Andy Grove Speaks out on Offshore Outsourcing
molarmass192 writes "Andy Grove, of Intel fame, "spoke out" at a recent technology summit in Washington about the current trend towards offshore outsourcing and how it's causing the US to slowly but surely lose its edge in the tech sector. He states plainly that the US government must step in to restore balance between the need for profits and the lure of offshore outsourcing. There are also pokes at the patent system and slow adoption of broadband internet access. An interesting insight into what's going on inside the heads of the US's tech leaders."
Where is the real news for nerds? What happened here?
I think the only solution to stopping offshore outsourceing is global worker rights. Profits should be second to workers.
-seriv
Isn't free in america.
Good posting Michael. Even though you seem to have this band of traveling yoddelers that follow you around bitching about your posts, I appreciate this one. Anything having to do with job outsourcing is timely and topical as far as I'm concerned. Thanks.
For every annoying gentoo user, are three even more annoying anti-gentoo crybabies. Take Yosh from #Gimp for example.
As an Indian, i'd like remind people: Almost all nobel awards in scientific fields went to Americans... The "threat" from India and China is wildly exaggerated.
People want lower prices, better pay and competition. Now these same people complain when they lose their job.
"The difference between pornography and erotica is the lighting" - Woody Allen
http://www.livejournal.com/users/kayfox/33472.html :
n g.replacements.ap/
2 002/08/26/daily56.html
http://www.cnn.com/2003/TECH/biztech/08/11/traini
US IT workers being assigned to training their Indian replacements.
http://portland.bizjournals.com/portland/stories/
Intel holds job fairs for "Redeployed" employess (continuing massive cuts in the US and massive hireing in India).
So, I guess Indians will be the next market for Intel processors, considering Intel is trying pretty hard on its part to leave nobody in the US that can afford them.
Well, that pretty much goes for the entire US economy, in this recession, workers are being laid off due to a lack of sales, creating a larger group of people that cannot afford their products, or even afford living.
How many times can executives say "its not my problem" until it is their problem?
How dare countries outside America try to compete! It's so... un-American!
Computers are useless: they can only give you answers. -- Pablo Picasso
Now, how to stop it? I favor use of tariffs to force up the price of offshore workers (might be tough to enforce, but if a company *sells* in the US, which is where you want to sell if you want to make the big bucks, we have some influence; if they can keep the Big 3 in business, they can help us out, too).
My jerkoff company just shipped a huge section of its QA effort to India and laid off a lot of my friends -- the V-Pee had the audacity to send out something trying to twist this as being *good* for the employees... "Freeing us from routine or boring work".
Anyhow, I think that the *actual* costs of overseas labor are going to start getting serious press soon as well, so hopefully that'll discourage the flava-of-the-month pointy hairs from shipping our work overseas, but I want a backup plan in case....
Every year during my review, I just pray the words "slashdot.org" aren't mentioned.
This is regulation. I thought regulation was bad for the Internet... and in any case, merely saying that the government should do "something" about it is inviting vague foolishness down on our heads to the detriment of business. Any "solution" implemented on a vague platform like that would probably be worse than the problem, and at best a marginal improvement.
The World Wide Web is dying. Soon, we shall have only the Internet.
This country was founded on capitalism. The best of the best achieve, while the worst fail. Natural selection in the work place. Unfortunately, greed and endless loopholes in the law allow for these corporate monoliths to live the American dream by raping our own citizens. Right now the U.S gov't is the world leader, but how long can we stay a super power when everyone is unemployed because their company outsourced their position to lesser qualified, but cheaper foreign sources?
At the risk of sound racist, if this trend keeps up the only people who can get a job in the U.S will be Indians and Mexicans.
Don't we contract all our spam from China?
I thought Andy's job was now being done by a 16 year old name Haji in Bangalore.
A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
"Andy Grove, of Intel fame, "spoke out" at a recent technology summit in Washington about the current trend towards offshore outsourcing"
And where are Intel processors manufactured again? Or is it only a problem when it effects white collar workers?
all the jews in management care about is the almighty dollar.
Hey Andy,
There's shite the US govt can do now. Maybe you should have thought about this when you go around starting Fab plants in Malaysia, China and India. Too bad your american employees cost you soo much compared to your asian employees but maybe you ought to transfer some us citizens to india and china and pay them asian wages (hmmm....I wonder if americans would like that?)
"An interesting insight into what's going on inside the heads of the US's tech leaders."
I'm sorry that would be singular "inside the head". The one's who got us into this whole mess, declined to be interviewed, siting "self-incrimmination" as the reason.
If there's any justice? Their ill gotten gains will turn to dust. And their companies will be viewed with the same attitude that one devotes to a boil on one's buttocks.
Same arguement as back in the 70's about the manufacturing industry.
The US will continue to be the most prosperous country on earth cause they just let evolution happen. Out with the old in with the new.
For individuals effected, it's certainly hard. For the country as a whole, just a bump on the road to something better.
Why should I buy something from you for $10, when I can buy it from someone else for $5. What are you, a COMMIE!!
Signed, "A Canuck working on an American contract".
Safeharbour Statement: "Long may your big jib draw!"
And, where does Intel make all their chips? All in the good old U. S. of A.? No....
I, for one, welcome our new American overlords.
...oh wait...
Computers are useless: they can only give you answers. -- Pablo Picasso
China #2
India #22
As the IT mgt books say, "Don't outsource your strategic intellectual capital!". Unfortunately, most corps don't seem to think of this and they're outsourcing everything they can just to save a few bucks.
I saw an article a few months ago, I think CIO.com, that mentioned how United Technologies saved a whole $7 million (US) on their IT budget by sending some work over to India. I thought, "Wow! Seven million dollars US!". Then I looked. Their IT budget is over a billion dollars. So they saved a whole 0.7% by going overseas. In the meantime, their employees are demoralized for having seen their buddies lose their jobs and some poor bastard(s) have to stay in the middle of night to deal with people on the other side of the world, because if they don't - it's their ass too!
There I go again, ranting!
There is no spoon or sig.
... time zones, demand, and communications barriers will make India less attractive to outsource to.
"Derp de derp."
Grove wants his job to be easy. He wants government money and protection of his markets so he can deliver full value to his shareholders and the taxpayers can clean up the rest of the mess. Sounds like a potential crackwhore politician. Does Grove have ambitions in this area?
I believe the US trade deficit reinforces that. Someone in the US is buying all that stuff that comes in, despite the present economic situation. However the rest of the planet isn't buying as much (guess they don't like our stuff).
Now as far as the latter two (pay, competition). Who doesn't want that? The Indians want that. The Europeans want that. Why should the US be any different?
I'm currently unemployed and directly due to off-shoring. It sucks to be unemployed - trust me. However I think that it is really silly to put barriers in place.
No 1. You inevitably get what you pay for. After having lost my job, the company I worked for now has a team of people in asia and they cost far more than the team we had here in the valley and they have yet to deliver squat.
I think that these off-shore arrangements only work if you have a very strong cultural match between off-shore supplier and local organization or if it is managed very carefully. Very few US organizations are capable of pulling off such a feat and it is inevitable that most of these off-shoring relationships will result in huge craters.
The US tech recession is the result of the "perfect storm", a) Bubble pops, b) oversupply of skilled immigrants c) Oversupply of "cheap" skilled workers. So, a) the bubble popped and it's now starting to come out of recession, b) immigrant quotas have been curbed, and c) there is only so much you can outsource.
It will recover, just be prepared to hold out for a few more months (up to 12 months). Keep abreast of the skills you need with your spare time.
Governemnt interference with the market is bad. Huge subsidies that distort thetrade in agricultural products is bad, and it is killing Africa (literally).
/. terminology: Protectionism is proprietary; free trade is free.
Tariffs or other protectionism would not work-- what would we do? demand that XX% of code is written in North America?
The software sector is simply waking up to something that has happened to every other sector: as the segment matures, labor becomes portable, and therefore companies will seek the cheapest labor possible. Trying to stop this only costs consumers, and-- perversely-- the very segment they are trying to protect via regulation compliance costs, taxes, and loss of overseas marketshare.
You want a job? innovate. Become efficient. Figure out howto make money by "exploiting" all that cheap Chinese labor yourself. Find something that those rising Chinese and Indian middle-class consumers want.
If you want action from the government, demand that they stop supporting 19th century industries and that they demand open trade with other countries. Protectionism is going back.
Let me voice my opinion in
davejenkins.com |
Now if they were REAL smart, these short-sighted companies would hire those that do software from those that do because they can and not care if they get paid for the effort at all. THIS is where they need to go, not india and china.
Maybe if some people, those in the top, stop having so good pay that keeps increasing, then the rest would have something more. And no, it's not about communism, but about why high level jobs have got increases faster than the low ones, when tasks, resposability and accountability don't seem to have increased at the same pace. It would be nice to see those that fire be fired at the same ratio, for example, half work force out, half of the directives out with them, including chairmans.
Being unemployed means I have time to catch up on the news. Instead of all the articles about cool tech advances that I missed while working 12 hour days, everyone is hitting us with this depressing economic reality garbage.
For the most part outsourcing is a smart move for US tech firms. The International tech market is where the action is. So it is best for U.S. firms to be securing toe holds in the International market.
It is politically unpopular, but the big wage disparity between countries means US workers will probably have to accept pay cuts to stay competitive. Tant pis.
The only really boner move made in the last several years was that stupid HB??? bill that brought in then laid off a hundred thousand tech workers. I suspect that any regulation the government tries to pass will simply have chilling affects on U.S. companies to maintain an advantage, and won't really help the US workers.
" How dare countries outside America try to compete! It's so... un-American!"
It's more like "How dare US companies compete against US consumers!" The other countries are just pawns in the whole game.
There are two sides to the argument. On one end, there are those who advocate some type of regulation to deter offshore software development. Developers are losing jobs and that's a bad thing.
On the other end, there are those who think offshoring development is great. It allows those with little money to build cool products. It allows corporations to save money... yadi yada yada.
Let me just say this: developers who want us to stop offshoring are just asking us for more money for the same work.
the USA should reconsider the software patents that have crippled American innovation for decades, and also the DMCA which has effectively denied Americans their fair use rights.
just like the humble blood clot... turboporsche@telus.net
It used to be skilled IT workers could get awesome pay, decent job perks and benefits. Now we're lucky to get half of the pay we would have five to ten years ago and that's not even counting inflation.
Now skilled IT staff are treated as little more than skilled mechanics. Worse still, because of the industry we work in, they can fob jobs off to other countries. Until recently I worked in Melbourne, Australia but now I live in L.A, USA. It's not just an American concern. It's a global concern. Telstra (Australia's largest telco) got sprung about six months ago because they were hiring programmers and support staff in India for one third of the price they'd be paying for workers in Australia. Worse still, Telstra is still majority owned by the government. Where was the Australian government through all this?
Everyone wonders why IT unemployment is up higher than any other industry (in Australia it's higher than 11% for IT, which is waaay beyond the unemployment figures being spouted elsewhere). This is why. It's because workers are not only easy to find, it's easier to outsource it to another country and replace 3 people for the one you just sacked!
Every citizen of every first world country (especially citizens who read sites like this one) should be concerned, because they have no way of knowing if their jobs will be next.
Nobody dismisses that other countries should be trying to compete. But nobody wants it to affect them or their country. Therein lies the problem: Businesses operate independant of countries. And it's issues like this that bring it to the forefront.
If a country instigates laws which work against a business they will move their business off shore. There is no moral compass guiding big business, which is why people must voice their concerns to the government to act as that compass.
If morality does not factor business decisions at some point then profits will drive the entire world into oblivion as they crash countless economies, burn up all our resources and pollute the planet until it is uninhabitable - all because of the bottom line.
As US needed more know how and money than the other countries.
The problem is that intel processors are more expensive than AMD, and in those "less rich" countries, more expensive enough to they don't buy it. So intel is losing market.
...but these days, we are surrounded by hundreds of multinational corporations which operate as small dictatorships, and have the largest influence on our global leaders.
Okay, so maybe calling them dictatorships is a bit harsh, but where's the democracy? The right to purchase or avoid a product? Sure -- on an individual level -- but mass advertising basically wipes out a chance for "voting with your feet" to influence corporate policy.
Computers are useless: they can only give you answers. -- Pablo Picasso
We could have tech workers form strong trade unions. OK so that one probably won't fly in the US.
The alternative is to have computing be a profession like lawyer-ing and doctor-ing. They have trade asociations that are so powerful they can't be ignored. To practice law or medecine you must be part of the profession. To what extent does this protect lawyers and medics from overseas outsourcing?
Read Epic the first RPG novel.
before it is too late.
I mean, English at least is a subset of the alphabet used in the majority of the occident. Currently almost every computer language is "english based" meaning the keywords are in English, or English based, and thus easy to learn to roman alphabet users.
However if this trend continue, maybe we soon will have Bali based languages, or wordt yet, 3000 characted Mandarim based computer language.
-><- no
Humans have social structures which circumvent it. Things like inheritance, family ties, friendship, traditions, religion, etc., etc. Emotions and the ability to reason routinely prevent the best from suceeding while allowing the worst to prosper. That's one of the many failures of capitalism. A small group of people monopolizes wealth and power to the detriment of the rest; and they use social structures to hold onto that wealth and power inspite of anything Natural selection has to say on the subject.
Oh, and the people with power in the U.S. don't care about keeping America in power. They're global, meaning they operate on a global scale sans petty concerns like patriotism. Nationalism is just something to keep the rubes in line. That's the major failure of capitalism. Adam Smith assumed small shop owners who had a stake in their community, and who themselves suffered if the community went to hell. Now global capitalists just move away from their rotting comminities. The slums are exported to poor countries, and the rich live where they don't have to worry about the crime, violence and polution they're creating.
Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
As they continue to send their buisness offshore the comapnies that they basicly outsource to slowly gains the information about customers that the main company does.
Eventualy it will become cheaper just to have your workers and servers in forign lands while keeping yourself incorperated in the USA for some tax breaks and PR.
Problem is that these companies are quickly losing control over the information they collect and share with these companies.
Credit card information, social security numbers, and addresses is just a small list.
The main problem that these companies can not garentee that this information will be kept strictly confidential and thate these companies they outsource to have a decent privacy policy and practices. Quickly this will become a national security issue and suddenly these companies will find that many of their customers will find this arangement unacceptable.
So why is the government doing things to support off shore outsourcing?
Two reasons:
The first is to help big buisness save money. However the main reason is to try and stop IT from unionizing. If IT were to start forming a national union then it would compleatly distabalize the enitre intestries buisness and hiring practices. Big buisness has convinced the US government that if IT forms a union many large tech firms will be run out of buisness by off shore companies.
Just let those outsourced projects fail (most of them do) and see those "bright minds" who came up with the idea of outsourcing getting fired without a severance package.
I've seen the results of several outsourced projects. These projects are so fucked up, it's unbelievable. This must have to do something with the management there, because I've seen some very impressive Indian developers over here in the US (not that many, either, but then I'm hard to impress) and I don't believe they can't find any good developers there. It's just that the results of the outsourced work are often unmaintainable piles of horrendously written spaghetti code.
I have yet to see one single exception from this.
LINUX SUCKS. WEEEE-TARDS!
THIS IS THE GAYEST FORUM EVARRRRRR~~~~
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Hasn't the American Government already screwed it's citizens in the high-tech area already? Do you really need more of their intervention on your "behalf"? Correct me if I'm wrong (and I know you will ^_^) but isn't America supposed to be the Land of the Free? What's wrong with outsourcing? Maybe it's a good thing for the U.S.A. by *not* trying to stifle growing nations so the world can grow. Oh, wait... That's right... If that were to happen then the U.S.A. may not seem like the "SuperPower (C)" anymore. Can't loose the stranglehold on the world now, can they?
</SARCASM>
Gr@ve_Rose
!ekoj on si aixelsyD
Sure, much of the innovation in the tech sector still comes out of America... but anyone who thinks that the real power in the tech sector remains in America is just deluding themselves. Consider all the brands based in Japan. All of the manufacturing in Korea and Taiwan...
Computers are useless: they can only give you answers. -- Pablo Picasso
Intel has been one of the worst offenders. Have a look at http://www.faceintel.com/
Wansu, th' chinese sailor
I think we (at least those of us in the US) can all agree that outsourcing is a bad thing.
/. talking about good code experience from foreign firms, and we have heard the bad. Instead of speaking to that, I will focus on the area of customer service. It is not exactly IT, but it _is_ an area in which I have experience. I just left a part time sales position with a major US supplier of home computers. Nearly every day I fielded a mis-directed call from customer looking for customer or technical support. In most instances(60-70%), the customer was reluctant to leave the phone beacause I was the first person they had spoken to who could speak english well enough that the customer could communicate with. Some of the stories I heard (but had no way to verify myself) of customer experiences in our tech, etc.. lines were horrendous. Whether exaggerate or not, when a large portion of yoru customer base decides that dealing with your support is more trouble than it is worth, they tend to move to other companies. I am sure you are familiar with the standard catechism of how people value good service, so I will stop there.
But regulation is worse.
The solution here is an economic one. Companies who try to save money up front by moving over seas will eventually experience real economic disincintive to stay there.
We have heard posts on
In the end, I forsee that a combination fo cultural/language barriers and customer (internal or external to an org) will be the catalyst that reverses the shift to foreign outsourcing.
"Governemnt interference with the market is bad. "
/. terminology: Protectionism is proprietary; free trade is free."
Blanket statement-hope you enjoy your USDA inspected meats?
"Huge subsidies that distort thetrade in agricultural products is bad, and it is killing Africa (literally)."
Hope you enjoy your low cost food, because it's not happening because farming has been outsourced.
Africas problems are partially their own, as well as the rest of the world.
"Tariffs or other protectionism would not work-- what would we do? demand that XX% of code is written in North America?"
It does when your trying to grow an embryonic industry, or combatting a deliberatly created imbalance.
"The software sector is simply waking up to something that has happened to every other sector: as the segment matures, labor becomes portable, and therefore companies will seek the cheapest labor possible. Trying to stop this only costs consumers, and-- perversely-- the very segment they are trying to protect via regulation compliance costs, taxes, and loss of overseas marketshare."
Labour in this case isn't portable. Companies are.
In the slide to the bottom the consumer will be hurt. Government barriers or not. The bottom line is the bottom line, and you're not in the picture.
"You want a job? innovate. Become efficient. Figure out howto make money by "exploiting" all that cheap Chinese labor yourself. Find something that those rising Chinese and Indian middle-class consumers want."
We already are. And I can't believe you're an advocate for economic slavery, and people exploitation.
"If you want action from the government, demand that they stop supporting 19th century industries and that they demand open trade with other countries. Protectionism is going back."
As long as the trade is among equal, or near equals. That's were your argument falls down.
"Let me voice my opinion in
There;'s no such thing as free trade. Go study your history.
US Citizens can't help it that they cost so much.
We need cars for transportation. Public transit is a joke in most areas and we'd most likely get mugged if we walked everywhere. Our cops only ticket people and arrest druggies. They have no obligation to save people.
We are forced by law in most states to have automotive insurance on our cars. A lot of tech workers are in the 18-30 age range and male which means higher premiums.
We need health insurance "just incase". Medical bills easily run into the tens of thousands. We have an endless cycle of increasing premiums due to our endless supply of lawyers. Doctors require more money so they can get every family member a nice big SUV and also pay malpractice insurance.
Our houses are overpriced and anything built after 1970 doesn't have the craftmanship to warrant the high prices.
We'd be happy to cost less, but we can't help it short of a revolution.
What we should do is start outsourcing our lawyer service needs to India. Just think about it. All we would need is two video cameras, two televisions, and Video over IP. It'd be substantially cheaper and the lawyers would suffer with us. They might finally fight against outsourcing.
The Libertarian/Republican Dog-Eat-Dog/Survival of the fittest trolls.
Works of Karl Marx 1853
The Future Results of British Rule in India
Written: on July 22, 1853
Source: MECW Volume 12, p. 217;
First published: in the New-York Daily Tribune, August 8, 1853; reprinted in the New-York Semi-Weekly Tribune, No. 856, August 9, 1853.
Signed: Karl Marx
London, Friday, July 22, 1853
I propose in this letter to conclude my observations on India.
How came it that English supremacy was established in India? The paramount power of the Great Mogul was broken by the Mogul Viceroys. The power of the Viceroys was broken by the Mahrattas. The power of the Mahrattas was broken by the Afghans, and while all were struggling against all, the Briton rushed in and was enabled to subdue them all. A country not only divided between Mahommedan and Hindoo, but between tribe and tribe, between caste and caste; a society whose framework was based on a sort of equilibrium, resulting from a. general repulsion and constitutional exclusiveness between all its members. Such a country and such a society, were they not the predestined prey of conquest? If we knew nothing of the past history of Hindostan, would there not be the one great and incontestable fact, that even at this moment India is held in English thraldom by an Indian army maintained at the cost of India? India, then, could not escape the fate of being conquered, and the whole of her past history, if it be anything, is the history of the successive conquests she has undergone. Indian society has no history at all, at least no known history. What we call its history, is but the history of the successive intruders who founded their empires on the passive basis of that unresisting and unchanging society. The question, therefore, is not whether the English had a right to conquer India, but whether we are to prefer India conquered by the Turk, by the Persian, by the Russian, to India conquered by the Briton.
England has to fulfill a double mission in India: one destructive, the other regenerating the annihilation of old Asiatic society, and the laying the material foundations of Western society in Asia.
Arabs, Turks, Tartars, Moguls, who had successively overrun India, soon became Hindooized, the barbarian conquerors being, by an eternal law of history, conquered themselves by the superior civilization of their subjects. The British were the first conquerors superior, and therefore, inaccessible to Hindoo civilization. They destroyed it by breaking up the native communities, by uprooting the native industry, and by levelling all that was great and elevated in the native society. The historic pages of their rule in India report hardly anything beyond that destruction. The work of regeneration hardly transpires through a heap of ruins. Nevertheless it has begun.
The political unity of India, more consolidated, and extending farther than it ever did under the Great Moguls, was the first condition of its regeneration. That unity, imposed by the British sword, will now be strengthened and perpetuated by the electric telegraph. The native army, organized and trained by the British drill-sergeant, was the sine qua non of Indian self-emancipation, and of India ceasing to be the prey of the first foreign intruder. The free press, introduced for the first time into Asiatic society,
and managed principally by the common offspring of Hindoos and Europeans, is a new and powerful agent of reconstruction. The Zemindari and Ryotwar themselves, abominable as they are, involve two distinct forms of private property in land -- the great desideratum of Asiatic society. From the Indian natives, reluctantly and sparingly educated at Calcutta, under English superintendence, a fresh class is springing up, endowed with the requirements for government and imbued with European science. Steam has brought India into regular and rapid communication with Europe, has connected its chief ports with those of the whole south-eastern ocean, and has revindicated it from the isolated position which was the prime law of its stagnatio
Ever wonder why all the sudden third-world shitholes are becoming technological power houses?
One of the big reasons is the proliferation of "Free" software.
Twenty years ago, a university in India or Pakistan would have a tough time gathering the cash to have IBM or Sun come in and deliver computer systems & software.
Today, anybody can run Linux and use gcc, vi, emacs, etc on new & cheap or secondhand & cheaper hardware. So now every smart kid with the resources to attend a university in India is in that university studying an IT-related field.
Richard Stallman and other "Free" software advocates like to talk about how freedom allows any software developer to do whatever he wants. When you are a US programmer making US$80,000/year to twiddle bits, you should be afraid of allowing "any" programmer learning how to do what you do.
Conformity is the jailer of freedom and enemy of growth. -JFK
I'll tell you the same thing I told the last time this came up.
Lots of people of working age+small number of total jobs=whole lot of pain.
We can play musical chairs all we want, but the fact still remains that the U.S. AS A TOTAL needs enough jobs to remain viable as a country.
There's a lot of jobs that are NOT coming back, period, and pretending otherwise will do no one any good.
1) The tax code. It's too expensive to comply with the tens of thousands of pages of federal tax regs. Copy the Russians and pass a flat income tax. This does wonders for compliance too: it's just not worth dodging the lower rate, especially when the government is now able to do a helluva lot more audits. Cuts corruption big-time as well.
:-).
2) Lawyers. We're feeding trial lawyers when we should be feeding engineers. Everything from the SCO idiocy to suing McDonald's because some maroon burned themself spilling hot coffee on their lap. We're running doctors out of business with ridiculous lawsuits. Not sure precisely what to do here, but capping "pain and suffering" damages would be a good start. "Loser pays" is worth considering, at least in a limited way (it's too easy to shake down small businesses with the threat of litigation expenses right now).
3) Education. School choice. The thousands of Detroit government school teachers who marched on Lansing, shutting down the Detroit Public School System for that day in the process, are a clear-cut argument in favor of school choice. Let parents find the best schools for their kids. It's clear that the top-down approach we've been using at what laughably passes for "education reform" isn't working.
4) Pass a federal law banning the granting of telecommunications (telephone, cable TV, Internet) monopolies. Yes, this is pulling rank and keeping the takings clause from kicking in will get interesting, but it'd go a long way towards bringing competitors into the high-speed Internet market. I want my fiber-to-the-home 100Mbps Ethernet and HDTV over multicast IP, dammit!
That's a good start. From there, we'll have to ride things out until India and China get closer to our standard of living (halfway would be good enough), if their governments can manage not to screw that up. That's a big if, but at least China has Taiwan and Hong Kong to teach them. On the bright side for us, a hefty chunk of the brightest Indians and Chinese live over here
Here's a way to shut down overseas call centers quickly...
Place a tax on outbound international toll free calls of about 50 cents per minute. So much for the cost savings...
... the other thing to note is that we live in a democratic capitalisim; it is a ballence of forces, one man one vote / one dollar one vote. The key to integrety is ballence between these ssytems, ie, do not let one-dollar-one-vote bleed over into one-man-one-vote. Unfortunately, if the people with the dollars control what gets voted on... well, you don't really have a democracy; what you have is a doppelganger -- the appearance of democracy whlts you really only have pure capitalism. Adam Smith clearly stated that capitalism exists only in competitive markets... otherwise what do you have? facism. So, there we have it. Not only has the doppelganger replaced democracy, but, it is also replaced capitalism; we think we have the old high-integrety system of the past -- but reality is, we have facism...
That's not only about the corporations getting more profits, but also about their products being cheap. If those products were made in the US, they'd be much more expensive, hence there would be less sales, the whole industry wouldn't be developing so fast, and finally even more unemployment. Just a dark side of high-level living.
We could have saved sixpence. We have saved fivepence.
time around.
This seems like an old rerun of Gillian's Island.
Think about it--what's the alternative? China and India are getting ever more educated. Do you think two billion people are going to do sweat shop labor forever? They are smart, young, and the media are showing them the kind of wealth they can attain. They want nice jobs and they are going to get them.
The US was incredibly lucky and advantaged for about 50 years following WWII. There is no way that kind of disparity and advantage can continue, even if the US were continuing its strong initial investment in research and technology.
"Everyone wonders why IT unemployment is up higher than any other industry (in Australia it's higher than 11% for IT, which is waaay beyond the unemployment figures being spouted elsewhere). This is why. It's because workers are not only easy to find, it's easier to outsource it to another country and replace 3 people for the one you just sacked!"
/. posters will have you believe) government interference, and (it's the victims fault) is the root cause. Then it stands to reason that were we see this "destablization", the reasons are likewise the same. If however they aren't and "destabilization" is still present. Then all the "/."'s are wrong.
Actually this statement raises an interesting question. If (as some
So what does the rest of the planet say?
We could encourage people to buy products that are locally made, but as we consider choice to be something that is only present in other markets, we've got no-one to blame but ourselves.
How we know is more important than what we know.
I'm being laid off around the end of next month. While I'm not directly loosing my job to someone in another country, my job being moved is a direct result of other jobs from where I work being moved to other countries. The parent company decided that it wanted to reduce it's "geographic footprint". This is the same company that bought out the company I work for. In the year 2001, the site employed around 2000 people in the DFW area. Now there are less than 300 and in two months, it'll be down to just a handful of security guards and corporate people finishing up the site closure.
It's sad to see so many of my friends be scattered to the winds. It's equally sad to see the vast network in the building be dismantled. All this to satisfy some corporate bean counters. The company I do support for and many others along with their customers will have to accept a lower quality support for a period of time because it will take the techs at other sites months or longer to come up to speed. Many of us there have worked with the company for years and know the products we support inside and out. In some cases, we're the only people in the country that does support those products.
Some people hoped to be hired directly by the companies they supported but many chose to move to the outsource companies other sites. The people working there couldn't approach the companies directly due to non-competition agreements. No one protested the move because the upper level management had rumored the place to death till everyone was happy to see it go to avoid the stress. It can be quite stressful working in a nearly empty building where so many of your friends had worked before. Everyone was also bought off by a performance based bonus. Which could be canceled if people decided to protest.
*It's not what you can do for the Dark Side but what the Dark Side can do for you!*
Quoth Michael: from the learn-to-speak-indian dept
Indians don't speak Indian.
I don't understand why Grove is saying this while his buddy Berrit is telling his own employee at Intel that it's global economy deal with it!
A friend of mine told me that someone asked during a depeartment meeting about jobs being cut in US while Intel is hiring big time in India. The answer he got was this is a global economy, we are going to where the talent and where the future market is going to be. So deal with it.
Berret even went on saying that given that 80% of growth is in Asia, but the majority of Intel workforce is in US (70%). He wants to make sure that the work force is evenly distributed where the market growth is.
Now Grove is saying the opposit of his buddy Berret is saying? Grove should look at what his own company is doing first before he lectures about this subject. What a hypocrite.
If I hear another stupid fucking comment about how I have to innovate and work smarter to out-perform my Indian and Chinese counterparts I'm going to scream.
.001% of the world's population in IQ.
It's not about being innovative. It's about being cheap.
I can't compete with 3 people who are just as smart as I am and work for 1/10 my wages. And I'm not so fucking arrogant as to think that I am in the top
So I guess that means I should just work at the Gap for a living right (if I'm lucky) ?
The only answer is a rebalancing of the capital flow. The standard of living in this country country will fall, and it will fall, while it goes up in other countries.
That's fine with me. A higher standard of living for those in less developed countries is a good thing (there is an environmental cost but that's a nother discussion).
What I object to is MY government helping the process along by the ridiculous visa system, and by providing incentives for companies to move overseas. I also seriously object to the fucking hypocritical CEO's (like CRAIG BARRET OF INTEL AND TJ ROGERS OF CYPRESS) claiming they can't find the right people when really what they mean is they can't find the right people and pay them what they want.
Everybody loves capitalism until it works against them.
Let them send my job overseas, just don't use MY fucking tax dollars to help them.
The dipsticks who claim they're just going to out-compete the millions of educated people in other countries obviously have secure jobs.
There is no such things as free trade.
Think about it.
Absolute statements are never true
Check out this article in rediff.com
A lot of products are made in China. What will the US do if China decides to stop exporting to the US? I know that most plastics are made in China. If they stopped exporting from their plastics plants then we would no longer be able to buy laptops, cell phones, etc. It would take years to recreate the capacity in the US to reproduce this stuff. It would be ugly.
Yes, it might be good for China to let the RMB rise in value, as the yen did in the 1980s, but this has positive and negative consequences for both economies. Don't assume that an undervalued RMB is just favorable to China.
Um, the companies are still in the US.
Every item I've ever seen (Oracle Forms and Reports, mostly) that was produced by Indian software contractors overseas or H1Bs here at home is really, REALLY low-quality stuff. The standards of quality for interface design are particularly horrible (probably due to cultural differences).
It doesn't help that Oracle's "Developer 2000" IDE is of absolutely piss-poor quality, of course. But come on... teal backgrounds with gray textboxes? Horribly aligned and badly sized user controls? Made-up words scattered about on the Forms? ("updation" comes to mind) PL/SQL code indented at various whims, with ZERO comments?
They're really nice guys and all, but man... it's almost painful to work with them sometimes.
Stop beating down bright, but anxious boys in school. Let them do what they love instead of forcing some idea of "social adjustment on them". Allow them more time for science and engineering. Devote less time to "teaching" them how to bullshit their way to a 6 page term paper about nothing. Give them less Ritalin.
Some may not like to hear this but boys are the primary source of young engineers and right now, public education is taking a big dump on them.
I have several friends in the industry that are good engineers, but without degrees. Public education pushed them away. They are the kind of people I'm talking about. What's a PHB going to do when he compares them with someone from another country that has his degree?
There's some other stuff here:
The War Against Boys
Strikes Again.
Free trade sure sucks when you can't compete.
Fortunately for Americans, your government is
quick to put in place protectionist measures,
even while punishing any other countries that
rely on the World Bank for doing so themselves.
Hypocrisy is good for the economy, I guess.
If u pay peanuts u get only monkeys. Corporates don't realise that. They are so focussed on cutting costs that they don't realise the implications of their actions.
.There is enough grain rotting in storage that can be used to feed them. Corruption still is rampant though these days the supreme court seems to be flexing its muscles .but overall there seems to be optimism in the air, a promise of better things to come.
Here in India the average programmer is underpaid and overworked. The companies make profits by cutting the wages and using despicable tactics like hiring trainees and not confirming them for like 3 to 4 years and paying them salaries that amount to less than 100$ a month while forcing work that sometimes involves 48 to 72 hour shifts at a trot. Now some of these trainees are fresh college graduates who don't even know what a pointer is but dutifully repeat that java is C++ without pointers. Anyway even if a trainee is the best at some point the quality of work will drop because the programmer stops enjoying his work, and plus the reward for work here is more work, hardly any pay increases or promotions.
The managers here well they think only short term, that is the next pay check. There is very little focus on quality, even in some so called CMM Level 5 companies. The only focus is to make deliveries on schedule, and wait for the bug report, probab;y inspired by m$.
Actaully its not usually not so bad:) but such extreme cases do exist.
Then the american bosses are also absolute imbeciles. They make demands like i want it delivered yesterday. Very few ppl here have the guts to tell them 'if u want it delivered yesterday then u should have asked for it day before yesterday'. Everyone licks the white man's ass because that's where the cash comes from.
This is a cycle in progress . There is a severe imbalance. It will correct itself over time, as india progresses because more and more ppl will start demanding better wages and as the economy starts becoming more like what the united states used to be like, i guess we will see our companies outsource. Its already happening in BPO, where companies prefer to hire Europeans or japanese as they compete directly with indians in terms of wages an they are willing to stay in india and work our schedules.
America is going through a downswing. The trouble is u guys are stuck in a rut just like in the great depression. You need a strong Leader at this time to pull u through and inspire people and not go off to war against terrorists. At least we have Kalam as president and while he is a figure head we consider him to be a great man. And well Vajpayee he may be an old foggy at times, but he was a freedom fighter and a statesman,and he is still very clever. So u see we have belief in our leaders and more importantly we respect them.
In contrast however the american sentiment is not very flattering towards Bush.
What can u do to correct this? Frankly speaking I think the rot began a few years back itself, with all these corporate scandals. That's the trouble with pure capitalism it tends to go into extremes. You need some amount of regulation by the govt. but too much of that also ruins things. There has to be a balance a semi socialist semi capitalist thingummy and me thinks india has done pretty well. We have not grown like china but our growth is steady.
However there are downsides as well India still has a lot of poor ppl
Isn't that special 500 US engineers on unemployment to save 20%.
I recommend you read this, and yes it addresses some of the arguments pro-globalist use.
Once you read that, then grab something up to date, to cover the missing time period i.e.dot.bomb, and 9/11.
The number one trait of business in the last
10 years has been the systematic downsizing
of staff and payroll costs.
Businesses in the USA expect other business
in the USA to pay the consumers enough to buy
their products. As soon as oversea's business
is competing against them directly they all of
a sudden start to cry about job losses, as if
they give a shit.
Boo fucking Hoo!
Enethical business is your problem,
not outsourcing.
Talk to your 'government' about that one.
From a purely business perspective, lets says you need to outsource a software development project and have two good choices - a strong US company of 20 skilled IT workers or an Indian company of 60 equally skilled IT workers (using the 3:1 ratio I spouted off earlier).
Assuming all things are equal apart from the workforce size, it only makes sense to pick the Indian company every time. You cannot fault the decision makers for picking what logically and financially makes sense.
You can however, make them accountable for actions which are detrimental to the country that they make their base of operations out of, or do the most business with. Which is where the government should be stepping in.
We cannot rely on business to make morally correct decisions for the benefit of the people. That's (meant to be) the governments job. Thats why we elect these people - to make decisions on behalf of the people in the first place.
So write to your senators, trade unions and lobby groups. Complain long and loud. Nobody will listen unless the cacophony of voices is too loud to ignore.
Massive bank failures...10 years of economic stagnation.
The end goal, for those who haven't been paying attention to the very public agenda of the elites, is to lower the American/European standard of living, while bringing up the standard of living in the Third World. Eventually, we will all be more or less equally poor...except for the elites themselves, of course.
Welcome to the New World Order.
The population of India is so large that they could absorb ALL the IT jobs in the U.S. and still have people left over...
Doctors can't easily be outsourced. Are you going to fly out a patient to India? Video conferencing probably won't cut it.
Not so fast! HMOs are beginning to realize that it's cheaper to fly you to India for surgery than it is for you to get surgery here!
Radiologists are already getting hosed. It used to be that going into radiology was a license to print money. Now they just send a TIFF of your guts to India and get diagnoses emailed back from ten different guys.
(Moderator posting anonymously)
This is the most intelligent response I've read yet. Very well-worded.
Don't be a zoa (zealous overbearing ass), be happy!
Eh???
M$ prices are lower, their product is better, 89% M$ FUD has come to an end, 10,000 of IT/programmers are providing services to small businesses, small businesses aren't getting the M$ squeeze....all because of freedom software.
All with 3.1% of the desktop market and 27% of the web server market...
RMS deserves a thank-you not a ditto...
BMC Software is selling half of the office space in the Houston campus since it laid off 1/4 of the USA and Europe workers and replaced half of that with India people.
s s/ 2148424
http://www.chron.com/cs/CDA/ssistory.mpl/busine
And the VP said that India would free up the US workers to do interesting work.
It generally takes management a round or two of outsourcing to find out what it can and what it cannot do. My employer outsourced some development to India and we ended up re-writing it after it was initially released.
Don't get me wrong. The software the Indian company developed did *EXACTLY* what we asked them to develop. Unfortunately, it had all the earmarks of code developed by a bunch of amatures. That is, the code was not easily modified and was not flexible and extensible. Like it or not, a lot of "software engineering expertise" comes from developing an understanding of how to manage a bunch of people developing something that is initially strictly an idea and that only is expressed as a bunch of source code in the end. This ability is not trivial and generally only comes the hard way: learning from your mistakes.
The lesson we learned is that outsourcing critical development is a short term fix but not a long tern strategy. We also heard that the price of new development is going up as the company we contracted with has gotten more experience (translation has learned from their past efforts).
Put these trends together:
1) As external developers gain experience, their price goes up.
2) Any time you outsource you face an inflexible development process since the contractor has to contain their costs which means they develop exactly what you (the client) asked for or the contractor charges the client for any requirements changes.
3) Any time there is a language barrier, the risk of misunderstandings goes up. As language differences becomes less of an issue, item one kicks in.
Based on these observations, outsourcing overseas will initially trend toward a way to develop extremely well defined applications. Management will *slowly* learn that anything else will be such a crap shoot that only someone desperate (SCO comes to mind) will run the risks associated with outsourcing anything innovative. As the overseas outsouring companies gain experience and expertise they will raise their rates *because they can*.
Equilbrium will be reached at some point as long as the market is allowed to operate. In the mean time, PHBs will continue to outsource critical development tasks until they get fired for the failures If you don't like the insecurity, go to work for a defense contractor who can only hire U.S. citizens becuase they need people who can get a security clearance.
They that can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither safety nor liberty.
Ben
I don't know that business owners really control their business as much as we imagine they do.
For one thing, when businesses get really really big and complex, I suppose the left hand doesn't know what the right hands doing, and the business "owners" don't really know what it's doing either. It just sort of runs, but they don't really know how.
Maybe, theoretically, they could issue an order down, like "Hey, only package your chips over here," right? But could it actually work? Maybe not! Maybe that'd cause all these huge social uphevals.
Maybe businesses, once formed, are like parts of a gigantic organic system. You might not be able to just suddenly uproot a major artery, and move it somewhere else, without having major effects on yourself, your environment, and whatever else plays a part (who really knows what, right?).
So, I don't know. Is it really hypocracy? Maybe powerful people aren't really as powerful as we imagine them to be?
I've read some things by some very wealthy people. I can't understand it all. But some of these people seem to me to be pretty sincerely interested in doing what's right.
Now, granted, the vast majority of these people seem pretty skanky to me. Enron? Right? I suspect that most big business is like that.
But when I read about people who really seem to be trying to do good, like O'Rielly, I just don't think it's a PR thing. I think these people are serious.
I don't know; Maybe someone who knows better can reply to me.
I believe that one of the reasons that labour is significantly cheaper in India is because the socioeconomic system is vastly different. India has government sanctioned bonded child workers. And whenever you can introduce virtual slaves into an economy, you can dramatically drive down the price of everything else.
Bonded child labour? Slaves? In India?
Yes:
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/1999/11/22/60II/mai n71386.shtml
http://www.hrw.org/reports/1996/India3.htm
http://www.anti-slavery.org/global/india/
The argument that we should be more efficient, smarter, better, more competitive against our foreign counterparts -- that's just a red herring until more fundamental human rights issues are addressed.
I'll consider outsourcing to another country economically fair and ethically legitimate when that country meets some minimum (I admit this to be somewhat fuzzy) world standard of human rights.
We will be at their mercy.
.
.
.
Food shortage in Africa and if we don't make the wheat then what ?
Bad stuff happens.
Have the Chinese and their billions do all the labor then what ?
What jobs are in this country ?
We all have to then setup factories in China
China invades Taiwan
Then what ?
We all lose our jobs and fucks us all in the head.
I am not interested in 10 cent shoes
I would like to keep jobs in this country.
Where would we be if we exported all of our Auto , aircraft and entertainment jobs to China ?
If we did , I don't believe there are other industries taking their place.
We would be 3rd world.
Unions are crap. Socialism at its worst and, IMO, what is killing (has killed?) America's ability to compete on a world stage. Auto industry, steel industry, electronics, etc.
d rake)/Linux(Insert_Distro_Here) war and start acting professional.
But the idea of a professional association business model is one I have espoused for some time now.
The problem? I recently attended a meeting of IT professionals in my area. I grabbed a stack of business cards, donned my Hugo Boss suit, threw on my Ferragamo's, silk tie, haircut, shave, etc. and went to the meeting.
What do you think I saw there? Khaki shorts, jeans, unkempt beards, fat & overweight slobs. It was a circus and people had the gall to ask me "if I was going to a funeral".
There is an incredible amount of attention to detail, knowledge and intelligence required to perform the duties we perform and we deserve to have that attibute recognized. Call it a Maslo thing but people have a hard time seeing through to our brilliance when we look like - well - nerds.
Each and every one of us is a reflection of our industry, this includes the 15 year old script kiddie to the 50 year old Mainframe Geezer and, most importantly, this includes
YOU. Doctors and Lawyers (Read : Professionals) don't downtalk each other and if they do it's considered unprofessional. They present a unified front of academic solidarity. In short - they act professional. They dress the part. Do clothes make you smarter? No... but they make you appear more professional. We don't need to be running around like that idiot in the Washington state march on Microsoft event (covered by the press) in an Obi-Wan-Kenobi outfit. What a fool. The press covered this event and he presented an image of the IT industry. Quite simply - we looked like idiots.
So, if you'd like to be taken seriously GROW UP!! Ditch the nose ring, the eye ring, the lip ring, get a haircut, wash your hair, throw out the tshirts with PGP code all over it, slather your face with some Oxy5 (and wash it occasionally), get a treadmill (and use it) so you can shed a few hundred pounds, clean your teeth, laugh without snorting, untape the glasses (or better yet look into LASIK) and, in general - clean up your act.
Ditch the Linux/Microsoft war and the Linux(Debian)/Linux(Suse)/Linux(RedHat)/Linux(Man
Other things we can do: start making certain software implementations require certifications (general or specific). Develop an Engineer Certification (not branded to a specific company) and rally around it. Develop a Coding certification - and rally around it. Virus package solutions that are serious must be Engineered/Implemented by certified professionals or you simply can't buy the software. If enough of us rally to this cause it will become a standard because we make the standard with our daily recommendations to the customers that pay us. Security installations - same certification requirements. This software packages that play ball with us - we recommend and we buy. Is that fair? Probably not - but Doctors and Lawyers don't play fair and they make a hell of a lot more money than we do and their jobs are not going overseas. If a doctor comes to America from another country then they have to acquire a license here in America before they can practice. We can do that too. Lawyers and Doctors have effectively said: "We don't really care how you did it where you come from. Over here, for right or wrong, we do it our way - and so will you - or you won't work here."
Doctors and Lawyers protected their profession long ago by establishing this system. Our industry is still young and the future lies with all of us. What will we be like in 50 years, 100?
Think about it...
Western Europe has the same problem to a certain extent but not as badly as the USA. The reason not so many European IT jobs have gone to India and China is partly because of the language barrier. There are tens of millions of Indians and Chinese who can speak English but almost none who speak German, French, Italian, Swedish, Danish, Dutch etc. (I assume some Spanish and Portuguese IT has gone to South America) This doesn't prevent IT companies trying to outsource call centres to Germany from Switzerland for example (although the language spoken in Switzerland is a dialect of German that Germans don't understand).
Apart from this a fair amount of manufacturing, production (and coding) has been flowing towards Eastern Europe as those countries join the EU. The EU hopes that it will somehow balance itself out in that very large companies in Western Europe will have branches in Eastern Europe and that that way cash will flow backwards as well.
I think one thing that can really stay local in the IT world (and this applies to the US as well) is for people to start their own small companies specialising in other small companies in other sectors in the local economy. Programmes such as Tax or local business oriented stuff as well as doing consulting and support on a small scale are a good answer.
Another answer is to start a local company that adresses the problems that the people's previous companies cause by outsourcing coding to people who have low QA and communication skills in the local language.
As an example, let's take, for example a certain Desktop publishing layout software from a company in Denver Colorado. This company's product has had a virtual monopoly in DTP for more than 13 years. About three or four years ago, IIRC, that company (use your brains as to who that is) outsourced the entire software development to India. About six months to a year later, Indian developers from this company started popping up in developer mailing lists asking really basic C/C++ questions and acting very arrogant when they didn't get immediate answers. Aparently those Indian developers were so bad (relatively speaking, probably more a management problem) that it took them almost three years to port that DTP programme to Mac OSX, where it finally turned up a few months ago.
That would have been and was an opportunity for competitors to step in and develop alternatives.
Think about it. Tarifs and high import taxes will not solve anything in the long run, as the USA is no longer in the position to be able to simply dictate economic terms to the EU, India or China (or SE Asia to an extent), and if such measures are taken, sonner or later they'll reply in kind, and then you truly will be f**ked.
It is no wonder that the rest of the world is coming to resent the arrogance and flamboyance of the American culture. This article is the most one-sided ("American") piece of tripe I've read this week.
I live in a country other than the U.S.A and for the past decade or so, if I've wanted to work on the cutting-edge in computers, I would have to move to the US to do so. How would you, as American's, like to be told that you must move to India to work on the latest technologies? Or maybe that starting up a company in your own country is pointless because you need to be in Korea or Taiwan to organise meetings with manufacturers?
Do American's even realise the degree to which their patriotic tendencies negatively affect other (poorer) nations? You are in a position of power and all you seem to care about is securing that power. Helping other nations and "global trade" seem to be conditional on the fact that dominance be maintained.
It has been a long time coming and I for one am *extremely* happy that the rest of the world gets a cut of the pie.
I imagine somebody could explain it but why would they want to. Every criticism is written off as a political agenda anyways and it would be suicide.
A little more gas on the fire isn't going to hurt things any more then it is already right? Mmmm... marshmellows.
Where were all you protectionist people when we lost our blue collar jobs to overseas? Look, you had your 10 years of insanely high wages --- and now you're obselete. Deal with it and stop your whining. If americans want to earn ridiculously high wages again to buy expensive luxruies, americans have to produce something that the rest of the world is interested in buying. So stop waiting for "employers" to hand you easy jobs and medical insurance. You're all smart people -- if you think employers should be handing out the 100,000$ salaries to IT folks again, YOU try starting a new company that can afford it. Best of luck. I'm movng to India.
Me thinks Mr. Grove is speaking out of both sides of his mouth... or perhaps he's starting to see the light. I've done contract software development at Intel in the past. In the last year or so there have been no contracts at Intel available. Recently I asked one of the people I was contracting for if he had any more contracts coming up and his reply was: "We'd really like to hire you, but right now we can't unless you're in India". And then he went on to relate how every couple of weeks there is a companywide email going out about some new outsourcing project in India/China and he said this was very worrisome.
Ask yourself this: from the point of view of a corporation, what's the most desirable worker? The answer is: someone whom you can get away with paying just enough that he can barely provide a minimal existence for himself.
The problem with outsourcing isn't merely that it's possible. The problem is that it's now possible for corporations to shift demand for labor more quickly than the economic differences between countries can be adjusted to compensate.
Normally we'd expect the economy of whichever country happens to be "graced" with corporate demand for labor to grow, for the standard of living to rise, and for the wages of people in that economy to rise along with it. The problem is that as soon as that happens, corporations will shift their demand for labor to some other country that doesn't have that problem. When that happens, what do you think will happen to the economy of the country they just left? Bingo: it's slide downhill. Just like it has here in the U.S.
Corporations are now in a position to find and hire their perfect candidate, because they can shift their demand for labor fast enough to take advantage of the hysteresis in the economic system.
But as if that weren't bad enough, consider this: the very people that ultimately are these corporations' customers (either directly or indirectly, the latter happening as a result of being a customer of a corporation that in turn is itself a customer) are the very people who are losing their jobs. The current U.S. economy is running on credit -- that's what happens during a recession. But if the U.S. economy doesn't turn around then the creditors will start to demand payment and the flow of credit will stop. And at that point, those people will stop spending money for anything other than the bare essentials. The U.S. economy will thus collapse (making the Great Depression look like a boom period in comparison).
Worse, when people stop buying (as they must once their credit runs out), the corporations they buy from stop bringing in money. What happens then? Those corporations lay off people, thus causing the economy to spiral down even steeper.
The only people who can afford to buy anything are the people who are paid more than a subsistence wage. Yet the ability of corporations to move their demand for labor more quickly than economies can adjust guarantees that, in the end, the only people who are making more than a subsistence wage are the people who own those corporations. And the people who don't have jobs won't be making any money at all. The global average wage will thus be at most equal to that necessary for subsistence.
Now apply those same economic principles everywhere, and you'll see that, given the ability of corporations to shift demand faster than economies can adjust, the average wage will be at or below the subsistence level as long as the global supply of labor is larger than the demand for labor.
Technology actually makes this worse. The reason is that technology tends to eliminate the need for people to perform tasks. "Great! That just means they'll be free to do something else!" you may argue. That's true -- for some of them. Historically people have found ways to be more productive in sufficient numbers to more than offset this effect, but that is by accident only. There's absolutely nothing that says that there will always be some new thing for everyone who finds themselves out of a job to do that will give them more than a subsistence wage, if that.
And the reason all this is true comes down to one simple fact: in the global economy where there is no "outside", the buying power of money is a conserved quantity because money is ultimately a direct measure of expended human labor, and the supply of human labor changes only as the population does.
Use 'slashdot stuff' in the subject line in any email you send me if you want to get past the spam filter.
Time to use Uncle Sam to protect your ass. I'm an unemployed US software developer. I don't know how the IT downturn has affected me yet cuz I've yet to look for jobby. But when I do and things might get tough, I will not blame some hard working cash strapped Indian. Libertarians like me are just cool people.
As it happens, I recently wrote a short bit about this. It's pretty relevant here. I go a bit further than Grove, though:
You little american sisies, whinning about other people taking your jobs. There is a great expression for this in the Hip/Hop/Rap world. It might now apply that well but you guys need to stop the "hatein'" , don't whine at the free market. It's the best thing out there. you still got the best piece of the pie so far with a huge lead. If you want to use your "player hating" protectionist weak ass policies then you will raise weak and feeble minds. It's already happening.
As long as people want and support this kind of business - what's wrong in that ? Country, pride and life style is totally separated of business, please don't mix them. It is very narrow minded. Instead compete and vote - if your CEO or whatever makes 1000+ times what you do and makes these decisions moving work(force) around, think if she/he is worth of that ( to whom? ) - really ? Amazing - sometimes that's is the case but it's not the rule and they couldn't do that for long without you, Mr. Good Corporate Citizen ! Skilled ( educated,experienced, not trained! ) people will always have it better all over the world and the corporations will find them in free world where ever they are living. Don't want a free world - sorry, you loose!
He is a native of Hungary. Outsorcing helps Hungarian people, Andy Grove should be happy about it!
He should remember that once you are a Hungarian you are ALWAYS a Hungarian!
Have lived well in a rich country and poor in a rich country, I'd ... see that my gv'mnt piled bodies at the border to ensure my fellow citizens ( and I ) live well. That's a gv'mnts job #1, and why we keep well_oiled Remingtons in the closet, but don't shoot the bastards ... yet ...
I can see why you post as an AC.
Please note that the bodies piled at the border will be citizens of your country, not some other's.
Then, once the bodies are there, how does your "gv'mnt" get its goods out to foreign markets?
Your recipe isn't one for domestic wealth, it's one for complete destruction. America's wealth depends entirely on it's foreign trade and always has, right from day one.
Tobacco, lumber and cheap labor went out. Manufactured goods came in.
America has never supported itself and is in less of a position now to do so than every before in its history.
So go ahead. Build your gulag. But be prepared to have to pedal a bike to work in the fields . . . and to power the single lightbulb hanging from the ceiling of your shack.
KFG
I guess, this is the case when "interpreting" is closer to the truth than the actual speech -- the only "balance" that can be achieved is between desire to outsource for greater profits and outsourcing for greater profits, nothing else can be taken into account.
Instead of trying to throw more hay along the railroad to mitigate the trainwrecks, it's better to prevent them in the first place. There is no "free market" mechanism that makes outsourcing (that involves additional logistics) cheaper than domestic production, the only mechanisms that cause this are ones that come from international trade being screwed up through the use of dollar as international currency. I have mentioned this before, and it's still the same -- US exploited its ability to issue and throw dollars abroad for the last half a century. If it's not clear yet, I hope, it's easy to see: if when some Chinese or Indian (or Saudi) makes a product, then automatically some American bank/company/government/group-of-rich-people gets from Federal Reserve some "free" newly-issued money sufficient to buy it (after all, the amount of money corresponds to the amount of products), something in this system is extremely screwy, and it encourages companies to throw money abroad until the countries outside US are paved with dollars (by then, obviously minted/printed in China). It's economy that is based on a single historical accident, a loophole, and unless a real, stable base will be placed under it before it will collapse, the companies will just milk it until everyone, inside or outside US (of course, with the exception of various oligarchies), will be sucked dry.
It's a reality that people are more or less the same everywhere, and that the activity that is at most 40-50 years old, and does not heavily depend on traditions other than general knowledge of math and physics, can be equally performed by people of any nation, in any place on Earth. Americans expected that by some miracle they will always have an advantage, and, not surprisingly, miracle didn't happen. People who repeat again and again that the quality of foreign engineers is worse, probably didn't look recently enough, what is already outsourced. Of course, first thing that was outsourced was cheap, trivial shit, that any monkey can make. This is not because foreigners have inferior intellect and better tolerance for grunt work, it's because this kind of work is the most predictable, and therefore imposes less risks, less difficulty with evaluation and quality control, and allows for low but stable profit margins. However companies quickly discovered that the nature of all work, unless it's a kind of "service" that (for now) requires personal presence in front of the customer, does not fundamentally depend on the location or nationality of the worker once the the worker overcame the language barrier -- be it car assembly, microchips production, writing in VB, sophisticated applications programming, Linux kernel development, financial planning, writing movie scripts, or development of new concepts in philosophy. And they act accordingly, taking this into account, and trying to exploit "free money"/"products osmosis" mentioned above in all those areas. They, as opposed to you, are well aware of financial mechanisms even if no one there admits that what they are doing amounts to trivial scams based around currency.
Contrary to the popular belief, there indeed is no God.
my 2 cent's worth
with the TCPIP stack, the moment we unwrite the tcpip stack, the outsourcing flow can be stopped. forever...
There are some things I'd argue about here, but the key line is "There's absolutely nothing that says that there will always be some new thing for everyone who finds themselves out of a job to do that will give them more than a subsistence wage, if that."
The state where most of the population is making a sustinance wage is stable. Most of the third world is stuck in that mode. The third world has been losing ground for years. For a while, it looked like countries could export their way out of third world status. It worked for Japan. But it doesn't work any more. The "Asian tigers" have all tanked.
At some point, we may have to back off from free trade between countries with widely disparite wage rates. What we may need is a system of import duties which, rather than being designed to protect industries, is designed to compensate for differences in wage rages. I'd suggest that such a system be designed to recover half the wage difference as import duties. Thus, the developed world has to be twice as efficient as the third world to compete. This prevents overprotection of inefficient industries. But countries with very low wage rates lose half their advantage.
What about employers in low-wage countries who pay high wages? They should get a break on import duties. But, to make this enforceable, the employer shouldn't be able to make that claim. Only their employee's union, if any, should be able to claim that the employer is paying high wages. Non-union? No tax break.
Andy Grove "offshore outsourced" himself as he fled communist Hungary for US in 1956.
America CREATED wealth. Get a fucking clue. Wealth is not a limited resource. If it was, civilization wouldn't have grown beyond that of hunting and gathering like primates.
Life is not for the lazy.
Frankly, I am surprised nobody brought this up yet. All of the government, military and national security projects have to be done in the US, period. For some reason people don't seem to be concerned, that stuff that army uses gets made in China or India. Parts of the databases and other projects get to be indirectly outsourced. Do they know who built the server they're going to run it? Did they check every employee of their foreign affiliate to make sure there is no link to terrorism, no time bombs, phone home beakons? Did each and every part got inspected? I doubt it.
Is the certification comprehensive enough to spot parts of the "phone home" subsystem that only works when used with another product? Say evil developer in foreign country installs one piece in Windows 2003 Server, and another in Backup Controller System, which, when combined, results in periodical attempts to contact some external server? I know it sounds paranoid, but I always thought that military and government have to be.
And as soon as all of those nice and lucrative contracts will start to vanish from companies, involved in outsourcing in any way, the tax dollars spent on those systems will remain here, rather than increase trade balance gap.
You want foreign workers, bring them here, let them work.
Hyperom.com
It's a losing battle trying to stop outsourcing of hi-tech jobs. What's the difference between outsourcing programming jobs and outsourcing textile manufacturing jobs? None, zip, nada. There's no difference.
For those business people, it just make business sense. Whether this is right or wrong, it all depends on where you live. You are in a place where the jobs are gone, that may be wrong. OTOH, if you are in a place where the jobs have just moved to, that might be right (I said "might", not all jobs are good, I don't want those polluting industries in my backyard, even if they pay the same salary as in the US).
As usual, people will complain and moan when outsourcing starts to affect their beloved industries. And they start to propose legislation or subsidies (not necessary monetary) to stop it, while happily ignoring history and forgetting the fact they used to support outsourcing of other low-tech industries before.
Now, people have basically settled with the fact that textile and apparel jobs won't be back to North America (US & Canada) anymore, except some very specialized ones.
But 15 years, people were still fighting that really hard (some are still fighting to keep those jobs, mind you), using all means possible, including legilsation, subsidies, import quota, etc. Not surprisingly, none of these works, and it costs North America dearly. When I took my management and economics classes, I've read 3 independent studies which all concluded the same thing: it costs between $240K to $300K per year to keep one job in the apparel industry in North America. It would be much cheaper to give $50K per year to each apparel industry worker to go home and sit there and do nothing, and I'm sure they would be much happier too, as $50K/year is double of the average salary of the worker at that time.
(I'm too lazy to go searching for those studies, but google will certainly help you.)
And then, the steel industries, and the automobile industry, and then software industry. So, what are you gonna do? Trade barrier is not a solution.
It's getting long and I'm not going to discuss about why we need free trade (yes, free without those stupid barriers!). If you want to know, go to read the history of what happened before the last world war, which led to the war eventually.
can use a PC. We consume 50% or whatever amount of the world's wealth because we created it. We are the nation that showed the world how to industrialize, discovered electricity, invented the internet, computers, big corporations, affordable cars, etc. There wasn't a big pile of gold lying around and America came and stole it from the rest of the world like you seem to think. The rest of the world has historically had excessive regulations, taxes, and structures that make doing business in each nation very tuff. Our founding fathers had the foresight to create a nation with limited government and limit regulations that helped grow our businesses and create our wealth. Unfortunately the liberals and some republicans in congress are taking that advantage away from us and so companies are looking overseas to get at the cheaper labor, less regulation, lower taxes, and lower threat of litigation.
Zed: We've all been used and reused... ...and abused... ...and amused!
Friend:
Arthur:
Anyone know of any good science fiction or speculative non-fiction that deals in detail with what such a move towards economic equilibrium might look like in this country, say 20 years out?
Sorry. But I do know a book detailing the opposite, although, well. Read it yourself. Rand, Ayn: Atlas Shrugged.
Anyhow, I think that the *actual* costs of overseas labor are going to start getting serious press soon as well, so hopefully that'll discourage the flava-of-the-month pointy hairs from shipping our work overseas, but I want a backup plan in case....
Outsource companies in India talk about how they cost only 20% of what US-based companies pay for software development. But, actual costs are closer to 80%. If anybody in your company starts talking about outsourcing, give them some hints from somebody who has been to India, and seen what it is like: Think Twice, and Don't Do It!
It takes a while to bring the Indian developers up to speed on the problem domain. It is one thing to know how to make software, but another to know how to make software to solve specific problems. It can take a year or more to transfer that knowledge for complex projects. So, during that time, US-Corp is paying for both its own developers, and the over seas developers. And they have to pay to bring those people over here or over there for training.
Many outsource companies have been known to get contracts to write software, and then go out and hire a dozen people. (Of course, they said up front to potential customers that they had the skills and resources.) I have met many really smart software designers and coders from India, but I have also met many whose only experience is that they read a book called: "Teach Yourself VB in 21 Days!" When you hire somebody for your own company, you can ask tough interview questions to determine the person's skill level. But, when you outsource to anywhere, even in the US, you might not get a chance to learn the skill level of whoever touches the source code. Sure, the company might let you talk to their smartest guys, but you won't know who is writing your source code the next day.
Will you ever get a chance to bring the code home? Maybe. Maybe not. Check your contract with the outsource company before you sign it. Even if they do share the source code with you, they may not want you to touch it yourself. Doing that can invalidate the contract and you have to pay their fees for breaking the contract. And too many PHB's think there is no need to bring the code home, if it can all be done over there. Try talking to a PHB who says: "All we need is the product, not any source code."
In many parts of India, basic utility infrastructure is just not up to American standards. This includes somewhat modern cities like Bangalore and Hyderabad where a lot of software is made. When I was in India, the power just simply went out occasionally. Sections of the city lost power for a few minutes or few hours. People got used to it.
One US corporate executive (won't say who) went over there to interview several companies for offshore software development. The lights went out 4 times during the first hour of the interview. The hosts politely explained that they have battery backups and use laptops with spare batteries. Needless to say, the exec was just not impressed. There was no deal.
I was riding in a taxi (one of those cute little "Amby" cars) and got stopped in one of those traffic jams that occur every few minutes. (Nobody obeys traffic rules consistently there, so traffic jams are just part of the overall experience.) People got used to it. Well, while waiting, I asked the driver about this unfinished bridge that partly crossed the highway. It looked like a highway entrance ramp where the lower part was about 10 feet up, then went for 50 feet, and the upper end just ended in an abrupt dropoff. No road connected to it, although if you extended it, the lower end would intersect the street eventually. It had been there a few years, with graffiti and chipped concrete. Was definately not new construction that had temporarily stopped.
The taxi driver said the city wanted to relieve traffic jams, and decided to make connection from this street over to another street a couple of kilometers away. The connection would be raised t
I don't want to innovate if someone else uses it against me.
I don't want to exploit labor.
I just want some stable long term non-abusive work for food and shelter.
I live in New Zealand and work (embedded firmware etc) for a company owned by an American corporation. My salary + overheads are a third of what it costs to put an American behind a desk to do the same job. OK, we're not talking complete sweatshop, but the basic principle is there.
It is easy to say that the American engineer is getting screwed becasue he can't get a job. In many ways, the NZ economy is also getting screwed (at least in the short term) because my skills are going into building the American corporation rather than some New Zealand company.
In reality I think we're only seeing the thin end of the wedge. Countries like China, India etc have the potential to become stronger and stronger. As these countries get upskilled in all areas (manufacturing and engineering), the value added that comes from America is diminished. What's left for the American corporation to do? Marketing. How long before marketing etc also get commoditised and go offshore along with service organisations (tech support etc which already have)? Eventually there are likely to be full Chinese etc corporations with the capability to do everything better and cheaper. Where to then?
Bottom line: American corporations are so driven by quarter-by-quarter profits that they do not invest in the future. This will fail not only those corporations, but the economy on which they're based.
Engineering is the art of compromise.
You currently have a massive budget deficit. You are effectively living with money loaned to you by other countries.
USA Today article.
- it ignores International Crime Court thinking that US court is enough;
- it invades other countries ignoring what other world leaders are saying;
- it blocks whenever possible UN work and all UN Security Council resolutions;
- it makes a pressure on Australian and Asian goverments when they decide to abandon Microsoft;
- it ignores global environmental efforts (Kyoto) saying that US will come with their own solution on their own;
OK. Fine. If it's global then let it be global. Including protecting globally the human AND political rights. And of course sharing globally the right to vote for US president (Invade Iraq? Let them come to US elections then!). Basically, distributing the US Constitution globally as well (it's not perfect, but better than 99% of local laws outside of US anyway).Less is more !
The good Indian developers are already in the US or Europe or Australia, that's why most of those still in India are only capable of producing crap.
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There is inferior bacteria on the interior of your posterior.
Actually, that behavior is very characteristic of real-world capitalism. Anyone who's worked in corporate America for a few years can tell horror stories of management wilfully ignoring the long-term issues for immediate gain. And using the phrase "factory owner" is a bit misleading. Factories worth calling factories are generally owned by corporations. That means the decision-makers are not much different from Soviet bureaucrats.
When public utilities are privatized, the result is frequently the lack of maintenance you described. Here in the US we have many efficiently-run public utilities. The Los Angeles Department of Water and Power, a public utility, has done much better than its competitor, Southern California Edison, a private utility.
I remember reading of a public electric utility in England that was sold to an American company. The company immediately started laying off maintenance workers and boasted of their "efficiency improvement." Predictably, they were soon experiencing outages.
Capitalist or socialist enterprises can succeed or fail, depending largely on the people running them. But some kind of disease is quickening within capitalism these days, some combination of twisting, evasion, fraudulent lobbying and lawsuits, willingness to sacrifice all truth and ethics for profit. I think western capitalism is approaching the toxicity of Stalinist communism.
Outsource management activities. For all most managers know about what is actually happening inside their companies they might as well be in India or China.
The beautiful thing about outsourcing management is that any idiot thinks they can manage and most who manage are as interchangable as vacuum cleaners.
Witness the use of Copellas who went form Compaq to MCI, two companies that essentially produce two completely different product with completely different customers.
Why would any shareholder allow some inexperience yahoo a shot at their company when they wouldn't take their car to their plumber to get it fixed?
Beware the wood elf!!!
It only took someone to which everyone will listen to for this to be "heard".
It amazes me everday when people go blindly to work, not realizing that in 5-6 years, they will not have a job because SAHIB in India works for 1/10th the cost and has 1/16th of the cost of living that we do here in the states.
Another thing that really drives me nuts, we have all these workers for which companies need to have from OUTSIDE the U.S. because the labor force here doesn't have enough skilled people to do the work. This is complete and udder BS.
There are alot of non-U.S citizens working here because our GOVERNMENT let them because corporations WHINED about it. Now, we have like 7-8 percent Unemployment. Take out all the non-U.S workers, and we have NO UNEMPLOYMENT!!!!! Amazing how that works, eh?
I could buy a boat and go there myself if I liked. No-one would question why I was buying the boat in the first place...
The freedom to do anything, including ignoring inconvenient laws, is inherently American. Ask anyone here how fast they drive on the roads.
"3. Parents always had choices. Wealthy parents have always sent their kids off to private schools. The voucher system would only hurt the poor and the middle class as it will take money away from the public schools but not give enough for them to actually go to a good private school."
Other countries implement school choice without vouchers. Instead, the public schools have the prospective students apply for entry, looking at various criteria which may include entrance tests, interviews, and transcripts from previous schools -- just like you do when you apply to college. Sure, if a kid isn't too bright s/he'll end up being forced into one of the schools that nobody else wants to go to, but at least it's based primarily on merit instead of the wealth of their parents, and it's better than being forced to go to a crappy school just because you live on the same street as it. It also raises the overall quality of just about all the schools, because students compete to get into the best schools and schools compete to attract the best students.
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There is inferior bacteria on the interior of your posterior.
People will soon start to getting medical services offshore. I went to my dentist last week to get an estimate on how much it will cost me to get 2 implants installed and the guy quoted me $5.5K. It's $5.5K for two tiny incisions in my mouth and 40 minutes of drilling my jawbone and stitching (then I have to shell out $2K more for the actual crowns). The same shit done in Russia (INCLUDING the roundtrip) would cost me $2600. Everything is the same, implants, equipment, medications - everything but the doctor's appetite for my money.
I'm actively looking for something closer than Russia (where I'm from myself) though. I'll take a good look at Canada or have this stuff done in another state. I just feel a significant disproportion in incomes. I make $20 an hour, and this guy makes $5.5K an hour.
I used to work in the IT dept. at Andy's old company. It was pretty brutally slashed, with jobs going to India. These layoffs were "hidden" from local communities to lessen the impact of panic from realtors and govt. officials from a loss of home price values and taxes. Hospitals in the area were unaware of the cutbacks, when they came in based on Intel growth. I'm not saying they're owed growth, but steps were taken to minimize exposure of layoffs to the community, and it was hidden from total company employee numbers by hiring going on overseas.
I also know people who were being asked to train their replacements overseas, and once completed, were to lay off people in the hundreds.
The fact remains that while Andy is "Torn" between stopping it and retaining shareholder value, nobody really cares as long as a profit is shown and stocks go up. Questions were asked of his successor at campus meetings about this, and he danced his way out of saying that jobs were flowing overseas... but it was obvious. Mr. Barrett recently came out and blatantly stated that Intel is expanding heavily overseas in efforts to cut costs.
Again, stocks are rising... who really cares?
I'm employed now, but during this wave of layoffs, approx. half targeted were longtime employees who were presumably making the most money.
I don't have much animosity personally towards Intel. They drive their people really hard, and this will come back to bite them as the economy improves and good people leave in droves. I personally am glad to be free of the hard-driving tactics of work there. And I've met people who were dying to be laid off just so they could retain unemployment benefits - which they're not eligible for if they ask to quit. In this economy, there's little for them to turn to right now.
But the time will come.... They'll bail.
Make it illegal to pay any offshore developer less than a what an equivalent developer in the U.S would get paid.
That way, the vast majority of workers hired would be from the U.S. and the only offsore developers hired would be those which are truly needed -- which is what H1B and similar programs were originally intended for.
And, of course, stiff penalties/fines for head-hunters who play games with making up skillsets to weed out perfectly qualified U.S. workers to hire offshore workers who don't even meet those skillsets themselves.
The Open Source promoters don't realize that, when they give away their code, they are giving away themselves. If people have your code, they don't need you. Sorry, but its true. Not only are you giving away your work directly, you are giving away the knowledge it took you months or years to acquire. People stydying your code are able to avoid the long learning curve you put in. If you are working at a company, making your code friendly (good variable names, lots of comments) you are just making it easier for the company to get rid of you. I know someone will say, "If I was your manager I'd fire you". and that's exactly the point. It's the managers who are outsourcing all this stuff. Sure they'd love to get rid of all the people who DEVELOPED this industry and turn it over to cheap grunts in 3rd world nations. I am an American who has to manage a team of Russians in Russia (no choice my company ordered me to do it). The code is uniformly bad and most of it is simply downloading various pieces of open source and adpating it to our use. Half of the code needs to be rewritten not once, but several times. Suits like dollar values, they are certain. They don't know the price they are paying in missed deadlines and bad quality. Those items are not as quantifiable.People whine and complain about even the best software so it's hard to see whether quality really matters or not. If you want to stop this glut of low paid grunts from taking your jobs, stop giving away your code as "open source" and stop making yourself EASY to get rid of. It's simple.I guess people in the US and Northern Europe have had it easy for so long they have forgotten some simple lessons in basic survival.
The bitter end of outsourcing
9/25/2003 5:00:00 PM - There comes a limit to what you can farm out
by Shane Schick
Cost savings? What cost savings?
At every Conference Board of Canada event, it is customary that the chair offers a recap of each day's presentations the following morning. On Day 2 of this week's Business Process Outsourcing event those responsibilities fell to Blake Hanna, a partner with Accenture in Toronto, who tried to whittle down a series of presentations into a few bullet points. When he was finished he asked the audience if any key issues hadn't been addressed so far. A hand went up.
"I didn't get the impression anyone was saving any money," one guy said.
This was a great comment, because it went straight to the heart of why many people had probably registered for this conference. The best response came from one of the previous day's presenters, Scotia Group vice-president of strategic sourcing Linda Tuck Chapman, who said many enterprises say they expect cost savings of 30 per cent or more from outsourcing. "I don't know where these comments come from," she said. "Sometimes we've managed to see savings of 10 per cent or a little bit more, but it's usually been much more about the value (outsourcing) brings to the company."
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If you aren't a PHM, you should know that hourly rate isn't the only cost involved in outsourcing. It may not even be the most important. Infrastructure costs. Remember, part of why it's cheaper is that the infrastructure isn't all there. Third World phone lines. Electricity that works sometimes. How big are your outsourcer's generators? Oversight costs. Costs of analyzing your processes well enough to allow exporting them.
Plus, if you didn't adequately spec what you're paying for, for any reason, you're hosed when you get the products back, there may not have been money to do it right but there will be money to do it over. Or the company dies right there.
So why do this? Part of it is... PHMs look at labor costs and don't look any further. Part is... if one is planning to cook the books to reflect a profit that really isn't there, if you can talk about savings from outsourcing, people won't look too hard for further explanations.
Tech Public Policy stuff
I am indeed expecting a shakeout. However, I don't expect the jobs to return to America as a result, I'm expecting most companies either to go terminal or go completely overseas.
Tech Public Policy stuff
Mayson (who wrote his first programs back in '63 on a NASA computer (well, actually I wrote them on a coding pad, but they ran on the 7094)).
However, I believe in equal pay for equal work, and outsourcing to India and China doesn't do that. We're taking advantage of lower standards of living. We can't just pay more without disrupting the hell out of their economies (which would be fairly evil of us, I think). We need a tarriff placed on foriegn labour designed to compensate for differences in standards of living - an American company manufacturing goods for sale to Americans should have to support the American standard of living.
By sending labour of ANY sort overseas, but expecting to sell back home, companies are behaving like citizens who don't pay their taxes - they are expecting to reap the benefits of the home economy without paying their fair share to support it.
Reading these comments has given me an idea. I should learn Hindi and then move to India and offer my services as management to American companies looking to establish outsourced ventures there. As a dual-language non-native I'd have at least a couple of advantages:
First; I'd be able to easily communicate with my American-based masters and effectively (if not gracefully) communicate with my Indian subordinates. Knowing how to handle myself with American-style corporate etiquette would be quite the edge.
Second; as a non-native, I would not be bound by India's archaic caste system, bypassing the troubles that arise from having to staff a facility by castes. I would, in effect, be a "vertical" management layer able to deal with any employee as necessary, regardless of their caste (I'd have to forgo any extra-curricular socializing if I did this however. Indians are still very bound by the caste system, and while they may listen to me at work because I'm the boss, they would not associate with me elsewhere if I interact with other castes).
Finally, even if I asked for only 1/2 of what your typical project manager makes here in the U.S., I'd still be making more than I do in my current job. Additionally, the cost of living in India is purportedly dirt cheap. I could live like a king and still have some money to put away. I've never been to India, but I can't imagine it being too far away from China as far as standards of living are concerned. If that's the case then I know I can find suitable accomodations.
The only snag I see in the plan is that India might have a problem with allowing me to work as an IT/S manager there. If I can pass that hurdle though, then this just might be a plan!
2: at some distance from the shore; "offshore oil reserves";
Most Americans don't know that there is land west of California or east of New York.
When all you have is a hammer, every problem starts to look like a thumb.
And don't forget to register as a Muslim. If you do, you can have FIVE WIVES. (Don't bring your wife if you are already married. Should be no problem as most American women are squeamish and don't like smelly foreigners anyway). Get some of those nubile, 13 year old wenches that the parents can't afford and build your own Harem!!!! How sweet it is!
Countries like India and China can provide technology services cheap not because they produce more efficiently per se, but because labor costs in those countries are artificially held down as a result of the labor supply not being able to cross borders with the same legal freedom as the work products of the labor supply. If Indian programmers and technologists had the freedom to work in developed parts of the world like Europe, Japan, and the USA, there is no way the Indian employers would be able to hold down salaries to $500/month.
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There is inferior bacteria on the interior of your posterior.
Well, even if they did that wouldn't be a problem become Indian is a Native American Language :)
I agree. Posts like these makes me think there is still sense in the world.
English major, huh?
Talk to a linguist. Currently, offshore with regard to jobs means any job filled by workers not in the company's home nation.
HINT: Language evolves.
and how he's causing US to lose edge in technology by making sure his co's mediocre products prevail over vastly superior competition by using anti-competitive and unethical tactics ?
I guess not.
For various reasons I've been to the "urgent care" clinic a few times in the past couple of years. Usually it was because the ailment was too trivial to deal with the appointment/timeoff process with my regular doctor.
Each time I've been there, I've been treated by a doctor who was foreign born and in one case, had been in the US less than a year (I asked). One doctor was from Egypt and the other was from Romania. Both appeared to be what I'd call "awkwardly competant" -- they treated my ailments, but their whole interaction with me was really odd. It wasn't exactly confidence inspiring, and was markedly different from the experience I've had with foreign doctors when I've been at the University Hospital.
Anyway, this urgent care clinic is part of a corporation, and urgent care medicine is a lot of schlock work (colds, cuts, burns, etc) at bad hours that a lot of doctors don't like to do...for less than a 'normal' salary of $150-200k.
So why not start a program of importing doctors from overseas? And I think that's exactly what they've done. And it wouldn't surprise me with the cost pressure on the medical system in the US if this didn't become a lot more common, with the lower end of the medical practice getting filled with foreign doctors.
The biggest aspect of corporate hypocracy is the continuation of import barriers in the US due to "unfair trade practices".
If its so fucking cheap to send my job to $developing_nation, at least give me the benefit of buying whatever I want from overseas and not having to have it tarrifed to infinity. If they can do my job as good and cheaper, they certainly can provide goods better and cheaper.
And I'm also curious where the downward pressure on executive salary and benefits packages is? Sure, clear out 100 IT workers whose gross cost is maybe $12 million, but make sure the top 5 exectives clear $100 million in salary and bonuses and other perks?
There really is a "capitalism for the worker, socialism for management" mentality.
Why is it the Government's job to "...restore balance between the need for profits and the lure of offshore outsourcing"? Those sound like business issues, not governance issues.
FWIW, I don't see a very fine line between profit-taking and being obscene gluttons - it's more like a mile-wide gulf.
C|N>K
The fact is that most IT jobs are commodities: system administration, building web pages, support, most programming (visual basic, etc) and the like can be done by anyone. The only solution is to innovate, become more efficient and smarter in how you do things.
In India, $6,000(U.S) per year is good pay for an experienced software engineer. Office space leases for about $25 per square foot per year in Northern Virginia -- home of many high-tech companies on the east coast. That means that it probably costs more to lease the space (cubicle, lab space, common areas, etc.) needed for a U.S. software engineer than to pay an Indian software engineer for a year.
When a company can get labor for less than the cost to provide you a cubicle, it does you no good to "become more efficient and smarter in how you do things." You can be as efficient, and smart as you like, but you simply aren't going to out-produce the ten or more off-shore workers that could be paid for what you cost your company.
Such "work smarter" bullspeak might make the speaker feel better and like he has some control over the situation, but it's got little to do with economic reality in this marketplace.
You're assuming that the Mexicans would price their cell service so much lower than the Americans that it would provide a meaningful savings differential. This wouldn't happen.
The Mexicans would price their service only marginally lower than American service, but the margin would be negligible, and would not provide meaningful economic benefit to the rest of the economy.
Furthermore, presuming their service was priced low enough to steal signficant customers, the American companies would likely end up merging or consolidating to cut costs and gain economies of scale to remain competitive.
Even if the Mexican service was constantly priced low enough to ultimately take all the subscribers and drive the American companies out of business, as soon as the Mexicans had no competition they would have every incentive to raise prices, since there's no alternative (technology or vendor), and the market has already determined people are willing to pay the original, pre-Mexican service pricing for cell phones.
In the end, you lose some or all of the American jobs, and the savings to consumers is to small to have any meaningful effect on the rest of the economy.
...on this subject had a quote from some McKinsey study that said 2/3rds of the savings flow back to the US in the form of cheaper goods and "fatter corporate profits which would be used for innvoate businesses in the US."
...which is really the worst trend; economically, a smaller and smaller number of people gain more and more benefit by squeezing a larger and larger number of people.
Why is it the assumption that fatter corporate profits means anything for anyone but corporate executives? Even if they develop innovative new businesses, these businesses almost always are strutured around a small number of high paying marketing and management jobs, and a large number of low-paying jobs.
That's how management sees it. It doesn't see
software as a core competency or something that
can be use as an advantage to get more customers.
Such "work smarter" bullspeak might make the speaker feel better and like he has some control over the situation, but it's got little to do with economic reality in this marketplace.
I love how every reply to pro-free trade posts on this subject have some sort of ad-hominem attack within. It speaks loudly about what most people feel about this topic: Gimmie mine and fuck every one else.
You think that working smarter and more efficient means competing on price? This is why your jobs are going overseas. You have no clue how to respond to the challenge. You have no imagination or creativity and your ability only extends to what you've done a thousand times before.
It's pretty simple: No-one want's to buy what you're offering "in this market place". You have to offer something different or qualitatively better. This "bullspeak" is called "logic" and is pretty inescapable.
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When figuring the cost "savings" of outsourcing, you have to include all the ancillary expenses such as insurance, worker's comp (a big issue in California right now), environmental laws, and a horde of other regulations. I don't understand how more government regulation can fix a problem that is being caused by government regulation.
When you consider what is going to happen when the costs of social security and mediscare rise in response to the coming wave of retirements, your "perfect storm" looks like a dust devil. I've read reports that estimate an income tax increase of 95% and a social security tax increase of 65% on all workers. I can't afford anything *now*, I don't see how I will be able to live when the government starts confiscating somewhere around 80% of my income.
Speaking of perfect storms, if you consider the monetary policy of the US, which is inflate, inflate, inflate, then consider how much the government spends on say *making war*, and how impossible it will be for the Pentagon statists to accept a budget cut of somewhere around $100B, you can quickly see that America is headed over a cliff. Unless there is a sea change away from statism and greedy welfare/warfare state politics, it's over. It's only a matter of time because you can't beat mathematics.
My conclusion: This great experiment in liberty is almost finished.
Speak out all you want, but the fact is, our current administration isn't focused enough on issues here in the USA to take any action what-so-ever.
It appears we are too concerned with making the rest of the world love us right now. You know, the whole liberation of Iraq, and all.
So Americans wants $2billion worth of IT services. Well, the world doesn't owe America a living. If Americans want $2billion worth of IT services they are going to have to work for it. Either they can do it themselves, or they can do other work, making jet planes, medicines, semiconductors, cars, etc, to the earn the $2billion and buy the IT services from abroad. There is $2billion work of work to be done in America either way.
Ah, but what if outsourcing saves money? What if Americans do $2billion worth of other work, but get to buy their IT services for $1billion? Well, they get to keep the other $1billion, all those jet planes, medicines, etc stay in the USA. Getting stuff cheap makes you better off!
Bastiat explained all this very nicely 150 years ago, but human ignorance is invincible.
Children who have been born into the caste of software developer are forbidden by religious law from taking other employment, so have only a life time of destitution to look forward to. I guess out sourcing sucks for them.
I love how every reply to pro-free trade posts on this subject have some sort of ad-hominem attack within.
Learn what the term "ad hominem" means before using it. An ad hominem attack is one in which a claim or argument is rejected on the basis of some irrelevant fact about the person presenting the claim or argument. I did not dismiss the argument and, instead, answered it with facts, figures, and logic. I never suggested that it be ignored because of some irrelevent fact about its author and I challenge you to defend your accusation that I did.
And, yes, I am against unrestrained free trade. It doesn't work. Example: We put laws in place to protect the environment and U.S. firms move manufacturing jobs to other countries where pollution laws are lax or non-existent. When people as smart as Andy Grove are saying that something has to be done, that should give you a clue.
It speaks loudly about what most people feel about this topic: Gimmie mine and fuck every one else.
Correct. I want to put food on my table, pay my mortgage, have a nice car, boat, lifestyle, and eventually, retirement. Fuck the guy in India who wants my job. You capitalist bastards think companies should only be concerned with maximizing profits but that workers who are only concerned about maximizing their wages are somehow evil. Explain that logic to me.
You think that working smarter and more efficient means competing on price?
"Working smarter and more efficient(ly)" means getting the job done faster and/or for a lower cost. That's the whole concept behind efficiency.
This is why your jobs are going overseas. You have no clue how to respond to the challenge. You have no imagination or creativity and your ability only extends to what you've done a thousand times before.
Try putting some meat behind that argument. Just what is the typical software engineer supposed to do that will make up for a 20/1 cost ratio between himself and his Indian counterparts? What about the guy who answers tech support calls for HP inkjet printers? How is he supposed to use "imagination or creativity" to keep his job when someone in India will do it for a fraction of the price? How is the guy who assembles computers for Dell supposed to make it worthwhile for Dell to keep him employed rather than sending the assembly work overseas? Is he supposed to assemble 20 systems in the same time that his overseas counterpart assembles one?
Stop making vague insults and stick to debating the issues.
But a corporation is owned by millions of disintered and unaccountable stockholders. There is no sense of family. Employees are resources at best, liabilities at worst...
In response to the parent post, I'm all for the free market. If the free market truly says that IT jobs should go to India, then so be it. But as long as corporations are artificial entities created by governments, it's not a free market.
This hatred of corporations never ceases to amaze me. As you have indicated, a corporation is just a way of instantiating a business model, but there are myriad such instantiations:
and probably about a gazillion others I don't know about. Why people choose to hate C-Corporations is beyond me, especially when they can go down to their local Charles Schwab dealership and become owners of those very same C-Corporations in all of about 5 minutes.Two things about these big corporations, however: Yes, many of them treat their employees very, very badly. Or, perhaps I should say: Many of them treat loose cannons very, very badly. The employees who keep their mouths shut and do as they are told are generally treated very well. But if you're a loose cannon, you don't want to spend your life as an employee anyway [employment being a polite euphemism for slavery] - you want to get out and start your own company.
The other thing about these large C-Corporations is that many of them are very poorly managed, and are doomed to disappear within a generation or so. If you examine the corporations that were listed on the NYSE at the turn of the last century, you will find that only one or two [General Electric, and I believe the remnants of Standard Oil] are still extant in any recognizable form. The rest have disappeared into thin air.
You need look no further than our own industry for barometers: DEC, once the industry's second largest player [as recently as maybe 1980-1985] was subsumed into Compaq, which in turn was subsumed into Hewlett-Packard. Motorola, the bellweather of the American high-tech industry [as recently as maybe 1990], made disastrous bets on the Iridium satellite infrastructure, and on analog [not digital] cell phone technology, and now appears poised to disappear from the face of the earth. Dittoes to Global Crossing, Qwest, Sun, AT&T/Lucent/Avaya, Northern Telecom/Nortel, SGI, Novell, Be, Commodore, Word Perfect/Corel, and a whole host of companies too numerous to mention.
As we speak, Microsoft is the C-Corporation that everyone loves to hate, but, in time, Gates and Ballmer will fade from the scene, and they will be replaced by a committee of career bureaucrats who will likely drive that great company into oblivion. Just look at what happened to Intel with the Itanic debacle - their flagship product was designed by committee [50% Intel & 50% HP], which meant that its specs evolved to offend no one, rather than evolving to do that which a product must do to survive in a free market: please enough customers to justify its existence. The project went years and possibly billions of dollars over budget, and the result is a chip that no one wants to design a C++-compiler for, much less an operating system or a server architecture. If tiny AMD plays their cards right, they could eat Intel for lunch in the 64-bit arena.
My advice: If you see one of these C-Corporations out-sourcing the guts of their business, it tends to imply that they were never adding any value in the first place, and my advice would be: Sell, Sell, Sell! Or, if you're a gambler: Short, Short, Short!
If a company really is adding value, they will do just about anything to hold onto their talent.
I agree with this post.
At the moment the IT sector in India is going through massive wage inflation, it's worthwhile outsourcing on a cost basis at the moment but in 3-5 years it's not going to be nearly as cut and dried.
The wage inflation strengthens the local economy, pushes up local demand, pushes up costs and strenghtens the currency, this will dramatically reduce the cost differential with western countries.
The Indian offshoring companies like Infosys are already desperately trying to move upmarket into business consultancy. The same will be true in China as well.
Course, the market's now much larger, more competitive, developers are never going to earn what they have till now and America is going to have to start getting used to treating developing countries like China and India on a more equal basis.
Government of the people, by corporate executives, for corporate profits.
They are a good example of why people hate big corps.
They are in the process of laying off 1000's to increase profits, yet they can afford to spend 70,000,000 USD on two new Gulfstream 5's to fly their exec around in.
See this article and related comments on how your idea does not apparently pan out right now. But I'm sure you're not alone.
Learn what the term "ad hominem" means before using it.
Sorry, you can't make up your own definitions for words to support your argument. Ad hominem is an attack on the speaker instead of the argument. Literally it means "against the man".
The rest of your reply just reinforces the points I made. You still don't get it. I fear for America's future if you represent its youth.
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So when a lot of jobs are moved overseas to people making half what Americans make, who is buying all the items that keep the economy here going? I can't believe Washington is that short sighted as well as the multinationals. You don't increase your potential market buy shrinking the available purchasers unless you really do plan to have the top 1% be the economy.
"FYI, Indian companies already outsource to China, today. China, Eastern Europe/Russia, Vietnam, Mexico, etc. In fact, so called "daisy-chaining," where an Indian company gets a US contract due to its relationships and reputation, and promptly outsources it elsewhere, is the new buzzword. Computerworld calls this 'a trend to watch.'"
... the product that they built for us was a "mangled" version of Jakarta and included "stolen" code from a competitors product (that they also built).
Why is "daisy-chaining" happening? If a company outsources to an Indian company and they know that it is going to be outsourced yet again, then why would the original company not just go directly to the company that does the work? Cut out the middle man?
Also, the threat of piracy is real. The company I work for used a "reputable" Indian company to build one of our products. When we turned over our source to Sun to pass the "100% Java" certification (this was a few years ago) guess what we found out
When a company outsources it work to a 3rd party, they risk getting bypassed in the process. Once you open up that can of worms you place your company into the middle-man position. Who likes middle-men? It is very likely that the middle-man will eventually be replaced in a way that benefits everyone but them.
Think!
American hasn't ever supported itself? With the exception of Oil what is it we actually NEED instead of prefer to get from other countries?
Its not food. We make enough of that for ourselves.
Its not chips, we just like to pay other countries to make them for less.
What exactly do we not make ourselves that we really NEED to continue functioning as a nation?
Mac OS X and Windows XP working side by side to fight back the night.
The shareholders own the company. The fact that such a poster was allowed to be posted in the workplace suggests they were either asleep at the wheel or didn't care. But make no mistake, if you don't own something then you can't put the people who DO own it last. Thats just plain retarded.
If you want to put customers and employees first thats fine. Just found your own business and do it with your own money.
Mac OS X and Windows XP working side by side to fight back the night.
To eliminate some combinations that are impossible, we first consider whether we can eliminate offshoring. Offshoring occurs from the moment that Americans engage in trade with any foreign country. For example, if we buy apples grown in Thailand, then we are engaging in offshoring because the foreign labor grew those apples. Can we eliminate foreign trade? No.
The stickier question is whether offshoring eliminates jobs. According to the "The misery of manufacturing", "The Economist" says, "No." The USA is a big market, and manufacturers locate engineering and design centers in the market in which they have a significant presence. For example, Hyundai is now building a factory and design center in the USA, according to "Speed Kills" by "Forbes".
Therefore, we cannot eliminate offshoring, and it is neither bad nor good. It is neutral. We are left with only option #3 (offshoring and no H-1B/L-1 employment) and option #4 (offshoring and H-1B/L-1 employment).
Can we eliminate H-1B/L-1 employment? Absolutely yes. Since companies can offshore their R&D work, they can build an R&D center in India and hire all the engineers that they claim to need. Each engineer hired in India will cost only 1/10 of the cost of an H-1B/L-1 engineer.
Supporters of H-1B/L-1 employment say that an Indian employed as an H-1B worker in the USA will spend his $100,000 salary in the USA, thus creating more jobs. That observation is bogus. If the Indian wants to work for an American company, he should go back to India to work at $5,000 at the American site in Bangalore. The American company will then save $95,000. That money does not simply sit idly in the bank. The American company will re-invest that $95,000 into the domestic facilities and hire an American citizen.
Furthermore, when Hyundai sets up its design center in the USA, the Indian will be in India, and the jobs at the design center will go to American citizens.
In short, option #3 (offshoring but no H-1B/L-1 employment) is the best scenario. In fact, offshoring defeats the strongest bogus argument supporting H-1B/L-1 employment. When a company like Google says that it absolutely needs to hire H-1B/L-1 workers because Americans are not good enough, then we say, "Fine. Set up shop overseas. There is plenty of labor there."
Please read "H-1B Myths". Contact your representative in Washington and tell them to terminate the H-1B/L-1 program. Do not wait for the person sitting at the next computer terminal to do your civic duty. Move your ass. Do the your job.
What are u talking about?? Haven't u heard about the new national highway system that's being implemented? Irs already mostly functional in the south and it really is a big improvement.
And kalam well his achievements are more in indias space program rather than just defence. And if u think that he is merely concerned abput defence expenditure i suggest u read his book about his vision for india 2020. That man is a legend here and nearly unanimously respected by all.
Actually i once met him when i was 11 years old and i remember he was very patient and answered all my questions very seriously. I still remember the explanation he gave for the concept of the hypercraft a space shuttle like spacecraft but which would instead collect oxygen from the atmosphere as it climbed rather than carry it in liquid form. I mean imagine an important man like that actually taking the time to answer a 11 year old's questions, something which u would not normally see.
The govt. receives a lot of flak here u should justread our papers. I can't remember the last time they were actually praised for something (probably for Cancun i think). But their achievements are many, (though their goof ups are pretty bad),only thing they have poor PR (Prime example u hear about our defence expenditure but stuff like roads and infrastructure building hardly gets a mention in any foriegn newspaper let alone indian).
But very importantly they pulled india out of a very bad time. There was instability in the govt. the economy was in dumps general pessimism. Nobody talks about that now. They just take the current stability and economic growth for granted. And the amazing thing is they are actually the most secular govt. till date despite all the issues that have occurred. The only trouble is they wind up getting more bad press than good, because they simply have no concept of PR.
So u see i politely disagree with ur statement that they are hardly ppl to look up too. The fact is that these two are one of the few who really seem to care about the country rather than just filling up their pockets like many others are doing. In fact the BJP is in power only because of Vajpayee. I doubt if anybody would vote for them without him. He is doing a fantastic job in a very diffcult position where there is pressure from all those fanatics and so called secularists.
And frankly speaking With two hostile countries on either side (with one receiving US military aid and the other stealing it) we can't help it we have to spend on defence. WE have lost territory in the past and on betrayal of a trust. In turn I really don't see why the united states should think it is their prime right to spend on defence while other countries should concentrate on development. Lavez votre linge au famille first and don't be hypocritical.
We are a resilient ppl and we are doing pretty well thank u inspite of all the predictions of ur world Bank and IMF. And both the indian press and the american press complement each other well they have only bad things to report about the other country. If u believed half the things our press writes u would start believing that america has gone back to the dark ages or something. In contrast ppl staying there tell me yes there are problems but ppl there are learning to face it and not just look outside at something like terrorism for an excuse to hide from it. That's why i mentioned strong leaders. That's why I respect clinton ; come on he turned ur economy completely around from the mess it was in. If u didn't need leaders u wouldn't have a democracy u will have an anarchy instead.
So don't just believe all that u read in the presses. There has been a lot of trouble yes but after a long time there is hope that we would again become what we once were a very long time ago.
Like i said the ppl we are discussing have not just talked they have delivered concrete results and no not just in defence R&D. But there is a lot to be done, but i think this govt. is doing just fine, and deserves some credit and definitely not so much criticism.
They are a good example of why people hate big corps.
They are in the process of laying off 1000's to increase profits, yet they can afford to spend 70,000,000 USD on two new Gulfstream 5's to fly their exec around in.
And I would counter that you have provided prima facie evidence that HPQ is an extraordinarily poorly managed company which is about to go the way of the dinosaurs.
If you think Carly's a great business talent, then purchase HPQ stock. If, on the other hand, you think she's a shrill, idiotic twit, then SHORT, SHORT, SHORT!!!
PS: Yeah, it's no fun to be an employee stuck between a rock and a hard place, especially when that rock is a management team that doesn't know its ass from a whole in the ground. But, on the other hand, at some point you've got to be responsible for living your own life [or give up on freedom altogether and throw your lot in with the socialists and the tyranny they're peddling]. If you think the ship's gonna sink, then get out while the getting is good.
You can read about Robert Reich's views on offshoring, and he is definately not a Republican.
The US faces a massive current account deficit with the rest of the world. There are three solutions. #1 is to start a massive global trade war, just like before the Great Depression. #2 is to devalue the dollar, leading to massive US inflation.
The third solution is to recognize that some industry will grow in India and China, and that people there will finally be able to afford more American products. 40 million Chinese now have $1000 or more per year to spend on home remnnovation, hello Home Depot China!
this is correct. innovation and great service is what drives business growth. businesses become commodified otherwise. many in this country seem to think that a job is a guaranteed right. or that a good local economy is guaranteed. this takes continual effort. but, what many economies are doing other than using tariffs, is to finance infrastructure and invest in its citizens.
next time you turn down the local school board for a rate increase, or would rather have that tax cut (ooh $300!) so that you can charge the future, remember your job. think globally, act locally!
the technology advance cannot be
dictated by the goverment.
innovation cannot be "bought" but
it can be hindered.
cutting edge is cutting edge and
not "buy-able".
outsourcing is to save money not to
make money. investors and share-holder
now-a-days want to save money not
MAKE money. sorry.
all this outsourcing is "saving" money,
but it's not really continuing. it's another
"lets just keep the status quo".
keep the market like it is, but save
money. -> no growth in 5 years because
no innovation?
the goverment is not creating a
innovation friendly atmosphere because
they plain and simple have no idea.
it's not like in syndicate wars where
you just give the science lab a ton
of money and they'll eventually "invent"
the laser gun.
"oh dear, where did all those pretty fountains go?"
I tried to submit these two essays, but I guess they were rejected [and they'll certainly never see the light of day now that King Andy has made his little pronouncement]:
In 20 years Indian tech companies will be outsourcing work to cheap American labour.
Ideology is for ideots.
No, you can't, but you tried to. Now read the definition on the Nizkor Project web page:
So, it's exactly as I stated and was not, in any way shape or form, descriptive of how I debated. So my challenge to you still stands unanswered: I never suggested that [the other poster's argument] be ignored because of some irrelevent fact about its author and I challenge you to defend your accusation that I did.
Literally it means "against the man".
There is a difference between literal meaning and a translation of Latin. Tyrannosaurus Rex is from the Greek words meaning "tyrant" and "lizard" and the Latin word for "king." But the a Tyrannosaurus Rex is a dinosaur, not a 'tyrant lizard king'.
The rest of your reply just reinforces the points I made.
Bullshit. It did a superb job of refuting your unsubstantiated claims and poking holes in your arguments. You're just too much of an intellectual coward to debate the points and instead sink to personal attacks when you are in over your intellectual depth. See below. (Note: The preceeding was not an ad hominem attack as I did not assert that any of your claims or arguments were wrong because of your intellectual cowardice.)
You still don't get it. I fear for America's future if you represent its youth.
Then you can fear for its 42 year old software engineers with over two decades of professional experience, too, because I am one of them. But since my views are in line with those of Andy Grove, the co-founder and Chairman of Intel, I'm in pretty good company. Maybe it's you who have the distorted views.
Additional questions and points that I made which you owe answers (yes, "owe" -- it's a debate, not a schoolyard brawl):
1. And, yes, I am against unrestrained free trade. It doesn't work. Example: We put laws in place to protect the environment and U.S. firms move manufacturing jobs to other countries where pollution laws are lax or non-existent.
2. You capitalist bastards think companies should only be concerned with maximizing profits but that workers who are only concerned about maximizing their wages are somehow evil. Explain that logic to me.
3. "Working smarter and more efficient(ly)" means getting the job done faster and/or for a lower cost. That's the whole concept behind efficiency.
4. Just what is the typical software engineer supposed to do that will make up for a 20/1 cost ratio between himself and his Indian counterparts?
5. What about the guy who answers tech support calls for HP inkjet printers? How is he supposed to use "imagination or creativity" to keep his job when someone in India will do it for a fraction of the price?
6. How is the guy who assembles computers for Dell supposed to make it worthwhile for Dell to keep him employed rather than sending the assembly work overseas? Is he supposed to assemble 20 systems in the same time that his overseas counterpart assembles one?
Note that the above debate points are numbered to make it harder for you to duck them again. So either answer or concede each one.
I've not had huge amounts of dealings with companies who outsourced to India, but in the few cases I've seen inside of that, *no one* over there was using FSF/GNU stuff. It was all pirated copies of MS, Oracle, CF and other software. In fact, there was one time when I got a misdirected email from one of the offshore people we were trying to work with who stated that if they had to pay full price for all their software for each project they could not compete. I don't believe that entirely, but it would make things look *much* less attractive for many mid-level companies who are looking at offshore stuff as some sort of long-term saviour.
The problem is that we have been bullied and brainwashed into giving up those rights--the unholy collusion the investor class, the media, and the govt has taken away these citizen-owned benefits.
Another benefit of America that we are letting slip through our fingers is the ability we have to control business by virtue of the attractiveness of the huge, easily accessible marketplace we offer. Where else in the world is such a conglomeration of consumer buying power found? We are the 800 lb gorilla of the business world. We can virtually do as we please when it comes to making multinational corporations do our bidding. OF COURSE we can force them to give US the jobs instead of sending them overseas. No one says no to an 800 lb gorilla. But instead we have allowed to investor/management class to cripple us...
eat shiat and bark at the moon
"On the other hand, if i have to have my own insurance for health, unemployment, pension, life, pay for college for the kids etc. etc. i might not be willing to pay more than about 20% tax in total... if you add up all the other stuff, you'll quickly approach the swedish figures again!"
Well I've always believed that a persons fate should be in their own hands. If a person could use pre-tax dollars to fund on their own, things like education, healthcare, retirement, etc[1]? Then that would overall be a good thing, because people could tailor all the above to their own needs. Not the needs of an average group of people. It would also lead to less overall abuse, because people could see were their money is going. We would have much smaller social programs because only the truely needy would be on them. It would also encourage people to be more independent, and more educated about events that could affect their bottom line (pretty much everything). Absenteeism is a lousy birth control method, and doesn't work great for a citizentry that been advised to be forever diligent in keeping their freedoms.
[1] One could extend this further. The citizen gets taxed, but they tell the government were to spend it. That hopefully would encourage greater citizen involvement in the affairs of government (every citizens duty).
It's not just overseas outsourcing that's the
problem. It's just as much U.S. "outsourcing"
via H-1B and L-1 visas. Every single H-1B and
L-1 visa should be revoked and their holders
given 60 days to leave the country. If we did
that there wouldn't be any U.S *citizens* that
are out of work. There is absolutely no reason
what-so-ever for anyone to be in this country
on one of the visas.
What all these products have in common is that they embody Italian culture in their design, in a way people notice, and in a way that would not survive outsouring the design elsewhere. Good corporate branding plays a role, but the mega-brand of Italy -- romance, style, talent -- is what closes the sale.
Off the shores of the company's native country, smart guy.
1. And, yes, I am against unrestrained free trade. It doesn't work. Example: We put laws in place to protect the environment and U.S. firms move manufacturing jobs to other countries where pollution laws are lax or non-existent.
I agree with this part. This is why organizations such as the WTO are important, because they can (in theory) help to insure uniform standards.
2. You capitalist bastards think companies should only be concerned with maximizing profits but that workers who are only concerned about maximizing their wages are somehow evil. Explain that logic to me.
Well, I tend to agree with the person you're replying to, and this doesn't describe my beliefs (or his, I suspect) at all. I do not think companies should only be concerned with maximizing profits; however, I do not feel that companies owe me or society anything (beyond a certain minimum of reasonable behavior, which goes back to point 1). What I object to is employees (or companies; it goes both ways in the US, and both are deplorable) who expect to keep their jobs under any circumstances, and expect the government to keep them employed. Like the steelworkers who pushed for a disasterous tariff rather than face the facts and modernize their industry.
By the way, if you're really a 42-year-old engineer with 2 decades of experience, your income is probably in the top few percent of American households, so stop whining about capitalism. I'd prefer to have my hard work and skill determine my salary, not the government.
4. Just what is the typical software engineer supposed to do that will make up for a 20/1 cost ratio between himself and his Indian counterparts?
[etc.]
In all cases, nothing. Tough shit. Find another job, retrain if necessary. Just because you've trained for a job in the technology industry does not mean that the technology industry automatically owes you a job. Alternately, settle for a lower standard of living, and accept a job with a salary more in line with what the rest of the world makes. Better yet, stop whining to the government, and organize a boycott of companies that outsource extensively. I'll join that, very enthusiastically.
I'm completely shocked that the people-in-command who are opting to outsource seem to expect strong company loyalty out of employees at the lowest levels of the chain, but are in effect showing an utter lack of loyalty in return. It wouldn't surprise me in the least to think that these "captains of industry" are totally oblivious to their own hypocrisy. However, it's something that people over the last 10 or 20 years might have seen coming, watching corporations develop a marked tendency towards hiring business school graduates to fill leadership positions rather than attempting to promote from within. Anyone who's *met* business majors on the university campus probably knows that money is frequently the be-all-end-all for these folks, and everything else that happens to lead to money is a peripheral concern. When they get hired into some company, they *don't care* what the product of the company is, and they typically don't care about the type of customer buying it. To them, it's an academic exercise in maximizing profits and minimizing costs, all other ethical or human factors be damned. This is the mentality that allows CEO's to be traded like baseball cards between companies, and it should be no surprise that these people would be willing to run a company into the ground if it means improving their portfolio in some roundabout way.
The interesting thing about these guys who'll outsource every possible outsourceable job type is that their jobs will be the last to go. Their salaries will remain high until the company goes flounders and goes under. Given that the economic foundations of the United States seem to follow this general model nowadays, eventually the entire economy will follow suit. People with technical aspirations will have moved elsewhere. All the real money will be made in other countries. And these bigwigs will be at the helm until there are NO MORE companies existing to employ them, having singlehandedly done the most damage to the nation as a whole, while somehow maintaining the highest levels of job security and income.
I am an intel employee. I am training my offshore replacements. I accept that they can offer maintainence for the code I wrote for less than a janitor over here, but to hear grove complain!
Holy Jesus and Mary God - you had to look up the word "offshore"???
Now I *know* that eduacation in the United States is truly dead.
You poor, poor fools.
"And the meaning of words; when they cease to function; when will it start worrying you?"
Not only does language evolve, but every industry has its own set of lingo.
cheap foreign labour which is NOT made in Amerika
chinese to build railroads
mexicand for the farm
indians for the information super highway
philipinos for sex and call centres...
list goes on and on and on
"An Indiana state senator is drafting legislation that would restrict the ability of public agencies in the state to outsource IT work to foreign countries or to use vendors whose staff in the United States consists largely of visa workers.
j html?articleID=15202049
Jeff Drozda, a Republican from the Indiana district of Westfield, says he was "outraged" when he found out that a state agency charged with job creation in Indiana had outsourced work to Tata Consultancy Services of India. Drozda says Tata, which was hired by the state's Department of Workforce Development, has a long track record of replacing American high-tech workers with lower-paid L-1 visa immigrants.
Drozda also said it's particularly outrageous that the Indiana Department of Workforce Development has tapped an offshore firm, given that its mission is to "create 200,000 new high-wage, high-skill jobs" in Indiana. He hopes to introduce a bill to the Indiana Senate by Oct. 20. "
from - http://www.informationweek.com/story/showArticle.
= 9J =
>> Radiologists are already getting hosed. It used to be that going into radiology was a license to print money. Now they just send a TIFF of your guts to India and get diagnoses emailed back from ten different guys.
The Radiologists need to get together with their Lawyers. It's "Practicing Medicine w/o a License", which is illegal in most states!
Software is hard enough when everyone speaks english and they are in the same room. Learn to communicate and you don't need to worry about ESL programmers taking your job.
I am a published writer, shithead.
eat shiat and bark at the moon
For one thing, when businesses get really really big and complex, I suppose the left hand doesn't know what the right hands doing, and the business "owners" don't really know what it's doing either. It just sort of runs, but they don't really know how.
;-)
Maybe, theoretically, they could issue an order down, like "Hey, only package your chips over here," right? But could it actually work? Maybe not! Maybe that'd cause all these huge social uphevals.
Maybe businesses, once formed, are like parts of a gigantic organic system. You might not be able to just suddenly uproot a major artery, and move it somewhere else, without having major effects on yourself, your environment, and whatever else plays a part (who really knows what, right?).
So, I don't know. Is it really hypocracy? Maybe powerful people aren't really as powerful as we imagine them to be?
You show extremely uncommon insight in these observations. Large corporations in fact act very much like complex organisms. Much like a fractal, individuals make up groups and teams and those combine in other, complex ways to create projects, goals, working groups, divisions, etc... Eventually there is a gestault that forms which is the dynamic organism (corporation) itself.
Executives tend not to understand day-to-day operations and are certainly scared to send down orders that may affect time-tables and the bottom line. In a sense, executives are often rendered helpless to impose such broad orders as "keep all work in the states". When they do such stupid things (and this works both ways, btw - ordering outsourcing does the same thing), the results can be catastrophic and usually are.
An interesting affect of this meta-organsims stuff is that individuals (any) generally CANNOT effectively force change in issues such as outsource or don't outsorce, but other meta-organisms (such as governments) in fact CAN. By placing tarrifs and other economic pressures on the bottom line, government regulations put adaptive, organizational pressure on corporations. The result is that the corporations adapt by naturally optimizing around the new regulatory landscape and the goals of the regulations often end up being achieved.
So wether you agree or don't agree with the idea of regulating such things, there is reason to believe that they are in fact natural and neccessary controls by high-order organisms (such as the state we live in).
I applaud the previous poster's point of view and insight. But, of course, we may both just have the same curious form of dementia
The reason that it can be true that 1+1 > 2 is that very peculiar nonzero value of the + operator
I shouldn't have made light of the serverity of this issue. Having a University education swept out from under you is a big deal.
But here's the problem. Imagine that the p53 gene stuff leads to a successful recombinant DNA therapy for half of cancers. They get cured like curing infections with antibiotics. So half the nations oncologists are out of work.
If you don't like that example, consider tort law reform. Outlawing champerty is possible, we haven't had it in the UK since medieval times. Outlawing it in the US would put half the lawyers out of work
Stuff like this really happens. What became of all the vets who cared for the horses and other draught animals? A profession massacred by the mechanisation of transport. Look at jazz and big band music in the 50's. Along come the 60's and rock and roll. The whole second tier of jazz and swing musicians had their livelihoods wiped out in under a decade. That was a change of taste, a quite separate issue from the impact of recording on live music or films on theatre.
Closer to home, check out a WWII bomb aimer. There was a whole industry of mechanical controls, controlling everything from washing machines to automated machine tools with elaborate mechanical mechanisms. The micro-processor took the food off a lot of mechanical engineers plates. Go back to university and spend four years learning electrical engineering. Closer still, try getting a job designing analogue electronics. Sure analogue is fundamental. There will always be some jobs there, but it must have really sucked to live through the transition to digitise, signal process,DAC.
Which brings me to my subject line, the nature of education. Ones elders have seen it all before and know that University is for growing intellectually and developing transferable skills. Suppose the Andy Groves of this world succeeded and something was done. Suppose that laws protected skilled people from having their jobs whipped out from under them. Then the nature of university education would change. Instead of acquiring transferable skills, one would go to be trained in job specific skills. As narrow as possible, the better to secure your job-for-life.
To an extent that has already happened. You go to university to train to be an accountant and make a living exploiting loop holes in GAAP. If the basis of US accounting were changed from following the rules, to the British model of "true and fair", if the thick rule book on lease accounting were replace by the single sentence "all uncancelable obligations must be capitalised", years of obscenely expensive full time university classes would go up in smoke.
Investing in narrow technical education is a business venture. You may lose your investment.
Sending our jobs offshore and bringing in guest workers on visas is making a tremendous negative impact on the job market in the United States. It doesn't just affect tech workers any more. Teachers, pharmacists, engineers, truck drivers, pharmacists, call centers, etc.
If you live in the State of Missouri and call a 1-800 number to check on your food stamps or welfare benefits, you will be connected to India since the state outsourced their welfare call center. Unemployment is so high in Indiana, they needed to upgrade their computer system. In October this year, they awarded the 15.2 million dollar contract to an Indian company instead of putting Americans in the U.S. to work.
Put your concerns, rage, disagreement, etc. to video tape and send it to me. For details go to http://www.talktothecamera.com
Better yet, host a talktothecamera event in your city.
http://news.com.com/2030-1011_3-5086029.html
FWIW I was stupid enough to aim my respons at "all complainers". Which inevitably means I'll insult some of you - and some of you undeserved. I apologise.
... you name it. And hundreds of thousands of people were laid off. We called it progress - which it probably is in the long run. All depends on your definition of the word progress.
It was an emotional response. The short of it is supposed to go something like this:
we (as in we as consumers) never mind if stuff becomes horribly cheap due to outsourcing of labor.
But now predictably it starts happening in the brain-department.
And the amount of bull you suddenly get from the same people who happily wear nike's and buy barbies without a second thought is incredible.
But this has happened time and again, in all industries. Steel, shipping (as in boats), textiles, plastics,
I'm not sure it's a good thing. There are many many sides to consider. One of them is that partly this outsourcing does improve some countries and their people, so it's not all bad everywhere. And stuff gets cheaper, which is nice in a sort of narrowminded way.
So lacking an overall opinion I can only say am glad for the Indians who can get value from their education. One of the other reasons of outsourcing is better project stability. A few years back programmers were happily hopping from one job to another. This of course damaged the projects they were working on. This job hopping is -still- not so popular in India.
I think, therefore I am...I think.
"The crux of hte problem is that the majority of the workers in the world are underpaid and exploited."
This is primarily true of workers under socialism. In capitalism, the tendency is to pay the workers the exact value of the work (the system automatically discourages overpay or underpay).
The free trade of goods and services is never exploitation.
"That's why I find it interesting that capitalists are all in favour of a global (capitalist) economy."
No, we are in favor of people being able to make decisions and work to their mutual benefit without greedy governments getting a cut or harassing them just because these decisions might involve trading with foreigners.
"You can literally go to any one of a hundread countries and find workers to do WHATEVER you want"
A couple of the worst examples being mainland China and the Vietnams, both of which are very socialist, both of which have a big sweatshop problem.
" claim that Western wages will have to be dragged down significantly but capitalists don't think so... "
What is the big deal? If a foreigner can do the job better, let them.
" It is a bogus concept cooked up by neo-liberal economists."
Liberals tend to oppose free trade actually. That is where most of the demand for "protectionism" comes from.
"How much do you want to bet that traditional conservatives (like Pat Buchanan, who are nationalists"
Buchanan and Nader are united in their sometimes racist contempt of foreigners who sometimes dare to work better than Americans....
"neoconservatives (who are mostly neo-liberal economists and are against US protectionism)? "
You are contradicting. The neoconservatives are anti-liberal, not neo-liberal.
Buchanan will not gain power. At least in the united states, people are quite happy with being able to make more of their own economic decisions: there is no demand to turn back the clock and close the borders.
"Because competition will necessarily mean that wages are lowered to the minimum possible"
A more accurate way is to say that the wages come closer to the real value of the work. They will not go lower than a certain level if the workers want the wages higher.
"The only reason wages are higher in the Western world is because of socialist, interventionist policies of the past"
No, socialism makes wages a lot lower than they would be. Americans, for example, are badly overtaxed. If the taxes were cut a lot, wages would shoot up as people would not be exploited by the government as much.
"For example, if you remove the minium wage in say USA , I am sure many companies will get away with paying a lot less"
The government-mandated "minimum wage" should indeed be abolished. Yes, some companies would pay less, since that is what these jobs are worth. They'd also hire a lot more people: the only real effect the "minimum wage" has is to force companies to fire workers and cut benefits in order to pay the wage amount that some politician pulled out of thin air.
"The ultimate point in all this is, as Karl Marx once said, owners (capitalists) and workers (proletariat) have differing goals"
There you go with the silly divisions. The overwhelming majority of capitalists work, so they are workers.
"The owners want to pay the LOWEST wages possible and make the employees work LONGER, while the employees want the HIGHEST wages and want to work LESS. "
D'uh! That is the way it should be. Let the groups work it out themselves. It is just like if you want to get something at a store and it costs too much: try another store.
"This is a conflict that cannot be resolved under capitalism"
It is resolved in the best way possible.
"Pure capitalism and pure democracy are contradictory"
The work well together. "Pure democracy" just means that the government is purely democratic. It does not necessarily mean that this democratic government is fascist/totalitarian/socialist and thus controls the economy negating capitalism.
"You just cannot have democracy under capitalism"
Actually, in the real world, democracy works better alongside capitalism than alongside socialism. The reason is that once the elites take over the economy (socialism) it is just a small step to have dictatorial control over politics as well.
"A select few (often less than 15%) of the population control a huge chunk of the corporations, markets, and property"
These 15% you refer to only control the property they created, bought, or earned. This is not elitist. It is much more elitist to have government meddle in this: "you have worked too hard and earned too much. You must submit to me!"
" If you had true democracy, the majority (which is poorer) would overthrow the minority that hoards the wealth"
One problem with democracy is that it is not enough. You must have provisions to protect people's basic rights from "democracy" voting them away. Someone said at its worst, democracy is two wolves voting to eat the sheep. What you describe is a greedy mob using "democracy" to steal from others.
"I predict that you will see this conflict happen in at least 20 countries within our lifetime (you can start by observing Argentina and Venezuela)"
Venezuela has a fascist dictator who is robbing from the poor and rich while accumulating power. I thought you did not like Stalinism. Chavez, who openly praises genocidal Stalinists, will be overthrown within a year.
Yo, Andy, whatup, dog?! You gonna put your money where your mouth is and spend some money on worker re-training or what?! You gonna lay off fewer U.S. workers now?! You gonna call for more gubmint spending on math and science education in the U.S.?! Talk to me, g!!