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Deprecating the Datacenter?

m0smithslash writes "The blogging CEO asserts that that datacenters are doomed. Computers are showing up in everything from drill bits, to cargo ships to tracking devices in stuffed animals at Disneyland. With computers becoming so small and easy to distribute over a wireless network, do we really need data centers to house computers or are the computers going to be placed where they are really needed?"

367 comments

  1. Missing info by nizo · · Score: 5, Funny

    How many drill bits will I need to buy for the company toolbox to run our email service? And does anyone know where I can get a toolbox with redundant power and cooling? Thanks.

    1. Re:Missing info by Thansal · · Score: 3, Informative

      First post says it all.

      Data centers are there for the things you CAN'T run on-site.

      Yes, you could set up your own data center in your building, but there is a point where it is cheaper just to use a Data Center.

      --
      Do Or Do Not, There Is No Spoon, There Is Only Zuul. Everything in the above post is probably opinion.
    2. Re:Missing info by CastrTroy · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It's like the myth that computers will create a paperless society. Computers just help us create more stuff to put on the paper. Sure you could bring a computer with you everywhere, and distribute everything on the internet, so we wouldn't need to use paper. It sounds like a nice idea, but in reality, it never ends up happening that way.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    3. Re:Missing info by ben+there... · · Score: 1
      And does anyone know where I can get a toolbox with redundant power and cooling?

      Exactly. The datacenter can, and should, provide the reliability, redundancy, and centralization that computing needs.

      More computing will move to the datacenter, with companies like Google providing ever more complex services built on top of each other, while the computer-like devices that we each use will become ever smaller.

      FTFS:
      or are the computers going to be placed where they are really needed?

      They're not really needed anywhere. Just a small screen, input device, sensor, handheld device, or network terminal is really necessary in most locations.
    4. Re:Missing info by Brickwall · · Score: 1

      Who keeps the backups? Call me paranoid, but if I were, say, a bank, I'd want to make damn sure that I had at least two functioning redundant centres AND an off-site data repository (which may just be tape or disk backup).

      --
      What was once true, is no longer so
    5. Re:Missing info by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Somehow I have a feeling that this is going to be a post to which I will link a few years down the road (in a told you so vein) when what Schwartz said might be coming true.

      Remember, if it looks too easy, it probably is the wrong solution, or in this case, a wrong interpretation of the article. After all, Google has proved that immense apps can be run on a bunch of commodity servers. If this would have been prdicted a few years ago, I think it would have elicited the same negative response that this post is getting.

    6. Re:Missing info by El+Torico · · Score: 2, Insightful
      What, no paperless society? Where's my flying car? We still have mainframes?

      The future isn't what it was predicted to be, and this is just another prediction. I noticed this in the article - "Perhaps a more interesting question should be - why bother with datacenters at all? Surely it's time we all started revisiting some basic assumptions..."

      Of course, the author then fails to do that; maybe in his next "blog". This is a throwaway article trying to sound "visionary".

      --
      In the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is usually crucified.
    7. Re:Missing info by jdray · · Score: 1

      Definitely. Even if you could pack teraflops into a mote-sized computer that was powered by ambient radiation in its environment and communicated wirelessly via some sort of never-down communications medium, participating in a giant private grid computing array, you'd still need storage and backup. And even if you could get effectively infinite storage in some sort of molecular-memory device the size of a paperback book, you still have to replicate that data for site-based disaster (I work in the Portland, Oregon World Trade Center. We pay attention to such things), not to mention device-based failure (at least mirror the thing).

      So data centers may shrink, but they will be around longer than any of us will. At least that's my prediction. Go ahead, someone prove me wrong.

      --
      The Spoon
      Updated 6/28/2011
    8. Re:Missing info by roster238 · · Score: 1

      Does Veritas even have a drill bit agent?

      --
      I swear I didn't know it was loaded...
    9. Re:Missing info by l8f57 · · Score: 1
      Where's my flying car?
      It right here. Go bid while you still can.
    10. Re:Missing info by teflaime · · Score: 1

      Not to mention, it's far easier to consildate network security and such to s data center than to hundreds of amorphous wireless devices spread over, say, a city scape.

    11. Re:Missing info by shokk · · Score: 0

      What does this say about Schwartz when he blogs stupidities like this? Is he the same guy who said years back that the Sun N1 system would obsolete sysadmins? Douche.

      --
      "Beware of he who would deny you access to information, for in his heart, he dreams himself your master."
    12. Re:Missing info by drinkypoo · · Score: 2, Interesting

      No, but there is a Tivoli management add-on, and you can always monitor them with Big Brother :D

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    13. Re:Missing info by mnmn · · Score: 1

      Imagine a beowulf cluster of those!

      I'm guessing Google is imagining quite a beowulf cluster of drillbits for their farms. I know Sun didnt make money from their super expensive per-cpu-hour datacenter, but even I was looking for cpu hours to rent to do an iterative compile of uclinux. I ended up spending the money getting an Athlon64 (when it was new) and just waited it out.

      --
      "Give orange me give eat orange me eat orange give me eat orange give me you." -Nim Chimpsky
    14. Re:Missing info by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You just have to be very very careful while drilling down on the overview page.

    15. Re:Missing info by DeadChobi · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I don't think the prediction of a paperless society is wrong. I just think the timeframe was wrong. Analysts have a tendancy to severely overestimate the effect a new piece of technology will have on something. As a result, instead of the 15 years needed for something to start taking hold, they'll say "It'll be widespread within 3 years." I do see a paperless society becoming more mainstream, especially with the significant reduction in price of LCDs and especially of pressure-sensing LCDs. There's a guy who sits behind me in Physics class who takes all his notes on a tablet PC. This is just the first step. When eBooks start being widely available, and significantly less expensive than regular textbooks, that will be another step. When we develop screen readers that behave like paper and not like a lightbulb, then a truly paperless society becomes possible.

      It's important to note that even if something becomes possible, it doesn't mean that such a thing will immediately become prevalent. It took 50 or more years for electricity to go from a novelty to a commodity. Think about the amount of time between Gutenberg's invention of the movable type printing press and the commoditization of the written word. People have to get used to the way society changes as a result of technology. There will always be some element of a society distrustful or resentful of the changes brought about by technology, but as those elements slowly pass on there will be less resistance.

      In the case of the datacenter, I can accept this man's prediction, but I doubt that they will all disappear within the next 10 or even 20 years. Rather, when networks become truly wireless and when computing technology becomes completely integral in our daily lives, we will have little need for data centers, except in major corporations and in areas where the security of the data in question would be compromised by the transmission.

      I'd like to point out that computers haven't even become commodity products. When they become so inexpensive that the vast majority of people need no financial assitance to buy one, then they will be a commodity.

      --
      SRSLY.
    16. Re:Missing info by jcr · · Score: 1

      What does this say about Schwartz when he blogs stupidities like this?

      Well, to me it says he's looking for attention. Is there any other reason for Sun to be in the news this month?

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    17. Re:Missing info by walt-sjc · · Score: 1

      They're not really needed anywhere. Just a small screen, input device, sensor, handheld device, or network terminal is really necessary in most locations.

      Except that a terminal is really just a special purpose computer. May as well be a general purpose computer while you are at it. And flash memory is so cheap now that you may as well store stuff on it - very handy for when you don't HAVE net access (airplane, in the car outside of cell range).

      Even if you DO have net access, you don't always want to download gigs of data constantly. You want it cached locally.

    18. Re:Missing info by MrAnnoyanceToYou · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Um.

      Ever heard of a NOC? The reason this guy's wrong has nothing to do with computing power, it's got to do with security.

      If you RTFA carefully, he's not talking about removing network operations or centralized communications and data spots. He's talking about downgrading datacenters to the level of a fusebox. The fusebox for a house is in one place, but it's in the garage. The datacenter will be in one place, but not the center of downtown.

      One could say that this has already happened quite often with IT outsourcing. You don't have a server farm just about anyone could run located in downtown Manhatten. You have it in Hyderabad or Mumbai or some rural spot in central China. Until the forces of market equalization pan out in ten or a hundred years.

      The assumptions I disagree with here are:
      1. There will never be the requirement for high-end enough services that the regular 'datacenter' with shiny equipment won't be an excessively useful sales tool.
      2. Uptime requires little enough on-site time for the people who really know what they're doing to be far enough away from the servers that they can be located in the middle of nowhere. (This is debatable today. Five years, well, it won't be debatable, it will be a fact that they require this little onsite time.)
      3. Off-Siting is easy enough to implement organizationally while retaining flexibility. This is going to be especially true for small companies.

      Other than that, though, the skills required for good operations center management are not going to be as available in the middle of nowhere as they are in cities for quite a while yet. The real problem is that the people that are willing to learn enough about the stuff are (and this is a broad and unqualified generalization) generally attracted to cities for the availability of stimulation / excess input.

    19. Re:Missing info by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Moller is still at it? That old hoot just won't quit. From the auction: "It is suitable for test and evaluation only and is not certified for use by the Federal Aviation Authority nor as a licensed road vehicle." Sounds like a scam to me...

    20. Re:Missing info by Ucklak · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Todays teens not wanting to own the physical media for music is really the first step to a paperless society.

      We're slowly moving away from `gotta have it` to `I can get it anywhere so I don't need it` mentality that the younger generation has.

      --
      if you steal from one source, that is plagiarism, if you steal from many, well, that's just research.
    21. Re:Missing info by lastchance_000 · · Score: 1

      Seller has feedback of 0. Forget it.

    22. Re:Missing info by tompaulco · · Score: 1

      The cautious buyer will note that this "flying car" is neither street legal nor approved for flight. Therefore it is not a flying car. It is in fact a "".

      --
      If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
    23. Re:Missing info by MindStalker · · Score: 1

      If you really read the article its actually making the argument against the typical human maintainable datacenter. Where you have rows and rows of easily access servers taking up valuable floor space. To the idea that the datacenter should be stuck in the basement and be mostly automated machine with little human interaction. Its true and stupid at the same time. Its a nice theoretical future of completely remote access to the datacenter that rarely needs repairs. But the truth isn't quite so nice.

    24. Re:Missing info by El+Torico · · Score: 1
      Thanks. I really enjoyed these questions in the "Questions from other members" section of the post.

      Q: what after market parts are available, can i get screaming eagle exhausts and a dyno stage 3 kit for it and will i be able to attach nitros oxcide to it to make it go faster.......also is there any chrome parts to make it look more 'blingy'...........

      Q: Does the Sky Car come with any weapons as standard? If not are there any options to have added a pair of side winders?

      Q: Was this prototype based on the version that Wile E. Coyote built in the 1970's?

      It actually has 30 bids on it.

      --
      In the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is usually crucified.
    25. Re:Missing info by pthisis · · Score: 1

      It's like the myth that computers will create a paperless society. Computers just help us create more stuff to put on the paper. Sure you could bring a computer with you everywhere, and distribute everything on the internet, so we wouldn't need to use paper. It sounds like a nice idea, but in reality, it never ends up happening that way.

      I don't understand why it won't. I've gone _way_ down in the amount of paper used in the last decade; e.g., all my bills and billpayments are paperless now. I still get receipts in stores and things like that, but I can't remember the last time I used a stamp or turned my printer on (the latter is still boxed up from my last move 3 years ago).

      --
      rage, rage against the dying of the light
    26. Re:Missing info by Duhavid · · Score: 3, Funny

      No, the datacenter will be alive and well, here is why.

      Chips are running faster and faster and hotter and hotter.

      Right now, there is not enough heat to produce steam. Soon there
      will be.

      Soon, we will be using the heat of the chips to produce steam to
      generate electricity to produce part of the electricity to run
      the datacenter.

      This will only work well when the equipment density is high,
      therefore, we will continue to have datacenters.

      --
      emt 377 emt 4
    27. Re:Missing info by Yez70 · · Score: 1

      I love the first tag for the article: 'idiot'

      LOL

    28. Re:Missing info by Nataku564 · · Score: 1

      In order for chips to produce steam energy, they would have to heat the water to 100 degrees Celcius, or higher. This will have a negative impact on chip performance, and reduce the performance of the datacenter, and probably outweigh the benefit of the moderate amount of power they would produce.

      Also, I wouldn't want to be a technician in a datacenter that was that warm. Its kind of, you know, fatal.

    29. Re:Missing info by Benaiah · · Score: 0

      No. This guy is wrong because all of these new and small and prevalent computers will all be producing massive amounts of data. For instance maybe your drill will have to connect to the internet everytime you use it so the company who sold it to you can monitor usage habits to make a better drill. This company will need a data center for all the millions of drills reporting their usage.

      Medical Centres are now using Digital Xrays instead of film generating Terabytes per month worth of data that needs to be stored long term for case studies. They are going to need serious datacentres. As more things come online and become digital, datacenters are going to be the business to be in.

    30. Re:Missing info by Duhavid · · Score: 1

      I was kinda tongue in cheek there.

      But would not need to heat the water ( and
      who says it has to be water... ) to 100 C
      if the pressure were reduced. And now that
      I am thinking on it, dont some dissimiliar
      metals produce current in the presence of
      heat? I keep thinking piezoelectric, but
      I know that is not it. Bimetallic junctions?

      And I would hope that they would keep the
      live steam away from the operators.

      Brings a new meaning to BOFH, eh?

      And, my parting shot of sillyness:

      If you cant stand the heat, keep out of the datacenter.

      --
      emt 377 emt 4
    31. Re:Missing info by Blackhalo · · Score: 1

      Damn Luddites

      --
      "There is nothing to do it. But to do it." -Floyd Pepper
    32. Re:Missing info by Eggplant62 · · Score: 1

      Not to mention the nightmare that would go with securing a distributed lot of little computerized devices. I can't imagine what fun *THAT* would be.

      Sheesh, it's this kind of thinking that makes my own head spin. CEO's are so far removed from the details that go into keeping their data and programmable processes safe and reliable that they come up with silly ideas like this.

    33. Re:Missing info by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Yes, you could set up your own data center in your building, but there is a point where it is cheaper just to use a Data Center.
      Ah, but only if you don't factor in the lost user productivity and increased support costs. At the unnamed Fortune 100 company where I work, all of the servers are being consolidated from numerous local sites to a short list of (three, IIRC) worldwide datacenters. IT says WAN latency is a myth. Ok, so why is it that Outlook suddenly slows down for users migrated to Exchange servers halfway across the continent? Why do file transfers suddenly go about 1/3 as fast as they used to? Why are our web applications all timing out now? Was the cost of all these extra OC-12s that we now need factored in to the equation?

      I agree that various departmental servers can be concentrated into a a datacenter at the same geographical location, where 1GB and even 10GB Ethernet is cheap and easy. But shipping all that traffic over a WAN is just crazy. And when a backhoe accidentally cuts through the fiber during a road construction project 200 miles away, do you really want to send a few thousand employees home for the day because they can't access any servers?
    34. Re:Missing info by Eivind · · Score: 1
      Here in Norway it's already definitely the case that the *proportion* of reading, writing, and sending-documents-around that ever hit paper is decreasing. However, at the same time the total amount of documents and correspondence increase, so the actual paperconsumption is probably not falling.

      Nevertheless, unlike 10 years ago you'll do all of the following without causing any paper to be consumed:

      • File your wussname-tax-declaration.
      • Get a bill from your telephone-company and pay it.
      • Same for insurance, electricity, gas and basically all recurring bills.
      • Register a new car.
      • Report a change of adress, have the government, the post, the banks and others take note of your new adress.
      • Register for VAT as a business. Report VAT-relevant numbers and pay VAT.
      • Buy a plane-ticket for your vacation, and a hotel reservation. Use both. (no, not even the "ticket" itself will be on paper, your VISA-card that you used for paying will serve as your "ticket"

      There's a gazillion examples. We really do more paperless every day. Measured in fraction, I'd say 90% of my correspondence and about 75% of my bills are completely paperless.

      Made up for by the fact that I receive 5 times as much paper-marketing in my mailbox every day as I did a decade ago though.

    35. Re:Missing info by Calinous · · Score: 1

      You could have lower-power, "external combustion" engines using heat from the datacenter - Sterling engine springs to my mind. You could use a low-temperature phase change agent - this already exists in heat sinks/coolers. The bigger problem would be that you would need high pressure system in order to have a higher efficiency (power/volume) generating aggregate. By the way, when do diamond substrate microelectronics will be functional? It seems they could work at up to 200 Celsius, so you could really make a thermal machine using them (unlike the current situation when you would have a 60 Celsius hot source and a 20 Celsius cold source (thermal efficiency for the best cycle - some 9% - and you lose efficiency in all sides).

    36. Re:Missing info by StewBaby2005 · · Score: 1

      What's the use of having your Datacenter 10k miles from your customers? Unless you can make the photons go FTL, you will have ~100ms network response - as long as the users are in the US/Europe. However, in a few years, there will be only executives and serfs in the West so maybe that's a good idea.

    37. Re:Missing info by MrAnnoyanceToYou · · Score: 1

      Network response isn't quite as important as throughput in this case; processing and dumping are centralized, and the programming for caching the chunks needed for high level analysis will become more important but tougher....

    38. Re:Missing info by ces · · Score: 1

      There are issues with putting the actual datacenter in someplace like Hyderabad or rural China. As other posters have pointed out there is a network latency problem for any application that might be sensitve to it. Furthermore outside the developed world grid power can be spotty at best, while you can run everything off generators, it is a lot easier if you don't have to. Also you typically want your datacenter someplace with good access to long-haul fiber, while not necessarily a problem in major cities in India it would definately be a problem in rural China.

      Personally I see more companies in the future doing what many have done already, move their datacenters outside small US cities where land is cheap, the cost of living is low, there is plenty of fiber nearby, and power is reliable and preferably cheap. Witness the number of current datacenters around places like Omaha, NE or Springfield, OR. Look at Google's, MSN's, Yahoo's, and other's plans for datacenters all up and down the Columbia Basin in cities like Wenatchee, WA.

      --
      Happy Fun Ball is for external use only.
  2. Uh by Skynet · · Score: 3, Funny

    So where are they going to put the WoW servers?

    --
    Execute? [Y/N] _
    1. Re:Uh by SuperStretch · · Score: 3, Funny

      Duh! In the drill!

      --
      Help me get a new laptop - http://nocreditcard.yourgiftsfree.com/?id=3012
    2. Re:Uh by jdray · · Score: 4, Funny

      How boring is that?

      --
      The Spoon
      Updated 6/28/2011
    3. Re:Uh by drinkypoo · · Score: 4, Funny

      Your comment is both insightful and penetrating.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re:Uh by SuperStretch · · Score: 1

      But just think, you'll have to pay that drill each month, whereas the Guild Wars server in my hammer is a pay-once deal.

      --
      Help me get a new laptop - http://nocreditcard.yourgiftsfree.com/?id=3012
    5. Re:Uh by farker+haiku · · Score: 1

      Great... another pun practice drill. I bet we could all go 'round and 'round on the subject, but I think it'd be better to just chuck the whole thing.

      --
      Your sig(k) has been stolen. There is a puff of smoke!
    6. Re:Uh by Hillgiant · · Score: 1

      Well, without regular practice, how can we improve?

      --
      -
    7. Re:Uh by Bacon+Bits · · Score: 1
      In a meat grinder.

      Or is that EverQuest?

      --
      The road to tyranny has always been paved with claims of necessity.
  3. uhmmm ... huh? by zappepcs · · Score: 1

    While it is true that computers and microcontrollers are showing up everywhere, that doesn't mean that stringing together a line of cubes with built-in ARM-9 controllers will replace that beefy database server in the data center. While the promise of 'the network is the computer' is coming true (to an extent; thank you Google), it will not end in a meshed network of small computers all talking to one another. At least I hope not, god what a security nightmare that would be!

    1. Re:uhmmm ... huh? by corsec67 · · Score: 1

      ... it will not end in a meshed network of small computers all talking to one another. At least I hope not, god what a security nightmare that would be!

      What is the Internet, then? Yes, there lots of data centers on the internet, but there are the Windows Zombie networks.

      --
      If I have nothing to hide, don't search me
    2. Re:uhmmm ... huh? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      On the other hand, with an intelligent enough software design, it should theoretically be possible to stretch your grid out sparsely around the world instead of having it be concentrated. Perhaps the people who replace google will do it by borrowing 5 percent of the execution time on other people's web servers, and convince people to do it by providing superior integration of services? After all, nothing is forever.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    3. Re:uhmmm ... huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      "network is the computer" my ass, it's just outsourcing the data for someone else to manage in a different data center.


      Yes, that's the point. Data used to be only local system. Then it moved to the departmental server. Then to a central core. Now a lot of data is being moved to third party vendors (e.g., Salesforce).

      The company I work for is in plans to move their (hawk spit) Exchange servers: instead of the company IT people looking after it we'll pay a per-mailbox fee to another company to make sure there's enough I/O, backups, and security patches. They link into our AD infrastructure for authentication. We have a fast, reliable network that links several thousand people around the world: what difference is it if the mail servers are in our data centre or in someone else's? If we run things or someone else does?

      Schwartz is simply saying that things are being pushed further away from the desktop as the network becomes more ubiquitous.

      Will this work for everything? No. Can it save hassle in some situations? Yes.
    4. Re:uhmmm ... huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't see why it should be theoretically possible. There are physical limits to computation and data transport (latency, etc.) and making a physically larger computer will show these limits to a greater degree. Depending on the problem involved, making a bigger computer can hurt you severely.

    5. Re:uhmmm ... huh? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Right, but an individual task will never consume the entire grid. It will only communicate with systems with which it has reasonable communications. I'm not talking single-system-image here.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  4. Huh? by yagu · · Score: 4, Insightful

    With more and more embedded computers, and easier and faster networks, datacenters could become more important than ever. Many trends today require expanding and larger datacenters -- how do you think Web 2.0 applications manage their data.

    I wouldn't find it terribly surprising to find things like drill bits and their "computers" relaying performance data which eventually ends up in some manufacturers datacenter. What better way to determine the use, reliability, and performance of a product?

    I also could imagine the information in datacenters spawning meta-datacenters where data mining and other analysis is performed.

    Distributed computers and distributed computing are different animals. Datacenters will go away much like the disappearance of the world of mainframes (which, btw, was predicted and discussed as early as 1983 (by my experience)).

    1. Re: Huh? by cowscows · · Score: 1

      Yeah, this is just more dumb hype. Sure, tiny chips will continue to advance in computing power, and continue to take over tasks that used to require a room full of computers to use. That's great.

      But as the capabilities of computers has continually increased, people have continually found problems that require large amounts of hardware to solve. No matter how much data someone manages to cram into a 3" disc, someone's going to pull together a pile of data that requires thousands of those discs. That much hardware will need significant amounts of energy, cooling, security, monitoring, etc. Spreading them around all over the place won't make those issues go away, it'd make them worse.

      As distributed computing takes off, datacenters will become even more important, because more and more data will be generated, and having centralized places to store, control, utilize all that data makes tons of sense.

      --

      One time I threw a brick at a duck.

    2. Re: Huh? by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 1

      I agree. People used PCs to suggest that mainframes would be dead, and they are still around. Radio was supposed to kill newspapers, TV to kill radio and the Internet is supposed to kill everything else. The market for newspapers and other media may be diminishing, but I don't think any of them are going to be dead any time soon. Some quack even suggested that radio is dead because of the iPod, but there are far more radio listeners than iPod owners. Something like around 90% of people listen to at least some radio every week, I would be surprised to see if 10% of the population used iPods.

    3. Re: Huh? by kfg · · Score: 5, Insightful

      With more and more embedded computers, and easier and faster networks, datacenters could become more important than ever.

      Bingo! Just as with more and more books being more widely distributed the need for public libraries as a central repository grows, not shrinks.

      Now the fact is that most datacenters, as they are spoke, are almost literal clusterfucks, but it is most often because the data technology clueless CEOs make decisions about issues they know nothing about. Even relying on the technologists no longer works in most cases, because most of the technologists are now "trained" at the bequest of . . .CEOs, who belittle "theory" in favor of "pragmatism."

      So how clueless is this particular CEO? Let us examine the record:

      ". . .the feature most requested by buyers in their fastest growing geography (India) was an LED flashlight. Edison would never have guessed (obviously). Nor that electricity would one day be on airplanes, lunar landers or deep sea submarines. "

      The fuck he wouldn't have. Edison made flashlight bulbs, batteries and portable generators: a novel was published (perhaps you've heard of it) in 1870, when Edison was only 23 years old, that had an electric submarine as its primary subject. Edison built submarine engines and electric generators for WWI. The First Men in the Moon was published in 1901, the protagonists relaying their situation back to Earth by radio; and it became a commerical movie, using Edison technology, in 1919, more than a decade before Edison's death.

      Good Lord, Edison not only guessed these things, he was instrumental in making them happen. That's why we know his name.

      I don't care what company Schwartz is the CEO of (how are they doing, by the way?), he's either clueless, selling something . . .or both.

      KFG

    4. Re: Huh? by nkeeter · · Score: 1

      Datacenters are more than just that. These places offer redudant power, redundant networking, and oodles of bandwidth available at the drop of a hat. it really has nothing to do with the size of a computer. With the computer becoming smaller, that just means you'll require less space at the datacenter for the same thing.

    5. Re: Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is not something that is going to happen, the idea is faulty. Embedded systems are good for transmitting data but not having centralized data is dangerous. If a drilling system has the processing power to gather all diagnostic data and performance information, great. But you won't store it there, you would transmit it in batch to a datacenter. I mean, come on! If you can make a full sized data warehouse the size of a peanut and it can handle all of the field data and everything you would want to do with your data, are you going to leave it in the field? Sorry, a toilet overflowed and wiped out all the company financial information! You have datacenters to centralize administration and protect your systems. How would you manage such an environment? Failover, DR, redundant power?

    6. Re: Huh? by walt-sjc · · Score: 1

      I agree. I have an application that takes a huge EMC box of storage and 50 and change quad processor servers each with many gigs of ram. Eventually, desktops will be powerful enough to run the application locally, but I don't see that happening for another 10 years based on how fast technology has advanced in the last 10 years. My guess is that the application will evolve in the next 10 years so that it will STILL take a boatload of equipment, and will still not be able to run on a desktop.

  5. More then Ever. by jellomizer · · Score: 3, Informative

    With more and more small clients communicating wirelessly you really need a datacenter to keep things organized, as well as backed up. So we have lost a Disney Stuffed animal, now we need to find its last location. With it communicating with a data center until it lost communication we can check the datacenter and see were it was last, and then we can check out the last spot and see that it has A. Broke down and still there or B. gone but there is a rouge kid dissecting Mickey's head. C Gone for ever. But now we know that it is gone and we record that it has been stolen and adjust the inventory accordingly. Without the datacenter we see that the mouse is gone but with no central data location finding the data is much more complex. Also in a normal business model it is easier for programmers and the business to connect to a single Database server (Or clustered but they are logically in the same place) vs. having hundreds of separate excel or access files, in which when a program needs the data it needs to hunt for the file and if the persons computer crashes chances are that it hasn't been backed up. Just Peer to Peer communication is a not a robust method because it looses a central point of administration leading to problems in the future.

    --
    If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    1. Re:More then Ever. by nine-times · · Score: 1

      I think I want to take what you're talking about and make it short and glib: As you have all these small devices generating and gathering more and more data, you're only increasing the need for a central point where that data can be gathered, processed and made useful. Hence, a data center.

  6. Right. by toQDuj · · Score: 1

    It was the same kind of comments that heralded the capabilities of central servers. I've read science fiction stories where there's one gigantic mainframe, to which every citizen connects. Alas, no such thing.

    Similarly, it's never going to be pc's only. There's always a need for much computing power and secure storage arrays you just can't do in an ordinary box.

    B.

    --
    Every experiment which ends in a big bang is a good experiment.
    1. Re:Right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh man I hope the guys at Google didn't read those Sci-Fi Books or boy are we ever in trouble.

      /Tounge Firmly in Cheek

  7. Data centers evolve and change too by saboola · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Just like everything under the sun having a processor and a piece of storage space, so too will the data center evolve and get better at what it does. There will always be a need for a centralized place with higher than average processing and storage capacity. Just because todays technology runs well on your cell phone/pda (which for the most part, as an avid mobile user, things are not exactly "great") does not mean the next generation will.

  8. Both! by also-rr · · Score: 1

    Adding intelligence to small items has benefits - in that it enables you to make decisions close to the center of activity.

    Adding intelligence in a centrallised location has benefits - in that it enables you to lower the cost per flop (support, redundancy etc).

    None of this will change unless instant point to point communications of infinite bandwidth are invented - ironically exactly what you would require to make *both* perfect centralisation and decentralisation a reality.

    In the mean time we will stumble on with a mix depending on the job, just as we have done for the last 20+ years.

    1. Re:Both! by AKAImBatman · · Score: 1
      Adding intelligence to small items has benefits - in that it enables you to make decisions close to the center of activity.

      Adding intelligence in a centrallised location has benefits - in that it enables you to lower the cost per flop (support, redundancy etc).

      To use an analogy, it's the difference between the motor control centers of the brain, and the nerve bundles running throughout your body. The brain has the processing power necessary to make the best decisions, but many common reactions are pushed to the nerve centers to allow for faster responses to critical stimuli.

      As such, all these embedded microprocessors can be thought of as the network extending its control rather than decentralizing. Sure, my cell phone could mesh with other phones in an attempt to be a major cell router, but the experiment would be likely to create nothing but a mess of unreliable, disconnected networks. To say nothing for attempts to receive voice mail.

      Then there are the smart drill bits. Smart enough to "feel" the world around it (like our nerves do), but lacking the processing power and communications relays to be a major web server. So distributing the data from the bit to millions of interested users or systems would likely result in a shutdown of the drill's computational abilities. Yet paired with a dedicated webserver (drill bit: I'll tell you; web server: I'll feed back that information the rest of systens/world) the two would have more than enough power to do exactly that.

      Just as you can survive by loosing a bit of communications to outer nerves, so can computers survive by exposing embedded processing to dangerous areas. But you brain is a sensitive thing and is thus protected by a very strong skull cap. Just as the key networking resources are protected in high-security, underground bunkers.
    2. Re:Both! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More Christian Right propaganda from you huh? Why don't you and Alex P Keaton go drink the koolaid and go off to your imaginary pie in the sky.

      FAG!!!

      - Wolf Bearclaw

  9. He's right! by rlp · · Score: 5, Funny

    As long as you're not concerned about minor issues like physical security, data and communications security, maintainability, scalability, and availability.

    --
    [Insert pithy quote here]
  10. Security by QuietLagoon · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Security requires control and restriction of physical access. Unless and until you can secure those drill bits, security will always be an issue.

    1. Re:Security by Gunfighter · · Score: 1

      Even with proper control and restriction in place, imagine if just one person were to pull an "inside job" and walk off with a few drill bits. Can't exactly do that with a rack of servers. Currently, one would have to actually copy the data to something portable like a USB key.

      Not just control and restriction, but imagine the "convenience factor" of it. Look at all of the high profile laptop thefts in recent years where some imbecile from the IRS or Department of Veterans Affairs takes some work home and ends up risking the exposure thousands or millions of individuals' private records when their laptop gets stolen. Imagine if it were as simple as palming a drill bit and sliding it into your pocket! I suppose you could tag all of your drill bits with RFID and have security buzzers go off, but then you would have privacy advocates breathing down your neck for using RFID.

      --
      -- Stu

      /. ID under 2,000. I feel old now.
  11. One good reason...Security by Zorandler · · Score: 1

    Although there is much to be said for putting computing power where it is needed, there is most certainly a need for security for machines and the data contained on them that necessitates if not an entire data center at least a secure area for most companies/institutions.

  12. Simplistic answer by The-Bus · · Score: 4, Insightful

    No, data centers aren't doomed. They are only doomed if they fail to see this change and don't adapt to it. Sure, the types of data centers we saw 10 or 20 years ago may be rare relics in 2020; that doesn't mean data center businesses will be gone. Current centers need to focus on security, ease of storage, or whatever else is important to their customers. These values will go beyond the spec sheet of what type of servers you have. In two years or in ten years, the servers and technology will be different. The value you provide, hopefully, will not.

    --

    Small potatoes make the steak look bigger.

  13. Short answer: Yes by Nijika · · Score: 1

    I don't know what sort of Mesh he envisions here, but I doubt a vital e-commerce site will be running off of some guy's pen in China... Datacenters fill the role of redundancy and reliability. When you (or your customers) need to be able to access a computer system at any time, under almost any condition, a rag tag group of computers scattered everywhere simply will not do.

    --
    Luck favors the prepared, darling.
    1. Re:Short answer: Yes by chrismcdirty · · Score: 1
      I doubt a vital e-commerce site will be running off of some guy's pen in China... Datacenters fill the role of redundancy and reliability.
      Duh. It will be running off of a few of that guy's pens. Pens with 99% uptime!
      --
      It's like sex, except I'm having it!
    2. Re:Short answer: Yes by jforest1 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, p2p networks are always down...

    3. Re:Short answer: Yes by drinkypoo · · Score: 1
      I don't know what sort of Mesh he envisions here, but I doubt a vital e-commerce site will be running off of some guy's pen in China

      I don't have enough computers collected to make it worth it to play with it yet but the idea of clustering products like OpenMOSIX which provides a single-system-image Linux cluster is that if you lose a single cluster node you lose one http transaction, which your application should be able to survive anyway. (Okay, so it may require a reload...) You don't lose the whole system.

      There's no reason why a vital e-commerce site can't be running off of some guy's pen in China, but it will also be running off of some guy's belt buckle in Peru, and some woman's intelligent nose trimmer in Argentina, and some guy's biofeedback butt plug in Arkansas.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re:Short answer: Yes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "a rag tag group of computers scattered everywhere simply will not do."

      No, sorry, you completely don't get it. But that's understandable, because it's one of those counterintuitive things like probablity and queuing theory. You need to sweat over the math a bit. Data stored on a million chinese guys pens is more than a million times safer than any amount
      of redundancy in the same data-center.

      And most the posts that talk about "security" are also completely failing to understand the theory. A distributed array of
      encrypted stores is far safer than a single store in a bunker surrounded by electric fences, dogs and men with guns, even if
      parts of the distributed encrypted store are actually behind enemy lines.

      Distribution, error correction, encryption and redundancy all play a part and can mean that the safest and most secure place store
      data may in fact be right out in the open.

      That's what I find fascinating about real computer science, much of it is non-obvious.

    5. Re:Short answer: Yes by slackmaster2000 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, and the content of p2p networks is always consistant.

  14. two words by mls · · Score: 2

    Information Security

    If you don't care about physical security, then...

    --
    -mls
  15. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  16. bandwidth by Joe+The+Dragon · · Score: 1

    datacenters also have a lot more bandwidth to the internet then you can get at home. It cheaper and easier to have a lot of bandwidth in one place. Then it is to string it out to lots of homes.

    1. Re:bandwidth by joe_cot · · Score: 1

      On a similar note, many home broadband providers have blocked port 80 for consumer broadband. Simple google searches for how Verizon and Comcast spell out how they approached the matter (blocking port 80 across the board, but not actually telling anyone about it). This seems to be the case for many US broadband providers, whether or not you've paid for business-class service (which many businesses find out the hard way while trying to save money) -- and let's not even talk about reliability, off-site redundancy, etc. For most people, buying hosting from a data center is slightly cheaper than buying a t1 for yourself.

      The only innovations that could possibly support this kind of prediction are p2p nets, such as Freenet. Let me know how reliable you think that is.

  17. Wireless computer distribution? by SoTuA · · Score: 3, Funny
    With computers becoming so small and easy to distribute over a wireless network


    I'd love to see how.
    1. Re:Wireless computer distribution? by revlayle · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      ... also I want one, when they are available.

      In addition, I will pay good $$$ for the Brooklyn Bridge.

    2. Re:Wireless computer distribution? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I believe a significant fraction of current computers are distributed of FedEx and UPS's wireless network. In fact I am not aware of any wired networks that are currently distributing computers.

    3. Re:Wireless computer distribution? by Osiris+Ani · · Score: 1

      Well, first you'll need to fashion a catapult. After that, it's pure entertainment.

    4. Re:Wireless computer distribution? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Two words: Willy Wonka.

    5. Re:Wireless computer distribution? by homey+of+my+owney · · Score: 1

      Hello helpdesk? Yeah I'm trying to send my Core Duo over my RAZR and it keep crashing.

    6. Re:Wireless computer distribution? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      With computers becoming so small and easy to distribute over a wireless network

      I'd love to see how.


      Pipes.
      Once the computers are small enough, they Fit Thru the Pipes!

    7. Re:Wireless computer distribution? by WilliamSChips · · Score: 1

      I think you mean tubes. But definitely not a big truck.

      --
      Please, for the good of Humanity, vote Obama.
    8. Re:Wireless computer distribution? by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

      With computers becoming so small and easy to distribute over a wireless network

      I'd love to see how.

      With Wonkavision.
      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    9. Re:Wireless computer distribution? by hcdejong · · Score: 1

      Ask Steve Ballmer. He's been perfecting a technique (using chairs so competitors won't catch on before MS is ready to go live). Only works for short distances, though.

  18. It depends... (doesn't always?) by andcal · · Score: 1


    do we really need data centers to house computers or are the computers going to be placed where they are really needed?"



    It depends on the purpose of the computer(s) in question, and on the value of the (combined) data they contain. Money has been small enough to carry around for a long time, but we still have banks to house large sums of them. Ironically enough, banks may eventually be nothing more than a data center one day.

    --
    --something witty
    1. Re:It depends... (doesn't always?) by Brickwall · · Score: 1
      Ironically enough, banks may eventually be nothing more than a data center one day.

      ING Direct Bank in Canada has no physical presence (to its customers). It piggybacks off other banks' ATM's, and lets you bank over the phone or internet. So I'd say it's not much more than a data centre right now.

      --
      What was once true, is no longer so
  19. Archangel Michael Asserts that Blogging CEO should stick to blogging, and not pontificate and prognosticate about computer and data centers.

    1)Data centers are not drill bits, and Disneyland Toys.
    2)Data Centers are for centering Data (central location).
    3)Data Centers are for Centralization of Management.

    Herding Cats is fun in the beginning, they are so cute and all, but after a while, you just wish they would bunch up and be like the sheep.

    --
    Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
  20. Data > Bandwidth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Until our bandwidth catches up to our storage capacity, we'll need centralized data storage.

  21. how do we reconcile this with the "thin client"? by Montecristo6 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's rather odd that the end of the datacenter is supposed to be brought about by ubiquitous, small computers, since a few years ago everyone was looking forward to "thin clients" - these very same ubiquitous, small computers that would serve as *interfaces* to ... the mighty, on-demand power of the datacenter. The latter vision still makes more sense to me, at least for the foreseeable future.

    --
    "I am just a customs officer; but I, too, wish to understand what is going on" -- Bertold Brecht
  22. Exact opposite by wamatt · · Score: 4, Interesting

    From what I've seen in the datacenter sector is growly rapidly. More and more data is being stored online in server farms. Online apps are more prevalent than ever (eg Gmail).

    With ever increasing network capacity data storage on the PC will become redundant.

    1. Re:Exact opposite by kfg · · Score: 1

      With ever increasing network capacity data storage on the PC will become redundant.

      There is value in data redundency, which is why neither the PC nor the data center will become obsolete; although each may (God willin' and the crick don't rise none) change form.

      KFG

    2. Re:Exact opposite by Achoi77 · · Score: 1
      I've taken a quick glance at TFA, and it doesn't look like Schwartz is attacking the existence of the datacenter per se, but rather questioning the direction of computing as hardware gets more powerful while shrinking in size. As he says, the primary reason a datacenter exists in the first place is not to house all that hardware, but rather to keep all the smart people running it in one consolidated area, probably for logistical/managerial purposes.

      But as technology advances, and you need less and less people to manage such a big system, why is it necessary to keep all the machines in one area?

      Well, that's what I thought he was saying.

    3. Re:Exact opposite by businessnerd · · Score: 1

      You've hit the nail right on the head! First we hear that the desktop computer is doomed (not bloody likely, but significance will inevitably shrink) so now we're to believe that the datacenter (when combined with thin clinets/web services/web apps is the antithesis of the desktop) is doomed as well? The fact of the matter is, the communications infrastructure is becoming mature enough that thin clients are going to be more enticing and with that means more hosted services. And what is behind all of these hosted services? Why a DATACENTER of course! If i'm using a thin client with no hard drive and very little processing power, my files are stored remotely with a data storage company (who has a giant datacenter consisting primarily of file servers/SANS/NAS or what have you). The online applications I'm using are run by an ASP (who has a datacenter filled with application servers). Am I the only one who read this article posting and said WTF!!???

      --
      "It's not whether you win or lose, it's how drunk you get." -- H. J. Simpson
    4. Re:Exact opposite by blahplusplus · · Score: 1

      "With ever increasing network capacity data storage on the PC will become redundant."

      I don't agree, with the advent of new technologies like solid-state flash 'hard disks', there will ALWAYS be a need for storage both centrally and independently of a centralized souce. Think in concept akin to P2P networks, or bit-torrent. Lots of people want their own personal copies of things and do not want to be monitored 24/7 this will not change.

    5. Re:Exact opposite by M-G · · Score: 1

      Well, it sounds less like they need to be kept in one area, and more like we shouldn't be using precious real estate for them. For power, cooling, and management purposes, you still want a consolidated area. But by invoking the idea of having a generator located out of sight, it seems he's saying that computing is a utility, and should be treated as such.

      However, I suspect that as long as computers have cool blinkenlights, managers will always want to show off the datacenter to customers.

  23. DUH! by Lumpy · · Score: 1, Insightful

    I bitched for weeks when the idiots at AT&T broadband forced all of us to ship our servers to the new data center. Taking a distributed system that worked great and putting it all on one spot is incredibly stupid.

    What happened? every time you have a network leg go down that office ore offices are 100% dead. no printing, no files , no services. network problems went up 50 fold and all pipes had to be increased because instead of having a BDC, print server and file server local, it was now 1/2 way across the country.

    Large Datacenters have always been a stupid idea. distributing your services to locations around your offices is far more efficient and significantly lowers the connectivity needs. that T1 to denver works far better with 90% of the traffic now local to the LAN.

    --
    Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    1. Re:DUH! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're right. I'm going to dismantle my datacenter and buy ten thousand PCs. I will scatter them over hill and dale, plugging them in wherever I can find an outlet. Wireless connectivity is so great, I won't need any wires, and having the data closer to the users is obviously better. There's absolutely no possibility that a single simplistic solution won't fit every problem.

      I better write the root password on the cases with a sharpie, too, so that we won't have any maintenance issues.

    2. Re:DUH! by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      well cince you are incompetent then yeah, do that. Obviousally you do not know that you ca n remotely control all your systems EVEN down to the bios boot screens. this has been doable for decades now, but you do not know about them. Wireless? what moron would use wireless? locked racks in offices work perfect, people cant get physical access and an air conditioned closet with that rack in it works great. Now if the T3 from detroit to Philly does drop off line detroit is still up and running, hell even give them their own exchange server cince 90% of email traffic is internal.

      Only idiots interconnect their offices with public network connections... T1's T3's are cheap, locked air conditioned closets are cheap. giving your offices drastically better up times and increasing sales and other employee productivity is far more important than stroking the ego of some IT staff that think they need to physically touch every server they have.

      I suggest you get a real education in IT and networking, as you obvoiusally do not understand how this stuff works. I was able to maintain all of my servers from my laptop in the office, if I had a rare hardware failure (buying quality equipment helps here) I have plenty of time to drive to that location to fix it. having competent IT staff in key offices also helps and is far less expensive than paying big $$$ to prima-donna Datacenter experts... 1 good IT guy working laptop and server duty for a cluster of 6 offices is way cheaper and you can pay him far more.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    3. Re:DUH! by bigtrike · · Score: 1

      It must take forever for your printouts to get mailed to you from the data center. Moving *everything* to a data center is a bad idea. Moving most things to a couple data centers is a better idea than having it at all one of your offices (which does not have any redundancy at all).

    4. Re:DUH! by ceritus · · Score: 1
      ... print server and file server local, it was now 1/2 way across the country .... Large Datacenters have always been a stupid idea. distributing your services to locations around your offices is far more efficient and significantly lowers the connectivity needs

      That's a very narrow view on this issue. Office type servers are only a small part of what goes into datacenters as a whole. The one's I'm familiar with are mostly filled with web sites/services that demand the tight controls and close-to-the-backbone connections that datacenters can only give. Datacenters are also used for huge data warehouses, massive computing, etc.

      Your post does illuminate one point, although somewhat obliquely: datacenters allow a small number of people to take care of a ton of critical systems. The more spread out something is physically, the more overhead and pain is going to be involved in taking care of it.

    5. Re:DUH! by PitaBred · · Score: 1

      I might reply with "Only idiots spell 'since' 'cince'". Perhaps you should get off your high horse until you learn to not be an asshole and an idiot? Either one I'm ok with, but both, and it starts being a problem.

    6. Re:DUH! by andcal · · Score: 1

      Yeah, it sounds like the company is using PC-centric technology (BDC, print server, file server, etc), and treating it with an extremely "mainframe" mindset (let's put it all in one corporate data center). Was a large hardware vendor trying to get them to consolidate all of those servers onto a few large pieces of hardware with virtualization, or something?

      --
      --something witty
  24. Distributing computers by DragonWriter · · Score: 2, Funny
    With computers becoming so small and easy to distribute over a wireless network
    I can see distributing computing over a wireless network, but I've yet to see anyone distribute computers that way. Would surely cut down on shipping costs, though: just download that new laptop...
  25. Stability and reliability by Travoltus · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Data centers provide both, where mobile solutions do not.

    Need I say more?

    As for people walking around in MY data center? LOL!!! Please. Everyone in here is wearing monkey suits. Key card on a plastic necklace and nothing in their pockets except maintenance equipment from the internal shed. Cords go under the floor or through protected pipes into the ceiling - if he ran a data center he'd know that. Our procedures for changing out a computer and making sure something is there to stand in its stead in the mean time is far too complex to discuss here, but "breaking something trying to fix it" is NOT a problem here.

    Oh, the ignorance. It's so great it has its own gravity field!

    --
    --- Grow a pair, liberals... stop letting the Republicans bully you!
  26. yeah by CiXeL · · Score: 1

    tell that to the craploads of companies right now installing Citrix.

    i'm working myself out of a job contract by contract.

    1. Re:yeah by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      One has to wonder how, if you didn't need Windows applications, citrix compares to OpenMOSIX+LTSP. Correct me if I'm wrong - and I very well may be because I've never messed with citrix at all - but you probably can't get very many users on a single PC using citrix. But using a single system image cluster, you should be able to make excellent use of your computing resources regardless of the number of users...

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:yeah by Shados · · Score: 1

      Citrix isn't so hot, plus there are alternatives, like Terminal Service. That being said, for certain relatively intensive apps, I've seen several douzans of users on a server no more powerful than my PC. A bit far from what you can do with a "real" solution for centralized applications, but still quite acceptable in many situations.

  27. And... by Capt+James+McCarthy · · Score: 2, Insightful

    So swings the pendulum.

    --
    There are no loopholes. It's either legal or it's not.
  28. Unintelligent Article by detain · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This has got to be one of the lamest and most uninformed articles Ive read reacently. We have datacenters because no normal person or small business can afford things like huge internet connections from multiple providers, or afford to have network administrators and noc monkeys watching over the systems 24/7, or the expensive routing equipment used. While there is much more to a datacenter my point is already made so i dont need to delve into other reasons we need datacenters.

    --
    http://interserver.net/
    1. Re:Unintelligent Article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He's just bitter because Sun built a big, fuck-off, grid computing facility and no-one wanted to use it.

    2. Re:Unintelligent Article by asuffield · · Score: 1
      This has got to be one of the lamest and most uninformed articles Ive read reacently.


      Clearly you haven't been reading slashdot much.
  29. Nobody need storage by Overzeetop · · Score: 1

    With large increase in SF of both retail and residential spaces, and all the JIT methods of modern processesm, I foresee the end of central warehouses.

    Oh, you mean they can't seem to build enough mini-storage sites? What, they're putting up enormous retail distribution centers for short term storage and efficient delivery?

    Guess what, Einstein - central facilities will always be useful. The exact usage my shift, but the utility will still exist.

    --
    Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
  30. Drill bits running linux? by envelope · · Score: 1

    If my drill bit is running linux, can I install MySQL on it too? Do I really need a data center when I can just keep everything on the drill bit?

    Hmm, I do have a set of 12 bits in my toolbox. Will I have a copy of my database on each one? Or maybe they will each download the data from the drill whenever I switch bits.

    --

    appended to the end of comments you post, 120 chars
    1. Re:Drill bits running linux? by jellomizer · · Score: 1

      I doubt it a bit carries way to small amount of data to store an OS or a database. If you have A couple hundred thousand bits you may be able to get a very small OS on it. :-)

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
  31. He's right by Cally · · Score: 1

    An email went round from our syadmin group the other day, as they were clearing some crappy, redundant old boxes out to make some new rack space. And so now I have a (not very shiny, six year old) Sun Enterprise E4000 in my bedroom! Seriously... it's at the foot of my bed. Quad Sparc procs, only 20Gb system disks but I should be able to pick up some cheap RAID arrays on eBay, once I've got the bastard thing to either boot from the CD drive, or have worked out how to this "pixie boot" thing works.

    --
    "None are more hopelessly enslaved than those who falsely believe they are free." -- Goethe
    1. Re:He's right by oh_the_humanity · · Score: 1

      Its PXE, Pre eXecution Environrment. Pixies are little Faeries.

      --
      "When they invent bitch slaps that can go through a monitor you better f'ing duck" --deft (253558)
  32. Central power generation is doomed... by Dr.+Zowie · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ... with internal combustion engines so small and easy to implement, they're showing up in personal vehicles and even handheld devices like weed-whackers. There's no reason to build all that infrastructure of central powerplants any more -- anyone who wants electricity can just run a small motor to generate it locally.

    Come on, get real folks.

    1. Re:Central power generation is doomed... by meburke · · Score: 1

      This is not so far-fetched as you might think. In the not-too-distant future, many homes WILL come with their own power plants the same way many new homes come with central air conditioning. And the power plants will be networked and gridded so excess power is sent to where it is needed. (Think about the current credit given to solar power or wind power users who feed back to the grid.) Multiple power sources (wind, solar, recovery, compost and fuel) will make modern homes as self-sufficient as a submarine. Look for these features in multi-family dwellings like apartment houses and condominiums first.

      --
      "The mind works quicker than you think!"
    2. Re:Central power generation is doomed... by jeffc128ca · · Score: 1

      Sure, and we will all be driving hovercrafts.

    3. Re:Central power generation is doomed... by meburke · · Score: 1

      Not immediately, anyhow. Here in Houston people can barely drive in 2 dimensions, much less 3.

      However, take a look at the the old AI program, "Boids." Thre are already plans on the board to use a similar "flocking" algorithm to manage congestion and landing at major airports. When people's vehicles can "flock" in three dimensions (and not depend so much on the skill of the alleged driver), it may change the shape of transportation. Look at Japan's bullet trains: they are already being switched and directed robotically.

      --
      "The mind works quicker than you think!"
    4. Re:Central power generation is doomed... by dangitman · · Score: 1

      Will they be full of eels?

      --
      ... and then they built the supercollider.
    5. Re:Central power generation is doomed... by AnyoneEB · · Score: 1

      If you have sufficiently efficient solar panels or whatever other simple renewable resource, then that's great. Currently, I believe that solar panels are too expensive/inefficient to make that a reasonable option for most people. Energy sources like oil/coal/nuclear are much more efficient when done on a large scale. I assume the same is true of compost/garbage burning-based power plants.

      --
      Centralization breaks the internet.
    6. Re:Central power generation is doomed... by Peter+Cooper · · Score: 1

      It could happen when safe, small-scale nuclear fusion becomes a reality. Or.. as is already happening in some places, with solar panels.

    7. Re:Central power generation is doomed... by meburke · · Score: 1

      Yes, so far it is much more efficient to to burn dense energy fuels like oil (diesel for instance), but look at the way our technical innovations are moving: The efficiencies keep improving. There was an article on /. not too long ago about a quadruple increase in the efficiency of solar panels, and it only requires demand to make them cost effective. I think the time frame was predicted to be about 7 years, but I can't remember.

      If a person wants to build their own, it is much cheaper in terms of dollars. Not everyone has a Popular Mechanics or Mother Earth News mentality or skill, so cost benefits are derived from current manufacturing and marketing models. Today's costs are not relevant to future goals, because the goal includes sufficient power, practical operating costs, and practical purchase price point. There are about 24 known factors affecting these goals, and each one has to be addressed. These technologies are already practical in parts of Australia, for instance, but not for Houston or Chicago.

      --
      "The mind works quicker than you think!"
  33. Uh... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Datacenters aren't about space. They're located where they can get cheap power and internet feeds. They're also about uptime, and infrastructure. Even when computers draw 1/4 the power and produce 1/4 the heat they do today you're still going to need to cope with the heat produced and feed them power. If you need a cluster, do you really want to build that infrastructure, or let someone else build and maintain it? Anyway the real point is that a company with a website that gets umpteen zillion hits can put a slower connection at their site to let their users get things done, and not need to get that kind of bandwidth at their site, which might require whole new fiber runs to the telco or other nasty things if one is outside a major metropolitan area.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  34. Not yet by Travoltus · · Score: 1

    Centralized databases are growing in importance. What is developing is all citizens are connected to these mainframes but not voluntarily; databases are collecting all their personal information and are monitoring their calls. In essence, many mini-gigantic mainframes are "connecting" to citizens, involuntarily.

    There's also pseudo-"mainframes" (in function, at least) like MySpace, etc., which connect millions of people at once, voluntarily. I'm of course describing one major website digital community with a central database, as the modern equivalent of a mainframe...

    --
    --- Grow a pair, liberals... stop letting the Republicans bully you!
  35. Data centers are the center of data by JoeCommodore · · Score: 1

    I started out distributed in our area (rural county), we had POTS for connection and no networking in the begining, so I did what any lazy programmer would do, worked up a distributed DB system among tens of clients in two locations. And it is cool in some respects, but a pain to manage, especially if you have wide ranging changes (yes the updates are automated but updating the updater and other connection issues... ugh).

    Now (within the last couple years) we have all the networking of the 21st century (intranet/DSL) as well as the best tools for the job (web based apps, thank the User!) all this reduces the problems of massive redudancy as well as the time and cost of doing/maintining the distributed system. I look forward to a day with a 'honkin huge server managing a bunch of simple thin clients (with the rouge laptop coming and going - replication is great too).

    --
    "Enjoy what you're doing! If it becomes drudgery, you're doing it wrong!" - Jim Butterfield
  36. Hello computer by Jerim · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I don't think the blogger understands what a datacenter is for. True, processors are turning up in all sorts of gadgets. By the are usually RISC processors designed for a very specific use. But even processors, don't store data. That is what a recordable media like harddrives or memory sticks are for.

    A datacenter is for collecting large amounts of data, running operations on that data and providing that data to others. For instance, there is no way that a small handheld device at the loading docks can store the entire inventory for the company over the past 10 years. It can maybe keep a record of the last 30 days, maybe. And even if it were, how would that device let the main office, over 200 miles away know that the cargo has arrived at the docks? How would this CEO be able to find out how many widgets arrive annualy during the month of October and get the average price on them? The answer is that he wouldn't get it from a small handheld device.

    This reminds me of when Scotty said "Hello computer" to the mouse. This guy clearly doesn't understand IT. I sure hope they have a good IT department to keep this guy from sinking the company.

  37. Paper is for old people by brunes69 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Seriously - I am 26, and I use a pen to write something on paper perhaps once every 3-4 days. I also use the printer at my office or home maybe once every 3 weeks at the most.

    Any time I have to do something over the phone or by mail, that I know as a programmer I could be easily be doing online, it pisses me off to no end.

    I know I am not in an uncommon age group either. As I see my nieces and nephews go through school, they use less and less books. They hand in their assignments in USB keys.

    The only people I know of who use paper in any amount are people who are 40+, the type of people who like to print off any website longer than a page because "it is easier to read". How is reading paper easier on the eyes than reading a TFT LCD? Answer? it isn't - it's all psycological.

    The whole "myth" of the paperless world is not a myth, it was just misconstrued - you can't create a paperless world until all the people who are used to using the paper everyday are gone.

    1. Re:Paper is for old people by GuyverDH · · Score: 1

      The only people I know of who use paper in any amount are people who are 40+, the type of people who like to print off any website longer than a page because "it is easier to read".

      You're forgetting the corporates that are financial institutions, insurance brokers, or those that deal with medical information.

      There are all sorts of mandates which REQUIRE hardcopy printouts of all sorts of inane, dare I say it, anal retentive information.

      Individuals may choose to go paperless, but many companies have no choice in the matter.

      --
      Who is general failure, and why is he reading my hard drive?
    2. Re:Paper is for old people by avalys · · Score: 3, Informative

      " How is reading paper easier on the eyes than reading a TFT LCD? Answer? it isn't - it's all psycological."

      Are you kidding? I'm all for getting rid of paper, but at the moment, it has better contrast and better resolution than even the most high-end LCD screens.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank.
    3. Re:Paper is for old people by ben+there... · · Score: 1
      How is reading paper easier on the eyes than reading a TFT LCD? Answer? it isn't - it's all psycological.

      I'm with you there, but I don't think any of my former or current bosses can deal with that. They've always wanted reports printed out from systems that I've built, even though it would be easier to have them get their reports by email or directly from the system online. Then they can filter, correct, annotate, etc. right in the same place that everyone else is looking, or keep it secure if it's that type of information.

      I think it has something to do with their process of dealing with tasks. If they have a pile of paper to be dealt with, they can start on it in the morning, and hopefully have their desk cleared off by the end of the day. Dropping off a note at their desks often ensures it gets done better than sending them an email.

      I'm the exact opposite, though. When I'm given paper, I forget to do anything with it much more frequently than if I have an email sitting in my inbox. I try to get follow up summaries emailed to me after meetings, to add to my list of tasks, just to avoid forgetting about something.

      So I guess I can understand their predicament. Mine is just flipped. But they should still be just like me. ;-)
    4. Re:Paper is for old people by jfengel · · Score: 2, Informative

      Actually, I do find paper easier to read than a TFT LCD. It's a question of DPI: 600 on a page vs. 70-100 on a screen. It's also a question of total surface area: at a comfortable font size (to compensate for that low resolution) you have to scroll a screen, where you can just scan a sheet of paper.

      Like you, I only hand-write or print every few weeks. I won't print off a web site to read it, but I will for papers published in PDF, which have a paper-oriented bias. I'll stop doing that, too, when screen resolutions double.

    5. Re:Paper is for old people by refitman · · Score: 1

      I believe it will be quite a while till we all stop using paper. In my job I find it much easier to pass on phone messages to colleagues using a pen and a Post-It. I draw up merchandising designs for shops, and it's much easier to draw the initial designs on paper, and reading a 50x100 cell spreadsheet on the move is much easier on A3 paper than on a PDA or laptop.

      Until there is a method of data entry as quick and versatile as pen and paper, then this will be my preferred method.

      --
      First God made idiots. That was for practice. Then He made Jack Thompson.
    6. Re:Paper is for old people by patrixmyth · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I'm a few years from your 40+ old cut-off, but I still want to speak up and disagree with you. If you've bought a car or a house, joined a gym, graduated from college or been married, then you should be well aware of the importance of physical representations of data. It's great to be able to look up facts on wikipedia, but do I trust my military records to the digital archive? No. Is that because of my age? No. It's because of my experience. My parents have albums that they no longer can listen to, because they don't own a record player. I have lost touch with friends for months at a time when my cell phone died and took their numbers with it. I have gone to a store to show them a cancelled check that their computer system claimed they never cashed (after my bank's dispute resolution process had sided with them.) I can keep going with examples, some of them from wartime experience where 3 guys standing around a six year old map have saved hundreds of lives. Historians are studying written documents that are thousands of years old. We will only be a paperless (or vellumless, parchment, etc) society when a more reliable form of data storage is available. That day is a LONG WAY off.

      --
      "Don't you know you're going to shock the monkey?"- Peter Gabriel
    7. Re:Paper is for old people by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      which is kind of reenforing the parents point, when the lawmakers are no longer the people from before the internet age that kind of thing will start to change.

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    8. Re:Paper is for old people by phil+reed · · Score: 4, Insightful
      How is reading paper easier on the eyes than reading a TFT LCD?
      Depends. Is the power on?
      --

      ...phil
      "For a list of the ways which technology has failed to improve our quality of life, press 3."
    9. Re:Paper is for old people by drinkypoo · · Score: 1
      The only people I know of who use paper in any amount are people who are 40+, the type of people who like to print off any website longer than a page because "it is easier to read".

      Heh heh, my boss just did this yesterday, with an email I sent her.

      How is reading paper easier on the eyes than reading a TFT LCD? Answer? it isn't - it's all psycological.

      don't forget artists. computers are getting better but natural medium is still, uh, more natural.

      I did just score a Wacom Digitizer II for $10 at a yard sale though. I have an inutous (I know that's not how you spell it, but after about ten tries I gave up and I'm not going to go look it uo) artpad 5x7 but, uh, it's 5x7. This is at least a little bigger. My lady love, who is quite the artist, is tickled by the very concept. We sat down and played with the gimp together for a while (boy does that sound wrong... programmers shouldn't be allowed to name applications apparently) and she's pretty well enthralled.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    10. Re:Paper is for old people by foobsr · · Score: 1

      How stupid to develop e-ink then.

      CC.

      --
      TaijiQuan (Huang, 5 loosenings)
    11. Re:Paper is for old people by mini+me · · Score: 1

      I agree. I don't own a printer. I don't see any reason why I'd ever want to print anything out. I don't create any pen and paper documents. The computer does a better job at that too. The only time I have anything to do with paper is if someone else gives that paper to me. And quite frankly, that's better served by electronic methods as well.

      Paper really has no redeeming qualities. It's hard to manage, it's hard to read, it's hard to transport, etc., etc. I really don't understand why anyone would prefer it over the electronic equivalent. Especially when they're using electronic devices to create the paper document in the first place.

    12. Re:Paper is for old people by ben+there... · · Score: 1
      at a comfortable font size (to compensate for that low resolution) you have to scroll a screen, where you can just scan a sheet of paper.

      I'm laaaazy. I read /. by flicking my scroll wheel after clicking one of my extra mouse buttons to increase the font size 3 times. It's freakin huge, but it's easy to read and the scroll wheel is right there anyway. It's much easier to lounge around doing that then hunched over a piece of paper and actually having to move my arm to flip(!) the pages.
    13. Re:Paper is for old people by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      VERY Minor nit: I personally have a 133 ppi LCD screen (15" 1600x1200 on my IBM Stinkpad A21p.) IBM has actually had 120+ PPI LCDs for many years.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    14. Re:Paper is for old people by SCHecklerX · · Score: 1

      Google maps when going on a trip in your car, maybe? That's the main use my printer at home gets. It's also much easier to deal with tricky instructions for setting up oddball service $foo on your server if you have it on paper in front of you. I also prefer paper copies of meeting agendas to take notes on in the office.

    15. Re:Paper is for old people by arodland · · Score: 1

      Is it now? My understanding was that ordinary black ink on ordinary white paper gives you a contrast ratio of 50:1 to 100:1. LCDs manage ratios of several hundred to one. Unfortunately, they have to do this by being fairly bright, as they can't manage super-pure blacks.

      As to the resolution, of course you're right, even a crappy old laser will pull 180dpi and most printouts are higher; however, digital displays are improving in that department too. Used to be 72ppi was common, then 96 or 100; now there's a reasonable number of displays with 120ppi. I even have a device that does 200ppi; unfortunately it's only a 4" screen :)

    16. Re:Paper is for old people by hal2814 · · Score: 1

      I'm 27 and I use paper quite a bit. I too am a programmer and I don't use paper for the heck of it, but when it's more convenient I'll opt for paper every time. Sometimes I'll print out a reference sheet for an API (or subsection of an API) I'm not familiar with so I can thumb through it without having to tab out of whatever editor I'm running. I also make extensive use of scratch paper when debugging. It's just faster than tabbing back and forth between a scratch pad and an editor. When it comes down to it, I have this massive desk compared to either my one or two monitor setup. If I don't get the screen real estate I need, I won't hesitate to print out things that transalte well to print and have them available on my desk.

      "How is reading paper easier on the eyes than reading a TFT LCD? Answer? it isn't"

      You forget about contrast. Try reading a newspaper in bight daylight vs. reading a TFT in bright daylight. Paper is a LOT easier to make out in outdoor conditions.

      (And I would make a harmless joke about your neices and nephews using fewer books in school because they're not learning as much but I just couldn't craft something funny enough in the time I have here.)

    17. Re:Paper is for old people by dpilot · · Score: 1

      Everybody's missed the obvious one...

      Sure you can take a TFT LCD to the john, but when you have to do your paper work, hardcopy conveniently tucks behind the dispensor or can be jimmied between the coathook and the side wall. I tend to prefer not to do something so precarious with a laptop. Laptops might break when they fall 5 feet, paper won't.

      --
      The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
    18. Re:Paper is for old people by sholden · · Score: 1

      daylight?

    19. Re:Paper is for old people by walt-sjc · · Score: 1

      Yeah, my laptop has ~145ppi (DumdumDell D810 1920x1200). That said, the screen is 8.25" tall, where paper is 11". I still can't comfortably read a PDF without scrolling because of this due to the size of the text. My eyes just are not that good. My desktop monitor is a much lower 85ppi, and that's just not enough dots to read a PDF full height either.

    20. Re:Paper is for old people by glsunder · · Score: 1

      It's not just contrast ratio or ppi. I don't even think that is the main issue. It's also the fact that LCDs are bright (harder on eyes), subtly change colors at different angles, are stuck at one viewing angle (the monitor is mounted/sitting somewhere), etc. Monitors also get dirty (yeah, they're cleanable). I don't think it's any single thing. It's sort of a "death by a thousand paper cuts" type thing.

      I personally like the web for somethings, and paper for others. Anytime I have something long that I have to read every word, I prefer paper.

    21. Re:Paper is for old people by Pike · · Score: 0, Troll
      "Is that because of my age? No. It's because of my experience."

      So, it's because of your age then?
    22. Re:Paper is for old people by Tim+Browse · · Score: 1

      How is reading paper easier on the eyes than reading a TFT LCD? Answer? it isn't - it's all psycological.

      Well, let's just start with the superior resolution of most printed matter, the fact that you're reading from a reflective surface rather than a transmissive one, and all the effort still being put into making on-screen fonts easier to read, and take it from there.

    23. Re:Paper is for old people by Cecil · · Score: 1

      Try reading a newspaper in bight daylight vs. reading a TFT in bright daylight.

      It has nothing to do with contrast, but it does depend strongly on the LCD in question. A non-backlit LCD is no problem at all to read in sunlight. Some well-designed LCDs are easy to make out as well. Nintendo's Gameboy Advance SP, for instance, is actually easier to read in sunlight than it is in a dim environment with the backlight on in my opinion. It depends a lot on the coating on the front of the screen, and the design of the backing (for the backlight).

      Put simply, the problem with backlit screens is that they typically use a CCFL light on one edge of the screen, then an angled reflector behind the screen reflects the light to exit evenly across the screen. A screen that looks good in direct light, on the other hand, requires a flat reflector that reflects the light back out the same way it came in. These goals aren't entirely incompatible, they just require some extra engineering. There are many LCDs that look fine in sunlight, but they are a niche market because most people just don't care. Panasonic Toughbooks are designed to work well in sunlight for example.

    24. Re:Paper is for old people by SanityInAnarchy · · Score: 2, Insightful
      We will only be a paperless (or vellumless, parchment, etc) society when a more reliable form of data storage is available. That day is a LONG WAY off.

      While it will take awhile to prove, I suspect that digital representations can be more reliable and less forgeable than paper. The problem is, computers are some of the most mishandled tools around.

      I wouldn't trust paper either if clueless people were always accidentally burning them ("I thought you could set a book down anywhere! How was I to know the stove would burn it?"), storing them in cool, wet places ("Oh, you meant a cool, dry place?"), using important documents for scratch paper or making paper hats out of them... You get the idea.

      Reliable computer storage is pretty much here, for those who care to use it. The problem is not that computers are so unreliable, or even that Windows is so insecure. The problem is that most people have plenty of education surrounding other aspects of their life -- they are required to learn arithmetic and geography in school, they need to pass Driver's Ed to get a license. Nobody uses a paper filing system without having some idea of what's going on, and paper filing systems are generally redundant. But we are not required to take a class on basic computer usage, that explains things like the necessity to keep backups, or when not to reflexively hit "OK".

      So, reliable computers are easily possible. Reliable users are a long way off.

      --
      Don't thank God, thank a doctor!
    25. Re:Paper is for old people by symlink · · Score: 1

      Interesting, I guess.. but what does this have to do with having a datacenter vs. not?

    26. Re:Paper is for old people by beadfulthings · · Score: 1

      With all due respect, try having your driver's license stolen. It may be laminated plastic, it may have smart technology, but it still functions like a piece of paper, presentable on demand to all sorts of people from the cops to the people at the grocery store where you want to write out a check. Same goes for your passport, which possibly sports an impressive array of imprints made with a very old-fashioned rubber stamp. It's a technology that's as readily accessible in East BF as in North America and Europe.

      I'm also thinking of the approaching elections. People in any number of states, having seen the unreliability of "e-voting" (and I use the term "voting" advisedly) are setting up a clamor for--you got it--old-fashioned paper ballots.

      I think paper's going to be around for another little while.

      --
      "Here's what's happening. You're starting to drive like your Dad..." - Red Green
    27. Re:Paper is for old people by bec1948 · · Score: 1


      First, as an older person (58), my eyes too aren't what they once were. But I do perfer reading the screen for most things. Work stuff, newspapers, and so forth. I do print things out however. As an Editor and Writer, while making corrections and so forth is easier for my on the screen, making sure that the content referred to on page one that's on page 16 is correct is much easier on paper.

      But these are all technical issues. There's one other big reason: Have you gone to the toilet with a laptop? Sure you can do it, but paper is much better. And you never know when you'll need an extra sheet!

    28. Re:Paper is for old people by fyngyrz · · Score: 1
      Google maps when going on a trip in your car, maybe

      Get a decent GPS. End of need for paper maps. Period. My GPS can get me there, find me lodging, food, entertainment, landmarks, let me explore... Modern GPS systems are mind-blowing. They make it a lot more fun to drive, as well,

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    29. Re:Paper is for old people by kent_eh · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The only people I know of who use paper in any amount are people who are 40+, the type of people who like to print off any website longer than a pagebecause "it is easier to read". How is reading paper easier on the eyes than reading a TFT LCD? Answer? it isn't - it's all psycological.

      Hmmm. Let's see what I've printed off recently..

      - A couple of pages from a work order so I can take them into the racks with me - I want to connect everything correctly.
      - Some sheet music. Because that laptop doesn't fit on my music stand.
      - A floor plan, so that I can take it with me to the room it describes and mark the plan up as I measure the *real* dimentions of things around the room. (sure, I could take a laptop with me for this, but it's not nearly as portable).
      - An article or 2 to read on the bus (or in the shitter)

      Easier to read doesn't always mean "easier on the eyes". It's not easy to read something if it isn't where you are doing the reading.

      --

      ---
      "I can't complain, but sometimes still do..." Joe Walsh
    30. Re:Paper is for old people by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      How is reading paper easier on the eyes than reading a TFT LCD?
      LCDs are certainly easier on the eyes than CRTS (at least when running at thier native resoloution) but there are still a number of issues with replacing paper.

      1: visible area, flicking between windows is a pain and when using an app on a PC i tend to wan't all the availible screen real estate for what i'm actually doing on the PC. having it on paper means i can look at it while the app i'm mainly working with is covering the screen. Multiple monitors are a possible soloution but its rare to get these when away from your primary computer.

      2: illumination, sure laptops may be portable but they need the right light, too dark and you can't see the keyboard, too bright and you can't see the screen.

      3: scribleability, i have never found any software that compares to the ease and flexibility of using a pen on a printed document. you can easilly and quickly write and draw small notes about the information onto the printed text and keep it absoloutely clear what stuff you noted on and what stuff is original.

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    31. Re:Paper is for old people by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      paper is also much higher resolution and has better anti-glare coating

    32. Re:Paper is for old people by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Back to the most reliable form of storage: clay tablets! A few thousand years and still going strong.

    33. Re:Paper is for old people by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's why Internet access on mobile phones is a must.

    34. Re:Paper is for old people by merreborn · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Anyone who's done any serious research into long term archival media will tell you the same thing. If you want access to your records 100 years from now, put them down on acid-free paper, and store them in a controlled environment. CDs, hard drives, floppies -- all crap, in the long run.

      However, paper currently serves many purposes other than archival. There's no need for the phone company to send me a bill every month, for example. I can take care of it over the phone and/or internet; and I do. And us young folks are looking to eliminate *that* paper.

      For archives and books, paper's still the way to go.

    35. Re:Paper is for old people by i_ate_god · · Score: 1
      No. Is that because of my age? No. It's because of my experience.


      The two usually go together don't they?
      --
      I'm god, but it's a bit of a drag really...
    36. Re:Paper is for old people by Intron · · Score: 1

      Oh come on, mods. I'm 50+ and thought it was funny as hell.

      --
      Intron: the portion of DNA which expresses nothing useful.
    37. Re:Paper is for old people by MasTRE · · Score: 1

      This is to address the older ppl here who disagree.

      Let me post "my specs" first: I'm 30 although I feel older in thought. I am not afraid of change. I think older generations are at least somewhat wiser than today's generations, including my own, and I think that's due mostly to technology and how it's changed the average person's life to be more about quantity/instant gratification. I think that my generation and those younger than mine are extremely narrow-sighted and are more likely to be easily controlled as a herd than, for example, my parents' generation. To use a cliche, today's generations are ever more faithful to the Matrix societal model.

      However, just because I think there is a better way, that we could do better, we could live better, we can more fully develop as humans, it does not change reality one bit. Reality is only one way and it is brutally honest. The ones dreaming about paper making a comeback are living in fantasy land. Nobody's going to use paper in a short while. That may be a good or a bad thing, but it's irrelevant to reality. People are no longer learning cursive writing. Good or bad? Doesn't matter to reality.

      To address the OP, the only reason datacenters are not deprecated right now it's because there isn't a better solution. That's reality. People are not spending money on data centers because they like the idea, or because they fancy the term "data center." They are doing it because it is a solution to a practical problem they are faced with. Until "drill bits" and these "so small" computers can provide a reliable service with an SLA (and remember, this would all have to happen over these magical wireless networks we keep hearing about, which we all know are rock-solid, and should be your transport of choice for your credit-card-collecting e-commerce website), data centers won't be deprecated. This is reality. As cool and new-age and web20 and ajaxy and lofty this idea may sound, it's not here and it's nowhere near. I don't see it ever happening, not because I like data centers but because I think some other method of delivery will become king when data centers will be deprecated. What that method is, I dunno, or I do know but I'm not telling because I want to be rich (and that's reality).

      --
      Must-not-watch TV!
    38. Re:Paper is for old people by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The only people I know of who use paper in any amount are people who are 40+, the type of people who like to print off any website longer than a page because "it is easier to read". How is reading paper easier on the eyes than reading a TFT LCD? Answer? it isn't - it's all psycological.

      Let's see if your opinion changes when your eye balls are 40+ years old.

      Of course by then, screens with a pixels-per-inch close to 200 might be available.

    39. Re:Paper is for old people by Intron · · Score: 1

      Great. Where can I get a GPS that will display a 5" x 5" map plus directions in color for free? Oh, and it should also offer a toolkit for it's API so I can add my own software like Google maps does.

      --
      Intron: the portion of DNA which expresses nothing useful.
    40. Re:Paper is for old people by mSparks43 · · Score: 1

      Well, I've effectively been running a paperless 'office' for nearly two years now. The only paper I have are in the form of books, and that is only when a digital version is not available: These books I read sync'd with a PDA:
      My parents have albums that they no longer can listen to, because they don't own a record player.
      >digtal downloads - ripping them is not to hard, and why dont they have a record player - because the hardware is prohibitively expensive?

      in fact everything you've said are the PRIME reasons why the digital office has taken over. Even 'six year old map' - what would have happened if that 6 year old map neglected to mention that the area you were about to go through had been laid with mines just a few days before?

      "reliable form of data storage is available" that is the point of datacenters - colocation, I mean, lets face it, paper is hardly a reliable form of data storage is it? I dont know many pieces of paper that are still recoverable after a direct hit from 100lbs of explosive - usb stick anyone?

      All you point out is the fact paper currently remains the 'defacto' standard for historical data verification (and thats mainly in-person POS), which is a very different thing. - In actual fact the very reason it was a CHECK that was cancelled, highlights my point, I very much doubt you would have had similar issues if it had been done digitally, like, say, with a debit/CC card.

    41. Re:Paper is for old people by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      "The only people I know of who use paper in any amount are people who are 40+, the type of people who like to print off any website longer than a page because "it is easier to read". How is reading paper easier on the eyes than reading a TFT LCD? Answer? it isn't - it's all psychological."
      Do you have a monitor that can display at 600 dpi?
      I know I don't
      Paper is also more glare resistant than any monitor I have used.
      Yea monitors are good but no paper is often easier to read.
      Not only that but maps on paper are much easier to deal with in a car and or motorcycle. Navigation systems are good but sometimes a map is still better. Not only that but they have a much better battery life.

      So the answer is sometimes paper IS better than a monitor.
      And yes it is often much easier to read. My notebook is useless in full sunlight.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    42. Re:Paper is for old people by dpilot · · Score: 1

      But now the screen is so small that it's clearly harder to read than paper, or at least more cumbersome.

      --
      The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
    43. Re:Paper is for old people by QuasarBlazar · · Score: 1

      Even those circumstances are heading out the door though. I previously worked in a hospital where a lot of the doctors were paying a ton of money to get their offices converted to electronic medical records so they didn't have to deal with that paper trail. I currently work in a financial institution where receipts and loan apps etc are slowly all becoming digital. It's only a matter of time.... it may be 20 years, but it's still only a matter of time.

    44. Re:Paper is for old people by asv108 · · Score: 1
      How is reading paper easier on the eyes than reading a TFT LCD? Answer? it isn't - it's all psycological.

      That is complete bull, the quality of print is leaps and bounds ahead of most display technology. I'm a big consumer of digital media, but current screen technology pales in comparison to a high quality print job.

    45. Re:Paper is for old people by SanityInAnarchy · · Score: 1
      If you want access to your records 100 years from now, put them down on acid-free paper, and store them in a controlled environment.

      And when that controlled environment fails, or soemone flat-out steals those records? Paper doesn't inherently offer redundancy. It's also harder to keep up-to-date.

      CDs, hard drives, floppies -- all crap, in the long run.

      It doesn't have to be a single CD, or hard drive, or floppy, or whatever.

      If you're thinking of archives we want to be around for centuries, that's easy enough. Put them on a server with a fairly large RAID array, and replicate it over the Internet to another datacenter or two. If one hard drive dies, you swap it out for another. If one RAID controller or whole box goes down, hard, you build a new one and replicate the data back. If you don't want the hassle of doing this yourself, especially if it's just a small amount of personal data, you get Google to do it for you.

      I don't know of a good way to achieve that level of redundancy with paper, not cheaply, and certainly not if you want to be able to keep updating constantly.

      For archives and books, paper's still the way to go.

      This may be an old-person issue, also -- I actually don't mind reading a book on a decent LCD. eInk would be better, but LCDs aren't bad.

      --
      Don't thank God, thank a doctor!
    46. Re:Paper is for old people by Brickwall · · Score: 1
      No. Is that because of my age? No. It's because of my experience.

      The two usually go together don't they?

      Not necessarily. He was talking about his experience with paper data trails, as opposed to electronic ones.

      I'm over 50 but I have zero combat experience, zero homosexual experience, and far too much living in my mom's basement experience.

      --
      What was once true, is no longer so
    47. Re:Paper is for old people by camt · · Score: 1

      Bingo. The reflective versus transmissive one is a big one for me. I find reflective surfances MUCH easier to read.

      No one seems to have mentioned the anti-aliasing qualities of print. Printed material benefits from centuries of quality tyography development. Computers still have trouble with this, though it is getting much better.

    48. Re:Paper is for old people by flaming-opus · · Score: 1

      I'm going to have to agree that paper isn't dead anytime soon. The internet is pretty good for transitory, unimportant data. I read the newspaper online. I pay my electric bills. I even submit my taxes online, but not before printing out two copies on paper, and putting one in the firebox, and one in the safety-deposite box. PAper burns at 451 degrees, CDs melt at about 300 degrees, hard drives too. Also: In property disputes, the story goes, possession is 9 / 10ths of the law. Well with data on paper, a good padlock is 9 / 10ths of good data security. Noone in Nigeria is going to hack my filedrawer with some virus on an mp3 file.

    49. Re:Paper is for old people by SomeGuyTyping · · Score: 1

      BURN!

      --
      My posts are definitive. Reality is frequently inaccurate.
    50. Re:Paper is for old people by SABME · · Score: 1

      From the parent:
      "If you're thinking of archives we want to be around for centuries, that's easy enough. Put them on a server with a fairly large RAID array, and replicate it over the Internet to another datacenter or two. If one hard drive dies, you swap it out for another. If one RAID controller or whole box goes down, hard, you build a new one and replicate the data back. If you don't want the hassle of doing this yourself, especially if it's just a small amount of personal data, you get Google to do it for you."

      The problem is that, 100 years from now, if your RAID controller goes down, will you be able to get a repalcement? Will we still even be using disks 100 years from now? Will Google still be around in 100 years?

      Fine, you might say, if there's no disks or Google or whatever you can always copy your data to the latest and greatest storage medium. But there's the rub: it costs, to copy and to maintain this stuff.

      If you write something on paper, after you write it once, you're done for the next 100 years or more, as long as you store it correctly. The cost of maintaining your paper data for a long time is much lower than it is for electronic data.

      Granted, you'll want an electronic copy of any important data you create. But who's to say that what people consider important now will still be important in 100 years? Or that someone in the future will find value in something we consider unimportant today?

    51. Re:Paper is for old people by QuantumFlux · · Score: 1

      I am also 26 and I use paper every single day. I am a scientific software developer by profession and most of my day is front of a computer, both at work and at home. I usually watch TV with a PowerBook on my lap.

      That being said, I -always- keep a paper notebook sitting on my desk between my keyboard and display. I'm constantly writing little notes down, things I think of, doodles, anything else. And I actually do go back through my notes to jog my memory on ideas, numbers, formulas, etc. My desk is covered with papers because I can physically sift through them and and scan them (with my eyes) faster than searching for PDF files on my computer or clicking through Google. Plus I make copious use of stickies.

      It's not that I don't like reading online, I obviously have a lot more info available through my computer and the web than on paper, and I'm constantly making use of it, but I think there's room for dead trees too - even for someone in the 18-34 year old age group.

    52. Re:Paper is for old people by syrion · · Score: 1
      There are many books which haven't been stored in a controlled environment which were originally printed in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries. They weren't published on great paper, either. There is no proof that computer media--any computer media--can or will last that long. Remember the gold disc they sent out into space? The one that the aliens are supposed to play on their convenient turntable? Yeah.

      Also, as a still-fairly-young person, I must say that LCD screens cause me to have terrible eye fatigue. I'd much rather read on paper--or even a CRT.

    53. Re:Paper is for old people by The+Man · · Score: 1

      I'm 27, and I take notes exclusively on paper, using computers for two purposes only: as communication terminals, and to develop software on. Everything else, including my software development notes, is on paper. What happened between 1979 and 1980?

    54. Re:Paper is for old people by isj · · Score: 1

      Historians are studying written documents that are thousands of years old.

      Probably not paper documents. Parchment and papyrus.
      Paper made from trees contain acid that destroys the paper after 200-400 year. There are treatments that remove the acid from the paper. There is also paper with higher content of cotton, but that is expensive. The paper in old books that were made more than 400 years ago were not made from tree pulp.

      Your marriage cercificate? Gone in 100 years.
      All paper trails from you? 200 years maybe.

      If you are lucky your tombstone may last a few thousand years before it is reused or destroyed by acid rain.

      But paper is still way better than low-quality writable CDs, hard drives, magnetic tapes etc. The jury is still out on high-quality CD-ROMs and laserdiscs.

    55. Re:Paper is for old people by QuasiEvil · · Score: 1

      Reliable data storage is possible, but at what price?

      Paper is very easy to store. You use good stock and you throw it in a fire-resistant safe, preferably high off the ground and outside of buildings that are prone to fire. My parents keep their important papers in a safe on a high shelf in the steel shed in their back yard. It's been there for decades. The papers in there look nearly as good as the day they put them in - some of which have been there for nearly four decades (marriage certificate is what I'm specifically thinking of). The deed to the place has been in there for thirty years, and also looks just like new.

      Data is hard to store. I'm an engineer by day, but I'm also a semi-professional photographer (meaning I make a few grand a year at it, not enough to be a full-time job, but enough to pay for some kickass gear for my pseudo-hobby). For the last five years, I've been shooting digital. When you have nearly 3/4 of a terabyte of images to store, maintenance becomes a real headache. You change disks in the RAID, you make enormous backups, you monitor for corruption. I've never lost an image... yet. I've come dangerously close, however. The last time a disk in the array failed, I discovered another one was having problems while the array was rebuilt on a new disk. It didn't fail until after things were complete, but I had two weddings I'd shot that day that hadn't been properly integrated into a real backup yet. I've had backups come up bad during attempted restores, including one on supposedly "archival" quality media where the dye layer had started to delaminate (and yes, it was stored in a cool, dark location with a constant humidity of about 40% - my basement). Basically, yes, you can build a reliable system, but it takes considerable effort to do archivist-style work.

      Papers? Yup, still the way to go for the important stuff, and I'm only 29. For that matter, I also think they're easier to read, particularly when I'm sitting out on my deck. Sun really washes out the old LCD on the laptop. I'm actually having a tough time editing this because I can barely read through the glare. I also like printed copies for datasheets when I'm building stuff. I can mark pages with post-its, scribble notes to myself, and eventually the doc just falls open to the pages I frequently use.

    56. Re:Paper is for old people by welock · · Score: 1

      I'm 24 years old myself - and far from an old fogey - but in my "personal" opinion, I prefer paper much more so than a digital copy for archives and books as well. Here are my reasons why:

      With ALL CONDITIONS EQUAL, anything that would destroy a paper archive can potentially destroy a digital media (time, fire, structure compromise). You would possibly have a much better chance of recovering unprotected paper documents from a pile of rubble than a set of unprotected hard drives, CD's, etc.

      With paper archives and books, you have the most universal chance to access the material. Paper requres no admin or user accounts (past a security check or otherwise)to access the system needed to read them in a security environment - for that matter, paper requires no external device period to access the material, except the ole eyeballs. As long as you can read, and have proper clearance, you have the documents ready - no fuss.

      I can agree with anyone that there are plenty of paper trails that could be (if not already) paperless, such as home bills, non-essential documents, and all those bulletin sheets you find taped on the walls throughout the office that could have easily been distributed via e-mail. In my personal experience, however, I've always preferred a physical book or reference material to a digital one. When I need to recall or reference information often (sometimes multiple time throughout a single day), I like being able to access that material anytime without fuss - and no need for an external device or interface. On a paper reference I can jot notes, ideas, etc. when I want to. It's just a pen stroke away. This makes for a simple, easy experience, which is the philosophy of technology to begin with.

      Just my two cents.

    57. Re:Paper is for old people by SanityInAnarchy · · Score: 1

      The problem is that, 100 years from now, if your RAID controller goes down, will you be able to get a repalcement? Will we still even be using disks 100 years from now?

      The solution is, it really doesn't matter, so long as we use something that even remotely resembles a filesystem. In fact, you say as much:

      Fine, you might say, if there's no disks or Google or whatever you can always copy your data to the latest and greatest storage medium. But there's the rub: it costs, to copy and to maintain this stuff.

      Yes, it does. It also costs money to store paper.

      If you write something on paper, after you write it once, you're done for the next 100 years or more, as long as you store it correctly. The cost of maintaining your paper data for a long time is much lower than it is for electronic data.

      I'm not convinced of that. Let me put it this way: My home directory contains all the files that I care about. Records, notes, papers, old school projects. It is currently 32 gigs, and a significant portion of that is miscellaneous media, downloads, and Windows games. Even the "important" stuff contains files five years old or more, that I have no use for.

      32 gigs seems like a lot, doesn't it? Well, I currently have some 350 gigs available on this partition, which I use to store movies, games, work on programming projects, install miscellaneous software, and generally mess around with. It's been suggested that Moore's Law is true just as much, if not moreso, for storage space. Therefore, every time I upgrade my computer, I'm generally going to end up with as much or more space available, much of it used for such temporary things as Doom 3 and Quake 4 (which I probably won't play again).

      So, I'll grant you this point:

      Granted, you'll want an electronic copy of any important data you create. But who's to say that what people consider important now will still be important in 100 years? Or that someone in the future will find value in something we consider unimportant today?

      Well, for one, I sincerely doubt I'll consider a copy of Star Trek: The Next Generation to be important in 100 years, especially when it's not even close to the only such copy.

      The point is, I currently have no use for paper, or the kind of storage I'd need for such paper. I do have a use for computer storage, which will be increasing exponentially for the forseeable future. So, for a document to last my lifetime, I just have to carry it with me from storage device to storage device. Since each storage device will have vastly more space than I need for important documents, the cost of maintaining records is negligable, so long as I, personally, have a use for such a device at the moment.

      If no one cares to set aside a few gigs of spare storage for my documents, I probably don't have anything worth keeping anyway.

      And to answer your question about Google: Maybe not, but you can distribute your documents among multiple online services. In Google's case, they, too, have a current, urgent need for vast amounts of storage. Setting aside 2 gigs per Gmail account, or for your spreadsheets and documents, is really not a big deal for them, even to carry such documents into perpetuity, since they are already paying the power bills, they're already paying for new hardware, all for massively more amounts of data which they will likely throw away -- think Google Cache.

      You could say paper is kind of the same way. If you already have a cool, dry, dark place to store your documents, and you're already creating them on paper in the first place, then a filing system doesn't cost much, and you get to carry it 100 years into the future for free. Well, same for storage -- if I already have a redundant digital store that I'll be replacing every five or ten years anyway, then it costs me almost nothing to throw in archival documents.

      This is true from a personal level on up to

      --
      Don't thank God, thank a doctor!
    58. Re:Paper is for old people by Angostura · · Score: 1

      You've just said most eloquently, exactly what I came here to say.

      I'd also add

      4: Portability. I quite often print something out to read on the train, or the toilet, or wherever. I can fold it up and tuck it in a pocket, scribble stuff on it and flick back and forth between pages.

    59. Re:Paper is for old people by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also I can easily print out 10 different documents and spread them out on my desk and work on my circuit design. Can I open up these same 10 files without wasting my time flipping windows gadgets while still have a full screen for my schematic?

      Hardcopy ~ $0.02 a page
      My time $50 sn hour

      You work the math...

    60. Re:Paper is for old people by Plutonite · · Score: 1

      Nonsense.

      I'm younger than you are, comp.science major, and I take paper over aritificial methods of I/O any day. Have you ever been to an ACM contest? Most people find it far easier to solve things/come up with ideas/design on paper than through the use of a terminal.

      There is nothing like a pen - a real pen though, not some stylus or other nonsense. It's not about being old school..it's just that human instinct has us drawn to the idea of inscribing the abstraction of thought, i.e symbols, on a hard surface, and obtaining it from the same.

      I read info from screens all day, but nothing is more enjoyable than turning the pages of a book that you hold in your hands or can feel the texture of under your fingers. It is hard to explain, but for us mathematicians (and that's what we are in CS) it is far easier to reflect on paper. Maybe it's the calmness of the blank sheet relative to the excitement of the monitor, maybe it's our imagination. But we are not ancient.
      You are just new here ;)

    61. Re:Paper is for old people by SanityInAnarchy · · Score: 1
      With ALL CONDITIONS EQUAL, anything that would destroy a paper archive can potentially destroy a digital media (time, fire, structure compromise).

      Except it's much harder to constantly be storing paper in one location, and faxing it to another to store, versus keeping something like DRBD running over the Internet.

      With paper archives and books, you have the most universal chance to access the material. Paper requres no admin or user accounts (past a security check or otherwise)to access the system needed to read them in a security environment - for that matter, paper requires no external device period to access the material, except the ole eyeballs. As long as you can read, and have proper clearance, you have the documents ready - no fuss.

      With computers, you have the best chance to be able to find the material. Filing, sorting, and searching can be done by the computer. Also, computers do not necessarily require admin or user accounts, any more than paper does, and both can have such accounts.

      Personally, I much prefer a digital copy, especially of a reference. Searchability is just huge when it comes to reference material, and an index is a lot slower.

      --
      Don't thank God, thank a doctor!
    62. Re:Paper is for old people by COMON$ · · Score: 1
      Yes digital has its problems, but you must not be old enough to remember how hard, inefficient, and scary, it was with paper. Anybody with a head on their shoulders could counterfit your checks. Your military records could all disappear in one fire. Or for that matter be lost as many are in the endless piles of paperwork.....how many times have I had documents lost in the flow of corporate papers....

      My gym membership has never been called into question as it has a barcode, (of course on a piece of paper). My wife has lost contact with friends for months when her planner disappeared, whereas all my contacts are stored redundantly in gmail and outlook. Checks were never ever ever a secure reliable source of cash flow. As for maps, well you got me there a good map in your hand is better than a GPS device with a dead battery anyday.

      Saying that checks, paper address books, and paper records are more reliable than data versions is just foolish. Historians are studying those documents because they are fragments of lost civilizations, in a dead language usually (as our encryption methods will be in a couple decades). Paper does not survive, it is organic, it will break down, it is a much more unstable media than electronic media that lives and replicates constantly. Paper gets lost daily and is not uncommon to lose gym memberships, car titles, marriage certificates, and SS cards. Luckily, electronic methods have come around to save us from the hassles of the old days.

      Unfortunately data is lost, sometimes things dont go right, but the digital age allows us to see where things go wrong, whereas with the paper ages we wouldnt know for decades and millinea when it is too late.

      --
      CS: It is all sink or swim...oh and did I mention there are sharks in that water?
    63. Re:Paper is for old people by Kidbro · · Score: 1

      All examples are you give are easilly solved by proper backup/mirroring routines, and digital certificates.
      I'd trust a digitally signed (possibly encrypted) copy of my data, mirrored at, say a dozen different places in the world, over a single, fragile, inflamable photo album, audio recording, phone book or cheque.
      You list one example where it might be good to have a temporary physical medium for data - the map. However, all your contempt for digital data is based on experiences where people have treated it carelessly. None of them need be repeated with the technology we have available.

      In short - the problems described are, as always, sociological rather than technological.

    64. Re:Paper is for old people by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      LCDs manage ratios of several hundred to one. Unfortunately, they have to do this by being fairly bright, as they can't manage super-pure blacks.

      That's kind of the problem. Staring into a bright light all day is hardly comfortable.

      As to the resolution, of course you're right, even a crappy old laser will pull 180dpi and most printouts are higher; however, digital displays are improving in that department too. Used to be 72ppi was common, then 96 or 100; now there's a reasonable number of displays with 120ppi. I even have a device that does 200ppi; unfortunately it's only a 4" screen :)

      120 ppi is still only a tiny fraction of what real printing produces. Did you know that professional typographers consider most laser printers inadequate for proofing purposes, because even 600 ppi is too low resolution to get a perfect representation of text? Now, you and I aren't bothered about every minute detail, but if there are people who can see the difference at 600 ppi, how can you suppose even 200 ppi is approaching print quality?

    65. Re:Paper is for old people by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      try having your driver's license stolen. It may be laminated plastic, it may have smart technology, but it still functions like a piece of paper, presentable on demand to all sorts of people from the cops to the people at the grocery store where you want to write out a check.

      Huh? You have to present ID at the grocery store in America? That's just crazy. Americans claim Britain is a police state because we have a few public surveillance cameras, but at least we don't have to carry ID cards.* There's nothing we even have to present to the police on demand, let alone shop assistants.

      * Yet.

    66. Re:Paper is for old people by paitre · · Score: 1

      Hence why I use a CRT for most of my daily computer use, and try to avoid the damned LCD panel I have to use on the laptop.

      Blah.

    67. Re:Paper is for old people by beadfulthings · · Score: 1

      Golly! I'm moving to the UK! From what you're saying, if I get a traffic ticket, the cops won't be able to request my driver's license. And if I want to write a bad check, nobody will care who I am.

      Must be nice to have that much liberty. But how in the world do they sort you out if you commit a driving no-no.

      --
      "Here's what's happening. You're starting to drive like your Dad..." - Red Green
    68. Re:Paper is for old people by paeanblack · · Score: 1

      If you're thinking of archives we want to be around for centuries, that's easy enough. Put them on a server with a fairly large RAID array, and replicate it over the Internet to another datacenter or two. If one hard drive dies, you swap it out for another. If one RAID controller or whole box goes down, hard, you build a new one and replicate the data back.

      Ten years ago, mag-tape was going to last for centuries. Ten years before that, microfiche was going to last for centuries. Ten years for that, microfilm was going to last for centuries.

      Ten years from now when your datacenters are hunting for ancient RAID controllers that are not longer made, can't afford the power and A/C bills without charging you pound-me-in-the-ass prices, can't reliably syncronize over a tiered internet, and can't cough up your data any faster than you could drive there and haul it all back on a single plastic chip the size of your thumbnail, you are going to really be wondering how you got yourself into this mess.

      Data storage is easy. Retrieval is a bitch. Throwing the techno-fad of the day at the problem doesn't solve it.

    69. Re:Paper is for old people by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > So, reliable computers are easily possible. Reliable users are a long way off.

      It's one and the same, IMO. On the computer side, the company I work for specializes in medical and banking filing systems. Almost two decades since the first claims of "paper is dying" and we're still trying to keep up with all the orders for physical filing systems, not electronic ones. The ones we can find or develop alwayr run into that "fault tolerance" thing, whether is failure to operate correctly or failure to be operated correctly doesn't matter; which doctors and bankers don't accept.

      So, yes, reliable computers are a possibility. Not easily, however.

    70. Re:Paper is for old people by couchslug · · Score: 1

      Better make robust systems if you expect to replace paper.
      While my home experience is similar to yours, work is different.

      The paper format is currently better in many ways for some aspects of military aircraft maintenance. The paper loose-leaf forms binder (781s for the military folks) survives being dropped much better than an Itronix or a Toughbook, and costs only a few dollars to replace. Data recovery when damaged is much easier.
      Paper checklists, checksheets, maps, and diagrams are convenient. They don't need batteries, advanced skills to operate, etc. The green memoranda books I've used through 26 years wouldn't amount to the cost of a cheap PDA. When I dig one out of a locker after years of disuse, it is already "powered on".

      Current computers are fragile, unreliable, power hungry, and heavy. We will know when they are ready to replace paper, because they will have done it without us noticing.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    71. Re:Paper is for old people by syrion · · Score: 1

      My computer at work has a LCD screen. I can perceive a subtle flicker in it. I showed it to one of my friends--he couldn't see it. The only thing that I can figure out is that the LCD is flickering slightly at AC frequency, and I can see it. (Fluorescent lights also bother me unless they're CFLs with a lampshade over them.)

    72. Re:Paper is for old people by VENONA · · Score: 1

      I also keep a paper notebook in every room of my home. I seem to do a lot of problem solving and purely creative things subconsciously, and I don't want to carry a notebook (electronic or paper) around at all times. The top page of the notebook in the kitchen most commonly contains the current grocery list. But the next page(s) might be an idea for a recipe I'm working on, a fragmentary business idea, a couple of lines of code, a couple of bullet points for a paper, etc.

      Setting a problem aside for my subconscious to grind on works extremely well for me, but answers pop out at the weirdest times, and I've found it best to capture them ASAP. Nothing beats the convenience of paper for that. It does get you the occasional odd look from guests, though...

      --
      What you do with a computer does not constitute the whole of computing.
    73. Re:Paper is for old people by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Seriously - I am 26, and I use a pen to write something on paper perhaps once every 3-4 days. I also use the printer at my office or home maybe once every 3 weeks at the most.

      I'm 26 also, and I use pen and paper every day. I'm never without it.

      Any time I have to do something over the phone or by mail, that I know as a programmer I could be easily be doing online, it pisses me off to no end.

      Well, that's true. If it's just paying bills, doing it electronically is more efficient.

      I know I am not in an uncommon age group either. As I see my nieces and nephews go through school, they use less and less books. They hand in their assignments in USB keys.

      That's kind of sad. In all fields I've studied (in or out of school), they stress learning the basics first. In literacy, even if you've got computers, the basics are reading and writing without computers. (I can imagine somebody today going into the Peace Corps to teach third-world kids how to read and write English and not being able to write with a pen.)

      The only people I know of who use paper in any amount are people who are 40+, the type of people who like to print off any website longer than a page because "it is easier to read". How is reading paper easier on the eyes than reading a TFT LCD? Answer? it isn't - it's all psycological.

      Answer: yes, it is. For one thing, your LCD is 100 DPI, but the paper is 600 DPI. Go find some printouts from an ancient ImageWriter -- that's 144 DPI. Do you think that's just as easy to read as the output from a modern 600 DPI laser printer? I don't. Also, remember that at 26, your eyes are much better than a 40-year-old's eyes (in both sensitivity and resolution); even if you can read lousy screens OK today, that doesn't make them good.

      You must be a geek, and have a geek job (programming?). The old geeks I know dislike paper, and the young normal people I know are fine with it. It's not an age divide as you suggest.

      Sadly, by the time you're 40+, we'll have much better displays, so you may not get to see just how wrong you were.

      The whole "myth" of the paperless world is not a myth, it was just misconstrued - you can't create a paperless world until all the people who are used to using the paper everyday are gone.

      And you can't get rid of them (or rather, we'll keep being born) until computers can do everything that paper can do, as well as paper can.

      - Can I get a 30" computer screen for a few cents? Or a few dozen of them, to put on the walls? Systems guys at the company where I work put up huge printouts on the walls all the time. HP and others are doing good business selling 600 DPI large-format printers. For the price of a single 2.5-foot display, they can make 3-by-6-foot printouts all day long.

      - On a more practical note, I can leave a piece of paper in my car in the summer, because they're cheap and rugged. Replacing paper means either "making it cheap, rugged, and ubiquitous" or "putting it on a device you carry with you everywhere".

      Some people say that "e-paper" is the answer to all of this, and it may be someday, but for now it's even more expensive than LCDs.

      If you think Palm-style handhelds are the answer, try again. They've moved to 320x320 resolution, thankfully, but it's still nowhere near pen and paper. You go to the Palm Z22 webpage and the grocery list says "Vegeta..." and "Refried Bea..." and "Salad Dressi...". How that's an improvement over a piece of paper is beyond me.

    74. Re:Paper is for old people by arodland · · Score: 1

      I won't disagree with you. All I was saying was that the great-grandparent was sort of making the wrong argument wrt contrast ratio. The rest, I agree with. I'll still print stuff out if it's a decent amount of reading, and I'm no old fogey.

    75. Re:Paper is for old people by GuyverDH · · Score: 1

      I don't know about you, but it's a helluva lot cheaper to keep paper records around than it is to keep magnetic media forever, which is where a lot of corporations are headed.

      There are many additional costs above and beyond paper printouts and storage fees.

      #1 Constantly having to buy new storage media at $35 to $80 a pop, in 10k lots.
      #2 Constantly having to send media offsite, expanding storage requirements and fees for said storage.
      #3 Having to retrieve said media from offsite, so that it can be read, and re-copied to a new media so that the data is refreshed before the shelf-life expires. (Part of a corporate initiative to be pro-active on data retention)
      #4 Having to keep old hardware around in case some data is needed from 8 year old media.
            4a) Maintenance costs for said hardware.
            4b) Floor space for said hardware.
            4c) Keeping operators trained on operations of said hardware.
      #5 The fact that most of said media could be stolen, copied or erased while offsite

      Granted, paper reports can be destroyed - shredder, water damage, fire...
      Electronic media has many more causes of damage above and beyond the 3 listed above.

      I'm not in my 40s, however, I have been around the industry for over 20 years, and as long as there's any possible way that the data could be destroyed, there will be paper (or plastic) versions around.

      In many cases, the paper copies are used as backups for the electronic versions.

      Case in point:

      A customer had religiously done their backups daily.
      They rotated tapes between two sets for the daily backups, four sets for weekly, 12 sets for monthly, and used new tapes for quarterly and yearly backups.
      All of these tapes were stored in a fire-proof, water-proof vault, that was closed and locked unless something was being put into or taken out of said vault.
      A problem occurred, and said data needed to be restored. The client thought, no problem, just restore it.
      Most recent tape goes in, start to restore - data error.
      Next tape in, data error.
      Next tape in, data error.
      Now, each and every backup tape was verified before it was ejected and placed in the vault.
      The client had to go back 3 months before they found a viable tape to restore from.
      They then had to re-key all the transactions that had been entered since that backup was taken.

      Cause of tape failures? A bad balast on a flourescent light in the vault - scrambled the bits on the tapes.
      The flourescents were removed, and incandescents installed the next day.

      What kind of lighting is used at your storage facility? Does the truck hauling media to and from your site ever stop by a major electrical substation? Is it shielded enough to withstand said EMF?

      Yeah, they said it when I started working in the industry - we'll soon be a paperless society. They've said it every year since then. All I've seen is more and more paper production, not a decrease.

      If and when we go truly paperless, I'll believe it. Until then, we're just echoing a tired old message down through time.

      --
      Who is general failure, and why is he reading my hard drive?
    76. Re:Paper is for old people by SanityInAnarchy · · Score: 1
      Ten years from now when your datacenters are hunting for ancient RAID controllers that are not longer made

      Maybe yours, not mine. By the time that's a problem, the simple solution is to get a new RAID controller or build a completely new system. That's what redundancy over the Internet is for -- or at the very least, two completely separate boxes, each with a complete copy.

      can't afford the power and A/C bills without charging you pound-me-in-the-ass prices

      That depends, I guess. Suppose you built a green system to begin with? Solar/wind, and your local energy company as backup. Doesn't matter how much they try to rape you with prices, you'll be selling it back to them for just as much. I've seen places that handle A/C by running ducts underground -- you get fresh air coming in (healthy for humans), but it goes into that nice, constant temperature of underground before it gets to you. Couple of big fans is a lot cheaper than actual A/C.

      can't reliably syncronize over a tiered internet

      Doesn't have to be 100% reliable, but let's try to avoid the situation of a tiered Internet in the first place. Besides, why would they shoot themselves in the foot that way? Wouldn't they rather have my business, paying extra for faster, more reliable service?

      can't cough up your data any faster than you could drive there and haul it all back on a single plastic chip the size of your thumbnail

      Explain to me why the plastic chip is a bad thing.

      Worst case, you unplug your massive Internet pipes, invest in some plastic chips, and use them for backup. Run your daily or weekly syncs via FedEx or something.

      Data storage is easy. Retrieval is a bitch. Throwing the techno-fad of the day at the problem doesn't solve it.

      I specifically mentioned two separate solutions, in addition to whatever popular backup of the day is warranted. Redundancy is not a techno-fad, we just have much easier ways of achieving it in the digital world.

      And yes, I do believe that archives people do want to keep around for centuries will be kept around at least that long, even if they end up piggybacking on something else. For instance, gmail uses storage on the Google grid, which has to exist anyway, and has to have far more storage than they're using for gmail. Thus, gmail doesn't itself have to be worth investing massive amounts in redundancy. As long as Google profits so heavily from search, they will need the grid, so they will keep updating the pipes, RAIDs, clusters, or thumbnail-sized plastic chips, and gmail will survive.

      Is this really so much different than, say, the Library of Congress? One piggybacks on our government, the other piggybacks on a successful business.

      Point is, don't confuse the need for a good, reliable, redundant system that will last 5-10 years with the need for storage lasting centuries. In fact, if you only do a complete overhaul every ten years, your data will last 100 years with exactly 10 upgrades. This would be kind of like photocopying all the old records every now and then, but photocopies are not a perfect copy.

      --
      Don't thank God, thank a doctor!
    77. Re:Paper is for old people by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      When you move out of your mom's basement, you'll learn that ultra-high technology has a small premium (about $500 and up, in this case.) You'll need to get a job, develop a budget, you know, grown-up stuff like that. Until then, don't worry about it. For anyone else:

      Try to navigate while driving.

      Google Map: You run into the car in front of you.
      GPS: While driving with your eyes on the road and traffic, it speaks up and says "Turn right in 500 feet." Because you were in the wrong lane, you miss the turn. GPS says "re-routing", and a few seconds later, says, turn right in one mile, then bear left", getting you right back on track. No sweat.

      You don't know what you'll want to do when you get to your destination city.

      Google Map: Pick your resolution for your whole trip; maybe print several pages to sort through
      GPS: When you reach your destination city, say, or tap, "zoom in" and continue.

      You'll need restaurant, museum, park, attraction, theatre info.

      Google Map: You print all the icons for everything. It's a mess.
      GPS: Turn on, or ask, for restaurants. There they are. With distances. Ask for Italian. There they are. Mmmm!

      You decide to visit a friend. You have the address in your PDA.

      Google Map: Is it on the map? No. Ooops.
      GPS: You pull over, tap in the address, it takes you right to the house. Even if it's in the next state!

      You're on your trip. Decide to take a side trip to a national monument.

      Google Map: Not on the map. Oops.
      GPS: Say or type it in, and off you go.

      Want to wander around the back roads.

      Google Map: Wrong resolution. No back roads.
      GPS: Zoom in or change the settings.

      You want to know trip stats.

      Google Map: Uh....
      GPS: MPG, average speed, max speed, time idling, time to next waypoint, etc.

      You find the sun is in your eyes. How to plan around that?

      Google Map: Uh...
      GPS: Exact local sunrise/sunset times always available. Accurately plan a leisurely meal or shopping trip, then continue.

      You want to know where you are, as opposed to where you are going.

      Google map: Better ask someone.
      GPS: You are here, going this direction, next intersection is this, time to next waypoint is this.

      It's dark. Where are you, and what to do next?

      Google map: Get out your flashlight and pull over. Guess. Fuss. You may be wrong.
      GPS: Illuminated, night-sensitive dim/color change display changes at sunset. Perfect.

      You're on a great lake Canada-US ferry. But where on the lake are you?

      Google Map: Duh...
      GPS: You are here, proceeding at X knots/mph, time to port is this.

      It's late at night. You got off the highway to get some gas, and had to wander about in the endless urban darkness of Indiana below Chicago on a maze of one-way streets for half an hour to find fuel. You got gas from an all-night credit card pump. Now how do you find your highway again?

      Google Map: You're gonna run out of gas before you find it again. And then get mugged.
      GPS: Just do what it tells you to. It knows where you are, and where you're going. Piece of cake.

      Out hiking, your kid finds some neat rocks in a field, or discovers a cave in rural Kentucky.

      Google Map: You'll never, ever find this place again. Tough luck.
      GPS: Tap "Mark Waypoint" and you'll come right back to it — even from China.

      ...and so on.

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    78. Re:Paper is for old people by syousef · · Score: 1

      Paper is just an early form of DRM :-) It's such a pain in the ass to copy a book that few people bother unless they have to.

      I do think a paperback is easier to read than an ebook on my palm pilot. (I'm in my early 30s though so maybe that explains it). But I can carry hundreds of books on my palm and I can't do that with paper books. For me that outweighs the inconvenience.

      Nothing's worse than DRM encumbered electronic text though. I HATE it when I can't search due to DRM. I hate it even more when a publisher decides to only give a printed copy to prevent copying. (I've actually had technical information on a hibernate course given to me in paper form only for this reason. Bloody ridiculous).

      --
      These posts express my own personal views, not those of my employer
    79. Re:Paper is for old people by spinkham · · Score: 1

      Guess what kind of backlight most LCD's have?
      Cold cathode fluorescents, just like the ones you use everywehere else, only smaller.

      --
      Blessed are the pessimists, for they have made backups.
    80. Re:Paper is for old people by Bombula · · Score: 1
      The vast majority of people find paper easier to read than any kind of VDU, regardless of age group. Part of this is, as other responses have pointed out, that paper is higher-res than screens. But it is also because paper is not an active light source, and human eyes are better equiped to perform close inspections of reflected rather than emitted light. Also relevant is the fact that VDUs are in a fixed position, forcing us to move our heads and bodies in order to reposition our viewpoint. This is also less comfortable for us than being able to manipulate the object we're inspecting itself - think of whether it is easier to read a piece of paper stuck to a bulletin board or one you're holding in your hand. Furthermore, the position of VDUs forces us to look forward rather than down, which is also less 'natural' and therefore inherently less comfortable for inspection at close range.

      Maybe when we have VDUs that display at 2500dpi and refresh at 1Khz that are the same size and weight as a piece of paper, they will be as comfortable to look at, but otherwise no: we simply aren't built to be comfortable staring at flickering 72dpi computer monitors. Just look at the continued (indeed, growing) popularity of printed matter - books, magazines, and newspapers - for proof.

      --
      A-Bomb
    81. Re:Paper is for old people by tchae · · Score: 1

      I am 54, apart from some course notes that I couldn't get in 'soft-copy' all the manuals I have are on my lap-top (backed up regularly!).
      I print out maybe 2-3 pages a week, and the last time I used Royal Mail was to send 20 CDs to my father (he is 80+ so I don't expect him to be as PC savvy as me, but he does have a PC, mainly for e-mail and internet).

      So cut the agism here, I have been in IT for more years than you have been alive for, and still keep up with the latest developments, and love gadgets.

      I work in product support, so HAVE to keep up.

      Don't lable us all with the 40+ tag!

    82. Re:Paper is for old people by dascandy · · Score: 1

      > The only people I know of who use paper in any amount are people who are 40+, the type of people who like to print off any website longer than a page because "it is easier to read". How is reading paper easier on the eyes than reading a TFT LCD? Answer? it isn't - it's all psycological.

      Hello, I'm a 23 year old embedded software engineer and I print. I print out a whole lot - so much in fact that I bought a laser printer just for the amount I print. I tend to use a bunch of advantages I can't get from my 17" TFT at work or my 19" TFT at home. Advantages such as stress relief - I can take a piece of paper, mangle it into a ball and throw it away. I can rip it up into small pieces and carry two of them along to anywhere leaving the rest behind. I can use them to write on without booting up a system. Most of all - I can print out stuff for reference so I have my entire screen free and I can write and mark on them without damaging something and looking really stupid.

      I still have to find an LCD screen that can expand to 5x its own size for referencing stuff at a competing price.

    83. Re:Paper is for old people by QuasarBlazar · · Score: 1

      Well I don't think we are dealing with the need to keep these records for eternity, at the hospital we had to keep them for 12 years I think? At the financial institution receipts are less than a year. More important documentation is stored I think upwards of 10-15 years. So while you are right with the integrity of electronic media not lasting as long as paper in the grand scheme of things (20, 30, 40 years) I think a lot of the more tempory stuff can just rot away on a tape in a vault fairly safely. You'll have your freak lightbulb accidents, but as often as that happens you could have a storage fire at your paper warehouse.

    84. Re:Paper is for old people by joeslugg · · Score: 1
      My parents have albums that they no longer can listen to, because they don't own a record player.

      Obsolete data formatting is an issue - I can agree with your point here. But consider how much hieroglyphics would seem like useless gibberish if it weren't for the Rosetta Stone. Data formatting translations need to be maintained for data to be "immortal". In the digital age, data formats change far more rapidly than written/spoken language. We need to adjust.

      I have lost touch with friends for months at a time when my cell phone died and took their numbers with it.

      You could lose your Rolodex in a fire too. If it's important information, you'll have 2 or more copies in 2 or more places. Digitized vs. printed doesn't matter.

      And as for things like purchasing a car or house, (gym membership?) and records for college or marital status, they all are vulnerable to the same threats. How many written records get lost in a flooded bank or university records building?

      I completely agree with the root of your concern - reliability of data storage. So we need to build that reliability into the technologies we develop. I think we've come a long way. (Remember not being able to write with a pen on a floppy disk for fear of messing it up?) It's the same reason methods for storing and protecting written records have been developed over time. And none of them are completely, totally fool proof either.
    85. Re:Paper is for old people by 14CharUsername · · Score: 1

      If you write something on paper, after you write it once, you're done for the next 100 years or more, as long as you store it correctly. The cost of maintaining your paper data for a long time is much lower than it is for electronic data.

      You have rent or maintain a building to store these paper records. This building can't be anywhere that's prone to floods. Then you also have ot consider the threat of fire. And you need a decent security system and maybe pay a few security guards.

      And lets not forget that you need a some kind of filing system to find all the records. And people trained to use and maintain all your filing.

      No matter how you store data there is going to be costs. The advantage of doing it electronically is that a search for a particular piece of information takes seconds as opposed to hours or even days with a paper filing system. Also copying stuff is a lot easier so you can keep multiple copies at different locations in case there is a flood or a fire.

      Yes, you have to keep moving the data over to new media, but this costs a hell of a lot less than training new staff on use of your paper filing system. The likelihood of someone accidentally deleting a file is about the same as someone misfiling a document and the results are about the same.

      You can maintain data into perpetuity just as easily electronically as on paper. And if civilization collapses, well there will be looting and fires that will destroy your paper records. Archeologists studying ancient parchments might make you think paper is durable, but for every scrap of paper that has survived over two centuries thousands have been lost. There are vast gaps in Roman history where we aren't even sure who was emperor. People were documenting stuff, but those records just didn't survive.

      And who's to say that archeologists won't be able to read our DVDs? Yeah maybe after a decade they degrade to the point where our cheapo dvd drives can't read them, but there must still be evidence of 1s and 0s on there that a future archeologist can decipher. And plastic lasts a lot longer than paper.

    86. Re:Paper is for old people by thedewi · · Score: 1

      Be it paper or on platters, your information will always require effort to preserve.

      Why do people forget the massive numbers of hours it has always taken to run libraries and mail-rooms? Even once you stop fire and flood, you still have to maintain catalogues and physically haul things around. And then when you want a local or remote copy, you have to laboriously feed paper through scanners and photocopiers, all for your imperfect n+1 generation copy.

      With digital storage you still have to keep the fire and flood away, but instead of up-to-date librarians you need up-to-date hardware and some intelligent management procedures, but this is today already cheaper than librarians. In return, you have information you can instantly search, efficiently index, instantly and perfectly replicate to share it or back it up...

      But I think we're all overlooking a much greater problem. How many of you are even capable of *properly* appreciating the nuances of text penned in your own language just a hundred years ago? The differences between Old, Middle, and Modern English are staggering -- over time periods that are sometimes very short.

      You want your data 100 years from now? Better start saving up for the historian you're going to have to hire to explain:

      • What the fuck does that borg Bill Gates icon mean?
      • Did those YouTube things ever actually make any sense?
      • Why did young people spend so much time selecting red and blue pills to explore rabbit holes?
      • If the WTC really was hit in 2001, then why can I find so many references to "911" emergencies going back decades earlier?

      If you're going to answer questions like that in 100 years, you'd better hope your dude isn't leafing through paper records and referring to a card file.

    87. Re:Paper is for old people by Intron · · Score: 1

      Silly me. I didn't realize that Google Maps could only be printed on paper before starting the trip. Since I have a laptop with an internet connection via my cell phone, I thought I could use Google in my car.

      Also, if I wanted to subscribe to a locater service, I could use the GPS built into my cell phone. I've never seen the need to carry around another piece of electronic crap, tho. PDAs suck.

      --
      Intron: the portion of DNA which expresses nothing useful.
    88. Re:Paper is for old people by fyngyrz · · Score: 1
      Since I have a laptop with an internet connection via my cell phone, I thought I could use Google in my car.

      Maybe. For instance, say you're driving about halfway between Billings, Montana, and Glasgow, Montana. There is often no cell phone coverage. Where there is, you're roaming and you're going to pay a hell of a lot per minute to connect long distance + roaming, assuming you have a modem (these are analog towers.) There is no wifi coverage, and the digital towers are few and far between up there. On this trip, even where there is cell phone coverage, your network isn't supported; this is all co-ops.

      ...and having network access doesn't solve most of those issues, anyway. Because a map tells you the layout of the land; a GPS does that too, but it also tells you where you are, which is a whole different barrel of information. There is no subscription fee for GPS, either.... just the initial cost of the unit. Adding services to cellphones isn't the optimum choice here. A real GPS system will serve up enormous convenience for very little investment. The day it leads you to the nearest gas station in a rural area instead of letting you get stranded on a back road will be the day you think it's worth anything they ask for it, though. :)

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    89. Re:Paper is for old people by Intron · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the response but you're still a jerk.

      --
      Intron: the portion of DNA which expresses nothing useful.
    90. Re:Paper is for old people by gullevek · · Score: 1

      Besides your nice horror storry about lost tapes - what kind of tapes were they? - I have to share some thoughts from Japan - paper tiger number one - to you.

      In Japan you have to keep all your sales, purches, whatever papers for some time. Big companies, like Toshiba, Sony, Matsuhita (Panasonic, National), etc have _huge_ warehouses where they store, litteraly, tons of papers there. This costs them enormous amount of money, because this has to be in a building that is earthquakeproof to a certain extent and so on. Plus, although outside of Tokyo, land is still very expensive.

      So they started to scan in and store everything electronically. Because even if you have to rotate the storage media, or have to extend your storga capacity, it is still much cheaper then keeping enormous warehouses with tons of paper.

      --
      "Freiheit ist immer auch die Freiheit des Andersdenkenden" - Rosa Luxemburg, 1871 - 1919
    91. Re:Paper is for old people by amRadioHed · · Score: 1

      If you're thinking of archives we want to be around for centuries, that's easy enough. Put them on a server with a fairly large RAID array, and replicate it over the Internet to another data center or two. If one hard drive dies, you swap it out for another. If one RAID controller or whole box goes down, hard, you build a new one and replicate the data back. If you don't want the hassle of doing this yourself, especially if it's just a small amount of personal data, you get Google to do it for you.

      I don't know of a good way to achieve that level of redundancy with paper, not cheaply, and certainly not if you want to be able to keep updating constantly.


      The mistake you are making here is assuming that the data people 1000 years down the road will find interesting is data we think is worth keeping. Archaeologists and historians have learned immense amounts about past civilizations from mundane things like shopping lists and notes written to friends and family. There is concern among historians that, ironically enough, our data driven society will just be a huge gap to future historians because of our affinity for impermanent digital communications like email. The beauty of paper is that there's a good chance it will last for centuries even if stuck on a shelf somewhere and forgotten about. Good luck getting that sort of longevity from a modern optical or magnetic disk.

      --
      We hope your rules and wisdom choke you / Now we are one in everlasting peace
    92. Re:Paper is for old people by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      No problem. I understand "jerk" to be the best metaphor you could come up with for "yeah, I see you're absolutely right."

      :-)

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    93. Re:Paper is for old people by illtud · · Score: 1


      If you're thinking of archives we want to be around for centuries, that's easy enough. Put them on a server with a fairly large RAID array, and replicate it over the Internet to another datacenter or two. If one hard drive dies, you swap it out for another. If one RAID controller or whole box goes down, hard, you build a new one and replicate the data back. If you don't want the hassle of doing this yourself, especially if it's just a small amount of personal data, you get Google to do it for you.


      As somebody charged with looking after terabytes* of data in perpetuity**, I think I can confidently say you don't have the first clue what you're talking about. There's a reason why Digital Preservation is a field in itself. If you honestly think "that's easy enough" you obviously haven't thought about it enough, or at all.

      [*for now. It used to be gigabytes, so it'll be petabytes soon...]
      [**OK, it may not actually be me all through perpetuity]

    94. Re:Paper is for old people by SanityInAnarchy · · Score: 1

      I've had to run backups that are supposed to last as long as we need them, and more on the order of gigabytes. Where, exactly, am I off here? You did read past "that's easy enough", right? I don't mean to imply that there are no issues whatsoever, merely that this isn't as complex as people think it is, especially when compared to paper filing methods.

      In fact, I can't help but wonder if I've obsoleted your field with that one paragraph. If so, I'm sorry.

      --
      Don't thank God, thank a doctor!
    95. Re:Paper is for old people by SanityInAnarchy · · Score: 1

      The good news is, email, at least, is likely to last a lot longer than we'd think, if only because most people don't bother to empty their trash, or even their inbox. Certainly at work, where the company email server is a RAID affair that gets backed up to tape nightly, and you don't dare update the servers without a migration path for the old emails, or people will go berserk.

      So, while it may not happen physically, it may happen anyway. For instance, if I decide that my personal data is worth preserving, I'll try backing up most of my home directory, with obvious exceptions (.cedega being a big one). I do try to keep it relatively clean, but I still often find things in there from many years ago that I didn't necessarily want to save.

      Besides, our data driven society may actually provide a huge amount of information to future generations, but it would be in the form of archived Slashdot discussions and the like. Or MySpace -- not exactly the most accurate portrayal of us, and certainly not the most flattering.

      --
      Don't thank God, thank a doctor!
    96. Re:Paper is for old people by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      U R Gr8, Score 5, yes

    97. Re:Paper is for old people by illtud · · Score: 1

      I've had to run backups that are supposed to last as long as we need them, and more on the order of gigabytes. Where, exactly, am I off here? You did read past "that's easy enough", right? I don't mean to imply that there are no issues whatsoever, merely that this isn't as complex as people think it is, especially when compared to paper filing methods.

      You appear to believe that keeping the bits alive is all there is to digital preservation. Your bits are meaningless without the means to access the content expressed by those bits. Google for digital preservation. Think a bit further than your limited horizons.

      In fact, I can't help but wonder if I've obsoleted your field with that one paragraph. If so, I'm sorry.

      Hmm - yes, all these information professionals and computer scientists can now throw in the towel and say "oh, yes, keep more than one copy on a bunch of different servers! That's all there is to it! Thank goodness for SanityInAnarchy, his statue shall adorn the Library of Congress".

    98. Re:Paper is for old people by SanityInAnarchy · · Score: 1
      You appear to believe that keeping the bits alive is all there is to digital preservation. Your bits are meaningless without the means to access the content expressed by those bits.

      Standard formats. OpenDocument is a good thing, too.

      Hmm - yes, all these information professionals and computer scientists can now throw in the towel and say "oh, yes, keep more than one copy on a bunch of different servers! That's all there is to it! Thank goodness for SanityInAnarchy, his statue shall adorn the Library of Congress".

      Yes, that's the usual response I get for making arrogant statements like that. I used to think that database design was easy, and I still do, but I eventually learned why there are some database design professionals who actually are justified for their insanely high paychecks, because of their ability to denormalize just enough to squeeze enough performance out of a database to make it scale to where it's needed. Any idiot can normalize completely, any idiot can denormalize badly, but it takes a genius to balance perfect normalization against performance and sanity, especially given the kind of scale they work at.

      On the other hand, I'm still convinced that GeekSquad has no reason for existing anymore, and I think you'll agree with me that any idiot could do what GeekSquad does for people, and it might actually be less risky to teach people to use their own antispyware/antivirus than to drop it at Best Buy. In any case, Geek Squad is overpriced at the very least.

      You haven't bothered to say much to convince me that your field is of the first type, and not the second. Certainly, even in the case of database professionals, you don't always need to hire a database genius, depending on the scale of you're project. I'll freely admit that I could be entirely wrong, and of course, this is just some random Slashdot post, so you should feel no obligation to spend much time setting me right. But that is why I'm being arrogant here.

      --
      Don't thank God, thank a doctor!
    99. Re:Paper is for old people by illtud · · Score: 1

      You appear to believe that keeping the bits alive is all there is to digital preservation. Your bits are meaningless without the means to access the content expressed by those bits.

      Standard formats. OpenDocument is a good thing, too.


      Yes, good. Will anybody know anything about OD in 200 years' time? We'll need format migration as well (keeping the original datastreams too). How do you trigger a format migration? How do you know you haven't had datastream corruption in the meantime? How do you know this was the original ingested digital object? What kind of technical metadata are you holding about the object? How do you trigger and handle media migration? Do you intend to deliver the object with the same 'look and feel' as it was originally intended (think applications). Do you have the right to preserve any enviroment which may be necessary to access the datastream at all? Will they even work if you do have the right? What about DRM?

      You haven't bothered to say much to convince me that your field is of the first type, and not the second. Certainly, even in the case of database professionals, you don't always need to hire a database genius, depending on the scale of you're project. I'll freely admit that I could be entirely wrong, and of course, this is just some random Slashdot post, so you should feel no obligation to spend much time setting me right. But that is why I'm being arrogant here.

      I don't think you're being arrogant - Digital Preservation isn't a major issue for most people, but it should be for us all. It's not rocket science, but it needs to be thought through and interoperable standards must appear. When vendors don't seem to care the community are forming their own. It does suddenly throw up a lot of issues with formats and applications that people take as 'standard', when you tell people their Word document is impossible to preserve beyond the short term, they take notice. Standards are appearing, and they're open ones - they have to be.

      Thanks for the discussion. We're probably waaaay offtopic by now.

    100. Re:Paper is for old people by SanityInAnarchy · · Score: 1

      Yes, good. Will anybody know anything about OD in 200 years' time?

      Probably. Every aspect of it, including zip (used as a container), is documented in plaintext and HTML. I don't know about HTML, but I suspect ASCII (or UTF-8) will still be around in 200 years. And while language does change over time, civil war buffs and ren-fairs are living proof that there will be historians who learn enough historical context to grok technical documentation.

      We'll need format migration as well (keeping the original datastreams too).

      So here, are we talking about, for instance, from WordPerfect to Word? Again, that's the purpose of OpenDocument.

      We run into the same problems with HTML, with some websites which only work with IE 4 or Netscape 3.5 or somesuch. Because HTML is an open standard, and because it's somewhat human-readable, and because of a number of decisions made at launch, you may not be able to perfectly preserve the look'n'feel of a poorly designed website, but you can usually preserve the content. A well-designed website might simply continue to work.

      So while I'm sure HTML will have changed a lot over 100 years, if it's even still around at all, I fully expect the content itself to survive. If I can read it in lynx, I should be able to read it in 100 years.

      How do you trigger and handle media migration?

      I'm not sure quite what you mean here, I was following you up to this point. At first glance I read that as "medium migration", but that can't be right.

      Do you intend to deliver the object with the same 'look and feel' as it was originally intended (think applications).

      Maybe, probably not. I recognize that there's historical value in this, but my primary concern would be selecting what we wish to archive and preserve. So, think library, not museum. Thus, I have no problem with allowing updated widgets, for instance -- if I'm preserving an app, it's likely because I need it to access some content that hasn't been migrated. (If the app is still useful, I'd rather maintain it, not preserve it.)

      Do you have the right to preserve any enviroment which may be necessary to access the datastream at all? Will they even work if you do have the right?

      Often, yes and yes. Not always. For instance, if I wanted to preserve a copy of Windows, exactly as it is today, I could put it on a virtual machine and take a snapshot -- except in the case of Vista, I believe this is legal, and I know it will work so long as an x86 emulator is maintained.

      However, it becomes fuzzy if we're talking about something like SNES games. There are plenty of SNES emulators, the trouble is getting the ROMs in some legal way. But as far as I can tell, the environment is almost always legal to preserve.

      Anyway, I'm just speculating here, you've probably thought about this in a lot more depth.

      What about DRM?

      I circumvent it when I can, boycott when I can't. I consider the DMCA to be invalid, and this is a form of civil disobedience for me. We, as a society, will lose a huge chunk of history unless we learn our lesson here.

      But again, my concern is always to preserve what people want preserved. The movie studios apparently don't care, so fuck 'em, they can handle their own archives. Same with games -- as sad as it is, Half-Life 2 will probably no longer work in 200 years, even if the original Half-Life might, but Doom and Quake are likely to live forever, as id has GPL'd all the old versions, so DRM is no longer an issue.

      I don't think you're being arrogant - Digital Preservation isn't a major issue for most people, but it should be for us all.

      I know I'm being arrogant, not that I often apologize for it. Saying it's not a major issue for me is one thing, borderline accusing it of being a bogus field is quite another.

      --
      Don't thank God, thank a doctor!
  38. Ironic by databank · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's ironic that a CEO would have issues with considering a datacenter that is designed for centralization and management considered to be anachronistic. A datacenter will always be needed for centralization and management.

    Hey, while we're at it, what do we need a CEO for? Overall intelligence has gone up over the years. I'm sure we're going to evolve to the point that we won't need a CEO anymore. After all, any one of us can do the job just as effectively, right? Let's hear it for true distributed management!

    1. Re:Ironic by wmaster · · Score: 1

      Hey, while we're at it, what do we need a CEO for? Overall intelligence has gone up over the years. I'm sure we're going to evolve to the point that we won't need a CEO anymore. After all, any one of us can do the job just as effectively, right? Let's hear it for true distributed management!

      Although you still might that find funny a bit, that's exactly where we are moving. Never recognized that we already are hot-swapping CEOs?

      Greetings,
      Chris

      --
      "An operating system must operate."
    2. Re:Ironic by RabidMonkey · · Score: 1

      I think they call that 'communism' ... thus far all attempts to make it work haven't gone so well, which I think speaks to your ironic point.

      --
      We emerge from our mother's womb an unformatted diskette; our culture formats us. - Douglas Coupland
  39. APPS run locally. Data? On the network. by Ahnteis · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I think we'll see a lot of network-based applications. However, the data has to reside somewhere central, otherwise you're gonna have to replicate it a lot.

    I think that as network availability and bandwidth increase we'll see larger computing centers with smaller (physically) and more ubiquitous clients.

    No need for datacenter to go away -- just change a bit.

  40. Where computers are needed by John.P.Jones · · Score: 1

    You know where servers are REALLY needed, close to the high speed Internet backbone in well controlled stable secure environments, not wirelessly roaming about the countryside. Hence datacenters.

  41. That's total bullcrap. Don't believe it. by djblair · · Score: 1

    There will always be a need for a secure area to house mission-critical applications. You will --NEVER-- never see an ERP system or core switch/router chilling out in a wiring closet down the hall, even if it's the size of a desktop PC. You need rock-solid infrastructure to support this stuff, and you can't get it outside a datacenter. The environment needs access control, fire supression, water detection, redundant HVAC, redundant power, all the other works. Datacenters may end up shrinking in size, but they will never go away.

  42. "Change" is a better word than "Doom" by Tarlus · · Score: 1

    All this means is that more of the data processing is handled on-site when needed rather than at a central location, which is a smart idea. However, central databases and backup systems could never be done away with, since there will always exist applications for computing require a central hub.

    And anyway, it wouldn't destroy a lot of computer-related jobs because computers are still being used. It's foolish to put total faith in a computer without somebody there to be able to maintain/monitor/repair it.

    Furthermore, when did drills with computers or stuffed toys ever require datacenters in the past?

    --
    /* No Comment */
  43. Drill Bits are an interesting example. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Back when electric motors were relatively new, analysts predicted that "someday every home would have a large electric motor in the garage; and pullies and gears to drive washing machines; sewing machines; and all sorts of appliances throughout the home".


    I think the article's a perfect one - just like electric motors got distributed; computers are too.

  44. Ah, memories. by Honest+Olaf · · Score: 2, Interesting

    This reminds me of the prediction on /. last year that some day in the not-too-distant future we would be using ubiquitous public computer terminals and joking about the old days when people lugged around laptops. Both prophecies are anywhere from 90-100% foolish.

  45. Pretty obvious problems with this by ukpyr · · Score: 1

    Where does that leave sun's very large server product line? Or should in 10 years will I be dropping a 'Thumper' into my kitchen to let me know how my groceries are doing (via an AJAX enabled watch I suppose)

    I'm not sure datacenters were ever *truly* built for people, I'm not that old. However, datacenters provide a clean, enviromentally controlled area for the VERY EXPENSIVE computing power to live. The way I see it, need for computing power is only going to increase (out on a limb, I know) and while prices trend down, the fancy server grade stuff is still going to cost lots of money.

    I can see the point : "someday" grid computing is going to be pervasive and the norm in terms of development. That will enable organizations to utilize the spare processing power of their "cloud of devices" (very scifi!). But honestly, if you need to add X power to that, are you going to buy 15 toy bunnies that talk? no, you'll buy a server and put it in your datacenter :)

    His generator analogy is flawed to boot. They go outside because they are smelly and/or loud. Computers don't have to be either of those.

  46. Shapeshifting? by headkase · · Score: 1

    I don't think the datacenter is going to go away ever. However the form of the datacenter may change significantly. Imagine a virtual datacenter where instead of a centralized architecture, the storage and processing functions are distributed - decentralized - across multiple units. The only setting where this could be practical is if people allow their house systems (the Desktop is dead already ;) ) to host and process information with some small compensation offered for the bother like free net access. Of course there is some magical security module that prevents people from accessing any private information.
    The kernal of the article is very valid however - computing is going to become ubiquitous - You won't have distinct units such as an XBox or a PC. Instead I believe the functions provided by said units will become as standardized as electrical sockets in a house. Your house will provide web browsing, gaming, productivity, entertainment, and everything else by standard.

    --
    Shh.
    1. Re:Shapeshifting? by headkase · · Score: 1

      I don't think the datacenter is going to go away ever
      I don't think the functions provided by a datacenter are going to go away ever.

      --
      Shh.
  47. Whew! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What a relief this is...I will just tell the boss we can deploy our new hosted application on the stuffed animals at Disneyland for free!

  48. Some interesting logic by aiken_d · · Score: 1

    By this way of thinking, as more and more people get HDTV's, HDTV production studios will become obsolete because people will just watch HDTV wherever they are.

    There are some really weird people out there, you know?

    -b

    --
    If I wanted a sig I would have filled in that stupid box.
  49. Data storage demands keep rising. by gurps_npc · · Score: 1
    I work in a law firm. Originally we held all our data here. Now we outsorce it to a vendor.

    The reason is that while our data capacities doubled every year, our data needs tripled every year.

    And I don't see it changing. As soon as people make data storage cheaper, we decide we can now afford to store more of it, for longer periods of time.

    So no, I don't think data centers are going away. But I do seem them as becoming less of a vital, growing industry and instead turning into a slow growth business.

    --
    excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
  50. Data Centers aren't just for storing data... by Lodragandraoidh · · Score: 1

    With new complex applications running on platform architectures that are constantly changing (for such things as convergent applications), decentralizing your platform would be insane.

    Your costs to change the system would go up. Your security would be exponentially more costly, and your telemetry and other time sensitive aspects of the management solution would go through the roof!

    I would also hazzard a guess that removal of the datacenter would probably violate SOX (it would probably be a bad thing for Johnny in accounting to have physical access to the server housing his data).

    --

    Lodragan Draoidh
    The more you explain it, the more I don't understand it. - Mark Twain
  51. Wow and he is a CEO heh by niola · · Score: 1

    I find that blog post to be amusing considering it is from the CEO of a company whose business has pretty much revolved around datacenters.

    Datacenters are going to be even more important with Web 2.0 applications, and if anything I see the opposite happening - more features/services WILL be centralized for the various benefits a datacenter has to offer.

    Some of the more appealing features of datacenters:

    1. Physical Security
    Most have some kind of physical security - alarms, bio-metric/proximity cards, multiple locks, surveillance cameras, etc. Some facilities are fortified to withstand the extremes of nature, and other facilities designed for mission critical purposes might even have case-hardened walls to withstand bomb blasts. I have even seen some facilities with gyroscopic racks to mitigate risks from seismic activity.

    2. Redundant Power
    Most of the datacenters I have dealt with have multiple layers of redundancy in their power systems. Many have power feeds from more than one sub-station, they have high-volume UPS systems, and as last resort diesel generators.

    3. Redundant Bandwidth
    Not uncommon for a datacenter to get it's bandwidth from two or more seperate backbone connections for fault tolerance.

    4. Climate Control
    Many have excellent air conditioning and air handlers to keep the air clean. One datacenter in Pennsylvania I had done work in even had moisture sensors so sensitive if you spit on them it would set off an alarm

    The pros to centralized datacenters are just too numerous.

  52. Paper's for the thoughtless and lazy. by Kadin2048 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I agree, but I think at least right now, for every person who's like us, there's some asshole out there who insists on printing out 60+ pages of single-sided PowerPoint slides and distributing them to everyone in the audience at their presentation, because it's "the thing to do." Sure, 90% of them end up in the trash near the door within five minutes of the end, but they do it anyway. Somebody might want them, right? (And this is in an office where everyone -- down to the last clerk and secretary -- has a computer and an email address, and where the presenter probably sent the meeting invite via email and thus has the entire distribution list already.)

    Computers made it easier to use up paper thoughtlessly. While going to the Xerox machine and photocopying a 100 page document at least requires you to stand there while it prints, you can print a 100-page Word document pretty much by accident. I know people that make a point of just printing entire 40+ page specification drafts when they only need a page or two, because "it's faster to just print it and pull the pages out later than figure out which I want." There no way they would be that cavalier about it, if printing required more than a "Control-P, Enter", and then picking up the sheaf of output the next time they're headed out to the water cooler.

    People aren't logical. People are dumb. People are thoughtless. Computers make being thoughtless easier. When you make something wasteful easier, it happens more often.

    --
    "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
    1. Re:Paper's for the thoughtless and lazy. by PFI_Optix · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Quick rant on printing slides, and PP use in general:

      Power Point does NOT by default enhance your presentation. In fact, the vast majority of PP "enabled" presentations I've seen have sucked because the speaker simply read off the slides; this means either the slides would have been better off as a Word document because they're so wordy, or the speech is more of an outline. Write your speech, THEN make your slides to match your speech.

      If you're going to give a handout, copy the text of your slides into an outline format. It won't take ten minutes to give people the same information in two pages that they're going to see in twenty slides. Why waste paper?

      That said, I like paper. I like being able to quickly sketch out ideas--especially small flow charts and layouts and the like--and can put information together faster on paper than I can with a computer. If I have to write more than a few sentences I turn to my computer and I don't use paper for anything I plan to keep (yay for Google Desktop's scratch pad), but for brainstorming paper is where it's at.

      --
      120 characters for a sig? That's bloody useless.
    2. Re:Paper's for the thoughtless and lazy. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You've hit on the key difference between drawing on paper for traditional animation and doing computer animation. When I started school for computer animation, I didn't want to mess with hand drawn animation. Once I learned both, I learned why people like hand drawing animation more than working in a computer for early scratch tests.

      On a computer, a task that can be performed on paper is slower in most cases in initial set up. Building models, setting up scenes, keyframing animation, rendering... all time-consuming slow ass processes. However, going back and changing something once you've got things set up is lightning fast.

      Paper is the exact opposite. Set up is extremely quick, you can sketch things out in an instant. But the moment you want to make any changes, you're usually going back and redoing everything again. It's not a surprise at all that the same issue applies to word documents, sticky notes, and flow charts.

      And fuck Power Point. I'm all about the overhead projector if I need a visual aid. :-D

    3. Re:Paper's for the thoughtless and lazy. by camt · · Score: 1

      You might enjoy reading Edward Tufte's "The Cognitive Style of Powerpoint". Check it out; I just borrowed it from a friend at work and found it to be an enjoyable read.

      Short version: don't use powerpoint unless you are trying to include low-rez graphics in your presentation. Just write a physical report and hand it out on paper.

    4. Re:Paper's for the thoughtless and lazy. by jpetts · · Score: 1

      Power Point does NOT by default enhance your presentation

      No shit: Gettysburg Address

      --
      Call me old fashioned, but I like a dump to be as memorable as it is devastating - Bender
    5. Re:Paper's for the thoughtless and lazy. by Nefarious+Wheel · · Score: 1
      On a computer, a task that can be performed on paper is slower in most cases in initial set up

      Amen to that. The solution I think is to use both -- sketch your idea on pencil quickly in storyboard fashion; if the idea takes off, grab the Wacom and move to that medium. That's what my daughter, the multimedia artist does. Knowing when to make the transition is key.

      Same thing for me with coding -- I'll take a sheet of A3 paper and a pencil to rough out the logic, using baloons and arrows and whatnot as my own graphic shorthand (ok, some of it does look like UML, so sue me...). But the idea has to be iconified quickly or you can lose track of the idea. Ideas are fleeting things -- you have to pin the little buggers down or they'll get away.

      --
      Do not mock my vision of impractical footwear
    6. Re:Paper's for the thoughtless and lazy. by 500HP · · Score: 1

      Great point! But here's the rub. To sell ANYTHING in a B2B relationship you need to get the product message in front of the buyer. And that's where shit breaks down. Lazy executives need cues and they don't know how to manage email (or their people) and need to be reminded about everything. And that's where PPT and paper comes in. I hate it...maybe we could fire them?

    7. Re:Paper's for the thoughtless and lazy. by fferreres · · Score: 1

      > People aren't logical. People are dumb. People are thoughtless.
      > Computers make being thoughtless easier.

      Nonesense ...

      > When you make something
      > wasteful easier, it happens more often.

      When you mske anything easier, it happens more often, how insightfull!!

      People are the most refined and inteligent beings of all creation than we know about....how you comment seems inteligente to anyone makes me believe that you may actually be right!

      --
      unfinished: (adj.)
    8. Re:Paper's for the thoughtless and lazy. by gkhan1 · · Score: 1

      Power corrupts. Powerpoint corrupts absolutely.

    9. Re:Paper's for the thoughtless and lazy. by Ciarang · · Score: 1

      No kidding.

      I remember a Microsoft Direct X briefing in 1997, where the speaker handed out giant binders containing all the hundreds of slides we were about to see. She proceeded to play through the slides on the projector, and read the contents of each to us, while we dutifully followed along flicking a page per 2 slides.

      There was space under each slide for notes, but since the verbal content was the same as that already on the paper, there was nothing to write.

      I threw all the paper in the bin (needless to say it contained nothing I didn't already know anyway) and never attended another.

      In another horrible presentation I remember, the Powerpoint monkey spent 95% of the time discussing the transition effects he had used between the slides, the problems he'd had aligning the garish borders, and his highly amusing selection of sound effects. This was from a self-styled sales professional, attempting to sell us his communication skills?!

  53. I'll take the CEO job! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Um, right.... The blogging CEO is way off base on this one IMO...

  54. Corporate control of data by Mr+Krinkle · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Hmm
    After reading the blog, I'm not really following his theories.
    His networked drill bits, are sensors at the tip of HUGE deep sea oil rigs. That's not my happy 24 volt cordless drill. It's financially sound to stick a few thousand dollars of sensors on the end of something that can make you millions.

    As for data centers going away? It sounds more like he's saying the large hoards of mainframe operators are going away?
    True. Most of them have. Or have been centralized into ginormous data centers hosting boxes for tons of companies. (IBM's huge computer rooms come to mind. I know there are quite a few companies in the one I have to go to regularly)

    But as for getting rid of centralized servers?
    Insane. Thanks to SOX (bleh *#@(#(*@# etc etc) IT groups are being hit with requirements to control more and more data. We need to keep stricter tabs on everything. NOT farm more and more of the computing out. With things like the DAV laptops getting stolen, there should be a push for MORE centralized servers/file storage and FORCE the users to keep all the data up on controlled servers. I KNOW that my servers, inside of my network, behind my firewalls, etc etc are safer than Jimmy the sales guys laptop that he forgot sitting on the table at Starbucks for the 100th time. (Or the nifty Irish pub that has free wifi. But they're pretty good about remembering you and holding your lappie for you. :) )
    About all the data I keep on my local laptop is a contact list of phone numbers, and a pst file. My email might be amusing to someone? But if they REALLY want to see the 32423423423 backup notifications and all trouble ticket notifications, they have more free time than I have. :)

    In summary, if the guy is saying centralized servers/file storage is going away, he's wrong. If he's just saying the hordes of mainframe operators are going away, then yea, he's probably close to accurate. Or at least getting congregated into larger facilities where fewer people manage more boxes.

    (BTW sorry for the completely incoherent path this took, to much allergy medicine)

    --
    I am 31337 or something.
  55. Neat trick by cain · · Score: 0, Redundant
    With computers becoming so small and easy to distribute over a wireless network...

    How do you distribute computers over a wireless network? It's a series tubes, not a dump truck.

  56. utter nonsense by Deadplant · · Score: 1

    Nothing in the article that I can see supports the supposition that datacentres will become obsolete.
    At most it suggests that there ought to be fewer humans in datacentres and that money could be saved by not making them human-friendly environments.
    This appears to be nothing more than a case of poor reporting by m0smithslash and CmdrTaco.

  57. Schwartz misses the point (again) by BigLinuxGuy · · Score: 1

    If the data center becomes extinct, so will most of Sun's revenues. Since Sun is busy "open sourcing" all of its software, what would it have left?

  58. Computers != Data by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    And data is what counts. Do you think Google bought YouTube's Computers, or were they after their data? Do you think the value of computer companies in general is based on their hardware? Or their data?

    And data is fleeting. A head crash, a power switch thrown at the wrong moment and it's gone. So you need backups. Backups are hard to decentralize because, well, it becomes very uneconomic to decentralize backup systems.

    Next, security. Data on a laptop is already a security headache. Sensitive data has to be stored where it remains under your control at every moment, something that is virtually impossible with mobile devices unless you go to grotesque lengths to protect it.

    And the list goes on.

    So yes, computers become very portable. But what data centers are for, i.e. data, is something that's hard to make portable, safe and secure. So my bet would be that they're here to stay. They may not be interesting for some, certainly not for home users (they never were, seriously), but companies will not do without in the forseeable future.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  59. I still work in a mainframe datacenter by lucaq99 · · Score: 1

    There goes that theory..."as early as 1983"...I have a green MVS console right next to my PC right this second...

    1. Re:I still work in a mainframe datacenter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you have a bottle of window cleaner to remove the fingerprints off your 28 year old 3270, too? :)

  60. I wanna know . . . by JazzLad · · Score: 1

    how many bytes to a bit?

    --
    "If you have nothing to hide, you have nothing to fear." - Every fascist, ever
  61. Jonathan, just go away. by debus · · Score: 1

    I used to be a big sun supporter. They hardly seem relevant any longer.

    Sun needs something, I am pretty sure Jonathan Schwartz is NOT it.

    1. Re:Jonathan, just go away. by ces · · Score: 1

      Well their AMD64 server line is rather nice with much to reccomend it over the kit of other server vendors like Dell or HP. Solaris has some advantages for certain problems over Linux or FreeBSD. ZFS looks pretty cool too.

      But is Sun more than just another box vendor and sponsor of a UNIX flavor these days? It really doesn't seem like it anymore.

      --
      Happy Fun Ball is for external use only.
  62. Sun Logo? by Chapter80 · · Score: 2, Insightful
    My gut reaction when reading the headline and seeing the Sun logo was "Stupid Slashdot - Sun's never made any headway in the Data Center". Then I see it's Schwartz's blog. I guess Sun's datacenter strategy now is just to declare it dead.

    An interesting question would be "Hey Sun, do YOU still have a data center?" Of course they do.

  63. Not centralized data storage, the glossy room by lelitsch · · Score: 1

    So I RTFA (first mistake). What Jonathan seems to be blogging is not that the centralized data storage would go out the window, but the glass walled, polished showcase data center on the main floor. You know, the impressive early Hackers datacenter. Already, at many companies, the servers are utilities like the generator or the PBX--stowed away in a room somewhere.

    Now if 20 connected server racks in 20 rooms is better than the big room might be a good question. But I don't think anyone seriously suggests to link all the wireless drill bits from the Gulf of Mexico to Siberia in real time.

  64. Room for all - the ubicomp future by savio13 · · Score: 1

    What Jonathan is describing is the slow move towards ubiquitous computing that was put forward by Mark Weiser (the 'father' of ubicomp) in 1991.

    But the move to ubicomp does not necessarily call for an end to the datacenter as we know it. The underlying systems that will make Weiser's vision a reality is the availability of computing devices that range from 'inches', 'feet' to 'yards' (mm, cm, m for us metric kids). What Weiser is saying here is that there isn't going to be one major form factor for computing (as was the case with the mainframe, the desktop PC and the laptop), but multiple form factors.

    Some devices will be measured in inches and be able to perform a specific task, and others will be measured in feet and perform various other tasks and so on. And yes, all of these devices will be networked. However some devices will be better at certain things like sensing information and others better at things like processing the sensed information to make a decision. As a result, there will be room for the drill bits, the Disney dolls and the datacenter. And as pointed out by others, the networked world will likely require even more centralized computing.

    Savio

  65. why bother with datacenters at all? by Mike_ya · · Score: 1

    Yeah lets get rid of the datacenter. Put the servers/switches and routers in the department offices where they can get abused daily. retard

  66. DATA centers, or PROCESSING centers by NibbleAbit · · Score: 1

    Computers are processors, and they are and should be in everything. Data centers are places where related data is physically in the same place. I don't want my AR tables on my salesmens blackberries and my ap data on my purchasers desk. I want them both in the same place, with very tight security and tons of backups.

  67. All in your perspective. by Kadin2048 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Not to put words in his mouth, but I think Google is providing that "network is the computer" concept when it provides web-delivered applications that replace things currently done on the desktop. E.g., Gmail, Calendar, Spreadsheet, Writely, etc. In those cases, you're moving the application into the datacenter instead of the end-user's PC, so it's a net centralization and not decentralization, but to the user it seems as though "the network is the computer."

    If taken to the extreme -- and I'm not sure that it will -- a user might actually use applications which reside in any number of large datacenters. So while there is a lot of centralization, during the course of a day, a single user might request data from several locations. I.e., use GMail from Google's datacenter, then Flickr from Yahoo's, then some Citrix-delivered stuff from a coloed blade system that their company pays for...they're using datacenters, but from their perspective they're less centralized than they were before, when all of their work would be done locally.

    So it's sort of as if we're centralizing some things while decentralizing others at the same time.

    --
    "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
  68. Its about Centralized Data by jlbprof · · Score: 1

    There is talk about decentralized data and in some applications that might make sense. But a Data Center is about data and controlling the data. All those little mobile, embedded drillbit computers will be interacting with web based services in some manner either to get or post data. Those web services will be in a data center.

    Some others mentioned that the mainframe is dead. Well that may be true for the most part, but the function that the mainframe provided is being provided now by a mix of Windows, Linux and Unix machines but the function remains, just a different machine form factor.

    Julian was here

    --
    I go out of my way to complicate the simple things, so that I can simplify the complicated things.
  69. New CEO's Command by UnixRawks · · Score: 0

    [jonathan@sun ~] more crack | $

    --
    I
  70. what do you call the Googleplex? by peter303 · · Score: 1

    Google runs a data server farm in nearly 30 locations (some not on line yet) with 700,000 servers? If thats not the largest data center in history, then I dont know what is. Plus MicroSoft, Yahoo and others are building these too.

  71. ISPs and Phone companies by joaommp · · Score: 1

    ISPs and phone line companies with underground lines could distribute a set of servers across the area.

    In Portugal, buried lines for the fixed network are distributed in a network across the country owned by the biggest telco in the country (Portugal Telecom) which bought it from the state a few years ago. They do have datacenters and instead of having one huge datacenter, they could, in the junction boxes around the country, place "small" servers and distribute+replicate the data across the country. I believe this could cut costs and be more productive in terms of "damage control".

  72. No. by Control+Group · · Score: 1

    The idea that the centralized data storage location will go away in favor of distributed storage is, frankly, ridiculous.

    Asset management is already a challenge in organizations of any significant size - it's bad enough when your employees lose their laptops; if the loss of the physical asset also means the actual loss of company data, the situation is orders of magnitude worse.

    Distributed devices, moreover, are inherently less reliably available. While you may store all the data you commonly use locally, there could always be a need to access a piece of data from quite a distance across the org chart.

    The legal ramifications are also overwhelming: data retention policies are hard enough to implement on a central filestore, they'd be impossible to reliably enforce across a myriad of differing devices. Not to mention the gaping liability hole introduced by subpoena: if the court subpoenas all the records you have for the last fifteen years regarding a specific client, they expect all the records, not just the ones you were able to find on the two hundred laptops you think were the only ones involved in the transactions (and this isn't a flight of fancy; I'm the DBA for a medium-sized accounting firm, and we get these sorts of requests almost weekly).

    His comparison to power generation is equally ridiculous. Power is fungible, data aren't. Besides:

    We certainly don't put power generators in precious city center real estate, or put them on pristine raised flooring with luxuriant environmentals, or surround them with glass and dramatic lighting to host tours for customers. (But now you know why we put 5 foot logos on the sides of our machines.)

    We absolutely centralize power generation; they're called power plants. We put generators on the roof and in the basement to provide redundancy in the event of failure at the central location - but that's, if anything, analogous to having local copies of data on the device in question, not analagous to replacing the power plant with thousands of CO4-burning generators.

    And that's not even getting into defining where this "most useful" place for data is - if you've got a company with offices around the country (much less the world), and you have one corporate website contributed to by people in each office, where "should" that information reside, if not in a single location? And if it does, guess what - you've got a data center.

    I'm thoroughly unimpressed.

    --

    Reality has a conservative bias: it conserves mass, energy, momentum...
  73. Is this guy Dvorak's brother? by Radical+Moderate · · Score: 1

    So to get on Slashdot these days you just have to write some moronic IT-related column? Who's running this site? Honestly, the guy might have a point, but there's no insight as to what the alternative to the data center might be, just "Computers are ubiquitous, so data centers are dinosaurs." And the Slashdot editors lap it up. I took the bait, so I guess they know what they're doing.

    --
    Never let a lack of data get in the way of a good rant.
  74. So let me get this straight... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Internet is not a truck. It's a series of tubes connecting drill bits?

  75. More computers == greater need for datacenter by Tony · · Score: 1

    . . . are the computers going to be placed where they are really needed?

    He's mistaking computation power for data management. Sure, you will have computers all over the freakin' place, where they are needed most: in churches and small pebbles and dentures and flatulent old men and chocolate chip cookies and goldfish. But what are those computers going to do? They're going to monitor things and feed that data back to a, well, central repository of data, where the data can be managed.

    I might have a computer that is a part of me, that displays information through my contacts, and listens to the environment around me, bringing up the data I need real-time. Where's that data going to come from? I imagine some sort of central repository, in most cases. The searches will certainly execute on a central computer somewhere, most likely at a Google datacenter. Searches don't perform themselves.

    The more distributed computers there are, the more information they generate. The more information that is generated, the greater the need for a datacenter to manage that data. I don't see that changing any time soon.

    --
    Microsoft is to software what Budweiser is to beer.
  76. Excuse me! by NonViviDaSola · · Score: 0

    How does the ability to distribute some of your computing mean that other types of computing are deprecated. If anything, distributed computing doesn't take away from centralized computing but augments it. In fact, I would expect an increase in distributed computing to require even more centralized infrastructure to maintain the network.

  77. Bit Hosting... by T3CHKNOW · · Score: 1

    Can I host some sites on your drill bit? Wait... What are you using for security? Do you have an ISA drill bit? What about DNS? Are we talking Static or Dynamic IP bits? Can I get VOIP on it? Heck can it replace my cell phone, cuz I am getting tired of carrying around a drill and a cellphone. Having so many devices is ruining the creases on my slacks, it is getting in the way of my driving. Speaking of which, I find it inconvenient to answer my drill whilst driving, can I get bluetooth for it? Or would I just use a driver/drill? Also, if you are using your drill will that affect the wireless signal? If I break my drill bit will my site go down?

  78. Time to short SUNW by baggins2001 · · Score: 1

    Yes Jonothan they are making and using more computers in different places.
    But centralizing your maintenance makes more sense doesn't it.
    Yes having computers close to the use makes sense in some cases, but what makes more sense is having a controlled area where you can manage the computers.
    If I had the money and time I would replace most of our computers with terminal servers. Terminals are cheaper. $400 dollar terminal is cheaper than a $2000 workstation to replace. Oh this doesn't make sense. Well how about when manufacturing equipment fails catches on fire and water (pick any number of chemicals here) damages all the little workstations on the manufacturing floor.
    What you need to be thinking of is centralized solutions. Gigabit data connections to terminals capable of running equipment interface cards. All this connected to a centralized server. Take out 50 $2000 Workstations replace with 50 $400 terminals connected to $40000 dollars of redundant hardware and we have a solution.
    Jonathan you need to be thinking about solutions that can be realized now and provided now with computer system you sell now or can be modified to adapt to what we need now. Put down the quad venti latte and come to the real world. Your blog seems to be ignoring the problems we have today and jumping off to the problems of tomorrow. Quit worrying about what Sun can do for the future and worry about what Sun can do to fix the present problems. We'll be more likely to listen to your future problem solutions then. And I don't mean a $500,000 fix for a $40,000 problem. We need a $20,000 fix for our $40,000 problems.
    Datacenters are going to get bigger not smaller. Non of my users has gotten any better at maintaining a computer, just because they have one on their desk or they carry one with them wherever they go. In fact the opposite is true. Every user has his own quirks about setting up his computer (where he wants his files stored) and the more freedom he gets the more diverse the differences. How do you handle such chaos. Either clamp down on computer procedures. or just copy all the information.
    How do we store all of the information from all these little gadgets that are must haves. Dump all the data to a central location and let god and the IT staff sort it out.
    Pass this on to any of your other fellow CEO's .
    Just tell them to open it in a vi editor and run
    :%s/Sun/<their company name>/g
    :%s/Jonathan/<their name>/g

    --
    He who said 1,000,000 monkeys on 1,000,000 typewriters would eventually type the great novel, never saw an AOL chat room
  79. Re:Missing info - brace yourself. by athomascr · · Score: 1

    It's drill bytes. Brace yourself, turns out you're going to need to hammer in gigabytes of these. That could put you in the hole. Don't chuck that data center quite yet.

    At least, that's the spin I wood put on it.

  80. Quick answer by Junior+J.+Junior+III · · Score: 1

    "With computers becoming so small and easy to distribute over a wireless network, do we really need data centers to house computers or are the computers going to be placed where they are really needed?"

    Yes. Duh. *Plonk.*

    My usual consulting fees will apply for this call. Thank you.

    --
    You see? You see? Your stupid minds! Stupid! Stupid!
  81. Mod Parent Up! by RingDev · · Score: 1

    An excellent post putting an overrated corporate exec in his place.

    -Rick

    --
    "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
  82. Next on "The Apprentice" by rlp · · Score: 1

    Trump: Your team was tasked with setting up a datacenter containing the sales database. So where is the datacenter??
    Apprentice: Uhh, Mr. Trump - we read this article that said datacenters were unnecessary.
    Trump: OK, so where's the database stored?
    Apprentice: It's stored on fifteen drill bits somewhere in India.
    Trump: (Angrily) Drill bits!!
    Apprentice: (Sweating profusely) But we saved a lot of money ...
    Trump: (Looking at laptop) So how come I can't access the sales database.
    Apprentice: Well, someone used one of the drill bits and it broke ...
    Trump: You're fired!

    --
    [Insert pithy quote here]
  83. Is that a Sun logo? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Are these guys still in business?

  84. BS by oh_the_humanity · · Score: 1

    This guy is trying to pull a steve jobs, reality disortion field, to influence who and how his servers are bought. Im sorry CEO's blogging, is strickly a cheap (as in free) marketing device, dont buy into this BS.

    --
    "When they invent bitch slaps that can go through a monitor you better f'ing duck" --deft (253558)
  85. Re:how do we reconcile this with the "thin client" by Miniluv · · Score: 1

    You mean the thin clients that Scott McNealy was on NPR just the other day discussing? As usual Sun has two visions of the future, just in case they're wrong.

  86. Apples and Oranges by orospakr · · Score: 1

    My pocket does not have an SLA.

  87. I suppose the obvious question is .... by smcdow · · Score: 1
    With computers becoming so small and easy to distribute over a wireless network, do we really need data centers to house computers or are the computers going to be placed where they are really needed?

    Yes, but where do you store the data produced by these small sensors (which in reality is what he's calling "small computers")?

    Surely, you won't want to rely on the remote sensors for data storage. What happens to your data when your smart drill-bit is destroyed?

    --
    In the course of every project, it will become necessary to shoot the scientists and begin production.
  88. Re:how do we reconcile this with the "thin client" by Montecristo6 · · Score: 1

    Touche as far Sun goes. But the meme has spread a lot wider, I think. As I said, it seems like a sensible idea, given that bandwidth is developing faster, in relative terms, than battery or display technology, two things one wants to think about before tossing out the desktop, let alone a datacenter, and relying on a PDA for one's daily bread ...

    --
    "I am just a customs officer; but I, too, wish to understand what is going on" -- Bertold Brecht
  89. wireless computer transfer by lunatic77 · · Score: 1

    i'd love to observe small computers being distributed wirelessly.

    --
    m@
  90. I love roasts!!! by revery · · Score: 1

    Pin  : So Haj, what do you think about deprecating the datacenter?
    Haj  : I love roasts! Is it my turn to go now? Is Carlin here?
    Pin  : It's not a roast, Haj, it's a question...
    Haj  : Whose turn is it? Is it my turn now?
    Pin  : ...a question about the long term...
    Haj  :  My Turn?!?! Now?!?
    Pin  : ...the long term viability of datacenters in the face...
    Haj  : [in a robot voice] Is... it... my... turn...
    Pin  : FOR CRYING OUT LOUD, HAJ, IT'S NOT A ROAST!! IT'S A QUESTION ON SLASHDOT,
           POSTED BY CmdrTaco. NOW LET ME FINISH!!!
    Haj  : stupidpin,alwayspretendingtobesosmart,itsnotaroast ,iloveroasts...       hisjokeislong...
    Pin  : ...of ubiquitous computing.
    Haj  : isitmyturnnow?!?
    Pin  : yes, Haj. It's your turn.
    Haj  : Ok, Ok, I got one: man this data center is small, what are they storing, nanobytes?!?!
    CROWD: HA! HA! HA! HA!
    Pin  : That's not even funny!
           Where did all these people come from? Where did you get that microphone?
    Haj  : Dude. It's a roast. And by the way, you won the Biggest Doofus Award. Congratulations.
    Pin  : [grabbing the microphone from Haj] Listen to me everyone, this is not a roast. It's a discussion. About datacenters.
           Perhapa you misread the article title, but let me repeat, THIS IS NOT A ROAST.
    Haj  : HA HA!! Put your hands together for my buddy Pin ladies and gentlemen.
    CROWD: [Applauds madly]
           [as they walk off stage, in the distance someone else begins speaking]
           And now, in the interest of equal time, here is a message from the National Institute of Datacenters...
    Haj  : Carlin IS here...
    Pin  : I hate everyone.

  91. Just you wait by wbean · · Score: 1

    I'm 63 and I've been working with computers for 45 years. I often print out long emails or Web sites. It's not because of habit or lack of familiarity with computers, it's because my eyes are old and I don't see as well as all you youngsters.

  92. Nonsense - so many reasons for data centers by kwahoo · · Score: 1

    Centralized computing and data storage for compact and/or mobile devices; reliability, availability, backup (as many other posters have mentioned); professional management; consolidation via virtualization; etc. If I buy my own hardware and deal with all the above issues, only to have it underutilized, that's an incredible waste when a data center can consolidate many services on the same hardware and consolidate management across all these services using the same staff.

  93. Awakened to a new world? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Who ever Jonathan is ... of Jonathans Blog, the root source of the article has apparently noticed (for the first time?) the other world of computers and electronics. He cites the marvels of sensor and controls technology. Johnathan needs to get out more and while his eyes have been exposed to a larger world, I would caution Johnathan not to extrapolate to much from his new found understanding.

    Distributed and decentralised? We have had that since the advent of computers assembled from integrated circuits some thirty years ago. Johnathan, my man... where have you been?

    While novel at the time, I was part of a team that brought a completely automated manufacturing center into existence. From raw material in, to finished product out, inspected and packaged with no human intervention in process except for maintenance and repairs. Automotive air conditioner compressors no less. I've been involved in a similiar vein with automatic transmission manufacture complete with a robotic trains and rail yards for delivery to the automotive assembly plant. Again, no people. All interacting distributed computer guided sensor and control technology complete with built in diagnostics and reporting. This was twenty years ago. Its more pervasive now. You just noticed? Man, look at the technology in Fanuc control systems some time.

    As to the demise of the data center? No.. they aren't going anywhere. We still need points of aggregation and centralization for a whole host of logistics issues where the data center makes the most sense. Nothing has changed except a new found realization in Johnathans world.

    There's lots to see here. Keep moving.

  94. tripe! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    cmdrtaco, do you even think about what you're posting anymore? this article is the farthest thing from news as you can get. its a blog, from someone who is obviously retarded and plays with their bluetooth headset all day, and probably doesn't do a very good job at it. additionally, from the "only-a-matter-of-time-dept"????? what the hell? april fools day called, it wants its article back, dingus.

  95. zzzzzzz by wardk · · Score: 1

    how philosophical. how non article worthy

  96. Hmmm..possibility, but not certain by meburke · · Score: 1

    The power of networks was very well described in Kevin Kelly's book, "New Rules for the New Economy."

    My guess, is that the article doesn't get specific enough about what datacenters will be like in the future. As long as it is incredibally expensive to attach multi-sourced, very high bandwidth connections, datacenters will have a place as server farms. (The attacks on net neutrality will prolong this.) As long as it's economically preferable to have people servicing multiple servers, there will be a necessity for clustering those servers together. Until we can economically dynamically allocate physical and human resources, static allocation will still prevail. This leads me to suspect that both types of alolocation will co-exist for quite a while.

    --
    "The mind works quicker than you think!"
  97. Re: "network is the computer" by walt-sjc · · Score: 1

    The network is the network, and the computer is the computer.

    Frankly, the "network is the computer" slogan is just that - total marketing bullshit. People are fully aware that applications run on computers. Nobody I know, from kids to senior citizens, thinks that "the network is the computer." If anything, they can't tell the difference between a remote application and a local application, and get confused thinking that they "downloaded google" to their local machine. The applications look local, and in fact, the UI IS local. So I TOTALLY disagree that to the user it seems as though "the network is the computer." From my observations, it's the opposite. The network is invisible to the end user.

  98. Drill bits and data centers: the truth by GodBlessTexas · · Score: 1

    The funny thing about his blog is that I used to work in IT for a large energy company that happened to be a SUN customer who I am almost certain is the company he's referring to. Yes, we did have oil rigs that used sensors on the drill bits to help determine how and where to drill. The funny thing is that the data gathered from the drill bits was sent back to a server in the data center, which was a SUN E4000. Data from that server was then fed into another SUN E4000 running Oracle and an application which read seismic data and was used to guide the drill. They were both in what I would easily describe as a traditional datacenter in Houston, TX

    --
    Remember the Alamo, and God Bless Texas...
  99. What about physical security? by symlink · · Score: 1

    Power and cooling aside, I've yet to see a toolbox equipped with a biometric scanner.

    Physical security is as important as electronic security.

  100. The eternal cycle? by StarfishOne · · Score: 1

    Isn't this simply the enternal cycle we see so often? centralize, decentralize, centralize, decentralize, centralize,...

  101. Not just paper, talking too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The company I work for has many young engineers. I am 50. When a problem needs to be resolved, I prefer to talk with people and determine the solution. My coworkers, have said things to me like "Don't ask me a question, just send me an email." In the old days, the way people communicated was by talking. These days it's email only. Maybe in a few more years, young people won't even know how to speak with their parents, they will only communicate via email. :-(

    1. Re:Not just paper, talking too by Duhavid · · Score: 1

      The nice part is that in the future old people will not yell at
      kids to get off their lawn, they will send emails!

      --
      emt 377 emt 4
  102. A Whole New Excuse by SuitOfLight · · Score: 1

    Think of the new opportunities for excuses around the office: "I'd love to run your query, but I left the database server in my other pants!"

  103. Dibs by ZombieSquirrel · · Score: 1

    I call first Beowolf Cluster joke!

  104. Or is it just Sun's data cnter that's obsolete? by miller60 · · Score: 1
    Good thing data centers are obsolete, 'cause Sun's data center is having some problems handling a Slashdotting. Here's what I get from the featured link:

    "System Maintenance in Progress

    The blogs.sun.com team is currently working on some system improvements which require us to briefly disable our normal blogging services. We are working quickly and expect to resume services very shortly.

    Thanks,
    The Blogs Team."

    This would only be a problem if data centers were still relevant. Sheesh.

  105. Wrong conclusion by Tancred · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The proliferation of computers is making datacenters more important, not less. Who needs standalone computers? Of course there are uses for them, but most systems are moving to be more connected, not less. And what do they connect to? Odds are they're tied back to central servers somewhere that need to have high availability, hence the need for datacenters. It's cheaper than every company buying their own redundant power, backup systems, diverse fiber paths and 24/7 support staff.

  106. Testify, brother! (Powerpoint) by Kadin2048 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Amen to that.

    I'd just like to add that I wasn't ranting against paper in general -- I take lots of notes on paper during presentations. I use either spiral-bound notebooks or legal pads, generally, and I find them both essential parts of my organizational/creative process. I'm still waiting on an electronic note-taking system that's as versatile as a spiral-bound notebook and a 0.07mm pen or pencil, in terms of quickly inputting high-resolution text and graphics.

    However, in general I've found that each PP slide, which done according to the seemingly near-universal business-template "style" (which only has a few words of text on it!), only boils down to about one line of written notes. Thus, a 60-slide presentation might only take up a page or two of notes, plus diagrams and editorial comments as appropriate.

    There's so much wrong with PP presentations that I don't even want to get started on it; most people who use them are really using them like a backwards-facing teleprompter, rather than a visual aid, and giving out tons of handouts encourages people to not take notes, meaning less retention of information. Powerpoint is a service by the lazy (presenters) for the lazy (audience).

    --
    "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
    1. Re:Testify, brother! (Powerpoint) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      .07mm??? And I thought my .18mm pens were tiny! Do you take all your notes on grains of rice or something?

    2. Re:Testify, brother! (Powerpoint) by fbjon · · Score: 1
      .07mm??? And I thought my .18mm pens were tiny! Do you take all your notes on grains of rice or something?
      He's saying high-resolution images and text. Probably sweeps the pen over the paper and rattles it like a dot-matrix printer. Good god, what a diligent note-taker!
      --
      True confidence comes not from realising you are as good as your peers, but that your peers are as bad as you are.
  107. Datacenters aren't about the computers by rjamestaylor · · Score: 1

    The draw of a datacenter aren't the computers but the aggregation of and redundancy of bandwidth (power and technicians are important, too, but BW rules). That's even why they're called datacenters I bet.

    --
    -- @rjamestaylor on Ello
  108. Self-deprecating datacenters. When? by haggie · · Score: 1

    Why should I have to deprecate data centers? With today's technology, data centers should be self-deprecating.

  109. 'Paperless' is for stubborn people and salesmen by ivan256 · · Score: 1

    I'm 28, I'm a software engineer, and I think that you are wrong. You also probably would make a terrible engineer. (At least you refer to yourself as a programmer, and not an engineer)

    Whenever you have a problem you should choose the solution with the best combination of simplicity, cost, and reliability. For many tasks, a piece of paper wins all three. It generally wins for durability, size, and weight too. Quick grocery list? Paper. Quick (circuit diagram|woodworking drawing w/dimensions|flowerbed layout|connector pinout) for reference during implementation? Paper. Web based directions to somewhere you've never been in a format you can take along in the car? Paper. Notes from a 5-minute meeting (even if you are going to digitize them later)? Paper. Keeping static information (headers, a page from the API docs, a quick reference card) in your field of view while you are writing software without the added costs of an additional display? Paper. Note to the (mailman|gardner|etc...)? Paper. Temporary sign to post on the wall? Paper. Getting the picture?

    Don't be so infatuated with technology that you lose sight of how good the old ways to do things are. All things are good with the proper level of moderation.

    1. Re:'Paperless' is for stubborn people and salesmen by ben+there... · · Score: 1

      I don't mean to pick apart your post or anything, but here's my take:

      Quick grocery list? Paper.
      -We can start off in agreement. Though if I could pick out my items online and stop in a store to pick them up, I'd probably do it.

      Quick (circuit diagram|woodworking drawing w/dimensions|flowerbed layout|connector pinout) for reference during implementation? Paper.
      -If I had a light tablet PC, I'd rather use that. Much less awkward to access large diagrams without spreading it all over the place. And you don't have to skip the Spanish section.

      Web based directions to somewhere you've never been in a format you can take along in the car? Paper
      -GPS. Preferably audible.

      Notes from a 5-minute meeting (even if you are going to digitize them later)? Paper.
      -I try to take notes on a laptop if its not too distracting to my fellow attendees.

      Keeping static information (headers, a page from the API docs, a quick reference card) in your field of view while you are writing software without the added costs of an additional display? Paper.
      -F1? Object Browser? I had an engineer give me a stack of header files once and I didn't know what the hell to do with it. Then they took them back from me to pass along to someone else. Isn't that crap online somewhere on the intranet? Doxygen? Searchable API? But I do like some reference material in book form, so I guess we're in agreement.

      Note to the (mailman|gardner|etc...)? Paper.
      -Probably makes sense. Email is not entirely unreasonable though.

      Temporary sign to post on the wall? Paper.
      -If I had lots of cheap, low power screens everywhere, I'd use those. We're not talking this decade though.

    2. Re:'Paperless' is for stubborn people and salesmen by ivan256 · · Score: 1
      Quick (circuit diagram|woodworking drawing w/dimensions|flowerbed layout|connector pinout) for reference during implementation? Paper.
      -If I had a light tablet PC, I'd rather use that. Much less awkward to access large diagrams without spreading it all over the place. And you don't have to skip the Spanish section.


      $800 and 5+lbs of equipment to do what you could have done with $0.40 worth of pencil and paper? Would it even do the job any better? I'd say no. Where would I keep the tablet PC between cuts at the table saw or while I'm digging holes in the garden? The paper gets stuffed in my pocket. How would it stand up to vibration, sawdust, dirt, or water? It is a much larger 'display' than any pocketable touchscreen device too.

      Notes from a 5-minute meeting (even if you are going to digitize them later)? Paper.
      -I try to take notes on a laptop if its not too distracting to my fellow attendees.


      Forget distracting. What about disconnecting it from power, carrying it around, powering it up, all to write down two or three line items. Plus it requires a laptop. I'll bet you $100 I can type up the three sentences that come from notes at a quick meeting faster than you can close and re-open the cover on your laptop and re-connect the power.

      Temporary sign to post on the wall? Paper.
      -If I had lots of cheap, low power screens everywhere, I'd use those. We're not talking this decade though.


      If we had tons of low-power screens everywhere most of my arguments would no longer make sense. Of course we'd also probably be bombarded with so much light-emitting animated advertising that we would collectively all stab ourselvs blind and jump off a cliff ending the human race forever... Or maybe not.

      Paperless may make sense in some Star-Trekian future, but we don't live then yet.

      As for stacks of headers printed out on paper. That's idiotic, and not what I was talking about. A single data structure taped to the side of the monitor for side-by-side reference while debugging somebody else's sloppy code is more what I had in mind. I do personally prefer a second display for the task, but only about one in three of my past employers have been willing to provide such a setup.
    3. Re:'Paperless' is for stubborn people and salesmen by ben+there... · · Score: 1

      I think we're talking about 2 different things. You're talking about now, I'm talking about ideally. I use paper for a couple of those things now and will for the foreseeable future. But I'd prefer not to use paper, ideally.

      At meetings, I almost always have a laptop there anyway. The choice is just whether I take notes on that or paper.

      The last one was kind of a joke.

  110. Slashdotted! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I tried to read the TFA but their server (drill bit?) was slashdotted. Maybe they were a little too quick to deprecate their datacenter?

  111. DATA center. by RocketScientist · · Score: 1

    Data centers serve two purposes.

    They store data. They provide processing power to aggregate that data so you get what you need, and only what you need, on your local system.

    The data center as described, where the aggregation is done at the edge of the network instead of at the datacenter, implies a quantity and quality of bandwidth we don't have now. And when we get there, there will still need to be some central repositories for data. And those repositories will also have to function as security and payment clearinghouses.

    The data center may turn into nothing more than a glorified SAN, but it'll still be there. Because with all the ubiquitous computing we have, the cell phones, the PDA's, the laptops, it's all got one very simple thing in common: it's easy to lose, break, have stolen and otherwise destroy. And the backups have to be somewhere, or the system doesn't work. And that's what data centers will become. Places where data is stored, centrally.

    Huh. Maybe the name's a little more forward thinking than we thought?

  112. Slashdot doomed by MisterSquiddy · · Score: 0

    Slashdot will be doomed if it continues to permit the posting of bollocks like this.

  113. Awww by j2crux · · Score: 1
    Awww 1530CST http://blogs.sun.com/ was down.
    From the site:
    System Maintenance in Progress
    The blogs.sun.com team is currently working on some system improvements which require us to briefly disable our normal blogging services. We are working quickly and expect to resume services very shortly.
    Thanks,
    The Blogs Team.
    --
    j^2
  114. Computers may be getting smaller, but ... by Skapare · · Score: 1

    Computers may be getting smaller, but applications keep getting bigger and more bloated at an even faster pace. As long as there is the bloat, datacenters will keep growing under the planet is covered with them.

    --
    now we need to go OSS in diesel cars
  115. Re:Paper is for old people = New Manhatten Project by CYDVicious · · Score: 1

    When the world works in a way where it truly is paperless...the the next Manhatten Project will be a Explosion that wipes out all Magnetic data/etc... for given radius. Who cares if no people are harmed, given that every piece of data in that location is wiped out with no recovery...unless they are backedup up elsewhere in say redundant datacenter maybe?

    --
    //Nothing to see here, please move along.
  116. The Blogging CEO needs bigger data center by jmyers · · Score: 1

    I think slashdot overloaded the one he has now.

  117. re: paper and its usefulness vs. digital? by King_TJ · · Score: 1

    It's true that technology allows us to reduce our usage of paper. (And in turn, it follows that the older generation is more set in their ways of using paper where the younger crowd feels more comfortable using one of the alternatives instead.)

    BUT - there are good, valid reasons for paper printouts. The "easier on the eyes" argument has merit, simply because you can't easily pick up your monitor and comnfortably read it at different angles and positions. You're generally forced to look at it from a specific distance away from the screen, in a relatively fixed position in your desk. The eyes get tired of focusing on something at only one focal length after a while. With sheets of paper, most people tend to do things like stand up and carry them around, continuing to glance at them as they go into another room, or perhaps turn around in their chair and read the paper sitting on their lap while they're facing away from their desk.

    Also, paper is lit up by light reflecting off of it, vs. being backlit. You're not "staring into the light" to read paper, like you do an LCD or CRT display.

    It recently struck me that as we strive to move to digital vs. paper, it's interesting that the whole question of "backup" and "longevity" becomes more critical too. We know we can properly store a book and expect it to be perfectly readable in 200 years, but the promise of CDs and DVDs lasting anywhere near that long is questionable at best. Tape backups degrade over time, slowly becoming demagnetized as they sit around. Hard drives are doing good to last 10 years before failing. So far, the best answer for ensuring your document (photo, video, etc.) sticks around is posting it to the Internet. Then your "backup" becomes everything from Usenet archives to Google caches to individuals who found it useful enough to make their own copies at home or at work. If a work becomes "lost", someone can post to message forums begging for a copy and usually, someone out there has one they can repost. But our legal system discourages using the net in this way, citing copyright violation, in many cases.

  118. Re:how do we reconcile this with the "thin client" by Miniluv · · Score: 1

    I agree whole heartedly. In fact, my windows network manager is evaluating thin clients to replace PCs for all employees. The idea of replacing 1 $20k server every 5 years is much nicer than 100 $500 desktops every 3 years. Yes, those numbers aren't exact, but they give an idea of the sort of savings that are possible if your environment is a candidate for thin clients.

    I won't even get into how cool it is to pull your access card out of your desktop in San Jose, hop a plane to NYC, grab a spare desk at the head office, plug your card in and be right where you left off with all your documents open, apps open, and xmms picks up in the middle of the mp3 it was playing.

  119. Re: paper and its usefulness vs. digital? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Agreed..

    Consider this; if one thinks that looking at a monitor all day doesn't hurt the eyes, have them go and stare at a lamp for about an hour. Not the same you say? Turn off all of the lights in a room and fire up that LCD and tell me it's not.

  120. You have the obvious luxury... by Ayanami+Rei · · Score: 1

    of working in an organization where you have little interdependancy between offices.

    Our teams are spread out over the eastern seaboard, and our employees are often on travel at customer sites, so we have to centralize as much as possible to keep everything accessible and to keep everyone in touch. We have to cluster/failover critical resources and intra-campus links.

    I know a lot of large organizations have these issues, so sometimes you really do need a datacenter prima donna if you want to keep your employees and customers happy.

    --
    THIS THING CAN TURN ON A DIME, MACROSSZERO STYLE ALSO FUCK BETA, ~NYORON
  121. not really by bitspotter · · Score: 1

    I don't pay my datacenter for tiny or cheap computers or connections.
    I pay my datacenter for reliable computers and connections.

    As long as centralized datacenters can provide more reliable PCs and connections (You're expecting me to put my entire livelihood behind a WIRELESS connection? Fat chance!) than what I can put on my desk, lap, or hand, there will be a demand for it.

    Now, if you can get those drill bits (and their connections) to work as or more reliably than datacenters, you'll have something. But that's a pretty tall order.

  122. A different perspective by stonecypher · · Score: 1

    Datacenters don't exist because it's difficult to get or run computers. The purpose of datacenters is to provide a safe, secure place for servers, with redundant uplinks and backup generators. The reason I don't run my company's servers out of my house is because the cost of making a reliable base for computing is stratospheric except in bulk. It's much cheaper for me to rely on level three's infrastructure than it is to create my own.

    It's the same reason we don't build our own streets or refine our own water. We could. It's not cost effective as an individual. Datacenters don't have home PCs. They have servers that can't afford to go down.

    I don't foresee datacenters going away until the reliability of home services has changed dramatically.

    --
    StoneCypher is Full of BS
  123. Once we all have 14TB fiber... by DeadboltX · · Score: 1

    Data won't reside perminantly on any computers, they will all be interfaced with the 14TB superweb, and all data will be travling all over the place so fast that it will remain perminantly in limbo ON TEH INTARWEB. This will make harddrives completely obsolete, as the data capacity for the fiber can be easily determined by complex algorythms, the basis of which is the speed of light multiplied by the total distance of fiber, and Pi is thrown in there somewhere for good measure (fiber is round right?..) Everything will be floating in the public domain and all you need to do is reach out and grab it.

  124. Well, it doesn't. by Ayanami+Rei · · Score: 1

    The only reason why anyone would deploy Citrix is to deploy a Windows application on a large scale. It's rather trivial with Unix (pick from one fifty different approaches, with varying levels of cost, complexity, scalability, and done-for-you-ness)

    --
    THIS THING CAN TURN ON A DIME, MACROSSZERO STYLE ALSO FUCK BETA, ~NYORON
  125. ugh... by Ayanami+Rei · · Score: 1

    the cost of the power to run that thing is more than its computing throughput is worth.

    --
    THIS THING CAN TURN ON A DIME, MACROSSZERO STYLE ALSO FUCK BETA, ~NYORON
  126. RTFA: Its in the definition by Dimes · · Score: 1

    JS's Def of a datacenter:

    The original intent of the datacenter was to accomodate not computer equipment, but the people who managed it. Operators who needed to mount tapes, sweep chad, feed cards, and physically intervene when things went wrong. Swap a failed board or disk drive, or reboot a system.


    What he is talking about is not "datacenters" where you keep servers and network gear. He is talking about "datacenters" where there are offices with tons of staff.

    That said....who the hell works where their servers are? I run pando with a couple hundred servers and I often go weeks without seeing it(the hardware) since I console everything. Before that a bank where I never went to the hardware but once a month, and before that a whole year and a half at a major auction house where I never saw the hardware ever. Its been this way for a long time.

    It sorta seems to me he is either really overstating the obvious.....or he is a decade or two behind the times.

    dimes

  127. Definitely easier? by dereference · · Score: 1

    They've always wanted reports printed out from systems that I've built, even though it would be easier to have them get their reports by email or directly from the system online. Then they can filter, correct, annotate, etc. right in the same place that everyone else is looking, or keep it secure if it's that type of information.

    I think it has something to do with their process of dealing with tasks.


    I'm with you about the email, but I'm not so sure I agree when the option is getting the report from the system online. Let's say I get a phone call and need to discuss a report. Let's even assume I already have a browser launched, and it's in the foreground of the current desktop already. Ok, I just need to Ctrl-N a new window, find and click a bookmark, and wait for the login page. I need to enter my username and strong password first, then I have perhaps 4 or 5 clicks just to generate the default report. Now I need to select the date range, set my filtering and sorting options back to how I like it, and then I can scroll one screen at a time. Now, that all wastes a lot of time, and I still have a very limited viewport on my data. Humans are good at scanning for patterns and discrepancies; scrolling necessarily makes this unintuitive, and until filters can read our minds, this is going to be important in real-world decision-making.

    If I had a folder of printouts near my desk, I just need to grab the folder, flip through until I find the exact report, and pull it out. I can layout the pages on my desk and scan several hundreds of lines; far more than could possibly fit on the screen at a legible resolution.

    One large problem here is that most systems don't allow you to readily bookmark or save one or more reports, with arbitrary settings, where they are quickly retrievable. Further, I still have to login and wait for the report to be generated, even if I could just select a bookmark. And, perhaps worst of all, I can't exactly take these down the hall to the conference room, as I can with a folder of paper reports. Even if there is a machine there, it's almost definitely off, so I need to boot, login, launch the browser, and then proceed with the steps outlined above. This can easily take 10 minutes or more, and typically falls into the "not worth it" bucket. Sure, you might have a laptop, but I would argue the convenience factor is still working against you.

    So, I just don't think you're necessarily correct that the underlying reason is that a pile of papers will help motivate some people more than an inbox full of urgent or unread messages. I It certainly might, and I absolutely don't mean to accuse you of anything, but if I were you I'd take some time to reflect on the systems I'd designed, and question whether there might be some reason that your system doesn't make it quite as user-friendly as you expect. Complex system navigation without shortcuts, combined with the inherent need for portable ubiquitous connectivity to said system, may well make a compelling case for the convenience of paper reports.

  128. HA! GROWING THEY ARE! HMMM... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I've worked in 2 datacenters in the last 3 years and both were growing and needing qualified technicians. The idea that people don't want their terabytes of data backed-up, secured, supplied with power and TLC 24x7 is totally contrary to reality. Both datacenters were getting more densely packed and running into power and cooling issues. Small 1U servers only made it easier to pack more of them in and do ever more things.

  129. Schwartz, as always, is insane by swordgeek · · Score: 1

    I'm quite convinced that Jonathan Schwartz exists to be the counterpart to Steve Ballmer. Bill Gates was an economist and a monopolist standing against Scott McNealy, a technologist. Now we have a Ballmer, the psychotic sociopath, facing down Schwartz, the insane dreamer.

    Nothing he says makes much sense. Whether or not it helps Sun, I don't know.

    --

    "People who do stupid things with hazardous materials often die." -- Jim Davidson on alt.folklore.urban
  130. Death of the Big Iron by totallygeek · · Score: 1

    We used to hear the same with mainframe computing, that smaller PCs outperform, are cheaper, etc. The problem is levels of redundancy, sourcing of compatible components, etc. Along those lines, I loved the comment made (I can't remember by whom) with regard to that: "You cannot replace a bull with 10,000 chickens."

    Data Centers offer: conditioned power, redundant power, (almost) instantaneous access to increased bandwidth needs, connectivity redundancy, less dusty air, cooling, physical security, network operation centers, remote hands, etc. (the list goes on).

  131. ok ... so datacenters are going away by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I guess sun is going to host their fancy new grid out of their employees bedrooms.

  132. Yes... by borgheron · · Score: 1

    Yes, we'll still need data centers. Data centers will always be necessary because people will always want to store more and more data.

    GJC

    --
    Gregory Casamento
    ## Chief Maintainer for GNUstep
  133. Sounds familiar... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I once thought up an alternative to the current datacenter model. In my model, a collective pool of data (i.e. all the sites on the net, minus files over a certain size, probably 10MB or so) would be distributed across the internet dynamically. In this model, every computer on the internet would serve as both a server and a client. Each terminal would connect to a core set of servers (which would more than likely be dispersed in several different geographical locations, in a similar fashion to the 13 DNS root servers used now) would be able to determine the total number of systems on the internet. From there, it would calculate how much of the net each system would need to store if all of them stored an equal amount of data, and then do some basic balancing based on CPU, RAM, HDD, and Connections measurements. In short, you'd have one core set of servers which organize stuff so that every system pulls an equal load.

    For example, if the entire internet had 10 hosts with 100GB of data to be served, and 5 of the 10 hosts were twice as fast as the other 5, you might have a breakdown like this: 5 systems have 66GB spread amongst them, with the other 5 having 33GB spread amongst them. The first 5 would then have around 11GB while the slower 5 would have 5GB to 6GB. Then, whenever a request was made for example.com, the big routing servers would say "ok, right now that data is on x system at x IP address." and so on and so fourth.

    In effect it was like bittorrent for HTTP, where these theoretical root servers served like trackers, and every system was both a client and a server (or leecher and seeder, respectively.)

    The theory works fine, but after 5 minutes of bliss spent marvelling at my own idea, the problems flowed like a river. For one thing, where does a web designer upload to? Does he or she simply FTP files to this root server and it hands stuff out? No, because then you could FTP whatever you want with no restrictions and my AVI Movies would be on a computer with Google. What about domain names? Does the person who owns google.com own my computer if the root server just happens to send stuff my way? If it does send it my way and then my computer crashes, can google sue me for their downtime? Can they win?

    In short, I determined that you MUST have systems set aside as servers, not because the technology wouldn't work if everything was both a client and a server, but simply because of the way people use clients and servers. Technologically this entire idea is possible. It's not practical though, since computers are here to serve people, and people don't live on other people's schedules. This idea is like an on-demand public transit system. In the real world, you have to be at a bus stop at a set time and that bus runs a set route on a set schedule. Sure, we could have a bus system where you call up the bus driver any time you want to, tell him to go straight to the doorstep of anywhere you want to, and then he's free for the next person, but we don't (that's called a cab, not a bus). A bus on a schedule works fine until 2 people have to be at work at the same time on different ends of time and both must ride the same bus. Using a sort of decentralized, distributed internet is a great idea, however there is no practical way to implement it.

    I don't see datacenters dying off any time soon. Peer-to-peer serving has yet to be perfected on a mass scale with HTTP, and even if I can IM people over bluetooth peer-to-peer I can't google search over it peer-to-peer. Having dedicated servers is a manditory component of HTTP, and I don't think we'll see an end of datacenters as whole until HTTP can be run out of everyone's garage, peer-to-peer. As long as it works off a client/server model, HTTP will require dedicated servers, and therefore datacenters.

  134. OS will deprecate faster by kentsin · · Score: 0

    When computers doing a simple role the OS will become a wasted.

  135. requirements by john_uy · · Score: 1

    datacenter should at least provide:
    precision cooling
    redundant power
    backup power (ups and generators)
    security
    connectivity
    access
    structural protection
    fire protection

    in disasters, all the stuff out there go out while computers in the datacenters keep on running

    just recently, a storm struck the capital city (Manila, Philippines) and knocked power and communications in most areas for days (loss of mobile phone, difficult communications, no internet in residential areas, no cable tv, no technology.) that place that i worked for had everything running inside the datacenter at least (though internet connectivity was intermittent.) our datacenter kept running as it was designed to do.

    well i guess that the ceo just looks at computational requirements that can be divided in smaller chunks (ala seti@home and other similar projects.) but what about those applications that cannot be done like big databases and simulations. i guess the computing part is easy. the question can we connect everything more efficient? how can we move data across all the island of computing devices?

    as i sidenote, sun has built their business in servers hosted in datacenters. i guess they should stop selling them and focus instead in embedded computing and other non-datacenter related items. they could also focus on communications for those embedded devices.

    --
    Live your life each day as if it was your last.
  136. simple: cost by drago · · Score: 1

    As long as renting a root server including some amount of traffic etc. is way cheaper than the electricity bill for an additional machine at home, let alone costs for a static IP and so on, I don't see why I should not host just about everything in the datacenter.

  137. Who is this guy? by Jeian · · Score: 1

    What company does this guy run? I think now is an excellent time to short some stock...

  138. DataCenter has been Deprecated. Use DataCentre. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    -Can i see your datacenter?
    -Our dat..? Sorry, we don't have such think!
    -urh! You don't? Where are your servers then?
    -Servers?
      Excuse, me! Are you from the past?

  139. backups by smash · · Score: 1
    Get back to me when someone figures out how to backup the data on all these distributed devices in a reliable manner.

    Sure technology scales, but so does the rate of data consumption. You can miniaturize your devices all you like, but "enough" (in terms of what's "enough" for the data usage of the day) reliable, redundant, backed up data storage has certain requirements which have remained pretty consistent for the past couple of decades.

    --
    I run: Windows, OS X, Linux, FreeBSD. Just because you have a hammer, doesn't mean everything is a nail.
  140. Combined Compute and Heat by Dave+Fiddes · · Score: 1

    That's actually quite an interesting idea (apart from the perpetual motion bit ;). You'd never be able to generate steam but there is definitely a lot of waste heat from your datacenter (well 100% waste as virtually all the electricity that goes in is converted to heat). This could form the basis of a Combined Compute and Heat scheme where the heat is used to provide background heat (under floor heating say) to surrounding homes and offices.

    It wouldn't handle the summer months where the demand for cooling is greatest. The cooling system could "charge up" a giant heat reservior during the summer for use during the winter. I guess the infrastructure would be somewhat complex and it would suffer from the same problems that blight CHP schemes...getting different organisations to cooperate on captial projects.

    Maybe when energy gets to cost 5x what it does at the moment.

    1. Re:Combined Compute and Heat by Duhavid · · Score: 1

      I intended no perpetual computation, really. :-)

      Just the idea that the waste heat might supplant some
      part of the power input.

      --
      emt 377 emt 4
    2. Re:Combined Compute and Heat by StewBaby2005 · · Score: 1

      Back in 1988, the company I worked for moved us all to a new custom built datacenter which was designed to use the waste heat from an IBM mainframe to heat the building. Only problem was... the mainframe was back ordered. We had to have floor heaters put in all our cubes until the 'big iron' arrived. Nice conccept though.

  141. Tags by peterpi · · Score: 1

    fud, no, yes, notfud

    Love the new tagging system

  142. Sounds like a lecture series by bobcote · · Score: 1

    This sounds like another lecturer wanna be. He'll collect the big fees talking to CEOs about the future that won't happen.

    Besides, get rid of data centers and you have no one to lay off for a quick cost cutting measure and then rehire two years later when that India thing didn't work.

  143. Typical by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The usual CEO bullshit