Domain: census.gov
Stories and comments across the archive that link to census.gov.
Comments · 1,746
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Re:How tech savy?
Seriously, I can't wait for DMCA part II to happen. It's not a matter of if, but when, we end up with another ridiculous law that takes away consumer rights. Clinton (obviously no longer in the running) said she didn't discuss net neutrality because she didn't even consider it a priority. How is effectively making it so that you can take a freeway to get to a big box store and a freaking gravel road with potholes to get to a mom & pop store not important? Does she not realize that small businesses continue to employ over half of our country? My cousin runs a small music shop. She is able to compete with big companies like Guitar Center by making about half of her sales through her website... but if it takes 2 minutes to load her site - no one will go there.
The real problem is that not only are the candidates clueless about the technology but they're clueless about the cause and effect relationships. -
Re:Pay teachers more
They went down by over 14% in the last three months alone.
A minor dip in a long-term trend.
In 2000, the median value of an American single family home was $119,600. After the recent slump, the median value of a home in the first quarter of 2008 is $196,300. A 64% increase in eight years - I'm pretty sure salaries haven't risen that fast.
I purchased my house in 1995, for $130,000. Houses on my street - smaller houses than mine - have gone for upward of $260,000 in the past few years, and houses in the neighborhood have gone for over $300,000. Salaries haven't doubled in that time.
Yes, if you believed "real estate can only go up!" and bought too much house, or fell for a balloon mortgage, it sucks to be you. But that doesn't change the fact that housing prices have risen much faster than salaries over the past decade or so.
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Re:Pay teachers more
I was only stating the way I see things. You're correct our "educated public" is not very educated only 28% have a bachelors degree as of 2004 http://www.census.gov/Press-Release/www/releases/archives/education/004214.html I would like to see a way for our public to become more educated without the public having to give everyone and anyone a free education. Needless to say I don't know of a way.
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Re:People don't learn from historyIt would be cheaper to give every household $MINIMUM_WAGE * $WORK_HOURS_PER_YEAR dollars every single year tax free than administer all of the programs they have now. From the 2008 budget:
$608 billion (+4.5%) - Social Security
$386 billion (+5.2%) - Medicare
$209 billion (+5.6%) - Medicaid and the State Children's Health Insurance Program (SCHIP)
$324 billion (+1.8%) - Unemployment/Welfare/Other mandatory spending
$69.3 billion (+0.3%) - Health and Human Services
These add up to nearly $1.6 TRILLION DOLLARS!!! The current Population Clock puts the US population at 304,249,871, and the 2000 Census figures report 105,480,101 households. Doing the math, that's $15,168 dollars per year per household. The 2007 poverty level statistics show that $15,168/yr would exceed the poverty level for many family situations WITHOUT ANYONE IN THE HOUSEHOLD HAVING TO WORK A SINGLE HOUR. It also happens to exceed working all 2080 work hours per week at minimum wage BY $3000/year! ($5.85 * 2080 = $12,168).
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Re:People don't learn from historyIt would be cheaper to give every household $MINIMUM_WAGE * $WORK_HOURS_PER_YEAR dollars every single year tax free than administer all of the programs they have now. From the 2008 budget:
$608 billion (+4.5%) - Social Security
$386 billion (+5.2%) - Medicare
$209 billion (+5.6%) - Medicaid and the State Children's Health Insurance Program (SCHIP)
$324 billion (+1.8%) - Unemployment/Welfare/Other mandatory spending
$69.3 billion (+0.3%) - Health and Human Services
These add up to nearly $1.6 TRILLION DOLLARS!!! The current Population Clock puts the US population at 304,249,871, and the 2000 Census figures report 105,480,101 households. Doing the math, that's $15,168 dollars per year per household. The 2007 poverty level statistics show that $15,168/yr would exceed the poverty level for many family situations WITHOUT ANYONE IN THE HOUSEHOLD HAVING TO WORK A SINGLE HOUR. It also happens to exceed working all 2080 work hours per week at minimum wage BY $3000/year! ($5.85 * 2080 = $12,168).
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Re:People don't learn from historyIt would be cheaper to give every household $MINIMUM_WAGE * $WORK_HOURS_PER_YEAR dollars every single year tax free than administer all of the programs they have now. From the 2008 budget:
$608 billion (+4.5%) - Social Security
$386 billion (+5.2%) - Medicare
$209 billion (+5.6%) - Medicaid and the State Children's Health Insurance Program (SCHIP)
$324 billion (+1.8%) - Unemployment/Welfare/Other mandatory spending
$69.3 billion (+0.3%) - Health and Human Services
These add up to nearly $1.6 TRILLION DOLLARS!!! The current Population Clock puts the US population at 304,249,871, and the 2000 Census figures report 105,480,101 households. Doing the math, that's $15,168 dollars per year per household. The 2007 poverty level statistics show that $15,168/yr would exceed the poverty level for many family situations WITHOUT ANYONE IN THE HOUSEHOLD HAVING TO WORK A SINGLE HOUR. It also happens to exceed working all 2080 work hours per week at minimum wage BY $3000/year! ($5.85 * 2080 = $12,168).
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Re:Weak
Aside from your claim about results, which has already been discussed, you should note that the reason private schools cost less on average is that most are subsidized by churches. Private schools without such support cost slightly more per student than public eduction.
http://www.capenet.org/facts.html
http://www.census.gov/Press-Release/www/releases/archives/education/010125.html -
Re:Well, for one thing..
Of course not. But reality is usually not that simple.
No, it's not. But that's what it boils down to. The people who are most capable, who provide the most value make the most money.
But there are other people that get a lot of money working in an inefficient multicorp, earning an above average salary doing exactly nothing of any value. Those people don't get my respect.
No, they don't do anything of value to *you*. The corporations they work for disagree.
If you really think those people don't do anything and provide no value, why don't you apply for their jobs? Once you explain to the interviewer that the job doesn't entail doing anything of value, I'm sure they'll waive the requirements. If it's really that simple, people who aren't rich have only themselves to blame.
The larger a company grows, the less productive it's employees get. Imagine a Small Business, maybe 40 employees. Everyone knows everyone. The company is a team. Made up numbers: direct employee productivity is maybe around 60-80%.
Well, I guess we're in luck. The *vast* majority of businesses have less than 100 employees.
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Re:Question?
A. There were 119,117,000 housing units in the United States in 2001. Approximately 106,261,000 were occupied as regular residences and 12,855,000 were vacant or seasonal.
http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/housing/ahs/ahsfaq.html -
Re:ridiculous straw manI shouldn't do this, but I feel like I need to step in here. 1/5 of all state prisoners and about 1/2 of all federal prisoners were in for drug crimes.
Putting aside any arguments about the "war on drugs", drug laws are - as a matter of fact - very heavily tilted against people with brown skin.
Further, I don't know where this 80% number came from... There are 35.5 million people living below the poverty level. 16 million claim to be "white alone, not hispanic". That's about 46%.
And while we're talking statistics and you bring up "robbery". From this article: White prisoners were more
likely to be serving time for a property offense (27%),
compared to blacks (18%)and Hispanics (17%). Ooops! Whites are MORE likely to have stolen something and then gone to jail.
So why so many blacks in prison? Nearly a
quarter of black State inmates (24%) and Hispanic inmates
(23%) were drug offenders, compared to a seventh of white
inmates (14%). Ooops! We're putting them in jail for getting stoned.
Of course, I'm having a bit of fun with statistics here, and everything is more complicated than prison stats... but you guys are both arguing over false data. -
Re:Out of curiosity...
According to the Census Bureau, there are about 4.8 million businesses with 2-500 employees, and about 19.5 million companies with only a single employee. They don't have the clout of IBM, but there sure is a bunch of them. It'd be interesting to see what they do to the statistics.
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Re:How do they know? What about Burma?
I have no source, this is what I was taught in school 10 years ago. Your numbers are probably more recent and more right than mine. According to http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/idb/worldpopinfo.html the world population was 6,600,372,992 in 2007 and 6,677,563,921 in 2008, which results in +2.44 persons per second. Which actually means the world population has regained its level from before Cyclone Nargis in only 11.4 hours.
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Re:How do they know? What about Burma?
ZOMG - if the current trend continues we're all dooooooomed! History is full of ridiculous disaster predictions from extending some trend to infinity, ignoring the complexity of the real world. Here in the real world, the rate of populaiton growth is decreasing rapidly, and most moden nations either have decreasing populaitons are (lie the US) are compensating only with immigration. Data here: http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/idb/worldpopinfo.html
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Re:How do they know? What about Burma?
World population is levelling off very quickly. http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/img/worldgr.gif
More data here: http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/idb/worldpopinfo.html but basically people stop having lots of kids once their nation becomes industrialized, and most "first world" nations have a significant population decline if you ignore immigration. Japan in particular has a serious problem with population decline. -
Re:How do they know? What about Burma?
World population is levelling off very quickly. http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/img/worldgr.gif
More data here: http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/idb/worldpopinfo.html but basically people stop having lots of kids once their nation becomes industrialized, and most "first world" nations have a significant population decline if you ignore immigration. Japan in particular has a serious problem with population decline. -
4 turbines for 1300 people?
So if we wanted to power say, California, which as of 2006 has 36,457,549 people we would need something around (36,457,549/4=28044 so 28044*4=) 112,177 wind turbines. That is stupid ridiculous!
Why would we not have 2 or 3 nuke plants and achieve the same goal with way less environmental impact, better impact on the tax payers wallets and we wouldn't kill all the birds in the state!
Wind power 'feels good' but when you start running the numbers it gets dumb real quick. -
NY Could Sue For Buyer's Addresses
It was already a law that residents had to pay sales tax on out of state items. But with no real way for the state to enforce it, most taxpayers are not going to bother.
Also, per resident this is a very small amount, which makes it almost silly to bother reporting on your state tax return. According to the first article, "The provision is meant to contribute about $50 million to the $122 billion budget" In 2006, the population of NY state was 19,306,183. By those numbers, each resident would be paying an average of $2.59. In NY, sales tax is different IN EACH COUNTY! (Statewide it varies between 7% and 9%). This means that a $24.95 book would have $1.74-$2.24 tax owed to NY state. Who would bother? Granted, some people order hundreds of dollars worth or merchandise off of Amazon, so it would be higher for some people, that's not the point. Obviously, not many people pay their share, which is why the greedy politicians passed this law.
One HIGHLY invasive option is for the state of New York to sue Amazon and force them to hand over the addresses of NY residents. Heck, they could probably even sue for the entire purchase history per year, per account. I am not sure that New York could enforce it even then, though. What are they going to do, knock on each Amazon shoppers door and threaten to take them to take them to jail if they don't pay two bucks?
(I am not saying that this is a GOOD option, but since it was already a law, I am surprised that the state of NY did not try to get their grubby mitts on taxpayers money this way. Bring on the flames...)
Hopefully Amazon will win this. -
Re:Medical 'insurance' is an extended warrantySure... and many of those people do exactly what I said: they wait for their problems to become emergencies, and then they go to the emergency room.
... It can also mean that they skip the routine medical stuff and wait until it's a big enough problem that someone else will pay for it. Neither of the quotes you provide suggest that it will be mandatory to have health insurance. Both refer to the option of having federal coverage.
In addition, Medicare Parts A (hospital insurance) and B (medical insurance) do have premiums. Most people don't pay Part A because they paid into it for ten years or more, but premiums for those who paid in for less than ten years are $233 or $423 per month, depending on how long they paid in before. Part B is $135 annually for those making less than $82K per year singly or $164K per year joint, and then it goes to $96.40 per month and moves up from there.
Absent tax increases to involuntarily cover those who choose not to sign up, there will still be those who choose to keep cash in pocket. Being "covered" doesn't necessarily mean much - see Sicko for a few examples. I don't mind counter-evidence being provided, but please use something other than a Micheal Moore film to do so. On top of this, the overhead for a nationalized system is not necessarily better than in a corporation. Its budget has ballooned from £65.4 billion to £105.6 in five years, a 12.3% annualized increase. It's doubled in the past ten years. Either it was grossly underfunded before -- a possibility -- or it's administered in a grossly inefficiently fashion now. Try comparing that against the US. Then compare health expenses vs. outcomes in all the other countries with national health care. "Outcomes" is a little vague. But I did compare overall health care expenditures in the US. Similar to the UK, it's doubled in ten years, but the annualized percentage increases for the last five years have been only 8.2%, a third lower than in the UK. I used figures from the US Census Bureau with 2007 as the ending year. Hell, even here in the US, Medicare has lower overhead than private insurers. Not always. See Medicare Part D. The overpayment due to refusal to negotiate lower drug prices when purchased under Part D is substantial, perhaps more than $20 billion per year. These are the kinds of things that bring about concerns of program costs to those of us wary of a nationalized system. Today, if you want an MRI and your local hospital has a waiting list, you can go to some other hospital. Maybe your insurer won't cover it, but you can still pay out of pocket, or you can find a better insurer who will cover it.
That wouldn't change. MRIs aren't inexpensive, at least for those who are not wealthy by my definition.
Aside from that, your recommendation to find another insurer is no different from today's market. "...No government bureaucrat will second-guess decisions about your care." Medicare already does this on some occasions, and I'm not talking about experimental or frivolous care. It doesn't provide complete freedom of care, and so far as I understand, medical providers are not required to accept Medicare patients, and some do not due to what they see as regulated fees for services that are too low. Most hospitals accept it because it's guaranteed payment, but not all doctors do.
It's also not always all-inclusive. In a recent experience with my grandfather, his triple-bypass surgery would still have left him with tens of thousands of dollars in out-of-pocket costs had Medicare been the only thing available. His private insurance is what made it possible for the $200K operation to take place at all. -
Uh..
From the summary:
'Lots of Chinese people now view the Western media, human rights groups, and Western leaders' criticisms of their country as part of the Racist Western Conspiracy to Stop China From Being Successful.'
Wh...WHAT? -
Who's doing this math?
I posted this on CNET, but I might as well post it here as well:
Is there anything better than sensational bogus statistics? Some politicians claim states would lose half a trillion dollars in tax by 2011? Do they think most Americans didn't make it past 2nd grade math? Let's examine that claim with real math and logic:
Here are the e-commerce retail sales for the last 9 years:
2007 $136B
2006 $108B
2005 $86B
2004 $69B
2003 $57B
2002 $44
2001 $34
2000 $29
1999 $15
Source: http://www.census.gov/eos/www/archives.html
That's a total of $578 billion in revenue for 99-07.
Now, if we assume an average of 7% sales tax, and we assume that ALL items are taxable (which in most states they are not, like food and clothing), you would need $7.14 trillion in revenue to accumulate sales tax of $500 billion (which is the claimed lost tax by 2011).
That would mean that e-commerce would have to magically jump from $136B in revenue to an average of $1.6 trillion each year for 08-11. I mean, seriously, their figures are not even in the same ballpark as reality. -
Re:Wikipedia and research papers.A college education doesn't "mean" much anymore. It just means that your employable and focused, not that you're particularly intelligent or well read. College education still matters. Only 27 percent of adults age 25 and over had a college degree in the United States. That is about 1 out of 4 people, which is pretty remarkable, especially considering that in 1940, only 4.6% had a degree, and even in 1970, only 10.7% had a degree. The percentages shot up in the past 30 years, by almost 4-6% a decade. http://www.census.gov/population/socdemo/education/phct41/US.pdf
Of course, part of the reason for the rising graduation rate is that Blacks, Hispanics, and women were allowed to attend institutions.
Another reason why college education is important is because our society has become more technical, the ability to think and have knowledge has become more important.
Using a college degree as a method to weed out 3 out of 4 job applicants is very helpful. Of course, knowing where an applicant went is helpful as well, since Bumblefck Community College is usually not going to produce as fine a graduate as a top 50 national university. -
Re:Finally...
Personally, I think this is interesting: according to this spreadsheet forecast from the US census bureau (and a quick SUM), the total number of deaths in the US for 2006-2007 was 2,820,930. So you could say that almost 1 in 100 people who died in that period did so from a gunshot wound. That sounds...high, to me.
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Re:Two AmericasWell, the "nerve" that generates your comments comes from someone who would also fall into the 60M or so Americans (not 150M: the childen, retired, imprisoned, sick, military, etc aren't counted towards the media income) would by definition be described in your terms as someone who
manage[s] to not make more than me. I find myself wondering if they're just lazy, or if we have that many drug addicts, or that many people addicted to government assistance. Are there really people content to run a cash register at the local Quick-E-Mart, who are willing to do nothing to better themselves and improve their family's quality of life?
The nerve that thinks that the Federal government, which publishes the GDP stats showing us grinding to a halt, is "the liberal media". That thinks the corporate media is liberal.
But on to the economics, not the Rush Limbo version of them. The bottom 50% collected 12.83% of all income in 2005. The top 1% collected 21.2%, the top 10% collected 46.44%. The 50% mark fell at about $46,000 in 2005. Since tax rates increase the further people get from the poverty level (about $13K per family in 2005), because more of their income is discretionary, not necessities, the bottom 50% was paying those lower tax rates on something like $30,000, under 2/3 of their full income, while the top 50% was paying higher rates on nearly their full income. So the bottom 50% paying 3% (assuming your uncited figures are correct) at lower rates on something like 8% of the income seems fair. If you exclude all the corporate expenses that aren't taxed which the top 50% get a lot more of, that is.
But hey, you're a truckdriver making about triple the poverty level. You should be paying more taxes, and rich people should be paying less, right? Because you're on the road hauling pellets 300 days a year, and they're flipping their fifth and sixth extra homes to exhaust our banking system. -
Re:Two AmericasDepending on how households is defined.
That taxpayer-paid-for page says that as of 2006 there were 126,316,181 "housing units" in the US. The ownership rate in 2000 was 66.2%, so perhaps that was higher in 2006 with all these craptastic loans. So maybe um 75%?
That would make 94,737,136 homes.
So, if 1 in 100 were in some kind of foreclosure, that would not be "millions of households" BUT if every single one of those households have an average of 4.2 people in them (two adults plus the requisite 2.2 kids (doubtful)) then you might be looking at "millions of people."
HOWEVER, a vast quantity of these craptastic loans were given to people that were trying to make.money.fast in the housing market. So many many of these places being foreclosed upon aren't owner occupied.
I dunno, do the math on that one.
But so what? If they are the owners then they were renters before and couldn't get a loan to make.money.fast, and now they got a craptastic loan because both sides of the deal were greedy, and now the people living in the places have to go back to being renters and the people that gave the loans should have known better so they should eat it.
But of course, it's an election year! That means responsible taxpayers will be paying for all of it. wheee!
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Check your stats
But for Bobby Joe redneck in the middle of the US with NO ONE around for miles, the kind of people who make up half the population of the US?
If by "half" you mean 20%, then, well, still no:
"[urban is] core census block groups or blocks that have a population density of at least 1,000 people per square mile and...surrounding census blocks that have an overall density of at least 500 people per square mile"
500 people per square mile is almost twice the population density of France.
There simply aren't many people in the US that fit your "no one around for miles" description, much less your patronizing "Bobby Joe Redneck" stereotype. Contrary to what you might think, there simply isn't this huge pool of yokels you can feel comfortably superior to, no matter how popular that delusion is in NYC.
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That being said, your observation - that the US is by no means a police state, and that people who say it is are being foolish - is totally correct. There are certainly shameful flaws (gitmo, rendition, most of the patriot act), but calling the US a "police state" cheapens the suffering of the people locked in actual police states. It's like calling some punk a terrorist for keying your car. -
Re:Police State
The rumors are true, Bobby Joe redneck doesn't exist. Even 20 years ago, he didn't exist:
http://www.bus.wisc.edu/realestate/images/resources/us_density.gif
(from http://www.bus.wisc.edu/realestate/resources/resdownl.asp)
Many of the areas that show less than 10 people per square mile are federally owned land. No one lives there. Also, note that something like 80% of US citizens live in urban areas:
http://factfinder.census.gov/servlet/GCTTable?_bm=y&-geo_id=01000US&-_box_head_nbr=GCT-P1&-ds_name=DEC_2000_SF1_U&-format=US-1
Apparently, the problem is more related to people living in the little world that they made up in their heads. -
Re:Bullshithere are plenty of people at school in MIT, though, who don't come from money Only 21% come from families that make under 60k. And guess what, 75% of families in the US make 68,304 or less. That means 21% represents just under 75% of the population. That's not jealousy so much as realism. A group is being discriminated against, how's that for basic decency. Assuming you went to MIT, maybe you were one of those 21%, but then you go and deny that this problem exists (like the vast majority do), a behavior I expect would be inconsistent with the views of one of the 21%.
If you didn't go to MIT, not much offense meant, if you did, well, I don't much like you. (I would downgrade fucker to asshole in that case. Since you said you were in Cambridge but didn't specify where you went, I made the assumption that you went to the giant douche-hall across the river, which, despite what the facts reveal about MIT, is much worse). Yeah, I know, judging a person by the institution is stupid, I don't really care. Since you're also evidently not rich, you've got no business even talking to me. Yup, 79% -
Re:In before....
Compare that to kids in the average US city, where 50% do not graduate high school.
I dispute the 50% graduation rate for US cities. The gov't says 85% percent of US citizens over 25 have a high school diploma. The national graduation rate for the class of 1998 was 71%. If you're saying the important bit in your claim is that the graduation rate in US cities is 50%, I'd ask you why you're picking the location with the worst graduation rates to bolster your argument. You might as well say that OpenBSD is more secure than WinodwsME. Well, yeah, but so what? -
Re:Skewz me?
I agree that the article doesn't express any bias in it's tone by just reporting the "facts". The bias comes from the choice of what "facts" to state. The statistics in the article are for graduation within only 12 years. The statistics would claim that a child who repeated kindergarten doesn't count when he graduates after 13 years of public school. And the stats are still rather obviously difficult to believe Come on, Detroit only graduates 24% of students. You believe that ? Only 70% of students graduate nation wide ? You believe that ?
How about the US Census Bureau statistics: "85 percent of adults age 25 and over had completed at least high school, an all-time high" http://www.census.gov/Press-Release/www/releases/archives/education/001863.html
How about Child Trends: "Dropout rates of young people ages 16 to 24 in the civilian, non-institutionalized population gradually declined between 1972 and 2005, from 15 percent to a low of 9 in 2005."
Choosing what nonsense to report also exposes a bias. -
Re:More money!?
So overall how much have the chinese spent on the 2008 summer olympics?
Around $2 billion, which is less than a week's trade imbalance with the US. So don't worry, they can afford it easily. Where were the last 10 things made that you bought recently? -
Re:Count Accuracy Unlikely
On this general subject, the Census Bureau has far exceeded its authority with the American Community Survey. If any here has received this, I'm sure you know whereof I speak. Intrusive is an understatement. Here is a link to it (a pdf file on the CB's website):
http://www.census.gov/acs/www/Downloads/SQuest08.pdf
We decided a long time ago that we'll answer the constitutionally mandated enumeration questions only. All the additional data gathering we have ignored. From when they used such data for the WWII round up of Americans of Japanese ancestry to their recent loss of nearly 500 laptops full of data and posting of some 60 thousand peoples' data on the web (including SSNs), we simply do not trust them. Besides, I'm not about to send out unencrypted or give to some random data collector all my personal details (health, finance, home culture, travel habits, SSN, etc.).
If you do not fill out the form, you get regular phone calls for a month - some after 10PM and some before 6AM (at least we did). Then, if you draw the short straw, you get regular visits for a month - up to twice daily near the end of the period (again, we did). Were I to do that to someone, no doubt I could be arrested.
The bizarre thing here is, much of the data is readily available from other federal departments. But that of course is too sensible to use. Fortunately, the web is proving useful in co-ordinating the increasing resistance to this intrusion. -
Re:Horrible...
I agree with your sentiment, however the problem with the "modern" census is, for many citizens, it goes far beyond the simple enumeration of all citizens proscribed by the Constitution and has become a multipage survey asking questions about plumbing, commute times, what languages are spoken at home, who raises your children, where you work, etc. It's so extensive, the government estimates it will take a person 38 minutes to complete the survey!
See for yourself: http://www.census.gov/dmd/www/pdf/d02p.pdf -
Re:You're selling 1958 to 2008 shortThis has increased home ownership (*mostly* a good thing even with the current debacle which, it bears noting, is affecting less than a 10th of homes) Oh boy, another person who has bought into the lie that the housing bust is confined to the "sub-prime" market!
- Both homeowner and rental vacancy rates are at all-time highs nationwide, see here.
- We are seeing year-over-year (factoring out seasonal differences) price declines nationwide, see here.
- Even supposedly immune markets are now seeing declines, see here (two years ago CAR would never have admitted it was even possible for prices to decline).
We are now going to see at least the same amount of declines. This is just beginning.
Two years ago, virtually no one would even admit that there was a housing bubble. One year ago, some were starting to acknowledge the bubble, but at the same time insisting that it wouldn't bust (and that even if it did, prices would not go down very much). Now, few would deny that there was a bubble, or that it did burst and cause price declines, however people still insist that the resulting shit-storm is confined to the "sub-prime" market. The layers are denial are getting peeled back one-by-one. The next one to go will be this ridiculous notion of it being purely a "sub-prime" problem.
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Population
> With the U.S. population having soared to 350 million
Close, only 270 million
Make that 304 million, up from 201 million in 1968.
http://www.census.gov/main/www/popclock.html
http://www.infoplease.com/year/1968.html -
Re:Who Killed the Electric Car?2) Priuses aren't largely driven by "the affluent". They're mostly a middle class car.
I hate to be the one to break it to you, but in most of the US, the middle class is extinct. The few people making enough to be called a middle class family ARE "relatively affluent" as the GP poster stated. the 2006 census shows that the median human being in this country is making $26k. Depending on where that person lives, that's only barely above the poverty level.
In downtown Seattle for instance, you can expect to pay around $900 a month for a crappy studio without a kitchen. A few miles out of town, you could get a small house for rent for about $1400 a month, or a decent one-bedroom apartment for $700-900.
Move much further and you're looking at in excess of a two hour commute due to the effective death of the carpool in the state. At this point, making that $26k a year, it becomes financially infeasible to drive to work, so you need to buy bus passes (not cheap either) and spend hours on the bus every day.
Now walk down to your corner grocery or gas station, buy a local paper if they still exist in your area. Take a look at the job listings. Find 3 entry level jobs which pay more than $18,000 a year without a college education. It's going to be difficult in most areas.
The people who used to be lower middle to middle class are now the upper end of the lower class. The jobs that used to seat you squarely in a financially secure area are now below average. It's getting hard to make a living doing work which used to be considered good pay.
If you can afford a new Prius, realize that 80% of America cannot while maintaining their current standard of living, and that therefore you can consider yourself "reasonably affluent."
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Need to replace the FCC
What we first need to do is change the FCC so that it's not headed by appointed officials, but rather by elected representatives.
The FCC's power has grown far beyond it's original intention (regulating airwaves frequencies in the U.S.). Apparently they only do things in response to complaints. Or at least that's how it once was. But the really fucked up thing is 99% of complaints come from one organization.
So essentially this one single organization is responsible for most of the - detrimental in my opinion - changes to what is allowed to be broadcast or not.
It's not the popular decision. People just think it is because this one fucked up organization has such broad powers and people just assume that it's the popular opinion. It is not.
The organization responsible for all this? The Parent's Television Council. The sick thing is they're proud to be the nation's most influential advocacy organization yet have barely a million members. That's right one million uptight fucks are responsible for 99.8-99.9% of all FCC regulation that affects 303 million people.
And the FCC allows it.
To other countries: The US is not up tight! Most of us love a good nipple on TV. It's this one organization that has been acting via the screwed up joke that is our FCC that has watered down our TV, not popular opinion. -
Not a proletariat price
According to this page, http://www.census.gov/Press-Release/www/releases/archives/facts_for_features_special_editions/007276.html , in 1915, the average annual earnings in the USA was $687. This makes the price equivalent to 3 to 4 years average annual salary. How many people do you know who would pay 3 years salary for a car, even with car loans?
This was an elite purchase, not a proletariat model. -
Article doesn't have much to it.
"Back in 1917, a Detroit Electric cost anywhere from $1,775 to $2,375--in other words, fit for the proletarian or plutocrat."
This was my Father's era and he was a "prole". Working as a logger he earned somewhere around $200-300/year. The earliest data for per capita income I could find was 1929 here:
http://www.census.gov/statab/hist/HS-33.pdf/but even then it was ~$700/year.
So how does a car that cost 3-4 years salary qualify as being "fit for the proletariotarian"?
In today's terms that car would cost ~$120,000!
Aside from a announcing a publicity stunt by a company cashing in on a green fad in visible and public low-carbonism (believe me the replica cars will *not* be for the proles!) this article is shamefully low on any actual news or facts.
Just a bit of hype.
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Let's put this into numbers...If you moved every single person in the world to the land area within Texas, we'd have less population density than New York City (cites: NYC, land area of Texas, world population).
The water outflow of the Columbia River would provide each and every person with nearly 26 gallons of fresh water per day (cites: Columbia River).
We could feed all those people - about 500 square meters per person - with the existing farmland within the US (cites: vegan food estimates, farmland in the US).
Essentially, we could live mid-density, and feed and provide potable water for every single person on the face of the earth, and not require a single person living outside of Texas - no one on the other 6 continents, the oceans, or any other State. No one in Canada or Mexico.
We could feed everyone without a single acre converted from farmland - wouldn't need to touch a single acre of forest, nor city, nor ocean, nor park.
The earth can support a LOT of people; the problem is distribution of the resources. And that is a purely political issue. Concerns about too many people on earth are demonstrably false.
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Let's put this into numbers...If you moved every single person in the world to the land area within Texas, we'd have less population density than New York City (cites: NYC, land area of Texas, world population).
The water outflow of the Columbia River would provide each and every person with nearly 26 gallons of fresh water per day (cites: Columbia River).
We could feed all those people - about 500 square meters per person - with the existing farmland within the US (cites: vegan food estimates, farmland in the US).
Essentially, we could live mid-density, and feed and provide potable water for every single person on the face of the earth, and not require a single person living outside of Texas - no one on the other 6 continents, the oceans, or any other State. No one in Canada or Mexico.
We could feed everyone without a single acre converted from farmland - wouldn't need to touch a single acre of forest, nor city, nor ocean, nor park.
The earth can support a LOT of people; the problem is distribution of the resources. And that is a purely political issue. Concerns about too many people on earth are demonstrably false.
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There is an upper limit.
People have been saying that since Malthus and predicting a massive population collapse. The funny thing is, civilization keeps finding ways to accommodate larger numbers.
Agreed, but that does not mean it always can. So long as all our eggs are in one basket, we are constrained with finite space, and therefore, finite resources. With unchecked population increase, consumption will inevitably overtake maximum production limits, likely resulting in precipitous—and immensely uncomfortable—population decline.
The quantitative questions are being addressed. (What is that upper limit? When will we reach it?) However, whether will we choose wise reproductive habits receives much less attention. I think we would rather not find ourselves under the hardships of overpopulation.
You should also note that most industrialized countries are pretty close to zero-population growth without immigration
While the first two questions remain outstanding, it appears we may be deciding favorably on the qualitative point, and my angst may be for nothing. Global population increase is slowing; the trend of declining birth rates is not limited to industrialized nations.
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666 x 10^7 people after Good Friday March 21 2008To be more precise about a week after according the governmental POPClock
Anyone knows about the actual accuracy of the clock?
MashiyachPS: This is about the time people claim that this world, or at least this run, will end or change (parameter change?) significantly.
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Re:All makes perfect sense, until
Also look up some less well-known names like Allengheny Technologies. You're trafficking in the usual truisms about what the US economy has evolved into. The reality (which I don't pretend to have a full handle on) is much more complex.
You may be aware of that business about how the US share of world manufacturing "value added" is still the highest and has in fact been quite stable since WWII.
As a start, for the US data alone, I found it, of all places, at http://www.census.gov/mcd/. I'm still trying to make sense of it all, but one thing I think I've determined is that the largest industry in the US in terms of 'value added' is ... Chemicals.
The industry classifications to be found in the Annual Survey of Manufactures (ASM) are an international standard and so those are comparable.
The thing that makes me most uncomfortable is exchange rates. But recently, I've developed the theory that while PPP is all the rage, it, in fact, applies only to domestic economies and that Nominal values are in fact the best current way to measure international trade. And therefore, in some sense, comparative advantage. -
Re:Speak really slowly for me...
If your talking about florida, your sadely mistaken. If your talking about nation wide, then it worked as intended.
The entire idea behind the electoral system is to not allow law population centers dictate the policies to the rest of the country. It is built in to favor smaller populated areas for this reason specifically. Philadelphia was originally the capitol because it had one of the largest populations at the time of writing of the constitution. I contained more people then the rest of the state did at the time. The same could be said for boston and so on. One of the fears of the founders was that the large population centers would become so large that they alone could control the presidential races. Here is some insight from the 1790 census
While New York City was 5000 people more then phili, if you took PA as a whole, in the scheme of the larges cities, PA would have something like 44000 votes. NY state only had NYC and Hudson city on the list with 33,131 for NYC and only 2,584 for Hudson City (35715 total). Mass had something like 6 or 7 of the largest cities with a combines total around 42232 population. So going with the 13 colonies which are now states, the populations of those cities along would have a very large impact on who was elected. Instead, they decided to give the power to the house of representatives with appointments of representatives based on populations and let the entire state determine their electorate for the president while leaving the senators to be appointed by the governor of the state.
The very real fear was that one or two large cities could elect a president over all the smaller cities. They also notices that with the likes of PA and MA being so large, those two states could run over the other 11 states. The compromise was the electoral system that is designed to allow someone who doesn't win the popular vote, to win the office of president because it would represetn the country as a whole and not just large populated areas. This is how Gore won the popular vote in 2000 but Bush won the office. It is politics as intended. If you take a look at the county maps, you will see this in practice. Look at how little territory Gore actually won in but ended up with the popular vote. It was only the large populated areas of the north east, Florida and california. that put him up so high.
The electoral system worked as it was designed to. Saying it over rode the popular vote is sort of a misnomer, it isn't like the popular vote represented the entire country, it represented a few largely populated areas. And that is the intent of the electoral system, to negate this effect. -
Ron Paul Not A Troll
Well, Ron Paul SHOULD still be in at this point. That's not trolling.
There are a lot of Republicans who just WON'T vote for McCain. Ron should and will stay in the race, and those McCain haters are going to vote for him, just like they did for Huckabee. Hopefully they'll also learn something. The current election is always about the next one for the candidates who don't win. I think that inspite of what we know here, and the best efforts of many on this board, there are about 300 million citizens in the US who don't know anything more about Ron Paul's positions than that he is completely against the Iraq war. If the nation becomes better informed about the REAL cost of lowering interest rates and devaluing the dollar, things might actually change.
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Re:open street map?
I used to work for the Government as a cartographer. One issue with commercial based maps are the copyright controls. in order to keep competitors from stealing their work they purposely add or subtract roads. They know where the mistakes are and use them for copyright reference. on the other hand this is whats causes allot of trouble with GPS routers. One fix is to add a flag to the line data that could flag this and fix tons or routing trouble GPS devices have been having. Examples can be used for tonnage limits, rural routes, narrow streets, and low bridges. But because most maps are created using satellite or air photography overlays, that info is left out.
The U.S. Census Bureau's, Geography Dept. is in charge of creating and sourcing U.S. GIS maps. Most map's are updated during the census period when there are enumerator staff on location to send new road information. Some info is updated yearly when cities, and counties may update annexed land.
Files are created to be compatible with ArcView software and are free to download. Free maps are old, and can be as old as the last Census. In March, 2008 the Census Bureau will make the 2007 TIGER/Line Shapefiles available to the public. File formats include:
ARC/INFO EXPORT (.e00) format
ArcView Shapefile (.shp) format
ARC/INFO Ungenerate (ASCII) format.
These are NOT photographic maps, they have the look and feel of your standard GPS maps. They can be found here: http://www.census.gov/geo/www/tiger/tiger2006se/tgr2006se.html
This info is compatible with ArcGIS, But with the Ascii file its possible to create a opensource editor. I was using government software created to run under linux. -
Re:Of course the map is wrong...
The US Gov't does have a free nationwide map you can use TIGER (Topologically Integrated Geographic Encoding and Referencing) Produced by the Census Bureau. When was the last Census done? 8 years ago? Yea that gives you an idea of how accurate the TIGER map is.
In 2002 the Census Bureau contracted Harris to update the centerlines and attributes nationwide. Approximately 1200 of 3200 counties in the US have been completed with another 300 or so due in March. Details on the "MAF/TIGER Accuracy Improvement Project" are here: http://www.census.gov/geo/www/tiger/index.html -
Re:open street map?
Tiger is still around....
http://www.census.gov/geo/www/tiger/index.html
2006 is last year though of the old data format. 2008 release will be a completely new format with better polygon definition rules. -
There's plenty of data out there
I made GIS maps for years, always using public data. And there is a lot out there, and it is government subsidized, and it can be of marginal quality. The only nationwide project I am aware of is the TIGER project, which is supposed to release a new, provisional data set every year. When you can get it to work, its pretty good. Federal agencies also often release their own datasets, and we would often have forest service, national park service, and blm data on the same maps, sometimes in overlapping areas. Then there are the county datasets. And the city where I live put out their own dataset a few years back. So there's plenty of data, and it is almost all free. Companies that charge for it often have done post-processing or packaging which I believe they have government contracts to do and are allowed to recoup their investment.
Where trouble often comes in is in projections, spheroids, datums and the like. GIS data on different scale will use a different model of the globe to pinpoint places, will use different coordinate conventions, often related to the agency that produced the set (eg the city always used something called state plane, the fs always uses the nad27 datum, well, mostly). Two datasets that have location information for the same road can be meters off simple because they are not represented in the same projection correctly either by the software or the person doing the projection. And these are just location issues. Tabular data is a whole other thing.
The poster sounds a little uninformed about GIS in general.
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Re:open street map?
Street names in the US are assigned by the government and the government can't own a copyright in the US. All most all of those maps have errors and they have a lot of the same errors because they are based on the TIGER, Topologically Integrated Geographic Encoding and Referencing system, database. The TIGER database is maintained by the U.S. Census and while they are huge, you can have a lot of fun with them especially when you mix in the Perl module Geo::Coder::US and GMT, Generic Mapping Tool. The TIGER is a database of any known and and a huge number of interpolated data points, for example my house is listed as a known point with it's "official" latitude and longitude, two blocks down is another known point and every house in between is estimated. One thing you quickly notice when playing with the database is that roads often have multiple "official" name, Roads may "officialy" exist but not physically exists and roads may physically exist with out "officially" existing. Roads can even meander and move, especially dirt fire-roads and trails in the woods.