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Competition to Build the Space Shuttle's Successor

Neil Halelamien writes "The competition for the prime contract to build the Crew Exploration Vehicle, the successor to the Space Shuttle, is ramping up. Currently, 11 different companies are creating preliminary designs for systems and vehicles which could be useful in implementing NASA's Vision for Space Exploration. By the end of the year, NASA will select two teams to independently develop and build a CEV design. The two teams will launch competing unmanned prototypes in 2008, at which point NASA will award a final winning contract. Aerospace giants Boeing and Northrop Grumman have formed one team. Another "all-star" team, announced a couple of days ago, is headed by Lockheed Martin. A third team in the running is underdog t/Space, a company with a free enterprise approach to space exploration, which includes notable figures from the commercial spaceflight arena, such as Burt Rutan and Gary Hudson. There is concern that a NASA budget boost to help pay for the exploration program could draw some opposition, as most other government programs are anticipating budget cuts."

345 comments

  1. Well well well by bozer82 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Here's rooting for the underdog. I think in an area of this magnitude it's good to see that there is something out there worth rooting for, rather than pretending that they can "rescue" people in case (for example) NASA pulls another "blow up on re-entry". Which I think is total bullshit.

    --
    Hardware components for sale!!!
    1. Re:Well well well by The_Mr_Flibble · · Score: 2, Insightful

      No doubt the underdog will come up with a far cheaper design that would save Nasa millions, however how many congresional panels will the underdogs be able to control to win this ?

    2. Re:Well well well by bozer82 · · Score: 1

      Good question, they'll have to jump hurdles in order to get over the clear "favorite" that is NASA. Realistically though, if they aren't given the opportunity, I think they'll still make an attempt on their level.

      --
      Hardware components for sale!!!
    3. Re:Well well well by NeuroAcid · · Score: 1

      If a small unknown company can successfully make a useable, safe, reliable CEV, I highly doubt they would want to "sell" it to our government. They would just use it themselves and make billions in the process. If, however, a small unknown company successfully makes a somewhat useable, not all that safe, piece of junk, then yes, they would jump all the hurdles they can to sell it to the idiots currently defiling the once proud position of public servant.

      --
      "I don't need drugs to enjoy this, just to enhance it" - Otto
    4. Re:Well well well by Dashing+Leech · · Score: 3, Insightful
      "No doubt the underdog will come up with a far cheaper design that would save Nasa millions"

      Cheap only accounts for one small criterion in the selection. I would imagine that experience would be of far greater importance. Not that the underdog shouldn't win, or doesn't have any experience, but if you were hiring someone to manage a critical huge project for your company would you hire somebody with 20 years experience doing this type of work or a new kid out of school who built a toy model of what you need for a science fair?

    5. Re:Well well well by Firethorn · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Depends. Did he win the competition, including safety benchmarks?

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    6. Re:Well well well by Rei · · Score: 1

      Instead of rooting for the underdog, I'm going to root for a company that can actually get it done.

      Would you trust your heart surgery to someone whose only experience was fixing a damaged blood vessel on a mouse (but charged less!), or would you take the surgeon who has conducted hundreds of real heart surgeries on people (but charges more)?

      Rutan has not done any *real* spacework. Every design choice he made was for simplicity over scalability. An epoxy skin (can't scale due to increased heat to dissipate, and scalable methods are not only far harder to do, but completely different construction methods). A low ISP/high tank mass engine (can't scale due to the inherent low ISP and high tank mass; real scalable engines are far more complex beasts - even the relatively simple Russian kerosene engines make SS1's engine look like a McDonalds happy meal prize). Etc.

      Why? Because he didn't have the budget nor, especially, the experience in working with more advanced methods.

      Now we want this person - the equivalent of our example "mouse repair surgeon" - to be performing "heart surgery" on the entire US manned space program? I'm rooting for the "overdog", thank you. I want a craft that works.

      --
      Freeze Ray. Tell your friends.
    7. Re:Well well well by dual_boot_brain · · Score: 1

      You have a very valid concern. My concern is that if you give it to the big boys it won't get done. Not because they can't do it, but because they run so far over budget that the project is simply killed. Why do I think they will run over budget? Defense budget is about to get squeezed hard, which means projects will be cut, which means engineers will be laid-off and managers (with the higher overhead) will be shuffled into "live" programs. This will be a live program. Managers with experience in areas such as tactical communcations will now be added to bloat the command structure of teams dealing with flight control (hey control, communication they're almost the same thing) and since they are managers and completely out of their element they will feel the need to piss on something to mark their territory. Schedule slip, budget slip, next step cancellation. On top of that add the almost criminal tendency of business development drones to over promise capability and "under promise" cost and schedule and you have a recipe for complete failure. I know I sound pessemistic; however, after 5 years as a software engineer working for one of the big boys and now one of the smaller def. contractors I prefer to think of myself as a realist. My proposal, let the underdog be the Prime and sub out the component systems to the contractors (defence and otherwise, US and otherwise) who are the best in that particular field. This endevor should not be used as corporate welfare to keep otherwise unemployable managers employed.

      --
      There is no reset button in life; however, there are bonus levels.
    8. Re:Well well well by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And you can tell us which of the three entities being discussed actually flew a human into space during 2004?

      Hint: Neither Boeing nor LockMart did...

    9. Re:Well well well by lgw · · Score: 1

      OK, but what space "craft that works" can you point to from outfits like Lockheed or Boeing for the past 20 years? We spent quite a bit on X-plane development that never produced results.

      Rutan's a piker, but there must be some mid-sized players out there, capable with real projects, who might become the next Lockheed and actually deliver results for a decade or two.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    10. Re:Well well well by Rei · · Score: 1

      Lockheed:
      Many, many satellites and satellite systems (including propulsion for stationkeeping), including Hubble
      Many rocket engines, both for spacecraft and weaponry
      Various ballistic missiles (and anti-ballistic missiles)
      A few large-scale rocket boosters
      The Athena series of rockets (private)
      The Atlas series of rockets
      The L-1011 used with the Pegasus rocket
      Tons and tons of experience with craft interacting with the atmosphere and advanced materials work (these are the people who brought us aircraft like the Blackbird)
      A whole lot more that I don't have time to dig up; I've probably missed a half dozen rockets.

      Boeing:
      Lots of satellites
      Lots of missiles and rocket engines
      Taurus rocket (contracted to Orbital)
      The Delta series of rockets
      All sorts of advanced materials and components.
      I spent even less time looking up Boeing craft than Lockheed, so I'm probably missing a lot more. They get more astronautix hits than Lockheed - I've probably missed a dozen or so

      Summary: If you don't know something, don't assume that your guess is right. Look it up.

      --
      Freeze Ray. Tell your friends.
    11. Re:Well well well by lgw · · Score: 1

      Summary: If you don't know something, don't assume that your guess is right. Look it up.

      You seem to like to assume people are idiots Rei, or at least that anyone critical of the space program is an idiot. :) Some people understand how hard rocket science is, and are still critical of the current players. But you missed my point (or maybe I was unclear): how much of that is new technology, invented within the last 20 years. The Blackbird was a long time ago.

      The Delta IV and IV-heavy were good engineering, and Lockheed presumably has some neat military stuff I can't find out about, but all I see are engineering refinements of 60's tech.

      Now, I like the idea of using refined 60's tech to make a robust modern rocket, but I wouldn't want one of these guys to be the general contractor. The various space-plane research efforts of the past 20 years have all been disappointments. It's time to give someone else a chance to be a visionary.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    12. Re:Well well well by Rei · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You asked for craft that works. I delievered. You now accept that they do have craft that works in the past 20 years - lots of them. Right? I rest my case.

      Delta IV-heavy is a great craft. Its cost per kilogram is amazing for a rocket built in a first-world nation. The atlas series shouldn't underestimated either. In short, Boeing and Lockheed *have* been doing good work in the past 20 years. You have no right to pretend that they haven't (not that Delta and Atlas have been their only projects - far from it).

      Most of these companies' work is military. They've designed more rockets than you can shake a stick at in the past 20 years.

      I only mentioned blackbird to show what their materials and engine tech was like decades ago. In 20 years, we'll get declassified as to what sort of materials and engine tech they're using now. These companies do excellent materials engineering work that a small startup couldn't even dream of because they don't have the infrastructure.

      How much is "new tech", "invented in the last 20 years"? The vast majority of their core rocket series. The engines used by both the Delta and Atlas rocket series' didn't even exist back then.

      Perhaps you mean on a more fundamental level - say, the component level? Mostly new there. The alloys, coatings and other materials used many engine parts didn't even exist back then. Just the other day I was reading about a cheap nozzle throat that Lockheed patented made of a ceramic that has shown almost zero erosion - a critial step in lowering engine maintainence. They just cast it and fit it - a whole lot easier than carbon-carbon.

      Just because you see a column of flame belching out of the back of an engine doesn't mean that what's "under the hood" is at all the same. Modern engines far outperform their 1960s counterparts. Modern propellant tanks (which more and more are based on lightweight alloys, such as lithium-aluminum) also far outperform their 1960s counterparts.

      I mean, seriously, what do you want - nuclear powered rockets? What will it take for you to call something new?

      --
      Freeze Ray. Tell your friends.
    13. Re:Well well well by jav1231 · · Score: 2, Funny

      "Pulls another?" You, Sir, are at best stupid. The fact that we hadn't had such a disaster up until that point, given the number of missions run, is quite a feat! Let me spell it out for you: WE'RE TAKING TONS OF STEEL, METAL, PLASTIC, AND OTHER MATERIALS, STRAPPING IT TO A HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE CAPSULE, FILLING IT WITH HUMANS AND SHOOTING IT INTO SPACE! Get it? SHOOTING IT INTO SPACE! ...INTO SPACE!...not over to Japan, not from New York to L.A.....INTO SPACE! And we've done this at least A HUNDRED TIMES! ......A HUNDRED! ....INTO SPACE! This isn't you on your skate board doing rim-spins in an empty swimming pool. This is LAUNCHING HUMANS INTO SPACE! Now go rest and be glad heartbeats and breathing are involuntary impulses.

    14. Re:Well well well by lgw · · Score: 1

      I think we're talking past each other. The big names do fine engineering work - stipulated. I'm just pointing out that recent attempts at revolutionary designs have been disappointing. None of the spaceplane approaches have worked out, for example, and most of the recent improvements have been basically "better parts that fit in the same place in the same machine".

      Great incremental refinement, but I wouldn't turn to these guys for a new vision of how to get to space, as they have a long history of expensive boondoggles when asked for a new vision. That's not really surprising, given where the likely returns on investment would be.

      I'm hoping there's a mid-sized player out there, someone who could bet the company on something as radical as a spaceplane or nuclear rocket (sigh, if only) and actually carry it off, becoming the next Boeing or Lockheed. I'm not sure who's in the huge gap between the big established players and the rich hobbyists, however; maybe there just isn't anyone.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    15. Re:Well well well by Walkingshark · · Score: 0

      I'd like to strap your capslock key to a highly explosive capsule and shoot it into space... :)

      --
      The world you experience is only a close approximation of reality.
    16. Re:Well well well by jav1231 · · Score: 1

      Yeah...I was a bit outside with that one. But hey, it was more for him...the slow one. :)

    17. Re:Well well well by Retric · · Score: 1

      We don't need "something as radical as a spaceplane or nuclear rocket" We need a system to safely and cheeply move people into space. Just make a shuttle 10% of it's old size and we will save a TUN of money. The whole idea that your shuttle system should take up cargo is a huge waste. Just dock in space with whatever you want them to work with and you can use rockets which are a lot cheeper to move stuff into orbit than any space plane.

  2. Enough with the links already... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    At a certain point it becomes counter-productive. Just tell me which one to click on to get the article.

    1. Re:Enough with the links already... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Hello Citizen. We apologize for causing you confusion. Please click on The Link and do not worry yourself with choices.

    2. Re:Enough with the links already... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      It's about time someone told me what to do - I almost had to think for myself.

    3. Re:Enough with the links already... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Some web designers consider it bad form to have links that read "click _here_ for so-and-so."

      I use Slashdot as a counterexample. Lots of links that take hover-and-look-at-the-status-line and guesswork to figure out what they actually do.

      Sometimes it is OK to label a GUI button or a link so clearly that the non-guru-level user doesn't have to try it to see.

    4. Re:Enough with the links already... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is really quite obvious which link refers to the main article.

      Perhaps you are underdosed on caffeine.

    5. Re:Enough with the links already... by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      Sorry about that. I guess part of the problem is that my submission wasn't really concerned with a single article per se. Rather, there were a number of different things related to the CEV which have happened over the past few months, none of which had been reported on slashdot.

      I think I've also been spending too much time on Wikipedia, and have thus gotten quite link-happy.

    6. Re:Enough with the links already... by danila · · Score: 1

      Funny post and a nice link as well. But some quotes show that a good communist should not just accept the "one and only truth" not bothering about thinking and making choices. Real good communists are different. In fact, real communists are usually the best people that you can find.

      "Our Party members differ in quality because they differ in social background and have come under different social influences. They differ in their attitude, stand and comprehension in relation to the revolutionary practice, and consequently they develop in different directions in the course of revolutionary practice."

      "Discover the truth through practice, and again through practice verify and develop the truth. Start from perceptual knowledge and actively develop it into rational knowledge; then start from rational knowledge and actively guide revolutionary practice to change both the subjective and the objective world. Practice, knowledge, again practice and again knowledge. This form repeats itself in endless cycles, and with each cycle the content the content of practice and knowledge rises to a higher level."

      --
      Future Wiki -- If you don't think about the future, you cannot have one.
  3. Common sense prevails at last! by Illserve · · Score: 3, Insightful

    "However, it is likely that the CEV will follow the module and capsule design principles used in the Apollo, Gemini, Soyuz and Shenzhou systems, instead of the reusable spaceplane design principle used in the space shuttle system"

    Hoo-ray for NASA! There's hope for them yet.

    1. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      As I understand it, the reason you can't use anything similar to SpaceShipOne for orbital missions is the weight of the heat shielding. But a capsule like this still has to carry that shielding up to orbit, right?

      I don't really see why a spaceplane design is out of the question. The shuttle was hugely complex compared to SpaceShipOne. Couldn't a more modern design of the shuttle still be useful?

    2. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by meringuoid · · Score: 4, Interesting
      I don't really see why a spaceplane design is out of the question. The shuttle was hugely complex compared to SpaceShipOne. Couldn't a more modern design of the shuttle still be useful?

      The trouble with a spaceplane is its inefficiency. Too much of the energy expended in a Shuttle launch goes to carry the orbiter's main engines, wings and other structure into orbit. If you could leave those off, with a capsule design, you could either save a whole lot of fuel and get a cheaper launch, or use the same amount of fuel and carry a much larger payload.

      The idea behind the Shuttle was that the engines were worth keeping, and reusing them could save money. Apollo used to drop its main engines into the sea... But it turns out that there are plenty of factories on Earth capable of producing rocket engines very cheaply, so that economy didn't really work out.

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
    3. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by CrazyTalk · · Score: 1

      Hoo-ray? In a sense it seems like a giant step backwards to 1960s technology. That may be fine for retro looking cars, but not space vehicles. Whatever happened to NASP (National Aerospace Plane) and all the high-tech and, more importantly, affordable to orbit vehicles that were under development before the rampant budget cuts?

    4. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by LiquidCoooled · · Score: 3, Funny

      The NASP is still in pre-production, and will be ready soon.
      Right now, if you purchase a flying car, you get a voucher for a ticket on one of them, and also a preview beta version of Duke Nukem as well :)

      --
      liqbase :: faster than paper
    5. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by OwnedByTwoCats · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The shuttle had a mission: drive the cost of getting to Low Earth Orbit down by reusing the vehicle. To be a "space truck". At that, it failed miserably.

      The mission for the CEV, "to boost national security by providing a presence in space" is so bland, so wishy-washy, so unmeasurable, that there will never be an accounting.

      Oh, and Bush says we need to hack $300 Billion out of the budget to cut the deficit in half without raising taxes or undoing his precioussss tax cuts. Oh, and Defense is excluded. How big is the discretionary, non-defense budget? $440.9 Billion.

    6. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by essreenim · · Score: 1, Interesting
      The trouble with a spaceplane is its inefficiency.

      Spoken like a true Nasa zealot. It took the guys at Scaled composites to show you that they could build a cheap light, ingenious low-earth-orbit vehicle and launch it cheaply from its mother plane.

      Sadly, it seems that once again it will take private venture to show us that a highly efficient fully fledged orbital insertion space plane is doable, and at a much cheaper cost than anything Nasa could come up with.

      And less complex than the space shuttle??? The space shuttle may be complex but it's just a big rocket propelled glider. Space Ship One utilises a far more complex design princple. It does much much more with far less..

    7. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by leinhos · · Score: 1

      It seems that the practical physics of the NASP made it impractical. See this for a good history of the NASP. In most cases, the "spaceplane" concept is driven by 1950s science fiction, rather than actual science.

    8. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by JQuick · · Score: 1

      Hypersonic air breathing vehicles are not viable in the short term. Scram jets, for instance, in small prototype vehicles have burn times measured in seconds not minutes.

      With the demise of the shuttle, relying on exotic technologies is a bad plan. We need simple, reliable tech as soon as possible. Space planes are not the answer to that.

    9. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by stevelinton · · Score: 4, Informative

      SpaceShipOne was NOT an LEO vehicle. It got to 100km, which is the easy part
      but didn't make any attempt to get to orbital velocity, which is what takes most of the fuel, and imposes most of the mass restrictions. Boosting a set of wings and an undercarriage up to orbital velocity just so you can slow them down again and then land on a runway consumes an insane amount of fuel for too little purpose. Until we find a lauch fuel significantly more energy dense than LH2 and LO2 then the dry mass cost of wings and wheels will always be too high.

      The Scaled Composites people are involved in one of the bids and they are not proposing a space plane.

    10. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Fred_A · · Score: 3, Funny

      Actually, work is underway on a design that makes do without engines alltogether. This reduces cost dramatically since the payload is now mostly the crew.

      You can see images of preliminary crew training here.

      --

      May contain traces of nut.
      Made from the freshest electrons.
    11. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Illserve · · Score: 2, Interesting

      A capsule has a much smaller reentry profile, accordingly it needs to protect a much smaller area. Hence a much smaller amount of heat shielding is required.

      Further, a Capsule falling through atmosphere is kept in the proper orientation through simple newtonian mechanics, it requires no gadgetry to keep it stable, unlike a spaceplane, which is an inherently unstable reentry vehicle.

      The capsule is the way to go for cheap and reliable missions.

    12. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by TheGavster · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The reason that the shuttle was inefficient is that it was designed to land without crossing the Soviet Union, not because spaceplanes in general are inefficient. You can make it rather better if you allow for a longer glide path.

      --
      "Because Science" is one step from "Because old book". Try "Because of my experiment testing my falsifiable assertion".
    13. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1
      Space Ship One utilises a far more complex design princple. It does much much more with far less..
      No, you made a typo there. Space Ship One does much much less with far less.

      It doesn't get into orbit.

      What use are wings in space?

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    14. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 5, Insightful
      It took the guys at Scaled composites to show you that they could build a cheap light, ingenious low-earth-orbit vehicle and launch it cheaply from its mother plane.

      From an energy standpoint, Space Ship One only got 3% of the way to low-earth-orbit. They still have 97% more work to do. It design is totally unsuitable for going into or out of orbit; at hypersonic speeds it would snap apart like a toothpick an burn up. Scaled Composites is basically at square one with respect to an orbital vehicle.

    15. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Illserve · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Whatever happened to NASP (National Aerospace Plane) and all the high-tech and, more importantly, affordable to orbit vehicles that were under development before the rampant budget cuts?

      Hopefully those designs have been put in the circular file drawer where they belong. 100 years from now, our fascination with space-planes will be seen as a great folly of the later 1900's.

      Capsules are a superior re-entry vehicle in every way, and cheaper too, when you factor in maintenance costs on reusable space vehicles (with the exception of the suborbital "toys" that we hear so much about, but they won't get huge wings into LEO and back again cheaply).

      NASA knew this simple truth back in the day when they were the crackinest aerospace research agency in the world. They had blank checks for designing ugly but functional space vehicles and boy did they. Aesthetics didn't enter to into the design of the capsule and LEM then, and shouldn't now.

    16. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by essreenim · · Score: 0
      It's got my vote ;)

    17. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hypersonic air breathing vehicles are not viable in the short term. Scram jets, for instance, in small prototype vehicles have burn times measured in seconds not minutes.

      With the demise of the shuttle, relying on exotic technologies is a bad plan. We need simple, reliable tech as soon as possible. Space planes are not the answer to that.


      AFAIK, that is because the only functional scramjets are in the technology demonstration vechicles that NASA and the U.S.A.F. developed. These are concept testbeds that are just a little larger than the remote control airplanes hobbiests fly, so they don't have much volume for fuel storage. The limitation is not inheirent in the technology, just the current applications of it.

      However, I do agree that it might be a little early to try an use them as part of an orbital vehicle. After all, NASA just got one to do hypersonic (greater than Mach 5) speeds last September.

    18. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Radar+Guy · · Score: 4, Informative

      Whoa - how is this insightful? Not to nitpick too much, but to say "Defense is excluded" isn't entirely accurate. A quick google search of 'budget cuts defense department' returns this Washington Post article as the *first* hit. The short of it - $55 billion in cuts over 6 years (same timeframe as the $300 billion in cuts the parent mentions), including $5 billion from missile defense.

      That might not be a huge chunk of the $300 billion, but during time of war I'd say that's definately more than "excluding" the DoD.

    19. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Chanc_Gorkon · · Score: 1

      Hmm...they could even make the capsule concept reusable as well. Just make a big heatshield from the same material the shuttle uses.

      I think I read somewhere that the plane concept was picked because our astronauts did not like that they could NOT land the capsules. Back then, most astronauts were all US Air Force and Navy pilots. They probably still are, but now alot of these guys are much smarter then alot of the astronauts of old. Not that they old guys were dumb, it's just they wanted things a certain way. I think the astronaut core all realize that the plane is not the way to go right now unless new materials come out that make it work better then the shuttle and to make it less prone to failure. Longer glidepaths could help as well. Someone stated that the current shuttle was designed to avoid gliding over the Soviet Union. Well, now, they don't exist anymore. Plus now since the military does not use it any more (nor should they be able to co-opt this system), is there still a air of secrecy that needs to be kept? I doubt it.

      --

      Gorkman

    20. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by R.Caley · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Hoo-ray? In a sense it seems like a giant step backwards to 1960s technology.

      No, to 1960s design rather than technology. There is nothing wrong with this if the 1960s design turns out to still be the best anyone has come up with. You do the same kind of design with more modern technology and get the best available solution to the problem.

      Just because Buck Rogers had space planes, that doesn't mean they are actually the best engineering solution, silver jump suits are not practical streetwear either.

      Look at bridges, the fundamental designes of modern bridges are really nothing a Roman would be supprised by, it's the details of the technology applied to the basic designs which makes them better.

      --
      _O_
      .|<
      The named which can be named is not the true named
    21. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by CrazyTalk · · Score: 1

      Good comment, and I actually agree. My original post was partially meant to be flamebait, so I'm (pleasently) surprised at all of the insighful remarks!

    22. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by kokoloko · · Score: 1

      "With the cutbacks and additions, the Pentagon would trim $30 billion over the next six years from its original $89 billion defense buildup, according to the budget document, which was first reported in InsideDefense.com. The total military budget is still likely to exceed the 2005 level. At the same time, the White House is preparing an emergency spending bill to fund the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, and that could total between $80 billion and $100 billion, congressional defense aides say."

      The way I read that article, high-tech programs are being cut to fund infantry needs. Overall defense budget continues to grow, but just not as fast as originally planned. And this does not include all the emergency funding being used to fund the Iraq war.

    23. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Illserve · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Incorrect, spaceplanes are inefficient in general principle. The problem is the fuel required to lift those wings and flight control mechanisms into orbit. They do you no good in space, they are only used in re-entry, so why not use a design for which you get controlled reentry dynamics(ie keeping the heat shields down and the parachute port up) for free?

      Look at what you what you need for re-entry:

      Wings
      A hugely increased heat shield
      Flaps
      Hydraulic motors for flaps
      landing gear
      more hydraulics
      more sensors
      more wiring
      more computer control
      more everything

      The weight just spirals up and up until you have a fuel tank the size of the Good Year and achieve at best a moderately safe vehicle.

    24. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Loacher · · Score: 1

      I thougth I had seen the it's just a big rocket propelled glider argument before, but not on so many places, applied to so many ships. You unoriginal troll.

    25. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What the world needs then is an iShuttle. Functional AND sexy.

      Oh, I forgot, I would cost 6 times as much... but it would run OSX!

    26. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by essreenim · · Score: 1
      Spelling: I thought I had seen ...

      You unoriginal troller my Mexican dwelling friend.

    27. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by WhiplashII · · Score: 4, Interesting

      BTW, the real problem with a space plane is in the aerodynamics. To avoid superheating on reentry (compared to which the space shuttle would be freezing during renetry), all leading surfaces must be big round things. That's why the shuttle looks so un-sexy compared to fighter jets. The wings leading edges cannot be sharp - no known material would survive at 50,000 C. By making the leading edges round, they lower the temperature baring within range of Carbon-Carbon - but that makes the wing have a terrible L/D ratio. In addition, instead of a nice sleek body which could be lightweight, you now have a ponderous blob which must be reinforced at every point.

      Taking aerodynamics into consideration, the best design is really like a sphere. The closer you are to a sphere, the better. Apollo took a cone and made a good aproximation of a sphere. The shuttle takes an airplane and makes a bad approximation of a sphere. Lifting body designs look a lot more like a sphere, but soon we probably will know if they are close enough to a sphere.

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
    28. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'll bite...

      I don't know what is worse, my spelling or your grammar. I find your usage of Mexican, dwelling and friend in the same sentence interesting.

      Are you saying that a Mexican residence or living space is your friend? (Last Friday I had some beers with a Mexican Hacienda, to cheer up our Buddhist Temple friend, who had a bad case of the termites)

    29. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      multiple issues here - the shuttle was built to carry heavy payloads into orbit, as well as capture and service satellites and build a space station. It also has NASA mandated triple redundancy of all critical components which adds a lot of weight (is government work ever not done in triplicate?). I doubt SpaceShipOne had that. What's needed is two shuttle replacements - one space plane for hauling lighter payloads such as passengers and food and one space "truck" for hauling cargo and doing heavy maintenance and satellite retrieval/placement. The space plane should be able to reach orbit without expensive booster rockets (e.g use something like scramjet engines to get to sub-orbit and small onboard rockets to reach orbit).

      My understanding was the driving reason for the shuttle itself was rapid turnaround for re-use, ease of training since flying it is more like flying a plane, and heavy payload capacity (to launch spy satellites for the USAF). NASA had also planned for it to service and crew Skylab, which re-entered and disintigrated before the shuttle program went live (then planned for Skylab 2 and Freedom space stations, which never were built, though Freedom evolved eventually into the ISS).

    30. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by gstoddart · · Score: 1
      Actually, work is underway on a design that makes do without engines alltogether. This reduces cost dramatically since the payload is now mostly the crew.

      You can see images of preliminary crew training here [extremedreams.co.uk].


      Unfortunately, a C&D letter from one Wile E Coyote has been filed to prevent these people from infringing on his patents. Groklaw should have an analysis soon. :-P

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    31. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by essreenim · · Score: 1
      Are you saying that a Mexican residence or living space is your friend?

      Officially: A friend who lives in a Mexian dwelling (also known to you or I as a house.

      Unofficially: It was a typo. I meant Mexico dwelling friend.

      Be nice.

    32. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by demachina · · Score: 1

      "Hoo-ray for NASA! There's hope for them yet."

      Actually I don't think there is any hope for them. Note that its going to take them 3-4 years and billions of dollar just to develop an unmanned prototype of a capsule that probably wont differ a lot from ones flown 40 years ago. I assume the prototypes are launching on an existing modified rocket design. Its not going to be sitting on top of a Saturn V so I doubt its going to reach anything past LEO. So you will need either multiple launches or a whole new heavy lifter to get past LEO.

      So after unmanned launches in 2008 it will be some untold number of years after that before it becomes manned and operational. And then there all the undefined steps after that to to get to lunar orbit and build a vehicle that will land and take off from the moon, and lets not even think about Mars. And god forbid there is an accident or failure because NASA will go down for the count or least 2-3 years while the wring their hands over how DANGEROUS space flight is.

      And of course this all assume they can maintain the funding and I assure you pouring money in to Boeing and Lockheed's coffers is going to take buckets of money at every phase.

      The original submission was great about all the competitors and T/Space being in there but the key point is that there are only two slots in the competition. This is NASA, business as usual, things never change. One slot is for a Boeing led consortium and one is for Lockheed's. T/Space has zero chance of competing on their own. Either they bow out or they join one of the two big prime contractors. When they join a Boeing or Lockheed team any innovation the might want to try is probably going to have the life squeezed out of it. They will be lucky if they get to build the seat cushions or the toilet in the thing.

      I hope I'm wrong but NASA more closely resembles a Soviet era politburo than a lean mean space exploring machine. I'd give anything if we could do a one for one trade and give NASA to Russia and get the Russian Space Agency in return. If they has NASA's funding without developing its overhead and ineptitude they would do great things.

      I do dearly wish O'Keefe would get the hell out of the way and they appoint someone with some guts and some vision real soon. I saw him on the NASA channel last night doing the only thing he's done since Columbia, whining about how space flight is DANGEROUS and what a great thing it is even they are even launching the shuttle again because its so DANGEROUS. The guy is a morale destroying disaster all unto himself.

      Burt Rutan would do nicely to completely shake the NASA up but the entrenched bureaucracy would kill him before he could kill it. He absolutely hates red tape, bureaucracy, paper work etc. I really can't see any way he is going to be able to stand getting entangled in the CEV competition because it going to be nothing but red tape and political infighting.

      --
      @de_machina
    33. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by peragrin · · Score: 1

      The russian ship Barron(?) that was simlar to the shuttle didn't have the main engines that our shuttle does. As such it was a more stable glider becuase it wasn't as tail heavy.

      Use a shuttle design, just use external mounted primary thrusters that can be left behind. (aka Armageddon)The primary thrusters can be left in orbit and refueled. Save launch weight, make life easier on the moon.(more room, ability to carry larger objects) A series of primary rockets, left on the moon, and here in eath orbit, would make sure a way home is always had.

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    34. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They're not cutting the defense budget. They're cutting the rate of growth of new defense systems to further increase funding for the Army in its quagmire.

      The Army is already leaning heavily on other services, such as using Air Force airmen to drive convoys in the desert. At my wife's base they've gone to private contractors for gate security because most of their security forces have been deployed. Cross into the blue! Then guard a convoy in a desert for hours! Hooaahh!

    35. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      oh no! they shoud use plate-like geometries, as UFOs. That would be much more interesting :-P

    36. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Rei · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I disagree. Spaceplanes may be inherently inefficient *per mission* compared to a disposable capsule design, but if maintainance costs were lower, they would easily outshine capsules with disposable rockets.

      And maintainance doesn't *need* to be high. If the shuttle had the budget for its initial design plan (a titanium frame, no solid boosters), it never would have had any of the problems that it's had that led to high maintainence costs and its 2% failure rate.

      A couple of things about your list:

      * A hugely increased heat shield: Not really hugely increased. An optimal shape for reentry is a large, slowly curved surface, and the further from that shape, the larger amount of shielding you need for a given size and density. However, the shuttle manages relatively well given its size and density compared to what an equivalent capsule would be by turning its bottom side into the direction of incoming air.

      * Hydraulic motors for flaps: Not necessarily. Hydraulics in space are problematic because of temperature regulation (in the tanks, in the cylinders, in the lines, etc). However, it is possible to use electric actuators to replace them for most, if not all, tasks. Electric actuators are increasingly being used in high force tasks.

      However, the key issue is reusability. Reusable capsules have never really come into their own - they tend to have a pretty rough landing. The more payload return you want them to be able to bring back, the rougher it is.

      If one can get reusability without high maintainence, in any design, that truly is the holy grail of spacecraft design. :)

      --
      Freeze Ray. Tell your friends.
    37. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Rei · · Score: 1

      Still, the benefits of scramjets are really rather staggering when you look at the payload fraction that you get. I mean, assuming you use a 3:1 H2 to O2 ratio (you typically run hydrogen rich to reduce viscosity-related drag effects at the nozzle, and because you lower the molecular mass at the espense of heat, it doesn't cost you much in terms of raw thrust per amount of mass)), and you can now eliminate 2/3 of your O2 by using a scramjet, you've just cut your total propellant mass in half.

      However, by halving your propellant mass, you need less propellant and you can make a smaller craft - both of which further reduce the need for propellant (iterate ad infinitum)... You end up increasing your payload fraction 2-5 times over - an incredibly significant increase.

      Plus, unmanned craft have the potential for further significant cost decreases. It has already been demonstrated that you can fire functional scramjets that work from little more than their shape, from guns:

      http://www.arnold.af.mil/aedc/newsreleases/2001/ 20 01-287.htm
      http://www.arnold.af.mil/aedc/highmach /images/scra mjet.jpg

      HARP already demonstrated that payloads, even sensitive electronics, can be made to handle extreme accelerations. So, with such simple scramjets providing initial thrust, and small rockets for final thrust to make the orbit circular, one should be able to get crazy payload fractions.

      --
      Freeze Ray. Tell your friends.
    38. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Rei · · Score: 1

      From DefenseTech:

      Pentagon Cuts: Bogus?

      --
      Freeze Ray. Tell your friends.
    39. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by JJ · · Score: 1

      The shuttle had a mission: drive the cost of getting to Low Earth Orbit down by reusing the vehicle. To be a "space truck". At that, it failed miserably.

      It failed because it actually had two missions: a) provide a vehicle for moving people to LEO b) provide a "space truck" for hauling cargo to LEO. The two are frequently at odds and because both were required, the cost never came down.

      The new plans seperate these missions to a great degree thus freeing both from concerns over the other. If anything could actually lower the cost of LEO missions, this is it.

      An example of crossed concerns: safety. On a cargo hauling mission with no people aboard, safety comes down to not killing people on the ground and not killing people already in space. If one payload blows up, thats a loss, but hardly a devastating one. On a manned mission, you have to keep the crew alive.

      --
      So long and thanks for all the fish . . . !!!
    40. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by JQuick · · Score: 1

      Don't get me wrong, air breathing is the best approach for the long term. The majority of fuel and oxidizer for a launch from sea level to orbital velocity occurs within the atmosphere. Thus, reducing oxidizer payload is an enormous win.

      However, the current need is to have a man rated crew carrying vehicle on line in under a decade. Neither scramjets or new shuttle-like designs appear well suited to reach this immediate objective.

    41. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Sinical · · Score: 2, Informative

      That's not quite right.

      Of the $55 billion in cuts, they then redirect $25 billion to the Army (mostly for Iraq-type support stuff, I think).

      So it's $30 billion in cuts, which is still a decent amount. But I dunno how much of that will survive, since $18billion of that affects LockMart, and I have never ever seen political operators smoother than they. I'm not sure that Georgia's Congressional delegation will allow F-22 to be cut, and I'm sure some other (or the same) delegation will feel the same way about the C-130J, and the Virginia attack subs, and retiring the Kennedy carrier, etc.

      Those things employ a *lot* of people, and no wants to have to deal with that. Dunno. I think the Kennedy will go despite any objections from Florida (where its based), but that leaves the 4 remaining carriers based on the east coast all at Norfolk, so they'll try to steal one of those, but Warner (Virginia senator) is head of the Senate Armed Services Committee (I'm pretty sure), so how that could happen... Plus the Norfolk carries are all nuclear, whereas the Kennedy is not, so there'd have to be a lot of infrastructure changes to handle a nuke in Florida.

      Interesting times.

    42. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by lgw · · Score: 1

      All of which is good.

      Better: a two stage to orbit approach, both stages piloted, disconnecting at about 100KM, 8000 fps. The first stage wouldn't need re-entry shielding, and so could make full use of aerodynamics (if you can solve the hypersonic aerodynamic problems, otherwise just use a rocket).

      The second stage, needing only about 16000 fps total delta-V could be built quite robustly with modern materials, especially if you expended a large fuel tank per launch leaving a reasonable sized orbiter to shield for reentry. Imagine that, robust engineering in a spacecraft! You no longer need to push strength-to-weight ratios to the limits of human technology in a multi-stage rocket, and ther's no reason the first stage can't be reusable.

      But I suspect people are so in love with SSTO (single stage to orbit) that it will never happen.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    43. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Rei · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I like that approach - although, your first craft will still need some significant shielding because you get pretty darn impressive speeds with scramjets. :)

      Robust engineering in spacecraft isn't too hard if you build out of titanium. It's a whole lot cheaper than it was when they decided it was too expensive for the shuttle. 1.6 times heavier than aluminum, but twice the strength of steel (with 4/7ths the density), little fatigue wear, and a melting point high enough that you don't need much shielding. Probably not best for engines (you'd want a nickel superalloy for that), but for structural materials, it doesn't get much better than that.

      The payload fraction and safety margins on a two-stage titanium craft with the first stage powered by scramjets would be just beautiful :) We'd finally get that big leap forward in terms of safety and launch cost that we've been looking for. I've heard that launches will dramatically increase once costs get down under 3k$/kg. This might do the trick ;)

      --
      Freeze Ray. Tell your friends.
    44. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by lgw · · Score: 1

      Even without scramjets it's worth doing, though some sort of spaceplane that's just used to get a rocket out of the heavy atmosphere and provide about 1/3 of the total delta-V makes for wonderful math.

      I like the flexability you get when you don't insist on SSTO: the second stage can be a rocket for satellite placement or a crewed vehicle for research if you plan for that from the start.

      Actual spaceplanes will require some way to deal with air friction at speed, which seems a whole lot harder than a rocket engine and wings that can feather/retract to avoid the problem (that is, wings only used for *lifting* at low speed), but who knows.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    45. re: common sense prevails at last! by ed.han · · Score: 1

      you mean that the borg were right? http://www.memory-alpha.org/en/index.php/borg_sphe re? darn that bill gates... ed

    46. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by IvyKing · · Score: 2, Informative
      Hydraulic motors for flaps: Not necessarily. Hydraulics in space are problematic because of temperature regulation (in the tanks, in the cylinders, in the lines, etc). However, it is possible to use electric actuators to replace them for most, if not all, tasks. Electric actuators are increasingly being used in high force tasks.

      I knew one of the chief engineers for the hydraulic system on the shuttle (he also worked on the Atlas and Saturn programs) and this is what he said about electric actuators: "The problem with electric actuators is that in order to get the same force/mass ratio of hydraulics, the rotor has to be turning so fast (i.e. a high gear reduction ratio) that rotational inertia results in slower response than possible with hydraulics."

    47. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      there is actually one very major design change with almost all modern major bridges.

      the romans built around materials that were strongest when used in compression (stone and similar materials)

      we build around materials that are strongest in tension (steel cables)

      hence why our bridges have the arches at the top rather than at the bottom.

    48. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by iocat · · Score: 1
      One thing that still amazes me about Columbia's sad breakup is what an *amazing* job the Shuttle did of keeping level for as long as it did, as it was disintigrating. It failed, but it performed well beyond design specs nefore it failed.

      It's such a bummer. If that hole had been a bit smaller, it might have made it to a point where the crew could have bailed out.

      --

      Dude, I think I can see my house from here.

    49. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by iocat · · Score: 1

      The Lunar Module is one of the coolest-looking things ever designed by man! What are you talking about? It was a total fake out. You'd expect something that landed on the moon to be all swoopy and rounded, like a Ford Taurus. But instead NASA was like "screw you guys, it's going to be all angled and weird. And have walls made out of gold tinfoil." Best. Spaceship. Ever.

      --

      Dude, I think I can see my house from here.

    50. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Rei · · Score: 2, Informative

      Yep - the two problems have always been the force that they can deliver and the speed of response. However, the gap has been seriously closing since the shuttle was designed. In 1998, NASA completed validation of three new types of actuators in an F-18: a hybrid electric/hydraulic, an electrohydrostatic actuator (EHA) (uses its own internal hydraulic supply, but only needs power to run), and an electromechanical actuator (EMA) (no hydraulic supply at all). They were impressed with the EMA, and used them on the (now cancelled) X38 prototype and the (also cancelled) X33. The cancellations in both cases had nothing to do with the actuators, mind you :) They'll probably be finding their way into the CEV.

      --
      Freeze Ray. Tell your friends.
    51. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Rei · · Score: 1

      One of my favorite concepts is to make a "one and a half stage" rocket by towing up to altitude. By towing, you don't need to deal with all of the difficulties of designing a carrier airplane and the mating; you simply need a tow hook with a release, and a small set of actuators to retract the tow assembly on the spacecraft

      I don't think reentry will always be that big of a problem. There's a lot of promise from gas/plasma injection upstream, as well as from inflatable reentry systems.

      --
      Freeze Ray. Tell your friends.
    52. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by The+One+and+Only · · Score: 1

      silver jump suits are not practical streetwear either.

      Well, jeez, how come nobody ever told me!? Now I feel like such a dork...

      --
      In Repressive Burma, it's not just your connection that dies. slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=314547&cid=20819199
    53. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by ducomputergeek · · Score: 1

      It wasn't the whole space-plane thing that's such a bad idea as it was the pipedream of having a Single State to Orbit spaceplane. For years I've read and talked to areospace engineers that have ranted that launch costs could be reduced by at least 40% per pound by using a dual stage to orbit system like Rutan and Spacship One deploys. Have a large lifted that takes up the orbiter to 60 - 80k feet and then let the orbiter make the rest of the trip up into LEO. Then you have 2 100% reusable craft. Again, space planes aren't such a bad idea, its just that like many thing just have never been implemented correctly in the public sector.

      --
      "The problem with socialism is eventually you run out of other people's money" - Thatcher.
    54. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Rakishi · · Score: 1

      afaik a study was done about how many launches per year would be needed for the shuttles to be cost-efficient (due to their design the more you fly them the less the average cost). It came out to around 52, one a week.

      Space planes will be efficient once we have a use for such a large launch capacity, which right now we simply don't.

    55. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Rei · · Score: 1

      Well, the shuttle is problematic in that it's high maintenance. Reusable craft don't necessarily need to be. For example, if it had a titanium frame, it would need a less complex TPS. And because of the decreased mass (titanium is denser than aluminum, but you can use a lot less of it), you could use simpler (but less efficient) engines.

      Also, strange as it may sound (since we've been flying the Shuttle for so long), reusable engines are really just getting started in terms of technological development. They keep making really significant advances in engine liners, turbopumps, alloys, et al; it's likely that another 20 years from now, we'll be getting SSME performance with just a small fraction of the maintenance.

      --
      Freeze Ray. Tell your friends.
    56. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by R.Caley · · Score: 1
      hence why our bridges have the arches at the top rather than at the bottom.

      A suspension bridge is just a rope bridge on steroids, and so I don't think it would have supprised the Roman. Of course the materials we have to make the `ropes' would make him drool.

      I think the bridges which would really make our Roman's chin hit the floor are the simple two uprights and a flat bed concrete ones which are now the standard way of building road networks. That is a design which goes back to stonehenge and beyond, but no concievable development of concrete as the roman knows it would make such bridges possible, because concrete is so amazingly bad in tension. Stressed reinforced concrete is pretty amazing stuff.

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      _O_
      .|<
      The named which can be named is not the true named
    57. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by R.Caley · · Score: 1
      100 years from now, our fascination with space-planes will be seen as a great folly of the later 1900's.

      Look at the shuttle on the launch pad and then look at one of the early railway carriages where they just took a stagecoach and strapped it to the top of some railway wheels.

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      _O_
      .|<
      The named which can be named is not the true named
    58. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by danila · · Score: 1

      I was wondering - what progress is there in using other approaches to shielding. Can something like magnetic fields or active shields (somewhat like in tanks and supersonic torpedoes) be used to protect the spacecraft? If you don't want the hull to have contact with the fast air, may be we can place something around it?

      --
      Future Wiki -- If you don't think about the future, you cannot have one.
    59. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by WhiplashII · · Score: 1

      Well, we actually have pretty good sheilds - they are made of air! The shock out in front of the spacecraft is isanely high (50,000 C or more). The spacecraft is protected by a buffer region of air that is heated by the shock region. The reason the leading surfaces have to be round is so that this buffer zone can form - the larger the radius of curvature, the larger the buffer. If we had a way to prevent the air from contacting the ship, the ship wouldn't slow down and deorbit - and you could use wings at any rate.

      It might be possible to make some kind of magnetic field in front of the spaceship, strike a current through the plasma sheath and repell the plasma - but I doubt it would help much. Really, it is pretty hard to beat the Apollo style approach - a round bottom with a heat sheild!

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      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
    60. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by 6th+time+lucky · · Score: 1

      1st commandment of flying the shuttle: "though shalt not touch the thermal protection system". So a reusable capsule would be rather difficult to land without wheels. (or you could try capturing it with a helicopter...)

      And on being able to control the landing, I have read that the shuttle could pratically land itself, but the main landing gear release is still completely manually controlled, so the shuttle 'pilots' have something real to do.

      And well 3 points in a post is bad, but what the hell... The shuttle was designed with wings so it could land in the US in the same place it took off after one orbit *after* having flown **over** the USSR and done its covert task. Flying around the USSR is just changing the perspective of the military capabilities of the craft.

    61. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Retric · · Score: 1

      As you seem to know a lot about this topic would you mind answering responding to a few ideas?
      As I understand it the basic heating problem is your dumping a lot of kenectic energy on reentry. But why not use some form of active cooling on a wing that glides on the upper atmosphere thus dumping the kenectic energy over a longer period of time?

      I mean it looks like the shuttle basicly operates by supper heating the air on it's decent and useing a skin that's thick enough to withstand that much heat untill it slows down enough to start air cooling to a reasonable temperature. But if you buildt a wing that provides lift at mach 22 and then cooled it with watter that you flash boiled and then vented at say 2000C might be able to keep the wings within a reasonable temerature for longer and thus come closer to say the SR71 than a falling rock.

      You could then use jet's or even a scram jet to get to the uppper atmosphere vs a rocket that wastes a lot of energy just keeping from falling.

    62. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by WhiplashII · · Score: 1

      The goal for all rockets (except ICBMs!) is to slow down as high as possible, to avoid high peak temperatures. The upside to high alititudes is that the energy absorbtion rate is low (you take a long time to slow down), lowering your temperature. The downside is that you have no air buffer (there is basically no air up there!) so one half of all energy lost goes into your ship. So you get more energy you need to get rid of, but your have much longer to get rid of it - for most cases this is a net win.

      However, the Space Shuttle has a requirement of landing in the continental US after a single pass. That meant that they could not stay up in the light stuff as long as they wanted to, so they had to use a very hot re-entry. Also, the shuttle is very dense (its specs also required it to land carrying cargo), so it would be very difficult to slow down in the upper atmosphere.

      As for other options, there are almost an infinite number. The water cooling you mentioned has been proposed, though not for high altitude orbital reentry. Since the water you need to take with you is proportional to the energy you need to get rid of, a very steep reentry - where most of the energy goes into the air, not the vehicle - makes better use of the water's cooling properties. A shallow re-entry would require too much water.

      Interestingly enough, although lift is nice it is not necessary for a gentle re-entry. Serious work was done on parachutes capable of landing a person from orbit - the Gemini spacesuit was strong enough to survive a high-altitude re-entry with no additional sheilding... so they had designed an inflateable parachute that would provide a gentle reentry. It still required a de-orbit burn, though.

      Achieving reasonable L/D ratios at hypersonic speeds is a lot more difficult than it seems. But if you can get a L/D ratio of 4 you can land anywhere on the planet from anywhere in orbit just by gliding!

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
    63. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by Retric · · Score: 1

      Thanks, I am not an engineer, but from what your saying someone made the design decision that the shuttle needed to be able to land with a lot of weight fast which means it's going to generate 50,000C air which means it needs to have rounded edges to create the cushion to avoid burning up.

      What I had been wondering for a while is if you could build a craft that does the whole scramjet > rocket approach to orbit and then fly's back from orbit with a sleek aerodynamic approach which would seem to get rid of a lot of drag. It seemed like a shallow reentry should be possible with you super heating the leading edge of the wings and then radiating that heat from the rear of the wings. But, the need for the ability to land quickly and with a lot of weight means you always have to land quickly.

      Do you know of any good books on some of the early designs of the early space shuttle and why they where scraped. I heard the air force got involved and added a whole lot of extra useless specifications, but I don't know the whole story.

      PS: Parachuting from orbit sounds like one hell of a trip I wonder how long a ride that would take and how many people would want to sign up for the first trip... Hell, I think I might want to try that one out.

    64. Re:Common sense prevails at last! by WhiplashII · · Score: 1

      Yep, there was an Air Force requirement to make a single polar orbit (over Russia, of course), drop a present, and land in one pass. That required steep descent, 1000 mile crossrange (because the Earth turns 1000 miles in one orbit), and a lot of associated headaches.

      Scramjets have the problem of not existing. That said, it is not 100% sure that they are the best way to go. (Of course, a lot of this is determined by your definition of the word "best"). For example, you absolutely need rockets once you leave the atmosphere (all sub-escape trajectories that leave the atmosphere re-enter it). So if you have to use rockets anyway, at what point is it better to go straight from mildy supersonic to rocket, skipping the scramjet stage? If you include development costs over the current flight rate, you definately choose rockets. If you amortize the development across launches every few hours, the balance may change...

      Sharp egdes on hypersonic vehicles are being looked at again, because of new advanced materials. Personaly, I don't think they will happen - there are cheaper ways to do things like that.

      Unfortunately, most of my information comes from the web (Google Groups is a good place to start - although for space in particular I would read http://yarchive.net/space - it is better organized), so I can't really recommend a good book. A Googgle groups search can probably give you one, though.

      The parachute trip takes about an hour, as I recall - I think recently someone was seriously considering that as a business angle at one point.

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
  4. Let me guess by geoffspear · · Score: 0

    The administrator of NASA will announce his retirement 1 week after the winning team is selected, and he will coincidentally be given a job as the CEO of Boeing or Lockheed a month later.

    --
    Don't blame me; I'm never given mod points.
    1. Re:Let me guess by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We just got a new CEO at Lockheed.

    2. Re:Let me guess by lgw · · Score: 1

      Bah, too cynical. It might be Raytheon or Northrop Grumman after all. ;)

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    3. Re:Let me guess by Nutria · · Score: 1

      administrator of NASA will announce his retirement

      Don't you read Slashdot?

      http://science.slashdot.org/science/04/12/12/23282 51.shtml?tid=160&tid=103&tid=14&tid=219

      --
      "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
  5. Where's the money going? by DoubleDangerClub · · Score: 2, Interesting

    After ShuttleOne went up for backing as little as $20 million, is it just me or is NASA throwing around too much money to make this happen? I'd like to see someone else make the new crew vehicle and sell it back to NASA. I guess the other side of the coin is the German's saying Mars by 2009. *shrug* I guess when you have nothing substantial in your space program in the past, you've got nothing to lose with ridiculous goals for the future?

    --
    Ubuntu, the way linux should be.
    Try Ubuntu FREE! --
    1. Re:Where's the money going? by I+confirm+I'm+not+a · · Score: 4, Informative

      I guess the other side of the coin is the German's saying Mars by 2009. *shrug* I guess when you have nothing substantial in your space program in the past, you've got nothing to lose with ridiculous goals for the future?

      Uh, Wernher von Braun ring any bells?
      From Wikipedia: "In the United States, he is regarded as a hero of the space program."

      --
      This is where the serious fun begins.
    2. Re:Where's the money going? by DoubleDangerClub · · Score: 1

      Thank you for the link. Though, I was speaking about any space travel. Rockets don't really make for a "space program"...in that case, if it did...telecommunications companies would say "look at our awesome space program."

      --
      Ubuntu, the way linux should be.
      Try Ubuntu FREE! --
    3. Re:Where's the money going? by Scarblac · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but you count a $20 million dollar plane that goes 100km up, a feat that has almost nothing to do with building orbital vehicles let alone things that can go further, as a serious comparison to the Shuttle.

      --
      I believe posters are recognized by their sig. So I made one.
    4. Re:Where's the money going? by grumbel · · Score: 2, Interesting
      First of that thing is called SpaceshipOne, secondly it did go nowwhere near where the shuttle went. SpaceshipOne did a little hop out of the atmosphere and then got back, didn't even need a heatshield for that. Bringing something into a stable orbit is a whole different beast (100km vs 400km + heck a lot more speed). The NASA did basically the same as SpaceShipOne in the 1960s with its X-15.

      That said, yes, the NASA could probally be a lot more cost effective, but just saying SpaceShipOne did for 20mio$ what the Shuttle does is way off and basically just wrong. SpaceShipOne will never be capable todo what the shuttle does, to accomplish that they have design a completle new vehicle.

    5. Re:Where's the money going? by Minna+Kirai · · Score: 1


      ShuttleOne counted as a huge stepping stone to orbital vehicles, as you can see in their newer ventures toward such a project.


      There is no such thing as "ShuttleOne". If you just make-up space project names from your own imagination, don't be surprised if no one takes you seriously.

      So it does have quite a bit to do with building orbital vehicles.

      If, on the other hand, you meant to say "SpaceShipOne, and you're actually suggesting that the project had any relationship at all to reaching orbit, then you also appear too ignorant to deserve a serious response.

    6. Re:Where's the money going? by VanillaCoke420 · · Score: 1

      SpaceShipOne and the shuttle are two different vehicles when it comes to purpose, size and capacity. SpaceShipOne can do suborbital hops, while the space shuttle can reach 400 km orbit. SS1 takes three passengers and no cargo, while the shuttle can take a crew of seven and plenty of cargo. The shuttle was developed during the 70's, being a huge jump from the small capsules that were in use before that, so that it took a lot of cash to develop should surprise no one. The SpaceShipOne and the shuttle are very different, developed under different circumstances for different purposes.

    7. Re:Where's the money going? by hcdejong · · Score: 2, Interesting

      No. The X-prize parameters were set so you'd avoid many of the Big Problems in building a spacecraft. SS1's max speed was about Mach 3, way less than reentry speed of an orbital craft. This means SS1's designers didn't need to worry about heat shielding. Also, the thermal loads on the structure are less than on an orbital craft.
      And with the short flights of SS1 you can get away with a lower fuel fraction than is needed to achieve orbt.

    8. Re:Where's the money going? by I+confirm+I'm+not+a · · Score: 1

      I was speaking about any space travel. Rockets don't really make for a "space program"...in that case, if it did...telecommunications companies would say "look at our awesome space program."

      I was really getting at the dependency NASA et al had on von Braun; without him US Space Exploration (and earlier ancilliary developments) would likely have been delayed significantly. At no point has NASA or the USAF been dependent on Vodaphone for future development - quite the reverse: Vodaphone relies on NASA launching satellites ;) Without von Braun Vodaphone would have been using trans-oceanic cabling for a good deal longer ;)

      --
      This is where the serious fun begins.
    9. Re:Where's the money going? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you can't read the entire thread and get the context of his comment, don't be surprised if no one takes you seriously, ass.

    10. Re:Where's the money going? by PMuse · · Score: 1

      Not to pick nits, but Von Braun's space-related achievements are part of the U.S. space program, not the German one. The regime in Germany had the man working on weapons systems while he lived there.

      --
      "We reject as false the choice between our safety and our ideals." --The American President (20.1.2009)
    11. Re:Where's the money going? by smithmc · · Score: 1

      Uh, Wernher von Braun ring any bells?

      Uh, what about him? Did he recently start working for the Germans again? No? Then why bring him up?

      --
      Downmodding is the refuge of the weak. Don't downmod, make a better argument!
    12. Re:Where's the money going? by sootman · · Score: 1

      And from Tom Lehrer: "Once the rockets are up, who cares where they come down." :-)

      --
      Dear Slashdot: next time you want to mess with the site, add a rich-text editor for comments.
    13. Re:Where's the money going? by Minna+Kirai · · Score: 1

      AC: If you can't read the entire thread and get the context of his comment

      I did read the whole thread, which is why I know that "ShuttleOne" wasn't just a typo or something, but a persistent mistake.

  6. I can see.... by millahtime · · Score: 1

    I can see the underdog putting up a good fight as most government contractors are bogged down under "red tape" that causes prices to sky rocket. If they run lean on overhead BS they have a shot. Well, as long as the product is good from more aspects than functionality (reliable, maintainable, safe)

    1. Re:I can see.... by SIGPUNKT · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Actually, it's the "red tape" that makes the smaller contractors certain to lose. You need a small army of people just to manage the blizzard of forms and documents required, let alone do the real work of researching and developing a vehicle. And don't think that NASA's going to let them get away with a bunch of FEAs and flight sims, they're genna have to build and crush a few airframes to get real data. Parent's not entirely wrong, though, a smaller company won't have to share the overhead of managing other divisions and projects as well as pay the salaries of people who have been since wings were made of fabric....

      --
      Where am I to go, now that I've gone too far?
    2. Re:I can see.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The next comment is about how inefficient the government is because of that red tape, and that they should just give the money to (insert name) and he will deliver. It's true that the red tape costs a lot of money. The alternative to risk getting nothing for your money. Remember the story of the FBI getting software they couldn't use for $200M?

      When I first started in industry, I hated the contracts that required heavy documentation of everything we were doing (still hate them, actually). Now, I find myself writing the same things, because if you don't keep vendors on a short leash, you won't get what you want. Sad, but far too often true. NASA's mistakes are too costly in terms of life, money, and bad press. They have every reason to be paranoid about what they are getting.

      "Oh, you wanted a life support system on that spacecraft. Well, that wasn't clearly specified in the contract. That'll be another billion."

  7. Isn't having a goal more important than a vehicle? by bigtallmofo · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Is NASA putting the cart before the horse here? Don't we need a coherent goal to shoot for before designing a vehicle? The goal as stated on NASA's site is:

    "The fundamental goal of this vision is to advance U.S. scientific, security, and economic interests through a robust space exploration program."

    Could they be any more vague? Whatever happened to the days of "land a man on the moon and return him safely to the Earth." You know, goals that people actually knew what the heck you were talking about?

    --
    I'm a big tall mofo.
  8. A Replacement for the Shuttle by Dagny+Taggert · · Score: 2, Insightful

    A replacement for the Shuttle is needed, but is NASA working on our heavy-lift capabilities? It seems to me that there is still a need for a Saturn V-type rocket to put the big stuff into orbit. After all, while orbital assembly may seem cool, it doesn't seem very cost-effective yet.

    --
    Don't be a looter...and yes, I know that it's spelled with an "A" instead of an "E".
    1. Re: A Replacement for the Shuttle by Ironsides · · Score: 2, Interesting

      After all, while orbital assembly may seem cool, it doesn't seem very cost-effective yet.

      It will work a whole hell of a lot better than on earth assembly. To get to lunar orbit, you don't have to worry about earth gravity or anything. You won't need a smooth skin either. It could look like a flying pig and be as ugly as you wanted. You also don't have to worry about the thing staying intact and not getting damaged on the way up.

      As for a heavy lifter, That might be what heavy rockets are for. Though I wouldn't mind this: http://nuclearspace.com/a_liberty_ship.htm

      --
      Fly me to the moon Let me sing among those stars Let me see what spring is like On jupiter and mars
    2. Re: A Replacement for the Shuttle by hcdejong · · Score: 1

      Maybe Nasa should use the Energia for that. 100 tons into LEO, and development's already done.

    3. Re: A Replacement for the Shuttle by Guppie · · Score: 1

      That would be the reasonalble choice, but we all know NASA never goes for that, don't we?

      (Not to nitpick, but I don't think the Russians have ever launched 100 metric tons to LEO with Energia, they only used the 30 ton-version to launch Buran.)

    4. Re: A Replacement for the Shuttle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe Nasa should use the Energia for that. 100 tons into LEO, and development's already done.

      The Energia is a good rocket, no question there. However, there's more to the considerations than just basic cost. The money to pay for any heavy-lift rocket will come from the U.S. economy, so buying Energias will be transfering money to the Russian economy. If the U.S. government buys rockets built in the U.S. it is keeping the money the U.S. economy.

      The U.S. government has a constitutional obligation to promote the general welfare (Article II Section 8) of the U.S., it does not have such obligation to any other country. So it should take some measures to ensure large expendatures, like heavy-lifter are made in the USA.

    5. Re: A Replacement for the Shuttle by hcdejong · · Score: 1

      A reasonable argument, but the US usually goes over the top (see 'NIH syndrome', e.g. when purchasing military hardware).
      What would be sensible? Buying something off-the-shelf, or spending 10x as much to duplicate the Russian effort? If you insist on putting money into the US economy, buy a license.

    6. Re: A Replacement for the Shuttle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Any U.S. company licensing designs from Energia would a better solution from that standpoint. However, I don't know how likely Energia would be to do such a thing. From what I've read in the book Dragonfly their view of supply and demand is, "We have the supply, so we make the demands." Granted this book was based on events almost a decade ago, so they could be run differently now.

    7. Re: A Replacement for the Shuttle by demachina · · Score: 1

      "It will work a whole hell of a lot better than on earth assembly."

      No it wont unless by assembly you just mean "docking". Actually building stuff in space would be extraordinarily expensive.

      First it would be really expensive to get engineers and machinists in to space that know how to build things, and train them to be astronauts and train them to work in zero G. Then you have to get all their tools in to space, and then you have to get all the raw materials in to space, nuts, bolts, etc., and you have to dispose of all the debris from building things, like metal shavings from drills which would be a complete nightmare inside an on orbit station. The mass you will have to lift to build things in space it far more than the mass to build them on the ground and launch them.

      Maybe someday if you have a HUGE colony on the moon or Mars, or are mining and refining asteroids in space this might change but at the pace we are going that is at least a century out.

      No, unless you are insane everything is going to be built on Earth for a long time to come and all you are going to do is dock modules together in space and maybe hook up cables and pipes like they have for decades on Skylab, Mir and the ISS.

      --
      @de_machina
    8. Re: A Replacement for the Shuttle by demachina · · Score: 1

      NASA HAS a heavy lift launch stack if they ever caught a clue.

      The space shuttle stack is a GREAT heavy lift capability if you just get rid of all the Shuttle's dead weight. Replace it with a cargo module with some simpler disposable engines and you could lift a lot of cargo in to space for a lot less than starting a new booster from scratch. The external tank could also probably be boosted in to orbit and made use of as an orbit fuel tank if nothing else. If you retained even a fraction of its liquid hydrogen and oxygen in to orbit it would fuel all kinds of trips to the moon and back.

      If the SRB's could be filled with the new parafin based fuel some university(Standford?) was working on they would be even better for cargo lifting, less toxic waste, and probably easier to manufacture. Solid rockets COMPLETElY suck for launching people because they are dangerous, once you light them you cant stop them and you are along for the ride. But they are wonderful for launching cargo where the safety standards are lower, with the caveat they are a little intense on G's and probably vibration. Its almost impossible for them to fail like a complex liquid fuel motor often does.

      --
      @de_machina
    9. Re: A Replacement for the Shuttle by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1
      Maybe NASA shoud use Saturn V for that. 129+ tons (metric) into LEO, and the development's already done.

      And we don't have to worry about NIH Syndrome kicking in.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    10. Re: A Replacement for the Shuttle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Orbital construction is really only going to finally be feasible (financially and practically) once three things happen:

      1) An orbital construction center is produced; and
      2) An orbiting resource stockpile appears (captured near-Earth asteroid, anyone?); and
      3) A low-cost, preferable reusable method of transporting passengers into space is engineered.

      If we continue to think in the "build it on Earth, put it into orbit" mode, as necessary as it is for the forseeable future, real manned space exploration is going to continue to be the pipe dream it was in the 1930s. True, we went to the moon, but that goal was more political than it was scientific (just as the US-proposed Mars mission seems to be).

      I know that this is probably going to be modded down for being defeatist, but it's a long-view assesment of manned spaceflight.

    11. Re: A Replacement for the Shuttle by smurf975 · · Score: 1

      The ESA wants to use the Energia rocket for its human mission to Mars as you can read from this Executive Summary (PDF) from ESA. (look at chapter 6.3: MISSION ARCHITECTURE-->Launchers and chapter 7: Conclusion, the fourth bullet)

      So the ESA is ahead of you on this point.

      --
      -- I don't buy it, I grow it.
    12. Re: A Replacement for the Shuttle by Detritus · · Score: 1

      It isn't practical. The Saturn V was designed to be manufactured, prepped, and launched with an extensive infrastructure that was discarded in the 1970s. It's like saying "let's build a batch of 747s", when Boeing, its employees and suppliers haven't existed for years. Plus, you have to build the airports from scratch.

      --
      Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
    13. Re: A Replacement for the Shuttle by ckaminski · · Score: 1

      Yeah, it's called Delta IV-Heavy. This rocket can put 13000kg payload to GTO. 23,000kg to LEO. Same as the Shuttle, roughly. This same vehicle could be used to launch a capsule plus cargo to the ISS.

      Presuming a 7 person capsule could come in at under 20,000kg, you could still carry 3000kg of food and water to the ISS. That's a couple bathtubs full of water.

      <URL:http://www.boeing.com/defense-space/space/d el ta/d4_deltaPayload.htm>
      A look at the Delta IV-Heavy Payload fairing. Something similar could be the fundation for our new orbital transport.

  9. decision making by millahtime · · Score: 3, Interesting

    This does show a fundamental lack of decision making going on in many branches of government leadership. No one wants to put forth a goal and be the leader who didn't make it. So, they don't make a goal so that way they just keep the status quo as long as they can and hope the next guy deals with it. No one or agency wants to look bad so to them it's safer to not do anything at all.

    1. Re:decision making by Oxy+the+moron · · Score: 1

      I'll take you a step further and say that is the approach many American "leaders" take nowadays. This is true from government agencies (like our great NASA example here), corporations ("our goal is to raise profits and make more money for the shareholders"), and even religious groups ("our goal is to find more people and convert them to our beliefs"). It may be prevalent in other countries as well (I'm sure it is) but I'm not really an expert on foreign matters.

      The fact is, in America it's becoming disgustingly difficult to find someone who is:

      • innovative enough to come up with a brilliant goal
      • has the chutzpah to stand behind that goal
      • has the charisma and leadership necessary to drive others towards that goal

      As a generalization, American "leaders" are terribly bland.

      --

      Proudly supporting the Libertarian Party.

    2. Re:decision making by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Can't someone else do it?"

      Why don't you lead, you fucking retard?

  10. Re:It writes itself by essreenim · · Score: 1
    No, my money's on the flying portaloo.

    But seriously, anything that features Scaled Compoites ought to be way ahead of the competition in terms of cost, and superior design. Although I have to admit their earth-to-low-earth-orbit vehicle will never be as sexy looking as Space Ship 1 - the nicest looking craft man ghas ever built in my view

  11. Maybe an underdog can win by __aagujc9792 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The primes (Lockheed, Boeing) know only how to burn money and koff koff manage customer relationships koff koff. I should know, I watched them do it on the X33 up close & personal. We should select Rutan as our stand in for old man Harriman. (obRAH reference) -- OPh

    1. Re:Maybe an underdog can win by essreenim · · Score: 2, Insightful

      We should select Rutan as our stand in for old man Harriman. (obRAH reference) -- OPh

      Be carefull. Rutan and Scaled Composites are better than Nasa because they are cheaper, no government intervention to screw everything up.

      I think rutan would be making a mistake getting in bed with anything that is even remotely government sponsored. He should keep working on private ventures. et la Virgin etc.

    2. Re:Maybe an underdog can win by bozer82 · · Score: 0

      Definitely agree with that.

      --
      Hardware components for sale!!!
    3. Re:Maybe an underdog can win by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree mostly. But what about a civilian contracted life boat capability? If Rutan/Scaled Composites/Virgin/whoever worked out the contract properly, they would come out with great financial benefits in an emergency situation, but other than that they could remain completely independant.

    4. Re:Maybe an underdog can win by Rei · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Hey, my cousin Vinnie is really cheap, and doesn't mess with the government at all. He's flown in a MiG, so he has experience with space. He's built ultralights at his bike shop, and manages a team of three people. He almost crashed his last one because he took off in a thunderstorm, but look - he's got guts! He'd be perfect!

      What, you say? Vinnie would be horrible for the job? He doesn't have experience dealing with *real* space missions? He's only managed tiny teams, and this is a huge project? He'd probably just run it into the ground?

      Well, Scaled Composites is no different. They built roughly the aerial equivalent of a rocketsled. They built the bloody thing out of epoxy :P. They had an irrelevant amount of heat to dissipate, and used an engine which was extremely simple at the cost of low ISP and high tank mass, because SpaceDev had no hope of producing a *real* rocket engine (i.e., one that can scale to orbit) for a reasonable amount of money.

      Not to demean what Rutan did, mind you. It is a very impressive example of what a small group of people can do with a couple tens of millions of dollars, modern design software, a lot of dedication, and a lot of guts. And while they had significant stability problems on acceleration, their supersonic deceleration is a great testament to how well you can design a craft nowadays using computer models. But that doesn't change the fact that SS1 isn't even remotely in the same league as real spacecraft, and Rutan's experience isn't in the same league as real spacecraft design/construction experience. Just like my cousin Vinnie.

      P.S. - I don't actually have a cousin Vinnie. :)

      --
      Freeze Ray. Tell your friends.
    5. Re:Maybe an underdog can win by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "We should select Rutan as our stand in . . ."

      I'm sick of hearing about Rutan. All he did was build a plane around a rocket. It's not like it hasn't been done before. It's not like nobody else though of the idea.

    6. Re:Maybe an underdog can win by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hmm, but you did know that Rutan has been (sub)contracting for the bigger space projects since oh...forever , right?

    7. Re:Maybe an underdog can win by putaro · · Score: 1

      Who did it?

  12. Good Designs by NardofDoom · · Score: 4, Interesting
    I'm happy to see they're moving away from the "spaceplane" idea and getting back to capsules. In most ways they're superior to shuttle-like designs.

    For example, they self-orient on reentry, they don't have expensive and heavy control surfaces or landing gear, and from their position on the top of the rocket they can use escape systems like those in the Mercury, Gemini and Apollo programs.

    About the only thing they can't do is bring things back down from orbit. But, really, if we want a real future in space the biggest issue is getting things up there.

    --
    You have two hands and one brain, so always code twice as much as you think!
    1. Re:Good Designs by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      Actually I am sad to see this move away from the space plane idea. Capsules superior to shuttle-like designs? Simple yes. Cheap to develop yes. Better?
      the shuttle was at least something new. If you go and look at some of the early shuttle designs they where much more likely to offer long term cheap access to space than the shuttles we have now. Why where they not built? Because the development cost would have been much higher. NASA did not want to use SRBs. Going with solids was an idea the military pushed because the would be cheaper to develop. No SRBs no Challenger accident. Other Nasa designs did not use an ET. The I would like to see a new Shuttle using new technology but with similar goals. Replace the SRBs with fly back liquid boosters. Ditch the apus and go totally electric. Replace the OMS with one that uses "safe" fuels. Up graded heat protection based on what they developed for the x-33. Finally develop an airspike replacement for the SSMEs.
      The Shuttle was the first. Think of it as the Comet of space craft. Now it is time to work on the 707.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    2. Re:Good Designs by NeuroAcid · · Score: 1

      Why can't they bring things back from orbit? They bring people up, and return with people inside. Why can't we just replace people with stuff. Oh wait, they already do. If you were talking about bringing the Hubble back or something large, then that is a different story. We can't do that now with capsules, obviously. So we just either need to get a bigger capsule, or understand that when we build stuff for space, it should be meant for space and should be built so that it would not need to come back. With the exception of humans, I see no need to bring back anything that we spend the time and money to get up there in the first place. Keep all the junk up there, strap it together, stick a rocket on the back, and we have our Mars ship.

      --
      "I don't need drugs to enjoy this, just to enhance it" - Otto
    3. Re:Good Designs by wolf31o2 · · Score: 1

      About the only thing they can't do is bring things back down from orbit.

      This one is easy. Refit the shuttle to be remote controlled from the ground. The Soviets were able to do it with Buran, I'm sure we could do it ourselves, or even easier with the help of Energia.

    4. Re:Good Designs by EnglishTim · · Score: 1

      The Shuttle was the first. Think of it as the Comet of space craft.

      Well, it might be the Comet - but what if it's actually the Spruce Goose of space craft...?

    5. Re:Good Designs by Chanc_Gorkon · · Score: 1

      Um, APU's ARE electric. The generate electricity. They are the FULE CELLS.

      --

      Gorkman

    6. Re:Good Designs by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      The Spruce Goose is a bad example. It was nothing new . And lets thing about this. The Spruce Goose flew in I think 1946. The Shuttle in 81 I believe. So add 25 years to 1946 and you have... 1971. If I am not mistaken by 1971 there where airplanes that carried as big of a load as the spruce goose was supposed to, farther and faster than the Spruce Goose could. They where the 747 and the C-5.
      Still works out fine. I think the Comet is a better example. It had issues but was a pretty good design that could and was fixed.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    7. Re:Good Designs by khallow · · Score: 1

      Or recycle the materials that make up the satellites nad stations. I wonder how long before we have scavenging in space?

    8. Re:Good Designs by NeuroAcid · · Score: 1

      Somewhere there is a program that lets you move around the universe in 3D, so you can visit any know object as long as you know what the coordinate are. I can't remember what it was called but it starts with a C. Sorry, that's all I remember. Anyway, it has all known sats and space junk around the Earth for you to view, and it's amazing. We basically created our own small ring around Earth with the amount of stuff we put up there already.

      --
      "I don't need drugs to enjoy this, just to enhance it" - Otto
    9. Re:Good Designs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's called Celestia, which can be found at http://www.shatters.bet/celestia. It's available for Linux, Mac OS X, and Windows, and is GPL.

    10. Re:Good Designs by Detritus · · Score: 1
      The APUs are powered by the decomposition of hydrazine fuel and drive hydraulic pumps.

      See http://science.ksc.nasa.gov/shuttle/technology/sts -newsref/sts-apu.html.

      --
      Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
  13. Re:YOU FUCKING FUCKS. All your base are belong to by stupidfoo · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    hey hey... simmer down!

    Michael Sims is gone!

  14. Re:Isn't having a goal more important than a vehic by JediTrainer · · Score: 3, Informative

    Could they be any more vague? Whatever happened to the days of "land a man on the moon and return him safely to the Earth." You know, goals that people actually knew what the heck you were talking about?

    I thought the Wikipedia article above was very clear on what the CEV is supposed to be able to do. It mentions it's likely it'll follow the module-and-capsule approach, and is supposed to be capable of getting to LEO while also taking part in the assembly of lunar expeditions while in orbit (and, presumably Mars too, since that's a listed goal as well). Reusability is apparently desirable, but not essential to win the contract.

    --

    You can accomplish anything you set your mind to. The impossible just takes a little longer.
  15. I've always thought the linear aerospike by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    ...would be a good choice for engine on the next gen space shuttle. Here's a brief introduction.

    1. Re:I've always thought the linear aerospike by NardofDoom · · Score: 1

      I like the radial aerospike better. Instead of big heavy turbopumps all you need to do is spin the engine.

      --
      You have two hands and one brain, so always code twice as much as you think!
    2. Re:I've always thought the linear aerospike by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      thank you for the link!
      it seems humans haven't invented the wings for outer
      space yet.

      [size 6 p>
      also i would like to add one world, but i forgot
      it :P anyways its'umething with plasma and
      deflection in magnetic fields and super conductors,
      being heavy because of being of copper, but easly
      cooled with liquid hydrogen which can be cooled
      with liquid oxygen, which together combusts really
      nicely ... /size 6p]

  16. Lemme guess by TheKidWho · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Boeing and Lockheed?

    1. Re:Lemme guess by j_cavera · · Score: 1

      For now at least. Until they merge into Boeheed.

      --
      #include "humorous_pop_culture_reference.h"
  17. Not a Shuttle Replacement by KavanaghNY · · Score: 1

    The CEV is intended to only partially replace the space shuttle. It will provide crew transport from Earth to LEO as the shuttle does. However, it will not be a cargo transport and assembly platform as the space shuttle is.

    1. Re:Not a Shuttle Replacement by TheKidWho · · Score: 1

      Umm, one of the main goals of the CEV is to get it to the moon... not just to LEO.

    2. Re:Not a Shuttle Replacement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The other (I hope) is to get the crew back *safely* from LEO to Earth surface

  18. Having the wrong goal is worse than no goal by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 5, Interesting
    The worst thing about Apollo was that its goal, though of course ambitious for the time, was too shallow. Land a man on the moon and safely return him to earth we did, and then ran out of goal and the motivation to go any farther. If the goal is not to establish a viable self-sustaining human presence in space, a permanent colony away from the perils of Earth, there is no point in sending more people out there. If the goal is just scientific exploration, robots are 1000 times more cost-effective.

    Bruce

    1. Re:Having the wrong goal is worse than no goal by mattdm · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If the goal is just scientific exploration, robots are 1000 times more cost-effective.

      Not to mention slightly safer.

    2. Re:Having the wrong goal is worse than no goal by wolf31o2 · · Score: 2, Informative

      I couldn't agree more. There are very few things that humans can do in space that cannot be done by a robot more efficiently and safer. However, the one thing that humans can give is their perception of what they see and feel. This sort of information is something that no robot can possibly provide us.

      I completely agree that our goal should be to establish a permanent off-world presence. We honestly have no idea how much we would learn from being out exploring, but most of the advances of our race have come from exploring the unknown and taking risks.

    3. Re:Having the wrong goal is worse than no goal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, come on. What robot can die inspiringly as a heroic martyr when things go wrong?

    4. Re:Having the wrong goal is worse than no goal by Migraineman · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Agreed, and the process whereby you achieve that goal needs as much scrutiny as the goal itself. If you shackle the "permanent colony on the moon" goal to "achieved using existing infrastructure," you're doomed to failure.

      If the gub'ment dictates that the Shuttle shall be involved, now all components must a) break down to fit in a Shuttle cargo bay; b) meet Shuttle safety requirements; c) visit LEO and possibly the ISS before moving onward. Yeah, it uses the existing infrastructure, but certainly isn't an optimal solution.

      We need a heavy-lift infrastructure element that'll send big payloads to the moon. I would further propose that the heavy-lift launch vehicle be explicitly not-man-rated. Cargo payloads only. Robotic and tele-operated missions as terraforming operations are appropriate for the initial missions. Sending the people up should be one of the last things on the list. When they arrive, there should be cargo containers and shelters waiting for them.

      Every time I see the government funding another Crew ($synonym-for-"move") Vehicle, it just makes me cringe. If you want to send a larger crew to the ISS, send another Soyuz. And for chrissakes, install the damned ECLSS Module so the station isn't dependent on the water truck making a delivery.

    5. Re:Having the wrong goal is worse than no goal by NardofDoom · · Score: 1
      Mission: Go look at that rock over there:

      Human Procedure:
      Astronaut: "Say, that looks like an interesting rock. I'll walk over there and check it out and be back in time for supper."

      Same procedure, with a robot:
      Scientist on earth: "That looks like an interesting rock."
      Three. Days. Later.
      Scientist on Earth: "Dammit, the batteries died before we got there. Oh well, let's go build another $350 million probe."
      Five. Years. Later.
      Scientist on Earth: "Dammit, the probe crashed. Better build another one."

      --
      You have two hands and one brain, so always code twice as much as you think!
    6. Re:Having the wrong goal is worse than no goal by Vellmont · · Score: 2, Insightful


      However, the one thing that humans can give is their perception of what they see and feel. This sort of information is something that no robot can possibly provide us.


      And how is seeing and feeling worth multi-billions of dollars?


      We honestly have no idea how much we would learn from being out exploring, but most of the advances of our race have come from exploring the unknown and taking risks.

      Exploring has with few exceptions been driven by economics and need, not wonder. Columbus was looking for gold and a cheaper spice route. The people who crossed the land bridge into North America were looking for food. I suspect the same thing will occur for space. Mining operations for rare elements like Helium 3 will be what likely creates the colonization of space. Science needs, like you say are far cheaper to do with robots.

      --
      AccountKiller
    7. Re:Having the wrong goal is worse than no goal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      If the goal is just scientific exploration, robots are 1000 times more cost-effective.
      Because it was robots that fixed the Hubble Space Telescope, right?
    8. Re:Having the wrong goal is worse than no goal by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Perhaps, but it's better to have 1,000 $350M probes that one $350 BILLION mission.

      --
      Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
    9. Re:Having the wrong goal is worse than no goal by NardofDoom · · Score: 1
      Let's look at it in another way: 1 person walks at about 2 km/d. 1 robot moves at 2 m/d. That's 1/1000th of what a human is capable of. If you work that out to 1 year, and calculate the total area that can be explored, the human can do 1 million times more "science" than the rover.

      So, in terms of $/unit area, the human is a better choice. A human (assuming $350 billion per human, 2 km/day, 1 year stay, 1,674,154 square km of land within range for 1 year stay) costs $208,936/sq km and a robot costs (assuming $350 million per robot, 2m/day, 1 year stay, and 1.6 sq km of land within range of 1 year of stay) $209,060,849/sq km.

      But this ignores the ease with which a human can obtain the information, the experience gained from living on another planet, and the pride in having a human on another planet in our solar system.

      --
      You have two hands and one brain, so always code twice as much as you think!
    10. Re:Having the wrong goal is worse than no goal by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 1
      1 person walks at about 2 km/d. 1 robot moves at 2 m/d.

      Where do you get that robots can only move 2 meters in a day? That's completely absurd. The Mars Rover could do 5 centimeters per second, although, they say it averages 1 cm/sec. At the average speed, it can cover 864 meters in a day, or almost a kilometer. And that's current technology; if we actually did start mass producing these things by the thousands, we could make a lot of improvements.

      But this ignores the ease with which a human can obtain the information, the experience gained from living on another planet, and the pride in having a human on another planet in our solar system.

      Pride is completely worthless. Pride didn't keep us on the moon, and it won't keep us on Mars. The living experience gained is interesting, but not particularly valuable, especially considering the price.

      --
      Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
  19. Re:It writes itself by TheKidWho · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Umm... I dunno, but I doubt scaled composites has the resources to design a successor to the spaceshuttle. Especially one that is going to have to have as many roles as the CEV.

  20. Back to the drawing board? by leinhos · · Score: 1

    This reminds me of when they were first planning the space shuttle (when it was riding on the back of a 747 for initial testing). It's too bad NASA couldn't bring itself to dump the space plane concept earlier so that we're not waiting another 30 years for a viable replacement.

    1. Re:Back to the drawing board? by TheKidWho · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The space plane concept wasn't bad, and it still isnt. One of the main problems with it though was because of constant budget cuts to the program NASA had to keep on taking out certain features of the shuttle which eventually made it what it is now. Some of the original concepts for the spaceshuttle were truly fascinating and much more effecient then the current shuttle.

    2. Re:Back to the drawing board? by leinhos · · Score: 1

      While I'm not so sure about the space plane concept, this is a good history of the research to date. It seems that as speeds increase beyone mach 5-8, thermal management becomes an issue. In most cases, the additional complexity and weight of an active thermal management system renders the current implementations less effective than conventional rocket-based systems.

    3. Re:Back to the drawing board? by stevelinton · · Score: 1

      You have to tear the spaceplance idea into pieces and evaluate them all separately.

      1. wings and a runway landing -- is a lot of mass to take up to orbital speeds and back again -- hard to see this as a winner until we find a way to use non-chemical boosters

      2. air-breathing propulsion -- could win, but no one has made it do so yet. The problem is that the big win (lower on-board fuel mass) comes if you can use air-breathing for the later parts of your acceleration. That makes the engine design really, really hard, and means that you have to reach high speed while still in some reasonable density of atmosphere, which is also a problem.

      3. A fully reusable vehicle -- this is appealing, DC-X was a step in this direction. The problem is the physics, unless you can make 2 above work, you need roughly 90% of your take-off mass to be LH2 and LO2. This is really hard, making tanks, plumbing and engines this light is a huge problem.

    4. Re:Back to the drawing board? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or just scrap chemical rockets in favor of nuclear. But I have a feeling the Chinese will be the only ones with the political will to do so.

    5. Re:Back to the drawing board? by stevelinton · · Score: 1

      Nuclear rockets for take off from ground level really are a rather worrying idea. A nuclear upper stage is conceivable, in particular for boosting from LEO to Mars transfer orbit or something like that, and nuclear/ion is a great idea for long slow deep-space missions, but to get a takeoff you'd need a reactor core close to the melting point of Uranium oxide with a hell of a lot of hydrogen being pumped through it very fast and not too much mass wasted on the shielding. While I usually fairly pro-nuclear, this seems reckless.

  21. Re:lack of funds by Dagny+Taggert · · Score: 2, Informative

    Considering that President Bush was the first President since his father to mention any sort of NASA initiative (and NASA funding was cut during the Clinton admin.), maybe you need to re-think your small-minded, uninformed comment.

    --
    Don't be a looter...and yes, I know that it's spelled with an "A" instead of an "E".
  22. Re:lack of funds by meringuoid · · Score: 1
    Thanks a lot hicks of middle America!

    Actually, please come back, Hicks of middle America. Bill, that is. Your country needs you...

    --
    Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
  23. Benefits by RasendeRutje · · Score: 1, Insightful

    What I've never understood: what are the benefits of space exploration? Sure it gives information about space, but what's the use?
    Is there anything they discovered that improved the qauality of life, in return for the zillions of dolars?

    --

    If Microsoft was mass, stupidity would be gravity.
    1. Re:Benefits by Sophrosyne · · Score: 0

      The benefits are Reaganomically fantastical to Thatcheristic proportions!!

    2. Re:Benefits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "What I've never understood: what are the benefits of space exploration? Sure it gives information about space, but what's the use?"

      Does there need to be a point? We're a curious species - it's part of what makes humans human. Not only that but we'll take risks for the satisfaction of adventuring somewhere we've never been before, or don't belong.

      There doesn't need to be a point in the short term. There's no telling what you might find if you spent ages on the moon or mars. For all we know rubbing moondust on your genetalia kills cancer. Have you tried it? Fact of the matter is, we won't know the benefits of doing it until we do it. That's the point in experimenting. And looking at how global warming is gonna sky rocket in the within a few generations I think it's prudent that we find someplace else to live should the Earth become uninhabitable. Or smacked by a meteor. This shit takes alot of time. Could you forsee humans living on the moon in significant numbers within 100 years? I can't, and I expect that with the way we're ruining our planet and politicians refusing to do anything substancial about it, we'd better start looking for alternatives and fast. Before we're flashfried on the earth.

    3. Re:Benefits by Lafe · · Score: 0, Troll

      You're probably trolling, since this question has come up and been answered over and over and over again. So, I'll spare you the full explanation as it can be found in full elsewhere.

      If the given reasons don't seem adequate to you, just accept that you're part of that (significant) fraction of the population that lacks the foresight and imagination to understand why we need to explore space, and every other frontier that is left to us. No amount of my explaining this to you is likely to make a difference.

      There were folks who were sure that Columbus was insane for making his journey, and Columbus's journey resulted in a hugely important and un-anticipated discovery as well as enormous benefit. Do you think his exploration was worthless? Would you have thought so before his journey?

      Bah.

    4. Re:Benefits by RasendeRutje · · Score: 1

      My point is: can't you better invest this money in solving concrete problems, instead of advancing science in general?
      E.g. preventing global warming by 'friendly' energy sources.

      --

      If Microsoft was mass, stupidity would be gravity.
    5. Re:Benefits by hcdejong · · Score: 1

      You're joking, right? Without 'advancing science in general', we'd end up runnning out of solutions for 'concrete problems'.
      E.g. nuclear power stations wouldn't have been possible without Einstein et al. doing pie-in-the-sky, way-out-there purely theoretical research.

    6. Re:Benefits by ultranova · · Score: 4, Informative

      What I've never understood: what are the benefits of space exploration? Sure it gives information about space, but what's the use?

      • Asteroid mining.
      • Build really big solar energy collectors, put them into space, and beam the energy to Earth with microwaves.

        Or just use a giant collector mirror and convert to electricity on Earth - such a design could also be used as orbital beam-weapon.

      • Self-sufficient space colonies - survival of the species in case of a large meteor strike or something similar is a benefit.
      • Zero-g manufacturing - I've heard that it's possibly to build some materials only in zero-g, because gravity distorts the forming crystal structure. Does someone know more about this ?
      • Inspiration. People need something to look up to. They need heroes. Currently, movie- rock- and sports stars are fulfulling this role, and of course this leads to a culture completely obsessed with entertainment - it's not the only reason for this problem, but it is a contributing factor.

        It's a bit like politicians starting wars to drown their problems under the flood of patriotism, but channeled with a positive goal, rather than negative.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    7. Re:Benefits by hplasm · · Score: 0

      I've never understood the benefits of leaving the basement. Or the cave. Or the trees for that matter. But, here we are.

      --
      ...and he grinned, like a fox eating shit out of a wire brush.
    8. Re:Benefits by RasendeRutje · · Score: 1

      I'm not joking, the question is: Does very-expensive-space-research ever lead to solutions for real problems? Or are there better invesment/solutions ratios possible by investing in cheaper science?

      --

      If Microsoft was mass, stupidity would be gravity.
    9. Re:Benefits by RasendeRutje · · Score: 0

      Bad example. Columbus simply got lost and found new land. Has anbybody ever got lost in space?

      --

      If Microsoft was mass, stupidity would be gravity.
    10. Re:Benefits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not joking, the question is: Does very-expensive-space-research ever lead to solutions for real problems? Or are there better invesment/solutions ratios possible by investing in cheaper science?

      Well weather sattelites were a concrete solution to the problem of detection and tracking hurricanes in the open ocean, before they get close to populated areas.

    11. Re:Benefits by ftzdomino · · Score: 1

      Self-sufficient space colonies - survival of the species in case of a large meteor strike or something similar is a benefit.

      Earth after a meteor strike will still be far more hospitable than any planet in our solar system. For this goal, the money would be much better spent building indoor greenhouses to provide food.

    12. Re:Benefits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      do an I'm feeling lucky search on google next time for "benefits from space program"

      http://techtran.msfc.nasa.gov/at_home.html

      -Andrew

    13. Re:Benefits by notany · · Score: 2, Informative
      1. infrared body temperature masurement
      2. Left Ventricular Assist Device (heart pump)
      3. The LORAD Stereo Guide Breast Biopsy System
      4. Tempur
      5. Tang
      6. Medical imaging technologies using digital imaging and processing techniques, such as MRI and CAT scans.
      7. Smoke detectors were first used in NASA's Skylab orbiting space station in 1973
      8. bar codes
      9. Lifeshear, a pyrotechnic-based cutting tool
      10. Cordless appliances were first used by Apollo astronauts to drill into the moon's surface and collect rock and soil samples
      11. Excimer laser technology.
      Nasa spinoffs has more
      --
      Dyslexics have more fnu.
    14. Re:Benefits by Darth+Maul · · Score: 3, Insightful

      We should go into space and explore simply because it is there.

      Where has our Manifest Destiny gone these days? We all would rather watch American Idol than ponder the real stars. What a shame.

      --
      --- witty signature
    15. Re:Benefits by rev_sanchez · · Score: 1

      These days porn drives innovation. To you I submit: zero-g porn.

      --
      If you didn't come to party don't bother knocking on my door. Prince '1999'
    16. Re:Benefits by ultranova · · Score: 1

      Earth after a meteor strike will still be far more hospitable than any planet in our solar system. For this goal, the money would be much better spent building indoor greenhouses to provide food.

      A large enough meteor will shatter the Earth's crust, turning the entire planet into a big pool of magma.

      Even lesser impacts can cause huge earthquakes and tsunamis.

      And in any case, I was talking about free-floating space habitats, not planet-based ones - free-floating habitats can avoid meteor strikes simply by moving out of the way. And planet-based habitats are guaranteed to have life-support structures for everyone, while Earth won't likely ever do, and even what infrastructure does exist would be destroyed in the aftermatch of the impact, when everyone was fighting to get to a shelter.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    17. Re:Benefits by Ogive17 · · Score: 1

      Those "zillions" of dollars just wind up going back in to the economy. The only downside I see to big gov't spending is the threat of inflation.

      --
      "Action without philosophy is a lethal weapon; philosophy without action is worthless."
    18. Re:Benefits by icebones · · Score: 1

      Have you ever heard of velcro? It was developed speciically for the space program. Thre are a lot of tech that was derived directly for the needs of the space program that are now very common. This is just one example.

      --
      Life is pain. Anyone who says differently is selling something.
    19. Re:Benefits by drank · · Score: 1

      What I've never understood: what are the benefits of space exploration? Sure it gives information about space, but what's the use?

      Asteroid mining.

      Go on - please be specific here. What minerals do you intend to mine? What is their current and projected cost from terrestrial sources? How much will it cost to locate the target asteroid? How much will it cost to launch equipment, retrieve the minerals from the asteriod, and land the minerals on Earth?

      If you believe sum of those answers is positive, why are you posting on slashdot instead of raising capital for your asteroid mining venture?


      Build really big solar energy collectors, put them into space, and beam the energy to Earth with microwaves.

      What design do you plan to use for the collectors? And for the receiving station? What are the regulatory and safety concerns about microwave beams from orbit, i.e. where can you reasonably put the receiving station? After doing all that, how will the marginal cost-per-kwh compare to, say, a natural-gas or nuclear plant?


      Self-sufficient space colonies - survival of the species in case of a large meteor strike or something similar is a benefit.

      How do we make a self-sufficient colony? Can you point to examples (antarctica, undersea, space station) where humans have done this successfully? If some fundamental research questions are still unresolved, what program of investigation can be expected to answer them? And finally, when you have the design of a colony, how many tons of material will you need to launch to get it going? What will be the costs for launch and assembly?

      I don't really expect that you'd have answers to all those questions. I'm just pointing out that it's absurd to talk about benefits in the absence of costs. The reason why none of the "benefits" on your list are happening today is that they either make no economic sense, or they are impossible with current technology.

      The most fundamental barrier to all manned space applications seems to be the cost per pound of access to low earth orbit. Close behind it is the cost of keeping humans alive once they get to space. It's entirely appropriate to research ways of lowering those costs, but don't expect to see any of the items on your list until both fall an order of magnitude or more.
    20. Re:Benefits by lgw · · Score: 1

      There have been tons of useful engineering spinoffs from technology invented to make space exploration possible. It's possible, of course, that the same money used to fund more directed research might have produced even more useful technology, but I'm not convinced: space exploration is sexy. Some of the best engineers in the world work at rates well below the market because it's space-related.

      Plus, when you're done, you get the *direct* benifits of space exploration. Satellites are pretty damn important for modern life, especially if you live in Florida. Space would be a wonderful place to do manufacturing if we had the technology for it: very cheap power, very cheap raw materials just floating around. An asteroid with a cubic kilometer of platinum plus a furnace that can melt platinum any fuel costs or pollution - hot stuff.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    21. Re:Benefits by multiplexo · · Score: 1
      Weather satellites you dumbshit. Ever think of those? We have weather predictions that are far better than they were before the satellite era. Communications satellies? How about military spysats? Knowing what other countries are doing has been fantastically valuable to the USA and to the former USSR. And then there's GPS, a fantastically valuable benefit the space program has bought us.

      You are fundamentally ignorant as to how scientific advancement works. It's not as if there are a whole bunch of easy solutions out there just waiting for the picking like so much low hanging fruit and that there are problems that aren't being solved because research scientists are haring off on impractical projects. If you want to find out how to solve these problems you have to do basic research. If society followed the stupidly ignorant approach that you advocate we wouldn't, as an example, know anything about DNA because back in the '50s someone would have said to Crick, Watson and Francis "Hey, stop fucking around with all of those X-ray crystallography studies and go work on a polio vaccine." Hell, we probably wouldn't have a polio vaccine because someone would have said to Salk/Sabin "Hey, stop working on that polio vaccine and start working on a better iron lung."

      --
      cheap labor conservatives - they want to keep you hungry enough to be thankful for minimum wage.
    22. Re:Benefits by Walkingshark · · Score: 0

      Hmm, lots of things. Various medical technologies, velcro, advanced missile technology, advanced materials science, advanced computer technology. Lots of stuff has serious roots in the space program. Not to mention that other potential future stuff like the survival of the human race in case of widespread nuclear war.

      --
      The world you experience is only a close approximation of reality.
    23. Re:Benefits by camkind · · Score: 1

      Build really big solar energy collectors, put them into space, and beam the energy to Earth with microwaves.

      We just have to make sure disasters are off before trying this ;)

    24. Re:Benefits by Nathan · · Score: 1

      Dude, come on now...wasn't Tang worth it?

      --
      "E Pluribus Unix"
  24. Monkeys and dogs will not be used for testing. by Fitzroy_Doll · · Score: 2, Funny

    It's been reported that monkeys and dogs have declined to test this round of space vehicles, seeing as there is no ice cream in space.

  25. Military by jeffkjo1 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I can only hope that NASA is allowed to make the final decision on this spacecraft, and is not forced to make concessions to every government department under the sun like happened with the shuttle.

  26. My Idea for the shuttle replacement by Sophrosyne · · Score: 3, Funny

    It should look state of the art with straight-lines, a red stripe down the side... Here are some preliminary designs for NASA:
    Image Here
    Now if we could only get Majel Barrett to do the voice-over for the computer :(

    1. Re:My Idea for the shuttle replacement by Meester+Nice+Guy · · Score: 2, Funny

      Where's Zefram Cochrane when you need him? Steppenwolf - Magic Carpet Ride it was his favorite ...

  27. The Rutan plan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    For a good overview of the Rutan proposal, check this pdf at their website. It's a heckuva read...they advocate building a real frontier which ultimately generates tax revenues. They want to use flotillas of vehicles for redundancy, and keep it simple...eg., to land on the moon, just burn more fuel and land the whole vehicle, instead of just a separate lander. Less development time, less to go wrong, and for the first 20 to 40 flights it's cheaper that way. They also ding NASA for micromanaging...they say engineers should question everything, and you can't do that if you have to justify every deviation from the written plan to NASA's managers.

    1. Re:The Rutan plan by meringuoid · · Score: 1
      It's a heckuva read...they advocate building a real frontier which ultimately generates tax revenues.

      We tried that when we settled North America. Building a real frontier, OK, but you run into serious difficulties when you try to get it to generate tax revenues...

      Especially if the country's being run by a lunatic called George at the time.

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
    2. Re:The Rutan plan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In other words, they're advocating a bazaar approach rather than building yet another expensive cathedral (so now we know. ESR is going into space!). And it's a great idea! More redundancy means more safety. Launching another shuttle if one gets stuck in space may be possible, but it's not easy if you only have three of them and it takes months to prep them. If you have a hundred of them and several are taking off everyday anyway, then it becomes routine. t/Space also seem to be the only ones who are providing some sort of way to eventually stop throwing loads of government money into this.

      Also interesting to see how Boeing, who are competing with Airbus' A380 by building smaller faster planes, are doing it the other way around here, with their big heavy stuff versus t/Space's many small things approach.

      Lourens

    3. Re:The Rutan plan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But it wasn't all King George's fault, the parliment of the time also shares the blame.

    4. Re:The Rutan plan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      otoh, the western frontier worked out well for the United States...ya just gotta treat em right.

    5. Re:The Rutan plan by GMFTatsujin · · Score: 1

      Destroy the Sontarans at every opportunity?

      Ugh. I can't believe I just outed myself like that.

  28. NASA Budget by ibm1130 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The total NASA budget ( $15+ Billion ) is a very small sub 1% fraction of US Gummint spending. Unfortunately it is in the discretionary category and lumped in with some agencies that often have a rancorous debate attached to their estimates. If other gummint agencies' budgets had been constrained the way NASA has been for the last 15 years or so, we probably wouldn't have a deficit, War On Terror notwithstanding.

    1. Re:NASA Budget by Eminence · · Score: 2, Interesting
      The total NASA budget ( $15+ Billion ) is a very small sub 1% fraction of US Gummint spending.

      Pathetic, isn't it? Especially considering that space exploration is in the long run the most important and beneficial government program of all (with military being the second).

    2. Re:NASA Budget by pixelphsr · · Score: 1

      Also, the non-shuttle pieces of NASA are taking a huge hit so that the shuttle and mars programs can keep going. I know for a fact that the budget for the Langley Research Center is down by 16% from last year. LaRC is primarily responcible for aviation / aerospace research. (you know... the first "A" in NASA.) Many of the big wind tunnels there are in mothballs and the administration is trying to have major parts of the center torn down.

      From here, it looks like they are trying to make the center unusable for future programs. Then they'll be able to justify closing the center down. It will go something like this... "Oh, we'd sure love to run those hypersonic vehicle designs though our windtunnels, but they were torn down last year." Or... "Boy, if that Lunar/Mars lander training requirement had come up before we tore down the LEM trainer gantry we could have use *it*, just like we did for the Apollo program."

    3. Re:NASA Budget by Idarubicin · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Especially considering that space exploration is in the long run the most important and beneficial government program of all (with military being the second).

      Eh?

      I suspect that there might be some rather important things going on in some other agencies. Just a thought. I suppose it depends how one chooses to define 'important' and 'beneficial'.

      --
      ~Idarubicin
    4. Re:NASA Budget by Eminence · · Score: 1
      I suspect that there might be some rather important things going on in some other (NIH) agencies (NSF). Just a thought. I suppose it depends how one chooses to define 'important' and 'beneficial'.

      Yeah... tell me - how much would new cures for Parkinson disease or whole knowledge about Antarctic ecosystem be worth when one nice rock would appear on a collision course with our humble little planet? If we won't be able to either deflect/destroy it or flee all the achievements of thousands of years of human civilization would be utterly lost. Wasted. Because someone was too shortsighted to see it coming.

    5. Re:NASA Budget by Idarubicin · · Score: 1
      Yeah... tell me ? how much would new cures for Parkinson disease or whole knowledge about Antarctic ecosystem be worth when one nice rock would appear on a collision course with our humble little planet?

      Actually, I was more concerned with military spending being the second priority. Though now that you mention it, the chance of a rock capable of wiping out civilization showing up in the next ten thousand years or so is pretty remote. (I'd put significantly better odds on civilization being wiped out by that higher military spending, for example.) Yeah--I would rather have a cure for Parkinson's.

      --
      ~Idarubicin
    6. Re:NASA Budget by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, I was more concerned with military spending being the second priority

      Because nothing innovative ever comes from military programs?

      Or because a government's first duty is NOT to protect its citizens?

      Or because you're a clueless fucktard?

    7. Re:NASA Budget by StikyPad · · Score: 1
      It depends how long of a run you're talking about. Health problems might weed out people, national security might bolster our country, but space exploration will secure our species. In the big picture, humanity will suffer much more if we're tied to one planet, also known as the "all of your eggs in one basket" strategy, than if we can spread out.*

      Besides, interplanetary wars will kick ass. Or so I'm told.





      * As long as the EU doesn't make it there first. God forbid an alien's first contact is with a Frenchman.

    8. Re:NASA Budget by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not that nothing good comes from military programs, but the return on the investment is not always that great. Missle defense being a good example. After 20 some years, how much have we spent? And what exactly do we have to show for it?

      While the goverment may be responsible for protecting the citizens. At some point, the citizens are sufficiently protected, and additional spending is just pork for special interests.

    9. Re:NASA Budget by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, funding which would lead to finding such a rock is more likely to come from the NSF than from NASA or the military.

    10. Re:NASA Budget by Eminence · · Score: 1

      Funding that would lead to find a way to actually do something about once we find it is most likely to come from the military budget. As is funding for ensuring that we can spend our time on watching the sky or trying to get there instead of settling in for a good way of finding the direction to Mecca few times a day.

  29. Re:lack of funds by Sophrosyne · · Score: 1

    The only reason is that the economy has fallen apart and he is looking to pork barrel his way out... War, Nasa-- it's like the 80's all over again.

  30. One space vehicle, hold the politics by EaterOfDog · · Score: 1, Flamebait

    The politicians will f*ck this up like everything else. Remember the booster rockets for the shuttle had to be made in California? And they were too long to ship, so they had to be built in sections rather than in one piece? Then the gasket between the sections failed and caused the first shuttle accident? Because some politician had to be sure his state got a slice of the pie. And here we go again.

    --

    Crushing my karma one post at a time.
    1. Re:One space vehicle, hold the politics by jnik · · Score: 1

      The SRB's were permitted to be built in sections because otherwise they would need to be shipped by sea, and that was counter to an open bidding process. The winning bid was from Morton-Thiokol, based in Utah (and thus landlocked), not California.

      The O-ring failed because politicians pushed and pushed for a launch in conditions significantly worse than those known to cause substantial O-ring erosion.

    2. Re:One space vehicle, hold the politics by EaterOfDog · · Score: 2, Informative

      You are right about the location, your full of shit otherwise. http://www.ae.utexas.edu/~lehmanj/ethics/srb.htm

      Political Compromises in the Contract The nature of the political connections between the Space Program and prominent figures of the state of Utah has long been debated. Utah Senators Jake Garn and Frank Moss have been active supporters of the Space Program, particularly when it benefits Utah-based industries. There is nothing wrong with this; Representatives of Congress are expected to be interested in furthering the activities of their constituents. The real cloud of suspicion hung over former Morton Thiokol employees who worked for NASA at the time of the contract award, and the head of NASA itself, Dr. James Fletcher [4]. Dr. Fletcher served as the President of the University of Utah from 1964 through 1971. His connections with the state and its industries were numerous and far reaching, but he denied that these connections had any influence on his decision to award the SRB contract to Morton Thiokol. However, many people who observed the contract award process remained unconvinced. Fletcher's inability to provide solid reasons for the selection of Morton Thiokol over Aerojet did nothing to ease the controversy surrounding the decision; his reasons were vague and referred to minor points in the advisory committee's study. NASA's refusal to discuss whether former Morton Thiokol employees had been part of the advisory committee simply fueled speculation of wrong-doing. Whether Morton Thiokol used political influence to secure the SRB contract has never been determined, but lack of clear answers caused many to conclude that the contract may have been awarded improperly[1].p/)

      --

      Crushing my karma one post at a time.
    3. Re:One space vehicle, hold the politics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Which proves what?

      That Morton was incompetent?

      That Aerojet had the better proposal?

      That O-rings were not a workable solution?

      Or that you don't know what the fuck you're talking about?

  31. Space Tug Boat. by Doverite · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Why not build a small powerful space tug boat instead of a truck. Large payloads could be launched into space unmanned. Then the tug could pull them over and attach them to the ISS and leave them there, or drop them over the ocean when done if need be. The ISS gets completed faster and we have a small reusable space plane that could be used more efficiently and more frequently and it wouldn't need crew quarters or sleeping quarters it would use the ISS as a base station. It could be fitted with a smaller crew and quarters for higher missions such as to the Hubble if it is still there or whatever. We don't have to keep dragging tons of equipment back and forth to orbit. Part of the danger of the shuttle is its size so keep the reusable part smaller and safer. We could even build an unmanned parachuting return vehicle for bringing large equipment back down.

    --
    You can legislate morally you can't legislate morality
    1. Re:Space Tug Boat. by hcdejong · · Score: 1

      If you build something that relies on ISS, you're limiting yourself to ISS' orbit. Hubble would be unreachable.

    2. Re:Space Tug Boat. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You mean like the ESA's Automated Transfer Vehicle (ATV) that will come in to service very soon?

  32. Not Addressing The Real Problem by FireIron · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Unfortunately, neither the new Bush space initiatives, nor a new spaceship design will fix all the things that are wrong with the federal space program. Key among these problems is the lack of clear leadership and good management on NASA's Board of Directors, a.k.a. the US Congress.

    Congress has never been able to give NASA a set of clear goals, and then provided it with the long-term funding to meet those goals. This has forced NASA into sort of bureaucratic survival mode, lurching along from fiscal year to fiscal year, trying to keep moving the ball forward without a long-term roadmap to follow.

  33. Re:lack of funds by Dagny+Taggert · · Score: 1

    "the economy has fallen apart"...by what measure? Or is this just a hit and run that we are supposed to accept without question?

    --
    Don't be a looter...and yes, I know that it's spelled with an "A" instead of an "E".
  34. Orbital is with Lockheed Martin for the CEV by MtbRocket · · Score: 0

    I just wanted to mention that Orbital has joined the "all star" team with Lockheed on the CEV.

  35. Awesome... by Chanc_Gorkon · · Score: 2, Insightful

    FINALLY! This will be some exciting times in the aerospace community. I don't hold hope for Burt Rutan to be able to top Northup Grumman/Boeing or Lockheed Martins team but I sure as heck hope that the follwing things are considered:

    1. Modern, yet tested hardware for the flight computers and a way to upgrade them easily should they be needed. I still like the idea of multiple redundant computers and a voting structure that the shuttle uses for it's flight computers.

    2. Reuseablity is nice, but can be expensive as the shuttle has pointed out. If we do go reusable, I hope we find some new heat shielding that is less fragile.

    3. Ejection seets for the crew or a crew module rescue system of some sort.

    4. Sensor the HECK out of it. Put little cameras in the superstructure and have one monitor cycle through them on both launch and landing. If teh crew sees something the least bit suspicious, they can initiate a emergency eject.

    5. Make it FAST to launch another incase there's damage to one crew module. Maybe make it so that we launch 2 at the same time with both being capable of holding the whole crew in a emergency landing situation. You could even make sure one is always on orbit and is in good shape(docked at ISS or whatever).

    6. Make it REPAIRABLE in space either via ISS assistance or a small repair kit heald on board.

    I could go on, but this is the opportunity to make a funcitonal system that is much safer then the shuttle. Consider that the shuttle's design is almost 30-40 years old and BOTH planes and cars are MUCH safer today then ones designed that long ago.

    --

    Gorkman

    1. Re:Awesome... by johannesg · · Score: 1
      Ejection seets for the crew

      Because, when your vehicle disintegrates while entering the atmosphere at mach 20 or so, you _really_ need some way of leaving it...

    2. Re:Awesome... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Consider that the shuttle's design is almost 30-40 years old and BOTH planes and cars are MUCH safer today then ones designed that long ago.

      The Boeing 737 first entered service in 1968, the 747 in 1970. I've flown on several of these the last few years- they are still quite safe, even though their original designs or now close to 40 years old. Most passenger planes out there right now stem from designs that are as old as the shuttle, with the safety improvements coming from modifying the designs and meticulous upkeep of the planes. Just because it's old is no reason to throw it out.
    3. Re:Awesome... by WhiplashII · · Score: 1

      What is interesting is that in both LOV so far, the crew bulkhead survived most of the flight (all the way down for challenger). So you don't necesarilly need an ejection system - just a parachute on the crew compartment. The vessel come apart by itself.

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
    4. Re:Awesome... by StikyPad · · Score: 1

      I don't think safety needs to be *that* high of a priority. We're not talking about consumer transportation here -- we're talking about a specialized device used to transport people who willingly face the very real possibility of death on every mission, many times due to things that are completely beyond anyone's control. Safety is only practical until it reaches the point where it's cheaper to retry a failed mission from scratch than plan for every inevitability to ensure success the first time.

    5. Re:Awesome... by jesterzog · · Score: 1

      5. Make it FAST to launch another incase there's damage to one crew module. Maybe make it so that we launch 2 at the same time with both being capable of holding the whole crew in a emergency landing situation. You could even make sure one is always on orbit and is in good shape(docked at ISS or whatever).

      6. Make it REPAIRABLE in space either via ISS assistance or a small repair kit heald on board.

      At the risk of offering slashdot-level pointless expertise (but I enjoy it), I guess alternatives to these two could include the possibility of carrying an escape capsule, as an alternative to relying on an entire shuttle or whatever, which is what I think you're suggesting. It could be one that can be taken with the spacecraft so that the crew could escape (similar to the spare Soyuz on the ISS), and ideally the main craft would be able to maintain its orbit on minimal power until a repair crew could be arranged.

      If that's not feasible to take an escape capsule up and down on every trip, a further alternative might be to arrange for a network of in-orbit escape capsules with which a main craft could rendezvous if necessary, or have a backup escape capsule or two on standby to be launched if necessary.

  36. Re:lack of funds by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What does your rant have to do with anything?

    I suppose the economy of the world is Bushes fault also?

    Between March 2000 and the 2000 election I lost $150,000 in my 401K. I'm nicely up now about $200,000 since the 2000 election. The last quarter alone was up $59,000.

    I'd say the economy is doing pretty good AND getting better.

  37. Von Braun by meringuoid · · Score: 2, Funny
    In the United States, he is regarded as a hero of the space program.

    You, too, could be a big hero, once you've learned to count backwards to zero...

    --
    Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
    1. Re:Von Braun by sconeu · · Score: 1

      Vonce rrrockets go up, who cares vhere zey come down!
      Zat's not my department!

      --
      General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
    2. Re:Von Braun by Lars+T. · · Score: 1

      The count-down was an invention of another German

      --

      Lars T.

      To the guy who modded me down from perfect to terrible Karma - Apple haters still suck

  38. Delta 4-Heavy by Guppie · · Score: 1

    Not NASA as such, but their supplier Boeing is working on scaling up the Delta 4 vehicle by clustering several rockets. (http://www.spaceflightnow.com/delta/d4h.html/.) A cluster of 3 rockets was tested in December, with 6 or 7 rockets it should be able to launch a CEV into orbit.

  39. Re:NASA Can't get their head out of their ass by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    How about a very long line of successes for one. They put payloads into orbit sometimes multiple times in a week. After all, they DO have rocket scientists! They have had failures, however they are very few and far between. They have also found that catastrophic failures resulted in many independent failures that happen to have resulted in the catastrophic failure (things are too routine usually - my opinion).

    What makes YOU think they can't get a new rocket into orbit? Did the NY Times tell you that? Whatever your source, stop reading it. They are full of it. NASA still leads the world in science. In fact the ONLY space bound photo's of the recent Tsunami are from NASA. Who made it to Saturn recently? NASA. There is an ass that has a head in it, however it isn't NASA (i.e. check your own head, that brown stuff doesn't seem to be hair on you).

  40. Re:get the priorities right by hplasm · · Score: 0
    here are so many needy and poor in the country? So many elderly who do not have medicare. So many homeless shivering during the cold winters? Why do they not feed the hungry first?

    They will all be happy On The MOON!!! :)

    --
    ...and he grinned, like a fox eating shit out of a wire brush.
  41. Re:lack of funds by Sophrosyne · · Score: 2, Informative

    The american economy is a mess. To the point that America is borrowing money from China in order to trade with them. Where Wal*Mart accounts for 8% of the national debt. The unemployment rate is 5.4%, The american dollar is losing value because of the weak economy, to the point that it's dangering the Canadian economy. America has been cutting its interest rates to spur growth, and avoid deflation. I have no vested interest in American politics, but America is in a recession- wake up.

  42. Re:lack of funds by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Funding was dropped as result of a Republican controlled Congress. Not Democratic administration. That was back when Republicans championed themselves as fiscally responsible.

  43. Dump stupid ideas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    NASA needs to dump the really stupid ideas like launching vehicles at the lowest practical point on earth - sea level. The Apollo launch pads (also used for the space shuttles) are literally just above sea level. Stupid! Stupid! Stupid! If they located them in Denver for example (mile high city), they would literally be a mile higher. Care to guess how much fuel is burned to raise a Saturn V rocket 1 mile into the air? The reason they did that at the time was because it was still experimental and they wanted debris to fall into the ocean if things exploaded.

    I like the freedom-1 approach better (pioneered in the 1960's). Use a conventional plane to raise the payload up into the edge of space and start from there. They can do it. Beats the hell out of what they are doing now.

    1. Re:Dump stupid ideas by oliana · · Score: 1

      It's been a while since my grade school science class but I believe that the more important aspect of location is it's distance from the poles (or proximity to the equator). Most space launched items use the earth's rotation to offer additional "thrust" into space.

      http://www-spof.gsfc.nasa.gov/stargaze/StarFAQ3.ht m#q62Someone who has more credentials than me agrees.

      --
      In Soviet Russia, asses suck this joke.
    2. Re:Dump stupid ideas by Duhavid · · Score: 1

      I shant repeat what the sibling poster posted ( although I believe that that is true... ). I

      Another consideration is that when using the Florida launch sites, the rockets go out over the Atlantic ocean. There are fewer people and things to destroy "downrange" this way, in case of failure.

      --
      emt 377 emt 4
    3. Re:Dump stupid ideas by lgw · · Score: 1

      Yep, it's no accident that our two big space centers are on the south end of the east coast and the south end of the eastern gulf coast. The combination of lattitude and launching over the sea is where the payoff is.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    4. Re:Dump stupid ideas by WhiplashII · · Score: 1

      All true - so why don't we launch from the top of moana loa volcano in Hawaii?

      I guess even rocket guys have to draw the line at destroying those beautiful mountains...

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
    5. Re:Dump stupid ideas by Duhavid · · Score: 1


      Maybe we should *make* a mountain!
      Invade some South American countries, so that we are *very* close to the equator, make a nice big mountain right there, with launch facilities on the top, lots of access roads, aircraft landing facilities, etc, etc. We'll pick someplace that isnt too good looking for the site.

      --
      emt 377 emt 4
    6. Re:Dump stupid ideas by cjameshuff · · Score: 1

      By the time the Saturn V was 1 mile in the air, it was also moving at a very high speed. Simply starting from a high altitude doesn't give you much of an advantage. Climbing to orbital altitude is far easier than reaching orbit.

      In addition, the fuel is one of the cheapest parts of a launch. Using a carrier plane makes things far more mechanically and bureaucratically complex, puts additional stresses on the vehicle that a pure vertical launch vehicle wouldn't need to withstand, and limits you to what an aircraft can lift, all in the name of saving a small amount (relative to the total amount required) of fuel which would almost certainly be cheaper than all the overhead of launching from a flying aircraft or a mountaintop.

      And as others mentioned, you can get a bigger boost simply by moving toward the equator. An equatorial launch platform positioned at sea would provide security as well, from bad weather (very rare on the equator, especially compared to coastal Florida) or deliberate interference.

  44. Idea: Let the real competitors make bids too by notany · · Score: 1
    If USA would really like to make cheap, reliable, CEV fast they should let Russia, China, Japan and EU in bidding (maybe India too).

    China and russia have working and tested CEV:s already (think of it! space modules from USA, Russia and China have standard mutually compatiple docking mecanism already). If all earthlings work together we have moonlander in no time.

    This should be done as commercial manner as possible (just business) One big main contractor (Boeing), modular desing and that could be done.

    But of course this would be free competition and capitalism. Not good.

    --
    Dyslexics have more fnu.
  45. Does this matter? by randall_burns · · Score: 1
    Bigelow's America's Space Prize is already funded. This Nasa program sounds like yet another boondoggle with no real clear criteria for success(which means "customer management" can determine the winner). I'm not saying Bigelow's prize is _perfect_ but it sounds like more a real competition.


    What I'd rather see here:
    a series of smaller prizes that required the winner to disclose their technology(as effectively Open Source). The reason for smaller prizes is that is would make the financial entry ticket less-which would mean more competitors. Basically you break the project down-and the end result is a working launch system--but even if you get it wrong, you've still disclosed a lot of decent technology that can be used by other folks.

  46. Nasa WAS working on heavy lifting in shuttle form. by fejes · · Score: 1
    They had a program called the X35, which was a prototype of a new craft designed to lift a heavier load than the shuttle, be more cost effective than the shuttle, and still retain the shuttle's basic body shape, although based on the lifting body concept, in many respects.

    Unbelievably, NASA waited until the engines had passed all of their tests and until *nearly all* of the core components of the X35 were assembled on the factory floor before they canned the whole project. And now, 4 years later, it sounds like they're going to start over from scratch.

    On days like this, I'm glad I don't have to pay US taxes!

    --
    The more you know, the more you know you don't know.
  47. Robotic Exploration? by digitalgimpus · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I admit I love human exploration, but after the Mars Rovers have had such success, I wonder if it's cheaper to consider researching that more.

    Leave Human exploration to harder goals (Mars). But for experiments in orbit, repair missions, etc. Why not consider robotics?

    The Mars rovers have done a very impressive job. I'd bet if NASA put the effort into robotics that it did into the Moon Launch effort.... they would be 10000X better.

    They can also work more, don't suffer from fatigue, don't need life support systems, etc.

    I'd like to see the human/robot space exporation roles change. Save humans for stuff like going to Mars, or the Moon, or other places where the goal is to get a person there. But lets use Robots for the most dangerious stuff, and situations where a Robot can easily do the job.

    IMHO a shuttle should be looking at Earth --> Mars.

    1. Re:Robotic Exploration? by lumpenprole · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I hate to be a rtfa poster, but that's exactly what one of the competitors is suggesting. Although they seem to be focusing on teleoperation instead of autonomic tech.

      --
      Disclaimer: MINAA (Mummy! I'm Not An Animal!)
  48. Re:RTFA???? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hey, mod parent up! That was funny! (You know, becuase /.ers don't actually read the articles - get it?)

  49. I have a suggestion by bloggins02 · · Score: 1

    I think it would be cool if the link(s) to the actual article were a different color or style than the other links, that way it would be clear at a glance which link is the main article and which are supplementary.

    1. Re:I have a suggestion by MagPulse · · Score: 1

      The problem there is that people expect links to be green. If you make them say, purple, people will think they already clicked them. And if they're another color, it'll make the paragraph even more confusing. I think any hints about what the links are to should be textual.

      It's the same principle in news stories why they don't use bold and italic, e.g. the cat was stuck in the tree, it was REALLY HIGH!. It ruins the flow of the text.

    2. Re:I have a suggestion by Drakonian · · Score: 1

      Well, make it different formatting then... like offset, above the blurb. Use the same principle as a newspaper headline.

      --
      Random is the New Order.
    3. Re:I have a suggestion by rhombic · · Score: 1

      Obviously, they should make the link to the main story blink.

      --
      1984 was supposed to be a warning, not an instruction manual.
    4. Re:I have a suggestion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, actually I expect links to be blue. That is still the default link unvisited link color. People can obviously deal with green, so you've now got two colors you can use for main and supplemental links. Be consistent about it, and slashdotters will know what they mean.

    5. Re:I have a suggestion by danila · · Score: 1

      Green? What, do you mean there are people that use the default Slashdot scheme instead of the text-only PDA/black-on-white eye-friendly HTML-classic mode?

      --
      Future Wiki -- If you don't think about the future, you cannot have one.
  50. Amazing... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You people that continue to tout SpaceShipOne over NASA are either seriosly ignorant or mildly retarded. What they did was wonderful, but it was done by NASA 50 years ago.

    This will be a real test, apples to apples... not "wow look how cheap Scaled Composites can produce 50 year old technology! OMFG NASA got 0wn3d!"

  51. Germans saying Mars by 2009? by Phosphan · · Score: 1
    Where did you get that from? I guess you mean "Mars Society Deutschland e.V." - that's just a society of people who want the goverment to plan manned mars missions for the future(together with other countries).

    You got that 2009 figure most likely from Archimedes which is not manned.

  52. No Ice Cream?! by spun · · Score: 1

    So that's the The Terrible Secret of Space! Now I finally know why those robots are so messed up.

    --
    - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
  53. Re:Article summary repost with important points ad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    > Michael Sims has been fired

    So, umm, does Netcraft confirm it?

  54. Re:Nasa WAS working on heavy lifting in shuttle fo by demachina · · Score: 1

    Think you are mistaken. The X-35 is Lockheeds prototype for the Joint Strike Fighter.

    Maybe you are refering to the X-30 National Aerospace Plane(NASP). OK you are mistaken there too. About the only part of that was built was a prototype Hydrogen fuel tank built by Lockheed. An old timer told them that using composites for it would never work, they didn't listen. As soon as they started testing it the layers in the tank started separating and it basicly fell part. Then the program was killed. They should have listened to the old timer.

    As for the engines the closest thing they've gotten to the engines were the recent SCRAMJET tests NASA did. They are tiny scale models, being brought up to the narrow speed envelope where they actually work by a Pegasus booster, and only burned for a very short interval. The NASP design isn't even close to being feasible and may never be. You have to overcome the hurdle of find air breathing engines that work across a huge range of Mach numbers, or have multiple engines and rockets. IT has the same problem as the shuttle, huge amounts of dead weight that are being hauled into orbit and back again. Really the ONLY thing it gains is it not carrying oxygen on board since its getting it out of the atmosphere as long as its in the atmosphere.

    All in all I would say this was mostly another NASA/Lockheed/Boeing fantasy. Not sure Lockheed or Boeing even believed in it they just wanted to suck as much money out of NASA's veins as they could before it got killed. They all created so many, promo films, and 3D models of it that they flew around on computers they actually kidded themselves in to thinking it would work.

    --
    @de_machina
  55. China, Science, the Economy and the Space Elevator by metope · · Score: 5, Interesting

    First of all, I think that China will probably beat the US in terms of manned space exploration. They will go back to the moon before the US even finishes their new space vehicles. This is sad because China apparently understand economics better than current US leaders do. It might seem that the Apollo program was just a big expensive government program but the truth is that all the expensive science generated far more money that it spent. Science is good for the economy for it provides people with technology that lifts the economy and increases growth in the country. As complicated as going to the Moon and Mars and expensive as it seems might be, it is good for the economy. All the new technologies generate new industries which will further the economic growth. Our leaders in the US have forgotten that by limiting science funding and cancelling things like the particle accelerator in Texas. Second and most important, it is too expensive to think of old ways to get out of this planet. The best and most efficient way is to build the SPACE ELEVATOR. Fund nanotechnologies to get the cable for the elevator built. It is estimated that it would cost $100 a pound at the beginning to lift things into orbit using the elevator and maybe even go down to $1 a pound as more elevators are built. Science fiction but so was landing on the moon before Apollo 11.

  56. Count out the "all-stars" by borgheron · · Score: 2, Informative

    All companies like Boeing, Lockheed, Raytheon, etc. really do is figure out how expensive and over costly can they make the project so that the result we be this huge iron beast which is neither practical nor fully reusable, as there has to be a "sustainable revenue stream".

    Look more towards the underdogs in this fight.

    GJC

    --
    Gregory Casamento
    ## Chief Maintainer for GNUstep
    1. Re:Count out the "all-stars" by drxenos · · Score: 1

      As someone who actually works for one of these companies (Lockheed), I can say that you know absolutely nothing about what the hell you are talking about. We have to remain cost effective and produce results, or we would simply not get any more contacts.

      --


      Anonymous Cowards suck.
    2. Re:Count out the "all-stars" by borgheron · · Score: 1

      As someone who actually works for one of these companies (Lockheed), I can say that you know absolutely nothing about what the hell you are talking about.

      I once worked for Raytheon and with Lockheed on a NASA project for about three years. :)

      While that project didn't suffer from the problems I describe, there were other projects which, in my opinion, were pure fluff. Now this is, of course, *Raytheon* I'm talking about, not Lockheed.

      Large companies, in my experience, are less agile than smaller companies simply because of the processes and other corporate cruft which takes place.

      In fairness, I didn't say that I once worked for one of these companies.. so, you had no way of knowing that I actually do know what the "hell" I'm talking about at least when it comes to the one I worked for.

      GJC

      --
      Gregory Casamento
      ## Chief Maintainer for GNUstep
  57. Re:Nasa WAS working on heavy lifting in shuttle fo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    From the GP's description I would say the X-33 is what it was refering to.

    http://www.hq.nasa.gov/office/pao/History/x-33/men u1.htm

  58. Where's Gerry Anderson & Martin Bower's Entry by Alan+Partridge · · Score: 0

    I never liked the shuttle design much, far better were Gerry's "Eagles" from Space: 1999.

    --
    That was classic intercourse!
  59. Re:Isn't having a goal more important than a vehic by korielgraculus · · Score: 1

    Not having a dig, but it is a touch ironic that whilst explaining how straight forward everything is, you used two acronyms :)

  60. He means the X33 by johannesg · · Score: 1
    Based on his description, I believe the grandparent is referring to the X-33, also known as "venture star".

    As for listening to old timers, sometimes it is a good idea to listen to experience, and sometimes it is better to avoid those who are stuck in a certain mode of thinking that may have been obsoleted by advances in knowledge.

    1. Re:He means the X33 by fejes · · Score: 1

      Thanks, yes, I meant the X33 (It's been a few years since I've looked at the designations for the projects. I should have done a quick google before posting...)

      At any rate, the engines were tested, and passed, althought it's clear there were a few scale-up issue that they faced, however all of the components were demonstrated successfully.

      The issue with the tanks was just stupid - they were trying to reduce the weight of the fuel tanks, which didn't work. Right before the project was canned, I recall a few articles being written on the subject, essentially saying that other materials would be substituted for the fuel tank shells. Essentially, they bit off more than they could chew, but hey, what's a ground breaking project without a few mistakes?

      At any rate, they were testing new concepts, some of which worked and some of which didn't. My oringinal point was that I think some of those lessons will be lost when they start over from scratch on all of these new "shuttle replacement" projects.

      Knowledge is a terrible thing to lose.

      --
      The more you know, the more you know you don't know.
    2. Re:He means the X33 by ckaminski · · Score: 1

      The issue with the X33, other than pretty hefty cost overruns, was primarily the immaturity of working with composite materials the size required of the fuel tanks. When tank separation occurred onloading fuel, they had to move to an Al tank to make the launch deadline.

      Some bureaucraft felt this meant the project was a failure, and bam. X33 killed. It makes little sense. The X38 technology demonstrator was well along in development, was a perfect CEV, and would have been the ISS lifeboat. That too, was killed.

      If the politicians of FY2000 could have forseen the catastrophe of Feb 2, 2003, we'd probably just be talking about putting the CRV on top of a Delta IV, and using 3 man shuttle crews to deliver station components. The hubble mission would have been a no-op, you could have sent an unmanned rescue CRV atop a Delta 4 to rescue any stranded Shuttle astronauts...

      What a waste.

  61. Re:Funding diverted to Vietnam by Macrat · · Score: 2, Informative

    You forget that there was this little investment going on in Vietnam at the time.

  62. Yikes! by JohnnyLocust · · Score: 1

    That would be a very expensive failure for second place. Something like that could bankrupt a smaller company. http://buttnakedbroadcasting.blogspot.com/

  63. Re:Isn't having a goal more important than a vehic by JediTrainer · · Score: 1

    Not having a dig, but it is a touch ironic that whilst explaining how straight forward everything is, you used two acronyms :)

    Sorry, I was in a rush because I had a meeting to go to, so didn't have time to type it in full :)

    LEO - Low Earth Orbit

    CEV - Crew Exploration Vehicle

    --

    You can accomplish anything you set your mind to. The impossible just takes a little longer.
  64. Link to Northrop Grumman news release by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    http://www.irconnect.com/noc/press/pages/news_rele ases.mhtml?d=71298 And of course, I'm a little biased since I work for NGC.

  65. Crew Exploration Vehicle by dilvish_the_damned · · Score: 1

    I know it gets harder and harder to come up with original names, but come on, at least make it a little accurate. Crew Exploration Vehicle sounds like an anal probe.

    --
    I think you underestimate just how much I just dont care.
  66. Re:Isn't having a goal more important than a vehic by ButtNutt · · Score: 0

    I feel like the 80/20 rule applies here. If we look at what the shuttle really does (and did in two examples) it was to put satellites in orbit. This can easily be done with robotics and the like. It also ferries people to the ISS (for what reason I have no idea). This ranks up there with "space tourism". As far as going to Mars, this is a "fame and glory" exercise (a la JFK) and is trying to solve a completely different problem. I feel that the one size fits all isint the way to go and also since there really isint anything too commercially viable to justify spending the loot for Mars. The focus should be what the mission really is for. Satellites. The profit that can drive a serious program. My 2c

  67. Rockets: Win launch efficency by oblivionboy · · Score: 1, Insightful

    People who talk about space programmes (at least at Slashdot) seem to fall into two sets of camps.

    1) Send rockets into space with a space capsule (reusable or not, we really don't care).

    2) Use a reusable space plane.

    Now the people in the first camp will argue about efficiency, and cost, and reliability. They've got a million reasons, much like those that advocate only sending robotic space probes into space, and forget manned space flight.

    Because I don't agree with them, and also to bring a smile to my face, I like to believe they like this idea because rockets resemble a big penis (something they may be lacking themselves), and that the "capsule" at the end is like the ejaculation of sperm into space. But again this is just my personal opinion.

    What the people in the first camp DO lack is efficiency of the imagination. Thats for sure. They see a short term solution which forestalls a long term one.

    The people in the second group, are more visionairy, and understand that in order to make space really accessible and interesting to humanity, you need something thats more like a space plane. Something that does not need to be manufactured for each flight and transported to a certain location (rocket). Something that can be turned around maintenance wise within 24-48 hours, and is preferably SSTO. Its no coincidence that Scaled Composites space ship that won the X-Prize was a space plane. And its no coincidence that Richard Branson signed up with Scaled Composits right away to start Virgin Galactic -- a service to take people up into outer space for around $250,000 a flight. It matches all of these qualifications, and more than just some metallic cylendar sitting on a launch pad, it captures the imagination.

    Also with a rocket you lack the pushing of technology forward. Building something that does SSTO and goes from Tokyo to New York in an hour, will require serious advances. And these advances could have (and probably would have) a huge impact in other areas. With a rocket, you just use refined 50s and 60s technology. In fact, if you consider that most rocket designs are still based on the V2, this would in fact be 40s technology. Sure reliable and cheap. Save it for Arianne Space. But for NASA, who's initial setup was to push the envelope as it were in space and space related technologies, its a bit disappointing to take a BACKWARDS step.

    Anyways here's a neat little page that talks about past and future launch vehciles. Notice that there aren't alot of rockets. :)

    1. Re:Rockets: Win launch efficency by lgw · · Score: 1

      Well, do you want good engineering, or a jobs program for scientists? Not that I object to the latter, but let's be clear what we're talking about.

      If we want to do space exploration cheaply, let's work with technology that's already field tested. That will always knock a zero off the cost, and give you better reliability.

      If we want to advance technology by spending huge sums of money, and maybe accidentally get someone into orbit during the process, that's great too, but I don't think there's much popular support for that approach these days.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  68. Am I overly optimistic? by RatPh!nk · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I am very optimistic about this endeavor. Is anyone else going to be disappointed with a vehicle that is not a standard takeoff and landing vehicle (instead of a multiple rocket/stage, shuttle like vehicle)? It would seem to be the next logical step. Apollo was rocket launched and uncontrolled descent. The shuttle was multi-stage rocket launch, but a controlled, gliding descent, re-usable vehicle. The next logical step, to me, woud be a vehicle that is more aircraft like, losing the rocket launch all together. Is the technology there? Will it be in 10 years?

    Just a thought........

    --
    Argh. The laws of science be a harsh mistress.
  69. could you explain by khallow · · Score: 1
    About the only thing they can't do is bring things back down from orbit. But, really, if we want a real future in space the biggest issue is getting things up there.

    I'm not trying to give you a hard time, but capsules are designed specifically to bring things down from space. Is it rather that they don't have the payload that a Shuttle has? For some things, you might be able to get away with spray painting some ablative coating on the material and decelerating it into the atmosphere.

    1. Re:could you explain by NardofDoom · · Score: 1
      Yeah, payload. That's what I meant.

      But why use ablative coating when there's water? It's very plentiful, it's a byproduct of fuel cells, and you won't need it on the way down.

      Maybe a small pod that attaches to a payload and sprays a fine mist in the direction of travel throughout reentry?

      --
      You have two hands and one brain, so always code twice as much as you think!
    2. Re:could you explain by WhiplashII · · Score: 1

      Something like this has been proposed many times. The real difficulty is in getting the mist to be evenly distributed. Remember, this isn't a gentle breeze blowing by - it is a mach 25 wind! Getting a water mist to stay where you want it under those conditions is very hard. The best approaches seem to be a porous skin, but even then the pores will clog - and TLV quickly follows.

      On the other hand, ablative coating automatically provide more insulation where more is needed - it automatically spreads the load. Solids are much nicer in this regard.

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
    3. Re:could you explain by khallow · · Score: 1
      But why use ablative coating when there's water? It's very plentiful, it's a byproduct of fuel cells, and you won't need it on the way down.

      Well, less weight and maybe you want that water up in orbit. OTOH, maybe a thick layer of ice might serve as an ablation layer.

      Water on the other hand does serve as a nice heat transfer fluid. Ie, circulate the water through the heat shield and say eject it under pressure in the center. This would result in a trapped layer of steam in the center of the heat shield. Probably along the lines of what you were thinking of.

  70. Re:It writes itself by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    (Begin simulated "Average Slashdotter" post:)

    He's Rutan - he can do anything! Using his faerie elf-magic, he and his team of mystical gnomes, working in their fortress of solitude, made the miraculous SPACE SHIP ONE, a craft that truly embarassed NASA because it got to orbit for only a couple thousand dollars, when NASA said it took billions. They're so embarrassed that they're not saying anything!

  71. ummm by MerryGoByeBye · · Score: 1

    It's always great fun to imagine what could be, but until the money for this actually shows up, there's little point in getting excited.

    This is, after all, the administration which just cut Hubble loose. Remember?

  72. I thought Buck Rogers spaceships landed on fins by Latent+Heat · · Score: 2, Interesting
    I thought the whole point about Buck Rogers (thinking the old version, not the Erin Gray/Gil Gerard version), was that spaceships landed tail first with their engines firing for braking thrust and landed on their tail fins.

    When I heard about the DC-X approach to reusable spacecraft reentry and landing, my reaction was "that is so Buck Rogers" meaning that I didn't think that landing on rocket thrust made sense.

    But the Soyuz lands tail first on rocket thrust (it has braking rockets for the final ground contact to supplement the parachute), and that has advantages over wings and wheels.

    So saying Buck Rogers should mean a solution without wings and wheels.

  73. Wrong. by i41Overlord · · Score: 1

    Spoken like a true Nasa zealot. It took the guys at Scaled composites to show you that they could build a cheap light, ingenious low-earth-orbit vehicle and launch it cheaply from its mother plane.

    Spoken like yet another noob who has no clue what he's talking about.

    SpaceShip One was NOT an ingenious low-earth-orbit vehicle. It was not a LEO vehicle at all.

    1. Re:Wrong. by essreenim · · Score: 1
      I am, by my own admission, a noob in this area But whatever orbit Space Ship One entered (decaying orbit ?) it is still very impressive. When the Soviets put the first man in space it must have been a similar altitude (about 100KM), and that was a whole country. Space Ship One's insertion was far more elegant. I just wish Nasa would build something more worthy. There is nothing inspiring about the space shuttle or the Soyuz rockets. It was refreshing to see a small craft get into orbitr without creating enough smog pollute a small country.

    2. Re:Wrong. by i41Overlord · · Score: 1

      I am, by my own admission, a noob in this area But whatever orbit Space Ship One entered (decaying orbit ?) it is still very impressive. When the Soviets put the first man in space it must have been a similar altitude (about 100KM), and that was a whole country. Space Ship One's insertion was far more elegant. I just wish Nasa would build something more worthy. There is nothing inspiring about the space shuttle or the Soyuz rockets. It was refreshing to see a small craft get into orbitr without creating enough smog pollute a small country.

      Spaceship one did not achieve anything close to any type of orbit at all. It did not have the speed or power possible to do that. It merely went up to an altitude high enough to be considered "space", then glided down. This is not remotely close to what the Soviets did with Yuri Gagarin.

      As for the Soviets, they launched Yuri Gagarin up in a proper rocket capable of producing the power needed for orbit. It achieved orbital velocity of 24,000 km/hr, went up to an altitude of around 300 Km, and made an entire orbit of the Earth before landing.

      The difference in the amount of energy needed to do this, compared to what Spaceship One did, is enormous. Spaceship One only had a few percent of the energy needed to go into orbit.

    3. Re:Wrong. by OneOver137 · · Score: 1

      Sorry to burst your bubble on this one. The media ran this story up like Rutan was doing something new. In fact, from a technical standpoint, he did nothing new. His claim to fame was that it was privately funded. When Dick and his buds are hauling satellites to geo for a fraction of the price, I'll be impressed.

  74. Re:Isn't having a goal more important than a vehic by RcktMan77 · · Score: 1

    Usually at this early phase of a program the requirements are not too specific, because the funding office is looking for new ideas and approaches to their problem. They want the contractors to present them with a number of solutions from which they can say we like this approach or not. Or this solution is a bit too expensive for us and so forth. As as an engineer in the field I can say this can be somewhat frustrating at times, but it's just part of a process. Further details are eventually provided as the program advances.

  75. The 'experience' of the major players by tolleyl · · Score: 1

    I would consider choosing the underdog, but it would depend on whether the major players had long histories of going over budget, missing deadlines and failing to deliver the products. Since both Boeing and Lockheed Martin have these sorts of histories then it seems like the underdog is looking mighty competitive. You might save a bundle and actually end up with something that flies, unlike the billions that we dumped into the other recent rocket programs (X-33, X-34, etc). The recent successes of the private spaceflight have shown that the underdogs are at least capable of making hardware that works for a fraction of what the government can do it for. If the first flight of Space-X's Falcon goes well then there would seem to be very little reason for not choosing the underdog.

    1. Re:The 'experience' of the major players by Dashing+Leech · · Score: 1
      "Since both Boeing and Lockheed Martin have these sorts of histories then it seems like the underdog is looking mighty competitive."

      You've never run a real major project, have you. See, since Boeing and Lockheed have a history of going over budget and missing deadlines it is predicable and you take that into account in your budget and schedule (buffers), though not publically. The "underdog" who bids low will end up costing more because of the learning curve and they don't have the infrastructure in place, but is too naive to realize what is involved since they don't have the experience. We've seen this many times.

  76. HELLOOOOO...Venture Star!! Anyone??? by jzarling · · Score: 1

    Isn't this what the Lockheed Martin was doing with the X-33 and the VentureStar.
    How about getting that project back on track. I don't want to see my taxes pay for more design studies. Put funding back in to the Venture Star X-33 program.

    --
    It is better to be the hammer than the anvil.
  77. Stupidity and Bloat by Teahouse · · Score: 1

    We developed an entire space program in a decade, but it's going to take 10 years for us to fund and create a friggin CAPSULE? The booster is already developed and needs little to be man-rated. The cost should be minimal.

    I used to be a big fan of NASA, but over the years, I have come to believe they are actually impeding, not accelerating the cause of manned spaceflight. Rutan has built a sub-orbital vessle for about 22 million total. He is working on an orbital, reusable version that will probably cost him 100-150 million to develop, and he'll have it done by 2010. How on EARTH can NASA actually look the oublic in the face and say that working with the best contractors available, it will cost them 7 billion dollars to make the same, and they won't have it done till 2014? How many kids considering careers as astronauts will give up and do something else because their window will be closed with this long lapse in maned spaceflight?

    Letters to my congresspersons and all that, but as usual, I doubt greatly if anything will be done. Boeing will recieve a new piece of pork to chew on, NASA will be able to continue it's "exploration" oof LEO (all they do) while I still pay for it all with my taxes. I wish Rutan would have a public offering. At least Scaled Composites ALWAYS get's results!

    --
    "Curiosity killed the cat, but for a while I was a suspect."- Steven Wright
  78. Re:It writes itself by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Thanks Macross! I thought I was the only one that immediately thought of Macross Plus after reading the article.

  79. MagLev rail gun by benow · · Score: 1
    Build 500km of maglev track, encased in plexiglass air tight tunnel, bring end of track to vertical, have airlocks along track, insert maglev reusable space plane, depressurize, start maglev, reach 4000mph, open last gate and be rail-gunned to the outer atmosphere, small boosters light up for propulsion. Glide in for landing using small fixed wings. Track would cost a bit, and computer controlled airlock/maglev would be a bit tricky, but very re-usable with very low launch cost.

    ... or, take the money and build a social security system so that Canada doesn't have to do it for you, or encourage the mass practice of ecological sustainability or improve the lot of the majority with better, more affordable and more beneficial education system, or sit in a corner and shiver while watching the collapse. In the current climate, throwing money at a problem will tend to only help those with money, while ingraining the idea that such behaviour is actually beneficial. Seems to me that the top 5% don't give a shit about anything of benefit, mostly concerned with remaining in the top 5%. Eject the rich, justify the maglev, perhaps.

    1. Re:MagLev rail gun by hobo2k · · Score: 1
      I recently saw an article which discussed the impracticality of maglev powered launch. The guy's objection centers on the difficultly of switching the power fast enough to one segment of track. Though he started with escape velocity of 11 km/s (24,606 mph) instead of your figure of 4000 mph.

      http://blogs.msdn.com/ericlippert/archive/2005/01/ 21/358512.aspx

  80. Re:China, Science, the Economy and the Space Eleva by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    OR another way to get objects into space would be a huge coil gun, the coilgun or railgun designs proposed, article in the ieee transaction on magnetics vol 39 no 1 january 2003

  81. Lockmart and (by proxy) ESA will get it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...you know they will.

  82. This isn't a competition. by Baldrson · · Score: 1

    America's Space Prize is a competition.

  83. "Exploration": what about "work"? by mwood · · Score: 1

    So, NASA decided that there's nothing left for them to do as far as providing transport for the construction and staffing of Earth-orbital infrastructure -- the X-Prize folk are going to take over and do it as a business? Good news, but commercialization is going to take some time.

    I suppose, as long as it takes to create a new space vehicle, there'll be time for the businessmen to get their act together, but what I saw just seemed to completely ignore all the uses of space travel other than going-to-look-at-alien-rocks and it kinda left me wondering what the plan is for all that other stuff.

  84. Maintenece by jameskojiro · · Score: 0, Insightful

    That doesn't stop NASA from basically pulling each shuttle apart and putting it back together after every mission.

    --
    Tsukasa: All I really want, is to be left alone...
  85. Re:lack of funds by dwbryson · · Score: 1

    The unemployment rate is 5.4%, The american dollar is losing value because of the weak economy, to the point that it's dangering the Canadian economy. America has been cutting its interest rates to spur growth, and avoid deflation. I have no vested interest in American politics, but America is in a recession- wake up.

    I think you've been reading too many Paul Krugman articles. I'll address your points specifically:

    the unemployment rate is 5.4%
    I am assuming you are making the assertion this is a doom and gloom number. However, historical facts eliminate this assertion.
    Notice how the peak is two years gone, and all of 2004 has been a downward slope since then.

    The american dollar is losing value because of the weak economy,

    I think you should provide evidence of this weak economy. I've written on slashdot several times about this before, but I'll say it again. Economics is not a zero sum game. People are currently calling the dollar "weak". This means that people trading with US companies get MORE goods for their money than they would with buying from other countries. This causes people to buy MORE American goods, infact European businesses were scared about the holiday shopping season because so many were buying American goods rather than European ones.

    America has been cutting its interest rates to spur growth, and avoid deflation.

    Growth like the productivity of American non-farm workers that is skyrocketting.

    Growth like Real GDP(inflation adjusted) has been on the rise for 4 years and is currently it's highest since 1999.

    but America is in a recession- wake up.
    ah yes, but I digress... we are in a recession. I'll just sweep the numbers under the table, those can't possibly mean anything.
    I know it's popular to be "down on/with America" these days. But the least you could do is actually take a position that has some facts to support it.

    --
    - "Never let a computer tell me shit." - DelTron Zero
  86. Re: weather predictions that are far better by zmollusc · · Score: 1

    Are they hell 'far better'! Before you kids with your fancy schmancy satellites we got things like "maybe it will rain tomorrow", now we get "OMFG! Global Climate Change! We are all doomed because of that evil Bush and his Nazi Republican party!".
    'far better' my ass!

    --
    They whose government reduces their essential liberties for temporary security, receive neither liberty nor security.
  87. Re:lack of funds by Gauchito · · Score: 1

    Disclaimer: INAE (I'm not an economist, but I do work for a trading firm).

    Actually, the fed has been raising interest rates (as a matter of fact, another rise today to 2.5).

    In pure GDP terms, the US is still the king of the world. But there are several underlying problems with the economy (not a recession, but foundation problems) that are showing up in part in the currency value.

    Americans, for example, seem to be allergic to saving. 2/3 of the economy is consumer spending, the current accounts deficit is huge, and a huge part of that consumption is being bankrolled by foreign capital. This is, obviously, unsustainable, particularly with the weakening dollar. And with that kind of comsumption, the US will be hard pressed to get a trading surplus, even with the weaker currency.

    Another problem caused by the falling dollar is that it's starting rumbles about it being dropped as the world's reserve currency. The yuan isn't exactly the problem, either, because although China buys butt loads of treasuries to keep the yuan low, the fact of the matter is that it probably wouldn't rise by that much even if unpegged. China only makes about 15% of value added profit on its exports, because it also needs to import a huge amount of capital and raw materials in order to produce the goods it ships. What this purchasing of treasuries is actually doing is keeping the prices of the bonds elevated, so it's easier for the US to issue more debt, and with the current decline of the dollar, that debt becomes cheaper and cheaper to pay, which also stimulates more bond issuance. God, the jump in the number treasury auctions last year was enormous!

    The US isn't in a recession, not by a long shot. Again, in pure GDP growth, it's still the prize cow of the world economy. But if the US keeps spending itself like it is, it's only a matter of time before it loses its leadership position. For now, the saving grace of the American economy is that the country is still the best place in the world for investing, due mostly to the huge amounts of money flowing through the country, the very flexible financial markets, and the ease of doing business here. But with the weakening dollar and the deficit, that's becoming less and less so, and the US risks losing that edge at some point. The current situation is an unstable equilibrium that will be settled eventually, one way or another, IMHO.

  88. Not very creative by heroine · · Score: 1

    Was dissapointed to see most of the proposals were hastily put together and didn't feature anything new. They were all apollo command modules. It's not clear if any of these companies are taking seriously this crew exploration vehicle.

    The lack of creativity is reminiscent of all business in certain countries. There's an attitude that creativity can be bought from somewhere else and if no-one from elsewhere wants to sell creativity then just keep living with 40 year old technology.

  89. We benefit every day by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    1. Improvements in our understanding of physics
    2. Improvements in our ability to understand our own planet and its processes
    3. Satelites, satelites: TV accross the globe, instant access via phone, satelite phones, DirecTV, huricane warning systems

    How many of the zillions were for these things I mention. Compare that to the little spent on outer space exploration (Mars probes,etc).

    The biggest waste in space is sending people there. Where ever people have been involved it has thusfar been wasteful in the sense of bringing little tangible benefit.

  90. Re:lack of funds by ratnerstar · · Score: 1
    Considering that President Bush was the first President since his father to mention any sort of NASA initiative (and NASA funding was cut during the Clinton admin.), maybe you need to re-think your small-minded, uninformed comment.

    Considering that President Bush is only the second President since his father, this isn't much of an accomplishment.

    --
    Just because you sold your soul to the devil that needn't make you a teetotaler. --The Devil and Daniel Webster
  91. Freightliner NOT on any list... by quarkscat · · Score: 1

    so if NASA really wants a replacement for
    the SST (shuttle), they need to open up
    the competition quite a bit more.

    Freightliner is one of the preeminent
    long haul truck manufacturers in the USA.
    I don't have the statistics, but a ballpark
    guestimate would be that Freightliner has
    transported goods the equivalent of a trip
    from Earth to the Moon 100 times, without
    having even one truck fall out of the sky
    and burn up.

    I don't know how far along Freightliner is
    with their diesel/ion drive, but I would
    trust it more than some microwave-powered
    painted solar sail. Of course, the "Space
    Elevator" projects might someday become a viable
    alternative, if only Westinghouse got involved.

    The only way any serious money will go to new
    space transort technologies under the current
    regime is if some of the "old-time" corporations
    can feed at the government tit. The major
    defense contractors wanted money for robotic
    development, and hence the "robotic" servicing
    mission to the HST (Hubble Space Telescope)
    was born. Coincidentally, /.ers hear about
    new robotic warrior drones that will be making
    their way into the Iraqi conflict. Maybe not
    such a big coincidence, heh?

  92. Re:lack of funds by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    BULLSHIT. The Clinton administration was constantly locking horns with Republicans in Congress about caps that they wanted to set on NASA funding and provisional caps that they wanted to set on areas of research (which were in fact veiled attempts to kneecap NASA.) Clinton could not get around the limits imposed and had to accept it as it was or risk having funding held up or more provisional caps put in place. So, yeah, the funding was cut during Clinton but not because of him. Maybe you need to re-think your small-minded, uninformed (and intentionally misleading) comment.

    Anyone else tired of these ill-informed Bush worshippers popping up out of the woodwork to revise history every time someone dares to utter their lord and savior's name?