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How Many TV Channels Will There Be In The Future?

The Importance of writes "MediaPost reports that, for the first time since it has been tracked, the average number of receivable television channels per household has stopped increasing and even decreased a bit. Perhaps we're not going to hit that 500 channel future people used to talk about. TV executives are, of course, worried about this and want answers. Is this just a temporary plateau or the beginning of a long-term trend? Will DVRs reverse this slide or are they part of the problem? Are we heading into a channel-free future or do channels still have value?"

325 comments

  1. I dont know... by angst7 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Is the matrix just one channel?

    --
    StrategyTalk.com, PC Game Forums
    1. Re:I dont know... by mog007 · · Score: 2, Funny

      In about 11 years we'll have tons of channels, and televisions that can show us six at one time. Oh, and video games that use hands for operation will be for children only.

    2. Re:I dont know... by das3cr · · Score: 0

      In about 11 years we'll have tons of channels, and televisions that can show us six at one time

      Just how many info-commercials can you watch at ounce?

      --
      Hurricane Island Outward Bound
      OB
    3. Re:I dont know... by Joe+U · · Score: 1

      Just how many info-commercials can you watch at ounce?

      I would say about 28.35 grams worth.

      (Sorry, I couldn't resist)

    4. Re:I dont know... by zonker · · Score: 0

      yes, but in 11 years, how many tons will that be? ;P

  2. quite a few by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Funny

    A million billion!

  3. Frankly... by ThePDW · · Score: 1

    I could do with about 2.

    1. Re:Frankly... by sik0fewl · · Score: 1

      I could do with a lot more, but if I had to pick from channels currently available it would just be one or two.

      The only channel I really watch is Discovery and sometimes the Outdoor Life Network.

      I think the real reason we don't have 500 channels is because of a lack of content. Sure, it's kinda nice that some program are aired several times a week (in case you miss it), but when Discovery is repeating something that I've already seen, there's nothing else on television worth watching. There's no other channels with interesting educational content.

      TLC used to be okay, but now it has gone to shit. I find the History channel really boring--even when there's something interesting on, the narrarators manage to make it really boring.

      --
      I remember when legal used to mean lawful, now it means some kind of loophole. - Leo Kessler
    2. Re:Frankly... by certsoft · · Score: 1

      All I get is one (The Oregon PBS affiliate) through a local translator. Many people around here don't get any unless they go satellite. I wonder what will happen when analog TV transmission goes away. I have doubts that OPB will spend the money for a digital translator, I suspect they will just pull the plug on our area.

    3. Re:Frankly... by robochan · · Score: 1

      What about the 37 channels of M*A*S*H and Dr. Quinn Medicine Woman reruns, and almost dozens of channels using decades old programs (gameshow, nickelodeon, and cartoon networks come to mind immediately)...
      What would we do today if there weren't channels showing the Space Ghost epsiodes that we wouldn't watch when we were 7 years old?!?
      My god man... think of the children!!!!11!oneone

      --
      ...Rob
      The American Dream isn't an SUV and a house in the suburbs; it's Don't Tread On Me.
    4. Re:Frankly... by hunterx11 · · Score: 1

      I actually have a hypothesis that if you were to take into consideration all form of television programming everywhere, that at any given point in time M*A*S*H is playing on at least one channel somewhere.

      --
      English is easier said than done.
    5. Re:Frankly... by pppjurac · · Score: 1

      And it is also true here in Europe... Out of 40 or 50 channels on cable, only three are really worth watching.

    6. Re:Frankly... by ffejie · · Score: 1

      If it was Space Ghost Coast to Coast (the Adult Swim late night cartoon) -- we would have a much better world.

      --
      Disagreeing with me does not mean you get to mod me troll.
    7. Re:Frankly... by B747SP · · Score: 1
      I could do with about 2

      Funny you should say that... When I was a boy... growing up in the Australian countryside (interestingly enough, the town that Russell Crowe (actor) now calls home), we only had two channels. The 'ABC' (aka 'Australian Broadcasting Corporation') that everyone gets, and the local 'commercial' channel.

      Much as I'd like to throw in a "we were so poor..." line, it wasn't like that. We simply got two channels in that bit of the world.

      Of course, when we didn't like what was on either channel, then we were so poor that we had to poke each other with sticks for amusement....

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    8. Re:Frankly... by B747SP · · Score: 1
      I wonder what will happen when analog TV transmission goes away.

      It's an equally significant concern here in Oz... Apparently large parts of Australia will miss out on TV *altogether* once Australia goes digital and drops analogue.

      Still, the same threat loomed when the Vodafone-dodgy-deal-with-the-government forced GSM telephones on us all, the AMPS telephone network got extended for a few years once folks in the country figured out that GSM wasn't fit for a big country like this, and that the shutdown of the AMPS network was gonna cut a *lot* of people off, and they kicked up a very appropriate stink.

      One wonders (one hopes like hell) that the same thing will happen with digital TV here in Oz...

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      I find your ideas intriguing and I wish to subscribe to your newsletter.
    9. Re:Frankly... by lanswitch · · Score: 1

      "I've got fifty channels of shit on my tv to choose from". (Pink Floyd, The wall). That's why I'm on /. now.

    10. Re:Frankly... by Xilman · · Score: 1
      "I've got fifty channels of shit on my tv to choose from". (Pink Floyd, The wall). That's why I'm on /. now.

      ITYM "I've thirteen channels of shit on the tv to choose from."

      HTH, HAND.

      Paul

      --
      Lasciate ogne speranza, voi ch'intrate
  4. This may be because by Kethinov · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This may be because TV is becoming less popular as a whole. Much of the younger generation spends its time on the internet now, and many just download their favorite TV shows. Losing a sizable percentage of viewers would easily facilitate a drop in available channels.

    --
    You're right, I wouldn't steal a car. But if it were possible, I sure as hell would download one!
    1. Re:This may be because by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree. As a 21 year old college student, I watch very little TV, mostly because there is so much crap on all the time. Plus, it is very easy to download any shows I want to watch, and cable is pretty expensive.

    2. Re:This may be because by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have to agree with this. I just don't watch much TV anymore. I use a TiVo to get the 5 or so hours a week that I want, and I watch movies on DVD or in the theater. I'm betting that TV viewership is down as a whole, and that's why there are fewer channels. The internet and video games are just more entertaining than TV.

      Maybe HDTV or some video on demand system will entice me back, but I doubt it.

    3. Re:This may be because by jokach · · Score: 2, Insightful

      In addition to just using the internet, the younger generation spend alot of time on video games as well (ps2, etc). I know for a fact my own son only knows where 3 channels are on the dial when we receive over 100, and they're the only three he watches because its focused programming (cartoons, sci-fi, nick). I have never seen him watch a prime-time network (ABC, NBC, etc) unless theres some crazy new cartoon comes on FoxKids ... its just the trend in the younger generation ...

    4. Re:This may be because by ScoLgo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "Much of the younger generation spends its time on the internet now, and many just download their favorite TV shows."

      Spot on. Another reason for the decline of television viewing is games. Personally, I'd much rather plug in something interactive instead of passively sitting in front of the tube.

      --
      "Michael, I did nothing. I did absolutely nothing - and it was everything that I thought it could be."
    5. Re:This may be because by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Stop with that meme already!

      If you find tv-watching a passive experience, then frankly, you're doing it wrong.

      I get just as much interaction with tv as with a video game - whether it's watching an informative program, or a pure entertainment one.

      Of course, I usually watch tv with my brothers, and we tend to talk a lot during the ad breaks (or in the case of some programs, during it, to make jokes, comments, start discussions on what we just saw...)

      If tv is too passive for you, perhaps you better look at who you watch it with, and what programs you view - TV can be mentally-stimulating and fun...you've just got to make the effort :)

    6. Re:This may be because by timealterer · · Score: 1

      This is very true. As a 18-25 year old, I only (and I mean only) watch TV when somebody else has it on and I get distracted by it. I know a fair number of people like this too, and not just geeks. I actually would rather have less channels, since normally after watching TV I feel annoyed with myself at wasting that time.

      --
      - Allen Pike
      Altering time, one time at a time.
    7. Re:This may be because by Saeger · · Score: 1
      Personally, I'd much rather plug in something interactive instead of passively sitting in front of the tube.

      And yet, among many of the older (40+) generation, they see watching TV as somehow "healthier" and more social than computing. wtf?

      Recent example: Mother-in-law bitches about Father-in-law always being on the computer when he's actively reading or playing 'Yahoo! Games' or whatever, but NOT A PEEP when he spends that same time vegitating in front of the TV.

      Socially acceptable wastes/uses of time come and go I guess.

      "You should be outside soaking up skin cancer!"

      --

      --
      Power to the Peaceful
    8. Re:This may be because by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Not just younger viewers. I'm going to enter my 30s, and my much older parents even are getting ticked off at coverage. Take, for example, sports coverage. Even between two major channels ESPN/ESPN2 and NBC, there were a lot of tennis they didn't cover despite having exclusive agreements. How do you manage to screw up an asset you paid big bucks for?

      TV is becoming less popular because, as with most things in decline, it has not adapted. Even when they get in viewers, they manage to piss them off. When you don't it's a surprise and people stay loyal. See SciFi network during Farscape heydays, CN more or less with Adult Swim and anime (although they piss off people a lot, see below), and OLN with the Tour de France. Do a good job, people stick around.

      With convenience and market cannibalization, TV viewing is going down. Take DVDs. DVDs sales are up because of the convenience of viewing them, the quality, and that you can get the shows you specifically want. I don't need to get HBO. I just wait for the Six Feet Under DVD set to come out. No mess, no fuss, no paying for extra channels, I watch on my schedule, even if I want to watch 3-4 eps an evening.

      TV not coming out with cutting edge shows of interest? See first to video releases.

      What did TV do when Tivo and the like hit? Instead of stepping up with better and more shows, they increased annoying advertising and dropped the content quality. Stuffing promos during shows in the corners and the like. That makes me watch less TV, esp. less in real time and I do more Tivo'ing.

      Worse, TV seems to have gone over from creating good, creative content to reality TV. Most of the shows people seem to be watching are reality shows and home improvement shows, covering car expos and the like; shows that are now, with the latest news, design, etc. This is probably why reality shows, talk shows, still remain strong today. People aren't going to buy the latest DVD set of CNN's best, the best of Wolf Blitzer, Joe Millionaire 3. They're once and done TV.

      But even this content is on the end road because many people go online to get their news, expo coverage, etc. Despite channels like G4 and what was TechTV, most computer folks get their info online. As bandwidth goes up, I fully expect people to further abandon TV for feeds.

      The TV networks forgot that while reality TV gets ratings and is cheap, it's not a strong vehicle for their business. Getting viewers is the current battle, but getting consistent viewership brings in the dough. Original content does that. When they abandoned original, cutting creative content (which HBO and Showtime has taken up much of this slack), people went elsewhere, e.g. DVDs. Worse for TV companies, people went online, which however small, increased online revenues. Suddenly, CNBC and news outlets are talking about Yahoo entering the content creation business, something not really heard since the bubble burst. The traditional networks no longer have the money or the interest in new creative content, meaning that whenever Yahoo or the like do step up, TV share will further reduce.

      Even if you do buy the whole ratings business, TV has abandoned niche markets and their viewers. Even those areas which were niche, like sci fi, has been mollified for the masses. The whole Farscape drama pissed off a lot of viewers, some I know still refuse to watching anything on SciFi networks in real time because of this. They tape or download what they here is "good" material many times, saving time and the aggravatin of getting attached to a show that is probably going to get cut despite promises otherwise.

      For me, I became an anime fan in the last 5 years predominately due to the Cartoon Network. I don't go to anime conferences or cosplay or belong to a local club. But I enjoy the material.

      Once hooked, CN become inadequate. Not really because of the material they show; it still remains THE channel I watch the most besides CNBC. However, the number of times a mont

    9. Re:This may be because by dosius · · Score: 1

      I have stopped watching American TV. Anything I want to watch is Japanese and I download it through IRC or BitTorrent. American TV has become teh sux as of late, what with the best channels of old (MTV, VH1 and CMT) losing their way and forgetting that they are supposed to be MUSIC VIDEO NETWORKS. >.;;;;;

      Moll.

      --
      What you hear in the ear, preach from the rooftop Matthew 10.27b
    10. Re:This may be because by Captain+Splendid · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Agreed. Compared to Video games, DVDs and the Internet, TV has hardly been innovative.

      I still think that 500+ channels is very likely though. Instead of trying to turn your channel into a kind of "portal" (exhibits A and B: MTV and VH1), I think the trick will be narrowcasting. They're doing this in Europe already. Kerrang, a UK rock/metal magazine have their own channel devoted to...rock and metal videos, and not much else.

      Couple with true a la carte ordering, you'll see channels proliferate wildly IMO

      --
      Linux, you magnificent bastard, I read the fucking manual!
    11. Re:This may be because by afidel · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I'm pissed at how little of the Olympics will be broadcast. The network covering this years events has like 7 cable channels which means they have potentially 1,200+ hours per week to cover the events yet they will only have that many hours of coverage over three weeks, and much of that dedicated to the "major" events.

      What's worse is that the stupid licensing agreements make it impossible for them to webcast niche events to those who would pay for them because then some channel in zimbabwe that wasn't going to broadcast the event anyways isn't getting their money's worth =( Oh yeah and the events are hard to keep up on because the participants are bared from reporting on their OWN participation on a weblog or similar self publication.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    12. Re:This may be because by DJStealth · · Score: 1

      That's likely exactly why Rogers Cable here in Toronto decided to switch to Video on Demand systems. On top of the pay-per-view on demand, they even added a new MovieNetwork channel that's on-demand; so you can watch any movie you want, when you want it; you just need the digital box and a subscription to the network (no pay per view on this one)

      (I don't mean to sound like an ad, but considering I believe its on topic, I think this is the way the industry is moving towards; because of the internet everyone wants everything NOW).

    13. Re:This may be because by jasonditz · · Score: 1

      Niche channels are a really good idea, the reason they're so rarely successful in the US is the herd mentality the programming companies have. The minute a niche channel starts building up steam every other niche channel switches niches to copy them, and their parent company pulls the shows to put them on their main channel where they wind up getting lost in the shuffle.

      The problem is the niche viewer keeps getting alienated. I can think of half a dozen theoretically niche channels on my current cable that have radically changed formats more than once in the last five years. In the end all of them wound up running pretty similar shows (low end reality shows, network castoffs, syndicated stuff nobody cares about).

      There might be 500 channels on the average US cable plan someday, but I'll bet they all have essentially the same thing on.

    14. Re:This may be because by whereiswaldo · · Score: 1

      While there might be 500 available channels, most people will not watch more than 10 or 20 channels I'd bet (of course there are people who have to have every single channel at their fingertips). Personally, all I want is 5 channels with stuff I really like. Oh, and that's all I want to pay for, too.

    15. Re:This may be because by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm pissed at how much the Olimpics will be broadcast. I live in the UK and I thought the BBC was supposed to cater for everone. Ha Bloody Ha.

    16. Re:This may be because by cfuse · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Personally, I'd much rather plug in something interactive instead of passively sitting in front of the tube.

      I'd watch more TV if it did all of the following:

      1. Had pause, fast forward, rewind, etc.
      2. Had no ads.
      3. Wasn't so stupid/patronising/dull/American.
      4. Had no soap operas, advertising disguised as programming, sport or other irrelevances.
      5. I could tell it what I liked and it could go and find more of it.

      Watching TV on my computer lets *me* control the medium, not the other way around. My time is valuable, why waste it on crap I'm not interested in?

      Turn the TV off and go for a walk!

    17. Re:This may be because by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Stop with that meme already!

      Why? It's true.

      Of course, I usually watch tv with my brothers, and we tend to talk a lot during the ad breaks (or in the case of some programs, during it, to make jokes, comments, start discussions on what we just saw...)

      So you agree that watching tv is indeed passive, CHATTING WITH YOUR BROTHERS, or other humans in general, is not.

      Thanks for confirmation.

    18. Re:This may be because by Galvatron · · Score: 1
      Actually, the Olympics are only 16 days long (8/13-8/29), and with 7 channels broadcasting 24 hrs/day, that's 2688 hrs (less probably, because the opening ceremony doesn't start at midnight, nor does the closing ceremony end at midnight, and they don't directly connect with events). Giving over nearly 1/2 of their airtime on all their station to the Olympics sounds emminently reasonable to me.

      I agree that the exclusive licenses suck, but that's an independent issue from whether NBC is doing a good job.

      --
      "The question of whether a computer can think is no more interesting than that of whether a submarine can swim" -EWD
    19. Re:This may be because by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't know, I think that Stargate SG-1 is pretty good. I'm not too sure about the upcoming Stargate Atlantis, though.

  5. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  6. None by Lehk228 · · Score: 0

    the MPAA and TV publishers will heap so much shit onto technical requirements to watch TV that everone will just decide "fuck it, i'll go download some porn and read a newspaper"

    --
    Snowden and Manning are heroes.
    1. Re:None by ThePDW · · Score: 1

      What does downloading porn have to do with reading a newspaper?

    2. Re:None by Creepy+Crawler · · Score: 0

      the underwear ads....

      --
    3. Re:None by TheGavster · · Score: 1

      You're assuming that newspapers will stay DRM free ... imagine a world where you have to have a personalized reader that decrypts the newspaper for you, so that you can't share one with the guy next to you on the train (what kind of communist needs to share a newspaper, anyway, they'll ask us)

      --
      "Because Science" is one step from "Because old book". Try "Because of my experiment testing my falsifiable assertion".
    4. Re:None by kfg · · Score: 1

      What does downloading porn have to do with reading a newspaper?

      Page 3 girls.

      KFG

    5. Re:None by Doug+Neal · · Score: 1

      What does downloading porn have to do with reading a newspaper?

      Not a lot, that's why you have to do both!

  7. Wow! by Doc+Squidly · · Score: 5, Funny

    500 Channels and there's nothing on!

    --
    I think I think, therefore I think I am.
    1. Re:Wow! by R-66Y · · Score: 1

      Actually, only 100.4.

      Later,
      Patrick

    2. Re:Wow! by DeepHurtn! · · Score: 1
      500 Channels and there's nothing on!

      Dude, you *nailed* it. That's exactly why there will probably never be 500 channels in the average home. -- the quality of programming is simply too weak, and too diluted. Why should I pay for a few hundred channels that I'll never watch? Why should I pay a monthly fee to get ad-supported channels? Which brings up another point -- there's only so many advertising dollars to go around. If you're running channel 499, the "Not Cool, Zeus" channel, you're going to be competing with hundreds of other channels for a small pool of money.

    3. Re:Wow! by kfg · · Score: 2, Funny

      500 Channels and there's nothing on!

      Nonsense. At any given moment Ron Popeil is on about 247 of them. In the wee hours I think it's closer to 476.

      KFG

    4. Re:Wow! by Epistax · · Score: 1

      Actually only 3:

      Shopping Network
      Golf
      Scrambled Porn

    5. Re:Wow! by Poeir · · Score: 1

      "200 channels and nothing but cats."

      Alt:
      "Sheesh, forty thousand channels and only a hundred fifty have anything good on."

      --
      Sigs are like bumper stickers.
    6. Re:Wow! by Joe+Tie. · · Score: 1

      the quality of programming is simply too weak, and too diluted.

      The people in charge of programming might counter with "So is the taste of the average viewer". While I don't know if it's true or not, I have a feeling they strongly believe it to be.

      --
      Everything will be taken away from you.
    7. Re: Wow! by RackinFrackin · · Score: 1

      500 Channels and there's nothing on!

      Butthead said it best:

      Butthead: "hey Beavis...i heard that pretty soon, they're gonna have, like, 500 channels. That's gonna be cool."
      Beavis: "really? that would be cool."
      Butthead: "you know what would be really cool, though? if like, one of the channels didn't suck."

    8. Re:Wow! by glesga_kiss · · Score: 1

      Same old manure, more thinly spread...

  8. Hmmm by Aggrazel · · Score: 4, Funny

    People still watch television? I thought it was just for watching dvds...

    1. Re:Hmmm by Texas+Rose+on+Lava+L · · Score: 4, Funny

      TV isn't just for watching DVDs. I also use mine for Playstation.

    2. Re:Hmmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Joking aside... just keep in mind that in some countries (eg. Sweden) you're forced to pay a license fee for having a TV, even though you just use it for watching DVDs and playing games. The license fee is to pay for the two public broadcasting channels.

    3. Re:Hmmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      TV isn't just for watching DVDs. I also use mine for Playstation.

      I like to connect the TV Out on my video card to the TV so I can watch all of my pirated moves and TV shows.

    4. Re:Hmmm by Osty · · Score: 1

      Joking aside... just keep in mind that in some countries (eg. Sweden) you're forced to pay a license fee for having a TV, even though you just use it for watching DVDs and playing games. The license fee is to pay for the two public broadcasting channels.

      Does this apply to only TVs with built-in tuners? Could you get around it by buying a monitor set (not a PC monitor, but a TV with everything but the tuner)? I can't remember when was the last time I used the tuner in a TV. My main TV acts as a monitor for my PS2, GameCube, XBox, DVD player, and cable box, while my bedroom TV is a monitor for my TiVO. If I were to replace those sets with tunerless models and do away with my TiVO and cable box, would I still have to pay a licensing fee for the TVs? I'd hope not, since there'd be no possible way for me to use the two public broadcasting channels.

    5. Re:Hmmm by JanneM · · Score: 1

      It's for the tuner, not the screen. So yes, get a large monitor and you'd be fine.

      --
      Trust the Computer. The Computer is your friend.
    6. Re:Hmmm by EvilTwinSkippy · · Score: 1
      You own a TV?

      My playstation connects to my video card.

      --
      "Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival."
      --Dr.W.Edwards Deming
    7. Re:Hmmm by Texas+Rose+on+Lava+L · · Score: 1

      I have a 27-inch monitor for which I paid less than $500. Sure, the resolution isn't that great, but it's enough to support anything the Playstation is capable of.

  9. Is this a suprise? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Who has time to even browse the content of that many channels? It's too much information, most of dubious quality to begin with. With the fact that more people have to work longer hours just to make ends meet in the current fascist system, there is less time available to watch.

    Maybe pay people more for less work and then they'll have more time to watch your extra channels!

    1. Re:Is this a suprise? by mrmag00 · · Score: 1

      why even bother doing that? I think TV is a waste of my time.

      I love computers because I can get what I'm looking for and I have control over what I'm seeing. You're forced to watch whatever is on at the given time on TV unless you have a tivo (which I admit I wish I had)

      TV would do MUCH better if it was all on-demand.

  10. A Billion enough for ya? by William+Gates+IV · · Score: 1

    In the future the line between TV and the internet will not exist. I watch all my news on the internet (mainly because I _don't_ have a TV)

    --
    --
  11. probably not all TV execs are worried... by jdallien · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The TV execs who were busy inventing new specialty channels are likely worried, but folks over at the traditional major networks might not feel so bad about a decrese in channel numbers. More choices pull audiences away from the mainstream primetime shows where the major networks want as many viewers as possible (just like everyone else does).

    As channel numbers grow advertising dollars must be getting fragmented as well. Harder to sell ads on new channels when advertisers are already trying to cover as many markets as they can.

    1. Re:probably not all TV execs are worried... by 0racle · · Score: 4, Insightful

      No one would have to worry if they stopped worrying about raw viewership and worried about actually putting some decent programming on. Specialty channels are a great idea, except they only have 4-6 hours a day of unique programming which is repeated 4-6 times a day. If you saw Star Trek at noon, you don't watch it again at 4 then at 11 or whatever, because you already saw that episode.

      --
      "I use a Mac because I'm just better than you are."
    2. Re:probably not all TV execs are worried... by MathFox · · Score: 1

      But you need money to make quality TV. So if you would pool the money from two channels, there will be enough to make the "decent shows" that you are talking about. Otherwise people will have to run to the internet for DVD rips and cammed movies if they want to see something decent at a fair price. (Renting videotapes or DVDs is another commonly used option.)
      See it as "voting with your feet" against the "broadcast crap"

      --
      extern warranty;
      main()
      {
      (void)warranty;
      }
    3. Re:probably not all TV execs are worried... by Jardine · · Score: 1

      If you saw Star Trek at noon, you don't watch it again at 4 then at 11 or whatever, because you already saw that episode.

      Specialty channels rarely have more than one feed. Space (the Canadian equivalent of Sci-Fi) used to show Babylon 5 at 3pm, 7pm, and 3am (all eastern time) so that it was easier for people in different time zones to watch. Canada covers 6 different timezones (Newfoundland, Atlantic, Eastern, Central, Mountain, and Pacific). The USA covers 4 plus whatever Alaska and Hawaii are in.

      That's why specialty channels show the same episode 3 or 4 times per day. Plus it's cheaper.

    4. Re:probably not all TV execs are worried... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      It takes some money. Less than you'd think. British television produces some fantastic shows on shoestring budgets, but American TV is reticent to take a chance on unusual ideas and unproven talent. Our networks will, on the other hand, throw ungodly amounts of cash in at writers, producers and actors who've had past successes, most often in "first look" deals (meaning they get the first chance to hear a new pitch) that never go anywhere. I won't even get into the ridiculous amount of high-salaried executives we have compared to our overseas counterparts.


      It's amazing that as many "cult" shows exist as they do-- Beavis and Butthead, South Park, MST3K, Aqua Teen, Strangers with Candy... And all of them, at least at first, done on miniscule budgets. Imagine if there were a few dozen channels willing to experiment on high talent, low-budget programming-- the "bush leagues" of TV, I guess, or the equivalent of a band touring underground clubs before hitting the big time.

    5. Re:probably not all TV execs are worried... by mooredav · · Score: 1

      "Specialty channels are a great idea, except they only have 4-6 hours a day of unique programming"

      Do you really want to spend more than 25% of your awake life watching television? I don't think that leads to a very fulfilling lifestyle. A specialty channel that re-runs their best hour of television all week would be just fine with me. If I could count on one hour per week of worthwhile content, then that would be a feature that would fit into my life (currently, I don't watch TV at all).

    6. Re:probably not all TV execs are worried... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, I guess the ones operating these channels don't expect people watching TV 24 hours per day.
      Until PVRs that can timeshift all your favorite show become common facilities, there's still a need there.

    7. Re:probably not all TV execs are worried... by aardvarkjoe · · Score: 1
      A specialty channel that re-runs their best hour of television all week would be just fine with me.
      Only if you happen to agree with them on what qualifies as "best hour of television." The good thing about having unique programming all day is that it increases the chance of there being something worthwhile on the TV sometime during the day.
      --

      How can we continue to believe in a just universe and freedom to eat crackers if we have no ale?
    8. Re:probably not all TV execs are worried... by IncohereD · · Score: 1

      Imagine if there were a few dozen channels willing to experiment on high talent, low-budget programming-- the "bush leagues" of TV, I guess, or the equivalent of a band touring underground clubs before hitting the big time.

      It's getting more and more rare, but some shows still come up through local public access. Tom Green started out on Ottawa public access. Whether you consider him high talent is another matter. :)

  12. 10,000 channels by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    In the future there'll be 10,000 channels and still nothing on.

  13. There Won't Be Any Channels by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    TV Programming as we know it will be obsolete. All video will eventually become streaming to individual televisions so that humans don't have to modify their schedules for shows. The only real time people will watch real-time broadcasted shows are for the new episode of a sitcom, a sports event, or a special/awards show.

    1. Re:There Won't Be Any Channels by weorthe · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Yup. In the future TV listings will list release times, not broadcast times. You'll be able to watch whatever you want after it's released just by doot dooting it up on your remote. Video on demand is what the market has always wanted, and it's what we will ultimately get.

      --
      cat * >> sig
    2. Re:There Won't Be Any Channels by Johnathon_Dough · · Score: 1
      In a way I already do this.

      Once a week I go through Tivo's listings under the catagories I am interested in, find the shows I would would like to see, and select them to record. i never pay attention to when they are on, except in the rare cases of conflicts. Then I watch them when I want. Heck, if it wasn't for the annoying little blip in the lower right hand corner, I doubt I would even know what channel they are on.

      I have not watched "live" TV in about two years now. It's been a hell of a relief not having to sit through commercials.

      --
      If you are one in a million, then there are six thousand people who are just like you.
    3. Re:There Won't Be Any Channels by SpaceLifeForm · · Score: 1

      The problem with VOD is that it won't be free (as in beer), and could lead to the loss of 'free' TV (as in libre (if it still exists)). So, maybe the market doesn't really want VOD in the long run.

      --
      You are being MICROattacked, from various angles, in a SOFT manner.
    4. Re:There Won't Be Any Channels by gilroy · · Score: 1

      You'll be able to watch whatever you want after it's released just by doot dooting it up on your remote.

      Excellent neologism!
    5. Re:There Won't Be Any Channels by xRelisH · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Hmm, I don't think that scheduled shows for sports events, awards, etc. will be done away with entirely.

      I have the DVD sets for a lot of good shows ( Simpsons, Family guy, etc. ), but I'd prefer just flipping to a channel that has some random Simpsons rerun on instead of popping in one of the Simpsons DVDs which would involve no commercials, or waiting.

      I'd sometimes rather not choose which episode I want to watch, I just want to pick one out of random, and I don't want to use some quirky random-show picker, which would have the same effect.

      It's just mentality, I get a different feeling when watching a show on TV than from a DVD. It's much like going to the theatres instead of watching a movie in your home theatre system. Regardless to how good your system is, it just isn't the same experience.

    6. Re:There Won't Be Any Channels by ploppy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You're right. However, this could be a bad thing. It decreases the amount of common currency between people (perhaps relative strangers). In the UK with only 5 (3 in the 70s) main channels, people can discuss the latest TV series/programmes because everyone's watching the same stuff. Plus, how many times have you watched a programme that was on, just because it was on, and you found it interesting, but you would not actually chosen to watch it?

      The result of total choice will ultimately lead to the increasing cultural isolation of people. It is an exact opposite of what it promises.

    7. Re:There Won't Be Any Channels by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      TV Programming as we know it will be obsolete. All video will eventually become streaming to individual televisions so that humans don't have to modify their schedules for shows. The only real time people will watch real-time broadcasted shows are for the new episode of a sitcom, a sports event, or a special/awards show.

      That sounds kinda like how I use TV now that I have MythTV and a good TV tuner card on my home PC.

      TV now comes to me -- rather than the other way around. The only problem is that I watch a lot more TV now that I have TV that I like whenever I want it. :-)

      Lately, I've realized that I neither know nor care what channel a particular show was on. Do I care what TCP port Mozilla used to download this slashdot page? Not a bit. Same thing.

    8. Re:There Won't Be Any Channels by nyekulturniy · · Score: 1

      And civil defense/storm/terrorism alerts.

      --
      Nyekulturniy... Proudly confusing readers and editors since 1981!
    9. Re:There Won't Be Any Channels by glesga_kiss · · Score: 1
      with only 5 (3 in the 70s) main channels, people can discuss the latest TV series/programmes because everyone's watching the same stuff.

      I couldn't care less for that personally. People who can only chat about what TV shows they watched are pretty dull IMHO.

  14. 500 channels.. by gl4ss · · Score: 4, Interesting

    that you can't decide whats on them.

    or 1 'channel' that _you_ decide what's on it.

    which one is going to be the better choice? I'd go with the "insanely big medialibrary at home that gets updated over the net constantly and you can watch whatever you please whenever you plase" solution('resourceful' people can have it today already..).

    excuse me I'll go back to laughin my ass off at some monty python episodes..

    --
    world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
    1. Re:500 channels.. by LostCluster · · Score: 1

      What that effectively would be is 500 real-time streams with a TiVo or other DVR cherry picking the programs you want to see out of them.

      There are some programs such as newscasts, sports events, and awards shows that seem pointless to watch if you're not watching them live. Also, in order to get the "watercooler effect", shows are always going to need "release times", such as becoming first available Thrusdays at 8pm ET and that will tend to resemble a present primetime lineup.

      Daytime reruns of cable shows will never go away... those will function as re-feeds in case your DVR is busy, or somebody talks about a show you didn't capture on the first feed.

      I don't think on-demand TV is going to scale out very well. There's already cases where people want to use an on-demand system but can't because the system is simply out of bandwidth to give them a stream of anything. That's just not going to work if that's the only way we get our TV.

    2. Re:500 channels.. by Hatta · · Score: 2, Informative

      Indeed. On Demand viewing is the future, and the future is here. I'm afraid I don't have much sympathy for the media companies if they fail to provide a legal alternative.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    3. Re:500 channels.. by Joe+Tie. · · Score: 1

      Hate to say it, but I find myself doing that quite a bit as well. There's little enough on worth watching that I sometimes forget to turn the vcr on for what is - and in those times that's a great resource. The kicker is, that like you, I'd pay if there were any way to do so.

      --
      Everything will be taken away from you.
  15. Frankly, I Don't Get It by rsmith-mac · · Score: 1

    Does it really matter how many channels there are? I mean, there's a fixed number of people in the world, but every channel means someone is spending more on content for it, driving up costs, since you can't really get more viewers than there already are. Variety is nice of course, but isn't 500 channels overdoing it? What do "TV executives" stand to gain from more channels?

    1. Re:Frankly, I Don't Get It by aismail3 · · Score: 1

      It's not true that there are a fixed number of people in the world, although the growth is much faster in developing countries without access to television. I don't think that the number of people watching television is a factor though.

      When there's nothing better to do, many people, including myself, just watch whatever's on. If there was a better selection of programs, maybe I'd watch TV for a real purpose instead of just to pass the time.

    2. Re:Frankly, I Don't Get It by cowboy+junkie · · Score: 1

      The more focused a channel's content is, the more predictable the audience generally is. If you know who is watching, you can sell advertising to companies that want to target that audience.

      It's the same reason a million speciality magazines exist.

    3. Re:Frankly, I Don't Get It by gilroy · · Score: 1
      Blockquoth the poster:

      I mean, there's a fixed number of people in the world,

      Doesn't this just feed the stereotype of the typical geek, unaware of the opposite sex? :)
    4. Re:Frankly, I Don't Get It by EvilTwinSkippy · · Score: 1
      Well no, the number of viewers is not fixed.

      People do other things than watch TV. If a show has some mass appeal, people will stop whatever the doing in the Blue Room to watch the program. If they don't find anything interesting to watch, they go outside and play, flip on le' game console, or surf the net. You have the most viewers after work and before bed on weeknights (thus Prime Time.)

      --
      "Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival."
      --Dr.W.Edwards Deming
  16. The correct answer ... by jdkane · · Score: 1

    All of them.

  17. In the Ashcroft USA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the tv channel broadcasts YOU.

  18. I don't know about TV channels... by ralf1 · · Score: 1

    but there will be only one restaurant.: "Taco Bell was the only restaurant to survive the Franchise Wars. Now all restaurants are Taco Bell." Lenina Huxley - Demolition Man

    --
    "Would you, could you, with a goat?" Dr Seuss
  19. from the song by plopez · · Score: 1

    "Ive got 36 channels of shit on the tv to chose from...."

    speaking for myself, tv just isn't interesting. I find actually doing things to be more fulfilling. And it may be time for a shake out.I predict the 'traditional' networks will either have to die or reinvent themselves.

    --
    putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
  20. Don't we have enough? by Mister+Transistor · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Isn't 7 HBO's and 5 Showtimes and 100 PPV's enough?

    They don't seem have enough programming to fill the channels that are existing. Try surfing around 2:00 AM - Do we really need 200 more Infomercial channels?

    I guess they could make do with a few more p0rn channels, though :)

    --
    -- You are in a maze of little, twisty passages, all different... --
    1. Re:Don't we have enough? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If your cable company only offers 7 HBO and 5 Showtimes then you are seriously getting ripped off. Only satellite (directv and dishnetwork) give you that few options on the premium networks.

  21. 42 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    42

    1. Re:42 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      aaaa! flashback to 2130! stop it!

  22. Dirty little secret by DigiShaman · · Score: 0

    Let me tell you something. Porn is the fastest growing genre in TV programming at the moment. I can't even begin to start how much Time Warner makes off them. Porn is big business!! Obviously you all know that. But follow the money, it's about capitolism. ANd no..I dont get free porn at Time Warner (Yes, I work here). Wish I did though. heh

    --
    Life is not for the lazy.
    1. Re:Dirty little secret by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're in a pr0n show right? So you just want us to watch so you can get paid?

    2. Re:Dirty little secret by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      I shouldn't feed the trolls but.... what the hell. If I was in the Pr0n business, I would NOT be wasting my time reading slashdot. Rather, I would be fscking all day long. Sadly though, such is not the case. I'm just another slashdot geek trying to make a life for my self for whatever it's worth.

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    3. Re:Dirty little secret by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think it'd get dull very quickly. I'm only 26, havn't even had that many partners, and I'm already somewhat bored with sex. Sure, every now and again it's a nice diversion - but every day? At least with slashdot there's an off chance that you're going to learn something new. Fucking is like eating cake, it's nice while it's happening, but afterwards you havn't really gotten anything out of it.

    4. Re:Dirty little secret by jrockway · · Score: 1

      If you want to fsck all day, just install Windows.

      --
      My other car is first.
    5. Re:Dirty little secret by pyrrhonist · · Score: 1, Funny
      Fucking is like eating cake, it's nice while it's happening, but afterwards you havn't really gotten anything out of it.

      No, no, no. You've got it all wrong. Sex is like air. You never realize how bad you need it until you aren't getting any.

      --
      Show me on the doll where his noodly appendage touched you.
    6. Re:Dirty little secret by DigiShaman · · Score: 1, Offtopic

      True! So very very true. Once you tasted blood, your bloodlust for sex never stops hounding you.

      On one hand, I wish I was still a virgin. On the other, I'm glad I'm not. And no...these hands have nothing to due WITH taking away my virginity.

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    7. Re:Dirty little secret by pyrrhonist · · Score: 1
      And no...these hands have nothing to due WITH taking away my virginity.

      Wait... How were you able to keep yourself from touching the person taking your virginity? You sir, are blessed with Budda-like self control.

      --
      Show me on the doll where his noodly appendage touched you.
    8. Re:Dirty little secret by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      S&M

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    9. Re:Dirty little secret by pyrrhonist · · Score: 1

      Oh, cool. I'll try that next time. Thanx.

      --
      Show me on the doll where his noodly appendage touched you.
  23. cable never lived up to its promise by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    The promise of cable was that there would be a great diversity of channels, channels appealing to all interests, a resurgence of the fine arts.

    In reality we have a muddy middle of the same-old same-old. TNT, TBS, USA, Spike, AMC, WOR, WB, etc. etc. And let us not forget the hours and hours of infomericals--dick enlargers, real-estate schemes, exercise machines, magic cookers, golden oldies, blah blah blah.

    Cable is a bore.

  24. Of course there's a limit. by stoneymonster · · Score: 0

    The market has a finite size and each television viewer has a finite set of interests and viewing time. It's only reasonable that given a certain minimum viewership to maintain a TV channel, there may not be a market for the smallest niche content. You will likely only see one "Food" network for a long time for instance. The broader the topic, the more widely sustainable competition becomes, since broader channels tend to appeal to, well, more viewers. The more practical limit is bandwidth. For satellites, there's only so much data that the transponders can transmit. The more channels they add, the higher the compression ratio for MPEG they end up using and the more customers complain about bad quality. For myself, I'd rather see fewer channels in higher quality than a channel devoted to ever conceivable subject that at least 5 people want to watch.

  25. In one way by jdkane · · Score: 1

    the word "channel" is a paradigm of the past. We should start calling them streams or something different in order to break out of the old mindset of the not-on-demand programming model. The industry should be freed to try new things ... which is already happening, but sllllooooowwwwllly.

  26. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  27. Only one.. If the user controls what's on it. by the_rajah · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I thought that the idea was that eventually we'd select the content that we wanted which would then be delivered via broadband technology to each user at the time that we wanted to see it. No more of this lousey, "what's on at 8:00?" stuff and if you wanted to see episode 34 of some show you'd just call it up.

    Honestly, there's so little on TV that I want to watch anymore. I get my news via Internet so I can select which stories I am interested in and I can get a lot more detail than the 30 second spot news items that seems so prevalent nowadays. For movies, I go to the theater or rent/buy a DVD. The latter allow me to watch when I want and even pause if I need a break for an incoming phone call or to go to the toilet or refrigerator.

    "Do the Right Thing. It will gratify some people and astound the rest." - Mark Twain

    --


    "Do the Right Thing. It will gratify some people and astound the rest." - Mark Twain
  28. As someone... by NoMoreNicksLeft · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Who is trying to get directv, dishnet, C band, and FTA Kuband setup, already has basic cable (and is busy hacking digital cable), not to mention that I've getting things ready for broadcast (finally putting out a decent antenna)... let me say that this is just stupid BS.

    Then again, since I'm not paying for any of the above (cable maybe, I do have cable internet), this won't do anything to alleviate the concerns of media marketdroids. Oh well.

    1. Re:As someone... by TheGavster · · Score: 1

      I think you just described why some of these niche things are failing ... ad revenue can't really cover everything anymore, especially when people skip the ads half the time with TiVO.

      --
      "Because Science" is one step from "Because old book". Try "Because of my experiment testing my falsifiable assertion".
    2. Re:As someone... by NoMoreNicksLeft · · Score: 1

      Maybe so. Lack of subscription revenue on my part isn't helping them, either.

  29. I enjoy my peasant-vision. Thank you. by uberTr011 · · Score: 0

    The way I figure it; the more channels you have, the longer it takes to find out there's nothing on. I enjoy my 4 channel peasant-vision. Plus high-speed internet takes precedence anyway. And who needs a phone? Seriously.

  30. How many channels? Welll.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I suggest you ask the friendly beureaucrats at the FFCC (I'll let you guess what the extra "F" stands for) and fatcats who own networks and tv stations.

  31. Cable isnt interesting by infonick · · Score: 1

    with today's trend of Reality shows, movies i've already seen, and increasing repeats, I find i am not watching half as much tv as i was 10 years ago (when i was 8). All i'm interested in now is a good hour of of M*A*S*H, Stargate SG-1, StarTrek, or the 6 o'clock news. even then, i commonly miss thoughs shows to fit in more computer time.

    --

    You are confusing me with someone who cares.
  32. Like The Boss said... by barzok · · Score: 1

    57 channels and nothin' on.

    I had digital cable for 2 years, after having standard for the 3 before. At first I marveled at how many more channels I got - 5 Discovery channels, sports out the yin-yang, all that.

    Then I realized it was just more crap to have to flip through to find anything worth watching. I wasn't watching "more" TV than before - in fact, I was watching less.

    I'm back on standard cable now and the only thing I really miss is the on-screen channel guide.

    1. Re:Like The Boss said... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Alot of it is advertising, soap operas for teenagers, soap operas for young adults, soap operas for older adults, cartoons (see advertising), citcoms for young adults, citcoms for older adults, reruns, infomercials, recycled movies that you've already seen on video or in the theatres, talk shows where people plug books/movies/tv shows/lps, information shows where they plug the latest new consumer item, reruns....

  33. internetTV by t0qer · · Score: 4, Informative

    This wasn't interesting enough for the slash editors to publish. Go figure. My opinion, as a internet TV operator is that all TV will move to the internet, just as rabbit ear television moved to cable. Nuff said.

    1. Re:internetTV by bobobobo · · Score: 1
      just as rabbit ear television moved to cable. Nuff said.

      Yeah, broadcast television has been replaced by cable. Who wants to watch the highest rated programs when they can watch niche progamming instead.

    2. Re:internetTV by Lord_Dweomer · · Score: 1
      Yeah, I was just scanning the posts to see if anybody mentioned this article, and low and behold one of the people its about is on here.

      I totally agree, we most likely WILL see a reduction in channels on cable. However, we will see a dramatic increase in the number of online channels.

      Just look at how many unique net radio stations there are that target tiny slivers of markets.

      I think we will also see a differentiation between online tv shows which are linear and on demand, depending on how draconian laws get in the future.

      What I'm waiting for is a P2P technology to let you host a streaming tv station like they have for online radio stations.

      Oh, and congrats on making the Circuits section, you should frame it.

      --
      Buy Steampunk Clothing Online!
  34. Well, there's room for a network called TechTV by adzoox · · Score: 1

    Since TechTV was purchased by comcast is become nothing but a network about games and porn and the relation of the two.

    They still have lame show hosts with the repetoire of words of a Teddy Ruxpin - but at least G4 (comcasts end) brought a little more appealing looking hosts.

    G4TechTv is so bad now, I axed it from my dish and picked up DIY instead.

    --
    Yell & scream & rant & rave... it's no use... you need a shaaaave ~ Bugs Bunny
    1. Re:Well, there's room for a network called TechTV by LostCluster · · Score: 1

      TechTV's business format all-day TechLive show basically documented the failure of the .com economy as it happened in real time from April 2001 to November 2001, complete with the climax episode on 9-11-2001. On the finalie day you could see people cleaning out their desks in the background as they were being laid off, and the show abruptly ended halfway through the day going to a rerun of the previous day's TSS.

      And in short, that's part of the reason we have less TV channels today. Several marginal channels that existed at the height of the market like CNNsi and All News Channel simply folded amid the decline in advertising spending and left no replacements. Several other networks have made dramatic format shifts, such as the TNN to SpikeTV conversion. You can score G4 + TechTV as being one channel going under and using the other for spare parts... it appears that most of G4TechTV's programming day is based on G4's archive and new episodes from mostly TechTV's standing productions.

  35. 500 Channels by isorox · · Score: 1

    I@m currently watching Channel 828, which is N8 Output, and 838, N8 Omnibus. I was watching Chanell 260 earlier, News Quad 2, with Reuters, APTN, AP and EVN on. That's just on the ring main, give me a router dest and I can route about 2000 video signals to my screen!

    500 channels? Piddly.

  36. just ebb and flow.. by muel · · Score: 1

    It's a sinusoidal relationship. Companies jump at a shot to create new channels and get TV market share, only to flood the channel selection and get weeded out over time for lower ratings. Then, once TV-Darwinism slims the herd, more companies will put $ into the fray and the rise and fall of channels will occur again. Heck, even if channels are on the fall right now, they're bound to rise up once "dedicated HDTV" channels start popping up (which they have already in limited #s for the time being).

    People are certainly still watching plenty of TV, though. Heck, most net addicts I know have a TV positioned so they can surf the web and gorge on the idiocy of MTV's Newlyweds at the same time. DVDs and TVRs may chop into the amount of advertising we watch, but until a simpler, cheaper mass-market means of watching TV shows without commercials comes into play, I don't expect the current model of "choose a channel, watch some commercials and we'll entertain you" will slip anytime soon. Tivo and DVR products are certainly simple enough, but let's wait until every poor schmuck in America has one before we really forecast the death of television.

  37. 500 channel future by Synli · · Score: 1

    I'm not sure about that "500 channel future" which the TV executives were hoping for... However, I've got 632 channels right now and think I won't ever do anything else but eating, sleeping, and yes, pressing buttons on the remote...

    --

    --
    "Two things inspire me to awe -- the starry heavens above and the moral universe within." - Albert Einstein
  38. 15,286 by lightspawn · · Score: 1

    Mind you, this figure includes all channels in all countries, including channels displaying only information (weather, program guides, etc).

    Glad I could help. If you have any more questions, let me know.

  39. More Premium Channels by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There are more premium, or extra, channels it seems, and channels such as espn classic sometimes move into the extra channel category. Well, extra money paid out means im more likely to go with what i already have... I only watch the same 3 or 4 anyway.

    if the companies want us to have more money, why do they keep creating channel tiers that limit what we get with the basic service.... oh wait... dumb question

  40. Your Ovn Channel? by SharpFang · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I wonder if, when the net broadcast and broadband technologies grow some more popular, people will start 'en masse' their own homebrew TV channels. Say, a team of 10 ppl team up, and every sunday and thursday from 1PM till midnight broadcast their own TV over the net.

    1PM-2:30 - Jam Session - our band. Good non-commercial rock
    2:30-3:00 - Gamer's Box. Something about cool games we've played recently.
    3:00-3:30 - Best of Demos - our best games of the week recorded. Also tricks and tutorials.
    3:30 - 4:00 - Website Picks. Some of our favourite newly-found.
    4:00 - 5:00 - The Board! - Skateboarding on the backyard. New tricks.
    5:00 - 6:00 - Random Weirdness. (interesting stuff caught on camera by one of the guys who walks around the town with the camera a lot)
    6:00 - 6:30 - Theatre of Madness. (a show)
    6:30 - 7:00 - 20 questions. Talk show.
    7:00 - 7:30 - By Kids For Kids.
    7:30 - 8:00 - News.
    8:00 - 9:30 - Best Picks Of Old Movies (abandonware style)
    9:30 - 11:00 - More Rock
    11:00 - 12:00 - Adult Talk And More. (say, a dare to the best sluts of the school to show their stuff on TV :)

    --
    45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
    1. Re:Your Ovn Channel? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and it's all crap.

      Given the choice between an entire channel devoted to technology, and say, one half-hour programme per week, I'll chose the half-hour programme. I want to see the higgh-quality summaries, not several hours of drivel.

    2. Re:Your Ovn Channel? by patternjuggler · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Every single one of those things is easier to produce as plain text on a blog/slashdot/whatever post and easier to be consumed. It's much easier to write effectively than to acquire or be naturally gifted with the looks and clear enunciation that you would want for the video format, and reading poor writing is not nearly as bad as watching someone ugly and mumbling.

      Just ask yourself: how long would that post have taken to put together if you had to turn it into a ten minute video, and how many people would watch it compared to the number of slashdot readers who might have scanned over your +3 comment?

      I would like to see more home-brew video on the net myself, but I think the format will most likely continue to be "here's a 5-minute dramatic video we put together over the last month/year", or "here is some footage taken at today's parade/riot/natural disaster", rather than weekly productions that emulate crappy cable tv.

  41. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  42. Re:I'll tell you why. by SpaceLifeForm · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It seems that bundling actually reduces choices, and therefore reduces competition. Reminds me of MS.

    --
    You are being MICROattacked, from various angles, in a SOFT manner.
  43. All we need is 2 channels... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    One that everyone watches, and one that you need your 1337 tinfoil hat to recieve. No more static!

  44. in the future.. by spacerodent · · Score: 2, Interesting

    In the future I wouldn't be suprised to see vast number of channels as costs for having a station decrease. Right now most channels just show reruns and cheap talk shows and they do alight. The real question is going to be if the "big" channels try to push for legislation to make it more expensive for people to compete at creating a new station. Right now most of hte major stations are "family oriented" and remove anything that might be scary or objectionable from daytime lineup. The cable tv channels are much smaller and generally cater to a specific subset of the audience. Because of the internet I can see channels like these being able to target their specific subgroup much more efficiently and thus become more successful. I wouldn't be suprosed to see 500+ channels in the next 20 years.

    1. Re:in the future.. by Bishop · · Score: 1

      One of the possible benefits of digital delivery (cable, Internet, sattelite, etc) is that the cost of running a "station" could be lowered to the point where it is feasible to only run one or two hours of programming a day. When this happens we can expect to see a huge explosion of specialty stations. A good example is local news in foreign languages for recent imigrants. We should also be able to see more high quality, niche television. The producers of shows like Firefly would love to be able to sell their shows directly to the audience instead of trying to sell the show to tv station executives. Too many good shows have been cancelled not because the show was losing money, but becuase the time slot could be used to make more money.

  45. Make Better shows, not more of them by ObsessiveMathsFreak · · Score: 1

    During any given week, between ALL of the channels, there will only be 3-4 hours of quality television.
    I get about 15 channels over here, perhaps it could increase for people who get more channels, but I garauntee the increase will _NOT_ be linear.

    Most shows on TV are fairly cheap, in every sense of the word. Even when a good show come out the network usually squeezes the life out of it and then tosses the dry carcess aside.

    I think they created a lot of these new channels because they figured that more specific programming would cater to more specific people. Didn't work out. People still won't like shows just because they're on a different channel. It turns out people just want good TV, not cheap TV.

    Perhaps if the media began to create more quaility programming, rather than keep playing to the lowest common denominator, I might actually watch TV. However in recent years I've abandoned it, like I abandoned radio years ago.

    --
    May the Maths Be with you!
  46. Seems inevitable to me. by sbaker · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Given that there are a finite number of viewers - and the market is pretty much saturated, who would be the extra eyeballs to expand the market?

    Whether TV is paid for by advertising or by subscription: that finite number of people fixes the total amount of cash that's available for making programs.

    If there are more channels - then there must either be vastly more reruns - or vastly lower production costs for new shows. Neither of those are very acceptable to either viewership or advertisers - both of whom want new, high quality shows.

    I don't understand how anyone ever thought this would be a sustainable model.

    --
    www.sjbaker.org
  47. TV is dying by kyknos.org · · Score: 1

    IMHO, TV is dead technology. Why TV if broadband Internet connection is available? I didnt use TV for 5 years or more. When i want to see real quality movie I go to the cinema, everything other is better available on the Net. Looking around me, i see only old people watching TV. And unemployed people. I see no future fior TV. It will blend with the Net probably anytime soon.

    --

    SHE does throw dice.
  48. 500 channels is why commercials suck so bad by ilmdba · · Score: 1

    my boss from england enlightened me to this.

    the reason why there are now such crap ads on TV is because of the proliferation of channels. there are so many channels that are hurting for advertising revenue, that they'll put anything on.

  49. I knew somebody would realize this. by Tatarize · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Yeah, it stands to reason that a central server and place the box and recording stuff back somewhere else. Then rather than channels there will be giant lists of every episode of certain shows. Such as what if I want to watch the old show "Freaks and Geeks". From an econimic standpoint there is a demand for this show, but, not enough to dedicate a channel to it.

    In the future, I'll be able to just request this show. And only a few things will be real-time. Also, filler crud will be worthless. No sence ramping up to bogus stuff. If I order a movie from pay per view (commercial free), I'll have access to it as long as I have my sat service.

    There won't be commercials. I'll just pay like 5-10 cents to order up an episode of an old show. $1 dollar for a crappy old movie. $3 dollars for a crappy newer movie. But, once I order it I'll get access to it whenever. Or order entire seasons of shows for like $2 or so.
    I could just tell it I want to watch every episode of Babylon 5, and just veg out for a few days.

    As a side note, if you know where to go to download stuff, it's kinda like this now. I don't actually have TV but I watch all the shows I want, when I want. Just save me the bandwidth of bothering and charge me a dime.

    --

    It is no longer uncommon to be uncommon.
  50. THANK GOD!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    TV is one of the worst things to happen to the world. The average American has an attention span of about seven minutes. Why? Because it is about about seven minutes between commercial breaks on TELEVISION!

    Combine this with the mentally retarding content and you get a public that buys M$ products.

    Kill your TV!

    1. Re:THANK GOD!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey!

      I watch a lot of TV and my attention span isn't...

      uuuhhh.....

      What were we talking about?

  51. Many channels will die, a few may stay for a while by antispam_ben · · Score: 1

    as luddite couch potatoes upgrade to digital TV and such. But more and more shows will be net-downloadable, either from those who produce the shows (like PPV, but it'll be "pay per stream" as well as selling DVD's of the show), or as pirated editions, much like mp3's have been in recent years. Such shows won't need traditional broadcast or cable "channels" because the Internet is becoming more and more of a content distribution channel.

    TV, computers and the Internet may well merge soon, when you can schedule Tivo to record a show with the remote and you don't have to know whether it's delivered over cable TV or DSL.

    --
    Tag lost or not installed.
  52. I know... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    forty-two.

  53. Content!!! by Riturno · · Score: 3, Interesting

    While we will probably be able to see anything we want at any time in the not too distant future, the compelling reason to even plant one's butt in the chair is often missing.

    Content! If there is no appealing content, there is no reason to watch. Even some that is appealing is only marginally so.

    Even some of the 'educational' programs that I like suffer from the same issues as the local news.
    1) They tell me what they are going to tell me.
    2) Tell me.
    3) Tell me what they've told me.
    Really, you only need to tell me once. In my opinion, what is limiting 500 channels is that there really aren't 500 channels worth of content.

    Don't even get me started on Fox's decision on Firefly.

    1. Re:Content!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's being taught in schools these days as good style both for essays and speech. Never mind that you don't see, for example, presidential speech writers using it.

      Personally, I see the main problem with television being that many of the shows just last too long. I've lost count of the number of shows that are really very good for the first season (for some, change that to first episode) and there's a good opportunity that the writers could exploit to end the show while it is still good. Of course, by that time the show has become popular, the network wants to have more of it to sell more ads, and the show just drags on, by which time I've long since stopped watching (meaning I'm not seeing the ads anyway).

      If execs want more channels of programming and more advertising revenue, they should be investing in shows that have a clear beginning, an interesting middle, and most importantly, an ending in one or two seasons. When the show is over, pull it from the air, put on another short running show, sell DVDs of the first show, then put it out for syndication.

  54. MOD UP by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Precisely. I really want to watch this year's Tour de France. However, is is aired on OLN, a channel that is deep in my local cable provider's digital lineup. In order to get that, I would have to fork over the $ for a digital cable package I couldn't possibly care for AND pay $ to lease the digital cable box. Yes, lease it.

    I considered asking a friend to record the TdF broadcasts but decided the hell with it. I'm now considering dropping cable TV altogether and repurposing my MythTV HTPC for something else. Not even the fun of running a MythTV box is worth what I see (or don't see) on TV anymore.

  55. TV is obsolete by mabu · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Unless the major media find some way of controlling the Internet, television will become obsolete. Nobody trusts the networks to deliver objective news; 99.9% of the stuff on television is crap.

    The Internet gives people the ability to get what they want when they want, kind of like Tivo, but as innovative as Tivo is, it's still at the mercy of the cable companies who continue to wrestle for control over what the viewer should have access to.

    As soon as the technology makes video-on-demand more practical and homogenous, TV will die, as will the major networks.

    Then we'll employ sophisticated content distribution schemes, similar in nature to RSS allowing users to create their own "channel" of content they are interested in. By the time corporate america realizes that this is a formidible force, it will be too late, but then the fearmongering will begin: regulation, control, jockeying for manipulation of the backbones and NAPs, but still end users will (hopefully) fight for their right to publish and get whatever content they want online.

  56. What I watch now... by Rai · · Score: 1

    I don't spend much time watching TV. I have a small set near my computer and I mainly use it for background when I'm surfing (like now.) More channels is always a good thing, provided it doesn't raise my cable bill too much. But no matter what's offered, I'll probably stick to my usual watching habits.

    The History Channel - 90% of my TV time.
    Comedy Central - for Reno 911, Chappelle's Show, The Daily Show, etc.
    FX - I never miss The Shield. It's not an option :)
    Fox - I try to catch the Simpsons and That 70's Show.

    I'm also interested in The Horror Channel. Maybe one day, my local provider will carry it.

    1. Re:What I watch now... by Osty · · Score: 1

      FX - I never miss The Shield. It's not an option

      Gotta watch Nip/Tuck, too!


      Fox - I try to catch the Simpsons and That 70's Show.

      Don't forget 24, the only thing worth watching on Fox, between all of the "reality" crap shows and cartoons far past their prime (Simpsons, King of the Hill). Too bad the next season won't start for another 4 or 5 months. I'm still waiting for Season 3 to be released on DVD.


      Add in Speed (gotta have the Speed World Challenge Touring Car and GT races, though I could do without all the Nascar crap), HBO (Sopranos, Six Feet Under, excellent mini-series like Band of Brothers, Carnivale, and Deadwood), and Discovery (American Chopper, oh yeah!) and that's pretty much all I need on TV. Give me those channels and in HD, and I'm happy. (HBO has been in HD for a couple years, Fox has been available for 7 months or so, and Discovery just moved to HD on Comcast in the past few days, so I'm pretty much there :) Speed and FX in HD are all I need now.)

  57. In the future, tv: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    none

  58. worth to see by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There would be only one channel: FOX, drama, comedy, porn, soft porn, hard core porn, superbowl, nhl, wbna and the redneck games (bound to displace the olympics)

  59. Re:I'll tell you why. by pvcf · · Score: 1

    Tell me about it...

    Here in South Africa we have just had the Sci-Fi channel cancelled as of July 1st because it is no longer financially viable in Southern Africa.

    What would they put on 500 channels? I can already choose from about 6 24-hour news channels that are all showing the same footage of the latest big event.

    Will 80 or so 24-hour news channels really be useful?

    Furthermore, as you pointed out, the niche channels can't get enough viewers because the appeal isn't broad enough. (Hence the term "niche" I guess :-). In order to have broader appeal the niche channels end up expanding their coverage until they start to clash. I find there is quite a bit of overlap in programming between Discovery, History, Nat. Geo. and the Learning Channel.

    Oh look, the Discovery Channel has a spot on "Extreme Engineering - Bridges". And what's on History? The building of the Golden Gate Bridge. Go figure.

    --
    F U NE X N M? Son: "Dad... How do you spell 'hourly'?" Dad: "0 * * * *"
  60. Re:I'll tell you why. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    I would rather have a system that groups by shows instead of channels...

  61. Cable TV Companys by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Cable TV Companys are ripoffs, especially in small to medium sized towns where they are the only available service, (monopoly?) (basic cable is about 40 bucks a month)

    for basic cable (no HBO & etc) i get channels 2 thru 62 with a few missing inbetween for the primo channels available for extra - (HBO & etc)

    or i can get digital cable and get about 120 channels for more money (55 bucks a month) and add HBO & etc for more money...

    these kinds of companys are after one thing $$$ and more $$$$$$, they are all the same -interested in one thing $$$$$$ companys like cable TV service, Telephone serivce, and an un-named software company headquarted in Redmond Wa. that has problems with thier web browser on a regular basis...

  62. that's easy! by randyest · · Score: 1

    Too many.

    Or not enough.

    Depending on your habits. :)

    Seriously -- personally, I expect the concept of "channel" in general to wane. People want shows. Not channels, "line-ups," or must-see crapfests where several crappy shows try to slide in on the coattails of the decent one.

    Note the popularity of downloading specific show episodes (suprnova is a great example, and there are dozens more with amazing levels of specialization.)

    Why should anyone care about the channels themselves, much less the count? It's the shows we watch, not the channels.

    Think about it.

    --
    everything in moderation
  63. TV and Commercials! DVD, Theater... by Venner · · Score: 1
    For movies, I go to the theater or rent/buy a DVD. The latter allow me to watch when I want and even pause if I need a break for an incoming phone call or to go to the toilet or refrigerator.


    And the cinema/DVDs are (ostensibly) commercial free. Hurray! Although, in the last year or so, I've gone to a couple of theaters I don't normally go to and have seen a crapload of commercials aired before the movie. @#&*%@#

    Commercials are the reason I gave up TV. I despise advertising. If I want information on a new product, I'll go out and look for it. And that was about 6 years ago...from what I've seen, the situation has only gotten worse. Not to mention the plague that is reality TV. Remainds me of how the Romans got their kicks, shortly before their empire collapsed.

    Occasionally, I still turn on PBS or, if I'm at my parents' (who have DirecTV), I'll watch Turner Classic Movies, etc. Commercial free.

    As an aside, I did a marketing survey for a friend's girlfriend, who was in college studying marketing [God-have-mercy-on-her-soul.] She told me that the result was that traditional advertising had about a 6% effectiveness on me, by the test's rating system. I'm an advertiser's worst nightmare :-)
    --
    A preposition is a terrible thing to end a sentence with.
  64. Sounds like a lot of work by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    nt

    1. Re:Sounds like a lot of work by SharpFang · · Score: 4, Interesting

      With team of, say, 20 people it would be possible.
      There are already multiple webcast radios like that. For now the technology is the worst barrier for moving from sound to video, but it seems like the most obvious next step. Work? Sure. Start lower profile, 3-4h once a week, gain some fans, more people will join in, extend it, get sponsors, maybe grow into a real station...

      --
      45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
  65. How many channels? Zero by sakusha · · Score: 1

    There won't be ANY channels in the future. There will be programming sources we'd probably consider as networks under today's standards, but there won't be broadcast schedules with programs being shown at specific times of day. It will all be on-demand programming, eventually.

  66. Content by leon.gandalf · · Score: 1

    Well how about some good content on the existing channels? How about a Sci-Fi channel with little actual SCI-FI. Animal Planet and the Discovery channel line up show the SAME 5 episodes OVER AND OVER... Gets OLD quick.

  67. Only one... by dlleigh · · Score: 1

    Gates TV: All Bill all the time!

  68. Re:I'll tell you why. by w42w42 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Congress has talked about doing away with bundling, letting subscribers pick and choose channels. If that happens, watch the crud channels die away as no one subscribes to them - accentuating this apparent trend of fewer channels.

    The ironic part is that those channels that may not get the audience now may in the future under a law like this thrive, driving other channels out.

    Something else that I find ironic is such a scheme would promote a free market in cable channels - quality would matter again. If Congress doesn't pass this law though I suspect it will only be because of contributions from 'free market' capitalists heading these cable companies.

  69. sorry? we've already passed 500...... by TheRealJFM · · Score: 1

    alright not on the normal scale, but sattelite TV carries over 600 in the UK, and the number keeps going up. 200 of them are free. Since the government intends to switch of analogue TV entirely by 2010, it is likely that the number of channels on the Freeview (free DTV-Terrestrial) platform will reach 60. The key thing is this: the expansion of TV channels has the possibility of being huge, the expansion of TV networks cannot be. If you expect the audience to be spread more and more among the number of channels, then to make money from advertising revenue you need more channels. More capacity = more channels wanted. More chanels = less revenue per channel = more channels to get revenue. Extra choice is mainly an illusion, since the channels will still have the same budget, and so therefore the good programmes will be spread out among more channels. Expect more reality TV and reruns. To demonstrate against what I know. UK Analogue TV = BBC1 BBC2 iTV1 C4 five UK Digital TV = 8 BBC Channels: 1,2,3 and 4 News 24 and 2 kids 3 iTV Channels: 1,2 and News (also iTV 3 has been anounced) 2 C4 channels: C4, E4 (also More4 has been announced) my point is that as more channels appear, most of them will be from networks that already operate with less channels on main tv there is not that much more choice to be had on digital tv, just more choice as to when you view it if this is to become the only reason for more tv channels (more time choice) then I expect once we reach about 200 channels that everyone can get (either Sattelite becomes standard, or the Freeview DTV-T gets more channels) then yes, it'll become unrealistic to offer more channels, and TV-on-demand will be the thing. I don't know, but I like live tv, because you can discover programmes that you wouldn't normally watch but are good just by turning on the TV, and some shows will only work "live".

    --
    Joseph Farthing
    http://josephfarthing.com
    1. Re:sorry? we've already passed 500...... by TheRealJFM · · Score: 1

      !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
      Sorry, I formatted my last message wrong.
      If your gonna mod up that message, mod this one up instead!
      !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

      alright not on the normal scale, but sattelite TV carries over 600 in the UK, and the number keeps going up.

      200 of them are free.

      Since the government intends to switch of analogue TV entirely by 2010, it is likely that the number of channels on the Freeview (free DTV-Terrestrial) platform will reach 60.

      The key thing is this: the expansion of TV channels has the possibility of being huge, the expansion of TV networks cannot be.

      If you expect the audience to be spread more and more among the number of channels, then to make money from advertising revenue you need more channels.

      More capacity = more channels wanted.
      More chanels = less revenue per channel = more channels to get revenue.
      Extra choice is mainly an illusion, since the channels will still have the same budget, and so therefore the good programmes will be spread out among more channels. Expect more reality TV and reruns.

      To demonstrate against what I know.

      UK Analogue TV =

      BBC1
      BBC2
      iTV1
      C4
      five

      UK Digital TV =

      8 BBC Channels:
      1,2,3 and 4
      News 24 and 2 kids

      3 iTV Channels:
      1,2 and News (also iTV 3 has been anounced)

      2 C4 channels:
      C4, E4 (also More4 has been announced)

      my point is that as more channels appear, most of them will be from networks that already operate with less channels on main tv

      there is not that much more choice to be had on digital tv, just more choice as to when you view it

      if this is to become the only reason for more tv channels (more time choice) then I expect once we reach about 200 channels that everyone can get (either Sattelite becomes standard, or the Freeview DTV-T gets more channels) then yes, it'll become unrealistic to offer more channels, and TV-on-demand will be the thing.

      I don't know, but I like live tv, because you can discover programmes that you wouldn't normally watch but are good just by turning on the TV, and some shows will only work "live".

      --
      Joseph Farthing
      http://josephfarthing.com
  70. asking the wrong questions.. by ryen · · Score: 1

    maybe you should ask "do we really need TV as much in the future?"

  71. Cable companies by jokach · · Score: 1

    Maybe now since the number of channels has come to a plateau, so will the cost of cable. The price to keep all 100+ channels on my dial (most of which I never watch) has gone up 45% in the last 2 years, and theres still nothing on ...

  72. 100 channels and nothing's on by Secrity · · Score: 1

    Without gettting the extra digital channels, the local cable system has about 83 channels. Of these 83 channels, 24 channels are cable local origination, Spanish language, Infomercial, Program Information, and Religious channels. This leaves 59 channels that most people would watch, which includes the local broadcast channels and CSPAN. Even with 59 channels, there is frequently nothing on that is worth watching. Starting sometime during the night and ending about 0600, almost every one of the 59 channels has infomercials on them. The cable company inserts infomercials on off-the-air channels and many of the cable networks go to infomercials in the wee hours of the morning. I haven't figured out the number of non-infomercial English language network programming available during a week, but I am sure that the number will be a fraction of what would appear to be available based upon the number of channels that we appear to receive.

  73. Addendum by Venner · · Score: 1

    Just thought I should add, not all TV is as attrocious as reality TV. I love Stargate SG-1, for example. I just don't like to watch it on Sci-Fi and have 5 minute interruptions every 10 minutes. (Well, wouldn't if I subscribed to cable/satellite.) I download all the newer episodes and own several seasons on DVD.

    Which actually brings me to another point. I know a lot of people who spend an extra $15 dollars a much just to watch, say, the Sorpranos. Now, If you didn't subscribe to HBO, you could use the same money to buy and own those episodes on DVD. Oh well.

    --
    A preposition is a terrible thing to end a sentence with.
  74. Re:I'll tell you why. by Jardine · · Score: 1

    Because you have to buy tv channels in packages, and the strange niche ones don't get included until you are paying like $100 a month, which not many people want to pay.

    The local cable provider where I live allows you to get digital channels seperately (analog channels are still only available in packages). The requirements are that you have basic cable ($24/month) and a digital cable box ($8.95/month). Then you can get as many digital channels ($2.50/month/each) as you want. Or you can get more channels at a lower rate per channel. This is what they really want. The more services you buy from them, the more of a discount you get overall.

  75. Oh my aching eyeballs! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Who the fuck wants to watch TV when every hour is filled with 25 minutes of some dancing seagulls selling car wash, yokels yelling at me to buy their soap, and other such drivel.

    I was watching a movie on TBS, commercial break came on, so I lit a smoke, pulled up AisleRiot - finished the smoke, finished the game, and the damn commercials were still running.

    TV Execs - find a better avenue of revenue or watch the product (our eyes) disappear - we've had enough of your shit.

  76. the explanation by Demon+of+the+fall · · Score: 1
    Quote from the PVRblog post:

    Average Number Of TV Channels Receivable
    <snip>
    2002 102.1
    2003 100.4

    I can see an easy explanation to why this number has stopped at about 100... People simply don't want more than 100 (or 99) channels to avoid having to press THREE buttons on their remotes to select channel.

    Besides, who has the energy to hit "channel+" 100+ times to cycle through them all?

    --
    Be an elitist - read Slashdot at +4.
  77. My tv for a working "brightness" knob! by slashname3 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    More channels?

    I'm still waiting for a brightness knob that actually works. The vast majority of shows and channels in general are garbage.

    And have you noticed that a lot of the ads are resembling on line spam more and more? How about a version of spamassassin for the tv?

    Personally I believe there will be a fundamental change in tv in the next 10 years. Digital recorders will make it easier to capture just the shows you are interested in (hopefully with a nice feature to automatically eleminate any ads). As such the idea of a "channel" may start to disappear. Rarely are there two shows back to back that are worth watching. And for movies I usually wait for them to come out on DVD and buy that instead of going to the movies or waiting for it to come out on HBO or one of the other pay channels. This allows me to watch the movie when and where I want.

    So with DVR's allowing us to record and view broadcast episodic shows at will and DVD's providing a better movie experience the standard broadcast TV stations will have to learn new tricks.

    I can only hope that this will lead to actual higher quality shows (possibly with out ads) which enough people will be willing to pay for on a per episode basis. Almost like waiting to buy the DVD of your favorite TV show such as Stargate SG-1.

    1. Re:My tv for a working "brightness" knob! by sanctimonius+hypocrt · · Score: 1

      How about a version of spamassassin for the tv?

      TV is more and more like a bad web site. What`s next, pop-ups? I`ll try to turn off the TV, but it won`t actually shut down until the ads finish cycling. "37 minutes of sponsor-provided content must be viewed prior to shutdown..."

      Does Tivo come with a filter to take out all that blinking/flashing screen trash? Logo in the bottom right, ad for an up-coming show bottom left, stock ticker(s), side-bar, and in the remaining screen space, a slow zoom to Zacharias Moussaqi, glaring menacingly.

      Ultimately, it doesn`t matter. Maybe it`s creeping senescence, but by the time the commercials are over I`ve lost the thread of the plot anyway.

      "Now, who`s she?"

      "That`s the fungus demon; Now, shh!"


    2. Re:My tv for a working "brightness" knob! by randyest · · Score: 1

      ...in the next 10 years. Digital recorders will make it easier to capture just the shows you are interested in (hopefully with a nice feature to automatically eleminate any ads).

      ReplayTV already does this.

      --
      everything in moderation
  78. Always will be a place for channels by BlueOtto · · Score: 1

    Compare this to the state of radio today. There are many people now who love to download/buy/rip the content themselves and set up their own playlists, but there are still others who just like the convenience of using the "playlists" already set up for them-- radio stations. Likewise, in the future, I think people will be able to download/buy/rip tv shows, while others will just want to lay back and flip on the tube and take in whatever the stations feed them.

  79. The channel concept is outmoded by arashiakari · · Score: 1

    When I flip on the web there are as many channels as there are websites. If I want a channel I register my domain name and set up hosting - BOOM - direct to consumer "channel" that I completely control. Technology and savvy consumers have leapfrogged television concepts.

  80. Re:I'll tell you why. by LostCluster · · Score: 2, Insightful

    However, pay-per-channel would case some of the crammed-on spinoff networks such as NickToons, Cartoon Network's Boomerang, and ESPNews to falter. There just wouldn't be enough demand for those to continue.

    Sure, some new niche networks would form based on demand, but others that nobody asked for would be checking out.

  81. I don't know.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ..how many IP addresses will there be?

  82. Network Television will become Internet Television by yellowstone · · Score: 1
    The TV Networks have the same problem as Record Companies -- increasing network bandwidth are making them unecessary middlemen.

    Who needs CBS, if I can just tune my tv to hdtv://csi.tv/latest-episode?

    (Implementation of the hdtv: protocol is left as an exercise for the interested reader).

    --
    150 Opening BINARY mode data connection for slashdot.sig (129323052 bytes).
  83. Kill your TV by barista · · Score: 1

    I've done without TV for years now. I have a TV set that I use to play games and watch videos, but the only time I 'watch TV' is for the SuperBowl and the Oscars (I like good films).

    In general, pretty much everything on TV is crap. If the cable companies offered true a la carte service, so I could get only the 2 or 3 channels I want without having to pay 50 I don't, then I might reconsider.

  84. Same with any dying industry by fermion · · Score: 2, Funny
    Probably the same as the number of opera houses, or vaudeville theathers, or movie theaters, or radio shows. They will still exist. And the very young, very old, or simply nostalgic, will think them groovy.

    'Oh, a tv. Can we watch a while!'
    'No, dear, we better just leave quietly. I hear that it makes you fat.'

    --
    "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
  85. I don't know what it will be by melted · · Score: 3, Insightful

    But here's what it has to be in order for me to pay money for satellite/cable:
    1. Channels are sold "a la carte". If I want only Discovery and Food Network I should be able to purchase just them.
    2. Paid (i.e. non-free) channels DO NOT air commercials. You can't have it both ways, folks. Either make the programming free or don't air commercials.
    3. Pay per view stuff is a BUCK per movie, not 4.95. Set the price at whatever you want for events (sports, etc.), but movies can be rented locally on DVD for a buck a night. Therefore $4.95 is an unreasonable price.

    1. Re:I don't know what it will be by MagicDude · · Score: 1

      Commercials pay for the content of a channel. They're how the networks make money. The money you pay to your cable/satelite provider is what allows you to get the programming the networks provide. You gotta pay for the upkeep of satelites and cable networks and such. If you remember back to the 70's and early 80's, you could get network programming for free, but you had to fiddle with the rabbit ears to pick up the transmission.

    2. Re:I don't know what it will be by Lord_Dweomer · · Score: 1
      Well, unfortunately for you it will never be that cheap until something big comes along that persuades the industry as a whole to drop prices. The reason why is there are simply too many people willing to pay the current asking price, so they have absolutely no reason to drop it. This is the same reason that argument is pointless for downloading music off the net, although the climate has changed enough where its actually starting to happen.

      Perhaps P2P will do the same for tv?

      --
      Buy Steampunk Clothing Online!
  86. Studio Execs, as always, are clueless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Clueless studio execs are always years behind the times.

    They don't get it. What we want is to be able to push a button and episode 28 of "I Dream of Jeannie" plays. Then after that, we push a button and Star Trek episode 52 plays.

    Find a way to show us a commercial while we are doing that and they are back in the saddle again. Hell, since they will know who is logging in to do the download, they can better target the ads and never again does a MALE have to see a tampon commercial. So they would actually be MORE EFFICIENT and their sponsers will love that and pay more!

    Channels exist because in the old days, it was the only way to do it. Now there are better ways but as always the studio suits are used to doing it the old way and can not even conceive of it changing.

    They should adapt their business models to modern realities and modern consumer expectations and stop crying. (And above all stop sending their bought-and-paid-for lapdogs like Orrin Hatch to Washington to burn the Bill of Rights in order to protect obsolete media business models.)

    1. Re:Studio Execs, as always, are clueless by mikael · · Score: 1

      They don't get it. What we want is to be able to push a button and episode 28 of "I Dream of Jeannie" plays. Then after that, we push a button and Star Trek episode 52 plays.

      If people could do that, what's to stop them viewing every episode of a particular series, recording it to PVR, making MPEG's/DVD's and never watching the channel again?

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
  87. The Death of Passive Entertainment by hajihill · · Score: 1

    TV has been obsolete for a while now, and I for one am better of for it, at least slightly. The internet can be almost as absorptive an activity, and not much better in many respects, but is at the very least an active, as opposed to purely passive activity. In my case, no TV for about 5 yrs now has done wonders for my ability to think independently, and has the added benefit of creating a cultural rift between myself and the failing american infrastructure. Really though... What will happen when we all have to begin deciding what culture means to each of us, and the common bond of toilet-duck, and budweiser commercials is no longer there to cement our social tendencies and enforce a common slang? Will we be forced to have enhanced vocabularies and proper grammar? Will we be more likely to draw our own conclusions about things, or will there still be some sort of streaming central media to guide our fragile minds along and prevent social dysfunction? I, for one, would consider it a marked improvement if people were forced to seek out more interesting topics of conversation than Buffy's most recent exploits, and/or which one of the "Friends" is pregnant this week. Then again, I'm comfortable building, and revising my own values, and worldviews on any subject I come across. Will the majority ever be comfortable with this practice?

    --
    Of blankness, I know nothing.
  88. Re:TV and Commercials! DVD, Theater... by scupper · · Score: 1

    I think commercials are the underlying reason people are tuning out and finding other ways to get entertainment or news. Networks have simply gone off the deep end, and for a 1 hour scheduled show, nearly 22 minutes of it is commercials.

    What really gets my goat is that if you **PAY** for cable or satellite, which has to be 90% of us, you're **PAYING** to watch commercials, which under the model I understood to be "commercial television", commercials are supposed to be **PAYING** for the programming.

    Seems like you're paying twice, once for access, and again for your time to endure the commercial. There are predictable stations that seem more like demo DVD/VHS sales stations rather than full fledged broadcast stations. Discovery Channel(s), History Channel and Sci-Fi seem more like .5-1 hr. ads for VHS/DVDs of their productions.

    There have to be twice as many commercials on those "networks" than with say TNT, USA, AMC. Plus they have commercials plugging other shows. How many times in a 30 min scheduled viewing period must you be reminded that in the next half hour, Show X or Y will be 'Coming up next!" Once, twice? Try 4-5 times.

    I can't really complain though since TV commercials have driven me to spend more time here :)

  89. Channals are a dying form of distribution by maggard · · Score: 4, Interesting
    TV channels will probably die as a concept as the whole "broadcast" thang slowly dies. However the Network corporations will likely survive just fine as funding and marketing engines, just delivering their material over any sort of medium they can make money off of.

    What will die along with this will be the 30-second stand-alone commercial. Instead product placement will probably become dynamic like the virtual billboards now shown in stadiums (ie the soda can in the hand of the star will appear to be whatever beverage bid highest for that slot in that market.) Or more tie-ins: "Click *here* to buy the soundtrack to this episode!", "Click *here* to buy the outfits" & "Click *here* to book a vacation here!"...

    Another obvious revenue source will be more subscription services. However instead of buying blocks of programming in the form of channels the market will probably move on down to the program level. Want to watch the first run of "Star Trek: The Series XXIII"? That'll be a buck on your bill. Tomorrow it'll be half that and next week will be the freebie broadcast.

    An advantage of this will be the ability of really niche programming to become a la carte.

    For instance I've had my TiVo waiting a few years for a rebroadcast of Gerry & Sylvia Anderson's 70's British TV show "UFO" (the series bridging "Thunderbirds" & "Space 1999"). However hopefully in tomorrow's TV universe I'll be able to get it distributed when I want for a few bucks, or cheaper if I'm willing to be put on a wait list and get it once a critical mass of subscribers have signed up.

    That sort of fan-base marketing could become very important. Small time productions that used to never get beyond their own community will slowly become available to more folks. Want to watch the local access programming in the Madeleine Islands? Sure, that'll be $5, they'll make back $1. "Wayne's World" will be open to everyone.

    But "channels"? That'll be so old-school, like "long distance calls" and "analog media".

    --
    I don't read ACs: If a post isn't worth so much as a nom de plume to its author then I wont bother either.
    1. Re:Channals are a dying form of distribution by v01d · · Score: 1

      Anonymous Cowards filtered. If their words aren't worth so much as a pen name why should I value them any more?

      Because your words apparently are worth a pen name, but still mananged to be completely worthless. It logically follows that pen names aren't worth anything.

    2. Re:Channals are a dying form of distribution by HarveyBirdman · · Score: 1
      For instance I've had my TiVo waiting a few years for a rebroadcast of Gerry & Sylvia Anderson's 70's British TV show "UFO" (the series bridging "Thunderbirds" & "Space 1999"). However hopefully in tomorrow's TV universe I'll be able to get it distributed when I want for a few bucks, or cheaper if I'm willing to be put on a wait list and get it once a critical mass of subscribers have signed up.

      Here you go. It's a bit spendy, but then you have it for all time. Pride of ownership, and all that.

      UFO Megaset!

      Personally, I heavily dug season 1, but season 2 got a bit silly.

      --
      --- Ban humanity.
  90. converter by aaron_ds · · Score: 1

    Now I just need to build a channel-to-girlfriend converter and I'll be set!

  91. Nullsoft TV by microbrewer · · Score: 1

    Just have a look at Nullsoft TV wonder how many more people will create thier own content on the Web.

    http://www.nytimes.com/2004/07/01/technology/cir cu its/01tube.html

  92. Re:I'll tell you why. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Bundled channels are easier to manage for the cable company, unless you have an addressable settop box. These boxes cost quite a lot of money. I don't expect congress to pass a law that will require your cable company to install a box for every person that wants 4 major networks and 1 or 2 extra.
    Now that I think about it - the cost will just be past on to the subscriber.

  93. Too Many by Master+of+Transhuman · · Score: 4, Interesting

    If there's one.

    What the hell IS a "channel"? Just another metaphor for a file folder?

    Oh, yeah, I can dig having a "Sci-Fi Channel", a "Playboy Channel", a whatever, to some degree. At least I know the overall genre it refers to. But a CBS? An ABC? An NBC? A TNN? What the hell is that? A conglomeration of crap mixed in with one or two (if we're lucky) useful media.

    Someone once told me while window browsing, "I'm always amazed at how much stuff I DON'T want to buy." The same is true of the media. Obviously someone wants to buy it because it gets made and sold. But then most humans are morons, so this is no surprise.

    It's a database issue. I want to find the stuff I like and ignore the stuff I don't. Give me a database with appropriate metadata, a good - REALLY good - search function, and links. Screw channels.

    --
    Richard Steven Hack - This sig is TOO GODDAMN SHORT TO DO ANYTHING USEFUL WITH! MORONS!
    1. Re:Too Many by squaretorus · · Score: 1

      I see your point. However. BBC2 shows comedy on a Monday night that is usually less mainstream than the comedy shown on CHannel4 on a Friday night. Any comedy thats on Sky One will end up on Channel4 within the year if its good - never if its bad. Quirky / niche stuff will be shown post midnight on 2 or 4. Anything on BBC1 is shit. Anything on ITV1 is shit.

      The channels help me filter.

      ITV says 'middle of the road safe family crap' better than any meta data the producers will volunteer!

  94. Feeder system by gordgekko · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I don't know about other people, but I view channels simply as a feeder system. I have a long list of shows that I've programmed into my VCR to tape and I watch what I want when I have the time. For people with PVRs and the ability to record programs the system might think you're interested in, it must be an even better way of watching television.

    I honestly believe that quality of the best programs has risen further than anything we had in the past but that the average quality has gone down because of all the channels that have to be filled up, obviously creating a situation where a lot of dreck is being produced. Under that paradigm, there is no reason to even bother with the notion of 'channels'.

    If you watch TV as I and PVR owners do, then there are obviously a lot of channels you have no need for. Women's TV? Spanish/Italian/French etc channels? E!? Sorry, don't need them, don't want 'em. I could ditch half the channels I have and wouldn't even notice.

    I probably haven't explained myself clearly but I think that's one reason why the number of channels people are subscribing to are shrinking.

    --
    You want to know who isn't running Firefox 2.x? They spell it "definately" and "rediculous".
  95. Re:I'll tell you why. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But the niche channels try to be all things. A science fiction centric channel should stick with science fiction and worry about their core viewership. What did SciFi channel do? Cut their original shows, come up with a bunch of lame "reality shows" involving dreams and scaring people, etc.

    I think it's brain drain. TV networks are still run as pure businesses; most creative people are going into other arenas, like online content and gaming. While the immediate affects may be good, the networks lose market share to other more responsive outlets.

    People migrate to channels as they get used to them. TV networks have forgotten this. The only channel I've seen that seems to "get it" and stick to their formula are the WB and Turner networks (TNT, TBS, Turner Classic movies), and they still manage to make really odd decisions (e.g. Angel and Buffy for the WB).

    The new networks seem to have this insane obsession with mixing things up to get viewers. This may happen, but it typically alienates the viewer that is already watching, so you get abandoned and categorized as flakey in your content as well as scheduling.

    A simple example of this is when SciFi networks abandoned a flagship show, Farscape, because they were trying to gain female viewers. While admirable, they forgot that there are 24 hours in a day and they could do multiple things and gain more viewers by compounding their assets. They didn't have to trade off one show for another, yet they did.

    So they pissed off the Farscape viewers, which actually had a good number of the female audience they were driving for, annoyed their male audience, who are the predominate viewers of science fiction in general, and just utterly mucked things up. Their saving grace is that they latched onto the Stargate series but are pumping that for all it's worth and it was not, until recently, original to their channel; they've hardly put out much original content that's worthwhile (the 2nd Dune series and Battleship Galactica (which wasn't all that bad) are the only exceptions I can think of, but they were all mini series, not many good original shows).

  96. just one by WhiteDragon · · Score: 1

    and viewing will be mandatory.

    --
    Did you mount a military-grade, variable-focus MASER on an unlicensed artificial intelligence?
    1. Re:just one by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, you know about the Microsoft channel?

  97. Re:I'll tell you why. by babbage · · Score: 1

    Ok, so set up themed packages.

    I have no interest in sports. I would be happy not to have any sports networks. I would, on the other hand, enjoy a suite of comercial-free movie channels (Sundance, IFC, TCM, etc), but basic Comcast cable in my town has lots of sports and -- with the exception of AMC (which seems to have started running channels some time in the past few years [is it obvious I'm not a frequent teevee watcher?] and so doesn't appeal as much as it used to) -- no movie channels.

    Likewise, I could do without Fox "News", though I'd be willing to have them along with a suite of similer info-tainment channels (CNN, MSNBC, BBC News in a perfect world, C-SPAN, etc). My wife loves the home improvement & home makeover channels (since when did TLC not show perpetual reruns of James Burke's "Connections" series [really, is it obvious that I'm not a teeveee watcher? when did they kick him off the air and turn into the "all home makeovers all the time" channel?]), so she'd be interested in a package of those networks.

    *****

    In other words, there may be a middle ground between the channel package system we have now -- in which most people end up paying lots of money to subsidize many channels they don't want in order to get a couple of channels they do -- and the possibly untenable situation you describe -- where everything is a la carte and, while cheaper, it's likely that spinofff channels would have a real challenge.

    With themed clusters of channels -- sports, news, movies, music, home life (home improvement, cooking), children, international (non-English channels for immigrant communities), etc -- people would be able to get the kinds of channels they want and new channels would have ready audiences.

    I'm curious what the bottleneck is preventing these sorts of things. Is there a technical issue, where (say) bandwidth consideration in putting all these channel packs on the same trunk of subscription lines, or is the barrier simply economical & logistic on the business end of the cable companies?

  98. Packaging, packaging, packaging ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Cost per regular cable channel at Shaw Cable in Edmonton, Albert, Canada (within package of 65 channels called Full Cable Service): $0.66 CAD/mo.

    Cost for ATN, a specialty Hindi language station sold separately: $14.95 CAD/mo.

    There are several forces working against all the things most folks would like to see: low cable pricing, individual channel ordering and higher quality programming.

    The most important is that a handful of broadcasters supply all the programming. For example, A&E, Discovery (all 5), History, TLC, etc. are all providing by one broadcaster and this broadcaster cuts 'deals' with Shaw to buy all their channels en masse.

    With regards to price, is Shaw going to sell these individually to subscribers? Not likely, or they will find that a few of them are dead ducks taking up valuable space on the dial and not creating income. Make everyone pay for them and you ensure that you get your money's worth from your investment in programming from the broadcaster. From the user's perspective, paying 0.66/mo for a bunch of channels, some of which you watch and some you don't, is likely a heck of a lot more cost effective than paying 14.95 a channel for the six you do watch individually.

    With regards to selection, packaging everything means that specialty channels with too few subscribers to keep them viable are still in the dial. Allow everyone to pick and choose and pretty soon we end up with nothing but Warner affiliates and the NFL on Sunday because they are the only channels with enough subscribers to stay alive.

    With regards to quality, having all those channels supplied by one broadcaster means that to maximize their investment, they will run the same show on as many channels as they can handle. This lowers the cost of the broadcasting from that provider as a whole because they aren't paying a pretty penny to purchase 100% discrete programming for each channel (and, thus, lowers the cost for Shaw to buy it and then the cost for those channels for the subscriber to pay, too), but it means that we see repeats upon repeats some days. In a lot of ways, quality programming and low cost are mutually exclusive.

    Some thoughts, anyway.

  99. Re:I'll tell you why. by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Which is kind of unfortunate. One can subscribe to C-band satellite, there is actually a standardized scrambling system, and you can chose your suppliers. Sure, you pay more up front, but I added up the costs for all the channels I wanted, and I think it was the 20 channels I wanted for $15 a month. You can pick and chose which satellite to pull in from too since the system redirects the dish if you pick a channel that's carried by a different satellite. So you have dozens of available satellites in the visible portion of the Clarke belt with up to a couple dozen channels each.

    It's too bad that C-band is heavily regulated against by housing associations and zoning boards.

  100. Re:I'll tell you why. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Some of the best channels are the ones no-one watches... Trio is a great example, they show fantastic documentaries, failed pilots from the 70's and 80's, re-runs of classic David Letterman... VH1 Classic, too, all retro-videos, often of cult bands you'd never see on VH-1 proper. When no-one is watching, when the channel is just there to "park" for future use, they can get away with a lot more oddball programming. Unfortunately if the audience increases, the executives take notice and ruin everything.

    (BTW, I work for Spike TV, the ailing "Network For Men." Why is it ailing? Perhaps because an inordinate amount of high-level execs are middle-aged women who have no idea what their target audience-- 18-30 year old men-- want to see.)

  101. Re:TV is obsolete - not so by arminw · · Score: 1

    When TV first came on the scene, it was predicted that radio would go away. When the VCR was invented some thought that cinemas would vanish. Neither has happened. Even oldfashioned books, magazines and newspapers are still very much alive.

    Just because a new way of distributing information and entertainment appears, doesn't mean the total demise of the previous technologies.

    The Internet is just another addition to the distribution methods than lends itself for certain unique purposes and the needs of certain people. The Internet and the underlying technologies of computers allows individuals and groups of limited means to express themselves and make their message heard by a large audience.

    This ability of the smallest voice to be heard may be the thing that worries those who want to control the distribution of information. It's that small voice, that may have the courage to say that the emperor has no clothes on, that the powers that be would like to silence.

    --
    All theory is gray
  102. I can hardly believe it! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    people still own TV's?
    well.. ok I sopose I can..
    I still own my commodore 64

    1. Re:I can hardly believe it! by mabinogi · · Score: 1

      Of course people own TVs, how else are they supposed to watch DVDs, or play console games?

      that's what they're for isnt it?

      --
      Advanced users are users too!
  103. To quote Pink Floyd by MimsyBoro · · Score: 1

    It doesn't matter how many channels we have, there still will be nothing to watch. From the album "The Wall" (1980) - "I've got thriteen channels of shit on the TV to choose from..."

    --
    God made the natural numbers; all else is the work of man - Kronecker
    1. Re:To quote Pink Floyd by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The album was released in 1979.

  104. real easy. tons of crap. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I have dish network. Theres like 10 shopping channels, 6 religious channels and everything late night nearly goes to "paid programming" for some magical pill or device to give me slimmer abs or spray on some hair or something. And people don't want to watch tv? As soon as the networks give me package subscriptions to watch a series on the internet without commercials for a _reasonable_ fee. I'm all over it. I'm already feeling fresh and since I don't have the appropriate slot for a tampon, that'll spare me.

  105. Free by Lord+Kano · · Score: 1

    re we heading into a channel-free future or do channels still have value?

    I swear to god, I'll kick in the balls the first person to mention a "paradigm".

    LK

    --
    "Hi. This is my friend, Jack Shit, and you don't know him." - Lord Kano
  106. Re:I'll tell you why. by Txiasaeia · · Score: 1

    Yeah, but you're already paying $33 a month! I hardly see how this is a good deal. If I were to be offered as many channels as I wanted for, say, $5 a month, then I might get two or three and that would be that - as long as I only had to pay $15 per month, period.

    --
    Condemnant quod non intellegunt.
  107. Re:I'll tell you why. by Lord+Kano · · Score: 1

    If Congress doesn't pass this law though I suspect it will only be because of contributions from 'free market' capitalists heading these cable companies.

    I used to think like that, until I worked for a Satellite TV company. You'd be surprised at how many people who just wanted to pay for only one premium channel used to call in and switch from HBO to Cinemax, to Starz to Showtime every day to watch the shows/movies that they wanted to see.

    Imagine if EVERYONE was able to do this. You'd never be able to get a live person to answer the phone and your bill would go up because of the additional staffind needed.

    LK

    --
    "Hi. This is my friend, Jack Shit, and you don't know him." - Lord Kano
  108. We need at least one more... by John+Meacham · · Score: 1


    http://csntv.org/

    --
    http://notanumber.net/
  109. Maybe it's the 100 channels avilable online? by EvanKai · · Score: 1

    Sorry to state the obvious, but even main stream media outlets like the New York Times (reg. req.) are aware "over 100 independent television stations streaming over the Internet, covering almost every imaginable interest."

    I really think the amount of content and diversity continues to increase... just not on television as we knew it.

  110. In the future... by Txiasaeia · · Score: 2, Interesting
    ...I'll be subscribing to the Law & Order channel, CSI channel, and maybe the Matt Groening channel as well. That's it.

    Seriously, how long before channels like "Fox" and "CBS" cease to exist, to be replaced by channels named after entire TV franchises? Hell, TNT *is* the Law & Order channel!

    --
    Condemnant quod non intellegunt.
  111. The real goal by lax-goalie · · Score: 2, Interesting

    On a panel at a Jupiter conference in 1994, my business partner, Ellen White, hit the nail on the head. She commented: "I don't want 500 channels. I want one channel that's all mine." The point was -- and still is -- that the "channel" concept sucks. There's enough CPU cycles floating around that my "entertainment box", whatever that is, should be smart enough to show me Red Sox games and NOT show me tampon ads.

  112. PBS quick to move to HDTV by EvanKai · · Score: 1

    The PBS's affilates were some of the first to upgrade to HDTV compatible transmitors. Accoring to PBS, "As of June 2004, 261 PBS member stations are offering digital broadcast services, covering 87.44% of all U.S. TV households."

  113. What do I know? by pikine · · Score: 0, Troll

    But my best guess is that we'll have about 1000 channels to watch very shortly, but the consequence of that is 20 channels will be showing you The Matrix at the same time, while other 150 or so cover most hollywood movies all day long; another 300 provide the same right wing news coverage. 50 will be music video channels with the dumb VJ's who don't know what they're talking about. Another 150 will be pure music channels that lets you watch some outdoor scenes or whatever over the music. 300 for sports such that, from time to time, 50 of them will be broadcasting the same game, just with different commentators. Maybe another 30 or so from colleges with a communication school to run their own TV station.

    Of course, main-stream programs like Friends, Sex In The City, or The Simpsons can be watched from either the movie channels or the right wing news channels during news breaks. That's because nobody watches the news. Those who would have watched the news now turn to the cheesy reality TV shows. By that time, the reality TV shows become the source of real news, and news report becomes political propaganda for governments to justify their raising war against more poor middle eastern countries, and to persuade their people to boycott Chinese goods, influence, and the people (this hasn't happened yet, but the US is just about to start getting nervious about the developing China).

    --
    I once had a signature.
    1. Re:What do I know? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're obviously wrong... there won't be any VJs or any hosts anymore. They'll all be computer generated avatars tuned to appeal to the perfect demographic... and that's only until everyone will have thier own personal in-set avatar.

    2. Re:What do I know? by pikine · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, VJs have a worker union, which will succeed in outlawing computer generated avatar. This worker union is already aware of the potential problem ever since they watched Toy Story (one).

      Okay, I'm just being funny in my previous and this post. Funny in the sense that whenever you make a vision of the future, you have a choice. I just happened to picked a future that everything goes wrong, and tells it.

      --
      I once had a signature.
  114. What the?!?!? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I dont watch tv you insensitive clod!

  115. Well, what do you fill them with? by autopr0n · · Score: 1

    The problem isn't technological, it's pure economics. It's just not worth it to fill that many slots of programming. Unless you want to do what PPV stations do: show the same thing all day on a channel. I mean, where could you possibly get content to fill 500 unique channels of programming?

    --
    autopr0n is like, down and stuff.
  116. three channels by tateroid · · Score: 1

    Watch THX 1138 again and you'll have the answer

  117. One by slasher999 · · Score: 1

    Technically it won't be a "channel" like we think of today. Instead, we will turn on our "TV" and watch whatever we want when we want. Instead of "PVRs" and TV schedules, everything will be on demand. However, I expect people will still await the next episode of their favorite show and will be tuning in as soon as it's released to the on demand system. Maybe it won't be so different after all - at least not at first!

  118. why do we need more? by GweeDo · · Score: 1

    180 channels + 11 Starz Movie channels + 8 or 9 local channels (nbc, abc, cbs, etc)...and still I watch like 4 of them mostly and then listen to the Sirius Radio stations on Dish now too...do I need 500+ tv stations? No...give me fully on-demand TV...that is the future if you ask me.

  119. Yup, that is, in fact what I do these days by melted · · Score: 1

    Paying $50 for TV per month is retarded. I use rabbit ears instead ($20 one time expense). It lets me watch 9 channels which is more than enough.

  120. Re:I'll tell you why. by eofpi · · Score: 1
    It's too bad that C-band is heavily regulated against by housing associations and zoning boards.
    That's what really tall fences are for.
    --
    Y'know, you blow up one sun and suddenly everyone expects you to walk on water.
  121. Articles like this are an utter and complete waste by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    of time.

    This site is rapidly becoming not worth visiting.

    You are all a bunch of techno-masturbators !

  122. Two: SciFi and TCM by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0



    Two: SciFi and TCM. You can have the rest.

  123. Re:I'll tell you why. by Joe+Tie. · · Score: 1

    I hear ya. I feel like I'm really getting taken by paying for all these channels, while only actually watching four or five shows on a regular basis.

    --
    Everything will be taken away from you.
  124. The future of TV by Orion+Blastar · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Here is what I see in the next decade:

    #1 1000 Channels to subscribe to, different SAP channels for different languages so it can go global.

    #2 On demand video, this will mean that a media provider will have each show or movie stored digitally and can serve the show or movie on demand at any time the viewer wants to see it. An additional fee will be charged for this service.

    #3 Digital Video Recorders will replace VHS Tapes and DVD disks. Instead of disks, memory sticks or memory cubes will be used which can store gigabytes of information on them. Your Computer or Digital Video Recorder can read these sticks or cubes. There will be a new form of copy protection added to the media format used to store these shows and movies on the cubes and sticks.

    #4 Movie Theaters will change from the movie film format to the digital movie format. Using sticks and cubes, the movies will be in a much better quality. This will also allow a much faster time to be released on home video than DVD or VHS tapes would be converted. This will be done to foil the Internet Video Pirates by releasing the movie in a quicker time and a better quality. A video screen format will be used to reflect light off the screen in such a way that digital cam corders cannot record it, but the human eye can see it.

    #5 We will see partnerships of movie companies to cable and satelite companies.

    #6 Cable and Satelite will find they are competing with Wireless media companies. As the WIFI and Cell phone technology gets cheaper, companies will be providing the same programming via Wireless means in various neighborhoods. Soon the technology will be so cheap and so fast than normal shows and movies can be transmitted over it. Also the wireless service can be used for cell phones, broadband Internet conections, security systems, and Voice over IP home and business phones.

    #7 Media companies will provide shopping, something so revolutionary that you can pause a movie or show and click on any object on the screen and bring up more information on it to buy it or find out more about it. This will give new meaning to commercials, were the whole movie is one big commercial and anything in the movie can be ordered or gotten more information on.

    #8 Once wireless and satelite compete with cable, there will be a big price war. The Federal Government might have to step in to regulate things.

    #9 Wireless media means you can take your receiver with you anywhere there is service for it. Not as messy as adjusting a dish or getting cable hooked up again. It will revolutionizethe media business.

    #10 The cost of having your own cable/satelite/wireless channel will go down, more organizations and people will start to offer more of them, giving the viewers more of a choice. If Howard Stern gets banned from one channel, he can simply start his own channel, for example. There also will be music channels for bands that want to have their music listened to without going through a recording company.

    --
    Remember, Slashdot does not have a -1 disagree moderation, and no, troll, flamebait, and overrated are not substitutes.
  125. tehehe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    it should be like the internet.
    most of it pr0n, followed by goatsecx channels

  126. By the way, which one is Pink ? Hm? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    By the way, which one is Pink ? Hm?

  127. Re:I'll tell you why. by afabbro · · Score: 1

    Then the Satellite TV company you worked for had moronic management. Make it a "minimum 30 day subscription" or "only one change per month" or something. Of all the possible abuses, the one you mention seems to be the easiest to thwart.

    --
    Advice: on VPS providers
  128. Re:I'll tell you why. by jrockway · · Score: 1

    > It's too bad that C-band is heavily regulated against by housing associations and zoning boards.

    They say you can't have it, but they are wrong. According to the FCC, no law or rule against placing a dish on your own property can be written. Yes, that's right. You can have a satellite dish and tell the homeowners to fuck themselves. Federal law beats neighoborhood law :)

    Link: http://www.fcc.gov/cgb/consumerfacts/consumerdish. html

    --
    My other car is first.
  129. compare satellite radio in the USA by thomasa · · Score: 1

    If I look at the satellite radio offerings, I see many channels with the same content. I see no foreign language content, no foreign radio stations, nothing diverse. 50 R&B, 50 Rock, etc. Why would TV be any better? I see far greater content on the Internet. Perhaps on TV, there might be some Spanish language content but where is the Chinese? Where is the Hindi? I would pay for any satellite radio delivery that included a Mandarin broadcast station. Where are they for the USA? Nowhere. Welcome to the Hotel Hell California. Ad Nausium.

  130. Re:TV and Commercials! DVD, Theater... by Joe+Tie. · · Score: 1

    I have nearly the same level of dislike for them as you. It's not even so much what they're trying to sell, but the fact that they do so in such an insulting manner. If the norm was to just put the product on display and give actual facts as to why I might want to lay down money for it, then I might actually be interested in seeing them. But instead they try to sell image, or use the most pathetic and intelectually mind numbing humor imaginable.

    --
    Everything will be taken away from you.
  131. Re:I'll tell you why. by Jason1729 · · Score: 1

    I find there is quite a bit of overlap in programming between Discovery, History, Nat. Geo. and the Learning Channel.

    There's a learning channel again? Who carries it, I'd love to subscribe.

  132. Channels! by PiratSS · · Score: 1

    Look at it this way: - The more channels you have, the more buttons you need to press - You have more options, so you will have more favourites - Commercials cost less because less people are watching them(Lets see, instead of 100 channels we have 500, so that could be a LOT less people watching your commercials) - There is more factors that could prevent you from having over 100 channels.

  133. over 100 channels... by dj245 · · Score: 1

    Over 100 channels are dedicated to music. No, not MTV or VH1 type music channel, but a channel where there is a static screen, and music plays 24 hours a day. Its like satelite radio, only this one has crappy programming and nobody listens to it. As near as I can tell, Sattelite (and cable) music channels, and mostly used to increase the channel count significantly on digital networks without using up a lot of valuable bandwidth.

    --
    Even those who arrange and design shrubberies are under considerable economic stress at this period in history.
  134. Re:I'll tell you why. by caswelmo · · Score: 1

    Per Channel? Screw that, give me per Show.

    Actually, I kind of wish the TV watching trends would freeze right where they are. Right now, I get a bunch of high quality (picture-wise) channels from my satellite & I TiVo a whole bunch of stuff. So it's commercial free TV for me at my convenience.

    The problem is, if everybody was like me, we'd have to start paying more for programming. As it is, everybody who is forced to watch the advertisements is currently subsidizing my TV watching (Thanks!!).

    Considering all of this, I do see all of us eventually migrating to either a per-channel or per-show based pricing scheme. And eventually I hope we all just receive our shows over the web, through some iTunes-like service (iTV??) Think of it as a download based TiVo.

  135. A TV is a single channel device by HermanAB · · Score: 1
    The available channels behind it, is a primitive form of video on demand.

    Eventually, we will have an almost unlimited number of 'channels', one way or another. It is bound to happen, whether it is real-time video on demand linked to a robot with 100 million titles to choose from, or 100 million streaming channels to flip through, doesn't really matter.

    --
    Oh well, what the hell...
    1. Re:A TV is a single channel device by Animats · · Score: 1
      Very true. Although, as with a web browser, you could have a TV with multiple "channels" open simultaneously. "Picture in Picture" is a primitive form of this.

      When you think about it, broadcasting is "push technology". Push technology lost out decisively to the "pull technology" of the web. Eventually this will happen to TV.

      The concept of "channels" will become more of a marketing concept than a technical one. AOL has "channels". MSN used to (do they still?). But they have no real existence other than as a naming convention.

      This has already happened for cell phones. Some cell phone providers are now selling "multiple line" cell phones. This is really call waiting with a different user interface. There's only one talk path. But they can sell those "extra lines" for $10/month.

  136. Re:I'll tell you why. by Jardine · · Score: 1

    Yeah, but you're already paying $33 a month! I hardly see how this is a good deal.

    Exactly. It's a horrible deal. The CRTC (equivalent of the FCC) forced cable companies to offer channels unbundled but they didn't force the prices along with the ruling. Oh, and I forgot to mention that the digital cable box can be bought for $100

  137. Winamp5... by Cyno01 · · Score: 1

    Has a video version of shoutcast avalible. Last time i checked what was avalible (which was only like a week after it was released) it was mostly simpsons and porn, i doubt much has changed, but i bet the porn selection is better.

    --
    "Sic Semper Tyrannosaurus Rex."
  138. broadcast or cable? by linux_author · · Score: 1

    - because even with the 900+ channels in my area, there's nothing on! - seriously though, it seems like broadcast TV is going down FAST!

  139. Only another 30 to go in the UK by Conor+Turton · · Score: 1

    Digital Satellite TV in the UK is heading that way. It can't be far off now. 383 TV Channels and 87 "Digital Radio" channels available through the Sky TV Digibox.

    --
    Conor "You're not married,you haven't got a girlfriend and you've never seen Star Trek? Good Lord!" - Patrick Stewart
  140. channel = brand by Spittoon · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Channels are brands, and brands equate to specific styles or types of content. The way of presenting content to now, via broadcast TV, has been temporally linear.

    When we figure out an awesome way of delivering content to the masses that doesn't rely on waiting for a specific time and date on which to receive that content, the concept of a "channel" *may* disappear in favor of something similar to iTunes for your TV set.

    But the channels, as brands, will survive. NBC will continue to make sitcoms. People (slashdotters at least) will say "Oh, a new show from Sci-Fi. I'm gonna check that one out."

    And there'll be previews of each show available, and if you *want* to, you'll be able to stream all the content from a particular brand, so you can sit there all day and not have to move-- just like now. There will probably be a whole menu full of streams, that will make the "on-demand" act just like TV acts today.

    So no, I think the channel isn't going anywhere. It'll just change a bit in synch with technology.

  141. Re:I'll tell you why. by Lord+Kano · · Score: 1

    Then the Satellite TV company you worked for had moronic management. Make it a "minimum 30 day subscription" or "only one change per month" or something. Of all the possible abuses, the one you mention seems to be the easiest to thwart.

    If you believe this, you have never worked for a large company doing customer service.

    In the case of my former employer, it cost them approximately one dollar per minute to have a customer on the telephone. Cheapskates who want to haggle often get what they want because it's cheaper to give someone a $5.00 credit than it is to have a 30 minute telephone call with them. The goal is to take the call, resolve the issue and move on to the next call. Because of the economic considerations, I've seen people get $60 worth of porno PPV removed from their bills because it was cheaper than proving that the charges were accurate.

    With a 30 day minimum, people will call in on the 28th day and haggle. This WILL increase costs for the providors, in turn it WILL increase your bill.

    The ability to pick and choose individual channels sounds great in abstract, but when it's implemented it makes things worse.

    LK

    --
    "Hi. This is my friend, Jack Shit, and you don't know him." - Lord Kano
  142. Re:I'll tell you why. by Txiasaeia · · Score: 1

    I'm in Canada too, and this is really interesting to me. Are you saying that the CRTC says that cable companies have to sell channels individually with no other purchases? CAN I get one channel for $5 if I wanted to?

    --
    Condemnant quod non intellegunt.
  143. Re:TV is obsolete - not so by mabu · · Score: 2, Insightful

    When TV first came on the scene, it was predicted that radio would go away. When the VCR was invented some thought that cinemas would vanish. Neither has happened. Even oldfashioned books, magazines and newspapers are still very much alive.

    Just because a new way of distributing information and entertainment appears, doesn't mean the total demise of the previous technologies.


    You have a point. However, I think the significance of your point is questionable. I would argue that television DID kill radio. Radio as a focal point of news and entertainment as it was prior to the proliferation of television is no more. It has been replaced by television. Radio still exists not because it hasn't been encroached by television, but because there are a few "convenience issues" that make television impractical where radio works -- the most obvious of this is in vehicles. What do people do when they come home? Do they turn on the TV or the radio? The vast majority turn on the television. Radio is dead as a mainstream means of communicating, informing and entertaining the populace at large. The last few nails in the coffin were laid down by companies like Clear Channel that have sought to make the medium even more soulless.

    Television is heading the same route, primarily due to it's ironic ability to oversaturate itself and its own value as a productive source of information and quality entertainment.

    Anyone who has had the pleasure to own a Tivo unit recognizes that such technology has the capability to "save television" but because of the outdated desire of media companies wishing to control the content their listeners have access to (or more importantly, the terms and limitations of how that content should be accessed), they're going to kill the expansion of Tivo and the last hope for the medium.

    The Internet is definitely NOT like radio or television - there will always be a place for radio and tv, but when I say it's "obsolute", I don't mean people won't listen or watch, but the value of the medium to the people will be greatly diminished in lieu of newer technologies that give consumers more choices. More channels of CRAP however, are not more choices.

    There is a fundamental paradigm shift now occuring in television that earlier occurred in radio, that isn't as prominent on the Internet. That's the homogonization of content. Radio became too formulaic and narrow in the demographic market it sought to attract; the same thing has happened to television, leaving a larger-yet-more-widely-demographically-dispersed group of people feeling disenfranchised that are now turning to the Internet as their new source of information and entertainment. And this trend is increasing, which to me, indicates tv is obsolete.

  144. It can't be any simpler... by Izago909 · · Score: 1

    Quantity is no substitute for quality. People have been paying more and more money and see that with each 'upgrade' they get little usable benefit, just more features. Right now I have just over 300 channels, and not a damn thing to watch.

    On the other hand, the boom in video on demand services and PVR's demonstrate that what's out there is more than adequate when people are given the chance to filter out all the crap. The industry isn't exactly pleased about that either. With emerging anti-technologies like the digital broadcast flag, the industry leaders demonstrate how it's easier for them to force consumers to stay in their old business model instead of evolving it to fit new distribution methods.

  145. What we need... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What we need to defeat the broadcast flag and bring free TV stations to the world, is a TV sized monitor which our computers can wirelessly transmit images to anywhere in our house. And a wireless keyboard/mouse which we can use in the living room so we can browse the data on the PC and play something back. The PC would still stay in our rooms because nobody wants to browse the net from their couch... it's hard to read.

    This will also require that the PC allow multiple video outputs and multiple keyboards and mice so that you can have one PC which everyone in the household can access from a TV in the living room, or a flat screen LCD on their desk in their room.

    Once we have this... Once this becomes widespread, it will spell the death of traditional news stations, it will allow for anyone to make a "tv program", and it will make things like tbe broadcast flag impossible to implement unless alternative operating systems are outlawed and nobody can figure out how to crack MS Windows.

  146. The line between channels is getting fuzzy by Schemat1c · · Score: 1

    The trend I've been noticing is that when all these specialized channels came out they tried to stick to their intended content. Such as TLC, The Hitl^H^Hstory Channel, etc. But now most seem to be following the 'reality tv' trend. TLC is now mainly some flavor of home remodeling, Discovery, The History Channel have also followed suit with their own versions of reality.

    I think the overall channels will decrease since you can't make enough money if you're too focused on one subject.

    --

    "Nobody knows the age of the human race, but everybody agrees that it is old enough to know better." - Unknown
  147. Who wants these? by thedillybar · · Score: 1
    Who wants all these channels?

    Am I the only one who thinks it's a chore to lay down on the couch and find something to watch when there's 500 channels?

  148. Re:I'll tell you why. by SoLO · · Score: 1

    No one watches scifi channel anymore because they stopped producing quality original shows. Cancelling Farscape was just one of many mistakes.

    There were two shows, Lexx, and the Invisible Man, that were a little goofy, but good too. Those are both cancelled now too. Now they have more pseudo-reality shows and more reruns.

    Thank god they get those big name mini-series' twice a year to save their asses (Taken, Battlestar Galactica). (Thats sarcasm)

    Speaking of mini-series', the Farscape mini-series is set to air at the end of this year.. roughly Oct-Nov. I would highly suggest getting the first season on dvd. Those who haven't seen it don't know what you are missing!

  149. Four by pyrrhonist · · Score: 2, Funny
    How Many TV Channels Will There Be In The Future?

    That's easy! Exactly four.

    Here's the list:

    1. BBC One
    2. BBC Two
    3. BBC Three
    4. BBC Four
    --
    Show me on the doll where his noodly appendage touched you.
    1. Re:Four by Lord_Dweomer · · Score: 1
      And BBC 4 will STILL be completely dedicated to Big Brother, although now all the shows related to it will be on demand so you can watch them in whatever order you want.

      --
      Buy Steampunk Clothing Online!
  150. We will have arrived... by HarveyBirdman · · Score: 1
    ...when I can turn on my TV and order Manos: The Hands Of Fate any damn time I want.

    Although exactly where we will have arrived is anybody's guess.

    --
    --- Ban humanity.
  151. Re:I'll tell you why. by afidel · · Score: 2, Informative

    Yeah except most C-Band dish's are 5-10' across, significantly larger than the 1m exemption that the FCC gives. In fact the only C-Band dish I am aware of under 1m is the phased array type used for RV's. The exemption was basically written for the DISH Network/DirectTV type applications.

    --
    There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
  152. Re:I'll tell you why. by afidel · · Score: 1

    It's called TLC and I've never seen a cable network that didn't have it. (I've been all over the west including California, along the east coast, and live in the midwest, so the Missippi states are about the only ones I don't have first hand knowledge of)

    --
    There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
  153. Re:I'll tell you why. by uberdave · · Score: 1

    The Learning Channel (TLC) is on channel 34 where I live (Rogers Cable).

  154. TV is dead, it just doesn't know it yet by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 1

    TV is dead and doesn't know it yet - the question will soon be -- how many p2p sources are there for programming?

    A year ago, I cancelled my cabletv and cablemodem in favor of DSL and mini-dish satellite. But because of the incompetence of the satellite installers all I ended up with was DSL -- no satellite. But at about that same time I discovered some p2p networks that specialize in relatively high-quality (video and audio) redistributions of broadcast and cable tv shows. With access to that, I found that I don't need much TV, what I do "need" I can still get over the air -- usually in hi-def and easily recorded as a transport stream to my pc.

    Now, I fully realize that the current televisions shows produce little to no revenue from this p2p distribution. But there is the potential for all manner of revenue models -- from the obvious like embedded commercials to the more sophisticated like my personal favorite theoretical revenue model, the street performer protocol. All that needs to happen is for the content producers (and by that I do not necessarily mean the MPAA and other like minded companies that are mostly old-world-bottleneck distribution systems, but rather the actual guys who make the shows, director, producer, heck even the writers, actors and crew) to start experimenting with these new forms of revenue generation, kind of like TMBG is doing in that other article today.

    --
    When information is power, privacy is freedom.
  155. Re:I'll tell you why. by Jardine · · Score: 1

    I'm in Canada too, and this is really interesting to me. Are you saying that the CRTC says that cable companies have to sell channels individually with no other purchases? CAN I get one channel for $5 if I wanted to?

    No and no. I'm not totally clear on exactly what's in the ruling, but I believe it only applies to digital channels. And since the last I heard, Rogers requires you to get basic cable before they'll let you subscribe to anything else, you need to subscribe to that too.

    So if you wanted say TechTV (now G4TechTV), you'd need to pay $24/month for basic cable and $2.50/month for TechTV. You'd also need to either buy a digital cable box for $100 or rent one for $8.95/month. So if you only wanted to get TechTV, you're paying $26.50/month plus $100 up front or $34.50/month without the up front cost.

  156. Re:I'll tell you why. by God!+Awful+2 · · Score: 1

    Congress has talked about doing away with bundling, letting subscribers pick and choose channels. If that happens, watch the crud channels die away as no one subscribes to them - accentuating this apparent trend of fewer channels. The ironic part is that those channels that may not get the audience now may in the future under a law like this thrive, driving other channels out. Something else that I find ironic is such a scheme would promote a free market in cable channels - quality would matter again. If Congress doesn't pass this law though I suspect it will only be because of contributions from 'free market' capitalists heading these cable companies.

    You have a point, although it is only half right. The fact is, there is only a limited viewership to go around. If the number of channels increases, the budget of each channel must decrease or the cost must increase. You may have already noticed that the budge of the big networks has gone down, and they are increasingly focusing on cheap programming, such as reality tv and game shows.

    Bundling is just an efficient way to support channels that have limited viewership. Chances are, the distributers pay less money for these channels as well. Even with the popular channels, it is more effective to distribute the cost among those who are willing to pay $0.50 for the channel as well as those who are willing to pay $2. Obviously the costs still go up a bit, but the distributors are gambling that you would rather pay $3 for 1 channel you want and 3 you might watch occasionally instead of $2.50 just for the one you want.

    -a

  157. They're eliminating over-the-air television now... by SwedishChef · · Score: 1

    for millions of US residents who happen to live in rural areas. The Feds have cleverly sold off the UHF frequencies above channel 50 and those areas which have been re-transmitting regular tv on those channels are effectively out of luck. In my area of central Washington state the retransmission of Spokane broadcast television channels ceased in January of 2004 when the owners of those repeaters simply turned them off rather than attempt to relicense. Of course, those who live in cities can get cable and there is satellite. But free tv in rural America is only a memory now for many and soon for most.

    What is even more amazing is that no one seems that upset about it.

    --
    No one ever had to evacuate a city because the solar panels broke!
  158. This will happen with fast broadband. by MtViewGuy · · Score: 1

    What you just suggested could happen when home users get broadband Internet access that has 60 megabit per second or faster download speeds, which is not far fetched especially with the arrival of direct fiber optic data access on the last mile connection to private homes on a large scale by 2010.

    At 60 mbps or faster download speeds and using a modified version of the DiVX video codec (which has DRM added), a broadcast-quality TV show that would take hours to download today using cable modems could now be done in a few minutes! =) That means you could download multiple shows to your home entertainment center mass storage system for playback in about half an hour or so.

    In such a scenario, the whole concept of prime time programming becomes obselete; the only shows you'll see in real time are sports, news, award shows, live concerts and shows that choose to run in real time such as American Idol.

  159. 1 channel by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    According to a popular book, in Future America there will be 1 channel that will WATCH YOU. And sometimes broadcast hate minutes, and show the face of Big Brother.

    --Coder

  160. pvr leads the way by martinflack · · Score: 1

    In a PVR/DVR world, the only thing that matters is where my unit knows to get shows from. Right now it has two television tuner cards in it, and pulls shows from cable TV.

    But there's not reason why it couldn't get on the Internet and download MPEG's of shows. All that matters is (a) I get advertisements for various shows, (b) I select some for recording and (c) they are recorded and shown to me on demand. That's all folks. Whoever can do that for me can make "television".

    There's no reason why you couldn't start an indepedent company to produce shows and just post all their shows for download each day at midnight on the web - as long as they got, for example TiVo, to add support for retreiving their shows, they'd be viable.

  161. What the hell good is 500 channels going to be? by Stephen+Samuel · · Score: 2, Informative
    Read the article about the 'broadcast flag'. What the hell good is 500 channels going to be if you can't record any of the other 499. It's going to be a complete waste of bandwidth.

    No more recording Gomer Pyle while watching the football game, but they'll be screaming "Surprise, surprise, surprise" when the TV industry tanks on the 'broadcast bit'.

    --
    Free Software: Like love, it grows best when given away.
  162. other stuff... by cRueLio · · Score: 1

    people doing other stuff (i.e. homework) while watching tv appreciate the constant stream of information, commercials, shows, etc. if i had to interact with a crappy dvr interface every time i wanted to watch another episode of texas justice (lol) or some other afternoon show, i would go nuts. maybe adaptive dvr units that would download new shows on the fly based on the users habits would solve this, but thats a bit creepy...

  163. Re:I'll tell you why. by naiv · · Score: 1

    *i'm not not licking toads

  164. tv channels are obsolete... by Pandemis · · Score: 1

    ... just as the QWERTY keyboard and 'dialing' a telephone, however, we still use the old keyboard and 'dial' telephone numbers. Channels will remain while their definition and/or use will adapt to changing technological demands. The concept of a channel is becoming more like that of a directory, organizing files (topical video programming) in a file system where early tv channels were competing networks, each carrying more or less similar program line-ups. In any case the 'channel' is hardwired into all of the physical equipement AND softwired into software interfaces ... both will have momentum into the foreseeable future. Long live the TV channel.

    --
    Committee for Symmetric Distribution of the Future
  165. Companies that whine. by edunbar93 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    RIAA: People are downloading what they want off the internet and not buying the shite we shovel onto them through our old distribution channels! Save us!
    MPAA: People are downloading what they want off the internet and not buying the shite we shovel onto them through our old distribution channels! Save us!
    Cable TV: People are downloading what they want off the internet and not buying the shite we shovel onto them through our old distribution channels! Save us!

    These are people who just got run over by the cluetrain. It came, it tried to deliver, but the station was empty because the receivers were sitting on the tracks having their lunch break. It's really a shame, because if they were paying attention they would know that their customers have been complaining to them for years about how they're not getting what they want, what it is they want, and how it should be delivered.

    And now they want the government to save them. Puhleeze.

    --
    "No problem. I have the capacity to do infinite work so long as you don't mind that my quality approaches zero."-Dilbert
  166. 4 channels by helfen · · Score: 1

    What the heck are you talking about slashdotters?
    I live in Poland and I receive four boring channels, and even my tv set is capable of programming only 59 channels, not 500. But in fact, who needs 500 channels?

    1. Re:4 channels by juhaz · · Score: 1

      What the heck are you talking about slashdotters?

      Satellite. And cable. <10 is quite normal for normal OTA networks, but orbital junkstations keep bombarding the poor Earthlings with shitloads of pure garbage.

      And no, nobody needs 500 channels.

  167. No TV by bobblebob · · Score: 1

    There'll be *no* channels in my house, I don't have a TV. I have better things to do like look at internet porn -oops i mean interesting new articles.

  168. Distributors.. and their money. by MROD · · Score: 4, Interesting

    If programme distributors, such as Rupert Murdoch's BSkyB operation in the UK, were forced to sell their wears on a channel by channel basis they would hike their charges hugely.

    What most people don't realise is that the distributing companies get paid by the channel operators to transmit thier content. Less channels == less income for BSkyB.

    Not only this, but by bundling the costs of the charging infrastructure are greatly reduced. It doesn't matter if the viewers don't want 200 knitting channels which spend 18 hours of the day as shopping or text a scantilly clad woman programmes as the advertising blurb can tell the punters that there are n channels available to them (where n is a large number). They can make the excuse for their high subscription charges as "Well, you are getting hundreds of channels for that money."

    It's not in anyone in the media's interest, other than the old, higher quality channels, to restrict this "growth."

    In the end the growth will be curtailed once the advertising revenue is spread so thinly and evenly that no more money is available to run any new services. It will also mean that over the x00 stations there will be nothing worth watching unless you're into cheap shows displaying the base values of the lowest common denominator. No-one will be able to afford to make any good programmes anymore, well, unless they're a premium channel only the rich can afford.

    Thankfully, in the UK we do have the BBC which, although it has gone more for ratings than for quality over the last 15 or so years, is at least keeping the base quality level for the "main" channels higher. I'm sure that without it there would be far more programmes such as "The World's Greatest Dog Poo" on the other channels.

    --

    Agrajag: "Oh no, not again!"
  169. Re:I'll tell you why. by mibus · · Score: 1

    I'm not so sure that we will ever be rid of bundling (all the time cable is around, anyway ;).

    I mean, it'll be illegal to force you to buy all of the channels, but they'd probably just spread their shows over more channels... instead of having [n] good shows on (say) UPN, you'd get the spread over UPN#1, UPN#2, ...UPN#[n] or whatever.

    (I just picked UPN cos its the only one I can think of right now... I'm a cable-less Aussie anyway ;)

  170. Re:I'll tell you why. by mpe · · Score: 1

    I used to think like that, until I worked for a Satellite TV company. You'd be surprised at how many people who just wanted to pay for only one premium channel used to call in and switch from HBO to Cinemax, to Starz to Showtime every day to watch the shows/movies that they wanted to see.
    Imagine if EVERYONE was able to do this. You'd never be able to get a live person to answer the phone and your bill would go up because of the additional staffind needed.


    Do you actually need a "live person" to handle this? It sounds a good task for a machine. No doubt all the "live person" is doing is acting as an interface to a machine anyway...

  171. well, when broadband penetration hits 100%, maybe by alizard · · Score: 1
    I think ultimately, what we think of now as networks will change to content bundles streamed over Internet channels, instead of Fox News showing programs in a linear time sequence, they'll simply throw the content on the site as it appears and send e-mails to people who have indicated an interest in specific programming saying "come and get it", or they'll send daily new program listings (availabilty of old content will be taken for granted) with lots of clickable URLs which might be broken down far enough to make it possible to tell the station which order to push content from them direct to your set-top box.

    What people will choose to see when they are not looking for specific content will be branded content bundles on a basis of experience / trust / reputation, i.e. people who like Fox will be more inclined to give a new show from Fox a chance than literate people would.

  172. Re:I'll tell you why. by mpe · · Score: 1

    When no-one is watching, when the channel is just there to "park" for future use, they can get away with a lot more oddball programming. Unfortunately if the audience increases, the executives take notice and ruin everything.

    e.g. by removing whatever it was which made the channel attractive to viewers in the first place. The issue of execs who don't understand their audiance appears to be common with broadcast TV. Whatever the details of the technology used to broadcast.(BTW, I work for Spike TV, the ailing "Network For Men." Why is it ailing? Perhaps because an inordinate amount of high-level execs are middle-aged women who have no idea what their target audience-- 18-30 year old men-- want to see.)

    But things would be little better off if the execs were middle aged men.

  173. Re:I'll tell you why. by mpe · · Score: 1

    With themed clusters of channels -- sports, news, movies, music, home life (home improvement, cooking), children, international (non-English channels for immigrant communities), etc -- people would be able to get the kinds of channels they want and new channels would have ready audiences.

    This sounds good until you realise that this is still an arbitary bundling. With plenty of scope for different opinions abou what belongs in which bundle.

  174. Re:I'll tell you why. by mpe · · Score: 1

    What would they put on 500 channels?

    That is the real question, lack of content.

    I can already choose from about 6 24-hour news channels that are all showing the same footage of the latest big event.

    Possibly slightly out of sync, due to differences in travel time for the signals. You'd thing all these supposedly independent news channels would cover different news...

    Furthermore, as you pointed out, the niche channels can't get enough viewers because the appeal isn't broad enough. (Hence the term "niche" I guess :-). In order to have broader appeal the niche channels end up expanding their coverage until they start to clash.

    Which could easily wind up reducing the number of viewers...

  175. Not enough content by radpole · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Too many channels on tv are repeating movies and programs that have been seen a dozen times on their own channel and you turn to their sister network a few weeks later and it is premiering again.

    Their are too many shows locked in the vaults and someone is controlling what goes out. Ever notice that different channels many times have the same actor for the entire month, in different movies. It happens way to many times to be a coincidence. Oh yeah they just happen to be out in a new movie in the theatre, HMMM!

  176. We only need one channel. by neutron+scott · · Score: 1

    We need only one channel, and that channel is VOD. With Video on Demand, you just watch what you want, when you want. Many cable providers already have this for their PPV, Premium channels, and more. It's awesome.

  177. URLs by shokk · · Score: 1

    As the father of DNS put it, one day everything will be an URL. I can't imagine that in the future we won't have thousands of channels that require URLs instead of referring to numbers as once was done with IP addresses so long long ago. Amazingly the infotainment medium of the Internet has surpassed television in that regard so that realistically the two will merge and television as we know it will just be another service on the Internet called up by the URLs we all know and love. I just hate to think of the Goatse commercials on the Slashdot channel.

    --
    "Beware of he who would deny you access to information, for in his heart, he dreams himself your master."
  178. channels by Easy2RememberNick · · Score: 1

    Exactly 5,113 channels, of course.

  179. Re:I'll tell you why. by michael_cain · · Score: 1
    Congress has talked about doing away with bundling, letting subscribers pick and choose channels. If that happens, watch the crud channels die away as no one subscribes to them - accentuating this apparent trend of fewer channels... Something else that I find ironic is such a scheme would promote a free market in cable channels

    If Congress is going to do this, they must also address the issue of bundling when channels are sold to the cable/satellite operator. So long as ESPN (just to use as an example) is allowed to require the operators to purchase the entire catalog of ESPN channels in order to get ESPN proper, it is silly to require that the operator unbundle that group. Major changes in the structure of "wholesale" pricing will also be needed. ESPN currently charges the operators on the basis of the total number of subscribers; if that charge is $2.00 per sub per month, but only 50% of subs take ESPN under a la carte, the operator must charge $4.00 to those subs in order to break even. And it seems likely that ESPN would raise its rates to the operators even faster than it has in the past, since it will have to offset losses in advertising revenue: current rates are set on the assumption that ESPN is available in all households that get more than the minimal service, an assumption that is not true in an a la carte world.

    In an ideal world, the cable/satellite companies would be enablers, who charge both the subscribers and the networks for access to delivery pipe, and subscribers would buy content from those networks that they were interested in. We are so far from that model today that I worry that tinkering with any one part of the system runs the risk of making things worse than they are.

  180. Re:I'll tell you why. by FireFury03 · · Score: 1

    I'd like to see the ability to buy channels individually, *and* pay-per-view any program on any channel. If I only watch the occasional show on a channel then why should I pay the full subscription cost? I should be able to pay for a specific show. Maybe even offer season tickets to see an entire series.

  181. It's my fault. by John+Hasler · · Score: 1

    I don't have a tv at all. I'm pulling the average down.

    --
    Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
  182. Re:I'll tell you why. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What does it matter, they're just going to ship those callcenter jobs overseas anyway.

  183. More channels == More crap by Fujisawa+Sensei · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Like we really need 3 more golf channels, and 6 football channels, and a dozen more shopping channels.

    --
    If someone is passing you on the right, you are an asshole for driving in the wrong lane.
  184. Re:I'll tell you why. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    But things would be little better off if the execs were middle aged men.


    Well, yes, in this case. You'd think the people making development and programming decisions would be somewhat in touch with their target audience, especially at a fledgling network.

  185. Re:I'll tell you why. by Lord+Kano · · Score: 1

    Do you actually need a "live person" to handle this? It sounds a good task for a machine. No doubt all the "live person" is doing is acting as an interface to a machine anyway...

    Eventually the wetware won't be necessary, but that day isn't today.

    LK

    --
    "Hi. This is my friend, Jack Shit, and you don't know him." - Lord Kano
  186. Some channels have value by brunes69 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The channels that have value are the "theme" channels: stuff like Discovery, the Sci-Fi channel, Comedy Central, HGTV, TechTV, etc. If I am bored, want a good laugh, but don't know any of the shows currently on, then chances are Comedy Central has something funny. If I am bored mid-day and want something interesting, then TechTV or Discovery would be a good choice. Theme channels are where you can go to learn what shows you like to watch, so that you can TiVo them later. Conversely, I see the networks being less and less important as PVRs get more and more popular. I can see all the major shows going into syndication based models, with product placements.

  187. Two... by triffidsting · · Score: 1

    One for the conservatives, one for the liberals.

    --
    Non, je ne veux pas coucher avec toi ce soir.
  188. one. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We will not need to surf channels. Content can be selected with voice activation.

  189. Re:TV is obsolete - not so by arminw · · Score: 1

    I basically agree with you except I'm not sure what your definition of "obsolete" is. It seems that each medium has strengths and weaknesses. "Obsolete" to me has the idea of no longer being useful, and in that definition, none of the older media really fit. There are times when I want to read a book, but there also times when I listen to a recording of someone reading that book. There are times when I will want to listen to an old time radio drama and there are times when I want to see the newest video with all the fancy effects and action.

    Most stuff on the shelves of Walmart doesn't interest me and neither does most of the stuff on the media, but I do like the fact that that there is such a wide variety that COULD be had if I wanted it.

    --
    All theory is gray
  190. TiVo by Eimi+Metamorphoumai · · Score: 2, Informative
    What you want is a TiVo. Since I got that a few months ago, I'm watching more tv than ever.
    1. Pause, fast forward, rewind, check
    2. Still ads, but you can fast foward through them or use 30-second skip
    3. Can't really help you there, all I can say is don't watch the crap you don't want to watch.
    4. Same as above
    5. Check. If you just thumbs-up and thumbs-down shows you like and dislike, it'll get pretty good at recording suggestions for you. If you want more control you can do some really nice things with wishlists.
    Seriously, the TiVo is exactly what you're begging for. It lets you watch exactly what you want on your schedule, instead of when some executive somewhere thinks would get the best ratings.
    --

    Visit me on #weirdness on the Galaxynet.

    1. Re:TiVo by cfuse · · Score: 1
      What you want is a TiVo. Since I got that a few months ago, I'm watching more tv than ever.

      Unfortunately, as I live in Australia, the TiVo is not an 'out of the box' solution. You can make them work, but it's not easy and the results are not supported.

  191. Limit by Gannoc · · Score: 1

    We'll never need more than 640 channels.

  192. Re:I'll tell you why. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I work for Spike TV, the ailing "Network For Men." Why is it ailing? Perhaps because an inordinate amount of high-level execs are middle-aged women who have no idea what their target audience-- 18-30 year old men-- want to see

    I don't think it matters if they knew or not - what their target audience wants to see couldn't be shown on US television anyway.

    Come up to Canada. On any given day, you can watch much racier stuff than will ever get shown on US television. Then go to Europe, and you'll see it even more.

    If you think that SpikeTV's problem is the programming not matching their target audience, blame the FCC first, and management second.

  193. Re:I'll tell you why. by maeka · · Score: 1

    Why blame the FCC?
    SpikeTV's not a broadcast channel, the FCC has no say.

  194. Re:I'll tell you why. by Jason1729 · · Score: 1

    TLC is *not* the learning channel, and they haven't called themselves that for several years. When they were the learning channel, they had shows like "Connections", "The Operation", and "The Secret Life of Machines".

    They don't even pretend to have educational content now; they're marketing themselves as the reality show channel and they have crap like "Trading Spaces", "Clean Sweep", and "What Not to Wear". They are sub-fox in their level of sensationalism too.

    When fox did their "magic secrets revealed", it was TLC that did matching shows pretending all the tricks were real and supernatural.

    Now if there's any channel called "The Learning Channel" or showing any of the 3 shows I listed for it, I'd be very interested in knowing about it.

  195. Re:I'll tell you why. by Jason1729 · · Score: 1

    I also used to get TLC on my StarChoice dish -- the same channel Rogers offers on channel 34. They do not call themselves The Learning Channel.

  196. Re:TV is obsolete - not so by dubl-u · · Score: 1

    Just because a new way of distributing information and entertainment appears, doesn't mean the total demise of the previous technologies.

    Neither does it mean they necessarily stay around.

    The Vaudeville circuit, which gave performers like the Marx Brothers and Abbott and Costello their start, was mortally wounded by radio and film; telvision delivered the killing blow. The circus is a pale shadow of what it once was, and the tent revival is now just a footnote.

    New technologies also can force deep changes in old media so much that they could be thought of as different beasts altogether. TV has changed film; gone are the days of the newsreel and the serial. Broadcast TV is still changing in response to cable TV, and both of them are still trying to figure out what to do in response to the internet.

    The whole notion of channels is just a primitive hack to allocate scarce bandwidth. The unit cost of bandwidth to the home has dropped by more than 10x over the past decade, and there is enough innovation in the pipeline to keep it dropping for at least another decade. Between an abundance of bandwidth, smart networks, and smart terminals with big storage capacity, channels may not exist in the long term, except perhaps as a convenient way for humans to manage the flood of content available to them.

  197. TV in the future... by spaztik1 · · Score: 0, Insightful

    will not exist because computers are quickly taking over the role of multimedia entertainment systems. Why have a TV, stereo and a collection of video game consoles when you can have one computer with a big flatscreen monitor?

  198. Re:I'll tell you why. by uberdave · · Score: 1

    TLC stands for The Learning Channel.
    Lots of businesses have simplified their names to three letter acronyms: IBM, HMV, KFC, etc. It doesn't mean that they're not who they used to be known as.

  199. Cost ... by gstoddart · · Score: 1

    My problem with that is the cost model. You end up paying for each show you download.

    I'm not 100% convinced that in the long run I don't end up paying out more.

    I have a PVR (bought from my cable company, no archival capability, don't care) which I use almost exclusively for TV. I currently subscribe to about the biggest package of channels my cable company gives.

    I just use my PVR to pick and choose from some of the specialty channels. If I just had a big sea of alphabetized shows I'd never have a chance of finding anything.

    At least on my specialty channels I have the stuff broadly sorted into easy categories.

    I'm not 100% sure I had a point, just thought I'd chime in.

    --
    Lost at C:>. Found at C.
  200. The Effect of DVRs by judzillah · · Score: 1

    I am going to go ahead and guess that DVRs and tivo-like devices are going to increase the number of channels we currently have. Currently, at even a hundered channels, it is difficult to digest everything that is on and actually find something to watch. Tivo removes the whole experince of trying to surf all of the channels that are available with most cable packages. You no longer have to know when something is on to watch it, all you need is the name of the program. What will the effect of this be? I predict that more people will want more channels and more content. Without a device like tivo you can easily suffer from information overload trying to find something to watch. With tivo, it is simple and easy to watch exactly what you want, when you want. It is trivial to navigate and digest all avilable channels. Because of the simplicity involved, people will be able to handle, and demand, more content and more channels. Q.E.D. right?