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NPD Group Says "Wait! HD-DVD Isn't Dead Yet"

The NPD group, owners of the not-quite-as-popular-as-they-had-hoped HD-DVD format, attempted to battle back against the tide of "naysayers" who claim that the format war is over and have declared Blu-Ray Disc the winner. "While select articles have implied that HD-DVD as a format is doomed and the sky is falling for the format's supporters, the NPD Group this afternoon reinforced that sales results from a single week do not necessarily indicate a trend, and that the week in question had several intriguing variables that have gone unreported."

279 comments

  1. A Modest Proposal by divide+overflow · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If the NPD Group really wants to shake things up they ought to offer free HD-DVD licenses.

    1. Re:A Modest Proposal by BosstonesOwn · · Score: 5, Interesting

      They need to get burners to market in mass quantity as well as offer those licenses for free or very very small royalties.

      Like pennies per unit. Plus they need to get the consumer on their side. The more hd-dvd players out there the more the industry has to listen. Unfortunately with the economy tanking this is hard. Right now I personally would put money making on the back burner and just look to break even. Make hd-dvd discs cheaper to buy then a normal dvd and make the players cheaper. At that point this whole thing can turn around , with consumer demand the studios have to listen. If smaller studios stick to the format then there really can be a price market , smaller studios usually make lower cost films and don't need to recoup so much back.

      The reason I say they need burners in high volume asap, is that whether they like it or not piracy is often times a real boost to sales. It's been proven that it helps.( http://www.stargeek.com/item/41324.html ) ( http://techrepublic.com.com/5208-6230-0.html?forumID=102&threadID=243454 )

      The american and canadian dbs providers , even cable can thank piracy for large subscriber growth. They really should get those burners out in high volumes fast.

      --
      This package Does Not Contain a Winner
    2. Re:A Modest Proposal by Moonpie+Madness · · Score: 0

      This would be breach of fiduciary. What benefits one doesn't necessarily benefit another, and there's a wide consortium of interests here.

      The whole "scorched earth" idea of let's just ruin the potential of anybody making any profit if that keeps Sony from making any profit is pretty freaking pathetic.

      We have a great hi cap format, it's called blu-ray. Toshiba stands to make money from it, just not as much as HD-DVD could have netted. These companies have no reason to just make licenses free. Doing so would take billions of dollars out of the market.

      Also, I don't see how it helps you to have a slightly cheaper optical disc solution with no movies released on it. Unless piracy is your thing, what do you do with that? It's a terrible backup solution compared with spare HDDs or networked backups. Maybe I'm missing something.

    3. Re:A Modest Proposal by Z00L00K · · Score: 1

      The reason I say they need burners in high volume asap, is that whether they like it or not piracy is often times a real boost to sales.

      And don't forget about "nature films" and the purpose of using the media/format for computer data backup, even if it is insufficient for larger volumes today.
      --
      If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
    4. Re:A Modest Proposal by feepness · · Score: 1

      The reason I say they need burners in high volume asap, is that whether they like it or not piracy is often times a real boost to sales Forget volume, they need to make a decent burner, period.
    5. Re:A Modest Proposal by squiggleslash · · Score: 4, Informative

      I'm trying to work out why the submitter thinks the NPD group has anything to do with HD DVD at all, let alone that they're the supporters. You appear to think the same thing. NPD is a market research firm. They, amongst other things, collect tallies of sales figures and pass this on to analysts and industry. They're complaining that various outlets misinterpreted their latest figures showing an immediate drop in HD DVD player sales just after the Warner announcement. One of those outlets was Slashdot, yesterday. They're not "supporters" of HD DVD, any more than they're "supporters" of Blu-ray.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    6. Re:A Modest Proposal by hairyfeet · · Score: 3, Interesting
      It isn't just piracy. As a pc tech I would LOVE a cheap HD-DVD burner to use to back up mine and my customers data files. Plus it would be great for discs full of drivers, older software, etc. Even if it was only the 25Gb discs that were cheap, I think a lot of folks would buy them for backups. I really think they could turn this around ( and have said so in previous posts on the subject) if they can get cheap burners and media into the hands of the public.


      Blu-Ray at this point is simply too expensive to be any good for backups,at least for me. And I care more about burning my own media than I do about formats, which is why I and a LOT of people I know are sticking with DVD.And let us not forget that the cheapness of digicams and other forms of user content creation. And people are a lot more used to being able to burn a disc and share it with friends than passing around hard drives. I just hope they are forward thinking enough to see this instead of helping Blu-Ray kill the competition by keeping licenses high.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    7. Re:A Modest Proposal by aplusjimages · · Score: 1

      Make hd-dvd discs cheaper to buy then a normal dvd and make the players cheaper. At that point this whole thing can turn around , with consumer demand the studios have to listen.
      I would settle for HD-DVD disc being the same price as DVD. I think that would help give the industry the shot in the arm it needs. But right now I have to pay $25 for Top Gun on HD-DVD. That's too much for my Maverick fix.
      --
      Can I bum a sig?
    8. Re:A Modest Proposal by Wdomburg · · Score: 1

      Cheaper. Finalized spec. No region encoding. No extensible DRM. High definition audio codecs mandatory (good thing for BD they have extra space to waste on uncompressed audio). Combo discs for backwards compatability with DVD players. I'll stick with HD DVD or DVD until BD is far more compelling.

      (I agree regarding back-ups though. Flash memory is cheap and convienent for casual file transfer. External and network drives are cheap and convienent backups. Just don't see the optical formats as particular compelling for anything but video, and considering the typical length of home videos most people would be just as well served master their content in HDRED or AVCREC on regular DVDs.)

    9. Re:A Modest Proposal by Moonpie+Madness · · Score: 1

      There is a finalized spec, but it's silly to say that Blu-ray also doesn't have a finalized spec. For watching movies, it's finalized enough. They are adding newer stupid features. Totally ok.

      Cheaper for sure, but so what? Eventually blu-ray will be MUCH cheaper (I'm willing to bet money on it). And the audio codec are mandatory because HD-DVD is inferior. Period. They cannot fit uncompressed audio and must use compression, so of course there's a mandatory codec. You say space is wasted on uncompressed as though it's impossible to hear the difference. It's not, studies have proven it, I can tell, and why not have absolutely perfect audio? Audio is blu-ray's best feature.

      Not sure what your point for combo discs means. I don't need combo discs for blu-ray devices because obviously blu-ray will be in every $50 drive in five years. You can't get a combo disc for most movies, since most studios aren't on HD-DVD. Just a lame point.

      I can see sticking with DVD. It's certainly good enough for enjoying films. you can't beat the slection. But you insist you're sticking with HD-DVD, and I don't really know how that's possible. Anyone with two brain cells to rub together knows that Toshiba is liquidating, the studios are leaving, and there's not going to be a bundh of players or movies to stick to. It's like my asserting I will stick to Betamax until VHS is far more compelling. WTF deos that even mean? That I won't be watching any movies? Stick away, pal. The market is choosing blu-ray 9:1 over hd-dvd without even counting PS3s, so I think you're going to change your mind.

      We agree that optical is much more limited to media playback. Particularly high quality with great DRM. The HD-DVD's failure in DRM is a big reason why they lost. If you are so opposed to DRM, then you need to give up on optical movies. Perhaps that's a shame, I don't know, but it's the truth.

    10. Re:A Modest Proposal by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      And convince the consumers that paying 2X the price of a normal DVD is worth it.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    11. Re:A Modest Proposal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Particularly high quality with great DRM.

      Now that's just plain funny! Go home troll. The sun is starting to come up.

    12. Re:A Modest Proposal by ZorinLynx · · Score: 2, Interesting

      >Blu-Ray at this point is simply too expensive to be any good for backups

      Just wait a little longer. If history teaches us anything, it's that tech never stays expensive for long.

      And consider hard drives for backups. Less expensive per gig, faster, and more versatile.

    13. Re:A Modest Proposal by LWATCDR · · Score: 1


      I would say it isn't piracy at all.
      There are more and more HD DVD camcorders coming on the market.
      A lot of people don't want to watch them on a computer.
      Actually HD-DVD needs only one thing to beat BlueRay.
      An HD-DVD player for under $100.
      I don't know anybody that has a BlueRay player that isn't in a PS3. I only know one person that has a PS3. I am the only person I know that has an HD-DVD player.

      Well the real way that HD-DVD can win would be to get Nintendo to put one in the Wii and keep the cost at where it is :)

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    14. Re:A Modest Proposal by RetardsForRonPaul · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Have you seen the Transformers HD DVD? The extra features are amazing. And the tech they used to do it all has been in the spec from day one. It's one of the few HD DVDs I actually own.

      Particularly high quality with great DRM. The HD-DVD's failure in DRM is a big reason why they lost. If you are so opposed to DRM, then you need to give up on optical movies. Perhaps that's a shame, I don't know, but it's the truth. Fine, but keep in mind why that DRM is there. It's not to prevent piracy. Its so you can't format shift it to your iPod and they can charge you a buck for the pleasure. Its so you cant make a backup for when your kids scratch the disc. It's so you can't find a better price from an overseas retailer. It's so you can't do any with the disc you just purchased unless the studio wants to (and gets to milk you for more money). And I dont know what you mean by HD-DVDs failure in DRM. AACS has been cracked on both platforms. Yes, Blu-Ray has that abomination called BD+, but that will be cracked. The only failure is that HD-DVD actually had the consumer's interest in mind, too, which makes studio execs cry.
    15. Re:A Modest Proposal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Blu-ray burners are pretty darn cheap, actually. A lite-on internal is about $400 on google products right now. A plextor is in the $800 range. External drives are the only other option that's competitive dollar per byte. A disc is quite a bit more durable though.


      2 years and internal burners will be $100.

    16. Re:A Modest Proposal by morari · · Score: 2, Funny

      Well, I can assure you that without a solid method of piracy I won't be switching over from DVD films any time soon. NetFlix, a spindle of blank discs, and a few mouse clicks per film has increased my collection exponentially. :P

      --
      "He who can destroy a thing, controls a thing." --Paul Atreides, Dune
    17. Re:A Modest Proposal by desertfool · · Score: 1

      I saw an HD-DVD player at Sam's club for $128. When I saw it I looked at my wife and "That's it. Blu-ray won." It was the only HD-DVD player in the store. And there was nothing but Blu-ray for high def content.

      --
      Just a dude. Stuck in IT.
    18. Re:A Modest Proposal by ColdWetDog · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Blu-Ray at this point is simply too expensive to be any good for backups,at least for me. And I care more about burning my own media than I do about formats, which is why I and a LOT of people I know are sticking with DVD.And let us not forget that the cheapness of digicams and other forms of user content creation.

      I'm genuinely curious - why are you (and just about every other geek who just doesn't want to back up his porn collection) so interested in an untested format for archival purposes? DVDs and CDs really aren't all that robust if you really want that data stored. Is there any info on the (presumed) shelf life of user-burned HD / Bluray disks? Inquiring minds want to know.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    19. Re:A Modest Proposal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Good point. Actually there's nothing to argue against in it, so for amusement (instead) I'll put this one here:

      the NPD Group this afternoon reinforced that sales results from a single week do not necessarily indicate a trend

      They "reinforced"? Yo don't "say" or "publish" anymore, you can "reinforce"? So you can just decide the end result on the audience before it does or doesn't happen?

      This is abuse of language and arrogance towards audience, and if it's in NPD Group's original text then they got into my shit list just for that. (But of course I'm too lazy to actually go check, so I'll just ass-u-me it's there.)

      I've worked construction, reinforcing actually means something... /end irrational rant of the day

    20. Re:A Modest Proposal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They "reinforced" it because so many technology news sites and blogs (Slashdot included) misconstrued the data that was previously published. They were merely reiterating (Uh-oh don't jump on me for using that word) that the data was for one week only.

    21. Re:A Modest Proposal by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      If you use good quality media with gold stabilized dye the shelf life should be 100 years or more.

      http://www.mam-a.com/products/dvd/Gold%20DVD/DVDR%20Gold.htm

      Of course if you use the crap you get in most stores you are looking at 1 year.

    22. Re:A Modest Proposal by CaptainPinko · · Score: 1
      If the NPD Group really wants to shake things up they ought to offer free HD-DVD licenses.

      Sorry, but the only reason a consortium would want to win the format war is to make money off of licenses. They don't give a shit about the technology itself. IP is the best way to make money since you can't be out-priced once you have it. Perpetual patent licensing is the name of the game. If they won the war by giving away free licenses then it'd truly be a Phyrric victory. It'd be like if K-mart on all of Walmart's costumers by giving away it's merchandise for free!*

      * The usual caveat applies when using analogies about tangible objects to apply to IP: no analogy is perfect. I guess a better analogy would be if they were selling it at exactly cost.

      --
      Your CPU is not doing anything else, at least do something.
    23. Re:A Modest Proposal by Cyphertube · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I personally hate Blu-Ray about as much as I hate DVD. I can't stand the region encoding, primarily because I have travelled a lot and I'm a linguist. I like to be able to buy foreign films, or foreign releases of films so that I can have subtitles in languages I want or be able to see the films I want. I don't know many places that will release Finnish films in a US region format.

      That's one of the beauties about HD television, in that we use the same standards. So I love HD-DVD. If I buy an HD-DVD in the UK, Finland, China, or Australia, I can watch it in the US. Yeah, that sucks for the studios who want control, but the reality of the DVD region-coding was that it increased piracy. Every cent they try to recoup from creating the encryption raises the price and the market will not tolerate it. It's just like with music, where the market thinks $10 is a good price for a CD and Wal-Mart sells out of CDs priced like that for their release, but too many companies try to get $15-$20 for CDs with maybe two good songs. Well, the market reacts, and piracy abounds.

      Most of my region 1 DVDs I reward the idiot consortium by buying them at Blockbuster for $5, instead of buying them brand new. If I have no region-locking, I will pay more, as when I get tired of a movie, or think it's not so great, I can trade it with a friend for another film. I will pay for good product, but not for product that fails me when I move again.

      --
      Linux - because it doesn't leave that Steve Ballmer aftertaste.
    24. Re:A Modest Proposal by hedwards · · Score: 1

      What they really need is an HD-DVD burner under $200, or even under $400. Liteon has bluray players already under $200, and Phillips has at least one under $400. Come to think of it, even under $600 would be an improvement.

      Personally, I'm willing to pay for a $200 burner, once the cost of media starts to come down. The cost is higher than what I'm comfortable with, but I don't think that it was really that long ago that DVD+/-RWs were priced similarly. But, it'll take a few months of this bluray strong trend before I'll really be comfortable doing that.

    25. Re:A Modest Proposal by hairyfeet · · Score: 3, Interesting
      Actually I have had pretty good luck with the really cheap media,as well. I know I am dating myself(but hell I'm too dang old to care) but I was one of those idiots that bought a $200 4X DVD burner when they first came out,so I have some discs going back 5-6 years. And I have bought mostly whatever was on sale at the time,and so far no problems. I have found if you keep them out of direct light and are VERY careful in how you handle them(I found this out from my nephews who spin the discs on the spindle when looking for discs,ouch) they work great with no read errors.


      Plus I think that a lot of folks out there have stuff they want to back up that is really pointless for anything other than discs. I have about a spindle full of drivers for most of the major pc manufacturers from my days at the repair shop. It would be crazy to waste the money on a HDD for stuff I only need once in a blue moon,whereas it is only 25c to back it up on DVD. And at that price I can afford to make more than one copy of things I really want to keep.


      And for those of you who have a disc that has trouble reading, I have had very good luck with this. I know most of the recovery tools are bunk, but I've recovered discs with this that literally looked like someone had played hockey with them. Great tool to have in your toolkit.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    26. Re:A Modest Proposal by MatrixFUD · · Score: 1

      I think not having a burner on the market at all should be incentive for the studios, who seem to be running the show, to pick a side. Where there's a burner there's a cracker working away to break the DRM.

    27. Re:A Modest Proposal by Wdomburg · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There is a finalized spec, but it's silly to say that Blu-ray also doesn't have a finalized spec. For watching movies, it's finalized enough. They are adding newer stupid features. Totally ok.

      Really? It's silly to say there isn't a finalized spec? Care to explain why there isn't a signle 2.0 player on the market yet, then?

      As for whether it's "finalized enough" is a matter of opinion. If I'm going to pay a premium price for discs I want to be able to access all the features, period. Maybe you don't personally see value in downloadable content or in-movie experience features (video commentary, live storyboards, pre-effects footage, etc) but I do.

      Cheaper for sure, but so what? Eventually blu-ray will be MUCH cheaper (I'm willing to bet money on it).

      Sure, any volume electronics get cheaper over time. I prefer sooner rather than later. And this isn't just about players - mastering, design and production costs are also significantly lower, thereby allowing cheaper software as well.

      And the audio codec are mandatory because HD-DVD is inferior. Period. They cannot fit uncompressed audio and must use compression, so of course there's a mandatory codec. You say space is wasted on uncompressed as though it's impossible to hear the difference. It's not, studies have proven it, I can tell, and why not have absolutely perfect audio? Audio is blu-ray's best feature.

      You're a moron. Lossless codecs like TrueHD and DTS Master Audio produce an identical bitstream. Uncompressed audio buys you nothing but wasted space and bandwidth.

      Not sure what your point for combo discs means. I don't need combo discs for blu-ray devices because obviously blu-ray will be in every $50 drive in five years. You can't get a combo disc for most movies, since most studios aren't on HD-DVD. Just a lame point.

      That's fabulous in five years. Right now I enjoy being able to play my disks in my HD DVD player, my three DVD players, my three DVD drives, my portable DVD player and the car DVD player I'm picking up for the kids. Even if I spent the thousands it would cost to replace everything now, there are no portable Blu-ray drives (and little value to having one ... 7" and 9" screens aren't going to be HD resolution any time soon).

      I can see sticking with DVD. It's certainly good enough for enjoying films. you can't beat the slection. But you insist you're sticking with HD-DVD, and I don't really know how that's possible. Anyone with two brain cells to rub together knows that Toshiba is liquidating, the studios are leaving, and there's not going to be a bundh of players or movies to stick to. It's like my asserting I will stick to Betamax until VHS is far more compelling. WTF deos that even mean? That I won't be watching any movies? Stick away, pal.

      It means just what I said, I'll stick with HD DVD combo discs and DVD for the foreseeable future. They play in all my current devices, they'll play in all my future devices as well (even BD, since they play DVD5 and DVD9 just fine).

      As for whether Toshiba is liquidating, I don't buy it. I think they're making a legitimate effort to continue establishing the format. You obviously disagree. I don't care.

      The market is choosing blu-ray 9:1 over hd-dvd without even counting PS3s, so I think you're going to change your mind.

      The fact that you quote figures from a single week of sales after the research firm that provided them publicly stated not to take them serious illustrates nicely why I don't put much stock in your judgement.

      The HD-DVD's failure in DRM is a big reason why they lost. If you are so opposed to DRM, then you need to give up on optical movies. Perhaps that's a shame, I don't know, but it's the truth.

      I would say it's more Sony literallly owning several movie studios and spending billions subsidizing the Playstation 3 to submarine the format into as many households as possible. The lack of extensible DRM was a secondary i

    28. Re:A Modest Proposal by Romwell · · Score: 1

      Right now I personally would put money making on the back burner and just look to break even
      The question is - which burner is the back one ? Blu-ray or HD-DVD ? These guys claim that HD-DVD is back, so I'm confused.
    29. Re:A Modest Proposal by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      They need to get burners to market in mass quantity as well as offer those licenses for free or very very small royalties.

      Like pennies per unit. You realize there are millions upon millions of HD DVD capable burners out there already? DVD burners, with the proper program, can burn HD DVD9 disks, which are standard DVD DL disks encoded either with H.264 (MPEG4 rev 10) or VC9 (MS WMA) encoding. (BTW, Monty Python Meaning of Life is a VC9 disk)

      What they really need to do is advertise this ability.

      But, say what you will, I've got 40+ HD DVD movies, and am looking for more. For the amount I'd otherwise spend on a soon to be obsolete BD player with its 5 free movies, I'll have 60+ movies and 2 players, and the ability to burn HD DVD content for them. I wouldn't touch a BD player today, as the BD group has already stated that all BD players, other than maybe the PS3, will be obsolete when the 2.0 spec comes out and quite possibly won't play BD 2.0 disks.

      In short, current BD adopters are in the same boat as HD DVD adopters if BD should "win". Personally, after reading through the specifics of the BD spec, and with special attention to the BD+ capabilities, should BD "win", it will be short lived as BD kills HDM with the first exercise of BD+ that bricks a large proportion of the players.

      I don't know about you, but I don't want content providers being able to rewrite my system should they choose to do so. After all, that never goes wrong (Sony explicitly excluded for their root kit attempts)

      I can only hope BD fades away quickly, leaving the HDM field to HD DVD, because otherwise, I think HDM may fail completely in the consumer market just like Betamax, leaving us all with regular DVD until the next iteration comes along.
      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    30. Re:A Modest Proposal by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      Try any DVD DL burner (HD DVD9 format)

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    31. Re:A Modest Proposal by Gr8Apes · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You'll be happy to know that after the BD camp claimed themselves the "winner", that the next generation of BD 2.0 players will actually increase in price to $600 or more. A monopoly is a beautiful thing.

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    32. Re:A Modest Proposal by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      Well, considering that both are built upon the same type of chemical interaction present in the cheaper DVDs, I'd save archival shelf time is about 10 years max for any type of reliable storage. Pressed disks should be good for about 100 years, although nobody really knows.

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    33. Re:A Modest Proposal by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      here is a finalized spec, but it's silly to say that Blu-ray also doesn't have a finalized spec. BD is not finalized.

      Cheaper for sure, but so what? Eventually blu-ray will be MUCH cheaper BD may get cheaper, but will be more expensive in the near term, at least over the next 2 years. This is straight from the manufacturers expected to release BD 2.0 players later this year. The cheapest player expected to come out will be over $600.

      Not sure what your point for combo discs means. I don't need combo discs for blu-ray devices because obviously blu-ray will be in every $50 drive in five years. You can't get a combo disc for most movies, since most studios aren't on HD-DVD. Just a lame point. Audio compression is a red herring. Lossless is lossless, whether it's compressed or not. You're an idiot.

      Besides that, name me 1 dual layer BD disk. You can't? That's because there aren't any, and there's no guarantee that the current players could even play one. So, HD DVD is at 30GB, BD is at 25GB. Hmmmm...

      Not sure what your point for combo discs means. I don't need combo discs for blu-ray devices because obviously blu-ray will be in every $50 drive in five years. You can't get a combo disc for most movies, since most studios aren't on HD-DVD. Just a lame point. I hope you're not holding your breath on that one. I'd predict $250+ on the BD 3.0 drives in 5 years. The combo disks are good for HD @ home, and DVD in car. HD/BD is pointless on a 7-9 inch screen. Oh, you'll just buy that DVD also, because you're so hot on DRM? (See below)

      The market is choosing blu-ray 9:1 You need to check those numbers again. Something like 9:1 HD DVD standalone vs BD minus PS3. At least until Sony paid WB a reputed $500M.

      Particularly high quality with great DRM. The HD-DVD's failure in DRM is a big reason why they lost. If you are so opposed to DRM, then you need to give up on optical movies. And now we know you're a trolling moron. DRM? Great? How much did Sony pay you, or do you just smoke crack prior to posting? DRM has NO positive effects on quality. And HD DVD and BD use the SAME DRM, AACS. BD+ is the "extensible" system that will most likely nerf players sooner than later, effectively killing HDM. Hooray DRM!!! Moron.
      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    34. Re:A Modest Proposal by Lobster+Quadrille · · Score: 1

      Not all backups are for archival purposes. A full backup every few weeks for disaster recovery, and you don't really need a shelf life of more than a year.

      Of course, there's lots of situations where it's nice to be able to go back to a certain date and find a certain version of a certain file, but there's lots of situations where it's not an issue.

      --
      "The cup is in turn designed for holding hot or cold liquids, and has an open rim and closed base." --US Patent #5425497
    35. Re:A Modest Proposal by cheater512 · · Score: 1

      Doesnt Bluray have significantly higher capacity?

      A HD-DVD burner isnt worth it unless the blank discs are extremely cheap when there is a superior competitor when it comes to space.

    36. Re:A Modest Proposal by Mike89 · · Score: 1

      Less expensive per gig
      No they're not..
      Based on Australian pricing:
      WD 500 GB HDD: $128 (Or: $0.256 per GB)
      50 x 4.5 GB DVDs: $16 (So, 225 GB, or $0.072)

      If you buy the disks in bulk:
      500 x 4.5 GB DVDs: $140 (So, 2, 225, or $0.063)

      Doesn't this make DVDs substantially cheaper?
    37. Re:A Modest Proposal by mirkob · · Score: 1

      Less expensive per gig No they're not.. Based on Australian pricing: WD 500 GB HDD: $128 (Or: $0.256 per GB) 50 x 4.5 GB DVDs: $16 (So, 225 GB, or $0.072) not here, WD 500 GB HDD: 130 Euros 10 x 4.5 GB DVDs: 15 Euro dvd cost 5 more times, if you want discout you must order them from foreign states or search rare electronic fair :(
    38. Re:A Modest Proposal by MidnightBrewer · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You mean like how the DVD monopoly has resulted in $600+ players?

      --
      "Give a man fire, and he'll be warm for a day; set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life
    39. Re:A Modest Proposal by Enderandrew · · Score: 1

      DRM = Studio support, so that isn't going away anytime soon.

      However, as far as a finalized spec is concerned, so long as you can upgrade your player with firmware downloads, who cares? Let them continue to make the product better. The PS3 for instance is getting support for newer BluRay features with each new firmware, and I know stand alone BluRay players have supported upgrades as well.

      --
      http://blindscribblings.com - Tasty pop-culture in conceptual fashion.
    40. Re:A Modest Proposal by hairyfeet · · Score: 1
      Plus with DVD blanks being so cheap and having a DVD player and DVD burner in my gaming rig if there is a backup DVD that is a couple of years old and I'm worried about losing it I can simply slap another blank into my burner and whip off another copy in 8 minutes.


      Plus if a friend needs files for his pc I can simply burn him one of my "specials" which consist of all the drivers for his hardware,both current and the ones that were released with the pc (in case the newer ones suck,like some of the newer Dell wireless drivers I've dealt with) along with my "Pick a better browser" folder containing Firefox, Seamonkey, Kmeleon, Opera, Flock, and Safari. Add to that free antivirus from AVG, Outpost Free and Comodo firewalls, both 1.1.5 and the latest Open Office, full media codec support thanks to Klite and VLC, and finally whatever files he needs to fix whatever bug he has.


      To me this is the beauty of DVD and why HD-DVD could still take off if they get the burners and media cheap enough. While I can't afford to be handing out 4Gb flash sticks or HDDs, it takes little more than a few minutes of my time to put together a freeware "special" DVD for a friend or valued customer. And at 25Gb HD-DVD would be great for loading up with freeware, Linux Live cds, etc.


      And for those that need to find a certain file on their backup DVD there is always Catfish. I have archived more discs than I can count and with catfish I can instantly know which spindle to look on. And since it doesn't need to be installed I can simply carry it on the flash along with my tool spindle when I need to make a housecall. Great little piece of freeware to have in your toolkit.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    41. Re:A Modest Proposal by Moonpie+Madness · · Score: 1

      finalized referred to hd-dvd. That's why I say it doesn't matter that bluray isn't finalized.

    42. Re:A Modest Proposal by Moonpie+Madness · · Score: 1

      If the extra features are important to you, yeah, you got screwed by blu-ray.

      one other point, some blu-rays will let you download a movie-file to your portable device.

      For the average consumer, this is enough.

      And I view DRM is ok, because I don't mind the producers making tons of money. It's just a fundamental difference in opinion, I believe.

    43. Re:A Modest Proposal by ZorinLynx · · Score: 1

      At first, yes. But when you count in the time required to actually burn the discs, find the right disc when you need a particular piece of data, and the space lost because your data doesn't divide evenly into 4.7GB chunks, it comes out to be more expensive.

    44. Re:A Modest Proposal by aywwts4 · · Score: 1

      ...If you feel you are dating yourself with buying anything with the words 'DVD' in the name I feel really old.

      Try paying hundreds of dollars for a CD Drive (not burner) or hundreds of dollars for a huge (in terms of data storage!) floppy drive that wasn't even 1.44 MB (Whats even worse is when you adjust the numbers for inflation)

      --
      Web Developers: Celebrate to our roots! Animated Gifs and Tiled Backgrounds, dont let our history die!
    45. Re:A Modest Proposal by whereiswaldo · · Score: 1

      I know I am dating myself(but hell I'm too dang old to care) but I was one of those idiots that bought a $200 4X DVD burner when they first came out ..

      People who bought an early model DVD burner are already worried about dating themselves? Fuck. Now I feel *really* old.

    46. Re:A Modest Proposal by hairyfeet · · Score: 1
      It takes me 8 minutes to burn a DVD, to find the right disc when you need a piece of particular data just use Catfish and have your discs on spindles by date, and for things larger than 4.7Gb I simply use WinRAR to split them into whatever size chunks I need. And any space left over is filled with my ever expanding freeware software folder.


      The best thing about DVD is not only the ability to make cheap hassle free backups, but also the ability to just toss one to whomever needs one. A lot of folks here are still on dial-up and it is a LOT easier to give them a DVD filled with freeware (along with the patches I need to update their pc) than it is to expect them to download the files. And if they lose it, or their kids break it, who cares? 8 minutes and 25 cents later I can have them a new one if needed. I have been backing up to DVD since the days of 4X writers and 1X media and so far I've never had a problem. I just hope that HD-DVD gets cheap burners and media out there so I can backup ever larger files without splitting. I could not care less about which format Hollywood likes, I would much rather burn my own content than watch "Meet the Spartans" or "Dukes of Hazzard" in high def.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
  2. too bad, so sad by Loconut1389 · · Score: 1

    "the NPD Group this afternoon reinforced that sales results from a single week do not necessarily indicate a trend"

    true, but the format is on its way out. People have been waiting for a sign of which way to go, and now they have it. The rumor is out.

    1. Re:too bad, so sad by AndGodSed · · Score: 1

      Yeah. One weeks sales trends can be misleading, but they are ignoring all the big corporations jumping ship. Sony will win this one...

    2. Re:too bad, so sad by fastest+fascist · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Next to go: Blu-Ray. Who's still going to be buying plastic discs in 5-10 years time, when a significant amount of people actually have the hardware necessary for viewing HD content?

    3. Re:too bad, so sad by BosstonesOwn · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I agree , I would like to see content distributed on read only memory cards. I seen 32 gig cards were do out soon. Why can't we see a new format using these instead of optical discs ? Supposedly they are cheap to produce and the newer flash memories can provide enough read speed to watch movies off them. Why not a little more investment in it to make it even faster then optical discs, and completely be done with optical discs.

      But that would fail because they probably couldn't pack as much DRM on them to protect the "content".

      --
      This package Does Not Contain a Winner
    4. Re:too bad, so sad by Z00L00K · · Score: 1

      But that would fail because they probably couldn't pack as much DRM on them to protect the "content". Actually - it will be the opposite - they may go that way to be able to protect their content even harder! Add a chip that decrypts when the correct key is given, insert time-limiting factors etc. No limit on how hard you can limit the content access then.

      OK - you want subtitles - pay!, You want Spanish language - pay!, You want original language - pay! (or you will be stuck with the Indian guy talking bad English for all the actors in the film).

      They may even be able to store the same film in different cuttings on the same media and just provide different indexes. Can mean that you can control the content rating of a film from open to 18+ just by selecting the scenes to display. Or if the religious zealots gets their way deflate all women's chests and cut out any possible bulges but still show ways of how to blow your brain out!

      So don't think that just because it's solid state it's less safe.

      --
      If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
    5. Re:too bad, so sad by BosstonesOwn · · Score: 1

      True but the the beauty is that then it turns into a micro code hacking contest in which we have the hardware , much like smart cards have become the thing to hack. There will always be this cat and mouse game as long as people make a product and some one knows how it works. Unless they make it so cheap there is no point in stealing it, or they make it so hard to steal that it's not economically feasible to steal it.

      --
      This package Does Not Contain a Winner
    6. Re:too bad, so sad by fastest+fascist · · Score: 1

      Actually I was wondering how long this whole physical media thing will manage to drag on.

    7. Re:too bad, so sad by beoba · · Score: 1

      Would a 32GB chip of ROM be more expensive to produce compared to a disc?
      Movie sales are all about margins.

      --
      I am not a number - I am a free man!
    8. Re:too bad, so sad by BosstonesOwn · · Score: 1

      At first id suppose so. But once they are building them in huge volumes I would definitely say no. Plus no need to change anything they can keep on pressing the same chips and the optical fabs would need to be at least retooled for a new disc. Or at least id imagine so.

      --
      This package Does Not Contain a Winner
    9. Re:too bad, so sad by jshackney · · Score: 1

      Next to go: Blu-Ray. Who's still going to be buying plastic discs in 5-10 years time, when a significant amount of people actually have the hardware necessary for viewing HD content?

      Agreed. This is one I'm going to sit out. Blu-Ray and HD are out at a time when they aren't needed or demanded. I haven't felt a need to go down to the local brick-n-mortar to pick up a plastic disc in the last three years. Blu/HD isn't going to change that. I think by the time the whole Blu/HD thing is settled, it will be too late. People will have moved on. Many of us already have.

    10. Re:too bad, so sad by Tony+Hoyle · · Score: 1

      Actually it's two weeks.

      And in the second week, HDDVD players were selling for virtually nothing, and there were no special offers on Bluray.

      Unfortunately HDDVD supporters keep dragging this NPD statement up as if it was new. It was made after the first week's collapse in sales for HDDVD.. they still haven't made any statement on the second.

    11. Re:too bad, so sad by TheCycoONE · · Score: 1

      Can mean that you can control the content rating of a film from open to 18+ just by selecting the scenes to display. There are already DVDs with this feature. I know the Crash DVD http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0115964/, for one, has the option of viewing either an R or an NC-17 version, and for the R version it just skips scenes. (I suppose on the DVD player it is noticeable because they pause the movie for a half second or so to read ahead, whereas in flash memory it would be seemless.)
  3. There is another thing to consider. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Not everyone bothers to read sites like Slashdot and Digg. Many may have no clue about what's been going on in the HD DVD war. So they see lower prices and they switch to that format. Warner hasn't yet released all their movies on Blu Ray, and their current HD DVD stock is probably still out there.

    1. Re:There is another thing to consider. by mporcheron · · Score: 2, Informative

      In the UK, I recall seeing this on the Beeb (six o'clock news) and I'm pretty sure Sky news. Mainstream media may be slow but something like this is quite major.

    2. Re:There is another thing to consider. by Tony+Hoyle · · Score: 1

      Not to mention amazon.com announcing "Warner Bros. has announced plans to discontinue its support of the HD DVD format after May 31, 2008." on every HDDVD page.

      Ordinary consumers do use amazon.. and they all now know it's over.

  4. Why the hate? by Berkyjay · · Score: 2, Insightful

    So does everyone here hate HD DVD because of some orrational hatred of Microsoft? I personally like HD DVD for it's cheaper price and the lack of heavy handed tactics used to try and force us all to convert. One of us. One of us. One of us.

    1. Re:Why the hate? by AndGodSed · · Score: 1

      I don't have an orrational hatred of Microsoft, I do have an irrational hatred of them. Thats the not-so-sneaky kind...

    2. Re:Why the hate? by Moonpie+Madness · · Score: 1

      first, it seems like there were extremely heavy handed tactics used by MS to, once again, damage a market and exploit it.

      I don't think there is anything irrational in resisting Microsoft doing for the umpteenth time what they have done over and over before. They don't want HD-DVD to succeed, they want the consumers to be confused and screwed until their internet distro takes off.

      And cheaper for early adopters is a piss poor reason to pick a standard. It's pretty obvious that both blu-ray and hd-dvd are plummeting in price, and in a few years there will probably be 50$ players for blu-ray.

      If anything, I see a hell of a lot more irrational anti-Sony ferver in the HD-DVD camp than I see anti-MS fervor from the blu-ray folks. Blu-ray is a much better format. Uncompressed audio, larger discs, better DRM (which doesn't affect me at all but is better for studios).

      What heavy handed tactics are you talking about, and are they really unique to one side? Or perhaps one side won because they were better.

      At this point, if you prefer HD-DVD, it's because you're crazy. It's cheaper because it's being disposed of, at great losses. And Microsoft certainly has earned the negative reaction it gets. They can now get in line and start paying for blu-ray licenses.

    3. Re:Why the hate? by feepness · · Score: 1

      So does everyone here hate HD DVD because of some orrational hatred of Microsoft? I I "hate" it because it's dead. If it would have been successful I would have been behind it. I almost thought it was last August when Paramount went exclusive... but it's over now and any foot-dragging on Toshiba/Microsoft's part just delays the production of quality content being distributed to the masses.
    4. Re:Why the hate? by Ilgaz · · Score: 1

      So does everyone here hate HD DVD because of some orrational hatred of Microsoft? I personally like HD DVD for it's cheaper price and the lack of heavy handed tactics used to try and force us all to convert.

      One of us.
      One of us.
      One of us. OS X, the de facto standard on Movie production doesn't have any kind of HD-DVD support. Nothing. XCode is there, driverkit, quicktime SDK, extensive documentation, top class developer accounts, the fact of being number 1 mac software vendor.

      Where is HDVD support for OS X?

      Why a rich consumer (not pro) can write BluRay discs via Toast+BluRay firewire recorder but professionals can't? Because there is Microsoft involved. Basic. If you start a new system, format, go with a real professional company who actually cares about the formats reach.
    5. Re:Why the hate? by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      I think it will be quite a while before internet distribution of HD movies will take off. The infrastructure won't be able to support everybody downloading Shrek IV on release day. Having a physical product has some advantages. You can stockpile them, and then when they are ready for release, they can be distributed extremely quickly. With bandwidth, you can't stock pile it for later. If 1,000,000 people go to download Shrek IV on release day, the server will be fried. Just look at how well Wii Shop channel worked on Dec. 25 2007.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    6. Re:Why the hate? by jean-guy69 · · Score: 1

      I think we can all agree that it isn't practical to have two different format of HD Media. It brings annoyances for everyone in the chain: publishers, manufacturer, retailers and consumers.

      Our difference is in our idea of what makes a format better than an other.

      For me HD is all about approaching the quality of the original content. So it's the potential fidelity of the content which matters the most.

      The maximum video bitrate for HD DVD is 28 mbits/s, for Blu-Ray it's 40 mbits/s, about 40% more. So Blu-ray > HD DVD.

    7. Re:Why the hate? by antek9 · · Score: 1

      And, because Apple is part of the BluRay group.

      --
      A World in a Grain of Sand / Heaven in a Wild Flower,
      Infinity in the Palm of your Hand / And Eternity in an Hour.
    8. Re:Why the hate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is completely true.
      I love it when people always bring up Digital Distribution, because they pretty much pay no attention to what they will be distributing that content on, the internets!
      Already, ISPs are bitching about bandwidth issues (net netruality and all that nonsense of breaking the protocols into groups of priority and price)
      "oh, Youtube is killing the tubes, alert the president!"
      DD will not happen for a very long time, particularly in America.

      Thats pretty much the reason why i want Blu-ray to finally kill of HD-DVD, its just a better disc and has had its life planned out well before it was officially released.
      Now this happens, and Toshiba will end up selling at a loss, MS will probably come in to help with that loss, other studios will notice some sales, they'll think "PROFIT!", and probably switch, prolonging yet another pointless war and we all suffer.
      Damn you Toshiba. Damn you all the way to Hades. Just call it quits already, lessen the damage.

    9. Re:Why the hate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And yet you still can't get an Apple with a BD drive or burner directly from Apple yet, despite everyone and their mother saying that you'd be able to only a few short weeks ago.

    10. Re:Why the hate? by squiggleslash · · Score: 1

      Not everyone hates HD DVD. Many people are convinced that Blu-ray has won. And Sony has just as many critics as Microsoft here.

      In a not very scientific poll of my friends, most prefer HD DVD given it's the more capable format, but seem to feel it's on its last legs thanks to the Warner decision. HD DVD is not Microsoft's format, and Blu-ray is not Sony's; both are developed and supported by consortiums that include those companies and many others. Microsoft contributed one technology to HD DVD: HDi. It's more capable in terms of functionality than current Blu-ray systems as a result. Likewise Sony contributed the blue-violet laser disk technology to Blu-ray: it has more capacity per layer than HD DVD as a result.

      Despite that, it's Sony that's invested part of its future on Blu-ray, whereas Microsoft were careful to make HD DVD an optional feature of X-Box 360. That might explain to some extent why Blu-ray is winning: The largest company gambling its future on Blu-ray is Sony. The largest company gambling its future on (as opposed to just supporting) HD DVD is Toshiba. Sony is a much more powerful company than Toshiba, and can fight harder.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    11. Re:Why the hate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So does everyone here hate HD DVD because of some orrational hatred

      No, I have really positive feelings about shit-Microsoft, its shit-products, and its subversion of the legal system to prevent the breakup it so richly deserved. Did I mention my appreciation of the shit-Bush administration for rolingl over and playing dead for them?

      By the way, since you apparently live under a rock / were born yesterday, the heavy-handed tactics come later. The alternative has to be crushed first. Then Netflix gets the offer it can't refuse.
    12. Re:Why the hate? by Wdomburg · · Score: 1

      OS X, the de facto standard on Movie production doesn't have any kind of HD-DVD support.

      O RLY?:

      Versatile DVD Mastering

      Whether you burn a one-off disc on your Mac Pro or send a title out for commercial replication, you can have confidence that your DVDs will play back on a wide range of set-top players and computers. Burn your own discs in a wide variety of formats, including double-layer DVDs. For commercial replication, choose one of the traditional red laser formats or double the capacity on your HD DVD disc by using a blue laser format.

    13. Re:Why the hate? by Moonpie+Madness · · Score: 1

      Actually, internet distribution is taking off marvelously. It's not competing with blu-ray of course, but it's still a pretty big deal. the ISPs in some areas aren't prepared for it, but I think it'll all turn out ok.

      When people think that internet distro is a reason why blu-ray is irrelevant, yeah that's stupid. But there's a market for instantly watching movies at reduced quality.

      I just think it's an ancillary market instead of the same one.

    14. Re:Why the hate? by jonadab · · Score: 1

      Actually, I consider both HD DVD and Blu-Ray to be mostly-irrelevant niche products. Consumers aren't ready for another format switch yet. Most households still have VHS players, and many have *multiple* VHS players and only one DVD player (which, admittedly, is usually newer). Pretty much all video-watching households do have DVD players now, but this has only been the case for about a year (since, roughly, Christmas 2006). Many people still have more videotapes than DVDs in their household, though the size of their DVD collections is increasing. All of that is to say, DVD is still the *new* format. People aren't ready for it to be the old format yet.

      Add the DVD and Blu-Ray sales figures together, and graph them month-by-month against the sales of VHS and DVD players. DVD is the big number, and the VHS figure is much much smaller (and in the last year or so mostly consists more or less entirely of combination units), but HD-DVD and Blu-Ray, combined, have a smaller figure yet.

      Some people have attributed the slow uptake to the format war, but I disagree. I think consumers aren't ready for another change to a new format yet. It's too soon. Enthusiasts are ready, but enthusiasts were ready for LS120 SuperDisk drives too, and yet, for some reason, regular floppy disk drives continued to dominate the market for several more years (until the advent of affordable CD burners, which had the advantage of writing a format that everybody already had a reader for).

      Neither HD-DVD nor Blu-Ray will be the successor of DVD, or, at least, not for several years for most people. Probably never, because some future format will come along that's better than all of the above. Based on Flash RAM technology, as likely as not.

      --
      Cut that out, or I will ship you to Norilsk in a box.
    15. Re:Why the hate? by m50d · · Score: 1

      We hate HD DVD because they started a format war it should have been obvious from the start they were going to lose.

      --
      I am trolling
    16. Re:Why the hate? by Qfour20 · · Score: 1

      I dislike MS as much as anyone else here does, but I'm a supporter of HD-DVD. HD-DVD removed the region bullshit that I found so offensive in the DVD spec and does not have Sony as a backer of the format. That, in itself, should be enough. Add to this the lack of *even more* DRM (BD+), and the fact that the bluray spec is still in a state of flux...

      I may be betting on the wrong horse, but I rather like my HD-DVD player and if the format tanks, I'll just pick up as many movies as I can when they go on sale.

      -q

    17. Re:Why the hate? by f1r3f0g · · Score: 1

      I prefer Blu-Ray as I own a PS3, and if HD-DVD wins I'll be pretty much screwed.

      Can you refer to a hatred of Microsoft as irrational in /.? It seems to be a commonly recurring theme to me??

    18. Re:Why the hate? by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      I hate HD DVD + Blu-Ray. That is I hate the format war aspect of hidef movie playback. The sooner one of these dies, the better. I don't give a rat's ass which. Since it looks like HD-DVD is on life support I am all in favor of pulling the plug as soon as possible.

      People trying to keep a dying format going are supporting a destructive format war and should rethink their lives.

      Seriously, why bother? Few studios are going to make HD-DVD releases any more. Why feed a dead horse?

    19. Re:Why the hate? by Malc · · Score: 1

      To most movie watchers, HD DVD offers no more than BD. At this point it is really no more capable than BD. In the past it could do secondary video. So what? I guess right now they can AACS protect more things on the disc besides the video streams, and they can AACS protect downloads (coming to BD anyway)... but I know how supportive you are of that.

    20. Re:Why the hate? by DrXym · · Score: 1
      It's cheaper because Toshiba are using about the only weapon they can muster against Blu Ray - subsidizing the cost of the player. They have that luxury since they monopolize the format and the players.

      Blu Ray might be predominantly a Sony standard, but the BDA represents virtually the entire electronics industry. Blu Ray players have been selling at their real prices because members of the BDA want to make money. There is no reason Samnsung, Philips etc. is going to sell a player below cost. I suspect even Sony hasn't subsidized its players (except for the PS3) so as not to annoy other BDA members.

    21. Re:Why the hate? by Steve001 · · Score: 1

      m50d wrote:

      We hate HD DVD because they started a format war it should have been obvious from the start they were going to lose.

      Why would it be obvious that HD-DVD would lose the format war? From what I've heard of both formats, each has their advantages, but neither format is so good that it wipes the floor with the other.

      To me, the entire issue with the format war is that it harmed both formats. I suspect that many people are like me, meaning that when I first heard about the format war I made a decision to sit out both formats until a winner has been clearly and firmly decided.

      Although it looks like Blu-Ray is the winner, I think it is far too early to declare a winner at this point. There are far too many things that could still happen, and in the end it is the consumer that will be the one to determine which format will win.

    22. Re:Why the hate? by Emetophobe · · Score: 1

      I personally like HD DVD for it's cheaper price and the lack of heavy handed tactics used to try and force us all to convert.

      I consider paying studios to exclusively support HD-DVD a heavy handed tactic.

    23. Re:Why the hate? by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      I hate HD-DVD because it has no reason to exist. BluRay was invented first and allows more data per platter (25GB Vs 15GB). HD-DVD is entirely motivated by NIH syndrome. If the DVD Consortium had backed BD in 2002 then we would have had high-capacity disks for a few years by now. Instead they decided to develop a slightly inferior format and push for a format war that benefits no one (just as the did with the three flavours of writeable DVD).

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    24. Re:Why the hate? by xtracto · · Score: 1

      Just imagine the number of slashdot heads that exploded when they realized that they had to choose between a format backed up by Mycrosoft and one by Sony... some have solved it by staying with DVD, but those hardcore geeks that *need* the last technology will have a real hard time here :)

      --
      Ubuntu is an African word meaning 'I can't configure Debian'
    25. Re:Why the hate? by Ilgaz · · Score: 1

      Apple can be officially part of BluRay group. It doesn't matter. Look, there is developer.apple.com out there, Xcode, everything required to write a complete HD-DVD support framework, even a HD-DVD Player.app. It is exact same deal for Linux too. It is all open.

      I like Toshiba but they were extremely wrong to go with Microsoft which sees everything functioning on non-Windows OS as a loss.

    26. Re:Why the hate? by Ilgaz · · Score: 1

      OS X, the de facto standard on Movie production doesn't have any kind of HD-DVD support.

      O RLY?:

      Versatile DVD Mastering

      Whether you burn a one-off disc on your Mac Pro or send a title out for commercial replication, you can have confidence that your DVDs will play back on a wide range of set-top players and computers. Burn your own discs in a wide variety of formats, including double-layer DVDs. For commercial replication, choose one of the traditional red laser formats or double the capacity on your HD DVD disc by using a blue laser format. Whoever wrote it, has no clue how professional productions work. HD-DVD or even Blu-Ray has no place on a sentence where red laser mentioned. Alternative to Red Laser based stuff is a SCSI or cheaper ATA tower RAID actually transported to target company. Movie studios don't sit and burn their own DVDs to replicate, a DVD dedicated company with literally hundreds of DVD decks and computer configurations to check and absolutely make sure it is OK needed.

      Also lets say person has another point. A completely Mac based production house will create movie, do the final touches and...? Send their movie to a Windows supporting production house for final HD-DVD work. Why? Because their childish spoiled fat kid rival refused to support OS X in any manner.

      In Movie business, if you don't ship OS X support, you are a joke. Ask Adobe going with AVI based Premiere. Also see how easy to implement a complete framework even with consumer level products like Roxio Toast 8.
    27. Re:Why the hate? by Ilgaz · · Score: 1

      And yet you still can't get an Apple with a BD drive or burner directly from Apple yet, despite everyone and their mother saying that you'd be able to only a few short weeks ago. BluRay Disc recording currently costs $600 with additional software needed. Why the heck I should buy a Apple branded BluRay drive while Lacie firewire external BD exists?

      Should Apple also ship H264 encoder cards in their brand to show their support to the format too?

      Current BluRay customers with such prices and camera prices are prosumers. They already have specific companies they do business with and trust. There is no point putting a Apple brand $800 BluRay recorder to Apple shop and only earn some excuses for trolls calling everything Apple does expensive.

      It doesn't need to be a IT genius to figure Apple wouldn't ship BluRay built in drives inside Macs since: It is a new technology, people would feel robbed if they saw Pioneer releasing half priced but double speed drive (ask DVD-R early people), it is a complete hassle to replace built in drive, companies already shipping external BD-R for early adopters. Finally, did you see the feedback about a COMPLETELY OPTIONAL solid state drive on Macbook Air?

      At some point, some 10.5.x update with "updated DVD Player with BD support" or "BD Player included" single liner will ship, that will be the time to think about buying BluRay.
  5. I like Blu Ray by EW87 · · Score: 0

    Because I have a PS3 is really the only reason. I don't want an Add-on on my 360, just like the stupid DVD add-on for the original XBOX.

  6. This calls for ... by laejoh · · Score: 2, Funny

    A customer enters a multimedia shop.

    Customer: 'Ello, I wish to register a complaint.

    (The owner does not respond.)

    C: 'Ello, Miss?

    Owner: What do you mean "miss"?

    C: I'm sorry, I have a cold. I wish to make a complaint!

    O: We're closin' for lunch.

    C: Never mind that, my lad. I wish to complain about this hd-dvd what I purchased not half an hour ago from this very boutique.

    O: Oh yes, the, uh, the format...What's,uh...What's wrong with it?

    C: I'll tell you what's wrong with it, my lad. 'E's dead, that's what's wrong with it!

    O: No, no, 'e's uh,...he's resting.

    C: Look, matey, I know a dead hd-dvd when I see one, and I'm looking at one right now.

    O: No no he's not dead, he's, he's restin'! Remarkable format, the hd-dvd, idn'it, ay? Beautiful plumage!

    C: The plumage don't enter into it. It's stone dead.

    O: Nononono, no, no! 'E's resting!

    C: All right then, if he's restin', I'll wake him up!

    (shouting at the hardware)

    'Ello, HD-DVD! I've got a lovely fresh cuttle movie for you if you show...(owner hits the hardware)

    O: There, he moved!

    C: No, he didn't, that was you hitting the hardware!

    O: I never!!

    C: Yes, you did!

    O: I never, never did anything...

    C: (yelling and hitting the hardware repeatedly) 'ELLO HD!!!!!

    Testing! Testing! Testing! Testing! This is your nine o'clock alarm call!

    (Takes hd-dvd out of the hardware and thumps its head on the counter. Throws it up in the air and watches it plummet to the floor.)

    C: Now that's what I call a dead hd-dvd.

    O: No, no.....No, 'e's stunned!

    C: STUNNED?!?

    O: Yeah! You stunned him, just as he was wakin' up! Formats stun easily, major.

    C: Um...now look...now look, mate, I've definitely 'ad enough of this. That hd-dvd is definitely deceased, and when I purchased it not 'alf an hour ago, you assured me that its total lack of movement was due to it bein' tired and shagged out following a prolonged squawk.

    O: Well, he's...he's, ah...probably pining for the fjords.

    C: PININ' for the FJORDS?!?!?!? What kind of talk is that?, look, why did he fall flat on his back the moment I got 'im home?

    O: The hd-dvd format prefers kippin' on it's back! Remarkable format, id'nit, squire? Lovely plumage!

    C: Look, I took the liberty of examining that hd-dvd when I got it home, and I discovered the only reason that it had been sitting in its hardware in the first place was that it had been NAILED there.

    (pause)

    O: Well, o'course it was nailed there! If I hadn't nailed that bird down, it would have nuzzled up to those bars, bent 'em apart with its beak, and VOOM! Feeweeweewee!

    C: "VOOM"?!? Mate, this hd-dvd wouldn't "voom" if you put four million volts through it! 'E's bleedin' demised!

    O: No no! 'E's pining!

    C: 'E's not pinin'! 'E's passed on! This hd-dvd is no more! He has ceased to be! 'E's expired and gone to meet 'is maker!

    'E's a stiff! Bereft of life, 'e rests in peace! If you hadn't nailed 'im to the perch 'e'd be pushing up the daisies!
    'Is metabolic processes are now 'istory! 'E's off the twig!
    'E's kicked the bucket, 'e's shuffled off 'is mortal coil, run down the curtain and joined the bleedin' choir invisibile!!

    THIS IS AN HD-DVD!!

    1. Re:This calls for ... by stormguard2099 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I think the correct answer is a shorter quote...

      --
      http://greenobyl.com/ please.... think of the children!!
    2. Re:This calls for ... by gotroot801 · · Score: 1

      Actually, this calls for...

      HD-DVD:
              I'm not dead!
      CART MASTER:
              'Ere. He says he's not dead!
      CUSTOMER:
              Yes, he is.
      HD-DVD:
              I'm not!
      CART MASTER:
              He isn't?
      CUSTOMER:
              Well, he will be soon. He's very ill.
      HD-DVD:
              I'm getting better!
      CUSTOMER:
              No, you're not. You'll be stone dead in a moment.

  7. Bad Summary, NPD Doesn't Own HD-DVD by rsmith-mac · · Score: 4, Informative

    The summary is partially incorrect. The NPD Group is a research firm, they do not own the HD-DVD format or anything close to it. The closest thing to HD-DVD's owners would be the DVD Forum, which is a consortium of companies.

    The reason NPD is involved in this is because they are one of the big research firms for tracking sales data. NPD is the firm that released the earlier reporting talking about HD-DVD hardware sales slowing and this is a clarification of that. They are pointing out that one week's results can not be extrapolated to argue that HD-DVD is dying/dead like many people did, it's too short of a time period in a week with several unusual variables.

    1. Re:Bad Summary, NPD Doesn't Own HD-DVD by Moonpie+Madness · · Score: 0, Troll

      NPD realizes they are irrelevant now, and no one is going to want to pay attention to them now that the format war has obviously ended.

      They, like MS, have ulterior motives to having this wasteful format war continue. They are now a disgrace.

    2. Re:Bad Summary, NPD Doesn't Own HD-DVD by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That wouldn't make any sense. NPD doesn't just cover movie players (or even consumer electronics for that matter), they track everything from hail gel to game consoles to staplers.

    3. Re:Bad Summary, NPD Doesn't Own HD-DVD by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Moonpie, by making such inane statements as this, you are just proving that you are an irrational fanboy and nothing more.

    4. Re:Bad Summary, NPD Doesn't Own HD-DVD by antek9 · · Score: 1

      Oh my, I didn't know there was Hitler branded gel around for sale. What has the world come to?

      --
      A World in a Grain of Sand / Heaven in a Wild Flower,
      Infinity in the Palm of your Hand / And Eternity in an Hour.
    5. Re:Bad Summary, NPD Doesn't Own HD-DVD by Moonpie+Madness · · Score: 1

      makes perfect sense. NPD is in the headlines a lot lately, but only because this format war continues. They are obviously editorilizing. And they are doing so to keep their name out there as long as possible.

      google NPD, and you'll see a hell of a lot more info about hd0dvd than you will about staplers. They love these battles, live to prolong them, etc etc.

      I'm a bit surprised this isn't obvious to everyone.

    6. Re:Bad Summary, NPD Doesn't Own HD-DVD by Moonpie+Madness · · Score: 1

      First, it's pathetic to attack someone anonymously.

      Second, fanboy of what? blu-ray? It is the better option, clearly, and the format war is over, clearly. What exactly is irrational about that?

      And you don't think NPD has an interest in prolonging this format war? Then you're a freaking idiot. Go google NPD and blu-ray, NPD and hd-dvd, and add them. Compare that to NPD and staplers, or NPD and PS3.

      They are thriving on this war, getting virtually all their publicity from it. Don't be such a freaking tool.

      There's no reason to be a fanboy of blu-ray. It's a done deal now. Blu-ray outsold hd-dvd 9:1 without even counting the PS3. Nobody really is comparing blu-ray to anything anymore. It's pointless to try to lift blu-ray up, because it's only competing with DVDs.

      I see an absurd level of HD-DVD fanboys, many simply attacking people instead of trying to come up with some argument for supporting their defunct format. That's what you're doing. Loser.

    7. Re:Bad Summary, NPD Doesn't Own HD-DVD by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Proud member of the NEO-conservative movement: Opposing sex outside a gravitational field since 2007

      You know nothing about neo-conservatives. They could care less about near earth orbit. They oppose the ending of the third Matrix movie.

    8. Re:Bad Summary, NPD Doesn't Own HD-DVD by jerw134 · · Score: 1

      NPD doesn't need the publicity from the high-def format war. Anyone who is actually in a position to pay the company for their research already knows about them, and probably already pays them. The fect that you didn't know about them doesn't mean anything to them.

  8. Misleading summary by mincognito · · Score: 1

    The NPD group are not the owners of the HD-DVD format, they are a market research company. Toshiba is a major client so statements from NPD in regard to HD-DVD should be taken with a grain of salt.

    1. Re:Misleading summary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Toshiba is a major client so statements from NPD in regard to HD-DVD should be taken with a grain of salt.

      And so is every other major technology company, including Sony, Panasonic, Samsung, LG, etc. So if NPD were to release a statement touting the victory of Blu-ray, should we also take that with a grain of salt? After all, they're referring to business related to their clients (which as a marketing research firm is precisely what they do).

  9. Misleading summary by brianmotzen · · Score: 2, Informative

    NPD group is not an owner of the HD-DVD format. They are just a bunch of market analysts who provide information to retailers. See their website : http://www.npd.com/corpServlet?nextpage=profile_s.html

    --
    There are two kind of people, those who win and those who whine
  10. Might as well ask the same in reverse by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 4, Insightful

    So do you hate BluRay because of some irrational hatred of Sony? I personally like BluRay because it comes free with a PS3 and the lack of have handed tactics by MS (such as buying support) used to try and force us all to convert. One of us. One of us. One of us.

    Frankly if you want to look at the sides involved you could at most choose the lesser of two evils, lets see who is the convicted monopolist again? Who is the rootkit company again? Who insist on ignoring standards and enforcing their own inferior solutions on the public?

    Sorry, this format war was about the difference between Jack Johnson and John Jackson. If the parties involved had been smart they would simply have merged their products and saved everyone a lot of trouble.

    Oh and I don't hate MS, I just don't trust them, they got a very long history of lying to serve their own goals. Sony does the same, but I have never ever been forced to use a Sony product that was riddled with bugs. Can you say the same for MS?

    --

    MMO Quests are like orgasms:

    You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.

    1. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by BosstonesOwn · · Score: 0, Troll

      I dislike Sony because it's Japanese, we don't have many of our goods sold there but they sell a ton here.

      I don't like being forced into buying a new player every time they want to update their specs. hd-dvd had those features at launch, why didn't blu-ray ? At this point I think hd-dvd is the lesser of 2 evils at the moment.

      --
      This package Does Not Contain a Winner
    2. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by feepness · · Score: 1

      I dislike Sony because it's Japanese, I see. Toshiba is an American company now?
    3. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by brianmotzen · · Score: 1

      Since Microsoft is much less involved in HD-DVD than Sony is in Blu-Ray, it is not only irrationnal, but a bit uninformed, to use Microsoft practices are a main argument to judge the HD-DVD format. It is not like the ODF vs OOXML debate. Ironically, if the was a company to blame for trying to push its own format it would be Sony in this case by bundling Blu-Ray with its PS3. It is a bit funny that you mention this point as an argument FOR Blu-Ray :) Anyways, there are many other arguments for perferring one format, another or neither, which are more accurate than Sony's or Microsoft's practices. Personnally if I had to choose between both I'd choose HD-DVD for the lack of region coding and the fact they have less DRM.

      --
      There are two kind of people, those who win and those who whine
    4. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by BosstonesOwn · · Score: 1, Interesting

      No , but read further down , right now hd-dvd is the lesser of 2 evils.

      If i have to buy imported stuff at least let it be the lesser of the 2 evils.

      --
      This package Does Not Contain a Winner
    5. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by Moonpie+Madness · · Score: 2, Insightful

      OK, at least you're honest.

      You do realize that HD-DVD players are also Japanese, right? No? You mean bigoted morons are ignorant? Shock. Frankly, Sony competes side by side against South Korean and American electronics. It just does its best, and has no monopolies. Microsoft does not compete fairly and has serious monopolies that it exploits. We're a global economy, and Sony is a lot better for us than MS is. You are free, moron, to buy stock in Sony.

      And how are you beinf forced to buy a new blu-ray player? All blu-ray players play all blu-ray movies. Sure, you can't surf the internet or save clips on old ones. So what? This is a typical dishonest attack.

      HD-DVD is definitely the lesser of two evil. Less fun, less successful, less content, less future, less value, less alive. It's over.

    6. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by Moonpie+Madness · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      How does it help you that HD-DVD has less DRM? What do you get out of that? Something tells me that you are precisely the reason blu-ray is winning. There really is very little reason to backup these discs until hard drive capacity is much larger. The discs are very durable and they are very large, so backup is far less likely to be your reason. Preventing piracy is a very good thing. Blu-ray has features letting you share content with other devices, etc. Pretty realistic and consumer friendly, while fucking pirates in the ass (like Sony did to lik-sang).

      Now MS is not involved in HD-DVD, but has been paying tens of millions to harm blu-ray. Why? because they want both standards to fail, and realize HD-DVD lost ages ago. It's exploiting it's monopoly to interfere in an unrelated market. It's not uninformed to resist that. It would be idiotic to buy an HD-DVD player at this point.

      Also, you criticize Sony for selling blu-ray players in PS3s. For selling their own product. What the hell is wrong with you? This is utterly benign conduct.

      Anyway, Sony is a pretty fair competitor. They've ruled video games, pretty much still do in terms of revenue, and Nintendo and MS are thriving anyway. They have been perfectly friendly working with Toshiba and Samsung, their major competitors. They aren't zealous, they respond to poor sales by creating better products. Microsoft dominated Browsers and destoryed netscape, dominated office aps and destroyed many competitiors, same for operating systems. They force sales on customers in a way Sony just doesn't. Obviously there is no comparison.

      Do you want Microsoft to dominate your living room, for the xbox to be the only viable platform for games, for MS's movie downloads to succeed? We all know this would be very bad for consumers, resulting in lower quality and higher prices and horrible DRM (bad DRM = less usable, not less pirate-able). MS is a real threat, and blu-ray and the PS3 is the only real competitor.

      That's why MS is pouring so much money into this format war. You see the fact that MS isn't really invested in HD-DVD, and think that is a plus for them? It's a huge minus.

      oh, and one last point: blu-ray is better. It sounds better, it holds more data, has more movies, and it moves away from the dvd forum monopoly and such shifts are generally healthy. Lack of region coding really is the only legitimate gripe I know of, and it's not a big deal for me or 99.99999999999999999999999999% of the world.

    7. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by iminplaya · · Score: 1

      Not to put words into your mouth, but are you're saying you prefer it because it's the lesser of 2 evils?

      --
      What?
    8. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by Silas+is+back · · Score: 1

      If i have to buy imported stuff at least let it be the lesser of the 2 evils. Wow, what a stupid statement. You are a poor guy, you have to make this decision every time you buy electronic gear I suppose. What is the lesser of 2 evils, "Made in China" or "Made in Vietnam"?

      And I ask myself, is it easy to fuel your car with locally produced gas?
      --
      this sig is useless
    9. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Heh. Everything's made overseas now dude. The only thing still being made in America is money, and we'll see how long that lasts.

    10. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by BosstonesOwn · · Score: 0

      Again , if I gotta buy something imported , I choose the lesser of the 2 evils. At least it looks like I may have , in the future , a way to back up my hd dvd's if i choose to buy them. Blu-ray has the bd mark which will not let players play encrypted content with out it.

      So let's say I create a video and want to sell it but not let folks copy it. I can't encrypt the disc and have it played in another player unless I pay to have the discs pressed. With hd-dvd I can change the encryption key to my own and make it at least semi difficult for some one to rip a copy of. A non technical person can't just rip a copy of it yet , like they can with a normal dvd.

      I do have to say the drm sucks on the blu-ray system. It's made strictly for the big boys who have much to lose and not even remotely possible for the little guy to use.

      --
      This package Does Not Contain a Winner
    11. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by brianmotzen · · Score: 1

      Less DRM is always better for the consumer point of view as it implies more freedom of use. As for piracy (which is meant to prevent), AACS alone is not trivial to bypass for the average user and neither scheme will prevent anyone from downloading once released ("crack once, seed everywhere"). By the way, AACS is mandatory in BR, even if you want to produce your own stuff and release in in a copyleft licence.

      > Also, you criticize Sony for selling blu-ray players in PS3s. For selling their own product. What the hell is wrong with you? This is utterly benign conduct.

      I don't criticize them for that. What I criticize is when Microsoft does similar things with Windows (bundling IE, WMP, ...), it is seen as "bad" but when it is Sony, is is seen as "good". Even is Sony does not have a near-monopoly in the console market, their market share is big enough to have a similar influence. Too bad the PS3 did not sell as good as expected.

      I am sorry to tell that Microsoft is not the ultimate evil as you seem to mean. In regards for interoperability, open-standards and "free cometition", ALL companies (which includes also Sony, Apple, ...) are potential threats since vendor-lockin and monopolies are always more profitable. The fact that Microsoft's past and current business practices are to blame and their dominance in the Operating System/Office/Browser market are not excuses to support blindly another company whose practices are not better than them.

      --
      There are two kind of people, those who win and those who whine
    12. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by Dan541 · · Score: 1

      Why does Blu-Ray have region codes? we had to put up with that crap from DVDs for so long why don't people learn?

      in the 21st century there shouldn't be computability issues they should be a thing of the past we have gotten rid of alot of them over the years then sony want to introduce new ones.

      Why would anyone want to ever trust sony? I have never had Microsoft deliberately to something malicious to my PC but with sony its the norm.

      Oh look Blu-Ray has better DRM looks like Sony are up to their old tricks.

      ~Dan

      --
      An SQL query goes to a bar, walks up to a table and asks, "Mind if I join you?"
    13. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I hate Blu-ray because of the region coding. This might not be a problem in USA or Japan, but it sucks to be an European consumer once again.

    14. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by Nursie · · Score: 1

      DVD Forum were looking at implementing region coding. They'd have had to have done it for some of the (asshat) studios to come over, had this "war" gone the other way.

      Which is a damned shame.

      I must say I don't get why some people are so rabid about this issue though. Who really cares, other than the tiny minority of early adopters?

    15. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by kurt555gs · · Score: 1

      I do hate Microsoft, and rejoice when ever that slimy company fails at anything. I I said in my previous post to the earlier article that was modded down to ( -1 Flaimbait ) by the M$ faithful zombies, "Good (it's dead), Fuck Microsoft".

      Ahhh, I feel better now.

      --
      * Carthago Delenda Est *
    16. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by S.O.B. · · Score: 1

      So let's say I create a video and want to sell it but not let folks copy it. I can't encrypt the disc and have it played in another player unless I pay to have the discs pressed. With hd-dvd I can change the encryption key to my own and make it at least semi difficult for some one to rip a copy of. A non technical person can't just rip a copy of it yet , like they can with a normal dvd. If your preference for HD-DVD is based in the virtues of it's DRM support then you're definitely in the wrong forum.

      Seriously, if you produce a video with a big enough market that people even want to copy it, then you are likely sending it to a replicator and not burning them one at a time on your home PC. So the argument is moot.
      --
      Some of what I say is fact, some is conjecture, the rest I'm just blowing out my ass...you guess.
    17. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by antek9 · · Score: 1

      I agree with your points 99.999%, but just to clarify, Lik-Sang are pirates exactly how? They were just harmless traders, didn't smuggle merchandise, or anything. 'Grey exporters' would be appropriate, at most.

      --
      A World in a Grain of Sand / Heaven in a Wild Flower,
      Infinity in the Palm of your Hand / And Eternity in an Hour.
    18. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by doctor_no · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You gotta be kidding. Sony is certainly more American then Toshiba, Sony's biggest share-holder is American (Dodge & Cox), not to mention its run by an Welsh-American CEO. By comparison, Toshiba has to be the most un-American company in existence. During the Cold War, Toshiba was found guilty of illegally selling the Soviet Union and helping build propellers for Russian nuclear submarines that could sneak past NATO's defenses, which is against the COCOM agreement that the US and Japan are both part of. Congress almost past a bill that would ban all Toshiba products being sold in the US.

      http://www.foreignaffairs.org/19871201faessay7874/george-r-packard/the-coming-u-s-japan-crisis.html

    19. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It comes FREE with a PS3?
      [insert the obligatory flame]

    20. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by LordVader717 · · Score: 1
      You miss the point: There is no reason to use the corporate practices of Sony and Microsoft to decide which format to support. So all of your comment, apart from being factually wrong anyway, is rather irrelevant. As to your "last points":

      It sounds better
      Utter Bullcrap

      it holds more data
      Considering that this format war is mainly about video distribution, all that matters is that both have plenty capacity to store Hi-Def films. For maximising capacity, the trend seems to be going towards more and more layers anyway, so expect neck-a-neck continuous improvement and lots and lots of incompatibilities.

      moves away from the dvd forum monopoly
      I for one welcome our Blu-ray Association overlords.

      [Lack of region coding isn't] a big deal for me or 99.99999999999999999999999999% of the world.
      Last I checked, 99% of DVDs do have single region coding. It's the only DRM specifically designed to prevent perfectly legal use, and allows studios to rip off customers. It's just that they don't fuck US customers quite so hard.
    21. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by RetardsForRonPaul · · Score: 1

      So do you hate BluRay because of some irrational hatred of Sony? I personally like BluRay because it comes free with a PS3 and the lack of have handed tactics by MS (such as buying support) used to try and force us all to convert. You do know that Warner got $500 million to go BD exclusive, right? Who's forcing who?

      Oh and I don't hate MS, I just don't trust them, they got a very long history of lying to serve their own goals. Sony does the same, but I have never ever been forced to use a Sony product that was riddled with bugs. Can you say the same for MS? Where does MS come into this at all? They're part of the consortium, but the spec is finalized, and the players are out there. Sony gets tied to Blu Ray because a) they're huge backers of the format, b) they're a movie studio, c) the PS3 is the only worthwhile BD player out there.
    22. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by BosstonesOwn · · Score: 0

      No but a couple folks I know do wedding videos and graduation videos in high def. You would not believe how cheap people are. And a plant running 100 copies is not cheap. To keep the average person from buying a copy and ripping it for every one in their family is nice. At least so the camera man can make his money back for his equipment and skill.

      I see people ripping $8 dvd's of graduations.

      --
      This package Does Not Contain a Winner
    23. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by king-manic · · Score: 1

      I dislike Sony because it's Japanese, we don't have many of our goods sold there but they sell a ton here.

      I don't like being forced into buying a new player every time they want to update their specs. hd-dvd had those features at launch, why didn't blu-ray ? At this point I think hd-dvd is the lesser of 2 evils at the moment. The overt racism is great eh! For our information the iPod does really well as does some American cars. It's not that they hate American products. It's simply that American companies like Microsoft have no idea how to market to Japan while a company like Apple does. HD DVD is Japaneses too. You are simple asinine.
      --
      "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
    24. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by king-manic · · Score: 1

      Again , if I gotta buy something imported , I choose the lesser of the 2 evils. At least it looks like I may have , in the future , a way to back up my hd dvd's if i choose to buy them. Blu-ray has the bd mark which will not let players play encrypted content with out it. Actually both disallow backups via DRM. Thus I believe you have never backup a HD DVD disk and it's pure FUD coming out of your mouth. backing up a HD DVD is an ordeal. Similar to how backing up a DVD was at first. Ditto with Blu-ray although the crackers are slightly slower with that. As well almost everything you can buy either is imported from somewhere or has imported parts. Even American made cars often have imported parts.

      So let's say I create a video and want to sell it but not let folks copy it. I can't encrypt the disc and have it played in another player unless I pay to have the discs pressed. With hd-dvd I can change the encryption key to my own and make it at least semi difficult for some one to rip a copy of. A non technical person can't just rip a copy of it yet , like they can with a normal dvd.

      I do have to say the drm sucks on the blu-ray system. It's made strictly for the big boys who have much to lose and not even remotely possible for the little guy to use. Effectively both have DRM that deters casually ripping. Your arguments are asinine. Both of them are meant to be unfriendly to people who aren't major content distributors. If you just wanted a way to encrypt your mpegs, you can just use standard methods to encrypt it and use either a hd dvd or blu ray disc to store it. Your example is overly complicated and nonsensical. If you have videos how often do you encrypt them? If your a content producer the cost of pressing it often cheaper per unit for batches of hundreds then the individual media. At the low end you'd just press DVDs, on the high end the cost to have HD DVD or Blu ray disks pressed is not that significant. What a retarded set of arguments.

      --
      "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
    25. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by king-manic · · Score: 1

      No but a couple folks I know do wedding videos and graduation videos in high def. You would not believe how cheap people are. And a plant running 100 copies is not cheap. To keep the average person from buying a copy and ripping it for every one in their family is nice. At least so the camera man can make his money back for his equipment and skill.

      I see people ripping $8 dvd's of graduations. What a contrived scenario. I believe the best solution is to make DVD's because HD DVD is still not widely available nor is blank media overly cheap.
      --
      "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
    26. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by ergo98 · · Score: 1

      Actually both disallow backups via DRM

      Uh, no. HD-DVD mandates Managed Copy, completely cutting your argument to shreds.

      HD-DVD was a format that mediated between the needs of consumers and media companies. Blu-ray is designed entirely and only for media companies (what do you know - Sony also has a significant media arm...can't see any problem with that?)

      Thus I believe you have never backup a HD DVD disk and it's pure FUD coming out of your mouth.

      So basically you're just full of shit, but decided to add you "wisdom" regardless.
    27. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by rezalas · · Score: 1

      Funny how you mention root kits considering Sony lost a court battle over similar issues a few years back based on rootkit's they loaded on their disks as "copy protection". Lets not forget also that the "free blue ray" player you are so happy about is Sony's excuse for raising the price of the PS3 by $250 on launch thus meaning it was not free. You paid $250 extra for that feature ... and it didn't work on most of the original shipment on resolutions higher than 480P.

      I'm not certain why you seem to think hes a microsoft fan boy, but I'm certain that you screwed the pooch on your assessment. Learn more about a company before you defend them next time.

    28. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by terjeber · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I don't like being forced into buying a new player every time they want to update their specs.

      Sigh. Why is it that all these HD DVD fans are always spouting this ignorance? Before you open your bigoted mouth, why don't you try to figure out the facts of the matter? Here is some advice for you: Better to keep your mouth shut and have people think you are an idiot than to open it and remove all doubt.

      No, you don't have to get a new player to watch Blu-Ray movies in the future when the spec is updated. Your old player will work fine. It may not be able to surf the net, but you did buy the player to watch movies, right?

    29. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by king-manic · · Score: 2, Informative

      Uh, no. HD-DVD mandates Managed Copy, completely cutting your argument to shreds.

      HD-DVD was a format that mediated between the needs of consumers and media companies. Blu-ray is designed entirely and only for media companies (what do you know - Sony also has a significant media arm...can't see any problem with that?) My original assertion still stands. He has never ripped a copy of HD DVD. Your article was from 2005, stating they wanted to support managed copy. As of yet nothing exists to do this.

      Managed Copy?
      No Managed copy now?
      Both may get Managed Copy?
      Still not here
      Managed copy? Not right now.

      basically it does not yet exist but both camps proclaim it will happen someday. I'm sure it will because the day hackers breech the protection schemes in a complete and easy to use way managed copy will be right there. Until theyn it'll be "out later this year", "soon", "out key feature we intent to implement".

      So basically you're just full of shit, but decided to add you "wisdom" regardless. Umm.. hmmm... I think someone needs to do some more research.
      --
      "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
    30. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by terjeber · · Score: 1

      Uh, no. HD-DVD mandates Managed Copy, completely cutting your argument to shreds.

      So, if Blu-Ray supported Managed Copy, then your arguments would be completely cut to shreds? Note, Sony currently uses Managed Copy to distribute Blu-Ray movies from the PS3 to the PSP (or at least, that was the way I understood it).

      Why we are having this discussion I am a little bit unsure of though. Toshiba has tried for two years to release a consumer or prosumer level burner, and have so far failed. You simply can't buy an HD DVD burner today, and I am willing to bet that you never will. This one is their latest attempt, and it simply didn't work according to testers.

    31. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by terjeber · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Since Microsoft is much less involved in HD-DVD than Sony is in Blu-Ray, it is not only irrationnal, but a bit uninformed, to use Microsoft practices are a main argument to judge the HD-DVD format.

      That's just funny. You are joking right? You can't be that uninformed. Microsoft is the sole reason that there is an HD DVD format. Toshiba wanted to drop this long ago but were persuaded by MS to keep it up.

      Personnally if I had to choose between both I'd choose HD-DVD for the lack of region coding and the fact they have less DRM.

      Personally I have chosen Blu-Ray to try to help end the war now. The reason is simple. MS is continuing to support this war because they want both formats to fail. If both formats fail then MS will be in a much stronger position to capture the download video on demand market with their VC-1 encoder and Media Center PCs. Do you really want Microsoft to own the entire distribution channel of your entertainment system?

      Oh, and don't tell me that MS is just as bad/good as Sony, Sony doesn't own Blu-Ray.

    32. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by terjeber · · Score: 1

      It sounds better
      Utter Bullcrap

      Eh, no, Blu-Rays typically have better sound than HD DVDs. You knew this, right?

      it holds more data
      all that matters is that both have plenty capacity to store Hi-Def films

      Well, that is only partly true. The format must have the capacity to store the film (with the appropriate sound), but that is not the only thing. It also needs to be able to stream that film and that audio to the appropriate receiver and TV at maximum quality. The amount of data on the disk has no real bearing on what the film looks like, but the amount of data transferred from the disk to the TV does. Blu-Ray has significantly higher bandwidth than does HD DVD, so, when studios stop encoding for the minimum common denominator (HD DVD), we'll see even better movies.

    33. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by terjeber · · Score: 1

      You do know that Warner got $500 million to go BD exclusive, right?

      This is actually not correct. Warner decided to go Blu back in September '07 and they informed the HD DVD consortium relatively early - they had to with the legal implications. The HD DVD consortium started courting Warner and they offered significant incentives for Warner not to go Blu exclusive. In December the offer was $300M. The last meeting between Warner and the HD DVD association was just before CES, and it is possible that an offer of $500M was extended at that time, and that this is where the 500M number comes from. There was no $500M incentive offered from the Blu camp to entice Warner. That is pure myth. What is not pure myth is that Warner rebuffed the HD DVD consortium time and again, no matter how much they offered.

      There was no reason for Warner to stay with HD DVD. In fact, it would have been really stupid of them. The current format war has significantly delayed the up-take in player adoption, and is currently a factor in the slowing in regular DVD sales (people are sitting on the fence). Going HD DVD would have indefinitely prolonged the war, to Warner's detriment. Going Blu exclusive was a healthy business decision, and the only rational thing Warner could do.

      Where does MS come into this at all?

      They are the main driving force behind HD DVD. Toshiba wanted to drop the format quite some time ago, but MS has been pressuring Tosh to keep it going. MS was also the entity behind the cash payout to Paramount when they switched (and yes, that payout has been confirmed, it is not pure fantasy like the Warner "payout").

      the PS3 is the only worthwhile BD player out there.

      Given that ignorance is bliss, you have to be seriously blissful. The PS3 isn't even considered the best Blu-Ray player, so your comment is absurd.

    34. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by Boycott+BMG · · Score: 1

      You are confusing Sony and Sony/BMG. One only sells music, the other one sells electronics, makes movies, and presses CDs/DVDs/Blurays. Sony/BMG is owned by Bertelsmann (hence Bertelsmann Music Group) and Sony. BMG was quite the evil record company before the spinoff/merger, so I was not surprised that they did something like the rootkit. I am a little disappointed that more people are not directing their anger at BMG and other Bertelsmann companies.

    35. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by Boycott+BMG · · Score: 1

      While you are correct to blame Sony/BMG. You make the very common mistake of lumping it in with Sony Corporation. Sony/BMG is a separate company that is 50/50 owned by Sony and Bertelsmann (hence the (B)ertelsmann (M)usic (G)roup). Furthermore, the BMG side of the merger held (at the time) most of the top executive positions in the company, like Thomas Hesse who made the public comment about rootkits. The position of Sony/BMG is similar to Sony/Ericsson - separate companies formed from divisions of two individual corporations. This is unlike Sony Computer, Sony DADC, Sony Electronics, etc. which are part of "Sony". BMG was quite the evil record company before the spinoff/merger, so I was not surprised that they did something like the rootkit. I am a little disappointed that more people are not directing their anger at BMG, though.

    36. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by weg · · Score: 1

      So do you hate BluRay because of some irrational hatred of Sony? I personally like BluRay because it comes free with a PS3 and the lack of have handed tactics by MS (such as buying support) used to try and force us all to convert. One of us. One of us. One of us.


      No, that's wrong, the Bluray drive doesn't come for free with the PS3, the console comes for free with the Bluray drive. Though it's getting cheaper, $500 is still quite a large amount of money for a video player.. ;-)

      Oh and I don't hate MS, I just don't trust them, they got a very long history of lying to serve their own goals.

      Microsoft will support both formats, eventually. Why should they care which format makes it? (For the Xbox, the HD-Drive is just an add-on, and for Windows, all they have to do is to provide an additional driver).

      --
      Georg
    37. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by S.O.B. · · Score: 1

      No but a couple folks I know do wedding videos and graduation videos in high def. You would not believe how cheap people are. And a plant running 100 copies is not cheap. To keep the average person from buying a copy and ripping it for every one in their family is nice. At least so the camera man can make his money back for his equipment and skill.

      I see people ripping $8 dvd's of graduations. And why does it have to be a "plant" doing the duplication. I found 16 businesses offering DVD duplication near where I live. I imagine when the format war is officially over they'll begin offering Blu-ray duplication.
      --
      Some of what I say is fact, some is conjecture, the rest I'm just blowing out my ass...you guess.
    38. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by dryeo · · Score: 1

      Why would anyone want to ever trust sony? I have never had Microsoft deliberately to something malicious to my PC but with sony its the norm.

      I've never had Sony do anything malicious to my PC though I have heard that they took advantage of a MS flaw to do it to some.
      Now MS has been quite consistently malicious to my PC.
      I have run OS/2 for quite a while. Often I have been forced to run Windows, for a while it seemed just to browse the internet you needed Windows and lots of crap came in Windows only formats.
      Anyways every version of Win9x upon install would announce that my OS/2 install was now bye-bye, not even a chance to save your data before making OS/2 nonworking. For me it wasn't to bad because I knew enough to go into fdisk and change the active partition but how many didn't?
      Oh Win2k totally fucked BootManager every time you ran it.
      This is without even mentioning changing your partition types to whatever they'd invented this week.

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
    39. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by Dan541 · · Score: 1

      Sony/BMG is a separate company that is 50/50 owned by Sony and Bertelsmann (hence the (B)ertelsmann (M)usic (G)roup). Sony hold a controlling stake in the company so they are responsible for the actions of that company.

      --
      An SQL query goes to a bar, walks up to a table and asks, "Mind if I join you?"
    40. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      So do you hate BluRay because of some irrational hatred of Sony? I personally like BluRay because it comes free with a PS3 and the lack of have handed tactics by MS (such as buying support) used to try and force us all to convert.

      And Sony would never buy support?

      Frankly if you want to look at the sides involved you could at most choose the lesser of two evils, lets see who is the convicted monopolist again? Who is the rootkit company again? Who insist on ignoring standards and enforcing their own inferior solutions on the public?

      a)MS, but they're not HD DVD, last time I checked.
      b)Sony
      c)Sony?

      Sorry, this format war was about the difference between Jack Johnson and John Jackson. If the parties involved had been smart they would simply have merged their products and saved everyone a lot of trouble.

      Oh and I don't hate MS, I just don't trust them, they got a very long history of lying to serve their own goals. Sony does the same, but I have never ever been forced to use a Sony product that was riddled with bugs. Can you say the same for MS?

      Try several of Sony's CD's with root kits. I believe that was well-publicized, you might even get a hit or two on Google. MS has almost nothing to do with HD DVD other than providing one minor codec, VC9, and using it as the add-on component for the XBox 360. You realize that Toshiba's HD DVD players all run linux, right? And Sony never lies, oh, and they're not the driver of BD, and you trust them intimately, right? I dislike MS greatly, but after a little research, all ten minutes of it, will quickly show you that MS is to HD DVD like MS is to milk production: not very involved. Sony, however, has bet the farm on BD.
      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    41. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      Try any DL DVD burner and the HD DVD9 format (H.264 or VC9).

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    42. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by Boycott+BMG · · Score: 1

      That isn't exactly accurate. Neither Sony nor Bertelsmann have a controlling stake in the company, since in order to have control you need greater than 50% ownership. They share ownership, and I believe that some former BMG executives (now Sony/BMG executives) hold a majority of the blame.

    43. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by LordVader717 · · Score: 1

      Eh, no, Blu-Rays typically have better sound than HD DVDs. You knew this, right?
      They support the same specifications and the same codecs. They sound identical. If a studio decides to use a different audio codec, that's up to them. (many HDDVDs actually use the "superior" Dolby Digital Plus and TrueHD codecs, whereas many Bluray releases don't)

      Blu-Ray has significantly higher bandwidth than does HD DVD
      Which is still more than enough for HDTV Video, even more now that Sony have backed away from their bone-headed decision to encode early Bluray movies in MPEG2. (Not that there would be a noticeable difference however) You stop noticing artefacts at half that bitrate.
    44. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by terjeber · · Score: 1

      Try any DL DVD burner and the HD DVD9 format (H.264 or VC9).

      So, since when did a DL DVD burner burn HD DVD disks? It burns standard DVDs. Sure, you can burn a short HD movie to a DVD9, with, as you say, H.264 or VC-1 (not 9), but that is not burning a HD DVD disk. If it was, my DVD+R burner can burn Blu-Ray disks since it can burn an AVCHD disk onto a DVD9. A Blu-Ray AVCHD disk is, for all intents and purposes, the same as the "HD DVD9" format.

    45. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by terjeber · · Score: 1

      Eh, no, Blu-Rays typically have better sound than HD DVDs. You knew this, right?
      They support the same specifications and the same codecs. They sound identical.

      Only if you can squeeze the same amount of information through the thinner HD DVD pipe.

    46. Re:Might as well ask the same in reverse by melonman · · Score: 2, Funny

      Toshiba was found guilty of illegally selling the Soviet Union

      Wow, respect! How much did they get for it? With such incredible marketing skills, it seems all the stranger that they couldn't sell the HD-DVD format. I mean, that was legal...

      --
      Virtually serving coffee
  11. As Richard Pryor said... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I Ain't Dead Yet #%$#@!!

  12. Not dead yet! by Darkman,+Walkin+Dude · · Score: 3, Funny

    It wants to go for a walk!

    1. Re:Not dead yet! by kcbrown · · Score: 1

      "I feel happy! I feel happy" -- my HD-DVD player

      --
      Use 'slashdot stuff' in the subject line in any email you send me if you want to get past the spam filter.
    2. Re:Not dead yet! by Mansing · · Score: 2, Funny

      Well, it's...it's, ah...probably pining for the fjords.

    3. Re:Not dead yet! by jtgd · · Score: 0

      Not dead yet (they're still selling them) just mortally wounded, lying on the ground, bleeding to death.

      --
      J
    4. Re:Not dead yet! by mockchoi · · Score: 1

      Oh great, the SECOND stupid MP based set of comments in this writeup :) I think I just pissed myself they were so funny :)

    5. Re:Not dead yet! by sdpuppy · · Score: 1
      Well, let's face it - HD-DVD is the new Betamax and Blu-Ray is the new VHS

      Wait -

      Except this time the winning format is made by Sony.

      Wait -

      Except this time the better format looks like it's winning

      Wait -

      I'm soooo confused! :-)

  13. Not so fast... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    As an insider I can attest to the fact that the online world has been nailed by one of the most successful viral marketing campaigns ever waged in a digital format war. An unnamed company (or three) got together before the recent announcement by Warner Bros in the weeks before CES to orchestrate this domino effect. The game plan was, in a nutshell, that Warner Bros would announce their support for Blu-Ray (even though they will continue to make HD-DVD for some time) and their subsidiaries would follow closely with announcements. Then it was revealed that Walt Disney Studios Home Entertainment and Twentieth Century-Fox Home Entertainment would reaffirm their commitment to the format. This information was fed into the biggest gadget blogs with the underlying message that the war is over. This was parroted near verbatim by submissions to all of the major technology and social bookmarking sites. Major audio video forums had been primed with posters working for the viral marketing firms employed to pull this off. Overnight every major site on the internet along with mainstream media was singing the Blu-Ray song. To make sure the statistics following CES would confirm the "Blu-Ray has won" story manufacturers were heavily discounting Blu-Ray players. This week, much to no ones surprise, this came true.

    So why am I sharing this? I am firmly in the Blu-Ray camp but the techniques employed in this war have been rather unethical. Which blog or news agency will be the first to hunt down the facts in this story to confirm my story?

    Don't buy it? Then read this article on TechChrunch which describes the same techniques used to market viral videos.

    1. Re:Not so fast... by feepness · · Score: 3, Insightful

      As an insider I can attest to the fact that the online world has been nailed by one of the most successful viral marketing campaigns ever waged in a digital format war. An unnamed company (or three) got together before the recent announcement by Warner Bros in the weeks before CES to orchestrate this domino effect. I heard they also flew a missile into the Pentagon. Did you know that a real airliner couldn't have made that hole and that they stole all the tapes of the event?
    2. Re:Not so fast... by Moonpie+Madness · · Score: 1

      How in the world is this unethical?

      Are you insane? Warner moving over was a big deal, so why not maximize the news?

      HD-DVD players are absurdly discounted, and the sales figures are cited with as much attention as the DVD forum can muster. But when blu-ray players do the same this is somehow wrong? Why?

      Blu-ray won. Better business plan. They got the right partners, had their discounts at the right time, and the customer clearly prefers it. They masterfully communicated the truth: that the war is over.

      Sure, NPD Microsoft, and others are pretending the war isn't over, but they don't want the war to even end. They want both standards to fail. THAT's UNETHICAL.

      Blu-ray is playing fair, as far as I can tell. Certainly telling several media sources of some news that is totally accurate is not unethical.

    3. Re:Not so fast... by oenone.ablaze · · Score: 1

      Docs or it didn't happen... if we're to believe your conspiracy theories, who's to say that you're not working for a viral marketing firm for the NPD group? That's certainly more plausible than your claim that you're a blu-ray whistleblower...

    4. Re:Not so fast... by RedWizzard · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Whether all the press has been orchestrated or not is largely irrelevant. What is relevant is that Blu-ray has the majority of the studio support and has the higher market share. An undecided buyer would have to be pretty brave to bet on HD-DVD at this point.

    5. Re: Not so fast... by sakurakira · · Score: 1

      Assuming your post is accurate... given that Sony lost the first format war (Betamax vs VHS), I'm not surprised that they are using every scheme that they have. I'm not really for either format at the moment, I just want to continue to be able to watch the DVDs I have in my large collection, on whatever new player I'm eventually forced to buy. Unethical or not, I'll have to resign myself to using the technology of the winning format if I want to continue to watch new DVDs released by major movie studios.

    6. Re:Not so fast... by Z00L00K · · Score: 1
      As the statement goes "All's fair in love and war.".

      Just go figure what this is about...

      --
      If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
    7. Re:Not so fast... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ??? does anyone really care ???

      We just want the "war" to end so we can get our highdef player and load up on disks, knowing that we picked the side that will still be around.

      Besides, I am sure the losing side (either one) is already working on the next next gen that is yet another 100% better the current battling options.

    8. Re:Not so fast... by noidentity · · Score: 1

      Regardless of the cause, isn't it a good thing that the format war ends? I blame both "sides" for it, so I don't care which folds.

    9. Re:Not so fast... by squiggleslash · · Score: 1

      Sounds like a load of crap to me.

      The Warner switch was a big deal, and by all accounts both sides were heavily lobbying Warner (and some of those already in the BD camp) to commit or recommit to their side.

      Now, there's been a lot of stupid stuff said since, such as yesterday's bizarre reporting of the NPD results by Slashdot, and this article's even more bizarre claim that NPD is another name for the DVD Forum, but honestly, I seriously doubt that Slashdot is controlled by the Blu-ray consortium. I think the editors are just, well, not always very good at analyzing what's going on. And, ignoring yesterday and today, it does look bad for HD DVD if most studios are refusing to put their content on it. Do you really need a "viral marketing campaign" to persuade people of that?

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    10. Re:Not so fast... by olman · · Score: 2, Informative

      Except that by buying HD-DVD player you get cheap upscaling DVD player that can play HD discs as a bonus.

      Not much bravery required. It's not like the player stops working if some studio stops supporting it.

    11. Re:Not so fast... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As the CEO of one of the companies in question, I can attest to the fact that anyone can post as an AC on Slashdot and claim to be an 'insider' with secret knowledge.

      They are usually just trolls, much like you.

    12. Re:Not so fast... by random0xff · · Score: 1

      I don't really care, though it's very interesting and, if true, actually pretty cool that they pulled that off. But the war needs a winner for it to stop, so let's have a winner and be done with it. Stop the killing...

    13. Re:Not so fast... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As an undecided buyer myself I'm not buying either format until it is as cheap as a DVD.

    14. Re:Not so fast... by geckofiend · · Score: 1

      Wow I can pay triple the cost for an upscaling DVD player that also plays disks I'll not be able to find in a year? Where do I sign up?

    15. Re:Not so fast... by Herschel+Cohen · · Score: 1

      I cannot attest to the veracity the scenario you paint, however, I too have reasons to doubt the reality of HD DVD's imminent demise. Too many times I have seen assertions I later learned were blatant fabrications. For example, remember the woman that was pillared for getting scalded with overheated coffee held between her legs while driving? Sorry didn't happen that way, just good headlines to sway sentiment. So too with the wars we had to fight, because we were attacked, were in danger of being attacked, or needed to stop programs aimed against our interests? Even long after the fictional reasonings were exposed, conventional wisdom still holds these were truths. [I cannot claim I was never fooled.]

      It is all just too quick. The counter action expected was that the HD group would lower prices and for a period show much higher sales. The quick succession of "news" reports has aroused my skepticism. It is just too neat to be coincident with the facts. While in the longer term such dissemination of supposed sales figures will have the effect of being self fulfilling, I sense this is being gamed.

      Let me state, I am not in the Blu-Ray camp. however, I had thought it had the superior technology. Nonetheless, I dubious of the degree advancement being claimed. To me they are archival storage alternatives. However, even Blu-Ray was too soon in touting its capacity advantage while being late delivering those higher capacities. For a short time, that lapse appeared to give HD DVDs the marketing advantage. Personally, I am not a fan of most video offerings, hence, generic DVDs will suffice until something really better appears. The marketing ploys on both sides smell of scams. This seems to be another effort to herd an uninformed public into making premature decisions.

      Sorry no two cents I am keeping my cash in my pocket. Maybe they will both die soon.

    16. Re:Not so fast... by ShakaUVM · · Score: 0

      A PS3 upscales video as well as PS2 games as well as plays Blu-Ray discs.

      The XBox 360 (which reads HD-DVDs) bizarrely doesn't play HD-DVD movies. If they'd enabled it to play movies instead of requiring a second HD-DVD drive to do this (and I don't care what their excuse was), the battle might have gone differently. There were a LOT of 360s sold.

    17. Re:Not so fast... by Sleepy · · Score: 1

      Yes, you are from BlueRay and you're giving us the "inside scoop" how unethical they are.

      Suuuuurre. Here's why I think you are full of shit:

      In CHRONOLOGICAL order:

      1) HD-DVD breaks away from BluRay group. Attempts to reconcile were almost successful but one of the large breakaway companies refused. Some say that this company was Microsoft..

      2) HD-DVD group skewed statistics and manipulated the media in ways BluRay did not.

      A typical pro-HD-DVD story would:
      * tout HD-DVD players as selling MORE UNITS and with faster momentum... UNTRUE
      * show that some PS3 owners were ONLY buying games, then extrapolate that to assert ALL PS3 owners were buying NO movies.
      * talk about Transformers sales somehow in the context of the format war.. USELESS (it's a single platform title)
      * Ignore that BluRay title sales have ALWAYS outsold HD-DVD, even though there was a time when HD-DVD was the only game in town. Instead of quoting these numbers in fairness, HD-DVD articles would spin something like "PS3 owners were buying an average of 0.6 movies per player".
      * The same people who cheered Microsoft's $150 million injection to Paramount were SUDDENLY crying foul when Sony greased Warner by (reportedly) $500 million. WAH.
      * "numbers" like the above reprinted... and HD-DVD was successful in getting the story printed as "According to numbers released..." or other citation showing HD-DVD in the lead, and often the reprint would exclude whatever magic was used to skew the numbers. For example, betanews.com articles printing an "according to.." that ends with HD-DVD Players outselling BluRay for November 2007. You'd have to go and read the original article to see these were not overall players vs. players, but overall HD vs BluRay MINUS PS3.

      It doesn't matter if some PS3 owners aren't getting movies, just as long as enough do. It's still a viable platforms for movies... I would NOT have bought mine if it wasn't also the CHEAPEST BR player. I'll probably buy 1 or 2 games per year, but between new BR movies and Netflix I will use it a lot more for movies.

      The fact is that HD-DVD was doomed from the start, and BR eclipsed even when starting last. After HD-DVD folks recruited X-Box fanboys, the discussion went downhill from being about hardware specifications to who has the most free time to waste on online boards.

      Microsoft invested $150 million to get Paramount to go HD-DVD exclusive for a short while. *cough* That's ife support money, not really enough to make a difference. The irony is Microsoft wants BOTH FORMATS to remain entangled so that "Windows Media On-Demand" can gain a foothold...

    18. Re:Not so fast... by olman · · Score: 1

      You get upscaling DVD player for $33?

      I guess it's really "good".

    19. Re:Not so fast... by RetardsForRonPaul · · Score: 1

      And Slashdot has fallen right in line, posting article after article on HDDVDs death while running Bluray ads in the sidebar (this happened the day the Warner buyoff was announced).

    20. Re:Not so fast... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Really, did anyone not expect this format war to be decided by bribing, lying, manipulation and other marketing tricks ? What else did you expect ? That this would be decided over the merits of the respective products ? Wake up. That only happens when there are *real* product differences that matter to the customers.

      The only thing that is somewhat surprising about this is that one camp dealt out a big, deciding blow quicker than expected.

      This is not unethical, it is modern day big business.

      Of course, in normal real-people life "modern big business" is more or less synonymous to "unethical", but that is a different stroy.

    21. Re:Not so fast... by samkass · · Score: 1

      Except that by buying HD-DVD player you get cheap upscaling DVD player that can play HD discs as a bonus. ... just like you get with a Blu-Ray player, except that you get more choice for your HD discs and you'll still be able to buy them in 2 years. There are no players of either format I know of that don't do DVD upscaling.

      --
      E pluribus unum
    22. Re:Not so fast... by yakumo.unr · · Score: 1

      I thought you'd get modded down - I'm glad it's not so. The overwhelming reaction of the online community over the Warner announcement made me very angry as it was clear it was the phraseology of the news titles, fueling the fanboys, that was causing significantly more damage than the announcement itself.

      This alone gave the fanboys more reason to troll 'the war is over' in such force and with such conviction as never before.

      Why was this so out of place with fanboys, nearly the ultimate of online extremists? Well, it's flat out counter their interests and even starkly in contrast with the overwhelming opinion of Sony after the rootkit scenario. With still plenty of support behind HD-DVD, the cheaper technology, the more consumer friendly technology (both now and including any fears for the future - got to love a company that wants to stop you lending or selling on your property, right?) and HD-DVD AACS and region encoding being optional, more dedicated players in peoples homes made it the true consumer choice (the PS3 isn't dedicated Blu-Ray - it's a games console, however I view the 360 add on as a dedicated player as it has NO other function and is a full optional purchase, not bundled with the console. Finally a lot of people have bought them as they also work on PCs), by far the most logical choice for the majority of online enthusiasts was HD-DVD. So what if per-layer Blu-Ray held more? Most of us are unlikely to afford a burner in the next 15 years.

      The only thing Blu-Ray had going for it was the pushiest marketing scheme ever. I'm disappointed in HD-DVD on that front but never thought it would take in so many online. A carefully orchestrated viral campaign from a Sony backed product would not surprise me in the SLIGHTEST, considering their consistent history of such. The only surprise would be that they pulled it off so subtly compared to their previous attempts. I guess one of the other Blu-Ray backers would have stepped in and overseen its careful deployment, though I'm still surprised at the total lack of tact when someone from the Blu-Ray camp was very publicly quoted as saying "they knew what they were getting into" about early adopters when people started to complain about the redundancy of all the very expensive first (and second?) generation players other than the PS3. I'm also surprised about the small scale of the backlash from that comment alone currently. I mean: what more proof did people need of Blu-Ray's total lack of regard for their customers, even those so loyal they'd spend so much on the earliest systems?

      I own neither HD-DVD or Blu-Ray systems, or a 360 - I wouldn't have minded a PS3 IF they'd maintained backward compatibility (I admit I love my mini PS2, ironically rubbish DVD player that it is - GREEN screen if you want RGB out? hah) but I would never have bought one as I couldn't bring myself to support a format that was so likely to attempt to trample over and even strip yet more consumer rights in the future.

    23. Re:Not so fast... by olman · · Score: 1

      With BD you have to ditch the "cheap" bit of the equation.

    24. Re:Not so fast... by king-manic · · Score: 1

      HD DVD and Blu ray are media formats:

      2007 Overall MEdia Sales Ratio

      US 2 BD : 1 HD DVD (peaking for hd dvd at about 5:3)
      JP 9 BD : 1 HD DVD
      UK 4 BD : 1 HD DVD

      Unfortunately for your rant, It does not seem that the support for bluray is engineered hype. There was never a close race except sort of in the US. The gambit for the next format was decided very early and all the rest was just the elaborate death throes of one format.

      --
      "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
    25. Re:Not so fast... by king-manic · · Score: 1

      Not much bravery required. It's not like the player stops working if some studio stops supporting it. True, but most people don't think that way. Happy with your purchase? great. The rest of the market has moved one. Apparently from internstional sales figures the war has been over for some time.
      --
      "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
    26. Re:Not so fast... by olman · · Score: 1

      Ha.

      Do not have a HD-player. They're ridiculously expensive in europe and the selection of high definition material in rental shops is pathetic. In fact we got 1st HD/BD disks available for rent around Xmas 2007.

      I'll go HD when my local video store starts getting most of the new releases as HD/BD and I can pick up a region-free player for less than 300 euros.

      I do have up-scaling DVD player that cost quite a bit more than amis pay for those Toshiba HD-DVD players.

    27. Re:Not so fast... by Emetophobe · · Score: 1

      The XBox 360 (which reads HD-DVDs) bizarrely doesn't play HD-DVD movies. If they'd enabled it to play movies instead of requiring a second HD-DVD drive to do this (and I don't care what their excuse was), the battle might have gone differently. There were a LOT of 360s sold.

      I don't know where you get your information, but the Xbox 360 comes with a standard DVD drive (not an HD-DVD drive). Why would they sell an add-on HD-DVD drive if the 360 comes with one built in?

      From wikipedia:

      Storage

      Early production runs of the Xbox 360 are equipped with a 12x DVD drive, capable of a maximum read rate of 16.62 MB/s. The original production DVD drives were manufactured by both LG and Toshiba. Beginning in November 2006, a new model the BenQ VAD6038 was introduced, which is said to run faster than the previous models and, in addition, is much quieter. Games are stored on standard dual-layer DVD-ROMs with 7 GB of usable space available for game content.

    28. Re:Not so fast... by king-manic · · Score: 1

      I can sum up all your responses I've read thus far into this: "I have an irrational attachment to a consumer electronics product, I was told that if I stuck with long enough Toshiba may give me a free penis extension operation." Sale for HD media have grown faster then DVD media did at the same point in it's lifespan. Internationally it's been 4:1 in the UK BD to HD DVD and 9:1 in japan. For a year. The only market under any type of contention was the US. The US market was decimated during the week NPD released sales for. NPD just wanted to clarify that a week doesn't mean that much and to wait for more info. Which is a reasonable request. However HD DVD now resides in more nails then coffin if you know what i mean. Having 1 clear winner will go a lon ways to ensure media sales continue to grow and is good for the market and consumers in general while poor for HD DVD enthusiasts.

      --
      "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
    29. Re:Not so fast... by ucblockhead · · Score: 1

      Want to buy my betamax player? It comes with ten free movies!

      --
      The cake is a pie
    30. Re:Not so fast... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You left out the desperation price cut by Toshiba. That's what convinced me it's over. How did this grand conspiracy accomplish that?

    31. Re:Not so fast... by tm2b · · Score: 1

      Honestly, I don't think it's really reasonably to label this strategy as unethical - we're looking at two groups of companies backing roughly equivalent (from the POV of most consumers) formats, struggling for a telling market share advantage, and PR campaigns are a perfectly legitimate way of doing this. The coin's got to fall one way or the other, and the indecision on the part of the market is costing more people than will lose out one one format wins. The longer this goes on, the more people will lose out by having bought into the losing format.

      I think the vast majority of customers really don't care very much which format wins - we just want one of them to win before we'll commit. If one wins because of particularly clever PR campaign, then fine! At least less effort, time, and money will be wasted in this war that will benefit nobody but the winning group of companies.

      --
      "It is our blasphemy which has made us great, and will sustain us, and which the gods secretly admire in us." - Zelazny
    32. Re:Not so fast... by olman · · Score: 1

      Yeah yeah. I hope at least it was good for you too.

    33. Re:Not so fast... by Tony+Hoyle · · Score: 1

      Unethical?

      I saw it happening just like you did.. and I'd give the marketing guy who pulled it together a bleedin' medal. The timing was immaculate - right before CES so that the HDDVD camp were left thrashing around and had to cancel their keynote.

      It was a move to 'end' the war, and it worked. It's over.

    34. Re:Not so fast... by RedWizzard · · Score: 1

      Except that by buying HD-DVD player you get cheap upscaling DVD player that can play HD discs as a bonus.
      Unless you're never going to buy a Blu-ray player it's still not worth it because you're just going to duplicate that functionality when you buy the Blu-ray player. You might as well put the money towards that in the first place. And if you're not interested in HD then you might as well just buy an even cheaper upscaling DVD player which doesn't play HD discs.
    35. Re:Not so fast... by Doctor_Jest · · Score: 1

      It's been said before in this thread, but I'd like to repeat it for the cheap seats.

      If having a majority of movie studios supporting your format exclusively (through money or whatever... since both sides bribed studios) is somehow a viral "marketing" campaign... I'm not sure you know what the definition of that is... Timing the press releases to come out one after another following Warner's switch is merely a good strategy.... hardly viral.

      --
      It's the Stay-Puft Marshmallow Man.
    36. Re:Not so fast... by olman · · Score: 1

      That's the catch. Decent upscaling DVD player isn't necessarily any cheaper at all.

      And if you put off purchasing BD player for a year or two you probably get a BETTER player for spending less money for the HD + BD players together than if you got BD today. ..Assuming the DRM-laden region-coding crap is prevailing in the long view (2-3 years, not 1 week sales)

    37. Re:Not so fast... by RedWizzard · · Score: 1

      That's the catch. Decent upscaling DVD player isn't necessarily any cheaper at all. I don't think we're at that point yet, though we may get there as HD-DVD continue to drop. At the moment you can get reasonable upscaling DVD players (e.g. from Philips) for about $60 and HD-DVD is still more like double that.

      And if you put off purchasing BD player for a year or two you probably get a BETTER player for spending less money for the HD + BD players together than if you got BD today. If, probably. Certainly you'll get a better player for the same or less money by waiting but that's always true. If you don't by the HD-DVD you can get the BD player sooner and since that's looking like the long term option that's going to be the preferable option for most people.

      Assuming the DRM-laden region-coding crap is prevailing in the long view (2-3 years, not 1 week sales) Ah, now you're showing a bit of bias. The majority of people claiming that HD-DVD isn't done yet seem to have something against Blu-ray. I suspect much of what they say is wishful thinking rather than reasoned analysis.
    38. Re:Not so fast... by vux984 · · Score: 1

      No. Let them fight it out until they are both obsolete. Both formats suck for the consumer, but blu-ray sucks more. (DRM is not optional, I can't release an independant movie without DRM even if I wanted to. And licensing the DRM isn't cheap either.)

      But the consumer is better off without either.

      Let them both die a laserdisc death so we can get on board with the next generation of hidef content.

    39. Re:Not so fast... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If less drive owners are buying (heh, or being given) more discs does that actually make it the PEOPLES choice? or is it just that at the time more movies were available?

      Either way, that still doesn't discount the marketing tactics bluray were using to inflate their media sales, hacking disk prices, and bundling as many discs as they could, with anything they could, that massively skew the 'sales' figures.

    40. Re:Not so fast... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      At 53% sale on Amazon blu-ray are dumping media as fast as possible to try crush their superior competition.
      I thought dumping was illegal anti-competitive behavior in the US?

    41. Re:Not so fast... by dookiesan · · Score: 1

      I never understood the motivation behind that. Why would they fly a missile into the Pentagon? The twin towers fell. That would have been plenty to justify our war on terror.

    42. Re:Not so fast... by olman · · Score: 1

      Ah, now you're showing a bit of bias. The majority of people claiming that HD-DVD isn't done yet seem to have something against Blu-ray. I suspect much of what they say is wishful thinking rather than reasoned analysis.

      Just a bit of enlightened self-interest.

      If you do not live in region-1, format with strong region coding is always a bit minus for the format. It's not just that you have to pay more to get less but you often get nothing, there are tons of titles not available in R2.

    43. Re:Not so fast... by samkass · · Score: 1

      Yes, well, supply and demand, as well as perceived value, are going to keep HD DVD cheaper until it dies. I expect HD DVD player prices to plummet even further as companies sell of remaining inventory at fire-sale prices, too.

      --
      E pluribus unum
  14. This is getting absurd by Moonpie+Madness · · Score: 0, Troll

    People like to complain that Warner stabbed HDDVD folks in the back, but this is a true stab in the back.

    These guys know it's over and are trying to squeeze the last few bucks out of this things before it's all over, so they put out crap like this to get a few suckers.

    It's bad for the industry, for their partners (except Microsoft), for the consumer, to let this format war last any longer, and it's over, so let's move on.

    These folks are starting to embarrass themselves.

    1. Re:This is getting absurd by king-manic · · Score: 2, Insightful

      People like to complain that Warner stabbed HDDVD folks in the back, but this is a true stab in the back.

      These guys know it's over and are trying to squeeze the last few bucks out of this things before it's all over, so they put out crap like this to get a few suckers.

      It's bad for the industry, for their partners (except Microsoft), for the consumer, to let this format war last any longer, and it's over, so let's move on.

      These folks are starting to embarrass themselves. I agree that HD DVD is dead. However NPD is just a market research firm. They just want to clarify that 1 week of data is nto enought o draw conclusions from. Which is a fair comment.
      --
      "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
  15. Re:netham sucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    Excellent! We attack at dawn!

  16. ^^ MOD troll down ^^ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    how does that have any relevance to the OP?

    1. Re:^^ MOD troll down ^^ by dreamchaser · · Score: 1

      It's relevant because the OP just as verifiable as the post you call a troll. The parent to your post was making a point that just because some AC on slashdot said it is so, that doesn't make it so. The OP is trolling and pretending to be an 'industry insider' and you are lapping it up like a kitten with a bowl of milk.

  17. Karma-whoring suggestion by Ethanol-fueled · · Score: 1

    HD-DVD can make a comeback. How, you ask? Make it a DRM-free format :)
     
    While I'm dreaming, I'd like an F-15.

    1. Re:Karma-whoring suggestion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      HD-DVD: At least it's region free. I can't effing believe that Sony wanted to continue the region-coding madness.

    2. Re:Karma-whoring suggestion by squiggleslash · · Score: 4, Interesting

      You laugh, but HD DVD is at least a DRM optional format like DVD. Blu-ray mandates AACS - you can't press a Blu-ray disc without AACS for some reason.

      Not that any studios are putting out AACS free HD DVD discs, but the possibility is there for any company that wants to act ethically - or that just doesn't see the onerous licensing requirements as worth the money supposedly saved by using DRM.

      And yeah, I like the fact HD DVD is region free too.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    3. Re:Karma-whoring suggestion by xero314 · · Score: 1

      You better find a reference that backs up your statement that BRDs require AACS. A little research and you will find out you are way off (Wikipedia doesn't even have a reference to support it's claims on this one). Not only is DRM not required, BRD supports multiple DRM schemes. Blu-ray does not mandate region coding and the vast majority of BRDs so far produced are Region free. Again this is an option available to the publisher not a requirement.

    4. Re:Karma-whoring suggestion by stephen70 · · Score: 1

      Dont see the point of this each side has a discount at some stage - when Tosiba had it's discounts on players they basically were loosing money or break-even too but HD-DVD complain when blu-ray is discounted they are two faced - well i noticed the HD-DVD camp have shut up about their lead in standalone players because they are either about to or have alreay lost it (you dont brag about a race you are loosing do you )!. With a lead in standalone players plus 9 million PS3 owning customers blu-ray's disk sales are far outpacing hd-dvd.
      Given the cheapest 40inch 1080P displays are thousands of dollars, the price of the player is insignificant , sony - toshiba , samsung etc make their big $$ of the displays. Saving $100 by buying an obsolete 1080i HD-DVD player is pointless the $2500 display you bought will be wasted - after buying such a nice display if you want to use it get a multiformat player or a blu-ray player and an HD-TV tuner.

      I started watching BBC's Planet Earth on blu-ray 1080P the other day it's absolutley stunning photography - i press pause and every frame is like photographic quality worthy of framing.
      Funny HD-DVD supporters were claiming that Planet Earth on HD-DVD had out sold the blu-ray version - well guess what they are very quite lately because the blu-ray verion is about to take the lead over, HD-DVD camp has another favourite claim to fame is now being owned by blu-ray.
      The disk format with the highest streaming rate and greatest storage (blu-ray) is the way to go.

    5. Re:Karma-whoring suggestion by squiggleslash · · Score: 1

      I did some Googling for "Mandatory AACS" for you, as well as examining a few disc pressing company websites. Pretty much everything that mentions the subject mentions that it's mandatory for Blu-ray (and how that affects the economics of Blu-ray disc production.) An example of a company requiring AACS licensing for Blu-ray discs is here. There's no good reason why they would be requiring it be licensed if it wasn't mandatory. The same company (just to be consistent) is showing AACS as optional for HD DVD. Are they involved in some kind of conspiracy to make Blu-ray look bad?

      It's not as good as quoting from the Blu-ray specifications themselves, but from what I can tell they're not available on the 'net. Regardless, even if the specs don't require them, everyone pressing Blu-ray discs is requiring the disc's authors license AACS.

      The fact is you're the first person I've read to claim Blu-ray doesn't require AACS be licensed for pressed discs, and so far as I can tell, you're wrong. And the fact BRD supports multiple DRM schemes really isn't relevant in the whole scheme of things: it supports multiple audio codecs too, but that doesn't mean some aren't mandatory.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
  18. Essentially by Z00L00K · · Score: 1
    Both formats are dead. Neither will come up to the level of success that DVD has had.

    Several reasons:

    • Pricing is a lot higher - higher than what the provided quality actually provides. (OK, DVD:s suffered from the same in the beginning)
    • They have competition from the classic DVD:s and need a real smash hit on blue-ray/HD-DVD only to really get going.
    • The competition from the net is a factor to count on. Today you can download and play on your PC and monitors are available at 1920/1200 for a reasonable price - which means that as soon as cameras get higher resolution your home PC is able to play...
    • The advantage of optical disks has been lost and hard disks are way ahead of the optical and solid state disks are catching up fast and will overtake the capacity of optical disks. This means that the need/use for optical disks as a backup medium is now over and this will result in a lower demand for burnable Blue-ray and HD-dvd drives/media.
    So - this is a case of shooting yourself in the foot while barking up the wrong tree.

    Anyway - the formats aren't completely dead - they are just not good enough. There will always be buyers/users, but don't expect them to be as mainstream as the DVD.

    --
    If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
    1. Re:Essentially by sakurakira · · Score: 1

      I don't quite agree that both formats are dead. I think that the transition from DVD to Blu-Ray/HD-DVD will be similar to the previous transition of VHS to DVD. Movie studios will continue to sell both for a while, and then slowly phase out the DVD. A few years ago, rental shops (Blockbuster etc) stopped carrying VHS altogether. I'm sure the cost of the players and movies themselves will be similar as time goes on. So, consumers will eventually have to make a choice: either fork over the money to buy a new player and new format discs, stay with a movie collection that gets increasingly older, or rely on internet downloads.

      True, in 10-15 years there will be another format war, and us poor consumers will be suffering again over the same choices. But I think the winner of this war will be able to reap the benefits for a few years at least.

    2. Re:Essentially by squiggleslash · · Score: 3, Informative

      I agree both formats are probably dead, but not for the reasons you state:

      1. Pricing isn't much higher for the media, only the Blu-ray players. HD DVD players right now are the same price as "ordinary" up-converting DVD players, so there's absolutely no reason to buy the latter in place of the former, even if you think HD DVD will fail. As for media: typically HD discs (I'm using that term throughout this for both HD DVDs and Blu-ray Discs) retail for about 50% more than the equivalent DVD, despite often having better additional content and higher quality sound and video. (Note I put sound first, video in so many cases isn't noticeably higher, with some prominent exceptions.
      2. Blu-ray and HD DVD players can play DVDs, so the bottom line is that you can buy either player and buy HD discs when they're worth buying and DVDs when they're not
      3. Competition from the 'net is a factor, but right now only Apple has a device that "just works" and it's still at the teething stage. It's also rental only. Some of us like to buy discs
      4. Your last point is just untrue. An 8Gb SD card costs a minimum of $50 at the moment, compared to a dual layer DVD-R which is generally much lower than a dollar. It's going to take a decade before we see 50Gb solid state drives for the lower than a dollar price (or 500Gb drives for less than $10, if you'd prefer), whereas three layer HD DVD-Rs and two layer BD-Rs will probably come in at that price within two or three years of the recorders becoming widely available. Hey, Toshiba, if you're still serious about HD DVD, start getting those recorders out.

      Here's the more probable reason why both formats will likely fail:

      The studios are largely backing Blu-ray. That means HD DVD will likely fail unless Toshiba can get a hell of a lot of players out in the next six months.

      Blu-ray cannot succeed either. The players are expensive and unlikely to come down in price. Most of the players on shelves right now are obsolete. The only player worth getting is the PS3. The PS3 is sufficiently powerful enough that the upcoming changes to the Blu-ray spec are just a matter of updating the firmware. Many standalone Blu-ray players have no internet connectivity (required for recent Blu-ray spec changes), and nothing like enough storage capacity.

      HD DVD, interestingly, doesn't have this issue. Much of the recent revisions to Blu-ray have to do with bringing it up to spec in capabilities to HD DVD. But the studios seem to be going Blu-ray. So it doesn't matter.

      I don't think consumers are going to go for either. For Blu-ray to take off, it needs cheap players - sub-$200 before there's any chance of mass market starting to take off, with sub-$100 players to truly achieve DVD-like penetration. it certainly isn't going to work with $300-500 players that you already know you'll need to replace within the year. That'll piss people off, especially when they start playing DVDs and HD discs back to back and notice that the visual quality they paid $300 for isn't that dramatic after all. Oh, sure, 2001 and Blade Runner look awesome. But anything action based isn't, and who cares if a romantic comedy is high definition?

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    3. Re:Essentially by Wdomburg · · Score: 1

      Your last point is just untrue. An 8Gb SD card costs a minimum of $50 at the moment, compared to a dual layer DVD-R which is generally much lower than a dollar

      Actually, 8GB SD cards are commonly available for $30-35 these days.

      In terms of backup, though, it's not SD cards that optical media has to contend with. Hard drives are cheaper per megabyte than either HD formats currently and even if that changes optical still sucks as a backup medium. Write speed on current burners is 9MB/s (hour and a half to write a BD50) compared to 30MB/s on a typical USB hard drive. And of course capacity is far below hard drives, even on notebook.

      Where flash comes into play is casual file transfer. A flash drive may be a bit more expensive, but as often as not you don't need the full capacity of a disc. It doesn't take an 8GB drive to hold a few drivers or pictures of your kids. And again we have a faster, more convienent, more compact medium.

      I've personally been using the same ten pack of CD-RWs for the last five years. They only get dusted off when I have a machine that doesn't support booting from USB.

    4. Re:Essentially by Charlie+Kane · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure why people would shell out big money on an HD home theater system if they lack the eyeballs to notice the difference that a sixfold increase in resolution makes, but all this "who cares if a romantic comedy is high definition?" business makes me almost as crazy as that other standby, "old movies won't look any better in HD anyway." I know that great HD versions of movies like Casablanca and Rio Bravo (some of them, at least, based on stunning 4K film transfers done at Warner Bros.) are selling poorly, and it breaks my heart. (I've downloaded "What's Opera Doc" and "One Froggy Evening" in 720p via Xbox Marketplace, and they look pretty good, too.) HD is a huge improvement on 480p DVD, and I would like to see every new movie, regardless of genre, available in the format.

      I look forward to the day when HD gear is so inexpensive that people with markedly more eccentric tastes than the current, action-and-SF-driven, demographic are picking up movies. I want Wong Kar-wai movies in HD, dammit!

    5. Re:Essentially by Malc · · Score: 1

      Ethernet is only a requirement for BDLive capable players. It's not a spec requirement for all players though. And it's nothing new - that item has been in the spec for profile 2.0 players for a long time (my copy of the BD spec from nearly two years ago has it).

    6. Re:Essentially by cookiej · · Score: 1

      Competition from the 'net is a factor, but right now only Apple has a device that "just works" and it's still at the teething stage. It's also rental only. Some of us like to buy discs
      Actually, you can BUY movies on iTunes as well. Not all, but many. But if you derive pleasure from the actual act of purchasing physical, outdated media, well, to each their own.
    7. Re:Essentially by terjeber · · Score: 1

      Most of the players on shelves right now are obsolete.

      Why? Will they stop working in the future? Will they be unable to play Blu-Ray movies? Well, the answer to the first question is that they will stop working when they break, which is the case for any electronic equipment. The answer to the second is that any Blu-Ray player you buy today will play Blu-Ray movies released in the future. They may not be able to support all the new features, such as web-browsing from within your movie, but do you need that to watch the movie?

    8. Re:Essentially by Kuciwalker · · Score: 1
      Competition from the 'net is a factor, but right now only Apple has a device that "just works" and it's still at the teething stage. It's also rental only. Some of us like to buy discs.

      Actually, you're wrong - Microsoft also has a device that "just works" in the form of the Xbox 360. I've downloaded several movies on the Live Marketplace (in HD).

    9. Re:Essentially by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hang on, so the Blu Ray is a format (and the PS3 is a player) which allows for improvements to the specification?

      Sounds sustainable, I wonder what the HD-DVD is doing...

  19. Just dreaming of Norway by Cannelloni · · Score: 3, Funny

    It not dead yet, just resting and dreaming of Norway.

    --
    Beauty is in the beholder of the eye.
    1. Re:Just dreaming of Norway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Forget Norway. It's more like Snorway.

  20. Naysayer: one who says "no" by noidentity · · Score: 1

    The NPD group [....] attempted to battle back against the tide of "naysayers" who claim that the format war is over and have declared Blu-Ray Disc the winner.

    So the naysers are saying the war is over, and the yayseyers are saying NO, the war is not over? Sounds like NPD has their terms switched.

    While select articles have implied that HD-DVD as a format is doomed and the sky is falling for the format's supporters

    In a war, when the "sky falls" for one side, it's a victory for those who aren't part of the war, in this case, the potential next-gen DVD system buyer.

    the NPD Group this afternoon reinforced that sales results from a single week do not necessarily indicate a trend

    And just because I've got chocolate all over my lips doesn't mean I've just eaten chocolate. But I have, in fact.

  21. Please!! by lantastik · · Score: 1

    Just let the format die so I can expand my library of titles by the dozens for pennies on the dollar. Fortunately even if the format goes belly up, my player will still work and I can still enjoy my existing library. ...and yes, I have a Blu-Ray player as well so whoever wins is fine with me.

  22. Black Knight by zepo1a · · Score: 4, Funny

    Blu-Ray: You fight with the strength of many men, HD-DVD. [Slashes HD-DVD's arm off]
    HD-DVD: 'Tis but a scratch.
    Blu-Ray: A scratch? Your arm's off!
    HD-DVD: No, it isn't.
    BLU-RAY: Victory is mine! We thank Thee Lord, that in Thy mer--
    HD-DVD: Hah! [kick] Come on, then. Have at you!

    1. Re:Black Knight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think that brilliant scene captures this entire war in a nutshell.

      Good show ol' chap.

    2. Re:Black Knight by Dunbal · · Score: 2, Funny

      And I, on the other hand, invoke Godwin.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  23. It's not dead by Bootarn · · Score: 1

    As late as yesterday I read in a popular swedish computer magazine that Asus is producing an internal HD-DVD player, so at least Asus is confident that it's not dead.
    Let's wait and see...

  24. The exact term is : Agonizing by jean-guy69 · · Score: 1

    Since the introduction of Blu-Ray, it consistently won marketshare from HD-DVD, it went from zilch to two-thirds of the market during 2007.

    According to Nielsen, for the week ending January 20th, Blu-Ray disc sales accounted for 83% of the high definition market. (http://www.blu-ray.com/news/?id=893)

    Now that major companies like Warner recognize the situation and give up on HD DVD, that 5 about 6 HD Media sold are Blu-Ray, how could we reasonabily think that it could be reversed ?

    Les jeux sont faits.

  25. Is HD-DVD only mostly dead? by john82 · · Score: 1
    This sounds very familiar...

    Miracle Max: It just so happens that your friend here is only mostly dead. There's a big difference between mostly dead and all dead. Mostly dead is slightly alive. With all dead, well, with all dead there's usually only one thing you can do.
    Inigo Montoya: What's that?
    Miracle Max: Go through his clothes and look for loose change. Thanks a big tip o' the hat to The Princess Bride.
    1. Re:Is HD-DVD only mostly dead? by Loconut1389 · · Score: 1

      one of my favorite movies for some reason. inconceivable!

    2. Re:Is HD-DVD only mostly dead? by bubulubugoth · · Score: 1

      mod parent up!

      --
      Â_Â
  26. Low video rate by HalAtWork · · Score: 1

    I pretty much like it less because it's a lossy HD format that has a lower video bitrate. If we're going lossy here, I want the highest bitrate possible. This is HD, we're not supposed to see artifacts anymore. I want to see the least amount possible. I really don't care that it doesn't have a DVD side, I don't care about any interactive features, I just want a really good looking movie.

  27. The war is over. by foxtrot · · Score: 3, Funny

    You can talk about sales rates or attach rates or how much shelf space is dedicated to blue boxes as opposed to red boxes, you can talk about technical merit or political merit, you can talk about studios committing to or being bought out by one side or another. You can talk about all number of things, but I know the war is over.

    Blu-ray wins. I know this to be true.

    I know this because sitting on the shelf underneath my teevee is a Toshiba HD-A3.

  28. This is why by willbry · · Score: 0, Troll

    I'm not touching either HD DVD or Blu-Ray. One has to be completely dead before I invest in the other.

    I'll stick with my DVD Upconvert player for now (http://dvdupconvert.wordpress.com/).

  29. Obligatory Monty Python Reference by slipnslidemaster · · Score: 1

    Blue-Ray: Bring out yer dead.
    Consumers: Here's one.
    Blue-Ray: That'll be ninepence.
    HD-DVD: I'm not dead.
    Blue-Ray: What?
    Consumers: Nothing. There's your ninepence.
    HD-DVD: I'm not dead.
    Blue-Ray: 'Ere, he says he's not dead.
    Consumers: Yes he is.
    HD-DVD: I'm not.
    Blue-Ray: He isn't.
    Consumers: Well, he will be soon, he's very ill.
    HD-DVD: I'm getting better.
    Consumers: No you're not, you'll be stone dead in a moment.
    Blue-Ray: Well, I can't take him like that. It's against regulations.
    HD-DVD: I don't want to go on the cart.
    Consumers: Oh, don't be such a baby.
    Blue-Ray: I can't take him.
    HD-DVD: I feel fine.
    Consumers: Oh, do me a favor.
    Blue-Ray: I can't.
    Consumers: Well, can you hang around for a couple of minutes? He won't be long.
    Blue-Ray: I promised I'd be at the Robinsons'. They've lost nine today.
    Consumers: Well, when's your next round?
    Blue-Ray: Thursday.
    HD-DVD: I think I'll go for a walk.
    Consumers: You're not fooling anyone, you know. Isn't there anything you could do?
    HD-DVD: I feel happy. I feel happy.
    [Blue-Ray glances up and down the street furtively, then silences HD-DVD with his a whack of his club]
    Consumers: Ah, thank you very much.
    Blue-Ray: Not at all. See you on Thursday.
    Consumers: Right.

    --


    "What the hell is an aluminum falcon?"
  30. A little biased, are we? by jonadab · · Score: 1

    You know, this could be just me, but it seems at least vaguely conceivable that the NPD group could potentially be somewhat biased in this matter. In the absense of any independent analysts agreeing with them, I am tempted to give greater weight to the various third parties reporting the opposite view. Not that I'd want to make a snap judgement or anything...

    --
    Cut that out, or I will ship you to Norilsk in a box.
  31. But disc sales have collapsed also... by DumbSwede · · Score: 1

    I am a Blu-Ray supporter, but it isn't just last week's hardware sales that where down -- HD-DVD disc sales have plummeted as well for the last two weeks, loosing by more than 5:1 for both weeks. You might get a bump in hardware sales as players are slashed to ridiculously low closeout prices, but the war is over. Lots of people will pick them up as upconverting dvd players and then buy dirt cheep discs on Ebay as some people try to unload their HD-DVD collections, but you will never see HD-DVD get past a 1/3 market share ever for a single week of new HD disc sales for the next two months, and after that they'll be lucky to ever do 1/10. They been struggling for over a year just to stay in the 2:1 ballpark and didn't manage a single week win in 2007.

    This is just the excuse Target and Wal*Mart have needed to just stock 1 format and end buyer confusion.

    1. Re:But disc sales have collapsed also... by Tony+Hoyle · · Score: 1

      At the moment it's cheaper to buy and HD-A3 and 5 free movies than 5 HDDVD movies (based on an average price of $33 per movie, which is the amazon average according the eproductwars).

      So Toshiba are basically giving the things away now.

  32. On the contrary... by greenreaper · · Score: 1

    Anonymous Coward is the most respected poster on this site!

  33. Xbox by Vertana · · Score: 0

    I don't know if piracy is a big winner, but I think Sony was smart putting the BR Player in their Playstation 3's. Microsoft should have put HD-DVD Players in the Xbox 360. While it would have turned some people off of the 360, the vast majority would have said well since my Xbox can play HD-DVD's I might as buy them since they are better than regular DVD's anyway. That alone would have boosted sales tremendously and made it a real threat to Blue Ray.

    --
    "The best way to accelerate a Macintosh is at 9.8m/sec^2" -Marcus Dolengo
  34. Blu-ray kills indie content by mrbah · · Score: 0

    Independent studios rely on DVD releases for profitability. As high definition becomes the standard for content quality, consumers will be more and more averse to buying content on what they see as the "old" DVD format. But unlike with DVD and HD DVD where independents have the option to sell DRM-free discs when they can't afford the gargantuan licensing costs, Blu-ray's mandatory AACS effectively prevents them from being able to sell high definition optical discs, relegating them to the "old" and "low-rent" standard definition DVD format and ultimately snuffing them out as less and less consumers buy DVDs.

  35. The format is dead if Wal-Mart says it is. by COMICAGOGO · · Score: 1

    OK, I had to go into (ugh) a Wal-mart just a few hours ago (in my town they are literally the only store open before 9AM, that sells any kind of car products. Unless I want to pay a gas station $100 dollars a gallon for oil.)

    I was lured into the electronics dept. by a big wall of shiny things. I happened to notice that they had their HD-DVD and Blu-Ray movies set up on the end of one of the isles. I asked one of the passing mouth-breathers with a wally world badge if this was all of the HD movies they had, to which he replied that this was indeed the entire selection.

    The display consisted of about 8 columns and and 10 rows, I think. Blu-Ray had fully 6 of the columns and part of another. HD-DVD shared the rest of the space with some valentines day movies.

    I decided to look at the selection of hardware that was available for each format. There were two Blu-Ray players (three if you count the PS3's in the video game section.) HD-DVD had exactly one player on offer. They did not even carry the Xbox 360 add on HD-DVD drive anymore. It was true that the HD-DVD player had had its price slashed, but I noticed that the Sony Blu-Ray player had also been marked down by $100.

    The point of this little story is that unfortunately Wal-Mart has a huge influence on the average American. I know a lot of people that spend most of their shopping dollars at the store (not because they like it, but because they have shitty jobs that don't pay them enough to shop anywhere else.) If either of these two formats is ever going to become more than a niche product it becomes very very important for them to have the support of the large retailers. The fact that it looks like Wal-Mart is squeezing HD-DVD off the shelves means that if the format isn't dead already then it is not too healthy.

    Of course the Blu-Ray section was not too large either, unless you count the PS3 games (they are Blu-Ray discs, do we have to count them?)

  36. People, Get a Clue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "...you can't press a Blu-ray disc without AACS for some reason."

    The reason is obvious: AACS is expensive, and so mandating this requirement means that the big companies (Warner, Sony etc) have made it impractical/impossible for their smaller competitors to join the hi-def home entertainment market.

  37. with regards to blu ray updates by TheAxeMaster · · Score: 1

    I would think Sony (and others) could do it just like they do for the PSP: Put the latest firmware required to play that disc specifically on that disc. Update and done. I don't know about checking keys and whatnot, but if the player itself needed an update, it could easily be done that way. I do agree that the amount of updates for blu ray and making the older players obsolete already due to changing spec is highly annoying. Dear Blu Ray: People don't want to waste hundreds of dollars, crazy, I know...

  38. HD DVD will win by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    as long as hd-dvd players are half the price of blu-ray, hd-dvd will win...i don't give a crap what studios SAY they will use. if no one is buying blu-ray, they will switch.

    the hd-dvd players seem like a huge value to me. they're half the price of blu-ray. they allow me to watch a new high-def format, and THEY WILL UPCONVERT MY CURRENT DVD COLLECTION so that I don't have to replace them all at once or maybe even at all.

    if consumers buy more hd-dvd players than blu-ray players and studios still stay blu-ray only, that is very depressing because it means that their is no consumer power.

  39. HD-DVD was dead before Warner announcement. by guidryp · · Score: 1

    Some little details that show HD-DVD was aldready dead.

    Weeks before the announcement, they did not even capture 50% of the hardware sales. That is with much cheaper players and excluding the PS3.

    Look at the hardware at CES, which has nothing to do with Warner announcement, everyone and there dog was building a Blu Ray machine. Toshiba was alone against the industry on their sinking ship.

    The Warner announcement is just the final nail in the coffin. The booth shots were hilarious, you could almost hear the crickets in the HD-DVD booth.

  40. Who cares if a romantic comedy is high definition? by aibrahim · · Score: 1

    Guys care.

    After all when your woman "gets you" to watch one of those the only ameliorating element is the (usually) hot female love interest.

    You might as well see her clearly.

    This same reasoning leads to an understanding of the high definition release of certain films. (Into the Blue, I'm looking at you.)

    --

    Don't post innacurate information
    If you do, I swear by my pretty floral bonnet I will end you.
  41. Futureproof the discs by Xian97 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    HD DVD has the ability to press a DVD and HD DVD on a disc. I would start including the HD DVD version on every standard DVD. Anyone that doesn't have an HDTV but is planning on getting one sometime in the future can still continue to build their DVD collection, and then enjoy them in HD when they upgrade. That will also provide an incentive to upgrade.

    There are still a lot of people out there that do not have the equipment to play either Blu-Ray or HD DVD. Since I work in the tech field, most of my coworkers do, but there are only two of us in my neighborhood that have HDTV. I am the only one in my immediate family that has HDTV as well. Not having to worry about your DVD collection being obsolete by having the HD DVD version as well would be a good selling point.

  42. Better... by SanityInAnarchy · · Score: 1

    I do still hope HD-DVD is somehow alive, but I fear it's more like this:

    HD-DVD: Microsoft always triumphs! Have at you! Come on, then.
    [whop]
    [Blu-Ray chops HD-DVD's last studio off]

    HD-DVD: Oh? All right, we'll call it a draw.
    Blu-Ray: Come, Warner.
    HD-DVD: Oh. Oh, I see. Running away, eh? You yellow bastards! Come back here and take what's coming to you. I'll bite your Heroes off!

    --
    Don't thank God, thank a doctor!
  43. This promotion is not the cause of HD DVDs woes by DrXym · · Score: 1
    You might expect some HD TV / Blu Ray promotion to affect sales a little bit, but the truth is that in the week past HD DVD sales didn't just dip, they didn't just sag, they didn't just slump. They COLLAPSED.

    Here is a link that provides the raw sales data. HD DVD sales nosedived from 14,558 players sold to 1,758. Sales were just 12% of the week before. 1,758 players sold is simply pathetic and if this continues a few more weeks and the format just isn't viable. It wouldn't surprise me if more HD DVD players were returned than sold last week.

    Maybe there was a small affect by the HD TV promotion but its fairly obvious that Warner's announcement followed by the disastrous showing by HD DVD at CES were the main causes.

    The next few weeks are going to be interesting. I expect we'll see some minor recovery as stores try to shift remaining stock at bargain prices but this really looks like the end. Maybe Toshiba knows it too and is just saying nothing while the channels are cleared out. And it can't come a moment too soon since this is probably the make or break year for HD storage to go mainstream.

  44. Toshiba is Japanese for Lemon by aristotle-dude · · Score: 1

    Toshiba is Japanese for lemon. Why else would then have a lemon on all of their ads behind their logo? Do a search for Toshiba and Lemon and you will come up with a lot of hits.

    --
    Jesus was a compassionate social conservative who called individuals to sin no more.
  45. 50% more is WAY too much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why would consumers buy HD-DVDs *or* Blu-ray disks for "50% more" than the current price of DVDs?

    Consumers largely DON'T CARE about the higher resolutions or the supposed extra stuff. They just want to watch the fucking movie. Consumers also know that the new formats will have EVEN MORE unskippable commercials and technologically unnecessary DRM-problems.

    In short, we get practically no additional value out of a HD-DVD or Blu-ray movie. DVDs are bloody good enough. Until the new formats are actually *cheaper* than typical DVD prices, they are not going to see widespread adoption.

  46. Iraqi Information Minister by wiredlogic · · Score: 1

    It's good to see that the Iraqi Information Minister has found a new job.

    --
    I am becoming gerund, destroyer of verbs.
  47. Wait! by erexx23 · · Score: 1

    Save Farscape!

  48. I'm not dead yet. by chaz373 · · Score: 1

    The NPD group, owners of the not-quite-as-popular-as-they-had-hoped HD-DVD format should remove their tinfoil hats, the party is over.

    --
    There is no security when liberty is sacrificed.
  49. Not quite... by Agram · · Score: 1

    OK, so how do you explain that on the Amazon site best selling DVD players including traditional DVD players, HD-DVD, and Blu Ray the three versions of HD-DVD player hold 1st, 3rd, and 5th place and have been holding there ever since Toshiba slashed prices? Currently there is only one Blu Ray player in the top 10 list and it is on the 9th place and dropping. Don't believe me? Check it out for yourself:

    http://www.amazon.com/gp/bestsellers/electronics/172514/ref=pd_ts_e_nav

    Now, you can either claim that there are a lot of dumb people out there buying a dying technology or look at it from the opposite perspective: that there is a growing number of people out there who do not believe the PR hype of media or the Internet any more, which would make them, well, quite smart, no? While second option sounds a lot more hopeful, I am not holding my breath. Yet, unless Toshiba has bribed Amazon to skew the stats (for which I currently have no reason to believe), figures in the link above sure paint a different image of the current situation.

    Another thing that comes into mind based on my brief exploration of the Blu Ray and HD-DVD movie libraries (I haven't invested in either yet), I must say that apart from Pixar, currently HD-DVD has a lot more titles that are worth getting (HD or not).

    1. Re:Not quite... by DrXym · · Score: 1
      OK, so how do you explain that on the Amazon site best selling DVD players including traditional DVD players, HD-DVD, and Blu Ray the three versions of HD-DVD player hold 1st, 3rd, and 5th place and have been holding there ever since Toshiba slashed prices?

      I explain it as Amazon enormously discounting HD DVD players. As you said, Toshiba slashed prices and tossed in some more movies. This no longer even qualifies as subsidizing a format so much as trying to get rid of it. A firesale in other words.

      Now, you can either claim that there are a lot of dumb people out there buying a dying technology or look at it from the opposite perspective: that there is a growing number of people out there who do not believe the PR hype of media or the Internet any more, which would make them, well, quite smart, no?

      Either or? Actually I have another answer. It's so good a sale that I expect many buyers rationalize their purchases thusly - hey I'm getting 7 movies and a player for $150 so even if the format tanks I'm still left with a reasonable upscaling DVD player. Which is fair enough but it doesn't mean the format is winning. And it isn't winning, not by a long shot.

      Now I have no idea if Amazon is included in NPD data - it probably isn't. But this sale that you refer to is just what I mentioned in my original post. I do expect a minor recovery, but only due to the enormous discounting going on to get rid of stock in the retail channels.

      Another thing that comes into mind based on my brief exploration of the Blu Ray and HD-DVD movie libraries (I haven't invested in either yet), I must say that apart from Pixar, currently HD-DVD has a lot more titles that are worth getting (HD or not).

      I can't say either format has rocked my boat yet. But if I had to choose which studio I was most interested in titles from it would be Warner / New Line and that's now Blu Ray exclusive.

    2. Re:Not quite... by Agram · · Score: 1

      I don't think this is a fire sale just yet. Perhaps an overreaction to marketing FUD, but at least a good one for the end user at that. And here's why:

      Let's do some math. Each top selling player also gets 7 freebie movies. How many movies do you think will fly off the shelves in the coming weeks to cover this demand?

      On the flip side if all these new customers are getting 7 new movies, what is the likelihood of them immediately picking up another movie? This certainly could explain a sharp drop in HD-DVD purchases, no? Yes, Toshiba might be bleeding money, but in terms of hard numbers, it is very unlikely that the numbers reported for the week in question will hold any value whatsoever...

      Also consider that an average consumer who has been exposed to benefits of HD (either Blu Ray or HD-DVD) will be much more likely a returning customer, thus again reinforcing the HD-DVD user base.

      I don't think this war is over just yet.

  50. Brave? No. Intrigued by high def? Yes. by Xest · · Score: 2, Informative

    "An undecided buyer would have to be pretty brave to bet on HD-DVD at this point."

    Why is that? You can get an HD-DVD player now with 7 films for the same price as 7 bluray films without a player here in the UK. The Bluray player costs an extra £250 on top so that's a pretty big difference for now. Even if HD-DVDs stop being produced you've still got 7 high def films and a nice upscaling DVD player.

    Even if HD-DVD is dead, the current deal on Toshiba's low end player is hard to argue against because you don't actually lose anything by going for the offer, but you gain arguably the cheapest entry option into true HD content.

    It's one of those things you can buy if you're interested in high def and win or lose, it doesn't really matter. Even when the system eventually dies if HD-DVD is gone then you'll have still got a nice life out of it and the free DVDs will be cheap enough to re-buy in another format for a couple of £ or so if you liked them enough. It'll probably also be enough to keep you going until Bluray drives become more reasonably priced even if you rent movies.

    Essentially the current cost of Toshiba's HD-DVD drive and the free HD-DVDs can act as a no-risk bridge for those wanting high-def content but not being willing to buy a Bluray drive right now.

  51. The difference is dramatic by daBass · · Score: 1

    That'll piss people off, especially when they start playing DVDs and HD discs back to back and notice that the visual quality they paid $300 for isn't that dramatic after all. Oh, sure, 2001 and Blade Runner look awesome. But anything action based isn't, and who cares if a romantic comedy is high definition?

    I have downloaded a fair few 4mbit x264 Blu-Ray/HDDVD rips and been playing them back on my Sharp 37" 720p via HDMI from my MacBook Pro and lately a HTPC. I also have a very nice $400 upscaling DVD player. Comparing the two, the (PAL) DVDs are no match for the downloaded files, the difference in detail is dramatic - especially action movies like Batman Begins and Casino Royale. But even a comedy like Death at a Funeral, which I watched in HD last night, is much nicer to look at. And don't get me started on the BBC's "Planet Earth" in HD! I can only imagine watching the original HD discs on a proper player will be even better - especially when you go 1080p on a larger screen.

    Of course the content is the most important, but a very clear, detailed picture is a very nice thing to have. Unfortunately, it is not worth paying 50% more on the discs for. Luckily, I rarely buy movies anymore; I use rental-by-post and my service has an ever growing range of HD titles in both formats.

    Now all I am waiting for is a clear winner in the wars and the manufacturers to stop ripping us of here in Australia by wanting us to pay 50% more for a first-gen player than they are asking for 2nd-gen players in the US...

    As for you point 3 above, as long as there is DRM, you can not buy a movie or music, only rent. Sure iTunes says you can buy music, but really it is just a really long rental until the service is discontinued and there are no more servers to authorize your computer for playback. And don't think it unlikely; see Google Video "sales" as a prime example. (at least people got their money back) The best you can hope for is that just before shutting down the service they give you a utility to strip the files of DRM. Otherwise you'll be shafted.
  52. HD-DVD's last moments by Brad1138 · · Score: 1

    CART MASTER: Ninepence.
    HD DVD: I'm not dead!
    CART MASTER: What?
    CUSTOMER: Nothing. Here's your ninepence.
    HD DVD: I'm not dead!
    CART MASTER: 'Ere. He says he's not dead!
    CUSTOMER: Yes, he is.
    HD DVD: I'm not!
    CART MASTER: He isn't?
    CUSTOMER: Well, he will be soon. He's very ill.
    HD DVD: I'm getting better!
    CUSTOMER: No, you're not. You'll be stone dead in a moment.
    CART MASTER: Oh, I can't take him like that. It's against regulations.
    HD DVD: I don't want to go on the cart!
    CUSTOMER: Oh, don't be such a baby.
    CART MASTER: I can't take him.
    HD DVD: I feel fine!
    CUSTOMER: Well, do us a favour.
    CART MASTER: I can't.
    CUSTOMER: Well, can you hang around a couple of minutes? He won't be long.
    CART MASTER: No, I've got to go to the Robinsons'. They've lost nine today.
    CUSTOMER: Well, when's your next round?
    CART MASTER: Thursday.
    HD DVD: I think I'll go for a walk.
    CUSTOMER: You're not fooling anyone, you know. Look. Isn't there something you can do?
    HD DVD: [singing] I feel happy. I feel happy. [whop]
    CUSTOMER: Ah, thanks very much.
    CART MASTER: Not at all. See you on Thursday.

    --
    If you could reason with religious people, there would be no religious people
  53. It'll be stone dead in a moment. by TPJ-Basin · · Score: 1

    NT

    --
    TPJ - Founder, The Amazon Basin
  54. Just how many weeks then? by pl1ght · · Score: 1

    Sales were 85/15 in favor of BD last week.

    This week they were 83/17 in favor of BD. and Hardware sales went to 93% in favor of Blu-Ray on the standalone front.
    How many weeks will this have to go on before the NPD will declare it dead?

  55. Just pick one, will ya! by it_begins · · Score: 1

    Just pick one, will ya!

  56. That is a lie, AACS not required. by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    If AACS is required, you couldn't burn your own media - why then are Dell and Sony and Apple backing the format? People who make HD camcorders and computers with movie producing programs?

    Find one shred of proof that what you say is true.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:That is a lie, AACS not required. by squiggleslash · · Score: 1

      How, exactly, are you planning to "burn" a pressed Blu-ray disc?

      I said pressed for a reason. Blu-ray makes AACS compulsory on pressed Blu-ray media. The format of recordable media is slightly different.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
  57. Facts are so inconvenient. by Enahs · · Score: 1

    Not too many people have complained that the Slashdot writeup gets it almost completely wrong...

    I for one applaud the NPD Group's efforts to make sure people understand their figures, and understand the trends at work here; unfortunately, Slashdot once again proves that consumers and techies don't like to be bothered with fact.

    --
    Stating on Slashdot that I like cheese since 1997.
  58. Talk about missing the point by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 1

    The answer to the three questions were, MS, Sony, BOTH!

    It wasn't really all that difficult to figure out. MS is a convicted monopolist, Sony (Well Sony/BMG) put a rootkit with their product and BOTH have always tried to force their own products instead of standards.

    Learn to read.

    --

    MMO Quests are like orgasms:

    You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.