Why Do Americans Work So Much?
HughPickens.com writes Rebecca Rosen has an interesting essay at The Atlantic on economist John Maynard Keynes' prediction in 1930 that with increased productivity, over the next 100 years the economy would become so productive that people would barely need to work at all. For a while, it looked like Keynes was right: In 1930 the average workweek was 47 hours. By 1970 it had fallen to slightly less than 39. But then something changed. Instead of continuing to decline, the duration of the workweek stayed put; it's hovered just below 40 hours for nearly five decades. According to Rosen there would be no mystery in this if Keynes had been wrong about the economy's increasing productivity, which he thought would lead to a standard of living "between four and eight times as high as it is today." Keynes got that right: Technology has made the economy massively more productive. Now a new paper Benjamin Friedman says that "the U.S. economy is right on track to reach Keynes's eight-fold multiple" by 2029—100 years after the last data Keynes would have had. But according to Friedman, the key reason that Keynes prediction failed to come true is that Keynes failed to allow for the changing distribution of wealth.
Greed. Family's in my experience at least have gone from being happy with 1 TV and one stereo in the "family" room to wanting fridges with TVs on them, each person having a cellphone and a tablet etc, each "adult" > 16 wanting their own car etc. We have more stuff. If we lived with the stuff you had in 1930's yeah we could work a lot less.
Because no one would have believed anyone would believe it will trickle down just give it all to the rich.
People did not use to be that fucking stupid.
Income inequality has risen since at least Reagan, don't act like it's something new.
We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
If we could survive on what we earn in that time, that is.
There certainly isn't enough work for everyone. Well, not quite right, there COULD be enough work for everyone if, and only if, we could sell it. That's the main problem our economy has today, not enough money on the demand side. What drives our economy is consumption, and for consumption you need surplus money to use for it. And that's what's lacking.
Consumption is a self powering cycle. I consume, hence the person whose services I use gets money, who in turn gets to spend that money on consumption. It's amplifying itself. Unfortunately that also works in the opposite direction. If I don't have money, I won't get a haircut. So my hairdresser has to close his business. And can't get his plumbing fixed. Which in turn means the plumber won't get to go on vacation. Which shuts another hotel down. Which leaves that cook without the money to get his car checked. And so on.
We need money in the demand side of our economy. But for that we need people to actually get money for working. Unfortunately we have more and more people working 40+ hours a week and only get enough money to make ends meet with zero surplus at the end of the month. That's not going to work. We have to stop the money accumulation, the only thing this accomplishes is more money on the supply side. There's plenty already, we have more people who would love to invest in something sensible than there are sensible investments.
But for an investment to be sensible, there has to be a market for it. And a market will only exist if you have a demand side with the money to play its part!
We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
And a Tesla model S/BMW, a bigger house, traveling around the world, somethings you didn't have 100 years ago. An average Joe today can afford the health service better than the richest people can have 100 years ago. People get more, but they want even more. Instead of work less and less to maintain the same life style, they work the same hours to increase quality of life.
If you only work a three day week, for example, you have four days you will need to fill with 'leisure' activities, which tend to involve expense. People who voluntarily retire early often say that it's nice for the first couple of months and then boredom sets in.
....now we have social networks to avoid the danger of being productive :)
Without population increase by birth and immigration, the system begins to stagnate, especially with the large percentage of wealth in the hands of the .1%.
Happiness in intelligent people is the rarest thing I know.
Ernest Hemingway
Everything is new under Obama. Before Obama there was no terrorism, no debt, no healthcare premium increases, no illegal immigration, no deadlock in government, no economic downturn, no corporate welfare, no cronyism and more.
Truly we lived in Paradise until Obama made us eat that apple. Which stands for abortion, which Obama also invented.
Its the same issue as the mythical man month. Complex process don't scale to multiple people perfectly. So while your typical middle manager can now do the work of 10 men in that role say forty years ago, 10 men working one tenth of the time would be unable to do the same.
The are essentially the equivalent of fixed costs within the single job role, HR and administrative related activities, time spent learning and tracking changes in the business, new processes and methods daily activities of communications, five min periods of staring into space after a couple hours of work that most peoples brains have to do, etc. It is therefore more efficient (cheaper) to hire one person to work 40 hours than ten people would probably need to work at least six to get the same amount tasks completed.
We therefore have high skilled high complexity jobs performed by a small number of people working full time. Lower skilled lower complexity jobs where the 'fixed costs' are smaller we fill with more part time labor. We might be able to automate those jobs away but there are economic impediments to doing so.
Could you build robots to take orders and make burgers with todays tech and have a fully automated fast food joint? Quite likely, there are some kiosk sized examples of exactly that. It would be expensive to scale that up to a full size Burger Joint operation though. Still probably would be cheaper than human labor in the long run but for the fact we have this social safety net (corporate welfare program). We let people live in subsidized housing, eat subsidized food, heat with subsidized fuel and send their kids to subsidized schools.
That creates a vast supply of under market priced low skill labor. Paid for by taxing the high skilled worked. The ultimate effect is a transfer of wealth from the high skilled worker to the capital owner, who fills the bottom end of their operation with low skill subsidized labor. Thus we have a shrinking middle class and an ever expanding wealth gap. The middle class is paying for the poor to work jobs that don't pay them enough to survive.
If we rolled back these safety net programs and replaced them with worker relocation programs, we could address the wealth gap. IE can't afford to live where you are working a job you can get with the skills you have, the government will ship you and your belongings to somewhere where the cost of living is lower and low skilled work is in demand; along with a few hundred bucks and change of clothes to get you going.
The short term effect would be that wages for lower skilled work and likely middle class professional work would be pushed back up, as business would have to pay living wages to retain their workforce. Thus the person serving your coffee in San Fransisco really would get $20 and hour, because otherwise nobody would be there to do it. Otherwise the cost living will fall as wealthy people leave unable to obtain the goods and services they want in that location.
Ultimately however at $20 an hour the incentive to automate production of cheeseburgers and fancy coffee drinks would be stronger. You will see a fully robotized McDonalds and and blueberry field harvested entirely by machine. At that point I don't know what happens to the average worker.
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Since the early 70s hours worked hasn't fallen, and worker share of productivity gains has decreased.
Why? I don't think it's a coincidence that the early 70s is also when we came off the gold standard. Do you get a raise when inflation goes up? I sure don't.
The weekend incentive dropped from $5 per hour down to $1 per hour; and PPL accumulation went down too (unless you/ve been working there more than 15 years or more)
I'm surprised at the comments so far.
Surely the thrust of the article is that the benefits of the increase in productivity have not gone to the workers and the middle class, but to the super rich.
Is far from being the same as being working.
Productivity on those hours? Americans spend fair amount of time of small talk (HOw are you doing? .... five minutes after to the point). Coffee breaks like every hour or two. Long lunch breaks ... and so on.
We call this a "tech boom." We are still transitioning from human to AI economy... hence the down turns.
I am very small, utmostly microscopic.
I think most is just inflation. Wages go up, but so do costs.
Guess what... if we distributed all that concentrated wealth, we'd still need to work.
It's really simple. Reagan entered office in 1981. China opened its economy to the West starting in 1978. Ever since then, the Chinese economy has grown at about 10% per year, and inequality has increased in the US as lower-wage jobs go to China. Any questions?
Every post I make begins with the assumption P=~P.
There's a reason a CEO makes 300 times the average-paid worker in their organization, instead of around 30 times back in the 50's. Pure, unadulterated greed. Technology has only allowed this disparity to become acute and pronounced. Same thing with the "sharing economy", which is really short-hand for "we're in a fucking recession", that is why people are using their own cars to drive people around and renting parts of their houses to strangers. Very few would be doing this unless the economic demands were acute, the need for revenue extreme.
But listening to the talking heads tell it, we're about to boost to the moon because the world's economy is doing "just fine". Bullshit...
Americans work so much because among other reasons, sadly, having debts is now considered 'normal.' It's become like divorce after marriage. People are encouraged to borrow more. Even for things they do not really need. A good number of folks especially those new to the workforce do not see any problem carrying debt at all.
The "me" "me" attitude makes things worse. In fact mortgage, auto and student loan debt now is in the trillions and getting higher! It's sad. But more importantly, we still think we're at the epitome of standard of life.
Very few folks talk of saving to buy what one wants. And if they do, their voices are drowned out by corporate controlled media.
Wages have declined over the past two decadea meaning people have to work longer hours to make ends meet. Keynesian economics has nothing to di with it. Quite simple it's grees from the wealthy.
My late father used to say something like, "Work is like gravity . . . it tends to be attracted towards people capable of doing the work."
Take a look around you. At folks who are actually doing work . . . and those with long titles, and are not really doing any work.
Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
The entire story is flawed because the completely failed to identify the cause of the hours worked plateau. This have completely incorrectly assumed that teh hours worked average is entirely a matter of choice for American works, which is completely incorrect.
The reason that the average has remained at around 39 hours is being primarily influenced by labor laws. Hours beyond 40 require the payment of an overtime rate, a 50% increase in the pay rate. Additionally, keeping hours worked below 36 hours excuses companies from having to provide benefits to those employees. These two factors alone, drive companies to maintain two classes of workers, full time(40Hrs.) and part time(36Hrs.). These to groups of workers thus create the average of 39 hours worked. It has nothing to do with productivity or anything else, it is the simple economics fro the companies that are created by these two labor restrictions.
Salaried workers, exempt form these previous legal restrictions. are affected by another dynamic. They are closer to being influenced by the free market, where a company can replace them with a more eager competitor, and the fear of replacement compels salaried workers to work longer hours and produce more, often to their detriment. But, their hours aren't tracked and recorded as hourly workers are and their work hours don't influence the averages.
The average for hourly workers is ~39 hours per week. The average for salaried workers is much higher for fear of losing their jobs to competitors in the marketplace.
Guess what... if we distributed all that concentrated wealth, we'd still need to work.
Sure we would, and I'm not implying that it is a bad thing to have an obligation to fulfill that separates a person's free time from *his labors.
Look, redistributing wealth entirely and evenly is a dream that spawns in pipes. Economically, someone will always climb to the top of the food chain, but we've let it get way out of hand.
The present concentration of wealth is so dire that we run the risk of consolidating the World's power into a few hundred families.
Happiness in intelligent people is the rarest thing I know.
Ernest Hemingway
It's endearing how so many commenters are discovering elementary facts of hundreds-of-years-old economics. ("People need money to spend." "There could be enough work, if we could sell it" "we need people to actually get money from working" You don't say!)
If only they'd take some basic education in the subject, so they don't have to reinvent all this elementary stuff from pieties and memes.
So a very small percentage of people owning almost all America's wealth is the fault of the Chinese?
The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
Yes, the Chinese and a few wealthy Americans are colluding to fuck over all other Americans.
Americans work so much because they are scared to death.
Thanks a lot, Reagan.
You are welcome on my lawn.
How to keep the people busy? :-D
Working for a pay with which they can buy stuff noone really needs, so they can breed more workers, so the rich and bureaucratic minded can keep their lush and cushy government jobs, which also only serve to obtain a pay with which they can buy stuff they don't really need, yet manage to use a little bit more wisely etc... it is a vicious unending circle which eventually only serves to keep the people busy with stupid references to which they can reply or even make a job out of, with which they can earn a pay, which serves to buy stuff which noone needs, yet only srves to keep everyone distracted from the life they actually should be living yet totally forgot, since noone can remember what exactly it is, this life we are supposed to live.
etc etc....
there, for those that read this, enjoy and give me a call, maybe we can go out, have a beer, shoot some policitians, or maybe have some fun and join our local terrorist organisation so we can truly go out with a bang. IS!, it IS tha bomb!
funny ain't it,
oh yeah, a beer would also do, but then remember, how much time and effort had to go into learning how to make beer, and the container to contain the beer and all the ingredients......
can't we just cut off the head and the butt and get it over with?
and isn't it ironic.
[wdw]
The baby boom started increasing the supply of entry level labor about 1970.
Women's liberation started increasing the supply of entry level labor about 1970.
The Immigration and Nationality Act of 1965 started increasing the supply of labor (not just entry level) about 1970.
The Donor Party liked this because it lowered labor costs. Oh, did I say "Donor"? I meant "Republican".
The Elect A New People Party liked this because 2 of the 3 sources of new labor would vote to Elect A New People. Oh, did I say "Elect A New People"? I meant "Democratic".
So you have a huge influx of labor and this is interpreted as a "labor shortage" by both parties.
Combined with the fact that FDR's "New Deal", in effect, nationalized many of the functions previously performed by the labor unions -- turning the national border into a de facto picket line that, for example, that neoNazi Eisenhower enforced with "Operation Wetback" (deporting most of the illegal immigrants) -- and the labor movement effectively collapsed.
Elizabeth Warren, before she got conned into becoming a politician, was the only mainstream academic to come close to documenting even part of this. See her Jefferson Lecture titled "The Coming Collapse of the Middle Class.
Since 1992, I've been advocating replacing taxes on economic activity with what amounts to an insurance premium for the protection of property rights, and distributing the revenue in a citizen's dividend. In that white paper I predicted a lot of what has now come to pass as a result of centralization of wealth and burgeoning welfare state rent seeking.
Here is a link to a recent synopsis of that proposal.
Seastead this.
Yes, why didn't the US protect its market and close the borders to Chinese cheap crap? You could even explain it with consumer health concerns.
We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
The Atlantic article didn't mention anything about the creation of the social safety net. Before 1930, no workee meant no eatee, virtually everybody worked at something and the only ones that didn't were dependent on family, friends (see Marx, Karl) and charity. This included very young children.
Creating that net meant a whole lot of people who shouldn't be working didn't have to and those who could work the system didn't have to either. So a smaller portion of the population needs to work more hours to support the non-working part.
But all that good stuff has to be paid for and the workers are it. Before 1930, there was:
. no income tax or only on the 1% (Federal, I don't know about State)
. no Social-Security/Medicare tax (7% per individual, 15% for self-employed), originally 16:2 workers/receiver now it's less than 4:1
. no sales taxes (8+% in many states)
. much lower property taxes
. much smaller military
. much smaller non-military gov't employment.
When Volkswagen experimented with 4-workday weeks 20 years ago, local plumbers and carpenters fell on hard times because everyone now used the extra day to fix things themselves, or even work on the side on that extra day. While the unions keep telling you that workers would relax during the extra time resulting from reduced work, in reality everyone tries to make a little extra on the side.
Also, having a job gives meaning to your life. Being told that you will be needed less is like telling you that you are a burden - nobody wants to hear that. That is also why today both parents work, even though they could enjoy the standard of living of a single-earner household of 50 years ago. But to keep up with the Joneses and to feel better for themselves both are now working, and the downside of less parenting seems to be generally accepted.
You know it's time for the next revolution when your rulers' names end with roman numerals.
I would think that in increase in the working force, creates extra value for people with money, and if people as a whole did not work, people with money, would probably starve if they wouldn't buy their stuff.
Scary stuff: What would your 24 hour a day of free time worth? Probably invaluable.
> Ever since then, the Chinese economy has grown at about 10% per year, and inequality has increased in the US as lower-wage jobs go to China. Any questions?
You know, there's a nice thing called Logic. Go read about it.
You might have a point if you're talking about unemployment, but what can Obama or any other president do about that? Companies will always prefer cheaper parts (from China or Madagascar or wherever).
But that's unemployment not inequality. An unemployed person will always have no income.
You're mistaking fault with reason, as many people do. There's inherent barriers to entry--capitalism is about capital used to make further capital which is inherently a self-enriching system for the rich. Further, the overall standard of the living of the world has vastly increased if you include all the Chinese who now have (relatively) good paying jobs along with all the (relatively) cheap goods produced as a by-product of a lot of manufacturing being done in China--the last part materially helps everyone.
The real issue with wealth inequality isn't the inequality per se. At some level, it functionally is equivalent to just a number in a bank or a portfolio with a set number of stock. There's still plenty of opportunity to functionally advance into the very-well-off business owner, even if very few can enter the realm of the super rich; the argument that such has to be a real possibility is absurd for the same reason it'd be absurd to think that every musician must have the opportunity to be a mega star or there won't be enough music made.
No, the real issue is how money in politics has a corrupting influence over the process and the mega rich are quite capable of altering the laws so that, oh, we see workers in the US who are compoundedly hurt by the influx of investments from factories (and the like) from China. It's cheaper to buy a smear campaign against raising minimum wage or raising taxes, even by 1%, on the top 1% of earners to offset the massive budget deficits that the 1% so heavily, indirectly, benefit from. Personal dogma of the 1% is enshrined in law above the will of the people. And while all of this will in the long-term being corrected as China's economy moves much closer to a developed state, that still means potentially decades of an oppressive "elite" who have undue influence over the system.
But, again, in the long-term, it doesn't (mostly) amount to a lot. The drug war isn't a by product of this. General "tough on crime" over-sentencing isn't a by product of this. The US won't default on its debts, even if it finally comes to raising taxes on the top 1%, because the 1% doesn't want to move from the tax/regulation paradise it bought. In general, so long as the 1% continue to be focused on numbers in a bank as more of a game, the actual real harm is mostly minimized and doesn't matter a lot*.
* One could argue about the cutting of social services, but I think that's a broader egotistical issue of Americans who subscribe to Social Darwinism and has been, sadly, a cornerstone of the US for a long, long time. The same with racism, issues of gun violence, etc. Cultural issues like that are mostly unrelated to the China/US trade relation.
FTFY: Why do Americans spend so much time at work
WE need more unions and basic health care for all.
15% of the US trade deficit with China is dur to WalMart ALONE! So yes.
Unemployment is high in the US.
The increase in the income gap began around the same time that trickle-down supply-side economics became national policy in the 1980s. Having one president or another in office doesn't magically change the course of the economy. That's driven largely by tax policy, which (last time I checked the Constitution) is controlled by Congress. Which is controlled by wealthy campaign donors who benefit from income inequality.
http://alternatives.rzero.com/
The 1930's through the 1970's was the heyday of industrial society. People built things. Prior to that, we had an agricultural society, where people spent most of their effort obtaining food. Over time, we found ways to grow far more food per person, freeing most people to do something else. The same thing happened in manufacturing. In early industry you may need 4-10 people to perform a single manufacturing step. Now you have one operator running three machines simultaneously. Again freeing people to work somewhere else. Welcome to post industrial society. Now these people are working in the service industry, such as health care and entertainment. People don't just want health care from 9-5, people need to work odd hours. In the early industrial era, wages were low due to manufacturing being very inefficient, and wages needed to be keep low to make any kind of profit. This profit was often reinvested to improve manufacturing. Over time, the rational to keep it low was solved, and after a lot of fighting, was raised. We are still in the early service economy. Consumers want someone to answer questions on their products and services 24-7. Someone has to be there to answer the twitter post. These jobs are not hard to fill with low wage workers. So we have gone from agricultural to industrial to service economy. No one knows what the next one will be. When the service economy becomes efficient, and starts to create a body of excess people, we may move onto whatever the next version of the economy there is. Currently we are in the service economy. Each one improved the quality of life. People complain about wage disparity, but they also have cars, TVs, Xboxs, cell phones, iPads, etc. The profit needs to be invested back into the process to improve the service economy and cut down the need for so many people doing menial work.
No really, Not trolling.
If you work more than 40 hours, and you dont own the business you are trying to build, then it's because you are accepting the bullshit your employer feeds you.
if you have so much work you cant get it done in 8 hours a day 5 days a week, then they need to hire more people. You instead by working all kinds of free overtime tell your boss, "i am your slave, please abuse me".
Way too many workers are too stupid or lack the backbone to tell their boss, "no, I will not give up my life because you are an asshole and refuse to hire the workers needed"
When more do this, the problem of companies and bosses abusing the workers will go away.
Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
what about the productivity gains? It's not just outsourcing (not that it helps). They're still been massive productivity gains, which is covered in TFA. In fact, it's exactly the gains Keynes predicted. Computers and Robots are taking our jerbs. Go look up how the Steam Controller is made. Instead of working less we work more because in our dog eat dog economy instead of lowering the work week to 30, raising minimum wage and enacting tariffs to protect workers we just let everyone's pay go down due to over supply.
An oversupply of labor lowers it's value like anything else. It's one of the funny things in American capitalism: We just can't imagine a downside to supply and demand. I think it's because when we were kids we were taught it like it was religion...
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So, you dont, cannot blame Regan. . someone had to open the door. .could that have been the tricky dicky?
Keynes failed to allow for the changing distribution of wealth.
True. But the underlying cause of that is an ongoing cultural decay that makes it increasingly acceptable for people to be absolutely ruthless, greedy, unprincipled bastards.
This increase happened because we lost the ability to feel shame, and thus the ability to censure others with shame. It turns out that shame was more important to our society than we though.
shelter, transportation, education and healthcare. Some folks don't want to just consume all the time Brave New World style. And with mass communications and entertainment a lot of folks can spend their time reading, playing video games, etc with very minimal amounts of resources changing hands.
You're trying to solve this problem without Socialism. It's not going to work. You're either not going to solve the problem or going to end up with some bastardization of socialism like America's Military Industrial Complex.
Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
People keep thinking they can outsmart reality with mathematical masturbation. The only one that gets fooled by that sort of thing is ourselves. Reality is never fooled because it doesn't calculate things in terms of our philosophies and theories and spreadsheets... it rather calculates things in terms of "is" and "is not". You can't trick that.
Print all the money you want. Its just zeros in a computer at this point. When push comes to shove... the question will be "how much of X do you have NOW". The numbers in our model rarely describe that. They talk about how much we "should" have or how much we "might" have or how much we "will" have... assuming everything goes one way or another.
If our models were so f'ing perfect we wouldn't have these collapses. We wouldn't go from bull to bear and then back to bull and then back to bear.
The truth of the economy lies somewhere between bull and bear. It is the empirical reality. Denial in that case is just self delusion. Accept that and grow wiser.
You can pretend Keynes is the end all be all... but were that the case more of his theories would not be a shit show.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?...
I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
Hey, that gives me an idea. Think we can somehow tack global warming onto Obama?
We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
Keynes was a nitwit. Virtually nothing he wrote was right, mostly because he was writing to his ideology.
See that "Preview" button?
they can make us work 6 or 7 days a week & fire us if we actually decide to take our vacation time to go on a vacation.
As far as I know, Keynes never predicted two contributing factors which are probably keeping hours worked inflated. One: while the amount of "work" to do has been reduced, the number of people doing the work is also reduced. Technological, organizational or operational changes usually mean job reductions in most organizations, but, the projected reductions are almost always wildly optimistic. No organization will admit the new technology/software/process/outsourcing/whatever failed to deliver the promised reduction in required bodies, as this is seen as a failure in leadership. Reality is denied so the delusion can appear to remain validated and the stock price kept inflated. Meanwhile, the survivors are doing more, including more overtime. Two: the sharp rise of part-time work as the employment norm, along with reduction in service, number of employee hours, and rates of pay. Started with retail and the service industries and is creeping into other areas of work. As late as the early 1970's, working full-time retail could pay enough to support a family. Today, many people are working 50 or 60 (or more) hours a week, spread across two or three part-time jobs.
Why? because for the last 10 years ive been living within my means. I bought a car i could afford to pay for up-front... i havent used any credit cards and i dont have -any- outstanding debts. Even with a 30% down payment, they wont touch me.
When i went to apply for a mortgage, the banks advice was to go get a bunch of credit cards & run them up & that will somehow make me a better credit risk.
BS like this is what you get when you let the banks write all the banking laws.
No, because global warming doesn't exist. I know this because the weather outside is cold, thus proving once again that Obama lied to us.
Sitting at work for 12 hours per day does not equate to higher productivity, I don't care what Alan Greenspan says.
But consumption habits are what make (Western) poor people poor. Seriously; our poor people have cell phones, cable, and expensive clothes. I'm making 6 figures and spend less on "consumerism" than all of my employees, and less than half than the hourly folks. I drive a 20 year old pickup instead of making payments on something with satellite radio. The sad and funny part of that is that they see what I do, how I live, and still don't get it. Yes, I can watch every packers game at a bar for less than the cost of cable, and I get beer delivered to me in that cost differential. Of course, I read instead of watch kardashians, and that's probably THE most significant difference, as I don't let the TV tell me what I need to buy to be happy.
What can we do about it? We could use tariffs like we did for most of America's history.
Or we could use a VAT like most of the other OECD nations do.
The fix is easy. Getting mouth-breathing sixth-grade education Republican sociopaths to see it is hard.
So a very small percentage of people owning almost all America's wealth is the fault of the Chinese?
I know this is going to be an unpopular opinion, but in my opinion it's the fault of those who routinely carry debt. Most people in America don't know shit about finances. They borrow heavily, and wonder why they never have any money. You know who profits? People who don't borrow. Not necessarily even the lenders, rather, just people who don't borrow.
And no, no amount of usury laws will change that. Usury laws create loan sharks, and unlike legitimate lenders, loan sharks don't answer to the law. Most people are just plain stupid and will borrow money at insanely dumb interest rates, even from dangerous people if they have to, just because they have no idea how to manage their own finances.
Borrowing also includes renting, by the way. Part of this comes from people who insist upon living in upscale expensive areas (i.e. New York, San Francisco) when it's clearly beyond their means, have a super high rent, and then wonder why they live paycheck to paycheck.
I personally have never made a whole lot (my current income at my IT job is just under $50k) but am already taking advantage of the situation. That is, I just paid cash on a shitty house, fixed it up, and now have renters in it paying me every month. (And no, I am not a slumlord, the last owner was, hence it was shitty, however unlike him I'm still in the process of bringing improvements to the property even while tenants are in it.)
I am not sure I agree much with your history but your proposal to replace taxation with what amounts to insurance is interesting! I think I could support something like that.
What I don't understand. Is why liabilities are subtracted from assets. Why not simply 'tax' all assets at their liquidation value. After all any liability is an asset on some other parties balance sheet. Lower the 'tax' rate to where its affordable without subtraction of liabilities. I argue for this because otherwise it encourages radical private debt levels. I mean I have no incentive to pay anything other than interest on my mortgage because as long as I maintain 0% home equity I pay no taxes on the estate? Does not seem reasonable.
The other problem with this theory is acts in many ways like a wealth tax. The problem is what does a retired person with little income do? They have worked to put a roof over their head but now they have to pay taxes on it without income to support them. Should they system be pushing them to selling the property to replace their capital investment with rent expense, while in the mean time paying taxes on their now cash assets out of those very same assets? That seems like it will destroy familiar wealth accumulation. Maybe you consider that a 'feature' I and I think most will not but I know some on the political left do and will.
I would try and solve the post income earning years problem by augmenting your plan with exceptions for certain asset classes, perhaps something like residential real-estate personally occupied at least 55% of year should be exempt. It would realistically have to be more complex than even that though. Something like "residential real-estate personally occupied an average of at least 55% over the preceding five years or you must tax with interest on any years the exemption was taken" That way people are free to travel etc without inuring heavy tax penalties.
Its an interesting concept but I think there are lots of details on complexities to work out.
Repeal the 17th Amendment TODAY! Also Please Read http://www.gnu.org/philosophy/right-to-read.html
Up until you started talking about renting bring a firm of lending you were on solid ground. Your thoughts on the desire for high scale residences are in the right direction but renting isn't the problem the greed is.
Being a form of lending*
Target Inflation effectively keeps people workng. If our government did not artificially maintain a target inflation then people would be happy working fewer hours. Target inflation means that costs keep going up for things and the peons have to keep working. The economists could not look good unless people are working 40 hours a week.
In 1930, the average family had 1 person working 47 a week. Now it has 2 people working 40 hours per week. So we're contributing 80 hours to the economy instead of 47. All to increase the wealth of the rich. This stated with Nixon shock in the early 70's and we're paying the price for that crook to this day.
And no Iraq and Afghanistan.
putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
Reagan also started the "no more government" hysteria as we'll as a policy of tax cuts for the rich and corps and massive government deficits. How the hell that qualifies as economic policy beats me.
putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
I think debt is slavery.
putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
Because they waste half of their time at work surfing the Internet, texting, tweeting, Instagraming and pretending to work. They follow that up with mistake-ridden real work that needs to be redone over and over because they can't write or puntuate, and do sloppy work because they're still at work but want to be home because the Kardashians are coming on.
Signed,
Your Boss
Americans work so much, speaking as an American, to make our employers wealthier than they currently are. I retired from the rat race, a lot of it is busy work chasing your tail, and am now self employed. I don't work as much or earn as much, but I enjoy life far more.
Of course. Unearned income is a huge multiplier for wealth while borrowing does the opposite. And you are right about renting vs. owning though I think it is a bit more nuanced. Often in locations ownership can approach or pass 200 months rent in which case renting is the far better option.
Go read up about some of the root causes of the Great Depression and get back to me about raising tariffs.
Simply speaking, the market is going to charge what (most) people are willing to pay. If people with excess money are willing to overpay for a shitty product, the value of that shitty product is (artificially) inflated beyond what it is worth. Think of how inflated the value of said shitty product would be if it was common practice for everyone buying it to get a loan to do so (home,car,college). Or if the person buying it had the taxpayers dollars at their disposal (F35, $100 hammer). Or if the person buying it had the insurance-payers dollars at their disposal (medical). I think the problem is that everyone is trying to "keep up with the Joneses" and we are all being forced to keep up with the Joneses' inflation.
"Deadlock" in government is needed and necessary to stop shit from happening.
The ultra-wealthy are in minority, yet their interest are being served at the expense of the majority, thus a "democracy" cannot be a reality.
Charitable institutions is a scam, to lighten the consciences of thieves. Tax the fuck out of the wealthy so they can't afford to be charitable and it won't even be needed.
While the article is correct in pointing out the problem caused by unfair wealth distribution, the cause of the unfair wealth distribution is not China per se. It is the Law of Supply and Demand in action, whenever population grows faster than resource-production. Folks who say the world is not overpopulated tend to focus only on food production, but people need rather more things than just food, and all of them need to be produced at the rate population grows, for wealth distribution to stay fair. I've presented more details about that (and the reverse, that when resource production increases faster than population, wealth distribution goes the other way), here.
Like everything else, labor price is about supply and demand. For a long time using foreign labor was extremely impractical on so many levels, no doubt Henry Ford had to primarily hire US workers to work on US plants to sell cars to the US population. When it became practical to use Chinese and Indian labor, this lead to a massive influx of unnaturally cheap labor. Look at this table and graph. In 2000 you could hire 30 Chinese workers for the price of one American, productivity was only 13% but you still got 4:1 on your money. Today it's 6 Chinese workers to one American, productivity is up to 38% and 2.3:1 on your money. If you take high-cost China vs low-cost US, you're down to 1.45:1.
No doubt labor costs are going to continue to rise in China. India too is on the rise, though not quite as much. Within the next 5-10 years it'll probably be roughly as expensive to manufacture in China as it is in the US and the massive negative wage pressure will be gone. Same thing with software and India, whether you like it or not it's a global market now and our wages aren't going to rise again until the other workers of the world push global wages higher. If you've seen at the GDP distribution of the world there used to be a big lump at the top in the western world, then actually a drop and then the world's poor. Check out the difference between 1970 and 2006. We just can't keep up the level of inequality we used to.
Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
If you're renting, you're borrowing a property. It's basically the same as paying interest.
In my area, renting tends to cost about 30% more than a mortgage. I'm not sure why, or even where else this applies, but it just is.
I think the economics of it is that a lot of people either lack the credit or the down payment (both of which come from a lack of managing one's own finances) hence the demand for rent would increase.
People don't want to be in debt because they have to pay interest -- which is a disincentive similar to a tax. The incentive you worry about is a wash.
Regarding retired persons: What is worse is the load placed on family formation by taxing their home equity because that reduces the total fertility rate of the middle class and leads to social collapse (as we've been seeing as a result of the mid-to-late Boomers whose total fertility rate was trashed by the exploding cost of replacement reproduction).
However, what you are ignoring is that all revenue is distributed in a citizen's dividend, aka unconditional basic income, that acts as an annuity asset for everyone.
The more parameters you put into a plan, the more it becomes an object of public sector rent-seeking aka porkbarrel aka special interest politics -- to log-roll those parameters. "General welfare" (in the Preamble to the Constitution) should mean just that -- no citizen benefits more, or less, than any other. Before you start adding things in like exemptions (I did include an exemption for bankruptcy-protected assets, such as homestead, in my 1992 white paper) you have to consider the horrors of political log-rolling.
Seastead this.
Before China, Japan was a low wage country threatening US labor rates. Then came Korea, Singapore et al.
Ching got its main push in ~2001 with entry into WTO. (a suspect organization) China did not even have to float their currency like everyone.
China has been subsidized by the western world for 16 years. Likely because the oil companies did not like crude oil at $8/barrel.
Globalization and "free trade" has seriously fucked up the standard of living for the western middle class. "Free Trade" is only about fucking up the Unions and the middle class. Most of the stuff produced in China is exported, thus they don't need most of it. China has 2 billion people that needs to be distracted and prevented from getting rid of the new emperor class. Tianamen with 10,000 people was a manageable threat, but if one million rises against the rulers they could not be stopped. Mao did it with less. It could happen again, and they are losing sleep over it, any political opposition is dealt with harshly.
Once China and the rest stops supporting the petro-dollar the US will rapidly collapse. Wars fed by lies, are used to enforce the petro-dollar rule.
The US (or rather its billionaires) does not need a middle class, the economy is global. Fuck the middle class.
Why can't their families relocate with them?
Because mom's skills and dad's skills are needed in different states. One difference between now and the 1930s WPA is that women are more likely to work other than as homemakers. And because a lot of people value keeping in touch with the family beyond the nuclear family.
Testing software on a Sunday and posting on /. while I wait on the testbed...
It's because when there's work to do somebody needs to do it.
If we're flexible, then we get to be those people.
Anyhow my employer's policy is--If you're willing to give +40, you're asked to do it when things are busy.
Some folks that *will* not work more than 40. Those folks aren't asked to.
As long as you say what you will do and do what you say, nobody here has a problem with it.
Enough of us are willing so that when things are slack he doesn't have to lay people off.
OBTW--someone who works for no money is called a slave. We get paid for every hour we put in.
When things got really bad in our industry around 2008, we took pay cuts (boss cut his pay to zero first--really zero, not bogus boss zero with stock options).
In 20 years of working for this company we have never had to let someone go due to lack of available work.
BTW, if you know ControlLogix programming, give me a shout. It's pretty busy 'round here!
"Reality is that which, when you stop believing in it, doesn't go away." - Philip K. Dick
Boss, "Ok, fuck you then. I'll hire someone else. I have 30 resumes on my desk with people desperate to work here. Bye bye!"
line up something else, then call their bluff.
if you don't have the balls to do that, you're lying every time you don't list "Wage Slave" as the position title on your CV.
Gen-X was followed by Gen-C (for "Cowards", obviously).
Income inequality has risen since at least Reagan, don't act like it's something new.
It also has a lot to do with the economic cycle. High income people make most of their money from investments, so their income plummets when the economy goes into recession and the stock market falls. When the economy recovers, and the stock market goes up (as it has under Obama), then high income people benefit disproportionately.
Some properties the rent covers the cost of utilities and property tax other times the utilities are separately paid. In the UK, the tenants pay the rent and the property tax separately as well as the utilities. Landlords usually expect that tenants will pay 1/3rd their monthly salary as rent. Divide your annual salary by 40, and that's what you'll be expected to pay.
Sometimes people invest their savings in property rather than a private pension. Then when they go into care, they rent out the property as source of income, then sell it off.
Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
The ultra-wealthy are in the majority, because every dollar is a vote.
A rather compelling argument has been made that widening income inequality is an inherent result of capitalism. The topic is covered in some depth in this book. Borrowing a brief summary from here:
...as long as the rate of return on capital (r) is greater than the rate of economic growth (g), wealth will tend to concentrate in a minority, and that the inequality r > g always holds over the long term...
To what extent this is a problem and what solutions there are can be debated. As long as you avoid debating with those who hold the insane position that all inherent effects of capitalism are good by definition.
Ideology: A tool used primarily to avoid the bother of thinking.
If you're renting, you're borrowing a property. It's basically the same as paying interest.
I read your earlier post on the matter to determine what you mean by "same". The answer is no, renting is not the same as borrowing. A loan means you borrow money now in exchange for creating an obligation to pay in the future. Renting usually does not. For example, I might be renting a very expensive apartment in Manhattan today, but I can move out. I can't decide that I want a smaller loan and just move out of my old big one.
One big reason renting is so popular is not being tied down to a single area. Maybe I can afford to settle down when I'm 70 but right now I need to stay flexible. Every 6 months to a year I need to evaluate my options to where the salary hotspots are go there. In the last 5 years, I have lived in Boston, Seattle, 'Frisco, Austin, Portland, Denver, and am soon moving to Manhattan. These are where the high-paying jobs are and I need to be there. Houses and family just make me less flexible thus less employable.
Money never sleeps and neither can I. This is the way of the new economy. The way of our grandparents starting with a company, staying 25-40 years and retiring are dead. Company loyalty is for the stupid. If you can't update your resume every year, you might as well just jump in front of a bus because you don't matter. The only measure of success these days is the number of figures in your paycheck and the number of prestigious jobs on your CV. A flashy car doesn't hurt either but lease, never ever buy.
Slow Down Cowboy! It's been 1 hour, 47 minutes since you last successfully posted a comment
Since it is well known that capitalists try to put competitors out of business, thus restricting the supply of resources so that it doesn't grow as fast as population, what you say fits as a small part of what I wrote here
People who carry debt carry our consumption based economy and make your lifestyle possible.
Look at your paycheck.
Federal; 7.5% for Social Security [your employer pays just as much], Medicare, Medicaid,
State: Income tax is 0% if you're, lucky. Probably around 3~5%. Then there's sale tax. In many states it's 10%.
You probably don't belong to a union, so you need to pump up your 401(k) to 10% [good luck retiring at that contribution rate!].
That's before paying for health, dental, life.
Global security costs.
Who protects Europe?
America!
Who protects the Far East?
America!
Yes Americans work hard; thank goodness they do!
There WAS enough money, but most of it has been transferred to .01 of the US population
Repeat after me: wealth is not a finite resource.
transferred it into various financial vehicles were it will never get "back" into the actual economy.
Repeat after me: Only dumbasses do not have savings and investments.
Which is why the amount of work went up when productivity went up. Duh.
Man, why didn't I choose economics as a career?
sigs are for losers (except to point out that sigs are for losers)
I think debt is slavery.
Somewhat. I'd more say that debt which cannot be discharged via bankruptcy is like slavery.
Since 1967, median real income (adjusted for inflation) has increased by 23%. That means that in order to have the same amount of spending money as people 50 years ago, you can work 23% less than they did.
Or you can work 40 hours and spend the extra money on Starbucks and Netflix HD. You can make coffee at home for 20 cents and work less, or you can buy coffee for $4 and work 40 hours.
It seems that most people decide to work about 40 hours.
You are severely over-analyzing something that is very simple:
Once an employer's business is profitable, he faces a simple choice: Reduce his employee's working hours and continue to make the same money himself, or keep his employee's working hours the same and make even more money himself. Assuming he is sane, he wants more money, so he makes the second choice.
Every single employer in the world faces this same choice, and makes the same choice. Sometimes the self-employed choose to reign in their hours, but that is a small subset of an already-small subset of people.
So, that's all there is to this. The aristocrats don't want to share with the rest of us any more than they must, so they don't, and we keep working.
But if we link global warming to Obama, they're gonna explode. Either they have to admit that global warming exists or they have one thing less to smear Obama with.
We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
Keynes was right, we should all have a standard of living 8x as much today. Unfortunately he just didn't allow for the greedy superrich motherfuckers being able to keep it all to themselves.
There are definitely similarities between renting and borrowing money, but there are important differences. Borrowing money means a (often long-term) obligation that you can't simply walk away from; you have to pay off the debt. If you're renting, you can just walk away once your contact is up. In my case, I only need to give 30 days notice if I want to move out.
The analogy between rent and interest also has problems. Rent means constant payments over time with a fixed total price and no long-term ownership; if you have a one year contract at $1k a month, then you know that you will pay $12k over the length of the contact and you don't own anything at the end of the day.
Repeated borrowing (like in credit cards or loans to pay off loans) means the price is not fixed, in part because the duration of the loan(s) is not fixed. If you have $1k in credit card debt, that could mean paying $1k immediately or it could mean paying a lot more over time. The flip side is that you do get long-term ownership of whatever you buy with the borrowed money.
Mortgages (and fixed-term borrowing) are closer to renting, but you own the property once the mortgage is payed off. Given the tax incentives for mortgages in the US, mortgages can be a pretty good deal.
Among 38 OECD countries, the United States ranks 17 out of 38 in annual working hours, which is quite close to the average of OECD.
So the answer is that Americans do not work "so much" at all. Their working hour appears quite normal.
No Terrorism before Obama.
Wow, just Wow. You do realize the World Trade Center was bombed twice before Obama, an American ship was bombed, several embassies blown up, just to name a few - although there are many, many more.
What you really mean is before FOX News.
Just cap political donations to $10, then see the government chase the masses, not the wealthy few.
I’m an American, but I watch a lot of Top Gear, which is where I get all of my scientific knowledge. And according to them, Americans are all lazy, fat, slow, stupid, and have the total inability to design a car that can go around a corner. So clearly there must be some flaw in this discussion that seems to assume that Americans work too much. Perhaps we spend more wall-clock time working, compared to people in other countries, to make up for the fact that we’re inefficient and incompetent. Also, as an American, I was too lazy to read the article.
At an interest rate of say 4% you are paying about 1/2% / mo. If renting is coming in about 30% more than that then its about 230 mo rent to pay the house off outright. If you are including taxes, upkeep... that makes owning a no brainer.
Agreed. If you are chasing income then renting makes sense even if economically you are taking a loss.
But now you have two jobs.. Maybe you're passionate about both IT and landlording, but don't you find it upsetting that you can't really be just an IT professional? You have to guard your wealth by also being a real estate speculator, personal finance adviser, rental property manager, etc.. jobs which your IT training didn't really prepare you for?
The original article is paywalled and costs almost $40 to access. Thank you Springer, one of many greedy academic/scientific publishers.
"You might have a point if you're talking about unemployment, but what can Obama or any other president do about that? Companies will always prefer cheaper parts"
You tax this shit out of imports. You craft law that makes it unprofitable to do business overseas by imposing high tariffs. Lots and lots of things can be done to keep jobs on our shores and cheap chinese crap out.
Good-bye
It would seem their sarcasm was lost on you?
The sharp rise in inequality is driven by the complete disconnect between productivity growth and real wages, which used to track each other very closely. This disconnect appeared abruptly in 1971. So Reagan and China are not the origin of this problem whatever role that might have in perpetuating it.
Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
I have no dept but i rent. I don't want the pain and hassle of owning a place, and even freehold they are not free. Especially since i travel a lot. Also it is not the same. Right now where i am moving to, interest would be far higher than rent. And if something happens with my job, i can just move to somewhere cheaper. I can't do that so easily with a mortgage, and fixed terms can even penalize early payment. Furthermore desperate selling could really lose you a lot of money on back market conditions and just back luck, if you have to sell in on month flat.
If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
So why the surprise here? Keynesian economics is a complete crock. You can't just throw money at problems to make them go away.
So a very small percentage of people owning almost all America's wealth is the fault of the Chinese?
I know this is going to be an unpopular opinion, but in my opinion it's the fault of those who routinely carry debt. Most people in America don't know shit about finances. They borrow heavily, and wonder why they never have any money.
I cannot disagree with that premise. I can agree it is an unpopular opinion. I've spent a lot of time offering an alternative to living from paycheck to paycheck. Mostly I am told I am full of shit.
You know who profits? People who don't borrow. Not necessarily even the lenders, rather, just people who don't borrow.
Surely - I have and do. A small example of this is the credit card conundrum. I have two credit cards One that I live on, and one for fuel. Cashback cards. I pay off the bill in full every month, then get cash back at the end of the year. I also have a fine itemized expense report courtesy of the credit card company. And as an example of how people don't know what they are talking about, the Credit card companiy loves me. Where Joe Schmo is making those easy payments for the rest of hi life, my average balance of zero, and paying them a few thou every month is cash flow for them.
Part of this comes from people who insist upon living in upscale expensive areas (i.e. New York, San Francisco) when it's clearly beyond their means, have a super high rent, and then wonder why they live paycheck to paycheck.
I think it's a perversion of the American dream. Both the financially challenged, and many of the conservative poor just consider themselves "pre-millionaires". The poor are just poor - the reasonably well off are just incapable of any discipline. In addition, both cannot imagine any other way.
I've had people making twice as much as me tell me it's harder when you make twice as much. Ummm, no you stupid shits, you just put more in the bank and investments. But they are busy "movin' on up", and making suicidal financial decisions. And in the end, they come out the poorer. They lived high off the hog, while I saved and invested, living below my means, and now I'm retired, early, on my own terms, and living just as well as I did before I retired. Which is better than they will.
And I do note that I took a gamble - If I had croaked at say age 50, by comparison, the financially stupid would have won.
Reminds me of the old Cowboy saying "If I'd a-known I would have lived this long, I'd a-taken better care of myself.
Same goes for money.
I personally have never made a whole lot (my current income at my IT job is just under $50k) but am already taking advantage of the situation. That is, I just paid cash on a shitty house, fixed it up, and now have renters in it paying me every month. (And no, I am not a slumlord, the last owner was, hence it was shitty, however unlike him I'm still in the process of bringing improvements to the property even while tenants are in it.)
Sounds like a good plan. You always, and I mean always - should take advantage of whatever financial offerings you can. I had two tax deferred accounts in my early 20's though a quirk of the tax laws and where I was employed. Plus a retirement account. Plus investments and a bank account.
That Escalade my co workers bought when they refinanced their house is in the junkyard now, and they are still paying on it via their mortgage.
But aside from most people's poor financial skills and discipline, there is still a problem now with many people runining the financial ladder in reverse.
But what I find the most distressing is the odd attitude people take. I've been excoriated for how I've saved money, and many people with nary a retirement investment are pissed at people with pension plans, and attempting to eliminate them. Of course with the backing of the
The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
Hay my family have loved following me around the world. Families don't really tie you down unless you let them.
If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
Does that include rent, fuel, insurance, and mortgages?
Only those are skyrocketing and not recorded. Paying $500 a month for auto and health insurance is unheard of anytime in human history adjusted for inflation.
Fact is statistics show the majority of Americans bought new cars 30 years ago as an example. Debt was next to nothing and you could make today's money of $40,000 a year with just a high school diploma no problem in a factory or chemical plant.
$12 an hour for a college grad job with $50,000 student loan is considered good today??! I mean come on
http://saveie6.com/
Yea, where i am, interest is much higher than rent would be even with a 30% or more deposit. Since i intend to move in the next few years at most. Renting makes sense. In the EU stamp duty (changing the deed) can be as high as 10000EUR! So short term investment property is not really a thing.
If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
The world where you actually allow other states to develop is a safer, more stable place. This is why no one seriously believes that the Chinese will attack the US short of some small land squabbles and trade issues.
The Chinese will eventually have to deal with the same issues we had to, and their standard of living will rise which will bring their benefits (and expenses) in line with US standards.
The major problem with that is the situations where countries like the US were riding high on a temporary inflated standard of living have to deal with a retraction of that. For all those who loved the 1950s, that was a windfall for the US because we were the only big country with any real undamaged industrial capacity left. That wasn't going to last forever. It was certainly not going to turn into some permanent prosperity situation were you could pay UAW union rates to unskilled workers and a pension forever. The enormous balance of human history has not really had any sense of "retirement" where you are somehow able to live off of capital built up in your life in Florida. Your only real retirement option was having some children, particularly daughters, around when you couldn't work anymore to take care of you, and maybe you owned your house and land.
Anyway, while the world will probably never completely equal out, a rising tide can lift all ships. As long as the barriers don't go up, prosperity elsewhere will eventually spread out and actual standards of living will rise over time. This may hurt for the West and the US in particular, but we shouldn't find ourselves relegated to the 19th Century again.
For the people who actually do care to learn something about the Great Depression that they are not generally taught in schools (normally they are taught nonsensical government version of it).
All economics is supply side or more correctly production economics. Consumptions economics is nonsense, everything that is consumed has to be produced first. Those who don't get it need to get a 1,000,000 dollars and a year vacation on a rock in the middle of an ocean somewhere without any productive land, without anything. Then see how you survive with a million bucks and nothing to buy for them.
1911 - Sherman act is applied to Standard Oil, one of the most successful companies on the planet, producing the richest person in history. Rockefeller started with nothing but was worth over 600,000,000,000 inflation adjusted dollars. Private property rights took a gigantic hit.
1913 - IRS is set up. Income taxes are now collected by the government instead of Constitutional capitation, excise, import, duty taxes. Not only private property rights are destroyed but basically self determination and self ownership is destroyed at this moment in time.
1913 - Federal reserve bank is set up. A supposedly private institution to print US dollar but at the time by law the Fed actually would have a higher reserve of gold per dollar printed than other banks.
1917 - Federal reserve bank is allowed by Congress to monetize USA Treasury debt. This begins the inflation that destroyed the USA economy over the next 100 years.
1920 - a depression happens during Harding, the government didn't participate, didn't create any new policies, didn't create new debt, didn't infuse money into the economy. The depression is over in about a year.
1925 - Federal reserve bank starts monetizing UK debt that USA buys from the French. Over the next 4 years this policy inflates a bubble in agricultural stocks that blows up in 1929.
1929 - The bubble inflated by the Federal reserve bank blows up, this restructures the debts, companies fail, stocks go down. (Hayek, Andreson, Harwood predict this depression, Keynes actually loses money in it.)
1929 - 1939 - a series of gigantic interventionist policies is implemented. Billions of dollars are printed and spent into the economy, even on such amazing feats of government nonsensical Keynesian bullshit like buying productive output from farmers and ploughing it into the ground to prevent prices from going down (trying to prevent the deflation during a recession, when deflation and falling prices are actually super helpful for people who lost their jobs). The nonsensical 'New Deal' is introduced. SS is started, minimum wage is introduced, etc.etc., all the things that governments promise to do to provide something for nothing. This something obviously to be paid for by huge taxes, printing, borrowing.
1945 - the end of WWII, USA lowers its taxes by 30%, lowers spending by 60%. This allows very fast transition from war to post war economy. USA economy booms even though it is faced with competition from other markets with much lower labour costs.
1950s through 1970s - hot wars, cold war, space race, 'war on poverty' and all the other unnecessary and expensive crap that could not be paid for lead to 1971, when Nixon defaults on the gold dollar because of all the outstanding debts that cannot be paid for. The French asked for their gold and were denied, the dollar default coupled with all the impossible and unsustainable programs lead to the stagnation of 1970s. Huge inflation and huge unemployment, something that Keynes wouldn't believe to be possible.
1981 - Paul Volcker takes interest rates to about 20% to stop inflation. This succeeds in stopping the inflation, causes a housing market bubble crash. Government started coming up with ideas on how to under report inflation, under report unemployment and over report GDP.
1982-1987 - the Fed starts
You can't handle the truth.
"I know this is going to be an unpopular opinion, but in my opinion it's the fault of those who routinely carry debt."..."Borrowing also includes renting, by the way."..."I just paid cash on a shitty house, fixed it up, and now have renters in it paying me every month."
*Face-fúcking-palm*
>>>The present concentration of wealth is so dire that we run the risk of consolidating the World's power into a few hundred families.
that's how things already are
So as long as you have savings, you can have more than 1 TV. The price drop of TVs meant that they were no longer a specialty item but were a commodity and cheap to supply. So I call tired old man BS on that claim. You don't need to earn enough to rebuy 10 TVs a year, so multiple TVs could occur solely by TVs lasting longer and no expense needs to be accrued.
Tax the fuck out of the wealthy so they can't afford to be charitable and it won't even be needed.
Sure, but that has been done.... did you not learn anything from history?
The USSR is a perfect example of what happens when you take all wealth from people and give it to the state.
What makes you think it hasn't always been that way?
Absolutely true. I did the same thing. So did a few of my friends, one of whom is a multimillionaire now, but lives in a really crappy house worse than the ones they rent out.
I don't know where you live, but where I live you don't pay capital gains on your primary residence when you sell it, so having 0% equity doesn't change anything with respect to taxes. I suspect this is quite common.
If the 'slave' freely entered into the deal, it is not slavery.
A rolling stone gathers no moss.
Yep. I know the Bible isn't necessarily the most popular source of wisdom around here, but Proverbs 22:7 nails it:
The rich rule over the poor,
and the borrower is slave to the lender.
I work 50-60 hours per week. That extra work now means I'll be able to quit working entirely around age 50-55.
I make the most of my time off now and don't feel overworked. I enjoy my job.
It does seem that most people are working extra hours to make the interest payment on the debt they incurred buying shit they didn't need with money they didn't have, but vaguely planned to earn later. Maybe that's just observational bias. Everybody likes to think they've got it all figured out and are acting rationally and responsibly, in a manner superior to the "average" person; I'm probably no exception.
But I don't think so.
131M out of 320M. Another 26M work less than 35 hours a week bringing all workers to 52%. 68M of the 320M are under 16 or over 65. Excluding them would make it 59% workers then. http://www.bls.gov/news.releas...
And yes, this attitude is more common amongst well earning US citizens than with people from elsewhere in the world.
(The exception to this are, of course, spoilt heirs who never had to work for their money. They might often not be likeable people, but their attitude with regards to spending money for fun rather than working is pretty rational, given their situation.)
I live in country with such limits are in place. It will lead to more sophisticated rising of money , all kinds of shadow deals, like "we can provide with you amount x of positive airtime, in exchange of our minister seat in new government". of course things are more complicated and taked wels to settle out, but you got an idea.
Forget about fairer society, it is so XIX, XX century. get all you can, while you can.
This probably explains all of the dire warnings/prophecies from collapsed empires. Once everyone starts feeling the pinch of implosion: the audience is suddenly more receptive to the idea that the gravy train isn't infinite and the last dying breath of their culture is engraved in stone(with a reasonable level of accuracy to their prediction): the lifespan of a civilization is finite.
Don't let that stop you from making babies though. :)
> Does that include rent, fuel, insurance, and mortgages?
> Only those are skyrocketing and not recorded
50 years ago, a gallon of gas cost 33 cents. If gas prices kept up with inflation (CPI), it would cost $2.48 today. I just passed a gas station and the sign says $1.87. So today's pay checks can buy MORE gas than the could 50 years ago.
You asked about mortgage / rent. Fifty years ago, the average home was 1,600 square feet. The average is now 2,600 square feet - people can afford much larger homes than they used to.
What's not represented in CPI is that the 1960s car needed a tuneup every few months (points, plugs, etc) while today's cars go 100,000 miles on a set of plugs. It doesn't represent the fact that 50 years ago, you had three channels in black and white while today you have 300 channels in HD.
I guess it's human nature to complain, but the simple fact is today we're spoiled compared to our parents and grandparents. Try wasting some food at an old person's house and you'll see they didn't grow up having plenty to waste like we do.
No, that was Clinton.
When someone brings up labor laws as why we work 40 hours a week. My understanding is that efficiency experts were brought in to factories by employers such as Ford and tried to figure out what the most amount of manual work they could get out of people a week. At least from those studies it was 40 hours a week over the long term. I'd expect for intellectual, IE creative work, such as engineering the max is probably less than 40. (Hence my opinion if an employer really thinks he's getting 50-60 hours of work a week for an extended period of time they are just kidding themselves.)
Did you know 80 to 90% of the moderators on slashdot wouldn't recognize a troll even if one dragged them under a bridge.
The USSR is a perfect example of what happens when you take all wealth from people and give it to the state.
A few people are very well-off and the majority of people barely scrape by?
Amazing what damage a little hot air can do...
We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
Highly recommended as a supplement to Piketty: http://www.amazon.com/Inequali...
Here's an excerpt from one of the reviews,on Amazon: "The author asserts that it is not morally wrong and that the conversation should be around the concept of - do you have enough (sufficiency) vs do you have the same as someone else (equality)."
This is a short book: highly recommended, along with Piketty.
The rest of the first world with our Commie governments have given us such nasty socialist things such as universal healthcare free at the point of use, minimum mandatory annual paid vacation (4 weeks minimum in the EU, 5.6 weeks here in the UK), in work benefits and far superior employment rights in regards to being laid off so we don't have to work like slaves. Americans are at the whim of their employers who can pull the plug on their healthcare plan at a whim should an employee get a little out of line. All they have to do is threaten to fire you which they can do instantly without notice and you'll do just what you're told because you can't afford to lose that healthcare plan.
I only please one person per day. Today is not your day. Tomorrow isn't looking good either. - Scott Adams
Unpopular? How about delusional?
Borrowing is at the heart of countless fortunes. Many of the classic rags-to-riches tales start off with "Mr. X had an idea. So he borrowed from his friends/relatives/random people on the street" to get enough capital to start his business. Today it's worth XX billion dollars. Without checking, I'd lay even money that one of the names you could substitute for "X" is Bill Gates.
Borrowing is the very heart of Capitalism. Not the Free Market, but BORROWING. Also known as "Raising Capital".
It's true, of course, that few people know how to borrow WELL, but that's a different affair entirely.
And I'd like to know how you can make a decent property without either borrowing or being a slumlord. I've rented out property and the profit margins weren't very good. The only real ways I could have made any significant money would have been to own a whole bunch of properties (which I wouldn't be able to do without borrowing) or to let the place turn into a roach hotel.
Freely as in "You have two choices: become my slave or I kill you here and now?"
Yep. I know the Bible isn't necessarily the most popular source of wisdom around here, but Proverbs 22:7 nails it:
The rich rule over the poor,
and the borrower is slave to the lender.
Or maybe the more recent proverb:
If you owe the bank a little money, the bank owns you.
If you owe the bank a LOT of money, you owns the bank.
?
The economy has risen and fallen many times in US history, but the spread in income inequality started widening with Reagan. Not even Carter was as bad.
I'm an American and I don't even have a job. Fuck that shit, and fuck whoever jumps in here calling me lazy, too. Work your life away for nothing you can keep and then go fuck yourself. Thanks.
Think about it for awhile.
From what I can tell, what is meant by "same" is that "both are something poor people do who aren't building wealth." It makes sense if you believe an important way to build wealth is to get a mortgage, stay in one place for a long time, and your residence is a big investment. It's an idea that makes sense if you were raised in a time where everyone believed housing could only go up.
For example, say I have 100k and am looking for a place to live. In one scenario I put 20% down on a 400k home, pay a bunch of closing costs and such. I'm left with a little leftover. I get a mortgage, build equity. Five or ten years alter I need to sell the house, but the value has fallen 20%. I pay more costs to get the place sold, and if I'm lucky, get 80-100k back.
Other scenario. I pay rent approximate to my mortgage. My 100k is invested, pretty conservatively, let's say it does 4% a year. At the end of the five years I have around 120k.
The renter has more money, and a lot more freedom when it comes time to move. This is kind of an oversimplification, but if we stopped subsidizing the first scenario (mortgage interest deduction, capital gains exeptions, etc) there would be even more scenarios where the renter builds a lot more wealth.
Americans work so much, on average, not because they are greedy or because the want to work.
They work because there is so many who do not work so hard. Those who do not work so hard are, as a rule, fueled by the taxpayer collected money. It has already been proven, without any doubt, that, on average, governmental job pays way way more than private job.
Have you heard about NJ cops making $100K or $150K? Yes, I agree, that $100K is not that much money, however it needs to be taken into account that cops need to work 20 years and then they get taxpayer funded pension and medical benefits. I am not trying to bash cops, or single them out. If US GAAP rules are used (meaning US Generally Accepted Accounting Principles are used), which means that expenses need to be accrued when incurred, such jobs would need to be accounted as costing not $100K, but $200K, for defined benefits (pension, medical) need to accrue at the same time. It is not even the largest issue. The larger issue is entitlement culture and "social" payments to the population which traditionally keeps voting for politicians who keep promising more freebies and benefits only if you vote for them.
One and only one conclusion comes to my mind: The taxation level. Some might say that those socialist Europeans pay more taxes, however there are some very important differences. For example, in Europe, as a rule, schools are funded from federal budget. In US schools are funded from property taxation, except for low income areas which, logically, cannot afford their schools and get funded from the state or federal funds. This leads to de-facto segregation in United States by school districts, that nobody likes to talk, yet everybody knows. Low income areas have few meaningful jobs, which leads to many non-working Americans living here. Higher income areas do have high property taxes which automatically do add additional hours for higher living standards need to be maintained with additional work.
The truth is that current taxation system is the primary driver of the human behavior. Some people will continue working to death and other part of population will keep continuing voting for the status quo that allows more tax benefits, irrespective of the economic class of the voter, be it Dianne Feinstein's husband ingenuity winning profitable real estate business related contracts, whether it will be teacher's, police or FDA "scientist"'s benefits, or generationally unemployed welfare receivers.
That is taxes, baby!
Amazing that ideology can make someone so blind that they would equate life in the USA now vs life in the Soviet Union. How many people would swap one for the other? Stupid douche.
When I say that, I'm speaking in terms of building your own net worth. Renting a house doesn't do that, instead it adds to somebody else's net worth. Borrowing money and paying interest does the same thing.
Which by the way, my savings alone didn't pay cash for the house I just bought, rather it was the result of having a mortgage on a house in 2011, and selling it in 2014. If I had rented in 2011 instead, I'd have nothing. Instead it was sold at $116,000 above what it was purchased for (after realtor fees, closing costs, and whatnot) and added my monthly savings over the course of a few years to pay cash on another house.
This is exactly why I equate renting to borrowing money. It's also why somebody else is building my net worth. I'm sure some random derp is going to call me out for being greedy, but so be it. Unlike most, I save money, and invest wisely. No amount of me telling this to other people is going to make them change their ways, even when I point out how stupid their status quo is, so I may as well take advantage, and I will.
When somebody takes out a loan, they aren't offered death as an alternative.
As I mentioned earlier, I'm not by any means rich, yet I've never felt it necessary to take out a loan.
Surely - I have and do. A small example of this is the credit card conundrum. I have two credit cards One that I live on, and one for fuel. Cashback cards. I pay off the bill in full every month, then get cash back at the end of the year.
I do the same thing, but I don't consider it borrowing. If you already have the cash reserves and pay it back before it accrues interest, then you're not the category of person I'm referring to.
Borrowing is at the heart of countless fortunes. Many of the classic rags-to-riches tales start off with "Mr. X had an idea. So he borrowed from his friends/relatives/random people on the street" to get enough capital to start his business. Today it's worth XX billion dollars. Without checking, I'd lay even money that one of the names you could substitute for "X" is Bill Gates.
Actually there is wisdom in it, but you're assuming risk. You have to accept the reality that it's more likely that you'll end up poor (at least for a while) when doing this. However that's not to say that you shouldn't do it. Just when people say "the few hold all of the wealth" they're really discounting the fact that most people who are poor put themselves there, and going to places like payday or title loan shops is a good way to end up there.
Which by the way, notice how those places don't advertise to rich people?
Surely - I have and do. A small example of this is the credit card conundrum. I have two credit cards One that I live on, and one for fuel. Cashback cards. I pay off the bill in full every month, then get cash back at the end of the year.
I do the same thing, but I don't consider it borrowing. If you already have the cash reserves and pay it back before it accrues interest, then you're not the category of person I'm referring to.
It definitely isn't borrowing. They actually are borrowing money from me, and the cashback is the interest they pay me. Oddly enough, at better than bank rates for savings. Hell, better than CD's or most other risk averse investments. And since I have to spend that money anyhow - its tremendously satisfying.
The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
Right, the largest donors aren't donating to Democrats.
We have a class where we have implemented systems so they have the same income regardless how much wealth they already have, or what they do. It's welfare for these protected people, paid for by the rest of taxpayers.
The result is they don't work, they spend all their income on alcohol instead of a comfortable lifestyle which it could pay for. They also whine all the time about inequality. Why can't their handouts be greater than the average national wage?
And you don't even get to marry a little girl, unlike in the past when CUNTS did not rule:
>In the United States, as late as the 1880s most States set the minimum age at 10-12, (in Delaware it was 7 in 1895).[8] Inspired by the "Maiden Tribute" female reformers in the US initiated their own campaign[9] which petitioned legislators to raise the legal minimum age to at least 16, with the ultimate goal to raise the age to 18. The campaign was successful, with almost all states raising the minimum age to 16-18 years by 1920.
Also see: Deuteronomy chapter 22 verses 28-29, hebrew allows men to rape girl children and keep them: thus man + girl is obviously fine. Feminists are commanded to be killed as anyone enticing others to follow another ruler/judge/god is to be killed as-per Deuteronomy. It is wonderful when this happens from time to time: celebrate)
I can't decide that I want a smaller loan and just move out of my old big one.
Depends on what you used the loan for, doesn't it? If you borrowed to finance consumption (vacation, big screen TV, bling) you're probably stuck. I assume that's what the grandposter and you had in mind.
If you borrowed to invest in a productive asset (e.g. a house which appreciated or a business), you probably can get out. College loans are an interesting corner case. You borrowed to invest in yourself. Hopefully your degree pays a dividend but it's not like you can sell the education and pay off the loan.
The labor force participation rate is at historic lows, thanks in part to Obama easing eligibility rules for disability and expanding unemployment benefits.
Think about how many hours of that 40 hour week go towards carrying people who are living on transfer payments.
Everything is new under Obama.
President Truman had it right: "The buck stops here".
Obama has spent his entire administration pointing fingers.
For example, say I have 100k and am looking for a place to live. In one scenario I put 20% down on a 400k home, pay a bunch of closing costs and such. I'm left with a little leftover. I get a mortgage, build equity. Five or ten years alter I need to sell the house, but the value has fallen 20%. I pay more costs to get the place sold, and if I'm lucky, get 80-100k back.
Other scenario. I pay rent approximate to my mortgage. My 100k is invested, pretty conservatively, let's say it does 4% a year. At the end of the five years I have around 120k.
Clearly there are cases where renting would have turned out better than buying. For most of the 20th and 21st century, housing prices have gone up over the long term. If you held on for at least 7 years, you were very likely to get a positive return. Not always and not everywhere, for sure, but generally a good bet. Similarly, investing our 100k over 7 years in the stock market is almost always a good bet. It's quite rare for the market to be down seven years after you buy even if you buy at a peak.
Here's the thing: if one turns out to be a generally better bet than the other, lots of people will notice, money will slosh around, returns will change, and it'll turn out to be an even bet again. There's never such a thing as easy money just like there aren't $20 bills lying on sidewalks.
...but if we stopped subsidizing the first scenario (mortgage interest deduction, capital gains exeptions, etc) there would be even more scenarios where the renter builds a lot more wealth.
The market corrects for this so it'll mostly be a crap shoot. If we stopped subsidizing home ownership (and as a home owner, I support this idea), home prices would go down (since people can't afford to pay as much). Around here in a normal market, rental prices generally more or less equal the price of owning. When they don't, people flock from the expensive one to the cheap one. I expect the same would happen.
While the article is correct in pointing out the problem caused by unfair wealth distribution, the cause of the unfair wealth distribution is not China per se
"Unfair" is just a subjective connotation and doesn't belong in an article trying to be serious about economics.
It is the Law of Supply and Demand in action, whenever population grows faster than resource-production.
Resource production is increasing faster than population. And we're seeing the anticipated increase in standard of living and global wealth distribution to a so-called "fairer" scheme. Nice, except that wasn't what you thought was going on, was it?
I had to tell this story, because I see it regularly. I've had some interesting observations on the work culture to two sides of a border, Canada and the US.
I happen to work at a company with subsidiaries on both sides of the border, though it's a Canadian company and head office is in Canada. We have some large offices in southern US, too. I never thought of us (I'm on the Canadian side) as particular hard workers. We get lots of paid vacation, free days off galore, and pretty damn good pay to boot. On a Friday afternoon the office is dead, we do lots of "fun" events, people read newspapers in the morning, and mood is generally pretty relaxed. (though we do have people on call for critical IT support). In other words, there's a good amount of slack and if we have a reason not to be in the office we'll take it.
I would almost say we're pretty lazy - until I see us relative to our US counterparts. There is a just a pervasive culture there of not getting things done. Here, we expect expediency and resolution to problems.. when things were passed to our US offices, it was almost impossible to get them to commit to any dates, which was just standard practice here. Here, there was pressure to have things done quickly, and it is self-created too, this just doesn't exist in the US. Any or no reason at all to avoid a task or simply not following up on things.
I do however consider this might be a southern attitude towards work as well, as most of my interaction is with offices based in the US south (Texas to Florida).
When I say that, I'm speaking in terms of building your own net worth. Renting a house doesn't do that, instead it adds to somebody else's net worth. Borrowing money and paying interest does the same thing.
You've clearly been successful, but don't ignore opportunity costs and luck. Your house may well have been a good investment, but on average, homes are poor financial investments (although they can be great lifestyle investments). It looks like the Dow Jones went up about 40% between 2011 and 2014, which is a lot more than average home prices increased over the same period. So paying rent on a cheap apartment and investing in stocks could have been a better investment. You may have been able to do better than stocks by borrowing money (getting a mortgage) and then investing the borrowed money (in a house), but realize that leveraged investments are riskier than regular investments. If you bought stocks in 2007, your money would have gone poof. If you bought a house in 2007, your house's value would have gone poof and you would still have owed money on it.
Your language makes it sound like the economy is a zero sum game: building someone else's net worth means destroying your own. That's simply not true. You know from your mortgage that borrowing can be a good investment. The problem is that many people don't know when an investment is bad.
Pssh, they won't explode. They won't react at all, that would require them to know what logical inconsistency and hypocrisy are, or at a minimum, to care about the truth. They'll happily claim Obama causes global warming on Monday and global warming doesn't exist on Tuesday. Case in point: how many "birthers" support Ted Cruz, a foreign-born presidential contender?
Takes two to tango. Most employers decide to employ salaried staff full time. Let me know which employers are willing to employ people less than 40 hours (minimum wage shops dropping hours to avoid buying insurance excluded).
If I have been able to see further than others, it is because I bought a pair of binoculars.
A rather compelling argument has been made that widening income inequality is an inherent result of capitalism.
Which is easily defeated by a consideration of history. Wealth inequality has narrowed under capitalism as well (eg, various times during the Industrial Age when advances in technology were met by uses of that technology).
...as long as the rate of return on capital (r) is greater than the rate of economic growth (g), wealth will tend to concentrate in a minority, and that the inequality r > g always holds over the long term...
This a broken model since it doesn't consider the liquidity or utility of wealth. I call wealth which has a high notational value, but isn't even remotely that valuable in reality (especially in terms of conversion to a liquid form of wealth) "fake wealth". For example, I might have trillions of dollars suposedly = in specialized derivatives. But if that can't be converted to real dollars and used for something, then it's not actually worth trillions of dollars.
This leads to the problem that "r" above is an exaggerated number with little relevance to the real world. You won't care if I decree that every hair on your head is worth a million dollars, unless I begin paying you a million dollars apiece for those hairs. Yet I just created meaningless wealth inequality by my meaningless decree.
This is a real thing because we have a number of cases of trillions of dollars in perceived wealth evaporating overnight. It's a common cause of recessions.
Bottom line is that the growth of liquid wealth is going to be fairly close to economic growth and it can go either way and often does. There's no point to measuring wealth inequality when the wealth being measured is mostly useless.
Did you ever consider that perhaps one reason for the Great Depression was that in the1920's too much wealth was in too few hands, and too many hands had too little wealth? Or to look at it another way, too many hands had so little wealth that they had no economic margin. One economic hiccup it all crashes.
What your referring to is called the Pareto principle or the 80/20 rule, "roughly 80% of the effects come from 20% of the causes", described by Vilfredo Pareto arround 1900.
It's pretty much the way the world works, if 20% had 80% of the wealth and power, then 5% has 64% and 1% has 49%; the numbers are fuzzy as well.
Most wealthy 1%er Families tend to crap-out after 3 generations, so who is in the first percentille tends to change; even the Kenedys have a lot of family members in the 20th now.
Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
The "market correction" would most likely wind up making renting more appealing to more people. Fewer people would be able to afford to own. Broadly speaking, that's why those things exist, to make more people owners and fewer people renters.
I agree with all of that, at least the first part. If you expanded your quote a little bit more, I thought I said as much.
My point was simply that stating that renting is the equivalent to taking on unsecured debt, which seems to be expressing the sentiment that it's always throwing money away, is ridiculous. I'm not claiming anything more than that. You seem to be implying I'm claiming something about one being better than the other overall, and I'm not. Apologies if I'm misinterpreting you, but you seem to be trying to correct me ("Here's the thing . . . ") but I don't see where you disagree with me.
As to the second part, I don't think it would be a crap shoot. Much of the advantages we give buyers in the market only apply to your primary residence. (Such as the exemption from capital gains.) We artificially skew the market towards individual home ownership. It's not just a matter of price correction. If we took them away, it would make a lot less sense for individuals to own. The corrected market would have a lot more investment properties.
A rather compelling argument has been made that widening income inequality is an inherent result of capitalism. The topic is covered in some depth in this book. Borrowing a brief summary from here:
...as long as the rate of return on capital (r) is greater than the rate of economic growth (g), wealth will tend to concentrate in a minority, and that the inequality r > g always holds over the long term...
To what extent this is a problem and what solutions there are can be debated. As long as you avoid debating with those who hold the insane position that all inherent effects of capitalism are good by definition.
This is why there are progressive tax systems. I thought it was obvious, what do you mean "argument has been made"? Was it a mystery why the US has tax brackets??
If you're in technology a 30-hour week is entirely doable if that's important to you. A lot of places would be glad to save a bit of money. If you've been at your current job for a while, you may have refined your processes such that you can accomplish your primary responsibilities in 30 hours and you spend the rest of your time helping out with secondary things. If so, you can talk to your boss about reducing hours (and pay) to only your main responsibilities. I did this before.
New startups often have a limited budget and limited need for certain expertise. They might very well be interested in a 30-hour dba, security professional, or other specialized person.
Lastly, tech offers an abundance of contract options. Many people work nine months per year. Contracting isn't for everyone, but many people really enjoy it.
People here have to work all the time because it's hard to make money working for others, and nothing in our government functions for the poor and middle income brackets.
https://www.youtube.com/c/BrendaEM
The ball has been set in motion, and no president can really tell a large corporation that they will need to stop growing and do more with less. That would be presidential suicide, doesn't matter how good the intentions of the president may be. Look at the uproar over increasing minimum wage, which really amounts to a small hill of beans in the end. Consider the drastic measures that would need to be taken to change the course of the economy. It's simply too late I think. It will take a revolutionary war to change things and I think it is coming.
Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
âoeSocialism never took root in America because the poor see themselves not as an exploited proletariat, but as temporarily embarrassed millionaires.â
I think this sums up why Americans work as hard and long as (many of us still) do.
Its because automation has made people easier to replace, ergo, people work 40 hours so they don't lose their jobs because they don't want to be the "replaceable" ones.
Keynes forgot to calculate the fact that life simply isn't fair. You may be twice important to your company and to your nation that a person was in the 1930's but the people who have been given the keys to the economy will never allow your pay to reflect that. That is a basic tenant that must hold for Keynes prophecy to be true and the current system prevents it from happening. This isn't even about marxism or socialism. Ultimately each and every one of us are twice as important now as a worker was in 1930 but my value will not be realized, ever. All I can do is live my life the best I can and make what I make.
Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
What your referring to is called the Pareto principle or the 80/20 rule, "roughly 80% of the effects come from 20% of the causes", described by Vilfredo Pareto arround 1900.
It's pretty much the way the world works, if 20% had 80% of the wealth and power, then 5% has 64% and 1% has 49%; the numbers are fuzzy as well.
Most wealthy 1%er Families tend to crap-out after 3 generations, so who is in the first percentille tends to change; even the Kenedys have a lot of family members in the 20th now.
+1 That's why I read Slashdot
Happiness in intelligent people is the rarest thing I know.
Ernest Hemingway
If you're renting, you're borrowing a property. It's basically the same as paying interest.
I read your earlier post on the matter to determine what you mean by "same". The answer is no, renting is not the same as borrowing. A loan means you borrow money now in exchange for creating an obligation to pay in the future. Renting usually does not. For example, I might be renting a very expensive apartment in Manhattan today, but I can move out. I can't decide that I want a smaller loan and just move out of my old big one.
This.
I rent because I dont want to live where I am for the rest of my life. This goes double for places where I can work for significantly higher than where I'd like to live such as London. It makes sense to rent in London if you're being paid 4-600 pounds a day and save that money to buy or pay off a house somewhere else.
That being said, paying off a house is not a bad debt as houses typically appreciate. However the GP is right that a lot of people are up to their eyeballs in bad debt. Bad debt are for things that depreciate. In simple terms, debt is acceptable for investments, but unacceptable for consumption. Consumption are things like toys (computers, tablets, jet ski's), cars, groceries and sundries. Generally you're paying interest and fees on things that are losing value or lose all their value when you buy them.
This goes double for people who put everything on their credit cards. Triple for those who think they get anything out of their CC, they dont seem to understand that banks dont do anything for free. Interchange and merchant fees are the things paying for the bonuses, points and cashback schemes and in the end, the merchant passes those fees back to the consumer. It's a negative feedback loop, Derp believes he's winning when he gets 1% "cashback" when the bank is charging the merchant 3% and the merchant raises the prices Derp pays. Even if you pay no interest on a CC, you still have to pay the fees as obscured as they are.
Given how easy it is to rack up massive debt with massive interest and no assets to show for it on credit cards, they are the most dangerous form of credit. I'm continually confounded that people use them so blithely.
Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
"Wealth inequality has narrowed under capitalism as well "
When capitalism is properly regulated.
putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
Politics were there, but you missed it. We were taught supply rises to meet demand, but we were taught that oversupply was a) good because it always drives prices down and b) self correcting. Neither of these are true of labor. It took two World Wars to pull the country out of recession/depression. We mostly came out of it because we were too busy rebuilding multiple destroyed continents (Europe/Asia).
As for Joe Six pack: He doesn't have a 401k anymore. 30-40 years of stagnant or declining wages means he lives paycheck to paycheck. He works until he drops dead from exhaustion. Like his forefather's did. So much for progress.
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Skipping A $4 cup of joe and $20 bucks a month on Netflix won't make up for the massive increases to the cost of transportation, food, Cars, Housing and the things in life that really matter. It won't replace the pension your company no longer gives you (and no, a 401k is _not_ a replacement for a pension. If you retire at the wrong time you're fucked).
People didn't choose the 40 hour work week so they could spend an extra $4x30+20 ($140/mo). That's not even $1/hr in their 160 hour work/month. The 40 hour work week was chosen for them. When Bush jr deregulated the commodities market so you could buy pork bellies and the like w/o taking ownership and the price of food jumped 20% in 10 years. When we pulled federal funding for education and the price of a college degree went from $10k to $140k in 20 years. When entry level pay dropped to the level of the 1990s after "free trade" sent good manufacturing jobs to Mexico and killed job saving tariffs.
You live in the world as is, not as you want it to be. With how weakly organized labor is they don't have any say in anything. Workers aren't even a tug boat in a typhoon.
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Gas is only cheap because the Saudi's are trying to put Shale oil producers out of business. It was $4/gallon until then and the only reason it stopped there is folks were talking about abandoning gas and they got scared.
Rent is climbing rapidly this year. As for houses, that's the suburb effect. Yeah, I can get a 2600 square foot house. With a 3 hour a day commute. If I want a reasonable 30 minute commute I'm looking at 1000 sq ft if I'm lucky, young and rich.
Tune ups were cheap and you could do them yourself. Cars were a _lot_ simpler back then. They also polluted a lot more.
Cable TV doesn't really make my life any better. Americas watch a lot of TV because at the end of a long, shitty day it's all they've got left in them to do.
It's human nature turn a blind eye to the unpleasant realities of life. You've got to justify all the horrible things we do to maintain our meager quality of life in the face of the 1% constant assault. Walmart says it best. You're not destroying Unions and the American Working Class and turning back the clock on 100 years of human progress. You're saving money, living better.
Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
Companies use modern tools to become more efficient. This lets the same amount of people do more work. If company A uses a tool to become more efficient, company B follows suite. Eventually, more output is the norm rather than the exception. This is a treadmill of ever increasing expectations. When will it end?
Since we're paid for time instead of work accomplished, the expectation is that ever increasing amounts of work are done per employee. All of this drives the cost of labor down, not up.
Apparently, some jackass / cabal hardcoded 40 hours / week into law somewhere ... and it's impossible to change. But you must work. Full time to get anything.
And because workers own nothing ... ownership and the means of production is concentrated in the hands of a few ... so they hoover up any benefits / profits and ... workers get nothing. And secretly, without much safety net workers worry about being sacked.
What if we become so efficient that it's unnecessary to work anymore? Who benefits then, the owners? How will people buy things? You have to give them money to buy products to justify producing them.
The only silver lining is that because a single person can be more efficient, going solo gets easier if you have the stomach for it. Job locking via health insurance and other obstacles are there (... the Marketplace is a giant PITA to deal with) ... but this is achievable now.
Although much of Keynes work was flawed, he's right about the "workweek." A 40-hour workweek is an entirely arbitrary number, so it makes no sense to cling to it.
Just as it makes sense to index tax brackets to inflation, to prevent bracket creep, it makes sense to index the length of the workweek -- if not to productivity, to something that prevents it from becoming a static, archaic notion.
That that is is that that that that is not is not.
"Everything is new under Obama. Before Obama there was no terrorism, "
9/11 was in the making from Afganistan which was pre Obama
" no debt, "
http://www.factcheck.org/2012/... Long before Obama
"no healthcare premium increases, "
And no healthcare for the poor
"no illegal immigration, "
http://immigration.procon.org/... say no more
"no deadlock in government, "
And no ability to make any changes because of the self interested capitalist groups who are in power.
"no economic downturn, "
GFC started in 2008, Obama took office in 2009
"no corporate welfare, "
Should have let the banks all die
"no cronyism and more."
The US has always had that
Only if the lender uses force (including state force) to recoup a debt. The state should not be helping lenders to recoup debts. Then the legal concept of bankruptcy would be unnecessary. Debtor can just not pay.
I live in a state with no state income tax, and the Feds took more than 30% of my yearly bonus. I'm thrilled to have a bonus, but I worked hard and it was a kick in the nuts to see that much of it taken. Essentially Americans have to put in a lot of hours just to feed the beast. And the best part is the US still spends about a trillion dollars a year it doesn't have, a luxury I am not afforded and a debt my children will never be able to pay.
'I don't know what it's called. I just know the sound it makes, when it takes a man's life.' ~ Four Leaf Tayback
If people didn't loan, the banks would close the next day and the economy would collapse.
I also find it cute that you think rent is borrowing and yet ignore where the money to buy a home outright comes from.
That's not true. The concentration of wealth comes and goes with the shifting balance between capital and labor. The globalization of the economy shifted this balance. We've seen this concentration of wealth earlier this century, it went down, it's up now, and can be expected to fluctuate again in the future.
The world did not end before, and it will not end now.
The US also had a heavy-handed progressive tax system from FDR until Reagan (at one point the top bracket was taxed at 91%), and we did pretty well. Over time, however, we have made cut after cut in the upper tax bracket and especially capital gains such that the system is now effectively regressive.
Odd that rather than increasing GDP growth year over year like trickle-down economics might tell us, in fact, our GDP growth in the last few years is lower than it was during the 90+% tax years.
"They that can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety."
Income inequality has risen since at least Reagan, don't act like it's something new.
Income inequality has risen since VHS tapes. Look it up, it's true. So it was either that, or Jimmy Carter's fault.
Correlation does not equal causation!
That's about the time labor started losing bargaining power with respect to capital. As a result the gains of productivity haven't been shared in the same ratio as previously.
You are of course welcome to your own opinions. The ARITHMETIC is that Americans today can afford more "stuff" than they could 50 years ago. Again, the average new house in the 1960s was 1600 square feet. Today, it's 2,600 square feet. Peopl can and do buy more house today than they used to. If you want to complain about the cost of housing that's fine; the fact is houses cost less than they used to (compared to wages).
Same thing for transportation- you can complain if you want. The fact is today's paychecks buy 40% more gas than 50 years ago. That's arithmetic, not opinion.
About $4 coffee vs 20 cent coffee. I was just about broke for many years. I didn't waste a lot of money, it just seemed the money always ran out right about the end of every month. Then I took some classes about money, read some books, and did a budget. In the last ten years, I've gotten pretty comfortable financially. My net worth has increased more than 1000%. One reason for that is that my budget showed how much I was spending on "lattes", on cable channels I never watched, on eating lunch at restaurants, etc. I decided I'd rather retire early with $1.5 million in the bank than drink latte. If you do a proper zero-based budget, you might be surprised at what you find. It's up to you - you can complain, or you can spend a few hours learning how 90% of millionaires become millionaires. Surprisingly, most earned less than $60,000 and the vast majority earned less than $100k. It has a lot to do with Starbucks vs 401k.
Now he wants mah guns!
And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
There's a large percentage of Americans of working age that don't work at all. Welfare can pay more than minimum wage so the work incentive has been removed for many who know how to play the game.
Also, just because someone is occupying space and time "at work", it doesn't necessarily mean they're working. I became proficient at my job (salaried) and my productivity increased to the point where I could get my tasks completed in 1/2 to 2/3 of the time others did in a long work day. Yes, if there was more to do, I did it. My evaluations were always pretty darned good (electronics engineer for a large company where I actually had to SHOW material results).
I saw a lot of people in "fluff jobs" talk about how hard they were working but in actuality, they often showed no results and wouldn't be missed if they disappeared. Working long hours doesn't necessarily mean getting a lot of stuff done. Some people are inefficient.
Last, as people have mentioned, we have been a rather capitalistic bunch that likes to buy lots of crap and large, expensive items.
The average house of the '50's has nearly doubled in size. We no longer have one phone, one car, one TV.
So, we work to buy more crap and because we've bought more crap, we have to work more. Then we say "gee, both husband and wife have to work so we can afford to live" when in fact, we've become addicted to buying more and more toys.
Me, I've bought my toys and for a long time, I'm pretty happy with what I have. I can go to Fry's Electronics and pirooz the aisles, ready to buy anything interesting but I typically end up leaving without buying anything. I'm happy with my car, my TV, my collection of PCs and all the rest of the stuff (and the stuff is pretty old but again, I'm happy with it).
I'm a bad consumer. Also, I don't have to work anymore because I saved my money when working and lived within my means.
Is that so bad?
(at one point the top bracket was taxed at 91%)
Meh, I see that often, but you have to take into account the whole picture, not just that.
Almost no one paid that, there were far more exemptions and write-offs back then. For example, you used to be able to deduct your interest payments on a car and credits cards, but you can't anymore.
The reality is that the percentage of income that Americans pay to the government has never been higher than it is today.
as in a "rising tide lifts all boats" kind of way. The problem is, this didn't happen.
Excuse me? The poorest in American live like kings compared to most of those in third world countries. The rising tide in fact gave a HUGE lift to everyone in the US.
To claim otherwise shows breathtaking ignorance of what people live like around the globe. You REALLY need to travel to Africa or parts of South America to understand this.
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
Why do Americans think the work so much?
The world isn't just Us and Europe, you know.
The economy's just "recovering."
"Over the past four decades, depending on which of their measures one uses, the amount of time that working-age Americans are devoting to leisure activities has risen by 4-8 hours a week. (For somebody working 40 hours a week, that is equivalent to 5-10 weeks of extra holiday a year.) Nearly every category of American has more spare time: single or married, with or without children, both men and women. The only twist is that less educated (and thus poorer) Americans have done relatively better than more educated ones (see chart). And that is not just because unemployed high-school drop-outs have more free time on their hands. Less educated Americans with jobs - the overstretched middle class of political lore - do very well."
(From this article in 2006.)
"Americans average 25.1 working hours per person in working age per week, but the Germans average 18.6 hours. The average American works 46.2 weeks per year, while the French average 40 weeks per year. Why do western Europeans work so much less than Americans? Recent work argues that these differences result from higher European tax rates, but the vast empirical labor supply literature suggests that tax rates can explain only a small amount of the differences in hours between the U.S. and Europe. Another popular view is that these differences are explained by long-standing European "culture," but Europeans worked more than Americans as late as the 1960s. In this paper, we argue that European labor market regulations, advocated by unions in declining European industries who argued "work less, work all" explain the bulk of the difference between the U.S. and Europe. These policies do not seem to have increased employment, but they may have had a more society-wide influence on leisure patterns because of a social multiplier where the returns to leisure increase as more people are taking longer vacations."
Full paper here.
Immigrants and H1B Visas, obviously. To many of them, 60 hour work weeks seem like a lot of time off!
Essay/Article
TED Talk: Nich Hanauer - The Pitchforks are coming for us.
We suffer more in our imagination than in reality. - Seneca
By your logic then americans "know less shit about finances" that people in most other western countries? Because America leads the the wealth inequality chart by quite a fair margin.
When capitalism is properly regulated.
It's worth noting here that the current primary factor resulting in increased wealth inequality for the US is a purely non-regulatory one, the addition of several billion new laborers over the past half century to the global trade network. That impairs the wealth gain from labor and doesn't impair the wealth gain from capital - which favors relative wealth gain by the wealthy who are more dependent on capital for their wealth. And regulation has tended to make wealth inequality worse by impairing business from employing US workers.
My view is that the US and the rest of the developed world would be better served by regulation that takes into account the costs on employers.
I think your sarcasm meter is faulty. Please return it for servicing.
Governments tried this, it was called Mercantilism and didn't go so well. It doesn't take much to see how market deregulation, or lassez-faire capitalism approaches mercantilism. One just has corporations replacing nations, trade treaties replacing imperialism, tax-havens and tax-breaks replacing gold bullion. But a long time ago, a book called "The causes of the wealth of nations" explained how consumers benefited from the profit motive despite the abusive nature of vendors. The author called this indirect benefit "the invisible hand". Of course, he didn't realize that all (abusive) vendors would become faceless corporations, thereby robbing the consumer of any leverage (usually customer loyalty) he had over the vendor.
Decide? I'd happily work 5 hours less a week (and get paid less pro-rata). But I can't - it's standard hours or nothing.
For minimum wage jobs (or you're female), you can go part-time, but that's 20 hours or less.
So it's based on a false dichotomy fallacy ?
Probably shouldn't be surprising for someone that would obviously see no moral issue in something like good old-fashioned Feudalism, I suppose.
Businesses are not "impaired" from employing US workers. They *choose* not to so as to achieve greater profits.
(Note that this is common issue across the western world as most barriers in place to protect living standards have been torn down in the name of greater profits.)
Sure, but that has been done.... did you not learn anything from history?
Yes. Post-WW2 USA saw the fastest, broadest and greatest increase in wealth and living standards in human history.
Right up until the neoliberals took over in the '70s and started driving taxes down.
The USSR is a perfect example of what happens when you take all wealth from people and give it to the state.
Ah, I see the problem. You have no idea what taxes are for or how they work.
Puritanism pretty much covers all of the sicknesses that define the USA: sexuality (assigned, condemned, controlled, and judged by heterosexual men), employment (you don't have a job (or two, requiring you to use meth to stay awake)? you're a bum), violence (justified only for whites and LEO, but I repeat myself), drugs (have a beer, you pussy. weed? LOSER), holiday time (a day off? well, maybe we don't need you at all, then), religion (screw Separation of Church and State, but lie, cheat, and steal during business hours and only occasionally repenting on Sunday when the NFL isn't on), and politics (I know these billionaires have my best interests at heart).
Looking at the state of things in the harsh, cold light of day, I'm not sure this noble attempt at representational democracy is worth (or even capable of) saving.
The reality is that the percentage of income that Americans pay to the government has never been higher than it is today.
False.
Since 1967, median real income (adjusted for inflation) has increased by 23%.
Indeed. But don't forget that increase stopped sometime in the '70s.
Businesses are not "impaired" from employing US workers. They *choose* not to so as to achieve greater profits.
You ought to think about what you just said. Reducing profits is the chief form of impairment that a business can experience. And if you reduce profits to the red, then you've destroyed the case for the business.
(Note that this is common issue across the western world as most barriers in place to protect living standards have been torn down in the name of greater profits.)
I'm not saying that all such barriers should be torn down, but severely reducing profits is a very good reason to consider tearing these barriers down.
The thing that is missed here is that reducing profits also reduces living standards. And we can see that living standards are declining despite all the regulation to the contrary. I think it's time to look at what's working and what isn't. My view is that a lot of that regulation is actually very counterproductive, making the situation worse.
I think debt is slavery.
Somewhat. I'd more say that debt which cannot be discharged via bankruptcy is like slavery.
Slavery is Slavery; Debt is an ingenious replacement for the slave driver's whip.
(paraphrased from Amrose Bierce)
You ought to think about what you just said.
I have.
Reducing profits is the chief form of impairment that a business can experience. And if you reduce profits to the red, then you've destroyed the case for the business.
OK. So once we follow your idea and successfully drive wages - ie: costs - down to slightly-more-than zero, who is going to buy the stuff business produces ?
You need to consider that there's a revenues side of the ledger as well as an expenses one.
The thing that is missed here is that reducing profits also reduces living standards.
No it doesn't. An economy running on a razor-thin profit but still producing excess of everything it needed would have high living standards.
And we can see that living standards are declining despite all the regulation to the contrary.
Er, no. Living standards are declining because all the regulations that protected normal people's incomes have been systemically destroyed. That's why real incomes for almost everyone in the US have gone nowhere for thirty-odd years.
I think it's time to look at what's working and what isn't. My view is that a lot of that regulation is actually very counterproductive, making the situation worse.
Everyone knows what works. Post-WW2 USA (until the neoliberals took over in the '70s, brought in the morally bankrupt NAIRU, deregulated everything, started selling off public assets and disassembling the public services - again, a common problem throughout the western world, though some countries had their Reagans and Thatchers much later - here in Australia, for example, we didn't go full retard until the mid-90s) was the quickest and most widespread increase in wealth and living standards in human history. It was a time of increasing real wages, a large and financially secure middle class, relatively high social mobility, large-scale public investment and full employment as a policy goal rather than a bete noir.
When somebody takes out a loan, they aren't offered death as an alternative.
Depends on the reason for the loan. Maybe they need it for one of life's necessities, like food, medicine, or the newest iPhone.
Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
Now before you tear into me let me explain what we found: we were dsicussing design and noticed how American cars were "way too big" as in: who needs 4 tons of steel to lug around a lil' old lady to go to the malll. And we went back and found out that car design in the USA is done by separate, non-communicating teams. the team working on the car-body design has absolutedly no clue how big the engine bay needs to be, the engine team has no clue how well it will be ventilated, and so on and so forth. Basically in the USA, you have one job, you do THAT job, and if you see a colleague about to mess up you either throw them under the bus, or see it as "Not my problem". In Europe teams are ofthen made to work together, this means designs can be optimized and leads to a better overal quality ( ask the Germans). This also means issues get resolved together instead of throwing them over the fence and hoping for "the other guy" to fix it.
This results in meetings where playing the blame game is frowned upon as we don't care whose fault it is as long as the problem gets fixed.
P.S.: if anybody has access to "the red book*" from Shell he'll understand what I mean. *it's a book that refers how many man-hours is needed to do a job for each country, for laying down an airstrip you might need 6 Tanzanians or 3 Senegaleze, or 1 European. Yes the book is kept secret because it's a bit of a hot topic.
P.P.S.: and if you want to know why Americans work so much it's because the work ethos is to work hard, not smart. Just check your own organisation, do they give bonuses for overtime or for meeting targets? Are those targets achievable without overtime? Does loosing your job scare you more than dying 20 years early because of work induced stress? Do you care your female coworkers do not get payed maternity-leave?
The Dutch have an expression for discussions like these, we call it "throwing a single bone into the dog pen". Woof.
OK. So once we follow your idea and successfully drive wages - ie: costs - down to slightly-more-than zero, who is going to buy the stuff business produces ?
Why would that happen? Is regulation the magic sauce for making sure you don't starve because you forget to ask for a paycheck? This sentiment reminds me of The Incoherence of the Philosophers, a work which among other things proposes that reality itself goes on as it does only because Allah wills it so. So do we have an economy and people getting paid for their work only because the regulators will it so? I'm not feeling it.
You need to consider that there's a revenues side of the ledger as well as an expenses one.
Somewhat lower wages is still better than no wages when it comes to generating revenue, wouldn't you think?
The thing that is missed here is that reducing profits also reduces living standards.
No it doesn't. An economy running on a razor-thin profit but still producing excess of everything it needed would have high living standards.
Here's what's missing: leisure time and spending, risk taking, insurance, research and development, and business expansion. But I'm sure that government will continue to take and squander much more than that razor thin profit margin as is their due.
Er, no. Living standards are declining because all the regulations that protected normal people's incomes have been systemically destroyed. That's why real incomes for almost everyone in the US have gone nowhere for thirty-odd years.
It's a nice story except that it isn't true. The labor regulations haven't changed much; benefits and unemployment regulations haven't changed much; minimum wage is still around; and health care has actually been expanded. What has changed? Well, nothing really. It's just part of the ongoing half century of economic shift to the developing world and growing wage parity between developed and developing worlds.
Everyone knows what works. Post-WW2 USA (until the neoliberals took over in the '70s, brought in the morally bankrupt NAIRU, deregulated everything, started selling off public assets and disassembling the public services - again, a common problem throughout the western world, though some countries had their Reagans and Thatchers much later - here in Australia, for example, we didn't go full retard until the mid-90s) was the quickest and most widespread increase in wealth and living standards in human history. It was a time of increasing real wages, a large and financially secure middle class, relatively high social mobility, large-scale public investment and full employment as a policy goal rather than a bete noir.
In other words, those darn Reagans and Thatchers didn't ban the billions of people who are eating your lunch, labor competition-wise.
And the great incongruity of your post is that the actual quickest and most widespread increase in wealth and living standards in human history happened after the period of time you mention. It is happening now, not in the 1950s. Now is the time of increasing real wages, creation of a global large and financially secure middle, relatively high social mobility, etc. What happened in the developed world then is now happening everywhere. But I guess all those people are kind of hard to see from whatever podunk country you're from.
The title is wrong, because it only refers to a duration (40 hours) and not a work quantity. It should have been "Why Do Americans Work So Long?".
You should check the OECD Stats, where you can find the GDP per hour worked, which should be a better indicator (not perfect, but better)
http://stats.oecd.org/Index.as...
As an example, Norway or Irish people would work less time to generate more GDP, per capita.
People used to work for basic subsistence, now they work for leisure and non-essentials.
The middle and upper classes could work less, but instead, they prefer to stick to 40 hour weeks and get better leisure, more gadgets, etc... It creates a feedback loop : for example, let's say you want an iPhone, you work maybe 50h to get it, which, in turn give work everyone involved in making and handing you this iPhone.
The iPhone, a non-essential, created work out of thin air. You go for a trip to Hawaii, same thing : you work to pay for your trip, which give work to people who build the plane you are taking, extract and refine the fuel you are using, and all the staff serving you...
I thought it was Bush, but then Obama came along
> I'd happily work 5 hours less a week
Okay, what do you do for a living? I'll give you some ideas on how to do that.
> Decide?
Yes, make a friggin decision for yourself, for your own life. You -can- let other people make the decisions for you, which is easier, but of course that way you don't always get your preference. It's a balance with each decision.
> But I can't
If you decide you can't, you're probably right.
> Indeed. But don't forget that increase stopped sometime in the '70s.
Actually almost half of that 23% increase is after 1984.
Here's a chart from the St Louis Federal Reserve for you:
https://research.stlouisfed.or...
You are absolutely correct in that the 1% make all their money on the 99% debt.
However, most of that is in housing. As you say the cost of housing isn't directly proportional to the cost of building a house (though it has increased for the same reason I will list). The demand for housing hasn't increased proportionally. What has increased is the the amount banks are willing to lend to people, and the ratio of debt people are allowed to carry now. If people can't afford to buy a house the cost goes down. Housing is only expensive as the ability to people to pay for it. Thus housing prices has increased. This also has effects an all aspects of housing such as building, for the same reason. They can escalate their costs because houses are "worth" more. In this way the 1% have influenced the market in their favor.
It has gotten so ridiculous I noticed a couple of years ago when I tried to get renovations done. When I got a house I got a very modest (i.e. old and small) "inexpensive" house that was about 100k. I was looking to do an "inexpensive" bathroom renovation of about 10,000$ which is about 1/10 of the cost of my entire home. The problem was no contractor wants to bother with a job like that anymore, so finding someone was very difficult, keeping him more so. The reason is because when your house costs 500-600k, no one blinks an eye spending 20-30k on a bathroom, as that is only 1/20th of the cost of their house, and the perceived increase of X tens of thousands of "value" that adds... So you spend more, acquire more debt, etc... and who wins?
Yes, I think you are right, in the US there is an educational debt crisis coming at some point as you illustrate. There are entire for profit education mills that's soul purpose is to acquire debt. Key is the issue of essentially "free" loans from the US government which you can't even claim bankruptcy to clear (i.e. money in the bank for these "schools"), with the idea of increasing upward mobility and access, but in the end you get a useless degree and debt slavery. This is somewhat unique to the US however I think, whereas the housing issue is ubik. All you have to do is watch those housing or renovation shows, or even just look at housing prices, and ask yourself "what to all these people do for a living to afford that?"...
Hence unions. However they have been systematically on the decline. The unions that do exist are more concerned with self preservation that any sort of labour reforms for their workers.
The Donor Party liked this because it lowered labor costs. Oh, did I say "Donor"? I meant "Republican".
And Democrats like this because it created a dependent class of loyal democrat voters.
I've always said, fix the system of political financial contributions, and the rest will probably just work itself out.
Make corporate donations illegal. Limit personal donations to some reasonable index. Make politically lobbying (at least in its current form) illegal. Prevent or provide serious limitations for compensation and positional appointment between politics and corporations (i.e. you don't get a sweetheart job the moment you retire from politics, don't appoint industry shills for government positions).
Do all that, and I would bet a great deal of our current social ills would be solved with in a few years. Though that is a tall order, as the system is already compromised.
I agree.
However one cravat, you have little control over, taxes. When I bought my shitty little house, one of the nice things about it was I also only had about 1200$ a year in tax, which in comparison to some was quite small. Fast forward 10 years later, my tax is now about 2200$ (still a lot less than probably most). In that 10 year period I am pretty sure my salary has not actually increased by 80%.
You can do all the right things, but the amount of things out of your control is astounding. Simple things like bills, everything goes up. Some you can elect not to pay for such as when your internet that used to be 40$ is now faster but also 80$... Other things such as water, electricity, gas, etc... you have much less options should they decide to increase, and they all have, and I would say all faster than my wage is increasing.
David Graeber's article "On the Phenomenon of Bullshit Jobs" is excellent.
I am glad to live in the North where global warming is a blessing. We use to get a foot of snow by mid-November but now it is days before New Years. It must be my faultering memory. And our degree days are warmer, to the dismay of the energy providers.
"Since then, conquering other countries and robbing their gold has been frowned upon."
You could probably update your historical synopsis easily by replacing "gold" with "oil".
Now internationally is is all about debt transfer it seems. Here have more debt. A different kind of war perhaps.
There is no such distinction in our legal framework. You cannot create a contract to become a slave (except a debt slave).
Cheap storage VM.
is obvious. Lessee, cut the top income tax rate, to help "Job Creators", who then ship jobs offshore. Then undersize, er, "downsize", and have two people do the job of one.
Meanwhile, starting with Raygun's attack on the Air Traffic Controllers' Union (who was dead right about needing more computerization to deal with the massive increase in air travel), the attack by corporations and the wealthy on unions... and then making us part of management (so we couldn't unionize)[1], and *then* designating us "independent contractors", and so offloading all benefit costs to us, who, of course, can't get anywhere near as good a deal as a large company can.
And too many people here hear the phrase "whatever it takes", and think that means they're Important, rather than what their grandparents would have called it, overworked... and who had unions to fight it.[2]
1. Tell me the difference between an "administrative assistant" and a secretary... other than the former
is "salaried", and can be told to work till it's done, where the secretary got paid overtime.
2. How many here haven't used up their paid time off, because work's been so busy?
Too many folks in the US are suckers. The great Green Card scam of Canter and Siegel, in '94, was when they spammed every single one of the nearly 1000 usenet newsgroups (yes, the 'Net existed before the Web). Many of us in those newsgroups were part of a community. The spammers "defense" was that there were no such communities, it was just a marketing opportunity.
And too many of you believe it now. Do you *have* a community, or family, a place you call home? Are you ready to pick up and relocate to somewhere else, that you don't know, because jobs got moved and are thin at the place you call home? (Five times here).
No, you don't have "leverage". If you're posting here, you're not a millionaire, just a pee-on.
mark
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
The USA's saviour is this balding blond guy with tinted hair. You know the one from New York. The one with casino money.
Whats his name again???
Leslie Satenstein Montreal Quebec Canada
Ah, I see the problem. You have no idea what taxes are for or how they work.
No, you don't understand at all...
The post I was responding to said "tax the fuck out of the wealthy so they can't afford to be charitable".
In reply to that post, I was 100% correct. If you take all the money from the wealthy, then you only have poor people left. Government doesn't create an economy or jobs, it just spends other people's money to the poor house.
Looking around the world, every nation that thinks they can take the wealthy's money and hand it out is poor.
It's become the defacto god of America, to whom all bow and sacrifice themselves (well, except for those damn atheists who just take advantage of everyone else's bowing and sacrificing to gather up all the loot unto themselves).
No, it is completely true, your link doesn't even respond to what I said.
I said that the percentage of INCOME that Americans pay to the government has never been higher, and you responded with a chart comparing gross tax receipts to GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, which is not people's income.
The total percentage of people's income that goes to the government is higher today than at any point in US history.
The reason work weeks haven't gotten shorter with increased productivity is that wages haven't risen with increased productivity. So the question is really why hasn't this happened.
For the U.S.A. Local governments employ about 12% of the population, States employ about 4% and the federal government employs about 2%. I count that as 18% of jobs are created by the government.
He effected a bored affect.
Tax as a %age of GDP is a fairly widespread way of measuring the tax burden, which today is relatively low.
This and this show the makeup percentage of revenue. Percentage from income taxes looks to have been higher around 2000 and in the '80s.
Your language is deceptive. You are trying to present income taxes today as having dramatically increased or being relatively high when neither of these things are true. As the graphs above show, percentage of revenue from income tax has sat somewhere between 40 and 50% since the '50s.
You would think that, wouldn't you?
Shame you never lived in the USSR where 100% of the jobs were created by the government, since that was such a paradise...
Or I guess you could go visit Cuba today and see how nice that place is...
It is a shame that our education system is so poor, as to produce people like you.
If you take all the money from the wealthy, then you only have poor people left.
Untrue.
Government doesn't create an economy or jobs, it just spends other people's money to the poor house.
Public spending does create an economy and jobs. The obvious example is large-scale infrastructure spending.
Then there's something like public education, which acts as a multiplier by producing an educated and literate society.
Looking around the world, every nation that thinks they can take the wealthy's money and hand it out is poor.
Indeed. The USA, Australia, New Zealand, the UK, Germany, France, Norway, Sweden... Complete basket cases, the lot of them.
Your statement is literally the opposite of reality. Are you a Libertarian ?
Wow, you should really stand up, the point wooshed over your head...
I'd love to help you, but you really need more help than can be had here.
Keep punishing that straw man. You know he loves it !
In the US, real wages have been flat, as has social mobility. US social mobility is well below the mobility in some European countries. It's all well and good that developing countries are getting better standards of living, but the fact that all US productivity gains have gone to the wealthy is still a problem, and the US is seeing a smaller and less secure middle class.
"When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
Why would that happen?
Because of people like you.
Even after decades of median wage stagnation in the face enormous productivity increases, a significant shift in GDP share to capital, increasing income and wealth gaps, you're *still* arguing the problem is workers are asking for too much.
Is regulation the magic sauce for making sure you don't starve because you forget to ask for a paycheck?
No, restoring lost bargaining power to labour is the best way of making people wealthier.
Somewhat lower wages is still better than no wages when it comes to generating revenue, wouldn't you think?
Why would employers not hire more people in the face of growing demand ?
Here's what's missing: leisure time and spending, risk taking, insurance, research and development, and business expansion.
Here's what's missing. Any evidence - heck, even some vaguely coherent reasoning - for that claim.
But I'm sure that government will continue to take and squander much more than that razor thin profit margin as is their due.
You are blindly arguing ideology.
It's a nice story except that it isn't true. The labor regulations haven't changed much; benefits and unemployment regulations haven't changed much; minimum wage is still around; and health care has actually been expanded. What has changed?
Lots of things have changed. Union membership has collapsed, immigration - particularly "skilled" immigration - has gone through the roof. Minimum wage has decreased in real terms.
Basically, the bargaining power of labour has been systemically destroyed for decades (again, common problem across most of the western world to some degree).
Well, nothing really. It's just part of the ongoing half century of economic shift to the developing world and growing wage parity between developed and developing worlds.
Which is policy choice. It's unclear why you think the American people should be supporting it. Their Government's responsibility is to them, not the rest of the world.
In other words, those darn Reagans and Thatchers didn't ban the billions of people who are eating your lunch, labor competition-wise.
Yes. Treason, you might say, by putting the desires of a handful of wealthy elites over the prosperity of citizens.
It is happening now, not in the 1950s. Now is the time of increasing real wages, creation of a global large and financially secure middle, relatively high social mobility, etc. What happened in the developed world then is now happening everywhere. But I guess all those people are kind of hard to see from whatever podunk country you're from.
Real wages in the western world have been stagnant or increasing slowly for decades. Most of their middle classes - the ones who weren't nearly wiped out in the GFC - are sitting on paper wealth with massive debt burderns behind it.
You ask why other people don't do what you're doing, and attribute it to stupidity. There may be other reasons. Do you have children? They cost a lot. Have you had a serious medical problem? In general, looking at what most people do and thinking it's because they're stupid means that you don't know what you're talking about, and haven't bothered to find out. It's the equivalent of the God of the Gaps in social commentary.
You made out on the housing market. Not everyone does. If your house went up that much in three years, you were almost certainly surfing a bubble, or you were lucky enough to buy at a low price. Houses are not going to appreciate like that normally. They're usually fairly good investments, but they're very unpredictable, and they're really not liquid if you want to sell out. A similar amount of well-chosen stock may well do better on the average.
Renting is not like borrowing money. It's a way of determining what you're going to pay, while being able to move without difficulty. If you keep buying and selling houses, the realtor cut and other closing expenses are going to eat up all potential profit. If you're renting, you can move around freely.; Renting may well be less expensive than buying a house.
"When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
He says posting a graph that starts in 1984.
This paints the picture much better. Hourly compensation increase 1948 - 1973: ~100%. 1973-present: ~10%.
So you're technically right with the claim wages have risen ~20% since 1967. You're just ignoring how much faster it was the twenty years before that and how slow it is in comparison to productivity increases and the income increases of the top few percent.
Lying with statistics at its finest.
"Most people" don't decide to work 40 hours; they take what jobs they can find. I wouldn't mind working a 32-hour week, but it's not an option here.
"When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
Most of the charts on that page ignore inflation, which was over 10% PER YEAR in the 1970s. Lying with statistics indeed.
The Father of Capitalism, Adam Smith, pointed out that the interests of the capitalists are never the same and often opposite of the rest of society. He also pointed out that the capitalists will use every means at their disposal to convince everyone else that their interests are the same as everyone else. And, finally, he pointed out that profits are lowest in rich countries, higher in poor countries, and highest of all in countries racing toward ruin.
He constantly mentioned profits are "reasonable" return on investment and defined that as the same rate as the interest on loans to the government.
National revenue is rents + wages+profits. Therefore, those who earn their living with profits have opposite interests from the other two classes since rents are dependent on wages.
The problem is that the capitalist model is based on the fact that it is most advantageous to invest first in the country in which you live because the rate of return is higher that foreign trade or the carrying trade. However, this model is broken today as money travels instantaneously and modern transportation is very fast compared to the times when it took a long time to transport items and gold and silver had to be transported by sailing ship to pay for things.
The real problem the rich today don't realize is that income inequality is the basis of most revolutions and eventually they will lose everything. Che once noted that the reason Americans weren't ripe for revolution was that the rich shared enough of the wealth with the other classes that they were satisfied. However, that is no longer the case as they take more and more of the wealth.
The present concentration of wealth is so dire that we run the risk of consolidating the World's power into a few hundred families.
I was under the assumption that current US politics are mainly driven by 400 families. And the US being the most powerful country in the world in terms of influence and military might... the world is already largely governed by a few hundred families.
Those families' influence has always been around, it has just gotten a lot more extreme in the last 40 years.
I agree with most of this, but would quibble with this point:
But, again, in the long-term, it doesn't (mostly) amount to a lot. The drug war isn't a by product of this. General "tough on crime" over-sentencing isn't a by product of this.
For-profit prisons lobbying for harsher sentencing guidelines, even for non-violent offenders (makes their job easier if the inmates aren't as violent on average), definitely contributes to the serious over-incarceration problem the US has.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?...
They don't state that they've ignored inflation, so the reader might reasonably assume they're communicating useful (real) numbers. However, they show wage growth of 234%. That's ten times the real (inflation-adjusted) growth. So yeah, they lied to you.
+1
The Father of Capitalism, Adam Smith, pointed out that the interests of the capitalists are never the same and often opposite of the rest of society. He also pointed out that the capitalists will use every means at their disposal to convince everyone else that their interests are the same as everyone else. And, finally, he pointed out that profits are lowest in rich countries, higher in poor countries, and highest of all in countries racing toward ruin.
So what? Everyone else does that too. Conflict of interest is not a capitalism thing. It is a sentient being thing. It's ridiculous when a basic nature thing gets recast as an imaginary flaw peculiar to capitalism. One might as a result get the impression that you don't have a clue what you are speaking of.
The problem is that the capitalist model is based on the fact that it is most advantageous to invest first in the country in which you live because the rate of return is higher that foreign trade or the carrying trade. However, this model is broken today as money travels instantaneously and modern transportation is very fast compared to the times when it took a long time to transport items and gold and silver had to be transported by sailing ship to pay for things.
Capitalism is not based on that assumption. It is based on private ownership of capital with the trade infrastructure and legal protections that implies.
The real problem the rich today don't realize is that income inequality is the basis of most revolutions and eventually they will lose everything. Che once noted that the reason Americans weren't ripe for revolution was that the rich shared enough of the wealth with the other classes that they were satisfied. However, that is no longer the case as they take more and more of the wealth.
The rich don't "realize" something that isn't true? What a shocker. Every society has income inequality because everyone is not equally competent and skilled, doing the exact same job, and having the exact same luck.
And a Che quote? At least under the Batista regime, they didn't have a massive fraction of their citizens trying to flee the island. It's also worth noting that Che became the new elite once the Communists took over. The Communists might have destroyed the notions of income and wealth in Cuba, but they didn't destroy inequality.
Finally, I can't help but notice that you speak of income inequality not poverty. I think that's telling because poverty is a real problem, income inequality is not. Further, this talk ignores that globally, income and wealth inequality have improved over the past few decades, due in considerable part to widespread adoption of capitalism, such as in China. That's a bit contrary to the narrative, don't you think?
Why would that happen?
Because of people like you.
The thing you don't get is that employment is a trade. Both sides have to bring something to the table. You aren't entitled to a job. Let's give an example. You wrote elsewhere:
Yes, yes, but then what ? Did they just sit in their warehouse full of goods cackling ?
Of course not. They sold it, at which point they were given money (or if you want to go back four-odd thousand years before money existed, other goods) in exchange, which they then used to fund more production.
Without the consumption - the demand - the whole thing falls apart, because without consumption, production is just a waste of time (and resources).
Well, guess what? Jobs are just like warehouses of goods. If the demand for those jobs isn't there, the jobs aren't there. I find it telling how the parties talking about how economies are about the consumers conveniently forget that employers are consumers of labor. This is a transparent ideological excuse to screw over someone you don't like. Well, my take is different: eat your own dogfood or STFU.
Let's look at some other errors in your current post:
Here's what's missing: leisure time and spending, risk taking, insurance, research and development, and business expansion.
Here's what's missing. Any evidence - heck, even some vaguely coherent reasoning - for that claim.
Where do you think money for those things comes from? Trees? It comes from profits. When you have razor thin profit margins, that's the sort of things which gets lost.
But I'm sure that government will continue to take and squander much more than that razor thin profit margin as is their due. You are blindly arguing ideology.
Walmart had a profit margin of a bit over 3% of revenue in the recent past. California has a sales tax of 7.5% which would apply to almost all Walmart revenue in that state. That's more than double the profits of Walmart right there. And California is notorious for squandering the money it gets. If you look at the map at the bottom of this article you see a lot of states with combined state and local sales tax over 6% (including all ten of the most populous states in the US). And many of those states have a similar reputation for screwing the pooch whenever they get their hands on money.
Well, nothing really. It's just part of the ongoing half century of economic shift to the developing world and growing wage parity between developed and developing worlds.
Which is policy choice. It's unclear why you think the American people should be supporting it. Their Government's responsibility is to them, not the rest of the world.
I think this is like saying its unclear whether the American people should be supporting gravity. The American people don't have a choice. They can't choose for those billions of people to vanish. They can't choose for those billions of people to magically have the same wealth and standard of living as US citizens currently enjoy. This disparity of wealth and cost of labor exists whether you support it or not. It's not policy choice, it's reality.
I notice in a few places you have this delusion that's it just a matter of positive thinking. After all, the very first whine is about how I'm holding us back with my mental failwaves. And it goes all the way to the end with another piteous whine that US citizens can choose via policy to unmake those billions of people who are willing to work for less.
It's time for you to pull your head out of your ass. If your ideas can fail merely because I disagree, then they weren't worth having in the first place. If your ideas can fail merely because reality isn't as you would like, well that's another reason that they aren't worth having.
In the US, real wages have been flat, as has social mobility. US social mobility is well below the mobility in some European countries. It's all well and good that developing countries are getting better standards of living, but the fact that all US productivity gains have gone to the wealthy is still a problem, and the US is seeing a smaller and less secure middle class.
So what? I don't see this as having an easy or low pain solution. US labor has to take a haircut (which it is a significant part of the way through BTW) because the world isn't perfect. That's the way it is.
The workers haven't seen any of that productivity increase as increased wages. The main reason the average work week dropped was probably the introduction of women to the workforce, who are far more likely to work under 40 hours a week.
The problem is that US capitalists are doing extremely well, while the middle class is shrinking and pay for people outside the 1% or so is flat. If there was any sort of "we're all in this together" feeling, it would help, but there isn't. Why does US labor have to take a haircut while the 1% get lots more money?
"When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
I stand corrected. Let me rephrase that as "The Stupid Donor Party" since their policies are dominated by their donors in stark contrast to those held by their own base -- policies that are destroying their own base and replacing it with a base they cannot possibly win from the Elect A New People Party -- which has at least an illusion of "consent", however shallow, from its burgeoning base.
Seastead this.
If there was any sort of "we're all in this together" feeling, it would help, but there isn't.
There isn't such a feeling because we aren't all in this together.
Why does US labor have to take a haircut while the 1% get lots more money?
Because you're competing with several billion people who will work for a lot less while the capital of those rich people does not. There's no reason to expect this to be fair. But at the same time, it's not unfair to expect you to adapt to the situation rather than make it worse.
For example, let's say you're the only plumber in a town. You are a paragon of virtue and don't abuse your effective monopoly position and offer prices comparable to neighboring towns which do have more than one plumber.
Then one day, five new plumbers move in and immediately start offering lower and lower prices. It's not fair to you. Nobody else in town has this sort of competition going on. You are losing wealth relative to everyone else who isn't a plumber through no fault of your own. Income inequality increases as a result with six poor plumbers.
At this point, you have a number of choices, all of them bad to some degree. For example, you can attempt to tough it out to be one of the last ones standing, knowing that you'll still have a greatly reduced market share and profit as a result. You can move to a new town and be a plumber there. Or you can abandon plumbing as a career altogether. Maybe you'll try to take a chance and create a new plumbing service that the other plumbers can't match (maybe it'll pay off, maybe it won't)..
There are all ways you could attempt to better your situation. But you could also choose to make the situation worse such as developing a drinking habit.
I believe this is going on at a vast scale in the developed world. There's all this entitled talk about how the rich people owe us a good salary and such. Well, they owe the Indians and the Chinese good salaries too. And good salaries there are much less than good salaries in the developed world.
Bottom line is that developed world labor has to be able to offer something that developing world labor can't offer (and it can be as simple as access to a nice market, though the developing world has nice markets too) or it won't get the work for the pay that is desired. Developed world labor just doesn't have pricing power and won't get it until there is near parity with the developing world (which is improving at a good rate) or until some remarkable advantage is created (I'm not seeing the remarkable advantages in the long run).
You want what rich people have, but you don't have leverage to get it. You're not going to make your situation any better by making it harder for rich people to give you what you want.
The thing you don't get is that employment is a trade.
Now there's some irony.
Well, guess what? Jobs are just like warehouses of goods. If the demand for those jobs isn't there, the jobs aren't there.
Er, yes ? That's kind of the point I've been making over and over again ? The economy is driven by demand and we don't have enough of it because the middle- and lower-classes are being systemically and deliberately impoverished. No demand, no need for production. No need for production, no jobs. No jobs, no money, no demand. Return to step 1 and continue to circle the drain.
I find it telling how the parties talking about how economies are about the consumers conveniently forget that employers are consumers of labor. This is a transparent ideological excuse to screw over someone you don't like.
I have no idea what you're on about.
I am well aware that employers are consumers of labour, it's a fairly key part of my point that Governments of the last thirty-odd years - at the behest of business - have engineered a massive labour surplus, because that surplus is the thing that has facilitated decades of wage stagnation. Scarce labour does not experience wage stagnation because scarce labour has bargaining power in that employment "trade" you mentioned above. That is why professionals have no seen as bad a wage stagnation, because they have retained some bargaining power. It is the same bargaining power business seeks to undermine through "skilled immigration", and why it is always lobbying for more.
Your position is that the reduction in bargaining power of labour is not only unavoidable, but that it is desirable.
I'm not sure who you think is going to get "screwed over" through increased employment, increased real incomes, increased demand, increased productivity and increased living standards. It's true that the handful of people at the top who have been making out like bandits for the last few decades at the cost of everyone else might find their rate of improvement slows down a bit, but that's not "screwing over" in any sense of the term I'm familiar with.
Where do you think money for those things comes from? Trees? It comes from profits. When you have razor thin profit margins, that's the sort of things which gets lost.
No, those things are implicitly included in the "economy running on a razor-thin profit but still producing excess of everything it needs".
Walmart had a profit margin of a bit over 3% of revenue in the recent past. California has a sales tax of 7.5% which would apply to almost all Walmart revenue in that state. That's more than double the profits of Walmart right there. And California is notorious for squandering the money it gets. If you look at the map at the bottom of this article [taxfoundation.org] you see a lot of states with combined state and local sales tax over 6% (including all ten of the most populous states in the US). And many of those states have a similar reputation for screwing the pooch whenever they get their hands on money.
You are blindly arguing ideology (basically, "anything Government does is inherently bad").
I think this is like saying its unclear whether the American people should be supporting gravity. The American people don't have a choice. They can't choose for those billions of people to vanish. They can't choose for those billions of people to magically have the same wealth and standard of living as US citizens currently enjoy. This disparity of wealth and cost of labor exists whether you support it or not. It's not policy choice, it's reality.
Interacting with "those billions of people" - whether to do it at all, and how, is a policy choice. The American Government - representing the will of the American people - decides what is and is not allowed across its borders - real or virtual - from goods, through people, to money. (In reality the American Government doesn't represent the will of the people, it represents the
I believe this is going on at a vast scale in the developed world.
I believe what is happening on a vast scale is governments playing games to better entrench their own power.
Developed countries are more democratic. The biggest threat to the rulers in a democratic country is the Average Joe - labor. They're a huge voting bloc, and they could organize. But in a democratic country you can't just use guns to keep them down. You need to be more subtle. Like, say, hurt their wallet so even if they organize they can't buy a big enough microphone.
Developing countries are not so democratic. They have an easier time keeping the masses in line with guns. The bigger problem is finding a way to whip those masses to be productive, to create wealth for the rulers. In the bad old days you'd send them to war and pillage other countries, but that's somewhat hard these days (maybe if you're ISIS level crazy...). So how about finding developed countries willing to pay for your labor, despite your human rights record?
And so the unholy union came to be. That some (developing world labor, developed world rich) are seeing benefits out of this is secondary to both sides' governments. The smarter ones among them know the government could always change their mind and crack down on them. That's why the rich, despite being beneficiaries of the current status quo, still continue to donate to political campaigns to keep things that way.
You're assuming (a) that the principles of the economy are immutable, (b) that the government needs to stay out of managing the economy even if it hurts hundreds of millions of people, and (c) the people won't revolt at some time. We have had prosperity with a lot less income inequality and higher taxes in the upper brackets, and the prosperity helped most people. As far as the revolt goes, look at the popularity Sanders has picked up. If we elect him President, and vote in a sympathetic Congress, things are going to change, and a lot of people with lots of money will not like it. I'm not saying his policies will be best for the country, but that no other Presidential candidate is as clearly on the side of the people as he is.
"When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
Er, yes ? That's kind of the point I've been making over and over again ? The economy is driven by demand and we don't have enough of it because the middle- and lower-classes are being systemically and deliberately impoverished. No demand, no need for production. No need for production, no jobs. No jobs, no money, no demand. Return to step 1 and continue to circle the drain.
No. Employers are demand too and there's not enough of them either. You only consider certain demand not all demand. The demand model of an economy is inherently flawed because it deliberately excludes employers, a huge category of demand. And the subsequent impairment of society, which you term "circle the drain" is a consequence.
Here's how I see it. In the US, a few years back our overheated real estate market created a massive recession for the entire world. Here was an attempt to create massive consumer demand for US real estate and it failed badly. My view is that we have considerable evidence that consumers just can't consume much more than they are right now. Focusing on consumer demand is a terrible strategy because it does nothing to improve the earning power of those consumers. There's only so much a consumer can consume, even when borrowing everything they can borrow.
Similarly, attempts to increase the standard of living of workers while making their labor less valuable to employers are an ongoing disaster. The contradiction inherently insures it will not work.
The reality is that the west is in an economic malaise because it has chosen to systemically and deliberately undermine its middle- and lower-classes for no reason other than to facilitate a handful of already unimaginably wealthy people sucking up even more wealth. Until wealth and disposable income are returned to them, nothing will improve. Because it literally, cannot.
Then stop enabling that. Your policies are the cause here. Rich people can get wealthier anywhere in the world. Middle and lower-class people can only get wealthier where they live. And the primary means by which those people get wealthier is by labor.
Employment is trade. You have to have something to offer in order to get wages in exchange. The employer is the important part of the economy, not a consumer. The demand of employers is so much more open ended than the demand of people who are capped by their limited earning power.
For example, back in 1950, the effective global economy consisted of North America (excluding Mexico), western Europe, and a little bit of other parts of the world. There was maybe half a billion or so people. Now, that number is something like three to five billion people that are reasonable well connected to the global economy.
There has been a huge increase in labor available to business. Yet we haven't seen a dramatic collapse in developed world wages. That's because a vast amount of new demand for labor has been created throughout the world. And that gives the lie to the claim that "unimaginably wealthy" people are sucking up the wealth. There's a vast amount of improvement in peoples' lives globally. It's just not happening as fast as you would like in the developed world.
So when you propose, once again, screwing over employers because rich people, you are harming the most important part of your economy. Wealth and disposable income "can be returned" to workers. Wealth and disposable income can't be returned to the unemployable unemployed.
Income inequality has risen since at least Reagan, don't act like it's something new.
It really started with the Gold Reserve Act in 1934 (outlawing private gold possession). The Federal Reserve (and its ensuing policy) and Income Tax didn't help (and are two of the ten planks of the Communist Manifesto), but it started with Nixon lowering the top-earners' taxes --Definitely noted that Reagan lowered them much more than Nixon did, too.
No sig for you! Come back one year!
Why do Americans want so much?
Buddha, Jesus, et al. ilk all knew that material possessions, beyond the necessaries, were nothing but a drag on the human spirit.
I've the belief that many /.ers think the same... that mental strength trumps the physical and is ultimately more important to cultivate --'The pen is mightier than the sword' and all that jazz...
No sig for you! Come back one year!
No. Employers are demand too and there's not enough of them either. You only consider certain demand not all demand. The demand model of an economy is inherently flawed because it deliberately excludes employers, a huge category of demand.
How's that ?
Here's how I see it. In the US, a few years back our overheated real estate market created a massive recession for the entire world. Here was an attempt to create massive consumer demand for US real estate and it failed badly.
The product wasn't real estate. It was credit.
My view is that we have considerable evidence that consumers just can't consume much more than they are right now.
Yes. Because they're broke. They're broke because they've suffered decades of policies aimed at suppressing their incomes and are additionally suffering from the debt load taken on to maintain the increase in living standards they had grown to expect from the previous thirty years of progress.
Focusing on consumer demand is a terrible strategy because it does nothing to improve the earning power of those consumers. There's only so much a consumer can consume, even when borrowing everything they can borrow.
The mind-bogglingly issuing of credit over the last few decades and consequent crushing debt load was done to mask wage stagnation. If wages had increased in line with productivity, people wouldn't have needed to borrow to consume because they would have had the real disposable income to consume.
Focusing on consumer demand is the only way to fix the problem because the economy relies on it to function. Ideally, consumer demand is increased through higher real wages and increased productivity, leading to greater disposable incomes.
Similarly, attempts to increase the standard of living of workers while making their labor less valuable to employers are an ongoing disaster. The contradiction inherently insures it will not work.
Yes ? That's the point I've been (repeatedly) making ?
Then stop enabling that. Your policies are the cause here.
No they're not. "My" policies - jobs guarantees, full employment as a policy goal, strong workers rights, strong financial sector regulation, extensive public infrastructure and services, high progressive taxes to control wealth distribution and inflation, liveable welfare, etc, etc - haven't seen light of day since the early '70s. They are the kinds of policies that defined post-WW2 USA - "capitalism's golden age".
The Thatcherites and Reaganites - neoliberals - completely and utterly own today's worldwide economic armageddon. They have been running the world since the mid '70s. They are the ones who have been "attempting to increase the standard of living of workers while making their labor less valuable to employers".
Rich people can get wealthier anywhere in the world. Middle and lower-class people can only get wealthier where they live. And the primary means by which those people get wealthier is by labor.
Yes ? Again, the point I've been making repeatedly ?
Employment is trade. You have to have something to offer in order to get wages in exchange. The employer is the important part of the economy, not a consumer. The demand of employers is so much more open ended than the demand of people who are capped by their limited earning power.
*sigh*
People's "earning power" is limited by what their employers pay, which is a function of their bargaining power with said employer (the "trade"). Since the developed world has pursued thirty-odd years of policy aimed at undermining workers' bargaining power so as to suppress wages, their earning power has been gutted. This is visible in the wage vs profit share of GDP - the former has declined and the latter significantly increased.
The consumer is the critical part of the economy. With nobody to consume business's output, there is nothing for business to do, no point for it to operate.
Consider what would happy if every
No. Employers are demand too and there's not enough of them either. You only consider certain demand not all demand. The demand model of an economy is inherently flawed because it deliberately excludes employers, a huge category of demand.
How's that ?
By definition and ideological bias.
The product wasn't real estate. It was credit.
Credit doesn't consume in itself, it just makes it a bit easier. And it's worth noting that a lot of people were just find with that credit being used to build a lot of houses and other things. That physical activity generates a lot of economic activity while pure credit would not.
Yes. Because they're broke. They're broke because they've suffered decades of policies aimed at suppressing their incomes and are additionally suffering from the debt load taken on to maintain the increase in living standards they had grown to expect from the previous thirty years of progress.
I agree. I just think it is policies you favor which do that. It's supply and demand for labor. You cripple the demand and then the price of labor, namely, wages and other benefits goes down. Another effect is that if you force employers and employees to vastly overpay for low value benefits (like weak return pensions or greatly overpriced health care), then you shrink the actual benefit that workers get from working.
The number one economic fallacy is that we compare our world to some unattainable goal rather than the alternative choices we could have made. No choice of the past fifty years would allow the US to maintain its relative standard of living and compete on the global labor market at the wage differentials that existed in 1965.
That's because a vast amount of new demand for labor has been created throughout the world. And that gives the lie to the claim that "unimaginably wealthy" people are sucking up the wealth.
It's not a claim, and it's certainly not a lie. It's a fact. The evidence of upwards wealth transfer across the entire world over the last few decades is clear.
And whenever this falsehood rears its head, I point out this graph (see figure 1). It shows the wealthiest indeed increasing their wealth over the recent period 1988-2008. But it also shows two thirds of humanity getting substantial increases in their wealth as well. Just because your policies help the wealthy in your country more than they help you, doesn't mean that others in the world aren't becoming better off through no fault of you.
O.o You cannot be serious.
The US is the poster child for this in the developed world, with most worker's wages there having gone nowhere in real terms for the better part of forty years, the labour share of GDP dropping and the capital share of GDP going through the roof. However, it is a trend that is common across the entire developed world to varying degrees (since they're all basically marching to the same drum).
Name another good or service, for which people pay money, which you can increase the supply by a factor of five to ten without having the price fall through the floor and stay there. Despite your vigorous and reality-free assertion, wages didn't collapse in the US or the rest of the developed world (except for some particularly dysfunctional countries like Greece). That implies that there was a huge amount of demand creation.
I can't remember the exact numbers off the top of my head, but in the '50s a typical CEO earned something like 25x the typical worker's wages. Now it is more like 300x. In what world does that not represent a dramatic collapse in those workers' wages !?
Of course not. Just because someone else is paid more doesn't imply even in the least that you are paid less.
Another way to look at the colossal
Developed countries are more democratic. The biggest threat to the rulers in a democratic country is the Average Joe - labor. They're a huge voting bloc, and they could organize. But in a democratic country you can't just use guns to keep them down. You need to be more subtle. Like, say, hurt their wallet so even if they organize they can't buy a big enough microphone.
They don't have to be subtle or even have intent. There's plenty of harm you can do just by advocating policies that appear to favor workers like minimum wage, public pensions, inflating demand (and prices) for goods and services that people need, some of the more aggressive pro-labor union policies, hard to fire policies, etc, but which don't create jobs.
Ultimately, lowering demand for labor is what takes away labor's power. A lot of labor policies do just that.
You're assuming (a) that the principles of the economy are immutable
You're assuming you have a way to change those principles.
(b) that the government needs to stay out of managing the economy even if it hurts hundreds of millions of people
I haven't seen evidence yet that developed world governments are doing positive things for their people via most of their labor and public benefits policies.
and (c) the people won't revolt at some time.
The same goes for any other policies with net negative effect. Revolts are a thing to worry about.
We have had prosperity with a lot less income inequality and higher taxes in the upper brackets, and the prosperity helped most people.
And we had a lot less labor competition from the developing world. Why are things supposed to stay the same in the face of massive change?
As far as the revolt goes, look at the popularity Sanders has picked up. If we elect him President, and vote in a sympathetic Congress, things are going to change, and a lot of people with lots of money will not like it.
A lot of people without money probably aren't going to like the results either, but that's not going to stop them from voting for Sanders. After all, they voted for Obama too and that worked out well.
I'm not saying his policies will be best for the country, but that no other Presidential candidate is as clearly on the side of the people as he is.
I've never been a fan of voting for someone just because they allegedly have good intentions. Those go wrong so easily.
By definition and ideological bias.
Let me put it another way.
How is it that I am only considering "certain demand" ? How is it that "employers are excluded" ?
Credit doesn't consume in itself, it just makes it a bit easier.
Yes it does. That's where speculation and bubbles come from.
And it's worth noting that a lot of people were just find with that credit being used to build a lot of houses and other things. That physical activity generates a lot of economic activity while pure credit would not.
I'm sure the people making a motza out of flipping houses because they were lucking enough to get in early were very happy with it, but it's mostly unproductive activity.
I agree. I just think it is policies you favor which do that.
To reiterate, the policies I favour have barely even been discussed, let alone implemented, for about forty years. They were in place from the end of WW2 to the early '70s. They ended about where that fairly well known divergence between productivity and real wages happens.
It's supply and demand for labor. You cripple the demand and then the price of labor, namely, wages and other benefits goes down.Another effect is that if you force employers and employees to vastly overpay for low value benefits (like weak return pensions or greatly overpriced health care), then you shrink the actual benefit that workers get from working.
The shrinking of the benefit workers get from working is the result of the race-to-the-bottom policymaking endemic to supply-side neoliberalism.
The number one economic fallacy is that we compare our world to some unattainable goal rather than the alternative choices we could have made. No choice of the past fifty years would allow the US to maintain its relative standard of living and compete on the global labor market at the wage differentials that existed in 1965.
The choice to undermine labour absolutely did. It is the foundation on which subsequent growth in inequality and the economic malaise that has come with it was built.
The US doesn't compete in the global labour market. The idea that it could is absurd. The US is an advanced economy that competes on the global product and service market. It's not trying to make a cheaper mousetrap, it's trying to make a better mousetrap.
And whenever this falsehood rears its head, I point out this graph [voxeu.org] (see figure 1). It shows the wealthiest indeed increasing their wealth over the recent period 1988-2008. But it also shows two thirds of humanity getting substantial increases in their wealth as well. Just because your policies help the wealthy in your country more than they help you, doesn't mean that others in the world aren't becoming better off through no fault of you.
Neither the graph, nor your statement, do anything to refute the point.
Here's a simple example.
Let's say at the beginning, the poor have a dollar and the wealthy have ten dollars.
Thanks to productivity increases, after fifty years the poor now have 5 dollars but the wealthy have a hundred dollars.
That's an upwards transfer of wealth. Because the growth in wealth is a result of everyone's productivity increases. If it had been an even transfer of wealth, the poor would have ten dollars and the wealthy would have a hundred dollars. Ie: their growth rates would have been the same.
This is what happend for the first couple of decades after WW2 (in actual fact it was even better - incomes for the working and middle classes grew _faster_ than incomes for the upper classes).
Name another good or service, for which people pay money, which you can increase the supply by a factor of five to ten without having the price fall through the floor and stay there.
Begging the question fallacy.
Despite your vigorous and reality-free assertion, wages didn't collapse in the US or the rest of the developed world (except for some particularly dysfunctional count
How is it that I am only considering "certain demand" ? How is it that "employers are excluded" ?
[...]
I have no idea what point you're trying to make here. Employers will not produce any more than is demanded of them by consumers. Employers do not employ people out of the goodness of their hearts, as you seem to believe, they employ them to meet a need. If you want to increase employees, or employers - employment - you need to create more consumer demand. Reducing the cost of employees does not improve unemployment in the face of a lack of demand.
There's the answer to your question.
And the great incongruity of your post is that the actual quickest and most widespread increase in wealth and living standards in human history happened after the period of time you mention. It is happening now, not in the 1950s. Now is the time of increasing real wages, creation of a global large and financially secure middle, relatively high social mobility, etc. What happened in the developed world then is now happening everywhere. But I guess all those people are kind of hard to see from whatever podunk country you're from.
Citation needed. Social mobility is decreasing. Wages are flat for the middle class since the 70's. Your assertions are wrong.
The US doesn't compete in the global labour market. The idea that it could is absurd. The US is an advanced economy that competes on the global product and service market. It's not trying to make a cheaper mousetrap, it's trying to make a better mousetrap.
Later you write:
Restore the bargaining power of labour. Raise minimum wage. Reduce access to cheap labour through immigration. Apply tariffs to equalise costs of foreign-manufactured goods. Employ idle labour in useful work (eg: building/maintaining public infrastructure).
The US doesn't compete in the global labor market, yet you feel the need to reduce access to cheap labor through immigration, apply tariffs to equalize costs of foreign-manufactured goods, and employ idle labor in useful work. But the US doesn't compete in the global labor market and hence, doesn't have a reason for these measures which are all purely protectionist measures for a global labor market.
Credit doesn't consume in itself, it just makes it a bit easier.
Yes it does. That's where speculation and bubbles come from.
Point to the house that has credit as a buyer. Every act of consumption has physical parties involved not some vague economics concept. Whatever you will say to this will just boil down to credit made it easier for the physical party to consume, but credit didn't in itself do the consumption.
My view is that you got what you wanted.
Your view is wrong. I would have been - if I were alive - getting what I wanted for the first couple of decades after WW2. Since then the world has been run by supply-siders, only ever looking at one side of the equation, forever trying to reduce costs through lowering wages, and - giving the benefit of the doubt as I tend to do - simply not understanding that the world is demand-driven.
And here you are again, only ever looking at one side of the equation. The obvious rebuttal is that employers always have attempted to reduce costs through lowering wages. The reason they've failed to reach zero is because employers have to compete to get the labor they need to profit. The more employers looking for employees, the better the deal for workers. That's the supply-demand dynamic that you keep ignoring.
The obvious question here is what changed between the first two decades after the Second World War and the subsequent period leading up to modern times. The obvious answer is that the US didn't have significant labor competition from Europe or Japan prior to 1970. The moment they did, such as when the Japanese automakers made huge end roads into the US auto market after the oil crises of the 1970s, we started seeing pressure on US labor. That happened well before supply side policies were adopted.
The only person in this discussion who thinks "full employment" is somehow at odds with "everyone does useful stuff" is you. Indeed, the whole point of full employment as a policy is to try and ensure "everyone does useful stuff".
Do you ever think about this stuff? I would be just as fully employed digging a ditch with a spoon as I would be building state of the art computers or saving billions of lives with novel advances in medicine. Usefulness of the job is completely unrelated to whether you are employed or not.
I have no idea what maths you're using. But the correct way to look at it is that if worker and CEO wages had both increased at the same rate as productivity - like they did for the first few decades after WW2 - then the relative incomes of workers would not have collapsed and their living standards would have increased at the same rate.
This is dis
It's not quite that simple, though. Relying on appreciation to make a mortgage pay off isn't investing - it's speculating. Real estate prices can and do go through periods of decline, and so you happened to luck out over the period of your ownership.
Renting out a property also pays you money, but assume that the mortgage just stays even with inflation (I.E. not speculative investment). You get regular monthly payments from people, but you also have to do the work of finding renters, maintaining the property, etc. So you are essentially working a part time job to get that money - maybe you make a great hourly rate, but you are still putting time in.
Over long time periods, it's also generally a depreciating asset - the land may tend to appreciate depending on what the market does, but a 20 year old home right now will be considered outdated if there are no renovations done - so you need periodic infusions of cash and/or labor to maintain the value of the home.
You also have lots of risk... floods, fires, total market upheaval, hail storms wrecking the roof, meth-head renters, etc.
And finally... if you paid cash, you have a ton of capital tied up in that home. You could just as well have that invested in an index fund with an average 8% annual return, or sit it somewhere like REIT funds that would pay a sizable dividend.
So, the point is, you can certainly make money in real estate, but depending on the circumstances it's possible that you could make as much or more in the long term through investment in a low-maintenance index fund, especially if you count the cost of your time investment.
And the great incongruity of your post is that the actual quickest and most widespread increase in wealth and living standards in human history happened after the period of time you mention. It is happening now, not in the 1950s. Now is the time of increasing real wages, creation of a global large and financially secure middle, relatively high social mobility, etc. What happened in the developed world then is now happening everywhere. But I guess all those people are kind of hard to see from whatever podunk country you're from.
Citation needed. Social mobility is decreasing. Wages are flat for the middle class since the 70's. Your assertions are wrong.
Ah, yes, the magic demand for a link. Here, you go. Figure one is a graph indicating how global wealth by bracket increased over the period 1988-2008. It does show that the wealthiest people in the world did increase their wealth considerably. It also shows the wealth stagnation of the developed world. But it also shows that two thirds of the world saw large increases in their wealth over that period of time.
That's four to five billion current people whose lives were significantly improved over that twenty year period. Meanwhile global population was only about 2.6 billion in 1950.
Thanks for the link - it is true that this is happening globally. It is also true that social mobility in the U.S. is decreasing, and that middle class wages have been flat for decades.
There are consequences to bad decisions. For example, there are a number of people here saying they want to force everyone to work less hours a week. That cripples social mobility right there since the opportunity to work to improve one's lot is a big part of social mobility.
The US doesn't compete in the global labor market, yet you feel the need to reduce access to cheap labor through immigration, apply tariffs to equalize costs of foreign-manufactured goods, and employ idle labor in useful work. But the US doesn't compete in the global labor market and hence, doesn't have a reason for these measures which are all purely protectionist measures for a global labor market.
The US does not compete in the global labour market in the sense that it is selling cheaper labour (like, say, China, or India). It can’t sell cheaper labour because it is an advanced country and the costs of maintaining that lifestyle are too high. Unless of course you want to drive down US living standards to the level of China or India (and there are plenty of people who seem to think that’s a good idea - for everyone except themselves, of course).
I would have thought this meaning was obvious from the second part where I said “it’s not trying to make a cheaper mousetrap, it’s trying to make a better mousetrap”. I suppose I could have been more explicit and said ““it’s not trying to make a cheaper mousetrap through reducing input costs, it’s trying to make a better mousetrap”. Would that have helped ?
And here you are again, only ever looking at one side of the equation. The obvious rebuttal is that employers always have attempted to reduce costs through lowering wages.
How is that a rebuttal when I’ve been talking about it throughout this entire discussion ? Of course employers have always attempted to reduce costs through lowering wages. The point I keep making is that allowing them to do it is a policy choice.
The reason they've failed to reach zero is because employers have to compete to get the labor they need to profit. The more employers looking for employees, the better the deal for workers. That's the supply-demand dynamic that you keep ignoring.
Ignoring ? Supply and demand is at the bloody core of everything I’ve written !
The reasons employers haven’t reached zero salaries are because some small protections still exist for workers (mainly the minimum wage, but unions still have some small pockets of presence). Note that businesses are constantly agitating to remove or reduce these protections. We - the entire western world - have an enormous glut of available workers. Were it not for those protections, then the wages of lowest paid probably would be bumping up against zero. Already huge swathes of the population are dependent on welfare for survival because they cannot earn enough to survive on themselves due to a) wage suppression and b) structurally-imposed unemployment.
You write “the more employers looking for employees, the better the deal for workers” as if “employing people” is what businesses are there to do. They are not. Businesses are there to produce stuff and sell it. Having to employ people is simply an inconvenient consequence of producing stuff to sell. They only produce stuff if there is someone on the other side of the equation to consume that stuff. There is a demand shortage because most people are broke. With this stagnating or declining demand, there is no reason for employers to produce more (because why would you produce more than you can sell?), since employers have no need to produce more, they have no need to hire more employees (why would you hire employees if you had nothing for them to do?), since they have no reason to hire more employees, and there is a huge oversupply of employees in the market, there is no competition between employers and therefore, “the deal” is most certainly not getting any better for employees.
If you still think I am not accounting for some aspect of “supply and demand”, then be more specific about what it is and I will try to explain it differently.
The obvious question here is what changed between the first two d
Were it not for those protections, then the wages of lowest paid probably would be bumping up against zero. Already huge swathes of the population are dependent on welfare for survival because they cannot earn enough to survive on themselves due to a) wage suppression and b) structurally-imposed unemployment.
I mean to edit this to say:
In fact, arguably wages are already bumping up against zero. Huge swathes of the population are dependent on welfare for survival because they cannot earn enough to survive on themselves due to a) wage suppression and b) structurally-imposed unemployment.
The US does not compete in the global labour market in the sense that it is selling cheaper labour (like, say, China, or India). It canâ(TM)t sell cheaper labour because it is an advanced country and the costs of maintaining that lifestyle are too high. Unless of course you want to drive down US living standards to the level of China or India (and there are plenty of people who seem to think thatâ(TM)s a good idea - for everyone except themselves, of course).
Competition isn't competition when the player deliberately plays bad? I don't agree. And I've never said that I want to drive down US living standards. It's just a thing that happens in the presence of superior labor competition.
I would have thought this meaning was obvious from the second part where I said âoeitâ(TM)s not trying to make a cheaper mousetrap, itâ(TM)s trying to make a better mousetrapâ. I suppose I could have been more explicit and said âoeâoeitâ(TM)s not trying to make a cheaper mousetrap through reducing input costs, itâ(TM)s trying to make a better mousetrapâ. Would that have helped ?
No, for two reasons. First, cheaper is an important category of better. Second, China in particular is doing a much better job here than the US is, including a much better job of taking advantage of US R&D.
You write âoethe more employers looking for employees, the better the deal for workersâ as if âoeemploying peopleâ is what businesses are there to do. They are not. Businesses are there to produce stuff and sell it. Having to employ people is simply an inconvenient consequence of producing stuff to sell. They only produce stuff if there is someone on the other side of the equation to consume that stuff. There is a demand shortage because most people are broke. With this stagnating or declining demand, there is no reason for employers to produce more (because why would you produce more than you can sell?), since employers have no need to produce more, they have no need to hire more employees (why would you hire employees if you had nothing for them to do?), since they have no reason to hire more employees, and there is a huge oversupply of employees in the market, there is no competition between employers and therefore, âoethe dealâ is most certainly not getting any better for employees.
They can always sell to markets that aren't as screwed up like China or India. These demand problems don't exist there. There may be a huge oversupply of employees in those markets, but it's getting sopped up. Meanwhile developed world countries like the US seem to try to make people useless.
And I note once again, the ridiculous ideological bias against employers rears its ugly head in your words. You keep harping on how lower wages hampers consumption and hence, economic progress, but you continue to completely ignore that this goes both ways. Increasing the cost of employees to employers also reduces demand for labor and cause all that stuff.
But instead, we're wasting time envying the rich because their wealth increased even faster. There is something profoundly sick with your outlook that you can completely dismiss a huge increase in wealth for poor people because rich people got it even more.
Firstly, itâ(TM)s not envy. Secondly, itâ(TM)s not a huge increase in wealth for the poor, because of inflation. Thirdly, I have in no way dismissed a wealth increase, I have merely pointed out that it has not been evenly distributed, and argue that - absent any actual reason otherwise - it should be.
The obvious actual reason is that capital doesn't have to compete with several billion people.
For example, consider this alternate scenario. The poor and wealthy started as above with a dollar apiece and ten dollars apiece for the wealthy. After
Competition isn't competition when the player deliberately plays bad? I don't agree.
Right. So you’re the kind of guy who would argue there should be no laws against, say, fraud ? Or theft ? You know, "deliberately playing bad" ?
And I've never said that I want to drive down US living standards.
You keep arguing for things that will cause it and against things that will improve it.
No, for two reasons. First, cheaper is an important category of better.
Buying some stolen speakers out of the back of someone’s truck is a lot cheaper than buying them in the store, but it is not “better”.
Second, China in particular is doing a much better job here than the US is, including a much better job of taking advantage of US R&D.
That’s because China doesn’t care about things like pollution or safety.
They can always sell to markets that aren't as screwed up like China or India. These demand problems don't exist there. There may be a huge oversupply of employees in those markets, but it's getting sopped up. Meanwhile developed world countries like the US seem to try to make people useless.
LOL. Actually, genuinely, LOL.
China ? You're serious ? The free-market zealot is idolising *China* ?
Labour in China is “sopped up” by Government employing people (either directly or by proxy) and paid for through massive credit creation. China has tariffs and other regulations on immigration and foreign investment out the wazoo. They manipulate their currency with abandon. They build entire empty cities, for fuck's sake. All that stuff you’ve been arguing for the last few days is “delusional”, they are doing as hard and fast as is humanly possibly (ultimately too hard and too fast - it's probably going to screw them, but it'll be interesting to watch and see if they get away with it).
And I note once again, the ridiculous ideological bias against employers rears its ugly head in your words. You keep harping on how lower wages hampers consumption and hence, economic progress, but you continue to completely ignore that this goes both ways. Increasing the cost of employees to employers also reduces demand for labor and cause all that stuff.
There is no bias against employers and I have not ignored “that it goes both ways”. You either don’t understand what’s being said, or you are too far down your ideological rabbit hole to comprehend anything different.
You could drop the cost of labour to zero tomorrow and it would likely have a negligible effect on unemployment (in the short term, anyway - it would send it through the roof in the long term). Businesses aren’t going to start employing people “just because it’s cheaper”. They’re only going to employ people when the demand for their products or services increases beyond the ability of the existing employees to meet it. The economy is driven by demand. No demand, no need for production. No need for production, no need to hire employees.
If you genuinely think that simply reducing the cost of employees to business will cause them to hire more people, please explain why.
The obvious actual reason is that capital doesn't have to compete with several billion people.
*sigh*
Workers wages aren’t lower simply because they have to compete with other people. They are lower because those other people are systemically cheaper, because they have lower standards of living.
There is no reason CEOs and their ilk are inherently excluded from that, *except* through the protections they get from policy. Ie: it’s a choice.
No, I was speaking of wealth. It sounds like the problem here is that you are zero-sum thinking in a situation where it doesn't apply. In your scenario, you grew the real wealth of your poor by a factor of five, but that wasn't good enough because you also grew the wea
I agree about the bad decisions... like the lowering of taxes in the 1980's to create both a massive U.S. debt and further concentrating wealth in the hands of the few.
like the lowering of taxes in the 1980's to create both a massive U.S. debt and further concentrating wealth in the hands of the few.
Both directly and by the spending that wasn't curtailed.
Both directly and by the spending that wasn't curtailed.
Well, the fastest way to curtail spending is to kill a lot of people. Government is trying its best to do that of course, but libertarians keep slowing them down.
failed to allow for the changing consolidation of wealth.
FTFY