Slashdot Mirror


Earth Travel On Time, Again

burgburgburg writes "The NY Times has an interesting article about a rather puzzling phenomena: for the fifth year in a row, the Earth's travel through space is right on time. The rate that the Earth travels through space has slowed ever so slightly for millenia. To compensate for this, since 1972, scientists have added a "leap second" at the end of each year. The problem: Since 1999, the Earth has been on time. The recognition of a need for a leap second was an unintended consequence of the invention of the atomic clock. Suggested reasons for the unexpected punctuality: the tides, weather and changes in the Earth's core."

238 of 361 comments (clear)

  1. It's Obvious by dreamchaser · · Score: 5, Funny

    The Earth knows that we're watching now, so it's taking extra care to be punctual...

    1. Re:It's Obvious by ackthpt · · Score: 2, Funny
      The Earth knows that we're watching now, so it's taking extra care to be punctual...

      Damn, and I _just_ bought that stinking atomic clock so I could be the most precise on the block and I'm going to be off by a freaking second now! I couldn't be happy with the Bart Simpson watch from Burger King...

      It's a tough life being an ubergeek.

      --

      A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
    2. Re:It's Obvious by wo1verin3 · · Score: 1

      I figured it had a sex change operation and Earth is now a woman.

    3. Re:It's Obvious by Squareball · · Score: 4, Funny

      No, it's now on time. So that rules out it being a woman. ;)

    4. Re:It's Obvious by bhtooefr · · Score: 1

      Actually, you'll be five seconds off at the end of this year.

    5. Re:It's Obvious by spickus · · Score: 1

      They didn't say "45 minutes late".

      --
      Indecision is the key to flexibility.
    6. Re:It's Obvious by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      But it knows where it's going, so that rules out it being a man. ;)

    7. Re:It's Obvious by SphynxSR · · Score: 1

      but's it is being pulled around a giant object. so we still know it's a man. Attack now....

      --

      I don't suffer from insanity, I enjoy every minute of it.
    8. Re:It's Obvious by wackysootroom · · Score: 2, Interesting

      On a more serious note, maybe were seeing the Quantum Zeno effect on a global scale.

    9. Re:It's Obvious by yourmom16 · · Score: 1

      I doubt it. plancks constant is so small compared to the earth's energy that quantum mechanics is almost precisely the same as classical physics.

      --
      "We have got to make Stan understand the importance of voting, because he'll definitely vote for our guy." - South Park
    10. Re:It's Obvious by Tjp($)pjT · · Score: 3, Funny

      It is just running in circles and won't stop to ask directions. So it is masculine.

      --
      - Tjp

      I am in wallow with my inner money grubbing capitalistic pig. ... Oink!

    11. Re:It's Obvious by pyr0 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Small enough to only account for a single second out of an entire year perhaps?

    12. Re:It's Obvious by gunnk · · Score: 1

      Not even close -- there are approximately 31.5 million seconds per year (pi x 10^7 for a quick mnemonic). The mass of the Earth is 6x10^24 kg. Planck's constant is 6.6x10^-34 m^2 kg / s.

      Here I have to say that I don't know if I should be looking at the total energy of the Earth (mass-energy equivalence + kinetic energy) or just one or the other. In either case, however, the ratio of a year to a second is about 7 orders of magnitude. The ratio of the Earth's mass (which way less than the Earth's energy) to Planck's constant is about FIFTY-EIGHT orders of magnitude. So that mystery second is about 58-7=51 ORDERS OF MAGNITUDE too big to attribute to the Quantum Zeno Effect.

      --
      Life is short: void the warranty.
  2. All wrong... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Suggested reasons for the unexpected punctuality: the tides, weather and changes in the Earth's core.

    No. God just likes to screw with us.

    1. Re:All wrong... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Or maybe He just likes to really mess around with physicists...

    2. Re:All wrong... by notyou2 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      No. God just likes to screw with us.

      NO... God just likes to *fuck* with us.

  3. Full Text of Article by Mindragon · · Score: 3, Informative

    Scientists: Earth Travel Time on Schedule Scientists Say Earth Is on Schedule in Regards to Rate at Which It Travels Through Space

    The Associated Press

    BOULDER, Colo. Dec. 30 -- In a phenomenon that has scientists puzzled, the Earth is right on schedule for a fifth straight year. Experts agree that the rate at which the Earth travels through space has slowed ever so slightly for millennia. To make the world's official time agree with where the Earth actually is in space, scientists in 1972 started adding an extra "leap second" on the last day of the year.

    For 28 years, scientists repeated the procedure. But in 1999, they discovered the Earth was no longer lagging behind.

    At the National Institute for Science and Technology in Boulder, spokesman Fred McGehan said most scientists agree the Earth's orbit around the sun has been gradually slowing for millennia. But he said they don't have a good explanation for why it's suddenly on schedule.

    Possible explanations include the tides, weather and changes in the Earth's core, he said.

    The leap second was an unexpected consequence of the 1955 invention of the atomic clock, which use the electromagnetic radiation emanated by Cesium atoms to measure time. It is extremely reliable.

    Atomic-based Coordinated Universal Time was implemented in 1972, superseding the astronomically determined Greenwich Mean Time.

    Leap seconds can be a big deal, affecting everything from communication, navigation and air traffic control systems to the computers that link global financial markets.

    --
    Just add {In Space!} to anything.
    1. Re:Full Text of Article by Qzukk · · Score: 1

      It is extremely reliable.

      Maybe not as reliable as they thought?

      --
      If I have been able to see further than others, it is because I bought a pair of binoculars.
    2. Re:Full Text of Article by big-magic · · Score: 4, Informative
      The latest atomic clock that NIST is currently building will have a frequency uncertainty of 1 x 10^(-15). Since this is many orders of magnitude more precise than necessary to detect the need for a leap second, I highly doubt this is a problem with the many atomic clocks around the world.

      I got this value from the web site for the Time and Frequency division of NIST.

    3. Re:Full Text of Article by jaxdahl · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Is the Earth's *rotation* slowing or speeding up at all, though?

      Let's do some math and see how big of a distance difference a leap second is. Rough estimate of 93 million miles on average for r. 2*pi*r = 584,309,935 miles for the circumference of the orbit -- assuming a circular orbit. 60*60*24*365.25 = 31557600 seconds on average per year. circumeference/seconds ~= 18 miles. Interesting. But hardly seems like much.

    4. Re:Full Text of Article by daveinthesky · · Score: 1

      Could it be possible that the earth has stopped expanding, and may be contracting in future?

    5. Re:Full Text of Article by MegaHamsterX · · Score: 1

      I guess the dot com bubble affects everything.

      It's really a bitch when expansion stops and all the jobs go to contractors.

    6. Re:Full Text of Article by Grax · · Score: 1

      Relative to what?

      Basically we have 2 sets of clocks that don't agree here. The atomic clock says one thing and the cosmos says another. Who decides what is the correct time? Heck, they can't even keep those damn atomic clocks synchronized when they fly them around the globe. How accurate can they be?

  4. On time? by snevig · · Score: 3, Funny

    Hmmm... don't think that'll help my procrastination.

    1. Re:On time? by Alan+Shield · · Score: 1

      Hmmm... don't think that'll help my procrastination.

      So get a procrastinator then

  5. If we all run in one direction fast enough... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    .... we can speed it back up again.

    Let's do it!

    1. Re:If we all run in one direction fast enough... by seestuffgo · · Score: 1

      QUICK!

      Everybody run west!

    2. Re:If we all run in one direction fast enough... by Surface+Titan · · Score: 1

      Why bother??
      we'll just be giving 5 million people back their birthdays...big deal?
      --

      --
      {{{{[]'__'[]}}}} METALhead
    3. Re:If we all run in one direction fast enough... by bar-agent · · Score: 1

      I don't have far to go before I have to do my Jesus impression. I live in Seattle.

      --
      i'd hit it so hard, if you pulled me out you'd be the king of britain [bash.org]
  6. Maybe Cyclical? by Chanc_Gorkon · · Score: 1

    This may be cyclical like I think Global Warming is. Maybe we are in the mid stage where the Earth is on time and later on we will have to subtract seconds? I don't know but I would not automatically assume it is us humans taht are causing it.

    --

    Gorkman

    1. Re:Maybe Cyclical? by mog007 · · Score: 1

      Actully it is us humans that are causing this strange event. Without us, the Earth wouldn't give a damn what time it was.

    2. Re:Maybe Cyclical? by Kent+Recal · · Score: 1


      Exactly, it'd just stay up and rollin' till mommy turns the light out.

  7. The solution is that... by LynXmaN · · Score: 1

    Maybe she got back her driving license after being fined for breaking the speed limit and now it's going faster :)

    --
    May the source be with you!
  8. Slightly more informative story by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative
    1. Re:Slightly more informative story by netsharc · · Score: 1

      Eh, the article below that (with the small infernal mushroom cloud-like picture) is also interesting, but WTF, they call it Holiday Tree now?!? Fuck Political Correctness! Damn, pretty soon Christmas will be "End of Year Holiday", or will that be non-PC for cultures who don't use the Gregorian Calander?? Man...

      -- Speaking as a non-Christian who doesn't have a problem with calling Christmas, Christmas. --

      --
      What time is it/will be over there? Check with my iPhone app!
    2. Re:Slightly more informative story by Ben+Hutchings · · Score: 1

      It seems to me to be misinformative. The need for leap seconds is due to an increase in the Earth's orbital period (year), not its rotational period. The story may be conflating the two changes.

    3. Re:Slightly more informative story by bobs2pacsvegaswirled · · Score: 1

      The NIST article correctly makes the distinction that the leap seconds are inserted to account for the earth's rotational period, not its orbital period. The AP story got it completely wrong.

    4. Re:Slightly more informative story by darco · · Score: 1

      I too am an athiest... And, damnit, it's a christmas tree to me... That's what I've always called it, and that's what I am always going to continue to call it.

      Holiday tree... Peh...

      --
      — darco
  9. Oh yeah, the scientists added the leap second... by Soulfarmer · · Score: 1

    but who told us about it???

    --
    -Is the meaning of life vanity, or is vanity the meaning of life?
  10. Next on Tom's Hardware - OC'ing the earth by xC0000005 · · Score: 5, Funny

    We decided that for a change this holiday we'd work on big iron - the earth. Using polar cap cooling and using two atoms instead of one in the atomic clock, we managed to accelerate the earth by 1 second. System is perfectly stable. Except in California. And Iran.

    --
    www.voiceofthehive.com - Beekeeping and Honeybees for those who don't.
    1. Re:Next on Tom's Hardware - OC'ing the earth by NeoThermic · · Score: 1

      And in the Australia reigon, Japan, Alaska, parts of South America... hell with the list, look at the number of quakes the earth gets per week: http://earthquake.usgs.gov/recenteqsww/

      Mabey we should think before OC'ing the earth :P

      Now, since its been slow, surely that would be it going back in time by a second a year? and now that its accelerated back to normal, wouldn't that be time travel to the future by a second a year compaired with its speed in 1998?

      NeoThermic

      --
      Use my link above, or to view my server, NeoThermic.com
    2. Re:Next on Tom's Hardware - OC'ing the earth by xC0000005 · · Score: 5, Funny

      It's running WindowsGE (geological edition). When you get a protection fault in the pacific, folks in Japan get the BWOD (blue wave of death). This was fixed in later revisions (code named Mars) Mars has no oceans, and hence no BWOD, but probe() calls tend to hang or crash on it.

      --
      www.voiceofthehive.com - Beekeeping and Honeybees for those who don't.
    3. Re:Next on Tom's Hardware - OC'ing the earth by Hes+Nikke · · Score: 1
      --
      Don't call me back. Give me a call back. Bye. So yeah. But bye our, well, but alright we are on a shirt this chill.
    4. Re:Next on Tom's Hardware - OC'ing the earth by Deraj+DeZine · · Score: 1

      You're silly. I like the way you used probe(). I like that you go there. You're--You're silly.

      Family Guy reference. If you don't get it, please ignore this post.

      --
      True story.
    5. Re:Next on Tom's Hardware - OC'ing the earth by CSG_SurferDude · · Score: 1

      DAMN!

      That's the funniest thing I've read on /. all MONTH!
      BR>

  11. clueless reporter by cyberman11 · · Score: 5, Informative

    According to http://tycho.usno.navy.mil/leapsec.html leap seconds compensate for changes in the earths rotational speed not the earths orbital speed.

    1. Re:clueless reporter by jim3e8 · · Score: 2, Informative

      It's true... an earlier poster noted there was a more informative NIST article, which it turns out also refers to rotational speed, not orbital speed.

    2. Re:clueless reporter by can56 · · Score: 1

      Correct ... leaps years are used to account for the earths orbital speed (~365.24 days, or rotations, per year, or orbit)

    3. Re:clueless reporter by Ledskof · · Score: 1

      Are they really for the earths rotational speed or the length of daytime?

      The speed that the earth orbits the sun is related to where the earth is pointing in space after a rotation. If our orbital speed changes, day time length changes.

      To take it to the extremes to get the point across:
      Imagine that it takes the eart exactly 24 hours for a full rotation. Then imagine that it takes the earth 96 hours to orbit the sun.
      Now imagine standing in New York at noon, with the sun directly overhead. In 24 hours the earth will have moved .25 the distance around the sun, but will not be facing the sun. It will be facing the same direction in space, but not at the sun.
      This is where Sidereal comes in...

      Or maybe I'm just not getting the point.

      --
      This is my sig. The post is over.
  12. It's Because the Moon is Gone by hondo77 · · Score: 4, Funny

    Don't you guys remember back in 1999 when the moon blasted out of earth's orbit? That would probably explain the change.

    --
    I live ze unknown. I love ze unknown. I am ze unknown.
  13. Physics for the rest of us by Sean80 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    OK so help me out here. Pardon the pun, but how on earth do they figure out that the earth is in the exact same position as it was a 'year' ago? Do they use the background of stars, or some other mechanism? How can they reduce the error in such a measurement so that they can be sure that a second has been 'lost'?

    1. Re:Physics for the rest of us by utahjazz · · Score: 5, Funny

      how on earth do they figure out that the earth is in the exact same position as it was a 'year' ago? Do they use the background of stars, or some other mechanism?

      Duh. They use GPS.

    2. Re:Physics for the rest of us by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny
      Duh. They use GPS.

      Galactic Positioning System?

    3. Re:Physics for the rest of us by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Do they use the background of stars

      In a word, yes.

    4. Re:Physics for the rest of us by Tackhead · · Score: 1
      > > Duh. They use GPS.
      >
      >Galactic Positioning System?

      Galactic Positioning System is borked. They failed to fully compensate for the relativistic effects due to the rotation of the central black hole.

      And do you have any idea how freakin' long it takes for the next satellite to pass into view if you can't get a good signal?

    5. Re:Physics for the rest of us by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 4, Interesting

      "Duh. They use GPS."

      I really hope that was sarcasm...

      Why? GPS is great for this.

      The length of each day has typically been 2-3 milliseconds longer than the day before. And the equatorial rotational velocity is 1670 km/hr. That means that at midnight, a point on the equator can be 90-130 cm away from where it was at midnight on the night before. After a week, the apparent motion is 7-10 meters, and after a year of this, you've moved 300-500 meters due to changes in rotational velocity. That's very noticeable.

      The only thing that GPS directly measures is the exact location of a receiver relative to orbiting satellites. It doesn't know anything about the rotational position of the earth itself beneath your feet. So GPS has to be continually calibrated so that stationary receivers at fixed points on the earth's surface don't appear to be slowly drifting. The apparent position of a fixed reference receiver is uploaded to the satellites as a correction or else any stationary GPS receiver would show a very noticeable drift as the weeks went by and people would notice. It should be trivial to calculate the drift (and the necessity of a leap second) based on the necessary GPS corrections that had to be made during the year.

    6. Re:Physics for the rest of us by mdw2 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      >The length of each day has typically been 2-3 milliseconds longer than the day before.

      then by your logic in 5600 a day will be ~25 hours, which will leave us with 350 days a year, basically a bunch of februaries.

      --
      This sig intentionally left blank.
    7. Re:Physics for the rest of us by NoData · · Score: 2, Informative


      The "punctuality" they're referring to (and the "leap second" correction) have to do with the rotational speed (length of a day) of the earth, not its speed of revolution around the sun (which leap days correct for).

    8. Re:Physics for the rest of us by Scott+Ransom · · Score: 5, Informative

      The Earth's rotation is referenced to quasars at cosmological distances from us. Since they are so far away, they are for all intents and purposes located at fixed positions on the sky (unlike many nearby stars which show parallax and proper motion over the course of a year or more). The postions are measured using radio VLBI (Very Long Baseline Interferometry) that can provide astrometric positions on the sky to better than a milli-arcsecond.

      For more info, browse here: http://hpiers.obspm.fr

      Note: IAAA (I am an astronomer)

    9. Re:Physics for the rest of us by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 4, Informative

      OK, that was a bad way of phrasing it. The 2-3 milliseconds is the rate at which the lag between UTC (earth) and UT1 (astronomical) time increases per day, not the change in length of each day relative to the last. The rest of what I said is still valid.

    10. Re:Physics for the rest of us by Johnny+Mnemonic · · Score: 2, Insightful


      You're assuming that the GPS satellites don't orbit at the exact same speed of the spin speed of the Earth; you're assuming that they in fact orbit a little faster than the Earth--that they orbit at a speed that is the exact same as the length of an ideal day.

      I don't know which speed they orbit at, but it's not hard to think that they orbit exactly as fast as the Earth spins, so they don't need to be corrected as you mention. I would be interested to know which is true.

      --

      --
      $tar -xvf .sig.tar
    11. Re:Physics for the rest of us by Scott+Ransom · · Score: 2, Informative

      Actually, GPS satellites are in high-Earth orbits, but are lower (closer) than satellites in geosync orbits. Their orbital period is about 12 hours and is therefore not even close to the rotational period of the Earth.

    12. Re:Physics for the rest of us by Jediman1138 · · Score: 1

      Calm down, HAL. It was a joke.

      --

      nothing.can.stop.me.now

    13. Re:Physics for the rest of us by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 1

      OK, I looked into it and it doesn't actually work like I thought. The DoD constantly monitors the satellite positions and tells the satellites exactly where they are in reference to fixed landmarks. So the difference between UTC and UT1 is done away with in that step. In principle you could determine the earth's rotational position by looking at deviations from expected satellite positions but that isn't very practical. An atomic clock, a few astronomical instruments, and a star will do just fine for determining the time difference.

    14. Re:Physics for the rest of us by DesertFalcon · · Score: 1

      Yeah but that's the rotation of the earth, not the orbit of the earth. How can you tell if the earth's orbit is changing in speed?

      --
      --- 11 meters/second, or 24 miles per hour - the airspeed velocity of an unladen European swallow. Really.
    15. Re:Physics for the rest of us by shaitand · · Score: 2, Informative

      Leap seconds have nothing to do with orbit, and everything to do with corrections due to the speed of the earth's rotation. Read the NIST article, the reporter who wrote the one posted on slashdot is clueless.

    16. Re:Physics for the rest of us by cluckshot · · Score: 1

      First Thanks for talking decently to the topic and explaining that the accurate measure is in fact accurate.

      Regards to the why of this odd behavior I am sure that there is a most reasonable explanation. It is probably as simple as some Gravitational effect in the region. It als may be Induction associated with solar activity. Essentially that very high solar activity associated with CME's may actually induce currents in the earth that accelerate or decelerate the planet from time to time

      In any case it is actually a matter worth looking into because it is in fine accurate measurement that we discover new things

      --
      Never Politically Correct ~ I prefer the facts If you don't like what I say, get a life, or comment yourself.
    17. Re:Physics for the rest of us by jafiwam · · Score: 1

      The way I understand how this works:

      Motion of the Earth in rotation and in orbit changes the forces and the direction of forces due to gravity from other bodies. (I.e. Sun and Moon make tides on water, and slightly "morph" the surface crust.)

      This energy in this motion is confronted by friction of the Earth, which is then lost as heat. (Tides warm the water flowing in and out of bays and so on...)

      Therefore the energy of that heat comes from the motion of the Earth in rotation and orbit.

      Over time, considerable energy is pulled out of the angular momentum (rotation) and orbital momentum of the Earth and lost to heat. Since the mass of the Earth doesn't change*, the only place the energy can come from is the energy stored in spin and orbital speed.

      So the Earth's rotation slows over time (as the need for "leap seconds" has illustrated).

      Next, why would the frequency of rotation not change even though there is less energy in the system than last year?

      Because the distribution of mass within the Earth is not behaving as it was before.

      Rotation speed is a function of angular momentum (energy in rotation) and the physical structure of the object. Given two examples, say a lead pipe and a bicycle wheel both with a mass of 1 kilo. Spin both at 3 turns per second (the pipe as if it were rolling on the floor the wheel as if on a bike in motion) and grab them to stop and note that the energy in angular momentum stored in each is not the same. Stopping the bicycle wheel takes more effort than stopping the pipe because the mass of the wheel is near the outside of the spin axis and the mass of the pipe is near to the spin axis (where it stores less energy as angular momentum at a given rotation frequency). With the same period of spin (3 times a second) the pipe has a lot less angular momentum.

      Apply this information to the Earth, and one must conclude that whatever was going on inside the Earth has changed. Since we know that tides occured this year and that energy was taken out just like last year, the only way the frequency of rotation (length of day) could have behaved differently is by the physical re-arrangement of the mass of the Earth.

      If for example, some of the dense core parts of the Earth stopped moving around and settled to a smaller unit at the center the Earth (with the same angular momentum) would speed up. (Think ice skater pulling in her arms to spin faster.)

      But since the angular momentum is lost to heat every year, in order to temporarily make the Earth not lose that second of rotation over the year the breakdown of where the mass is in the Earth must have changed to a state where it can store less angular momentum at a given speed, i.e. heavy stuff sank to the middle.

      I find this really interesting in the context of the Earth's magnetic field strength slowly going down too. Maybe the two events are connected and the magnetic flip is coming soon (geologic time) and whatever happens in the core to do that involves changes in the flow of the iron core that make it more ball-like than it was before.

      Anyway, it's interesting to me. :) I think I'll go scare my co-workers with the leap second thing.

      * Well, it does, we get lots of star dust dropped on us every year, and part of the atmosphere bleeds off into space, but apparently this doesnt add up to a cancelling effect on the other energies involved.

  14. I think... by trainsnpep · · Score: 1

    I think the answer to why it's on time is 42...

    OR

    Earth's friends thought she was sleeping around when she was "late" each year....she's trying to get rid of that image...

    --
    --<Mike>--
  15. this sucks by G27+Radio · · Score: 4, Funny

    I really could have used that extra second of sleep after partying late on new years eve.

    1. Re:this sucks by jonbryce · · Score: 1

      What? You're actually in bed by midnight?

      I really could use that extra second of partying on new year's eve.

  16. Actually by Exiler · · Score: 1

    Squirrel amputees just squirm faster, they'll STILL chase you down and gnaw out your eyes.

    --
    Banaaaana!
  17. It's funny... by shagoth · · Score: 2, Interesting

    before the atomic clock the Earth was always on time.

    It's good to know that the fudge factor isn't always necessary too, what with a leap second occurring every year at some point the slop has to be soaked up in the system. Were the powers that be planning to save up a leap day? If they had, where would they have put it? Frankly, just letting the extra second add onto the end of the year and letting 43200 years swap noon and midnight would have been an interesting social experiment. Assuming mankind hasn't destroyed itself by then, of course.

    1. Re: It's funny... by Black+Parrot · · Score: 3, Funny


      > before the atomic clock the Earth was always on time.

      Maybe we should set it 5 minutes fast, to allow a little extra time.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    2. Re:It's funny... by dissy · · Score: 1

      > Were the powers that be planning to save up a leap day? If they had, where
      > would they have put it?

      Feb 29h, every four years?

  18. 27 years. good statistical sample.... by smokin_juan · · Score: 1

    for a billion year old rock. but i guess that's why there wansn't any mention of dooms day, which i miss so... WERE ALL GONNA DIE!!

  19. The article is wrong, should be rotation by Thagg · · Score: 5, Informative

    The leap second is added to compensate for the slowing in earth's rotation, not its motion around the sun.

    It is somewhat odd that the rotation has stopped slowing down. Some have speculated that as more and larger dams are built, creating large lakes far from the equator, that there's a net movement of mass closer to the axis -- causing the earth's rotation to increase in speed slightly.

    On the other hand, global warming and the melting icecaps and warming oceans should move mass away from the axis, slowing down rotation.

    It will be very interesting to see what happens over the next few years. I'd be curious if there's any relationship between the non-slowing of the earth's rotation and the decrease in the earth's magnetic field, mentioned in Slashdot a couple of weeks ago.

    thad

    --
    I love Mondays. On a Monday, anything is possible.
    1. Re:The article is wrong, should be rotation by jonbryce · · Score: 1

      Wouldn't the melting ice-caps move the mass towards the axis overall? Yes, the ocean rises, but that's because the icebergs are melting and spreading the water all over the globe.

    2. Re:The article is wrong, should be rotation by G27+Radio · · Score: 1

      IANASH (Stephen Hawking), so I don't really understand how or how much mass/gravity warps space-time. So forgive me for asking, but could it be something to do with accumulation of mass, or related to the redistribution of mass due to mining?

    3. Re:The article is wrong, should be rotation by TeknoHog · · Score: 1
      I'd be curious if there's any relationship between the non-slowing of the earth's rotation and the decrease in the earth's magnetic field, mentioned in Slashdot a couple of weeks ago.

      If there are electric conductors around, then this is pretty obvious (from a physicists's POV :). You can try this by waving a magnet next to a nonmagnetic conductor (e.g. copper plate). The induced currents will tend to slow down the motion; if the magnetic field is weaker, the effect is less pronounced.

      The only obvious conductor I can think of is the solar wind (it is formed of charged particles which are relatively free to move under electromagnetic forces). I'm not sure how much it can affect the rotation though. Besides there are other factors that slow down Earth's rotation, notably the tidal effects of the Moon.

      --
      Escher was the first MC and Giger invented the HR department.
    4. Re:The article is wrong, should be rotation by Sylver+Dragon · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Other way round. If an ice cap melts, it will release water into the ocean. Generally speaking this is away from the axis of rotation (think: the geographical poles) Overall this should mean more mass further from the axis of rotation, hence slower rotation (conservation of momentum).
      On the other hand, if we have the ice caps growing, there should be more mass closer to the axis of rotation, and through the same principal, the Earth should rotate faster.
      Of course, I would tend to question how much of an affect the the melting or growth of ice caps has on the Earth. Consider that all of the ice in the world is a very small fraction of the total mass of the Earth. Technically, if all of it became concentrated at the poles or equator there may be a mesurable difference, but I seriously doubt it would amount to a 1 second difference in rotational speed throughout the year. But then, I've not bothered to do the math, so I could be wrong.

      --
      Necessity is the mother of invention.
      Laziness is the father.
    5. Re:The article is wrong, should be rotation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      IANASH (Stephen Hawking), so I don't really understand how or how much mass/gravity warps space-time.

      This isn't a space-time issue, it is believed that redistribution of mass on the earth is the cause.

      Like a figure skater pulling in her arms to rotate faster. More mass is closer to the axis of rotation of the earth, therfore it rotates faster.

    6. Re:The article is wrong, should be rotation by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      The leap second is added to compensate for the slowing in earth's rotation, not its motion around the sun.

      It is somewhat odd that the rotation has stopped slowing down.
      Sadly the article is not completely clear; The rotational period of the Earth 'jitters' both up *and* down over time. Leap Seconds can be both positive and negative. (IIRC the last negative correction was back in the 80's sometime.)
    7. Re:The article is wrong, should be rotation by yourmom16 · · Score: 1

      R_ij-(R/2)*g_ij=8pi*G*T_ij
      where R_ij is the Ricci tensor, R is its contraction, g_ij is the metric tensor, G is the gravitational constant, and T_ij is the stress energy tensor(for a stationary object in zero potential the time-time component is mass; the others are zero)

      --
      "We have got to make Stan understand the importance of voting, because he'll definitely vote for our guy." - South Park
    8. Re:The article is wrong, should be rotation by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      How much mass do we actually tunnel out of a mine, anyway? Probably not a whole lot - the whole idea of a mine is to avoid digging out any more material than absolutely necessary. Dams are different - you create an entire lake using one of those. A lake weights a LOT more than a mine. And mines probably tend to flood once they're abandoned, so the net change in mass is probably small.

      We haven't put much stuff into space when you think about it. Certainly less than a million tons.

      I'm guessing things like global temperature change are more responsible. That causes worldwide changes in the distribution of water, etc.

      Maybe the last few decades of environmental laws resulted in more forest build-up - that means less CO2 in the air and more bark on the ground?

      Who knows - it certainly is interesting, but it is hard to imagine that many artificial processes could have such a measurable effect on the mass distribution of the earth.

      I wonder what would happen if we asked the Chinese to all start walking North at the same time while the Americans started walking south. Maybe it would move the Earth's axis slightly?

    9. Re:The article is wrong, should be rotation by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      Maybe just bubbles of higher and lower density are moving around the core. Or maybe it is brownian motion of the earth in the solar wind. Who knows?

    10. Re:The article is wrong, should be rotation by geekoid · · Score: 1

      and 1 second is a small fraction of the total time in a year.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  20. No more Feb 29th? by MrsPReDiToR · · Score: 1

    Im presuming that somewhere along the line Feb 29th will have to cease to exist if we are to not end up ahead of time which could happen this year with the event of another leap year. My husband who is always late will love that, great excuse he can be 3 hours late and still be early!

    --
    It could be that the purpose of your life is only to serve as a warning to others.
    1. Re:No more Feb 29th? by KnightStalker · · Score: 1

      Well, if you're right, he will also be something like 80,000 years old, so he'd have an excuse for being late anyway. :-)

      --
      * And remember, it's spelled N-e-t-s-c-a-p-e, but it's pronounced "Mozilla."
    2. Re:No more Feb 29th? by TheF00 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Leap year has nothing to do with with leap seconds. Leap seconds are added due due to the slowing of the earths rotational rate. A leap year occurs when an extra day is added because the earth doesn't orbit the sun at exactly 365 days. Its 365.25... so every four years a extra day is added to keep the calender in sync. A leap second however only keeps the clock in sync.

    3. Re:No more Feb 29th? by Nekkrist · · Score: 1

      But...we already DO skip February 29th. The leap year occurs every 4 years, unless said year ends in "00." But if that year is divisible by 400 (like 2000) then it is a leap year.

      Which is why 2000 was a leap year, and nearly everyone alive today will assume that leap years always occur every four years. If anyone is lucky enough to live until 2100 they will realize that that is not a leap year.

      Of course if you really want to get technical...Encyclopedia Britannica states:
      For still more precise reckoning, every year evenly divisible by 4,000 (i.e., 16,000, 24,000, etc.) is made a common (not leap) year.

    4. Re:No more Feb 29th? by Stween · · Score: 1

      Nit-picking, I know, but ...

      I think there are 365.24 days in a year.

      It's a leap year if the year is divisible by 4, but not if it's divisible by 100 (unless it's also divisible by 400, hence why 2000 was a leap year).

  21. How do you know it's the Earth ... by juancn · · Score: 1

    ... and not the atomic clocks?

  22. Bad for United by KFury · · Score: 2, Funny

    Now there's one less excuse the airlines can claim for why my flight was late.

  23. Reminds me of the classic "if all Chinese jumped.. by pflodo · · Score: 2

    If all the chinese jumped off a chair at once, would it affect the earth? Original answer from StraightDope is here

  24. Smaller Rotational Intertia? by KFury · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Now that we've established that the article mistakenly talked about annual rotation instead of daily rotation, it seems plausable that a smaller rotational intertia is to credit.

    If the core settled down even a tiny bit, so heavier elements rested slightly closer to the core, the planet's axial rotation would speed up like an ice skater pulling in their arms.

    Alternatively, the wearing down of mountains (buildings?) could have the same effect.

    If the Earth is speeding up, perhaps the terrorists have already won.

    Maybe that's why they're all carrying almanacs!

    1. Re:Smaller Rotational Intertia? by Linker3000 · · Score: 1

      Maybe it's all these rotating hard disks and optical media drives we've stuck all over the surface!?

      It will be interesting to see what happens when we've all migrated over to purely solid-state or bio-organic memory devices!

      --
      AT&ROFLMAO
  25. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  26. Well now... by inode_buddha · · Score: 1

    any takers on what this might mean for date roll-over errors like the *nix epoch in 2038, or even this weird 29-bit thing?

    --
    C|N>K
    1. Re:Well now... by inode_buddha · · Score: 1

      Whoops, its cheesy to follow my own post, but I forgot to mention that New Near's day, 1970 was a leap-second. So maybe the beginning of the epoch doesn't exist in one sense?

      --
      C|N>K
    2. Re:Well now... by at10u8 · · Score: 1

      It means that the POSIX era counted by 32-bit time_t will end sooner as counted by elapsed SI seconds, but there will be no change in the date read by the clock so long as UTC retains its current definition.

  27. good point by G27+Radio · · Score: 2, Funny

    I really should've taken the optimistic view that I'd feel better new year's morning from not spending as much time partying the previous night.

  28. Phenomena=Plural, Phenomenon=Singular by dotslash · · Score: 1

    Observe: verb-subject agreement
    The regular mangling of this greek-derived word is a rather puzzling phenomenon.
    There are more puzzling phenomena in nature.

    I know I'm being pedantic... so sue me! ;-)

  29. Switzerland by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    If the Swiss Army equipment is so good, why don't these people try to take over the world by force instead of making clocks?

  30. 0.1 second irregularity and Modern Time Standards by thanasakis · · Score: 5, Informative

    There is a very comprehensive reference of currently used time standards over at wolfram research site. It came up yesterday while I was trying to figure out the difference between Universal Time (UT) and Coordinated Universal Time (UTC). In the last link I believe you will find that "Earth's rotation is irregular at the 0.1 second level" along with a diagram of the errors so far.

  31. Heh by NanoGator · · Score: 1

    Must... resist... yo mama... joke....

    --
    "Derp de derp."
  32. Damn! by serutan · · Score: 1, Redundant

    I miss that extra second of sleep we used to get every New Year's Eve.

  33. So global warming is friction? by jarich · · Score: 1

    We sped up and now the friction is warming up the planet? A whole lot of greenies are going to be very annoyed that we aren't trashing the planet after all! ;)

  34. Ha Ha! FART Strikes Again by Roofus · · Score: 2, Funny

    I'm the leader of a Terrorist organization known as FART. Over the past few years Fuck Anal Retentive Timekeepers (FART) has led millions of disenfranchised Timex employees in a quest to change time! Yes, every morning and night (corresponding with sunrise and sunset), we face our asses westward and let our flatulence fly!

    It's good to see our efforts to fuck with those atomic timekeeping twits succeeding!

  35. It's all relative by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

    It doesn't matter if there are two or two hundred billion people on this planet. The mass of the Earth as a whole doesn't increase by humans breading or being over weight. You have to keep in perspective that our bodies are formed from the very mass that makes up this planet in the first place. And and when we die, it will return back to the ground.

    Which is kind of gross when you think about it. Imagine some of those water molecules in my piss now being recycled back into drinking water....and the cycle continues.

    --
    Life is not for the lazy.
    1. Re:It's all relative by Snaller · · Score: 1

      Except we eat artifical food that produces more fat than went into it. I'd say the weight is increasing.

      --
      If Google really cared they would fix Android Chrome to reflow text, instead of discriminating
    2. Re:It's all relative by CableModemSniper · · Score: 1

      ahh yes, the weight is magically increasing because of the food we eat. Listen to yourself. Weight is relative the Earth anyway, its the mass thats imporatant. And the mass is not gonna change. We don't conjure magical mass out of thin air.

      --
      Why not fork?
    3. Re:It's all relative by Snaller · · Score: 1

      ahh yes, the weight is magically increasing because of the food we eat. Listen to yourself.

      Listen to YOURSELF. You are the one spewing monsense with your magical? There is nothing magical about it, its science. Look it up.
      Weight is relative the Earth anyway, its the mass thats imporatant. And the mass is not gonna change. We don't conjure magical mass out of thin air.

      No, we produce more of it through science - twit.

      --
      If Google really cared they would fix Android Chrome to reflow text, instead of discriminating
    4. Re:It's all relative by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      "No, we produce more of it through science - twit."

      *Sigh* Where do I even begin.... Through science we have the ability to create products such as cars, planes, trains....etc. BUT, those objects are still made out of the mass that was once inside the Earth. So, the total mass of the earth (that includes us and our creations) is still the bloody same. The only execption to that rule is when we launch objects into space such as probes and satellites.

      Really, it's basic science. It's reather pathetic that I'm even taking the time to explain this on SLASHDOT of all places!!! *sigh*

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    5. Re:It's all relative by Snaller · · Score: 1

      Really, it's basic science.

      No its a basic prejudice. We produce synthetic stuff that we consume, which makes os fatter and weigh more than what originally came from your "mass inside the earth" - so overall weight increases slightly.

      --
      If Google really cared they would fix Android Chrome to reflow text, instead of discriminating
    6. Re:It's all relative by CableModemSniper · · Score: 1

      What are you like, the King of the Trolls?

      --
      Why not fork?
    7. Re:It's all relative by Snaller · · Score: 1

      And you'd be the King of closemindedness?

      --
      If Google really cared they would fix Android Chrome to reflow text, instead of discriminating
  36. here is a plot of the length of day by at10u8 · · Score: 4, Informative

    The IERS has a plot showing how the length of day has decreased over the past few years. Curiously, the current phase of accelerated rotation of the crust began right around the time we started adding leap seconds to UTC.

  37. Do atomic clocks keep perfect time? by G4from128k · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It seems to me that physicists assume that their atomic clocks keep perfect time. But what if they don't? What if some key physical constants are changing in our neck of the universe. As an engineer I have found that most physical constants aren't (everything is a function of everything, its just an matter of the coefficient). In the case of the atomic clocks, a change of only 32 parts per billion would change the timebase by one second per year. Perhaps a particularly large, long-wavelength gravity wave has stretched spacetime and changed the clocks? Perhaps the four fundamental forces oscillate in undiscovered ways?

    IANAP, so perhaps a professional could explain why the atomic clocks must be right -- why a 32 ppb variation in them is impossible (i.e. would manifest itself in other more obvious ways).

    --
    Two wrongs don't make a right, but three lefts do.
    1. Re:Do atomic clocks keep perfect time? by at10u8 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      No, and physicists physicists do admit that they are not perfect. They also have a plan to use pulsars to see just how imperfect the atomic clocks are.

    2. Re:Do atomic clocks keep perfect time? by fermion · · Score: 2, Informative
      I not a real physicist, but here is my guess. Physical constants are constant within our ability to measure them. The one big exception is the speed of light in a vacuum, which is fixed by convention and we call it 'c'. 'c' is in fact a ratio of that what we call distance and what we call time. Every other basic constant is measured and the number reported is out best guess with the best estimate of the error. The constant appear to be fixed within our ability to measure them.

      We count seconds by counting the transition between the hyperfine levels of the ground state of the cesium 133 atom. We take any handy cesium atoms, count about 9 billions transitions, or actually the radiation from them, and call that a second. We build a machine to do the counting, increment, and we have a very accurate clock. We take some other arbitrary cesium atoms, build the same machine, and find another good match. In fact over time the scientists who do this thing think that all these clocks match to better than 1 part in a trillion That means that there is not going to be a meaningful difference in the measurements of an experiment of normal duration. Over the course of the year, perhaps a millionth of a second.

      In fact our second is not fixed. As we have more accurate ways to measure a second, the standard is updated. The new standard is as closes a possible to the old one, but not exactly the same.

      As far as whether constants are changing, I think we have no real way of knowing that. In the spirit of science, the simplest explanation is accepted as the best explanation. In this case, the clocks are accurate and constant, and the earth has a slight variation in it's mechanics. Whether this explanation is 'the truth' is left to the philosophers. Assuming that constants are different in different parts of the universe or that constants are varying below out ability to measure them is an unnecessary complexity wrt the measurement of time. There are people who research these things, but only to make sure everyone else it kept honest. When the discover a constant that is not constant, they will let us know.

      --
      "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
    3. Re:Do atomic clocks keep perfect time? by SamSim · · Score: 1

      I don't know about the mechanics of an atomic clock but I do know that the length of a second is defined on the period of vibration of a caesium atom and so on. So if you're counting those vibrations accurately, then it doesn't matter how fast those vibrations are relative to the Earth's orbital velocity... you've got the correct time, by definition. (You mean .)

    4. Re:Do atomic clocks keep perfect time? by techno-vampire · · Score: 1
      I not a real physicist, but here is my guess.

      And a bad guess it is, too. The speed of light in a vacuum is not a convention, it is the ultimate constant. No matter when or where you measure it, no matter how fast you are going, it comes out to exactly the same value. That means, if you're moving at .9c relative to me, and we both measure the speed of a beam of light going in the same direction as you are, we will both still come up with the same measurement: that beam is travelling at exactly c with respect to both of us. Weird, yes, but true.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    5. Re:Do atomic clocks keep perfect time? by Tjp($)pjT · · Score: 1

      Not all atomic clocks are based on the same standard oscillations (atomic weight of the studied material is different, orbital diameters, energies involved in the oscillations, etc.) so they would generate family descrepencies. And there are standards with short term stability that would not be affected the same way and would show unlikely errors enmasse. And, if it is just messing with the scale/rate of the passage of time in some other grander way, then it would be a NOP since it would affect all items within our frame of reference equally. Not to mention the gravity wave detectors should spot the gravity waves in question.

      --
      - Tjp

      I am in wallow with my inner money grubbing capitalistic pig. ... Oink!

    6. Re:Do atomic clocks keep perfect time? by spaceyhackerlady · · Score: 1

      I was told that the current lack of leap seconds was due to a change in how UTC is defined. It seemed that one atomic clock (Mongolia, or somewhere like that) kept really crummy time (by atomic clock standards). The huge variances relative to the clocks run by the nice folks at places liike NIST and NRC made it look like UTC was always a bit skewhiff, and they needed lots of leap seconds to keep it in line. Then they dumped the Mongolians and their crummy clock, the variances all but vanished, and they haven't neede leap seconds since.

      No confirmation, probably apocryphal anyway...

      ...laura

    7. Re:Do atomic clocks keep perfect time? by belloc · · Score: 2, Funny

      They also have a plan to use pulsars to see just how imperfect the atomic clocks are.

      Terrific. So how do they check the pulsars? Or is it just turtles all the way down?

      Belloc

      --
      I got more rhymes than Jamaica got Mangoes.
    8. Re:Do atomic clocks keep perfect time? by maird · · Score: 1

      OK, I admit this is written in utter naivity but aren't both the earth and atomic clocks effectively pendulums in this case. Wouldn't some physical behaviour that influenced one pendulum influence all co-located pendulums (all the atomic clocks of significance are on or very near to the other pendulum, earth). So if one measurably varies (rotation of the earth) and the other doesn't then shouldn't we expect there to be no external influence and, therefore, inductively reason that the atomic clocks are, for all intents and purposes, correct. I'll bet even atomic clocks on the remotest vehicles we have launched into space would still be too close to avoid the effect of something along the lines of what you describe. I see now that at least two other responses say the same thing better than I have (more scientifically) so I'll leave it there.

    9. Re:Do atomic clocks keep perfect time? by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

      No, I didn't mis-read it. He said that the speed of light is defined by convention, and he's wrong. It doesn't take any particular knowledge of Special Relativity to know that. Good thing, as I'm just a layman in such things.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    10. Re:Do atomic clocks keep perfect time? by danila · · Score: 1

      The fact that speed of light is 299 792 458 m / s IS merely a convention. We could have just agreed that it is 367 823 m / s if we had different standards for meter and second.

      Still, the reason for using c as a ratio between distance and time is that c is apparently constant. But fermion did not claim it do be otherwise - would be strange to not know the truth with a name like that.

      --
      Future Wiki -- If you don't think about the future, you cannot have one.
    11. Re:Do atomic clocks keep perfect time? by dublin · · Score: 2, Insightful

      They also have a plan to use pulsars to see just how imperfect the atomic clocks are.

      Terrific. So how do they check the pulsars? Or is it just turtles all the way down?


      Ultimately, it's *always* turtles all the way down when it comes to measurements. Sooner or later, you have to pick *something* and say, "This is my standard against which all things are measured." Sadly, we have (and can have) no truly absolute metrics of physical quantities against which to measure. Witness continual redefinitions of basic SI units over the past few centuries for a perfect example...

      Tha atomic cesium clocks are the standard because they are *believed* to be the most reliable timekeepers we have. But they may well be inconsistent, and subject to many vagaries in their regularity: quantum fluctations, distortions of space-time causing local compressions or expansions of time itself, or Vietnamese hegemony in Southeast Asia - we just don't know.

      In fact, we *can't* know, so we pick something, and hope it's good enough, vainly hoping that in this small way, man really can be the measure of all things...

      --
      "The future's good and the present is nothing to sneeze at." - Roblimo's last ./ post
    12. Re:Do atomic clocks keep perfect time? by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

      Ah, I see: quibbling. The velocity of light is not a convention, but the value we use for that constant (and all other constants that have units) is a convention based on the value of the units of measurements. How clever, how trivial, how irrelevant.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    13. Re:Do atomic clocks keep perfect time? by danila · · Score: 1

      Quibbling is what you did, not me. Go back and reread fermion's post. If we have 3 constants - metre, second and c, we can fix one, two or none of them and deduce the rest. Scientists decided to define metre and second in terms of physical processes/properties of objects and measure them. Since c is constant in special relativity, it has a fixed value for every set of values of metre and second. If we decided to make meter and c measurable, then 1 second could be defined as 299 792 458 m / c and it would be a universal constant. C being a constant (i.e. a fixed scalar number) is indeed merely a convention, as opposed to Pi being a constant.

      Actually, to think of it, the meter was defined independently from c till 1983 as the length of 1,650,763.73 wavelengths in vacuum of the orange-red emission line in the spectrum of krypton-86. The second was defined as the duration of 9,192,631,770 periods of the radiation corresponding to the transition between the two hyperfine levels of the ground state of the cesium 133 atom. So speed of light in m/s would be variable and would depend on the precision of our measurements. Only after 1983 the old meter definition was dropped in favour of the length of path traveled by light in vacuum during a time interval of 1/299,792,458 of a second.

      --
      Future Wiki -- If you don't think about the future, you cannot have one.
    14. Re:Do atomic clocks keep perfect time? by techno-vampire · · Score: 1
      C being a constant (i.e. a fixed scalar number) is indeed merely a convention, as opposed to Pi being a constant.

      C is not a "fixed scaler number," but a physical measurement with a unit of distance per time. The exact number used is, of course, dependant on what units you use to measure distance and time, but if you measure using meters per second and I use furlongs per fortnight, either can be converted to the other and get the same value. Pi, on the other hand is a pure number: it has no unit because its value doesn't depend on any unit. No matter what units you use, you come up with exactly the same number. Maybe this is what you were trying to say?

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    15. Re:Do atomic clocks keep perfect time? by danila · · Score: 1

      You're right - it was incorrect to call it a "fixed scalar number". But what I meant was that the speed of light depends on our accuracy in measuring it. Since early 20th century we knew that it is constant, but could not know exactly how big it is. We were also unlikely to know it to the billionth number after the decimal point (which we can with Pi). What scientists did (and it was merely a convention, as fermion argued) was to agree that c by definition equals 299 792 458 m / s. M/s being the fundamental unit, through which metre is now defined.

      We could be still defining metre and second and measuring speed of light, but as I wrote, scientists decided that it makes sense to define c instead (because speed of light is supposed to be constant) and measure the metre. Yes, it makes sense, but it's just a recent development and could have well be done the other way. That's why we called it a convention.

      --
      Future Wiki -- If you don't think about the future, you cannot have one.
  38. SOHO at the L1 Lagrange point? by Performer+Guy · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Just a thought and I know it's a miniscule mass by comparrison but we have sent some of Earth's mass to the Earth Sun L1 lagrange point which should slightly speed our orbit shouldn't it. The dates may coincide, it was launched in 95 but when it reached it's current orbit is unclear, some time towards the end of 1998 seems to be when some the instruments were first switched on. The on orbit dry mass of SOHO is 1350 kg.

    So how about some back of the envelope calculations. How much mass at the Earth Sun L1 Lagrange point would it take to influence our orbit by one second per year?

    I fully expect to be out by several orders of magnitude but can anyone answer?

    1. Re:SOHO at the L1 Lagrange point? by gordyf · · Score: 1

      Why just SOHO? We've sent a lot of stuff off the Earth - if SOHO can change it by one second, then we'd notice effects from everything else as well.

    2. Re:SOHO at the L1 Lagrange point? by Aglassis · · Score: 4, Informative

      According to Kepler's Third Law: the orbital period, T, and the semimajor axis, a are related by

      T^2/a^3 = 4 * pi^2 / ( G * M),

      where M is the mass of the Sun. Neglecting the gravitational attraction between the L1 mass and the earth (the L1 mass will be pulling the earth while its position remains constant since its pull towards earth is balance out by the pull toward the Sun), no change in Earth's mass will change its orbital period.

      --
      Suddenly, the hairy finger of a familiar monkey tapped me on the shoulder. It was time.--G. T.
    3. Re:SOHO at the L1 Lagrange point? by Performer+Guy · · Score: 1

      I disagree, the orbital period will be affected, there are more than two bodies involved.

    4. Re:SOHO at the L1 Lagrange point? by Performer+Guy · · Score: 1

      I'd thought about this and I think it may be relevant however there is no sustained effect for space probes. Stuff launched into Earth orbit still really counts as Earth mass for orbital purposes, it's only if it really leaves Earth's orbit that it matters and not much stuff has actually done that and the resulting impulse of departure would be negligible. However something sitting at the Lagrange point has an ongoing effect, at least in my opinion.

      Whether it ammounts to a second a year is another question, seems pretty unlikely but I'd run it by someone with the capacity to do the math on the 3 body problem.

    5. Re:SOHO at the L1 Lagrange point? by Aglassis · · Score: 1

      You said: " I disagree, the orbital period will be affected, there are more than two bodies involved."

      Let me be clear on some assumptions:
      1) For Kepler's Third Law: The mass of the sun is much more than the earth.
      2) For a L1 object: The mass of the earth or the sun is much more than the mass of the object. The reason is simple: If it were massive, it would pull the earth towards it making the Earth's orbit elliptical (since it is pulling the earth towards the sun but not affecting the velocity of the earth perpedicular to the pull), and therefore not become a L1 point. It would instead fall into an elliptical orbit around the Earth, and the resultant center of mass of the two objects would have a similar orbit (like the earths--almost circular) with a shorter period (since the center of mass of the system moved towards the sun). But this is probably not the system you are thinking of. If it is, then all you need a simple calculation of where the resultant center of mass of the Earth-satellite system is and you plug this value into the previous equation to find the orbital period.

      On a side note the first assumption is why spacecraft in orbit around the earth suddenly don't change orbit when they deploy payloads. An altered form is why two objects dropped on earth in a vacuum will fall at the same rate.

      --
      Suddenly, the hairy finger of a familiar monkey tapped me on the shoulder. It was time.--G. T.
    6. Re:SOHO at the L1 Lagrange point? by irchans · · Score: 1
      Assuming that the mass that leaves the earth and the earth are a closed system then angular momentum must be conserved.

      Angular momentum of the earth.

      L = (Mass Earth)*(Radius)^2/(Period)*(Some constant)

      The mass of the earth is about 6*10^24 Kg.

      To change the period of the eath's rotation by 1 sec per year, we would need a change of momentum of 1 part in 365*24*3600 = 3 * 10^7. So the mass removed to the L1 point would be on the order of

      6*10^24/(3*10^7) = 2 * 10^17 Kg.

      (Plus or minus a factor of 10.)

      (Assuming that all the mass ejected from the rocket falls back to earth without being affected by the solar wind or other stuff. Also, the earth would spin faster, not slower.)

    7. Re:SOHO at the L1 Lagrange point? by Performer+Guy · · Score: 1

      It's at the lagrange, so it would be a constant pull the entire way around. That would make us orbit faster. The Earth's orbit is already slightly eliptical, not that it greatly matters IMHO, SOHO station keeps and must at L1 anyway. The Earth's pull on soho makes it's orbital period longer and circular for it's distance from the Sun, being periodic with the Earth. It has a similar, opposite very slight effect on the Earth, I'm postulating.

      Let me frame the suggestion another way that fits your model more readily. With SOHO station keeping at L1 I think we can consider the Earth and SOHO as a single orbiting body, and the SOHO at the L1 lagrange means that the 'average' orbit is actually therefore closer to the Sun. So the question is what is the new orbital distance from the Sun if we integrate the masses and positions. I'm postulating that new orbit it's sufficiently closer to make a second difference.

      The key point is that the orbital period of two close masses pulling on each other around a third distant more massive mass is the integration of the masses. In this case SOHO's mass isn't orbiting the Earth but locked at L1 so it shifts the orbit.

  39. Re:0.1 second irregularity and Modern Time Standar by at10u8 · · Score: 4, Informative

    The World of Astronomy site at Wolfram.com is a bit out of date and does not include the most recent changes in time scales. I recommend this page which describes the history of various time scales.

  40. The Core? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    I thought they fixed that core problem a few years back by blowing the shit out of it with a bunch of nukes! I saw a documentary on this recently.

  41. On time by wafflemonger · · Score: 1

    Not only is it running on time, but on mertic time.

  42. Re:It's those d*mned Republicans! by DaveAtFraud · · Score: 4, Funny

    You got it backwards. The "leap second" was needed because the Earth *was* taking a little longer. For some reason it has stopped being slow by a second. If anything, its the Democrats trying to get Bush out of office a little sooner.

    --
    They that can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither safety nor liberty.
    Ben
  43. I'm really glad the Earth is on time by PollGuy · · Score: 1, Funny

    ...beause if Gaia were pregnant, it would mean massively swollen oceans, more earthquakes from the kicking, and a new moon that could severely affect the tides and drown us all. Not to mention the munchies.

  44. It's a conspiracy and Bush is responsible by jp93023 · · Score: 2, Funny

    Learn all about it at: http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboa rd.php?az=show_topics&forum=104

    --
    ----- Indecision is the key to flexibility.
  45. Required Mass Movement for 1 sec/year by G4from128k · · Score: 2, Interesting

    One second per year is about 32 parts per billion. Changing the rotation of the Earth by that amount could be accomplished by moving approximately 8260 cubic miles of "Earth" (i.e., material with the same average density as the planet) from the equator to the poles. Moving the material to the mid-latitudes would require moving more material to create the same rotational speed change. For example, we could move about 28,000 cubic miles of Earth from the equator to the 45 degree latitude belt.

    28,000 cubic miles of Earth seems like a lot until you spread it out around the Earth. If it were removed from a 1000 mile wide band around the equator, it would be only 6 feet thick. But this still seems like a lot to me because it would have to include changing the mean sea level by 6 feet too and this would be very detectable from orbiting altimeters such as TOPEX.

    Hmmm.... Either I've done these calculations incorrectly, or a great deal of material has been moved, or somebody hasn't published their data on changes in the planet's shape.

    --
    Two wrongs don't make a right, but three lefts do.
    1. Re:Required Mass Movement for 1 sec/year by Dachannien · · Score: 1

      Actually, what you've found is evidence against continued global warming: the polar icecaps are starting to refreeze.

    2. Re:Required Mass Movement for 1 sec/year by Dachannien · · Score: 1

      Uh... see the parent post? Or do I have to explain my joke? ;)

  46. Already 1st week of 2004 by ralatalo · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Kind of funny to read this the same day that I had to tell a customer that his program is reporting today is start of 2004 because he asked for 'week based year'

    which is the year that this week falls into, and according to ISO standards the 1st week of the new year is the week that contains the first thursdays in the new year.....

    so welcome to week 1 of 2004

  47. Well its obvious by Avalon's_Avatar · · Score: 1

    All these space ships leaving the Earth taking their damned mass with them. What we need is another asteroid to 'land' and restore the equilibrium ;)

  48. It's all about tides and the core by localroger · · Score: 4, Interesting
    There are two major effects going here. The first is the presence of the Moon and, to a lesser extent, the Sun. Tides drag on the Earth and slow its rotation. This is a relatively constant effect that is not going to change any time soon, for any reason, ever.

    Tidal slowing is also magnitudes more important than anything you'd see from mountain building, earthquakes, or any other surface phenomenon. The earth is BIG. But tides take out a LOT of energy. Tides are the major reason the Earth's rotational period slows over geological time.

    So right now, the Earth is not slowing; this must mean a shorter-acting phenomenon is supplying the rotational energy that the tides normally suck out. Again, there is only one thing big enough -- turbulence in the Earth's liquid core. Like the Earth itself the core is BIG so little changes in the fluid flow there can actually affect the Earth noticeably, and that flow is known to be chaotic -- because the magnetic field caused by that flow reverses periodically.

    My money would be on a near-term magnetic field polarity reversal. Of course "near term" probably still means it will be ten thousand years before it's a problem. Sucks to be a man-made satellite, though, especially when flying over the South Atlantic, an area where the Earth's magnetic field is already starting to do strange things.

    --
    Brackets contain world's first nanosig, highly magnified:[.]
    1. Re:It's all about tides and the core by myowntrueself · · Score: 1

      Would the Earths liquid core be subject to Lunar tidal forces just as the oceans are...?

      Given the difference in viscosity between the liquid water oceans and the liquid magma core, maybe there are some ummmmm 'beat frequency' effects or something like that? (where the two tidal systems periodically go in and out of sync)

      --
      In the free world the media isn't government run; the government is media run.
  49. Re:27 years. good statistical sample.... by Pieroxy · · Score: 1

    WERE ALL GONNA DIE

    The really scary thing with all that is that we are all going to die faster than expected! We now loose 1 second of existence every single year!!!!!!

    Talk about a WMD! 5 sec lost * 5 billion people = 792 years of life destroyed in 5 years. It's like if Earth just killed 10 people. We should invade right now, before next year when all that will happen again.

  50. Rotational Kinetic Energy by Michael.Forman · · Score: 2, Interesting


    If the Earth is assumed to be a homogeneous sphere and the rotational axis is assumed to be the straight line passing through the north and south geographic poles, the moment of inertia of the Earth is I = MR^2 where M is the total mass of the Earth and R is its radius. The kinetic energy of a rotating Earth is given by K = 1/2 I w^2, where w is the angular velocity.

    The energy associated with a 1-second shorter-than-expected day is equivalent to an extra 1.6e22 Joules of energy or 40 times the annual energy consumption of mankind (DoE 1999). The matlab script is here.

    Michael.

    --
    Linux : Mac :: VW : Mercedes
    1. Re:Rotational Kinetic Energy by Michael.Forman · · Score: 1

      Make that "a 1-second shorter-than-expected year".

      How am I ever going to earn the title of "Science Troll" if I keep making errors. :)
      Michael.

      --
      Linux : Mac :: VW : Mercedes
    2. Re:Rotational Kinetic Energy by iammaxus · · Score: 1

      So what you're saying is if i could just attach some sorta generator to the earth, we should be able to get 40 years worth of energy per second lost? Sounds like a fair trade

    3. Re:Rotational Kinetic Energy by Michael.Forman · · Score: 1


      I didn't really have a point when I wrote that. I was just curious how much rotational kinetic energy is normally sapped from the earth due to lunar tidal forces.

      Generating energy from the Earth, as you suggest is already done in a fashion. By generating energy from the ebb and flow of the tides we are increasing the resistance to the flow of the water, thus slightly slowing down the Earth. Additionally, when a spacecraft receives a gravitational boost from a planet, the spacecraft is actually decreasing the planet's potential energy, pushing the planet into an orbit slightly closer to the sun.

      As I understand it, the majority of the lost kinetic energy is transfered to the Earth-Moon system in the form of potential energy. As the Earth's rotation slows, the moon is pushed into a higher orbit. Eventually the Earth will "tidal lock" to the moon such that our rotational period equals the moon's orbital period -- the same side of the Earth will always face the moon. (The moon has already tidal locked to us, which is why we never see the far side of the moon.)

      Michael.

      --
      Linux : Mac :: VW : Mercedes
  51. A different God? by HermanAB · · Score: 4, Funny

    Well, I suppose Jupiter sacked Atlas for his continual tardiness and the new God is still all gung ho about the promotion to the new job. Eventually he'll get tired too...

    --
    Oh well, what the hell...
    1. Re:A different God? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Maybe Ayn Rand?

  52. Another Possible Reason: by DynaSoar · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Global dimming.

    To slow down in its orbit, it has to get farther from the sun (otherwise it'd fall in closer to the sun, and it doesn't).

    Light can exert pressure. That's the idea behind solar sails.

    The sun has put out 3% less light per decade for the last 50 years. It may have been pushing the Earth farther out, and with less light now, it's not.

    --
    "I may be synthetic, but I'm not stupid." -- Bishop 341-B
    1. Re:Another Possible Reason: by Baron_Yam · · Score: 3, Informative

      First, I believe "Global Dimming" refers to less visible light reaching the planet's surface, independent of any variation in the Sun's output. This is thought to be due to an increase in airborne particulates. I'd have to check, but I think average solar output has been relatively constant over the last 50 years. If solar output dropped 15.9% in 50 years, (as your 3%/decade number suggests), we'd all be popsicles by now.

      Second, I'm pretty sure that the Earth is too massive for reemission of solar radiation to generate enough thrust to cause a 1 second per year change in our orbit.

      Third, if the suggested causes involve changes in the Earth's core, the article is probably referring to changes in the length of the day (the Earth's period of rotation), and not the length of the year. I can think of no way, short of ejection of significant mass at escape velocity, that the Earth's core could affect the planet's orbit in any way.

  53. Leap second NOT every year... by seven+of+five · · Score: 1

    I can't believe timekeepers add 1 leap second EVERY year.... just every so often to correct for accumulated discrepancy between calendar time and orbit. Likewise, we don't have Feb 29th every year, but in enough years to make the orbit agree with the calendar over long periods of time. Of course, after many thousands of years even the Gregorian system will have enough error in it to necessitate some other corrections... way down the road... just think of the Y10K problems they'll have....

    1. Re:Leap second NOT every year... by Dahan · · Score: 1
      I can't believe timekeepers add 1 leap second EVERY year...

      No, they don't add (or subtract) a leap second every year; they do it whenever it's needed. And up until 1999, it had been needed every year or two, which is why it's a bit unusual that we haven't needed one in 5 years. See the complete list of leap seconds.

  54. Holleywood Anyone? by nettdata · · Score: 1

    This sounds like some bizarre cheesy plot from Hollywood gone awry...

    "What? Nothing's wrong? But that can't be right! We've got to try and break it again!"

    --



    $0.02 (CDN)
  55. Other alternatives by JCMay · · Score: 1, Interesting

    It could be, of course, that there's actually some merit to Barry Setterfield's theory that the speed of light is not constant, but rather has been decreasing throughout history.

    1. Re:Other alternatives by JCMay · · Score: 1

      How in the world is that flamebait? Could somebody exlpain?

    2. Re:Other alternatives by superyooser · · Score: 1

      I think that the moderator was responding to your sig. That's the only likely explanation. I just metamoderated the flamebait mod as unfair.

  56. Re:27 years. good statistical sample.... by Rick.C · · Score: 3, Funny
    there wansn't any mention of dooms day

    We here at HaulmarkCards.com think about Dooms Day a lot. An awful lot. We've been trying to come up with some catchy verses and clever phrases for a new line of Dooms Day greeting/sympathy cards. We have three problems:

    1. We're not sure exactly when Dooms Day will fall, so getting cards to retailers will be a logistical nightmare,

    2. We won't have much time afterward to spend the profits, and

    3. Well, gosh! We just don't know how to "read" the public on this whole Dooms Day issue. We don't want to come off all tacky with something like, "Life was Swell, See you in Hell!" Then again "Best wishes for a Brighter Tomorrow" just doesn't give us that warm fuzzy glow that your granny has come to expect from Haulmark Cards.

    So we're asking you, the movers and shakers in the feel-good arena to offer up some suggestions. (In keeping with our policy of not paying for anything, these would be considered free-as-in-"free advice".)

    TIA
    --
    You were 80% angel, 10% demon. The rest was hard to explain. - Over The Rhine
    "Math in a song is good."-Linford
  57. Earth orientation and the leap second by p_trekkie · · Score: 4, Informative

    As someone pointed out earlier, the article is incorrect, and a leap second is based on the slowing of earth's rotation.

    The dominant force behind the slowing is "tidal braking" from the moon. Basically, just as the moon exerts forces on the ocean, the ocean exerts forces on the moon. As a result, the moon is getting thrown gradually into higher and higher orbits because of force from the earth. The energy has to come from somewhere, and that somewhere is earth's rotational inertia.

    Leap seconds were implemented as a result of branch of astronomy known as earth orientation. Basically, Earth Orientation is astronomy backwards. By looking at distant quasars constantly and monitoring atomic clocks, astronomers can see minute changes in earth's rotation. Quasars are observed because they are bright (in the radio part of the spectrum) and are far enough away that any physical motion over time would be negligible in the night sky. Correcting for leap seconds and other rotational issues like precession and nutation allows for the accurate functioning of GPS.

    For more information, check out USNO's Earth orientation web site

    1. Re:Earth orientation and the leap second by p_trekkie · · Score: 1

      The other AC hit the nail on the head for the non-linearity. However, another contributing factor is that a leap second is accumulated difference. The actual day is only .0013 seconds off from 24hours if you assume a leap second every 2 years (which is what generally happened prior to this streak) and has been that way more or less since the start of atomic time.

  58. its not perfect by ArchieBunker · · Score: 3, Informative

    but they know the error rate and its extremely low. They measure the particle count of cesium or some other radioactive material and the official time is an average of all atomic clocks.

    --
    Only the State obtains its revenue by coercion. - Murray Rothbard
    1. Re:its not perfect by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      But this is based on the assumption that atoms decay at the same rate all the time and we only have difficulty measuring this rate exactly. What if sometimes atoms decay slightly faster and at other times they decay slower? Then all the clocks everywhere on earth would experience the same error and we'd never know unless you had some outside reference.

      We're starting to measure things so exactly that any misunderstanding of the laws of physics should start yielding strange measurements. Suppose some property of the universe causes slight changes in the laws of physics. Sure, it sounds far-fetched, but it is probably worth looking at since this can probably be studied fairly inexpensively (compared to building particle accellerators), and finding variations could lead to new physics.

      You can't assume that the rules that guys with geiger counters came up with hold in the world of quantum physics. We've already found lots of laws which worked really well which started breaking down when you looked really closely at things.

  59. it lost weight by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    It is because the Earth now weighs less due to all the probes we keep crashing into Mars.

  60. Its even worse! by jstockdale · · Score: 1

    I really could have used that extra second of partying early New Years Day.

    :) yes I know ... shameless.

    --
    **AA: a bunch of mindless jerks who'll be the first against the wall when the revolution comes
  61. This is caused by global warming by dheltzel · · Score: 1
    I'll leave working out the technical details as an exercise for the reader, but the earth has begun picking up speed due to global warming. If we don't stop it, we will soon be loosing seconds as the earth accelerates over time. This will be a VBT (Very Bad Thing), so I hereby call on all citizens of the world to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and take other steps to reverse the trend toward global warming and the increase in rotational acceleration that goes with it.

    Your SUV will be responsible for the next second that mankind will loose forever.
    Think of the children !! Oh, the humanity !!!

    This message brought to you by Green Peace and EWUTSOP (Environmental Wackos United To Save Our Planet)

  62. Interesting thought! by phoenix321 · · Score: 1

    mod parent up please, as this idea is not as far fetched as it seems.

    Plants are trapping only a very small amount of weight with each photon they absorb. But there are an awful lot of plants on this planet.

    Maybe the produced biomass is not so very small compared to the entire earth weight, especially if you accumulate this over millions of years.

    Have I lost the rest of my barely adequate scientific education or could this at least bear some truth?

    Could one of our /.-PhD's help me out?

  63. Intercalation, Calendar Calibration, Leap Seconds by HopeOS · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I recently had to implement code to convert terrestrial time (TT) to martian solar day (MSD). Some interesting tidbits in that research follow.

    As you might guess, the extra days in leap years help keep our calendars synchronized with our actual position about the sun (heliocentric longitude). This is called intercalation, and the general rules governing the gregorian calendar cover 400 year periods. Other methods exist which are in a sense more "accurate," but less useful for predicting future dates. Fortunately, the earth is pretty regular in its movement around the sun.

    The 0 degree mark for heliocentric longitude occurs at the vernal equinox, an event that can be easily determined from earth, and has been for centuries. In the Iranian calendar, the new year begins on the day of the vernal equinox. Since this event occurs later in the day each year, eventually an extra day must be added. Such calendars are based on observation rather than rule-based model and consequently are implicitly self-calibrating.

    Leap seconds, as pointed out, are an entirely different beast, and are meant to shore up the discrepency between our actual rotation and the atomic clocks we use. The current offset is 22 seconds slow officially. Oddly enough, a NASA document from 1997 uses a value of 63 seconds as the offset between TT (terrestial time) and UTC (Greenwich Mean Time). Another from 2000 shows a 32.184 second offset from TT to TIA (atomic). It doesn't exactly correlate or add up, and I'm not precisely sure why that is. Perhaps someone could enlighten me on the matter.

    Curiously, our leap years follow the mathematical model while our leap seconds follow the observation method of calibration. Consequently, you can determine the correct date in the future, but not the correct second.

    -Hope

  64. cyclical due to "gravitational friction" by austad · · Score: 1

    What if this is cyclical due to "gravitation friction" of the other planets on earth? Obviously not all of the planets pass by the earth at the same points during it's orbit because orbits are eliptical. Maybe the last few years we have not passed as closely to the other planets and therefore their gravity has not had such an effect on us. Maybe in 2000 years, we'll pass more closely during each orbit and we'll have to shave off 3 or 4 seconds. What we really need is several thousand years of data for this phenomenon, and compare it to how closely other planets passed to the earth during those years. Then we could try to correlate that data and see if this is in fact the reason we witness this.

    We could just ask the aliens at Area 51 for their observational data they have on us.

    --
    Need Free Juniper/NetScreen Support? JuniperForum
  65. Re:Well... by WatchMaster · · Score: 1

    Nope, they are definitely made in Switzerland. Some watches are made in Russia, but the Swiss do very little outsourcing for watch manufacturinng.

  66. Three Gorges Dam by bokmann · · Score: 1

    Some time ago, I saw a show on the Discovery Channel about the Three Gorges Dam project in China (Google for your own link). Apparently this dam retains so much water at high latitudes, that it was expected to 'speed up the Earth's rotation slightly', much like an ice-skater bringing in their arms so that they rotate faster. Why is this not mentioned as a possibility for not needing a leap second?

    Last month, New Scientist had an article about some GPS receivers having a bug related to the fact that 256 weeks have gone by without a leap second. Apparently, there is going to be a 1 second interval at 12 midnight UTC tha will register twice, causing some bizarre readings. Sorry I don't have a link for it.

    1. Re:Three Gorges Dam by jafiwam · · Score: 1

      It will make an effect, whether we can measure it or not is another story.

      Note however that a dam will keep more mass in water higher, and therefore will cause slowing, not speeding up of the Earth. (See my previous post if you want a wider picture of the concept.)

  67. Re:Reminds me of the classic "if all Chinese jumpe by Bagels · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Something like this was actually tested with a large group of English schoolchildren, I believe; it made a small blip on the Richter scale, but certainly nothing noticable. Fun, but as the StraightDope article says, fairly silly and pointless, as the effects can be estimated fairly easily with some physics.

    --
    --- Bwah?
  68. All I can say is... by JFMulder · · Score: 1

    ... how come something that travels thousands of kilometers per hour (or maybe even second's I have no idea!) and through what must be the most hostile environment known to man manages to be on time, but my bus manages to be late EVERY FRIGGIN DAY!?!?!?!

  69. This is not Flamebate! by bradams · · Score: 1

    Bad mod...

    --
    I like to build things and wire stuff together.
  70. How is it we gain a second though? by Jartan · · Score: 1

    I guess for once I can understand how the reporter got confused. The earths rotational speed has nothing to do with how long a year is. It has to do with how long a DAY is.

    So why do we gain a second every YEAR? If we were to continue such a trend it would imply that the earth would take twice as long to orbit the sun in approx 3.5 million years. Last I checked that's an alarming rate of change for a planetary object.

  71. Re:not quite by Aglassis · · Score: 1

    You said: "It doesn't radiate everything back

    Prime example: fossil fuels.

    Vast quantities of energy are stored that way. In addition to the known resources is probably a hundred or a thousand times more fossil biomass all around the planet.

    If the above AC is right with his assumption of "1kg mass per second", it would equate about ~31'500 tons of mass per year. Modestly assuming 5% of this is trapped in fossil material NOT radiated back, we would have ~1'500 tons each year. Multiply this with 90 million years since the extinction of the dinosaurs and you have a weight increase of about 150'000'000'000 tons. 150 billion tons. Not THAT much compared to the entire earth, but surely more than the weight of an average mountain.

    Take into account the earth and the plants are much older than 90 mio. years and you'll get insane amounts of energy trapped somewhere.
    "

    No.

    The average temperature of the earth is 800 degrees C but the average temperature of the surface is about 20 degrees C. Since heat doesn't transfer spontaneously from a colder object to a hotter one, the direction of heat transfer is towards the surface of the earth. Now if there was the same or more incident than emitted radiation, the temperature of the surface would increase, but this is not observed. The temperature is constant on the surface so the emitted radiation from the earth must be greater than the incident radiation by exactly the amount of heat transferred from deep in the earth to the surface. The reason that the subsurface remains constantly 800 degrees C is because of spontaneous fission of natural uranium spread out in the earth and decay of the radioactive products.

    Since net energy of the earth is decreasing, the mass of the earth would be decreasing, but this is probably easily made up by all the meteors and debris that is absorbed by the atmosphere.

    --
    Suddenly, the hairy finger of a familiar monkey tapped me on the shoulder. It was time.--G. T.
  72. AOL CDs by T-Ranger · · Score: 1
    AOL must have some way of directly converting energy into matter, specificly CDs ala Star Treks replicators. The proof being that if they arn't the entire earths resources would have been consumed 2 or 3 times over in their production via conventional means.

    And all that energy to matter conversion has increased the mass of the Earth. Which has increased its gravatational field, and the effects of everything elses field on it. Thus the earth is moving faster.



    Or possibly space dust.

  73. Hmmm... by Khan · · Score: 1

    I guess now I know why I'm always late to meetings ;-)

    --

    "Klaatu, verada, necktie!" -Ash

  74. Re:Reminds me of the classic "if all Chinese jumpe by WhiteBandit · · Score: 1

    Well this really can't be applied to all that much. In fact, I change out the seismograph drum at our school every few days. *I* can make a mark on the seismograph by jumping up and down (and this is with the gain set to 80 instead of 95). Then again, the seismometer is in the basement of the building, it should be buried about 60 ft. underground.

    Regardless of that though, we can still pick up the ground noise of construction equipment completely on the otherside of campus.

    Basically, anything hitting/moving along the ground is going to create shock waves. How large depends on the KE involved. :P

    (Hmm, I think the point of this was to say that it doesn't need to be a large group of people, my wussy 165 lb. frame can also create a "small blip on the Richter Scale.")

  75. Marching soldiers/oscillating bridge ( javaapplet) by pflodo · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Which is why soldiers march out of step over bridges, interesting java applet showing why.

  76. I was with you... by Snaller · · Score: 1

    ...right up to "recently" !

    --
    If Google really cared they would fix Android Chrome to reflow text, instead of discriminating
  77. If atomic decay isn't regular by porkchop_d_clown · · Score: 1

    then we have much bigger problems than losing seconds on the atomic clocks. Basic things like our understanding of atomic structure and radioactivity would have to be rewritten.

    1. Re:If atomic decay isn't regular by bar-agent · · Score: 1
      Well...it looks like we'll have to rewrite the rules anyway, now that they've:
      • discovered pentaquarks,
      • maybe (or maybe not) found gravitons,
      • discovered a new subatomic particle with theoretically impossible properties, and
      • found evidence that space-time is actually smooth.
      See the latest issue of Discover .
      --
      i'd hit it so hard, if you pulled me out you'd be the king of britain [bash.org]
    2. Re:If atomic decay isn't regular by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      If you want to study physics that were only discovered in the last 100 years you have to be willing to deal with the occassional total rewrite of the book...

      That isn't to say that the current understanding of the rules isn't good enough for 99% of regular work. Most airlines don't take into account relativity when plotting a course of an A320, for example. Actually, NASA probably doesn't do it either when plotting the courses of interplanetary probes - since the error in the thrusters and intertial guidance is probably more than the correction. They just compromise and make corrections throughout a trip...

  78. Re:Marching soldiers/oscillating bridge ( javaappl by Mantorp · · Score: 1

    Cool, I ran the NYC marathon this year and the bridge right at the beginning (Verrazano-Narrows)was moving like crazy with everybody on it good thing we were out of step.

  79. Re:Reminds me of the classic "if all Chinese jumpe by Mantorp · · Score: 1

    some years back the B-52s were told not to play "Rock Lobster" at some arena because organizers were afraid of what could happen with everybody jumping to the beat.

  80. Lots of long words... by HopeOS · · Score: 5, Informative

    A simpler explanation for those who got lost in the long words.

    Each day, the sun rises and sets a little more to the north or little more to the south depending on the season. The days of the year where the sun reaches the most north or most south are solstices. When the sun crosses the middle, they're equinoxes. The official "spring equinox" is when the sun crosses the middle moving north. If you were to call that the first day of the year and beginning counting days, you will total up 365 days between equinoxes. After about four years of that though, you'll be off by one, so you'll need to add an extra day. This is called "intercalation."

    One could make a rule to add an extra day every four years, but after 100 years or so, they would be foward one day too many. Skip the 100th year, and after 400 years, they'd be 1 day behind. The rule as it stands is every fourth year, except years ending in '00, plus every 400th year. Easy enough, but still not quite right.

    Because the rule is not quite right, it will never be perfectly accurate. But if you follow the rule exactly, you can tell that January 1, 1601 was Monday for instance. You can also tell exactly how many days are between now and January 1, 2400 because you know which years are leap years.

    The method of watching the sun and adding leap years as necessary is a great way to stay exactly on time, but really inconvenient if you need to predict exactly how every year will fall for the next 100 years or so.

    Some people say so what, just live. Who cares if your birthday in 20 years is on a Tuesday. Tax collectors care... Money lenders care... Hallmark greeting cards cares... Calendar makers care... The Vatican cares... So we use the 400 year rule and call it the Gregorian Calendar. It works well enough.

    As for TT, UT, UTC, TIA, ET, and a number of other time standards, well... the important thing is that we're now using very accurate clocks for counting seconds and we've determined that the earth does not spin all the way around in exactly 24 hours no matter how closely we've measured it. In fact, it had slowed down for awhile and now seems to have gotten back up to speed.

    We determine the difference between the atomic clock and the earth by watching the stars go by, and after spinning, spinning, spinning, we watch the atomic clock and the sky, and if it doesn't come out just right, we assume the clocks are right and the earth is wrong. To make up the difference, we throw in an extra second once every 6 months as necessary. It hasn't been necessary since 1999 which was the crux of the article.

    -Hope

    1. Re:Lots of long words... by SlashSim · · Score: 1
      We determine the difference between the atomic clock and the earth by watching the stars go by, and after spinning, spinning, spinning, we watch the atomic clock and the sky, and if it doesn't come out just right, we assume the clocks are right and the earth is wrong.

      It seems to me that both the earth and the clocks are right. The earth gives the correct answer in days because the rotation of the planet defines night and day. The clocks also give the correct answer in seconds because a second has been defined as the time it takes a certain amount of cesium atoms to decay.

      Thus, both the earth and the clock give a correct answer, just not the same answer. This is a problem, but only has been since 1972 when a second ceased to be a precise and consistent fraction of a day.

      --
      If the only tool you have is a hammer, you'd better start looking for a carpentry job.
    2. Re:Lots of long words... by frdmfghtr · · Score: 1

      One could make a rule to add an extra day every four years, but after 100 years or so, they would be foward one day too many. Skip the 100th year, and after 400 years, they'd be 1 day behind. The rule as it stands is every fourth year, except years ending in '00, plus every 400th year. Easy enough, but still not quite right.

      Not quite sure how you see it as "easy enough." I just checked, and 2000 was in fact a leap year, even though it ends in '00.' Was 2000 one of the '400' years? Where is the starting point, year 0000? Or is it more correct to include years divisible by 400 rather than saying every 400th year?

      --
      Government's idea of a balanced budget: take money from the right pocket to balance...oh who am I kidding?
    3. Re:Lots of long words... by p3d0 · · Score: 1

      Hey, that's the best explanation I have ever read, except that the current definition of the second was adopted in 1967. 1972 was when the current system of leap seconds began.

      --
      Patrick Doyle
      I mod down every jackass who puts his moderation policy in his sig. Oh, wait a sec....
  81. Biomass? by hlee · · Score: 1

    Wonder if biomass could account for the difference. In the past, Earth could be gaining biomass (vegetation, organic life): Sun's energy -> matter. Hence the slowing rotation. But over the past hundred years or so, we've been burning so much fossil fuel, and destroying so much vegetation, the Earth is lightening up again, thus increasing in rotation speed. At the rate we're going, scientists may have to start subtracting seconds...

  82. The problem was fixed.... by Jasalan · · Score: 1

    because Kernel version 2.2.4 was released (http://lwn.net/1999/0325/a/224.html). Linus said some of the new features would be showstoppers:)

    --
    Top ten reasons to stop procrastinating: 10.
  83. Mountain out of a molehill by hcg50a · · Score: 1

    The Associated Press is

    (a) making a mountain out of a molehill about this,

    (b) reporting the information 6 months late, and

    (c) mangling the science in the information beyond all recognition.

    This adjustment of leap seconds occurs because the second is based on the rotation of the Earth as it was in 1900. The rotation has slowed down slightly since then, so seconds have to be added once or twice a year to keep the day in sync with the sun.

    This is strictly analogous to adding leap days to keep the months in sync with the seasons, because the day does not evenly divide the time of one Earth orbit. Similarly, the second no longer evenly divides one rotation of the earth.

    This time difference has nothing to do with traveling through space, and is a routine matter.

    Here is the actual announcement:

    -----------------
    INTERNATIONAL EARTH ROTATION SERVICE (IERS)
    Paris, 1 July 2003

    NO positive leap second will be introduced at the end of December 2003.

    The difference between UTC and the International Atomic Time TAI is :

    from 1999 January 1, 0h UTC, until further notice : UTC-TAI = -32 s

    Leap seconds can be introduced in UTC at the end of the months of December or June, depending on the evolution of UT1-TAI. Bulletin C is mailed every six months, either to announce a time step in UTC, or to confirm that there will be no time step at the next possible date.

    --
    HCG 50a = 2MASX J11170638+5455016
    11h17m06.4s +54d55m02s
  84. Greeting Another New Year without a Leap Second by rpiquepa · · Score: 1

    For more about this phenomenon, you should read this overview, based on a National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) news release. In addition, you'll see pictures of two atomic clocks used to officially measure time since 1971. The first one dates back from 1949, while the second one, based on cesium and built in 1999, is still in use.

  85. Re:Reminds me of the classic "if all Chinese jumpe by Wolfrider · · Score: 1

    +1 LOL after reading that article

    --
    .
    == WolfriderV6 == I'm willing to admit that *I just might* be wrong... Are you??
  86. London Pedestrian Bridge by CmdrGravy · · Score: 1

    A couple of years ago a new pedestrian bridge was opened in London over the Thames but had be shut again almost immediatley after the grand opening because of the alarming way it swinging.

    Subsequent investigation discovered that there were a couple of bands playing on the opening day and everyone on the bridge had unconciously fallen into step with the beat.

  87. Re:Intercalation, Calendar Calibration, Leap Secon by bar-agent · · Score: 2, Funny

    Fortunately, the earth is pretty regular in its movement around the sun.

    Well, according to the article, the Earth has been having trouble with regularity.

    Anybody got any bran muffins?

    --
    i'd hit it so hard, if you pulled me out you'd be the king of britain [bash.org]
  88. Dutch Railroad by fhpaterek · · Score: 1

    The Earth's Delay has been absorbed by the Dutch Railroad. Since 1999 they have been delayed more and more. It is the law of constant delay.

    It has direct relevance with Moore's law. Trains are never delayed when the connecting bus has a delay.

  89. It's the beagles by Spam.B.gone · · Score: 1

    They all launch them in the same direction, thus kicking the earth forward a bit. Maybe Beagle3 could aim for something different than mars?

  90. What?! by hak+hak · · Score: 1

    On first reading, I thought it said 'Time Travel on Earth, Again'...

  91. Amazing by AgentGray · · Score: 1

    This will probably be taken as a troll, but it's amazing at how much natural order in the universe happened by chance.

    --
    "Power corrupts. PowerPoint corrupts absolutely."
    1. Re:Amazing by Myrthe · · Score: 1
      This will probably be taken as a troll, but it's amazing at how much natural order in the universe happened by chance.

      How much is that? You mean "all of it" ?

  92. Earth's fading magnetic field may be related by grimover · · Score: 1

    The article mentioned Earth's punctuality may be realted to magnetic phenomenon. The Earth's magentic field has reduced by 10% in the past 150 years according to a study released this month (link below), and they projected that if the tend continues, our magnetic field (and the protection it provides from solar flares) could be gone altogether in 1500 to 2000 years (and it would then take several centuries for a "flip" to occur as happened 780,000 years ago when the field settled into its more recent equilibrium state). Of course, the Geophysical union said this is an "unlikely" scenario, perhaps they're thinking the natural history of earth is calm, peaceful, and gradual -- its NOT! http://www.cnn.com/2003/TECH/science/12/12/magneti c.poles.ap/index.html

  93. Matrix World by Tazzy531 · · Score: 1

    Has anyone pondered the idea that we have just entered the Matrix? 1999 could have been the year that the "machines" have resetted us back to that year. Since they are automatrons, for simplicity, they've assumed that if a variable is constant for a given time, it must be a constant [ie earth's rotation]

    --


    _______________________________
    "I'm not Conceited...I'm just a realist..."
    1. Re:Matrix World by Myrthe · · Score: 1
      yeah! and then maybe they made the matrix sequels really crap just so we wouldn't take them seriously1!!

      oooh. spooky.

  94. Parent poster is on drugs by Ben+Hutchings · · Score: 1

    What the hell was I talking about? Forget it.

  95. Space is smooth? by porkchop_d_clown · · Score: 1

    Dang. Discover is reporting space is smooth, while SciAm features an article on how space is discrete and quantum in nature.

  96. Thank you, Mr. Bush! by louzerr · · Score: 2, Funny

    This could be just one more "boast" for the Bush campaign - "During my (usurped) presidency, not only did I fight terrorism, Sadam, and free markets, I also kept the world running on time!".

    --
    "The large print giveth, and the small print taketh away" -- "Step Right Up", Tom Waits
  97. True, but the model of atomic decay is pretty by porkchop_d_clown · · Score: 1

    solid, not just with theory but with lots of observational evidence.

    1. Re:True, but the model of atomic decay is pretty by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      I agree with you - but I'm just saying that when you start getting wierd results you shouldn't be too quick to start discounting possible explanations.

      I do agree that a misunderstanding of the laws of atomic decay probably aren't responsible for these observations. But you never really know for sure until you do the math. Of course, if you wanted to test the rate of atomic decay you probably wouldn't do so by comparing it to the rotation of the earth (whose mass-distribution is very hard to measure). There are probably better experiments for that...

  98. Elastic pyroclastics? by bad_source_BIOS · · Score: 1

    We all know that rock is brittle stuff when we see it at room temperature. Here's where I appeal to someone who actually knows if magma can be sticky or rubbery, like a rubber band, at the temperatures found in the core. Maybe a glassblower could speak for the quartz portions, anyway...
    If the center of the earth is like a rod, up and down through the middle, and the magma mix is like a collection of rubber bands connected at one end to this rod, with the other end wrapped around a weight or ballbearing or whatever....
    Rubber bands only stretch so far, absorbing angular momentum in this case, until they're not elastic anymore. At that point, they stop stretching.
    Then perhaps we just witnessed the beginning of the end of the Great Winding Up. This is where the more elastic, stickier, and hottest parts of the core are stretched as far as there going to, in preparation for the Great Snapping Back. So watch for the future need to shave seconds off the day. Or maybe tell your grandkids to tell their grandkids to tell their grandkids.

    Sound like fun?

  99. Re:Marching soldiers/oscillating bridge ( javaappl by operagost · · Score: 1

    I was disappointed that they only allowed 10 soldiers. It wasn't enough to exceed the stress limits of the bridge and send the company screaming into the drink.

    --

    Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
  100. Strange days by t0ny · · Score: 3, Funny
    The rate that the Earth travels through space has slowed ever so slightly for millenia. To compensate for this, since 1972, scientists have added a "leap second" at the end of each year. The problem: Since 1999, the Earth has been on time.

    Well, everyone keeps saying the world moves faster these days. I guess they are right.

    --

    Manipulate the moderator system! Mod someone as "overrated" today.

  101. Re:It's those d*mned Republicans! by PReDiToR · · Score: 1

    Someone with mod points didn't like that, -1, Overrated. Haha.

    --

    Do not meddle in the affairs of geeks for they are subtle and quick to anger
  102. Systems question - anything automatically add sec? by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    Since they are going to not add an extra second this year, it made me wonder - are there any systems around that automatically assume a leap second every year and will start to drift off now as a result? Or libraries built to calculate future time that have the same issue...

    Just goes to show that any assumptions are dangerous!

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  103. Re:Slightly more informative story OT by SlashSim · · Score: 1



    At least they're not calling it a new years tree...

    --
    If the only tool you have is a hammer, you'd better start looking for a carpentry job.
  104. Speed of light is NOT constant by G4from128k · · Score: 1

    The speed of light is a function of the medium it is passing through -- light travels more slowly in materials like optical fiber, water, air, etc. than it does in a "vacuum." The index of refraction defines this differential between the speed of light in the medium vs. in a "vacuum."

    I put "vacuum" in quotes because we are assuming that all vacuums (defined by the absense of normal matter) are created equal. Who knows if "vacuum" is really uniform across the universe. Atomic clock makers already know that the Earth's gravitational field distorts space-time and affects the clock rate and they try to compensate for that. But what if other factors (e.g., density of dark matter, zero-point energy, long-wavelength gravtity waves, etc.) affect the local vacuum or the electomagnetic properties of eletron orbits and change the speed of light and/or change the frequency of cesium atoms? (Note that current gravity wave detectors can only detect high-frequency gravity waves -- I doubt they could detect nanohertz waves).

    I suspect that clock makers are forced to assume that certain physical properties are constant (speed of light, electromagnetic force constants, etc.) It seems we have a tautology -- we have a definition of the speed of light that assumes the timebase is constant and a timebase that assumes the speed of light is constant. Perhaps we can use pulsars to check the accuracy of our clocks (assuming that we understand the decelleration of pulsars, stretching of space between us and them , etc.)

    --
    Two wrongs don't make a right, but three lefts do.
    1. Re:Speed of light is NOT constant by techno-vampire · · Score: 1
      The speed of light is a function of the medium it is passing through -- light travels more slowly in materials like optical fiber, water, air, etc. than it does in a "vacuum."

      Yes, of course it is. However, it is constant within that medium. As I said, no matter who measures it, no matter when or where, the speed of light is a constant. (Yes, it's a constant for that medium if you want to nitpick, but it is a constant.)

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    2. Re:Speed of light is NOT constant by G4from128k · · Score: 1

      >The speed of light is a function of the medium it is passing through -- light travels more slowly in materials like optical fiber, water, air, etc. than it does in a "vacuum."

      Yes, of course it is. However, it is constant within that medium. As I said, no matter who measures it, no matter when or where, the speed of light is a constant. (Yes, it's a constant for that medium if you want to nitpick, but it is a constant.)


      We both agree that light travels at a constant speed in a given medium (at least over macroscopic distances -- I have no idea how "fast" light propagates at subatomic distances). Where we may disagree is that today's vacuum is the same medium as yesterday's vacuum. Could the Earth be passing through an errant blob of dark matter or some such phenomena that changes the index of refraction of a vacuum?

      What I wonder about, now, is what will happen if we create 4 separate, but equally accurate clocks based on each of the 4 physical forces. It seems to me that current high performance clocks rely on the electromagnetic force (old inaccurate pendulum clocks used gravity). Are there any clocks based on the strong force or weak force?

      --
      Two wrongs don't make a right, but three lefts do.
    3. Re:Speed of light is NOT constant by techno-vampire · · Score: 1
      Where we may disagree is that today's vacuum is the same medium as yesterday's vacuum. Could the Earth be passing through an errant blob of dark matter or some such phenomena that changes the index of refraction of a vacuum?

      Not a disagreement at all; simply something I'd not taken into account. Nice idea, and quite reasonable. Not sure how you'd use either the strong or weak force, but it might be possible to find a way to measure something about the internal vibration (if any) of the nuclei of different isotopes.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
  105. Length -of-Day is important physical dataset by peter303 · · Score: 1

    Length-of-day (LOD) data is an important dataset for geology and astronomy. The LOD fluctuates up to a millisecond on a daily basis, well within clock precision for the past several decades. LOD has cycles various months and decades long. These are thought tied to ocean and atmospheric circulation, earthquakes, the motion of the moon, and other unclear causes. LOD is related to similar wobble cycles of the earth's rotation axis.

  106. Clarification by nanobug · · Score: 1
    If you check the bottom of this page you will see that the rate of earth's rotation has not sped up, neither has the slowing of the earth's rotation stopped. In actually the slowing of the earth's rotation has slowed, so instead of having to add a leap second nearly every year, they only need to add one every several years (if the current trend continues).

    Of course, one can still speculate as to why the rate of slowing down has slowed down.

    A maze of twisty little nanotubes, all alike - nanoDiamond.

  107. Really they should have kicked you out of school. by Ayanami+Rei · · Score: 1

    baka.

    --
    THIS THING CAN TURN ON A DIME, MACROSSZERO STYLE ALSO FUCK BETA, ~NYORON
  108. (oops I meant to reply to Snaller) by Ayanami+Rei · · Score: 1

    gack.

    --
    THIS THING CAN TURN ON A DIME, MACROSSZERO STYLE ALSO FUCK BETA, ~NYORON
  109. Icecaps melting doesn't move much water by cr0z01d · · Score: 1

    Try an experiment for yourself. Put a bunch of ice in a glass. Add water until the ice is floating. Put cellophane over the top to reduce evaporation. Measure the water level. Make the ice melt with a warm water bath, microwave, waiting, or whatever. Measure the water level again.

    --- SPOILER ---

    The buoyancy of an object is equal to the weight of the fluid it displaces. Any object which floats has weight equal to its buoyancy (otherwise it would move up or down). So, the ice weighs as much as the volume of water that it displaces. When the ice melts, the amount of water from the ice melting is the same as the amount displaced by the ice in the first place. So the water level doesn't change.

    This works with water because water expands when it freezes. Most substances contract when frozen, so they will sink. This also doesn't work with Antarctic ice. Antarctic ice is resting on a nice chunk of land (although the land itself is floating -- continents are buoyant, too). Temperature can cause water levels to rise, however, through thermal expansion. Imagine the oceans as one giant thermometer. This is counteracted by increased evaporation, I have no idea which is greater.

    And this, folks, is why every ecologist should know how to use differential equations. Seriously. You can make your own models with Stella from http://www.hps-inc.com.