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Solar Cell Achieves 40% Efficiency

Fysiks Wurks found on the U.S. Department of Energy website news of a breakthrough in solar energy efficiency. From the article: "...with DOE funding, a concentrator solar cell produced by Boeing-Spectrolab has recently achieved a world-record conversion efficiency of 40.7 percent, establishing a new milestone in sunlight-to-electricity performance." A page linked from Wikipedia's article on solar energy calculates the land area that would need to be covered by solar collectors at 8% efficiency to meet the world's energy needs (using 2003 figures). At 40% efficiency, it looks like a square 265 miles on a side in the American southwest would do it.

632 comments

  1. transport losses? by toQDuj · · Score: 5, Insightful

    yes, a few hundred miles in the american southwest would do it (anyone objecting to using Texas?), but only if the entire world lived in the american southwest. As it is, energy losses due to transportation are quite significant and hinder an all-out world power source plan.

    B.

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    1. Re:transport losses? by dew-genen-ny · · Score: 3, Insightful

      When you say energy losses due to transportation, are you just talking about transmission over wires?

      How about conversion to something like hydrogen?

      There are lots of desert areas that I'm sure could be used for energy generation, at least it would be better than polluting our way to global death....

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    2. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful
      As it is, energy losses due to transportation are quite significant and hinder an all-out world power source plan.


      Also the fact that USA is hostile to the rest of the world and extremely selfish, means no other country could trust it as a source of energy anyway. Example about the area was there just to illustrate, not as a concrete suggestion how energy needs of the world should be solved. There might be even better places in Sahara, but we'd still face the problems of moving the energy efficiently. Luckily, solar energy is quite easy to decentralize, however not suitable for every country.

    3. Re:transport losses? by Jugalator · · Score: 1

      Yes, so they could use a much smaller area for just the US instead, and have the cells a bit better distributed. I don't see how that would be a bad thing though. Sure, perhaps for underdeveloped countries (who're going to spend all the money to build for them?), but not really elsewhere. 40% efficiency would have enormous benefits, let's hope we get their in production cells soon enough.

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    4. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      it's about time to utilize your house roof!!

    5. Re:transport losses? by krotkruton · · Score: 1

      Nobody said that the area couldn't be split up and put in different places, but you make a good point anyway.

      Also (not contrary to anything you were saying), I did not read the article, but the summary said 265 miles on a side, which turns out to be 70,225 square miles. Texas is 268,581 square miles. A solar array that large would take up a little over 26% of Texas. When put in that perspective, that's a huge mass of land. Using "265 on a side" just doesn't do the size justice.

    6. Re:transport losses? by Gotta+ask+yourself.. · · Score: 1

      But why would you want to have only one energy source anyway? Obviously the "one-spot-on-earth" example was just that, an example, but in a real situation it would make far more sense for each country to have its own solar cells to draw energy from, or at least have them more evenly spread across the globe, both for politica, economical and logistic reasons.

    7. Re:transport losses? by nicholas. · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And yet somehow we have no problems tranporting oil to non-oil producing regions. A huge solar farm could produce massive amounts of hydrogen. And hydrogen transports just as easily as oil via the same infrastruture. Cheap, unlimited, nearly clean energy and all we have to do is build it. I bet (no figures nor money to back me up) that we could have built several solar farms for the cost of one war in Iraq --not that I'm getting the two issues confused ; )

    8. Re:transport losses? by jtorkbob · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Hydrogen conversion has its own inefficiency, so that's out.

      That statistic is simply an illustration in any case. Obviously there are some other places in the world where such installations could be put; perhaps some less sunny ones would require more space to reach equivalent capacity.

      In any case, I think that a 100% solar earth is unlikely:

      * Much of the time it is night, and storing that much juice in batteries is impractical. Things like hydroelectric storage and thermal solar plants could help with this problem, but its a whole different research issue.
      * In the event of, say, a major volcanic eruption or meteor impact, world power production would plummet. That could be the least of our worries.

      Solar and wind are like the icing on the clean power cake. They are great for the role they serve, but you can't have them for dinner without getting a stomach ache.

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    9. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      Great. You've been so brainwashed by the media measuring in Libraries of Congress or Size of Texas that now you are forced to convert into those units to understand a size.

    10. Re:transport losses? by Shados · · Score: 1

      Just having it as standard on the roof of 80% of the houses of the metropolitan areas of the world probably would cover a large chunk of the energy requirements. Then build a couple of "solar plants" here and there over the world to sell it like we do with hydro-electric dens right now. Then finish it all up with a few hydrogen or whatever "factories" that use this as power, and you should cover 95%+ of energy needs of the world. Because no solution fits everything, cover the last 5% with the good old fashionned ways (dens, fossil fuel, etc). Even if this is just a pipe dream... if we could only lower fossil fuel use by, let say, 5-10%, that would already have extreme benifits.

    11. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      And hydrogen transports just as easily as oil via the same infrastruture.

      Bzzt! Wrong answer. Hydrogen requires a completely different infrastructure that has never been massively developed. Transporting hydrogen trapped in a hydrocarbon is feasible and could use the same infrastructure, but hydrogen itself is a much more complicated issue. You either need to cryogenic cooling or you need to build infrastructure that has low hydrogen diffusion and low hydrogen embrittlement (and probably very high pressure to move a significant energy density of hydrogen around if you go the gaseous path). People who want hydrogen for various industries tend to steam reform it from hydrocarbons instead of using this oil infrastructure you think can transport hydrogen.

    12. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The map on the link is very interesting. Contrast it with this map of population density, notice how population density is almost inversely correlated with total solar irradiance (except for India and some parts of Africa). Also remember that the resistance of a wire increases with its length. This means that, barring millions of miles of superconducting cable, the transmission losses incurred by transferring PV generated power from sunny areas to populated areas will most likely swamp any advantage (other than generally reliable sunlight presence) of locating PV plants in sunny areas.

      Additionally, consider that the population of the Earth is likely to grow, a little, and become more developed, a lot, which will increase energy needs by perhaps a full order of magnitude. The expected population of the Earth in 2100 using energy at the rate of the developed world corresponds to something like 100 TW continuous power usage by the world. Factoring all that in (even using the 40% uber-efficient PV cells), we would have to dedicate something like the equivalent of the area of India to PV arrays. And India is not such a small place...

    13. Re:transport losses? by SnowZero · · Score: 1

      At $50 a square foot (the current cost of a 25%-efficient cell), a 265-mile square of solar panels would cost $98 trillion dollars. That's quite a bit more than fighting even an expensive war. We will still need a few more breakthroughs for solar to be practical. With a 5x reduction in price, for example, you'd probably start to see it on a lot of buildings.

      NO WAR FOR SILICON!

    14. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even if this is just a pipe dream

      It is. You haven't factored in the most important part. What is the cost per kilowatt-hour? I don't care if these solar cells get 99% efficiency if they can't produce electricity for less than $0.07/Kwh. Additionally, you should note that these solar cells won't be useful for cars, trucks, or ships (60% of worldwide energy usage) so you won't be able to drop 95% of the energy needs of the world unless hydrogen produced from these solar cells is also cheaper than oil.

    15. Re:transport losses? by poopdeville · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I think the best use for this technology would be to put it on every roof in in America (and Europe and eventually the world), and use nuclear power as a method to buffer against periods of low sunlight.

      While the major volcano/meteor event you mentioned could deplete the nuclear buffer, it would do that (and worse) now.

      At the very least, considering the effects on the economy that nearly free energy would have, we could build enough nuclear power plants to completely handle our energy needs in case such an unfortunate turn of events occured. Hell, we could sell of the surplus nuclear energy to subsidize projects like the complete mechanization of food production, -- obviously using our nearly free energy. Or just lower taxes (though I would prefer the former)

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    16. Re:transport losses? by krotkruton · · Score: 1

      Minor correction: We will still need a few more breakthroughs for large-scale solar to be practical.

    17. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      Mod parent up. He clearly knows how to achieve the technological utopia we all long for.

    18. Re:transport losses? by poopdeville · · Score: 2, Informative
      And yet somehow we have no problems tranporting oil to non-oil producing regions.

      We don't?

      Wait, we do. And that's the prime economic reason developing alternative energy strategies is in the US's (and everyone else's) best interests, despite our reliance on our current profits in the energy market.

      --
      After all, I am strangely colored.
    19. Re:transport losses? by mubes · · Score: 2, Insightful

      With the exception of nuclear power we already have a 100% solar earth to all intents and purposes. It's just the conversion techniques that vary.

    20. Re:transport losses? by Basehart · · Score: 2, Funny

      "Much of the time it is night, and storing that much juice in batteries is impractical."

      Doesn't it say in the bible somewhere that it's a sin to stay up after the sun goes down? Regardless, maybe we could get back to a more wholesome existence and put a stop to all that late night fun I hear people having outside while I'm stuck here coding until I go crosseyed.

    21. Re:transport losses? by Travoltus · · Score: 1

      "Hydrogen conversion has its own inefficiency,"

      Unlike, of course, gasoline-powered engines.

      (satire off)

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    22. Re:transport losses? by kihbord · · Score: 1

      I believe that a jump from 8% to 40% is very significant. Now if someone can at least translate that to a solar powered cell phone or PDA, that would at least solve most of our problems of having to find a charger as part of our daily lives. ;-)

    23. Re:transport losses? by dbIII · · Score: 4, Informative
      The big point with photovoltaics is you can stick a little panel just about anywhere and not worry about line losses or being on the grid at all - plus the lead time to set something up is very low - buy a panel and get an electrician to wire it up. The big problem with photovoltatics is it doesn't scale up - so for a really big facility you are better off with something that does like a thermal solution or very large water turbines if you are lucky enough to have somewhere to put them. Having a lot of cheap mirrors putting heat on some expensive photovoltaics gets halfway there.

      If you are just going to put bare panels somewhere it makes more sense to stick them on the top of existing poles instead of in some big facility since they act as discrete units anyway. Once they get rolled out there really isn't much that has to be done with them - the photovoltaics that existed when Einstein was young probably still work.

      Personally I think we are already seeing the start of one of the major potential uses for photovoltaics - appliances that don't have to be plugged into the grid. If the prices come right down things like solar mobile phone chargers may well become mainstream.

    24. Re:transport losses? by catprog · · Score: 1
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    25. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      anyone objecting to using Texas?

      Of course not. Why not just wipe out the whole Deep South while you're at it?

    26. Re:transport losses? by jamesh · · Score: 1
      In any case, I think that a 100% solar earth is unlikely

      I know i'm being pedantic, but strictly speaking pretty much all of the power sources used on Earth are solar in one way or another. Think of coal and oil as a huge battery that has been charging up for millions of years. Wind is generated by solar energy too, as is the rain that ultimately generates hydroelectricity.

      Even more strictly speaking, given that the sun is a gigantic nuclear furnace (thanks TMBG :), we could say that almost all the energy we consume was ultimately created from a nuclear reaction (fusion or fission). Geothermal and tidal energy are two non-nuclear energy sources that spring to mind.
    27. Re:transport losses? by jtorkbob · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think the best use for this technology would be to put it on every roof in in America (and Europe and eventually the world), and use nuclear power as a method to buffer against periods of low sunlight.

      I agree that local micro power is another good peice of the puzzle. My number one goal in life is to eventually live in a home with a net energy surplus. Of course, my penchant for running Linux on old hardware might turn into a barrier to this.

      While the major volcano/meteor event you mentioned could deplete the nuclear buffer, it would do that (and worse) now.

      Well, given a 'minor' event like Mt. Saint Helens, light blocking would only be a minor concern to the overall energy supply as we have it now. Obviously ash and debris in equipment, supply chain interruption and so on would be another issue entirely.

      Hell, we could sell of the surplus nuclear energy to subsidize projects like the complete mechanization of food production, -- obviously using our nearly free energy. Or just lower taxes (though I would prefer the former)

      Well, that's a different question, one I hadn't considered too deeply. Still, until we develop a 'perfect' single energy source a la Mr. Fusion, there will have to be a wide variety of energy sources in order to have a stable energy system. Nuclear/fossil systems require finite and largely imported fuel. Wind, solar and geothermal require specific geography. Hydroelectric fsks up the ecosystem. Each has its place in the ideal system, however limited.

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    28. Re:transport losses? by ryanw · · Score: 0

      Well, where there's dark, there's light. In otherwords, connect the continents with a few huge long cables and have collectors in each time zone to help carry the weight.

      Think it's insane to drag long cables across continents? Read about the Transaltlantic Cable sometime.. Huh, maybe there's enough old copper still connecting the continents already to not have to run any new wires? That'd make it even easier!

    29. Re:transport losses? by name*censored* · · Score: 1
      Apples and oranges. The numbers given on the costs of solar power amortise the costs of setting up the panels and all the materials (given the average lifespan of the panels), whilst the $0.07/kWh only takes into account the amount it costs to purchase the wholesale coal/oil/whatever. It does not include the costs of the infrastructure/etc costs. Solar power is *technically* free, since if you ignore the installation/setup/maintainance costs all you need is a sunny day. But you are correct about the cars/trucks/ships, since a high powered electric car is just a pipe dream and hydrogen powered cars have their own set of issues; and also that solar power is intermittent (weather/seasons/solar activity/etc), so entrusting 95% of our power generation on it means that

      (Total Grid Usage)-(Power Generated by solar in least optimal conditions)=(non-solar power output);, ie, the margin of error between (grid usage) and (solars' least optimal output) has to be within 5% in a 95% solar grid (as we can negate power storage == pipe dream).

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    30. Re:transport losses? by jtorkbob · · Score: 1

      Well, the GP wasn't suggesting using Hydro to power automobiles, he was suggesting using it to transport energy from the SW US to the world.

      That being said, if my understanding is correct, burning oil to make electrical power, turning it in to hydrogen via electrolosis, and turning it back into electrical power in a fuel cell is only marginally better than just turning the oil into gasoline and running it through your internal combustion engine, not to mention more expensive.

      Of course the hydrogen method could use more efficient polution controls, and certainly helps with urban smog. And some portion of your hydrogen isn't made with fossil fuels.

      I'm too tired to look up the numbers. Anyone? Straight-up efficiency from oil to car?

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    31. Re:transport losses? by bytesex · · Score: 1

      You hear that sound ? That's the sound of something that's just an illustrative example flying way over your head. It would be even more efficient, don't you think, if you could build all of these babies on the equator, at more than one place (always sunshine) around the world.

      --
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    32. Re:transport losses? by jtorkbob · · Score: 1

      Well, the problem is that you'll have moster loss from stringing cables that far. Wikipedia explains. And good luck insulating that monster. Ever notice that they sting them ten feet apart on transmission lines?

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    33. Re:transport losses? by EzInKy · · Score: 1


      Also the fact that USA is hostile to the rest of the world and extremely selfish, means no other country could trust it as a source of energy anyway.


      Every nation is hostile to things that hurt their interests. Tell us how we can save energy and maintain our our current position and we will most likely comply. Win-wins are great for everybody, win-loses are not.

      --
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    34. Re:transport losses? by Logi · · Score: 1

      yes, a few hundred miles in the american southwest would do it (anyone objecting to using Texas?), but only if the entire world lived in the american southwest. As it is, energy losses due to transportation are quite significant and hinder an all-out world power source plan.

      That's very cute, but the (265mi) figure is purely for illustrative purposes. Nobody is actually considering building such a thing. It's just more succinct than saying "28 squares 50 miles on a side" which might concievably be built or "700 squares 10 miles on a side" which could actually be built or "a few hundred 10-mile squares scattered through the world for where solar power is a better option than hydro, geo-thermal, wind, wave or tidal power." which would actually make sense.

      --
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    35. Re:transport losses? by Lectrik · · Score: 1
      I know i'm being pedantic, but strictly speaking pretty much all of the power sources used on Earth are solar in one way or another. Think of coal and oil as a huge battery that has been charging up for millions of years. Wind is generated by solar energy too, as is the rain that ultimately generates hydroelectricity.

      Even more strictly speaking, given that the sun is a gigantic nuclear furnace (thanks TMBG :), we could say that almost all the energy we consume was ultimately created from a nuclear reaction (fusion or fission). Geothermal and tidal energy are two non-nuclear energy sources that spring to mind.


      Hmmm.... perhaps we could de-group the nuclears and then we'd have Fission and 3 (fusion in the sun, tidal and geothermal) powered by gravity at that point we have power sources not powered by consuming fuel, but by fuel merely being present. Our next step is to increase our gravity efficiency. Unfortunately, during our last set of experements we accidentally compressed a star into a black hole obliterating the civilization funding our research.
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    36. Re:transport losses? by Eivind · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Sure. That's actually another *advantage* of solar.

      It's a lot more practical to scatter a large numer of smaller solar-plants around than it is to do the same with nuclear, oil or coal-powered plants.

      If you do this, for example, by installing them on the roofs of homes you get 2 extra benefits:

      • It makes the house less hot. If 40% of the sun is converted to electricity, then that's 40% which is *not* converted to heat. Decreases the demand for AC.
      • It produces the most power precisely on the days when the demands on the grid is at its peak. (assuming warm/sunny areas) Which, is optimal if your goal is reducing the strain on the grid.
    37. Re:transport losses? by Sique · · Score: 2, Informative

      The best ones are the directly injected Diesel engines (like the TDI or HDI) with about 46%, then the directly injected gasoline engines (~43%). For a car you have to subtract the losses due to the transmission, the clutch and the tires, and you have to take into consideration that the engine runs most efficiently only in a narrow band of rotations per minute (around 40% of the max revs for four-stroke machines, about 70% of max revs for two-stroke machines).

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    38. Re:transport losses? by wall0159 · · Score: 1

      "Hydrogen requires a completely different infrastructure that has never been massively developed."

      So what?? Have you ever thought about what a technological miricle the extraction, processing and distribution of oil is?

    39. Re:transport losses? by Bastard+of+Subhumani · · Score: 1
      I think that a 100% solar earth is unlikely
      I agree. It can't happen, won't happen, and never did happen. Er, wait...
      --
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    40. Re:transport losses? by Eivind · · Score: 1
      100% anything is unlikely. A combination of multiple sources of energy will always be required. Luckily, many renewable energy-sources compliment eachother excellently.

      Hydropower for example, is a perfect match for wind or solar.

      Where wind or solar can only produce when there's wind or sun, have no inherent possibility of storing the energy, and *must* produce (or waste the energy) even if production outstrips demand, hydropower is precisely the oposite:

      • Production is limited by rainfall, but given a magazine you don't need to produce *when* it's raining, you can store the energy until needed.
      • You can even use such a powerplant as a giant battery, by using cheap surplus power at off-peak times for actively *pumping* water up to the magazine. (efficiency of storage is on the order of 75%)

      So;

      • Too little power from non-variable sources (nuclear, sun, wind, tide): produce the lacking power by drawing water from your magazines.
      • Just rigth amount of power from non-variable sources: stop the hydro powerplant.
      • Too "much" power from non-variable sources: store the enery by using the hydroplant as a pump.
    41. Re:transport losses? by buffer-overflowed · · Score: 2, Funny

      Even the nuclear stuff is solar. Big matter crushing solar explosions of doomy doom.

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    42. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      {{Hydrogen conversion has its own inefficiency, so that's out.}}

      Why do you say this? It is about 50% to convert electricity to hydrogen and back again.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fuel_Cell#Efficiency

      {{Much of the time it is night, and storing that much juice in batteries is impractical. Things like hydroelectric storage and thermal solar plants could help with this problem, but its a whole different research issue.}}

      So what you do is convert surplus energy (during the day) to hydrogen and store the hydrogen, then convert it back again at night.

      The overall requirement then is to have 3 times as much solar generator capacity as you need average power overall. During times when the sunlight is available, you supply your base load and you use twice as much again to build up a hydrogen buffer.

      At night, you deplete your buffer to continue to supply the base load.

      {{They are great for the role they serve, but you can't have them for dinner without getting a stomach ache.}}

      Not true any more. You need to re-examine your assumptions here.

      At 40% solar cell efficiency, and 50% fuel cell efficiency, solar and wind together with hydorgen storage as a temporary buffer are quite viable to provide energy needs.

      Non-polluting, too. No greenhouse. No global warming. No outlandish technology research required, just investment in infrastructure.

      You could even work out a way to power vehicles in this cycle.

    43. Re:transport losses? by 1u3hr · · Score: 1
      Tell us how we can save energy and maintain our our current position and we will most likely comply.

      You really want to maintain your position as the most hated country in the world? I suppose you've worked hard to earn it the last five years.

    44. Re:transport losses? by mcvos · · Score: 1
      Hydrogen conversion has its own inefficiency, so that's out.

      No it's not. Everything has its own inefficiency, including traditional power plants. You have to accept some inefficiency, and hydrogen is definitely a strong candidate for storing energy.

      In any case, I think that a 100% solar earth is unlikely:
      * Much of the time it is night, and storing that much juice in batteries is impractical. Things like hydroelectric storage and thermal solar plants could help with this problem, but its a whole different research issue.

      But storing energy is definitely doable. It's not a reason why 100% solar won't be feasible.

      * In the event of, say, a major volcanic eruption or meteor impact, world power production would plummet. That could be the least of our worries.

      It would be the least of our problems. Food production would plummet, and so would temperature across the world. I don't think any kind of large scale energy production can survive a catastrophe like that.

      But you're right in one think: 100% solar won't happen. There are too many alternatives, like wind, hydro, biomass. If you look at that map, Europe doesn't receive a lot of sun shine, yet it consumes a lot of energy. It can buy its energy from the poor Sahara countries ofcourse, but with the amount of wind here, I expect we'll be making a lot of use of that.

    45. Re:transport losses? by Eivind · · Score: 4, Interesting
      True, if you had enough solar-power to cover the entire grid, and surplus in addition to that, then producing hydrogen for vehicles would be fine.

      Aslong as you're doing less than covering grid-use though, you're better of with a storage-mechanism that wastes less, such as pumping water to a magazine higher up.

      You can store substantial amounts of power. If your magazine is 400 meter higher than the powerplant, then each additional cubic-meter of water up there contains 1Kwh. Thus, for example, the Veltdalslake (western Norway) with a size of about 12km^2 and 25 meters of regulation, at 1100m can store on the order of 900 million Kwh -- which counts as a substantial battery in my book. :-)

    46. Re:transport losses? by value_added · · Score: 1

      There are lots of desert areas that I'm sure could be used for energy generation, at least it would be better than polluting our way to global death.

      Exactly!

      We need to stop polluting our environment and cure ourselves, once and for all, of our addiction to oil, and remove all the social and geopolitical problems that it causes. I propose we set up a solar infrastructure somewhere in the world where there's lots of empty desert, and have some big company build it for us because every knows private industry can always do things cheaper and more efficiently than some bloated government bureaucracy.

      Maybe we can do this somewhere in the Middle East and ... oh, wait ...

    47. Re:transport losses? by Bastard+of+Subhumani · · Score: 1
      Have you ever thought about what a technological miricle the extraction, processing and distribution of oil is?
      I certainly haven't. But then, when it comes down to it, it's not a "miricle" at all, is it? The technology's been around since early last century.
      --
      Only three things are certain; death, taxes, and apocryphal quotations - Ben Franklin.
    48. Re:transport losses? by BigBuckHunter · · Score: 1

      * Much of the time it is night, and storing that much juice in batteries is impractical. Things like hydroelectric storage and thermal solar plants could help with this problem, but its a whole different research issue.

      I'm not going to disagree with you, I would just like to point out that it's "always" daytime somewhere on the planet. With that in mind, things become a grid complexity problem rather than a energy storage problem. Running a low resistance, high capacity cable under the ocean is equally as complex as storing an evenings worth of electricity for a country like the US. Besides, if the cable were ever to snap, hilarity would ensue. Where's the fun in your plan?

      BBH

    49. Re:transport losses? by Eivind · · Score: 4, Insightful
      But that's just non-useful pedantry.

      At a large enough distance, all things are the same. Which removes distinctions which in real life are useful.

      For example, the phrase "renewable energy-source" actually has meaning. True, one can claim that *no* energy-source is renewable -- because entropy will always increase, and for example solar-power is nuclear, and infact the sun is going to run out of fuel at some point.

      Or you could argue the oposite; that pretty much all energy-sources are renewable; oil coal and gas come from organic matter afterall, so given a long enough time, there's no reason why they shouldn't renew.

      But this is just playing word-games. You've told nobody anything new with this. We're talking here and now and on human timescales.

      Oil won't renew -- in the next 10, 100 or 1000 years. So for practical purposes it's non-renewable.

      The sun won't run out of hydrogen the next 10, 100 or 1000 years, and furthermore it doesn't run out any faster if we install solar-cells. So for all practical purposes, the sun is a constant source of energy.

    50. Re:transport losses? by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      If you are just going to put bare panels somewhere it makes more sense to stick them on the top of existing poles instead of in some big facility since they act as discrete units anyway. Once they get rolled out there really isn't much that has to be done with them - the photovoltaics that existed when Einstein was young probably still work.

      Not true.
      • Photovoltaics output DC - while the power those poles carry is AC. That means conversion electronics (which can and will fail).
      • Many places the panels will get coated with pollen/dust, bird poop, etc... etc... which will need to be cleaned.
      • Photovoltaics do breakdown - both the coatings on the cells and the wiring and interconnections are vulnerable.
    51. Re:transport losses? by somersault · · Score: 0, Troll

      Exactly what 'effects on the economy' do you expect? Hundreds of thousands of jobs lost in the power industry (possibly taken up as solar panel repairmen?). Grid power costing more for those that can't afford to buy enough solar panels? There's a lot more to an economy than just how much the middle-upper class pay in their bills. Not that I ever studied economics, but I don't see why this has to have a positive effect on an economy?

      --
      which is totally what she said
    52. Re:transport losses? by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Invest in Australia, we have paddocks bigger than that. :)

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    53. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Doesn't it say in the bible somewhere that it's a sin to stay up after the sun goes down?
      Huh? Ohhh, you mean the holy book of environmentalist religion, yes, the true followers have to stop all activities at times there's no sun for solar power generation.

    54. Re:transport losses? by somersault · · Score: 1

      Or you could say the Solar stuff is nuclear ;)

      I didn't think of that before. The fact that all our power stems from the sun is pretty interesting to think on, and fairly obvious once you know it, but I didn't consider that it's really nuclear power that the sun is using in the first place :]

      --
      which is totally what she said
    55. Re:transport losses? by JohnFluxx · · Score: 2, Insightful

      As opposed to the cost of electricity for the whole world over then next 30 or so years?

      How much is the total electric bill for the world?

    56. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hydrogen is very leaky - you'll have big losses due to leaks on long trips, you have to use very strong containers if you wish to transport large quantities in small volumes, in liquid form it is cryogenic, ... per energy unit, it costs more energy units to deliver it then for other, heavier fuels. On the plus side, when it fails, there is no immediately environmentally dangerous spill (unless you account for hydrogen - effectively, water, lost forever from hydrosphere, and excess oxygen remaining down here)

    57. Re:transport losses? by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 1

      yes, a few hundred miles in the american southwest would do it (anyone objecting to using Texas?)

      Or, how about the Arabian Desert? With the world's largest continuous body of sand, I hear they get lots of sunlight there. Close to Europe and almost equidistant to the USA and Asia, seems like it would be a great place to become the primary source of the world's energy supply!

      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    58. Re:transport losses? by charlieman · · Score: 1

      What could be the downs in having those in every roof? i mean they reflect the sun light right? i'm sure that's gonna be hot or something...

    59. Re:transport losses? by Calinous · · Score: 1

      I don't know about hydrogen conversion, but did you saw that coal power plants are usually made close to the coal mines? This would imply it is cheaper to transport electricity than to transport coal. Hydrogen might be the same. Wind is perfect as a (almost) totally unreliable power source. Solar would be much more reliable - cloud cover will reduce the efficiency (especially when using concentrators), but there is some production during the day - even so, power production will be intermittent (day-night). What good could those be? Well, one could use deep coal reserves to pump water and extract hydrogen and CO, and use this gas to turn gas turbines. These could supplement nicely the unreliability of the solar/wind. Also, many places use most of the power during day - when solar generation is at max, and morning/evening breezes could supplement wind energy. Hydroelectric storage is certainly a good solution (where it can be applied), but I don't think thermal storage could help even a bit in electricity storage

    60. Re:transport losses? by fyngyrz · · Score: 1
      ...looks like a square 265 miles on a side in the American southwest would do it.

      The American southwest, good grief, no! Just replace Hoboken. Have you ever been to Hoboken? Digging that place out would be like excising a cancer, you'd vastly improve the New Jersey air quality and water table, and covering more of the clear spaces out west just ruins more of what free space that remains.

      I'm sure the Hoboken population would make at least mid-quality soylent green...

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    61. Re:transport losses? by bfischer · · Score: 1

      So no A/C or heating after the sun goes down? Both use electricity in most cases. How about running refrigerators during the night? Just because you do not want to do anything at night does not mean you do not need power then.

    62. Re:transport losses? by hcdejong · · Score: 4, Informative

      Nuclear power is an inefficient method to create a buffer. You'll need to run the reactor at a significant power level to keep the steam circuit hot enough that you can start generating immediately. Starting up a cold reactor takes hours, so you're better off not shutting it down at all.
      And even at low power levels, your fuel will keep fissioning merrily along, so in essence you're throwing away a finite resource. Also, your buffer will be significantly more expensive than the solar energy you're using as primary.

      If you have an abundant source of renewable energy, you're better off using some of that to drive a buffer. Hydro buffer plants such as Dinorwig (see elsewhere in this discussion) have been shown to work well.

    63. Re:transport losses? by fbjon · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I can't remember what it's called, but Sanyo had some interesting futuristic plans for solar panels installed in the world's deserts (or similar places). Having them spread around the world would mean that power is available around the clock, with some converstion to other forms of energy of course.

      --
      True confidence comes not from realising you are as good as your peers, but that your peers are as bad as you are.
    64. Re:transport losses? by RemovableBait · · Score: 1

      Good luck coding in a blackout... :)

    65. Re:transport losses? by Dilaudid · · Score: 4, Informative
      Over history oil prices have been inversely proportional to growth in GDP. Hence the parent logically concludes that reducing the price of energy will increase GDP i.e. the economy will grow. The people in the power industry may lose jobs - however the enormous reduction in costs in the manufacturing sector (boosting say the automobile manufacturing sector), the decreased cost of electricity (air conditioning unit sales would take off), and increased household disposable income (lower bills) would compensate this for most people.

      Grid power would fall in price - because a) there is reduced demand for it (everyone is using their own panels) and b) supply would increase (people can sell the excess electricity from their panels back).

    66. Re:transport losses? by Calinous · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Yes, you will need to put plenty of cable to transport energy half a world away (like from USA to Australia). While Australia doesn't use much electricity, USA does. In 2003, the consumption was 3,660,000,000,000 kWh. This is 10,000,000,000 kWh a day, or some 400,000,000 kW. How could you transport these? Well, 400,000 MW could go on a line at 1000 kV, for 400,000 Amperes average (as electricity is not used at the same rate, let's say max would be double - for hours at a time). Now, for power transmission you could use a 0000 AWG line. This gives: OOOOAWG 0.46 inch diameter 0.16072 resistance (ohm/km) 302 A current max How much energy could you transmit over this? 302A, you lose 50V per kilometer - half a world away, at 20,000km - 1000kV losses. On a line of 1000kV, all the energy you can pump goes as losses. How much copper such a line would have? At 100mm^2 sectional area (10^-4 m^2), the wire volume is 2000 cubic meters (or a cube at 12.5 yards across, for each of the wires How many wires will you need on the US end? Some 2,000 (to support double the average current) - for a 36 millions tons of copper. World copper production is in the 10 millions ton area, so you would need some three years of world production to build such line.

    67. Re:transport losses? by Calinous · · Score: 1

      Cost would be a big downside. Maybe after their useful life is finished, they will end up in dumps, polluting the environment?

    68. Re:transport losses? by Calinous · · Score: 1

      Hopefully it won't freeze in the winter...

    69. Re:transport losses? by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      Well, no.

      All (*) our power stems from "a" sun (or suns), but not ours.

      (Solar, wind, waves, hydro => our sun now)

      (Coal, oil, gas => our sun long ago)

      (Nuke => the same supernova or novae that all the rest of our non-hydrogen atoms came from).

      ((*) Tidal?)

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    70. Re:transport losses? by Calinous · · Score: 1

      add to this wind resistance, power robbed by air conditioning, and you might lose another 10% overall in losses.

    71. Re:transport losses? by LordLucless · · Score: 1

      You're probably thinking about the laws regarding the Sabbath, which (IIRC) forbade journaying on the Sabbath, or setting out late at night on the night before the Sabbath, so you were stuck in the middle of nowhere the next day.

      --
      Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean there isn't an invisible demon about to eat your face
    72. Re:transport losses? by tacocat · · Score: 1

      You're forgetting about the climate changes from global warming.

      After you build it in Arizona, New Mexico and Texas you will realize that these states are now in a constant overcast and rain and that the correct location would have been Seattle Washington. But since it's always overcast there no one would have thought of it.

      You have a point though. It wouldn't be that difficult to cover the national and possible world needs of electricity if people used solar cells instead of asphalt for their roofing material.

    73. Re:transport losses? by Alioth · · Score: 0

      Efficiency of solar panels isn't really the problem - my roof, for example, even in the Isle of Man - if completely covered in solar cells and with a suitable storage system could more or less run my house (and in the summer have plenty to spare).

      The problem with solar panels is PRICE. That is the nut that needs to be cracked. If a panel is only 10% efficient, but not much more expensive than a similar sized roofing slate, it suddenly becomes economical to re-roof the house the next time the roof needs attention. However, it's not even near that price. An 80 watt panel currently costs around GBP£250 which is fantastically expensive. There is no way I could even remotely afford solar roofing at those prices, however much I'd like it. The price per peak watt needs to be about a tenth of what it is now.

    74. Re:transport losses? by Calinous · · Score: 1

      The infrastructure for oil (exists): pipelines and ships/trains/trucks carry the product. You could very well carry the product in an open bucket. The infrastructure for LPG (exists): as long as you keep it at a certain pressure, it is liquid. As such, you only need pressure tanks (for a pressure of several atmospheres - 22 atm will keep it in liquid form) The infrastructure for hydrogen (not exists): in order to keep it as liquid, you need high pressures AND very low temperatures. If not, the energy per volume is very low.

    75. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OK, a few hundred miles on each continent, vary size to suit load. There, that wasn't so hard now was it?

    76. Re:transport losses? by somersault · · Score: 1

      lol.. good point about the tidal (funny as the company I work for is developing a tidal turbine..). The sun must affect our tides a little too though ;)

      --
      which is totally what she said
    77. Re:transport losses? by advocate_one · · Score: 1
      * Much of the time it is night, and storing that much juice in batteries is impractical.

      to put it politely, bollocks... I run my sailboat electrics entirely off solar and wind generation.... I just made damned sure I have enough banks of deep cycle batteries to cope with extended periods of low wind, low/no light...

      If I was going to do the same thing for a self sufficient house, then I would design in enough insulation in the first place to reduce heating/cooling costs. There's all sorts of other passive methods of trapping solar heat in the winter and cooling the building in summer that can be built in as well.

      What's required though, is political will to go with this solution... the energy companies won't go with it as you won't be buying energy from them... it's not in their interest for Joe Public to have self sufficient houses, and they will lobby mightily against it...

      by energy companies, I'm including fossil fuel suppliers as well, LPG and Petrol/oil. There's nothing to stop you from having extra capacity in your garden to run your electric car from...

      City dwellers have a problem... and it will be up to city operators to design in the infrastructure to have banks of solar cells to support the needs of the city occupants.. of course, the nimbies will try their best to nix the siting of the solar arrays...

      Hydrogen conversion has its own inefficiency, so that's out.

      when the energy supply is completely free ie. it comes from the sky, all you have to do is capture it... how do you propose storing it? there are too many people who're only seeing the problems here... We don't want problems... we want solutions... this major leap in efficiency has to be taken advantage of...

      --
      Donald 'Duck' Dunn: We had a band powerful enough to turn goat piss into gasoline.
    78. Re:transport losses? by somersault · · Score: 1

      If *everyone* had solar panels, sure. But what about those that can't afford them? I guess it would be credit to the rescue, and the lack of electricity bills could help pay it back .. very slowly. Is energy really expensive enough to justify covering your house in solar cells? How many years would it take before you made a 'profit' so to speak? Is it easy to sell power into the grid?

      --
      which is totally what she said
    79. Re:transport losses? by EzInKy · · Score: 1


      You really want to maintain your position as the most hated country in the world? I suppose you've worked hard to earn it the last five years.


      Huh, and here I thought we just had the most hated administration. Yes, I have been working hard...but for the last twelve years to get neo-cons out of office twelve years. I guess you can call me a "neo" liberal, though, because I do think you should be hate countries that deprive women of the right to vote and stone homosexuals to death more than the US.

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
    80. Re:transport losses? by Sique · · Score: 1

      If you look at the overall efficiency for a car, it is nearly zero ;) (at least for the roundtrip, because the mechanical energy before and after the roundtrip is the same: the car is in the same spot, people are in the same house, and the stuff bought under way doesn't really add to the system, at least if the height difference is also nearly zero).

      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
    81. Re:transport losses? by Alioth · · Score: 1

      Photovoltaics are probably more robust than you give them credit - the monocrystalline 80 watt unit I have on my shed roof has a 25 year warranty. The "coating" on the cells is a sheet of glass.

      Additionally, power inverters have no moving parts and these days are pretty robust semiconductor devices which should last at least a couple of decades.

      The main problem with solar panels isn't practicality, but expense. They are fantastically expensive for the energy they make. The efficiency in conversion really isn't the nut that's most important to crack - the expense is the important nut to crack (unless of course, the increase in efficiency addresses that). For solar panels to be economic as a useful power source for most of us, they need to be about 1/10th of the price per peak watt that they are now.

    82. Re:transport losses? by Columcille · · Score: 2, Funny

      Tidal energy comes from our moon. You can thank the Mondochiwan's for waiting too long to align all 5 elements the first time. Bruce Willis hasn't yet waited too long the second time, we still have a couple hundred years for that.

      --
      I love my sig.
    83. Re:transport losses? by CrankyOldBastard · · Score: 1

      Does the current American policy portfolio protect the interests of Americans in general, or just the interests of the few? When I lived there I saw poverty far exceeding that of other "less developed" nations. Try to keep in mind that to The Rest Of The World, America does come across as hostile to civilisation, humanity and freedom, with a selfish bravado that seems to have no or little regard for cultural diversity or what are generally considered human rights, such as the right to medical care, education, safe and adequate housing just to name a few.

    84. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      wouldnt a piece of copper that long strung through the earths magnetic field generate its own power ?

    85. Re:transport losses? by CrankyOldBastard · · Score: 1

      Actually, I'm pretty sure that Oz is in a better position to exploit Solar Power than the US, if only the current government would get off its ideological hobby horse and admit that fission based power is not the most practical way for us to go. We have a population that is largely concentrated on the east coast, so many of the issues of having to supply several large cities widely spread apart don't exist for us. We have plenty of regions with in excess of 300 sunny days per year - I grew up in a town where rain was expected 12 days per year, and clouds were expected no more than 30 days per year. We also have fairly large areas that are fit for little purpose other than growing camels and lizards, where mirror arrays probably would have limited impacts on the local ecosystems. We could take advantage of excess power generation by desalinating water and pumping it up to Lake Jindabyne, where it would be used for hydro-power in the Tumut power stations. Australia is the highest greenhouse polluter per capita on the planet - an issue that our Government seems to be only just beginning to realise is a problem. We could lead the world in this area, but instead we have a Government telling us that we need 25 nuclear power plants.

    86. Re:transport losses? by Calinous · · Score: 1

      Nuclear power is good - however, for your case (small population, large area, sunny days), nuclear should only be used to compensate for when solar is not available. As most of energy use is during day anyway, solar would be perfect for that

    87. Re:transport losses? by Calinous · · Score: 1

      The magnetic field of Earth is not moving, as such you can't get energy out of it except using a moving conductor. If you've seen opened electricity generators (for bicycle by example), they use a stationary magnetic field (using permanent magnets), and move (rotate) inside the field a solenoid

    88. Re:transport losses? by Eternauta3k · · Score: 1
      Good luck coding in a blackout... :)
      Coding with paper and pencil really develops your skills... not really.
      --
      Yeah. Would you choose a neurosurgeon who pokes around people's brains in his spare time? I wouldn't.
    89. Re:transport losses? by bobbuck · · Score: 1

      The USA gives out more foreign assistance than any other country. We give more money for AIDS assistance than the rest of the world combined. How do you define selfish? I guess Libya and Algeria get the humanitarian awards?

    90. Re:transport losses? by q-the-impaler · · Score: 1

      The U.S. is the most hated country in the world? Funny, I do travel a bit. In fact, I'm logged into my VPN from Peru (point is I travel int'l a lot). I don't think anyone hates me here because I'm from the U.S. Oh, you meant the foreign governments hate the U.S.? Or did you mean the U.S. special interest groups that hate the U.S.? Or did you mean you just hate George W. Bush? There is a much bigger picture to the world than the small envelope of politics you are talking about. It's amazing what doing a little hard labor next to a Peruvian and trying to pick up a little native dialect will do for personal foreign relations.

      Most people are beautiful, especially if you take away all the things the U.S. provides. I gleefully eat with the poor families in Peru who grind their own masa. It breaks my heart that I have so much when I go back home to the U.S. and they have nothing. Yet they are so happy, and happy to know me. Arm-chair politicians like you that make comments like this should check out the real world. Seriously, travel, don't be a prick, smile a lot, and try to speak their language. Make the locals like the U.S. one at a time. Most of them don't even know the news because they are busy living rather posting to /. Thanks for reminding me to shutdown my laptop and show people what it's like to be a member of "the most hated country in the world."

      Now is the time where I resort to name calling, "You are a prick."

      --
      Sierra Tango Foxtrot Uniform
    91. Re:transport losses? by alohatiger · · Score: 1

      In the event of, say, a major volcanic eruption or meteor impact, world power production would plummet.

      Luckily, I've been working on an energy generating technology powered by falling ash.

      --
      Bigtime Consulting - "We're the best because we cost the most"
    92. Re:transport losses? by justinchudgar · · Score: 1

      I recommend starting with Crawford.

      --
      WARNING: Smoking this sig may cause lowered IQ, insanity or short term memory loss. It is also really bad for your monit
    93. Re:transport losses? by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Realistically, I don't think that any nuclear station would need to have down-time. If the public grid was producing enough of its own power, the nuclear plant's energy would go to hydrogen electrolysis. After all, even in an energy utopia, we'll need energy in some sort of a transportable form - say for cars and rockets.

    94. Re:transport losses? by indifferent+children · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Is energy really expensive enough to justify covering your house in solar cells?

      Energy as we collect it now, has some non-obvious costs. What does pollution from burning fossil fuels cost us in terms of healthcare? What will sea-level rise cost us? (hint: NYC, LA, DC, Miami, New Orleans, Mobile, and others are very close to sea level, and those are just the US examples.) Would we really have spent $300B and 2,906 American lives (so far) in Iraq if we didn't need to "stabilize" the region that supplies most of our oil?

      Part of every dollar that you pay in taxes, at the store, at the hospital, in fact pretty much everywhere, is an energy cost.

      --
      Censorship is telling a man he can't have a steak just because a baby can't chew it. --Mark Twain
    95. Re:transport losses? by Lopton · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yes you will keep fissioning at low levels, but it uses way less fuel. Core life is measured based the hours at full power, if you operate at a really low level of power you extend core life drasticaly. There are also many ways to maintain a plant in a stable, shut down condition to where it can be restarted quickly, the Navy has been doing this for many many years. The significant start-up times come when you have to cool the plant down drasticly for maintenance.

    96. Re:transport losses? by maximthemagnificent · · Score: 1

      Well, as long as the area is sunny, solar panels are quite suitable for local power generation, since they do not pollute.

    97. Re:transport losses? by purduephotog · · Score: 1

      Hire an electrician? Ouch. Have you *seen* what they want to charge to do this job? I put quite a bit of onus on the US Government/ IRS for requiring what they do in order to obtain the tax credits. Electicians here aren't qualified unless they take a solar installation course- and they can't do that unless they're for a registered firm. The firms won't install anything but their panels and, for 10K, I can have a 1Kw system installed in Sunny Rochester (sunlight factor: Zilch for the last 10 days).

      Our only hope (here) is for the concentrator cells (similiar to the SunCube out of AussieLand) where you can take advantage of those peak moments to gather light.

      Having rewired 70% of my house (and looking at several others around me) rewiring existing structures to accomodate the panels is going to be extremely difficult. I figure I'd have to destroy my basement back wall since (wonderfully) they put the washer/dryer/tub on either side of the box. No easy way to hook up an inverter/line match there.

      BUT I'd still do this. I just wouldn't ever get the money back in my investment. If I could take the panels and the inverters and the hookups with me it'd be a no-brainer- but I am NOT leaving them in a house where I will already lose $25K worth of investment upgrades (I did it because I was single and I didn't like to be idle).

      Something else to note: These are defined as concentrator cells. That means you can't just multiply the efficiency out- you have to take into account the SA of the dishes needed to feed them... and just what the hell you're going to do with all the excess heat that has to be disposed of...

    98. Re:transport losses? by somersault · · Score: 1

      I actually live in the UK but I get that if we don't switch to 'renewable' or at least more efficient means of getting energy, that we have to burn fossil fuels, or produce nuclear waste. If we produced solar cells using hydroelectric power then that would be a good start. The best solution, at least in built up areas, would be to have the national grid fed by solar cells, rather than individual houses having them, as I've been saying. That way the big power companies hopefully swallow most of the cost of switching to solar power, and bring down the prices of the cells by having them produced on a mahusive scale, ready to be bought by those that prefer to have their own private power station.

      --
      which is totally what she said
    99. Re:transport losses? by AI0867 · · Score: 1

      And then there's the inefficiency of the car itself: moving around a ton of steel to transport 1 to not-so-many people. The total efficiency of a gas-powered car moving a single human around is not higher than 1%. But just try improving that, transportation systems are generally heavier than the stuff they transport.

      Of course we're getting way offtopic here.

    100. Re:transport losses? by markov_chain · · Score: 1

      If 10% panel = $100 per Watt, then 40% panel = $25 per watt.

      --
      Tsunami -- You can't bring a good wave down!
    101. Re:transport losses? by smoker2 · · Score: 1
      Much of the time it is night, and storing that much juice in batteries is impractical.
      There is sunlight shining on roughly 50% of the earth at all times.

      If you can provide 100% of the worlds energy needs (2003 levels) in 70225 square miles then how much can the earth support in total ?

      Well the earth has a surface area of 197000000 square miles, so you could provide a little over 2805 times the energy needs of the worlds population (2003 levels). No-one is suggesting we cover the entire planet but at a guess, maybe 3 times the total power needs could be generated at any one time, which would allow for transport losses and still give spare capacity. It wouldn't be necessary to have all the coverage in one place, or even 10 places, the coverage would be distributed to allow most efficient and reliable collection over a 24 hour period.

      The only real issues with this solution would be political. Yes, you could have nuclear generation available as well, to cover emergency "blackouts", but we could immediately stop using fossil fuels for power generation. State of the art improvements over time would mitigate transportation losses, and the same would be true for the solar tech itself. I see no problems that can't be overcome with a little effort.

      I see a lot of posts complaining that fauna and flora need the sunlight too. Well how does solar collection deprive them of sunlight ? Last I saw, no solar panels are placed horizontally, so they wouldn't block the light significantly. In fact, if we mounted each collection point on a tower, say 20' high, and spaced them 50 yards apart, then the shadow effect would be negligible, if not non-existent.

      Imagine the Siberian plains dotted with 1 tower every few miles, ditto the Nevada desert, the Australian Nullaboor Plain and the Arabian peninsular. Combined with roof tops around the planet, I would say we are well on our way to achieving total solar power.

      Transport might be an initial sticking point, not land-based, but aviation and seaborne. But both of these can be solved with a bit of thought. Seaborne traffic is mostly container or tanker based and as such has space for onboard solar arrays, combined with kites, plus there is always the nuclear option. Aviation would need the biggest overhaul, but inter-continental stuff could be shifted to a ballistic model using laser power (that's a little bit more "out there" I'll admit). But why can't we have space based lasers beaming power to collection points around the globe, even to a moving vessel at sea or in the air ?

      I guess people just want everything all at once, fixed and functional before they'll even consider the possibility of change.

    102. Re:transport losses? by Aqualung812 · · Score: 1
      You wouldn't pull a new line from USA to Australia. Think more in terms of connecting the grids on each land mass, then connecting between them. For example, the North America grid would connect to the Asian grid in Alaska, near the strait. Maybe Australia connects to the South American grid through Antartica. Remember we could setup large arrays in the poles that may not get as intense light, but would get less interruptions. (if we had one at each pole, they would be our constant source of low power)

      Also, this would need to be designed in a "follow the sun" setup where each area is producing enough power localy to meet their needs, and also have a surplus to export while the others are in the dark. Energy use is lower at night, so the export requirements would not be anywhere near what an area's peak daytime use would be.

      --
      Grammer Nazis - I mod you "troll" unless you actually add something on-topic. Yes, I know I have mispellings in my sig.
    103. Re:transport losses? by markov_chain · · Score: 1

      There was a skit on a Bosnian SNL-equivalent making fun of computer science education there. The teacher was shown in front of a blackboard on which she drew a huge keyboard with chalk, and proceeded to tell the kids about function keys, etc. The kids were frantically copying everything down ;)

      --
      Tsunami -- You can't bring a good wave down!
    104. Re:transport losses? by maxwell+demon · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The problem with solar panels is PRICE. That is the nut that needs to be cracked. If a panel is only 10% efficient, but not much more expensive than a similar sized roofing slate, it suddenly becomes economical to re-roof the house the next time the roof needs attention. However, it's not even near that price. An 80 watt panel currently costs around GBP£250 which is fantastically expensive. There is no way I could even remotely afford solar roofing at those prices, however much I'd like it. The price per peak watt needs to be about a tenth of what it is now.
        According to the article, the new solar cells would cost about $3/watt. I don't really know the exchange rate between $ and £, but AFAIR it's about a factor of two. That would give £120 for an 80 watt panel. Still not 1/10th, but at least less than half the price.

      Also note that in your calculation you also have to add the savings in electricity. That is, you don't have to have equal price to conventional roofing, but you have to have the equal proce of conventional roofing plus the saved payment of electricity in some reasonable amount of time. So if the money saved on your electricity bill in, say, the next three years makes up for the extra cost of solar cell roofing, it's still more profitable to do it. (Well, actually you'll also have to account for the interest you would have gotten for the money during that time, because the money you pay for electricity next year will still give interest this year, while the money you spent on the solar panel will not.)
      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    105. Re:transport losses? by EzInKy · · Score: 1


      Does the current American policy portfolio protect the interests of Americans in general, or just the interests of the few? When I lived there I saw poverty far exceeding that of other "less developed" nations. Try to keep in mind that to The Rest Of The World, America does come across as hostile to civilisation, humanity and freedom, with a selfish bravado that seems to have no or little regard for cultural diversity or what are generally considered human rights, such as the right to medical care, education, safe and adequate housing just to name a few.


      It might be helpful to think of American public policy as a slowly swinging pendulum that ever so slightly moves it center to the left. I know that might not make much sense, but that is how I view it from the "inside". Contrary to your statement, I believe this is due directly to the fact that the US is itself a culturally diverse nation that has gone through many periods of integrating mass amounts of immigrants. A continuing current controversy, for example, is how to handle the huge influx of Latin Americans.

      As for humanity and freedom...well women have been able to vote for almost a hundred years now, the civil rights revolution of the 60s has pretty much made race a non-issue, and gay marriage is a pretty hot topic today. If you take into account our history of starting out as a slave based, puritanical, agrarian society I think you can see we have come a long way. One thing that I think has held us back in some areas of human rights is that, unlike much of Europe, our political and financial infrastructure remained intact after WW2.

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
    106. Re:transport losses? by maxwell+demon · · Score: 5, Funny

      Not all our energy is nuclear: Tidal power plants don't use nuclear power.

      However it's quite obvious that the sun must be shut down as quickly as possible: First, as you aready said, it's using nuclear energy, and of course nuclear energy is known to be bad. But for the sun, it's not even abstract: The sun is known to continuously send radioactive radiation. Fortunately the earths magnetic field and atmosphere are saving us from most of it, but what if the magnetic field fails? Also note that we are already quite certain that the sun will end up destroying all life on earth when (not: if) it finally fails. So we really shouldn't tolerate such a dangerous nuclear reactor so close to earth. :-)

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    107. Re:transport losses? by Calinous · · Score: 1

      Not necessarily true for trains and ships. Also, the australians have something called "road train" - a big truck pulling several trailer (sometimes the whole vehicle is at the 150 feet length)

    108. Re:transport losses? by somersault · · Score: 2, Funny

      Agreed. It is it the real cause of our 'global warming', and will eventually evelope our planet, turning our great,great,great,great,great,great,great,great[et c] grandkids into crispy pork. With the decline in moral values today they're bound to deserve it anyway, though, so maybe it's not worth the effort.

      --
      which is totally what she said
    109. Re:transport losses? by radl33t · · Score: 0

      Except hydro is essentially saturated at 6%. That wouldn't make for a very good buffer. Nuclear schemes would work fine. Especially reactors making combined heat and power.

    110. Re:transport losses? by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      Coding with paper and pencil really develops your skills... not really. Especially if it is dark and you can't see what you write :-)
      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    111. Re:transport losses? by slowhand · · Score: 1
      While the major volcano/meteor event you mentioned could deplete the nuclear buffer, it would do that (and worse) now.
      Exactly, so channel some of this abundant power to our secret meteor-blasting laser beam carrying overlords.
      --
      Busy aligning my non-linear thoughts.
    112. Re:transport losses? by hcdejong · · Score: 1

      Of course, those extra benefits only apply if your local climate is hot enough that everyone uses AC. In colder climates you need all the solar heating you can get, and peak demand is in the middle of the winter, in the early morning and evening.

    113. Re:transport losses? by GooberToo · · Score: 0, Troll

      Wow...you must of visited the coastal areas right after the hurricanes hit; because what you're describing certainly isn't America. It does, however, describe a small subsect of American subculture.

      You need to remember, in America, most of the areas which have 'poverty far exceeding that of other "less developed" nations.', are impoverished because that's the life style chosen by those people. You need to remember there is an entire subculture of Americans whos sole goal in life is to figure out how to obtain more federal assistance while doing absolutely nothing. And since they have so much free time, crime and breeding is a popoular past time...after all, not only can you make money doing it, but you can also increase your federal assistance by pumping out babies. You need to remember, there are people right now, suing for additional federal assistance, which has run out following their relocation after the hurricanes. Assistance, I might hadd, which had already been extended a number of times...including free housing which is, in some cases, a magnitude nicer than they had before. Most of these people can work...and work is available, yet refuse to work because they prefer hand outs and free money from the government and people around them. In all cities where a major influx of refugees have been received, the crime rates have gone through the roof. Parts of Houston and Dallas have been especally hit hard...in some cases, violent crimes have more than doubled and theft has quadroupled.

      The vast majority of Americans have available to them at least some form of health care and education up to at least high school is readily available, yet often squandered. Now granted, it may not be America's finest health care, but I pay a lot for my own health care and it's not the finest America has to offer. In fact, for the poor, finding the time (without pay) to receive that health care is usually the hardest part of obtaining health care in the US.

      The long of the short, you have a very jaded, unrealistic view of a small subset of American society.

      Case in point, next door to us a house was provided to a government program which allows people to get out of the ghettos. The house's value is in the $180k range, located in the south. That's a nice, two story, 2800sq/ft house, in a middle, upper class neighborhood. Their cost was only $250/mo for what should have been $1600/mo for anyone else. They lived there for less than a year when they were finally kicked out. In that year, the entire house was trashed. All the sheetrock on three rooms had to be replaced. Three doors, including an exterior door, had to be replaced. ALL of the flooring had to be replaced and every room had to be repainted. Before they moved in, every room had received high-end paint and trim. The owner wound up spending some four thousand dollars (at last count he shared with me) to modestly repair the damage that had been done to the home. This was the thanks he received for providing a helping hand. The short of the long, their exists a subculture in America which feel the government owes them everything and they should not be responsible for anything.

      You also need to consider that America has a large number of poor, illegal aliens. These people often live poor, receive federal assistance, and don't pay taxes, as they try to scratch their way up to find their own version of the American dream. In many cases, their poor and impoverished living conditions far exceed what they left in Mexico or some other part of the world.

      Any rate, you might consider learning more about the subject before you share your uninfomred views on America. After that's all said and done, there are certainly a very small number of homeless and poor which are trying to find/make a better life for themselves...but it's fairly uplikely that's what you've observed.

    114. Re:transport losses? by fprintf · · Score: 1

      With cheap power comes less incentive to design products efficiently. With cheap power living becomes easier and I am guessing a potential population boom. So you would need to account for that future growth in any solar power station plans, and we know how difficult it is to predict future events... my guess is that we will underestimate power usage and will need to cover the planet with solar arrays eventually.

      --
      This post brought to you by your friendly neighborhood MBA.
    115. Re:transport losses? by melstav · · Score: 1

      Nevada.

      85% of the state is Federally owned property and the majority of that is nothing but empty desert.

    116. Re:transport losses? by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      Geothermal and tidal energy are two non-nuclear energy sources that spring to mind. AFAIK geothermal energy comes from the decay of radioactive nuclei inside the earth. The original heat from formation of the earth (which was indeed gravitational) has radiated away long ago.
      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    117. Re:transport losses? by Calinous · · Score: 1

      Antarctic summers are extraordinary good weather - even above freezing point on part of the land mass. However, the so-called land mass is covered with ice, and this ice is moving towards the sea. As Earth's tilt axis is about 12 degrees of vertical, as long as the latitude you are at is south of 75 South, you have light. During summer, at 75 South latitude, you have at midday the sun about 25 degrees over horizon, and during night it touches the horizon. So, in average, you need tilted panels, covering about 1/5th of the land mass (best case, at 30 degrees incidence, 1/2 of the land mass, worst case you are almost at night). During winter? Complete darkness for 100 days, sub 0 Fahrenheit temperature, and winds in excess of 40 miles per hour. During storms, these increase even further. So, why again would anyone like to build a solar farm in those conditions, when they are 500 miles from the closest possible user, they must move everything by ship, have no suitable harbor (not to mention docking facilities), the extreme cold will reduce everything, they must clear the panels from snow? That's not taking into account the UN position - keeping the Antarctica not inhabited, not industrialized, and so on. Yes, about lowered energy requirements, you are totally correct - this would reduce the need for cables from about 2000 to maybe 500 (or less). However, in order to transport that energy, you will have losses on the way - no matter that you move it from A to B in 100 small steps, or in one giant leap.

    118. Re:transport losses? by justanyone · · Score: 1

      >> Nuclear power is an inefficient method to create a buffer.

      Beg to differ. Nuclear is perhaps the best option now for "clean" energy it produces spent fuel rods, which we can (the French do) recycle/reprocess (since only 4% of the U-235 fizzles, separating byproducts lets you use the same fuel over and over).

      OTOH, 1993 worldwide emissions of mercury totalled 5500 tons. This is being controlled (142 tons from the U.S. by 1999), but in the rest of the world it's obviously a big polluter. Cite: http://www.fossil.energy.gov/programs/powersystems /pollutioncontrols/overview_mercurycontrols.html/

      >> even at low power levels, your fuel will keep fissioning merrily along

      Not quite true. Lifetime on fuel rods is dependent on the number of fissions, not the time spent in the reactor. Control rods mediate the reaction or can shut it down nearly entirely. I have looked with "no joy" (unsuccessfully) for info on minimum power levels at nuke plants, my guess would be 5%-ish of maximum power just to keep the turbine spinning. There would also be some interconnect time if they're off-grid.

    119. Re:transport losses? by spiritraveller · · Score: 1

      Also the fact that USA is hostile to the rest of the world and extremely selfish, means no other country could trust it as a source of energy anyway. ... There might be even better places in Sahara, but we'd still face the problems of moving the energy efficiently.

      Ah yes, the Sahara... no problems down there.

    120. Re:transport losses? by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 1

      That makes the assumption that a high efficiency panel of a given area is the same price.

      More likely it is:

      1 square meter 10% panel at $50/square meter - $x per watt
      0.25 square meter 40% panel at $5000/square meter - $25x per watt

      Don't believe me - look at the prices of the high-efficiency cells used for spacecraft. Their price range is in hundreds of dollars per square inch.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    121. Re:transport losses? by olyar · · Score: 5, Informative
      I'm building a new house right now and will be putting on solar panels. Its an easy decision these days - at least in the part of California where I live.

      I'll get about a quarter of the cost back in refunds from the power company right up front. The remaining cost (around $25k) will roll into my mortgage, which will increase it by around $100 per month (30 year mortage at 6%). My monthly electricity bills should be reduced by at least $150. It just makes sense.

      The fact that I care about the environment just makes it an even better deal.

      --
      Custom, hands-free Linux installs. Instalinux
    122. Re:transport losses? by kabocox · · Score: 1

      Just wait, one of these days they'll figure out how to make road surfaces into solar collectors or some one will start mounting them over the interstates. I wouldn't mind solar collectors mounted a ways above the interstate while we travel under them. Why does every time I read about solar power plans that they want to pave over an entire state with these things? I'm not an environmentally minded, but even I can see that'd be a stupid long term idea. You put "alt" energy sources as close as possible to where they will be used. We have interstates all over the US and that land is already governmentally owned. Why not just put another use ontop of it? (Sure it'd be expensive, but so was building the interstates in the first place. Long term it'd be worth it.

    123. Re:transport losses? by BigZee · · Score: 1

      This is true in quite an obvious way in the UK. We are seeing road signs with electronic displays appearing that are powered by a combination of a small wind generator and a solar panel that's about a foot square. Admitedly, the road signs are pretty anoying as they do things like remind you of the speed limit if you're detected speeding but they are self powered and would probably have been prohibitively expensive if they needed to be connected to the grid.

    124. Re:transport losses? by Spinalcold · · Score: 1

      *The further from the equator you get, the less efficient solar power becomes.

    125. Re:transport losses? by Aqualung812 · · Score: 1
      Ok, poles == bad idea. However, even with the losses, we're talking off-peak usage, and "free". If we have a panel on every roof type of deployment, and we're producing 5x what we need, then who cares if we lose even 1/2 of that on the way?

      One thought I just had on "who cares"...I guess we don't lose the energy on the lines. It is turned to heat. How much could that produce in terms of global warming? That would be ironic: We rid the world of carbon-based energy, but we still increase the global average tempature because we have powerlines running everywhere that heat the air around them, and we have the ability to provide heat inside billions of homes (not just heaters, but PCs, TVs, etc) that did not have it before (rual India and China). Or, is it zero-sum becuase 40% of the light that would normally heat the ground is "sucked" into the panels?

      Enough armchair science for me today, I'm spent.

      --
      Grammer Nazis - I mod you "troll" unless you actually add something on-topic. Yes, I know I have mispellings in my sig.
    126. Re:transport losses? by plopez · · Score: 2, Funny

      I would reccomend Nevada as there are HUGE military reservations there. The only problem being is that the giant mutant ants love silicone panels. But I'm sure we could figure sometning out. :)

      --
      putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
    127. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So for all practical purposes, the sun is a constant source of energy.

      And once the sun runs out, we are all screwed regardless of whether we have any oil.

      I wonder if we could ever convince the chemical companies to allow our government not to regulate the farmers to have to use the chem. co.'s ecologically-deficient manufactured fertilizers...

    128. Re:transport losses? by Phisbut · · Score: 1
      All (*) our power stems from "a" sun (or suns), but not ours.
      ((*) Tidal?)

      Tidal power could also be considered as indirect power from the sun, since the tides come from the gravity of both the moon and the sun... so it's partly solar power, and partly lunar power...

      --
      After 3 days without programming, life becomes meaningless
      - The Tao of Programming
    129. Re:transport losses? by vertinox · · Score: 1

      In any case, I think that a 100% solar earth is unlikely:

      Why not?

      More energy falls on a 100 square kilometers from the sun than is consumed via our normal power grids in a day comparatively.

      The key problem is that we need very efficient solar panels to acheive this. Once we hit around 75-90% efficiency I'd say it is a high probability we could go 100% solar.

      Of course this may take 20-50 years, but I wouldn't say we will never switch to complete solar.

      Unless we blot the sun out for any particular reason...

      --
      "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
      -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
    130. Re:transport losses? by Calinous · · Score: 1

      Good questions... About the heating issue... during winter, I've heard of cases when the power lines (medium voltage) were broken because of ice deposits. In images, the lines had about half a meter diameter a "collar" of ice. Heating lines heat very little

    131. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      * In the event of, say, a major volcanic eruption or meteor impact, world power production would plummet.

      You're right. We shouldn't consider any energy source that couldnt survive a meteor impact.

    132. Re:transport losses? by hcdejong · · Score: 2, Interesting

      On second thought, I don't think the fuel burn rate matters all that much. The operating cost of a nuke plant is determined mostly by other factors (cost of building it, personnel etc., EOL disposal of the reactor). Running a nuclear power station strictly as a backup means you won't sell many kWh which means your cost/kWh goes through the roof.

      It's not a coincidence nuclear power stations are often run as a base load, running at 100% of capacity basically full time.

    133. Re:transport losses? by goodben · · Score: 1

      > People who want hydrogen for various industries tend to steam reform it from hydrocarbons instead of using this oil
      > infrastructure you think can transport hydrogen.

      This statement just doesn't make sense. Oil (petroleum) is a mixture "naturally occurring" liquid hydrocabons. If you specifically meant methane, well the natural gas structure is there too.

      In fact it seems to me that the natural gas infrastructure would be better because it doesn't rely on tankers.

      All this doesn't change the fact that this isn't the solution. Hydrogen is desirable as a storage medium becasue we can make it fairly easily and it has only water as a byproduct. It is however a beast to store and transport. If we're going to transport it as methane or oil byproducts then that sort of defeats the purpose of using hydrogen since we can't manufacture them "from scratch" economically and you get the same byproducts that normal oil use gives you instead of water only. It's probably true that fuel cells are more efficient than internal combustion engines and that there are applications for fuel cells that you wouldn't use diesel, gas, or methane for now, this isn't the magical solution that the hydrogen economy is supposed to be.

    134. Re:transport losses? by compro01 · · Score: 1

      How many years would it take before you made a 'profit' so to speak?

      i believe 4 or 5 years is the usual number being thrown around. don't have a source at the moment though.

      Is it easy to sell power into the grid?

      yes. you hook it all up, then go watch the electric meter run in reverse. you then end up with a negitive power bill.

      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
    135. Re:transport losses? by QuantumPion · · Score: 4, Interesting
      Not quite true. Lifetime on fuel rods is dependent on the number of fissions, not the time spent in the reactor. Control rods mediate the reaction or can shut it down nearly entirely. I have looked with "no joy" (unsuccessfully) for info on minimum power levels at nuke plants, my guess would be 5%-ish of maximum power just to keep the turbine spinning. There would also be some interconnect time if they're off-grid.


      The minimum power a nuclear plant can produce electricity at is around 20%, but this is due to non-nuclear issues (turbine vibrations, steam quality, etc). As far as the reactor is concerned, you could theoretically run at 5% power indefinitely, however there are issues associated with running at less then 100% power for extended periods of time. What happens is that in order to run at low power, you have to use the control rods to control power level, but if you deplete the core with control rods in you create axial asymmetries.

      Big nuke power plants are designed to be base load generating plants, running at 100% all the time. They are sensitive to making power changes on the fly and if you shut down completely, you can't go back online for a couple days due to xenon. However, there is no reason why you couldn't design a smaller reactor designed for peak loads or emergency use. It would work just like a naval reactor: compact, high power, and using highly enriched uranium.
    136. Re:transport losses? by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      Well, no.

      Tidal power comes from the energy contained in the orbiting of the moon around the earth and the earth around the sun(*). It's as correct to say that it comes from the earth as to say it comes from the (moon, sun), i.e. not very.

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    137. Re:transport losses? by ndege · · Score: 1

      Mod parent up!! This isn't simply theory.

      Consider TVA's "Raccoon Mountain Pumped-Storage Plant" in Chattanooga, TN (USA). Try 1,600,000 Kwh (1,600 megawatts)....in use since 1978. If I recall correctly, it had a payback of something like 8 years. It takes 28 hours to fill the reservoir, and can generate the 1,600 megawatts for 22 hours of continuous use.

      More info from the horses mouth: http://www.tva.gov/sites/raccoonmt.htm

      It is too bad they don't allow tours anymore (they were free too!) down inside of the power station. "Security concerns" since 911. They had an awesome tour where you could see the turbine generators/pumps deep inside the mountain.

      --
      Sig Return: 204 No Content
    138. Re:transport losses? by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      IF and this is a VERY BIG WHOPPING IF the solar power was cheap enough using it to create methane from atmospheric CO2 and and Hydrogen would make a good storage/buffer system. The natural gas could be used in gas turbine generators which have a much faster reaction time than any steam plant. I would use methane over pure hydrogen since it has a higher energy density and is easier to store and transport.
      I am a big fan of nuclear combined with solar as a way to reduce green house emissions. I live near a nuclear power plant so I can say yes it is in my back yard. I hope then they retire it that they just build a new one and not a nasty coal or oil fired plant.
      I have less faith in wind. It is good for limited uses but I just don't think it will scale well and I really fear that like hydro-electric we will find that it has some really big hidden impacts that we just didn't think of.
      The other issue is cost. How much silicon do we need to make enough solar panels? How much will the panels cost? silicon is very common but the super pure silicon that you need to make the panels isn't cheap.
      Right now in the world we have a lot of Uranium and Plutonium that was sitting in bombs. I would really like to see those swords be turned in to plowshares ASAP>

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    139. Re:transport losses? by Phisbut · · Score: 1
      With cheap power living becomes easier and I am guessing a potential population boom.

      You're right... the only reason why I'm not having 20 kids today is because of energy costs. WTF?

      How about the opposite. The easier living gets, the fewer kids people have. 19th century, it was pretty common for mothers to have 10 kids or more, living wasn't easier then, it was harder, and having kids was part of the solution to make it easier (more people to work on the farm). Even today, the rich rarely have more than 2 kids (if they have any), while the poor often have 3 or more.

      Easier living make people more selfish and they don't want to share any of their comfort with extra people, or they don't want the extra work that kids require.

      --
      After 3 days without programming, life becomes meaningless
      - The Tao of Programming
    140. Re:transport losses? by plopez · · Score: 1

      I didn't realize you were Jewish (or possibly Adventist). Though it actually only covers the sabbath. Friday sundown to Sat. sundown.

      --
      putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
    141. Re:transport losses? by markov_chain · · Score: 1

      Those are the costs now, but we need to look at the end game. Presumably, any of these would be mass produced and have similar low prices.

      --
      Tsunami -- You can't bring a good wave down!
    142. Re:transport losses? by JayClements · · Score: 1

      What if sufficient power can be generated in one area to cover local requirements and to supply excess power to other areas in time of need? Example, the east coast could power the west coast in the mornings and the reverse in the evenings. Not a complete solution, but it would help.

    143. Re:transport losses? by shicklin · · Score: 1

      I remember going there as a kid. I'm sure they told us that the turbines were synchronised to the grid to facilitate the quick switch on which would require another energy source. Really impressive place to visit though.

    144. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not that I ever studied economics

      Wow, a liberal who doesn't know anything about economics. Who'd have ever guessed?

    145. Re:transport losses? by jandrese · · Score: 2, Informative

      Two things:
      1 Manufacturing solar cells is currently an extremely energy intensive process, it also creates a startling amount of toxic waste. Solar Cells need to be replaced on a regular basis as well.
      2. Solar Cells are extremely expensive. I don't know about these 40% jobs, but something tells me they won't be a lot cheaper than our current top of the line cells. We're talking about a project in the trillions of dollars to do what you describe.

      --

      I read the internet for the articles.
    146. Re:transport losses? by Randolpho · · Score: 1
      If *everyone* had solar panels, sure. But what about those that can't afford them?
      Perhaps it's time for some enterprising politician to run a campaign based slightly on Hoover's "Chicken in Every Pot" slogan:

      "A Solar Panel on Every Roof, a Hydrogen-Powered Car in Every Garage"
      --
      "Times have not become more violent. They have just become more televised."
      -Marilyn Manson
    147. Re:transport losses? by hcdejong · · Score: 1

      Dinorwig, you mean? Yes, they can synchronise the turbines to the grid (spinning the turbines in air rather than water) so they can start generating faster. From a dead stop they can start generating in about 90s, a synchronized turbine can be generating in 12s.

    148. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      You'll need to run the reactor at a significant power level to keep the steam circuit hot enough that you can start generating immediately.

      So you just plug it in and heat it conventionally. Efficient solar cells change all sorts of equations.

    149. Re:transport losses? by QuantumPion · · Score: 2, Insightful

      This isn't quite correct. First, nuclear fuel doesn't get used up if it is not at power. The neutron flux at shutdown, compared to full power, is many orders of magnitude lower. The amount fuel is depleted is called the burnup, and is measured in gigawatt-days per metric ton uranium. Typical fuel is designed to last 40-60 gwd/mtu. If the reactor is at low power, the fuel will not be depleted at a significant rate. However, there are issues with running at low power for extended periods of time, this is because "burning" the fuel with control rods in causes axial asymmetry.

      Second, power reactors can remain hot at zero power for extended periods of time (called hot-zero-power or hot-standby). In PWR's, the reactor is designed to operate at a certain temperature (usually around 580 degrees F and 2250 psi). The reactor cannot be operated at colder then 540 degrees or so, due to physics limitations (moderator temperature coefficient, thermal stresses, etc). The way PWR's initially heat up the coolant at the beginning of a cycle is by simply running the coolant pumps. The pumps that circulate the coolant are monstrous (~7000 hp) and can heat up the system to operating temperatures all by themselves. They also keep the water at hot conditions while the reactor is at zero power.

      In a world powered entirely by solar panels, large nuclear power plants for use at night or in case of volcano would work just fine. This is because if they were needed, they would be operating at 100% as base load plants.

    150. Re:transport losses? by Profound · · Score: 1

      >> nearly free energy

      Tried to buy any Uranium recently? Oh. Ok. Well, if you had, then you may have noticed the price going up 700% in 3 years!

      And sector 7G doesn't get donuts for free!

    151. Re:transport losses? by MoronBob · · Score: 1

      Well coal fired plants don't exactly start up any faster. So what would you suggest? Diesel?

      --
      Telecommuting! What about socialization?
    152. Re:transport losses? by Deliveranc3 · · Score: 1

      http://www.iht.com/articles/1993/02/05/cosm.php

      I always think of this when people talk about global warming or solar power.

    153. Re:transport losses? by tsm_sf · · Score: 1

      Consider TVA's "Raccoon Mountain Pumped-Storage Plant" in Chattanooga

      Am I the only person who pictured a giant pile of raccoons operating a hand-pump? Yes? Ok, never mind...

      --
      Literalism isn't a form of humor, it's you being irritating.
    154. Re:transport losses? by hcdejong · · Score: 1

      Depends. If we have solar power at a lower cost/kWh than fossil fuel plants can achieve, we can use excess solar power to create a buffer.
      Hydro (pumped storage) is one option. Another is to separate water into hydrogen, which you can burn in fuel cells or gas turbines (both options can be started up quickly). Yes, this isn't 100% efficient, but if you have cheap, abundant, renewable power, who cares?

    155. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'll be honest, I don't know much about nukes.

      But I did work for generation company for 7 years. When the August 18'th 2003 power
      outage happened, we had to restart all our generation assets after an emergency
      shutdown.

      First you have to start up the 50 mega-watt (MW) diesel fired generator, which is
      enough to start up the next 350MW unit, then you start the 500 MW unit and
      finally through a feed line you can start the big unit.

      It was my understanding that a cold start on their biggest coal-fired plants could
      take days and that was nimble next to a nuke, which by the way draws so much
      energy to start that *it* requires a fully functioning grid.

      In short you'll need some peaking generators that can quickly ramp up and sustain a large
      load to start a nuke. Solar energy is not that energy source unless you are somehow
      storing energy offline by pumping water uphill or something.

    156. Re:transport losses? by otis+wildflower · · Score: 1

      Superconducting transport wires ftw.. Burying insulated superconducting high-voltage lines cooled with liquid nitrogen could do the trick, at least in areas that are not in areas of high earthquake risk..

    157. Re:transport losses? by hamburger+lady · · Score: 1

      and what are you going to convert into hydrogen? water? in the middle of the desert?

      --

      ---
      Is this the MPAA? Is this the RIAA? Is this the DMCA? I thought it was the USA!
    158. Re:transport losses? by F34nor · · Score: 1

      Flywheel batteries at the substation, and even at the house.
      This way the whole grid could be backed up for a short time. Also don't for get the effiecy can be increased by using mirror array
      to focus more light on the cell. Ahh the combination of solutions.

    159. Re:transport losses? by Tim+C · · Score: 2

      The best solution, at least in built up areas, would be to have the national grid fed by solar cells, rather than individual houses having them

      And what better place to put them than on building roofs? Nice and high to help catch the sun and avoid damage/vandalism, and pretty much every building already has a connection to the Grid anyway. While you're at it, might as well route the power generated through the building's electrical system, feeding any surplus back into the Grid.

      That way the big power companies hopefully swallow most of the cost of switching to solar power

      One way or another, it's us that pays; it's very rare that a company simply swallows a cost like that. It'll be passed on to us in our bills, no matter what "lower prices than British Gas until 2008!" type promises they may make.

    160. Re:transport losses? by WalksOnDirt · · Score: 1
      "Is it easy to sell power into the grid?"

      yes. you hook it all up, then go watch the electric meter run in reverse. you then end up with a negitive power bill.

      It depends on the meter you have. If my electric company finds out you're running your meter backwards they will replace it with one that doesn't, but they will be willing to measure the energy you are putting into the grid and pay you the wholesale value of your electricity.
      --
      a,e,i,o,u and sometimes w and y (at be if of up cwm by)
    161. Re:transport losses? by Dan+Ost · · Score: 0

      There are already recycling programs for processing old solar cells (there's a silicon shortage right now, remember?).

      --

      *sigh* back to work...
    162. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually we could have produced over 8% of the U.S. yearly total energy consumption at estimated 2000 levels by building solar concentrators using existing tech at the time (ie all petroleum use by cars, industry, all electric power generation).

      I got these numbers from news reports of existing solar concentrators (there are actually some concentrator plants that are on-line) and from a 'sciencely' looking estimate I found on the net, so no guarantees on the accuracy. But if you think about it, $300 billion dollars buys a lot of reflective metal sheets and turbines. Also (just for something to compare to) using adjusted dollars we could have built about 150 replacement world trade towers.

    163. Re:transport losses? by Calinous · · Score: 1

      Things like solder, other wires, plastics... Silicon probably isn't affecting anything as a dump - but there are other things inside the panel that could.

    164. Re:transport losses? by somersault · · Score: 1

      I said most of the cost - they already pay for maintaining the grid and any new equipment from the current bills you pay. Rather than having to cough up >$30000 for solar panels you could just pay extra in your bills. Not to everyone's liking maybe, but also:

      Would be a lot easier to maintain a bunch of panels in one place than having them spread over everyone's rooftop. If individuals owned the cells then there's no other choice, but if it was the property of the grid then they would have their own staff to do repairs which would keep things a bit cheaper, but still a big effort for them. Of course I doubt many americans would let power companies install solar panels onto their roofs without allowing them free power. I also think most americans (apart from technologically minded people who happen to be building their own houses like one guy who replied..) are going to stick with the grid until solar panels are a lot cheaper or the cost of energy from the grid rises. Anyone could tell you that though..

      --
      which is totally what she said
    165. Re:transport losses? by Dan+Ost · · Score: 1

      You also can count reduced air conditioning costs during the summer since the solar panel reduces the amount of heat absorbed by the roof and conducted into the house.

      --

      *sigh* back to work...
    166. Re:transport losses? by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Yes and no.

      The payback is a bit longer than 4-5 years if you are paying for it.
      That payback is for states where everyone else is subsidizing your solar purchase heavily.

      To sell power to the grid:
      With a new house, you build it with the appropriate power box so it won't feed solar power into the grid if the grid has no power. This is so you won't kill linemen when the "power is out" and they are trying to fix the lines. This is a minor expense ($1kish).

      With an old house tho... you have change the power box ($3k) out. This also means that you must bring the house up up to code ($3k+).

      Paying for a solar system yourself (with no help) will run you about $50k. You will have an ongoing cost of about $500 a year for batteries starting in your fifth year. If you were to put $50k in the bank, you could reasonably expect to make about $1800 risk free after taxes!

      Solar power needs to drop in price to make it practical.

      I check it annually. I'd really like to do it but there are no subsidies in my state except in one city and I live in an old house.

      One other way I experimented was this.
      Smaller solar power system.
      Small AC unit.
      Run the AC unit to reduce the amount that your central AC runs.
      This avoids the need to connect the house to the grid.
      Unfortunately, it costs about $9000 for a system like that at this time.
      Again- just not practical. Interest on $9000 would likely be as much or more than my power savings.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    167. Re:transport losses? by drinkypoo · · Score: 2, Informative

      You don't need batteries if you just sell your excess power back to the grid. You don't get much money for it when you do that but you don't need to store it, either. Also, the beauty of that is that most of us use the most power at night, because most of us are gone during the day. At least where I live, in order to sell back power, you need a time-of-use meter anyway... If you have a time-of-use meter you get off-peak power at rock bottom prices because they want to encourage people to use it then, since they have excess power generation. Also in my area, getting a time of use meter is free, because again, they want people to be motivated to use off-peak power. All you have to do is pay for the sync converter (or whatever that unit is) to hook your inverter up to the mains and bingo! Of course you still have to upgrade your box and bring your wiring up to code, which as you point out, is a very serious issue if you can't do it yourself and is usually still pretty major even when you can.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    168. Re:transport losses? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      It depends on their color. Lots of them are dark in color. They absorb sunlight. The same is true of most roofs. It's stupid for a roof to be dark in color; it's often necessary for a solar panel to be dark in color, because of what they are made of.

      But let's talk about what happens when sunlight strikes your roof; it heats it up. The heat rises, so what this mostly accomplishes is that it subjects your roof to cycles of expansion and contraction due to heat and cold, respectively. This causes it to wear out (degrade) faster.

      Putting the solar panels in the way means there is a lump of silicon, glass, and metal (with traces of other stuff) that will be absorbing that sunlight. It will then reradiate anything it absorbs (as opposed to reflects) as infrared radiation. Roughly half of it will go up into the sky and half down to the roof (assuming the panels are parallel to the roof.) Assuming that the solar panel and the roof are equally reflective to light (which is probably not at all a safe assumption, but bear with me) your roof gets heated half as much. Which is a good thing.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    169. Re:transport losses? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1
      Solar Cells need to be replaced on a regular basis as well.

      Yes, every twenty to forty years depending on the technology. I'm not too worried about that.

      Solar Cells are extremely expensive. I don't know about these 40% jobs, but something tells me they won't be a lot cheaper than our current top of the line cells.

      I would guess that, once things are worked out, they'd be about the same price. They're also about two to four times more efficient than any current solar panels (depending on which ones you're looking at) and current panels are almost cost effective without kickbacks. Not quite, but they're getting there. This may do it.

      It's unlikely that we'll get every homeowner in the US to go out and cover their roof with solar overnight. However, if it turns out to be more cost-effective, we will likely see a major increase in new home construction with solar, which would be a good place to start.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    170. Re:transport losses? by thrillseeker · · Score: 1

      With cheap power comes less incentive to design products efficiently

      Life would meet minimum Vista requirements?

    171. Re:transport losses? by gbjbaanb · · Score: 1

      The trouble with feeding power back to the Grid is that you need an inverter to convert the DC generated from the cell (or windmill, or dog exercising treadmill, or whatever) to AC to feed into the grid. I know the power companies will accept this but they pay you a relatively low price per kWh (as only part of the cost is for generation, the rest is for the transmission infrastructure)

      Anyway, something is better than nothing, and I think the ability to become a microgenerator is great. If everuoen did it, then you'd pay a lot less for your leccy than you do today, and we would reduce our need on those politically dodgy states.

      Example: http://www.provenenergy.co.uk/images/stories/PDFs/ FS_Grid_Tie_Inverters.pdf

      Though they don't give prices anymore :(

    172. Re:transport losses? by cHiphead · · Score: 1

      Not just every roof, every LIGHT POLE in the world. U could put a cone shaped solar device atop each one and to capture rays all day.

      Cheers.

      --

      This is my sig. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
    173. Re:transport losses? by SevenHands · · Score: 1

      "In any case, I think that a 100% solar earth is unlikely"

      In the near future it is highly unlikely. However, once alternative resources have been exhausted (even the oceans are finite), we will have no choice but to either find other places with resources to exploit or find a way to efficiently harvest the energy from the sun. There are some interesting articles about a concept called "dyson sphere", which IMHO seems like one of the more logical progressions of an energy hungry civilization.

    174. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The poster referred to the UK. We don't use aircon in homes over here.. global warming hasn't reached us yet :)

    175. Re:transport losses? by FuzzyDaddy · · Score: 1
      Hydrogen conversion has its own inefficiency, so that's out.

      I wouldn't rule it out so quickly. Hydrogen production is a well developed industrial technology (just the volume for Crisco alone...), and there's no fundamental limit to the efficiency. In addition, solar power produces direct current, which is well suited to electrolysis of water.

      Perhaps someone with more knowledge on the subject could weight in on the efficiency of electrolytic hydrogen production?

      --
      It's not wasting time, I'm educating myself.
    176. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I didn't know that ants were into cosmetic surgery. Hm, learn something new every day!

    177. Re:transport losses? by Ironsides · · Score: 1

      All you have to do is pay for the sync converter (or whatever that unit is) to hook your inverter up to the mains and bingo!

      Judging by the name, here's my guess on what a sync converter is.

      The 120V line from the grid is an AC signal, a sin wave. When you are putting power into the grid, you want your sin wave and the grids sin wave to be perfectly matched. What the sync converter does is synchronise your sin wave to the grids sin wave so you don't fsck up the grid.

      --
      Fly me to the moon Let me sing among those stars Let me see what spring is like On jupiter and mars
    178. Re:transport losses? by Eccles · · Score: 1

      Not to be a doubting Thomas, but that's only true if your solar panels last 30 years maintaining at least 2/3rds of their efficiency. (Any repair costs would also skew the economics.) But as someone who may take advantage of this technology later, I thank you for being an early adopter so I can buy in as the prices drop...

      --
      Ooh, a sarcasm detector. Oh, that's a real useful invention.
    179. Re:transport losses? by xlordtyrantx · · Score: 1

      Don't use Texas, there are too many trees. Try Kansas :-)

      --
      Eagles may soar, but weasels never get sucked into jet engines...
    180. Re:transport losses? by Rei · · Score: 3, Interesting

      "On every roof" isn't necessarily a good idea. Up here in Iowa, we don't get that much sunlight compared to all of those in the desert southwest. Not that this makes solar panels worthless; I have some to run my greenhouse's vent fans, since they come on when it's sunny (and thus, when the greenhouse will be heating up). But for general energy consumption, it would take a major cost reduction from the major cost reduction that would make energy in the southwest profitable. Which may well happen eventually, but not soon.

      As for the original poster's comment about a volcanic eruption distrupting energy supplies and using nuclear for backup, there are ways to deal with power loss: energy displacement. The cheaper electricity gets, the more the world will use electricity-intensive industrial processes -- for example, aluminum smelting (that is, to say, use of aluminum use would displace steel use). Such processes can scale output based on available power supply. If the price of energy leaps due to a shortage (say, from dust blocking out the sun), such industries will be economically forced to curtail their production until the dust clears, thus freeing up power for everyone else to use (aluminum prices would spike, and steel use would begin to take over). Long term light shortages would be more problematic, but short term wouldn't be. Not that I think the world ever would be completely solar powered, but I just felt I should point this out.

      As for hydrogen production, there's a much nearer-term option that I find really keen: Honda's "Home Energy Station" concept. Basically, almost every home in the US has natural gas lines running to it. Currently, natural gas is the cheapest way to produce hydrogen, so producing as much hydrogen as you need, straight from your natural gas line, seems a reasonable proposal. Of course, this raises the question, "Why not a natural gas-powered car? Why waste the energy converting it into hydrogen?" Well, apart from the very high energy efficiency of using hydrogen in fuel cells, with Honda's system, the energy released in converting natural gas to hydrogen isn't wasted. The waste heat from the process fires your water heater, so it's an almost lossless system unless you're consuming large amounts of hydrogen and using almost no hot water.

      --
      Your mother's sturdy; she can work in the mines. And I'd make an excellent pet.
    181. Re:transport losses? by mfrank · · Score: 1

      In the part of the world I live in, you get a good hailstorm quite a bit more often than every twenty to forty years. I have no great desire to replace 50K worth of solar cells every four or five years.

    182. Re:transport losses? by John+Courtland · · Score: 1

      I have been wanting to take a RWD car/truck and drop a turbo diesel in it. Take the trans apart and put a custom 400V or so alternator in the bellhousing. Then attach motors to the rear wheels and reprogram the ECM to drive the engine at the most efficient RPM and tune the intake to match. It'll work just like a train. I have not done the math to figure out if this will beat drivetrain losses. I do know that a Ford AOD takes like 22-27% of the engine's output while a Tremec T5 is around 15-18%, and alternators usually are rated around 94% efficient or more. So just my intuition makes me feel like it would be workable.

      --
      Slashdot is proof that Sturgeon's Law applies to mankind.
    183. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The payback is a bit longer than 4-5 years if you are paying for it.
      That payback is for states where everyone else is subsidizing your solar purchase heavily.


      I have a copy of the latest 'Home Power' magazine sitting right here. Page 31, Chart: "PV System Payback Analysis".

      INstalled system cost: $52,080
      City of Ashland Rebate: $10,500
      Initial Cash expenditure: $41,580

      Oregon tax credit: $18,228 (over 5 years)
      Federal tax credit: $5,208 (first year) (10%, now it's 30%)
      Federal Depreciation $13,431 (over 5 years)
      Energy savings: $831 per year.

      By Year 6, the owner is making money.

      So, YES, you are right- it takes 'a little bit longer' than 5 years- it takes 6 in this case. As for the claim you need to be in the 'right' state, well, that's partly true, too.

      To sell power to the grid:
      With a new house, you build it with the appropriate power box so it won't feed solar power into the grid if the grid has no power. This is so you won't kill linemen when the "power is out" and they are trying to fix the lines. This is a minor expense ($1kish).


      It's called an inveter, and you'd need it anyway.

      Paying for a solar system yourself (with no help) will run you about $50k. You will have an ongoing cost of about $500 a year for batteries starting in your fifth year.

      What batteries? No one said you need batteries.

      I'd really like to do it but there are no subsidies in my state except in one city and I live in an old house.

      There are still Federal tax credits.

      One other way I experimented was this.
      Smaller solar power system.
      Small AC unit.
      Run the AC unit to reduce the amount that your central AC runs.
      This avoids the need to connect the house to the grid.
      Unfortunately, it costs about $9000 for a system like that at this time.
      Again- just not practical. Interest on $9000 would likely be as much or more than my power savings


      What a ... stupid ...way to 'test' solar power. Running an AC is the WORST type of electrical load. IT takes a lot of power. You'd be much better off using passive techniques to reduce your cooling load.

    184. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Have you been there in at least the last decade?

      Perhaps you should visit Hoboken's neighbor: Jersey City. That might change your mind.

    185. Re:transport losses? by Beryllium+Sphere(tm) · · Score: 1

      >hydrogen transports just as easily as oil via the same infrastruture.

      Hydrogen will leak through every seam in existing pipelines and sometimes straight through the walls. It's hard enough to build methane-tight plumbing and hydrogen is a much smaller molectule. I've seen estimates that a hydrogen economy would require pipeline upgrades in the hundreds of billions.

    186. Re:transport losses? by 1u3hr · · Score: 1
      Huh, and here I thought we just had the most hated administration. Yes, I have been working hard...but for the last twelve years to get neo-cons out of office twelve years. I guess you can call me a "neo" liberal, though, because I do think you should be hate countries that deprive women of the right to vote and stone homosexuals to death more than the US.

      I wasn't talking about myself, personally. Some of my best friends are American. But "you", collectively voted in the administration, and confirmed it 4 years later. So you get some collective responsibility. And as for your examples of countries to hate; I could cite any number of human rights abuses in the USA, and a shitload throughout the world that it has encouraged by giving dictators a pass as long as they signed on to the War On Terror. Hundreds have been disappeared in places like Pakistan, for instance. Not to mention Abu Ghraib, renditions, Guantanamo....

    187. Re:transport losses? by Dare+nMc · · Score: 2, Insightful
      The best solution, at least in built up areas, would be to have the national grid fed by solar cells, rather than individual houses having them

      NO, get rid of that power robbing, terroist target, lightning rod, ice gathering, bird killing, people killing, expensive ass eye sore.

      I don't know how many billions of dollars our federal government spends on that grid every year, but anything to minimilize thing would be sweet, even if it takes more energy to produce a solar panel than it ever produced (fairly certain it doesn't.) I still think it would be worth putting solar panels on every roof just to have a single delivery charge, and not a constant drain.

      I do think having developments linked is still a good idea, but if the load can be minimized, then the losses, maintaince, EMI emissions will drop to nothing as well. In Tuson now we have self sufficient communities running from solar, and a central connection for load balancing (I assume a central generator/connection to grid is present as well.) So you can supply the surge loads if a AC, and refridge kick on while running the microwave, and TV. That would be covered by your neighbors solar who are out of town/at work, and yours would do the same for them when your out.

    188. Re:transport losses? by operagost · · Score: 1

      Many power companies won't do it. There are few laws forcing them to accept the power, or account for it even if you do give it to them.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    189. Re:transport losses? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Oh, that's not what I was saying, I know what a sync converter is. I just don't know if there's any ADDITIONAL hardware which is also involved.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    190. Re:transport losses? by rjstanford · · Score: 1

      Also consider that its likely that, with inflation, the average electric bill will continue to increase whereas the amortized 30 year mortgage payment will not. So that $150 savings will effectively increase over time. Will that offset the potential efficiency issues? I have no idea, but its something to consider.

      --
      You're special forces then? That's great! I just love your olympics!
    191. Re:transport losses? by Jaeph · · Score: 1

      ...and add in the maintenance cost, and the extra work you probably need to do to keep it clean.

      I'm not sure I like the idea of solar cells on my roof - modern homes are already fantastically difficult to keep up as is - I don't need yet another item to learn about.

      -Jeff

      --
      Please learn the difference between a dissenting opinion and a troll before you moderate.
    192. Re:transport losses? by Mark+of+THE+CITY · · Score: 1

      Obviously, this is just an example of the land reqirements. A real system would be distributed to where the load is.

      --
      The clearance system sounds logical. It is not. It is completely arbitrary. -- John Bolton
    193. Re:transport losses? by olyar · · Score: 1
      Good points. Not to be a crazy insane-o solar advocate, but I looked up some answers to your questions...

      From the web site of the company doing my install:

      California is Different: With tiered rates and solar rebates, solar is very cost competitive. In California, solar electricity costs as little as 20 cents/kWh while PG&E's Tier 3 is 23 cents, Tier 4 is 32 cents and Tier 5 is 37 cents/kWh.
      As to the lifespan, my warranty guarantees 80% output after 25 years
      --
      Custom, hands-free Linux installs. Instalinux
    194. Re:transport losses? by wooley-one · · Score: 1

      IAANSO (nuclear systems operator)

      Nuclear plants typically do not "load follow". However your understanding of why is somewhat flawed. The priciple reason to avoid load following is a phenomenon know as a Xenon Transient. The element xenon will be produced in the reactor when power levels are changed from high power to low. Because the crossection of neutron absorbtion of xenon is huge, this plays hell with core reactivity and tries to shut it down. When power is increased, the xenon burns off, thereby increasing reactivity.

      Additionally, nuclear is among the cheapest power on the grid so they are typically base load plants.

    195. Re:transport losses? by EzInKy · · Score: 1


      wasn't talking about myself, personally. Some of my best friends are American. But "you", collectively voted in the administration, and confirmed it 4 years later. So you get some collective responsibility. And as for your examples of countries to hate; I could cite any number of human rights abuses in the USA, and a shitload throughout the world that it has encouraged by giving dictators a pass as long as they signed on to the War On Terror. Hundreds have been disappeared in places like Pakistan, for instance. Not to mention Abu Ghraib, renditions, Guantanamo....


      Holding every US citizen responsible for Bush's actions is no different than holding every German responsible for Hitler's. Come to think about, it is also no different than Bush holding Iraqis responsible for Saddam's actions either.

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
    196. Re:transport losses? by Grayputer · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I think the issue is:

      Think in-city clustered 12 story apt buildings. A simple building, 1 apt per floor, say a 1000 sq ft apt. So we have 12 'stacked houses' that have a single 'shared' 1000 sq ft roof. So 1000 sq ft of roof needs to support 12 'houses' of energy. Unlikely. THAT'S why the grid comes in. In clustered/dense city dwelling environments, roof top energy generation will be insufficient to cover the usage. We'll always need a 'grid' in that environment. How we fuel/supply the grid may be debatable but the existance is required due to the space/environmental constraints.

    197. Re:transport losses? by shess · · Score: 1

      It makes the house less hot. If 40% of the sun is converted to electricity, then that's 40% which is *not* converted to heat. Decreases the demand for AC.

      You're kidding, right? You ever looked at a non-solar roof? You can see the individual shingles, often colored, implying that it already is reflecting at least some sunlight. Just because shingles have 0% conversion to electricity doesn't mean that it's 100% converted to heat.

      In fact, the net heat generation could easily be higher with solar. The solar panels are likely specifically designed to maximize absorbtion of sunlight, in the interests of maximizing conversion to electricity, and you can certainly get shingles designed to minimize absorbtion of solar energy.

    198. Re:transport losses? by julesh · · Score: 1

      The problem with solar panels is PRICE. That is the nut that needs to be cracked. If a panel is only 10% efficient, but not much more expensive than a similar sized roofing slate, it suddenly becomes economical to re-roof the house the next time the roof needs attention. However, it's not even near that price. An 80 watt panel currently costs around GBP£250 which is fantastically expensive. There is no way I could even remotely afford solar roofing at those prices, however much I'd like it. The price per peak watt needs to be about a tenth of what it is now.

      Some quick top-of-the-head maths:

      80 watt peak output probably means an average of about 30 watts over an entire year = 262.8KWh per annum.
      Figure you lose 25% to storage inefficiency and DC-AC conversion losses, that's 197.1KWh useful power per annum.
      Current daytime electricity price is approximately 10p/KWh, so that's £19.71 per year that panel could be saving you.

      The panel will therefore have paid for itself in less than 13 years. The panel's lifetime is typically around 50 years, so you'll make a net profit on the deal.

      Another way of looking at it: £250 invested in a high-interest savings account could be netting you about £10-£15 per annum in interest. So the solar panel is a better investment than a good savings account. And will only improve in performance if electricity prices increase, which looks like a safe bet to me. Plus, I'm informed that panels keep a lot of their original value if you decide to sell it on later.

      So what's the issue?

    199. Re:transport losses? by julesh · · Score: 1

      Speak for yourself. It hit 38 degrees where I was this summer. If that ain't aircon weather, I don't know what is.

    200. Re:transport losses? by bobcat7677 · · Score: 1

      4-5 years!?!? That would have to be in a VERY ideal situation (IE: a place where its never cloudy and electricity is VERY expensive.) For the other 99.9% of the population, the numbers don't look as good. Even if it's not cloudy, you only get the equivalent of about 5 hours of peak output from your panels per day. When it is cloudy, the output drops dramatically (as I have seen first hand in the output graphs from the system in the building I'm typing this from in recent winter months). For most parts of the country, you will be very lucky if you manage to recoup the cost of materials after 20 years. If you had to pay someone to install the system (which most people do), then it really can never pay for itself because the panels wear out after 20-30 years and you have other maintinence such as the inverter, interconnect wires, disconnects, ect.

      Another problem is raw materials. Current panel technologies use materials that are very rare in the earth's crust. Not only does that keep prices high, but it also puts a hard cap on how many panels can be produced (IE: there is not enough raw materials to produce enough panels to generate all our power even if we wanted to).

      ***put on tin foil hat***
      This company http://www.solfocus.com/technology_gen2.html seems to have a good idea of built in concentrators. And according to TFA the DOE came up with 30% efficient panels 12 years ago. My question is: why are these breakthrough technologies being exclusively sold to the space program and utilities? Are they just too expensive to be marketed to consumers? Or is there some sort of conspiriacy going on to keep this stuff out of our hands?

    201. Re:transport losses? by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 2, Informative


      Right off the top you get $29,000 from other oregon and city taxpayers to buy your system. In any state without subsidies, that means over THIRTY YEARS longer payout period. Most solar cells degrade substantially by 20 years (10-20% less power output). Likewise, I'm betting like MOST states, that not just anybody can get those $29k in credits in Oregan. There is probably a fairly limited budget (a few million) and once that is gone each year, there are no more subsidies until the next calendar year.

      I'm unclear how I'm supposed to use Federal Depreciation if it is not for a business or rent house. Granting that I can somehow use it for personal income taxes tho... it sounds like it would be a deduction, not a credit. That would mean it would lower your INCOME by roughly $3 grand a year- which would mean it would lower your TAXES by $1 grand a year at most. That lowers your savings from $13,000 to $5,000. That means your system costs $8,000 more --- that's 10 years more to cover costs. So you are up to 16 years, using your figures, and assuming you are lucky/smart enough to be one of the people that gets the subsidies.

      Using your figures, for the 40 some-odd states where we only get the federal credits, the payout period is longer than the likely lifespan of the item.

      ---

      Now one thing we need to remember is this: Power is appreciating about as fast as inflation. That means your $813 bill today is going to be $1600 in 10 years and $3200 in 20 years. That works in your favor. It helps home buyers too. In 1995 my payment was $700 a month and rent was $655 a month. Today my payment is $700 a month and rent is $1100 a month. In 2015, my payment will be $700 a month and rent will be roughly $2200 a month.

      ---

      No.. It's not just an inverter. If you are connected to the grid you need a special circuit box that won't allow power to flow backwards into the grid unless the grid has power. I think it is called a reverse switchback circuit breaker.

      The inverter converts DC - > AC.
      The charge controller keeps the batteries charged and cycled at the proper levels so they have optimum lifespan.
      The switchback? circuit box (can't remember the name exactly) keeps your 1.21 gigawatts of power from killing electric company linemen.

      ---

      No need to be insulting about the AC ideas. If solar power drops by an order of magnitude it is suddenly a very clever and reasonable way. $900 of solar power and a simple $200 window unit and you don't need to run your central AC during the day at all. No need to upgrade your electrical system. No need to have charge controllers, batteries, etc.

      ---

      There are several companies on the edge of dropping the price by an order of magnitude. Two of them basically print solar material with nano-particles. If any of them succeed and solar power does drop to 10% of the current price and becomes unbelievably easy to install (picture unrolling a 50'x3' long strip on your roof that costs about $3000 and produces 1.5 mw of power during the day with no clouds and it has a plug on one end to hook to another strip- no panels, no sun tracking arrays- nothing to break- no cells to be corrupted by water leakage. cool stuff)

      As far as the other things- I'm already using efficient appliances, have a programmable thermostat, added radiant barrier, and use florescent lights.

      ---

      I'm pro solar power. It just isn't practical yet unless you can get other people to help you buy it through subsidies. That's only an option in some states.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    202. Re:transport losses? by onepoint · · Score: 1

      what most power companies are doing is crediting your account. it's called net metering, it works.

      I currently finished selling a house that had been solar power, his bills were in the order of about 50 dollars per month with a savings from the years before of about 310 per month average.
      I asked him how was the payoff, ( return on investment ). he said " every hurricane I had daytime juice, hot water bath, and cold nights" I asked then about the money, he said " pays for itself and then some "
      I learned from this guy a ton of things. he got a special mortgage for his solar power, bought in the power company to do a scan of his home for insulation leaks ( for free ), the permits were fast tracked in his town and it seemed that all towns fast track solar power ( at-least that's what he said ). installing the panels are tricky, but when it's done right, they just need to be washed with a hose in the morning. you need to have a lightning rod ( i did not ask why ).

      now I am researching these special lending plans. some go to 50K with 30 years of financing. ( 30 years at 8 percent = 7.34 per 1000 borrowed, which to me means it's do-able for those here in Florida with high electric bills )

      --
      if you see me, smile and say hello.
    203. Re:transport losses? by Sique · · Score: 1

      Pipelines are very efficient means of transport, because here the transport vessel is at the same time the transport way. Also ships are very efficient, and often the empty vessel weighs less than a quarter the registered tonnage. For human transport over land the most efficient vehicle today is the bicycle, which consumes about 30% the energy of walking, and which weighs normally between 15 and 20% of the transported good (e.g. the person). The average truck in Europe also has less empty weight than he can carry. Most European trucks with a trailer weigh about 10-12 tons for the truck and another 3-4 tons for the trailer and are allowed to weigh up to 40 tons together with the load.
      In the end: The car (and the siblings SUV and minivan) are just the worst means of transport from an efficiency point of view. There are quite reasonable means of transport out there :)

      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
    204. Re:transport losses? by sk8king · · Score: 1

      Wow, if I could reduce my monthly electricity bill by $150US, I'd be laughing. As it is, I'm about $135 Canadian every TWO months. Although, I believe in Ontario right now, residents get their electricity rate capped at $0.06/Kwh or something like that. Basically, as it is now, my bill is almost 50% delivery charges to the home. Solar Panels might take out that delivery charge.

    205. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I am just waiting for a good solar flashlight.

    206. Re:transport losses? by 1u3hr · · Score: 1
      Holding every US citizen responsible for Bush's actions is no different than holding every German responsible for Hitler's

      Yes, but that's how a lot of people think. My original statement was about how "the world" sees America, not me, not the Dalai Lama. And being of the white-skinned, English-speaking persuasion myself, there are countries I would be unwise to visit now, as I would be treated as a target because I look like an American to them. Though my own country, Australia, has sadly been complicit in Bush's adventurism.

    207. Re:transport losses? by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      Even without the round-trip factor, estimates are that 1% of the energy burned in a car actually moves the passenger.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    208. Re:transport losses? by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 1

      Not if they use expensive materials and/or a manufacturing process that does not scale up very well.

      For example, you can try as hard as you want to mass produce something made from titanium, but even if you solve the problems related to actually working with titanium, you still haven't (and won't) solve the problem that titanium itself is expensive.

      Same goes for many of these high efficiency solar cells - Many of them use exotic and rare materials. It would be much bigger news if someone figured out how to make a 5% efficiency solar cell that only cost 5% more than the cost of equivalent non-solar-cell roofing material. The world has plenty of unused surface area - watts per square meter is nearly meaningless for most applications, dollars per watt is the big issue.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    209. Re:transport losses? by dt_aybabtu · · Score: 1

      You can put the solar cells in Texas we can put all of the refineries in the Northeast somewhere (Maine?) and the chemical plants somewhere in the Midwest......

    210. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > you need to have a lightning rod ( i did not ask why ).

      So they don't get hit by lightning. Duh.

    211. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Incidentally, most of our oil comes from Canada and Mexico. Just FYI.

    212. Re:transport losses? by markov_chain · · Score: 1

      If they use expensive/rare materials, or do not scale up very well, then they can't be mass-produced by definition. However, I think it's likely that continued process research will eventually uncover better designs and bring costs down; obviously we don't know how or it wouldn't be called research. This has happened before, most notably with electronics, integrated circuits, etc.

      I agree that the dollars/Watt metric is useful when area is not a concern; however conversion efficiency becomes important when area is limited, which is the case with rooftop usage. Solar won't be very useful if the entire roof barely generates enough power for a couple lightbulbs, even if the panels are free.

      Given what the other guy (Alioth?) said about his shed it sounds like tracking systems might help a lot.

      --
      Tsunami -- You can't bring a good wave down!
    213. Re:transport losses? by Sique · · Score: 1

      That's not so surprising: Let's have a car with a weight of 3600 pound (~1600 kg), with an average person inside (180 pounds or ~80kg) and an engine efficency of 20% (as said before: A gasoline engine or a diesel engine is only efficient at a limited range of rotations per minute, and the transmission takes its toll). So we move 20 times the weight of the person with 20% efficiency, or in other words: From the initial energy only 1% actually moves the person.

      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
    214. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Less acreage if more sides are utilized.

    215. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Solar will only work if we have a superconducting power grid spanning multiple continents. Then we can use nuclear and stick it by the ocean (heat sink) and put solar in the sunny, arid areas. Then and only then do we get rid of the nasty problem of peak power because on average the world power usage remains about the same.

      So, to achieve energy utopia, we need,
          * cheap solar panels that cost as much as shingles
          * superconducting worldwide power grid (at least major corridors need to be superconducting!) - with above we have electrical "Internet"
          * fusion power plants by oceans to generate the remaining energy
          * ?? maybe, put up huge panels in the space between Earth and Sun to
                + mitigate global warning by reducing about of solar energy reaching Earth
                + offsetting the warning of the planet due to energy usage (thermal). Not a problem when people use 10e12W. problem when people use 10e15W

      <rant>
      So, now we need people to think about achieving the first and the second. We can aldready do the 3rd one, but countries seem to care more about their next nuke and how much they can destroy than about ITER or energy independance. (I'm looking at you, US, China, Russia, .... Sudan, Canada (ie. no Kyoto but huge surpluses), Korea, etc....... Very long and sad list )

      And thank you for killing the whales Iceland, Japan and Norway!!! These animals are the real threat. Instead of funding any of the above, thank you for subsidizing whale extermination.

      I could go on and on how much resources is literary wasted ON PURPOSE and to destroy ON PURPOSE.... Virtually every country.

      PS. To add to my rant, slashdot cannot even handle Plain Text as Plain Text... One has to escape < as &lt;

    216. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not that I ever studied economics,

      You should have stopped there.

    217. Re:transport losses? by merreborn · · Score: 1

      Okay, so the GP estimates that it'd cost $98 trillion to build enough panels to supply the planets energy use (which, by the way, completely ignores the fact that there's no where near enough silicon available -- there's hardly enough available to meet current demand)

      You, the parent, contend that perhaps 30 years of energy use for the world is less than $98 trillion.

      Let's just work that backward. $98 trillion over 30 years is a bit over $3 trillion a year. There are about 6 billion people on the planet. 3 trillion over 6 billion = $500 per capita per year.

      Going out on a limb here, but I'm pretty sure that's greater than the current world-wide per capita energy expenditure.

    218. Re:transport losses? by tepples · · Score: 1

      How about running refrigerators during the night?

      What needs more refrigeration, "clean" meat or "unclean" meat?

    219. Re:transport losses? by AmericanInKiev · · Score: 1

      HVDC Lines (High Voltage Direct Current) are quite efficient (~90%). Yes transportation is an issue, but not a "Hard" problem. The lower (financial) cost of oil and natural gas is a much larger barrier., as is the lower cost of wind energy. If you had good transportation, then wind would also be more viable.

    220. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Cone shaped? I can only think of one place in world were the sun goes around you in a prefect circle, so stop surfing from work and get back to making Christmas toys or I'm telling Santa!

    221. Re:transport losses? by EzInKy · · Score: 1


      Yes, but that's how a lot of people think. My original statement was about how "the world" sees America, not me, not the Dalai Lama. And being of the white-skinned, English-speaking persuasion myself, there are countries I would be unwise to visit now, as I would be treated as a target because I look like an American to them. Though my own country, Australia, has sadly been complicit in Bush's adventurism.


      So you yourself can understand the difficulties we face here in the States then. Well at least we've taken control of Congress from the neo-cons, hopefully the Presidency will follow two years down the road. There are quite a large of percentage of people here who believe that freedom of religion only applies to their particularly brand though, and Bush and his croonies are quite adept at manipulating them.

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
    222. Re:transport losses? by AmericanInKiev · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I don't see a loss of jobs related to the adoption of solar energy (in consumption country). The losses would occur in oil-fields ie Venezuela, Saudi, Dubai, etc...

      The new jobs created by the Solar energy (and Wind sector) thus far are on the whole very good jobs, and there would be more jobs in a renewable economy, look at the O&M component of these "Concentrator" systems. They have moving parts, they require education to install, and the jobs would be create in every state and county. Nuclear plants, by contrast create jobs with a high risk-premium, but they also create less jobs per kilowatt than any other electrical provider, as the plant size is bigger, and there are fewer of them generally.

      AIK

    223. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful
      Is energy really expensive enough to justify covering your house in solar cells?

      Energy as we collect it now, has some non-obvious costs. What does pollution from burning fossil fuels cost us in terms of healthcare? What will sea-level rise cost us? (hint: NYC, LA, DC, Miami, New Orleans, Mobile, and others are very close to sea level, and those are just the US examples.) Would we really have spent $300B and 2,906 American lives (so far) in Iraq if we didn't need to "stabilize" the region that supplies most of our oil? Part of every dollar that you pay in taxes, at the store, at the hospital, in fact pretty much everywhere, is an energy cost.

      Wow, nice answer and totally uncalled for. If you really want to see solar displace oil, somebody needs to start selling solar cells that match the cost per watt of oil. There are two ways for that to happen. The first is for the supply of oil to shink (in progress) and drive the price of oil up, and the second is decrease the cost per watt of solar. More efficiency for the same price is a good example as is a decrease in the price of solar.

      Everything else cited? It will still be there. Solar is not zero pollution. It just shifts the type and source and spreads it around. Much like coal vs hydro. Do you have any idea what the thermal runnoff is from solar? You want to talk about global warming and healthcare problems? Look no further than the next great energy source. Wars have been fought over far less than potential threats to energy sources. Many more wars will be fought over much less than that as well.

      The goal is greater efficiency and sustainability. It is the same reason why farming beats hunting. Right now we are "hunting" energy sources, not "farming" them. That is starting to change, but it needs time (and technology). Just as farming didn't happen overnight, nor will our energy shift. Do what you can to help make it faster, better, or cheaper and it will be here before you know it.

    224. Re:transport losses? by AmericanInKiev · · Score: 1

      One of the great features of Solar is that it can be built where the energy is needed - this reduces the cost and size of grid wires. Failing to use this feature only increases the cost/performance ratio. That's fine if you can afford it, bu the value of delivered energy is twice the value of utility power, in addition, about 50% of the power is lost in transmission, so on-site power may be worth 4x over utility grade stuff.

      AIK

    225. Re:transport losses? by sallgeud · · Score: 1

      I love doing the math on this stuff. If we figure that 250mi squared is equiv to approximately 160,000 square kilometers. The average solar panel is about 1.25 square meters and costs about $1500. If we get friendly and just call that $1000 per square meter... That is of course ignoring that this is a concentrator type system, and not panels.... and that this new innovation would be significantly more expensive today....

      $1000 per square meter times 160,000 square kilometers =
          160,000,000,000 * $1000 = $160,000,000,000,000 = $160 Trillion

      Our government currently collection less than 2% of that per year in taxes... CBO predicted 2.1 trillion in tax revenue in 2005.

      The top 20 largest companies in the world are only worth a combined 4 trillion...

    226. Re:transport losses? by ernst_mulder · · Score: 1

      > Not all our energy is nuclear: Tidal power plants don't use nuclear power.

      Not strictly true though, tidal power (and most of everything else here on earth) is indirect sun-power, and the sun is a nuclear powered device.

      Sorry, couldn't resist.

    227. Re:transport losses? by indifferent+children · · Score: 1
      If you really want to see solar displace oil, somebody needs to start selling solar cells that match the cost per watt of oil.

      My answer wasn't "uncalled for"; it was exactly on point to the original question, "Is energy really expensive enough to justify covering your house in solar cells?", and is related to your statement about matching the cost per watt of oil.

      If you want solar to "match the cost per watt of oil", you must first calculate the "cost per watt of oil". The true cost per watt of oil includes the cost of caring for asthmatics who are afflicted by air pollution that comes from burning oil. The true cost per watt of oil includes any military expenditures that go toward insuring our access to oil. The true cost per watt of oil includes the hundreds of billions of dollars that will be spent to build seawalls around our coastal cities, or to relocate the people and businesses when we abondon those cities.

      The cost of oil is not just what you pay at the pump. I am not advocating a non-economic, starry-eyed solution to our energy problems. I just want us to look at the systemic costs of all solutions, and choose the solutions that have the lowest true costs.

      --
      Censorship is telling a man he can't have a steak just because a baby can't chew it. --Mark Twain
    228. Re:transport losses? by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      A bargain I tell you.
      Okay not really. Well you could argue that the price will come down because economies of scale. But you could also argue that prices will go up because of increased demand.
      Moore's law will not apply because a meter of panels is a meter of panels. CPUs have increased their price to performance because they have shrunk in size.

      I was addressing the storage of power and how you could power the system at night. Actually the more I think about the more I think NH4 might be an even better way to store and transport hydrogen then CH4. You can release the hydrogen with a catalyst and it is liquid at 9 bars of pressure. You might not want to use it in a gas turbine since it would have an additional nitrogen which could cause issues with NOX emissions but it would work just dandy in a fuel cell.
      It could be a good way for say Iceland and New Zealand to export their hydro power.
      The one issue I can think of is that NH4 is toxic but it is very commonly used in industry and farming. Handling procedures are well known and in place.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    229. Re:transport losses? by The+Living+Fractal · · Score: 1

      Actually, tidal plants do require nuclear power to work. Were it not for the sun keeping water warm it would freeze. Then what kind of tidal power would we get? ;p

      TLF

      --
      I do not respond to cowards. Especially anonymous ones.
    230. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How many years would it take before you made a 'profit' so to speak? Is it easy to sell power into the grid?

      Presumably a lot less time if panels can be made more efficient at the same cost. So, you would need fewer panels to achieve the same effect. Today's solar panel prices are definitely not worth the cost in terms of energy payback except in some off-grid applications, but tomorrows 40% efficient panels could be as competitive as wind has become without the need for a big tower.

    231. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You care about the environment but are clearing land (in the suburbs most likely) to build a new house which contributes to sprawl! Thats sounds like those guys who "care about the environment" while driving around in the hybrid cars.

    232. Re:transport losses? by kmac06 · · Score: 1

      Nuclear fuel, specifically uranium, while theoretically limited, is enough to last for hundreds if not thousands of years (link*)--and I'm sure at that point we will have developed fusion, and I don't think we'll run out of hydrogen any time soon. I couldn't find any information on how big the uranium reserves are in the US, but it is listed as one of the top producers of uranium in the article linked.

      I really don't understand the opposition to moving to nuclear power. It's cheaper, safe, and storage issues add nothing more than cost to the power (which is already factored in).

      *According to wikipedia, at current uranium prices, it will be profitable to extract uranium for 50 years. If that price is doubled, the time span jumps to hundreds of years. And the uranium is a small portion of the cost of a power plant--doubling the fuel cost would increase the total cost of the power by 5%.

    233. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Am I the only person who pictured a giant pile of raccoons operating a hand-pump? Yes? Ok, never mind...

      Yes. I know how to read, because of the hyphens used, it's clear it's not "raccoon pumped", but it's "raccoon storage". I think.

    234. Re:transport losses? by pclminion · · Score: 1

      Would we really have spent $300B and 2,906 American lives (so far) in Iraq if we didn't need to "stabilize" the region that supplies most of our oil?

      You'd think that with THREE HUNDRED BILLION DOLLARS something more permanent and far reaching could have been accomplished than just temporarily propping up our access to an oil supply which everybody knows is finite. Imagine $300 billion applied to clean, efficient nuclear power, hell imagine just $3 billion.

      The true cost of peak oil of course cannot be predicted, nor can the exact cost of changing global temperatures, rising sea levels, and shifting climates. A reasonable individual would purchase insurance against his house burning in a fire -- wouldn't it make sense for us to spend a few paltry billions to insure ourselves against the unpredictable?

    235. Re:transport losses? by pclminion · · Score: 1

      Don't forget the federal tax credits. Whether you agree with renewable energy subsidies or not, the money is there for the taking, you might as well take it.

      Are you going with a battery system on a dedicated solar circuit, or are you using a grid-tie system? Xantrex among other companies makes good inverters with full RS-232 digital readout, so you can put your home solar energy stats up on a live web page :-)

    236. Re:transport losses? by CrankyOldBastard · · Score: 1

      Actually I was in San Diego. Try suburbs such as El Cajon (sp?), National City, and the other areas in the east and southeast of the town. I was shocked by the communities around the west shore of Salton Sea, and the non-resort areas around Anzo-Borrego, which compare to the worst you find at places such as Bilouila in Oz, the North West in England and nowhere in Japan. Moving North, Los Angeles has large chunks of urban poverty that should make every American hide his or her head in shame, that one of the grandest cities in the richest country in the world should have so much that is of such a low standard.

      Any rate, you might consider learning more about the subject before you share your uninfomred views on America. After that's all said and done, there are certainly a very small number of homeless and poor which are trying to find/make a better life for themselves...but it's fairly uplikely that's what you've observed.

      Actually, I've lived in several countries, and have worked with the disadvantaged and with minorities for many years, before I was forced into retirement by being crippled. I went to America believing that I was going to see a society that showcased capitalism at its finest, the "Land of Freedom and Opportunity" we hear about in the media (I assumed there was a foundation for those claims). Instead I found a country that was deeply divided, where for far too many people a person's value was based on their bank balance. I only ever met 3 people who didn't have the view that the homeless and mentally ill were responsible for their own conditions, and all 3 had lived for long times in other countries (UK, Oz and Singapore). I met and talked to many people from all walks of life, ranging from the extremely wealthy (people who live, with their entire family, in the Hyatt!!), to an astounding "fleet" of homeless people who lived in their cars and floated around La Jolla trying to stay ahead of the tow-trucks hired by the City. I was looking at moving my family to the USA permanently, but eventually made the decision that I could live without the $250k job for the equalitarian society here - I still believe that I got a good deal.

    237. Re:transport losses? by JohnFluxx · · Score: 1

      Actually the GP guessed at cost per square meter. But in the article they say the total cost is about the same as the energy expenditure, which would be about a 1/3 of that.

      So almost by definition it does actually work out to be the same as the world-wide per capita energy expenditure cost.

    238. Re:transport losses? by pclminion · · Score: 1

      Tidal energy comes from our moon.

      And the moon is made of atoms which were made in stars and hurled away with great kinetic energy by supernovae, so you could accurately say that both the moon itself and its kinetic energy are nuclear in origin, and therefore tidal power is also a form of nuclear power :-)

    239. Re:transport losses? by scottv67 · · Score: 1

      I have been wanting to take a RWD car/truck and drop a turbo diesel in it. Take the trans apart and put a custom 400V or so alternator in the bellhousing...

      I suspect that the engineers at LeTourneau could help you work-out some of those electric-drive details. It looks like they are quite good at moving heavy machines with electric motors.
      http://www.letourneau-inc.com/html/equipment/minin g/mining.html

    240. Re:transport losses? by DRAGONWEEZEL · · Score: 1

      It allready is.

      I have previously wrote a post on this issue before, but I can't find it to relink. I am bored, so I'll rehash it.

      Those that can't afford them use grid power. However, if they were included on every roof, they would be harder to NOT have.
      Yes energy is expensive enough. I live in the great Pacific North West. Power is relatively cheap here due to a lot of Hydro. However, I have a Alternative e- freak for a roommate, and he did all the planing, and most of the installation of my solar system for my house In Olympia, WA.

      I have a small solar array that is very beneficial for me in the summer. I do what is called Net Metering that's Net as in Net pay. It works like this:

      If I am using 3 units of energy/hour and solar is producing an average of 2 units / hour I only end up paying for 1 unit / hour.

      I have a 600 watt array that runs into the inverter. It is seeded by line power for two reasons. First, it synchronizes the wave forms, and second if the line power goes out, the inverter stops producing so that you don't back-feed into the grid, and cause a lineman to work with a hot wire that he thinks is cold. The inverter changes the 24V DC into 110V AC and pumps it straight into my electric panel, essentially feeding it back into the grid. If I am using electricity it just augments the line power, and slows down the meter, if I am not using much electricity then it will spin the meter backwards.

      Puget Power claims not to "require" a contract for anything I now have an Official net metering contract as PP hounded me enough

      The maintenance is simple. Every few times that you clean your gutters, wipe off the panels. Installation requires a fair amount of work and supplies. The list includes mounting hardware, the photovoltaic panels, an inverter, wire, ground wire (and a new grounding post to bring you up to code) an electrical permit / inspection, and a lot of patience putting it all together.

      The benefits for me will be somewhat exaggerated compared to most installations. I have a small house, with low e- windows, a new roof, and lots of insulation. But in the summer I usually pay only about $25 or so for electricity. (this august with a streak of 93+ days, I hit $27 w/ AC on!) In the winter I did see a small reduction, but not statistically significant. Also Keep in mind, I have 2 state of the art computers running close to full time. x24400 rig, and a 1st gen hot as a mofo watercooled p4

      If you are serious about solar, first do what you can with conservation. Some things that drastically reduce electricity are not very popular such as leaving the curtains closed on a nice sunny day (keeps your house cooler.) However, you will realize your biggest economical benefit when you combine conservation, with the photovalics.

      The actual payoff for solar in WA will be about 15-20 years. It is not something you want to do, economically speaking, unless you plan to keep your house, and are serious about conservation due to the high initial cost.

      Although you can include that into the selling price of your home(mines listed as adding about 6k to the value), and there are some tax incentives as well.

      Also the panels never stop working. Although they do loose a little bit of eficiency but the loss flattens out to an asymptote if you remember functions from math. So theoretically, they could generate income over your lifespan.

      A few caveats regarding payoff are the fact that your speculating that the cost of e- will stay the same or rise, also that the Panels do not become obsolete quickly (due to a breakthrough like this & production price decreases, so far this has NOT been seen), but if that is the case, you have the infrastructure on your home, and replacement of panels is far simpler (assuming your inverter was purchased so as to have room to grow your system)

      wow that's alot of info....

      --
      How much is your data worth? Back it up now.
    241. Re:transport losses? by Eccles · · Score: 1

      That's a nice warranty, though I must admit I'd be concerned about the company actually lasting 25 years.

      --
      Ooh, a sarcasm detector. Oh, that's a real useful invention.
    242. Re:transport losses? by CapnGib · · Score: 1

      ...efficiency of electrolytic hydrogen production...

      Currently about 4%. Expect ~10% in the next 5-10 years.

      --
      Beauty is truly in the eye of the tiger
    243. Re:transport losses? by pikakilla · · Score: 1

      ***put on tin foil hat*** This company http://www.solfocus.com/technology_gen2.html seems to have a good idea of built in concentrators. And according to TFA the DOE came up with 30% efficient panels 12 years ago. My question is: why are these breakthrough technologies being exclusively sold to the space program and utilities? Are they just too expensive to be marketed to consumers? Or is there some sort of conspiriacy going on to keep this stuff out of our hands?

      Cost maybe?

    244. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      am i the only one who sees the inherent danger in concentrating the nations power supply in one big easy target? or for that matter the worlds?

    245. Re:transport losses? by f1055man · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, nuclear power isn't cheaper. It's cheaper to operate, but the total cost of ownership is greater. The problem is that insurance costs are enormous. Modern nuclear power is incredibly safe, but in the event of a very unlikely accident in operation or transport of waste, the damage caused could easily run into the hundreds of billions of dollars. It doesn't help that Congress has indemnified operators of liability. Just because no one is paying the premiums doesn't mean the costs of insurance aren't there. It just means our government(us) picks up the tab when an accident happens, whether 10 years from now or 100 years from now.
      The essential problem is that no one really knows how much energy costs. Even if we can sum up direct subsidies, because energy is what makes everything go it is just too big and complicated to fit in a ledger book. What does pollution from a coal plant cost? A nuclear disaster amortized over 100 years? Foreign policy? Oil spills? etc. People can and do make guesses, but it's just too big of a problem. How do you account for something when the very act of accounting for it alters the meaning of a dollar?
      Nuclear power has a role to play, but fission nor any other one source of power is the solution.

    246. Re:transport losses? by a10t2 · · Score: 1

      As for hydrogen production, there's a much nearer-term option that I find really keen: Honda's "Home Energy Station" concept. Basically, almost every home in the US has natural gas lines running to it. Currently, natural gas is the cheapest way to produce hydrogen, so producing as much hydrogen as you need, straight from your natural gas line, seems a reasonable proposal. Reasonable unless you're worried about the greenhouse gas emissions. Methane reformation releases CO; you can crack it, but not at temperatures they're going to be putting into a consumer product any time soon. Honda's press release doesn't say anything about sequestering the CO, but you have to to keep it from shutting down a PEMFC. So in addition to the platinum catalyst you have to find a way to dispose of some kind of CO-laden material.

      Of course, this raises the question, "Why not a natural gas-powered car? Why waste the energy converting it into hydrogen?" Well, apart from the very high energy efficiency of using hydrogen in fuel cells, with Honda's system, the energy released in converting natural gas to hydrogen isn't wasted. The waste heat from the process fires your water heater, so it's an almost lossless system unless you're consuming large amounts of hydrogen and using almost no hot water. There's nothing "lossless" about it. It's less efficient than burning all of the natural gas to heat your water, since some of the heat energy released goes into the steam reformer: CH4 + H2O + 192 kJ -> CO + 3H2 Since the heat of combustion of methane is 902 kJ/mol, you have to consume about 1.2 mol CH4 to convert 1 mol, so your reformer efficiency is at best 83%, less whatever it takes to get the reformer up to operating temperature (probably 800C or so) and keep it there, less the losses from sequestering CO. Since your water heater isn't pressurized, it can't be put in direct contact with that 800C steam, so there's another hit going through a heat exchanger. I'm guessing the overall fuel-to-products cycle efficiency for this system is 55%. No matter how much you want it to save the whales and repair the ozone layer, entropy takes its cut. Remember, hydrogen is an energy carrier: for all practical intents and purposes, it doesn't exist naturally, so you have to use some energy to produce it.
    247. Re:transport losses? by somersault · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the info. I do like the idea of solar power, I just tend to disagree with people for the sake of it sometimes.. could be called trolling I guess, but it's not intentional :s Anyway, we don't really need air conditioning in the UK, the only room that has it at work is the server room ;) I did think it would be annoying to go solar powered and then have some breakthrough made, but it's the same as buying a PC - if you have to get one, you may as well just get one and not always wait for the next big thing as if it's going to stay state of the art for ever.. best just to go with whatever gives you the most value for your money at the current time - or alternatively the best solar panels you can get if you're expecting to make lots of savings through them. I've not yet purchased a house, was planning to get something fairly rural.. wind power could be a better plan for me since I'm in Scotland..

      --
      which is totally what she said
    248. Re:transport losses? by somersault · · Score: 1

      Yep.. the more I talk the more stupid I appear, I've noticed that :p

      --
      which is totally what she said
    249. Re:transport losses? by redcane · · Score: 0

      I think this will sound harsher than I really want it to, but here goes: Your interest will not be much use to your grandchildren if they can't live on this planet. Also if by not getting solar, you contribute further to global warming, and the seas rise, there is less available land, your food costs increase. Your house maintenance costs increase as well due to harsher weather. Your investment into money, rather than the environment may end up costing you money, just a lot longer term.

    250. Re:transport losses? by randmairs · · Score: 1

      >Much of the time it is night, and storing that much juice in batteries is impractical.
      Check out Altair Nanotechnologies (NASDAQ: ALTI). They have acheived a 20,000 useful number of cycles with their Nanosafe battery. (REF: http://www.evworld.com/view.cfm?section=article&st oryid=1148) For those who don't subscribe, here's the quote: "The company is claiming that their battery is showing a cycle life in excess of 20,000 charges and discharges while still retaining 85% of its capacity to store energy."

      If you cycle the battery 300 times a year, that's about a 70 year lifetime and you maybe able to avoid nuclear power to boot. Those in the sun could store and send electricity to cloudy areas.

      If you use the battery in a pack that delivers a 100 mile range, that's 2 million miles on a pack. You trade in the **body** of the car and keep the pack. Finance the car, second mortgage the pack and pay the second mortgage off in 20 years. At a $1/watt for a 30Kwh pack (rough quess), that's 30,000/2,000,000 or $0.015/mile plus the finance charges. Check out: http://66.218.37.153/news.htm November 7, 2006 article.

    251. Re:transport losses? by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Not that putting the whole thing in one place is a good idea, but superconductors can minimize the transport loss.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    252. Re:transport losses? by xebecv · · Score: 1

      And how much money will those solar panels save you until they (or you) die?

    253. Re:transport losses? by xebecv · · Score: 1

      Is it possible to delete previous message with this one?

    254. Re:transport losses? by Perky_Goth · · Score: 1

      Reduce $150 per month? What the hell do you guys in america use that much power for? Either your power is expensive, or you've got to be throwing it away. $150 per month! That's frightening.

    255. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is it easy to sell power into the grid?

      yes. you hook it all up, then go watch the electric meter run in reverse. you then end up with a negitive power bill.

      WRONG. Regular meters can't tell which "direction" the current is flowing. They only run in one direction no matter which way the current is going. To push power back into the grid you require a special meter and an inspection and review of your setup by the power company.

      It depends on the meter you have. If my electric company finds out you're running your meter backwards they will replace it with one that doesn't, but they will be willing to measure the energy you are putting into the grid and pay you the wholesale value of your electricity.

      WRONG. The electric company can't "find out you're running your meter backward," because you CAN'T run your regular meter backward. If you have the type that can run backward when putting power into the grid, the only reason you will have it is because the electric company installed it, so they will already know about it. Getting paid the wholesale value of the electricity (called the "avoided cost" value) is a concept that is maybe 30-40 years out of date. The current model, mandated by law in over 35 States, credits you with the retail value of the power within each billing cycle.

      You don't need batteries if you just sell your excess power back to the grid. You don't get much money for it when you do that but you don't need to store it, either.

      RIGHT/WRONG. Having power when the grid fails is an entirely different issue than generating your own power from solar energy. The topic here is solar power generation. With the right equipment and approvals, the grid is your battery, hence no battery costs per se. But "you don't get much money for it" is false in most States. You get retail value for it, up to 100% of your consumption, netting out to zero at best. IOW you won't get paid for putting more into the grid in a billing cycle than you draw out.

      The trouble with feeding power back to the Grid is that you need an inverter to convert the DC generated...

      WRONG. You always need an inverter unless you plan to rewire your house for low-voltage lighting and appliances, like an RV. The objective of large solar power installations is to seamlessly replace utility AC power, use as much of the solar power as available, get the rest from the grid, and if there is ever any excess solar power, put it back into the grid. AC. Get it?

      here's my guess on what a sync converter is.

      There is no such term in the solar/wind/microhydro power generation industry. An inverter designed for grid-tie takes care of what you're trying to explain. It also performs other functions you don't mention.

      Many power companies won't do it. There are few laws forcing them to accept the power, or account for it even if you do give it to them.

      WRONG. Net Metering is the law in more than 35 States. Whether power companies resist Net Metering with bureaucracy is another matter.

      I know what a sync converter is. I just don't know if there's any ADDITIONAL hardware which is also involved.

      Grid-tie inverters are much more than mere inverters. They must meet government- and power company-required industry standards for preventing power from being directed into a dead grid ("anti-islanding") and they usually have advanced battery charging and charge maintenance technology (although batteries are usually optional) and controls for automatically starting and stopping a generator. They are not simple inverters.

      Also consider that its likely that, with inflation, the average electric bill will continue to increase whereas the amortized 30 year mortgage payment will not. So that $150 s

    256. Re:transport losses? by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 2

      You can't be sure that production of solar power doesn't have some bad side effect. Producing them now makes a lot of nasty shit. Dealing with them as waste may release unknown pollutants into the environment.

      You can't be certain that global warming won't produce a net gain of usable land.

      You can't be certain that money *WASTED* on solar power today couldn't be spent much more effectively in a few years when it drops an order of magnitude in price.

      You can't be certain that the average house price maintenance cost will be higher.

      You sound to me like you have a religion of environmentalism and you need to realize that you have a lot of attitudes that you can't be certain of. Over the course of 30 years that I remember, I've seen a lot of people REALLY SURE and REALLY UPSET about FACTS that we now know are bullshit. COMPLETE BULLSHIT. So get off the high horse.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    257. Re:transport losses? by SnowZero · · Score: 1

      Yep. Solar has certainly found some good niche markets already, and I didn't intend to take anything away from that.

    258. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't solar cells degrade about 10% a year?

    259. Re:transport losses? by Mac+Degger · · Score: 1

      "however there are issues associated with running at less then 100% power for extended periods of time."

      Didn't know that...what are they?

      "but if you deplete the core with control rods in you create axial asymmetries."

      Isn't that why we designed pebblebed reactors?

      "Big nuke power plants are designed to be base load generating plants, running at 100% all the time."

      Is 450 MW large enough for that to hold true? I know of one in that range (and one larger) for which that's just patently not true. It's specifically built for variable power output to account for changes in the continental powergrid and thus changs in demand. But then again, afaik most power stations (no matter their fuel source) pretty much have to do that, otherwise we couldn't ever have a stable frequency from our power lines.

      --
      -- Waht? Tehr's a preveiw buottn?
    260. Re:transport losses? by kmac06 · · Score: 1

      An accident in operation resulting in any sort of contamination is damn near impossible. I would be fine with the safety considerations of living next to a nuclear power plant with modern safety precautions (the eye sore, of course, is another matter). A transportation accident would result in costly cleanup, but hardly disastrous. Not to mention the extreme precautions taken to prevent such an occurance.

      I'm not claiming to have crunched the numbers myself, but the wikipedia article I linked claims the cost of nuclear power is on par or slightly cheaper than natural gas or coal (including construction, waste storage, dismantling of the plant, etc), and is not in danger of running out of fuel for a very long time. Oh, and did I mention it has zero pollution?

    261. Re:transport losses? by FuzzyDaddy · · Score: 1

      Do you know why it's so low?

      --
      It's not wasting time, I'm educating myself.
    262. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You'd have to be a real jerk to mark that post a troll. A detailed, factual account and explanation is anything but "troll". Where does /. find these idiots?

    263. Re:transport losses? by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      that one of the grandest cities in the richest country in the world should have so much that is of such a low standard.

      If people are lazy and feel entitled, there is not a lot you can do about it. Either you maintain the status quo or you round them up and move them elsewhere. Which would you prefer? The shame is for the people that insist on living like that...not for the country in which they live. What is shameful is the small percentage that is caught up in that life style, who want to do better, but simply have no one to help them find a better way.

      Instead I found a country that was deeply divided, where for far too many people a person's value was based on their bank balance.

      Well, sadly, this is true...especially in the larger cities. IMO, this one of the reasons why NY was attacked. I've never seen that attitude exuded more than by NYers. Dallas is a wanna-be NY, and you can see the same type of disgusting behavior here too. Houston is not like that. IF you go outside of the big cities, chances are, you won't find that behavior either. I wish I could say this wasn't true, but it is. One again, with sadness, I can say this is not a new cultural discovery. If you read about the first financial power houses of America, you'll find there is a long history of such behavior.

      I only ever met 3 people who didn't have the view that the homeless and mentally ill were responsible for their own conditions, and all 3 had lived for long times in other countries (UK, Oz and Singapore).

      I guess I did cast a wide net in my coments. I was not intending to include the mentally ill in my statements. The homeless which are not mentally ill, are very often content to live on the street because they don't want to work. And surprisingly, some homeless can actually make $20k-$60k (yes, seriously!) by begging in large cities. Of course, often that money is blown on alcohol and drugs... Are you including these in the "mentally ill" category? I don't. Now then, to be clear, in my previous post, I'm talking about the impoverished that do live is crappy conditions, living hand to mouth, goverment check to check. The VAST majority of these people live like that directly of their own actions. They often have a desire to complain about everything and do absolutely nothing about it...other than wait for their next check.

      On a side note, do you believe my post to be "troll" rating worthy? I can respectfully disagree...but "troll"?

      My wife's parents were very, very, very poor. They still lived in a very humble neighborhood when I started dating her. There were two types of people that lived in that neighborhood. Those that were working to get out (like my wife's parents)...and those that were looking to live like trash.

    264. Re:transport losses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And in Japan, temporary traffic lights by roadworks are powered by a solar panel. At night, a diesel generator powers a lamp hung over the solar panel...

    265. Re:transport losses? by CapnGib · · Score: 1

      A large bandgap is required to split water and large bandgap cells are inefficient. Current state of the art in direct solar electrolysis uses a multijunction cell. One junction absorbs in one region of the spectrum (UV) and has a bandgap a little bit too small for splitting water, so it needs to be bias driven. The other junction uses the long pass light not absorbed by the first material to generate a bias voltage, which increases the bandgap at the first junction, thus enabling electrolysis.

      Currently, several labs are working on improving efficiency of solar water splitting throuhg multijunction cells, and altering the chemistry of n-type materials to tailor the bandgap and improve e- transport. Also they are trying to utilize more of the available spectrum. Some papers are showing champion efficiency > 50% but that is for a very narrow portion of the UV spectrum and a very low overall efficiency ( 1%) when you consider how little light they actually use.

      There is a good article by Graetzel in Nature (414(2001)p338) which offers a good intro to this area.

      --
      Beauty is truly in the eye of the tiger
    266. Re:transport losses? by Rei · · Score: 2, Informative

      Methane reformation releases CO

      Carbon monoxide is highly flammable. It has the same NFPA rating as diesel (2). Burn it, recapture the energy. With a good countercurrent heat exchanger, you approach 100% efficiency. You can never reach 100%, and eventually it's not worth the effort to try for more, but you can get close.

      It's less efficient than burning all of the natural gas to heat your water

      Of course it's less efficient than burning the natural gas when you only consider the heat; you're getting hydrogen, too, and that's where part of the CH4's energy ends up. Burn the carbon monoxide, and your net result is:

      H2
      CO2
      Heat

      "Wasted" energy will end up as heat. Yes, there will be no perfect heat exchanger (which is why I said "almost"), but countercurrent heat exchangers can do a very good job.

      --
      Your mother's sturdy; she can work in the mines. And I'd make an excellent pet.
    267. Re:transport losses? by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      So the sun powers the revolution of the moon around the earth? How?

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    268. Re:transport losses? by CrankyOldBastard · · Score: 1

      No, I didn't think your post deserved to be rated as "troll". Far too often posts are rated as "troll" when they're nothing of the kind. It seems to me that over the last eight or so years there are now a large number of netizens who don't know what "troll" and "flame" mean, and use both terms to mean "controversial" and "abuse". Ah, the price of democratisation of technology!

    269. Re:transport losses? by bhiestand · · Score: 1

      If *everyone* had solar panels, sure. But what about those that can't afford them? I guess it would be credit to the rescue, and the lack of electricity bills could help pay it back .. very slowly. Is energy really expensive enough to justify covering your house in solar cells? How many years would it take before you made a 'profit' so to speak? Is it easy to sell power into the grid? There's already a company in the US offering rental solar service. Basically what they do is install them on your home and lock you in at a rate slightly lower than your current provider's. For 25 years. Sure, it's better to buy your own solar panels if you can afford it. But I think it'd be better to simply allow someone else to install them and share the rewards. The beauty for the person renting this is that they know their rates won't increase for 25 years. 25 years from now the solar panels will be nearing replacement age anyways, and much better technology should be available and more affordable. A lot of money could be saved if energy rates continue to climb, but the company stands to earn a decent dime on this too.

      As for "is energy really expensive enough to justify..", yes, yes it is. When I lived around LA we had electricity bills as high as $600/month in the summer. Electricity cost a lot, the price went a lot higher in peak hours, but it was blazing hot and you had to have AC, especially if you were trying to sleep during the day! To top it off, they started rolling blackouts my last summer there, so the power would be off mid-day quite often. Also, we lost power and most utilities for a while after the big quake in... 95? It would've been a lot nicer if we could've used our electric stove or microwave.
      --
      SWM seeks new sig for a brief fling
    270. Re:transport losses? by Lost+Race · · Score: 1

      Furthermore, if you're actually using that electricity for anything it ultimately turns into heat anyway.

    271. Re:transport losses? by Eivind · · Score: 1
      Sure. That's why I wrote: "assuming warm/sunny climate".

      This is the case for much of USA for example, you guys use the most power on warm sunny days.

      It's not the case for for example Alaska or Norway (where I live), so solar-panels won't have those advantages here. We're going to have to rely on something else. At the moment Norway is 95% supplied by hydro-power, which works out fine since we've got lots of mountains and lots of rain.

      Different solutions are optimum for different geographical areas.

    272. Re:transport losses? by Eivind · · Score: 1

      Ok. Good point. That could be fixed by installing a mirror-roof anyway. So cancel *that* particular "advantage" then. :-)

    273. Re:transport losses? by DRAGONWEEZEL · · Score: 1

      Wind can also be grid tied just like solar, infact.. let me find a link for ya. http://invention.smithsonian.org/centerpieces/iap/ inventors_szp2.html Here's a style you can use for turbines. I saw some computer models of this once, and was really impressed with it's efficiency.

      http://www.picoturbine.com/rotorsim.htm

      I was looking for that forever!

      ne way have a great day!

      --
      How much is your data worth? Back it up now.
    274. Re:transport losses? by somersault · · Score: 1

      Pretty cool info, it's weird how these designs always seem so 'obvious', but nobody else is using them!

      --
      which is totally what she said
    275. Re:transport losses? by davesag · · Score: 1
      In any case, I think that a 100% solar earth is unlikely:
      • Much of the time it is night,
      Hahaha - only if you consider that the USA is the whole world. I know you merkins make that mistake a lot. But, and this may shock you, at any one time the sun is shining somewhere on the earth.
      --
      I used to have a better sig than this, but I got tired of it
  2. Cost is the issue by bastiaannaber · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Very nice, but I'd rather see a reduction in cost per watt than an increase in efficiency. It's not like there isn't enough space for for solar cells. Most of the deserts are rather empty. Only if the price per watt drops significantly will we see these things filling up deserts.

    1. Re:Cost is the issue by GreyPoopon · · Score: 4, Informative
      Very nice, but I'd rather see a reduction in cost per watt than an increase in efficiency.
      By reducing the number of solar collectors needed or the area that needs to be covered, the installation costs are significantly reduced. The article indicates that this new technology could yield systems with installed costs of as little as $3 per watt.
      --

      GreyPoopon
      --
      Why is it I can write insightful comments but can't come up with a clever signature?

    2. Re:Cost is the issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      if you can increase the efficiency and keep the price the same or only slightly higher, then there is your price drop

    3. Re:Cost is the issue by rgravina · · Score: 2, Informative
      I'd rather see a reduction in cost per watt than an increase in efficiency

      Aren't the two related?

      Also, FTFA:
      This breakthrough may lead to systems with an installation cost of only $3 per watt, producing electricity at a cost of 8-10 cents per kilowatt/hour, making solar electricity a more cost-competitive and integral part of our nations energy mix.

    4. Re:Cost is the issue by Rinikusu · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Erm.. deserts are empty.. of what?

      Lots of animals and wildlife flora/fauna live in the deserts. Many of which are endangered. Many of which provide valuable eco-service to the land around them. It might not be prudent to just blot out the sun with solar collectors and think everything's going to be okay.

      I'd rather see these on rooftops, supplementing power sources in a more local fashion where their impact will be minimal.

      --
      If you were me, you'd be good lookin'. - six string samurai
    5. Re:Cost is the issue by dch24 · · Score: 5, Informative

      In addition, 40.7% is just a bump up from 39%, which (apparently) Spectrolab has been achieving for the better part of the year. They may be very close to high-volume production. Direct photovoltaic solar generation is an immediate revenue source, but solar energy can be directly applied for other processes, the most notable being desalination.

    6. Re:Cost is the issue by DilbertLand · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Everyone always seems to forget how much energy actually goes into producing a solar cell. It wasn't all that long ago that the electricity needed just to melt the silicon was more energy than the cell would generate throughout it's entire lifetime (they do degrade over time). That doesn't even include all the energy consumed during any additional manufacturing, transportation, and installation.

    7. Re:Cost is the issue by Darkman,+Walkin+Dude · · Score: 1

      Lots of animals and wildlife flora/fauna live in the deserts. Many of which are endangered. Many of which provide valuable eco-service to the land around them. It might not be prudent to just blot out the sun with solar collectors and think everything's going to be okay.

      Tens of thousands (or more) of human beings were killed very recently over another energy source, oil. What makes you think a few snakes and scorpions are going to stop them if this is viable? And if you want an eco-service, by shading a lot of desert you might well be able to turn it into valuable farmland or something like that.

      I would be very interested to see what savings this could bring from a rooftop installation however, in a temperate climate.

    8. Re:Cost is the issue by Conanymous+Award · · Score: 1

      How 'bout dem oceans instead of deserts? Floating Beowulf clusters of these (just had to say it that way) wouldn't harm the environment.

    9. Re:Cost is the issue by mrbluze · · Score: 2, Interesting

      A viable business model for the solar energy solution might be for new houses to be built with high efficiency solar arrays on rooves, using the energy for household purposes and selling excess energy. Therefore a return on investment could be expected. Excess daytime energy can be stored for night-time use, though this is fairly inefficient (the most efficient method is pumping water uphill to a dam). In places like Australia this is quite achievable, as governments have been fairly forthcoming at times with giving grants and subsidies to people taking up environmental initiatives, and on the other hand issuing strict regulations for energy saving methods of house design. With the prices of electricity which exist in Australia, for example, it's actually a very achievable aim - with a $10,000AUD outlay for a regular household solar array, recouping the investment occurs in about 10 years. I don't think having solar farms is the only solution - only the big business solution.

      --
      Do it yourself, because no one else will do it yourself. [beta blockade 10-17 Feb]
    10. Re:Cost is the issue by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Insightful
      So now, you are suggesting that we should put all of America's power generation in exactly one small spot. Yes. Oh yes. I can hear it already:

      there is our next target with the new bomb (thank you, george), the Americans make it sooooo easy. .

      In addition, as to farmland in the desert, well here is a couple of thoughts:
      • There is actually too much unproductive farmland in America. We have a lot of land that is actually very poor, but still in production due to farm subsidies. And desert land is very nutrient poor.
      • Here in the West, and more so the SouthWest, we have this issue with water. We are lacking. Plan on sending some our way? We could use it more for our pools and golf courses. And yes, the city folks, esp those from back east, will demand that the water go to them.
      • A simple fact is that plants need light. The solar cells use what? Why light. And they all have a back that reflects the unused photons back through the layer so that it might get another chance at being used.
      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    11. Re:Cost is the issue by mccoma · · Score: 1

      except for the fishes and underwater plant

    12. Re:Cost is the issue by glittalogik · · Score: 2, Interesting

      They're only related if the more efficient panel isn't significantly more expensive to produce. That is, of course, largely a matter of demand; the more of something you want/make/buy/sell, the more refined the production process becomes and the cheaper the individual units become - in this case, solar panels and therefore kilowatt hours.

      Frankly I'm in favour of biting the bullet and making this a personal routlay, and am looking forward to doing so when I have a property to do it to. If someone can afford to buy a house, they can afford to put some bloody photovoltaics on the roof and if that adds an extra 6 months to their mortgage then so be it. For once it'd be nice to see economics take a back seat to environmental responsibility.

    13. Re:Cost is the issue by bogjobber · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Looks like someone needs a refresher course in ecology. Deserts are very rich and diverse zones. Remember, a desert isn't just sand dunes. Just because it isn't green and not many people live there (the US West/Southwest) doesn't mean it's a barren wasteland. Also, the reason why the desert isn't farmland is because there is no water. The thing preventing Nevada from being a rich agricultural region is a rather large mountain range, not too much sun. Unless you can find a way of getting more water to the desert (like the Northwest) then it isn't going to produce squat.

      Besides, other areas of the country still receive sunshine. I bet when you take into account the costs of maintaining the transmission infrastructure as well as the risks associated with a centralized power source most of the solar stations would be stationed near population centers instead of concentrated in one area.

    14. Re:Cost is the issue by J.Y.Kelly · · Score: 1
      How 'bout dem oceans instead of deserts? Floating Beowulf clusters of these (just had to say it that way) wouldn't harm the environment.
      You really wouldn't want to do that. Oceans are already hugely productive with respect to the light which falls on them. It might be a bad idea to shade the source of ~80% of net global oxygen production!
    15. Re:Cost is the issue by simm1701 · · Score: 1

      The 2 are not necessarily related. Lets say I have a choice of 2 panels Panel A is 1sqm and is 80% effiecient due to some new process someone has come up with (this is hypothetical remember) but due to it using nano tech to make it it costs $10,000 to buy this panel and fit it Panel B on the other hand is fairly old technology, has 10% efficiency but costs $125 for a 1sqm panel inc fitting You would need 8 of panel B, costing $1000 to have the same wattage capacity of panel A, but panel A would cost 10 times more - so efficency does not necessary improve the wattage/cost ratio. The more efficient panels do have one major advantage though - they increase the maximum power generation capability for a given square area. And over time the cost of manufactoring the more efficient panels is likely to drop

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    16. Re:Cost is the issue by gertvs · · Score: 1

      Cost per watt is indeed important for widespread acceptance. But conventional energy prices *will* go up sooner or later, and the real bottom line will be what we are willing to, or can, pay for a watt. It is likely that the cost curves will converge and at some point in time cross. After that few will be interested in conventional energy. This solar energy efficiency milestone is important to guesstimate if and when this will happen.

    17. Re:Cost is the issue by hankwang · · Score: 5, Informative
      It wasn't all that long ago that the electricity needed just to melt the silicon was more energy than the cell would generate throughout it's entire lifetime (they do degrade over time).

      I don't know about how long ago you are talking, but the Energy return on investment varies between a factor 4 and a factor 17 for current solar cells, rather than a number below 1 as you are suggesting.

    18. Re:Cost is the issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      oh man.... you tree huggers are never satisfied! Complain about global warming and how it's making animals and rain forests extinct .... A solution is offered to rid of gasoline generators and the like to power homes and you complain about us eating up valuable desert land. I guess we'd probably be better off if everyone would just burn down their homes and cars and go live in the trees and pick berries and fruit to live. Of course we'd probably have to end up killing 3/4 of the people to survive on what the forests naturally provide, but that's besides the point. At least the trees and animals would live on forever and ever.

    19. Re:Cost is the issue by Big+Nothing · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "Very nice, but I'd rather see a reduction in cost per watt than an increase in efficiency. It's not like there isn't enough space for for solar cells. Most of the deserts are rather empty."

      I'm sorry, but this should never have been scored insightful. Its obvious at best, troll at worst.

      First of all, improved efficiency reduces the investment cost, thus reducing the cost per watt (at least in a proper market economy, which the energy market unfortunately isnt).

      Second, COx emissions are not the only environmental threat. In time, studies will more than likely show that covering vast areas of land with shadow-inducing plates (such as solar plants) has a negative impact on local and perhaps regional eco systems. More efficient solar panels mean less land area covered by solar plants, which is a Good Thing ®.

      It never seizes to amaze me how people fail to look at the big picture;
      * new cars emits less Cox and NOx, but the production of new cars is a significant ecological strain
      * biofuel is great in small scale, but greatly reduces the ecological diversity and might pave way for invasive species
      * solar plants might provide all the power the world needs one way, but at the cost of placing vast land areas in shadow

      Etc.

      The harsh reality is that there is no quick fix, there is no gratis lunch.

      --
      SIG: TAKE OFF EVERY 'CAPTAIN'!!
    20. Re:Cost is the issue by catprog · · Score: 2, Informative

      Current energy cost to manufacture solar cells are about 1.8 years now

      --
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    21. Re:Cost is the issue by zazzel · · Score: 1

      I'd rather see these on rooftops, supplementing power sources in a more local fashion where their impact will be minimal. ...the problem being that *this* http://www.ach-du-schan.de/wetterdaten/mini_curren tsu.gif gives you an idea of the solar power readily available for conversion on MY rooftop. I live in the north of Germany. We had fairly typical weather over the last few days (except for the higher-than-average temperatures).

      Now, tell me how to power my 110W desktop PC and TFT when I have about 50m^2 total rooftop area, maximum solar power of 30W/m^2 and 40% efficiency? That's 600W peak, available for about 10-20min in the last 24 hours, with an average (night+day) of about 3-5W/m^2, giving me 60-100W on average (no storage losses calculated)?

      Yes, I *do* need other areas than my rooftop. And I don't think they're available in this country.
    22. Re:Cost is the issue by bluephone · · Score: 1

      Competition lowers price. One maker at 39 and another at 40.7 is very close to even, yes, but multiple sources will bring down the cost to deploy.

      --
      jX [ Make everything as simple as possible, but no simpler. - Einstein ]
    23. Re:Cost is the issue by Wite_Noiz · · Score: 0

      But the point is necessarily to use rooftops to do away with power stations, but use them to supplement and assist them.
      Assuming you have a similar system to the UK, don't you sell back the power you aren't using for the providers to sell to others?

      Think about it: If all roofs were photovoltaic, how many power stations could be retired?

    24. Re:Cost is the issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      uh, ok, how about put the collectors on the moon (since it doesn't rotate anyway) and put a cable between here and the moon to power earth.

    25. Re:Cost is the issue by frostband · · Score: 1

      Solar cells made from silicon are less efficient than those that are gallium-arsenide (GaAs) based. GaAs based semiconductor devices are generally more expensive than Si-based (in terms of materials costs and often fabrication costs due to the maturity of silicon manufacturing).

      Silicon photovoltaic research has been slower to produce more efficient cells so researchers have been working with other materials--GaAs, InP, etc... to develop better solar cells.

      Due to the inefficiency of silicon cells, like you said, they produced less energy than required to make them. They have improved since then, but not nearly as much as solar cells from different semiconductors.

      From TFA, these solar cells are multi-junction GaAs based cells.

    26. Re:Cost is the issue by DilbertLand · · Score: 1

      True, the talk I attended was probably more years ago than I thought. At the time an engineer was describing his company's new ultra-low cost method of producing the silicon for solar cells. He had mentioned that the "break-even" point on energy was a little over 2 years for the process (I see some current solar cells are 1.7 years).

      However, the study cited in your link uses an expected lifetime of 30 years of operation. I'm certainly not a solar cell expert, but that seems a little optimistic. If I remember correctly the industry people were using 15 years as the expected useful lifetime. If 30 years is realistic then the factor of 4-17 isn't that bad.

      Anyway I just wanted to bring up that point because most people don't realize that the array they just installed on their roof is going to have to run for a couple of years (or more) before it even produces the amount of electricty needed to make it in the first place.

    27. Re:Cost is the issue by jimmydevice · · Score: 1

      Of course, you might be able to cover a body of water that is endangered due to evaporation and lacks a real ecological system. The great salt lake comes to mind as something that would benefit from shade ( to increase volume ). The concern for salt lake shrinkage appears to be based on recreational loss, So solar cell coverage could impact that use. Of course, I might be totally wrong.

    28. Re:Cost is the issue by Eivind · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It was quite some time ago. Today, a solar-cell produces 4-17 times as much energy over its useful lifespan as is spent manufacturing and installing it. That's decent, and the number is climbing steadily. It's time to let that old worn-out argument against solar die.

    29. Re:Cost is the issue by Eivind · · Score: 1
      The shadow-argument sounds bogus to me.

      First, there's huge areas that are *already* covered with manmade constructions, and which I don't see any reason to believe would be ecologically worse with solar-cells. Such as for example every roof in the world.

      Second, the land-area needed is rather modest. There's no need to put it all in one place. (and indeed many reasons not to)

      The net-effect of human development actually tends to be a lot *less* shadow. A forest has much *more* shadow than a field, a road or a city.

    30. Re:Cost is the issue by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 1

      Second, COx emissions are not the only environmental threat.

      Considering that they are the root cause of over-population, they could probably be classified as the greatest threat to the environment. If more people could be convinced to keep their COx emissions to themselves, we would have a lot less people consuming energy on this planet.

      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    31. Re:Cost is the issue by operato · · Score: 1

      It never seizes to amaze me
      ceases to amaze
      cease - To put an end to; discontinue
      seize - To grasp suddenly and forcibly; take or grab: seize a sword.

    32. Re:Cost is the issue by dbIII · · Score: 1
      the study cited in your link uses an expected lifetime of 30 years of operation. I'm certainly not a solar cell expert, but that seems a little optimistic.

      Why do you say that? What is the expected mode of failure and why will it happen in less than 30 years? Generator windings wear out due to the stresses but these things don't move and corrosion is not a hard problem to solve in most situations.

      The energy cost thing came up again. The amount of energy consumed per wafer for silicon zone refining in pretty small now due to economies of scale and improvements of the process - vast amounts of electronic goods have parts provided from one casting so the large amount of energy consumed is spread over a lot of things. Now if you are talking about polycrystalline cells (I didn't RTFA but they exist) you don't have to do this energy intensive step of casting one huge high purity silicon crystal at all.

    33. Re:Cost is the issue by the0 · · Score: 1

      An increase in efficiency will consequently bring about a reduction in cost-per-watt due to lower production expenses than before. We probably don't need to fill up deserts (for residential/small-scale use anyway); maybe once the efficiency is high enough, you would be able to install a small unit on your rooftop for your own needs, or maybe a slightly larger unit which will power all the houses in your neighborhood, and you might even be able to charge your neighbors for using power supplied by you!

    34. Re:Cost is the issue by Carewolf · · Score: 1

      So. You are recommending environmentally concerned people to stop breathing?

      Nice

    35. Re:Cost is the issue by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 1

      So. You are recommending environmentally concerned people to stop breathing?

      Breathing, breeding -- they sound alike but in practice they are a fare bit different.

      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    36. Re:Cost is the issue by Darkman,+Walkin+Dude · · Score: 1

      Looks like someone needs a refresher course in ecology.

      Looks like someone needs a refresher course in reading comprehension. What I said was that they are merrily killing human beings en masse over energy, they won't blink at deserts, not that deserts have no value. Just when you thought you had laboured the point enough, some pedant shows you haven't...

    37. Re:Cost is the issue by Darkman,+Walkin+Dude · · Score: 0, Troll

      there is our next target with the new bomb (thank you, george), the Americans make it sooooo easy.

      Well maybe if you idiot yanks stopped invading the shit out of places you wouldn't have to worry about someone bombing your solar array. Just a thought.

      There is actually too much unproductive farmland in America. We have a lot of land that is actually very poor, but still in production due to farm subsidies. And desert land is very nutrient poor.

      Who the hell cares about placing it in America? As for desert land being nutrient poor, thats a crock.

      Here in the West, and more so the SouthWest, we have this issue with water. We are lacking.

      Pump it via your nice solar powered pumps. And again, who was talking about America?

      A simple fact is that plants need light. The solar cells use what? Why light.

      So nothing will grow in the pitch darkness between the cells. Thats some superglued engineering you got going on there sparky.

    38. Re:Cost is the issue by Alioth · · Score: 5, Informative

      At current prices, you'll need a little more than 6 months on your mortgage. Assuming you're in Britain, which by the usage of your language is probably reasonable...

      I bought an 80 watt peak solar panel in the summer, basically as a fun project and to investigate the practicality of generating some of my own electricity. Here is how it works out, using a monocrystalline panel (the most efficient panel commercially available at present):

      Peak power is produced only within about an hour or so each side of mid day on a bright, cloudless, hazeless sunny day.
      Three hours before or after mid day, the unit produces about 50% of peak.
      Five hours before or after mid day, the unit produces around 10-15% of peak
      At mid day, summer time haze with 10 miles visibility will cut output to around 80% of peak
      At mid day, with thin cirrus clouds (still bright sunshine), output is around 50%
      At mid day, on a bright cloudy day where shadows are still cast, output is around 15%
      At mid day, on an overcast day, output is generally 5% or less.
      In the winter, I've never seen the unit capable of producing more than about 25% of peak on the brightest winters day.

      All in all, the average output even in the summer will only be 5% of peak (because of night time, and cloudy days). Winter time is even worse. So if you want to make sure you have an average of 200 watts - which really isn't a lot, but if you can store it or put it back on the grid it'll make your house more or less neutral in terms of the electricity you use, if you have the normal domestic cycle of being out and not using much electricity during the day. To get that average of 200 watts, you'll need 4000 watts peak of solar panels.

      80 watt panels cost (in quantity) around £250 a piece. That'll cost you £12,500 *just* for the panels, without a grid tied inverter and storage system or installation (probably another 4 to 6 grand) - to get a measly average of 200 watts - i.e. just enough to power one Pentium 4 computer continuously. It's simply not worth doing at all unless you can put it back on the grid (not many electricity companies let you do that - yet), or store it in batteries - since if you have a normal domestic cycle, while your solar panels are producing near peak you will be away from the house and letting three or four thousand watts go wanting. You'll probably need three grand's worth of batteries if you can't sell back to the grid - and even deep cycle leisure batteries are going to need replacing at least once every 10 years. This is for a system which will only work reasonably well in the summer. In the winter, when the days are short and you need the most power, it'll hardly contribute anything - perhaps you'll get 50 watts average from £12,500 worth of solar panels.

      If solar panels were 1/10th of the price they are now - yes, it'd be worth it. I'm waiting for the breakthrough in price, not efficiency (if the efficiency brings the breakthrough in price all the better). Even a moderate sized south facing roof - I've calculated just my shed roof replaced with solar panels could produce 1kW peak - is large enough for a decent peak output using current monocrystalline panels. Price is everything. If I could get the panels at 10% of what they cost now, you bet my shed roof (my only south facing roof) would be covered by the spring. But at the current price point? It's simply not affordable for the meagre amount of electricity you get. It's a shame because the panels aren't visually intrusive and they are silent and almost maintenance free, unlike wind turbines. I really really want solar panels to be worthwhile - but at the moment - at current prices, they simply aren't.

    39. Re:Cost is the issue by glittalogik · · Score: 1

      I'm in Australia, so sunlight is in plentiful supply anywhere more than a few hundred km/mi north of Melbourne on the south coast. I'll happily cede that solar is a whole lot more viable over here than in the UK.

      There are a few applications to which solar lends itself, and some of them need to be planned for - a modest battery setup and DC wiring for lighting with compact fluorescent lightbulbs is an excellent example. A lot of other applications require a bit of a rethink with regards to consumption - houses can be designed to require minimal heating and cooling, and appliances can be a hell of a lot more efficient than the stuff most of us have in our homes. On top of that, lifestyle changes and *gasp* small sacrifices here and there would also go a long way.

      Me, I want a goddamn earthship.

    40. Re:Cost is the issue by Big+Nothing · · Score: 1

      Thank you for your correction. My hovercraft is obviously semi-full of eels.

      --
      SIG: TAKE OFF EVERY 'CAPTAIN'!!
    41. Re:Cost is the issue by Loco+Moped · · Score: 1

      So. You are recommending environmentally concerned people to stop breathing?

      Not at all. I recommend humor-impaired people such as yourself should not hold their breath until they 'get' the joke.

    42. Re:Cost is the issue by hypnagogue · · Score: 1

      And at $3 per watt, solar is getting absolutely demolished in the market against the $1 per watt that wind turbines are put up for. But that's not a fair comparison: wind turbines also work at night, pollute less, and last longer.

      --
      Liberty you never use is liberty you lose.
    43. Re:Cost is the issue by Big+Nothing · · Score: 1

      "The shadow-argument sounds bogus to me."

      Perhaps there is something wrong with your ears.

      "Second, the land-area needed is rather modest. There's no need to put it all in one place. (and indeed many reasons not to)"

      True, but the prospect of covering, say Texas, is utterly compelling. Other possible locations are Utah and Sweden.

      All jokes aside:

      "The net-effect of human development actually tends to be a lot *less* shadow. A forest has much *more* shadow than a field, a road or a city."

      Very true but the compact, "digital" shadow (either full sun or full shadow) of a solar plant (or indeed virtually any man-made object) is not as hospitable for plant and animal life as the semi-shadow of a forest. One cannot simply be substituted with the other. A huge solar plant such as this one does not provide an environment where very many species can thrive. Granted, in a desert-like environment, where extremes are naturally occurring, the impact would be less. But what are the effects of covering vast areas of a desert with these babies? Also, remember that "265 sq. miles" is a theoretical number that doesn't take into account the infrastructure surrounding the actual solar panels.

      --
      SIG: TAKE OFF EVERY 'CAPTAIN'!!
    44. Re:Cost is the issue by radl33t · · Score: 0

      Close to high volume production? gallium-arsenide? I think not. High volume production in the satellite market is infinitesimal in the power generation market. Even Si cells aren't really mass produced.

    45. Re:Cost is the issue by Ignatius · · Score: 1

      The relevant efficiency metric depends completely on the application, e.g.

      space, aircraft: W/kg
      compact portable devices, vehicles, boats: W/m^2
      rural housing, large scale grid power: kWh/$ (over lifetime)

      W/$ is only a viable metric for short term installations when lifetime considerations do not enter the picture. A precise assessment would also include projected interest rates and the degradation curve of the cell as well as costs for maintenance (cleaning, etc.) and disposal/recycling (toxic materials, etc.).

    46. Re:Cost is the issue by Alioth · · Score: 1

      My 80 watt panel has a 25 year manufacturer's warranty - i.e. they will replace it for free if it fails within that time period, or falls below (IIRC) 80% of new capacity.

    47. Re:Cost is the issue by markov_chain · · Score: 1

      It sounds like an automatic tilting system could be quite cost effective for these.

      --
      Tsunami -- You can't bring a good wave down!
    48. Re:Cost is the issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But the documentary I used to watch on Saturday mornings only had two desert creatures! meeep! meeep!

    49. Re:Cost is the issue by Ogive17 · · Score: 1

      Honda has been working toward better production efficiency for the past few years. http://www.japancorp.net/Article.Asp?Art_ID=11538
      and
      http://world.honda.com/news/2006/c061201HondaSolte c/

      --
      "Action without philosophy is a lethal weapon; philosophy without action is worthless."
    50. Re:Cost is the issue by mr_mischief · · Score: 1

      1. demolish your house
      2. build a tall A-frame house with a roof/side facing the Equator
      3. solar panel that roof/side
      4. prof... err... save some money on electric bills

      Seriously, when are people going to realize that allowing telecommuting for desk monkeys is the most sensible way for the information-heavy economies of the world to conserve power? Right now, to get to work and do my job there, I have to shovel snow, melt ice (with salt that had to be mined from somewhere), start a car, drive it to the office, have enough space (heated and lit) for me at the office for me to work, where they shovel snow (with a tractor) and melt ice to make the parking lot safe and accessible. If I worked from home, the space for my part of the office building could be used for agriculture, power generation, housing for the poor, or whatever. How many millions of times over could one office space be saved by letting a salesperson, programmer, engineer, or whatever work from space they're already paying for?

      Sure, a conference room would still be needed for meetings, but several small companies can share those or rent them on an as-needed basis. Large companies already have those besides the cubicle farms they're paying everyone to occupy.

    51. Re:Cost is the issue by James+McP · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Different scale, purpose, and intent. Not everyone can jam a 70' tower in their yard; there are permits and zoning issues. I can put a couple hundred square feet of cells on my roof with no problems. Today's cells produce about 1kW per 100sf and the area would only decrease.

      Plus I can't buy a residential wind turbine for $1/w. For a turbine (installed) in the 1-5kW range it costs about $3/w, with a big chunk of the cost being the tower & installation. $3/w is the same as the solar listed.

      I haven't found a turbine for $2/watt until I hit the 20KW level. $40,000 is a lot to recoup and 20kW is a lot of residential power. I'll note that a 20KW turbine is only about about 2% more than 10kW turbine, so wind scales real well once you commit to spending $40,000+.

      Which means that individuals will still find solar to be more appealing than wind because a) no tower, b) no moving parts, c) no moving parts located at the top of a 70' tower. Communities will likely find wind to be more appealing because a) it scales well, b) it requires fairly small land area, c) wind is generally more available, especially if you are willing to build a 100' tower.

      So stop being a downer on solar, it's really like watching BSD & Linux fanatics going at it. If nothing else, the wind industry should be promoting solar to help get uniform nationwide grid-tie legislation passed.

      --
      I've been on slashdot so long I'm starting to get out of touch with the cool stuff if it ain't on slashdot.
    52. Re:Cost is the issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'd also line the sides of the interstates with them. Take I-5. From LA (over the pass) to Redding there's about 477 miles of highway. Using 100 feet on either side of the lanes in both directions gives you 18 square miles of solar cells right there, in an easily accessible, relatively concentrated area.

      I-80 from San Francisco to Chicago? 2000 miles or another 76 square miles.

      I-10 from Palm Springs to Houston? 1450 miles or another 55 square miles.

      I-40 from Bakersfield to Oklahoma City? 1345 miles or another 50 square miles.

      I-70 from Denver to St. Louis? 845 miles and another 37 square miles.

      I like the idea of placing it on buildings, there is also a lot of square footage available along the edges of highways, that we don't use for anything.

    53. Re:Cost is the issue by HeyMe · · Score: 1

      Only if the wind is blowing at the design speed, which it rarely does.

      Anyway, photovoltaics really lend themself to distributed, rather than centralized, generation. Let's see, combine Boeing's concentrator technology with the broad-spectrum solar cell material being developed at the University of Toronto (http://www.memagazine.org/nanoapr05/morerays/more rays.html), which can boost effeciency over conventional solar cells by nearly 5 times (and is far cheaper to produce!) and now we have something veeery interesting. (BTW, I claim IP rights on this idea!)

      The typical home installation of about 4500 watts currently costs about $25,000 (US), with pay-back periods of 15-20 years (your mileage may vary). That gives the masses little incentive to undertake the project. Now, if you adjust cost and pay back numbers by a now seemingly achievable factor of 4, the upfront costs go down to $6,250 and the pay-back goes to 4 years, in which case I ask "Where do I sign up?"

      --
      Look Out Above!
    54. Re:Cost is the issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've always felt that a combination of solar panels and (small) wind turbines are a much better solution: solar panels on sunny non-windy days and wind turbines on cloudy, windy days. Just hook them up to the same batteries/grid system.

    55. Re:Cost is the issue by Thraxen · · Score: 1

      And what was wrong with the suggestions of simply using smaller scattered solar power plants or using them on rooftops? Why would using them in a desert even be necessary? Why wreck and ecosystem if it's totally unnecessary. I don't get what people like you are even complaining about.

    56. Re:Cost is the issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't need storage, you can feed back into the grid and have the meter run backwards. Furthermore, the UK power companies give you full price for each kWh, unlike here in the US. Should you use less power than you feed back, you can look forward to receiving a cheque from the company too.

      Just because your house isn't suitable and maybe you cannot afford it, plenty of others are in better situations and do install such systems. The two I know of in the UK paid just over 10 grand each a couple of years ago, and are looking at full financial returns after a 10 year period, and both now have better monthly cash flow. The overall return time will be revised down as the power rates increase.

    57. Re:Cost is the issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      solar panels on sunny non-windy days and wind turbines on cloudy, windy days. Just hook them up to the same batteries/grid system.

      Nice try poindexter, but what happens on the cloudly, non-windy days? Worse still, on the windy, sunny days you'll overload the batteries/grid and it will ALL BURN DOWN!

      Maybe you could reverse the polarity or something? ;)

    58. Re:Cost is the issue by W.Mandamus · · Score: 1

      Being energy neutral with solar in Britain is actually quite impressive. But for Britain, yeah solar might not be the best idea. Your peak demand is for heating. On the other had a number of major U.S. (San Antonio, Los Angelas, Miami, Houston, Austin, Las Vegas, El Paso) are in climate where the peak demand is for A/C. If you have 300 sunny mostly cloud free days a year you might as well use them.

    59. Re:Cost is the issue by duerra · · Score: 1

      Actually, desert soil is extremely nutrient rich....

    60. Re:Cost is the issue by julesh · · Score: 1

      All in all, the average output even in the summer will only be 5% of peak (because of night time, and cloudy days). Winter time is even worse.

      It sounds like something's wrong. Depending on where in Britain you live, you should be seeing around 100-150 W of raw solar energy per square metre, and your panel should be converting between 15 and 20% of it. Most 80W panels are in the 0.6 to 0.7 square metre range, so you should be seeing an average output over a year of somewhere between 10 and 30W. Not 4W in summer and less in winter.

    61. Re:Cost is the issue by gary+gunrack · · Score: 1

      My father recently built a house for himself which is completely solar powered... designed with enough juice to run his industrial table saw, among other things. The house is in Vermont, USA , which is not known for its sunny climate (they called it New England for a reason). The really expensive part was not the panels. It was the storage batteries. He has three big panels, each of which cost around $1500, if I remember correctly. The whole system probably cost $22,000. Maybe $4000 was paid for by a grant from the state, but an equal amount went into the inverter that the grant requires to make it compatible with the grid. I'm not sure of the specs, but in the summer the charge on the batteries rarely gets below 90%... even when they were running all the tools to build the place (saws, air compressors, etc). In the states, power companies are required to buy any electricity that you want to sell them. So if you are generating electricity, your electric meter basically runs backwards, and the electric grid acts as your storage system. My father isn't connected to the grid, though. In this case, his house is so far from the grid that it would have cost him almost as much to get connected as it did use solar.

    62. Re:Cost is the issue by julesh · · Score: 1

      However, the study cited in your link uses an expected lifetime of 30 years of operation. I'm certainly not a solar cell expert, but that seems a little optimistic. If I remember correctly the industry people were using 15 years as the expected useful lifetime. If 30 years is realistic then the factor of 4-17 isn't that bad.

      15 years has been used as a lifetime in papers intended to make solar cells sound bad. Apparently most panels manufactured even as long ago as 40 years are still functioning almost perfectly, barring physical damage. Useful lifetimes (with production of up to 50% of the power output when the panel was new) have been predicted for as long as 100 years.

    63. Re:Cost is the issue by radtea · · Score: 1

      biofuel is great in small scale, but greatly reduces the ecological diversity and might pave way for invasive species
      * solar plants might provide all the power the world needs one way, but at the cost of placing vast land areas in shadow


      How does biofuel reduce biodiversity? Modern agricultural techniques reduce biodiversity, but this has nothing specific to do with biofuels, and there is no reason so assume that agriculture for biofuels will have a greater effect on ecological diversity than argriculture for food. In fact, since we care a good deal more about what we put in our bodies than in our cars, it is likely that biofuels will support a more diverse agricultural industry than we currently have.

      Whenever I hear someone making a claim about what something "might" do, without assigning any cause to it or arguing for it's plausibility, I immediately change the statement in my mind to the opposite. In this case, your post would have exactly the same meaning if you said, "biofuels might prevent the incursion of invasive species" instead of "biofuels might pave the way for invasive species." The only way to change that is to provide an argument for your claim.

      Finally, the amount of land area placed in shadow by solar cells is rather modest--far more land area has been placed in shadow by buildings in the past hundred years, and quite unaccountably the world has failed to come to an end.

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
    64. Re:Cost is the issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most houses in the UK use gas for heating, which heats water that circulates through pipes connected to radiators in each room. Electric is pretty expensive in the UK, 40-50 cents per kWh at today's exchange rate, and most people do not want electric heating. The UK also has two rates for power. At night, a cheaper rate kicks in. So basically people can feed into the grid during the day and suck it back later. Heating hot water is a mixed bag. Some houses with gas still have electric immersion heaters for this, but most people will have them on timers. Cooking may also be electric despite gas being available.

      Woking, in the SE of England has an old peoples' home, their entire roof has PV cells. So it's not only homes that are implementing these systems. The Woking one is at least 10 years old. It would be interesting to have them do a report on how well it has served their needs.

    65. Re:Cost is the issue by bogjobber · · Score: 1
      What makes you think a few snakes and scorpions are going to stop them if this is viable?

      That is what you said. I merely pointed out that deserts are more than snakes and scorpions. They're a very diverse and valuable part of the biosphere. I then pointed out the flaw in your thinking that by shading the desert you could turn into into viable farmland. I then made my own point that they probably wouldn't put all of their solar panels in one place because of other factors. So I'll say no thanks to that course, my reading comprehension is just fine. I was merely showing why I disagreed with you opinions. Oh, and just to throw a little more fuel on the flame, Iraq wasn't about oil. They're killing thousands of people to advance America's interests in geopolitics, most of which does not have anything to do with energy needs. If you want to point at one industry for the cause of most of our wars (including Iraq), look to the arms industry before the oil industry.

    66. Re:Cost is the issue by superlaughtive · · Score: 1

      "First of all, improved efficiency reduces the investment cost, thus reducing the cost per watt (at least in a proper market economy, which the energy market unfortunately isnt)."

      I'm sorry, but that definitely doesn't make any sense. You can have a $800 100W panel with 25% efficiency, or a $500 100W panel with 10% efficiency. The first is more efficient, smaller surface area, and costs more. The second has a larger surface area but costs less, due to let's say being made of a thin film of semiconductors and a cheap manufacturing process.

      As an aside, the shadowing argument vs problems with alternatives is not convincing.. I'll be convinced when you or someone else explains at least partially the effects, rather than throwing it out as an idea (and waiting for Insightful points, which you expect because you convincingly called the last guy Not insightful or in fact, obvious, when he was right all along about "let's see $/W increase rather than efficiency increase.")

    67. Re:Cost is the issue by Big+Nothing · · Score: 1

      Thank you for your challenge, I will try to explain my view.

      Biodiversity
      Biofuel has the potential for becoming a huge source for energy, and therefore has the potential to become a huge source of income for farmers and energy companies. Since some species are more suited than others for biofuel production (growth rate, disease-free, water efficient, simplicity creating biomass, simplicity of extracting biofuel from biomass), these species will be preferred by biofuel producers. This means introduction of, or extending, a monoculture that is destructive for the diversity of insects, birds, plants and animals. Granted, modern agriculture is already a threat to diversity, but the introduction of biofuel production will not minimize this problem; just because everything is crap doesn't mean that it can't get any worse.

      In addition, modern agriculture and biofuel production is "too effective". Decomposing trees and plants are a necessity to plants, animals and most importantly insects. Without a natural life cycle, the risk reduced biodiversity (by insect, bird and animal species going extinct) are significant.

      If I may make one quote to illustrate my point, the quote comes from Simon Counsell, director of the UK-based "Rain Forest Foundation":

      "The expansion of palm oil production is one of the leading causes of rain forest destruction in Southeast Asia. It is one of the most environmentally damaging commodities on the planet. Once again it appears we are trying to solve our environmental problems by dumping them in developing countries, where they have devastating effects on local people."

      Invasive species
      The species most suited for biofuel production are characterized by rapid growth and the ability to grow in a multitude of environments. These are also traits that characterize species prone to become invasive. Fast-growing, water-efficient plants with little or no known pests can rapidly take over entire ecosystems, replacing the natural plant life (and consequently insect, bird and animal life). Even domestic species can become invasive when the natural ecological system is destroyed.

      Conclusion
      Don't get me wrong, I'm all for replacing the fossil fuels of yesteryear with new energy sources, but doing so without a thought to the actual ecological cost of those energy sources is just plain stupid.

      References:
      http://www.ub.gu.se/sok/dissdatabas/detaljvy.xml?i d=6933

      http://www.birdlife.org/news/news/2005/12/bioenerg y.html

      http://www.guardian.co.uk/Columnists/Column/0,5673 ,1659036,00.html

      Science 22 September 2006: Vol. 313. no. 5794, p. 1742. Title: Adding Biofuels to the Invasive Species Fire?

      http://www.physorg.com/news78069543.html

      --
      SIG: TAKE OFF EVERY 'CAPTAIN'!!
    68. Re:Cost is the issue by Darkman,+Walkin+Dude · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      That is what you said. I merely pointed out that deserts are more than snakes and scorpions.

      No, you made the grossly incorrect assumption that I was saying that deserts are empty of valuable life, and are now quoting me out of context and backtracking to try and cover your exposed ass.

      I then pointed out the flaw in your thinking that by shading the desert you could turn into into viable farmland.

      Something you still haven't proven is by any means a flaw. Solar panels don't point straight up in a uniform sheet, you pleb.

      So I'll say no thanks to that course, my reading comprehension is just fine.

      I'd have to say knee jerk++.

      Oh, and just to throw a little more fuel on the flame, Iraq wasn't about oil. They're killing thousands of people to advance America's interests in geopolitics, most of which does not have anything to do with energy needs.

      So the war in Iraq has nothing to do with oil. I'm trying to think of a way in which you could do your argument more harm, but its just not coming...

    69. Re:Cost is the issue by Alioth · · Score: 1

      No, there's nothing wrong. A fixed solar panel will only provide peak power when the sun is square on to it (I have mine set up on a south facing roof). Peak output is only available within around half an hour of mid day - after that, the angle of the sun will start to reduce output. By 4pm in mid summer, you're down to about 1/3rd of peak. A layer of cirrus cloud - such that it's still a bright sunny day, with sharp shadows being cast - will reduce power at mid day to something like 50-60% of peak. A bright, cloudy day with blurred shadows being cast, you get no more than 20% peak at mid day. Needless to say, at night, you don't get anything. Even in the long summer days, after 9pm you don't really get much worthwhile from the panel - the panel load ammeter is barely off the peg at that time.

      There are very few days in northern Europe with completely clear sunny days with absolutely no cloud at all.

      So yes - averaged over 24 hours, even on a bright, cloud free, haze free (even visibility down to 10 miles makes a measurable decrease in peak output) day you're not going to get anywhere near 30 watts averaged over 24 hours! Considering completely cloud free, haze free days are rare (the sunniest periods in Britain are always rather hazy) - yes, 5% averaged out over the summer months is probably the best you'll get. Maybe 10% if you're really lucky. If you don't believe this - then try it, a small panel won't break the bank, just instrument it with an ammeter and voltmeter, and give it a load to power, and take measurements through the day. I've actually done this so I know first hand.

      A tilting system will help greatly, as it'll be possible to keep the panel pointed square on to the sun throughout most of the daylight hours. You could probably get the daily average on a bright, hazeless, cloudless day to something like 40% of peak when averaged over 24 hours when tracking the sun. Maybe up to 60% around mid summer. That's practical with my 80 watt panel, but it wouldn't be practical with 1000 watts worth. You can't just tilt each panel individually in a 1000 watt array unless you've got loads of space to spare, because then the sunward panel would start shading the panels behind it - so you have to tilt the entire array. It's going to take a serious system to do that with any reasonable amount of wattage - we had winds of 90mph last weekend, and the sail area of, say, 1000 watts of panel would be quite considerable. (And then try getting planning permission for a tilting panel system that large!) Even if you have the space to be able to tilt individual units of your array, a tilting system then adds an awful lot of maintenance you don't have with a simple fixed installation.

      My garden electronics project for next year will be to build a sun-follower for the panel (it won't be that difficult electronically, a couple of LDRs and a voltage comparator, driving a small motor/jackscrew assembly to move the panel, and a circuit to drive it back to the home position when lighting conditions are no longer worthwhile) to increase the output - certainly a lot cheaper than buying two or three extra panels.

    70. Re:Cost is the issue by Eivind · · Score: 1
      It may be digital shadow. But the shadow moves with the sun. So if you built a solar-plant such that it shadowed 2/3rds of the ground, it'd still shadow *different* 2/3rds of the ground at different times of the day/year. I'm honestly not sure that this would be all that bad for plants growing at ground-level.

      A different problem is that unrestricted plant-growth would probably be bad for the solar-plant, which is a real problem. In a desert there ain't that much "unrestricted" plant-growth anyway though.

      That all being said, I'm still convinced the damaging effects would be smallest by distributing the solar-cells in many small installations, preferably in areas already built-down.

      What is the environmental downside of covering the parking-lots of America with a solar-cell-roof 3-4 meter up ?

      What is the environmental downside of covering the roof on my house with solar-cells ?

      I'm sure there *is* one. There's no such thing as a free lunch. I'm still pretty convinced the downside of solar can be minimized to the point where it's one of the more ecological friendly power-sources out there.

    71. Re:Cost is the issue by julesh · · Score: 1

      Hmmm. That raises the question of whether the square metre in that 100-150 W per square metre figure is a static one, or one that tracks the sun. I'd always assumed it was a static one pointing in the optimal direction, but it would agree more with your figures if it were a sun-tracking square metre.

  3. A large solar collector would also.. by nullchar · · Score: 4, Interesting

    A large solar collector would also shade the ground and absorb the heat (energy) that the surrounding ground and air would normally receive. I guess, taking extra heat (energy) from one place, and adding it to lots of others may not be bad...

    What about the cost in sending that energy down the wire? Would it be best to build one big-ass solar array? Or would it be better to distribute smaller collectors over a large area, even if the sunlight is not optimal?

    1. Re:A large solar collector would also.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Um, I would guess a bunch of little ones. Because if we had one big one, a storm would kill all of our power temporarily.

    2. Re:A large solar collector would also.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A large solar collector would also shade the ground and absorb the heat (energy) that the surrounding ground and air would normally receive. I guess, taking extra heat (energy) from one place, and adding it to lots of others may not be bad...

      I wonder what the environmental effect of dramatically cutting down the heat that hits the desert would have on not only the local environment/wildlife but on weather systems. This is much more than a butterfly flapping its wings...

    3. Re:A large solar collector would also.. by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1
      A large solar collector would also shade the ground and absorb the heat (energy) that the surrounding ground and air would normally receive. I guess, taking extra heat (energy) from one place, and adding it to lots of others may not be bad...

      PV cells have a lower albedo than the Earth as a whole, at least solid land, anyway. So over land they will result in more heat being transferred to the amosphere than the soil under them would have. Sea water has a pretty low albedo so I don't know if this applies over land as well.

    4. Re:A large solar collector would also.. by Jugalator · · Score: 1

      On the other hand, deserts are expanding very quickly today, and it's quite a difference in their sizes compared to e.g. the early 1900's now.

      --
      Beware: In C++, your friends can see your privates!
    5. Re:A large solar collector would also.. by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Both. Build a big ass array in Arizona/Nevada to power the west coast. Then have smaller areas around the midwest and south for the rest. Also, having offshore platforms with panels on them to desalinate water and generate H2 would not be a bad idea.

    6. Re:A large solar collector would also.. by poopdeville · · Score: 1

      I suppose it could be bad globally, but global weather effects would get lost in the inherent "randomness" of weather. The butterfly effect you alluded to shows that all events are (in a fairly abstract sense equally) weather changing, not just the big ones.

      I'm thinking 260 or so square miles of solar cells would severely alter the local ecosystem. But who cares? There's a chance for more life in the area with lowered ground temperatures.

      --
      After all, I am strangely colored.
    7. Re:A large solar collector would also.. by Alioth · · Score: 1

      If you stick the panels on already existing structures (like rooves - most of them in these parts are black slate), it won't make a change to the total. There is no reason why you'd want to cover huge tracts of land, when there is plenty of roof space going begging and otherwise unusuable.

  4. Finally! by Threni · · Score: 0, Troll

    > At 40% efficiency, it looks like a square 265 miles on a side in the American southwest would do it.

    A use for Israel! At last they can put something positive back into the world!

    1. Re:Finally! by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1
      A use for Israel!

      How about the empty quarter of Saudi Arabia?

      For me, this represents an opportunity to generate the power where I will need it. Transmission systems will be less important in the future.

    2. Re:Finally! by xenocide2 · · Score: 1

      40 percent is impressive, but the cost is likely still damn high, and not an incredible improvement over the previous record. In short if solar wasn't close to making since yesterday, it still won't today. It might some time in the future, but probably not tomorrow.

      --
      I Browse at +4 Flamebait

      Open Source Sysadmin

    3. Re:Finally! by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1
      40 percent is impressive, but the cost is likely still damn high

      If the cost is high because of complexity then large scale manufacturing should be able to bring the cost down. Think how cheap LSI chips are. Of course you need the demand to be high so that volumes can be increased so that prices can come down and stimulate demand for which you need...

    4. Re:Finally! by gunny01 · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      That comment is so ignorant, I'm gonna included an equally bigoted comment of my own!

      Why not use Lebanon? They don't have any oil and the knowledge of the falafel has been safely exported.

      --
      kill all the fucking niggers
    5. Re:Finally! by piojo · · Score: 1

      A use for Israel! At last they can put something positive back into the world! Because god knows php wasn't useful or positive.
      --
      A cat can't teach a dog to bark.
    6. Re:Finally! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And here I thought electrons were negatively charged...

    7. Re:Finally! by wwahammy · · Score: 1

      Man that's one more thing I can dislike about Israel.

    8. Re:Finally! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You left out the part where they're using the Negro. Also, their noses are big. And if big noses don't convince anyone, then they're clearly hyp-mo-tized by that darn Jew-controlled media.

    9. Re:Finally! by xenocide2 · · Score: 1

      I believe this is the line of thinking that prompted the government of Japan to subsidize the production of solar cells. Not sure how soon till they've solved their chicken and egg problem however.

      --
      I Browse at +4 Flamebait

      Open Source Sysadmin

  5. Not long by sc0p3 · · Score: 1, Redundant

    Not long before solar cars and roof top solar panels =)

    1. Re:Not long by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1982 called, it wants its shit back.

    2. Re:Not long by Ant+P. · · Score: 1

      These things would be great on hybrid cars. You'd hardly ever use the combustion engine.

  6. Silly figure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    At the population density of, say, Manhattan (or downtown Paris, Hong Kong, or Shanghai) you could fit most of the population of the Earth into a square 265 miles on a side. Such a figure doesn't really shed much light on the actual cost of switching to Solar Power. It doesn't even do a good job of helping us better understand how much land we would have to set aside for that sort of switch (in the same way as the 265 mi. x 265 mi. area containing the population of the Earth doesn't really shed much light on how much impact human habitation has on the Earth and how much land area is actually used). It's a ridiculous figure with very little utility.

  7. Solar cells... by Sneakernets · · Score: 0

    This is Great news. I've seen Solar Cells evolve from yucky novelties (solar powered fan hats) to calculators that can operate on such little light energy. I thought that was efficient... now it's even better?

    I want these on every roof in America.

    --
    "No freeman shall ever be debarred the use of arms." -- Thomas Jefferson
  8. 265 miles on a side... by Goldsmith · · Score: 1

    Gee, that's about the size of Utah.

    1. Re:265 miles on a side... by fucksl4shd0t · · Score: 1

      INdeed. And we could certainly spare Utah for a solar power plant...

      --
      Like what I said? You might like my music
    2. Re:265 miles on a side... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's not an accident. We finally found a use for it.

      All we have to do now is pave over the Mormons.

    3. Re:265 miles on a side... by kestasjk · · Score: 1

      Solve the world's energy problems.. Utah.. Solve the world's energy problems.. Utah.. Hrmmm..

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    4. Re:265 miles on a side... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Isn't the author saying 265 square miles? That's a little under 17x17 miles. This is achievable by even the smallest nuclear power, one only needs the will to do so.

    5. Re:265 miles on a side... by Ragzouken · · Score: 1

      I took it as 265*265 square miles, 265 on a side * the other 265 side.

  9. The coming 'power centers' by geosyncline · · Score: 1

    Because transmitting electricity long distances is prohibative, why not setup 'energy creation' centers in the tropics, where a variety of transportable energy could be generated and then shipped/pipped to wherever it needs to go. You could go the hydrogen generation route with it's engineering difficulties that have yet to be overcome, or find another more easily transportable, but more energy soaking medium. Regardless, if 40% becomes reality... at the right cost naturally, then the next question is how do you get the energy from point A to point B? Seems to me you have to either bottle it up for transport or have a large breakthrough in supercondctivity. (even then the distances seem prohibative) If these things can be made cheaply and have a good life span on them, then even having them as supplemental power on the roof of your house could be a major win!

  10. slashdotted by jibjibjib · · Score: 1

    Is it just me, or is the DoE site slashdotted?

    1. Re:slashdotted by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1
      is the DoE site slashdotted?

      Must be solar powered.

  11. They will never let it happen by rssrss · · Score: 1

    "it looks like a square 265 miles on a side in the American southwest would do it."

    Like 2/3rds of Arizona. Just wait until the eco-freaks figure out what covering that much desert would do the blind desert pup fish. There is no way they would let you cover 70,000 square miles of desert with mirrors.

    --
    In the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is king.
    1. Re:They will never let it happen by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      And there is no need to do so. The simple answer is that these do not have to supply all of energy. In fact, it is best that it not do so. The reason why countries like America are in the trouble that they are in, is that we depend on limited types of energy generation; Coal and Oil. Even if we drop Oil and Coal today, it would be in our best interest to have multiple sources spread out all over the USA so that even if a nuke is blown up on it, it will not take out all generation.

      But if we can get a great deal more wind, geo-thermal, solar, and even nukes combined with true energy storage, then we are in good shape.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  12. where the facts? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    So it's a bit unclear what the article means by 40% efficient as the article seems to confuse the concentrator part of the solar cell with the multi-junction part. The concentrator doesn't make the device more efficient at converting solar radiation into electrical power, it just concentrates the light so you don't have to use as large of a device. The idea being that the solar cell material is expensive but the optics are relatively cheap, so you might as well focus as much light on the device as it will absorb and still function.

    The multi-junction part comes from the idea that you can, using a solar cell, only extract as much energy from a photon as the size of something called the band gap of the material that the cell is made from. At the same time, a solar cell can only absorb photons with energies higher than the band gap. If the bandgap is small, as it is in silicon, then you can absorb most of the suns rays, but you can only get about 1 electronVolt of energy out of each one no matter how much energy the photon has. Since the bulk of photons emitted by the sun have more than 1 electronVolt of energy Si solar cells waste alot of the energy in sunlight as heat. If you make the solar cell out of a semiconductor with a larger bandgap then you absorb fewer photons (more of the solar spectrum lies below the critical energy for absorption) but you extract more energy from each photon. So, for a solar cell made from one material there is a sweet spot in terms of the bandgap that maximizes the energy extracted. Multi-junction cells try to overcome this by combining multiple devices with different bandgaps so that you can maximize both the total number of photons converted to electricity and the energy extracted from each photon.

    1. Re:where the facts? by swebster · · Score: 2, Informative

      The concentrator doesn't make the device more efficient at converting solar radiation into electrical power, it just concentrates the light so you don't have to use as large of a device. Actually, that's not quite right. Higher light intensity does make the cells more efficient. It's one of the advantages of using concentrator cells.
    2. Re:where the facts? by YourMoneyOrYourDuck · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Can't you use a prism to split out photons of different energies and direct them at the appropriate receptor?

    3. Re:where the facts? by jannic · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What kind of facts do you expect from an article which contains units like kilowatt/hour, instead of kilowatt x hour? That really looks like the author was only interested in economics, not in scientific facts.

    4. Re:where the facts? by frostband · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I was really hoping they would (but knew they wouldn't) link to a specific journal article about the devices being used. If anyone knows if this group has produced a scientific article (IEEE, AIP, etc...), I would appreciate a link. I did a quick IEEE search on multi-junction solar cells and didn't find anything about the device mentioned in TFA.

    5. Re:where the facts? by frostband · · Score: 1

      I think you're both right, actually.

      The concentrator does not improve the efficiency of the actual cell (in other words, it's 40% with or without the concentrator), that's the multi-junction part's job. But the concentrator make it so fewer multi-junction cells are required (using cheaper optics to reduce the number of expensive cells).

    6. Re:where the facts? by frostband · · Score: 5, Informative

      It's not necessary to do it that way. The way these multi-junction cells work is you have several layers of different semiconductor materials (with varying band gaps as the parent said). The material with the largest band gap is on top and the band gap of the material decreases as you go down the layers of the device. If a photon is not absorbed in the first layer (meaning the photon doesn't have very high energy, since, as the parent also said, the photon must have greater than the band gap energy to be absorbed), then it continues on to the next layer to be absorbed, then the next layer. This way, you are extracting the maximum amount of energy out of each photon.

      That isn't a perfect explanation and any experts out there, please correct anything that's wrong.

    7. Re:where the facts? by jez9999 · · Score: 1

      so you don't have to use as large of a device

      Is 'large' measuring quantity or describing an entire entity?

      If the former, you use OF.
      If the latter, you DON'T.

      You shouldn't have used the 'of'.

    8. Re:where the facts? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Being gay is you're forté.

    9. Re:where the facts? by superlaughtive · · Score: 1

      "The concentrator doesn't make the device more efficient at converting solar radiation into electrical power, it just concentrates the light so you don't have to use as large of a device."

      Concentrating the sunlight does in fact make the device more efficient in conversion, as long as you keep the temperature (which decreases the efficiency during increase) in check, i.e. near ambient conditions. See the upper right graph on pg2 of this product data sheet from the company that this slashdot article is discussing for an old version of their cells here.

  13. Downsides by ChowRiit · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'm all in favour of clean energy, I think it's a laudable goal, but we shouldn't be patting eachother on our backs just yet.

    Firstly, these solar cells are no doubt incredibly expensive - any high efficiency ones are. Secondly, they're probably made using rare and/or exotic materiels, making manufacturing in bulk tricky, and thirdly there's likely to be a lot of pollution created in the manufacturing process for by-products et cetera (it's a problem with less efficient cells too, but the more efficient ones are generally more pollutions).

    Lastly, there's another issue. What happens when the sun goes behind a cloud? You need to be able to cover the entire slack in an instant, because you NEED a constant power output. That means you NEED enough GAS powerplants to power the whole world too, as they're the only type of power plant you can literally turn the dial and turn up the output.

    Me, I'm going to be sitting here hoping that the test fusion plant they're building in France works, because from what I've learnt lately, if it doesn't, we're screwed.

    1. Re:Downsides by jibjibjib · · Score: 1

      Hydroelectric powerplants can vary their output relatively quickly too.

    2. Re:Downsides by Atlantis-Rising · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Er, ever heard of batteries? It's perfectly possible to have capacatance stations built into the grid that serve as temporary UPS units for when the power slacks. Similarly, if you spread the generating stations out roughly evenly around the planet and build in enough extra capacity, (maybe 5%, I'm talking out of my ass here) the chances of cloud covering enough of that generator grid to cause a severe power loss are probably negligable.

      Presumably, you'd want the capacitance spread out across the grid- not only to prevent brownouts due to lack of power production, but also to temporarily handle spikes in load and to handle temporary grid failures. Neighbourhood or even house-scale capacitance units wouldn't require much storage and could effienctly handle temporary spikes in load, like the use of (for example) a microwave or vacuumn cleaner.

      Of course, if you're splitting up capacitance that way, why not split up generation that way too? Just use the power grid as a way to ship excess power around to handle temporary generation losses.

      Energy from the sun at maximum potential is what, 1 KW per square meter? My house's roof is probably 15-20 square meters; 12 KW on a sunny day is great. I have absolutely no idea at the moment how much power I'm actually using, on average, (including nights, etc) but I'll bet this won't be enough to cover it. That's okay. Even if it covers half of it...

      --
      "It is possible to commit no errors and still lose. That is not a weakness. That is life." -Peak Performance
    3. Re:Downsides by goldenpanda · · Score: 1

      what happens when power goes out? just ask indians or iraqis. they seem to survive fine.

    4. Re:Downsides by hcdejong · · Score: 5, Interesting

      That means you NEED enough GAS powerplants to power the whole world too, as they're the only type of power plant you can literally turn the dial and turn up the output.

      No, they're not. Hydro plants can do this as well. The UK uses several hydro plants like Dinorwig to cover peak loads. Dinorwig can go from 0 to 1320 MW in 12 seconds, and has a peak output of about 1800 MW. It is built as an accumulator system, pumping water up the mountain at night (using excess capacity from nuclear and fossil fuel plants) so it doesn't depend on a huge water supply (river). Efficiency (W generated vs. W needed to pump the water up the mountain) is about 70%.

    5. Re:Downsides by Odinson · · Score: 1
      It's enough to cover my electrical needs. At 350 kwh a month in a 2 bedroom apt in queens with two adults and a baby living in it. That's with near full time use of two window air conditioners in the summer, and part time use of a dishwasher and a couple of nasty CRTs. All in an ancient, very inefficent building.

      Of course there still is the issue of heat 8 months a year since those would be the less sunny days.

    6. Re:Downsides by SpaghettiPattern · · Score: 1

      What happens when the sun goes behind a cloud?

      Worse still, what happens when the sun hides behind the earth where he can't be seen? (I know the bugger, he's a bastard and does so regularly.)

      We need site redundancy. One plant in the US, one in Russia and one in the Sahara.

      Don't worry, we'll get the sun of a bitch 24/7.

      --

      I hadn't the slightest objection to his spending his time planning massacres for the bourgeoisie... (P.G. Wodehouse)
    7. Re:Downsides by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What we do, see, is to make high speed trains run in vacuum tunnels in order to not have to push air out of the way and waste energy. Then, we use the vacuum as a storage medium. When we need extra power, we let air into the vacuum tunnels while capturing the energy differential generated by the vacuum. When the sun comes back out, we reverse the process, and pump the air out to make a more perfect vacuum. The rail tunnels would be so vast, that air pressure wouldn't need to exceed maybe a lb per square inch, but the energy stored would be more than we need. And, the trains wouldn't much notice the difference.

    8. Re:Downsides by putaro · · Score: 1

      Vacuum tunnels? That would suck.

    9. Re:Downsides by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      Lastly, there's another issue. What happens when the sun goes behind a cloud? You need to be able to cover the entire slack in an instant, because you NEED a constant power output. That means you NEED enough GAS powerplants to power the whole world too, as they're the only type of power plant you can literally turn the dial and turn up the output.

      Actually - that's not true at all. Coal fired plants using pulverized coal can do so, as can nuclear plants, hydro plants, and oil fired plants.
       
      The real problem is that all of the thermal plants take time for the increased output of heat to become increased output of electrical energy. (This isn't a problem day-to-day currently because you rarely see an increase in demand equivalent to dropping an entire plant equivalent off line.) All of this of course assumes the plants are already running in hot standby.
    10. Re:Downsides by Calinous · · Score: 1

      For clouds to cover a big solar panel farm, quite a bit of time is needed - in the order of minutes. As stated above, there are electricity plants that can easily ramp up in that time frame

  14. Well you don't need it all in one place... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Solar power isn't a total solution, but if this is true with 40% efficiency and if these things can be done economicly then fuck it's a pretty damn good first step.

    Screw transmission loss. I want my roof to be solar panels... Screw asphalt shingles.

    Seriously. What is the transmission losses of a few meters?

    Everybody could be their own power station then. Then it woudl only have to augmented by centralized power plants. Combination of Nuclear, existing hydroeletric, and petrolium plants.. all based on the geographical realities, with decentralized solar generation buildings would help a lot.

    Maybe even make hydrogen power practical for automobiles and other devices. (thus reducing the dependance on toxic batteries)

    This is pretty kick-ass if it all works out.

  15. Panels On The Roof by DaftShadow · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I've been recently wrestling with the idea of putting solar panels up myself, but the truth of the matter is that I cannot afford the current RoR's length of time (approx 13-18years), nor can I get enough panels onto the limited rooftop I plan to use to cause a very big dent. A huge increase in efficiency of space, as well as cost/watt, changes these numbers *dramatically.* This is awesome.

    - DaftShadow

    1. Re:Panels On The Roof by Nasarius · · Score: 5, Informative

      Contact your local power company. Many (such as LIPA) will pay for a large percentage of your costs.

      --
      LOAD "SIG",8,1
    2. Re:Panels On The Roof by jez9999 · · Score: 2, Funny

      What I do, in SimCity 2000, is build a few hills. Then, I apply 'water' to each tile of the hill, and build a hydroelectric damn on each one. Best form of power by far; no explosions, breakdowns, and lots of power per square.

      Hmm. Wonder how realistic this is. :-P

    3. Re:Panels On The Roof by pclminion · · Score: 1

      I've been recently wrestling with the idea of putting solar panels up myself, but the truth of the matter is that I cannot afford the current RoR's length of time (approx 13-18years)

      Can't afford it, or just don't like it? Are DOLLARS really the only reason you would use renewable energy? When I first installed my solar panel system, I was $3k in the hole (and I still am). This doesn't concern me much. I'm a geek and I could just as easily have dropped $3k on a fancy new computer. This way at least I do something good for the world. Isn't that worth paying for?

  16. No, not pale, pink-eyed mutants... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    Hey MichaelSmith,

    Here's the link you forgot.

  17. Still does not solve much by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The issue is not one of generation. There is actually plenty of energy production (and more is coming on line with new wind and geo-thermal). Our problem is one of energy production when it is needed. Since solar (and most alternatives) will NEVER be able to produce 24x7 or even 8x7, then you need a way to save the energy. As it is, USA feds has been trying to force more research down the path of hydrogen. But the earliest will be around 2025 ,and that depends on having some MAJOR advancements in cost economics that make this solar cell efficiency games look like child's play. IOW, this route will not be happening.

    Do not get me wrong. These solar cells are most likely a good thing. Of course, it depends on how the true cost relative to other methods. But this country needs to quit subsidizing oil and coal as well as have a multi-prong research in energy storage to really make the alternatives happen.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:Still does not solve much by magman · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You've got it completely wrong... One of the main benefits of the solar production is that it's distributed and produces during peak hours. In other words, the power is generated when it's needed and you don't have to transport it to the areas where it's being used. Think air conditioning In Japan it's already cost effective to install solar panels without subsidies, in other parts of the world you generally need subsidies to get it working economically. But this business is growing at a rate of 40% each year worldwide, it's only a matter of time!

    2. Re:Still does not solve much by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Look, here southwest Co, we have 220 days of at least SOME sun. And further southwest, it is something like 230-265 days. These are not work days only. That means that 1/3 of them are sunless i.e. blocked from good light. So now, you need to have some other means of filling in the energy. That is why Xcell and others do not want wind. They do not serve when Xcell needs them. So Xcell creates coal plants that work as base system, and use natural gas for peak productions. But if we had good electrical storage, then we could get rid of the peak producers and slowly take out the base units as well. The storage would be filled by the alternative generators. As it is, Xcell gets huge fines when the lines come down in the summer due to heavy A.C. loads. And many times, those A.Cs. operate when the sun is not there.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    3. Re:Still does not solve much by magman · · Score: 1

      Electrical storage is something we won't see until we have solved our energy needs... I'm not talking about 80% of our energy from solar cells, but something like 10% would be achievable.

      Nuclear power is the energy source of the near future, we need something that's CO2-free. CERN in Switzerland think they have a solution to Thorium based power plants... Now, that would be interesting.

    4. Re:Still does not solve much by dbIII · · Score: 1
      Doesn't most of the energy consumed occur in normal daylight working hours or when people run airconditioning in daylight? Also the USA has the luxury of a power grid running over a lot of timezones. Nobody in their right mind would suggest replacing everything with a single energy source of any kind unless they are selling that product either.

      Hydrogen also looks a bit like a solution looking for a problem now or a new silly nuclear agenda. If those crazy nuke salesfolk would actually give some money to nuclear researchers instead of playing games they might actually get a technology that is worth using outside of very special circumstances (subs, Japan fearing blockade, weapon material production etc).

    5. Re:Still does not solve much by stile99 · · Score: 2

      Isn't it amazing how a stupid show from the 80's can blow your theory right outside of the water?

      I refer, of course, to Automan. A crime-fighting hologram who only worked at night. Why only at night? Because the power grid maxed out during the day. There wasn't enough power to operate the hologram during the day because everyone woke up and turned on toasters, microwaves, fans, A/C as the temperature rose, etc.

      They point being (and this point is so obvious that as I said, it was made by a dumb show over 20 years ago) is that solar does very much indeed produce when needed.

      You are absolutely correct...solar panels on the rooftop aren't going to produce 24x7. What you don't understand is the power curve throughout the day. Those solar panels are going to start pumping out energy about the time you turn on your toaster, microwave, dishwasher, etc.

    6. Re:Still does not solve much by Shajenko42 · · Score: 1

      Indoor climate control can be made much more efficient. Geothermal heating in cooling, which is essentially digging holes, putting pipes underground filled with a heat-transfer medium, and pumping heat into or out of it, would work better for most purposes than pumping heat into or out of the air outside. That would cut down on demand plenty, and it's available now.

    7. Re:Still does not solve much by dbIII · · Score: 1
      Geothermal energy is really hard to do unless you live very close to active volcanoes - in which case it becomes very easy.

      A really promising hot wet rock geothermal project in central Australia failed recently. They had limited funding so they don't get a second chance - drilling deep holes is expensive. Other ones that rely on smaller temperature differentials and shallower holes are being tried in some places but progress is slow.

    8. Re:Still does not solve much by Shajenko42 · · Score: 1

      This wouldn't be for the purpose of generating electricity - it would be for moving heat to where it's needed.

      At a not-too-deep level, the earth stays a consistent temperature, around 62 degrees or so. You pump the heat from your house down there when outside it's 100 degrees, and you'll be using far less electricity than if you're trying to dump it outside. Similarly when you're trying to heat the house and the temperature outside is 40, 30, or lower like some of you Yankees experience (anyone north of the Mason-Dixon is a Yankee, you know).

      The major downside is the up-front cost, but a home equity loan might be worthwhile, considering you'll get an immediate savings on your heating/cooling bills.

      I'm mostly kidding about the Yankee thing - I'm in Texas.

    9. Re:Still does not solve much by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Well, it's still a fair way down and drilling holes is still expensive - but there is a point where it is worth doing. I don't really think enough about heating, I'm in the subtropics so if it gets cold I close most of the windows.

  18. Obligatory suburban subdivision response... by Zhe+Mappel · · Score: 1
    "At 40% efficiency, it looks like a square 265 miles on a side in the American southwest would do it."

    NIMBY!

    1. Re:Obligatory suburban subdivision response... by ydra2 · · Score: 1

      Let me guess. You are from Texas. Well Texas is bigger than all the rest of the world put together aint it? 265 miles by 265 would fit right nicely in Texas and Texas gets lots of sunlight. So how about it Texans? Y'all wanna move out so we can build the biggest goddam solar plant this planet's ever seen? It'd be one mighty feather in your 10,000 gallon hat. And, owning all the worlds energy supply you could say "Don't mess with Texas" and we wouldn't.

    2. Re:Obligatory suburban subdivision response... by foo12 · · Score: 1

      Fine. Not In [Your] Back Yard. But how about on your roof? It's unused space and the energy benefits would be twfold (electricity generation and reduced cooling demands)

  19. How about... by Belial6 · · Score: 1

    How about we put them some place that is already covered. You know like above houses. Kind of like... say... a roof. I don't know how many square miles of the US is rooftops, but I bet if you added it up, you wouldn't need much in the way of non-building covering space for whatever extra power was needed to power the US.

    1. Re:How about... by Shajenko42 · · Score: 1

      Plus, as soon as the cells get cheap enough, every single parking lot of any size will become a covered parking lot.

    2. Re:How about... by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      Not only that, we may end up with covered freeways.

  20. God, geeks are so incredibly stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    1. Deserts are not empty. They have an ecosystem.

    2. There is no reason at all to fill a desert with solar cells, and then transport the energy across to the other side of the planet. Solar cells are installed locally, like on your roof, or in your back yard, on every roof across the planet. Most of the electricity consumed would be as Direct Current right from your rooftop, with an inverter converting for those appliances you still insist on retaining that us AC.

    3. For dense city sitatuions with high rises who's energy needs can not be met by rooftops, etc., electricity can be sent via conventional AC lines across the conventional power grid from say no more than 50 miles away. Not the other side of the world.

    4. Those who produce an excess of electricity beyond their need, sell it into the grid.

    1. Re:God, geeks are so incredibly stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      God, they truly are stupid

      saying that something would take 265 miles square in america, is just another way of saying that same thing takes 1 957 760 640 000 sq feet distributed evenly around sunny places in the world.

      i thought that only difference is that it is easier to pronounce "265" than "1957760640000"

      it remains to be seen, if somebody comes out saying: "sq feets are not empty, they have an ecosystem"

    2. Re:God, geeks are so incredibly stupid by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      "Most of the electricity consumed would be as Direct Current right from your rooftop"

      Here's a hint, dude: most of the time I'm at home using electricity it's, like, dark outside. Where exactly is this 'direct current right from my rooftop' going to come from at night?

      Worse than that, at over 50 degrees latitude there's far less light per square meter hitting the surface than near the equator, and the weather is crappy which reduces light levels even more.

      Finally, when I'm not at home I'm at work, and with as many PCs as we need here, there's no way to power them all from the small amount of roof-space we have here, even if the light wasn't low due to latitude and crappy weather, and even if we didn't often work at night as well as in the day.

      The whole idea of sticking a few solar cells on your roof and running your house from them is incredibly stupid; at a minimum it needs a large amount of extra infrastructure to support those cells, like batteries and inverters.

      "For dense city sitatuions with high rises who's energy needs can not be met by rooftops, etc., electricity can be sent via conventional AC lines across the conventional power grid from say no more than 50 miles away."

      So at night, when it's dark you'll send solar electricity from 50 miles away, where it will magically be daytime?

    3. Re:God, geeks are so incredibly stupid by Jearil · · Score: 1

      Well, why not use the solar power generated at your house to power the computers at your job?

      Imagine all of the employees at your job had solar panels covering their roof at home. While at work, they do the smart thing and turn off lights at home and most electrical gear that uses energy, which they should do anyway. Now their solar panels are producing excess energy that they're not using. Energy that their not using goes into the power grid to be used by others... say your office at work. Each person gets paid for the power their putting back into the grid (that's how it works now anyway), so it's not like their giving free energy to their work place as the company still has to pay the power company.

      That's just during the day, on those days that it's sunny. Obviously that won't happen every day, and in some parts of the country it won't happen fairly often at all. I imagine in some places in the pacific NW where it's overcast a lot, you won't even produce as much energy from a panel as it costs to create. However, in areas where there is a good amount of sun often enough, it would make great a supplementary power source that would reduce strain on our current grid.

      As a bonus, the cost of the power you use at night will be offset some by the power you sell during the day, giving you a lower energy bill.

    4. Re:God, geeks are so incredibly stupid by MikeBabcock · · Score: 1

      Excellent post -- it always bothers me that people still think about electricity as having to be generated "somewhere else". The transmission lines are the least efficient part of our entire electrical system, losing huge amounts of power to heat.

      If we could cut down on how much of our electricity needs to reach the house across hundreds of km, we could cut down on the net energy required immensely.

      --
      - Michael T. Babcock (Yes, I blog)
    5. Re:God, geeks are so incredibly stupid by X · · Score: 2
      1. Nobody is implying they don't have an ecosystem. If you consider the amount of damage being done to ecosystems to provide the world's current energy supplies, entirely destroying 265 square miles to provide the world's energy would be an improvement.
      2. I don't think anyone sane was suggesting all the world's energy actually be produced in one place. It just provides people with an idea of the minimum amount of land needed if the whole world used solar energy.
      3. You can do better than 50 miles (keep in mind that states in the western US provide a lot of power for California, and you know that a chunk of that energy is being burned along the California coast), but yeah, you don't even think about sending it to the other side of the planet.
      4. Well, if you're limited to 50 miles away, that kind of limits one's ability to sell power on the grid eh? ;-)
      --
      sigs are a waste of space
    6. Re:God, geeks are so incredibly stupid by goodben · · Score: 1

      Your point on deserts not being empty is very valid. However the solar panels I have seen in the desert (to power call boxes and flashing warning lights) are all angled steeply in order to give them the best collection angle. If they go for something like this then there would be lots of open space because you wouldn't want one to block another. If you didn't spread them out you would also have problems with the ground cover disappearing giving rise to frequent dust storms (which would be bad for solar power). Spreading them out also makes access for repairs and modularity for failsafes and replacement much easier. The rationale for putting them in the desert is because deserts have quite a bit more cloud-free days and you'll get more power out of Phoenix than you will from Seattle.

    7. Re:God, geeks are so incredibly stupid by El+Gigante+de+Justic · · Score: 1

      Nobody is implying they don't have an ecosystem. If you consider the amount of damage being done to ecosystems to provide the world's current energy supplies, entirely destroying 265 square miles to provide the world's energy would be an improvement.

      I didn't read TFA, but the summary says a "square 265 miles on a side" - that's 70225 sq. miles, not 265. For comparison purposes, that's an area roughly the size of North Dakota (which is 70,762 sq miles)

      As others have pointed out, there are problems with going solar in northern states, although it is a good options for places like Southern California, Arizona and New Mexico. Northern states are going to have the following problems:
      1) Due to being at higher latitude, there is much less direct sunlight
      2) Areas like the Midwest tend to have much more cloud cover than the Southwest
      3) Besides there being less sunlight during the winter months, we also have this usually annual meteorlogical phonomenon known as "snow", which can easily cover a rooftop with 12+ inches in a single day, thus limiting the usage of any solar panels on the roof. In addition, I'm not really sure if frost would also potentially be a problem for solar collectors

      One thing I've wondered about the idea of putting solar collectors on rooftops - exactly how often are you expected to climb up there and hose off the bird crap, because it seems to be that they would get crapped on a lot.

    8. Re:God, geeks are so incredibly stupid by X · · Score: 1
      I didn't read TFA, but the summary says a "square 265 miles on a side" - that's 70225 sq. miles, not 265. For comparison purposes, that's an area roughly the size of North Dakota (which is 70,762 sq miles).


      Yeah, I realized my mistake right after I hit post. Damn Slashdot for not having an edit button.

      Only destroying North Dakota would be a net improvement over the ecological damage we currently do to harvesting and refining fossil fuels. Of course, there's a fair bit of ecological damage during the manufacturing of these panels I suspect, so that may make the matter a bit muddier.

      As others have pointed out, there are problems with going solar in northern states, although it is a good options for places like Southern California, Arizona and New Mexico.


      Yeah. I think the main point of the "how much space do you need to supply all the earth's energy with solar power" is not to suggest supplying all the earth's energy from a single method (probably not a wise idea by any measure), but rather to counter the argument that you can't actually use solar energy to replace a significant chunk of our current energy budget. This is in fact a pretty good argument against biofuels as a replacement (aside from growing seaweed in the ocean, most methods seem likely to consume so much arable land and water that they'd create as many problems as they'd solve), and up until this development it seemed at least like a significant drawback to solar power as well.

      Given how much of the earth is already covered with buildings, asphalt, etc., it seems like losing 265 squared of the earth's surface to solar cells would be a fair trade off (particularly if you assume that innovations along the way will probably bring that number down even more) for a fully renewable energy source with comparatively limited ecological impact.

      In reality, what you'd probably move to is a lot of the northeast being powered by hydro, the northwest getting a fair bit from a mix of hydro and wind, the south being a net exporter thanks to wind, hydro, solar, *and* fossil fuels. You'd probably have a combination of nuclear and fossil fuels filling out the gaps, particularly as you go further north. You'd see the same kind of trade offs going on elsewhere. I mean, you can't reasonably expect Japan to cover it's energy budget with anything we've got now other than nuclear and fossil fuel imports (just not enough land for anything else... maybe eventually they can try to pull in energy from tidal forces or biofuel grown in the ocean, but that road is far from clear).
      --
      sigs are a waste of space
    9. Re:God, geeks are so incredibly stupid by khallow · · Score: 1

      Let's suppose hypothetically that providing all of the Earth's energy needs were simply a matter of wiping out 70,000 square miles of desert ecosystem. Would it be worth it? Yes. Let's remember that there are more valuable things than ecosystem and that the current power generation system already has a pretty large footprint.

    10. Re:God, geeks are so incredibly stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, I realized my mistake right after I hit post. Damn Slashdot for not having an edit button.

      This replicates the Unix design philosophy. You either get it right or you are fscked. Edit buttons are for wimps. Be a real man. You don't like it? Write your own software/create your own slashdot.

  21. And That... by Belial6 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    "Lastly, there's another issue. What happens when the sun goes behind a cloud? You need to be able to cover the entire slack in an instant, because you NEED a constant power output. That means you NEED enough GAS powerplants to power the whole world too, as they're the only type of power plant you can literally turn the dial and turn up the output."

    And that is what fuel cells are really for. Forget having hydrogen delivered to your home so that you can use a fuel cell as a generator. No, you use photovolic at the home to generate a tank of Hydrogen so that you can convert it back to electricity when you need it. The real promise of fuel cells is for use as a very clean battery.

  22. life span by YeeHaW_Jelte · · Score: 1

    Solar cells cost a lot of energy to make, so what's the life span on these things? What's left if you subtract the manufactoring costs from the life-time energy generation of these things?

    --

    ---
    "The chances of a demonic possession spreading are remote -- relax."
    1. Re:life span by snaz555 · · Score: 1
      Solar cells cost a lot of energy to make, so what's the life span on these things? What's left if you subtract the manufactoring costs from the life-time energy generation of these things?


      The info might not be the latest, but scroll down to the section on Energy Payback Time (EPBT): http://www1.eere.energy.gov/solar/pv_basics.html. Looks like a couple of years, give or take. If the technology with the 40% efficiency mentioned is equally cost-effective, then we're probably down under a year.

    2. Re:life span by catprog · · Score: 1

      figures I've heard energy costs: 1.8 Years to recover the costs 20+ years lifespan. The major problem is money cost. Figures that I've heard are about 10 years.

      --
      My Transformation Website
      Kindle Books http://www.catprog.org/rev
      Interactive CYOA http://www.catprog.org/st
    3. Re:life span by BlackPignouf · · Score: 3, Informative

      You're not the first one to ask this question, and I won't be the first one neither to give this link:
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Photovoltaic?section= Energy_return_on_investment#Energy_return_on_inves tment
      I tried to calculate energy payback-time for different cells, and got results ranging from 8 months to 2 and a half years.
      Even extreme PV-Cells bashers don't succeed in proving that payback-time exceeds 5 years, which still lefts you 3 times as much "free" energy.

    4. Re:life span by pclminion · · Score: 0, Troll

      Solar cells cost a lot of energy to make, so what's the life span on these things? What's left if you subtract the manufactoring costs from the life-time energy generation of these things?

      Wow. It's amazing that in the 51 years that commercial solar power has been available, nobody has ever before considered this issue. You sir, have brought much insight to the world. Next, perhaps you can answer the question for me, is the copper in a single penny worth more than a penny?

  23. No problem there. by DimGeo · · Score: 1

    That's for the whole world, not just the USA. Put panels on each roof globally and you won't even notice (while gaining much more energy than needed).

  24. Here's an Idea by pogopark · · Score: 1

    I'm not sure if this would work at 40% -- might realistically need to be a bit higher -- but anyway, here's a thought. Energy can be transmitted in the form of microwaves, right? How about we build a ring or spherical grid of energy-collecting satellites around the Earth? They'd be interconnected with each other as well as with the ground... no matter where the Sun was beaming, there'd be enough energy to power the grid. High-frequency radiation is love, /.

    1. Re:Here's an Idea by Somatic · · Score: 1
      I'm not sure if this would work at 40% -- might realistically need to be a bit higher -- but anyway, here's a thought. Energy can be transmitted in the form of microwaves, right?

      Fool! Didn't you ever play Sim City?

      --
      My script don't crash! She crashes, you crashed her!
    2. Re:Here's an Idea by MichaelSmith · · Score: 4, Interesting
      How about we build a ring or spherical grid of energy-collecting satellites around the Earth?

      Its not exactly a new idea.

    3. Re:Here's an Idea by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Microwaves. Cool idea. Prior to submitting for a patent, please study how your food is heated in your microwave oven. Hint; most of it is interaction between the wave and one type of molecule.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    4. Re:Here's an Idea by Timberwolf0122 · · Score: 1

      It's a nice idea, although some serious safety gear would be needed to ensure that the satelite does not inadvertantly beam a 20MW microwave on someones cat.

      --
      In the not too distant future, next Sunday A.D.
    5. Re:Here's an Idea by jibjibjib · · Score: 1
      They use a phased array antenna, where a pilot beam is sent from the ground and the satellite's circuits synchronise the phase of the power beam to the pilot beam. This helps the satellite to aim correctly and makes it physically impossible for it to focus the beam anywhere except on the receiver.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_power_satellite #Safety

    6. Re:Here's an Idea by Logi · · Score: 1
      How about we build a ring or spherical grid of energy-collecting satellites around the Earth?
      And anyway, the grand-parent is thinking too small.
      --
      Logi - I can do anything, but not everything.
    7. Re:Here's an Idea by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1
      And anyway, the grand-parent is thinking too small

      Hmmm if we had a dyson sphere around the Earth we could collect all that energy we radiate into space and never have to make any more :).

    8. Re:Here's an Idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Now what about a giant blimp with solar panels above the clouds?? satellites are expensive to launch and maintain, blimps not so much. You could even have super giant blimps cruising the equator. Im pretty sure i've read about this before so unfortunately i can't take credit.

  25. They already exists by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    They are called Enron, Shell Oil, Xcell Energy, etc. They use centralized power plants and distribute power to other places. The real new approach will be moving back to a true distributed energy generation.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:They already exists by cliffski · · Score: 1

      well said. There is a lot of talk in the UK (talk is all it is sadly) of 'turning each home into a micro-powerstation'. I love this idea. Why should I be paying so much cash to some big (often foreign-owned) evil megacorp for my power, when I could use my roofspace to generate a lot of it myself? Doing so take transmissions losses away altogether.
      If it was a simple matter of attaching some panels and plugging a cable into a wallsocket, I'd be there already, but the installation of solar setups is a complex enough deal for now that I think I'll wait till I move hosue, and know I'll be there long enough to get my investment back.

      --
      DRM-free indie games for the PC and Mac: Positech Games
  26. Middle East by postmortem · · Score: 1

    good news for them... after oil is gone they'll still have couple aces in the sleeve.

  27. Speaking of deserts having their role by Moraelin · · Score: 1

    There was an article linked to from The Register (but I'm too lazy to search for it right now= where they figured out that tens of tons of earth dust from some hole in Sahara are carried by wind currents all the way over to the Amazon. They said that without that, the rain forest would be a lot less impressive.

    Kinda makes one wonder. Take some of the massive solar energy input out (and/or add enough wind turbines around too, while we're at it) and those currents may no longer carry any dust over, or carry it just a few miles into the Atlantic. Well, that one is obvious, but it makes me wonder what else. The Gulf Stream is also powered by the sun, for example, and that's what makes the climate of, say, the Netherlands be not quite the same as that of Siberia.

    --
    A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
    1. Re:Speaking of deserts having their role by BoberFett · · Score: 1

      I've often wondered what kind of unexpected results we'll see from wind and solar power. Those power sources are almost certainly far better than fossil fuels, but the law of energy conservation can't be escaped. If we take energy from the climate in the form of solar and wind being converted to electricity, it WILL an effect. The exact effect may be unknown in the beginning, but it will definitely be there.

  28. Is this efficiency measured at the earth's surface by F00F · · Score: 1

    For some reason I'd thought that these highly-efficient multi-junction cells made by Spectrolab generally quote peak efficiency statistics as based on the ideal spectrum of incident solar light found in space, i.e. the orbits of the (usually geostationary) communications satellites where these cells are often encountered (hence why Boeing has the interest in Spectrolab). I thought I remembered that when you aactually account for the spectrum of visible light that makes it through the atmosphere, the efficiency goes down quite a bit.

    But TFA hints at terrestrial applications, so maybe I'm just pulling this out of thin air, so to speak...

    Anybody?

  29. Roofs of the future should be solar! by arcite · · Score: 1

    Just imagine if every second house has solar power, even if it was just used to heat hot water, the energy savings would be enormous.

    1. Re:Roofs of the future should be solar! by jackbird · · Score: 1

      Around the mediterranean, this is common, and doesn't need fancy photovoltaics. There's a pipe snaked back and forth down an angled black-painted panel on the roof with plexiglass in front, which circulates to the hot water tank in the house (or on the roof). An backup electric water heater is controlled by a switch on the wall for having hot water in the morning.

  30. Seriously by syncrotic · · Score: 1

    Oh yes of course, the desert is a precious and fragile ecosystem that needs to be protected. It's not just a land of oppressive heat, sand, rock, and thorny vegation - it's home to some very rare species of, umm, cactii and scorpions, that represent, uh, valuable biodiversity that must be protected.

    Nature must be sheltered from the influence of evil parasitic humans. It is to be protected for its own sake, and no other justification is necessary.

    This kind of attitude has put a halt to multibillion dollar projects that would have benefitted thousands of people, and sometimes entire nations. If it were up to people like you, we'd all be freezing in the dark.

    1. Re:Seriously by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To some people, _any_ change necessitated by progress or recreation is "damage".

      These people need to be ignored.

    2. Re:Seriously by buffer-overflowed · · Score: 1

      Well, considering you could get all the way there using just urban areas supplemented by panels along the highway system, I don't see why you'd want to use deserts in the first place.

      --
      The key to the enjoyment of pop music is to replace any instance of "love" with "C.H.U.D."
  31. 400W/M^2 should be enough by Timberwolf0122 · · Score: 1

    During the day when I'm out my house only drains about 250 Watts (Homebrew PVR + sundries) so a 1M^2 array would provide enough power to run my house + charge a dirty great battery to run my TV+Lights in the evening. Up that to a 2M^2 array and I could probably store enough power to do a roast.

    The key for most people will be the initial cost, at current prices it would take over 10year for a solar system to pay for itself, realisticly it need to be 5 years max.

    --
    In the not too distant future, next Sunday A.D.
    1. Re:400W/M^2 should be enough by Alioth · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, you are being far too optimistic. I have an 80 watt monocrystalline panel on my shed roof as an experiment. You can expect to get roughly 2% to 5% of peak output when averaged out over 24 hours - and that's during the middle of summer. You only get peak power within about an hour or so either side of mid day on an absolutely haze free and cloud free summer's day. Three hours off mid day you're lucky to even get 50% peak. Even just a little daytime haze (say, 10 miles visibility) cuts output at mid day down to about 60% of peak.

      You could extend the amount of time you get a decent amount of power by adding a system to tilt the panel so it's always directly facing the sun, but that's only really feasable for a small system if you're doing it at home.

    2. Re:400W/M^2 should be enough by SaDan · · Score: 1

      Depending on your latitude, it will make sense to have an auto-rotating array for your PV setup.

    3. Re:400W/M^2 should be enough by Alioth · · Score: 1

      I may well do that - it won't be too hard to build a system to do it (a couple of LDRs, a voltage comparator and a small motor drive). Certainly a lot cheaper than buying two extra 80 watt panels!

  32. Figures a bit out by tttonyyy · · Score: 3, Informative

    According to this site, estimated world demand was 13.9 trillion kilowatt-hours in 2001.

    13.9 trillion kW/h / 8776 (hours/year) = 1.58TW

    This figure is comparable to the statement in the wikipedia that 2001 average world consumption was 1.7TW in 2001. So our sources agree within a reasonable margin.

    According to the wikipedia, the energy density from solar energy reaching the surface as a global average is 170 W/m2. At 40.7% efficient, that's 69.2W/m2.

    Using the lower figure of 1.58TW calculated above, you'd need 22.8 x 10^9 square meters, or approximately 8800 square miles of solar cells to meet 2001 world demand. (Or "just" 1900 square miles to meet the peak US demand of ~3 trillion kWh in the late 90s). Of course, these areas halve if sited in an area of the US where the solar energy density is 375 W/m2 (4000 square miles for world demand, 860 square miles for US demand).

    Neither correspond to the whopping (265x265) 70000 square miles the article summary claims. Sorry kdawson, looks like you're a magnitude out!

    --
    biopowered.co.uk - catalytically cracking triglycerides for home automotive use since 2008. Just say no to big oil!
    1. Re:Figures a bit out by catprog · · Score: 1

      And how do you power the cells at night. Most sources say that you get on average 5 hours of solar power a day (taking into account reduced power at morning and night)

      --
      My Transformation Website
      Kindle Books http://www.catprog.org/rev
      Interactive CYOA http://www.catprog.org/st
    2. Re:Figures a bit out by RedWizzard · · Score: 1
      And how do you power the cells at night. Most sources say that you get on average 5 hours of solar power a day (taking into account reduced power at morning and night)
      That 170W/m^2 already accounts for night time; it's an average over 24 hours. The peak can be as high as 1KW/m^2 on the equator.
    3. Re:Figures a bit out by mark-t · · Score: 1

      A little bit of math shows that 860 square miles for US demand works out to about 80 square feet of panelling per person in the USA... that seems very manageable, if you ask me.

    4. Re:Figures a bit out by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ok, That's just freaky.
      I was figuring out how much power you'd get if you covered all the rooftops in the US with solar panels.
      I'm having trouble coming up with a total number(both residential & commercial).
      But I found the following:
      US census: 122,671,734 housing units
      DOE: Avg size of all housing units - 2000 sq ft
      That works out to 245,343,468,000 sqft.

      That is 8,800.48597 square miles!

      The US spends around $500 Billion anually on energy.
      I figure it would cost between $3-$10 square foot to put solar panels on every roof in the country.
      $736,030,404,000 @ $3 sqft (736 billion)
      $2,453,434,680,000 @ $10 sqft (2.4 trillion)

      You can look at that as 1.5 to 5 years energy consumption
      Or, 3-5 wars in third world countries...

  33. Capacitors by AlphaLop · · Score: 0
    One way around the storage problem is the new high capacity capacitors that are being perfected. I think the most important thing about this issue is that it shows that at least some progress is being made to get us off of fossil fuels. States like California have very stringint building codes in many areas due to earthquake potential so why not add building codes that say if you build a house above a certain size/value and it will be in an area where solar is feasible for even 15% of the homes usage then it should be mandatory.

    Lets face it, most people are not going to adopt alternative energy on their own without either incentives or regulations. Rather than support big oil with the massive subsidies they are receiving how bout providing tax incentives and subsidies to contractors and private builders that incorporate solar cells in their projects?

    --
    It's only paranoia if your wrong...
    1. Re:Capacitors by majortom1981 · · Score: 1

      The town that I live in (town of babylon on long island in ny) just adapted a code that New buildings must have solar panels and be green buildings. The new outlet center will be the first one built using these codes. they will have solar panels on the roof and everything.

  34. PR BS On One Level by DieByWire · · Score: 1

    ...Assistant Secretary Karsner said... "We are eager to see this accomplishment translate into the marketplace as soon as possible, which has the potential to help reduce our nation's reliance on imported oil and increase our energy security."

    If the DOE Assistant Secretary thinks that electricity production has any meaningful impact on oil imports, the DOE is in trouble.

    With the possible exception of AK and HI, not much oil is burned for electricity generation in the US.

    This advance could be good on many levels, but oil imports isn't one of them.

    --
    Never shake hands with a man you meet in a fertility clinic.
    1. Re:PR BS On One Level by rcastro0 · · Score: 1

      > If the DOE Assistant Secretary thinks that electricity production has any meaningful impact on oil imports, the DOE is in trouble.
      > With the possible exception of AK and HI, not much oil is burned for electricity generation in the US.

      If you think that the cost differential between oil and electricity has no meaningful impact on oil imports, your reasoning is troubled. What energy application cannot change from oil to electricity, given economic incentives (which by the way will come naturally from market rules regarding scarcity and abundance of the two competing sources) ?

      And if you are worried about oil used for transportation, don't:
      http://www.teslamotors.com/

      --
      Quem a paca cara compra, paca cara pagará.
    2. Re:PR BS On One Level by limabone · · Score: 1

      With highly efficient solar collectors and solar cheaper than gas, it would have a large effect on oil imports. The chicken and egg problem with electric cars is that recharge stations are hard to find, because no one will build them because there are no electric cars. No one will buy electric cars because there is no where to charge them.
      With cheap solar power and some goverment incentives to build charging stations, it could really kick the electric car into high gear (pardon the pun).

    3. Re:PR BS On One Level by William_Lee · · Score: 1

      With the possible exception of AK and HI, not much oil is burned for electricity generation in the US.

      Ummm...maybe I'm misreading the statistics, but according to the DOE over 211 million barrels of oil were used for power generation in the US in 2005 alone. I'm not sure how you don't consider that much oil.

      http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricity/epa/epat4 p1.html

    4. Re:PR BS On One Level by geekoid · · Score: 1

      "...not much oil is burned for electricity generation in the US."

      which would help reduce our nation's reliance on imported oil .

      They didn't say remove it, or stop it, just reduce it. This would be true.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    5. Re:PR BS On One Level by goodben · · Score: 1

      You realize that if electricity were cheap enough it would be feasible to replace oil-powered motors and heaters with electrical versions, not just oil-powered electrical plants, right? This would reduce the need for oil to just providing feedstock for the chemical and plastics industries. I think the DOE has thought this through a little more thoroguhly than you.

  35. Re:Is this efficiency measured at the earth's surf by 21stCenturyDigitalJe · · Score: 1

    How about a solar farm in space? According to this 2001 article: http://www.space.com/businesstechnology/technology /solar_power_sats_011017-1.html NASA has a project looking at just that called Space Solar Power (SSP). It seems like it could be feasible, and solar cells in space would be able to capture light without concerns over weather then beam it back down to earth using microwaves. According to the article the biggest hurdle is launching the solar farm into space but with an increase in efficiency that means less solar cells and satellites would be needed.

  36. Efficiency by AnotherAnonymousUser · · Score: 1

    In other news, Slashdot posts become 40% efficient at posting new material, a remarkable increase over former redundancy issues.

  37. Gallium Nitride by GanjaManja · · Score: 5, Informative

    A student at The Univ. of California, Santa Barbara just presented research showing the use of multi-junction devices using Gallium Nitride. This is awesome because Nitride materials are very well suited for a HUGE amount of the sun's radiation, and since he managed to perfect a way of sticking several layers of differently absorbing Nitride Materials together in ONE device, we could theoretically see solar cells that absorb the Entire spectrum of the sun's rays in the near future!

    Here's some links:

    Indium-Gallium-Nitride can be made to absorb the entire spectrum of solar rays:
    http://www.lbl.gov/Science-Articles/Archive/MSD-fu ll-spectrum-solar-cell.html

    Tunnel Junctions - this is how you stick together many different layers of material, each layer with their own optimal absorption range (in terms of wavelength, aka. color):
    http://www.hitachi-cable.co.jp/ICSFiles/afieldfile /2005/11/28/review07.pdf
    (sorry, this is the best I could do, there was no simple paper explaining a tunnel junction. "tunnel" is for electron tunneling...)

    In essence, you have different layers that absorb only one range of wavelengths (colors of light), and whatever isn't absorbed goes straight through, and the next layer absorbs another range, etc. etc.

    As an aside, did you ever wonder how blue LEDs & lasers finally managed to get working? Nitrides paved the way for emission (and absorption) in a range of visible wavelengths, including blue. This is also why they're great for this application.

  38. Why is there a need to transport? by kiddailey · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Why not just start making it mandatory for every high-rise and large-roof building structure to be covered with a certain percentage of solar cells that power part of the building during the day and feed the rest back into the grid? After all, the concrete and steel aren't doing anything with the sun.

    It seems to me that if we had started doing this years ago it may have a) reversed some of our energy problems and b) potentially made solar panels more affordable so I could cover my home's roof with them.

    1. Re:Why is there a need to transport? by hcdejong · · Score: 1

      Highrise buildings have a very high power (usage) density, and not much surface area suitable for putting solar arrays on. I doubt you could power even a single-story office building by covering its roof in solar panels. Also, in an urban environment, buildings cast shadows on each other, decreasing efficiency of the panels.
      So there won't be a 'rest' to feed back into the grid. It will help a bit, but you'll still need a power infrastructure to move power to dense environments (inner cities).

    2. Re:Why is there a need to transport? by b0bby · · Score: 1

      I can't see the difference between your suggestion and a tax on high rise buildings - not saying that it's a bad idea, but why should only building owners be forced to pay for uneconomical energy sources? You could already afford to cover your roof with panels, the problem is that the cost far outweighs the return as opposed to just buying from the grid, same as for large building owners. If you want to promote uneconomic energy supplies in order to give them an initial boost I think that's a great idea, but don't kid yourself that just because someone else is having to pay for it that it makes financial sense at this point. Tax credits are probably the fairest way to do this right now.

    3. Re:Why is there a need to transport? by Cyno · · Score: 1

      It doesn't matter. Each electron you harvest is one you don't have to extract from uranium or oil. A distributed approach could easily provide the 265 square mile surface area and significantly reduce the distance the energy travels before use.

      So maybe only small solar plants would need to be built in the usual places to provide the extra power a distributed grid wouldn't be able to generate on its own.

      But all of this requires so much cooperation on everyone's part that it is really impossible. Nobody cares. We already got the power infrastructure. We already deliver power to cities everywhere. We already have the solar technology and this technology appears to be improving at a remarkable rate. Double efficiency in 5 years? Unheard of! Yet we don't care. Its not oil, its not nuclear, so its not power, even tho it can easily run a computer or a car today without any investment in R&D. But its not good enough and never will be. A single square inch solar cell will never have the energy potential of a square inch of uranium. So just give up. That's the message I'm hearing from everyone.

      I think that's the perspective of a coward.

    4. Re:Why is there a need to transport? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think you hit the nail on the head. It's not a failure of technology, it's a failure of desire. I also think there's a 'dirty' reason...such a plan would cause energy prices to fall through the floor and there are lot of powerful dinosaurs...errr people...who would rather NOT see that happen. Heaven forbid that we have cheap energy and cause their portfolios to drop in value.

      What truly worries me is that NO ONE knows how long fossil fuels will last and the longer we put off switching to an alternative, the higher the chance that the industrialized world will be caught with it's pants down when they run out. While the Sun pumps out all that energy (most of which is getting wasted). ...Sad.

    5. Re:Why is there a need to transport? by HeroreV · · Score: 1

      Caught with its pants down when they run out? Fossil fuels aren't just suddenly going to be all gone one day. It's going to be a gradual decline as it gets harder and harder to get more. And if oil has already peaked, it's only just recently done so.

      That being said, I am very excited about this advancement and disappointed to people being so pessimistic about it. This is really great news.

  39. Stick them on the roof by DerekTomes · · Score: 1

    Why would anybody suggest a 256 mile x 256 mile catchment area when you still have to transport the electricity? Make them waterproof and use them as roof tiles! That'll save on electrical cables as well!

    --
    have courage
    1. Re:Stick them on the roof by Rulke · · Score: 1

      Absolutely no one suggested to cover that area, it was used as a means to visualize the difference in efficiency to that of 2001. Like afore mentioned, i would rather like to hear if this is measured in orbit or on teh surface of earth.

  40. a large breakthrough in supercondctivity by da5idnetlimit.com · · Score: 1

    1 / Create a pipeline to transport Hydrogen from your solar powered hydrogen farm

    2 / Make it hydrogen leaks proof, but extremly poorly isolated thermally speaking

    3 / coat your pipeline with a low temperature Superconductor, isolate electrically on both sides, cover with thermal protection, plug to Solar Farm electric outlet

    4 / Profits ?

    Damn, an actual workable business plan on /. !

    I'm doomed.

    --
    It takes 40+ muscles to frown, but only four to extend your arm and bitchslap the motherfucker
    1. Re:a large breakthrough in supercondctivity by rcastro0 · · Score: 1

      And what happens to liquid hidrogen continuously evaporating, as it absorbs heat from the surroundings, inside a sealed container/pipe with no leaks or escape valves ?

      --
      Quem a paca cara compra, paca cara pagará.
    2. Re:a large breakthrough in supercondctivity by da5idnetlimit.com · · Score: 1

      "1 / Create a pipeline to transport Hydrogen from your solar powered hydrogen farm"

      implying transport, as in pipeline, as in a hole at both end, a more or less compex valve system and hydrogen flowing from the production plant to the city/container/hydrogen distribution station.

      You know, a pipeline....

      "And what happens to liquid hidrogen continuously evaporating, as it absorbs heat from the surroundings, inside a sealed container/pipe with no leaks or escape valves ?"

      lets see ? I think the answer is "its pressure increases !". But then you would have to get a moronic engineer to create such a scheme...

      --
      It takes 40+ muscles to frown, but only four to extend your arm and bitchslap the motherfucker
  41. Bright Future by sam0vi · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I see a bright future for Middle East countries. If i were them i'd be investing now on solar cells before they run out of oil. Imagine the whole arabic peninsule covered by 40 or 50 percent eficient solar cells. I only wish i had a billian euros to invest

    --
    When my Karma level reaches 0 I feel in piece with the Universe
    1. Re:Bright Future by maxume · · Score: 1

      That only seems like a good idea. Once EclipseSat One is up, you are gonna want to be invested in Texas or Arizona, not the Middle East.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
  42. You see by Bastard+of+Subhumani · · Score: 1

    Oceans are deserts. Except they have their life underground, and a perfect disguise above.

    --
    Only three things are certain; death, taxes, and apocryphal quotations - Ben Franklin.
  43. 5 to 10 cents per kilowatt/hour by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wow, I pay them 10 cents once and my energy supply gets increased at a rate of 1 kW/h .... 1 year later I've got 8760 kW at my disposal - that's really cheap energy!

  44. Umm, except... by Khyber · · Score: 1

    ....a SHITLOAD of the Armerican Southwest (assuming United states 48 continental,) Is nothign but desert, where damn-near NOBODY resides. Minus the potential plant population density coming from the gaps from between the solar panels at current efficiencies, wildlife, etc, it'd be a far more managble resource than depending upon logistics, timely deliveries, maintenance costs, etc. Gotta think of it in the long run, even if "long" is as potentially short as a few days. We can survive a few days without our "necessities," how many other species on this planet can say that?

    --
    Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
  45. No big advance by holy_calamity · · Score: 1

    This is an incremental improvement. This image generated from a presentation by the National Renewable Energy Lab shows that efficiencies of 36% were achieved a couple of years ago. Cost and scale up are more important issues for solar technology.

  46. Good point "National Security" by kotku · · Score: 2, Informative

    A decentralized power generating system is good for national security. Imagine that every house had solar generating capacity. There could be a guaranteed minimum power capacity per house. Sure, the system would be degraded in the event of the base supply being knocked out but supply would be enough for critical services that people rely on, heating, cooking, water pumping etc. It may take a long while for the base supply to be re-integrated in the event of a coordinated strike/failure against public utilities.

    In Australia a few years ago there was a major disaster in the gas supply system that took a whole season to fix. The entire southern region was without gas for heating and cooking for weeks. Luckily the electricity system was still operational but a simultaneous failure would have resulted in a calamity.

    --
    The bikini - security through obscurity since 1943
    1. Re:Good point "National Security" by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Ouch. That must of have sucked. For many, I would assume that means no hot water for bathing, dishes or showers. And cooking would be very reduced.

      In the states depending on where you live, we have loads of electrical outages. They can last from a minute to weeks. Here in Denver, you lose the electrical when you most need it; following a snow or ice storm. I have thought about putting in a natural gas home generator for the house (~13KW). It would cover enough of it that it would be useful. But I suspect that within the next 3 years, that decent ultra capacitors will be sold for residential needs. I figure if I can get several days worth of power from it for the same price (3K), that It would be better. As to a gas break down, well, microwave ovens do go a long distance.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  47. I'll Bite by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Okay,

    So I live in South Florida. During a typical sunny day, could i expect to run my A/C if I had a roof of Solar Panels? Expected amp/wattage ranges please. I want to run my meter backwards :) ...and would I have to take them down for a hurricane (which I expect could be engineered to be workable, but $$$).

    ~1000 sq ft.

    1. Re:I'll Bite by pclminion · · Score: 1

      So I live in South Florida. During a typical sunny day, could i expect to run my A/C if I had a roof of Solar Panels?

      Assuming your roof is not microscopic, and you really do mean to COVER your roof with panels, then yes, you could run an air conditioner. Of course this is going to depend on your exact coverage, light levels, power requirements of the AC, etc.

      As a bonus, the energy absorbed by the panels to run your AC, is energy that no longer penetrates the roof of your house. So your house will be slightly cooler even without the AC, just because you are extracting some of the energy from the light striking your roof.

      HOWEVER, if you add up the costs of the installation of the solar electric system, you will find that you would get a far better return by using that money to improve the insulation and heat-efficiency of your home so that you place less demand on the AC in the first place.

  48. Perfect for Rush Limbaugh! by jpellino · · Score: 1

    Didn't he posit that the entire world population could fit in a Texas completely covered in housing?
    265 miles on a side is about a quarter of NM - perfect!
    Good luck with that.

    Stick'em on your building. We have one all-electric building with current tech that has a zero bill most months.

    --
    "Win treats sysadmins better than users. Mac treats users better than sysadmins. Linux treats everyone like sysadmins."
  49. Isn't silicon made of sand ? by Joebert · · Score: 0

    Isn't there some sort of way we could just lay some cables across some deserts and bake some big ass solar collectors with lazers orbiting the planet or somthing ?

    --
    Wanna fight ? Bend over, stick your head up your ass, and fight for air.
  50. Thermal is slow to start - but you can be prepared by dbIII · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Actually - that's not true at all. Coal fired plants using pulverized coal can do so

    It takes quite a few hours to build up steam from a cold start and it wears everything out quickly by thermal fatigue if you have a lot of restarts. What does happen is something called spinning reserve where coal is being burned and the turbines are spinning but the generators are not connected. The generators can be attached by a very large clutch and more pulverised coal can be fed in to bring things up quickly - I'm too out of touch to know how quickly now and worked in new plants of an old design. With hydro you just turn on the tap and things happen quickly - thermal needs time (which includes oil and nuclear too for people who forget that nuclear is stream power).

    Anyway - the troll way above was doing the "one true energy" thing which you only get from idiots or salesfolk. Just becuase photovoltaics are not a drop in replacement for every base load power source on earth does not make them useless. In remote areas they have proven themselves for decades.

  51. Desalination by Garrett+Fox · · Score: 1

    Nearly 70% of the world's capacity for desalination is currently in the Middle East (with 27% in Saudi Arabia), where water is scarce and oil to power the desal plants is plentiful. But even there, it makes up less than 1% of the total water supply! [Nachmani, Amikam. Water Jitters in the Middle East. Studies In Conflict & Terrorism, Vol. 20, No. 1 (Jan-March 1997). Page 85.] Unfortunately, that region also has severe waste from corruption, bad equipment, and mutually homicidal neighbors, though the inefficiency is lowest in Israel by far. [Nachmani, at 71]

    From studying water law and some related technology a little, it seems to me that massive expansion of desalination capacity is one of the best things any engineer could do for the world right now. There are lots of people suffering from lack of safe drinking water; agriculture is one of the biggest consumers of water, and is subsidized beyond an economically justified capacity for various reasons (in the US, nostalgia, food security, and disproportionate power of agricultural states); legal disputes over water and increasing demand for it are draining aquifers and literally causing rivers to not reach the sea.

    About the article itself: how close is this technology to really becoming available? I've heard of a type of "solar tape" that's low efficiency (something like 1%), but cheap and able to be layered onto/into building materials and gadgets. I want a cape made of this stuff!

    --
    Revive the Constitution.
    1. Re:Desalination by James+McP · · Score: 1

      Holy crap, no. Desalination should be avoided wherever possible. Usage control and freshwater management should be maxed to the hilt prior to desalination.

      Desalination is another way to say "salt generator." Do you know why the Romans would salt the lands of mortal enemies? So nothing would grow there. "But this is a desert" you say. Fine, don't care about a desert ecology, I can understand that, but that high salinity goes for the ocean, too. Most oceanic species cannot tolerate high salinity and it only takes one good SNAFU to result in a huge salt "spill" from the desalination product. See the Dead Sea for an example of a hypersaline environment with no macrobiological life.

      Engineers should focus on freshwater capture systems, promote the use of "gray water" reclamation systems for agricultural needs, improved water delivery devices (showerheads, water faucets, drinking fountains), implementing low-usage appliances & sanitary facilities, and mitigation of transportation losses.

      Desalination may be necessary but it should always be considered the last resort. Heck, I'd suggest emigration.

      --
      I've been on slashdot so long I'm starting to get out of touch with the cool stuff if it ain't on slashdot.
    2. Re:Desalination by Garrett+Fox · · Score: 1

      I agree that improving efficiency and recycling (especially for agriculture) is also important, but if we can do it efficiently, I still say desalination is a valuable tool. Unlike those other methods, it increases the actual supply of freshwater, and adds the advantage of "creating" this water at any coastal location, some of which are hard to reach efficiently with pipes from an existing river. Even the use of aquifers, when near a seacoast, can lead to contamination of groundwater supplies with salt, because the inland groundwater level falls and then saltwater seeps in from the coast. So, by providing an alternative water source, desalination helps avoid that problem of "salting the soil." Depending on how and where the water from desalination is used, it could even be added to rivers to increase their flow for some distance, for aesthetic and environmental benefit and use by multiple users.

      As for disposing of the salt, I don't have an easy answer, but (1) some amount can be sold, and (2) to the extent that the water makes it back into the sea, there's no net effect on the ocean even if there's salt poisoning in specific regions. There may be some convenient way of storing salt or converting the many extracted tons of it into something useful besides popcorn seasoning, or we might just find some way of dealing with it as a pollutant. It might be a lesser evil than destroying a river ecosystem or calling for mass emigration of a city.

      Another alternative to desalination is to gengineer plants for salt tolerance, so that we can irrigate them with seawater. Realistically that'd be hard even for a master gengineer, because where does the salt go? The best I can think of here is, "have the plants stuff all the salt into the parts of themselves that aren't eaten."

      I'm particularly interested in desalination technology in the context of ocean colonization, where there's "water, water everywhere, but not a drop to drink." There you have an interesting legal situation because instead of the land-based systems of "riparian" and "appropriation" rights, you're almost literally creating every drop of drinkable water there is. I wonder how compatible a desalination plant would be with nearby aquaculture, though. (OTEC power generation is at least compatible with "artificial upwelling," a fertilization system.)

      --
      Revive the Constitution.
    3. Re:Desalination by James+McP · · Score: 1

      Even the use of aquifers, when near a seacoast, can lead to contamination of groundwater supplies with salt, because the inland groundwater level falls and then saltwater seeps in from the coast. So, by providing an alternative water source, desalination helps avoid that problem of "salting the soil." Depending on how and where the water from desalination is used, it could even be added to rivers to increase their flow for some distance, for aesthetic and environmental benefit and use by multiple users.


      It is true that aquifer drawdown can result in saltwater contamination. However use of desalination plants only changes the location that the salt is brought in land. Instead of being near, say, Washington DC the salt pile would be at coastal Virginia.

      And the notion of creating freshwater via desalination and then pumping it uphill to bolster a river is somewhere between "inconceivible" and "irresponsible." A typical small river (thirty foot wide, running at a fairly sedate 2 feet/second aka 1.3mph) would require a 39MGD desalination & pumping system, which is a water supply for approximately 325,000 people at a typical~120 gallons/person/day. The energy needs would be, to say the least, significant.


      As for disposing of the salt, I don't have an easy answer, but (1) some amount can be sold, and (2) to the extent that the water makes it back into the sea, there's no net effect on the ocean even if there's salt poisoning in specific regions.


      That logic is what contributed to multiple ecological disasters of the past. Many "specific regions" of the ocean are connected by currents, massive water channels within the ocean. The Gulf Stream starts in the Gulf of Mexico and heads north along the eastern US, crosses the Atlantic, and arrives in Europe as the North Atlantic Drift. While the odds of a desalination plant altering the ocean as a whole (or even one of the Streams) is virtually negligible, the possibility that a spill could create a highly saline "slug" that moves like an oil-slick, killing off the weak and young fish and/or the krill/algae they feed upon, is not beyond comprehension. The impact of losing even a fraction of a year's north Atlantic fishing production is mind numbing.

      The volume of salt required would be pretty immense but I figure a hurricane/typhoon could easily create the kind of conditions required to return that much salt to the ocean. It wouldn't even require a Katrina; enough rain to flood the salt storage facility could do the trick.


      Another alternative to desalination is to gengineer plants for salt tolerance, so that we can irrigate them with seawater. Realistically that'd be hard even for a master gengineer, because where does the salt go? The best I can think of here is, "have the plants stuff all the salt into the parts of themselves that aren't eaten."


      That has merit but only for naturally occurring salt-marsh regions whose ecology can already deal with the salt-laden stems and remains. Otherwise you're going to get a couple dozen harvests and then be left with salted soil that exceeds your gengineered plants' tolerances.

      Before the situation becomes "desalinate or depopulate" the population should consider food importing. Cultivating crops is highly water intensive. Every acre dedicated to grain production requires 2.7MG of water/year, or equates to 61 people. Assuming you can capture the water, eliminating two square miles of agriculture will result in enough water for ~75,000 people. Importing food is not cheap but it may be cheaper than the desalination system and the environmental consequences.

      --
      I've been on slashdot so long I'm starting to get out of touch with the cool stuff if it ain't on slashdot.
  52. Hydrogen++ by brunes69 · · Score: 1

    Hydrogen conversion has its own inefficiency, so that's out.

    Err..... I don't think so!

    Of course Electricity -> Hydrogen is not 100% efficient. if it was it would violate the laws of thermodynamics! According to Wikipedia, the efficiency of electrolysis is around 40-50%. Assuming 50%, that means the overall efficiency of this solar panel system, when used to turn the energy into hydrogen for storage purposes, is 20%. That's MUCH MORE than 8%, so it's still a huge leap forward.

    And frankly, it doesn't even matter if it would be as low as 15% or 12%. Why? It's free clean energy, that energy would be 100% waste energy radiated off the surface of the earth if it was not harnessed by us. It is much better for the earth to use a 20% efficient energy chain that starts at the sun than an 80% efficient energy chain that starts with oil.

    Of course this assumes these panels can be made large-scale without using toxic compounds.

  53. PROGRESS WE BE SCREWED! by brunes69 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Yeah.

    And what about all the buggy whip makers!

    Who is thinking of THEM!

    1. Re:PROGRESS WE BE SCREWED! by somersault · · Score: 0

      I just don't see how it has to be a guarantee good thing - I doubt everyone will be able to afford to cover their house in solar panels without taking out a loan. They then have to survive however many years it takes to pay them back and start seeing the benefits of their extra $2000 a year, or whatever the average is over there. Solar cells will come down in price too, of course, and presumably get more efficient.. but is it really an improvement over the power grid? From an environmental point of view it could be (though making solar cells is apparently rather bad for the environment and uses a lot of energy in the first place - yes I know, so do computers, cars, blah blah), but as far as practicality goes, you have to keep them in good condition - vandals could easily damage your solar cells, and it would cost a lot more to replace that than a few cut cables. I doubt many people want to go around cutting live power cables anyhow. They'd also become less efficient over time and likely just need repair from general aging problems, and in the end you're probably losing more money than by using national power. It's like having a car - it's kinda cool to have it, and be in control, but in reality you're probably cheaper and healthier to use public transportation (personally I prefer to have the car rather than take buses).

      --
      which is totally what she said
    2. Re:PROGRESS WE BE SCREWED! by Silverstrike · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Solar cells will come down in price too, of course, and presumably get more efficient.

      Yea, if only they could manage that! We could have a spirited argument on Slashdot article about it!

      vandals could easily damage your solar cells

      Well, when they're making them more efficent (sometime in the future, obviously), they could also work on making them indestructible as well! Like my windows.

      They'd also become less efficient over time and likely just need repair from general aging problems, and in the end you're probably losing more money than by using national power.

      Yes! Obviously they'll go bad, because everything has a short lifespan....ya know, like my house's foundation. It's only got 6 months left!


      Ok, ok, enough of that. Seriously though. Did you read the SUMMARY? Did it even occur that maybe you should look up the lifespan of a solar panel before MAKING UP statistics? (40+ years, according to a cursory Google Search for "solar panel lifespan"


      Please stop, its just painful.

    3. Re:PROGRESS WE BE SCREWED! by somersault · · Score: 1

      Oh no, my plan is foiled, I didn't read the article. I must be the only one here. When I said more efficient I meant *more* than currently. I'd rather not have to cover the whole of my land in solar cells to be able to use my lights at night. And I have no problem with paying for my electricity if the prices stay as cheap as they are. I feel no need to collect rainwater for drinking and bathing, or to tow my septic tank to the dump every few months. I'm not saying it's not cool, but it's stupid as far as, for example, people in a high-rise apartment block are concerned. It's all fine and well for people in the middle of nowhere with plenty of room to spare.

      --
      which is totally what she said
    4. Re:PROGRESS WE BE SCREWED! by AGMW · · Score: 1
      ... it's stupid as far as, for example, people in a high-rise apartment block are concerned.

      Living in a high rise apartment block (AKA a block of flats over here in the UK) they are presumably paying some service charge to run the building. Why not put some solar cells, maybe a windmill, on the roof and have it generate electricity to put back in the grid and hence earn some money towards the service charge?
      Maybe use that money to help install broadband for all the apartments and offset the cost? There's always something that can usefully be done.

      --
      Eclectic beats from Leeds, UK
      handmadehands.co.uk
    5. Re:PROGRESS WE BE SCREWED! by drinkypoo · · Score: 1
      I'm not saying it's not cool, but it's stupid as far as, for example, people in a high-rise apartment block are concerned.

      Actually, they have transparent solar panels with something like 20% efficiency that can be embedded in windows. They're meant specifically for use in situations like high rises. In the northern hemisphere, making all the exposed southern-facing windows power generators can produce quite a bit of power.

      Further, if the cost does not increase significantly, but we get about three times the efficiency, then solar should come within reach of more people. If you use a grid-tied system you don't even need batteries, you just sell your power back to the grid, so you need much less equipment (and you have less equipment to replace - batteries still have pretty poor lifespans.)

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    6. Re:PROGRESS WE BE SCREWED! by somersault · · Score: 1

      I live in the UK too, just said apartment for the sake of American's. I doubt they use the term 'high-rise' tbh :p Just pointing out that you're obviously going to get a lot less power per person in a building like that, and that a national grid type service will probably always have a use.

      --
      which is totally what she said
    7. Re:PROGRESS WE BE SCREWED! by Paradise+Pete · · Score: 1
      And what about all the buggy whip makers!

      Just wait until Whip Maker 2.0 comes out.

    8. Re:PROGRESS WE BE SCREWED! by operagost · · Score: 1

      tow my septic tank to the dump every few months
      I know! That's a real pain. That, and towing my well to the city to refill it with water every week!
      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    9. Re:PROGRESS WE BE SCREWED! by abradsn · · Score: 1

      Not many solar panels have really gone that long. A more reasonable estimate (given a bit more research) points to %80 efficiency through 20 years of age. About 20 years is the break even point given current energy costs, by the way. Those cells will probably not last much more than 5 more years past 20 (given the typically steep degradation of components after that) ...

      Mostly, some relaxation might help. I know that it is hard to maintain a consistent tone in written communication. So, we'll give you the benefit of the doubt, and hope that you were just trying to be sincere.

    10. Re:PROGRESS WE BE SCREWED! by redcane · · Score: 1

      Most solar panels are rated to take a 25mm hailstone traveling at terminal velocity. It would be hard to vandalise that. Plus the fact it's on your roof (generally harder to get to).... They'll smash your windows before bothering to vandalise your solar panels.

    11. Re:PROGRESS WE BE SCREWED! by AGMW · · Score: 1
      True. But if it's a tall building it is going to piss fewer people off to have (ugly) solar panels or even a windmill, and with more people to chip in with the initial costs it perhaps makes it more affordable for the community.

      --
      Eclectic beats from Leeds, UK
      handmadehands.co.uk
    12. Re:PROGRESS WE BE SCREWED! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      for the sake of American's

      "Americans" (unless the British apostrophize (Br.: apostrophise) their plurals, which I doubt).

    13. Re:PROGRESS WE BE SCREWED! by somersault · · Score: 1

      yeah you're right, fingers thinking for themselves again. Though it is for the Americans' sake.

      --
      which is totally what she said
  54. ehm 40% ?? by PermanentMarker · · Score: 1

    I've read the article, and did i read it was achieved trough optics ??
    In that case i wonder if it realy counts for 40%

    I stil wonder if this is the way to go for large scale on earth.
    I mean take a desert take a bunch of cheap mirrors to power a solar driven steam engine
    mirrors are verry cheap you know..

    --
    I know you're out there. I can feel you now. I know that you're afraid. You're afraid of us. You're afraid of change.
  55. The Worlds Energy Needs by iviagnus · · Score: 1

    Screw the world. Let's worry about our own country first. I'm tired of our country, whether that be its government or its people, pouring money and resources into problems other countries have, when the same issues here in the United States get all but ignored. The saying still applies: "Charity starts at home."

    1. Re:The Worlds Energy Needs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Screw the world. Let's worry about our own country first.
      Damn right! Erm, we are both talking about Lichtenstein, right?
  56. Not in my back yard! by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1

    I dont want any dark navy blue colored circles painted in my backyard. ;-)

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
  57. oil _is_ a renewable source by nietsch · · Score: 1

    remember that item on /. a few months back about turning turkey offal into oil (Total conversion proces, or other TLA crap).
    Basically, if you heat organic matter under an immense pressure, you'll get producs that are very much like raw oil. I think, that when the oil prices rise enough, and the debilitating patents on this tech have been abolished, we'll get mobile oil crackers/refineries, that take in an organic waste source, and convert it on the site to usefull fuel a and fertiliser.

    Right now there is a very rich concentration of carbon in our waste streams, maybe even bigger that oil coming out of the ground. If we could convert that into oil we'd have a lot of problems solved: no CO2 burden as it comes from plants not oil deposits, no need for totally new technology (combustion engines may not be the most efficient, but its what we've got now). And lastly, and country with its own carbon rich wastestreams would be a potential oil producer, so no opec jacking up the prices.

    --
    This space is intentionally staring blankly at you
    1. Re:oil _is_ a renewable source by jackbird · · Score: 1

      Bear in mind that the plants are grown with petroleum-based fertilizers and pesticides, petroleum-powered vehicles transport the waste to the oil cracker, the heat and immense pressure have to come from somewhere. It's rather inefficient, and a stretch to say that the technology by itself would solve problems.

    2. Re:oil _is_ a renewable source by nietsch · · Score: 1

      Nonesense, it is waste already, not plants grown for this purpose. Did you notice that all of the input nutrients that go into the process, also come out of it. Part of that is fertiliser.
      The process does not need huge amounts of heat, the target temperature is about 280-310C. The trick is in the pressure, that was in the MegaPascal range IIRC.

      You are regurgitating a poor argument that had originally been targetted at ethanol production. Brazil had already invalidated that argument before it was even made: it economically viable to run your cars on ethanol. But that is another route that does not turn waste into fuel.

      --
      This space is intentionally staring blankly at you
    3. Re:oil _is_ a renewable source by DrLang21 · · Score: 1

      I think the point here is that this alone will not create a whole solution. It is efficient only on certain levels, but could certainly not supply the whole of our energy needs. Nor is it likely to be profitable enough on its own to attract efficient business. However, it certainly could make a very viable slice in the pie of the solution.

      --
      I see the glass as full with a FoS of 2.
    4. Re:oil _is_ a renewable source by Eivind · · Score: 1
      Yeah sure. Plant-derived oil is a renewable resource. Precisely like plant-derived alcohol.

      I was talking about the kind of oil that is there, free for the taking, just pump it out of the ground. (I know it's not really free, but it's incredibly cheap -- current production-costs in Norway for example are about 10% of the selling-price of oil, it's pretty close to pumping money out of the ground)

  58. Here's An Idea... by LEX+LETHAL · · Score: 1

    It's easy. All we have to do is research Solar Energy Level 4 and then we can unlock a new technology tree and then...

  59. Square miles? by j_sp_r · · Score: 1

    I was hoping (Geeky) people started using SI units soon... Not something that has 5280 feet in a mile... Not easy to calculate with really. But in a really useful system it's 686 km^2.

    1. Re:Square miles? by geekoid · · Score: 1

      I have no problem doing the math.

      Metric is for the lazy.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    2. Re:Square miles? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Keep hoping, it's not going to happen.

    3. Re:Square miles? by j_sp_r · · Score: 1

      And it avoids mistakes.

  60. No streaks? by maximthemagnificent · · Score: 3, Funny

    >> At 40% efficiency, it looks like a square 265 miles on a side in the American southwest would do it.

    Buy windex stock now, that's all I'm saying.

  61. And how much gallium arsenide would you need? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Link to Boeing implies that the cells are GaAs-based. On the figures given above (ie a square solar cell 265 miles on edge) and assuming the following:

    GaAs thickness on cell = 100 microns
    Density of GaAs=5.32 tons per m3
    %Ga in GaAs=48%

    a quick back of the envelope calculation indicates that you might need

    46445387.5 tons of gallium to generate all the world's power

    USGA figures give world 1996 production as 70 tons, and suggest world reserves of 1 million tons at grades of 50ppm in bauxite, although Ga in zinc deposits may also be potentially useful. However, this looks some way short of the 46 million tons required.

    Gallium is actually pretty common - average crustal rock has 19ppm Ga, much more than so called "common elements" like lead or copper. Unfortunately we never get large rich deposits of it concentrated in one place, so extraction cost, in terms of money and energy is too big.

    Back to the drawing board (at least for global energy supplies..)

    Of course, there might be a mistake in my sums...

    A.Geologist

  62. Has anyone patented "transportable energy" by iamcadaver · · Score: 1

    All that is left is the invention of the Energon Cube.

    I feel like these advancements towards decentralized energy production are the most significant step forward for human advancement since the steam boiler.

    --
    Before I part with'em: two pennies weigh ~4.996+/-0.014g, have a zinc core, and the face of Lincoln. You can keep 'em.
    1. Re:Has anyone patented "transportable energy" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Everything is being done wirelessly nowadays so the obvious answer is that we should transport the energy wirelessly.

      Maybe someone can find a way to transport the energy from the sun through the air! That would be SO cool! :)

  63. Math by KurtisKiesel · · Score: 1

    265sqm.. / 350 million people (Just the US population + generouse allowance) = .75 Square miles per million people or more exact (0.75714285714285714285714285714286 sq.m. per million) 1 sq. mile * 5280 foot per mile = 27878400 sq feet. 27878400 * 265 = 7,387,776,000 sq feet of solar pannel needed../350 million = 21.10793142857.. or lets say 22 feet. Sounds like my 2200sq foot house if I were to cover it with say a 10x10 100sq foot solar panel it would power my house and then a whole lot more for my family of 2. /that was a little scatterbrained... but get what I am saying. /yeah right 40% efficiancy would be that much power.

    1. Re:Math by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As a rough estimate that is 10 square metres.

      Solar irradience at ground level in North America is around typically between 125 and 375 W per square metre.
      At 40% efficiency that translates to peak power (with a 10 square metre collector) of around 0.5 to 1.5 kW

      In terms of energy collected over a day (on average) it works out to around 12 to 36 kWh.

      The average US home electricity consumption (based on a family of 4) is about 30 kWh per day. A good portion
      of this is often for air conditioning or heating and higher levels of insulation can reduce this requirement.

      So 10 square metres of panels, given that peak production might not match peak consumption, is not likely
      to allow you to go off grid it helps.

  64. batteries by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There's more to solar power than just the panels, of course, a good lead-acid battery can last a while as long as it isn't abused.

    1. Re:batteries by teknosapien · · Score: 1

      Why Batteries why not hi efficiency Capacitors ?

      --
      no matter how good it is, it is human nature always wants to make things better
  65. Grandpa was a Buggy Whip Salesmen by maggard · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Actually, my Grandfather was a buggy whip salesmen.

    After returning from The Great War, WWI, he was disabled (indeed he'd been declared dead & in the morgue at one point - mustard gas.) The job he could get was selling buggy whips, and his territory was the US Midwest & Canada. He was away from home for long stretches of time, and as you can imagine had some pretty amazing tales to tell of traveling to remote ccommunities back when travel was HARD.

    However he saw the car taking over and once he'd saved up enough money he did the smart thing: Opened a service station.

    Later it went bust in the Great Depression. He then started again, in putting in power lines, then power plants, and eventually became VP of a a large construction firm and responsible for many of the major structures still standing in Kansas City including the Liberty Memorial, Nelson Gallery, and the Starlight Theatre.

    The point is, he really was in the buggy whip business and when the new technologies came in he adapted and took advantage of them. Then when the bust came he reinvented himself again and took his skills and when into an entirely new career. Not a new high-tech story, rather from a fella raised in a sod hut in the Oklahoma Territory where buffalo were a constant threat.

    --
    I don't read ACs: If a post isn't worth so much as a nom de plume to its author then I wont bother either.
    1. Re:Grandpa was a Buggy Whip Salesmen by anvilmark · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Thank you for so graphically describing how a small % of people can come to own the vast majority of the world's wealth, the subject of another discussion.
      Circumstance dealt him a series of "losing" hands, but he didn't bitch and moan and expect someone else to "make it right". He worked, very hard I'm betting, and became wealthy.

      Based on what's I've read in that other discussion, he must have been a very wicked and greedy man.

      I salute him.

    2. Re:Grandpa was a Buggy Whip Salesmen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ah, so your dad was in the Mafia? ;)

      Rumor is the mafia owned the Kansas City concrete biz, and that's why so many buildings from that time period were clad in and built from concrete instead of limestone ( for the cladding anyways ). Insert jokes about bodies buried in the walls. All sorts of govt kicbacks and bribes

      I Kid!

      Well, somewhat. My grandma has a few tales of bumping into mafisos at a italian joint back then too.

    3. Re:Grandpa was a Buggy Whip Salesmen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Aha! So what you are saying is that if there were buggy whips distributed at every service station, attached to vast underground flywheels, and customers pulled them as they left the service station, that that would be the power plant of the future?

      Brilliant! You're a real knock off the old block!

  66. Not square miles, get your math straight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    686 km would be a square of ~26 by 26 km. You mean (686 km) = 470,596 km.

  67. At 40%, can you keep an electric car charged? by BrainBarker · · Score: 1

    I read recently about the push for what they're calling plug-in hybrids. Just a standard hybrid with beefed up battery capacity, and a plug for charging off the grid when it's parked. For short trips, the gasoline/diesel engine never has to run at all.

    Obviously you're not going to be able to drive on solar power, even at 40% conversion efficiency (or at 100%, I'd assume), but perhaps with panels on the car, sitting in the lot at work for 8 hours would give you enough to get home. You now have a zero-emission vehicle for your daily commute, one without the shortcomings current electric cars suffer from (limited range, slow refueling).

    - Brain.

    --
    "Dance like it hurts. Love like you need money. Work when people are watching." - Dogbert.
  68. Military use? by Lost+Penguin · · Score: 1

    Next we combine it with the microwave pain ray for a method of turning sunlight into crowd control.

    --
    I am the unwilling control for my Origin.
  69. Call me cynical... by Shipwack · · Score: 1

    But am I the only one that thinks this will never be allowed to see the light of day? Commercially, at least.

    No pun intended...

    1. Re:Call me cynical... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've got an idea of how to make people's life more heavy yet generating more power and it makes better economy. First, contact Fitness equipment manufacturers to redesign all equipments that can generate power and store them into a 12V Mobile battery or a mixed cell battery that can output for a house's normal use, how big? I don't know but it's their design, not me. Then promote these equipments to home builder and let home buyers have a choice to choose one of the equipments and the price is included in the house(apartment is even better). Then educate home owners how to use them to get better health and power saving on their bills, I am sure this will work out but it all depends on fitness equipment manufacturers.

  70. Hello terrorist target by yetanothertechie · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Good points in parent post. Here's another...

    Of course you'd never want to put all of the collectors in one place...a few well placed munitions or a nuke from some rogue regime and there goes our power. Pretty effective way to incapacitate the nation, or throw the world into chaos if the power was being supplied throughout the world. Ever heard of offsite backup? Same principle. The collectors would have to be spread out in case of attack or natural disaster.

    --
    Facts are stubborn things.
  71. If new home construction required solar panels... by bodland · · Score: 1

    We would be generating an amazing amount of electricity in a few years. Solar Panels even if 10% efficient are still valuable even in northern areas....

    But the McMansion new home builders would rather give you vaulted three story ceilings and giant windows, rather than a few solar panels...

  72. Wait what kind of septic tank do you have? by Grendel+Drago · · Score: 1

    What are you doing with your septic tank that requires you to haul it to the dump? Aren't you supposed to just use a leaching field?

    --
    Laws do not persuade just because they threaten. --Seneca
    1. Re:Wait what kind of septic tank do you have? by somersault · · Score: 1

      I don't know, I don't have a septic tank ;) my mum had one in her last house but I have never looked into DIY methods of draining it.

      --
      which is totally what she said
    2. Re:Wait what kind of septic tank do you have? by JacobO · · Score: 1
      I don't know, I don't have a septic tank ;) my mum had one in her last house but I have never looked into DIY methods of draining it.


      I couldn't drain my own septic tank even if I wanted to. Getting someone else to suck it out, however, is very inexpensive. Definitely less expensive than digging it out of the ground and hauling it 50 miles to the dump, there being charged for dumping it by weight (and that shit ain't light.)
  73. And who dusts it? by briancnorton · · Score: 1

    I don't know if you've ever been to the American Southwest, but it's not exactly sunny every day. At times there is considerable atmospheric dust, sandstorms, rain, etc. So who exactly has the job of dusting 70,000 sq-miles of solar panels, and what do we do when it rains? I know these aren't serious plans, but solar power at BEST is a supplemental source to *reduce* conventional power. Not only that, but consider the environmental impacts. You're looking at reducing net insolation by 40% on 1.2% of the world's land, not to mention destroying the local ecosystem. All that and power demand is expected to double every 20 years or so. Every solution is just another problem.

    --

    People who think they know everything really piss off those of us that actually do.

  74. Is that you? by everphilski · · Score: 1

    Ahmadinejad? Is that you?

    1. Re:Is that you? by Threni · · Score: 1

      > Ahmadinejad? Is that you?

      No. I'm much more snappily dressed, and I don't look like a fucking monkey in a suit.

  75. Practicality VS. the Real Issues by a4r6 · · Score: 1

    1) A 100% solar earth IS unlikely, but if 50% of it can be solar without long distance transport issues or terrible efficiency, why aren't we striving for that?!

    2) Storing that much juice over night may be somewhat impractical for now, but supercapacitors, flywheel energy storage, and improvements in battery technology or chemical energy storage are all working to make it practical. Even converting excess energy to hydrogen, as inefficient and space-consuming (IOW, COSTLY, boo hoo) as it may be, works, and automatically makes solar production worth-while, for it's other merits. A huge amount of man power is used coming up with new ways to consume the energy we have, I think it's ridiculous that we aren't working harder on keeping a sustainable source and climate to consume it in. The Free Market along with our political community is just too stupid to have any foresight.

    3) A solar infrastructure is not mutually exclusive to our existing infrastructure. Redundancy is a no brainer.

  76. Wait, I can handle this. by Grendel+Drago · · Score: 2, Funny

    Employee: Four pounds of grease ... that comes to ... sixty-three cents.
    Homer: Woo-hoo!
    Bart: Dad, all that bacon cost twenty-seven dollars.
    Homer: Yeah, but your mom paid for that!
    Bart: But doesn't she get her money from you?
    Homer: And I get my money from grease! What's the problem?

    --
    Laws do not persuade just because they threaten. --Seneca
  77. Weather, TOC, etc.. by uncledrax · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I pretty much just picked a comment here at semi-random to talk about.

    Keep in mind a few things when people are talking about 'solar paneling a roof'..

    - Here where I live, we have a ton of pine trees.. they dump a ton of pine needles on my roof. I'd say at peak, almost .25-.3 of my roof can be obscured. That == instant cut of service.. obviouslly, i'd have to clean my roof more often.. are solar cells safe to walk on and do they stand up to abrasive brooms without degrading the surface quality?
    Obviously the same would apply to Snow until it melts off (which takes how many hours during the day, of which you're getting far from peak efficiency from your panels with?
    When it hits the rainy season, you have similar issues since your typical week is overcast?

    - Reflecting the suns heat is desirable in the warm months, but not in the cold months. Currently I count on the sun during the day to help heat my house in the winter. If I panel my house with the same goal of attempting to collect/reflect all that sunlight during the summar to save/run my AC, I also have to run my heater more often because my house doesn't warm up?

    - what the TOC on solar panels anyhow? I fully realize that the cost of replacement will go down as demand and technology increase.
    I can get 10+ years from my current roof.. how often do solar panels need replacing? keep in mind they will be getting hit by (branchs | snow | heavy rain | leaves/pine needles | occasional base balls | people walking on them to clean them | cleaning chemicals | other forms of harsh weather such as hail and/or debris in hurricanes, etc..). Someone throw me some real-world numbers here?

    I'm not trying to be a neigh-sayer, just trying to keep people aware of the every-day issues associated with such things.. i'm far from an expert on solar paneling, but these are some things that 'average joe' will want to know. And lets face it.. if you want it to get wide-spread adaptation, you gotta get the 'average-joe' vote.

    --
    ----- The internet has given everyone the ability to have their voice heard equally as loud.. even if they shouldn't be
    1. Re:Weather, TOC, etc.. by abramsh · · Score: 1

      Solar panels typically come with 30 or 40 year warranties, and are tested against golf ball size hail and hurricane winds. However, the inverter you'd use to convert the DC to AC will need to be replaced every 5 or 10 years.

    2. Re:Weather, TOC, etc.. by hyc · · Score: 1

      The corollary is that we should start transitioning to more DC appliances. LED lighting is pretty efficient, but inconvenient right now because you need an AC to DC downconverter...

      --
      -- *My* journal is more interesting than *yours*...
    3. Re:Weather, TOC, etc.. by Eivind · · Score: 1
      Solar ain't the rigth solution *everywhere*. But it may be the rigth solution *somewhere*.

      If you're in an area with lots of snow and lots of pine-needles falling on the roof, odds are your particular roof wouldn't be a good choice.

      To answer your other questions:

      Some solar-cells can take walking, but the cheapest ones can't. So you'd probably need to install them in "fields" small enough that they can be cleaned with a broom while standing "beside" them, which rules out covering *all* of your roof with them. This may change as technology improves. Today the most common choice is to mount them *on* the roof, with normal roofing underneath. There are solutions where they replace the normal roofing, but at the moment those still cost more than the normal-roofing+solar-cells solution.

      Normal life-time for solar-cells is in the range of 20-30 years, which I think is in line with most other common types of roogfing.

      Solar-cells can be cleaned with a water-hose and a broom without getting damaged. It tends to be easier to do it simply with one of them high-pressure water-thingies though.

      There's 1 basic reason why this ain't happening on a large scale:

      Presently the cost (including installation) of solar-cells-on-roof is *higher* than that of buying power from the grid. So it's a net money-loss to do it.

      This can change if solar-cells gets cheaper (they certainly will) if power off the grid gets more expensive (also not unlikely), or if there's subsidies or tax-breaks from the government. (it's beens suggested solar-cells and installation should be VAT-free for example)

  78. Not a bad idea by plopez · · Score: 1

    The US is the largest single user of energy on the planet, approx. 40% of the oil and 23% of the coal and gas from the numbers I found, it makes sense to start here.

    The savings in no longer propping up corrupt 3rd world and middle eastern governments and in huge oil and gas subsidies could make a program like this pay for itself. It would free up military resources for the war on terror while reducing our intervention into volatile regions in the world. A win-win.

    Of course on the down side, it would hurt Venezuela. Something for the Venezuala haters to consider.

    --
    putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
  79. Free Power Lunch Time is over.... by bodland · · Score: 1

    Get over it. It is coming....soon every sq foot of new space created will require a proportionate amount square footage of solar panels "somewhere". If not on the roof then it will be someone else's existing roof.

    If someone is building a high rise or apartment, office building they will figure out how to fulfill as much of that as possible...if they can't then they pay into a fund that retrofits existing LOW INCOME inner city roof tops with panels and storage equipment. Basically it will become a requirement. And we will be generating electricity from countless millions of solar panels all across this country in 50 years.

    Energy solutions in the future will require a broad range of technologies and Solar panels on every available roof top is one of them. Think of our rooftops....like a vast untapped oil field waiting to be drilled....there is huge money to be made for sure that will drive help drive the economy for decades, And help reduce our fossil fuel consumption and green house gas production.

    1. Re:Free Power Lunch Time is over.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Or we can use a few nuclear plants to supply the base demand. Cuts down on storage costs especially since moving electricity hundreds of kilometers is less lossy than storing power.

  80. Desert reclamation by Bit_Squeezer · · Score: 1

    Would not a field of panels cause condensation. Addding the possibility of greenhouse gas reduction from additional biota? As well as a cool place to hunt BEM's?

  81. Math, precision and accuracy by Rob+the+Bold · · Score: 1
    265sqm.. / 350 million people (Just the US population + generouse allowance) = .75 Square miles per million people or more exact

    The actual summary quote was:

    it looks like a square 265 miles on a side in the American southwest would do it.

    That's about 70200 square miles. So it's more like .0002 sq miles per person or 6000 sqft.

    (0.75714285714285714285714285714286 sq.m. per million)

    I'm impressed you got this precision -- down to 1x10^-24 square inch -- too bad about the accuracy. ;)

    But anyway, 6000 sqft per person seems much more reasonable, doesn't it? If I could cover my whole yard with these, and maybe angle them toward the sun, I'd be in business. And that's about .06 hectares, for SI the conversion impaired.

    --
    I am not a crackpot.
  82. That's irrelevant. by Grendel+Drago · · Score: 1

    As to hate directed toward the nation as opposed to its leadership... when the guy actually won an election outright, despite having demonstrated how dangerous he was, I think that may have, in the eyes of many, made the nation as a whole responsible for him. Anyone else remember Get Your War On for 11/8/04?

    As for your second paragraph... First, disapproval of the current administration's policies doesn't imply a huge hard-on for the Taliban. One can think that starting a bloody civil war halfway around the world was a bad idea on its own merits (not to mention the blood and treasure we spent and are spending on it) without thinking the dictator in charge was a nice guy. And secondly, I'm not going to believe flim-flam about "but think of how they treat women and gays" for two reasons. (1) The people doing the invading aren't particularly hot on women and gays here; I'm not buying that they've suddenly had their collective consciousness raised. (2) If this had anything to do with actual human rights, we wouldn't be sucking up to Uzbekistan and Pakistan because they roll over when the US asks them to, because they're dictatorships. (Not to mention that if we were really friends of liberty, we wouldn't be trying to overthrow democratically-elected leaders in Latin America like it's 1973 all over again.)

    It's a false dichotomy to imply that critics of US policy are insufficiently critical of Iran or North Korea. It's morally bankrupt, and it's a cheap attempt to wriggle out of accountability for the gross incompetence and compulsive lying that the administration has shown, by claiming that so long as we're not as bad as authoritarian dictatorship x, the citizens have nothing to complain about. (For extra points, try using "Clinton was worse!" as a defense as well.)

    --
    Laws do not persuade just because they threaten. --Seneca
    1. Re:That's irrelevant. by EzInKy · · Score: 1

      WTF man, I'm on your side. All I'm saying is that although there are many reasons to hate some of the things that the US has done their are nations who deserve to be hated more. As for the "Clinton was worse" thing, why in the hell would I use that when it is plain that he was a much better President than the current idiot in charge. If nothing else he at least made it be known that even the Commander-In-Chief can use a decent blowjob every once in a while.

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
  83. Making a lot of assumptions... by Grendel+Drago · · Score: 1

    According to the DOE, 2001 energy use was 13,290 billion kWh. Average cost of residential electricity was roughly ten cents per kWh. So the world electric bill was $1.329 trillion, making a lot of assumptions.

    --
    Laws do not persuade just because they threaten. --Seneca
  84. Waiting for 41% by Nom+du+Keyboard · · Score: 1

    Now I'm waiting for 41% efficiency. Then there'll be another Slashdot headline.

    --
    "It's the height of ridiculousness to say for those 9 lines you get hundreds of millions."
    1. Re:Waiting for 41% by Brian+Stretch · · Score: 1

      I think 42% will be more meaningful.

  85. DOE-funded? by Phoenix666 · · Score: 1

    I have a different question: if this solar cell was developed with funding from the Department of Energy, does that mean that the technology will be open and available to all to implement? Or is this another one of those schemes where the public pays Company X through the nose to develop a technology, and then pays through the nose to license its own technology back from Company X (Boeing, in this case)?

    --
    Do what you can, with what you have, where you are.
  86. No, dummy! by Trails · · Score: 2, Funny

    The solution is easy! We use cold fusion to buffer. Since there's no steam circuit to heat up, we can have it going very quickly.

    And to those who complai about the weather, once we build the space elevator, we can put solar collector in orbit and beam power down to earth!

    With all that power, we can finaly build robots to clean our homes, cook our food, even "companion" models!

    Cold fusion, solar energy, space elevators, and robo wives! I think I just messed my mylar pants!

    1. Re:No, dummy! by msouth · · Score: 1

      Sorry to hear that, dude, but please thank your pants for taking one for the team.

      --
      Liberty uber alles.
  87. THE SKY IS FALLING! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Please do not get me started on Tidal Power plants!

    They derive energy from the Earth-Moon gravitational system.

    This system varies it's energy like a vibrating guitar string.

    If you put you finger on it, (extract energy) the vibrating stops.

    The lowset state of energy in the Earth-Moon gravitational system is
    where the centers of mass of both the Earth and the Moon coincide.

    Think about it.

  88. Raw efficiency doesn't matter by elrous0 · · Score: 1
    The REAL question is "Does this equipment produce enough electricity to offset the resources consumed by its manufacture and maintenance?" It doesn't matter HOW efficient a solar collector is if it eats up a huge amount of resources in its manufacture and maintenance. A 8% efficent solar cell that is cheap and easy to manufacture and maintain is MUCH better than a 40% efficient solar cell that costs hundreds of thousands of $ to produce and maintain.

    -Eric

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
  89. Solar Roofing Tiles? by 9Nails · · Score: 1

    How long before these Solar Cell's be made into roof tiles that snap together?

    Really, roof tiles need to be replaced every 15 - 50 years depending on type or quality. Previous solar cells had a life of, what 25 years? Why not apply this solar material to roof tiles for the collection of energy? You could also run water through it to store hot water for the summer time. The USA has a lot of desert areas that could take advantage from such a product. And in the summer time where A/C energy reaches usage peaks, this would help tremendously.

  90. We call them dairy farms by Jasper__unique_dammi · · Score: 1

    Cows and grass do that, the cows grow from the grass, so its nearly free, however it isnt very efficient, and how do you get the methane? You do get milk and meat though.

  91. Initial capital outlay is a serious consideration by dmatos · · Score: 1

    Consider that re-roofing a house with asphalt shingles costs between five and ten thousand dollars. Re-roofing with solar cells would be orders of magnitude higher than that. Yes, you will eventually make your money back, over three years, or five years, or ten years, BUT, you must have available the initial capital costs to make the investment in the first place.

    Do you have ten grand sitting in the bank right now? That's ten grand that you didn't have earmarked for other uses, like buying a car, emergency repairs, emergency medical care, vacation funds, etc. If you do, then you can re-roof your house. Do you have more than that? Maybe you can consider putting in solar cells. How many people in this world do you think have the money to make that investment, rather than just barely making enough to pay the bills?

    The OP is correct. If the capital cost of installing the solar roof is beyond the reach of normal consumers, it does not matter that they will eventually make their money back. They don't have the cash to make the investment in the first place. If, however, the initial capital cost comes down to something nearer the cost of traditional roofing materials, then you will get people who start to consider it as a viable alternative when their shingles wear out.

    Also, electricity costs about 25c/kWh here, once you count in all the distribution charges, etc. Hearsay from another poster says that an 80W panel runs an average of about 5% efficiency over any given year, when you count cloud, winter, haze, and night (in England). To make back that $3/W (or effectively, $3/0.05W), you'd need to generate 12kWh, which would take 240,000 hours, or 10,000 days, or just over 27 years. Not what I'd call a reasonable amount of time.

    --

    It may look like I'm doing nothing, but I'm actively waiting for my problems to go away.
    --Scott Adams
  92. While We're All Waiting..... by Timtimes · · Score: 1

    I'm a great believer in solar and other renewable sources. I wonder how much of that desert we could already have covered (or roofs, etc.) with the amount of money we spent in Iraq? Even at the more modest off-the-shelf percentages of the current collectors? There's a math problem for one of you fellow geeks. While you're doing that, don't forget that WIND power IS ALREADY ECONOMICALLLY VIABLE (I saw a story this week where the producers of said technology were running at FULL PRODUCTION having trouble KEEPING UP WITH DEMAND. How accessible is this wind tech? As an example I will point out Hancock County near Britt IOWA (http://www.hoopercorp.com/uploads/media/hancock_w ind_farm.pdf) We keep pissing money right and left into every 'futuristic' technology while overlooking the obvious. My dad's farm overlooks the windmills in those pictures. Until the REA came in, his dad ran the farm off the windmill using generators and a thirty volt DC system (they had a thirty volt vacuum cleaner). My dad is extremely energy conscious...freakishly so, but I can't convince him to install an upgraded wind turbine to his EXISTING TOWER because he's such a miser he figures he'll be dead before he can recoup the initial investment. On a strictly actuarial basis, he's probably correct.. As far as our larger society goes, I wish the government would quit blowing SMOKE up our asses and start actually doing what CAN ALREADY BE DONE. Enjoy.

    --
    This ain't no upwardly mobile freeway This is the road to hell
  93. Open Source the Technology by DigitalRaptor · · Score: 1

    I hereby invite Boeing-Spectrolab to open source this technology and give it to the world.

    This would easily have the single greatest positive impact on humanity within my lifetime (born in 1973).

    That would remind me a little of the movie "The Saint" and how giving away free energy would change the world.

    That should even earn the decision-maker Person of the Year award. And really tick off the investors. But, the needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few.

    --
    Lose Weight and Feel Great with Isagenix
  94. SuperGrid by Xerxes1729 · · Score: 1

    Check out the proposed SuperGrid - superconducting cables cooled by liquid hydrogen, which doubles as an energy storage medium.

  95. Ecological concerns by milimetric · · Score: 1

    The ecological system would be affected by this. If the sun's energy is being converted to electricity it can't do its usual job of heating the planet. Then again, the electricity being used up often involves generation of heat. I wonder if either of these transfers are significant enough to cause a problem for our pretty blue planet.

  96. But is it cheaper per watt? by Animats · · Score: 1

    It's nice to get from 36% to 41%, but this sounds like an expensive technology to manufacture. It's a multilayer IC, with layers for different light wavelengths.

    It's described as a "concentrator cell", which usually means "it's so expensive that you have to use mirrors to focus light onto the thing." The previous 36% efficient gallium arsenide cells were also described as "concentrator cells", but in fact, they're just expensive. When installed on satellites, they aren't front-ended by mirrors. The Stanford Solar Car used those cells, and they had something like $250K of cells on one car.

    Gallium is just too expensive. It's about $300/Kg. World production is about 70 metric tons annually, or about one boxcar load for the whole world.

    The big breakthrough recently in solar cells belongs to Ovshinsky. His company, Energy Conversion Devices, has been selling flexible solar panels for years. Now they've finished a large scale roll to roll machine that grinds those sheets out. Finally, the product is going out the door in quantity and the money is pouring in. Ovshinsky is building three more plants. They're selling photovoltaic roof shingles. 17 watts per shingle. This is a real product you can buy in quantity right now.

  97. Solar with 100% effeciency still has problems.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Simply put, it is called night.
    As long as it is daylight, solar will produce energy. We will still need enough generating capacity to support the entire grid for cloudy days and for night.
    The alternate is energy storage. Assuming a 480V battery pile you would need a 33KAmphour battery to provide one megawatt for 16 hours. Either that or one extremly large flywheel. Neither are practical. Other solutions are needed.
    Solar energy provides a good solution for daytime peaker needs, but it isn't a complete solution because it doesn't have 100% availability.
    Untill we starting thinking through all of the implications of any solution, we will not find a complete solution to the energy problem.

    As a side note, 25 years ago, I sat in a technical seminar while in engineering school. It said the same thing this fine article did. Basically they are still talking about the same multijunction cells and solar concentrators they were talking about 25 years ag. Nothing new here...move on!!!

  98. Doing the math.. 13 terawatts by serodores · · Score: 1

    According to the provided Wikipedia link in the article, the world requires 13 terawatts of electricity. With an installation cost of $3 per watt, that would require a 13,000,000,000,000 * $3 or $39,000,000,000,000 ($39 trillion) upfront cost to install. Somehow, I don't see this happening overnight.

  99. tech does not scale up well by ritzel · · Score: 1

    The OP apparently did not read the original article, or did not understand it.

    The 40% efficiency is achieved through optically concentrating the sunlight onto the solar cell. This new tech is in effect the equivalent of holding a magnifying glass over the solar cell.

    This is great for small solar arrays, but the efficiency will not scale up for anything too large, certainly not anything as massive as a square 265 miles to a side, as the optical concentrators will be stealing sunlight from neighboring cells, nullifying the effect.

    1. Re:tech does not scale up well by Mark+of+THE+CITY · · Score: 1

      Don't fixate on the poor example given in the Slashdot introduction. Real-world power generation is best distributed near the load. In fact, putting this on rooftops means only 60% of the solar load gets through and that can be captured by non-photonic methods, such as fluid. Lots of energy and less A/C demand. Win-win.

      --
      The clearance system sounds logical. It is not. It is completely arbitrary. -- John Bolton
  100. Agriculture by Slaimus · · Score: 1

    I think any calculation of energy gain should also factor in the energy loss from lost farm/forest land. Photosynthetic organisms are also quite efficient at converting light to energy. There is already technology to convert plant matter to fuels (ethanol/biodiesel).

    How much energy can be produced had the same amount of land be used to plant energy crops?

  101. Ridiculous on the economics by Ancient_Hacker · · Score: 1
    Sigh. Think. Think. Think.

    A solar cell that needs "concentrators" means you spend twice, once for the expensive cell, then again for the mirror to concentrate the light. Then again for motors to rotate the mirror so you don't have this expensive solar cell lying in the shadows.

    Now estimate the cost of a mirror, per square meter, plus the cost of keeping it clean, plus the cost of the motors to move the mirror, plus the cost of making everything strong enough to survive for a decade or two.

    You're going to end up with a figure of several hundred dollars per square meter. Now a square meter's work of power, once converted to electrical power, is only worth about $30 per year. Which doesnt even pay the interest on the principal.

  102. Re:Initial capital outlay is a serious considerati by julesh · · Score: 1

    Hearsay from another poster says that an 80W panel runs an average of about 5% efficiency over any given year, when you count cloud, winter, haze, and night (in England).

    I think that hearsay is bullshit. Here in the UK we get approximately 150W of solar energy per square metre, averaged over an an entire year. Including cloud, winter, haze and night. 80W solar panels are typically around 0.7 square metres and 18% efficient, which means that averaged over the year they should produce nearly a quarter of their rated output.

  103. It's not supposed to require regular poking-around by Grendel+Drago · · Score: 1

    In theory, the decomposing shit in the tank is gravity-fed out through your yard, where it makes the grass grow high and mighty. Of course, if you flush things like q-tips and tampon applicators, it'll plug up the tank, and someone will have to go in there and unplug it, discovering a fascinating smell along the way.

    --
    Laws do not persuade just because they threaten. --Seneca
  104. Don't we also need "darkpower" by j_snare · · Score: 1

    I was just thinking about how cool it would be to go solar. I've got a couple solar powered lights, and I'd love to get to a point where I don't have to be on the grid, or I'm feeding power back into it.

    However, while solar power and batteries work for something that's only supposed to be on some of the day, the more we go with solar power, the more we will strain the grid in situations where solar power is low.

    For instance, if we have enough solar panels to power the entire world, and enough batteries to power it during the night, obviously, we're not going to be looking as heavily into fission/fusion/etc. But if we do get a disaster, the load on the non-solar systems would be incredible. There would be required brownouts/blackouts. Otherwise, you're aiming for 100%+ utilization for the period until solar power becomes available again. Last time I ran my stuff at 100% utilization for weeks or months at a time, problems started cropping up... And if you normally are running the system at 1-2% utilization, but then switch over to 100% on the backup......

  105. Star Lifting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You laugh. But some people are serious about this type of thing. Not necessarily shutting the sun down, but controlling it for other reasons: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Star_lifting.

  106. Shade !! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Think of all the shade that such an array would provide!

    If you're in the desert and you had unlimited shade and energy you could do very well. First thing, though, you would maybe want to have a water connection to an ocean and a desalination capability. Now you're on your way.

    Of course, shingles with 40% efficiency would be nice.

  107. Didn't mean to bite your head off. by Grendel+Drago · · Score: 1

    I'm just sick of hearing criticism and hatred of the current administration interpreted as hate for the nation as a whole. It's a technique I've seen used to deflect criticism of the bozos in charge by moving the focus off of their failings. It is, as it always was, irrelevant.

    I made some assumptions based on your use of that argument; sorry if I bit your head off. I sometimes get on a bit of a roll.

    --
    Laws do not persuade just because they threaten. --Seneca
  108. Useful only if you live in space. by whatnever · · Score: 1
    This is from the article:
    using an optical concentrator, sunlight intensity can be increased, squeezing more electricity out of a single solar cell.
    In 1994, DOE's National Renewable Energy laboratory broke the 30 percent barrier, which attracted interest from the space industry. Most satellites today use these multi-junction cells.

    So, what? It is now 40.7% vs 30% (12 years ago). It is obvious from the article that it requires special and expensive solar cells and an optical concentrator and probably some sort of motorized assembly to keep it focused.

    Nothing new. It's not one of those cheap 12% solar panels you put on your roof. Not a revolution at all.

  109. Re:Roof gain by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I don't how much gets converted to heat overall. But with a well insulated flat roof, even a black one, you can expect less than 2% of the sun's incident energy to actually make it into the building where you have to cool it.

  110. Sandstorms and useful lifetime by AchilleTalon · · Score: 1
    What about sandstorms on such installations?


    And how long these cells are useful? After how much time they need to be replaced? Depends on irradiation or any other factors?

    --
    Achille Talon
    Hop!
  111. President Bushs Advanced Energy Initiative? by gary+gunrack · · Score: 1

    Does anyone else find it ironic that the most environmentally destructive, oil-selling, war-profiteering president we've ever had is getting credit for a breakthrough in solar power?

    1. Re:President Bushs Advanced Energy Initiative? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I didn't know Bush had his own service station where he sold oil. Did he bring some back form Iraq on air-force one when he was there last time? Clinton would have profited from selling this technology to China.

  112. Solar is already cheaper in some areas by NatteringNabob · · Score: 4, Informative

    once you count the infrastructure costs. I own an off-grid second home which is about 3000ft from the nearest power pole. The cost to extend the power to our house is estimated by PG&E at about $20/ft, so about $60,000 to get to our house, and that is *after* you have negotiated an easement over the neighboring properties. By contrasts, a complete off-grid systems run about $10000/KW, so you can have a nice 3KW system for about $30K, or 1/2 the price, and the 'generation' cost after that is the cost of replacing the lead/acid batteries, which, unfortunately, are still the best storage alternative. Yes, it only works in places where there is a lot of sunlight, and you still need a generator for night and winter months, and it helps a lot to have all florescent lights (which, fortunately has also improved dramatically). The fact of the matter is that once everything is factored in, solar already looks pretty good. If you factor in the cost of things like conquering oil producing states (as well as the cost of maintaining a military large enough to do so at any time), solar is an absolute bargain.

  113. global warming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    covering our planet with solar cells should reduce global warming, as low frequency infra-red radiation wouldn't be reflected back to the surface.. OTOH, I dont know how much infra-red radiation a solar cell reflects..

  114. A modest proposal.... by mikehoskins · · Score: 1

    I've seen a large number of ideas for something like this and a list of advantages/disadvantages for each, but here's my two cents....

    First, use rooftops, where possible. This should include new construction as well as old. There could be three options - owner stores extra power in batteries, owner sells back to the grid, or have a power-company-subsidized grid program. For the third option, the power company can make it up by not having to buy as much power over the grid, by selling excess solar electric power, by not having to construct as many new power plants, by not having to upgrade the grid as often, by having less in the way of power losses, and by not having to buy as much fuel to generate power in the first place. (Power-company-subsidized solar power could also get government incentives, I'm sure)....

    Second, someone pointed out that rooftop solar would shadow the roof and reduce AC costs. Yes it would, but I'd add something. The waste heat from the sun could be used for passive solar, as well.... You could run a hot water heater or augment your heat/heat pump in the winter time. Otherwise, in the summer, there would be big savings and in the winter, there might be an actual loss, once you strip away roof heat. By cooling solar panels, the efficiency is actually raised, anyway, IIRC.

    Last, there is no silver bullet. We need to commit to getting off of imported fuels and fossil fuels, in general. We should combine wind, solar, geothermal, nuclear, hydroelectric, biomass, etc. We should never put our eggs in one basket. Plug-in hybrids that use flex fuels give us at least three ways to power a vehicle for daily commutes and reduce our dependence on one resource. Depending on one resource, including solar energy, can be disasterous. Augmenting the current system with the proposed reduces our dependence, in fact.

    If we use a single chunk of land, we don't reduce our dependence on one source for power.... Having large arrays is nice, so long as they're spread out all over the country/world. Rooftop solar should be part of energy independence, as well. It has the added advantage of making power local.

    I also wonder why wind farms don't do solar on the ground, in between windmills....

  115. Great! Where can I buy one? by indros13 · · Score: 1

    Hmm, on second thought, I'll wait to pop the cork until we see the price tag...

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    Under capitalism man exploits man. Under communism it's the other way around.
  116. How much does 70,225 square miles cost? by heroine · · Score: 1

    Is it really more cost effective to divert 70,225 square miles to energy generation when a square mile of land costs $6,402,048,660? The total cost of land to achieve this "in the southwest" would be $449 trillion, many times the entire planet's wealth. Of course you'll just make up for it by paying your landlord more and saying you're better off because Steve Jobless or whoever built a solar panel for you. Then you'll complain about 2% owning 500% of the planet's assets.

    1. Re:How much does 70,225 square miles cost? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, the BLM itself owns over 75000 square miles in Nevada alone. We already paid for that land, so the cost is -0-.

      Of course, much of that land has a higher purpose than being solar-celled over, but with the amount of land the Feds own finding land for this is not a problem. More importantly, your math is off: it's more like 8,000 sq miles needed.

  117. Re:Gallium Nitride -- news from 2002, did it ever? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The LBL article is dated November 18, 2002 and said "if" [various challenges] it would work.

    Any news on that?

  118. oh noes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you cover enough land with these solar panels, then they will start absorbing enough energy to off-put the effects of CO2 emissions. We will be on a collision course with global cooling. Then everyone who DOESN'T drive a SUV will be taking a lot of shit and nations will have to sign an agreement to meet a minimum CO2 output or else pay hefty fines.

  119. No, 70,225 is correct. by robbak · · Score: 1

    The blurb suggests that 265 miles square is required. 265^2 is 70,225.

    I do dislike those who try to minimise the issue by using (distance) square. The fact is that it is Seventy Thousand square miles, and even one square mile of solar collectors is an immense, probably unachievable, certainly impractical, project at this time.

    And that figure is assuming that 40% is achievable IRL.

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    Prediction for end of Universe #42: Fencepost error in Quantum_bogosort.cpp
  120. let's not forget PASSIVE solar by bjarthur123 · · Score: 1

    http://www.eslarp.uiuc.edu/arch/ARCH371-F99/groups /k/solar.html probably too late in the day for this to get modded up, but it always astonishes me when people pine for the high-tech stuff while all along the ancient art would go a long way to solving the problem. architects and developers who neglect passive solar design principles infuriate me! it just seems so simple...

  121. Residential Solar by Banjonardo · · Score: 1

    The consensus among a lot of the architectural and green-building community, as well as a long-term goal of the US Department of Energy, is residential solar. It doesn't take that much roof space to generate enough power for a home, and it is totally viable. The DOE, and their National Renewable Energy Labs have been sponsoring a competition for universities around the country to design, build and compete against each other with 100% solar powered houses. It's called the Solar Decathlon, and it's an incredible event. The last one, in October 2005, drew over, 100,000 people (picture) to the National Mall in Washington, DC.

    I'd recommend taking a look. (Full disclosure: I'm on Cornell University's team).

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    Score 3? For what? Being wrong, at length? - smirkleton

  122. How about natural gas infrastructure? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    nt

  123. Solar on your roof? by mrpolecat · · Score: 1

    i live in the part of the midwest that just suffered a 6 day power outage due to ice and snow. this after a 6 day outage in july due to high winds. i was talking to my 11 year old child about the fact that if we had solar on our roof, we'd have heat and light, instead of living in a relative's basement until the juice comes back on. i thought the practical window for that was 7 to 12 years down the road. yet here you are doing it in california. info? links? source of cheap / efficient cells?

    1. Re:Solar on your roof? by olyar · · Score: 1

      Here's a link to the company doing mine.

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      Custom, hands-free Linux installs. Instalinux
  124. Really cool way they're getting efficiency by Patent-Monkey · · Score: 1

    From reading US Patent 6704607,

    "...allows series or parallel interconnection between multiple cells and provides for high thermal conductance to improve cooling the solar cells."

    While the PVC has some improvements, cooling the panels seems to help in the collection process along with proper orientation to the sun.