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The Most Incorrect Assumptions In Computing?

Miss Muis writes "After reading once again that Moore's Law will become obsolete, I amused myself thinking back to all the predictions, absolutes and impossibles in computing that have been surpassed with ease. In the late 80s I remember it being a well regarded popular 'fact' that 100MHz was the absolute limit for the speed of a CPU. Not too many years later I remember much discussion about hard drives for personal computers being physically unable to go much higher than 1GB. Let's not forget "I think there is a world market for maybe five computers" from the chairman of IBM in 1943, and of course 'Apple is dying...' (for the past 25 years). What are your favorite beliefs-turned-on-their-heads in the history of computing?"

250 of 1,496 comments (clear)

  1. Re:Bill Gates once said... by Liselle · · Score: 2, Informative

    "640K ought to be enough for anybody."
    -Bill Gates, 1981

    --
    Auto-reply to ACs: "Truly, you have a dizzying intellect."
  2. My Personal Favorite... by nanolith · · Score: 5, Insightful

    *BSD is Dying...

    Totally untrue. *BSD rules. :-P

    1. Re:My Personal Favorite... by jcenters · · Score: 5, Funny

      With Mac OS X, I guess Apple and BSD can die together!

      --

      vi ~/.emacs

    2. Re:My Personal Favorite... by theedge318 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      This isn't actually as incredulous as you all might think. Sure simple statements like "*BSD is dying" are always going to get you in trouble. I mean look at the number of Commodore emulators. Some things just have niches, and wont go away (like Apple).

      But more importantly if you read the article carefully (which is a lot I know, this is /. after all). You will notice that Intel saying that Moore's law can't continue to hold out, with the CURRENT binary logic technology. Not that Moore's law will become false, just that there will need to be new advances in technology to overcome the limits. This is what has happened in the past as well (L2 Cache, Silcon -> Germanium, 3D chip pathways).

      Intel pays researchers lots of money to think outside of the box, but they need to write papers like this to keep the establishment continuing to realize them for the miracle workers that they are.

      --
      Sig Nazi- "No Sig for you, come back 1 year."
    3. Re:My Personal Favorite... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      Well they both won't run on a 100MHz processor, and can't fit on a 1GB hard drive, so they must've died years ago!

  3. the list by grub · · Score: 5, Funny

    640K is enough for anyone. (that one was easy)

    This Internet thing is a fad.

    No one will want to look at a man stretching his bottom wide open.

    --
    Trolling is a art,
    1. Re:the list by grub · · Score: 5, Funny


      CB doesn't have the visual impact of the net. Take the following exchance:

      CB Prankster on 19 "Breaker one-nine"
      CB Victim on 19 "go ahead"
      CB Prankster on 19 "Hey good buddy, check out channel 17!"
      CD Victim on 19 "OK.. *click click*"
      CD Victim on 17 "Hi"
      CB Prankster Accomplice on 17 "Ha ha! I'm pulling my ass open!"
      CD Victim on 17 "Oh dammit, fell for that again.."



      I have this thing for The Man..

      --
      Trolling is a art,
    2. Re:the list by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      Don't forget:

      - Linux is useable on the desktop.

    3. Re:the list by Billly+Gates · · Score: 2, Funny

      "No one will want to look at a man stretching his bottom wide open. "

      Really? Got a link for that?

    4. Re:the list by You're+All+Wrong · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That is the single funniest post _ever_ in the history of slashdot.

      I stand in awe.

      --
      Your head of state is a corrupt weasel, I hope you're happy.
    5. Re:the list by bwt · · Score: 2, Interesting

      [whipes tears of laughter from eyes]

      [breaths]

      I'd like to see a list of some of the competitors before I proclaim it THE funniest post. Perhaps it would be a good topic for a poll.

    6. Re:the list by Zog+The+Undeniable · · Score: 2, Funny
      No one will want to look at a man stretching his bottom wide open

      Does anyone ever go there *on purpose*? Still, you have to admit the dude's had his 15 minutes of fame, although he probably doesn't get recognised much in the street.

      --
      When I am king, you will be first against the wall.
  4. RAM by Ty_Webb · · Score: 5, Funny

    I swear, this will be the last batch of RAM I'll ever need...

  5. Obligatory Simpsonism by Raul654 · · Score: 4, Funny

    ...I predict that within 100 years computers will be twice as powerful, 10,000 times larger, and so expensive that only the five richest kings of Europe will own them. --Prof Frink, Much Apu About Nothing

    --


    To make laws that man cannot, and will not obey, serves to bring all law into contempt.
    --E.C. Stanton
    1. Re:Obligatory Simpsonism by IntelliTubbie · · Score: 4, Funny

      Apu: Could it be used for dating?

      Frink: Well, theoretically, yes, BUT the computer matches would be SO PERFECT as to eliminate the thrill of romantic conquest.

      Glaven!
      IT

      --

      Power corrupts. PowerPoint corrupts absolutely.

  6. Cringly by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Anything Robert Cringly says is going to happen, won't and anything he says will fail, won't.

    He's my bellweather.

  7. Video hardware... by kneecarrot · · Score: 5, Funny
    How about the assumption that my $500 graphics card will last at least until next year.

    Right...

    --

    I always save my last mod point to mod up a good troll. You people are too serious.

    1. Re:Video hardware... by wed128 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      or the assumption that software should come out slower than the hardware it can run on...

    2. Re:Video hardware... by cloudship_tacitus · · Score: 2, Funny

      I have concerns I'll be able to tackle behemoths like HL2 or Doom2

      yeah, that doom2 is a real behemoth when it comes to graphics.

      (sorry, i couldn't resist)

  8. My favorite by mrpuffypants · · Score: 5, Funny

    My favorite bad product assumption is right in its title:

    Microsoft Works

    1. Re:My favorite by agwis · · Score: 2, Funny

      The topic is assumptions, not oxymorons :-)

  9. Incorrect by IANAL(BIAILS) · · Score: 3, Funny

    The whole "Apple is doomed" senerio seems to keep coming up despite never actually living up to promise...

    1. Re:Incorrect by falcon5768 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      yes if Apple had not bought NeXT odds where good that it would be dead right now. Though it is a myth that PC Hardware costs much less than Apples. Sure I can get a much cheaper PC but in comparison to a low end Mac, your more likely to hold onto the low end mac a lot longer before it becomes obsolete (in comparison to a PC which need at least some upgrade every year or two) And no build it yourself PC's dont count. Im talking in the relm of normal people. As for the hardware fixes with Jobs, Im sure there where plans before he became iCEO (my favorite job title of the 90's!!! ) when he was just a board member, but im sure he was behind them. In term of product line you can easily see that he had something up his sleave in the plight of the G3 all in one (which i think was on sale all of 3 months before it was pulled and the iMac came out.) It was obvious that it was not in Job's plan, just as anyone in Apple can tell you the story of the iMac and how NO ONE knew about it, even the people designing it. now as for them losing their key market segment... after seeing how freaking slow Graphic Designers are to change firsthand with everyone waiting for the pile of shit named Quark when a much more superior product is out there almost two years in advance, even if Apple was dead im sure printhouses would hold onto their 7200's

      --

      "Slashdot, where telling the truth is overrated but lying is insightful."

  10. my personal favorite by kurosawdust · · Score: 5, Funny

    people will be thankful to have a anthropomorphic paperclip tell them what to do.

    1. Re:my personal favorite by Carnildo · · Score: 2, Informative

      people will be thankful to have a anthropomorphic paperclip tell them what to do.

      Remember "Bob" from Microsoft? The predecessor to "Clippy"?

      --
      "They redundantly repeated themselves over and over again incessantly without end ad infinitum" -- ibid.
    2. Re:my personal favorite by ptomblin · · Score: 4, Funny

      And the project manager for Bob was punished in the worst way possible - they made her marry Bill Gates.

      --
      The next Cmdr Taco duplicate will be ready soon, but subscribers can beat the rush and see it early!
  11. Re:Bill Gates once said... by zowch · · Score: 3, Informative

    Gates has actually discounted that rumor several times (one of which can be found here, and I've got to say that it probably *is* untrue, as I really can't imagine anybody ever saying that.

  12. Storage Space by kidgenius · · Score: 5, Informative

    Whenever I get a new harddrive, i invariably say "I'll never be able to fill that up" and somehow within about 2 years time I'm out buying an extra hard drive.

    1. Re:Storage Space by grub · · Score: 5, Funny


      Indeed. In 1982 I had a BBS running on an Apple ][+ with 2x 143K floppies. In '84 I bought a 10 MB hard drive for the BBS and thought "Holy moly.. I'll never fill this up.."

      --
      Trolling is a art,
    2. Re:Storage Space by Mysticalfruit · · Score: 4, Funny

      Umm, can I surmize that your 10mb harddrive was quickly filled with ascii fisting porn, based on the link you left in your sig?

      --
      Yes Francis, the world has gone crazy.
  13. The truth might be out there by andy@petdance.com · · Score: 2, Interesting
    I wonder how many of the stories and anecdotes that will soon be posted are actually true, and how many are apocryphal.

    I've never seen a citation of the Bill Gates 640K quote, or the market for five computers quote, for example. They sound reasonable, but so are lots of supposed "facts".

    1. Re:The truth might be out there by dboyles · · Score: 4, Informative
      --
      -- "Complacency is a far more dangerous attitude than outrage." -Naomi Littlebear
  14. If you ask Ray Kurzweil he might say by stroustrup · · Score: 5, Interesting

    the worst assumption many of us are making is that humans are not themselves computers.
    About Kurzweil

    --


    If you lost your job today, don't despair. You may die tomorrow anyway.
    1. Re:If you ask Ray Kurzweil he might say by Gil-galad55 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You might find Shadows of the Mind by Roger Penrose interesting. He basically uses Godel's theorem to show that consciousness is not Turing computable, hence not implementable on current hardware. And before anyone waves the quantum computing flag, Penrose also points out that the problem with understanding consciousness is that the physical effects like on the border of quantum and macroscopic measurements, one of the most poorly understood aspects of physics.

      --

      To follow knowledge like a sinking star, / Beyond the utmost bound of human thought. ("Ulysses", Tennyson)

    2. Re:If you ask Ray Kurzweil he might say by russellh · · Score: 5, Insightful
      the worst assumption many of us are making is that humans are not themselves computers.

      It's an interesting intellectual exercise, but the idea that we are merely computers is nothing more than the continued novelty of the computer, just as we once thought of ourselves and the world as clockwork. Wishful thinking, or perhaps professional myopia. Everyone thinks their field is the key to the universe. But this is not theory, so until someone can actually create complex life, I see no reason to believe people like Ray. Show me the money.

      --
      must... stay... awake...
    3. Re:If you ask Ray Kurzweil he might say by Grimxn · · Score: 4, Informative

      Duh! The Church-Turing thesis proves "computational equivalence" of algorithmic machines of a certain standard. To validate your incorrect claim, you have to first prove that we are error-free, insight-free algorithmic machines. Error-free means no inferential errors (some humans make them), and Insight-free means no trans-rational mechanisms are involved in the inference: like drugs, madness, religion, fear, inspiration, individual experience (many humans' logics are trans-rational, maybe mine).

      We are no more computers than we were when Descartes conjectured that a thinking machine could be constructed by hydraulics, so impressed were the folk of the day with the achievments of that technology!

  15. Picking up chicks by ThomasFlip · · Score: 4, Funny

    Flashing my dual 2.0 ghz g5 hasn't gotten me laid yet, I guess I was wrong !

    --
    If the dollar is an "I owe you nothing", then the Euro is a "Who owes you nothing." - Doug Casey
    1. Re:Picking up chicks by IthnkImParanoid · · Score: 3, Funny

      Man, you can't flash your processor; you flash your BIOS. Hot girls just laugh at guys that don't know the difference. OTOH, if you drop some words like "petabyte," "firewire," and "jump drive" you'll drive them wild. Just don't bring up floppies or teraflops and you'll do okay.

      --
      It's nothing but crumpled porno and Ayn Rand.
    2. Re:Picking up chicks by Malfourmed · · Score: 3, Funny

      And of course, don't mention micro and soft.

  16. download by mrscorpio · · Score: 4, Informative

    Download (supposed) - definition of the transfer of data from any source to another.

    Download (actual) - definition of the transfer of data from an network to your machine.

    Uses:

    1. "I downloaded the software from the CD to my computer."

    2. "I downloaded the file from the internet."

    3. "I downloaded the file into my e-mail and sent it to him."

    Only #2 is correct.

    I had to berate my father for WEEKS before he learned the intricacies of Download vs. Upload vs. Install.

    Chris

    1. Re:download by haystor · · Score: 5, Funny

      Demonstrate with a beer.

      Upload it to the refrigerator.

      Download it from the refrigerator.

      Install it.

      Uninstall it.

      --
      t
    2. Re:download by HTH+NE1 · · Score: 3, Informative

      Upload/download also refers to who is initiating the action. If you're pulling network data to you, you are downloading; if you're pushing network data to someone else, you are uploading.

      But if you're downloading data from a site, the site is not also uploading that data to you. The action exists at only one end of the operation, at the initiator of the action.

      The location can be virtual (i.e. using the local machine to log into a remote machine to have the remote machine upload a file to the local machine is uploading, not downloading).

      However, FTP has a (rarely implemented) feature where the controller of the transfer is neither sender nor receiver. One can trasnfer files from one host to another while controlling it from a third, and the data doesn't even pass through the third machine. Is that neither uploading nor downloading, or both? IMO, it is simply transferring.

      --
      Oh, say does that Star-Spangled Banner entwine / The myrtle of Venus with Bacchus's vine?
    3. Re:download by kalidasa · · Score: 2, Informative

      Upload is local to remote; download is remote to local. Always been that way. Historically we used to think of upload as being client to server, download server to client because usually the server is remote and the client is local; but the definitions relate to the local/remote dichotomy.

    4. Re:download by Jacer · · Score: 2, Informative

      It's called FXPing. It's really popular among warez users. It used to keep me on 0day sites with a mere dial up connection, dumping from one site to another.

      --
      --fetch daddy's blue fright wig, i must be handsome when i release my rage
    5. Re:download by TimboJones · · Score: 2, Funny

      It also tends to make the system halt. An emergency uninstall generally occurs if you install too quickly or use an inferior delivery mechanism. In my experience, system instability and eventual halt are more generally associated with quantity than speed.

    6. Re:download by binaryfeed · · Score: 2, Funny

      I once sat next to a really nice older woman on a plane who told me that her grandson had downloaded the internet the night before.

    7. Re:download by HTH+NE1 · · Score: 2, Informative

      downloading means going from a "greater" machine to a "lesser" on, such as from my XServe to my Powerbook.

      That definition of course breaks down when the machines are equal, such as transfers between two XServes or two Powerbooks, as well as when the two machines are one in the same, such as downloading a web page hosted on the same machine that requested it.

      Even when FTP'ing to 127.0.0.1, get is still downloading and put is still uploading. As it would also be if you FTP'd from a mainframe to a laptop.

      --
      Oh, say does that Star-Spangled Banner entwine / The myrtle of Venus with Bacchus's vine?
  17. Home Computer by southpolesammy · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "There is no reason for any individual to have a computer in their home." -- Kenneth Olson, 1977, founder of Digital

    --
    Rule #1 -- Politics always trumps technology.
    1. Re:Home Computer by arth1 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I find the sales arguments for the first hobby computers the worst miss at all. Or is it just me who isn't using the computer to keep track of all my recipes?

      The second worst would be that we would be in a paperless society. Uhm, yeah, unfortunately some shmock invented wysimolwyg PRINTERs too.

      Other than that, I see new predictions fail all the time, and even being reinvented. Who else remembers the "Gorilla Arm Syndrome" of the 80's with touch screens? They were predicted to take over, but that didn't happen. And it ain't happening now either, with the flatbed computers -- touch screens just aren't ergonomic enough for any prolonged use, as most people can't keep their hands in the air for any length of time.
      Same with gyroscopic mice -- they're going the way of the Dodo, despite happy predictions.

      Regards,
      --
      *Art

  18. Al Gore by -Grover · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Not technically "computing" but this is my All time favorite thus far.

    "GORE: Well, I will be offering -- I'll be offering my vision when my campaign begins. And it will be comprehensive and sweeping. And I hope that it will be compelling enough to draw people toward it. I feel that it will be.

    But it will emerge from my dialogue with the American people. I've traveled to every part of this country during the last six years. During my service in the United States Congress, I took the initiative in creating the Internet. I took the initiative in moving forward a whole range of initiatives that have proven to be important to our country's economic growth and environmental protection, improvements in our educational system.

    Shamelessley pulled from here

    1. Re:Al Gore by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      Claim: Vice-President Al Gore claimed that he "invented" the Internet.

      Status: False.

      Origins: No,
      Al Gore did not claim he "invented" the Internet, nor did he say anything that could reasonably be interpreted that way. The derisive "Al Gore said he 'invented' the Internet" put-downs are misleading distortions of something he said (taken out of context) during an interview with Wolf Blitzer on CNN's "Late Edition" program on 9 March 1999. When asked to describe what distinguished him from his challenger for the Democratic presidential nomination, Senator Bill Bradley of New Jersey, Gore replied (in part):

      During my service in the United States Congress, I took the initiative in creating the Internet. I took the initiative in moving forward a whole range of initiatives that have proven to be important to our country's economic growth and environmental protection, improvements in our educational system.

      Clearly, although Gore's phrasing was clumsy (and self-serving), he was not claiming that he "invented" the Internet (in the sense of having designed or implemented it), but that he was responsible for helping to create I also invented the microphone the environment (in an economic and legislative sense) that fostered the development of the Internet. Al Gore might not know nearly as much about the Internet and other technologies as his image would have us believe, and he certainly has been guilty of stretching (if not outright breaking) the truth before, but to believe that Gore seriously thought he could take credit for the "invention" of the Internet -- in the sense offered by the media -- is just silly. (To those who say the words "create" and "invent" mean the same thing: If they mean the same thing, then why have the media overwhelmingly and consistently cited Gore as having claimed he "invented" the Internet when he never used that word? The answer is that the words don't mean the same thing, but by substituting one word for the other, commentators can make Gore's claim sound [more] ridiculous.)

      However, validating even the lesser claim Gore intended to make is problematic. Any statement about the "creation" or "beginning" of the Internet is difficult to evaluate, because the Internet is not a homogenous entity (it's a collection of computers, networks, protocols, standards, and application programs), nor did it all spring into being at once (the components that comprise the Internet were developed in various places at different times and are continuously being modified, improved, and expanded). Despite a spirited defense of Gore's claim by Vint Cerf (often referred to as the "father of the Internet") in which he stated "that as a Senator and now as Vice President, Gore has made it a point to be as well-informed as possible on technology and issues that surround it," many of the components of today's Internet came into being well before Gore's first term in Congress began in 1977, and it's hard to find any specific action of Gore's (such as his sponsoring a Congressional bill or championing a particular piece of legislation) that one could claim helped bring the Internet into being, much less validate Gore's statement of having taken the "initiative in creating the Internet."

      It's true that Gore was popularizing the term "information superhighway" in the early 1990s (when few people outside academia or the computer/defense industries had heard of the Internet) and has introduced a few bills dealing with education and the Internet, but even though Congressman, Senator, and Vice-President Gore may always have been interested in and well-informed about information technology issues, that's a far cry from having taken an active, vital leadership role in bringing about those technologies. Even if Al Gore had never entered the political arena, we'd probably still be reading web pages via the Internet today.

      Last updated: 27 September 2000

      The URL for this page is http://www.snopes.com/quotes/internet.htm

    2. Re:Al Gore by Otter · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Like the 640K myth, there are multiple levels of "incorrect" related to that quote. On the one hand, you have people who believe "Al Gore claimed to have 'invented the Internet'." On the other hand, you have people who know that isn't true, but who don't realize that what he did say is also entirely false.

    3. Re:Al Gore by grasshoppa · · Score: 5, Insightful

      While it might have seemed a bit of an boast, it is, technically, accurate.

      Links:
      http://www.firstmonday.dk/issues/issue5_ 10/wiggins /
      http://www.firstmonday.dk/issues/issue5_10/wigg ins /#w4

      --
      Mod me down with all of your hatred and your journey towards the dark side will be complete!
    4. Re:Al Gore by civilizedINTENSITY · · Score: 4, Informative

      Gore was popularizing the term "information superhighway" in the early 1990s (when few people outside academia or the computer/defense industries had heard of the Internet) and did introduce a few bills dealing with education and the Internet.

      According to Vint Cerf (Widely known as one of the "Fathers of the Internet," Cerf is the co-designer of the TCP/IP protocols and the architecture of the Internet. ) :
      "VP Gore was the first or surely among the first of the members of Congress to become a strong supporter of advanced networking while he served as Senator. As far back as 1986, he was holding hearings on this subject (supercomputing, fiber networks...) and asking about their promise and what could be done to realize them. Bob Kahn, with whom I worked to develop the Internet design in 1973, participated in several hearings held by then-Senator Gore and I recall that Bob introduced the term ``information infrastructure'' in one hearing in 1986. It was clear that as a Senator and now as Vice President, Gore has made it a point to be as well-informed as possible on technology and issues that surround it. As Senator, VP Gore was highly supportive of the research community's efforts to explore new networking capabilities and to extend access to supercomputers by way of NSFNET and its successors, the High Performance Computing and Communication program (which included the National Research and Education Network initiative), and as Vice President, he has been very responsive to recommendations made, for example, by the President's Information Technology Advisory Committee that endorsed additional research funding for next generation fundamental research in software and related topics. If you look at the last 30-35 years of network development, you'll find many people who have made major contributions without which the Internet would not be the vibrant, growing and exciting thing it is today. The creation of a new information infrastructure requires the willing efforts of thousands if not millions of participants and we've seen leadership from many quarters, all of it needed, to move the Internet towards increased availability and utility around the world. While it is not accurate to say that VP Gore invented Internet, he has played a powerful role in policy terms that has supported its continued growth and application, for which we should be thankful. We're fortunate to have senior level members of Congress and the Administration who embrace new technology and have the vision to see how it can be put to work for national and global benefit. "

    5. Re:Al Gore by jeffy124 · · Score: 4, Funny

      you're right! He even got his name into it! The whole thing is, after all, based on Al-Gore-ithms. [sound of a million /.'ers groaning]

      --
      The One Rule Of Chess You'll Ever Need: Don't play someone who carries a kit in their bookbag.
    6. Re:Al Gore by Otter · · Score: 2, Insightful
      It sure looks like he is claiming to have created the internet.

      Absolutely, and it's false. But myth has it that he claimed to have _invented_ the Internet (implying technical creation, not legislative creation) which is not an accurate chracterization of what he said.

  19. Re:Bill Gates once said... by peterprior · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Nope he never said that.. sorry... popular myth

    Here's a Wired.com article with some more details

  20. How about... by r_j_prahad · · Score: 4, Funny

    Slashdot - News for Nerds. Stuff that Matters?

  21. #1 on the list by phillymjs · · Score: 4, Funny

    "Windows is the best OS because the most people use it."

    ~Philly

  22. There have been some real humdingers... by gklinger · · Score: 4, Funny
    "I think there is a world market for maybe five computers." - Thomas Watson, Chairman, IBM

    "There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home." - Ken Olsen, Founder, Digital Equipment Corporation

    Or my personal favorite...

    "Trust me, this is way better than OS/2." - The dude at Computer City that sold me my copy of WIndows 95. Bastard.

    1. Re:There have been some real humdingers... by Patrik_AKA_RedX · · Score: 2, Informative
      "Trust me, this is way better than OS/2." - The dude at Computer City that sold me my copy of WIndows 95. Bastard.
      You should have seen that one coming, "trust me" means as much a "I'm going to lie to you now" to a salesperson.
    2. Re:There have been some real humdingers... by MisterFancypants · · Score: 4, Interesting
      "I think there is a world market for maybe five computers." - Thomas Watson, Chairman, IBM

      "There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home." - Ken Olsen, Founder, Digital Equipment Corporation

      I don't think Watson's quote really fits into these sorts of discussions because the entire nature of what a 'computer' is was entirely different when he said it.

      Olsen's quote, however, is simple lack of vision since he was addressing fairly modern era PCs directly.

    3. Re:There have been some real humdingers... by T-Ranger · · Score: 4, Interesting
      I think in comparing these two quotes, its important to see where their respective companies are now.

      IBM continues to be one of the leading (if not the leader) computer companies, and as a business has been around for more then a century, and has always been profitable. They clearly have recovered from a momentary laps in judgement, which, in historical context can be forgiven.

      DEC, on the other hand.. Well, Olsen was a dumbass, plain and simple. He also is quoted as saying "Unix is snakeoil". What is amazing is not that DEC got swallowed up by Compaq, a companies whose core business is putting computers in peoples homes, but that they managed to survive as long as they did with morons like Olsen at the heml.

  23. A little Googling and: by Liselle · · Score: 5, Interesting

    "I believe OS/2 is destined to be the most important operating system, and possibly program, of all time. As the successor to DOS, which has over 10,000,000 systems in use, it creates incredible opportunities for everyone involved with PCs."

    -- Bill Gates, from "OS/2 Programmer's Guide" (forward by Bill Gates)

    --
    Auto-reply to ACs: "Truly, you have a dizzying intellect."
    1. Re:A little Googling and: by Josuah · · Score: 2, Informative

      "I believe OS/2 is destined to be the most important operating system, and possibly program, of all time. As the successor to DOS, which has over 10,000,000 systems in use, it creates incredible opportunities for everyone involved with PCs."

      -- Bill Gates, from "OS/2 Programmer's Guide" (forward by Bill Gates)


      I don't think it's that hard to believe Bill Gates thought OS/2 would be destined to be the most important OS of all time. OS/2 sure gave Microsoft a whole lot of free IBM research and development when they backstabbed IBM and launched Windows 95. OS/2 was ahead of its time, in terms of the technology and capabilities. In a lot of ways the hardware just wasn't there yet. But OS/2 certainly created an incredible opportunity for Microsoft.

  24. How about by IthnkImParanoid · · Score: 5, Funny

    ....the assumption that people will pay $500 for hardware that will be obsolete in a year?

    oh, wait....

    --
    It's nothing but crumpled porno and Ayn Rand.
  25. 9600 baud by crmartin · · Score: 3, Interesting

    ... is the limit for a voice grade phone line.

    1. Re:9600 baud by Vihai · · Score: 5, Informative

      In facts, something like 3429 baud/s is the maximum *baud rate* of an analog phone line, 8000 is the maximum baud rate for a semi-digital phone line (V.90).

  26. Computers make life easier? by DenOfEarth · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I remember working at a research firm for an internship, and the head of our department said over lunch one day that he actually spent more time dealing with problems he was having with his computer than actually doing any useful work. I've noticed this with myself also, and even though I enjoy figuring out what's going on with my computer, I imagine many people don't. Email and websurfing always suck away my working hours, what with a PC right here on my desk, and not to mention that I get asked to help other people out with their machines every once in a while, it wastes both our time.

    Makes me think though...wasn't it always implied that computers would save peoples time? Has that assumption yet proved that it is indeed true? I'm not so sure it has, although maybe that's because we aren't using the things the right way. Perhaps we are waiting for a computer savvy workforce and then this might be true...but then again, who knows...

  27. 100MHz was the absolute limit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    100MHz was the absolute limit for the speed of a CPU

    Yeah, but that was because your MHz display had only two digits.

  28. Ars Technica: Ultimate Limits of Computers by briglass · · Score: 5, Informative

    Check out this article from Ars Technica: http://www.arstechnica.com/wankerdesk/01q2/limits/ limits-1.html

    Entitled "The Ultimate Limits of Computers," it deals with issues including not only Moore's law, but quantum mechanics... such as Plank's constant, Boltzmann's constant, the gravitational constang, the application of quantum mechanics to thermodynamics, and other interesting things that I barely (read: don't) understand.

    --

    ----
    "Those who quote others are more likely to one day be quoted" -Tom Planter
  29. SCO tells it like it is by morpheus98 · · Score: 3, Funny

    "SCO will remain on course to require customers to license infringing Linux implementations as a condition of further use." 8/7/2003

  30. 40MB Hard Drive is Plenty by Alan+Livingston · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I remember telling my father once after he had bought a 40Mb hard drive that this should last him forever. Nothing could ever fill up more than this. Of course this was well before the days of .mp3 and .mpg.

    When I was a kid, I remember watching the Jetsons and when George came home from work he coomplained that he had just finished a hard day at work pushing buttons. I remarked to my father that Noone could ever get a job where all they did was push buttons all day. Now, except for the one knob on the 'scope under my desk, all my interfaces to the outside world ARE buttons.

    I guess I'm full of underestimations...

    1. Re:40MB Hard Drive is Plenty by Wylfing · · Score: 5, Funny
      I remarked to my father that Noone could ever get a job where all they did was push buttons all day. Now, except for the one knob on the 'scope under my desk, all my interfaces to the outside world ARE buttons.

      Pardon me?

      --
      Our intelligent designer has never created an animal that we couldn't improve by strapping a bomb to it.
    2. Re:40MB Hard Drive is Plenty by Rorschach1 · · Score: 4, Funny

      Hell, when I was in the 9th grade we managed to fill up a 40 meg drive with porn GIF's downloaded at 2400 baud using bogus BBS accounts.

      Hmm, that ought to be a law of some sort... like 'the availability of pornography will increase at a rate sufficient to match any advances in data storage and transfer technology.' Yeah, I like that. Scott's law on digital smut. Bound to hold true longer than Moore's Law.

    3. Re:40MB Hard Drive is Plenty by Billly+Gates · · Score: 4, Funny

      "Now, except for the one knob on the 'scope under my desk, all my interfaces to the outside world ARE buttons."

      Well with a MCSE you can get a job clicking icons.

  31. Re:My favorite lie by GoofyBoy · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Conversly;

    "Linux is good enough right now for the desktop."

    is being laughed at right now.

    --
    The surprise isn't how often we make bad choices; the surprise is how seldom they defeat us.
  32. Re:Bill Gates once said... by W2k · · Score: 3, Informative

    It's a known fact that Bill Gates never actually said this, or at best, that it is rephrased severely and taken out of context.

    Having said that, in 1981, 640kB technically _was_ enough for most people.

    I hereby nominate "640k ought to be enough for anybody" as most misquoted phrase ever.

    --
    Quality, performance, value; you get only two, and you don't always get to pick.
  33. My favorite... by Wakko+Warner · · Score: 4, Insightful

    That idiot Bob Metcalfe loves trotting this one out every few years:

    THE INTERNET IS GROWING TOO FAST, AND WILL COLLAPSE UPON ITSELF PRESENTLY.

    I think he just wants everyone to know that he invented Ethernet, and needs to throw this story out there every couple years so people don't forget he actually did accomplish something at some point in time. Like 20 years ago.

    - A.P.

    --
    "Remember when the U.S. had a drug problem, and then we declared a War On Drugs, and now you can't buy drugs anymore?"
    1. Re:My favorite... by Wakko+Warner · · Score: 3, Informative

      Yeah, but Bob's now the pacesetter for Internet-Is-Dying predictions. He's the go-to guy for any journalist looking for a juicy story about its imminent demise (at least when he isn't writing about it himself in his InfoWorld editorials), and he's been saying the same thing since 1995. At least he was true to his word; when his prediction of a 1996 "catastrophic collapse" proved untrue, he literally ate his own words at the WWW6 conference.

      But then he predicted it again in 2000.

      - A.P.

      --
      "Remember when the U.S. had a drug problem, and then we declared a War On Drugs, and now you can't buy drugs anymore?"
  34. One year from now... by zeux · · Score: 5, Interesting

    ... we won't need floppy disks anymore.

    It's been ten year that I hear this statement continuously. Last time I broke the MBR on a server without a CD drive, I had no other choice than to boot on a floppy.

    1. Re:One year from now... by Col.+Klink+(retired) · · Score: 2, Informative

      You could boot from a USB flash drive...

      --

      -- Don't Tase me, bro!

    2. Re:One year from now... by rossz · · Score: 4, Interesting

      And now it's true. The last two computers I ordered, I specifically said "No floppy drive". One system was for my wife at her work (her company paid for it) and the other was for me (my new server). We both have 128Meg USB drives. Mine is a Laks watch, hers is a conventional type that she calls "the gadget".

      She loves her USB drive. In the past, when she wanted to bring work home (which is very often) she would either put it on a zip disk (which are too damn slow and are not reliable) or burn a CD, which was reliable but took too long. Floppy was out because the file was too big (MS Access database). Now she just drags the file to the "removable drive" icon and she's done. It's USB 2.0 (the fast one -- er, is that fast or high speed?), so it copies damn fast.

      Oh, the system can be booted from USB or CD, so crash recovery is still possible.

      --
      -- Will program for bandwidth
  35. Apple is dying... by BWJones · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Apple is dying... has got to be my favorite for a number of reasons including most significantly, Apple has been the company that the rest of the industry has depended upon. Apple has been the personal computer industries R&D lab now ever since the Apple I. Just think about all of the firsts in Apple computers. First to build in color support, first to build in CDROM drives, first to include built in networking presaging the Internet, first to include a GUI, first to create the modern laptop format with palmrests up front, first to include a built in pointing device in laptops, first to etc....etc.....etc..... You get the point.

    --
    Visit Jonesblog and say hello.
    1. Re:Apple is dying... by Adm1n · · Score: 2, Informative

      Xerox's Alto's had a GUI/Network and E-mail while JOBS was still in shcool! Get it right! Or go here and lern a little. ;) Antique Pre PC Stuff

    2. Re:Apple is dying... by kalidasa · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Xerox never commercialized the Alto, did it? Yes, the real invention was PARC's. Apple's innovation is at making computer innovation a product; Microsoft's is at making it a commodity.

  36. Ken Olson of DEC by DickBreath · · Score: 4, Funny

    "Why would anyone want a computer in their home?" -- Ken Olson of DEC in late 1970's regarding personal computers.

    or something to that effect.


    "Whereas computers today weigh 1 ton and require 18,000 vaccum tubes, computers in the future will weigh only 1/2 ton and have under 1,000 vaccum tubes." -- Popular Mechanics, 1949.

    --

    I'll see your senator, and I'll raise you two judges.
    1. Re:Ken Olson of DEC by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      And another Ken Olsen classic:

      "Unix is snake oil"

  37. there's always the standard... by homerjs42 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    bogus_prediction ::= (some_new_spiffy_language_that_actually_sucks) is the future of (computing|operating_systems|networking)+
    --dw

  38. One Size Doesn't Fit All by illuminata · · Score: 2

    How about this assumption?

    One license is good for every piece of software.

    Remember, put your hips into it when you stir the pot, baby.

    --


    Until Slashdot fixes the funny modifier, use insightful or interesting. The poster knows your intentions.
  39. .com bubble is sustainable... by CHaN_316 · · Score: 5, Funny

    and given enough venture capital, an internet start up will be super profitable on the internet even though it has never made a profit, and doesn't have a sound business plan, and has a super inflated stock price.

    But, it does have a great shiny mission statement:

    "It's our responsibility to synergistically provide access to world-class sources as well as to assertively facilitate enterprise-wide opportunities" - Dilbert Mission Statment Generator

    (Stock brokers in a flurry) BUY! BUY! BUY! BUY! BUY!

    --
    "There is no spoon." - The Matrix
  40. Re:Bill Gates once said... by Otter · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Ironically, what's being demonstrated here is that the most widely believed incorrect notion is that Bill Gates ever said "We'll never need more than 640K of RAM!".

    Back to the original topic, I'd point to the idea that sticking children in front of computers somehow magically benefits them.

  41. Dying ...? by MikeCapone · · Score: 5, Funny

    So now that Apple uses *BSD, is it dying twice as fast?

    1. Re:Dying ...? by wed128 · · Score: 5, Funny

      ahh the slashdot troll...

      modded down untill it becomes a cliche, then modded up untill it becomes annoying, at which point it will be modded down again...

      the cycle of life...

  42. Remember the failures by sane? · · Score: 3, Interesting
    "We'll have working speech recognition by 1990"

    "You won't have to work, machines will do everything for you."

    Flying Cars !

    Isn't it interesting that the only the failed predictions are the ones that people remember - no matter if they are exceeded or undershot.

    Its almost as if, if you want to be quoted and remembered, you need to make high sounding, but wrong predictions. The more smug the eventual reader, the more notice they take.

    "Microsoft will perfect intelligent software in their next release"

    "SCO will own all Linux IP"

    "The future belongs to Internet companies"

    "Genetic engineering is no more than a passing fad, forgotten by history"

    "President Bush will be recognised by history as a fine president"

    History, here I come.
  43. Yes but by dorfsmay · · Score: 2, Funny

    Apple has now switch to a BSD system, and everybody knows that BSD is dead. So Apple should be doubly dead very soon...

  44. not computers, by stylerm · · Score: 5, Funny

    Its not computers, but in the early 1900, or maybe late 1800, it was believed that the human brain couldnt process all the information necessary to travel over 35 mph. And if you did travel faster than that speed you would go insane. Its a good thing that we have cell phones now, so we can drive whit out abosorbing insane amounts of information from the road.

  45. Great Heinlein-ism by Fished · · Score: 5, Interesting
    This remind me of one of the aphorisms in Heinlein's Time Enough for Love:
    "If an elderly respected expert in a given field tells you that something can be done he is almost certainly right. If an elderly respected expert in a given field tells you that something is impossible, he is almost certainly wrong."
    Just think it, believe it, dream about it and it's real man.
    --
    "He who would learn astronomy, and other recondite arts, let him go elsewhere. " -- John Calvin, commenting on Genesis 1
    1. Re:Great Heinlein-ism by Antisthenes · · Score: 2, Informative
      Actually, that's Clarke's First Law.

      (See also here if you want to know what Clarke meant by 'elderly'.)

  46. Paperless office, bah! by rcastro0 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Working as a consultant I am faced everyday with what I think is the biggest failed promise:
    That computers would bring about the "paperless office".

    Not only they didn't, but they made people consume more paper than ever before. On top of all the paper spent, the cost of printing pages increased, as industry made us believe that ink jets were better, and B&W laser passee.

    For more discussion see an article in Newsday about it. There's even a full book dedicated to the question of why the paperless office never came to be.

    --
    Quem a paca cara compra, paca cara pagará.
    1. Re:Paperless office, bah! by alen · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Do you work in the government? When I did I couldn't believe the amount of paper that was used and piled on people's desks. When I went to private industry the first thing I noticed was the lack of personal laser printers and desks free of piles of paper. At my company 90% of work is done through a CRM/ERP application and we are going more and more paperless every month.

      The latest paperless project is electronic faxing through zetafax.

    2. Re:Paperless office, bah! by TimboJones · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I don't believe I've ever visited an office that used an inkjet printer. Or at least, more than one that's used infrequently when color jobs are desired and there's no color laser.

  47. I'm still waiting... by caffein8ted · · Score: 2, Interesting

    for a computer that can explain office politics to me.

    "In from three to eight years we will have a machine with the general intelligence of an average human being. I mean a machine that will be able to read Shakespeare, grease a car, play office politics, tell a joke, have a fight. At that point the machine will begin to educate itself with fantastic speed. In a few months it will be at genius level and a few months after that its powers will be incalculable." -- Marvin Minsky, LIFE Magazine, November 20, 1970

  48. 640K--not true by H0NGK0NGPH00EY · · Score: 3, Informative

    640K is enough for anyone. (that one was easy)

    ...and also not true.

    --
    Do not read this sig.
    1. Re:640K--not true by pete-classic · · Score: 5, Funny
      Maybe he said that, maybe he didn't.

      But he definitely wrote (or at least took the "credit" for writing):

      The obvious mathematical breakthrough would be development of an easy way to factor large prime numbers.

      in "The Road Ahead".

      -Peter
    2. Re:640K--not true by Holi · · Score: 2, Funny

      Actually you have that backwards, I think EVERYONE can factor a prime number no matter how large.

      --
      Sorry, teleporters just kill you and then make a copy. A perfect, soul-less copy.
    3. Re:640K--not true by TimboJones · · Score: 5, Funny
      I can factor any prime number (so can you!), thus:
      sub factors($prime){
      return ($prime, 1);
      }
      Of course, we all know he mean 'factor large numbers to primes'.
    4. Re:640K--not true by mjh · · Score: 5, Insightful

      First things first. The original poster didn't attribute the quote to Bill Gates. So a denial from Bill Gates doesn't mean that someone didn't actually say it. Second, someone had to have come to that conclusion, whether they said it or not, because that was in fact the limit. Third, if I were Bill Gates, and I *had* said that incredibly stupid thing, the chances are pretty high that (a) I'd lie about it later on, or (b) I'd forget that I said it.

      My point is that Bill Gates is denying it. Bill Gates also says that Microsoft is not a monopoly. Bill Gates saying something does not necessarily make it true.

      $.02

      --
      Key to financial independence: Spend less than you earn. Save and invest the difference. Do it for a long time.
    5. Re:640K--not true by B3ryllium · · Score: 2, Informative

      You might run out of memory with some of the larger Mersenne primes.

      ((2^n)-1) is a fun equation.

    6. Re:640K--not true by samf · · Score: 3, Informative
      sub factors($prime){
      return ($prime, 1);
      }

      1 isn't a prime. :-)

    7. Re:640K--not true by Fjord · · Score: 3, Informative

      true, but it is a factor of a prime.

      --
      -no broken link
    8. Re:640K--not true by srobring · · Score: 2, Funny
      I don't know if he said it or not.

      What I do know is that if I was a leader in the computer industry back then, and there was a memory limit that I could not break through (yet), I would try to make it seem as if that limit wasn't an issue.

      If 640K were enough for anybody, then who cares if there is a limit.

    9. Re:640K--not true by Thuktun · · Score: 2, Informative

      The site you quoted says, "The reason why 1 is said not to be a prime number is merely convenience." To paraphrase, 1 is omitted from the set of primes so you can say 6, for instance, is the product of two primes rather than three. If 1 were prime, you would have to add one prime to ever count of prime factors.

      However, 1 might be called a trivial prime, since it indeed only has factors of 1 and itself, also 1.

    10. Re:640K--not true by armb · · Score: 3, Insightful

      > If 1 were prime, you would have to add one prime to ever count of prime factors.

      Counting one as prime would mean there was no longer a unique prime factorization, because you could add one as many times as you liked to the list of prime factors.

      At the moment, the prime factorization of 12 is 3*2*2. If you allow one, it could be 3*2*2*1 or 3*2*2*1*1*1*1.

      Why this matters, I forget, but apparently if you are a mathematician it does.

      --
      rant
  49. my favorites by plopez · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The mainframe is dead

    "I don't understand why people would need more than 4gb..." (Bill Gates in an interview on 64 bit ccomputing, in which he said he didn't understand peoples' interest in it)

    XML will replace relational databases

    OOP will lead to more robust, easier to maintain and higher quality software

    By making COBOL resemble English, anyone can program.

    --
    putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
    1. Re:my favorites by timjdot · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Good ones.

      I also liked that business progression predictions:
      1) people would migrate from MF (never did)
      2) people would not move from Netware (80% market share) to NT (did)
      3) home users will not use Lunix (dooh!)
      4) Now we have alongside Apple is dead, Sun is dead, and others.
      5) I remember in 97-98 we all thought 64 bit would be mainstream by 99-00. Boy did that not happen. Save Nintendo I guess.

      Oh yeah, what about distributed computing... DCOM will be, Web services will be, ...

      Surely nobody ever predicted that computer technology would head straight for whatever is the slowest way:
      Why program sockets when HTTP is 100 times slower?
      Why program to a relational database or object system when XML text is 100s of times slower?
      Why compile when we can interpret?
      Why run software on your cmoputer when you can connect to a terminal, web server, or host and do a 100 times less?
      Why not create about 20 layers between the application and the video card?
      Why hire experienced programmers when you can hire some with no experience 1/2 across the world and get the project done 100 times slower?

      Oh yeah, and then there's commodity computers. Everyone predicted that in the early '90's but the corp.s have successfully kept the prices high. Of course, with inflation we are starting to approach commodity computers.

      Finally the one about re-usable objects. Maybe sourceforge and open source projects like Apache are as close as we can get. In 94 I remember everyone figures there'd be online libraries where one could download whatever component was needed. Hah!

      --
      Expect Freedom.
  50. computers in the classroom by kidlinux · · Score: 4, Insightful

    How about the need for computers in the classroom? That's total BS as far as I'm concerned.

    I've been into computers for quite some time, and am enrolled in Computer Science at university. It's been obvious to me for years that computers in the classroom are a waste of time, energy, and resources for everyone involved.

    I try to tell people this, and they wonder why I say that, given my experience with computers. No doubt it's because the people making the decisions have no clue.

    Most adults on /. likely went through school without computers in the classroom. Did our educations suffer as a result? No. As far as I'm concerned, I was better off in school without a computer.

    Of course, we did have computers at school. Good ol' ICONs, and IBM 8086s. We had typing class a couple times a week, and learned to use a word processor, which is about as far as it needs to go. Leave computers for their own courses in high school (Computer Science and maybe some kind of class for basics.)

    Is it not obvious that more harm is being done than good, when it comes to computers in class? There are just so many things wrong with the whole idea. Perhaps one day when computers become more appliance-like, they'll be more beneficial in class, and will be put to use in such a fashion as to not create dependancies.

    What do you think?

    --
    -kidlinux.
    1. Re:computers in the classroom by LSD-OBS · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What do you think?
      I think you need to put forward at least a reason if you want anybody to listen.

      --
      Today's weirdness is tomorrow's reason why. -- Hunter S. Thompson
  51. Machrone's Law by anon*127.0.0.1 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    As in Bill, editor of PC Magazine.

    "The computer you want to buy will always cost $5000"

    Now you could get 10 PC's for that.

    --
    I am NOT a man!
    I am a free number!
    1. Re:Machrone's Law by Patik · · Score: 3, Insightful
      "The computer you want to buy will always cost $5000"

      Now you could get 10 PC's for that.

      I don't want a $500 computer. I wish I could buy a dual-2GHz G5 with an Apple Cinema monitor, which brings you right around $5000. Looks like he was right.

      Another one: The things you want to download always require leaving your computer downloading overnight. In 1995 I had to leave my 14.4kbps modem running overnight to get MP3s, and now DVD-R images take about the same amount of time.

  52. Re:Bill Gates once said... by the+web · · Score: 5, Funny

    Taken from the Wired Article attributed above.

    "Meanwhile, I keep bumping into that silly quotation attributed to me that says 640K of memory is enough..."

    Hmm....looks like he said it atleast once. Flaimbait....check

    --
    __
    Thou hast besquirted me, O leotarded one.
  53. Modems. by bellers · · Score: 5, Funny
    I remember when I was using a Hayes Smartmodem 300 on my C-64 to dial a BBS up in the 80's, I talked to my sysop friend about some scientists who were working on a 9600-baud modem. My friend was shocked and incredulous:



    ARE THEY OUT OF THEIR MINDS?! THE PHONE LINES WILL BURN UP!

    --
    This space for rent.
  54. Dot-Com bubble by SexyKellyOsbourne · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Does anyone remember the whole Dot-Com Bubble?

    Billions in venture capital were sent to silicon valley back in the late 90s in the hope that anything and everything internet-related could be profitable, and were worth investing in the same style that brick-and-mortar companies were. We heard all kinds of great things from leading economists who were really misleading us to manipulate the market, short the stock, and fuck everyone else over. Then, in 1999, after the Microsoft ruling, the whole thing kind of collapsed.

    As for today, just a few of the giants of e-commerce stand... so many companies went out of business on the predictions not far off from the ideas that we'd have groceries delivered to us over the internet (WebVan) or that we could actually stream TV-quality video over 28.8 kbps (Pixelon). It's never going to happen again, so the golden age of marketing ideas on the internet and obtaining massive capital influx is over.

  55. Re:Bill Gates once said... by WTFRUDOINBiotch · · Score: 3, Funny

    In a related story, Microsoft today announced a $17 Million investment in Wired.com.

    --
    Make money with Real Estate Investing
  56. Re:I Invented... by Foofoobar · · Score: 5, Informative

    Um... sorry. He never said that. He said he helped in the creation of the internet... which he did as some of the key people involved in Darpanet will admit to. He pushed to have Darpanet become publicly available to everyone.

    --
    This is my sig. There are many like it but this one is mine.
  57. Good Times by gmuslera · · Score: 5, Interesting
    By the times it come out, one of the favorite arguments against it was really a computer virus was "there is no way to automatically being infected with a computer virus simply reading a mail".

    Luckily Microsoft proved that assumption was false.

  58. My Mac Friend... by Doc+Squidly · · Score: 5, Funny

    I have a Mac friend who say his G5 is "faster than the Internet" becuase everytime he opens his browser he gets "a page not found messege" and has to hit the refresh button.
    I keep on telling him that its just a bug and his computer isn't faster than his broadband connection. But, he doesn't beleive me.

    --
    I think I think, therefore I think I am.
  59. SAP by HexaDex · · Score: 5, Insightful

    My fav is when our CFO asserted that when we migrated to SAP "we'd no longer need programmers". The sound you here is dozens of ABAPers laughing all the way to the bank...

  60. "In the year 2000..." by diesel_jackass · · Score: 3, Insightful

    That whole y2k thing was pretty annoying. i could go on at great lengths, but didn't anyone else just set the date on their computer to a date in 2000(+) to see what would happen?

    (proof that fear is the best marketing tool)

    1. Re:"In the year 2000..." by Grizzlysmit · · Score: 2, Insightful
      That whole y2k thing was pretty annoying. i could go on at great lengths, but didn't anyone else just set the date on their computer to a date in 2000(+) to see what would happen?
      Oh there was a real problem all right, with a small subset of programs etc, but there was also a lot of shysters and a lot of hype and nonsense, and hardly any one would beleive us geeks when we tried to inject a little balance. Now of course they blame us for their hysteria :-D. humans ...
      --
      in my life God comes first.... but Linux is pretty high after that :-D
      Francis Smit
    2. Re:"In the year 2000..." by firewrought · · Score: 2, Insightful
      People dismiss Y2K as a non-event. Something over-hyped and "mostly nonsense".

      I work in the power industry, and this attitude really pisses off some of my coworkers who spent thousands of man-hours remediating software and firmware systems one by one.

      Yes... Y2K did feature a lot of hype, but the response to the hype saved our ass. Engineers, managers, developers, even politicans... the human race came together on this one.

      --
      -1, Too Many Layers Of Abstraction
  61. Power versus utility by TygerFish · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Moore's law is interesting and the immanent demise of Apple certainly so. However, the most interesting thing for me is how curiosity and greed work together to expand the frontiers in computers and what it's brought about.

    True, right now, the yearly, 'we'll-be-helpless-without-faster-computers!' cycle appears to have stopped or slowed down. Big IT buyers seem to have realized that you don't need a machine that could run a weather model to replace a typewriter and that's a real good thing.

    But what about software? I could be wrong. I don't do that much with my computer except surfing and writing, but much of what I see makes me wonder where all the really miraculous power of my computer is going.

    I've got an operating system that takes up non-trivial space on my harddrive and aside from a constant need to keep up with the virus writers, or dealing with stuff to make Microsoft happy, I'm not seeing the bennies.

    You'd think that with all this godawful power, there'd be a little more substance.

    --
    To mail me, remove the 'mailno' from my email addy.
    "Yeah. It smells, too..."
  62. The Y2k lie... by ivanmarsh · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "A tiny pebble sends ripples across the entire pond"

    Things like this were said by MANY computer industry "experts" before Y2k.

    There are a lot of people that work very hard to make computers exchange information. It doesn't just happen.

  63. You'll go blind! by wanab12 · · Score: 5, Funny

    With all the porn on the internet, you'd think there would be a lot more blind men around.

  64. Full Snopes debunking of mythical quote by michaelggreer · · Score: 4, Informative

    As usual, they have the full scoop. He did indeed take great initiative in creating the internet, but the statement is still awkward and self-serving.

  65. 1999 called... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    And they'd like their joke back.

  66. MHz Myth by Alizarin+Erythrosin · · Score: 4, Insightful

    That a higher clock speed means a faster processor.

    --
    There are only 10 kinds of people in this world... those who understand binary and those who don't
  67. Thankfully, your link debunks it too. by Wakko+Warner · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The truth of the matter is that Al Gore, while he was a member of Congress, did indeed sponsor several initiatives which lead to the popularization and commercialization of the Internet. Did it exist before he showed up? Sure, as an underutilized academic research network. Would most of the planet know about it today without his help? Doubtful.

    Personally, while I may dislike the man, I'm tired of hearing the same tired, stupid jokes repeated over and over again.

    - A.P.

    --
    "Remember when the U.S. had a drug problem, and then we declared a War On Drugs, and now you can't buy drugs anymore?"
    1. Re:Thankfully, your link debunks it too. by salesgeek · · Score: 2, Funny

      Would most of the planet know about it today without his help? Doubtful.

      LOL. He deserves 1/(Senators+USReps+Lobyists+Bureaucrats) of credit. By my "fuzzy math" that would be 1/(100+457+3,210+several million) or approximately .000000001% of credit for the internet. Al does deserve 100% of the credit for making "I invented the ___________," "risky _____ shcheme" and "I demand a recount" jokes popular, and for a brief time funny.

      Gore has went on the join the irrelevent think tank of could-have-been winners with Bob Dole, Michael Dukakis and Walter Mondale. To bad - the current crop of democratic presidential candidates makes Al Gore look very, very good.

      --
      -- $G
  68. Re:one button by zumbojo · · Score: 2, Insightful

    My mouse has eight buttons. I wish it had more. If you think Macs are efficient with one button, think again. Combo keys are a pain in the ass when used on keyboards alone (like the cut/copy/paste functions), but when you have to use two hands to execute them (click + button) things really start to suck.

  69. We won't have any of that free crap on our systems by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

    Our VP of IS said that a couple of years ago. Narrow-minded managment. I think we actually had to buy Apache!

    Fortunately, he doesn't know everything that goes on. Stll, we are a M$ shop.

  70. Erroneous Beliefs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    While this is slightly off-topic in spirit, it isn't "by the letter of the topic"... . Really, the brunt of the joke is directed at "us" rather than "famous people" or "evil corporations".

    I remember a few silly beliefs some folks had when I was/we were young. The most remarkable thing is that some of them were "verified" by "scientific experiments" by various people.

    1. That burning a copy of a CD resulted in a slightly degraded image of the data. A classmate thought he verified this by copying copies until they failed. He came up with the figure that it took seven iterated burns (on average) for the degradation to make the copy unreadable(!!!). I guess some people don't understand causation and/or the law of averages and/or hardware reliability. This was in the days of turning off the music and not touching the desk while the CDR was burning.

    2. That data can just be compressed again and again (.zip, .arj, whatever)... I remember that this was how I learned "the pigeonhole principle", or, that there are 2^(i-1) programs that you can represent with i bits, but not with i-1 bits... This is possibly why I started following theoretical CS (although I hated maths back then) instead of programming/hacking. Keep in mind, also, that this "unlimited compression algorithm" was patented! This is the most blatant failure of the patent system I can think of: the claim is even MORE obviously impossible than those for perpetual motion machines!

    3. That compressed data was "more prone to read failures" than uncompressed data, by virtue of "the data being closer together on the disk". Although this might sound more ridiculous than #2, it really isn't. I fell for this when I was very young, as it seemed to be empirically verified. Heh.

    It is kind of fun to reflect on how all of these fallacies are due to extending what is intuitive about the real world, into the world of information and digital representation. We'll see how many current silly beliefs of ours (P!=NP?, "{absolute security|quantum computation|...} is (im)possible", &c.) have elegant refutations which we will hopefully discover in my lifetime. Remember, no one understands the world of quanta and bits yet, and that the opposite of a profound truth may be another profound truth.

  71. I would rather point to Alan Turing by xpromache · · Score: 5, Interesting

    who in 1950 said that in 50 years we will be able to programme computers "to make them play the imitation game so well that an average interrogator will not have more than 70 per cent chance of making the right identification after five minutes of questioning" 53 years later we are still so incredible far from this. see this for more details.

  72. Apple might have... by Doc+Squidly · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Apple wouldn't be doing as well as they are now had it not been for a CPU transplant from IBM and an OS transfusion from FreeBSD.

    --
    I think I think, therefore I think I am.
    1. Re:Apple might have... by jtdubs · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "That business wouldn't be where it is today if they didn't do stuff to stay in business."

      Duh. What, do you think every other company exists in a little bubble where they survive soley on the work of internal employees?

      Justin Dubs

  73. Japanese 5th Generation Software would dominate by HotNeedleOfInquiry · · Score: 4, Interesting
    In the 80's, the Japanese industry/government complex declared a massive project to completely redefine and *own* operating systems and application software.

    Since at the time, they had finished doing just that with consumer electronics industry and were well on the way to doing just that to the automotive industry, most CS types were justifably concerned.

    Well, the rest of the story is that it didn't happen. Not even a whimper of it got over to the western world.

    --
    "Eve of Destruction", it's not just for old hippies anymore...
  74. Cray by CrayHill · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Circa 1980:
    Someday everyone will have a Cray on their desk...
    This of course has come to fruition, but the corollary:

    ...but the rest of the desk will be the cooling system!

    fortunately is not true!

  75. Re:Bill Gates once said... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    No matter how he tries to spin it, he did claim to have taken the lead in "creating" the Internet.

    And no matter how the 'witty' people who post the 'Al Gore invented the internet' posts try to spin it, Al Gore never said anything even close to implying that he invented the internet.

    Honestly, I think people who post that are just making a joke now, although its one of the most worn out jokes ever and not really very funny, because of the deliberate misunderstanding that caused it to arise.

    It was clear from the context that he meant that he took initiative in supporting the development of the internet. Of course, political opponents of a politician(regardless of what side of the aisle they are on) will always latch onto interpretations that are make what the other guy said look more ridiculous than what was really meant, even when the actual meaning was obvious(not always the same as literal).

  76. Correction: by Thud457 · · Score: 4, Interesting
    "This data processing stuff is all a fad" -- Spencer Tracey, in The Desk Set

    I just know that was driving you all nuts.

    --

    the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

  77. Then who did say it? by pixelgeek · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Frankly Gates' denial leaves me a little unsatisifed.

    If he didn't say it then who did? And how did the quote get attributed to him?

    Or who wrote the original article attributing this to Gates.

    Currently, AFAICT, there is only Gates' comment that he didin't say anything that moronic as "proff" that he never made the quote in the first place.

    Hardly a compelling rebuttal.

    1. Re:Then who did say it? by JK+Master-Slave · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So, you're saying since there's no definitive proof that a man didn't say something, but there's also no formal 'cite' proving that man did say it, that the safest assumption is that he did??

  78. Dvorak on the mouse by rtm1 · · Score: 5, Interesting
    "The Macintosh uses an experimental pointing device called a 'mouse.' There is no evidence that people want to use these things." (John C. Dvorak, SF Examiner, Feb. 1984.)

    --
    "Belief means not wanting to know what is true." [Nietzche, The Anti-Christ, 1889]
  79. The PC is a modem! by Zerbey · · Score: 2, Funny

    I get informe by simpering users at least half a dozen times a day that the "modem thing" isn't working. They're referring to the large box under the desk that happens to be the PC.

    None of our PC's have modems in them. I wish I had a dollar for every time I told a user that the big box thing isn't a modem, it's a PC.

  80. Re:Bill Gates once said... by befletch · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Ok, Gates claims he never said it. Great. I'd leave it at that, but I went to a talk he gave at the University of Waterloo in 1989, and he did meekly accept responsibility for that quote. We all politely chuckled, and the talk went on.

    I could easily be mistaken, as that was quite a while ago, but I distinctly remember it as a mea culpa.

    --
    If you say, "now I'll be modded down because of X", I'll happily oblige.
  81. DRM, Copy Protection ... by Stavr0 · · Score: 5, Funny

    "With Macrovision we will eliminate bootleg VHS copies once and for all!"

    "With Laserlok we will eliminate software piracy once and for all!"

    "With Cactus Datashield we will eliminate Audio CD ripping once and for all!"

    for each $drm_product
    for each $technology
    "With {$drm_product} we will eliminate {$technology} piracy once and for all!"
    end
    end

    1. Re:DRM, Copy Protection ... by IthnkImParanoid · · Score: 5, Funny

      Dude, you just replaced Jack Valenti with a very small shell script.

      Awesome.

      --
      It's nothing but crumpled porno and Ayn Rand.
  82. Re:The death of x by Hoi+Polloi · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Don't forget that WWI was the "War to End All Wars" and the nuclear bomb was going to make war so terrible that it would dissapear. Didn't exactly work out. I think it is safe to say the "War on Drugs" and the "War on Terrorism" will follow the same path.

    I'll say this though: 8-tracks, betamax and vinyl records appear to be quite dead (said in my best Munchkin voice).

    --
    It is by the juice of the coffee bean that thoughts acquire speed, the teeth acquire stains. The stains become a warning
  83. 32 bit IP addresses out be sufficient :) by mkettler · · Score: 3, Informative

    RFC 704 (circa Sept 1975) states:

    "2. Expanded Address field. The address field will be expanded to 32 bits..." "This expansion is adequate for any forseeable ARPA Network growth"

    http://www.faqs.org/rfcs/rfc704.html

    --
    -Matt
  84. Disagree by 2nd+Post! · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I wonder if we can have a useful discussion without flames and insults? It is Slashdot after all!

    I think the problem is that computers aren't being used in their strengths: As long as you use computers as fancy notepads and chalkboards, computers are useless in a classroom.

    However, if you cater to their strengths and capabilities, I think computers are invaluable:
    1) Their ability to network and connect classrooms with other locations, such as other classrooms, servers with data such as photographs, maps, and things you can't store in a classroom.

    2) Their ability to virtualize. See things you can't afford to go see, do things you can't afford to go do, teach things you can't afford to otherwise teach! Books, encyclopedias, and videos offer a very static virtual representation, where a computer can be interactive! Not only can you 'see' different animals at various depths of the ocean with a computer (which a video can do just as well), you can *explore* too! Find out what happens at various pressures to your ship, to your body, see how snowflakes form, how ants find food; and then fiddle with a few settings, and see *different* snowflakes, see the ants starve, and see your ship crumple! You can design airplanes, and see if they fly or fall, you can create space stations, and see if your astronauts starve, overheat, or get bored to death!

    3) Interactivity. Very tied to virtualization and networking, you can interact with a computer in a way that you cannot with a video or a book. You can change things, simulate things, watch things, and then go back and change more things. You can have a classroom that happens to have access to a freshwater lake do experiments and research, connected to a classroom that happens to have a database, some programming kids, and a good grasp of math, and at the end of each day each classroom can learn things that before networking neither could!

    4) Data manipulation and storage. You can store lots of photographs, keep tremendous databases, perform tedious analysis, and create pictures out of raw numbers that a child, or even an adult, cannot. Measure the temperature, humidity, rainfall, pressure, cloud cover/sunlight, and wind at 400 locations 10 times a day across a city, and have the kids create programs to access, correlate, and manipulate that data and see if they can spot trends, correlations, and causations!

    So yes, there are reasons to have computers in the classroom. No, right now no one does it properly.

  85. The Use of Double Negatives by buckhead_buddy · · Score: 3, Funny

    Of course the adoption of a dying OS (BSD) by a dying computer company (Apple) was a well calculated plan to use double negatives to become a living force in the computer market once again ... or would that simply make them undead?

    Any zombie hunters or grammar police out there?

  86. The REAL legacy of Microsoft Bob: by runlvl0 · · Score: 4, Informative

    Remember "Bob" from Microsoft? The predecessor to "Clippy"?

    The REAL legacy of Microsoft Bob, from Wikipedia:

    Microsoft Bob was a project managed by Melinda French, who later married Bill Gates to become Melinda Gates.

    --

    Carthago delenda est!
    1. Re:The REAL legacy of Microsoft Bob: by golgotha007 · · Score: 2, Funny

      And so Melinda is still 'bobbing' for Bill...

      not anymore. didn't you hear? they got married..

  87. Re:Bill Gates once said... by letxa2000 · · Score: 2, Insightful
    And no matter how the 'witty' people who post the 'Al Gore invented the internet' posts try to spin it, Al Gore never said anything even close to implying that he invented the internet.

    Hmm, according to Snopes, you are both right and wrong.

    I say that because Snopes classifies it as "False" but the explanation itself seems to be a spin. The quote itself on Snopes was:

    • "During my service in the United States Congress, I took the initiative in creating the Internet. I took the initiative in moving forward a whole range of initiatives that have proven to be important to our country's economic growth and environmental protection, improvements in our educational system."

    Snopes then goes on to say that it is rediculous to believe that Al Gore believed he created the Internet. That's not in question. No-one believes Al Gore created the Internet and I doubt Al Gore himself believes it, but the fact of the matter is he said: "During my service in the United States Congress, I took the initiative in creating the Internet."

    Perhaps, as Snopes concludes, it was simply a clumsy and self-serving phrasing that Gore used, but he did say it. I figure at worst it was self-serving and at best it was just stupid on Gore's part to say whatever it is he meant to say in that manner. But to say that others are spinning what Gore said is inaccurate. Many people jokingly mention it but, in the end, Gore DID say it in the above context--regardless of how much you wish he hadn't.

  88. Operating system death is a myth by dacarr · · Score: 2, Informative

    No, really, think about it. Operating systems don't actually "die". They kind of gain a cult following. Take a look at Amiga, OS/2, DOS, etc. Granted, they're all on life support....

    --
    This sig no verb.
  89. my list: by Tumbleweed · · Score: 2, Insightful

    1) Tablet PCs are the wave of the future!

    2) Blogs will amount to nothing.

    3) The MHz Myth

  90. Linux isn't ready for the desktop by caudron · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Then what have I been using exclusively for the last 2.5 years?

    -Tom

    --
    -Tom
  91. People will never copy ... by cpct0 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    People will never copy full CDs over the Internet, it is way too big and would take days by conventional modems (read: 14.4K)

    People will never copy full DVDs over the Internet, it is way too big and would take days by conventional broadband (read: 128K ISDN).

    -- that is for bandwidth.

    People will never be able to copy CDs, they are unreadable on computers except in audio D-A conversion.

    People will never be able to copy DVDs, they are encrypted with CSS.

    -- that is for format.

    People will never be able to copy GameCube games, they are on their own proprietary format discs.

    People will never be able to copy PSX/2 games, they have heavy protection.

    People will never be able to crack the XBox protection.

    -- This is for the consoles

    And my #1:

    This format is the next revolution! Jump in the bandwagon now!

    Mike

  92. Re:Bill Gates once said... by tchuladdiass · · Score: 4, Informative

    It is NOT a limition of DOS, it is a limitation of the original IBM PC HARDWARE. You see, in 1981, the IBM PC was built around the Intel 8088 CPU, which could address 1024k of memory. The upper 384k was reserved by the hardware for the system bios, video ram, video bios, and any other board that needed memory-mapped I/O. Even the 80286 CPU had the 1024K limitation when it ran in "real" (8086/8088) mode.

  93. Re:Bill Gates once said... by mec · · Score: 5, Interesting

    MS-DOS does not have a 640K memory limit.

    I've used a computer that had 900K of memory and ran MS-DOS just fine. All of it was conventional memory. No tricks.

    The 640K limit comes from the following architectural limitations:

    (1) Intel 8086 physical addresses are 20 bits long.
    (2) IBM partitioned the 1 megabyte address space into 640K of memory space, 384K of device space.

    Other manufacturers made MS-DOS computers that were not PC register compatible. Some of them did allocate more of the 1024K address space to memory. MS-DOS works just fine up to the physical addressing limit of the 8086.

    Back around 1981, I read a Byte article about the new IBM PC which said that it had a gigantic memory space. And they were right! Filling up that 640K would cost about $5000 at the price of memory back then. I think it's reaasonable for a personal computer to have enough address space to handle $5000 worth of memory (especially when $5000 in 1981 dollars is worth quite a bit more than $5000 in 2003 dollars).

    Are you using a 64-bit desktop yet? Because if you're not, your 2003 desktop computer can't handle $5000 of memory!

  94. Macintoshes are more stable by Sophrosyne · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Macs are just more stable and therefore better-- If anyone has used Panther they know that is not the whole truth. Upgrading to Panther has caused pain to many users leaving forcing them to either do a clean install or an archive and install (both being hassles for some), Or rendering some macs totally useless.
    Another example would be the quote "Apple's-- they just work". How many minor updates have hosed people's systems since OS X has come out, what about Keynote 1.0 causing kernel panics, all the former issues with iTunes, Safari, and all the other apps out there.
    So yes, I do use a Mac, and I do like it-- but it's time everyone knows the truth-- Mac's have many problems too, especially if you use new software... the bugs get worked out eventually, but usually at the users expense.

  95. Politians NEVER do this.... righhht. by MrPerfekt · · Score: 5, Informative

    He was campaigning, folks! What do people do when they want to get elected.. well, let's see they brag about things they have accomplished in the past. So without further ado, AL GORE DID TAKE INITIATIVE IN CREATING THE INTERNET.

    He fathered the bill that changed that odd, government and acedemic research network known as Arpanet into the Internet where people from all around can use it for all different sorts of purposes.

    So if he wrote the bill, does that not mean he didn't take initiative in creating the Internet? Would it not be unreasonable for him to bring up this fact while he was campaigning and trying to get people to see "Hey, look what I did!"?

    So please, get with it and stop political trolling. Thanks!

    --
    I just wasted your mod points! HA!
  96. Re:Bill Gates once said... by pdhenry · · Score: 2, Informative
    ARPANET was developed before Gore even graduated college.
    Where are you going with this?

    ...and how many consumers were using ARPANET when Gore was in college?
    I think that's where he was going - there's a difference between "creating the internet" and "facilitating an internet economy" (which is what I wish Gore had claimed to have done).

  97. What is this "Dot-Com bubble" of which you speak? by waldoj · · Score: 2, Funny

    Does anyone remember the whole Dot-Com Bubble?

    I like how you present that as new information. As if we might all be going "yeeaaahhhh...I totally forgot about that!"

    -Waldo Jaquith

  98. Re:Bill Gates once said... by Glonoinha · · Score: 2, Informative

    -Are you using a 64-bit desktop yet? Because if you're not, your 2003 desktop computer can't handle $5000 of memory!

    You obviously haven't bought memory from IBM or Dell for one of their servers lately. They are very proud of their 1G or larger ECC/Registered DIMMs.

    --
    Glonoinha the MebiByte Slayer
  99. Actual Comp Sci Exam Question: by CHaN_316 · · Score: 2, Funny

    Al Gore invented the algorithm, true or false.

    You'd be suprised how many people circled true....

    --
    "There is no spoon." - The Matrix
  100. Re:Bill Gates once said... by Frequency+Domain · · Score: 3, Insightful
    ...to say that others are spinning what Gore said is inaccurate.
    I can't agree with this statement. Check out this article for a fairly thorough discussion of the topic. It shows the evolution from what was actually said to the distortions that became widely accepted and mocked.
  101. So what?.. by Roadkills-R-Us · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The fact that he denies ever saying it doesn't disprove that he did it any more than the fact that he's quoted as saying it proves that he did.

    Regardless, I nominate Dell for building a 640MB limit into their X200 laptops. They'll take two memroy chips, and one can even be a 512MB chip. But the system maxes out at 640MB.

    But that's OK. It makes it easier for me to push the less expensive but slightly larger Latitudes for the engineers - who *always* want more memory. Not that I blame them.

  102. Re:Bill Gates once said... by nullard · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Gore was talking about his work getting key funding bills passed that had an impact on the growth of the internet. That's it.

    --


    t'nera semordnilap
  103. Leisure society by Nameless+Poltroon · · Score: 5, Interesting

    "Computers will lead to a leisure society where people have much more free time for personal pursuits and family"

    - my grade 10 high school teacher19 years ago

  104. Yes, but... by MikeCapone · · Score: 2, Funny

    ahh the slashdot troll...

    Yes, but admit that you would miss it if it was gone.

  105. Here's something Bill Gates actually said by Smallpond · · Score: 2, Redundant


    "I believe OS/2 is destined to be the most important operating system, and possibly program, of all time."

    -- Bill Gates
    November 1987
    Foreword to OS/2 Programmer's Guide
    by Ed Iacobucci
    ISBN 0-07-881300-X

  106. Obligatory Futurama Quote by CHaN_316 · · Score: 5, Funny

    "Hi, I'm Al Gore, the inventor of the environment and first emperor of the moon." - Al Gore (futurama)

    --
    "There is no spoon." - The Matrix
  107. ESR 'Absurdly Rich' by JK+Master-Slave · · Score: 2, Interesting

    "A few hours ago, I learned that I am now (at least in theory) absurdly rich."

    I looked on ESR's vanity page, and NO he doesn't have this clinker listed as one of his essays.

  108. Re:DAMN IT. by bigjocker · · Score: 5, Insightful

    A normal, sane person would understand it.

    Yes, as a normal, sane person, I understand it: he is 100% correct.

    Befor the Congress pushed for it's opening to the world, there was no such thing known as the 'Internet'; there was a closed network of universities and military computers (ever wondered what DARPA means?).

    He, as a congressman, was one of the main players in opening that network to the world, so he played a very important role (if not the most important) in the creation of the 'Internet'.

    It seems to me that the un-normal, un-sane person in this thread is, you.

    --
    Life isn't like a box of chocolates. It's more like a jar of jalapenos. What you do today, might burn your ass tomorrow.
  109. Really bad predictions by esap · · Score: 2, Interesting

    1. You cannot apply a technological solution to a sociological problem (Edward's law) [everyone does this, consider the people who wrote MS Word]

    2. OO represents "real world"
    [When did the real world start using 'CommandContainerFacade.getEventProducerFactoryCre ationCommand()'?]

    3. There is a magic product out there that solves all problems.
    [yeah sure, maybe in million years!]

    4. Methodology X is panacea. [see Usenet]

    Also see Anti-patterns catalog for other examples.

    --
    -- Esa Pulkkinen
  110. Re:Try using actual facts next time by DavidinAla · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I know this is difficult when you're in the middle of a mindless rant, but you might want to try to get the facts before you embarrass yourself next time (even if you ARE posting as an AC).

    Apple PAID for the rights to the stuff from Xerox. The facts are covered in numerous places if you'd like to trouble yourself to get a clue about this incident in computer history.

    Much of the rest of what you have to say is too self-contradictory to be worth responding to.

  111. Pascal is the future... by milliyear · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I heard this jewel come from the podium at the first Apple developer's conference in an auditorium in one of the suburbs of Chicago, around 1980:

    "Pascal is the language of choice for all future software development at Apple. If you want to write software for Apple computers, all of our development tools will support the Pascal language only. We both need one standard language to develop in and support, and we have chosen Pascal as the most popular and best language for development." (Or words to that effect)

    This was said by one of the technical suits at Apple at the time who's name escapes me. The 'conference' was actually a 2-3 hour presentation on a Saturday afternoon. It was sparsely attended (maybe 200 people total), which only filled the auditorium to about 20% capacity. A personal highlight for me was running into Steve Jobs in the hallway and having a chance to shake his hand and chat with him briefly, which was no small feat considering he already had a squadron of bodyguards.

    Obviuosly, the 'Pascal' proclamation was dropped within months. But it was encouraging to hear them acknowledge and attempt to support the needs of third-party developers.

  112. Re:Bill Gates once said... by mec · · Score: 5, Informative

    A "server" in 1981 would be something like a PDP-11 or Vax on the low end. Such machines were more expensive than desktop computers, and had larger physical address spaces. Even a modest PDP-11/70 had 22 address bits.

    Most people preferred to spend $2000 on a PC with a 16-bit address space rather than $10000 on a PDP-11 with a 22-bit address space.

    I think that 20 address bits were plenty for 1981. The real problem was that there was no upgrade path for about 10 years after that. The Intel 8086 was 20 bits, fine. The Intel 80186 was 20 bits, okay. The Intel 80286 had "protected mode" addressing to increase the addres space, but it was nearly impossible for an operating system to context switch between "protected mode" and "real mode" (there was no instruction to do it, so an OS had to actually REBOOT THE PROCESSOR and then recover all its state on the fly).

    So until the 80386 came out, there was no way to get a new system with both (a) support for old programs and (b) support for more address space. And during that 10-year dry spell, that's when all those extendad / expanded memory schemes came out, and that's when the 1 megabyte limit really hurt.

  113. Side note on Al Gore's "well-informed"ness. by jbn-o · · Score: 5, Informative

    [...] responsible for helping to create I also invented the microphone [...]

    Your copy of the Snopes article is not what they posted. Anyone who actually read what you posted would have noted this glaring discontinuity.

    I can appreciate the clarification on Gore's "inventing" the Internet. But I think Gore gets too high a mark here and I'd like to point out why I think so as a side note to a comment I read in Snopes' essay.

    Snopes cites Vince Cerf saying "that as a Senator and now as Vice President, Gore has made it a point to be as well-informed as possible on technology and issues that surround it" but by 1999 (the copyright date on the Cerf page Snopes cites), Clinton/Gore had brought us the 1996 Telecommunications Act (which was a big step toward the media deregulation many groups across a wide political spectrum rail against today), the Digital Millennium Copyright Act, and the 1998 Copyright Term Extension Act. So I come away thinking that Al Gore's legislative history deserves a more mixed review than Cerf (and Snopes) describe.

  114. 5 years from now... by logicassasin · · Score: 4, Interesting

    "...but 5 years from now
    everyone will be running free GNU on their 200 MIPS, 64M SPARCstation-5."

    Andy Tanenbaum, Creator of Minix
    30 Jan 92 13:44:34 GMT

    Andy wrote this during the "Linux is Obsolete" debate between Linus Torvalds and himself back in '92.

    --
    Fifty watts per channel, baby cakes.
  115. Desktop Computers are over! by schiefaw · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Remember the "Internet appliances are the future" hype? No local applications or storage, just a bunch of dumb terminals connected to a paid service.

    --
    Angleyne: You can't bend that girder - it's unbendable! Bender: Well I don't know anything about lifting, so that ju
  116. Re:Bill Gates once said... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    woosh

  117. Re:The folks at HP said... by thejuggler · · Score: 2, Informative

    Actually the first computer mouse was invented by Douglas Engelbart of Stanford Research Institute long before the people at Xerox Park made the office of the future that featured a computer with mouse on each desk. See pictures of the first mouse.

    This does not mean that some one at HP never said people wouldn't want to have a mouse.

  118. Clicky by Kjella · · Score: 3, Informative

    Ultimate Limits of Computers (Yeah, yeah, I know copy, paste, remove slashdot-inserted space, it works too, BUT...)

    --
    Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
  119. I can't believe I haven't seen this one yet... by Ryosen · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "File trading is killing the Entertainment industry."

    --

    Ryosen
    One man's "Troll, +1" is another man's "Insightful, +1".
  120. Telecom New Zealand by Dodger-NZL · · Score: 2, Funny

    "9600bps is the maximum speed able to be sent over copper phone lines."

  121. Computer games... by Stile+65 · · Score: 2, Funny

    "Computer games don't affect kids; I mean if Pac-Man affected us as kids, we'd all be running around in darkened rooms, munching on magic pills and listening to repetitive electronic music."
    Kristian Wilson, Nintendo, Inc. 1989

    --
    I claim first use of "Error No. 0B" - or "No. 0B error." It'll be the new ID 10T!
    1. Re:Computer games... by prockcore · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Urban Legend. No one named Kristian Wilson has ever worked for Nintendo.

  122. Re:Bill Gates once said... by OwnedByTwoCats · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Every sentence you wrote is false.

    Are you a Republican?

  123. That E-Voting by JohnnyGTO · · Score: 4, Funny

    is fair and accurate.

    --
    Si vis pacem, para bellum! For evil to succeed good men need only do nothing!
  124. World Market for 5 computers... by valdis · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Keep in mind that when TJ Watson said it, his company was *already* engaged in the sale of semi-programmable card-sorting and tabulating gear, of which they were building a LOT.

    What he *meant* was "There's a market for 5 really high-end machines far and above the rest of the competition". The word "supercomputer" wouldn't be around for a few decades yet. And what do you know? Even today, there's a small handful of machines at the truly high end (currently, above 5 teraflops or so)

  125. Re:My favorite lie by the_mad_poster · · Score: 5, Funny

    And I'd be much happier giving my mother (despite three college degrees and quite a high IQ, Macs are too complex for her) a Linux box than a Windows box or Mac.

    Reminds me of a Dilbert strip.

    PHB: Make it simple enough so even my mother could us it.

    Alice: It's already simple enough that a squirrel could use it. How much dumber is your mother?

    --
    Alito: A vote for Alito is a punch in the eye to put that bitch back in her place!
  126. Is that the fault of computers, or of programmers? by Kjella · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Unless you want to believe in a self-aware intelligent computer (think Skynet in Terminator movies) who has derived how to mimic human behavior (a more difficult task than simply *being* a human, it's not like we're concious of everything we do), isn't that really the downfall of programming?

    I think a computer of today would have more than sufficient processing power and storage space (particularly if it can do live Internet searches as an "extended memory") to imitate a human - there's just no capable program.

    Think about how you eat an apple. No, I wasn't really thinking about the chewing process, you can express that. Express how your body knows how to decompose the apple into various nutrients, absorb those into the body, deliver them to where they're needed, the chemical processes used to transform them into energy for our bodies, and how the byproducts are returned to the waste system, probably filtered by the kidneys and whatnot. Maybe now you can, if you're a doctor of medicine, but otherwise not. And people live and eat apples just fine without knowing.

    On the other hand, if you wanted to design an artifical digestive system, you'd need to know all that. In short, you'd have to know a damn lot. In the same way, humanity is pretty much stuck when it comes to describing how a human mind works. It doesn't help you at all that you see the brain in function every day, no more than you see a man chew and swallow an apple. There's simply no way to build artifical intelligence until we understand human intelligence. And when it comes to that, we're still way off.

    Kjella

    --
    Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
  127. Moore's Law isn't the limit...power consumption is by Junks+Jerzey · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Yep, CPUs keep getting faster, byt high-end x86 processor speeds haven't anywhere near doubled in the last 18 months (and, yes, I know that Moore's law isn't really about speed). A year ago 2.4GHz was a common speed. And guess what...it still is. There was a jump to 2.8GHz--a 16% increase--but beyond that has been trouble. The few percent that got us up to 3GHz was more than balanced by a greater increase in power consumption. Ditto for 3.2GHz. And the 3.4GHz P4 has been delayed for just those reasons. So now we're going up a very steep slope, getting piddling gains for expensive tradeoffs.

    Moore's law *will* continue, but the advances need to come from a different direction than the one we've been following. It's already hitting the point where you just don't *want* a high-end processor in your laptop, because you have to keep it running much slower anyway just to get some acceptable battery life. The 3.4GHz Prescott is arguably something you don't want in your *desktop* as it is.

    Bottom line: Moore's law is no longer the most important concern in computing technology.

  128. Linux Contains Copyrighted Unix Code by jamonterrell · · Score: 3, Funny

    Subject says it all.

    --
    I can count to 1023 on my hands. Ask me about #132.
  129. Re:Bill Gates once said... by Jennifer+E.+Elaan · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Actually, in real mode, a Pentium 4 has this same 1024K limitation. Even the Opteron is not immune. Real mode suck.

  130. Re:Bill Gates once said... by emilng · · Score: 2, Funny

    sticking children in front of computers somehow magically benefits them

    Magically benefits the children or the computers?

  131. An article by Jon Katz as proof? by lee7guy · · Score: 2, Funny

    How easily do you believe we are fooled?

    "Bill Gates didn't say that, Achmed noted while surfing the web on his Commodore 64, in the Afghan mountains."

    Reliable sources, yours are not. Mhmm.

    --
    Ceterum censeo Microsoftem esse delendam
  132. A great (bad) assumption by bugnuts · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I believe it was the president of DEC at the time that asked "Who would ever want a computer on his desk?"

    Another bad assumption made, that my coworker just said, was "the Knapsack crypto algorithm is secure." The knapsack algorithm was a public/private key crypto system that was very elegant in the design and speed, but was eventually broken (on an apple ][, even).

  133. Re:My favorite lie by AntiOrganic · · Score: 5, Informative

    Last year I'd have agreed with you. I had tried out various systems, with KDE 2.2 and Gnome 1.4, in addition to Fluxbox, IceWM and a handful of other window managers. It certainly wasn't pretty, and usability could've gone a long way.

    My, how things have changed.

    There are so many applications that do everything I needed to do on Windows, now. So you can't live without Kazaa? Download Apollon, the KDE FastTrack client. Need word processing? AbiWord/KWord are excellent pieces of work. Outlook got you down? Ximian Evolution has everything you need. Instant messaging? Gaim/Kopete. Music playing? XMMS/JuK will replace Winamp/Foobar quite handily. Graphics? The Gimp. Video/DVD playback? Xine tackles everything I throw at it. Development? KDevelop/xemacs. Web work? Quanta Plus/Bluefish. CD recording? K3b is every bit as good as Nero and is free. Web browsing? Konqueror/Mozilla/Firebird/Galeon/Epiphany. Usenet? Pan kills every similar offering on Windows.

    Additionally, KDE supplies me with various features that Windows can't match. I want to save an image from a website directly to my webspace, via either FTP or WebDAV? Right-click, "Save As," click "FTP" and Save.

    In addition, I paid $0 for all of the software on my computer, have ready access to the source code if I'd like to add a feature, and am not raped by vendor lock-in. I also am not subject to the ~30 holes in Internet Explorer this year, or worms like Blaster, Slammer or Welchia.

    There are really only a handful of things Linux isn't better at right now, and those are very, very steadily improving. The first and most obvious would be gaming, and even though older games like Starcraft and Diablo 2 run very well under Wine, newer games like Unreal Tournament 2003 are being released natively for Linux, there's still nowhere near the selection. I concede that; it's all about choosing the right tool for the job. The second is video editing, which really isn't very good on PC either with the sole exception of Adobe Premiere. I don't touch either of these things often, so it's not a tremendous deal for me.

    I wouldn't say it's good enough for Joe User right now, though. Package management and software installation still needs to be simplified for the average user (.deb should be the de facto standard, IMHO). Installation could be less painful if you don't know what you're doing. GTK+ needs a better file selector, admittedly, though I hold the opinion that GTK+ is generally worse than Qt to begin with, so I don't have trouble finding Qt-based replacements.

    My older brother, who has barely touched a computer in his life, can work at my KDE setup with ease. I consider this a small victory.

  134. Paperless Office by SharkJumper · · Score: 2, Funny

    I remember that computing was supposed to make our lives paperless. I never had so many stacks of paper sitting around before I got a computer.

    SharkJumper

  135. The "640K" Quote by DynaSoar · · Score: 3, Interesting

    As noted elsewhere, nobody, including Bill Gates, ever said anything about 640K being enough.

    The source of the quote was Steve Jobs, questioning Steve Wozniak's suggestion to build the "Language Card", the 16K memory card that took the Apple II/II Plus from 48K to 64K.

    Jobs' actual words were, "Why would anyone ever need more than 48K?" Not 64K, as assumed by the first misquoters, based on the maximum direct addressability of 8 bit processors, and not 640K as assumed by those who decided to misattribute the quote altogether.

    Jobs was always questioning Woz's technically oriented decisions, and frequently making the opposite decision when he had the power to do so. For example, he argued that there was no reason to build color into the Apple II. Woz did it anyway. When Jobs got the chance to make a similar decision, he went against Woz's reasoning, and even against the advice of others under him when making them. Hence, the original Macs, and several versions after, were strictly monochrome.

    I'd like to think Jobs learned his lesson after ignoring someone's advice not to hire "some soda pop selling suit" and losing control of his company for 10 years. But I could be wrong.

    Anyway, that's what I recall from my old "SoftTalk" and "The Road Apple" days.

    --
    "I may be synthetic, but I'm not stupid." -- Bishop 341-B
  136. Re:1+2*3 = 9 by pommiekiwifruit · · Score: 2, Funny

    Dang APL! Trust it to be different!

  137. For you computational physicists: by Bingo+Foo · · Score: 2, Funny
    --
    taken! (by Davidleeroth) Thanks Bingo Foo!
  138. Microsoft Consulted on 640k by Avihson · · Score: 2, Informative

    There was a link way up there, if you would have read it before posting it would lead you to an interview with Gates. Here is his response on hardware taken from Interview with Bill Gates

    BG: Microsoft was playing a much broader role[laughs] than just doing software for this machine. I mean whether it is the keyboard, the character set, the graphics adapter, or even the memory layouts. I laid out memory so the bottom 640K was general purpose RAM and the upper 384 I reserved for video and ROM, and things like that. That is why they talk about the 640K limit. It is actually a limit, not of the software, in any way, shape, or form, it is the limit of the microprocessor. That thing generates addresses, 20-bits addresses, that only can address a megabyte of memory. And, therefore, all the applications are tied to that limit. It was ten times what we had before. But to my surprise, we ran out of that address base for applications within -- oh five or six years people were complaining.
    (emphasis added for clarity)

    Occasionally, I do RTFA in advance of posting!

  139. Re:Bill Gates once said... by Renegrade · · Score: 2, Informative

    I believe the Motorola 68000 CPU came out in like 1979, and it featured 24 address lines and 32-bit address registers, so was thusly ready for 16MB of RAM out of the box, and was transparently extendable to 4GB, with the addition of 8 more address lines on the 68020.

    The only downside that was, at least in the Amiga community, that some programmers who fancied themselves clever, used the upper, unused, 8 bits of the address registers for flags, and thus their programs died horribly on 68020s, which could actually physically connect to the full 32-bit address range.

    The 68K was a fine chip, with linear address space, and 8 general purpose data registers, and 7 general purpose address registers (plus one special purpose address register). It's such a shame we ended up with that kludgy intel beast. Sort of funny to watch a P4 or Athlon XP chip run MSDOS 5.0 with no emulation, though. ;p

  140. The growth of Internet by EinarH · · Score: 2, Informative
    The so called exceptionally growth rate of Internet adoptation compared to that of radio and television:

    "It took 38 years for radio to attract 50 million listeners. 13 years for television to attract 50 million viewers. In just 4 years the Internet has attracted 50 million surfers! Those figures can hardly be balked at, especially when you consider the Internet's beginnings. "

    Well, it turns out that this dot-com myth is somewhat wrong and the growth is not so much stronger than radio and TV.

    Very interesting stuff, bumped into it on Usenet.

    --

    Melius mori in libertate quam vivere in servitute.

  141. You're not kidding by joggle · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I remember reading that it now takes NASA substantially more man-hours to do the same tasks now than before computers were used for design/CAD work. If I remember correctly, it took engineers roughly half the amount of time to design a rocket like the Saturn V than it would today using CAD (Computer Aided Design)! Also, much more paper is used now then back then when all of the drafting was hand-drawn, with typewriters used for everything else. I think they also tended to make fewer mistakes because they were more closely involved in the numbers, not using a potentially buggy black box to help them out.

  142. Y2K by T9D · · Score: 2, Insightful

    My favorite was that Y2K was going to be the end of civilization as we knew it, causing a major collapse in infrastructure. Whoops.

  143. I can't believe it by Flunitrazepam · · Score: 2, Interesting

    This many posts and no one has dropped the J word.

    When I was graduating high school it seemed the conventional wisdom was "In the future, everything will run on java anyway"

    This was just about the time I was getting into computers heavily, and I remember you couldn't buy a computer mag without having JAVA somewhere on the cover.

    --
    1) Your analysis is based on bad assumptions so your result is way off. 2) You're a sick bastard for fucking a horse.
  144. Multitasking by SmurfButcher+Bob · · Score: 4, Funny

    Windows 1.0 - "Yes! This new version of Windows is a preemptive multitasker!"

    Windows 3.0 - "Yes! This new version of Windows is a preemptive multithreaded multitasker!"

    Windows 3.1 - "Yes! This new version of Windows is a preemptive multithreaded multitasker!"

    Windows 3.11 - "Yes! This new version of Windows is a preemptive 32bit multithreaded multitasker!"

    Windows 95 - "Yes! This new version of Windows is a preemptive multithreaded multitasker!"

    Windows 95OSR2 - "Yes! This new version of Windows is a preemptive multithreaded multitasker!"

    Windows 98 - "Yes! This new version of Windows is a FASTER preemptive multithreaded multitasker!"

    Windows 98SE - "Yes! This new version of Windows is a FASTER preemptive multithreaded multitasker!"

    Windows ME - "Yes! This new version of Windows is a FASTER preemptive multithreaded multitasker!"

    NT 3.5 - "Yes! This new version is rock solid stable, and rock solid secure!"

    NT 4 - "Yes! This new version is rock solid stable, and rock solid secure!"

    NT 4 SP1 - "Yes! This new version is rock solid stable, and rock solid secure!"

    NT 4 SP3 - "Yes! This new version is rock solid stable, and rock solid secure!"

    NT 4 SP5 - "Yes! This new version is rock solid stable, and rock solid secure!"

    NT 4 SP6 - "Yes! This new version is rock solid stable, and rock solid secure!"

    NT 4 SP6A - "Yes! This new version is rock solid stable, and rock solid secure!"

    NT 4 SP6ASRP - "Yes! This new version is rock solid stable, and rock solid secure!"

    2K - "Yes! This new version is FASTER! Rock solid stable, and rock solid secure!"

    XP - "Yes! This new version is FASTER! Rock solid stable, and rock solid secure!"

    AS2k2 - "Yes! This new version is FASTER! Rock solid stable, and rock solid secure!"

    Longhorn - "Yes! This new version is Trustworthy(tm)!"

    --

    help me i've cloned myself and can't remember which one I am

    1. Re:Multitasking by JK+Master-Slave · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Windows before version 3.0 wasn't claimed to be a multitasking environment, except for the special case of 'Windows 386 2.1' which had some rudimentary protected mode support.

      Many of us ran Windows on 8088 and '286 machines for quite awhile before we could afford a machine with the '386 'virtual 8086' functionality, so we didn't have 'Pre-emptive mutlitasking' either.

      And I know that Microsoft made no unfounded claims about 'multitasking' on their early versions of Windows.

      What's your basis for your claims?

  145. Proof that Moore's Law will come to an end by JoeBuck · · Score: 2, Informative

    Moore's Law can't continue to hold out, period. That's because Moore's Law refers to silicon transistors, and you can't make a transistor with a feature that is less than one silicon atom thick.

    Intel and IBM both have demonstrated 65 nm experimental processes, though for volume production, 130 nm is the current state of the art. There are only eight more doublings left until the line width is less than the diameter of an atom (the diameter of a silicon atom is about a third of a nanometer). One doubling every two years means it's all over in 16.

    Now, we could possibly continue to increase circuit density for a long time after that by going to 3-D, but we would no longer be in the domain of Moore's Law: we'd be adding more transistors but they wouldn't be getting any smaller.

    1. Re:Proof that Moore's Law will come to an end by Artifakt · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Approximately true, but you can't make a transistor less than N atoms thick, where N is "thin enough to allow a significant probability of electrons tunneling". Depending on whether you want to allow a 5% error rate or 1%, or less, N is at a guess about 4 to as much as 16 nanometers (nm). The exact cut off is hard to fix, because it depends on just how much of the design you want to devote to error correction, but it's definitely there. Finding a way around it will take making small groups of atoms behave deterministically instead of according to Quantum Mechanics. That is unfortunately a hard problem. No one has a real clue as to how to solve it.
      What isn't yet clear is just what error correction itself means. Could a designer get a bit smaller scaling, but only by making the chip unable to run any existing programs? Could we turn quantum effects to our advantage with what is called Quantum based computing? Will Intel or IBM want to make a computer that needs a completely different approach to writing every last bit of software it can run?
      The answers to the first two questions are unknown. The third, however, is an obvious NO! Mor's law will stop, either because we can't make the switches any smaller, or because we stop using transistors.

      --
      Who is John Cabal?
    2. Re:Proof that Moore's Law will come to an end by CarlDenny · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Each halving of line width is a quadrupling of density, so your limit is pushed out to 32 years.

      As for going 3-D, even sticking to your strict definition of Moore's law, we'd still be fitting more transistors in the same chip area, so it'd count.

      3 years is a lot of time for stuff to happen, I suspect we'll get at least one more "free" doubling just from a leap in transistor design.

      More general, though, if some other technology comes along and we start using carbon transistors, or optical switches, or some more esoteric technology that allows us to do twice as may calculations in the same amount of time on a certain sized sliver of what-have-you, that's still going to be called Moore's law if it follows the pattern continuously, regardless of how hard you hold onto the stricter definition. If we shift to a new technology, and computing continues to double, no-one will be claiming that Moore's law is dead.

      If, not when. It could be that silicon transistors are the best we're going to do, and Moore's law (in either the stricti or the lax form) only has another few decades in it. It certainly has to peter out sometime.

    3. Re:Proof that Moore's Law will come to an end by Zeinfeld · · Score: 3, Informative
      Each halving of line width is a quadrupling of density, so your limit is pushed out to 32 years.

      The original estimate was off since the minimum feature size is not the same as the smallest dimension in the transistor gate. The limit is actually set by the gate width which can't go less than about 5 nm without the probability of quantum tunnelling occuring going above an acceptable limit (some leakage is OK but there is a point where it is not possible to distinguish the on state from the off...

      We have two more halvings of the minimum feature size before production silicon reaches state of the art and two more halvings after that before the show is all over folks.

      The doubling density each year rule corresponds to a halving of minimum feature size each 2 years. Intel say this is extending to 3 years (Bush recession, war on terror etc.) and the show is over completely by about 2015 at the latest.

      There will be cleanup work for some time but if you think about what you end up with at the end point it is quite interesting. You can fit 64 times the current number of transistors onto a chip. So you can comfortably fit your current state of the art Quad-Pentium processor with 4Gb of RAM all onto the same chip. So cut away the external memory bus completely and in its place add a couple of laser diodes on each edge and some receivers and you have a processing unit that communicates to its peripherals and any neighbors by means of optical couplings. It does not need special cooling either because only a small part of the chip area is CPU, the rest is memory.

      Instead of adding memory to this type of system you add more processor/memory units. You cound easily fit four, sixteen into a comodity PC box. The optical couplings mean that memory paging etc can be handled by making a request to a neighboring processor that stores that information.

      Big supercomputers are built by simply lashing a few hundred standard boards together.

      Back to the future, I was building these systems 20 years ago. Only then we called them transputers and they only had 4Kb of RAM

      --
      Looking for an Information Security student project suggestion?
      Try http://dotcrimeManifesto.com/
  146. one word: Itanium by JudeanPeople'sFront · · Score: 3, Insightful
    One of the greatest shots-in-the-leg in IT business history was Intel's decision to stop developing the 32-bit Pentium processors line and design 64-bit processors without native 32-bit support.

    AMD couldn't have hoped for a better present from it's greatest rival. They have started building a new factory in Dresden (Fab 36) in anticipation of the increased demand of Opterons and Athlon64s.

    The desktops we will be buying in 2005 (2004?) will be 64-bit and it seams they won't be "intel inside".

  147. Air is good by Brian+Kendig · · Score: 2, Funny

    I remember some news stories from '95 or so, back when the Web was really taking off. Bill Gates made an announcement that Microsoft would never have an Internet division, because "the Internet is like air, it permeates through all our divisions and products," or something like that.

    Then, some months or a year later, Microsoft formed an Internet division. "Air is good," Gates announced, "we like air."

    I don't recall the exact quote, and I can no longer find the articles, so if anyone else has a better recollection of this, please speak up!

  148. P != NP by lkaos · · Score: 2, Funny

    Sorry, kept trying to post the proof of P = NP here but /. lameness filters won't let me.

    Oh well, I'll leave the proof as an exercise for the reader... ;-)

    --
    int func(int a);
    func((b += 3, b));
  149. Re:I Invented... by jon3k · · Score: 2, Informative

    Gore Invented the Internet

    "But it will emerge from my dialogue with the American people. I've traveled to every part of this country during the last six years. During my service in the United States Congress, I took the initiative in creating the Internet. I took the initiative in moving forward a whole range of initiatives that have proven to be important to our country's economic growth and environmental protection, improvements in our educational system. "

  150. Re:I Invented... by magickalhack · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Public figures have practically no protection from either libel or slander. It's part of the gig -- they open themselves up to whatever the public wants to throw at them. They do have some grounds, but it's a far cry from the protection granted to individuals.

    Basically, it's a stupid argument. Anyone who has taken the time and bothered to actually look up what he really said will realize, immediately, that what he said made sense in context, was true, and that all the hoopla in the media was propagandist rubbish. Not that there's anything wrong with that -- that's politics. What is irritating is all the morons who don't know what they're talking about and yet still insist on sharing their uninformed opinion with the rest of us as if it was worth anything.

    --
    This Sig Kills Fascists
  151. Re:Bill Gates once said... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    But I suppose sticking kids in schools, seperated from their family 5 times a week and put in a prison-like building with unknown people's offspring, somehow magically benefits them?

  152. Re:I Invented... by FredFnord · · Score: 4, Interesting

    You got a good ways. Now you just have to think.

    The question was 'What have you accomplished in congress?' or something similar. So now let's look at his response in that *CONTEXT*.

    Did Al Gore take the initiative IN CONGRESS in creating the internet? You bet he did! In fact, Newt Gingrich said that if there had been no Al Gore, there would be no internet as we know it today. (Of course, that was a few years ago. But still.) He was the prime mover behind getting funding for it. And without government funding, the internet would never have grown like it did, and may well still be some strange, escoteric thing that connects a few universities together... and AOL (or *shudder* MSN) could be the 'Information Superhighway'.

    So, you can still say that since he didn't explicitly SAY 'in Congress' in response to the question about what he did in congress, he was actually claiming to have invented the entire internet from scratch. But at that point, anyone with an ounce of intellectual honesty would have to admit that this was a 'lie' that was created entirely by the press and was perpetrated on an American public that is instantly ready to believe anything they hear, as long as it's bad.

    -fred

    --
    Sign #11 of Slashdot overdose: You see the phrase 'moderate Republican' and you wonder if that would be a +1 or a -1.
  153. "Push Technology" by rolofft · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Remember "push technology" circa 1999? "Active Channels" and "NetCaster" were supposed to revolutionize the Internet. I hated the silly "channels" bar that popped up by default in Windows after IE 4 was installed. Yeah, Microsoft, instead of searching the Web for things I'm interested in, I want you to "push" your sponsors' lame content at me. Well, at least they caught on quickly and dropped it.

    For me this was another example of consumers ruling the marketplace with an iron fist. You can't get us to drive Edsels, drink New Coke, or subscribe to Active Channels, no matter how much money you have.

    --

    "Give a man a fish and he will ask for tartar sauce and French fries!"

  154. PacMan by Symb · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Computer games don't affect kids; I mean if Pac-Man affected us as kids, we'd all be running around in darkened rooms, munching magic pills and listening to repetitive electronic music.

    - Kristin Wilson, Nintendo, Inc., 1989.

    1. Re:PacMan by Nonesuch · · Score: 2, Informative
      Computer games don't affect kids; I mean if Pac-Man affected us as kids, we'd all be running around in darkened rooms, munching magic pills and listening to repetitive electronic music.

      - Kristin Wilson, Nintendo, Inc., 1989.

      While Kristin claims having originated this joke, so does Marcus Brigstocke, and others attribute the quote to Steven Poole.

      It appears that this "joke" is actually only about three years old, google shows the sig file first appears on Usenet in on December 12, 2000, attributed to 'anon' or 'unknown'.

  155. Definition of download by solprovider · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The grandparent's But if you're downloading data from a site, the site is not also uploading that data to you. The action exists at only one end of the operation, at the initiator of the action is correct.

    Continuing haystor's beer analogy, the remote machine is called a server.

    Your machine requests something from a stationary location. That is a pull operation, and is called "downloading", (such as requestnig a drink and being given a beer.)

    Your machine sends something of yours to the stationary location. That is a push operation, and is called "uploading", (such as giving money to the bartender.)

    The remote machine responds to each request. It is "serving", (such as the bartender taking requests and returning drinks, also known as serving.)

    ---
    Another poster suggested that the definition has to do with the size of the machines, but this is obviously incorrect. If a 300lb man gets a beer from a midget bartender, the man is still doing the requesting and the bartender is still serving.

    Or think about P2P networks. The machines can be considered to be equivalent, but a computer with a 2GB hard drive and only 10 files still serves those files to the computer with a 200GB hard drive and millions of files. The latter computer is doing the requesting and "downloading".

    The confusion may be because your ISP is limiting your upstream or "upload" bandwidth, which is used for the transaction whether you are serving (also known as sharing) or uploading (also known as posting) the files, even though that bandwidth is also used for requesting. English is great; the last sentence had five words for the process where bits move from your computer to another.

    --
    I spend my life entertaining my brain.
  156. The most incorrect one? by Pig+Hogger · · Score: 2, Funny

    Just five more minutes.

  157. Windows NT will be "a better Unix than Unix" by dbk25 · · Score: 2, Funny

    Windows NT will be "a better Unix than Unix"
    - Bill Gates

    Did anyone ever actually use the POSIX API under Windows NT?

  158. Roger Penrose Might Say by weston · · Score: 2, Informative

    the worst assumption many of us are making is that humans are not themselves computers. ...it's not just an assumption. There's some very lively argument over it. Penrose tends to the belief there are some non-computational processes that in the universe and they may underly consciousness.

    I'll point out here that I know that some of his arguments aren't watertight and the discussion is definitely in progress -- he knows this, as is evidenced by quotes like this from the article: "With apparently genuine humility, Penrose emphasizes that these ideas should not be called theories yet: be prefers the word 'suggestions.'" But they're as well supported as any other speculations about the nature of consciousness.

  159. 4GL and "programmerless programming" by IBitOBear · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Eh, lets see:

    -- In five years, everybody will be using fourth-generation languages (our 4GL, etc) for everything except the lowest level of hardware support.

    -- You wont need programmers at all if you use our programmerless rule development interface. (See, NetExpert 8-)

    Basically, the any-idiot "enabling" technologies that were supposed to do away with all forms of having to know how a computer works.

    [Includes "death" of C and C++, Java, Perl, etc in favor of Power-Builder-esque symbolic/graphical program construction systems.]

    yea, sure... 8-)

    --
    Innocent people shouldn't be forced to pay for inferior software development.
    --"Code Complete" Microsoft Press
  160. Steve Jobs, Then and Now by Colonel+Cholling · · Score: 3, Funny

    Steve Jobs, 1984: "A floppy's good enough. Nobody really needs a hard drive."
    Steve Jobs, 1998: "A hard drive's good enough. Nobody really needs a floppy drive."
    (paraphrased)

    --

    I am Sartre of the Borg. Existence is futile.
  161. From Popular Mechanics by cc_pirate · · Score: 2, Interesting

    "Computers in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons." --Popular Mechanics, forecasting the relentless march of science, 1949

    --

    "There are laws that enslave men, and laws that set them free. " - Sean Connery as King Arthur

  162. Re:Bill Gates once said... by AaronD12 · · Score: 2, Funny

    What I think is funny isn't the 1024K real-mode limitation, but that today's BIOSes still have the function call to turn on and off the cassette drive motor.

  163. We are the Enemy! by dreadlord76 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Ever took an Early 90's software and run it on today's machine? The software back then was just as functional, runs screamingly fast on low end machines today, and ran in 1MB.
    The fact your browser takes 33MB to run is a problem. Every software wants to include the kitchen sink, that's a problem.
    Maybe if we have less abstraction layers, less dynamic invocations, less runtime discovery, and more focus on building something that works, we really would not need 4GB of RAM. Maybe, just maybe, the programs will run faster as well.

  164. Re:Isn't it interesting... by amRadioHed · · Score: 2, Funny

    Thank god they figured out if they seal the windows shut, we can safely travel at speeds approaching 30 mph.

    --
    We hope your rules and wisdom choke you / Now we are one in everlasting peace
  165. Microsoft collection by axxackall · · Score: 2, Interesting
    I like this collection of misleading quotes from Microsoft, from Bill Gates and about Microsoft.

    My favorite ones:

    • "The Internet? We are not interested in it" -- Bill Gates, 1993
    • "Sometimes we do get taken by surprise. For example, when the Internet came along, we had it as a fifth or sixth priority." -- Bill Gates, Jul, 1998
    • "We had planned to integrate a Web browser with our operating system as far back as 1993" -- Microsoft (27 Jul 1998, filing its first court responses to federal antitrust)
    • On code stability, from Focus Magazine: "Microsoft programs are generally bug-free. If you visit the Microsoft hotline, you'll literally have to wait weeks if not months until someone calls in with a bug in one of our programs. 99.99% of calls turn out to be user mistakes. [...] I know not a single less irrelevant reason for an update than bugfixes. The reasons for updates are to present more new features.
    • Bill Gates, Free Market and the LA Times: "There are people who don't like capitalism, and people who don't like PCs. But there's no-one who likes the PC who doesn't like Microsoft"
    • Your most unhappy customers are your greatest source of learning. --Bill Gates, Business @ The Speed of Thought
    • "640K ought to be enough for anybody." -- Bill Gates
    • I don't think there's anything unique about human intellience. All the neurons in the brain that make up perceptions and emotions operate in a binary fashion. (Bill Gates)
    • "There won't be anything we won't say to people to try and convince them that our way is the way to go."
    • "We have no intention of shipping another bloated OS and shoving it down the throats of our users." -- Paul Maritz, Microsoft group vice president
    • On the solid code base of Win9X: "If you can't make it good, at least make it look good."
    • "Microsoft's biggest and most dangerous contribution to the software industry may be the degree to which it has lowered user expectations." -- Esther Schindler, OS/2 Magazine
    --

    Less is more !
  166. Re:Bill Gates once said... by ComaVN · · Score: 2, Interesting

    You know wrong. Address 0 constains the vector for interrupt 0 (the divide-by-zero handler)

    From HelpPC 2.10, by David Jurgens (emphasis mine):
    - power supply starts Clock Generator (8284) with Power Good signal on BUS
    - CPU reset line is pulsed resetting CPU
    - DS, ES, and SS are cleared to zero
    - CS:IP are set to FFFF:0000 (address of ROM POST code)
    - jump to CS:IP (execute POST, Power On Self test)
    - interrupts are disabled
    - CPU flags are set, read/write/read test of CPU registers
    - checksum test of ROM BIOS
    - Initialize DMA (verify/init 8237 timer, begin DMA RAM refresh)
    - save reset flag then read/write test the first 32K of memory
    - Initialize the Programmable Interrupt Controller (8259) and set 8 major BIOS interrupt vectors (interrupts 10h-17h)
    - determine and set configuration information
    - initialize/test CRT controller & test video memory (unless 1234h found in reset word)
    - test 8259 Programmable Interrupt Controller
    - test Programmable Interrupt Timer (8253)
    - reset/enable keyboard, verify scan code (AAh), clear keyboard, check for stuck keys, setup interrupt vector lookup table
    - hardware interrupt vectors are set
    - test for expansion box, test additional RAM
    - read/write memory above 32K (unless 1234h found in reset word)
    - addresses C800:0 through F400:0 are scanned in 2Kb blocks in search of valid ROM. If found, a far call to byte 3 of the ROM is executed.
    - test ROM cassette BASIC (checksum test)
    - test for installed diskette drives & FDC recalibration & seek
    - test printer and RS-232 ports. store printer port addresses at 400h and RS-232 port addresses at 408h. store printer time-out values at 478h and Serial time-out values at 47Ch.
    - NMI interrupts are enabled
    - perform INT 19 (bootstrap loader), pass control to boot record or cassette BASIC if no bootable disk found

    --
    Be wary of any facts that confirm your opinion.
  167. A verbal goatse troll modded up to +5! by hughk · · Score: 2, Funny

    I suppose it could be worse, imagine goatse in braille!

    --
    See my journal, I write things there
  168. Hard Disks have stagnated by mikelambert70 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Has anyone else noticed that hard disk capacities have not increased for the past year?

    300 GB is still tops, same as last xmas. A minuscule growth in laptop hard disks, 12 months ago 60 GB, now 80 GB.

    I don't recall stagnation like this happening *ever* before.