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Astrophysicists Find "Impossible" Planet

SpuriousLogic writes "Scientists have discovered a planet that shouldn't exist. The finding, they say, could alter our understanding of orbital dynamics, a field considered pretty well settled since the time of astronomer Johannes Kepler 400 years ago. The planet is known as a 'hot Jupiter,' a gas giant orbiting the star Wasp-18, about 330 light years from Earth. The planet, Wasp-18b, is so close to the star that it completes a full orbit (its "year") in less than an Earth day, according to the research, which was published in the journal Nature. Of the more than 370 exoplanets — planets orbiting stars other than our sun — discovered so far, this is just the second with such a close orbit. The problem is that a planet that close should be consumed by its parent star in less than a million years, say the authors at Keele University in England. The star Wasp-18 is believed to be about a billion years old, and since stars and the planets around them are thought to form at the same time, Wasp-18b should have been reduced to cinders ages ago."

436 comments

  1. Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Junior+J.+Junior+III · · Score: 0, Troll

    How presumptuous is it for these physicists to make claims about exoplanets, when no one has been able to visit them to confirm anything that our measurements are telling us *might* be out there? How confident is astrophysics in what they're seeing and interpreting?

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    1. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Sockatume · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This study does demonstrate that either the measurements are wrong or our understanding of orbital dynamics is wrong. Knowing the former is important because it tells us we have to alter how we make the measurements and knowing the latter is important because it tells us we have to alter our understanding of physics. So it's the very antithesis of hubris.

      --
      No kidding!!! What do you say at this point?
    2. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Not necessarily. Maybe something knocked it out of its regular orbit and it's spiraling into the star. Maybe we're just witnessing its death.

    3. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by IWannaBeAnAC · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Why do you think physicists need to visit a planet to be able to make reliable measurements about them? I would expect that they can have confidence in their measuring equipment in the same way that you can have confidence that the sun will rise in the morning. After all, you have never been there, how can you know anything about how it works?

    4. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by alvieboy · · Score: 1

      Or other forces are acting on the planet besides gravitational force. We actually do not understand all forces we theorized so far.

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    5. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by MyLongNickName · · Score: 2, Informative

      I am not sure of the method they used to find this planet. If they are using the transit method, then there isn't a heck of a lot of interpretation to the numbers. You see how often the sun "blinks" because of the planet flashing across it. You get several observations, with a minimum of three (this is a reason why the closer planets get discovered quicker. it takes less time to verify). So, basically I don't think it is presumptuous at all. It is basic physics.

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    6. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Sockatume · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That would fall under "our understanding of orbital dynamics is wrong".

      --
      No kidding!!! What do you say at this point?
    7. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Hubbell · · Score: 1

      Or it started out at a farther out orbit and is now within a million years of destruction?

    8. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by IWannaBeAnAC · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Hmm, I was trying to find a good analogy. This isn't a good one. I was thinking about a prototype jet, and why would one belive that it should fly on its first test flight. Experiments have experimental error. But any researcher who is worth their salt has some idea of how large that error is. Basically, you are accusing the researchers of incompetence. Have you ever used binoculars? Why do you trust what you see, if you haven't been there to see it yourself?

    9. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Colonel+Korn · · Score: 5, Informative

      How presumptuous is it for these physicists to make claims about exoplanets, when no one has been able to visit them to confirm anything that our measurements are telling us *might* be out there? How confident is astrophysics in what they're seeing and interpreting?

      The error bars are published along with the data, you know. There's no presumption here. These astronomers are presenting data and then interpreting the results in order to suggest probably implications.

      Why is it that every "scientists find something new and try to understand it" article on Slashdot prompts comments that get modded up (why is the parent +4 insightful?!) for complaining that arrogant scientists are making stuff up and leaping to conclusions?

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    10. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by thisnamestoolong · · Score: 1

      How presumptuous is it for these physicists to make claims about exoplanets, when no one has been able to visit them to confirm anything that our measurements are telling us *might* be out there? How confident is astrophysics in what they're seeing and interpreting?

      Why do we need to go to a planet to take measurements? By your logic, we should not be able to confidently say anything about any of the celestial bodies save the Earth and our moon. All the astronomers (not physicists, mind you) are doing here is determining (not presuming) the orbital period of a planet around a star, which is EXTREMELY straightforward, even for an exoplanet such as this. It is also fairly straightforward to the age of a star. Since all of our current knowledge shows that planets tend to form at the same time as a star, we are taking that as the most likely scenario here. The scientists in question are making it totally clear that there is a disconnect between theory and observation here, and are investigating more deeply to find out how to amend theory and enhance our understanding of the cosmos. I cannot see what is presumptuous here, other than your ignorant blatherings of presumptuousness.

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    11. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by mike2R · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Presumptuous?? Isn't that how science is meant to work - collect data, try and find patterns, make presumptions (hypothesises) about the underlying systems, and then collect more data to see if their presumptions are born out.

      "The most exciting phrase to hear in science, the one that heralds new discoveries, is not Eureka! (I found it!) but rather, 'hmm... that's funny...'" - Isaac Asimov

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    12. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Junior+J.+Junior+III · · Score: 1

      Why do you think physicists need to visit a planet to be able to make reliable measurements about them?

      I'm not saying that, exactly; I'm saying that when we measure things, we have greater confidence in them when we have multiple ways of measuring, and they all agree.

      Visiting and making more direct observations would be such a way; I can't really think of any others, since I'm not actually a scientist.

      But it seems to me that if we had multiple independent confirmations of the observation, using different methodologies, and they all agreed, we'd be much more confident in the interpretations and conclusions.

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    13. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by petaflop · · Score: 1

      Orbital dynamics is rather unlikely to be the problem, given the vast pool of data to support it. Our understanding of the tidal interactions between planets and stars, which is the basis of the expected orbital decay, requires rather more levels of inference and are based on considerably more tenuous data. This is where I would be looking for the problems.

    14. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Kjella · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Or the third option - the orbit it has now isn't the original orbit. Plenty possibilities here.

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    15. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by MollyB · · Score: 4, Informative

      from TFA:

      A second possibility is that the planet hasn't been in its current position very long, Hellier said. Wasp-18b could have spiraled inward to its current position over millions of years. It may have been bumped out of its original orbit by another planet, for example.

      "However, that does not solve the problem," Hellier said, because the planet's lifetime should still be very short and it would be very unlikely for his team to find it where it did.

      hth

    16. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by IWannaBeAnAC · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It implies no such thing. Given the evidence, I would suggest that by far the most likely explanation is something that the authors of paper themselves suggest; something has happened since to knock a planet into a close orbit of the star. There are many explanations that don't require a modification of orbital mechanics (pretty much any modification that is big enough to produce this planet with no external influence, would give an effect that is observable within out solar system), why assume that such a modification is required? The slashdot headline is inflammatory, it is a "puzzle" (the article headline), not "impossible" (the slashdot headline).

    17. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by j00r0m4nc3r · · Score: 1

      You forgot about the fourth option. Cheeseburgers.

    18. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Junior+J.+Junior+III · · Score: 0

      Why is it that every "scientists find something new and try to understand it" article on Slashdot prompts comments that get modded up (why is the parent +4 insightful?!) for complaining that arrogant scientists are making stuff up and leaping to conclusions?

      To be fair, I did not accuse scientists of being presumptuous. Rather, I asked for a quantification of how presumptuous the claims are, based on the data and the methods that we currently have. If anyone's actually being presumptuous, it's more likely either the science journalists or the slasdot editors.

      I meant to point out that if you take a moment to think about it, these claims are likely tentative, based on what they currently can tell to the best of their ability; not solid, final and authorative. But it seems that a lot of people who have responded thought I was accusing scientists of jumping to conclusions.

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    19. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Rising+Ape · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Why is it that every "scientists find something new and try to understand it" article on Slashdot prompts comments that get modded up (why is the parent +4 insightful?!) for complaining that arrogant scientists are making stuff up and leaping to conclusions?

      Probably because the average slashdotter doesn't know anything about science. Scientific facts, maybe, but procedure? No. See any global warming thread for further details.

    20. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Clandestine_Blaze · · Score: 5, Informative

      This story appeared in USA Today yesterday. From the article:

      Astronomers have found what appears to be a gigantic suicidal planet.

      The odd, fiery planet is so close to its star and so large that it is triggering tremendous plasma tides on the star. Those powerful tides are in turn warping the planet's zippy less-than-a-day orbit around its star.

      The result: an ever-closer tango of death, with the planet eventually spiraling into the star.

      It is a slow death. The planet WASP-18b has maybe a million years to live, said planet discoverer Coel Hellier, a professor of astrophysics at Keele University in England. Hellier's report on the suicidal planet is in Thursday's issue of the journal Nature.

      "It's causing its own destruction by creating these tides," Hellier said.

      Putting aside the sensationalist journalism (calling it a "suicidal planet"), it appears that its proximity to its star is causing plasma tides on the star (similar to the tides we have here on Earth due to the Moon), and those tides are warping the planets orbit.

    21. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by mcvos · · Score: 2, Interesting

      What do you mean "presumptuous"? This is how science works: based on past observations, you construct a theory of how things should work. Then you make new observations that contradict your theory, and you revise it. That's what we're seeing here.

      I'm impressed by the speed at which the WASP team makes these "impossible" discoveries, though. A few days ago there was news about WASP-17b that orbited around its sun in the wrong direction, and now WASP-18b orbits too close to its sun. Cool stuff.

    22. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      ""However, that does not solve the problem," Hellier said, because the planet's lifetime should still be very short and it would be very unlikely for his team to find it where it did."

      Unlikely != impossible. And I'd even question the unlikely bit. With many researchers looking for interesting objects, don't be surprised when you find...an interesting object.

    23. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by mcvos · · Score: 1

      Or the third option - the orbit it has now isn't the original orbit.

      That's pretty much a given, with that orbit.

    24. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by eln · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This is the problem with science journalism...it tries to jazz up stories to make them more interesting to the layperson, but in the process ends up making scientists look like idiots. I seriously doubt these astrophysicists discovered this planet and immediately ran to the nearest reporter, and breathlessly declared that 400 years of accumulated knowledge in orbital dynamics is wrong because they just discovered an "impossible" planet.

      What probably happened is something more like this:

      An astrophysicist and a journalist sit at a bar after a long day's work looking through telescopes/making shit up.

      Journalist: Anything interesting happen today?
      Astrophysicist: Actually, yes. We discovered a planet orbiting around another star.
      Journalist: Another one? I said interesting, not yet another stupid gas-ball orbiting around another star...that's page H12 at best.
      Astrophysicist: Well, the funny thing is, this star is orbiting closer to its star than it ought to be able to...so it's kind of weird.
      Journalist: (rolling eyes) So what?
      Astrophysicist: The orbit its in should be unstable...it should eventually fall into the star and burn up.
      Journalist: Okay, so we have some planet that might be about to burn up...okay, we're probably page 5C with that one.
      Astrophysicist: Sure, that's probably what will happen. Of course, if the orbit its in is somehow stable, which is impossible, that would mean 400 years of understanding in orbital dynamics is wrong...(chuckles)...but of course that's ridiculous.
      Journalist: 400 years of physics wrong? Impossible planet? I smell a Pulitzer! To the presses!
      Astrophysicist: Hey, wait! Come back! That's not what I said...Oh well, at least I can use his article in my next grant application.

      Aaaaaand...scene!

    25. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by CheshireCatCO · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Absolutely. However, scientists get nervous when they see something this unlikely, especially with such a small sample of similar systems to date. Often, such weirdness means something else is going on that we didn't consider, so the nervousness is justifiable in the general case.

    26. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      that would be fifth. four always is ????

    27. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by azior · · Score: 0

      At a distance of 330 light years from Earth... an error of only a few millions km isn't impossible...
      Perhaps the light got dis

      ...what?

      distorted?
      disrupted?
      disarmed?
      disturbed?
      disambiguated?
      disapointed?
      disassemble?
      distilled?
      dismissed?
      dissed?

      I think you accidentally the whole

    28. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Tailsfan · · Score: 1

      good point. maybe it formed much further out and has been spiralling inward ever since.

    29. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by IWannaBeAnAC · · Score: 1

      I agree with the general sentiment, but there is an important caveat. One single measurement on a reliable apparatus is worth any number of dubious measurements on dodgy equipment. My point (which I didn't make very well) is that the distance to the target is not necessarily a factor in judging the reliability of the results. I am a professional physicist, I trust their result, but I also am pretty sure (I would say 'believe', but I don't want anyone to get the wrong impression that my 'beliefs' are not subject to reversal, as demanded by compelling evidence) that there is an explanation that doesn't require rewriting any of the fundamental laws of physics. It may well require rewriting some of the 'rules of thumb' that astrophysicists use to judge what to expect from their measurements, but if science teaches us anything, it is that 'intuition' and 'rules of thumb' are not a good guide to telling us the secrets of how the world works.

      (By the way, if the ultimate explanation does require rewriting some laws of physics, I would be very happy - but it would need very compelling evidence, and in particular, the requirement that any changes to the laws of physics don't affect what we observe every day on the Earth is a very severe constraint on how they could be modified. The current arguments about what new physics look like affect either very tiny length scales [string theory], or very large length scales [modifications to relativity etc], neither of which have any consequence for ordinary life, and are not measurable without equipment at the forefront of technology.)

    30. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Shakrai · · Score: 5, Funny

      Fox News Journalist: Impossible planet discovered. Will Obama's nazi socialist policies tax the good citizens of Wasp-18b until they commit suicide by diving into their sun? Find out at 8pm on The Factor!
      MSNBC Journalist: Impossible planet discovered. Will Dick Cheney come back to power and invade it on false pretenses? Find out at 8pm on Countdown!
      CNN Journalist: Impossible planet discovered. Watch our exciting report wherein we will use cutting edge technology to display an image of this planet above a floating pie chart!
      Tabloid Journalist: Loch Ness Monster seen again! Read the shocking new evidence that proves she hails from Wasp-18b!
      Slashdot Editor: Astrophysicists Find "Impossible" Planet
      Different Slashdot Editor a week later: Astrophysicists Find "Impossible" Planet

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    31. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by SoVeryTired · · Score: 1

      Perhaps you picked your words wrong then. "How presumptuous is it..." reads as a rhetorical question, with the implication being "it is presumptuous...".

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    32. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by GodfatherofSoul · · Score: 1

      Elegant, simple, probably right.

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    33. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Junior+J.+Junior+III · · Score: 1

      Agreed; my word choice could have been better.

      But then, "impossible planet" is probably also a poor choice of words (I'm not clear as to whose). But clearly, it's not impossible if it really is out there. It's interesting, and perhaps currently doesn't make sense based on what we believe we know about planets and stars, but not impossible. Either our model is wrong, or our measurements are wrong; the universe is right.

      If we think something is "impossible" and we're looking right at it, that's our problem. Hopefully, with more measurements, more thought, and more information, we'll be able to resolve that problem.

      --
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    34. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Original Slashdot Editor a year later: Astrophysicists Find "Impossible" Planet

    35. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Falstius · · Score: 2, Insightful
      It could be a case of selection bias. Hot, fast moving planets are probably easier to detect than slow, cold ones. I don't think Kepler has much fear that this will disprove his work, his equations are based on geometry and are definitely correct (or can be corrected by general relativity). A problem in the model for how fast stars eat planets is more likely.

      mmm ... planet. Tasty.

    36. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by cbiltcliffe · · Score: 1

      discombobulated....

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    37. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by somersault · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Well, one in a million chances do crop up nine times out of ten.

      --
      which is totally what she said
    38. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you are implying that the Slashdot editors are arguably better at creating headlines than mainstream media?

    39. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      Dammit .... I tried to mod you "funny" and hit "troll" by accident. Now I have to comment in order to undo that mod, which also undoes all the other mods I've made in this thread.

      Note to Slashdot admins: A DROPDOWN BOX IS A VERY VERY STUPID MECHANISM FOR MODERATION. That is all.

    40. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by ByOhTek · · Score: 2, Interesting

      True, but the other question, the one not often asked, how many similarly unlikely occurrences could we see, that we haven't? It may be likely that we see one similarly unlikely event every few dozen planets.

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    41. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by ByOhTek · · Score: 1

      shouldn't "hot" be replaced with "heavy", and "cold" be replaced with "light"?

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    42. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      Or the fourth option: God dun it!

      Maybe we should give this one to the guys over at the Discovery institute. Let them figure it out.

    43. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by camperdave · · Score: 1

      Yes, obviously the inhabitants have moved their planet closer to the sun so that they can cook their cheeseburgers by placing them in the sunlight, rather than messing about for an hour trying to get the barbecue charcoal lit.

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    44. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by farooge · · Score: 0

      >"This is how science works: based on past observations, you construct a theory of how things should work."

      I don't think you've been paying attention to what 'they' have actually been doing lately.

      The correct version of that assertion would be followed by:

      And when it does not fit, adjust the math, invent something undetectable, and hope nobody connects the dots

    45. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by oldspewey · · Score: 4, Funny

      A DROPDOWN BOX IS A VERY VERY STUPID MECHANISM FOR MODERATION.

      Unfortunately not all browsers reliably support the Hot Branding Iron control ...

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    46. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by decep · · Score: 1

      Vizzini: Inconceivable!!!

    47. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      So you are implying that the Slashdot editors are arguably better at creating headlines than mainstream media?

      Yes. At least twice as good, as a matter of fact.

    48. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by SnarfQuest · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Maybe what they are seeing is the Fleet of Worlds. Instead of one planet, there are eight of them, which means that they are actually orbiting on an 8 day schedule instead of 1. That would place them much farther out from the sun.

      Or else it is protected by a simple warp field.

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    49. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by VorpalRodent · · Score: 1

      Actually, I believe the final option is always something to the effect of "It's orbit was influenced by CowboyNeal's weight."

      --
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    50. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by CheshireCatCO · · Score: 1

      That's because that question is irrelevant. The important question is how unlikely is *this* scenario. Based on that, you decide how much you should worry about seeing it. Just like when a different, probably unrelated, weirdness appears, you worry about that separately. If the weird behaviors aren't correlated, you shouldn't try to treat them as if they are.

    51. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by sharperguy · · Score: 1

      Maybe they reproduced.

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    52. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by CheshireCatCO · · Score: 1

      That's because the question is irrelevant. The question you need to ask is, "How unlikely is this scenario that I'm seeing now?" From that, you decide how much to worry about your models. There are weird things about every planet, but that doesn't mean that we shouldn't worry about explaining the unrelated weirdnesses elsewhere. If the behavior isn't correlated, you ought not treat them as if they were.

    53. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by VorpalRodent · · Score: 1

      While I'm not a big fan of grammar Nazism, I'm a big fan of shooting myself in the foot. Please apply the following to my above comment: s/it's/its.

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    54. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by SnarfQuest · · Score: 3, Funny

      Al Gore: This proves that global warming exists, and is caused by man!
      Internet Journalist: Al Gore claims that he invented Wasp-18b.
      GW Crowd: Al Gore, the inventor of the internet, claims that man created Wasp-18b.
      Slashdot: Al Gore crates the innernet.

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    55. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Actual headings
      Fox News: Astronomers Discover New, Fast-Moving Planet

      MSNBC: Newfound planet may plunge to fiery doom

      CNN: Edward Kennedy 1932-2009 (sorry, CNN's science section didn't have any science)

      Ironically, Fox had the only rational headline

    56. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Korey+Kaczor · · Score: 1

      I absolutely thank you for that laugh, I needed it. One of the best humor posts I've seen on slashdot.

    57. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by shaitand · · Score: 1

      Actually some random freak occurrence that could knock a gas giant out of place and happened within the tiny frame of time that we are looking seems much less likely than that we got it wrong.

      Time will tell though... and more close orbiting exoplanets.

    58. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can have confidence in the size of my dick, but that does not mean its not small :)

    59. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Ajezz · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It's almost certain that the journalists never talked to the scientists at all... Nature comes out weekly and there is an embargoed press release that is sent out to media outlets with a short synopsis/blurb of this weeks articles. Science journalists look it over and see whether there is anything particularly cool for the science section this week (i.e. nothing too abstract like particle physics) and then write up something quick for that weeks science section often just based on the press release (they may or may not read the actual article, which are often aimed at specialists and can be a difficult read at times). Longer form articles in the week-end paper usually include actually contacting the guys who did the study, but if there is no direct quote from the actual scientist who wrote the paper in the newspaper story then chances are high there was no scientist-journalist contact at all, and chances are almost as high that the journalist did not read the actual study, just the press release from Nature (after all the study was just published today).

    60. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Bonewalker · · Score: 1

      Ebert: I find Norbit "Impossible". It should have been devoured by Wasp-18 years ago, but Eddie Murphy's unstable ego has miraculously kept it on Blockbuster shelves and Netflix queues.

    61. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by OrangeTide · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Note to Slashdot admins: A DROPDOWN BOX IS A VERY VERY STUPID MECHANISM FOR MODERATION. That is all.

      Yea! Why isn't it command-line based like other good user interfaces?

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    62. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by geekoid · · Score: 1

      It's not presumptuous at all. The just found something that is not expected within our current understanding of how orbital mechanics work.
      So either the finding is wrong. Like bad data, or equipment, or are understanding of orbital mechanics changes a little.

      I hope it means are understanding of orbital mechanics change, because when ever our understanding changes, lots of cool new discoveries usually follow.

      Or if you RTFA, you can find out that there is another possibility. Basically that it spiraled inward and we just got lucky and say it during it's brief existence.

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    63. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Timothy+Brownawell · · Score: 1

      Our understanding of the tidal interactions between planets and stars, which is the basis of the expected orbital decay, requires rather more levels of inference and are based on considerably more tenuous data.

      Such as the tides anyone can see if they go to the beach, or the absurdly precise measurements that have been made of the moon's orbit (it's speeding up and getting farther away: the earth rotates faster than the moon orbits, so the tides are speeding it up (and slowing the earth's rotation))?

    64. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Is the question relevant? your not clear on that point~

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    65. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by MyLongNickName · · Score: 1

      Yeah, this is one of the most befuddling things about the online news organizations. They combine tech & science. Now, these seem to be comparable, similar topics. However, in practice, tech devolves into what commercial entity can push their tech product the most. When I go to Tech & Science, I don't want articles about Twitter and Facebook, but that is inevitably what I get.

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    66. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by geekoid · · Score: 1

      I ahve never been to France, but I know it exists.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    67. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by ByOhTek · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Not exactly.

      The quote I was responding too suggested the event was so unlikely that it makes our current model suspect.

      However, if there are 100,000 different things that are likely to be observed in 1 planet in a million, that, if observed significantly more frequently, would damage the model, then we can expect to observe one of these things in about 1 planet in 10.

      Suddenly, observing one in the first 10 planets doesn't seem like such a model killer.

      I'm not saying that they shouldn't study/analyze it and try to find flaws, I'm just saying it isn't necessarily going to break the theories because it's unlikely. It seemed to me a couple comments simply jumped the gun.

      --
      Self proclaimed typo king, and inventor of the bear destroying coffee table (patent not pending).
    68. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by b4dc0d3r · · Score: 1

      They usually get 2 or 3 chances to hone a good headline.

    69. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by mrdoogee · · Score: 4, Funny

      sudo mod parent +1 insightful
      password: **********

      modding....                 [35%]

    70. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by lgw · · Score: 2, Interesting

      A planet "spiralling into the sun" would be remarkably rare to begin with - it would require a close pass between start systems or somehting equally energetic. This planet has been around at least a billion years, but would die in a million (by current theory), for each case of this remarkable rare event that has happened in the past billion years, there's only a 1 in 1000 chance it would be observable now. We've found less than 1000 exoplanets, so the math doesn't work. Rare events are possible, but handwaving away anomalous data as "just unlikely" is really bad science.

      Meanwhile, Venus is still sitting right next door and stubbornly not rotating. Something is off with our models, for sure.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    71. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by steelfood · · Score: 1

      Wasn't there a model that said gas giants that formed in the far reaches of a star system would slowly migrate inwards, wiping out all of the rocky planets in closer orbits as it passes by? We may very well be seeing the last of the gas giants (think our Neptune) knocking at death's door.

      --
      "If a nation expects to be ignorant and free in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be."
    72. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Antique+Geekmeister · · Score: 1

      When it reaches the corona, I want to bring popcorn. The denser solar atmosphere should massively increase the orbital deceleration, and I think it's going to be _spectacular_. Considering the amount of radiation that thing is going to put out in such a cataclysmic event, we should be able to microwave the corn from lightyears away. It'll be as amazing as a more distant supernova, and we should be able to watch it happen in far more detail with time to focus the bigger cameras and telescopes.

    73. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by idontgno · · Score: 1

      What sun?

      A Klempere rosette isn't gravitationally bound to a star; only mutually. In essence, they're orbiting each other (their common barycenter). That's the reason the Puppeteers created their "Fleet of Worlds": Their own industrial heat generation warmed their homeworlds well enough that they neither needed solar energy, nor desired it. In other words, they solved their version of anthropogenic global warming, not by reducing anthropogenic (puppeteerogenic?) heat, but by moving away from their sun. The planetary heat budget settles back into equilibrium. Problem solved.

      --
      Welcome to the Panopticon. Used to be a prison, now it's your home.
    74. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by lgw · · Score: 1

      Or Venus. Still not rotating. Still unexplained. It's taunting us.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    75. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by svtdragon · · Score: 1

      A year on this planet is less than an earth day. Sounds about right to me.

    76. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Locke2005 · · Score: 1

      Or perhaps it started out as a much bigger planet than it is now?

      ...the planet's lifetime should still be very short and it would be very unlikely for his team to find it where it did. Or perhaps these astronomer should consider buying lottery tickets. Unlikely != impossible.

      --
      I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
    77. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah - there should just be another control to complement it (a "Moderate" button). That would prevent a large chunk of unintentional moderations. It's bad UI design to have an un-undoable action tied to an onchange callback on a selection element.

    78. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by eln · · Score: 1

      The old design had a separate button you had to click to apply the moderation. Yet another example of how the new design actually decreased the usability of the site.

    79. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by element-o.p. · · Score: 4, Insightful

      ...there's only a 1 in 1000 chance it would be observable now. We've found less than 1000 exoplanets, so the math doesn't work.

      That's not how it works. Suppose I pick a number between 1 and 1000 at random. Then, suppose I roll a 1000 sided die. Odds are 1 in 1000 that those numbers will match, but that doesn't mean I can't roll the die and match those two numbers with less than 1000 throws. I might match the numbers on the very first throw! It just means I probably shouldn't bet my retirement on matching those numbers on any given throw.

      Similarly, if the odds of discovering a planet such as Wasp18b are 1 in 1000, that doesn't mean that, "we've found less than 1000 planets, so we couldn't possibly have found such a planet yet." It just means that if I observe 1000 planets, most likely only one of them will be like Wasp18b. It could be the first one I observe, the 99th, the 1000th or any one in between.

      --
      MCSE? No, sir...I don't do Windows. Yes, I am an idealist. What's your point?
    80. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or the inhabitants could have converted their planet into a giant balloon and moved the planet close to the sun for light and heat.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Globus_Cassus

    81. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by PitaBred · · Score: 1

      Or perhaps our assumptions about planet and star formation timelines are wrong... they said they think they all form at the same time. What if that isn't the case?

    82. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by element-o.p. · · Score: 1

      It can be, I suppose...if you were clever and/or determined enough, you might be able to figure out a way to moderate via wget or "telnet slashdot.org 80" and enter the HTTP commands by hand (I don't have mod points right now, or I would try it).

      --
      MCSE? No, sir...I don't do Windows. Yes, I am an idealist. What's your point?
    83. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Paltin · · Score: 1

      The tides warp the planet's orbit by transferring kinetic energy into heat energy. The same thing is happening with the Earth/moon system- imagine how much energy exists in waves on your favorite beach. That energy is siphoned off of the moon's momentum!

    84. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Foobar+of+Borg · · Score: 1, Funny

      That would fall under "our understanding of orbital dynamics is wrong".

      [creationist mode] Ha! So now even scientists admit that "orbital dynamics" is a fraud! The Earth really is flat and the center of the universe! AND TO MAKE MY POINT EVEN BETTER, I'LL PUT IT IN ALL CAPS!!!!! [/creationist mode]

    85. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by PitaBred · · Score: 1

      Our understanding of physics wasn't "wrong" with Newton. It was just high-level models that broke down in special cases. Same thing here. It's still very useful.

    86. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, it's *my* not clear on that point, not his!~

    87. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Foobar+of+Borg · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Or Venus. Still not rotating. Still unexplained. It's taunting us.

      Which solar system is this Venus in? The one I know is odd, but it still rotates. It just takes longer to rotate on its axis than it does to orbit the sun.

    88. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Newander · · Score: 1

      "Very unlikely" and "impossible" are quite different, though.

      --

      Jesus saves and takes half damage.

    89. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by operagost · · Score: 1

      Thanks, Yogi Berra!

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    90. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by sexconker · · Score: 1

      In the vastness of space, there are countless instances of the "very unlikely".

      The fact that we stumbled upon one means nothing.
      When we stumble upon 10, then you can start thinking about statistics.

      We really need a concept of instance size to complement sample size. For probability we care not about when an event occurs, but how often. 1 in a sample size of X doesn't mean 1/X probability. Until you get a second hit, you know nothing of the frequency.

    91. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by duh+P3rf3ss3r · · Score: 3, Informative

      Unlikely != impossible. And I'd even question the unlikely bit. With many researchers looking for interesting objects, don't be surprised when you find...an interesting object.

      You are correct. By way of illustration, consider the following. In a bridge game I, as the dealer, distribute the cards resulting in an assemblage of four distinct hands. What is the probability of any single deal producing that particular constellation of hands? The rigorous answer is 1 in 52!/(13!)^4 = 1/53,644,737,765,488,792,839,237,440,000. Clearly, it is exceedingly unlikely that I would have dealt those specific hands but, yet, here we are... By the way, this is the precise error that you frequently see Intelligent Design people make when they say things such as: "it would be nearly impossible for a series of random mutations to produce X" which they will often back up with some ridiculous mathematical formula which shows how improbabilities multiply throughout the chain of events. These sort of statements often signal that the speaker doesn't really understand the concept of a priori probability and statistics and when and where such concepts can be applied.

      --
      Give a man a match: warm him for an instant. Douse him in petrol and set him aflame: warm him for the rest of his life.
    92. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What??? A jet analogy? No, this is Slashdot; we use CAR analogies here

    93. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by peragrin · · Score: 0

      Except your math doesn't figure one tiny little fact.

      There are billins of stars injust the milky way. Our sample size is too small to make judgements that the stats are off as we may havejust witnessed a 1-1,000,000 star event. You had better start search the other 990,000 stars that aren't doneyet to prove that themodel is right or wrong.

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    94. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Chyeld · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Similarly, if the odds of discovering a planet such as Wasp18b are 1 in 1000, that doesn't mean that, "we've found less than 1000 planets, so we couldn't possibly have found such a planet yet." It just means that if I observe 1000 planets, most likely only one of them will be like Wasp18b. It could be the first one I observe, the 99th, the 1000th or any one in between.

      Or all the planets 1 through 1000.

      The point is that the odds of the next being the "one in a thousand" aren't affected by the results of the previous one.

    95. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by uberdilligaff · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Absolutely insightful. Too bad that most people don't understand probability and expectation very well. In fact, unlikely events occur every day -- for example, lottery winners are announced every day. The fact that somebody will win is certain; however, that any specific pre-designated person (including me, sadly) will win is highly unlikely.

      --
      Against stupidity, the Gods themselves contend in vain. --Friederich Schiller
    96. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by drachenfyre · · Score: 1

      Actually, the third option is that our definition of impossible is wrong.

    97. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by CheshireCatCO · · Score: 1

      I see where you're coming from, but I disagree with that analysis. I feel you need to treat each unlikely aspect separately as long as they're not apparently related. The 1 in 10 should only include unusual orbital configurations and not, say, compositions.

      That said, I agree that people are jumping the gun. Usually, the problems (if they exist at all) are tiny. The added effects of one (known) characteristic weren't fully considered or something along those lines.

      (Of course, it also bears remembering that there's a selection bias in play with these types of planets: close ones are easier to detect.)

    98. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The author didn't say it was impossible, he said it was unlikely. He based that statement on the fact that the scientists said it was unlikely.

      So instead of attacking the poster for not understanding statistics, why not call NASA and tell them that based on your reading of someone's summary of an article that summarized what they said -- that they are wrong. And in fact, this event is highly likely and they need not worry.

    99. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      No fair!

      The /. editor will report that just a week later, and then at the following day, the following week, the following month, and then the following year. But it will only get into front page at the following year.

    100. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by east+coast · · Score: 1

      Actually this is done to keep things in a neat category so that finding a general subject doesn't turn into looking through a card catalog at the Library of Congress.

      This is the same reason that chess news is covered in sports. It's not a real sport but who the hell wants to have 72 subdivision of the news?

      --
      Dedicated Cthulhu Cultist since 4523 BC.
    101. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Remember, folks: when a scientist draws tentative, well-qualified conclusions from a set of analyzed statistical data, carefully noting the discrepancies with expected findings, it's "presumptuous." When a random Slashdot poster spouts off about the scientist being incompetent or grant-hungry without any apparent knowledge of the field or any justification other than knee-jerk anti-intellectualism, it's "+4 Insightful."

    102. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by MyLongNickName · · Score: 1

      I agree with the premise. However, the reality is Tech & Science is a horrible place to look for science. One is better off to look for the news feeds of Scientific American and similar science journals.

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    103. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by SeaDuck79 · · Score: 1

      I'm no astrophysicist, but it would seem that a decaying planet, or a planet in a decaying orbit, wouldn't spiral in in an orderly manner. Rather, its orbit would become less stable and more elliptical, until it either tore apart from a close brush with its gravitational master, or collided with it.

      Perhaps someone with more knowledge than I on the subject could set me straight?

    104. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Runaway1956 · · Score: 1

      I think we can put pretty high confidence in what they are seeing. It's the conclusions that are questionable. Interpreting data can be pretty tricky right here on earth. Look at the controversy over global warming!!

      Sometimes, scientists just get a little to full of themselves, and put to much importance on their own ideas.

      --
      "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
    105. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by LanMan04 · · Score: 1

      "However, that does not solve the problem," Hellier said, because the planet's lifetime should still be very short and it would be very unlikely for his team to find it where it did.

      Hey, very unlikely things happen. Not impossible by any stretch, and since we're such short-lived beings, we just see a snapshot. Maybe 10K years from now it'll get swallowed.

      --
      With the first link, the chain is forged.
    106. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Runaway1956 · · Score: 1

      "it would require a close pass between start systems or somehting equally energetic."

      Why? On the scale of "something equally energetic", I might point out the possibility of a black hole. But, why must it be on that scale at all? An orbiting planet struck by a large enough bit of space debris might have it's orbit slowed enough, that 6 million years later it falls into it's sun. That space debris may even have been a sister planet whose orbit was wildly eccentric. That sister may have already fallen into the sun. Or, the same sister may have picked up speed, and it now orbits so far out that we haven't spotted it orbiting the sun yet.

      Then again - maybe the simplest solution is the right one. However long ago the planet was formed, it's orbit was unstable to start with, and we just happen to have found it as that unstable orbit came to it's logical conclusion - splashdown.

      --
      "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
    107. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Clandestine_Blaze · · Score: 1

      Given that it's "only" 325 light years away from Earth, it would certainly be spectacular, as you say. I wonder if such a collision would have any effect on our planet. Of course this isn't due for another million years, but you're right, high-powered telescopes and popcorn are in order. :)

    108. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Nyeerrmm · · Score: 1

      Actually, I think the headline is perfect. It is succinct and gets the point across. 'Astrophysicists Find "Impossible" Planet' says we found something new that doesn't fit current theories and needs some very interesting work. 'Astrophysicists Find Impossible Planet' on the other hand would imply exactly what you said.

      To me, the quotes make it clear everyone involved knows its not actually impossible, but rather that its something that caused a WTF (or maybe just 'thats odd...') moment when they first looked at the results. At least thats what I got when I saw the headline.

    109. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by invalid_user · · Score: 1

      WSJ Journalist: UPDATE: Investors Cheer "Impossible" Planet; DOW Shoots Over 100000. Bernanke Cautions, "Go ahead pump and dump over everything, I won't bail you guys out this time".

    110. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by clong83 · · Score: 1

      First off let me say I agree with you. But, as far as I understand it, our abilities at finding exoplanets are generally limited to large Jupiter-sized planets with shorter periods. So... Aren't our results thus far effectively filtered to maybe FIND some of these anomalies that may exist? Why should we be surprised that we found something like this?

    111. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's not really a very secure password.

    112. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by jbezorg · · Score: 1

      The planet had to stand on one foot to push the odds up to one in a million.

      --
      I've lost all my marbles except one & It's fun to test angular & centripetal acceleration in my skull
    113. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by dotancohen · · Score: 1

      This study does demonstrate that either the measurements are wrong or our understanding of orbital dynamics is wrong. Knowing the former is important because it tells us we have to alter how we make the measurements and knowing the latter is important because it tells us we have to alter our understanding of physics. So it's the very antithesis of hubris.

      Maybe there are in fact certain orbits that are stable, and others which are not, sort of like quantum mechanics describing an electron around the nucleus. Could there be finite, quantum distances from the star into which an orbit has to fall? Isn't this how the electron orbits the nucleus without crashing into it?

      --
      It is dangerous to be right when the government is wrong.
    114. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by CheshireCatCO · · Score: 1

      We're pretty much up to finding Jupiters and Saturns, I do believe. But there's a bias toward larger, closer planets with radial velocity searches, to be sure. The question is (and this is not easily answered), how biased are we?

      And even with a strong bias, you have to consider that this system exists and is close enough to find at all, which is a separate part of the surprise. (This also depends on numbers, though. If there are a billion stars with planets near us, then a 1:1000 chance of catching something with a strong bias toward finding it isn't surprising. If there are only 100, we start to ask questions.)

    115. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by nasch · · Score: 1

      Meanwhile, Venus is still sitting right next door and stubbornly not rotating. Something is off with our models, for sure.

      You'd better go edit the Wikipedia entry on Venus then, because it states unequivocably that it does in fact rotate. It goes into great detail about its rotation in fact, which is odd if it doesn't rotate at all.

    116. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Foobar+of+Borg · · Score: 1

      Our understanding of physics wasn't "wrong" with Newton. It was just high-level models that broke down in special cases. Same thing here. It's still very useful.

      Well, to pick even more nits, it's not even really "special cases" in which it breaks down. It simply breaks down in regions that the average human being does not normally experience (near light speed, sub-atomic levels, etc.). A lot of our better understanding of physics (among other things) comes about when we can measure things better and/or in regions that we used to not be able to measure. Such as with the LHC (whenever they can get it working).

    117. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by nasch · · Score: 1

      That's not a very good analogy, because what they're studying (planetary systems) isn't random. It would be more like if you dealt bridge hands that were all the 8 of hearts - it shows that there is something you didn't understand about the deck.

    118. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      How is saying "We've come across something weird and don't know what's going on" and "we'll need to rethink our theories and do more observations" presumptuous? If anything, it illustrates the scientific method.

      Presumptuous would be to say our theories are wrong right off the bat or that the observations are wrong. A good scientists always leads with a question, not a statement.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    119. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is this a Pratchett reference or am i just being optimistic?

    120. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by skine · · Score: 1

      Pull out a deck of cards, shuffle it, and deal the cards out in order. Assuming a perfect random shuffle, the chances of you getting those exact cards in that exact order is 1/52!, or 1/80658175170943878571660636856403766975289505440883277824000000000000.

      This is about the probability of picking a point in the universe (in three spacial dimensions), and it landing in our solar system (or at least a ball with the same diameter as Pluto's orbit).

    121. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Gilmoure · · Score: 2, Informative

      From math professor in college: flip a coin 50 times. It comes up heads every time. What are the odds (assuming it's a true coin/flip each time) it'll come up heads next flip? 50%.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    122. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by lansirill · · Score: 1

      Have you ever used binoculars? Why do you trust what you see, if you haven't been there to see it yourself?

      I have to be content to just trusting what I see through binoculars. The last time I tried to go there in person, I got slapped and handed a restraining order.

    123. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by hesiod · · Score: 1

      That's weird, I still get the button at the bottom of the page, and no onChange action.

    124. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      If the universe is infinite, wouldn't all occurrences of Very Unlikely be rather, um, uh, likely?

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    125. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Anyone wanna write a FUSE slashdotfs thing?

    126. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Iron+Condor · · Score: 1

      There is nothing in orbital dynamics that says any one planet has to rotate or in which direction or at what speed.

      There's absolutely nothing whatsoever to "explain" about Venus.

      There may or may not be some kind of story why its angular momentum is as low as it is, and that story may or may not be interesting. But "It happened to be formed from material with a total spin angular momentum close to zero" is neither implausible, nor unlikely, nor in conflict with our understanding of the solar system or planets or physics in general.

      --
      We're all born with nothing.
      If you die in debt, you're ahead.
    127. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      There's news about chess?

      Call me Horatio.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    128. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Nervous? Is it going to hit us or something?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    129. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by duh+P3rf3ss3r · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That's not a very good analogy, because what they're studying (planetary systems) isn't random. It would be more like if you dealt bridge hands that were all the 8 of hearts - it shows that there is something you didn't understand about the deck.

      Ummmm, no. Presumably, we are sighting essentially random plants from some larger population of planets. This is not at all like dealing a succession of highly unlikely hands in bridge because we've seen a single instance of this phenomenon, just like the hand you've been dealt in bridge is a single instance of that seemingly unlikely hand. It's the exact same circumstance.

      It's like a genetic disorder with odds of 1 in 10000 live births. If I happen to be visiting the hospital this afternoon and it just so happens that the only child born at that hospital has that disorder, what does that tell me about how rare the event is? Answer: nothing at all. The probability of a single event is not revealed or influenced by whether or not I witness it.

      If I see a rare thing happen, all that says is that I randomly was present when it happened. It doesn't mean I should run out and buy a lottery ticket nor does it mean that I should re-examine the models of probability that reveal the likelihood of an event's occurence.

      As another poster stated elsewhere in this thread, it may be highly unlikely that any specific individual should win the lottery tonight but, nonetheless, it will happen that someone wins it. The probability of the event is 100%. The probability of it striking a specific individual is small.

      And so it is with this planet. The probability of seeing such an event can be small but that does not imply, in any way, that seeing the event means that the probability calculation is wrong and that we need to re-examine our models. I would admit that , if we saw some succession of these events we might be able to say something about the model but a single observation says nothing at all about it -- other than the trivial fact that the probability of occurrence must be non-zero.

      --
      Give a man a match: warm him for an instant. Douse him in petrol and set him aflame: warm him for the rest of his life.
    130. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by FiloEleven · · Score: 1

      disseminated?

    131. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      The fact that somebody will win is certain

      Actually, it isn't.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    132. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      While holding a red handkerchief.

    133. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Really? I'm not even sure I exist. "Cogito ergo sum" doesn't even convince me.

    134. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      An orbiting planet struck by a large enough bit of space debris might have it's orbit slowed enough, that 6 million years later it falls into it's sun.

      Nope. It would just move into a slightly closer orbit that satifies Kepler's/Newton's laws for the new velocity.

    135. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Then again, if it comes up heads 50 times what are the odds that it's a fair coin?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    136. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Or perhaps it started out as a much bigger planet than it is now?

      TFA doesn't seem to mention its current mass, and even if it did its original mass would probably be guesswork. But how much bigger could it be before it would become a star in its own right?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    137. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Given the number of stars in the universe, it's very likely that a small percentage are experiencing "very unlikely" conditions. Dismissing the "bumped out of orbit" theory because it is unlikely is putting the horse behind the cart.

    138. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by longhairedgnome · · Score: 0

      But then it lands on its edge?

      --
      GENERATION O98346: The first time you see this, copy it into your sig and remove a random number from the generation. T
    139. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      And the Earth's. Eventually both bodies will be tidally locked and a day and a month will be equal.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    140. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by JTsyo · · Score: 1

      Tidal forces should destroy the planet way before that. With the size of that planet and the gravity from the star, the force of gravity on the close side of the planet will be much greater than the opposite side.

    141. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by peater · · Score: 2, Funny

      C:\WINDOWS>sudo mod parent +1 insightful
      'sudo' is not recognized as an internal or external command,
      operable program or batch file.

      You insensitive clod!!!

    142. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by element-o.p. · · Score: 1

      Did you actually read and comprehend what I wrote? I have no quibble with the scientists findings, nor did I say that finding a planet with such an orbit is highly likely. Rather, I disagreed with the poster's statement that since we only have a 1 in 1000 chance of detecting such an occurrence, but we've only observed 370 exoplanets, something must be wrong because the math says we can't detect an event with a probability of 1 in 1000 after only 370 observations.

      That is an invalid leap of logic, and suggests the poster does not understand statistics. I have no problem with the scientists or poster saying that such an event is extremely rare ("1 in 1000 chance that it would be observable now"). I have a problem with the poster taking that statement and expanding it into, and I quote, "We've found less than 1000 exoplanets, so the math doesn't work."

      That is like saying the odds of flipping a coin and getting heads is 1 in 2, so I have to flip a coin twice to get heads. Well, the odds of getting tails is also one in two, so do you also have to flip a coin twice to get tails? In that case, what do you get on the first flip? It can't be heads, since we've decided that it takes twice to get heads. It can't be tails, since we've also decided that we have flip the coin twice to get tails. Assuming that a coin flip is either heads or tails (disregarding the extremely rare chance that the coin lands on edge and remains balanced there), a coin flip *has* to be either heads or tails, but we just proved it can't be either heads or tails on the first flip. Therefore, our initial assumption -- that given a 1 in x chance of some event happening, we have to observe x occurrences of that event before we can expect to see the event -- HAS TO BE FALSE, which was all I was trying to say above. An event may only have a 1 in 1000 chance of occurring, but it is entirely possible that you may observe that 1 in 1000 event the very first time.

      --
      MCSE? No, sir...I don't do Windows. Yes, I am an idealist. What's your point?
    143. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by element-o.p. · · Score: 1

      Exactly.

      --
      MCSE? No, sir...I don't do Windows. Yes, I am an idealist. What's your point?
    144. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Fmuctohekerr · · Score: 1

      Chance you "randomly" pick a "5" -> 1/1000
      Chance you randomly roll a "5" -> 1/1000
      Chance of both events happening together -> 1/1000 * 1/1000


      Otherwise correct I guess. I'm not buying any of these calculations, however. 1 in a 1000 chance to observe a certain kind of planet? What does that even mean?

    145. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by lgw · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Your statistics are better than your reading comprehension.

      The chance of seeing this exceedingly rare event are further reduced 1000 times by its short duration. 370 exoplanets is off by many orders of magnitude from being resonable.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    146. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by lgw · · Score: 1

      Assuing the coin is fair would not be reasonable in those circumstances. The coin will come up heads on flip 51, because the coin has 2 heads. The idea that you've encountered an event with a 1:10^15 rarity should be dismissed out of hand.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    147. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by lgw · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "We may have just witnessed an exceedingly rare event" is not science. The Copernican Principle is extremely important to science. You have to assume that we are not in a special place, we are not in a special time. Otherwise every crackpot idea is on an equal footing with solid theory.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    148. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by lgw · · Score: 1

      Thank you Captain Pendantic! Everyone else seems to understand hyperbole. Do you also find yourself posting explanations of jokes?

      The incredibly low rotation speed of Venus is a huge wart on the theory of planetary formation. So is our moon, really, but at least there are theories there that merely require an unlikely event.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    149. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by lgw · · Score: 1

      WTF is with Slashdot today? Is it so hard to understand the difference between hyperbole and exact scientific statements? The rotation of Venus is incredibly slow - and backwards. It's damn weird.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    150. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Tiger4 · · Score: 1

      So... You're saying God doesn't play dice with the universe, he plays cards? Heretic!!

      --
      Behold, this dreamer cometh. Come now, and let us slay him... and we shall see what will become of his dreams.
    151. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by lgw · · Score: 1

      It happened to be formed from material with a total spin angular momentum close to zero" is neither implausible, nor unlikely, nor in conflict with our understanding of the solar system or planets or physics in general.

      No, that's damn weird. There's nothing else you can point to in the sky that doesn't have a lot of angular momentum, except where tidelocked to its primary. Everything always has angular momentum. Of course, we don't know what the angular momentum of Venus is, only its surface (we know the surface of the Earth is decoupled in rotation from it's core, but only in a geological timescale - difference in rotation of centimeters per year I think). Also, there don't seem to be any surface features of Venus more than a few hundred million years old. Also damn weird.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    152. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      ...they may or may not read the actual article, which are often aimed at specialists and can be a difficult read at times

      Fet me fix that for you: ...they may or may not read the actual article, which are always aimed at highly-focused specialists and are always a difficult read, although at times it might actually be decipherable by somebody who is a less-focused specialist.

      I really dislike academic writing style - it is almost intentionally obfuscated so that only those are intimately familiar with the exact work in question have any chance of reading it with only moderate difficulty. Don't get me wrong, I understand the need for precision and consise writing, but that can be accomplished without the need to make a paper unreadable without reading every related paper written in the last 20 years on that specific topic. Before publishers accept an article one of the peer reviewers ought to be somebody with a doctorate in the same subject, but with no knowledge at all of the area of specialization (for example, a paper written on some gene that indirectly controls some step in the cell cycle should be reviewed by a PhD biochemist who studies muscle fibers). Then, that reviewer should write up a one page summary of the work and its significance and implication, which would be submitted to one of the more specialized peer reviewers. If that summary is not judged accurate then the original paper needs a rewrite.

      The purpose of publication is to communicate your results. It is not to prove that you're smarter than everybody else by writing something that nobody else can understand. Likewise, I've seen far too many people nod in agreement in discussions when it is clear that nobody actually understands what is being talked about but everybody is afraid to admit it...

    153. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by sexconker · · Score: 1

      Not in any given finite sample set, which is all we mere mortals can ever hope to have achieved by any given point in time.

    154. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by daveime · · Score: 1

      Hmm, not exactly 50% ... there's always a chance (however small) that it can land on it's edge. Even a perfectly balanced weighted coin does not preclude this possibility.

    155. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      Crayons are cool.

      I like blue!

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    156. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      Our knowledge is bound by observation?

      Damn the devil! Damn the devil to hell!

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    157. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by daveime · · Score: 1

      Typical Slashdot Editor any day of the week: Astrophysicists Find "Impossible" Planet, Microsoft Blamed for Not Following Planetary Standards.

    158. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by daveime · · Score: 1

      Curse that </b> tag ... and my failure to preview my posts yets again.

    159. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by clone53421 · · Score: 1

      Heh. Good point, he never said it's a fair coin.

      --
      Alexander Peter Kristopeit bought his basement from his mommy for one dollar.
    160. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For whatever is not deduced from the phenomena must be called a hypothesis; and hypotheses, whether metaphysical or physical, or based on occult qualities, or mechanical, have no place in experimental philosophy. -- Isaac Newton.

    161. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by clone53421 · · Score: 1

      The idea that you've encountered an event with a 1:10^15 rarity should be dismissed out of hand.

      Statistics fail. I just flipped a coin 50 times and it landed (actually, I didn't flip a real coin, I used a pseudo-random number generator, but suppose I had):

      T, H, T, T, H, H, T, H, T, H, H, T, T, H, H, T, H, T, T, H, T, H, H, T, T, T, H, T, H, H, H, H, H, H, H, H, T, H, H, H, H, H, H, H, H, H, H, H, H, H (34 heads, 16 tails)

      The probability of getting that exact sequence (or ANY sequence) is also 1 in ~10^15, but you can't use that to dismiss my claim out of hand.

      The fairness of the coin is still suspect, but you can't use the rarity of the event to claim this.

      --
      Alexander Peter Kristopeit bought his basement from his mommy for one dollar.
    162. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by sozomai · · Score: 1

      Then, suppose I roll a 1000 sided die...

      Could you tell me where I might get one of those? See, I was thinking about including Cthulhu in my D&D campaign and I figured 3d1000 psychic damage upon witnessing his greatness would be reasonable.

    163. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Antique+Geekmeister · · Score: 1

      I'm not so certain about what will happen when. The planet is a gas giant: it won't exactly shatter. When it starts losing enough mass, or the mass nearest the sun is heated by the sun to the point where it causes noticeable gaseous pressures, I expect serious excitement.

      As I said, I want to bring popcorn to this event: it should be exciting.

    164. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by element-o.p. · · Score: 1

      Yes, if all you are concerned about is getting a five (or any other specific number). If you don't care what the first number is, only that it matches whatever you roll, then the chance of both events occurring together is 1 in 1000:

      1) Chance of picking some number between 1 and 1000 from a pool of numbers between 1 and 1000: 1 (not 1 in 1000).

      2) Chance of rolling some number that matches the number from step 1 on a 1000 sided die : 1 in 1000.

      3) Chance of both occurrences happening together: 1 * 1 in 1000 = 1 in 1000.

      I perhaps could have worded the original thought experiment better, though.

      --
      MCSE? No, sir...I don't do Windows. Yes, I am an idealist. What's your point?
    165. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by element-o.p. · · Score: 1

      [:rolleyes:]

      It doesn't matter how improbable it is -- the math does not say that it cannot happen, and therefore my point remains: even if the odds are 1 in 1000000000000000000000000000000000000000 that such an event would occur and that we would happen to look at the right place at the right time, it is still conceivable that we could have done so, whether we looked at one exoplanet or 1000000000000000000000000000000000000000 exoplanets. It may be highly unlikely to have found such an occurrence by exoplanet #370, but that is all the math says -- "wow, you REALLY got lucky this time."

      --
      MCSE? No, sir...I don't do Windows. Yes, I am an idealist. What's your point?
    166. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by xkcdFan1011011101111 · · Score: 1

      I wish you could be modded by +infty

    167. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by JTsyo · · Score: 1

      yea, I forgot it would be mostly gas. Guess it would just cause bulge.

    168. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by element-o.p. · · Score: 1
      --
      MCSE? No, sir...I don't do Windows. Yes, I am an idealist. What's your point?
    169. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by nasch · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It really depends on how small is small. If you happen to find a 1 in 10,000 birth defect, that's one thing. If you happen to find a baby born with telekinesis, that is something else. So rare it's never been seen, and it's not understood.

      I haven't RTFA sorry to say, but if all they're saying is this would be a rare event, then blah. You would expect to find one of those now and then. But it sounds like the scientists are saying they don't even understand how this event is possible. Which is what I was trying to get at with my freaky bridge hand example.

    170. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by nasch · · Score: 1

      Please forgive my brash assumption that when you wrote "not rotating", what you actually meant was "not rotating". I can't believe I was so stupid. I clearly should have seen that what you meant was "rotating differently than all the other planets in the solar system." Yeah, that was my bad.

    171. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Ajezz · · Score: 1
      "Before publishers accept an article one of the peer reviewers..."

      What you are suggesting may make it easier for non-specialists to read a journal, but would have no practical value/be impossible. The purpose of these types of journals/studies is to communicate advances in the science/field to your peers not the general public. Having state-of-the-art work reviewed by non-experts wouldn't be particularly useful. Plus it would be tough to find anyone to actually do these reviews if you need to hit a stack of textbooks before you can make heads or tails of the article you have volunteered to review.

      The papers aren't written to make you look smarter, the conciseness is a result of the fact that an article published in Nature has a 1400 word limit. So if you want to get published in the top-tier broad-scope journal, you have to explain why your study is of interest to a wide variety of scientists worldwide in 3 pages or less...

      The newspaper problem stems from distilling a highly concise piece of work, where every single word has been chosen to make the ideas as brief as possible, and then expecting a journalist to accurately shrink it down further into one or two paragraphs. There is no real fix to the problem, the average journalists aren't interested in keeping up to speed on the cuttting edge of all possible scientific fields and the average scientist aren't that interested in writing for the public (although some are and they will submit secondary articles that focus on the principles of the research (minus all the math) to magazines like Scientific American, Astronomy, etc.). If you want to get scientific info as a layperson, newspaper reports are guaranteed to disappoint. Their only real use is to prime you on what to look for elsewhere in greater depth.

    172. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by duh+P3rf3ss3r · · Score: 1

      if all they're saying is this would be a rare event, then blah. You would expect to find one of those now and then. But it sounds like the scientists are saying they don't even understand how this event is possible. Which is what I was trying to get at with my freaky bridge hand example.

      Perhaps, and I have no difficulty leaving it at that, especially for brevity's sake. But what the original poster was reacting to and what I was supporting him on was this passage from TFA:

      A second possibility is that the planet hasn't been in its current position very long, Hellier said. Wasp-18b could have spiraled inward to its current position over millions of years. It may have been bumped out of its original orbit by another planet, for example.

      "However, that does not solve the problem," Hellier said, because the planet's lifetime should still be very short and it would be very unlikely for his team to find it where it did.

      You see, he said it would be "unlikely... to find it... [there]". That's what this discussion was about. Whether finding an unlikely thing is sufficient to say that we need to re-examine our cosmological models. Even the summary's title is mired in histrionics. The researchers found an unlikely thing in an unusual place and this becomes "Astrophysicists Find 'Impossible' Planet". The point the OP, who I was supporting, was making is that it seems strange to suggest that finding an odd thing in an unlikely place can be construed as being "impossible" or revolutionary.

      What Hellier said (at least according to the article) was that this condition should be so short-lived and hard to find that finding it is "unlikely". I liken that to saying that some esoteric sub-atomic particle with an incredibly short half-life is hard to find. If we just happen to see one by chance, though, does that fact alone make it revolutionary? Does the fact that it has a short life mean that finding it, even by accident, would be "impossible"?

      Anyway, thanks for your contributions. I enjoyed reading them.

      --
      Give a man a match: warm him for an instant. Douse him in petrol and set him aflame: warm him for the rest of his life.
    173. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by lgw · · Score: 1

      Fine, fine, whatever, that just doesn't matter. That's not how science works. There's a small probabilty that any measurement is wrong (more wrong than the error bars). There's a chance that a wizard did it.

      Handwaving away anomalous data by saying "it was a freak occurance" is the worst thing you can do. The math doesn't work here: the chance that it's a freak occurance is lower than the chance that the measurement was wrong, or the chance that the theory is wrong, or the chance that the article was wrong or etc. It's not a useful consideration.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    174. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by nasch · · Score: 1

      What Hellier said (at least according to the article) was that this condition should be so short-lived and hard to find that finding it is "unlikely". I liken that to saying that some esoteric sub-atomic particle with an incredibly short half-life is hard to find. If we just happen to see one by chance, though, does that fact alone make it revolutionary? Does the fact that it has a short life mean that finding it, even by accident, would be "impossible"?

      I like the analogy (whoa, is this slashdot?). If you go looking for a weird particle and find it on the first try, you keep looking to make sure what's going on, not question the standard model. On the other hand, if you're doing some other experiment and find a weird particle that your theory doesn't suggest should be there, it makes you wonder about the theory, as well as the experiment. Kind of seems like this planet is more the first case, don't you think?

      At any rate, it does seem most likely to me that it just hasn't been in this orbit all that long, and will get eaten by the sun at some time. As you said, that we happened to observe it during that time frame is really interesting, but doesn't say anything about the planet.

    175. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by lgw · · Score: 1

      Yes, yes you can. Unfair coins are real things. Two headed coins occur vastly more often than 1 in 2^50. The specific "all heads result" is easily explained by the "two-headed coin" theory, but not a believable result of the "fair coin" theory. The "you're ability to tell heads from tails is flawed" theory is more likely that a fair coin. Aliens are more likely than a fair coin. This is how engineering works. All data is suspect. All vendors are liars. The rational, practical approach to data is to assess the most likely explanation without believing third-party claims that things are as they seem.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    176. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by lgw · · Score: 1

      Often, when normal people says words like "never" or "always" they mean "almost never" and "nearly always", and that's understood by most listeners. Pointing out the difference makes you a socially maladjusted geek, but socially maladjusted geeks somehow thinks it makes them look smart.

      The rotation of Venus is very nearly 0. It will be 0 for a moment sometime in the future as it moves towards tidelock. That's a very strange and unusual thing, right next door to us.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    177. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by eln · · Score: 1

      That's not really a very secure password.

      What are you talking about? 'hunter2' is a great password!

    178. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by poopdeville · · Score: 1

      Given the number of stars in the universe, it's very unlikely to observe the small percentage that is experiencing "very unlikely" conditions.

      --
      After all, I am strangely colored.
    179. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      On the other hand, look at how many professional researchers and scientists persist in using emotive words such as "birth" and "death", rather than, say, "formation" and "destruction", when writing articles about astrophysical matter and processes. (Hint: it's most of them...)

      And then look at the reputable Journals which publish the papers, letters and articles written by those professional researchers and scientists.

      We can't bash "The Media" for sensationalism without admitting our own tendencies towards doing the very same things.

    180. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by AshtangiMan · · Score: 1

      he misspelled yrn't

    181. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by nasch · · Score: 1

      Often, when normal people says words like "never" or "always" they mean "almost never" and "nearly always", and that's understood by most listeners.

      That is true. However, you didn't say "never", you said "not", which IMO is not commonly used to denote hyperbole. Notice I said "not" as well, and that is just what I meant.

      Listen, I understand what you were saying - now. If you had just said "I meant barely rotating", then it's cool. But to come back and get in my face about taking your written comments *at face value* makes you seem kind of socially maladjusted. Or insecure, or something. I just think it's kind of a jerk move that you used words other than the actual meaning you were trying to convey, and then blamed the miscommunication on the other person. Whether you're a geek or not I have no idea; since you seem to have some interest in astronomy, probably so. Actually you're on /. so you've got to be at least kind of a geek.

      I think you'd be on firmer footing ponting out how needlessly snarky and sarcastic my correction was, rather than claiming that there was no reason to make the correction at all. I mean, there's something to criticize there, I just think you went after the wrong aspect of it.

    182. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by CheshireCatCO · · Score: 1

      When your funding depends on at least having some reasonably accurate models to show, "nervous" seems like the right word. :-)

    183. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by 2short · · Score: 1


      "From math professor in college: flip a coin 50 times. It comes up heads every time. What are the odds (assuming it's a true coin/flip each time) it'll come up heads next flip? 50%."

      And in that situation, would you bet on the truth of your assumption that it's a true coin flip each time? Maybe you hit the ~1 in 10^15 chance, or maybe you missed something in your understanding of the coin. The latter seems radically more probable.

      That's the point being made by the scientist in the article. When we find something that our current understanding says should be highly improbable, it might be the case that we just got (un)lucky. But the more reasonable assumption is that our current understanding is imperfect in some relevant way. Maybe we'll do a bunch more thinking about and observing of orbital dynamics and what have you and eventually conclude we just caught this planet in the one short time frame that we could have to see what we're seeing. But the best guess right now is that we missed something that makes this planet not as improbable as we thought.

    184. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      An ultra-skeptic solipsist? Now I've seen it all!

    185. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by recharged95 · · Score: 1

      Or we're just looking at it wrong.


      We're only limited to what (and how) we can measure.
      hbar/2...

    186. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by somersault · · Score: 1

      There's a 1 in 1 chance that it was a Pratchett reference, him being my favourite author.

      --
      which is totally what she said
    187. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by omnichad · · Score: 1

      Problem with monitor burn-in, actually.

    188. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by omnichad · · Score: 1

      And please, in case you hit the wrong button, include a chmod command!

    189. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by lgw · · Score: 1

      The annoying part of all of this is that I seem unable to spark a conversation (here or on other threads) on how strange and interesting it is that Venus (effectively) doesn't rotate, in an astronomy topic, but posters are happy to debate semantics all day long. Sweet Zombie Jesus, what does it take to get Slashdotters to talk about cool shit science discovers, instead of "how science works" or "how discussions about how science works work".

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    190. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by emjay88 · · Score: 1

      Or all the planets 1 through 1000.

      That's right, if we observe n planets, and there are still at least (n - 1) * 1000 planets that are unobserved, then the 1 in 1000 model might still be correct!

      That is, even if every single one of the 1000 planets that we observe display a "1 in 1000" characteristic, the next 999,000 we see might not show that characteristic and therefore hold up the "1 in 1000", or we might go 1,000,000 planets seeing it, and then the next 999,000,000 without...

      --
      1178161 is prime...
    191. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by jamesswift · · Score: 1

      "You know, the most amazing thing happened to me tonight. I was coming here, on the way to the lecture, and I came in through the parking lot. And you won't believe what happened. I saw a car with the license plate ARW 357. Can you imagine? Of all the millions of license plates in the state, what was the chance that I would see that particular one tonight? Amazing!" - Richard Feynman

      --
      i wish i could stop
    192. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by PaganRitual · · Score: 1

      there's only a 1 in 1000 chance it would be observable now. We've found less than 1000 exoplanets, so the math doesn't work.

      Sure the Interesting mod on this post is that it's interesting that people could actually think that it works like this. Seriously, what the hell.

    193. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ok, fine. let's actually do the math (assuming all the usual simplifying assumptions of course)...
      P(any given planet is a weirdo planet)=p=1/1000
      Number of exoplanets found=370
      P(none of the exoplanets found are weirdos)=(1-p)^n=0.69
      P(at least one of the exoplanets found are weirdos)=1-(1-p)^n=0.31

      Doesn't seem so unlikely...

    194. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Have fun typing in cookies through raw telnet to HTTP.

    195. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by CubicleView · · Score: 1

      a 1000 sided die

      might be easier to just draw dots on tennis ball.

    196. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      But, as far as I understand it, our abilities at finding exoplanets are generally limited to large Jupiter-sized planets with shorter periods.

      You're not wrong, but you are being too ... restraining.

      True, the majority of the tools that we use, at the moment, for detecting exoplanets are tools that are biased towards finding large planets in close orbits, but that is changing slowly for several reasons.
      Firstly, the most effective technique (so far) relies on gravity to agitate the star in the line of sight ; this is obviously biased to detecting large planets (because they have a lot of gravitational mass) ; it is less obviously biased to stars of small mass (for the same reason) ; it has an implicit bias towards close orbits because a close orbit (short orbital period) gives a lot of repetitions of the signal in a short period of observation, allowing for lots of measurements of the spectrum at different phases, between re-calibrations of the spectrometer. Improving spectrometers are addressing the mass biases ; longer epochs (duration from start of measurement series to end of series) of observation are addressing the period bias.
      (This technique also has an orientation bias - a brown dwarf of 14Mj in a 23 hour orbit around (say) Proxima Centauri (closest star to the solar system) which is orbiting perpendicular to the line of sight would remain invisible to this technique for a long time to come. Let's call this hypothetical end-case "Sisimen" for convenience.)
      Another technique that is becoming common, and is likely to unleash a flood of data in the next couple of years, is simple occultation. This has biases for a large ratio of planetary diameter to stellar diameter (to give a high ratio of occultation), short periods (lots of repeated events to stack and improve the signal-noise ratio), and orientation to line of sight (related to the ratio of occultation). Still real biases, but appreciably different to the spectrometric biases.
      ("Sisimen" would also remain invisible to this technique.)
      The same technique has been applied, with lesser sensitivity, to large clouds of stars as part of the "MACHO" observation project of the last decade or so - I wonder if they have any possible targets that the French COROT satellite telescope is slated to observe?
      What other techniques are in the pipeline? I can't think of any off-hand, but I haven't done any research on this, so there may be other techniques in proposal. Which will have their own biases, but which biases will be controlled and where possible adjusted to differ (in detail) from the biases of existing techniques. It is a definite aim to extended the search for exoplanets to wider areas of the "M.sin(i),P" parameter space.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    197. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by peragrin · · Score: 1

      If you assume anything your already an ass and a crackpot.

      This is extraordinary event, we won't figure out why for hundreds of years under the best of conditions. So why are we trying to guess a solution with out all the relevant facts?

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    198. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by mykelyk · · Score: 1

      Some maths

      P(n) = 1 - (999/1000)^n = Odds of finding one over n planets

      P(1) = 0.1%
      P(5) = 0.5%
      P(10) = 1%
      P(50) = 4.9%
      P(100) = 9.5%
      P(500) = 39%
      P(1000) = 63%

      So with n=100 we have a reasonable possibility and with n=1000 we are still not sure.

    199. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What's with the "hunter2"?

    200. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Duh. Nobody wants to talk about Venus not rotating because nobody has the slightest freaking idea why it doesn't.

    201. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by chesky · · Score: 1

      You say "assuming it's a true coin/flip each time", but I'd take 50 heads as fairly good evidence that the assumption is false and that the coin is biased.

      (Assuming these are the only results I see; a 50-heads run in a gazillion flips is to be expected.)

    202. Re:Maybe the measurements are wrong or incomplete by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      The purpose of these types of journals/studies is to communicate advances in the science/field to your peers not the general public.

      Considering that the general public paid for the work to be done 95% of the time, I wouldn't be so quick to suggest that they should be left out. However, I do concede that aiming for them in a scholarly work is probably a bit much to ask. I'd be happy if an article in the field of Astronomy could be understood by any astronomer, and an article in the field of Medicine could be understood by anybody with an MD. Again, the target is somebody with a strong scientific eduction, but who hasn't necessarily spent the last 10 years studying a particular membrane receptor protein or plasma currents in the Milky Way whatever.

      For the benefit of the public I'd be fine with any government grant requiring the writing of a 200 word popular science article suitable for a newspaper or magazine. Sure, I know many researchers don't like doing this stuff - they can pay somebody else to do it if they want as long as it is accurate. If they don't want to do that, then they can look elsewhere for their funding - it isn't like there isn't a long line of applicants.

      Having state-of-the-art work reviewed by non-experts wouldn't be particularly useful. Plus it would be tough to find anyone to actually do these reviews if you need to hit a stack of textbooks before you can make heads or tails of the article you have volunteered to review.

      If you couldn't make heads or tails of it without reading anything at all, then you'd just indicate that the article is indecipherable, and it would need a rewrite. The whole point is to ensure that the article can be ready without reading 300 textbooks. I'm not talking about making articles that somebody who dropped out of school in 8th grade could read - but articles which somebody with advanced education in the general field, but not the specific topic, could understand.

      Nature has a 1400 word limit. So if you want to get published in the top-tier broad-scope journal, you have to explain why your study is of interest to a wide variety of scientists worldwide in 3 pages or less...

      If your study is of interest to a wide variety of scientists worldwide, then it should be written so that they can actually read it. If a Biologist can't understand an article on Astrophysics, then why bother writing it in a journal that is mostly read by non-astrophysicists. The whole concept of Nature and Science is more about prestige than communication. You'd get just as much communication if you published the article in the #1 astrophysics journal.

      In any case, I wasn't really aiming at Nature or Science in particular. But since you bring it up if you're going to write a journal read by everybody, why not write articles that anybody could read?

  2. That sounds like an interesting place... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    where is my guide and my towel ?

    1. Re:That sounds like an interesting place... by element-o.p. · · Score: 1

      Don't forget to eat a lot of peanuts first...you will need the salt.

      On a side note, "Score:0"?!?!?! /. of all places should have moderators who recognize PP's reference!

      --
      MCSE? No, sir...I don't do Windows. Yes, I am an idealist. What's your point?
  3. The Obligatory ... by Helmholtz · · Score: 4, Funny

    ...IT'S A TRAP!!!!!

    --
    RFC2119
    1. Re:The Obligatory ... by dkleinsc · · Score: 5, Funny

      Are you saying "That's no planet ..."?

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    2. Re:The Obligatory ... by prometx42 · · Score: 1

      The astronomers will be substantially more surprised when they discover this object was artificially moved into this orbit by a "Type II" civilization, in order to glean massive amounts of energy from the intense gravitational torsion and other high energy effects caused by such an orbital arragnement, i.e. it's a generator...

    3. Re:The Obligatory ... by Kingrames · · Score: 1

      It's a star forge!
      Run, you fools! It's the sith!

      --
      If you can read this, I forgot to post anonymously.
    4. Re:The Obligatory ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's certainly not a moon!

  4. According to the IAU...not a planet, right? by haystor · · Score: 2, Funny

    A planet must orbit the Sun.

    --
    t
    1. Re:According to the IAU...not a planet, right? by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      Correct, it's an EXOplanet.

      Can I get a "woosh"?

    2. Re:According to the IAU...not a planet, right? by buchner.johannes · · Score: 1

      I think a planet that has been ejected out of the solar system, flying around freely, is still called a planet.

      --
      NB: The message above might reflect my opinion right now, but not necessarily tomorrow or next year.
  5. Is it re-up time for grants already? by synthesizerpatel · · Score: 0, Troll

    Queue the 'Killer meteor will come within 100 miles of earth!' too as the scientists ramp up their efforts to get funding. At least these guys have some facts to back them up.

    1. Re:Is it re-up time for grants already? by muckracer · · Score: 4, Funny

      > Queue the 'Killer meteor will come within 100 miles of earth!' too as the
      > scientists ramp up their efforts to get funding.

      Them getting funding for things like LINEAR is, of course, really silly
      compared to:

      "Oh look, honey, a shooting star! Quick...let's make a wish!"

      "Wow, honey, that IS a beautiful shooting star!"

      "I can still see it...you too, right?"

      "That shooting star is...farking BIG!"

      "Is it just me or is this gettin' creepy?"

      "Now I can hear it too :-/"

      WHOOOOOOSH........KABOOM!!!!!
      [insert earth tremors, tidal waves and general catastrophe here]

    2. Re:Is it re-up time for grants already? by amRadioHed · · Score: 1

      Don't worry that would never happen. The meteor would be traveling at supersonic speeds so you wouldn't hear anything until after the impact.

      --
      We hope your rules and wisdom choke you / Now we are one in everlasting peace
    3. Re:Is it re-up time for grants already? by Fluffeh · · Score: 1

      The meteor would be traveling at supersonic speeds so you wouldn't hear anything until after the impact.

      If the trajectory of the falling object carried it over the viewers (especially at a low angle of decline), then even at supersonic speeds, the viewers may well encounter the sonic boom before the actual impact behind them. Of course it's rather unlikely.

      --
      Moved to http://soylentnews.org/. You are invited to join us too!
  6. Wasp 18b? Sinister much? by damburger · · Score: 3, Funny

    Does anyone else feel that this planet might be able to defy conventional orbital mechanics through the power of Concentrated Evil?

    --
    If we can put a man on the moon, why can't we shoot people for Apollo-related non-sequiturs?
    1. Re:Wasp 18b? Sinister much? by snspdaarf · · Score: 3, Funny

      Only every 5000 years.

      --
      Why, without your clothes, you're naked, Miss Dudley!
    2. Re:Wasp 18b? Sinister much? by ArundelCastle · · Score: 3, Funny

      Multipass.

    3. Re:Wasp 18b? Sinister much? by moredots · · Score: 1

      That or it has just enough cow bell.

  7. If you think the PLANET is tough by elrous0 · · Score: 1

    You should meet the aliens living on it.

    They're tougher than Chuck Norris (and that was supposed to be impossible too).

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    1. Re:If you think the PLANET is tough by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      Chuck Norris is a native of the planet, our yellow sun saps his powers.

    2. Re:If you think the PLANET is tough by thisnamestoolong · · Score: 3, Informative

      Hah, tougher than Chuck Norris, indeed.

      Scientists calculated the weather conditions on a similar "hot Jupiter", HD 189733b, and came up with some pretty amazing results. HD 189733b is locked into synchronous orbit around its parent star in the same manner that the moon orbits the Earth, in that the rotational period directly matches the orbital period (which is fairly common for close orbiting planets, it is very plausible that Wasp 18b could be a similar story), leaving one side of the planet perpetually day, the other perpetually night. As the planet is only 3 million miles from its parent star, it was not overly surprising to find daytime highs of 2,000 - 3,000 degrees Fahrenheit. What was surprising, however, was the nighttime temperature of roughly 1,300 degrees Fahrenheit! This indicates that the atmosphere is incredibly efficient at transferring heat, which means a lot of "air" (NOTE: The atmosphere of HD 189733b is NOT air, but a completely alien mixture of gasses.) moving around. When they calculated the winds that would be necessary to sustain such heat transfer, it was determined that HD 189733b would need to sustain windspeeds of approximately 7,000 mph, making Hurricane Katrina look like a nice ocean breeze by comparison. The weather conditions on Wasp 18b are likely similar; any beings that lived there would indeed have to be extremely tough, and Chuck Norris would most likely be checking his closet for them before going to bed.

      --
      To the haters: You can't win. If you mod me down, I shall become more powerful than you could possibly imagine
    3. Re:If you think the PLANET is tough by moderatorrater · · Score: 1

      They're tougher than Chuck Norris (and that was supposed to be impossible too).

      Who do you think put their planet in an unstable orbit? They may be tougher than Chuck Norris, but that doesn't prevent him from killing them all.

    4. Re:If you think the PLANET is tough by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not a planet, it IS chuck norris...he doesn't orbit stars, the universe rotates around him.

    5. Re:If you think the PLANET is tough by SlowMovingTarget · · Score: 1

      Either they're incredibly tough, or wafer thin.

    6. Re:If you think the PLANET is tough by m50d · · Score: 1

      I find it implausible that scientists would be working in Fahrenheit.

      --
      I am trolling
    7. Re:If you think the PLANET is tough by jonadab · · Score: 1

      > daytime highs of 2,000 - 3,000 degrees Fahrenheit...
      > nighttime temperature of roughly 1,300 degrees Fahrenheit...
      > windspeeds of approximately 7,000 mp... any beings that lived
      > there would indeed have to be extremely tough, and Chuck
      > Norris would most likely be checking his closet for them
      > before going to bed

      Forget Chuck Norris. These guys could kick the Terminator into next Tuesday. I mean, what would their skin have to be made of to stay solid at those temperatures, tungsten alloy? Species 8472 would be running scared all the way back to fluidic space.

      --
      Cut that out, or I will ship you to Norilsk in a box.
  8. Disaster Area by jofny · · Score: 4, Funny

    It's Disaster Area's stage in a parking orbit.

  9. If it exists, it isn't impossible by mcgrew · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Perhaps it was thrown from a different solar system and captured by its star.

  10. I saw this episode of Doctor Who by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    The Beast is imprisoned there!

    1. Re:I saw this episode of Doctor Who by Veretax · · Score: 1

      Or perhaps its heald in place by a gravimetric device, like the one that sort of went, boom when the Doctor and Rose showed up and encountered 'the beast' ;)

    2. Re:I saw this episode of Doctor Who by kalirion · · Score: 1

      Wait, where's the black hole?

    3. Re:I saw this episode of Doctor Who by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I am the sin, and the temptation, and the desire. I am the pain and the loss and the death of hope. I have been imprisoned for eternity, but no more. The pit is open. And I am free.

  11. This just in by carp3_noct3m · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Science doesn't already know everything, learns something new today it thought was impossible yesterday, news at 11.

    --
    "It's ok, I'm completely secure as long as my iron is off"
    1. Re:This just in by TheRealMindChild · · Score: 4, Funny

      Your news program sucks. 11 is too late. I'm in bed by then.

      --

      "When life gives you lemons, don't make lemonade. Make life take the lemons back!" -- Cave Johnson
    2. Re:This just in by Anonymous+Cowar · · Score: 2, Funny

      "Well, science knows it doesn't know everything! Otherwise it would stop."

    3. Re:This just in by MartinSchou · · Score: 1

      I like to call this "the evolution of science" - tends to confuse the hell out of creationists.

    4. Re:This just in by Kjella · · Score: 1

      We don't care.

      Sincerely,
      The Internet

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
  12. Maybe it is in a decaying orbit by phil-trick · · Score: 2, Insightful

    And it started out a billion years ago much further away...

    1. Re:Maybe it is in a decaying orbit by nedlohs · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And we just happened to look at it during that 0.1% of its lifespan...

      Which is possible of course, and more likely than that percentage since our observation methods find close to the star planets more easily selecting for that case.

    2. Re:Maybe it is in a decaying orbit by kodemunkee · · Score: 1

      That seems like the most logical explanation. While I understand the need for scientists to play the devil's advocate and search for other possible answers for things like this, I still find it amusing when people make pronouncements that the phenomenon being seen "should be impossible," based purely on the long-term instability of said phenomenon. Just because the odds of us seeing an object in some condition are extremely low doesn't mean that something with that characteristic can't ever be seen, or even that we should expect to never see it (only that we shouldn't expect to see it), especially when there's such a large population of bodies out there to observe.

      It seems to me that, given what we know, Occam's Razor would suggest that the planet is in the midst of a death spiral. Having put that forth as a tentative hypotheses, further research could then be done to see if there are any unknowns that could account for this in other ways, without publicly announcing unlikely hypotheses, like the star's tidal energy being 1/1000th of the expected value. We understand orbital death spirals, and we've seen them before--and yet that perfectly reasonable hypothesis is given apparently equal weight to another one that would substantially alter our understanding of orbital dynamics if true, but which is posited simply because someone found an object with a rather unusual and short-lived property in a huge sea of extremely diverse objects, many of which also have unusual and short-lived properties.

      I understand the notion that when observing the cosmos, we should never assume ourselves to be in a special place or time, but sometimes, with regard to certain observations, that's exactly when and where we are...

    3. Re:Maybe it is in a decaying orbit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But that would assume that we've found a large fraction of 1000 exoplanets.

      Oh, anyone seen yesterday's xkcd?

  13. Maybe... by zulater · · Score: 1

    It's closer to 6600 years? :)

    1. Re:Maybe... by carluva · · Score: 1

      That's my vote. :-)

  14. Maybe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    global warming isn't so hurtful after all?

  15. Oh, this is fascinating! by carluva · · Score: 1

    Perhaps they should reconsider their evaluation of its age...

  16. or by stickrnan · · Score: 5, Insightful

    perhaps it's spiraling to its demise after billions of years in a decaying orbit.

    1. Re:or by deoxyribonucleose · · Score: 1

      perhaps it's spiraling to its demise after billions of years in a decaying orbit.

      More likely by far. The odds are always against gravitational capture: you need to get rid of a buttload of orbital momentum to convert a hyperbolic trajectory (hello, goodbye for ever!) into an elliptical or circular orbit.

    2. Re:or by smallshot · · Score: 1

      That was my very first thought. I thought it was a no-brainer. Either that or it has a perfect orbit and will never decay? is that possible?

    3. Re:or by sadness203 · · Score: 2, Funny

      Yup... this star was probably depressive. After some billion years it realize how life and the galaxy was meaningless, and started is suicidal spiraling.

    4. Re:or by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All this is on the assumption that the system has already been in this state for millions/billions of years. Why couldn't have started further out and still be on it's way into the sun?

    5. Re:or by mcgrew · · Score: 2, Funny

      The clients didn't pay the Magratheans their bill on time.

    6. Re:or by element-o.p. · · Score: 1

      Marvin? Is that you?

      --
      MCSE? No, sir...I don't do Windows. Yes, I am an idealist. What's your point?
    7. Re:or by superyooser · · Score: 2, Funny

      To "young"-earth creationists, what we see here is certainly not "impossible," or improbable. In fact, it is to be expected!

      That planet is "impossible" because their "science" is impossible.

      Orbital dynamics "settled" science for 400 years? The age of the universe (ballpark figure) had been settled for a lot longer than that until modern, naturalist scientists decided to unsettle it. Look who's doing the backpedaling now... (Not saying they'll return to Genesis for answers; they'll just devise even more wildly contorted naturalistic hypotheses to explain why reality discombobulates their "settled" teachings.)

  17. Quick Call the Doctor by psychicsword · · Score: 4, Funny
    1. Re:Quick Call the Doctor by Zordak · · Score: 1, Interesting

      That alleged episode does not exist. For "The Impossible Planet" to exist, The Doctor would have to be such a rube that he doesn't understand that it is entirely possible for a planet to orbit a black hole without needing a "Magic Gravity Cone." I've been rather fond of The Doctor since my childhood, when I used to watch the Tom Baker shows and they'd scare the crap out of me (and I loved it), so I refuse to believe he's such a rube. The only logical explanation is that some David Tennant lookalike hijacked the TARDIS, played with the controls enough to strand himself on a planet orbiting a black hole, and then started spewing some technobabble nonsense to try to impress Rose (because I can easily believe that she's thick enough not to understand that a planet can orbit a black hole). What we didn't see was between episodes, when The Doctor hunted down the imposter, gave him One Warning(tm), offered him a chance to live a peaceful life on Politzan Seven, and when he refused, dumped him into the black hole with a stony, grim expression on his face.

      --

      Today's Sesame Street was brought to you by the number e.
    2. Re:Quick Call the Doctor by Starayo · · Score: 1

      Dare not question the Doctor's pseudoscience, mere human.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    3. Re:Quick Call the Doctor by Cassini2 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Actually, I thought about your point when the show aired. In fact, it is impossible for that planet to exist. You can't form a long-term stable orbit around a black hole. From a two-body, Newtonian point-mass analysis, yes the planet can exist. However, a planet that close to a black hole will be affected by Einstein's General Relativity, which predicts a collapsing orbit. Additionally, the planet would be experiencing severe gravitational stresses and magnetic stresses, causing it to break up or its orbit to decay. The other matter collapsing into the black hole would disrupt the "stable" orbit, also causing the planet's orbit to decay or it to break up. In short, I don't think that it is possible to have a long-term stable orbit around an black hole when it is consuming matter.

      If you want a bigger plot "hole", think about where the magic gravity beam came from. Why would it come from a black hole? If it came from the planet, then why was it pointed in space? If the evil creature could create a gravity beam big enough to save a planet, then why couldn't he make a slightly bigger one and take over the universe? Maybe, we need to accept that any Sci-Fi plot will have its weak points, and suspend our disbelief.

      The Satan Pit / Impossible Pit were really great Doctor Who episodes. Maybe we should appreciate them for that, instead of taking apart the physics?

    4. Re:Quick Call the Doctor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Better yet, if the planet gets any closer to us we should be looking for Leeloo...

    5. Re:Quick Call the Doctor by smellsofbikes · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Actually, I thought about your point when the show aired. In fact, it is impossible for that planet to exist. You can't form a long-term stable orbit around a black hole. From a two-body, Newtonian point-mass analysis, yes the planet can exist. However, a planet that close to a black hole will be affected by Einstein's General Relativity, which predicts a collapsing orbit. Additionally, the planet would be experiencing severe gravitational stresses and magnetic stresses, causing it to break up or its orbit to decay. The other matter collapsing into the black hole would disrupt the "stable" orbit, also causing the planet's orbit to decay or it to break up. In short, I don't think that it is possible to have a long-term stable orbit around an black hole when it is consuming matter.

      Okay, I'll bite. What's the difference between a black hole and any other star, from a reasonable distance? A black hole's just a mass, that within a certain distance of the black hole (the Schwarzschild radius) acts very oddly indeed, but outside that distance, acts like any other large mass. A black hole could have the same mass as the Earth (but be the size of a golf ball) and the moon would still orbit it just fine, wouldn't it? It seems to me the main problem the planet would have is that a black hole would be, well, black, so the planet would be as cold as Pluto.

      --
      Nostalgia's not what it used to be.
    6. Re:Quick Call the Doctor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It makes you wonder if the time dialation would be enough to "prolong" one's existence on the doomed planet -- much like Kevin Sorbo in Andromeda.

    7. Re:Quick Call the Doctor by Nazlfrag · · Score: 1

      It's an ever increasing mass I believe is the problem. How do you get a stable orbit when one party just keeps growing larger?

    8. Re:Quick Call the Doctor by S.O.B. · · Score: 1

      Ahhh, Leeloo...the hottest of all the elements.

      --
      Some of what I say is fact, some is conjecture, the rest I'm just blowing out my ass...you guess.
    9. Re:Quick Call the Doctor by rallycellie · · Score: 1

      I was under the impression that all of the milky way was in orbit around a really big black hole. It even seems there are several.

    10. Re:Quick Call the Doctor by smellsofbikes · · Score: 2, Interesting

      While true, how is that different from any other star? The earth is increasing mass at a couple million tons a year from junk we're sweeping up from space, but we haven't sucked up the moon. The sun does the same thing. Now in the case of the sun it's tricky because it's also losing mass (through conversion to energy and emission as photons, as well as through massive eruptions that enable some of the mass to exceed escape velocity) and a black hole, like the earth, would only gain mass. But even so, it's not like a black hole has *MORE* gravity than another object of the same mass. It just has less volume.

      --
      Nostalgia's not what it used to be.
    11. Re:Quick Call the Doctor by Oronar · · Score: 1

      That's why the episode is called "The Impossible Planet". Because it's crazy and shouldn't be possible, the characters are all well aware of that. It's the reason they're there studying the planet. Also, the satan creature wasn't the one producing the beam, it was part of his prison.
      When it comes to Doctor Who, I like to take the Clarke's third law view of everything. It fits nicely.
      "Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic."

      --
      1 4/\/\ 1337
    12. Re:Quick Call the Doctor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It all depends on how close to the black hole you are. Clearly, trying to orbit a black hole inside its event horizon isn't going to work too well. However, from a sufficient distance outside the event horizon, orbiting a black hole isn't any more difficult than orbiting a star. (Note that stars spew out radiation and other junk as well, but planets still seem to be able to manage stable orbits nonetheless.)

      Also, General Relativity only predicts a collapsing orbit if the planet's inertia is such that its orbit in flat space would otherwise be stable. There are still stable orbits even taking General Relativity into account -- it's just that the angles of inertia acceleration with respect to the primary end up being different then they would be in flat Newtonian space. If this were not true, there would be no stable orbits at all, even around stars, since a black hole's gravity well is really just a more extreme example of the one that exists around a normal star. General Relativity affects everything, not just black holes.

    13. Re:Quick Call the Doctor by Sir_Lewk · · Score: 1

      The black hole would only gain mass if there was mass around that it could suck up. Presuming we are in a relatively empty area of space with this black hole, then the only mass for it to suck up would be the planet. If the planet happened to be in orbit around the black hole, then it wouldn't fall into the blackhole and increase it's mass.

      The black hole would actually be theoritically losing mass through Hawking radiation.

      --
      "linux is just DOS with a UNIX like syntax" -- Galactic Dominator (944134)
    14. Re:Quick Call the Doctor by mdwh2 · · Score: 1

      Rose (because I can easily believe that she's thick enough not to understand that a planet can orbit a black hole).

      ISTR that she was the first one to exclaim that it was impossible (or at least, she realised at the same time as the Doctor), merely by looking at it.

      That's the thing that's annoying - if the Doctor says it's impossible, I can believe it[*]. Perhaps it's to do with how it couldn't have formed, or perhaps the planet isn't actually orbiting, but is just stationary. But Rose? If she got it right, it was for completely the wrong reasons.

      [*] Having said that, ISTR that the Doctor went through a phase in season 2-ish of saying "But that's impossible!" to almost every strange thing he came across, which sort of made the phrase lose its impact.

    15. Re:Quick Call the Doctor by sco08y · · Score: 1

      Maybe we should appreciate them for that, instead of taking apart the physics?

      No. Watching sci-fi without taking apart the physics is like watching a cop show without trying to figure out who the bad guy is, or reading /. without complaining about the editors.

    16. Re:Quick Call the Doctor by Samah · · Score: 1

      But of course, your argument is null and void if you have a sonic screwdriver handy. ;)

      --
      Homonyms are fun!
      You're driving your car, but they're riding their bikes there.
    17. Re:Quick Call the Doctor by Kingrames · · Score: 1

      Are you saying that on that particular episode, someone secretly replaced the phone booth with a REtardis?
      Let's see if he notices, indeed.

      --
      If you can read this, I forgot to post anonymously.
    18. Re:Quick Call the Doctor by Zordak · · Score: 1

      Well, you see, the angels had the phone box, so they had to go with the backup transportation.

      --

      Today's Sesame Street was brought to you by the number e.
    19. Re:Quick Call the Doctor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It seems to me the main problem the planet would have is that a black hole would be, well, black, so the planet would be as cold as Pluto.

      No. Very much no. There's no fusion going on, sure, but there are plenty of other energetic activities that take place as matter falls in.

  18. Nature paper by petaflop · · Score: 5, Interesting
    Nature paper here. Interesting quote:

    For comparison, WASP-18b's infall timescale is an order of magnitude shorter than that of the much-discussed OGLE-TR-56b6, 7 (assuming that Q is the same for both), and gives a current rate of period change of â"0.00073 (106/Q) s/yr. For low values of Q this would accumulate to a detectable change in transit epoch in less than a decade (for Q = 106 the transit time shifts by 28 s after 10 yr, which compares with a currently achievable timing accuracy of 5 s). Thus WASP-18b is a diagnostic planet, either (for a low Q) being an exceptionally rare object in which the tidal decay is directly measurable, or forcing a reappraisal to much higher Q values; either way it will help establish the dynamical ages of the class of hot-Jupiter planets. WASP-18 will also help constrain our understanding of stellar interiors, given that the Q value depends on the dissipation of interior waves excited by the tidal forcing.

    So if the orbit is decaying, we'll be able to measure it in 10 years, otherwise there will be useful data to refine theories about tidal forces in the surfaces of stars.

    1. Re:Nature paper by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thanks for the link. I have an Astrophysics degree.
      For others, ignore the "OMG! Our Physics is lacking!" hyperbole. Oversimplified translation for the layman: "Cool! We found a 10x Jupiter-mass planet which is whirling every day around this young billion-year-old star. Tidal stress from that orbit generally should cause it to crash into the star in less than a million years. Come back in about a decade and we'll have enough new and cool tidal orbit decay data (or lack thereof, which would be even more cool and unexpected) to better estimate how long the planet really has got to survive and a plausible orbital history. P.S. Send more grant money! This planet is a paper-generating gold mine!"

    2. Re:Nature paper by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have an Astrophysics degree.

      Yeah, so does that kid in the corner. I'll have a #6 biggie sized. Thanks.

  19. Wow, a crappy slashdot title by cowscows · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Interesting how in the article, they never use the word "impossible". Infact, they actually put forward a handful of possible (although unlikely)ways that this may have occurred.

    There's bazillions of things that are unlikely to happen, but the universe is a big place. While we can't predict which particular weird thing we might observe next time, we shouldn't be all that surprised that weirdness is out there.

    --

    One time I threw a brick at a duck.

    1. Re:Wow, a crappy slashdot title by FlyingBishop · · Score: 1

      It's a Doctor Who reference. Read a few more comments.

      And, it's sort of a common Sci-Fi conceit (which we see mirroring science fact.) The impossible is usually possible.

    2. Re:Wow, a crappy slashdot title by SoVeryTired · · Score: 1

      On the other hand, we should be surprised if we catch a one-in-a-billion event after a mere 370 observations. When the weirdness happens more often than we think it should, we should definitely be surprised.

      (Note for ./ pedants: I pulled the one-in-a-billion figure out of thin air to illustrate a point, no need to call me up on it.)

      --
      Slashdot: news for Apple. Stuff that Apple.
    3. Re:Wow, a crappy slashdot title by radtea · · Score: 1

      It's a Doctor Who reference.

      Based on prior probabilities, any resemblance to a Dr. Who reference is a coincidence, while any resemblance is /. editors wilfully an deliberately misleading people by writing a false headline and bad article summary is a result of ongoing /. policy to be as sensationalist as possible so the discussion, while heated, will mostly focus on how bad the headline and summary is, not on the science.

      This is a curious object, and may indicate that their are significant effects in the orbital dynamics of hot Jupiters that no one has thought of yet. For example (just pulling ideas out of the air) there could be magnetohydrodynamic effects that become large in such a close orbit, resulting in the planet being "supported" by angular momentum from the star.

      A phenomenon like that would be interesting, but only a brain dead idiot (or a science journalist) would suggest that it means throwing out or even substantially revising 300 years of orbital dynamics. Kepler's Laws (which is presumably what the '400 years' claim refers to) are useful and fairly general consequences of Newton's Laws and the Law of Universal Gravitation, but we know perfectly well they are false when non-gravitational forces come into play, or even when non-central gravitational forces become important.

      So "scientists discover another (and quite dramatic) case where non-gravitational forces may be important to a planetary orbit" would be an accurate description of this situation. "Scientists discover impossible planet" is just stupid, Dr. Who reference or no.

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
    4. Re:Wow, a crappy slashdot title by sleeponthemic · · Score: 2, Informative

      we shouldn't be all that surprised that weirdness is out there.

      We're not. What we are doing, is being misled by.. journalistic license

      In this case, a subtle "impossible" (that was never in the source) was added. Maybe it wasn't conscious, but as you can see from the comments, it's the exact very thing that most people are focusing on. I call that clever (but largely.. poor) reporting.

      I'm reticent to post this, but hey, I believe there is a fundamental problem with the way the media reports science, I wrote this a few weeks ago, after another slashdot article. It is foul mouthed, but very much related to misleading people about science, and largely, damaging the perception of science as an alternative to (fake) religon.

      --
      I record my sleeptalking
    5. Re:Wow, a crappy slashdot title by rtaylor · · Score: 1

      Not really. We are best at detecting large planets in very close orbits around their sun.

      This one is so close that it makes it one of the easiest to detect.

      The unusual situation makes it more likely to be observed by us with current technology.

      --
      Rod Taylor
    6. Re:Wow, a crappy slashdot title by drkoemans · · Score: 1

      Do you mean like a planet where crescent wrenches grow on trees? Or mattresses as living creatures? I can't remember the Adam's quote but it was something to the effect that in an infinite universe, you can find the organic equivalent of everything.

    7. Re:Wow, a crappy slashdot title by element-o.p. · · Score: 1

      "Now, my own suspicion is that the universe is not only queerer than we suppose, but queerer than we can suppose...I suspect that there are more things in heaven and earth than are dreamed of, or can be dreamed of, in any philosophy." --J.B.S. Haldane

      --
      MCSE? No, sir...I don't do Windows. Yes, I am an idealist. What's your point?
    8. Re:Wow, a crappy slashdot title by element-o.p. · · Score: 2, Interesting

      On the other hand, we should be surprised if we catch a one-in-a-billion event after a mere 370 observations.

      Does no one take statistics and survey sampling anymore? I'm not a statistician, but even I understand why that is wrong. We should not be surprised when we detect a one-in-a-billion event after only 370 observations. We should be surprised if, on average, we have detected a one-in-a-billion event far more frequently than expected (that is, we conducted one trillion observations and detected significantly more than 100 such occurrences), assuming our sample technique doesn't skew the probability of detecting the one-in-a-billion event.

      If the odds of finding a Wasp-18b type planet is one-in-a-billion, what are the odds that the first planet we detect is a Wasp-18b type planet? One in a billion. What about the 370th planet? One in a billion, again. What about the one billionth planet? Yep, one in a billion. We don't have to detect one billion planets -- or even a statistically significant portion of one billion planets -- before we can expect to find such a planet. It could be the first, the 10th, the 1000th or the one billionth. But on average, for every billion planets we examine, we should only detect one Wasp-18b type planet. If we consistently start finding one in a million (or one in a thousand, or ...) we should be surprised. But it is not statistically meaningful that the 370th planet we found was that one in a billion; our sample size is not yet large enough to say such a thing.

      Furthermore, if our sampling (detecting) technique skews the odds in favor of finding Wasp-18b type planets, then maybe the odds of us detecting such a planet is only 1 in 1000 although the odds of such planets forming are only 1 in a billion.

      --
      MCSE? No, sir...I don't do Windows. Yes, I am an idealist. What's your point?
  20. Maybe it was a "normal" planet... by Osvaldo+Doederlein · · Score: 5, Interesting

    ...formed one billion years ago, but originally much more distant from the star. But its orbit was not stable, approaching quickly (in astronomical time) to the star; and we're just lucky to have found it in the final stage of the death spiral. If this is the case, it may even be possible to watch the final spectacle in a timeframe reasonable for human scale (a few thousand years, perhaps centuries, or even less).

    Wild speculation of course... but just to be safe, I'm immediately canceling all my plans of space vacations near the Wasp18 system. I never liked wasps anyway.

    1. Re:Maybe it was a "normal" planet... by mcgrew · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      I never liked wasps anyway.

      Racist!

    2. Re:Maybe it was a "normal" planet... by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 1

      This supposedly explains several "hot Jupiters" already, so it sounds like more contributing evidence for that idea.

    3. Re:Maybe it was a "normal" planet... by jimicus · · Score: 1

      By that token, we've only been observing these things for a fantastically short time in astronomical terms.

      IANAA, but why could it not be the case that the natural state of affairs for any planet orbiting a star is to orbit in ever decreasing circles until such time as it burns up?

    4. Re:Maybe it was a "normal" planet... by MBGMorden · · Score: 1

      Well, it's only our own system, but our system is full of very stable orbits. We have a whole asteroid belt, 8 planets, a lot of Kuiper belt objects, etc, all going around the sun in stable orbits. The vast majority of moons in this system are in stable orbits around their companion (Demos and Phobos are spiraling inward - our moon is very slowly spiraling away, but for the most part the orbits of the moons are stable).

      If stable planetary orbits are so rare, it would seem odd to find a system where it happened so many times.

      My personal thought is pretty simple: the technique we use to detect extra-solar planets is such that by default it picks up massive planets very close to their companion stars most easily. Unless it was really close, our current measurement methods simply wouldn't pickup a system of planets like our own. So I think the frequency of these massive planets close to their stars is just a limitation of our observational techniques, rather than it being a true indication of what constitutes a common planetary model.

      --
      "People who think they know everything are very annoying to those of us who do."-Mark Twain
    5. Re:Maybe it was a "normal" planet... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They already surmised this as one of several plausible answers, and they should be able to test this hypothesis in under ten years.

    6. Re:Maybe it was a "normal" planet... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      we've only been observing these things for a fantastically short time in astronomical terms.

      Which is true. Tell that to the global warmers.

    7. Re:Maybe it was a "normal" planet... by holmstar · · Score: 1

      The orbits of the objects are not stable... not in astrological time scales anyway. Solar wind and tidal interaction is slowing all of the objects in the solar system and eventually everything not light enough to be held back by the pressure of solar wind itself will fall into the sun.

  21. Hot Jupiter by T.E.D. · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Perhaps instead of a hot Jupiter what they have found is a cold sun?

    1. Re:Hot Jupiter by sleeponthemic · · Score: 4, Funny

      I propose the term "ugly jupiter" in conjuction with "fridgid star". We shall call the orbit "the chastity belt".

      --
      I record my sleeptalking
    2. Re:Hot Jupiter by codewarren · · Score: 2, Informative

      This is modded funny, but this was exactly my thought. I presume this was considered, and that there is a reason to have ruled it out, but there are already binary stars which sound like two identically sized stars orbiting each other, but are not always identically sized. Since scientists think that really large gas giants are just stars that weren't big enough to initiate fusion, it doesn't seem to much of a stretch to think that the "hot jupiter" is just a case of a binary star where one never made it to fusion.

    3. Re:Hot Jupiter by farooge · · Score: 0

      same thing

    4. Re:Hot Jupiter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or maybe a foggy star.

    5. Re:Hot Jupiter by holmstar · · Score: 1

      I don't think it matters whether it is a hot jupiter or failed star. In either case, being that the orbit is so small, the smaller body should collide with the larger one after a short period of time (in astrological terms)

  22. I'd agree by Viol8 · · Score: 1

    There are 100 billion stars in our galaxy. If we look at enough of them then at some point by the laws of probability we're going to find a planet on its final death spiral into the star. I don't see what the issue is. Ok , if in 50 years time the planets orbit hasn't changed *then* we start to worry and revisit our theories.

    1. Re:I'd agree by lgw · · Score: 1

      We've only found 370 exoplanets. The odds don't work. Explanations like "our system of measurement is off in this case" are far more likely. Saying "we just happened to see a one-in-a-billion event" is no different from saying "a wizard did it". It may be true, but it's not science.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    2. Re:I'd agree by carluva · · Score: 1

      No: This is a common misunderstanding of probability. The probability of a particular event occurring does not increase with the number of non-occurrences (well, if the event is random, which in this case it is). Think of it on a smaller scale: Flipping a coin. Let's say I flip a coin and get heads five times in a row (not a likely occurrence, but very definitely possible). On the sixth flip of the coin, what is the chance of getting heads again? It's 1 in 2, or 50%. Regardless of the sample size, the probability of a given flipped coin being heads is 1 in 2.

      So extend that concept to larger numbers: If the probability of a given occurrence is 1 in 1 billion, then the probability remains 1 in 1 billion regardless of whether there are 100 or 100 billion samples.

      This is why statisticians have the concept of a mathematical impossibility: If the probability of an event is lower than a certain number (I think it's 1 in 10^50, if I remember right), it is considered mathematically impossible, regardless of the sample size! Now, I don't know what the probability of this is consideredâ"I doubt it's low enough to be considered a mathematical impossibility. But the point is, increasing the sample size does not make the event more likely to occur.

    3. Re:I'd agree by antic · · Score: 1

      Our current methods (or at least some of them) for detecting exoplanets tend to find us large planets that are close to their respective suns...

      --
      'Thats they exact same thing a banana wrench monkey.'
    4. Re:I'd agree by Viol8 · · Score: 1

      If there are 100 stars and 1 of those stars has a planet spiralling into it then if you view all of those stars the probability of you finding that planet is 1. If you view 50 the probability is 0.5. You're confusing the probality of each type of event occuring with the probility of seeing a given type event from a whole collection of events.

    5. Re:I'd agree by holmstar · · Score: 1

      Go back and take statistics. It doesn't mean anything that we found a one in a billion planet after looking at 370. If we find several one in a billion planets after finding much less than several billion planets, THAT would be news. So far we just have a fortunate discovery of one such planet.

    6. Re:I'd agree by carluva · · Score: 1
      Okay, you're right in one sense, because I wasn't completely accurate in my previous comment (I wrote it hurriedly during the last few minutes of my lunch break at work)--the probability does in fact increase somewhat with the sample size. However, your description doesn't describe the situation accurately at all; the correct analogy would be that, each of 100 stars has a 1 in 100 chance of having a planet spiraling into it; in this case, viewing all 100 stars does not yield a probability of 1 of seeing a planet spiraling into it. Let me try another simplified description. First, consider a single, six-sided die. One of the six sides has a one on it; if you examine a single side of the die (roll it), you have a 1 in 6 chance of seeing the one; if you examine three of the six sides, you have a 1 in 2 chance of seeing the one; if you examine all six sides, you have a 1 in 1 chance (probability of 1) of seeing the one. This is analogous to your "1 out of 100 stars" situation above, but it is not analogous to real life. Now consider six normal, six-sided dice. If you roll all six of them, what is the probability that at least one of them will come up with a one? You will probably immediately realize the probability is not 1, but calculating it is a bit of a math problem--it's been a while since my college statistics class, but if I remember correctly, the correct way of finding it is to calculate the probability that none of the dice will be a one, and then subtract that from 1, thus:
      • For each die, the probability of it not being a one is 5/6;
      • Thus, the probability of none of the six dice being a one is (5/6)^6, or about 0.335;
      • Thus, the probability of at least one of the six dice being a one is 1 - 0.335, or about 0.665, which is significantly less than 1.

      Going back to your 1 in 100 probability, if there are 100 stars and each has a 1 in 100 chance of having a planet spiraling into it, then the probability of any of the 100 stars having a planet spiraling into it is 0.634. Examining only 50 of the 100 leaves a probability of 0.5 * 0.634 or only 0.317. Now, we're making some huge assumptions about the probabilities of this event occurring; but just for the sake of discussion, let's just say that, for any given star, there is a 1 in 10^15 (one in a trillion) chance that, at the present time, it has a planet spiraling into it. (Given the relatively small number of stars we know of that have any planets at all, I suspect that number is a significant overestimate, but I'll use it.) Using your estimate of 100 billion stars in the universe, that makes the probability that any star exists, anywhere in the universe with a planet spiraling into it about 0.0000999, or 1 in 10,000, which is pretty small. Now I'll assume that we have examined 1 billion of those stars closely enough that we would be able to detect this occurrence (which I would guess is a gross overestimate); that makes the probability of any star that we have examined being in the midst of the occurrence about 0.000000999, or 1 in a million. So, being what I would say is quite generous with all of the numbers, we have a 1 in a million chance of seeing this.

  23. I Broke The Laws of Physics!!!! by quatin · · Score: 3, Insightful

    "Oh wait, I just forgot to add resistance." - Quoted by my high school physics teacher. There are plenty of human error involved with not applying the laws of physics correctly. Let's not all get on the bandwagon just yet that we have broken the laws of physics. I doubt even the scientists involved believe this, it's just another slow news day at the LA times and they're trying to make something big out of something little.

    1. Re:I Broke The Laws of Physics!!!! by oldhack · · Score: 1

      Btw, nobody "breaks" law of physics. If anyone/anything did, it wouldn't be law of physics, would it? :-)

      Semantic pedantic...

      --
      Fuck systemd. Fuck Redhat. Fuck Soylent, too. Wait, scratch the last one.
  24. That is the sun by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    for that planet.

  25. alternatively by circletimessquare · · Score: 4, Interesting

    we're actually watching the planet in the process of being consumed

    which would be highly unlikely, to get that timing right, as there's a window of only a couple thousand years in which we could see that happen, but maybe that's what we're really seeing

    in which case, rather than revise orbital dynamics, this planet could contribute to our understanding of astrophysics/ michael bay style thermodynamics by allowing us to watch a jupiter sized planet ripped to smithereens in real time

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:alternatively by Matje · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Hasn't your sig been the same for several years now? Are you *still* working on that movie? Wouldn't it be time to expand the description to include 'slow going' ? ;)

    2. Re:alternatively by steelfood · · Score: 1

      Just within our galaxy alone there's probably some planet within a thousand years of being ripped to shreds somewhere out there at any give time.

      The question is, are we capable of seeing this phenomenon, and if we are, did we manage to catch it as it's happening. It's like watching a row of ants and knowing one of them is going to get jumped by a spider, but not knowing where the spider is or which one is going to get jumped. In this case, we got lucky and caught it in or just before the act.

      --
      "If a nation expects to be ignorant and free in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be."
  26. Kiri-kin-tha's First Law of Metaphysics: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Nothing unreal exists."

    It may be a teaching from a fictional teacher...but it's a good one.

  27. Answer: yes we are by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Funny how people will spout out "so we don't really know, do we" and ALSO "huh? why do you have such huge error bars in your working???".

  28. Oblig: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I, for one, welcome our new Flame Resistant Planetary Overlords!

  29. We have filed the plans by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1

    We have filed notices to build an intergalactic highway through that planet. Notice can be perused in a nearby star, hardly 4.5 light years away in a dark unlit basement without stairs in a filing cabinet in a disused toilet, with a "Beware of the Cheetah" sign on the door.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    1. Re:We have filed the plans by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Its Leopard, fucktard.

    2. Re:We have filed the plans by Capt.DrumkenBum · · Score: 1

      I believe you were aiming for:
      It was on display in the bottom of a locked filing cabinet stuck in a disused lavatory with a sign on the door saying 'Beware of the Leopard'."

      --
      If I were God, wouldn't I protect my churches from acts of me?
  30. Aliens by bryan1945 · · Score: 1

    I'm going with the "a bunch of fraternity aliens pulling a practical joke" theory.

    To be serious, hasn't science had a history of finding "impossible" things, then turned out to be 1) a mistake 2) something new that changed some thinking 3) a weird-ass anomaly 4) the platypus? Let's all just calm down until we find the platypus alien pranksters!

    --
    Vote monkeys into Congress. They are cheaper and more trustworthy.
    1. Re:Aliens by blueg3 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yes, except we use slightly different terms. Only the non-scientists need to calm down, though. Finding things you didn't expect is par for the course.

    2. Re:Aliens by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Saving your home planet from spiraling into the sun is hardly a practical joke.

    3. Re:Aliens by ciderVisor · · Score: 1

      4) the platypus?

      "Hey ! Where's Perry ?"

      --
      Squirrel!
  31. Congratulations Wasp-18! by farooge · · Score: 0

    It's a baby!

    I wonder if [big round celestial bodies] have a 'sex'? Probably, though I have no idea how to tell. .. I'm not being sarcastic folks, it's new, really.

  32. I got your orbital physics right here! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I got your orbital physics right here! Badabing!

    -Hot Jupiter's Lover

  33. I thought this was settled science! by isa-kuruption · · Score: 0, Troll

    Just like man-made global warming is settled, I thought orbital dynamics is settled! I mean... 400 years, c'mon.. of course it's settled! Obviously these findings go against the overwhelming consensus among astrophysicists and is therefore wrong!

    1. Re:I thought this was settled science! by farooge · · Score: 0

      :-)

      That was my first thought too

    2. Re:I thought this was settled science! by Andr+T. · · Score: 1

      Yeah. I don't agree with this 'gravity' consensus either. These so-called 'scientists' think they know everything.

      --

      Any life is made up of a single moment, the moment in which a man finds out, once and for all, who he is.

  34. Easy answer. by dicobalt · · Score: 0

    Clearly the orbit is artificial, the planet has been moved by an Alien race hiding under the thick atmosphere.

  35. short winters by z_gringo · · Score: 1

    So every day(year) after lunch, those guys are talking about how this is a HOT summer this day. The idle banter about the weather must get really repetitive there.

    --
    -- -- Warning. Do not stare directly at the sun.
    1. Re:short winters by omnichad · · Score: 1

      Well...if they have a tilted axis, they can talk about their Hot summer and slightly less hot winter (both on the same day, of course).

    2. Re:short winters by cbiltcliffe · · Score: 1

      Your sig takes on a whole new meaning in this story......

      --
      "City hall" in German is "Rathaus" Kinda explains a few things......
  36. Or maybe by sxltrex · · Score: 4, Funny

    Or maybe that's one fucking badass planet. The lesson to be learned here is do not fuck with Wasp-18b.

    1. Re:Or maybe by cbiltcliffe · · Score: 2, Funny

      Or maybe that's one fucking badass planet. The lesson to be learned here is do not fuck with Wasp-18b.

      Unless you're Chuch Norris.

      Wait....

      Maybe Chuck Norris is an alien from planet Wasp-18b!
      Of course!

      That would explain everything!!!

      --
      "City hall" in German is "Rathaus" Kinda explains a few things......
    2. Re:Or maybe by AndrewNeo · · Score: 1

      It was him that roundhouse kicked it into that orbit in the first place!

    3. Re:Or maybe by element-o.p. · · Score: 1

      "All these other planets are yours...Attempt no landings there"?

      --
      MCSE? No, sir...I don't do Windows. Yes, I am an idealist. What's your point?
    4. Re:Or maybe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The planet, Wasp-18b, is so close to the star that it completes a full orbit (its "year") in less than an Earth day

      It all adds up! A roundhouse kick every day to a sissy star!

  37. There is only one way by huxrules · · Score: 1

    Quick! To the Space Shuttle!!!

  38. "Impossible" ? by Whatshisface · · Score: 1

    You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means.

  39. Did anybody tell ya... by GPLDAN · · Score: 1

    WASPs always look old for their age!


    BADA BOOM!

    I'll be here all week. Please tip your waiters...

  40. oblig by muckracer · · Score: 1

    In Soviet Russia the red star orbits You!

  41. second impossible planet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Cowboy Neil's mom should have created a black hole and pulled in the earth years ago.

  42. Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's amazing that we can barely find planets 300 light years from here, and scientists have already drawn conclusions about how the universe works - so much so that an "impossible" planet is found. Who's to say that this is not a normal happening around the other 99.999% of the universe that we cannot see?

  43. hope for geeks by Atreide · · Score: 1

    Since universe is full of such marvels.

    I may get lucky and find the impossible woman ?

    One that is not supposed to exist but suits me.

    --
    The world belongs to those who get up early. - I'm far from being the king of Earth then :-(
  44. I do not see any contradiction here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As the Universe was created 6000 years ago, its still has 9 994 000 thousand years left before it is swallowed by its parent star.

  45. It goes hand in hand with conspiracy theory by Savior_on_a_Stick · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Which is driven by the desire for validation through possession of "secret knowledge."

    Therefore, NASA faked the moon landing, auto makers have suppressed the 200mpg carburetor, and scientists are all glory seeker publishing dubious results that they make up as they go along. /. has a large tin foil hat contingency, so this should come as no great shock.

    1. Re:It goes hand in hand with conspiracy theory by PeterBrett · · Score: 1

      /. has a large tin foil hat contingency, so this should come as no great shock.

      I think you mean 'constituency' or 'contingent'.

    2. Re:It goes hand in hand with conspiracy theory by lgw · · Score: 2, Funny

      He had it right: in case of large tinfoil hat, Slashdot is prepared.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  46. Why shouldn't it exist? by pastafazou · · Score: 1

    Think of the coin donation containers that have a curved funnel and a ramp for the coin. You drop the coin in, and it goes around and around the funnel. It's orbit slowly decays, getting closer to the hole with each orbit. As it gets closer, it speeds up. By the time it hits the neck of the funnel, it's going extremely fast, and takes much longer than one would think it should to finally disappear down the hole. Is it not possible this is the same phenomenon? Imagine if Jupiter had a decaying orbit, such that it would take a billion years to reach the orbit of Mercury. It would be going pretty damn fast by then, no?

    1. Re:Why shouldn't it exist? by n0tWorthy · · Score: 1

      It could also be stealing gas from the star it orbits thereby increasing its mass and adding to its outward velocity vector. If it stole enough it could become a binary star and actually move away from the primary star.

      --
      "Be kind, for everyone you meet is facing a great battle." - Philo of Alexandria -
    2. Re:Why shouldn't it exist? by pastafazou · · Score: 1

      I would think this would work the other way, the star's stronger gravity would be able to strip off the upper atmosphere from the planet, assuming the planet gets close enough without igniting. And I'm not entirely sure this is correct, but the subsequent loss of mass causes the planet to accelerate, which would stabilize it's orbit. Anyway, I'm not an astrophysicist, so I'll shut up now.

    3. Re:Why shouldn't it exist? by n0tWorthy · · Score: 1

      Yeah, actually that sounds more plausable. Either way there could be a balance for quite a long while that keeps the planet from falling into the star.

      --
      "Be kind, for everyone you meet is facing a great battle." - Philo of Alexandria -
  47. needs to be said by bl8n8r · · Score: 1

    "That's no moon... It's a space station!" -Obi-Wan Kenobi

    --
    boycott slashdot February 10th - 17th check out: altSlashdot.org
    1. Re:needs to be said by Korey+Kaczor · · Score: 1

      You beat me to the A New Hope reference. If I had mod points I'd mod you up for that.

    2. Re:needs to be said by geekoid · · Score: 1

      It's too big to be a space station

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  48. That's no moon by gmuslera · · Score: 1

    You know, any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic. Maybe is the proof we need of existing (underground?) alien civilizations. And could be cheaper than a Dyson sphere or a ring world.

    Of course, also could mean that that planet wasnt in that orbit more than a millon years ago for some natural causes. Occam rulez.. and shaves.

  49. A Billion Years Old? by Smooth+and+Shiny · · Score: 1

    "The star Wasp-18 is believed to be about a billion years old, and since stars and the planets around them are thought to form at the same time, Wasp-18b should have been reduced to cinders ages ago."

    That's the beauty of science. Things can be hypothesized about and theories can be made, but as we go deeper into those ideas and actually take a closer look, we discover they can and do change (the way things work, in our eyes). So I guess that either the Wasp-18 star is not a billion years or maybe planets simply do not necessarily form at the same time as the star does. We can't know everything right away, but it is definitely fun to find out as we move on!

  50. "Orbital dynamics" never in doubt; poor article by wisebabo · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Actually the orbital dynamics discovered(?) by Johannes Kepler (or Newton) was never in doubt regardless of what the article says. That's because what they're really talking about here is the rate of drag caused by the star the planet is orbiting; this needless to say was never conceived of let alone formulated 400 years ago. Without these stellar winds coming from the star, the planet would keep orbiting just fine forever (unless the star was a really dense object in which case general relativity would come to play but I digress).

    The astronomers think that some (relatively new) theories regarding the amount of stellar wind from the parent star could be wrong, otherwise the planet is due to fall into the star in ~1 million years, a time too short on the scale of the lifetime of the system to be chalked up to coincidence. Doesn't have the same sound bite as claiming that 400 years of science could be wrong though.

    1. Re:"Orbital dynamics" never in doubt; poor article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually the orbital dynamics discovered(?) by Johannes Kepler (or Newton) was never in doubt

      Actually,
        Newtonian dynamics were in doubt. Newtonian mechanics is insufficient to explain the precession of Mercury's orbit. One bit of evidence supporting General Relativity is that GR accounts for Mercury's orbit.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mercury_(planet)#Advance_of_perihelion

  51. It'll catch up by tedhiltonhead · · Score: 1

    That's ok, from its perspective at 330 light years away, it's only 70 years since Kepler... if we just give it a few more centuries I am sure it will catch up with the new laws of orbital dynamics.

  52. They've done it! by TheRealSCA · · Score: 2, Funny

    The finding of this impossible planet clearly means that the infinite improbability drive is in existence. Shall we name the planet Magrathea?

  53. I'm skeptical by wcrowe · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I once managed a junior programmer who would insist that the compiler had a bug in it when she couldn't get her program to work.

    We eventually fired her.

    Why do I mention this? Because, as a programmer, when I get results I don't expect, I tend to assume that I have made a mistake somewhere. I don't assume that the underlying theory of how computers work is in error.

    Are they even sure that they're looking at a planet? My first assumption would be that they are not seeing what they think they were seeing, rather than there is a flaw in the theory of orbital dynamics.

    I'm not being accusatory here, just skeptical.

    --
    Proverbs 21:19
    1. Re:I'm skeptical by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I once managed a junior programmer who would insist that the compiler had a bug in it when she couldn't get her program to work.

      Not quite the same as a compiler, but I actually found *two* genuine bugs in an IBM pre-compiler (the CICS translator for those who know about such things). And IBM fixed them both.

      For the interested:
      One related to accepting mixed case and I can't remember the details.

      The other one was for Assembler, where the translator would not recognize 'RSECT' as a substitute for 'CSECT' (an RSECT is just a CSECT with re-entrancy checking and should always be used in IBM assembler unless there is a very specific requirement for code to be self-modfiying).
      The IBM APAR reference for those with servicelink access is PQ21572

    2. Re:I'm skeptical by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Challanging a wide held scientific idea is rare, but it can help expand our knowledge if you're not a pussy about it. Einstein realized early on that if his ideas on general relativity were correct, it would mean Isaac fucking Newton was wrong. Most other scientists admit that if they had been in Einstein's shoes, they would have realized it would fly against Newtonian mechanics, and scrapped the entire idea. So these guys might be the Einsteins who look at the current theory and say "nope, it's not quite right".

      Assuming they can come up with an alternative explaination, and it passes peer review.

    3. Re:I'm skeptical by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Was it a bug? I have had (and reported!) compiler (code generation) bugs with Visual C++ 6.0 patch 5 (which should be very stable) (at least once), SN Systems, SunPlus, GeneralPlus. Microsoft was the worst to report to (who do you email?) but the least buggy of those.

      I have come across hardware bugs in the 6502 and heard of them in the Intel Pentium. Badly laid out PCBs can cause havoc with mysterious bugs. At least one bug was fixed by unplugging and replugging a memory board.
      Library code often has bugs (MFC for example is notorious, but also Nintendo 64 libraries had the occasional gotcha, various video playback libraries etc.)
      And undocumented hardware features often manifest themselves as problems with your understanding of "how computers work". e.g. the SNES ports (four bytes) between the CPU and SPU which do not necessarily output data in the same order as it was input.

      The key is to be able to drill down into the assembly code and see if the compiler is producing bad code, or if (less frequently) the code is correct and the CPU is wrong (e.g. undocumented alignment requirement of cpu instruction to go into sleep mode, that probably depends on the external memory timing).
      Then you reduce the offending program to a few lines of code and send a zip of the source/object/explanation to the compiler author/cpu vendor.

      Of course most times it is the data or the user code at fault, but not always.

    4. Re:I'm skeptical by geekoid · · Score: 1

      haha, Ironically I had a bug show up in compiled code that we traced to the compiler, back in about '95.

      However, yes the compiler is the last place you should think the problem is...unless your writing compilers!

      Interesting your skeptical, but yet reference the Bible...A refenerence that shows how period the bible is and how it locks in a certian way of thinking.

      Better to have an alternate to the marriage, then to live in the dessert.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    5. Re:I'm skeptical by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I once managed a junior programmer who would insist that the compiler had a bug in it when she couldn't get her program to work.

      While working as a junior programmer I once found an error in the compiler. It ruined me of course. I then spent far too much time looking for compiler errors, which is way more fun than writing code for PHBs.

    6. Re:I'm skeptical by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      I once managed a junior programmer who would insist that the compiler had a bug in it when she couldn't get her program to work.

      Compiler bugs aren't exactly unknown: I've come across at least half a dozen bugs in my time where C/C++ code was doing "impossible" things and we eventually discovered that was because the compiler wasn't generating correct machine code.

      My first assumption would be that they are not seeing what they think they were seeing, rather than there is a flaw in the theory of orbital dynamics.

      I'm not being accusatory here, just skeptical.

      But yes, I agree on that: it's a bit early to be questioning orbital mechanics when our methods of finding planets and determining their orbits are still so primitive.

    7. Re:I'm skeptical by LionMage · · Score: 1

      I once managed a junior programmer who would insist that the compiler had a bug in it when she couldn't get her program to work.

      We eventually fired her.

      Why do I mention this? Because, as a programmer, when I get results I don't expect, I tend to assume that I have made a mistake somewhere. I don't assume that the underlying theory of how computers work is in error.

      Your anecdote looks almost entirely ripped off from The Pragmatic Programmer . :-) No, I'm sure this really happened in your company, but the book goes into this sort of thing at length... I believe the anecdote provided in the book talks about a developer who insisted there was a bug in a linker or loader on a particular system.

      Like others who have commented here, I too have discovered a compiler bug on an old SPARC system that used register-based argument passing to functions. (A C function took a float argument, but the calling code used a 0 instead of 0f or 0.0, so the compiler dutifully stuffed a 0 into an integer register, while the called function attempted to read from one of the floating point registers, which sometimes contained leftover garbage. Type coercion/promotion was clearly not happening.) Like others, I know this is a rare occurrence, so I don't look for it except under exceptional circumstances.

      That said, if they are indeed not seeing what they think they are seeing (at least insofar as what the object is, regardless of the behavior), then that's cause for alarm -- other observations of exoplanets come into question. But it's entirely possible that some unforeseen dynamics are coming into play, perhaps some kind of relativistic effect that isn't being accounted for. It wouldn't necessarily mean that all we know about orbital mechanics is "wrong," it just means someone didn't model the system right, and something important got left out.

      I'm also pretty sure the scientists investigating this hot Jupiter exoplanet have done their due dilligence, have tried chasing down all the likely suspects, and are still left with a conundrum. I doubt they leaped to any conclusions right away that our basic understanding of physics is wrong, and based on TFA, it looks as though they still are being careful not to draw any undue conclusions.

    8. Re:I'm skeptical by Rising+Ape · · Score: 1

      Other people have said this, but compiler bugs do exist. One of the particle physics collaboration I was part of got stung by one - the compiler released with some version of Red Hat (gcc 2.96 IIRC) meant that the event reconstruction software gave wrong answers. Fortunately this was discovered, but not after causing a lot of wasted effort and recalculated results.

      Yes, programmer error is *more likely* if you have no evidence either way, but not certain.

    9. Re:I'm skeptical by Orion+Blastar · · Score: 1

      Yeah right Compiler bugs don't really exist, and this one was found by Linus Torvalds maybe someone ought to fire him, it is not the compiler it is his kernel source code. :)

      She must have been using Visual BASIC and found a bug.

      As a Programmer I usually try to write code around the bug by defining my own functions to replace DLLs and API calls.

      When I did so in college back in 1986 it was Turbo Pascal and it had a rounding bug in the compiler. So what I did was write my own rounding function by converting the floating point into a string and then operated on the string to round up and avoid the rounding bug. I was the only one in my class to get the correct answer, but I got a C because I didn't get the same answer as the rest of the class due to a bug in the rounding function. I was accused of 'hacking" and told that writing my own rounding function was illegal use of the language. I felt like Captain Kirk in the Kobayashi Maru scenario, I programmed it so that it was possible to win, but in doing so instead of being celebrated for being innovative I was punished instead. But then later the Star Trek remake made more sense to me. :)

      --
      Remember, Slashdot does not have a -1 disagree moderation, and no, troll, flamebait, and overrated are not substitutes.
    10. Re:I'm skeptical by Kingrames · · Score: 1

      She must have been a noob.
      My programs are never error-prone, it's always the fault of the data.

      --
      If you can read this, I forgot to post anonymously.
    11. Re:I'm skeptical by swilver · · Score: 1

      I once used a C compiler, a fairly popular one that had been in use for years already. I discovered my program had a bug in it when using a certain number of variables 5 or 6 nesting levels deep. After some long hours I started thinking it was the compiler. Looking at the disassembly I noticed a register was not properly initialized. I mailed the authors a sample program demonstrating the bug (sample program was about 30 lines, couldn't make it shorter and still have it display the bug). Three days later I got a patch back with a fix.

      C compiler's have bugs. Even Processors have bugs. It would not be the first thing I'd look for, but I wouldn't rule it out.

  54. Solaris? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Immediately reminded me of Solaris...
    Though in that case it orbited two suns.

    The planet orbits two suns: a red sun and a blue sun. For 45 years after its discovery, no spacecraft had visited Solaris. At that time, the Gamow-Shapley theory—that life was impossible on planets which are satellites of two solar bodies—was firmly believed. The orbit is constantly being modified by variations in the gravitational pull in the course of its revolutions around the two suns.
    Due to these fluctuations in gravity, the orbit is either flattened or distended and the elements of life, if they appear, are inevitably destroyed either by intense heat or an extreme drop in temperature. These changes take place at intervals estimated in millions of years—very short intervals, that is, according to laws of astronomy and biology (evolution takes hundreds of millions of years if not a billion).
    According to the earliest calculations, in 500,000 years' time Solaris would be drawn one half of an astronomic unit nearer to its red sun, and a million years after that would be engulfed by the incandescent star.
    A few decades later, however, observations seemed to suggest that the planet's orbit was in no way subject to the expected variations: it was stable, as stable as the orbit of the planets in our own solar system.

    So be on the lookout for alien, sentient oceans.

  55. Sample sample sample by webdog314 · · Score: 1

    So.. 400 years of orbital mechanics thrown out from a sample of... one?

    1. Re:Sample sample sample by clone53421 · · Score: 1

      Well, yes. If I theorize that all cars contain internal combustion engines which are powered by gasoline, any number of years of gathering evidence in favour of my theory would be invalidated by the discovery of one single car that does not.

      The question is whether the planet is actually "impossible" or rather only "highly improbable".

      --
      Alexander Peter Kristopeit bought his basement from his mommy for one dollar.
    2. Re:Sample sample sample by webdog314 · · Score: 1

      Isn't that exactly my point... If you are going to make a scientific statement that includes that word "all", or "always", then you are declaring a natural law, not a theory.

      Just because you found a car that was powered by cow manure, doesn't preclude the possibility that at one time it WAS powered by gasoline, but was frankensteined by farmer John and his brother Billy-Bob.

    3. Re:Sample sample sample by clone53421 · · Score: 1

      If I find one that's powered by hydrogen, natural gas, or electricity, then yeah, my "theory" was incorrect. Even then, it doesn't necessarily mean I have to throw out the theory entirely, because most of my evidence supported the theory... it might be possible to slightly adjust the theory so that it once again fits all the evidence.

      A "natural law" is just a theory that's been rock-solid for so long that nobody thought it'd ever be disproven. It still only takes one contradictory piece of evidence to disprove the theory – once that piece of evidence has been thoroughly investigated, of course. In this case, the theory was probably almost correct, and it failed to account for a rare situation – as before, we don't necessarily throw out the whole theory, we just try and figure out why the theory didn't fit with this piece of evidence and fix it.

      --
      Alexander Peter Kristopeit bought his basement from his mommy for one dollar.
  56. What are the odds? by aegl · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Perhaps we've stumbled across this planet during the last million years of its billion year life-cycle. Sounds like a one in a thousand chance that we'd do that. But the summary says that over 370 exo-planets[1] have been found ... so (waves hands as if doing actual math) its about a 1 in 3 chance that one of the planets we've found so far will be in some one in a thousand situation.

    Wait until Kepler starts kicking in a few thousand more exo-planets to the database. Then we'll see even more "impossible" situations.

    [1] http://exoplanets.org/ says the current tally is just 358

  57. Rainbow World by Khashishi · · Score: 1

    These planets were used as some kind of Precursor dump. If we find more, we might be able to form a pattern out of them.

  58. who cares about what it looks like by nimbius · · Score: 1

    we need to fire up the smelloscope and figure out if this WASP smells like the rest!

    --
    Good people go to bed earlier.
  59. Oh Please.. by nanospook · · Score: 1

    Everyone knows that the universe will only last another 6000 years!

    --
    Have you fscked your local propeller head today?
  60. Easy Explanation by Ukab+the+Great · · Score: 1

    It's only a model.

  61. Something's wrong here by Stone+Wolf99 · · Score: 1

    Can we get an actual scientist to talk about this instead of the freaking LA Times, and Yahoo news? What does space.com say about this thing? There are possibilities that the article doesn't mention. It could have been an interstellar body that wandered by and got pulled in recently. Or on a more radical shift of thought, it could be non-human intelligences, causing this phenomenon for whatever reasons. Whether you believe aliens visit Earth, or not, anything could exist at that range. There's the possibility that the body is composed of an element we've never seen before with properties we don't know about. All sorts of things could be going on here. Its stupid, and illogical to get people riled up saying stuff like 'We fudged up Orbital Dynamics! Adjust your worldview of the universe at large!'

    1. Re:Something's wrong here by Stone+Wolf99 · · Score: 2, Informative

      I checked space.com's article on the find, and its totally different stating "If the planet is, in fact, spiraling in toward its star, the demise might not occur for thousands or millions of years, but there should be noticeable changes in its orbital period in about a decade. Astronomers just have to keep their eye on the system."

  62. ME... fail ASTROPHYSICS??!? by Satyr+Rake · · Score: 0

    That's UNPOSSIBLE!!

  63. Mad Planets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hey, remember the old video game called "Mad Planets?" That was cool.

  64. Why not just invoke Dark Matter? by reezle · · Score: 1

    Sounds like this might be a chance for a reevaluation of Newtonian Gravity and General Relativity.
    Since that's a lot of work, perhaps we should chalk it up to a Halo of Dark matter just outside this planet's orbit which is holding it back from falling into that star.
    (Or perhaps a whole bunch of Dark Energy between the planet and star holding it up)

    1. Re:Why not just invoke Dark Matter? by geekoid · · Score: 1

      I can't decide, are you trying to be funny, or just very, very ignorant of the things you talk about?

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  65. but that would be be, in a way, admitting defeat. i'm obviously defeated, but am too hurt by how difficult the whole thing has been to admit that. instead, i'll live with occasional comment barbs like yours to egg me on to get the f***ing thing done already

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:yes by Matje · · Score: 1

      oh don't sweat it. It gives your fellow /. readers a warm feeling of "hey I've been here a while... and apparently so has this guy!".

      And don't forget, (even Picasso hated to finish work)

    2. Re:yes by element-o.p. · · Score: 1

      I feel your pain :)

      I've got a motorcycle I am trying to rebuild (the engine was in six boxes when I acquired it...) and my wife is constantly pointing out the fact that it's been several months, and I haven't made a lot of progress (I have one head rebuilt and I've scrapped a lot of unusable parts). The rebuild was a lot harder than I expected and if I had even half a brain, I'd just go to eBay and buy a new engine, but I'm too proud to admit defeat and do the sensible thing, so it sits in the garage and I occasionally go tinker with it for a while. At this rate, when my great, great, great, great, great, great-grandchildren are old enough to ride, it might be finished.

      --
      MCSE? No, sir...I don't do Windows. Yes, I am an idealist. What's your point?
  66. So what? That's not impossble. by Hurricane78 · · Score: 1

    You just forgot the dimension of time!

    What I mean is, that you say that the planet should be consumed in less than a million years. Well, what if it simply got closer right now, and just started to get consumed. So we will see it being consumed in less than a million years. And the theory still is correct.

    Just wait and see... after all it's just a million years. ;)

    --
    Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
  67. Have we found... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    a Solaris-like entity?

  68. Just simple physics explains the obvious by gilbertopb · · Score: 1

    The planet will remains for more time.
    It just does not burn because turning so FAST around of the sun, it is is cooled by the wind.

    --
    Information technology means all information.
  69. Age Estimates Incorrect??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    "The star Wasp-18 is believed to be about a billion years old, and since stars and the planets around them are thought to form at the same time, Wasp-18b should have been reduced to cinders ages ago"

    Could it be possible that the age estimates are grossly over-exaggerated? Could it be possible that the creationist scientists were right all along? This fits their model much better than the evolutionary model scientists. Surprisingly, even Scientific America has claimed that the "big-bang" theory isn't plausible (March 2003).

  70. Agreed, 110% (GOOD STUFF, great episodes)... apk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "The Satan Pit / Impossible Pit were really great Doctor Who episodes. Maybe we should appreciate them for that, instead of taking apart the physics?" - by Cassini2 (956052) on Thursday August 27, @10:45AM (#29216903)

    Agreed, 110% - 2 of my favorites (if not my all-time favs really) from the 2005-present day series (alongside DALEK, & Doomsday).

    I loved the part when the "Good Doctor" said:

    "IF YOU'RE ESCAPING, THEN I'VE GOT TO STOP YOU!"

    (AND, also later when Rose states (as the rocket is falling back into the black hole sun's gravity well) "That's what the Doctor would've done!")

    Good stuff! Most especially @ the end, when the character named IDA SCOTT says:

    "Who are you 2, really?"

    & the Doctor replies:

    "Oh... the STUFF OF LEGEND!"

    LOL!

    APK

    P.S.=> Nice to see another "Doctor Who" fan here... but, I think you realize this: /. is like many forums - FULL of "nitpickers" is all... I think they mean well for the most part though... it's their "brand of humor", IF NOT "analysis", is all (most of the time, that is)... apk

  71. The explanation is obvious by Homr+Zodyssey · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Any Gallifreyan worth his salt knows that Impossible Planets are held in orbit by a super-strong gravitational well generated by the ancient evil daemonic entity imprisoned within. Geesh.

  72. My theory: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The highly advanced life forms on this planet are preventing, with all their technical measures, their planet falling into the star and destroying their home.

  73. LET THERE BE LIPS! by leftie · · Score: 1

    Michael Rennie was ill, the day the Earth stood still, but he told us where we stand.
    ON OUR FEET!
    And Flash Gordon was there, in
    EDIBLE.
    silver underwear.
    KINKY!
    Claude Rains was the invisible man.
    BUT HE DIDN'T SHOW UP.
    Then something went wrong, for Faye Wray and King Kong, they got caught in a
    SEXUAL
    celluloid jam.
    YEAH JAM!
    Then at a deadly pace, it came
    ON JANET'S FACE!
    from outer space. And this is how the message ran...
    FREEZE!

  74. How do you do, I see you've met my faithful by leftie · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    HAND JOB MAN.
    handyman. He's just a little brought down, because when you knocked, he thought you were the Candy Man. Don't get strung out
    ON COCAINE!
    by the way I look,
    SAME THING.
    don't judge a book by it's cover. I'm not much of a man by the light of day, but by night I'm one
    SICK MOTHERFUCKER.
    hell of a lover. I'm just a sweet Transvestite, from Transsexual, Transylvania. Let me show you around, maybe play you a sound. You look like you're both pretty groovy. Or if you want something visual, that's not too abysmal, we could take in an old
    KEANU REEVES'.
    Steve Reeves' movie...

  75. Doctor Who by polyomninym · · Score: 2, Interesting

    This reminds me of that episode of the new series of Doctor Who, The Impossible Planet. Scientists were studying a planet that was somehow kept from getting sucked into a black hole that it was next to. To me, it was definitely the best episode covering the nature of deep fears. Oh, and if you starred through the "sun roof" at the black hole for too long, it would drive you insane.

    1. Re:Doctor Who by Kingrames · · Score: 1

      That's just silly. I stared at the black hole and I'm just fine. In fact, it turned me into a helicopter.

      --
      If you can read this, I forgot to post anonymously.
  76. Intelligent Design by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So does this mean the universe is only 4000 years old? :)

  77. Tides / Orbital Mechanics question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hmm, I thought the moon was considered to be slowly spiraling AWAY from earth, because of the effects of tides on it's orbit. Maybe I have that wrong? (ie: Is the moon heading right for us?)

    Or does the net effect of tidal forces depend on some factor, so that in this case, it spirals the plant inward, yet in other cases, a moon could be spiraling outward? Perhaps if the spin of the parent body is faster/slower than the orbit of the smaller body, then the tides would either be tugging the smaller body to slow it down, or pulling it forward?

  78. Relativity? by JSBiff · · Score: 1

    I remember hearing something, from a scientist once, about how as you get deeper into the gravity well of a black hole (that is, nearer to it), that time slows down relative to the 'outside' Universe - that is, what seems like minutes for you might be 10,000 years to everyone else.

    So, if that is the case, wouldn't it take a very long time for *anything* to fall into a Black Hole, relative to outside observers?

    1. Re:Relativity? by omnichad · · Score: 1

      Well, relative to outside observers, sure. But we *are* outside observers. So we would see it happening very quickly relative to an observer on the planet.

    2. Re:Relativity? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Isn't it possible that you go in so darn fast that it doesn't take 10,000 years for everyone else?

  79. Captured planet? by JSBiff · · Score: 2, Informative

    There could be other explanations. . . maybe the planet wasn't originally part of that star system, but was a rogue planet that got 'captured' when it got too close to that star, relatively recently?

  80. I'm no astronomer but... by ILuvRamen · · Score: 1

    I'm no astronomer but...
    It could have impacted with a moon or other planet recently and became that large not to mention had its orbit altered from the impact energy
    It may have formed a lot later than planets typically do
    It may have some unusual sized moon(s) with strange orbit(s) that keep it stable at that distance

    I mean come on, there are things that could cause this exact condition. It's not "impossible"

    --
    Google's Super Secret Search Algorithm: SELECT @search_results FROM internet WHERE @search_results = 'good'
  81. Nothing to see here by zaanan · · Score: 1

    Since we have already determined that the origins of the universe, stars, planets, life, etc. can all be categorized under "chance", stuff like this shouldn't surprise us. Maybe we should be surprised when we look at something and aren't surprised.

  82. I would fund that project by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But honestly, destroying mankind with massive space rocks must be illegal or something.

  83. OT: fleet of worlds by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's the reason the Puppeteers created their "Fleet of Worlds": Their own industrial heat generation warmed their homeworlds well enough that they neither needed solar energy, nor desired it.

    <pedantic>The Puppeteers created their Klemperer rosette to have more living space. They turned it into a Fleet of Worlds so that they could run from the exploding core of the galaxy. Some of the Puppeteer worlds were not industrialized but agricultural, to feed the Puppeteers on the other planets. The agricultural worlds needed artificial light sources for the crops to grow.</pedantic>

    1. Re:OT: fleet of worlds by idontgno · · Score: 1

      Larry Niven begs to differ, Pedantic Coward:

      History and Politics

      It is theorised by Known Space scientists that the greatest problem faced by any advancing civilisation is not economics, health, or safety, but heat. Heat is produced by any suffienciently industrialised race in great amounts, and eventually the heat threatens the ecology of the planet, which in turn threatens the lives of everything on the world. Expansion to other systems is not a solution since the heat problems are merely carried from world to world.

      The Puppeteers faced this dilemma early in their star-faring history. A Conservative faction ruled at the time, and they were forced to hear insane proposals from the Experimentalists. The Conservatives relinquished control of the seat of government to the other party. The Puppeteer homeworld was moved away from its sun to dissipate the heat, and four farming worlds were terraformed, seeded, and placed in convenient orbits.

      The Fleet of Worlds was formed to readjust the heat balance of their homeworld. The only living space the Puppeteers have is their one world. The agricultural worlds weren't living space. If I recall, they were populated solely by machines. (Who would be crazy enough to migrate there? And live there practically alone? A sane Puppeteer needs Puppeteer company. An entire extended herd of it. A population density sufficient to content a sane Puppeteer would turn an agricultural world into another world-wide Puppeteer city.)

      --
      Welcome to the Panopticon. Used to be a prison, now it's your home.
  84. Drat by meerling · · Score: 1

    So that's where I parked it... Now where did I put my keys...

    >^_^<

  85. pride and stubbornness by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    they have their positives and negatives ;-)

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  86. Where UFOs come from by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It is due to UFOs;they are hold the planet back from falling into the star and they are researching how to reverse the process. More anal probing of humans will reveal the solution quickly!

  87. The sample by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Statistics 101 - is the sample of 300-something planets representative for all (1000000000000000000000 or something) planets?

    No. Only this is the kind of planet that is unusual enough to be detected using current methods.

    Conclusion: We know how to find weird planets. They will likely be a drop in the ocean when methods improve.

  88. Maybe their calculations are wrong...! by hesaigo999ca · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Maybe the way they think to calculate the orbit, size, or even longevity of a planet might be wrong, lending to the assumption that this SHOULD NOT BE. But it is...here is a plain fact...many variables in the universe have yet to be figured out...and many still have room for change. The fact remains, this should not be, so it isn't either they saw wrong or calculated wrong, but which ever it is, we are FAR
    from being close to having a good science to judge what is "OUT THERE"!

    ps- How about we develop the capability to travel out into space without costing billions each time, and then maybe we can start looking at getting a clue how to calculate distances of planets belonging to another solar system 400 light years away...eyh?

  89. Missed the typo by aardwolf64 · · Score: 1

    Add a typo in the headline of the dupe story, and you've got it spot on...

  90. consumed by its parent by ezzthetic · · Score: 1

    I've heard that hamsters do this.

    Is it possible there's some sort of link?

    --
    You know what they say about opinions. They're all fabulous!
  91. Maybe we're just getting better at this? by SL+Baur · · Score: 1

    "This planet should spiral inwards on such a short time scale that the likelihood of seeing it is very low," said Coel Hellier, an astrophysicist at Keele.

    Oh ye of little faith ...

    Maybe we're just getting better at observing our surroundings?

  92. Inteligence by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Maybe it's not possible by natural causes, but we can think in artificial causes.
    We could have here a proof of foreign inteligence.

    We have to solve why a civilization would keep a planet so close to their star, I could suggest one:

    Power. When we increase our power needs we need to innovate on the power sources. We are doing that right now. Our main source of power is the SUN, it's here in each of our activities. It's consuming tons of hydrogen and if we could use them we would be a new type of civilization.

    So, we could find here a new civilization getting their power.

    1. Re:Inteligence by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I love it. And coming from a post labeled "Inteligence."

    2. Re:Inteligence by blackorzar · · Score: 1
      Dr. Michio Kaku exposed a similar idea on his "The Physics of Extraterrestrial Civilizations"

      You can find it here: http://mkaku.org/home/?page_id=246

      It's a little science+fiction, but it's anyway a great reading.

      ,

      He states that:

      "(...) Berkeley astronomer Don Goldsmith reminds us that the earth receives about one billionth of the suns energy, and that humans utilize about one millionth of that. So we consume about one million billionth of the suns total energy. At present, our entire planetary energy production is about 10 billion billion ergs per second."

      ,

      and also, he suggests that we have to search for a combination of a star and a planet with great infrared emissions:

      "Eventually, after several thousand years, a Type I civilization will exhaust the power of a planet, and will derive their energy by consuming the entire output of their suns energy, or roughly a billion trillion trillion ergs per second. With their energy output comparable to that of a small star, they should be visible from space. Dyson has proposed that a Type II civilization may even build a gigantic sphere around their star to more efficiently utilize its total energy output . Even if they try to conceal their existence, they must, by the Second Law of Thermodynamics, emit waste heat. From outer space, their planet may glow like a Christmas tree ornament. Dyson has even proposed looking specifically for infrared emissions (rather than radio and TV) to identify these Type II civilizations."

      ,

      Finally from the original article we see a theory i want to add to this reasoning:

      "One possibility is that Wasp-18, a sunlike, medium-sized star, is a thousand times less energetic than would be expected. That would mean it produces much less friction on the planet than normal."

      ,

      Why this star has a thousand times less energy than it should have?

  93. Failed dual star system? by werfu · · Score: 1

    Nobody thought that this could be a dual star system in with the "planet" a failed star that didn't had enough energy to start burning or didn't had enough hydrogen. I thought that two body in space that had the same mass could orbit a central point in perfect equilibrium without ever touching themselves. If the star is light and the planet has a lot of heavy elements in its composition, than it could explain this.

  94. Mathematical Breakthrough by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It is now mathematical proven that the decelerating force that affected the Pioneer probes and the accelerating force that had caused many Fly-by anomalies:
    1.) Both affect the Earth (and the planets) as well, - and with full force.
    2.) Automatically equalize each other (when affecting the planets).
    3.) This explains the cause of the WASP-18b mystery and all the probes anomalies as well.

    http://www.science27.com/english/the_pioneer_anomaly.html