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Tech Turnover Rate Lowest Since The 80's

cimmer writes "USA Today, the San Jose Business Journal and the suspiciously captivating monitor thing in the elevator are reporting the results of a survey conducted by Aon Consulting that states voluntary turnover in the tech industry is at 8.9%, 'the lowest in the history of the surveys, which date back to the mid-1980s'. Given all of the talk about an economic turnaround, are we looking at a potential tech turnover spike as individuals leave positions they have stayed in only because of a dismal job market? Aon seems to think so. Interestingly, the results of this study are released just as CNN.com reports that personal income growth is at its weakest in two years. Also of note is a discrepancy in the reported sample size, with USA Today stating the results are based upon input from 595 companies while the Business Journal reports that over 950 companies participated."

425 comments

  1. And all at once by Trigun · · Score: 5, Funny

    There was a global sig of releif.

    We made it through guys! Good job!

    1. Re:And all at once by lukewarmfusion · · Score: 4, Funny

      Great! You've given me an idea for my new .sig.

    2. Re:And all at once by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Make that sigh of relief.

    3. Re:And all at once by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, that should be:

      *sig of relief*

    4. Re:And all at once by ggvaidya · · Score: 2, Interesting

      There was a global sig of releif.

      The single coolest typo I've seen on Slashdot ... ever!

    5. Re:And all at once by AKAImBatman · · Score: 2, Funny

      There was a global sig of releif.

      We made it through guys! Good job!


      *scratches head*

      The IT color scheme looks just as bad as ever, to me.

      ???

    6. Re:And all at once by betelgeuse-4 · · Score: 1

      However, the self reference in **This a sig of relief.** is appropriate for a slashdot sig.

    7. Re:And all at once by Cat_Byte · · Score: 1, Interesting
      We made it through guys! Good job!

      Somehow I get the feeling that they don't count the massive # of IT people forced to start contracting with a huge turnover rate. The IT people with permanant jobs that pay well are hanging on for dear life.

      --
      Two roads diverged in a wood, and I - I took the one the bus load of girls just went down.
    8. Re:And all at once by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Really? That's interesting.

    9. Re:And all at once by cayenne8 · · Score: 4, Insightful
      "Somehow I get the feeling that they don't count the massive # of IT people forced to start contracting with a huge turnover rate."

      I'd have to say, this isn't really a bad thing. I mean, the days of a 'lifetime job' have really been long over for quite awhile. Your employer hasn't been rewarding a loyal employee with loyalty for years now.

      I figured, if I was just as expendable as a straight employee as a contractor, hell, I might as well enjoy the benefits of contract employment!! You might as well get the high bill rate....(if you're making $50-$100/hr, $3K a year for insurance if single is nothing)...you might as well get PAID for the OT hours they ask you. And...generally, you don't get stuck at one dead end job all the rest of your days.

      Yeah, I know it is more secure to have a perm. job...same place...etc. But, I put it to you...those days really have been long gone. And as long as you now have the instability and insecurity of a contract job...you might as well bet paid at the contract rate..

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    10. Re:And all at once by Cat_Byte · · Score: 2, Insightful

      True...but not always. In my area of the country there were so many unemployed IT people that the pay was "decent" at best. Time between contracts sometimes reached several months so the overall pay rate ended up somewhere around minimum wage without benefits.

      --
      Two roads diverged in a wood, and I - I took the one the bus load of girls just went down.
    11. Re:And all at once by soundcore · · Score: 1

      Not only that, but screw the taxes!!!!!!!

    12. Re:And all at once by cayenne8 · · Score: 1
      "In my area of the country there were so many unemployed IT people that the pay was "decent" at best."

      Well, part of contract work is....being willing to be 'mobile'. You gotta go where the work is. A little tough with families...but, if you make enough, you can fly home on weekends, etc. Or, make enough on 6-9 mos. contract..take off a month or two and spend quality time with familiy, etc.

      I'm single, so not a problem with me...I think its kinda fun to travel around, see new places, meet new friends.

      Get into contracts with DoD/Govt. You can easily get bill rates in the $40-$65+ range. If you can manage to incorporate yourself and cut out the middle man...you can bill out about $110/hr for a senior computing engineer/specialist or whatever they call it.

      But, you gotta be willing to go to where the job is.

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    13. Re:And all at once by cayenne8 · · Score: 4, Interesting
      " Not only that, but screw the taxes!!!!!!!"

      Actually, I'm finding that self employment is one of the better ways to keep Uncle Sam out of your pocket. Especially if you incorporate yourself, and contract yourself out through your corporation.

      A simple example, say you have an "S" corporation. You contract yourself out at say, $100K/yr. But, you pay yourself only about $45K/yr, or an amount that is 'reasonable'. You only have to pay self employement taxes on the $45K. Yes, you pay double (employer half and employee half), but, you get to deduct the extra half you have to pay. And the rest of the money, the $55K doesn't get SE taxed...but, filters through on your personal taxes. Then, you can write off tons of your expenses...percentages of your rent/mortgage, utilities, etc if you work from a 'home office'.

      Heck, I'm finding this is about the only way to keep most of your money.

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    14. Re:And all at once by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      On the right track but not too bright... Pay yourself nothing, lease what you can, expense all thats legal and take the rest as a K-1 distribution. You pay no payroll taxes but be sure to bank it for a rainy day though. Mileage will vary by state so pay the $$ for a good tax accountant.

  2. Raw Numbers? by ackthpt · · Score: 5, Insightful
    If I were a spinmeister I would love percentages. What you don't see is the total number of people in the field.

    Where once great herds of IT professionals roamed the valley, only a few clusters remain here and there, each skittish any remote lightning flash of resource realignment or rumble of offshoring.

    It is worth considering tho, that Information work is a relatively new thing and where many businesses once spent nothing on it they now would have a staff or contractor responsible for making sure all their technology continues to go and many businesses are still getting a grip on what the right size of commitment should be for their IT needs. As long as staff have improper technology for their particular function thanks to poor assessment of need, there will still be wiggle room for more (or less) tech staffing.

    --

    A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
    1. Re:Raw Numbers? by Rei · · Score: 1

      The article doesn't make it sound like the survey was just Silicon Valley companies. It seems to be the industry as a whole. So, percentages really do matter.

      --
      I just invaded Grammar Czechoslovakia and duped Grammar Neville Chamberlain; now it's on to Grammar Poland.
    2. Re:Raw Numbers? by ackthpt · · Score: 2, Insightful
      The article doesn't make it sound like the survey was just Silicon Valley companies. It seems to be the industry as a whole. So, percentages really do matter.

      Yeah, but the Valley is what I know and the entire Bay Area accounted for a lot of businesses on the leading edge of IT deployment.

      Raise your hand if your boss doesn't have the most powerful PC in the place on his desk, while the people who actually perform the critical day to day fuctions make do with a clunker.

      --

      A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
    3. Re:Raw Numbers? by Short+Circuit · · Score: 4, Funny

      Where once great herds of IT professionals roamed the valley, only a few clusters remain here and there...

      Ye gods! Put them on the endangered species list!

    4. Re:Raw Numbers? by Otter · · Score: 2, Informative
      If I were a spinmeister I would love percentages. What you don't see is the total number of people in the field.

      Call me a "spinmeister", but expressing turnover as a perentage seems far more informative to me than comparing the total number of individuals changing tech jobs in 2004 compared to 1984. Unless you own a moving company or a cubicle nameplate maker.

    5. Re:Raw Numbers? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I have 2 2ghz boxes (one intel, one amd) while my boss putts around on a 300mhz p2.

      *raises hand*

      Dosen't make the company or its business decisions any more stable or rational... if that's what your implying.

    6. Re:Raw Numbers? by Otter · · Score: 1

      Errr, make that "percentage"! "Perentage" sounds like it's job change normalized by comparison to Bruce Perens' career, and would probably need to be expressed in nanoperens for most of us.

    7. Re:Raw Numbers? by AKAImBatman · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Where once great herds of IT professionals roamed the valley, only a few clusters remain here and there, each skittish any remote lightning flash of resource realignment or rumble of offshoring.

      Great herds? Yes. Professionals? No. Previously there was 1 true professional for every thousand "get rich quick" kids. Now the ratio is a bit more like 10:1.

      On the bright side, these kids are off to something far more enjoyable. While they were in Technology, they worked long hours for little reward, and were often mistreated and stressed out. Now they work in jobs like construction or plumbing where the hours are fewer and the work more fulfilling. Let this be a lesson: never enter a corporate field unless you're SURE that's what you want.

    8. Re:Raw Numbers? by ackthpt · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Call me a "spinmeister", but expressing turnover as a perentage seems far more informative to me than comparing the total number of individuals changing tech jobs in 2004 compared to 1984. Unless you own a moving company or a cubicle nameplate maker.

      A smaller pop will have more radical swings with change. There are fewer positions to move among.

      Back in 1997 there were so many positions and so many IT people (including pseudo IT people, those with arts degrees who self taught themselves html and such) they changed employers frequently. It was exciting and sad (sad because I saw so many friends leave the company.) Now there are fewer shops and most have much leaner staffing levels.

      --

      A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
    9. Re:Raw Numbers? by wfberg · · Score: 4, Funny

      On the bright side, these kids are off to something far more enjoyable. While they were in Technology, they worked long hours for little reward, and were often mistreated and stressed out. Now they work in jobs like construction or plumbing where the hours are fewer and the work more fulfilling. Let this be a lesson: never enter a corporate field unless you're SURE that's what you want.

      I think a pertinent question you should ask yourself when considering a carreer is; what would you do if you had a million dollars?
      If the answer is "two chicks at the same time", then indeed, why not opt for a field like construction?

      Even picking up the burnt remains of, say, a torched down software company's building can still feel rewarding, because it's a honest day's work.

      And in the end, who wants to be sitting in a cubicle from their twenties right until they're fifty? Although it would be nice to have that kind of job security..

      --
      SCO employee? Check out the bounty
    10. Re:Raw Numbers? by AKAImBatman · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Personally, I didn't find Office Space very funny. However, it was prophetic in a way that most people should have listened to. Did they? Nope. Took an economic downturn to beat it into people's heads.

    11. Re:Raw Numbers? by lucabrasi999 · · Score: 2, Funny
      sitting in a cubicle from their twenties right until they're fifty

      Don't forget to put the cover sheet on the TPS report.

    12. Re:Raw Numbers? by networkBoy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      *hand up*
      I have an IBM T41 w/ extended battery, 1gig DDR ram, and a couple other little features (dvd burner, etc.) while my boss is on a T20 which barely keeps up with all his power point presentations. For the most part (and FWIW) my company sees the value in giving the DEVs the new stuff (makes the geeks happy and software/VHDL/OrCad all run gobs faster (which really counts). Think of all the time I saved by compiling my app in under 2 minutes rather than 10 (have to compile many times a day to track down those little bugs).
      Yup. . . . all that saved time to post on slashdot. . .
      At least I'm a happy geek :-)

      -nB

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
    13. Re:Raw Numbers? by lewp · · Score: 2, Interesting

      *Raises hand*

      Boss uses a 500mhz P3, a Thinkpad T40, and an Ultra 5. I use a 2.4ghz P4 and a 12" Powerbook. I don't have any particular use for an old Sun box, but we have tons of them lying around so I suppose I could take one or more if I felt the need.

      --
      Game... blouses.
    14. Re:Raw Numbers? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      What about those of us who like the code, but hate the atmosphere? Personally, I find it hard to sit in a cube all day coding, especially in a large office building. The air is stale, the lighting is bad, you have morons interrupting you at all hours of the day to talk about something stupid, and if you're unlucky enough to have your users in the same building then you also have those shmucks bugging you all day. And this is on top of the 10,000 meetings you have to sit through "to catch up". At home though, with a setup I like, I can code for a few hours, take a break and play video games, come back to coding for a few more hours, and then be ready to enjoy the evening. I get real work done, I'm not as stressed out, and I feel better about the quality of my work.


      I like the work, but get rid of the rest of it and everything would be great.

    15. Re:Raw Numbers? by deander2 · · Score: 1


      1:1000 into 10:1

      wow, that's quite a turn-around... :-P

    16. Re:Raw Numbers? by shawn(at)fsu · · Score: 2, Funny

      Raises hand

      --
      500 dollar reward for tip(s) leading to the arrest of the person(s) who stole my sig.
    17. Re:Raw Numbers? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      *hand up*

      In fact, presentations can be kind of embarassing when the boss uses his laptop. Customers think we're from the 90's.

    18. Re:Raw Numbers? by pipingguy · · Score: 3, Funny


      I can code for a few hours, take a break and play video games, come back to coding for a few more hours, and then be ready to enjoy the evening

      Same here, except at my age, replace "take a break and play video games" with "take frequent naps".

      Oh boy, sleep! That's where I'm a Viking!

    19. Re:Raw Numbers? by Lumpy · · Score: 4, Interesting

      you are not exactly on the target.

      companies have been taking advantage of the "dismal" job market with their IT staff. Increasing workloads and duties while freezing or even reducing wages and benefits. This WILL come bac kto bite them hard in the arse. Personally, I'm the Single IT guy for 4 offices spread out on this 1/2 of the state. They also use me as the only web-app designer guy that knows how to interface to databases well (Oracle MS and MySQL databases one PHP program pulling data from all.) They have over the past 5 years increased my workload significantly with promises of "big plans" and the only reason I am still here was the dismal state of IT jobs.

      I'm not the only one, many of the guys from the other states also feel this way. we are IT with IT wages asked to do Programmer's tasks on programmer timetables while expected to not let our regular duties suffer. When the tough times start relaxing there will be a mass exodus of highly talented people from this company. hell I've been pushed to the point that I'm willing to uproot my family and yank my child out of her school (7th grade, the WORST time to move in a teen's eyes) because I am sick of the crap.

      Also, these companies are kicking themselves because I regularly tell other professionals that they should NOT work for the company I work for and fill them in on the details. Therefore giving the company a blackballed image making it harder to attract talented IT professionals at the dismal pay scale they have.

      Almost 40% of the IT departments around the country that I have contact with all feel the same way... and that is a dangerous thing for any company to have a large portion of their technical staff disgruntled enough to be looking elsewhere and ready to jump ship.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    20. Re:Raw Numbers? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny
      > Raises hand 500 dollar reward for tip(s) leading to the arrest of the person(s) who stole my sig.

      He didn't steal your sig. He relieved you of your sig! And what did you expect, with that sig of relief...

    21. Re:Raw Numbers? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Damn the innumeracy! 1000:1? 10:1? That's complete bull.

      However, I totally agree with the concept he's passing on; it's just the bogus numbers I disagree with.

    22. Re:Raw Numbers? by I_Want_This_ID · · Score: 2, Informative

      I recently wrote a small research oriented paper for a class on employee turnover. The surveys and research performed over the last year or so all agree that when the job market comes back, there will be a mass exodus of knowledge from organizations.

      IIRC roughtly 35% of IT workers are actively seeking new jobs (currently employed), while another 15% are waiting until the economy improves before they begin the active seeking phase.

      The paper also went into how the costs of employee turnover affect the bottom line. The commonly quoted figure of $10,000 to replace an employee is WAY OFF. With labor, advertising, lost productivity, additional training, etc... the actual cost is between 50-150% of the previous person's annual salary.

      Good incentive to keep your employees. My last company didn't heed my warning a few months ago. But my remaining coworkers over there DID get big raises as soon as I left and they started asking for the same things I had been for 2 years. Glad I could help.

    23. Re:Raw Numbers? by AKAImBatman · · Score: 1

      I didn't say all of them were good. I just said they were professionals. The number of truly good programmers is not quantifiable. Some do well under specific circumstances. Others do well under all circumstances. Some just plain suck and should never be allowed near a system. But all are actually professionals in the trade, and aren't in it for the money. (Although that helps.) ;-)

    24. Re:Raw Numbers? by redragon · · Score: 1

      I feel your pain.

      Instead of waiting it out I went back to school full-time. The pay sucks, but the community, work, and lifestyle makes up for it in spades.

      No kids thankfully, but several people in the department here have had them along the way. ...Nothing like knowing a great deal about a very small piece of the world... :)

      --
      - Sighuh?
    25. Re:Raw Numbers? by big-giant-head · · Score: 2, Informative

      The relatively large herd thing is a left over from the dot com era. At that time a large percentage of folks got into it not because they wanted to do it, but because they could make alot of money doing it. Now thanks to offshoring and falling wages people who were in it just for the money are leaving.

      Good Riddance. The Tech employment percentage is getting closer to what it was in the late 80's early ninties. Which is probably about right.

      --

      So Long and Thanks for all the Fish.
    26. Re:Raw Numbers? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Now they work in jobs like construction or plumbing where the hours are fewer and the work more fulfilling.

      Yessiree, nothing beats a good hard day of unplugging people's shit from their toilets.

    27. Re:Raw Numbers? by timjdot · · Score: 2, Informative

      Thanks for the post. I often wondered about replacement costs. Of course, replacing a slacker might not cost too much :-) I'm reminded of the second hand story about a former co-worker who now works for Intel. For about two years he'd picked up jobs as people left and was doing the work of 3-4 people and it was too much. For about a year he asked for a new hire. Finally Intel gave him the budget: $6k. Get someone in China and start learning Chinese. Don't breathe that sigh of relief as this might be your last breath (in tech). At least we can all get in shape when we're picking cans from the garbage piles like the husband and wife team outside my apartment this morning!!!

      --
      Expect Freedom.
    28. Re:Raw Numbers? by Melantha_Bacchae · · Score: 1

      I'm not a "get rich quick" kid (being in the bottom 10% of wages here in the midwest means you don't get rich at all). I've been working as a programmer (with various job titles) since 1986. I started programming years earlier, as a hobby. I decided to be a programmer because I wanted to do something I like to do, and because my handicaps didn't get in the way.

      Of course the degree, my love of programming, my skills, and my years of experience didn't prevent me from being laid off over a year ago. I still program as a hobby, and to keep my skills sharp. But the bank doesn't take love or hobbies as mortgage payments, and neither do the utilities or the grocery store. Like most adults, I have to provide for myself, and to do that, it seems I need a job.

      Unlike your "get rich kids", I can't even consider one of those rewarding jobs in construction or plumbing because of my handicaps. Programming is what is rewarding to me. It is what I can do and am good at. Heck, I'm even a good deal. But I can't hold out forever...

      Much as thinking about those unprofessional "get rich quick" kids may make you feel smug, I suspect my situation is a lot more common than you think. Companies don't care whether you are in it for riches or love, or even how good you are, when they decide they don't want an in-house programmer anymore. It's a "business" decision (read: toss ethics and common sense in the dumpster along with the poor programmer).

    29. Re:Raw Numbers? by AKAImBatman · · Score: 1

      Please don't feel that I'm being insensitive to your situation. I myself was out of work for a year when my employer closed down shop. Given the experience I had obtained, I figured it would be easy to get a job. It wasn't. I wasn't able to get a job until my old CTO needed someone to clean up the mess at his new workplace.

      The trick is that the economic downturn is shaking out all the "get rich quick" kids as well, and it's catching a lot more of them than us. I empathize with your situation, because I myself was there. But there's no stopping the fall of technology, because managers have played the "I need more warm bodies" card for too long. Right now they're playing the "I can find warm bodies in India" card. I expect that one will start falling apart within a few months. Just hang in there and keep looking. :-)

    30. Re:Raw Numbers? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, I'm one of those 'get rich kids'(I'm 30) I still haven't gotten rich, and still here. One of these days, I'm gonna marry a rich woman, and open my own internet cafe in some tropical paradise... Until then, I'll do my job which is rewarding in the sence that i still have one where I can pay the bills every month, and still have money to put in savings...
      Although i'll not be doing this when I'm 40, I consider myself a professional...

    31. Re:Raw Numbers? by Nept · · Score: 1

      And I said, I don't care if they lay me off either, because I told, I told Bill that if they move my desk one more time, then, then I'm, I'm quitting, I'm going to quit. And, and I told Don too, because they've moved my desk four times already this year, and I used to be over by the window, and I could see the squirrels, and they were merry, but then, they switched from the Swingline to the Boston stapler, but I kept my Swingline stapler because it didn't bind up as much, and I kept the staples for the Swingline stapler and it's not okay because if they take my stapler then I'll set the building on fire.

      --
      "Teachers leave us kids alone ..." - Roger Waters, Pink Floyd
    32. Re:Raw Numbers? by Nept · · Score: 2, Insightful

      This WILL come back to bite them hard in the arse.

      Why? According to a recent study by the Institute for Policy Studies (here, and in my journal) CEO pay overall was 301 times higher than the $26,899 earned by the average production worker. Maybe we can assume the average I/T professional makes twice this much, and thus CEO pay overall is ~150 times higher. (Also, these measurements are for the U.S. only.)

      But, CEO pay overall was 1,300 times higher than the average Indian Programmer or 3,300 times higher than the average Indian Call Center employee.

      So, no matter how much the CEO reduces wages of I/T staff, they can save even more by going overseas. Our workload can be increased even more than this for the same wages or even less - and the corporations that have the ability to outsource don't need to fear a backlash.

      Almost 40% of the IT departments around the country that I have contact with all feel the same way

      I'm in a large company, and all my contacts in large companies feel the same way as well. Perhaps it's only the smaller companies where the salary disconnect between Employer/CEO and Employee is not so high that things are less dismal.

      --
      "Teachers leave us kids alone ..." - Roger Waters, Pink Floyd
    33. Re:Raw Numbers? by vsprintf · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Right now they're playing the "I can find warm bodies in India" card. I expect that one will start falling apart within a few months. Just hang in there and keep looking. :-)

      It will be a lot longer than a few months, especially when all the CxOs see these numbers.

      A few sound bites:

      Chief executives at U.S. companies that shipped jobs overseas won a 46 percent pay hike last year regular workers saw a 2 percent boost in pay average compensation for chief executives at the top 50 outsourcing companies was $10.4 million last year CEO George David's pay rose 629 percent to $70.5 million CEO Sanford Weill's pay rose 305 percent to $54.1 million CEO Lawrence Ellison's pay rose 103,974 percent to $40.6 million
      Greed-crazed MBAs will be trampling each other (and their employees) in their rush to the beach. Offshoring is not going to abate until a bunch of companies get severely burned and are forced to admit it publicly. Offshoring is the next boondoggle after the dot bomb bubble.
    34. Re:Raw Numbers? by G-funk · · Score: 1

      Aw, nuts.... I thought that said pimpingdesign.com..... boy was I let down.

      --
      Send lawyers, guns, and money!
    35. Re:Raw Numbers? by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      Holy crap! You don't mind if I steal that idea, do you?

    36. Re:Raw Numbers? by sgt_doom · · Score: 0
      A most pertinent comment, oh thinking one! Indeed, I've never read a valid study yet conducted by Aon Consulting. So many of these so-called studies refuse to deal with actual real numbers [i.e., 9 out of 10 people were laid off - when finally 1 person is hired, gee whiz, they claim a 100% increase in the IT field!] but keep doing the percentages dance!

      Best example of this is Catherine Mann of the Institute for International Economics et al.

    37. Re:Raw Numbers? by Lumpy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      you CAN NOT outsource Idea employees. I came up with the last 5 "great ideas" they had this year, you cant hire a company in india that can come up with a better way of managing company specific data to increase the sales force productivity. These "Idea" people are the ones that are very marketable and employable and they are the ones I am talking about because the IT department has already been gutted and the "useless" jobs already exported overseas.

      The CEO, CTO, CFO and EIEIO are not the idea thinkers that make the back office work better, smoother and smarter. A simple Idea like giving the sales people Thumb drives so they can get from the clients graphic logo files and other LArger files effortlessly was not though up by any member of management in my company, it was though up by a lowly IT worker, same as any other proceedural changes that really do make a difference and make things easier, faster and more profitable. Those ideas NEVER come from the Division Manager with the Business Masters and has zero clue as to how his office really works but from the sales guy on the floor that has his GED and a knack for finding better way's of doing things.

      you CAN NOT outsorce that. I personally have invented 5 things in the past 5 years that did not exist in my industry, and my counterparts throughout the country have invented and implimented countless more that have increased productivity of the entire company.

      What Indian Outsource firm can do that?

      That is where it will bite them in their arse... the back office secrets that give them the edge WILL move with those idea employees to their competition silently and remove that edge and advantage while giving the competition a significant advantage cince they dont have to wait for testing cince it was tested in your company for years already.

      You can't detect and fight the real software and ideas that drive a business, because they are hidden and secret to the public. Not paying the keepers and creators of those secrets is the number one stupidest thing any company can do.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    38. Re:Raw Numbers? by sgt_doom · · Score: 0

      Have you been reading about all the companies (that is, there facilities and offices) in China that have been nationalized by the fascist government there! It's incredible - yet "The Economist" refers to it as difficulties in doing business in China. HUH???? I mean when Shell, Exxon, Gasproz and a number of other companies have their facilities and companies there nationalized - and the multinationals act like it's business as usual - there is a truly serious lack of any management acumen in existence.

    39. Re:Raw Numbers? by sgt_doom · · Score: 0

      You are exactly right! Take the typical North American contract staff which used to exist at the typical Microsoft retail tech support. They came up with many of the solutions, fixes and hacks which completely stumped the Ivey League Microsoft (employee) senior engineering staff! Indian and foreign screen readers ain't going to substitute for real Yankee ingenuity here - and we aren't talking race - we're talking real culture and cultural differences. Globalize poverty all they want to - but this country will be in a state of "progressive" regression for years to come......

    40. Re:Raw Numbers? by vsprintf · · Score: 1

      Have you been reading about all the companies (that is, there facilities and offices) in China that have been nationalized

      No, I haven't seen anything like that, but a related link or address would be appreciated. I do know that Cisco was burned by Chinese contractors who took Cisco's code to a Chinese firm that made a knock-off and undercut Cisco's business. Of course, that doesn't get much coverage in the financial press.

    41. Re:Raw Numbers? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Try this for starters.
      http://www.americaneconomicalert.org/news_item.asp ?NID=1201190 But many, many more than just Cisco got burned - research Volvo, Stanley Tools, etc. etc.

    42. Re:Raw Numbers? by theonetruekeebler · · Score: 2, Funny
      Put them on the endangered species list!

      You have to be careful of the relocation/repopulation program, though. One morning some Department of Wildlife rangers jumped out at me and shot me with a tranq gun. I woke up a day later at a data center in New Delhi, with a bastard of a headache and a yellow tracking tag stapled to my earlobe...

      --
      This is not my sandwich.
    43. Re:Raw Numbers? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The commonly quoted figure of $10,000 to replace an employee is WAY OFF.

      It is not just WAY OFF, it is wrong. WHen I worked in an HR office, that was just cost of the machinery to find and hire the new monkey.

      I have never seen any management team even come close to figuring out the actual cost of losing a person who has run and/or built a system of any complexity. They have no idea and assume that all monkeys are interchangable.

      If I had a business, I'd pay my top monkeys 250K to keep high performers since in the long run, the productivity of a few great people would be much higher than a ton of listless java-only programmer.

      This is a problem exacerbated by current HR and management evaluation methodologies - no one want to be critical and actually say joe, a programmer is 5 times more valuable to us than jack - because of lawsuits and because they have no way other that "years of experience" and "job title" to evaluate people in the software arena.

    44. Re:Raw Numbers? by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      Offshoring is the next boondoggle after the dot bomb bubble.

      But the dot-com thing was not a bubble. It is still expanding, just not in the US.

    45. Re:Raw Numbers? by julesh · · Score: 1

      # Chief executives at U.S. companies that shipped jobs overseas won a 46 percent pay hike last year
      [...]
      # average compensation for chief executives at the top 50 outsourcing companies was $10.4 million last year


      These numbers are meaningless without the corresponding figures for companies that didn't outsource.

    46. Re:Raw Numbers? by Short+Circuit · · Score: 1

      They have to do it that way. When they tried to import the species from India, the ones already here complained about scarce resources.

    47. Re:Raw Numbers? by hesiod · · Score: 1

      *another hand rises*

      We have about 80 PCs in our hospital, but the CEO has about the 5th-slowest in the place. He is the most realistic executive I've ever met. He knows he doesn't need much more than EMail, Word, Excel, IE, so the performance isn't much of an issue, compared to the needs of our Clinical software.

    48. Re:Raw Numbers? by Nept · · Score: 1

      Indian and foreign screen readers ain't going to substitute for real Yankee ingenuity here - and we aren't talking race - we're talking real culture and cultural differences

      Give me a break. You're not serious are you?

      --
      "Teachers leave us kids alone ..." - Roger Waters, Pink Floyd
    49. Re:Raw Numbers? by vsprintf · · Score: 0, Troll

      These numbers are meaningless without the corresponding figures for companies that didn't outsource.

      I provided a link. Should I read the article for you too? 46% vs 9% for most companies. $10.4 M vs $8.1 M for other large companies. And despite the title, it wasn't about outsourcing which can be local, it was about offshoring. Anything else I can do for you?

    50. Re:Raw Numbers? by vsprintf · · Score: 1

      But the dot-com thing was not a bubble. It is still expanding, just not in the US.

      It was a bubble in the U.S., where a lot of greedy CEOs made personal fortunes by bilking investors and employees before the bubble burst. The rush to offshoring is just the next big buzzword money-making scheme by U.S. corporate management with no morals or foresight.

    51. Re:Raw Numbers? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You either didn't read the post or are slow on the uptake - screen readers don't make for innovation - that point was already made - and several zillion times previously over the past year by a number of other posters. Or perhaps you believe all those posters over the preceding several years (I suspect from India) who claim all computer science was invented there.....

  3. until now by OffTheLip · · Score: 5, Funny

    my boss just caught me reading this ariticle on Slashdot and told me to hit the road. Thanks a lot.

    1. Re:until now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      my boss just caught me reading this ariticle on Slashdot and told me to hit the road.
      Are you in road construction, Jack? Hammer!
    2. Re:until now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Umm.. No offense, but what where did you *used* to work ?

  4. voluntary turnover by Safety+Cap · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Yay, voluntary turnover is low.

    Hey, what's this pink piece of paper stuck to my paycheque?

    --
    Yeah, right.
    1. Re:voluntary turnover by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah. You don't voluntarily leave when there aren't any other jobs out there. And if you're fired, then it's not exactly voluntary. These stats are completely useless. /very recently laid off and angry

    2. Re:voluntary turnover by hpulley · · Score: 4, Informative

      Exactly! But for those who didn't RTFA, it does say "The numbers do not include workers who are laid off, Aon says. Last year, 11.2% of the workforce left jobs involuntarily, compared with 20.3% in 2001, when the tech bubble burst." So it appears that involuntary layoffs are also down.

      --
      $#!^ happens, but why does it always have to happen to me???
    3. Re:voluntary turnover by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The article also does not say that Aon Consulting just finished outsourcing a shitload of IT positions. Coincidence?

    4. Re:voluntary turnover by Gooba42 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Say we laid off 20% of 100 people in 2001. Now we have 80 people doing the same job 100 people did. Again in 2003 when business didn't recover as quickly or as fully as some had banked on we laid off 11% of the remaining 80 people or about 8 people. Now we have 72 people doing the work that 100 people did 3 years previously.

      Unless some of that original 20% had been rehired between the first poll and the second then we're still ultimately down about 28%, not apparently including any numbers from 2002.

      Are we seeing businesses being more stable because they're doing better or because they've come to rest at the bottom of a falling tide?

      I guess the bottom line is: Were we 28% overstaffed in 2001 or are we 28% understaffed after the layoffs? Or do we know?

      --
      I just found out there's no such thing as the real world. It's just a lie you've got to rise above. - John Mayer
  5. Low turnover rate... by Nos. · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Does it mean we've passed the spike... or that most of us have realized that the grass really isn't any greener on the other side of the fence. Of course, I might just be bitter as I found out I'm going through a reorg where I'll go from developing new services to patching services. WooHoo, excitement city.

    1. Re:Low turnover rate... by Rimbo · · Score: 2, Interesting

      That's certainly true for me. In fact, I'd go further: This is the best job I've had since grad school.

      I think we're more likely to leave a poorly-managed company. What's more, in the post-tech bust, the companies that are still alive are more likely to have good management; they needed it to survive. The result: The jobs that remain are better jobs.

    2. Re:Low turnover rate... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      WooHoo, excitement city.

      I read that as excrement city the first time.

  6. It has been dismal for me too. by SlashdotTroll · · Score: 5, Funny

    I've been working as a Technical Support specialist because all you College-educated people stole my job as a Fry Cook.

    It's a joke, Honest!

    --

    I am the nightmare of nightmares.

    1. Re:It has been dismal for me too. by kiljoy001 · · Score: 2, Funny

      You wanna switch ? I work at dennys' as a cook, I'd rather be tech support.

    2. Re:It has been dismal for me too. by SlashdotTroll · · Score: 0

      You wanna switch ? I work at dennys' as a cook, I'd rather be tech support. Are you some sort of Massochist? Do you enjoy sweating over a keyboard for 10 hours in front of unnatural light bombardments from a encapsulated and pressurized scanning electron gun? It's too late for me! Stay safe over the sensual scolding safety of your fry pan! Don't let computers cut down the prime of your life! Remember me brother!

      --

      I am the nightmare of nightmares.

  7. Geeks by TheRealMindChild · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I attribute this to the metaphorical "settling of the water". In the 90's people with absolutely no interest in computers, as well as those with no skill, started saturating the market to grab a quick buck. It the past few years, even those with skills have trouble finding employment, and most find themselves working helpdesk at a telemarketing firm, or as a webmaster/designer for a porn site. Those who are still here are the ones that do it more then just for the money... because it is what we were born to do.

    --

    "When life gives you lemons, don't make lemonade. Make life take the lemons back!" -- Cave Johnson
    1. Re:Geeks by erroneus · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I've been singing that song for a long time now and I'll keep singing it with you brother.

      Funny (ironic) thing is that the buy who left the position I accepted recently was not a techy guy himself. He's an executive for some weekly paper in a neighboring city.

      I hope you're right about the "people with tallent and skills" finally getting what they deserve. All those damned paper MCSEs out there spelled doom for a lot of us.

      On an unrelated note, during my long period of unemployment, I watched a LOT of TV... a LOT of commercials talking about "hot new jobs in the tech sector! get training at 1-800-blah-blah-blah..." All I could do was sit and grumble about it... those bastards are still trying to turn out tech-job hopefuls at a time when people were losing their jobs at record-high rates. Simply remarkable.

    2. Re:Geeks by loqi · · Score: 3, Insightful

      even those with skills have trouble finding employment

      To me, that seems to bolster TFA's point more than it does yours. If it's that hard even for skilled people to find employment, it means that people in this industry will probably be clinging to their jobs with tooth and nail. I see no reason why "pseudogeeks" would be much more eager to give up their tech job than "real geeks" would. A paycheck is a paycheck.

      --
      If other reasons we do lack, we swear no one will die when we attack
    3. Re:Geeks by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      As a webmaster/designer for a porn site? Where do I sign? Anything would be better than THIS job.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re:Geeks by TheKubrix · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Not just the 90s. I still see kids going for their CS degree who strongly lack any skills to make it in the real world. Its now a kill or be killed industry, but the popularity is still growing. Kids of a few years ago who enjoyed IRC, IM, and Half Life, now think this luxary can be a career. Boy will they get a rude awakening when/if they graduate and realize they are far behind all the true computer geeks out there and have to fend against script kiddies. :\

    5. Re:Geeks by McNihil · · Score: 0

      I coulnd't agree more with "because it is what we were born to do". Last couple of years I have been fixing the horridness of people that did it for the money. These people should hopefully never be allowed near a computer ever again. But then again it keeps me employed. Cobol programmers back in the day at least knew how to program, but the "bubble day programmers" knew nothing about it and we will pay for a very long time. All because Microsoft was touting that computing is simple and it's just point and click... shesh... common script kiddies kill the behemoth now before it is too late.

    6. Re:Geeks by TiggertheMad · · Score: 1

      and most find themselves working helpdesk at a telemarketing firm, or as a webmaster/designer for a porn site.

      Wait, you mean someone will pay me to post pr0n on the web?

      AMERICA, DE LAND OF OPPURTUNITY!

      --

      HA! I just wasted some of your bandwidth with a frivolous sig!
    7. Re:Geeks by fritz1968 · · Score: 1

      ...or as a webmaster/designer for a porn site.

      It's not all that bad. Think of the plus side: free porn.

      --
      It is not the strongest of the species that survive, nor the most intelligent, but the one most responsive to change.
    8. Re:Geeks by networkBoy · · Score: 1

      I see no reason why "pseudogeeks" would be much more eager to give up their tech job than "real geeks" would. A paycheck is a paycheck.

      True as far as it goes, but the psudo-geeks were part of the involuntary turnover.
      -nB

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
    9. Re:Geeks by LaCosaNostradamus · · Score: 3, Interesting

      All those damned paper MCSEs out there spelled doom for a lot of us.

      I'm going through that now. 19 years of computer work all over the map, and {WHAM} I get outsourced once I sought stability, and now they're telling me I have to get certified. Certified? To do the job I've done perfectly well so far?

      I've decided not to comply. They'll have to fire me out of this job. A newbie came by yesterday and I got the chance to find out more about the company that we were outsourced to. As he said it, all they cared about during his interview was that he was A+ certified ... they didn't care at all for his experience.

      I'm not going to let "them" discredit experience. After all, if 19 years experience with computers is worth nothing, then anything can be discredited. Certifications, degrees ... everything can be made into garbage. If we techies save our money and stand up to this bullshit, we can preserve some dignity in our job base.

      --
      [You have a stable society when some nut guns down a schoolyard and the law doesn't change.]
    10. Re:Geeks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      On an unrelated note, during my long period of unemployment, I watched a LOT of TV... a LOT of commercials talking about "hot new jobs in the tech sector! get training at 1-800-blah-blah-blah..." All I could do was sit and grumble about it... those bastards are still trying to turn out tech-job hopefuls at a time when people were losing their jobs at record-high rates. Simply remarkable.

      And they still are, here in the UK - CompuTeach seems to advertise heavily during the daytime TV slots (Trisha, Springer, Judge Judy, Murder She Wrote, ...)

      I feel truly sorry for anyone desperate enough to be suckered by their spiel about how, with their training, "anyone can land a well-paid job in IT".

    11. Re:Geeks by JollyFinn · · Score: 1

      ...or as a webmaster/designer for a porn site.

      It's not all that bad. Think of the plus side: free porn.
      It is not the strongest of the species that survive, nor the most intelligent, but the one most responsive to change.

      I think its not the strongest speciest nor most intelligent the one that BREEDS most!

      --
      Emacs is good operating system, but it has one flaw: Its text editor could be better.
    12. Re:Geeks by Tackhead · · Score: 2, Funny
      > > ...or as a webmaster/designer for a porn site.
      >
      >It's not all that bad. Think of the plus side: free porn.

      ...people still pay for pr0n?

    13. Re:Geeks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Yeah, and if everybody didn't throw their cigarette butts out the window of their cars we'd have a clean street system.

      Go ahead, live by your ideals. Hope they keep you warm at night when the gas company shuts off your service.

      In this capitalistic world, you go with the flow or you drop out of the mix. I'm sorry, but that's just the way it works. You don't want to get certified even though that's what they want in an employee? Too bad, so sad... Good thing you didn't want to be an employee of theirs anyway.

      Good god, man, jobs are hard enough to find without putting restrictions on the businesses you are willing to work for.

    14. Re:Geeks by Fulcrum+of+Evil · · Score: 1

      now they're telling me I have to get certified. Certified? To do the job I've done perfectly well so far?

      Ask them for a check and time off to attend the course. I'm sure they'll come around then...

      --
      "We returned the General to El Salvador, or maybe Guatemala, it's difficult to tell from 10,000 feet"
    15. Re:Geeks by bluekanoodle · · Score: 1
      I feel your pain, but principals aside, if you have 19 years, the certfication should be a cake walk for you. Swallow your pride, take the test and move on.

      The certs will get you past the HR dragons, your experience will get you the job.

    16. Re:Geeks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure, it's all fine and dandy until the day your boss comes in and says, "Looks like we need to pull you off TeenTramps.com. They need a good web designer over on FecalPhilia.com and I volunteered you."

    17. Re:Geeks by LaCosaNostradamus · · Score: 1

      I'd already lived through a gas shutoff, thanks.

      Labor has all the power it has the grip to wield. It can only stand to reason that if you don't fight, you are guaranteed to lose.

      As for restrictions ... good god, man, who exactly is restricting whom when a cert is demanded? If they want to shrink the pool of workers "qualified" to work for them, then that's their cross to bear.

      But overall, you are quite correct about "you didn't want to be an employee of theirs anyway". Employers and employees must match or there is strife. And there still are places in America where experience is valued over some goofball sporting a cert he paid for. I have taken the stand of not obeying, hence I can only be fired at some future point, and then I'll be perfectly "opportunized" to seek employment elsewhere. I'm already doing the job and am receiving praise and good evals for it; if they want to wipe their asses with all that, then they've made the critical choice here, not me.

      --
      [You have a stable society when some nut guns down a schoolyard and the law doesn't change.]
    18. Re:Geeks by dave420 · · Score: 1
      Tell me about it. My old boss was an ex-army type, trained as a sniper. After the army, he was trained up as an accountant, then moved into IT. He joined the company I work for as network admin, as the company was small. The company grew, but his knowledge didn't. I came on as a web developer, and quickly showed the company how a network should be run (he thought MAC addresses were for Macs, or running an application from a remote computer ran it on that computer, etc.).

      Anyway, he left, as all those charlatans are found out when someone with an inkling of knowledge steps up (and I'm not network admin - I stick to the web stuff).

      he sucked.

    19. Re:Geeks by Skjellifetti · · Score: 1

      Funny, I've come to exactly the opposite conclusion and decided that I'm going to buckle down and get the following certs: Java Programmer, Developer, and Architect, IBM XML and Rational RUPP/UML, and PMI. The sample tests I've seen for these look pretty easy and the test costs aren't too awful bad since I don't need the training.

      And then I'm gonna make the bastards put me in charge and I'm gonna run an IT shop the way it should be run.

      Well, maybe not. But at least I won't have to keep rewriting my resume to show the marketing folks at the consulting companies how the 10+ years experience I have directly matches each and every one of the next customer's requirements. Here's to hoping that buzzword checklist compliance will reduce my marketing costs.

    20. Re:Geeks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't see experience as all that different from a degree or certification. There are plenty of idiots and asskissers who have managed to stay employed for a number of years.

    21. Re:Geeks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What makes you think that the real geeks were not?

    22. Re:Geeks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you go with the flow or you drop out of the mix.

      Translation: Everyone looks taller when you're on your knees.

  8. duh. by big_groo · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Who really wants to leave a decent paying, *secure* job these days for a place that offers a bit more money - and you don't know if you'll even *have* a job in 6 months at the new place.

    People are staying put until the market sorts itself out. Nothing to see here...move along.

    1. Re:duh. by twofidyKidd · · Score: 1

      a bit more money...nah.

      oodles and oodles of investor cash...sign me up!

      Wait, isn't that what got me here in the first place??

      --


      Hades, PoD: Official Advocate
    2. Re:duh. by sadcox · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Right on...I graduated college in '96, worked at a job with solid pay, good benefits, and insanely good job security for 3 years, then left to chase high pay at low security jobs...

      Four jobs (two of which were layoffs) later, fast forward to July 2004...I'm back to same company I worked for out of school, now with the same security, better pay, and better benefits.

      They're going to have to chase me out of here this time.

      --
      "He hated Mexicans, and he was half Mexican. AND he hated irony!"
    3. Re:duh. by kisrael · · Score: 1

      So what's the secure, solid pay, good benefits job?

      Just wondering...

      --
      SO YOU'RE GOING TO DIE: The Comic for Dealing with Death
    4. Re:duh. by JamesKPolk · · Score: 1

      I'd say they're staying put BECAUSE the market has sorted itself out.

      People no longer have the luxury of being in a market being flooded with "irrational exuberence," so now the money isn't throwing crazy amounts of money at anyone who can fake competence.

    5. Re:duh. by sadcox · · Score: 1

      sys admin at a large japanese automotive electronics manufacturing facility...should have included that in the original post.

      --
      "He hated Mexicans, and he was half Mexican. AND he hated irony!"
    6. Re:duh. by kisrael · · Score: 1

      Cool...hope it keeps on workin' out for ya'...I've had my "safety job" taken out from me at least once, so as long as you know there are no final guarantees, you can probably have a good long stay there...

      Hope you don't get tons of people sending you resumes now :-)

      --
      SO YOU'RE GOING TO DIE: The Comic for Dealing with Death
    7. Re:duh. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who really wants to leave a decent paying, *secure* job these days for a place that offers a bit more money - and you don't know if you'll even *have* a job in 6 months at the new place.

      People who have decided that relying on a company for their own security is stupid, and that they are much better off handling this themselves.
  9. Why personal income is down by TheSync · · Score: 4, Informative

    The funny thing is that wages and salaries were up in July, but other sources of personal income were down enough to reduce total personal income. From NASDAQ/Econoday:

    But importantly wages and salaries did rise in the month, up 0.4 percent. Other sources of income weakened, including Medicare reimbursements, rental income, and interest income.

    1. Re:Why personal income is down by Abcd1234 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Looks like that tax cut *really* helped, then! The myth of supply-side economics rears it's ugly head yet again... and this time to the tune of a 500 billion dollar deficit...

    2. Re:Why personal income is down by TopShelf · · Score: 0

      Wow, that's quite a lot of nonsense thrown into one tiny post. Care to elaborate as to how supply-side economics relates to these reports?

      Or are you just venting since the GOP convention is going on now...

      --
      Stop by my site where I write about ERP systems & more
    3. Re:Why personal income is down by Abcd1234 · · Score: 1

      Supply-side economics == tax cuts == "more money in the pockets of american people". Yet, their personal income *decreased*, so, it would appear that there is, in fact, *less* money in the pockets of the American people.

      Perhaps I should have said, more specifically, "the myth of the Bush tax cut".

    4. Re:Why personal income is down by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The really NOT funny portion of the wages and salaries being up in July is that those surveyed were all at the executive level. Other sources of personal income, such as worth stated on paper (AKA stock options for those same individuals) was down enough to reduce total personal income.

      But importantly, wages and salries did rise in the month according to desperate Republicans everwhere. LOL!!! Yes...uh...the economy is picking up! Here...look at these completely irrelevant figures to help me stuff my pocket...errr I mean prove my point! If I can cut labor costs by another 15% I can convince the board to let me have a additional 500k in shares.

    5. Re:Why personal income is down by Bull999999 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Looks like that tax cut *really* helped, then! The myth of supply-side economics rears it's ugly head yet again... and this time to the tune of a 500 billion dollar deficit...

      Then we all should vote Democrats as they can bend the law of Economics! Impliment rent controls to keep the rent down! Increase wages since it'll somehow stop the companies from outsourcing! Incourage people to invest recklessly like they did in the last boom!

      --
      1f u c4n r34d th1s u r34lly n33d t0 g37 l41d
    6. Re:Why personal income is down by cayenne8 · · Score: 1
      I'd say my personal income is up....and I paid significantly LESS in taxes last year, and I'm making FAR less than the $200K mark they say are the only ones that got a tax break.

      I want more tax breaks...my money, let me keep more of it.

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    7. Re:Why personal income is down by Abcd1234 · · Score: 1

      Well, I'm glad you'd say that. But, guess what, the world is full of people who are not, in fact, you. The actual *numbers* say that, on average, personal income is down (or, rather, did not keep pace with related indicators). Of course, *you* didn't experience this, so, yeah, let's just keep screwing everyone else!

    8. Re:Why personal income is down by trixillion · · Score: 1

      Has it come to this in republican circles? Has the double think gotten so bad that an economic boom is considered a mistake? How do you keep track of it all? I understand that war is peace and that differing taxes onto our children is morally righteous; but I thought making money was the whole point of your party. I see now that this isn't so and the republicans are now the party of massive deficits and economic malaise. How fast things change...

      (Sigh), it is the democrats that incourage[sic] people to invest recklessly like they did in the last boom! Do you have any idea what you have said?

      Are you familiar with the relationship between interest rates and investment? Are you familiar with the history of interest rates over the last 15 years? Are you aware of the relationship between government and private savings and the trade deficit? Do you know what happened to government savings during the 90's? Do you know what happened to government savings since then? Have you heard of Alan Greenspan? Have you been following fed policy for the last 15 years? Have you heard of this thing called the "housing bubble"? What might some of its causes be? What color are pots and kettles? Do you get all your information about economics from celebrity radio talk shows hosts?

    9. Re:Why personal income is down by TheSync · · Score: 1

      The point is that wages and salaries are working people were up in July, but the rental and investment income (generally associated with "the rich") is down even more.

      Also note that real disposable income (after taxes, i.e., with the tax cuts) grew 0.1 percent in July.

    10. Re:Why personal income is down by TheSync · · Score: 1

      Yep, after tax real disposable income increased 2.4% in 1Q04 and 2.5% in the 2Q04.

    11. Re:Why personal income is down by Bull999999 · · Score: 1

      You may believe that I'm a Bush fan, but if you read my signature I not a fan of Bush or Kerry. You are just full of question but no answers. How about these facts?

      1. People bitch about the government deficit spending while their own consumer deficit also has gone up. I'd say the government is just just reflecting on the consumer's spending habits.

      2. Do hear comments like "At least I had a job when Clinton in the office but people also happen to invest like crazy and the corporations were spending money like they had a hole in thier pockets.

      3. Massive outsourcing of blue collar jobs started in the mid 80's but the consumers didn't do NOTHING about it because they were fat and happy with cheaper goods.

      4. Supply side economics can work, but the reason why Bush's tax cuts failed is because it returned the most of the money to the rich. The reason why most rich are rich is because they save money, not blow it away like the rest of the population, and thus it limited the amount of spending.

      5. Sure, promises of "increase in wages" sounds good, but how in the hell is Kerry going to make the employers give out raises? And since one major reason for outsourcing is due to the expensive labor costs in US, how is making the labor costs even more expensive help with outsourcing issue?

      6. You mean the government saving from the revenues they've gotten from foolish spending the consumers and businesses?

      7. I don't even listen to the celebrity radio talk show hosts. Do you get all your information from Michael Moore?

      --
      1f u c4n r34d th1s u r34lly n33d t0 g37 l41d
    12. Re:Why personal income is down by trixillion · · Score: 1

      >You may believe that I'm a Bush fan, but if you read my signature I not a fan of Bush or Kerry.

      A judgment based on your comments. I make no apology for not reading your signature - as I have them turned off by preference. You have reminded me of the need to remove my long forgotten sig.

      >You are just full of question but no answers.

      A simple "no" would have sufficed. Unfortunately, it is clear that there exists a gap in our respective backgrounds in economic theory. You seem enthusiastic about the subject so you might pick up a standard tome on macroeconomics and monetary theory, such as Krugman and Obstfeld's International Economics: Theory and Policy. From your reply I can only assume you are a 'Libertarian' and likely have been spending time milling around mises.org. In which case, I don't expect you to believe a word of Krugman's book. It would, however, do you much good to understand the standard framework used for monetary policy. Without such a background, you lack the lexicon and framework for maintaining a debate with those versed in the subject. And as a consequence, you will not be taken seriously regardless of your intellect.

      >How about these facts?

      In fact, much of what you wrote was questions.

      >1. People bitch about the government deficit spending while their own consumer deficit also has gone up. I'd say the government is just reflecting on the consumer's spending habits.

      You should realize that increasing your debt and increasing your savings are not mutually exclusive. Consequently, the rising consumer sector debt does not necessarily map to a lack of savings. For example, suppose you earn $10 and spend $8 on consumption. And then you borrow $1 and use it with your remaining dollar to buy a $3 asset. You have saved $2 even though your debt increased by $1. A similar effect happens on a massive scale due to the housing market and mortgages. Consequently, consumers are net savers, lately.

      >2. Do hear comments like "At least I had a job when Clinton in the office but people also happen to invest like crazy and the corporations were spending money like they had a hole in thier pockets.

      No, I don't hear many statements like that. The people I know are all quite well spoken. Try as I may, I cannot reconstruct your run-on into a coherent sentence.

      >3. Massive outsourcing of blue collar jobs started in the mid 80's but the consumers didn't do NOTHING about it because they were fat and happy with cheaper goods.

      It sounds like you are blaming people for being people. This is why government regulations are a necessary reality. Because people will be people and corporations will be corporations. To expect either to behave differently is naive.

      >4. Supply side economics can work, but the reason why Bush's tax cuts failed is because it returned the most of the money to the rich. The reason why most rich are rich is because they save money, not blow it away like the rest of the population, and thus it limited the amount of spending.

      Surely you only misspoke and realize that Bush's tax cuts are a near perfect experiment in supply side economics. Any supply sider will readily agree that giving the tax cuts to the rich is the basis of supply side economics. There are many reasons why the rich are rich, but the one factor they all undoubtedly share is luck - either of birth or timing. For every hard working rags-to-riches story there are hundreds of equally hard working and intelligent people who failed to become rich. I agree, however, that the key to remaining rich is wise financial planning.

      >5. Sure, promises of "increase in wages" sounds good, but how in the hell is Kerry going to make the employers give out raises? And since one major reason for outsourcing is due to the expensive labor costs in US, how is making the labor costs even more expensive help with

    13. Re:Why personal income is down by Bull999999 · · Score: 1

      And somehow basing your economic beliefs on one book ? Reviews like

      This guy is an idiot!!! Either he is confused about economic theory or he trying push some sort of an agenda. He repeatedly contradicts himself in a way that undermines his crediblity. A word of advice Mr. Krugman--STICK TO THE NY TIMES EDITORIALS and stay out of academia.

      really wants me to read that book. Beside, if you are well versed economics, you should be aware that economists constantly disagree with each other at it'll be foolish to list books that you like and argue that people who disagree with them are wrong. No, I'm not a Libertarian, and since we are making assumptions here, I'm guessing that you are a snobby highly educated liberal intellectual who believe's his/her own opinions are facts because someone else with the same opinions wrote a book about it.

      It sounds like you are blaming people for being people. This is why government regulations are a necessary reality.

      While some regulations are necessary there are things that consumers can do to take control of their lives instead of waiting for some regulation that may never come. For example, if you can't handle credit cards, don't apply for them! And if you are fat, order a salad instead of a Big Mac!

      Increasing wages leads to increased consumption which leads to more jobs (there is a positive feedback effect there, not unlike the demand side but faster and of greater magnitude.)While I don't disagree with your statement, you left out another major factor, inflation. Isn't one of the major reasons for study economics is due to the fact that resources are finite? Don't you remember the explosion of rent and housing costs doing the boom? Increase of wages will have more people competing for limited resources and it'll drive the prices up and in couple of years, no one will be better off. The key is to increase the efficiency do get "more bang per buck" from the limited resources.

      And finally, at the risk of being labeled a troll, outsourcing is not what is hurting the US economy right now (though I worry about it for more personal reasons.) It is a small effect relative to the larger stagnant labor market.

      I also agree with that statement but I'll bet that no candidates will make that statement public.

      If you would rephrase this question, I'd be happy to address it. But as it now reads, I'm not sure what you are asking

      If you made an assumption that "This person has shitty grammer so his first language must not be English", you'd be right. I really don't care at this point because we'll probably disagree anyways.

      --
      1f u c4n r34d th1s u r34lly n33d t0 g37 l41d
  10. Biding our time.... by otis+wildflower · · Score: 3, Interesting

    ... until the next wave.

    Tech folks I know are happy to have jobs, even if they're not happy with the actual jobs themselves. Nothing exciting is really happening, and nothing that pays as well as boring, uncreative tedium.

    All I know is my corp will be first against the wall when the revolution comes.

    OTOH, my UT2004 sk33l7_ have improved quite a bit, over what was an admittedly poor baseline ;)

    1. Re:Biding our time.... by Short+Circuit · · Score: 1, Offtopic

      All I know is my corp will be first against the wall when the revolution comes.

      You work for Microsoft? *sets foe*

      (j/k)

    2. Re:Biding our time.... by itchy92 · · Score: 1

      OTOH, my UT2004 sk33l7_ have improved quite a bit, over what was an admittedly poor baseline ;)

      so... your UT2004 skeelt have improved, huh? Guess it's time to brush up on your 1337 5ki115, then. :)

      --
      Slashdot: News for nerds. Stuff tha-- MICRO$OFT IS THE DEVIL!!1
  11. Yes, oh gawd yes. by Bravo_Two_Zero · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Our director is (rightly) expecting an exodous in droves if the economy continues to brighten. Some of them are employees who just aren't of the "lifer" variety. Others feel used and abused. A few more might really believe there are greener pastures.

    --


    Amateurs discuss tactics. Professionals discuss logistics.

    1. Re:Yes, oh gawd yes. by Sabaki · · Score: 1

      Yep, we're in the middle of this at my company. Something like 80% of the Java programming staff will have left over a period of a month or two for greener pastures.

      Having switched pastures quite a few times, I do wonder if this is as good as it can actually get -- every switch I've made for the past 8 years (before this one) had been to a worse company.

  12. low turnover? by Xargle · · Score: 3, Funny

    that's because we're all too demoralised to... oh feck it, I can't be bothered.

  13. economic recovery my arse by elrick_the_brave · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Tech in Canada has been non-existent for almost 4 years now (read: tech-bust and 9/11). I only see activity in Texas and some of the other larger states. I honestly think we're in a holding pattern until the Canadian and American economies go through a recession (another 5 to 10 years). Save your pennies folks.. or get into something else. The funny thing is that there has been so much shrinkage that most of the technically sound folks out there are holding on as best they can.. yet the companies want to move forward.

    Personally, the pressure has been on for 3 years and I am burning out... are you? That doesn't bode well for the tech industry again.

    --
    (1st sig) If this were a snappy sig, you'd be reading it right now. (2nd sig) I'm a karma whore. >Insert FUD here
    1. Re:economic recovery my arse by Morpeth · · Score: 1
      Just curious, what part of Canada are you from? I have a friend in Vancouver who seems to think the tech market isn't so bad there.

      Reason I ask is I thinking of returning to Canada (in Denver currently), probably BC and didn't get the impression it was proportionately any worse than in the US.

      --

      'The unexamined life is not worth living' - Socrates
    2. Re:economic recovery my arse by Dexx · · Score: 1

      As a Canadian in tech, I've got to agree. Our office has gone from being tech-centric to redeveloping the training program and resources to the point where they can bring in a new high-school grad and train them up on a month. A couple years ago, they were hiring people with tech degrees and certs only. They quality of service is dropping, but who cares as long as the stock value stays up long enough to sell?

      --
      Feel the fear and do it anyway.
    3. Re:economic recovery my arse by MarchHare · · Score: 1

      Here in Montreal IT seem to be doing rather well. But my field is more straight 'computer science' than IT. All four major universities on the island are building new research facilities... I think that's a good sign.

    4. Re:economic recovery my arse by Morpeth · · Score: 1
      Ah ok - thanks for the clarification. I'm in IT (w/a decent amount of experience under my belt) as opposed to pure CS

      Montreal... beautiful city. Colder than Vancouver, but beautiful nonetheless :)

      --

      'The unexamined life is not worth living' - Socrates
    5. Re:economic recovery my arse by elrick_the_brave · · Score: 1

      I am in Calgary. Here we have the Oil & Gas... but that doesn't mean it's great for all tech in all areas.
      Vancouver has the development just because it is a large urban center.. it has to grow and will typically grow. The rest of Canada is a little sketchy. There are definitely selective pockets of growth. I tend to measure growth by the overall growth in an area/country. There is nothing wrong with coming back right now if you can get the specific job... and save your money! :)

      --
      (1st sig) If this were a snappy sig, you'd be reading it right now. (2nd sig) I'm a karma whore. >Insert FUD here
    6. Re:economic recovery my arse by elrick_the_brave · · Score: 1

      Yes.. pure CS (development, engineering, etc) is going to do well.. but those areas which I am in (support, administration) have been commodotized by directors and managers. They seem to think that they can have their cake and eat it too. I am not so sure. Good tech people are hard to come by. Eventually they will move on because their are frustrated or burned out. When this affects your customers.. heads will roll.. but that is usually some low-level manager.

      --
      (1st sig) If this were a snappy sig, you'd be reading it right now. (2nd sig) I'm a karma whore. >Insert FUD here
    7. Re:economic recovery my arse by elrick_the_brave · · Score: 1

      to give you an idea.. at a senior tech level, I am in the position to have excelled at what I do.. 3 years running.. yet seen less than cost of living increases (less than 2.5%) over all of these years.. and most of them down at 1.5%. So either someone is making money on their support contract and sucking it away from salary increases... or it's as bad as I thought. Bear in mind this is my view of the world... my view may not be your view.. can I have your view if it's better??? LOL

      --
      (1st sig) If this were a snappy sig, you'd be reading it right now. (2nd sig) I'm a karma whore. >Insert FUD here
    8. Re:economic recovery my arse by TheClarkey · · Score: 1

      [blockquote]but who cares as long as the stock value stays up long enough to sell?[/blockquote]

      The customer:)

    9. Re:economic recovery my arse by amightywind · · Score: 1

      In 2002-2003 the market in the U.S. was non-existant. Some cities were hit especially hard (Silicon Valley, Dallas, Boston). Some not as bad. The market continues to recover but reinflation to 2000 levels may take a few more years. Recession is definitely a risk in 3-5 years, especially if there is another big terror attack. Saving money is always good advice, even in boom times.

      --
      an ill wind that blows no good
    10. Re:economic recovery my arse by themoodykid · · Score: 1

      I am at a tech company here in Calgary at the moment, but have been considering moving onto another job. The position is a secure one as the company is doing well, but a bit of a dead end in terms of interesting work. However, I haven't looked at many tech postings yet. What is your opinion on the state of the industry in Canada compared with the US?

    11. Re:economic recovery my arse by pipingguy · · Score: 1


      The reality is that jobs that involve computers and software essentially eventually make themselves obsolete. You haven't figured that out yet?

      The greatest thing ever invented (on the shoulders of other technologies) was the internet. Now it's here, it only takes fine-tuning, not hordes of rampaging geeks building the infrastructure.

      The end result of all this will be a Sim-esque big red button that is labelled "Run Economy".

    12. Re:economic recovery my arse by Maltheus · · Score: 1

      I'd hold on to your own view, if I were you. Most tech people I know are making less than they were 5 years ago. In fact a common pattern at my company is to fire people and then hire them back at considerably less. I would love to have your 1.5% increases. I suspect, in a few more years, you'll be looking back on them rather fondly too.

    13. Re:economic recovery my arse by elrick_the_brave · · Score: 1

      My opinion (it's pessimistic but I am grounded):
      It seems that both Canada and the US are poised on the crest of a wave. The change will begin and those who are there to capture the opportunities are going to get them. At this point there are sprinklings of 'good' opportunities. Some CIOs are recognizing that the outsourcing and contracting may not be the grand fix-it they once thought. Those CIOs are starting to position themselves to look good by selectively hiring technically sound 'good-fit' people. It's a hard process to go through. It makes the hiring process of the past look like a walk in the park.

      For yourself.. do not take the jump easily unless you know you have a great opportunity. Prepare yourself like you would for anything else. Take some courses on resume updating/interviewing. Talk to headhunters. A lot of them these days are acting as the pre-pre-selectors for 'best-fit' employees. Expect to contract-to-hire for some jobs. Bring your certifications up to date to make yourself seem the most marketable.. but also let them know about your experience through your CV and/or resume.

      There are some hot areas.. but like I said.. they are very picky. Canada's big cities are seeing the most action. US: Texas, California, and some other select states (haven't done the research).

      Position yourself carefully. Have enough money to live off of set aside for at least 6 months if not a year and expect to live with the basics. Yes.. it's gruesome.. but you'll thank yourself. Some people test these waters by trying to live by the bare minimums while they 'have' a job. Cut your 'income' by half for month.. see if you can still pay the bills and live. How about cutting it by 2/3rds... does that work? These tests will let you know how long you can support yourself based on your savings.

      Be cautious.. but be true to yourself... the truest joy in life is finding something you enjoy doing and doing it... the money helps.

      --
      (1st sig) If this were a snappy sig, you'd be reading it right now. (2nd sig) I'm a karma whore. >Insert FUD here
    14. Re:economic recovery my arse by b!arg · · Score: 1

      Saving money is always good advice, even in boom times.

      I think that should read: especially in boom times.

      A penny saved is a penny and a half earned (think taxes)

      --

      Everybody dies frustrated and sad and that is beautiful
  14. Tech market looking up by Space+cowboy · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I'm on the verge of moving to the US from the UK, to work in silicon valley. The salary is very attractive too, so there's obviously *some* improvement happening. The same company wanted the same thing to happen roughly 18 months ago, and it just wasn't on back then... This is all assuming I can get an H1B in time, of course...

    Simon.

    --
    Physicists get Hadrons!
    1. Re:Tech market looking up by Zed2K · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Salary may be nice for what you are going for but wait until you see how much the cost of living is there. The salary won't look so great after the realization hits.

    2. Re:Tech market looking up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      I'm on the verge of moving to the US from the UK, to work in silicon valley. The salary is very attractive too

      Silicon Valley? Well, I hope your salary is very attractive. Because, if you haven't checked out the prices, you are about to get a very bad case of home-price sticker shock.

    3. Re:Tech market looking up by saider · · Score: 2, Informative

      California is expensive to live in. Make sure you've done your cost of living adjustments properly.

      My house here in Florida would cost me 3 times as much in California. But I wouldn't earn 3 times as much for my current position. So I'd lose if I moved.

      And then there's the issue where a company brings you over and lays you off a year and a half later (happened to an associate who came over from Germany). Gave him a severance, but it wasn't anything near what he needed to get back to Germany. Just be prepared for a one way trip, or get a contract that relocates you back home (if you can get relocation at all).

      --


      Remember, You are unique...just like everyone else.
    4. Re:Tech market looking up by Black+Jack+Hyde · · Score: 1
      I'm on the verge of moving to the US from the UK, to work in silicon valley.

      I wish you luck and hope they're paying you an absolute boatload of money, because you're going to need it when you try to buy a house. (Hint: Google 'silicon valley housing costs'.)

    5. Re:Tech market looking up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      screw cali.. i moved out of that craphole of a state, took a $50K a year pay cut, and now i can actually own a house, yeah its east coast.. but its a house

    6. Re:Tech market looking up by lucabrasi999 · · Score: 2, Funny

      Interesting comparison.

      California: High Taxes, Mudslides, Wildfires and Earthquakes.

      Florida: Alligators, Very Large Insects, Humidity, and Hurricanes.

      Just give up and move to Iowa.

    7. Re:Tech market looking up by el-spectre · · Score: 1

      The mudslides and wildfires only effect a very small percentage of people (mainly folks who live along hillsides/mountain foothills) and earthquakes are rare enough not to be a big concern.

      taxes suck tho.

      (CA native who scoffs at anything under 6.5!)

      --
      "Faith: Belief without evidence in what is told by one who speaks without knowledge, of things without parallel." - A.B.
    8. Re:Tech market looking up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't... Cost of living in Northern California is high... Don't believe me? Check prices on apartments.

      Ok that's bad enough. Traffic through San Francisco and San Jose is pretty nasty, too.

      Thirdly, the UK (& Europe) treat there employees better, and your less likely to end up getting royally screwed if you are there. Contemplate how one gets laid off from a job in the UK and how it goes in the US.

      Finally, the worst person I know lives in Northern California. She's evil. Her name is Anne. Anne Henmi. Add it all up and you just don't want to do it.

    9. Re:Tech market looking up by Malc · · Score: 3, Informative

      Silicon Valley: SE or even London cost of living, but probably for a slightly better salary. I think rents have come down a little. Be prepared to do a lot of driving.

      Be sure you know what you're getting yourself in to with an H1b. If you're going to be there more than a year enter the US with the dual intent of permanent residency: apply for a green card immediately, and pressure your employer to pay for it. Get them to agree before you agree to go. Hey: they might even take it as a commitment to the job position.

      I'm a Briton who spent three years in the US under H1b. I'm now a permanent resident of Canada and filling out the paper work for citizenship here. I don't think I would want to be an H1b again.

      H1b was fine in my early 20s. I had no responsibilities and was just looking for a good time. I got to live and travel in the US, paid for by a good job there. If I lost my job it didn't bother me that I might have to leave the US and start all over again elsewhere. Besides, the economy was good then ;) I'm a bit older now and I have a family and other commitments, and don't want to throw away everything I've built up in my life. I really don't want the uncertainty of being on an H1b again. I like being a little more settled and don't want the temporariness of such a visa hanging over my head. Hence my advice to apply for the GC immediately as it could reduce your stress in the long run.

      Don't even start thinking about what applying for something permanent in the US means. It doesn't mean you're becoming an American. It doesn't mean you're turning your back on your culture and past. But this is what a lot of people think and feel. It does mean that you're hedging your bets and perhaps making your choices and stress levels easier in the future. It does mean that you want to make your life easier. It does mean that you don't want so much hassle from those nasty ignorant c**ts on the border. At the end of the day, if you don't want to stay in the US, you can stop the process, or you can leave with an option to return more easily in the future. It's about choice.

    10. Re:Tech market looking up by Malc · · Score: 1

      By the way, if you are married, will your wife be able to work there? Last time I was offered an H1b (my current employer), one of the big reasons I refused to move to California was because my Canadian wife didn't qualify for any of the NAFTA visas and wouldn't have been able to work legally.

    11. Re:Tech market looking up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      You need to do the math before you spout. If you make 25% more in cali than any where else than you can buy a house even if its $500,000. The real estate goes up 17% per year on average in the state of California - I am not saying that other parts of the country don't do that but if they do then please elaborate. Now lets do the math. 25% pay raise on say 500k - 150k house price difference. Now a 25% pay raise wont pay for that difference but if you get a balloon 30year note than your making money buy borrowing 350k @ today's rate of 6% on top of a 17% growth plus the 25% pay raise. You are always shocked going to a high market area and it is easier to move to a lower. So, go to the higher area living on pinto beans for a few years than move and make a bucket load. I have done this and it pockets a bunch of money and yes gasoline is $2 a gallon out there; I'm paying 1.75 so that isn't an argument...

      Don't scare the guy trying to get a job.

    12. Re:Tech market looking up by Malc · · Score: 1

      "Thirdly, the UK (& Europe) treat there employees better, and your less likely to end up getting royally screwed if you are there. Contemplate how one gets laid off from a job in the UK and how it goes in the US."

      Good point. Most people in the UK haven't even heard of "at will employment", nor understand how unsettling it can be when you've grown up in a completely different environment.

    13. Re:Tech market looking up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just give up and move to Iowa.

      By the way, Iowa has been beautiful this year. The weather here this summer has been almost identical to the Bay Area, except for the heat. As someone that travels frequently to San Fran, I didn't feel like travelling this year. I had it all here, at home, in IOWA.

    14. Re:Tech market looking up by hyperstation · · Score: 1

      funny, i just got a dice email from some recruiter for a job in iowa....

    15. Re:Tech market looking up by Clemensa · · Score: 1

      I'm not convinced it is looking up all that much. The job market in the UK at the moment is not great, particularly if you are newly qualified. Many people are looking for you to have a good degree, and at least 3 MCP/CCNA etc qualifications, plus 3 years in industry. And they'll pay you £16k for the pleasure. I'm lucky in that I've found a company who employed me even though I had no formal qualifications whatsoever. Many of my friends have not been so lucky, and have ended up taking jobs that are non-IT related because there too many grads and not enough jobs.

    16. Re:Tech market looking up by MadMorf · · Score: 4, Funny

      California: High Taxes, Mudslides, Wildfires and Earthquakes.

      Florida: Alligators, Very Large Insects, Humidity, and Hurricanes.

      Just give up and move to Iowa.


      Iowa: Corn, corn, corn and corn.

      Give me the earthquakes and alligators.

    17. Re:Tech market looking up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      East coast is a fuck of a lot better than the west coast...

    18. Re:Tech market looking up by saider · · Score: 1

      Iowa: Tornados, Floods, and what is there to do besides growing corn?

      --


      Remember, You are unique...just like everyone else.
    19. Re:Tech market looking up by Anthony+Boyd · · Score: 3, Interesting
      I'm on the verge of moving to the US from the UK, to work in silicon valley. The salary is very attractive too, so there's obviously *some* improvement happening.

      A townhome in Silicon Valley is $500,000. A "real" home is $700,000. To buy, you need to put 20% down (I put down less, but I had to accept some terrible terms because of it). So, if you have $100,000+ saved up, or you can save it over a reasonable period of time, then living in Silicon Valley is OK. You'll be able to build a fair life for yourself. But if you don't have that kind of money, Silicon Valley is baaaadd. You will pay huge amounts of money to rent a place you'll never be able to own. You will pay more for food and other necessities. You will have to deal with bad traffic during your daily commute. It's the kind of thing that people in their 20s can handle for a while, but everyone else either buys a home or moves to another state.

      Oh well. Silicon Valley does have other nice things about it. It truly is a melting pot. You will interact with people from India, Japan, China, the UK, Russia, and elsewhere -- daily. When you want to eat, you will be able to choose from bratwurst at a local German pub to Thai food, and everything in between. Personally, I usually just go for a burger or sandwich nowadays, but every now and then I hook up with someone new to the area -- they're almost always like a kid in a candy store, with a list of things to eat and places to go. I like that. And if you hate your job, there are 10,000 other big tech companies that will want to employ you. Or at least, they did want to employ you... until the economy went bad.

      It's your choice, but know what you're getting into.

    20. Re:Tech market looking up by Mental · · Score: 1

      California: High Taxes, Mudslides, Wildfires and Earthquakes.

      We also have Volcanoes! Of course they're not all active. But be vewy vewy quiet, some of them are only sleeping. I'll take earthquakes over hurricanes throwing livestock, automobiles, and houses at me.

    21. Re:Tech market looking up by RealAlaskan · · Score: 1
      It does mean that you don't want so much hassle from those nasty ignorant c**ts on the border.

      I've talked to a number of Britains, and none of them have had anything good to say about our border scum, and most of them have had horror stories. The Indians, Africans, Chinese, Italians, Turks, et cetera I meet never seem to have the same kinds of problems that every Brit I've run into has faced.

      What's up with you guys? Do you deliberately piss off the INS people? It's hard to believe that they'd all have a special hatred for the British, but that's what I've gathered from listening to Brit's tales.

    22. Re:Tech market looking up by pipingguy · · Score: 1


      hassle from those nasty ignorant c**ts on the border

      You insensitive clod, I am offended by your reference to our female government employees as "clits". Our border guards are often quite attractive. Some of them are even Quebec girls (ex-strippers). Mmmmm, French strippers with guns...

    23. Re:Tech market looking up by lucabrasi999 · · Score: 1
      what is there to do besides growing corn?

      Cow Tipping!

    24. Re:Tech market looking up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      apply for a green card immediately, and pressure your employer to pay for it.

      Even more: do not even TRY TO apply for GC yourself. The only viable means to get one are getting married to a citizen, or to get your (big corporate, hopefully) employer to apply it. Latter is called employment-based application, and it almost always HAS to be done by your employer. There is no "I'm applying for green card since I'd like to move over here" application category for GC.

      Also, while I agree with the sentiment of hedging the bets, you have to realize that once you get your GC, you can NOT leave the country for longer than 6 months without losing it. You can obviously leave, it's just that it's for permanent _residency_, not just convenient residency.

      Apologies if above sounds like nitpicking, but the truth is (and any decent immigration lawyer can confirm this) that getting GC as part of maintaining your H1B is the way to go.

      (why, yes, I am a H1B peon waiting for my GC... 3 years since the application was submitted, waiting for I-485 to go through now).

    25. Re:Tech market looking up by Abalamahalamatandra · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      They probably do piss off the INS people, yes - I've had a lot of dealings with Brits over the years, and so far without fail, every one from London has been a royal a**hole, and every other one has been a pretty decent human being.

      My personal theory is that Londoners are like the New Yorkers of England.

    26. Re:Tech market looking up by saider · · Score: 1

      Every cow I've ever seen sleeps on the ground - not standing up. A friend of mine grew up in Iowa on a dairy farm and he said that cow tipping is a way for rednecks to play a joke on city dwellers. Kinda like snipe hunting. Although he could have been pulling my leg, my extensive research (read as: "looking for a cow to tip") has led be to believe that cow tipping is indeed an urban legend.

      Now we can talk about Horse tipping!

      --


      Remember, You are unique...just like everyone else.
    27. Re:Tech market looking up by dave420 · · Score: 1
      Set up your own company for about £50, and write a letter to yourself from the "director" (obviously someone else you've roped in). The letter should state how you need to work in the US under contract from a 3rd party, and you're the only person who can do -insert computerbabble here-.

      or something.

    28. Re:Tech market looking up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      FWIW, there are tech jobs outside of Silicon Valley. Honestly, with Internet connectivity now ubiquitous I just don't understand why the tech industry, for the most part, is located in a single region.

      For example, there are plenty of jobs for sysadmins, PHP heads, MCSE's, Perl hackers, etc. in Chicago. The cost of living is also much lower than on the West coast; though you still won't find a two-bedroom loft in the city for much less than $200K. Have you not heard the stories about two or three families in California having to go in on a mortgage together? Or about developers making $40K a year, but living out of their cars?

    29. Re:Tech market looking up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm a Brit living in Silicon Valley. Green Card holder now for the past 3 years or so.

      I've never had a problem entering the US, everyone has been very friendly.

      I've always found some dry sarcasm goes down well.
      I'd usually be asked what I did for a living.
      Usually I'd answer "Guess."
      Everyone always did... most would look at the address and say "aha ! silicon valley ! You must be a software engineer".

      Of course, say "guess" with a huge beaming smile on your face and they realize it's all a bit of fun.

      Remember they've seen a zillion people coming from China, none of whom speak any English and all of whom have fucked up filling the forms in.

      Your average border guard cowboy is probably ready for some friendly banter by the time you arrive.

      Since I've had my green card I've been in and out many times and always get a "welcome home" comment from the folks at the border.

      In fact, having a green card is the best position to be in. You can enter the UK on your brit passport (no waiting in lines) and enter the US in the Citizen (blue lane) with no waiting in line.

      Also, as a tip for Brits heading back to blighty with American G/friends in tow ... at Heathrow you can generally get away with taking them through the European line ... just explain she's with you (hold her hand or something) and they will let you through.

      Forget about the morons at Manchester airport though, had horrible experiences up their, What a shower.

      Pure "jobsworth" type folks they are. (for the yanks - can't do that mate, it's more than me "jobsworth")

      Anyway, good luck with the move, you won't regret it, just make sure you bring an English/American dictionary with you, they do speak a strange nonsensical dialect out here.

    30. Re:Tech market looking up by lucabrasi999 · · Score: 1
      cow tipping is indeed an urban legend

      That I do not know. But, if you ever moved to Iowa, you could buy a farm to grow corn, then, cut down about 20 acres of the corn and put in a baseball field, complete with lights. The next thing you know, you are playing catch with James Earl Jones....

      For the Record, I live in Pennsylvania. I have been to Iowa, once. And, it was to see the movie site for the Field of Dreams . You are right when you say there isn't anything else to do, at least in that part of the state.

    31. Re:Tech market looking up by Space+cowboy · · Score: 1

      Well thankyou and goodnight.

      I'm not *from* London, but I've lived here all my adult life (ie: tyhe last 20 years). I don't consider myself to be an arsehole. I hope the border guards agree.

      I've been in and out of the US every year for the last 10 years or so (trade shows mainly) and I've never come across any real hassle - I've been asked to have my suitcase ripped apart once in all that time - I reckon that's par for the course...

      Each to their own of course. From what I hear, the UK immigration authorities are complete arseholes for anyone not completely crossing every 't' and dotting every 'i', so maybe it's just roundabouts and swings. Of course, as a UK citizen, I never have any problems...

      It may just be me, but I'd hesitate to tar any large group (like the 25 million people living in greater London) with the same brush. We tend to think that's not on.

      Simon.

      --
      Physicists get Hadrons!
    32. Re:Tech market looking up by Space+cowboy · · Score: 1

      Not to be arrogant about prices or anything, but $700k ( =£390k) would buy you a small 2-bed terraced house with a tiny garden in London. Silicon Valley may be expensive by US standards, but it's small change by UK (well, London) standards. There's a garage (not including house) just been sold in central london for 17 million pounds (30.6 million dollars),,,,,

      I'm aware that Silicon Valley is an expensive part of the US, but I've taken that into consideration. I ought to be able to put down a decent deposit (because they're buying my company) and I'm looking forward to a far higher standard of living for my money :-)

      As for melting pot - I can't actually believe there's anywhere more 'melring pot' than London, but I'm willing to be surprised :-) 40% of London's population is non-indigenous. It's supposed to be the most multi-racial society in europe, and benefits from the UK's traditional accceptance of other cultures :-)

      Simon

      --
      Physicists get Hadrons!
    33. Re:Tech market looking up by panaceaa · · Score: 1

      I live in San Francisco and commute to Silicon Valley every day. When people say the valley is expensive, most of the time they're exaggerating. You can get a condo for $300k if you look around. You can still get a house for $500k if you make some sacrifices. London is definitely far and away more expensive.

      San Francisco starts to get comparable to New York in housing prices, but it's still cheaper than central London.

      If you have a degree and know what you're doing, you should do fine here. But I'd recommend working on your green card as soon as you get here. If you stay with an H1B, your company knows that it's difficult for you to change jobs and often they take that into consideration when it comes to raises.

    34. Re:Tech market looking up by panaceaa · · Score: 1

      Where is there a local German pub in the Valley?

    35. Re:Tech market looking up by hesiod · · Score: 1

      > my extensive research has led be to believe that cow tipping is indeed an urban legend.

      No, it's no urban legend, but people have added things that aren't there. The idea is (obviously) to push a cow over. The whole "while they are asleep" thing is just from people who don't know any better spreading the concept. Midnight cow-tipping, like you hear of in college frat movies, can be quite unproductive (although some cows are still awake & standing at times in the night), because of what you said, but if you go during the daytime, it sure is possible, easy, and has happened.

    36. Re:Tech market looking up by hesiod · · Score: 1

      > East coast is a fuck of a lot better than the west coast...

      And the people on the East aren't all L.A. fake. Except in D.C. & Maryland. Oh, and Florida, but that's really the South, not the East.

    37. Re:Tech market looking up by hesiod · · Score: 1

      > Most people in the UK haven't even heard of "at will employment"

      Not "at will?" What, are they slaves or something? They never quit their jobs?

    38. Re:Tech market looking up by hesiod · · Score: 1

      > It may just be me, but I'd hesitate to tar any large group with the same brush.

      * This in no way reflects on you personally, as I don't know you or your opinions *

      Then why is it that nearly every foreigner I hear lumps all Americans together as the same group, even though the group is 10+ times larger?

    39. Re:Tech market looking up by hesiod · · Score: 1

      > When people say the valley is expensive, most of the time they're exaggerating.

      I think it's less them exaggerating and more "you have no clue what things are really worth." That, of course, may not be your fault, since you live in SF.

      Case in point:

      > You can still get a house for $500k if you make some sacrifices.

      And you claim that is not outrageously expensive???? I can buy a fucking mansion in Ohio for that much money! No sacrifices involved! I don't know if you just have no idea the true value of a dollar because you are brainwashed by rich Californians, but if I'm shelling out 500 grand, I want WAY more than a 2 bedroom townhouse. $200,000, to me, is a more reasonable price for a decent home.

    40. Re:Tech market looking up by panaceaa · · Score: 1

      A place like San Francisco isn't really for people who value a house solely in terms of how many bedrooms it has. I like Mexican food that isn't just poorly executed Tex Mex. I like having the sun shine more than 90% of the summer. I like being a 4 hour drive from awesome ski areas that I used to fly to when I lived back east. Plus I like living around the companies deciding the direction the Internet will go next.

      So I don't mind spending more for housing, and apparently the rest of the market is willing to pay more for it also. The bay area is really an amazing place.

    41. Re:Tech market looking up by mgcarley · · Score: 1

      Damn, that is expensive. Here in Hamilton (New Zealand), you can get a reasonably nice (new) house for about NZ$300k or a reasonably nice established house in an established neighbourhood for about $250k... Exchange rate is about US$0.64/NZ$1.00 at the moment, so that makes it about $170k and $200k respectively.

      Unfortunately, unless you have an MCSE (yes, it still seems to be valued here - at least if you have 5+ years of experience and are applying for a job at one of the larger corperates), you'll be hard pressed to find a good tech job.

      The lifestyle is pretty good, and if you've got some working capital (about $20k) and a good idea, you could probably start a business. I worked for about 2 years and have done that. Worked for me quite nicely. (But, I am only 19 - so despite my "decade" of experience working with DOS, WinNT, SCO Unix and Linux, I'm a bit young for most of them)

      If you do need to rent, you would be looking at NZ$250-400/wk for something pretty good. $400 will get you a nice exec home in the suburbs, or you can be closer to town (My town is like 30-45 minutes from one end to the other - at rush hour) and still have a nice big character home/bungalow/good ol solid 1930s/1940s railway home for around the $300-$350/week mark.

      Salary ranges from NZ$35k/year at entry level to $80+k/yr at senior engineer level - so don't expect to make serious cash, but, cost of living is'nt nearly as high as the US of UK, so if you wanted, you could live on $25k a year easily - including rent, power, phone, broadband, satellite tv, car, gas etc.

      Of course, the city with all the tech jobs (Auckland) is a bit more expensive on the housing front - about double the price to buy a home as compared to here in Hamilton. I suppose you could commute 1½ hours each way if you wanted - 126kms and mostly open road... but anyway, there is a bunch of info around for anyone who cares.

      Man, I really didn't mean for this to sound like an advertisment :)

      --
      Founder & COO, Hayai India (hayai.in) / USA (hayaibroadband.com) // t: @mgcarley
  15. Another possibility... by RsG · · Score: 5, Insightful

    ...is that the low turnover rate indicates seniority positions that survived the crash. More recent tech graduates are likely flipping burgers (or worse), whereas most of the older technical guys I know are still gainfully employed. All the young 'uns got burned in the startup business, whereas the geezers are mostly in much more stable tech environments, thus the turnover is low (since in this business "old" is still well before retirement age). Of course, this is just MHO, I could be missing something obvious.

    --
    Erotic is when you use a feather. Exotic is when you use the whole chicken.
    1. Re:Another possibility... by Kainaw · · Score: 3, Informative

      Another possibility is that the low turnover rate indicates seniority positions that survived the crash.

      My experience from before, during, and after the IT bubble is the exact opposite. Most of the older tech guys I knew before the bubble took ridiculously high offers from 1997-2000. Then, they all got fired when the tech market collapsed. Now, they are still asking for those salaries. For the numbers: I live in South Carolina - notorious for low pay. A web designer here makes $20k-$40k. A programmer makes $30k-$60k. We get older web designers asking for $80k+ and programmers asking $120k+. The younger guys are asking for salaries that are in the range people are willing to pay and then filling up the jobs.

      Of course, this is all regional. It is very possible that the older guys in your area aren't dumb enough to think they can still make the salaries of the late 90's.

      --
      The previous comment is purposely vague and generalized, but all of the facts are completely true.
    2. Re:Another possibility... by RsG · · Score: 1

      Of course it is equally possible we could both be wrong; anecdotal evidence is a bad way to judge. As for regional difference, I'm in Canada and the older tech guys I know frequently have families to support and are consequently willing to settle for a steady paycheck. The younger tech guys are more employment-flexible (they'll settle for McJobs) and believe the tech job market will improve. Also, here as in most places the doctrine of "last hired, first fired" still holds (though not as much for high tech and not as much as it used to). So seniority does equal some security, and older people are less likely to change jobs (thus lower turnover).

      --
      Erotic is when you use a feather. Exotic is when you use the whole chicken.
    3. Re:Another possibility... by hyperstation · · Score: 1

      where are you, cuz that's right in line with my programmer salary

    4. Re:Another possibility... by hyperstation · · Score: 1

      sorry...south carolina - im in florida

    5. Re:Another possibility... by megarich · · Score: 0

      i learned the hard way, its not what you know, its WHO you know. 2001 i graduated college with a computer science degree. i had to work in blockbuster for a year because i couldnt find NOTHING. then an old next door neighbor came in one day, told me about a possible sys admin opening at his company and offerred to hand in my resume. the rest is history. 2 years later im still here. sure i have my qualms about the company, but i'm employed in a field i dont mind so much(as compared to programming) and very grateful to be lucky to finally get my foot in the door....

    6. Re:Another possibility... by XPisthenewNT · · Score: 1
      "flipping burgers (or worse)"

      Worse... you mean like harvesting bull semen?

    7. Re:Another possibility... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also keep in mind that some of us aren't in the tech sector; we're in manufacturing, marketing, sales, etc. These sorts of companies tended to be much more stable in the late 90's. For example, when sales are flat, my company just becomes more conscious of its expenses and seeks to minimize them (eg. don't spend so much money on the new print catalog). Compare this to many software development shops, where making payroll depends on being able to land the next contract.

      Personally, I just don't understand why some people are content to learn tech and only tech; picking up zero business experience. Companies these days are looking for well-rounded developers that can be effective in many different roles. They want people that actually understand the business and understand that technology doesn't exist for its own sake.

    8. Re:Another possibility... by RsG · · Score: 1

      Manually harvesting bull semen... in a wheelchair... with no working arms... at 5$ a bucket... commision... hmmm, in Soviet Russia maybe?

      --
      Erotic is when you use a feather. Exotic is when you use the whole chicken.
  16. Not a discrepancy .... by drdanny_orig · · Score: 1

    Both numbers are correct. In fact, about 40% of companies polled had no IT employees at all. (hahaha)

    --
    .nosig
    1. Re:Not a discrepancy .... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I applaud you. If I had mod points, you woulda had a funny.

  17. And another thing... by SlashdotTroll · · Score: 0

    I've at-least been able to download further Fry Cook education literature from eDonkey: master SpongeBob SquarePants. When my ex-boss comes calling me at my cubicle laughing at my slumber, I'll tell him I'll be better educated this time around.

    --

    I am the nightmare of nightmares.

  18. I'm not quitting by erroneus · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I really should update my signature...

    It took me a VERY long time to get back into IT. Prior to this, I worked two other non-technical jobs only after unemployment and the two extensions ran out. During the period of unemployment I can't recall ever actually getting an interview. The crap-job I took at the airport let me to another job less crappy. During that job, I interviewed only a few times. Almost two years later I get this one. It's not the best paying IT job I've ever gotten but it's with a good company and it's stable. I'm not going ANYWHERE. That's the lesson I've learned from my previous years of job-hopping...

  19. anecdotal intellectual capital by spoonyfork · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Where I work, it was mostly contact worker 70% to direct hires 30% on the order a couple thousand people. They decided to retain some of their intellectual capital that was running in and out the door (sometimes to competitors) and swap the percentages contract 30%, direct 70%. Direct employment is more stable here, better benefits/job security, etc. Something like that as an industry trend may contribute to lower turn over.

    --
    Speak truth to power.
    1. Re:anecdotal intellectual capital by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      If a corporation is able too, they will contract out...like Dell. It's easy. Just hire and fire at will. Also, if oyu fuck up, they will not get sued. Rather YOU will. Also, the do not have to pay benifits to you.

      Temp work = fill em jobs. They don't care about your future with the company. They just need a helping hand.

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
  20. And another another thing... by SlashdotTroll · · Score: 0

    When my current Technical Support boss beggs me to not leave, I'm going to exclaim; I was attracted to you first, but after that it's been cold fries since you firewalled the ports in the 6000 block. "I'm going back to the green pastures of employment where I can have my fun and eat it too!"

    --

    I am the nightmare of nightmares.

  21. Business Leaders Can't Be Trusted by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Basically, I don't trust these numbers because of who was polled. This was a survery of businesses- and if this recession has taught us anything it's that prvate industry can't be relied on to tell anybody the truth about employment- or even actually the truth after they hire you. My suggestion to anybody taking advantage of growing employment in the tech industry is make sure that severance pay is written into your contract and that it covers at least 6 months of job searching level lifestyle.

    --
    SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    1. Re:Business Leaders Can't Be Trusted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      PHB: you'd like what in your contract ? severance pay ! Ha Ha Ha, NEXT !

    2. Re:Business Leaders Can't Be Trusted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      potential employee: "I want my severance to be six months of pay."

      Employer: "This company doesn't offer severance. Do you still want the job or should we give it to someone else..."

      PE, thinking about his many other job prospects, and the fact that he has been unemployed for six months now and his credit looks more shot-up than a Palestinian house on the Israeli border and his bank won't talk to him about loans and his wife is hungry and has no money for school and he had to borrow $5 from his friend to pay for gas to get to this interview: "Oh, hey, sure I still want it! Let's forget the severance thing. I don't know what got into me... Can I start today?"

    3. Re:Business Leaders Can't Be Trusted by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      A good test for how good of a boss you'll end up with is exactly this sort of thing- if you don't want to end up homeless after 6 months anyway then this is somebody you don't want to work for.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    4. Re:Business Leaders Can't Be Trusted by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      And unfortuneately- this is why we can't trust the employer- and worse off, the credit will be just as shot up six months later when the company itself goes bankrupt because nobody was telling the TRUTH.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    5. Re:Business Leaders Can't Be Trusted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Contract? I have yet to work for someone that would sign an employment contract for anything less than a executive level position.

    6. Re:Business Leaders Can't Be Trusted by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      They seemed to always want me to sign at least an NDA when I was working- perhaps because I was always in R&D.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    7. Re:Business Leaders Can't Be Trusted by Nimey · · Score: 1
      My suggestion to anybody taking advantage of growing employment in the tech industry is make sure that severance pay is written into your contract and that it covers at least 6 months of job searching level lifestyle.
      Pfft. Do this, and every job you apply for will go to someone else with more realistic expectations.
      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
    8. Re:Business Leaders Can't Be Trusted by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      Until everybody does it- at which point the PHBs who we can't trust will go out of business and we'll be able to return to normal. There is no reason why a business should be allowed to pass it's costs onto the taxpayer EVER. I support the separation of business and state- do you?

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
  22. When I'll switch by suso · · Score: 1

    I'll be making a switch as soon as I can get my own business up to the point where I can support myself. Which hopefully will be in about a year. Maybe 2.

    1. Re:When I'll switch by lucabrasi999 · · Score: 1
      I'll be making a switch as soon as I can get my own business up to the point where I can support myself. Which hopefully will be in about a year. Maybe 2.

      I keep saying that to myself, also. But, now, I have a kid and a wife that make me consider my company benefits. Unfortunately, it looks like I am stuck in a traveling IT job for a long time. I make a good salary, and get good benefits. But, that means I have to endure the "glamour" of travel every week. Nope. I'm not going anywhere. I just can't take the risk, even in an improving economy.

      If my kid enters the IT profession, I'll disown him. He'd be better off becoming a stand-up philosopher or maybe even a piss boy. Oh wait. Piss boy is MY job....

  23. Makes sense: people feeling less secure by MarkWatson · · Score: 5, Insightful
    In the U.S., the economy is might get really bad in the next year or two. Sure, too many people are still sucking the equity from their homes and otherwise increasing their debt for the good life of crass materialism, but most people are starting to see the light:
    • Dependence on Chinese and Japanese foreign banks to prop up the dollar - how long can ths go on?
    • reliance on non-sustainable consumer debt spending - how long can ths go on?
    • realization that our great material life style will naturally slide a bit as third world countries out-compete us in some areas
    That said, I am an independent consultant, and it seems to me that business has really picked up in the last year - so I don't think that it is all doom and gloom on the economy - it is just that things might not be as great as they once were.

    -Mark

    1. Re:Makes sense: people feeling less secure by Bill+Dog · · Score: 2, Insightful
      In the U.S., the economy is might get really bad in the next year or two.

      Or it might just do nothing. For a long, long time. It's a possibility.

      How long has Japan economically been in the doldrums?

      --
      Attention zealots and haters: 00100 00100
    2. Re:Makes sense: people feeling less secure by MarkWatson · · Score: 2, Informative

      Hey Bill,

      You have this right: the economy is chaotic and can not be predicted. Yeah for Chaos Theory...

      We can say what ought to probably happen based on history and common sense, but in the end, we just do not know what will happen.

      Best regards,
      Mark

    3. Re:Makes sense: people feeling less secure by Vlad_the_Inhaler · · Score: 2, Interesting

      That is the logic that had George Soros and Warren Buffett shorting the dollar. So far they have been wrong - probably because other economic zones are also in a slump - but in the long term, the $ will have to drop.

      Then again, think John Maynard Keynes: 'In the long term, we are all dead'.

      As to the third world countries competing: At the moment it is not happening.
      One of the reasons is that living to the WTO's rules make it for 'them' hard to stop expensive imports, while allowing 'us' to block 'their' exports.
      Another reason will be corruption, which is actively supported by banks in the developed world. Those Nigerian scams have a real-life background.

      --
      Mielipiteet omiani - Opinions personal, facts suspect.
    4. Re:Makes sense: people feeling less secure by Ubergrendle · · Score: 2, Interesting

      If things really get bad, I expect the US to force (via sanctions if necessary) China to stop from valuating their currency against the USD. Right now China is booming, but they haven't had to put on the brakes because by tying their currency to the USD, they can avoid apparent inflation. China isn't having to make all the hard economic decisions that free markets have to make day after day. While Walmart and other companies continue to enjoy the low low wages for manufacturing, this will eventually catch up and work in the US' favour.

      My $0.02 as a armchair canadian macroeconomist wannabe.

      --
      John Maynard Keynes: "When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do?"
    5. Re:Makes sense: people feeling less secure by deebaine · · Score: 2, Insightful

      This post seems a bit mired in the media's understanding of economics--and their reporting of it.

      First of all, it is difficult to argue that Asian banks prop up the dollar as an act of goodwill. Rather, they do so as they have incentive to--dollars and dollar-denominated assets continue to be reasonably stable investments over the long term. The US government still ain't going anywhere. Moreover, a US collapse is inconceivable without the rest of the world following, at least until China has had another couple of decades to dramatically increase its domestic consumption. Where are Japanese electronics and autos being sold if US dollars can't buy them? Where is the foreign investment going to come from in China?

      The second point is redundant; non-sustainable (sic) spending is by definition unsustainable. The only problem is that so far the unsustainable spending has been sustained, and it shows no signs of slowing. I don't hear many claims to understand why the US economy has thrived for decades, often with a *negative* average consumer savings rate. Recently, however, it is conceivable that the benefits of low rates in the past year-plus might be offset by the encouragement to finance additional debt while the rates hold. Thus consumer debt might be a lagging indicator; a flurry of low, fixed-rate mortgages would appear to be a harbinger of doom, for example, but could easily be advantageous in the long run as consumers stretch now to build equity that will bring them benefit later. (Disclaimer: I haven't really looked into this in any depth, but there are a number of possible explanations that need to be assessed before we declare the sky to be falling.)

      The third point ignores that convenient economic x-factor, namely productivity. While tech explains some of it, McKinsey research, among others, suggests that much of it is "real," that is, process and product improvement that is sustainable into the future. I often view productivity as a convenient fudge-factor for exonomists. Lately, though, I've been reconsidering...

      In the end, the US (and global) economy have some troubling characteristics (even more troubling to me is the fact that neither of the two real candidates for the Presidency has any realistic plan for addressing the issues). Time and again, however, we and others (Asian tigers, Europe, etc.) have proven that even severe impacts can be managed over a reasonable timespan. This is not license to ignore the problems, of course. Then again, I don't expect soup lines anytime soon.

      -db

    6. Re:Makes sense: people feeling less secure by thelexx · · Score: 2, Informative

      "I don't hear many claims to understand why the US economy has thrived for decades, often with a *negative* average consumer savings rate."

      That's because you are wrong about that. And a bit else, but I am sick and tired of trying to inject basic, responsible economic theory into conversations like this. People like fudging, wink-wink-nudge-nudging and generally ignoring any possibility that things might not work out so great over the next fifty years (which I and most others here will most likely be alive for) as long as they can get that Hummer/plasma tv/wtf'ever shiny thing right now. Check out mises.org and decide what to think for yourself.

      --
      "Gold still represents the ultimate form of payment in the world." - Alan Greenspan, 1999
    7. Re:Makes sense: people feeling less secure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How, pray tell, could the US Gov't force China to change the curreny against which it values itself? Do you think the US consumer would suddenly stop buying everything at WalMart? You do realize that the US has a massive trade DEFICIT to China right? So what would the US do? Stop importing cheap Chinese goods, that are in huge demand in the US, or ask the US consumer to have them pay 25% more for most everything they buy? They wouldn't do it to save US manufacturing jobs, do you really think they would do it just because the Gov't asked (remember the "Buy American" campaigns?). If the US stopped selling to China, only the US loses. There is nothing that the US can provide that China can not just kock off if they want/need to.

      Add to that, suppose China changed it's valuation to, oh say the Euro? That would mean that the worlds largest consumers of energy would be buying in Euros, not US dollars. Now suppose the large oil producers thought "gee, since most of our sales are in Euros, maybe we should start selling in Euro's?", what would happen to the US economy (remember, now the US has to BUY Euros at a premium, to buy oil to sell at home in US dollars, that have to be converted back to Euros for next weeks shippment. Lets hope the exchange is stable, or gas prices will go all over the map).

      Your traditional trump card has been weapon sales, but you wont sell the good stuff to China. And really, lets not kid ourselves here, China doesn't really need your weapon systems. Since they have more people under arms than there are Americans, they can afford the attrition, should it come to that. Plus, they have enough tech to be a scary adversary.

      Besides, do the math, China has what 1.5 BILLION consumers vs the US's 350 million. You need their markets to sell to more than they need your markets to sell to. This could be a good wakeup call for the US, your position at the top of the producer/consumer pile is no longer guranteed. You wanted global trade, well you got it, and it is just about to bite you square in the ass.

      It is probably time for one of those usual /. jokes about welcoming our new Chinese overlords, only I don't know if this is a joke.

    8. Re:Makes sense: people feeling less secure by deebaine · · Score: 1

      Actually not so, but mea culpa for being imprecise.

      The US Personal Savings Rate fell below zero several times in the late 1990s. I seem to recall other such periods, but I don't have time to look at the moment. Google "personal savings rate" or "negative personal savings rate" for a few references.

      -db

    9. Re:Makes sense: people feeling less secure by trixillion · · Score: 1

      From your post, one might come to the conclusion that the dollar has been steady and not falling. I'm sure that that is not what you meant. Perhaps you would like to rephrase things a bit.

      This is the dollar over the last 3 years.

      This is the dollar to euro ratio over the lsame period.

    10. Re:Makes sense: people feeling less secure by arudloff · · Score: 1

      Dependence on Chinese and Japanese foreign banks to prop up the dollar - how long can ths go on?

      For as long as we're on a Floating Currency standard? I mean, isn't that the point?

      Basically, instead of being backed by gold, our dollar is backed by investment from foreign nations, circa sometime in the 70s. Or something to that effect.. ;) /end college int'l biz flashback

    11. Re:Makes sense: people feeling less secure by Ubergrendle · · Score: 1

      I don't think things are as dire as you portray. For one, the US wouldn't need to boycott China alone... it would try to convince the WTO and other organisations that it would be in their best interest to force China to support their own currency (e.g. like every other non-3rd world country in the world). US sanctions = limited. WTO sanctions = universal. I think that there is enough fear of China to accomplish this.

      Second, China's economy is still relatively basic in the sense that it is manufacturing based, and relies primarily on selling to foreign customers. If the US is doing poorly, China will suffer. China does not have a culture of innovation expressed on an international statge at this time -- what has China produced that is compelling, or would indicate that they are a world leader? It is a country that has difficulty feeding 2/3 its population, and has experienced an economic boom solely based on their ability to compete on price (e.g. India will eat their lunch, then Indonesia, then Africa or South America). China also suffers from a lack of natural resources...they import alot of their materials, which makes them very susceptible to a trade imbalance swinging against their favour.

      I understand your concerns, and I too anticipate nervously the next world power to challenge the US' supremacy. However, it won't happen overnight, and there is a long way to go before the US is displaced as the undisputed #1 economic and miltiary global superpower.

      --
      John Maynard Keynes: "When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do?"
    12. Re:Makes sense: people feeling less secure by trixillion · · Score: 1

      I think you make some great points. But some of your facts seem a bit off.

      From your post, someone might come to the conclusion that China is OPEC's biggest customer; while in fact it isn't even close. Alternatively, you may have meant that the EU plus China combined would be OPEC's biggest customer; and, were it not for the role of Russia in European imports, this would likely be so. Nevertheless, I support your conclusion that the potential role of euros in central bank holdings has worrying implications for the ability of the US to acquire cheap oil. However I suspect that oil production will peak long before the euro threat becomes an issue.

      For detailed information on imports and exports, the standard reference is the BP Statistical Review of World Energy June 2004.

      Also, you might want to check those population figures for china and the US. A good reference is the CIA World Fact Book 2004.

    13. Re:Makes sense: people feeling less secure by TheWizardOfCheese · · Score: 2, Insightful

      First of all, it is difficult to argue that Asian banks prop up the dollar as an act of goodwill. Rather, they do so as they have incentive to--dollars and dollar-denominated assets continue to be reasonably stable investments over the long term.

      It is the central (government) banks of Asia that are buying treasuries; they are not investing in dollar assets, they are selling their own currencies against USD in order to keep their products cheap for export. Yes, they perceive this as self-interest, but it is debatable whether in the long term this is truly so.

      There is something in the theory that they cannot afford to sell these bonds, because doing so would cause an economic catastrophe in the US that would engulf their own countries. However, even if they just stop buying more, USD interest rates will skyrocket - unless the current account deficit can be closed.

      The only problem is that so far the unsustainable spending has been sustained, and it shows no signs of slowing [...] a flurry of low, fixed-rate mortgages would appear to be a harbinger of doom, for example, but could easily be advantageous in the long run as consumers stretch now to build equity that will bring them benefit later.

      A bubble always takes longer to burst than you think. Mortgage refinancings have in fact declined, the ratio of variable to fixed mortgages has increased, and the "equity" that consumers are "building" is vested in dramatically over-valued property. In short, the US consumer is on the hot rails to hell with his foot on the gas.

      The third point ignores that convenient economic x-factor, namely productivity.

      No, the third point ignores that economics is not a zero-sum game; as other countries "catch up", the market for US goods and services will increase. It is only in relative terms that the US economy will decline.

      --

      "The good reader is a rarer swan than the good writer."
    14. Re:Makes sense: people feeling less secure by deebaine · · Score: 1

      You are correct about the central banks, of course. Mental slip. While the investment rationale is not there, manipulating currency markets to benefit their exports will continue to be in their benefit, at least immediately.

      I'm uncertain that I understand your mortgage point. I agree with your assessment of the trends--which could increase debt now but be advantageous in the long term (consider: I am considering buying; though it would be a stretch, the advantageous rates potentially make it a better long-term decision). As far as a "bubble" is concerned, certain markets are overheated, yes, but in-depth analysis of some of the markets reveals a more complicated picture (example: New York prices are off the charts, but there is substantial evidence that they have further to rise, based on structural factors like rent parity, new construction, and demographics).

      And you are correct about the non-zero-sum game. I don't view a billion Indian consumers with real buying power as a bad thing, for them or for the United States. Relatively, sure, they close the gap. But from a narrow standpoint of my individual benefit in absolute terms, I think they probably help.

      -db

  24. taking salary cuts? by kisrael · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I wonder how big of a salary cut it's ok to take, if you think you'll like the new work better, or if the company sees more stable, or has other intangible benefits...

    --
    SO YOU'RE GOING TO DIE: The Comic for Dealing with Death
    1. Re:taking salary cuts? by SABME · · Score: 1

      income(employed+salary cut) > income(unemployed) I took a 6% cut in January of 2002 (after being out of work for the previous 9 months), and haven't had an increase since. I'm grateful I'm employed! Making a lower salary is better than making no salary at all.

  25. why! by Trigun · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    There's a nut loose on the keyoard.

  26. Going Blind with IT by vertaxis · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Here's a better link for those who want to read this story and not go blind.

    http://shit.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=04/08/31/1 69214&threshold=-tid=187&tid=126&tid=98&tid=21 8/

    Moderators!!!! Yellow on a white background is a bad thing!!!! Take a hint.

    --
    Fear is the enemy; the one true enemy. {Sun Tzu-The Art of War}
    1. Re:Going Blind with IT by vertaxis · · Score: 1
      --
      Fear is the enemy; the one true enemy. {Sun Tzu-The Art of War}
    2. Re:Going Blind with IT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      shit.slashdot.org?

    3. Re:Going Blind with IT by hesiod · · Score: 1

      Bitemyass.slashdot.org as well. I believe *.slashdot.org, unless assigned elsewhere, will go to the main site.

  27. And another another another thing... by SlashdotTroll · · Score: 0

    When you laugh at me, you laugh at CowboyNeal; because he's my prime client. Jared at Subway nearly starved to death until the Masonic Alliance of Food Preparers suggested baking lard into the subway bread given to Jared at Subway so his poor sould wouldn't waste away. It's Fry Cooks like us that keep America well-fed. Jared at Subway nearly starved because you College-educated ignoramouses pushed the hard-working people out of our industry.

    --

    I am the nightmare of nightmares.

  28. Worked for me. by badfrog · · Score: 1

    I actually just switched jobs a week ago. Took a mediocre IT job two years ago after a round of layoffs, and just stayed because it was work and there was nothing else available. Now I found a decent tech company that is a much better fit.

  29. Low turnover = low wage growth by bcarl314 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Doesn't it make sense that a low turnover is correlated to a low wage growth?

    I don't think it's common place to get big increases in salaries without moving on to a different job. Seems to me that most employers sqwauk at giving out even miniscule inflation raises (2 - 3%) where as, often times I find hiring employers are willing to pay more "for the right person", who will usually only leave their job if they get a better deal.

    I don't know many people who would leave for a lower paying job, unless there is some esoteric reason, or much better overall compenstation package (i.e. health benefits, private yacht, etc).

    Which gets back to my point, the only way to get large raises is to move around. Remain stagnant, and your raises will too.

    1. Re:Low turnover = low wage growth by megarich · · Score: 0

      I wouldnt take a pay cut but i would move out of state for the same salary only because i live on long island where the cost of living is HIGH and taking a job in another state with the same pay is like getting a raise for me.

    2. Re:Low turnover = low wage growth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      bcarl314 wrote: I don't know many people who would leave for a lower paying job, unless there is some esoteric reason, or much better overall compenstation package (i.e. health benefits, private yacht, etc).

      Well, add me to your list. I just took a minor paycut (4%) to go to a place with slightly inferior overall compensation (heathcare payments higher and I lose two weeks' paid vacation). The selling point is that I'm leaving a place that is hideously hidebound (they actually make Dilbert's office look good) and codes in VB6 on Win2K for a place that is dynamic and creative (almost frighteningly so) and codes in Java and C++ on Linux.

      I'm one of those developers who have been abused and ignored for three years and stuck it out because the IT economy stank. It has just improved enough that firms are hiring and it's like cresting the last dune of the desert and looking into the Promised Land of milk and honey. I expect to see several of my coworkers will also jump ship at the first decent opportunity. It'll suck royally for my employer, and part of me is glad.

  30. Wonder How Things Will Be For SCO Employees? by geomon · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    Today will be another bad day for SCO.

    Can't be too good for the employees either. They haven't many more people to shed.

    --
    "Rocky Rococo, at your cervix!"
    1. Re:Wonder How Things Will Be For SCO Employees? by NoMercy · · Score: 2, Funny

      SCO employs IT people, I thought it was a Lawfirm these days ;)

    2. Re:Wonder How Things Will Be For SCO Employees? by geomon · · Score: 1

      Hmmmmm.... Good point.

      Lawyers losing their jobs?

      No reason to lose sleep.

      --
      "Rocky Rococo, at your cervix!"
  31. Re:Geeks with skills by Hirsch · · Score: 1

    those with skills ... find themselves working ... as a webmaster/designer for a porn site.
    And those are those the Lucky, geeks, because they are working, right?

  32. This will be a HUGE EXODUS I think by melted · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Basically all the disgruntled folks will pack their shit and walk (that's another side of fire-at-will contracts, I can just pack my bags and go if I want, too). This is great for everyone. Senior people will get more interesting jobs, low level people will regain the opportunities to get to senior level (hard thing to do if senior people don't go anywhere from the team). People who are in IT by mistake and who managed to survive layoffs will finally find other jobs. Everyone will get better salaries, bonuses, you name it. I don't expect anything dramatic, though. But any bonus is better than NO bonus.

    All of this, of course, assumes that the economy really picks up, which is something I'm not seeing.

    1. Re:This will be a HUGE EXODUS I think by McNihil · · Score: 0

      "But any bonus is better than NO bonus." Stock options and Bonus should not be a incentive to work better. You don't change your work position with that and are placed in the hiarchy of the company. You can "never" move from that position and the company will never grow. If you think that is good you are delusional.

    2. Re:This will be a HUGE EXODUS I think by elrick_the_brave · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Bang on.. and then the Directors and Managers will begin to realize that.. oh.. all that IP and knowledge transfer they thought was going to happen didn't.. and now no one knows what to do. Ripe for the time when something goes down and a head will role. I love it.

      --
      (1st sig) If this were a snappy sig, you'd be reading it right now. (2nd sig) I'm a karma whore. >Insert FUD here
    3. Re:This will be a HUGE EXODUS I think by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All of this, of course, assumes that the economy really picks up, which is something I'm not seeing.

      And my uber-cynical tinfoil hat response is that this is because upper managers realize that's exactly what would happen if the economy picked up, so they're trying to make things not look too rosy so they can keep their low-paid slaves.

      Ugh. I'm too young to be this cynical...

    4. Re:This will be a HUGE EXODUS I think by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When I worked at Fidelity they gave good bonuses and that didn't stop promotions in the slightest and the company continued to grow, plus it definitely built moral and loyalty.

    5. Re:This will be a HUGE EXODUS I think by forkboy · · Score: 1

      Don't forget about the people like me that said "Fuck this Sinking Titanic of an industry" and went back to school to learn something entirely different. 4 years later, I have chemistry degree and I'm about to go into medical school. Yeah, I've been poor for the last few years, but I'd be poor anyway if I were unemployed.

      --
      This message brought to you by the Council of People Who Are Sick of Seeing More People.
    6. Re:This will be a HUGE EXODUS I think by Abalamahalamatandra · · Score: 1

      Already happening here in Denver. Our company went through a bankrupcy in May of 2001 and cut everyone's salary 10% (or, at least, they said everyone...) and wasn't up-front about it being permanent for several months afterward. And pretty much no raises since.

      Well, things appear to be starting to pick back up around here - four or five high-level people have left in the past couple of months.

      I tried to tell them a couple of years ago that it doesn't take a rocket scientist to look back the last two years and see a 10% pay cut done in a slimy fashion and no raises, and look forward to a new company and new opportunities, and conclude that the new company looks good.

      Well, they're pretty screwed now. Pretty much all of the new people they've hired (which hasn't been many) have been morons. The ones that haven't been, have taken upwards of a year to get properly acclimated and be really productive. In the meantime, we have to pass up projects because we don't have the staffing/expertise now.

      Serves 'em right, I say.

  33. Geeks-Survival instinct. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What a load of BS.

    The 90's people have already left. It's now 2004 Are you still going to use them as an excuse for world ills when 2007 rolls around?

    "Those who are still here are the ones that do it more then just for the money... because it is what we were born to do."

    People aren't "born" into their professions. Another reason has nothing to do with "love" and more to do with the choice between no job, or hanging onto the one you have. That's not "love" that's survival instinct.

    1. Re:Geeks-Survival instinct. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


      "Those who are still here are the ones that do it more then just for the money... because it is what we were born to do."

      People aren't "born" into their professions

      Well said. I detected a bit of moronity in that statement also - good to see that I'm not alone.

  34. Quick picture by garyisabusyguy · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I'm making 50% less than I was three years a go. I can barely make my house payments. All of my spare time has been going into getting a college degree. My current employer offered me a 'gracious' 3% raise last year mixed with criticism for not following all of the rules (this compares with 10% annual raises and 10% yearly bonuses plus praise for being a maverick). Gee.. Do you think that a change in the hiring market may affect my employment. Yes... It IS all about ME!

    --
    Wherever You Go, There You Are
    1. Re:Quick picture by kneeo · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Well, I been getting raises since I started with my company. I was a operator, then I got promoted to programmer. The outlook for the next is good too with a possible promotion and a 12% raise. I bought a house and recently had a baby.

      Maybe you should have obeyed the rules if you wanted more money. It's about the hard work man...yeah, like hanging out on /. ;)

    2. Re:Quick picture by boomgopher · · Score: 2, Interesting

      All of my spare time has been going into getting a college degree

      Dude, considering what this sector's been like for the past few years - if you're working and own a freaking house, all without any college degree... then you're doing pretty dang well in my opinion.

      --
      Your hybrid is not saving the environment. Its purpose is to make you feel good about buying something.
    3. Re:Quick picture by tgd · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If you're making 50% less than you were three years ago, the odds are you were making twice what you should've been three years ago. People aren't being underpaid now, they were being overpaid during the .com boom.

      Pleanty of us are making more now than three years ago. Not a lot more, but enough to be just at the edge of insulting.

      If you can barely make your house payments, thinking about what your real opportuntity to double your salary again really is might be in order. Because barely making house payments at the top of the real estate market is better than at the bottom.

      I doubt this change in the hiring market will affect anyone but the fairly senior people. Thats what I've been seeing lately -- an explosion in the number of available jobs for senior people, to the point where probably 75% of the senior or principal level engineers I know are actively looking for new options, and most are turning down offers on the path to finding one they really want.

      The only way it'll impact lower level positions is if the software industry really takes off and companies need a lot more grunt labor, but I'd bet thats a year off, even if things stay improving, or if enough of a shortage of senior people happen that companies get agressive promoting from within -- but you run the risk of ending up with an underqualified development team just as most companies experienced in the late 90's.

    4. Re:Quick picture by kneeo · · Score: 2, Informative

      I went to school when I was an operator, got my degree, then became a programmer. I got my degree, a career, car, wife, then a house and baby. I made sure I was as secure as possible before I did anything that needed that security to be there.

      I dont know your situation, and I wont assume, but I just wanted to let people know it's not all doom and gloom. Just work hard, and make the right decisions, and you can be successful. :)

    5. Re:Quick picture by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm one of those senior engineers who are looking, but unfortunately there's a lot of shitty jobs out there in Silicon Valley. So far most are essentially a huge drop in terms of responsibility and the type of work I'm doing. Nothing I'd leave my current job for.

      Although I have reasons for leaving (more money, tuition reimbursement for grad school, responsibility, etc.) companies are doing a very bad job of recruiting talented people. So far they've been making want to run the other way as fast as my two legs can carry me.

      The more I interview, the more I want to stay where I'm at. There's definitely more positions out there for senior level people, but many of us (like myself) are being very picky in terms of our long term career goals.

    6. Re:Quick picture by JaxGator75 · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Too true...

      I cut my teeth answering phones for a mortgage company and would have to hear people crying all the time about how they can BARELY afford to make their payments. I felt bad for them for a while, then came to a realization:

      I'm paying rent.

      Soon after came the realization that they bought a house they can't afford and there's only 1 solution. Not many people like to hear that, but parts is parts...

      The other side of that coin is a group of people that USED TO be able to afford it and now they can't. . . Things change. Time to call U-Haul!

      /you stop feeling sorry for others after you stop feeling sorry for yourself

      --
      Come and see the violence inherent in the system!
    7. Re:Quick picture by mgcarley · · Score: 1

      I make 1000% MORE (per hour) than I did 2½ years ago, and 600% more than I did 1½ years ago. I started on ~$8/hour, then moved jobs to $12/hour, now I'm on $80-$185/hour, depending on location of callout and time of day.
      Reason?

      I started my own consultancy. Fine for people who know how. The first thing I did was learn how to conduct an excellent business by putting to practice things I had learned with my (well respected) employer. I then established a strategy of exactly what I wanted. I planned and did all of that stuff - figured out what people were looking for and what they would want from a "professional" such as myself.

      Don't get me wrong, if I do say so myself, I am very good at what I do, and have plenty of experience to boot. I have only ever had one project end on a bad note, and IMHO it was because of the lack of enthusiasm from the other party for getting that project completed, plus our inability to reach them when we wanted something, such as material for their website or whatever - yet if they wanted something they wanted it yesterday... you know the story. I found out later that he was a notoriously slow-payer and thus bad debtor... so... :) we moved on and got on with business.

      Anyway...

      Then, I hired a top-notch marketing/PR person, and a competant salesperson. For the first few weeks, I really couldn't afford to pay them a salary. But I knew with my selling skills, I would need them, so, I took a risk, and put them on commission, anyway. (Plus, I took advantage of the trial-period policies set in place by the government which says that you are allowed to inform successful candidates that they are on trial period only and so on).

      I explained to them exactly what was required of them (Realistically, if you can't bring in 3x what I pay you, then I can't afford to keep you on, and my accountant will not be happy - so, it depends on you as to what will happen in 3 weeks time. If all goes well, I will pay you a 3 week salary-lump-sum of $X and we will go on a salary of $X per year from there and so on).

      Basically, this was their opportunity to leave if they decided that they weren't as qualified for the job as they had made out in their interview. It helped me weed out a couple of people.

      Since that time (Feb 04), I've given my successful candidate a raise in their base-salary of about $5k a year, sent him on holiday and upgraded the company facilities (car and we are looking at new offices) Plus, the work he's bringing in is also leading to steady expansion of the company, where we are about to fork out some of our different services under different brands within our organization, and where I am going to hire 2 new people for hardware tech and web design, and we are on our way to becoming wholesale suppliers to the regional arm of a large multinational.

      In a nutshell, business is going really well, and I'm looking forward to finishing a major project in January which means that in about 1 year from now, we hope to break our 2nd millionth dollar. (given that the project is for the national education system, and will be paying us about $1/day/user times ~24000 users)

      Unfortunately, I can't credit that project entirely to our PR guy, but rather to the large amount of time I've spent since February networking with hundreds of small business owners at business development conferences. BUT - without the PR guy, I would imagine that we would be struggling to stay afloat enough to finish said project.

      Marketing/PR guys can really be worth their salt!

      --
      Founder & COO, Hayai India (hayai.in) / USA (hayaibroadband.com) // t: @mgcarley
  35. H1-B , L-1, Outsourcing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Yup folks, the musical chairs is over. If you get up, you risk being replaced very easily. The big bucks, billionaires for Bush types are calling the tune, and the workers must dance. American labor mobility will return when there are restrictions placed on America's wealthiest companies abilities to import special "indentrued servant" style labor.

    1. Re:H1-B , L-1, Outsourcing by MarkWatson · · Score: 1

      I have to agree with you - and, this situation is probably permanent.

      The republican agenda is to push many in the middle class down into poverty - making people nervous about their livelihood (not to mention up-and-down terror alerts to generally make people scared) is the ideal formula for maximizing the profits for the rich.

      No conspiracy or anything - just people with wealth and power consolidating their position.

      -Mark

    2. Re:H1-B , L-1, Outsourcing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is interesting to blame this on Republicans. There are quite a few executives and wealthy people who are democrats like billionaires George Soros, Warren Buffet, Larry Ellison - CEO of Oracle and Ted Turner.

      I have a friend who works for Oracle and the employees have not been treated well the last few years. In the past four years, there have not been any bonuses, no pay raises and this includes Cost of Living adjustment for wonderful things like inflation. In addition, Oracle is big on outourcing to India. They also taken away telecommuting if you live within 50 miles and flex time. Larry Ellison is a very big contributor to the Democrat Party.

      Another person who I know that works at Oracle told me that right before Summer, their mgt took away flex time. Their hours are now 8:30 am to 5:30 pm. This is bad for single parents whose kids are in school to where they cannot work the hours while their kids are in school and after school, the parent has to pay day care cost. Plus, day cares usually shutdown at 5:00 to 6:00 pm and if you are late, there are heavy cost.

      An additional note on these hours, it is bad for someone who likes to go in early and leave early like I do. I usually leave work about 2:30 pm and there is quite a few hours of daylight left to do things such as golf, bike, and so on. Plus, I get to miss rush hour traffic.

      There are an equal number of executives that are Republicans and Democrats. Also, the members of the Democrat Party are much more wealthy than their Republican counterparts. Look at the US Senate. Senator Ted Kennedy and a multimillionaire (+ $300million), Frank Lautenburg is worth +$50 million. They are Democrats. Look at Senator Joe Nighthorse Campbell, a Republican, he is worth less than $2 million. Don't forget ketchup man, Senator John Heinz-Kerry, a third of the way to being a billionaire.

  36. The real reason by Woy · · Score: 0, Redundant

    Considering slashdot is a indispensable resource when working on IT, i would say the new IT theme colours on slashdot are reason enough for many people to switch activity.

    --
    "If God created us in his own image we have more than reciprocated." - Voltaire
  37. Dupe by oliverthered · · Score: 1

    This was posted earlier today.

    --
    thank God the internet isn't a human right.
  38. It's hard times. by SlashdotTroll · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I've always thought of how many mis-placed people there have been and learned from their experience as though an Elementary School. When they feel abused and diminished because the Superior Official employs them for tasks menial in contrast to their previous accomplishments, the stain of their employment history settles in hard to depression. I know this one guy who was a Programmer and couldn't secure a Technical Support job as I did; being layed-off as I, he fell flat on his face in the various construction businesses and having not much physical strength yet above-average Building Code knowledge he nearly rotted away his career for almost 8 years. He didn't know the right people to get re-hired, in addition to this wicked California job resession, I'm happy he got a job back in Engineering and is only 2/3 the job he once held.

    --

    I am the nightmare of nightmares.

    1. Re:It's hard times. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is he engineering new ways to fry potato slices?

      I love your work, ST!

    2. Re:It's hard times. by Netw0rkAssh0liates · · Score: 1

      >> Is he engineering new ways to fry potato slices?

      You're not a party to the NDA for any to discuss such knowledge. You saw what happened when construction secrets were exploited durring 9/11, didn't you? Toddlers molishing their innocense upon unstable saturated sustenance Hosts is not a privvy topic to discuss to potential terrorists. We don't need another Bread Pincher running amok through Albertsons, Lucky's, or Costco exploiting the weak infrastructure.

      Yours Trully,
      -Bob Fruandt

  39. Just wanted to point out a fact of business by adzoox · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I hate to break it to the slashdot crowd, but people do get legitimately fired.

    They also get legitmately let go do to better staffed businesses that are more tech savvy.

    Other reasons tech jobs are lost:

    Better quality computers
    Better maintenance habits by users
    More automated processes on computers
    Hardware is pushed more consumer oriented (very noticeable in networking)
    A lot of IT workers just don't do good jobs and have bad rapport with staff they serve
    A lot of IT workers do their job for money and not for enjoyment - money & job logevity come if you enjoy what you do
    Some people are actually realizing Microsoft and maintenance are not necessarily the best solution and turing to Macs or specialized devices to do work = need for less IT staff

    I like how the author of the article had to get the subtle Bush bashing in the comment.

    --
    Yell & scream & rant & rave... it's no use... you need a shaaaave ~ Bugs Bunny
  40. I ain't leavin' by bigman2003 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This article pretty much states the obvious for me-

    I'm in a job, working for a fairly stable place. I've had friends who had 5 or 6 jobs in the past 5 years. They've gone from the high of "wow, I'm makin' a shitload of money!" to the low of "damn...unemployment won't even cover my car payment".

    Until things get really good, I won't be leaving my SECURE job.

    So nobody else will be sitting in my chair (turnover) until you pry my sweaty, greasy ass off of it.

    --
    No reason to lie.
    1. Re:I ain't leavin' by pipingguy · · Score: 3, Funny

      So nobody else will be sitting in my chair (turnover) until you pry my sweaty, greasy ass off of it.

      Thanks for the visual. Who would want it after that anyway?

    2. Re:I ain't leavin' by Ummagumma · · Score: 1

      So nobody else will be sitting in my chair (turnover) until you pry my sweaty, greasy ass off of it.

      Thanks for the visual, I just ate... :)

      --
      "The natural progress of things is for liberty to yield and government to gain ground." - Thomas Jefferson
    3. Re:I ain't leavin' by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I hear that... I have the same types of friends. Even with IT and networking skills one of them is now working as a janitor at his apartment complex. 10 years ago, I might have chose a job based on what it was I wanted to do with my life. These days, I choose a job based on how much money I will get and how much job security it has. Every time I think of quitting, I watch my friends struggle and remember I have a steady paycheck.

    4. Re:I ain't leavin' by LookSharp · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Here's a flipside. I took a steady corporate job 7 years ago, fresh out of 3 years of part-time pizza delivery, part time PC repair and Windows support.

      I now have completed so much "career development," with 10 years of industry experience, that my resume places me around $65,000 for my regional job market. My company pays me more than 25% below that number. Most of this is from a cumulative 3% raise over the past three years, even as layoffs have happened, workload has increased, skillset has improved, and performance reviews have remained consistently "full to exceeds performance."

      So now, with the market opening up, I find myself shopping for another steady, stable job. What really yanks my crank is that despite the games our HR has been playing with compensation, I have a lot of great professional relationships built up inside the company that I am now forced to abandon to acheive "market value." And with the potential for a 25% raise, that isn't much of a counter-argument.

      When I sit down and speak candidly with my boss about my concerns about compensation, try to sell myself with what I am tasked with and how my client and peer feedback backs me up, I get a story about how a new compensation is coming... first it was October, now it is next April... and raises are "un-doable" until then.... and besides, teh market is rough, we're all lucky just to have jobs... as he plans the landscaping upgrades to his new-development home and getting ready to trade in his Jeep Grand Cherokee.

      I don't have time for this BS. The same games get played in cycles at many, many companies. But for a 20-25% raise, I'm more than willing to play someone else's game. Maybe then I can afford "the BIG Hyundai" when this one's paid off. Steady, stable employment is good, but don't let them convince you that it's worth far less money for "security." We had layoffs again yesterday, and it can happen to you tomorrow for all you really know.

    5. Re:I ain't leavin' by Moose4 · · Score: 2, Informative
      Preach it, brother.


      Recently my company conducted a "climate survey." One of the items that came up over and over and over again in the climate survey--and not just in IT--is that we are underpaid compared to other similar companies in our geographic area.


      So what did the PHBs do? Decide that they obviously weren't telling us enough about the salary survey that they use that shows that we aren't underpaid. This despite the fact that people in my department know what programmers at other companies are making, and it's consistently 10-20% more for the same level of experience and responsibility, whether a mainframe programmer, VB code monkey, or DBA.

      The trick is, they figure in the extra sick time (that we're not allowed to take due to deadlines), the pension plan (that we will never see because we'll get laid off before then), the 401(k) (that they no longer match contributions to), the health insurance (same as everybody else in town), and the free parking spaces (w00t) into our "compensation." So they underpay us, and then say, "Well, you get 15 sick days a year, nobody else gets that!" Uh, yeah, and the last guy I knew that took double-digit sick days a year got shitcanned...what's your point?

      --
      "Settle down, Beavis. We've got an experiment to do."
    6. Re:I ain't leavin' by LookSharp · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That is uncanny! The HR department at our company, faced with complaints about salaries, launched a "Total Compensation" intranet site to show people how much better the retirement plans and benefits were when considering the "total compensation." Look, you can give me lies, damn lies, and statistics all day. When I can walk out the door for a 20% raise, you matching 2% more on the 401K doesn't mean squat.

      Ironic aside: my co-worker with an MBA and 12 years with the company left today for the SAME JOB at a different company for a 40% raise!

    7. Re:I ain't leavin' by Glonoinha · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Well I'm a little conflicted.
      You have a four digit /. user id, which puts you into the techno-elite.
      But no mention of a college degree, which puts you with the also-rans (no offense.)
      Forty seven comma five zero zero ($65k x .75) is a pretty strong paycheck for a hardware tech with an A+ cert or maybe an MCSE with no 4 year degree, depending on where you live (Texas, Florida, Nevada, etc) or not (Boston, California, Seattle.)

      Here's a little secret : companies around you aren't hiring sys/admins or A+ techs at $65k a year. I don't care what the magazine survey says - everybody lies on those, pads them with the hopes of driving up the average so a) they don't feel so bad about what they are making, and b) they can show it to their boss and ask for a raise. You can easily knock 10% to 15% off that number to get closer to the truth. Want to know what companies are hiring for? Check the newspaper, Monster.com.

      The worst thing that ever .. ok maybe one of the top 12 worst things to ever happen to me was to find out what everybody else in the company made, and that I made less than several people that didn't have college degrees (women at that! how dare they!) Pissed me off for about two years after which I bailed, went to work for another company, struck gold in the tech boom, lost it all in the tech bust, long story short.

      Forget 'market value' and those surveys. If you are happy where you are, be happy. If you aren't happy, go get a new job. But whatever you do don't spend two years stewing about feeling underpaid, getting nothing done, before you go. Just go. If you can't find another job, then I suggest that you look for reasons to be happy with the one you got.

      If you are good, do a little after hours contract work fixing Windows machines, networking, cleaning up spyware and viruses, etc. It would take about $100 per week in cash under the table to match that 20% raise after all the misc crap (taxes) comes out of that 20%. Who knows, you might get noticed by someone that works at a company that needs a better tech, and get hired at a 20% bump.

      --
      Glonoinha the MebiByte Slayer
    8. Re:I ain't leavin' by LookSharp · · Score: 1

      Thanks for trying to see where I'm coming from. :) Yes, I am an early slashdotter. My company currently "suggests" a 48-hour work week. (Those who do not meet those requirements are not looked upon favorably.) I could do under-the-table tech work in my "spare time," but with a wife, son, and second on the way... I'd rather be at home with my family. Here's my background:

      No college degree, 2 years toward an BA in EE. Strong written and verbal communication skills. Yes I know a paper degree carries weight with some hiring managers, however I feel comfortable putting my technical and soft skills against any of my peers. Not a paper MCSE nor A+ certified, but quiz me and I could pass most MCSE reqs except Exchange (we're a Notes shop). A+ has never been mentioned by any of my peers as having any value in our industry.

      Joe jobs (7 years ago +) included running ethernet/phone cable, installing hubs, building PCs, repairing PC/Mac hardware and OS, and a brief PC retail experience as a customer service rep.

      My corporate experience includes support of Novell Netware 3/4 and NT domain users on NT 3.51, 4, 2000 and 2003. DOS and Win3.1/Win95/98/Me/MacOS 7/8/9 in background, but who uses those anymore? :)

      I've been primarily working on Compaq/HP/IBM servers and IBM desktops, running Microsoft operating systems. I consider myself a Hardware God, but there's no money in that; so I hack hardware as a hobby at home.

      Have built Windows clusters and done some IIS support. Spent 18 months "matrixed" into a Unix/Web group, so can find my way around Solaris, iPlanet/SunOne, "IBM Tivoli Access Manager for eBusiness" (Note to IBM, pick a better name please!), Websphere, AIX. Supported corprate LDAP infrastructure and coordinated secure cert requests and installs for secure web servers. I would say "marginal Unix proficiency," but I am very resourceful when I need to figure things out.

      Experience in "cut-copy-paste" scripting: Perl, VBscript, and some REXX. I have modified, maintained, and deciphered existing scripts... but I'm not much of a programmer because I won't spend hours focusing on code. I guess you could say I'm a "hack." :)

      My main focus has been desktop support and software distribution, currently using proprietary vendor package. Packaging of applications and hotfixing, building and supporting distribution environment, including automation of repetitive tasks.

      Overall, I feel my value-add is resourcefulness, flexibility, and service-oriented mindset. I am technically capable but focus more on effective communication in understanding what people want to accomplish, and coming up with the best possible way to accomplish it with the constraints I'm given.

      I'm in Cleveland, and I'm willing to leave my company for 62,500. When do I start? :)

  41. Some turnover by Ixne · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's hard to be impressed by "lower turnover" when there so many people not eligible for turnover because they're still unemployed...

  42. Fry Cook by ackthpt · · Score: 1
    I've been working as a Technical Support specialist because all you College-educated people stole my job as a Fry Cook.

    At first glance I thought you said Fry's something [I'll leave the other word up to other imaginations]

    If you're looking for a job, here's their online app.

    --

    A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
    1. Re:Fry Cook by SlashdotTroll · · Score: 0

      I said "Fry Cook", not the Crockery that Fry's Electronics employs. There's much more honest work, usually around the perimeter of Fry's Electronics; like the Fry's Electronics product return Service Center.

      --

      I am the nightmare of nightmares.

  43. the actual numbers by so-logical · · Score: 2, Informative

    Also of note is a discrepancy in the reported sample size, with USA Today stating the results are based upon input from 595 companies while the Business Journal reports that over 950 companies participated.

    The 950 number is the correct one, according to the AON Press Release and the (AON-owned) Radford Surveys benchmark study overview.

    Not sure where USA Today found their numbers...

  44. No discrepancy here by gambit3 · · Score: 3, Informative

    USA Today makes the distinction that it was 595 tech firms that had the 8.9% voluntary turnover rate.

    The Business Journal states that it was 950 companies that responded, but even it states that the 8.9% voluntary turnover number was arrived ONLY from Tech Companies (i.e., not from ALL the companies that responded):

    From the Journal Article:
    Voluntary turnover among surveyed tech companies is at 8.9 percent, according to Aon's research.

    Let's read a little closer before making assumptions, shall we?

    1. Re:No discrepancy here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      From the Journal Article:
      " Conclusions are based on data submitted by more than 950 companies, according to Aon."

      What are the "conclusions" if not the 8.9% voluntary turnover rate?

      Let's read a little closer before making assumptions, shall we?

  45. Yeah, but check this crap out.. by EvilStein · · Score: 4, Informative

    Right here - "Chief executives at U.S. companies that shipped jobs overseas won a 46 percent pay hike last year, more than five times the average CEO raise, while ordinary workers' paychecks barely budged, a study showed on Tuesday."

    I have no idea how they can find that the tech turnover rate has declined..

  46. No!!! by DesScorp · · Score: 3, Funny

    It's all Bush's fault! There is NO increased income! None! It's all bad! It's allllllll bad!!!

    Whew, thanks. I was possesed by the collective spirit of Slashdot there for a second.

    Wait...spoke too soon! Feel....Microsoft.....rant....coming on.......

    --
    Life is hard, and the world is cruel
  47. Perspective: IT v. tech jobs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It the past few years, even those with skills have trouble finding employment, and most find themselves working helpdesk at a telemarketing firm, or as a webmaster/designer for a porn site.

    Why would a programmer do something... like... oh, wait: You're not talking about technical work at all. You're just talking about sysadmins, web-monkeys, VB/Perl users, or whatever.

    Well, duh! Folks like that are a commodity. There's no reason to hire one rather than another. Anybody who can tie his shoes can power-cycle an NT box, and anybody who can do that can power-cycle a Linux box or a Solaris box. You could teach a dog to do that.

    Tech jobs are a different situation. Those of us who have actual skills are doing fine. It's there that the quick-buck crowd are falling off the sled. The "hire any warm body" days are over in development teams: It's now very difficult for a sysadmin, Perl monkey, or the like to pull an "upwardly mobile" and BS his way into a real job. If by some chance he succeeds anyway, he'll simply get fired in a month or two, because managers can no longer afford to keep Linux kids and other incompetents around just to pump up the head count.

    But none of that affects me at all; I switched jobs a year ago and it was a breeze. Better yet, I don't have to put up with the team hiring any flatliners to increase the head-count. I always hated that during the boom years: You'd have to work with these idiots who simply couldn't do the job, so if you weren't wasting your time fixing their code, you were wasting your time trying to shunt them into some corner of the project where they couldn't do any harm. Usually, the trick was to tell them to "research the issues involved in doing a Linux version of the product". That was perfect: They loved that stuff. They'd go off and chase their tails forever. For some reason, all those flatliners were big Linux fans (you know the type: The ones who try to cast a char * to an integer and can't figure out why they keep getting the address of the string, rather than the result of strtol()).

    I can't imagine why they bothered posting this silly story on Slashdot; the situation it's talking about doesn't have any effect on technical people at all.

    1. Re:Perspective: IT v. tech jobs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is your black-and-white world a pleasant one? I'll bet it is, even though you seem a bit angry.

      Seriously, are there really only TWO types of tech workers? Really?

      I know several well-educated and tech-savvy (yes, even in C) people who're unemployed now. I also know quite a few (though not as many) who match the proverbial "HTML for Dummies" profile of 1999 and are still employed.

  48. Finances? by MooseByte · · Score: 3, Funny

    "I've been working as a Technical Support specialist because all you College-educated people stole my job as a Fry Cook."

    Were you able to adjust to the paycut alright?

  49. Kinda slim data, eh? by east+coast · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I'd also find it interesting to see the average age of employment, change in marital status and size of family. Perhaps the number of turnovers goes hand in hand with my theory that the tech sector jobs are now held by an aging crowd.

    In the early days of a tech career it is certain that they will move to find better paying and better suited jobs. But as the tech gets older they're putting more value on stability. With mortgages, children's college tuitions and retirement being more of a factor it leaves less room to take the risks of moving from company to company.

    Put simply I don't find the one set of numbers very conclusive.

    --
    Dedicated Cthulhu Cultist since 4523 BC.
  50. many jobs after boomer retirements by peter303 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Just like another urban legend that many jobs will go unfilled as the aging boomers retire and insufficent genX and genY follow. Well, boomers are going to hang on forever as their pensions, social security and health insurance disappears as well as everyone elses.

  51. Of course it is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    That's because there are almost no open tech jobs left. eventually, there will be no jobs here in the us. oh, that's right, that's the way you stupid Libertarian/Republican Dog-Eat-Dog/Survival-Of-The-Fittest jerks prefer it. They both believe that you are worthless if you're poor. to them The rich does no wrong, and the poor can do no right. So fsck the Libertarian & Republican Parties.

    1. Re:Of course it is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You said "fsck." You must be one of those hip, young, anti-establishment types. You'll change your tune when you have a family to feed.

    2. Re:Of course it is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      How the fuck is this a troll, oh, the truth hurts, doesn't it? The truth shouldn't hurt unless it makes you feel guilty. oh that's right shititarians/refuckicans don't have a fucking heart, The refuckicans believe believe the same way except that their unoffical saying is "If you don't work, you don't eat, if you can't work, well, piss on you, you're worthless and you need to die." and to them poor, disabled, not-white, homosexuals=worthless. Women to them should be barefoot and pregnant and should not have any fucking rights. The women to them should be under subjection to their husband, and they're not married to a man by a 35, then they should die because to them, they're worthless. So as the parent post said, Fuck the Shititarian and Refuckican parties.

  52. Burn out by HangingChad · · Score: 1
    Personally, the pressure has been on for 3 years and I am burning out... are you?

    Sheez, yes. Major league burn out. Some days I dream about getting fired. I don't spook at the distant rumble of outsourcing, I relish it. Resource allocation? Go for it. Hasn't happened yet. I even told them one day, straight up, that I was really burned out and needed a break. Didn't work. Some days I feel guilty that I'm not more appreciative. Anyone else?

    I've got a non-tech sideline ready to go but I think it would be fun to start a firm to help people transition off of MSFT products to Linux/OSS and provide contract administrative services. That would be fun and profitable.

    --
    That's our life, the big wheel of shit. - The Fat Man, Blue Tango Salvage
    1. Re:Burn out by elrick_the_brave · · Score: 1

      Yes.. I've been considering a lot of options... I even told my wife that we should keep an eye on things. I am almost at the cusp of paying off those student loans I took to get myself into this business.. it's weird.. you may never get to see the return on your investment in yourself. Guess I shouldn't be too pessimistic eh?

      --
      (1st sig) If this were a snappy sig, you'd be reading it right now. (2nd sig) I'm a karma whore. >Insert FUD here
    2. Re:Burn out by networkBoy · · Score: 1

      I've got a non-tech sideline ready to go
      I'm there with you. Half my company seems to be borderline alcoholic, so I figure I'll open a bar across the street.
      -nB

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
  53. In my experience, no. by SlashdotTroll · · Score: 0

    Working as an Engineer as I, before my Technical Support specialist job, was a verry full-filling and difficult job. Engineers are the persons innovating new technology, while the pseudo-Engineers with MCSE certification are the persons implementing or slandering the fruits of your labors by holding false-authority. Can you imagine how much techology some corporations run through and have utterly destroyed because they didn't comprehend the profit increase (that means saving money too). It makes many people wonder how Microsoft profits with having the highest specialized Technical Support inter-company employment per capita for its Operating System and Application software against other companies whos products don't need many technical support agents because their product serves its purpose as stated on their retail box.

    --

    I am the nightmare of nightmares.

    1. Re:In my experience, no. by bluekanoodle · · Score: 1

      Can you engineer a more readable sentence? Maybe something with some commas? I like how your links all point to items either so brain dead any one could operate them (ipod), or to projects and products that have a large grassroots user-based support mechanism. (star office, palm, blender) I sense much bitterness in you. Maybe you should trying evacuating your bowels on a more regualr basis.

  54. Re:It'll be interesting to see... by toddhisattva · · Score: 1
    Remember when you vote that the current job market is Clinton's fault. ;)



    Well, if he had stopped Osama -- but hindsight is about 20/40, and you did put a smiley on your joke. ;-)

  55. Well duh... by rsilvergun · · Score: 1

    There's no jobs. Thanks to outsourcing our economy is in shambles (and getting worse daily). If you're lucky enough to get an IT job, you keep it. Otherwise you get stuck with blue collar work (until Bush's work visa program hits, then expect to lose those jobs too).

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
    1. Re:Well duh... by Bull999999 · · Score: 1

      Only problem with that is that blue collar work has been hit with agreesive outsourcing starting from the 80's. While I don't think that Bush's plans will help with the outsourcing issue, Kerry's plan on increasing wages will encourage it.

      --
      1f u c4n r34d th1s u r34lly n33d t0 g37 l41d
    2. Re:Well duh... by silverbax · · Score: 1

      Actually, it's not just about increasing wages. Kerry's platform states that companies should not be able to circumvent U.S. labor policy ( like having bathrooms in the workplace ) by simply moving the production overseas. The law should be that if you do business in the U.S., you have to meet U.S. regulations. Bush's policies are to allow companies to police themselves. Enron, anyone?

      Add on top of that, Bush gives tax breaks to companies moving overseas, and you've got horrible job growth and wages in the U.S., but corporations are raking it in. Well, the insurance, drug and oil companies are. Banks are taking it on the chin, which is why the banking industry backs Democrats.

      Corporations pay shills like Rush Limbaugh to argue against wage increases, but there are far more sound economic reasons to increase wages than just "because companies want cheap labor".

  56. Post hoc ergo propter hoc? Dumbass. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Supply-side economics is grossly overhyped, though less so than Keysianism, socialism, or any number of other voodoo nostrums, but your attempt at linking cause and effect is pathetic.

    There's a point where the political-partisan mentality descends from "dumb" to "vegetative", and you've found it. Congratulations. You should ask Ann Coulter out on a date; the two of you would have a lot to talk about.

    1. Re:Post hoc ergo propter hoc? Dumbass. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Congratulations. You should ask Ann Coulter out on a date; the two of you would have a lot to talk about."

      And in other news, it was made quite clear that you regardless of whom you ask out, will have nothing to talk about with anyone. What a strange ass post. Obviously by a strange ass AC...athough somewhat intelligent. Your still getting my freako award for the day though.

  57. No. by SlashdotTroll · · Score: 0

    I was forced to move out of my apartment and into a condominium. In a condominium, you can't just call the manager down the hall and tell her to pull up her skirt and get on her hands and knees to fix the Garbage Disposal Unit. I'm the one bending over (missionary style) to fix that noisy thing.

    --

    I am the nightmare of nightmares.

  58. Probably low because the hirring rate has been low by cybrthng · · Score: 1

    Contractors are in high demand because of corporate emericas addiction to "project planning" (instead of IT Planning in general) and thus i highly doubt that querying corporate america is reflective even of a few percentage points of the entire market.

    Those with highly demanded skills usually have a high turnover. I quite being "full time" myself because all i could get was a year, maybe 2 in full time before the job was turning me into something i wasn't.

    Full timers these days usually get stuck "in the groove" usually doing more political and beaureucratic office day-to-day busy work rather then "technical implementation or design".

    Sorry about my spelling but my allergy medicine is frying my b rain today.

  59. I'll probably leave by lewp · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's just a matter of time anyway, but if the economic picture gets that much brighter I'm definitely out the door. I love my job, but I'm tired of living where I do. I know well over a dozen other geeks who either had to relocate somewhere they didn't like or indefinitely postpone plans to go elsewhere. The poor economic conditions made a dislike of the location seem like a silly reason to leave/not take well-paying jobs.

    Pretty much all of us still want to be wherever it is we wanted to be when everything went down the crapper. If the opportunity knocks, I'm sure most of us will answer.

    --
    Game... blouses.
  60. continuing by twitter · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Also, the 25 year shift to a "service economy" continued as manufacturing, engineering, transcription, and even high quality service jobs were all exported. Construction teetered on the brink of the collapse that will inevitably come. Training for your next job is memorizing the question, "would you like fries with that?"

    --

    Friends don't help friends install M$ junk.

    1. Re:continuing by TheSync · · Score: 1

      The shift in the US from manufacturing to service jobs has been going on since the 1950's...the same thing is happening in every other developed country that has made it past the agricultural and industrial phases.

  61. Re:It'll be interesting to see... by mr_z_beeblebrox · · Score: 1

    ...how this affects the Bush campaign.

    Oh ye of little experience..."Why just yesterday, a study came out showing that in the tech industry..mmhm the tech industry, job security is at its' all time highest."

  62. dishonest accounting by twitter · · Score: 1
    I have no idea how they can find that the tech turnover rate has declined.

    Most companies are loath to admit how many jobs they are sending overseas. They might brag to Wall Street and other lack of clue people about "reduced costs" but they still hide the offshoring in public and to government for fear of a backlash.

    The accounting is simple but not honest. They don't move a job, they retire someone and open a "different" job overseas. They can then say they simply did not hire someone they did not need anymore. The fact that job descriptions are identical because the company still does the same things does not bother those who fear public reactions.

    Government statistics pick it up as a contraction in various sectors, but even that masks a lot of information.

    The Revolution was not televised and things are getting worse.

    --

    Friends don't help friends install M$ junk.

  63. tech market turn around? by emorphien · · Score: 1

    I doubt this means anything much about whether the market is turning around. If anything it could be more along the lines of just the fact that its a pain to get tech jobs now and people are afraid to lose them.

    --


    Presently here, but not there.
  64. Re:involuntary turnover by Trevin · · Score: 2, Insightful

    That brings up a question: they say that 8.9% is the lowest voluntary turnover since the early 80's, and that the involuntary turnover of 11.2% is lower than it was in 2001. That's hardly a fair comparison, since the 2001 number would be the highest rate (or nearly so). What I want to know is, what was the lowest involuntary turnover rate?

  65. That's already patented by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    >There was a global sig of releif.

    >We made it through guys! Good job!

    >> Great! You've given me an idea for my new .sig.

    Chair Air Freshener is already patented. Stop pretending you're in a Tech support job all day and get back to mixing that dohnut mix or you're fired!

    -Your Boss

  66. Switching from voluntary to involuntary by wift · · Score: 1

    "Neil Bloomgarden, a tech-support worker in New York, has begun job hunting after seven years with the same firm. He says he's burned out by 10-hour days and uncertainty caused by a merger. "You're going to see a lot of people start looking because the economy is starting to pick up," he says."

    I guess Neil just became an involuntary statistic. I'm really hoping he didn't use his real name.

    --
    ....... Thus ends my attempt at wit or whatever
    1. Re:Switching from voluntary to involuntary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      oi, just googling that name reveals a lot about that person. hope he's got something lined up already.

    2. Re:Switching from voluntary to involuntary by weeboo0104 · · Score: 1

      Burned out by 10 hour days??? Where I work that is expected of all salaried employees! If you have the audacity to "only" work 9-9.5 hours a day, you get a meeting with your manager who tells you that despite all your acomplishments, you should be working more because we can only make money when the employees work 10 hours a day.

      --
      It is easier to build strong children than to repair broken men. -Frederick Douglass
    3. Re:Switching from voluntary to involuntary by wjeff · · Score: 1

      Gee dude, try 15-18 hour days, with 90% travel and only 1 2-week vacation over the last 8 years, then you can whine to me about burn out.

      --
      my old sig is obsolete, and I haven't come up with a stupid enough new one yet
  67. Outsourcing = Low Turnover by Spectre · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The more projects my company outsources, the more they find they NEED the techies in house ... We have the same number of techies, but mostly we oversee outsourced projects ... and the company isn't going to let go of the only people who understand the technical processes and who can communicate with the contract workers what is needed.

    --
    "Flame away, I wear asbestos underwear"
    1. Re:Outsourcing = Low Turnover by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      At companies that have been outsourcing for a long time, it's true that I'm seeing the same number of heads, and they used to be tech people... but the job is now a management job, and that's what their performance is being measured against. Vendor management is a different job.

  68. Re:New Windows XP SP2 Compatible Keygen! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    welcome to 4 months ago.

  69. egad (Re:H1-B , L-1, Outsourcing) by cascadingstylesheet · · Score: 1

    The republican agenda is to push many in the middle class down into poverty - making people nervous about their livelihood (not to mention up-and-down terror alerts to generally make people scared) is the ideal formula for maximizing the profits for the rich.

    Egad, you're on to us!

    Next he'll suggest the tried and true solution of Carternomics ...

  70. Of course. by tarsi210 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The old axiom back when I was in college (96-00) was, "If you don't change jobs in the tech field at least once every 3-4 years, you won't move up." The idea behind it was that after 3-4 years on a particular job, your skills should have increased to the point that the technology sector deemed you 'worthy' of a higher-paid, higher-responsibility job.

    Of course, this got blown out of the water in the Burst Bubble(tm). Techies like myself have hung onto a job (if we have one) if it's stable and provides because there aren't any other options open sufficient enough to make a logical move. I've seen a few jobs that look more interesting than mine but the pay rates still aren't in the neighborhood of what I would like to have to make a move (pay or benefits, for that matter).

    So, the economy comes back. Businesses level off and then start expanding again, hopefully this time at a bit more controlled level. Jobs will start opening up and depending on the saturation of the market, wages will go up for techs. The offshoring of tech will only continue to a particular point; it'll become part of the factor that will control wages and job availability, so it's less likely to bounce back quickly. But the time will come when jobs will open up that are at a pay level, benefit level, and stability that sensible techs who have been sitting tight will feel OK to make a move.

    And they will. I just don't know as though you're going to see a large rush of this happening, as most of us are gunshy and are unlikely to follow in mad chaos on the latest trend again. (I said most...there'll always be the few oddities.)

    1. Re:Of course. by militiaMan · · Score: 1

      Stop fooling yourself. The sky is actually falling. It's not imaginary. The economy won't improve for U.S. Techies for 5-20 years. Wake up. In about 10 years the U.S. will have 60 million on the streets and 20 million in jail is current rates continue. We currently jail more people per capita than any other country. Those that give up their freedom for security will ultimately be removed from their money. Leave the country while you can, and come back after the dollar inflates in 5-20 years. Why should Indians making ~22k for software development be able to buy 120k worth of goods and services while you toil harder for 50k and only keep 30k after fed/state/local taxes and can only purchase 30k worth of goods. U.S. technology is going to fall behind India in ~15 years. Then how can we keep the dollar at such a high value. Look at history 15,000B.C, 5000B.C., and as late at 2000B.C. India had the best technology around. The only thing that stopped them was a huge natural disaster that destroyed their main city. They have their problems, but they are the largest unified country in the world. History often repeats itself, but don't thinks won't be different this time. We can't expect nature to keep them from advancing this time. Those with the best tech controls the world.

    2. Re:Of course. by StrawberryFrog · · Score: 1

      So, the economy comes back.

      What evidence do you have that things will be like they were before? It may not be so, and you shouldn't assume it.

      --

      My Karma: ran over your Dogma
      StrawberryFrog

    3. Re:Of course. by tarsi210 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I base my predictions on the economy based on history, which shows that markets have an up-and-down cyclical nature. Although the market is never the same on the micro level, at a macro view it's generally the same idea.

      And I acknowledged that in my above post -- I said that things would likely be quite different with the great push towards outsourcing; it'll significantly change the job market and the way the economy works. There's likely to be other factors as well -- new technology, legal precedents, world happenings, etc. Though these are macro-level events to some degree, the overall view is still that the economy will improve or degrade or stagnate (a rare occurrence).

      Perhaps it's a bit of optimism but I feel that my prediction that the economy will recover is well-based on previous trends in the history of econ in general. Most financial advisors will advise to stick out investments in hard times because the market will recover -- it always does -- and I don't think this is an exception. Will it be the same? Of course not. But in a lot of ways it'll be similar because history works like that.

    4. Re:Of course. by tarsi210 · · Score: 1

      A pessimistic viewpoint, for sure, but not entirely without merit. I can appreciate your comments for what they are. At the same time, while I do believe that we are in a downturn as a country, I don't think that the timeline is a quick one; I think it will be quite a few years before we see major changes in the structure of the U.S. I could be completely wrong, of course. I'm not about to rush out quite yet for the duct tape.

      That being said, I'm not so attached to this country that I won't split given good reason. My wife is Australian, we've been there before and it was a great country. I wouldn't be opposed to moving there and living there given the chance. I'm not sure conditions are significantly better, economic-wise, but they're surely better regarding certain forms of privacy and legal issues.

    5. Re:Of course. by StrawberryFrog · · Score: 1

      I base my predictions on the economy based on history, which shows that markets have an up-and-down cyclical nature. Although the market is never the same on the micro level, at a macro view it's generally the same idea.

      And the next upswing will hopefully not be a bubble. Much of the late 1990s were a tech sector bubble, which should not happen the next time. Thus, things for techies will never again be like they were in 1998.

      --

      My Karma: ran over your Dogma
      StrawberryFrog

    6. Re:Of course. by tarsi210 · · Score: 1

      Likely not. I think corporations have too much caution built into them now (paranoia?) to go into a bubble situation again. I only think that it'll get *better*; not necessarily the same.

      That being said, bubbles have happened before and will likely happen again (roaring 20's, mid 80's, late 90's), but they're rare...I won't hold my breath.

  71. Define job(technical) == "Cleaning Toilets" by http101 · · Score: 1

    Well, this is an interesting theory and I say Aon is right, however, partially. The oversight he's making is that there aren't even enough techs to justify what little turn-overs there are because our jobs are constantly being "redefined" then out-sourced. The rate of turn-over relies on people actually leaving the company where a position is hosted. If my job (IT position) were redefined as virus removal of the bathroom floor, I'd still have a job, my title, but my function would be entirely different. Since I work in a different department, maintenance, I am technically no longer referred to as a technician, therefore, my job is eliminated and I become a statistic of the "blackhole". This is an entirely legal practice and is being carried out all over the nation.

    --
    -- Game Developers: Stop porting badly-textured games from crappy console systems!
  72. Your paleolithic ancestors are lauhing fit to bust by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I feel truly sorry for anyone desperate enough to be suckered by their spiel about how, with their training, "anyone can land a well-paid job in IT".

    I myself feel truly sorry for anybody who can watch those commercials without realizing that somebody there is making a buck -- and that you can do the same, if you'll just get out of your rut and chase the money down like a man.

    Nobody has a divinely-guaranteed right to keep on doing the same thing in the same job at the same salary (adjusted for inflation) until Hell freezes over. What makes you think otherwise? Jesus, 10,000 years ago, people had to KILL ANIMALS if they wanted a square fucking meal! You have NO idea how easy an unemployed web-monkey's life is compared to the lives of his distant ancestors. They NEVER had the option of showing up at 9:00, going through the motions until 5:00, and then sitting on their fat cro-magnon asses in a bar until closing time. They had no welfare, no National Health, no retirement fund, no defense establishment, no cop on the beat, no nothing. Just raw balls and a pointed stick. Yet still they conquered. Compared to any sort of absolute baseline, the risks you're required to take and the struggles you're required to engage in are nothing, they're kids' stuff -- and you're still complaining! Well, that's bullshit. You are a human being, evolved to struggle like a motherfucker against the forces of nature and the morons in the next cave just to stay alive. You are the heir of thousands of generations of brutal, remorseless killers, filtered by the magic of natural selection to be more brutal and remorseless every generation. It is well within your capabilities to go out and wrest a living from the world. So you have to learn a new skill, be it forging checks, peddling your ass, teaching worthless "skills" to hapless dole-suckers, or whatever -- so what? Would you rather learn a new skill, or take on a cave bear in your skivvies with nothing but a stone axe? Given that you are DESCENDED from people who DID take on that cave-bear AND WIN (we drove those toothy fat fuckers into extinction, did we not?), should the former option really be all that intimidating? No, dammit! NO!

    To sum it all up: Getting ahead may require a little more effort and thought than it did five years ago, but by any sane standards, the amount of effort and thought it requires has merely increased from "zero" to "microscopic". BFD.

    So quit whining like a little fucking girl and GO OUT THERE AND WIN! WIN! KILL! KILL! KILLLLL! Holy shitcocking fucking cockshitter, you fool, in the paleolithic EVEN LITTLE GIRLS HAD TO KILL TO LIVE!

  73. Fear of termination by heroine · · Score: 1

    People are really disenchanted with the startup circuit. You can't climb the ladder without job changes, but for every thousand engineers who hop jobs, only one ever climbs the ladder. Also people figured out ... again ... that stock options are worthless. The 16 hour days enforced by these startups and lack of raises caught up with the supposed stock options.

    If turnover ever increases again like everyone says it will, it's not going to be because of economic improvement. Companies are slashing benefits like nothing else. Health care is gone. Vacations are gone. Raises are going away. As companies start to feel that they're being populated by freeloaders they're going to put pressure on employees to get out of the nest.

  74. Job Cycle. by rawg · · Score: 2, Interesting

    In my company this is how the HR work:

    1 Post ads.
    2 Hire best person from ads.
    3 Employee lied about abilities.
    4 Employee stops working.
    5 Fire Employee.
    6 goto 1

    In five years my company has only found one employee worth keeping. The rest just work for a week or two, then we have to beg them to do anything. Eventually we fire them and look for more. The problem with this is that we are so busy we can't keep up.

    It's too hard to find good employee's. And it's very hard having to pay $500+ each time we advertise for help.

    Try finding a webmaster that actually knows what standards compliant HTML looks like. We've been looking for over six months to fill that position.

    --
    The above is not worth reading.
    1. Re:Job Cycle. by Colazar · · Score: 1
      Sounds like your company needs to start hiring people on the "try before you buy", temp to perm plan.

      --
      He decided to just watch the government, and kind of scale it down to size, and run his life that way. --Laurie Anderson
    2. Re:Job Cycle. by cat_jesus · · Score: 1

      Your company is ahead of the game. Where I work it's more like.

      1. Post ad
      2. HR filters out people who don't have the exact combiniation of abilities needed.
      3. Best fit is hired from pool, which envariably turns out to be someone who lied on their resume.
      4. Crappy employee stays forever, makes life miserable for everyone else and management somehow thinks crappy employee is actually worth a shit.

    3. Re:Job Cycle. by wjeff · · Score: 5, Insightful

      In my experience this is how most large companies do it:

      1. Post ad
      2. HR filters out all the really capable and honest people using unrealistic requirements lists (e.g. 15 years experience with Win NT in 1999) and/or requiring certs that only people with no real work to do, have time to get.
      3. Only people who lied on their resumes get through the screening process
      4. Pick the best of the lot
      5. New employee turns out to be a flaky incompetent, shuffle him to make work
      6. Tech manager hires knowledgable worker on his own, with out going through HR to do the flakes job
      7. Company goes through layoffs, and the knowledgeable guy is let go first because he is not on the official TO&E
      8. Flaky guy takes over knowledgeable guys projects and hoses them up
      9. Tech manager quits in disgust
      10. Flaky guy is promoted to tech managers job

      I have seen this exact sequence carried out at least four times.

      --
      my old sig is obsolete, and I haven't come up with a stupid enough new one yet
    4. Re:Job Cycle. by bladesjester · · Score: 1

      I find it kind of sad that this is close to being spot on, truth wise, and it gets modded funny. I also find it sad that, in the abstract sense, it *is* funny.

      --
      Everything I need to know I learned by killing smart people and eating their brains.
    5. Re:Job Cycle. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lemme guess, you're in one of those organizations where HR posts ads asking for people with qualifications like "at least 5 years experience administering Windows 2000 servers"?

    6. Re:Job Cycle. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      These same companies then run around like Chicken Little screaming "There's no qualified professionals for this job!"

      Just another company with no clue as to what their *REAL NEEDS* actually are, nor any sense of reality in terms of what they're looking for. When I see one of those job adverts that list a ton of acronyms (many of which are disjoint job skillset wise) I look elsewhere.

    7. Re:Job Cycle. by /dev/trash · · Score: 1

      That's it? I'd say I know 98% of what is standards compliant, and the other 2% I can look up on W3C, in 2 minutes time.

      I'll gladly work for 30k a year ( or less ) and won't lie about what I do and do not know.

    8. Re:Job Cycle. by rawg · · Score: 1

      Were still looking here.

      --
      The above is not worth reading.
  75. Job Creation, Wage Stagnation by 4of12 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Discussed in this recent article.

    My experience has been that people with IT jobs that pay anything tolerable are glad they even have a job.

    First, the .com and telecom overcapacity meltdown that led into the 2001 recession, then the growing outsourcing trend.

    Meanwhile, "do more, better, faster, cheaper" mantra still plays with management and has continued to load too many additional chores onto people with no reasonable alternative in job choice. People have complained about the workload to a management that is completely out of touch with the problems and concerns of their employees.

    As others have noted, the pent-up demand will lead to a spike in turnover if the economy ever gets into more than first gear.

    More importantly, though, is what's happening right now.

    • Job stress, life stress
    • low morale, depression,
    • anger and resentment.

    Not a pretty picture.

    If I were a CIO I'd be looking to make my org a nicer place to work right now so that my reputation for attracting and retaining good people would be in place when the herd starts to stampede.

    --
    "Provided by the management for your protection."
    1. Re:Job Creation, Wage Stagnation by jafac · · Score: 1

      More importantly, though, is what's happening right now.

      * Job stress, life stress
      * low morale, depression,
      * anger and resentment.


      Anyone other than me notice a LOT of freinds getting divorced lately? In the last two years, 6 couples, people I am or was friends with, have split up. Luckily, only 2 of them had kids.

      Seems like the "new capitalism" isn't so Family Friendly after all.

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    2. Re:Job Creation, Wage Stagnation by jred · · Score: 1

      It's most likely that you & your friends are reaching "that age". Look at the overall divorce statistics. Marriages, especially first marriages, rarely work out.

      --

      jred
      I'm not a mechanic but I play one in my garage...
    3. Re:Job Creation, Wage Stagnation by dcam · · Score: 1

      Really? I understood that the failure rate was higher in 2nd marriages than 1st marriages. In fact as I understood the more times you have been married before, the higher the chance of failure of the marriage. An Australian study was done on the topic of marriage. The document I've linked to is the government response rather than the original.

      --
      meh
    4. Re:Job Creation, Wage Stagnation by Justice8096 · · Score: 1

      Yeah - one of my friends and I are considering becoming lawyers - same problems, but you get to really, really take it out on the opposition... :-) BTW - I'm not joking.

    5. Re:Job Creation, Wage Stagnation by jred · · Score: 1

      All 2nd marriages need a failed 1st marriage before they can occur. Not everyone who gets divorced gets remarried. The percentage of divorces goes up for 2nd marriages, I'm sure. It's the first one that's a real bitch. Then you know what to expect. You'd *think* you would also know what to do to prevent divorce...

      However you look at it, that's a whole bunch of divorces.

      --

      jred
      I'm not a mechanic but I play one in my garage...
    6. Re:Job Creation, Wage Stagnation by dcam · · Score: 1

      All 2nd marriages need a failed 1st marriage before they can occur

      Or a death. I'm not sure that I'd call a marriage ending in death of one of the parties necessarily a failure.

      The percentage of divorces goes up for 2nd marriages, I'm sure. It's the first one that's a real bitch.

      I think those two sentences are incompatible. If the first one is such a bitch, why does the percentage go up for second marriages.

      I think you are trying to look at what proportion of failed marriages are second marriages. This is comparing apples are oranges. Instead we should be looking at what proportion of second marriages end in divorce.

      Then you know what to expect. You'd *think* you would also know what to do to prevent divorce...

      Or possibly the fact that you have been married may mean that preventing divorce is harder. Baggage.

      However you look at it, that's a whole bunch of divorces.

      Agreed. It is a pretty poor situation all round.

      --
      meh
  76. This will seem like a cruel joke shortly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    Interestingly, there has already been vast speculation that there will be major layoffs after the Presidential election. HP for example, is planning on reducing staff in the United States and has agreed to wait until after the election to perform cuts in staff. All of the bits of news like this one are nothing short of propoganda...or food for starving wishful thinkers.

  77. Re:Dumbass. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    Slashdot [n.]: a) A website where somebody who can't even spell "you're" has the nerve to call rational people "somewhat intelligent". b) The zeroth circle of Hell.

    Thanks for the chuckle, if nothing else.

  78. When? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    When exactly will the economy in the U.S.A. turn around? Please provide a 3-sentence answer.

    Really, I believe there are many more reasons for pessimism than there are for optimism. Why does everyone assume that this is just part of a cycle?

  79. Re:Your paleolithic ancestors are lauhing fit to b by bluekanoodle · · Score: 1

    You sir, should be a speech writer. Inspirational, purely inspirational. Like Gold nuggets falling from the sky.

  80. You do remember the oil shock, don't you? by JimmytheGeek · · Score: 1, Flamebait

    Carter had to deal with the lingering effects of the first opec oil embargo, and the immediate effect of the second oil shock. You think maybe tripling energy costs might have had an effect on the economy, dumbass? Carter was a decent guy. He was actually a strong president. Quiz: did he raise or lower the military budget? Quiz: did Reagan's increase in the military budget buy any useful stuff? Answer 1: raised. Answer 2: not really. The hugely expensive 600 ship navy was immediately trimmed, with unnecessary ships being mothballed. THey got built, delivering pork, but that's about it. Star Wars is still a pipe dream. He built the B1 bomber, which was an interim solution (of dubious effectiveness even in the plan) until the stealth bomber became available. It became operational AFTER the stealth...and don't even get started on the hammers and toilet seats.

    After seeing the Republican shenannigans in Florida, and the complete lack of ethics and honor in Iranamuck, I find the "October Surprise" thesis plausible.

    Reagan? Glad he's dead. Too bad for his family it wasn't a stroke and fairly quick, but that fake has a lot of innocent blood on his hands.

    1. Re:You do remember the oil shock, don't you? by cascadingstylesheet · · Score: 1

      Carter had to deal with the lingering effects of the first opec oil embargo, and the immediate effect of the second oil shock. You think maybe tripling energy costs might have had an effect on the economy, dumbass?

      How charming you are ... and the oil magnates just magically became cooperative when Reagan lifted price controls, did they? Quite a coincidence. And nobody before or since has had to deal with any external effects, eh?

      The hugely expensive 600 ship navy was immediately trimmed, with unnecessary ships being mothballed. THey got built, delivering pork, but that's about it.

      Neutered the Soviets, actually. Enabled us to prosecute every ship and submarine that crossed the SOSUS line. Of course, you probably are the sort that thinks the Soviets didn't need neutering, so there's not much point discussing it.

      After seeing the Republican shenannigans in Florida,

      You mean winning, then watching in disbelief as the loser filed a bunch of lawsuits, then fighting back?

  81. How many people can still really program? by Animats · · Score: 4, Interesting
    I run a DARPA Grand Challenge team, Team Overbot. We're in Silicon Valley and looking for volunteers. We have a robot vehicle that runs, and need programmers. You get a share of the $2,000,000 prize if we win. Many people express interest.

    Then I ask them to send me 1000 lines of C++ they're proud of. Doesn't matter what it does; I just want to see how they code. Many of them look scared. "Is C OK?" "I'm not really that good at C++". "Can I use Python?".

    When someone sends us code, I read it and send comments back. I'm looking for robustness. ("We have received your code sample. Your first buffer overflow is on line 52. Thank you for your interest in Team Overbot.") I'm looking for some basic knowledge of C++. I'm looking for a reasonable level of comments.

    I think the number of good programmers out there is declining. There are hordes of sysadmins and low-level coders, more than ever, but most of them aren't that good.

    1. Re:How many people can still really program? by megarich · · Score: 0

      hard to get good when you cant even find programming jobs.

      since my programming "skills" went down the sh*tter, i cant help out but out of curiosity, when you send back comments on there buffer overflow, do you give them a chance to resubmit or just reject them all together?

    2. Re:How many people can still really program? by forkboy · · Score: 1

      Programming is one of those skills you can keep up with at your home in your spare time. There's no reason for your skills to "go down the shitter" other than lack of effort on your part.

      --
      This message brought to you by the Council of People Who Are Sick of Seeing More People.
    3. Re:How many people can still really program? by gelfling · · Score: 1

      Quote "We're in Silicon Valley and looking for volunteers." Unquote

      Fuck Altruism. That's your first problem.

    4. Re:How many people can still really program? by megarich · · Score: 0

      your right. i've been unproductive but when i get out of my madden fix, i plan to get more productive in other it areas. i like what i do and dont see a reason to go program full time(though i will better myself through script knowledge).

      some people though may legitmately not have the time either. my work day with commute is at least 11 hours. i can see that being longer in some other people's cases. throw in a kid or two and how much time you have to better yourself...zero

    5. Re:How many people can still really program? by Bloodbath · · Score: 1

      rofl, I know. "How would you like to work for free? Well, if you think you have what it takes, then here are some hoops to jump through."

    6. Re:How many people can still really program? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My boss won't let me share the 3000 line module I'm really proud of. Not that I can blame him, but it also means I can't send it to you. I could work on open source projects, but how do you seperate the 1000 lines that I contributed (over 50,000) from what others wrote?

    7. Re:How many people can still really program? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Your looking for volunteers, to code for you, who have a chance to get a share of a 2 million dollar prize. A prize that, if memory serves, ALL teams failed miserably in acheiving last go round, to the point that DARPA lowered the bar, and ALL teams still failed miserably? And you wonder why you aren't getting the best of the best. Here is a hint, you cheap fuck, try offering some MONEY and see if the quality goes up. Ever think that maybe, just maybe, the talented coders you seek, ALREADY WORK FULL TIME CODING, AND DON'T MUCH FEEL LIKE DOING IT FOR FREE, IN THEIR SPARE TIME.

      I love assholes like you, you ask for the world, and offer NOTHING, and then get pissed about quality. You want volunteers for christs sake. Didn't your momma teach you about beggars being choosers? Why don't you maybe stop being a condescending prick, and maybe take some of these coders under your wing to pass on your knowledge? You know, ADD SOME VALUE to the task? I have a basic knowledge of C++, but guess what, no one taught "buffer overflows" and how to avoid them. Why, I don't know, probably because the functions that expose these problems are still part of all the standard libs. Whatever the reason, how are these people going to learn good coding skills when they can't get any proper mentoring, because of turds like you?

      I put an ad in the local paper looking for carpenters to rebuild my house. Lots of people expressed interest. I offered them an equal share of my loto ticket, if I win, and just wanted them to build me a deck to see how they build. I let them all go, incompetent fools, none showed up on time. The one who did, didn't bring his own lumber. You just can't steal good help these days.

    8. Re:How many people can still really program? by HeyLaughingBoy · · Score: 1
      I ask them to send me 1000 lines of C++ they're proud of

      This may be a part of the problem. I have written thousands (more likely tens of thousands) of lines of C++ for a complex embedded system over the past few years. But even if my employer was OK with me emailing you a large chunk of code, I'd be hard pressed to be able to send you 1000 lines of it mainly because it is so integrated with changes that others on the project have done. It would more likely read like "I wrote the original module and these 100 lines are mine, but someone added these 10 to implement a new requirement when I was busy with something else, and later I wrote the following 20..."

      BUT, since I was the sole low level developer on the project, I could probably send you thousands of lines of device driver code I wrote in C (not C++) that wasn't touched by anyone else.

      Now if I turn to stuff I've done on my own (home projects) in the last few years it would be mostly Java and assembly, with Python more recently taking the lead because I prefer to develop in those languages. And I daresay you'd get a better feel for what someone prefers to do if you look at their personal projects versus the professional ones: I like my job, but it's still just a job.
      When I interviewed for this job, one of the things I brought to make me stand out from other applicants was a small piece of hardware I designed at home and programmed in 6805 assembly. I was proud of that design because of the functionality I squeezed into a 504 byte code space, but it wouldn't meet the requirement you stated above.

      Don't get me wrong: I'm not trying to pretend the problem you see doesn't exist; rather I think that you're using a (perhaps necessarily) extremely narrow filter for applicants.

      Besides, I live in the Midwest, so what do I care :-)

    9. Re:How many people can still really program? by SlashdotLemming · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I think the number of good programmers out there is declining. There are hordes of sysadmins and low-level coders, more than ever, but most of them aren't that good.

      C++ programmers, definitely. I don't see many young developers with much, if any, C++ experience. Unless you're in a niche (simulations, games), you're doing Java.

      Schools seem to generate decent Java grads nowadays, however you can't expect a Java developer to pick up C++ the way many of us C++ites picked up Java back in the day. It's always easier to pick up newer technologies than older ones. C++ is falling into the Ada/Smalltalk realm where the old dogs are the only competent ones.

      Good luck...

    10. Re:How many people can still really program? by Animats · · Score: 1
      That seems to be the case. C++ does seem to be on the way out. (I blame this on the C++ committee, which is focused on the wrong problems, but that's another issue.)

      If you need hard real time, and the problem is complicated enough that you need elaborate data structures, C++ is still the language of choice. There's a Java working group for hard real-time Java, but that's not a technology ready for prime time yet.

      The best people I've found have been game programmers. They're used to geometric computation and tight timing limits.

    11. Re:How many people can still really program? by Animats · · Score: 1
      There are many people doing amateur robotics. There's plenty of interest in the DARPA Grand Challenge. We have a team, hardware, a shop, funding, a working robot vehicle, and a big chunk of the software working. We cover all your expenses. Free munchies and drinks. Occasional TV coverage. It's the coolest robotics project in town.

      We've had some good people. It was easier last year, because there were good programmers left over from the dot-com collapse taking temp jobs. Things have picked up, and we lost those guys to places like Sun and Apple. Now they feel they have to work 60+ hours a week to keep their jobs.

      Since then, it's been harder to find people with a clue. So we have to keep looking. If you're bored out of your mind doing something like high-performance ad servers, are in Silicon Valley, and have free time, get in touch. We have fun problems to work on. And there's money at the end of this.

    12. Re:How many people can still really program? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny
      Blame it on Bjarne Stroustrup for setting OOP back at least 20 years (and possibly destroying it as a technology) by creating C++.

      We can only hope that C++ is on its way out.

    13. Re:How many people can still really program? by Justice8096 · · Score: 1

      All of the code I write for companies is considered proprietary - I can't show you 1000 lines of code, since it would be a violation of my contract.
      I suspect that many of the other "good" programmers out there are in a similar situation.

  82. Low Turnover == Poor Benefits by CrazyTalk · · Score: 2, Informative

    Our company was recently acquired, and I asked about a tuition reimbursement plan (like the prior company had). I was told that in the current market, with low turnover, there is no need to offer such a benefit in order to retain employees. I was not so much shocked by the reason as by the fact that they actually freely admitted this.

    1. Re:Low Turnover == Poor Benefits by /dev/trash · · Score: 1

      I got that beat. I work for a company that offers DAY 1 tuition reimbursement for ANY college degree. The only catch? The company won't work around your class schedule AND each week my work scehdule is a different time. So in a nutshell, it's not really a benefit I can use. Of course the company suggests I take online courses. Like University of Phoenix type courses.

  83. Re:It'll be interesting to see... by Colazar · · Score: 1
    I'll agree that the current job market isn't Bush's fault.

    But the only part of it that is Clinton's fault is that it didn't hit 3 years earlier. Clinton did a very good job of delaying the *normal*, *cyclical* recession much longer than anyone thought possible. Probably due to him getting religion on reducing the deficit and encouraging low interest rates. (Yes, we can thank the Republican Congress for that too. It was a team effort.)

    Truth to tell, the current (just finished?) recession wasn't even that bad, expecially considering how long it was put off. Anyone who thinks it was, doesn't remember the 70s. (Thanx to Bush's short-term thinking, we might all get to relive them, though. Lucky us.)

    --
    He decided to just watch the government, and kind of scale it down to size, and run his life that way. --Laurie Anderson
  84. CEO salary bashing - It must be an election year by 14erCleaner · · Score: 0
    These "CEO raise" stats are always BS, because the compensation they're based on is mostly from exercised stock options in good years, which goes away in bad years. It's not like the boards of directors are rewarding CEO's for outsourcing, its more like the market is rewarding their companies for being successful in their businesses (and thus raising their stock prices). This is how it should be in a free market, liberal whining notwithstanding.

    Also, they identified three big gainers out of their pool of 50 leading outsourcers, and those three account for a big chunk of the increase (including Oracle CEO Ellison whose "compensation" went up 103,000 percent from roughly zero to about $40 million; I'm sure basically all of it was due to stock market changes).

    FYI, I'm voting for Kerry.

    --
    Have you read my blog lately?
  85. We are only now becoming aware of this by Cryofan · · Score: 1

    This concerted effort has been going on for decades actually. As Adam Smith himself said, the bosses and the investors have the time and the means and the smaller numbers, thus making it easier for them to organize.

    Only now, with the internet, have many people other than academics been able to obtain and sift through enough information to determine that, yes, there is indeed a vast rightwing conspiracy, and it is the forefront of an information/propaganda war declared on the worker by the bosses/investors/corporations. It starts with think tanks and foundations, and end s with people like Rush Limbaugh.

    --
    eat shiat and bark at the moon
  86. The Dirty Secret by randall_burns · · Score: 1
    The US economy is not in recovery.
    Quite simply the US economy is not growing as fast as the new entrants to the workforce. A _best_ the rate of decline has slowed down a bit.


    Computer professionals have been near the epicenter of recent manifestations of these problems-but many of the problems go back a long time.

  87. We have not seen a new face in YEARS by gelfling · · Score: 1

    I work for one of those massive outsourcing service providers based in Armonk NY and we in the service arm have not actually seen a new hire face who was not a summer intern since maybe 1998.

    They tell me the median tenure of the overall workforce is now about 4 years, down from 9 in 1996 which leads me to think that turnover is actually quite high but then you have factor in the Geezer Effect as all the oldies retire out which just forces the average that much lower.

    Lower churn? You mean ZERO churn.

  88. Point? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    I hate to break it to the slashdot crowd, but people do get legitimately fired.

    Yes, as well as sometimes less than legitimately. But what exactly is your point? How does this relate to fewer people voluntarily leaving their jobs?

  89. Net Libertarians are youthful dupes of Big Money by Cryofan · · Score: 1

    Most of these flashy online libertarian websites and magazines are funded by the think tanks and foundations, which are in turn funded by zillionaires like Scaife and by global corporations. Libertarianism is just a marketing ploy by the rightwing neoliberal foundations.

    Check out the funding for the Reason Foundation, which puts out Reason magazine.

    When most of these net-libertarians get 15 years older and finally realize they aint gonna rich, they will turn left, most of them. Good thing about net-libs is that they are fairly intelligent. And they do have access to the leftist writings on the Net, and with time and self-interested motivation, it will sink in. It sunk in for me. Finally...

    For the few Net-Libs that DO get rich, they will of course not change their minds; they will just find good justifications for their hypocrisy. Humans are very at that....

    --
    eat shiat and bark at the moon
  90. potential turnaround by YouHaveSnail · · Score: 1

    Given all of the talk about an economic turnaround, are we looking at a potential tech turnover spike as individuals leave positions they have stayed in only because of a dismal job market?

    One can only hope.

    On the other hand, I don't see any increase in hiring in the tech sector so far.

  91. Of course by soundcore · · Score: 1

    turnover is low! IT positions are now held by indentured H-1Bs which CAN'T change jobs.

    Just what the companies wanted: workers who can't quit. Nice. Thank you Congress and Bill Clinton!

  92. What's with the cost of living comments? by TheWizardOfCheese · · Score: 1

    Did any of you warning about the cost of living notice that the OP is from the UK? I love the UK, and just as soon as I'm independently wealthy, I'll move there. The OP didn't say where he's from, but if it's the SE then the Valley will be cheaper (and better paid.) The "melting pot" comments are also off base. Yes, there are many people from far-off lands in California on H1B's but the situation hardly compares to London. And don't expect the food to be as good as a top-drawer gastro-pub. Your culture shocks are more likely to be caused by urban planning, because with the exception of a few (very expensive) enclaves, California is a strip mall writ large. (The physical geography is spectacular, of course; the opportunities for outdoor recreation are fantastic.)

    The comments about border hassles, however, are spot on. Quite apart from the current security hysteria, coming in to "steal jobs from Americans" often causes problems. Oh, and say goodbye to your five weeks of vacation.

    --

    "The good reader is a rarer swan than the good writer."
  93. Re:Your paleolithic ancestors are lauhing fit to b by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Bravo! Best thing I've read all day.

  94. Re:involuntary turnover by mikael · · Score: 1

    What I want to know is, what was the lowest involuntary turnover rate?

    From the article:

    This marks the third year in a row that voluntary turnover has dropped, and this figure is the lowest in the history of the surveys, which date back to the mid-1980s.

    --
    Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
  95. The only Turnover I see is... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    the ones in the Dempster Dumpster that I fetch every afternoon. The apple are especially tasty after fermenting a little in the hot afternoon sun.

    But I'm optimistic.

  96. I'm an Indian, and looking for an H1B by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    thank god the americans are so friendly, like they are to this British guy. I would love to have your advice and opinions when I move to Silicon Valley, when I get my H1B this year. You guys already make me feel so welcome, with all this help you are giving this British guy. So all those stories about americans resenting H1B holders as taking away american jobs are completely untrue.. look how welcome this British chap is.

    and he too does not have a job lined up - he's getting a vanilla visa from some no-name comany which will then ask him to look for jobs. So he is also not specifically qualified for a job, and his company too is just creating a dummy job to get his visa approved. Still everyone likes him. Americans are sooo nice.

  97. Gonna be awhile... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Because you're an idiot. Haven't you heard of Lisp?

    Writing AI apps in C++ is like cleaning a battleship with a toothbrush.

  98. sucks to be me by ylikone · · Score: 1

    After graduating with a university degree in math/computer science in 1994, I went to work as a sys-admin at an ISP. Didn't make much money there, but figured it was good for my resume. Later moved out of town when the ISP was starting to fall (like all little ISP's did) and got a job doing Perl web developement, have moved around from start-up to start-up getting Perl or PHP programming jobs fairly easily... but never for much money. Three years ago I tired of jumping around from job to job, so I quit and starting working contracts only. It has been going ok, but not great. If I didn't have a wife working fulltime, I'd have to find a different line of work. Working with computers is the one thing in life I love, but there does not seem be good opportunities there for me.

    --
    Meh.
  99. In related news by Y0tsuya · · Score: 1
  100. Re:Your paleolithic ancestors are lauhing fit to b by Kreigaffe · · Score: 1

    I know I'm paraphrasing here, because I'm at work and don't have the book in front of me.

    Here you have to run as fast as you can just to stay in place, and well if you want to get somewhere else, you ahve to run twice as fast!

    At least if I'm fighting a bear, once I get done and am resting on his corpse I know I'm done. When you're fighting a bear, all that matters is how good of a job you do, not how many suck-ass brownie points you can score, not if you showed up a minute or two late for the fight, not if you call off and stay inside frequently because the facts are clearly illustrated.. if you can kill more bears than your neighbors, your neighbors are the ones that'll be eaten, not you.

    we have no such cut and dry lines anymore, and I hate to paraphrase again but the only real motivation at work is to do just enough not to get in trouble. Of course, as someone who personally IS a few minutes late daily, that sucks. Doesn't matter that when I'm at work, I make damn sure that my main concern is doing work, nor that I do my work bettre than the vast majority of other employees -- nosir. Doesn't even matter that I'm a much more personable, intelligent and well-spoken (and well-dressed) individual than them. Basically? Hard work is NOT rewarded.
    Take the company I work for. They're more concerned everybody shows up 10 minutes early than they are that anybody actually does any work once they do get here. What the hell? 7 hours 59 minutes of hard work would beat 8 hours of sitting around clucking like hens, but I don't know, I guess that's just me.
    That's just the world we live in. It's easy to point to lcok-in times, but to actually observe someone's work and make a subjective analysis that they're a worthless POS? Litigation! Onos that's not fair!

    As I'm sure you can tell I'm very sick of, and fed up with, the state of the job market. No room for good honest hard work, not a single good and decent manager to be found anywhere (they've all lied and blackmailed their way up the ladder step by step and now that they've made it to where they can order others around only use their authority to get out of actually doing any work themselves and instead just spend their time staring at walls and yelling at employees for taking 1 minute too long to walk back inside from a break, as they're on their way in from their own break that they left for 48 minutes ago.

    Yes, that's certainly better than just throwin yourself in a cave with a bear and seeing who's better. At least with the bear, there's no stressful bullshit to deal with, just one angry bear that might eat you.
    Please, GIVE me a bear to fight instead of all these worthless, petty stressful jobs.

    --
    ... still waiting for this free-as-in-beer free beer I keep hearing about. :|
  101. Dilbert managers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So right on: ... tech turnover spike as individuals leave positions they have stayed in only because of a dismal job market?

    Couldn't have said it better. Far too managers in this business smoke crack and piss on their people to cover their asses. This business is best off without too much arogance and the best way to control it is with a good job market.

    Just waiting my time to move on...and causually looking for a company with managment that wants output and not butt kissing competition.

  102. Is Everyone Retarded by superpulpsicle · · Score: 1

    OMG There are so many people siding with Bush on this post. Do you not find it ironic that these "happy data" are flying out at the time of the republican convention.

    It's the same thing when Regan kept the prisoner CIA agent in jail until election time. Bang, all of a sudden he's found and Regan is a hero. Woohoo, everyone vote for him again. Conspiracy 101... it's pretty weak.

  103. arnold says: by Talonator · · Score: 0

    criticizing the economy? You economic girlie-man!

  104. I got a raise this year, and hopefully another one by boy_afraid · · Score: 0

    Yes, I'm contractor. I've been sure and steady at my current project. I've seen two guys come and go in this one year (yes, which I know is nothing to write home about), but they want stable dependable people where I work. I do my work, I do it good, and it doesn't break. Therefore I'm rewarded with a raise. I'm in the middle of trying to get my second raise for this year, but I'm not counting on hit since I've already had one this year already and I hear about people getting canned left and right, but I'm in a position that they need me. I'm doing the work of two people and they LOVE ME! THEY REALLY, REALLY, LOVE ME!

  105. Not true. by twitter · · Score: 1
    The shift in the US from manufacturing to service jobs has been going on since the 1950's...the same thing is happening in every other developed country that has made it past the agricultural and industrial phases.

    Manufacturing in the US did not start declining until 1975 or so. Service sector jobs may have been increasing too, but the bad news started in the mid 70s.

    --

    Friends don't help friends install M$ junk.

    1. Re:Not true. by TheSync · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Manufacturing in the US did not start declining until 1975 or so. Service sector jobs may have been increasing too, but the bad news started in the mid 70s.

      Please don't be ignorant. In 1950, manufacturing jobs were 30% of the US workforce. By 1975, it was 23%. Now it is 11%.

      During that time, manufacturing has consistantly been around 15-20% of US GDP, due to increasing working productivity.

  106. Re:Quick picture - longer version by garyisabusyguy · · Score: 1

    Sure, boo hoo why feel sorry for the ex-dotcommie. I got a lot of that, especially from HR folk and interviewing managers.

    The fact of the matter is that I gave enough of a rats ass to see the value of relational databases and unix networks 16 years ago. When 99.99% of the world was happy to buy a dead tree book and use snailmail I was on my first .gov email address, owning root and learning how do to data modeling.

    I actually 'got it' when gopher was still the coolest way to browse the waves of text and Archie was a decent way to do searches.

    So, I got lucky and the rest of the world got a massive hard on over the internet. Next thing you know I'm jed clampett and people are throwing money at my feet to babysit rooms full of servers and bounce the occasional database... riiigghhtt

    I worked my freakin ass off for 12 damn years and at the peak I was a project manager for a dot com incubator bankrolled by a major telecom. All of it without a fancy schmanzy deegree or nuttin.

    And what do I get at the end of it? Stock that ain't worth 100th of what it once was and a bunch of semi-envious onlookers just waiting for me to hit bottom.

    It's been one hell of a 'learning experience' and I for one have learned an awful lot about it.

    Quick lesson... (bad side first)Companies do not give a rats ass about the well being of their employees, co-workers will not pause one second before knifing you in the back and the only person that you can really depend on is YOURSELF!

    Oh yeah, on the good side... There are actually some decent people in this world (and I appreciate the hell out of them) there is no better learning experience than humility, and all of that technology that I have hard-wired into my being has become the life blood of the society that we live in.

    Cheers!

    p.s. if you are not spending time bettering yourself, then you might as well dig a shallow grave and lay down in it.

    --
    Wherever You Go, There You Are
  107. You should watch it again... by SuperKendall · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Really, I found Office Space really stupid and unfunny the first time I watched it.

    But for some reason, it grew and grew on me... eventually I was forced to watch it again and loved it. Very odd. I think it was because of the prophetic qualities it offered, sort of like Hollywood went into a deep trance and suddenly offered a vision of the future in-between action movies.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  108. Well... by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    If it's an Aeron, it might at least be worth an attempt to hose off... :-)

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  109. well, depends how you define "win" by JimmytheGeek · · Score: 0

    Opec failed to hold the line on prices, the economy adjusted. Reagan reaped the benefit. It's interesting that you mention Carternomics, and say nothing about Fordnomics, (those "WIN" buttons sure squeezed the inflation out of the system!) or the wage&price freeze of Nixon. Or the voodoo econ of Reagan. It was just like the Vice-Toady Bush the Elder said, until he felt compelled to scrap his principles for a job. I will grant that the fantasist Reagan did have a distant, but existant relationship with reality in that he raised taxes when his experiment busted the budget.

    And I know there's not much point in this discussion, but:

    if you decide that the winner is whoever the referee says it is, then you are right, Bush won. Katherine Harris and Jeb Bush, followed by the Supreme Court, said W. won.

    if you feel that whoever received the most legal votes under Florida and Federal law won, then Gore won Florida by thousands of votes. It took a finely tuned machine to exclude enough Democratic votes while admitting Republican votes under the same criteria.

    W took office, gotta grant that. Sure helped that his brother was in charge of the vote count, though, din't it!

    It's interesting to see what happens to Republican rioters interfering with the democratic process, and compare it to the treatment of center/left-of-center demonstrators who are participating in the democratic process. The thugs sent by DeLay to stop the vote count are not even questioned, much less detained. Try to exercise free speech in Manhattan this week - and no, it doesn't count if you are limited to a free-speech pen.

    1. Re:well, depends how you define "win" by nsayer · · Score: 1
      if you feel that whoever received the most legal votes under Florida and Federal law won, then Gore won Florida by thousands of votes. It took a finely tuned machine to exclude enough Democratic votes while admitting Republican votes under the same criteria.

      I call "Bullshit" on that.

      There was an in depth, independent review of the Florida election after the Supreme Court ruling. Its results may not have reached through the coocoon of bullshit conspiracy hearings that you keep around you. The Chicago Tribune said it best: "The study does not support charges that the U.S. Supreme Court's decision to halt recounts altered the course of history."

      Read the article (use bugmenot.com if the registration requirements offend you). If Gore had gotten his way he still would have lost. If Bush had truly gotten his way, he would have lost.

    2. Re:well, depends how you define "win" by JimmytheGeek · · Score: 1

      That's funny, the Miami Herald, NYTimes, and other sponsors of the election post-mortem, concluded the opposite. It was spun the other way in the ra-ra atmosphere of 9/11, but that was the plain conclusion. The headlines were along the lines of "Bush would have won recount", but the stories don't support the headlines. As you may know, headline writers are generally not the ones who write the articles.

      The Gore strategy of only recounting undervotes was not a winner. But a ballot where someone punches the wrong button, then writes in "I actually meant candidate 'foo' " is a legal vote for Foo.

      Even Drudge reports Gore would have narrowly won.
      http://www.drudgereport.com/mattv.htm

      NYTimes: "An approach Mr. Gore and his lawyers rejected as impractical -- a statewide recount -- could have produced enough votes to tilt the election his way, no matter what standard was chosen to judge voter intent."

  110. They may match an offer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    My company claims to pay "market rates", but the only way to prove your market rate is higher is to get an offer from somewhere else. Then they have no problem matching it.

    Of course forcing people to get other offers may not be the best retention method...

    1. Re:They may match an offer by LookSharp · · Score: 1

      Of course forcing people to get other offers may not be the best retention method...

      Agreed, and thanks. If you go to your boss and try to justify a raise, and they tell you either they can't afford it, or you're not worth it... and you go somewhere else and get a better offer... what are you supposed to think when they can suddenly match it?

      They lied to you? As my mentor told me, "It's one tactic tehy can use... not a good one, but they can and do use it."

  111. I think you're romanticizing a bit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Then again, so am I. It's pretty well established that in most environments, paleolithic hunter/gatherers (e.g. the !Kung in the Kalahari) work maybe 20-30 hours/week. This is not true above the Arctic Circle, of course, nor does it appear ever to have been true anywhere near it. Nothing's ever as cut and dried (that's "dried", not "dry"; please master your own native language before bragging about how you're smarter than your coworkers) as it looks on Slashdot.


    At least with the bear, there's no stressful bullshit to deal with, just one angry bear that might eat you.

    Dealing with angry bears is not stressful? And it's also not stressful that a bear may show up at any time? You don't necessarily get to pick when you fight the bear. This has been said before, but in most of the world "modern anxiety" has replaced stark terror, not some kind of nobly savage inner peace.

    And once the bear's dead, you'll have to deal with tribal "office politics" where everybody in the tribe thinks he deserves a bigger share of the meat, and a week later you find out that Gak's been telling everybody he really killed the bear and you just stood around watching -- which is bullshit, but half the tribe believes him. Human assholery is not a modern phenomenon.


    ...subjective analysis...

    No such thing.


    None of that really matters anyway. You missed my point. Perhaps I didn't make it clear enough. What you're doing is not analogous to killing a bear; it's analogous to letting the bear live in your cave, and just fending it off a bit with a sharp stick when it eats too much of your food. KILL THE FUCKING BEAR ALREADY.

    In other words: You don't like being rained on? Then come in out of the rain.

    As far as I can see, you are simply unable to imagine really taking charge of your own life. Can't find a better job in your field? Fuck it, find a new field. Take charge. I know it's not easy, but is it any worse than the way things are now? The importance of your caveman ancestors is that they were the cavemen who survived and bred when others didn't. They competed successfully in difficult conditions, and they had nobody to rely on but themselves and their immediate family. Modern people get used to the idea that if something goes wrong, some higher power will give a damn. Cavemen never had that. If they fucked up, they died, and nobody gave a rat's ass. They thrived anyway. These people were not helpless, and they were your ancestors. Therefore, you need not be helpless either.

    You get props for trying to do your job well, but that's wasted effort, right? You're waiting for some higher power to give a damn, and you're in despair because none does. So don't do that. Put your energy someplace where it'll do you some good.

    I know perfectly well that you may be in a situation where it is not, in fact, possible to improve things: Say you're working at the only employer in town and you can't leave town because you have to care for your aging and bedfast widowed mother or whatever. That would suck. But most people are a hell of a lot more free to pick up and leave than they think they are. I've done it. Best decision of my life. The devil you know seems less intimidating than the devil you don't know, but that may very well be an illusion, and there's only one way to find out.

    Money is still moving through the economy. You can find a better way to grab some as it passes by. What have you got to lose?

  112. Re:Your paleolithic ancestors are lauhing fit to b by hesiod · · Score: 1

    > No room for good honest hard work, not a single good and decent manager to be found anywhere.

    Obviously, I have no idea who you are, where you live, or where you have worked, but my first suggestion is to look for jobs that aren't inside cities. If you go to a smaller town, the management are generally less asshole-ish. Of course, you'll get lower pay, but you won't be forced to spend 2 grand a month for an apartment or mortgage.

    > At least with the bear, there's no stressful bullshit to deal with

    Nope, no bullshit. But watch out for bearshit, because you might slip & fall -- in a battle to the death, you don't want that happening. Also, if you are caught by surprise by the bear, there might soon be humanshit. Right in your pants.

  113. Bush bashing ? that's just a realistic conclusion. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Bush bashing"... ?

    Only an idiot who is disconnected from reality wouldn't be interested in Bush spending very little more time as president.

    The foreign policy of the current administration will cause every
    US citizen to be in greater danger, and please don't waste electrons disagreeing, because you would be wrong.

    I must say, it is depressing to know that close to 50% of the American public are complete suckers and idiots ( these are the
    people who think Bush has any business being president ).

    Daniel Ellsberg did graduate work which involved game theory, and one of the conclusions of Ellesberg's work was that people will continue to believe what they WANT to believe, even after they are presented with FACTS which run counter to their beliefs.

    People who would support Bush at this juncture are absolutely in the "don't confuse me with facts" group.

    As for me, if Bush gets elected ( you'll notice I didn't say re-elected ) I am moving the hell out of the US, which will only become more of a police state than it already is.

    I am American, and I am ashamed and frightened more of those who would "save us".

    Bush is a goddamned liar, and a puppet for the multi-nationals who have so much to gain by his "policies".

    That's all for now, because I feel sick even thinking about such scum.

  114. Re:Bush bashing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    good riddance.

    I don't want to see a /. post Bush bashing or Kerry bashing

  115. Re:involuntary turnover by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Need some reading comprehension courses? The parent was asking about INvoluntary.

  116. link for quote: by JimmytheGeek · · Score: 1

    http://www.nytimes.com/2001/11/12/politics/12VOTE. html?ex=1094270400&en=69aeb3734cc007ee&ei=5070

    Note that 680 late ballots favoring Bush were counted. Gore didn't challenge these were largely from military voters. You don't see that kind of scruple from the Bushies, who OPPOSED the counting of late, overseas, largely military ballots headed to Democratic-leaning counties.

    "If all the ballots had been reviewed under any of seven single standards, and combined with the results of an examination of overvotes, Mr. Gore would have won, by a very narrow margin. For example, using the most permissive "dimpled chad" standard, nearly 25,000 additional votes would have been reaped, yielding 644 net new votes for Mr. Gore and giving him a 107-vote victory margin."

    The article says that election officials would not have uniformly applied any of the 7, so the most perfect recount - which I define not by the result, as the Supreme Court did, but as the most consistent effort to determine the expressed intent of the voter - would not have happened.

  117. H1b... by hlh_nospam · · Score: 1

    I'm a US citizen, but my last contract was with an H1b sweatshop, as the token citizen they have to hire to look like they really hire citizens (in a city with over 5000 unemployed programmers at least as qualified as I am, I was one of *3* citizens in a group of over 150 H1b's). I was there on a Friday evening about 5:15, when the supervisor came in and announced that there would be a mandantory staff meeting at 7:00 that evening. This sort of thing was fairly common, because the H1b slaves, er, contractors, knew that if they didn't submit to this sort of arbitrary abuse, they would be on their ways back to their home countries immediately. Most of them routinely put in more than 12 hours/day.

    My reply, in front of all the slaves, er, H1b's, was, "If you want me to be present at a staff meeting, you can schedule it during working hours." Then I left, amid several gasps.

    The next Monday, I emailed my supervisor, and his supervisor, a excerpt from the employee manual, which outlined the official working hours (8-5, M-F) At that point, I also quit putting in *any* 'casual' overtime (they explicitly refused to pay overtime on my contract).

    It took them about 3 more weeks, but I could see they were carefully "documenting" reasons to fire me. After all, I was setting a really bad example for the serfs, er, 'guest' workers. But since I wasn't an H1b, they had to go to a lot more trouble to get rid of me. They started assigning me tasks that could not possibly be completed in normal 40-hour weeks, and then documenting my "lack of performance".

    I quit. There are situations that I just find too sickening to tolerate, and this is one of them.

    The company is a "well known telecom company" located in Irving, TX.

    If you are coming to the US to work with an H1b visa, that's what you have to look forward to. Be sure to line up at least 3 roommates, so that you can afford to get an apartment walking distance from the job, because you won't be making enough money to afford the use of an automobile -- the 'good' salary they quoted you is not going to be quite as good as you expected. And the walk needs to be a short one, because you will be spending 12 to 15 hours/day at the job.

    I'm now selling insurance for a living. Programming is going to be a McJob by the end of this decade, thanks in large part to US government policies that encourage the abuse of H1b workers.