Bruce Schneier On Airport Security
the4thdimension writes "Bruce Schneier has an opinion piece on CNN this morning that illustrates his view on airport security. Given that he has several books on security, his opinion carries some weight. In the article, Bruce discusses the rarity of terrorism, the pitfalls of security theater, and the actual difficulty surrounding improving security. What are your thoughts? Do you think that we can actually make air travel (and any other kind of travel, for that matter) truly secure?"
no
Terrorists are like fools, they will always build a better one.
How about we treat the problem instead of the symptom. Give them something to loose or care about. When you have nothing you have nothing to loose.
Nope. "Truly secure" means defended infinitely well from all risks, which implies infinite cost. The minority of us adults who are mentally adult understand that everything is a cost/benefit tradeoff and nothing justifies the effort to render it "truly secure".
To be sure, an individual's own life is worth very very much to him, and he is free to spend his money on protection, but that's not the context of this discussion. The context of this discussion is how much wealth should the tribe expend protecting its assets (including its members, none of whom are infinitely valuable).
FATMOUSE + YOU = FATMOUSE
Is to either remove all people from flights, or somehow put them all into a coma for the duration of the flight.
I tried to think of a good sig, and this wasn't it.
I have another discussion on this very topic going here: The Terrorists Are Winning. Please steal anything from it for this discussion, because in the end I just want to see the situation fixed.
Shh.
Given that he has several books on security, his opinion carries some weight.
I'm a developer, does that mean I can work in real estate?
Always proofread carefully to see if you any words out.
Hurry, black bag him before he tells everyone the truth! Copyright Infringement! DMCA! Trade Secret! Terrorism! Something! Quick!
The answer: No.
The sooner most people grow and learn that "Shit Happens (tm)" and that no one can every prepare for every eventuality, the better. The "Security Theatre" is just a new opening for corrupt politicans and power-hungry individuals to remove more freedom from people.
Benjamin Franklin said it best when he said "Any society that would give up a little liberty to gain a little security will deserve neither and lose both."
If our elected representatives no longer represent us, do we still live in a Democracy?
Terrorism is the smallest of security problems for air craft. The greatest issue is the rapid delivery of diseases from all corners of the world which threatens all of us all of the time. For example a common flu strain will easily kill far more people than we lost on 9/11. Rarer strains could wipe out millions.
The simple answer is to allow far less travel even inside our borders. International flights should be extremely limited. That will not only insure better health and safety but will also diminish the availability of air craft to terrorists as well.
Nations such as the old USSR that restricted travel were not totally wrong in that policy.
No. There will never be a time when anything is "truly secure" only more secure. We can make air travel safer and indeed most people have already taken a few of the steps necessary by instinct. 9/11 changed peoples' mindset about hijackings in general and now it is far more dangerous for people who hijack a plane. If the passengers have even a suspicion that anything like what happened on 9/11 is taking place, they will act accordingly.
Sigs are too short to say anything truly profound so read the above post instead.
"Given that he has several books on security, his opinion carries some weight"
I find that his credibility stems form something other than "volumes in his bibliography".
Is that anything like "Libraries of Congress"?
"That guy is really credible, look at that VIB number!"
Terrorists prefer easy targets. This is much less likely if they have to assume the plane (or bus.. or train) might be full of people carrying weapons.
No.. I'm not an NRA activist or a 'gun wacko'. I don't even own a firearm, but I do know that people used to carry guns on planes and that the stupidity with hijacking actually went up when passengers were required to disarm. I'd like to see terrorists run the risk of being shot dead in order to carry out their idiocy.
> Given that he has several books on security, his opinion carries some weight.
One would hope that experts be judged by quality rather than quantity.
Bruce Schneier has earned street cred in the industry over many years of work. He knows security top-to-bottom, cryptography to psychology to economy.
Once in a while some media outlets decide to air an actual competent professional instead of a fud-mongering buffoon, and people in the industry send them to Bruce.
. . .simply, that as far as the TSA and similar efforts go, the Emperor not only has no clothes, nobody ever remotely NEAR him has a stitch on.
About the only people doing airline security right are the Israelis, and their model only works because of the relatively limited scope of El Al's operations.
The Christmas Day "panty bombing" showed cascade failures in the intelligence and investigation systems that are the only effective methods of defense against terrorism.
In a RATIONAL world, **one** terrorism flag (i.e. one-way ticket, buying with cash, no luggage, watch list, etc) would yield pulling the passenger aside and "enhanced investigation": two flags, and the person is getting a very thorough body and luggage search, and three or more flags, it's grab the latex gloves, because it's a strip-search and fine-tooth comb search through luggage and posessions.
But, alas, because some people don't bother checking, or reporting (assuming it's their job to do so. . .) in a timely matter, really obvious cases are allowed to pass, and the aftermath of Enhanced Security Theater does nothing but inconvenience the public, and potentially cause so much noise as to effectively mask any REAL events or dry-runs in progress. . .
Yes, we can probably make air travel completely secure, or very nearly so. The problem is that the level of scrutiny that would require would make air travel too expensive for anyone to afford and so unpleasant that even those rich enough to afford it would be unwilling to undergo it.
That said, there's room for progress, but odds are we won't see any. We'll just see more nonsensical, ineffective rules and more numerous pissing contests with the semi-literate thugs they hire for airport security.
Proud member of the Weirdo-American community.
“I feel better with the heightened security because I feel safe,” said Belisle, who was flying to Washington, D.C., to visit her son in Virginia.
Source: my local newspaper this morning. We call it security theatre. It's annoying, wasteful, ineffective in our minds. For much of the world, it's a teddy bear that keeps the closet monsters away. People just feel better.
SIG: HUP
It should be possible to detect signatures of typical types of explosives. The same goes for luggage.
Then you just have to scorch the earth of areas surrounding airports to avoid SAM missile rockets.
Of course, only idiots try to blow up planes. The planning that goes into blowing up a plane could easily go into taking down a bridge or elevated footpath.
After a few generations, they will be defeated by mean words and harsh glances.
"When somebody can commit an atrocity and no laws are changed as a result, only then will I agree that we have achieved maturity as a society."
I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
Roughly 16,000 people were killed by automobiles in the first six months of this year. Roughly 22,000 were killed by preventable medical errors. If we crashed two or three 747s per week, we still wouldn't be at that level of deaths. If the money we waste on TSA were spent elsewhere, we'd be ahead of the game.
Now look at how many people die every year from other causes.
If you are in the USofA, you are more likely to be killed by someone in your own family than by a terrorist.
But that is the problem.
Because terrorism is so rare, when it happens it is covered in the newspapers, on TV, on the radio, etc. Repeatedly. For weeks.
The FAA has a pretty good record of making travel via commercial aircraft truly safe. But their adversaries are aircraft and flight control systems, and all the various ways those can malfunction.
The TSA has an equivalent job, but terrorists, as stupid as some of them are, are a good bit brighter than airplanes, and they're self-destructive to boot. So perfect security is unlikely to happen until terrorists go away.
We need to learn *as a country* what cost/benefit analysis means, and how to use it on the terrorism problem.
Finally the right idea. Why should we gift-wrap defenseless sheep for the bad guys?
The flight was never in any danger. The so-called "bomber" had the explosive equivalent of a box of matches, which he used to great effect to castrate himself in the most embarrassing, painful, and self-destructive manner possible. The proper response to seeing someone light his own underwear on fire is to laugh, not panic.
If there was a overarching strategy, it was to put "Al Qaeda" back on the front page as part of a new recruitment effort and to disrupt American commerce. With only the tiniest of nudges, Americans are once again demanding to have their civil liberties destroyed, freedom of travel curtailed, billions of dollars to be spent in self-defeating and paralytic "security" measures. Air travel in the US is now a self-inflicted nightmare. It does not need to be this way.
If there really is an "Al Qaeda," its most effective tool is the TSA. The American taxpayer has spent billions of dollars to build "Al Qaeda" from a rag-tag group of forty guys living in caves into a globe-spanning super-spy network more powerful than the CIA. All based on a one-time event that was solved nine years ago by simply locking the cockpit doors.
I wonder if this is what it was like to live through the McCarthy "Red Scare" era? We are far beyond that now.
For some insight on suicide bomber culture, see Syriana. Extensive training and brainwashing for months. Similar to Army training... very methodical and efficient. Another similarity, the suicide bombers are the poor and desperate of their own country, their innocence and faith taken advantage of by people with their own agenda and ulterior motives.
Bruce points out that the no fly list only gets checked when you purchase the ticket, and your ID isn't checked when you actually use it. For example, bad guy steals a credit card and buys a ticket under a fake name. That gets him a valid ticket and avoids the no fly list
Next, the bad guy takes a boarding pass and modifies it in photoshop to show his real name, and uses that fake boarding pass along with his real id to get through airport screening. Security checks if his id matches the name on the boarding pass, but they never check the computer to see if the name is on the no fly list or even if the boarding pass is valid.
Finally, the bad guy can rip up the fake boarding pass and use the real boarding pass purchased with the stolen credit card at the gate and gets on the plane. Notice throughout the whole process, nobody checked if the bad guy's id against the no fly list?
A simple way to accomplish the clothing aspect is to disallow us to wear clothes on an airplane. Of course, the flying naked idea wouldn't fly. So why not provide us with a flight uniform that is made from some easily scanned material so if you're wearing clothes, it would be easy to tell. That way, no naked scanners. No puff tests. No shoes. Then when we're off the flight, collect our luggage, change our clothes and get on our way. Not allowing bags or clothes and such on the plane would be best.
Just removing the ridiculous security checks and allowing us to continue living a life of liberty would be best, even if some people die.
Replace the TSA with a bunch of Israeli screeners. They manage to do a good job without inconveniencing legitimate travelers.
I find it odd that there are people who feel more safe when they take off their shoes. Whenever I've gone somewhere where they pat me down and check me with a metal detector wand, it makes me feel like someone is going to shoot me inside there. I feel more vulnerable.
I recently went to a rollerskating rink where I was wanded and patted down by a police officer. Of course he didn't even check my skates which has more than enough room for a hand gun. Metal detector and pat down at a skate rink, perhaps I shouldn't be here. Did I feel safe there? Not at all, it did the opposite.
Is to either remove all people from flights, or somehow put them all into a coma for the duration of the flight.
Actually, the plane could still crash due to mechanical failure, pilot stupidity (including other pilots not looking where they're going), unexpected bad weather, or collision with large birds.
Have you followed the latest terrorist attempt? The guy comes from a rich family and was given the chance to study in the west with every western luxury and with every western freedom.
And yet, he did become a terrorist.
So what more do you want to give him?
And Osama? Member of one of the richest families in the world.
Let go of your racists ideas that everyone not living in the west is piss poor.
No starving child has ever committed a terrorist attack, they are to busy dying.
Check the red army brigade (german terrorist group) plenty of them coming from well to do families.
Check the US terrorists who blow up abortion clinics, lynched blacks or the guy that did Oklahoma. Is there a single piss-poor individual among them?
MMO Quests are like orgasms:
You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.
The bad guy at the back of the plane will draw first. So that means probably one person dead no matter what.
Then the good guys in the front of the plane turn and see everyone behind the bad guy with their guns drawn. How are they supposed to identify the bad guy in that split second?
Meanwhile, the other bad guy at the front of the plane starts firing at the people at the back of the plane so they return fire, hitting the good guys at the front of the plane. And the good guys at the front of the plane return fire on the good guys at the back of the plane.
Everyone ends up dead and the bad guys only had to fire a few shots.
Airport security is stupid. I fail to see the logic of having a guard search my rear end in case I am one of the 1 in 10 billion airport travelers that decides to carry a bomb, so that I can get run over by a girl talking on her cell phone on my way home from the airport.
Americans have no way of measuring or comparing risks, and honestly I think every interest group wants it that way.
This is my sig.
Stowaways, hidden explosives on board, sabotage, anti-aircraft systems, use of military aircraft to attack civilian ones...
Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
Secure travel is about as likely as secure software.
Some idiot savant will poke a hole in whatever protection you put in place.
T
How are they supposed to identify the bad guy in that split second?
He will be the brownish-blackish male speaking bad English or chanting/babbling in some foreign tongue.
Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
If your name is on a no-fly list, you send a different guy who's name is not on the list.
If you cannot find someone who's name is not on the list, you buy guns and go on a shooting rampage inside the terminal where all the other travelers are standing in line, holding their shoes.
The terminal closes and all the flights are re-directed to other landing strips. If you pick the terminal right and the day right, you pretty much shut down all travel in that sector.
The USA has declared for several years a "War on Terror". The USA (and many other nations to be fair) is a state that fears visitors bringing their own nail scissors to its shores. The USA is seriously thinking of asking people to keep their hands in view and not visit the toilet 60 minutes before arriving as this is seen as a real threat to its national security.
These actions don't seem rational to me. The country with a military spend ten times greater than the next largest country, probably with a military the size of most of the rest of the world is scared of individuals approaching its shores bearing nail scissors? These seem to be the action of a terrified, irrational people and nation. Therefore, if the USA (and others) have declared a War on Terror*, then the USA being terrified means the emotion Terror has won. What happens now?
*I would note that I have a problem with the concept "War on Terror" as I don't see how you can declare a war on a human emotion. Is it possible to have a "War on Joy" for example? Perhaps you could declare a "War on preventing terror in Americans" and find ways of stopping Americans being terrified but I think this would be a tricky task. A lot of people are quite frightened of spiders in their bath tubs after all.
I think "War on Terror" is short for "War on people who use non-conventional forms of warfare against us that do not declare war on us as a sovereign nation" but I fear that this is difficult to bound in any way so actually means "permanent warfare against any individual or group that we, by our definitions, define as guilty of violent action against us and/or a threat to us at any time in the future". If it is not against another sovereign state, can war be declared, and can it be agreed to be ceased? References really welcomed to any well written definitions on what a "War on Terror" means. I'd really love to find some well argued definitions.
Listen up, pal. I don't know who you've been talking to, but the media isn't here to report facts or put news in perspective. We're here to sell ads. If we don't blow everything out of proportion around the clock, what is going to keep you glued to our 24 hour news^W entertainment cycle?
Since the plane in this latest attack flew from outside the US I expect the next measure will be video interviews by US-based security personal before you are allowed into a plane heading to the US.
The regular, non swine, flu kills 25K-32K a year according to the CDC.
I find being offended by me offensive.
Once you separate the people (i.e. their bodies) from everything else the chances of them doing anything that could threaten an airplane drop dramatically. Short of ingesting some sort of explosive, in large enough quantities to make a hole in a plane there aren't many other ways to do damage.
However, all that will happen then is that the baddies will find other ways to cause fear: such as targeting easier forms of transport, IEDs beside motorways for example.
politicians are like babies' nappies: they should both be changed regularly and for the same reasons
Only the NATO alliance and then primarily it's biggest member, the USA, carries out false-flag terrorist attacks against it's own citizens using aircraft. Don't travel to the US and you're pretty much safe, stay out of the NATO alliance and you're flying with no chance of being killed by your government in a false-flag terror attack.
9/11: Never forget it was a false-flag operation
And how many were killed by guns in america? At a guess, the same number as road fatalities.
(if this doesn't get neg'd out of existence I'll be amazed)
politicians are like babies' nappies: they should both be changed regularly and for the same reasons
He's gonna get the 400 pound guy with the flab slabs and the man-boobs instead.
General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
Because guns always point to the bad guys, right?
No. They don't.
The people holding the guns won't be able to tell who the bad guy is because they will not have seen him start shooting. They will pull their guns and point them in the direction they think the bad guy is.
Which will be towards the passengers in front of them. Which is what those passengers will see when they look behind them.
I think the biggest mistake that we appear to make is that we think these people attempting to pull of these attacks are dumb. I think we grossly underestimate their intelligence, almost as if it's dangerous or anti-American to think of them as smart and very capable. In response to their failed attempts, we institute rules that'll potentially prevent that specific attempt in the future, and any person of average intelligence can see how absurd it is to think that will make us any safer, as if there's not a thousand other ways to commit such an act. In turn, that makes us look absolutely foolish. Shouldn't we at least try to look like we're outsmarting them?
"They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety."
Naked? Restrained? Forget it!
One could easily conceal a few 100 grams of explosives in your rectum, possible including a timed device. Or even have it operated inside your body with the detornator disguised as a pacemaker or some implant. Whats the official plan to avoid that?
It's not like they plan to get away unharmed anyway, so why not use the whole body as the bomb? Of course, it's going to be a little hard to explain if it fails ;-)
We try to fight terrorism with all of these complex scanners, policies, laws, procedures just like the war on terror.. Meanwhile they use very simplistic means to thwart our security, blow up our stuff and even eavesdrop into our predator drones with simple approaches and little investment. We're not dealing with idiots as much as our egos in this country would have us believe and thats where the problem begins. There is such a thing as being overconfident.
There are many points of failure in all of our current security in this country, at the borders, in the airports, by sea, by land, by air there are many ways for someone to get into this country. Our own watch lists fail at preventing people from getting in. The only way to effectively reduce terrorism is not to provide opportunities where there is a gap or lack of security. Apparently the TSA and other agencies don't test there own policies. If they hired actual people that could think of every way possible to thwart dogs, scanners, bomb sniffers, security pat downs etc. We might actually have some "real" security. Politicians and other pencil pushers can think all they want about laws and adding layers of security but until you take a group of thinking people with a reward attached to it and say thwart our security (much like the hacker contests) your not going to have a true test until someone actually commits an act of terrorism.
Just off the top of my head some simple examples of where security could be thwarted...(and I'm just an average civilian)
What is to stop someone from swallowing bomb making materials and then taking laxatives just before boarding a 8 hour or more flight (much the same as cocaine smugglers)?
What procedurs are in place to check prosthetic limbs such as legs or arms for containing bomb making materials or weapons ?
The easy solution is to seperate the passengers from the cargo.
Make everyone go into a room with security guards present when they arrive at the airport where they remove all clothing and then put on a airport supplied white robe (or whatever color) there clothes are put in a bag which is then run through the xray machine and those clothes are put with the rest of there baggage on a seperate plane designated as a cargo only plane. People are not allowed any of their baggage until after they arrive at there destination.
Yes it would be two planes but they could be smaller more efficient ones as they are carrying half as much weight as they normally do. Heck they could eveb fly faster or longer without refuel since they are lighter. For all the captialists out there this could be coordinated with UPS, USPS, FEDEX or DHL to transport baggage.
No one is going to bother blowing up a cargo plane. The only things left that someone could do using this method would be swallowing something or sticking it someplace or using a prosthetic limb or spraying something on themselves that reacts chemically with something else however dogs or sensors should pick this up as residue of some sort would exist.
However IMHO I think we should concentrate on making food or the environment safer since more an more people seem to be dying of heart issues now more then ever or making vehicles and roads more safe as many more individuals die from car crashes each year then what a single act of terrorism can accomplish. But we will keep pumping billions into the war machine (Security Theater) to save a flight of several hundred passengers. I personally value life in general but everything these days is in terms of cost vs benefit perspective. We're not getting our monies worth on many things including health care but no fear our saviours (politicians) will keep spending our money for us on these things as they always find the greatest deals to spend tax dollars on putting the country further in debt, all in our best interest of course (sarcasm).
I ran into Bruce Schneier at an airport once. While we were waiting for a plane, I asked him if he would show me a "cool computer trick". He popped the RAM out of my laptop and quickly tasted the edge with the gold leads. He then told me that at 11:23pm the previous night I had visited ideepthroat.com with Firefox. Damn he's good.
"a rewrite of an older article of [his]".
Most of the piece, clearly, isn't specific to this attack... but I think that's actually his point here: he didn't *have to* write a fresh piece for this, since the problem hasn't really changed, *just* because this particular guy wore Semtex boxers on a plane.
The problem is what it always is, and Security Theatre isn't going to change it.
*I* tend to think that what Bruce ought to do is to write one or more general circulation pieces on the issue, explaining the underlying background even more deeply than he generally does, and sell them to Popular Mechanics. And GQ. And Playboy. And The Atlantic. Etc....
Schneier's been saying most of these things in similar articles for years now, and I can only hope it eventually is taken seriously.
As it happens, you're wrong -- total gun deaths, about 3000/year in the U.S., including crap like gang shootings (which account for around half of 'em, last I heard).
Contrast that to somewhere around 30,000 auto-related deaths, and 100,000 deaths caused by physicians' errors.
Clearly, we need to ban doctors!
~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
Bruce Schneier knows Alice and Bob's shared secret.
Most people use passwords. Some people use passphrases. Bruce Schneier uses an epic passpoem, detailing the life and works of seven mythical Norse heroes.
Bruce Schneier's secure handshake is so strong, you won't be able to exchange keys with anyone else for days.
Bruce Schneier once decrypted a box of AlphaBits.
Vs lbh nfxrq Oehpr Fpuarvre gb qrpelcg guvf, ur'q pehfu lbhe fxhyy jvgu uvf ynhtu.
Bruce Schneier writes his books and essays by generating random alphanumeric text of an appropriate length and then decrypting it.
Bruce Schneier knows the state of schroedinger's cat
If we built a Dyson sphere around Bruce Schneier and captured all of his energy for 2 months, without any loss, we could power an ideal computer running at 3.2 degrees K to count up to 2^256. This strongly implies that not only can Bruce Schneier brute-force attack 256-bit keys, but that he is built of something other than matter and occupies something other than space.
When Bruce Schneier observes a quantum particle, it remains in the same state until he has finished observing it.
Though a superhero, Bruce Schneier disdanes the use of a mask or secret identity as 'security through obscurity'.
Utilizing the synergization of benchmark e-solutions to pre-workaround action items!
Planes have been demonstrated to be used as weapons of mass destruction. Laugh at that if you want, but you'd have to be one sick, narcissistic fuck to think that's humorous. Should we really allow airlines to pickup lightly screened passengers out of Yemen by the busload and fly them into our country just because that's the business model they chose? Should we really outlaw intrusive screening because you're uptight about the possibility that some dork behind the scanner will chuckle at your beer gut and your low hanging balls?
Get real. There is absolutely an overriding state interest in ensuring that planes are not commandeered by terrorists and are not taken down by terrorists over densely populated areas, if nothing else because it is charged with the protection of the life and property of those on the ground in the paths of these flights. Requiring intrusive screening techniques and requiring that passengers keep their hands visible and their laps unobstructed are entirely reasonable as short-term measures until a full reevaluation can be completed.
Flying is a privilege, not a right. Security of life and property, is a right, and you do not get to endanger my life and property for your own preference for convenience or privacy in exercise of the privilege of flying.
Close to the number people who were killed by people wanting to kill someone that had a gun available as one of their means of doing so?
Do you think that we can actually make air travel (and any other kind of travel, for that matter) truly secure?
Isn't it already as secure as anything else?
Swedish plasma phys. PhD student; MSc EE; knows maths, programming, electronics; finance interest; seeks opportunities
Do you think that we can actually make air travel (and any other kind of travel, for that matter) truly secure?
Yes, just stop taking the oil and other resources from foreign countries like locusts.
Schneier is right, as always.
Politicians always react to one specific attack, and just do something to make people feel more secure, not to actually improve security. Many of these actions just limit the freedom or conflict with peoples privacy, which ironically makes most people think they are more secure.
He who sacrifices freedom for security deserves neither. -- Benjamin Franklin
Sheesh so serious all the time.
I think the answer is quite clear, BAN PHOTOSHOP NOW! Or the terrorists will win
I find it interesting that this stance in the piece - which I agree with - is opposite that of computer and network security. In computer security we defend against every attack vector because trying to unravel motivations and possible sources is a waste of time (although I am sure someone is doing it). There is a neat write up about this over at ATW: http://www.pantos.org/atw/35703.html (see relying on attacker's motivations).
I think he is going senile, since clearly he has forgotten the endless terrorists attacks on planes BEFORE security was raised. For the young ones, open your history books or even just watch Munich for an idea of how the world was before "security theater".
What is the point of all those armed guards walking about? Well because BEFORE they walked around, any attacked could just walk in and gun people down with the police on scene only having pistols and being far to thinly spread and airports typically being a long way away from the city centers where SWAT teams (which are themselves a new invention) operate.
Bruce Schneier seems to desire what most simple people desire, a magic solution that will fix everything. It is the Oprah Winfrey method of fixing problems and it only works in making her filthy rich. Check how many follow-ups she does. Check how badly her magic one-shot solutions work on her own life, like her weight.
He suggests several solutions, and shows how much of a racist he really is in the process:
Arabic translators. Eh, the latest attacker comes from Nigeria. There Berbers who speak Arabic but the individual is not one of them. Main language of Nigeria between all the various groups is English. Now I grant you, Americans would probably need translators to understand English but why does Bruce Schneier automatically link terrorism to the Arabic language? He complains after all about ordinary buildings becoming targets, like Oklahoma? Did that guy study Arabic?
He also suggests that better ties with the Islamic world (again with Islam) would prevent terrorism. Better ties like freedom to travel and study in the west? Exactly like what was given to the latest attacker? In fact, which of the 9/11 attackers was NOT allowed to freely travel and do anything they want in the west? Were they kept behind an iron curtain or welcomed with open arms?
So, we know that attack on aircraft were far more common BEFORE security increased. We also know that the most secured airline in the world (El Al) hasn't had any successful attacks.
So is there a link between security "theater" and the number of attacks? What you got to accept before you can answer this question is that not all attacks are the same. A soldier (and a terrorist would see him/herself as a soldier fighting for a cause) might accept the potential of death but few would want to throw it away. The men who landed at Omaha must have known the risks but if had asked the men that went into the boats to have half their number put in the boilers to fuel the passage across to an unopposed beach, they would have refused. Not all attacks that result in death are committed by suicide attackers.
The attacker will want a return on their investment (terror for a life) and just being shot after the first bullet being fired is not very terrorizing. It would just be another criminal.
Schneier is right that an attack could indeed come anywhere and that it is impossible to defend against them all. Your house could be hit by a tornado, so why do you have smoke alarms? A lock on your door is not going to stop a determined burglar, so why lock your door at all? Why even have a door?
England pre-WW2 was debating wether they needed all those farms that messed up the country side. It had a large empire and booming trade, surely it could import everything it needed. It could, until the war. The same argument is currently being held in Holland, get rid of all the farms and re-locate them to places with more space. Sensible, right up to the point that you can't ship things anymore. What exactly is an army for when you haven't used it in 60 years. Well because you don't get to say when you need one. Germany steam-rolled over europe because the other countries had not been ready.
And the thing about being ready is that you can't stop it. Because then you aren't ready. The US has vowed never to led its guard down again after Pearl Harbour but that comes at an enormous cost AND it might not be enough because the
MMO Quests are like orgasms:
You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.
The best sourced version I've been able to find, which makes important points that version does not, is
"They that would sacrifice essential liberty for a little temporary security deserve neither."
A survey of how and why you'd prefer to do would prolly indicate that people would rather be hit by lightning than blown up by terrorist even if the net result (death) is the same. Plus there is something worse about being killed to benefit someone else's cause, or by someone who meant you ill... and worse yet when it could have been prevented by some policy or procedure. Misguided or not, that's the case.
That said, i'd rather see more effort on killing/capturing these people before they get to us and ending the problems that inspire them to want to kill us.
Utilizing the synergization of benchmark e-solutions to pre-workaround action items!
First, I think people pigeonhole too much as just "security theatre", such as the liquids ban. In this instance, if there were no such ban, the guy may have brought on a gallon of explosives instead of what he could fit in his tightie-whities. Yes, there are hundreds of other ways to take down a plane than box-cutters or binary explosives, but it's naive to think that since we can't stop *everything* that we should just shrug and roll back *all* air-travel restrictions.
The same goes for the photo ID canard... sure, it's possible fake a photo ID, but such trivial checks make it more difficult for someone off the street to just walk out with unattended equipment or penetrate the local network. Is it going to stop a determined thief or terrorist... no, but it's not necessarily the intent. Even Bruce would have to concede that opportunistic-theft is statistically much more likely than movie-style heists.
Basic security is necessary in our society, not just for terror attacks, but for random acts of violence and theft. There's nothing wrong with checking up on people or reporting suspicious activity. We're not talking Patriot Act and black boot tactics, just "suspicious lump sums" and "neighorhood watch" type common sense. It's like security at Best Buy or Wal-Mart... sure, they may fail to prevent some merchandise from walking out the door, but without them, it would be open-season.
Now, on the other hand, I think he's got a solid point about the dangers of over-reacting and the resilience of an open-democracy. Our law enforcement and investigative branches are capable of pursuing the enemy, much better than our armed forces are. And finally, we need to spend more time and money supporting the first responders, so that they are well-prepared for the next major catastrophe -- be it man-made or natural.
Matt Slot / Bitwise Operator / Ambrosia Software, Inc.
Good point. Wikipedia says 40k people per year die in car accidents. Every year. I'm finding conflicting stats for heart disease, but everyone seems to have it up over 400k per year. Some of that probably isn't preventable, but some of it probably is. I think there's something like 60k deaths per year from flu. That's just the normal flu. Another couple-hundred thousand deaths from tobacco (though that probably overlaps with heart disease, but still...).
While we worry about terrorists and heroin and AIDS and swine flu, we're being killed in much greater numbers by other things. Not that we shouldn't worry about AIDS and the swine flu, but *some* perspective is warranted. It reminds me of the Joker's speech in the hospital in "The Dark Knight":
You know what I noticed? Nobody panics when things go "according to plan," even if the plan is horrifying. If tomorrow I tell the press that, like, a gang-banger will get shot or a truckload of soldiers will be blown up, nobody panics because it's all "part of the plan." But when I say that one little old mayor will die, well then everyone loses their minds!
Not quite the same thing, but nobody gets freaked out about 40k people dying every single year in car accidents because we think it's just supposed to work that way. People still drive around recklessly as though they're playing Need for Speed. Hundreds of thousands can die from preventable diseases every year and we see no problem with it. Calls to regulate the food industry at all are seen as horrible infringements on our freedom. But have a couple thousand people die one year in a freak accident or a terrorist attack, and suddenly everyone loses their minds. Suddenly we should all give up our privacy and our freedoms for counter-terrorist measures. Suddenly we should accept suspensions of habeas corpus.
This epic comment raises a couple of questions. Who would win these fights?
It isn't that we allow any random person to walk onboard with a firearm, it's that we allow the airlines to manage their own security. This would likely result in the total elimination of terrorist events on planes at a substantially reduced cost. These companies are multi-billion dollar firms that are threatened every time some poor indigent person who happen to be born in a country suppressed by the U.S. wants to put a final end to his PTSD, and they're not going to be run by congressman trying to send pork projects to some random place in the U.S. They'll take real actions to provide real results since they know that they'll lose tons of business if they don't because their competition won't be making the same mistake.
I once took an excursion to Reddit, and later HN. Unlimited up/down voting sucks when dealing with a hive-mind.
The sooner most people grow and learn that "Shit Happens (tm)" and that no one can every prepare for every eventuality, the better.
I agree with this statement generally. However you need to realize that there are a large number of people with buckets of shit who will quite happily rain it upon you when it becomes easy enough to do so. People like to point out the chance of being killed in a terrorist attack is really low - the solution then is not to raise the odds until it's more likely to be killed by terrorism than even X you are comparing odds with,
This is where I think Bruce misses the mark, he claims there are very few people willing to blow themselves up. Iraq/Afghanistan shows us plainly this is not true. What people are not willing to do, is to enter in a plan they think has little chance of success. You can find a lot of martyrs but not a lot of patsies.
So the real problem is, what security measures actually have some, vs. no, effect. I would argue a lot of the things prohibited or new rules being put in place (like not being able to tell passengers the name of landmarks out the window!) have as close to zero percent chance of preventing any attack as to make no difference. These rules, should all be abolished or re-thought. All rules need careful risk assessment applied to say, is this really helping or is it just there because one guy did one thing and it was the first thing we thought of to stop that?
The "Security Theatre" is just a new opening for corrupt politicans and power-hungry individuals to remove more freedom from people.
Now this I think is unfair, the rules are put in place by committees of people that really are looking to make people safer but with little understanding or concern for the well-being of all the people who are not terrorists, or at least that aspect gets lost in the process. They also show no understanding of how they can leverage or rely on fellow air travelers who are indeed more than happy to help with air security by detaining people as they act.
"Security Theater" is a term Bruce and others like to throw around a lot to dismiss the efforts to improve security. And yet they ignore the very real value of illusion in warfare throughout the years. As I noted there are a lot of people perfectly willing to blow themselves up, but they are not throwing themselves at plane travel because they THINK they will get caught and not be able to carry out the plan. As we can see from the attack that's not really as true as they think, but large number of people still think it's really hard to work around the system and so they do not try.
Benjamin Franklin said it best when he said "Any society that would give up a little liberty to gain a little security will deserve neither and lose both."
And here's the term that is most overused of all, and the least well understood. Yes if you give up a little liberty for the gain of a little security you deserve neither. But what about the gain of a LOT of security for a little liberty? When the equation is far more asymmetric is it not also more compelling?
This is why my thinking that the end game of airport security is this - full body scans, mandatory ID to board planes. But not like todays world of scans - you stand on a platform for 10 seconds with your carryon in hand, and the device scans all of you along with your boarding pass. No human looks at the scan, no human asks you what you have - you just go on your way. Computers (not humans) analyze the image for potential issues, and flag people for more complete screening before you actually board. Then you as a traveler have no delay, but you still basically catch most people trying to bring a bomb of any size aboard a plane, and you still have the current aspect of not as many people willing to even try an attack because they think the magic box will get them. People are against showing ID to board a plane but it's what it's going to have to come down to in the end, because the reality is this
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
There's got to be a reason. Why commercial aircraft? In spite of all the failures in the system, and the gaps when it does function, they're much harder targets than most places. If my goal was to kill lots of people spectacularly, I'm sure it would be easier to use a lower powered bomb and just drive it into a daycare center at pick up time. It seems like a good question to ask, and I've heard very few answers that seem to make sense.
Moderation : -1 Conservative Viewpoint
Your post brought to mind this old gem from the late 1970s:
=====
It beats you with a stick and tells you, "Your spirits are REJOICING!"
So off you go, muttering to yourselves, "Our spirits are rejoicing, our spirits are rejoicing..."
-- Milwaukee Symphony Orchestra program notes re the Shastikovich 5th symphony
=====
As you essentially point out, the "War on Terror" is becoming yet another variant of "The beatings will continue until morale improves".
~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
Actually the number is about 4-5x times that. I am remembering 14,000, but you can find a breakdown on the NRA site (http://www.vpc.org/nrainfo/phil.html): 11,920 firearms homicides in the USA in 2003.
Bruce tries to make a case that "movie theater" attacks are all the government plans for and that in some way we OVERPLAN and think about such attacks. He also states that we need better intelligence and to look at the "little stuff" and be smarter about security, sure that makes sense. But movie theater attacks are over emphasized?
Bruce, here's where you are missing the point. On 911 the largest "movie theater" attack ever was executed. Do you think this was a fluke? Do you not think that they'd do this again, every day, if they could? You my friend are missing the point. Sure, smaller types of attacks are likely to be more common, but not nearly as impactful. You miss the forest for the trees. Preventing another 911 is top priority. 911 killed thousands, greatly disrupted the world economy and led to even further deaths and destruction due to necessasary retaliation.
Don't get so caught up in the little stuff that you miss the bigger picture. We can't afford another 911.
Batman.
Utilizing the synergization of benchmark e-solutions to pre-workaround action items!
Government money doesn't work that way. You can't just take money from one government agency and give it to another, let alone give it to a private hospital or doctor to help with preventable medical errors or to private citizens to improve their driving skill.
You will be neg'd out of existence because your post is a troll and flamebait, in addition to being wholely inaccurate (as the followup posts indicate).
Please take your political agenda elsewhere.
This post brought to you by your friendly neighborhood MBA.
Having worked for the TSA and the army for some time, the only way for safe air travel is you show up at the airport and just like a prison you strip and leave everything behind for a jump suit. Only the jump suit and your body goes on the plane (no phones, paper, whatever! and body screened for hidden items) a second plane flies the luggage and you belongings to the destination. Humans are safe and only belongings can get blown up. (only threat left is the burrito you had for lunch)
I'm told you are what you eat, does that mean I can be you by tomorrow with some A1?
Take Pearl Harbor, a seemingly classic example of a failed defense.
But what were the Americans supposed to do? The Japanese knew were the attack was going to take place, and for that matter that an attack would even happen.
The attack could have happened anywhere including targets now controlled by the US. And it could happen at any day. The US went on alert because of warning signs, but not on the right day.
A simple game can show you this, one of the Medal of Honor titles ask you to defend a position, with the attack coming from 3 directions. You are alone, so you stand a 1/3 chance of being in the wrong spot. That is as simple as it gets. Oh you can check intel, make educated guesses etc etc, but as a defender, you got to be right every time every second of the day while an attacker can spend ages picking his moment.
Take Mumbai, how the hell do you defend against that? You can't seal of an entire city forever, cities only work if you can get in and out. The only alternative is to keep a force ready every second of the day and that attack might never come.
Really, if people talk about the wasted money of "security theater" why do they never talk about the wasted money of "fire fighting show". Go and count, how many exthinguishers and such do you come across in a typical day, all of them unused. Why bother? Especially since in a real fire they are rarely used?
Go ahead, board an aircraft without oxygen masks or seatbelts or emergency doors. None of them saved anyone ever. (well not enough to be worth the costs) So why bother?
It has become popular to bash aircraft security and to be fair, they made some really stupid choices at times, but there isn't much of an alternative. Do nothing and it will happen again, do something and people will say "oh you wasted money, because it never happened again".
One of the signs that democracy is severely overrated.
MMO Quests are like orgasms:
You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.
Quick Google search shows that 300,000 people are killed by obesity each year. Time to ban cheeseburgers.
Please let the madness of trying to ban / legislate away all the things that can hurt us.
The question becomes how far is too far? I think as long as I wake up each morning without fearing for my life, then a reasonable level of safety has been achieved.
I like to talk on the phone while driving. BTW, I find the radio much more distracting.
Could we all get a reality check here, please!
The idea behind terrorism is not the attack itself but the assumed possibility that an attack will happen somewhere sometime.
The western worlds governments are doing the dirty work for the terrorists by imposing ridiculous rules on us instead of trying to solve the problems in the world and by that taking away the fertile ground in which radical extremism keeps growing.
We should not forget medias role in this as they are trying to cut through the noise and competitive landscape by trying to scare the living crap out us... and the way that news has been transformed to entertainment it won't be better.
It has gone far when Al Jazeera actually have a more balanced coverage on things happening INSIDE the US than US media itself...
It is a sad, sad day for humanity that the terrorists win this on walk over by our lack of understanding and commitment!
You have to train a lifetime to become a Ninja, and you have to learn a lot of useless skills like clever ways to poison people. Further, the equipment is expensive and must often be custom forged and relentlessly cared for.
A Pirate can be trained in a matter of days and requires no more expensive equipment than a pile of shabby rags and a rusty flintlock pistol. What they lack in manners and aim, they make up for in volume and gusto.
Can you be Even More Awesome?!
Did you even read the article? Or are you lacking comprehension skills?
The greatest security measure implemented since 9/11 has not been put in place by the government or any other formal policy. Before the 9/11 attacks were over, the mindset had changed. Without any official making a statement, people, using their own judgement, through out the advice to sit quietly and hope to be rescued. Prior to those attacks, the response to a guy trying to light something on fire would have been to inform a flight attendant. Now, it is to beat him down and drag him off in a head lock. That's probably the most effective security change we've had.
Moderation : -1 Conservative Viewpoint
You are posting on the internet, there is no excuse for guessing. You did guess relatively correctly, at least for the couple of years I checked:
http://webapp.cdc.gov/sasweb/ncipc/mortrate10_sy.html
Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
First off, the guy announced himself.
Secondly, he was hit 23 times.
Thirdly, 47 expended cases were found.
That means that those people missed the thief better than half the time. After he had announced himself.
Yeah, I'm going to say that that kind of shooting, in an aircraft, is going to hit the other passengers.
Not only do we can, the past years show, we have... By abandoning the cowardly (if seemingly "sophisticated") paradigm of "obey their orders, do as they say, let SWAT handle it, when they land" we made it rather difficult for these a-holes to do their thing. Even the fourth plane on 9/11 didn't hit its target, because the terrorist — in a moment of weakness — allowed the passengers to learn, that some hijackers may not be interested in ever landing.
How truly secure now then? Well, nothing ever will be absolutely secure. But air-travel is more secure than (ever!) before now, that the fellow passengers readily engage the would-be terrorist preventing him from blowing up his shoes or underpants. I think, it is secure enough for them to switch to different targets (bridges, tunnels, ships?)...
In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
Write to an airline you've used in the past. Include your name and approximate dates of travel.
Inform them that you will NO LONGER BE TAKING ANY FLIGHTS FROM ANY CARRIER until the security theatre is scaled back.
Tell them you are not scared of terrorist attacks.
Tell them you are frustrated by security inconvenience; so frustrated you'd rather take a bus/train/bicycle.
You see, when sales numbers drop off, they automagically assume it's due to threat of terrorism. If they receive letters that indicate exactly the opposite: That "security" measures are driving away business, they'll put pressure on the government to dial it down a notch.
Sometimes, corporations owning and controlling your government can be a good thing, if you know how to use it properly.
The airlines got Reagan to fire the 11,345 striking air traffic controllers and ban them from federal service for life, so dialing security down a notch is child's play by comparison.
so we have a nation of ninja warriors. Nobody will fuck with anybody ever again.
...BECAUSE WE WILL HAVE REAL ULTIMATE POWER(tm)!!!!111!One
he now has a plane full of ninjas to deal with; oops.
Hey, can I use that for the title of the screenplay I am working on? 'Ninjas on a Plane' sounds totally HARDCORE!
I'm actually chair of the National Ninja Warrior's Advocacy Group;
As a fellow martial artist, could I ask that you please stop advocating? You are making the rest of us look really, really silly...
HA! I just wasted some of your bandwidth with a frivolous sig!
Can you believe that the Directory of HS said, "The system worked.' No, it didn't. The system failed, miserably.
Turn the terror around and point it in the opposite direction. Remove all scanners and 'people checks,' which have never worked. Allow any citizen to carry a firearm on board. Issue free frangible ammo to anyone who asks (so we don't blow a hole in the airplane). Deputize everyone. Dare a terrorist to light a match.
Congratulations you just lost the war on terror.
The odds of airborne terror are so low it's ridiculous that we focus on it as much as we do.
By focusing on the odds of occurrence you are essentially arguing that we decrease security until the odds of occurrence are high enough that we put the measures back in place - until the odds drop, so we drop the measures again...
You are comparing odds of occurrence now with (somewhat flawed) security measures in place, against some incalculable percentage of base activity with no security. Since Iraq and Afghanistan have shown us it's really easy to get people to blow themselves up on command, I maintain the natural level of terrorism with no security is a lot higher than the current level with some layers of security.
So instead of thinking about odds of occurrence, you need to instead think of the odds of any given measure preventing and attack weighed against inconvenience to normal people just trying to travel (for example stripping naked and being put under is fairly effective in preventing attack but obviously would not be borne).
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
I was looking more, 16,000 of the firearm related deaths are suicides, which probably aren't quite the same as accidents or murders.
Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
Targeting specific vectors on specific targets is practically useless.
Not really. Let's say we get rid of metal detectors and all screening today. Do you doubt there would be a fair number of people with traditional suicide vests board and blow up airliners? I don't, because it would be easy - just like in Iraq or Afghanistan today it's pretty easy to drive a car full of explosives into things and so once a month or so, they do. And with planes you get to kill a lot more people than you do with the car attacks... again, we have real world examples of what WILL happen when attacks are easy against a desired target, and the repeated attacks on airliners show they are a desired target.
So it's pretty obvious you need to target some of the most likely attack vectors, which you can easily do with some minimum level of fuss. Airport travel used to be pretty easy, even with metal detectors - keep them (or higher-tech variants thereof) and stop the common attacks. Then you leave the terrorists with harder to use things like unstable liquid explosive mixtures, which may or may not work...
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
We have two options 1: everybody travels naked, with no carry on or checked luggage, all luggage will be shipped by UPS, FedEx or the Like. 2: Nobody Travels except in their own car, or in cars with people they are familiar with. In this case we will have the situation of travel board websites and people will just organize themselves any way. Examples are commuter stops in San Francisco, or the old fashioned boards in college about who is traveling where, and who would like to pay for gas, or food. As far as I am concerned we should all be using the internet for conferences, etc. My company literally forbids traveling in the USA unless teh client absolutely will pay for my time, and travel expenses. In the case of Europe, well I had hoped to visit some locations, but not by plane, i think I will travel by old fashioned boat.
If we don't have enough resources to secure an airport and you think we have enough to do old fashioned police work to track down terrorists? That's ridiculous. Any person on the planet could be planning something. You would have to monitor everyone. Schneier is wrong. Terrorists don't want to attack just anything, they want spectacular high value targets. No one cares if they blow up a tool shed, but if they bring down an airplane, that has emotional as well as economical damage.
If our scanners can't detect explosives, then we need better scanners.
Let's say that we make airline flights 100% terrorist proof. Then what? Simple, the terrorists move on to bombing other things. Can you imaging the panic that would happen if they bombed a large high school graduation? There are a nearly infinite number of potential targets for terrorists and it is impossible to secure them all.
http://www.popularculturegaming.com -- my blog about the culture of videogame players
I would pay more for less security and less waiting/lines when I travel domestically by air.
Security is a myth. Get over it.
The best security is diligent on-site people, so if 8 inch knives were handed out as we boarded airplanes, then we'd all be safer. AND more polite.
I avoid flying. I used to fly multiple times a week rather than drive 2 hours. It was easy and just a little faster. Cost was not an issue. Not anymore thanks to all the so-called security. Now I drive 7 hours just to avoid the hassles of air travel. Good job TSA, airlines, and our government. Good job.
What really told me we were going too far in the wrong direction was when my 2 inch pocket knife/keychain was confiscated by the TSA. A week later, my replacement pocket knife was taken on another trip. What a waste.
30 years ago, my mother traveled with her fancy silver for carving ham and turkey dinners in her carry on. That had the big fork and huge knife. No issues. What has really changed? Nothing.
Bruce's commentary is one of the base written and most cogent arguments I've read to date criticizing the U.S.'s current security policies. My only addition would be to expand upon how our often schizophrenic foreign policy has resulted in the disenfranchisement of millions around the world. If we'd concentrated more on supporting and fostering democratic and economic reforms throughout the developing world rather than propping up two bit dictators for political expediency then we wouldn't be in this situation.
Use well trained dogs. Not only can dogs be trained to smell very minute quanties of just about anything, they also can smell fear and nervousness. And the presence of a dog is going to make a would be terrorist nervous. Trouble is, dogs don't make money for defense oriented companies pushing cat scans and fancy sniffer machines which may or may not work.
You couldn't be more wrong. The number of potential attack vectors approaches infinity. To do as you suggest would require that nobody ever be allowed to do anything. The necessary approach is to behave in ways that don't encourage an attack (as much as feasible) and establish relationships and trust, etc. It won't guarantee zero attacks, but then nothing will. Schneier points all of this out. Did you not read what he wrote, or were you just thinking you were better at security than him?
Guns don't kill people; Physics kills people! - John Lithgow as Dick Solomon on Third Rock From The Sun
This is actually a quote from Testimony: the memoirs of Dmitri Shostakovich . It should be noted that questions have been raised about the book's authenticity, for which see the linked Wikipedia article.
Really? Thanks for the info. The source of the quote (which some 35 years later I apparently slightly misremembered) wasn't given in the broadcast.
There's a chunk of the 5th that always puts me in mind of gunpowder kegs rolling along a cobbled street, ponderously out of control. So I call it the 'barrel roll symphony'. :)
~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
"This is where I think Bruce misses the mark, he claims there are very few people willing to blow themselves up."
He's right. You are wrong. There are very few suicide bombers vs terrorists or insurgents or whatever you want to call them.
"The full body scanners are more expensive but given the amount of personnel and time they same are still cheaper in the end"
They are a waste of money. They aren't going to be any more effective than the basic metal detectors we already have. You still need the same amount of staff.
Easy, accurate and cheap explosive detection would be useful, though.
But we could eliminate all of the TSA rules imposed after 9/11 and not affect air travel safety. Air travel is amazingly safe. It's probably more dangerous travelling to the airport. The most dangerous people (in terms of your safety) are the ones who maintain, fly, and build the plane. Not the terrorists.
You're all missing the real point. Airport security has nothing to do with actual security. It is the government's way of responding to criticism that they're doing nothing.
After past incidents (especially 911) criticism of the government was severe. Their reaction is to do something, anything. In fact the more inconvenient and the more in your face it is, the better the evidence that they're doing "everything possible."
When the next attacks occur, government can duck the blame by saying, "look how many dollars and how many man hours we threw at the problem. What more do you want?"
I just listened to Obama's statement this afternoon on the Christmas attack. What a bunch of bureaucratic double talk and utter crap. Don't believe me? Look at the transcript of his statement when it appears. Then imagine it being delivered by a mid level manager.
These actions don't seem rational to me. The country with a military spend ten times greater than the next largest country, probably with a military the size of most of the rest of the world is scared of individuals approaching its shores bearing nail scissors?
P.S. - They allowed nail clippers again some time ago.
But that doesn't mean the core of your argument is not as valid - some of the new rules, in particular the hands thing and the hour line Time Of Penance are just as (if not more) absurd and do nothing to help.
But make no mistake, it's not more than a handful of travelers and U.S. citizens that welcome these measures. It's not the citizens that are afraid, it's the bureaucracy!
If it is not against another sovereign state, can war be declared, and can it be agreed to be ceased?
I don't see why you can only have nations declare war, and not any other group. If companies can be multi-national, why not fighting forces? To me it's every bit a war as a war with a state that has physical boundaries. After all, let's say Iran deploys nuclear weapons against someone and we decide to retaliate - there are millions of people there who are not really at war with us either and we would not want to harm. It's exactly the same with terrorists, a core of people who have declared war on us surrounded by people we should not harm. So a "war against terrorism" is really not that much different than a traditional modern war, just more physically dispersed.
And that is also why I think it makes a lot more sense to harden likely targets rather than try and eliminate terrorism, which is obviously an impossible goal (though a realistic one is to make it difficult for them to build serious levels of strength, that is practical because that generally happens in a relatively few specific physical or logical areas you can attack)
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
The mugger holding a gun to your head for your wallet isn't comparable to 9/11 type hijackings, where deaths are a significant portion of the end goal. Muggers generally want your stuff and then to get away ASAP - they know the police are too busy to track down every mugger, while a murder gets real attention.
The rest of your post was fine.
- T
One of the best response on Slashdot, ever.
can find a breakdown on the NRA site um... that is link to an anti-gun site, not the NRA...
This issue is a bit more complicated than you think.
"Security Theater" is not 'just a term' that *anybody* likes to throw around. It's a military-based term which refers to ineffective security practices designed to make it *look* like you're doing something. The key word in the term is *theater*. You know, the place you go to watch people act out make believe bits of fiction? That's what it means.
Um...because you shouldn't fire bullets in an air-tight aluminum tube because it could cause the plane to malfunction/crash/kill everyone on board?
From a decision tree perspective, the terrorist doesn't mind dying...so you either let him kill everyone on the plane...or you can shoot him and do the same thing yourself. And that doesn't even account for the xenophobe who screams terrorist and shoots when he sees someone with brown skin and speaks "funny".
Now, special bullets that won't go through the plane? Maybe. But no, I for one am glad we try and make sure there's no guns on planes.
-- Political fascism requires a Fuhrer.
Roughly 16,000 people were killed by automobiles in the first six months of this year. Roughly 22,000 were killed by preventable medical errors. If we crashed two or three 747s per week, we still wouldn't be at that level of deaths. If the money we waste on TSA were spent elsewhere, we'd be ahead of the game.
Even in terms of aviation AA 331 is probably a more important incident to worry about.
This Jeffrey guy would have impressed me more if instead of a beer belly to carry the beer he used the winerack to do it.
You can't handle the truth.
Historically, travel has never been safe. Travelers have always been exposed to accidents, adverse weather, freak events and predatroy humans. Schneier's comments about how to stop terrorism are the same I was making immediately post-9/11. The sad fact is that most people in this country are no more interested in hearing this message today than they were 9 years ago. The idiots demanding security theatre deserve the bufoons of the TSA. I call that a match made in heaven. In the mean time, I'm even more resolved to not fly anywhere in this country.
Are you the one on the right, or the cool one?
You can't handle the truth.
The chances of getting hit by a hijacked plane is less than winning the lottery. But guess what? Enough of us think it'll happen to them. So that makes it right.
Lotteries are taxes for people who can't do math, but unfortunately all of us are being forced to pay for anti-terrorism.
He's right. You are wrong. There are very few suicide bombers vs terrorists or insurgents or whatever you want to call them.
I have on my side of the argument proof - monthly (sometimes as high as daily) suicide bombings in places like Iraq. These people often come on from other countries, and are told the families will get money when they die (and they do). So what on earth makes you think they will not throw themselves at airlines when it's practical to do so, given they have repeatedly tried and as I said we have countless real-world examples of suicide bombers? Life is cheap, a fact proven by decades of reality across the middle east. I am assuming you are not saying monthly attacks on airlines bringing down whole planes is acceptable in any way.
Can't prove a negative you say? Well then it seems your argument has a problem, not my examples.
They are a waste of money. They aren't going to be any more effective than the basic metal detectors we already have. You still need the same amount of staff.
Read what I said. All I am looking for is the SAME level of effectiveness as we have today, which is actually pretty good in terms of how many attacks are carried out as is pointed out by the fact the likelihood of dying in a terrorist attack is pretty low. But MY suggestion is vastly better in that instead of disrobing and waiting for some guard to wonder just why you have so many cords in such a small space, you spend a max of ten seconds on the scan because the device scans you and everything you are carrying in one take without you even setting down anything. There are far LESS personnel involved because you are through faster and there's less people needed to manage crowds, and you need fewer lines - and like I said there aren't even humans examining the scan results, it's all computer analysis of the scan imagery and then if it decides something it finds odd you are searched at your gate. My suggestion is about not really increasing the likelihood of a successful attack, while at the same time making air travel 10000x less annoying and delay-prone for everyone.
Does it let people wander into the gate area with stuff they should not have? Possibly, but you can already get to a large number of people outside the security area so that really doesn't matter. And you still need a valid ticket to get in, along with an ID the system likes - the system would be scanning that at the same time (RFID in boarding pass or more likely a QR code that could be scanned as you entered the body scanner).
But we could eliminate all of the TSA rules imposed after 9/11 and not affect air travel safety.
Everything but the liquid rule, that has a sound basis in something they are still trying to use (the last attack was of this type). All the other rules are as you say mostly useless.
But again my suggestion is even better than how things used to be while maintaining around the same level of security, and requires fewer employees in the process. Because the scanners are more advanced (assuming they have chemical sniffers too) you could probably also eliminate the liquid rule also. The scanners are more expensive but long term cheaper and really a lot more flexible.
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
People are against showing ID to board a plane but it's what it's going to have to come down to in the end, because the reality is this is the most efficient way to actually catch people who are trying to do bad things vs. trying to simply find the tools used to perform an attack carried by any random person.
That's correct, and that's because that's a real security step (along with things like only allowing checked luggage on if it accompanies someone). It's where you can correlate whether the person is someone who is "likely to be of interest" and where you can verify that the airline is only carrying those who it thinks it is. (Even then, that's not a perfect solution, but a perfect solution would be economically crippling and so won't happen.)
Note that terrorism by suicide bombers is not the only real threat that has to be defended against. Out-and-out crazies are at least as big a problem, and some measures are there to defend against that too. (Note that the "security theater" is much more effective against that threat.)
"Little does he know, but there is no 'I' in 'Idiot'!"
Let's say that we make airline flights 100% terrorist proof. Then what? Simple, the terrorists move on to bombing other things.
They already bomb a lot of other stuff.
But we can see from repeated examples that while we are probably as close as we ever will be to preventing bombs on airplanes, they keep trying that attack vector despite a single successful attempt (I group all of 9/11 in one attempt for this purposes even though it was multiple planes, because the same technique was used simultaneously and even then passengers on one of the planes were able to catch on and stop one plane before the plan was fully carried out). They really, really want to blow up a plane, so it makes some sense to try and stop them from doing so as long as they show a keen interest.
The real question is what measures help and what do not, the mess we have now has many elements that do not help whatsoever - including pretty much all of the new rules just implemented.
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
was completed by early morning on 11 September 2001.
Once upon a time, people hijacked airplanes. Airplanes were flown to Cuba, Russia, Taiwan, Mainland China, Africa, wherever people wanted to go for whatever personal or political axes they had to grind.
After this, the ICAO convened a treaty in 1970 which required that any country that flew airplanes treat hijacking as a felony. No exceptions. In the old days, if an airline pilot flew from (China/Taiwan) to (Taiwan/China), he would get gold, women, his name in the paper, etc. as a propaganda tool to show that (Capitalism/Communism) was a superior form of government which people yearned for. No more. Do that today, you go to prison. Period.
Even wacky countries we don't like much like Libya, Cuba, North Korea, etc. are signatories to this treaty. Hijack an airplane, go to jail. No exceptions. Anywhere.
It was a very effective treaty. As a result, a set of "rules of engagement" came up around hijacking. Keep calm. Don't make any sudden moves. Fly the airplane wherever in the world the hijackers want to go. Wherever you land, there will be negotiators if they play nice, and SWAT teams in reserve if they don't. Getting in a fight in the air can only endanger innocent people's lives.
After 2001, nobody is EVER going to follow those rules of engagement again.
Umm, he's not.
All of the terrorism that originates in the middle east from Islamic extremists is a direct result of bad foreign policy on behalf of the USA in that region.
Specifically, if the USA dismantled its military bases in Saudi Arabia, etc, then it would probably be a bigger step in halting terrorism than anything else.
Why?
Because it would remove foreign military from their holy soil. There would be no more infidels desecrating their land.
Whilst we may think that is a stupid way to think, that is their country, their region, so it is their right to do so. They don't get to tell us to be Islamic so we shouldn't tell them what to think about foreign military presence on their land.
We don't have enough terrorist numbers to say that the "Security Theater" is effective or isn't effective. Terrorists have targeted planes for almost 50 years, and the latest security was put in place mostly after 2001. The numbers prior and afterwards aren't much different.
Personally, I think the term "Security Theater" is perfect. I think effective security (body scans and computer image recognition) fall outside that term, as they might actually be effective.
I would go further on the ID issue. IDs should be provided via secure sources. Why trust IDs provided by a passenger? A person could be vetted for travel in detail at some security office, and issued a user name or ID number. Providing THAT to security would allow their picture to be viewed and compared to the individual. Doing an ID check once, in detail, by people trained to do so is going to be far more effective then expecting lightly trained individuals to usefully evaluate ID documents over and over every time a person flies.
This is, if tracking the IDs of individuals is really what we want to do.
But these kinds of changes are not "Security Theater." These are changes that make a difference in our security.
Like enabling cell phones on planes. This has been proven to INCREASE security and does not pose any risk to navigation equipment. Yet still, cell phones are not allowed, and planes do not have the technology to enable cell phones in flight.
Personally, I am tired of not being able to take a jar of homemade Jelly on a plane. Tired of leaving my knife at home. Tired of the waits as thousands if not millions of mistakes are made daily by security staff to no ill effect on our security. (My son has flown with a full sized tube of toothpaste, and my wife with a swiss army knife in their carry on bags, which slipped easily through security. All by accident, but stll).
Iraq/Afghanistan shows us plainly this is not true.
Apples and oranges. They're fighting a war for their own land in Afghanistan/Iraq, which means that there are a large number of people who are willing to go to extreme lengths than is typical. Even so, the percentage of the population willing to do these things is quite small. The percentage of that percentage that would be willing to come over here and engage in the same things is even smaller.
Now this I think is unfair, the rules are put in place by committees of people that really are looking to make people safer but with little understanding or concern for the well-being of all the people who are not terrorists, or at least that aspect gets lost in the process.
I think that it's quite fair. History bears this out time and time again. Perhaps the people who are putting these rules into place have our best interests in mind (although I'd be surprised if that's the main concern for most of them -- most of them are worried about political ramifications and fundraising, not our best interests) however there will inevitably come corrupt goons who will abuse these rules, potentially to disastrous effect.
But what about the gain of a LOT of security for a little liberty? When the equation is far more asymmetric is it not also more compelling?
Perhaps so, however this is not the situation we are facing. What we are facing, speculations of future technology aside, is the inverse of this -- we'd have to lose a LOT of liberty to gain a little security. Personally, I'd rather live in a dangerous and free world than a safe and unfree one. As near as I can see, based on what the government (and too many people) have been saying and doing, is that this is the decision in front of us.
This is why my thinking that the end game of airport security is this - full body scans, mandatory ID to board planes.
Your idea would be less intrusive, but not fundamentally any better. Also, it's years away from being technologically possible, at best. We'd still be subject to the whims of the authorities, we'd still lose our privacy, we'd still be treated like cattle and like criminals.
The security system as it is now keeps me from flying except in extreme circumstances. I hate being so demeaned, and avoid it. If it gets worse, such as full body scans (whether your fantasy version or the one that exists now), pat-downs, etc., then I simply will no longer fly at all. I'm far from the only one who takes this stance.
You make this claim, that terrorists don't attack because they are deterred by the idea of security, with no evidence. Here's some very good evidence why your theory is bunk: there are literally millions of highly visible targets in this country with no security. Anybody who wanted to could attack them trivially, compared to the relative difficulty of attacking an airplane. And yet, nobody does. There have been a handful of attempts over the past decade (most of them prompted or at least significantly helped by FBI informers), but nothing really successful (unless you consider Fort Hood, which clearly is a separate issue). If there really were all of these potential terrorists in the US, why would they just give up after deciding airlines are too hard? Why aren't they attacking all our undefended targets instead?
In the beginning the universe was created. This made a lot of people very angry and is widely considered as a bad move.
> This is where I think Bruce misses the mark, he claims there are very few people willing to blow themselves up. Iraq/Afghanistan shows us plainly this is not true.
I agree with you, but note that Bruce is also suggesting a real change in relationships with middle east so that number eventually could be insignificant. But I suspect that will not be the case in the near time (even with the Obama's Nobel price:)
> Now this I think is unfair, the rules are put in place by committees of people that really are looking to make people safer but with little understanding or concern
Well, one of the politicians' jobs is to lead the people (including whatever committees.) By that way, the financial crisis would have been repelled by the government by printing and throwing a lot of money to every citizen...
> you stand on a platform for 10 seconds with your carryon in hand, and the device scans all of you along with your boarding pass.
I don't know about such technology, but I found that:
"Experts say the technology would almost certainly find a gun or knife but not necessarily something carried the way the Nigerian carried his explosives."
http://blogs.abcnews.com/theworldnewser/2009/12/whole-body-scan-vs-your-privacy-how-far-is-too-far.html
The #1 issue with cellphones is the fact that when you are in an airplane up in the air, your phone is in range of so many towers (and passing between towers so fast) that your phone would overload the network rather than get a stable signal.
There is talk of micro-cells in airplanes that would allow your phone to connect to them instead of anything on the ground which would overcome the problems.
So what does "really secure" mean? What's acceptable--or more to it, what is an acceptable expenditure of capital, both in cash and in irritation?
What are the paragons of the "really secure"? People always reference Fort Knox. Is Fort Knox really secure? The gold depository indeed is very difficult to infiltrate, very difficult to steal from. But is it impossible? Or for that matter, would it be impossible to destroy or scatter? A small-scale nuclear weapon could sublimate the entire deposit. The security of Fort Knox makes it very unlikely it will be compromised, that's all. Just as a jail makes escape very improbable, the population squatting around it very unlikely to be accosted by inmates. But not impossible. There's no impossible except in mathematics and physics.
So how rare can we make attempts on air transport? Well, since 2001 there has not been a civilian death due to terrorism on commercial aircraft. There have been two noteworthy attempts, both foiled by a mixture of equipment malfunction, bomber incompetence, and fellow passenger vigilance. Most flight-safety wallahs will tell you disasters happen not because of a simple malfunction but because three, four, or five different systems all failed. The fail-safe, the redundant fail-safe, the alternate computer were all rendered useless. Terrorist attacks can happen when similar strings of failure happen in the security apparatus. You can make them rarer but at cost.
Already commercial flights are unflyable. The airlines' penny-pinching clamps down on checked baggage, so everyone tries to drag through as much carryon as they can, which is exactly what the TSA discourages. To get from one city to another by plane, I have to show ID, I have to forego anything as basic as a regular bottle of shampoo, toothpaste, or mouthwash. Forget razors. They've already figured out what infinitesimal space can accommodate 99% of passengers with less than 1% risk of DVT and press us in to fit. My wife can't even come through security to see me off.
What else can I give up? Perhaps I don't need luggage. Everyone can simply buy new clothes at the destination. Hotels will stock up on toiletries and surcharges. Everyone will doff their shoes in the terminal; airports will be like Japanese houses. Slippers on the plane and whatever you can scavenge at your destination. Go through metal detectors naked. Well, they've got machines that do that essentially anyway and they want to roll them out. Each person spends five minutes with a Bruce Willis look-alike who asks for aspirins and grills you about your destination. "Our records show you visited Aunt Millie just five months ago--what is your real agenda here!?" Special papers for transport. Each seat with seatbelts only releaseable by the captain or designated air marshal. Nothing bad could come of that. No more paper--paper cuts, you see. Tickets carried on USB drives with a USB fee added.
Just what would make you feel safer? "Really secure" can't happen with commercial air transport because there are too many people. Millions of people, every day, getting on and off planes. If you've got a couple billion dollars in gold locked up in one place, you can make it real secure. Esp. if you have a tank division nearby. If you're talking tens of thousands of flights and millions of people, day-in-day-out, it can't happen. Not without denying every single one of them basic human decency. A few attempts will get through, and will hopefully get foiled. The terrorist masterminds, who are always working on something to hit us where we least expect it, aren't likely to be targeting planes anyway. Their plans already worked, people are already terrified and cowed.
The worst thing is that horrible processes and institutions outlast their exigencies. TSA will be around doing the same or worse crap fifteen years after there are any credible threats to commercial air. A whole generation is ruined on air travel, and we're still not building anything else to compete. Trains, anyone? Fuck it, I'll just drive to Cali next time I'm bound there.
Tenemus pyrobolos atqui jacimus cognitiones.
I've studied the 5th Symphony in great depth, and I'm guessing you're referring to the last movement, particularly the opening theme, which is loud, bombastic, and designed primarily to keep the Communist Party apparatchiks happy.
I am officially gone from
You make this claim, that terrorists don't attack because they are deterred by the idea of security, with no evidence. Here's some very good evidence why your theory is bunk: there are literally millions of highly visible targets in this country with no security.
But not ones that kill a lot of people. And the guys that really want to do this, we mostly don't let into the U.S.
The magical thing about air travel is that people anywhere can take a plane. The guys you get that are willing to blow themselves up to attack others look pretty out of place in Iowa and generally get caught before anything happens (witness the two guys in a car scoping out a military base for attack, I think in Arkansas) - it goes back to what I was saying, suicide bombers generally go forth when they are pretty sure they will have some success.
You offer no counterproof as to why they would not attack planes when they already drive cars into things every month. If they can reach it they will attack it.
unless you consider Fort Hood, which clearly is a separate issue
That's not clear at all. In fact he has direct links to the Pantsonator, in that they both worshipped under the same Imam. And in fact it kind of proves my point, he had easy access to do what he did and a will to do so - if even a well-educated phycologists working for the army for years can be turned against his own peers, there are countless others that would easily take on the same role with less motivation.
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
You sound like the Pigs from Animal Farm.
The safety net that we have now from terrorism has nothing to do with theatre or improved law enforcement. Technology will do nothing to scare or harm terrorism. We are safer today because the end game changed from 30 days of being held hostage to in a few minutes you might explode. The people in airplanes and in any other situation are more apt to react now that they fear for their lives.
The only difference between the unibomber and an al-qaeda terrorist is that al-qaeda sometimes has meetings. No matter how much you throw technology at that problem, no matter how much you inconvenience the people as a whole or how much you pierce their individual liberties, the problem will still exist.
The most effective way to make the U.S. more secure is to remove the effectiveness of terrorism. Don't give them air time, don't spend $200M->$1B anytime a bomb made from grocery store items goes off, don't attack innocents in response to terrorism, and don't take away freedom and call the lack thereof security.
Apples and oranges. They're fighting a war for their own land in Afghanistan/Iraq
I wasn't aware Iraq was owned by Sadia Ariba, Syria, and Iran. Because those are the people dying in suicide bombing attacks there, and were most of the jihadists (especially so once the people of Iraq figured out Al Quida didn't like people drinking which Iraqi's like quite a lot).
we'd have to lose a LOT of liberty to gain a little security
I consider nothing done at an airport to be a loss of "liberty" since flying is not a right. Also as another poster noted elsewhere planes are in fact rather good weapons (even if all you are doing is destroying them over a large city).
My whole issue is, how can we better build a system around acceptable risks and trying to find people who are a problem rather than tools that could be a problem but in the hands of most people will not be.
Your idea would be less intrusive, but not fundamentally any better.
It's not any more intrusive for most people because you already show ID and a boarding pass at the airport today (yes you do not HAVE to show ID but 99.9% of people do because they don't want extra security checks). And it's far, far faster because you aren't waiting for people in front of you to unpack AND disrobe and then reverse the process once screened. You could process probably 20x the number of people in the same amount of time, which given the amount of flights from any given airport means almost no wait - even at Terminal 5 in Heathrowe transferring between planes (one of the more maddeningly slow security screening setups and probably one of the worlds busiest).
The security system as it is now keeps me from flying except in extreme circumstances.
I agree, anything under 10 hours and I drive. Most travel I do does not give me that option. That's why I seek to eliminate all the aspects that slow me down, while not being any more intrusive than what we have today and in fact a good bit less because there are fewer people to ogle you and go through your stuff.
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
You hate my comment because you know that it is exactly what everyone would have been thinking. :D
Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
As you say, I've no idea why so much effort is put into airline security, nor do I understand why terrorists put so much effort into trying to blow planes up. But I don't think anything as elaborate and large-scale as what you're suggesting is necessary either.
(This is where I make a post that gets me a knock on the door from The Man)
Let's think. What are these terrorists trying to do? Draw attention to their "cause", obviously. Scare the shit out of ordinary decent people, definitely. Kill as many people as possible in a spectacular fashion, seemingly. Well I'm no terrorist but I can think of a far easier way to do this - bomb Glastonbury.
Here's an event where 180,000 or so people are gathered in one place with the sole purpose of having fun. Security's extremely lax - they're looking for drugs, not explosives. It would be the easiest thing in the world to stroll into a crowd of tens of thousands of sinful, decadent Westerners with a rucksack full of high explosives and let rip, causing utter carnage. And it'd all be caught live on camera by the BBC, who send only slightly fewer staff there to cover it than they used for the Beijing Olympics.
No complicated plot, no big conspiracy, just a guy and a backpack full of something that goes bang.
Ticks all the boxes, and yet they seem to want to spend their time getting past ever-tighter security and onto aircraft. Why? Is it simply because they know the inconvenience it causes pisses us off and costs lots of money? Maybe they're not so dumb after all.
The chances of there being a bomb is slim but the chances of there being 2 bombs on a plane is very very low. You can always feel more secure when you try to sneak in a bomb into the plane :-)
The safety net that we have now from terrorism has nothing to do with theatre or improved law enforcement. Technology will do nothing to scare or harm terrorism. We are safer today because the end game changed from 30 days of being held hostage to in a few minutes you might explode. The people in airplanes and in any other situation are more apt to react now that they fear for their lives.
That is very true, but it only stops hijacking. Remember the Pantsonator actually DID detonate his bomb. Only after that, did people tackle him yada yada. I am fully with you in the game having changed after 9/11 and the passengers being pretty security conscious - but no one reacted to him wriggling under his blanket, it was only fire that made them act.
That's why the ban on things like knives is foolish, because it's impossible to take over a plane with pretty much anything now. Even a gun wouldn't stop you from getting pummeled eventually. But security measures to prevent the general category of explosives are NOT foolish, because they prevent an issue passengers simply cannot correct for. That to be is the optimal system, that relies on passengers to stop general takeovers and leaves only the use of explosives to detect and prevent.
The most effective way to make the U.S. more secure is to remove the effectiveness of terrorism
That helps (because it is a vector they use very heavily) but in the end they will still want to kill you just as much with air time as without.
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
"Security Theater" is not 'just a term' that *anybody* likes to throw around.
You gave a very specific definition, but you are wrong in this first part. Look at this very discussion, "security theater" is used repeatedly and in fact lots of people throw it around all the time, just as I said.
If you care so much as to the exact definition, then you should *also* care it is used accurately. Airport security is not *wholly* theater, even if some aspects are (like ID checking as Bruce rightfully points out). But as I noted, even if some parts are theater there remains some value from the show in deterrence, and therefore the term "security theater" is not accurate because it's not totally ineffective. "Security Illusion" or something along those lines is much more accurate, at least if you care about the term...
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
In that case, what is penalty for an incompetent TSA employee? Or is it only mere citizens who should face sanctions?
More Americans die from firearms (or lack of health insurance) every year than from 9/11. Where's the "overriding state interest"? And to what extent can the government secure your life and property? Can the government save you disease? From RICO (oh wait, that is the government!)?
First page on a google search;
in 2004; 29,569 total firearm fatalities, including 16,750 suicides, 649 accidents and 235 with unknown intent.
I agree with you, but note that Bruce is also suggesting a real change in relationships with middle east so that number eventually could be insignificant.
That aspect though is fantasy, the dream you can kiss and make up with a violent religious cult never works out - it has not in the history of the world. With them you are either subsumed or attacked. He is normally very astute in psychology, so I'm really not sure how he gets so far off kilter that he imagines this will work.
"Experts say the technology would almost certainly find a gun or knife but not necessarily something carried the way the Nigerian carried his explosives."
But unlike the TSA I don't care about preventing the last attack. I care just about making attacks hard in general so that a guy has to store components in his underpants making them harder to re-asssemble, and optimizing air travel greatly without increasing the rate of attempted attacks. With a big old scary scanning box hooked to big scary computers somewhere lots of people will *think* they can't get a bomb on and so won't even try. Or will be nervous enough the behavioral analysts will get them. I mean, the last attack is basically un-preventable unless you want to get pretty damn intimate with every passenger and that just is not practical.
Also, I imagine the scanning device combined with something like a "puffer" they use in airports today, that could pick up chemical scents - that would have a much higher chance of having found something I think. Basically it's all about changing the mindset to "what can we scan for in 10 seconds with a guy on a platform" rather than adding another stage to an already elaborate series of procedures you must follow.
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
This is why my thinking that the end game of airport security is this - full body scans, mandatory ID to board planes.
Scans will always be defeatable and every terrorist so far has used his real name when boarding - ID wouldn't help at all.
What has worked in every case since 1 hour past when the World Trade Center was hit, are passengers beating the living hell out of somebody who tries to harm the aircraft.
Hardened cockpit doors were a good idea, but separate pilot entrances are still needed.
My God, it's Full of Source!
OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
Apparently Bruce isn't paying attention. That's to be expected, as physical security of the guys-with-guns type really isn't his domain, but... uh, there have been quite a few terrorist attacks against Western countries alone (not even counting the almost-daily attacks in places like India which are closer to the front).
A cursory search will tell you that there have been quite a few - over a dozen "major" attacks (ie, of the type where security personnel from every level of gov't are involved, resulting in societal changes) have occurred since 9/11/2001. Furthermore, there have been 10s of thousands in the West; I've heard numbers as high as 100,000 passed about.
Shit, there've been 2 'significant' terrorist attacks this year alone. (Ironic, though, that when it's embarrassing, it gets swept under the carpet by the gov't - Ft. Hood - but when there's a chance to increase state power and impose new restrictions on the populace - crotchbomber - it's a fucking circus.)
So yeah, terrorism is not uncommon. It's something we've simply conditioned ourselves as a society to ignore or overlook.
~/ssh slashdot.org ssh: connect to host slashdot.org port 22: too many beers
Sacrificing yourself for what you believe in is not correlated with "having stuff to lose". Many Christian martyrs, including some apostles were certainly not destitute. Self-sacrifice is about faith, not property. Terrorist social-revolutionaries in Russia mostly came from well-to-do families, and so did many Bolshevik operatives. The most recent would-be terrorist came from a rich family, and 9/11 hijackers studied in the West -- that is, were a lot richer than a lot of people in their home countries. And so on.
Look into the history of suicidal cults for more examples. The only difference is, these terrorists who target airplanes belong to a cult that glorifies taking a lot of other lives together with their own. It's that simple. They might yet win, get to realize their utopia, and spread it across the world just like Bolsheviks did -- and when they started their homicidal cult, no one took them seriously either.
That's likely it (I say, having not heard it in decades) -- I vaguely recall this memorable bit is short and well into the work, and sortof hammers at you on its way by. And my ear always wanted to hear more of it.
Hmm. If that's the hammer, where is the sickle? ;)
~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
The last time I flew, at the gate they took my boarding pass and photo ID, scanned the bar code on it, and checked the result in the computer against the pass and against my ID.
I'm in Canada though...maybe they do things better here?
Bruce Schneier has decrypted the results of millions of years of trillions of monkeys trying to duplicate all of modern civilization. He doesn't publish the results because it'd mean the end of All We Hold Dear (TM).
Hey, at least the guy has some feelings, give him a break. Chuck never attempted anything like that.
SB
It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
. . . about government employees: "we pretend to work, and they pretend to pay us..."
In this case, the government pretends to protect us, and, uh... Hmmm... oh, we pretend to believe it?
Ask Me About... The 80's!
No, it's because the spell-checkers on government computers keep replacing "the People" with "Terrorism."
(There is supposed to be a Sarcmark® here, but my $1.99 check hasn't cleared, yet...)
The scariest thing about all this, is that it was prophesied to a "T" on the Daily Show quite some time ago:
http://www.thedailyshow.com/watch/mon-june-19-2006/calvin-trillin
Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
This along with a layer of behavioral analysts who can access the scan history to also flag people (and yes a good analysts can tell a person who is worried about flying over being nervous about something else)
No they can't. What they CAN do is spot someone who doesn't fit an ordinary profile of someone about to board a flight for some reason, i.e. someone who's displaying signs of malicious intent (or who is displaying behavior indicitive of malicious intent but for a perfectly benign reason). There has not been enough scientific research done to date to be able to do what you suggest here with the capability that you're claiming, and certainly not enough to train the massive number of "good" analysts that would be required to use them to screen millions of passengers per day at airports throughout the country.
The research behind this IS being done today, but there is quite a lot of work yet to do before what you're suggesting could be deployed on a wide scale. And the training for behavioral screeners is being created and tested as we speak. What has been done and has been tested, has had pretty positive results so far; so we are at least headed in the direction you're suggesting.
I'm sure you're aware that Dr. Paul Ekman (among probably a handful of others equally qualified in these fields) are among the driving forces behind these new security models. But if you read any of what he writes about it, it's very nearly filled with more caveats and cautions than it is with actual applicable knowledge. And there are still that small number of individuals who have a natural ability to walk right by ANY of these people without raising any red flags, and it would necessarily fall upon other technologies such as the body scanners, puffers, and trained dogs to pick up the slack.
I'm not denying that what you envision as the future of airport security is on the way, and would perhaps even be the ideal scenario, just that this one point really stuck out at me based on all that I've been able to read and learn about it over the past 2 years.
Keith D.
It's usually between 1/3 and 1/2, but that's if you also count suicide-- both self-inflicted suicide as well as "suicide by cop."
Keith D.
Well, give it a listen and tell me:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n0iqZbM1Pdc
I am officially gone from
Listen up tools, the solution is simple and is currently the primary method for 1 small country surrounded by hostile neighbors with self proclaimed global enemies, Israel.
What do they do?
They fucking profile and dont waste their time on Red Headed Grandmothers or Blond Haired Blue Eyed Babies.
Its fucking ridiculous to simply ignore that "the terrorists" are males, typically of medium or dark complexion and muslim.
now shut the fuck up and get on the fucking plane knowing that fucking tool in the white house along with all of his minions tools, are working toward your collective demise simply because they are worshipping some PC Deity of which there is no appeasing!
just stop enforcing your MTV culture on anybody else in the world
(things like jackass for example etc).
Oh yes, that's it -- and what an exquisite performance! Perfectly captures that wondrous meld of grandeur and terror, especially at the conclusion. Thanks so much for pointing me at this!!!
BTW do you know when it was recorded? It looks fairly old.
(Grabbed as an mp4 thru Clipnabber, so the sound wasn't too badly mauled, and even retains some of the concert hall ambience that I find so necessary. I *hate* what compression, including CDs, do to classical music.)
~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
Americans are not actually in any serious danger from terrorists. The threat is tiny compared with the loss of life from, say, drunk drivers. Americans (and increasingly, people in Canada, where I live) live in a constant state of paranoia about terrorist attacks, crime (which criminologists say is *decreasing* here) and so on. The threat to our lives and freedom from out of control police and military authority is much greater than any threat from Al Qaeda. The US, Britain, and of course the former USSR made things waaaay worse in the Middle East than they had to be. Sure Al Qaeda is evil. But that organization is, at least in part, the product of cynical, exploitive and massively violent policies on the part of western powers. Now we Canadians are pulling the same idiotic stunts.