MS Offers Vista Upgrade Pricing To All
SlinkySausage writes "With a vague whiff of desperation, Microsoft is offering anyone who downloaded one of the betas or release candidates of Vista upgrade pricing for the full version. The 'special' deal is a sweetener for the fact that the betas will start expiring and becoming non-functional from May 31st. APC Magazine in Australia writes: 'Windows Vista is starting to look like those Persian rug stores which are always having a "closing down" sale... All stock has been slashed, save $$$, why pay more?'" Perhaps Microsoft is cognizant of straws in the wind such as a recent InformationWeek survey indicating that 30% of business have no intention of moving to Vista, ever.
It's true I tell you, feller at work's next door neighbour read it in the paper.
Same old, same old. But with a few extra hassles.
Mmmmm, compelling proposition there. Course, what they should have done is made sure that MS Office was subtly broken on XP. Well, you never know, now I've made that particular suggestion on this highly read web site we might well see that feature in future windows updates.
Deleted
I wonder how much MS really makes off Windows, particularly at the consumer level, in terms of profit per unit. It's easy to see in some business lines where the profit really is (ink jet printers versus cartridge refills, concessions versus ticket prices at theaters, etc.), but it's a little blurry in software. It probably makes good business sense for MS to lower the price on their OS by $100 or so per unit and make it up in other lines of business. 'Course, I still won't upgrade until I get more or less forced into it because of DirectX 10 (damn you, gaming addiction!), but it might get them more actual sales.
"It is a miracle that curiosity survives formal education." -Albert Einstein
Repeating a lie a thousand times will not make it true. Vista may be selling slow, but not slowly than Ubuntu users are upgrading to the last Fety thingy (and THAT is free!!!!) , or not slowly than Borland^H^H^H^H^H^HCodegear users are upgrading to Delphi 2007....
Eventually it will become more and more common, but don't hold your breath. It won't go away.
It's time to realise that Abble's products are the biggest abomination these days. Just say NO to the dumb iAbble way!!
I remember there were a lot of naysayers regarding Windows XP, back when it was introduced, but WinXP did well, in spite of the fact that Win2K already had what companies needed. Probably because WinXP at least wasn't a huge downgrade, compared to Win2K.
Not so with Vista. My impression is that is't a downgrade. What with the stupidly slow file copy problem, the increased hardware requirements (even if you disregard the graphics card), the DRM, the need for (some) staff re-training... This time the anti-momentum is stronger than with XP.
"The agriculture ministry is not in charge of Gundam" - Japanese ministry official.
In case you don't get 'those' Persian rug ads where you are, there's a couple of superb 'Chaser' satirical sketches on it on Youtube.
*Until midnight tonight!*
It would be spun as a tribute to how cool they are and how much they love users.
You know, people can write blog posts about Microsoft being dead, and Slashdot Zealots can spend ANOTHER (its been what, 6+ now) giving each other hand-jobs about how "desperate" Microsoft is... and it won't change reality a bit.
Welcome to the FUD zone!
--> Fight tyranny and repression.... read
From what I've heard the major problem with Vista is that it was designed by committee with dozens of people involved in even the most minute aspects. The problem with that of course being that that more people = more compromise and a compromise is, from one viewpoint, simply a solution that leaves everyone equally unhappy. From my testing of Vista and reading the various feedback threads, I think that's been an excellent tagline for Vista thus far...the OS that will leave everyone equally unhappy with it.
The culture at Redmond simply looks like it's gotten so insulated from this "reality" thing that they're sliding into a world where they don't understand that most people do not like the OS. The OS is a required evil to get to what they actually want, which is the applications. The faster the OS gets to those applications and gets the hell out of the way, the better...for most users at any rate. Why this concept seems to elude OS designers is beyond me, but Microsoft needs to come to terms with the idea that when I sit down at a computer to check my email, I want to use my email program, not the OS. If I want to play a game, I want to play the game...not work with the OS. If I need to write something, I want to write...not deal with the OS. It's quite simple really, which is probably why they don't get it.
I don't see any anti-MS people. They're not here to gloat because they know EVERYONE loses when people are stupid like this. If half of the people in the world wanted to use DOS, we'd have a major problem on our hands.
Oh shit... Maybe I should buy some Capital Carpet stock now?
XP made a killing on the fact that consumers were fed up with the 9x line. Particularly, WinME. The disaster to end all disasters, which was still probably worse then what Vista currently is.
"One quarter of the 612 survey respondents said they were already using the new OS;" - i find that quote more interesting 25% claim to be already using vista seems to be a very high for something just released.
The question is, what will replace it?
With projects line Wine and Mono, hopefully 5 years is enough time to eliminate all MS XP/Vista dependence for their home-grown apps.
At that point they can choose a vendor-supported OS based on price and the quality of the vendor, not vendor lock-in.
Within 5 years companies will want their OSes to be portable across hardware. If a generic-box-PC fails they'll want to take their HD out of the failing generic-PC box and put it in another generic-box-PC which may have a completely different CPU and motherboard. If you try that today with XP you run all kinds of risks and it might not even boot. In 5 years companies will use OSes that can tolerate this or put them into a "thin-layer" VM environment to make all their generic-box-PCs look identical enough to eliminate this problem. Think Southwest Airlines and the way they "dumb down" their newer 737s so the entire fleet "looks identical" to their pilots.
Knowledge is how to play a game, intelligence is how to win, wisdom is knowing what game to play.
I think one of Microsoft's big problems has they have overpriced the boxed versions of Vista. It is a crazy state of affairs when my local computer shop is selling complete PCs cheaper than the boxed versions of Vista.
This article is in AUD, not FUD.
Are they perhaps more like apartment buildings always under the threat of demolition that sign you to nonbinding, shorter, cheaper leases because you never really know when the wrecking ball might be out front? The cheapest and, relatively, nonsketchy place we found to live in Mountain View was like this.
Microsoft is adjusting prices to meet demand? Every sane business does this.
ZOMG get the torches and lets march!
When slightly used will do? This is the mantra of a local exercise equipment dealer here. You save a lot of money that way.
In the computer world, the question is Why buy the operating system, when you can get a new capable computer?
Amazon is listing Windows Vista Home Premium for $218, slightly less than the US$239 retail. For another $300 you can get a fully capable PC with it with 1GB of RAM and a suitable video card to get a 3.0 on the performance scale.
This particular market is skewed at moving PCs, not selling operating systems.
Have you Meta Moderated t
Hey, this Persian rug I just bought seems to have several holes in it!
Light cup, beer drink, thin so chain, neck turtle fat, man I won't say it again
"betas will start expiring and becoming non-functional from May 31st"
It's been my experience that MS Windows "beta programs" are actually over around 1 month prior to the next version coming out. I think that's why Windows upgrades leave a bad taste in my mouth- right around the time I've settled in to the latest version (ie. I can start using it profitably without having to combat immature code probs), they start asking me money for the next version.
Okay, so I'm an experienced computer user who already finds the default XP GUI tiresome, bloated and patronising and therefore always puts on the "classic" Windows view - but I found Vista was even worse. Don't get me wrong, it's very pretty and once I found the applications that I was looking for, no different to configuring XP (at least as much as I could see).
However, whilst we got the wireless working fairly easily, there were too big unforeseen problems that my relation suffered:
1. She has a legitimate 3 PC student licence for Office 2003 and has used only one of those licenses on the family desktop PC so far. Vista would not accept the license key for Office 2003 no matter what I tried and in the end I had to tell her to call Microsoft to get them to sort it out.
2. There are no drivers for her Lexmark printer and Lexmark have no plans to release any.
So, overall, I cannot say I was particularly impressed with Vista - it's got some quite nice eye-candy but not a lot else going for it.
Gentoo Linux - another day, another USE flag.
You seem to be quoting the student/educational prices. MS knows how to do differential pricing.
"Extended Support" for XP will be until April 2014. So that is seven years. But long before that seven years, some hardware (some with XP from 2001) will start to die. The replacement hardware will be sold with Vista. Even if the replacement is 'naked' or wiped and installed with XP, some of the devices may not have XP drivers. Also some of the user software that runs on XP will probably become unsupported or abandon-ware before 2014.
I think the talk of holdouts 'never' installing Vista is bravado. Sooner or later they will be compelled to start supporting Vista or its successor (Blackcomb/Vienna). Maybe they will skip Vista and go to straight to Vienna (provided Vienna gets out the door before 2014, IIRC it is currently scheduled for 2009), but they can't stay with XP forever. The hardware and software won't allow it.
Microsoft "hasta la vista" (TM) :D
People: it's time for a bit of intellectual honesty.
Either:
A. Microsoft is a giant evil behemoth that has created for itself a permanent and insurmountable monopoly that needs to be curtailed through government intervention and snide slashdot comments. Microsoft could shiat on a brick and most IT departments would have to buy it. The agreements that it makes with computer manufacturers to pre-install its product, which typically costs about 10% of the actual cost of the PC, is fundamentally wrong.
OR
B. Microsoft is a company that, despite the existence of free-as-in-beer alternatives, has nevertheless managed for many years to become fabulously wealthy by delivering products that seem to be what the market wants. However, as this episode shows, they are neither invincible nor infallible - like all of the software giants that have come before them, despite at one point building an enviable market position, they will erode through some combination of changing technology, bad marketing / product decisions, and so forth. Furthermore, as we see from Dell's (among others') recent actions, computer manufacturers can and will tailor their operating system offerings as they feel the market warrants - Microsoft can no more afford to lose dell than vice versa.
The same things were said about Windows XP. And look where we are today...
It might surprise the Slashdot crowd to know that *some* people like Vista. I do. I'm no MS fanboy, and I've cursed Bill Gates so many times its become a household cliche -- but the reality is, Vista is just fine. I use it every day, 10-12 hours a day, and my only complaint is the annoying slowness of file copies. Vista has a number of nice features that improve on XP.
Will I upgrade the other four machines in my office? Heck no. The Linux machines will remain with Gentoo; the Windows XP and MCE systems will not be upgraded any time soon. That doesn't mean I hate Vista, or nor did it fail because 80% of my computers are staying with their current OS.
Just like 2000 and XP, Vista works best on a new system; upgrading is always a mess, because vendors want to sell you today's tech instead of supporting what you bought last month. So the older systems stay with what works, and the new computer runs Vista (very well, I might add).
It's popular and trendy to hate Microsoft and Vista; heaven forbid you should think for yourselves.
All about me
The CompUSA near me (Framingham MA), and many other CompUSA stores are closing. I was there last night. They had a cage, and another display packed full of Vista. All editions including upgrades, over 100 copies total, and they were 60% off. If you need Vista for some reason, a defunct CompUSA is probably your best bet right now.
Just Microsoft telling people who've clung onto the beta versions that they can keep using it without paying $400. And as to the 30% figure, there are a ton of companies still using Win2000pro.
XP is a version of Windows that I could get behind, as it generally was OK. Just like Windows 95.
I am not sure if vista does anything interesting. The way it was promised two years ago was compelling. I am not surprised they were not able to make the dream come true.
"She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
The retraining and hardware requirements were the exact excuses I used to start brining Linux into my offices, one computer at a time. We don't have any special software or anything (just Firefox and Microsoft Office, which I am gradually replacing with OOo). Instead of paying $1200 for a decent office computer that can run Vista smoothly, I can pay $600 for a computer with Linux compatible hardware and know I won't have to upgrade for a good long time. The training is going much smoother than I anticipated, actually, and thus far, I've had several employees ask if I could help them run Linux at home (pointed them at the local Linux users group, naturally).
Why buy expensive hardware and retrain everyone after paying over a thousand dollars per seat (Vista + Office) when you can buy a cheaper, more reliable computer? And the best part of the deal? All those shitty downloadable Windows "games" can't be installed!
... and, of course, XP was terrifying until SP2.
Take your DRM and shove it.
I will not pay money for a product that puts a collar around my neck.
That is all.
It would be interesting to see what percentage of Vista sales were for 'Vista Home Basic' (i.e. the bare minimum default MS OS that vendors put on new boxes). It would be more interesting to know what percentage of those boxes get wiped and have XP or Linux installed on them.
[Insert pithy quote here]
the only way to look at vista is DOWN...
if this is supposed to be a new economy, how come they still want my old fashioned money?
UK prices, converted to USD
Home Premium : $440
Business : $560
Ultimate : $740
From amazon.co.uk, undiscounted prices. Looks like
the Aussies are being slightly more ripped off than
us Brits. Blimey!
Oh goody! Can we start with the false dichotomies, please?
Don't let THEM immanentize the Eschaton!
This doesn't make sense. They are offering upgrade pricing to anyone who downloaded the beta version of vista. However, they already gave a free, fully licensed Vista Ultimate copy to everyone who downloaded the beta.
Microsft knows they're going to get people to upgrade. Unless there's _major_ pushback from corporate IT, XP and previous versions of Windows will go end-of-life on their scheduled dates. When that happens, you lose patch and fix support, which means your desktops are unprotected. Any IT person who runs Windows knows that's a dangerous gray area. There are still a couple of die-hard places running NT4, but it's not for general use and the admins keep tight control over the system.
So yes, Microsoft will eventually get their revenue. Dumping 17 years of Windows-based code and processes for Linux or any other OS is just too tough a sell in most large companies. I'm not a big Vista backer either, but you have to keep up with the times. I'm playing with it while supporting XP and 2003 in our environments. It would be foolish not to.
I am not sure what business this article is talking about, but big business will update or move to another OS it can get support for. Eventually, Windows XP and 2003 will EOS and that will push corporations to move because they generally want support for everything.
A better statistic is how many desktops this 30% represents. I am guessing that this 30% of businesses does not represent 30% of business' desktops. That would be a better number, not this FUD. And I am not a MS fanboy as a Java developer.
I'd love to switch to Vista, but I can't because Q-media, the company in charge of shipping Vista CDs for XP upgrades for Cyberpower, has taken my $10 shipping fee, and has not shipped Vista to me, despite a phone call and a promise to do so. What gives? Has anyone else tried to upgrade to Vista, but been stymied by 3rd party companies who aren't shipping disks?
Why is that indicative of "desperation"?
:-p
For those not introduced, the beta/RC's are about to expire, and that was the plan since at least a year back or so. Now they're announcing the plan the people affected by this can follow.
DESPERATION.
Beware: In C++, your friends can see your privates!
When XP came out, I looked at it, considered it shiny, didn't care about shiny, looked again, saw that it was essentially as good as 2k and that I can turn off the shiny and still can get a few additional features out of it. It did not remove anything essential that I was used to in 2k, and it ran as fast as 2k, so I eventually switched.
When Vista came out, I looked at it, considered it bloated, cared about bloated, looked again, saw that it was worse than XP and that even with the shiny and bloated turned off, it's no better than XP and still slower. It did take away a few liberties that I came to enjoy in XP, and so I will never switch.
If XP doesn't work anymore, I will move on to another OS. Wine is hopefully ready to run at XP level by the time I have to go, so I know where my next home will be built.
We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
"All stock has been slashed, save $$$, why pay more?'"
Why pay at all.....
the stupidly slow file copy problem
I am going to go out on a limb and theorize that this "bug" is a deliberate act. It reminds me of IBM in the mainframe/terminal days, where they added delays to ensure that response time was always 2 seconds. And for average users it is good to have average response times -- if you give them a fast one for some things and a slow one for others, they will notice and whine.
In this case I think something much more potentially sinister is at work. Vista has introduced a "copy lag" that can later on (once we have all accepted the lag) be used to scan files for 1) malware, 2) DRM reasons, 3) do other things we don't want Vista to do.
Saying that I wouldn't put it past them is an understatement.
I come here for the love
That is why one should stick to PS or at least PCL printers...
Does MS's warchest give enough investment return to pay for Windows OS/Application development? If so, then you could argue that Vista and Office are 100% profit: we've already paid for the development from past overcharging.
Don't get your hopes up.
Whether it works or not, whether it's more stable or not, no manager will jump into that cold pond. Let's look at a manager's brains (bring your microscope, kids!) and see how it ticks.
The manager will ponder what course to take. Should he buy Vista and accept the lock-in, or should he go Linux with Wine, take the road of liberty? This, dear reader, matters little to him. What matters to him is, that his superiors will never ever fire him for buying Vista. Because it's the tried way, and if it doesn't work out, hell, how should he have known? If he buys Linux and Wine, even the slightest problem that may occasionally occur will make his comfy chair shake, because he left the tried and true way of upgrading and decided that some unproven methodes are better.
Now, which path will our manager take?
We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
If I have to buy a new computer and leave XP then I will probably buy a Mac.
No need for Vista at all.
We are Turing O-Machines. The Oracle is out there.
And your being ripped far more than the USA as the prices posted above are the correct ones for the USA. Best Buy and Newegg.com both sale full retail versions for around $400 or less.
XP made a killing on the fact that consumers were fed up with the 9x line. Particularly, WinME. The disaster to end all disasters, which was still probably worse then what Vista currently is.
:)
I've heard Vista called "Windows ME v2"
When Microsoft decides enough is enough they can force a changeover to Vista by making it impractical to continue with XP ro whatever version of their poison one is using. When Vista is all there is the cash will flow as it must. So says Bill....
The real problem with Vista so far is actually quite simple:
.
1. System administrators are currently testing the software with their environments. As of yet, not a lot of people completely understand the inner workings of UAC and the other nice, and not so nice gems that are new in Vista when it pertains to security and administration.
2. Businesses have learned their lesson with XP. Do not upgrade until the bugs are worked out and the hacks have been made public.
Do you really think that people are going to wait another 3 years without upgrading to Vista? Wait until the CEO plays around with the neat little side bar that shows him a constant slide show of his latest golf tournament in
h
Valkyrie is about to die! Wizard needs food -- badly!
I'm sorry, but this runs counter to the standard MS fanboy's talking point that there's nothing to see here. Transitions to Vista are completely normal. Therefore, you must be wrong.
Kythe
"30% of business have no intention of moving to Vista, ever."
And we all know that the "ever" part means "at least not for another few months."
I wonder what kind of affect this will have on their share prices. Maybe if they go down enough maybe there be a buying opportunity in there somewhere...
Ah. So they are upgrading the pricing? I always thought it was priced too low. Now I feel much more inclined to try it out.
Considering the speed it picked up in China, market penetration should be reached in less than a million years. Provided it keeps going as strong as it started and China gets its population growth down to zero.
We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
I can't imagine why anyone would buy a full version, considering all you need is a burnt copy of XP to pop in when you're doing an install... then it does a full format and install.
"Please, shut up. Just when I think you can't say anything more stupid, you speak again." -Archie Bunker.
I guess it will be Ubuntu. I switched to it at home, I'm not 100% happy with it (big fonts, I want double click top left to close a window etc.), but its otherwise very similar to Windows and easily good enough. Fewer root kits is a big plus!
I'd already ditched Internet Explorer on Windows to use Firefox, so I'm using Firefox on Ubuntu too now and not really seeing any differences. Open Office was a plus, but I found I hadn't used MS word for so long now and don't expect to need OO much.
Video, again fine, I put VLC on it, I'd given up with the DRM laden Media player upgrades a long time ago. None of the media I want requires Media Player anyway. Printer was a doddle. For games I have a Wii & PS2 and didn't use my PC for those. MP3's play fine, flash drives, and my mp3 player and camera plug in without problems.
All very uneventful. I don't need Wine or Mono to run Windows apps, since the products I use every day (even Skype) are also available in Ubuntu.
The biggest difference was consumers. The consumer option was Win98se or XP. While 98 wasn't as bad as ME, it was hardly "stable" and XP offered a large benefit. XP also offers a little more than 2000, such as better USB, wireless, and power management support. BTW, many large corp. customers are still on 2000.
There are actually a couple problems with copying files in Vista. The first is that initial "lag" as you mentioned. The second is the apparent fact that Vista's I/O scheduler seems to have been completely botched. No longer can I copy a few gigabytes of files around while playing a video. Huh? This worked just fine on XP, and it's obviously not a problem on Linux.
Add to this an overall sluggishness (has anyone been able to get folders in the new start menu to open smoothly? It consistently responds like utter shit on a C2D E6600 with 2GB of RAM, a GeForce 7900GS, and not much installed) and various strange software compatibility problems, and I can't wait to switch my Windows partition back to XP.
LOAD "SIG",8,1
We're throwing chairs at Crazy Steve's!
"We're slicing prices on @#$!@%! Vista Home Premium!" [chair crash f/x]
"We're slicing prices on !%!@#%! Vista Ultimate!" [chair crash f/x]
Crazy Steve's... his prices are insane!
Just as well I don't use it then!
Leave it to Microsoft to throw a price cutting party where for "only $495 (per TFA) you can upgrade to Windows Vista Ultimate!" How in the world does this make any sense at all when you can already buy full (not upgrade) OEM copies of Vista Ultimate for $199?
I just did. Life is so much easier now.
Whenever you hear about Vista, you can hear plenty of things, including that it is a Mac OS/X ripoff . As a matter of fact that might be true, but I am starting to think vista is perhaps an MS satire about the competetion?
You see the awesome MS jokes about Mac OSX with that darker interface in comparison to Mac OS/X lighter one, and that search thing that is placed in a totally different position, we all love MS laughing on Mac OS/X additions like "Gadgets" and chess.
But is Mac the only victim of MS' convincingly put satire?
I would say not, since MS also incorporated features from another enemy, Linux. It is clear once you spend a week with Vista, you'll eventually notice that the different interface requires retraining, that there are almost no compatible drivers for vista and that Windows applications won't easily work in Vista either. And its performance issues will make it very hard to play any of the newest games
What's next you may ask? How about MS changing vista so you need to compile all your programs? That's "unlikely" you may think since MS is all pro closed source, but how about making .net compile code to a "semi code" that the user will still have to compile manually when installing to the computer? Don't underestimate microsoft, there are a lot of great linux they can steal.
Disclaimer: I love Linux. Don't kill my karma!
Copyright infringement is "piracy" in the same way DRM is "consumer rape"
Its blunt, but he makes a good point.
That is the very base of the problem. Nothing needs to replace it right now. XP works, nothing else is needed, and if Microsoft's smart they'll continue to support XP. What will replace XP should be the Vista's successor that gives all the usefulness of what Vista should have been with XP specs (will never happen).
And please tell me you don't think this is a sign Microsoft is collapsing. It's a sign that XP is an amazing OS that doesn't need replacing. Linux isn't going to jump up because people aren't buying Vista. People aren't buying Vista because they are happy with their current OS. Sadly Microsoft is going to see this as "XP is too good" rather then "Vista isn't good enough".
It's a hardware bug, driver bug, or something like it. I'm not saying people haven't had the problem, but I sure haven't seen it on our Vista systems at work. I've copied a ton of data too, shuffling around VMs and such. No appreciable speed difference between Vista and XP that I can see. Well when a problem happens for some people, but not for me, that tells me that it isn't something universally broken in the OS, but rather in their setup.
You don't... see... any anti-MS people?
You're somehow managing to navigate the threads and reply to posts without actually reading anything in here?
I've heard the iPhone called "Newton 2.0".
I've heard Linux called "a pile of festering shit".
:P
In other news, wishing doesn't make it so
"It does not do to leave a live dragon out of your calculations, if you live near him." - Tolkien
I tried the RC1 of Vista and thought that it was horrible. It didn't like my computer and I didn't like it. Then when I got a copy from work I decided to try it anyway. As it turns out it isn't that bad. I turned off the UAC because of it asking many times "Are you sure you want to copy that file?" I turned off the sidebar gadgets too help reduce overhead. Yes, it requires a nice computer since at idle it takes up ~550mb of ram but if you do have such a computer it works nicely. It actually did save a laptop HD that XP could not see and no trial data recovery program could copy the Documents and Settings folder. I plugged in the HD (usb adapter) and Vista saw it was damaged, asked if I wanted to fix it, and after it was done XP could see and access everything on it. I know it will not work for many companies because of the hardware requirements but it is better than XP and will hopefully be better after the first big service pack.
"30% of business have no intention of moving to Vista, ever."
/.ers will recall, the hold-outs just got bit in the butt by the lack of support for the new daylight savings rules. Which was more disruptive to their business, not upgrading to XP within 6 years or getting caught off guard by the DST thing? I guarantee the same 10% people will pay more attention to Microsoft's sunset date for XP this time around and will be on Vista far in advance.
I think this claim is a media creation. Any IT person who says they will "never" upgrade, yet stay with Windows, is a crackpot. People threatened that for years with 2000 -> XP, and most gave it up eventually. Some people did hold out, and as
Beyond holdouts, what are businesses going to do, rewrite their entire codebase to run on Linux? Few will. Those kinds of things sound good in theory, except for the fact that Microsoft's pricing is not stupid. It's usually going to be cheaper to stay on Windows compared to the porting costs, all office workers retrained, custom support costs, etc. There is an indeterminate value in not being vendor locked-in by using Linux (though you may be more distro-locked in), but convincing a boss of that who is not on the Linux train is going to be very tough.
Microsoft's got a really good thing going right now. Their platform is robust from mobile all the way up to servers/databases/etc, and the prices are just about perfect to keep anyone who thinks about moving off the platform. So either 30% of busineses saying they'll never use Vista are fooling themselves or this is yet another journalist trying to tap into the "Vista is DOA" hype.
Fantastic point. If you have to retrain anyway (Vista+Office 2007), why not retrain to Linux+OpenOffice?
Mostly, it's because people think that money buys you something. They don't really know what it is (if you buy Windows without volume licensing or contracts, you're not getting much in the way of support). There's also the idea that the company will have some longevity, whereas with FOSS, there's the idea that if the main developer quits, the project is over, and you're screwed.
Basically, people buy MS for peace of mind. It's hard to put a price on that, even if it's misplaced.
Actually, you could get primitive versions of DirectX on NT4, and you could play any games that properly used the Win32 API just fine on NT. Before that there was the WING.dll (WINdows Graphics) 2d graphics driver layer, which IIRC also provided direct graphics memory access (as well as various drawing primitives? I'm not a windows programmer by any means) and which was used by some Windows 3.1 games.
"You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
I find all of this criticism of vista to be interesting. I have been using Vista as my only operating system for about a month and I am actually all in all happy with it. I have at this point only had one problem with it and it dealt with a webcam driver. Vista tried to run the third party driver and crashed but it recovered itself and automatically disabled the driver and installed the generic windows driver and the webcam works great now. I guess I am a little confused why Microsoft gets so much criticism here when third party hardware developers refuse to release drivers or when they do release drivers they are absolute trash, what does that have to do with Microsoft. In the Apple world this doesn't happen because Apple won't let anyone touch their hardware. In the linux world people seem to think it is some sort of feature when they have to use an NDIS wrapper to get a piece of hardware to work on their system. I do understand that this is Slashdot where all things linux are from god and all things Microsoft are from Satan but it would be nice if we could get away from the childish bigotry and actually have intelligent and technically oriented discussions here.
Every time a new versions of Windows appears, the spin machines crank up about problems with it and how great the old version was. This happens so consistently that it seems like the M$ pr/astroturfing machinery is behind it. Windows is a monopoly and Vista will be a sales success and that's all there is to say about Vista...until the next version of Windows appears and then everyone waxes nostalgic about the goodness of Vista.
Vista was not designed for business use. I don't see why businesses would want to use it. Vista was designed to be a game and movie platform - that doesn't make sense in a business setting.
Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
Recommended Retail Pricing (RRP) is as follows:
Vista SKUs Recommended Retail Price (AU)
Windows Vista Home Basic $385
Windows Vista Home Basic Upgrade $199
Window Vista Home Premium $455
Window Vista Home Premium Upgrade Academic $179
Window Vista Home Premium Upgrade $299
Windows Vista Ultimate $751
Windows Vista Ultimate Upgrade $495
Windows Vista Business $565
Windows Vista Business Upgrade $379
Ain't it great to have a monopoly?
"I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
Reading about MS-{u name it} on slashdot is like listening to chatter about dormitory cafeteria chow: 1) most folks gripe about the lack of choices but eat whatever is served anyway; 2) dorm food blandly satisfies daily requirements of the masses while neither killing nor thrilling anyone. 3) a few holdouts cook up their own stew on a bunsen burner (for "free as in beer" while taking on all of the shopping, prep, and cleanup);
Obi-Wan: "I felt a great disturbance in the Force, as if millions of voices suddenly cried out in terror and were sudden
You know, there is a difference between trolling and pointing out the flaws in your reasoning. Just saying.
I know we're all pitchforks and torches when it comes to Microsoft around here, but if we're going to link to some blog with its biased editorializing, think we could link to maybe the Microsoft page on this? Heaven forbid someone actually want the information from the horse's mouth.
What with the stupidly slow file copy problem, the increased hardware requirements (even if you disregard the graphics card), the DRM...
Was one of those who downloaded & installed the beta/RC's of Vista last year. The longest time I left it on my PC (2 GB of PC3200...3.08 Ghz P4...128 MB ATI card & over 500 GB of HDD space) was about an hour. That was even running down to one of the popular Tex-Mex restaurants to get something to eat & having my meal at the keyboard.
Even on my PC...it ran like I was attempting to run XP on a 386SX-20 with 4 MB of memory. Being asked if I wanted to make sure that I REALLY wanted to do whatever drove me crazy...as well as ATTEMPTING to find everything I could to shut off the eye candy to get some better response. The next thing I was waiting on was the Vista lady in the black dress with a ruler smacking my knuckles as I was trying to shut off something that Microsoft thought needed to be turned on. After that...was expecting to be pushed down the stairs in my chair...as the Vista lady glides back to her perch.
Perhaps the closest OS to running like Vista on my PC was any version of Solaris before 10.0. Nothing worked right...but I did have an enterprise-level OS to run a few pieces of software on.
Don't worry about the world coming to an end today. It's already tomorrow in Australia. - Charles M. Schulz
"Within 5 years companies will want their OSes to be portable across hardware. If a generic-box-PC fails they'll want to take their HD out of the failing generic-PC box and put it in another generic-box-PC which may have a completely different CPU and motherboard."
===
Really? Do you get paid for such predictions?
You sound like a Gartner slob..
Do you dazzle young ladies with such insightful genius while other morons mod you 'interesting'?
Sheesh!!
Hint:
Such functionality has been desirable for decades ever since the first IT tech swapped his first HD to another box and discovered.. "WTF?!?! I need new drivers???"
I just received a brand new Sony Ultra-portable 1.3GHZ, 2GB ram, 100GB 5400rpm laptop with Vista Business loaded.
/Linux, Windows, they're tools....
//I prefer to use that which is more effecient for my job. Linux.
Here begins the bitchfest!!!!!
From pushing the power button, it takes 1min 30s to get to the log in prompt. From there, it takes 4 FUCKING minutes to log in, load ALL the default crap in the systray, and whatever onscreen windows it needs to display. Yes I know default OEM installs are bloated and usually have a bunch of junk that isn't needed, but THAT is HIGHLY unacceptable for ANY OS, much lest the 'Brand New Windows'.
I've used Vista a few times before, but getting handed a fresh machine and seeing VISTA in action from the get-go, is HIGHLY disappointing.
If I can't get this BRAND new install to a performance point that is equal to if not BETTER than what XP runs at, VISTA gets wiped and XP gets installed. Period.
The majority of my USERS are power users, and know there way around Windows better than most. I'm sure as hell NOT going to give them something that is going to hinder their productivity, and increase user complaints to my end. Upon first appearances, VISTA will do both.
Pay attention Microsoft. You may have just paved the way for 'Linux', and not even realized it.
Windows 2000 was targeted at business. Windows XP was the first stable OS that Microsoft targeted at home users.
Coder's Stone: The programming language quick ref for iPad
Before you go overboard with your conspiracy theory, consider this:
This is Slashdot. Home to the world's IT experts, with access to the world's computers. IT experts that work for big businesses, and are responsible for hundreds (if not thousands) of potential Vista licences. They realise that there is no good reason to introduce delay (intentionally or unintentionally), especially when used in a business context, and the business would be paying a couple of hundred dollars per computer to upgrade. Such a move would be sheer stupidity, and Microsoft is not stupid (I gotta give them credit for that, at least). If, perhaps, you could have demonstrated that it only affected home editions of Vista, I might have believed that, but as it stands, it just seems an unfortunate symptom of some other problem.
You know, there is a difference between trolling and pointing out the flaws in your reasoning. Just saying.
Using removable media is much smoother under W2k.
Much faster loading time for the system to get into login screen.
More reliable power saving modes.
Less NTFS corruption on certain models of laptops.
W2K is lighter than XP, but when you turn off all the extra bloat, now in 2007 XP SP2 is better than W2K for most tasks and the memory usage is about the same.
'Once scientists, even the dim-witted social scientists, get muzzled, the Western Civilization is finished.' - oldhack
I would be far more interested in seeing a survey from every business sector of what old OSes are still in active use. I refuse to believe that my company is the odd duck with our DOS, Win95, and Win98 installs still running multi-million dollar machines. And the consumer PCs are probably just as fragmented with older OSes.
Bearded Dragon
Managers always take the wuss way out. Little to no accountability is the norm.
Crisis is the rule, not the exception.
I when through the same train of logic that you did...and I switched to Ubuntu four months ago.
:)
I also purchased Crossover. Now, under Ubuntu, I run two versions of office (XP and 2003), Dreamweaver 8, Flash 8, Photoshop CS, and Amibroker (stock tracking). I was already using FireFox in windows, so that was a no-brainer.
In other words, you don't have to wait.
I'd rather go someplace nice and use a nail gun, thanks.
financially, this means nothing to Microsoft and the press given to this is worth more than anything. OEM pre-installations of ANY version of Microsoft Windows is what continues Microsofts massive profit gravy train. The fact that OEMs are forced to put MS Windows Vista on most, if not all, shipped units is all that matters and any discussions(press, PR, etc) otherwise is just a peripheral expense to make it seem like it really matters. It took over 2 years before businesses 'accepted' MS Windows XP even though there was a huge hardware upgrade expense and the EULA changes gave Microsoft 'legal' rights to extract information from every MS Windows XP system.
So it is a waste of time/effort discussing if MS Windows Vista will fail or not and if there's any financial impact on MSFT as a result. They will keep extracting profits from OEMs for Windows Vista immediately and for Windows XP for the next few years. Only when OEMs and/or businesses start pre-installing Mozilla products and/or OpenOffice can there be any worthwhile discussions of Microsoft Windows productlines. IMO. Nothing else effects the monopoly control and gravy train as much.
LoB
"Anyone who stands out in the middle of a road looks like roadkill to me." --Linus
n/t
how do you handle centrally managed user accounts and email accounts?
With all the bad press Vista is getting, it's not the safe option.
Until 2012, the safe option is to stay with XP.
Microsoft has a couple years to turn Vista into a safe option. Otherwise, managers will be left with the question "what tried and true option do I have to migrate away from XP before 2012?" and find the answer may be "none that are risk-free."
Knowledge is how to play a game, intelligence is how to win, wisdom is knowing what game to play.
You know, there is a difference between trolling and pointing out the flaws in your reasoning. Just saying.
What is your source indicating the upgrade rate for Feisty Fawn?
Why limit yourself to having to move the hard drive? I want to sit down at any PC, enter a username/password, and have my entire desktop show up exactly like I left it.
I remember being able to do this in the 1990's (workstation). I'm not sure why you couldn't do it better today.
Spell cheek you've failed me four the last thyme!
The technology exists to install "all base drivers" that are on the install CD and and/or service packs so you CAN do exactly this.
Base drivers means anything you need to get your or any other machine up and running with generic functionality, provided those drivers weren't too exotic or too new to be on the original CD. It includes basic-chipset/mobo stuff, basic video, basic keyboard/mouse, floppy, basic IDE, and for newly developed OSes common USB, firewire, and SATA/SATA-RAID chipsets. You can argue whether it includes LAN or WLAN functionality or not, I would say these days it does. It does not include fancy video, audio, or most other features that are not needed to get the system up and running.
Installing base drivers takes extra space and slows down the boot process as the system determines just which which USB driver or which LAN driver to load. If speed is a concern, make "probe all base drivers and load the right ones" a boot-menu option.
The technology also exists to prompt the user to insert a floppy or CD with additional drivers during startup time, if necessary for new equipment like SATA drivers or new LAN drivers on older OSes like XP.
If MS installed Windows XP so it included "all base drivers" so I could move my drive in any computer that is "out of the box compatible" with XP to any other "out of the box compatible," and the "F6" option for new device drivers did more than just disk drivers, they would be set.
Knowledge is how to play a game, intelligence is how to win, wisdom is knowing what game to play.
Such functionality has been desirable for decades ever since the first IT tech swapped his first HD to another box and discovered.. "WTF?!?! I need new drivers???"
"WTF?!?! I need new drivers???" isn't a problem as long as I can boot the machine, get online, and install them.
"WTF?!?! I get a BSOD" after you replaced a fried motherboard or moved a drive from a dead PC to a spare is a big problem.
Knowledge is how to play a game, intelligence is how to win, wisdom is knowing what game to play.
It can invalidate software remotely that is identified as a problem by the vendor.Got any specific examples?
You know, there is a difference between trolling and pointing out the flaws in your reasoning. Just saying.
You can do that today with a thin client or with a roaming profile in XP or a network-based home directory in Unix.
Both have their plusses and minuses compared to "one PC per user" setups. If network bandwidth is plentiful a network-based home directory is a good solution. If it's really plentiful and your servers are beefy enough, thin clients work wonders.
Knowledge is how to play a game, intelligence is how to win, wisdom is knowing what game to play.
I worked for Ericsson until the end of 2006 and all of their corporate desktops, bar a very few specific exemptions, run Windows 200 to this very day. They're not alone either, the big corps are extremely conservative about these things and frankly 2000 does everything they need just fine. This is changing, it's harder and harder to get maintained drivers for the latest hardware, but frankly what special hardware do 90% of corporate desktops need to support? Not much.
Is this a disaster for Redmond? Are they gnashing their teeth at this awful failure at Ericsson? Of course not, it's really no big deal. The corporations pay just the same for 2000 as they do for XP. MS does need to keep maintain a fresh and modern code base to stay competitive in many niches (games, multimedia apps, development tools, servers, new specialist hardware, etc) but the fact that Windows 2000 is fine for the vast majority of users is no pain for them because the revenues still keep rolling in anyway.
With Vista there is a new element and that's Microsoft's efforts to advance the API so that new compelling multimedia and advanced communications enabled applications will provide a new lock-in to Vista. This will probably work. Vista already has a vastly greater market penetration than all the Linux desktops put together, and if it doesn't already surpass the Mac (like the one I'm writing this on) it will soon, so windows developers will have no qualms about adopting the new Vista APIs.
Sorry, but it's the truth.
I think a key factor that unicies have in advantage over windows is that, you really don't have to worry about OS upgrades. You can have software from 1992 running still and be running YourDistributions newest version. Upgrades the OS and things still run. What IMHO throws business off from Vista is that they JUST probably got settled with with XP. You know how it goes, new OS comes out (XP) you spend time waiting for your software to get rewritten for it, and tested, then spend time deploying it, then spend time training on it, then spend time getting your users onto it. Vista comes out now and people ARE happy with what they have. In fact, the last thing I'd want as a sysadmin is to have to upgrade now. Everything is settled down, you would have to have a very compelling reason, more so than "We have aero, and sidebar, and DX10." As I see it, there is no compelling reason to move to Vista.
I had to get a new sound card and NIC to run Vista on my six year old PC. Total cost: $50. I have run Linux on it as well. Total cost: Time to download an ISO. It's amazing how many people think Vista requires an expensive hardware upgrade. It doesn't. I'm not sure why you would have spend so much to upgrade your hardware to run Linux or Vista.
Imagine how much harder physics would be if electrons had feelings! -Feynman, maybe
'Windows Vista is starting to look like those Persian rug stores which are always having a "closing down" sale... Unlike Vista, Persian rugs only contain a single flaw.
Vista however is different from previous Windows OSes, runs fewer applications, has tons of broken drivers, has performance issues and requires hardware upgrades, and has new features that nobody asked for. XP does the same job faster, better and requires no retraining. There are so many versions, with different feature sets and prices, it creates a Buridan's donkey problem (a customer would rather buy nothing than to decide on what to buy.) Assuming that DirectX 10 is backported to XP (as it seems to be), the first and last theoretically valid reason for moving to Vista is gone.
There are some freeware packages that let you make unattended installs of Windows 2000, XP and 2003. Not sure about Vista. I've been able to get the Windows XP install CD down to about 200 MB using this. I've removed the installation of some of the Windows services right from the CD and my PIII 800 w/ 256 MB of RAM is running XP with under 50 MB of memory usage at idle. Why can't MS let you do this with XP without resorting to 3rd party software? And why can't they offer it for Vista.
As others have said, it must be a driver issue. I can move a few gigabytes around and play videos no problem(my video collection just never seems to be in the right spot for my tastes). Also my folders open very smoothly in the start menu although I don't use them that much since I'm used to just typing for the application that I want. And this is all on much less powerful hardware than you have. I'm using a Black MacBook with a C2D T7200, 1GB of RAM and a Intel GMA950. Smooth as butter. If there was incompatibilities with the software I was running then yes I'd still be using XP with it. But Since I don't have any, I'm very happy with the way Vista behaves.
Where are you getting $1200 from? Dell will happily sell you computers with Windows Vista Business (that's the version without the games or media center installed) for under $500.
Also I've given Openoffice a chance, I really have. But there are some compatibility issues when saving a document as a .doc (they don't appear as they should in MS Word) and there are an awful lot of lacking features. It's the same reason why I'm forced to use Photoshop instead of GIMP because Photoshop is always many steps ahead of GIMP. The same goes for office.
>when you can buy a cheaper, more reliable computer?
A couple reasons:
1. You have incredibly simplistic needs (a browser and a basic office suite), most companies need a lot more.
2. Legacy apps. Inertia. Exchange,etc.
3. The money is there/has been earmarked.
4. Boss ignorance and fear of change.
5. Support contracts. Not to mention the lack of a 'standard' linux distro.
6. Retraining of developers, IT, etc.
7. Retraining of users.
8. Compatibiliy with proprietary file formats from external clients/partners.
9. pDA/blackberry support.
etc etc
Look, its great that a simple business like yours doesnt need the pricey wintel stuff, but its a little foolish to assume that if it works for you it should work for everyone.
You forgot 98se, ME, and Win2k. The correct order should be:
3.1, 95, 98, 98se, ME, Win2k, WinXP, and now Vista.
There's also the previous NT line (Win NT 4.0) mixed somewhere in there. In all cases except 3.1 to 95, there was little reason to upgrade. The only reason people were so infatuated with it was because people (then) liked shiny (if it was newer it was obviously better even though win98 ran slower than win95 in some tasks on the same machine). Now people are more practical and realize that shiny often means pain. I remember loading up win98 on the same computer with win95 and my immediate reaction was: it looks better but my start menu takes a lot longer to open.
Well then, they shouldn't have DRM'd their operating system with "activation"; they shouldn't have broken all those applications; they shouldn't have bought into consumer-unfriendly technologies, particularly in the area of media but also in hardware; they shouldn't have forbidden any of Vista's versions to run under virtualization; they shouldn't have made using Vista a nightmare of clicking away security popups; they shouldn't have insisted on proprietary, insecure solutions like ActiveX; they definitely shouldn't charge for development tools; and of course, the predatory business practices don't make them any friends, either.
Me, I jumped ship and I'm not looking back. XP's activation DRM was the last straw.
I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
You must be new here.
Windows ME shipped with indexing turned on. This one useless change produced a dog slow machine, right around the time Windows 2000 was what they wanted you to move to.
/.ers. Average every day people. MS is more than happy with this share of the market.
It happened before. It could happen again. The reason is simple: it will cause people to want a faster computer. No, not
I come here for the love
Modded +5!?
Of course Vista will do decent, the only reason it won't is that the next version is so close and it's just a middle step just like WinME was, I think some poeple will stay with XP for now and upgrade at the next version instead, that is "the real" Vista.
Anyway of course it's not a downgrade, it seems much nicer than XP, who cares that it uses more memory? XP uses more memory than MS-DOS 6.22, I still wouldn't rather run dos. Memory are very cheap nowadays anyway, and I rather have the OS make use of it than have it sitting there unused.
Also remember that the OS will stay there for a while, so within two years or so the requirements are even more reasonable.
How do you do that with Vista?
Serious point, for a single workstation Linux is easier to manage (as in centralised user management and single workstation mail etc.., I assume however you are talking about a large network or similar. a large and complex Linux environment is as manageable as any large and complex Windows environment, for the Linux environment you will have to work a little harder to get your point and click centralised GUI a la active directory with all the exchange components in, but at least you wont need to license another Windows OS to do it and you will need even less hardware to do it with. The only negative is that for the windows environment you *can* get away with badly qualified techs and support staff, on Linux you will need at least a few people who know what they are doing.
This is not FUD. APC in this case stands for Australian Personal Computing. Here is a link to a story about Vista prices in Australia http://www.itwire.com.au/content/view/6154/53/
OpenGL was supported since around NT 3.51 (long before full Direct3d on NT). For games that used OpenGL + MCI for sound, NT was a fine platform for gaming. For example, the original Unreal runs great on NT 3.51.
Becuase they would get sued and people would say how much of a big bad monoploly they have.
Oh wait, that happens on everything they do anyways....
What is even more important is that Linux will work better with the older hardware as drivers are fixed.
.manifest files. Manifest files that cause a BSOD on XP. Oy!
I just got a $600 box to run Vista. It runs but Linux screams! (ok, not literally). Sure, I could add compiz to Gnome and have the weird 3D desktop experience, but that novelty wore off after 30 minutes. I prefer snappy Gnome than a jiggly, spazzing and refocusing Gnome. So, turned off compiz.
Vista, well, the great 3D effects are more annoying than productive. The only thing that is not a real problem is the title bar, the mini-windows in the task bar and windows switching (Alt-Tab). The 3D shuffle is next to useless - why not just have multiple desktops? If OS X comes out with similar, it is a great mistake.
And the programming API is screwed up (see Virtualized Registry and File System). Software designed and misdesigned for Windows 95 works fine. Software designed for Windows 2k and XP will NOT work properly. I don't know what MS was thinking of. All modern software now needs to be updated with their undocumented
Anyway, Linux is a more productive environment than Windows, especially Vista. The 3D effects are distracting!!
Sure, but Microsoft's software OpenGL was too slow to actually be useful for anything but a reference implementation, and if you had an OpenGL accelerator for Windows (a relatively rare beast back then, but they could certainly be had) then you weren't using Microsoft OpenGL anyway, you were using the OpenGL that was designed for your card.
"You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
"wintel"? the nineties called, they want their clever wordplay back
However, I'm assuming you are talking about all of the "games" that are really just viruses and spyware that will now muck up your precious corporate network. I say good riddance to that crap.
"It's not whether you win or lose, it's how drunk you get." -- H. J. Simpson
I can't imagine what the "driver issue" could be, especially one that would cause folders in the start menu to take 2-3 seconds to open, but let me open random files without delay. It behaves this way from the moment it's installed. Let's be very clear: this is a Vista issue, not a third-party driver issue.
For the record, I'm using an ASUS P5W motherboard (Intel 975X chipset), and a few SATA drives. I'm entirely willing to believe that Vista is broken only on a subset of hardware, but broken it is.
LOAD "SIG",8,1
!vista, 100% legalz!
say no to more slow computer! crazy prices everything vista must go!
$$ all $tock$ ha$ been $la$hed $$, save $$$, why pay more?
-funny part will be the microsoft.com email address will be legit and the link will actually go to a microsoft website.
boycott slashdot February 10th - 17th check out: altSlashdot.org
Why wait five years to test it in Wine? Why not now? If it's good enough for Google Earth why not everyone?
I dunno where the issue lies exactly but a bios patch on my Compaq laptop (low specs) fixed these issues for me. I suspect it's something to do with checking one of it's security things and having a lag/failure in the test.
TFA is an australian magazine and prices are Recommended Prices in Australian Dollars
You touch on another sore point here, Australian vs US prices
Compare the following, AUD pricing converted to USD for apples to apples comparison
Window Vista Home Premium - Australia 378USD, Amazon.com 238USD
Windows Vista Business - Australia 470USD, Amazon.com 269USD
Windows Vista Ultimate - Australia 624USD, Amazon.com 359USD
NOTE: That is comparing full price to full price.
Lets compare Austalian Upgrade pricing to US full pricing
Window Vista Home Premium - Australia (upgrade) 248USD, Amazon.com (US full) 238USD
Windows Vista Business - Australia (upgrade) 315USD, Amazon.com (US full) 269USD
Windows Vista Ultimate - Australia (upgrade) 411USD, Amazon.com (US full) 359USD
Indeed, we aussies get royally screwed and pay MORE for the upgrade than you do the Full version
The manager will ponder what course to take.
Spoken like someone with no experience but with an urge to pontificate. Politician or kid?
Here's the deal. The manager will not ponder ANYTHING. The decision will be corporate-wide and anyone with "manager" in his or her title will not have any input into it. Companies are not the wild west.
What 'll be next? A MS sales rep with a paper cup on the sidewalk of a computer store?
Freedom of choice, knowledge & life...
When it's done, Wine will have a declared set of API compatibility with Windows. It may not be 100% of what Windows {insert flavor here} does, but 100% of what they declare works will work just like a Windows programmer would expect it to work.
It's not there yet.
If my home-grown or store-bought applications use APIs outside the "we are working on it" set, then I'm pretty much toast as far as Wine is concerned.
If my home-grown or store-bought apps use APIs that Wine claims they are working on, then someday my apps should work just fine.
If, like Google, I'm using APIs that are already done or at least done enough that my app will work, then hurrah I can start using Wine immediately.
Knowledge is how to play a game, intelligence is how to win, wisdom is knowing what game to play.