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Sun Storms Deplete Ozone, Too

An anonymous reader writes "Turns out the sun itself zaps the ozone that protects us from the sun. LiveScience is reporting that the record-setting string of solar storms around Halloween in 2003 (including an X28 flare) set off a cascade of events that depleted the ozone layer over the Arctic in early 2004. In a nutshell, more nitrogen was created, and an unusually strong vortex of high-speed winds aloft brought the nitrogen down, where it contributed to cutting ozone by 60 percent over the polar region. In January, the a European scientist warned residents of the far north to basically stay out of the sun. While chlorofluorocarbons are still blamed for ozone depletion, scientists said this study shows they don't properly account for the sun's impact."

334 of 467 comments (clear)

  1. CAUTION! by inertia187 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Do not look at record-setting solar storms with remaining good eye.

    --
    A programmer is a machine for converting coffee into code.
    1. Re:CAUTION! by bbcisdabomb · · Score: 1

      Dammit, too late. Good thing I have a Braille computer screen or I'd never get my news. . .

      --
      Please put some pants on before you post again.
    2. Re:CAUTION! by michaeldot · · Score: 2, Funny

      Or rather, do not sunbake with remaining non-cancerous skin.

      But finally, a legitimate reason to wear the tinfoil hat!

    3. Re:CAUTION! by Meski · · Score: 1

      And in the latest from the Greens: "Prevent ozone damage: Stop using the sun!"

  2. Since the dawn of time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    man has yearned to destroy the sun.

    1. Re:Since the dawn of time by Dorothy+86 · · Score: 1

      well, since dawn, anyhow.

    2. Re:Since the dawn of time by chimpo13 · · Score: 1

      "The sun is by far the hottest-st planet in the solar system and it would burn you if you tried to eat it."

      --Chris Elliot, Get A Life.

  3. That's it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    I'm done using their Java. Here I come Microsoft.

    1. Re:That's it by daeley · · Score: 2, Funny

      I'm done using their Java. Here I come Microsoft.

      Nah, screw Microsoft, get a Mac instead.

      Now I know everybody makes jokes about the Mac's ozone only having one Oxygen atom, but you can easily buy a third-party molecule with the three Oxygen atoms you're used to.

      --
      I watched C-beams glitter in the dark near the Tannhauser gate.
  4. The sun is trying to kill us; by Vicsun · · Score: 4, Funny

    There is only one solution...


    Nuke the sun.

    1. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      We'll have to do it at night so it doesn't see it coming.

    2. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by Capt'n+Hector · · Score: 1, Funny

      You moron, a nuke wouldn't do anything. The sun is setting off nukes by itself all the time, it would just become more powerful! The only solution would be to create an anti-sun, an exact copy of the sun but made of anti-matter - and send THAT to the sun. KaBOOOM! No more sun. No more Milky Way either, but hey.

      --
      Quid festinatio swallonis est aetherfuga inonusti?
      Africus aut Europaeus?
    3. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by luxdormiens · · Score: 1

      But we can block the sun, Charles Montgomery Burns' style. That way, we don't have to worry about ozone depletion anymore! Bow legs and dying plants can be solved by some other means, such as burning fossil fuel to provide light. If that runs out, we can send some solar panel into the sky to beam some microwave energy for us. Human ingenuity has never ceased to amaze me.

      --
      I harass my semi-colons.
    4. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by leonmergen · · Score: 5, Funny

      Nonono, we need to invade

      --
      - Leon Mergen
      http://www.solatis.com
    5. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by mike5904 · · Score: 1

      Anyone with half a mind can see the only solution is to put as much anti-solar carbon back into the atmosphere as possible. I propose that we switch back to burning coal, and impose maximum fuel efficiencies on cars, to be enforced with a tax on vehicles with a high fuel efficiency. Furthermore, I propse we ban solar, hydroelectric, wind, and nuclear power, and focus on locating more combustible fuel sources, such as trees, animals, and global warming advocates. The National Parks might be a good place to start, as some studies suggest they might have oil under them as well! I propose the United States government provide no less than 400 billion per year on an efficient method to electrolyze carbon dioxide into pure carbon. There are tons of perfectly suitable sources all around us, we just need to use some human ingenuity to tap them! The sun starts by destroying our ozone layer, what next? Where will it end? Stop the sun now or face certain doom!

    6. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by DigitalHammer · · Score: 1

      Exactly! The sun is undoubtedly using weapons of MASS DESTRUCTION. I propose we build a multi-trillion dollar artificial planet made almost entirely of steel and scedule regular attacks at the sun's surface with multi-billion dollar space fighters. This planet of steel shall be called:
      The Death Star.

    7. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by AoT · · Score: 1

      We must invest MORE in solar cells. We must absorb *all* of the sun's energy onyl then will we be safe.

    8. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by nacturation · · Score: 4, Funny

      Yes... nuke it from orbit. It's the only way to be sure.

      --
      Want to improve your Karma? Instead of "Post Anonymously", try the "Post Humously" option.
    9. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by aussie_a · · Score: 2, Funny

      Every morning I walk outside

      And you call yourself a geek! It's people like you that makes me wish I had been born a man.

    10. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by CmdrPuto · · Score: 1

      It's really hot but we can invade it during nighttime.

    11. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by glimmy · · Score: 1

      then we shall feast upon its heart to gain its courage

    12. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 1

      How big of a kaboom? Mucho thanks to the Google calculator.

      E=mc^2

      mass of the sun = 1.98892E33 grams
      the speed of light = 299 792 458 m / s
      the speed of light^2 = 8.98755179E16 m2 / s2

      1.98892E33 grams * (c^2) = 1.78755215E47 Joules

      Google calculator didn't convert this, but it was in the first link:
      1 kiloton of TNT corresponds to 4.185E12 joules.

      So, the sun going kaboom would be equal to 4.2713313E34 kilotons of boom.

      That would be 42,713,313,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
      ki lotons, written out.

      Oops, I forgot. If you crash an antimatter sun into the matter sun, wouldn't you need to use the mass of TWO suns? Yep, so double the number above.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    13. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by Usquebaugh · · Score: 1

      You must be easily amazed.

    14. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by Surazal · · Score: 1

      Exactly! The sun is undoubtedly using weapons of MASS DESTRUCTION. I propose we build a multi-trillion dollar artificial planet made almost entirely of steel and scedule regular attacks at the sun's surface with multi-billion dollar space fighters. This planet of steel shall be called:
      The Death Star.


      You're thinking too small. Think: "Dyson Sphere". Then, we can truly kick some Solar tail.

      --
      --- Journals are boring; Go to my web page instead
    15. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      I'm almost certain that wouldn't cause any climate changes on earth.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    16. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by DavidTC · · Score: 1
      Dumbass, how could we see at night time? It's not like we can run an extension cord to the sun, and considering it'd take months to get there, we can't rely on batteries.

      We must, instead, invade at dawn, and finish before the sun gets hot, which I believe is around two in the afternoon.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    17. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      No! Instead of absorbing it, we can reflect it back at that bastard via a giant parabolic mirror. Maybe we can catch the sun on fire.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    18. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by DavidTC · · Score: 2, Funny
      Heh, wait! We're already in orbit.

      I love it when a plan comes together.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    19. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by uncqual · · Score: 1

      And you call yourself a geek! It's probably not what it seems - the outhouse is probably out back.

      --
      Why is there an "insightful" mod and why isn't it "-1"? If I wanted insight, I wouldn't be reading /.
    20. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by jaavaaguru · · Score: 1

      kiloton

      I suppose you measure distances in kiloyards as well. What a strange mixture of imperial and metric measurement you have there! :-)

    21. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by jez9999 · · Score: 1

      --
      A busstation is where a bus stops. A trainstation is where a train stops... ... I have a workstation.

      Busses and trains also start at said stations, too. :-)

    22. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by leonmergen · · Score: 1

      Busses and trains also start at said stations, too. :-)

      lmao, thanks for the advice, i'll keep it in mind :)

      --
      - Leon Mergen
      http://www.solatis.com
    23. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by ikkonoishi · · Score: 1

      You really went the long way around.

      mass of sun * speed of light squared

    24. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by TedCheshireAcad · · Score: 1

      Hello? What is the sun? A giant ball of fire. Few buckets of water should put that shit out.

      Why has no one thought of this?

    25. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by operagost · · Score: 1

      Well, he didn't say whether they were metric tons.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    26. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by b-baggins · · Score: 1

      Too much water is needed. Just cut off the air supply and let the fire smother.

      --
      You can tell a great deal about the character of a man by observing those who hate him.
    27. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by jaavaaguru · · Score: 1

      A metric ton, when written without the word "metric" in front of it, is spelled "tonne".

      tonne
      n : a unit of weight equivalent to 1000 kilograms [syn: metric ton, MT, {t}]

    28. Re:The sun is trying to kill us; by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 1

      I went with the metric units until the last step. Large explosions are commonly measured in kilotons, so that's the basis of the comparison I made. Note that the energy of the explosion was given in Joules first...

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
  5. [PREDICTION] by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Let us now see how long it takes for someone, either on a slashdot thread, in the public discourse, or on talk radio, to take the jump that "multiple factors exist in the depletion of ozone" immediately leads to the conclusion "claims human interference are a significant detrimental factor in the depletion of the ozone are false"

    1. Re:[PREDICTION] by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Why is it that every time there is yet more evidence released that human contribution to global warming is even less significant someone has to try and dismiss or minimize it?

      Show me a 'humans cause global warming' case that doesn't use the deceptive hockey stick or only take data starting at a local minimum right around the time of the industrial revolution (remember, we're still about a degree C below the Medieval peak) and I'll listen. Eagerly. Up until now, it's all been smoke and mirrors with a political agenda.

    2. Re:[PREDICTION] by jfern · · Score: 1

      No one ever said that humans were responsible for all of the climate change.

      As for the medieval peak, there's some dispute over that, but even the pro-medievil peak people have it as less than 0.1 degree warmer.

    3. Re:[PREDICTION] by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      Balance, my friend, balance. You have it the other way around ... the immediate claim is usually, "human interference is a significant factor in {insert favorite environmental issue here}". This assumption is frequently made before any actual research is performed. Doesn't matter if the problem would have happened anyway ... we're at fault because we're fundamentally evil, you see. Some people just plain don't like people, and would rather we all simply disappear in a rapidly-dissipating cloud of fluorocarbon-free smoke so that the Earth will be "saved" (although they never say for what) and can remain suspended in some idealized Utopic state for the rest of time. Pretty boring, if you ask me. The environmental movement dissembles well when it wants, as convincingly as industry spokespeople or right-wing Republicans.

      In this case, I'm waiting for the usual "this can't be right because people aren't causing it" or "even if it's true, it wouldn't have happened unless people were here." Facts are facts but rationalization happens on both sides of the fence.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    4. Re:[PREDICTION] by mordors9 · · Score: 1

      Before pointing that out, let's also point out that volcanic activity seems to effect the ozone layer as well.

    5. Re:[PREDICTION] by gnuman99 · · Score: 1
      This assumption is frequently made before any actual research is performed. Doesn't matter if the problem would have happened anyway ... we're at fault because we're fundamentally evil, you see.

      Not evil. Numbers, my friend, numbers. If one person shits into a lake, well, nothing happens. If 6 billion people shit into a lake (heck, pick any sea for that matter!), virtually all the life in it will be affected.

      A city of 1 million can do whatever to *try* to screw up the planet and it will not happen. A population of 5 billion will affect the environment they live in even if they don't want to affect it.

    6. Re:[PREDICTION] by 1ucius · · Score: 1

      Why would anyone claim that . . . everyone knows that this administration caused the solar flares in order to pay back his buddies in the sunscreen industry ;-)

    7. Re:[PREDICTION] by FredThompson · · Score: 1

      Close, but the more likely foaming-at-the-mouth reply is, "Bush is depleting the ozone layer."

      Come to think of it, methane is considered a greenhouse gas, depending on where it is, right? Shouldn't there be big ozone holes over Hollywood, D.C., and a Kinko's in Texas?

    8. Re:[PREDICTION] by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      You're welcome. Thank you for missing the point.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    9. Re:[PREDICTION] by rob_squared · · Score: 1
      "claims human interference are a significant detrimental factor in the depletion of the ozone are false"

      I wish that always worked, then I could blame lightning when I electrocute people.

      --
      I don't get it.
    10. Re:[PREDICTION] by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      {sigh} here we go. If anyone makes any criticism of the environmental movement, one needs to be properly chastised, because obviously one is ill-informed, and has not been shown the Truth. Spare me. I wasn't even talking about that anyway. I was trying to point out that both sides are perfectly capable of rationalizing their own point of view, regardless of what is. The popular notion is of the selfless environmentalist fighting a losing battle against the evil corporate overlords. But there are major corporations that operate in an environmentally sound manner ... and there are environmentalists with less-than-admirable agendas (although it is politically-incorrect to mention that.) My take on this is that both sides should be taken with a grain of salt.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    11. Re:[PREDICTION] by Darby · · Score: 1

      My take on this is that both sides should be taken with a grain of salt.

      And how exactly do you plan on taking out that many people with one grain of salt?!?

      Oh...Taken..Not taken out.
      Well, sure.
      But if you do make significant progress on your salt grain of mass destruction, let me know.
      I'll probably contribute a buck to your research.

  6. One more reason... by gambit3 · · Score: 1, Insightful

    ... why I don't believe the "Global Warming is being caused by greedy corporations" spiel..

    quite simply, it's because most people (scientists included) quite simply don't have enough information to say for a FACT that THIS or THAT is causing ozone depletion:

    "While chlorofluorocarbons are still blamed for ozone depletion, scientists said this study shows they don't properly account for the sun's impact."

    Before this gets modded as troll or flamebait, read it again. All I'm saying is that theories are one thing. Presenting theories as facts is another thing entirely.

    1. Re:One more reason... by bigtallmofo · · Score: 4, Interesting

      You would find an article in the latest Scientific American interesting:

      How Did Humans First Alter Global Climate?. It's a controversial theory how humans have been altering the global climate for thousands of years, since the invention of clear-cutting forests for agricultural purposes. I found it a very interesting read, especially the theory presented by the author (here comes a troll modding for even parroting this theory) that early humans have actually caused us to avoid an ice age because of their global warming activities.

      --
      I'm a big tall mofo.
    2. Re:One more reason... by jfern · · Score: 4, Informative

      Testing to see if something depletes ozone can be done in a lab. It's really not speculation to say that CFCs destroy ozone.

    3. Re:One more reason... by aiken_d · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Ah, the old "sometimes true = always true" argument.

      Nobody, including the guy you're responding to, denied that CFC's deplete ozone. The question is, to what degree are CFC's responsible for the measured ozone depletion we've seen over the past 20 years or so.

      Nothing in a complex system is black and white. The whole point of this article, and the poster you replied to, is that this is a good example of why it's overly simplistic to link CFC's to ozone depletion and to believe that, therefore, reducing CFC emissions will necessarily have a significant impact on the rate of ozone depletion.

      More evidence is always good. Jumping to conclusions is generally bad. Black-and-white answers to questions raised by complex systems are generally flawed. Simple as that.

      Cheers
      -b

      --
      If I wanted a sig I would have filled in that stupid box.
    4. Re:One more reason... by geoffrobinson · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      http://science.slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=139895 &cid=11713542

      When I mentioned a 2003 article which said scientists hadn't been taking the sun into account regarding global warming, some just couldn't wrap their brains around that fact. All those scientists. How could they miss something so obvious?

      Maybe blaming the sun doesn't bring in enough grant money?

      --
      Except for ending slavery, the Nazis, communism, & securing American independence, war has never solved anything.
    5. Re:One more reason... by k98sven · · Score: 5, Informative

      ... why I don't believe the "Global Warming is being caused by greedy corporations" spiel..

      And what does Global Warming have to do with ozone-layer depletion?

      These are two completely seperate phenomena.

      quite simply, it's because most people (scientists included) quite simply don't have enough information to say for a FACT that THIS or THAT is causing ozone depletion

      Wrong. CFCs do cause ozone depletion. That is established. The mechanisms of how CFCs catalyze the degradation of ozone into oxygen are fully understood. It is something you can easily reproduce in a laboratory. This has been done many times. A Nobel prize was awarded for this. They don't give out Nobels for things which aren't considered to be well-established.

      You are confusing this issue with global warming, which is far more controversial, and something which is far less easy to know with certainty.

      As for the quote:
      "While chlorofluorocarbons are still blamed for ozone depletion, scientists said this study shows they don't properly account for the sun's impact."

      It is also correct. But what they are saying is that the extent of ozone destruction due to CFCs wasn't correct before, since they didn't take this factor into consideration. It does not mean that CFCs don't destroy ozone. They do. And it's no theory.

    6. Re:One more reason... by dsmithorew · · Score: 1

      Unless you're a scientist in this field, you just don't know how much information those scientists have. You certainly won't find out in sufficient detail from newspaper articles (that would be impossible) to make your own judgement of how certain we are of what's causing global warming, ozone depletion, etc..... Gravitation is a theory, but it based on a large enough set of observations (facts) that we are confident in basing public policy (i.e. bridge design) on it. So it's not a question of what's a "theory" or what's a "fact", but of how good a set of observations a theory is based on. CFCs -> ozone depletion is based on such a vast and precise set of observations that no one has seriously questioned it for years, it influenced public policy, and those policies have already begun to show improvements. Global warming due to CO2 is not quite at that level, but clearly getting there..... Now here's some interesting atmospheric chemistry surrounding CFCs and solar flares. The solar flares produce reactive nitrogen compounds (called "odd nitrogen") which can destroy ozone catalytically, just line chlorine does. But these reactions proceed more slowly, so one odd nitrogen molecule is not as bad as one chlorine atom. However, when the atmosphere is heavily loaded with chlorine, the odd nitrogen molecule will readily bind with a chlorine atom, rendering both of them harmless to ozone. So if we had never started curbing CFCs, and the chlorine load was much higher than it actually is, then the solar flares might actually have helped *reverse* ozone depletion a bit. Not enough to fix things, of course.....

    7. Re:One more reason... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      So, the cavemen stopped the last ice age with their fires?

    8. Re:One more reason... by mattjb0010 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Fact: the article was about the ozone layer, not the greenhouse effect, and the two are largely unrelated (other than tropospheric ozone levels contributing to the greenhouse effect, but that was not what the article was about). The parent post is offtopic, not insightful.

    9. Re:One more reason... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Who the heck said anything about global warming?

      The following are facts:

      CFCs, when subjected to UV, destroy ozone.

      CFCs are present at ozone-layer altitudes. This has been detected by (among others) the NASA ER-2 high-altitude aircraft.

      Not to mention the fact that the ozone layer has recovered since CFCs were banned.

      This is not something which is up for any kind of real debate, unless you want to revert to pseudoscience. This is not the global-warming issue. This is something substantially different and far simpler and less speculative.

    10. Re:One more reason... by stupidfoo · · Score: 1

      They did. The ozone layer has recovered since CFCs were banned.

      Yes, and they've been banned for a (relatively) short period of time. The question is did this "recovery" have more to do with the sun than with our ban of CFCs?

    11. Re:One more reason... by publicworker · · Score: 1

      quite simply, it's because most people (scientists included) quite simply don't have enough information to say for a FACT that THIS or THAT is causing ozone depletion

      So I gather you're saying that scientists don't have enough information to predict global warming - and in a sens you are right. The climate is a very chaotic system and the only way to see if global warming will truly occur is to sit back and wait. There are how ever a plethora of both simple and very sophisticated methods that show that global warming is very likely to occur.

      So very likely to occur is not certain, but would you go on to an aeroplane knowing that it is very likely to crash?

      ... or are you just feeling lucky?

    12. Re:One more reason... by nacturation · · Score: 1

      I remember reading an interesting article in a book written by a biochemist about five years ago. (I don't remember the name, but the book [blue/yellow cover if this rings a bell] seemed like a "Surely you're joking..." clone.) At any rate, he said that CFCs were "coincidentally" banned at around the time that the patent on producing them expired so that the new patented chemical would have a market. Conspiracy theory? Perhaps.

      --
      Want to improve your Karma? Instead of "Post Anonymously", try the "Post Humously" option.
    13. Re:One more reason... by MrNally · · Score: 1


      The fact that we now know of yet another effect that depletes signigicant ozone should make efforts to reduce the human induced ones MORE important.

      For example, if we know now that future solar events are going to take away ozone, then we're going to want all the ozone there we can get!

      In fact, the 11 year solar cycle sets some time lines over which getting rid of CFCs would have practical impact. We want to be prepared for the times of high solar activity.

      I don't think the source article is saying that convential explanations of missing ozone are incorrect at all.

      > All I'm saying is that theories are one thing.

      Your view is far too simplified to be useful. (I don't mean to be a dick about it. Read on you might like me by the end).

      There is a huge spectrum between 'theory' (as you state it) and 'fact' as you state it, and the continuous parameter that flows from one to the other is 'uncertainty'.

      The one thing that's missing from conventional media presentation of things is this very factor... uncertainty.

    14. Re:One more reason... by pipingguy · · Score: 1


      "Do you ever wonder where all the farts go?... They go into the atmosphere and form the 'fart zone.' It's just above the ozone layer. This, people, is why we MUST PROTECT THE OZONE LAYER!" - Steve Martin

    15. Re:One more reason... by rtaylor · · Score: 1

      [i]The question is, to what degree are CFC's responsible for the measured ozone depletion we've seen over the past 20 years or so.[/i]

      Agreed. We need to be conservative about the introduction of potential solutions as well as the introduction of potential problems so we can take the opportunity to measure their true impact.

      Changing 10 things at once to solve a problem makes it impossible to determine which was the right one (if not a combination). Likewise several substances with the potential to cause X should be carefully monitored for their impacts.

      I likes to deal with the environment the same way I deal with my finances -- make sure it's not a crap shoot unless it's a small enough amount that it's easily recovered / corrected.

      --
      Rod Taylor
    16. Re:One more reason... by AutumnLeaf · · Score: 1
      Jumping to conclusions is generally bad. Black-and-white answers to questions raised by complex systems are generally flawed. Simple as that.


      You're wrong. ..... ;)

    17. Re:One more reason... by gnuman99 · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Before this gets modded as troll or flamebait, read it again. All I'm saying is that theories are one thing. Presenting theories as facts is another thing entirely.

      The sun/cosmic rays create ozone at contant rate X. The sun/atmospheric reactions destroy ozone at rate Y. The rates will also have a factor proportional to the amount of ozone.

      If you don't understand what the above implies, read it again.

      HINT: You get a steady state solution. A type of a balance where the ozone layer will tend to average out to a certain value over a period of time.

      What CFC do is increase the rate of destruction of ozone. That will decrease the amount of ozone over a period of time. The ozone will never dissapear, but you might just need a SPF 75 sun screen to be in the sun for more than 10 minutes.

      Also, if you don't understand, the result gives more detail into what rate X and Y might actually be. That's all!

      The "theory" about CFCs destroying ozone is a fact. It's been shown and reproduced over and over again the lab experiments. Saying otherwise is like saying that atoms don't exist.

    18. Re:One more reason... by amliebsch · · Score: 1
      The sun/cosmic rays create ozone at contant rate X. The sun/atmospheric reactions destroy ozone at rate Y. The rates will also have a factor proportional to the amount of ozone.

      But...neither the amount of cosmic rays nor the output of the sun are constant.

      --
      If you don't know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere else.
    19. Re:One more reason... by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      I thought it was cows. Ya know, there's more cows on earth now than there ever was in the history of cow-kind. They generate a lot of the gases the contribute to global warming.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    20. Re:One more reason... by nathanh · · Score: 1
      .. why I don't believe the "Global Warming is being caused by greedy corporations" spiel..

      Global warming != ozone layer.

      quite simply, it's because most people (scientists included) quite simply don't have enough information to say for a FACT that THIS or THAT is causing ozone depletion:

      It's a fact that CFC causes ozone depletion. They awarded a Nobel Prize to the 3 guys who figured it out.

      Honestly, it's people like you who don't know what they're talking about that make me not believe the "[insert-disaster-here] is a natural phenomenon and isn't caused by humans" spiel. I bet you also believe a single volcano eruption produces more CO2 than humanity has in 100 years.

    21. Re:One more reason... by SidV · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but since Ozone is produced when exposed to UV light, the protection is converting O2 to O3 not the mere existence of O3.

      The ozone layer is between 11 and 16 miles altitude.

      Meaning that even if we completely wiped out the oone layer it would just move lower in altitude.

      This can alsoo be tested in the lab.

    22. Re:One more reason... by SidV · · Score: 1

      Fine arguement.

      Unfortumately it falls apart when you find out the helmet is going to cost you 300 Billion dollars and the destruction of your national industries.

      So you survived the accident, your wife left you, your bank forclosed, and your boss fired you.

      And it turns out the accident happened at 5mph and the only damage was a scratched fender.

    23. Re:One more reason... by SidV · · Score: 1

      You of course ralize that Ozone is a completely renawable rescource.

      All you need is some oxygen, and some UV radiation. Bang zoom, more ozone. Problm solved.

    24. Re:One more reason... by astar · · Score: 1

      I'm the odd man out. I figure the ozone hole due to CFC is unproven, but as of a few days ago, I decided that this year I will believe in global warning due to greenhouse gases.

      I will try to be informative. A fairly recent change in science is computer models. Here we immeadiately have the computer said so, so it must be right phenomena and the garbage in garbage out phenomena warring with each other. The resolution is partly that a computer model is validated by being able to predict the past. Then we think it can predict the future. In the global warnming theories, the computer models have not been validated. EXCEPT: this May's Nature is supposed to have an article describing the validation of two models. I even think slashdot covered this. So I expect to be convinced this year.

      On ozone depletion models, there are probably many problems. I mention a garbage in phenomena: The ground level UV readings were cooked.

    25. Re:One more reason... by Darby · · Score: 1

      Yes, and they've been banned for a (relatively) short period of time. The question is did this "recovery" have more to do with the sun than with our ban of CFCs?

      Well, since the article is based on events that happened over the last couple of years, and those events caused *more* ozone depletion, I'd have to say that it doesn't seem at all likely given the evidence.

    26. Re:One more reason... by Darby · · Score: 1

      Saying otherwise is like saying that atoms don't exist.

      But they don't.
      They're just strings vibrating to look like that ;-)

    27. Re:One more reason... by DavidTC · · Score: 2, Informative
      Yeah, that's the gag. The ozone layer is not something that just exists and you can remove. As long as the sun exists, UV will break up O2 and make two Os, which are likely to each grab an O2 and make ozone.

      CFCs work by turning O and O3 into O2s. Like all chlorine. You know, that stuff that gets released in massive amounts every time a volcano goes off.

      You ever notice that they'll claim 'CFCs have been detected in the ozone layer', but never tell you how much, or what percentage they are versa other chlorine?

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    28. Re:One more reason... by SidV · · Score: 1

      YEah unfortunately it's a gag that made my rerigerator more expensive, and my AC useless.

      And now Freon costs as much as Cocaine.

    29. Re:One more reason... by DavidTC · · Score: 3, Interesting
      It's a fact that CFC can lower ozone levels by turning ozone back into O2 and interfering with the creation in the first place.

      It is not a fact they are in the earth's ozone layer in an amount that has anything to do with the possible variation in the ozone layer. It's entirely possible that's due to varying sun activity or some other process we don't know about.

      And I don't know about volcanos putting CO2 into the atmosphere. I do know that volcanos put amazing amount of HCl into the air, but normally have 99% of it is flushed down with water ejected at the same time. (Which, of course, causes rather a lot of problems to those the acid rain hits.)

      However, we have no assurances that will always happen, or has always happened. We know very little about how that works.

      All we know is that, after volcanoes, even those that reach the stratosphere, erupt, spewing HCl into the air, the stratosphere does not have more HCl in it, because the HCl, the two times we've managed to watch a volcano that large, was brought back by water. Nothing at all says a volcano can't turn all the water into HCl before going off.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    30. Re:One more reason... by Jim_Callahan · · Score: 1

      The thing about testing wether something depletes ozone in a lab.... the answer is "Yes". not for everything, but for close enough to everything that it really makes no difference. If, for instance, I were to shove you into some ozone, or were I do jump into some ozone, the stuff would react destructively with half the functional groups in your or my body. We're ozone destroyers under laboratory conditions.

      So, yeah, the 'depletes ozone' part doesn't mean anything. It's the 'gets into the upper atmosphere somehow' bit that makes things worrisome. And you really can't test that conclusively in a lab, unless you have a glass tube filled with air several miles high. You have to fly up to the ozone layer, sample it, and find CFCs to demonstrate that there's a problem. I'm assuming someone did this at some point. I could be wrong, though. The nuclear fallout scare was based on rather shoddy dimensional analysis, and that was given pretty wide credibility.

      (/rambling lecture on empirical testing)

      --
      ...it's really a sad day for America when we require a goddamn ACT OF CONGRESS to make our DVD players work properly. ~
    31. Re:One more reason... by b-baggins · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, the priesthood of science has been corrupted on the altar of politics, and the scientific clerics can no longer be trusted to give us the unadulterated truth on these matters, especially when it's time to renew the grant money.

      --
      You can tell a great deal about the character of a man by observing those who hate him.
    32. Re:One more reason... by SidV · · Score: 1

      Sure live in a universe with 0 Risk.

      You assume any change from what we have now will destroy mankind. What if rather than a 500 Billion helmet, we could solve any issues with 200 Billion in re-location funds, or some such.

      However, there is plenty of evidence that a slightly warmer world will be beneficial to mankind (It's happened before and mankind as well as flora and fauna did great).

      As to O3 and UV, there is little evidence that shows real danger, and even if it does happen, extra radiation also gives us greater genetic diversity, and the other negative effects are bad, but easily coped with.

      In otherwords, if you really want a better life, stop worrying about imaginary boogeymen. If you stop listening to the guy on the crate shouting "THE END IS NEAR" he'll eventually go away and maybe you both can enjoy life a little.

    33. Re:One more reason... by mcpheat · · Score: 1

      Bullshit more like. The patents expired 30 years before CFCs were banned.

    34. Re:One more reason... by dsmithorew · · Score: 1

      ...so it's much more reliable to assume that the truth is whatever you wish it were, of course.

  7. Serious street cred for chlorofluorocarbons. by bigtallmofo · · Score: 3, Funny

    You have to hand it to chlorofluorocarbons... All those years in the pokey and they never fingered their co-conspirator - the sun.

    --
    I'm a big tall mofo.
  8. Of course... by winstonmeister · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ...this means in any minute now we'll get one of those charming "See? We don't need to worry about things in the environment being damaged by man-made processes, because it happens by itself anyway!" posts. Well, before that happens, I'd like to pose a question. Namely, if things have the potential to break, and if nature can break things on its own...how does that justify anyone making it break worse than it would just by itself? Using this logic, it would be okay if a factory artificially generated tornados all the time because, hey, it happens in nature.

    1. Re:Of course... by kmactane · · Score: 1

      Dangit, how come I never see comments like these when I've got mod points to spend on them? This is worth a "+5, Insightful" any day.

    2. Re:Of course... by Jim_Callahan · · Score: 1

      Actually, not really, since the "Nature does it anyway" arguments boil down to "STFU and quit bothering me, I don't care", and this response is not an actual rebuttal, as it's rebutting a point that no one ever actually argues for (straw man). It's standard preschoo^Wslashdot argument technique on both sides, not particularly insightful by now.

      I give it +5: cool simile, though. I want a tornado machine!

      --
      ...it's really a sad day for America when we require a goddamn ACT OF CONGRESS to make our DVD players work properly. ~
  9. Oh No! by daeg · · Score: 2, Funny

    In our next story, the drafters of the Kyoto Protocol have revised the agreement so that solar storms count toward each country's polution limits.

    1. Re:Oh No! by northcat · · Score: 1

      Only on slashdot does a post like parent not get modded down as troll.

    2. Re:Oh No! by krewemaynard · · Score: 1

      speaking of Kyoto, i don't remember seeing the sun as one of the participants. and they scoffed at the US...

      --
      I saw it on Slashdot, it must be true!
    3. Re:Oh No! by Matrix9180 · · Score: 1

      it's called a JOKE... you know, HUMOR... forget it. Some people can rant and spout off 60 equations from memory but a pathetically simple joke manages to elude them.

      BTW, this is slashdot... being serious here is against the rules.

      --
      120chars for a sig is teh suck
  10. typical kneejerk reaction by Loco3KGT · · Score: 1

    hate everyone that can afford things you can't

    or likes things you don't

    This article focuses on solar flares and CFCs, neither of which have anything to do with engine exhaut.

    --
    Blessed be he who reads this post, Cursed be he who tells my boss.
    1. Re:typical kneejerk reaction by Mark_MF-WN · · Score: 1
      Typical kneejerk reaction -- assume that any criticism, no matter how well-founded, is due to jealousy.

      Let me try: you only hate white supremacists because you're jealous of their racial pride.

      Sound stupid? That's how you sound.

      SUVs are wrong in every way. They're dangerous, overpriced, they reduce the air-quality in our neighbourhoods, and they waste oil (a limited resource, which could last a lot longer if people starting conserving it). Fortunately, wasting money and driving a dangerous vehicle are traits that evolution selects against.

    2. Re:typical kneejerk reaction by SidV · · Score: 1

      Ufortunatley this is lso true of:
      Minivans
      Full-sized cars
      Sports cars


      Meaning your only focusing on one because your an idealouge.

    3. Re:typical kneejerk reaction by Loco3KGT · · Score: 1

      They're not dangerous. We've had atleast one SUV in my family since 1991 and it has yet to prove itself dangerous. Also, it turns out guns don't kill people, people kill people.

      They're also not overpriced. Turns out people will still buy them at their current price, and since there is not a monopoly on the SUV market, these two facts prove they are not overpriced.

      If you could show me a vehicle that increases the air-quality of our neighborhoods, that would be great. But last I checked my Civic, my motorcycle, my father's 6.0L V8 Yukon Denali, and even my office's contract officer's minivan all reduce air-quality.

      You're solely attacking SUVs because they represent something you hate, can't have, or some other reason.

      How do you feel about motorcycles? There's nothing safe about them. Or Apple electronic devices? They're all overpriced. What about camp fires? They hurt the ozone. What about aphalt roads? They're a petroleum based product.

      --
      Blessed be he who reads this post, Cursed be he who tells my boss.
    4. Re:typical kneejerk reaction by Mark_MF-WN · · Score: 1

      No, I think those things are all wrong too. The SUV is just getting more attention because SUVs are so popular right now, and are somewhat more retarded than those other vehicles. They waste more oil than other vehicles, they are more dangerous, and they're more overpriced (with the possible exception of sports cars).

    5. Re:typical kneejerk reaction by Mark_MF-WN · · Score: 1
      To your first point: guess what -- the plural of anecdote isn't data. SUVs are very dangerous -- they are involved in more fatal accidents than cars.

      To the second point: the members of the auto industry are extremely chummy. Not unlike the DRAM industry, which despite having multiple companies in theoretical competition, engages in rampant price-fixing and other forms of cartel behaviour.

      To the third: you understand about the difference in emissions? All combustion engines produce emissions, but SUVs produce much, much more than cars. They get away with it because they're classified as light trucks. By way of analogy, consider a forestfire and a campfire; both produce smoke, but guess what -- one produces a whole lot more. And when half the population of my neighbourhood drives SUVs, the air-quality notably suffers.

      I'm attack SUVs precisely because they're something I hate. After having been nearly run-down half a dozen times by SUV and minivan drivers, I came to realize that the people who drive these things are assholes of the highest calibre.

      I dislike motorcycles too, BUT:

      1. Motorcycles produce very low levels of emissions, lower than any car or truck.
      2. Motorcycle accidents typically only kill the driver, not other people.
      3. I despise the hideous noise-pollution they produce.

      I do dislike camp fires -- after having my home nearly destroyed by campfire-triggerd forest fires on several occasions, I came to the conclusion that campfires are too dangerous to trust people with. I do dislike Apple devices; they're grossly overpriced (especially here in Canada for some reason). Asphalt roads suck, but I hardly have to be the one to state that. Anyone who's seen the amount of upkeep they require knows that we need something better to build roads out of.

      Asphalt roads don't waste petroleum though, since they're made of ASPHALT, brainiac. Not diesel, not propane, but ASPHALT. The crap left over at the end of oil refining. You might as say that we're wasting corn because we don't eat corn husks.

      So you see? I hate lots of things that I can have. I have access to asphalt roads, and I can afford Apple products, and I could easily afford a motorcycle. I'm just not stupid enough to buy those things. Just like I'm not stupid enough to waste hideous amounts of money on an SUV that will get terrible gas mileage and increase the odds that I will get myself and other people killed, while simultaneously making the air around me shittier than it would otherwise be if I drove a car or rode a bicycle.

    6. Re:typical kneejerk reaction by Loco3KGT · · Score: 1

      How many more of those fatal accidents are directly contributed to the fact that the person was in an SUV? Because there's definitely one constant: A human driver. Based on your statistical usage men shouldn't be allowed to ride motorcycles because they're involved in 90% of all motorcycle accidents.

      Car manufacturers are price fixing SUVs? I wonder then, why don't they price fix all of their cars? I mean, surely Nissan, Toyota, Kia, GM and its subsidiaries, Ford and its subsidiaries, and Daimler-Chrysler could agree to price fix more than just SUVs.... or you need to come back to reality. If someone is willing to buy one product despite countless other substitute products then the product is not over priced. The DRAM argument is invalid because there is no substitute for RAM, but there are substitutes for SUVs. Apple hardware is also not "over-priced" by market standards. Many people buy them when they could be buying Dell or Gateway. Are they higher priced? Yea, probably. But they're not over-priced.

      Maybe you're under-paid?

      Yes, all combustion engines produce emissions and yes SUVs typically produce more. I support closing the loop-hole, but don't pretend SUVs are the devil when it comes to emissions. There are all sorts of other vehicles with large engines - look at the Dodge and Chrysler line and how many non-SUV vehicles share the Hemi. Even some small engines make horrible harmful emissions - The Dodge Neon SRT/4 gets a rating worse than that of a Dodge Ram 1500. First you will all fight the SUVs, then it'll be trucks, then sports cars and luxury cars. By the end of it I'm fucked into driving a Toyota Prius and hating every time I have to leave the house. But you'll be happy because no one has a better car than you. And just to make you happy motorcycles will be screwed into having mufflers and catalytic converters resulting in power ratings that haven't been seen since 1940.

      Awesome.

      So you're happy not owning an SUV, or a motorcycle, or Apple hardware. Congratulations. But why the desire to piss in everyone else's cereal?

      Asphalt roads don't "suck." They're quieter than concrete roads, they don't require joints like concrete does, and they hold up to the environment better.

      You are waating the corn husk if you're just tossing it in the trash. They could be turned into all kinds of things, like tobacco pipes. Think of it from the Native American point of view, killing a deer just for the meat and disposing the rest is a waste when you can use virtually every body part for *something*.

      --
      Blessed be he who reads this post, Cursed be he who tells my boss.
    7. Re:typical kneejerk reaction by SidV · · Score: 1

      Look at the weight and MPG of the others.

      The difference is minor at best.

    8. Re:typical kneejerk reaction by Mark_MF-WN · · Score: 1
      I don't care that much about Apple hardware. But SUVs affect me -- I have to breathe the air, I have to leave the house without getting run down by one, I have to deal with there being no petrol left in thirty years because a bunch of jerk-offs decided that they needed a truck to drive to work. I'm "pissing in your cereal" because you're pissing in mine.

      Asphalt does indeed suck -- it deforms quickly, it doesn't endure weather well, and requires constant upkeep. It may kick the shit out of concrete (in fact, it seems almost certain), and there may not be an alternative yet, but that doesn't make asphalt suck any less.

      The university I went to has concrete roads. They are ... not good. But they're only marginally better than the ashpalt roads leading to the campus, which are so delapidated and bumpy that they will occasionally shake a car's transmission loose.

      SUVs are totally socially irresponsible, in the same way that having too many kids, becoming an alcoholic, or being racist is. No one wants to ban these things (at least no one rational does), but these things should still be condemned, and the people who engage in them should be acknowledged as the assholes they are. And if you're that pissed off at the idea of driving a vehicle that pollutes less, then you are indeed an asshole too.

      It's nothing to do with jealousy -- no one is jealous of your crappy SUV. SUVs are terrible, and you're a moron for buying into a stupid trend. There are vehicles I'm jealous of -- I'd love a BMW. I don't hate BMW owners. I think they're lucky people. I also don't hate people who own $5000 gaming computers, despite the fact that I'd love be to able to spend that much on a glorified toy. I DO hate SUV owners, because they're gullible sheep who waste they're money on crap and are ruining the environment and depleting a resource that needs to be conserved.

      So fuck off about jealousy, okay? You bought a vehicle that is marketed at suburbanites with more money than common sense, that is ruining the air quality in your neighbourhood, that increases your risk of being involved in a fatal accident, and which vastly increases the amount of money you spend on petrol. Deal with it.

    9. Re:typical kneejerk reaction by Loco3KGT · · Score: 1

      What the hell is wrong with having many kids? Having only two kids means an eventual population decline.

      BTW, I admitted in my first post I don't own an SUV. I drive a Honda Civic DX with crank windows and no cruise control. It's a piece of shit.

      But I am moving to northern VA and buying a pickup truck to replace the Civic. The disadvantage of living in the city is I don't have anywhere pretty to live. So I'm going to buy a pickup truck so I can drive three hours to have somewhere nice to go ride my other petrol burning machine.

      SUVs should not be condemned. The people that buy them without the need for them should be. This is what pisses me off. I agree with you that they're socially irresponsible for the most part, but I atleast take aim my anger at the right place: the people - not the vehicle. SUVs aren't to blame for accidents anymore than any other vehicle, their drivers are (you still haven't provided proof of that argument, btw). I'd bet statistics show that SUV drivers are more likely to be eating and talking on their cellphone while driving and not show that SUVs are specifically to blame. SUVs aren't to blame for their extreme popularity, their owners are.

      It's like blaming guns for violence instead of the people committing the crimes.

      --
      Blessed be he who reads this post, Cursed be he who tells my boss.
    10. Re:typical kneejerk reaction by Mark_MF-WN · · Score: 1
      I didn't see your admission, and from the sounds of it, you're buying an SUV for exactly the right reason -- driving through the inhospitable sections of this fine continent of ours. When I condemn the SUV, I'm condemn its popularity and the suburbanites who drive them. I do acknowledge that a few people need them because of where they live -- but those people are a small minority.

      As for guns -- you know what? I do blame guns. They make it too easy to kill people. I don't favour banning them (I adamantly oppose banning any tool, even a tool that I personally despise and see no legitimate use for), but I do think people who own guns are completely retarded. Gun owners are putting themselves and their families in danger, and putting the rest of us in danger by encouraging the spread of blackmarket guns (most blackmarket guns are stolen from people's homes).

      Having lots of kids is irresponsible because it leads to overpopulation. I can understand having two or three kids -- that's fine. But breeders often have many, many more children than that. Given that we already accept quite a few immigrants every year, it's probably best that the birth rate drop a bit to compensate. I'd really prefer that America and Canada don't end up like India and China. The world already has enough overpopulated shitholes without us packing people in until there isn't enough food and clean water to go around.

  11. The Sun affect the Earth? What a surprise ! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Yes humans are probably affecting the Earth, but every problem is presented as humans doing all the damage, and there is no possible way that Nature could be doing any of this damage.

    Gee, the Sun affects the Earth, what will they consider next?

    1. Re:The Sun affect the Earth? What a surprise ! by racazip · · Score: 1

      Yeah. From all the evidence we've seen thus far, it is very evident that nature has never done anything to harm any of its species. Oh... wait...

    2. Re:The Sun affect the Earth? What a surprise ! by Bad+D.N.A. · · Score: 1

      Thats George W Bush "logic"

      The fact is that the last number of decades have been quite modest in terms of solar radiation. It's been clearly shown from ice core samples. Radiation from the sun was much more severe during periods in the 1800's than it has been during the current "space age". While there is no doubt that the sun effects the ozone to associate solar activity with the current trends in ozone depletion is nothing but FUD.

      --
      "Truth is much too complicated to allow anything but approximations"
    3. Re:The Sun affect the Earth? What a surprise ! by amliebsch · · Score: 1

      WTF? Do you have some kind of ozone measurements from the 1800's to back this up?

      --
      If you don't know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere else.
    4. Re:The Sun affect the Earth? What a surprise ! by Bad+D.N.A. · · Score: 1

      Um yea, we do. It's called Ice core samples. Look it up. The science is fairly transparent. Well, it's a measurement of solar radiation, not necessarily of ozone, but the point is that we do know that the last number of decades of solar activity have been quite modest.

      --
      "Truth is much too complicated to allow anything but approximations"
    5. Re:The Sun affect the Earth? What a surprise ! by amliebsch · · Score: 1

      Well, yes, okay, I understand we have some knowledge about solar output. That is not controversial. But you seem to be making the claim that said solar output did not also have substantial effects on the ozone layer then as well as now. I see no evidence for such a conclusion.

      --
      If you don't know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere else.
    6. Re:The Sun affect the Earth? What a surprise ! by Jim_Callahan · · Score: 1

      Uh, isn't solar radiation affected by the thickness of the ozone layer? Sounds like a chicken-and-egg problem to me, unless you're talking about a different kind of radiation, in which case... well, you're talking about a different kind of radiation. Needs a bit more explanation to show the connection here.

      --
      ...it's really a sad day for America when we require a goddamn ACT OF CONGRESS to make our DVD players work properly. ~
  12. Global Warming is a serious threat. by the+talented+rmg · · Score: 3, Insightful
    --


    A Proud Member of the Reality Oriented Community.

    1. Re:Global Warming is a serious threat. by jfern · · Score: 1

      More than one thing can be a factor. I suppose you're going to try to claim that the sun increases greenhouse gasses, too?

    2. Re:Global Warming is a serious threat. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      The size of the hole(s) in the ozone layer is not the same problem as global warming. Greenhouse gases are irrelevant.

      - Ozone (a molecule with three oxygen atoms) can be broken back down into O2 + O. Like all chemical reactions, this process goes both ways: free oxygen atoms combine into O2, or with O2 to form O3. Ozone in the stratosphere undergoes this process naturally while absorbing UV from the sun.

      - Breaking oxygen to form ozone is a slow process as it absorbs energy. Breaking ozone to form oxygen progesses at a much higher rate.

      - There's a LOT of oxygen in the atmosphere. The stratosphere reaches an equilibrium where a relatively small amount of ozone breaking down quickly is balanced by a lot more oxygen being photolyzed slowly.

      - CFCs break down into chlorine, which catalyzes the O3 -> O2 + 0 reaction. This causes the ozone depletion direction to increase its rate, without an increase in ozone production. Thus, the total amount of ozone will decrease until a new equilibrium is reached at a lower level of ozone.

      - Note that the chlorine is a catalyst, and thus is not consumed in the reaction. One chlorine atom can destroy hundreds of thousands of ozone molecules while it's in the stratosphere. So, a relatively small amount of CFCs has a much larger effect on the amount of ozone.

      - Cold temperatures favor the ozone depletion direction of the reaction. This is why you see the hole appear first over the southern polar regions. That's the coldest place. Increases in the size of the hole and more northly locations indicate ever dropping levels of ozone across the atmosphere. If you think of the ozone as water in the ocean, then the ozone hole is an island sticking up out of water. Draining water from the entire ocean makes the island bigger, but that doesn't mean the water is only being lost at the island.

      - "Ozone depletion deniers" used to exist, much like those that currently object to global warming. They had various objections, such as no known mechanism to transport CFCs released at ground level to the stratosphere. You also used to see a lot of objections that have familiar analogs in the global warming debate -- for instance, suggestion of natural sources such as chlorine from sea salt rather than CFCs. Satellite observations have observed tagged chlorine atoms from CFCs in the stratosphere. We know it's human-produced stuff up there causing problems.

      - The chlorine will eventually be removed from the stratosphere as it combines with something other than ozone, though this process isn't as fast as we would like. By ceasing use of CFCs, the chlorine derived from them will eventually go away, and the ozone layer will reestablish at the old equilibrium we used to know and love. Changing human behavior can fix this problem as well as cause it.

    3. Re:Global Warming is a serious threat. by bluGill · · Score: 2, Informative

      One correction:

      Cold temperatures favor the ozone depletion direction of the reaction. This is why you see the hole appear first over the southern polar regions.

      Perhaps, but don't forget that ozone is created by UV hitting O2. In the polar regions in winter (when the hole happens) there is no sun, and thus no ozone creation. Those natural processes you have cited are all there working to destroy ozone, but nothing is creating it at the time.

    4. Re:Global Warming is a serious threat. by starm_ · · Score: 1

      Ha ha, it seems that it is the people who are so stupid and uninformed that they can't even tell the difference between global warming and depletion of the ozone layer that dont accept these facts.

      If you can't tell the difference between an apple and an orange you shouldn't be trying to tell people how to do groceries.

    5. Re:Global Warming is a serious threat. by nels_tomlinson · · Score: 4, Informative
      Some glaciers are receding, some aren't. Which ones are doing which varies from year to year.

      Antarctica seems to be cooling, and its coastal ice pack is thicker than ever.

      I do hope you're right about global warming, because global cooling looks at least as probable, given the few hard facts we actually know. Global warming would clearly leave the world a better place for all of us (especially the world's poor and hungry!), with more rainfall, warmer winters, more food, and so on. Global cooling, on the other hand, would probably kill more of the poor folks in Africa than the muslims' genocide and AIDS and Kyoto all put together.

      I've got some links to facts and discussion of glaciers, ice packs, temperature series and so on at http://geocities.com/nelstomlinson/globalwarming.h tml

    6. Re:Global Warming is a serious threat. by Yokaze · · Score: 1

      I followed your link and went to the link "data", and selected the first glacial data link I could find.

      While the statement "some glaciers are receding, some aren't" is certainly not wrong, as in any year you can certainly find at least one glacier, which hasn't receeded this year.

      However, looking at the graph above, I think the statement "glaciers are receeding" paint an fairly accurate picture of the general situation.

      The antarctic glaciers, however, are certainly receeding,

      > its coastal ice pack is thicker than ever.

      Maybe because of the receeding glacier, the coastal lines calves the thinner ice shelves, and only the thicker parts of the glacier remain?

      > Global warming would [...]. Global cooling, on the other hand, [...]

      What makes that scenario more likely than the reverse? From an Alaskian point of view warmer weather probably means better agriculture. But from an African point of view, I guess the reverse is the case.

      --
      "Between strong and weak, between rich and poor [...], it is freedom which oppresses and the law which sets free"
    7. Re:Global Warming is a serious threat. by kmichels · · Score: 1

      I agree with this entirely, but there's one thing missing from your response: the data. Despite all the data we have, these data have only been collected over what is an incredibly short period of time, even in terms of the 20 000 years human type creatures are alleged to have been wrecking the planet. Given a couple of million years that there has been life of some form or another on the planet, even 1000 years of data (which we don't nearly have) would be statistically insignificant, and certainly not enough to prove anything other than the exisence of the data.

      What I'm getting at is that yeah, maybe we humans are having an effect on the earth's environment, and its probably a detrimental one, but at the same time we just have no idea whether these fluctuations we're seeing now have occurred before, and if they have what their effect has been on life on the planet in general. we just don't have the data to prove anything, and won't have for the next 100 000 years or so, if we haven't managed to engineer ourselves out of existence by then.

    8. Re:Global Warming is a serious threat. by LarsWestergren · · Score: 1

      Global warming would clearly leave the world a better place for all of us (especially the world's poor and hungry!), with more rainfall, warmer winters, more food, and so on.

      Hehe, what massive BS. Last time I heard that was Putin saying that global warming would be good economically for Russia because Russians would need to spend less money on fur hats. Oh, and the "greening planet" oil industry shills of course.

      --

      Being bitter is drinking poison and hoping someone else will die

    9. Re:Global Warming is a serious threat. by kabocox · · Score: 1

      By ceasing use of CFCs, the chlorine derived from them will eventually go away, and the ozone layer will reestablish at the old equilibrium we used to know and love. Changing human behavior can fix this problem as well as cause it.

      Just cause that's what we think will happen doesn't mean that is what would happen though. Of course anything else we through up there to remove CFCs or creat ozone will have side effects that we can't predict.

    10. Re:Global Warming is a serious threat. by RealAlaskan · · Score: 1
      A warmer planet seems also to be a wetter planet. Since agriculture in most of Northern Africa is limited by lack of water, and doubly so in drought years, that's going to do a lot for the poor farmers there. The fact that Alaskans and Russians will get longer growing seasons is just a bonus.

      Similarly, most (maybe all?) plants respond very favorably to more CO2, so even if we don't get the warming, those poor African farmers have something to look forward to, as long as we don't fall for that Kyoto crap.

      Here are a couple of links which address the question of what global warming could mean for us: one and two

      As for what makes global cooling more likely than warming, well, we're probably near the tail end of an inter-glacial period, and probably overdue for a change for the worse. There isn't much hard eveidence either way, and what we do know, we don't really understand very well. I'd say that given the possibility that the Gulf Stream might fail, catastrophically and suddenly, according to one fairly plausible set of theories, another ice age isn't impossible.

  13. Somehow We'll Blame America for the Sun by geoffrobinson · · Score: 2, Funny

    Such is the way of the world. And please be able to take care of the joke.

    --
    Except for ending slavery, the Nazis, communism, & securing American independence, war has never solved anything.
  14. Re:editors please by sho222 · · Score: 1

    seriously, the editing has been pretty bad lately... I wish I could stop reading it, but I can't stop hitting refresh... refresh... refresh...

    damnit!

  15. Aurora and such by lecithin · · Score: 4, Informative

    If you missed the Aurora Show this fall, you missed something special. The Aurora were intense and visible in most urban places. (Including me in Minneapolis)

    For information on when flares and aurora are possible, see the following pages:
    aurora alert- http://www.xs4all.nl/~carlkop/auralert.html/
    for more of a daily "this is cool stuff in space" see
    SpaceWeather.com http://spaceweather.com/

    Fun Stuff.

    --
    It could be worse, it could be Monday.
  16. Weapons of Mass Destruction. by Cheapy · · Score: 5, Funny

    Recent events have showed us that we MUST cause a regime change for the Solarians. No longer must they live under the titanical rule of Sunddam Hydrogen.

    This evil dictator has created weapons of mass destruction, and has used them against nearby planets. A few years ago, we had them open their weapon factories to us so we could be sure they destroyed them all. But it has now come to our attention that they have weapons that could destroy the entire world.

    We can NOT stand by and let them do this. We must unite and attack them before they can destroy us. Anyone who is not with us, is with them. There is no other choice.

    The Earth must attack Sol.

    --
    Would you kindly mod me +1 insightful?
    1. Re:Weapons of Mass Destruction. by Xzzy · · Score: 1

      You damn lemming, the president isn't planning on this attack to aid the Solarians (though I'm sure he's not above milking it for his coming re-election), he's just doing it for the energy, to ensure our infastructure doesn't collapse.

      WMD my ass, he just wants to build solar panels there so our country can get the sunlight first.

    2. Re:Weapons of Mass Destruction. by Cheapy · · Score: 1

      You...you mean we would go to war for reasons other than helping humans out?

      BLASPHEMY!

      --
      Would you kindly mod me +1 insightful?
    3. Re:Weapons of Mass Destruction. by smithmc · · Score: 2, Funny

      Recent events have showed us that we MUST cause a regime change for the Solarians. No longer must they live under the titanical rule of Sunddam Hydrogen.

      Oh, sure, you only want invade the places that are rich in energy sources. What if the people of Pluto were being crushed by a brutal dictator? Huh? Huh? Oh, wait - maybe they have plutonium...

      --
      Downmodding is the refuge of the weak. Don't downmod, make a better argument!
    4. Re:Weapons of Mass Destruction. by AEton · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure this fits in with our War on Terra.

      --
      We recently had heard in the office over one of the Yellow Machine that's made by Anthology Solutions.
  17. Who'da thunk it? by DesScorp · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Wow....massive environmental changes can be caused by...OTHER ENVIRONMENTAL changes!

    This has been my biggest gripe with environmental groups. Almost none of them take into account the fact that the Earth has radically "re-organized" itself (for lack of a better word) several times BEFORE man ever came along, and we don't yet understand how or why. We've had several radical changes in global temperature, sea levels, atmosphere composition, etc, most before man ever walked the Earth.

    --
    Life is hard, and the world is cruel
    1. Re:Who'da thunk it? by weighn · · Score: 3, Informative
      Earth has radically "re-organized" itself (for lack of a better word) several times BEFORE

      yes, but significant climate change is occuring now in mere generations rather than over k's of years.
      This article is more to do with global warming (as opposed to ozone depletion), but it gives a good perspective.

      --
      Mongrel News all the news that fits and froths
    2. Re:Who'da thunk it? by Milkyman · · Score: 1

      who cares what environmental changes happened BEFORE man walked the earth? We should be worried about environmental changes that happen while we walk the the earth because a "re-organized" earth probably won't have human's walking it anymore either.

    3. Re:Who'da thunk it? by rhysweatherley · · Score: 5, Insightful
      "Wow....massive environmental changes can be caused by...OTHER ENVIRONMENTAL changes! This has been my biggest gripe with environmental groups. "

      Actually, it's the anti-environmental lobby that latches onto the natural cycles argument, using it as an excuse to do nothing. Because doing something usually costs them money, or results in lawsuits, or whatever.

      Environmentalists understand that there are natural cycles but are concerned that the natural cycles are being upset by human action in ways that will be very difficult to reverse the longer the upset occurs.

      The Sun's involvement in ozone depletion has been a fixture of atmospheric conditions for millions of years, and has reached equillibrium. Inject human-generated CFC's and the equillibrium is upset. We can't change the Sun, but we can change the human factors.

    4. Re:Who'da thunk it? by Bad+D.N.A. · · Score: 2, Interesting

      No doubt that our environment changes over time. But the "theory" that solar activity is responsible for current trends in the ozone is FUD. Solar activity duing the last few decades has been quite low based on ice core samples that date back for thousands of years. It's clear that something has effected our ozone over the last few decades but any attempt to place solar radiation as the cause of this trend is simply ignoring the data.

      --
      "Truth is much too complicated to allow anything but approximations"
    5. Re:Who'da thunk it? by amliebsch · · Score: 1
      Don't underestimate mankind's ability to adapt and overcome.

      Seriously, don't.

      --
      If you don't know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere else.
    6. Re:Who'da thunk it? by eh2o · · Score: 1

      spoken like a true mainstream-media baby.

    7. Re:Who'da thunk it? by fatman22 · · Score: 1

      Equilibrium is nice but what we need (and can't have) is long term stability lasting tens or hundreds of millenia. In a system of cyclic natural changes that occur at slightly different frequencies, eventually one factor will rise above its countering factors and make the planet uninhabitable by the current biology. "Equilibrium" will be reached when another form of life arises that is suited to the prevailing conditions. Unfortunately it won't be us and there isn't a damned thing we can do about it except find someplace else to live.

    8. Re:Who'da thunk it? by Brandybuck · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Actually, it's the anti-environmental lobby that latches onto the natural cycles argument, using it as an excuse to do nothing.

      They're not using it an excuse to do nothing, intead they are using it as an excuse not to crawl back into the cro magnon cave the crawled out of! Environmentalists are against technological progress. When Al Gore advocated banning the internal combustion engine he was proposing just that. Gasoline engines may not be perfect, but until we have viable replacements for them, banning them is not an intelligent solution.

      There is not "anti-environmental" lobby, but there certainly is an "anti-environmentalist" lobby. Like it or not, environmentalism is a specific political ideology. Not everyone who wants to protect the environment is an environmentalist. Not everyone who wants to eliminate pollution is an environmentalist. Pretending that wanting to clean up the Earth is environmentalism is as silly as pretending that wanting to eliminate poverty is socialism.

      --
      Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
    9. Re:Who'da thunk it? by OzRoy · · Score: 1
      Environmentalists understand that there are natural cycles but are concerned that the natural cycles are being upset by human action

      I've never really understood this argument. We all seem to be acting as if humans are somehow seperate from the environment. Humans are very much a part of the environment and will always be a part of it, and as a result anything we do is part of the environment's natural evolution.

      What these environmental arguments are always about isn't about protecting the environment but trying to lock it into some sort of stasis and ensure it never changes, which is impossible.

      The truth of the matter is nobody has any idea what the hell they are talking about and nobody knows what they should be doing. Almost every time we try to fix a problem we just make things worse.

      What we should be more worried about is resource management and should stop trying to exploit everything.

    10. Re:Who'da thunk it? by Xugumad · · Score: 1

      However, death by skin cancer is still death by skin cancer, irrespective of whether it's our fault or not. In fact, if all those CFCs aren't the real problem, we've got bigger problems to solve, as we may have to find a way of replenishing the ozone layer faster (given that stopping solar flares is probably not an option)...

    11. Re:Who'da thunk it? by tthomas48 · · Score: 1

      Beautiful circular logic. It's like the old, do yo hate women? No, I hate femi-nazis, I like women debate. Rush Limbaugh is a beautiful thing. His mastery of using logic to trick people out of having conversations is amazing. After all, how could I argue with your post? Am I going to say I'm an environmental, not an environmentalist... what does that mean? And why does every Limbaugh inspired argument revolve around political actors who have had no real influence in the recent news. I tell you that Mondale...

    12. Re:Who'da thunk it? by Brandybuck · · Score: 1

      "Environmentalism" is a word that has expanded to fill spaces it should not. I am not an environmentalist. To most people today, that means I want to destroy the earth, that I want to shit in their water supply, and want to use plutonium as a food perservative. It doesn't matter if I tell them that I'm a conservationist, because they won't understand.

      And what the hell does Rush Limbaugh have to do with anything?

      --
      Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
    13. Re:Who'da thunk it? by tthomas48 · · Score: 1

      You're using the Rush Limbaugh tactic of taking a word and attempting to remove it's meaning because not only do you not like what it connotes but also you don't like what it denotes. You will find similiar problems in the abortion debate. There are many people classified as pro-life who believe in the death penalty, as are there many people who are pro-choice who would never have an abortion nor advocate anyone else do so. But that doesn't mean because it's a complex issue that I can change what the word abortion means.

      From the definition of environmentalism you would be an advocate of stopping pollution or the destruction of the natural environment. If you are not an "environmentalist" then you do not advocate these beliefs. That's how the word works. And frankly using simple logic it does mean:

      a) you have no opinion on environmental topics
      b) you prefer not to espose or act upon your environmental views
      c) you advocate the destruction and/or pollution of our natural environment

    14. Re:Who'da thunk it? by Brandybuck · · Score: 1

      From the definition of environmentalism you would be an advocate of stopping pollution or the destruction of the natural environment. If you are not an "environmentalist" then you do not advocate these beliefs. That's how the word works.

      That may be how the word works in an Orwellian newspeak sense, but that's not what it means. Environmentalism (note the -ism suffix) is a set of specific political solutions to environmental problems, and if you don't agree with the those solutions (at least to some degree) you can't be an environmentalist.

      --
      Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
  18. phew by potihani · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Indeed, the sun is in fact about half of the cause for ozone depletion involving CFCs. That's because that when CFCs drift up into the stratosphere photons, in their selfish and inexorable rush toward the earth, smack into them and bust off the chlorine . For shame, Mr. Sun. So, rather than eliminate the CFCs and thus the chlorine that breakz ozone down into 02 and free oxygen, we would do just as well to put up a Mr. Burns-style sun blocker. Now that would stop global warming. I gotta say, though, I'm really not willing to make the implied trade, I think I'd miss the aerosol hair spray a little less than food.

  19. The sun creates ozone, too! by rpdillon · · Score: 5, Informative
    It is news that the sun destroys ozone, but the UV rays are also the reason the ozone is there in the first place:

    High in the atmosphere, some oxygen (O2) molecules absorbed energy from the Sun's ultraviolet (UV) rays and split to form single oxygen atoms. These atoms combined with remaining oxygen (O2) to form ozone (O3) molecules, which are very effective at absorbing UV rays. The thin layer of ozone that surrounds Earth acts as a shield, protecting the planet from irradiation by UV light...Ozone is produced naturally in the stratosphere when highly energetic solar radiation strikes molecules of oxygen, O2, and cause the two oxygen atoms to split apart in a process called photolysis.

    Linkage

    So, yeah, the sun is the bad guy, but really, the sun is the good guy, too. =)

    1. Re:The sun creates ozone, too! by Spy+der+Mann · · Score: 1

      Actually, wouldn't the ecosystem be the good guy?

      Without the prehistoric fitoplancton creating oxygen as a byproduct of their metabolism, there wouldn't be oxygen in the atmosphere in the first place - ergo, no ozone.

      Meanwhile, greedy corporations destroy the ecosystem, the CO2 production is going overboard - who's the bad guy now?

  20. Sue the sun's owner by tempest69 · · Score: 1
    This lawyer thought that he was immune to lawsuits, http://www.spacedaily.com/news/oped-02e.html
    I bet he wont take it too lightly when the G8 goes after his @$$ for 80 billion in global damages.


    Hey, somebody had to mention it.


    Storm

    1. Re:Sue the sun's owner by XFilesFMDS1013 · · Score: 1

      What a fucked world we live in.

  21. Re:editors please by winkydink · · Score: 1

    Probably in a couple of years when the editors enter the 9th grade. :)

    --

    "I'd rather be a lightning rod than a seismometer." -Ken Kesey

  22. Re:Its Asias fault by Koiu+Lpoi · · Score: 1

    Damn asians anyways. Except the Asians really have no control over the sun. At all. We hope. I do not want the ChiComs in control of the sun.

  23. I knew it, Monty was right. by Mantus · · Score: 1

    Since the dawn of time man has yearned to destroy the sun. -Monty Burns

  24. Proven Fact... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    It's scientifically proven, that CFCs destroy ozone in the lab. Now weather or not it contributes to significant depletion of ozone in the upper atmosphere, is of question.

  25. This is what we get by the.Ceph · · Score: 1

    Maybe people will finally start paying homage to Ra again.

    1. Re:This is what we get by Zcipher · · Score: 1
      Maybe people will finally start paying homage to Ra again.

      Fun god! Sun God! Ra! Ra! Ra!

  26. Climate changes man made by northcat · · Score: 1

    TFA itself says "The upper-level ozone layer has thinned dramatically in the Southern Hemisphere in recent decades, creating a dangerous hole through which UV rays stream. The decline is due largely to man-made chlorofluorocarbons released into the atmosphere."

  27. CFC's rarely meet ozone in the atmosphere by ChipMonk · · Score: 2, Informative

    CFC's are incredibly heavy. In order to reach the ozone layer, the CFC's have to be super-heated.

    1. Re:CFC's rarely meet ozone in the atmosphere by ChipMonk · · Score: 1

      In case you hadn't noticed, the ground layer is covered with a layer of CO2, as evidenced by the tremendous amount of plant life on the planet.

      However, you aren't taking into account the difference in atomic weight (hence, density): CO2 (atomic weight ~44) is just 57% heavier than N2 (atomic weight ~28), while the simplest CFC is at least twice as heavy as N2 (min. atomic weight 66). A multiple-carbon CFC will be even heavier. Saying that CFC's diffuse easily, even under the thermal activity induced by the Sun, is like saying the Mississippi River can carry a brick from St. Louis to New Orleans.

      Ozone is heavier as well, but it's the absorption of the UV light by 3 O2 which ionizes it and forms 2 O3. In other words, ozone forms in the upper atomsphere and is the evidence that the UV has been stopped.

      Notice that I didn't say it was impossible, or that there were no CFC's in the upper atmosphere. You assumed, incorrectly, that that's what I said. Go back and re-read my original comment.

      The mechanisms which put CFC's into the upper atmosphere have been present on the planet longer than mammals, never mind primates and humans.

  28. Not much of an effect in the long run by adeydas · · Score: 3, Informative

    The ozone cover of our atmosphere is a dynamic process meaning that ozone is formed and destroyed at a constant rate as we speak. True that solar flares cause it to be destroyed but such phenomenon does not happen too often. In the time span between two such events the ozone can re-create itself. On the other hand, destruction of ozone by human made CFC's, freons, etc are spontaneous and hence causes permenant depletion.

    1. Re:Not much of an effect in the long run by Bad+D.N.A. · · Score: 1

      "Such phenomenon does not happen too often"

      Um, are you talking about solar Min or solar Max?

      The major source of solar radiation happens during solar maximum and during that time (a interval of around 4 years) it happens multiple times a month or more. I dont dispute the comment about ozone distruction via CFC's but the comment about solar events being infrequent is relative.

      --
      "Truth is much too complicated to allow anything but approximations"
    2. Re:Not much of an effect in the long run by Shihar · · Score: 1

      "In the time span between two such events the ozone can re-create itself. On the other hand, destruction of ozone by human made CFC's, freons, etc are spontaneous and hence causes permenant depletion."

      I'm sorry, you lost me on that little logic leap. Natural stuff can be repaired... human stuff can't be... cause it is 'spontaneous'? Verse the sun throwing out a solar blast is not 'spontaneous'? Right... either you need to go back and look at your logic, or go back and look at your dictionary, because something is wrong with that statement.

      The ozone hole has been shrinking over the last few years. Granted it could be coincidence, but it also corresponds to CFC reduction. Regardless if the ozone size shifts are natural or man made, I think the moral of the story is that ozone is actually pretty robust. You can rip a hole in it, and within a reasonable amount of time it will repair itself. Granted, that is not an invitation to dump super heated CFC gas into ozone, but it does mean that with a minimal amount of work you can get that good old natural barrier up and running again.

  29. yeah, it's all the sun's fault... by MSBob · · Score: 3, Insightful

    and yet we had a melanoma incidence rate of 1 in 150,000 in the 1930's and it's around 1 in 75 now. Yeah, it's all part of natural world and nothing to do with the rate of industrialization.

    --
    Your pizza just the way you ought to have it.
    1. Re:yeah, it's all the sun's fault... by TykeClone · · Score: 1

      Would that have anything at all to do with the amount of time in the sun and skin we showed prior to the 1930's?

      --
      A fine is a tax you pay for doing wrong and a tax is a fine you pay for doing all right.
    2. Re:yeah, it's all the sun's fault... by MSBob · · Score: 1

      I think most farmers would disagree with that premise.

      --
      Your pizza just the way you ought to have it.
    3. Re:yeah, it's all the sun's fault... by TykeClone · · Score: 2, Funny

      I don't think that dust-bowl era farmers wore speedos (but they were out in the sun quite a bit)

      --
      A fine is a tax you pay for doing wrong and a tax is a fine you pay for doing all right.
    4. Re:yeah, it's all the sun's fault... by farmhick · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The quick reply to any rise in melanoma rates is that people are out in the sun more nowadays than 70 years ago. "In the sun" meaning 'laying on a beach wearing almost no clothing, for hours at a time'. Seven decades ago most people in the US and Europe wore long sleeve shirts and long pants went they went out in public.

      The not-so-quick reply is that people are living longer today too, rather than dying long before melanoma could develop. As more people survive lesser diseases such as the flu, more will die due to other diseases such as cancer.

      Other responses to your statistic would include radiation from microwave ovens and televisions, terrible dieting consisting of less nutritious foods rather than fresh vegetables, and the theory that the human body has cancer cells all the time which are routinely destroyed in healthy people but not in our modern bodies which are not healthy because of the previous two reasons which I just mentioned.

      --
      I have to stop wasting so much time reading Slashdot. It's interfering with my crystal meth addiction.
    5. Re:yeah, it's all the sun's fault... by Etobian · · Score: 1

      How much of the increase in the melanoma rate is due to (1) increased life expectancy (i.e., are more cases showing up in older people who would have died at a younger age in the 1930s?) and/or to (2) the huge increase in recreational exposure to the sun?

    6. Re:yeah, it's all the sun's fault... by amliebsch · · Score: 1

      There's also a serious argument that because we are exposed to far fewer radioactive elements nowadays, our bodies are not as tolerant to radiation and/or cancerous cells that result.

      --
      If you don't know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere else.
    7. Re:yeah, it's all the sun's fault... by MSBob · · Score: 1

      Melanoma is often called "young people's cancer" and with a good reason it's the leading cancer in people under 30 years of age. Living longer has nothing to do with the melanoma epidemic that we are experiencing.

      --
      Your pizza just the way you ought to have it.
    8. Re:yeah, it's all the sun's fault... by Nutria · · Score: 1

      I think most farmers would disagree with that premise.

      I think most farmers would agree that much more skin is shown now than in, say, 1935.

      Bikinis and halter-tops and mini-skirts wereknown about and worn by a tiny fraction of women. Standard dress (with variations, of course) was a long skirt, blouse buttoned to the neck and a matching jacket.

      --
      "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
    9. Re:yeah, it's all the sun's fault... by farmhick · · Score: 2, Informative
      Statistics are great. You say that melanoma is the leading cancer in people under age 30, so obviously it has nothing to do with how long someone lives. It strikes the young, not the old.

      But what percentage of melanoma patients are under 30, and how many are over 30? This site says that almost 90% of recent melanoma patients are over 40 years old.

      This site, http://www.cancer.org/ has an article from 2002 that states:
      But most of that increase has been in men 65 and older, with their rates rising over 150%, the study authors said.

      In younger Americans, aged 20 to 44, death rates actually dropped almost 40% in women, and about 30% in men.

      So those under 30 are getting less melanoma now than before, and the elderly are getting much more.

      As I said, statistics are great.
      --
      I have to stop wasting so much time reading Slashdot. It's interfering with my crystal meth addiction.
    10. Re:yeah, it's all the sun's fault... by Brandybuck · · Score: 1

      And hats! Don't forget hats! In the 1930's everyone wore hats. But they went out of style. When my dad got a melonoma on his balding head, he was told by the doctor to wear a hat!

      --
      Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
  30. Predating agriculture by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 1
    even non-agricultural societies used burning as a hunting tool to either frighten prey, diminish feed or make new lusghh feed to attract them.

    However to say that we should not act because there is no proof is not wise. By the time we have proof it will be to late. Rather, we should act on the best, and most conservative, evidence of the day.

    Analogy: Go run around in the street with your eyes shut. Just because you can't see any cars does not mean this is a safe thing to do.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
    1. Re:Predating agriculture by b-baggins · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The best, most conservative evidence of the day says that human impact on global warming is negligible, and that, therefore, we really don't need to do anything at all.

      Now, of course, you aren't interested in the best, most conservative evidence, because you are all for doing something, anything right now, immediately before we all suffer catastrophic apocalypse.

      So much for taking the best, most conservative evidence.

      Global warming is nothing more than the latest tool of the ever with us tyrants to put themselves in power and tell you how to live your life.

      Remember, the tyranny that makes you feel morally superior is the tyranny you embrace, and the modern green movement is all about moral superiority.

      --
      You can tell a great deal about the character of a man by observing those who hate him.
    2. Re:Predating agriculture by -brazil- · · Score: 1

      The best, most conservative evidence of the day says that human impact on global warming is negligible, and that, therefore, we really don't need to do anything at all.

      The most conservative, as in "produced by those with a politically conservative agenda", or "giving the lowest results" - definitely. But that's not necessarily the "best" evidence in scientific terms, and in fact the majority of the science community thinks other, less "conservative" evidence is a lot better.

      --

      The illegal we do immediately. The unconstitutional takes a little longer.
      --Henry Kissinger

  31. global warming by Squeezer · · Score: 1

    this causes global warming, not the other way around

    --
    Does the name Pavlov ring a bell?
  32. expected severity by Khashishi · · Score: 1

    Just because something is not proven doesn't mean that you should ignore it.

    If the severity of the conclusions is high, and the probability of correctness is substantial, then it deserves respect.

  33. I Concur! by MarcQuadra · · Score: 1

    You first.

    --
    "Sometimes, I think Trent just needs a cup of hot chocolate and a blankie." -Tori Amos on Nine Inch Nails
  34. El Viaje Misterioso de Nuestro Homer by PHAEDRU5 · · Score: 1

    We can save ourselves any time. We just need the merciless peppers of Quetzlzacatenango!

    --
    668: Neighbour of the Beast
  35. my response by Khashishi · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's ok that the Earth radically re-organized itself in the distant past before humans came along.

    It's not ok from a human standpoint for the Earth to radically re-organize itself now.

    Really, we should do everything in our power to keep the Earth rather like it has been for the last 10000 years.

    1. Re:my response by pipingguy · · Score: 1, Insightful


      Really, we should do everything in our power...

      When it comes to the earth, it's climate and other unpredictable fluid dynamics-type universal (chaos theory, anyone?) issues, we have no power. Get used to it.

      "Think globally, act locally" is mostly a leftist political meme, not a realistic point of view and should be replaced by, "Think rationally, act reasonably."

    2. Re:my response by Repton · · Score: 1
      When it comes to the earth, it's climate and other unpredictable fluid dynamics-type universal (chaos theory, anyone?) issues, we have no power. Get used to it.

      This is the problem: We may not be physically capable of getting used to it. That is why we must attempt to prevent climate change --- not because Gaea will be unhappy, or because the holistic chi imbalance will desync the natural biorhythms of the universe, but because if things get too bad (where "bad" is defined by humans), we may not be able to survive here.

      And it's not like we're equipped for finding a new planet any time in the forseeable future...

      --
      Repton.
      They say that only an experienced wizard can do the tengu shuffle.
    3. Re:my response by pipingguy · · Score: 1


      OK, what's your proposal?

      Hydrogen? Natural gas?

    4. Re:my response by eh2o · · Score: 1

      chaos theory says that systems have complex responses with respect to their input. you are saying that the system has NO response to its input.

    5. Re:my response by pipingguy · · Score: 1


      No, what I am implying is that the weather/climate system is so chaotic that it is pointless to try to predict it. Especially if we only have a few hundred years' worth of reliable scientific records/history.

      Speculating on the meaning of computer models is pointless, but is an interesting exercise for theorists.

      There ARE clean energy efforts happening now, but it's trendy to bash the oil companies.

      http://makeashorterlink.com/?O5AD2339A

    6. Re:my response by eh2o · · Score: 1

      The stock market is also chaotic but that does not stop anyone from using computer models to analyze it. Difficult, perhaps, but not pointless.

    7. Re:my response by mcc · · Score: 1

      When it comes to the earth, it's climate and other unpredictable fluid dynamics-type universal (chaos theory, anyone?) issues, we have no power. Get used to it.

      The 2000 confirmed cases of thyroid cancer across Europe resulting from a single incident in Chernobyl, Russia in which a certain quantity of radioactive material were released into the atmosphere wish to disagree with you, as does a very wide area still undergoing clear ecological side effects from a single event in Prince William Sound, Alaska in which some hydrocarbons were released into the ocean.

      It is extremely easy to effect the earth on a wide scale, if you've got just a little bit of resources to do it with; volcanoes create planet-wide effects all the time by doing nothing other than creating very large explosions, and very large explosions are easy to make. All chaos theory claims is that it's hard to control what exactly that effect will be.

    8. Re:my response by mcc · · Score: 1

      The 2000 thyroid cancer cases are a minimal, confirmed estimate; actual numbers were certainly far higher, and that's just one health effect. Most of the thyroid cancer patients were not killed, though, since thyroid cancer is relatively easy to treat, for a cancer.

      The interesting thing here however is not how many people were effected. The interesting thing is the degree to which the effected individuals were geographically widespread, even though it was a single, building-sized explosion and fire, and only put out a few hundred times as much radioactive material as the Hiroshima atomic bomb. Given this it is interesting to consider exactly what could be done with an event committed intentionally and with the goal of causing widespread effect.

      Aside from this, if you think 2000 casualties does not constitute a major event, there are certain political leaders I hope you are making an effort to convince of that idea at this time.

    9. Re:my response by Detritus · · Score: 1

      2000 cases of thyroid cancer are insignificant. Sure, it sucks if you are one of the people who developed thyroid cancer, but in the big picture, it's a non-event. About 150,000 people die every day.

      --
      Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
    10. Re:my response by xSauronx · · Score: 1

      could we just keep it like last tuesday? last tuesday was quite comofrtable

      --
      By and large, language is a tool for concealing the truth. -- George Carlin
    11. Re:my response by joshv · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "It's ok that the Earth radically re-organized itself in the distant past before humans came along.

      It's not ok from a human standpoint for the Earth to radically re-organize itself now."

      Really? Why? The most radical reorg came about when a strange new bacteria discovered photosynthensis. This little organism was wildly successful. It and it's descendent set about polluting the Earth's atmosphere with a previously poisonous gas - oxygen. This gas exterminated many of the species that came before, but helped some others that could figure out how to use the new gas (our ancestors). Replacing 20% of the atmosphere with oxygen most certainly wrought massive global climate change as well.

      This change was a direct result of the actions of a particular species on the planet. It's actions were no more or less 'natural' than those of homo sapiens.

    12. Re:my response by pcmanjon · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "It's not ok from a human standpoint for the Earth to radically re-organize itself now.

      Really, we should do everything in our power to keep the Earth rather like it has been for the last 10000 years."

      Well, really, we can't do anything to stop the Earth from reacting to the enviroment from which it lives in (space.) The Earth is going to react according to the forces around it, and nothing can change that.

      It would be within our best interest for our genes to do some evolution to better suit us for our changing world. Species are going to die out on this planet as a result of the changing Earth, that is for sure. Hopefully some or most species will be able to adapt to the new enviroment that they won't.

      It's natural selection, but who picks? The Earth, who tells the Earth? The Universe. We can't change the Universe, so lets hope that we can change ourselves.

  36. DOH!!! by RabidAmerican · · Score: 1

    Looks like there may be something the "scientists" hadn't considered. Could be that there is a bigger influence than a few spray cans... Has anyone considered the fact that the whole solar-system is experienceing a temperature rise? Not just here on good ol' Terra firma.... Haven't we been told that if they tax everything we use that they could lessen the ozone layer depletion?? Sorry, as suspected, money ain't gonna fix this one kids....

    --
    /*Dave
  37. The more things change,the more they stay the same by suitepotato · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Think for a second... Has anyone PROVEN that there has EVER been an "ozone hole" ANYWHERE but at the poles? Like right over ANY of the industrialized nations that emit CFCs?

    Not to my knowledge or in any scholarly tract I have ever seen.

    It took until NOW for someone to think, "Hmmm... maybe the sun has something to do with the ozone layer..."

    The idea that a dynamic world affecting power source could create AND destroy isn't new. Witness the ring of fire in the Pacific Ocean. Subduction destroys, magma release renews.

    One wonders how any could miss the fact that the known ozone depletion spots happen to coincide with the planet's magnetic poles and thus where loads of solar charged particle radiation ends up, having to pass through the same ozone that the sun itself created.

    This isn't a troll. This is simple exasperation at the endless "human kind is responsible for all ills that plague the world". I'm sure superstitious islanders of the nineteenth century who survived Krakatoa agreed with that, but it ain't necessarily so.

    There seems to be some obsession among some people with the idea that everything should always remain as it is right now despite the fact that our own science proves to us that the world was different in multiple different ways over vast periods of time before we were ever a kink in the dna and logically will be short of our intelligent intervention and massive effort.

    --
    If my grammar and spelling are off, I am [distracted/tired/careless] (take your pick)
  38. Nitrogen? by Fractal+Dice · · Score: 1

    In a nutshell, more nitrogen was created

    um ... is it April 1st?

    No, seriously>?

    1. Re:Nitrogen? by WalksOnDirt · · Score: 1

      My guess is it should be nitrogen oxides.

      --
      a,e,i,o,u and sometimes w and y (at be if of up cwm by)
    2. Re:Nitrogen? by dragons_flight · · Score: 1

      The goal of putting pure nitrogen in tires is actually to avoid the water vapor that comes along with compressed air. Water's vapor pressure is relatively sensitive to changes in temperature (not surprising since it wants to be a liquid at room temperature). As a result, having water vapor in your tires leads to much larger changes in tire pressure as a function of temperature than would occur with pure nitrogen.

      However the "much larger" changes are basically irrelevant to ordinary people since tires and cars are designed to tolerate considerable fluctuations in tire pressure. The only place it really matters, and where pure N2 is used consistently, is in professional racing since slight variations in tire pressure can negatively impact the efficiency of high performance vehicles.

  39. Solar Radiation quite calm by Bad+D.N.A. · · Score: 3, Interesting

    This "theory" has got a few problems. First of all we know without a doubt that for the last number of decades the major source of solar radiation - the Solar Energetic Particle events (SEPs) - are quite modest. This is known from ice core samples. I've seen the reports of the data myself and it's quite conclusive. In a nutshell our current space age has occurred during a very quiet, very benign time. To attribute solar sources to any current trends is ozone depletion is simply disregarding the data. While solar events certainly do effect the ozone to attribute any such current depletion is FUD.

    --
    "Truth is much too complicated to allow anything but approximations"
    1. Re:Solar Radiation quite calm by amliebsch · · Score: 1

      I don't understand how you can simultaneously claim that (a) solar events certainly do effect the ozone and that (b) attributing any current depletion to the sun is FUD.

      --
      If you don't know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere else.
    2. Re:Solar Radiation quite calm by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 5, Informative

      This is how ozone is made (the "source" reaction):

      O2 + UV(180-240nm) -> O* + O*
      O* + O2 -> O3

      Its famed ability to absorb UV happens this way:

      O3 + UV(200-320nm) -> O* + O2
      O* + O2 -> O3 (again)

      and this is the normal "sink" reaction, which removes the ozone-producing O* radicals from circulation:

      O* + O* -> O2
      (Another normal "sink" is O* + O3 -> 2O2.)

      Normally both the "source" and "sink" reactions are happening at once, so that the concentrations of O3 relative to O2 are at an equilibrium- as much ozone is being produced as destroyed at any given moment.

      This is the chlorine breakdown path:

      Cl* + O3 -> ClO* + O2
      ClO* + ClO* -> Cl2O2
      Cl2O2 + UV -> 2Cl* + O2
      overall: 2O3 -> 3O2

      Cl* is a chlorine radical formed when CFCs break down under intense UV. The chlorine reactions happen at the surface of certain types of ice crystals that form at -80 degrees C. That's where we get the "ozone holes" from.

      The overall reaction is an efficient ozone sink, with a rate of reaction 1500 times greater than the one with O*. This pushes the O3/O2 equilibrium downward. More ozone is continually being produced by sunlight hitting O2, but since the O3 is disappearing faster, the result is a much lower concentration of O3 relative to O2 than if no Cl* were present.

      This article is so dumbed down as to be worthless. It blames "nitrogen gas", which is a load of crap. This story is about nitric oxide (NO) catalysis. This is a well known phenomenon. In addition to chlorine and nitric oxide, fluorine and bromine can also catalyze the breakdown of ozone. This is how nitrogen oxide breaks down ozone:

      NO + O3 -> NO2 + O2
      O2 + UV(180-240nm) -> O* + O*
      NO2 + O* -> NO + O2 (as opposed to O* + O2 -> O3 which would regenerate the ozone)

      Similar reactions happen in reverse near the ground in cities, where the NO2 that emerges from tailpipes results in ground-level ozone.

      Normally there's much more NO than chlorine in the stratosphere, although the chlorine reactions are more efficient. Weather patterns above the poles have always brought a steady stream of NO down from the ionosphere to the stratosphere since the beginning of time. In other words the historic, preindustrial "normal" equilibrium concentration of ozone already accounts for what the sun does in a normal solar year. The solar storms of 2003 created an abnormal surge of NO, so we saw ozone drop markedly in spring 2004 relative to 2003. But 2003 levels were already depressed, and we had normal NO levels then.

      NO and chlorine are both gradually cleared from the stratosphere by formation of nitric acid and hydrochloric acid respectively. So the supplies of these harmful catalysts have to be regenerated, either by the sun or us. But NO turns to nitric acid after only a couple days. A CFC molecule survives an average of 100 years before degrading to elemental chlorine (destroying ozone) and then HCl. Drops in ozone levels from solar activity can be expected to be transient, lasting a year or two at most. Drops in ozone levels from CFCs are essentially permanent for the rest of our lives. Don't let anyone fool you into thinking all our problems are the sun's fault.

    3. Re:Solar Radiation quite calm by mcc · · Score: 1

      But the theory is not trying to explain ozone trends of the last few decades, it is trying to explain ozone trends in early 2004.

    4. Re:Solar Radiation quite calm by L0C0loco · · Score: 4, Interesting

      As a coauthor of that paper, I must agree that the press release was dumbed down quite a bit. Unfortunately, it has to be that way in order to get any widespread attention by the media. So be it. The problem I have with the /. article here is that the submitter tries to tie the changes at high altitude seen last year to the current problem over northern Europe which is caused by the formation of a significant ozone hole over the Arctic. These are completely different phenomena and unrelated. On the subject of chlorine, the amounts of chlorine are coming down and ozone is indeed responding as expected (google search on newchurch ozone for the paper and press release - I was a coauthor on that one as well). Depending upon how old you are and how quickly methane increases over the next few decades, you will probably live to see ozone recover to very near its historical norm. The thing that alarms me most at this point in time is the use of methylbromide. Most of the world is curtailing its use. The US was beginning to until compliance was set aside by the current administration. Bromine has a much larger impact on ozone than does either NOx or ClOx. Its use in the US is in large part due to the strawberry industry.

      Enjoy,

      --
      -- Instant Karma's gonna get you! [320848 = 2*2*2*2*11*1823]
    5. Re:Solar Radiation quite calm by ccarson · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Apparently, the Earth magnetic field has decreased by 10% in the last 10 years. I'm an electrical engineer. During my studies in sub-atomic physics, I learned that a particles velocity can be effected by magnetic fields. I believe it's possible that more of the Sun's radiation is penetrating the Earth's magnetic field due to it being weaker. If more radiation hits the Earth, shouldn't that also increase the overall temperature of the Earth and can global warming be contributed to this? I've been bouncing this idea in my head for a while now and I can't see why this MAY not be true.

    6. Re:Solar Radiation quite calm by operagost · · Score: 2, Informative
      The US was beginning to until compliance was set aside by the current administration.
      Compliance has been pushed out to 2015, which is where the rest of the developed world plans to phase it out per the Montreal Protocol of the UN.
      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    7. Re:Solar Radiation quite calm by b-baggins · · Score: 1

      The overall reaction is an efficient ozone sink, with a rate of reaction 1500 times greater than the one with O*. This pushes the O3/O2 equilibrium downward. More ozone is continually being produced by sunlight hitting O2, but since the O3 is disappearing faster, the result is a much lower concentration of O3 relative to O2 than if no Cl* were present.

      What's the rate of reaction of O2 -> O3? That's the governing rate that determines reactant to product ratios.

      --
      You can tell a great deal about the character of a man by observing those who hate him.
    8. Re:Solar Radiation quite calm by L0C0loco · · Score: 2

      True, but with CFC's it was expected that the developed nations would phase things out more agressively because they could absorb the cost and had the infrastructure to support the change. This is something that the developing nations could not do in the short term. In fact this is what happened. The US and most of Europe switched over to using HCFC's very quickly. The same scenario was proposed and adopted for methylbromide. Why it was set aside just recently can be argued probably in much the same way one could argue about the rationale for not limiting CO2 emissions. While the impact of CO2 on climate may not be fully understood, that is not the case for the impact of BrOx on ozone. We know it is the wrong thing to do.

      --
      -- Instant Karma's gonna get you! [320848 = 2*2*2*2*11*1823]
    9. Re:Solar Radiation quite calm by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 2, Interesting
      As a coauthor of that paper, I must agree that the press release was dumbed down quite a bit. Unfortunately, it has to be that way in order to get any widespread attention by the media. So be it.

      These press releases are always indecipherable. Which is frustrating, because we're not all scientifically dumb and some of us would like to know what's going on. You also have to be very careful when writing a press release on a topic like this. Soon we'll be hearing over and over how CFCs have been vindicated, all ozone loss was the sun's fault all this time, etc. Although I don't know how you'd really be able to prevent that in this case. There are just too many people who are eager to misinterpret what you're saying. Maybe as the authors of this paper you could put up a page somewhere debunking the misinformation that people will spread about it, so we don't go blue in the face explaining ozone chemistry to people.

      The problem I have with the /. article here is that the submitter tries to tie the changes at high altitude seen last year to the current problem over northern Europe which is caused by the formation of a significant ozone hole over the Arctic. These are completely different phenomena and unrelated.

      That's not the impression I got from RTFA:
      Charged particles from the storms triggered chemical reactions that increased the formation of extra nitrogen in the upper stratosphere, some 20 miles up. Nitrogen levels climbed to their highest in at least two decades.
      A massive low-pressure system that confines air over the Arctic then conspired to deplete ozone. Upper-atmosphere winds associated with the system, called the polar stratospheric vortex, sped up in February and March of 2004 to the fastest speeds ever recorded, the new study found. The spinning vortex allowed nitrogen gas to sink from the high stratosphere, some 20 miles up, to lower altitudes. The nitrogen gas is known to destroy ozone.
      My understanding would normally be that the Arctic hole was related to the formation of ice crystals conducive to ozone breakdown via chlorine. And what changed at high altitudes was increased NO generation. But the article then implies the NO got into the stratosphere via normal weather patterns over the Arctic. (This doesn't necessarily involve the hole, although both things are happening in the same place.) Did I decipher this incorrectly?

      Depending upon how old you are and how quickly methane increases over the next few decades, you will probably live to see ozone recover to very near its historical norm.

      The point I wanted to make was that the solar effects from NO production will have a shorter half-life than the chlorine effects, which you might see go down "depending on how old you are". With chlorine we have to wait for a reserve of stable atmospheric CFC to decay via chlorine to HCl. I may have Googled up the wrong half life for that process.
    10. Re:Solar Radiation quite calm by L0C0loco · · Score: 2

      I too have lots of problems with this press release. I would not have told the story this way and unfortunately I was not asked to assist in the formulation of the release. The real problem with the release is the mention that we need to be careful attributing cause and effect between ozone losses and chlorine increases because scientists frequently ignore the solar production of NOx. It was too brief a statement and it left out some important caveats (most of which you caught in your original post). Unfortunately it allowed the press a point to misinterpret and draw a false link to an unrelated but more topical story, that of the current arctic ozone hole. You knew enough to keep them separate, but most people do not work in atmospheric sciences and probably read that article drawing the conclusion that all ozone losses may just be due to solar storms. It is sloppy uninformed journalism both on the part of the original press release and the follow-up story linking it to the ozone hole. Two steps forward, one step back. Anyway, to answer your question, yes the effects of NOx on ozone in the middle and upper stratosphere are generally short lived and more importantly they are completely transient leaving almost no residual effect. That is in complete contrast to the effects of chlorine which because of the very long lifetime of CFC's can only be considered trasient on the time scale of centuries (not months). To further confuse things, the ozone hole phenomenon is predominantly a transient event (polar spring) eventhough it requires chlorine to occur. You are right that it is too complicated to be presented correctly in a dumbed-down press release. It may have been best left to the scientific journals.

      --
      -- Instant Karma's gonna get you! [320848 = 2*2*2*2*11*1823]
    11. Re:Solar Radiation quite calm by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 1

      > What's the rate of reaction of O2 -> O3?

      It's probably unchanged from what it was before, and would be equivalent to the sum of the rates of all the equilibrium O3 -> O2 reactions (the ones mediated by O* and NO). Except for the occasional magnetic storm, this was a steady-state system before Cl* was introduced. The Cl* reactions have a rate three orders of magnitude faster than O*, and are tempered mostly by the relative rarity of Cl* in the atmosphere despite our best efforts. The introduction of an effective catalyst for O3 -> O2 reactions will push the equilibrium [O3]/[O2] ratio down.

      > That's the governing rate that determines reactant to product ratios.

      No it isn't, since the limiting reagent in this case is O3, not O2! (When you put gas in your car, for example, the gasoline is the limiting reagent. You don't add up all the O2 in the atmosphere to figure out how many miles you can go.) O3 exists in trace amounts. The ozone layer would only be a few cm thick if it were 100% concentrated and as dense as sea level air. If all the O3 in the world turns to O2, the rate of the O2 -> O3 reactions won't show a measurable increase at all, since O2 is already plentiful.

      Unless of course, they speed up because of the additional UV at sea level. But that will produce tropospheric O3 which we don't want, and we'd all be sunburned by then already.

    12. Re:Solar Radiation quite calm by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      What do you think of the spin by the "anonymous reader" on the press release about your study? The implication I get is that CFC criticism is misplaced, because the Sun is the culprit. The further implication is that controlling CFC emissions is futile, because the Sun can't be controlled. Which is consistent with the 1990s canard "volcanoes cause more Greenhouse effect than car exhaust", or "climate change is natural" - so we should accept it, and ignore our controllable contributions which push us over the edge to a new, less sustainable balance.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    13. Re:Solar Radiation quite calm by L0C0loco · · Score: 2

      Well, besides the comments I have already made above, controlling CFC emissions is basically a done deal. It happened and is working. The ozone layer is responding to the CFC reductions as expected. Sounds like the AC is just another troll. The second part of your message needs to have a common definition of what climate change is, specifically what the time scale is. Yes climate changes naturally and continually, Yes volcanoes do produce measurable transient effects. It is difficult to determine what change is natural and what is being forced anthropogenically. Part of the difficulty is the desire to detect the induced part early, before it gets too big to correct. The other is that the climate system is a complex and fine balancing act between massive sources and sinks with numerous feedback paths. While is does require quite a bit more study before we can reliably identify cause and effect, we do know enough to want to be careful about how we impact the system. The folks who wish to advocate that we can merrily consume and exhaust into our atmosphere and oceans without worry will take that press release, wave it around, and claim the scientists support their viewpoint. What do I think of the spin? Spin is everything when a subject like this may get 10 seconds of exposure in a persons life. Most will never see, understand, or care about the details. They'll remember the spin put on the story and form an opinion if they need to. Most will jump in the SUV, drive to the grocery store, buy a couple of quarts of California strawberries, and not think much about it.

      --
      -- Instant Karma's gonna get you! [320848 = 2*2*2*2*11*1823]
    14. Re:Solar Radiation quite calm by Random832 · · Score: 1

      The natural conclusion from your second formula is that a single chlorine atom can go marauding through the entire atmosphere, destroying ozone, without any consequences to itself - doesn't this violate some law of conservation?

      --
      We've secretly replaced Slashdot with new Folgers Crystals - let's see if it notices.
    15. Re:Solar Radiation quite calm by Synbiosis · · Score: 1

      Nope. That's how all catalysts work.

  40. Well... by Bootle · · Score: 1

    Yea but have they looked at the impact of having a newly OSS solaris ???

  41. Global Warming and the Ozone Hole by IvyMike · · Score: 3, Informative
    There are a few misconceptions evident in the thread so far: This quote, from the ucsusa.org, makes it clearer:

    5. Is ozone depletion related to global warming?

    No. Ozone depletion and global warming are separate problems, though some agents contribute to both. Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) are the principle cause of ozone deletion, but they also happen to be potent heat-trapping gases. Still, CFCs are responsible for less than 10 percent of total atmospheric warming, far less than the 63 percent contribution of carbon dioxide. Thus, attention paid to CFCs has been on their ozone depletion role. This will change as CFCs are phased out and replaced by hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs) and hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs such as R-134a). These chemicals have little or no effect on the ozone layer but are strong heat-trapping gases. As their concentration in the atmosphere is already rising, the likely net effect in the future is that reductions in the CFC-related contribution to global warming will be offset by the presence of HCFCs and HFCs.
  42. Only over the poles because: by patrik · · Score: 1

    This is because of climate conditions that happen only in the poles: a) vortices that concentrate ozone and CFCs and prevent difusion of the damaged area with the rest of the ozone layer and b) extra cold temperatures that freeze nitrogen from the atmosphere thus allowing the CFCs to interact (nitrogen is a slows the process). These are both more prevalent in the southern pole rather than the northern pole. If we had a major hole over the northern pole there would be a lot more damage since the higher latitudes of the northern hemisphere are much more populated than the higher latitudes of the south.

    Patrik

    --
    ----------
    Just your ordinary BOFH ;)
    http://killertux.org
  43. The ozone layer has recovered??? by HornWumpus · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Responding to AC should know better.

    It claims: The ozone layer has recovered since CFCs were banned.

    My point is we don't really know. Nobody has been watching the thing long enough to understand it's habbits. Have we been monitoring it for a full solar cycle (only with ground level UV tests if that). It could all just be noise. Ozone holes could be normal, or they could be much worse then previously realized. You do realize most stratospheric ozone is produced by UV hitting O2? You'd kind of expect holes during six months of darkness.

    Further you realize CFCs were banned globally in what 1995? Refrigerants are still leaking.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    1. Re:The ozone layer has recovered??? by oliverthered · · Score: 1

      yes they have, they use dendrochronology, ice cores etc.. dating back thousands of years (some even before the bible says God created the Earth).

      For example, because of the recent depletion of the ozone layer in the stratosphere, we can expect there to be more C-14 in the atmosphere today than there was 20-30 years ago. To compensate for this variation, dates obtained from radiocarbon laboratories are now corrected using standard calibration tables developed in the past 15-20 years. When reading archaeological reports, be sure to check if the carbon-14 dates reported have been calibrated or not.

      happy.

      --
      thank God the internet isn't a human right.
    2. Re:The ozone layer has recovered??? by SidV · · Score: 1

      Actually no-one has any tests of higher ground level UV that can't be attributed to solar output.

      Other than that your spot on. For your own edification you may want to examine the patent dates on CFC's

    3. Re:The ozone layer has recovered??? by mcpheat · · Score: 1

      For your own edification you may want to examine the patent dates on CFC's

      Unfortunately for your conspiracy theories CFC-11 & CFC-12 have been used as refrigerants since 1932 & 1931 therefore any patents expired in the early 1950s.
    4. Re:The ozone layer has recovered??? by SidV · · Score: 1

      Don't particulaly see the relevance.

      Proof that one action didn't happen, is not proof that every action hasn't happened.

  44. Sombody please explain to the poster... by PsiPsiStar · · Score: 4, Insightful

    more nitrogen was created

    Somebody please explain to the poster how elements work.

    --

    ___
    It's the end of my comment as I know it and I feel fine.
    1. Re:Sombody please explain to the poster... by Penguinoflight · · Score: 1

      I'm sure the poster wouldn't care. You might want to know the common name 'nitrogen' refers to N2, the diatomic substance.

      This whole discussion seems irrelivent to me, isn't the magnetic field responsible for stopping nearly all of the sun's hurtful rays?

      --
      "And we have seen and do testify that the Father sent the Son to be the Savior of the World"
      1 John 4:14
    2. Re:Sombody please explain to the poster... by AEton · · Score: 1

      Well, you know, the sun is a mass of incandescent gas - a gigantic nuclear furnace - where hydrogen is built into helium at a temperature of millions of degrees.

      --
      We recently had heard in the office over one of the Yellow Machine that's made by Anthology Solutions.
  45. Is it just me or... by steve_vmwx · · Score: 4, Insightful

    .. is the "we ain't screwing the planet" lobby starting to sound like the tobacco lobby in the late 70's / early 80's ?

    "There's no definitive proof that smoking causes lung cancer..." Remember that one?

    Hmmm.

    We ain't going to Mars until we fix what we've done to this planet!

    Stevo

    --
    Forget the truth. Science is fact.
    1. Re:Is it just me or... by rob_squared · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "There's no definitive proof that smoking causes lung cancer..." And sadly, there still isn't. The best we can say is, it is possible that one causes the other. Until you put a group of smokers and non-smokers in a scientifically controlled enviornment for years on end, you won't get the evidence you want.

      --
      I don't get it.
    2. Re:Is it just me or... by rob_squared · · Score: 1

      Of course that's the case genius, but that's an UNscientific sampling, no controlled conditions!

      --
      I don't get it.
    3. Re:Is it just me or... by anum · · Score: 1

      "We ain't going to Mars until we fix what we've done to this planet!"

      Conversely, maybe we should get off this planet before we have destroyed it?

      --
      I don't think, Therefore I'm not.
    4. Re:Is it just me or... by starm_ · · Score: 1

      How is that not a controled scientific sample? How do you suggest I control it more. I mean you can never be 100% sure, but what other activity corelated with smoking could be causing cancer? The only other possibility is that people that are genetically prone to cancer are also genetically prone to starting smoking. There is no reason why this would be so. There is plenty of reasons why smoking could cause cancer. Or do you think maybe that the cancer patients who don't smoke don't get diagnosed? If you think that any of these variables may have a significant effect on my sample I would like to participate in gambling against you. In science it is impossible to control all the variables therefore you control the ones that have a logical chance of having an effect. For examle in this case you would not monitor the month of birth of a patient because we have no logical reason to say that people who are born in march could be more likely to smoke or have cancer than people who are born in january.

    5. Re:Is it just me or... by rob_squared · · Score: 1

      I'll try to spell it out more. If you don't have complete control of someone's lifestyle and know *exactly* what they're doing, then no, you can't scientifically state what causes what. I happen to believe myself that smoking causes cancer, it's just so obvious that it does, but to science, things are only obvious with incontrovertable proof.

      --
      I don't get it.
    6. Re:Is it just me or... by starm_ · · Score: 1

      no. as long as you have a random sample of the population big enough to be statisticly significant you are okay. There are statistical tests for this. For an example google: Student's t-test.

  46. we've seen over the past 20 years or so.... by oliverthered · · Score: 1

    Ok, what else could it be?

    Sun Storms.

    Now, go into the lab, does it look like Sun Storms that have been about forever in my case or CfC's that have been about for most of my lifetime. because I'd rather be on the side of the CFC cautions than the Sun Storms skin cancer 1337 any day.

    --
    thank God the internet isn't a human right.
  47. Re:The more things change,the more they stay the s by Bad+D.N.A. · · Score: 1

    But you are ignoring the data. The earth's magnetic field has of course been around for as long as the Earth has but we are experiencing a dynamical trend now. So why is it happening now? Well ice core samples have shown conclusively that we are currently in a very calm period in terms of solar activity. That means that the Sun cannot possible be responsible for the current trend. Sure, the sun does have an effect on the ozone layer, but to attribute any current (within the last number of decades) on solar radiation is ignoring the data and is nothing but FUD.

    --
    "Truth is much too complicated to allow anything but approximations"
  48. Global warming vs. Ozone depletion by HornWumpus · · Score: 1
    They are not one and the same.

    There is much more data to show the ozone depletion is caused by humans.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  49. Re:Its Asias fault by hyperfusion · · Score: 1

    hey, america/europe are the ones making all the pollution in the world. china's barely started technology

  50. Re:The more things change,the more they stay the s by allrong · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The reason the ozone holes form above the poles and not directly above the CFC source regions is due to the very cold atmospheric conditions at the poles.

    During the winter polar night, sunlight does not reach the south pole. A strong circumpolar wind develops in the middle to lower stratosphere. These strong winds are known as the 'polar vortex'. This has the effect of isolating the air over the polar region.

    Since there is no sunlight, the air within the polar vortex can get very cold. So cold that special clouds can form once the air temperature gets to below about -80C. These clouds are called Polar Stratospheric Clouds (or PSCs for short) but they are not the clouds that you are used to seeing in the sky which are composed of water droplets. PSCs first form as nitric acid trihydrate. As the temperature gets colder however, larger droplets of water-ice with nitric acid dissolved in them can form. However, their exact composition is still the subject of intense scientific scrutiny. These PSCs are crucial for ozone loss to occur.

    Source

    It should serve as a lesson to you that your actions can have effects beyond your backyard.

    Most scientists I know recognise that there are "natural" components to phenomena such as the ozone holes (eg volcanic aerosoles) and global warming. The concern is that human activities may exacerbate the effects and that the rate of change may be much faster than would otherwise be the case.

    If you ever wonder what affect humanity's actions have on the world and our society, look at the ruined land due to salinity in Australia.

    --
    What is the inverse of the Matrix?
  51. My question: by djward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    In January, the a European scientist warned residents of the far north to basically stay out of the sun.

    In January, residents of the far north have no choice but to stay out of the sun.

    No wonder no one took him seriously.

    1. Re:My question: by nels_tomlinson · · Score: 2, Insightful
      In January, residents of the far north have no choice but to stay out of the sun.

      Above the arctic circle, the sun stays down for months; coincidently, it's down for exactly those months that this sort of problem can arise.

      Below the arctic circle, you get a few hours of twilight around noon. The sun never gets more than a few degrees above the southern horizon, and so the sunlight is being filtered through many miles of southern atmosphere, probably including quite a bit of ozone.

      No wonder no one took him seriously.

      Indeed. There won't be any potential for overexposure until April or May ... long after the ozone problem has worked itself out. I see no reason to doubt that this sort of pattern was present long before we learned to measure it. No wonder we don't take the chicken littles seriously.

  52. Why bother warning us? by mylasticus · · Score: 2, Insightful

    In January, a European scientist warned residents of the far north to basically stay out of the sun. Um..hello? There is no sunlight in the far, far north during the month of January, just ask anyone in Barrow, Alaska. It would be nice to have even dangerous sunlight to avoid.

    1. Re:Why bother warning us? by starm_ · · Score: 1

      yes but in the summer they have sunlight almost 24h a day.

    2. Re:Why bother warning us? by Tavor · · Score: 1

      I'm stumped. Is this more insightful, or funny?

      --
      Windows has detected an undetectable error.
  53. In a nutshell, more nitrogen was created... by John+Hasler · · Score: 1

    No it wasn't.

    --
    Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
    1. Re:In a nutshell, more nitrogen was created... by Jim_Callahan · · Score: 1

      The word "Nitrogen" can refer to elemental Nitrogen (N2) as well as the element Nitrogen (N.). Were some compound containing the element nitrogen (ammonia, for instance) to break down in such a way that elemental nitrogen (the gas) were produced, it would technically be correct to say that (elemental) nitrogen was created.

      Or maybe the submitter is just an idiot...

      --
      ...it's really a sad day for America when we require a goddamn ACT OF CONGRESS to make our DVD players work properly. ~
  54. Self sufficiency vs. resource consumption by rwa2 · · Score: 1
    Why should the burden of proof be put on the environmentalists for what level of resource consumption & pollution the planet can handle? The corporations ought to be on the hook for funding the research that shows that their operations won't have long-term adverse effects. It just makes sense ... would you want to contemplate the consequences of your actions before or after the fact?

    Along a similar thread, aerosols and other pollutants end up reducing global warming by seeding clouds and increasing cloud cover, which generally reflects more sunlight energy away from the ecosphere. ( ref ) So could more pollution be a way to counter global warming? Do we even have a planned response for when global warming finally does occur, other than to head for higher ground?

    It does seem like governments are spending more time setting arbitrary controls on resource consumption and waste production, when they should be tracking quantitative measurements and setting cumulative budgets on system inputs & outputs.

    Ultimately, if we don't want to take the blame for anything we do, we'd want to become fully self-sufficient... balancing our system inputs and outputs such that all of our waste byproducts are processed, treated, and cleaned. That way, we won't be leaning on the environment for cleaning up our exhaust, and we'll achieve some form of population scalability. Almost like making sure everyone can live in their own isolated biosphere. But in our current system, there's very little incentive to pursue this (other than maybe for long-term space colonization... ha)

  55. Wait! by patrik · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Some things about the article seriously bother me, like "creating nitrogen" and "nitrogen gas is known to destroy ozone". If the most common gas in our atmosphere destroys ozone then why does it exist at all? Nitrogen (not as a gas) is important in the depletion process but not as the article implies...

    Before anyone claims that humans are no longer the cause for the ozone hole, please realize the depletion was caused because of CFCs. Ozone is depleted as a result of many things, CFC is one of the key components and is a non-natural factor. The increased UV and polar vortices that were a result of the solar activity along with a colder winter increased the depletion, but, it would never have happened at above natural levels without CFCs.
    Please read: A simple explanation that I posted a while back and a more complete explanation on how the ozone hole is formed.

    These chemical processes are extremely well known: We know that CFCs are the cause, we know that there are a lot of them near the ozone layer, we know they are man made. Therefore, we know we are the cause. All that these researchers found out is that these conditions will speed up the process, not that they are the cause of the process.

    It is unfortunate that even with the CFC ban it will take 100-200 years for the ozone hole to repair itself to pre-industrial era levels...

    Patrik

    --
    ----------
    Just your ordinary BOFH ;)
    http://killertux.org
    1. Re:Wait! by patrik · · Score: 1

      No, they do create aerosols, but not CFCs, and some of those aersols help speed up the interaction of CFCs with ozone. CFCs are man made.

      http://earthbulletin.amnh.org/D/3/3/
      http://www.sustainer.org/dhm_archive/search.php?di splay_article=vn504ozoneed

      Patrik

      --
      ----------
      Just your ordinary BOFH ;)
      http://killertux.org
  56. Helping to prove his point? by ONOIML8 · · Score: 1

    Yes, another THEORY.

    Note that it is one of many. As gambit3 pointed out, nobody is confident enough to present anything as fact.

    --
    . Quit playing Monopoly with Bill. Switch to one of many non-Microsoft products today.
    1. Re:Helping to prove his point? by The+Meeper · · Score: 1

      The only factual things in science are observations. Theories are explanations. If theories don't matter, then by all means, float away.

      --
      -Meeper
  57. "In the long run"... by NotQuiteReal · · Score: 1
    In the long run we are all dead - John Maynard Keynes And yes, he has been dead for almost 60 years now, so give the guy some credit for being right at least once.

    Individuals aside, I think this whole planet is going to be toast (literally), in the long run, courtesy of our friendly neighborhood star. Now there is irony for you. Think about it. (But not too much, if you are really smart, life is even more of a bitch than if you are not.)

    Remember, kids, this has all been covered before, see Existentialism in any handy encyclopedia.

    --
    This issue is a bit more complicated than you think.
  58. Not only did the farmers cover up by porkchop_d_clown · · Score: 1

    they usually didn't live long enough to get cancer, either.

    1. Re:Not only did the farmers cover up by MSBob · · Score: 1

      Melanoma tends to strike younger people as much as it strikes the elderly. And as for farmers covering up, most males used to work the field with bare torsos to ease the effect of the heat. With the undisturbed radiation levels before the ozone layer depletion this used to be a perfectly sensible thing to do (also see drawings depicting ancient Egypt labourers)

      --
      Your pizza just the way you ought to have it.
    2. Re:Not only did the farmers cover up by Derling+Whirvish · · Score: 1
      And as for farmers covering up, most males used to work the field with bare torsos to ease the effect of the heat.

      That's just not supported by the evidence. In every photo I've ever seen of famers in the field prior to WWII, they are all wearing long sleeves and a hat.

    3. Re:Not only did the farmers cover up by MSBob · · Score: 1

      My grandfather (a farmer all of his life) told me he would always work without a shirt in the summer. Granted, he did say to always wear a hat in the sun but never thought much about exposing his skin to UV. He told me it was very common back then.

      --
      Your pizza just the way you ought to have it.
    4. Re:Not only did the farmers cover up by Derling+Whirvish · · Score: 1

      I won't dispute that. He was there, I wasn't. Perhaps they covered up because they knew the camera was there.

  59. Poor understanding. by mcc · · Score: 5, Informative

    It appears large amounts of discussion here are happening with people not understanding anything at hand. I will attempt to clarify some things to the best of my ability. Please excuse me if this is not as great as it could be, as my source here is my memory augmented by google.

    The atmosphere is a very complex thing in both composition and behavior. For purposes of this slashdot discussion, though, about the only important thing about its behavior is that different gases exist in different compositions in different parts of the atmosphere, and these different gases block and reflect different frequencies of radiation. (Most of these gases exist in a cycle, where they are emitted out of the earth, usually by volcanic sources, then slowly fall out of the atmosphere, and are subducted back into the earth, where they're eventually re-emitted.) There are two specific important aspects to this. The first is a layer of ozone which blocks certain higher frequencies of incoming radiation from the sun. The second is a layer of "greenhouse gases" which block a lower frequency. This lower frequency of radiation is not so much important coming from the sun; however, it is important because when radiation hits the earth, it is absorbed and re-emitted as "longwave radiation"-- and this radiation has a frequency such that it is partially blocked by the greenhouse gases, keeping it inside the earth. All of this is very convenient for the forms of life currently common on earth, since the higher frequencies the ozone keeps out are harmful to this life and the lower frequencies the greenhouse gases keep in provide useful heat, keeping the earth from just being a big ball of ice like mars is. Perhaps if the atmosphere were different, life would have evolved differently and less or more heat, or more high-frequency radiation, would not be a bother. But it is the forms of life that live on earth right now we care about, specifically humans.

    The ozone layer is the important thing as far as this article goes. The problem is that the ozone layer has been depleting in recent years, starting around World War II, and accelerating in the 60s and 70s. In recent decades the problem has become so bad that the ozone layer actually is developing holes in it, around the north and south poles, mainly the south. This depletion has corresponded with increased levels of chlorofluorocarbons in the atmosphere. Chlorofluorocarbons, or CFCs, come from a number of sources. For example volcanoes put out CFCs in great quantity every time they erupt. When placed in the vicinity of certain gases-- specifically the gases found in the ozone layer of the atmosphere-- these CFCs catalyze chemical reactions which destroy ozone, converting it to oxygen. An individual CFC molecule, when it gets into the ozone layer, will thus cause this process pretty much continuously, until like all gases it falls out of the atmosphere. There isn't particularly any question about this, as these processes are easily experimentally reproduced. The other thing that isn't particularly a question is that the increased CFC levels from WWII on were a result of human industrial processes. CFC outputs by human industry after its first uses dwarfed the natural sources of same, leading to a continuous and steady increase in cfc levels far beyond what atmospheric processes are accustomed to. By 1987 it became clear that this human CFC output was having a negative impact on the ozone layer, leading to the adopting of the Montreal Protocol, a treaty which drastically reduced human CFC output with the goal of eliminating human CFC production entirely worldwide by 2010. The impact on CFC levels of the montreal protocol was dramatic and immediate; you can see here yourself that as soon as the significant human CFC sources stopped at the end of the 80s, the steady increase in CFC levels flattened out and became constant. (I am afraid this graph comes from a

    1. Re:Poor understanding. by GnarlyNome · · Score: 1

      In recent decades the problem has become so bad that the ozone layer actually is developing holes in it, around the north and south poles, mainly the south.

      And just how much freon is used in Antartica ?

      --
      Diplomacy is the art of saying "Nice doggie" until you can find a rock. Will Rogers
    2. Re:Poor understanding. by 2marcus · · Score: 1

      I agree completely with your post inasmuch as your doing a good job presenting the big picture and most of the science in the issue.

      I have a small problem with a couple of the statements you made, namely "CFCs do not cause global warming" and "Ozone depletion is not important... in global warming". CFCs are actually a reasonably potent greenhouse gas (100 year global warming potential of several thousand), as are many of the CFC replacements (HFCs). They still rank well below CO2, CH4, and N2O in terms of total anthropogenic contribution because not that much of them is emitted, but good climate models include them (especially since HFC emissions may rise in the future).

      Ozone also serves as a greenhouse gas: stratospheric ozone depletion, therefore, may actually serve as a global cooling mechanism. In fact, one hypothesis for why the interior of Antartica has cooled is that ozone depletion, combined with a strong polar vortex, has negated the temperature rise that climate models otherwise predict at extreme latitudes...

      Anyway, good post, but I thought you might like to hear the nitpicking details anyway.

    3. Re:Poor understanding. by DustMagnet · · Score: 1
      Are you trolling or do you really not know that the atmosphere is in motion and constantly mixing? I would think anyone who has seen a weather report would know that.

      They measure lead levels in ice cores from Antarctica. The levels of lead reflect the rise and fall of Rome and the start of the industrial revolution. No, there weren't any Romans in Antarctica either.

      --
      'SBEMAIL!' is better than a goat!!
    4. Re:Poor understanding. by mcc · · Score: 1

      OK. Thank you for clarifying, I did not know that.

  60. Methane by mcc · · Score: 3, Informative

    Greenhouse gases (linked to global warming) and CFCs (linked to ozone depletion) are not related. Please see my other post in this thread.

  61. Re:Initially it might have stopped an ice age by SidV · · Score: 1

    and 1/15th or 7% of what it has also been in the past.

    The earth is tad bit more than 300,000 years old, creationisim aside.

  62. The Sun will affect the Earth's climate. by MtViewGuy · · Score: 1

    Especially if you've read up on the level of sunspot activity ever since scientists actually monitored such activity since the 1600's when telescopes became widely available.

    There was a period for around 100 years during the 17th and 18th Centuries called today the Maunder minimum, a period of NO sunspot activity. That period perfectly coincided with a period of unusually cooler than normal temperatures (a Little Ice Age), where the Thames River through London froze over every winter.

    In short, the best predictor of the Earth's climate is to monitor solar activity, which we are now doing with numerous ground-based solar telescopes and several space-based observatories.

    1. Re:The Sun will affect the Earth's climate. by Yokaze · · Score: 1

      Too bad, that the "Little Ice Age" was a relatively local phenomene restricted to parts of the northern hemisphere, and that in the last 50 years there was no raise in solar activity, whereas the global temperature was not.

      --
      "Between strong and weak, between rich and poor [...], it is freedom which oppresses and the law which sets free"
    2. Re:The Sun will affect the Earth's climate. by MtViewGuy · · Score: 2, Informative

      Alas, I wouldn't trust measurements from thermometers located in urban areas, though. Scientists discovered that when you keep "official" thermometers in urban areas they tend to skew higher due to urban development in the last 100 years or so.

      Measurements done at "official" thermometers done at rural locations actually show very little (if any) increase in local temperatures in the last 100 years.

  63. I didn't have time to read the article by Kohath · · Score: 1

    Did it say how greenhouse gases were causing the solar flares?

    I think if we all start driving to work at night, instead of when the sun is out, that would help a lot.

  64. obSimpson by tyler_larson · · Score: 1
    Since the beginning of time, man has yearned to destroy the Sun...

    It seemed to fit the context

    --
    "With sufficient thrust, pigs fly just fine. However, this is not necessarily a good idea...."
    RFC 1925
  65. Take it into account? by Chuck+Chunder · · Score: 1

    How exactly does one "take it in to account"?

    The fact that there are other inputs into the environmental system than those under our control doesn't mean it isn't important to consider the effects of those aspects which are under our control.

    Perhaps you are suggesting they should go further, not only campaign to reduce man-made negative effects on our environment but also be proactive and devise ways to resist naturally occurring changes to our environment which may effect us negatively? I suppose we do that on a fairly localised basis anyway.

    --
    Boffoonery - downloadable Comedy Benefit for Bletchley Park
  66. How many times can you look at the sun.... by Palal · · Score: 1

    How many times can you look at the sun through a telescope? . . . . . . Twice. Once with your left eye, once with your right eye.

    --
    -Palal
  67. It's a cycle... by Palal · · Score: 1

    It's a viscious cycle.... but we're skewing it :(.

    --
    -Palal
  68. In other news, global warming... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative
    global cooling, global dimming and ozone depletion have been found to be caused by NATURAL causes and NOT by some hare brain idiot's crack pipe theory which claims that humans are causing the destruction of the Earth.

    Finally someone looks at NATURAL causes instead of using junk science to explain things. Here's a site to look at.

    Let's see how many enviro-crack-pots claim that humans are STILL a significant detrimental factor in the depletion of the ozone.

  69. can identify melanoma now, and no stigma by r00t · · Score: 1
    Today, every hospital can reliably recognize a melanoma.

    Today, there is little stigma associated with most types of cancer. 70 years ago, cancer was often covered up. You didn't discuss cancer. It was like having some kind of STD I guess, really shameful.

    So of course melanoma appears to be more common now. This doesn't mean it actually is more common.

  70. The ozone layer has WHAT to do with C-14? by Tau+Zero · · Score: 1

    Carbon-14 is created by cosmic rays and nuclear explosions. The ultraviolet rays blocked by ozone are far too anemic to create or destroy C-14. What is the supposed link in your bolded text? My bogosity meter is mid-scale.

    --
    Time is Nature's way of keeping everything from happening at once... the bitch.
    1. Re:The ozone layer has WHAT to do with C-14? by oliverthered · · Score: 1

      Here's the whole section..

      Fourth, the ratio of C-14 to C-12 in the atmosphere is not constant. Although it was originally thought that there has always been about the same ratio, radiocarbon samples taken and cross dated using other techniques like dendrochronology have shown that the ratio of C-14 to C-12 has varied significantly during the history of the Earth. This variation is due to changes in the intensity of the cosmic radation bombardment of the Earth, and changes in the effectiveness of the Van Allen belts and the upper atmosphere to deflect that bombardment. For example, because of the recent depletion of the ozone layer in the stratosphere, we can expect there to be more C-14 in the atmosphere today than there was 20-30 years ago. To compensate for this variation, dates obtained from radiocarbon laboratories are now corrected using standard calibration tables developed in the past 15-20 years. When reading archaeological reports, be sure to check if the carbon-14 dates reported have been calibrated or not.

      This should be 'easy' to measure, as should nuclear explosions.

      are you sure that the The ultraviolet rays blocked by ozone are far too anemic to create or destroy C-14', they give you cancer so I assume they can produce free radicals and create carbon-14.
      Ultraviolet light is responsible for initiating chemical reactions through a process called photodissociation. Molecules are torn apart by the energy of the ultraviolet photon. Once the atoms are separated they can then come back together again; possibly, the atoms can form different combinations, thus allowing new molecules to be produced. Ozone is produced in this way, it is produced by the photodissociation of Oxygen. Oxygen is produced from the photodissociation of water. Some have judged that as much as 25% of the Oxygen in our world could come from reactions occurring in the upper atmosphere.

      Another link says.....

      These beryllium isotopes are created in the stratosphere when cosmic rays strike nitrogen atoms. AMS researchers are studying the concentration of these isotopes in falling snow and in air samples collected by high-altitude aircraft. Since beryllium isotopes attach readily to aerosols, they are helping scientists to understand aerosol movement in the upper atmosphere. Aerosol particles serve as host sites for chemical reactions which create the forms of chlorine that destroy ozone.

      My bogosity meter is mid-scale
      Well, some people still think the earth is flat.

      --
      thank God the internet isn't a human right.
    2. Re:The ozone layer has WHAT to do with C-14? by bcattwoo · · Score: 1
      are you sure that the The ultraviolet rays blocked by ozone are far too anemic to create or destroy C-14', they give you cancer so I assume they can produce free radicals and create carbon-14.

      The first part of your assumption is correct but the second part is wrong. Creating a free radical requires providing enough energy to seperate two bonded atoms such as going from molecular to atomic oxygen. Ultraviolet radiation has enough energy to do this. Creating carbon-14 requires much higher energy radiation because it involves altering the nucleus of the atoms involved. This is like comparing the energy in a conventional exlosive to that of a nuclear bomb.

    3. Re:The ozone layer has WHAT to do with C-14? by oliverthered · · Score: 1

      Ok, I've gone through some of the google links and most of the sites have something to do with God.
      Carbon dating ultraviolet -"creation-science-prophecy" -photography -god

      doesn't throw up all the false positives.

      Also if the research from AMS shows a strong correlation between the size of the whole in the Ozone layer and beryllium isotopes, is that getting a little closer for you or do you need the million and one ways that beryllium isotopes are produced to be discounted first.

      Genrally the argument from the 'oh-no-it-doesn't' is , xyz's haven't been proven to cause abc for why should I stop using xyz's. Would you accept that the weight of the argument is a little more than 'we think the surface of titan is liquid'.

      A google for
      'ozone layer hole possible natural causes', doesn't come up with anything, not even a god link.

      --
      thank God the internet isn't a human right.
  71. You don't need a hole to have depletion by Tau+Zero · · Score: 1

    FYI, check the ozone over Switzerland. It doesn't show the extreme cuts of the spring ozone holes, but it ought to show you that depletion is not just a polar phenomenon either. (There's a more general mid-latitude graph down near the bottom of this page.)

    --
    Time is Nature's way of keeping everything from happening at once... the bitch.
  72. Warning: research causes cancer in rats by Skevin · · Score: 1

    > Do not look at record-setting solar storms with remaining good eye.

    Thanks for the advice. Instead, I'll use my new-fangled fluorine-carbide-chlorate-powered telescope that throws off several million metric tons of CFCs every moment it's in operation...

    Yep, looks like the sun is destroying the ozone layer, according to my observations.

    Solomon Chang

    --
    "Twice half-assed makes an ass whole." --Solomon K. Chang
  73. Re:Anti-sun? by tonyr60 · · Score: 1

    The entertainment value of /. is priceless. WTF would mod that post as insightfull, until I think of the context (/.) and the reference (a black hole). Long may /. continue :=)

  74. Re:I agree, in part... by mcc · · Score: 1

    Earth has been both much cooler and much warmer than it presently is.

    However the data we have indicates that it has never increased this rapidly before for this long, as it has since the beginning of the industrial era. This is the entire problem. The surprise here is not the earth warming, the surprise is a rapid shift away from the climate human life has become accustomed to.

    There is nothing to indicate that these warming and cooling trends won't continue and there's nothing to indicate that had we never evolved on this planet (and thus never 'polluted') that the Earth wouldn't still be the temperature it currently is.

    I am not sure what this sentence is trying to say. If you are trying to say there is nothing to indicate humankind's existence has not directly effected the climate, this is flat out wrong. There is, in fact, a mountain of both evidence and theory saying not only has specific human action effected the behavior of the atmosphere, but describing an exact process by which it happened.

    This evidence has to be satisfied somehow. If not the hypothesis reached by scientific consensus, then how? Are you claiming you can explain the climate shifts if the human-produced increase in carbon dioxide levels that have accompanied them are just a coincidence? Are you claiming you can explain how, if our basic understanding of how carbon dioxide accumulates in the atmosphere and what it does and is so fundamentally wrong that everything we know about climate models is false, jpw these things happen in truth? If your answer is that these things are unknowable, this isn't a good answer. Science is based on the assumption that we can, in fact, find some plausible explanation for natural phenomena if we only look. So far this assumption has held extremely well.

    You can claim the evidence is insufficient but to claim the evidence doesn't exist...? This seems to say you aren't interested in whether the evidence is sufficient or not, but rather you simply desire to wish modern science away.

    To attribute global temperature change to humans is egoism on our part.

    Single species can, and have, drastically changed the earth's atmosphere before. Humans are still not history's biggest polluters, what the blue-green algae did is still worse.

    Terraforming is not really that hard.

    hurricanes

    A poor example since a hurricane's strength is directly linked to the ocean temperature underneath it.

    Surprised are we that the sun can have such a dramatic affect on our ozone layer?

    I do not see anyone reacting with surprise to this except you, and the effect described here doesn't appear to be dramatic enough except on small timescales to even begin to explain the behavior of the ozone layer over the last century.

  75. Re:The more things change,the more they stay the s by Brandybuck · · Score: 1

    So why is it happening now?

    Because it's always been happening?

    --
    Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
  76. stupid studies destroy knowledge by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1, Flamebait

    This study is stupid. Of course solar storms destroy the ozone - that's how ozone protects us from the sun. Ozone is consumed by absorbing lethal UV rays from the Sun before they hit us nearer the surface. The next idiotic study will say "ironicly, bullets destroy the bulletproof vests that protect us from bullets!", or some blather about how crashes destroy the helmets that protect us from crashes. This is obviously more jerking around from some polluter which wants us to accept ozone-destroying pollution, because ozone destruction is "natural". Well, nothing is more natural than dying - I recommend it more to some researchers than to others.

    --

    --
    make install -not war

    1. Re:stupid studies destroy knowledge by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      Moderation 0
      50% Flamebait
      50% Insightful

      I guess a study as stupid as this has an audience in TrollMods. Who are these sissies who spend modpoints suppressing any critical post? Luckily, we've got an Insightful layer which sacrifices itself absorbing harmful Flamebait mods.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    2. Re:stupid studies destroy knowledge by rush22 · · Score: 1

      This is flamebait??!!!

      Granted, studying this and the effects is good, but to herald it and comment on it as if it were some new amazing discovery is ridiculous. Scientists have known for years that the Sun destroys ozone. The Sun's rays also produce ozone. Sure solar flares have an effect and it's good to study the extent of that effect but this is the kind of media that makes stupid people just a little stupider, as evidenced by a lot of the posts on the thread. Slashdot is supposed to be for nerds. If you're not a nerd and just some political wackjob with a grudge who thinks science is accomplished by "just thinking about things" then get off.

      Sadly, I fear Slashdot will go the way of FARK if the real nerds here aren't careful.

  77. 0 minutes. by rush22 · · Score: 1

    0 minutes. See the post following yours.

  78. Re:The more things change,the more they stay the s by OzRoy · · Score: 2
    We don't even know if there is a trend. We know nothing about the ozone hole except it is there now. We don't know if there has always been a hole. We have no idea what it's average size is. We don't know if grows and shrinks in a cycle and it's current growth is just a coincidence.

    All we have is 2 decades of data which is like sampling 1 person on this planet and assuming their opinion represents everybody. In summary we know nothing, and claiming that the hole's current growth is being solely caused by Industrialisation is nothing but FUD.

  79. Re:Mod parent OVERRATED. Metamod UNFAIR by ChipMonk · · Score: 1

    I'm wrong because I can disprove the accepted enviro-political dogma via an objective scientific discourse? Or am I wrong because "everybody just knows it", the way everyone once "knew" that there were only four elements?

  80. Re:The more things change,the more they stay the s by rush22 · · Score: 1

    This isn't a troll.

    Sure it is.

    Your tone gives it away. C'mon, just "think for a second," idiot.

  81. is this the article: by rush22 · · Score: 1

    is this the article or did I click on the wrong link?

    Scientists Prove Ozone thinning caused by Solar Flares

    Scientists at NASA have proven that thinning of the ozone layer is a natural cycle caused by solar flares. The ozone layer protects Earth from harmful ultraviolet rays and it was previously thought that ozone thinning was caused by chlorofluorocarbons which were banned because of this in the 90's.

    "We have determined that this is not, in fact, the case." says Dr. Scion. "Solar flares cause all ozone thinning. Simply thinking about it scientifically proves that this is the case." Dr. Scion says he thought about it for a long time before coming to the conclusion. "We had determined that solar flares were damaging the ozone, but we could not determine how much of an effect this had. However, we realized that Earth must go through natural cycles, so therefore solar flares must be causing the majority damage and CFC's have little, if any, effect."

    Evidence of the extent of the effect of solar flares on the ozone layer was presented at a press conference Saturday. Scientists have shown that, due to the composition of CFC's, they cannot possibly make their way into the upper atmosphere. NASA reported that "if one thinks about it, obviously they cannot get up there, especially all the way to the Arctic" and hence, "any CFC's that we have found are being created by the Sun somehow converting ozone into chlorine, which is simply a chemical mechanism we do not understand."

    NASA says they will continue researching how the Sun creates CFC's, and suggests that the CFC's themselves are possibly the product of a "liberal conspiracy."

  82. Re:Didn't realize... by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    I didn't realize Sun Microsystems had a server called the Storm. Either way, something must be done about these ozone depleting servers. Shame on you, Sun!

    No wonder I gasp for breath when I use Java :-P

  83. So much for the ozone hole, whats next? by Tehrasha · · Score: 1
    Next thing you'll hear is that the sun is to blame for El Niño, or global warming. Scientists only seem fit to blame things that occur naturally.

    They never look at the real causes, which are people, destroying the planet with their greedy consumerism, and termite farts.

  84. Re:Isn't it obvious? by Jim_Callahan · · Score: 1

    The ozone layer depletes. This causes annyoing activists to spam washington with mail. Because of the influx of mail, an important set of intel lis lost before it reaches a politician. As a result, the politician enters a conference with a third-world nuclear power without sufficient knowledge of local customs. He inadvertently offends the dictator of the small country, who orders the country's one, inactivenuke fired at the US. US laughs, nukes small country into volcanic glass. Carbon-14 results.


    I mean, duh. Anyone would know that.

    --
    ...it's really a sad day for America when we require a goddamn ACT OF CONGRESS to make our DVD players work properly. ~
  85. Re:It's Bush's fault by mre5565 · · Score: 1

    > It's Bush's fault.

    Sarcasm gets a -1 Troll?

  86. Re:We will be by Jim_Callahan · · Score: 1

    Capable of getting used to it, that is.

    Between advances in the biochemical sciences and developments in cybernetics, I'd say that the human race will pretty soon be able to take pretty much anything Gaia or Sol cares to throw at us. Maybe not individual humans, but a lot of individual humans can't survive on earth the way it is now, either. Look at the Atkins diet guy. Slipped on a patch of ice and died... defeated by a naturally occurring phase of the most plentiful chemical in our local environment. How embarassing.

    --
    ...it's really a sad day for America when we require a goddamn ACT OF CONGRESS to make our DVD players work properly. ~
  87. Re:Cycles by Jim_Callahan · · Score: 1

    However, if we find that nature is flowing at a high value of the Reynold's number (Re > 4000), then these so called "natural cycles" are just local, temporary eddies, which will disappear or reaorganize quickly over time and change of location.

    --
    ...it's really a sad day for America when we require a goddamn ACT OF CONGRESS to make our DVD players work properly. ~
  88. Re:Drawings depicting Egyptian Laborers? by Jim_Callahan · · Score: 1

    Wow, if drawings are valid evidence, I really want to go back in time to the days of the Raphaelite painters to ask all those women how they keep their skin so pale dancing around naked in the sun all the time.

    --
    ...it's really a sad day for America when we require a goddamn ACT OF CONGRESS to make our DVD players work properly. ~
  89. Re:Still irrelevant by Jim_Callahan · · Score: 1

    The problem with petroleum vehicles is that they create compunds which produce ground level ozone (nasty). The problem in the article is that things are messing with our atmospheric (good) ozone.

    Also, I don't think the article claimed one way or another about human effects. Only tested for solar effects.

    --
    ...it's really a sad day for America when we require a goddamn ACT OF CONGRESS to make our DVD players work properly. ~
  90. Re:Its Asias fault by Jim_Callahan · · Score: 1

    China invented gunpowder, which started europe out on combustion technology. They also make toys for happy meals... those things have got to release tons of poisonous molecules into the air, otherwise McDonalds would lose its fast food lisence.

    --
    ...it's really a sad day for America when we require a goddamn ACT OF CONGRESS to make our DVD players work properly. ~
  91. Let me be the first to call it... by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    S T A T F I G H T!

    (p.s. - you are winning)

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  92. Earth != People by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    Did the release of all that radiation really affect the EARTH, which was the topic at hand I believe? It would appear not. Sure it affected people but that is irrelevant. If you told me how it caused a tsunami or even a large sinkhole thousands of miles away it might be more interesting.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  93. Make up your mind by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Well it seems the earth is in a cooling trend right now so I was TRYING to put as much CO2 into the atmosphere as possible to counter the effect. Then everyone got pissed, so I stopped...

    And now you are telling me to go back at it to keep the climate stable? Make up your damn mind already!

    1. Re:Make up your mind by RedWizzard · · Score: 1
      Well it seems the earth is in a cooling trend right now
      Seems to who? Got any evidence? Everything I've seen indicates a warming trend.
  94. Correction by mcc · · Score: 1

    Above I said that the study attempts to explain a surge of ozone depletion in 2003. This is not the case; I misunderstood the timeframe the article referred to. The study spoken of explains a surge of ozone depletion in the northern hemisphere in part of 2004.

  95. How to win an argument, in two steps. by mcc · · Score: 2

    (1) Arbitrarily assign to your opponent an easily defeated argument.
    (2) Defeat this argument.

    Quick, and easy!

  96. fixed link by Skuld-Chan · · Score: 1

    One too many slash's there > http://www.xs4all.nl/~carlkop/auralert.html

  97. Re:Love your silly discounting of any opposing vie by mcc · · Score: 1

    What?

    Did you read the story links?

  98. Is it just me or does it sound like religion? by Moraelin · · Score: 3, Informative

    No, seriously. The thing about science is that everything has to be proven, and everything _can_ be wrong or superceded by a better theory.

    It means that yes, you're _supposed_ to question everything, be it the theory of relativity, or gravity, or global warming theories. That's what science is all about. Trying to see if you can improve the existing understanding of the world, instead of joining the lemming parrade.

    The moment you've found absolute truths, evidence be damned, that's no longer science. That's _religion_.

    It doesn't matter if it's about Christ, or lung cancer, or global warming. The moment you have your absolute truth and don't need no stinkin' scientists telling you about experimental evidence, or worse yet start accusing them of hidden agendas or being the enemy... congrats, you've reinvented the Inquisition. What lies that-a-way is not science, it's not environmentalism, it's religion.

    --
    A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
  99. Re:I agree, in part... by EmagGeek · · Score: 1

    >However the data we have indicates that it has never increased this rapidly before for this long, as it has since the beginning of the industrial era. This is the entire problem. The surprise here is not the earth warming, the surprise is a rapid shift away from the climate human life has become accustomed to.

    And we are humans, and therefore our data must be complete, comprehensive, and correct, for all time > 0

    >A poor example since a hurricane's strength is directly linked to the ocean temperature underneath it.

    And atmospheric pressure, and prevailing winds, and latitude, and... just about everything else

  100. No, he's not by Jugalator · · Score: 1

    In January, the a European scientist warned residents of the far north to basically stay out of the sun.

    No, he's not saying that in the linked article. He's saying it may affect our health, and a hole could affect these areas. And he's certainly not saying "don't expose yourself to the sun!"

    --
    Beware: In C++, your friends can see your privates!
  101. Ozone Schmozone by BubbaJonBoy · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I consider myself a tree-hugger. That said, the whole ozone thing is a scam by scientists who see bad news as a way to obtain research grants and funding and - dare I say - notoriety masquerading as prestige.
    Consider:
    1) 90% of industrialization and associated emissions is in the northern hemisphere
    2) The coriolis effect keeps the earth's northern and southern airstreams seperate (very little mixing)

    So why is the ozone hole over Antarctica? Why not the North Pole seeing as this is the hemisphere supposedly cursed by industry? Use Occams' Razor - it ain't our fault...
    Regards...

    1. Re:Ozone Schmozone by 2marcus · · Score: 1
      Erm. The interhemispheric mixing time is on the order of a year. I don't know what your "very little mixing" comes from.

      eg:

      "Southern hemispheric mixing ratios of methyl chloroform peaked in 1992 and northern hemisphere mixing ratios peaked a little more than a year earlier (Figure 5.9). The time lag is similar to the known interhemispheric mixing time. The large north to south gradient before 1993 is indicative of very strong northern hemisphere sources." (Prinn et al., 1995)

      NOAA.gov

    2. Re:Ozone Schmozone by rush22 · · Score: 1

      I consider myself a tree-hugger. That said, the whole ozone thing is a scam by scientists who see bad news as a way to obtain research grants and funding and - dare I say - notoriety masquerading as prestige.
      Consider:
      1) 90% of industrialization and associated emissions is in the northern hemisphere
      2) The coriolis effect keeps the earth's northern and southern airstreams seperate (very little mixing)

      So why is the ozone hole over Antarctica? Why not the North Pole seeing as this is the hemisphere supposedly cursed by industry? Use Occams' Razor - it ain't our fault...
      Regards...


      Wow. You sir, are a genius. You've straightened it all out for me. However, more people need to know of this obvious fact. Please call NASA and let them know what you have discovered.

      NASA's phone number is (202) 358-0001.

      Then again, they may be in on it just like how they faked the moon landings. In that case, I don't know what we can do. Call the news networks like CNN and FOX and NBC. I tried to look up their phone numbers but I think NASA is blocking them somehow. It says my computer is too slow and I may have spyware--when I don't have spyware. Occam's razor is that NASA is blocking their phone numbers.

  102. Well... by porkchop_d_clown · · Score: 1

    Two things: First, unless you're knocking 80, I'm guessing your grandfather was farming in the 30's and 40's at the earliest, so industrialization, mores and medicine had all changed by that point.

    I also suspect that skin coloration was a big factor - if anyone in *my* family had tried that trick they would have been in a lot of pain from permanent sun burn. I also strongly doubt the women of his time showed as much skin and worked as hard on their tans as women have for the past 30 years.

    inally, according to the Annals of Surgical Oncology severity of melanoma is correlated with age. You might also want to read this PDF from Supportive Oncology which talks about how the aging population of the US is going to cause an explosion in the number of cancer cases - because cancer in general is correlated with age. For melanoma, it says: The incidence of melanoma, for example, peaks at around age 45 years in women and 60 years in men... This makes sense since the most reasonable theory of cancer is that it is caused by cumulative genetic damage - it would be quite difficult for a child to get a cancer causing dose of UV while a 40 or 50 year old probably passed the danger threshold 10 years prior.

  103. You're wrong because the facts say otherwise by Tau+Zero · · Score: 1
    I'm wrong because I can disprove the accepted enviro-political dogma via an objective scientific discourse?
    You're wrong because there is plenty of CFC getting to the stratosphere, and the troposphere (esp. the upper troposphere) is well below superheat temperatures for CFC's. The reason you are wrong is that you are ignorant of the roles of convective mixing and molecular diffusion. I bet you couldn't even calculate the Gibb's free energy of a 1 ppm mixture of CFC-12 in air vs. the CFC component purified and separated.
    --
    Time is Nature's way of keeping everything from happening at once... the bitch.
  104. The other reason you're wrong... by Tau+Zero · · Score: 1

    ... is that you believe the cranks over at keelynet. This shows that you have a defective bullshit detector.

    --
    Time is Nature's way of keeping everything from happening at once... the bitch.
  105. The mystery revealed by Tau+Zero · · Score: 1
    You're citing www.creation-science-prophecy.com as INFORMATION?

    You're a troll.

    --
    Time is Nature's way of keeping everything from happening at once... the bitch.
    1. Re:The mystery revealed by oliverthered · · Score: 1

      and of the other links? there correct I assume as you have nothing negative to say about them?

      --
      thank God the internet isn't a human right.
  106. Stable state. by darkonc · · Score: 1
    There's a coupld of things at work here: First of all, we now know that Sun storms can destroy ozone. Thing is that they always did that -- long before man was on the scene, much less producing CFC's. Sun storms should simply be factored into the models for the (natural) semi-stable state that existed before the 20'th century.

    Second: Ozone is created by sunlight as part of a feedback loop. Is it any shock that, during the 4 months of eternal polar night, the ozone supply would weaken where the sun don't shine?? That would be part of why CFC's have so much obvious an effect up there -- It's already naturally depleting.. The man-made chemicals accelerate the action and shift the equilibrium point. (I.e. They don't create the ozone hole, they enlarge it, and most sane literature describes it that way).

    --
    Sometimes boldness is in fashion. Sometimes only the brave will be bold.
  107. Confused by cyriustek · · Score: 1

    First I must admit, I am not a scientist. However, I am quite confused about ozone depletion. We have things like the sun, and CFCs that deplete the ozone, and that is bad. On the other hand, jets and other transportation equipment are criticized for creating ozone among various environment toxins.

    Why is machinery that creates ozone a bad thing if we have things that are depleting our ozone. (like the sun.) I seem to recall that ozone in and of itself has bad health risks for people with asthma as well as old folks and children.

    1. Re:Confused by Politburo · · Score: 1

      Ground-level ozone is bad. It irritates the respiratory system. As you say, people with asthma and other ailments are especially prone.

      Atmospheric ozone, which is the "ozone layer", is good. It blocks harmful UV radiation from the sun.

      Ground-level ozone cannot replenish the ozone layer because it eventually breaks down.

  108. Judge for yourself. by marklark · · Score: 1

    If you'd like to check out the ozone levels for yourself, click on my URL. It will connect you to a computer down the hall from me that will happily graph up data from sites around the US and world.

  109. Frank Herbert Had It Right by carcajou · · Score: 1

    If you ever get a chance, read Frank Herbert's story "Frogs and Scientists". It was published in a short story collection named "Eye". Two frogs, using scientific observation methods, discuss human anatomy...and arrive at interesting conclusions...

  110. Re:Drawings depicting Egyptian Laborers? by mikael · · Score: 1

    The Egyptians knew about the dangers of skin cancer from exposure to the Sun. One way the construction workers of the pyramids used to protect themselves from sunburn was to slap on clay mud on themselves. There is a carving or scroll which documents the time when the workers actually went on strike when they ran out of the stuff.

    --
    Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
  111. Re:How *life* alters global climate (and environme by -brazil- · · Score: 1

    It's not a question of whether we're "allowed" to change the environment. It's not really a moral issue. The real question is whether the changes we are causing are dangerous to our own survival.

    --

    The illegal we do immediately. The unconstitutional takes a little longer.
    --Henry Kissinger

  112. Typical /. stuff by Donny+Smith · · Score: 1

    >Sun Storms Deplete Ozone, Too

    I just knew it - not a single day cannot pass here on /. without Microsoft or Sun (as in this case) bashing!

  113. You HAVE to be a troll. by Engineer-Poet · · Score: 1
    Nobody but a troll could be so wrong with such apparent sincerity.
    In case you hadn't noticed, the ground layer is covered with a layer of CO2, as evidenced by the tremendous amount of plant life on the planet.
    Argon is substantially heavier than oxygen and nitrogen, as well as being a much smaller (and denser) atom. Yet its concentration is roughly the same from ground level to 25 km. The only reason that water, CO2, N2O etc. are "variable" is that there are processes which add and remove them from the atmosphere on a relatively short time scale. Notice that xenon, with an atomic weight of 131, is not dense enough to fractionate by weight and be one of the variable gases.
    However, you aren't taking into account the difference in atomic weight
    Speaking of density, there's a lot of irony in here (iron = ~7800 kg/m^3).
    Saying that CFC's diffuse easily, even under the thermal activity induced by the Sun, is like saying the Mississippi River can carry a brick from St. Louis to New Orleans.
    Sediment particles are a lot heavier than water molecules, but that doesn't stop the Mississippi from carrying as much as six hundred million tons of them to the sea in one year. I think you'll be forced to agree that that's equivalent to one heaping shitload of bricks. And let's not mention the fact that cloud droplets and dust particles, which are many millions of times bigger and heavier than CFC molecules, remain in the air for extended periods.

    Nope, you've got to be a troll. Nobody could be that ignorant/stupid and still be able to use a computer.

  114. Re:HOW DO CFC's GET SO HIGH? by jwdb · · Score: 1

    Elemental chlorine is significantly heavier, but chlorine gas is not very dense at all, meaning that a bit of wind or convection will stir it up quite nicely in a standard atmosphere.

    Jw

  115. Re:The more things change,the more they stay the s by rush22 · · Score: 1

    It should serve as a lesson to you that your actions can have effects beyond your backyard. That's impossible.

  116. Oh come on by StikyPad · · Score: 1

    This is crazy science.. next they'll be saying that the sun destroys the skin cells that protect us from UV damage. Where do they come up with this stuff?

  117. Re:We will be by RedWizzard · · Score: 1
    Look at the Atkins diet guy. Slipped on a patch of ice and died... defeated by a naturally occurring phase of the most plentiful chemical in our local environment.
    What the hell was he doing to slip on a patch of nitrogen?
  118. conservative by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 1
    Let me clarify what I mean by conservative. I don't mean right wing or whatever, I mean the option with the lowest risk.

    If we think that activity X *might* have bad consquences or we don't have evidence that it won't, then we should probably not do it. hence my traffic analogy: Just because we can't see the cars does not make it safe. In the case of global warming, perhaps this is all just greeny bullshit, but there is some evidence that suggests we're doing damage then we should limit what we're doing.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
  119. Re:We will be by Jim_Callahan · · Score: 1

    I was using the local environment = surface of the earth = 70% water line of reasoning, but yeah, that wouldn't be any fun either. Freezing your shoe off and then falling over and dying... lame.

    --
    ...it's really a sad day for America when we require a goddamn ACT OF CONGRESS to make our DVD players work properly. ~
  120. Great by Coyoteold1 · · Score: 1

    Now there'll be a bunch of people who say, basically "Well, since the sun can detroy the ozone layer, it's okay if we don't pay attention to anything _we_ do that might destroy it."

    Which to me is like saying "Well, since my house already has radon gas buildup, I might as well take up smoking and rubbing dioxins into my skin"

    Or perhaps I'm just being cranky.

  121. Re:Its Asias fault by jimi+the+hippie · · Score: 1

    With the amount of goods we buy from China and their enormous population and the lack of decent pollution controls, I would be surprised to learn that we produce less pollution than them.