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Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells?

VernonNemitz asks: "Back in 1984 a patent was granted for silicon chip micro rectennas, which would convert visible photons into electricity in the same way that ordinary rectennas convert microwaves into electricity, at perhaps 70% or greater efficiency. Nobody could make such solar cells back in 1984, but we certainly can today, with sizes of antennas that would capture everything from infrared to the edges of UV -- and the patent has expired. So, where are they?" Currently the most popular type of solar technology is photovoltaics, however PV technology only has an efficiency of about 7-17%. With the potential gains claimed by the technology in the cited patent, has anyone even tried to build one of these units to see if it can live up to the given promise, or at least prove to be a technology than we should be exploring?

550 comments

  1. Beats me by dmanny · · Score: 5, Funny

    They keep me in the dark about these things :-)

    --
    All my previous sigs now look like this one, I wish they were permanetly recorded when used. :-(
    1. Re:Beats me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      By "They" you mean the oil industry right?

      www.awolbush.com

    2. Re:Beats me by The+Dobber · · Score: 3, Funny


      Brought to you by the folks who gave you cold fusion in a jelly jar.

  2. Rectenna? by medscaper · · Score: 5, Funny
    a patent was granted for silicon chip micro rectennas,

    Anyone else get a sorta shifty feeling when they look at that word and picture the consequences of such an invention?

    --
    Any sufficiently well-organized Government is indistinguishable from bullshit.
    1. Re:Rectenna? by jtheory · · Score: 3, Funny

      Don't worry, you won't feel a thing after "utilizing an electron beam and suitably coating and doping the rectifying areas" (from the patent description).

      Seriously, I wouldn't be surprised if there are a few grad students who've been toiling away on this project but can't get any funding. Or... maybe the idea just doesn't work out in practice.

      We also can't overlook the fact that lots of important stuff is, well, overlooked. Any comments from anyone in the field?

      --
      There are only 10 types of people: those who understand decimal, those who don't, and, uh, 8 other types I forget.
    2. Re:Rectenna? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That would explain why it is so popular with the slashbots.

    3. Re:Rectenna? by grub · · Score: 3, Funny


      The goatse.cx guy can generate over 800 megawatts with his rectenna.

      --
      Trolling is a art,
    4. Re:Rectenna? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, great.
      Don't feed this guy any more straight lines.

    5. Re:Rectenna? by errxn · · Score: 1

      I assume that it's gas powered....

      --
      In Soviet Russia, Chuck Norris will still kick your ass.
    6. Re:Rectenna? by IIRCAFAIKIANAL · · Score: 5, Funny

      Heheh, my girlfriend saw me reading and laughing and asked me, "What's so funny?"

      I asked her, "Are you sure you want to know?"

      "Yes, show me."

      So I covered my eyes and shift-clicked.

      "Eeewwwww," she said, "is that real?"

      "Yes dear, it's real and the burning sensation in your eyes will clear in a few days."

      It's scary shared-experiences like these that really solidify a relationship.

      --
      Robots are everywhere, and they eat old people's medicine for fuel.
    7. Re:Rectenna? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So I covered my eyes and shift-clicked.

      What did you use to press the shift button?

    8. Re:Rectenna? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Eeewwwww," she said, "is that real?"

      I must say, I was expecting something more like dropping to the floor in a siezuresque posture, like I did back when I first became aquainted with Mr. Goatse.cx. Or at least some frantic eye ripping. I'd say she handled it pretty well. :-)

  3. Research by crumbz · · Score: 5, Insightful

    What the US needs is a Manhattan Project for alternative energy to oil. Solar, wind, geo, fusion, whatever. Something but burning simple chain hydrocarbons and because the waste product is mostly invisible, pretending it doesn't exist.

    Who elected George Bush anyway?

    1. Re:Research by BabyDave · · Score: 4, Funny
      What the US needs is a Manhattan Project for alternative energy to oil.
      They should threaten their enemies with windmills?
    2. Re:Research by k3v0 · · Score: 1

      oil elected george bush... are you suprised that SUV gas mileage has only been mandated to improve 1.5 mpg?

    3. Re:Research by Artifex · · Score: 2
      What the US needs is a Manhattan Project for alternative energy to oil. Solar, wind, geo, fusion, whatever. Something but burning simple chain hydrocarbons and because the waste product is mostly invisible, pretending it doesn't exist.


      No kidding. We've used the excuse of dependence on foreign oil to barge around in the Middle East, propping up dictators and then fighting them, since before I was born.

      Who elected George Bush anyway?


      Some judges, really. =) I don't know how Al Gore would have handled foreign policy, but at least he'd have sounded adequately literate during his speeches.
      --
      Get off my launchpad!
    4. Re:Research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who elected George Bush anyway?

      The minority.

    5. Re:Research by Mantrid · · Score: 2

      Voters are made of oil??

    6. Re:Research by Dr.+Smeegee · · Score: 5, Funny

      > They should threaten their enemies with windmills?
      Notice anyone threatening the Netherlands lately, Wisebeing?

    7. Re:Research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In today's dollars, such a project would be very expensive, and no doubt disrupt many well established energy corporations. It is really more cost effective and best for our long term strategic security to find a country sitting on an existing large oil reserve that we can find a reason to justify taking over and re-making into a nice, freiendly, pro-american oil producing client state. Oh wait, that's the iraq plan...lives are after all always cheaper to spend than corporate profits.

    8. Re:Research by iocat · · Score: 5, Insightful
      The problem is that *no* alternative to oil will enable people to live with the same wasteful energy useage that oil does. The EROI (energy return on investment) for oil is just way, way higher than for geo, wind, solar, etc.

      So even a "Manhattan Project" style affair will be worthless unless we also make a concerted effort to dramatically improve the energy efficiency of our society -- our cars, our appliances, our homes, etc.

      With not much effort, by not a huge percent of the population, California was able to fairly significantly reduce its energy needs during the whole Enron-initiated "power crisis." Not to sound polyannaish, but just imagine what would happen if we all actually did some simple, painless, things that saved energy.

      The problem is that most people need a real incentive -- dramatically higher costs -- before they will conserve.

      --

      Dude, I think I can see my house from here.

    9. Re:Research by timeOday · · Score: 2
      That's highly ironic, since the Manhattan Project already resulted in an alternative energy source with practically unlimited potential and minimal environmental impact.

      As for GWB, he isn't the first president to not solve this problem. Jimmy Carter probably took the best swipe at it (creating the Dept. of Energy and all) and look what happened to him.

    10. Re:Research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "the Manhattan Project already resulted in an alternative energy source with practically unlimited potential and minimal environmental impact"

      Are you out of your mind? Chernoby ring a bell? www.chernobyl.com Not to mention that used nuclear waste is radioacive for thousands and thousands of years. Ask the folks in Nedeva how they are going to like having the nations nuclear waste in their backyard. Nuclear power is not the solution. Germany is phasing out it's nuclear power plants....the time is over for nukes.

    11. Re:Research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem is that *no* alternative to oil will enable people to live with the same wasteful energy useage that oil does. The EROI (energy return on investment) for oil is just way, way higher than for geo, wind, solar, etc.

      Nuclear is quite competitive, and it's here today. It powers most of France right now.

    12. Re:Research by Desert+Raven · · Score: 1

      oil elected george bush... are you suprised that SUV gas mileage has only been mandated to improve 1.5 mpg?

      Absolutely! After all, Clinton and Gore mandated much higher standards than...

      Oh, wait, never mind.

    13. Re:Research by yog · · Score: 2

      I remember reading somewhere that if all the roofs of public buildings in California had been painted white it would have solved the electricity shortage from a couple of years ago. I imagine putting solar panels on those roofs would have improved the situation even more.

      Enron caused the power crisis there? I thought it was due to deregulation of the power industry.

      --
      it's = "it is"; its = possessive. E.g., it's flapping its wings.
    14. Re:Research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You laugh, but yes, sometimes you *can* threaten your enemies with windmills.

      It's not a bomb, and it doesn't hurt people directly, but windmills and things like higher gas mileage can lower the demand for, and price of, oil, thus destroying an oil-producing country's balance sheet. It's an effective way to eliminate a geopolitical competitor. It's cheaper than war and the "attacked" country can't exactly complain to the U.N. like they could in the face of an outright attack. There are a few drawbacks:

      1) Some of those oil-producing countries might be allies (or at least temporary allies). For instance, if you were to lower the price of oil to hurt OPEC, you'd also hurt Russia.

      2) Some of your competitors would gain as well. China comes to mind - they produce very little oil of their own and their economy is still very industrial. Low oil prices would be great for them.

      3) Finally, do you really want to wreck the economy of certain states? Would the U.S. really be better off with a crippled Saudi economy, which would be a breeding ground for even more hatred? 20 years ago 10 million poverty stricken, U.S.-hating arabs would have sat relatively impotently in the Middle East, but these days a country can be attacked by a few angry people. Big topic!

      So windmills might be more dangerous than a few nuclear weapons after all.

    15. Re:Research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dude, where have you been? Enron was a mastermind in the whole plot.

      http://www.citizen.org/pressroom/release.cfm?ID= 11 06

      It wasn't simple "deregulation" that caused the problem, it was the approach (bought and paid for by energy company lobbyists) to deregulation that gave all the market power with none of the market risk to companies like Enron.

    16. Re:Research by 0WaitState · · Score: 3

      Enron caused the power crisis there? I thought it was due to deregulation of the power industry.

      Enron's (and other energy company) lobbyists wrote the rules of California energy deregulation. Thank the Pete Wilson administration. This is why its so scary when Dick Cheney sets energy policy via private meetings with energy company executives, and won't tell what went on. If the energy co's greed hadn't made such a public spectacle in California they might have been able to pull off price-fixing on a national scale.

      --

      Remain calm! All is well!
    17. Re:Research by Empty+Threats · · Score: 1

      Utter bullshit. Yes, nuclear power is clean, safe, and cheap, but nothing about it is "practically unlimited."

      We have between a hundred and four hundred years of oil, substantially more coal. If we used nuclear power to replace coal alone, the world's uranium reserves would be gone in a century.

    18. Re:Research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      The EROI (energy return on investment) for oil is just way, way higher than for geo, wind, solar, etc.

      Not necessarily. Oil is cheap because all you have to do is pump it and burn it. BUT, the investment in pumping(and transporting, for that matter) is not zero.

      If a solar cell was cheap enough and durable enough, all you would have to do is put it in a sunny spot and let it generate power for years, no pumping required. So a good enough solar cell, geo or wind technology could have better EROI than oil.

    19. Re:Research by Elwood+P+Dowd · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Well. Aren't nuke reactors just as cheap per kilowatt hour as natural gas plants?

      Nuclear reactors + fuel cells seem like a solution that would allow a similar level of consumption. It just wouldn't work for Berkeley.

      --

      There are no trails. There are no trees out here.
    20. Re:Research by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 1

      Yes Chernobyl is bad, but even so the environmental impact of nuclear power as a whole is insignifigant when compared to that of fossil fuels.

    21. Re:Research by AndroidCat · · Score: 2
      His Energy Czar was escorted from the building 20 minutes or so after the last gas-lineup ended. (/sarcasm)He actually cut back a number of research projects, including fusion research.

      Ah well, at least he's since had much success in getting people to stop fighting each other. (So he'd shut up and leave. :^) I do miss when the limit of presidential scandal was Billy Carter, an attack rabbit and a UFO sighting. It was a nice lull.

      --
      One line blog. I hear that they're called Twitters now.
    22. Re:Research by pediddle · · Score: 2

      Did you notice that George Bush was not chosen by the majority of voters? Or that the whole Florida fiasco remains questionable?

    23. Re:Research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      dude's got a point

    24. Re:Research by davet · · Score: 1

      Chernobyl? You mean the plant that was built by the Soviets, who were *SO* concerned with the welfare of the workers? If you judge the safety of nuclear power by the events there, you're a moron. Unlike the commercial power plants in the US and elsewhere, there was no containment structure to contain releases of radioactive materials. In commercial power plants, the rate of reaction decreases as the core gets hotter. In Chernobyls design, the rate increased when the core overheated. And so on.

      Talking about how long the radioactivity lasts is just a scare tactic. Don't forget that your body contains radioactive materials, produced naturally (thanks to "solar power"), that will last for 10's of thousands of years. Should your family bury you in a lead lined coffin, when you die? Or, just keep your body in a pool in the backyard until all the radioactivity dies away?

      Why don't you just be honest and admit that Germany is phasing out nuclear power plants for the same reason GWB wants to ban Stem Cell research. It's just appeasing a different group of ignorant zelots.

    25. Re:Research by AndroidCat · · Score: 1
      Nuclear power is mainly being phased down because of the accountants rather than the technology. After Three-Mile Island and Chernobyl, the insurance for operating and bonds for final decommisioning sky-rocketed.

      Bored techs who play with the knobs seems to be nuclear power's greatest risk.

      --
      One line blog. I hear that they're called Twitters now.
    26. Re:Research by Jonny+Ringo · · Score: 2

      Jimmy Carter probably took the best swipe at it (creating the Dept. of Energy and all) and look what happened to him.

      Oh yeah he got the noble peace prise. How awful.

    27. Re:Research by intnsred · · Score: 1
      Jimmy Carter probably took the best swipe at it (creating the Dept. of Energy and all) and look what happened to him.

      Umm, let's see: Carter was president when a revolution against a corrupt puppet US dictator in Iran; the dictator previously installed by a US-funded/organized coup against a democratically-elected socialist gov't in 1953. After decades of oppression and torture by the CIA-trained Iranian Savak secret police, Iranians revolted and the rebels seized the hated symbol, the US embassy, and took 53 US people as hostages, creating a huge embarrassment for Carter.

      Carter ran for reelection against a far-right actor who railed about how weak the US was, using the hostage situation to illustrate his point but, obviously, failing to talk about its historical roots or the links to past immoral US foreign policies.

      We know for a fact that during the elections that there were contacts between the Reagan election team and the Iranians (Google for October surprise). What was discussed is a matter for debate.

      We also know for a fact that the hostages were released as soon as Reagan became president.

      A third fact is that the Reagan administration soon started shipments of weapons to the Iranians, and later used the profits from those weapon shipments to break the law by funding the "Contra" terrorists in Nicaragua.

      And we know that the Dept. of Energy was diverted from its Carter-imagined task of energy conservation and research and became, under the Reagan and Bush administrations, largely concerned with nuclear power and nuclear weapons development.

      What was your point?

    28. Re:Research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny
      They should threaten their enemies with windmills?

      They're not windmills, they're giants! Charge!

    29. Re:Research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Enron's top energy trader pleaded guilty to manipulating the Ca. energy market, and to conspiracy to do the same. I believe it was in a San Francisco court; a google search will certainly lead you to the articles.

      Also note that since he pleaded guilty to conspiracy, that means there were others involved, and there are certainly more indictments on the way. I forget the fellow's name, but I believe he made a plea bargain and is working with the prosecution now.

    30. Re:Research by helix400 · · Score: 3, Informative
      uranium reserves would be gone in a century.

      Nope, breeder reactors take care of that problem. It'll give quite enough fuel to last much longer than a century

    31. Re:Research by smokin_juan · · Score: 1

      "If we used nuclear power to replace coal alone, the world's uranium reserves would be gone in a century"

      back that up, would you? i can't find it anywhere.

    32. Re:Research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This post just goes to show with a little imagination just about any point can be argued, even if it's a retarded one.

    33. Re:Research by Paul+Komarek · · Score: 2

      And it's because of this point that I'm glad the Bonneville Power Administration exists, despite former president Ronald Reagan's best efforts.

      -Paul Komarek

    34. Re:Research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes! If the enemy is loomig energy economics meltdown, then I see nothing wrong with "Manhattan II Project: The destruction of energy problem". If windmills are the answer (wind energy?) than that's fine with me.

      On more personal note, I think this already is war, as oil companies will do anything to delay any kind of transition away from fossil fuels (mainly oil) to any other source of energy. Especialy those that you can harvest at your back yard without paying any ransoms to them.

      How much exactly does one oil tanker spill cost us again? Do you think that Exxon Valdez cleanup tag wasn't passed to consumers? It think it was passed on twice. Once for cleanup itself, and once from Exxon trying to cover legal costs and ultimately their fine.

    35. Re:Research by intnsred · · Score: 1
      Carter has stated he had reports that Reagan/Bush officials were meeting with the Iranians to undermine release of the hostages.

      Former Iranian president Bani-Sadr admitted that a deal was worked out with Reagan/Bush not to release the hostages before the elections (see this among other sources).

      So we have an instance of yet another election being rigged by the Republican party.

    36. Re:Research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unfortunately, as evidenced by conservation efforts in the Pacific Northwest, this will just lead to higher energy costs anyways. The power generators have fixed costs that must be covered. Reducing energy consumption by 30% yielded a 50% surcharge on our power bills. Not very good motivation to conserve if you ask me.

    37. Re:Research by Helter · · Score: 2

      Did you notice that the president isn't elected by the citizens?

    38. Re:Research by Ripsnorter · · Score: 1

      Thats not as stupid as is sounds, just think of who they're enimies are, and what they have alot of.

    39. Re:Research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, you mean he's supposed to be "elected" by the Supreme Court? ;-|

    40. Re:Research by Joe+Tie. · · Score: 1

      They should threaten their enemies with windmills?

      Hey, if it works with lawnmowers.

      --
      Everything will be taken away from you.
    41. Re:Research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, elected by his party.
      The citisens then blindly vote for the party.

    42. Re:Research by turtlendogrmusd.net · · Score: 1

      I was shocked to learn last week, from my electrician friend, how wasteful standard AC power service to a house can be.

      According to his explaination the typical house gets 240v service. This is 2 legs of 120v, but the interesting thing is that if you use use 5a on one leg and 10a on the other, 5a is going straight to ground because the usage must be equal between the two legs.

      I, of course, quickly envisioned a computer in charge of the power panel that would use relays to balance the load. If you had a 5a and 10a draw on one leg (for a total of 15) and a 5a draw on the other, the computer would throw a relay to move the 5a usage to the other leg and balance the usage.

      Unfortunately, I'm not going to build this, and have only a second-hand understanding of the problem. Maybe one of you is better equipped to solve this problem.

    43. Re:Research by ErikZ · · Score: 2


      They're having a huge Muslum problem at this time. The threat hangs above their heads daily, no need to verbalize it.

      --
      Democrats or Republicans. They are both taking us to the same place and they are not afraid of us anymore.
    44. Re:Research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don Quixote wasn't crazy. He was a visionary who knew the future. En garde!

    45. Re:Research by Skjellifetti · · Score: 2

      His Energy Czar was escorted from the building 20 minutes or so after the last gas-lineup ended. (/sarcasm)He actually cut back a number of research projects, including fusion research.

      Carter cut funding for the Clinch River Breeder Reactor Project in Oak Ridge. Funding for fusion research (PDF) grew during his term. Between 1972 and 1979, the fusion budget increased nearly 10 fold. Typical gov't program. My father was in the fusion business and each year he would bring home a new HP calculator that the lab had bought him just to spend all of their budget before the end of the fiscal year. This would be like buying a shiney new PC today for each physicist every year when they do 99% of their work on the supercomputer down the hall. In the 1980s, Congress reduced funding in constant dollars. Probably not an unreasonable thing to do since fusion is a long term research program and won't be economically feasible for a while.

    46. Re:Research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A "Manhattan Project" directed toward increasing the efficiency of Turbines could produce a very good energy return on investment. All current electrical production (except for photovoltaic) depends on the efficieny of turbines. Increase their efficiency and you increase electrical production from all current power sources, thereby increasing their return on investment.

    47. Re:Research by Nexx · · Score: 1

      IIRC, only if you ignore the costs involved in dealing with the waste products, and also possibly if you ignore the enormous costs involved in building a nuke (both social and economical).

    48. Re:Research by Dun+Malg · · Score: 2
      lobbyists wrote the rules of California energy deregulation. Thank the Pete Wilson administration.

      The Pete Wilson administration is hardly the sole conspirator. A.B. 1890 was passed in both houses of the state legislature (Democrat majorities, mind you!) by a unanimous vote. And if we're going to tar governors, let's talk about Gray Davis, shall we? The man signed scandalously expensive long-term contracts to buy electricity from an industry that's given his campaign over a quarter million dollars since he took office. I know we'd all like to denounce Republicans because we disagree with what they say, but it utterly astounds me when people give Democrats a free ride because they say things we agree with, but rob us blind like every other politician. If anything, progressives should be more angry at Democrats than they are at Republicans. They both give us the shaft, but at least Republicans don't pretend to be our friends while they do it. Think, people, think!

      --
      If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
    49. Re:Research by afidel · · Score: 2

      Not without government insurance protection in case of accidents. Between the cost of decomission, building, lead times, and then to pile on it the responsibility of a catostrophic failure it just doesn't work. The government basically won't make the insurance guarentees needed for new nuclear power plants which is why there haven't been any in decades.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    50. Re:Research by Helter · · Score: 2

      No, he's elected by the electoral college.

      You really can't complain about fraud in the election system if you don't even know how the system works in the first place.

    51. Re:Research by corvi42 · · Score: 2

      well not if we could get tabletop fusion working - that would be a far higher EROI than oil. But that's a pipe dream, and mostly you're right.

      --

      There are a thousand forms of subversion, but few can equal the convenience and immediacy of a cream pie -Noel Godin
    52. Re:Research by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

      Are you sure he's a real electrician? His explanation is wrong. *All* current goes "straight to ground". Where else can it go? The ground and the "neutral"(-) both connect together at the breaker panel. The usage does *not* have to be equal on both legs. I think the point of equal current on the two out of phase legs is so that the current in the shared ground wire will be reduced/eliminated due to phase cancellation. This allows you to have a smaller ground wire than you would otherwise have.

      Anyway, the point is that phase cancellation does not allow you to violate the Law of Conservation of Energy. If it did, we could all save a lot on our electric bills just by using a 2nd appliance on the opposite phased leg. Free energy!

      --
      Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
    53. Re:Research by pediddle · · Score: 2

      I understand how the *system* works, but that doesn't mean I think it's the right system.

      It also doesn't mean there wasn't something funky going on in Florida, but I forgot my tinfoil hat today so I'd better not think about it.

    54. Re:Research by Jeppe+Salvesen · · Score: 2

      Yep. And that research should be supported by legislation. When new, energy efficient technology has matured, the old one should be barred from being sold. Say, you create a refridgerator that uses half the electrical power of the old technology. Since most of your cost with your fridge is in fact your electrical bill, it could cost 30% more, and still be a good investment. Then OUTLAW the old, wasteful technology. Stop selling them. The new fridge has a lower TCO, does the same job, and energy is a limited resource.

      Rich folks who don't care about efficiency are in fact contributing to raising prices on limited resources, as if they didn't do enough less than compassionate things already.

      --

      Stop the brainwash

    55. Re:Research by dublin · · Score: 2

      Someone please mod the parent postup as insightful (and correct!) Far too much of what I see on /. these days is knee-jerk political bashing, usually of Republicans...

      --
      "The future's good and the present is nothing to sneeze at." - Roblimo's last ./ post
    56. Re:Research by Squeak · · Score: 1

      How does painting your roof white either generate more electricity or improve the usage efficiency of what is already generated? Putting solar cells on lots of californian roofs would be a good idea, but I think you are misremembering the bit about painting them white.
      I remember an article many years ago in, I think, New Scientist, possibly Nature, that mentioned painting most roofs in Los Angeles white, which may be the same article. Assuming my memory is any better than yours, it went on to say that the increase in reflected sunlight, rather than it being absorbed by the buildings, would drop the temperature of the area by a few degrees on the sunniest days, and lead to a dramatic fall in the amount of smog forming.

      --
      This sig is a figment of your imagination.
    57. Re:Research by stanmann · · Score: 1

      Well, all things considered, I am much happier with Bush than Gore, esp considering that while Gore may be more intelligent than Bush, Bush's Cabinet selections were both more intelligent than Gore and therefore himself where Gore's proposed cabinet selections were Raving idiots and Yes men.

      --
      Food not Bombs is a nice platitude but it breaks down when you notice that the Bombees are usually well fed
    58. Re:Research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not if you needed more surface area than was practical. E.g. suppose you wanted to power your home, but covering your roof with solar cells didn't give you enough power. (I don't know if this is true or not.) Then solar would not give you a very good EROI.

    59. Re:Research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the new fridge is better in every way, including TCO, why outlaw the old ones? Who would buy the old ones?

      More generally, if we made energy more expensive (thereby making it reflect its actual costs to society), we wouldn't need to outlaw anything. People would make their own choices, and would probably choose the more efficient one. And if they didn't, then the harm they inflicted on us (by causing more pollution) would be made up for by the extra energy taxes they paid (which could go toward environmental causes).

    60. Re:Research by sl3xd · · Score: 2

      Like their automobiles? Wow. I had no idea French technology was so advanced.

      The fact of the matter is that in the USA, the cost of a nuclear plant is much, much higher than it is in France.

      Points to consider:

      France's power is primarily nuclear.

      In the USA, reprocessing of nuclear waste into nuclear fuel is not done at all. This makes about as much sense as filling a 100-liter tank of fuel, then dumping the rest after 2 liters have been burned. If the USA were to reprocess its fuel, the amount of high-level 'nuclear waste' that is laying in storage throuhout the country could be reprocessed into fuel, and last for many centuries.

      The American public is probably about the most paranoid group of people in the world with respect to anything 'nuclear'. The whole reason an MRI scan is named 'MRI' is to remove the word 'Nuclear' from the original name, NMR -- nuclear magnetic resonance.

      In California, for example, leagal costs account for 3/4 of the cost of building a new nuclear power plant. The most recent one (1970's) was slated to cost somewhere around $3 billion to build -- including all leagal costs such as permits, red tape, etc.

      The plant ended up costing around $12 billion, all due to litigation by various groups. (NIMBY -- Not in my back yard, overly-zealous environmentalists who didn't know the facts, etc.)

      And, lastly, the entire population of France is smaller than the population of New England, which is also mostly nuclear powered.

      --
      -- Sometimes you have to turn the lights off in order to see.
    61. Re:Research by KurdtX · · Score: 1
      Notice anyone threatening the Netherlands lately, Wisebeing?
      I don't think anyone wants anything to do with your nether regions, slashdotter....

      Oh wait, you said Netherlands... so that's what, Hades? I think most terrorist-type folk are more interested in ascending. ;-)
      --

      Kurdt
      I'm not anti-social. Just pro-technology.
    62. Re:Research by Artifex · · Score: 2

      That's a decent response, actually. I haven't compared Bush's cabinet with whom Gore might have chosen - where's the list of Gore's chosen cabinet, or can you just tell me who you remember to be on the list?

      --
      Get off my launchpad!
    63. Re:Research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Notice anyone threatening the Netherlands lately?

      Yeah: the US. Global warming -> melting icecaps. The place isn't called "The Low Countries" for nothing.
    64. Re:Research by stanmann · · Score: 1

      Given that it was over two years ago, I don't remember where I saw the comparison, Fox or BBC or some such news source did a head to head comparison, which concluded that Gore was a fool, and Bush was teachable. Because in today's economy, no-one can be an expert on everything, the best one can hope for is to be an expert on one subject.

      He who knows not and knows not that he knows not, he is a fool - shun him!

      He who knows not and knows that he knows not, he is teachable, teach him!

      He who knows, and knows not that he knows, he is asleep, wake him!

      He who knows and knows that he knows, he is wise, follow him!

      --
      Food not Bombs is a nice platitude but it breaks down when you notice that the Bombees are usually well fed
    65. Re:Research by dcmeserve · · Score: 1

      > With not much effort, by not a huge percent of the population, California was able to fairly significantly reduce its energy needs during the whole Enron-initiated "power crisis."

      Actually, I strongly suspect that the mild summer we had that year was a much bigger factor than people actually conserving power.

      --
      "Orthodoxy is unconsciousness" - Orwell
    66. Re:Research by raelimperialaerosolk · · Score: 1

      What's possibly as important as effecient solar cells is cheap solar cells.

      I saw something about 15 years ago where someone invented these little solder balls that could generate electricity (something about different layers with different dopings). What was unique was the method they used to mount them. They took these solder balls, and melted them to an aluminum strip. Took the strip and twisted it and put it in a plastic tube. The tub sat in a reflective half circle. They could bang these things out like chicklets. I don't think the were terribly efficent, but they were incredibly cheap!

      Sadly, I never saw any references to these collectors since then.

      --
      A good friend will help you move. A really good friend will help you move a body.
    67. Re:Research by j-beda · · Score: 2
      IIRC, only if you ignore the costs involved in dealing with the waste products

      Exactly! That's the problem! We have been ignoring the costs involved in dealing with the waste products of the fossil fuel plants. And it is time to stop. If we included ALL the medical, military, social, and environmental costs associated with every time of energy production, we could make better comparisons.

      As an aside, years ago I saw a comparison of the injury and death rates per generated meggawatt of power for various forms of generation. Not too suprising, nuclear had the best rate, since while there have been some deaths, compared to the numbers killed in coal mining accidents and the like, they are pretty darn small (uranium mining for instance may be dangerous, but it produces much more energy per tonne of material, and then you get fewer deaths at the train station due to fewer rail-cars, etc. What was sort of funny in this type of comparison was that solar power (and I am a big fan of solar power) was the worst due to the low amounts of power generated, and the comparitively large numbers of people falling off their roofs installing panels.

    68. Re:Research by iocat · · Score: 2

      The killer with fridges is that new ones rule, from an efficieny standpoint. But when people get new ones, they put the old one downstairs, and thus add to the problem so that they can have a fridge they use very rarely. Old fridges should be destroyed! (Actually PG&E in the SF Bay Area will pay you $75 to take away a working, old, fridge, although the program is only sporadically funded.)

      --

      Dude, I think I can see my house from here.

    69. Re:Research by Nexx · · Score: 1

      That's the problem! We have been ignoring the costs involved in dealing with the waste products of the fossil fuel plants.

      You know, I've never thought of it that way. You're right, we have been ignoring those costs. The cost of spewing CO2/NOx/SOx into the atmosphere through the smokestack is not zero. Thank you for pointing that out.

    70. Re:Research by Jeppe+Salvesen · · Score: 2

      You assume all people make rational choices. News flash - they don't. If the initial investment is lower, a lot of people will buy that version. Compare how much longer a computer with 1gb of RAM will last to a computer with one with 512mb of RAM. If you get a reasonably powerful computer with 1gb of RAM, I would guesstimate it would last at least 4 years without needing upgrades - unless you game, or Palladium becomes mandated by Gov't. If you get a low-end one at 2/3 the price, it will only last about 2 years before it gets really slow (given that you continue to upgrade your software in both cases). You do the math. However, most people don't. Why?

      --

      Stop the brainwash

    71. Re:Research by Tardigrade · · Score: 1

      Read this site:
      http://www-formal.stanford.edu/jmc/progress /cohen. html

    72. Re:Research by juhaz · · Score: 1

      Indeed it does.

      Ages old graphite moderated reactor with insufficient safety meatures, whose main purpose was to produce weapons grade plutonium, not energy. And despite that, the disaster still only happened after incompetent workers ran an insane test and ignored most of those safety mechanisms it did have. That's what chernobyl was.

      So anyway, what does it have in common with modern electricity generating plants except that it used fission reaction? Nothing. Too bad pro-pollution nuke-FUD spreading people like you who think of themselves as "green" (HAH) don't happen to use their brain and care about facts like that.

      Oh well.

  4. Where the sun don't shine by Arrowmaster · · Score: 5, Funny

    I don't think that rectenna is going to be in much sunlight.

    1. Re:Where the sun don't shine by McCarrum · · Score: 3, Funny

      Speak for yourself .. that's where my Manager's sun shines from .. just ask him!

    2. Re:Where the sun don't shine by Have+Blue · · Score: 5, Funny

      You may wish to rectify that statement.

    3. Re:Where the sun don't shine by Blahbbs · · Score: 4, Funny

      Why does everything today have to do with something going in or out of my ass!
      </cartman>

    4. Re:Where the sun don't shine by SirDaShadow · · Score: 4, Funny

      Perhaps it doesn't use the sun but it may use the "moon" as its power source ;)

  5. Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by cosmosis · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I have know about this company for years. Lumeloid Solutions claims their technology is theoretically capable of efficiencies of up to 80%.

    Also there was a story about 2 weeks ago, mentioning solar energy breakthrough using full-spectrum layering. Does anyone know anymore about this. I was unable to find it in Google News.

    Nanotech material, once they arrive, will of course make 90% efficient material practical.

    Planet P Blog - Liberty with Technology.

    1. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by bperkins · · Score: 5, Funny

      Nanotech material, once they arrive, will of course make 90% efficient material practical.

      What kind of nanotech material are you talking about? Little nano robots that run around catching photons IN their nano baseball gloves and pitching them into nano furnaces that run nano generataors?

      If you want people to take you seriously, a statement like, "nanotech materials _may_ be able to produce 90% efficient material," is more reasonable. "of course" is just silly.

    2. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by LHorstman · · Score: 4, Informative

      This company actually seems to be developing the very technology, or very similar, in the patent posted in the story. At This page on the Lumeloid website, they list the technology coming from Alvin Marks, the same person listed in the patent.

    3. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by lazn · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Hmm, the company needs to learn some physics. (and I neet to learn how to spell)

      From the website you linked:

      "This high efficiency is made possible by the use of polarization, which causes absolutely no loss in the available light energy, yet organizes the light to aid its conversion to deliverable electric current."

      http://www.howstuffworks.com/sunglass4.htm

      "A polarized filter passes only the light that does not match its orientation. Only the part of the light wave that is not aligned with the slots in the filter can pass through. Everything else is absorbed."

      It seems to me that if the filter absorbs light not in the correct orientation, then the available light energy would be decreased.

      So who is right? howstuffworks.com or polar-solar.com?

      ==>Lazn

    4. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by Dua · · Score: 3, Informative

      Also there was a story about 2 weeks ago, mentioning solar energy breakthrough using full-spectrum layering. Does anyone know anymore about this.

      Have a look here. It even comes with references to papers (not that I've read them, but y'know).

    5. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by SUB7IME · · Score: 2, Interesting

      'will of course make 90% efficient material practical.' - can you show us a link to information that might corroborate this extreme statement?

    6. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by zeno_2 · · Score: 2

      This is just a guess.. the website said, "yet organizes the light to aid its conversion to deliverable electric current" which makes me think that if you used a polarization filter which let a fairly large amount of light thru it, yet was all "organized" it would be easier to convert the light to energy. I'm guessing what they mean by organized is that all the light passing thru the filter is aligned, as howstuffworks.com is saying..

      I really dont know much about this at all, but it sounds plausible =P..

      --

      How can you expect anybody else to keep a secret that you cannot.

    7. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by odenshaw · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      "A polarized filter passes only the light that does not match its orientation. Only the part of the light wave that is not aligned with the slots in the filter can pass through. Everything else is absorbed."

      so there are many layers and each time some gets absorbed and changed into current. all the while lining up the waves as they pass through the layers.

      im just making this up though
      maybe someone else can help me

    8. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Umm.... that would be a filter. A polarized filter rejects light that is not aligned along the axis of polarization.

      These guys seem to claim that they polarize the incoming light (change the axis of polarization) rather than just reject the polarizations that they don't want.

      I'd be a nice trick, if they can do it.

      Rick

    9. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by RonGHolmes · · Score: 1

      Is it possible to allow all available light in, but have a polarized filter for light trying to escape which in turn keeps these light rays bouncing around until they're absorbed? So I guess I'm saying a one way polarization - is this possible?

    10. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by Rolo+Tomasi · · Score: 3, Interesting
      Umm ... Faraday discovered how a magnetic field changes the plane of polarization of light passing through it a few hundred years ago. Certain molecules can also do this, e.g. lactic acid. So, that in itself would be nothing new.

      To be honest, I don't quite understand what role polarization plays in this ... can anyone clear this up?

      --
      Did you know you can fertilize your lawn with used motor oil?
    11. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by Tailhook · · Score: 3, Funny

      I have know about this company for years. Lumeloid Solutions [polar-solar.com] claims their technology is theoretically capable of efficiencies of up to 80%.

      Lets see. They claim thier stuff is theoretically capable of efficiencies of up to mumble mumble.

      Wow.

      Now I know it's got to be an oil industry conspiricy repressing this stuff. With credibility like that...

      --
      Maw! Fire up the karma burner!
    12. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by Petrus · · Score: 1, Interesting

      A dipol antena is oriented in one direction.
      Light may be organized in all and any direction.

      Before reception, it is good to make the light
      oscillate in the plane of the dipole.

      Iguess,

      Alternatively, they might have two perpendicular dipoles, if they wanted. But I guess they don't.

      Petrus

    13. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by SonicBurst · · Score: 1

      I don't know about one way polarization, but you might be able to pass a given wavelength of light in through a filter, absorb the energy somehow and then re-radiate it out at a different wavelength that the filter does not let back out. This is similar to how a greenhouse works, but the re-radiated light's wavelength would have to stay in the range that the cells can absorb. As IANAP, I really don't know if that is possible or even the best way to do it. In short, I'm pulling it from my ass, but it could be possible.

      --

      Geek used to be a four letter word. Now it's a six-figure one.
    14. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by dbenhur · · Score: 4, Funny

      So what happens when these guys line up against the Maxwell's Demons in the Nano Series?

    15. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by Skjellifetti · · Score: 2

      It even comes with references to papers (not that I've read them, but y'know).

      But you'll cite them anyway when you write your paper.

    16. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by Paddyish · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It's quite simple: The polarization is what absorbs the light to be converted into energy.

    17. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by LMariachi · · Score: 5, Funny

      They'll be playing with particles, but everyone in the stands will be doing the Wave.

    18. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by jerde · · Score: 1

      > Does anyone know anymore about this.

      This is completely off topic, but is anyone else really irritated when people don't use question marks?

      It just hurts. It's like hearing fingernails on a chalk-board coming from the back of my eyeballs.

      Sorry. I'm done now. Carry on...

      - Peter

      --
      INsigNIFICANT
    19. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by KMonk · · Score: 1

      I heard mention of carbon nanotubes being utilized in this way, how? I have no idea, it's way beyond my depth.

    20. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by instarx · · Score: 1

      Nano baseball gloves? Come on...get serious. That would be much too inefficient. Little nano tennis rackets would work much better.

    21. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by packeteer · · Score: 2

      Please dont say that, ouch my head. Dont say its quite simple then say something i still dont understand. One of the parents said that polarization is involved but saying its what absorbs the light still means nothing new to me.

      --
      unzip; strip; touch; finger; mount; fsck; more; yes; unmount; sleep
    22. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by Squeak · · Score: 1

      It is possible to build a 'light valve' which will pass light in one direction but block it in the other, but I cannot think of any efficient way to make the return direction act as a mirror instead of an absorber. The valve relies on two polarisers and an anisotropic crystal with a particular electro-optic property, which always rotates the direction of the polarization of the light passing through it the same way, no matter whether the light is going forwards or backwards. 'Forwards' and 'backwards' are very specific directions with respect to the crystal axis and the direction of the electric field being applied. The required KTP crystals (or is KDP used?) are somewhat pricey and generally small and the required alignment between all components has to be pretty accurate, so although it is fairly simple to set this kind of thing up in a lab it is not something that could be economically mass produced in front of every solar panel.

      --
      This sig is a figment of your imagination.
    23. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by GroverTeam · · Score: 1

      This week: Nano Lightcatchers vs. Scrubbing Bubbles!

    24. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by mofolotopo · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure if you deserve a medal or a short stay in prison for that, but you sure deserve something.

    25. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by carlos_benj · · Score: 1

      This is completely off topic, but is anyone else really irritated when people don't use question marks?

      I know it bothers me?

      --

      --

      As a matter of fact, I am a lawyer. But I play an actor on TV.

    26. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by JonnyElvis42 · · Score: 1

      And if we observe the game, won't that have an affect the result?

    27. Re:Heres a company - up to 80% efficiency. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > So what happens when these guys line up against
      > the Maxwell's Demons in the Nano Series?

      It's uncertain.

      (ducks)

  6. Ask yourself... by anthony_dipierro · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Why haven't you built one of these things? Chances are that's the same reason that they haven't yet been built.

    1. Re:Ask yourself... by deft · · Score: 5, Funny

      "Why haven't you built one of these things? Chances are that's the same reason that they haven't yet been built."

      90% of slashdot just simultaneously realized that these solar panels havent been developed because they are too busy looking at porn and playing warcraft.

      --

      There's nothing Intelligent about Intelligent Design.
    2. Re:Ask yourself... by Bob+McCown · · Score: 1
      Why haven't you built one of these things? Chances are that's the same reason that they haven't yet been built.

      Er, cause I left my fabrication factory in my other pants?

    3. Re:Ask yourself... by rirugrat · · Score: 1
      90% of slashdot just simultaneously realized that these solar panels havent been developed because they are too busy looking at porn and playing warcraft.

      Hey, I'm not too busy playing Warcraft!

      Chris

    4. Re:Ask yourself... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, but I haven't patented one of these things either, that's the difference.

      You shouldn't be able to patent ideas, which is obviously what this clown has done. If it can't be built, it should not be patentable. Isn't there a rule like this that prevents the patent of a perpetual motion machine or something?

    5. Re:Ask yourself... by anthony_dipierro · · Score: 2

      So why not raise the money to buy another fabrication factory? Perhaps because it's not cost effective?

    6. Re:Ask yourself... by anthony_dipierro · · Score: 1

      The patent has expired. And who says it can't be built? Maybe it can be built, it's just not cost effective to build it.

      Yes, there is a rule that if it can't be built, it can't be patented. Apparently either the patent clerk who reviewed the patent messed up, or this product can in fact be built. In fact maybe it already has been built. The difference between building a working prototype and manufacturing mass quantities is quite a lot of money.

    7. Re:Ask yourself... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, there is a rule that if it can't be built, it can't be patented.

      Where the fuck did you get that idea? You might be able to say, if it can't be built, it's retarded to get patented. Or, if you build it, it's probably been patented. Or, if someone else already built it, it can't be patented. But not what you said.

      Justin

    8. Re:Ask yourself... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'll have you know that I do NOT play Warcraft.

      My entertainment drug of choice is Everquest.

  7. GE.. by grub · · Score: 1, Insightful


    The world power conglomerates keep these inventions from becoming reality. They have too much to lose by people not using nuclear|hydroelectric electricity or burning dead dinosaurs.

    --
    Trolling is a art,
    1. Re:GE.. by Gortbusters.org · · Score: 1

      Way to bust them gorts up Grub! Seriously, why don't we have electric cars yet? Why can I still buy non-recycled paper?!

      --
      --------
      Free your mind.
    2. Re:GE.. by poisoneleven · · Score: 1

      You can still buy non-recycled paper because trees are a renewable resource.

    3. Re:GE.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All of the power companies would go out of business if people could walk into Best Buy or Fry's and buy ~$500 worth of solar panels. Then connect a few wires and be off the grid. No more monthly payments to the electric company would be nice though. A lot of power plant techs would be out of work though.

    4. Re:GE.. by afidel · · Score: 2

      Yeah, GE is the man and the man wants to keep you down, keep thinking that. /sarcasm

      Now back to reality GE is leading many areas of alternative energy including work towards one of the first commercially viable home fuel cells See here

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    5. Re:GE.. by frizzzanks · · Score: 1

      You do not understand Capitalism. Whenever some person/company develops a cheaper way to make energy the market will make that person/company the new "world power conglomerate". That, or it would be bought and implemented by say, your favorite company, GE. You can cry all day with your paranoid delusions of a board room consisting of evil doers serving thier only purpose of shitting in your corn flakes, but its not going to change the fact that its cheaper to use oil for energy.

    6. Re:GE.. by Gortbusters.org · · Score: 1

      Cheaper? At what expense.... a nuclear war in the middle east, the pollution of the earth?

      Oh.. capitalism is easy to understand, as is socialism, or anything else... but is it that beneficial to everyone besides the execs?

      --
      --------
      Free your mind.
    7. Re:GE.. by buck_wild · · Score: 1

      WTF is a 'gort'?

      --
      If all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail.
  8. Possibly overlapping Patents? by SpeedBump0619 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Could it be that the effect in question has been patented for some other use? I'm not familiar with the patent quagmire, but multiple similar uses for the same physical phenomenon (light absorbtion into silicon) might be the issue...

    1. Re:Possibly overlapping Patents? by benjamindees · · Score: 3, Informative

      I thought that patents were only issued for a particular *application* of a technology. That's why overly-general patents like "method of communicating ideas with others" are bullshit. I assume that I could get a patent for "method of using rock as offensive projectile" and it wouldn't affect your "method of using rock to flavor soup" patent. I could be wrong, though.

      --
      "I assumed blithely that there were no elves out there in the darkness"
    2. Re:Possibly overlapping Patents? by mesocyclone · · Score: 2

      Patents are issued for inventions. The use need not be specified, although it is usually included in the verbbiage.

      --

      The only good weather is bad weather.

    3. Re:Possibly overlapping Patents? by jeff4747 · · Score: 1

      Patents are issued for a particular process that may or may not be a physical object. I worked at a company that was trying to get a lot of software patents, so they brought in a guy to explain patents to us. He had several. The one he spent the most time describing was "Method for scheduling a meeting". Basically coordinating people's schedules.

      Yes, he did have the patent. Worse, someone else extended his patent. Worse still, he extended the extension.

      Anyway, yes, the rock examples you give wouldn't be a problem, but if there's a "Method for absorbing light with ", then there could be a problem.

  9. We knoew where they are... by smack_attack · · Score: 1, Funny

    Saddam is hiding them with his Weapons of Mass Destruction. Invade Now!!!

  10. Perhaps impractical to actually build? by ivan256 · · Score: 4, Informative

    This device may be fabricated upon a transparent slab by the deposition of one or more metal coatings in a known manner. The various rectifier elements are first prepared by opening appropriate windows in the metal coating utilizing an electron beam and suitably coating and doping the rectifying areas. An electron or ion beam cuts the shape and connections shown. The connections are completed after deposition of the insulating coating 9. The circuit is then the same as that shown in FIG. 1.

    Assuming the applicant built a prototype and proved this device works, creating metal coatings in the exact thicknesses he mentions with the detail he describes is still something that would be very expensive to do now. That technology hasn't improved very drastically in the last decade or so.

    1. Re:Perhaps impractical to actually build? by Citizen+of+Earth · · Score: 2
      is still something that would be very expensive to do now. That technology hasn't improved very drastically in the last decade or so.

      ...because the only reason to improve the technology has been locked up in patents until now...?

    2. Re:Perhaps impractical to actually build? by ivan256 · · Score: 1

      Well, the methods aren't covered by this patent but it is possible that the manufacturing methods he refers to are patented elsewhere. The structures he's talking about building in the surface of this device are bordering on nanotech. He talks about manipulating pieces of metal a few dozen atoms wide with an electron beam. We're just starting to be able to mass produce structures that small for a reasonable cost. I'm sure it was out of the question a few years ago. If he built a prototype of this device, it was probably jut one or two of these structures, and he probably did them by hand, potentailly using a scanning tunneling electron microscope.

  11. I would love.. by Gortbusters.org · · Score: 1

    to have any solar energy powering my home. If it ever became popular, do you think there would be solar tax? ah-haha!

    --
    --------
    Free your mind.
    1. Re:I would love.. by Darnit · · Score: 1

      There shouldn't be because in the USA some of the power plants are using low interest govt. loans and grants. Reducing the number of low interest loans/grants can save the govt some money. They will also have a sales tax from the initial sale of the panels.

      There will be because the govt just likes to tax stuff.

  12. Now we can get back to work by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Now that the patent has expired, there is once again an incentive for people to work on them. The 17-to-20 year runaway-inventions dampening effect has performed as designed.

  13. Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GWB by t0qer · · Score: 1, Interesting

    GWB is a texan. Texas oil is a huge part of their economy. Texas oil makes cars go vroom, keeps power plants running, and heats people's houses on the east coast.

    What would happen if all the major automakers decided tomorrow to start building electrics? GWB's texan constituants would have a cow. They would be trying to pass laws to outlaw them.

    When it was clinton/gore presidency, everything was dumped into technology, the GM EV1 is a classic example of the innovations that occured under a goverment that supported research that would cut out our dependance on foriegn (read Iraq) oil. IIRC Clinton even made it a law that all US automakers would have to have an electric vehicle on the market by 2008, and that these cars would have to be built along strict goverment guidelines.

    When Bush became president, he wasted no time in modifying the law. Current guidlines are on par with a golf cart with turn signals and mirrors. Fords paltry offering into this market is just that, a golf cart with mirrors and turn signals.

    Sorry I turned this comment into a political rant, conspiracy theories aside, the fact that GWB would kill the alternative fueled car laws and go after Iraq oil is all the proof I need.

  14. What, or rather Who keeps this off the market? by mcmonkey · · Score: 5, Funny

    Who controls the British Crown?
    Who keeps the metric system down?
    We do, we do.
    Who keeps Atlantis off the maps?
    Who keeps the Martians under wraps?
    We do, we do.
    Who holds back the electric car?
    Who makes Steve Guttenberg a star?
    We do, we do.
    Who robs cave fish of their sight?
    Who rigs every Oscar night?
    We do, we do!

    1. Re:What, or rather Who keeps this off the market? by jayrcee · · Score: 1
      --
      "Because I have balls like atom bombs, two of them, 100 megatons each. Nobody fucks with me."
    2. Re:What, or rather Who keeps this off the market? by inertia187 · · Score: 1

      We know, we know.

      --
      A programmer is a machine for converting coffee into code.
    3. Re:What, or rather Who keeps this off the market? by Trogre · · Score: 2

      You really think freemasons (oops I meant stonecutters) might have something to do with it?

      --
      "Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
    4. Re:What, or rather Who keeps this off the market? by goodhell · · Score: 1

      Maybe we should just go build our own vehicles and solar powered houses.

      "Oh Yeah? I'm going to go build my own solar powered car! With blackjack and hookers! In fact, forget the car!"

    5. Re:What, or rather Who keeps this off the market? by Black+Rabbit · · Score: 1

      I thought it was the Loyal Order of No-Homers!

  15. Not with semis by sirsex · · Score: 5, Informative

    Semiconductor photocells can easily be >90% effecient, but over a rather small range of wavelengths. This is due to the bandgap. An electron is freed if the electron gains enough energy from the photon(s) to overcome the bandgap. the energy of several photons can be combined to free and electron, but is lossy. If the photon has more energy than is required to free the electron, the extra will mostly be dumped as heat. The equation governing wavelength, energy, and Boltzmann's constant is

    E=hw

    Silicon is actually a rather poor photomaterial, being an indirect material, it's limited to about 60% effeciency at any wavelength. The electron must not only gain energy, but also move a slight bit within the crystal in order to reach the conduction band. Direct materials, such GaAs, being direct, can be > 95%

    Perhaps the are other techniques??

    1. Re:Not with semis by pclminion · · Score: 5, Informative
      The equation governing wavelength, energy, and Boltzmann's constant is E=hw

      Whoops, I think you're confused. w (which is actually an omega) is angular frequency, not wavelength. And h is really h-bar, which is Planck's constant over 2 Pi, not Boltmann's constant.

      But the actual equation is correct :-)

    2. Re:Not with semis by ShoeHead · · Score: 1

      actually, if he's talking about the energy of a packet of light, it's

      E = hv,

      where h is Planck's constant (not h-bar)
      and v is the greek nu, for frequency.
      This is like first term HS E&M, people.

    3. Re:Not with semis by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      of course... this is exactly what you said,
      except with less constants tossed around.

      Sorry :)

    4. Re:Not with semis by pclminion · · Score: 2
      Heh. Too bad you apparently didn't go beyond "first term HS E&M."

      w = f/(2*Pi)
      h-bar = h*2*Pi.

      Which trivially leads to:

      hf = h-bar * w.

      Thus, E = hf = h-bar w. The equations are identical.

      Omega is much more commonly used than frequency in quantum mechanics. This is because QM is based in a large part on Fourier theory, which has factors of 2*Pi all over the place. It makes the math less messy.

    5. Re:Not with semis by Zog · · Score: 1

      We actually use w pretty often here in my program, since approximating for h bar lets you use 10^-34. Just use w = 2 pi f if you need to convert. There's also some funky reason that my professor talked about at one point last fall, but I didn't find it significant enough at the time to take note of ;-)

    6. Re:Not with semis by CosmicEntity · · Score: 1

      I couldn't decide where to post this, but here goes. I am a EE grad in solid-state and microwave devices. I really do this stuff every day. Oh, and I just ready the patent.

      This is practically ridiculous (on a number of levels), here's why, quick and dirty. If you want a detailed answer to anything, let me know and I'll bore you to death.

      Frequency dependance of antennas: Not only are they in the range of ~500 nm each (which is doable), but they have to work from from IR to UV to stand a chance at converting 90%. Thats around 300-1000 nm. Lets say 100-1000 nm to make it easy. Thats a 10*f bandwidth, which is unattainable with dipole antennas. Maybe with some crazy Yagi design you could pull it off. Not with simple dipoles.

      It is currently impossible to fabricate complex structures in the 50nm regime which would be needed.

      Second: He needs to college 1 photon at a time (per antenna). It says so in the patent. Give me a break.

      Third. He wants to run this through a bridge rectifier? That's his great idea? (bridge rectifier = sophomore level circuits idea). Don't even get me started on the fact that he defines it for the 3 types of diodes that were used in the 80s. He's just covering his bases. There's no way to deal with power levels as small as what a single photon emits (1-5 eV?).

      Fourth. Do you have any idea the losses that would occur trying to mix all these millions (if not billions, remember, he's trying to collect 90% of the 10^whatever photons hit his sheet, one at a time) of signals together. Absurd.

      Conclusion: All he did was patent an impractical idea, which I guess is the opposite of patenting something really obvious. He takes a basic AC/DC converter as says he'll build it at "light" frequencies (Terahertz... uh huh, we have diodes that go that fast... not! and especially not in '84).

      Semiconductors work because they can absord consistently through the bulk. Here, his photon has to drill an antenna array dead on. No way this will ever, ever be built. 90% efficiency will probably never happen in Semis either, but it won't matter because 30-40% is all we should really need (of the 5000W/m2 incident on a sunny day).

      This is just dumb.

      --
      Error loading humorous sig.
    7. Re:Not with semis by sirsex · · Score: 1

      Err, yeh. Thanks for the corrections. That should be

      E=hf, frequency (hz), not wavelength, or

      E=h_bar*w, angular frequency (radians/sec,) h_bar= 2*Pi*h.

    8. Re:Not with semis by epikt · · Score: 1

      The claim of 90+ percent efficiency for PV cells is true, sort of, but also of limited relevance. What you've essentially said is that if you limit the light falling on a cell to only the wavelengths that can be efficiently absorbed, then the cell will be efficient. You'd have a worldbeater if the sun emitted line radiation. But it doesn't. It emits very close to an ideal black-body spectrum, which is far from monochromatic. You can improve on single-material cells somewhat by stacking different materials (having different bandgaps), but even so, the best efficiency I've seen is still less than 40 percent. And these were aimed at space applications, where the economics is very different (launch costs dwarf the cost of the cells, so using fewer expensive but higher-efficiency cells is still cost-effective).

      But there *is* a technology where what you've said is relevant--thermophotovoltaics. The idea here is to shine something hot (other than the sun) on a PV cell. If the light falling on the cell is monochromatic at the bandgap energy (or has a small bandwidth), the PV efficiency goes up substantially. You can generate narrow-bandwidth light by filtering a black- or grey-body source, reflecting what you can't use back to the source, and hoping it rethermalizes, or you can use a "selective emitter," that inherently emits in a narrow band. A common selective emitter is the Coleman lantern mantle, but most research I know about focusses on things like rare-earth doped YAG films. The technology is fairly undeveloped, and the cost is still high, but like a lot of things, it may look more attractive when the price of petroleum rises substantially.

    9. Re:Not with semis by sl3xd · · Score: 2

      Another problem frequently ignored is the effect of atmosphere on photovoltaics.

      In space, the PV cells are far more efficient than here on Earth.

      Reason: The atmosphere is mostly opaque to most frequencies of EM radiation; the visible spectrum is one rather small exception to the rule. So on Earth, PV's can only gather light on a 'notch' of wavelenghts, where a much wider spectrum is available in space.

      Which builds an interesting case for a space elevator: Have a large PV array in orbit, collecting energy, and run that energy back down the length of the space elevator's cable (in a superconductor).

      Of course, there's always the flying solar-powered cars while I'm dreaming...

      And, as you seem to know a bit of photovoltaics, what do you thing of the possibilities of other semiconductors than Si or GaAs? (I remember reading that Galium Nitride in particular is looking particularly promising in other semiconductor applications -- are they as promising in a photovoltaic situation as they are in transistors?

      --
      -- Sometimes you have to turn the lights off in order to see.
  16. Why we have to have 80%+ by cosmosis · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I don't get a shift feelign at all. We are already direly close to Hubbert Peak, when oil demand starts to outstrip production. In fact Hubbert, himself an oil man, said that Hubbert Peak, even considering undiscoverd reserves (which is fairly predictable with satellite reconaissance) will come sometime between 2002-2009.

    You can read about here on my website for more info. Some in the oil industry are thinking that peak will be hit within the next two years. This might explain our rush to invade Iraq.

    Either way, as oil reserve dwindle and demand goes up, it will create a highly destabilized politic - and if you think the repression we've all been feeling lately is bad, it will only get worse... UNLESS:

    We wean ourselves (QUICKLY!) off of Oil. The Hydrogen economy is just waiting in the wings. All of the technology is essentially there. The cost factors will become not only competitive, but cheaper and cleaner than oil, once we start migrating our energy infrastructure over to Hydrogen.
    Lets hope this happens before we end up in some kind of nigthmarish Oil Fedual/Fascist Global New World Order.

    Planet P Blog - Liberty with Technology.

    1. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by evilpenguin · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Boy, I've never agreed so much with a person on the edge of paranoid hysteria before. It is all economics. Oil is too cheap right now to make investment in alternative technologies attractive. But look at who owns the major PV production facilities: Oil companies. Look at how much effort is going into alternative fuel vehicles even now. The money knows the party will be over in the next generation. My worry isn't a new "oil fascism," because abundant alternatives are more attractive than repressive rationing of ever more expensive oil. When oil gets too expensive, the alternatives become attractive.

      My worry is the health of the planet in the mean time. I live in central Minnesota, USA. Our average high temperature this time of year is about 9 degrees F. Yesterday it was 55 degrees F. I know full well one warm winter does not global warming make, but we've had several bizzarely warm years lately. We're s--tting where we eat and it worries me.

    2. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by Directrix1 · · Score: 1

      Hydrogen economy? I went to your website. Why are you not calling it a solar economy. Hydrogen looks to be the energy storage mechanism, not the energy generation mechanism. That being said, exactly how could we obtain enough solar energy to power the world??

      --
      Occam's razor is the blind faith in the natural selection of least resistance and in universal oversimplification. -- EF
    3. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by AtariDatacenter · · Score: 2, Troll

      Personally, I like the weather change. I think we need to burn some more of the oil to even out the seasons. 70F made for an awesome winter day in Oklahoma today. If there is anything I can do to contribute more to days like this, I'd do it. I'm not sure I like these rectenna things.

    4. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by cosmosis · · Score: 2

      I agree, it really is a solar economy, but in the energy field, everyone refers to it as the Hydrogren Economy, because Hydrogen will act as the primary fuel source that replaces oil.

    5. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by Dr+Caleb · · Score: 3, Interesting
      I live in Northern Canada, and believe it or not, some lakes aren't even frozen over yet, and by this time of the year it's -40C. We havent even got below -20C for more than a couple of days. In my youth, I remember 4' - 5' high snowdrifts. So far this "winter" you'd be hard pressed to get your boots covered. Yesterday and today were record setting days across the province. Some places broke their all time high for the month of January, by several (10) degrees C.

      We're suffering a major drought now and people who study the environment tell us that we'll need 2 years of record hard precipitation to get the ground moisture back to normal.

      I'm not a big believer in global warming being all our fault, but I do know it's going to be a real ugly summer on the western prairies.

      --
      "History doesn't repeat itself, but it does rhyme." Mark Twain
    6. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by zeno_2 · · Score: 2

      Im in Northern Idaho, and usually we have a pretty good amount of snow, starting around Thanksgiving.. Our ski mountains around here didn't even open up until around Christmas.. and there is still no snow on the ground in town (im at about 2500ft above sea level).. Im not sure whats going on either but it was a bad year to buy a snowboarding pass =(

      --

      How can you expect anybody else to keep a secret that you cannot.

    7. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by Directrix1 · · Score: 1

      But thats not true. Its like comparing apples to oranges. And anyways, why would anyone do this instead of just harnassing the earths natural solar energy generator, the ionosphere :-P. see post below

      --
      Occam's razor is the blind faith in the natural selection of least resistance and in universal oversimplification. -- EF
    8. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by xenocide2 · · Score: 2, Funny

      Yea, I say let global warming take its toll! We'll grow oranges in Alaska!

      --
      I Browse at +4 Flamebait

      Open Source Sysadmin

    9. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by towster · · Score: 1

      Now imagine how much hotter things are closer to the equator. How about having mid 60's as your low for winter?

    10. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by raretek · · Score: 2

      "My worry is the health of the planet in the mean time. I live in central Minnesota, USA. Our average high temperature this time of year is about 9 degrees F. Yesterday it was 55 degrees F. I know full well one warm winter does not global warming make, but we've had several bizzarely warm years lately. We're s--tting where we eat and it worries me."

      Don't worry about it. I'm sure after the polar ice caps melt and we all have to get oxygen machines to compress the oxygen in the air to make it breatheable, someone in power will take it seriously.

      In the mean time, just buy an SUV, vote for one of the big two political parties, and don't worry about it. That's what most Americans are doing, why shouldn't you?

      --
      Show me an effect without cause and then I'll believe in chaos.
    11. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I take it you like 120F summer days too...

      Global warming applies to the whole year, not just the cold parts.

    12. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by multiplexo · · Score: 1
      That being said, exactly how could we obtain enough solar energy to power the world??


      Assume that we have cheap solar cells that are 20 percent efficient. Assume that if we place these in fixed arrays with no pointing mechanisms in a southern area that we can get 6 hours of insolation a day, so we get the equivalent of 25 percent efficiency of each cell. The solar constant is approximately 1kW/m^2. With an efficiency of 5 percent we need 20 square meters to generate 1 kW of electricity. Take 10,000 km^2 of desert, we have plenty of the stuff down in the southwest, cover it with solar cells. The solar cells generate 50 megawatts per square kilometer. We have just covered 10,000 square kilometers with solar cells so we are generating 500,000 megawatts of electricity which is the equivalent of 250 large nuclear plants. Repeat as necessary. Use gas turbines or hydro electric or hydrogen storage to produce energy at night or on cloudy days.


      If solar cells get cheap enough you just stick the damned things everywhere, on roofs, on the south sides of buildings, anywhere where you get a lot of sunlight. All we have to do is make cheap solar cells, and I would be willing to bet that we could probably get there if we took the $100 billion that is going to be used for the war in Iraq and dumped it into researching alternate sources of energy including efficient production of solar cells.

      --
      cheap labor conservatives - they want to keep you hungry enough to be thankful for minimum wage.
    13. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by Directrix1 · · Score: 1

      Yes, but the figures you are stating assume permanent PV arrays. They go bad quite quickly to the best of my knowledge. Otherwise, why wouldn't someone have made one of these magically economical power plants?

      --
      Occam's razor is the blind faith in the natural selection of least resistance and in universal oversimplification. -- EF
    14. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by johnlcallaway · · Score: 2

      You guys can come to Maine ... it's been one of the coldest Decembers I can remember in the 20 years I've been here....

      --
      I rarely read replies, it's my opinion and if you thought about your opinion a little more, I'm OK with that.
    15. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by Desert+Raven · · Score: 1

      Take 10,000 km^2 of desert, we have plenty of the stuff down in the southwest, cover it with solar cells.

      Um, that's really nice, but you are apparently highly ignorant of what a desert is. A desert is not just some wasteland of sand dunes waiting to be turned into a parking lot. The Sonoran desert is covered with plant and animal life every bit as valuable as that found in the rain forests. Rather, deserts are a highly fragile ecosystem with thousands of unique species that exist nowhere else on earth. Just putting a road through a more sensitive desert area can cause huge massive damage due to changes in drainage, etc.

      I'm certainly no greenpeace eco-wingnut. But I'd be one the first in line to smash every single PV panel if someone was ever actually stupid enough to try this.

      Put 'em on the roof of every building you can if you could ever get the cost down far enough. But leave the desert alone, it's one of the few places we haven't completely fucked up yet.

    16. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by Sayjack · · Score: 2

      The planet will be fine. It's hubris to think that we have any real effect on the long term health of the planet. Sure, we can poison our atmosphere, melt the polar ice caps, irradiate large tracts of land with poorly managed nuclear facilities until we are at the point of our own extinction but I assure you that when we're gone, nature will pick up where it left off and try again. Who's to say that this isn't one of the ways that nature wipes out a species and starts over?

      Perhaps only species capable of living in harmony with their environment are allowed to evolve to the next level.

      Live long and prosper...

      --

      -- Good judgement comes with experience. -- Experience comes with bad judgement.

    17. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by InnovATIONS · · Score: 2

      Another advantage of rooftop solar is that it puts the source and the use of the electricity nearby. Put it way out in the desert and you have miles of transmission infrastructure and loss. If they were able to get that promised 80% efficiency at current prices per foot then every homeowner and most businesses would be able to become self-sufficient in a sunny city.

    18. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by mbourgon · · Score: 2

      And I was just thinking that this is probably the harshest winter we've had for a while, here in Texas. (It sounds like I'm joking, but I'm deadly serious). I've had to scrape my car several times this past week, more than any other winter. It was actually cold at Thanksgiving (we even had a weeklong freeze then!), and while it's 70 today, it'll be in the 40s and 50s for the next week. I was going to complain about the New Ice Age coming.

      --
      "Sometimes a woman is a kind of religion, she can save your soul & set you free from all your sins" - Bad Examples
    19. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by ckedge · · Score: 2

      Yup.

      And the Arctic ice pack has receeded 10 percent in the last 50 years, it'll be gone in 50 years at the current rate. With more ocean absorbing light and energy I'm expecting a compound effect to increase the rate of loss, so it might actually be gone in as little as 10-20 years.

      Then there are the theories that involve the compound effect of CO2 release from arctic waters. Some of them predict a self-accelerating cycle that leads to a 5+ degree global increase in temperature in a single 5 year period.

      Now that would be hairy.

    20. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by linzeal · · Score: 1

      Bah, I'm sure some insectoid and plant life will survive.

    21. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by cyril3 · · Score: 1

      tell that to the dinosaurs

    22. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by jedrek · · Score: 2

      Well... Last summer was one of the hottest and most summer-like summers in Poland in a couple of decades. Two years back we had a 100-year winter. Right now it's day 10 of -20C temperatures, which is cold - even for Poland.

      Hell, even my friends from Finland (-34C) are complaining.

    23. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by KalvinB · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I remember on Winter in MN when the snow never completely covered the ground. Other years there were -90 degree windchills. We have a picture from another year with a snowman holding a sign with the date: April 26th. I believe that was the year we moved to Arizona.

      The weather not consistant any where. Globably, the client changes every year. There's no reason to panic or think something screwy is going on. When did people start getting the idea that every year should be predictably the same? I would guess probably around the same time global warming and global cooling wackos starting showing up.

      Shock of all shocks we have hot and cool summers in AZ. There's nothing to see here, move along.

      Ben

    24. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      maybe u shit where u eat but i dont shit where i eat. And yes, you should be worried about shitting where u eat.

    25. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Earth is safe. But humanity isn't: We're killing off hundreds of species every day, and sometime soon we'll kill ourselves too.

    26. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, AFAIK, the US is one of the few countries that didn't want to sign the Kyoto agreement on green house effect related polution.

      Well, as long as there is "scientific" evidence, that the situation is not critical and that the environmentalists are blowing this "way out of proportion", well... I say: live with it.

      99% of my country is way about see level. I'm not too sure about the US, though ;-)

    27. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by daoine_sidhe · · Score: 1

      I don't know how many of you live in New England, but I live in Maine, and the weather here has been severely bizarre the last few years. The icestorm, caused by precipitation and unseasonal warmth. Then several winters with very little snow. In the last 4 weeks, we have gotten more snow than we did all last year. I have around 40in of snow on the ground right now, and it's been snowing off and on since the last major system. It's 37 right now, and supposed to have a high temp. this weekend of around 9 (f). Now, this isn't exactly consistent. I don't have any solid ideas what is causing this. I've heard so many conflicting (drastically) points of view on this, because just about any study that ever gets any attention sets out to "prove" global warming to be either natural or completely man made. Does anyone know of any non-biased research? Someone that doesn't have an agenda with environmentalists or their counterparts?

    28. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by Ranten_N_Raven · · Score: 1

      You live in Minnesota and complain it's *not* cold enough? Sheesh! I moved to Texas to get aways from those sub-zero months.

      Seriously: in weather, there is no normal. There is just the average. Average it over some periods, and today's weather may look unusually cold in comparison. It got quite warm during the other interglacial periods, and without the help of any SUVs.

      --

      READ the US Constitution, the Bill of Rights and the other amendments! http://lcweb2.loc.gov/const/const.html
    29. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by ShavenYak · · Score: 2

      That being said, exactly how could we obtain enough solar energy to power the world??

      Umm, if we can't get enough energy from the Sun to power the world, we're in big trouble. The Sun outputs 4x10^26 Joules per second, which is roughly one million times the energy consumed by the entire human population of Earth in the year of 1998 (first year for which I found statistics).

      Getting it all is an engineering challenge, I'll admit....

      --

      Hey kids, there's only 5 days left 'til Yak Shaving Day!
    30. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by edunbar93 · · Score: 2

      Sure, except when you go to Greenland and you realize that the ice is now about 100 yards further back this winter than it was 100 years ago.

      --
      "No problem. I have the capacity to do infinite work so long as you don't mind that my quality approaches zero."-Dilbert
    31. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by bryan1945 · · Score: 2

      And 10,000 years ago half of North America was covered in glaciers.

      --
      Vote monkeys into Congress. They are cheaper and more trustworthy.
    32. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You must live in the Panhandle then. North Texas has been fine.

    33. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And melt lead in Florida.

    34. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by error0x100 · · Score: 2

      Some more food for thought: http://smile.jcon.org/sustain/b1/introduction/para dise/ParadiseLost_Part3.html.

      May seem a bit paranoid, unless you actually start thinking about it a bit. Read the whole thing for best perspective.

      "We have met the enemy and he is us."

    35. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by evilpenguin · · Score: 2

      I think this is extreme, but not paranoid. You see, almost everything in this scenario has been predicted to happen by the present day in previous environmental doomsday scenarios such as "The Population Bomb," "Stand on Zanzibar," and "The Sheep Look Up."

      The problem I have with doomsday scenarios is that they assume two incorrect things. First, that all things remain equal (that human ingenuity won't solve or further postpone some problems), and second, that people in power do not care about other people. Certainly this happens, but not as much as you might think. Ultimately, the people can overthrow even the worst despot, and in the industrial and post-industrial west, while monied interests dominate, people in government actually maintain some regard for their constituents. Also, the people running the companies doing harm to the environment will eventually see the consequences in costs and their behavior will change.

      You see, the economy is a feedback system, just like the biosphere. The question to me is whether that feddback will be in time to prevent the breaking of some biosphere elastic, as it were. An open question to me. I certainly don't know the answer.

      But humans are more social and cooperative than this horror story gives them credit. People band together to survive. They cooperate.

      We don't we start simply. Replace you incandescent bulbs with compact flourescents. Do you have a programmable thermostat? Why not? Lower your winter thermostat and raise your summer thermostat. Replace inefficient applicances with efficient ones. You'll reduce greehouse gasses and create manufacturing jobs.

      If you do not have to wear a sweater at home in the cold season, you are not doing your part. How many PC's do you have running now? How many monitors are on that no one is looking at?

      We do not need to build cabins in the wilderness and live by the light of a naked 40 watt light bulb to improve the situation. Conserve first. You can also add solar power to your home right now. Visit an outfit like Real Goods (the Eddie Bauer of renewable energy) or better, start with Home Power magazine's web site. You can get part of your power from the sun today. It will take several years to "pay you back" in dollars, but it will give you some electricity that didn't pump carbon into the air or add to the pile of nuclear waste.

      You and I are not helpless here. Individual action can and should be taken. Lead by example.

    36. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by Directrix1 · · Score: 1

      Especially challenging because the amount of energy per unit area is inversely proportional to the square of the distance from the source. And its challenging because of, as is discussed here, the inefficiency of solar cells along with the impracticality of setting up a sufficiently large solar farm to harvest enough energy for the human population. Of course we could send a satellite out into space with a large array of solar cells, and have it microwave the energy back, but we risk cooking the Earth if it malfunctioned and became misaligned. In other words, we can only harvest a small fraction of it. Your total energy output constant you mention has little relevancy without mentioning deterring factors like these.

      --
      Occam's razor is the blind faith in the natural selection of least resistance and in universal oversimplification. -- EF
    37. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by ShavenYak · · Score: 2

      I assumed all that was obvious. I was going for the +1, Funny mods.

      On a serious note, though, fossil fuels are just solar power that's been stored up for us, and they will eventually run out, unless we consume them more slowly than they are replenished. So we're screwed if we need more power than the Sun provides. Well, with the exception of what we can generate from nuclear fission or fusion ourselves.

      --

      Hey kids, there's only 5 days left 'til Yak Shaving Day!
    38. Re:Why we have to have 80%+ by Nikkos · · Score: 1

      I live in central Minnesota, USA. Our average high temperature this time of year is about 9 degrees F. Yesterday it was 55 degrees F. I know full well one warm winter does not global warming make, but we've had several bizzarely warm years lately. We're s--tting where we eat and it worries me.

      Yes, we have had some warm winters, and they're probably going to get warmer (I live in Minnesota as well) But temps have been rising since the 1880s. And if you ask your meterologist instead of the paranoid scizo on the corner, you'll find that this area is comming out of a period of very cold weather. That's why so many of the record lows (like a few days ago, when the record was 57 degrees below zero in 1887) are from decades ago. Even the massive storms we had in 96 are nothing compared to what was experienced by our grandparents when they came to this part of the country.

      Global warming is a reality, but it's caused naturally, with industry only slightly helping.

      Nikkos

  17. Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by cornice · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I know this is a dumb question. I remember hearing the answer back in high school but I have since forgotten it. I want to know the total energy in sunlight. I know it varies widely depending on location and weather but an average or a range per square foot, square yard, acre or whatever would be interesting. I ask because I think some people overestimate the value. If you can produce a 1 inch square solar cell that's 100% effecient but it costs $1000, then it's never going to pay for itself except in space applications. The big payoff for solar cells will come when you can produce them for almost nothing and plaster them over everything. When that cool, one way billboard plastic wrap stuff that covers busses also acts as an 80% effecient solar cell, then we'll see more of this stuff.

    1. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by oddtodd · · Score: 1

      IIRC, it's about 1.6 Watts per square meter.

      --
      I have plenty of common sense, I just choose to ignore it. -- Calvin
    2. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by Molander · · Score: 1

      On a good summer day in Stockholm Sweden we get
      700 - 900 Watts per square meter.


      I don't remember the value for a rainy day but
      it is much lower, say 10 - 50 W/m2.

      /Thomas
      --
      -Sig-
    3. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It can vary widely with season, weather, etc., but a rough and easy-to-remember rule of thumb for a clear day, facing the sun directly is 1kW per square meter. In orbit it's about 50% higher, perhaps more if you can convert the really high-energy UV and other more esoteric radiation.

    4. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      On average, 1.6 kilowatts of light per square meter hit the Earth. Because of cloud cover and other variables, it is often rounded to one kilowatt per square meter for solar energy calculations.

      This is a hell of a lot of energy, and it's damn shameful that we are still burning dinosaur juice just to make some wealthy bastards richer.

      Oh yeah, fuck you Bush.

    5. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Move that decimal place 3 times to the right and you'll have it.

    6. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by afidel · · Score: 5, Informative

      For simplicity we take the solar energy density falling onto a window to be 1000 kWh/m2 yr. This is regarded as a typical number for a south-facing window, and more correct values for south-facing/north-facing/horizontal surfaces would be 850/350/920, 1400/450/1700, and 1100/560/1800 kWh/m2 yr for Stockholm, Sweden, Denver, USA, and Miami, USA.

      This is from Here

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    7. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by boxless · · Score: 1

      Are these usable kw numbers (with current technology), or theoretical numbers, assuming some future technology?

    8. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by Citizen+of+Earth · · Score: 2

      When that cool, one way billboard plastic wrap stuff that covers busses

      I think you mean "zero-way".

    9. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by bmwm3nut · · Score: 4, Interesting

      i don't know actual numbers for how much energy we can get from the sun, but i do work with a bunch of people who do research for alternative energy sources. one neat statistic that i was told a while ago is:

      if you take all the unused building space in america and covered them with solar cells (of today's technology and efficiency) you could generate (more than) all the power we use (even if we convert all cars to electric cars). the neat thing is that the "unused building space" doesn't mean "cover the desert with solar cells" is just means to put solar cells on every roof top, on the top of the medians along the highways. granted this is a difficult task, but what if every residential house that was built had to have it's roof coated in solar cells and put on the grid. after a while you'll be generating quite a lot of power.

      another cool thing that is in development is turning the huge windows of office buildings into solar panels. in high-rise office buildings, it's not uncommon to have 10 foot tall windows that span the entire room. usually these windows are tinted and the office generally has blinds or curtains to keep all the sun out (to reduce cooling costs in the summer, and having that much sun in the office would make it to bright anyway). so rather than just using some type of tinting that reflects the light partially, i've seen some cool work with dithering (very) small solar cells in the windows, these will absorb light and turn it into electricity. so you'll get two benefits: tinted window and extra electricity for the building.

      just simple solutions like that could help our upcoming power crisis when we run out of oil.

    10. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The 1Kw/square meter is pretty usable. If you have a one sq meter PV panel at 10% efficency, it will deliver around 100 watts of power.

    11. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by general_boy · · Score: 0, Redundant

      about 1KW (1000W) per square meter

    12. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by The+Wicked+Priest · · Score: 1

      Overestimate? Nah. Remember that sunlight powers the entire biological world. And it's the difference between an Earth that's mostly at the temperature of liquid water, and one that would be damn near absolute zero.

      For your $1000 solar cell, you've left one thing out of the equation: How long does it last? Say that it lasts 1000 years. Does it still seem expensive then?

      --
      Share and Enjoy: 09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0
    13. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by anonymous+loser · · Score: 2

      I take it you haven't been inside a bus with that stuff? You can see out the window just fine, but from the outside all you see is advertising.

    14. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by AWWinter · · Score: 1
      One thing that I've heard of a little lately is the argument that can we afford not to use these alternative forms of generating electricity?

      Ie say a current solar panel costs say $10k to buy and set up. Over the 15 year or so life span of the setup, I doubt that me personally would use $10k of electricity.

      But, look at the secondary benefits that I have gained - no wasting my time running to the post office to pay those pesky electricity bills (15 * 1/4ly bills = 60 * 20 mins of my time = 20hrs of bill paying fun!), no fossil fuels being burned to produce electricity to power my slashdot reading, I don't need ugly power lines string up around my house (although there still will be for a long time...)

      A lot of people seem to over look the benefits other than direct $ when discussing the pros and cons of solar power. There is more than just this direct benefit people!

      Mind you, I am still on the standard electricity grid and don't produce any of my own electricity at all! (I sometimes recycle - does that count?)

    15. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by Dyolf+Knip · · Score: 2
      The big payoff for solar cells will come when you can produce them for almost nothing and plaster them over everything

      Solar chimneys are sorta like that. They're only 1% efficient, but the area you can cover with the greenhouse is measured in square miles. And they work at night.

      --
      Dyolf Knip
    16. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by silentbozo · · Score: 2

      My solar setup better last more than 15 years! I calculated even with a 50% rebate, it would take 30 years to reach payback, at $.07 per watt. (That's including panels, 4kw inverter, cables, permit, for a 1 kw system. If I add more panels, the overall cost per watt drops, up to 4kw, which is my inverter limit.)

      Why do I have an inverter? To use utility intertie, so I don't have to maintain and replace a battery storage system - just feed the excess power to the utility during the day, and draw down on my credit during the night. Not everybody is willing to go DC (although I did think about it, for efficiency reasons.)

    17. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by ryanvm · · Score: 2

      As others below have noted, the average amount of energy that sunlight imparts per square yard of earth is about 1 kilowatt. That's a lot of energy. For the gearheads out there that works out to be about 1.3 UK horsepower per square yard!

    18. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by cr0sh · · Score: 1
      You don't think you would use $10K of electricity over 15 years? You aren't thinking...

      Say you pay the electric co. $100.00 a month (ha!!!) for electricity - each year you pay $1200.00 - 10 years later, $12,000.00.

      Now, buy a house - 30 year mortgage, so - $36,000 in electricity.

      Of course, considering you are liable to use 2-3x that in a house (depending on appliances, if you have a pool, etc) - you can see that such a system would pay for itself over the time you owned your house.

      Of course, this doesn't take into account the question over whether the energy gained from the solar panels would be greater than the energy used to design/build/transport/install, nor does it take into account whether the amount you could put onto a house would be enough to satisfy your energy needs (maybe, maybe not) - but the point is, you definitely DO pay a lot of money for electricity from the power co. over time...

      --
      Reason is the Path to God - Anon
    19. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by HuguesT · · Score: 1

      Currently the process to make PV cells is expensive and definitely not environmentally friendly (lots of nasty chemicals). Even if one wanted to cover all the unused roofs in CA the cost and environmental impact would be prohibitive.

      So it's not a simple solution.

    20. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by tomkay · · Score: 1

      As I recall, the "solar constant" (amount of energy hitting a unit area directly facing the sun) at the orbit of the earth from the sun (i.e., outside of the atmosphere) is about 1400 W/meter^2. This is what would be available to a satellite with a collecting panel facing directly at the sun. A fair amount of this energy is absorbed by the atmosphere, dropping it to levels around 200 W/m^2 in the northern latitudes, and around 900 W/m^2 near the equator on a sunny day when the sun is directly overhead. Note that the light from the sun has to travel thru lots more atmosphere at the high northern and southern latitudes than at the equator. Note also that amount of energy that crosses any given area drops off as the cosine of the angle of the sun from the vertical. The second of these effects can be eliminated by "sun tracking" in the solar array. But for stationary arrays (tops of buildings, etc.), both of these effects seriously degrade the amount of energy used, as does cloud cover. I hope you find this info useful. I'm going to include this in a note that I post to the original comments for anyone else who wonders about it. ciao.

    21. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by Milo77 · · Score: 1

      Everyone always seems to talk as if once you put up PV you're set forever. Last time I checked they "wear out". I don't remember if it was 10 years or 20, but the point is they'll have to be replaced.

    22. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by Citizen+of+Earth · · Score: 2

      I take it you haven't been inside a bus with that stuff? You can see out the window just fine, but from the outside all you see is advertising.

      I guess they don't do it right in my area, because it is difficult to see out of a bus with this crap on it.

    23. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by computer_chacham · · Score: 1

      In less funky units the solar constant is ~1kW/m^2 for a really sunny area at high noon. It can be less than a tenth of that at high latitudes/overcast days/not perpendicular to the sky, etc.

    24. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by AWWinter · · Score: 1
      OK, I see what you are saying although I would estimate my costs of electricity around the $10-12K mark for 15 years. (I live in a fairly energy efficient apartment near a city center in Australia and yes this is factoring inflation of around 2-3% and guestimating rising costs).

      The point of my post is that many people only ever look at the impact on thier own wallet. Buring fossil fuels are damaging our environment and sometime in the future (we are starting now but in limited capacity) we are going to have to spend $millions to fix this up. Factor this into the electricity bill argument (on a national level basis) and you have a far higher electricity bill.

      The fact is people are saying that solar power is to expensive and we currently cant afford it. Maybe we cant afford not to do it when looking at the big picture.

      Just my 2 cents.

    25. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by Anitra · · Score: 1

      I've never heard that before. Where did you find that? Does it take into account all the areas of the US that have more than average cloud cover?

      --

      Have you read the Moderation Guidelines Addendum?
    26. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by afidel · · Score: 2

      When talking about power production kWhr's/m^2 on a per anum basis makes perfect sense. With those units , panel effeciency and area covered it is trivial to compute anual power output. For instance 100 m^2 horizontal tiles on a roof in Denver with 10% efficient tech would be 17,000 kWhr's, compare this to anual energy budget and viola =)

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    27. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by jstott · · Score: 1
      I know this is a dumb question. I remember hearing the answer back in high school but I have since forgotten it. I want to know the total energy in sunlight.

      In round numbers, it's 1000 W/m^2 during the middle of the day.

      -JS

      --
      Vanity of vanities, all is vanity...
    28. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by cr0sh · · Score: 2

      Ok - understandable. The main problem with solar cells/panels is that considerable fossil fuels and energy are spent in the design/manufacture/transport /installation. I don't know what the figures are (and I am not sure if they have even been computed, actually) - but I would be willing to bet that a solar cell (never mind a panel), providing it lasted "forever" (ie, > 100 years) would take a long time to "break even" energy-wise. In the extreme long-run (200+ years? More?), provided they didn't break down (and I have my doubts on that - the electrical interconnects on the cell surface would probably corrode in that amount of time rendering the cell useless), solar cells could conceivably be worthwhile. I honestly don't know what the true net-effects would be, I just have some doubts about solar cells as they currently exist (with that said, there are some very interesting solar cell technologies out there that seem promising, that don't rely on silicon or gallium arsenide, and seem to promise better efficiencies - one of my favorites, though currently inefficient, acts in a similar manner to chlorophyll, extracting energy in a chemical manner)...

      --
      Reason is the Path to God - Anon
    29. Re:Anyone know the energy in sunlight? by mkweise · · Score: 1

      1000 kWh/m/yr

      ...which equals 114 W/m (average) or, for the metrically challenged, a bit more than one Watt per four-inch square.

      --
      Gentlemen! You can't fight in here, this is the War Room!
  18. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Mantrid · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Okay here's my problem with your argument:

    If GWB is so concerned about keeping the Texas oil economy going and appeasing the Texas oil companies, wouldn't he want to avoid increasing the supplies of oil, especially foreign oil? If GWB annexed Iraq and started sucking out all the oil for US use, that would just tank the prices of oil and lower the demand for Texas oil.

    Plus he's POTUS now, not Governer of Texas, he has more people to appease then just the Texans. (And if it was so easy to invent alternative energy he'd score far more points across the board then he would lose in Texas)

    Bush & Cheney both sold off their stocks (at a loss at the time), to limit their conflict of interest with the oil companies.

    It isn't GWB holding up electric cars in some oil conspiracy, it's the population as a whole - who collectively don't seem all that interested in alternative fuel vehicles or higher fuel usage vehicles. Then there's the money for whatever new infrastructure is required by alternative energy...

  19. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Photon+Ghoul · · Score: 5, Interesting

    For a time, I lived in a so-called Texas oil town during the late 80's and early 90's. A family member worked on oil rigs there. The town itself was a ghost-town (and is much worse within the last few years) because the government paid the oil producers to shut down the wells. Texas oil is more expensive to drill, retrieve and refine than just buying tanker-full shipments of imported oil. If anything, the "Texas oil economy" probably revolves more around importing and off-shore drilling. Just a detail there for ya, "partner".

    Do you have a URL for Bush's guidelines on electric vehicles?

  20. In other news by hackwrench · · Score: 2, Informative

    The Tom Bearden and Tilley foundation projects are still up and running.

    1. Re:In other news by Tekgno · · Score: 1

      I know, I know...

      From http://www.tilleyfoundation.com/vehicle.htm,
      just a bit down the page there is an image, the subtitle says:

      Tilley Electric Vehicle ( TEV )
      ( converted from a 1981 DeLorean )

      The mystery power source must be a Mr Fusion!

  21. What about Biodiesel? by PaybackCS · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It's available, I know it is, I've seen many cars running on it, from a VW TDI, to even a Drag car. Those are the car's I've seen in person, not the one's I've read about. Like a version of the Speedster that Opal managed to get to 155mph using a diesel powerplant that averaged almost 95mpg for a couple hundred miles?

    Hydrogen has some very significant prospects, but at present, it's to far off, diesel, and biodiesel are far more likely short-term replacements for Gasoline. The only problem with both is the public's long-standing dislike of diesel engines (they make a lot of noise, they make a lot of smoke...), and the current price of biodiesel (about 75% more then diesel in the US). Public awareness can be repaired (modern diesel engines are quiet, efficient, and reletively vibration-free), but it takes time and money. And since regular oil prices are going up very quickly, the second problem will reslove it's self in the next few years automatically.

    1. Re:What about Biodiesel? by Fnkmaster · · Score: 5, Insightful
      The economics of biodiesel aren't competitive with fossil fuel diesel in bulk, unfortunately. In small scales, it can be made with waste oils (say, from Fry-a-laters in fast food joints). In bulk, an efficient bioproduction mechanism is needed to generate lipid feedstock. Algal production of biodiesel has some promise, but the economics are just not there for making and extracting lipids from genetically engineered bacteria in mass aquaculture YET. The government poured tens of millions of dollars into the Aquatic Species Program largely with that goal in mind over the late 70s and throughout the 80s at the NREL (National Renewable Energy Lab). The program got axed in 96 or 97, I believe, because the technology wasn't there yet to really make this close to economical.


      Honestly, bioethanol has much more short term potential than biodiesel. Lignocellulosic feedstock is available in bulk, and the baseline economics are pretty good - a modest scale facility using existing technology could be built today that would make ethanol at a total cost of probably 1.30-1.60 per gallon if feedstock availability is good and cost is cheap (this works out to probably 1.70-1.90 per gallon equivalent of standard gasoline). In other words, with another 15-20% efficiency improvement followed by scale increases to reduce the amortized fixed cost of plant+facilities per gallon, it could be price competitive with gasoline. And there are already well over 1 million FFVs (Flexible Fuel Vehicles) on the road today that could burn E85 (85% ethanol, 15% gasoline mix) without modification - most people who own these cars don't even realize it.


      Ethanol has real potential and some of us are working on making it into a business reality.

    2. Re:What about Biodiesel? by adam+arndt · · Score: 3, Informative

      Diesel creates PM10 pollution. This stands for "particles less than or equal to 10 microns in size". It may produce less CO2, but the PM10s have the most dramatic effect on lungs. A tuned diesel engine produces less, but if you see that plume of black smoke, your normal dust filtering ability in the nose and throat is letting the tiny particles deep into your bronchi.
      -ant

      --the most common song of all time is not "Happy Birthday", but "king of the castle", or more infamously "nyah-nyah-ne-nyah-nyah".

    3. Re:What about Biodiesel? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The program got axed in 96 or 97"

      What!?! Siting an environmental project that Clinton killed; didn't you know that was blasphemy on slashdot?

    4. Re:What about Biodiesel? by kevinank · · Score: 2
      My own most recent automobile purchase was a Honda Civic GX, a natural gas vehicle. With about three times the range of an EV and a fair number of filling stations here in the SF Bay Area, (plus the benefit of being able to put a 'No war for foreign oil' sticker next to my CNG sticker) makes it reasonably convenient to use.

      And natural gas is primarily methane, so if we run out of other supplies, we can start piping cows. Actually if I recall correctly, the farm that we lived next to when I was in germany collected cow manure and fermented it below ground before spraying it back on the fields (and what a delightful smell that was.) I wonder if they also collected the methane being produced in the swill.

      --
      LibBT: BitTorrent for C - small - fast - clean (Now Versio
    5. Re:What about Biodiesel? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For future reference, the word you were looking for is "citing". Have a nice day.

    6. Re:What about Biodiesel? by hyperturbopete · · Score: 1

      that has to do with the type of fuel and engine, so really its a matter of filtering (i.e., an engineering problem which can be solved)

    7. Re:What about Biodiesel? by Tekgno · · Score: 1

      Ethanol isn't any good for older engines though, they aren't too happy after running it for a while.

    8. Re:What about Biodiesel? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I also read somewhere that there are immense methane deposits under the southeast atlantic which could be tapped(maybe).

    9. Re:What about Biodiesel? by Chep · · Score: 1

      Which HAS been solved (like in the FAP device on cars such as the Peugeot 607)

    10. Re:What about Biodiesel? by White_Lightning · · Score: 1
      So? Unleaded gasoline isn't good for older engines.

      Your point is... what?

    11. Re:What about Biodiesel? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      do a quick search for methane digester.

    12. Re:What about Biodiesel? by mpe · · Score: 2

      Hydrogen has some very significant prospects, but at present, it's to far off, diesel, and biodiesel are far more likely short-term replacements for Gasoline. The only problem with both is the public's long-standing dislike of diesel engines (they make a lot of noise, they make a lot of smoke...), and the current price of biodiesel (about 75% more then diesel in the US).

      Diesel may be disliked for private cars but it's the regular fuel for trucks, buses, trains, boats, agricultural and construction machineary, etc.

    13. Re:What about Biodiesel? by mpe · · Score: 2

      And natural gas is primarily methane, so if we run out of other supplies, we can start piping cows.

      It's also produced by landfill sites.

    14. Re:What about Biodiesel? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There may also be immense methane deposits here.

    15. Re:What about Biodiesel? by bryan1945 · · Score: 1

      Depends on what the meaning of "is" is, of course.

      --
      Vote monkeys into Congress. They are cheaper and more trustworthy.
    16. Re:What about Biodiesel? by SEE · · Score: 2

      If we replaced every single acre of farmland and grazing land *on Earth* with high-oil crops and used every milliliter of the vegetable oil obtained to make biodiesel, you could fuel no more than 20% of the current demand for diesel. You can then feed the remaining biomass to fermentation and distilling and maybe get 20% of the current demand for gas replaced with alcohol. This would cost billions and simultaneously starve billions of people.

      The only way biodiesel could become a serious alternative to crude oil is if we flooded large areas of desert with salt water and high-oil algae, at a cost of billions and untold enviromental damage.

    17. Re:What about Biodiesel? by kevinank · · Score: 2
      do a quick search for methane digester.

      Excellent suggestion. Thanks for the tip.

      --
      LibBT: BitTorrent for C - small - fast - clean (Now Versio
  22. Very stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Your proof is lame at best. If it's that easy to proove non-facts to you I have a few churches you should check into. Besides are you so arrogant as to think you figured out the "conspiracy". Wow, you'd better look out. After they find out you posted the real truth they'll track you down and soon there will be black helicopters around your house. I mean I can't believe it, right here on slashdot I've read the outing of the most well hidden government conspiracy ever!!!
    Laughing at retards, in TEXAS

  23. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    When it was clinton/gore presidency, everything was dumped into technology

    Like the SuperCollider he dumped. You dumbass, you don't have a clue. Clinton did more long-term damage to real technological innovation (tax increases on research funds, cancelling the super-collider, fusion research, and all the other big science programs except the space station which he "internationalized") than any president in american history.

  24. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by krlynch · · Score: 4, Informative

    What would happen if all the major automakers decided tomorrow to start building electrics?

    We would burn about the same amount of oil, and increase our use of coal.

    We would burn about the same amount of oil, because you wouldn't be replacing very many gasoline powered cars on the roads; electrics are still too small and have too short a range to be useful for the majority of Americans. None of this is going to change until there is a dramatic improvement in the stored energy densities of batteries, and/or a reduction in the toxic waste produced in the creation and disposal of the batteries themselves. The last time I saw statistics, the sum total of all the "alternative fuel" vehicles sold in the world over any time period you choose to look it was LOWER than the increase in the number of vehicles in the world ... that is, even with increased sales, we continue to fall further behind.

    We would burn more coal because electric cars need to get the electricity to recharge their batteries from somewhere, and the cheapest source of electricity generation (that can be built today in North America and Asia (and even Europe, I believe)) is coal.

    This is not to say that there aren't loads of technologies available to improve efficiency of fossil fueled vehicles, but most of them make vehicles MUCH more expensive (by almost any metric you choose) ... and the vast majority of people (Americans AND non-Americans) have little incentive to spend more when they can get the same capabilities for less, EVEN IF it would be to their benefit in the long run (why else would people be willing to lease instead of buy vehicles? It is far far more cost effective in the long run to buy than to lease ... ). Some of these technologies include hybrids, light composite frame and body materials, ceramic and aluminum engine blocks, high efficiency diesels, exhaust scrubbers, biofuels, superconducting electricity distribution grids, etc. etc. etc.

    But none of them are perfect, and none of the forseeable technologies will eliminate our reliance on petroleum ... not even that "holy grail" of environmentalists, the "Hydrogen Economy". Hydrogen isn't free after all ... there are no large supplies of the stuff to drill or mine for, and there is none in the atmosphere to distill. You have to generate it by cracking water ... using electricity, that you have to generate by some other means. And currently, the only good way to do THAT is to produce the electricity using nuclear (which the environmentalists ALSO hate and also has a time horizon before the exhaustion of the fuel), hydropower (environmentalists hate this too) or fossil fuels ... and the inefficiencies involved in the seperation, storage, shipment, and sale of hydrogen currently would would require just about the same amount of fossil fuel usage as currently for the same energy extracted by the automobile (although we might be able to use different forms, such as more coal and less oil, and there would be far fewer plants to police). In other words, we'd be burning the same amount of fossil fuel to make the hydrogen as we currently burn to make the cars go in the first place.

    There are no simple answers and very few real conspiracies, and I don't understand why otherwise intelligent people continue to believe that there are.

  25. Hydrogen? by dmaxwell · · Score: 3, Informative

    Hydrogen is only an energy storage mechanism. It is an attractive one to be sure but it is not itself an energy source. What to you propose to generate Hydrogen with once the hydrocarbon tap is turned off? To be sure, Hydrogen's role as an energy transport and storage mechanism will be important whenever oil does run out but that isn't what I'm asking. What fills the large petroleum shaped hole in energy production once it's depleted?

    I suspect that once we have employed solar, wind, geothermal and etc to limits of any forseeable technology there will still be shortfall. Once it sinks in that the 15 minute hot showers and the SUV will are out, a new energy supply debate will ensue: When is the uranium going to run out?

    1. Re:Hydrogen? by cosmosis · · Score: 2

      Yes, if we rely on existing technologies and their efficiencies there will be a windfall. I can see two things that will necessary to make a Solar-Hydrogen Economy work:

      1) Greater Efficiencies - if we can achieve even an efficiency approaching 70%, the amount of power generated on roof-tops alone would supply most of the needs of the home and even the hydrogen fuel for the family vehical(s).

      2) Solar Power Satellites. The energy demand over the coming years is going to increase substantially. There will come a point, that the economic incentives of SPS and cheap access to space will play on each other and make SPS a viable source of energy. This will have the added benefit of substantially reducing the cost to get into space, finally opening up the space frontier for everyone who wants to go.

      Planet P Blog - Liberty with Technology.

    2. Re:Hydrogen? by Directrix1 · · Score: 1

      Forget the uranium. Just run a big shielded line from the earth up into the ionosphere where you remove the sheilding on that end, pass it through a full wave rectifier, normalize it, and then connect the other wire to the ground. Boom, instant free energy. Of course, I have no idea if this would actually work. Just brainstorming aloud.

      --
      Occam's razor is the blind faith in the natural selection of least resistance and in universal oversimplification. -- EF
    3. Re:Hydrogen? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course, it's the ionosphere that protects us from the hard radiation of solar storms...don't know how much energy it has compared to our usage, but I definitely wouldn't want to deplete it to any significant degree...

    4. Re:Hydrogen? by Dastardly · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I suspect that once we have employed solar, wind, geothermal and etc to limits of any forseeable technology there will still be shortfall.

      Not likely.

      According to this site: http://www.nmsea.org/Curriculum/7_12/The_Solar_Res ource.htm

      You need 33,400 square km to produce enough energy, now their efficiency estimate is about 2x what we are acepting here. So, double that to 66,800 square kilometers. The US has 9,158,960 of total area. So, to produce all of our electricity at 17% efficiency requires 0.7% of the total land area. Which is of course a meaningless number without some other reference. So, the mojave desert is about 65000 sq km, the sonoran desert in Arizona, California, and Mexico is 310,000 sq kilometers.

      So, figure between rooftops, and god forsaken places in the middle of nowhere there is definitely enough room to put enough solar to power the entire US. Storage is a problem, but that is what hydrogen is for.

      Of course, without fossil fuels to rail against rabid environmentalists will be pissed about covering large stretches of land with PV.

    5. Re:Hydrogen? by Jennifer+E.+Elaan · · Score: 2
      The ionosphere contains a TREMENDOUS amount of power... Our use probably would not substantially effect it.

      On the flip side, even miniature holes in the ionosphere could stand to spew all sorts of hard radiation on the surface, so you are essentially correct, even slight depletion would be bad.

      Actually, as far as I understand its mission, the High Energy Active Auroral Research Project (HAARP) is designed to play with the ionosphere in similar ways. Despite the many pseudo-scientific, fantastic and fraudulent claims of what HAARP really does, it is currently active and is the biggest ionospheric research station on the planet. For those not familiar with its design, it is a set of vertically directed, monodirectional microwave antennas set up in high-power pulse configuration. It is a tremendously powerful transmitter, and has been heard by ham's all over the world. There have been concerns (although they are not entirely realistic) that it could ionize a pathway to the ionosphere and cause an extremely powerful electric discharge.

      I admit this is the first time I have ever heard the suggestion of ionospheric power before, although the "free energy" people are quick to point out that a long vertical wire at any altitude will produce a small amount of power (essentially by acting as an antenna to all the RF radiation, natural and manmade).

    6. Re:Hydrogen? by Directrix1 · · Score: 1

      So now, if an enormously long brass line was shot into the ionosphere with the other end grounded, there could be the largest electrostatic discharge ever? Why has our government not created a weapon like this? Nukes move over, we're gonna shock em to death, and then fry em with the leaking sun radiation until the sun manages to reionize the area. Man cheap effective, maybe short term, but possibly not local. It seems like the perfect weapon. I would just assume after the initial shock vaporized the wire there would be a nice plasma pathway for the electricity to travel down.

      --
      Occam's razor is the blind faith in the natural selection of least resistance and in universal oversimplification. -- EF
    7. Re:Hydrogen? by Directrix1 · · Score: 1

      I don't know what those free energy people can power off of the milivolts they'd be able to collect that way.

      --
      Occam's razor is the blind faith in the natural selection of least resistance and in universal oversimplification. -- EF
    8. Re:Hydrogen? by Pxtl · · Score: 2

      How does one go about extracting power from an SPS? You can't exactly run an extension cord up there.

    9. Re:Hydrogen? by Directrix1 · · Score: 1

      Microwave transmission. Haven't you ever played SimCity 2000?

      --
      Occam's razor is the blind faith in the natural selection of least resistance and in universal oversimplification. -- EF
    10. Re:Hydrogen? by Jennifer+E.+Elaan · · Score: 2
      Brass won't support its own weight, the wire would snap... Nanotube is possible, though.

      I would almost expect that the deionization of the part of the ionosphere being drained would limit the conduction, and prevent this from being all that useful as a weapon.

    11. Re:Hydrogen? by Jennifer+E.+Elaan · · Score: 2
      Actually, I understand that there is a substantial amount of voltage... The current isn't much, but a decently long wire can produce a few watts. There can be enough power generated by a short wire to power a digital clock.

      Free energy is a very real thing, although you would require a VERY long wire to get more than 50W or so.

    12. Re:Hydrogen? by joggle · · Score: 1

      Even if you covered huge areas with PV, you still need to factor in how much petroleum products it would take to build it and maintain it. All PVs have a limited lifetime and begin loosing efficiency immediately, so, I would bet, there would be significantly higher usage of petroleum per kW/hr as compared to, say, a large hydro-electric plant which mainly only requires oil to keep the generators lubricated (not much).

    13. Re:Hydrogen? by afidel · · Score: 2

      Concentrated microwave radiation. You deploy tens of square miles of solar cells in orbit and send it to a small ground station. The ground station sends a signal that powered by the incoming power and if the satelite manages to misalign it no longer receives the ground stations becon and stops transmitting. To reallign you power the becon and controll the satelite till it can receive it, then turn the power back up.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    14. Re:Hydrogen? by StillaCoward · · Score: 1

      Assuming this somehow worked.

      Does this mean if the satelite goes unaligned somehow I could be cooked alive during my morning jog?

    15. Re:Hydrogen? by afidel · · Score: 1

      did you not read the post? If the becon from the ground station (which is normally powered by the energy from the satelite) is not being powered the downlink power transfer is turned off. In other words if the thing goes out of alignment it turns itself off, hence no fried suburbs.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    16. Re:Hydrogen? by wunderhorn1 · · Score: 3, Interesting
      Um.

      Do you have any idea what it would take cover 66,000 km^2 with PV cells? The costs in dollars and natural resources would be astronomical. I don't even want to think about it.

      And yeah, I think most people would be a little upset if we wiped out the entire mojave desert. Eh, we didn't care about that ecosystem, right? Sorry Mr Gila Monster!

      In addition, we already know cities like Tokyo have distinctly different weather patterns due to all the manmade structures. I wonder how covering a few thousand kilometers with metal and glass would affect the weather for the US Southwest?

      Thanks for giving me a good laugh, though.

      --
      Karma: Bored. (Thinking about resurrecting the "Anyone else is an imposter" joke.)
    17. Re:Hydrogen? by Dastardly · · Score: 1

      Even if you covered huge areas with PV, you still need to factor in how much petroleum products it would take to build it and maintain it.

      PV generally pays back its energy input in 3-4 years. And, have life spans of at least 20 years (at least that is the warranty period). If you are referring to petroleum products used as raw material instead of energy, I think PV is mostly semiconductor which isn't made from petroleum. Current PV may have some plastics, but I don't believe it is a requirement, just cheap. Plus, you could use a couple more years worth of energy to convert plant matter to plastic.

      Note, doubling efficiency at the same energy input would result in payback in half the time.

    18. Re:Hydrogen? by Dastardly · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Do you have any idea what it would take cover 66,000 km^2 with PV cells? The costs in dollars and natural resources would be astronomical. I don't even want to think about it.

      No more than some other common human undertakings. How much natural resources were used to build housing and businesses across this country? How much forest was destroyed? How much earth is moved to mine coal? How many resources were required to build the road systems?

      How many dollars and natural resources do all of our other energy resources cost, not to mention pollution?

      And yeah, I think most people would be a little upset if we wiped out the entire mojave desert. Eh, we didn't care about that ecosystem, right? Sorry Mr Gila Monster!

      Well, of course you couldn't use the whole mojave desert, it was just to give context. You would use roof tops across the country, combined with large scale production in places that have lots of sunlight. Spread out from Southern California to Texas most likely.

      There is also the fact that there are other ways to harness solar energy than PV, that would supplment PV. This includes wind and hydro-electric. And, personally I don't have that much problem with fission power, yes, there are waste products that we actually have to deal with instead of just dumping them into the air, but I would rather deal with a few 100 tons of radioactive waste whose effect is generally well understood, than millions of tons of green house gases whose effects are unknown.

      It would change the role of utilities. Utilities would provide extra power to those who cannot be self sufficient (businesses primarily), and they would purchase excess power to resell to businesses and store as hydrogen in order to provide energy to sell at night, on cloudy days, and auto fuel.

      In addition, we already know cities like Tokyo have distinctly different weather patterns due to all the manmade structures. I wonder how covering a few thousand kilometers with metal and glass would affect the weather for the US Southwest?

      And, how much does burning fossil fuels change the climate of the entire planet. The only other real alternative is fusion, and no one has figured out how to make that work, and it is perpetually 50 years off. Solar build out could start today. and, yes it would be decades before there was enough to replace fossil fuels, which is why you start today.

    19. Re:Hydrogen? by Tardigrade · · Score: 1

      The Uranium (and thorium) are going to run out in a couple billion years: http://www-formal.stanford.edu/jmc/progress/cohen. html

  26. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by t0qer · · Score: 2

    Man, I gotta defend my post before I lose more karma :P

    There's another post in this thread, the guy talks about how in texas the majority of money is made on oil import/export. I was going to say this, but since a texan beat me to it, give credit where credit is due.

    Also to note, you are completely disregarding the fact that GWB knocked down the requirements for electric vehicles. Clinton MANDATED that the auto companies produce cars at least as good as the EV1, Bush lowered the standard to a golf cart. That was bush that did that.

    Bush & Cheney both sold off their stocks (at a loss at the time), to limit their conflict of interest with the oil companies.

    What about their uncles? Their dads? Friends? Other family members? I suppose they sold their stock too. Just because they sold off their stock doesn't mean they still wouldn't have conflicting personal interests.

    It isn't GWB holding up electric cars in some oil conspiracy, it's the population as a whole - who collectively don't seem all that interested in alternative fuel vehicles or higher fuel usage vehicles.

    Then why was there a waiting list for the EV1 when it first came out? I think all people are interested in is performance. I.e. will it go as fast as gas?

    Then there's the money for whatever new infrastructure is required by alternative energy...


    Fry's electronics in Sunnyvale CA has special parking spots for cars that use the EV1's charger plugs. Park your car, charge it up for free while you shop.

  27. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Actually the Texas Oil economy isn't about drilling for oil in Texas any more. The drilling companies get oil from other countries while drilling support companies sell equipment to the companies and foreign governments as well. Dick Cheney's old company Harken made money off of selling drilling equipment overseas. The complaint of the average unemployed Saudi against us and their own government is that the Saudi monarchy has granted concessions for American drilling companies to extract oil, and the American companies are bringing over their own American workers instead of hiring locally.

  28. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by t0qer · · Score: 2

    We would burn about the same amount of oil, and increase our use of coal.


    Yes but rather than having millions of unregulated carbon monoxide spewing internal combustion engines on the road, we would have several power plants, goverment regulated, with all the best waste treatment technology availiable.

    Ever seen a ghetto ass hoopdy with 10 kids spewin smoke goin down the highway? If all cars were electric the only thing spewin smoke would be the power plants, and it would be cleaner than what came out of the hoopdy's tailpipe.

  29. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by iomud · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Right... There's a soccer mom picking up her kids in a big giant suv that GWB made her buy. This is about our collective dependance on oil. Don't like what Ford is pawning off as an electric car? Blame Ford, the current standards for what constitues a "Car" are probably not much more than that golf cart either but you don't see them wasting any time on turning out ex(plorers\scursions) like they were going out of style. The first company that makes a serious mass market attempt will probably succeed provided infrastructure supports it.

  30. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well actually GWB would gain alot and the companies his in with would to becuase alot of mideast countries won't let them in. So take over couttry put your companies in place and relax

  31. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Johnny5000 · · Score: 1

    If I'm not mistaken though, large generators of electricity (like coal power plants) will pollute less than using a gasoline engine to generate power.

    If there was a way to instantly replace every gasoline-powered car on the road with an equivalent electric model, we would need more coal-generated electricity, but there would be less air pollution, due to getting all of those gasoline-burners off the road.

    --
    The libertarian solution to the failures of capitalism is to apply more capitalism til the failures are fixed.
  32. Two Words by Gothmolly · · Score: 2

    Cold Fusion.

    --
    I want to delete my account but Slashdot doesn't allow it.
    1. Re:Two Words by wolf- · · Score: 1

      Hot Grits?

      --
      ----- LoboSoft specializes in Digital Language Lab
    2. Re:Two Words by T-Ranger · · Score: 1
      But PHP is free you fool!

      oh.. nevermind.

    3. Re:Two Words by kennedy · · Score: 1

      Penis?

    4. Re:Two Words by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nah, try biological fusion:

      http://www.balancedlives.net/What_is_Electric_Nu tr ition.htm

  33. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by silentbozo · · Score: 3, Interesting

    When it was clinton/gore presidency, everything was dumped into technology, the GM EV1 is a classic example of the innovations that occured under a goverment that supported research that would cut out our dependance on foriegn (read Iraq) oil.

    Innovation my ass. The work the GM researchers did was excellent, and the GM EV1 v2 would have been even better. However, it doesn't change the fact that the EV1 program was all PR fluff, that was quickly flushed down the toilet once the cars started coming off lease (and this was before GWB was elected.) No EV1 was ever sold to my knowledge - because they were only leased, never sold. Now, how much innovation can you have when you take back the product that was supposed to be innovative? Toyota has done more for alternative fuels (RAV4 EV, which can be purchased, but only in California, and of course, the Prius) than GM's EV1 ever did.

    IIRC Clinton even made it a law that all US automakers would have to have an electric vehicle on the market by 2008, and that these cars would have to be built along strict goverment guidelines.

    That's news to me. Perhaps you were thinking about the California ZEV mandate instead?

    I'm all for electric (I have a 1KW array I'm going to be putting up during spring break), but don't give credit where credit isn't due. After all, people started buying SUVs under the Clinton administration, and only now, are people turning against them (conservative christians and environmentalists alike now decry the excessive fuel consumption.) SUVs = terrorism is the new message. I never saw the Clinton-Gore people say that, probably because they were just as addicted to the oil/car industry as the Bush people are.

  34. Use the force! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Saddam is hiding them with his Weapons of Mass Destruction. Invade Now!!!

    Maybe they are used to in the Star Wars project and so have never got onto the common market...

    That would explain that weird light saber Luke has. Bet that Rummie's got one too :)

  35. Nitpicks and clarifications. by Ashurnasipal · · Score: 1

    You're mostly right, but your details are incorrect.

    - Environmentalists don't hate hydro. A few environmentalists hate all forms of hydro, and nearly all environmentalists dislike badly implemented hydro. A minor point worth knowing.

    -Controlling pollution from burning fossil fuels at point sources (such as power plants) is easier than a distributed sources (such as private automobiles). In fact, it's profitable - those stack scrubbers pull valuable compounds like uranium and gold from the fuel (coal contains some amount of pretty much all the elements) which can be used or sold. Check it out, it's true.

    -Also, you're forgetting natural gas. Most power plants being built today run on methane - which has gone up in cost by more than 400% in the last ten years or so. More power requirements = more methane demand = higher home heating bills. A non-obvious consequence of pure electric vehicles.

    -Hybrid vehicles are not appreciably more expensive than comparable gas-only cars. My Prius will pay for the inital investment in less than three years, using today's real-world consumption and fuel cost figures (yes I did the math) and I usually keep cars for ten years or more. Your comments are pretty accurate for pure electrics, though - especially given GM's absurdly anti-social behaviour in regards to the EV1 and associated charging technology patents.

    Incidentally, I don't care about the damn costs. My best friend, my grandfather and two uncles died of lung cancer and I live in an area that has the highest cancer rate in the US. I bought the Prius for the 90% pollution reduction at the tailpipe. Sit with a person you love as s/he screams and writhes in an agony that morphine can't control as s/he slowly dies, and you won't care about cost either!

    Nonetheless, your conclusion is apropos.

    1. Re:Nitpicks and clarifications. by jridley · · Score: 2

      -Hybrid vehicles are not appreciably more expensive than comparable gas-only cars. My Prius will pay for the inital investment in less than three years, using today's real-world consumption and fuel cost figures (yes I did the math) and I usually keep cars for ten years or more. Your comments are pretty accurate for pure electrics, though - especially given GM's absurdly anti-social behaviour in regards to the EV1 and associated charging technology patents.

      Did you take into account the fact that both Toyota and Honda are heavily subsidizing the cost of the hybrid vehicles? They're trying to get some on the road so they can get some real-world testing and start to build a market, but the numbers I've seen indicate that the cost of the car is at least $6000 each lower than it "should" be.

      I'm determined that the next car I buy will be a very high mileage car, but I'm not yet convinced it'll be a hybrid. Right now if I had to buy one I'd look around and see if I could import a high efficiency, super small diesel car. I don't like current hybrids because one of my criteria for buying a car is that it has to last for a LONG time; 10 years at minimum, without significant repairs. I've been able to do this with gas cars, I don't think hybrids can make it 10 years with nothing but oil changes.

    2. Re:Nitpicks and clarifications. by joggle · · Score: 1

      You are correct. The battery on hybrids need to be replaced every 2-4 yrs, I believe, at the cost on the order of thousands of dollars. It's also a more complex machine so there will probably also be additional maintenance.

    3. Re:Nitpicks and clarifications. by Ashurnasipal · · Score: 1

      Your information is out-of-date; Toyota says they are no longer subsidizing hybrid production - in fact they are making a reasonable profit (not reasonable by GM standards, of course, but reasonable for a Japanese auto maker).

      On the other claw, you're right again - it's impossible to say at this point how long the Prius will last. I know pure electrics last far longer than internal combustion cars (electrics have very few moving parts) but there are severe drawbacks to pure electrics that you've already correctly pointed out. I can't use a pure electric due to range requirements, I need a hybrid.

      I'm a special case, in some ways, because I've got professional auto mechanic experience, I'm a blackleg electrician, and I also have professional experience hacking undocumented LAN protocols. Thus, I can do my own maintenance on the Prius, which most owners cannot. However, most auto owners today can't do their own maintenance anyway, so for the majority of potential customers this is not an issue. Totoya has gone to considerable expense to make sure that you can get Prius parts and maintenance anywhere in the US - they actually forced all Toyota dealerships to have accredited Prius mechanics on staff.

      EMOT, I think the German super-diesels are an excellent choice, and they certainly should meet your standards of reliability. Most of them are also easily converted to run biodiesel, I hear, so you could take a further step if you wanted to.

    4. Re:Nitpicks and clarifications. by Ashurnasipal · · Score: 1
      The battery on hybrids need to be replaced every 2-4 yrs, I believe, at the cost on the order of thousands of dollars. It's also a more complex machine so there will probably also be additional maintenance.
      Incorrect. The Prius comes with an eight-year battery and hybrid warranty, as well as complimentary roadside assistance and three-year basic maintenance programs. These are not optional.

      Since the Prius has only been on the market since 1997 (and only in true volume production for a year or so) nobody has ever had to buy a battery pack for it. Toyota has replaced several under warranty and some have required replacement due to accidents, but they are projected (probably optimistically) to last 200,000 miles in real use. Replacement packs currently run around 4000 US dollars, which is admittedly costly, but you should be able to get some trade-in value for the 110 pounds of NiMH you are replacing, and the price is expected to come down with increased production.

      I have found that the quality control is so high on Toyotas that there is no additional maintenance burden when compared to a Detroit car. Of course I've only had mine about a year, but I monitor several Prius mailing lists and most people are reporting very low maintenance costs. Only time will tell in the long run.

      But, as I mentioned before, it's not about cost for me anyway.

      I have seen hundreds of testimonials of Prius owners who absolutely LOVE their cars. I have seen *one* by a person who was dissatisfied - and it appears he got the statistically inevitable lemon, since his gas tank had to be replaced after less than a year. Toyota is paying for everything, but he's still pissed off - and honestly I would be too.
  36. We don't need more efficient solar cells by NewtonsLaw · · Score: 2

    What we need is not more efficiency but lower cost!

    Who cares if you need 10 square feet instead of 1 square foot to extract a given number of watts? What we need is a solar power source that is affordable -- such that we can afford to cover the entire roof area of our houses for just a few hundred dollars.

    The promise of low-cost amorphous silicon solar cells has been touted for over a decade now -- but *all* solar cells remain expensive if you want to collect any reasonable amount of power.

    Forget efficient, gimme cheap!

    1. Re:We don't need more efficient solar cells by quis+non+timeat · · Score: 1

      You are perfectly correct, but even decreasing the cost of the cells would not be good enough to wean the world off of fossil fuels as energy storage still costs as much or more than the solar panels, and fuel cells are still a long way from being inexpensive. Batteries are still a major weakness of solar setups.

    2. Re:We don't need more efficient solar cells by AndroidCat · · Score: 2
      A few years ago, there was a fad for 12"x6" solar panels that plugged into car cigarette lighters to "top up" the battery. After the fad ended, the panels turned up in surplus shops, dirt cheap. They did provide a nice amount of wattage. I'm not sure what the situation/price is these days.

      If you can, get the ones with a plastic frame. I bought one that was bare glass, and when my duct tape aged, it fell off the window and smashed. Poot! (I still have enough solar cells around to power a radio, and enough parts to build that radio. During a snowstorm/power-failure in Montreal in 1970, I actually did do that [only with batteries and a bunch of wires]). Alas poor Heathkit, I knew him Horatio.

      --
      One line blog. I hear that they're called Twitters now.
    3. Re:We don't need more efficient solar cells by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or skip the storage issue by selling back to the grid...

  37. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by SubtleNuance · · Score: 1

    wouldn't he want to avoid increasing the supplies of oil, especially foreign oil

    Except when OPEC controls the supply - making your point moot.

    Further, Russia's oil industry is entrenched in the Iraqi domestic Oil industry... and the expatriate (soon to be puppet) Iraqi leaders (in London) are already saying they will give preference to US (and britain -- shame on you brits) oil compaines if they are installed.

    Lets not even talk about the coup in Venezuala && the Shell/BP/Esso supported 'strike' there at present.

  38. duh... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


    I read the first sentence and that is all...

    I can positively say the reason we haven't seen this technology is because the patent hasn't expired.

    Take a look at any technology. Forbes had a 50 years/50 technologies thing-a-ma-gig last month. Check it out. All this cool shit. And you don't see it for... you guessed 20 years.

    Unless companies can buy these patents, they do their damndest to make sure the inventor makes absolutely no profit.

    I'm sure everyone can think of lots of examples. ...you owe me $.02 for that one!

  39. Martin Green and the World Efficiency Record by omle · · Score: 1

    I'm amazed nobody has mentioned the work of Martin Green at the University of NSW in Australia. For many years, Martin has held the world record for solar cell efficiency for more than a decade, continually pushing the upper bound. I believe the current record is around 30%, as described here. Martin was the recipient of the Right Livelihood Award, aka the "alternative Nobel Prize" in 2002, and the Australia Prize in 1999. He appears to be the Nakamura (world leader in the development of LEDs) of the solar cell world.

    1. Re:Martin Green and the World Efficiency Record by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And spray on solar cell 'paint' also invented in .au

  40. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by IdahoEv · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If GWB annexed Iraq and started sucking out all the oil for US use, that would just tank the prices of oil and lower the demand for Texas oil.

    t0qer's argument is correct, though, just not formulated quite accurately. It's not support for Texan oil. There really isn't any more Texan oil. What oil the US produces is mostly offshore or Alaskan, but even so it's small fraction of what we use.

    Bush isn't trying to support pumping of oil; imported crude goes straight into the US petrochemical industry. Many of the refineries are in Texas, but even where they aren't, GWB is a friend of the industry. It's where he made his millions, and it's all he knows.

    It's not simple selfishness and wanting to pad his wallet. It's just that that industry is where he grew up. He's conditioned to think of it as central to US wealth and prosperity, the driver of the economy. In his mind, whatever is good for the oil companies is good for every American. He really honestly believes he's doing the right thing for all of us by suppressing alternative technologies and making war with Iraq.

    Bush is not smart and worldly enough to see the bigger picture, or to take the long view.

    Getting the Iraqi oil fields under a friendly regime means the US has more *control* over oil prices and fewer "bad guys" to worry about messing up the economics for his favorite companies.

    It isn't GWB holding up electric cars in some oil conspiracy, it's the population as a whole - who collectively don't seem all that interested in alternative fuel vehicles or higher fuel usage vehicles.

    Yes and no. US consumers don't want a wimpy EV1, for the most part. They want the bulk, power, and capacity of an SUV. Thus, the consumer is to blame.

    But... The government spends many billions on petroleum research, exploration, and foreign policy to support the petroleum economy. The cost of just the first war with Iraq and the subsequent decade-long airspace occupation is estimated in the back hall of congress to be in the range of $100 to $200 billion. Billions more are spent every year to subsidize activities (research and exlporation) that benefit the oil companies. I've seen figures (can't find them right now) that estimate you pay $5 to $8 per gallon of gas in income taxes to support petroleum ... so that you can think you're filling for $1.79/gallon. (based on the cost of drilling, wars, local goverment concessions to bring industry to the area, etc.)

    Now... if over the last fifteen years the government had spent that same half a trillion dollars on electric, fuel cell, and hybrid vehicle research, don't you think we'd already have big powerful SUVs that don't depend on oil? We'd have a cleaner country, consumers just as happy, and fewer foreign policy messes. What if we'd been doing that since 1920? Shouldn't we start now so we're not asking the same question again in 2040?

    --
    I stole this sig from someone cleverer than me.
  41. Me too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'll add to that. I live in Candada too. (Manitoba.) Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba are now in the depths of a drought that has cost far more, lasted far longer, and affected more people than the height of the dirty 30's. Global warming is serious. Right now it's 0 celsius. It should normally be -17 to -20. Its been like this for years and getting warmer every year. Scary stuff ahead. And yes you will suffer when farmers suffer.

    1. Re:Me too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hi there, I live in Queensland, Australia, we too are having a bad drought, the worst in ~20 years. Most of the country is used to dry conditions, unlike Canadians, presumably - only was there for a brief time and it seemed mighty wet to me :). But apart from this being an interesting connection - how much of the world is in drought now? I don't think you can draw any inferences from this or the temperature changes. The world's climate is always changing, what once was fertile plain is now arid desert and vice versa.

      When my wife and myself were travelling through southern Poland, we were there during winter it was -5 to -15 degrees C, very cold for an Aussie used to 30-40 deg summers and 10-15 degree winters, but I was talking with my wife's cousin's boyfriend (nice chain :). Whom was quite the expert on the local area, apparently not more than 2000 years ago, the area was arid and hot. This is an example of what I was mentioning above.

      I am NOT writing off the idea of global warming, just pointing out a possible misunderstanding of the cause & effect of this situation.

      There is "not enough data". Personally, I'd rather see the dependency on Oil removed for its immediate environmental effects, not for any possible long term climate changes - lets deal with the here and now - the future should then be OK.

    2. Re:Me too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Keep in mind that "worst drought in 30 years" means that someone looked at the records and is not telling you "there was a worse drought 30 years ago". So how often have such droughts happened during the last 2 billion years?

    3. Re:Me too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      20 years, and yes of course. The time frame is not so long I think :)

  42. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    If GWB is so concerned about keeping the Texas oil economy going and appeasing the Texas oil companies, wouldn't he want to avoid increasing the supplies of oil, especially foreign oil?

    Because the oil from Iraq gets sold to Texas and California based companies. GWB profits from the foreign oil too.

  43. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Consider the possibility his texas oil supporters expect a war against Iraq will leave middle east oil wells in flames as the previous war did -- and then some, with large oil producing areas out of operation for years due to WMD use and Depleted Uranium use. Suddenly oil prices are up past US$40 a barrel and US domestic oil producers (his supporters) make a lot of money. Similar thinking could be applied to fomenting crisis in Venezuela -- again domestic oil producers make out well. Not to insist this is the case -- never attribute to malice what can be explained by stupidity -- but between links to domestic oil production and to arms suppliers, if you "follow the money" as any good journalist might, a war against Iraq may mean much money for his supporters regardless to harm to the average American or average world citizen. And regardless of the general US economic state, with spin doctors, heavy financial support from said beneficiaries of the war, and the tendency of people to rally around the president during wartime -- even if it is a war he pushed -- he is almost guaranteed reelection, despite the economy, due to financial backing from buddies profiting from "transactions of decline".

  44. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by geekoid · · Score: 3, Insightful

    because texas oil companies make money from overseas oil. Look how Enron made money, it sure wasn't from pumping texas oil.
    DOn't forget, it's not texans, but Powerfull texans that have nothing to gain from shanging the status quo.

    However, I do not believe in a conspiracy. I gaurntee you if there was a an alternate source of power i.e. NOT oil. the people in these energy companies would find a way to Globally capitalize on it. That would be far more money, with less over head. If there was a conspiracy, I would look a OPEC.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  45. Re:I built a Rectenna by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well my rectenna can detect Linux dragoons from 10 miles away, with 80% efficiency.

  46. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by ryanvm · · Score: 2

    It isn't GWB holding up electric cars in some oil conspiracy, it's the population as a whole - who collectively don't seem all that interested in alternative fuel vehicles or higher fuel usage vehicles.

    Bingo. Until I stop seeing soccer moms tooling around in Hummer H2s and Chevy Avalanches, I'm not buying into this shit that George Bush is "holding us back". Nothing short of legislation outlawing SUVs is going to reduce our oil consumption.

  47. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    > GWB is a texan. Texas oil is a huge part of their economy. Texas oil makes cars go vroom, keeps power plants running, and heats people's houses on the east coast.

    You need to stop having/using a refrigerator before you can preach to others about your environmentally friendly practices.

  48. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Quikah · · Score: 2

    Then why was there a waiting list for the EV1 when it first came out?

    They didn't make enough. What is your point, how long was that waiting list, a few thousand? what percentage of the US population is that?

    I think all people are interested in is performance. I.e. will it go as fast as gas?

    No all people are interested in is the same experience they get with their car now. Freedom to drive anywhere they want without worrying about fuel. When you can charge an electric in 5 minutes let me know, maybe I will think about buying one.

    Fry's electronics in Sunnyvale CA has special parking spots for cars that use the EV1's charger plugs.

    Westside Pavilion in L.A. and Santa Monica place have charge spots as well. Number of times I have seen them used? Zero.

    Electric seems like a pretty dead tech right now. Long refuel time, short range. Why would anybody want one? Hybrids and fuel cells have much more potential.

    --
    Q.
  49. a new manhatten project by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    " What the US needs is a Manhattan Project for alternative energy to oil."
    reply:
    "They should threaten their enemies with windmills?"

    you are joking, of course, but if we didn't want to buy any oil or natural gas from Saddam or Ossama and their friends, they would be totally screwed.

    If we had an alternative, we could just ignore them.

  50. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by IdahoEv · · Score: 2

    What if Honda developed a larger version of their hybrid powertrain, and gave you an avalanche-sized SUV that got 38 miles per gallon? I suspect that's five years away at most.

    --
    I stole this sig from someone cleverer than me.
  51. U-235 vs. U-238 by Eric+Green · · Score: 5, Informative
    The U-235 light water reactor is by no means the only possible nuclear reactor. For example, Canada is using unenriched uranium ore (primarily U-238 with a trace of U-235) in their CANDU heavy water reactor. Uranium ore is one of the more common substances on Earth -- both North Korea and Iraq have deposits of uranium ore, for example, which is why they both worry us so much (South Korea, BTW, does *NOT* have deposits of uranium ore, which is why we don't worry about Canada selling them CANDU reactors even though CANDU reactors are perfectly suited for producing large quantities of weapons grade Pu-239 in a short time, that was, of course, why the CANDU style heavy water reactor was created in the first place for the Manhattan Project).

    Then there's a wide variety of other radioactive substances that can be burned in reactors. For example, breeder reactors can actually breed plutonium from the very common U-238 (U-238 is one of the most common elements in the Earth's crust), creating an almost infinite supply of fuel. Military breeder reactors work fine for producing lots of plutonium for atomic bombs. Research on commercial breeder reactors (basically the military reactors tied to turbines to power electric generators) was stopped by worries about arms proliferation (it is much easier to seperate Pu-239 from U-238 than it is to seperate U-235 from U-235 in raw uranium ore, thus makes it easier to get enough fissile material to crete atomic bombs), but could be re-started pretty swiftly if necessary. Which would not be for 50 or 100 years, as you mention.

    Regarding 100 and 400 years of oil, my own best estimates are somewhat lower than that. My estimates are that we will experience shortages within 20 to 25 years, and that within fifty years we will have basically exhausted all economically accessible oil resources (i.e., there will be oil out there, but it will take more energy to extract it than can be obtained by burning it). However, hopefully by that time the current taboo regarding nuclear power will have eased, and we will be able to replace the lost petrochemical resources with synthetic hydrocarbons or other such creations. (Don't laugh, we use petroleum as feedstock for chemical plants because it's cheap, available, and readily "cracked", but there are certainly other feedstocks that could be "cracked" into various petrochemicals if necessary, including coal, for that matter -- after all, both the Nazis and the South Africans did it).

    --
    Send mail here if you want to reach me.
    1. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


      Uranium of any isotope is certainly NOT NOT NOT a common element!

      Go to Google and search for "most common elements" and you will quickly find:

      The 10 most common elements in Earth's crust:
      Oxygen 46.6%
      Silicon 27.7
      Aluminum 8.1
      Iron 5.0
      Calcium 3.6
      Sodium 2.8
      Potassium 2.6
      Magnesium 2.1
      Titanium 0.4
      Hydrogen 0.1

      Come back when you actually know something kiddie.

    2. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by mesocyclone · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Keep in mind that there are vast supplies of coal and oil shale. These can be converted into petroleum products for energy use. Arizona's Black Mesa has enough coal to fuel the US for 400 years.

      These sources may keep hydrocarbons around for a long time.

      Another trend is the end of the population explosion. Many contries in the world are now at negative population growth rates, and that trend is increasing rapidly.

      Currently, it's cheaper to get gas - it costs Kuwait only $2/barrel for oil (the difference between that and the world price is all profit). Oil, as has been pointed out, is just too darn good, from an economic standpoint.

      The biggest problem with alternative energy (including nuclear, which we *should* use a lot more of) is storage - especially for automotive uses. I simply do not foresee an adequate battery technology coming down the line. Fuel cells may eventually reach the cost, density and safety needs, and we could produce fuel using nuclear generated electricity.

      All of this assumes enormous investments and drastic changes in very expensive infrastructure, so it is not going to happen any time soon.

      Personally, I am for continuing the large levels of research into these techologies, but not for rationing (by price or any other way) oil for automotive use. The global warming arguments, even if valid, leave decades in which to start changing, and it would be foolish to destroy our economies (with the unpredictable political consequences - such as the rise of anti-environmental or even fascist governments).

      --

      The only good weather is bad weather.

    3. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by Japanese+Fuckslut · · Score: 0

      Uranium is more abundant in the Earth's crust than either silver or mercury. It is not in the top ten, but it is a relatuvely abundant element.

      --

      Two cock in my pussy! It feel so good!
    4. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by rebullandvodka · · Score: 1

      Regarding 100 and 400 years of oil, my own best estimates are somewhat lower than that. My estimates are that we will experience shortages within 20 to 25 years, and that within fifty years we will have basically exhausted all economically accessible oil resources (i.e., there will be oil out there, but it will take more energy to extract it than can be obtained by burning it). This is common knowledge.

    5. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by janvo · · Score: 1

      You really think we have 'decades in which to start changing?' - the environment as a whole is much too complex of a system for us to understand the effects that we are having on it. I don't think the current scientific models are accurate enough to base our decisions on. We as a society do not have the right to jeopardize the planet, neither in the present or for the people of tomorrow . I for one think the way of western life is a sad one, based primarily on mass consumerism, and it is wrecking our planet. One of the biggest problems is the compelling need we westerners have for the 'big ticket' items in life.. the cars, the boats, the wasteful appliances. We buy these products when they first come out, filling a void we all have in which we require the 'newest' or the 'best' new product to feel satisfied. This void remains temporarily filled, until we see the next big ticket item that we want, and strive to buy it. It's a vicious cycle of consumerism that is wrecking our planet, can you imagine if China had as many vehicles per capita as the U.S. ?! Most people would say 'yeah right', but that's exactly what these eastern countries are striving for. Many easterners want to be like 'America' and the earth will not support it in a sustainable manner, if we continue this behavior, the earth will suffer for it, and it will be a global catastrophe! We need to change our habits, our way of life, and we have to do it soon, it's not just the huge consumption of oil that's the problem. The top scientists of our planet issued a statement entitled 'Warning to Humanity' in 1998, outlining how much trouble the planet and humanity is really in. Take a look: http://www.deoxy.org/sciwarn.htm I think the problem is not so much finding alternative fuels to sustain our current levels of consumption, but altering the way in which live so that it is sustainable, without sacrificing the only place we can live - the earth...

    6. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is common knowledge.

      So cite a common reference.

    7. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then there's a wide variety of other radioactive substances that can be burned in reactors.

      Heheh. Visions of coverall-clad labourers shovelling fuel into reactors, like a furnace.

    8. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by mesocyclone · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Sounds like a pretty standard canned enviro-wacko rant... but what the heck, I'll respond with a few little points you might not have thought of an probably won't bother to read.

      The "Warning to Humanity" top scientists had very few climatologists in its ranks, so it is utterly and completely meaningless.

      Your problem is that you assume that we *can* change, and that we can do so in a beneficial way.

      So let me throw just a couple of problems at you...

      1) You say the environment is too complex for us to understand the effects we are having on it. That is true. And that means that any action we take is just as likely to be beneficial or not, considering we don't understand the consequences. So why should we choose the one that will cause massive economic dislocation, ultimately killing the millions of people who have such a marginal life right now that they can't *afford* any diminuation in the economic situation.

      2) If you look at what the real scientists say (say, for example the IPCC report - and not the politician written summary, but the real thing), you will realize that the Kyoto recommendations, which are supposed to help with global warming, will, IF THE MODELS ARE RIGHT, make such a tiny change that it will be unmeasurable 100 years into the future.

      3) If you look at how much change is reputedly needed to make a difference (again, assuming the models are correct), you would realize that Kyoto is just a Trojan horse... a way to get us used to economic sacrifice so that the REAL changes can be done - cutbacks of 30% or more on CO2 emissions which translate, with TODAYS technology, to massive economic disaster.

      4)Those who want to follow some plan of change are arrogant enough to believe that they can determine how mankind will behave for the next 100 years (the normal timeline for most scientists studying the issue). They were also that arrogant in the first decade of the 20th century. They thought they had the problems of government solved. Of course, since then there were a few unanticipated events like like World War I, World War II, the rise of communism (which resulted in the worst environmental damage of any system, along with 100,000,000 murders), the invention of the computer, powered airplanes, nuclear power and bombs, quantum theory, the relativity theories, electronics, Social Security, antibiotics, modern genetics, information theory,.... But I'm sure that you believe that things like this won't happen this century, right? Or that minor things like how people really think and act won't get in the way of our punitive solutions? Pardon me if I don't take seriously those people who think they know enough to effect a solution to some vague issue (gasp, we are hurting poor mother earth), and if I am not willing to make economic sacrifices on behalf of their poorly considered ideas.

      5) It is interesting that people who put out radical environmental rants tend to be anti-western. Usually this is because they haven't taken a look at how *other* societies treat the environment - which is on average with considerably less respect than we in the west do. Oh, and every one of the inventions I mentioned above... took place in the evil west.

      6) The "vicious cycle of consumerism" is an unintended codeword for people exercising their economic freedoms. It is usually uttered by people who are sure they are smarter than these "consumers" - people who justify their beliefs by thinking that consumers are somehow deluded into making their choices by evil capitalist advertisers.

      Finally, let me comment that your rant is a perfect example of what I find so objectionable about modern environmentalism: it encourages illogical people with little grasp of the facts and no grasp of history to act and speak as if they knew something.

      Why don't you really learn something and read
      THIS.

      --

      The only good weather is bad weather.

    9. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by 10Ghz · · Score: 2
      Regarding 100 and 400 years of oil, my own best estimates are somewhat lower than that. My estimates are that we will experience shortages within 20 to 25 years


      Isn't that more or less what the luddites have been saying for close to 30 years now? 30 years ago they said "oil will run out in 50 years!". 10 years ago they said "oil will run out in 50 years!". Now they are saying "oil will run out in 50 years!". I bet in 30 years from now they are still shouting "oil will run out in 50 years!"
      --
      Lesbian Nazi Hookers Abducted by UFOs and Forced Into Weight Loss Programs - -all next week on Town Talk.
    10. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Yeah, anything BOTH the nazis and the south africans did MUST be a good idea.

    11. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by vague · · Score: 1

      All this ranting and it still comes down to one thing:

      "I certainly don't feel like changing things so they would be less comfortable for me."

      Your whole rant is completly meaningless because your basic assumption, that the chances of us having positive effect are roughly equal to the risks of us having a negative effect, is false. The truth is, we don't want to have _any_ effect. The earth has gone on for at least tens of thousands of years in a fashion that suits our needs just fine. The risk that this is changing dramatically for the worse without our intervention in the next 100 years is not worth taking into account.

      Everything else you say leans on this and boils down to a huge excuse for not doing anything because it would compromise your precious "lifestyle". Ofcourse the Kyoto treaty is like pissing in the Sahara, but at least it's something, and attitude changes are necessary right now if we are going to make real changes later. You are stupid, stupid, stupid if you think of the Earth as a inexhaustible resource that we can keep on treating however we want forever, or at least as long as it happens to be convinient.

      --

      -
      Listen. Strange women lying in ponds distributing swords is no basis for a system of government.

    12. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ok you're just insane.

      But this entire thread is pretty silly. Everyone so ascared of "massive economic disaster" and "political turmoil" and "environmental catastrophies". A that's called the "society of fear" you may have heard Bush talk about I mean cause. B we should be so lucky! The unfortunate thing is that probably everything will work itself out. And by that I mean the average worldwide life expectancy will not decline significantly for the forseeable future et cetera similar actual measures.

      Although I suppose this is somewhat refreshing for /. fare - no one's found out how Microsoft is pulling Cheney's strings yet!

      Justin

    13. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If everybody pissed in the Sahara, would it make a sound?

    14. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by sirinek · · Score: 2

      This is not common knowledge, this is a content-free post because you are not backing up your estimates with any real data or research.

    15. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Umm, what brand of crack are you smoking?

      Why don't you look up how a CANDU reactor actually works before running with it. CANDU reactors are not suitable for breeders. The plutonium produced is in very small amounts, that it would take tonnes of the waste to actually have enough to make a one-kiloton bomb. Not to mention the cost, and difficulty to do so. It's one of the main selling points of the reactor. You can sell them to whoever the hell you want, all they need is uranium ore and the ability to process it, and you never need worry about them using it for weapons manufacture. They can however burn plutonium, and this has been proposed as a way to get rid of all the plutonium cores from decommisionned missiles in the US and Russia with a fair bit of positive feedback.

      And the CANDU was designed in the 50's, not for the Manhattan project.

      Educate yourself before you go on about something you don't know about:

      http://www.ncf.ca/%7ecz725/#toc

    16. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by dublin · · Score: 2

      Please mod parent post up. It has a lot of good information in it, and presents a very valid (and truthful) view.

      --
      "The future's good and the present is nothing to sneeze at." - Roblimo's last ./ post
    17. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by TheWickedKingJeremy · · Score: 2

      Sounds like a pretty standard canned anti-enviro-wacko rant... but what the heck, I'll respond with a few little points you might not have thought of an probably won't bother to read.

      ... you would realize that Kyoto is just a Trojan horse... a way to get us used to economic sacrifice so that the REAL changes can be done - cutbacks of 30% or more on CO2 emissions which translate, with TODAYS technology, to massive economic disaster.

      Except that Kyoto would take affect over time... People need an incentive to make progress on all technologies, and alternative energies are no exception. Say, for arguements sake, that we found out today that all of the world's oil would run out in two years... I think you would be surprised at how much progress we could make within that timeframe in terms of replacing dependance on oil with alternative fuels. Therefore, the "with TODAYS technology" clause is irrelevant because we can easily improve our current (pathetic) alternative energy technology during that time. Kyoto, while not that dramatic, at least was a reversal. Only the ignorant do not see the problems associated with dependance on foriegn oil - and I can safely say that even if you don't care a bit about the environment. Read a newspaper one day and take a look at what our country is doing in the mid-east... Almost all of our problems extend from oil to some extent, 9/11 being no exception. If acid rain, rising temperatures, melting icecaps, and dying amphibians do not bother you, perhaps the next (inevitible) attack on our country will.

      It is interesting that people who put out radical environmental rants tend to be anti-western. Usually this is because they haven't taken a look at how *other* societies treat the environment - which is on average with considerably less respect than we in the west do.

      Read some studies explaining how much the U.S. (not the west - the United States alone) consumes compared to the rest of the world, and we can talk. Im not so much worried about Europe when we have people like Bill Clinton and George W. to deal with right at home.

      The "vicious cycle of consumerism" is an unintended codeword for people exercising their economic freedoms. It is usually uttered by people who are sure they are smarter than these "consumers" - people who justify their beliefs by thinking that consumers are somehow deluded into making their choices by evil capitalist advertisers.

      The person you are responding to may have an agenda - you certainly do... But ultimately this sort of arguement is pointless within the context of environmental progress. The main "switch" we need to make is to start thinking long term instead of short term. Thats it! Going "green" does not have to be bad for business. On the contrary, if the US became a world leader in the producer of alternative energy enabling technology, it would be a boon to our economy. I am a capitalist and a strong environmental advocate. They do not have to be against each other! But when you have a large, successful country dependant on a finite resource which is controlled by hostile enemies, why not start moving to the next level? Why not produce our own energy and keep the money in country *and* help our children's environment to boot?

      --

      my religion lies somewhere between buddhism and super monkey ball - pamphlet?
    18. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      it is much easier to seperate Pu-239 from U-238 than it is to seperate U-235 from U-238 in raw uranium ore

      That's not the primary reason why we mind the bad guys having U-235 less than we mind them having Pu-239 though.

      Making a bomb based on Pu is easier than making one based on U.

      Quick recap: Fission requires neutrons, but it also produces them more than are required --> chain reaction.

      The produced neutrons are high-energy ones though, and U-235 can't be split by high-energy neutrons, they have to be slowed down first in some added carbon (graphite) or deuterium (heavy water) moderator. This has to be done without losing too many - traces of Cd, Ba or Na in the vicinity will eat neutrons for breakfast, and most other elements will absorb them to various extents.

      Pu-239 can be split by fast (high-energy) neutrons without the need of a moderator, so making a Pu-based bomb is "easier".

      Pu is probably much more efficient too, because the neutrons are immediately at hand. Slowing them down enough to split U-235 requires the moderator to be mixed in the U-235 in one way or another, and it takes some time, which makes the chain reaction less "explosive".
      (ISTR a combination of 6 time constants determining the rate of increase of the reaction for U-235, at least two of which were in the 1-second order of magnitude - but I may be off a bit, it's been >20 years since I had to study this material ;-)

    19. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You mean "this is common FUD spread by the green to speed up the move to clean energy".

      Not that there's anything against clean energy.

    20. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by MacEnvy · · Score: 1

      Well, you're almost right. North Korea and Iraq both have uranium. But so does every other country in the world. If you check out the EPA site for uranium, there's a line (buried in a PDF file, I can't remember which) that states that "every country in the world has enough uranium occurring naturally to create at least a few large bombs". Uranium is a semi-common element in the earth's crust. It may not be in deposit form, but South Korea does have enough ore to chemically extract some for enrichment if they really needed to. The reason we don't worry about SK is because their technology is inadequate to create a nuclear device. NK's, maybe not.

      --


      ***
    21. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by schaefms · · Score: 1

      First you say "the environment as a whole is much too complex of a system for us to understand the effects that we are having on it", and then you say that we are "wrecking our planet."

      Seems to me that is exactly what is coming out of the rabidly environmentalist camp. 1) The assumption that the earth, without human "interference" would be "perfect/pristine". 2) The assumption that the vast majority of environmental changes we see are a result of human, not natural activity.

      Every model I've seen for the destruction of the world eliminates one thing: PRICE. Forrester, for example, would have us believe that starving people are going to prefer to buy consumer goods which require the transformation of arable land to non-arable land rather than food. Yeah, very likely. "I'm going to starve, but at least I'll do it in style in my new Boxster S!!!" Many people have said it better than I - people are economically minded. When the Western capitalistic, wasteful life becomes too expensive, we'll change, but right now, we choose big houses, bug cars and big trips because we can afford to. When gas prices were $2 a gallon here, people were much less likely to drive on huge vacations.

    22. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Before you start calling names, better check out what you write, kiddie.

      Uranium is one of the less rare elements, but maybe you looked at the wrong place ("earth's crust", does that include water?)
      The mistake you made is by looking at the top 10 only: those account for 99% of the total mass, but last time I counted there were >100 elements, and U is not in the bottom half.

      Uranium is much more common than gold, silver or platinum, but nearly all of the world's natural supply is found in solution form in sea water at a concentration too low for economic extraction.

      Sea water contains 3.2 micrograms of uranium per liter (naturally, not as a result of dumping nuclear waste ;-)
      For comparison: that's 20 times more than copper, 100 times more than iron, 1500 times more than silver and 6000 times more than tin, but much less than Na and Cl ;-)

      Not looking at just water alone, the earth crust contains 40 times more uranium than silver.

      (Some numbers: here - I used other sources too)

    23. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by catman · · Score: 1

      My estimates are that we will experience shortages within 20 to 25 years

      Interesting. Johan Galtung was recently quoted as giving the US empire 20, max 25 years from now. He correctly predicted the downfall of the USSR, five years in advance. As far as I can see he didn't tie in any oil shortages, but the rapid and accelerating decline of the greatest asset of the USA - its wonderful democracy. (quotes from memory, don't shoot me)

    24. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by mesocyclone · · Score: 2

      I certainly don't feel like changing things so they would be less comfortable for me."

      I guess you missed that part about millions dying in the third world.

      Your whole rant is completly meaningless because your basic assumption, that the chances of us having positive effect are roughly equal to the risks of us having a negative effect, is false.

      Actually, that isn't my basic assumption. It is my point #1, which is based on the previous poster's somewhat erroneous assumption that the climate system is too complex for us to understand out impact thereon. OTOH, I would argue that we don't know enough to be able to predict much about the effect, and the chances of a positive result of reducing CO2 by a bit are not that good, and the chances of it having a negative effect are not that bad.

      The truth is, we don't want to have _any_ effect. The earth has gone on for at least tens of thousands of years in a fashion that suits our needs just fine. The risk that this is changing dramatically for the worse without our intervention in the next 100 years is not worth taking into account.

      You are at least 10000 years too late! We have already had a dramatic effect. We can't exactly put Humpty Dumpy's egg back together! The Indians killed off most of the large mammals in North America when they first arrived. Farming, which is necessary to feed the population that we have now, has drastically altered the landscape of much of the world. Of course, we also have to transport that food if we want people to live, and that requires energy, unless you want to provide your own telekineses powers to do the job?

      IOW, the only way to have *no* effect is to turn back the clock 10,000 years. The only way to have no further effect is to kill off all of mankind (which has been suggested by some environmentalists in surprisingly high positions in major groups).

      In order to have no practical effect, you have to do things that are prevented by my remaining points in the post, which apparently you didn't read since you stopped with point #1.

      --

      The only good weather is bad weather.

    25. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by mesocyclone · · Score: 2
      Sounds like a pretty standard canned anti-enviro-wacko rant... but what the heck, I'll respond with a few little points you might not have thought of an probably won't bother to read.
      Nice rhetorical trick :-)

      There is no doubt that dependence on the mideast has some problems. The question is whether there is anything we can do about it now, and the answer is: no, not in a quantitative sense that yields real qualitative results.

      Almost all of our problems extend from oil to some extent, 9/11 being no exception. If acid rain, rising temperatures, melting icecaps, and dying amphibians do not bother you,

      Sigh. Acid rain is caused by burning high sulphur coal, not oil! And, in the US, according to a $500,000,000 study by the US gov(that the Clinton administration did it's best to keep out of the public eye), acid rain is the US is a very minor problem, that only requires remediation in a small number of lakes in the NE (and maybe a small part of Canada) which can easily be done by adding a small amount of calcium carbonate!

      There are no melting icecaps. The are some receding glaciers, but there are also advancing glaciers (which, of course, never make the news). There is no scientific *evidence* that the glacier melt is caused by man adding CO2 to the atmosphere, although there is some suspicion.

      There is absolutely no evidence tying use of oil to dying amphibians. There are a number of causes that have been identified, from the destruction of habitat to epidemics of various amphibian diseases.

      perhaps the next (inevitible) attack on our country will.

      Let's see... we are supposed to end that attack by not buying oil from the middle east? Right! The attack is enevitable. Oil is in fact somewhat realted to Islamicist terrorism, but if you read their own propaganda (check out a realo Al Queda site in English: Al-Muhajiroun ) and you will see that is is almost all anti-zionism and anti-modernism cloacked in religious fanaticism (see http://www.tinyvital.com/BlogArchives/000009.html for how environmentalism is headed that way). The real motives behind Islamic terrorism are:
      • Envy - the middle Eastern Islamic world was once large an powerful. Now it is pitiful (which is not a statement about the religion but about the societies where it exists in the mideast).
      • Hatred of Israel - the smallest country in the Middle East which is populated by Jews - who are hated by almost all extremist movements
      • A Fear of Western Mores - those same Islamic cultures (and the religion) have very strong rules about sexual behavior - which form the basis for the social structure - family relationships - and the recent sexual revolution and women's movement tempts them, threatens them and disgusts them. The portrayal of this in the western media, which is more radical than the actual western cultures - at least in the US, makes it even worse.
      • Religious tracts that encourage and sanctify the use of violence to spread Islam. Many Muslims do not treat these as primary, the same was that many Christians are not Biblical literalists, but the radicals do.
      • Broken and Corrupt Governments - Bin Laden's biggest complaint started with the corrupt government of Saudi Arabia and his own lack of access to power - even though he is rich.
      • The influence of the West - they don't like the fact that the west has a lot of influence, especially in the middle east - but of course we do - we are the economically and militarily dominant culture!
      ... re other points where at least you have a fact or two right...
      The U.S. consumes a lot more than the rest of the world (per capita) and it also *produces* more than the rest of the world. Of course, little things like having a country with a very low population density spread across thousands of miles, compare to places like France (where I used to live) that is only a few hundred miles in its largest dimension, has a bit to say about *why* we rely more on transportation energy!

      "Going Green" too often means forcing people to do things against their will, or constraining their choices. If you are in favor of that, in any significant way, you are anti-capitalist and anti-freedom, regardless of how you style yourself. Further more, doing so often leads to counterproductive results - the Law of Unintended Consequences reigns in government (see Laws of Bureaucracy.

      I believe that the government should have a role in environmental protection, because environmental damage is also an externality (not captured in the economic costs to the damager). I also know that the US and the rest of the western world are far more environmentally responsible than almost anywhere else, in spite of what everyone says. We pay enormous amounts of money, in the form of pollution control equipment, research, land set asides, economic uncertainty due to an uncertain regulatory environment, conservations programs, etc. In fact, we pay enough to feed many millions of the world's starving, if we spent the money on that. So we are sacrificing, and we are also sacrificing the poor of the world (often at the cost of their lives), on the altar of environmentalism.

      Nobody wants to live in a crappy environment. Nobody wants to sentence their descendants to live in a world of degrading environment. But doing something about it is a lot more than spouting off wrong facts (as you did when you blamed a whole bunch of things on oil), and condemning the west (or especially the US) for being selfish. That is nothing but feel-good babbling - like we often hear from Hollywood elites in their spare time.

      Real environmental "progress" requires accounting for little things like the nature of man, the respect of freedom, respect for physical laws, respect for uncertainty, and above all - trying to achieve a balance between the needs of real human beings and environmental remediation.

      "No change at all" - your assertion, is beyond silly. Not only is it impossible, but it is extremist and utopian. Grow up!
      --

      The only good weather is bad weather.

    26. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by TheWickedKingJeremy · · Score: 2

      Nice rhetorical trick :-)

      Thank you ;)

      There is no doubt that dependence on the mideast has some problems. The question is whether there is anything we can do about it now, and the answer is: no, not in a quantitative sense that yields real qualitative results.

      Ahh, so we cant do anything about it now? When can we? In 23 years? Next Monday? (Sunday is no good for me)

      We have to start! Thats it! I dont want to cut ourselves off from oil today. I am pragmatic and realize that we are dependant on oil, and that just stopping cold would be a recipe for disaster. But why not start with small goals, and begin to reverse our ever-worsening addiction? It will never be the "right" time... We just have to pick a time, period.

      There are no melting icecaps.

      I hope you are kidding (just one example I found at the first news site I checked). The caps of Kilimanjaro will be snow-free in 20 years, and I even heard theories that the mythical Northwest passage will finally open up. Hey, would be great for commerce, right? As for no evidence - its true, we will never have black and white evidence because only time will tell. However, it is entirely reasonable that we are contributing to global warming - even George W agreed to this after getting back the results from his commissioned study. Him saying so perhaps speaks louder than all the enviro-activists in the world, given that he is not exactly a friend of the environment. (Dont give me any "Clinton is worse" crap - I think they both are equally horrible in this regard)

      There is absolutely no evidence tying use of oil to dying amphibians.

      Again, I have read otherwise. Just do a google search of "amphibian decline" or "amphibian car exhaust" and you will find myriad examples. Rivers, lakes, etc, are definitely polluted, both by acid rain and other pollutants, such as car exhaust, and many scientists believe pollutants to be a prime factor. Yes, disease and habitat loss are as well.

      The attack is enevitable. Oil is in fact somewhat realted to Islamicist terrorism, but if you read their own propaganda...

      Might I suggest you concentrate less on their (or anyone else's, for that matter) propaganda? Bin Laden himself goes on record saying he will attack us until we pull our troops out of Saudi Arabia, and end our bias towards Isreal. I am all for pulling out of this conflict completely, and though I definitely side with Isreal more so than I would with Islamic states, they are hardly innocent themselves. But how come we do not pull out of Saudi Arabia? How come we invaded Iraq (and may do so again)? Was it to save Kuwait? How come we do not involve ourselves militarily in the myriad wars in Africa going on right now? What is different about the Middle East versus Iraq? Hmmm....

      You said yourself that broken and corrupt governments are a main reason why these bastards do what they do... What do you think the government of Saudi Arabia is? Is it *that* unreasonable for bin Laden to be pissed that the Saudi government seems to cater to the US more than the Saudi people? Do you think Karzai was the best choice for the people of Afghanistan, or for us?

      I believe that the government should have a role in environmental protection, because environmental damage is also an externality (not captured in the economic costs to the damager).

      Exactly. The environment is a third-party... That is exactly the sort of thing that I want government to interfere in defense of. I dont care about cigerettes, alcohol, the war on drugs, etc... The gov. IMHO has no opinion policing us from ourselves in that regard. But the environment affects us all. One persons choice should not affect me, but it does with the environment.

      --

      my religion lies somewhere between buddhism and super monkey ball - pamphlet?
    27. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by TheWickedKingJeremy · · Score: 2

      Excuse me - I meant to say "What is different about the Middle East versus AFRICA" ...

      --

      my religion lies somewhere between buddhism and super monkey ball - pamphlet?
    28. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by vague · · Score: 1

      "Actually, that isn't my basic assumption. It is my point #1, which is based on the previous poster's somewhat erroneous assumption that the climate system is too complex for us to understand out impact thereon."

      Is is your basic assumption, because it's the assumption on which all the others rest. Only if this one is true can we in any feasible way act as the rest of your points suggest. If we accept this as false (which as I pointed out it is) than we have no choice other than doing _something_. You can't say that "well, if we aren't careful we could end up making this planet uninhabitable (or very, very hostile) to humans" as a fact and then not be careful unless our actions are equally likely to save us from the same fate. And that just isn't the case, our actions are much more likely to end up destroying us than they are saving us.

      "IOW, the only way to have *no* effect is to turn back the clock 10,000 years. The only way to have no further effect is to kill off all of mankind" ...
      "In order to have no practical effect, you have to do things that are prevented by my remaining points in the post, which apparently you didn't read since you stopped with point #1."

      Refuted above.

      It's not hard to find environmentalist with strange opinions and no factual footing. But that doesn't change the fact that there is a lot of serious and good researchers who think we need to do something. There's something about a baby and bathwater...

      --

      -
      Listen. Strange women lying in ponds distributing swords is no basis for a system of government.

    29. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by vague · · Score: 1

      "Refuted above."

      Hm, meaning that with #1 refuted the rest of your discussion is pointless. I'm not radical, I think we should proceed carefully and try minimizing the costs (and losses) associated, we can't seriously expect the world to turn on a dime. But turn it has to, it's the duty of our generation to do that. True, we can't know what will happen in 300 years and that nobody will end up screwing the planet at that or a later point. But that's a really lame argument for screwing it right now and leave it to those who come in 300 years in a position where they are already screwed to start with. Unless we just accept it all as futile and decide that mankind has no future anyhow.

      --

      -
      Listen. Strange women lying in ponds distributing swords is no basis for a system of government.

    30. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by Spamalamadingdong · · Score: 2
      CANDU reactors are not suitable for breeders.
      Au contraire, they are perfectly suited for breeders (and as I recall, at least one nation [India?] made its first nuclear device with material from a CANDU). A CANDU is set up for continuous refuelling, which makes it a very simple matter to have short irradiation cycles of depleted-uranium elements and then reprocess them for high-purity Pu-239. Russian RMBK reactors are similar in that respect. It is US-style pressurized-water reactors which have to be shut down cold for re-arranging the core, which forces long fuelling cycles which inevitably contaminates all plutonium with lots of the higher isotopes 240 and 241; these are very problematic for bomb-makers, but no difficulty so far as using it for reactor fuel AFAIK.
    31. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by mesocyclone · · Score: 2

      Kilaminjaro has glaciers, not an ice cap.

      As far as the middle east, there is no doubt that the fact that they have oil and we want it is important. And there is no doubt that if there was no oil there, Saddam would have been less important.

      BUT... the radical Islamists hate us anyway. And they are doing a lot of crazy stuff where there is no oil (Afghanistan? Algeria?).

      The government of Saudi Arabia is indeed corrupt. But it hardly caters more to the US than the Saudi's. I don't know if you are old enough to remember the oil embargo, but Saudi Arabia was part oof that. Bin Laden was perfectly happy with the US when we were buying Saudi oil but helping the Afghans fight the Russians.

      But this is all beside the point anyway. There is simply no practical way to reduce oil dependence in a time frame that has anything to do with Islamic fanaticism. So you are beating a dead horse.

      I don't like use being dependent on foreign oil (although we are MUCH less dependent on middle east oil than we used to be). I also don't like use being dependent on the cess pit in the Congo for chromium, etc, etc.

      THe problem with using the government to deal with externalities is that government is a big, blunt instrument. After all, how many people on Slashdot are happy with how they have dealt with DRM or the Microsoft issue? Their record on environmental protection is one of total violation of individual property rights (i.e. theft of value from J Random citizen), radical regulations (such as Babbitt's no roads in the national forests program), and overkill (reductions in automobile pollution were needed, but further reductions will make *no* difference in smog, for example).

      --

      The only good weather is bad weather.

    32. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by TheWickedKingJeremy · · Score: 2

      Kilaminjaro has glaciers, not an ice cap.

      You got me on account of the terminology... Now, anything of substance on the fact that they are melting?

      BUT... the radical Islamists hate us anyway. And they are doing a lot of crazy stuff where there is no oil (Afghanistan? Algeria?).

      I do not make apologies for the state of any Islamic countries. In my own personal opinion, I think they are for the most part pathetic, unwanted relics of the past... all the more reason to sever the one thing that A. gives them power and money, B. has corrupting influences on our government, C. pollutes the environment.

      I don't know if you are old enough to remember the oil embargo, but Saudi Arabia was part oof that.

      I remember about a year ago Iraq called for the oil producing nations to issue a meager one month boycott on oil sales to the US, on account of our alleged bias towards Israel. Not one country agreed to follow through, and indeed, Saudi Arabia vowed never to use "oil as a weapon" and would continue to supply us with oil. The Saudi people were not thrilled.

      There is simply no practical way to reduce oil dependence in a time frame that has anything to do with Islamic fanaticism. So you are beating a dead horse.

      I disagree. They have been fighting for longer than America has even been a country, and no doubt they will fight for a long time still, no matter what our course of action. This is still no excuse to want to limit your ties to these people, and their one staple of power over us. Of course we wont be able to cut oil dependance to fend of the *next* attack... But try thinking long-term for a change... say, 10 or 20 years from now. Lets change our relationship with these people altogether. They will have no power over us, and our more gung-ho presidents will not feel the urge to invade every ten years or so (which only increases hatred). I am not even saying lets not ever go to war with these people... Let's just limit how much of our actions are repercussions of our dependance on oil.

      I don't like use being dependent on foreign oil (although we are MUCH less dependent on middle east oil than we used to be).

      It is true, we are much less dependant on middle eastern oil than we used to be - and that is a Good Thing. However, they still have the largest oil reserves in the world, and therefore are strategically important to a country dependant on oil. On any particular day, we may only be importing 20% (I am not sure of the exact percentage) of our oil from the Middle East, but our actions there make it very clear we will back up, with force if necessary, our need to have access to this oil in the future. All the proof you need is on page one of every paper in the country right at this very moment. North Korea is admitting to a nuclear weapons program, is hinting at blackmailing the US by selling this technology to the highest bidder (aka bin Laden), and has stated that "sactions are an act of war." And yet, George W. considers this a "diplomatic" issue where there is no war on the near horizon. Conversely, we have found no indication of nuclear weapons in Iraq, they *already are* under sanctions, and there is no evidence that they sold technology to terrorists - and yet, W. is raising hell and moving the fleet in, while the U.N. still maintains there is no "smoking gun." Doesn't make too much sense, does it?

      THe problem with using the government to deal with externalities is that government is a big, blunt instrument. After all, how many people on Slashdot are happy with how they have dealt with DRM or the Microsoft issue?

      I sure as hell am not happy - but what is the alternative? Do nothing? As a staunch capitalist, what do you think should happen to MS? Do you feel that they deserve to be where they are today, and that they only got there because they had the best product? Do you feel the government should not have a role in the breakup of monopolies?

      Their record on environmental protection is one of total violation of individual property rights... individual property rights (i.e. theft of value from J Random citizen)

      You are certainly entitled to have this opinion, but I disagree wholeheartedly. I feel I get much more value out of the (meager) dollars spent on conservation than I do for, say, Boston's Big Dig or a military whose budget is sized to account for the possibility of fighting 2.5 wars at a time. Money allocated towards conservation is the absolute minimal - and as someone who enjoys hiking in the White Mountains of NH, for example, I know its worth every penny. I think you will find most people would agree.

      radical regulations (such as Babbitt's no roads in the national forests program)

      I do not feel this is radical in the slightest. Why do we need roads in national forests?

      and overkill (reductions in automobile pollution were needed, but further reductions will make *no* difference in smog, for example).

      This is simply incorrect. Heavy auto pollution creates smog. Reduce (better yet, eliminate, but I will not cross my fingers ;) and you can only help the smog problem. The absolute worst case is that the smog does not get worse -- and what is wrong with that? Spend any time in Mexico City have we?

      --

      my religion lies somewhere between buddhism and super monkey ball - pamphlet?
    33. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by mesocyclone · · Score: 2

      Kilaminjaro has glaciers, not an ice cap.

      Lets change our relationship with these people altogether.
      The best way to do that is what we are about to do: denazify the bastards, by force if necessary. The problem with trying to not "be dependent" on them is that it won't work - because even in 10 or 20 years the *world* will still need oil, and since oil is a fungible commodity, the middle east will be where a lot of it comes from. And we will still need oil.

      As far as going to war with them, it is too late. Even if there wasn't a drop of oil in the middle east, we would have to stop Iraq and Iran from getting nukes, and deal with North Korea. These countries are simply so hostile to us that our own safety requires a regime change.

      North Korea is admitting to a nuclear weapons program, is hinting at blackmailing the US by selling this technology to the highest bidder (aka bin Laden), and has stated that "sactions are an act of war." And yet, George W. considers this a "diplomatic" issue where there is no war on the near horizon. Conversely, we have found no indication of nuclear weapons in Iraq, they *already are* under sanctions, and there is no evidence that they sold technology to terrorists - and yet, W. is raising hell and moving the fleet in, while the U.N. still maintains there is no "smoking gun." Doesn't make too much sense, does it?

      Actually, if you look at the details, it makes enormous sense. Iraq does not yet have the capability of immediately killing 10s of millions of people, while Korea can do it in a matter of minutes. In other words, we can pre-empt Iraq. It is too late to pre-empt Korea! I have been to Seoul and *seen* North Korea from that city of 20,000,000 people. The North Koreans have enough artillery, with enough chemical weapons, to kill virtually all of those people at the very start of hostilities. They also have enough capability to potentially kill lots of Japanese with WMD warheads on their IRBM's (Tokyo is within long range scud range of North Korea). Thus we have a very different problem with the North.

      Iraq needs to be taken down both because it is a very dangerous country with a history of killing more Muslims (by far) than any other country in history, and history of strategic miscalculations: the Iraq-Iran war, the invasion of Kuwait. Furthermore, given the way power politics work in the middle east, taking down and denazifying Iraq is likely to cause the remaining governments over there to be much more agreeable to our peacemaking and anti-terrorist efforts.

      Keep in mind that in the middle east (including Iraq), the main way that repressive and totalitarians governments stay in power is by vilifying Israel and making it the main enemy. This is a classic trick - maintain an external enemy so you can justify your internal repression and economic troubles. Thus even countries such as Egypt run vicious anti-semitic (Protocols of Zion, the Blood Libel) propaganda in their official papers. As long as they are allowed to do this, young Arabs and Persians are going to hate Israel, and by extension, the US.

      In fact, our support for Israel gives lie to the idea that our entire middle easter policy was about oil. We could do as Europe is doing and try to feed Israel to the anti-Israeli and anti-semitic wolves in an attempt to appease the oil countries and Islamicist terrorism, but we don't. Israel is a modern western democracy, and deserving of our support.

      North Korea, unlike Saddam, has a history of making great big threats and then doing nothing with them. It is possible that the entire current crisis is an attempt by them to get aid from the US to prop up their evil regime. It is more likely that they want us to give them aid, put a "bandaid" over their nuclear program like Clinton/Carter did, and have their cake and eat it too. Hopefully the Chinese will stop them, because if Korea stays nuclear, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan will also go nuclear - which is very much against China's geostrategic interests.

      But this time, if NK doesn't stop their nuclear program, there should be and I think there will be war. Hopefully we can destroy their nuclear infrastructure without escalation (as Israel did so successfully in Iraq in 1981). More likely there will be a horrible, bloody war in which millions of civilians will be killed by the NK's. In this case, the people who didn't plan ahead are the South Korean's, who should have moved their centers of population south after the first Korean War.

      THe problem with using the government to deal with externalities is that government is a big, blunt instrument. After all, how many people on Slashdot are happy with how they have dealt with DRM or the Microsoft issue?

      I sure as hell am not happy - but what is the alternative? Do nothing? As a staunch capitalist, what do you think should happen to MS?

      I think that the Operating System division of MS, and perhaps the Office Products division should be treated as *natural monopolies* and regulated like a public utility and prevented from using their monopoly profits from investing in other businesses. I don't think that punitive measures are needed except in specific cases - Microsoft got their monopoly fairly (not completely) honestly, and if they hadn't gotten it, someone else (Digital Research? IBM?) would have it, because a monopoly in PC hardware was inevitable.

      Do you feel the government should not have a role in the breakup of monopolies?
      I believe that the capitalist system isn't perfect, and that there is a role of government.

      The first role is to protect the civil rights (INCLUDING property rights) of citizens (and by extension, organizations including corporations that are formed by these citizens). This includes protections from criminals (theft, murder, fraud, extortion, etc) and from the government itself (checks and balances).

      The second role is to set up laws against true criminal behavior (theft, fraud, etc).

      The third is to provide a stable and rational civil legal system so that contracts are honored or the violators can be contested (our system is drifting away from that due to the class action lawyers).

      Fourth is to intervene for three reasons:
      1) To regulate the existence of a monopoly which is likely to continue due to natural reasons
      2) To deal with externalities like environmental issues, but only with extreme caution - not like the current madness
      3) National security (such as forcing security rules on airports, chemical companies and nuclear power plants).

      Their record on environmental protection is one of total violation of individual property rights... individual property rights (i.e. theft of value from J Random citizen)

      You are certainly entitled to have this opinion, but I disagree wholeheartedly. I feel I get much more value out of the (meager) dollars spent on conservation than I do for,

      I don't have a problem with spending meager dollars on conservation. And those dollars don't normally involve stealing from individuals...

      say, Boston's Big Dig

      Isn't that to put in a subway or something? I thought environmentalists worshiped mass transit.

      or a military whose budget is sized to account for the possibility of fighting 2.5 wars at a time.
      The reason you have the freedom to have this conversation is that military (which I served in, BTW, voluntarily). The current budget is very small by historical terms (ratio of GDP), and is *not* large enough to fight even 2 wars at the same time (I think the Bush administration should have immediately started increasing it after 9/11). You get a lot more value from that military than you obviously appreciate. Keep in mind that those soldiers, all volunteers, are paid far less than they would get in civilian jobs, have to live without many basic freedoms (their "constitution" is the Uniform Code of Military Justice - read it some time), and they have to leave their families behind and put their lives on the line, FOR YOU, at any moment.

      If I were to strip government down to its most basic functions, they would be:
      1) Protection against foreign powers - the military. Without such protection, you soon don't have a country, so all other functions become moot!
      2) Protection against criminals: police, criminal courts, jails.
      3) A transparent and minimally corrupt system of civil justice, to handle contracts and torts.

      That's it!

      I do not feel this is radical in the slightest. Why do we need roads in national forests?

      Obviously you have never been to the western US, where I live. A single forest is often bigger than the entire state of New Hampshire. Having no roads means having no access except for the younger and healthier citizens who have the time (i.e. wealth) to hike for days into it! I'll tell you what... go ahead and have no roads in the East Coast national forests - fine with me. But let us have our forests in a more reasonable way. Did you know that the Federal Government owns over 75% percent of the land in the state that I live in? We care rather a lot about their policies!

      Regarding auto pollution - the issue is diminishing returns - and we have gotten there. Cars are *orders of magnitude* (that's powers of ten) cleaner than they were thirty years ago. Los Angeles smog is much less than when I lived there in the '70s.

      As far as Mexico City - yes, I was there ten days helping out after the 1985 earthquake. Once people started going back to work, the smog was *terrible*. But do you know why?

      1) Mexico city is in a bowl surrounding by big mountains. This causes thermal inversions to form there that are phenomenal compared to most of the rest of the world.
      2) Mexico city has a huge population
      3) The people in Mexico are *too poor* to afford low emissions vehicles, much less alternate fuel vehicles. Environmentalists almost universally advocate policies that would damage the poor more than the rich. The best way to help the world overall is to push policies that would help end poverty, because well off countries have the time and money to put into environmental protection, and they also have below-replacement birth rates!

      --

      The only good weather is bad weather.

    34. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by TheWickedKingJeremy · · Score: 2

      denazify the bastards, by force if necessary.

      I am all for this, and realize that (unless they change themselves) they will eventually need to be changed by an alternate means. Whether this means using force or air-dropping Beatles CDs on their playgrounds depends on the place and circumstances. (The latter, of course, is a humerous way of saying that real change comes with the next generation).

      The problem with trying to not "be dependent" on them is that it won't work - because even in 10 or 20 years the *world* will still need oil, and since oil is a fungible commodity, the middle east will be where a lot of it comes from.

      You question whether it would be worthwhile to become independent of them... But flip it around - What is the advantage of being dependent on them?? There is none! Even in a time of war - even if we are justified in blowing them off the face of the earth, why on Earth do we need to need their oil? Why not *ahem* pre-emptively seperate our economic stability from this chaotic, violent, and irrational place?

      And we will still need oil.

      Judging by our current course of action - yes, we will still need it. This is a choice we are making - it is not set in stone, and it could be different if we wanted it to. Americans have performed, time and time again, feats of ingenuity much more impressive that this in past generations - how come this task seems so impossible for us today, yet is actively underway in places like Iceland and Germany? I guess I figured we were smarter than that...

      As far as going to war with them, it is too late. Even if there wasn't a drop of oil in the middle east, we would have to stop Iraq and Iran from getting nukes, and deal with North Korea. These countries are simply so hostile to us that our own safety requires a regime change.

      I am not even going to necessarily disagree with you here. Again, I am not some peace-nut who thinks we should all be like Switzerland. I still think it would be wise to cut our interests economically (and become a world-leader for an up-and-coming technology requirement to boot) at least as much as possible, while we can. Also, I dont think military action is necessary so long as UN inspectors are on the ground in Iraq, which they currently are. (credit to W. on this)

      Thus we have a very different problem with the North.

      Then why lump them in with the other "axis of evil" members? Why not call them "pinnacle of evil"? -- Kidding.. You make good points about NK's military ability, but I still think this is a lot of hypocrisy from our current administration.

      Iraq needs to be taken down both because it is a very dangerous country with a history of killing more Muslims (by far) than any other country in history, and history of strategic miscalculations: the Iraq-Iran war, the invasion of Kuwait.

      We have our strategic miscalculations as well - Vietnam for one. As long as Iraq is not invading Israel, Europe, or any of our allies, what do we care? -- Well, there is one reason why we care, and it ain't to save Kuwait. I think we do not want any one of these countries to become too powerful and to control too much of this resourceful area... Not necessarily a bad strategy, but be honest here.. We are not doing this to save Muslims.

      Furthermore, given the way power politics work in the middle east, taking down and denazifying Iraq is likely to cause the remaining governments over there to be much more agreeable to our peacemaking and anti-terrorist efforts.

      I hope you are right.

      We could do as Europe is doing and try to feed Israel to the anti-Israeli and anti-semitic wolves in an attempt to appease the oil countries and Islamicist terrorism, but we don't. Israel is a modern western democracy, and deserving of our support.

      Isreal also breaks UN resolutions just as Iraq does. Though, as I said before, I would side with Isreal over the Islamic countries, I do not see why we have blood ties to them. This is an age old conflict being played out on a new stage, and across new, arguably arbitrary borders. I feel for the people of Israel and the Palestinians, but I dont think either of their leaderships are doing either side any good. Both should take a page from the strategy book of Gandhi, IMHO.

      I think that the Operating System division of MS, and perhaps the Office Products division should be treated as *natural monopolies* and regulated like a public utility and prevented from using their monopoly profits from investing in other businesses.

      I agree, but perhaps think it would only be necessary that MS be broken up. Currently, they are constantly springing up new business ventures which, though all lose money, are being subsidized by the OS/Office product revenues. Ahh, it must be nice to have a never ending checkbook and to be able to take your time to get it right.

      say, Boston's Big Dig
      Isn't that to put in a subway or something? I thought environmentalists worshiped mass transit.


      Nope - its essentially moving a 6 lane highway underground, and increasing it to 8 and 10 lanes in places... It is over-budget by billions and billions of dollars, and will do nothing to alleviate our problems as a reasonable mass-transit system would. Studies in Atlanta and other places have shown that increasing highway girth only encourages more people to take the new route, and will clog up again in 5 years time. Cars, as usual, are the cause, not the answer to our sprawl, pollution, and congestion problems.

      You get a lot more value from that military than you obviously appreciate.

      The courage and ability of our fighting men is something I have tremendous respect for, especially since I come from a military family (my grandfather was a 3-star general and served in WW2 and Vietnam, lost an Uncle in Vietnam, etc). I do not think they should work for peanuts, and as every veteran I have ever met has been a stand-up, honorable individual, I think they all (and yourself) deserve our respect and thanks.

      However, just as times change, so I think should our military needs. The Cold War is over, and there is no justification for such a huge military budget. I have recently read on a Libertarian (aren't you a Libertarian anyway? ;) website that the US military budget accounts for 37% of the world's military budget, and another 30% is attributed to Europe, South Korea, Japan, and Isreal - countries which are not a likely threat to us. Russia is the 2nd largest spender, and a war with them seems unlikely as well. Military pork spending is not much better than domestic pork spending, and a budget of 400B is plainly excessive. Its 26 times bigger than the combined military budget of our 7 most likely enemy nations!

      Did you know that the Federal Government owns over 75% percent of the land in the state that I live in? We care rather a lot about their policies!

      I was not aware (as I did not know where you lived ;), and can understand your feelings on this matter... I suppose this is more the exception than the rule, as the majority of states in the US are not 75% covered with national forests. Overall, I feel, it is probably a good law, though can definitely see your side given the circumstances.

      Cars are *orders of magnitude* (that's powers of ten) cleaner than they were thirty years ago.

      And computers have advanced at a much faster rate than this! This is not a reason to stop - lets keep going and make it even better, shall we? Better smog is still smog - and the average miles per gallon is the lowest it has been since the '80s. There is much, much room for improvement. We are not getting anywhere near the power we should be for a gallon of fuel - burning it at an efficiency of something like 14%.

      As far as Mexico City - yes, I was there ten days helping out after the 1985 earthquake.

      You seem to have lead quite an extraordinary life, well done. (not intended to be sarcastic)

      The people in Mexico are *too poor* to afford low emissions vehicles, much less alternate fuel vehicles.
      Environmentalists almost universally advocate policies that would damage the poor more than the rich.


      But Kyoto exempted developing nations, and this was one of the main reasons W. rejected it.

      The best way to help the world overall is to push policies that would help end poverty, because well off countries have the time and money to put into environmental protection, and they also have below-replacement birth rates!

      Very wisely stated and something I agree with 100%

      --

      my religion lies somewhere between buddhism and super monkey ball - pamphlet?
    35. Re:U-235 vs. U-238 by mesocyclone · · Score: 2

      As long as Iraq is not invading Israel, Europe, or any of our allies, what do we care? -- Well, there is one reason why we care, and it ain't to save Kuwait. I think we do not want any one of these countries to become too powerful and to control too much of this resourceful area... Not necessarily a bad strategy, but be honest here.. We are not doing this to save Muslims.


      No, of course we are doing it in our national interest. It is nice, however, that it will also improve the world.

      The reason we care is we don't need another North Korea.

      Isreal also breaks UN resolutions just as Iraq does.

      I really don't care who breaks UN resolutions, since the UN is one of the most undemocratic institutions in the world! After all, Libya has the same vote as the US as does China as does Luxembourg. To me, the only purpose of UN resolutions is to pacify allies. Other than that, they are pretty useless. I have ZERO respect for the United Nations and the people who work there.

      And computers have advanced at a much faster rate than this! This is not a reason to stop - lets keep going and make it even better, shall we?

      Sigh. Computers had a lot more progress that was achievable. Cars don't. That is what I mean by reaching the limit of vanishing returns. We can choose to invest enormous amounts of our wealth in lots of ways in the hope of making it better. But one needs balance.

      BALANCE!

      Kyoto was a mass wealth transfer to the poor countries. It had *NOTHING* to do with improving the environment. In fact, it also exempted China which is rapidly becoming the most polluting country on earth. Kyoto was just one more screw-the-US international treaty not worth the paper it was written on. It was presented as a measure to stave off "global warming" but in fact would have had no significant impact. Rather, it was a measure to transfer wealth to the third world, and to do so in stupid ways. Kyoto would not have helped reduce poverty, other than by allowing third and fourth world countries to employ people in pollution belching factories, making Mexico City look good!

      --

      The only good weather is bad weather.

  52. Solar is not the Future by Ancil · · Score: 1

    Think about it. By 2005, shadows cast by all the flying cars will kill solar.

  53. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by John+Harrison · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Yes and no. US consumers don't want a wimpy EV1, for the most part. They want the bulk, power, and capacity of an SUV. Thus, the consumer is to blame.

    While in the end it is consumers who purchase SUVs, the situation is a bit more complicated than that.

    Auto companies have to produce cars such that the average fuel economy of what they sell meets a certain federal standard. The car companies are notriously bad at doing this, but even though they ignore the law, promissing to make it up in the future (right...) they are always looking for ways around it.

    Now light trucks are exempt from these regulations. But consumers outside of Wyoming (I love Wyoming btw) don't want to drive around in a truck, they like their cars. Enter the SUV. Very few people NEED an SUV, but the auto industry loves them because they are more appealing to consumers than trucks but are classified as light trucks for the purposes of federal fuel economy standards.

    So the car company can put a big 'ole engine in there and not worry about the expense and bother of fuel efficiency. Now if only consumers wanted to drive a jacked up station wagon (which is what your typical SUV is, admit it.) Since station wagons are soooo cool...

    But wait! That is what marketing is for, to tell consumers what to buy and what to want! So car companies market the crap out of SUVs since they are more profitable than cars and don't hurt their fuel economy averages. Bingo! SUVs are popular because consumers "want" them.

    So yes you can blame consumers, but I choose to blame poor legislation that gave car companies incentive to make SUVs as well. While I'm at it I blame the car companies too. Especially Toyota for making a 4Runner with a removable hardtop up until 1989. Wish I still had that car, I mean truck...

  54. Solar is for sissys by monk · · Score: 1

    I'm headed straight for fusion!

    http://fusor.net/

    Just give me a little time to work out this one last bug... ;)

    --
    [-- Trust the Monkey --]
    1. Re:Solar is for sissys by BFaucet · · Score: 1

      Why build a fusion reactor when you can just buy one?!

      http://www.labx.com/v2/adsearch/Detail3.CFM?adnumb =139967&r=1

      --
      -Derick
  55. won't somebody think of the plastics!!! by jamesh · · Score: 1

    aren't most (all?) plastics made from oil. better not run out.

  56. Where? I'll Tell You Where.... by Bowie+J.+Poag · · Score: 1, Offtopic



    Three guys strike up a conversation while riding the escalator up to the Pearly Gates (tm) of Heaven.

    The first guy asks, "Hey, what did you do to get up here?", and the second guy says, "I fell out of a tree. How about you?" The first guy says, "Me? Nothing spectacular. Just old age." ..At which point, the first guy asks the third guy, "Hey buddy -- How about you? What did you do to get up here?"

    "I invented a car that ran on saltwater, and got 500 miles per gallon."

    Moral: Companies will milk their "current" technologies until every last penny that can be made from the idea has been made. They'll actively shitcan ideas on the back burner until their current cow dies from exhaustion. Its only when it becomes unprofitable that they move on to better technologies. Take electric cars and ultra-ultra long life lightbulbs. Have been around for damn near a hundred years. Same thing probably goes for efficient solar energy. Whats the point of developing it when you've got billions of people paying good money for coal, natural gas, hydroelectric, and nuclear power?

    See you on the escalator. ;)

    Cheers,

    --
    Bowie J. Poag

    1. Re:Where? I'll Tell You Where.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      congratulations, you've just described what is commonly known as "profitable business", genius. ...and why shouldn't companies 'milk', as you say, their current products. no one is making them do any different.

      what's more important here is that people won't be using (and companies won't be making) products that are good for the environment until it's un-cool or illegal to do otherwise.

      one thing that can't and won't change that fact is a 'grass-roots' community (no matter how large) urging people to buy/use/sell environment-friendly products.

      the rest of the country is not Berkeley.

    2. Re:Where? I'll Tell You Where.... by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Take electric cars and ultra-ultra long life lightbulbs.

      What is the problem with these? You can go out and buy either of these today.

      Of course you will find that for long life incandescent bulbs the cost of electricity to generate the same amount of life is much higher - see to make the blb last longer you need to make the filament thicker, and that cuts down on the buld efficiency. The typical incandescent light bulb is actually optimized to give the most light per kwh.

      If you are really interested in long life bulbs and low cost light, you need to go to a different technology altogether - like compact fluorescent.

      As far as electric cars, there are of course tradeoffs - simple things like running a heater on a cold winter day reduce your miles between charges a lot. But we already have a much better solution, already on the roads in large numbers - hybrid gas-electric.

      Same thing probably goes for efficient solar energy.

      Yes, it exists. The problem is capital cost to collect it, and what do you do to get power when the Sun is down or it is cloudy. Right now solar power is 2x to 5x more expensive than fossil electricity because of the capital costs. However the installed solar power wattage is growing rapidly, primarily in areas that are a mile way from conventional power grids where the cost to run the lines outweghs the cost of the solar power system.

    3. Re:Where? I'll Tell You Where.... by Darnit · · Score: 1

      I think the bigges problem with hybrid electric cars currently is that they are not grid rechargeable.

      From mining (drilling) to propulsion, electric drive with current battery technology is more efficient and better for the environment than a brand spanking new hybrid electric car. The gasoline motor in that will prgressively pollute more as it is used. Why can't I buy a hybrid electric that allows me to drive the first 5-10 miles of my commute by pure electric then when the charge on the batteries gets down to about 50% kick the gas engine in. With this configuration over 70% of my driving would never require me to use gasoline.

      In Nebraska with the current electrical prices, it would take about $2/gal for an purely electric car and gasoline vehicle to be equal in running costs. This assumes a battery pack that lasts 30,000 miles and costs about $5000. The gasoline vehicle would need to get about 25 mpg These last 3 figures are kinda rusty since I did the calculations in May 2002. All my calculations are for city driving since that's what I would use the vehicle for.

      When calculating the cost of fuel for comparison, you have to factor in the cost of the battery pack since it only lasts for a limited amount of miles depending on the battery management system and pack discharge.

      The point is that hybrid electric vehicles would be much better if they were grid rechargeable.

      Eric

  57. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Cyno · · Score: 2

    it's the population as a whole

    No, its the media. The population merely watched TV and does what it is told.

  58. Lets get realistic about the cost. by zerofoo · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I see alot of people here want cheap solar cells that can cover their entire roof for a "few hundred dollars". Are you nuts? Standard roofing materials (made from asphalt) aren't that cheap and all they do is keep water out!

    Maybe the price needs to come down to a few THOUSAND dollars...with some government tax credits and utility savings, it might be worth it.

    -ted

    1. Re:Lets get realistic about the cost. by shepd · · Score: 1

      >Maybe the price needs to come down to a few THOUSAND dollars...with some government tax credits and utility savings, it might be worth it.

      Not unless the solar cells can do both -- make electricity and keep my house dry...

      --
      If you could be told what you can see or read, then it follows that you could be told what to say or think - BoC
    2. Re:Lets get realistic about the cost. by eadint · · Score: 0

      last i checked its about 20K yourself and
      12K subsidized.
      in the long run its worth it though

  59. Yep by epepke · · Score: 2

    And it would only take about as much energy as we use in 15-20 years to build all those solar cells.

    1. Re:Yep by afidel · · Score: 2

      Try 2-4 years worth, for more info see one of my other posts in this article.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
  60. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Cyno · · Score: 2

    If we had decided we were going to be using electricity instead of running on oil for the rest of our lives then maybe we'd have electric vehicles that charge in less than 5 minutes. Technology requires funding for R&D. There's at least 1000 times more money being put into research to find new ways to dig up oil than there is being put into alternative fuel sources. Its quite pathetic how short sighted we all are.

  61. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by geekoid · · Score: 2

    However, the Clinton Administration did push for alternative work weeks, and telecomutting. Both of which are good for the enviroment.
    People are truning against SUVs now, because the economy is bad. If the economy had kept growing, people would still be happly buying SUVs as fast as they can be made.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  62. Yikes by pclminion · · Score: 2
    Of course I meant:

    w = f*2*Pi
    h-bar = h/(2*Pi)

    And not the other way around.

    <shrug> The notation varies, but the idea is always the same. Don't get caught up in the particular names of particular variables...

  63. El Nino by freeweed · · Score: 3, Insightful

    We already went through this during the last big El Nino, then we (well, us in Manitoba anyway) had several really shitty/cold/wet years.

    Hell, there was no Spring 2002 here - the trees didn't bud until well into June - THAT'S how cold it was.

    Then again, in 1997 we had the 'blizzard of the century' followed by the 'flood of the century', but suddenly no one can remember any years with snow since they were a kid? Give me a break.

    --
    Endless arguments over trivial contradictions in books written by ignorant savages to explain thunder in the dark.
  64. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by ryanvm · · Score: 2

    Hybrid SUVs are already being produced. Ford sells a hybrid Escape that you can buy today. It gets about 35 mpg I believe.

    However, that's still wasteful considering that most people don't need an SUV and could get by with a Toyota Prius that gets upwards of 50 mpg.

    All a matter of perspective I guess.

  65. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by jafac · · Score: 2

    That's only half the equation.

    Average Joe Consumer, whether he wants an SUV or not, maybe he's got 3 kids. Maybe he likes taking long driving vacations once in a while. If he bought your typical Luxury Sedan that was big enough for the job, he'd either get one with a really crappy engine (think of the 80's Chevy Impala with that peice of crap 3.8l Buick engine - uck!) or, for the V-8 option (to pull his boat or camper trailer), he'd end up getting totally screwed by the extra tax imposed by CAFE. So the only option for the features he wants is an SUV.

    And because Car Insurance companies have us bent-over as well, Joe Average drives that SUV to work every day, because even if he could afford to then buy a little fuel-efficient commuter car for going to work, leaving the SUV sitting in the driveway, he's gotta pay insurace for BOTH vehicles. Even if the SUV is just sitting in the driveway 90% of the time, ONLY used for vacations.
    (If you ask me, any given person has only ONE ass, so he can't sit in two cars at the same time, and should pay for insurance as he drives).

    --

    These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
  66. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Cyno · · Score: 2

    Thus, the consumer is to blame.

    Another way to look at it is from the perspective of the consumer. You watch TV to learn what options you have for buying a car and everything in the media today tells you to buy gasolina. But Q: where does the energy in oil come from? A: the sun.

    The Sun bombarded the Earth with radiation many millions of years ago until plants and animals started growing and living. Then they all died, and we came alone and dug them up to burn 'em and drive around in our SUVs. Now think about this for a second. Oil is a limitted resource that takes hundreds of thousands of years to create, although we can now make synthetics. But being a limitted resource that makes it more valuable than the money we pay for it.

    Here's how it works. It costs us some time from our limitted short lives to make that money. Then we take that money and buy oil with it. That Oil took hundreds of thousands of years to make, far more time than we'll ever have the luxury to trading for money. It can never be replaced and we will eventually run out. One day don't you think our great great grand children are going to ask us what we were thinking when we decided to burn it up in smoke? We can use it today to make plastics and various other things, enough for everyone... think about it. There's enough oil today to make plastic keyboards and monitors and TVs for everyone. But there isn't enough oil to last more than 100 years with our SUVs, then its gone.

    So as it is right now we know that one day we need to switch from oil to some other form of energy. We know that oil is very valuable for its unique chemical properties. But we're unwilling to make the logical conclusion that we should fund the research to find alternatives and switch to them ASAP to preserve as much fossil fuels as may be required by the human race some time in the unforseeable future.

    But who knows maybe a big hunk of rock will come flying down out of the sky and kill us all tomorrow. But we're so egotistical we'd still probably look for someone else to blame. What frustrates me is this all seems like common sense. But its not like society was ever based on love.

  67. antenna efficiency by wmmwmmwmm · · Score: 1

    Part of the reason may be that a staement of 70+% rectenna efficiency is based on microwave frequencies at which the antenna portion of the rectenna can be made very efficient over the bandwidth of the incident microwave energy. For optical rectenna's in addition to the difficulty of making small scale antenna elements, there are the additional considerations that the solar spectrum is spread across a wide bandwidth, and that material properties will not provide the same results as metals are much less conductive at optical freqeunceis than at microwave frequencies.

  68. Production rates. by eadint · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Heres the skinney.
    i was involved with SMUD's greenergy programm.
    1) PV cels are the answer, i read this pattent and its physically impossible now or in the future.
    2) why are PV cells sooooo expenxive.
    a) demand ( there are not enought people buying PV cels to drive down the costs)
    b) production ( there arent enough production companies making them, ie no price wars)
    c) profitability ( threre isnt allot of money to be made in the PV industry)
    2) heres the solution.
    if you own a home
    a) contact your local power companie, ask if they have a green energy alternative. they will subsidise part of the cost involved with installing solar panels.
    b) take some equity out of your home and install solar panels, eventually they will pay back the loan and intrest. if fuel goes up it will make your hose verry attractive.
    c) by law if you pruduce more energy than you consume the power companie has to buy the excess energy from you. ie you will be getting a check from your power companie.
    d) if you are buying a home, see about having the instalation of solar panels added into the cost of your home. on the average it is about 20K to have an adequate solar system installed. subsidized its about 12K.
    if a large amont of people did this the price of solar panels would drop through the floor.

    the problem is its like intel making a new chip and only having about 100K people they can sell it to, a celeron would cost about half a million dolars.

  69. Secret Volcano Island. by broody · · Score: 1

    ...has anyone even tried to build one of these units to see if it can live up to the given promise...

    Yeah I built hundreds. They work almost as well as patent application says they do. It is the main power source for my secret volcano island. I keep the main solar plant next to the living head of Mr Ed #3(US1985000809949). I'm trying to find Wilbur's head (US4666425) too but I think it probably rotted away by now. That's okay though, after I finish populating my island with Unicorns (US4429685), me and my evil cabinet will be ready for plan Milli Vanilli.

    Remember folks, you can believe everything you see a patent for just like you can believe everything you read on the internet.

    --
    ~~ What's stopping you?
    1. Re:Secret Volcano Island. by Lord+Bitman · · Score: 2

      What the hell is the point of a secret volcano island if you dont use the heat from the volcano as your power source? I mean, that is the whole fucking point! Geothermal power is much more reliable, and it works at night.

      --
      -- 'The' Lord and Master Bitman On High, Master Of All
  70. Theoretical problems with optical rectennas by Phil+Karn · · Score: 5, Informative

    I see a serious theoretical difficulty here that may explain why the optical rectenna was never built.

    Sunlight at the earth's surface has a power flux density of about 1 kilowatt per square meter. To convert that to an electric field strength, we take the square root of the power flux density times the impedance of free space, 377 ohms. This gives 614 volts/meter.

    Yellow light has a wavelength of 570 nm. That means the electric potential over that distance is only about 350 microvolts. This is approximately the voltage you'd see at the terminals of a 50 ohm half wave dipole, and it's far below the voltage needed to switch a rectifier. Silicon rectifiers take about 600-700 millivolts of forward bias to begin conducting, even if one could be constructed to work efficiently at optical frequencies. Germanium takes about 300 mV, and silicon Schottky diodes take about the same.

    It is not possible to construct a diode that doesn't require a forward bias, otherwise we could rectify the noise from room-temperature resistors and convert ambient heat to useful work. This is specifically prohibited by the second law of thermodynamics.

    1. Re:Theoretical problems with optical rectennas by dtmos · · Score: 3, Interesting

      An equally fundamental problem, I think, is due to the skin effect.

      IIRC, the rate of attenuation of an electromagnetic wave in a conductor is

      sqrt(2/wus),

      where

      w = 2*pi*f = frequency of the wave, in radians
      u = permeability of the conductor, maybe 4*pi*10^(-7) Henry/m for copper
      s = conductivity of the conductor, maybe 6*10^7 mhos/m,

      meaning that 1/e or about 37% of the wave decays in this distance into the conductor.

      If my numbers are right, f = 5.2*10^14 Hz for yellow light, and the skin depth in copper for yellow light is then 2.8*10^(-9) m, or 2.8 nm.

      Since the wavelength is 570 nm but the skin depth is only 2.8 nm, it seems that a copper antenna would instead act more like a mirror, reflecting the radiated energy rather than absorbing it.

    2. Re:Theoretical problems with optical rectennas by derubergeek · · Score: 1
      Sunlight at the earth's surface has a power flux density of about 1 kilowatt per square meter.

      Seems like all you'd need is a flux capacitor.

      And maybe an anza brush.

      --
      Trust me. This is an inactive account. Regardless of what the /. bean counters might report.
    3. Re:Theoretical problems with optical rectennas by cyril3 · · Score: 1

      how much do you think BIG OIL paid to get that second law of thermodynamics passed?

    4. Re:Theoretical problems with optical rectennas by pfalstad · · Score: 1

      The wavelength is always much larger than the skin depth for any realistic case (at least for copper). The skin depth for copper at 100 khz is .066 mm, which is much less than the wavelength of 300 m, but I assure you that copper antennas can pick up 100 khz frequencies. The current flow on the surface of the antenna is enough to drive the receiver. If there were no receiver connected to the antenna, the antenna would reflect most of the radiation and dissipate the rest as heat.

      I'm not saying it's going to work, I'm just picking nits. Anyway part of the problem with this guy's patent is that the whole analysis probably is not correct for optical frequencies. So I'm not even sure the skin depth formula is valid here.

  71. OT: your sig by rkent · · Score: 1

    The original inspriation for your sig: T. S. Eliot said, "Bad poets imitate. Good poets steal."

    1. Re:OT: your sig by Elwood+P+Dowd · · Score: 2

      Two things:

      1) Maybe. Usually the quote is attributed to Pablo Picasso. It is possible that he stole the quote from T. S. Eliot.

      2) MY USERNAME IS ELWOOD P DOWD. I KNOW PERFECTLY WELL THAT I DID NOT INVENT THIS QUOTE. IT IS THUS A JOKE. I HAVE STOLEN THE QUOTE FROM PABLO PICASSO. I AM A GOOD ARTIST.

      Maybe if it were funnier you'd be more likely to get it. Sorry.

      --

      There are no trails. There are no trees out here.
    2. Re:OT: your sig by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I didn't get it either. I think we'd be more likely to get it if there weren't already a famous Elwood P. Dowd, who we naturally assume you're quoting (rather than quoting yourself).

    3. Re:OT: your sig by Elwood+P+Dowd · · Score: 2

      Others have gotten it, but that's a good point.

      --

      There are no trails. There are no trees out here.
  72. Rectenna Project by jeremie_z_ · · Score: 1

    this guy from Reunion made a draft about a production and dispatch of rectenna-powered electricity. nice images.

    anyone knows if this looks like real-serious stuff?

  73. bullshit by kberg108 · · Score: 0

    take a few physics courses on thermodynamics and you'll find out why it must be bullshit

    --
    I like things that are sweet and not things that are lame. --
  74. where are solar heated sterling engine generators? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What about a parabolic mirror focusing sunlight on the hot end of a sterling engine hooked to a conventional alternator? Anybody got any sort of numbers on that?

    Mirror technology is pretty efficient for photon capture and when you reflect a few square meters of photons onto a few square centimeters of metal (the hot end of the Sterling engine) you gotta be generating a boatload of heat. Sterling engines are close to theretical maximum thermal to mechanical conversion efficiency. And Alternator technology is pretty well developped over the past 100 years.

    I don't have the physics chops to run the numbers, but this seems like it would work pretty efficiently and electricity production would scale quite nicely.

  75. The real answer you don't want to hear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The global power elite depend on the energy industry in large part to perpetuate both their impending and imposed economies. The only alternative technologies that will ever be pursued are ones that rely on maintaining a producer/consumer dichotomy to the profit and ends of the controllers. You will *never* see efficient solar cells, flywheels or home windfarms unless a private individual pursues it (and manages to stay unmurdered). You will see hybrid engines, fuel cells and alternative manufactured fuels, as the current controllers shift their assets and focus to the production of electricity and soy (which has been happening since 1998).

    Any technology that enhances freedom most likely also decreases profits for somebody, and if that somebody is significantly monied, and not in a position to profit from the introduction of the technology, you can bet it will be suppressed. If it emerges anyway, it will be attacked and beaten down into a form where it can be capitalized upon.

    I'm sure some of you are involved with OSS because you see it as an effective counter to this tactic (which it may well be, time will tell - the next ten years will be interesting). Unfortunately, as material is not software, it is improbable that any such solution could be implemented in the real world, as the means of production for most complex devices are prohibitively expensive and therefore easily controlled.

    And for anyone about to say that Drexlerian assemblers will change everything, I have a question: whom do you think will invest the amount necessary to pursue the creation of the first? Those who control the resources to do so will never, and will actively seek to deny existence to any, because the creation of *one* would threaten - in the extreme - the control of those resources and the base of accumulated power. You may see some nifty aerosol products and smart clothes and new kinds of paint emerge from study in the nanotech interdiscipline, but believing the Drexlers and Kurzweils in the face of the world socio-political structure today is idealist optimism in the extreme. I ask you cattle to consider your history at the farm, and to understand that precedents have been set; the farmer may feed you and pet you and massage your teats from time, but he will never facilitate or permit your opening the pen door. Wake up!

  76. Solar cells aiming for full spectrum efficiency by nasdaq · · Score: 2, Informative

    NewScientist.com has a nice write up on a new type. "It should allow solar cells to jump in efficiency from today's best of 30 per cent to 50 per cent or higher."

  77. Antenna patent by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think that this refers to the patent issued to Alvin Marks. Marks proposed conducting a signal from such an optical antenna "along a length of wire" to a rectfying site. It just doesn't work this way - see my webpage at specifically the link "How This Idea Developed". Light interacts in wave antenna fashion immediately adjacent to quantum confined electron sites.
    Gerald C. Huth, Ph.D.
    Ojai,CA

    1. Re:Antenna patent by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The link is http://ghuth.com

  78. When patents go bad... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In Soviet Russia, solar cells patent -you-!

  79. full-spectrum layering will yield efficient cells. by Snorklefish · · Score: 1

    For optimal efficiency, you need materials that react to the different wavelengths of light. A newly discovered material does this and makes efficient solar cells a real possibility. See http://www.lbl.gov/msd/PIs/Walukiewicz/02/02_8_Ful l_Solar_Spectrum.html

    or read the press release http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2002-11/dbn l-aud111802.php

  80. Oil is solar power! by Lord+Ender · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Plants stored energy from the Sun, then died and were burried for a long time. That energy still came from the Sun. If we can just figure out a way to go from plants to oil more quickly, we can plant fields and basically they would be giant solar pannels.

    I think it is a good idea, anyway. The only energy that is not solar is geothermal and nuclear.

    --
    A slashdotter who didn't build his own computer is like a Jedi who didn't build his own lightsaber.
    1. Re:Oil is solar power! by Repran · · Score: 0
      I disagree:

      Nuclear energy comes from elements bread in stars and geothermal energy comes from the decay of radioactive material.

      In the end its all from the sun. If not from ours then from one that exploded long ago.

      --

      -- Contradictions only exist in thought - not in reality.

    2. Re:Oil is solar power! by otis+wildflower · · Score: 1

      In other words, biodiesel. Or ethanol.

      And geothermal may in some way be partly solar, given stresses on the earth due to the sun's gravitational effects?

    3. Re:Oil is solar power! by wayne606 · · Score: 1

      I heard a radio interview with a petroleum engineer a while back who was claiming that in fact oil didn't come from biological matter, but rather from geological processes. Obviously this is not the mainstream view... Does anybody know if there's any credibility to this idea?

    4. Re:Oil is solar power! by cyril3 · · Score: 1
      my understanding of the current debate is that there may be some non-dead plant generation of oil but it can't explain all the oil so most are sticking with the dead plant theory as the general rule.

      its all moot anyway because its the greenhouse gases given off by burning hydrocarbons that cause the problems not the fact that its oil per se.

    5. Re:Oil is solar power! by zeitoun · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If we can just figure out a way to go from plants to oil more quickly, we can plant fields and basically they would be giant solar pannels.

      Can you tell me what we eat after all the agricultural landfield has been been turned into "giant solar pannels" to satisfy our energy needs ?

    6. Re:Oil is solar power! by vandenh · · Score: 0

      We are all made of stars dude!!!

      Seriously.... our local energy company has started to buy back electricity. So you don't need batteries any more to store your solar captured energy. You can just buy some solar pannels and sell back the energy they generate to decrease your energy bill. No use for batteries. I think this is an excellent idea!

    7. Re:Oil is solar power! by SloppyElvis · · Score: 2
      Interesting, just the other day I had a similar idea. However, we don't need plants, they take too long to grow, and they require too much space.

      What we need to do is make use of photosynthetic microbes. The potential for energy production using microbes has many upsides.
      1. Reproduce very quickly.
      2. Can be engineered to produce usable/valuable biproducts (ie. methane, alcohol, etc.), and to tolerate a wide range of environmental conditions.
      3. Highly efficient use of light energy.
      4. Aging populations could be harvested into biomass. AFAIK, no processes exist currently to transform biomass into petrochemicals, but such a process seems plausible (possibly by the aid of other microbes?).

      Of course, it may be some years until biotechnology and bioengineering mature to make such a vision practical and cost-effective, but it is an interesting ponder, IMHO.
  81. An Unexpected Discovery by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    according to this report, full specturm might be possible soon
    http://www.spacedaily.com/news/solarcell-02m.html

  82. Just where... by maynard · · Score: 1

    do you think oil got its energy from? We're burning comnpressed plant and animal matter, all of which stored energy from the sun before being crushed into oil. Solar -> hydrogen just normalizes our energy demand with currently available resources, since in the status quo we're burning fuels stored over millions of years. --M

    1. Re:Just where... by Directrix1 · · Score: 1

      OK, first of all your just being a dumbass about this. If you want to be that anal about things, well the sun got its energy from a large cloud of hydrogen, which got its energy from the formation of matter after the big bang which got its energy from god or something we don't know. The point is: the hydrogen is a energy storage mechanism and any form of battery could just as easily take its place, the source of energy he is talking about is the sun.

      --
      Occam's razor is the blind faith in the natural selection of least resistance and in universal oversimplification. -- EF
  83. Good thing Clinton was so worldly and smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    He solved the problems in the world really well.

    He got the North Koreans to give up their nuclear program, he got Saddam Hussein to stop starving his people and lining his pockets with proceeds from smuggled oil, he stopped Osama bin Laden from building a world-wide terror network, and he even got those worst of enemies - the Israelis and the Palestinians - to agree to a final, lasting peace.

    1. Re:Good thing Clinton was so worldly and smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When G.W. solves all those problems, come back and tell us how much better of a President he is. So far he's batting .000 as well.

  84. Re:Why we have to have 80%+/- by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What? Last year you all were complaining about global cooling. Make up your minds, this is a planet, not a McDLT.

  85. OK, which forests do we cut to make solar farms? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    The same folks crying for wind or solar power are the loudest complainers about man "ruining the environment".

    I don't know about you, but I don't thing I could imagine much uglier than thousands of square miles of solar panels blotting out the light and totally destroying the ecosystem that existed underneath.

  86. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by rawshark · · Score: 1

    And because Car Insurance companies have us bent-over as well, Joe Average drives that SUV to work every day, because even if he could afford to then buy a little fuel-efficient commuter car for going to work, leaving the SUV sitting in the driveway, he's gotta pay insurace for BOTH vehicles. Even if the SUV is just sitting in the driveway 90% of the time, ONLY used for vacations.
    (If you ask me, any given person has only ONE ass, so he can't sit in two cars at the same time, and should pay for insurance as he drive).


    Your Mileage May Vary. I know somebody who owned a Mustang and delibrately bought a POS car he never drove. He claimed that this decreased his insurance payments since the insurance company assumed, as you so eloquently put it, he only had one ass and can only sit in one car at a time, so they took the average of the two cars.

    He was single. It may be that the insurance industry assumes that a family with two cars can use both of them at the same time (one for Him to go to work, one for Her to go to work)
  87. The key to adoption is distributed power by aquarian · · Score: 2

    The problem with today's power grid is that it's so heavily centralized -- from the beginning, power plants have become relatively larger and larger, with relatively fewer of them. The key to widespread adoption of alternatives like solar energy is not for existing power companies to build huge solar installations, which is all that will work with the existing grid. It's for power companies to be able to buy back power produced by their customers' solar panels, microturbines, fuel cells, or whatever -- distributed power generation. The problem is that they don't have the infrastructure to be able to do that -- ie, switching and metering equipment -- nor are they interested in changing the status quo. Wired magazine had a good article on this awhile back.

    1. Re:The key to adoption is distributed power by Orne · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Reading that Wired article, I feel like the brain cells were dying under the weight of mis-information (not to mention opinion being reported as fact) contained in that article.

      The United States & Canadian power grids (of which there are 3 AC systems running in parallel) is currently controlled by a number of Regional Transmission Companies, also working in parallel, and I happen to work for one of them. Fortunately, California & everything west of the rockies are AC-isolated from our Eastern Interconnection, so we east coast fellows (who happen to be running things correctly, not to mention profitably) won't have to suffer if they crash out.

      But to your comments, you might want to take a look at recent distributed generation projects, like what's being built in APS territory. Secondly, anyone in the deregulated markets can form an electric co-operative, and buy/sell power to the bulk market. The rules are already in place. (aren't you curious why so many states are fighting deregulation?) The only problem is telemetry... the more distributed you get, the harder (and more costly) it is to collect the individual meters. PP&L is experimenting with automated meter reading using the telephone network, so there is progress in distributed data collection...

      The next phase is demand-side response, which is the ability for the customers to adjust their load, and get paid locational pricing for decreasing their consumption. The key here is, you can't play in the spot market only when it's profitable, you have to play 100% of the year. Show me the public utility commission who's willing to risk raw pricing for its citizens...

      As for the article, almost every example given was the Midwest-ISO & California-ISO version of how things are done, and frankly, they are in 2nd & last for a reason. And you're correct, the infrastructure does not exist for us to monitor everyone's generation in real-time. But then again, that's what state estimators are for.

      p.s. EPRI doesn't exactly have the best reputation, which makes me wonder what agenda Wired had in chatting with them

  88. The real problem with solar cells... by aquarian · · Score: 3, Funny

    ...is that they only work when we don't need to turn the lights on anyway.

    1. Re:The real problem with solar cells... by Eivind · · Score: 2

      Actually in many parts of the world and the USA the peak energy-usage is on warm days when everyone runst their air-conditionining on full, exactly the kinds od days where the solar-cells would be most effective.

  89. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Cinematique · · Score: 2

    Maybe things are different for you in your area, but I live in central Ohio, where most "soccer moms" drive minivans and sedans. Sure, there are those few who drive Excursions and the like, but they are definitely in the minority.

    Personally... I need to have 4x4 in the winter. Without 4WD, I'd be stuck at home for days (weeks) after a snow storm. Anyone who lives on a hill knows what I'm talking about.

    But we need to outlaw SUVs, you say. That means I can't have a vehicle that works in the winter simply because you think that by banning all sport-utes, America's energy problems will be (minimally) allieveated.

    Brilliant!

  90. Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For those rectennas, can you make a diode that works at 300 GHz? make it at nano-scale? in the millions per square cm? If so, please do.

  91. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by mesocyclone · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Now... if over the last fifteen years the government had spent that same half a trillion dollars on electric, fuel cell, and hybrid vehicle research, don't you think we'd already have big powerful SUVs that don't depend on oil? We'd have a cleaner country, consumers just as happy, and fewer foreign policy messes. What if we'd been doing that since 1920? Shouldn't we start now so we're not asking the same question again in 2040?

    No, actually I don't think we would have that. This is a classical mistake - equating rate of spending money with the rate of resulting technological progress. One could argue, with exactly the same logic that you are using, that if we had invested all that money in medical research, we would all live forever. Or, we could argue that if we invested it all in telekinesis, we could all transport ourselves with no energy at all!

    In other words, your argument makes a very dangerous assumption: more money can solve physical problems in a given period of time, regardless of whether they are ever solvable, or if they are solvable without the appearance of another Einstein.

    Actually, governments and lots of private industry interests have spent huge amounts of money on alternative transportation energy systems. The reason is the potential enormous profits.

    For exmaple, if a company could come up with a viable battery technology for electric cars, the other advantages of electric cars (very low cost and very low maintenance, outside of the battery; very good performance; mechanical simplicity) would cause them to fly out of the show-rooms! Everyone would wnat one, and everyone would buy one, and the car makers would immediatebly build a zillion of them.

    With those sorts of profits at stake, the issue isn't the lack of investment, it's the difficulty of the technology!

    --

    The only good weather is bad weather.

  92. how about sewage to energy? by BloodSprite · · Score: 1

    whould that work?

    --
    Lifes a game play to win!
    1. Re:how about sewage to energy? by Fnkmaster · · Score: 3, Informative
      There are folks doing stuff sorta like that. Direct biomass combustion, and biomass cofiring in coal power plants, some of which involves using waste materials that would otherwise go to landfill. But I don't know if anyone is doing it with raw sewage.


      Separating out the useful components of sewage (perhaps waste cellulose in human fecal matter... ewwww) to produce energy probably would undoubtedly use a lot more energy than you could extract from it. Though I think there are anaerobic digestion systems in use in some sewage plants to extract methane and burn it in a turbine, pumping the generated electricity back into the grid.

    2. Re:how about sewage to energy? by hyperturbopete · · Score: 2, Informative

      Separating out the useful components of sewage (perhaps waste cellulose in human fecal matter... ewwww) to produce energy probably would undoubtedly use a lot more energy than you could extract from it.

      Not Necessarily. You dilute the poop in water, and grow algae in it. The algae perform photosynthesis and produce sugars. Additional bacteria do a little organic chem to process the output of the algae into a form that automobiles can eat. Actually, you hardly need any poop at all, most of the algae's biomass comes from atmospheric CO2.

      All that's required is lots of surface area to catch sunlight for the photosynthesis, so essentially, this is mother nature's form of solar energy :-)

    3. Re:how about sewage to energy? by Fnkmaster · · Score: 2
      To get useful grow rates out of lipid producing bacteria, you need to pipe CO_2 into the water, you need LOTS of surface area (and thus concrete etc. to build the pools), and so forth.


      And you don't use much sewage that way anyway. Yes, sewage can possibly serve as part of the nutrient mix for the algae growth medium. Like I said though, the use of sewage doesn't fundamentally change the economics of biodiesel-from-algae, and I've about 15-20 papers on the growth rates, lipid fraction measurements, and cost analyses. When you factor in the land costs, it's not cheap (primarily because you can efficiently use at most 2-3 inch deep ponds), even if you try to use "natural bottom ponds" and avoid cement laying costs.

    4. Re:how about sewage to energy? by sowellfan · · Score: 1

      What about using some sort of water absorbent media that is hung up in vertical sheets, exposed to sunlight? Couldn't the algae grow in that configuration? I know the water would move down the sheet with gravity, but you could pump back up to the top, and it seems to me that the algae would mostly stay stuck to the spot where it is growing.

    5. Re:how about sewage to energy? by i+chose+quality · · Score: 1
      Though I think there are anaerobic digestion systems in use in some sewage plants to extract methane and burn it in a turbine, pumping the generated electricity back into the grid.
      indeed, there is. there are many plants that produce this 'foul gas' (or 'bio gas') and burn it. it has a heat value (right word?) of 20 MJ/m^3.

      they use the heat emmissions directly to heat the plant and also work on their own electricity generated in gas turbines. the overhead goes back into the grid.

      the system relies on a relatively high average temperature throughout the year. this qualifies it for an application in most third world countries.

      --
      think about it
      --
      the computer is online
      i am not at it
      what a waste of ressources
    6. Re:how about sewage to energy? by dacarr · · Score: 2

      My wife seems to think that this is an utterly shitty idea.

      --
      This sig no verb.
  93. Thin Film Cells/Home Kits by c0mpil3r · · Score: 1

    A bit off topic, but...

    New thin film solar PV panels are in production. Thin film cells are not very efficient, but can be produced cheaply -- giving the enduser the most watts/dollar. Learn more here:

    http://www.pacificsolar.com.au

    "Traditional" PV kits are also available. Many US states offer good incentives or rebates on home PV installations, and grid intertie kits allow users to sell surplus watts back to their utility company. Learn more here:

    https://www.altenergystore.com/cart/kits2go.html#i ntertie

    Any Slashdotters "hot rodded" kits like these?

    Cheers, c0mpil3r

    1. Re:Thin Film Cells/Home Kits by llordreefa · · Score: 0

      You don't "hot rod" RE systems. You'll blow your breakers or melt your wires. RE systems are totally modular and expandable, though. Like tinker toys or legos.

  94. It's a transverse wave by NanoProf · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Hmmm. The electric field of EM radiation is transverse (perpendicular) to the direction of propagation (i.e. wavelength) so the potential difference doesn't build up in that direction.

    The problem here is likely timescales: light has a VERY high frequency (10^17 Hertz roughly, if I did my math right). At that frequency one doesn't push the electrons back and forth like a kinetic particle in the usual diode treatments so much as one excites interband transtions, which is how a regular solar cell works.

    --
    Curtains for windows?
    1. Re:It's a transverse wave by Phil+Karn · · Score: 3, Interesting

      This doesn't make sense. The E field of an EM wave is perpendicular to its direction of propagation, so if you have a properly tuned and aligned conductor that E field will impose a voltage across it. That's a simplified view of how any antenna works, and there's no reason to believe it shouldn't work at optical frequencies (except perhaps for the skin effect mentioned by another poster.)

      Photovoltaic cells work on a very different principle. Because there's a significant amount of energy in each photon, enough to dislodge an electron from silicon's valence band into the conduction band (about 1eV), current can be generated.

      If the photon lacks enough energy (has too long a wavelength), nothing happens except that the silicon heats up. If the photon is too energetic, it will still dislodge the electron but it won't impart all of its energy; the rest will again be wasted. These two effects account for much of the poor efficiency of PV cells on sunlight, which has substantial energy across the visible spectrum and into the near infrared.

    2. Re:It's a transverse wave by NanoProf · · Score: 2

      Yes there is a voltage. My point was that you can't get the voltage by multiplying the E field by the wavelength, because the E field is perpendicular to the wavevector. V ~ int E dot dr. E dot dr is zero if you direct dr along the wavevector.

      Thinking in terms of classical mechanics, how far does an electron travel in one half-cycle of an optic wave? Even if the electron is accelerated ballistically (without scattering), in a typical sunlight field strength it goes some very very tiny distance in that time- not even an atom's worth. At that frequency and field strength, it's interband transitions (or plasmon excitations in the appropriate geometry, but that's anoher story).

      --
      Curtains for windows?
    3. Re:It's a transverse wave by pfalstad · · Score: 1

      I think he's multiplying the field strength by the wavelength because the length of the antenna must be on the order of a wavelength. The length of the antenna times the field strength equals the voltage across the antenna. (?)

      Anyway, I agree that we can't expect this to work like an ordinary macroscopic antenna, because light has such a high frequency. For example, copper is a conductor at low frequencies and so we would expect it to reflect all EM radiation. But, it is not as good of a conductor at certain ranges of optical frequencies, which is why copper looks copper-colored. Light is powerful enough to knock individual electrons into higher states, so using simple low-frequency models of conductors probably will not work in this case.

  95. Re:OK, which forests do we cut to make solar farms by Orne · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Having one centralized solar farm would almost guarantee the project's failure. Because..

    1) One geographic source means that one heavy cloud day would eliminate all production.

    2) Once the electricity is produced, you have to send it over transmission lines to the load (customers). Too much energy over one set of lines will melt it.

    3) Build more transmission lines, and your local communities will complain about all the electric lines in the area, driving down the local value.

    4) Natural disaster. One hurricane, tornado, hail or earthquake, and you've broken all of the glass in the whole plant.

    So, the key to PV is decentralization. This means many many installations spread over hundreds (to thousands) of miles) at about 1 station per square mile. Each one would need its own DC to AC converter (to put energy on the grid), not to mention voltage regulators, plus telemetry so you can get the reading from the devices, all of which drives up the costs.

  96. Sandia's working on it... by AkkarAnadyr · · Score: 1
    .. they got photonic crystals to work, last summer, converting IR to visible light, with implications for IR to electricity.

    --

    I bought this house and you know I'm boss
    Ain't no h'aint gonna run me off

  97. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Asia and Europe are free to fund these technologies.

    Oh wait, you are in fantasy land where the US has to invent everything.

  98. Re:Research Try the global warming scare by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Isn't that the real reason behind the global warming scare is that environmentalists were having trouble convincing people and corporations to stop polluting so they had to come up with something absolutely horrendous.

  99. List of flexible fuel vehicles by shed · · Score: 1

    From: http://www.iowacorn.org/ffvs.htm
    The following auto manufacturers are currently producing vehicles that can be operated on E-85 fuels:

    Ford Motor Company
    2002 Models:
    Selected 4.0L Explorer (4-door)
    Selected 4.0L Explorer Sport (2-door)
    Selected 4.0L Explorer Sport Trac
    Selected 3.0L Taurus sedans and wagons
    All 3.0L 4X2 extended cab Ranger pickups

    2001 Models:
    All 3.0L 4X2 extended cab Ranger pickups
    Selected 3.0L Taurus LX, SE, and SES sedans

    1999 and 2000 Models:
    All 3.0L Ranger pickups 4WD and 2WD
    Selected 3.0L Taurus LX, SE, and SES sedans

    1995-1998 Models:
    Selected Taurus 3.0L sedans

    General Motors

    2003 Models:
    All 5.3L Vortec-engine Avalanches

    2002 Models:
    All 5.3L Vortec-engine Suburban, Tahoe, Yukon and Yukon XLs
    Selected 5.3L Vortec-engine Sierra and Silverado pickups

    2000 and 2001 Models:
    All 2.2L Chevrolet S-10 pickup 2WD
    All 2.2L Sonoma GMC pickup 2WD

    Daimler Chrysler
    2000, 2001 and 2002 Models:

    All 3.3L Chrysler Voyager minivans
    All 3.3L Dodge Caravan minivans
    All 3.3L Chrysler Town & Country minivans

    1998 and 1999 Models:
    All 3.3L Dodge Caravan minivans
    All 3.3L Plymouth Voyager minivans
    All 3.3L Chrysler Town & Country minivans

    Isuzu
    All 2000-2001 Isuzu 2.2L Hombre pickups (after Dec. 1999)

    Mazda
    Selected 1999 and 2000 Mazda 3.0L B3000 pickups

    Mercury
    2002 Models:
    Selected 4.0L Mountaineers

    2001 Models:
    Selected 3.0L Sables

    --
    My cat can eat a whole watermelon
  100. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Another dumbass.
    Oil has not been a major part of Texas's economy since the 80's.
    Utopia morons like yourself haven't a clue what it means to live in the real world.
    Good ideas are one thing, but developing and marketing a product that will have anywhere near the efficiency of oil is WAY beyond your comprehension.

  101. Photon energy by ggwood · · Score: 1

    Here is the point which you probably don't care about. The equation can be written:
    E=hv (where v is the greek letter nu)
    or
    E=h_bar w (where w is omega, and h_bar is h-bar an h with a cross on it, like you would cross a t).

    v is the frequency, in Hertz, which is cycles per second. w is the angular frequency, in radians per second. Since there are 2 pi radians in a circle, you multiply v by 2 pi to get w. (E.g. you will go through more radians per second than you will cycles).

    Anything measured in Hertz (Hz) should be a frequency (v), not an angular frequency (w). Sadly, this is not always the case. This is kind of an infamous problem in physics. The conversation goes something like this:
    Person 1) Hey look my data looks just like yours, but there is some offset.
    Person 2) Oh ya? Is it a factor of 10?
    Person 1) Nope but about 2/3 of that...
    Person 2) Oh you aren't using an HP 228a are you?
    Person 1) Um, ya sure am.
    Person 2) Oh well then w is really v.
    Person 1) Doh.
    Best to check if you need to know the answer to within a factor of 6.3 or so.

    Cheers,

    Greg Wood

    --
    a war on terrorism? How can we end a war on a method?
  102. Here's why they won't work by roadrash608 · · Score: 1

    Let's say you illuminate this device with a green laser, of wavelength lambda 500nm. Knowing the speed of light we can convert wavelength of the electromagnetic wave to frequency: F = c/lambda For this wavelength light this frequency is about 600THz. This means that our 'rectifier' must switch on and off in femtoseconds. This is just plain impossible today, by a factor of like 1,000...the fastest semiconductors are up there in the 100's of GHz. There are additional practical problems: 1. real sunlight is incoherent; the 'voltage' waveform to rectify will not be a sinusoid but just 500THz-ish noise. This would reduce the effectiveness of the resonance of the antenna 2. real rectifiers need *some* forward voltage to work. Assuming semiconductor rectifiers, it'd probably be real hard to generate potential of a fraction of a volt across such a tiny distance, without extraordinarily intense light. So basically this patent is a crock of BS. Though it would make a good EE PhD quals or interview question to explain why...

    1. Re:Here's why they won't work by Queuetue · · Score: 1

      ...without extraordinarily intense light...

      Like that which comes from the sun?

    2. Re:Here's why they won't work by roadrash608 · · Score: 1

      By 'extraordinarily intense' i mean 'would likely vaporize human tissue, fast', like an industrial laser capable of cutting through stuff. Ambient sunlight really doesn't cut it. Maybe really, really, highly-focused sunlight, but I doubt this would work either. In short--had the patent not expired already--I wouldn't give this guy $1...

  103. Re:Where are the ... MILLIONS and MILLIONS of by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Batteries. Millions and Millions of tires. Millions and Millions of miles of asphalt roads. Less air pollution? I doubt it.

  104. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Jennifer+E.+Elaan · · Score: 2
    That would require a fundamental improvement in battery technology. Lithium-Ion is very close to the theoretical peak for chemical storage cells, and even then, Li-Ion doesn't charge that quickly.

    Most electrics use either Lead-Acid (really cheap), NiCd (cheap) or NiMH (good efficiency and cheap). Lithium is just too expensive, although it does have the potential of pushing electrics over that fine line that is performance.

    Fuel cells (especially methanol-fueled ones) probably have the most potential for clean, high-performance, convenient cars at the moment. Compressed hydrogen is obvious, but poses an explosion hazard during a collision.

    Now, for real science-fiction fare, there is talk about using stabilized metallic hydrogen (now that metallic hydrogen has been verified to exist) as a fuel source...

  105. Re:Where are the ..hoopdy? A dumbass and a rascist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What in the hell is a hoopdy?

  106. Polarized filters. by hackwrench · · Score: 1

    If that description was correct then the amount passed should remain constant, but take two polarized filters and rotate them, you get a gradual change from dark to light. My guess, neither is correct, however, polar-solar may be describing a different phenomenon than polarization.

    1. Re:Polarized filters. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wrong.

      The reason you get a gradual transition is that the two filters are measuring complemtary (sp, sorry--it's late) components.

      That is: Polarization is a vector quantity. You can measure the polarization along any axis. If you then measure the same quantity again, you will get the same value. If you measure polarization at a right angle and then measure on the origional axis again you get a random value.

      So if you take three filters, aranged so:

      c1, c2, c3 == right angles along which we measure polarity.
      p0, p1, p2 == polarized filters.
      + == pass positive orientation
      - == pass negative orientation

      c1,c2,c3
      p0 = [ +, X, X]
      p1 = [ X, +, X] or [ X, X, -], etc.
      p2 = [ -, X, X]

      In the diagram, filter p0 passes light that is '+' in c1, p2 passes light that is '-' in c1 and p1 measures polarity along an axis as right angles to the measurement done by p0 and p2.

      If you look through the filter combination [p0 p2] you get darkness. Insert filter p1 and you get light.

      A very simple QED experiment you can do at home.

  107. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Sayjack · · Score: 2

    With the kids in the extra back seat the the way-way back of my Durango, you can barely hear them yelling at each other to "stop it" and calling each other names. With the radio turned up just a tad it's even better. That's a real advantage for parents looking to retain their sanity.

    Another reason that SUV's sell is that you have the hauling power of a station wagon without having to drive one.

    --

    -- Good judgement comes with experience. -- Experience comes with bad judgement.

  108. Re:Where are the.. Goodbye trucking industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Try pulling 80,000 pounds over the rockies with battery power. Nothing like a utopia. Unfortunately until somebody comes up with a REAL world fuel that will replace oil we are stuck using oil.

  109. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by John+Harrison · · Score: 2

    And yet another reason that they are popular is for saftey. You are much more likely to kill the other guy when driving an SUV, as opposed to an economy car, in which you are more likely to die. Unless of course you have a Durango which has terrible crash test results. Or if you happen to roll your SUV since it is designed for low speed off-road driving rather than the freeway. But there certainly is a perception of safety. I certainly enjoy the high vantage point. It makes me feel safer at least.

  110. Re:The real answer you... Free energy tends to by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    bring every nutcase out of the woodwork. Welcome to the club.

  111. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by GnrcMan · · Score: 2

    This argument always irks me. For one, it's obviously rather self centered. Fine, whatever. But the bigger issue is this: What happens when *everyone* is driving SUV's? Well, buy an even bigger SUV! Scary!.

  112. I started to build one... by dgulbran · · Score: 1

    has anyone even tried to build one of these units to see if it can live up to the given promise, or at least prove to be a technology than we should be exploring?

    Well, I started, and then I got a grant from Shell, BP/Amoco, and Exxon to help GM, Ford and Chrysler build an SUV that got 3 miles to the gallon for safety... too much gas on board could lead to fires.

    --
    The world won't end in darkness, it'll end in family fun, with Coca-cola clouds behind a Big Mac sun.
    1. Re:I started to build one... by Lord+Bitman · · Score: 1, Troll

      3 miles to the gallon would mean larger gas tanks, not smaller. Bitch.

      --
      -- 'The' Lord and Master Bitman On High, Master Of All
    2. Re:I started to build one... by dgulbran · · Score: 1

      That's why I keep making them drain faster, monkey boy.

      --
      The world won't end in darkness, it'll end in family fun, with Coca-cola clouds behind a Big Mac sun.
  113. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I call this the arms race.

  114. Lumeloid project by Paddyish · · Score: 1
    I know Dr. Alvin Marks, and his brother Mortimer personally. Be assured that this patent, and the theory behind it are sound. Everything was verified by Argonne National Laboratory a number of years ago, when the patent was first filed.



    Things have not been moving along quickly because the project is underfunded and understaffed, and sorely in need of decent facilities. Dr. Marks is constantly looking for ways to rectify this - but up to this point, things have not gone well.



    Little known facts: Alvin and Mortimer created one of the first polarizing companies - a strong competetor to Polaroid. Mortimer is currently working in 3D movie technology.

  115. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by John+Harrison · · Score: 2

    I tried to make the fact that it is self centered (and flawed) obvious. I guess I did a poor job of that.

  116. Re:Where are .. exactly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If there really were a better way to go the japanese would have come up with it. Korea would have come up with it. Singapore? Germany? These countries are absolutely desperate to bring new cheap forms of power, so much so that the supposed 'power producing elite' would not be able to stop the progress of new ideas.

  117. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by GnrcMan · · Score: 1

    Ah, my appologies. I'm just very afraid that most of America thinks that way.

  118. Agreement / Disagreement by maynard · · Score: 1
    1. 'my being a dumbass' - disagree. Dumbass.
    2. Sun got its energy from a large cloud of hydrogen; formation of matter; blah blah blah - Agree. So what? The sun generates energy through a fusion reaction which is not related to our current energy crisis and dependency on oil. Bringing up the creation of our sun doesn't in any way shed light on the formation of oil, why our oil supply is finite, or how it relates to the collection of ambient solar energy as an alternative supply source.
    3. Hydrogen is an energy storage mechanism - Agreed. For our use we would be converting energy from electricity to hydrogen through electrolysis or some (hopefully) more efficient mechanism.
    My primary point is that we're currently using stored solar in the form of squished plants and dinosaurs. We're running out of that stored sunlight buried in the ground in the form of petrofuels stuff, and had better find a way to collect and store this energy on our own. Whether it's solar, geothermal, hydro, wind, or nuclear we'd better get off our asses soon, or we're fucked as a civilization.

    JMO,
    --Maynard
    1. Re:Agreement / Disagreement by CoolVibe · · Score: 1
      Whether it's solar, geothermal, hydro, wind, or nuclear we'd better get off our asses soon, or we're fucked as a civilization.

      Well, we as a civilisation would then have to fuck in the dark. Buissness as usual ;)

  119. here's a guess by GePS · · Score: 1

    You know those lines on solar panels? It could be that a single-layer solar lense loses energy from converting wavelengths orthogonal to those lines in to energy.

    It could be that this new technology is doubly layered, letting through all the wavelengths orthogonal to the top layer down to the bottom layer; each layer turning in to energy the wavelength orientation that's most efficient.

  120. Wind + Solar by WalMillard · · Score: 1

    DownUnder we are looking at a diffrent technology wind and solar,
    if it ever gets built... Read about it here

  121. I know why people haven't seen 70% efficiency by jacob_leo · · Score: 1

    For general information to all interested: I am part of an independent research team that has been working in collaboration with Dr. Alvin Marks for the past 3 years to develop Lumeloid Technology. The primary reason for slow commercialization has been negligible amounts of funding. New efforts are in the works with grants being submitted to the Maine Technology Institute for a sustained full time effort in the state of Maine. Luckily the material inputs for this technology are extremely low cost, otherwise we would not have been able to sustain efforts to date. As I stated earlier, funding is the major obstacle to progress. Investors are fickle, for example, a major deal with TYCO industries was lost when company officials saw their stock prices falling and decided clean coal technology would be more profitable in the near term. We are going to make this technology a success; regardless of the funding situation you will see this technology within 5 years, adequate funding will only speed up progress. Our conservative goal is to reach wholesale prices of $1 per watt. Any individuals interested in assisting with finances are welcome. Proof of concept has been established, and technical obstacles identified. We are in the progress of raising a minimum of $1.5M for new research facilities, supplies, equipment, tooling, and salary to sustain a 3 year full time effort to move Lumeloid and related technologies into the marketplace. Even secured funding in amounts nearing $250,000 would catapult this endeavor forward towards commercialization. Our team's mission is to make Lumeloid a reality, enabling society, the environment, and the economy to benefit from low cost, efficient, ecologically correct photovoltaic technology. For additional information, I can be reached through email at jacob.pelletier@umit.maine.edu p.s. Many individuals referred to the rectenna patents. These are outdated and their shortcomings known. The new material by the trade name of Lumeloid is a plastic thin film utilizing nano-antenna structures.

  122. Ethanol is not good by corvi42 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Ethanol is a bit of a sham solution. It seems fine at first glance, but when you look under the cover, it in fact requires much more energy per gallon to produce than many other energy sources. The majority of ethanol fuel is derived from corn, and the quantity of energy expended in the tilling & harvesting, etc. of that corn exceeds by far the energy expended producing most other fuels. Usually this expenditure is in the form of burning other fossil fuels in tractors & combines.

    The motivations for the promotion of ethanol seems to be to provide a subsidy to corn farmers under the guise of an alternative fuel source so as to not encurr the wrath of international trade organizations like the WTO.

    --

    There are a thousand forms of subversion, but few can equal the convenience and immediacy of a cream pie -Noel Godin
    1. Re:Ethanol is not good by Fnkmaster · · Score: 4, Informative
      Your point about the production of ethanol from corn feedstock via traditional fermentation methods is true. Primarily because it's expensive and costly in terms of energy input to get the glucose and other sugars because you have to grow and harvest a crop that takes quite a bit of energy to produce.


      What my post talks about if you read it, is what is generally referred to as "bioethanol". Of course, ethanol from corn sugars is biological in origin, but what most people call bioethanol is ethanol produced from biomass or lignocellulosic feedstock.


      That means _waste_ cellulose. Such as corn fibers, not the corn iteself, or pulp/wood chip byproducts from the milling/cardboard industries, and "waste" crops such as bagasse in Louisiana that grow in swamp land (i.e. land not arable for production of more valuable crops and that grow with very little external water and energy input and thus are very low in terms of actual feedstock cost including any energy input).


      The cellulosic chains are broken down and the constituent glucose and xylose sugar molecules are fermented - there are several processes such as SSF (Simultaneous Saccharification and Fermentation), steam-cracking weak acid hydrolysis, and recirculating strong acid hydrolysis, which are all more-or-less viable for this process.


      I shall not defend the corn ethanol industry - you are correct in saying that they exist because of federal subsidies. I am promoting a process for taking otherwise "valueless" biomass that would end up in land fills or lie unused elsewhere that can be obtained at relatively low cost and converted into a relatively high value energy product.

    2. Re:Ethanol is not good by White_Lightning · · Score: 3, Insightful
      That means _waste_ cellulose. Such as corn fibers, not the corn iteself, or it could be used as "green" fertilizer, and reduce the farmers dependence on chemical fertilizers.

      or pulp/wood chip byproducts from the milling/cardboard industries, If you have any furniture that was "put it together yourself", It's probably a pulpwood product. Does it have a laminated surface? Then it's definately a pulpwood product. The fiberboard (cardboard) industry? The first thing they do is turn their source material into cellulose. Then they make paper out of it. Then they make cardboard. Or did you really think cardboard was made from playing cards?

      and "waste" crops such as bagasse in Louisiana that grow in swamp land (i.e. land not arable for production of more valuable crops and that grow with very little external water and energy input and thus are very low in terms of actual feedstock cost including any energy input).

      Do you know what you're talking about here? Swamps are the most biodiverse regions in the world. Does that make them not valuable? Or are you just an MBA? Almost all domesticated crops require a huge amount of water to grow properly. That is why so many farmers irrigate their fields. They don't have enough water for their crops to grow! In the first three feet of soil, at least. And that is where soil moisture is important for commercial crops!

      My aunt's farm has a "swamp" on it. It supports deer, bear, raccons, squirrels, crawfish, several species of edible fish, snails and a shitload of migratory birds. As well as mice, rabbits, hawks and eagles. The stream feeding into her "swampland" supports turkeys.

      And you're saying that just because a two thousand pound tractor (and attachments) gets stuck, her "swampland" is not valuable?

      You must be an MBA.

    3. Re:Ethanol is not good by mpe · · Score: 2

      That means _waste_ cellulose. Such as corn fibers, not the corn iteself, or pulp/wood chip byproducts from the milling/cardboard industries, and "waste" crops such as bagasse in Louisiana that grow in swamp land.

      Even domestic garbage would do the trick, as long as you can effectivly remove plastics and metals.
      One problem with methanol/ethanol is that you need to use energy for distilation to produce a usable fuel.

    4. Re:Ethanol is not good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Finally a use for all the EU food surplusses?

    5. Re:Ethanol is not good by Fnkmaster · · Score: 2
      A basic introduction on the environmental impact of biomass-to-ethanol:
      http://www.afdc.doe.gov/pdfs/ 4847.pdf


      What you failed to understand is that what I was talking about were _WASTE_ byproducts. That's right, those mills AND furniture manufacturer AND sugar makers AND other industries have waste cellulose that they don't use because it's of insufficient quality for use in paper etc. From mills it's bark, woodchips, and sawdust, from construction and demolition it's waste wood, from EVERYWHERE it's yard trimmings.


      See this document for much more detail:
      http://www.afdc.doe.gov/pdfs/6938.pdf


      And by the way, the energy balance of corn ethanol discussed here. It's actually not as bad as people claim:
      http://www.usda.gov/oce/oepnu/aer-813.pdf


      Also, apparently I mislabelled bagasse - bagasse is sugarcane cellulosic residue, not a cellulosic material from separate plants. In any case, here's an economic analysis on the use of bagasse to produce ethanol for energy in India:
      http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy01osti/28705.pd f


      My use of the word "swamp" apparently offended you, but I assure you, I mean only the use of land that is generally less valuable for other crops and does not represent a major environmental habitat for too many species. You have to recognize that there is a tradeoff here - use some amount of land for supplemental energy crops vs. continue to be dependent on burning massively more polluting, non-renewable fossil fuels and continuing our dependence on the Middle East and supporting terrorists when we fuel up. The alternative I propose and the NREL proposes is on the balance, far superior.

    6. Re:Ethanol is not good by corvi42 · · Score: 1

      I see - I didn't know about this before. That sounds like a very valuable project. Thanks for the info.

      --

      There are a thousand forms of subversion, but few can equal the convenience and immediacy of a cream pie -Noel Godin
    7. Re:Ethanol is not good by corvi42 · · Score: 1
      and continuing our dependence on the Middle East and supporting terrorists when we fuel up.


      All very informative, but this was a bit of unnecessary hyperbole. I for one am getting a bit sick and tired of the mindless post911 claptrap that sees terrorists and their supporters everywhere.
      Terrorists have little or nothing to do with the oil industry. Not all muslims / arabs are terrorists. Perhaps this was just a bit of overexageration on your part, but my tolerance for these kinds of remarks is wearing thin.

      --

      There are a thousand forms of subversion, but few can equal the convenience and immediacy of a cream pie -Noel Godin
  123. Typo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think you mean Nanu-Nanu-tech material.

  124. real cost of gasoline by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The real cost of gasoline [http://www.icta.org/projects/trans/rlprexsm.htm]

    From their estimates, it is between $5 - $15 per gallon.
    I think this article is a couple of years old, but it still just as relevant today as it was then (perhaps more so...).

    As a side thought, how much does gas cost outside of the US, and what impact does this seem to have?

  125. Mobil and Shell won't let that happen by ajw1976 · · Score: 1

    Mobil, Shell, Texaco, Gulf, etc will prevent this from becoming a reality.

    --
    1. Bad signature
    2. ?????
    3. Profit
  126. Couldn't have been done until recently? by TheSHAD0W · · Score: 2

    I suspect a big reason why this technology was never fully developed back in 1984 is because the technology wasn't there.

    Remember that, if you're building an integrated circuit the old-fashioned way, your feature size (for example, the width of a conductor) is at most the same as the wavelength of light used to prepare it for etching. Until recently, nothing over low-ultraviolet light could be used, and therefore the features were relatively large compared to the wavelength of visible light. An effective antenna designed to utilize visible light frequencies would require features at least an order of magnitude smaller than the frequencies it's meant to absorb.

    Or in other words, they couldn't do it.

    Today we're able to create integrated circuits with features less than 150 nanometers across, so these optical-frequency rectennas are now feasible. Whether they're practical is another matter; remember, you'd need to use the latest fabrication techniques to get features that small, so manufacturing would be expensive.

  127. Rectenna currently powering my computer... by tlambert · · Score: 2

    I am currently powering my computer from a rectenna that captures the energy derived from unsolicited SubSeven and SQL port packets.

    8-).

    -- Terry

  128. Re:The real answer (spnak) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ad hominem attack = "I don't have a cogent response". HTH HAND

  129. 7-17% for PV? More like 24-25%. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm not sure where you got the 7-17% figures. According to the UNSW Centre for Photovoltaic Engineering (who have held the best efficiencies for as long as I can remember) 24% was acheived in 1994.

  130. Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why they're right next to the flying cars and anti-gravity boots!

  131. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Thu+Anon+Coward · · Score: 1

    "It's where he made his millions, and it's all he knows"

    only partially true. W never made a dime in the oil business. daddy's friends bailed his ass out every time. and as for him knowing anything, well, that's highly debata-table. (as Dumbass would say it)

    --



    I'm good with numbers - .45, 7.62, 9.....
  132. What I'd like to kniw is..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Where are the cheap solar panels?!?!? I'm looking into a solar system for the top of my camper. The whole system is gonna cost $4000 to cover the roof with panels. Most people only use one panel. I want to be able to depend on the solar and not buy a generator. At the point in solar development that the panels would be much cheaper. Computers have really come down in price.

  133. Harnessing the GAMMA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Has anyone ever thought to make use of these
    in harnessing gamma radiation freqs???

    It seems like it would produce alot more energy
    with alot less of a nuclear reaction occuring.

    The only issue that I have come up w/ in doing
    such is that the photo elec. would break down
    in such a extreme environment.

    I think you could protect the PE from BETA
    by using some sort of aluminum shielding but I
    am not sure how you could shield from ALPHA or
    if it is even neccesary.

    You could also theoretically divert the BETA
    radiation to create a stream of electrons.

    I guess if you were able to create some sort of
    shielding dense enough in protons it would push
    the ALPHA away and attract the BETA and hopefully
    let the gamma pass through to the PE device.

    Any thoughts?

  134. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "...that would cut out our dependance on foriegn (read Iraq) oil..."

    The US does not depends directly on Middle east oil. They get all the oil they need from Texas, Alaska, Mexico and Southamerica.

    only about 3% of the oil consumed in the US is from middle east. However, Europe and Japan depend on the oil from middle east.

    The war on Iraq is more a matter of world control than anything else. When a guy that controls the wolrd largest military, the largest military budget (larger than the sum of the next 10) says he wants to be "the police" of the world - ignoring UN - and that he will not tolerate anyone who attempts to compite with the military might of the US. Even further, that that state is gonna get the boot. That can only be scary. Now, if you take into account the history US foreign policy, that can only be terrifing.

    According to a enquiere, over 80% of the world population recoginze the US as the largest threat to their way of living. Read some news outside the US and you'll find out that the rest of the wolrd thinks the US, in its present course, is a threat to both its people and the rest of the world. its a threat to mankind.

    --note- the US, by its own definitios of terrorism, is the largest terrorist in the world. And it is the only country found guilty of terrorism in an international court of law (because of Nicaragua). It would have been found guilty twice (Balcans), but they vetoed the trial.

    Just take a look at what he is doing to improve social equity (tax cuts for the richs), at your freedoms(any number of patriot acts), at the eviroment (withdraw for the kyoto pact) etc. etc.

    And the sad thing, the only people who can do something about it, is the americans. The same people who don't care how bush came into power, or what he is doing, because they are too terrified of foreign ghosts to see the real threat.

  135. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The large generators pollute less until they (unlike Joe Citizen) leverage their nearly-unlimited pocketbook to push for rules that allow them to buy up old cars and crush them for pollution credits. Oh, wait! That's already happened...

  136. What about black silicon? by Avian+visitor · · Score: 1

    I've read an article about it in NewScientist two years ago. In short, researchers blasted a piece of silicon surrounded with a certain mix of gasses with a femto-second laser pulse. This produced tiny spikes on the surface (silikon looked black because of this)

    More info

    They said at the time this could produce very efficient solar cells, then everything went quiet.

    Anyone heard about this technology? It looks closer than these antenae.

  137. what about energy recycling???? by dayakiran · · Score: 1

    People talk about alternative energy sources, but how about energy recycling. we waste a lot of energy in carrying out a certain work. for example when water is pumped to an overhead tank, we can place a dynamo at the pipe outlet and try generating some energy(anyway the water is going to get into the tank. so this is energy comes free!!!)
    does anyone get this????

    1. Re:what about energy recycling???? by llordreefa · · Score: 0

      Yes, but you'd only get a few milliamps, never enough to cover the pumping needs. Aquastar has a tankless water heater that uses the hydroelectric principle to light the pilot burner.

  138. Oceans as solar panels by fergaltoomey · · Score: 1

    The earth is already largely covered with solar panels, in the form of the oceans. The oceans convert solar energy into thermal energy, which manifests itself as the temperature gradient between the warm surface waters and the very cold depths There have been proposals to tap this energy by pumping cold water up from the bottom of the ocean and using it in conjunction with warm water from the surface to drive a heat engine. In many parts of the world, this process would actually produce positive net energy. (see http://www.nrel.gov/otec/what.html). I think it has been estimated that several hundred power stations operating on this principle, located in the tropics, would produce enough power to meet current world needs (Sorry, can't remember where I saw this estimate, which may be already out of date). The environmental cost would be a drop in water temperatures of 2 to 3 degrees Farenheit over a large part of the ocean's surface, enough to cause fairly catastrophic climate change. I guess you can't make an omelette without breaking eggs.

  139. production cost by stud9920 · · Score: 2

    IIRC photovoltaic cells cost more energy to produce than they can ever produce in their economic lifetime. So they are only in use in places where another source is unavailable (satellite) or impractical (superflat pocket calculator) Is it still the case ?

  140. Re:Where GWB made his millions by drb1001 · · Score: 1

    Actually, he didn't make millions in oil -- his track record there is pretty bad (ever hear of Harken?). His substantial profit came on the sale of the Texas Rangers baseball team and associated stadium lease. Can't disagree that he's very warmly disposed to the energy biz, but that's probably more due to family ties (GHWB made his bones in oil), personal friendships (Ken Lay, et al), and politics (follow the campaign contributions).

  141. Forget Solar Cells... by salesgeek · · Score: 2

    I want my flying car! 70% efficient solar cells would be useful to charge the battery, though...

    $G

    --
    -- $G
  142. The water car is already here?...... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Calling all engineers...
    Check out these plans to run a car on tap water.
    It may sound crazy, but most of the elegant inventions are based on simplicities.
    The engine, exhaust has to be rust proofed.

    http://www.spiritofmaat.com/archive/feb2/carplan s. htm

  143. Re:OK, which forests do we cut to make solar farms by Firethorn · · Score: 1

    1) There are regions that are clear better than 99% of the time. They're generally called deserts.

    2) Buried Superconducting power lines, anybody?

    3) Bury them. See number 2, which are installed underground anyways. After a certain distance, you'd hook them up to the existing power lines.

    4) Build in a stable area. Because of #1, you aren't building it in hurricane or hail area, and tornado's aren't very likely either. And if it's in an earthquake area, you just build the stems in a way to resist earthquakes. It's not like you're build skyscrapers here, and you can (want) to build each panel a fair ways apart (at least for mirror arrays, they need a path to the central tower)

    I've seen images of a few mirror + central tower generation plants. The mirrors are computer controled to reflect light to a central tower, converting water to steam to power turbines. Solar power this way is a definate option, as you can build lasting mirrors.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
  144. I've always wanted solar paint... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...and solar plastic (70% efficient) would be good enough for me. You could literally cover loads of buildings/ structures with it. If it was flexible enough you could coat the insides of curtains/blinds with it. When you close the blinds/curtains to keep the sunlight (glare) off the TV/computer screen they could be generating power for you.

  145. Water powered car dumber than Homer by dbowden · · Score: 2

    Even Homer Simpson knows this plan doesn't work:

    "Lisa, in this house, we obey the laws of thermodynamics!"

    --
    Help find a cure for Gidget.
  146. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Mantrid · · Score: 2

    In which case the population is still to blame!

    "You are watching Fox!"
    "We..are..watching..Fox."

  147. Security cost of oil by asfasmcdas · · Score: 1

    I don't know about the $8 per gallon to support the entire petroleum industry, but according to the British government the security cost of middle eastern oil is $1 per gallon. Almost all of this cost is paid by the US, but the Europeans, Japanese and everyone else reaps the benefits.
    Might be worth reminding them the next time they launch into an anti-american tirade.

  148. A Slashdot record? by carlos_avdas · · Score: 1

    11 "funny" comments in a row. And now to make this comment topical: arse.

  149. OK - quick physics lesson on polarization by Squeak · · Score: 3, Informative

    I did my PhD on polarization effects, so know a bit about them. Whether I can explain in layman's terms is another matter, but here goes...

    Light may be considered to act as both a particle and a wave, but for our purposes we'll stick to waves.
    Imagine looking at an unfiltered, unpolarized light source. The light is travelling towards you but each little bit of light is a wave which may be orientated up and down, or side to side, or anywhere inbetween, as it travels. (I'm ignoring what is known as circular polarization for now.) You can consider a polarization filter as a grill. Only the waves which line up with the grill will get through intact. Waves which are partly aligned will pass through the amount that does line up. Waves which are at right-angles to the grill will not get through at all. The light which does not get through is absorbed. If you take evenly distributed unpolarized light, which is what solar cells pretty much get from the sun, then you can only get 50% of the light through into linear polarization with a single filter. You can change one polarization into another efficiently, but the initial conversion from unpolarized to fuly polarized causes 50% loss.
    However, a 50% polarization followed by an 80% conversion within the solar cell still gives you an overall 40%, which is much better than current cells.

    Here's something to think about: If you shine light through 2 polarizers which are crossed at right-angles then no light gets through. This is because the light coming through the first polarizer is all aligned at 90 degrees to the orientation of the second polarizer and is hence completely blocked. If you now add a third filter at 45 degrees between the other two then you start getting light through. Adding a filter has increased the amount passing through. Explaining why, I'll leave as an exercise for the reader.

    --
    This sig is a figment of your imagination.
    1. Re:OK - quick physics lesson on polarization by Hepkat · · Score: 1

      No no... explain why! explain why! I wanna know!

    2. Re:OK - quick physics lesson on polarization by WNight · · Score: 2

      Because if you pass already polarized light through a polarizing filter at 45 degrees you'll get some through, only right-angle filters will block it all. The light that makes it through a polarizing filter is all polarized, so you've essentially shifted the polarization by 45 degrees.

      The next filter is 45 degrees from the last, and the same process occurs.

      I don't know how much light gets through a polarizing filter at 45 degrees to incoming polarized light, but I'd guess 50%, as 45 is halfway between 0 degrees (100% transmission) and 90 degrees (0% transmission). (* Except for real-world losses in any actual filter.) Does anyone know the correct answer, and/or if the drop-off is sinusoidal, or linear?

    3. Re:OK - quick physics lesson on polarization by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I know a lot about these polar-solar folks and their theories. all issues of viability aside, the polarization comes into play thus: it is exactly the molecules that are polarizing the light that are absorbing the light energy and (trying) to convert it to electricity. the _uncoverted_ light is what is left polarized; i.e. waste light. their objective is to then capture this with an orthogonally oriented second sheet of material. in the case of the company, it is all (poorly substantiated) theory with zero proof in the lab.

  150. Re:OK, which forests do we cut to make solar farms by Queuetue · · Score: 2, Informative

    Or, we could put them on the roof of our houses... There are already big black rectangles there.

    Why should these get centralized? Keep the power infrastructure as it is, powered primarily by flow from the solar panels placed on every home on the grid. Every house charges when it can, feeds back energy when fully charged, draws from internal batteries when the sun is obscured, and draws from the grid when the batteries are dead.

    Many people already do this - I just helped install one. 70% efficiency photocells would make the house I just installed gather and "bank" 3-5 times it's own expenditure in energy.

    It's be nice to have one on the roof of a hybrid gas/electric car (or in my case, a gas/electric truck, once they get around to it). Gas consumption would certainly drop considerably.

    I don't know who those folks you refer to that make knee-jerk, thoughtless reactions are, but if you're listening to idiots, that's your own fault.

  151. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by ryanvm · · Score: 2

    But we need to outlaw SUVs, you say.

    No, no, no. I certainly don't think that. What I said was Americans aren't interested in lowering our oil consumption because if they were SUVs and trucks wouldn't be the top selling vehicles. The only thing that could break that habit is legislation. I was just stating making a declaritive statement. I never advocated for it though.

  152. some in my perpetual motion machine by peter303 · · Score: 2

    I put some in my perpertual motion machine, right next ot by cold fusion generator and electromagnetic gravity nullifier.

  153. 7-17% by ca1v1n · · Score: 2

    The range is a bit wider than 7-17%. The amorphous silicon cells typically used on houses and in cheap devices like handheld calculators are typically around 5% or lower. In contrast, during the 2001 American Solar Challenge, there were two teams with space-grade Gallium Arsenide arrays, at 24% and 26% efficiency. Interestingly enough, they were small Christian colleges who apparently knew the right people. The winning University of Michigan team, which apparently had a million dollar budget, and exceeded it, couldn't even afford something that high grade. So there is higher stuff out there. It's expensive as hell though.

    On a side note, the second place University of Missouri at Rolla team only had a 14% efficient array, which places their power output near the bottom of the open class. The lesson here is that we could save an awful lot of money by learning to do more with the energy we already have available to us.

  154. reflected light by mobilemonkey · · Score: 1

    If the majority of consumers adopted photovoltaics as an energy source, wouldn't that create an immense amount of reflected light on the surface of the Earth? If so, it is possible that the reflected energy would affecting daytime weather patterns and possibly even create cloudier conditions or augment global warming.

    1. Re:reflected light by Queuetue · · Score: 2

      Immense? In comparison to the oceans?

  155. Report from Them that's doing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We live in a small 5th wheel trailer. 90% of our energy required to watch TV, run computers, etc. comes from solar power. Our heating needs are supplied by propane (catalytic heater). It cost a couple of shades over $3K for our solar outfit, which consists of two Kyocera 120 watt panels on the roof. The output is fed into 6 T125 Golf Cart batteries, which can drive a 2000 watt inverter for our AC needs. Rarely do we have to plug in. Unfortunately, the truck that we have to haul it does burn diesel, but I don't have to commute and we try to park within walking distances of a small market. Getting solar energy is great!

  156. Au Contraire by A55M0NKEY · · Score: 1

    Americans LOVE higher fuel usage vehicles - like SUVs.

    --

    Eat at Joe's.

  157. Energy sources by jjc71538 · · Score: 1

    The NPR program,Earth and Sky, had this report on power from space. http://earthsky.org/Shows/Latest/

  158. Re:Research -- OT Comment by sgtrock · · Score: 1

    Dublin;

    Your .sig really intrigues me. But then, provocative statements always do. :)

    You imply that you've given a great deal of thought to all of the open source/closed source conflicts. I'd love to open a dialog with you to understand your position.

    If you're interested, contact me at:

    jsmilan at visi dot com

    Thx

  159. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Black+Rabbit · · Score: 1

    There already is a SUV/truck that gets far better fuel mileage than the standard gas version. My last truck was a Ford F250 Diesel, and I would routinely approach 30 miles per gallon, (although a proper World Standard 4.54L gallon, not that bastardized 3.9L thin you yanks seem to like), and that was city driving!

    I realize that Diesel's not the cleanest furl in the worl, but I also suspect that not much research has been put into rectifying that either.

  160. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Black+Rabbit · · Score: 1

    What the hell's wrong with golf cart style cars anyway? Most city driving is done at speeds of less than 60 km/h, (that's 37 mph to those of you who refuse to get on the Global Standard for measurement), with one person in the car, carrying only a few packages.

    Maybe more golf cart style cars is just what the doctor ordered. Do they have the Smart Car over here yet? I know DaimlerChrysler is working on getting the Mercedes A Class over here. How about something like the VW Lupo as well? Europe and Japan have scads of ultra fuel efficient cars, and we're missing out! These cars might suck on the highway, but then, that's not what they were designed for.

    As I also mentioned in another post, I believe Diesel is a hugely untapped alternative in North America. It got a really bad rap back in the early 80s when GM, being the money grubbing scumfucks that they are, applied shoddy, stopgap engineering to get a Diesel out on the market ASAP. All those poor saps who bought one of those Olds Diesel 350s don't know what they're missing by driving a proper Diesel.

  161. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by vianetman · · Score: 1

    I'm with you that there are no simple answers, but I think the one that is going to take hold is hydrogyn, and I think that more efficient solar panels are critical to hydrogyn's success.

    You're right, it does take electricity to create hydrogyn from water. We have to get that energy from somewhere, but I think everyone agrees the best solution here is not to extract energy from fossel fuels, only to store it in fuel cells, but to use renewable energy sources such as solar energy. If we are only 15-30% efficient in capturing that energy now, there is an enormous opportunity here for improvement in cost per unit of energy. Imagine if panels were efficient enough and cheap enough that it was feasable for land owners to install panels that feed the grid as a source of income. Imagine the possibilities for impoverished nations to take adavantage of their solar exposure and become suppliers of the world's hydrogyn market, but neither of these can happen unless there is enough research and government and public support to make panels dramatically more efficient and economically feasable.

  162. That's impossible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Due to thermodynamics, there is a theoretical maximum efficiency for converting light into electricity. I don't know what it is, but I'm pretty sure that it's less than 50%, and I thought I heard it was around 35%. The best cells today are in the high 20s. Perhaps somebody more familiar with the subject could weigh in.

    In short, if you hear somebody claiming such outragously high numbers, they are either idiots or out to separate idiots from their money.

  163. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by ShavenYak · · Score: 2

    You are much more likely to kill the other guy when driving an SUV, as opposed to an economy car, in which you are more likely to die.

    Some recent studies disagree with this belief. You are actually not much safer in an SUV than in a well-made compact (think Honda Civic, Toyota Corolla), and less safe than in a larger import. The safest vehicle for its own occupants is a minivan, which incidentally is usually roomier, more comfortable, and more efficient than an SUV.

    This, plus the fact that as you say, an SUV is more likely to kill others (the only vehicles worse in that regard are actual pickup trucks and sports cars), mean the proliferation of SUVs on the highways has actually made everyone less safe, including the SUV drivers.

    --

    Hey kids, there's only 5 days left 'til Yak Shaving Day!
  164. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And regardless of the general US economic state, with spin doctors, heavy financial support from said beneficiaries of the war, and the tendency of people to rally around the president during wartime -- even if it is a war he pushed -- he is almost guaranteed reelection, despite the economy, due to financial backing from buddies profiting from "transactions of decline".

    You mean guaranteed reelection like his daddy, who was beaten by a philandering idiot from Arkansas?

  165. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by ShavenYak · · Score: 2

    Ford sells a hybrid Escape [hybridford.com] that you can buy today. It gets about 35 mpg I believe.

    That's funny, looking at the link you gave and going to the FAQ they say it will be available to retail customers in mid-year 2004. But, I heard a news story the other day that said the hybrid Escape program was being cancelled.

    --

    Hey kids, there's only 5 days left 'til Yak Shaving Day!
  166. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by John+Harrison · · Score: 2
    Some recent studies disagree with this belief.

    Which is why my post also said:
    But there certainly is a perception of safety.

    I also mentioned several examples of them being outright dangerous to their own occupants. However auto companies trade on the public's perception of the safety of a gigantic SUV.

    As for minivans, they are interesting from a safety point of view. They have the same high center of gravity that SUVs have yet they roll over less frequently. This might have more to do with how the two vehicles are driven and percieved by their owners than with the abilities of the vehicles themselves.

    Back to my marketing point (from a previous post), it is very hard to make minivans cool, even to people who need a minivan. That is one of the big reasons for the success of the SUV. It has many of the benefits of a minivan with the additional "cool factor" that people feel they need when spending tens of thousands of dollars on a vehicle.

    I certainly agree that the proliferation of SUVs makes everyone less safe. If all passenger vehicles (as opposed to work trucks) had to be included in the fuel efficiency calculations together with cars all of this would change real fast. But it won't happen.

  167. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by jafac · · Score: 2

    If they're that parsimonious about getting ripped off, then they ought to be checking odometer readings.

    Tell me, who doesn't defraud their insurance company by saying "I only drive this car to and from work 15 miles a day" when it's really 30-40?

    --

    These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
  168. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    > US consumers don't want a wimpy EV1 [...]
    > They want the bulk, power, and capacity of an
    > SUV.
    >
    So get one (at least as secondary car):
    http://www.toyota.com/html/shop/vehicles/ra vev/rav 4ev_0_home/index.html
    Looks cool too and you have your own charging station. Pricetag's a bit steep but there it is anyway!

  169. Re:Where are .. exactly by Cyno · · Score: 2

    If they are so desperate why don't they put more funding into the research? Its has always been my impression that Japan has been after oil almost as much as the US. These countries don't want clean energy, they want cheap energy and they'll use oil to get it. Its laziness, lack of creativity, whatever you want to call it. But it is not progress.

  170. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by Cyno · · Score: 2

    Uh, no... Is it a child's fault if you don't educate 'em? The people are like children, ignorant of the world around them. It is not their fault that the media they trust flat out lies to them or doesn't give them all the facts.

    But go ahead, blame the population. Blame them to death, if that'll make you feel better. It does nothing to help us fix the problem.

  171. Believe by Amoeba+Protozoa · · Score: 2
    There are no simple answers and very few real conspiracies, and I don't understand why otherwise intelligent people continue to believe that there are.

    Why do otherwise intelligent people continue to believe in things that seem silly or impractical?

    "Why?" you ask? Because somebody has to.

    Too many people in history and especially now-a-days elimated the far-off possibility just because it seemed impractical. The problem with doing this is that by simply eliminating from your mind and speaking out against the possiblity of the options with low-probabilities of occurance or requiring high amounts of effort such as "alternative fuels," you elimate any hope for the alternatives to happen; and all but insure that things will remain the same.

    I was recently engaged in a conversation with my father who now believes that war is now inevitable and that peace in the Middle East will never happen. He still does not understand how by himself eliminating the even the slim possiblity for peace in his mind he is contributing to the problem of war on this world.

    Dare to dream, young one. You're really all the hope we've got in this world.

    -AP

    1. Re:Believe by krlynch · · Score: 2

      Not only do I think you seriously misread what I wrote, but I strongly disagree with your main point that someone has to advocate and examine silly and impractical, oversimplified solutions to real and complex problems. If what you want is real, significant, and informed changes to our world, then this just isn't so.

      I was certainly not saying that there are no solutions, so we should stick with what we've got. I thought that I was very clear in pointing out that there are very real solutions to the very real problems, but those problems and solutions are horrifically more complex than most of the posters in this article seem to be willing to accept.

      The world in a complicated place, and where we are right now is the result of hundreds of thousands of individual decisions made by rational and irrational people over a huge span of human history. There are very concrete, comprehensible reasons that the world economy runs on petroleum and will continue to do so for the forseeable future, and they have little to nothing to do with "evil corporations" and "political conspiracies". The corporations may be evil (although, I would argue that the truth is far more complex and nuanced than that), and there may be political conspiracies (ditto), but even if you managed to root them out and change them overnight, you wouldn't be able to move away from petroleum overnight.

      Moving away from that economy has costs and benefits, just like moving away from an animal driven economy to a petroleum economy had its costs and benefits. The way to achieve better utilization of energy resources and decrease emissions (whether they be particulates, NOx and SOx and COx, or other green house gasses) is to take concrete evolutionary steps today and tomorrow, and not assume that there is some vast underground conspiracy preventing your favorite pet revolutionary technology from "breaking out". Someday those revolutionary technologies will be available, but we don't have to wait for them; you just have to be realistic in your expectations. People aren't going to be willing to pay for a car that gets double the mileage with ten percent of the emissions, if doing so halves the number of people they can carry, reduces the range between fillups, eliminates storage space, reduces the overall safety of the vehicle, and dramatically increases the direct maintenance and disposal costs for the vehicle. Those are the things you get when with modern electric cars, for example. People buy SUVs for a reason, after all, and they aren't all slack jawed, environment hating, oil guzzling, high income, wasteful spenders.

      Remember, too, that moving to a new energy base from petroleum will bring with it a new set of costs and benefits, many of which can't be predicted and understood until the change has already occurred, and others which can be understood in advance with proper study and reflection. We understand now that there are pollution risks associated with the petroleum powered internal combustion engine ... but that was far from clear when people were clamoring for the conversion from the "pollution" of the horse drawn carriage era (ie dung). Consider, for instance, the following issues:

      • Battery and fuel cell technologies dramatically increase the amount of toxic components in automobiles. How do we deal with that waste stream? What about the environmental costs of the other new materials in these automobiles, like composites? They currently can't, for instance, be recycled.
      • What happens to the political situation (vis a vis militarism, democratization, and terrorism) coming out of the Middle East when they lose the ability to earn income from the single commodity that they have available to them? The rest of the world isn't going to pay $30 per barrel for 20 million barrels a day of sand.
      • Where do you get the energy to produce all of this hydrogen we would need? The "standard" answers of the extreme enviromentalists - solar, wind, tidal, fusion etc - with current technology are grossly insufficient at the present time and in the forseeable future to allow us to replace or even seriously supplement fossil fuel sources. Other solutions, like conservation and efficiency improvements (which would be helpful in any case) can make serious, but still vastly overstated improvements, and that isn't going to change.
      • How does fuel distribution work during the transition? You won't be able to drive very far in your spiffy new hydrogen powered SUV if the next closest hydrogen delivery station is more than a full tank away. And I wouldn't build a filling station if there are only a handful of cars that need my fuel. There are huge one time costs associated with a switchover, and they are going to be (in real dollars) vastly larger than the initial gasoline based startup was, due to our much stricter environmental, public, and worker safety laws.
      • What about the removal and disposal of all of those gasoline and diesel filling stations with their toxic waste? That is going to cost a bundle, and is unlike current station rebuilds because there will be no future revenue stream to cover the costs of disposal.
      • Plastics are some of the cheapest, safest, and most environmentally friendly materials we use today (since most of them can be recycled easily, and at a much lower cost than new production). But we really only use them because they are cheap, and they are only cheap because we use vast quantities of oil for power. What happens to the cost and use of plastics when the cheap supply of oil dries up following a conversion to hydrogen, or we manage to cut our use of it in half?


      Like I said before, I'm not being pessimistic, nor do I think that there are no chances, solutions, or possibilities for change, even in the near future. I think in the long run it is innevitable that petroleum will, to a large extent, fall by the wayside for power generation, and that in the short term there are ways to convince people to change their habits toward conservation and energy efficiency. I just was hoping to raise the level of the discussion by pointing out that the world is a lot more complicated than most posters seem willing to admit, that real solutions to our problems will not only be more complicated than you hope and even expect, but that those new solutions will also have their own consequences, some understood and some unknown. Will the hydrogen economy engender its own protesting environmental groups, its own "No war for hydrogen" demonstrators?

      People of good faith hoping to change the world have to realistically take real issues into account when they try to come to a decision. THAT is the only real hope we've got in this world, not calls for silly and impractical solutions, or accussations based on unsupportable allegations of fraud and conspiracy.

    2. Re:Believe by Amoeba+Protozoa · · Score: 2
      People buy SUVs for a reason, after all, and they aren't all slack jawed, environment hating, oil guzzling, high income, wasteful spenders.

      One of the chief problems now-a-days in promoting conservation is that ideas like this persist: if you buy an SUV you are being wasteful unless you are one of the corner cases that actually needs one. Programs needs to be discussed and implemented to promote smart consumerism and ecology--indeed to make ecology sexy, desirable, and cheap. However, you and I are in agreement about this. You are just under the false impression that people need SUVs.

      In reading the rest of your comment and your previous comment I did and will conclude now that you do bring up several highly relevant points. However, the thrust of my argument has to do primarily with the following:

      People of good faith hoping to change the world have to realistically take real issues into account when they try to come to a decision.

      The problem with this thinking is that you assume that being realistic is actually the best vehicle to promote change. This is an easy trap to fall in to because its so comfortable, marketable, and conservative. Fat. Dumb. Happy.

      As you have said yourself, "moving to a new energy base from petroleum will bring with it a new set of costs and benefits, many of which can't be predicted and understood until the change has already occurred." Precisely. There is a history (you may read "history" as "conspiracy" if anybody is so inclined) in the U.S. to promote a dependence on oil. There is a legislative record nearly a century long to support this statement. To deny this would be foolish. Here is the problem: we live in a "reality" of fossils and fossil-fuel so we cannot imagine a "reality" without them.

      Somebody has to destroy this reality. Somebody has to say "Why?" instead of "Why not." Somebody has to play the fool.

      For example, Galileo-- amongst a set of almost any other revolutionary you can name, such as: George Washington, Ben Franklin, Einstein, Ghandi, Dr. Martin Luther King--had to free themselves at some point from the "reality" they were living in to see some place beyond, often by bucking the imposed status quo and looking like a crazy idiot.

      Did Galileo think to himself, "I had better not try and define the movements of the solar-system because it isn't socially acceptable?" Did he run from the possibilies of ex-communication and house-arrest? No. His observations pointed the world in a new direction at a great personal expense and later at the expense of embaressment of the entire Catholic Church.

      Did Ghandi or Dr. King decide not to fight for the freedom of their peoples because of the status quo? No. More importantly, did they not realize that they were going to make some of their own people uncomfortable, hurt, or possibly slain? Of course not. Although the way in which they changed the world cost the British Empire and the U.S. a lot of money, made a lot of whites very unhappy, and a cost people their lives it should be clear that it is wrong thinking to have preferred things to remain the other way.

      Telling people why things won't work--I'm sorry--I mean, "raising the level of discussion" is an easy game to play because by simply "discussing" the topics you can never be wrong. You're not actually putting anything on the line. What I am asking is that people such as yourself be brave and start dreaming and sharing ideas of why things will work and actually start making choices in your life now to get there.

      It does nothing to make people "aware" of why things won't work. It just scares them into keeping things the same way. Instead, spend your energies on inspiring them. Challenge them to dream about what the future will look like after the change.

      Intuitively, you can tell me "dreaming" about something is a lot easier than thinking about how to really implement it. In reality, I can tell you this is not the case. Implementing war and burning oil is a hell-of-a-lot easier than imagining a world without them. In essence, here are some smaller examples of the same sort of wrong-thinking:

      • I could loose weight, but that means I have to watch what I eat and exercise and feel uncomfortable.
      • I could actively parent my child and show him how to watch television and make good choices, but it's hard and I don't want him to resent me as a teenager.
      • I should sue the college kids stealing our music instead of changing the business model, no matter that the nature of the business has already permanently changed.

      Instead, dream of yourself thin while you prepare vegetables and exercise. Instead, dream of what your child will grown into as an adult and spend time with them. Instead, dream of other ways to make money promoting music.

      In closing, don't be a coward. Dare to dream. Tell others.

      -AP

      You win.

  172. You can only burn the U-235... by Spamalamadingdong · · Score: 2
    ... without breeding to another element or other extraordinary measures, such as bombardment by 14.7 MeV neutrons such as are produced by D-T fusion (the depleted uranium case on a fusion bomb adds substantially to the explosive yield, but I digress).

    A CANDU and a PWR both burn the same fuel(s): U-235 and some part of the plutonium they breed. The PWR requires enriched uranium because the light-water moderator absorbs too many neutrons to sustain a chain reaction without it. A CANDU eliminates the neutron absorbance problem using deuterium (heavy water) instead, so it can get by with natural uranium (AAMOF, a CANDU can burn "spent" PWR fuel).

    And the Manhattan reactors were graphite-moderated, not D2O-moderated IIRC.

  173. Wrong thing to ask. Here's the right one. by Spamalamadingdong · · Score: 2
    Your rant has so many errors it's hard to list them.
    • Texas is a net importer of oil these days.
    • Major automakers don't build electrics because gasoline is cheaper at the pump and much more convenient for long or irregular trips.
    • Cars like the "Think" are dinky and expensive because they are low-volume production items. Low-volume production cars are expensive for the same reasons.
    • Detroit makes (or re-badges) cars like the "Think" and the EV-1 rather than hybrids because government policy demands ZEVs, and not even the Honda Insight is a ZEV.
    The right question to ask is "What policy changes will fix the perverse incentives and give us the optimal result?" The answer is not simple, but given the situation of the USA it is going to incorporate some mix of the following:
    1. A carbon tax, harmonized with the rest of the industrialized world. This will promote wind, solar and nuclear and devalue coal and oil (and natural gas to a lesser extent).
    2. Duties on imported goods from nations which have not implemented the carbon tax, so as not to create a perverse incentive to produce goods less efficiently in nations not under the regime.
    3. A risk tax on petroleum in particular, because so much of it comes from nations which support terrorism and/or are dictatorships (including Venezuela for all intents and purposes). This will make gasoline cost quite a bit more at the pump.
    4. A large reduction in taxes on e.g. wages, so that net purchasing power of the average consumer doesn't change much... but the incentives change a lot due to the difference at the margin.
    5. Programs to use all fuels more efficiently. I know for a fact that we can squeeze twice as much out of a gallon of petroleum or a cubic foot of natural gas, it is just a matter of doing it. If the marginal cost goes up a lot, everyone will be looking for ways to do just that and you will see results.
    One of these days I hope to have time to lay out all the facts behind the positive assertions like that last.
  174. Re:Wrong thing to ask. Here's the right one. by t0qer · · Score: 1

    You just repeated everything I said, except put it more elequently.

    BTW did you watch dateline NBC last night? Did you see all those middle class families in Ohio standing in line for bread? Thank you GWB for letting MORE h1b's and green cards into the country instead of hiring locally. I hope america wakes up and impeaches his ass.

    It's no longer the homeless and degenerates standing in line for a handout, it's everybody.

  175. costs of energy production by j-beda · · Score: 2

    In addition to the emmissions, there are also the costs of exploration and refining which are often given tax breaks, the military costs of involvement in areas of "national security" around the world, and all sorts of really-hard-to-pin-down subsidies and incentives. All forms of energy production have things like this, but the "alternative" forms tend to be much less heavily subsidized in this indirect manner.

  176. Re:Where are the.. Goodbye trucking industry by buck_wild · · Score: 1

    So what's the ratio of people that have to pull 80,000 pounds over the Rockies?

    So that small number of people would prohibit the conversion to electric vehicles how?

    --
    If all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail.
  177. Waste. and energy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just look at all the aluminum cans we toss in the trash every year... Did u know we (the USA) import all of it. And considering how much energy goes in to extracting ore, just think of how much energy we could save every year by just recycling our cans. FORGET these new technologies that don't exist or possibly never will. Encourage everyone to recycle!!!

    1. Re:Waste. and energy by metz2000 · · Score: 1

      Yes, recycling is very important. I try and recycle as much as possible...

  178. South Korea nuclear technology by Eric+Green · · Score: 2
    South Korea has at least one CANDU reactor. CANDU reactors can quite readily produce weapons-grade plutonium via irradiation of depleted uranium, just as easily as the graphite-moderated reactors that the North Koreans use. CANDU reactors can have fuel rods inserted and extracted while they are operating, so it would be child's play to do the switch.

    Not to mention that South Korea is the world's #1 builder of ships, the #5 builder of automobiles, the #3 builder of computer chips, the ... well, you get the gist. They are a modern technological nation. They could build an atomic bomb if they had the desire to do so without any help from anybody at all, just as India did under much the same circumstances (using a CANDU reactor much like the ones that South Korea owns, by the way). But they don't have the incentive to do so, because the United States has a few sacrificial goat troops stationed on South Korean soil -- thus insuring that if North Korea tosses nukes at South Korea, North Korea will get swiftly fried by massive U.S. retaliation.

    -E

    --
    Send mail here if you want to reach me.
  179. Rationale for figures by Eric+Green · · Score: 2
    I have some rationale for my own particular estimates, but freely admit that they're seat-of-pants, based upon my knowledge of oil extraction technologies such as directional drilling and deep sea exploration. I think the dramatic plummeting of U.S. oil production over the past twenty years should be enough information, though. All the technology in the world could not keep those oil fields producing. What that basically says is that an exploited oil field has a life of perhaps 50 years before its output starts declining dramatically. Add in the fact that the pace of new oilfield discovery has slackened considerably over the past 15 years, and you see an alarming trend developing.

    I don't think it's accidental that the major automakers are exploring alternative technologies in a major way. They can see the writing on the wall too. Luckily oil fields don't just "stop" producing. They slowly dribble out. This will give time to find alternative sources of energy. There will probably be some disruption of economic life in the meantime though.

    BTW, Montana or Northern Idaho are lousy places to wait out the Oil Wars. Someplace rural in the Southeast is probably preferable -- long growing season, plentiful rainfall, does not get inordinantly cold at night. The only downside is all the rednecks. Better rednecks than skinheads tho, in my opinion.

    -E

    --
    Send mail here if you want to reach me.
  180. Luddites and oil shortages by Eric+Green · · Score: 2
    The problem with luddites is that they did not have any knowledge of the oil industry. Technologies such as directional drilling and steam injection have allowed us to extract far more oil from existing deposits than was possible with older technologies that relied on us waiting for the oil to seep into a verticle bore where we could grab it.

    On the other hand, we have exhausted what can be done with those technologies. We've steamed pretty much all the oil out of the older oilfields we've applied the new techniques to. Those fields are basically exhausted. There is no "magic bullet" that will allow us to extract more oil out of those fields, because the oil just ain't there anymore.

    I could go dig up some facts about the total amount of oil extracted from the continental U.S. since the beginning of the oil industry, and how few years that would have lasted at our current oil consumption levels, and how our oil consumption levels continue going up, but this thread is dead by now so ...

    --
    Send mail here if you want to reach me.
  181. Re:Where are the 70% Efficient Solar Cells? ask GW by ShavenYak · · Score: 2

    As for minivans, they are interesting from a safety point of view. They have the same high center of gravity that SUVs have yet they roll over less frequently.

    I think a minivan's COG is considerably lower than an SUV's. Look at the difference in ground clearance. A minivan is typically just as tall, but the height is in the interior of the vehicle, not underneath the chassis. The engine, transmission, seats, passengers, fuel tank, etc., are all closer to the ground in the minivan.

    Once or twice I've had to make emergency maneuvers in my old Dodge Caravan which would have sent an Explorer tumbling across the road. I'm pretty sure they're inherently less prone to rollover. Not only that, but minivans are more likely to crumple and absorb collision forces, whereas SUVs, being built heavily like trucks, will transmit the forces into the passenger area.

    Back to my marketing point (from a previous post), it is very hard to make minivans cool, even to people who need a minivan. That is one of the big reasons for the success of the SUV.

    Yes, absolutely. I have a friend who recently bought a Sequoia. He said he wanted a big vehicle since he and the wife were planning to start a family, but he 'wouldn't look cool in a minivan.' Which is rather funny, because among the guys I hung out with back in the day, he was always the leading candidate for 'Least Likely to be Accused of Being Cool.'

    But apparently the marketing works. Myself, I can't see how having bigger tires, smaller doors, and a higher step up into the vehicle make it more 'cool'. In fact, soccer-moms look absolutely ridiculous hefting their 5'2" frames into a gigantic truck, but apparently don't realize it....

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    Hey kids, there's only 5 days left 'til Yak Shaving Day!
  182. Ethanol IS Good by Tardigrade · · Score: 1

    This is no longer true! Ethanol produces between 4 and 10% more energy than it consumes:
    http://www.usda.gov/oce/oepnu/aer-813.p df

  183. Another problem with solar cells on roofs by stfvon007 · · Score: 1

    There are other problems with having a roof that consists of solar cells as well. When the current public library in my town was built it was fitted with solar cells. Unfortunatly, these solar cells had an unexpected side effect: They trapped moisture underneath them causing mildew to grow. (wich is not a good thing, especially in a library where mildew can damage and destroy books) making it nessisary for the solar cells to be removed.

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    All misspellings and grammatical errors in the above post are intentional and part of my artistic expression.
  184. One PV company NOT owned by oil companies by AdmiralBer · · Score: 1

    see www.astropower.com (APWR), as far as I can tell it is not a division of Exxon Mobil, and it is growing pretty fast. The real problem with PV cells was always economy of scale... God knows there's enough useless desert and enough sunlight to power up the world.

    1. Re:One PV company NOT owned by oil companies by evilpenguin · · Score: 2

      Well, economies of scale are part of the problem. Energy to manufacture for mono and polyscrytalline silicon PV cells are still high enough that it takes two to five years to pay back their energy to manufacture (I don't know if the paper I used for this figure is still available on-line. It was the Palz-Zibetta paper on the energy payback times of silicon PV cells). So, PV is still a long way from looking really attractive using only time-value of money as a measurement. But it is already very attractive to me. (And mono and polycrystalline cells should last a very long time, 20 years is not at all an unreasonable minimum life).

      What I would like to see improved is the integration of PV cells and "BOS" (Balance of System) components. I should be able to get everything I need to add a grid-intertied solar PV system (with optional wind turbines) to my home at my local Home Depot, Menard's, or Loew's home improvement store.

      I'm a regular reader of Home Power magazine (a great resource for those who are interested in DIY home power), but I must say that I've always thought they were mssing out on something. The culture of home power and of the magzine of the same name, if I may stereotype for a moment, is a sort of backpack-wearing, public-radio-listening, anti-corporate, neo-hippie type (and a small number of right-wing survivalist nut-jobs). Now, I am all for living better, and for the freedom of lifestyle choice, but a handful of self-congratulatory people living off grid in mountain homes will not save the world. Nope. We need to get people to view their PV systems like they view their SUVs: Something to show their status. We need to enlist the tools of the consumer culture to draw people into using clean technology. Don't talk about how many things you had to shut off or get rid of. Talk about the luxury of having power during rolling blackouts. I don't know, I'm not a marketer. But I do know: Make it easy, make it affordable, make it appealing. The vast majority of people want to live better environmentally, but they don't really know how, and they don't really want to sacrifice comfort.

      I don't think they have to, because the world will be a lot better off if we could get 75% of the people getting 20% of their power from renewables than we are now with <1% of the people getting 100% of their power from renewables.

      Give us this day our daily rant... Sorry...