio by Man+On+Pink+Corner · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Not only that, but anyone with the leisure to sit around posting leftist drivel on their very own 3000 MHz computer is very "rich," from the perspective of several billion people.

    Someone who incites a class struggle in the US would have to be delusional to think that they'd actually come out ahead if such a thing came to pass. The GP may picture himself among the oppressed masses at the bottom of the pyramid of capitalism, but he's standing on the shoulders of a lot of little people, himself.

  57. Old, OLD story by ShooterNeo · · Score: 1

    Technology that makes some jobs redundant has always, ALWAYS resulted in increases in total material wealth for a country because it frees up people to do other jobs. More automation means we can have more scientists and engineers (who can create the next generation of automation), and also to pay the teachers we will need to train them.

    Now, the U.S. economy has a nasty problem : much of the increased prosperity is not equitably shared with the people who CREATE the prosperity. A corporate executive may perform a valuable service, but he is not worth thousands or millions of times the other managers and engineers and other people who make his decisions reality. If this problem were reduced, and it were straightforward for people to move to higher tech careers without artificial barriers making it so inefficient, then things would work a lot smoother.

    1. Re:Old, OLD story by Charcharodon · · Score: 1
      " Now, the U.S. economy has a nasty problem : much of the increased prosperity is not equitably shared with the people who CREATE the prosperity. A corporate executive may perform a valuable service, but he is not worth thousands or millions of times the other managers and engineers and other people who make his decisions reality. If this problem were reduced, and it were straightforward for people to move to higher tech careers without artificial barriers making it so inefficient, then things would work a lot smoother."

      If they wish to share in the increase they need to spend less money on pot, over priced housing, and smart phones and more money on stocks. Also more people could move into higher tech careers if they had a real education, otherwise they are nothing more than automation waiting to happen.

      Most true inovators own their own companies outright and are beyond wealthy. Others who are moving up the corporate ladder in a mega corp are one step above being a drone even with an engineering degree. No real risk equals no real reward. Now you know why CEOs of said corps get paid so much and the drones get the scraps.

  58. Re:As fanbois queue in the dark, Jobs makes millio by TheGratefulNet · · Score: 1

    thank you. I did need a good laugh. cheers, man.

    --

    --
    "It is now safe to switch off your computer."
  59. Re:Blacksmiths and coopers by sumdumass · · Score: 1

    I think his point is that in this case, one door closing isn't necessarily allowing another to open. At least not in soon enough time to be useful those those who saw the door close.

  60. Jobs Jobs Jobs... by WaffleMonster · · Score: 1

    I know history says that Jesse is wrong. The past is littered with all those who have come before having made the same predictions only to be consistantly proven wrong by history while global living standards for all continue to rise.

    However I still wonder if at some point in the future as machine intelligence improves the whole system won't come crashing down.

    A world where unskilled labor has no hope of employment I would not be in favor of within the context of the current system.

    Globalization is responsible for all kinds of imbalances and disruptions throughout the world. I'm not so sure people who take a stand against them or seek to mitigate these problems should simply be cast aside as holding back the future. It is possible to have your cake and eat it too. To make forward progress while minimizing the side effects of globalization.

  61. Ya missed one.. by SuperCharlie · · Score: 2

    The final industry you missed is financial, which includes stocks, banks and insurance. Unfortunately, it doesnt take 300M brokers and bankers and thats just too bad for a lot of people looking to do anything tangible.

    1. Re:Ya missed one.. by eddy · · Score: 1

      Oh, there's nothing unfortunate about that. The expansion of the financial sector is likely to blame for a lot of the economic inefficiencies that exist today (people on the inside will of course claim the opposite, that all that debt bundling and selling to 'bag holders' (turned out to be you and me!) that led to a crash was making the market more efficient).

      --
      Belief is the currency of delusion.
    2. Re:Ya missed one.. by superwiz · · Score: 1

      I hope you meant to say "efficiencies" rather than inefficiencies. Financial sector is the AI forcing the society to run efficiently. That AI is still largely in progress. But increase in employment is actually an indication of an industry in active development. Once the industry matures, employment shrinks.

      --
      Any guest worker system is indistinguishable from indentured servitude.
  62. What else is there to say. by Charcharodon · · Score: 1

    The man is a fucking idiot....the end.

  63. Re:Blacksmiths and coopers by sumdumass · · Score: 2

    What gets me is the entire service economy mind set. Here is a little explored secrete which should have rang alarm bells a long time ago. In order for an economy to grow, you need to add wealth to it. When you revert to a service economy, all you do is move the wealth around from one place to another. It's not creating any wealth for the economy unless it brings money from outside to inside somehow. This generally means the only way to grow a service economy is with inflation so you end up with more of less being spread around.

    So even high paying or low paying, without wealth coming in or being created, eventually you won't be paid enough to purchase the services you provide. All the sudden you are dependent on cheap outside labor which means even less jobs and less higher paying jobs.

  64. Oh please by Luscious868 · · Score: 1

    Racism = bad. Nepotism = good. It's one "ism" crusading against another. Anybody else had enough of both?

  65. Re:Print media is going nowhere by flyingkillerrobots · · Score: 1

    I read a good piece on this a while back. Link. It might be paywalled, so Google the title to get the whole article.

    --
    "It is a good thing for an uneducated man to read books of quotations..." -Winston Churchill
  66. Re:Minimum wage by FlyingGuy · · Score: 1

    Yes and you get to live in a cardboard box under a freeway overpass.

    --
    Hey KID! Yeah you, get the fuck off my lawn!
  67. Innovation in USA == jobs and prosperity in China by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    How to Make an American Job Before It's Too Late: Andy Grove

    How to Make an American Job Before It's Too Late: Andy Grove
    By Andy Grove - Jul 1, 2010
    Bloomberg Opinion

    Andrew "Andy" Grove, co-founder and senior adviser to Intel Corp., listens during an interview in his office in Los Altos, California. Photographer: Tony Avelar/Bloomberg News
    Recently an acquaintance at the next table in a Palo Alto, California, restaurant introduced me to his companions: three young venture capitalists from China. They explained, with visible excitement, that they were touring promising companies in Silicon Valley. I’ve lived in the Valley a long time, and usually when I see how the region has become such a draw for global investments, I feel a little proud.
    Not this time. I left the restaurant unsettled. Something didn’t add up. Bay Area unemployment is even higher than the 9.7 percent national average. Clearly, the great Silicon Valley innovation machine hasn’t been creating many jobs of late -- unless you are counting Asia, where American technology companies have been adding jobs like mad for years.
    The underlying problem isn’t simply lower Asian costs. It’s our own misplaced faith in the power of startups to create U.S. jobs. Americans love the idea of the guys in the garage inventing something that changes the world. New York Times columnist Thomas L. Friedman recently encapsulated this view in a piece called “Start-Ups, Not Bailouts.” His argument: Let tired old companies that do commodity manufacturing die if they have to. If Washington really wants to create jobs, he wrote, it should back startups.
    Mythical Moment
    Friedman is wrong. Startups are a wonderful thing, but they cannot by themselves increase tech employment. Equally important is what comes after that mythical moment of creation in the garage, as technology goes from prototype to mass production. This is the phase where companies scale up. They work out design details, figure out how to make things affordably, build factories, and hire people by the thousands. Scaling is hard work but necessary to make innovation matter.
    The scaling process is no longer happening in the U.S. And as long as that’s the case, plowing capital into young companies that build their factories elsewhere will continue to yield a bad return in terms of American jobs.
    Scaling used to work well in Silicon Valley. Entrepreneurs came up with an invention. Investors gave them money to build their business. If the founders and their investors were lucky, the company grew and had an initial public offering, which brought in money that financed further growth.
    Intel Startup
    I am fortunate to have lived through one such example. In 1968, two well-known technologists and their investor friends anted up $3 million to start Intel Corp., making memory chips for the computer industry. From the beginning, we had to figure out how to make our chips in volume. We had to build factories; hire, train and retain employees; establish relationships with suppliers; and sort out a million other things before Intel could become a billion-dollar company. Three years later, it went public and grew to be one of the biggest technology companies in the world. By 1980, which was 10 years after our IPO, about 13,000 people worked for Intel in the U.S.
    Not far from Intel’s headquarters in Santa Clara, California, other companies developed. Tandem Computers Inc. went through a similar process, then Sun Microsystems Inc., Cisco Systems Inc., Netscape Co

  68. The world is not run by dumb people. by Oxford_Comma_Lover · · Score: 5, Insightful

    > I don't think people, overall, are that smart. the world seems to be run by 'the people of walmart'.

    Some people are good at what they're trained for. A lot of people are "smart," or at least effective, in at least a few specific tasks. And don't make the mistake of assuming people working or shopping at walmart aren't intelligent, sometimes in their own way at their own tasks, sometimes like Dilbert's great garbage man.

    The world is definitely *run* by smart people. They may not be as smart as engineers--it depends on the particular "runner" and the engineer--but they are much smarter than your average bear. The people on the Hill and in the White House were in the top 10% of their high schools. A lot of them are assholes. A lot of them are nice people. They all have learned certain skill sets. The elected ones have to develop skill sets that make them seem stupid to smart people. They also, mostly, have do mean things because empirically, mean things WORK. Lying to the public--spin--works. Going negative in campaigning works. If you don't do it, you're at a huge disadvantage. Without consensus not to do it, pretty much everyone does it.

    Businesspeople vary in intelligence. The best are usually quite intelligence. Again, they can be good people or not. They tend to think differently than you or I.

    "People, overall," don't run the world--they accept the world, or they rise up. Their needs have been catered to for millenia by those running things. The Romans for control of the senate--panem et circenses--the nations following the infantry revolution at the Battle of Agincourt in 1415, and the gunpowder revolution.

    There are also thugs. A lot of thugs in power. Warlords, torturers, thieves and brigangs and thugs who somehow have nations behind them. Not so much in the West. But in Africa, in Chechneya, many places. And of course local crime lords.

    Some of them are quite personable. Some are quite intelligent. Others are puppets of other people who are intelligent. They may not have formal schooling, or they may. And of course, sometimes they're just a bully. But it usually takes a bully with intelligence to get a nation behind him. Even a crappy nation.

    --
    -- IANAL, this isn't legal advice, and definitely isn't legal advice for you. Also, Squee!
    1. Re:The world is not run by dumb people. by bzipitidoo · · Score: 1

      mean things WORK

      Perhaps in the short term. But in the long term, such behaviour almost always turns out to have been foolish. History is littered with mighty empires that quickly collapsed. The Mongol Empire, the Ottoman Empire, the British Empire, the Aztec Empire... it's a long list. They did not have and never gained, barely even tried to gain, the good will of the peoples that they conquered. Instead they tended to think of themselves as superior, and viewed their subjects with contempt. "White Man's Burden". (Does this sound at all like our top business people? I do believe it does. The Donald is a prime example of this sort of unwarranted arrogance. Now he thinks he ought to be President of the US!) But always, their ability to get their way by force faltered, and they fell. The Assyrian Empire was an especially hated one that shows this. A student of history might well conclude that's just the natural order of things, that empires come and always go, and soon America's ascendancy will be over and we will be added to the pile of failed empires. Maybe so if we let fools run things.

      --
      Intellectual Property is a monopolistic, selfish, and defective concept. It is "tyranny over the mind of man"
    2. Re:The world is not run by dumb people. by Oxford_Comma_Lover · · Score: 1

      > Perhaps in the short term. But in the long term...

      Yes, certain mean things work for the individual, often at the expense of the group or even the individual's long-term success, depending on what the mean things are. Sometimes mean things improve individual success but hurt the group. Such as negative campaigning--at least if the observer values integrity and counts the loss of the system's legitimacy as a massive negative externality.

      I find the "White Man's burden" label racist. I am also unclear what the burden is--or is the term burden meant ironically?

      --
      -- IANAL, this isn't legal advice, and definitely isn't legal advice for you. Also, Squee!
    3. Re:The world is not run by dumb people. by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      Being smart at "playing politics" unfortunately usually doesn't equate to anything of much value in the real world.

      "Running things" and playing games with the beaurocracy are entirely different things. People usually get the two confused.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    4. Re:The world is not run by dumb people. by kikito · · Score: 1

      "Not so much in the West."

      You might want to re-phrase it. Our thugs are just more adept at doing their thing unnoticed.

      I'm talking about the respectable businessmen whose hand doesn't tremble when they have to start a war that kills thousands, only to make sure that the killing is done with the weapons they sell. Of course, they will do that through 2 or 3 phantom companies, and the money goes through 2 or 3 fiscal paradises; those 2 million grands in blood money are also tax free, of course.

      And then they will call it a day, and go pick up the kids to school. And sleep well.

      In the meantime, everybody is busy talking about that middle east warlord who is terrorizing the civil population.

      Actually, let me re-phrase myself. We don't have thugs. We have fucking demons.

  69. Re:It's not an anti tech rant! Watch the f'in vide by Billly+Gates · · Score: 1

    Well banning technology is not going to help nor will protectionism.

    Fact of the matter is in 1960 Americans did not even have access to storage rentals. They were for businesses. Americans overbought for decades paid for by cheap credit while employers looked for cheaper was to produce.

    I think people will not buy products again for a long time until they pay off their debt. The GOP is right and the government needs to pay off it's own debt so the bankers can do things like give cheaper loans for small businesses to hire.

    People do not need to keep consuming and need to produce instead

  70. Re:Blacksmiths and coopers by vlad30 · · Score: 1

    Hinges and nails are needed to make a home,beautiful wrought iron fence is a want. Needs keep employed, wants are the first to go and last to recover when times get tough

    --
    Your'e all thinking it, I just said it for you
  71. The iPad won't replace books for me. by mark-t · · Score: 1

    I find that when I'm reading (usually highly technical material, or else reference works), I'm flipping back and forth, bouncing around from page to page or chapter to chapter in what is anything but an organized fashion. I either mark pages ad-hoc or else simply remember page numbers with important information so that I can come back to it later. Electronic books impose much more structure on the process of reading that doesn't lend itself well to my style.

  72. Who cares where the iPad is assembled? by reversible+physicist · · Score: 2

    Outsourcing iPad manufacturing to low wage workers in China is hardly the problem. According to iSuppli, each iPad 2 costs $9 to assemble. This is only 3% of the overall manufacturing cost -- the rest is in parts that are made all over the world.

    The US benefits at least as much as anyone else from the availability of cheap electronics -- both for consumers and for industry. Unless we are prepared to make all electronics dramatically more expensive, we have to let the market decide who makes the parts that go into our devices. If we're designing the device, and writing software for it, and building new companies and industries around it, that seems like a pretty good contribution to the US economy.

  73. What about ecology? by pr0t3uS · · Score: 1

    All comments deal only with economy. How about an environmental view? If wood based paper industry goes belly up maybe some forests can be saved. Maybe they should switch to hemp or bamboo pulp or whatever has the smallest impact on the environment. Will the next story be: "war with Brazil and Congo imminent (each have 10 acres of forests left) our supermarkets lack the medium to print their price du jour on..."?

    On the economic side... If you are big the change is harder. Smaller companies can and will adopt faster to faster changing human needs. Maybe the dinosaurs will die out and mammals will take over the world?

    I for one would rather read a book on an iPad/whatever reader in the forest than read a printed book in the desert.

  74. Re:It's not an anti tech rant! Watch the f'in vide by GodfatherofSoul · · Score: 1

    Watch the video, you say! This is Slashdot. All we need to do is see "Jesse Jackson," "Illinois," "Congress," and "iPad" mixed together with a classically hyperbolic summary to start posting!

    --
    I swear to God...I swear to God! That is NOT how you treat your human!
  75. video killed the radio star by stiller · · Score: 1

    Just like the telephone killed the telegraph sex business.

  76. Really? by DaScribbler · · Score: 1

    Where was JJJr when wainwrights and pinsetters lost their jobs?

  77. No I don't by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 1

    That is why I compared what we are facing to the previous employment revolutions. No way to stop it but if we are prepared for the hurt, it might hurt less. Denial of the incoming pain is not going to work.

    So, I agree with you, we must change and we can't just pretend the world isn't changing.

    --

    MMO Quests are like orgasms:

    You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.

  78. Global competition is rough by witherstaff · · Score: 1

    Not to defend a politician that speaks out of both sides of his mouth but he does raise a point - vaguely. After a time you have to wonder what jobs we can keep here with the labor differences between countries being so vast. Awhile ago a person built a nice second home in the area and I learned what he did. He works for a large company and they opened a factory in Mexico in order to supply a new Ford plant there. The locals knew American factories were unionized and demanded 15 cents an hour. Part of his job is negotiating those contracts and he was proud to say they settled for less. Total package per employee , cost to company, was less than $1 an hour.

    Now part of me thinks this is fine, the best way to drive down costs and raise profits. Who doesn't want to make lots of money. But the other part of me wonders where things stop as we're able to outsource so many goods and services that it's getting hard to figure out what'll be left. Heck even a local hospital has outsourced overseas the radiology techs that read MRIs, Xrays, CT scans, etc. Personally I don't think the Free Trade agreements were fair when other countries don't have the same labor laws and pollution controls. Wanting to be fair without looking like an isolationist can be tough. Although maybe I have a more skewed view since I'm in Michigan which has seen outsourcing kill a lot of the state.

  79. Winds of change by xenobyte · · Score: 1

    You can't fight them.

    Some decades ago the typesetters here in Denmark went on strike because their jobs were threatened by computers. Several other unions joined, demanding laws banning computers, robots and similar technological means to replace laborers. They lost of course but to me growing up at that time it showed just how reactionary people are to change - even change for the better.

    Typesetters worked with lead and got poisoned (slowly) by it. Making it obsolete was actually a good thing. It was heavy work, always at night, and while it required some skill it was a pretty dull job. But the unions demanded that the times should stop changing instead of working with the management to find replacement work, maybe even work that was both safer and better paid. But no, change was evil and threatened the status quo.

    You can't fight change. You can only adapt or be left behind. It doesn't matter of the change is for good or for bad. It's there and it's going to happen.

    Sure, right now iPads can be manufactured cheaply in the far east, but all the business they're getting now will result in change there too, and the costs will go up there as well. Supply and demand. At some point there will be nowhere left on Earth where you can place a production and have people work for starvation wages and thus save a lot of money. Then costs are equal and it's back to skill as to who gets to build the next big thing.

    But right now there's no need for iPad builders in the US. So people need to find something else to do. Either join the businesses already there or think of something new. Maybe it will be the next big thing?

    Now, back in the day of the typesetters strike I actually did a report for school on "automatisering" (replacing manual labor with machines) and it turns out that while a dozen typesetters lost their job at a newspaper, it required twice as many people to install, maintain, repair and upgrade the electronic systems replacing the typesetters, not to mention develop the software for them. So the change resulted in more jobs, not less. Jobs elsewhere in other trades of course but still jobs. The newspapers didn't save money on this, but it gave them almost unlimited flexibility, a much later deadline and the possibility of a more direct workflow.

    --
    "For every complex problem, there is a solution that is simple, neat, and wrong." -- H.L. Mencken (1880-1956) --
  80. Even farming is global by witherstaff · · Score: 1

    I live in a fruit belt area and our local farmers have trouble growing apples for the same price that comes in from China, Argentina, etc. Having constant new regulations is part of this problem. The latest fun is something like an ISO 9000 certification required for every aspect of each crop. You're the farmer and want to grab an apple off a tree and take a bite to see how it's going? If you're not in a designated food eating area and are seen, you're docked points for the certification.

    In the IT world, When Amazon turk offers a huge list of 3 cent tasks you wonder how low things can go.

  81. No jobs left after the Singuarity. by master_p · · Score: 1

    When the technological singularity is reached, no human will have a job. Everything will be done by machines. That's the price of technology. The Singularity will completely change our societies, to the point that socialism will be the only viable economic system.

  82. Re:As fanbois queue in the dark, Jobs makes millio by xnpu · · Score: 1

    Just remember that to most of the worlds population, you are the rich man.

  83. Printing press.. by it5complicated · · Score: 1

    Printing press cost the job of those monks who copied, illuminated and bound manuscripts. Fie on you, Gutenberg.

  84. Banking system is making the jobs go away. by Leafwiz · · Score: 1

    In economy there are two main philosophies. The Austrian , and the Keynesian economic way.
    The Keynesian says that you need to create a demand, and the other says that demand is infinite.

    Creating a demand is something government is supposed to do, or to stimulate. They take money from some(through taxes) , and spend it on others. Thus creating a demand for something. But often this demand is not what people need, so when the government money runs dry. So does the demand, and people which had jobs supplying that demand loose out.

    If you say that demand is infinite you must also see that this does not apply to every thing. There are only x amount of stuff y people want, and can buy. But people always want stuff z. So the trick is to go and do research for what stuff z is. Stuff z always something that bring true value to the table. Like the iPad. Its like this picture frame with eternal content, delivered in a butter smooth interface. And people, I think, has longed for technology that just works, and is butter smooth.

    Okay..

    As SmallFurryCreature (593017)
    said in the Indeed (Score:5, Interesting) post , there are only so many types of work to be done.

    Since the USA has a private bank that can create new notes, which people accept as money. Something which is used to store , and move value about with. People of the USA has not needed to work. Or they could work in the businesses , which did not make stuff. Since other people in the world where willing to accept the notes created by the private bank of USA.

    The private bank of the USA makes the "gold" which the rest of the world has accepted for the last 60 years. The problem of making the notes, other than it transfers the jobs overseas since other people are willing to work for the notes the private bank has been making, in contrast to trading for stuff, is that it makes the people using the notes poorer.

    Say you had worked up a saving of 1000 notes. And 1000 notes was equal to 40 years of savings. If I could make a 1000 notes in my room, then I would be super rich, because this would equal 40 years of savings. And I spent 5 minutes doing it. If I constantly did this. Making 1000 new notes when I had run dry, I would increase the amount of money in the local marked. So then people in the local marked have more money, and they can then bid higher prices for the stuff they want. With the result that your 1000 notes which equalled 40 years of saving, now starts to equal 30 years. And they continue to decline since I'm making more notes in my room and spending them, thus giving people more money to spend, which drives the prices up. So for each time I make new money. Your savings are worth less working years. Until I have made so many notes that your savings which you spent 40 years getting, can now be earned in an hour. or less..

    Money is all about ratio. How much is the ratio to something else.
    If you had your savings in 1000 ounce of gold, then the ratio to other stuff would be more stable. Since the amount of gold is finite. There is only so much gold on the planet Earth. But you can make infinite amount of notes. Since notes is not linked to anything physical. Its just a number in a machine.

    To sum up.

    The government make more money to stimulate the demand. By stimulating, and creating a artificial demand they make people spent energy learning a non sustainable trade. Also they diminish the value of peoples savings, making it harder for the people wanting to invest in servicing the real demand.

    In effect, it is the philosophy of the Keynesian which drives away the jobs in USA. By wanting to artificially stimulate the economy with newly created notes by the FED which is given to the Government though the sales of bonds. This philosophy also makes people poorer since the ratio of their savings, to other stuff gets larger; they need more of them to pay for stuff.

    Since there is less savings, it gets harder to invest, making less jobs, which gets people anxious, where people demand a solu

  85. What a load of Luddite horseshit! by Just+Brew+It! · · Score: 1

    I had been holding out hope that Jackson Jr. was less of a whack job than his father. Oh well, so much for that.

  86. They all go to the same place by WillyWanker · · Score: 1

    They all go to the same place as blacksmiths, horse and buggy manufacturers, oil lamp manufacturers, smoke signal and telegraph operators, pony express riders, court jesters, vaudevillians, hieroglyphics artists, papyrus salesmen, and a multitude of other defunct professions you ignorant buffoon.

  87. Try to keep up Jesse Junior by stewbacca · · Score: 1

    Times, they are a changin'! For every traditional (lame) job lost like Borders sales agent, a new, higher paying job is created, like Apple customer support agent, or Amazon web developer, for example.

    People who yell the loudest that technology "took rrrr jobs!" also yell loudly about imaginary Mexicans who also took rrrrrrr jobs. Keep up, America.

    1. Re:Try to keep up Jesse Junior by Qzukk · · Score: 1

      For every traditional (lame) job lost like Borders sales agent, a new, higher paying job is created

      Do you honestly believe Amazon needs as many web developers as Borders needed clerks?

      --
      If I have been able to see further than others, it is because I bought a pair of binoculars.
    2. Re:Try to keep up Jesse Junior by WrongMonkey · · Score: 1
      I don't know why you think there will be a 1:1 ratio of job creation:destruction. For example, Blockbuster Video use to employ 60,000 people. Hollywood Video was roughly the same. Netflix, the company that effectively replaced video rental, only employees 2000 people. Most of those are stuffing DVDs into envelopes.

      Travel agents, bank tellers, book stores: these are not jobs that getting replaced.

  88. Re:Bob Woodward Blames Google for Killing Newspape by Ant+P. · · Score: 1

    Newspapers killed a few million trees and the ecosystems they were supporting, so I'd say that's a change for the better.

  89. Datacenters use lots of energy by Colin+Smith · · Score: 1

    Energy is getting expensive.
    Datacenters are getting expensive.
    Information processing is getting expensive.
    Businesses which rely on datacenters are getting expensive (see Google's energy projects).

    etc.

    Today, right now, we are at the peak. As the oil goes, we start to slide down the other side.

    And on the other hand, people are getting cheaper.
     

    --
    Deleted
    1. Re:Datacenters use lots of energy by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Actually, all those things are getting cheaper per productivity. That's the measure that matters. The total expense rising is a reflection of the return on investment of that expense rising, which justifies the higher initial expense.

      The oil supply curve is starting to go down the slide. But its curve to date was pulled by very wasteful consumption. At best 25% efficient internal combustion engines. At best 50% efficient building insulation, 80% efficient heaters, 3% efficient lighting. The majority of the population using those engines for over 15% of their work/commute hours between the (work) buildings more efficient during the lower consumption (day) period and the (home) buildings less efficient during the higher consumption (night) period.

      Meanwhile other energy sources are rising steeply in their supply curve. They're more efficient, and indeed many are sustainable rather than merely peakable. While consumption is finding dramatic efficiencies in use and reduced use (telecommuting, CPUs instead of ICEs, electric vehicles, mass transit).

      And while the people supply is increasing, the rate at which they can do something useful for anyone else in the world is increasing. Education and telecom also makes more of them more valuable. The distribution of value is making the tide go out on some people: unhelpful people in the Euramerican world too long propped up by White Privilege. But overall people are becoming more valuable, as Asia, Africa and South America sees many of its people become valuable to more than just their immediate families for the first time in centuries, or ever.

      It's tempting to see redistributions both geographically and into the near future, that underlie overall increases in total value, as a net loss. But when you see the big picture, you can take part in the growth. Or the nearsighted pessimism can lock you out of it, and self fulfill itself.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

  90. Obsolete... by Bert64 · · Score: 1

    And what becomes of bookstores and librarians and all of the jobs associated with paper?

    The same thing that happened to blacksmiths and all of the jobs associated with the horse based transportation industry, they lose the mass market because people decide to move towards a newer and in many ways better replacement... They will be relegated to niche markets, of people who won't embrace change or enjoy the nostalgia of using an older technology.

    The idea of artificially sustaining an obsolete technology and stifling its modern replacement is stupid, they tried the same thing with cars at one point too.

    --
    http://spamdecoy.net - free throwaway anonymous email - avoid spam!
  91. Re:It's not an anti tech rant! Watch the f'in vide by ScentCone · · Score: 2

    Except he completely misunderstands why companies overseas are sucking up the business. It's not just (or for long) cheap labor. It's a less expensive tax/regulatory environment.We aren't just losing manufacturing in the US, we're actively, aggressively driving it out of the US. Want less debt? Have a giant new pile of corporate and personal income tax by reducing the rates. The US is in the top 3 spots in the world when it comes to taxing a company for operating on our soil. And we act surprised that basic market economics finds more welcoming spots elsewhere, with open arms? Gee, it's such a mystery.

    --
    Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
  92. It doesn't matter what he says... by ALeader71 · · Score: 1

    Jesse Jackson Jr has missed the point. It's doesn't matter where the iPad is made. The iPad is a success because Americans have the ability to purchase an IPad. If we didn't, China would have a glut of iPads. He's obviously playing to his home crowd and getting ready for a re-election bid.

    --
    Only the dead have seen the end of War. - Plato
  93. 4 Day Workweek Would Be Awesome by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

    If the US standard workweek were 4 days instead of 5, there would be at least 20% more work to do in the 4 days. That would keep labor demand ahead of supply for a while.

    --

    --
    make install -not war

  94. Nephew Jobs by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

    It must be nice to have a job on the basis of your famous father instead of your own competence. From which you can attack the people who have more productive jobs they created or just earned, which are keeping the US at the forefront of the economy instead of a derelict museum of your father's generation.

    --

    --
    make install -not war

  95. Re:Bob Woodward Blames Google for Killing Newspape by nine-times · · Score: 1

    he told [Google CEO Eric] Schmidt that some day his tombstone will read, "I killed newspapers."

    That assumes that when Schmidt dies, people still know and care what the newspaper was. Of course, if they really care, then it will probably mean that the newspaper isn't dead.

  96. Technology Vs. People by b4upoo · · Score: 1

    The entire concept of technology is to eliminate human labor. And if viewed that way technology is a success. We no longer need fifty men swinging scythes to cut our lawns. One guy with a cheap lawn mower can easily replace those fifty laborers.
                            Almost no one is giving thought to the end results of this trend. As less and less tasks require human input we must find a way to pay people not to work. We are now at a tipping point in which the displacement of labor as well as the end of economies as we know and understand them will exist.
                            As for deflation we really had best not go there. Deflation is a death spiral and if it starts there is no bottom to it. Imagine an entire bushel of prime apples for one penny and no one has a penny.
                            In particular the right wing needs to confront reality. I see all kinds of rants about the elimination of Social Security. They all claim that current retirees benefits will not be touched as they only want to get rid of Social Security for the younger generations. But birth rates are not what they used to be. Even if that twenty year old worker is never to receive benefits he will carry a big load for those now retired just as those now retired carried a big load for the generation before them. So we would have young workers suffer loss of a big chunk of their pay checks with no hope of getting benefits when they are old. Worse yet jobs for younger workers are vanishing as technology displaces human labor. Still, we see not one political leader even mention these issues much less propose any sort of cure.
                          The catch is this. The fix for these problems will very much seem to be socialistic even though it has nothing at all to do with socialism. For a president or congressman to talk about real solutions for this issue would be political suicide due to a very uneducated public having knee jerk reactions. The choice is cure or chaos. The field seems to be tilted towards chaos.

    1. Re: Technology Vs. People by The+Living+Fractal · · Score: 1

      The entire concept of technology is to eliminate human labor

      Not true. Some technology does things that no amount of human labor can achieve. Example: certain medicines require technology to produce. Without those medicines (technology) no amount human labor could cure the disease. I submit to you that the entire concept of technology is to improve human capability.

      --
      I do not respond to cowards. Especially anonymous ones.
  97. Ah, yes ... by Rambo+Tribble · · Score: 1

    ... and this brings us to the issue: Whither sealing wax manufacturing jobs?

  98. Copies by tepples · · Score: 1

    I'd rather we have all the smart people over here figuring out how to build an iPad 3, and what features to add to it

    Then companies headquartered in China look at Apple's inspiration, design a me-too device, make it, and sell it. The ease of reusing ideas makes it easier for someone other than the first mover to enter the market, unless you propose some model for Apple to lock people in. Look at the iPhone, which led to Android. And other Slashdot users posting comments to articles about copyright, patent, and jailbreak lawsuits say the traditional "intellectual property" model isn't always a desirable model, especially taking into account the perversions in modern copyright law and patent law.

  99. Jessie Jackson mostly seems to like.. by ssj152 · · Score: 1

    the sound of his own voice. In this case he seems to be supporting the luddites because many people don't accept or desire that technology brings change. Read about the introduction of steam power for parallels. There are many good comments here already. Being proactive in handling job displacement would be a major plus for all of us, as best as I can see.

    --
    Be Obscure Clearly
    There are visual errors in time as well as in space.
  100. Penn effect by tepples · · Score: 1

    I find the same things seem to be going on in Asia where I live to. There's people shuffling about peddling their own businesses but they're increasingly being sold out, as inflation is rampant here.

    Some goods and services, such as a web tablet or business software development, are more-or-less tradable among countries. Others, such as prepared food, real estate, and in-person services such as hairdressing, long-term medical care, and installation of carpet, are far less tradable. As a nation industrializes, the proportion of its economy which produces tradable goods and services will likely increase, and the Penn effect predicts that as an economy's income from tradable goods increases, wages will also increase, which pushes up the price of nontradable goods. Hence the inflation you observe: the country is transitioning from a nontrade economy to a trade economy.

  101. Shooting wars over copyright perhaps by tepples · · Score: 1

    If original works of authorship become the primary output of the western world, watch copyright disputes among nations lead to shooting wars.

  102. It's called technology by p51d007 · · Score: 1

    By this IDIOTS same logic, when Henry Ford developed the mass produced automobile, we should have STOPPED it as it would have put people who raise horses, buggy manufacturing companies, blacksmiths out of business. This idiot is as stupid and short sighted as his (in)famous father.

  103. "White man's burden" by Kupfernigk · · Score: 3, Informative
    No, it wasn't meant as racist. Kipling was an Imperialist - it is true - but an Imperialist who believed that the only superiority of the white man lay in his technical knowledge and organisational ability (such as was taught to the ICS). He believed that the British had a duty to improve India by bringing in railways, safe transport, education and an end to backward practices like Suttee. The "White man's burden" is a verse about this - suggesting that the very best of the British should be sent out to spread enlightenment, and that this should continue even when "heathen waste and folly" brought it to nothing.

    Kipling believed this, not because he saw Hindus, Moslems and Buddhists as inferior, but because he saw them as equals who had lacked opportunity. (This comes out very strongly in his book for adolescents, Kim, which as intended in part to excite schoolboys with the prospects of a career in India.) You may think this was paternalistic, but from the perspective of the time, he was pretty enlightened, and extremely pro-Indian. (G K Chesterton thought that Kipling should be buried, not in Westminster Abbey, but in a Hindu temple.)

    --
    From scarped cliff or quarried stone she cries "A thousand types are gone, I care for nothing, no not one."
    1. Re:"White man's burden" by Culture20 · · Score: 1

      the very best of the British should be sent out to spread enlightenment, and that this should continue even when "heathen waste and folly" brought it to nothing. Kipling believed this, not because he saw Hindus, Moslems and Buddhists as inferior, but because he saw them as equals who had lacked opportunity.

      How very politically correct of you. I assume by "heathen", he meant non-Christian, like Gentile means non-Jew? Because he certainly wasn't claiming they followed lesser, unenlightened religions; that would be offensive.

    2. Re:"White man's burden" by Oxford_Comma_Lover · · Score: 1

      Interesting. Yet a different term for it should be used today, given widespread technical knowledge and organizational ability.

      --
      -- IANAL, this isn't legal advice, and definitely isn't legal advice for you. Also, Squee!
  104. So tax THEM by Shauni · · Score: 1

    That's what corporation regulation and personal income taxes are for. Of course, in the spirit of "compromise" we've thrown those under the bridge. So really, we're living in the worst of all possible worlds. Those rich old white guys get to keep their profits and squeeze the rest of us, with us all the while believing that the Democrats are our "only defense against these horrible monsters."

  105. Precisely! by SpekkioMofW · · Score: 1

    Gerrymandering - one way or another - should be illegal. It's total crap. Congressional seats should be based on real communities. ...nice to dream, isn't it? ...no, not really. Just depressing.

    --
    Spekkio Master of War
  106. I blame those new fangled "horseless carriages" by krazytekn0 · · Score: 1

    You know how many horseshoers are out of jobs now that people don't have to ride everywhere on horses? Or all the telegraph operators that have nowhere to work now that this dang telmemaphones are all over.

    --
    Not all life is cyber. Extra Income
  107. Mr. Jackson is partially right. by tcampb01 · · Score: 1

    While he is perhaps wrong to have pinned the blame on the iPad (after all it wasn't the first... it was merely the most recently successful) it is true that sacrificing trees in order to disseminate information will probably eventually become more and more obscure.

    Now that we've settled that, I'd like to take up a few other important issues that we've all forgotten. The invention of the steam engine put many canvas makers out of business in the ship yards and the invention of the automobile wiped out many other professions responsible for saddling and harnessing beast of burden for our transportation needs. And then there's that dastardly Mr. Edison -- if not for figuring out a way to harness electricity for light and string wire from building to building and pole to pole, we could still be employing thousands of people in the hunting and slaughtering of wales so we could get lamp oil to light the streets -- not to mention the lamp-lighters we'd be employing.

    I am confident that as soon as Mr. Jackson (who feels strongly about such injustices) is reminded of these facts that he will only travel internationally by sailing ship and will ride from town to town on horse, oxen, or mule while reading news on sacrificed trees under the light of lamps run on the oil of wales hunted to extinction.... you know... so as to not appear to be a hypocrite.

  108. If only the MAFIAA can defeat the robots by tepples · · Score: 1

    In reality, there are jobs that robots will not be doing any time soon. Creation of media is a major category and perhaps the only one that I am absolutely certain will not be taken over by computers any time soon, but there are others. Writing software, perhaps as a broader category of "training" these automation systems will definitely continue to be important.

    In other words, the copyright industry (RIAA, MPAA, BSA) is the only "industry" in the country that is sure to survive mechanization.

  109. Re:Print media is going nowhere by Naturalis+Philosopho · · Score: 1

    Thank you sir.

  110. Import tax by MrEricSir · · Score: 1

    China taxes imports -- heavily, in some cases. But we can't seem to do that in the USA.

    --
    There's no -1 for "I don't get it."
  111. Henry Ford is doing pretty well. He created the... by AlienIntelligence · · Score: 1

    “A few short weeks ago I came to the House floor after having
    purchased an automotive carriage and said that I happened to
    believe, Mr. Speaker, that at some point in time this new device,
    which is now probably responsible for eliminating thousands of
    American jobs.

    Now the Farrier is closing stores because, why do you need to
    go to the farrier anymore? Why do you need to go to feed stock shop?
    Buy an auto, drive to church, drive to work, drive to vacation.

    Chicago State University, in my congressional district, in freshman
    class, they are not riding horses any longer. They are all buying autos
    as they enter school.

    Well, what becomes of blacksmiths, stable keeps and horse handlers?
    Well, in the not too distant future, such jobs simply will not exist.

    Henry Ford is doing pretty well. He’s created the assembly line auto.

    -AI
    "I'll be running for office for the 1908 election."

    --
    For me, it is far better to grasp the Universe as it really is than to persist in delusion
  112. Re:Just like his dad. by Sarusa · · Score: 1

    Yo, fucking stupid mods, saying something you don't like is not trolling.

  113. Old people need to stay away from technology/tech. by antdude · · Score: 1

    Ugh, they don't know those stuff. Pick younger people!

    --
    Ant(Dude) @ Quality Foraged Links (AQFL.net) & The Ant Farm (antfarm.ma.cx / antfarm.home.dhs.org).
  114. http://www.fullmalls.com by xiaojiewqq · · Score: 1

    Click on our website: ( http://www.fullmalls.com/ ) Website wholesale various fashion shoes, such as Nike, Jordan, prada, also includes the jeans, shirt, bags, hats and decoration. Personality manufacturing execution systems (Mes) clothing, Grab an eye bag coat + tide bag Air jordan(1-24)shoes $30 Handbags(Coach l v f e n d i d&g) $35 Tshirts (Polo ,ed hardy,lacoste) $15Jean(True Religion,ed hardy,coogi) $30Sunglasses(Oakey,coach,gucci,A r m a i n i) $15 New era cap $12 Bikini (Ed hardy,polo) $20accept paypal and free shipping ( http://www.fullmalls.com/ )dsf

  115. Re:As fanbois queue in the dark, Jobs makes millio by Silicon-Surfer · · Score: 1

    I for one will refuse to make a rich man even richer. I even wonder what will ever make me queue up in the dark of the early mornings just to get my hands on an iDevice. Am I boring or what?

    And on the subject matter, I happen to agree with the congressman to a large degree.

    Actually Steve Jobs doesn't own Apple stock and he's annual salary is $1. No matter how many iPads you buy, you won't make him richer. Unless you buy Disney content from iTunes that is!

  116. subject by Legion303 · · Score: 1

    Mister Jackson's speech so moved me that I topped up my wig powder, dipped my quill in the inkwell and scribed an angry missive to be delivered to the town crier forthwith. Huzzah!

  117. Future tense... by ResidentSourcerer · · Score: 1

    The problem is that there won't be useful work for a large number of people. Education can help, but there is still 50% of the population that is below average in smarts.

    Now you can reduce this fraction somewhat by using different kinds of smarts. At present there is no good way to outsource or automate certain classes of jobs. It will be a while before we automate truck driving to the point where there is no driver in the cab. Outsourcing plumbing repair or furnace installation is a ways away.

    Stuff is getting cheaper. Thanks to automated factories, outsourced factories, machine intelligence. For the same reasons stuff is getting better quality, although there is still junk out there.

    So where does it end? Historically when we have made big gains in productivity, the work week got shorter. But the intellectual jobs, the ones with high salaries, are ones with long hours. Ask any sysadmin, and find out how many of them are working 32 hour weeks.

    At the low end, here in Canada, many brick and mortar stores have 90% part time workers -- typically working 15 to 20 hours a week. If they are part time, they don't have to pay benefits. So people end up juggling 3 part time jobs to make ends meet.

    If you want to see where it is going, take a tour on most Indian reservations. See the joy and the bliss of communities that have 70% unemployment, where the entire community economy is dependent directly or indirectly on government handouts.

    Education is a partial answer. But here in Canada we're finding that a university degree doesn't necessarily get you a job. Indeed, do we need 75% of the population with a university degree? Some fields do. One of my former students recently finished his civil engineering degree, and was snapped up at 70,000/year. But for each guy like him there are a dozen who move back home after University. But not everyone has the savvy to be an engineer.

    Our local tech school advertises, "Now that you have your degree, come and learn a trade so you can make some money and pay off those loans" And people are doing that in droves. Go back, and take training to become an electrician, welder, surveyor. A computer geek working for Best Buy can get $13/hour, and probably works 15 hours a week with no benefits. A high school kid with a grade 10 education can get a job rebuilding drill bits for $18/hour, plus $2/hour shift differential, plus 10-20 hours of overtime, plus 30-40% bonuses every 3 months. A welder can expect 27-32/hour.

    Energy has to get a lot more expensive before it becomes more economical to do things locally again. Off hand, I'd guess 2 orders of magnitude more expensive. Right now it is cheaper to move apples from New Zeeland to Canada than it is to store apples in Canada. At the same time, my uncle, who grows apples in Washington state, ships containers of apples to India. A few thousand dollars takes a container anywhere in the world. The cost of the contents has to be small compared to that cost before the economics favour local production again. Apples wholesale around $10/box. A box is what, 2 cubic feet. A container is 8x8x40 feet -- 10,000 cubic feet. So the apples are worth 50,000. Shipping is 3-6000. Remember that rising energy costs will increase both prices.

    H. G. Wells commented that 'progress is a race between education and catastrophy' It's not clear to me that education is winning, or if, indeed it can win.

    --
    Third Career: Tree Farmer Second Career: Computer Geek First Career: Teacher, Outdoor Instructor, Photographer.
  118. It's deja vu' all over again and again and again by roliaz · · Score: 1

    About 30 years ago the polyvinyl record industry underwent a massive shift after the introduction of the CD. Record production jobs were lost, plants in the North East U.S. were shut down but a whole new industry sprung up on the West coast associated with the production of the CD's. Also at that time the cry went up that all the devices that play the CD's are being manufactured off-shore and something should be done to stem the flow. Well that flow is like a tsunami, you aren't going to legislate it away. The ability to survive is in innovation and leadership. One day the innovation leader is Blackberry and the next it's Apple. I could also site many more leadership transitions, ...these are the facts. The delusion is that a politician can say and do something of consequence in these matters.

  119. For now that may be true... by Viewsonic · · Score: 1

    However, Unions are becoming a rising force within China. As the workers get a taste of what the rest of the world is about, they will demand better wages, safer conditions, five day work weeks.. Basically, China will transform just like the rest of the first world countries have. Cheap labor will only last so long, if the government will not help its workers, the workers will do it themselves. When that happens expect to see companies like Apple start to look for other countries to put their factories in. Eventually they may just lead right on back to the USA as the loopholes of cheap labor will have all been used up. It is the cycle of the markets.

  120. FOLKS READ THE DAMN QUOTE- HEADLINE MISLEADING by bahamuut · · Score: 1

    if you read the headline, it doesn't match the quote at all - what he's saying is that while the technology is great and makes life more convienent, the product doesn't help create jobs in the American Job sector. I think this is a valid point. i don't think he's being xenophobic or technophobic, but pointing out the fact that our country doesn't produce much of anything anymore. Whoever came up with the headline, shame on you for the title, but THANKS for including the quote for clarification.

    --
    like a man without arms, you can't hang......
  121. elevator operators by theangryswede · · Score: 1

    There are no more elevator operators required to get up and down the hotels. Lots of jobs lost, which has happened in the past and will keep happening in the future. Humanity's advancement and progress as a whole does not mean there are no individual or groups of individuals outside the winner's circle.

  122. Technological evolution is inevitable by hazydave · · Score: 1

    This is what happens when stupid people get elected to Congress. Elections do have consequences. I mean really, did Mr. Jackson just wake up in 2011, after sleeping since 1994? Even then, print media was already being in a large part replaced by visual media, starting with television in the 1950s, and what was left is increasingly in competition with the internet and other digital media sources. Apple's only been doing this for a year... how about the Kindle? The nook? Plain old PCs?

    There is no divine right to any market. There was once a vibrant market for horse-drawn buggies in this country. Some of that still exists in Lancaster, PA in support of the Amish, and perhaps a few other places supporting a few other Luddite cultures, but some things need to die. Companies that don't innovate should fail; supporting a dead business model via politics just blocks the way for new tech happening here. It's going to happen anyway, whether digital books or stem cell research. All political interference does is ensure the new industries start up in another country.

    That's not a problem for companies who figure out the business they're actually in. If you know you're a Newspaper company, and are determined to ride that sinking ship to its bitter end, you deserve that end. People are moving to other media the same reason they move to other new technology: they find it a better solution. I never drove a horse and buggy. My kids may never use a film camera. I never subscribed to dead-tree newspapers - I just didn't find enough value in all that waste. And yet, I read and watch news media quite a bit, on satellite and online. If the NY Times or Philly Inquirer were pushed to my Android tablet (Notion Ink Adam) every time, I'm at least a potential reader, and the electronic deliver is an advantage over random website visits -- that part of the newspaper/magazine model is a good one, I think. I get more of my professional magazines electronically, and probably won't renew a paper subscription ever again.

    That takes these guys realizing that they're actually a media content companies, not newspaper companies. If newprint is just of many forms of a company's media, its inevitable decline if not outright extinction isn't necessarily the end of the company.

    --
    -Dave Haynie