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Is The 6-Month Product Cycle Upon Us?

Mark Goldstein writes "What is perhaps more interesting than the 4 new Konica Minolta cameras announced today is the rapid product cycle that seems to have been established by both Konica Minolta and other manufacturers." Rather than the yearly model updates that people have come to expect, the article notes that three members of this batch aren't even a year old, and one is only six months.

272 comments

  1. Six month death spiral by solarmist · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Yeah, sure. The picture quality'll go up, but the overall quality go down, just like video games, or processors, or....

    All show and no substance...

    I mean that's what seems to be happening with these rapid production cycles; they concentrate so much on improving one aspect that the entire product suffers, or at least starts to suffer, from it.

    And let's not forget our favorite one, Microsoft; Although I'm sure this is not the main reason M$ sucks... *Insert M$ bashing here* *and here*

    *and here*

    *and a little more here...*

    --
    "Curiouser and Curiouser" - Alice
    1. Re:Six month death spiral by DZign · · Score: 3, Informative

      ever checked car radio systems ?
      models also change a lot and quite fast, while just the looks which have changed while the features are almost the same..
      at least usually external cd-changers stay the compatible but if you have a changer of 2-3 years old it can be quite a task to find out with which current radio it still works (as I found out recently)

    2. Re:Six month death spiral by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Heh. Microsoft perhaps not the best example of quicker product cycles, just at the moment...

    3. Re:Six month death spiral by solarmist · · Score: 1

      Maybe not quite as fast, but I think Microsoft's production schedule is too fast for the type of product they're trying to deliver and that's one of the thing that's kills the quality

      --
      "Curiouser and Curiouser" - Alice
    4. Re:Six month death spiral by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How is this modded insightful? Say what you want about processors in the "good old days" but name me one processor available five years ago that you would take over one produced today. The best ones of five years ago that are still produced today are even cheaper today. Care to back up your comment?

    5. Re:Six month death spiral by mwood · · Score: 1

      Meanwhile my SR-T 101 still makes pretty pictures whenever I show it how, and the shutter button isn't lost under a mound of features.

      My usual question about product cycles is, "how many of them will go whooshing by before they make some change I care about?"

    6. Re:Six month death spiral by kingLatency · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Actually, the picture quality won't go up. The current trend has been to increase the resolution of the low-end cameras while keeping too-small sensors in them. This reduces the image quality, but increases marketablitiy. Also, manufacturers increase their still cameras' video capabilities, things like 640x480 videos. It's completely pointless. Unfortunately, this doesn't lead to a better product. As prices for larger CCDs drop, then we might see some improvement.

      --
      "I've got to stop masturbating! It makes me too lazy! Stop it, Albert. Stop it." -- Albert Einstein
    7. Re:Six month death spiral by ethanms · · Score: 1

      I totally agree w/ your sentiment that when you have rapid and constant spins on technology you wind up with cheap shit.

      There is another scenario that is equally bad, but in a different way, for the consumer...

      They constantly release new models which are basically the old models with some subtle feature difference and/or tweak to the appearance...

      The purpose of that is usually to thwart bad reviews, or just confuse end users and allow for price increases without and NRE's.

    8. Re:Six month death spiral by W2k · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I mean that's what seems to be happening with these rapid production cycles; they concentrate so much on improving one aspect that the entire product suffers, or at least starts to suffer, from it.

      And let's not forget our favorite one, Microsoft; Although I'm sure this is not the main reason M$ sucks... *Insert M$ bashing here* *and here*

      While I agree with the general idea that too rapid production cycles can be bad, Microsoft is hardly a major villain in this case. For each new Windows version, there have been improvements across the board, not just on single areas. Some would argue that this is not true for the Windows 95-98-Me line, which aren't quite as different from one another as the NT-2k-XP line (and 2k-2k3). However, 2-3 years is hardly a "rapid cycle" when talking computer software.

      Let's also not forget that Windows Longhorn is still another year away at least, will have MAJOR new features across the board according to the information from Redmond thus far, and it's been some time since XP was released (2k3 doesn't count as a "new" Windows in this context as it's just XP for servers). So regarding OS's, Microsoft are hardly guilty of pushing a "rapid product cycle" in order to squeeze consumers for money (they compensate by charging lots for their software instead - different story which I will not bother with here).

      Microsoft Office is, however, a different story. OpenOffice.org has only a subset of Microsoft Office 2003's features, but I don't find myself missing anything. I guess this means nothing of massive substance has been added to Office since '95 or so - but others would digress. There have been huge debates over this before but I think the general consensus is that the new features, however insignificant, must be of value to somebody, so there's no harm in Microsoft releasing new versions of Office every year - after all, there's not much more that can be added to Word or Excel in terms of "major features" (think "major" like the introduction of USB support in Windows 98 here. Now THAT's major!) but some will likely get the new versions anyway for the extra bells 'n whistles. Anyone who doesn't need the new features can just stick to their old versions or get OOo if they hit EOL. Problem solved.

      --
      Quality, performance, value; you get only two, and you don't always get to pick.
    9. Re:Six month death spiral by Moofie · · Score: 1

      *eyebrow*

      I've got the same camera, and I don't know what half the controls do. Creeping featuritis was invented by photography geeks thirty years ago.

      --
      Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
    10. Re:Six month death spiral by Cat_Byte · · Score: 2, Informative
      name me one processor available five years ago that you would take over one produced today

      Well if I were designing a satellite or space probe I would use a good ol Intel 486 processor. Low heat, low voltage, very reliable, and if the fan goes out...who cares? It is also more than adequate on speed since it takes much longer to actually do the mechanical moves than to calculate them. Same goes for calculators. Any old 80186 will work to crunch simple equations and maximize battery life.

      --
      Two roads diverged in a wood, and I - I took the one the bus load of girls just went down.
    11. Re:Six month death spiral by jawtheshark · · Score: 1
      Well if I were designing a satellite or space probe [...], and if the fan goes out...

      There is air in space that you can move with a fan? That's new to me!

      --
      Ahhh...the great dumpster continuum. Many a free computer will be found there. -- sowth (748135)
    12. Re: Six month death spiral by bracher · · Score: 0

      MS is on more of a six _year_ death spiral, no?

    13. Re:Six month death spiral by poot_rootbeer · · Score: 1

      I mean that's what seems to be happening with these rapid production cycles; they concentrate so much on improving one aspect that the entire product suffers, or at least starts to suffer, from it.

      Whatever happened to "Release early, release often"...?

    14. Re:Six month death spiral by connorbd · · Score: 1

      These days we've even got 3CCD consumer-grade camcorders, still using consumer-grade optics and such... what's interesting is that they migrate certain features downmarket while leaving others for higher-end equipment. My 2002 JVC camcorder lacks A/V IN, but has a large screen and a remote port, which the equivalent model from the 2003 model year lacks. And I've been told JVC's 2003 models were junk -- well, they certainly looked the part.

      I don't know. The whole product lifecycle thing has gotten out of control on the consumer level. My personal gripe is with camcorder manufacturers -- they make their product too damn small these days! Some models do have near-professional grade features (manual white balance, A/V in), but look at what the pros are using -- the high-end Canon and Sony equipment generally has a couple of years at least. Pros apparently don't like messing around with their equipment -- the Canon GL-2 has only a few major improvements over the GL-1, such as a memory card and manual audio levels, but they're real improvements, not just bullet point features.

    15. Re:Six month death spiral by stanmann · · Score: 1

      Its fairly non-trivial to have your space probe pressurized, and MANY components work more efficiently at earth normal pressures, plus it's easier to test that way... If you have lubricated moving parts, you definitely want air and earth normal or near earth normal pressures.

      --
      Food not Bombs is a nice platitude but it breaks down when you notice that the Bombees are usually well fed
    16. Re:Six month death spiral by bigattichouse · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I believe the engineering term used at a DoD shop I was at is "Shovelling sh*t" ... if people are stuck taking what you give them, and you get paid no matter what, your "production rate" increases dramatically.

      --
      meh
    17. Re:Six month death spiral by stanmann · · Score: 1

      read non-trivial as trivial and smack me with the stupid stick.

      --
      Food not Bombs is a nice platitude but it breaks down when you notice that the Bombees are usually well fed
    18. Re:Six month death spiral by Cat_Byte · · Score: 1

      The point is that it doesn't need one. I ran my 486 66 for years without a fan. Newer ones won't last long at all without a fan & heat sink.

      --
      Two roads diverged in a wood, and I - I took the one the bus load of girls just went down.
    19. Re:Six month death spiral by jawtheshark · · Score: 1
      Don't worry... So did my good old 486DX/2-66, but I found it funny he actually referred a to breaking fan considering there is no air in space. It didn't need a fan, in the first place, but still her referred to it. (Making me think the parent poster never actually used a 486)

      Of course by now the parent has explained that satellites/spaceprobes might have a pressurized part with air for the electronics. I highly doubt that, but then I'm not a satellite-engineer.

      --
      Ahhh...the great dumpster continuum. Many a free computer will be found there. -- sowth (748135)
    20. Re:Six month death spiral by dabadab · · Score: 1

      "if I were designing a satellite or space probe I would use a good ol Intel 486 processor. Low heat, low voltage, very reliable, and if the fan goes out...who cares?"

      I would venture to guess that with an ambient temperature near to 0 K, cooling a CPU is not a real issue.

      --
      Real life is overrated.
    21. Re:Six month death spiral by Fweeky · · Score: 1

      Picture quality seems to be going down, actually. The megapixel race is seriously hampering a lot of the recent prosumer cameras IMO; as CCD density increases, so does noise, to the point at which even ISO 50 is too noisy and grainy for my taste in the newest 8MP cameras :(

      As for quality of the rest of the camera, well, that seems to be going up; image stabilisation, faster processing, more powerful interfaces, higher resolution LCD's and EVF's, and more flexible, higher quality lenses. If they just reverse the trend towards insanely dense CCD's with more noise than a jet aircraft, I'll be a happy bunny willing to part with a significant amount of money.

    22. Re:Six month death spiral by M1FCJ · · Score: 1
      Whatever happened to "Release early, release often"...?

      It is still there but it pisses off your customers because they either bought it too early and missed some functionality or they got it too late and lost a lot of money because and it is too late to get the advantages of your product.

      It works fine on amateur level, it stinks at professional level.

      Definitions used in this post:

      Amateur: not for profit

      Pro: for profit.

    23. Re:Six month death spiral by Cat_Byte · · Score: 1

      Uh I am the parent poster...grin. Maybe I could have worded it better but the point was it didn't need a fan. However, they do circulate air in satellites that face one direction too long. One side is freezing and the other is facing direct radiation/heat.

      --
      Two roads diverged in a wood, and I - I took the one the bus load of girls just went down.
    24. Re:Six month death spiral by Fweeky · · Score: 1

      Sure, but you ran it surrounded by air; in a vaccum there's significantly less material for the CPU to heat up; you've just got whatever you attach to the heat generating bits and normal radiative cooling. Vaccum makes for a good insulator.

    25. Re:Six month death spiral by Dravik · · Score: 1

      For high end products a six-month life cycle is impossible. The customers who are willing to pay professional prices expect professional service and support for more than six months.

      --
      The purpose of language is communication, If the idea is clear the grammar ain't important
    26. Re:Six month death spiral by connorbd · · Score: 1

      I think a lot of it relates to the fact that pro equipment just doesn't have a lot of features that consumer equipment has as well. Pros don't need them, so there's no great rush to add them into the product. I've no doubt adding enhanced still capability to the GL-2 was somewhat controversial.

    27. Re:Six month death spiral by aka1nas · · Score: 1

      6 month product cycles have been common for most digital camera manufacturers for the last 4 or 5 years. It's really only in the last 2 years have they slowed down around the 4 and 5 megapixel range and some models(I.E. the Canon A60/A70/A80) have stuck around for a while. Typically, there is a summer refresh in april or so and another in october/november to prepare for x-mas.

    28. Re:Six month death spiral by s.fontinalis · · Score: 1

      And with an ambient temperature of substantially below zero, what processor would?

    29. Re:Six month death spiral by samantha · · Score: 1

      Not necessarily. Much of the hardware cycle is becoming sufficiently commodized to allow rapid hardware design, prototyping, mass implementation and quality control. Quite a lot of reusable sub-components and procedures are now available. As hardware gets closer to software expect this to increase.

    30. Re:Six month death spiral by Veramocor · · Score: 1

      Z80

      decent calculator processor.

      --
      Veramocor
    31. Re:Six month death spiral by jintxo · · Score: 1

      "I guess this means nothing of massive substance has been added to Office since '95 or so - but others would digress." I think you meant "disagree" here... http://dictionary.reference.com/search?q=digress

    32. Re:Six month death spiral by H09N0X10U5 · · Score: 1
      I would venture to guess that with an ambient temperature near to 0 K, cooling a CPU is not a real issue.
      Since temperature depends on movement of particles, and space has no particles[1], can you actually give a menaingful temperature for space?

      [1] well, only a few.

      --
      The post anonymously option you are [not] attempting to use is one that isn't available to your user.
    33. Re:Six month death spiral by W2k · · Score: 1

      You are correct - I meant to write "disagree". Thanks.

      --
      Quality, performance, value; you get only two, and you don't always get to pick.
  2. Whats next? by jj_johny · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Can the six month job cycle be far behind?

    1. Re:Whats next? by Azrael+Newtype · · Score: 1

      Far behind? Didn't that start about two years ago for much of the IT industry?

      --
      I'm always right and I can prove it, because to the best of my knowledge, I've never been wrong.
    2. Re:Whats next? by *weasel · · Score: 4, Funny

      No that was the 0 job cycle.

      --
      // "Can't clowns and pirates just -try- to get along?"
    3. Re:Whats next? by canoe_head · · Score: 2, Funny

      I'd say wait about a half a year and see...

    4. Re:Whats next? by The+Cydonian · · Score: 1

      Already here. :-)

  3. So What? by I_Love_Pocky! · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I think it is great to put out new products when ever they are ready. I don't feel compeled to always have the newest model, because I know that even with a 1 year product cycle, I will always end up the loser (money-wise) that way.

    The six month turn around just means that when I do need to buy a product it is more likely that it will be a time of year when I will be buying a realitively new product.

    I think this is a good thing (unless this turns out to be too little time for testing).

    1. Re:So What? by Last_Available_Usern · · Score: 2, Insightful

      How about this...lets say Company X has developed 10 new innovations for their camera line which is currently 6 months old. To edge out Company Y, they only need to utilize 6 of those innovations. With such short product cycles, they are likely to pockets whatever they can and save it for the next round. Much like a game of spades...you're not going to trump a 3 of hearts with an ace of spades if the 3 of spades will do the same job. With longer product cycles, they would be likely to release everything they can possibly come up with, along with trying even harder to innovate since they'll need that product to stay "lively" for a much longer period.

    2. Re:So What? by wobblie · · Score: 0, Flamebait
      You're a moron. The point is to obsolete whatever it is that you bought six months ago and nothing else. You will have no choice but to buy the newer product if this works properly.

      Who modded this tripe "insightful"? Was everyone around here born yesterday?

    3. Re:So What? by Azrael+Newtype · · Score: 1
      The six month turn around just means that when I do need to buy a product it is more likely that it will be a time of year when I will be buying a realitively new product.

      Actually, I look at it in a somewhat opposite way. The six month turn around just means that I'll be able to find a reasonably good product at the last model prices without buying a proverbial bird and stone tablet box.

      They keep pushing out new models, the older ones that are still good since they're only six months old will be cheaper. Hopefully, Digital SLRs will follow the digital point and shoot cameras, so a digi-SLR is... you know.. reasonably priced. At all.

      --
      I'm always right and I can prove it, because to the best of my knowledge, I've never been wrong.
    4. Re:So What? by Azrael+Newtype · · Score: 4, Insightful

      So, a six month turn around is equivalent to making sure devices are destroyed every six months via internal bomb/bios coding to shut down/*insert other paranoid ranting*? I don't know how they could force me to buy a new anything really. I, for one, still have a 5 year old cell phone, a 4 year old digital camera, and a 10 year old car, all of which have fast turn around rates. All of them work as well as I need, so how am I being forced to upgrade? It could be said that they aren't working properly, but really, cell phone companies are about the worst for pushing out new products for no reason and trying to make old products seem inferior.

      --
      I'm always right and I can prove it, because to the best of my knowledge, I've never been wrong.
    5. Re:So What? by squaretorus · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      My cellphone is 3 weeks old, my PC is 3 months old, my laptop is approaching 3 years old, my stereo equipment is about 5 years old, my fridge is 9 months, my vaccuum is 3 months old. My car is about 10, I've had it 4. My house is about 140. My woman is about 30, I've had her for about 10. My favourite jeans are 2 years old. My favourite Tshirt is 15 years old.
      On that list I feel compelled to trade in only one item for a younger model.

    6. Re:So What? by phazethru · · Score: 1
      With the recent string of cell phones spontaneously combusting, maybe you're not as far off the mark as you think.

      --
      "I am the Black Mage! I casts the spells that makes the peoples fall down!" ~8BT
    7. Re:So What? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My cellphone is 3 weeks old, my PC is 3 months old, my laptop is approaching 3 years old, my stereo equipment is about 5 years old, my fridge is 9 months, my vaccuum is 3 months old. My car is about 10, I've had it 4. My house is about 140. My woman is about 30, I've had her for about 10. My favourite jeans are 2 years old. My favourite Tshirt is 15 years old. On that list I feel compelled to trade in only one item for a younger model.

      I hear you, brother - I can't wait to get one of those new fridges everyone keeps talking about.

    8. Re:So What? by wobblie · · Score: 1

      Tried to find parts for that car lately? It can be very difficult to find parts for older cars, depending on how popular they were.

      Of course, you might be able to, but yes, the point of product churning and quick product cycles is to obsolete a product, which includes maintenance of it - with the express purpose of forcing you to buy another one. Not to mention it is extremely wasteful.

      What is surprising is that people aren't pissed off that their cars don't last 50 years. There's no reason for them not to.

    9. Re:So What? by Azrael+Newtype · · Score: 1
      Well, it's a faulty battery issue, not nearly spontaneous combustion, but mine is pretty good, so in fact trading up would be a bad thing, except that bad batteries creep up every few years, then go away and things don't burn for a while. Blame the battery companies, not the cell phone companies.

      Blame the cell phone companies for building features into phones that work better than the main function, talking on the phone. Please, just give me a phone that wants to be a phone, not a PDA, Gameboy, camera, *insert next big addon feature of cell phones*. Well, as I said, I have one, so it'll stay big and in my pocket for a while.

      --
      I'm always right and I can prove it, because to the best of my knowledge, I've never been wrong.
    10. Re:So What? by Opie812 · · Score: 0

      You will have no choice but to buy the newer product if this works properly.

      I bought a digital camera in 2001. Surely it's obsolete by now. I've yet to see anything in the mail requiring me to buy a newer product. Although, maybe things are different in the US (or where-ever you're from)

      --
      I'm not a nerd. Nerds are smart.
    11. Re:So What? by caswelmo · · Score: 1

      Oh yeah, well then you should go out and build yourself a car that lasts 50 years. Trust me, it's not the kind of thing that could last that long without being rebuilt many times. I mean, sure, the frame & certain pieces of the body could last, but that's about it. Say goodbye to any moving part, sensor, paint, etc.

      The fact is, it would be very expensive to make a car that would last that long. And it would be very expensive to maintain it & replace parts. It's much cheaper to assemble a car on an assembly line (that's why they use them) than it is to pull it into a garage & replace parts piece by piece.

      Besides, who the hell would want to drive a 50 year old car. We humans like to get new stuff with more features & pretty colors, blah, blah, blah. It's just human nature.

      Now, the current cell phone/PDA/camera product cycles are seemingly ridiculous. But then, the technology is progressing so rapidly that the new products do usually have more features, run faster, etc. And people are entering the market for these things all the time, so it makes sense that they would want to current "best". So if company XYZ only offers a product based on technology from 2 years ago, but company ABC offers one from 2 months ago, I know which one I would buy.

      So here's the deal, you go ahead & make yourself a car that last 50 years. Sell a bunch of them over the next couple years. Then just sit back & make absolutely no model changes or upgrades to your product. Pretty soon you won't sell a single one. Now that's a business plan.

    12. Re:So What? by swimmar132 · · Score: 1

      You take care of a decently-built car, it can easily last 20 years.

      I'd like to see you make some brakes that would last ten years, let alone 50.

    13. Re:So What? by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      You need ot buy from a company that prides themself on high quality long lasting products.

      I personally baught a camera a little over a year ago and the specs were not tops even at the time, and the reviews were luke warm or rave, but nothing inbetween. But I would say it is a very strong camera. The things it has though to make it long lasting are not the resolution, it is only 3.9 meapixel.

      It has a decent size (not quite pocket) with a magnesium case. It has been pushed off a table onto cement and taken no damage. I am sure the company that produced it will support it for a long time to come (Leica). And it takes beautiful pictures (for 8 x 10 anyway) with no shutter lag. The white balance is fairly good, with a setable options, and the flash can be set from dim to very bright (for a built in).

      The camera is now "obsolete" but will be useful for a very long time.

      Not all cameras are pushed out junk, and I am sure that even the companies listed make soime good stuff meant to last.

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
    14. Re:So What? by Mouse42 · · Score: 1

      On that list I feel compelled to trade in only one item for a younger model.

      Hilarious. I hope it is the car you want to trade in!

    15. Re:So What? by ckaminski · · Score: 1

      I'd like to see them make brakes that last two years, nevermind 10. :(

      Seems I'm replacing my front disks on my Sable every 18 months, and I'm NOT a brake rider...

    16. Re:So What? by CyberKnet · · Score: 1

      Wow. You are SO right.

      I mean, anybody who buys a video card knows EXACTLY what you mean. If you buy a six month old video card, you can GUARANTEE it wont work with any game made six months after the card was.

      Sure thing.

      Excuse me while I go use my obsolete video card to play games that don't work all the while somehow being subconsciously demanded to buy a new product until I cave in and do so.

      Why do you think that the "moron" is modded insightful, and you haven't been moderated up at all? I'll give you a hint: It's not because he posted "tripe".

      --
      Video meliora proboque deteriora sequor - Ovidius
    17. Re:So What? by connorbd · · Score: 1

      Or at least to make it look that way. If everybody bought their cameras the way pros do, the companies making them would have nothing to sell. /says someone who, somewhere, still has a camera that's over 15 years old and works

    18. Re:So What? by Omestes · · Score: 1

      I refuse to buy any car made after the mid 80's. Why? Because they look good (not like obnoxious bubbles, matching every other make and model made today), they lack all the extra features I don't want/care about, I can repair them myself (no silly diagnostic computers, complicated electronics), they don't have any silly automatic things (the more complex, the more there is to break).

      My cell phone is a brick, no extra bells and whistles. My computer is completely swept of anything I don't use, completely minimal. I use a french press instead of a complex coffee maker.

      Most features on new devices go completely unused, and exist only as selling gimicks, they just add another useless falible layer of complexity. There exists a happy balance between being a luddite and being tech savvy.

      --
      A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
    19. Re:So What? by Omestes · · Score: 1

      That isn't really true. My silly old Voodoo3 worked fine up until about 2 years ago, when I bought a Radeon 7500, which worked just fine up until the last batch of games (mostly Deus Ex 2, and Far Cry). I even could play UT2kx on the highest graphic settings on it, not to mention Unreal 2.

      I'd say there is about a 2 year video card turn-around.

      --
      A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
    20. Re:So What? by caswelmo · · Score: 1

      I understand the minimalist viewpoint. However, what we're talking about here is a company trying to make money off a product. And I think we can agree that the MAJORITY of people enjoy (or think they do) the bells and whistles that come with new stuff. So if a company wants to MAXIMIZE profits, they will go after the largest part of the market. Which, unfortunately (for you), doesn't correspond to your desires/needs.

      I do understand the philosophical stance that we really don't need all of these improvements. But let's face it, all that stance is is a philosophical one. In practice, it's a bunch of crap.

      Nearly everything I own I would like to see improvements in. That includes my car, PDA, cell phone, wife (did I say that outloud), lawn mower, chewing gum, blah, blah, blah. And, being an engineer, it's my curse that I constantly think about ways to improve everything I own. It's the nature of the world we live in that someone will improve on things. And anyone who doesn't come along for the ride will go out of business (or at least experience massive profit losses).

      I think the common /. problem is thinking from only their viewpoint. I want *thing* so that's what companies should make. If they don't, they're stupid or "The Man". Whatever, companies follow the money, and the money follows popular opinion. If you like to be the rebel & disagree with popular opinion, then don't come bitching when nobody makes what you want.

    21. Re:So What? by Omestes · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I get the marketing angle, the more features you have, the more likely your are to get some poor technophile to scream "shiny!". Overwhelm them. And Americans seem to be infected with technophilia.

      I've just noticed that I'd rather live with the minimum, being that if I ask "them" to give me what I need, they will throw in so much crap to render whatever it is unuseable.

      I just think the market should also try to go for the quality of features aspect instead of the quanity of features aspect, some times. I'm sure I'm not alone in wanting my cell-phone to do the phone thing real well, intead of doing millions of things "decently".

      If you have to do a hard sell (like most cellphone companies) to sell your feature laden phones, couldn't you just sell a normal phone easier? I'm sure that I'm not the only person who wants something to perform its function, and nothing else, so there is a decent niche market.

      I agree most /.ers don't look at the market perspective (as evident by the windows bashing, linux being better in theory, but not marketable, and not good for the "unwashed masses")

      Philosophy is my thing, sorry.

      --
      A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
    22. Re:So What? by caswelmo · · Score: 1

      I definitely get your point. As a matter of fact, I totally agree with the phone thing. I've been looking for a well-built (solid, durable, non-flimsy) cell-phone for quite a while now. All I want is a phone that stores some numbers. No addresses or emails, no calendar, no ring tones or music, just a friggin' phone.

      Unfortunately, all of my friends think I'm a bit of a wack-job when it comes to that. They all want the latest camera-music-PDA-phone with rocket thrusters & available satellite uplink (exaggeration, a bit).

      I'm actually a bit surprised there isn't some sort of minimalist website that features stuff like that. Actually there probably is we just don't know about it.

    23. Re:So What? by CyberKnet · · Score: 1

      You are saying that there is a two year lifetime to a video card. No problem there.

      How does that make what I said untrue?

      I said buying a six month old video card would play the games currently available. Nothing you have said here refutes that point except "That isn't really true". A six month release cycle has no bearing on whether or not a two year old video card can play todays games. They could release video cards annually and you would have the exact same scenario.

      All your post has done is prove my point... but at the same time you're trying to say I'm wrong! Please; think before you post.

      --
      Video meliora proboque deteriora sequor - Ovidius
    24. Re:So What? by Omestes · · Score: 1

      point conceded... Must have misread...

      --
      A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
    25. Re:So What? by H09N0X10U5 · · Score: 1
      I mean, sure, the frame & certain pieces of the body could last, but that's about it. Say goodbye to any moving part, sensor, paint, etc.
      I've got a hammer that my dad gave me 30 years ago, and in all that time it's only had five new handles and one new head.
      --
      The post anonymously option you are [not] attempting to use is one that isn't available to your user.
    26. Re:So What? by caswelmo · · Score: 1

      So are you arguing with me or agreeing?

      6 replacements on a 30 years old hammer. Sounds like a cruddy hammer to me. I've never broken a hammer (although I've had 4 "borrowed" by "friends" & never returned).

      Oh wait, I did break my girlfriends hammer one time. It was some Wal-Mart piece of junk. Man, those heads can really get some distance when they come flying off midswing. Oops!

  4. Good for business by ePhil_One · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Since most of these updates are minor tweaks, rapid product cycles help remove that sales lag that hits about 9 months after a product is released; I dont want to buy now becaus enext years model is due soon.

    Of course, this plays havoc with review readers, since by the time a product is reviewed, a new batch of products is out...

    --
    You are in a maze of twisted little posts, all alike.
    1. Re:Good for business by jj_johny · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There is a big downside of such rapid product changes. It takes a fair amount of time to stock the sales channel. This means that before you see the latest digital camera on the shelf at the local camera store, it has to go through a three or four hands. This means that a product that is going to be replaced in six months spends the first month or more not available to people. Also, when a new product is introduced all the existing products that are in stock go down in value. If you are running a retail store, you can easily get stuck with product that is obsolete but can't be sold for cost. This is what caused the big computer retails to have so much of a problem when they were reluctant to mark down old product. This was especially true in the height of video card wars.

    2. Re:Good for business by Biogenesis · · Score: 3, Informative

      It plays havoc with people wanting a linux compatible Wifi card as well. Basically no wifi manufacturer has released a card that at one stage had say a nice prism or orinoco chipset in it that hasn't changed it for something uncompatible like a Broadcomm or TI.

      eg:
      Netgear WG311 was an Atheros supported by the madwifi driver but is now a Texus Intruments which is yet to have a stable driver (partial success has been had with this one, just not by me). At *least* Netgear had the kindness to call the TI version "WG311v2" and change the box slightly (documented here it still makes it really annoying when you see "supported" next to "wg311" at places such as here, then you buy one and find out it's changed from 4 weeks ago)

      The (in)famous Linksys WMP11 used to be a linux-friendly prism but is now a Broadcomm or inprocomm (I think it's been both according to The List

      Many other wifi cards have undergone such massive (I consider a chipset change massive) changes without there model numbers changed and it makes getting a wireless card for linux *VERY* difficult and frustrating.

    3. Re:Good for business by ePhil_One · · Score: 1
      It takes a fair amount of time to stock the sales channel. This means that before you see the latest digital camera on the shelf at the local camera store, it has to go through a three or four hands.

      A good point, but I think it's balanced by the lack of advertising and promotion most cameras get. Unlike Video cards, there isn't the rush of salvitating maniacs aching to get their hands on the latest and greatest; its much closer to a commodity market where most folks walk into their favorite retailer thinking "I want to spend about $300 on a camera". Most advertising I've seen is far more "Brand" focused than "Model" focused.

      If you are running a retail store, you can easily get stuck with product that is obsolete but can't be sold for cost.

      Another good point. Nikon I think has the right answer; when a new model is released the offer a rebate on the old model, so far this has been a pretty compelling lure.

      --
      You are in a maze of twisted little posts, all alike.
    4. Re:Good for business by datan · · Score: 1

      the acx100 driver works perfectly on my Dlink-650+ (well enough to use kismet). which card did you try?

    5. Re:Good for business by Biogenesis · · Score: 1

      Netgear WG311v2, the problem I get creates exactly the same dmesg log as seen by people bothering to post on the acx100 message board. Remember that the 650+is a 11b card, the WG311 is an 11g card and hence has the acx111 chip, not the acx100.

    6. Re:Good for business by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe the manufacturers are putting pressure on the stores. If the manufacturers sell online while the sales channel is still in the process of being stocked, they have an advantage. They can also sell direct at a higher profit margin, as they don't have to pay the middleman.
      Maybe this is good for customers, as we can get new models faster. Manufacturers may also have to sell a bit cheaper than the stores, as buyers will need incentives to overcome the problem of not being able to handle the product before buying.

  5. Only for some. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This is why I hate cell phones.

    I just want a phone, I don't want to pay for new features I don't need in a new phone in 6 months after my current phone falls apart because they made a piece of crap.

    1. Re:Only for some. by _PimpDaddy7_ · · Score: 1

      C'mon man, you REALLY don't want the NGage? ;)

    2. Re:Only for some. by the+Luddite · · Score: 1

      Hear Hear! How long do products that are made today last compared with products made a century ago? Will ANY products made today still be around in another century? Many more people that you think just want something simple and reliable. I for one would much rather pay more for a solidly built item that will last for a long time than pay repeatedly for some crappy item cranked out as fast as possible for the sole benefit of cost reduction.

    3. Re:Only for some. by ethanms · · Score: 1

      Only problem is that there are a huge number of manufacturers for any given product, and they're all trying to "1-up" each other on features and/or price.

      So if I release a cell phone, my competitor is going to release a cell phone that has a voice recorder... so I release one with that plus a camera... competitor releases one with a higher-res camera... now we can do video... now we have more storage... now it does holographic imaging... etc...

      It goes on forever w/ electronics... what you have is never good enough, even when it is.

      I have a 4 year old cell phone and I'm constantly harassed by friends in the business who say I should upgrade to get more features, etc, etc... most of them say "but it's only $29 for this new one!", besides the fact that it requires that I re-sign a year+ contract, I just don't see any value at all in a new cell phone compared to my old one.

      But if you're Jane Sixpack and you're getting ads and product placements shoved down your throat for new cool phones with more and more and more and more ring tones, flashing lights, features, animated icons, colors, mobile AIM, blah, blah, blah, blah ALL for $29.99! of course you're going to wind up saying yes and doing it...

    4. Re:Only for some. by Miphnik · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Question: what products -- especially "high-tech" products -- from a century ago would you want to use today on a regular basis, given the alternatives? Not their decendents, e.g., modern jet aircraft, hybrid power-plant automobiles, digital cameras, etc., but the ones actually built a century ago? I suspect the list will be a rather short one, including buildings, furniture, typewriters (multipart forms, you know) and artwork/antiques.

      My point is, planned obsolesence or no, technology does continue to advance, and it makes very little sense to design some products to endure more than a few years in normal use. Those "well-built" analog cell phones from just a few years ago will be nice paperweights in another couple of years when the carriers start phasing out their analog service.

      --
      "My order takes pride in knowing all that can be known, and most of all the rest..." --Galen
    5. Re:Only for some. by the+Luddite · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Doing things just because we can is not a good reason to do them. In fact, it is a very bad reason. Building things to be disposable is fine if you plan to do more than burry them in the ground when you throw them away. The problem is that all this 'stuff' that is build today is made of things that are expensive or out right not reusable. Someone sometime is going to the bill for the checks we are writing today and they are not going to be pleased when it happens. By designing things that can last now, we can help the people of the future. By designing things for our immediate gratification is akin to giving the finger to everyone who is yet to come. Rampant commercialism is one of the biggest threats today to our world as a whole.

    6. Re:Only for some. by Epistax · · Score: 1

      My phone isn't bad by my standards. The only thing they are doing with phones which I like is making them smaller. I'd like mine to be as flat as possible, while of course still having the strength required to hold its shape. My phome has a very soft ring that apparently only I can hear. It came with four free games, one is slightly amusing (bowling). The reception from the company (AT&T) has never fallen below two bars from the top (whatever that really means) across 4 states. The battery life takes me most of a week, if not longer (I really don't pay attention).

      The phone was free (exchange for soul), and I really like it. It doesn't have any silly camera in it or anything else to get me arrested. There are a few unneeded features but I can get away without using them without too much hassle.

      I am posting this because before I got a cell phone I really didn't want one because I wanted a phone matching the description that you describe. I've dropped it and it's fine. There is a screen protecting the screen (removable face plate) so I'm pretty sure I'm good to go.

    7. Re:Only for some. by bcattwoo · · Score: 1

      I found that recent cell company ad featuring the guy with the cell phone that doubled as a cheese grater to be amusing. The top of their list of features you "need": ringtones and games. I guess we don't think alike.

  6. Upon us? by Alizarin+Erythrosin · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It has been for a while then. Unless nobody seem to notice that the video card market has been in a 6 month product cycle for a long time now.

    --
    There are only 10 kinds of people in this world... those who understand binary and those who don't
    1. Re:Upon us? by Biogenesis · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Which is why I haven't bought one for about 5 years.

      Personally I want my purchases to *last*, I don't care if a "better" product is available the fact remains that when I bought something it did what I expected and required it to do and a year later it should still do it, hopefully for much longer.

      I really dislike the way the entire technology arena is going, I am only 19 and already I see far too much "progress" for comfort. I look at my dad who has been able to keep the same job for 19 years and I know that I simply won't be able to do that.

      But in all this change, I think we should all remember Ecclesiastes 7:10:
      Do not say, "Why were the old days better than these?" For it is not wise to ask such questions.

      People longed for the past 5000odd years ago and they still do it today, humans all share an odd similarity.

      I sorta strayed a bit there...Aw well.

    2. Re:Upon us? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you enter the job market today, I bet there is upwards of a 100% chance that you will not be keep the same job for 19 years. If you go into tech - 3 years is a long time; in engineering 4 years you'll be lucky; in construction maybe 15 years before you say this is dumb and become the contractor; services probably max of 10 years before you strangle your first customer.

      My first advice would be to get a degree in any field get a job and look at how to move up in managment.

    3. Re:Upon us? by nelsonal · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I think Ecclesiastes probably has a lot of good advice for modern folk, after all the guy writing it was desparate after gaining everything the world had to offer (wealth, women, wisdom, power) and none of them made him happy after a short honeymoon period. I'd guess that many Americans are getting to that point or will be there in a few years. I've always thought the saddest people in the world are like Paris Hilton. Unlike those of us who can dream that being wealthy, popular, or beautiful would make us happy; they know that they do not and have little left to look forward to.

      --
      Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
    4. Re:Upon us? by ethanms · · Score: 1

      ...and who can forget the favorite trick of the video card manufacturers...

      Release a powerful (and expensive) card with a certain model number...

      3-6 months later release card that contains an "MX" (or whatever) version of that chip which costs a fraction of the price, but also offers a fraction of the performance.

      They confuse the hell out of consumers in order to sell you something... they play games with model numbers, twist benchmarks and employ deceptive advertising tactics... and when asked why, they all claim they have to because the other guy does it too...

    5. Re:Upon us? by Vlion · · Score: 2

      That is interesting. ..lack of ability to look forward to better things beacuse you have all the better things...

      Facinating, as Mr. Spock would say.

      --
      /b
      |f(x)dx = F(b) - F(a)
      /a
    6. Re:Upon us? by Fweeky · · Score: 1

      Uh, *glances about*, all my old stuff seems to be working fine, thanks. The existance of newer, better products doesn't seem to have made anything suddenly die. Entropy makes things stop working, not progress.

    7. Re: Upon us? by gidds · · Score: 1
      Yeah, but if new models are released every six months, and they expect a proportion of people to upgrade, then they won't be quite so concerned with building them to last. And then people will have to upgrade every half-year or two...

      (Look in the Guide, under 'Shoe Event Horizon'.)

      --

      Ceterum censeo subscriptionem esse delendam.

    8. Re:Upon us? by tekrat · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I've always thought the saddest people in the world are like Paris Hilton. Unlike those of us who can dream that being wealthy, popular, or beautiful would make us happy; they know that they do not and have little left to look forward to.

      Sorry, but my heart's not gonna' be bleeding for Paris Hilton when there are people in the US who have to bust their asses every day for minimum wage, and the large majority of humans on the planet would give their left arm to have 1/10th of her looks and money.

      And no, I'm not bitter. But frankly, to have all that presitige and wealth and glamour, and your biggest concern is what your nails look like makes you the biggest waste of life on the planet. I'm not going to feel sorry for people like that, I'm going to despise people like that.

      I'm better than those people in every way, but I'll bet no one's going to give me my own TV show.

      And for the record, being wealthy, popular and beautiful *would* make me happy - because being poor, alone and ugly really, really sucks.

      --
      If telephones are outlawed, then only outlaws will have telephones.
    9. Re:Upon us? by Brandybuck · · Score: 1

      And for the record, being wealthy, popular and beautiful *would* make me happy - because being poor, alone and ugly really, really sucks.

      You're missing the point. While I would agree that being wealthy, popular and beautiful would make it easier to find happiness, it is not happiness itself. I think your problem is that you equate poverty, loneliness and ugliness with sadness. Not true.

      When you see two equally poor lonely twins, and one is happy and the other not, you can only conclude that happiness does not come from the wallet, groin or makeup bottle.

      --
      Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
    10. Re:Upon us? by warm+sushi · · Score: 1

      Wealth and fame only leave the unimaginative and stupid unhappy. An imaginative person will achieve great things with wealth and happiness because their greatness will be expressed through the wealth and fame NOT DERIVED FROM IT. A stupid person will remain sad and uphappy no matter what.

    11. Re:Upon us? by nelsonal · · Score: 1

      I'd guess that an imaginative person would be happy while poor or unpopular. I like to think of wealth as simply a magnifier or amplifier of the character of the individual in question. Unfortuanately too many people expect happiness to be derived from circumstances and are sorely dissapointed when it is not. That's what keeps marrage councilors employeed (people expecting the circumstance of marrage to increase their happiness or meet a deep need). If you reach that dissapointment after you have achived (or been handed) everything you would be one pitiful creature.

      --
      Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
    12. Re:Upon us? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, I (not the original poster) agree with you that happiness has been shown to be independent of individual circumstance, but...

      You have to admit, that by any other objective measure, the Paris Hiltons of the world have life better than Joe Average.

      Sorry, but I'm not going to give them any sympathy when they have no empathy for their fellow man - I just don't understand why the world finds it okay to idolise and worship the successful as if they are superior beings.

      For most of them it was just dumb luck - and yet, society doesn't realise this, and lets them go on, while they spend $300 on the latest hair-do and then walk by a homeless person on the street without bothering to even drop a dollar.

  7. Kinda like JBuilder by GeoVizer · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Borland keeps sticking its hand out this often...

    1. Re:Kinda like JBuilder by Timesprout · · Score: 3, Insightful

      This pattern put a lot of people off JBuilder and Borland products in general. In the long run its probably done them more harm than good.

      --
      Do not try to read the dupe, thats impossible. Instead, only try to realize the truth
      What truth?
      There is no dupe
  8. I don't recall ever having yearly product cycles by Tet · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Rather than the yearly model updates that people have come to expect

    Have we? I'm more surprised that anyone expected model updates once a year. I expect them whenever the manufacturer believes that bringing out a new model is economically viable. I certainly don't see a new model 6 months after the last one as being particularly noteworthy.

    Is this just an American thing? I mean, the rest of the world has never had things like cars being different from one year to the next, yet in the US, you seem to have a new version of each car model each year, being arbitrarily different to the last, apparently just for the sake of being different and new for that particular year.

    --
    "The invisible and the non-existent look very much alike." -- Delos B. McKown
  9. cellphones too? by bircho · · Score: 2, Insightful

    i don't know about you guys, but my old motorola brick was less laggy and had better sound (i know... digital is better) than my brand new siemens.

    they are not caring about quality anymore.

    1. Re:cellphones too? by mrm677 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      i don't know about you guys, but my old motorola brick was less laggy and had better sound (i know... digital is better) than my brand new siemens.

      If you old Motorola brick was analog (AMPS), then that probably explains it. Your digital cellphone compresses a voice stream into a measly 9600 or 14400 bps. Yeah, its great in a car because the codec also gets rid of noise, but I think overall voice quality stinks and relish the days of AMPS with occasional static. Second, your call is dropped if you hit a momentary dead area and lose too many packets to recover. On the otherhand, analog will just drop out (or go static) and usually recover (unless you are dead for more than a second).

    2. Re:cellphones too? by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1
      Well, considering that analogue cellphones have been obsolescent around 10 years ago, and end-of-life 5 years ago in most of the world, I'd say that yes, digital is probably better.


      It's more down to handset design, though. My 3-year-old Nokia sounds a hell of a lot better than the new one I tried (and didn't like). The 7110 that it replaced was even better, with a nicer UI, but kept switching itself off.

    3. Re:cellphones too? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > they are not caring about quality anymore.

      Today's consumers only care about 'small and shiny' they don't give a shit about quality or durability.

    4. Re:cellphones too? by Biogenesis · · Score: 1

      Just remember:

      Our cameras come with a lot of great features...Like a phone.
      -Any modern phone producer

      Believe it or not that was actually a slogan used on a billboard for a phone. I can't remember which one but it really turned me off buying a new one as I know that mobile phone cameras are crappier-than-webcam quality and if the phone is just an added feature of the camera I guess I'm better off with 2 cans and a bit of string.

    5. Re:cellphones too? by CarrionBird · · Score: 1
      Obsolete? Sure.

      Still works better and in more places than digital? Yes.

      *(in the US that is, YMMV)
      --
      Free Mac Mini Yeah, it's
    6. Re:cellphones too? by lucifuge31337 · · Score: 1

      Well, considering that analogue cellphones have been obsolescent around 10 years ago

      Do you mean "obsolete". No, they haven't been. They just haven't been sold. The AMPS network is alive and strong.

      Don't believe me? Check around. Here's your first hint: All On*Star customers are on it.

      --
      Do not fold, spindle or mutilate.
    7. Re:cellphones too? by ethanms · · Score: 1

      Your old motorola probably also beamed 3 watts of microwaves into your brain.

      That's one advancement that was worthwhile... newer digital phones generally only require 1W of transmit power in the same signal conditions as the old analog phones.

      I'd buy newer phones if they promised less radiated energy into my skull... otherwise new phones are just shlock.

      My Nokia 6160 (circa 1999) turns on seconds... my friends Motorla V60 (circa 2003) takes about 10 seconds to "boot" and hangs occationally...

    8. Re:cellphones too? by gcaseye6677 · · Score: 2, Informative

      The problem is, if you actually want to use an analog cell phone, you will pay an arm and a leg for the service and be stuck with a much older handset. These phones, although they were powerful and sounded great, had terrible battery life. Cell phone companies have no incentive to make better analog phones available to their customers since digital networks are easier to manage, and to oversubscribe.

    9. Re:cellphones too? by ad0gg · · Score: 1

      V60 has some firmware updates to it, my original V60 used to crash all time. My new one hasn't crashed on me yet.

      --

      Have you ever been to a turkish prison?

  10. It's the market, silly by heironymouscoward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Markets that are in periods of rapid change obviously have rapid product cycles. When the race to the bottom is finished, and the winners have divided up the market, the product cycle will slow down again.

    There are still too many camera manufacturers and the costs are still too high. The market will slow down when the cost per camera has come down to around $20 and the functionality is more than the average consumer wants. There will always be a market for premium products but this is not what is driving the current cycle: it's the mass market.

    Standard technology curve... aka Heironymous' Law.

    --
    Ceci n'est pas une signature
    1. Re:It's the market, silly by No+Such+Agency · · Score: 1

      $20

      I seriously doubt that $20 will be a price point for decent digital cameras any time soon. There are extremely trashy point-and-shoot film cameras for that now, but they are truly garbage - I wouldn't even keep one in my glove box to take pictures of accidents. I suspect that a decent consumer camera will come down to $200 CD (maybe $125-150 US) in the near future, but why go lower when consumers will pay that much, and will view cheap goods with suspicion?

      --
      Freedom: "I won't!"
  11. Faster != better by supercytro · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The problem is that shorter release cycles are not necessarily better for the consumers. For the average consumer, it's hard enough to choose a brand amongst the myriad models out there. Then the buyer can look forward to having their model devalued with a new upgrade.

    The manufacturers, will also lose out as they end up haemmoraging their own profits by reducing the return on research investments as well as losing the opportunity to build up a brand like Apple did with their iPod.

    1. Re:Faster != better by gr8_phk · · Score: 1

      The six month cycle just indicates that these are commoditiy items now with minor evolutionary changes. No one is developing really interesting products from scratch in 6 months. New features may be in the works a year or more before they make it into a product. Feature development cycle != product release cycle.

  12. 6 month life cycle...good or bad? by bje2 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Analyzing the 6-month life cycle from the different points of view...

    Consumer - on one hand (as the second link points out), this is great for the consumer, because newer models causes the prices on the older models to drop, and then the consumer can possibly afford "more" camera then they otherwise could...of course, the flip side to this, is that you have to be satisfied with a camera that is "out of date"...

    Retail Store - although I'm sure all major electronic stores like Best Buy, Circuit City, etc, have excellent supply chain management, I still gotta believe they get stuck holding the bag a little when new cameras are announced every six months, and suddenly all of the current cameras they had in stock suddenly become devalued...

    Camera Company - obviously this is good for them...we've seen it time and time again, with cell phones being the most recent example...even though a consumer may be happy with their current product, they just have to have the most up-to-date, shiny, feature filled version of whatever it may be (cell phone, camera, pc, etc)...

    The bottom line is, I still think it's good for the consumer...look what this same type of accelerated cycle has done for the home PC...parents everywhere can now buy much more PC then they could ever use, very cheaply...yoou just gotta be able to live with not having the best and fastest thing out there (ugh, this might be the wrong forum to propose that idea)...

    --

    "Facts are meaningless. You could use facts to prove anything that's even remotely true." - Homer Simpson
    1. Re:6 month life cycle...good or bad? by swb · · Score: 3, Insightful

      of course, the flip side to this, is that you have to be satisfied with a camera that is "out of date"..

      The major bad thing about this is that the more rapid the product cycle, the crappier the firmware or supporting desktop software is, making us more and more dependent on frequent and numerous software updates to get relatively bug-free operation.

      With ultra-fast product cycles, we're looking at software obsolence and product abandonment far faster than we otherwise would have. The device may still work, but have critical bugs/problems/issues that aren't resolved without buying the next item in the product cycle.

      It's obviously something less of an issue with devices that have a non-proprietary data interface (eg, memory cards), but something like the iPod really needs its proprietary software to function as designed. But it's still a critical issue regardless if the firmware inside the device doesn't work right.

      I love updatable firmware, I hate the fact that it's become an excuse for manufacturers to release broken products and sometimes fix them as they go.

    2. Re:6 month life cycle...good or bad? by oolon · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Currently there is a camera revolution going on so it is natural to expect to have alot of choice and new models. If you want to look at a mature market look at the VCR one, there is very little choice in the highstreet all are almost idendical, and the price is very low. I expect you will see the cameras that Minolta is removing are not well placed in the market, so they have taken the decision to replace a model that is only 6 months old with one that will perform better in the market, sound sensible to me! Considering the current size of the market and the lose of market share if they don't do this. I don't expect we will see a 6 months cycle, however to do expect to see poorly performing (in sales) cameras to be quickly replaced and better selling ones to be more slowly replaced.

      All this will continue while the market is red hot (which is great for the customer). When it slows down the choice will not be so good but atleast everything will be cheap!

      James

    3. Re:6 month life cycle...good or bad? by leandrod · · Score: 1
      > you have to be satisfied with a camera that is "out of date"...

      Which is a nice way to get out of the rat race. I fail to see a problem here.

      --
      Leandro Guimarães Faria Corcete DUTRA
      DA, DBA, SysAdmin, Data Modeller
      GNU Project, Debian GNU/Lin
    4. Re:6 month life cycle...good or bad? by Last_Available_Usern · · Score: 3, Funny

      Yea...great for the consumer. What about us folks who have to have the latest and the greatest but can't afford it? I've accumulated almost $3 trillion in debt thanks to products like this. Guns, planes, toilet seats, etc...the list goes on. The manufacturers all tell me this new one is better then what I have, so I *have* to get them. Please stop forcing my hand.

      George Bush

    5. Re:6 month life cycle...good or bad? by roman_mir · · Score: 2, Interesting

      even though a consumer may be happy with their current product, they just have to have the most up-to-date, shiny, feature filled version of whatever it may be (cell phone, camera, pc, etc)... - are you sure that's everyone you are talking about? I am not even sure that's the majority. When it comes to cell-phones I prefer to stick with the older simpler model to all of the feature creaping contraptions that I see mostly teens use nowadays. I would have still be using my old Samsung from 4 years ago, but it just did not have good reception any more.

    6. Re:6 month life cycle...good or bad? by Biogenesis · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I like the way you've taken the opposite side to a lot of other people but even among your valid arguments I'd still rather just buy a product and have it last a long time. If it did what I bought it to do the day I bought it why shoulden't it do it in 1, 5 or even 10 years time. I know that in 1994 you could get a 486 machine for word processing and if you could still easily get printer cartriges for printers made in 1994 I'm sure it would still be quite a usefull machine, but do you still see people using equipment that old? I find it a sad fact that you don't and an environmental hazard to boot with all the wasted recources going into products that will be landfill in 2 or 3 years.

      I know that I will always be one to laugh when I see a 4 year old fridge thrown out and a 40 year old fridge continue to cool like it was brand new. Even if it is only used to cool beer at some summer beachhouse I admire the fact that it was built to last. Imagine how satisfying it would be knowing that the camera you bought today was powered off a plutonium heat cell and would last as well as the Voyager probe.

    7. Re:6 month life cycle...good or bad? by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I call it bad for the consumer. It is harder to keep track of what is good. Six months is not enough time for a product to gather a reputation, good or bad. When I'm new to a particular product, I generally look around for site reviews and user impressions.

      That said, the auto industry isn't above having mid-year updates and mid-year introductions, they just don't do it often.

      I don't think the computer necessarily benefitted from model year-itis, because products stick around for a good while after introduction and aren't removed from the market when a faster version is put out. They just don't hold themselves to introducing a new product at a specific time every year.

    8. Re:6 month life cycle...good or bad? by (startx) · · Score: 1

      Retail Store - although I'm sure all major electronic stores like Best Buy, Circuit City, etc, have excellent supply chain management, I still gotta believe they get stuck holding the bag a little when new cameras are announced every six months, and suddenly all of the current cameras they had in stock suddenly become devalued...

      I'm not sure how Best Buy treats all of their suppliers, but with software you don't see a dime until your software sells from their shelf, so it's the manufacturer who get's stuck with the cost of the old product if it's devalued.

    9. Re:6 month life cycle...good or bad? by ethanms · · Score: 1

      VCRs are stable because no one gives a shit about them anymore...

      DVDs are a better example... they are fairly stable... not a lot of features being added...

      But that's because the technology hits a point where there's nothing left to do...

      Camera's can always get higher resolutions... smaller... more features... more storage, etc...

    10. Re:6 month life cycle...good or bad? by Chanc_Gorkon · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Or not fix them at all. Toshiba with their e740 may have just used a cheaper rom chip then a flashable chip as they neever released mroe then one firmware update and it still did not fix critical issues with the device. Then Microsoft released Windows Mobile 2003 and they did not offer an upgrade for it.

      Flash to just 6 months ago when they released the e805. It was and currently still is the only PDA with a 640x480 LCD. Microsoft released Windows Mobile 2003 SE. Toshiba followed up and released it for the e805 (WM 2003 SE adds VGA support to all of it's components)...in Germany. They have, to date, not released this to the US market and have pretty much did what Sony did, pull out of the market. CompUSA doesn't have any e805's and it's been discontinued.

      The problem now is that everyoen is trying to be the next cellphone and I am sorry, but it just does not work with anything other then cellphones. You can always get a new phone every 2 years if your willing to sign another two year contract. Tmobile has gotten this down to a year. The cellphone market came out like this because of the way our providers pushed signing new contracts. Essentially, even if you are already a subscriber, you can rework your deal, and get a new phone every 1-2 years....THIS DOES NOT WORK on devices that the purchase price is not subsidised. This is probably why Sony and others pulled out of the market. In ths US, cellphones appear to be free every 2 years, but they really aren't free. How do youi subsidise something with out a recurring monthly bill? You can't.

      In most of Asia, small devices are and always have been all the rage. IN Japan, they buy these devices voraciously. In the US, we want something to last so it just does not work to release a new one every 6 months that's only evolutionary. Sure, we'd buy it if it really wow's you, but the WOW moves from one camp to another (like from PocketPC to Palm and back and forth) and then stalls out for about 6 months to a year. American's get PO'd when the device we bout 8 months ago is all of a sudden NOT getting updates to fix problems. SO we bag that vendor and go to another then they do the same thing. The 6 month cycle is nice, but it just does not work in the American market too well.

      --

      Gorkman

    11. Re:6 month life cycle...good or bad? by virtual_mps · · Score: 2, Insightful
      I know that I will always be one to laugh when I see a 4 year old fridge thrown out and a 40 year old fridge continue to cool like it was brand new. Even if it is only used to cool beer at some summer beachhouse I admire the fact that it was built to last.

      I always think it's a real shame when people keep old refrigerators around. Even putting aside the old death-trap fridges with the locking mechanisms that tend to kill children, the power consumption on old fridges is high enough to make the new models pay for themselves in energy savings.
    12. Re:6 month life cycle...good or bad? by alphaseven · · Score: 1
      I know that in 1994 you could get a 486 machine for word processing and if you could still easily get printer cartriges for printers made in 1994 I'm sure it would still be quite a usefull machine, but do you still see people using equipment that old?

      Heh, I still have a HP Deskjet 500 from 1990 hooked up to my machine. They still sell cartridges for it. Alas I doubt they build printers as reliable as that anymore.

      Retired my Pentium 90 six months ago (after replacing the floppy, cdrom, and hard drive over the years), it was still useful running Win95 with Opera and Trillian.

    13. Re:6 month life cycle...good or bad? by scharkalvin · · Score: 1

      and if you could still easily get printer cartriges for printers made in 1994 I'm sure it would still be quite a usefull machine, but do you still see people using equipment that old?
      The most reliable laser printers are probably those made by HP in the 1990-1994 era. Also there are third party toner cartriges made for 1/2-1/3 the price of HP's. I had two LJIII's and now have a LJ4, and a 4si. The III's got zapped by a lightning hit to the house and would cost as much to fix as to buy a slightly newer used one on ebay, so I went that route. But if you can find a model III or 4 in good used shape, they are the cheapest cost per page bar none!
      HP's current laser printer line is cheap plastic junk, that uses over priced toner carts.

    14. Re:6 month life cycle...good or bad? by Mr.+Roadkill · · Score: 1
      was powered off a plutonium heat cell
      ...and to think that people complain about NiCd cells going into landfill...
    15. Re:6 month life cycle...good or bad? by Hognoxious · · Score: 1
      but something like the iPod really needs its proprietary software to function as designed.
      Then its design is fundamentally wrong.

      I have an Archos jukebox that needs no proprietary drivers - it just works in Win XP and it just works on Linux. Ditto an external card reader. Ditto a memory watch.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  13. Microsoft et al. by pubjames · · Score: 4, Interesting


    I've often wondered why Microsoft and the other main software companies have not abandonded the idea of major product releases. Incremental releases (like those in the OSS world) make a lot more sense, as the product then evolves more organically. There is no real reason why MS couldn't start doing this for it's products. It would be much easier to get people to "subscribe" to products then, which would be good in the long term for Microsoft's revenue stream.

    1. Re:Microsoft et al. by chibimagic · · Score: 1

      Didn't they already try this "subscription" method, with horrid results?

    2. Re:Microsoft et al. by pubjames · · Score: 1

      Didn't they already try this "subscription" method, with horrid results?

      Yes, they tried the subscription method, but in conjunction with the major release model of software production - with horrid results. People understandably did not like paying for nothing. If they did increamental releases, people would be happier with a subscription payment.

    3. Re:Microsoft et al. by Timesprout · · Score: 2, Insightful

      For the vast majority of people incremental releases are a pain in the ass. I dont want to install an application that has partial or buggy implementation and have to continually install newer versions to get over these issues. Release early/often might work for a limited developer audience but for a mass market I think people will just say if you cant do it properly first time then dont bother.

      --
      Do not try to read the dupe, thats impossible. Instead, only try to realize the truth
      What truth?
      There is no dupe
    4. Re:Microsoft et al. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      because it leads to the idea that what your getting now is an incomplete product

    5. Re:Microsoft et al. by pubjames · · Score: 1

      I dont want to install an application that has partial or buggy implementation

      You shouldn't have to. We're talking about incremental releases, i.e. releasing small changes frequently, rather than large changes infrequently. That's got nothing to do with how the software is tested and quality controlled.

    6. Re:Microsoft et al. by scoot241 · · Score: 1

      Personally, I don't see this happening anytime soon. Every time a major version of Windows comes out, it turns into a media frenzy. I remember the news showing the first person to buy a copy of Windows 95 in the world the day it came out. This media frenzy alone keeps Microsoft on its major product release schedule (or lack thereof). However, all the OEM support could turn the subscription products into a gold mine real quickly. I don't think people would go for it though. Why pay for updates when I'm used to getting them for free?

    7. Re:Microsoft et al. by SlamMan · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Because product testing takes time. Good testing takes lots of time. The cost of the testing, and time involved, has very little to do with what new features were added or changed, os it works out far better for people who test their products, if they have releases less often.

      --
      Mod point free since 2001
    8. Re:Microsoft et al. by HerbieStone · · Score: 2, Insightful
      What kind of updates would you sell? I guess there are some types of updates possible:

      - Security updates. Microsoft provides them for free. Don't see how they could sell them.
      - Data updates. Like with AVirus software. Updates to virus signatures. MS could sell a subscription to Powerpoint-Clipart Galleries with regular updates or new Fonts... well, that's what I can think right now
      - Feature updates. That's what MS is trying to do with every major release. The Same with more features. People don't like the new office releases because of the feature-creep. I don't see how this would improve with small incremental updates.
      Also MS tends to break backward compatibility to older Office version. People don't like that either.

      I guess it's hard to sell software by subscription. Either you get some kind of data updates.
      OTOH maybe they could sell a service, like others do with RPG Games like Everquest and the like. I Guess MS allready tried this kind of business with Passport and other MSN stuff. Didn't work out too good for now.

      Greets HerbieStone

    9. Re:Microsoft et al. by pubjames · · Score: 1

      The cost of the testing, and time involved, has very little to do with what new features were added or changed, os it works out far better for people who test their products, if they have releases less often.

      This is only true if you don't actually test properly.

      I used to work on transaction processing software for banks. Each line of code would be tested thoughly. A one-line code change would involve n tests, a ten-line code change would involve 10*n tests.

      It is nonsensical to say that the cost of testing has no relation to what features have been added or changed.

    10. Re:Microsoft et al. by Cat_Byte · · Score: 1

      Remember Iomega Zip drives when win95 came out? They tried to sell the win95 drivers for $40 if you bought one before 95 came out. That was the last time I ever bought anything from them. I finally found the drivers and it started that click of death crap.

      --
      Two roads diverged in a wood, and I - I took the one the bus load of girls just went down.
    11. Re:Microsoft et al. by Brandybuck · · Score: 1

      It sounds like you weren't testing properly, if you think there is a linear relationship between lines of code and testing time. Each line of code incrementally adds to the overall complexity. It's a logarithmic relationship.

      One example is regression testing. Each bug fixed adds to the regression suite, and thus to the time required to test a new release. For non-initial releases, regression testing is often the longest part.

      --
      Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
  14. Been that way in fashion forever by 192939495969798999 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The fashion industry has been dealing with this forever, and I predict similar trends will appear in music (closing fast), and then computers. By the time you buy something that's 'in fashion' at a traditional store, the designers have already released the next season's line. There is absolutely no way to stay 100% current, unless you are a designer yourself, and even then, your wardrobe will always be off by about 3 seasons.

    --
    stuff |
    1. Re:Been that way in fashion forever by proj_2501 · · Score: 1

      when has the music industry NOT been like this?

    2. Re:Been that way in fashion forever by picklepuss · · Score: 1

      Yes, but fashion goods tend to be a whole lot more disposable than hard goods. They are also seasonal because of... the seasons. If you spent a lot of money on a blue wool peacoat this winter and wore it for three months, then next winter you buy a different winter coat that's in style... is that still a 3 month product cycle? It's not like you're going out wearing it today (unless you're in the Southern Hemisphere, in which case your coat was outdated when you bought it). Are this years spring colors outdated by this years summer colors, or are this years spring colors replaced by next years spring colors?

      Also, the designers right NOW are designing for the spring and summer of 2005... so if you're a designer you won't be 3 seasons off. That would be like saying that if you worked for Konico and today had the prototype of the next cycle's camera.

      And don't forget, there will always be things within any market that basically ignore trends: Levis 501s, etc.

    3. Re:Been that way in fashion forever by upsidedown_duck · · Score: 1

      There is absolutely no way to stay 100% current, unless you are a designer yourself, and even then, your wardrobe will always be off by about 3 seasons.

      I hope people don't lose sleep over these fast product cycles. Living and striving just to look like everyone else doesn't seem very fufilling, especially as it is other people choosing the standards (kinda sad, actually). If someone has a choice between spending money on a new digital camera or a weekend trip with family, I'd recommend the trip. Oh, and just having some savings in the bank is a good option, too.

      --
      -- "Makes Little Debbie look like a pile of puke!" - Moe Szyslak
    4. Re:Been that way in fashion forever by Animats · · Score: 1
      Yeah, and 40% of apparel is eventually sold at a discount.

      The big breakthrough in the rag trade has been better supply chain and inventory management. Most of the big players finally have this down. Now, bell-bottom production gets turned off before you have three container ships of the things in transit from Mayalasia to Long Beach.

      Bad supply chain management leads to stuff like this:

      • Used Clothing: SUPER PRICE FOR A LIMITED TIME ONLY! A huge selection of mixed men's, women's and children's clothing sold by the bail. Bails are made into 1,000 pounds each. Your cost is as low as $0.39 per pound. Minimum order is approximately 20,000 pounds (20' container).
    5. Re:Been that way in fashion forever by Hognoxious · · Score: 1
      unless you are a designer yourself, and even then, your wardrobe will always be off by about 3 seasons.
      But if you're out of date by long enough, you're in fashion again. I rememember flares the first time around.

      Not that industries (that you'd expect to be rational) don't follow cycles too. Processing shifted from the mainframe to the desktop, but now it's moving back (except the mainframe is called an "application server" now, and the dumb terminal is a "thin client"). Likewise, businesses alternately centralise and decentralise, and focus on core competencies or diversify.

      The one thing that doesn't go out of fashion is the revolving door of consultancies who come in and recommend undoing what the previous bunch of shiny suited MBAs did. Is that bizarre or what?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  15. This is an advertisement by Sheepdot · · Score: 3, Insightful
    So, how much did Konica Minolta pay for this ad? I mean, if you analyze the actual content, there's NOTHING to this that would signify this post is a "story" or even remotely newsworthy.

    Welcome to Slashdot, where we debate the commonplace if we can't find a better way to work in an advertisement.

    1. Re:This is an advertisement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      And with the one day story cycle, you can debate it again tommorow!

    2. Re:This is an advertisement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What are you talking about? Complain about the photographyblog.com guy using Slashdot to plug his site, but what does this have to do with Konica?

    3. Re:This is an advertisement by Sheepdot · · Score: 1

      Why would you post this comment as an AC?

      Does it ever strike you as odd that stories that hit the front page about products often have some of the least interesting history behind them?

    4. Re:This is an advertisement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yeah - the dude had his site take a plunge quite hard today. Talk about using /. to plug oneself off the net.

      if it ever comes back, maybe I'll have a look and see whether it's worth of notice.

    5. Re:This is an advertisement by atomico · · Score: 1

      The web site from which the article was extracted (photograhpyblog.com) is mostly a collection of deadly boring press releases, just like the Konica Minolta avalanche published today. Sometimes, a link to a worthy article appears (like the ones appearing in photo.net or in Petteri's website), the only reason to keep the bookmark.

    6. Re:This is an advertisement by ozbird · · Score: 1

      You obviously aren't a Minolta SLR owner who has been waiting to upgrade their lens collection to the digital age. About freaking time...

  16. Dogbert by mfh · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Seems they finally figured out Dogbert's release system. In order to make more money, you need to make more products, and release them more frequently. Also it doesn't account for any crappiness in the product, just that more of any given line will produce more revenue to the company.

    Bad for quality, great for the corporate stocks!

    --
    The dangers of knowledge trigger emotional distress in human beings.
    1. Re:Dogbert by spiny · · Score: 2, Funny

      until the industry reaches the 'shoe event horizon' :)

      --

      Fry: heh, Yakov Smirnoff said it
      Leela: No he didn't.
    2. Re:Dogbert by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bad for quality, great for the corporate stocks!

      In the short term, only! Of course by that time the asshat responsible will have cashed in his stock options and moved on to ruin yet another company!

    3. Re:Dogbert by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm a bit busy with the three Lintillas right now, could you run that by me again?

    4. Re:Dogbert by sharkey · · Score: 1

      Hopefully, "Shoe News" will provide an adequate early warning when this is about to happen.

      --

      --
      "Outlook not so good." That magic 8-ball knows everything! I'll ask about Exchange Server next.
  17. SlashDotted already by JosKarith · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    Both links down already.
    Guess that'll tell me not to answer an e-mail just as a new story comes in.
    Oh well, at leat I'll be able to get the info from the first few posters - after all, nobody would first post without RTFA'ing would they..?

    --
    'Don't worry' said the trees when they saw the axe coming, 'The handle is one of us.'
  18. Re:I don't recall ever having yearly product cycle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "I mean, the rest of the world has never had things like cars being different from one year to the next"

    Puhleaaase!

    How about Japan? How about Europe? How about the freakin' rest of the world!

  19. Faster != Better by holy_smoke · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Marketing folks don't understand that though. To them, faster product cycles = quicker access to profits and market advantage.

    To engineering it means rushed deveopment schedules, hurried design, tooling, testing, and release to production.

    Its a delicate scale. Push it too far towards marketing and you risk significant quality problems. Push it too far toward engineering and you miss your market window.

    --
    Is the juice worth the sqeeze?
  20. This is news? by Nimrangul · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Hardware isn't the only thing that uses a six month production cycle, OpenBSD has been doing it for a while now.

    Honestly, technology does advance fast enough in some fields to support this kind of cycle. It's kind of hard to do it in a more matured area, like automobiles or household appliances, but when the technology behind digital cameras is constantly improving it only makes sense to push it out quickly; before that new technology is made obsolete.

    --
    I'm sick of following my dreams - I'm just going to ask them where they're going and hook up with them later.
  21. I hope not! by Halo- · · Score: 3, Interesting
    The product I work on is currently on roughly a quarterly schedule. (Our customers demand it.) The problem is, that with development that "fast" most innovation gets throw out the door. Each "release" is pretty much a bug-fix with maybe one or two absolutely-critical new features. The complexity of keeping up with multiple linked development streams is enormous, and the result is more mistakes and a much lower level of code refactoring.

    I can't imagine physical products are much different. Sure, you get a new model every 6 months, but what's really changed? Personally, I'd like to wait a year, and get a substantial benefit. My experience is that shorter cycles are good for the marketing droids (who always have vaporware "almost" ready to release) and bad for the customer and the developer.

    Oh, and another funny thing. The same customers who demand quarterly releases also bitch about the fact they have to migrate ever four months. I told them there was a simple solution to that problem... :)

    1. Re:I hope not! by Hognoxious · · Score: 1
      The same customers who demand quarterly releases also bitch about the fact they have to migrate ever four months. I told them there was a simple solution to that problem... :)
      Well it could be worse. If they adopted the standard twelve month year instead of their sixteen month one, their quarterly updates would be only three months apart.
      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    2. Re:I hope not! by Halo- · · Score: 1
      Yeah, yeah... touche.

      Funny thing is, they actually only do upgrade about every 4-6 months. They spend more time piloting than we spend developing and testing. (Good for them.) By the time they are ready for a production rollout, they usually skip a level.

  22. Video cards as well by kneecarrot · · Score: 1

    This has been the case with video cards for as long as I can remember... at least since the Voodoo2.

    --

    I always save my last mod point to mod up a good troll. You people are too serious.

  23. Versionitis. by OS24Ever · · Score: 5, Interesting

    One of the things I have disliked about the computer industry and it's constant improvement is what I have started calling Versionitis. It seems that something 'bigger, badder, and faster' is always around the corner. Due to the cost of some of these items it sure makes some consumers go into a infinite loop waiting for the 'next big thing'.

    What fails to get mentioned or noticed by consumers is that digital cameras and mega pixels they support have reached a plateau as to what they are used for to why I need that many MP.

    3MP was enough for a 8x10 print, 6MP got you into the 13x19 range. anything higher than that just makes the files bigger and can introduce more compression artifacts as you try and reduce the file size with all the detail presented.

    I've got a Canon D60 that I bought in 2002. I've been adding lenses and the like over the last few years but the camera itself is a workhorse and I have no MP reason to replace it. however I'd like a few faster things like shutter speed and whatnot more than how many MP they do.

    I've had to reign in my self-control quite a few times on big ticket items. It was about 18 months ago when I decided that getting a new computer once a year was stupid and a waste of money. My Powerbook G4 867Mhz is doing me just fine still. The only thing that'd force an upgrade is manipulating larger MP camera images in Photoshop, so keeping everything in check on upgrades sure helps keep money for other things.

    --

    As a rock-in-roll Physicist once said, No matter where you go, there you are.

    1. Re:Versionitis. by _PimpDaddy7_ · · Score: 2, Informative

      The new 8MP cameras produce tremendous amounts of noise at low ISO.

      For the price of these 8MP cameras, you can get the canon rebel digital or even the Nikon D70 and you have a quality digital SLR, ability to change lens, and excellent results at low ISOs.

      I just bought a Canon 10D. As the parent said in this thread, I just need the lenses and this package will be good for me for years...

    2. Re:Versionitis. by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 2, Informative

      Say what you like, but I'd prefer to have 7.2 MP for an 8x10 print. That is calculated at 300dpi. 200dpi is noticibly blurrier in a photo print (3 MP). If I keep the print at arm's length, it might not be noticible, but at half arm's length, it is obvious to me.

    3. Re:Versionitis. by Japong · · Score: 2, Informative

      As far as I know, there are no 7.2 megapixel cameras, at least not from any reputable manufactureres (Pine does not count). The old high-end prosumer cameras used 5 megapixel CCDS the 2003 and refreshes for those (Minolta Dimage A2, Sony Cybershot F828, Canon C8080-zoom) are now all using 8 megapixel CCDS, which is important for achieving magazine quality photographic prints (300 dpi) at 8 X 10. With that being said, the current crop of prosumer digital cameras are now enroaching into the price territory of the new amateur level Digital SLRs, most of which use CMOS sensors and have lower ISO noise issues. Most people willing to spend $1000+ on a digital camera are usually those with some passion for the industry, and would rather get the versatility of a dSLR rather than being locked into a fixed-lens prosumer design. I find the 35-420mm (35 mm equivalent) range of the newly-announced Dimage z3 to be a step in the right direction. A cheaper 4 megapixel imager combined with a 12x optical zoom puts it into a unique category (shared only by the Panasonic Lumix line), where amateurs can get into the digital photography field with an outstanding lens for significantly less money than a digital SLR. And with THAT being said, I'm going to go back and lust after the Phase One P25 digital back and Hasselblad H1... $29,990 + $6,000 with 80mm lens = 22 megapixels of medium-format goodness... a man can dream, can't he?

    4. Re:Versionitis. by Fweeky · · Score: 2, Informative

      35-420mm? Yikes! "Outstanding lens" isn't just about focal length, it's about *quality*; everything I've seen about the Minolta Z range has not impressed me in this regard. The Lumix didn't impress me either; the chromic abberation I saw on pretty much every single shot almost made my eyes bleed :/

      My Olympus C-750 Ultra Zoom was very nice, though, so it's not unthinkable to produce a decent UZ lens around this price range; I'd be surprised if they aren't simply pushing things too far in an effort to make for more impressive numbers though :(

    5. Re:Versionitis. by bogie · · Score: 1

      " The new 8MP cameras produce tremendous amounts of noise at low ISO."

      Certainly not all of them, and in all the rags I read I haven't seen them constantly harping on this an achilles heal to the new 8MP models. I guess I just wouldn't point that as a major reason not to buy these camera's. Sample link http://www.dpreview.com/reviews/canonpro1/page15.a sp

      Anyway you do make an excellant point about why go with a new 8MP when you can buy a Rebel etc. I think realistically though that its not a problem because the new 8MP models and the entry level DSLR line server very different audiences. There are many hobbists who want a really nice camera but don't want/have a need to use a lens system. There are also advantages to buying a fixed lens system such as not having to worry about dirt and potentially having a less complicated system to learn. Also don't forget that in the long run Fixed lens 8MP cameras are cheaper once you factor in the lens that most DSLR users start buying. Plus these 8MP's will no doubt be dropping in price as opposed to the DSLR's which will probably hold fast for longer due to a longer product cycle.

      Anyway I don't kow why I wrote all of this since nobody will read it...

      btw are you aware of all of those hacks which turn a Rebel basically into a 10D? Not that you shouldn't have bought the 10D. :) It's just interesting.
      http://slashdot.org/articles/04/06/0 2/004258.shtml

      --
      If you wanna get rich, you know that payback is a bitch
  24. Down to the power of IT by ObsessiveMathsFreak · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This reminds me of something I read about digital cameras once. Apparently the product cycle for digital cameras is so rapid that one camera, by the time it was awarded camera of the year, was already out of production.

    I suppose with PC assistence, designing and building just about anything has become easier. It used to take forever for ideas and techniques to spread. Nowadays if your stuck at anything, you can google for the answer. Applies more to software design, but at least it's easier for designers to find components now. Didn't it take only 6 months for the iPod designers complete the design from the outside in, using off the shelf parts. That would have been a lot harder if they didn't have the net and emails I'd wager.

    --
    May the Maths Be with you!
    1. Re:Down to the power of IT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can still buy my camera, a 3 year old Sony DSC-S85, and it still takes great pictures. I have no desire to upgrade, especially since I paid a pretty penny back then and I am afraid to look at how prices have come down...

  25. my luck/purchase cycle by way2trivial · · Score: 2, Funny
    I read about the newest products, and usually salivate and plan to purchase some, manage to time it so that the first real price drop hits the week after I buy

    I purchased a 799$ camera that then went to 799$ with a 100$ rebate, about 10 days after I purchased. then to 699 after the return policy/price match date ran out..
    I've also done this with cell phones, and cpu's

    --
    every day http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:Random
    1. Re:my luck/purchase cycle by AndroidCat · · Score: 3, Funny

      Could you post when you're about to buy something so that the rest of us know to hold off purchasing for a week? Thanks!

      --
      One line blog. I hear that they're called Twitters now.
  26. cheap cheap cheap by A_GREER · · Score: 2, Informative

    I think it ia WALL*MARTidous, everyone wants the best stuff cheap, companies are trying to meet the demand, but there are still a few people who want quality, look at PCs, dell==CHEAP, they sell zillions of units a year, vs. say aleinware, or apple who combined don even touch half of dell, but have MUCH better quality.

    1. Re:cheap cheap cheap by bje2 · · Score: 1

      yeah, dell does equal cheap...that's what they are!...cheap pcs for the home user...do you know what it says on the title bar when you bring up alienware's home page...it says Innovate High-Performance Custom PC's...when my mom (or the millions of other mom's) are looking for a PC to do their e-mail and shop on iQVC, they don't need the latest and greatest video card or flat panel monitor...they just want affordability...

      ...why was the Toyota Camry the best selling car practically every year in the 90's??? because it was reliable and affordable, just like Dell is...

      --

      "Facts are meaningless. You could use facts to prove anything that's even remotely true." - Homer Simpson
    2. Re:cheap cheap cheap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >that's what they are!...cheap pcs for the home user...

      Actually over 70% of Dell's sales are to the corporate sector.

  27. Re:I don't recall ever having yearly product cycle by Ignignot · · Score: 1

    The only thing he could be possibly talking about (and it is a stretch) is that some car manufacturers go on a two or three year cycle. Design a whole new car one year, refine it the next year, maybe refine it again, repeat. That's why you don't go with the first of a new series, always wait a year for them to get the bugs out. But yeah, he's probably just an idiot.

    --
    I submitted this story last night, and it didn't get posted.
  28. Re:I don't recall ever having yearly product cycle by Otter · · Score: 4, Informative
    Is this just an American thing?

    On the contrary, it's particularly an Asian thing, both in electronics and in cars. The Japanese auto makers change things at the part level much more frequently than the Americans do, for example.

    It seems like a lot of British and Europeans forget how much more connected the US economy is to East Asia than theirs are.

  29. 2 big areas that suffer by millahtime · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There are 2 big areas that suffer in this faster life cycle.

    1) Reliability - products will be more prone to fail. But, I guess this just forces you to go out and get a new one. Kind of like how many cars are now "disposable". You have them for a couple years and dispose of them to get new ones.
    2) Quality - They aren't the quality products they used to be. They sure don't build them like they used to.

    1. Re:2 big areas that suffer by Moofie · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Things are also a lot cheaper (in real dollars) than they used to be.

      There were no good old days.

      --
      Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
    2. Re:2 big areas that suffer by cens0r · · Score: 1

      I beg to differ about cars. An average car now will go 200k+ miles easy. Try that with any car made in the 60's or 70's. Sure you could make them run that long, but it took a lot of effort. The reason cars are disposable know is because people want them to be, not that people need them to be. Anything can be disposable if you throw it away.

      --
      Jack Valenti and Orrin Hatch will be first up against the wall when the revolution comes.
    3. Re:2 big areas that suffer by harkabeeparolyn · · Score: 2, Insightful

      3) With products churning this fast, your chance of reading a decent product review before making your purchase is close to zero. If stores like Best Buy are pissed off by customers returning products so often, look no further than practices like this. You never really know what you're buying because salespeople and manufacturers routinely lie or tell half-truths and you're left to find out the awful truth after you've made a purchase.

    4. Re:2 big areas that suffer by M1FCJ · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Probably you are living in the wrong country. A lot of WV Beetles from 70s are still running around in Europe. Ditto with Citroen 2CVs, Renault 5s, Fiat 131s (argh, I hate that car).

      In UK, there are a lot of classic cars running around but the testing regime and the consumer society means that any car that's older than 9 years is completely worthless. I couldn't sell my Nissan (which was in perfect working order). I got my current car, a Volvo 940 for 450 pounds and probably I could have had it for much less.

      Quite a lot of the 70's european automobiles are actually pretty high quality (unless it is British, they were rubbish).

      Japan taught UK how to make a car reliable by importing Toyota.

    5. Re:2 big areas that suffer by millahtime · · Score: 1

      I beg to differ. I had an older car and it lasted well past 200k miles with little effort. My buddy has a truck with over 300k miles on it and it runs fine with little work.

      I work with reliability. I'm telling you it suffers. At least in american cars. Foreign it doesn't. This is speaking from knowledge.

    6. Re:2 big areas that suffer by Moofie · · Score: 1

      Uh, so American car manufacturers are turning out substandard products. Is that supposed to be some kind of news flash?

      It's a long way from "American cars suck" to "All products manufactured today suck".

      Everybody knows American cars suck. The only thing that surprises me is that people keep buying them. Ugly AND unreliable...I don't understand the appeal.

      --
      Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
    7. Re:2 big areas that suffer by cens0r · · Score: 1

      In the US there are alot of older cars still running around as well. However, the older cars require much more maintenance to keep running. You change the oil every 3000 miles and do frequent tune ups. You buy a new car today and the oil is changed every 10000 miles, you put on a new timing belt at 60,000 miles. and a tune up every 100000.

      --
      Jack Valenti and Orrin Hatch will be first up against the wall when the revolution comes.
    8. Re:2 big areas that suffer by virtual_mps · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Probably you are living in the wrong country. A lot of WV Beetles from 70s are still running around in Europe. Ditto with Citroen 2CVs, Renault 5s, Fiat 131s (argh, I hate that car).

      There are a fair number of old cars running around the US also. I wish there were fewer. Driving behind a thirty year old beetle is a hellish experience filled with noxious fumes and headaches. Cars don't run as long anymore because they are more complicated. The number one reason they are more complicated is beacause of emission controls. These controls are a good thing, because they help make sure that our air is breathable.
    9. Re:2 big areas that suffer by sheean.nl · · Score: 1

      They're big, they're American. That's all you need to sell something in the US these days.

      --

      If at first you don't succeed, then sky diving definitely isn't for you.
    10. Re:2 big areas that suffer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >>(emission controls) are a good thing, because they help make sure that our air is breathable.

      >>Cars don't run as long anymore because they are more complicated.

      wonderful. our air is clean, but our dirt has buried within it, the remains of a billion throw away short lived cars. (cars now filled with pcbs, computer chips, and synthetics out the ass)

      great.

      with solutions like these, who needs real bureaucrats?

    11. Re:2 big areas that suffer by tobar+mersa · · Score: 1
      But the real question is whether you will save money in the long run?

      If something of higher initial cost lasts long enough, it will be cheaper than buying x number of cheaper versions over a succession of years.

      And that's not mentioning that a longer life span would probably keep waste dumps from piling up quite so fast (recycling does help, but many items that can be recycled end up in a dump anyway), and use less energy in making a new radio; making a new radio to last twenty years can often be more energy efficient than making a new radio designed to last 3 years, as more will probably be needed to be made in three years in the latter example than the former.

      --
      This sig space intentionally left blank.
    12. Re:2 big areas that suffer by Moofie · · Score: 1

      Impossible question to answer.

      The amp my dad bought 20 years ago (died, for one thing, meaning that just because it's old doesn't mean it's good) doesn't have enough inputs or outputs to do what I want it to do today. Of course, I can get an amp with all the features I want for less than $300, which is less than he paid for his (in then-dollars) back in the day.

      So this argument doesn't make much sense to me. YOU might make value judgements like "Well, you don't NEED those features..." to which I say "You're welcome to your opinion, with which I disagree..." and we're at an impasse.

      So, like I said: There were no good old days.

      --
      Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
    13. Re:2 big areas that suffer by tobar+mersa · · Score: 1
      YOU might make value judgements like "Well, you don't NEED those features..." to which I say "You're welcome to your opinion, with which I disagree..." and we're at an impasse.
      Actually, I was presuming that all other things were equal: only the price and quality had declined. If you need the new features, go ahead and buy it.

      I would still, however, rather have a greater quality device, as this would allow me to choose whether I should buy the new model with some new features, or keep the old one, which lacks features I (personally) probably will not use, rather than be forced to buy a new model, as the old one broke on me, and the cost for fixing it would cost more than buying a new one.

      Then again, what do I know? I still use LPs.

      --
      This sig space intentionally left blank.
    14. Re:2 big areas that suffer by Bush+Pig · · Score: 1

      A major reason that price and quality are both dropping for consumer goods is that most of them are made by slave labour in China or Burma or somewhere. I mean, face it, if you were earning the local equivalent of $5 per day, for an 18 hour shift, would _you_ have any commitment to quality? I didn't think so.

      --
      What a long, strange trip it's been.
  30. It's All About Creating Artificial Demand by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This is yet another method in a long string of concocted schemes to stimulate artificial demand. Do we need a new car every year? Of course not but if we tweak the headlight to point in a different direction we can pawn it off as something new and improved and play to the elementary school insecurities of the American consumer and the need to have to have the latest fashion trend so as to be ahead of the Jones'. Look at the durable goods industry, appliances used to have a generic shape and would last consumers decades, now they are purposely designed with color patterns and quickly dating exterior body kit panels so that they can be disposable products in a couple of years when they break down or become rapidly dating fashion faux pas displaced by the next color change and bodykit panels.

    1. Re:It's All About Creating Artificial Demand by Retired+Replicant · · Score: 1

      This hits it on the head. Technology is plagued by customer expectations of constantly falling prices. Manufacturers who come out with "new" models more frequently are just attempting to combat this price pressure. They hope that by tweaking a couple of meaningless things and slapping a new model number on, they will be able to justify a higher price in the mind of consumers. They are capitalizing on the fact that we are all conditioned to believe that newer=better.

    2. Re:It's All About Creating Artificial Demand by danila · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Bullshit. Nobody expects consumers to buy a new product every year. But consumers do expect producers not to sit on their asses for the whole year, but come up with something original instead. Especially in a rapidly developing industry. I may be perfectly content with my 4 year old PDA, mobile phone or camera, but if I decide to upgrade tomorrow, I don't want to buy a 2002 or a 2003 model (unless I am being cheap), I want to buy a 2004 model, which is faster, bigger, better has more features and is generally more badass.

      If a particular manufacturer decides that once every 3 years is enough, it will not sell anything for the 70% of the time, because everyone will buy updated models from the competitors instead.

      --
      Future Wiki -- If you don't think about the future, you cannot have one.
    3. Re:It's All About Creating Artificial Demand by cr0sh · · Score: 1
      Of course not but if we tweak the headlight to point in a different direction we can pawn it off as something new

      I am not sure if you are intending it or not, AC, but I think you might be talking about the new Lexus with its lights which point into turns, right?

      The sad part about this is the fact that a TON of people will think this is a new and great thing - when the reality of it is that this "improvement" was available 50 years ago on the Tucker Torpedo. It made sense then, still does - but once again, Tucker is (posthumously) getting the shaft from the auto manufacturers.

      Bastards.

      --
      Reason is the Path to God - Anon
  31. Re:I don't recall ever having yearly product cycle by cyxxon · · Score: 2, Interesting

    No, your parent was right.

    The most popular car in europe, the VW Golf, is right now in its 5th incarnation, since about a year or so. I bought my own Golf IV in 2000, and it was already 2 years old then (my car, not the general Golf IV model, that was older). It is not a "98' Golf", though, but a "Golf IV", and nobody really cares about the production year, except maybe a local garage, when a certain part changed due to some production reason.

    And that is really different from the habit of labeling american cars by their production year and the model name. It just is. No amount of "Puhleaaase!" can change that.

  32. McNasty's Law by turgid · · Score: 2, Funny
    "The number of nervous breakdowns amongst staff doubles for every halving of the product cycle time."

    "If you're enjoying your work, you're not working hard enough." - Scottish proverb.

  33. Konica Minolta merger by mrm677 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Konica-Minolta recently merged and before, Minolta was behind in the digital game. It is likely that they had a lot of R&D going on, but due to the merger, things were unclear and it took time to get things settled and to get products out the door (with the new name).

  34. Re:I don't recall ever having yearly product cycle by Pig+Hogger · · Score: 1, Troll
    On the contrary, it's particularly an Asian thing, both in electronics and in cars. The Japanese auto makers change things at the part level much more frequently than the Americans do, for example.
    You obviously didn't grow-up in the 1960's... For a given make and model, from year to year, cars were radically different.
  35. Re:Oh no... what will we do? by hcdejong · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Bad example. If ever there was a product that needed improvement during its life cycle, it was the Beetle. How VW managed to avoid doing that, still baffles me.

  36. New bussiness model? by bircho · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The only reason i can find for this is about TCO (total cost of ownership)

    My dad had a TV set that lasted 20 years. Yeah 20 years non-stop. 3 years with a computer and it's already trash. Same with cellphones, printers, etc, etc... You spend a lot more to keep those devices working.

    My Canon bjc4000 printer is about 8 years old and it's better than most new cheap printers.

    1. Re:New bussiness model? by stanmann · · Score: 1

      I've got 3 year old, 5 year old, 10 year old, 20 year old and 23 year old computers that work just fine... I use them regularly and they work just as well as day 1.

      --
      Food not Bombs is a nice platitude but it breaks down when you notice that the Bombees are usually well fed
    2. Re:New bussiness model? by potus98 · · Score: 1

      I have an HP Laserjet II (IIp me thinks) that I bought from a bust co. 8 years ago for $10. It's worked great for the last 8 years and was probably in heavy business-use service for its first 5+ years. At $10 bucks, it was a fantastic investment.

      Of course, the neighborhood lights dim when it fires up so any "savings" are probably being killed by my electric bill.

      --
      This one gang kept wanting me to join cause I'm pretty good with a bo staff.
    3. Re:New bussiness model? by stanmann · · Score: 1

      I've got an athlon 1700, celeron 300, 486 sx, Mac 256, and IBM PC 5150. None of them fails to run software designed to run on them.

      --
      Food not Bombs is a nice platitude but it breaks down when you notice that the Bombees are usually well fed
  37. Konica-Minolta merger by mrm677 · · Score: 3, Funny

    I always wondered why they didn't call the new company "Monica".

    1. Re:Konica-Minolta merger by abh · · Score: 1

      That company would sure suck. Or blow, depending on how you like it :)

  38. What I meant by 3 seasons off by 192939495969798999 · · Score: 1

    Spring 2005 - Summer 2004 = 3 seasons.

    --
    stuff |
  39. Lets face it by arieswind · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Lets face it, the average consumer does not have the time or money to rush out and buy the new model every 6 months... I know that I for one dont replace my electronics until they break, or become very inconvinient to use, and I think most technology consumers are more that way than some tech obsessed people who replace everything they own the second something new comes out

    1. Re:Lets face it by mqx · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "the average consumer does not have the time or money to rush out and buy the new model every 6 months"

      It's not just about the "continual upgrade cycle", which I have seen people get trapped into (always needing the latest model ...); but it's also about the new adopters who want to buy a product, and they are either going to buy state of the art from Company X, or Company Y - meaning that unless both X and Y continue to keep pace and outdo each other, they'll fall behind in the market.

      I think the pace in this market is also about the component supply side: IC and other manufacturers are also on rapid release cycles, and they're driving the input chains to the equipment manufacturers. The components are not always radical either, e.g. 2mpixel to 3mpixel IC upgrade, which means that incremental revision of products is actually quite easy, it's not like a 12 month development cycle for completely new product, it's largely regression. And if you as Company X offer 3mp at the same pricepoint as Company Y 2mp, then consumers are not going to care too much and they'll move to X.

      Don't forget that many consumers don't upgrade every 6 months, they might upgrade every 2 or 3 years - and each time they do, then you as a the manufacturer want to capture them when they are in that window.

  40. Another Opinion by richard_willey · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Here's my perspective based on far too much time working as a Product Manager:

    I strongly prefer development models that are based on incremental releases that ship at regular intervals. Ideally, I prefer systems in which a new version of the product ships one every 4 monthes. Those features/functions that are "ready" get included in a release. Features that aren't ready will be slipped until the next version.

    This development process requires MUCH more work to set up. Code needs to be modular enough that features can be added/subtracted from a candidate without destablizing the entire system. Furthermore, there isn't much down time for release engineering. As soon as one release has shipped out the door, the next one is almost ready for testing.

    With this said and done: From my perspective, companies that focus on a small number of "Hail Mary" releases produce crappy products. If you only shipping one release every 18 -24 months then EVERYTHING gets shipped with that release, regardless of the quality of the code. Equally significant, your release engineering process inevitably gets very sloppy since the individuals running this never get sufficient practice. Finally, you are inevitably forced to push out large numbers of patches to fix all the crap that contaminated your original version. These patch releases re-introduce most of the same problems that crop up with a "regular" release model, but without the right infrastructure to support this model.

    Far better to bite the bullet and design for success from the beginning...

  41. the perfect product by wisdom_brewing · · Score: 3, Insightful

    its all marketing, they can release exactly the same product (and i mean identical) except for model number and people will buy it for more instead of the older version... its an old idea, where someone designs a perfect (literally) product, they still need to make the standard version worse, release some inferior and better versions but keep headroom above to keep releasing updates, if they release the product as a perfect one therell be a rush to buy it, but then once half your friends have it you dont want it anymore because you want to have something different... anyway...

  42. Re:Oh no... what will we do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    The Beetle was like a good woman:
    Round, simple, cheap, and cute.

  43. Re:I don't recall ever having yearly product cycle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We all know there is little significant difference between most model years for a given make and model. The technology is no longer increasing fast enough to make constant product overhauls cost effective. The model year is still important from a valuation standpoint. You can get a rough idea of the value of a car simply by knowing in which year it was produced.

  44. One way it is bad for the consumer by brunes69 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Whenever you shorten a product development cycle, you always cut into QA and testing time. Shorter development cycles will inevitably lead to lower quality for the consumer over the long run.

    Now, whether this lower quality will even be noticeable, or whether it is a valid tradeoff for increased functionality, is yet to be seen.

    1. Re:One way it is bad for the consumer by bje2 · · Score: 1

      actually, maybe 6-month development cycle was a bad way for the original piece to have put it...maybe it should've been a 6-month rollout scheudule...you're assuming that the different development cycles are series in nature, when in fact they can be partially parrallel...personally, where i work, our development cycles overlap...while version x.1 is in formal testing, version x.2 is already underway...whatever problems are fixed in x.1's formal testnig, are then merged into x.2...with parallel development cycles, you could have products (such as a camera) coming out every 6 months, even if they were taking longer then 6 months to develop...

      --

      "Facts are meaningless. You could use facts to prove anything that's even remotely true." - Homer Simpson
  45. ITS TEH WEASEL! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    /paulyshore

    The wee... sel. Buuuuudy. Thp-thp-thpthp.

  46. Re:I don't recall ever having yearly product cycle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Most people who are really into cars that I know prefer the evolutionary model of car development. Typically once a radically new (or at least fairly different) car is introduced, there are various problems with it. Each year thereafter, car makers usually fix problems and add better features, and occasionally drop problematic ones. How many of us really like version 1 software? It's not so different with cars actually.

  47. dammit by troon · · Score: 2, Funny

    My Minolta A1 should be delivered tomorrow, and now it's already discontinued and out of date.

    Just like kernel releases, I guess...

    --
    Ydco co ,df C erb-y go. a Ekrpat t.fxrapev
    1. Re:dammit by Biogenesis · · Score: 2, Insightful

      True, but at least you don't have to pay for kernel upgrades.

  48. Re:To think things are going to get worse... by CrackedButter · · Score: 0

    Oh my god, please moderate with some imagination! i'm not trying to troll, at least read the link mods.

  49. Re:I don't recall ever having yearly product cycle by bombadillo · · Score: 2

    Yeah , we have VW's over in the US also. They are also quite popular. In fact we have quite a few European cars companies over here. Except for the crap ones like Renault and Citroen. Cars generally go on atleast a 3 year cycle in which they do not have any major changes. The parent post really was stupid as it was implies that the cars are under going a major change every year. Popular models generally keep their name even though the design changes. For example the Honda civic has been around since the late 70's. I have a 91 Civic that shared the same body design from 88 to 2003. The tendency to keep a popular name over many variations isn't just an American thing. I see no difference between this and my European friends who drool over the the latest Merc's and BMW's.

  50. Where can I get durable robust standarized items? by kabocox · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I don't care about somethings changing all the time, others bug me out. My pet peeve is cell phones. The entire cell phone industry should be standardized so that all batteries, chargers, and other items would fit every phone. Heck, I'd like them to one print cartiridge for 1-2 years across all the models. It seems with ink jet printers that they are on a 3 month cycle. (I'd rather just have one decent item that I know is good and buy that one each time.)

    I hate having to look up the new model and if all the extras would still fit into the new model. It is very annoying.

  51. New Cameras by vcullen · · Score: 1

    I wish people didn't leave links that don't have servers to hold up under the pressure. Not very professional. I'm interested in seeing these new Minolta cameras and have done some digging around. Gizmodo had a link to this site that has descriptions of the 4 new digicams. they are not as exciting as I had hoped - I am waiting for them to release a DSLR. These are just more of the same - but with a few tweaks.

    1. Re:New Cameras by Amoeba+Protozoa · · Score: 1

      You, and I, will get to see the day. Here's one link with some info on the new Minolta DSLR: here.

  52. Sweeties by turgid · · Score: 1

    I keep thinking of "Mintolas" the very yummy dark chocolate sweets with a creamy mint centre. They're called "Mint Munchies" nowadays. :-)

  53. Good products usually discontinued by Bad by tentimestwenty · · Score: 1

    Unfortunately with a 6 month product cycle, more an more I'm finding that good products are being replaced by bad products. Take cars, cameras, stereos, shoes, food items for example. A model that I've just discovered is 4 or 5 months old and looks great but when I go to try to find it, it's already discontinued by something newer that doesn't seem to fit my needs as well. To make matters worse, the "old" product is usually out of stock to make way for the new one. Quality seems to the be thing that suffers the most.

    What happened to products that were made to last for 20 years+ and could easily be sold for that long too. The profits may be incrementally higher in creating artificial demand through turnover, but are we talking 10%, 1%, 0.1%? Surely there must be diminishing returns as companies steal their own market away from themselves.

    1. Re:Good products usually discontinued by Bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Surely there must be diminishing returns as companies steal their own market away from themselves.
      I guess that with CAD/CAM the design/development and setup costs - fixed costs - are less than in the old days, so you don't need to sell so many units to cover those costs. But it's mostly marketing driven, I reckon.

      Buying secondhand can be a good option as the early adopters have taken the depreciation hit - you can buy workable stuff for very little if you dig around a bit.

  54. Re:I don't recall ever having yearly product cycle by DZign · · Score: 1

    I'm sure that if you look close there will be minor differences between the Golf IV of one year and one of one or two years later.
    Mostly small things like trim levels, bumpers, lights. It looks the same but someone who knows where to look for can see immediately what year it's from.

    One example I know myself was the bmw 320, the 1999 model when it was introduced had it's back lights with orange/red plastic, one or 2 years later the orange of the indicator lights was more a white plastic. Still the same car, same trim levels, ..
    The coupe looked similar but on the back it had 2 red reflectors on the bumper which the saloon didn't have.

    But indeed I also found that in the usa people pay more attention to what year a car is from (at least what we see here in europe on tv from car chases where the cops say a car is a year - brand - model)
    while in Europe people would rather say it's a 'new' or 'old' car.

  55. Faster !=worse either. by Moofie · · Score: 1

    The "average consumer" should go ahead and get used to the idea that they need to make a buying decision (IE a cost-benefit analysis) in the present, rather than waiting for some unspecified-future product improvements.

    I don't understand how a new model "devalues" your current model, unless and until you want to resell it. Doesn't it still do all the things that were on the spec sheet? It was obviously worth $X to you to be able to do those things, and that list of things hasn't changed, so there is no decrease in value to you. And, if you're reselling it, you're competing with the original manufacturer, so they're hardly beholden to make life easier for you...

    There are people who like to chase the bleeding edge of technology. I like to profit from their compulsiveness on the secondary market.

    --
    Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
  56. Merely because it's new... by Anita+Coney · · Score: 1

    ...does not mean you have to buy it. I have an "old" Canon Powershot G2. I've upgraded it with a 1 gb flash card. It has 4 megapixels, which is enough for me. The pictures look great and it's small enough that I can carry it in my pocket. Why would I ever want to upgrade?

    --
    If someone says he and his monkey have nothing to hide, they almost certainly do.
  57. Ummm, try the *whole rest of the world* by Gordonjcp · · Score: 2, Funny

    OK, so the US has a telephone system to rival most third-world countries, but *most* cellular networks are digital.

  58. Re:I don't recall ever having yearly product cycle by Cat_Byte · · Score: 1

    I raced dirt bikes in the 80s and there were some extremely different styles that came out. Many times it was such a drastic improvement that it left the others in the dust. Disk brakes, upside down forks, swingarm suspension, etc.

    --
    Two roads diverged in a wood, and I - I took the one the bus load of girls just went down.
  59. Engineering says: "You mean it isn't... by cmdrwhitewolf · · Score: 1

    just slap a brand label on it and rocket it out the door after the initial concept demo?!? The dirty B@$^@&)S have been denying us valuable procrastination time!"

    --
    [Now, I'm off to lift my le... Um, visit... at another place.]
  60. Re:Where can I get durable robust standarized item by iso · · Score: 1

    You've obviously never been a hardware designer. Cell phones are hard enough to design as they are, without imposing arbitrary limitations on battery sizes and input ports. For instance when designing a small device like a cell phone, you need to keep interferance at a mimimum with so many parts crammed in together in a tight space. Adding extra hard requirements on plugs and battery sizes and positions will make this even more difficult.

    Implementing this would mean that new technologies would take longer to implement, phones would almost definitely be bigger to accommodate non-ideal-sized and positioned parts (such as a battery), and phones would be more expensive to make up for the added design costs. You'll notice even one manufacturer can't keep batteries all the same size across all of their phones: it's simply because the added cost in size and design time doesn't make up for the benefit of using consistant parts across products.

    Standardization like this is much easier when space isn't at a premium, like in a PC or a printer, but for portable devices it just isn't worth it.

  61. Behind the 6 month spiral by Japong · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The digital camera industry is in a huge boom right now, as "the other 50%" of the population starts their migration towards digital photography.

    No one who just bought a digital camera will replace theirs in the next 6 months - a few companies used to offer buy-back and trade-in options when new models came out but not anymore, so you're stuck with dropping $300-$3000

    The real reason behind all this constant upgrading is that the manufactures are trying to woo those who are trying to convert to digital photography. The millions of film SLR users who are packing up their dark rooms and looking for a camera that won't break the bank yet still be versatile enough to fit them (this is also why the Nikon D70 and Canon Digital Rebel are selling like hot-cakes laced with cocaine). All the manufacturers have to have a superior product, so they'll come out with a new revision every 6 months so long as they can best the competition and expand their share of the digital-convert market.

  62. Konica-Minolta by sql*kitten · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    I have to ask, who cares? Pros and serious amateurs are using Canon and Nikon (with very serious pros using Phase One and Sinar). Casual snappers are using Sony Cybershots. Who actually uses a Minolta? I shoot a lot and hang out with other photographers, I've never actually seen one 'cept in a store. And even then, no-one was buying 'em.

    1. Re:Konica-Minolta by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have a Minolta Dimage Z1. It's a great camera. Minolta is done something very intelligent with their Z line of digital cameras - they're what are referred to a lot as "pro-sumer" cameras. They have professional-like abilities; for instance I can manually adjust the shutter speed, white balance, etc., but when I just want to snag the camera and photograph an accident, a party (whilst inebriated), I can switch over to the point and click mode and take just as satisfactory photographs.

      I'm a little disappointed that more people spent time ranting on product life than talk about the actual cameras, but then again this is slashdot.

  63. What? You don't own a mobile phone? by wfberg · · Score: 3, Informative

    Nokia expects to "launch" 35 new models this year. Thirty-five! And that's down from a projection of 40. Launching them 5 at a time as Nokia does, that means that their "product cycle" is less than 2 months.. And I still happen across shops that happen to have the phone I owned 5 year ago sitting quietly on the shelf, still unused in its original wrappings.

    And they all do the same job. Whilst there's no shortage of potentially substantial features to be added, you can count the number of phones that support for example 3G on the fingers of 1 hand. The rest send text-messages, dial and play a game or two.

    In truth, nobody needs all those new features. Bluetooth is very handy, and GPRS is nice for data (until 3G comes along), but you can already get all of that in last year's boring businessman-model.

    These new models are all basically the same, or rather, based on only a few underlying hardware platforms. Obviously the N-Gage is different from your average teenager's phone or a smartphone, but within each type the variation is both endless and pitifully trivial.

    Motorola was a master at this, they even kept older models in production by placing the new hardware with dumbed-down software in the older shell, adding a weight to keep the handset weighing as much as the old model(!).

    The same is of course true of Digital Cameras. Each new model only replaces the CCD with a few more megapixels, or adds some software feature, perhaps changes the shell to something less plasticcy looking. The Olympus range is a good example. Or IIRC the Canon 10D which can be made to do almost all of the 1D's tricks, except take more pictures per second (due to RAM speed/amount apparently).

    --
    SCO employee? Check out the bounty
    1. Re:What? You don't own a mobile phone? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      The same is of course true of Digital Cameras. Each new model only replaces the CCD with a few more megapixels, or adds some software feature, perhaps changes the shell to something less plasticcy looking. The Olympus range is a good example. Or IIRC the Canon 10D which can be made to do almost all of the 1D's tricks, except take more pictures per second (due to RAM speed/amount apparently).

      Actually, the original article talks about new models by Minolta, and they do bring new stuff to the digicam market, like in-body image stabilization and much improved autofocus. I hope other camera makers follow this trend.

      And regarding the Canon DSLR, you are confusing the names (it's 300D that can be hacked to be almost like 10D). But 300D was never supposed to be innovating, just cheaper and for a different (amateur) market segment.

  64. Does anybody else see this? by Matey-O · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I think the overlying job of technology is to completely overturn old technology, say 'heh, that was easy, wonder what we can steamroller next?'

    Currently, Digital photography and portable music players have a bullseye painted on 'em, but the same happened with keyboards, mice, cellphones, PDA's, laser printers, video cards, etc.

    There's a period of churn, where the vendors fight for every last scrap, then move on leaving one or two large players and razor-thin margins.

    I predict flat screens will be the next big target, what with DLP, LCD, and LCoS technologies falling under the economy of scale.

    --
    "Draco dormiens nunquam titillandus."
  65. MMORPG's & Life by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Massively Multiplayer Online Role-Playing Game: Life

    And the one largest problem with all MMORPG's? Lack of high level content. Eventually you get to the point where you realize that it was pointless to play, and the question dawns on you, "Was it pointless to even start playing?"

    I know that some of you have asked yourself that question about EQ, DAoC, AO, etc. I'm wondering if anyone else has made the obvious jump to the question of life itself.

    1. Re:MMORPG's & Life by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I reached that point in my own life. Then I started blocking doors at the supermarket.

    2. Re:MMORPG's & Life by mandolin · · Score: 1
      An interesting question.

      "Real Life" isn't as easy, glamorous, addictive, forgiving, or even as fun as other games I've played. It does offer better tactile feedback, bigger suprises, and better realism. The mod community is really big, too.

      As far as the point goes, all I can offer is to not go gentle into that good night. We're all working w/incomplete information, and it would seem a shame to jump to conclusions.

  66. Core technology is not updated every six months. by Dzimas · · Score: 2, Interesting

    While manufacturers may be releasing products on an accelerated schedule, the internal chipsets tend to have longer lives. For example, Canon's DIGIC chips have been used in a variety of consumer digital cams and camcorders - the trick is to create a roadmap of features to roll out over the given lifespan of the chips (say 18 months or two years). I do this in my job, too -- When I design a board, it includes jumpers and additional pads so that future enhancements such as a larger front panel or USB can be cheaply added at build time. This lets us amortize the R&D over a reasonable time, while ensuring a quality core.

  67. Re:I don't recall ever having yearly product cycle by Chico888 · · Score: 1

    My father bought a 1991 Dodge Dakota used in 1995 and it was identical to a 1995 Dakota i believe that body style was in use from 1988 to 1996 so thats 8 years in the 88 - 90 trucks the grill was different but it was interchangeable with the newer style. Anyway thats a pretty good run for a vehicle. Btw that truck has over 320,000 Kms (yes i'm Canadian) on it and still works great.

  68. That brings up another point... by WebCowboy · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ...one that NIC makers seem notorious for (in my past experience D-Link was the WORST for this).

    It's the practice of releasing a new "revision" of the same model that is essentially a totally different product, which give the perception of a longer product cycle when it has actually been a scant six months for a long time.

    For example, why the HELL do they make a product called "D-Link DFE530" for a few months, then drop it and release ANOTHER "D-Link DFE530" with COMPLETELY DIFFERENT CHIPS on it? They are even dumb enough to do things like put them in the same box--the only way to tell them apart is by a little revision sticker they MAY put on the box, or more likely silk-screen onto the board itself.

    This type of crap is so infuriating one is tempted to call for it to be outlawed. If a customer's DFE530 breaks and he goes to get another DFE530 you shouldn't have to worry about changing the driver for the "new" DFE530. And if you wonder where some of the bloat in Windows comes from, pick apart some drivers--they are often multiple drivers packed into one, with code to identify which is the proper one for the given "revision". If you're unlucky to have an older driver without code for the new "revision" you have to upgrade it. Not user friendly in the slightest--even if the driver ships on disk with the card.

    That is why I vote with my wallet...my experience with D-Link made me stop buying ALL D-link products altogether. All my computers use Intel NICs now. Now that I know that Linksys and Netgear pull the same stunts my personal embargo will now extend to them. Thanks for the heads up.

  69. You People MUST NOT be home owners by superpulpsicle · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Have you folks ever tried looking at houses? Prices are thru the roof. Not to mention houses are built left and right, and the quality is far from great considering how fast and easy they are build nowadays. Especially here in MA. A $400,000 house will need a decent amount of repair. So many money pits, no other industry is as evil to American consumers.

  70. Damn. by StarKruzr · · Score: 1

    You went from Celeron 300 to Athlon 1700? Did you get whiplash?

    --

    +++ATH0
    1. Re:Damn. by stanmann · · Score: 1

      Actually I bought the 300 after the 1700... stuck it in a fileserver. I'm running a 2600, the 1700, and the 300.. the 2600 is primary running xp, the 1700 is backup running 2k and the 300 runs 98 for those special games that don't like NT even in emulation mode. the 486 is a firewall and I bring out the 5150 and mac for even more special games like flight sim 1.

      --
      Food not Bombs is a nice platitude but it breaks down when you notice that the Bombees are usually well fed
  71. I'm curious. by StarKruzr · · Score: 1

    In what ways would you say XP differs importantly from 2K?

    --

    +++ATH0
    1. Re:I'm curious. by W2k · · Score: 1

      Please STFW. There are a ton of articles written on this subject already. Here, I'll help you find some.

      In case you were looking for my personal opinion (doubtful!) here it is: Windows XP has major user interface, hardware support, stability, security and compatibility enhancements compared to Windows 2000. That's what I noticed when upgrading. Windows XP is also faster than 2000 on sufficiently powerful hardware (due to better compatibility). On "Windows 2000-era" hardware, Windows XP is slower than 2000.

      --
      Quality, performance, value; you get only two, and you don't always get to pick.
    2. Re:I'm curious. by Pieroxy · · Score: 1

      There are much more games installed by default on XP. That is a MAJOR improvement for almost my entire family. They were all "oooohhhh" and "aaaahhh" when they opened the "Games" piece of the startup menu.

  72. Why are product cycles shortening? by thomasdelbert · · Score: 1

    Because manufacturers have to make sure that their products are off the market before they are supported in Linux.

    +5 Flamebait

    - Thomas;

    --
    ___ This sig is in boldface to emphasize its importance!
  73. Actually... by StarKruzr · · Score: 1

    I WAS looking for your personal opinion. :p

    I'm not sure if you could consider the UI an "enhancement," exactly. A lot of people get lost in Luna if they have prior experience to standard Explorer.

    The hardware compatibility issues don't really seem to be "issues" to me. Since XP and 2K share the same driver model, whenever a driver comes out for 2K, it seems to work in XP too.

    But, to each his own.

    --

    +++ATH0
  74. Bad information by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    IIRC the Canon 10D which can be made to do almost all of the 1D's tricks, except take more pictures per second (due to RAM speed/amount apparently).
    You are thinking of the Digital/Kiss Rebel/300D firmware hack which enables many of the features that Canon crippled in firmware to differentiate it from the 10D. The differences between the 10D and 1D are more significant, aside from shooting speed, the 1D has far superior AF, a spot meter, higher shutter speeds, and cleaner high ISO images.
  75. Re:I don't recall ever having yearly product cycle by jo_ham · · Score: 1

    Citroen may be crap, but don't you be dissin' my Renault.

    Both Clios I've had have been reliable, sturdy and economical.

  76. Nothing's stopping it by heroine · · Score: 1

    Since all the manufacturing and all the engineering are done in the same place, China, there's a very short cycle between manufacturing and development. One day all these manufacturing and development houses figured out they were adding 99% of the value to the products, so they decided to do their own distribution.

    Just like that, you now have Chinese and Korean manufacturers doing the whole thing, and turning around ideas in 6 months because everything's in one place.

    Compare to traditional distributors who buy manufacturing and design from China but do marketing in America. They add 1% of the value to the product and buy the rest. They have to wait months for each release candidate to come back from manufacturing and communication with the developers takes forever. So little value is added by the American side these days, there's a lot of momentum behind manufacturers to do it all themselves.

  77. A 6-month cycle is about a decade old in Japan... by Ranma21 · · Score: 1

    When I was here in 1991 the cycle was about six months for consumer electronics. Now for high-volume things like mobile phones, it's hard to discern cycles at all. There is just a constant stream of models.

  78. Re:I don't recall ever having yearly product cycle by xgamer04 · · Score: 1

    Part of the deal might be the fact that new model cars won't sell better than last year's unless there's something "new" about them. People seem to have an arbitrary attachment where they connect "new" to "better", so a "new" car that isn't "better" probably wouldn't fare as well as one that is changed.

    --
    When you look at the state of the world, how can you not become a radical, liberal anarchist?
  79. HP printers on 6mo. cycle 6 years ago by MMHere · · Score: 1

    HP printers were on a 6 month cycle years (at least 6) ago. HW was release spring and fall.

    HW cycles are "predictable," so they always just threw the product over the wall (warts and unfinished hardware problems and all) over the wall to QA.

    QA, otoh, was often of a different mind regarding whether the HW (both ME and EE stuff) was really done.

    So....

    Fix it in firmware! What, it's too late for that? Fix it in software (in the PC-side printer drivers).

    "It's just software, anway!" (translation: you can reflash the printers up until they leave the manufacturing line, while switching out a bad gear design is tougher; you can also ship new drivers over the internet _after_ sale to customer; anything ThatEasyToChange can't be that tough, right?)

    Of course ME/EE types sometimes miss the part that a "build" for them, while time-consuming and materials/resource intensive, doesn't involve redesign nor re-engineering. Those activities are expensive to redo because all the downstream stuff ("build") must be redone.

    A software build is just a matter of firing off make, right! So how hard can software be?! They miss the point about software design complexity being [often] considerable because of the lack of physical build issues.

  80. Re:I don't recall ever having yearly product cycle by Hognoxious · · Score: 1
    How many of us really like version 1 software?
    It's only the developers that see version 1. Marketing dictates that released versions start at 2 as an absolute minimum, 3 is even better.

    I've got an amplifier that goes up to 11 instead of 10. That's 1 louder.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."