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Helium Crisis Approaching

vrmlguy writes "Within nine years the National Helium Reserve will be depleted, according to an article in Science Daily. It quotes Dr. Lee Sobotka, of Washington University in St. Louis: 'Helium is non-renewable and irreplaceable. Its properties are unique and unlike hydrocarbon fuels (natural gas or oil), there are no biosynthetic ways to make an alternative to helium. All should make better efforts to recycle it.' (The St. Louis Post-Dispatch has a local article with quotes from Dr. Sobotka and representatives of the balloon industry.) On Earth, Helium is found mixed with natural gas, but few producers capture it. Extracting it from the atmosphere is not cost-effective. The US created a stockpile, the National Helium Reserve, in 1925 for use by military dirigibles, but stopped stockpiling it in 1995 as a cost-saving measure."

501 comments

  1. No more helium? by eldepeche · · Score: 5, Funny

    Oh, no!

    1. Re:No more helium? by Dr.+Cody · · Score: 2, Funny

      Mr. Bill, you're a Slashdotter?

    2. Re:No more helium? by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

      What will Strindberg do?

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    3. Re:No more helium? by Low5 · · Score: 2, Funny

      Sounds more like a lemming to me...or was that caused by hydrogen?

      I suppose it would explain the subsequent explosions.

      --
      -- "If the truth can be told so as to be understood, it will be believed."
    4. Re:No more helium? by elrous0 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I sure hope they fix this. There is nothing more depressing than a sad clown.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    5. Re:No more helium? by sqrt(2) · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Helium was fun to play with like that but I loved when our chemistry teacher showed us what Sulfur Hexafluoride does to your voice.

      --
      If you build it, nerds will come. Soylentnews.org
    6. Re:No more helium? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is that before or after the operation for throat/lung cancer resulting from long term demonstration?

      (j/k)

    7. Re:No more helium? by tekiegreg · · Score: 1

      Ummm...enlighten a guy who went through a cheap public school education what would Sulfur Hexafluouride do to your voice? Thanks!

      --
      ...in bed
    8. Re:No more helium? by sinclair44 · · Score: 5, Informative

      Basically, whereas helium is less dense than air and thus raises your voice pitch, sulfur hexafluoride is more dense than air and thus lowers your voice pitch.

      Wikipedia

      --
      Omnes stulti sunt.
    9. Re:No more helium? by kennygraham · · Score: 2, Informative

      <chipmunk voice>Oh, no!</chipmunk voice>

      Nmtoken can't contain whitespace. Turn in your nerd card.

    10. Re:No more helium? by jank1887 · · Score: 2, Informative

      yeah, definitely j/k. I read the MSDS on SF6 once when we had to set up some lab equipment. The long and short of it was that it will only kill you if you proceed to breathe it and only it long enough to lose consciousness from lack of oxygen, and then die from asphyxiation.

    11. Re:No more helium? by dakrin9 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      A great video of Jay Leno demonstrating sulfur hexafluoride: http://www.5min.com/Video/Jay-Leno-How-to-Float-a-Boat-on-Air-3542852

    12. Re:No more helium? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      It's a valid SGML snippet. A chipmunk element with a voice attribute.

    13. Re:No more helium? by mikael · · Score: 1
      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
    14. Re:No more helium? by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 3, Funny

      Uranium hexafluoride does the same thing, but it's an even stronger effect on your voice.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    15. Re:No more helium? by c_woolley · · Score: 1

      I tend to refuse inhalation of anything containing the word "Uranium" though.

    16. Re:No more helium? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It would turn Kylie Minogue into Rick Astley.

    17. Re:No more helium? by Phroggy · · Score: 3, Insightful

      <chipmunk voice>Oh, no!</chipmunk voice>

      Nmtoken can't contain whitespace. Turn in your nerd card.

      <voice type="chipmunk">Shut up and let him have his fun.</voice>
      --
      $x='S24;r)>63/* h@<5+oZ)32"5cz';$me='phroggy'x$];
      $x=~y+ -xz+\0-Tx+;print$_^chop$me for split'',$x;
    18. Re:No more helium? by Stefanwulf · · Score: 1

      Replying to undo a mis-clicked moderation...

    19. Re:No more helium? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      You can also perform this experiment with Nitrous Oxide.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    20. Re:No more helium? by Gyga · · Score: 2, Informative

      The uranium doesn't hurt you in Uranium hexafluoride. By the time you get heavy metal or radiation posioning the fluorine will have melted your lungs (couple seconds, a minute if you are unlucky.) My mom does various worst case scenarios for her job and has to calaculate the effects of exotic chemicals or radiation. She heard that this is one of the most painful ways to die, based off someone screaming according to Urban Ledgend.

      --
      I don't preview or spellcheck.
    21. Re:No more helium? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here comes the Goodyear Chopper!
      What?
      The Goodyear Chopper!
      What?

    22. Re:No more helium? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      <voice type="chipmunk">Shut up and let him have his fun.</voice> <span class='pitch: x-high; pitch: -moz-chipmunk'>if there's an open standard, you gotta use it</span>
    23. Re:No more helium? by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      Except a sad panda.

    24. Re:No more helium? by sqrt(2) · · Score: 1, Funny

      That sounds more like a recreational activity than a scientific experiment.

      --
      If you build it, nerds will come. Soylentnews.org
    25. Re:No more helium? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      You on the other hand, welcome to the Über-31337 Secret Geek Club! You just "made an ass out of u and me"(*), a common trait in a certain group of antisocial people commonly known as nerds, giving you and instant pass to my club. Meetings are held every week on tuesdays and thursdays at my moms basement. Looking forward to interesting discussions about various markup languages.

      *) see other replies for details.

    26. Re:No more helium? by dunelin · · Score: 2, Informative

      Basically, whereas helium is less dense than air and thus raises your voice pitch, sulfur hexafluoride is more dense than air and thus lowers your voice pitch.



      Very cool indeed! And sulfur hexafluoride, since it is heavier than air, will also stay down in your lungs unless you try very hard to get it out. Hello asphyxiation. All with the added benefit that it is a tremendously potent greenhouse gas that will never (or extremely slowly) be broken down by any natural process. Now if only everybody tried to be cool by breathing in the stuff and filling fish tanks with it. Most of humanity would win the 2008 Darwin Awards, and the rest of us would enjoy a permanent tropical paradise.

    27. Re:No more helium? by lonesome+phreak · · Score: 1

      Yeah, we know all about your mom and her calculations of exotic effects...

      --
      Maybe we DID take the blue pill. You wouldn't remember anyway.
    28. Re:No more helium? by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      As a rule I tend to worry more about the fluoride part. While it can be safe if it is strongly bonded I still would stay clear of it unless I checked first.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    29. Re:No more helium? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I would imagine that melted lungs would make screaming hard to do.

    30. Re:No more helium? by Phroggy · · Score: 1

      Replying to undo a mis-clicked moderation... Appreciated. It'd be nice if there were a better way to confirm those, that wouldn't be more difficult to use. It used to be that you had to scroll all the way to the bottom of the page to confirm moderations, which was obnoxious.

      Here's an idea! Once you make a selection, use JavaScript to add a "cancel" button, and start a 30-second timer. If you click the button within 30 seconds, it aborts the timer and restores the moderation menu. If the timer expires, it submits the moderation via AJAX and displays a confirmation message just like it does now. If you attempt to leave the page before the timer expires, a confirm() box could ask whether you want to submit your moderations at that time.

      It's not perfect, but maybe better than what we have now, while still also being better than what we had before?
      --
      $x='S24;r)>63/* h@<5+oZ)32"5cz';$me='phroggy'x$];
      $x=~y+ -xz+\0-Tx+;print$_^chop$me for split'',$x;
    31. Re:No more helium? by glittalogik · · Score: 1

      It's not real science unless you're giggling hysterically, any Igor can tell you that =)

    32. Re:No more helium? by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Nmtoken can't contain whitespace. Turn in your nerd card.

      Real name as your login? you've never had the nerd card :)

    33. Re:No more helium? by Gyga · · Score: 1

      That is why I said that screaming was from urban ledgend. I quess you could start screaming before it is completely melted.

      --
      I don't preview or spellcheck.
    34. Re:No more helium? by Phroggy · · Score: 1

      <span class='pitch: x-high; pitch: -moz-chipmunk'>if there's an open standard, you gotta use it</span> pitch: -moz-chipmunk doesn't sound like an open standard to me, it sounds like a proprietary extension to an open standard. And I don't believe 'single quotes' are valid HTML syntax. And I think you meant "style" rather than "class", and you omitted the trailing semicolon (I don't remember if that's legal in CSS or not, but it's surely bad practice). Not to mention having two "pitch" properties.

      If you're gonna be pedantic, you'd better do it properly! :-P
      --
      $x='S24;r)>63/* h@<5+oZ)32"5cz';$me='phroggy'x$];
      $x=~y+ -xz+\0-Tx+;print$_^chop$me for split'',$x;
    35. Re:No more helium? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Your momma" jokes are weak. Get over it.

    36. Re:No more helium? by Hynee · · Score: 1

      ...the fluorine will have melted your lungs...
      Will the fluorine in UF6 really melt your lungs? I thought it would be like the hydrogen in water, tightly bound.
      --
      Damn, I already moderated this topic. Now I'll have to log in with my sock puppet to comment.
    37. Re:No more helium? by kennygraham · · Score: 1

      If it were an attribute it wouldn't be in the closing tag ;)

    38. Re:No more helium? by kennygraham · · Score: 1

      Do we get cookies? :D

    39. Re:No more helium? by kennygraham · · Score: 1

      eh, there's so many of us that i've never even been able to get a domain of my name. but if you want to pick a random person with my name to stalk, i'm sure he'll (or i'll) feel special. :P

    40. Re:No more helium? by aqk · · Score: 1

      Well, I tend to refuse inhalation of anything containing the word Uranus.

    41. Re:No more helium? by Reziac · · Score: 1

      Allllviiiiiin!! stop playing with those balloons and get down here this instant!!!

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    42. Re:No more helium? by c_woolley · · Score: 1

      A wise person. My dog has not learned this leason yet...but the cat is about to teach him.

  2. oh no! by opusman · · Score: 4, Funny

    does this mean all the party balloons will be filled with hydrogen instead?

    oh the humanity!

    1. Re:oh no! by Constantine+XVI · · Score: 2, Funny

      It's not like any hydrogen-filled balloons have exploded or anything...

      ...wait.

      --
      "I think an etch-a-sketch with an ethernet port would beat IE7 in web standards compliance."
    2. Re:oh no! by WormholeFiend · · Score: 1

      does this mean all the party balloons will be filled with hydrogen instead?

      oh the humanity!


      probably, and they'll get the inevitable idiot who's always popping balloons with his cigarette blowed up real good

    3. Re:oh no! by jopsen · · Score: 1

      does this mean all the party balloons will be filled with hydrogen instead?
      If we mix it with 1/3 oxygen it'll only turn into harmless water... :)
    4. Re:oh no! by Nullav · · Score: 1

      Hindenballoons?

      --
      I just read Slashdot for the articles.
  3. This is a capitalist economy by smittyoneeach · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Remember to spell 'crisis' as 'business opportunity'.

    --
    Get thee glass eyes, and, like a scurvy politician, seem to see things thou dost not.--King Lear
    1. Re:This is a capitalist economy by slashbob22 · · Score: 1, Funny

      Remember to spell 'crisis' as 'business opportunity'. Crisortunity?
      --
      Proof by very large bribes. QED.
    2. Re:This is a capitalist economy by goldspider · · Score: 1

      You mean like Global Warming?

      --
      "Ask not what your country can do for you." --John F. Kennedy
    3. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Rogerborg · · Score: 4, Funny

      Hey, why is there such a shortage of resources? Can't capitalism solve that? Is it that the damn Earth doesn't get this whole supply/demand thing? Aargh, we're living on a commie planet!

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
    4. Re:This is a capitalist economy by aproposofwhat · · Score: 4, Funny

      Proof by very large bribes. QED.

      QED?

      Quod Erat Donatum?

      --
      One swallow does not a fellatrix make
    5. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Tilzs · · Score: 1

      Oh don't worry, they will start to capture it when the price goes up.

    6. Re:This is a capitalist economy by slashbob22 · · Score: 0, Redundant

      QED?

      Quod Erat Donatum?

      Well put sir. Well put.
      --
      Proof by very large bribes. QED.
    7. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Anynomous+Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Donandum.

      You want the gerundivum, not the participium.

      --
      I'm not a coward by any name.
    8. Re:This is a capitalist economy by morcego · · Score: 1

      Exact.
      Do you have any idea how much money some on the industry made with the whole replacement of CFC with other propellants business ?

      --
      morcego
    9. Re:This is a capitalist economy by sharkey · · Score: 1

      Crisi-tunity!

      --

      --
      "Outlook not so good." That magic 8-ball knows everything! I'll ask about Exchange Server next.
    10. Re:This is a capitalist economy by smittyoneeach · · Score: 1

      Captialism can't, but stand by for his side-kick, Ad-Lad!
      Ad-Lad will say: "Resources are completely overrated. Anorexic is the new fat! Go, Stone Age!"

      --
      Get thee glass eyes, and, like a scurvy politician, seem to see things thou dost not.--King Lear
    11. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Rich0 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Actually - Capitalism can solve this problem rather readily. The problem is that the US government subsidized Helium so that it is dirt cheap, so it is used in situations where it isn't essential.

      Natural gas producers throw it away because it costs more to make than you can sell it for. The only reason for that is the US used to pay $5/liter for it and sells it for $1/liter and no longer buys it. (I made up those numbers - they're just illustrative but reflect the problem.)

      Assuming there is a decent amount left underground once the shortage becomes acute people will be willing to pay more for helium. Once the market value raises above the cost to produce it people who dig it up will stop throwing it away. At that part the market would regulate its own helium supply/demand.

      There really aren't any externalities in this market that I can see (unlike with fossil fuels - where pollution/CO2 needs to be accounted for) - so there is no reason the market wouldn't work. The main reason it isn't working now is because somebody messed with the market for the last 50 years and it will take some time to correct...

    12. Re:This is a capitalist economy by somersault · · Score: 1

      What crisiness is this!? Mama-mia! Eeeey! It'sa Mariooo!!

      --
      which is totally what she said
    13. Re:This is a capitalist economy by manekineko2 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      This is a great example of the concept of market failure for all those libertarians on Slashdot who blindly follow the church of the invisible hand.

      In a well-functioning market for a limited resource that a lot of people have access to, what is the result that pure capitalism creates? A race to the bottom competition in prices, which normally is great and one of the main advantages of capitalism, but in cases of limited resources might not be. It may well be that the most rational overall response would be to conserve the non-renewable resource, but humans value an immediate benefit over a distant one, and would rather feed themselves today than their children tomorrow.

      As a result, as soon as a few helium sellers lower their prices, then the entire market would have to follow, until soon the price of helium is based upon the current cost of extraction, rather than a higher, rational cost to society that maybe should be being imposed to preserve a non-renewable resource.

      This is a negative externality, something that without that bogeyman of government intervention stepping in, capitalism is unable to deal with effectively. The negative effects are felt by future generations, but the benefits are enjoyed by the current generations. Pure capitalism and market forces encourage the imposition of negative externalities, to the net detriment of all.

      In the long run, the result of the pure market system advocated by some here is that once supplies start running short, prices will increase as the supplies become scarce relative to demand. However, at that point we will already have frittered away 99% of our helium reserves, and it may be that many worthwhile usages will no long be economically feasible, despite being more efficient usages than the original wasteful usages that reduced the supply.

    14. Re:This is a capitalist economy by cthulu_mt · · Score: 1

      So if every "Crisis" is a Business Oppurtunity then why do I feel like DC Comics is screwing me over every few years.

      Ultimate Crisis on Infinite Earths of Oppurtunity!!!

      --
      Virginia is for lovers. EVE is for griefers.
    15. Re:This is a capitalist economy by jdray · · Score: 1

      Alternately, this could be a scare tactic piece that's a lead-in to telling people that, without fossil fuels, we'll have no source of helium. Plots within plots...

      --
      The Spoon
      Updated 6/28/2011
    16. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Chris+Mattern · · Score: 4, Informative

      In a well-functioning market for a limited resource that a lot of people have access to, what is the result that pure capitalism creates? A race to the bottom competition in prices,


      Whups! You fail Econ 101. A market in a resource that has no clear owner is not a "well-functioning market". In such cases, you do indeed get a race to the bottom as players race to claim the resource by extracting it. This is what is meant by "the tragedy of the commons". The answer is to actually provide a well-functioning market by having clear ownership of the resource while it is still unextracted. Owners then have an incentive to leave it in the ground if there is an expectation that it will become scarce and therefore its price will rise.

      This is a negative externality,


      Nope, it's not. An externality is a cost the supplier incurs but does not have to pay. That's not what this is.

      Chris Mattern
    17. Re:This is a capitalist economy by nelsonal · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Please, there aren't any real externalities associated with helium usage (unless talking with a funny voice brings far more joy to the masses than I've noticed at previous parties). Markets have a wonderful way to balance the needs of the future with the needs of today, interest rates. Google Hoteling's model to see how they apply to extractive industries. Markets continue to function fine when the government doesn't mess with them, as they have with helium since WWI.

      --
      Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
    18. Re:This is a capitalist economy by turing_m · · Score: 1

      "Remember to spell 'crisis' as 'business opportunity'."

      I hear there's excellent money to be made if you can convert lead into gold, too.

      --
      If I have seen further it is by stealing the Intellectual Property of giants.
    19. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Markets continue to function fine when the government doesn't mess with them, as they have with helium since WWI. Indeed. It sure seems like every time someone uses a shortage as an example of the free market failing, it always turns out to be the failure of a regulated or otherwise non-free market.
      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    20. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Ed+Avis · · Score: 1

      In a well-functioning market for a limited resource that a lot of people have access to, what is the result that pure capitalism creates? A race to the bottom competition in prices,
      You mean like we're seeing with crude oil now?
      --
      -- Ed Avis ed@membled.com
    21. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Vellmont · · Score: 3, Informative


      In the long run, the result of the pure market system advocated by some here is that once supplies start running short, prices will increase as the supplies become scarce relative to demand. However, at that point we will already have frittered away 99% of our helium reserves, and it may be that many worthwhile usages will no long be economically feasible

      I think you've got some basic facts wrong here, though I'm not sure if I disagree with at least some of your conclusions. We aren't really "running out of helium". There's still huge amounts of it captured in natural gas, most of which we're not even capturing. What's being depleted is the "strategic helium reserve" that the United States created in the 20s.

      As far as the helium shortage is concerned, it's not because we've reached "peak helium", far from it. It's not even really caused by "wasteful helium usage", though I suppose you could make an argument this might help alleviate the problem. It's because some companies have gotten out of the business, and others haven't replaced it yet. The other companies haven't replaced them because the people who own the natural gas and the natural gas processing facilities already make so much money off it that trying to make money off helium offers nothing much more than a risk with a small return. They figure, why bother?

      It may well still be a failing of capitalism, and "market forces" might not give a very optimum solution here. But this just isn't a case of "we used up all the helium, and now we're screwed". It's more of a case of capitalism not being as fluid and free-flowing as some people assume that it is.

      --
      AccountKiller
    22. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Bob-taro · · Score: 1

      Hey, why is there such a shortage of resources? Can't capitalism solve that? Is it that the damn Earth doesn't get this whole supply/demand thing? Aargh, we're living on a commie planet!

      I know you're just making a joke, but I don't think you understand what you're joking about. The capitalist idea of letting the free market determine price based on supply and demand does not mean a capitalist thinks the supply of anything is endless. If Helium is in short supply, the free market price should increase, which should result in less consumption of Helium. If the price gets high enough, those natural gas producers will start capturing helium because it will become profitable to do so.

      --
      Prov 9:8 Do not rebuke mockers or they will hate you; rebuke the wise and they will love you.
    23. Re:This is a capitalist economy by JWW · · Score: 1

      What really makes me wonder about all this is that everyone is all worried about the helium economy.

      But really how many of us use helium for anything other than party balloons?

      Do we really need to worry about running out of party balloons? I understand that there are scientific used for helium but really, if this shortage just makes the price of helium so high it keeps us from having balloons at parties so that helium weather balloons can still fly, I'm fine with that.

    24. Re:This is a capitalist economy by manekineko2 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      By "limited resource that a lot of people have access to", I am not referring to a tragedy of the commons situation. I am referring to a situation, say, where there are finite quantities of helium deposits within the United States, and each of these deposits is held by private ownership.

      Currently, there is clear ownership, there is no significant government oversight, yet what is the net result going to be if left to the market? The helium reserves (according to the article, and I will proceed with its assumptions, as I have no view of my own on this matter) will be mostly depleted relatively shortly.

      What's the cause of this? It's true, owners have an incentive to leave it in the ground if it'll become valuable in the future. However, this only works perfectly in a world of perfectly rational abstracted actors. In the real world, owners also have an incentive to eat today, rather than starving now on the hope of a big payday in the future. Once the large capital investment has been made to install helium extractors, infrastructure, etc. on the wells, it is highly improbable an owner would let that all depreciate into nothing as you wait for a highly speculative payday in the future. It is only when the shortage is actually imminent, and the payday less speculative, that owners will realistically start holding off on pumping. It would be more realistic in the real world that owners would let it stay in the land if they hadn't already tapped it, but it does not appear from the article that this is the case.

      Regarding your quibble about my use of the word externality, as I understand it, an externality is an impact upon a party not involved in a given transaction, and this understanding is supported by Wikipedia. Here, the transactions in question are between helium extractors and helium buyers. Yet the negative impact is felt by future generations, who are not current parties to this, yet will have to live in a world with insufficient helium for scientific and engineering usages, if the premise of the article is to be believed. Hence, negative externality.

    25. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Jeremi · · Score: 1
      A market in a resource that has no clear owner is not a "well-functioning market".


      Indeed, it's another example of that vexing special case known as "real life". If only we could all move to the land of idealized economic theory, where free-market capitalism always does the right thing.


      The answer is to actually provide a well-functioning market by having clear ownership of the resource while it is still unextracted.


      And how shall we accomplish that? Initiate a government intervention, perhaps?

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    26. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Azghoul · · Score: 1

      "What's being depleted is the "strategic helium reserve" that the United States created in the 20s."

      "It may well still be a failing of capitalism, and "market forces" might not give a very optimum solution here."

      It's not a real market, it's one that's been screwed with by the US gov't. This whole "problem" is based on that fact, which is why it's so funny that the GP is whining about free markets and libertarian policy...

    27. Re:This is a capitalist economy by twistedsymphony · · Score: 1

      to add another example to your post look at first class seating on airplanes. Say there are only 12 1st class seats on the plain and dozens of cattle class seats. The price of the 1st class seats isn't arbitrary is based on the market... there is a very limited supply of seats in that section, so the price point is directly related to what the market is willing to pay for them. In essence the price of 1st class seats is as high as it can possibly be to the point where 12 there are 12 people left that are willing to pay for them.

      If the price goes higher than there are fewer people willing to buy those seats and seats go empty, if the price goes lower then there are more people willing to buy the seats then there are seats available and the airline is losing potential profits.

      You could also argue that flights in general are priced on demand... the planes can only hold so much so the price gets jacked up until they reach a point where they can fill the plane without any empty seats and without any potential customers with enough money who still want a flight. If demand get high enough that the prices are as high as they can go without losing customers but there are still many more people willing to fly than there are seats on the plane then they'll buy new planes/add more flights/harvest more helium.

      it basically boils down to: rare things that people want are expensive, common things that people don't want are cheap.

    28. Re:This is a capitalist economy by homer_ca · · Score: 1

      We already had the race to the bottom in the oil market. Hello, $13 a barrel in the 90's? As supplies tighten up even more, expect to see a retrenchment to a form of mercantilism or resource nationalism.

    29. Re:This is a capitalist economy by jabuzz · · Score: 3, Informative

      Hope you don't ever need an MRI scan then. No helium, no MRI scans for starters. Then there is the deep sea diving, no helium no off shore oil platforms. Those pebble bed nuclear reactors also require it, Basically the use of helium in party ballons is morally irresponsible, and needs to be banned with *immediate* effect.

      The biggest problem is that once helium has escaped into the atmosphere it is literally lost for *EVER*. Basically the average velocity of a helium molecule is greater than the escape velocity, so it is lost into space and is irrecoverable.

    30. Re:This is a capitalist economy by jenik · · Score: 1

      speak for yourself, I prefer the participium if I am on the receiving side....

    31. Re:This is a capitalist economy by rbanffy · · Score: 1

      If helium threatens to get expensive enough, lot's of research will go into hydrogen fusion.

      It doesn't even need to generate energy - it just has to be less expensive than recycling or extracting natural helium.

      It's actually a good thing.

    32. Re:This is a capitalist economy by fizzbin · · Score: 1

      The real problem is that the payoff for helium extraction is years in the future, after the government stockpile is gone, but the costs of that extraction are in the present.

      When the stockpile dwindles and the price of helium goes up, I guarantee extraction will take place.

      Once again, Adam Smith's "invisible hand" wins.

      --
      Fizz
    33. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Vellmont · · Score: 1


      The biggest problem is that once helium has escaped into the atmosphere it is literally lost for *EVER*

      I guess you missed the part where I mentioned the vast majority of helium is already being released into the atmosphere when natural gas is separated from CO2. Party balloons are not the big problem here.

      Try to get it into your head that we're NOT running out of helium. We're currently low on the ability to extract helium from natural gas. There's multiple ways to solve that problem.. but this isn't a standard environmental response of "we need to stop using so much of resource X, because we're running out of resource X". No, helium isn't renewable.. but that doesn't make it fit into the standard environmental line of thinking.

      --
      AccountKiller
    34. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why is it then that in reality the price doesn't go down to fill the empty seats?

    35. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Vellmont · · Score: 2, Insightful


      The only reason for that is the US used to pay $5/liter for it and sells it for $1/liter and no longer buys it. . (I made up those numbers - they're just illustrative but reflect the problem.)

      Thanks for making up numbers that much of your argument hinges on. To make a real argument about the affect of the US government on Helium prices you'd have to get REAL numbers, not ones you just made up.

      --
      AccountKiller
    36. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Liquid helium is used extensively in scientific research. Specifically, it is used to keep the Tevatron over at Fermilab nice and cool.

    37. Re:This is a capitalist economy by jwiegley · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      [] would rather feed themselves today than their children tomorrow.

      I don't like children. I don't like your children. I choose not to have children and I would like to enjoy MY life now. What makes your children have more rights to a good life than I do?

      Please keep your "for the children" propaganda out of my life.

      --
      I will never live for sake of another man, nor ask another man to live for mine.
    38. Re:This is a capitalist economy by ultranova · · Score: 1

      However, at that point we will already have frittered away 99% of our helium reserves, and it may be that many worthwhile usages will no long be economically feasible, despite being more efficient usages than the original wasteful usages that reduced the supply.

      Well, luckily we have four rather large sources of helium in our solar system, just waiting for space travel to get up to task. So maybe this impending crisis could be the financial incentive everyone has been waiting for, and thus end up actually benefiting us ?

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    39. Re:This is a capitalist economy by locofungus · · Score: 1

      When the stockpile dwindles and the price of helium goes up, I guarantee extraction will take place.

      That's ignoring a large part of the issue, which is that the helium is being extracted. It's an impurity in natural gas that can almost always be ignored if you are interested in the natural gas.

      Because the natural gas is in demand, it is being extracted. Because there isn't the necessary demand for helium at the moment, there's nobody prepared to pay to separate it from the natural gas and store it. Profit is maximized short term by throwing the helium away, even if the long term maximum benefit is achieved by saving it.

      This is unlikely to significantly change in the foreseeable future. The helium price will go up once the US reserves are exhausted, but only to the point where sufficient helium to meet current demand is separated. The rest will still be lost to space.

      Unless, and until, the demand for natural gas approximately meets the demand for helium (based on their respective ratios in the gas field) then there will always be one or other wasted if the person doing the extraction is attempting to maximize short term profit. If we had absolutely no use for natural gas but a demand for helium then we'd be throwing the natural gas away instead.

      Tim.

      --
      God said, "div D = rho, div B = 0, curl E = -@B/@t, curl H = J + @D/@t," and there was light.
    40. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Hafnia · · Score: 1

      Not all MRI are superconducting magnets , you can do most examinations on a low field MRI - it just takes longer.

    41. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Frank+T.+Lofaro+Jr. · · Score: 1

      Adam Smith's theories are nice for the textbooks, but we live in the Real World, even if some of us don't fully realize that.

      Free market capitalism is broken. 100% communism is also broken, but for different reasons.

      We need a mostly free market, WITH SIGNIFICANT EXCEPTIONS, to function efficiently without destroying resources.

      --
      Just because it CAN be done, doesn't mean it should!
    42. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Tingler · · Score: 1

      You bring up a good point, but who could we bomb to solve this problem?

    43. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Eivind · · Score: 1

      Sure it can, the article even said so: Extraction from the atmosphere is not cost-effective.

      In other words: The only reason we -don't- extract the stuff from the atmosphere is that there are other cheaper sources.

      So it's not as if helium runs out or anything. It's just that much of it escapes to the atmosphere, from which we can extract it again if we need to. Yes, doing so will mean higher prices for helium than current. Whatever, not really much of a "crisis" though.

    44. Re:This is a capitalist economy by ranton · · Score: 1

      Because there would be alot of bad press if an airline started giving procrastinators lowers prices just because they are lazy and waited until the last minute.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    45. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Rogerborg · · Score: 1

      The capitalist idea of letting the free market determine price based on supply and demand does not mean a capitalist thinks the supply of anything is endless

      Correct. A capitalist hopes that it isn't endless, because selling the last unicorn burger buys you beachfront in Maui.

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
    46. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Darth_brooks · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Thanks for making up numbers that much of your argument hinges on. To make a real argument about the affect of the US government on Helium prices you'd have to get REAL numbers, not ones you just made up.

      Not necessarily. This article concerns itself only with the national helium reserve. The fact that someone was buying the product created a significant portion of the market. That buyer quit, demand fell, prices fell, profits margins went away, so companies got out of the business of making the product. It doesn't matter if the government was paying $1/liter, $.10/liter, or $1 brazillion dollars per liter. Demand fell, prices went with it.

      If there is money to be made, someone will make it. The article answers itself. There is a demand for the product, above and beyond party balloons, and that demand will be met.

      --
      There are some people that if they don't know, you can't tell 'em.
    47. Re:This is a capitalist economy by JeanPaulBob · · Score: 1

      QED?

      Quod Erat Donatum?
      Wouldn't that be "Quid Erat Donatum"?
    48. Re:This is a capitalist economy by e2d2 · · Score: 1

      Wait, now it's _morally_ irresponsible? Jesus man I just inflated a birthday balloon, I didn't kill the last penguin.

    49. Re:This is a capitalist economy by dubbreak · · Score: 1

      I'm going to start a business selling normal speakers to all those running helium powered plasma arc tweeters.

      --
      "If you are going through hell, keep going." - Winston Churchill
    50. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Vellmont · · Score: 1

      So basically the argument boils down to this:

      The US Government was buying some quantity of helium at some unknown price and selling for some unknown amount of money.

      Was it a significant percentage of the market? Unknown.
      Was it at a significant price increase? Unknown.
      Was the price it sold it at lower? higher? Unknown.

      I'm more of a fan of basing arguments on facts, not not so hidden assumptions. I'm not an economist, but I have heard they like hard numbers to base market effects on, not made up numbers.

      --
      AccountKiller
    51. Re:This is a capitalist economy by twistedsymphony · · Score: 1

      Why is it then that in reality the price doesn't go down to fill the empty seats?
      The price is most likely based on historical averages as opposed to up to the minute analysis on a flight by flight, minute by minute basis, even still the price of a ticket on a single flight does fluctuate over time based on the market for that flight.
    52. Re:This is a capitalist economy by zymano · · Score: 1

      No worries about shortages!

      We will tap our great freemarket expert RUSH LIMBAUGH's head and ass for the extra gas!

    53. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Zymergy · · Score: 1

      Actually, Helium 4 (and especially Helium 3) escape out of Earth's atmosphere continuously into space. (As well as Hydrogen)
      It is not merely that it is too expensive to extract Helium from the upper atmosphere, but it is also that the atmosphere is leaking Helium into space, lost forever.

      http://www.icr.org/index.php?module=articles&action=view&ID=247
      http://www.infidels.org/library/modern/dave_matson/young-earth/specific_arguments/helium.html
      http://www.answersingenesis.org/tj/v8/i2/helium.asp
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Helium

    54. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Doctor-Optimal · · Score: 1

      Wait, now it's _morally_ irresponsible? Jesus man I just inflated a birthday balloon, I didn't kill the last penguin. Actually, killing the last penguin probably isn't as immoral as killing the second-to-last one.
      --
      New punctuation update "~" (no quotes) at the end of a line to indicate sarcasm. ~
    55. Re:This is a capitalist economy by BeanThere · · Score: 1

      What does that prove? Are you saying that if somebody made money from something, then the premise must've been fake? I don't get your point at all.

    56. Re:This is a capitalist economy by BeanThere · · Score: 1

      As a result, as soon as a few helium sellers lower their prices, then the entire market would have to follow

      Actually, that's the exact opposite of one of the primary principles of running a successful business, one of the first things you'll learn NOT to do in any kind of sensible business course, and one of the most common causes of business failure when newbs make this mistake.

    57. Re:This is a capitalist economy by BeanThere · · Score: 1

      In case you missed the memo, libertarian isn't about trying to "optimise" the economy or about trying to "optimise" the use of resources, it's about freedom, or more specifically, the principle that liberty should not be expended for the sake of supposedly "optimising an economy".

      If your absolute primary goal is artifically engineering the most "optimal" economy possible, then sure, curtailing individual liberties may in certain cases help that flawed goal.

    58. Re:This is a capitalist economy by chgros · · Score: 1

      I would have thought "dandum" ("dare", not "donare")

    59. Re:This is a capitalist economy by morcego · · Score: 1

      My point is that the premise being fake or true isn't relevant here. Take CFC for instance. How long does it take for a CFC molecule to break an ozone molecule ? It might not be as fast as most people think. But I digress.

      My main point is just because some fact is true, doesn't mean the presentation of the facts is.

      So who is to blame ? The big corps ? The media ?

      Take this article for example. So the helium reserves will end. What does that really indicates ? That you will run out of helium ? That the price will go up ? How hard is to get more helium ?

      Answering your question directing: if someone is making money of something, it ALWAYS deserve a better examination. It might not be fake, but the way it is presented could be.

      --
      morcego
    60. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      most of which we're not even capturing

      And therein lies the problem. We're just discarding it. If I cut down all of the trees on my property to turn into furniture and burn the waste, then it turns out that the bark of one of the trees was a key ingredient in a cancer treatment worth billions, no amount of invisible hand waving is going to bring back my trees.

      It's more of a case of capitalism not being as fluid and free-flowing as some people assume that it is.

      I think you'll find the people railing against it aren't the ones who are assuming that "capitalism" is fluid and free-flowing. See also the Enron debacle leading to power outages in California, where pro-corporate types like to claim that it's all regulation's fault for the power going out when Enron started turning generators off because of course, without regulation holding electric companies back, entire power plants complete with a network of transmission lines spring into being the instant some other plant shuts down.

    61. Re:This is a capitalist economy by jdray · · Score: 1

      Well, you see, since helium is in short supply, its price is going to go up. Dramatically. Once its up, you start looking for places to get it. One known place is through the distillation of oil into petroleum products. Once you establish that, then you need large quantities of oil, because, dammit, there's helium in it, and we need that stuff to sustain our American way of life. When you need large quantities of oil, well, there's always Iran, who has a bunch of it. When we're done with them, we'll look around in the neighborhood over there and see who else we can take. If no one over there looks good, we might take a look at Mexico, because, you know, we kinda know how to talk their lingo, and that would be gooder than fooling around with those Arabs.

      --
      The Spoon
      Updated 6/28/2011
    62. Re:This is a capitalist economy by sjames · · Score: 1

      Much of the helium use COULD be curbed by using a helium hydrogen mix (not explosive). As a bonus, it would have MORE lift. The downside is faster diffusion.

      Of course, that won't help cryogenic applications.

    63. Re:This is a capitalist economy by RealGene · · Score: 1

      ..and spending twice as long in a windowless tube is twice the fun?
      --Gene

      --
      Mission: To provide products that consume time and energy as entertainingly as permitted by the laws of thermodynamics.
    64. Re:This is a capitalist economy by aproposofwhat · · Score: 1
      Give me a break - it's 29 years since I learnt Latin at school :P

      I did consider using the gerund form, but decided that 'which was to be given' played better than 'which was given', considering that the original QED is best translated as 'which was to be shown'.

      --
      One swallow does not a fellatrix make
    65. Re:This is a capitalist economy by amRadioHed · · Score: 1

      You bring up a good point, but who could we bomb to solve this problem? Anyone and everyone! Bomb them all with hydrogen bombs and then we just need to collect the helium that results from the fusion.
      --
      We hope your rules and wisdom choke you / Now we are one in everlasting peace
    66. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Funny thing about the "Tragedy of the Commons," is that it didn't exist before capitalism. The actual commons were well maintained, only after the creation of captialism did this concept even arise. So perhaps it should be called the by it's true title, "Tradgedy of Greed-based Economics."

    67. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Hafnia · · Score: 1

      Low field MRI are not tubes , they are open. Actually i think most people would prefer half an hour in an open MRI to 10 min. in a hi-field. Not just because of the tight space in the tube , but also the acoustic noise from the hi-field gradients are LOUD!

    68. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Did you see the stock market took a huge plummet on news that Mitt Romney had won the Michigan primary?

    69. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No... Quantum ElectroDynamics!

      Wait, what kind of a geek are you, anyway? For shame...

    70. Re:This is a capitalist economy by nelsonal · · Score: 1

      I didn't say it wasn't useful, just that it doesn't pollute or bring extra benefits (besides it's uses). For example because it's difficult for the land-owner to charge motorists for a nice view their desire for him not to harvest trees along a highway isn't something that markets handle well. Markets are exceedingly good at allocating resources to their best use which means that if helium becomes very rare it will still keep magnet arrays nice and chilly, but helium balloons will be much less common.

      --
      Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
  4. helium toy balloons by TheLink · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Then it does seem a waste to use it on those toy balloons as it's almost a sure thing the helium will be "lost".

    Well as it gets scarce the prices will go up. Maybe some people should start hoarding now :).

    --
    1. Re:helium toy balloons by weyesone · · Score: 2, Funny

      My wife bought a small helium tank for my son's birthday in Nov. I'm going to keep it and sell short controlled hits for $50.00 a burst!

    2. Re:helium toy balloons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Price go up? Weight for weight, it's already more expensive than gold.

    3. Re:helium toy balloons by WK2 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Well as it gets scarce the prices will go up. Maybe some people should start hoarding now :).

      I thought of that. The problem is that it doesn't stay contained very well. If you bought one of those tanks, and never used it, it wouldn't keep for more than a few years. Even 100% air-tight containers might have a hard time containing helium.

      --
      Write your own Choose Your Own Adventure. http://www.freegameengines.org/gamebook-engine/
    4. Re:helium toy balloons by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      It's so expensive you even need to pay when the weight is negative.

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
    5. Re:helium toy balloons by Buelldozer · · Score: 1

      I have a smallish mylar balloon from when my son was born eight years ago. It's still as full and floaty as ever. My wife and I pull it out and marvel at it a couple of times a year.

      It's obvious that there is a way to contain this slippery gas! ;-)

    6. Re:helium toy balloons by ddrichardson · · Score: 1

      My wife and I pull it out and marvel at it a couple of times a year.

      You must be a lot younger than me, my wife and I rarely bother these days.

      --
      A thistle is a fat salad for an ass's mouth...
  5. I have a solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Let's get high!

  6. A lost age by wish+bot · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Children's parties will never be the same.

    --
    lemonade was a popular drink and it still is
  7. What? by ozamosi · · Score: 1

    So, what you're saying is, basically, that if you use $product, and stop buying more of $product, you eventually run out of $product?

    Amazing!

    1. Re:What? by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I don't think our society remembers being in a time of shortage - and I think that's a problem. It's easy to consume and throw away things if you don't think there will be a problem in getting more, and that attitude is pretty wasteful.

    2. Re:What? by dintech · · Score: 5, Funny

      I was going to mod you up but then I remembered I time when I didn't have mod points and thought better of it.

    3. Re:What? by forkazoo · · Score: 1

      I don't think our society remembers being in a time of shortage - and I think that's a problem. It's easy to consume and throw away things if you don't think there will be a problem in getting more, and that attitude is pretty wasteful.


      Anybody remember the show "Dinosaurs?"

      "What if there aren't any more?"
      "What do you mean? I'd just go to the store and get more. That's what more means."
      "But, what if there weren't any left in the whole world, and the store didn't have any?"
      "Huh, I'm not sure I follow you?"

      (conversation with the last surviving member of the most delicious species in the world trying to explain the repurcussions of eating him.)
    4. Re:what? by uncadonna · · Score: 1

      Wrong. Planets constantly lose atmosphere; the rate for lighter molecules escaping is much faster, as individual molecules near the top (where they have a collisionless trajectory outbound) are more likely to attain escape velocity.

      --
      mt
  8. We need more gas by Malevolent+Tester · · Score: 4, Funny

    Build a refinery.

    --
    If you haven't made a developer cry, you've wasted a day.
    1. Re:We need more gas by lonesome_coder · · Score: 4, Funny

      Well, the thing is, we need more minerals, but we are also in the middle of an SCV crisis.

      We're screwed.

      --
      If you'd just do what we tell you and quit yer gripin' everything would be chocolate sprinkles and rainbows! -AC
    2. Re:We need more gas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      scv?

    3. Re:We need more gas by KlaymenDK · · Score: 2, Funny

      Silver, Copper, ...Valium?

      (No help to be had at acronymfinder)

    4. Re:We need more gas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And don't forget to Spawn more overlords.

    5. Re:We need more gas by fbjon · · Score: 4, Funny

      Space Construction Vehicle. More Starcraft playing is required.

      --
      True confidence comes not from realising you are as good as your peers, but that your peers are as bad as you are.
    6. Re:We need more gas by KlaymenDK · · Score: 1

      "More"?

      More like "any"! :-p

    7. Re:We need more gas by lonesome_coder · · Score: 1

      You have a Slashdot UID and have never played Starcraft?

      I'll be taking your geek card now, you no longer need it.

      --
      If you'd just do what we tell you and quit yer gripin' everything would be chocolate sprinkles and rainbows! -AC
    8. Re:We need more gas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      hmmm, that's 5 extra deduction points for missing an obvious starcraft reference, which puts you at a total of......

      Okay mister, hand in your geekcard at the door, and i dont want to see you here anymore!

      captcha: pron ouns, i wonder what a pron oun is?

    9. Re:We need more gas by KlaymenDK · · Score: 1

      Yeah I played it once, with --I mean against-- two friends who were expert players, and I got thoroughly mauled. As I was trying to figure out which of the various structures would allow me to build something akin to infantry, my base was overrun by dozens of bad guys.

      You know, I'll stick to BZFlag and Port of Call. I know those.

  9. Time to ramp up fusion research by Billosaur · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Want to replace the helium lost and create cleaner, more abundant energy? Now is a good time to pour some more money into fusion research to try and get over the hump and create sustainable fusion reactions.

    --
    GetOuttaMySpace - The Anti-Social Network
    1. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by Picass0 · · Score: 5, Funny

      1) Inhales balloon
      2) ?????
      3) <squeakyvoice> Profit! </squeakyvoice>

    2. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Now is a good time to pour some more money into fusion research to try and get over the hump and create sustainable fusion reactions.

      See, all you wingnuts! Iran does have the entire world's best interests in mind!

    3. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by hey! · · Score: 1

      Because goodness knows we have no other incentives to develop alternative energy sources.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    4. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by Mr.+Underbridge · · Score: 1

      Want to replace the helium lost and create cleaner, more abundant energy? Now is a good time to pour some more money into fusion research to try and get over the hump and create sustainable fusion reactions.

      Even if we had fusion, I don't think it would generate that much helium, would it? I don't have time to do the math, but that's the whole point of fusion, right, that it generates massive amounts of energy (potentially) from relatively little fuel.

    5. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by Dr.+Cody · · Score: 1

      As long has you sustain them for a few microseconds, you've done the job.

    6. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      energy confinement times are in tens of milliseconds at this point

    7. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by mpe · · Score: 1

      Want to replace the helium lost and create cleaner, more abundant energy? Now is a good time to pour some more money into fusion research to try and get over the hump and create sustainable fusion reactions.

      Except that if you were to use Duterium/Tritium fusion you wind up with Helium-5 which is the least stable isotope of Helium. If the aim were production of Helium then Duterium only fusion would be the best process.

    8. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by mpe · · Score: 1

      Even if we had fusion, I don't think it would generate that much helium, would it? I don't have time to do the math, but that's the whole point of fusion, right, that it generates massive amounts of energy (potentially) from relatively little fuel.

      There is plenty of Helium production going on, just that it's spread thinly over the entire planet.

    9. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by lachlan76 · · Score: 5, Informative

      That's not really practical. Let's assume, for the sake of argument, that a fusion reactor can convert 10% of the power from its reaction to electricity.

      The most promising reaction, according to Wikipedia, is that of:

      Deuterium + Tritium ---> Helium-4 + Neutron, delta-H = -17.6MeV/reaction[1]

      First of all, there is the Deuterium. This is harvested from Heavy Water, water that has one or two deuterium atoms instead of normal hydrogen atoms. This heavy water costs approximately US$300/kg[2] for consumers, and the deuterium produced approximately US$1/L[3]. This is a lot. Deuterium has a molar mass of approximately two g/mol, with one mole of a gas taking up one cubic metre at standard temperature/pressure. At US$1/L, this deuterium costs US$1000/m^3, or US$500/g (I'm assuming that gases volumes refer to STP. If I'm wrong, feel free to point this out---I've never dealt with bottled gas).

      Next is tritium. At US$30000/g[4], it's hardly cheap. For the reaction to take place, you need the two isotopes to react stoichiometrically (in the proper ratio). IOW, for each mole of tritium, you need a mole of deuterium. Converted to masses (tritium's molar mass is approximately three), this means that you need a ratio of 3g tritium : 2g deuterium. For each mole of Tritium, you will get a mole of helium. Because we're dealing with helium-4, the molar mass is ~4g/mol. The rest of the mass is made up by the neutron; this doesn't matter to us. Therefore, to make four grams of helium, we need three grams of tritium, and two grams of deuterium. At the prices given, this is US$91000 per four grams of helium, which, because it is one mole, is one cubic metre at STP. Helium, as of 1986 (yeah, yeah, I know) cost US$37.50/1000f^3. This is about US$1.30/m^3. Think about those prices. 9.1 x 10^4 US$/m^3, vs 1.3 x 10^0 US$/m^3. That's almost five orders of magnitude. There would have to be be a bloody good reason to be using helium at those prices.

      In conclusion:
      Helium-4 produced by fusion will cost five orders of magnitude more than current prices

      References:

      1. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_fusion#Important_reactions
      2. http://www.straightdope.com/mailbag/mheavywater.html
      3. http://www.corrosionsource.com/handbook/periodic/1.htm
      4. http://fire.pppl.gov/fesac_dp_ts_willms.pdf
    10. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by smaddox · · Score: 1

      Unless you consider Boron(11) and Hydrogen. If you fuse the two, you get unstable Carbon which decays into helium. You also have the added bonus of no neutron radiation, making it much cleaner.

      p + (11)B -> 3 (4)He + 8.7 MeV

    11. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fusion isn't the same thing as fission.

    12. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      At the prices given, this is US$91000 per four grams of helium, which, because it is one mole, is one cubic metre at STP. Helium, as of 1986 (yeah, yeah, I know) cost US$37.50/1000f^3. This is about US$1.30/m^3. Think about those prices. 9.1 x 10^4 US$/m^3, vs 1.3 x 10^0 US$/m^3. That's almost five orders of magnitude. There would have to be be a bloody good reason to be using helium at those prices.

      Yeah, because the only thing fusion is good for is producing Helium.

      Those $91000 isn't what it cost to produce four grams of helium. It's the cost to produce all the electricity from the energy given off by that reaction. Which is a lot. Which gets sold to people. The Helium production is a bonus. Instead of throwing it away, they get to sell it. How much they sell it by is a function of the supply and demand for helium, not the cost for manufacturer. If nobody was buying, they'd still be selling the electricity, and would be throwing the helium away.

    13. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by mha · · Score: 1

      Not sure why this post is labeled "insightful"... because it does not say anything that would invalidate what the original poster had said. It completely misses that postings point. Sure the purpose of a fusion reactor is to create energy, and yes - this "waste product" COULD be sold. However, there just won't be enough helium output unless selling by the gram is useful for anyone??? How much time (for producing energy) such a reactor would have to run before even a cubic meter of the gas has been produced? And how efficient is it for anyone to care about a side-effect that could, if converted into money, be worth not more than an invisibly small fraction of the income of your real business (producing energy)? So the conclusion from the original authors posting is and remains: using fusion reactors as a source for helium is not worth it, regardless of how you look at it. Remember that earth-based fusion will be based on very little matter, so the output elements also will be few. Just like a nuclear reactor spits out many orders of magnitude less waste than a coal power plant (how poisonous that waste is is a completely unrelated issue, this is just about pure volume). Ergo you would not be very wise to wait for the chemical elements coming out of that reactor - it's just not enough to be used for any kind input into other production processes. The only thing of value you get is the energy.

    14. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by AikonMGB · · Score: 1

      You're forgetting something.. why would all of the costs of running the reactor be passed on to Helium consumers? I would imagine the primary revenue source for a fusion power plant would be selling the electricity it generates. Hopefully someday in the not-so-distant future, it will be sufficiently cost-effective to do this.

      Once that point is reached, they could slough off the Helium at whatever price people will be willing to pay for it.

      Aikon-

    15. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by Beyond_GoodandEvil · · Score: 2, Informative

      Just like a nuclear reactor spits out many orders of magnitude less waste than a coal power plant (how poisonous that waste is is a completely unrelated issue, this is just about pure volume). Ergo you would not be very wise to wait for the chemical elements coming out of that reactor - it's just not enough to be used for any kind input into other production processes. The only thing of value you get is the energy.
      Written by someone who has never heard of a breeder reactor.

      --
      I laughed at the weak who considered themselves good because they lacked claws.
    16. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And about 47.17 MWh of electricity at 10% efficiency (if my numbers are correct).

    17. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your strawman has a pretty obvious flaw: 1 mole of gas @ STP takes up 22.4 L. 1 cubic meter is 1000 L. This changes the numbers, a bit, e.g. from $500/g to $11.2/g for D2, and on, down the line (by >4000%).

    18. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by lachlan76 · · Score: 1

      Possibly, but for each helium atom produced, energy in the MeV range is emitted. It's 4AM and I'm too tired to make the calculations work out, but to make it work out (if it could be done at all), you would need a very large fraction of the world's power generation to be carried out with fusion. With that much energy, it looks as though it should not be able to produce sufficient quantities of helium at the necessary power levels to match demand. I could be wrong though.

    19. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by AikonMGB · · Score: 1

      Agreed; its certainly not an efficient way to produce Helium (where efficient means "we would get enough out of it"). However, the cost would still be as low as we wanted to make it ;)

      Aikon-

    20. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by afidel · · Score: 1

      Since the main cost component in the production of Deuterium/Tritium is energy, and you're going to be using it (theoretically) to produce abundant electricity....

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    21. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One mole of gas at STP (1 atm, 298K) occupies 24.5 L or 0.0245 m^3, not 1 m^3!

    22. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, a mole of an ideal gas at standard temperature and pressure is 22.4 liters, fundamental chemistry, really.

    23. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by lachlan76 · · Score: 1

      You're right---I missed out energy considerations (that's why I initially mentioned efficiency).

      The reaction's enthalpy is 1.76 x 10^7 eV/reaction, or 1.695 x 10^12 J/mol. Worldwide power usage is approximately 1.5 x 10^13 W[1], so, if all power was supplied by fusion, you would get approximately ten moles per second as a by-product, assuming perfect efficiency. Multiply the figure by three or five to account for inefficiencies in the power generation, divide by some number to account for lost helium---the energy of the alpha particle (helium-4 nucleus) is in the MeV range, and you'd never get it all (it's more radiation than gas).

      Let me repeat that: at current demand levels, a figure on the order of 10 mol/s would be produced (moles are equivalent to cubic metres for gases at STP) worldwide cheaply as a byproduct of power production (multiply or divide by whatever number you like to account for inefficiencies---this is just an order of magnitude, and 50 mol/s is probably closer to the upper bound). The rest would have the cost that I mentioned before.

      References:

      1. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_energy_resources_and_consumption
  10. Where's the problem? by GreatBunzinni · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Could someone please explain how exactly is there a crisis? I mean, the article states that the only thing that is happening is that the US national helium reserve is being depleted, an artificial stockpile program that stopped stockpiling due to being too expensive. Then it is stated that there are plenty sources of helium but no one bothers to take advantage of them due to the fact that at the moment it simply does not make anyone any money. So, to sum things up, no one bothers to store helium because it isn't cost effective and no one bothers to mine helium because there isn't any money to be made by it.

    Doesn't that mean that the offer outweighs the demand by a landslide? Doesn't this mean that there were a lot of people smooching the US national helium reserve for a long time?

    --
    Slashdot, fix your code or at least hire someone who is competent at it to do it for you.
    1. Re:Where's the problem? by denzacar · · Score: 5, Funny

      Doesn't this mean that there were a lot of people smooching the US national helium reserve for a long time? Yeah... there is always at least one jerk at every party who still thinks that is funny.
      --
      Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
    2. Re:Where's the problem? by Mysticalfruit · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I was just thinking the same thing... once the stockpile is depleted and helium goes (some price way higher than it currently costs) some refiner will look at one of their waste product pipes labeled "Helium" and well... they'll get really happy and call a company about a cryopump and some storage tanks... shortage solved...

      --
      Yes Francis, the world has gone crazy.
    3. Re:Where's the problem? by mcelrath · · Score: 5, Informative

      One cannot "mine" helium. It comes dominantly from radioactive decay in the earth of Uranium and its decay products. But because it is so light, it generally leaks out of the ground, and escapes. Also because it is so light, it is not retained in the earth's atmosphere at all, and leaks into space (at which point it is irretrievable). Our supply right now comes from radioactive decay (over the last 5 billion years) which produced helium that accidentally got trapped in the earth (mostly in the same underground reservoirs as oil -- it is mixed in with natural gas). The half-life of Uranium is about 4.5 billion years, so the Helium is produced very slowly.

      The problem is that it has widespread industrial and scientific uses, and its loss will have a severe impact on our science and industry. In particular it is used as a coolant (gets down to about 4K, and is the best way to get things to that temperature). Also it is used in any application requiring high field superconducting magnets. The fancy new High-T_c magnets generally cannot support large fields, so in fields like particle physics which require big magnets, they generally use simpler materials (e.g. Niobium-Titanium for the main LHC magnets) that only superconduct at temperatures much lower than the liquid Nitrogen boiling point.

      -- Bob

      --
      1^2=1; (-1)^2=1; 1^2=(-1)^2; 1=-1; 1=0.
    4. Re:Where's the problem? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well then logically we've always been running out of helium since the first time it was used. The problem was that the reserve made it far cheaper than it should have been, which made it easy and cheap to waste it on things like birthday balloons. The perception of its value was greatly lowered because its monetary value was artificially much lower than it ought to be. Once the reserve is sufficiently depleted, its monetary value should better reflect its true scarcity, causing its perceived value to also rise, and thus it will be conserved because it is too expensive to waste.

      I'm sure any scientist that really needs it will be able to get a grant to afford their helium, or maybe they'll figure out some alternative (depending on their intended usage) that would help someone else down the road etc.

      Anyway, point is: capitalism wins.

    5. Re:Where's the problem? by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 1
      The LHC's Helium budget is going to be $2 Million per year just to top off losses. That's at today's prices. However, I just read about some British firm making "dry" cryomagnets that don't rely on Helium as a coolant. Link.

    6. Re:Where's the problem? by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      Sure you can mine it - natural gas extraction is usually classified as mining. Sure, it doesn't come from nowhere, and is in limited supply - but that is true of ANYTHING - even dirt to a far lesser degree.

      The real question is how much is left underground and how long will it take to deplete this.

      The problem is that the US government subsidizes the price of helium which makes it dirt cheap. Since it is dirt cheap it is "wasted." How big a problem this is depends largely on whether we'll run out anytime soon.

      I also haven't seen any stats on how fast it is produced. Sure - the half-life of uranium is long, but there is a LOT of it underground. So at some rate helium can be extrated with no net-loss to the earth. There are also more exotic ways of making it (it is EVERYWHERE in space - just without much density, and any alpha-emitter releases it).

      If there really is a crisis then the simplest solution is a tariff on the sale of helium - that will encourage EVERYBODY to find alternatives, and where there are none the cost will at least ration the demand somewhat.

      It is really no different from fossil fuels.

    7. Re:Where's the problem? by Chapter80 · · Score: 1

      Also because it is so light, it is not retained in the earth's atmosphere at all, and leaks into space (at which point it is irretrievable).
      I'm no physicist, but this doesn't seem to be as big of a deal as you make it sound. It seems to me that the only helium atoms that can escape gravitation would be those that are propelled rapidly away from the earth. Most atoms of helium that are released at ground level would bounce upwards, rising toward the top levels of the atmosphere and stick around up there. Random collisions on their way up would probably keep the vast majority of them from being propelled out of earth's gravitational pull.

      If we are leaving behind a trail of helium into space, we are probably leaving a trail of other elements as well. And I doubt that there's anything that we are doing at earth's ground level to change that.

      but I'll be the first to admit that I don't know jack....

    8. Re:Where's the problem? by sdpuppy · · Score: 2, Informative
      Exactly.

      I think it's worth mentioning two related uses for high field magnets that impact out "everyday lives" quite a bit more than particle physics (yes I am a fan and realize the potential of particle physics but I am talking about immediate impact):

      Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) - those babies use lots of liquid Helium to keep the magnets 4K

      Nuclear Magnetic Resonance Spectroscopy (NMR) - OK this is "almost immediate impact" on daily lives in that research into new drugs and organic chemicals would be tremendously affected and slowed without this analytical instrument.

      Good news for the MRI application is that there are now Helium recyclers - instead of letting the liquid Helium slowly boil off into atmosphere, it is collected, compressed and reused. There are still losses, but instead of having to fill a half empty magnet around 4 times per year, you now have to fill about once a year.

      However current recycling technology produces too much vibration for most NMR applications and currently isn't viable for this application.

    9. Re:Where's the problem? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here's why there isn't a problem...

      And Russia has the world's largest reserves of natural gas, where helium certainly exists. But there is no push to market it, as, for the short term, supplies are adequate, though increasingly costly.

      Once there becomes a 'market', there is a lot more helium available...

    10. Re:Where's the problem? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you're right, you are no physicist.

      things which are smaller move faster. even at the temperature of the upper atmosphere, helium moves at escape velocity.

    11. Re:Where's the problem? by mcelrath · · Score: 1
      See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atmospheric_escape for a wordy explanation...

      It appears from my googling that there is quite a lot of controversy surrounding the amount of He in the atmosphere. It seems the young-earth creationist nuts have taken it up as proof that the earth is young. So, the loss is higher than expected and I couldn't find a non-crackpot webpage explaining why it is lost.

      Upshot is the atmospheric concentration is ~5 ppm, and seems to be constant for unknown reasons, which is so small as to make atmospheric extraction impractical. As the loss mechanism doesn't appear to be understood, it's unknown if it would be replenished if it were extracted. It is not being trapped anywhere in the earth except oil wells, and that quantity has accumulated over hundreds of millions of years.

      --
      1^2=1; (-1)^2=1; 1^2=(-1)^2; 1=-1; 1=0.
    12. Re:Where's the problem? by Mac+Scientist · · Score: 1
      Then it is stated that there are plenty sources of helium but no one bothers to take advantage of them due to the fact that at the moment it simply does not make anyone any money.

      Not nearly so simple. Helium gas comes from natural gas mines. Not all mines are as copious in helium. But the significant problem is that to get more helium, companies would have to extract more natural gas, which would cause a glut and drastically decrease the price of natural gas. Since the market for natural gas is far larger, limiting that supply to keep prices up is considered more important than making helium available. Already the helium supply during certain times of the years is less than demand. You can't pay more for what is not available.

      It's also a problem because as helium gets more expensive, that means research that needs ultracold temperatures becomes even more limited by funding than it is already. Add to that the costs of MRI medical scans, which also use liquid helium to cool the magnets and sensors, and medical costs start to go up. As other countries improve their health care, they build more MRI machines and demand more of the helium supply coming from overseas, at the expense of the USA. Prices go up again...

    13. Re:Where's the problem? by necama · · Score: 1

      The primary reason this is a crisis is because a large amount of basic physics research is done at liquid helium temperatures or lower, and the easiest (and up until recently) cheapest way to do that research has been to consume liquid helium to cool down experiments. If the cost of helium goes up, then it will become difficult to continue funding for the low temperature community. That includes things like superconductivity research.

      There are new products on the market now that use closed cycle refrigerators to do the cooling (still takes helium, but contains it rather than consuming it), but many of the scientists doing low temperature physics don't have the money to spend on a new cryostat in order to take advantage of the new technology. In addition, the closed cycle refrigerators don't have the raw cooling power of the liquid helium.

    14. Re:Where's the problem? by OldSoldier · · Score: 1

      The Helium market is an odd one... the gas is a by-product of mining Natural Gas. According to a recent science friday interview http://www.sciencefriday.com/program/archives/200710122 the supply/demand market is set for natural gas and not directly helium. In other words... it is not ecomomical to drill into natural gas mines solely for helium. At least not at current helium prices. So the production capacity is driven by the supply/demand needs for natural gas not directly helium.

      Additionally, as others have pointed out, there are various refineries around the world that are under repair or otherwise offline.

    15. Re:Where's the problem? by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      "demand more of the helium supply coming from overseas, at the expense of the USA. Prices go up again..."
      Unless things have changed the US is the OPEC of helium.
      The US seems to have the majority of Helium. That is one of the reasons that everybody else used Hydrogen for their airships while the US used Helium. At the time it was considered a very dangerous strategic resources.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    16. Re:Where's the problem? by jesterzog · · Score: 1

      I was just thinking the same thing... once the stockpile is depleted and helium goes (some price way higher than it currently costs) some refiner will look at one of their waste product pipes labeled "Helium" and well... they'll get really happy and call a company about a cryopump and some storage tanks... shortage solved...

      And what backs up this argument is that it's exactly what happens in the oil market. Every few years the media gets hold of someone's declaration that the world's oil reserves will be depleted within X years, which is completely true for as long as the current technology is being used to extract the oil from the easiest places. There's a lot of oil that's known about underground and a lot of places that haven't been well searched, but it's not cost-effective to search for and extract it. As soon as oil becomes more scarce and the price goes up, it becomes more cost effective for oil companies to improve their drilling abilities and start drilling in new places ... and the crisis is averted for another 15-20 years (yet again).

      There are other reasons why it may not be a good idea to use too much oil, but running out of it isn't the most serious issue. I don't know a lot about helium sources but if it's true that there's a lot known about in other places, I don't see why this would be different.

    17. Re:Where's the problem? by Lost+Race · · Score: 1

      The cost of trapping and storing helium released by natural gas "mining" is much much much lower than the cost of extracting helium from the atmosphere or producing it by nuclear reactions. Right now we're depleting irreplaceable underground helium reserves at a very rapid rate because the current cost of helium is so low -- the small fraction that we do bother to capture is plenty to supply all our needs. Eventually the "free" helium supply will dry up and the cost of helium will skyrocket. It would be much cheaper in the long term to capture and store all helium currently being wasted, but there is no short-term economic incentive. (Ultimately, of course, (very long term) all helium reserves will be depleted and we'll have to live without plentiful helium. The planet does not produce helium anywhere near as quickly as we like to consume it.) Once we use the helium, it's effectively gone. It's not like consumed minerals which sit on the ground waiting to be recycled. That's why we have to be careful -- what's trapped in accessible underground pockets now is effectively all we'll ever have, and we're throwing it away permanently because we don't need it right now.

    18. Re:Where's the problem? by novakyu · · Score: 1

      Sure, it doesn't come from nowhere, and is in limited supply - but that is true of ANYTHING - even dirt to a far lesser degree. The REAL problem, as I see it, is not that it doesn't come from nowhere, but it goes to nowhere (i.e. space) when released. Nearly everything that we use stays on earth, as a waste product, in a different chemical, etc. If we really need them again (like hydrocarbons), we can simply make them again, with the input of constituent elements and some energy. It's a simple matter of economics of whether it's practical to do that.

      Helium, on the other hand, gets released into space and is lost to the earth-bound people like us. The only known way to make more helium is from radioactive decay of uranium, but this is neither a fast nor a renewable process.

      When people say "limited supply", they usually mean a fixed quantity of item per unit time (unless it's like land, which is really limited at least until we start colonizing other planets and galaxies). Helium is really limited, in the sense that once we run out, there's no way to replenish the supply in the time scale that we have. We are not talking about, "We can only use X tons of helium per year on scientific endeavors"; we are talking about "We have only X tons of helium for all scientific endeavors, until we finally colonize Mars/Alpha Centauri/etc."
    19. Re:Where's the problem? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The main big deal is, just as the article says, once the helium is gone, it's gone. At the rate natural gas fields are being used, the helium is essentially being launched into space, irretrievably. For balloons or whatever, people could just take their chances and use helium again... but for other technologies, they NEED helium, and it doesn't bind with other elements so there's not like helium dioxide or something to pull raw helium out of -- when it's gone it's gone.

  11. damn. by apodyopsis · · Score: 3, Funny

    damn. there goes my billionaire sky yacht. damn those pesky kids and their party tricks.... damn them.

    1. Re:damn. by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      IF we don't fix this, think of all the James Bond supervillians who will now have to travel on commercial airlines. I can only imagine the suffering of all those poor cats down in the cargo hold.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    2. Re:damn. by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      We need to get over to Mars and get that Eighth Ray. That'll show them there helium chuggers!

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
  12. Look on the bright side by denzacar · · Score: 1

    At least it will be easier to get rid of politicians in the future.

    Just toss a lighted cigarette in the room. Let the balloons do the rest.

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
    1. Re:Look on the bright side by SirBruce · · Score: 4, Funny

      The balloons that drop at political events aren't filled with helium, smart guy. Otherwise they wouldn't DROP.

    2. Re:Look on the bright side by Bill,+Shooter+of+Bul · · Score: 5, Funny

      No, they are filled with helium, but after the speeches they've just given up all hope and are too depressed to float anymore.

      --
      Well.. maybe. Or Maybe not. But Definitely not sort of.
    3. Re:Look on the bright side by Prof.Phreak · · Score: 1

      Nah, I think they're just full of hot air.

      --

      "If anything can go wrong, it will." - Murphy

    4. Re:Look on the bright side by whoever57 · · Score: 1

      No, they are filled with helium, but after the speeches they've just given up all hope and are too depressed to float anymore.
      No, the explanation is much simpler. The balloons no longer float because the density of air around them has been reduced so much by the speeches that the balloons are now heavier than the air and hence sink.
      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    5. Re:Look on the bright side by Ranger · · Score: 5, Funny

      Ever fill a balloon with carbon dioxide then drop it? It gives visual meaning to the phrase 'went over like a lead balloon.'

      Now that would be a cool sight. Dropping C02 filled balloons at a political rally. They wouldn't float down. They'd plummet straight to the ground and wouldn't even bounce. It wouldn't look natural.

      --
      "You'll get nothing, and you'll like it!"
    6. Re:Look on the bright side by Kamokazi · · Score: 1

      However hot air is lighter than cold air, and enough hot air is blown around at political events that it actually becomes lighter than helium, so the baloons must be filled with helium so they don't injure anyone when they fall. Also, it's a good way to know when it's time to end the convention.

      --
      As our way of thanking you for your positive contributions to Slashdot, you are eligible to disable Slashdot 2.0.
    7. Re:Look on the bright side by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unless they are at a Barack Obama rally.

    8. Re:Look on the bright side by Bill,+Shooter+of+Bul · · Score: 1

      K, at an Obama rally they are so shocked at not being depressed, that they completely forget to float.

      and in the spirit of bipartisanship ...

      At a Huckabee rally, They don't fall either. Chuck Norris pulls the ground up to meet them.

      --
      Well.. maybe. Or Maybe not. But Definitely not sort of.
    9. Re:Look on the bright side by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ever fill a balloon with lead and then drop it?

    10. Re:Look on the bright side by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Doesn't the political events last long enough that the rising hot air would heat the air in the balloons by contact and they would drop anyways?

      If you have ever been to an indoor political rally (you might have, I don't know), you would have noticed that all the clapping and cheering creates an artificial convection which is very similar to a fan blowing on you. My first indoor event had the wind moving so hard, people's hair was drifting as if outside in a gentle breeze. There was also an electrical feeling in the air. Something that would somewhat convinced most people to go vote. If you haven't been to one, do so in the near future.

    11. Re:Look on the bright side by Warbothong · · Score: 5, Funny

      Hmmm.... There's a joke here about hot air, but I can't quite get it off the ground.....

    12. Re:Look on the bright side by Gidono · · Score: 1

      I thought they were filled with all the hot air coming from the politicians.

    13. Re:Look on the bright side by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They would if you replace the air in the room with hydrogen...

  13. Peak Everything by Ralph+Spoilsport · · Score: 5, Insightful
    As a civilisation we are facing Peak Everything a century of resource decline in the face of population expansion.

    It's not the End of the World, but you can see it from here, and if we're not careful Things Could Go Poorly. The problem is the smartest people around think "technology" will fix the "resource" problem. Given unlimited energy and resources, perhaps this is true, but we don't live in a world where there are unlimited resources. So, if we're at the top of the heap - look around you: this is as good as it gets.

    RS

    --
    Shoes for Industry. Shoes for the Dead.
    1. Re:Peak Everything by FudRucker · · Score: 1

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TboJUxTIaC4 because we are a virus to this planet!

      --
      Politics is Treachery, Religion is Brainwashing
    2. Re:Peak Everything by denzacar · · Score: 1

      Given unlimited energy and resources, perhaps this is true, but we don't live in a world where there are unlimited resources. You mean like... umm... I don't know... this entire universe of resources out there?

      What time is it where you are now?
      If it is dark enough, with few clouds, you might see a giant fuckin' chunk of those resources right up there in the sky.
      Its kinda hard to miss. Its big and shiny. People call it "The Moon".

      You do know that humans went there 40 years ago?
      Using f-in slide rules for calculation.
      --
      Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
    3. Re:Peak Everything by Aladrin · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Of course, given unlimited energy and resources, there wouldn't be a crisis to begin with.

      As for technology fixing the problem... How do you know it won't? 100 years ago, they could have said the same... And been wrong. Nuclear was invented after that.

      Every generation seems to think this is 'as good as it gets' and every generation has been proven wrong. Our technology is still advancing faster than ever.

      Am I putting blind faith in technology? No. I think we should conserve and recycle. I think we should specifically research the issues of the day instead of random other things. But I also know that researching 'random other things' has created some of our best technology.

      --
      "If you make people think they're thinking, they'll love you; But if you really make them think, they'll hate you." - DM
    4. Re:Peak Everything by tgd · · Score: 5, Insightful

      While it sounds noble to talk about space travel, and at once level you're right, comparing what we did as a species 40 years ago and what we'd need to do to really utilize those resources on Earth is like saying getting into orbit is easy because the Chinese invented rockets two thousand years ago.

      Do take a stroll by any of your local industrial plants -- doesn't matter what it is. Steel, say. Or a gas liquification plant. Now figure out how you're going to get all of that into space. Not orbit, you need it orbiting the sun, not the Earth because the stuff you're talking about what we want isn't floating around around the earth. Now figure out how you're going to shield it from radiation, and feed the hundreds of employees. And keep in mind all of that capacity is to produce something for a regional demand, not a global demand.

      Even when you've got it, now figure out how you're going to get it back down to the ground. (We'll ignore the fact that most of the resources are tied up in other gravity wells...)

      Your statement may be intellectually correct, but its about as realistic as sitting in the jungles of central america 12,000 years ago and taking solice in the availability of some resource you need, buried a mile inside of Everest and nowhere else.

    5. Re:Peak Everything by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Not least: Peak population. It's supposed to happen around 2050, if current fertility trends continue.

    6. Re:Peak Everything by Angostura · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Every generation seems to think this is 'as good as it gets' and every generation has been proven wrong.


      I think you may need to adjust your frame of reference somewhat. Have a look at the fall of he Roman Empire, the Dark Ages, what happened to the Mayans, Easter Island etc. and think again about whether every generation has been proven wrong
    7. Re:Peak Everything by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As a civilisation we are facing Peak Everything a century of resource decline in the face of population expansion.

      How dare you question the free market? Don't you know that as soon as a resource is gone or an animal forever extinct another resource magically appears to replace it and that this will lead to a infinite accelerating spiral of prosperity?

    8. Re:Peak Everything by maxume · · Score: 1

      Unless, of course, we aren't.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    9. Re:Peak Everything by moosesocks · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Our understanding of Physics and Geology is undisputedly the best that it ever has been. One could even argue that our understanding of physical phenomena that occur for "human-sized" systems is nearly complete.

      Granted, we still have a long ways to go in terms of exploiting those laws of physics to generate energy/resources, but the fact remains that our "catalogue" of Earth's natural resources is largely complete.

      We know what materials are available to us, we know which of those materials can be used to generate energy, and we know that we're quickly running out of all of them. Although Nuclear fusion/fission offer the promise of "turning nothing into something", even our current supply of fissile material is most certainly finite (and we must take great care to properly re-process and re-use spent fuel).

      I'd love to be proven wrong, but I'm really not sure we're going to uncover any magical new energy sources in the near future. Fusion research should of course be pursued (preferably funding several different designs, as there are quite a few worthy candidates), although every current indication shows that viable Fusion generation is going to be *really* *really* difficult, even if we do figure out how to sustain the reaction.

      --
      -- If you try to fail and succeed, which have you done? - Uli's moose
    10. Re:Peak Everything by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      You're ignoring the parent post's whole point. That the method to do this may very well be invented soon, but not if we don't work on it. That's exactly what nuclear energy was, and it wasn't a single bright guy thinking it up over night.

    11. Re:Peak Everything by hobo+sapiens · · Score: 1

      feeding the trolls *and* looking good while doing it, eh?

      --
      blah blah blah
    12. Re:Peak Everything by Anne_Nonymous · · Score: 2, Funny

      > Peak Everything
      > End of the World
      > Things Could Go Poorly

      hey! stop using up our precious reserves of capital letters!

    13. Re:Peak Everything by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, well going to the moon wasn't exactly hard, and you would not not need much computing power to calculate your way there. The moon is kind of hard to miss isn't?

      In A Short History of Nearly Everything, Bill Bryson explains why and how the universe around us, which is full of resources, is totaly out of our reach, and will be for a long while, no matter how powerful your computers are. I'm not saying don't do reseach that way, I'd love to see vulcans too.

      One has to ask the question as to what is easier to do: find oil on the moon and bring it back (30 billion barrels per year plus growth), or modify our cities/buildings/way of life to reduce commute and our dependence on oil and (insert any depleting resource here)?

      Lastly, I invite you do to this calculation: oil consumption tripples every 40 years, and we're at roughly consuming 80 millions barrels per day now world wide. Simply do the math and find out how long it takes to consume a volume of oil equal to the volume of the planet.

    14. Re:Peak Everything by autophile · · Score: 1

      As a civilisation we are facing Peak Everything [amazon.com] a century of resource decline in the face of population expansion. It's not the End of the World, but you can see it from here, and if we're not careful Things Could Go Poorly.

      2045, bay-bee, 2045.

      --Rob

      --
      Towards the Singularity.
    15. Re:Peak Everything by soupforare · · Score: 1

      Ray really needs to go back to making synthesizers.

      --
      --- Do you believe in the day?
    16. Re:Peak Everything by fireboy1919 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Do take a stroll by any of your local industrial plants -- doesn't matter what it is. Steel, say. Or a gas liquification plant. Now figure out how you're going to get all of that into space.
      Once you're in space, orbit around the sun is easy because there's no friction. Energy expenditures for going long distances aren't much - only what it takes to start and stop. Getting into space, though....

      Now figure out how you're going to shield it from radiation
      Big chunks of metal (Faraday's cages)
      , and feed the hundreds of employees.
      Lets not bring people into this. People can't survive very long without gravity. Industrial robots will be doing this. Telerobots, for sure. People will probably be doing administration of them using radio signals.
      And keep in mind all of that capacity is to produce something for a regional demand, not a global demand
      The things will have to be bigger than aircraft carriers. They will likely cost trillions of dollars and use enough metals to rival the total yearly consumption of metal right now. Probably large portions will have to be made of glass based solely on the fact that we can't get enough metal to cover everything. Its trips will probably take decades, and it'll bring back hundreds of tons of new material.

      Even when you've got it, now figure out how you're going to get it back down to the ground.
      Big ceramic boxes+gravity. Presumably the materials to make new big metal boxes will be mined.

      Seems like the only really, really hard problems are how to be able to escape the earth's gravity whenever we want...and the logistical problem of getting every nation on the planet working together to produce this thing. Are these two issues insurmountable?

      --
      Mod me down and I will become more powerful than you can possibly imagine!
    17. Re:Peak Everything by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The problem is the smartest people around think "technology" will fix the "resource" problem. Given unlimited energy and resources, perhaps this is true, but we don't live in a world where there are unlimited resources.

      Sheesh. Every century seems to have people who think, "Yeah, the good times are rolling now, but judgment day is coming! Repent now!

      Will there be problems in the future? Of course there will. But then "magically" something will come along to solve them. To use the cliche, "necessity is the mother of invention." Look around you. We have supercapacitors that are being invented because of concern about oil prices (by the way, we will NEVER run out of oil. NEVER. It will just get more expensive until something else replaces it). We can fire up nuclear plants (and breeder reactors) anytime we want (and really, really need to). We've just had an article the other day about new solid-state solar stirling engines, and another one about mass-production solar cells to reduce cost. Some of them will pan out, some of them won't. But it is absolutely true that civilization isn't going to collapse. In fact, civilization is, at most, going to be slightly inconvenienced. SUVs will always be available (thank God).

      The solar system is FLOODED with energy. It really is effectively unlimited.

      --
      Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
    18. Re:Peak Everything by coaxial · · Score: 1

      Given unlimited energy and resources, perhaps this is true, but we don't live in a world where there are unlimited resources. You mean like... umm... I don't know... this entire universe of resources out there? Hate to break it to you, but even the entire universe doesn't have an infinite amount of resources. The universe will eventually run out of energy. Granted you have to wait until 10^150 years, but it will happen. By definition, that means that resources are unlimited, even given a perfectly efficient extraction method, which can't exist thanks to the second law of thermodynamics.

      Now that the pedantic answer is out of the way, let's move on to more practical issues, like cost-effective and time tractable extraction of these Sagans of Joules of energy. When you come up plan to strip mine Andromeda or even Epsilon Eridani let me know.

      What time is it where you are now?
      If it is dark enough, with few clouds, you might see a giant fuckin' chunk of those resources right up there in the sky.
      Its kinda hard to miss. Its big and shiny. People call it "The Moon". If the moon is so resource rich, how come we aren't mining it today? We can get there. We got there almost 40 years ago. The bookshelves are filled with how-tos on establishing a permanent presence on the moon. So why aren't we there now? How about the brutal fact that the moon doesn't have the resources we need.

      Moon mining is about three things.
      Making concrete We have plenty of it already. Extracting oxygen We have plenty of it already. Extracting Helium-3 Don't need it. Sure, if we had a fusion generator, then maybe, but we also already have a several rich terrestrial source of hydrogen, so why we would need to import Helium-3.

      What do we need? Well right now, hydrocarbons. Can we get those from the moon? Nope. Sorry. The moon does not have a liquid center of sweet crude.

      Sure. We should get off of our 19th century energy economy and move to something more sustainable and less ecologically destructive, but the sad truth is, we're still not close to doing that. Fusion is still a pipe dream. The newest fusion reactor is a whopping 8 megawatts, and can only run for 20 seconds. To call it, "not ready for primetime" would be a vast understatement. Other renewables still can't meet our energy needs, and those don't even require going to the freakin' moon.

      Perhaps you should really stop and think before you say something, rather than just spouting off about your favorite 60 year old pulp scifi cliche, that was created as part of an "old west meets rocket ships" meme. You'd think the future would have moved beyond bulk extraction of non-renewable resources, but apparently not.
    19. Re:Peak Everything by coaxial · · Score: 1

      As for technology fixing the problem... How do you know it won't? 100 years ago, they could have said the same... And been wrong. Nuclear was invented after that. No. 100 years ago the believed in divine right to "subjugate" the land. The world was seen to have boundless resources.

      Every generation seems to think this is 'as good as it gets' and every generation has been proven wrong. No generation has been facing global environmental catastrophe and the decline of pretty much every major resource.

      Our technology is still advancing faster than ever. Moore's law is expected to expire in 2019, and there's no new fabrication technology to replace cmos, and quantum computers are still a long ways off. Multicore and parallelism isn't a complete replacement.

      Technology isn't a replacement for resources. It can help you make more efficient use of the resource you have, but it doesn't create them. As a global society, we (and here I mean the entire human race) is going to have to change the way we live, and it's going to be painful. Why? Because we're too lazy to make the very modest needed changes needed years ago, or even today. We wait until it's too late, and then we have to make a dramatic adjustment.

      In my darkest days, I suspect the human race has 5,000 years left, 10,000 tops.
    20. Re:Peak Everything by pla · · Score: 1

      Now figure out how you're going to get all of that into space.

      Load by load via a maglev-like tube going up a mountain, accellerating each payload to (slightly) exceed escape velocity before flinging it off into space (preferably in the general direction we want it - It may work better to initially send it to a high Earth orbit and manually move it out from there).


      Now figure out how you're going to shield it from radiation, feed the hundreds of employees.

      With the hydroponic gargens in the outer layer of the factory/station.


      Even when you've got it, now figure out how you're going to get it back down to the ground.

      Move it back to HEO and let gravity take care of the rest.


      You point out some of the major problems, but most of them already have a solution. Only the cost involved has kept us from doing exactly that already - For a few trillion dollars, Biosphere III could just as well occupy L4 as any site on Earth. And while that may sound like a lot of money, it may look cheap compared to the price of any of a number of increasingly scarce resources (copper, tantalum, beryllium - Pretty much any metal other than iron, really) 50 years from now.

    21. Re:Peak Everything by swb · · Score: 1

      I think you're one of the first people to state this -- its not just peak oil, it is peak everything.

      Is it just paranoia, or is it really a civilization-ending possibility?

    22. Re:Peak Everything by denzacar · · Score: 1

      While it sounds noble to talk about space travel, and at once level you're right, comparing what we did as a species 40 years ago and what we'd need to do to really utilize those resources on Earth is like saying getting into orbit is easy because the Chinese invented rockets two thousand years ago. Who mentioned utilizing resources?
      GP was displaying a remarkable level of short-mindedness saying that we are running out of resources - period. Not misusing them - running out.

      Do take a stroll by any of your local industrial plants -- doesn't matter what it is. Steel, say. Or a gas liquification plant. Now figure out how you're going to get all of that into space. Not orbit, you need it orbiting the sun, not the Earth because the stuff you're talking about what we want isn't floating around around the earth. Sooo... Moon is not orbitin' the Earth? Which Earth are you on exactly?
      And why the hell should one go to space to mine for raw resources? You go there for free energy. Just beam it down.

      And why send humans if robots will do the work without food or special conditions?
      Hundreds of employees? With thousands of hours of training, millions of dollars in paychecks and benefits and etc, and you still have to keep them alive and happy?
      So they could... what? Dig some holes on the Moon?

      Half a dozen humans at best and hundreds of worker and repair robots. Let them make and repair themselves and do all the hard work. 24/7/366.
      All that solar power on the moon and we used it for what exactly so far? Couple of poems and country songs.

      As for raw materials... Don't send them down. Build the f-in orbital elevator from BOTH sides of the ladder.
      And what was it we lacked for that so far?

      Right! Technology.
      Exactly the thing GP said "will not fix problems".

      Your statement may be intellectually correct, but its about as realistic as sitting in the jungles of central america 12,000 years ago and taking solice in the availability of some resource you need, buried a mile inside of Everest and nowhere else. Thing is... there is 6.5 billion of me now. In a year or two there will be 10 billion.
      We can either "each take a sword and kill the man next to us" or get of our asses and into space.

      I could use the exercise either way. :P
      --
      Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
    23. Re:Peak Everything by blahplusplus · · Score: 1

      "Every generation seems to think this is 'as good as it gets' and every generation has been proven wrong. Our technology is still advancing faster than ever."

      The problem is the people, not the technology, how are you going to get to that technological place if

      1) The vast majority of people are at war with one another over a 'better standard of living' that the west has and will only keep increasing?
      2) there are technological ceilings that are hard to crack (i.e. fusion real soon now(tm)) that take more then a few decades.
      3) Predicting what problems are easy and what problems are hard is difficult
      4) Breeding patterns, right now Islamics and muslims are outbreeding European and north americans quite substantially, which will have enormous effects on what they value as a culture.

    24. Re:Peak Everything by russotto · · Score: 1

      As a civilisation we are facing Peak Everything a century of resource decline in the face of population expansion.
      And what makes now different from 1798 (Malthus's "An Essay on the Principle of Population"), or 1968 (Erlich's "The Population Bomb") or 1974 (The Club of Rom's "Mankind at the Turning Point")?
    25. Re:Peak Everything by Lord+Ender · · Score: 1

      We DO have effectively unlimited energy. It's called The Sun. We also have almost-unlimited resources. All the metals we mine stay on earth, and the earth goes a lot deeper than we dug thus far. Landfills could be mined by autonomous solar-powered robots. Capitalism is highly adaptive.

      Don't panic.

      --
      A slashdotter who didn't build his own computer is like a Jedi who didn't build his own lightsaber.
    26. Re:Peak Everything by turing_m · · Score: 1

      "You mean like... umm... I don't know... this entire universe of resources out there?"

      Maybe when we finally get out ass in gear we'll realize that we need a quantity of a resource we used to squander just to get there in the first place. Could be helium, helium does have uses in rocketry.

      --
      If I have seen further it is by stealing the Intellectual Property of giants.
    27. Re:Peak Everything by Paradise+Pete · · Score: 1, Troll
      Our understanding of Physics and Geology is undisputedly the best that it ever has been.

      Well yeah. That's how this "learning" thing works.

    28. Re:Peak Everything by ThirdPrize · · Score: 1

      I vote that if it does all goes pear shaped, then we base our future civilizations on the Mad Max films. All leather and custom dune buggys.

      --
      I have excellent Karma and I am not afraid to Troll it.
    29. Re:Peak Everything by turing_m · · Score: 1

      Ah, Kurzweil... the guy who has made a living forecasting future events based on extrapolating exponential curves. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

      --
      If I have seen further it is by stealing the Intellectual Property of giants.
    30. Re:Peak Everything by Angry+Toad · · Score: 1

      Plus gratuitous football gear.

    31. Re:Peak Everything by JerryLove · · Score: 1

      I believe that's more a worst-case scenerio than it is a certainty.

      Let's start with the most obvious: Power. We have a couple sources of sustainable power that, while not sufficient, are a start. Our existing solar, wind, tidal, geothermal, and hydro-electric generators can be used into the forseeable future at present rates.

      Thanks to breeder reactors, existing nuclear technology alone may be enough to solve the base energy crisis.

      Then there are the possabilities of nuclear fusion (if we can figure out how), and extra-terrestrial solar (if we can sort out how to put the arrays up an dbring the power down).

      Given unlimited power, most everything else could be solved with existing recycling technology and planning.

    32. Re:Peak Everything by wfolta · · Score: 1

      We know what materials are available to us, but so what?

      First, because knowing WHAT and knowing WHERE (and thus HOW MUCH) are two entirely different things. As supplies get short, prices go up, and new reserves may be found.

      Second, there are other resources out there that are not currently being used because of expense or some other perception on our part... consider nuclear power. We snubbed our noses at it because of the dangers that were perceived 30 years ago, but now see that global warming is a much larger issue. If we would reverse course and build nuclear reactors, we would have quite a lot of energy available to us that does not make greenhouse gases. But we won't use nuclear power until our backs are against the wall.

      Other technologies work similarly. And as the article says, extracting Helium from the atmosphere is "too expensive", but the specifics are that it's too expensive when it can be pulled out of the earth for free as a byproduct. A shortage will change what is expensive and what is not. Same thing with oil: we're now extracting it with techniques and drilling for it in places that were prohibitively expensive 20 years ago... but not now.

      Third, technology of course makes a difference. We could have deforested North America or tried to get whale oil by killing every whale in the world 100 years ago. But oil came along and the technology to use it. Uranium was useful for perhaps primitive X-rays before the technology for nuclear (fusion) power. Wind power used to be able to perhaps pump some water or grind some grain. Solar power was having a bunch of windows on the south side of a house.

      Before airplanes, flight was obviously impossible because people had tried strapping wings on themselves and it totally failed. Before modern rocketry, getting to the moon was impossible, since even a plane with an oxygen supply for its engines couldn't propel itself through the vacuum of space... etc, etc, etc.

      You do have a point that technology cannot solve anything we can imagine. Technology requires knowledge plus resources to work. But the "we're about to run out of resources and collapse to the stone age" has been sounded for centuries and somehow ingenuity and the marketplace finds a way around it. Sort of like the Jurassic Park comment that life would somehow find a way and those raptors that were engineered not to reproduce would find a way.

      And to add to your point, the solution may not result in a continuous trajectory... Nuclear power avoids greenhouse gases and could provide a lot of energy. But then we do have to seriously face some very dangerous waste that cannot be treated like any other industrial waste. It's a dangerous and unpleasant task that oil usage does not have. A tradeoff. But it can be managed. (Of course, it may be managed badly or corruptly in which case there can be MAJOR problems. Technology does not grant morality or competence.)

    33. Re:Peak Everything by CmdrGravy · · Score: 1

      Agreed, I think at every point in history there have been similar concerns from the earliest times when feeding yourselves during times of famine was a real concern through the British Navies concern at running out of Oak Trees to maintain it's fleet to the current worries about oil running out.

      Every civilisation thinks it's at the peak of technological advancement until something completely new and revolutionary comes along and changes the way things work completely. Today you hear people saying how scientific development has never been so rapid, how we have things now our parents would never have even thought of but I bet in every period in history people were saying the exact same thing and I bet in 1000 years time people will look back at now and think the same as we do when we look back 1000 years.

      There are unquestionably enough resources on the planet to sustain a population and to allow progress to happen although it's quite possible that there may be widespread upheavals or conflict in order to control those resources effectively.

    34. Re:Peak Everything by t0M$34v0 · · Score: 1

      Whoa! Slow down cowboy, and take a deep and calming breath. The idea of doing this has people behind it http://www.space.com/adastra/adastra_moon_resources_050223.html, but not everything we rely on is likely to be found in an as relatively easy-to-reach place as the moon. It's a good idea to work on the problems from both ends - conservation here, new sources out there (some of which, we have to reason, may be quite a long time in coming).

    35. Re:Peak Everything by huge · · Score: 1

      I completely agree that our understanding of our surroundings is as complete as it ever has been. But let's not forget the fact that we have no way telling how complete it is.

      A while a ago we knew that Earth is flat.

      Not so long ago electricity and magnetism were thought to have no relationship at all. Ampere saw that there is a relation but it took Maxwell piece everything together. Maxwell published his equations at 1864.

      Whole concept of nuclear energy was put together pretty quickly; ~50 years from Einstein's Special Relativity to first reactor. At the moment we might think that Fusion could be used as a potential energy sources in the future. Yes, it seems *very* difficult at the moment but there might be breakthrough, or there might not be. It would only take one bright mind to unify gravitational force with electromagnetic force, strong nuclear force or weak nuclear force. If that happens, we might all the sudden have something completely different at our hands.

      There are still plenty of unanswered questions. Magic wasn't required to solve the unanswered questions in past and it certainly isn't required now. And it is solving those unanswered questions got us to this point.

      Your comment is pretty much saying that we know that the fundamental elements of the universe are Earth, Wind, Water and Fire. Yes, you will be proven wrong and you are going to love it ;)

      All that doesn't change the fact that we are running out of some resources - but it might make all the difference what those limited resources are and what is the timescale.

      --
      -- Reality checks don't bounce.
    36. Re:Peak Everything by rk · · Score: 1

      In my darkest days, I suspect the human race has 5,000 years left, 10,000 tops.

      Wow, either you're a boundless optimist or I'm a terrible pessimist, because from my perspective I think another 5,000 years for us as a species would be pretty damned impressive.

    37. Re:Peak Everything by gnick · · Score: 1

      That's kind of tricky, but that seems to be China's whole purpose for trying to get there. You've got to respect the forward thinking even if it seems far-fetched. My understanding is that they want to mine Helium-3 for the fusion reactors that they assume will be functioning at some point. (Anyone with better information, feel free to correct me.) Seems like a long-shot (moon-shot?) to me, but more sensible than Bush's "Hey wouldn't it be cool if somebody put a footprint on Mars" idea. If we just have to show that we can do it, it would be cheaper to do it Capricorn-3 style and it would give the conspiracy theorists something more interesting to waste their time on than 9/11.

      I know - Let's set up a moon colony under a dome and then set up a rail gun to launch mined resources back to earth. People who lived there may eventually feel a little disconnected and ignored - And that will need to be addressed at some point, but you know what they say... The moon is a harsh mistress. I think I read a thesis or something that addressed the details...

      --
      He's getting rather old, but he's a good mouse.
    38. Re:Peak Everything by Lord+Apathy · · Score: 1

      We are so Fucked!

      --

      Supporting World Peace Through Nuclear Pacification

    39. Re:Peak Everything by asuffield · · Score: 1

      now figure out how you're going to get it back down to the ground


      Don't underestimate how easy this is just because NASA makes it look hard. The only things that are hard to bring down from orbit are people and delicate equipment. For the rest, you put it in a big box, and you drop it (into an ocean). It is not hard to make a container that can survive being dropped from orbit into an ocean, if the contents can happily survive high heat and pressure.

      you need it orbiting the sun


      Anything that reaches escape velocity from the planet is more or less in orbit around the star. It's already got the orbital velocity of the planet, you just have to get it out of that gravity well and then stabilise it.
    40. Re:Peak Everything by fbjon · · Score: 1

      About a thousand years or so. Needless to say, oil won't last that long, so that will thankfully not happen.

      --
      True confidence comes not from realising you are as good as your peers, but that your peers are as bad as you are.
    41. Re:Peak Everything by Lord+Apathy · · Score: 1

      What I think the parent post is trying to say is there is a whole universe full of resources out there but we just need to get off our lazy asses and get to it. An he would be correct. Right now we are around 6.5 billion people on this rock. Sooner or later we will run out of resources.

      Renewable resources are not going to cut it because they face the same problem as un-renewable. There is only so much that can go around. Sure you maybe able to produce the same resources over and over but it will alway be at the same ammount. They are an excellent short term fix for now but sooner or later we will be force to look for more. We need to find a place where there is an almost limitless supply of everything.

      Space is the only answer. When you are confined to one planet everything is a limited resource. Technically everything in space is also a limited resource but there is just so much of it. Confined to Earth though sooner or later we will start to run short of everything if we keep expanding our population.

      Population control you say? Yeah, well good luck with that.

      The problem is simple and so is the answer. Expand into space or die as a civilization. There is no if, ands, or buts. Convervation and renewables are excellent solutions for the short run but that is just it. You can only conserve so much and produce so much renewables.

      The choice really is yours people.

      Sooner or later unless we

      --

      Supporting World Peace Through Nuclear Pacification

    42. Re:Peak Everything by Lord+Apathy · · Score: 1

      Where the fuck did that last line come from?

      Preview damn it! Preview.

      --

      Supporting World Peace Through Nuclear Pacification

    43. Re:Peak Everything by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No magic is required - only a Dyson sphere (or Dyson swarm). The Sun provides 3.8E+26 W, we're currently needing maybe 1E+13 W.

    44. Re:Peak Everything by Ralph+Spoilsport · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Russotto wrote:

      And what makes now different from 1798 (Malthus's "An Essay on the Principle of Population"), or 1968 (Erlich's "The Population Bomb") or 1974 (The Club of Rom's "Mankind at the Turning Point")?

      What's the difference? The ecocide that's been going on for centuries, for starters. Also, VASTLY improved resource analysis and data, as well as the apparent peak of petroleum production.

      All of those writers were correct. The timing was off, and certain technologies came into play as the petroleum age came along, but as we're going to blow through the remaining oil pretty quickly, the total amount of energy per capita will collapse. So, you'll see each of them in reverse order appear - first the Club of Rome's resource and ecological depletion which will put the constraint on Ehrlich's population bomb, followed by a Malthusian Die Off.

      Easter Island. Look it up.

      RS

      --
      Shoes for Industry. Shoes for the Dead.
    45. Re:Peak Everything by Lord+Apathy · · Score: 1

      We don't need to put all our eggs in the fusion basket ether. Even with all our research, prayers, and dreams there is still a good chance that a sustained fusion reaction might not be possible. That is, out side of a star.

      We have been barking up this fusion tree for 50 years. We have made remarkable process in the last 10. But despite all this we still have not reached the point where sustained economically viable reaction is possible. We may have to realize one day that it is simply not possible. Out side of the crackpot circuit there is not one person on this planet that can point to an equation on a board and say with 100% certainty that it is possible.

      --

      Supporting World Peace Through Nuclear Pacification

    46. Re:Peak Everything by mike2R · · Score: 1

      Have a look at the fall of he Roman Empire, the Dark Ages, what happened to the Mayans, Easter Island etc. and think again about whether every generation has been proven wrong

      Give an example of a post Enlightenment society that has broken down like that and I think you'll have a point. We've come a long long way from the Dark Ages however, and absent a catastrophe (which admittedly could be self inflicted) I don't see us going for Decline and Fall.

      --
      This sig all sigs devours
    47. Re:Peak Everything by Strange+Quark+Star · · Score: 1

      Escaping earth's gravity made easy: Space Elevator
      Hurling big stuff up the 'well (and bringing it back): Nuclear Spacecraft

      Certainly less than insurmountable, these problems.

      --
      There is no sig.
    48. Re:Peak Everything by Lord+Apathy · · Score: 1

      It's not just paranoia anymore. It is a very real possibility. It is not just the hippy freaks from the '60 that are saying this now. It's some very smart people with lots of degrees on the wall and letters like Dr. and PHD in thier names that are saying it.

      I don't think our decline will be a sad one like you read in some books. Where we reach our limit then over the centures we decline back to the middle ages or somethinig. I think the fall will happen almost over night.

      I also don't think it will be oil that does us in. We think to much about that one and watch it to closely. I think it will be something that no one thinks about if it happens. Water or clean air or some shit that we are not paying attention too. If it happens we will fight over what is left and since its all or nothing it will be an all or nothing war. One not hampered by these little rules we've made and conventions we pretent to follow. But the real thing.

      No matter how you spin it, it is simple. We can not maintain our growth and with the limited resources we have availible to us. Once we really start to run out mother nature is waiting in the wings to correct it for us. An she is a real bitch. She doesn't care if we survive as a civilization or as a species.

      So the question here is, do we correct the problem or wait till she does?

      --

      Supporting World Peace Through Nuclear Pacification

    49. Re:Peak Everything by slas6654 · · Score: 1

      I think you're making a mountain out of a molehill.

    50. Re:Peak Everything by Lord+Apathy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Don't panic. Agreed, don't panic. But that doesn't mean poke our head in the sand pray for the magic to happen. It doesn't and it won't. The magic is made to happen. We need to plan out for as much as we can think of. Even if the possiblity is way out there we need to have some plan in place.

      We may not run out of oil but we need to be prepaired if we do.

      --

      Supporting World Peace Through Nuclear Pacification

    51. Re:Peak Everything by tgd · · Score: 1

      If you can figure out how to move 100,000 tons of industrial equipment from LEO to, say, the asteroid belt (so we ignore how to get 100,000 tons INTO orbit, or getting it somewhere actually more useful than an asteroid) and get it to stop there, more power to you.

      Moving things in space is HARD. Stopping them once moving is HARD. Things may be "weightless" but they sure as hell still have mass, and you're not moving 100,000 tons any easier in space than on the ground. Friction isn't your problem.

      We need to be doing that, but resources mined in space will be used in space -- its too hard to get things safely back to earth in any quantity.

    52. Re:Peak Everything by Frank+T.+Lofaro+Jr. · · Score: 1

      And we destroyed a lot of the usefulness of Maxwell's equations by shifting from quaternions to vector math, losing the scalar component.

      Look up scalar wave theory.

      --
      Just because it CAN be done, doesn't mean it should!
    53. Re:Peak Everything by SteveHS · · Score: 1

      Re: "Now figure out how you're going to get all of that into space." Nobody is seriously proposing that earthbound industries be physically moved into orbit. That's as silly as expecting westbound American pioneers to have brought in their covered wagons all the wood and bricks required to build their houses when they reached their new home. What is possible, however, is putting just enough tools in space to begin processing raw materials already there. Land a little automated smelter on a nickel/iron asteroid, and let it start drilling and processing, using solar power. Takes a long time, but you start getting metal out of it to make more things. You want organics? Do roughly the same thing with a carbonaceous chondrite. Eventually, you get to the point where you can build larger industries, based on local materials. Re: "Even when you've got it, now figure out how you're going to get it back down to the ground." That's easy in comparison. Solar sail for orbital changes, and a chunk of unprocessed nickel/iron as a heat shield, and a target (and payload) that doesn't mind a little thumping. The critical thing here is time. It takes time to prospect extraterrestrial resources, time to process them, time to move them, time to create larger things with them (such as solar power satellites with a significant power output). Most of these activities would have to be automated, just because what humans in space don't have is time to hang about. If we started taking XT resources seriously today, would we have enough time to forestall coming shortages? I doubt it: I think we've wasted the last fifty years arguing, and it's too late: when we suddenly need XT power and materials, they'll be fifty years away. But that doesn't mean that it's foolish to try.

    54. Re:Peak Everything by tgd · · Score: 1

      Its not the thing you're dropping from orbit that needs to be concerned about the impact, its the people you're dropping it on.

      You can't drop resources like that in the water because they sink. And you can't drop 500t of iron in the middle of some arid area because a) you might miss, b) there aren't many such areas and c) you'd still have to reprocess it and move it.

      I totally agree, that sort of industry needs to be built up over time, but I disagree with the idea that its a reasonable way to handle the running out of resources on the ground. Using less is the only way to handle that for the imaginable future.

    55. Re:Peak Everything by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Look up scalar wave theory.

      I did and all the pages on it included words like crackpot and pseudoscience.

    56. Re:Peak Everything by BeanThere · · Score: 1

      Every generation seems to think this is 'as good as it gets' and every generation has been proven wrong ... *sigh*, this nonsense again: This is a false induction fallacy - prior failed predictions have a grand total of ZERO 'predictive power' over whether or not future predictions will fail, because the entire circumstances are different each time in about a gazillion ways.

    57. Re:Peak Everything by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Now figure out how you're going to shield it from radiation, and feed the hundreds of employees Since when do robots care about radiation and food?
    58. Re:Peak Everything by mbstone · · Score: 1

      Even when you've got it, now figure out how you're going to get it back down to the ground.

      I would tie a few extra rocks onto the balloon string.

    59. Re:Peak Everything by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You *can* drop it somewhere out of the way, like onto the Canadian Shield, or not tooo far from the trans-Siberian railway, or just offshore somewhere that won't mind a large wave or two.

      From there it's a matter of mining an especially rich ore seam, just like the ones that were dropped there in similar relatively low velocity impacts billions of years ago... and unlike those, you happen to know where the new digging should happen.

      This gets even more efficient with larger "deposits". Why stop at 500 Mg?

    60. Re:Peak Everything by dbIII · · Score: 1

      saying that we are running out of resources - period. Not misusing them - running out

      When something is finite that is most definitely true even if it takes a long time. A simple analogy is that when the low hanging fruit is gone you have to expend the effort to get the other fruit and when all the fruit is gone you need to eat something else.

      Advanced robots, broadcast power, beanstalks, dyson spheres whatever other things that are being thought of as magic instead of bloody difficult technology that needs work before we even know if it's good enough are nice things to muse about but they really do not answer the above post. Economists may model things as infinite and anything more complicated than the compound interest formula as magice that just happens but we do not have to. Responsible use of limited resources makes them last longer.

    61. Re:Peak Everything by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Don't underestimate how easy this is just because NASA makes it look hard

      It's not difficult at all with infinite fuel to slow down but since NASA don't have that friction with air is used. Reality imposes restrictions that make things a bit tougher than suggested above - a container that survives high heat and pressure has also got to survive hitting the ocean at several kilometres per second if you "just drop it".

    62. Re:Peak Everything by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      On the other hand, computers are a viable technological alternative to paper, but we all know that doesn't stop people printing off every damn e-mail. The internal combustion engine is more efficient than ever, but there are still more cars than ever and you can still buy big gas-gusling engines. We can produce large amounts of food thanks to modern agriculture, yet there is still a shortage in some places. We have also advanced medically, yet some people still can't get basic medicine and some people are over-medicated.

      So, you can't even rely on current technology by itself to fix problems, let alone hope that future technology is going to come along and save the day. It's one thing to say "I'm sure we'll come up with a solution if that problem arises" when you're talking about your latest software project, but not such a good idea when talking about the world's limited resources.

  14. Increase public awareness by Mantaar · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ... not only of a looming Helium shortage - just google for "Aluminum Shortage" and take a look at the results... many resources on earth are becoming more and more scarce while everybody seems to only concentrate on energy resources.

    That, my friends is one of the best reasons for putting money into space exploration rather than wars for oil. We're still far from being able to actually mine anything that's not already on our planet, but we're not so far from a shortage in the critical resources that would make extraterrestrial retrieval of resources possible in the first place.

    With Helium it's actually a matter of re-using what we have - gas recycling hasn't been much of an issue in the past, but people need to hear about it. And please don't throw 'statistical evidence' at me that suggests 'there is no crisis'. Even the potential crisis is enough to be worried about it, if the implications are that dramatic. Much of our economical and scientific growth currently depends on the reckless abuse of non-renewable (or non-renewed) resources. We don't want to break Moore's Law, do we?

    --
    I'm an infovore...
    1. Re:Increase public awareness by DeeQ · · Score: 5, Informative

      What exactly uses Helium that is all that important?

      According to wikipedia the applications of helium

      * Because it is lighter than air, airships and balloons are inflated with helium for lift. In airships, helium is preferred over hydrogen because it is not flammable and has 92.64% of the buoyancy (or lifting power) of the alternative hydrogen (see calculation.)

      * For its low solubility in water, the major part of human blood, air mixtures of helium with oxygen and nitrogen (Trimix), with oxygen only (Heliox), with common air (heliair), and with hydrogen and oxygen (hydreliox), are used in deep-sea breathing systems to reduce the high-pressure risk of nitrogen narcosis, decompression sickness, and oxygen toxicity.

      * At extremely low temperatures, liquid helium is used to cool certain metals to produce superconductivity, such as in superconducting magnets used in magnetic resonance imaging. Helium at low temperatures is also used in cryogenics.

      * For its inertness and high thermal conductivity, neutron transparency, and because it does not form radioactive isotopes under reactor conditions, helium is used as a coolant in some nuclear reactors, such as pebble-bed reactors.

      * Helium is used as a shielding gas in arc welding processes on materials that are contaminated easily by air. It is especially useful in overhead welding, because it is lighter than air and thus floats, whereas other shielding gases sink.

      * Because it is inert, helium is used as a protective gas in growing silicon and germanium crystals, in titanium and zirconium production, in gas chromatography, and as an atmosphere for protecting historical documents. This property also makes it useful in supersonic wind tunnels.

      * In rocketry, helium is used as an ullage medium to displace fuel and oxidizers in storage tanks and to condense hydrogen and oxygen to make rocket fuel. It is also used to purge fuel and oxidizer from ground support equipment prior to launch and to pre-cool liquid hydrogen in space vehicles. For example, the Saturn V booster used in the Apollo program needed about 13 million cubic feet (370,000 m) of helium to launch.[2]

      * The gain medium of the helium-neon laser is a mixture of helium and neon.

      * Because it diffuses through solids at a rate three times that of air, helium is used as a tracer gas to detect leaks in high-vacuum equipment and high-pressure containers, as well as in other applications with less stringent requirements such as heat exchangers, valves, gas panels, etc.

      * Because of its extremely low index of refraction, the use of helium reduces the distorting effects of temperature variations in the space between lenses in some telescopes.

      * The age of rocks and minerals that contain uranium and thorium, radioactive elements that emit helium nuclei called alpha particles, can be discovered by measuring the level of helium with a process known as helium dating.

      * The high thermal conductivity and sound velocity of helium is also desirable in thermoacoustic refrigeration. The inertness of helium adds to the environmental advantage of this technology over conventional refrigeration systems which may contribute to ozone depleting and global warming effects.

      * Because helium alone is less dense than atmospheric air, it will change the timbre (not pitch[12]) of a person's voice when inhaled. However, inhaling it from a typical commercial source, such as that used to fill balloons, can be dangerous due to the risk of asphyxiation from lack of oxygen, and the number of contaminants that may be present. These could include trace amounts of other gases, in addition to aerosolized lubricating oil.

      Maybe I'm missing the usefulness of some of those but it doesn't seem like a big deal.

    2. Re:Increase public awareness by Rogerborg · · Score: 1

      How much fuel is required to lift helium down from orbit?

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
    3. Re:Increase public awareness by toggleflipflop · · Score: 2, Informative

      >What exactly uses Helium that is all that important?
      >* At extremely low temperatures, liquid helium is used to cool certain metals to produce superconductivity, such as in superconducting magnets used in magnetic resonance imaging. >Helium at low temperatures is also used in cryogenics.

      Aside from all the scientific experiments that need the helium for cooling, I wonder how you could consider magnetic resonance imaging as not being important.

    4. Re:Increase public awareness by KlaymenDK · · Score: 1

      The same is going on for copper. I guess there are too many wires in the world?

      It actually annoys me to no end that I don't have a better option than to discard aluminium(!) foil wrappers with the kitchen garbage. It's such a waste.

    5. Re:Increase public awareness by petermgreen · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Maybe I'm missing the usefulness of some of those but it doesn't seem like a big deal.
      lets see

      Because it is lighter than air, airships and balloons are inflated with helium for lift. In airships, helium is preferred over hydrogen because it is not flammable and has 92.64% of the buoyancy (or lifting power) of the alternative hydrogen (see calculation.)
      not that important because most really important uses of balloons (weather monitoring) are unmanned and so can use hydrogen.

      For its low solubility in water, the major part of human blood, air mixtures of helium with oxygen and nitrogen (Trimix), with oxygen only (Heliox), with common air (heliair), and with hydrogen and oxygen (hydreliox), are used in deep-sea breathing systems to reduce the high-pressure risk of nitrogen narcosis, decompression sickness, and oxygen toxicity.
      While a lot of diving is done just for pleasure diving is also done for industrial reasons such as maintinance of oil/gas rigs, some of that diving is pretty deep. Helium is by far the best mixer gas (and you need some mixer gas to get the overall pressure of the breathing gas right withotu making the partial pressure of oxygen/nitrogen dangerously high) for high pressure diving because it has a low molecular mass, is safe to handle and no (or at least very little) affect on the body.

      * At extremely low temperatures, liquid helium is used to cool certain metals to produce superconductivity, such as in superconducting magnets used in magnetic resonance imaging. Helium at low temperatures is also used in cryogenics.
      magnetic resonance imaging is a pretty important part of modern medicines.

      * For its inertness and high thermal conductivity, neutron transparency, and because it does not form radioactive isotopes under reactor conditions, helium is used as a coolant in some nuclear reactors, such as pebble-bed reactors.
      nuclear reactors are probablly going to be the main power source of the next half century or so once we realise that burning fossil fuels at the current rate is not reasonable, that renewables are an extra at best and that fusion is still a long way off.

      * Helium is used as a shielding gas in arc welding processes on materials that are contaminated easily by air. It is especially useful in overhead welding, because it is lighter than air and thus floats, whereas other shielding gases sink.
      welding is pretty important in a lot of industries

      * Because it is inert, helium is used as a protective gas in growing silicon and germanium crystals, in titanium and zirconium production, in gas chromatography, and as an atmosphere for protecting historical documents. This property also makes it useful in supersonic wind tunnels.
      silicon based computers have become a pretty vital part of the world economy

      in rocketry, helium is used as an ullage medium to displace fuel and oxidizers in storage tanks and to condense hydrogen and oxygen to make rocket fuel. It is also used to purge fuel and oxidizer from ground support equipment prior to launch and to pre-cool liquid hydrogen in space vehicles. For example, the Saturn V booster used in the Apollo program needed about 13 million cubic feet (370,000 m) of helium to launch
      while manned space exploration doesn't really achive all that much sattalites have certainly become pretty important in the modern world.

      Because of its extremely low index of refraction, the use of helium reduces the distorting effects of temperature variations in the space between lenses in some telescopes.
      probablly not that important

      The age of rocks and minerals that contain uranium and thorium, radioactive elements that emit helium nuclei called alpha particles, can be discovered by measuring the level of helium with a process known as helium dating.
      not really a use of helium in the sense we are talking about here.

      The high thermal conductivity and sound velocity of helium is also desirable in thermoacoustic

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    6. Re:Increase public awareness by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The reason he might not is because there are alternatives to MRI's that do not require. MRI's are expensive and not needed A CT scan can cope for most of the MRI's uses.

    7. Re:Increase public awareness by Tony+Hoyle · · Score: 1

      How much fuel is required to lift helium down from orbit?

      Very little.. you just need to encase it in something heavy enough to offset the lift, and let gravity take over.

    8. Re:Increase public awareness by Sockatume · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It's the superconductivity which is really important. Nuclear imaging and experimental high-energy physics are pretty much dependent on magnets at liquid helium temperatures. So, no MRIs in hospitals, and the likes of CERN (and other Big Physics Things) would become multi-million-dollar holes in the ground. Both of those would be pretty disasterous steps backwards for mankind, all for the want of two protons, two neutrons, and two electrons.

      --
      No kidding!!! What do you say at this point?
    9. Re:Increase public awareness by sabernet · · Score: 1

      Nitrogen suffices. At the moment it's pricier so it's not used as much. However, if Helium goes up, Nitrogen will more then take its place.

      Some facilities use exclusively nitrogen to cool their super magnets.

    10. Re:Increase public awareness by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      * Helium is used as a shielding gas in arc welding processes on materials that are contaminated easily by air. It is especially useful in overhead welding, because it is lighter than air and thus floats, whereas other shielding gases sink.
      welding is pretty important in a lot of industries
      Except for overhead welding Argon is often used for this. It is cheaper and just as inert.

      * Because it is inert, helium is used as a protective gas in growing silicon and germanium crystals, in titanium and zirconium production, in gas chromatography, and as an atmosphere for protecting historical documents. This property also makes it useful in supersonic wind tunnels.
      silicon based computers have become a pretty vital part of the world economy
      And again wouldn't argon tend to work just fine for this? It is inert and a heck of a lot easier to seal. This one I am not sure about but if inertness what needed then argon is just fine for many of the uses.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    11. Re:Increase public awareness by russotto · · Score: 2, Informative

      just google for "Aluminum Shortage" and take a look at the results
      Aluminum shortage? Brought to you by the same people who if shown the Sahara desert would claim there's a silicon shortage, right? Actually, googling for "Aluminum Shortage" reveals that the shortage was of production capacity, not ore. It's over.
    12. Re:Increase public awareness by Dan+East · · Score: 1

      not only of a looming Helium shortage - just google for "Aluminum Shortage" and take a look at the results... many resources on earth are becoming more and more scarce while everybody seems to only concentrate on energy resources.

      I'm not sure why this was moderated insightful. Aluminum is the most abundant metal on the planet, and is the 3rd most abundant element after Oxygen and Silicon. It comprises 8% of the entire mass of our planet. The "shortage" you're talking about is with aluminum production, which was predicted to occur in 2004-2005 because China was needing more aluminum than the global industry was producing. Aluminum is more difficult to extract to a usable form than other metals, like Iron, so larger, more complex infrastructure has to be built, which can take years.

      There's really no comparison between a helium and aluminum "shortage" on our planet.

      Dan East

      --
      Better known as 318230.
    13. Re:Increase public awareness by j_sp_r · · Score: 1

      CT has a high radiation burden en looks at dense structures (bone) and special contrast (blood etc)

      MRI looks at H atoms.

      And you can do loads of useful stuff with MRI like fMRI (brain activity). There is a lot of research going on, with the newest machines exceeding 7 Tesla fields, giving highly accurate pictures of softer tissues.

      So while CT can be used in cases where fast results are needed, or when bloodflow and stuff are needed for medical conditions, you cannot use it to scan healthy individuals (find out how humans work), because it induces cancer (MRI DOESN'T!)

      Also, MRI can do loads of stuff that CT cannot.

    14. Re:Increase public awareness by sdpuppy · · Score: 2, Informative
      Nitrogen suffices

      Wrong.

      There are no practical high field magnets that run at 70K (Liquid Nitrogen temperature).

      At the moment it's pricier so it's not used as much.

      Wrong again. Liquid Nitrogen is around $100 for 200 liters.

      Liquid Helium is around $700 for 100 liters.

      Some facilities use exclusively nitrogen to cool their super magnets.

      You're half right here (or half wrong)

      All facilities with high field magnets use liquid Nitrogen as well as liquid Helium.

      The liquid Nitrogen is used as a heat shield to slow boil off of the liquid Helium.

      You know what they say about three strikes...

    15. Re:Increase public awareness by Frank+T.+Lofaro+Jr. · · Score: 1

      7 Tesla fields will be enough to CHANGE one's brain activity.

      --
      Just because it CAN be done, doesn't mean it should!
    16. Re:Increase public awareness by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't forget to pray extra hard that it's not your house it lands on.

    17. Re:Increase public awareness by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe I'm missing the usefulness of some of those but it doesn't seem like a big deal.
      Umm...please tell me that you're being sarcastic.

      Yes there are other low density gasses. Yes there are other inert gasses. But there are no other low-density, inert gasses that can completely replace helium. It's cryogenic properties are of particular note as it can be cooled down 4 Kelvin in practical cryocoolers, making it critical for applications like low temperature research (aids in the development of microprocessors and low noise scientific instruments, for example) and superconductors (lossless energy transmission, which could be a big part of solving future energy needs by locating capacity near resources instead of demand). It's very useful for leak checking pressure vessels and heat exchangers (think gas pipelines and nuclear reactors).

      It's extremely useful for maintaining purity in many products. The computer industry is an obvious one. Less obvious is the metals industry, who use it to purge hydrogen (note the similar atomic mass) and other impurities from metal. In this role it's nearly critical to the manufacture of the high strength alloys used for making auto and aircraft frames, microprocessors, and refrigerator parts.

      And this isn't directed at you, but to the person who insinuated there is an aluminum shortage: Aluminum is the most metal in the earth's crust. It makes up over 7% of the crust. The shortage is in production, not the metal itself. And unlike helium, it's not lost into space once removed from deposits.

      All of that said, however, there is no imminent shortage of helium, as others have pointed out.
    18. Re:Increase public awareness by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 1

      Maybe I'm missing the usefulness of some of those but it doesn't seem like a big deal.

      I'm generous enough to hope that you never develop a medical condition requiring an MRI scan, because such medical conditions often are a big deal.

      Note also that high-energy physics, including fusion research, relies very heavily on cryogenic cooling. Wouldn't it suck if the fusion economy couldn't get started because of a shortage of its own waste product?

    19. Re:Increase public awareness by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, point-by-point.

                Balloons -- suck it up and take yer chances with hydrogen.

                Heliox etc. -- maybe something else could be worked up.

                Superconductors, cryogenics -- if you'd RTFM there simply isn't a replacement. Other noble gasses don't get cold enough, hydrogen probably will react with materials.

                Nuclear cooling -- as above, I assume. Maybe argon or some other noble gas would work, I'm not a nuclear technician. That said other noble gasses, also being inert, presumably also are a you lose it and it's gone proposition..

                silicon & germanium crystals, protecting documents, etc. -- yeah any noble gas should work. Per above they probably will depelete too over time.

                Rocketry -- It'll be hard to find a safe replacement. You can't very well just use hydrogen to cool a rocket given it's explosiveness 8-).

                Laser -- probably not a big deal, the helium isn't spent so even if there's a LITTLE left and it's very costly, the laser can be built. Plus, there's solid state lasers now.

                  Leak detection -- yeah. Just use some other gas.

                Telescopes -- probably could use other gasses I'd guess.

                Age determination of rocks -- this doesn't actually use up helium, it measures how much helium the rock itself has produced over time.

                Thermacoustic cooling -- yeah.

                Changing pitch of voice -- yeah again.

                Out of these, the big deals are cryogenic cooling and I think the nuclear use -- I think there's simply no other material useable in these particular instances. I don't know about heliox and welding those could be bad too. Cryogenics really are used a LOT (as is nuclear power) and it'd be good not to leak away all the helium just because it costs money to trap and hold it.

  15. Funny thing by WindBourne · · Score: 4, Informative

    I commented about this the other day, and I was surprised at the comments that indicated that so many ppl did not realize that we are headed for issues on this. I only hope that we start recapturing it again. Since Natural gas prices have gone up, we have quit separating it. Combine that with Clinton having opened up the store, and we are losing our massive stockpile. Instead countries like Russia and China do it. IOW, the west is about to be dependent on countries on other countries.

    BTW, folks, helium is looked at for a number of important uses esp nuclear power, medical, and welding.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  16. Cost effective? by phorm · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Extracting it from the atmosphere is not cost-effective

    Not now, but as the availability goes down and focus turns to finding ways to extract helium more efficiently, along with a sharp price rise, then the incipient profit involved in extraction will likely create a market for atmospheric or some other method of extraction... or perhaps lead to the future ability to synthesise helium.

    My question: can any science-types here list some important uses of helium? I'm sure that there are some, but I can't think of any off the top of my head.

    1. Re:Cost effective? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      First of all, helium cannot be synthesized. Second your post is clearly a failed rehash (replace helium by oil).

      Helium is used, amongst other things, for cooling down to near 0 K, for example: superconductivity experiments.

    2. Re:Cost effective? by jjon · · Score: 2, Informative

      or perhaps lead to the future ability to synthesise helium

      Pretty much impossible (unless we get nuclear fusion working). Helium's not just some compound we can synthesize like oil or natural gas, it's an element like gold. And last I checked the alchemists didn't have much success at creating gold.

    3. Re:Cost effective? by Esel+Theo · · Score: 2, Informative
      The problem is that helium is lighter than air. You you'll hardly find any of it here near the ground that you could extract. I was once even told that helium released into the air will move up and up and up ... and eventually leave our atmosphere. Gone. Forever.

      can any science-types here list some important uses of helium? Cooling is a very important use. No other gas can bring you to temperatures near 0K. Most of the gas used for cooling could be recycled after use. I know that research labs in Europe do that. Here in the U.S., unfortunately, I only know of labs that don't.
    4. Re:Cost effective? by lachlan76 · · Score: 4, Informative
      • Cryogenics---including the superconducters used by MRI machines---often uses liquid Helium, though MRI machines might be using high-temperature superconductors now; I'm not sure.
      • Welding---the various *IG welders use helium in mixtures of gases to protect the high-temperature metal from the air.
      • Lasers---Helium-Neon lasers are sometimes used.
      Wikipedia's Helium page. has more details.
    5. Re:Cost effective? by phorm · · Score: 1

      Sorry, my bad. I should have indicated the desire to synthesize something with the same useful properties as helium. Alternately, don't elements actually degenerate to lower-level elements as their lifetime comes up? Again, this is all poorly remember science on my part - so I could be talking out my backside - but perhaps an element higher-up in the table will actually end up as helium somehow. I'm guessing that most would have a pretty long half-life, and I'm not sure if it applies to non-radioactive elements (it's unlikely to be quick anyhow) but perhaps that process could be sped up a bit or created in a lab environment?

    6. Re:Cost effective? by Rich0 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Even if MRIs used high-temp superconductors they'd probably still need liquid helium. A few issues:

      First, most if not all high-temp superconductors are ceramics, which are hard to make into coils of wire. So that's why they don't get used much in magnets.

      Second, superconductivity is inhibited by magnetic fields - the lower the temperature the more field you can sustain. So even if you could barely get by with LN2 you still end up using He in magnets...

    7. Re:Cost effective? by Bucky340 · · Score: 1

      Well, CO2, or for better welds Ar/CO2 mix, works for ferrous welding. Helium is really only needed for non-ferrous stuff like titanium or aluminum. Most welding is still on steel, so no worries there. Helium is nice, but it's not the only option for shielding gas in GMAW. Lasers and cryogenics are another story, and you're right--this will undoubtedly affect costs of these processes that require them.

    8. Re:Cost effective? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      (N)MRI machines ALWAYS use liquid helium. High-temp superconductors can't handle the huge currents needed for the magnetic field.

    9. Re:Cost effective? by Angst+Badger · · Score: 1

      My question: can any science-types here list some important uses of helium?

      There are lots, but the one that would probably have the most immediately noticeable affect on daily life in the event of a helium shortage is welding, where helium is used as a shielding gas. The impact on industrial manufacturing would be huge. It wouldn't be the end of the world, but the economic effects would be pretty dire.

      --
      Proud member of the Weirdo-American community.
    10. Re:Cost effective? by DougWebb · · Score: 1

      You're talking about fission and radioactive decay, which stops at lead. Basically, as I remember it, many of the elements which are heavier than lead decay by spitting off clumps of neutrons and protons until they become a lead isotope, and then they stop.

      Helium atoms are composed of two protons and one or two neutrons. (Other numbers of neutrons are possible, but unstable.) Radioactive elements won't decay all the way down to a helium atom, but helium atoms are sometimes spit off as the decay product; that's where helium comes from on Earth. It's a slow process though, so it's not a viable source for large quantities.

      The other way to make helium is by assembling it from individual protons and neutrons; this is fusion. This is what the sun does constantly: it puts hydrogen atoms (single protons) under intense pressure which causes the protons to bind together, forming a helium atom and a burst of energy. If we ever get fusion working as a power source, it'll generate helium as a by-product, and we'll have plenty of the stuff around.

    11. Re:Cost effective? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, the MRIs that use high-temp superconductors DO still require liquid helium. At least the Siemens, Philips and Varian systems do (I've worked on all 3 types).

    12. Re:Cost effective? by dakameleon · · Score: 1

      First of all, helium cannot be synthesized. Sure it can. Heard of this funky little process called fusion?
      --
      Man who leaps off cliff jumps to conclusion.
    13. Re:Cost effective? by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      Not now, but as the availability goes down and focus turns to finding ways to extract helium more efficiently, along with a sharp price rise, then the incipient profit involved in extraction will likely create a market for atmospheric or some other method of extraction... or perhaps lead to the future ability to synthesise helium.

      Why is it that some people seem to think that all you need to do is increase research and you will always find a timely solution? People are still looking for a cure to cancer. What makes you think it will ever be financially feasible to extract helium to meet the current scale of use?

  17. Hydrogen balloons would be more fun by JumperCable · · Score: 3, Funny

    Subject says it all.

    1. Re:Hydrogen balloons would be more fun by __aalnoi707 · · Score: 1
  18. wha?! by wwmedia · · Score: 2, Interesting

    is Helium like the second most common element in the universe?

    1. Re:wha?! by leomekenkamp · · Score: 4, Funny

      Yes, there is a fairly large amount of it only a few lightminutes away from earth; and the best thing is: tons of helium are being created every second! Unfortunately you have to overcome some issues, like gravitational pull and high temperatures.

      --
      Wenn ist das Nunstueck git und Slotermeyer? Ja! Beiherhund das Oder die Flipperwaldt gersput.
    2. Re:wha?! by phagstrom · · Score: 2, Funny

      Yes, but that does not make it the second most common element on earth. I don't think there are that many astronauts volunteering a trip to the sun to get some helium - even if it is for the sake of clowns everywhere ;-)

    3. Re:wha?! by ImprovGuy · · Score: 1

      Oh yeah - in fact we have a *huge* supply quite nearby. If you have any ideas on how to extract it from the centre of the Sun, well, we're all ears. :)

    4. Re:wha?! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In the universe != On the Earth.

      Maybe, just maybe, if we had a really tall ladder of some sort

    5. Re:wha?! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If there is a way to rape the sun if all natural resources we'll find it.

    6. Re:wha?! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just go at night - problem solved !

    7. Re:wha?! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And hydrogen is the first, so why do we even have to pay for it? Gee carbon is everywhere so why are diamonds so expensive? It's the form and rariety that gives it value. Take an ounce of gold dust and now mix it with a ton of sand. It's still an ounce of gold but now try to sell it. It'd take you a month to pan it out so how much value does it have in the real world.Helium is common inside stars and in space, mostly from nova and solar flares. The problem is the relative rarity of any matter in space. straining out that ounce of gold would be childsplay. Now imagine something with limited commercial value? How useful is Helium if it cost a 100X the price of gold?

    8. Re:wha?! by Jugalator · · Score: 1

      Pfft, I've simulated several flights to stars with my fuel scoop in Elite to sell it on the markets.

      Surely, it can't be much harder in real life?

      --
      Beware: In C++, your friends can see your privates!
    9. Re:wha?! by phagstrom · · Score: 1

      Then you can't see the helium - duh! ;-)

  19. Helium is a rebel, a loner by Reader+X · · Score: 4, Funny

    FTA: helium is a rebel, a loner, and it does not combine with other atoms while hydrogen does

    Helium: the James Dean of elements. All by itself in the upper right hand corner of the periodic table.

    Which I guess makes hydrogen the Paris Hilton of elements? Alone at the top??

    Why oh why couldn't I have been a science journalist...

    1. Re:Helium is a rebel, a loner by Manchot · · Score: 5, Funny

      Which I guess makes hydrogen the Paris Hilton of elements? Alone at the top??

      It also bonds with pretty much anything it meets.

    2. Re:Helium is a rebel, a loner by handelaar · · Score: 1

      >> Which I guess makes hydrogen the Paris Hilton of elements? Alone at the top??

      And unbelievably promiscuous.

    3. Re:Helium is a rebel, a loner by lonesome_coder · · Score: 1

      Helium is like the new Coca-Cola, it'll be around forever.

      *crazy Bill Cosby laugh*

      --
      If you'd just do what we tell you and quit yer gripin' everything would be chocolate sprinkles and rainbows! -AC
    4. Re:Helium is a rebel, a loner by Enigma2175 · · Score: 1

      Which I guess makes hydrogen the Paris Hilton of elements? Alone at the top?? I always thought of her as Lithium: white, dull, highly reactive, tarnishes quickly in air and serves no apparent biological function in humans. Or maybe Boron....
      --

      Enigma

  20. scavenging by phorm · · Score: 4, Informative

    Companies are already looking at scavenging raw materials out of recycled industrial (or even consumer) waste. As we are able to extract less through mining, we may look more at extracting (what may be in the future) semi-precious metals through various forms of recycling. Already a lot of companies are springing up around this concept, and some are even making decent bucks. As availability through mining starts to fall short, I'd expect to see an increase in price followed by availability picking up again to some extent through re-use.

    This may be a pretty damn cool use for bio-science too, as I seem to remember articles about modified plants that could be placed about areas such as garbage dumps etc and absorb various metallic minerals from the ground. Maybe one day we'll see people growing trees of copper and aluminum over previous landfills, leeching bits of once-discarded waste metals from the ground.

    I wouldn't say that the lack of raw materials shouldn't be a concern, but in the perhaps it will actually force society to view such things as less "disposable" and further the science and industry of re-use in the future.

  21. Supply and demand by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    TFA says few natural gas producers recover the helium from their wells. If the price of helium rises due to scarcity, those producers will recover the helium. Problem solved.

    1. Re:Supply and demand by argiedot · · Score: 1

      That's all very well, but there's limited supply of Helium. Suppose the rate at which the price increases is not fast enough, we may run through most of the Helium reserves before any company decides to extract it instead of throwing it away. That is not counting the possibility that new technology is built that needs a lot of Helium or the possibility that a large number of people switch to nuclear power. The Free Market cannot create raw resources.

    2. Re:Supply and demand by khallow · · Score: 1

      Who says the free market is creating raw resources? If all that demand happens, then prices will go up and supply increase. You're indicating a situation where demand don't go up for a while, that helium gets wasted, then suddenly demand shoots up. I don't see the point in thinking of such scenarios in isolation. We can always come up with a scenario where our actions are greatly out of whack with what happens. That's why one builds slack and insures against bad outcomes. As I see it, there's no real solution aside from the creation both of helium reserves (which has already been done) and finding alternate sources of helium. For example, one can scoop helium from Earth's upper atmosphere, extract some from the soil of the Moon, filter the solar wind, or find vast amounts of it in the gas giants. But that would require some sort of space-based infrastructure to take advantage of these sources.

    3. Re:Supply and demand by argiedot · · Score: 1

      Frankly, I find betting on technologies that haven't yet been made a bit dangerous. We may develop the required space-based infrastructure to get all those things, but its not something we can count on. On the other hand, we will always have demand for Helium (science, coolant, rockets). As other people have noted, most of the Helium reserves in natural gas are right at the top so throwing away Helium in the hope that there'll be more there at the bottom is a bit not-smart.

      Consider now, if the demand for Helium rises very slowly, too slowly for it to be extremely profitable to go through the process of extracting Helium just to sell it, we'll run through our Helium before that profitable stage is reached. I agree with you about reserves, but look at what I'm saying in the context of the article -- a He reserve being depleted..

      If all that demand happens, then prices will go up and supply increase My problem lies here, if the resources are exhausted before we get to that demand, (which is possible), the supply will be limited by the amount of actual He available. However profitable it becomes, you will only be able to get so much Helium. Sounds like a terrible waste to me.
    4. Re:Supply and demand by khallow · · Score: 1

      But again what's the point of collecting and preserving something that isn't valuable? Yes, we only have limited resources here. But that can work against us as well. We can't save everything. What makes helium more important than other demands?

  22. If the price increases enough ... by Chrisq · · Score: 2, Interesting

    If the price increases enough every natural gas producer will separate helium. This will postpone the problem until we run out of natural gas, possibly 30 to 50 years away. I am sure that when the western world runs out of these resources our previous fair dealings with the Arab world and Eastern Europe will help us negotiate some fair deals.

    1. Re:If the price increases enough ... by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      helium is lost right away. You have to tap right up front, or you lose it. After all it is at the top of the pocket. The problem is that we have been taped the bulk of our pockets. Everytime, we find a new pocket, they are smaller and have less and less gas and helium. IOW, we do not have 30-50 years worth in the ground. We have very little left. Basically, those reserves are where the bulk is. Hopefully W. will do something smart and shut down the sell off or will raise the price to the fun ppl (i.e. charge them what the chinese and EE currently charge).

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    2. Re:If the price increases enough ... by Chrisq · · Score: 1

      I don't think so, any more than the hydrogen is at the top of the atmosphere.

    3. Re:If the price increases enough ... by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Hydrogen is replenished here because it was bound to a large number of other chemicals. Helium, one of the noble gases, bounds with nothing. If hydrogen was not so reactive, we would not be here and nor would the hydrogen. It would have floated away. The reason that we have helium is because it, like hydrogen, is created VERY slowly via the radioactive decay that it taking place in this planet. Helium is traped only because of the stone.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    4. Re:If the price increases enough ... by Jaysyn · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I've read numerous times that there is an estimated 300 years worth (@ current usage rate) of methane hydrates just around the Bermuda Triangle.

      --
      There is a war going on for your mind.
    5. Re:If the price increases enough ... by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Interesting

      but that has nothing to do with the helium. The helium that we are refering to in rock. There is none that is trap in the ocean, though it could be under the ocean floor, along with other NG pockets. The methane that is at the bottom of the ocean is solid due to the pressure. Helium does not become liquid, let alone solid at those wimpy pressures. Methane does.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    6. Re:If the price increases enough ... by Jaysyn · · Score: 1

      Yeah sorry, for some reason I read your post as we only had at most 50 years of natural gas remaining.

      --
      There is a war going on for your mind.
  23. uh oh! by FudRucker · · Score: 1

    there is going to be a lot of angry & sad clowns...

    --
    Politics is Treachery, Religion is Brainwashing
  24. Re:failure to thrive crisis upon us by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I've heard that Thorazine can be quite helpful for people like you. Ask your doctor.

  25. Re:Risky business by scsirob · · Score: 1

    Mining on remote planets is risky, as bringing all that extra material to Earth will increase it's weight, thereby shifting the Earth's place in our galaxy, making it move slower. With increased mass and gravity we will be drawn into a new orbit in the direction of the sun, adding to GLOBAL WARMING!! OH NOO!!!

    Yeah, I'm a cynic...

    --
    To Terminate, or not to Terminate, that's the question - SCSIROB
  26. Already use hydrogen for balloons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's so funny that you said that because I already do fill my balloons with hydrogen. I go to a dollar store and get helium-quality balloons and then fill them with hydrogen from my hydrogen generator. Now, I don't have kids yet and never threw a kids' birthday party...that would be different, I'd either have to spend $10000000 on helium, or I'll spend like half that and buy all the kids flame-retardant blast suits.

    HA! Better blow out those candles fast!! OMGosh!

    1. Re:Already use hydrogen for balloons by hey! · · Score: 1

      In the name of science, you should see what happens when you ignite those balloons.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    2. Re:Already use hydrogen for balloons by JWW · · Score: 2, Insightful

      In the name of science, you should see what happens when you ignite those balloons.

      In the name of science? Nah, take em outside and do it just for fun!! :-)

  27. Moon by Nephrite · · Score: 2, Insightful

    There is a helluva lot of helium on the Moon. Moon ground is soaked in helium if I may say so. May be this will give another boost to space program? And remember the Chinese are going to build a moon base. Prepare to buy helium from China.

    1. Re:Moon by StalinsNotDead · · Score: 1

      Prepare to buy helium from China.

      And prepare for your helium to have lead in it, too.

      --
      Thanks to the internet, we can now all die alone together! -SomeWoman
    2. Re:Moon by RadioElectric · · Score: 1

      How is this possible? Helium would be a gas at the temperature that the moon is and the moon has even less gravity to hold onto it than the earth does.

    3. Re:Moon by chill · · Score: 1
      --
      Learning HOW to think is more important than learning WHAT to think.
    4. Re:Moon by Nephrite · · Score: 1

      I don't know the details but basically it is like this. High energy alpha-particles i.e. helium nuclei from the Sun hit the ground and embed themselves into the rocks. It may be not that strong a current but it accumulated for some millions years.

  28. Helium by Bastard+of+Subhumani · · Score: 1

    Have any of them there Ay-rabs got any? Just asking.

    --
    Only three things are certain; death, taxes, and apocryphal quotations - Ben Franklin.
  29. One Bright Spot by jmac1492 · · Score: 1

    At least now they're not going to make another Alvin and the Chipmunks movie.

    --
    Jenny's got a new number! 09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0
  30. What?-A sticky situation. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "It's easy to consume and throw away things if you don't think there will be a problem in getting more, and that attitude is pretty wasteful."

    Ok fellow geeks, save your sperm.

    1. Re:What?-A sticky situation. by somersault · · Score: 1

      And don't forget the recepticles/Kleenexes and interwebs. We need to save all of it for the sake of future generations.

      --
      which is totally what she said
  31. Don't forget the physics by tastiles · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Two important points about helium

    1. It's the smallest atom/molecule, since hydrogen is diatomic and H2 is a bit bigger than He. This makes it more difficult to store as it can get through any holes in a container

    2. It escapes from the atmosphere. So, once it's out of the container it goes into outer space and is gone forever.

    1. Re:Don't forget the physics by Frank+T.+Lofaro+Jr. · · Score: 1

      2. It escapes from the atmosphere. So, once it's out of the container it goes into outer space and is gone forever.

      [citation needed]

      --
      Just because it CAN be done, doesn't mean it should!
    2. Re:Don't forget the physics by GodfatherofSoul · · Score: 1

      I'm a little confused by this; note it's been almost a decade since I studied chemistry. But, isn't elemental hydrogen two protons and elemental helium two protons and two neutrons? Is the smaller size a result of the size of the electron cloud?

      --
      I swear to God...I swear to God! That is NOT how you treat your human!
    3. Re:Don't forget the physics by Guppy06 · · Score: 1

      "But, isn't elemental hydrogen two protons and elemental helium two protons and two neutrons?"

      Hydrogen just has one proton at its nucleus, while helium has two protons (and usually two neutrons). What the poster meant by "diatomic molecule," though, is that hydrogen really doesn't like being alone and usually exists as H2, two hydrogen atoms stuck together to form a single molecule.

      "Is the smaller size a result of the size of the electron cloud?"

      You're confusing molecular bonding with nuclear fusion. If there are two protons sharing the same nucleus, it's helium, not hydrogen. The two protons in an H2 molecule, both sharing a positive electrical charge, are nowhere near each other (on the atomic scale), and the two electrons are wandering around between/among the two disparate protons.

  32. Not cost-effective by KlaymenDK · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Extracting [Helium] from the atmosphere is not cost-effective. The US [...] stopped stockpiling it in 1995 as a cost-saving measure.

    Not cost-effective, eh? Well, in nine years, it will be! When your options are to use hydrogen, or tro to convince your friendly neighbourhood refinery to start capturing helium, then it will darn well be cost-effective to buy my extracted-from-the-sky-and-stockpiled-in-my-bunker helium instead...

    1. Re:Not cost-effective by whoda · · Score: 1

      Good point, it didn't used to be cost effective to get oil from shale-oil sand in Canada either, now tarred up sand is huge business.

    2. Re:Not cost-effective by DDLKermit007 · · Score: 1

      You can capture Hydrogen from space? Once that genie leaves the bottle it's gone for good.

  33. Science uses by Valacosa · · Score: 1

    I guess I'm a science type.

    Liquid helium is used as a coolant, much like liquid nitrogen. However, the boiling point of helium is 4.2 Kelvin, rather than the 77 Kelvin for nitrogen.

    Sometimes scientists need to be able to make things that cold. For instance, solid state physicists doing experiments with superconductivity, a phenomenon that only manifests at low temperatures. If that's a little too abstract for you, consider this - the superconducting magnets in MRI machines need liquid helium to work.

    The issue is reclamation, not from the atmosphere but from the machines themselves. In the lab I worked in whenever possible we would reclaim the helium and reliquify it. There are two problems, however. One, the mass of a helium atom is so light that it can escape from the Earth's gravitational pull - so once it evaporates, it's GONE. Two, helium atoms are tiny, fiddly little buggers that can find their way out of almost anything.

    Right now our helium comes from our oil caches, IIRC it was built up there through millions of years of radioactive decay of isotopes that happened to be in organic molecules. Unless we discover cheap fusion by the time that built-up supply runs out, we'll just have whatever is being generated by present-day radioactive decay. Which is a sloooooooow process.

    --
    "Live as if you'll die tomorrow." Ridiculous. You could die later today.
    1. Re:Science uses by phorm · · Score: 1

      I guess this answered my other post. It's possible via enforced radioactive decay (through fusion), but not viable at the moment?

      How about harvesting of helium from other celestial bodies. Weren't many comets etc supposed to be chock full of the stuff (not that hooking up with a comet and "siphoning" off helium would be very practical either)?

  34. Thermite paint by tepples · · Score: 1

    It's not like any hydrogen-filled balloons have exploded or anything I know you're sarcastically referring to the crash of the LZ 129 Hindenburg. Have there been any disasters of this magnitude where a hydrogen dirigible was not painted with thermite?
    1. Re:Thermite paint by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, maybe I mis-understood, but I thought Thermite had a VERY high ignition temperature, requiring a military-grade blasting cap to ignite, i.e. things would already have to have gone very, very wrong before Thermite came into play...

    2. Re:Thermite paint by SteelFist · · Score: 3, Informative

      Mythbusters did a segment on this and found that the thermite coating causing the disaster was nothing more than a myth. Well, at least the part of it being caused solely by the thermite was... From Wikipedia: "Using the same compounds used in the Hindenburg's paint, the MythBusters discovered that they could combine to form highly incendiary thermite. However, the actual proportions of components in the paint burned too slowly to match the film footage of the Hindenburg disaster. A scale model of the Hindenburg using the same paint and placed in a hydrogen-rich environment took about a minute to burn and did look very similar to the original events. In the end, they concluded that the Hindenburg's demise could be attributed to both the hydrogen and the paint, and they agreed that the paint by itself was not responsible for the rapid burning of the airship. They also pointed out that if actual thermite covered the Hindenburg, it would make the airship too heavy to fly." http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MythBusters_(season_5)#Episode_70_.E2.80.94_.22Hindenburg_Mystery.2C_Crocodile_Zig_Zags.22

    3. Re:Thermite paint by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 1

      Have there been any disasters of this magnitude where a hydrogen dirigible was not painted with thermite?

      Why yes, during WWI air defenses used to routinely light up German Zeppelin bombers over England like roman candles.

      Contrary to the conventional wisdom on /., hydrogen does burn.

    4. Re:Thermite paint by hedwards · · Score: 1

      I don't think that it was covered in thermite. The only thing which is absolutely certain is that the primary cause of the ignition wasn't the H gas, the color of the flames as reported by witness were just totally wrong for hydrogen gas burning. The color reported wasn't at all blue, if memory serves the color reported was more white/yellow in hue. Additionally, in order for hydrogen to burn, it requires oxygen, otherwise it can't combust.

      Iron oxide and aluminum-impregnated cellulose acetate butyrate dope were used to create the reflective quality in the outer shell required to keep the sunlight from expanding the hydrogen too much.That is hardly thermite, and it also isn't going to burn in the same manner as thermite does. You can't just ignore the rest of the material and call it good.

      Besides, it's Mythbusters, they don't actually engage in good scientific practices most of the time, it's just something that's interesting to watch.

    5. Re:Thermite paint by cheater512 · · Score: 1

      Watch that episode. Its very conclusive even if it wasnt completely scientific.

      Yeah the paint didnt help things but it didnt do a *great* deal.
      The mixture was all wrong for proper thermite.

    6. Re:Thermite paint by tcolberg · · Score: 1

      The hydrogen gas may not have helped, but studies have shown that the point of ignition was related to a static discharge that ignited the painted fabric skin of the dirigible. The hydrogen would not have burned if it weren't for the flammable exterior of the airship.

    7. Re:Thermite paint by hedwards · · Score: 1

      It needs to be somewhat scientific in order to be as conclusive, and if they were assuming that the thermite reaction was the major component of the fire, they were barking up the wrong tree to begin with. Thermite is a type of reaction which is dependent upon the chemicals present to go off, it is very different from combustion which requires the aid of external oxygen as well. Additionally, it's questionable if there was even enough in any particular spot to actually start reacting.

      The reality is that for whatever reason, the other components of the skin, namely cellulose acetate butyrate was the agent that burned. The hydrogen just couldn't have been a major part of the fire, the color of the flames would be wrong, and the volume of H without oxygen is just too large to burn at that rate. By contrast the doped skin of the Zeppelin was well exposed to air once the water burned off, and was located at the bottom, allowing the flames to spread in the most efficient manner. The flames probably really did spread at 6m/s which is ~12mph.

      I'd take a look at this link if you're still convinced that the skin burning is a myth. http://www.sas.org/tcs/weeklyIssues/2004-12-17/project1/index.html

  35. Controlled nuclear fusion by linuxbz · · Score: 1

    Whatever happened to nuclear fusion? Wouldn't the byproduct of a controlled fusion reaction be helium?

    1. Re:Controlled nuclear fusion by SixFactor · · Score: 1

      Give it 20 years. It will be too cheap to meter. :D

      --
      Science never settles, never rests.
  36. I can see it now. by MrCopilot · · Score: 2, Funny
    2010 The Rationing Begins.

    Borthday Balloons will get smaller every year. Soon you won't be able to get them at your local grocery store.

    I personally blame the Mythbusters. What between the Raft, The several thousand balloons used to lift the kid, and the Lawn chair, they probably reduced our supply by 3 yrs alone.

    --
    OSGGFG - Open Source Gamers Guide to Free Games
    1. Re:I can see it now. by zulater · · Score: 1

      I was going to blame the Macy's Parade.

  37. Good, finally by dotancohen · · Score: 1

    Excellent. I had no idea that the US government was, effectively, subsidizing the balloon industry. Now, the price can be adjusted for supply/demand, making balloons more expensive. That should keep at least some of them out of our ponds and rivers. If people want to play fun with a non-renewable resource, and pollute to boot, let them foot their own bill.

    --
    It is dangerous to be right when the government is wrong.
  38. Good! That stuffs dangerous! by 91degrees · · Score: 1

    Seriously - get into a balloon filled with helium, and you will die! Therefore Helium must be poisonous.

    All airships and balloons should be filled with a 80/20 nitrogen/oxygen mixture. Its' the only gas the we can be absolutely sure is safe if it seeps into the atmosphere.

  39. PARENT POSTER IS A BETA MALE by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    suck up some more guy.

  40. Unique properties? by slashname3 · · Score: 1

    Can anyone say hydrogen? Of course hydrogen is more flammable than helium. But that only means that better methods of handling it must be created. Once the price of helium reaches the right level it will be very cost effective to employ hydrogen in those cases where its "unique" property is needed.

    Of course the other way to solve this shortage is to look to the other planets in the solar system. Maybe this is the business model that will spur space exploration. Making a helium run to Jupiter might be the solution to keeping all those clowns in helium filled balloons.

    1. Re:Unique properties? by HisMother · · Score: 1

      The unique properties include being liquid at 4K, and forming a Bose-Einstein condensate. Being lighter than air isn't unique, as you point out, but the main use of Helium is not party baloons.

      --
      Cantankerous old coot since 1957.
  41. Helium Plant in Amarillo by ssorrrell · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I live in Amarillo, TX where the Helium plant used to be. Check to the Amarillo Globe News to find out what happened to it. They closed it for financial reasons, not lack of helium. It sold last year to a developer. Had been closed ~10 yrs or so and had not been updated for decades before then. When they built it, it was the edge of town. Town grew out to it. This is a stupid story. There is no lack of helium only a change in government policy.

  42. No, acetylene! by swb · · Score: 2, Interesting

    This girl I once fu^H^Hdated had this crazy, mad-scientist brother who used to put on a "show" on the 4th of July which involved trash bags filled with acetylene he got from some welding place. I think he used model rocket igniters.

    Anyway, he kind of won the Darwin award one dry very dry year when static electricity beat him to the punch. He only singed off the hair on his eyebrows and arms and didn't get serious burns or lose eyesight, but he quit the displays.

    1. Re:No, acetylene! by Lord+Apathy · · Score: 1

      Hell! We used to do this shit. We would do it in fall though. Hoist the fuckers up into the trees and blow all the fucking leaves out of them. Do it in front of the local old fokes home in the middle of the night. Then check the next morning to see how many rooms became availible in the night.

      Oh yeah, I'm going to burn in hell and it wasn't just for the pope jokes ether.

      --

      Supporting World Peace Through Nuclear Pacification

    2. Re:No, acetylene! by Frank+T.+Lofaro+Jr. · · Score: 1

      I think he can be nominated for a Honorable Mention.

      People who didn't manage to win, but have come close. :)

      --
      Just because it CAN be done, doesn't mean it should!
    3. Re:No, acetylene! by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      You can only win a Darwin award if you cause yourself to become extinct.

    4. Re:No, acetylene! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This girl I once fu^H^Hdated

      I'm not sure which is more pathetic:

      1) That you used the geek icon "^H" to signify a backspace, or

      2) That you felt the need to use the "^H" to pronounce, to the world, that you have actually have had sex.

    5. Re:No, acetylene! by toddestan · · Score: 1

      Actually, you can also Darwin yourself if you somehow make it so that you can't reproduce. Killing yourself isn't required, though it's the easiest way to go about removing yourself from the gene pool.

    6. Re:No, acetylene! by swb · · Score: 1

      I'm a little embarrassed about her. It wasn't the willful submission to vigorous cornholing that caused me to lose respect for her, it was giving up on the free ride to Northwestern for her PhD.

    7. Re:No, acetylene! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wait. She did both of these things for you, and you dumped her?
      Man, aren't you the model of humanity. A true representative for all male kind.

    8. Re:No, acetylene! by swb · · Score: 1

      No, I wanted the cornholing and her to get the PhD at Northwestern. When she gave THAT up, she moved back here and became a slacker. And it wasn't like she gave up the PhD program for "me" or wasn't smart enough, she just kind of went into loser meltdown.

      But this was almost 20 years ago.

  43. Re:Good! That stuffs dangerous! by caluml · · Score: 2, Funny

    I'll let you into a secret. Everything is a deadly poison.

  44. Come back, Helium! by Minwee · · Score: 1

    Thank goodness I still live in a world of telephones, car batteries, handguns and many things made with Helium.

  45. What aluminum shortage? by swb · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Is aluminum really in that short of a supply, or is it a smelting shortage?

    There was a guy on Science Friday, Jerry Woodall of Purdue, who has a process of generating hydrogen from an aluminum alloy. I heard him on Science Friday on NRP and he never mentioned any kind of worldwide shortage of aluminum, although he was largely pushing the fact that the aluminum alloy used as a catalyst in his process was completely recyclable and reusable for the same process.

    I have heard there are supply problems related to aluminum smelting limitations, primarily due to the energy required -- in fact, I seem to recall that Iceland of all places is a leading refiner of aluminum due to the geothermal energy resources; its cheaper to ship the ore to Iceland and refine it and ship it out due to the immense "free" geothermal energy.

  46. Well then... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We will have to go in at nightfall and return before daybreak then.

  47. HAHAHAHHAHA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "representatives of the balloon industry"

    Oh noes! The balloons won't float any more!!!

    Seriously, if that's really all we use helium for, who cares? There are a lot better things to spend tax dollars on than floating balloons (which are plastic and usually end up flying off into the atmosphere and becoming litter anyway).

  48. I believe there is shitload of helium on the moon.

    Helium-3, which is way cooler than our boring ass Earth helium.

    Why dont we just take the H-3 from the moon and de cubeify it? subtract the '3'...and were set.

    --
    -I only code in BASIC.-
  49. Some information about helium by Tom+Womack · · Score: 4, Informative

    The USGS compiles a large quantity of useful information about mineral production and consumption, including helium:

    http://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/commodity/helium/

    You can buy helium from the US government at $2.037 per cubic metre, whilst the commercial price is nearer $3 per cubic metre; adjusting that would seem to make some kind of sense, since the US has 600 million cubic metres of the stuff in Amarillo.

    There are plants at Skikda in Algeria and somewhere in Qatar which aim to extract 25 million cubic metres from natural gas a year, but there have been some issues in getting them to work; both Algeria and Qatar's natural gas reserves contain about as much helium as the US total reserves do.

    It is impossible to substitute for helium for cryogenics; nothing else stays liquid at that low a temperature, and the ultra-refrigerators that get to liquid helium temperatures use helium as working fluid.

    I did my PhD at Nottingham University, which uses a fair amount of liquid helium; the arrangement there is that it's delivered to the MRI building at the top of the hill, and the boil-off passes through a liquifier and is used by the theoretical physicists at the bottom of the hill. I don't know what the theoretical physicists do with their boil-off; there are obvious practical problems with running piping from lots of separate labs to a central liquifier, and liquifiers are bulky and vibrating enough that you don't want to have them in the same lab as your delicate semiconductor-physics experiment.

  50. Fusion to produce helium? by Britz · · Score: 1

    This could only have been meant to be funny.

    Modding it Interesting is probabely also a joke by the moderators.

    (I know that fusion produces helium, atom by atom)

  51. Watch this!!! in 100 years... by starglider29a · · Score: 1

    ...we will have fusion reactors, spewing waste Helium, global warming will have been replaced with global swelling as the atmosphere enlarges. Polars bears will be living happily because they can use their chipmunk voices to lure baby whales closer to shore.

    One crisis begets a solution which begets a different crisis.

  52. Any references by Chrisq · · Score: 1

    I have been looking for references on the web and it looks as though extraction is an ongoing process, not just "taking the gas from the top". I have not found a definitive reference yet though. Have you any links?

  53. The sun? by 192939495969798999 · · Score: 1

    The Sun has 80 gazillion tons of Helium in it. All we have to do is fly 93 million miles, overcome unbelievable heat and gravity, and then come right back, what's the problem?

    --
    stuff |
    1. Re:The sun? by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      the heat is no problem either, we'll just do it at night

  54. You had to tell them that didn't you? by denzacar · · Score: 3, Funny

    You go out of your way to present people with a plan how to get rid off politicians and someone comes along with an XXL ego and an S brain and starts shouting "It won't work! It won't work! They only go up!"

    Of course they don't drop down. Ceiling drops down.

    Sheeesh! Do I have to tell you how to do EVERYTHING?

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
  55. Exactly what I thought... by the_germ · · Score: 1

    "Extracting it from the atmosphere is not cost-effective." -> It soon will be! -> $$$

  56. Easy fix by IGnatius+T+Foobar · · Score: 1

    The easiest way to reduce our consumption of helium is to cancel the Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade. Who really needs to see a 100 foot tall balloon of Underdog for the hundredth time anyway?

    --
    Tired of FB/Google censorship? Visit UNCENSORED!
  57. Nuclear fusion is an absurdly poor source of He by Tom+Womack · · Score: 5, Informative

    Yes, nuclear fusion produces helium.

    The fusion of 1kg of deuterium produces near enough 1kg of helium, and, umm, 2.7MeV per fusion * 6*10^23 atoms per mole * 500 moles of D atoms per kilogram / 2 deuteriums per fusion * 1.6e-19 joules per eV = 64.8 terajoules of energy.

    So, a one-gigawatt fusion power plant would produce a kilo of helium every eighteen days; if the current electricity use of France were provided entirely by fusion plants, you'd get thirty tons a year. The large hadron collider uses 120 tons of helium, but efficiently; present planetary helium use is about seventy-five tons a day.

    For comparison, the US produces from natural gas about 76 million cubic metres of helium a year; a cubic metre of helium weighs 1000/22.4*4 grams, so 76 million cubic metres weigh about fifteen thousand tons.

    1. Re:Nuclear fusion is an absurdly poor source of He by Creepy+Crawler · · Score: 1

      Its MASS is 15k tons. It does NOT weigh 15k tons.

      --
    2. Re:Nuclear fusion is an absurdly poor source of He by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah! It's not like all of the He we've ever used was formed by nuclear fusion or anything.

    3. Re:Nuclear fusion is an absurdly poor source of He by belg4mit · · Score: 1

      It wasn't. Helium is too light an non-reactive to have endured as part of the Earth's composition.
      It's formed by radioactive decay (alpha particles capturing electrons). Natural gas reservoirs happen
      to be gas-tight, and so He collects there if appropriate decaying ores are also present.

      --
      Were that I say, pancakes?
    4. Re:Nuclear fusion is an absurdly poor source of He by belg4mit · · Score: 1

      He said ton not tonne you fucking dickwad; but then what is to be expected from someone with such a "clever" sig?

      --
      Were that I say, pancakes?
  58. Nuclear Power is a poor example by mdsolar · · Score: 1

    Nuclear actually has a pretty poor energy return on energy invested. I think we can point more towards oil and hydro as boosting available energy in the last century. One is renewable and one will run out. Fortunately, wind and solar power can scale and not be a drag the way nuclear power is. With these high quality energy sources, meeting our irreducible needs for liquid fuels should be fairly easy.

  59. Vanishing Helium by Wowsers · · Score: 1

    So what we're saying is that for the first time ever, it might be necessary to delete an element out of the periodic table?

    --
    Take Nobody's Word For It.
  60. Another tech has outpaced our usual method by argStyopa · · Score: 1

    Let's see, there are in a sense two competing technologies here.
    There is the technology for resource acquisition from the earth in raw form - mining, etc. This is a very gentle 'slope' meaning it can be begun by even the simplest cultures.
    Then there is the technology of efficient resource RECOVERY from pre-used sources (recycling). This seems to be a much steeper slope tech, as the cost/benefit doesn't (apparently) turn positive for a very long time in a culture's development.

    Both of these techs will continue to develop, of course. It may be the we are headed for a time where resource recovery - at least for several critical items - will end up being more economically viable than acquisition. It already seems to be there for some items like copper.

    I appreciate the concern of the article that lost helium is irrecoverable; nevertheless it appears that quite a bit is currently going unclaimed, so there's really not a SHORTAGE. There's merely a shortage of CHEAP helium.

    It may be that in the future there is a third technology: with abundant/limitless energy resources, it may become true that resource CREATION from element manipulation is cheaper/easier than either acquisition or recovery, but I'd expect this only to be true for exceedingly precious materials.

    --
    -Styopa
  61. Couldn't help thinking of Starcraft... by TheAngryMob · · Score: 1

    "I think we may have a gas leak!"

    --

    Don't just game, Dungeoneer
  62. Drilling is mining by jbeaupre · · Score: 2, Informative

    If you dig in the ground to get something out, it's mining. Drilling into underground reservoirs is a form of mining. http://www.mininglife.com/Miner/drilling/

    --
    The world is made by those who show up for the job.
  63. we need a huge Helium cloud to hit Milky Way! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    All we need now is a "Huge Helium Cloud will Hit Milky Way" announcement and we will be just fine ... after 40 zilion years.

  64. On the bright side... by clickety6 · · Score: 1

    ... no more "Alvin and the Chipmunks" movies !

    --
    ----------------------------------- My Other Sig Is Hilarious -----------------------------------
  65. Capitalism can save it by backslashdot · · Score: 1

    For one thing, there is no loss of resources .. Helium is basically the only resource we're "losing". All the other crap we'll supposedly run out of like copper or indium STAY on the planet. As we are running out of copper there are already polymer alternatives to indium. Also, Helium can be manufactured as a by product of nuclear. So no, we're not running out. Why doesnt this guy invest in recycling the stuff or better yet owning shares in it or in helium companies ..even a tiny amount .. then as we supposedly run out .. he can make billions!

    1. Re:Capitalism can save it by Orange+Crush · · Score: 1

      Assuming for a moment commercial scale fusion becomes economically viable relatively soon, can the resulting helium be realistically (and safely) harvested?

    2. Re:Capitalism can save it by Jeremi · · Score: 1
      For one thing, there is no loss of resources .. Helium is basically the only resource we're "losing"


      Winner, fastest self-contradiction ever!

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    3. Re:Capitalism can save it by InvalidError · · Score: 2, Informative

      If continuous fusion is achieved, the process will include some mean of extracting mass from the cavity to maintain a constant hydrogen and helium mass. I see no reason why diverting the "exhaust" to a liquefaction plant to recover helium should be a problem.

      The problem with this approach is that a nuclear fusion power plant would only consume a few grams of hydrogen per day and therefore produce only a few grams of helium daily whereas worldwide helium consumption is several orders of magnitude higher. Even if all power was produced from hydrogen fusion, power plants would only supply a tiny fraction of overall helium demand. A fusion plant's own He production might not even cover the plant's leakage.

      Since fusion reactors cycle thousands of liters of He to keep their plasma levitation/containment coils nice and frosty, it would be a shame to end up in a scenario where scavenging enough He to start the reactor became problematic.

    4. Re:Capitalism can save it by Chandon+Seldon · · Score: 1

      So how many megawatts of power generated do you need to fill the balloons for a child's birthday party? How much would Helium have to be worth for it to be an economically viable plan to change the reactor design to make non-radioactive Helium recoverable?

      --
      -- The act of censorship is always worse than whatever is being censored. Always.
    5. Re:Capitalism can save it by InvalidError · · Score: 2, Informative

      The problem is not with recovering the helium... it is that the amount of fused hydrogen to produce megawatts is so small that fusion reactors with by-product helium recovery equipment (simply liquefy the "exhaust", dumping the "unburnt" hydrogen back in the fuel tank and pumping the He into the cooling system's tank) might not even be helium self-sufficient due to leakage in the cooling/pumping system without building a low pressure double-wall to catch and recycle leaked helium.

      A fusion power plant would only produce enough helium to fill a few balloons each day so man-made helium will be a really expensive commodity once natural stocks are exhausted.

      Save helium and save money by switching to hydrogen balloons. Just remember to open windows when popping them indoors to avoid detonable accumulation and keep them away from hairy surfaces when lighting them up for safe fun/show or closed-quarters disposal.

    6. Re:Capitalism can save it by AndersOSU · · Score: 1

      Do you need fusion?

      How about a alpha emitter and an electron stream?

    7. Re:Capitalism can save it by Cecil · · Score: 1

      That's pretty much our most feasible way of manufacturing Helium on Earth at the moment, by producing (through fission/neutron bombardment) huge quantities of low half-life alpha emitters.

      Alternately, there are enormous, mind-boggling amounts of Helium on our neighborhood gas giants, but getting there to collect it, and then getting it back here would also be a bit of a problem.

  66. PARENT POSTER IS A BETA MALE by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    and so is your mother. I've met your parents; they're a couple of nice guys.

  67. but few producers capture it. by baomike · · Score: 1

    Guess why. The govenment quit buying it so they quit seperating it.
    Who were they going to sell it to?

  68. Liquidating the reserve by Gogogoch · · Score: 2, Funny

    I love the line from the end of the Wikipedia article:

    The resulting "Helium Privatization Act of 1996" (Public Law 104-273) directed the United States Department of the Interior to start liquidating the reserve by 2005.

    OK, OK, so they are going to start liquidating the reserve, but the big question is - are they going to sell off the helium to make some cash? :-)

  69. Actually smart ass... by sterno · · Score: 1

    Capitalism and the market economy does solve this problem. The article states that, at current usage levels, we will run out of Helium in nine years. But because it is market driven, we won't run out, as usage levels will be forced to decline because of higher prices. As the article points out, prices have already risen because of this.

    So what will happen is that, next time you go to some kids birthday party, the balloons will be filled with old fashioned lung power because helium has become too expensive. Alternatives will be found where needed, and those places where they must use helium will either pay more or find ways to recycle. Invariably some uses that cannot find an alternative will simply increase the fundamental cost of those products and services.

    So in truth, we will never run out of helium, it'll just be so expensive that it may as well not exist. Hooray for the invisible hand! :)

    --
    This sig has been temporarily disconnected or is no longer in service
    1. Re:Actually smart ass... by Walt+Dismal · · Score: 1

      Ah. Welcome to the $10,000 0.5 mw HeNe laser tube.

    2. Re:Actually smart ass... by Jeremi · · Score: 1
      So what will happen is that, next time you go to some kids birthday party, the balloons will be filled with old fashioned lung power


      Nah, hydrogen. It's more fun anyway.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
  70. Helium difficult to store by wildcatherder · · Score: 2

    Because helium is the second smallest atom, it permeates most storage containers. Storage is marginally possible in very large volumes such as the national store because of low surface to volume ratios. During the Sealab experiments, a major cost was replacing CRTS. The helium from the helium-oxygen atmosphere seeped into the cathode ray tubes rendering them useless. For the same reason, helium-neon laser tubes can be rejuvenated by immersion in a helium atmosphere. The only known method of creating helium in quantity is nuclear fusion. This helium shortage has been foretold for some time. I personally know of warnings from the 60s. It is one of the primary reasons for lack of commercial interest in modern lighter-than-air flight technologies.

  71. Actually, by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    I think that you are correct. I know that I read somewhere that the helium will be in the top of the pocket, but apparently, there is more within the gas. That is cool. In particular, the seperation appears to be an ongoing process, via the wyoming plant, which is the world's largest.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  72. The prize is surprising! by martinpisto · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    "Sometimes customers are a little surprised by the price, but it doesn't prevent them from wanting a fun arrangement," he said. "It's sort of like price increases with things like gasoline or bread, or milk. People don't stop buying them." http://www.spymac.com/details/?2331213

  73. Peak Helium by seededfury · · Score: 1

    So how come we weren't warned of peak helium?

    1. Re:Peak Helium by belg4mit · · Score: 1

      We were, the word just didn't get out. I just managed to track down the article I alluded to in an earlier comment.
      http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg17623746.200-under-pressure.html

      --
      Were that I say, pancakes?
  74. More Helium coming... by Caduceus1 · · Score: 1

    So, now we have a use for that helium cloud that will hit our galaxy. We just have to conserve until then.

    Now, we just need to find a giant crude oil cloud on its way...

    --
    rm /dev/mem
    Sci-Fi Storm
  75. Not cost effective? by SteeldrivingJon · · Score: 1

    "Extracting it from the atmosphere is not cost-effective."

    Well, no, not when you've got a whopping buttload of it in storage, no I don't suppose it would be.

    In 30 years, when Bill Gates needs helium for his grandchildren's birthday parties, you bet there'll be extraction from the atmosphere if that is the only viable source.

    --
    September 2011: Looking for Cocoa/iOS work in Boston area Cocoa Programmer Quincy, MA
    1. Re:Not cost effective? by belg4mit · · Score: 1

      Nor would it be when it occurs at less than one part per million in the atmosphere. Also, being the coldest
      refrigerant available it'd take a metric fucking shitload of energy to condense out. You might want think
      things through before reacting, eh?

      --
      Were that I say, pancakes?
    2. Re:Not cost effective? by SteeldrivingJon · · Score: 1

      What, are you part of some Helium fan club?

      Chill, dude. Sheesh.

      --
      September 2011: Looking for Cocoa/iOS work in Boston area Cocoa Programmer Quincy, MA
  76. Planned military use. by Radon360 · · Score: 1

    If I remember correctly, the idea to build a strategic helium reserve came about at around the same time that dirigibles were in vogue for transportation. The U.S. military, in particular the air force, was exploring the use of zeppelins and blimps for the movement of troops and supplies, as well as intelligence gathering. Such ideas lost out when larger, more powerful airplanes and helicopter designs proved to be more practical.

    Germany wanted to buy helium from the United States prior to World War II, however a military embargo prevented this from happening, and thus the consequences were made evident with the Hindenberg

  77. Renewable replacements by Ken_g6 · · Score: 1

    Let me see how many renewable replacements I can find for these applications:

    * Because it is lighter than air, airships and balloons are inflated with helium for lift. In airships, helium is preferred over hydrogen because it is not flammable and has 92.64% of the buoyancy (or lifting power) of the alternative hydrogen (see calculation.)

    Hydrogen is not flammable at less than 4% concentration in air, so a 4% hydrogen mix might be possible (if it doesn't collect at the top). Neon also is less dense than air; but it could have similar supply problems. In general, there's no good alternative that's not flammable. Although party balloons don't need that much lift, so a good deal more air could probably be mixed in with no noticeable effect.

    * For its low solubility in water, the major part of human blood, air mixtures of helium with oxygen and nitrogen (Trimix), with oxygen only (Heliox), with common air (heliair), and with hydrogen and oxygen (hydreliox), are used in deep-sea breathing systems to reduce the high-pressure risk of nitrogen narcosis, decompression sickness, and oxygen toxicity.

    This one's hard to replace. Maybe argon (which is extracted from the air) might work for some applications? Otherwise, that leaves (de)pressurized submersibles and ROVs (remotely-operated vehicles). Maybe some of NASA's telepresence work will be applied to ROVs, so people don't have to dive so deep?

    * At extremely low temperatures, liquid helium is used to cool certain metals to produce superconductivity, such as in superconducting magnets used in magnetic resonance imaging. Helium at low temperatures is also used in cryogenics.

    This took a little research. "...the highest critical temperature of a type 1 superconductor is only 23.2 K."(ref). The next coldest boiling point of a gas is that of hydrogen, at 20.28 K. So it might take some different materials, but we could keep using type 1 superconductors.

    * For its inertness and high thermal conductivity, neutron transparency, and because it does not form radioactive isotopes under reactor conditions, helium is used as a coolant in some nuclear reactors, such as pebble-bed reactors.

    And such reactors are dangerous if a non-inert gas, like air, gets in. Besides, pebble-bed reactors aren't breeder reactors, so they're not even close to renewable.

    * Helium is used as a shielding gas in arc welding processes on materials that are contaminated easily by air. It is especially useful in overhead welding, because it is lighter than air and thus floats, whereas other shielding gases sink.

    Which means in overhead welding, argon must be sealed in place, instead of welding with helium in the open. Just a small inconvenience.

    * Because it is inert, helium is used as a protective gas in growing silicon and germanium crystals, in titanium and zirconium production, in gas chromatography, and as an atmosphere for protecting historical documents. This property also makes it useful in supersonic wind tunnels.

    I almost skipped over this one, because argon is also inert, and nitrogen is fairly inert. But for gas chromatography, there isn't a good replacement for helium that is also inert. All the other noble gases have more electrons, and more spectral lines.

    * In rocketry, helium is used as an ullage medium to displace fuel and oxidizers in storage tanks and to condense hydrogen and oxygen to make rocket fuel. It is also used to purge fuel and oxidizer from ground support equipment prior to launch and to pre-cool liquid hydrogen in space vehicles. For example, the Saturn V booster used in the Apollo program needed about 13 million cubic feet (370,000 m) of helium to launch.[2]

    This could be a problem. An "ullage medium" is apparently needed to fill the empty space in a storage tank. If it's not used, the tank must be built stro

    --
    (T>t && O(n)--) == sqrt(666)
  78. Easy fix by Thaelon · · Score: 1

    Mine the sun!

    --

    Question everything

  79. IT'S OK! by neokushan · · Score: 1

    There's a big-assed helium cloud headed right for us. Therefore, I propose we take the "ignore it until it solves itself" method of dealing with the situation.

    --
    +1 IDisagreeSoHeMustBeATrollOrAnAstroturferOrAShill
    1. Re:IT'S OK! by The+Cisco+Kid · · Score: 1

      If you are referring to the prior article on slash, thats a hydrogen cloud, not helium. And it wont get here for 20 million years or more.

  80. helium very common, but not cheap by peter303 · · Score: 1

    Its a component of natural case. Instead of getting from old governement stocks, one is goign to have to pay market rate of extraction. We have centuries of it left, if not more.

  81. Sweet! by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

    > "Within nine years the National Helium Reserve will be depleted," according to an article in Science Daily.

    A prediction by this guy: Barring government intervention, we will not have such a shortage.

    Of course, 9 years from now, when this occurs, there won't be any headline retractions about it. Such is the way of life.

    --
    (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
  82. Call Batman. by Fantastic+Lad · · Score: 3, Funny

    Doesn't this sound sort of like part of an old Adam West script?

    And on a side-note which is probably more relevant. . .

    Since the Hindenburg went up in flames because it had been painted with thermite and not because of the gas it had been filled with, perhaps our airships should be using hydrogen which has more lifting power than helium anyway.

    I've always felt slightly gyped by not getting to live in that reality where we had regular airship traffic and where classy chicks all smoked from foot-long cigarette holders. I want to wear a waxed mustache and say things like, "Now see here, what?" and not sound like an idiot like I currently do when I speak that way.
    -FL

  83. quick! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    someone invent controllable fusion and MAKE helium from worthless hydrogen!

  84. THINK OF THE AIRSHIPS by Guysmiley777 · · Score: 1

    But what will we fill the airships with!? The damn Krauts will pull ahead in airship development and then where will we be? Stuck on the ground, that's where!

    --
    Coding with assembly is like playing with Legos. Coding an application in assembly is like building a car with Legos.
  85. Hydrogen ballons for kids! by Dareth · · Score: 1

    Really, whatever could go wrong with giving kids hydrogen filled balloons at birthday parties.

    I mean some things just go together, hydrogen filled balloons, birthday cake with candles, and ice cream to soothe those painful burns!

    --

    I only look human.
    My mother is a halfling and my dad is an ogre, so that makes me an Ogreling
  86. overused by nguy · · Score: 1

    Using helium instead of hydrogen for balloons and airships is a complete waste; the Hindenburg didn't explode because of the hydrogen, it exploded because of its aluminum/tar coat.

  87. Do you hear that? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That was the sound of all the clowns going out of business.

  88. Hmmmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I wonder if it could be created via a nuclear reactor or from nuclear waste.

  89. Stupid leaky party balloons... by Codifex+Maximus · · Score: 1

    Balloons have been made of porus rubber for so long that the Helium supply is dwindling. Well, isn't that amazing. I figure it's what the Helium suppliers want - so you'll buy more balloons and Helium. Only recently have they begun to sell balloons with less porus fabric but for outlandish prices.

    Oh well, must party some other way now. Big deal.

    --
    Codifex Maximus ~ In search of... a shorter sig.
  90. Let me amend the summary a bit by tacokill · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Extracting it from the atmosphere is not cost-effective at current pricing levels

    There, fixed it. Helium is available. We can extract it out of the air for anyone who needs it. However, the price they want to pay may not make it worthwhile to the supplier so we have fewer and fewer suppliers who can provide Helium and still stay in business.

    Saying "something is running out" never seems to take price into consideration. Same issue with oil. There is PLENTY of oil on the earth. The question is: how valuable is it to you (the consumer) to extract and use it? I guaran-damn-tee you that if Helium sold for $5000/cu ft -- we'd have PLENTY of helium. And most likely, I'd be in the helium sales business tomorrow. That's how capitalism works. If demand is out of whack with supply, then the price goes up and more suppliers come online to provide that product. If supply is out of whack with demand, then prices go down and fewer and fewer suppliers stay in that business.

    I see it something like:
    1. Go to Soviet Russia
    2. Find some old Koreans
    3. ????
    4. Profit!!!!!


    See how easy it works?

    1. Re:Let me amend the summary a bit by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      We can extract it out of the air for anyone who needs it.

      The problem with Helium is that its atomic velocity as a gas is greater than escape velocity, so it is gradually leaving the Earth's gravitational field. Given no replacement from radioactive decay, its concentration in air will asymptotically decline to zero.

    2. Re:Let me amend the summary a bit by Fantastic+Lad · · Score: 1
      Saying "something is running out" never seems to take price into consideration. Same issue with oil. There is PLENTY of oil on the earth. The question is: how valuable is it to you (the consumer) to extract and use it? I guaran-damn-tee you that if Helium sold for $5000/cu ft -- we'd have PLENTY of helium. And most likely, I'd be in the helium sales business tomorrow. That's how capitalism works. If demand is out of whack with supply, then the price goes up and more suppliers come online to provide that product. If supply is out of whack with demand, then prices go down and fewer and fewer suppliers stay in that business.

      And yet, even if Helium were available at $5000/cu ft to fuel some kind of snazzy super-reactor or whatever, it wouldn't mean you'd ever see balloons at your next door neighbor's kid's birthday party again.

      Capitalism is just a force. Many mistakenly believe that it is a philosophy, but 'supply and demand' is the social equivalent of the wind or the tides. Humans, however, are capable of recognizing and manipulating the various forces of nature so that we don't have to live in caves and trees. I've never understood why people think that just because they recognize a given pattern of nature that they should suddenly play 'hands off'. People don't do that with fire, because if they just let fire have its way, the painful results are quite immediate. It's harder to see the dangers of doing nothing but praying to a deity while the slower moving forces do their thing.

      Capitalism has no soul, and I always walk around with the sneaking impression that even while it shines its plastic smile down upon me, that those cold eyes are thinking how it would slap me in chains and sell my liver the instant it became profitable and risk-free to do so. I don't understand why people worship capitalism like some kind of religion. Capitalism is a force of nature which should damned well be watched and regulated, because it would happily turn against us at the first opportunity. I strongly suspect that it already has.

      Not all, but some people who embrace Capitalism as a way of life have been convinced that it is a good idea to live in gated communities, and to think that people who don't earn enough to make sure that they don't end up unwilling Indian liver donors, somehow deserve to be miserable. This is the result of psychopathic patterning, which is another force of nature; the psychopath wants the world to be divided into slaves and masters simply because it feeds on pain. It cloaks itself in whatever other reigning doctrine happens to be prevalent and it perverts it in order to advance its own ends, and those ends are always the establishment of fear and suffering. There are always enough people who are so wound up in their favorite doctrine to be led blindly down the garden path. Currently the garden path happens to be lined with Democracy and Capitalism, and we need only stop and look around at our present world to see where that has led us. Torture openly argued for on national news channels.


      -FL

  91. Really simple... by KinakeM · · Score: 1

    I will keep it simple.

    Do people really need balloons?

    I mean... seriously...?

    --
    All science is either physics or stamp-collecting.
  92. Re:failure to thrive crisis upon us by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Too bad in has a helium atom in its structure. No helium = no thorazine.

    Or penicillin or metformin (used for diabetes) either.

    A great loss.

  93. Umm where is it going? by raymansean · · Score: 1

    Before we all take the leap, where is the Helium going? Last time I looked He was on top of group 18 of the periodic table making it a noble gas. Unless someone has figured out how to take He and convert it to C or H and contain the energy which is released, I doubt we are running out. The price may go up but the supply seems pretty constant.

    --
    insert inflammatory comment here!
    1. Re:Umm where is it going? by belg4mit · · Score: 1

      You're a moron. The planet is constantly losing atmosphere, but lighter substances are lost at a higher
      rate than others. Helium is the lightest naturally occuring gas on Earth, so it flees most "eagerly."
      Even so, the problem here is not that the helium we waste in balloons etc. escapes the atmosphere very
      quickly, it is that we are moving it from natural gas deposits where it is occurs in high concentrations,
      to the atmosphere where it is extremely diffuse and essentially non-receoverable.

      There's no energy to be had from fissioning He or C, were that possible. You get energy by fusing light
      elements and splitting heavy elementsn

      --
      Were that I say, pancakes?
    2. Re:Umm where is it going? by raymansean · · Score: 1

      Just because it is leaving our planet does not imply that it is disappearing, and while it may be hard to recover it is not impossible. So the argument that we are losing He is not accurate, He is not turning into something else. When it is economically viable a different means of capturing and purifying He will become mainstream. He neglecting nuclear reactions is not being consumed or generated therefore it is being moved around at some point there the entropy of the universe will be so great that there is not enough free energy to recover it, but I think we are a long way from that. The same can be said about water, except there are more classical chemical reactions that consume and produce water, but as a general rule the amount of water on this planet has remained relatively constant. We are not running out of water in America, we have just about managed to contaminate all the easily accessible potable water.

      --
      insert inflammatory comment here!
  94. wait... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    excuse my ignorance (too lazy to google) but if CO2 is heavier than air how does it facilitate all the global warming stuff?

    1. Re:wait... by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      There is no ignorance there, it is a reasonable question that can be easily explained with the magic if air currents. The differences in weight aren't enough to stop one from floating in the other when external forces like currents are applied. Of course air currents happen because of warm and cold spots scattered around the earth as well as the earth rotation. The sun and cloud cover can manipulate these currents the easiest.

    2. Re:wait... by crashfrog · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      excuse my ignorance (too lazy to google) but if CO2 is heavier than air how does it facilitate all the global warming stuff?

      Gases are miscible.

      Forget Google. You were too lazy to think, even?

      --
      I never have frustrations, the reason is, to wit:
      If at first I don't succeed, I quit!
  95. Nice logic. by jotaeleemeese · · Score: 2, Funny

    we will NEVER run out of oil. NEVER. It will just get more expensive until something else replaces it

    Shall I say anything?

    Nah.

    --
    IANAL but write like a drunk one.
    1. Re:Nice logic. by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 1

      we will NEVER run out of oil. NEVER. It will just get more expensive until something else replaces it [...] Shall I say anything? Nah.

      People seem to think producing oil is like extracting it from a gas tank, and it just goes dry. That's not how it works. But hey, I'd love to read your scenerio where we will actually run out of oil.

      --
      Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
    2. Re:Nice logic. by tsotha · · Score: 1

      Well, since he's correct it wouldn't be wise. Better to just stay silent and not appear ignorant.

  96. What, no farscape reference by OldSoldier · · Score: 1

    The solution is simple... extract it from the butts of Hynerians.
    http://www.farscape-1.com/index.php?title=Hynerians
    (look up farting helium... one of the most outrageous claims ever on a sci-fi show. Man those writers failed chem-101!)

  97. Misanthrope much? by RoverDaddy · · Score: 1

    Do you hate everybody equally or just reserve your scorn for people younger than you? In the context of this discussion, the GP's comment is not your typical 'think of the children' tripe. The resources we preserve for future generations -are- important, even if they don't benefit your genetic descendants directly.

    Or, to put it more dramatically, do you believe that ensuring your own 'good' life justifies behaving in a manner that ensures your generation is the last to survive on planet Earth? Yes that's hyperbole, but the point is: each generation has a responsibility to be stewards of the planet for the next. If we continue to fall down on the job as badly as we have in some areas, someday that statement won't be hyperbole.

    If you really don't think you owe the next generation anything, I hope they prove more compassionate when you're old and feeble and need some young doctors and nurses to care for you.

    --
    RETURN without GOSUB in line 1050
  98. ITER/DEMO will solve this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    At least in the long term (say, before the end of the century), nuclear fusion will ensure that we never have an issue with helium supply. Hydrogen is plentiful on Earth (just go visit the beach), and fusing hydrogen into helium is a huge net gain in energy, and the helium waste product can be captured. Perhaps the biggest obstacle will be finding a way to use all the energy released, not running out of helium.

    Economical energy also makes a lot of things much cheaper. Space travel, for example. If we really need to harvest helium from space to fill demand, it'll become possible.

    In short, solving the energy problem solves a lot more problems than trying to solve problem X or Y, while not solving the energy problem brings everything to a halt. That's why there's so much more interest in solving the energy supply issue with renewables, nuclear, oil exploration, what have you, and not so much other resource crunches. The world can often find substitutes for the majority of uses of given materials; it's not so easy conjuring up new supplies of energy.

  99. Humans will exceed mass of universe in 7000 yrs. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    At current growth rates, I recall reading, the mass of humans will exceed that of the known universe in 7000 years. Clearly that won't happen, so we need to change our ways. If not now, when?

  100. And "spark plug" by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

    Thermite had a VERY high ignition temperature

    Yep.

    And an electric arc can easily exceed the temperature of the surface of the sun.

    The Hindenberg was coming to its mooring during the leading edge of an electrical storm. As a very large flying object it would have accumulated a considerable charge on its surface, which would discharge through the mooring line. The surface was largely non-conductive, so when one point was grounded the charge on the rest would have to discharge by arcing. Such arcs would be fractal, with the initial strike of each segment concentrating the progressive expansion of the discharge tips, much as the trunk and branches of a tree concentrate the strength supporting the weight of the growth beyond. So these arcs could be very hot and persist for a significant time. If one of them happened to pass through particles of iron oxide and aluminum, in a local concentration of such particles, you have the condition for ignition. And an arc would prefer to pass through such particles if the ends happened to be exposed rather than covered by insulation.

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    1. Re:And "spark plug" by Wavicle · · Score: 2, Informative

      I strongly suggest you read this criticism of the incendiary paint theory.

      The short answer is: we can actually calculate how much static energy each panel could hold, and how long and how powerful the spark between panels would be. There simply wasn't enough energy to ignite the panels. I think the greatest testimony against the "electric spark started it" is that Addison Bain, who popularized the "thermite paint" theory, had to hold a piece of the Hindenburg fabric in an electric plasma-arc generator (Jacob's ladder) to get it to burn, and even then not very well.

      Read Appendix B for a full discussion on how much electric energy each panel could hold and discharge.

      --
      Education is a better safeguard of liberty than a standing army.
      Edward Everett (1794 - 1865)
  101. Not to worry by CSMatt · · Score: 1

    We'll just make some more when we perfect cold fusion.

  102. Save the Helium by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Please send your money to the "Save the Helium" fund. Just think, a dollar a day could clothe, educate, and house 100 birthday balloons worth of Helium in the fund labs.

    In the time it took to read this comment, 3000 liters of Helium were lost to space...

    Please...

    Please.

  103. !crisis is correct Re:No more helium? by mrmeval · · Score: 1

    When it *again* becomes profitable then oil companies will profit from it. Till them no squeeks for thee!

    --
    I'd go on a Vegan diet but the delivery time from Vega is too long. --brownkitty
  104. Radium spontaneously decays into helium and radon by John+Sokol · · Score: 1


      And Radium is a decay product of Uranium, so we could just harvest the output of all of our nuclear power plants we could produce helium. Although I'm not so sure I'd want my kids to be playing with these new Helium balloons.

    --
    I am always doing that which I can not do, in order that I may learn how to do it. - Pablo Picasso
  105. Guys, this is serious by Werefrog · · Score: 1

    If there is no helium how will my three friends and I travel the world to collect four crystals in order to save the world from a generic villain? I guess we could use hydrogen, but I'm pretty sure that wouldn't work out too well once we got to the fire crystal.

  106. Old news by belg4mit · · Score: 1

    This is actually a long-standing problem, and it was covered in New Scientist several years ago.
    Of course, it's not unique. We waste all sorts of non-renewable resources, but this one is
    particularly scarce. Helium is naturally occuring in natural gas deposits, which we of course
    are tapping out; and of course trace levels in air. Would you rather have an MRI or a balloon
    that'll choke sea-life? Of course, we could be using Neon for such trivial uses, preserving He
    for purposes relinat about its unique properties such as refrigeration.

    --
    Were that I say, pancakes?
  107. In capitalist Russia... by fm6 · · Score: 1

    So if I offer a billion-trillion dollars for the secret of immortality, somebody's bound to come up with it? Before I die, of course, or the offer's off.

    Libertarians are so freaking dense. Yes, a market economy is a powerful engine for creating shit. But like any other engine, it has a finite speed. You can't solve every resource issue with "the marketplace will take care of it." The marketplace is not magic.

    Hey, I just invented a new joke: How many libertarians does it take to change a light bulb? None. If there's really a need for light, the marketplace will take care of it.

    1. Re:In capitalist Russia... by rbanffy · · Score: 1

      Before you blast me, you should do a little reading. May be hard at first, but once you get the hang of it, you will see it's pretty easy. Most children can do it quite well with about 3 years of training.

      There are plenty ways to fuse hydrogen into helium, many of them very old. Most of the research now is focused on fusing heavy hydrogen isotopes without spending more energy than you can get from the fusion reaction, which is damn hard to do. But fortunately, for our little exercise, it is not required: if the price of helium gets high enough, the technology that exists today will be scaled to industrial production as soon as it becomes economically feasible.

      And if you offered a billion-trillion dollars for immortality, most clever people (being libertarians is not a requirement) would simply say you don't have the money.

    2. Re:In capitalist Russia... by fm6 · · Score: 1

      Excuse me? Existing fusion technology that "very old" and "just needs to scale". I seemed to have missed that. I guess I overlooked Thomas Edison's work on the subject. If only they'd put more pictures in science books....

      Please tell me you're talking about Cold Fusion. I need a good laugh right now.

    3. Re:In capitalist Russia... by rbanffy · · Score: 1

      I can start by mentioning Tokamak-style fusion. It's hot, requires more energy than it produces (as of now) but seems capable of, given the right economic incentive, to produce as much helium as we can pump deuterium in it. Research about it is also receiving obscene amounts of money.

      There are also other approaches, such as inertial electrostatic confinement designs, which have been used for decades as neutron sources. While true that those neutron sources produce ridiculously small quantities of helium, please keep in mind they have been designed to produce neutrons more than anything else. The Bussard (Polywell) design is a fresh take on that and a quite promising, if unproven, one.

      You could also imagine muon-catalyzed fusion as another possible approach, but I doubt it would be practical.

      As they presently stand, none of them could produce helium in industrial scale. Remember that none of these approaches is tailored to the specific purpose we are discussing - they are either neutron sources or power-plant wannabes.

      An economy is a powerful force and you seem blinded by a strange belief I said something on the lines that it can solve any problem. Don't forget we are discussing a solution to the depletion of our helium sources. If none of these approaches solves the problem, other solution will doubtlessly emerge.

      Even if it's as simple as finding another gas to use instead of helium.

      Markets are powerful tools to find solutions to problems, but not necessarily the solutions we expect. And, quite often, they cheat by redefining the problem.

    4. Re:In capitalist Russia... by fm6 · · Score: 1
      "Blinded" is the wrong word. I plead guilty to stereotyping you as the standard libertarian who believes the marketplace is the answer to all questions.

      Be that as it may, you've cited a lot of expensive propositions that sound unlikely to get cheaper no matter how much money you throw at them. Deuterium, to cite one example, is not exactly a commodity product.

      Your example are all variations on fusion tech. I'm no expert on that (not enough comic books on the subject) but it's my understanding that tons of money have been poured into fusion power and that a serious solution is still decades away. Of course, you can get helium out of a fusion reaction even if it's not running an energy surplus. But then you have to pour a lot of energy into the process, further adding to its cost. Add the resource consumption and carbon footprint of that energy generation...

      You make one last point:

      Markets are powerful tools to find solutions to problems, but not necessarily the solutions we expect. And, quite often, they cheat by redefining the problem. I heartily agree. Clever entrepreneurs may well find solutions, surprising or not, to this particular resource issue. They may also find lots of ways for civilization to reduce its carbon footprint. (Which is why carbon cap-and-trade is better than simple carbon caps.) Given the right incentives, they might find solutions to each of our many problems with dwindling resources, loss of biodiversity, and a host of other environmental problems.

      But the key word here is "might". It's perfectly possible that alternatives to helium or practical technologies to generate it can't be created quickly, no matter what the market incentives. (In which case, it'd be good to consider rationing the stuff, so that vital industries get priority over party balloons and flying billboards.) Every time we assume that the best thing to do is to rely on the marketplace to solve the problem, we're rolling the dice. And yes, each roll of the dice is stacked in our favor, because profit is a strong incentive to innovation. But we're having to roll the dice more and more — often to deal with problems the market itself created. And if we roll snake eyes often enough...

      In short, I'm arguing against your complacency. Resource issues are real crises, and economic self-correction is no guarantee. Come to think of it, my stereotyping is not so off the mark after all.
  108. rarity factto by deodiaus2 · · Score: 2

    Economomics is driven by rarity. Helium is the rarest of all the naturally occuring elements and was discovered in the sun's spectra before it was discovered here on earth. Once it is released, it it practically impossible to recover. Sooner or later, someone is going to succeed finding a commericial use for this stuff. I once went to a talk at NASA concerning one motivation for going to the Moon in the 1960's. It was hoped that there would have been enough He 3 (2 protons, 1 neutron) in the moon's atmosphere to make a fusion reaction an economic payoff. If these types of reactions yield enough energy, then it will be well worth it to travel to the moon to harvest He 3. I don't know if fusion reactions for He 4 to yield enough energy to be economically viable.

  109. Get it from air? by Vadim+Makarov · · Score: 1

    I've onece asked a Russian researcher working with superconductors where they get their helium from. They obtained it from air using a machine the size of a conference hall that produced several liters of liquid helium per day. So apparently it is possible and even economical at some locations, even though it might be expensive (he did complain about the price, $10 per liter if I recall).

    --
    17779 eligible voters in a district, 17779 'vote' as one. This is Russia.
  110. what? by tacokill · · Score: 1

    Gravity works on Helium too, ya know. Helium is not escaping the earth's atmosphere unless it has sufficient velocity to do so. Which...it doesn't.

    Yes, Helium is the lightest element. But it still has mass and thus, is subject to gravity.

  111. Mod parent up by Jaseoldboss · · Score: 1

    Mod parent up. There's a clip on YouTube of someone talking after inhaling SF6 and the deep voice persists for quite a while until his colleague tells him to breathe deeply to expel it. Can't link you, it's blocked here but you'll find it on Digg every couple of weeks.

  112. Cancer is possibly more complicated by phorm · · Score: 1

    Well, the thing is that cancer is something of a group rather than a very specific affliction. Ways to deal with certain types of cancer have been found, but there are actually quite a few different ones. In general dealing with sicknesses and diseases is a changeable and fairly complicated situation, what with multiple varieties/mutations/offshoots of a particular condition/disease/syndrome. That's not to say that the helium situation is an easy one, but we already know of conditions in nature (well, if you count the sun as nature) where helium can be thus created. In medical science, we have some natural immunities etc but it's not quite the same situation.

  113. Helium Shortage by MrMuileh · · Score: 1

    I am writing with a comment on your recent post related to the helium shortage. I currently am responsible for managing the worldwide helium business for Taiyo Nippon Sanso (TNS), the leading Japanese industrial gases company. Before joining TNS, I managed the global helium business for The BOC Group, plc for many years. So I am somewhat knowledgeable on the subject of helium supply. The entire premise of the article is flawed. While there is currently a worldwide shortage of helium, and a tight helium market can be expected to continue through 2009 or 2010, there is absolutely not a shortage of helium molecules in the world. The statement that the world's supply of helium will run out by 2015 is ridiculous. A more accurate portrayal of the facts is as follows: There are huge reserves of helium in the world that can still be exploited. Huge reserves are located in places like the Tip Top Field in Wyoming, the North Field of Qatar, the South Pars Filed in Iran and various gas fields in Eastern Siberia. So why is there a helium shortage? The current shortage was triggered by the U.S. Bureau of Land Management's (BLM) restrictions on the quantity of crude helium feedgas that the BLM will allow helium refiners to "redeliver" from the BLM's crude helium pipeline, thus reducing the capacity of six helium liquefaction plants that together account for nearly 2/3 of global capacity. In addition, production from new plants in Algeria and Qatar was delayed and ramped up to full production more slowly than had been anticipated. Throw in a few maintenance outages and we ended up with a real messy situation. So why is an ongoing shortage expected? It is important to remember that helium is produced as a by-product of natural gas processing, including LNG production. The investments required to develop natural gas fields, pipeline systems and gas processing or LNG facilities are many times greater than the investment required for helium extraction, purification and liquefaction. So even though the helium reserves are present in very large quantities, the helium producers can not produce the helium until such time as the natural gas fields in which helium is present are commercialized. So even though there is a helium shortage, the helium industry can't build new plants until the after the energy investments have been made. There are currently a number of energy/helium projects on the horizon and by 2011, the worldwide supply of helium should be at least ample. Speaking to the specific comment that the world's helium supply will run out by 2015; I believe that this was an out of context reference to the fact that the BLM will sell off most of the US government's strategic helium reserve by 2015. Sale of the helium stockpile was mandated by the Helium Privatization Act of 1996 and is proceeding in accordance with the legislation. Crude helium from the stockpile has been very useful in enabling the helium refiners connected to the BLM pipeline to maintain their production capacity as the Hugoton Field, which is/was the source of crude helium for both the strategic stockpile and current extraction in the mid-continent area, depletes. In essence, the strategic stockpile has provided a bridge until the various new projects begin production in 2011. A correct statement would be that the US government will sell off most of its strategic stockpile by 2015. Back to your article - it seems to me that the U.S. scientific community has launched some sort of PR campaign due to their unhappiness with rising prices for helium which have resulted from the shortage and misguided fears that the world is running out of helium, jeopardizing their scientific work. My suggestion is that you do a better job of fact checking before printing this material as it serves to spread misinformation and diminishes the credibility of your publication. Sincerely, Phil Kornbluth Executive Vice President - Global Helium Matheson Tri-Gas Inc. 150 Allen Road - Suite 302 Basking Ridge, NJ 07920 Tel: 908-991-9258 Fax: 908-604-1461 Cell: 908-745-9779 E-mail: pkornbluth@matheson-trigas.com

  114. Capitalism to the Rescue by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

    Was the price it sold it at lower? higher? Unknown.

    It doesn't matter what the absolute number is - if the cost of extracting and selling the helium were lower than the US Government sale price then an enterprising capitalist would have done it.

    Nobody has, so either the market is inefficient or the government is mucking it up.

    --
    My God, it's Full of Source!
    OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
  115. replacement rate by tacokill · · Score: 1

    Interesting. I may stand corrected....

    Question for you: what is the rate of replacement? ie: we know we lose some atmosphere, but we also gain atmosphere when the Earth's gravity pulls stuff into our atmosphere. What are the rates for each?

    The original poster claimed Helium is a depleting resource because we are losing it through the atmosphere. I questioned that but it seems the equation is a lot more complex than I first thought. While I still stand by my previous post, I am open to hearing more about the loss/gain rate for light elements.

    1. Re:replacement rate by uncadonna · · Score: 1

      I don't really have time to look up chapter and verse for you on this, but I encourage you to pursue it. Look for the planetary atmospheres literature.

      As for accretion vs loss, I'd think that the ratio of the density of the atmosphere to the density of the ambient space would tell you something.

      --
      mt
  116. InChem: UF6 Corrosive Carcinogen by papaTango · · Score: 1

    Do you speak from experience or hearsay?

    On balance, it's not a smart move to inhale this substance. That's if this Peer Review report is to be believed.

    1. Re:InChem: UF6 Corrosive Carcinogen by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 1

      Neither. I speak from the funny. Even the mods agree, which is unusual.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!