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New Photos Show 'Devastating' Ice Loss On Everest

Simmeh writes "The BBC reports on new photos of the Himalayas taken from exactly the same position as ones from 1929 and compares the ice coverage. The Asia Society, which did the groundwork, are quoted as saying, 'If the present rate of melting continues, many of these glaciers will be severely diminished by the middle of this century.' I guess the previous claim wasn't too unrealistic."

895 comments

  1. Easier for denialists by colinrichardday · · Score: 5, Funny

    But won't this make it easier for AGW denialists to climb Everest?

    1. Re:Easier for denialists by PinkyGigglebrain · · Score: 1, Informative

      AGW.

      What, who?

      Please, if your using a TLA add a link so those of us who are not into whatever it is your talking about can find out what the Fsck your talking about.

      Thank you.

    2. Re:Easier for denialists by DWMorse · · Score: 4, Funny

      A little mental parsing and I've come up with 'Alien Galactic Weasels.' I can see how being in denial about such things can be devastating to one's capacity to ascend mountain peaks.

      --
      There's a spot in User Info for World of Warcraft account names? Really?
    3. Re:Easier for denialists by Rakshasa+Taisab · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Holocaust and AGW denialists are equally high on the nutcase ladder, the former merely have better financial support.

      --
      - These characters were randomly selected.
    4. Re:Easier for denialists by JWSmythe · · Score: 4, Funny

          I believe AGW is "Anti-George-W", in reference to the previous president. Alternatively, it would be "Anti-Global-Warming". Expanding it, "Anti Global Warming Denialists" makes an interesting double negative. I suppose that would be someone who denies that anti global warming activists exist, but I could be mistaken.

      --
      Serious? Seriousness is well above my pay grade.
    5. Re:Easier for denialists by BrokenHalo · · Score: 1

      Posting as AC, since YOU are trolling and I'm too drunk to login.

      If you are too drunk to login, then just who is trolling around here?

    6. Re:Easier for denialists by zmollusc · · Score: 5, Funny

      I, for one,...

      --
      They whose government reduces their essential liberties for temporary security, receive neither liberty nor security.
    7. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You lost me at "I believe"

    8. Re:Easier for denialists by colinrichardday · · Score: 3, Informative

      Anthropogenic Global Warming.

    9. Re:Easier for denialists by DarkKnightRadick · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      If he's too drunk to login, just how is it that his spelling and grammar are superior to most sober folks around here? Or that he could use caps properly for grammar and emphasis? Seriously. I don't think s/he's drunk. Just too lazy to login. :p

      --
      "There is a way that seems right to a man, but its end is the way of death." Proverbs 16:25 (NKJV)
    10. Re:Easier for denialists by colinrichardday · · Score: 1

      I wasn't trolling; I was saying that here is more evidence for Anthropogenic Global Warming denialists to evade.

    11. Re:Easier for denialists by timmarhy · · Score: 1, Insightful
      why is it when I point to localised evidence of cooling as proof AGW is bullshit, AGW supporters give me a line about global temps being the only valid data. but when there's some local event like ice melting on a mountain, it's considered rockhard evidence by AGW supporters?!

      i'll tell you why. it's because most of popular climate change "science" isn't worth the paper it's printed on, and it's agenda is run by hypocrites.

      --
      If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
    12. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Hello! I am the AC in question! :)

      Quite simply, my friend, I am a drunkard. I have much practice typing while intoxicated.

    13. Re:Easier for denialists by timmarhy · · Score: 2, Informative

      the fact that you think this is actually evidence is all anti AGW people need to prove their point....

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      If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
    14. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Another key difference is that Holocaust denialists are just as nutty, but they're pretty much harmless, and it's only other nutcases pulling their strings.

      You can't be serious about this can you? Holocaust deniers are usually linked to extremist groups of varying stripes.

      The people pulling the denialists' strings are trying to stop serious action on an issue that is somewhere between "serious" and "catastrophic", and through inaction they are making the latter much more likely than otherwise.

      Stop serious action? The only serious actions I know of in regard to global warming are those that will a) make some people some serious money, and b) cause some serious changes in our lifesyles for the worse, i.e. lots of us have to live like peasants while a privileged few of us get rich because of the laws and regulations that make the rest of us live like peasants.

      Compared to that I'll take the serious or catastrophic consequences of global warming, should they come to pass, thank you very much. At least those will be equal opportunity changes since Mother Nature and the Universe don't discriminate when it comes time to bring the pain to those unworthy to survive.

    15. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Drill, baby, drill!

    16. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Hello! I'm the drunk AC.

      My initial response was based on a reflexive reaction to the word "denialist". Like most people, whenever I see the word I think of "Holocaust denialism" and the lunatic fringe that attempt to deny the horrible crime that happened to the Jewish people during WWII. I'm saddened and disappointed whenever supporters of the environment attempt to use the word to attack reasonable people that question whether, or to what degree, man effects the environment and the climate in general.

      Not truly, simply annoyed. And drunk. ;D

    17. Re:Easier for denialists by techno-vampire · · Score: 0
      it's agenda is run by hypocrites.

      I've always thought it was more hubris. It takes quite a bit of arrogance to believe that humanity can change the Earth's climate that much, that fast.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    18. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

      You have as much credibility as those who deny the fact of evolution.

      Seriously dude. What's it like to be so arrogantly ignorant, and so gullible that you swallow the same bullshit from the same bullshit artists that brought you (literally funded by the same people) that cigarette smoking is healthy and doesn't cause cancer (from the 50's)?

      The fact that tens of thousands of scientists the world over, across disciplines, examining independent data, all come to the same conclusion... you reject their findings as some sort of global, multi-national conspiracy of lies. Yet you belive hook, line, and sinker the conclusions of fossil-fuel-funded 'think tanks', and side with Glenn Beck on this issue? Really?

      That's just sad and pathetic. And really not something you should be broadcasting.

    19. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, or split the atom, or land on the moon.

    20. Re:Easier for denialists by Capsaicin · · Score: 5, Insightful

      "Denialists"? Are you talking about people that deny the Holocaust happened or objective, independent people that question whether man is to blame for "global warming"?

      Denalism is by no means limited to Holocaust denial. Along with AIDS denialism, flat-earthism, tobacco denialism and AGW denialism, holocaust denial is merely a species of denialism. For it to be classified as denialism (as opposed to scepticism, for instance), it must involve the outright refusal to accept an empirically verifiable reality, as we can witness with both Holocaust or AGW denial.

      Denialism also refers to a set of rhetorical strategies used to create the impression of uncertainty where none exists. Unsurprisingly perhaps, these bear a strong resemblance across the various species of denialism.

      --
      Better to be despised for too anxious apprehensions, than ruined by too confident a security. --Edmund Burke
    21. Re:Easier for denialists by Vintermann · · Score: 1, Insightful

      why is it when I point to localised evidence of cooling as proof AGW is bullshit, AGW supporters give me a line about global temps being the only valid data.

      What? No, not at all. If you show me a glacier has gained as much mass since 1921 as this one has lost, I'm paying attention, I promise. If it's just local variation, there should be plenty of them.

      (Oh, don't try to pull the classic denialist trick of going for area instead of volume.)

      --
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    22. Re:Easier for denialists by hairyfeet · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Let us say, just for the sake of argument, that the AGWers are correct. What do you expect us to do? Don't say "cap and trade" because it is a scam that will kill the economy while making billionaires out of those pushing it (surprise surprise) and the cost of converting just the USA to electric cars would probably break us, if the production could even be ramped up that high. Not to mention simple logic states that cars that run on massive batteries won't last for shit in places like the south, where the heat and humidity will kill them dead quickly.

      So I'd love to hear a solution other than "line the pockets of Wall street leeches and Al Gore", because I honestly haven't heard anything else from the AGW camp. The simple fact is after years of searching we simply haven't found anything with the energy density of oil, and short of wiping out a good 60% of the world's population and going back to a pre-industrial society I don't see anything on the board that will cause any real change. After all China and India will tell you where to put your cap and trade, along with the rest of the third world, and the resulting shift as what remaining businesses jump overseas to avoid cap and trade will make outsourcing look pleasant by comparison. And with 2 wars and record deficits along with high unemployment is isn't like Americans could afford cap and trade anyway, unless you want the fed to just tack it onto our already insane debt.

      So unless we come up with some magical McGuffin to fix it, I really don't see it making much of a difference. We simply don't have the money or resources to change our current direction ATM, and the last thing any politician will do right now is stick thousands more on the average Joe in electric and fuel bills in an economy that is starting to smell like death. So I'd really like to hear some real solutions, because cap and trade will be about as helpful as "too big to fail" was in the long run.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    23. Re:Easier for denialists by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      why is it when I point to localised evidence of cooling as proof AGW is bullshit, AGW supporters give me a line about global temps being the only valid data. but when there's some local event like ice melting on a mountain, it's considered rockhard evidence by AGW supporters?!

      Because you are trying to use anecdote in place of data. These people place anecdotes in the context of data.

      i'll tell you why. it's because most of popular climate change "science" isn't worth the paper it's printed on, and it's agenda is run by hypocrites.

      No. It's because you suffer from cognitive dissonance, and any evidence that clashes with your current world view merely reinforces it. In other words, you are walking case example of neuroscience at work.

      --
      Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
    24. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you show me a glacier has gained as much mass since 1921 as this one has lost.

      No worries. We can photoshop these glacier snaps anyway you want. ;)

    25. Re:Easier for denialists by colinrichardday · · Score: 2, Informative
    26. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hello! I am the AC in question! :)

      Quite simply, my friend, I am a drunkard. I have much practice typing while intoxicated.

      another self-important AC who's going to have a headache in the morning

    27. Re:Easier for denialists by colinrichardday · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I don't know about Waxman's district, but his cosponsor's (Markey (MA)) district has some very low-lying land (sea-level).

      Let us say, just for the sake of argument, that the AGWers are correct. What do you expect us to do?

      The very raising of the problem may well encourage people to solve it.

      The simple fact is after years of searching we simply haven't found anything with the energy density of oil, and short of wiping out a good 60% of the world's population and going back to a pre-industrial society I don't see anything on the board that will cause any real change.

      And if we do nothing we may suffer that population loss anyway.

    28. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As your nick indicates, your brain is neutron-bombed. See if you can go get a brain transplant. Not necessary for yapping at slashdot, though.

    29. Re:Easier for denialists by Capsaicin · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I've always thought it was more hubris. It takes quite a bit of arrogance to believe that humanity can change the Earth's climate that much, that fast.

      So your line of thinking is: Because it is arrogant to believe humanity can affect the Earth's climate, the climate data, statistics or the statistical models incorporating the data must be wrong. Have I got you right?

      Cool, science just got so much easier, no more nasty maths to deal with for a start. You don't even need to consider the actual volume of the troposphere, the concentration of various gases it contains, their change over time, the volume of CO2 release by fossil fuel use or any of that crazy empirical evidence stuff. We can just run science on a sense of moral outrage and gut feeling. Yeah!

      --
      Better to be despised for too anxious apprehensions, than ruined by too confident a security. --Edmund Burke
    30. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because you are trying to use anecdote in place of data. These people place anecdotes in the context of data.

      Except when they delete the data in a trick to hide the decline.

    31. Re:Easier for denialists by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Except when you deliberately ignore context to perpetuate a zombie lie.

    32. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, denialist is right.
      You might as well point to the objective, independent people that question whether the Holocaust occurred. Neither actually exist.

      You are confusing two classes of people. The "objective and independent" from the "objective, independent and well-informed." I see no difficulty in there existing objective, independent and ignorant people who deny the reality of AGW.

    33. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "So your line of thinking is: Because it is arrogant to believe humanity can affect the Earth's climate, the climate data, statistics or the statistical models incorporating the data must be wrong. Have I got you right?"

      Basically, yes. "Statistics" != "Science". "Statistics" of the type used in fnord global-warming fnord "research" fnord is what we delicately refer to as "total bullshit", being similar to those used in notable "sciences" like sociology. If you would like *real* statistics, look at the stats used in real sciences, like P-chem and thermodynamics. Those are "real" statistics.

      HTH, HAND.

    34. Re:Easier for denialists by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 1, Insightful

      The plural of anecdote is not data. Furthermore, you want to be careful playing that game - because otherwise, we just had proof that global warming is real.

      The sun is known to be a driver. About 25% or so of what's known as the overall temperature forcing. It's in the IPCC report, if you want to read more about it. CO2 is a driver and water vapor is not because water vapor follows the temperature, not the other way around. In other words, as temperatures go up, water vapor concentration rises. As temperatures go down, water vapor condenses into rain. CO2, on the other hand, only forces temperatures up, temperatures don't influence CO2 concentrations (neglecting for a second second and third-order effects like plant growth). That's why CO2 concentrations are important in modeling long-term temperature fluctuations, and water vapor is not.

      Anything else I can explain to you that has been known for about 100 years or so? The fact that you don't know these points, yet participate in these discussions, indicates that you are aware of them, but choose to ignore them.

      --
      Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
    35. Re:Easier for denialists by L4t3r4lu5 · · Score: 3, Funny

      ... wish that I'd remembered to finish the sentence before I hit submit? D:

      --
      Finally had enough. Come see us over at https://soylentnews.org/
    36. Re:Easier for denialists by turbidostato · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "It takes quite a bit of arrogance to believe that humanity can change the Earth's climate that much, that fast."

      Earth's surface: 510,072,000 Km^2
      Earth's population: 6,856,832,000

      Mean earth surface per inhabitant: 0,074 Km^2/habitant, or, to give it in "real international standards units", about 13,7 football fields.

      Do you really think it takes too much arrogance to imagine that a single man can alter 13,7 football fields within his lifetime through farming, mining, driving, building, etc.?

    37. Re:Easier for denialists by Stephan+Schulz · · Score: 5, Insightful

      At least those will be equal opportunity changes since Mother Nature and the Universe don't discriminate when it comes time to bring the pain to those unworthy to survive.

      You mean the poor farmer in Bangladesh will experience the same hardship from sea level rise than a Miami millionaire? One loses his livelihood and the other has to move his yacht pier up 3 feet - yes, that seems about the same.

      More generally, rich people are generally much better isolated from any environmental changes, and also in a much better position to exploit them. Assume the Dutch have to rebuild their dikes - do you really think that most of the money spent will go to the guy who drives the backhoe?

      --

      Stephan

    38. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you would like *real* statistics, look at the stats used in real sciences, like P-chem and thermodynamics.

      Why bother? Didn't GP show we can rely on personal feelings? I don't like the laws of thermodynamics so they should be repealed. Isn't it that just much easier than doing the maths?

    39. Re:Easier for denialists by Chrisq · · Score: 1

      Denalism is by no means limited to Holocaust denial.

      I completely deny that.,,, Oh wait...

    40. Re:Easier for denialists by deoxyribonucleose · · Score: 1

      Denalism is by no means limited to Holocaust denial. Along with AIDS denialism, flat-earthism, tobacco denialism and AGW denialism, holocaust denial is merely a species of denialism. For it to be classified as denialism (as opposed to scepticism, for instance), it must involve the outright refusal to accept an empirically verifiable reality, as we can witness with both Holocaust or AGW denial.

      Speaking of rhetorical strategies, is Godwin's law an empirically verifiable reality?

    41. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So your line of thinking is: Because it is arrogant to believe humanity can affect the Earth's climate, the climate data, statistics or the statistical models incorporating the data must be wrong.

      No, the two things are not mutually exclusive - you're forgetting the possibility that the earth is going through massive climate change but that little if any of that is due to the actions of humans - that would support the statistical analysis and the viewpoint that it's arrogant to believe we are the root cause. Remember, we're actually still emerging from the recent mini ice age, the temperatures we've been used to were as a direct result of that. We know the Earth's climate moves between these states periodically, so even if humans weren't around the temperature would increase at some point. All the majority of skeptics are saying (and I'm by no means a "denialist" - I think there are valid arguments on both sides but there are also the lunatic fringe on both sides which makes it incredibly difficult to weigh up any "evidence") is that we've yet to see evidence the current change is man-made and not merely part of this natural process.

      The big problem I have is that there are people with vested interests on both sides of the argument who we know are trying to skew the public's opinion in ways that are beneficial to them. We saw exactly the same thing happen with nuclear back in the 80's and in hindsight nuclear may have been the right choice all along, but a combination of traditional fuel and green activists managed to sway public opinion in a manner which, to me, feels very similar to what's happening now with climate change. Back then, the West controlled traditional fuels (or the countries that produced them) and nuclear would have been a greater benefit to poorer countries. These days the "knowledge" around climate change technologies is similarly based in the West, and such technologies again put richer countries at a greater advantage than poorer (telling them they can't use fossil fuels after we've already had our industrial revolution and they're just experiencing theirs, then selling them the alternative - just follow the money), it all feels a little too convenient which makes me question the evidence on both sides and I've yet to see anything that sways me (fortunately I've a scientific enough mind to ignore emotional scenes such as ice melting in TFA).

    42. Re:Easier for denialists by LKM · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The only serious actions I know of in regard to global warming are those that will a) make some people some serious money, and b) cause some serious changes in our lifesyles for the worse, i.e. lots of us have to live like peasants

      I've seen a lot of proposals that could help against climate change, but I've never seen one that would turn people into peasants; quite the contrary, they usually involve a ton of technological progress. The countries who would mainly lose out are the ones that are basing their economy on oil—and those people are often already mostly peasants.

    43. Re:Easier for denialists by LKM · · Score: 1

      There probably are a few reasonable people who believe that climate change isn't influenced by human behavior, but given the odds, I think it's okay to assume that any given person questioning whether we have contributed to climate change is not, in fact, a reasonable person—or at least simply uninformed.

    44. Re:Easier for denialists by Capsaicin · · Score: 2, Insightful

      My initial response was based on a reflexive reaction to the word "denialist". Like most people, whenever I see the word I think of "Holocaust denialism"

      Really? Most people? I think of climate denialists and evolution denialists. They are just so much more prevalent than holocaust deniers or AIDS denialists etc. these days.

      I'm saddened and disappointed whenever supporters of the environment attempt to use the word to attack reasonable people that question whether, or to what degree, man effects the environment and the climate in general.

      I agree completely and I would add the corollary that unreasonable people who, despite all the evidence to the contrary, deny that humans affect the environment and the climate in general are the only ones who are properly called 'climate denialists.'

      --
      Better to be despised for too anxious apprehensions, than ruined by too confident a security. --Edmund Burke
    45. Re:Easier for denialists by rainmouse · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The biggest problem with people who deny the massive amounts of evidence pointing towards a significant human effect on global warming tend to be those who are financially benefiting from the alleged destruction of our environment .

      Out of 3,146 scientists surveyed as to if they believed human activity to be of significant contribution to the increase in global temperatures since the 1800's, 82 percent said they did. Interestingly out of the petroleum geologists asked in this survey (who's job is oil exploration) only 47 percent believed.

      (source:http://edition.cnn.com/2009/WORLD/americas/01/19/eco.globalwarmingsurvey/index.html)

    46. Re:Easier for denialists by daveime · · Score: 1, Troll

      Do you really think it takes too much arrogance to imagine that a single man can alter 13,7 football fields within his lifetime through farming, mining, driving, building, etc.?

      As opposed to the sun which has a surface area of 6088000000000 Km^2 ?

      That's 887 Km^2/habitant, or 164,377 of your "real international standards units" (football fields).

      Do you really think it takes too much arrogance to imagine that the variations in radiation from a superheated ball of gas at 5505C (9941F) might, just possibly, have some bearing on the situation ?

    47. Re:Easier for denialists by EdgeyEdgey · · Score: 1

      Or if you ignore the sea
      http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=land+area+%2F+earth+population
      =0.0219 km^2
      Or three football pitches

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      [Intentionally left blank]
    48. Re:Easier for denialists by Capsaicin · · Score: 1

      Speaking of rhetorical strategies, is Godwin's law an empirically verifiable reality?

      Godwin's law:

      As an online discussion grows longer, the probability of a comparison involving Nazis or Hitler approaches 1.

      That would seem eminently verifiable.

      But what's your point? Are you saying that any time one of the various non-holocaust denialisms is discussed, raising the issue of the holocaust constitutes a comparison to Nazis or Hitler? I disagree.

      --
      Better to be despised for too anxious apprehensions, than ruined by too confident a security. --Edmund Burke
    49. Re:Easier for denialists by arivanov · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Ice melt is one of the worst indicators imaginable of antropogenous warming. Glaciers, snow and ice are more influenced by the dust we produce than by temperature.

      Up to as recent as the 80-es the industrialized countries have been producing immense amounts of soot from buring coal, diesel, etc.The developing nations (including India) are now the main polluters and they are producing more and more of it. I am not surprised that Asian glaciers are retreating. Considering the complete lack of pollution control in India and China I would be surprised if they were not.

      --
      Baker's Law: Misery no longer loves company. Nowadays it insists on it
      http://www.sigsegv.cx/
    50. Re:Easier for denialists by dbIII · · Score: 3, Insightful

      We saw exactly the same thing happen with nuclear back in the 80's and in hindsight nuclear may have been the right choice all along

      80's nuclear was so crappy even Margret Thatcher dropped it so hindsight doesn't help. 2010 nuclear has more prospects but still needs a lot of work.

    51. Re:Easier for denialists by SkepticOwl · · Score: 1

      You must...

      --
      Slashdot is the antisocial network
    52. Re:Easier for denialists by houghi · · Score: 1

      Perhaps the biggest group is the non-existence-of-God-denialists. Man, I am so going to hell for saying that,

      --
      Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
    53. Re:Easier for denialists by turbidostato · · Score: 1

      "As opposed to the sun which has a surface area of 6088000000000 Km^2 ?"

      As opposed to nothing. All by itself: do *you* really think too arrogant that a human can significative alter his 13,7 football fields share within his lifespan?

    54. Re:Easier for denialists by pinkushun · · Score: 0, Redundant

      Please mod interesting :-)

    55. Re:Easier for denialists by Ardeaem · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Do you really think it takes too much arrogance to imagine that the variations in radiation from a superheated ball of gas at 5505C (9941F) might, just possibly, have some bearing on the situation ?

      Oh, so that's what the climate scientists have been missing all this time! They forgot about the sun! Silly them! When is your schedule free, so we can give you your Nobel Prize?

    56. Re:Easier for denialists by deoxyribonucleose · · Score: 1

      But what's your point? Are you saying that any time one of the various non-holocaust denialisms is discussed, raising the issue of the holocaust constitutes a comparison to Nazis or Hitler? I disagree.

      I'm suggesting equating standpoints you don't like with holocaust denialism trivializes the holocaust and its unsavoury denialists. Trying to tar your opponents with that particular brush is an unworthy tactic which alienates rather than convinces your opponents.

      Now, 'uncritical skepticism' I might buy as a term. Think about it.

    57. Re:Easier for denialists by Savage-Rabbit · · Score: 5, Informative

      "It takes quite a bit of arrogance to believe that humanity can change the Earth's climate that much, that fast."

      Earth's surface: 510,072,000 Km^2
      Earth's population: 6,856,832,000

      Mean earth surface per inhabitant: 0,074 Km^2/habitant, or, to give it in "real international standards units", about 13,7 football fields.

      Do you really think it takes too much arrogance to imagine that a single man can alter 13,7 football fields within his lifetime through farming, mining, driving, building, etc.?

      As opposed to the sun which has a surface area of 6088000000000 Km^2 ?

      That's 887 Km^2/habitant, or 164,377 of your "real international standards units" (football fields).

      Do you really think it takes too much arrogance to imagine that the variations in radiation from a superheated ball of gas at 5505C (9941F) might, just possibly, have some bearing on the situation ?

      The sun may very well may have a bearing on the situation but you are not going to convince anybody that digging and pumping up billions of years worth of sequestered carbon over the last 60-70 years and releasing it into the atmosphere with wild abandon had no effect at all. But let's put the climate debate aside for a moment. He was talking pretty generally about the way that humans are affecting their environment. Facts like a drop in the wold tiger population from 100.000 at the beginning of the century to a mere 3000 today can hardly be blamed on the sun, there are huge areas of dead ocean where nothing survives in any numbers you can make a profit from catching and selling, the list goes on... Changes like that are undeniably due to human excesses, mismanagement, corruption, greed and very little else.

      --
      Only to idiots, are orders laws.
      -- Henning von Tresckow
    58. Re:Easier for denialists by marcello_dl · · Score: 2, Insightful

      But, two photos is evidence for variation, only, not warming or cooling. Those are trends and need way more data. Yes I know there is LOTS more data. But the problem with global warming is twofold.
      First, there are vested interests both in denial and in assertion of global warming. This is not science, this is a war of interests.
      Second: CO2 can be absorbed easily and is not toxic. What about persistent, toxic, mass produced, untaxed and uncapped pollutants? While our generation looks at 1C difference in south patagonia since the 1866, next ones will increasingly have trouble eating fish, breathing, reproducing.

      --
      ---- MISSING MISCELLANEOUS DATA SEGMENT --- [sigdash] trolololol
    59. Re:Easier for denialists by daveime · · Score: 1, Insightful

      All by itself: do *you* really think too arrogant that a human can significative alter his 13,7 football fields share within his lifespan?

      No, I don't think it's unrealistic. What IS unrealistic to to blame ONLY man to the exclusion of all other contributing factors, which is what the A in AGW and all the real debate is about.

      Have we affected the planet ? Yes, for sure.

      Have we affected it MORE than other "naturally occurring" phenomena ? Show me !

      Will reducing man's contribution in a real way (not Carbon Credits, or other bullshit), have a significant slowing affect considering the input of the above mentioned phenomena ? Again, show me !

      This blinkered "it's all mans' fault" is nonsense. It's partly mans' fault at best.

    60. Re:Easier for denialists by nschubach · · Score: 0, Troll

      Sadly, the world is run by people with "belief" in something they can't solidly describe/verify... so it's par for the course.

      --
      Every time I start to have faith in humanity, I ruin it by driving to work between 7 and 8 am.
    61. Re:Easier for denialists by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      But, two photos is evidence for variation, only, not warming or cooling.

      How do you work that out? If I have two photos of a car, and it's far away on the first one and closer on the second does that show that it's moving, or that it's moving towards me?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    62. Re:Easier for denialists by Burnhard · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The stupidity of your position is that you yourself have not studied the data in any detail. All you need to know is that the rate of change has not accelerated and all the evidence shows this is a long-term process that has been going on for centuries. That is, as the Environment Ministry in India has said, "none of our glaciers under monitoring are recording abnormal retreat". Nobody is arguing that some of them aren't retreating (some of them are also growing), but as usual for you alarmists any change that contradicts your hypothesis is "weather", whereas any that supports it is "climate".

    63. Re:Easier for denialists by clickety6 · · Score: 1

      "Denialists"? Are you talking about people that deny the Holocaust happened or objective, independent people that question whether man is to blame for "global warming"?

      Nope, he's talking about Egyptians...

      --
      ----------------------------------- My Other Sig Is Hilarious -----------------------------------
    64. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I believe in one thing:
      FOSSIL FUEL USE WILL STOP WHEN IT BECOMES MORE PROFITABLE TO USE ANOTHER SOURCE OF ENERGY

      We need a way to keep our economy going AND reduce to the point of elimination our reliance on fossil fuels.
      As to those pictures.

      I can show you a picture of my backyard in January and contrast it with a picture of my backyard in July. And whoa! All the snow is GONE!

      What DATES were these picture taken on? And where those years particularly cold or warm?
      Month of the year. Just a trick employed by some to exaggerate the melting of glaciers.

      And I'm not denying that global warming is taking place. But I am saying that whenever some one asks about inconsistencies in research or other causes which would result in similar data - they are automatically labeled "Deniers".

      There was a time in the past when those mountains had no snow on them. There was a time in the past when there was more snow on those mountains than any man has ever seen. In the future there will be a time when there will be no snow on them. There will also be a time when they will be covered in snow and ice.

      The earth does not need us to heat up or cool down. It does it by itself - and we can't stop it. Although perhaps we are hastening it.

      I hope we will be around for the next time an ice age happens and those mountains are covered in ice. But if we're not - then those mountains won't care.

    65. Re:Easier for denialists by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Okay let's see you "go first". Become an early adopter of the post-AGW lifestyle.

      First thing : dump your computer, your car, your tv, your telephone. There's just no way that we can have personal computers, cars, or even normal phones (pray you get to keep your cell phone, and forget about smartphones) using only renewable resources. Not going to happen.

      Oh and obviously the human population will have to be decimated, even if you do actually give those things up. Forget about birth control, which only has effect after 60 years or-so, assuming you can enforce it globally (assuming, to be blunt, that every nation on earth is prepared to kill "unapproved" babies), which is "too late". So who do we kill ?

      Mind you, we'll need to lose somewhere between 60% and 90% of all humans alive. Who do we start with ? To keep in the theme of this thread, perhaps the Jews ? Of course atheists, christians, muslims, hindus and buddhists, even slashdotters won't be far behind. This 60% merely makes "living renewably" an attainable goal, btw, it does not, at all, guarantee we actually do accomplish it.

      There are 2 things we can do :
      1) attempt to stop climate change
      2) ignore it, adapt to changing circumstances, and grow

      EVERY species that has chosen option 1, and every human civilization that has done so (according to Jared Diamond) is ...

      extinct

      (and one can easily name dozens of species and civilizations that have attempted to preserve their environment ... all extinct)

      It does not work.

      Of course, when there is a climate conference, there is a solar eclipse generated by the amount of private planes converging. So we all know what the politicians and scientists (everyone who goes to such conferences) want ...

      Of course, we "have science" so we can do anything, right ? (of course, half of those extinct civilizations did have science too, most had quite extensive agricultural and climatic knowledge. It didn't save them. Why would it save us ?)

    66. Re:Easier for denialists by therealkevinkretz · · Score: 1

      There are people lining up to financially benefit from the already-mentioned schemes like "cap & trade" which will have little or no effect on atmospheric CO2 without the cooperation of China, India, etc. And any claim implying the importance of consensus in determining fact must come from someone who doesn't understand what science is.

    67. Re:Easier for denialists by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      I agree.

    68. Re:Easier for denialists by TheRaven64 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Please can we take the belief terminology and appeals to authority out of the debate? If you believe in global warming, then you are an idiot. If you believe in anything because the majority of scientists do, then you are an idiot.

      There is a large body of (reviewable) evidence in support of various hypotheses under the global warming umbrella, and a lot of ad hominem attacks against it. That means that it's sensible to accept these hypotheses as provisionally valid and, until any contradictory evidence is presented, a reasonable base for policy decisions. It doesn't mean that you have to believe in any given hypothesis. If you're emotionally invested in a hypothesis, you aren't doing science, you're doing religion.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    69. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It needs something like 1143115000000 Joules to heat that one more degree this surface to a depth of 10 meters so it means roughly the energy of a car during a normal car life of 100 years.
      Indeed this means this layer of earth is completely insulated from air and other earth.

    70. Re:Easier for denialists by ticktickboom · · Score: 0

      you dont even need to think about the galatic orbit, the 'whatever-it-is' that our sun orbits, the gas cloud that we are passing thru, the same noe that ended the last ice age, blame the suv driving soccor mom! its just easier that way. not only that, if i were king of the world, i would not want the people to know every detail of the truth, nor would i want them to think too much, it would prove a danger to me.

    71. Re:Easier for denialists by piotru · · Score: 1

      "refusal to accept an empirically verifiable reality"
      What was the name of the German scientists who in 1990s lost his carreer for attempting to research the chemical traces of Zyklon on the internal walls of Auschwitz gas chambers? Mind you, the inquiries into the Holocaust are a crime in many european countries, independently of their scientific merit. Similarly, an inquiry into AGW meets repression, not scientifically but demagologically justified. It worries me to notice here on Slashdot an apparent correlation between the mod points and support of the AGW.

    72. Re:Easier for denialists by digitig · · Score: 1

      Who cares who is to blame? Whatever is causing it, if we don't do something about it then we're stuffed, and it's denying that that's the issue.

      --
      Quidnam Latine loqui modo coepi?
    73. Re:Easier for denialists by piotru · · Score: 1

      Where are the results of the same survey among the people connected with the nuclear industry?

    74. Re:Easier for denialists by MrHanky · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Most climate scientists agree that without the sun, the earth would be much colder.

      It's arrogant of you to think that people in the know don't take the obvious into consideration. So yes, you're arrogant, and you're an idiot as well. How about trying to gain some knowledge about a subject before dismissing a theory out of hand.

    75. Re:Easier for denialists by peragrin · · Score: 1

      um extinction of animals is caused by the simple fact one animal was conceived itself to be so important all it does is eat and fuck. in one century we have tripled the number of people on this planet. Even with both WW I and WW II, the population increased. that singluar event is killing for animals for extinction than anything else.

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    76. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Photo A taken in February
       
      Photo B taken in July?

    77. Re:Easier for denialists by stuckinphp · · Score: 0

      No. If you look [read: look at pictures, I didn't actually read any of it] at TFA you'll see no real difference in the photos. 'look bout the same to me, the recent one has more snow.

      --
      if only
    78. Re:Easier for denialists by cabraverde · · Score: 3, Informative

      What IS unrealistic to to blame ONLY man to the exclusion of all other contributing factors, which is what the A in AGW and all the real debate is about.

      Straw man weasel alert! No-one (NO-ONE) is saying that man is the only factor in climate change. You are pointing at the relatively small (natural) variation in climate that you could expect to occur over a couple of centuries and using it to spread FUD over the much larger anthropogenic variation.

    79. Re:Easier for denialists by bunratty · · Score: 3, Informative
      We aren't blaming only humans. But the consensus is that humans are responsible for most of the warming of the last 50 years.

      This conclusion is endorsed by the National Academy of Sciences, The American Meteorological Society, the American Geophysical Union and its parent organization, the American Institute of Physics, the national science academies of the G8 nations, Brazil, China, and India. and the American Association for the Advancement of Science.

      The phenomenon of warming caused by excess carbon dioxide in the atmosphere due to humans burning fossil fuels was predicted by Arrhenius over 100 years ago.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    80. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except that I'll grin as all that expensive ocean front property disappears and suddenly the Miami Slums are now the new ocean front property.

      I feel bad for the Bangladesh farmer, can we send him some crank powered flashlights, Solar radios and really underpowered rugged laptops?

      Me? I'll be unaffected. I live near the great lakes so my property value will skyrocket as everyone will flock to the last remaining source of fresh water... That reminds me, Where can I buy some good "Mad Max" clothing and mods for the cars? I need to start gearing up for that lifestyle.

    81. Re:Easier for denialists by crow_t_robot · · Score: 1

      It may just be me but I find it hard to put to much concern in climate readings that only go back about 100 years for a planet that has been around for more than 50 million years. That's like predicting the outcome of the Yankees next decade of games based on the outcome of the last game they played.

      As a note, I'm not a denialist or proponent of the climate change theories, just a by-standing skeptic.

    82. Re:Easier for denialists by hairyfeet · · Score: 4, Interesting

      So your answer is to go "The sky is falling!" and then stand there? How is THAT supposed to help? Here is my own "inconvenient truth"...nobody ATM has even a half assed, much less a comprehensive plan for dealing with AGW. Instead what we have is a bunch of leeches that have figured out a way to cash in on others misery. The ambulance chasers of AGW basically.

      Look, I'm not "for or against" either side here. What I AM against is bullshit and thievery disguised as "being green". ANY plan that is based on "Fuck the west" is doomed to failure, because the west is ALREADY in decline. The USA? We don't make shit anymore, hell I wouldn't be surprised if even our bullets had "Made in China" stamped on them. Europe? Wouldn't be surprised if the EU splits up with Greece and now Ireland circling the bowl.

      And of course cap and trade ignores the twin elephants in the room...India and China, who simply will tell you where to stick it. And notice how old Al Gore and his fellow cap and traders have NOT ONCE demanded heavy tariffs or other protectionist measures to get China and India to comply with carbon caps, why? Because they make massive profits there, that's why!

      So if someone comes up with a real plan, like closing down all coal fired plants and replacing them with a combination of nuclear, wind, molten salt solar, and other long term zero carbon energy sources? I'll be the first one on the bandwagon. But carbon trading is nothing but a scam, a Catholic indulgences scheme cooked up by the same folks that gave you credit default swaps to yet again bleed cash from what little the American people have.

      There is a reason why old Al Gore and the other 1%ers have made 85% of the wealth since '75, while the rest of us get to scrabble over the scraps, and it ain't because they worked harder. It is because, thanks in part to SCOTUS saying "corps=people" and "money=speech" that massive corruption have allowed the 1%ers to bribe...err I mean lobby, the laws to be tilted into their favor time and time again. And now they seek to do the same with a very real problem. Don't let them. If you truly believe in global warming, not this weasel worded climate change bullshit (since when DOESN'T the climate change?) then demand REAL change, not the snake oil Rev Al Gore and his pals on Wall Street are pushing.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    83. Re:Easier for denialists by turbidostato · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "No, I don't think it's unrealistic. What IS unrealistic to to blame ONLY man to the exclusion of all other contributing factors, which is what the A in AGW and all the real debate is about."

      I don't think anybody sane would deny there are other forces in the game since it's obvious the climate has changed, quite widely, in times when human activity can certainly be discounted.

      Anyway this is not what I was arguing nor it is the position of those that want to give credit to the option that anthropogenic causes should be considered for changes for about the two last centuries up to the point of considering a trollish straw man even mentioning.

      "This blinkered "it's all mans' fault" is nonsense. It's partly mans' fault at best."

      Up the point that it is maybe at least partially "man's fault" it's all that counts: or have you heard anyone proposing we can do something about sun's emissions variations or rotation angle or any other of the cosmic or Earth-based variations? Since all we can do about is anthropogenic variations all that rests is cost/benefit analysis. And we'd better don't let the energy tycoons (esp. oil tycoons) be the ones to assess such cost/benefit analysis.

      "Will reducing man's contribution in a real way (not Carbon Credits, or other bullshit), have a significant slowing affect considering the input of the above mentioned phenomena ? Again, show me !"

      On one hand it's due diligence. Given that it's certainly worthy the proposition that human beings are able to significantly affect their 13.7 football fields in just a single life timespan and that we have been doing it at an exponential rate for about eight generations we'd better be safe than sorry and start acting now if even "just in case".

      On the other hand, you seem to consider that Sun is so much "bigger" than anything that man can do that it's a bit silly even considering the options (13.7 versus 164,377 football fields or a factor of about a x10000 on your accounts). It's only you should consider two other things:

        1) While Sun is big and hot beyond ordinary human common sense, it's far away beyond human common sense too. The average energy we recieve from Sun taking account for distance, angle and albedo is more or less 106 W/m^2. So Sun's energy finally reaching the Earth is at odds with what is needed to light up an office table (a "traditional" 100W bulb on an office table lamp for a table about a square meter). Not quite impressive expressed that way, uh?
        2) It's not about raw energy as much as catalizer effects: one drop of poison can trash away a full well of fresh water, right?

    84. Re:Easier for denialists by crow_t_robot · · Score: 1

      As a world-renowned climatoligist, myself, I also have "incontravertable proof" that the Earth is about to burst into a ball of fire due to global warming related to carbon emissions. Just look at this photo of my research:
      http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3526/3191599149_67d2e5b6ce.jpg
      Do you see?! Our ice levels are currently diminishing to untenable levels!

    85. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      SLAVE TRADE WILL STOP WHEN IT BECOMES MORE PROFITABLE TO USE ANOTHER SOURCE OF LABOR

      Oh, wait.

      Sometimes ethics, and not economics, should drive our decisions. I know this is too much for people who compare themselves to Atlas to do but...

    86. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Note the use of the adjective "devastating" instead of merely reporting the data. Imagine the glaciers were increasing. The BBC of course would use the same adjective. Apparently most people believe we live in the best of all possible worlds with the best of all possible climates. Aren't we lucky?

    87. Re:Easier for denialists by crow_t_robot · · Score: 1

      Considering that you are claiming man to have altered "the environment" you need to alter your calculation to include, at a minimum, the entire airspace of the troposphere if not more...probably into the stratosphere and above since this is said to be affected by global warming.
      A surface calculation is insufficient.

    88. Re:Easier for denialists by msauve · · Score: 1

      But, two photos is evidence for variation, only, not warming or cooling.

      How do you work that out? If I have two photos of a car, and it's far away on the first one and closer on the second does that show that it's moving, or that it's moving towards me?

      And if you had a third photo, which was taken before the other two, which showed the car closer than in the other two (i.e. the sequence near-far-medium), what then? Would you still claim that the photos were evidence the car was consistently moving toward you?

      Your logical error is assuming that a car can only move in one direction.

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    89. Re:Easier for denialists by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      Yes! Because that takes the wind out of their argument! HOW DARE YOU!

      I'm a self appointed scientist (if you are deeply interested in science then you too are a scientist.) and I still want more data about the whole thing. Mars ice caps are reducing, Jupiter storm activity is going up, we are seeing changes elsewhere than our planet which makes me raise an eyebrow.

      a 1% change in the solar output will do far far more than if every man woman and child were to spend the next year doing nothing but releasing nasty greenhouse gas... and no not that wimpy Co2 stuff... let's get some of the more effective ones up there. Are we helping? yes. are we the cause? not enough data yet.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    90. Re:Easier for denialists by Lumpy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Carbon credits are the best scam ever devised... I'm just pissed that I did not think of that scam first.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    91. Re:Easier for denialists by FeepingCreature · · Score: 1

      You know what this thread needs?
      More rhetoric and less sources!
      Oh wait.

    92. Re:Easier for denialists by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      ^ This.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    93. Re:Easier for denialists by Rockoon · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      You mean the poor farmer in Bangladesh will experience the same hardship from sea level rise than a Miami millionaire? One loses his livelihood and the other has to move his yacht pier up 3 feet - yes, that seems about the same.

      Yes, the 2.8mm/year rate of sea level rise is sure to take away the livelihood of that farmer in Bangladesh... he should start running now, or else he may never escape!!!!!

      You don't realize the absurdity of your extremist appeals to emotion BECAUSE YOU DONT EVEN KNOW THE FACTS OF THE VERY SHIT YOUR ARE SUPPORTING.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    94. Re:Easier for denialists by 5KVGhost · · Score: 1

      "Denialism also refers to a set of rhetorical strategies used to create the impression of uncertainty where none exists. Unsurprisingly perhaps, these bear a strong resemblance across the various species of denialism."

      Ah, I see. "Denialism" is what zealots used to call "heresy":

      "...but as for the others, since, in our judgment they are foolish madmen, we decree that they shall be branded with the ignominious name of heretics, and shall not presume to give to their conventicles the name of churches. They will suffer in the first place the chastisement of the divine condemnation and in the second the punishment of our authority which in accordance with the will of Heaven we shall decide to inflict." (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edict_of_Thessalonica)

      Since we're making up words, I suggest "scientism". That's the religious system practiced by people who pretend (even to themselves) they're practicing science, but who actually have no confidence in the scientific process, or the ability of others to make rational decisions based on the findings of that process.

      Instead, they chatter about the need to enforce orthodoxy and limit public discussion of controversy, lest those who lack enlightenment become confused and lead others away from the true path.

      There's no time to waste: Some may already be lost, actively in league with the evil which seeks to damn us all to eternal suffering. Left unchecked, that could require the defenders of the faith to resort to more drastic means of purging the seeds of doubt, beyond even excommunication and shunning. An unfortunate necessity, but this is Science we're defending, not some fanciful, power-hungry, and corrupt old belief system.

      And when the world's salvation is at stake, is anything too extreme?

    95. Re:Easier for denialists by rjames13 · · Score: 4, Informative

      No. It's because you suffer from cognitive dissonance, and any evidence that clashes with your current world view merely reinforces it. In other words, you are walking case example of neuroscience at work.

      Hi I'm the Cognitive Dissonance Troll. I'm here to point out that you are incorrectly using the phrase "Cognitive Dissonance"

      Cognitive Dissonance does not mean that people reinforce their current world view because of conflict with a new evidence. What it does mean it that you feel discomfort because there is a clash between your current world view and the evidence the world presents. What a person does with that discomfort is not related to the dissonance, the dissonance is the discomfort.

      Thank you for your time

    96. Re:Easier for denialists by Vintermann · · Score: 3, Interesting

      And notice how old Al Gore and his fellow cap and traders have NOT ONCE demanded heavy tariffs or other protectionist measures to get China and India to comply with carbon caps, why? Because they make massive profits there, that's why!

      Nearly. I don't know how much Al Gore personally makes from polluting in China, but no matter how much it was it would be a small share of all the money being made by polluting in China. That money is hard to fight against politically, tempting politicans to choose easier paths.

      By the way, there is at least one prominent climate scientist in this debate, who is railing against politicians like Gore for taking the easy path, and stating that the political influence of money is the largest problem in fighting global warming.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    97. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OK, how about this for hubris - I know how the Earth's entire ecosystem works. I can't tell you what the weather will be like a week from now, but I can tell you what the climate will be 50 years from now.

      This is all because I've picked a few sample points that I know are indicative off all history and future trends and I have built a mathematical model that incontrovertibly reveals the future.

      I have yet to hear a single AGW proponent explain in any detail why Greenland was green 1,000 years ago. Was that AGW? did we experience AGC (cooling) in the intervening years? Given the known history of cycles of global warming and cooling what proof is there that the current trends are anthropogenic? To paraphrase someone from above, "when it is cooler than normal outside it is weather, when it is warmer, it is climate."

    98. Re:Easier for denialists by crow_t_robot · · Score: 1

      That's an interesting piece of information but maybe that means petroleum geologists have a firmer grasp on petroleum effects on the environment because they work in that field every day and, most likely, stay more current on the studies than some scientist who does research in a completely unrelated field.

    99. Re:Easier for denialists by Prof.Phreak · · Score: 1

      while I do agree with your point, another possibility is that employed (in the industry) scientists, on average, are smarter (or better equipped) than those in the academia. e.g. Most scientists would jump at a chance to work for an oil corp.

      --

      "If anything can go wrong, it will." - Murphy

    100. Re:Easier for denialists by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      Translation of first: "Wanting our children to not grow up in some Max Max world, that's a special interest too!"
      Translation of second: "Look over there!"

      Worst thing is that maybe you honestly think you are being fair and balanced.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    101. Re:Easier for denialists by PopeRatzo · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Okay let's see you "go first". Become an early adopter of the post-AGW lifestyle.

      First thing : dump your computer, your car, your tv, your telephone.

      These are some pretty big straw men "OeLeWaPpErKe".

      Your scare tactics aren't going to make scientists out of AGW deniers. Nor is the decision of a single person going to make much difference fighting climate change. But there are systemic changes that could be made right now without displacing millions or causing you to give up your iPhone.

      And maybe you don't realize how easy it is for those of us that live in big cities to give up our cars or at least to think about what it would take for us to spend fewer of our waking hours behind the wheel. Nor do you appear to understand how much of a benefit it would be for you to give up your TV. It might keep you off of Fox News long enough for you to be deprogrammed.

      .half of those extinct civilizations did have science too, most had quite extensive agricultural and climatic knowledge. It didn't save them. Why would it save us ?

      Are you saying that giving up Science would help us avoid extinction? Now you're scaring me.

      There are 2 things we can do :
      1) attempt to stop climate change
      2) ignore it, adapt to changing circumstances, and grow
      EVERY species that has chosen option 1, and every human civilization that has done so (according to Jared Diamond) is ...
      extinct

      Please name the civilizations that have become extinct after attempting to prevent climate change due to profligate use of fossil fuels.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    102. Re:Easier for denialists by drinkypoo · · Score: 4, Informative

      Ah, I see. "Denialism" is what zealots used to call "heresy":

      No, denialism is what we usually call "unwillingness to accept reality". If a truth is inconvenient (it's times like these I hate the name of that movie) then deny, deny, deny. Well, forget Al Bore for a minute and take a look at the science involved. We know what CO2 does. We know we release orders of magnitude more CO2 than volcanoes, and we know their CO2 is a driver of weather. Cancer rates double in the industrial revolution and denialists want to claim that it's because people live longer, but a) lifespans did not increase so very much at this time and b) we now know beyond the shadow of a doubt that the industrial revolution caused positively carcinogenic compounds in the atmosphere to be multiplied several times. It's always the same; the people who have everything invested in a process of raping the earth want to claim that she was asking for it. You don't have to be a coal miner or a logger to benefit from modern industrial society, of course; every time you discard a disposable plastic plate or get your iPhone replaced for some failure that never should have been made you're not only making your own contribution but you're deriving a feeling of security from the ongoing destruction of the biosphere upon which we depend. When your sense of well-being is dependent on believing a lie, you apparently cling to that lie whether it appears to fit the facts or not.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    103. Re:Easier for denialists by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      It worries me to notice here on Slashdot an apparent correlation between the mod points and support of the AGW.

      The merits of /.'s mod system are many, but somehow every discussion touching on AGW seems to be immune from rational moderation and instead becomes filled with viewpoint-based mods. The most inane and inflammatory remarks supporting AGW end up with +5, while many of the most reasoned and interesting discussions get buried as flamebait or troll if they in any way question either AGW or the globalist agendas being justified as AGW "solutions".

      Not the typical way that the mod system works, but seems to happen every time when AGW is involved.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    104. Re:Easier for denialists by SEWilco · · Score: 1

      If you show me a glacier has gained as much mass since 1921 as this one has lost

      First you'll have to tell us how much mass this one has lost. I don't think "sickly" is a measure of mass.

    105. Re:Easier for denialists by PopeRatzo · · Score: 2, Informative

      My initial response was based on a reflexive reaction to the word "denialist". Like most people, whenever I see the word I think of "Holocaust denialism" and the lunatic fringe that attempt to deny the horrible crime that happened to the Jewish people during WWII.

      Are you suggesting that heretofore the word "denial" or "denier" should only be used in reference to Hitler's genocide against the Jews?

      Should we no longer be able to say that the people who don't believe that for which there is extensive evidence are "in denial"?

      Can you give me the list of other words that can no longer be used because they make you think of something bad? Maybe I'll give you "holocaust" because there are already lots of other good words to replace it, but something as simple and basic as "to deny"? That's taking an entire category of description off the table.

      Can you give me another word to describe someone who refuses to accept that for which there is ample evidence? Don't say "skeptic" because skeptics are the ones who require evidence, not the ones who ignore it. I'm specifically looking for a name for someone who refuses to accept any evidence. And "creationist" is too specific. I'm looking for a more general term.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    106. Re:Easier for denialists by bunratty · · Score: 1

      I've never heard that ice melt is due mostly to dust and soot. Can you provide a source to back up your claim?

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    107. Re:Easier for denialists by DJRumpy · · Score: 1

      As with all things, life is never black and white and it doesn't fit nicely into calculations on a blackboard. Although he could adapt, he can also attempt to stop global warming. The two are not mutually exclusive. The 'attempt' is much like a vote in a political system. If you get enough votes, you win the election. The same principal applies. Although the efforts of a single individual are ineffectual, the efforts of millions are not.

    108. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nobody is arguing that some of them aren't retreating (some of them are also growing)

      Please cite some that are "growing".

      but as usual for you alarmists any change that contradicts your hypothesis is "weather", whereas any that supports it is "climate".

      Ah. IOW, you have no idea what the definitions are for "weather" and "climate" -- which means you have nothing of value to contribute to this discussion and should just STFU. You and all the other irrational deniers.

    109. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The phenomenon of warming caused by excess carbon dioxide in the atmosphere due to humans burning fossil fuels was predicted by Arrhenius over 100 years ago

      Nostradamus made more predictions over 400 years ago, so must be a better authority.

    110. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      > All you need to know is that the rate of change has not accelerated

      well, umm, sorry to trouble you with this, but actually is has. substantially. the exponential curve aspect of it is sort of what all the fuss is about in the literature and why the estimates of how bad it will be in 100 years vary so widely. If the rate of change were steady or linear we'd have a much easier time making those projections.

    111. Re:Easier for denialists by Tekfactory · · Score: 1

      I think you don't give GP enough credit. His second point doesn't go far enough, we're having trouble eating fish right now, China is a terrible place to breathe.

      Global Warming and CO2 ARE getting the Lion's share of attention, this distracts us in a big way from the other environmental disasters playing out at the same time.

      For instance Clean water scarcity.

    112. Re:Easier for denialists by Jhon · · Score: 1

      Google "Glacier Melt Soot". You might be surprised by how many hits you get.

      For example:

      http://news.discovery.com/earth/black-soot-himalayas-glaciers.html

    113. Re:Easier for denialists by blackfrancis75 · · Score: 1

      Some people point out that mankind 'existed' during more adverse global climate conditions - this is to completely miss the point. Compare the global population size and distribution nowadays to those then. Perhaps their argument is that it's ok, because 100 million out of 6 billion will probably survive.

    114. Re:Easier for denialists by conureman · · Score: 1

      Dendrochronology provides a record going back several thousands of years. The droughts that reduced the Anasazi Culture have been dated pretty well. The gas content analysis of glacier core samples goes back a very long time. Considering that all written history has all occurred in the period since the last "Ice Age" and that this is pretty much the first time our species (and most of the currently extant mammalians) will be adapting to a non-glacial planet, I'm predicting the Yankees will be calling the games because of weather. Anyone care to debate our impeding demise due to Anthropogenic Global Poisoning? I think we can concede the game when the Smelt stop running. You sceptics should ask a Karuk about adapting to a changing world.

      --
      The cost of that cleanup, of course, will be borne by taxpayers, not industry.
    115. Re:Easier for denialists by bunratty · · Score: 1
      That story, Black Soot May Speed Himalayan Glacier Melt states that

      Researchers believe that high levels of soot over the vast plains to the south and west of the Himalayas may be speeding the melting of glaciers in two ways.

      I do not doubt that soot may be causing glaciers to melt faster than they otherwise would. Where does someone say that ice melt is due mostly to dust and soot? If you notice, those two statements are very different!

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    116. Re:Easier for denialists by YttriumOxide · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Europe has just had the coldest winter in 50 years.

      Followed by the hottest July on record for an insanely long time also...

      I really wish people would stop thinking "Global Warming" simply means it gets warmer everywhere, evenly... it doesn't, never has, and never will.

      if you can explain in a non emotional way sticking purely to the facts and data that i can look at myself, why CO2 has become the driver behind climate rather then the sun and water vapor, you'd convince me.

      Simply that it's a bigger system surrounding a chaotic system* (that is, weather). Chaotic systems are a pain since we can't truly model them due to the insane complexity and number of factors. A tiny push from any thing can drastically alter it. The sun DOES affect the climate more than CO2. Water vapor DOES affect the climate more than CO2. But historical evidence points towards these things in their natural cycles causing warming and cooling over much longer time periods than what we're currently seeing. CO2 appears to be causing a very rapid change in the climate, kind of like the effect in a greenhouse (see where that old analogy comes from?)

      * Note that I don't actually believe that there is anything too complex to model theoretically... practically certainly, but I doubt the climate of one planet even stretches that far given technology way ahead of our own.

      --
      My book about LSD and Self-Discovery
      Also on facebook as: DroppingAcidDaleBewan
    117. Re:Easier for denialists by mgblst · · Score: 4, Funny

      the laws and regulations that make the rest of us live like peasants.

      I know, not having two hummers, 4 bathrooms in your bachelor pad, and your own jet makes you a fucking peasant.

    118. Re:Easier for denialists by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      I think it takes a lot of arrogance to assume all the world's climate scientists haven't thought to check for that.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    119. Re:Easier for denialists by crow_t_robot · · Score: 1

      I see none of that data included in the NOAA report that was linked in the comment I replied to.

      Temperature sources cited in the paper: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/ghcn-monthly/source-table1.html

    120. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      AGW.

      What, who?

      Please, if your using a TLA add a link so those of us who are not into whatever it is your talking about can find out what the Fsck your talking about.

      Thank you.

      It's really not that obscure..... They use AGW all over the news, etc...

    121. Re:Easier for denialists by wisdom_brewing · · Score: 1

      Do you really think you can quote the Earth's human population to within 2,000 people?

      There are roughly a quadrillion ants in the world... So an ant every 0.5 square metres... Can one have more of an effect on that than a human on those 13.7 football fields?

    122. Re:Easier for denialists by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1, Interesting

      As you demonstrate, those who benefit financially from believing in AGW, do so (the scientists, take a look at how much money has been poured into climate science in the last few years, and how much of it went to scientists who are skeptical of AGW vs how much went to strident supporters of AGW) and those who benefit from not believing in AGW do not. Unfortunately, that doesn't tell the rest of us which is correct.
      However, the real question is, is it more efficient to spend money ameliorating the negative affects (sorry if I got the wrong one of those two words, I always have trouble with them) of global warming or to try and stop it?

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    123. Re:Easier for denialists by mrcaseyj · · Score: 1

      I expect the endorsements of those scientific organizations were made before they found out from the climate gate emails, the extent of the "trick" being played on us. Those endorsements may go away in the coming months.

    124. Re:Easier for denialists by vitruvian · · Score: 1

      I wonder about your use of the word 'species'. Do you use it to lend scientific credence to your point of view?

    125. Re:Easier for denialists by blueg3 · · Score: 1

      If only there was some systematic method for analyzing these things! We could measure the variations in solar output and the variations in temperature and correlate them.

      Then we'd discover that the solar radiation variation is tiny compared to solar output, is periodic, and is not close to sufficient to explain recent warming.

    126. Re:Easier for denialists by Culture20 · · Score: 1

      Anthropogenic Global Warming.

      I always prefer Anthropomorphic Gobal Warming: Gaia's Hot Flash

    127. Re:Easier for denialists by mrcaseyj · · Score: 1

      That's a tricky survey question. Even many skeptics would say humans are making a significant (i.e. non-negligible) contribution to global warming. But that still leaves the big questions: Are humans the primary cause? Has it warmed up as much as they say it has or just some insignificant amount? Has it been warmer in the past anyway? and Will the environment be better off when it's warmer?

    128. Re:Easier for denialists by quanticle · · Score: 2, Insightful

      At least those will be equal opportunity changes since Mother Nature and the Universe don't discriminate when it comes time to bring the pain to those unworthy to survive.

      Except they won't be. The vast majority of the negative impacts will be in areas like India and Africa, where the people are least well equipped to deal with climatic changes. Global Warming (anthropogenic or not) will affect polar and tropical areas the most - the temperate climes of the rich world will be affected last.

      As for saying that those people are "unworthy to survive", who are you to make that decision? Genetically, biologically, those who are going to die from global warming are no different than you or I. If they are unworthy of survival, then so are you. Its only an accident of birth that ensures your survival.

      --
      We all know what to do, but we don't know how to get re-elected once we have done it
    129. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All you need to know is that the rate of change has not accelerated and all the evidence shows this is a long-term process that has been going on for centuries.

      Then why does the graph of the temperature over the last 1000 years get called a hockey stick graph? It is because the temperature starts relatively flat and then increases at an accelerated rate.

    130. Re:Easier for denialists by FlopEJoe · · Score: 1

      How many of those scientists who "believe" are getting grants to study AGW? Or are researching for companies investing in "Green Jobs?" I'm just wondering... I have no information either way. It seems many assume that the people who disagree with AGW they have something to gain but but the agree'rs are all about the pure science. Many, many companies have something to gain if whole economies shift to "Green Energy" and you can be sure they are paying their scientists just like the oil companies.

    131. Re:Easier for denialists by Unipuma · · Score: 1

      Not just around AGW, it happens around stories about Apple or Microsoft or anything that people -feel- strongly about.

      The problem is that a lot of people feel something about AGW, instead of really thinking about it. Most people just look at their own sources and ignore anything that is contrary to their belief. I can't find the link but a couple of days ago there was an article where they show that confronting people with evidence against their strongest belief strengthens it instead of making them critical and researching their own believes.

      So whenever you see an article that has strong supporters and opposers, expect a lot of mod points going into raising the views of 'your side' and lowering the views of the 'other side'.

      Perhaps it's time to let the researchers do the research.

    132. Re:Easier for denialists by mcgrew · · Score: 2, Funny

      Spelling out Anti Global Warming, or saying Global Warming Denialists, would be TMI.

      HAND.

      PS: What is "fsck" an acronym for? I'm guessing "fucking stupid censorship, kids".

    133. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I suppose it depends on when in the year both pictures were taken.

    134. Re:Easier for denialists by ticktickboom · · Score: 0

      finally, someone with a brain! YAY!! i heard there was only 1 sensor reading the sea level was rising that was on that man made japanese island thats sinking...the other 11 were reading the oppisite. small experiment. fill a glass with water and ice cubes to the tippy top. let the ice melt. watch the glass not over flow! wow, amazing how that works. water expands when it freezes. man could not have caused enough damage to the environment to cause the warmth. with that logic, the earth will always be a blue green happy place till the sun explodes.

    135. Re:Easier for denialists by sycodon · · Score: 1

      Funny, because except for 1 accidents (in the U.S, in which no one died) caused by humans screwing up, all that crappy Nuclear Technology is perfectly safe and is in fact, the technology that is currently in use now.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    136. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because rice paddies in deltas surely aren't diminished with increasing rapidity as sea level rises, coinciding with an equally accelerating population growth.

    137. Re:Easier for denialists by ewrong · · Score: 1

      I deny the deniers! Not sure what a denialist is though.

    138. Re:Easier for denialists by Jawnn · · Score: 1

      Ice melt is one of the worst indicators imaginable of antropogenous warming.

      You mean this summer, being "a real scorcher" here in Texas, ain't really a sign of global warming? God dang lyin' yankee bastards. I knew all that science mumbo-jumbo that I couldn't make heads or tails of was just dang ol' liberal yankee propaganda.

    139. Re:Easier for denialists by pastafazou · · Score: 1
    140. Re:Easier for denialists by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      >First you'll have to tell us how much mass this one has lost. I don't think "sickly" is a measure of mass.

      Yes it is ! It's the one Cosmo makes women think they need to be to be attractive. Of course they get confused and call it a "weight" but very few people ever get that right anyway (despite it being 3rd grade science) so I think we can safely assume they MEANT mass.

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    141. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Current estimates put the total rise at the end of this century at about 500mm, so that 2.8mm/year rise isn't a constant rate. I think you'd agree that a sea level rise of half a meter over one century will lead to some pretty harsh effects, especially with areas right at sea level and prone to flooding, like Bangladesh.

      So, you know, learn your shit. It's a lot to ask, I know.

    142. Re:Easier for denialists by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      Well its not the ice floating in the ocean thats the problem.. its the ice on land.. those glaciers.. that are what causes sea level rise when they melt.

      But it will still happen at such a slow rate that the alarmist "OMG SEA LEVEL RISE MILLIONS WILL BE DISPLACED!" cries are just plain stupid.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    143. Re:Easier for denialists by hawkfish · · Score: 3, Informative

      You mean the poor farmer in Bangladesh will experience the same hardship from sea level rise than a Miami millionaire? One loses his livelihood and the other has to move his yacht pier up 3 feet - yes, that seems about the same.

      Yes, the 2.8mm/year rate of sea level rise is sure to take away the livelihood of that farmer in Bangladesh... he should start running now, or else he may never escape!!!!!

      You don't realize the absurdity of your extremist appeals to emotion BECAUSE YOU DONT EVEN KNOW THE FACTS OF THE VERY SHIT YOUR ARE SUPPORTING.

      No, you don't know the facts of the "shit" you are supporting. To start with, Bangaldeshi farmers can't start running because they live in one of the most densely populated areas on earth and the national boundaries there have been drawn in the 20th century to stop traditional migrations. And while 2.8mm/y may sound like nothing, try to remember that a) it has been going on for decades, b) that projection is probably too low and c) it is already causing serious problems in low-lying island nations such as Tuvalu and the Maldives as well as in Bangladesh itself.

      So get your head out of your fat Western ass and start paying attention.

      --
      You will not drink with us, but you would taste our steel? - Walter Matthau, The Pirates
    144. Re:Easier for denialists by bunratty · · Score: 1

      Investigations have found that the "trick" in question was a statistical technique, not a deception. The endorsements of those scientific organizations is the result of hundreds of papers written by hundreds of climatologists. It's not a deception, and if you claim that it is, you'll need some really good evidence to back up your claim, not just a hacked email with the word "trick" in it.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    145. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, just tell the people to stop walking on the freaking snow! I know by fact that kicking and walking on the snow makes it go away faster. What's happening on places where no human has been fooling around? and of course in the same season?

    146. Re:Easier for denialists by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      Funny thing about delta's... they come and go (the process is called erosion) with or without sea level rise.

      Sea level rise has averaged 2mm/year for the last 100 years. Were millions of people 'rapidly' displaced due to eroding delta's at any point in the last 100 years?

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    147. Re:Easier for denialists by bunratty · · Score: 1

      The first source states Black soot deposited on Tibetan glaciers has contributed significantly to the retreat of the world's largest non-polar ice masses, according to new research by scientists from NASA and the Chinese Academy of Sciences, and the second source states The stuff that builds up in your chimney is soiling the ice of the Arctic, possibly hastening the melting of the polar ice cap, a new study suggests. Again, neither says that most melting is due to soot or dust. In fact, they seem to say that most melting is due to warming.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    148. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "It takes quite a bit of arrogance to believe that humanity can change the Earth's climate that much, that fast."

      We could turn the surface of the Earth into an uninhabitable radioactive desert, followed by a nuclear winter. We could do it tomorrow morning. It should only take an hour or so.

      I don't find it too hard to imagine we could change the climate.

    149. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You know, because the Environment Ministry in India has absolutely no financial reason to deny AGW, what with India's total non-growth in fossil-fuel emissions due to it's lack of coal-fired industrial infrastructure and all.

    150. Re:Easier for denialists by MikeBabcock · · Score: 1

      Human corruption aside, you do realize what a huge carbon sink both the ocean and forests are right?

      Our carbon output may be high, but so-called natural* carbon output is even higher.

      *why is it natural when its anything but human, as though somehow we weren't on the same playing field as the rest of nature?

      --
      - Michael T. Babcock (Yes, I blog)
    151. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Holocaust and AGW denialists are equally high on the nutcase ladder, the former merely have better financial support.

      How can you have better financial support than the Jews?
       
      -timothy

    152. Re:Easier for denialists by Burnhard · · Score: 1

      It's called a Hockey Stick because it is created using a method that will generate a hockey-stick shape even if you put trendless, red-noise into it, provided you also adjust the scales on the graph to make the probable 0.25 - 0.5 degree warming of the last century look alarming, as well as hiding declines in other temperature proxies on your graph that don't match your pre-conceived ideas of what the graph should look like.

    153. Re:Easier for denialists by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      Alien Great Weed (imported from an alien country), referring to what the global warming deniers* are smoking.

      *Excepting, of course, the oil, gas, coal, and other such industriualists who are cooking up this false controversy for the neocon stoners to smoke.

    154. Re:Easier for denialists by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      No, you don't know the facts of the "shit" you are supporting. To start with, Bangaldeshi farmers can't start running because they live in one of the most densely populated areas on earth and the national boundaries there have been drawn in the 20th century to stop traditional migrations.

      Umm, THEY DONT HAVE TO START RUNNING. *wooooosh*

      They have floods all the time over there. The idea that they will be suddenly run out of there ("displaced") in some disastrous flood event caused by sea level rise is completely and utterly preposterous. Its going to take hundreds of years for the projections to be realized, at a steady rate of change. There isnt going to be any sudden flooding that doesnt already happen regularly.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    155. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I see. You want to keep those poor farmers in their place. The true face of socialism.

    156. Re:Easier for denialists by HideyoshiJP · · Score: 1

      I said the same thing! It was freezing last winter! Global warming my ass! ...at least, that's the argument I tend to get from relatives that don't understand the numerous subtle nuances of our planet's various systems that affect the overall climate.

    157. Re:Easier for denialists by mrcaseyj · · Score: 1

      If the oil industry tried to use a "statistical technique" like the the trick used to "hide the decline", climate scientists would scream bloody murder. You can't cover up the data that destroys the credibility of your method and call that honest science. I don't need any evidence of this since they've admitted what they did. It's not a matter of evidence, its a matter of judgment about whether that was legitimate science or not. There appear to have been several "investigations" that barely, if at all, address "Mike's Nature trick".

    158. Re:Easier for denialists by slater.jay · · Score: 1

      That's assuming the process goes in a straight line. What if I have a picture of a pendulum, and a picture of a pendulum that's slightly bigger? Does that mean it's going to swing all the way around and smack into the camera?

    159. Re:Easier for denialists by Burnhard · · Score: 1

      They are neither more nor less interested financially or ideologically in the outcome of their studies than any of the institutions or scientists promoting the hypothesis that it's caused by man-made Carbon Dioxide. Why is it that you accept with a kind-of religious faith what one interested group of scientists say, but deny what another group say even though they have essentially the same interest, but in opposition to the hypothesis?

    160. Re:Easier for denialists by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      > Note that I don't actually believe that there is anything too complex to model theoretically

      To do an accurate theoretical model you need absolutely accurate initial starting data and a fully known dynamic. Systems are described as chaotic when the sheer amount of initial data makes it even theoretically impossible to determine it all (because quite literally you cannot instaneously measure ALL the values).
      It gets more complex, some things change if you measure them and some things cannot be known if other things are (as Heisenberg showed with the location and speed of electrons) - so getting accurate initial data is in some cases not even theoretically possible.

      Accurate ENOUGH for immediate purposes is about the best we can do - but that makes a very clear prediction horizon beyond which our models fail - because frankly what we couldn't get right in initial data has built up beyond our ability to handle.

      That's all bad enough - and it's why we have no idea which side of the sun Pluto will be in a 10 billion years - we simply CANNOT get even a Newtonian simplified model of the solar system started with sufficiently accurate initial data to get it.

      Generally - we can work around the worst of initial-data issues on a limited scale by deliberate course-graining. Provided we push the prediction horizon past what we need to know right now, we're okay, we know we can't go much further and even what we get now may be wrong but at least it's generally reliable.
      BTW. The prediction horizon for weather is about 4 days and we USUALLY Get the 4th day wrong (go check the weekly forecasts on Monday a few times and see how often they adjust Thursday before we get to it).

      Now all this makes science pretty tough already... and that's not the worst part. The WORST part is that the REALLY complex stuff have emergent dynamics. Thats fancy mathematics-speak for - the system changes it's own rules as it runs. Fundamental to the very CONCEPT of an emergent dynamic is that it cannot be predicted even theoretically.
      If we know the starting conditions perfectly, and exactly what the initial dynamic is - we still can't predict beyond step 2 because in step one the rules that govern HOW we get between steps has changed along with the system and the NEW rules are now determining what step 3 will be.

      Emergent dynamics aren't random and they make perfect sense... in RETROSPECT. We can always see HOW the rules changed and even WHY they changed THAT way. But to predict it upfront is literally a violation of the laws of mathematics. We can guess of course, but not even an educated guess has any merrit there.
      Some of the most interesting examples of emergent dynamics is things like history. History is governed by clear patterns and rules - but it often violates them, sometimes it completely alters them, balances of power shift in directions never before seen and this changes the way the entire system happens and how the local interacts with the global.
      Economics are quite at times emergent and evolution is entirely emergent.

      One biologist (sorry, I forgot the name but I'll look it up if you really insist) described evolution as "always expanding into the adjacent possible". Except there is no way to predict how long it will take before that adjacent possible phase space is filled, which creature will get there first, will it be the most successful and how exactly will it do so.
      We can see how it happened afterward: some creatures started covering their eggs in shells so they didn't have to lay them in water. This was an expansion into the adjacent possible and immediately set the stage for the evolution of egg-eaters. Every change changes the system, changes the rules.
      Egg-eating would not be a viable survival trait BEFORE there eggs, and was probably unpreventable afterward... but of course since evolution ALSO depends on a degree of random interference - it may not happen, or it could not happen for such a long time that no OTHER means of giving birth ever had an edge. So mammals

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    161. Re:Easier for denialists by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      So, you know, learn your shit. It's a lot to ask, I know.

      I know my shit. The claim is that millions of people will be RAPIDLY displaced. That is, millions of people will be suddenly harmed by sea level rise. Using the figured YOU have provided, thats STILL not the case.

      Clear enough for you? The idea that sea level rise is going to harm millions when that sea level rise is going to take generations to witness is completely and utterly preposterous. The claim that it will happen is just appealing to emotions without any supporting evidence that such events will happen. They wont happen.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    162. Re:Easier for denialists by pastafazou · · Score: 1

      I like how you changed the original claim of "are more influenced by the dust we produce than by temperature" into "mostly to dust and soot", allowing you to ignore the first article's statement that the soot has contributed significantly to the retreat.

    163. Re:Easier for denialists by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      These cause of those problems is overpopulation. So many humans that we push into every habitat and kill anything dangerous to us that is there. We overfish until nothing is left.

      However- unfished and unhunted areas show enormous regeneration abilities in 20-30 year periods.

      Stop having more than one child per family and in 100 years, the planet will be a paradise. Then allow people to have 2 children each again. I'd also grant people the right to sell their child right (many people don't want to have children so those who do could purchase from them).

      Or we can keep breeding at our current rate until things are absolutely horrible.

      All the constrictive laws on our behavior will do no good because any gain will be eaten up by a higher population stabilization point (10 billion instead of 9 billion).

      The root problem is continued childbirth rates over replacement. And right now, we are probably 2-3 billion above carrying capacity and doing damage.

      We have a long time on this planet- there is no need to have 9 billion now-- we could have 3 billion over 60 years and have similar scientific advance (perhaps better with 3 billion fully educated and actualized humans instead of 9 billion mostly impoverished humans.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    164. Re:Easier for denialists by wisdom_brewing · · Score: 1
      Thats 106 W/m^2 on the surface, im sure some more is absorbed in the atmosphere... I'm also sure that some is reflected. So the overall figure is *probably* smaller. Or is it? Look up "sunlight" on wikipedia - apparently we get something like 1.3-1.4kw per square metre...

      But for the love of god (or Allah, or Dawkins, or whatever) do NOT compare it to a "traditional" 100W light bulb which is ~10% efficient at getting that power into light form. More like 10 of them. And also from wikipedia on "solar energy":

      The total solar energy absorbed by Earth's atmosphere, oceans and land masses is approximately 3,850,000 exajoules (EJ) per year.[6] In 2002, this was more energy in one hour than the world used in one year.[11][12] Photosynthesis captures approximately 3,000 EJ per year in biomass.[8] The amount of solar energy reaching the surface of the planet is so vast that in one year it is about twice as much as will ever be obtained from all of the Earth's non-renewable resources of coal, oil, natural gas, and mined uranium combined.[13]

      Humans use something like 500 EJ a year... That wouls be a hell of a lot of light bulbs...

    165. Re:Easier for denialists by bunratty · · Score: 1

      Let's just say for argument's sake that the climatologists at CRU are all actively engaged in deliberate fraud. How does that negate what all the other hundreds of climatologists are doing? Scientific frauds are uncovered all the time, and I never see anyone claiming that a handful of bad researchers invalidates the entire field they're studying. If you think there's something wrong with the science showing that humans are responsible for most of the warming of the past fifty years, you're going to have to come up with evidence if you want to convince anyone else.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    166. Re:Easier for denialists by bunratty · · Score: 1

      But all the articles say that temperature is influencing the melting more than the soot, and I don't see anyone pointing out a third contributing factor. I'm not ignoring the statement that the soot has contributed significantly to the retreat. I'm sure it does. But there's no statement anywhere that says the soot is causing more melting than warming. I'm still looking...

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    167. Re:Easier for denialists by mrcaseyj · · Score: 1

      The credibility of the hundreds of other climatologists is hurt because they won't condemn the bad scientific methods. If they won't disclaim the known bad science, then what are they hiding that we don't know about yet?

    168. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No "they" did not rule out it was a trick just because business week said it wasn't. The report was commissioned to prove global warming, anything that did not specifically help prove it or could be used against it was "left out". The way I see it.. If there were any questionable numbers or figures, they were omitted. This was not a neutral report and it was never intended to be, it was a report designed to prove a predetermined specific view point.

      Example. Crime is going down in your town, prove it. Crime is going up in your town, prove it. Find out if crime is going up or down in your town. Ideally, all of the goals should find the same statistics and come to the same conclusion. This was not an ideal report.

    169. Re:Easier for denialists by spike+hay · · Score: 1

      That's not true. We are realistically looking at more that a meter by the end of this century. That's not even taking into account high loss/low probability events like a WAIS collapse (such pdf tails factor hugely into the decision theory for climate policy),

      --
      If you don't understand any of my sayings, come to me in private and I shall take you in my German mouth.
    170. Re:Easier for denialists by sorak · · Score: 1

      it's agenda is run by hypocrites.

      I've always thought it was more hubris. It takes quite a bit of arrogance to believe that humanity can change the Earth's climate that much, that fast.

      If you take a large application and swap out random bits of data, with gibberish, it can no longer be expected to perform as expected. The complexity of it is the very reason why it is susceptible to change. So, why should we assume that we can randomly change variables within the earth's ecosystem, and not expect any change?

    171. Re:Easier for denialists by VennData · · Score: 0

      The facts are this: GW deniers like to loudly shout their beliefs from mountaintops

    172. Re:Easier for denialists by bunratty · · Score: 4, Insightful

      No one is proposing that we change our lifestyle by dumping our computers, our cars, our TVs, our telephones. The plan is to reduce carbon dioxide emissions by phasing out fossil fuels. This will be done by improving energy efficiency, developing nuclear power more, and increasing energy from renewable sources. No one has said we need to get all energy from renewable sources or stop burning all fossil fuels altogether. Nice strawman!

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    173. Re:Easier for denialists by bunratty · · Score: 1

      No, no data that did not fit global warming was left out. There was nothing misleading or unethical about what the researchers did. If you think you have evidence that AGW is not happening, please show it.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    174. Re:Easier for denialists by Jhon · · Score: 1

      Not necessarily. One does not preclude the other. But I didn't make the statement -- I merely pointed to information supporting the statement. And that looking for information is quite easy. That is, if one isn't lazy.

      How about:

      http://e360.yale.edu/content/digest.msp?id=2264

      Aerosols and black carbon from air pollution may be responsible for as much as 90 percent of the melting taking place in Himalayan glaciers, according to a new study.

      Anybody who's been mildly following this with an open mind would be aware of these studies.

    175. Re:Easier for denialists by wisdom_brewing · · Score: 1

      The total solar energy absorbed by Earth's atmosphere, oceans and land masses is approximately 3,850,000 exajoules (EJ) per year.[6] In 2002, this was more energy in one hour than the world used in one year.[11][12] Photosynthesis captures approximately 3,000 EJ per year in biomass.[8] The amount of solar energy reaching the surface of the planet is so vast that in one year it is about twice as much as will ever be obtained from all of the Earth's non-renewable resources of coal, oil, natural gas, and mined uranium combined.[13]

      from wiki. Humans "use"/waste 500 EJ per year...

      AN EXTRA 0.013%!!!

    176. Re:Easier for denialists by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      But the problem with global warming is twofold. First, there are vested interests both in denial and in assertion of global warming. This is not science, this is a war of interests.

      There are vested interests both in denial and in assertion of the effectiveness of drugs. (Cult of Scientology vs. pharmaceutical companies). Does that mean pharmacology isn't a science, but a war of interests?

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    177. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The claim is that millions of people will be RAPIDLY displaced. That is, millions of people will be suddenly harmed by sea level rise. Using the figured YOU have provided, thats STILL not the case.

      That's not what the poster you responded to said. Nowhere in his statement did he say that millions would suddenly be displaced by an overnight rise in sea levels. Of course that would be a dumb statement - if that's what anyone here was claiming in the first place.

      The claim was that a Bangladeshi farmer would be impacted far more than a wealthy resident of Miami, which was meant to imply that a wealthy resident of the West would be less impacted by the sea level rise than someone in a poorer, more vulnerable area. You can't deny that this would be the case.

      Nice strawman, though.

    178. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Okay let's see you "go first". Become an early adopter of the post-AGW lifestyle.

      First thing : dump your computer, your car, your tv, your telephone. There's just no way that we can have personal computers, cars, or even normal phones (pray you get to keep your cell phone, and forget about smartphones) using only renewable resources. Not going to happen."

      That all sounds rather drastic.

      Until you realize that regardless of global warming issues, we're facing exactly the same thing in the next few decades anyway. Oil, which accounts for over a third of the energy used world-wide, is going to DRAMATICALLY decline in the first half of this century if present conditions persist. Whatever horrors you imagine will be necessary to adopt a "post-AGW lifestyle" will simply be delayed a couple of decades and appear again as a "post-oil lifestyle". Oil is not going to vanish overnight, but there will come a point where oil supply starts declining by a couple of percent a year every year, there will be nothing we can do to reverse the trend, and either we'll have to change our lifestyle or we'll have to replace that energy with alternatives. It will be tough to deal with, given that we're usually used to a cheap oil supply that is increasing by a couple of percent every year.

      Fortuitously, the same solution -- finding alternative, ideally non-fossil-fuel energy sources -- applies to either climate change or energy supply, although there are subtle differences depending upon the driver (e.g., if you don't care about CO2 output, burn more coal as an alternative as oil dwindles, but coal isn't renewable either and eventually its supply will dwindle too, albeit further in the future).

      Thus, whether you dispute anthropogenic global warming or not, dwindling of fossil-fuel-based energy supply still has to be addressed to maintain an industrialized society in the future. Non-renewable resources are *not* a way to come up with an industrialized society that will last for centuries more. You just run out of the next thing and something has to change someday. And the history of coming up with solutions (e.g., 4 decades of the USA saying they would deal with the "imported oil" problem, but total consumption and the percent imported oil continuing to grow) isn't exactly encouraging.

      Do we have to move back to a radically smaller population and agrarian society? I hope not. But if this doesn't play out right in the next century or so we might end up there. If we can't figure out a way for *sustainable* industrial society to work, then we're going to reach a crisis and transform whether we want to or not.

    179. Re:Easier for denialists by mrcaseyj · · Score: 1

      How can you think it is fair to leave the divergence out of the graph when it casts great doubt on the reliability of the proxy? If an oil company put out a study and covered up the unreliability of their proxy, would you consider that acceptable?

    180. Re:Easier for denialists by wisdom_brewing · · Score: 1

      What about this?

      http://www.thaindian.com/newsportal/health/clouds-of-soot-melting-glaciers-in-himalayas-and-tibetan-plateau_100256097.html

    181. Re:Easier for denialists by wisdom_brewing · · Score: 1

      or this...

      http://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/features/himalayan-warming.html

    182. Re:Easier for denialists by bunratty · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry... I've been following this very closely and have never seen the study you just linked to. Note that although it says that most melting is due to soot, it applies only to Himalayan glaciers, and not to all glaciers, snow, and ice as arivanov stated. The melting in the Arctic, Antarctic, and Greenland (that is, most of the melting ice) seems to be due mostly to warming.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    183. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you think there's something wrong with the science showing that humans are responsible for most of the warming of the past fifty years, you're going to have to come up with evidence if you want to convince anyone else.

      More accurately, you're going to have to publish, in a respected peer-reviewed scientific journal, your findings. And it's at this point that 'cui bono?' comes home to roost. Look at all the climatologists with reputations invested in the existence of AGW, with their funding dependent on the premise of AGW, all the scientific journals that have consistently published papers 'proving' or supporting AGW, all of the companies that expect to profit from producing and selling methods to mitigate AGW, all the politicians who have made careers out of flogging the imminent, critical threat of AGW, and all the PR flacks and journalists who sensationalize the threat of AGW. Now imagine that you're part of a small group of researchers who have a promising line of research that might show that AGW is a house of cards. Where are you going to get funding for your research, and where do you think you're going to get fair, unbiased reviews of your work for publication? There is too much entrenched money behind AGW for research that might suggest that the entire premise of AGW is wrong to be treated fairly.

    184. Re:Easier for denialists by bunratty · · Score: 1

      I notice you're not coming up with evidence about the conclusion being wrong. But it's nice to try to distract me with your nitpicking. Good try!

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    185. Re:Easier for denialists by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      What IS unrealistic to to blame ONLY man to the exclusion of all other contributing factors, which is what the A in AGW and all the real debate is about.

      Please quote a climate scientist who says that 100% of warming in anthropogenic. I don't know any.

    186. Re:Easier for denialists by bunratty · · Score: 1

      That says that there's an impact due to soot, but not that the impact is more than that due to warming. It also applies only to Himalayan glaciers, not to glaciers, snow, and ice in general.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    187. Re:Easier for denialists by bunratty · · Score: 1

      Yes, that states that the warming due to soot is as much or maybe more than that due to warming. It also applies only to Himalayan glaciers, not the Arctic, Antarctic, and Greenland ice sheets, which is the melting we are most concerned about.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    188. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "denialist". Pathetic.

      www.climatedepot.com

      There is no anthropogenic global warming.

    189. Re:Easier for denialists by mrcaseyj · · Score: 1

      I can't come up with evidence to prove anything about the medieval warm period. It might well have been cooler than today. But this isn't just nitpicking. If the climate science community can't recognize bad science in this instance, then their judgment can't be trusted. Can you fairly evaluate good science? It doesn't look good if you dodge the question. Do you think it's good science to cover up data that would cast serious doubt on the conclusion? Would it be OK for an oil company to hide a divergence like Mann did?

    190. Re:Easier for denialists by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      So if someone comes up with a real plan, like closing down all coal fired plants and replacing them with a combination of nuclear, wind, molten salt solar, and other long term zero carbon energy sources? I'll be the first one on the bandwagon.

      Well you answered your own question. I agree that cap and trade is a massive scam as it is, and I think it's a lowsy, hackish idea for a fix in general.

      Switch to nuclear + renewable, wait for electric cars to become popular (probably 5-10 years from now they'll be more than competitive with ICE-powered cars, even including long-term maintenance costs and without any government rebates) and pollution will be cut down significantly. At this point the hurdles are more political than technological.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    191. Re:Easier for denialists by russotto · · Score: 1

      um extinction of animals is caused by the simple fact one animal was conceived itself to be so important all it does is eat and fuck.

      Dose wascawwy wabbits!

    192. Re:Easier for denialists by Surt · · Score: 1

      I'll give you two arguments:

      1) Localized evidence of cooling like an unusually cold winter storm in one area and localized evidence of heating like thousand mile areas of glacier melting are typically not the same in scale.

      2) AGW supporters are not one person. Therefore, you have a range of intelligence levels within the community. Therefore, you may have one or more persons in the community who don't realize that making such arguments is ineffective, and that you should just always refer to the global trend data.

      --
      "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
    193. Re:Easier for denialists by Combatso · · Score: 1

      "Since we're making up words, I suggest "scientism". That's the religious system practiced by people who pretend (even to themselves) they're practicing science, but who actually have no confidence in the scientific process, or the ability of others to make rational decisions based on the findings of that process." they have word for those people already "climatologists". The religion is Climatology, it was founded by a guy only seemed to care about dirty lyrics on CD's when he had a real position of power.

    194. Re:Easier for denialists by Surt · · Score: 1

      Yes, let's (continue to) ignore the pesky byproducts.

      --
      "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
    195. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Stop calling it "warming", its "change". Not everywhere on the globe will warm.

    196. Re:Easier for denialists by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Uh, there's plenty of energy to power all that. Nuclear's the best we've got right now, but we're slowly coming up with alternatives. A lot more local power from renewable stuff, and nuclear to, right now, fill in the gaps.

      And before you mention 'plastic', there's enough oil to provide the plastic requirements from essentially now to the end of time if we don't stupidly burn it all. Although it can be made from things other than oil if we need to.

      And, of course, using oil as plastic doesn't cause global warming, it's releasing the carbon that causes global warming. (Although I think we've all been clued in recently that just drilling for oil can cause environmental damage, so we need to obviously be a bit more concerned about that.)

      Here's a clue: Pretending that all 'environmental' problems are the same makes you look like an idiot, as does pretending we need to cut everything back to zero.

      What we need to do is stop letting everyone use the commons as a goddamn free dumping ground.,P> And, no, we can't 'adapt', you asshat. 'Adaptation' usually involves 90% of a species dying out, and, if billions of dead people don't convince you, the simple fact is we're probably changing the world in ways that we cannot adapt fast enough to. Not via AGW, which we could, in theory, adapt to (If we wanted a goodly percentage of the world's population to die)...but via things like cancerogens in our water and air, which would require most life on this planet to die and start over to adapt to, because cell replication and stuff like that is so low-level.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    197. Re:Easier for denialists by cherokee158 · · Score: 1

      Why is it so hard to entertain the thought that human beings can have an impact on the climate? There would not even be any oxygen here at all were it were not for creatures far smaller than ourselves.

      We have deforested entire regions and farmed once fertile soil into deserts. We could trigger a new ice age overnight if some yo-yo was crazy enough to push the button.

      I don't know if we have created global climate change or not, but we most certainly could.

    198. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, dear, yes. Let's take a rather disgusting example.

      0.074km^2/human = 74388m^2/human.

      Assuming an average human produces ~1 litre of poop a day (a conservative estimate), lives 80 years (median in many industrialized countries), and poops once a day (personal anecdote), that's 80*365=29200 litres of poop per lifetime. One litre is 1/1000 of a cubic metre (i.e. 1000 litres in 1m^3). That means you could use a litre of volume to cover a square metre 1mm deep (1mm == 1/1000 m). Which means with 29200 litres you could cover 29200m^2@1mm depth / 74388m^2= 0.39mm. So, over a lifetime of pooping you can spread a little over a third of a millimetre deep over your part of the Earth, which really isn't all that impressive, is it?

      Except that the original poster used the land *and* water surface of the Earth for the original calculation. Land area is ~150 000 000 km^2, so multiply by 510072000/150000000=3.4x if you poop only on land, which ups the estimate to 0.39*3.4 = 1.33mm deep. And we're including all the land area, including, say, Antarctica and the Sahara, which aren't exactly densely populated. So, in reality humans concentrate the value in certain areas by many times, and leave other areas nearly untouched. And remember I took a lower estimate for typical volume per day.

      Even so, 1.33mm over a whole lifetime may not be impressive until you consider you have to leave some of that area to make the food that you eat in the first place, build your house, build the roads that connect your house to your work, harvest the metals and other materials you need to do all that, and you notice that your neighbors are doing exactly the same thing beside your 13.7 football fields.

      All I can say is: thank the gods for the bacteria that recycle this stuff efficiently over that ~80 years.

    199. Re:Easier for denialists by Miseph · · Score: 1

      I'll bite: to some extent, it is precisely that.

      Scientology is pretty much a red herring here, but there IS a war of interests between people who want to be healthy and between people who want them to consume medication. To the extent that sick people will consume medications that make them healthy, both sides win... to the extent that they consume medications that will have no/negative effects only the latter wins.

      One doesn't need to be a Scientologist to be concerned that many medications, psychiatric or otherwise, are wildly over-prescribed and that this actually creates a serious health problem in its own right. Nor does one need to be a Scientologist to doubt the efficacy and necessity of many drugs currently on the market (hey there, Requip, how is life as a drug to cure a fake disease? better than life as a mediocre and unpopular anti-depressent, I would imagine).

      --
      Try not to take me more seriously than I take myself.
    200. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mod parent -1 killjoy.

    201. Re:Easier for denialists by TJamieson · · Score: 1

      With regards to moderation, it seems in the past 6 to 12 months, suddenly the same people not only keep getting mod points, but they get 10-20 of them at a time! When your "average" moderator only gets 5 points roughly once every two months, it's easy to see what has happened lately to moderation. As for me? I guess I pissed off slashcode a while back when tagging was still new, and one day a bunch of people (myself included) gave every story a "dontmebro" tag. dont-agw-mebro would be perfect for this one!

      --
      For the last time, PIN Number and ATM Machine are redundancies!
    202. Re:Easier for denialists by Surt · · Score: 1

      As far as I know, not one single person in the AGW camp thinks that man is responsible to the exclusion of all other factors.

      The AGW argument is, at its base, that man is one factor, and that we have a choice about whether to mitigate that factor or not.

      --
      "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
    203. Re:Easier for denialists by MrHanky · · Score: 1

      No one has claimed AGW comes from direct heating of the atmosphere by combustion of fossil fuels.

    204. Re:Easier for denialists by franki.macha · · Score: 1

      It's really not that obscure..... They use AGW all over the news, etc...

      In some countries.

    205. Re:Easier for denialists by DarenN · · Score: 1

      That was very well said.

      I think that the problem here is akin to the the problems with the Gulf of Mexico spill. Some people view it as an engineering problem - it has causes and effects and we need to remove those effects as much as possible, as simply as possible and as quickly as possible. Others view it as a moral question - should we drill at all. The problem with viewing such large issues as moral problems before they've been resolved is that the blame game just gets in the way.

      In the case of Climate Change, there are those that view it as an engineering problem. We could quickly cool the earth, simply by pumping sulfur dioxide into the atmosphere, for instance. This is an engineering solution, identify the problem (surface too hot), identify a solution (volcanos cool the atmosphere by putting sulfur dioxide into the atmosphere, sulfur dioxide degrades quickly so if we stop there'll be a relatively quick return to the norm) and identify a mechanism (a pump, hose and balloon). Of course this approach has downsides (such as acid rain). The engineers are optimistic, the belief is that while this is a challenge it is one that can be overcome, the same way as humanity has got over/around/through all problems in our history

      Then there are those that view it as a moral question. These people will tell us that we need to reduce world population (without mentioning how because details are dirty), and stop emitting CO2 (with only vague notions of how they'll get their power or transport afterwards). It may well be a moral question, or at least there are certainly questions to answer about how we go forward, but stop stifling debate and research on the goddamn subject. Climate science is a complex multidisciplinary field and the models have many inputs, some of which are not particularly well understood. It's hard, and won't always be right. This is not an underlying fault with the field itself, so you don't need to crucify anyone who disagrees with the details.

      The worst are the politicians, who've managed to create a nonsense system of magical money and credits that is completely meaningless yet makes money for those with vested interests. It's actually masterful. I tip my hat while shaking my head. It's also used as a stick to beat anyone who disagrees with them on any reason at all, and as a big lever to bring in massive taxation, none of which goes to, y'know, actually attempt to fix the problem.

      Not controversial:
      The climate is changing.
      It's getting, on average warmer.
      The balance of evidence suggest anthropogenic contribution.

      Very slightly controversial.
      There are factors we don't understand.
      It might not be all us.

      Controversial:
      It's our fault.
      There's a tipping point and once we hit it we're fucked.

      Mental:
      We should all go live in mud huts and knock off anyone who disagrees until we've got to about 50% of the current population.
      Give Al Gore all your monies to offset your carbon emissions.

      --
      Rational thought is the only true freedom
    206. Re:Easier for denialists by Chris+Johnson · · Score: 1

      "Where are you going to get funding for your research"

      I think Big Oil has a _little_ money stashed away somewhere. As impoverished as they are, seems like they might take an interest. Not that they have any connections into things like government, etc. to help you get your message out ;) ...I think the word is 'gobsmacked', thanks Gordon Ramsay. I am gobsmacked every time anyone brings up the poor hungry moneyless anti-global-warming researchers. I would have thought a relative scarcity of those implies it's really, really REALLY hard to even pretend they have a case, because those who benefit from their position have such outrageously deep pockets.

      I suppose it might be a case of Big Oil wanting the global warming narrative to advance, because peak oil is also a reality to them and they'd like to get going on future prices much higher than the current world economy could possibly support. Establish alternate energy to take up the slack, and jack up the price of oil as a luxury energy source. Makes sense to me ;)

    207. Re:Easier for denialists by wasmoke · · Score: 1

      You left out the time factor here. Don't forget that for the last (what? 3000 years or so?) people have been farming A) rice, and B) cattle. Both of these are immense methane producers. Granted CH4 oxidizes fairly quickly in the atmosphere, but the fact remains that we have been pumping one of the worse greenhouse gases into the air for thousands of years.

    208. Re:Easier for denialists by Sarius64 · · Score: 1

      You mean the poor farmer in Bangladesh will experience the same hardship from sea level rise than a Miami millionaire? One loses his livelihood and the other has to move his yacht pier up 3 feet - yes, that seems about the same.

      Yes, the 2.8mm/year rate of sea level rise is sure to take away the livelihood of that farmer in Bangladesh... he should start running now, or else he may never escape!!!!!

      You don't realize the absurdity of your extremist appeals to emotion BECAUSE YOU DONT EVEN KNOW THE FACTS OF THE VERY SHIT YOUR ARE SUPPORTING.

      No, you don't know the facts of the "shit" you are supporting. To start with, Bangaldeshi farmers can't start running because they live in one of the most densely populated areas on earth and the national boundaries there have been drawn in the 20th century to stop traditional migrations. And while 2.8mm/y may sound like nothing, try to remember that a) it has been going on for decades, b) that projection is probably too low and c) it is already causing serious problems in low-lying island nations such as Tuvalu and the Maldives as well as in Bangladesh itself.

      So get your head out of your fat Western ass and start paying attention.

      ...and as long as we can tax you so that you never get to keep even 50% of what you earn, Al Gore is happy! His family ran out of dead Kulaks to exploit so they need your property now. Pass the carbon credits!

    209. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I suppose it probably was pretty brutal for the Earth when we developed steam powered equipment, and eventually developed the internal combustion engine leading up to 1900...

      The idea that what we were doing prior to 1900 was somehow affecting the temperature of the globe negatively is laughable, at best.

      The biggest problem with people who deny the massive amounts of evidence pointing towards a significant human effect on global warming tend to be those who are financially benefiting from the alleged destruction of our environment .

      You can just as easily reverse the situation. Those that are pushing the "massive amounts of evidence" that come from unreleased models following internally discussed ways to skew the data are financially being backed by their continued statements.

      I'm all for renewable energy and removing our dependency on oil, but the entire green movement is the financial backing needed to make the claims as proof of GW.

      It really just boils down to whom you trust. Either way, the person is being paid to study what they are saying. Which one actually has morals and ethics? I'll tell you one thing, it's not Al Gore.

    210. Re:Easier for denialists by mikael · · Score: 1

      75% of that surface is water, and is not inhabited. Of the remaining 25% which is land, only around 12% is suitable for farming and 4% has been urbanised into cities, roads, factories and housing. That would give each person a much smaller area of land to modify.

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
    211. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well played, sir. Well played.

    212. Re:Easier for denialists by BobMcD · · Score: 1

      So your line of thinking is: Because it is arrogant to believe humanity can affect the Earth's climate, the climate data, statistics or the statistical models incorporating the data must be wrong.

      Damn you for drawing me into one of the most pointless scientific debates that one could possibly devise. I hesitated to click on this story, and regret replying already. Oh well, too late now. The keys are already flowing...

      Let's begin with this comment from above, because it really is genuinely insightful:

      Denialism also refers to a set of rhetorical strategies used to create the impression of uncertainty where none exists.

      Pot, meet Kettle. Except you're doing the opposite. So...

      Denialism also refers to a set of rhetorical strategies used to create the impression of certainty where none exists.

      You've stated that because the Earth has climate, which produces data, which can be analyzed by statistics, that the entirety of every conclusion drawn upon this data is beyond doubt.

      Look at the facts:

      1) The Earth has climate which we do know changes with or without human intervention. The argument for 'Natural Global Warming' is well settled. Everyone knows it happens, the end.

      2) Anyone and everyone can chart stats to say whatever they want. Look to any political topic and you'll find scores of data predicting all sorts of outcomes. These may or may not predict the actual future. Likewise look to any medical journal over the course of humanity. Inside you'll find articles that were proven incorrect. Drilling deeper, look for five minutes and you'll find a raft of statisticians from the 70's using the same data to draw completely incorrect conclusions and make false predictions. In short, we're still learning, and we make mistakes along the way.

      3) The Earth has proven notoriously difficult to model. Neither weather, nor sinkholes, nor earthquakes, nor tornadoes - none of this is accurately modeled with any degree of certainty. If your computer powered up at success rates similar to these prediction methods, it would soon find a new home at the recycling center. So while the models exist, they are far from 'good' as of yet.

      So you're expecting a leap of faith. Specifically that:

      A) This climate change is different, and we know this is true with enough certainty to up-end western civilization.

      B) This data is better, these scientists are smarter, and their stats are correct. Again, without room for doubt.

      C) These models are the first ones to be completely correct - well, ever.

      That much faith is not science, it's religion.

      We can just run science on a sense of moral outrage and gut feeling. Yeah!

      Don't look now, but this is precisely what your post advocates. Just because you happen to agree with the conclusion doesn't mean you're any less of a zealot.

      Not that this is wrong, but only that it is completely ignorant of human culture, motivations, and history. You've abated the entire science of psychology in your analysis, which to me is insane to the point of mockery.

    213. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The largest problem with global warming is not a dispute about the course of warming, but the arrogance that human beings are not only responsible for the warming but should be in control of the warming. The arrogance that because we might be contributing to a climate change, we are responsible to control that change. AGW supporters contend that we are responsible, and therefore we should control the climate. In particular, they want us to do what ever it takes to reverse the trend and to prevent the climate from changing.

      Of course, a study of terran evolution would quickly show that icy polar caps is not the average behavior for earth. Most of the time, the poles are free of ice and the average temperature is warmer. Significantly warmer.

      The worst possible outcomes are those proposed by the supporters of AGW: that we should marry science and legislation to control an inherently natural process. Don't forget that humans are a PART of nature, not some outside force exerting influence. We are a part of the ecology of the earth. Every time we marry science to politics we invoke the law of unintended consequences much to our detriment.

      Take for example the course of the Mississippi River, which is determined not by the forces of water and gravity, but by legislation that requires the Corps of Engineers to PREVENT the Mississippi River from flooding, from altering course, etc, The outcome is that the vast wetland ecosystem that the flooding supported is vanishing at a rapid rate, the city of New Orleans is sinking further and further below sea level, and a vast dead zone exists in the Gulf of Mexico. But because legislation is hard to repeal, especially against intrenched commercial and political interest, the unintended consequences of legislations passed in the late 1920's is that the natural process of delta building and wetland maintenance have been stopped. This was done to mitigate the harm to humans living in the flood plains of the Mississippi River, not to prevent damage to our ecosystem.

      AGW alarmists believe that we can do something and that we MUST do something, but I for one see a pattern of behavior in humans: We manipulate the environment around us to suit our needs. This is not going to change, as CAP and TRADE clearly exemplify. Global warming is not the issue, the foolish notion that a human POLITICAL process can manage an ecosystem is foolish.

    214. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you deny that the word "denialist" was chosen specifically to inflame the "people-who-still-need-convincing"?

      I will call you a name, if that's true: naive.

    215. Re:Easier for denialists by Snaller · · Score: 1

      You for one what?

      --
      If Google really cared they would fix Android Chrome to reflow text, instead of discriminating
    216. Re:Easier for denialists by Snaller · · Score: 1

      "cause some serious changes in our lifesyles for the worse, i.e. lots of us have to live like peasants while a privileged few of us get rich because of the laws and regulations that make the rest of us live like peasants."

      Except that is just tin foil rubbish from uneducated Fox fanboys.

      "Compared to that I'll take the serious or catastrophic consequences of global warming, should they come to pass, thank you very much. At least those will be equal opportunity changes since Mother Nature and the Universe don't discriminate when it comes time to bring the pain to those unworthy to survive."

      And that too is rubbish, some areas will be a lot harder hit than others. Now get the some education son!

      --
      If Google really cared they would fix Android Chrome to reflow text, instead of discriminating
    217. Re:Easier for denialists by fadethepolice · · Score: 0

      Calling someone who disagrees with you by a pejorative label such as denialism that automatically reminds someone of a holocaust denier is a way to label them and silence them. Such tactics are used to stifle debate and are offensive to me. Empirical verifiable reality is the fact that where I am sitting right now was covered by a mile of ice 11,000 years ago. Global warming, possibly man made, has allowed large areas of the planet to become more densely populated by life. The normal state of affairs for our planet is an ICE AGE. Man made global warming may be the greatest opportunity to increase biodiversity and maintain a stable warm climate that this world has had in millions of years. We need to do everything we can to keep the world warm so we don't abruptly come to the end of the SHORT INTERGLACIAL period which has only been around for 11,000 years and is due to end, according to 700,000 years of climate data from various sources that all agree that THE NORMAL STATE OF AFFAIRS FOR OUR PLANET IS A LOT COOLER THAN RIGHT NOW. Please go read some long-term climate data and keep up on your science. Dramatically reducing our C02 may produce unforeseen consequences including burying north america under a mile of ice. At least the polar bears could increase their range.

    218. Re:Easier for denialists by Artifakt · · Score: 1

      The next time somebody launches a "religions are all teh evillle!" post, I'm going to be sure and lay the blame for 'Mayan's (and Aztecs, who did it more) cutting hearts out squarely on Darwin channeling Malthus, and not on any priestly visions. Dude, that rocks!

      Soil salinity is a climate effect? Not all environmental change is climate change. Good thing those Mesapotwamians had advanced science "similarly' to your Mayans, to keep them from knowing about ignorant, no-scientific crop rotation. Course, your agricultural science is probably wrong too, as rotation treats nitrogen depletion, but the usual cure for excess salinity is a. stop using brackish water to irrigate, and b. additional fertilizers, as salt reduces fertilizer efficiency before it gets to concentrations sufficient to actually damage plant cell membranes.

      --
      Who is John Cabal?
    219. Re:Easier for denialists by colinrichardday · · Score: 1

      So your answer is to go "The sky is falling!" and then stand there?

      No. Those who claim that AGW occurs are not the ones just standing there. In the US at least, they leave doing nothing to the Party of No, the Republicans.

      ANY plan that is based on "Fuck the west" is doomed to failure, because the west is ALREADY in decline.

      And what about a non-plan that fucks the entire planet? The West isn't going to be helped by having oceans rise 100 feet, either.

      It is because, thanks in part to SCOTUS saying "corps=people" and "money=speech"

      Oh yeah, the climatologists were celebrating Citizens United v. FEC, and no corporation ever funded speech that said that AGW wasn't occurring.

      Cap-and-trade may be bad policy, but that doesn't mean there isn't a problem.

    220. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      PopeRatzo,

      Please don't engage the peasants. You know it only gets them excited.

      sincerely,
      The King

    221. Re:Easier for denialists by colinrichardday · · Score: 1

      You can replace Scientologists with homeopaths, chiropractors, Christian Scientists, anti-vaccination advocates, etc. That's why we have science. Indeed, I would trust double-blind studies over their beliefs.

      I have no financial stake in the AGW debate, but I worry about people who place economics over climate.

    222. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you suggesting that heretofore the word "denial" or "denier" should only be used in reference to Hitler's genocide against the Jews?

      Dear PopeRatzo,

      Let me introduce you to a set of new words that you've obviously never heard before.

      "Denotation" and "connotation."

      Go look them up in something called a dictionary and you'll see what all of these people are talking about when they object to the use of the word "denialist."

    223. Re:Easier for denialists by bunratty · · Score: 1

      If I wanted to show that the conclusion of an oil company was incorrect, I would not rely on showing that their judgment can't be trusted. I would should evidence that they were wrong. If you think climatology is bad science, show evidence that the conclusions are wrong. You are using rhetorical debate in place of scientific reasoning.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    224. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well then, now that we have another stupid acronym that nobody had heard of before today, can we continue with the thread?

    225. Re:Easier for denialists by ticktickboom · · Score: 0

      i understand this, but only 1 senor is reading this, and that happens to be on as sinking island. the antarctic is also melting, and its over land, but to my understanding, that land is over a mile under what would be water if it were not all frozen. the sea level will rise, and it might even go a bit faster in time. but id wager that its the sea floors changing more than the ice melting. sorta like how its being done in the gulf. the sea floor has swollen 30 some feet since the 'leak' started there is too many things we cant find out.

    226. Re:Easier for denialists by colinrichardday · · Score: 1

      The largest problem with global warming is not a dispute about the course of warming, but the arrogance that human beings are not only responsible for the warming but should be in control of the warming. The arrogance that because we might be contributing to a climate change, we are responsible to control that change. AGW supporters contend that we are responsible, and therefore we should control the climate. In particular, they want us to do what ever it takes to reverse the trend and to prevent the climate from changing.

      But even if humanity isn't responsible, we're the ones who will suffer the consequences.

    227. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Easy way to decimate the earth's population down 90% without being racially descriminating, sexist, or biased in any way shape or form:

      Kill anyone who's age as of say... Jan. 1st 2010, or today's date, doesn't matter much... is NOT a multiple of 10.

      BAM, solved.

    228. Re:Easier for denialists by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 1

      Oh and obviously the human population will have to be decimated, even if you do actually give those things up. Forget about birth control, which only has effect after 60 years or-so, assuming you can enforce it globally (assuming, to be blunt, that every nation on earth is prepared to kill "unapproved" babies), which is "too late". So who do we kill ?

      Geez... let's kill people because we can forget about encouraging contraception.

      Mind you, we'll need to lose somewhere between 60% and 90% of all humans alive. Who do we start with ? To keep in the theme of this thread, perhaps the Jews ?

      So in "keeping the theme of the thread", let's introduce this novel idea of selecting individuals for destruction specifically based on their ethnicity. Your worrying about "enforcing it globally" for "every nation on earth" with regard to "unapproved babies" was a strong hint this was coming.

      Of course atheists, christians, muslims, hindus and buddhists, even slashdotters won't be far behind.

      Uh huh. Then they came for the slashdotters, and I posted nothing because I wasn't a slashdotter, then they came for me.

      This 60% merely makes "living renewably" an attainable goal, btw, it does not, at all, guarantee we actually do accomplish it.

      Nothing is guaranteed when only partial solutions are available. That doesn't mean sitting on your ass.

    229. Re:Easier for denialists by bunratty · · Score: 1

      If sea level rises by three feet, it will wipe out the current beachfront of Miami. Rising sea level isn't just an inconvenience, even in the U.S. We'll need to spend trillions of dollars to stop the incoming sea or move infrastructure inland. It's not a matter of a Miami millionaire moving his yacht pier up three feet. All his beachfront property will be a loss.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    230. Re:Easier for denialists by nametaken · · Score: 1

      So get your head out of your fat Western ass and start paying attention.

      While you make excellent points in your rebuke, this bit was both unnecessary and unfair. The vast majority of time, money, research and political effort spent on the subject of global climate change comes from those western nations you seem to dislike so much.

    231. Re:Easier for denialists by operagost · · Score: 1

      Gee, it's right next door.

      This kind of crap is enough to make me want to give up on modern science.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    232. Re:Easier for denialists by sexconker · · Score: 1

      More generally, rich people are generally much better isolated from any environmental changes, and also in a much better position to exploit them.

      Uh, you're an idiot.
      Rich people have expensive property.
      Properties on islands, or on the coast.

      If the sea level rises to any meaningful degree, it is the rich people who will be fucked over.

      The poor people with shitty land will either have land that is still shitty or they will have land that's been improved. (And the poor people don't actually need to own the land to feel the positive effects from a positive change in their area.) Imagine if the dustbowl started to be less dusty, while the east and west coasts were trimmed off a bit.

    233. Re:Easier for denialists by SEWilco · · Score: 1

      So, how many Twiggys has the glacier lost?

    234. Re:Easier for denialists by operagost · · Score: 1

      That's funny, because the cheese-eating surrender monkeys seem to have been successful at this since the 1980s. And I don't notice anything funny about my source of electricity.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    235. Re:Easier for denialists by operagost · · Score: 2, Informative

      I'd rather not.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    236. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I see none of that data included in the NOAA report that was linked in the comment I replied to.

      So you don't believe the NOAA when they say that June 2010 was the fourth consecutive warmest month on record because it only includes years for which they kept records. That doesn't make sense. Do you think that the data they are reporting is inaccurate because it only goes back 130 years?

      So what is the answer? When conureman gave you some other options that do show climate records dating back thousands of years, you dismiss it because it wasn't included in the NOAA report. That is not being a skeptic. That is just closing your eyes, blocking your ears and yelling "I'm not listening, I'm not listening". There is no one source of data that will satisfy you. You need to look at the NOAA report in conjunction with other ones. Either that, or remain uneducated.

    237. Re:Easier for denialists by operagost · · Score: 1

      I'm still pissed off that Fred Flintstone killed all the Brotosauruses with his brontosaurus-burger-eating habits.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    238. Re:Easier for denialists by Artifakt · · Score: 1

      There's a spurious claim that Social Security must collapse because people are living so much longer on average than when it started. It's based on looking at what the average life expectancy from birth was when SS started and now, instead of what the life expectancy once you have already reached retirement age (using whatever the average retirement age for a given year is in all cases). How long people will collect from the system once they make it to retiring hasn't changed much at all - extending the base age to get full benefits as much has has already been done actually more than makes up for the whole difference that would result. The biggest cause of longer average lifespans, our greatly reducing infant mortality, hasn't had any impact at all on whether Social Security is economically sound. Why on Earth would it, when kids that died young back in the dark ages of the 1940s-50s didn't pay in or draw out back then either?
          There's one hell of a lot of overlap between the people who are originating the exaggerated effects of lifespan arguments about cancer and about lifespan causing the collapse of Social Security, probably at least 90%. It's one strong reason to doubt the similar claims for cancer too.

      --
      Who is John Cabal?
    239. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mean earth surface per inhabitant: 0,074 Km^2/habitant, or, to give it in "real international standards units", about 13,7 football fields.

      Wait, is that American football or regular football? ;-)

    240. Re:Easier for denialists by mrcaseyj · · Score: 1

      In many fields of science you can just go check the results in your own lab. But in climate science, that is often impractical. And even when it is practical, there may be nobody interested in going to do it. Oil companies and climate skeptics probably won't bother to go out and get tree rings because they're not worried about global warming. If climate scientists want people to listen, then they have to have credibility. We don't have to prove them wrong. They have to prove their case. The default if they don't prove their case is that we will just continue using the cheapest energy available as we have been doing. I suspect that as more and more people find out about Mike's Nature trick, and climate science's defense of it, there will be less and less support for spending a lot of money on global warming. Mike's Nature trick will continue to destroy climate science until climate science disclaims it.

      To spite my pointed and repeated challenge for you to disclaim or defend Mike's Nature trick, you still will not. Your refusal only hurts the credibility of your side. It makes it look like you know there is no defense.

    241. Re:Easier for denialists by EastCoastSurfer · · Score: 1

      Second: CO2 can be absorbed easily and is not toxic. What about persistent, toxic, mass produced, untaxed and uncapped pollutants? While our generation looks at 1C difference in south patagonia since the 1866, next ones will increasingly have trouble eating fish, breathing, reproducing.

      Bingo! GW/AGW to me is simply hype both to both extremes at this point. I don't really care so much about global warming that may raise sea a bit some 100 years from now when we already can't eat the fish because of the levels of mercury. GW/AGW has taken up so much energy and science that we are ignoring the real poisons that are out there right NOW as in TODAY. It's also much easier to get people onboard with being clean (who can argue that high levels of mercury in our sea water is a good thing or natural?!), rather than try to beat them into GW submission with people who clearly are in it for themselves even if the science is true.

    242. Re:Easier for denialists by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      The sea floors changing? Do you have *any* evidence to back this up at all?

      As far as sea-level rise, which is more likely:

      A. The 2/3 of the crust moving up a meter in a century. (And please explain how this would fit into the well understood process of plate techtonics)

      B. Temperatures going up enough in arctic/glacial regions to melt ice. (and also please explain how vastly increased speed of land based glacial ice into the oceans *won't* raise sea levels)

      Since temps are going up (hottest decade on record), you're going with A? just wow. Google 'warmest decade ever' for the documentation.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    243. Re:Easier for denialists by daveime · · Score: 1

      Or we could blame everything on human CO2 emissions, correlate them against temperature, and find that ... CO2 LAGS TEMPERATURE BY 200 YEARS ... oops, no wait, that doesn't support the AGW position, so let's bury that right away.

    244. Re:Easier for denialists by sexconker · · Score: 1

      LOL.
      Really?

      The Earth is three-dimensional, dude.
      There's a lot of ground under those 13.7 football fields, and a hell of a lot of air above them.

    245. Re:Easier for denialists by PinkyGigglebrain · · Score: 1

      I keep forgetting you can say "fuck" on /. and not get my post deleted by the moderators.

      So I use "fsck", gets the point across to most *NIX admins. In case your curious it also stands for "File System Check", which most Windows users have never heard of.

    246. Re:Easier for denialists by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      And again you pull a rabbit out of your head. It was, you see, "environmental change", which is so totally different from "climate change". Personally I'm more a fan of the "if it quacks like a duck and walks like a duck ..." line of thinking.

      First one hell of a hypocritical part of your statement. Can I interpret your "let's fight adaptation" attitude as that you don't believe in Darwin ? Because if you DO believe in darwin, that theory stipulates perfectly well what happens to people (and animals, and plants, and single-cellular organisms) who refuse to adapt to changing environments.

      The fun thing is it also describes what happens if the environment doesn't change. You might want to google it's technological analogy : "grey goo disaster", for a basic introduction.

      So which is it ?
      a) you don't believe in evolution. Jesus, jahwe, buddha, some prophet, or whoever created us. If so, why won't Jesus (or ...) save us ? Although, looking at you, whoever created use sure could should used some more "intelligence" in his designs.
      b) you "believe" in evolution like al gore believes in climate change : it's just a convenient soundbyte, used to not go to church on sundays. "Darwin", to you is a sequence of 6 letters, nothing more, that "means that you are right"

    247. Re:Easier for denialists by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      Oh and obviously the human population will have to be decimated, even if you do actually give those things up. Forget about birth control, which only has effect after 60 years or so, assuming you can enforce it globally (assuming, to be blunt, that every nation on earth is prepared to kill "unapproved" babies), which is "too late". So who do we kill ?

      Geez... let's kill people because we can forget about encouraging contraception.

      Is this supposed to be criticism ? Your policy is considered in the original post, and explained perfectly well to be useless, including the reason why.

      I expect my 4-year old to come up with better arguments. Don't you ?

    248. Re:Easier for denialists by catmistake · · Score: 1

      PS: What is "fsck" an acronym for? I'm guessing "fucking stupid censorship, kids".

      fsck - FileSystem Consistency checK and interactive repair

    249. Re:Easier for denialists by Dread_ed · · Score: 1

      "Changes like that are undeniably due to human excesses, mismanagement, corruption, greed and very little else."

      In the case of the reduced tiger population I would think it's more about self preservation, as in "I don't want to get munched by a gigantic fucking cat," than the other terms you state. But yea, other than than, you're spot on.

      --
      When the only tool you have is a claw hammer every problem starts to look like the back of someone's skull.
    250. Re:Easier for denialists by rovolo · · Score: 1

      That's 887 Km^2/habitant

      Given that the sun radiates in all directions, and not all of its radiation is captured by earth...

      Sun to the Earth: 1.49*10^8 Km

      Diameter of Earth: 1.27562*10^4 Km

      Surface area of sphere with radius from the Sun to the Earth: 2.7899*10^17 Km^2

      Cross section of Earth: 1.278*10^8 Km^2

      Only 4.581 * 10^-10 of the Sun's radiation reaches Earth. Therefore, if each bit of radiation the sun emitted were captured by earth, there would be 0.406 m^2 of surface per person. That's still quite a bit of super-hot material, but not quite as outrageous as you claimed.

      Even so, it doesn't matter how much of the sun is shining on each part of the earth, but rather the change in the radiation. Furthermore, humans affect how much of the radiation is retained; we do not heat the planet by leaving our space heaters on too long.

    251. Re:Easier for denialists by rainmouse · · Score: 1
      There is only one real solution that I know of, assuming that global warming is in fact being significantly catalysed by mankind's activities and so far from what I personally have seen its mostly only comedians who have the stones to propose the idea, probably as it would be political suicide for anyone in office.

      Frankie Boyle said "Of course, anyone who is aware of the environment knows that they should be re-using their plastic carrier bags....to suffocate their children"

      Billy Connolly said the solution was "Cannibalism. Look at this way: if we all ate one person, the problem would be halved over-night. Think about it: I could eat someone you don't like, you could eat someone I don't like... where's the fucking damage?"

      Tastelss jokes aside, of course the heart of the problem is surely over population and any other solutions are at best temporary fixes until the population swells even more. Solutions to problems created by overpopulation such as shortages of food and water only help to swell the population. I will surely be burned for saying this but feeding people who cannot feed themselves ultimately creates even more people who cannot feed themselves.

    252. Re:Easier for denialists by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      Actualy I did know what "fsck" stood for, but was going for the joke. Looks like the moderators got it!

    253. Re:Easier for denialists by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Well, actually we do need to stop burning fossil fuels altogether. But a realistic look at it says it's going to take 30 or 40 years to get there at best.

    254. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you believe in anything because the majority of scientists do, then you are an idiot.

      So if you think you're not an idiot, then does your statement mean you don't believe in gravity ?

      I hope so, because then all arrogant fucktards will just float off into space.

    255. Re:Easier for denialists by turbidostato · · Score: 1

      "Thats 106 W/m^2 on the surface, im sure some more is absorbed in the atmosphere..."

      Not. It's 106 W/m^2 *overall* (heck, why I took the time to write down "taking account for distance, angle and albedo"? may I ask myself).

      These are raw numbers (I should be able to avoid this since I'm going to use the same data than you for reference -well, if you don't even read the very Wikipedia you reference I think it's no wonder you don't read what I wrote, either):

        * 1.366 W/m^2 is the average value out of atmosphere as measured by satellites.
        * Then you should consider that the Earth is a spheroid so, on one hand it exposes more surface than simply its cross section and on the other only roughly half the spheroid is exposed to sunlight at a time. That makes about 342 W/m^2 (basic geometry -will I'll need to do the calculus for you or will you be able to cope with that? Hint: cross section is a circle with surface=PI*r^2, exposed surface is roughly 2*PI*r^2).
        * Then you should consider albedo which is calculated to worlwide average at 0,31, in other words, 69% of solar energy is reflected by Earth's "whitiness". Thus, about 106W/m^2 is what's getting into the system (for the sake of the argument I didn't count the light that it's absorbed by the atmosphere and then reemited on longer wavelenghts to space or else the number would be more about 85W/m^2 than 106W/m^2).

      "But for the love of god (or Allah, or Dawkins, or whatever) do NOT compare it to a "traditional" 100W light bulb which is ~10% efficient at getting that power into light form. More like 10 of them. And also from wikipedia on "solar energy""

      Oh, sure! But read it you first, please.

      While it's true that a light bulb is quite an unefficient decive to turn power into *visible* light it's in fact *very* efficient turning it into light, infrared light to be more precise -also known as "heat", and then, there comes your wikipedia article. Please pay attention to that funny diagram, "Solar Radiation Spectrum".

      But this is just disgressing since it does nothing to do with either visible or invisible radiation since I never talked about light but energy. 100 Watts are 100 Watts are 100 Watts. The comparation, if any, is against the light bulb not the other way around precisely because what you state: we recieve from the Sun comparatively more visible light than from a 100 Watts bulb, so if you don't find impressive comparing the Sun to a 100W bulb try comparing it to a ~50W bulb, which would make even more sense (since that's more or less the bulb you would need to get the same "light" than from a current 100W bulb if its radiation spectrum were alike to that of Sun).

      "Humans use something like 500 EJ a year... That wouls be a hell of a lot of light bulbs..."

      Hence my point "2)" that you conveniently forgot about.

    256. Re:Easier for denialists by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Actually, a large chunk of sea level rise so far is simply because of water expanding as it heats up. It think the rise from expansion is greater than the rise from land based ice melting so far. That won't be true forever though.

    257. Re:Easier for denialists by turbidostato · · Score: 1

      "*why is it natural when its anything but human, as though somehow we weren't on the same playing field as the rest of nature?"

      On one hand, I ask that too, and so did scientists like Ramón Margalef.

      On the other, for this case is very easy to see the difference. While natural, non-antropogenic Carbon emissions are more or less closed in a circle, specially for climacic ecosystems, which produces a neutral ballance (it is emitted as much carbon as it's fixed) antropogenic Carbon it's an open circle, not part of a closed system, not at least on short range (one could argue that current fossil emissions are just part of a cycle started about 600 Mill. years ago that will end on a form of equilibrium or another in some millions of years -be it subsumed again or being part of a super-greenhouse planet, the likes of Venus, but I don't think such a point will add up so much to the thread).

    258. Re:Easier for denialists by StikyPad · · Score: 1

      You obviously missed the fact that he had to type that on his laptop from 2009 on a puny 30Mbit connection, you insensitive clod. If having to use a laptop, let alone one from last year, isn't peasantry, then I don't know what is.

    259. Re:Easier for denialists by tbannist · · Score: 1

      My guess would be that your so called "interesting discussions" aren't actually interesting to many other people. For a lot of people, the entire debate AGW is settled. There's just people who refuse to accept reality and everyone else.

      If your "interesting discussions" are covering previously discredited lines of questioning, well, then it's no wonder they get modded down. People do get tired of seeing the exact same misinformation presented again and again.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    260. Re:Easier for denialists by tmosley · · Score: 1

      What do you think the priests were trying to do, exactly? What any priest or politician (one and the same, my friend) ever does, placate the masses and preserve their position, much like carbon taxes will enrich the few at the expense of the many. On your next religion list, you might add statism, of which AGW is a major tenant, perhaps even a part of the holy trinity. Others being "printing money creates wealth" and "economic activity can be enhanced with the correct regulations". All are linked, and all are observed by both Republicans and Democrats, though some religious wars do occur over a few quibbling points, like the Catholics and the Protestants in Ireland.

      And rotating crops off of a given plot of land for a year every so often will allow natural rain to wash out the salinity at a rate equal to or greater than the deposition rate.

    261. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your post troubles me for some reason. Let's move on?

    262. Re:Easier for denialists by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 1

      I expect my 4-year old to come up with better arguments. Don't you ?

      No- I don't have a 4-year old.

    263. Re:Easier for denialists by blueg3 · · Score: 1

      This is well-addressed elsewhere if you are actually interested in learning, but two useful points:
      * Your comment is unrelated to what I said. I only said that Earth's relatively-recent global temperature changes and solar output can be easily shown to be unrelated. No comments about CO2 are relevant to that.
      * The human-generated CO2 that puts the "A" in "AGW" hasn't been around for much longer than 200 years (post-Industrial Revolution). In the historical era, CO2 leads temperature change. With data on much earlier time scales, CO2 lags temperature change.
      * The lag you refer to hasn't been buried, bur rather is well-discussed in peer-reviewed climatology literature.

    264. Re:Easier for denialists by sycodon · · Score: 1

      Or we could...

      1. Use that great brand new repository that was shut down for political reasons.
      2. Recycle it, that's never been done for political reasons
      3. Just burn all the lying SOB politicians for fuel.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    265. Re:Easier for denialists by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Of course the answer to the mercury problem in fish is also part of the answer for AGW. Stop burning coal.

    266. Re:Easier for denialists by The+Spoonman · · Score: 1

      Ah, I see you're a fan of "Watt's Up With That". At least, I have to assume that as I think Watt's the only one still spewing the "one sensor" argument. To rebut, one merely has to look at what the published data actually says. To quote from this page "Sea levels are measured by a variety of methods that show close agreement - sediment cores, tidal gauges, satellite measurements. What they find is sea level rise has been steadily accelerating over the past century." Note GAUGES. Plural. But, also note other methods as well that aren't subject to local variation bias.

      but id wager that its the sea floors changing

      You do realize you're wagering everyone else's future on that bet, right? You should probably hedge your bets a little better by reading the actual science involved.

      --
      Which is more painful? Going to work or gouging your eye out with a spoon? Find out!
      http://www.workorspoon.com
    267. Re:Easier for denialists by Lars+T. · · Score: 1

      why is it when I point to localised evidence of cooling as proof AGW is bullshit, AGW supporters give me a line about global temps being the only valid data. but when there's some local event like ice melting on a mountain, it's considered rockhard evidence by AGW supporters?!

      Ohh, it isn't evidence for AGW - it just hints at the fact that your rantings about Himalayagate should result in an public excuse because the mistake was on your side after all.

      --

      Lars T.

      To the guy who modded me down from perfect to terrible Karma - Apple haters still suck

    268. Re:Easier for denialists by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      Inevitable comment from one of the AGW faithful in the Cathedral. And, of course, you are wrong. Just like you are wrong about AGW being "settled". And you reveal your bias by claiming that anyone that doesn't agree with that assertion simply "refuse to accept reality".

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    269. Re:Easier for denialists by turbidostato · · Score: 1

      Well, I think you nickname says all, but anyway...

      Just have a look at which countries of the planet have higher population grow rates. Now have a look at which parts of the planet have higher power consumption per capita.

      Now think about why there's so little overlap between them.

      In other words: China has about four times the population of USA and it's only *now* that China's Carbon emissions are comparable to that of USA (which still means 1:4 on emissions per capita). Watts per capita are still lightyears away.

      No, mate, the problem, the main problem is not overpopulation, but first world's overconsumption. It's very easy for first world to say: that's the way we reached our style of life but now we ban this path for you.

    270. Re:Easier for denialists by Capsaicin · · Score: 1

      Perhaps the biggest group is the non-existence-of-God-denialists.

      Where is the empirical proof of the non-existence of God (or gods generally)? There would seem to be as little reason to believe that gods do not exist as there would to believe that gods do exist.

      --
      Better to be despised for too anxious apprehensions, than ruined by too confident a security. --Edmund Burke
    271. Re:Easier for denialists by turbidostato · · Score: 1

      "Considering that you are claiming man to have altered "the environment" you need to alter your calculation to include, at a minimum, the entire airspace of the troposphere if not more..."

      You are not aware how thin "thin air" is, do you?

      Well, as Torricelli thought us, the weight of the entire air column (up to the troposphere and beyond) is equivalent to that of a water column 10,33m high. Given that industrial liquid air has a density of 870Kg/m^3, if the whole atmosphere were liquid it would amount to about 12mm (a bit less than half an inch for you imperials) over the floor.

      So again: Do you really think it takes too much arrogance to imagine that a single man can alter 13,7 football fields *and half and inch of liquid air over them*, within his lifetime through farming, mining, driving, building, etc.?

    272. Re:Easier for denialists by budgenator · · Score: 1

      OK you've lost me, how does my carbon footprint in North America effect whether billions of Nepalese, Pakistanis, Bangladeshis, Chinese and Hindustanis cook their food over a sooty kerosene fire, or ride around on smoky 2-cycle mopeds?

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    273. Re:Easier for denialists by turbidostato · · Score: 1

      "Wait, is that American football or regular football? ;-)"

      I thought about it, yes. While regular football would have allow for easier numbers (it's basically half an Ha each) I opted for American football in lieu of our Slashdot American hosts, which is a bit longer.

      We in Europe are luckier since we have more soccer fields for each of ourselves than they have American football fields.

    274. Re:Easier for denialists by turbidostato · · Score: 1

      "There's a lot of ground under those 13.7 football fields, and a hell of a lot of air above them."

      There's the equivalent of half an inch of liquid air over our heads and, well, you can go living underground as soon as you want.

      Regarding the football fields themselves, if you put them on a 4x4 square (yes, that would make well over 13.7 fields), an athlete could run around them in about 3.5 minutes.

      Not very impressive.

    275. Re:Easier for denialists by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Al Gore doesn't seem worried enough about it, he just bought a condo 3 feet above sealevel.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    276. Re:Easier for denialists by bidule · · Score: 1

      Do you really think it takes too much arrogance to imagine that a single man can alter 13,7 football fields within his lifetime through farming, mining, driving, building, etc.?

      As opposed to the sun which has a surface area of 6088000000000 Km^2 ?

      That's 887 Km^2/habitant, or 164,377 of your "real international standards units" (football fields).

      Well, that's assuming the Sun only works for the Earth. But only an arrogant self-centered bastard would believe that.

      Considering the Earth covers about 20 arc-seconds, that give something like a 2 km radius circle directly below the Earth. Berly enough space for both feet.

      --
      ID: the nose did not occur naturally, how would we wear glasses otherwise? (apologies to Voltaire)
    277. Re:Easier for denialists by endymion.nz · · Score: 1

      Why don't people on slashdot know what decimate means? It means to reduce by 10%.

      --
      mediocrity rules, man
    278. Re:Easier for denialists by Viperlin · · Score: 1

      As with the photos: wheres the detail people?

      without knowing the timestamps on the photos, of both the car and the snow, you don't know....

      if the first car photo is older than the second, then it's moving away from you
      if the older photo of the snow was in winter and the new one in summer - then maybe it can be explained logically, with an average-based graph, instead of "dear lord, the last few plots on my graph are going downwards, if we don't stop this, we all goin die!!!"

    279. Re:Easier for denialists by lennier · · Score: 1

      It takes quite a bit of arrogance to believe that humanity can change the Earth's climate that much, that fast.

      Does it also take arrogance to believe that humanity could have put bootprints on the Moon? But we did.

      We've learned to do quite a lot this last century, for better or worse. Perhaps we should take notice of how much power we do have.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    280. Re:Easier for denialists by lennier · · Score: 1

      Do you really think it takes too much arrogance to imagine that a single man can alter 13,7 football fields within his lifetime through farming, mining, driving, building, etc.?

      I'm sorry, I don't know your American units. What's that in rugby fields and cricket pitches?

      In New Zealand, of course, the answer is 'well, duh - how else did all these rabbits, possums and gorse get here?'

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    281. Re:Easier for denialists by Capsaicin · · Score: 1

      Damn you for drawing me into one of the most pointless scientific debates that one could possibly devise..

      This is not a scientific debate.

      Pot, meet Kettle. Except you're doing the opposite.

      Once the "debate" escapes the realm of science and enters that of rhetoric how is this avoidable? A rhetorical move requires a rhetorical response.

      So...

      .. you are reduced to misquoting me.

      Denialism also refers to a set of rhetorical strategies used to create the impression of uncertainty where none exists.

      Now it is conceivable that some people might want to create an impression of certainty where none exists, but they would not be denialists.

      You've stated that because the Earth has climate, which produces data, which can be analyzed by statistics, that the entirety of every conclusion drawn upon this data is beyond doubt.

      Where? When? If you want to make so outrageous an accusation please provide a quote to back it up.

      Look at the facts:
      1) ...

      The idea that past climatic changes argue against the influence of human activities on the current change is a logical fallacy.

      2) ...

      Lies (what "raft of statisticians from the 70s") and fairly typical FUD.

      3) The Earth has proven notoriously difficult to model.

      Indeed. And we need to treat with a degree of scepticism the predictions made by any such models. As all good modellers will acknowledge.

      So while the models exist, they are far from 'good' as of yet.

      Good enough for what? The problem with this is that all our models of anything at all are far from 'good' as yet, but they are the best we have. We can only act on the best possible information available to us, not on better information unavailable to us. Sucks to be human.

      So you're expecting a leap of faith

      Quite the opposite.

      A. This climate change is different

      This has now been established beyond reasonable doubt. Our models are certainly good enough for that. Stop being so unreasonable.

      and we know this is true with enough certainty to up-end western civilization.

      Moving from coal to Uranium is up-ending western civilisation? Please.

      B. This data is better ...

      Sorry, not following you here. Which data is better than what?

      ... these scientists are smarter ...

      Don't know about smarter, but they certainly understand their discipline better than you do.

      ... and their stats are correct. ...

      Given the inordinate amount of effort exercise to disprove them we can work on that presumption. But look, it's all in the published literature. If you can rebut that presumption, feel free.

      C.

      It would take a fool to make that claim and an even greater one to ascribe that claim to their interlocutor. No I don't want you to believe that. The only people who believe that are made of straw, surely?

      Don't look now, but this is precisely what your post advocates.

      Do look now. Look at the post you are responding to. It advocates the opposite. It's saying "show me the fucking maths dude, don't just beat your chest about what you find arrogant."

      Just because you happen to agree with the conclusion ...

      What conclusion? I asked the poster to "consider the actual volume of the troposphere, the concentration of various gases it contains, their change over time, the volume of CO2 release by fossil fuel use" and draw their own conclusion. Based not on gut feeling, or moral outrage, but on the numbers.

      --
      Better to be despised for too anxious apprehensions, than ruined by too confident a security. --Edmund Burke
    282. Re:Easier for denialists by lennier · · Score: 1

      Most climate scientists agree that without the sun, the earth would be much colder.

      But only a tiny persecuted minority of climate scientists turn this theoretical knowledge into a practical plan for change and build a device to blow up the sun.

      And they called me mad at the Institute!

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    283. Re:Easier for denialists by lennier · · Score: 1

      You can't just move on! You have to Censure And Move On!

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    284. Re:Easier for denialists by BobMcD · · Score: 1

      It is clear you only read enough of the words to formulate a rebuttal, and thus I'm not going to honor you with a reply just yet.

      Try harder, and I'll consider it.

      The point is important, and from your response I can tell you are rather confused. Please do consider giving it a better effort, for your own sake. :)

    285. Re:Easier for denialists by colinrichardday · · Score: 1

      And if the planet as a whole is getting warmer?

    286. Re:Easier for denialists by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      PS: What is "fsck" an acronym for? I'm guessing "fucking stupid censorship, kids".

      fsck is short for file system check and is the name of the program/system utility or a common alias to the name that you would use to run a file system check in *nix like operating systems similar to check disk or scan disk in the various windows operating systems.

      Because it is a 4 letter F word, the missing information on a corrupt disk, and the relative state of being screwed you usually are in if you need to run it because of disk problems, it's often used in place of Fuck or "What the fuck" when someone thinks they are being coy.

    287. Re:Easier for denialists by Capsaicin · · Score: 1

      No

      Are you the OP as an AC?

      the two things are not mutually exclusive

      The two things I'm talking about is basing science on theory, evidence and calculation and basing science on gut feelings and a sense of moral outrage. They certainly are mutually exclusive, just look here!

      you're forgetting the possibility that the earth is going through massive climate change but that little if any of that is due to the actions of humans

      I'm not forgetting that, I'm not even addressing it. I'm saying the argument, "it's arrogant to believe X" has no place in science. Since you raise it, however, this possibility is a logical, but no longer an empirical one.

      that would support the statistical analysis ...

      It wouldn't though, nor could it account for the fingerprinting of anthropogenic carbon. What the analysis shows is that this is not merely a natural phenomenon, and that human contributions play some part. It hasn't been forgotten, it's been disproved.

      ... and the viewpoint that it's arrogant to believe we are the root cause.

      Look it's possible that air is lighter than water AND that I'm wearing red underpants. This is the whole point, the "arrogance" simply doesn't come into the picture. Either the consensus position is sound, or it isn't. But that soundness is based on an analysis of theory, data and maths, not on perceptions of arrogance.

      --
      Better to be despised for too anxious apprehensions, than ruined by too confident a security. --Edmund Burke
    288. Re:Easier for denialists by Capsaicin · · Score: 1

      Dear PopeRatzo, let me introduce you to a set of new words that you've obviously never heard before. "Denotation" and "connotation."

      Well, I've certainly heard of these before so let me rephrase the pope's question.

      Are you saying that we are prohibited from using a word with a clear denotation for an object denoted by that word, because of the connotation it raises it the minds of some people?

      --
      Better to be despised for too anxious apprehensions, than ruined by too confident a security. --Edmund Burke
    289. Re:Easier for denialists by lonecrow · · Score: 1

      There's just no way that we can have personal computers, cars, or even normal phones (pray you get to keep your cell phone, and forget about smartphones) using only renewable resources. Not going to happen.

      Shhh...don't tell these guys. They are planning on spending $400 billion to prove you wrong.

    290. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is clear you only read enough of the words to formulate a rebuttal, and thus I'm not going to honor you with a reply just yet.

      On the contrary. I read every foolish word you wrote, even if I chose not to echo them all. I addressed each falsehood you raised. My friend you are both so badly misinformed and so much my intellectual inferior that there can be no honour in receiving a reply from you.

    291. Re:Easier for denialists by imAck · · Score: 1

      Do you accept the theory of evolution? If so, then would you subscribe to the assertion that the ("rich") Miami Millionaire was just naturally selected to survive AGW, whereas the poor Bangladeshi Farmer was not? I find it ironic that we can accept evolution as the mechanism that produced the complexity of humanity, but then disregard it in the face of AGW. Maybe the Miami Millionaire was just spawned in the better petri dish. He lives.

      Don't get me wrong, I'm a creationist (you insensitive clods), and believe in helping out the downtrodden whenever I can. I just find it ironic that we'll accept the geologic timescales and probabilities required of evolution theory, but then get worked up over AGW, which on the x-axis of the accepted geologic time-scale isn't even of sufficient duration to stand out as it's own data point. If geologically abrupt, cataclysmic events (e.g., dinosaur extinction, ice ages, etc.) served to evolve us to the point we're at now, then won't AGW just serve to 'advance' us via natural selection to the next level? Or have we just beaten entropy all these millions of years to only now succumb to it?

      --

      It's hard to tell the cool to chill, my favorite hotel room has a view to an ill.

    292. Re:Easier for denialists by Mattcelt · · Score: 1

      Think "strong, stronger, strongest" and you'll see where denialist fits on the spectrum.

    293. Re:Easier for denialists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OK, how about this for hubris - I know how the Earth's entire ecosystem works. I can't tell you what the weather will be like a week from now, but I can tell you what the climate will be 50 years from now.

      If you roll a die I can't tell you what the number will be. If you roll it a thousand times I can tell you what the average will approach. Next.

      I have yet to hear a single AGW proponent explain in any detail why Greenland was green 1,000 years ago.

      It wasn't. The Greenland ice sheath has existed for ca. 400,000 years. Next.

      Given the known history of cycles of global warming and cooling what proof is there that the current trends are anthropogenic?

      Two lines of evidence mainly. The carbon audit and the dendrochronology. Next.

      To paraphrase someone from above, "when it is cooler than normal outside it is weather, when it is warmer, it is climate."

      Nope, when it cooler than the day before that's weather. When it's an ice age that's climate. Next.

      What there is no next? Surely you can dredge up a few more long discredited denialist talking points. No? Game Over.

    294. Re:Easier for denialists by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Just keep telling yourself that if it helps you sleep at night.

      Low consumption areas with high populations have destroyed their areas (haiti, large parts of india, huge swaths of china).

      Could the U.S. consumption be lowered-- absolutely. But that doesn't address the fundamental problem. It just makes the eventual collapse that much more ugly.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    295. Re:Easier for denialists by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Recycling (reprocessing) has turned out to be incredibly expensive and difficult for current designs - hence the development of new designs to get around the problems.
      I really can't believe you guys are arguing that we should ignore what we've learnt over thirty years.
      Pretending that Sellafield, Superphoenix and crappy little 50MW breeder research reactors that leaked sodium everywhere were the golden age is utterly stupid in the face of a brighter future.
      I get this crap just by stating that a well informed nuclear power advocate in the 1980s had nothing worth building. Carter on the other side of politics had the same reason but people like to pretend it was because he was a long haired hippy communist or something instead.

    296. Re:Easier for denialists by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Some part of "first" giving you trouble? Prince Charles is the first son of Queen Elizabeth. Do you think it's a coincidence that he's the oldest?

      There's a reason I didn't refer to them as "one" and "the other". Timestamps my arse.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    297. Re:Easier for denialists by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Your logical error is inventing a third photo.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    298. Re:Easier for denialists by turbidostato · · Score: 1

      "Low consumption areas with high populations have destroyed their areas"

      As in "high consumption areas with whatever populations have not destroyed their areas"? Have you tried to seed some wheat in Manhattan, lately? Did you read "The grapes of wrath"? Did you heard about the Great Pacific Garbage Patch? Maybe you got some news lately of a "little" oil spill from BP?

      "Could the U.S. consumption be lowered-- absolutely. But that doesn't address the fundamental problem."

      Except that *is* the fundamental problem.

    299. Re:Easier for denialists by daveime · · Score: 1

      Yes indeed it has been discussed ...

      A rise in temperature causes a rise in CO2, which in turn causes an even bigger rise in temperature.

      The point being that pre-industrial times, there were periods where the CO2 concentration was much higher than today, the temperature was higher, and Mother Nature found equilibrium.

      There were also times where temperature and CO2 were much lower (ala Little Ice Age), and Mother Nature again found equilibrium ... and guess what ... the human race DIDN'T die out.

      So, on the basis that whatever we do, Mother Nature will find equilibrium anyway.

      If that also means the ice caps (or Himalayas) melt some more, then so be it ... once of the big pressing concerns for the future is going to be the supply of clean potable water anyway.

      But forget Carbon Credits and all that bullshit ... we have to accept that an industrialised advanced civilization is going to consume resources and produce waste (how can it survive otherwise) ... so let's finance positive things like planting 2 trees for every 1 that is cut. What we need is more carbon sinks, what better way than trees ?

    300. Re:Easier for denialists by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      Ugh, why is it that so many Slashdot readers seem incapable of understanding the word 'because'? I don't believe in gravity because there is a majority of scientific consensus that says it exists, but I can directly observe its effects.

      Gravity is not a scientific theory, it's the name of a force with a lot of theories related to it. Do you believe Newton's theory of gravity? Until less than a century ago, the majority of scientists accepted it, although there was one troubling observation that appeared to disprove it (the motion of one of the planets). Then Einstein showed that it was actually completely wrong. Because this is science, and not religion, Einstein's model became the accepted one and Newton's was displaced. Einstein's still has problems with some quantum effects, so you'd be an idiot to believe in his theory too - it's wrong, it's just less wrong than anything that came before it. Eventually, it will be replaced by something even less wrong.

      Children are still taught Newton's model at school. Why? Because it's a lot simpler, and unless you have the mass of a planet or are travelling at a significant fraction of the speed of light, the errors from measurement will dwarf the errors from any inaccuracies in Newton's model by several orders of magnitude.

      And, no, I won't float off into space if I don't believe in gravity. That's the thing about science (and the point of my post) - it doesn't stop working just because you don't believe in it, and it doesn't start working because you do. Scientists create models, test them, and then discard them if they don't match experiments. They don't believe in the models, because they're always temporary constructs. They might not be contradicted for a hundred years, and the contradictions might be in small corner cases which are not widely applicable, but science is always open to the possibility of being wrong.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    301. Re:Easier for denialists by crow_t_robot · · Score: 1

      OK, I'll buy the simplification of atmosphere. And, I would buy the "13,7 football fields" figure, most certainly, but it does not include atmospheric/environmental flux. A single human most certainly has the potential to alter a stable (i.e. no mother nature) piece of land equal to 14 football fields in area. One piece of data in your favor is that humans working in concert are much better at creating/destroying than a single human alone. So, there is a kind of synergy that you can account for. But, one of the most important factors that you can't simplify out is the flux in the environment. "Mother Nature" is working against us every minute of the day and is a much greater processing machine than anything the human race has come up with (yet).

    302. Re:Easier for denialists by Stephan+Schulz · · Score: 1

      It's not only ice on land, but also and significantly the thermal expansion of sea water as oceans warm up.

      --

      Stephan

    303. Re:Easier for denialists by BobMcD · · Score: 1

      It is clear you only read enough of the words to formulate a rebuttal, and thus I'm not going to honor you with a reply just yet.

      On the contrary. I read every foolish word you wrote, even if I chose not to echo them all. I addressed each falsehood you raised. My friend you are both so badly misinformed and so much my intellectual inferior that there can be no honour in receiving a reply from you.

      And yet you chose to reply.

    304. Re:Easier for denialists by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > There's just no way that we can have personal computers, cars,
      > or even normal phones (pray you get to keep your cell phone,
      > and forget about smartphones) using only renewable resources.

      Canada can generate 100% of the power needed to supply all of our electricity AND run all of our personal cars (assuming they are plugin hybrids) using hydro _alone_. Heck, we're over 1/2 way there already (53% to be exact).

      That leaves long-distance transport, primarily on diesel and jet fuel, and home heating, primarily on natural gas, as the primary carbon emissions. The carbon load of these is tiny, and the former is likely replaceable with biofuel over the longish term.

      So spare me the "if we can't do it, the world can't" BS.

      > according to Jared Diamond

      Har! You mean the guy that makes up stories to sell books?

      http://www.stinkyjournalism.org/latest-journalism-news-updates-149.php

      Yeah, great reference.

      Maury

    305. Re:Easier for denialists by sycodon · · Score: 1

      What are you smoking?

      Nobody said ignore what we've learned. To the contrary, that seems to be what you are saying.

      We need to use what we have learned, improve on it and move forward.

      The OP stated that 80's technology was crappy. I just said that it is what we have today AND hasn't killed anyone.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    306. Re:Easier for denialists by tbannist · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I think you've proven my point.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    307. Re:Easier for denialists by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      fsck is short for file system check

      Yes, as a Linux user I'm aware of that, but "file system check" is completely out of context for the sentence. Plus, the acronym joke wouldn't have worked had I not pretended to not know he really meant "fuck".

    308. Re:Easier for denialists by sexconker · · Score: 1

      What a goob.
      Liquid air?

      Air is a gas, and it takes up a hell of a lot of volume. Air is also a HUGE and extremely important part of our environment, as is the ground underneath our feet.

      Running around them? So fucking what? Is running around an area now equivalent to altering the environment?

      You are a fucking moron.

    309. Re:Easier for denialists by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I think

      No, you really don't. At least, not for yourself.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    310. Re:Easier for denialists by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      It's a bit of both isn't it?

      Even with minimal consumption, if there are too many people, they destroy the earth.
      OTH, with sufficiently ridiculous consumption, one person could reduce the earth to a dead husk.

      In my opinion, with 6 billion+ people, even the lower end of consumption is too high to sustain.
      US high consumption makes the problem worse but doesn't create the problem.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    311. Re:Easier for denialists by T.E.D. · · Score: 1

      Mean earth surface per inhabitant: 0,074 Km^2/habitant, or, to give it in "real international standards units", about 13,7 football fields.

      For us USA citizens, that's 13.9 football fields.

      Clearly we could help this situation a bit if everyone would just switch to playing American Football.

      You guys do care about saving the planet, right?

    312. Re:Easier for denialists by turbidostato · · Score: 1

      "In my opinion, with 6 billion+ people, even the lower end of consumption is too high to sustain.
      US high consumption makes the problem worse but doesn't create the problem."

      No, it may not create the problem (industrial revolution does) but certainly it does seed the problem (which is basically the same thing for all practical purposes).

      USA, about 5% of world's population, consumes about 25% of all world's energy production.

      As per wikipedia, USA per capita energy consumption in "kilogrammes of oil equivalent per year" was 7794.8 as of 2003. Let's see other countries:
      Finland: 7218.1
      Sweden: 5764.8
      Germany: 4203.1
      United Kingdom: 3918.1
      Switzerland: 3718.6
      (...)
      China: 1138.3

      So, you see, even a first world country with a quality of life that has nothing to envy to USA and that is a damn fridge doesn't manage to expend at USA's rates where most European countries -developed, industrialized, geographically challenging, are at about 50~60% levels... and you need seven Chineses to get one American.

      Given that the "American Way Of Life" is kind of a referent and goal for developing countries, USA is not "part of the problem"; it is the damn problem. You will say that even at Chinese levels growing population will only push forward the problem all you want but when we are talking, energy-wise, 6.000Mill. people vs. 42.000Mill. people that's not pushing forward the problem but enterily a different problem.

    313. Re:Easier for denialists by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      My humor sensors must have been off line when I read your post.

    314. Re:Easier for denialists by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      If you believe in anything because the majority of scientists do, then you are an idiot.

      You are getting it all wrong. You don't believe. You accept the scientific consensus because the scientific consensus has turned out to be the best way to understand the world. As such, you don't need to blindly believe anything. You can simply look at the fact that accepting the scientific consensus is very useful indeed.

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    315. Re:Easier for denialists by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      I'm a self appointed scientist

      In other words, an anti-science denialist?

      Mars ice caps are reducing, Jupiter storm activity is going up, we are seeing changes elsewhere than our planet which makes me raise an eyebrow.

      Yep, just what I thought. The same old denialist bullshit talking points.

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    316. Re:Easier for denialists by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      blame the suv driving soccor mom

      Why do you insist on misrepresenting the science?

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    317. Re:Easier for denialists by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      At no time since the genus homo evolved has the CO2 level of the atmosphere been higher than about 300 ppm until now. During the Little Ice Age (about 1500-1850) the CO2 level was about 280 ppm. The last time CO2 levels are thought to be higher than they are today was over 15 million years ago. Yes, Mother Nature will find a new equilibrium but the transition to that new equilibrium may not be pleasant for those going through it.

    318. Re:Easier for denialists by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Of course, a study of terran evolution would quickly show that icy polar caps is not the average behavior for earth.

      Of course a study of human evolution would show that homo sapiens has not existed on the planet when were not icy polar caps. We're not evolved for your significantly warmer planet. (But humans are very adaptable so we'd probably be able to survive on it.)

    319. Re:Easier for denialists by radaghast · · Score: 1

      Actually in the latest IPCC report (AR4, 2.3.7 Stratospheric Water Vapour), they more or less said they don't understand the radiative effects of water vapor. And aside from introduction of methane, they don't understand what contributes to the overall concentrations.

      Other papers I've read say water vapor is a strong greenhouse gas though and as temperatures rise it will cause a positive feedback as more water is vaporized. This does not mean that such a feedback will automatically cause out of control temperature rise, because there is negative feedback of other effects to consider as well.

    320. Re:Easier for denialists by radaghast · · Score: 1

      Also, temperatures do affect CO2 concentrations. When the temperature of water increases, it's ability to hold CO2 is diminished, and results in increased atmospheric concentrations of CO2. There is a name for this effect, I just can't remember it offhand.

    321. Re:Easier for denialists by jscotta44 · · Score: 1

      I'll ask this againWhat sea level rise? I live on the damn beach (Gulf Of Mexico to be exact). I have for 50 years. Unless the seas are somehow negating physics, why isn't the level of the water on my beach going up with all the reported warming?

      Mind you, I'm not saying that the world's water levels haven't gone up and down over the world's history. I'm just not seeing the evidence of the sea level rise that I read is supposed to be happening right now. Where is it?

    322. Re:Easier for denialists by jscotta44 · · Score: 1

      From where I'm sitting on the beach (and have for 50 years), shouldn't I be able to see the levels rise? With all the melted glaciers and polar ice, surely there is enough additional water in the world's seas for me to see that-right? The problem is that I don't. What gives?

    323. Re:Easier for denialists by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      Really ? When did Europeans restore the massive forests of Europe they've burned ? The surface tar ? The swamps ? The coal mines ? The rivers they've "fixed" ? The coal ? The natural gas ? Even the very sea is modified : very few coastlines have their natural shapes. And this list is far from complete.

      When did Americans restore the animal populations of northern America ? The forests ? The lakes ? The mountaintops ? The coal ? The oil ? ...

      And let's not pretend anyone, from African tribes, to chinese, to arabs, to ... fares better in comparisons like this.

      We've always survived by switching to new energy sources, by adapting once the damage began to affect us. We've NEVER survived by preventing damage. We started by using woods and caught animals. Then woods and agriculture. Then woods, agriculture and bred animals. Then surface tar, agriculture and bred animals (this is when using fossil fuels to speed up agriculture started). Tar->stoned wood->coal->animal oil (the first cars were driven by whale oil and corn oil, not fossil fuels, needless to say we ran out quickly, and there was a biofuel debacle : the rich let the poor starve so they could drive cars)->oil generated from coal->gas generated from coil (all of these are somewhat mixed up in history)->fossil oil (and then during WWI and WWII we switched back to coal oil and even biofuels for a while out of necessity)

      We've always adapted. Never even once in history have we begun to live in a sustainable way.

      Not a single (living) animal has.

    324. Re:Easier for denialists by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      You don't specify which beach so this is a general response. Individual shorelines can be quite difficult to separate subtle water level changes from natural erosion and build up of material.

      or the coastline itself could be rising or dropping because of plate tectonics. A small scale example is actually in Yellowstone national park. There's a lake that is being tilted due to the uplift of the crust. One end of the lake is flooding things, the other is seeing retreat of the water.

      Local observations are highly unreliable when discussing global changes such as sea level.

      linky

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    325. Re:Easier for denialists by jscotta44 · · Score: 1

      Gulf of Mexico.

    326. Re:Easier for denialists by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      Galveston, TX, 2.1 feet rise since 1909.

      The article describes what I've said, the 2.1 feet reading may be related to localized subsidence of the land the pier sits on.

      Even within the Gulf there are differences. Louisiana is sinking due to deposit of sediment, Florida has remained relatively stable.

      Just because it isn't happening where *you* are doesn't mean it isn't. And lots of science, if you bother to look for it, backs this up.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    327. Re:Easier for denialists by jscotta44 · · Score: 1

      I've been looking for evidence for years. The Mississippi coast, where I am has no report of rising or sinking. The Louisiana coast you mention is really sinking so much as eroding due to man-made canals keeping the normal sediment deposits from the Mississippi River from doing its normal build-ups.

      And, you can show reports (many very debatable as is the one you linked) all day long. Facts are, sea levels rise evenly just like all water does in the same container. The sea level is affected by gravity (tides), but that is not the issue here.

      By the way, you should have read the rest of that article you linked and not just the headline. Quotes like:

      "But tide gauges are notoriously unreliable, Anderson said."

      "The tide gauge is mounted on a pier, and geologists agree that unnatural compaction, which would cause the gauge to slowly sink, is common where piers are installed, he said."

      “You can’t just take one data point and extrapolate sea level rise from that,” he said. “It’s been done, but it’s not acceptable.”

      Again, I've been living with this same level of sea level for fifty years and I'm still waiting for the rise. I'm not saying it won't come. It will, but it is questionable about whether it is going to be a rise or a fall and when for either.

    328. Re:Easier for denialists by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      “You can’t just take one data point and extrapolate sea level rise from that,” he said. “It’s been done, but it’s not acceptable.” Again, I've been living with this same level of sea level for fifty years and I'm still waiting for the rise.

      Your 'single' data point is your location.

      I referenced those very sentences in my reply. My point being that an individual reading is unreliable. The article doesn't say there has been *no* sea level rise, just that it is possible some of the reported increase is from the land sinking.

      From article the person pointing out the unreliable nature of the 2.1 foot rise said "The world’s best scientists agree the sea level is rising at half that rate, he said.". So even the people saying this isn't a good measure are saying it has been rising.

      As for the Louisiana delta, it is sinking under the weight of thousands of years of sediment buildup. The erosion is a combination of both the sinking and man's involvement. The sinking is theoretically offset by the deposit of additional sediment though.

      Facts are, sea levels rise evenly just like all water does in the same container

      I suspect you know as well as I do that this is a wildly simplistic example. So lets say you start adding water to the system and while slowly tipping it to one side. The side going up might see their water level drop even though overall levels are going up.

      Similarly if your beaches are experiencing localized sand deposits you won't necessarily see the water level go up.

      Most data points show sea levels have been increasing for as long as we've kept records. This can be explained pretty easily due to the process of erosion as well as plate tectonic uplifts and subsidence.

      The danger issue is that we are now adding water to the system from formerly land bound ice. This is why the predictions are for much faster increase in the coming decades.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    329. Re:Easier for denialists by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Sea level rose 200 mm (~8 in) from 1900 to 2000. It's expected to rise more than twice that much by 2100. 800 mm is the number I've heard lately.

      Also, apparently the SLR from thermal expansion has been about equal to that from ice sheet and glacier melt but thermal expansion is expected to contribute more than half of it in the current century.

    330. Re:Easier for denialists by jscotta44 · · Score: 1

      I guess the level must have gone up 175 mm in the first 50 years, because in the last 50 years, I can't see a difference – that is from living on the coast. From the anecdotal stories I've read - islands disappearing from rising sea levels, etc. - you'd think I would have seen some rising. But, no. Nothing.

    331. Re:Easier for denialists by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      It's only 2 or 3 mm per year. You're not really going to notice it if you're not paying pretty close attention. This NOAA tides and currents site has the information. For instance at Pensacola they have records going back to 1925 and it's averaged 2.1 mm/year, at Dauphin Island from 1965? it's averages 2.98 mm/year and at Galveston since 1957 it's averaged 6.84 mm/year (hmm, must be some subsidence going on there). Click on the station you want then sea level trends to see the graphs.

    332. Re:Easier for denialists by manicb · · Score: 1

      Stop serious action? The only serious actions I know of in regard to global warming are those that will a) make some people some serious money, ...

      and b) it will cause some people (oil companies) to lose some serious money. Oh look, they're funding as much climate change denial as they can get away with. Do you think they're doing that out of belief that it's for the greater good, or because it's cost effective for them? If anyone has some truly compelling research that would destroy our understanding of climate change, they would have no trouble getting industry funding for it. Yet this hasn't happened, and pretty much every major scientific body including the national science academies of the major industrialised nations agrees that there is a problem.

  2. Sorry, my bad. by DWMorse · · Score: 5, Funny

    We needed something to put the kegs in to stay cold.

    We needed something epic.

    --
    There's a spot in User Info for World of Warcraft account names? Really?
    1. Re:Sorry, my bad. by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 0

      Whatever, beer snob!

      Everest Glacier Ice makes the BEST bong water! QED

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    2. Re:Sorry, my bad. by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      I think we could get more people interested and achieve traction on this problem if we just started calling it "Global Beer Warming".

  3. I am not scared by a_tharwat · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Conspiracy theories and scientific hypes aside, is man actually capable of changing the properties of something as huge as planet Earth? Or, in other words, can we stop this even if we want to? Earth will continue changing as it will continue rotating, and we might as well take our minds off what we cannot change and work a little bit more on what we can, i.e. the misery of mankind.

    1. Re:I am not scared by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Let me ask something slightly different. Is bacteria actually capable of changing the properties of something as huge as man? Oh wait, thats very different, my bad!

    2. Re:I am not scared by Improv · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Not scared? Maybe you should be.

      According to our models, yes we are so capable. Don't just use your intuitions - "common sense" is often wrong. There are people who study these things - go to your local university and ask professors with knowledge in the relevant fields.

      If we damage the environment, we *are* causing misery of mankind.

      --
      For every problem, there is at least one solution that is simple, neat, and wrong.
    3. Re:I am not scared by PinkyGigglebrain · · Score: 5, Insightful

      When it comes to size you have to stop thinking about the Earth, 12,752km diameter, and think about the atmosphere, 90% within 50km of surface.

      Could humans make an impact, yes. The CO2 increase since the start of the industrial revolution shows that.

      Is that the main cause of climate change? That is what the real arguments are about.

      If Humans are to blame is it too late to do anything? Don't know, don't care. Its been done.

      Humanity will need to adapt to climate change or it'll die out, just like everything else on the planet.

    4. Re:I am not scared by BrokenHalo · · Score: 1

      and we might as well take our minds off what we cannot change...

      This sounds uncannily like something your former president Ronnie Raygun said:

      [paraphrasing:] "We're all gonna die, but since we're the good guys, we've got a first-class ticket to heaven, so we're OK, dammit. Yee-Haw!"

    5. Re:I am not scared by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      is man actually capable of changing the properties of something as huge as planet Earth?

      Or, in other words, can we stop this even if we want to?

      These two questions are not equivalent. Can nearly 6.9 Billion humans change the planet? Of course. Can the behavior of all these humans be coordinated and changed in order to create a specific desired outcome? Not all of them, no. Maybe you can get your desired results anyway, but it depends on how many people you need working for it, and how few people would be needed to sabatoge that effort.

      If you ever get 6.9 Billion people to agree on anything you'll have solved much tougher problems than mere warming.

    6. Re:I am not scared by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful
      I am not a believer in man made global warming, we are in a warming cycle that follows a trend that is documented over millions of years.

      This global over-politicization of the issue(i.e. Carbon credit, etc.) is just plain bullshit.

      However, the current trend just might cause a Lot of misery to mankind. Ocean levels fluctuate wildly and a few extra feet would submerge a few island nations and displace millions of people.

      So I applaud the effort of scientists to combat the problem and come up with a solution to the warming trend be it man made or not.

      My fear is that nothing they come up with works as ultimately you cannot fight the Sun and Earth's natural cycles and all the blame will be set upon carbon.

    7. Re:I am not scared by MikeFM · · Score: 3, Insightful

      From the article it sounds as if the issue in questions is water supply and how changing the normal rate of glacial melt could change how people live. If THAT is the issue then it may suck, change usually does, but people need to just deal with it. We can't coddle societies that don't want to put in place infrastructure they need for security and stability.

      The US is bad enough about it's own infrastructure, due largely to our parents, grandparents, and great-grandparents not paying their fair share and we'll soon be in trouble if we don't cough up the money to repair and upgrade it. There is no reason others shouldn't have to do the same. Or don't and be at the mercy of whatever happens.

      --
      At what price learning? At what cost wisdom? The price is a man's peace of mind, and the cost is his life.
    8. Re:I am not scared by feepness · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Not scared? Maybe you should be.

      And here I thought the right was the "Party of Fear"!

    9. Re:I am not scared by TapeCutter · · Score: 3, Informative

      "When it comes to size you have to stop thinking about the Earth, 12,752km diameter, and think about the atmosphere, 90% within 50km of surface."

      And most (but not all) of the stuff that affects climate happens in the troposphere (bottom 5km).

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    10. Re:I am not scared by bertok · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Conspiracy theories and scientific hypes aside, is man actually capable of changing the properties of something as huge as planet Earth?

      Or, in other words, can we stop this even if we want to? Earth will continue changing as it will continue rotating, and we might as well take our minds off what we cannot change and work a little bit more on what we can, i.e. the misery of mankind.

      You say that like you're thinking of "one man" affecting an entire planet.

      Think of it this way, the surface area of the planet is 5.1x10E8 km^2, but there are 6.75 billion people alive today.

      The real question is, can "one man" have an impact on their own personal share of 0.07556 km^2? That's only 7.6 hectares per person, of which only 2.2 hectares is 'land', which includes mountains, desert, and ice. This leaves about 1 hectare of productive land for each human being.

      So the better question to ask is:

      Are men capable of changing the properties of something as huge as 1 hectare each?

      I'd say: YES

    11. Re:I am not scared by mjwx · · Score: 1

      is man actually capable of changing the properties of something as huge as planet Earth?

      Yes, it is naive, perhaps to the point of retardedness to believe otherwise.

      We can destroy 98% of all life on earth within hours, with the push of a button. This event will kick enough debris into the atmosphere to blockout the sun and create an ice age or did you forget we had weapons capable of destroying the earth, a few dozen times over... Sitting in tubes, ready to launch.

      We are capable of producing great change, some good and some bad. Never underestimate the ability of humans to make devastating changes, every now and then even for the better.

      1.5% over 1,000,000 may not sound like much, until you realise that 1.5% is compounding and that you aren't paying off enough to cover the interest repayments. The same is happening with greenhouse gas emissions. It may not seem like much above that which is produced naturally but it ad's up as we are compounding that amount and the natural systems are not taking care of it at a rate that is greater then our emissions.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
    12. Re:I am not scared by popo · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Please define the difference between "environmental change", and "environmental damage". Do you believe that the current environmental "stasis" (however incredibly brief it is, by any measure of geologic time) is somehow "good" and any deviation from this stasis is "bad"?

      Do you believe that climate is static, consistent and invariable? (There are mountains of data to refute this).

      Do you believe that changes in climate are inherently "bad"? Do you believe that it is possible to differentiate between man-made climatic shifts and naturally occurring climatic shifts? How? Do you believe that a man-made influence on the environment is "worse" than a naturally occurring climatic shift? Why?

      Do you subscribe the puritanical view of causation whereby actions and causations which are man-made, are by definition 'evil'?

      --
      ------ The best brain training is now totally free : )
    13. Re:I am not scared by TheLink · · Score: 5, Interesting

      > From the article it sounds as if the issue in questions is water supply and how changing the normal rate of glacial melt could change how people live.

      They may be able to fix that:

      http://www.allvoices.com/contributed-news/4932332-indian-engineer-builds-glaciers-to-fight-climate-change

      Quote: As of this year he has built 10 artificial glaciers, using a simple system of pipes and stone dams to pool and direct streams of water into heavily shaded parts of valleys above a given village. During winter the pools become thick ice masses - frozen water tanks for farmers who need reliable summer flows as a hedge against changing weather patterns.

      Some people have done glacier growing for a long time:
      http://www.umb.no/statisk/noragric/publications/master/2007_ingvar_tveiten.pdf

      Quote:
      People in the districts of Baltistan and Gilgit practice 'glacier growing' with the intention of
      making glaciers that will enhance water availability. This is done by carrying glacier ice from
      a naturally occurring glacier up to elevations over 4000 m a.s.l., where it is placed in a dug
      out cave in a scree-slope. Apart from the ice, gourds containing water are also added to
      interior of the cave. Then a layer of charcoal, and sawdust or wheat husks is put on top of the
      ice. The workers close off the cave by piling up rocks to cover the entrance.

      Lastly, by growing many glaciers, you can affect the albedo of a mountain, or even a mountainous region and thus affect local climate. Darker mountains absorb more heat and thus lose ice faster, reverse that by making more glaciers and other glaciers could appear without you having to make them directly.

      --
    14. Re:I am not scared by turing_m · · Score: 1

      Or, in other words, can we stop this even if we want to?

      In principle, I believe so. 1. Collect solar energy from deserts (there is more than enough), using some sort of global (probably carbon) tax to fund it. 2. Use energy to convert water and CO2 to hydrocarbons. 3. Pump hydrocarbons back into the ground.

      Step 3 needs a bit of work, but at least there are some proof of concepts I think. You could probably use this method to tweak global temperatures until they are just right (long-term), adjusting the CO2 level to counter other phenomena (e.g. solar output, whatever).

      and we might as well take our minds off what we cannot change and work a little bit more on what we can, i.e. the misery of mankind.

      FWIW, the prevention of the extinction of humanity should trump the alleviation of temporary human misery. Unless you meant the other way (images of Dungeon Keeper spring to mind)?

      --
      If I have seen further it is by stealing the Intellectual Property of giants.
    15. Re:I am not scared by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      According to my models, I can fly.

    16. Re:I am not scared by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      is man actually capable of changing the properties of something as huge as planet Earth?

      Yes.

      Now stop bothering everybody and go back to your Intelligent Design class at the local Parish.

      Or, in other words, can we stop this even if we want to?

      Those aren't "in other words", that's totally different. Being able to affect a system is one thing, being able to affect it in a controlled fashion is another one. We certainly have the capability to impact our environment, whether we can intentionally do so and achieve the desired result remains to be seen.

      Earth will continue changing as it will continue rotating, and we might as well take our minds off what we cannot change

      Yes, it will keep changing. Eventually it will change enough so that we won't be able to live on it anymore. The solution is to figure out how to control the change to suit our needs, and/or to figure out how to get the hell off this rock. Sticking your head in the sand and pretending it isn't happening is just plain stupid- once it gets to the point where people are unable to ignore it any longer, it'll be much too late to do anything about it.

      work a little bit more on what we can, i.e. the misery of mankind.

      Ya, in case you hadn't noticed, we've been doing that for at least the last 5,000 years and haven't really 'solved' anything in that regard. That's really a losing battle to start with- there are a great number of people in this world who will only be happy when other people are not, and that just isn't going to change any time soon. In fact, mankind thrives on misery; without it we just end up sitting around getting fat. There is really a lot of truth to the saying "no pain, no gain". It is because of our misery, our suffering, that we are able to advance- as a species we require adversity and challenge in order to grow.

    17. Re:I am not scared by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      is man actually capable of changing the properties of something as huge as planet Earth?

      The answer is yes. Remember Archimedes? "Give me a fixed point to stand and I shall move the earth", he said. It's all about leverage.

      Now for climate, we have some very potent "levers". They're not exactly like levers in physics, but the point is you can turn a small movement into a big one.

      The main lever is the water vapor feedback. As anyone who's hung around denialist blogs knows, water vapor is a powerful greenhouse gas. What they try to obfuscate is that it's a "lever", and how it's connected to the other stuff.

      If the world warms a little, there becomes more water vapor in the atmosphere. This keeps heat from the sun in, warming the planet further, causing even more water vapor in the atmosphere. (But you can relax a little, it's not an out-of-control feedback. A warmer planet radiates more heat into space. Eventually it radiates so much that it balances the extra heat from our new water vapor insulation.)

      The reverse happens if the world cools a little. Less water vapor, leading to lower temperatures, leading to even less vapor, until the new balance is reached.

      There are many such levers. CO2 is another one - as the world warms, so do the oceans, and warm water can dissolve less gas than cold water. A great deal of CO2 is dissolved in seawater, so as the world warms, the oceans release CO2, leading to further warming, leading to further release etc. This is a slower lever, but very powerful. It is thought that the CO2 lever is responsible for ice ages - Milankovich cycles, the small orbital anomalies that cause cooling and warming with periods of some hundred thousand years, by themselves only cause a tiny temperature difference. It would hardly matter for life on earth if it hadn't been magnified so forcefully by the CO2 and water vapor feedbacks.

      This is how man can change the properties of something as huge as planet earth. A trillion tons of CO2 that used to be buried deep beneath the surface is now in the atmosphere thanks to human activities. It may not sound like much, as big as the crust and atmosphere is, but the planet just isn't set up to be forgiving of such changes - at least not to us.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    18. Re:I am not scared by MikeFM · · Score: 1

      I wonder how doing this compares to implementing storage tanks and canals or pipes and such. Sounds like a lot of repetition of hard/boring work to me but it may have benefits that make it worth while.. causing other glaciers to naturally appear for example.

      --
      At what price learning? At what cost wisdom? The price is a man's peace of mind, and the cost is his life.
    19. Re:I am not scared by Tumbleweed · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Is that the main cause of climate change? That is what the real arguments are about.

      There is no real argument among the people who are actually professionals in that particular field. The only arguments I hear are from the aggressively ignorant who claim that anything that is not in the Bible isn't real, and therefore is anti-American. Even claiming that "we don't know" is a lie perpetrated by these wackos.

      The unfortunate part of all this is, it IS too late to stop it. WAY too late. The ending of Al Gore's "An Inconvenient Truth" was interesting, where he said something along the lines of, he wanted to make sure people didn't come away from his documentary thinking it was too late to stop it. He also didn't talk about a lot of things that made his scenario much worse. The permafrost melting in Siberia, which makes things MUCH worse, and several other things around Earth that are happening far faster than even some of the nightmare scenarios climatologists have been talking about. It's WAY too late.

      The problem then becomes, can we use technology to reverse it? Probably so, if we were willing to invest in some sort of global Manhattan-scale project to do something with nanotechnology or some other grandiose not-yet-there technology. But with the current climate of people being misled into thinking that this is even not real, that's NEVER going to happen. It's just not; that's a total fantasy. This may be the Fermi Paradox at work, though I doubt it'll get that bad. We can probably adapt to any Man-made disaster short of total nuclear annihilation. But the population left over may be quite a small fraction of what we have now. Not that Mother Nature would consider that a bad thing. It seems it's time to cull the herd. I'd just rather not be one of the ones culled.

    20. Re:I am not scared by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Please define the difference between "environmental change", and "environmental damage".

      Environmental damage is any environmental change which causes the environment to no longer be useful for our purposes. Most of the time our purpose is living within it, although in some cases it might apply to other uses such as industry, agriculture, or even just plain aesthetics.

      The more commonly accepted definition of environmental damage is any change to the environment which was caused by, or a direct result of, mankinds involvement or actions. Usually the idea being that something a human has done has caused a permanent shift in how a local environment functions, and is usually specifically tied to the reduction or loss of plant and animals species. Whether this is a Good or Bad thing depends on your point of view and the specifics involved.

    21. Re:I am not scared by Montezumaa · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Yes, bacteria and a virus can change something as big as a man, but a man's body has the defenses to counter those changes and go on unaffected. Though, a human's body is weak and more prone to the effects of localized problems. When death occurs from bacterial or viral infections, it is from events similar to the moon crashing into the fucking earth. There is no escape or defense from such a complete and systemic failure in either event.

      This planet has endured many different trials/catastrophes, yet it is still here and thriving. Now, people believe they have some "new, fresh, and exciting" intelligence and information and all they can come up with is that CO2 is the cause of environmental "problems". The same molecule that all manner of mammal(and many non-mammal) produce and that all manner of plant life consumes is causing this problem. The same fucking molecule that has existed on this plant for almost as long as the planet has existed, yet it is only a problem now. Even though we humans do not produce five percent of the CO2 that exist on this planet, we are affecting natural functions of a huge fucking planet?

      This boils down to one thing: Control. There is some group of assholes that want to force their unfounded views on society and they want to control what people do in their everyday lives. What other way will effect this better than to preach that the "every-day" person is murdering the environment by traveling to their only means to survive(job) with a dull spoon(their vehicle), or using that dull spoon to travel to see my Council of Satanic Earth Murders(family). The other motivation is that there are people and groups that stand to make a great damned fortune from promoting "clean" initiatives, or "green" initiatives.

      This is not some great conspiracy or something difficult to figure out. It is also not difficult why so many are unwilling to open their eyes to their own stupidity: Egos. It's ok, one day all of this horseshit will be shown to be horseshit and some new idiot, or new group of idiots, will be working to fool people into believing some new horseshit.

      Wow, that is a lot of horseshit.

    22. Re:I am not scared by Capsaicin · · Score: 1

      Conspiracy theories and scientific hypes aside, is man actually capable of changing the properties of something as huge as planet Earth?

      Yes. Certainly the atmosphere and hyrdosphere thereof.

      Or, in other words, can we stop this even if we want to?

      Maybe. It depends on the nature of positive feedbacks, the science of which is still being explored. It's certainly possible that we have given rise to a runaway effect which we will no longer be able to contain. It is far from certain that we have reached the "tipping point" though. Perhaps the greater impediment to action is political rather than geo-physical. We would have been advised to take action around 1990. Twenty years of (mostly) inaction doesn't reflect well on the collective intelligence of your species.

      Earth will continue changing as it will continue rotating,

      True, it always has. It's clear though that the magnitude of recent climatic changes are in measure attributable to human activity.

      we might as well take our minds off what we cannot change and work a little bit more on what we can

      I agree completely and I would add that the human contribution to climate change is among the things we potentially can change.

      i.e. the misery of mankind.

      Slowly (from the human PoV) degrading the habitability of the planet, by "tak[ing] our minds off" the issue of our contribution to climate change seems a poor way to achieve this.

      --
      Better to be despised for too anxious apprehensions, than ruined by too confident a security. --Edmund Burke
    23. Re:I am not scared by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      Conspiracy theories and scientific hypes aside, is man actually capable of changing the properties of something as huge as planet Earth?

      Yes, most certainly. Note that most standing GW theories don't rely on direct man-induced emissions to result in the predicted doom & gloom. The point is that humanity's intervention is enough to tip the balance in several crucial points of the system, far enough that it becomes completely unbalanced, and will seek a new state of equilibrium that is very different from what we have now.

      An analogy would be dropping a pebble that starts the avalanche. Strictly speaking, it's the avalanche that significantly changes the properties of something as huge as a mountain slope, but it's a single measly human that triggered that avalanche. If you want to prevent the avalanche, you have to restrict what the human can do.

    24. Re:I am not scared by hsthompson69 · · Score: 1

      The problem with asserting CO2 is a "lever" for H2O is that you've missed out on clouds entirely. The negative feedback loops that exist in our system (and they must, otherwise we'd have already had either run away cooling or run away warming) turn those levers into negligible influences.

      It's certainly useful to postulate possible levers, and possible feedback loops, but one must be particularly careful of confirmation bias here. Both in terms of biological negative feedbacks (plants growing faster in the presence of CO2, for example), and simple physical negative feedbacks (water heating up, increasing humidity, increasing cloud cover, reducing temperature), there is a whole host of caveats to the climate models used to predict the future.

    25. Re:I am not scared by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      From the article it sounds as if the issue in questions is water supply and how changing the normal rate of glacial melt could change how people live. If THAT is the issue then it may suck, change usually does, but people need to just deal with it. We can't coddle societies that don't want to put in place infrastructure they need for security and stability.

      Wow, you can't be serious... what kind of infrastructure do you believe can replace an actual source of fresh water? Science and technology is not a magic wand that can drag you out of any hell-hole you put yourself into...

      And, assuming a feasible solution, how can a typical third-world country afford that?

      "People need to just deal with it" - seriously? If this glacier melting is indeed linked to AGW, that coming from pretty much anyone living in the First World is the height of arrogance.

    26. Re:I am not scared by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      I am not a believer in man made global warming, we are in a warming cycle that follows a trend that is documented over millions of years.

      There is no documented natural warming cycle that involves temperatures rising by over 1/4 degree C over the course of a single decade, which is what we are currently observing.

    27. Re:I am not scared by PinkyGigglebrain · · Score: 2, Informative

      Yep. And I had another number wrong. its should have been 90% of the atmosphere is within *7km* of the surface not 50km. But as you point out almost everything that affects life is within 5km.

      After I hit submit I found a site that made a really easy analogy.

      If the Earth was the size of an apple (the fruit) the atmosphere would have the same thickness as the peel at that scale.

      That really puts it into a perspective people can wrap their head around with a bit less effort.

    28. Re:I am not scared by Bill+Currie · · Score: 0, Troll

      My fear is that nothing they come up with works as ultimately you cannot fight the Sun and Earth's natural cycles and all the blame will be set upon carbon.

      My fear is that we succeed in getting atmospheric CO2 levels to drop, accelerating the spread of the deserts. Or worse, the severe stunting of agricultural plants.

      CO2 is not a pollutant: it is food for all photosynthesizing organisms, and thus indirectly for us. Even though non-photosynthesizing organisms produce CO2, all are net CO2 sinks (exhibit A: limestone). CO2 is currently around 300ppm. It does not become a problem for humans until around 10000ppm (1%), and then it causes only drowsiness. 80000ppm(8%) is getting rather problematic, though (wikipedia). Atmospheric levels haven't been above 7000ppm for hundreds of millions of years.

      If CO2 causes global warming (this is in no way proven yet), then at worst we lose some coastlines. Glaciers melting might be a good thing: that's a lot of water locked up in ice that would be better off in rivers and lakes. Glacial growth is an interruption in the water cycle.

      I want my kids to be able to eat. If they have to move to higher ground and/or fight of other people to survive, so be it.

      --

      Bill - aka taniwha
      --
      Leave others their otherness. -- Aratak

    29. Re:I am not scared by binkzz · · Score: 1

      Conspiracy theories and scientific hypes aside, is man actually capable of changing the properties of something as huge as planet Earth? Or, in other words, can we stop this even if we want to? Earth will continue changing as it will continue rotating, and we might as well take our minds off what we cannot change and work a little bit more on what we can, i.e. the misery of mankind.

      We certainly are capable: we have enough nukes to destroy all life on Earth. You can rest assure, however, that mankind is working hard on the misery of mankind, but unfortunately in the wrong direction.

      --
      'For we walk by faith, not by sight.' II Corinthians 5:7
    30. Re:I am not scared by IRoll11!s · · Score: 1

      I am not a believer in man made global warming...

      I always laugh when I read this. AGW is not some sort of diety that you can choose to believe in or not, it's a scientific hypothesis. It may be a hypothesis that turns out to be wrong, but it certainly will not be because of your 'disbelief'.

    31. Re:I am not scared by tokul · · Score: 1

      Yes, bacteria and a virus can change something as big as a man, but a man's body has the defenses to counter those changes and go on unaffected. Though, a human's body is weak and more prone to the effects of localized problems. When death occurs from bacterial or viral infections, it is from events similar to the moon crashing into the fucking earth.

      Or infections are systematic and have long lasting effects. One bacteria weakens immune system, one scratch breaks protective skin layer, one virus infects through unprotected body part. 10 minutes later other attack starts in different place. One month later Goliath is dead.

    32. Re:I am not scared by LKM · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The results of global warming won't be just a bit of lacking water, and a bit of infrastructure won't fix it; instead, we will lose a lot of fertile soil within a short amount of time. As a result, almost every required resource will be available in lower quantities. This might very likely cause a widespread destabilisation of political structures, and probably a few decades of global war, until human population goes down to a level that is sustainable again.

      Some people seem to think that global warming will mean that they will be able to go bathing in the lake in summer, so yay, more bathing! No. This is not going to be the same world, except a little bit warmer.

    33. Re:I am not scared by Rakishi · · Score: 1

      The problem with asserting CO2 is a "lever" for H2O is that you've missed out on clouds entirely.

      You're fallen into the very trap you're complaining about. The effects of cloud cover are unknown. High altitude clouds are in fact a positive feedback (transparent to sunlight but not earth radiated IR). Low altitude clouds are a negative feedback. On the other hand rising temperatures may change the balance between the two even from the current one. Then it gets even more complicated.

      The negative feedback loops that exist in our system (and they must, otherwise we'd have already had either run away cooling or run away warming) turn those levers into negligible influences.

      Does the term "ice age" mean nothing to you? Seriously? The world has had run away cooling and heating in the past, possibly even got near totally frozen at one point. At some point the negative feedback does win out but that still gives you a 10000 year long ice age. It just stabilizes and then ends at some point.

    34. Re:I am not scared by LKM · · Score: 1

      Glacial growth is an interruption in the water cycle.

      Well, that's true in some ways, but it's not a bad thing. Glaciers grow when plants can't, and they give back the water when plants can grow, so during growth, they ensure a steady stream of water. This is a good thing.

    35. Re:I am not scared by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Is that the main cause of climate change? That is what the real arguments are about.

      Well yes, it was, but the argument was in 1975.

      The problem now is it's got all political because a Democrat mentioned it and thus Republicans decided they had to oppose it, economists want to make a buck out of it, and cut-price Christianity Lite feel threatened by anybody that says they know more than they do or says the world is older than 6000 years (and discussions of climate go back to earlier than Genesis Lite). There's also a couple of oil companies giving the rest a bad name funding the Heartland Institute to spread bullshit to confuse everyone on the issue, and a professional psycho making money on speaking tours denying global warming in between bouts of calling Jewish kids Nazis.

    36. Re:I am not scared by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      The problem with asserting CO2 is a "lever" for H2O is that you've missed out on clouds entirely.

      Is that a problem? I didn't claim to enumerate all the feedbacks there are. That clouds exist and can have an effect on temperature (apparently in either direction, depending on altitute? I don't know too much about it) doesn't change the fact that CO2 is a feedback. So why is there a problem asserting that?

      The negative feedback loops that exist in our system (and they must, otherwise we'd have already had either run away cooling or run away warming)

      This is kind of wrong. There aren't any large, unknown negative feedback loops that "have to exist" to explain our present climate, to the precision we are able to explain it. Maybe unknown negative feedbacks could make models more accurate, but they can't realistically change the general picture very much.

      Also, regarding "runaway" cooling and warming. There's the fact that as things get warmer, they radiate more heat. This ultimately limits all feedbacks in either direction.

      (So it's not linear feedback of the kind you get out of a microphone. No one ever said that, and people who think so worry too much, in a sense. Of course, if that bleak idea convinces them to deny global warming entirely, they worry too little!)

      Things won't spin entirely out of control although it can get more than bad enough for humans.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    37. Re:I am not scared by mr_gorkajuice · · Score: 1

      When death occurs from bacterial or viral infections, it is from events similar to the moon crashing into the fucking earth.

      Uhm no, not by a long shot. Having the moon crashing into the earth would be similar to having your head bashed in with a sledge hammer. Indeed, the existance of lethal bacteria is a quite valid example that the comparatively microscopic biological entities can have a devastating impact on something gigantic.
      Claiming that the blunt force of the moon crashing into the earth in any way resembles anything remotely similar to a disease, however lethal, is downright retarded.

    38. Re:I am not scared by Tom · · Score: 2, Insightful

      is man actually capable of changing the properties of something as huge as planet Earth?

      man? no.

      But men - yes. Your intuition fails at the huge dimensions involved here, because it evolved to deal with the small immediate surroundings of you and your tribe on the plains of africa.

      We are talking about 7 billion people, eating, shitting in the woods, making fire to cook their food, and - increasingly many of them - driving cars, flying planes, burning fuel to generate electricity and so on. Wolfram Alpha computes we use 86 million barrels of oil every day.

      Unless you can create a picture in your mind of 86 million barrels a day, every day, build that up to a year, and then to a decade or five, I strongly suggest you stop relying on intuition and common sense and start relying on science and data.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    39. Re:I am not scared by h7 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      We only have records for a couple 100 years. Only when we get the data for the other millions of years can we accept your statement as fact.

    40. Re:I am not scared by UnHolier+than+ever · · Score: 2, Interesting

      To create a picture in your mind:

      86M barrels per day corresponds to ~158 m^3/s.

      This is equivalent to the average discharge of a middlish river. The Shannon, for example, has a discharge of 186 m^3/s. The Potomac has ~300m^3/s on average. The River Thames is only ~65m^3/s.

      So, stand on the London bridge and have a look below. The total usage of oil in the world is twice that, every single second.

    41. Re:I am not scared by delinear · · Score: 1

      I agree - the argument over whether climate change is man-made or environmental just clouds the real issue. The earth's climate is changing and what we need to focus on are ways to allow us to deal with that change (unless we cling to the faint hope that the change is reversable). Of course that doesn't mean we can't also try and reduce consumtion and waste, or introduce more green technologies - even if you disregard climate change completely, there are a whole raft of reasons to do these things anyway, scarcity of resource and massive population growth being the key ones, but I think too much focus at the moment is on proving that humans are/aren't to blame and on how we reverse the trend. If the history of the Earth tells us anything it's that we're almost certainly not going to be able to (if not now, then at some point we'll have to face up to this), our efforts are better spent elsewhere in finding new ways to adapt.

      Arguing about who or what is to blame is about as effective as standing in a burning house with your spouse arguing about who left the lit cigrette lying around - you might score some points but it doesn't nothing to solve the problem and ultimately both sides are going to be screwed unless they start doing something productive.

    42. Re:I am not scared by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Wow, you can't be serious... what kind of infrastructure do you believe can replace an actual source of fresh water?

      I'm from Arrakis, you insensitive clod!!!!

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    43. Re:I am not scared by Jafafa+Hots · · Score: 1

      Not to mention that bacteria were capable of changing something as huge as the EARTH.

      The reason we have our current oxygen-rich atmosphere is because of the actions of single-celled organisms billions of years ago... There were no large animals, there were just these single-celled organisms - and they drastically altered the composition of the Earth's atmosphere to a far greater extent than global warming theory predicts humans are.

      AGW deniers are delusional to think it's not possible. Quite often (but not always) they're also religious nutcases.

      --
      This space available.
    44. Re:I am not scared by SharpFang · · Score: 1

      Change for good, affect in a controllable, stable pattern - difficult.
      Blow it up - hell yes.
      You'd need weeks worth of cobalt production to create a life-destroying doomsday device.
      You'd need somewhere like half the nuclear arsenal from times of its peak, applied in an organized and well-engineered way to fracture the Earth crust and sink most lands in lava.
      You'd need hours to have worst of biological weapons released and kill all life on Earth.

      --
      45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
    45. Re:I am not scared by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Do you believe that the current environmental "stasis" (however incredibly brief it is, by any measure of geologic time) is somehow "good" and any deviation from this stasis is "bad"?

      Maybe bad is too strong a word.

      But given that our patterns of habitation, food production and transport have developed to fit in with the status quo, it follows that any substantial deviation from it would be dashed inconvenient to say the least.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    46. Re:I am not scared by Simmeh · · Score: 1

      Incorrect, his statement of there being no documented cycle for that amount in that time frame is correct. It is only the implications you could refute.

    47. Re:I am not scared by Aceticon · · Score: 1

      More than "Who's done it?" what maters is:

      1. Has it been happening and is it continuing to happen?
      2. Will it hurt/cost us and how much?
      3. What options do we have to stop/reverse it and how much do they cost us?

      The consensus amongst specialists is that 1) is "Yes to both", 2) is "Yes, there is a significant risk that it will be potentially a lot but maybe it will be alright". The big questions are on 3) as in "Is an almost exclusive focus on a Carbon Free Economy the economically best way to go about insuring ourselves against the risks of the worst scenario in 2?"

      All the AGW/anti-AGW bullshit flying around is just a smoke screen pushed on by special interests on both sides (plenty of money in both the status quo and in green technologies), picked-up by a minority of (tree-hugger and "you can pry my gas-guzzler SUV out of my cold, dead hands") tribalist idiots who will never be swayed from their position by reason and believe that "He who shouts the loudest must be right".

      Even sadder that listening to the spectacle of adult (but clearly immature) people behaving like 5-year-olds ("Yes it is! Not it's not! Yes it is! No it's not!") is to see that the media gives a voice to the shoutters, not thhe thinkers.

    48. Re:I am not scared by Joce640k · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The peel sounds way too thick to me, 7 / 12752 gives 0.05% (five hundredths of one percent). More like the layer of wax they put on it the apple to make it shiny.

      The SciFi image of an atmosphere extending into space is very, very wrong, but I bet it's what most people think of when they deny that man can change things..

      --
      No sig today...
    49. Re:I am not scared by MacGyver2210 · · Score: 1

      You need to stop throwing numbers around as if you have any idea what they mean.

      Clearly, certain people affect land much larger than 7.6 hectares, and clearly many affect much less. Even if you want to break down the hectares for each person into what is and isn't 'usable' or 'arable' you still can't discount the affect each person has on the remaining 6.6 hectares. Just because we can't walk on or farm the area doesn't mean we don't affect it.

      The point is not whether the earth is warming or not - it is. The point is, we probably aren't the main cause. The earth has been warming since around the Ice Age, and it certainly wasn't us who started it.

      Furthermore, this set of pictures is wholly inaccurate. The picture on the left being in gray-scale doesn't show the same shadow detail that the color version does. What looks like rocks in the color photo, where ice has retreated in other words, is actually still ice - it's just shadowed so it looks like rocks. There is also no information about WHEN in the year this was taken. Ice will retreat and regrow during the season depending on the temperature and humidity, so a few months difference could naturally produce this effect.

      Beyond that, I don't see a whole lot less ice in the color version than the B&W one. Seems like a lot of hype.

      --
      If the only way you can accept an assertion is by faith, then you are conceding that it can't be taken on its own merits
    50. Re:I am not scared by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      Conspiracy theories and scientific hypes aside, is man actually capable of changing the properties of something as huge as planet Earth?

      Well if GW isn't going quick enough for your taste, I suppose we could always try the old "detonate a load of H-bombs in one place to destabilise Earth's orbit and send it spiralling into the Sun" routine.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    51. Re:I am not scared by dlt074 · · Score: 1

      both man and bacteria are natural processes in the ecosystem.

      too bad we don't have pictures from 10-20k years ago to compare...man what a difference you'd see! we could sure pass some good laws then. what is the date that we said the earth stopped warming up after the last ice age? was it the 1970's when the earth was going to revert back into another ice age? and we had to DO SOMETHING to stop it. i'm thinking the warming is still going on whether man is doing anything or not. it's cyclical.

       

    52. Re:I am not scared by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      You're the one using pseudo-religious terminology, all the rest of us are saying is that if something is man-made it's probably easier for man to un-make it.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    53. Re:I am not scared by Vintermann · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I for one like the climate conditions on Earth in which civilization arose. If that's threatened by natural climate change one day, I'll suppose my descendants can decide how to deal with it, if at all. Hopefully it might be gradual enough for adaption.

      But it's not natural change which is a threat to our civilization-friendly climate today. Nor is it necessarily gradual enough for adaption without great human suffering.

      My actions aren't by definition evil, but taking responsibility for them means realizing the possibility that they could be.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    54. Re:I am not scared by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Please define the difference between "environmental change", and "environmental damage".

      Rapid climate change that results in problems for humans, such as changing weather patterns that force migrations that lead to wars over land.

    55. Re:I am not scared by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      Is that the main cause of climate change? That is what the real arguments are about.

      No, that's what the faux arguments are about.

      The real argument is what we can do about it, how we can convince the world to go in another direction. I don't have the answer to that, but one thing I know: Belittling the seriousness of the issue in order to avoid conflict and try to "stay friends with both sides", will not cut it.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    56. Re:I am not scared by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      Wait a minute, didn't the OP say:

      we are in a warming cycle that follows a trend that is documented over millions of years.

      When it's about proving warming cycles, we apparently have data from millions of years. When it comes to disproving them, whoops, we have to throw out all data other than direct temperature measurements.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    57. Re:I am not scared by wisdom_brewing · · Score: 1

      I'm actually waiting on the patent to come throught...

      Funding would be welcome...

    58. Re:I am not scared by Tom · · Score: 1

      That is a fairly good picture of the volume.

      But not of what happens with it. Imagine all that stuff being burnt. Constantly. Every second, every day of every week of every year. Actually, don't do that because it is not an honest picture. It is physically impossible to burn oil at this density, you'd have to spread it out.

      So, instead of it flowing peacefully into the sea, imagine two Thames full of oil being dispersed into the air. If you turn that into a movie, I want 20% of the gross income (not of the profit, I've read about Hollywood accounting). :-)

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    59. Re:I am not scared by sorak · · Score: 1

      Conspiracy theories and scientific hypes aside, is man actually capable of changing the properties of something as huge as planet Earth?

      Or, in other words, can we stop this even if we want to? Earth will continue changing as it will continue rotating, and we might as well take our minds off what we cannot change and work a little bit more on what we can, i.e. the misery of mankind.

      Can we change something as big as the misery of mankind? Misery will continue to exist, and we might as well take our minds off what we cannot change and work a little bit more on what we can, i.e. the next season of American Idol.

    60. Re:I am not scared by Five+Bucks! · · Score: 1

      Consider a small isolated pond surrounded by a pristine forest. Now denude the forest around the pond. Does the pond change?
      The pH will fluctuate, runoff from precipitation will impact the pond and the water is almost certainly going to become more turbid. If you consider the world of a mud trout, its life will never be the same.

      It just doesn't seem unreasonable to think that we can change the world as a species. The Earth is just not that big... I can purchase a plane ticket now and be on the other side of the globe within 24 hours. The globe has shrunk a great deal...

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      52 52'23" W 47 32'07" N
    61. Re:I am not scared by wisdom_brewing · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the image, will drop by millenium bridge in 40 minutes if thats ok, looking over the river over cigarette breaks...

      The WORLDS population is ONLY consuming twice that? I honestly had no idea that it was so little...

    62. Re:I am not scared by poliscipirate · · Score: 1

      Do you believe that the current environmental "stasis" (however incredibly brief it is, by any measure of geologic time) is somehow "good" and any deviation from this stasis is "bad"?

      In terms of "good" being suitable for human life and "bad" being unsuitable? Yes. In much the same way that calm weather is "good", but a hurricane is "bad".

      Do you believe that climate is static, consistent and invariable? (There are mountains of data to refute this).

      Of course not, but that isn't the issue here.

      Do you believe that changes in climate are inherently "bad"?

      Changes in climate are "bad" when they cause suffering to human life. If you're trying to raise a discussion on the question of evil, then this isn't the place to do it. You know full well the issue isn't the inherent qualities that make something "good" and "bad".

      Do you believe that it is possible to differentiate between man-made climatic shifts and naturally occurring climatic shifts? How?

      In much the same way as someone would determine if my case of botulism poisoning was caused by someone putting it in my food or by infection of a puncture wound. You know, like research.

      Do you believe that a man-made influence on the environment is "worse" than a naturally occurring climatic shift? Why?

      Do you believe that a man drinking himself to death is worse than a man dying of natural causes? Most of us would say yes, it is worse. Not all of us can have a Meursault-like level of detachment.

      Do you subscribe the puritanical view of causation whereby actions and causations which are man-made, are by definition 'evil'?

      Again, is this really the conversation we are having? Is a debate about the question of evil going to refute empirical evidence?

    63. Re:I am not scared by MasaMuneCyrus · · Score: 1

      That's not really a good analogy because there are HUGE, INCONCEIVABLY LARGE swaths of land that are at the very least undeveloped, if not almost completely untouched by more than a handful or less of humans.

      A better analogy would be if something like a small town, or even a medium sized town affects the farmland and empty fields and ecosystems that are on the outlying areas of the town. In some ways, yes, they do affect the outlying areas.

      For instance, cities are noticeably hotter than their rural outlying areas. However, rural areas nearby the city are still hotter than they would be if the city wasn't there until you get out sufficiently far from the city.

      On the other hand, you're still going to see deer, you're still going to see trees, you're still going to see an ecosystem that from a glance looks identical to how it has always looked. And unless you look really, scientifically in depth at the surrounding ecosystems a little bit away from the city, you're going to be hard-pressed as a layperson to see any affect at all on the really rural areas.

      So now replace individual cities and towns and their corresponding rural areas to every city on earth combined's affect on every rural area on earth combined, and you're probably going to see something similar.

    64. Re:I am not scared by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How well do your models say that you can land?

    65. Re:I am not scared by PinkyGigglebrain · · Score: 1

      Actually if you want to get technical the Earths atmosphere extends beyond the Moon, its just so thin at that point that the Oxygen/Nitrogen atoms are in distinct orbits.

      The wax covering would be a good analogy for the part that really impacts us though, its where all the smog concentrations are around cities.

      And you are so on it with the Sci-Fi comment, all the bad science they have really messes with general perception of reality.

    66. Re:I am not scared by PinkyGigglebrain · · Score: 1

      I've heard several serious climatologists dispute the level of impact Humans have had on the climate, they don't deny that its changing or that we need to do something asap, they just question the views held by some that its all caused by Humans and propose that it is a combination of natural and Human causes.

      I was not belittling the seriousness, if I seem to be trying to "stay friends with both sides" it was because long experience has shown that the more direct you challenge someones views the less likely they are to listen to your information. And I would rather my post get modded "interesting" than "Flamebait" or "Troll", which I guarantee would be more the case if I decided to skip the diplomacy. You don't get people to co-operate or change their views by making a full attack on their views with your first statement.

      As Sun Tzu said, if you have to use force to accomplish your goals then you have failed as a leader.

      My personnel take on Global Climate Change; Humans have royally Fucked up the Planet and its too late to really do anything but try to survive, and even at that I think we will fail as a civilization, possibly as a species as well.

    67. Re:I am not scared by jbengt · · Score: 1

      You're a little off.
      Outdoor air carbon dioxide levels were typically around 300 ppm 60 to 100 years ago, in fact, they've rarely exceeded 280 ppm for the last 400,000 years.. Nowadays they're around 360 ppm to 400 ppm - that's 20% more than just 50 years ago - a pretty abrupt change. It's also more than 25% above the previous four interglacial CO2 peak levels.
      Indoor air carbon dioxide levels are typically kept around 600 ppm (at least, that's the attempt). Above 800 to 1000 ppm there's probably inadequate ventilation, though that may be using the CO2 level as a surrogate for other indoor air pollution as much as a direct problem of too much CO2. Above around 1,000 ppm people begin to complain of headaches and drowsiness
      OSHA's 8-hour limit is 5,000 ppm, which you might find in an industrial environment. At that level you're also significantly affecting the percentage of O2 in the air.

    68. Re:I am not scared by lennier · · Score: 1

      Do you believe that the current environmental "stasis" (however incredibly brief it is, by any measure of geologic time) is somehow "good" and any deviation from this stasis is "bad"?

      When millions of humans depend on the current geological state of affairs for food and fresh water and housing - yes.

      Unless you think preventable megadeath is ethically neutral?

      --
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    69. Re:I am not scared by hsthompson69 · · Score: 1

      That clouds exist and can have an effect on temperature (apparently in either direction, depending on altitute? I don't know too much about it) doesn't change the fact that CO2 is a feedback. So why is there a problem asserting that?

      The problem is that if CO2 is a week positive feedback, overwhelmed by a strong cloud/water vapor negative feedback, its existence may be difficult if at all possible to discern, and in the final analysis, its contribution is negligible.

      There aren't any large, unknown negative feedback loops that "have to exist" to explain our present climate, to the precision we are able to explain it.

      I didn't say they were unknown, but they certainly are poorly quantified at the moment in common climate models. If CO2 was a positive feedback that could possibly drive the climate into a runaway warming or cooling, it would already have happened in the past (since we've got clear measurements of much higher CO2 levels than we have today).

      Also, regarding "runaway" cooling and warming. There's the fact that as things get warmer, they radiate more heat. This ultimately limits all feedbacks in either direction.

      I'm not sure if that statement is strictly true (what is the "limit" of a negative feedback?), but I think I understand what you're trying to say. I would assert that understanding the limits of the feedback mechanisms we've observed is at a very early stage in the science, and that there is years if not decades of work to go before we understand it properly.

      So it's not linear feedback of the kind you get out of a microphone. No one ever said that, and people who think so worry too much, in a sense. Of course, if that bleak idea convinces them to deny global warming entirely, they worry too little!

      Well, since the predictions of doom (even just a little doom) are so weak in basis, it makes it very hard for people to worry at all, skeptic or not. I think when given the proper caveats, and when observing the times of human prosperity during warmer periods of history, global warming comes out as a good thing. Of course, "good warming" is anathema to the doom and gloom crowd...but I think there are good cases to be made that it might not be bad at all.

    70. Re:I am not scared by hsthompson69 · · Score: 1

      You're fallen into the very trap you're complaining about. The effects of cloud cover are unknown.

      Actually, you've made my point for me exactly -> I'm not asserting knowledge where we don't have enough information or observation to assert it, I'm simply asserting that you cannot pick one "lever" and declare victory without understanding that there is more complexity out there.

      Does the term "ice age" mean nothing to you? Seriously? The world has had run away cooling and heating in the past, possibly even got near totally frozen at one point.

      Milankovich cycles and the like make changes to the inputs of energy, not the feedbacks of GHG or cloud cover. Ice ages, if you look at the historical record, behave like a cycle of saturation and crash...and the scary part is that we're well overdue for another one. A runaway positive or negative feedback would continue until it reached its maximum, and then perhaps oscillate close to the extreme, but it wouldn't magically restore itself through negative feedbacks. You can go ahead and try this out with a speaker and an amp -> start a positive feedback cycle, and tell me when it is magically overwhelmed by the negative feedbacks it overcame in the first place.

    71. Re:I am not scared by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      That CO2 is a weak feedback is contradicted both by theoretical results (physical models) and paleoclimate reconstructions. No one has yet managed to construct a theory of cloud formation that can "make everything all right again" and simultaneously explain what we have seen.

      If CO2 was a positive feedback that could possibly drive the climate into a runaway warming or cooling, it would already have happened in the past.

      Depending on what you mean by "runaway", it has happened in the past (and the idea that it should cause cooling is not based in physics). The last time carbon dioxide levels were as high as they are today, global temperatures were 5 to 10 degrees Fahrenheit higher than they are today, the sea level was approximately 75 to 120 feet higher, there was no permanent sea ice cap in the Arctic and very little ice on Antarctica and Greenland.

      Human prosperity under such conditions would be subject only to speculation, as humanity didn't exist 15 million years ago, the last time we saw that. Humanity hasn't even experienced the kind of temperatures we see now, until now.

      I would assert that understanding the limits of the feedback mechanisms we've observed is at a very early stage in the science, and that there is years if not decades of work to go before we understand it properly.

      Such a subjective assessment isn't worth much unless it comes from people who really know what they are talking about, i.e. respected climate scientists. But this is not what they say at all.

      (btw, if they were only looking for funding, it would make good sense for them to say that "we need decades of work to understand this properly". But they are calling for political action rather than further funding for themselves.)

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    72. Re:I am not scared by hsthompson69 · · Score: 1

      That CO2 is a weak feedback is contradicted both by theoretical results (physical models) and paleoclimate reconstructions.

      Hold on a tick - that talking point has been debunked well enough before. CO2 has a logarithmic absorption, so there is an upper limit to any positive feedback it could provide (theoretical model), and paleoclimate reconstructions show that it *lags* temperature changes by about 800 years.

      The last time carbon dioxide levels were as high as they are today, global temperatures were 5 to 10 degrees Fahrenheit higher than they are today, the sea level was approximately 75 to 120 feet higher, there was no permanent sea ice cap in the Arctic and very little ice on Antarctica and Greenland.

      And the last time global temperatures were 5 degrees higher than they are today, we were in the medieval warm period, with CO2 at lower levels than today, sea level approximately the same, and about the same arctic and antarctic ice. Of course, that's even assuming you've got the CO2 levels correct in your calculation in the first place.

      The disjunction between CO2 levels and temperature in the past make it pretty clear, by observation, that the two are not intrinsically related, nor is CO2 a strong positive feedback.

      Humanity hasn't even experienced the kind of temperatures we see now, until now.

      That's simply untrue. Both the Holocene optimum and the Medieval Warm Period were much warmer than today.

      (btw, if they were only looking for funding, it would make good sense for them to say that "we need decades of work to understand this properly". But they are calling for political action rather than further funding for themselves.)

      Make no doubt about it, they're asking for more funding as part of the "political action" they demand. To believe otherwise is to be willfully naive. If they were only looking for "political action", all of the climate research centers would be shut down (since the science is "settled"), and all of the money would be poured into whatever cap and trade scheme is their latest solution-du-jour.

      In order for these people to get funding, they need to claim not only "we need decades of work", but they also have to claim "this is the most critical research for all for all of mankind because without it we'll die a fiery death". But let's turn this around and ask you the question, do you think it is reasonable to cut all funding to every climate scientist today, and instead just jump to political action, since the science is "settled"?

    73. Re:I am not scared by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      Hold on a tick - that talking point has been debunked well enough before. CO2 has a logarithmic absorption, so there is an upper limit to any positive feedback it could provide (theoretical model), and paleoclimate reconstructions show that it *lags* temperature changes by about 800 years.

      And haven't I explained enough times in this thread (three, as I recall) why this is the case?

      CO2 is a feedback. As the world gets warmer, more of it gets into the atmosphere, primarily from the ocean.

      Try following the implications of that, step by step.

      1. The earth gets slightly warmer due to a Milankovitch cycle.
      2. This causes some CO2 to be released from the oceans.
      3. This causes the earth to warm slightly.
      4. Goto step 2.

      Now in this process, what will lead? CO2 levels, or temperature?

      Further hint: It takes a long time to warm up the ocean compared to the atmosphere.

      What I've explained to you here ought to be really obvious. Believe me, it has been explained to denialists like Watt and McIntyre many times. It's your argument that has been debunked well enough before.

      Yet denialists keep using the "temperature leads CO2" argument. Even the reasonably well-educated ones, like McIntyre, won't correct people who do.

      I won't correct you further, it's time you check your own sources. But to answer your counter-question: If I had the choice between political action sufficient to keep atmospheric carbon below 350 ppm + a teaching job, vs no action and a "research" position where I would really just make up stuff, I'd choose the former, like any person not mad with greed.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    74. Re:I am not scared by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      Sigh. The same old denialist talking points. For example, scientists never said that we were going into a new ice age in the 1970's. Some newspaper claimed that they did, and made everyone believe that it was the case. But the actual scientists never said anything of the sorts.

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    75. Re:I am not scared by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      This planet has endured many different trials/catastrophes, yet it is still here and thriving.

      Wait, what? Did you miss the parts where life nearly went extinct several times because of said catastrophies? Do you know what ended the reign of the dinosaurs?

      Yes, humanity is thriving right now, but you seem to suffer under the delusion that everyone would survive a global catastrophe. That is simply not possible. And while humanity might well survive a global catastrophe, it will be vastly reduced, and most people you know and love will probably be dead!

      So just because we are thriving now doesn't mean that we can ignore any catastrophes! Because even though humanity might survive, it will definitely not be pleasant for the few possible survivors!

      Now, people believe they have some "new, fresh, and exciting" intelligence and information and all they can come up with is that CO2 is the cause of environmental "problems".

      No, this is nothing new. Scientists have known about the greenhouse effect for nearly 200 years. It was first discovered in 1824, then experimented on in 1858, and then Arrhenius did his thing in 1896. Seriously, are you really this ignorant?

      The same molecule that all manner of mammal(and many non-mammal) produce and that all manner of plant life consumes is causing this problem.

      Water causes problems too. Floods are lethal. And yet, water is absolutely essential for life. Just because something is important or essential doesn't mean that it is good in too large quantities.

      The same fucking molecule that has existed on this plant for almost as long as the planet has existed, yet it is only a problem now.

      It is not only a problem now. It has always been a greenhouse gas. Seriously, are you really this thick?

      Even though we humans do not produce five percent of the CO2 that exist on this planet, we are affecting natural functions of a huge fucking planet?

      Yes, we are indeed. Because the system is in a delicate balance which we are now disturbing. Fuck, this is kindergarten material. Do I really have to educate you about basic stuff like this? Your entire line of argument is insane!

      --
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    76. Re:I am not scared by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      Are you going to respond to Vintermann's comment or what?

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      Clever signature text goes here.
    77. Re:I am not scared by hsthompson69 · · Score: 1

      CO2 is a feedback. As the world gets warmer, more of it gets into the atmosphere, primarily from the ocean.

      To our best knowledge, CO2 is a positive feedback constrained by its absorption spectrum. Once it is saturated, it cannot act as a feedback. So check here:

      1. The earth gets slightly warmer due to a Milankovitch cycle.
      2. This causes some CO2 to be released from the oceans.
      3. This causes the earth to warm slightly.
      4. Goto step 2 until CO2 has reached a point where it is saturated and cannot contribute more warming.
      5. Other effects apply.

      The problem with your original exhibition was that it cannot apply to periods of cooling and warming simultaneously. For example:

      1. The earth gets slightly cooler due to a Milankovitch cycle.
      2. This causes some CO2 to be absorbed by the oceans.
      3. This causes the earth to cool slightly.
      4. Goto step 2

      If CO2 was a positive feedback that was overwhelmingly potent, it would prevent any cooling periods at all. Reduce its efficacy in positive feedback enough to explain the cyclic variations in temperature in the historical record, and it becomes a minor and insignificant player in the climate equation, following the trend but not determining it.

      And haven't I explained enough times in this thread (three, as I recall) why this is the case?

      Perhaps you just haven't realized yet that your explanation is incorrect.
      How does the CO2 know whether or not to be a cooling feedback or a warming feedback? Can it do both? Or maybe, just maybe, CO2 simply follows temperature changes that overwhelm any "feedback" effect, positive or negative (take your pick, but pick just one) - that would certainly explain the historical record better than a "smart CO2" molecule.

    78. Re:I am not scared by hsthompson69 · · Score: 1

      If I had the choice between political action sufficient to keep atmospheric carbon below 350 ppm + a teaching job, vs no action and a "research" position where I would really just make up stuff, I'd choose the former, like any person not mad with greed.

      That wasn't the question. The question was whether or not we should stop all further climate research since the science is "settled", and redirect those resources to political actions (advertising, regulation, enforcement of regulation, military action, etc). Whether or not you get to be a researcher or teacher or garbage collector is irrelevant to the question (even if, you are in fact now, a climate researcher with a vested interest in keeping your current job).

      Nice strawman though :)

    79. Re:I am not scared by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Actually, if paeleoclimate evidence is to be believed the maximum temperatures were reached about 8,000 years ago and has been slowly declining since then until recently.

    80. Re:I am not scared by h7 · · Score: 1

      From what I understand Vintermann's comment should have been directed at "shutdown -p" and not me.

    81. Re:I am not scared by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      So you are saying that there is no warming cycle, and that there is no documented natural cycle over millions of years?

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  4. Photos from the same spot but not the same season by drmerope · · Score: 4, Insightful

    So we have a few photographs and the conclusion that the ice loss is devastating--despite no investigation as to whether the photographs were taken during the same day of the year nor as to what the internal variability is. But still, the editors immediately jump to the ice loss is devastating and that the mid-century prediction of the AR4 is right after all.

    Nonsense, the glaciers are monitored very closely and the loss-rates are calculated to be very slow. The AR4 prediction was, of course, the center of a big scandal because it was basically a fabrication, whereas the actual science is deep and gives several hundred years.

  5. News Flash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    About 10k years ago, there was glacier over a mile thick right where I am sitting.

    Must have been all those SUV driving woolly mammoth bastards!

    1. Re:News Flash! by Rakshasa+Taisab · · Score: 4, Funny

      And we also know that temperatures are moving towards a climate singularity just like the technology singularity, changing at ever faster speeds due to natural causes.

      --
      - These characters were randomly selected.
    2. Re:News Flash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Must have been all those SUV driving woolly mammoth bastards!

      i think ur ass would be pretty cold now, if it wasnt for those wolly bastards.

      and where's my damn SUV ?

    3. Re:News Flash! by danerthomas · · Score: 4, Insightful

      When you live in an area such as Stockholm where you see direct evidence of the most recent ice age and post-glacial rebound it makes you wonder just how much of this warming trend is anthropogenic. What percentage of the information here http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ice_age must we ignore in order to make our current interglacial period all our fault? How conceited do we have to be in order to come to the conclusion that we can: A) Determine the optimal level of glaciation and, B) Determine the means by which to stabilize the climate of the earth so as to maintain this level? Don't get me wrong, I commute by bike as often as possible, didn't have more than 2 kids, drive a car that gets over 30 mpg (and drive it less than 6000 miles a year), recycle as much as possible, purchase locally grown and ecologically produced food and in general, try to tread lightly. I think I do all of these things for the right reasons, but I'm not under the illusion that my doing so is going to prevent global warming or "save the earth".

    4. Re:News Flash! by vux984 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      About 10k years ago, there was glacier over a mile thick right where I am sitting.

      Must have been all those SUV driving woolly mammoth bastards!

      I don't know about you, but I'd prefer to see us avoid another ice age if possible. I don't much relish the thought of having to leave everything behind to flee a mile think sheet of ice. Some twit telling me its a 'natural cycle' isn't going to make that any easier. ;)

    5. Re:News Flash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And, just remember folks, murder has occurred for billions of years. Therefore, we should just let the psychopaths do what they want since it's just the natural order of things! Genocides, bear maulings, same thing! And, I can't bear the thought of being mauled, well, by a bear. Why are we so arrogant as to question nature, anyway? I, for one, welcome our psychopathic overlords!

    6. Re:News Flash! by biryokumaru · · Score: 2, Informative

      Ah yes, recycling... Didn't Penn and Teller do an episode on that?

      And what does having fewer kids have to do with anything? Are you trying to breed "ecological concern" out of the species in favor of "religious fundamentalism that doesn't believe in birth control and doesn't give a crap about the planet?" Because that's what happening when you have less kids.

      --
      When you're afraid to download music illegally in your own home, then the terrorists have won!
    7. Re:News Flash! by slater.jay · · Score: 3, Funny

      Today: Look out! There's a glacier on the horizon!
      Tomorrow: Look out! There's a glacier on the horizon!
      ...
      Slightly more than a year later: Look out! The glacier is almost here!

      (Using 20-30 meters per day as a speed, per Wikipedia).

    8. Re:News Flash! by Lumpy · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Yup most sane people understand that recycling at home is useless (in the separate your crap containers to feel good about yourself) Recycling in general IS effective. Lead recycling is hugely successful and has significantly reduced the need for mining new lead. Steel and metals recycling is hugely sucessful, almost all foundries use scrap metal in their furnaces. Plastics recycling makes us that horribly overpriced plastic decking that the rich people use to feel good on their new 6800 sq foot 8 bedroom home for 2, but there are other things that are real uses like fleece.. just don't get it near open flame as that crap goes up faster than gasoline soaked rags...

      Composting at home is recycling that does work well.

      Recycling works, it is that feel good, separate your trash, recycling at the curb that is fake. In fact more could be done to help the environment by having these feel good yuppie environmentalists STOP drinking bottled water. Bottled water is really bad for the environment as most bottling plants destroy the aquifer for the area they tap into for the real spring water.... The rest is just city water put in plastic bottles that are not recycled if you don't take the cap and ring off. because the makers are too stupid to make the cap and bottle out of the same plastic. Well not too stupid, it's on purpose... Cheapest price is far more important that recyclability.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    9. Re:News Flash! by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      Flee a glacier... do you realize you could push your house faster than the glacier will move towards you?

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    10. Re:News Flash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, of course it's natural: we, humanity, are part of nature!

    11. Re:News Flash! by wisdom_brewing · · Score: 1

      Having a kid is the worst possible action on average if you want to look at the overall carbon footprint.

      I say "on average" because there are bound to be some kids born that have a net-positive effect over the course of their lives.

    12. Re:News Flash! by PseudonymousBraveguy · · Score: 1

      Even better, the glacier will do all the pushing for you!

    13. Re:News Flash! by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Glaciers that move a meter per day are not unusual. While a 3 or better point earthquake shakes my house quite a bit, I am only worth a 2 or so and cannot push it very far. You're not going to have a hard time outrunning it, but there won't be many (or perhaps any) buildings relocated. Glaciers are made of packed snow so in theory if temps rise enough then humidity will rise enough to produce a very long winter which can potentially produce glaciers that normally take many years in just one or two. The question has always been how hot it has to get to create such a runaway effect. Of course, with our technology we could build nuclear power plants to engage in some massive glacier-melting program which would allow cities to stay put, if we can stay fed in the interim...

      --
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    14. Re:News Flash! by SEWilco · · Score: 0

      Flee a glacier... do you realize you could push your house faster than the glacier will move towards you?

      Are you tired of pushing your house? Introducing... The House Surfboard! No more pushing your house! Let the glacier push it for you! Order now and we'll include the Sail Attachment, for fair-weather house movement!

    15. Re:News Flash! by ultranova · · Score: 2, Interesting

      What percentage of the information here http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ice_age must we ignore in order to make our current interglacial period all our fault?

      It doesn't matter who's fault it is; what matters is what consequences it has for us, and what can we do about it if - as is likely - the consequences are bad.

      How conceited do we have to be in order to come to the conclusion that we can: A) Determine the optimal level of glaciation and,

      Optimal level of glaciation from our point of view is what our infrastructure is built for, which of course would be the current one, or the one a few decades back.

      B) Determine the means by which to stabilize the climate of the earth so as to maintain this level?

      Now this is an interesting question. In the long term the most effective means would likely be to control the amount of sunlight that reaches Earth with space-based sunshades and mirors, but right now we don't really have many tools besides controlling the levels of greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    16. Re:News Flash! by Vintermann · · Score: 4, Informative

      When you live in an area such as Stockholm where you see direct evidence of the most recent ice age and post-glacial rebound it makes you wonder just how much of this warming trend is anthropogenic.

      Ah, yes, that's the problem with climate scientists. They don't appreciate the personal impact of seeing scouring marks on mountains, so they forget that there's been an ice age recently!

      Uh, NO. No one ever said "the current interglacial period was all our fault". Ice ages and interglacials are caused by Milankovich cycles, small variations in the earth's orbit and axial tilt.

      It's just one thing: those orbital anomalies cause only a very, very small change in temperature by themselves. Not nearly enough to move the earth in and out of an ice age. Yet they have been found to be an excellent explanation for them. Why is that?

      Because of climate feedbacks. As white ice sheets melt and turns into dark ocean, the sun absorbs more of the energy striking it. As the oceans warm, their capacity to dissolve gases is reduced, causing them to release higher amounts of CO2 into the atmosphere. Causing further warming, causing further melting. The earth keeps warming, but all things that become warmer emit more heat radiation. Eventually it becomes hot enough that the heat radiation out is in balance with the additional energy absorbed. But by then the tiny change in temperature from an orbital change has turned an ice age into an interglacial.

      I recommend you start read Uppsalainitiativet since you presumably speak Swedish.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    17. Re:News Flash! by rs79 · · Score: 1

      http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/global.daily.ice.area.withtrend.jpg

      the global ice levels are above normal (where "normal" is defined as the
      average over the last 30-40 years of actual observation).

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
    18. Re:News Flash! by sycodon · · Score: 1

      Don't get me wrong, I commute by bike as often as possible, didn't have more than 2 kids, drive a car that gets over 30 mpg (and drive it less than 6000 miles a year), recycle as much as possible, purchase locally grown and ecologically produced food and in general, try to tread lightly.

      This is the Environmentalist's version of "I have friends that are black!"

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    19. Re:News Flash! by Culture20 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Are you trying to breed "ecological concern" out of the species in favor of "religious fundamentalism that doesn't believe in birth control and doesn't give a crap about the planet?" Because that's what happening when you have less kids.

      I wasn't aware that ecological concern was a genetic trait. I also wasn't aware that religious people "don't give a crap about the planet". I suppose the term "stewards of the Earth" comes from the UFO-origins crowd.

    20. Re:News Flash! by quanticle · · Score: 1

      My position is that it doesn't matter whether the global warming is anthropogenic or not. The Earth's climate is changing. Even if this change was started by humans, at this point humanity can do very little to stop it. So, we can either sit around and deny reality, or we can start adapting now, so that we'll be better positioned to deal with a drastically altered climate when it gets here.

      In other words, I'm saying we use the same large brains that allowed us to adapt to the last drastic global climatic change (the end of the Ice Age) to start preparing for the next one.

      --
      We all know what to do, but we don't know how to get re-elected once we have done it
    21. Re:News Flash! by dgower2 · · Score: 1

      Get it straight BS spewers. I'm what you would refer to as a "fundamentalist" Christian. I believe the bible is the word of God, Jesus was the son of God, etc...

      The bible tells us to "be good stewards of what God gives us". Look up the actual definition of a steward; nothing is ours - it all belongs to God. If God gave us this beautiful planet to live on and use, He expects/wants us to take care of it, be "good stewards" of it.

      So, going forward, anyone that claims "Christians don't care about the planet", you're simply illinformed and don't know what the bible says.

      --

      Proverbs 21:19 It is better to dwell in the wilderness, than with a contentious and an angry woman.

    22. Re:News Flash! by MattSausage · · Score: 1

      Also, to be fair, Penn and Teller 'debunked' the theory that recycling saves money. They said little if anything about it being good for the environment. Of course, as rabid libertarians, they may not be concerned with much else besides money.

      I don't disagree that current tech doesn't allow for saving much on recycling. Their point was it makes things more expensive and therefore it is a totally valueless (or negative value) process. However, there are other ways of measuring value other than dollars and cents. And recycling, while not being a moneymaking venture for most, is still a valuable process to many.

    23. Re:News Flash! by Rutefoot · · Score: 2, Informative

      They use different plastics because they are produced using different methods. The bottle is produced by injection molding the top part with the threading and blow molding the rest. There are many things that have to be taken into account when choosing the right polymer to use (and price is only one of them). The ability to blow mold, the strength of the plastic (ie the ability to stack several cases of water on top of each other, amounting to potentially thousands of pounds), the flexibility (A bottle with little flexibility could puncture easily. The injection molded lid then has to have different characteristics in order to work properly. Trust me, the makers are not stupid. A water bottle is incredibly complex and it takes enormous amounts of knowledge and experience to create. You need understandings of biology, chemistry, physics, engineering and economics to design that little thing that costs pennies to make.

      To summarize: Try and design something that has the following characteristics (which is only a fraction of what is required) then come back and tell me that bottle designers are stupid:

      1)Has to contain a liquid without leaking
      2)Has to be relatively puncture proof
      3)Has to be lightweight
      4)Has to be cheap
      5)Needs to be manufactured quickly and must be able to be produced by machine perfectly every time.
      6)Has to be able to support thousands of pounds while filled with liquid without breaking or deforming (this isn't an exaggeration. Cases of water will be stacked 6 or 7 tall on a pallet then two or three more full pallets will be stacked on top of that.)
      7)Has to be ergonomic
      8)Has to withstand heat and freezing temperatures and the tendency for the liquid inside to expand when frozen
      9)Has to have a unique shape for branding purposes and still meet all the above criteria
      10)Needs to be designed to maximize the quantity on a pallet and in turn maximize the quantity on a truck. Most bottles have short necks for this reason (then go and try and create a short neck that is capable of withstanding weight)
      11) The lid needs to be able to be removed easily, but still is able to withstand the weight, the pressure and the temperature changes without leaking.

    24. Re:News Flash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And what does having fewer kids have to do with anything?

      /earth is 97% full. Please delete anyone you can.

    25. Re:News Flash! by biryokumaru · · Score: 1

      ..you're simply illinformed and don't know what the bible says.

      It doesn't matter what the bible says. Christians don't typically care about that, if you haven't noticed.

      --
      When you're afraid to download music illegally in your own home, then the terrorists have won!
    26. Re:News Flash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      didn't have more than 2 kids

      And that helps the melting glaciers by less methane through farting?

    27. Re:News Flash! by sjs132 · · Score: 2, Funny

      I'm not rich, and my home is much-much(x6) smaller, but I like that decking. Does it make me feel good? Not in the least bit... I hadn't even though about that until your post. I guess I should be happy that trees are not cut down for my deck covering, but I still live in a house made of sticks.

      I guess it would be better if we all crawled back into caves? Now that's a feel good idea. How about self-recycling? You could compost yourself in a forest and do good for the planet to. (Think how low of a carbon footprint you'd achieve!) :)

      --
      --- Relax, that mass muderer is just trying to reduce our carbon footprint, one fetus at a time...
    28. Re:News Flash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Must have been all those SUV driving woolly mammoth bastards!

      Don't worry they got their comeuppance.

    29. Re:News Flash! by Chris+Johnson · · Score: 1

      Think of it as a really big-ass spaceship, on which life support looks like it's getting sketchy.

      We get to decide what we consider life support. If it's going to become a giant pit of lava in which space salamanders thrive, we get to say 'hey, this is our spaceship, get your own, that's not what I call life support'.

      We get to be non-stupid if we like- calculating out the stuff we consume, what it's doing, where it goes, making reasonably educated guesses on what's happening. A previous poster noted cancer rates during the smoggiest parts of the Industrial Revolution. We get to draw conclusions about this without looking for outliers (ooo look, a 102-year old guy who smokes cigars instead of eating! Everything we know is wrong!)

      We get to have opinions on what to do, with or without the amazing invasive-species-like ability of our species to loot the henhouse and shit where we eat- the fact that we can always come up with individuals to loot and pillage ANYTHING doesn't mean all human endeavors are worthless.

      All we can do is the best we can, which empirical evidence tends to suggest isn't super impressive. But we are allowed to try- and if some of you guys have an attitude of "you're just a bunch of dicks manipulating government and opinion to hurt my profits when I should be allowed to loot the henhouse 'cos it doesn't really matter and everybody dies anyway", we are allowed to be dicks about it.

      Think of it as us using the same fox-like wiles and manipulativeness natural to our species, towards a different end. Let's play tug-of-war with it, and for every excessive telegenic weather event (driven by the increased energy in the heating climate- obviously this doesn't produce a steady-state hotter earth, it produces increasingly violent weather, learn 2 chaos theory) we'll point out the influence of greater (hotter) climate energy over the pictures of devastation.

      Go right ahead and keep pointing at glaciers and saying they will always be there. Glaciers are a lot more boring than hurricanes and heat waves. Make the right connections and global warming becomes a much more exciting television story.

    30. Re:News Flash! by Snaller · · Score: 1

      "I think I do all of these things for the right reasons, but I'm not under the illusion that my doing so is going to prevent global warming or "save the earth"."

      Why do you do it then?

      I have no children and never will, and just need the earth last as long as me - then screw it.

      --
      If Google really cared they would fix Android Chrome to reflow text, instead of discriminating
    31. Re:News Flash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For most of the earth's history, there have been no polar ice caps.
      We are living in the anomaly.

    32. Re:News Flash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1) No curbside recycling here. I went to college so I didn't have to sort garbage all my life. Instead, they sort the garbage at the landfill. Much better. I don't have to be the garbage sorter, and we have the highest recycling rate of all counties in California. Curbside IS to feel good. Real recycling happens at a state of the art landfill.

      2) Bottled water isn't about the water. It's about the package. Tap water is fine. Tap water in bottles is even better.

    33. Re:News Flash! by operagost · · Score: 1

      Actually, that hasn't been my experience, Captain Prejudicial Anecdote.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    34. Re:News Flash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      That *MAY* be true for your neck of the woods, but it is not true everywhere. In many locals at home recycling is very effective at reducing waste and reducing the carbon foot print of the city.

      I have several friends involved in my city's recycling system. By conservative estimates, the city's recycling reduces overall carbon footprint (including energy used to recycle and transport) by 15%. That is also the most extreme conservative estimate. The last independent review put it at closer to 22%.

      Part of this success is that recycling at home is part of a larger system of sustainable living for the city and region. It is at this point part of the local culture and you are more likely to see an average house produce between 50% to 70% recycling and only 50% to 30% trash on any given "trash day".

      Another example you used would be water and soda bottles. Both require a deposit when purchased. That deposit is refunded when recycled (any store that sells them is required to be recycling collections spot). This has resulted in about 82% of these objects being returned for deposit and recycled and an estimated 7% being recycled without deposit returned.

    35. Re:News Flash! by jvkjvk · · Score: 1

      I suppose the term "stewards of the Earth" comes from the UFO-origins crowd.

      Well, talk to me when they really mean "stewardship" rather than "I can do whatever I want with the planet."

      You are aware that there has been a large body of religious arguments stemming back to pre-industrial revolution specifically touting that philosophy against ecology?

      Oh, I suppose those people fall under the "no real scotsman" defence, right?

    36. Re:News Flash! by Artifakt · · Score: 2, Interesting

      So long as 'Man-made' and 'Supernatural' are both common antonyms to 'Natural', natural is a word to use very cautiously. On Slashdot, it's also most frequently misused by the very same people who misuse 'Rational' to mean 'Reasonable', and 'Logical' to mean 'Scientific' (and various combinations of these). (In the wider world, 'natural' is as often misused by the same people who aren't clear about the differences between 'illegal' and 'immoral' - that seems less frequent around here).
            As a preternaturalist, all this bugs me enough to hope something with tentacles does some pruning.

      --
      Who is John Cabal?
    37. Re:News Flash! by Culture20 · · Score: 1

      Well, talk to me when they really mean "stewardship" rather than "I can do whatever I want with the planet."

      Hello, I'll start talking now, although "conservationists" have been around far longer than "environmentalists".

      You are aware that there has been a large body of religious arguments stemming back to pre-industrial revolution specifically touting that philosophy against ecology?

      Oh, I suppose those people fall under the "no real scotsman" defence, right?

      Actually, yes. I can't think of even one religion where destruction of the environment is okay, except maybe in worship of Kali the Destroyer, where consuming without creating might hold an appeal.

    38. Re:News Flash! by Lars+T. · · Score: 1

      So what does the Ice Age have to do with the drastic rise of temperatures in the last century (and the coming)?

      --

      Lars T.

      To the guy who modded me down from perfect to terrible Karma - Apple haters still suck

    39. Re:News Flash! by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      Sorry but you CAN make the cap from the same plastic as the bottle. Same process even, they chose not to because of cost. Caps are bought based on color they want (same plastic = clear caps.. how un pepsi-like)

      Brother has been in injection molding business for decades, I know a thing or two.. and no the bottle does not need to handle thousands of pounds. That one is way over the top. Blow molded bottles start as bottle blanks that are made "GASP" just like how the caps are made...

      P.S. bottle blanks are cool. strong little "test tubes" that are really useful.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    40. Re:News Flash! by StikyPad · · Score: 1

      It's funny because it's true. For anyone who didn't know, glaciers literally move at a glacial pace.

    41. Re:News Flash! by BlueParrot · · Score: 1

      Recycling works, it is that feel good, separate your trash, recycling at the curb that is fake.

      It's not that simple. Here in Sweden we usually separate our garbage into paper, other combustibles, glass and metal componenets. The latter two are particularly important since it is much more energy intensive to refine ores ( in particular aluminium ) than it is to recycle the used bits. Paper recycling is more controversial and basically depends on how far you have to transport the stuff and whether you recover the heat from incinerating it.

      We also tend to recycle PET-bottles , but rarely other forms of plastic. I'm not quite sure what they do with the used bottles, if they simply wash them and reuse, or if it becomes insulation material or whatever, but it's supposedly worthwhile, which I suspect may have something to do with the bottles being a fairly uniform composition. After all, it must be much harder to recycle a heterogeneous mass of unknown plastic componenets than a know-composition mass of PET bottles).

    42. Re:News Flash! by tbannist · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Also, it should be noted that Penn and Teller sometimes miss obvious things because they don't properly research before debunking. For instance, I'm betting they totally missed the fact that recycling (at least here) is a municipal program and the people who do the recycling make money because they are contracted to do the work. The municipality probably looses money on the actual recycling but that's not the goal of the program. It's about saving money on landfill, by diverting significant amounts of garbage (I think my city has hit a 50% diversion rate) the municipal government doesn't have to use as much landfill space and that saves a lot of money on building new dumps or transporting garbage to other dumps.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    43. Re:News Flash! by lennier · · Score: 1

      I went to college so I didn't have to sort garbage all my life.

      Isn't that a little like saying 'I will not go potty! I went to college so I didn't have to go potty ever again!' ?

      There are some things that are endemic to the human condition - and learning how to properly manage one's personal waste stream is usually considered an important PART of education ...

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    44. Re:News Flash! by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      For most of Earth's history there were no humans. Maybe we are the anomaly.

      BTW, there have always been polar ice caps during the existence of humans on the planet.

    45. Re:News Flash! by biryokumaru · · Score: 1

      Trees are a renewable resource.

      ... idiot.

      --
      When you're afraid to download music illegally in your own home, then the terrorists have won!
    46. Re:News Flash! by biryokumaru · · Score: 1

      People should stop thinking locally and start acting globally.

      --
      When you're afraid to download music illegally in your own home, then the terrorists have won!
    47. Re:News Flash! by radaghast · · Score: 1

      The empirical observations show no impact on the rate of global temperature rise due to increasing CO2 levels. The industrial revolution has increased atmospheric CO2 concentrations by more than 30%, but the slope of temperature rise has not been impacted. It has risen steadily since the mini ice age of the 1700's. As far as climate feedback goes... Temperature records obtained from the sargasso sea show that we are 2 degrees C below the highest measurements of the last 3000 years. This would imply that we can at least afford to rise 2 more degrees and be assured there will be no uncontrollable feedback induced spiral into rapid temperature rise. The original source of warming is irrelevant when considering feedback, all that matters is that the warming did happen. We could very well be on our way to one of these spirals, but there is no empirical evidence to show that C02 will be the trigger that puts us over the edge.

    48. Re:News Flash! by Vintermann · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Ask yourself why would someone want to compare the rate of change of temperature to the rate of change of CO2?

      It's not even obvious how those are expected to corellate. Why not look at temperature and CO2 levels directly?

      Because the results from that would be too hard to weasel away from. But if you have a noisy dataset, you are a lot less likely to be able to prove correlation between the derivatives. Thus you get the lack of conclusion that you want.

      This retreat to the derivative is a special case of the general denialist strategy (not only in climate change, but in everything exposed to political hackery): If you throw out enough data, the results become "inconclusive".

      Taking a needless derivative or two is an easy way to throw away data. It looks impressively mathy, too.

      The choice of the Sargasso sea as the one and only reliable climate proxy is another example of throwing out data. This simple variant is what we call cherry picking.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    49. Re:News Flash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The rest is just city water put in plastic bottles"

      you know, theres a ton of companies who claim 'filtration' of said city water put in plastic bottles... you could be a very rich man/woman should you sue for false advertising...

      but no one has done this... could it be its not *just* city water tap in a bottle?

    50. Re:News Flash! by danerthomas · · Score: 1

      One of the reasons we chose to have only two kids is that I believe that population growth leads to a less sustainable future from a number of different standpoints. Believing the way that I do, it would have been hypocritical to contribute to population growth. I'm not telling you or anyone else how to believe or how to live, just trying to live within my own beliefs.

    51. Re:News Flash! by danerthomas · · Score: 1

      I'm aware of most of that (and thanks for the link.) By bringing up the evidence from the past I mean to remind people that the earth's climate at different times has been both significantly warmer and colder than it is today, for a variety of reasons, all without any input from humans. With that in mind, it is reasonable to postulate that in the future the earth's climate is also likely at different times to be both significantly warmer and colder than it is today, for a variety of reasons, regardless of the effects of human input. Based on that information, I think that it makes more sense to invest our efforts into improving our ability as a species to adapt to climate change than to control it. That does not absolve us from any responsibility to use our resources more efficiently and effectively, but it can to a certain extent protect the gullible from those who would sell a product or philosophy based upon promised effects that have little (if anything) to do with the (multiple) identified causes of past climate change.

    52. Re:News Flash! by Pranadevil2k · · Score: 1

      Would it not be plausible for at least SOME glaciers to melt them as they get closer to civilization? Send some guys with flamethrowers, or throw down some napalm (or something else nice and hot, I don't know if napalm is environmentally safe..) every few days. You could even devise some ingenious aqueduct system to catch the water as it melts. I don't see why we have technology that can cut down huge chunks of forest or strip-mine out miles of earth but somehow are unable to stop slow-moving and predictable ice sheets...

    53. Re:News Flash! by Jojie_T · · Score: 1

      Recycling allows us to have a smaller garbage container and thereby pay less. It is not "useless" to me. At what level is curbside recycling fake? It seems to make a difference in my monthly bill.

    54. Re:News Flash! by Jojie_T · · Score: 1

      Are we talking US or anywhere in the world?

    55. Re:News Flash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Children are raised by their parents, the fundies don't instill a respect for the earth. They probably do use the words "witch" and "pagan" more often, though.

    56. Re:News Flash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also, it should be noted that Penn and Teller sometimes miss obvious things because they don't properly research before debunking.

      I used to think that, but as the show went on I kept finding all the oversights had the same bias. Then I found out they are connected to the Cato Institute. I like them better as magicians that politicians.

    57. Re:News Flash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the global ice levels are above normal

      Really? The plot you show says, "Global Sea Ice Area". Glaciers aren't sea ice. Most of the ice on earth isn't sea ice. I've probably debunked this deception half a dozen times here on Slashdot. Global sea ice volumes are down drastically and the multi-year arctic sea ice is nearly gone. You've been tricked by someone with an agenda. Seriously. It frustrations me to no end the level of deception bloggers and talk radio are getting away with.

    58. Re:News Flash! by hkmwbz · · Score: 1
      So you live in Stockholm. I guess that automatically makes you an expert on global warming, eh?

      Heh.

      No information in that Wikipedia article is being ignored. What on earth have you been smoking?

      And as a response to your other retarded comment: How conceited must a virus be in order to come to the conclusion that it can kill a human being?

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    59. Re:News Flash! by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      The evidence clearly shows that global warming is man-made. You are obviously denying that fact because of your political ideology. Shame on you.

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    60. Re:News Flash! by radaghast · · Score: 1

      Actually I compared rate of change of temperature (increasing at a constant rate) to direct levels of carbon dioxide (increasing). The reason is because temperatures were already on the rise well before the industrial revolution, thus it would be especially meaningless to correlate the rising temperature with an increase in CO2. The point is to show that the artificial addition of very large amounts of CO2 into our atmosphere has not resulted in an abnormal rate of temperature rise.

      Go ahead and explain to me the conclusive results achieved by comparing both values directly, which I am apparently trying to weasel away from.

      Taking a derivative does not equate with 'throwing out data', one can easily extrapolate the absolute values of the 'derived' subject, as long as the starting point is known.

      I wouldn't try to claim that the Sargasso sea is the be all end all of climate evidence, but the numbers provided from it are corroborated by historical records of crop growing seasons and locations. For instance, Greenland used to be colonized by Europeans during a period of relative warmth around 1300 AD shown by Sargasso sea records.

      Thank you for providing your expert awareness of deceitful denialist strategies, but I'm not here with any sort of agenda. I'm not seeking a lack of conclusion, but that's what I've found. There is no experimental evidence for man made global warming, and I don't think we should be legislating policies like Cap and Trade without being certain they will actually work.

    61. Re:News Flash! by danerthomas · · Score: 1

      Some may find comfort in being told what to think by authority figures (political or religious) but my political ideology stems from my understanding of the physical universe and human behavior. I think that we should strive for a more sustainable future. I think that the best hope for the future of humanity lies in helping those with the lowest standard of living on the planet to improve their own situations. The primary drivers of the extreme climate changes of the past lie completely outside of our sphere of influence, so I think it would be more effective to devote scientific resources towards adapting to climate change rather than controlling or reversing it. If you had bothered to read my first post here you would realize that I feel that we have both an individual and collective responsibility to move towards a more sustainable economic and ecologic future. Even so, focusing on adaptation rather than control would direct our resources towards solutions that have a higher likelihood of success. I'm not aware of a political party that is directly in line with those sentiments, but I believe that the current democratic administration is closer to the mark than McCain/Palin would have been. Shame on you for jumping to erroneous conclusions!

  6. And what season were these taken? by Delgul · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The first in mid-winter? The second high-summer? We don't know. And that is exactly the problem. Every time some alarmist 'scientist' comes with this kind of 'evidence' they leave something out. We just cannot trust these guys anymore...

    1. Re:And what season were these taken? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Glaciers are not snowfields, they show almost no seasonal change

    2. Re:And what season were these taken? by epiphani · · Score: 1

      The derp is strong with this one.

      http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/?report=global

      Argue with this for a while. I'll watch from a distance.

      --
      .
    3. Re:And what season were these taken? by PhilHibbs · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Also, picture was taken in September 1921, so ice would have been at its lowest point anyway if it was seasonal. No-one climbs Everest in winter, at least they didn't in 1921.

  7. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    TFA doesn't mention anything about the time of year each of the pictures was taken. It also ignores the fact that some glaciers seem to be growing in the Himalayas
    http://news.discovery.com/earth/himalayas-glaciers-shrink.html

  8. Didn't even check if evidence existed by mrcaseyj · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I don't know about the credibility of this report. Maybe the glaciers are melting because of human CO2, maybe they would have melted anyway, or maybe they aren't even melting. But when the supposedly respected Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change made that mistake in their report where they claimed the Himilayan glaciers would melt by 2035, it exposed more than a simple mistake. It showed that for their report, the IPCC didn't do what you would expect, which is thoroughly scrutinize what they cited. Nor did they look over what they cited to see if it was reasonable. No, they didn't bother with all that. They didn't even check to see if the evidence they cited about the effects of global warming EVEN EXISTED.

    The entire climate science community has defended "Mike's Nature trick" to "hide the decline" so that people wouldn't see how bad their evidence is, instead of criticizing the hiding of results that cast major doubt on their evidence. None of them have any credibility left, and will never get it back until they condemn instead of defend "Mike's Nature trick".

    My criticism of climate science on Slashdot are routinely the target of moderator abuse, so watch the down moded comments for good stuff.

    1. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by dmuir · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Wow. I actually saw your comment get down moded in real time! Kind of proves your point about moderator abuse...

    2. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or maybe people mod you down because your a crackpot? I'm just sayin.

    3. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So in a 3000 page report, you can point to one minor error, in the section for policymakers (not scientists), which was dealt with correctly in the section for scientists, which was picked up by an author of that section... to abandon over 100 years of climate change science?

      Your posts aren't getting modded down because of moderator abuse. They're getting modded down because you're a gullible moron.

      But as you can see from this thread, the denialist moderators are out in force tonight.

    4. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My criticism of climate science on Slashdot are routinely the target of moderator abuse, so watch the down moded comments for good stuff.

      I've personally found that comments that have "Yeah but I know when people say things like this it's unpopular and they get downmodded" have been fairly consistently modded up.

      I don't know if it's because the comments themselves hold something of value, or if slashdotters just react to the idea that they might be being unfair and so...become unfair to give a semblance of fairness.

      Irregardless, I welcome skepticism provided that it's not skepticism that uses faulty claims by specific scientists to call into question the conclusions of the field as a whole. If some physics researcher makes a mistake about, I dunno, friction, this doesn't throw the law of gravity into question.

    5. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      It showed that for their report, the IPCC didn't do what you would expect, which is thoroughly scrutinize what they cited. Nor did they look over what they cited to see if it was reasonable. No, they didn't bother with all that. They didn't even check to see if the evidence they cited about the effects of global warming EVEN EXISTED.

      It's not all that bad. Different sections of the report were written by different people. WGI is generally well respected and I haven't seen anywhere that uses bad sources. You can probably trust it. WGII is awful: it uses unreliable sources all over the place. It's really too bad because it would be good to know what the impacts of global warming would be (which is what WGII was supposed to figure out).

      --
      Qxe4
    6. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by hsthompson69 · · Score: 1

      I welcome skepticism provided that it's not skepticism that uses faulty claims by specific scientists to call into question the conclusions of the field as a whole.

      I think the big problem here is that the falsifiable hypothesis being defended is not properly defined. In other words, I would welcome alarmism, provided it's not alarmism that uses ambiguity in order to make all data fit their phantom hypothesis.

      Science is the ruthless application of skepticism to ones' *own* ideas - we develop falsifiable hypotheses, and we *try* to falsify them. Science isn't a popularity contest, it isn't a vote, it isn't a consensus - it's challenging others, and yourself, to prove things *wrong*.

      If some physics researcher proposes a theory of anti-gravity, backs it up with a host of equations that all must be true for his theory to be true, and you find just *one* flaw in the chain, his theory is toast (at least in the context of whatever time/temperature/pressure/size his experiment may apply to - see quantum versus classical physics).

    7. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by Yvanhoe · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Take a respected science publication. Take "Nature" if you wish. From 2008. Count how many of the reputable, scientific publications there have been contradicted since then. 3000 pages of science without mistakes, without errors are not 3000 pages of up-to-date science. Having just two mistakes in the report is actually incredible. I am sure we will find more, this is an ongoing work. Misquotes, honest but dumb errors, happen to very good scientists. Being a top scientist doesn't mean you don't make mistake, but that you correct them when they are pointed out, even if it means questioning your basic premises.

      Does the errors about glaciers ice loss question the existence of climate change ? No. Was this ever considered ? Hell yes. Actually, when one reads the actual IPCC report, you would see that it is far from alarming. I used to be a "soft denier" when I discovered that much of my claims were already there. The rise is small and slow, the link to human activity is credible but a lot of uncertainty factors are underlined, the rise being a long term natural cycle is not ruled out, etc...

      The warming is not an invention. First measures apparently were a bit too high and over-estimated the rise. They have been corrected since and a rise is still present. I pity climatologists. They are trying to do good science in a very heavy political context. That must be very hard.

      --
      The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
    8. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by meringuoid · · Score: 2, Interesting
      None of them have any credibility left, and will never get it back until they condemn instead of defend "Mike's Nature trick".

      Just to be sure you're not a crank: could you explain to us what "Mike's Nature trick" was, what was in "decline" and how it was hidden? I mean, you're not just regurgitating memes from denialist blogs, right? You do actually know what you're talking about, right?

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
    9. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by Kijori · · Score: 1

      The entire climate science community has defended "Mike's Nature trick" to "hide the decline" so that people wouldn't see how bad their evidence is, instead of criticizing the hiding of results that cast major doubt on their evidence. None of them have any credibility left, and will never get it back until they condemn instead of defend "Mike's Nature trick".

      I'd never heard of "Mike's Nature trick", so I looked it up. Here's what Google turned up:

      "Mike's Nature trick" refers to the technique of plotting recent instrumental data along with the reconstructed data. This places recent global warming trends in the context of temperature changes over longer time scales. "Hide the decline" refers to a decline in the reliability of tree rings to reflect temperatures after 1960. This is known as the "divergence problem" where tree ring proxies diverge from modern instrumental temperature records after 1960, discussed in the peer reviewed literature as early as 1995.

      "Mike's Nature trick" refers to a technique (aka "trick of the trade") used in a paper published in Nature by lead author Michael Mann (Mann 1998). The "trick" is the technique of plotting recent instrumental data along with the reconstructed data. This places recent global warming trends in the context of temperature changes over longer time scales.

      The most common misconception regarding this email is the assumption that "decline" refers to declining temperatures. It actually refers to a decline in the reliability of tree rings to reflect temperatures after 1960. This is known as the "divergence problem" where tree ring proxies diverge from modern instrumental temperature records after 1960. The divergence problem is discussed in the peer reviewed literature as early as 1995, suggesting a change in the sensitivity of tree growth to temperature in recent decades (Briffa 1998). It is also examined more recently in Wilmking 2008 which explores techniques in eliminating the divergence problem. So when you look at Phil Jone's email in the context of the science discussed, it is not the schemings of a climate conspiracy but technical discussions of data handling techniques available in the peer reviewed literature. More on the hockey stick divergence problem...

      So this is a technique, accepted by scientists through peer-review, used to compensate for one form of data being unreliable in a particular arena. Can you explain why that's such a problem, because I don't see it?

      One other thing: quoting only the "hide the decline" part of the email is rather disingenuous, since a lot of people will assume, without context, that it refers to a decline in temperature.

    10. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by mrcaseyj · · Score: 3, Informative

      Before the climate gate emails were released I had heard of the "hockey stick" but I didn't look into it because I thought it was probably just anti-science oil company propaganda. But after hearing about the trick to "hide the decline", I looked into it more. Climate scientists wanted to get rid of the medieval warm period because if temps were just as warm in the recent past, then there couldn't be much worry about today. So they found some tree rings that showed temps were cool back in the medieval warm period. Problem was that some of these trees were saying that temps were also cool during the last 50 years. Instead of eliminating these lying trees from the data set, they covered up the inconvenient data for the last 50 years from the lying trees with thermometer measurements and left us to think that these lying trees were telling the truth about the temperatures 1000 years ago.

      There seems to be two main defenses given by the climate science community for these cover ups. One is that some of the trees don't show this "divergence" from the thermometer temperatures. But if it is true that they have trees that give good data, then why not exclude the trees that lie? They can't claim they're reluctant to cherry pick the trees because this whole temperature from tree rings procedure demands picking out trees that are growth limited only by temperature and not anything else like water or CO2, and therefore cherry picking is inherently part of the process. And besides, even if they ought to leave the lying trees in, that's still no excuse to "hide the decline" in the final results.

      The other defense is that other studies by other researchers using other proxies, like sediments, have come to similar conclusions about the medieval warm period. But that's kind of like saying "My methods may have been corrupt, but my good buddies who have defended my corrupt methods, have gotten similar results in their research." This defense doesn't alleviate my concerns. And even getting correct results doesn't justify corrupt methods.

      If you think my criticisms of the hockey stick are harsh, imagine what the climate science community would think if someone like an oil company used similar methods in some research. Imagine an oil company found the medieval warm period was much hotter than today, but their results were based in part on rings from trees that showed temperatures from the last 50 years were much hotter than they really were, and the oil companies hid the results from the lying trees by replacing them with thermometer temps. But of course nobody would criticize that method if sediment studies from other oil companies showed the same results, right?

    11. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep, you're 100500% correct. It is a trick used to remove a piece of data that doesn't fit the model.

      Here's some nobody who dares to see a problem with this approach.

    12. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by siddesu · · Score: 1

      Easy - it is a data massaging technique that removes a bunch of data that disagrees with a certain model from the analysis of the said model. Because removing data is, like, the scientific thing to do if they disagree with your conclusions.

    13. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by mrcaseyj · · Score: 1

      So in a 3000 page report, you can point to one minor error...

      One error. LOL. Surely you jest. I've heard of lots of errors. Of course I didn't cite them all. The reader may be interested in investigating further.

      This wasn't just a typo in one section of the report. The erroneous number came with a cite to an article by the highly partisan World Wildlife Fund, which wasn't even a piece of actual research on the subject. In other words, whoever put that number and cite in that part of the report, DIDN'T EVEN CHECK THAT THE EVIDENCE EVEN EXISTED when they wrote up the citation. They just believed the WWF article without even checking its source.

    14. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Technically, either way it would be moderator abuse - there's no -1 Crackpot option, and so long as it's relevant, not redundant and you don't consider someone stating their opposite opinion as a troll, it shouldn't be downmodded purely because you doubt the sanity of the writer. If their argument is so full of holes, the correct response is to highlight them.

    15. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by mrcaseyj · · Score: 0, Troll

      I'd never heard of "Mike's Nature trick", so I looked it up. Here's what Google turned up:

      "Mike's Nature trick" refers to the technique of plotting recent instrumental data along with the reconstructed data.

      "Along with"? More like "instead of".

      ..."Hide the decline" refers to a decline in the reliability of tree rings to reflect temperatures after 1960. This is known as the "divergence problem" where tree ring proxies diverge from modern instrumental temperature records after 1960...

      Diverge in what direction? Downward right?
      Besides, whether it was a decline in temperature or decline in reliability, they had no business hiding it. They wouldn't accept such a practice if it had been done by an oil company. They should have just plotted the full proxy data including the known unreliable parts along with the thermometer data in a different color. Then we all would have known immediately of the unreliability of the proxy data. But they didn't because they knew that if we could see that the proxy data was unreliable and giving falsely low temps for the last 50 years, then nobody would have given the proxies any credibility a thousand years ago.

      One other thing: quoting only the "hide the decline" part of the email is rather disingenuous, since a lot of people will assume, without context, that it refers to a decline in temperature.

      I didn't have time to expound on the subject in depth. And I think it does refer to a decline in temperature.

    16. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by mrcaseyj · · Score: 1

      Having just two mistakes in the report is actually incredible.

      Follow a site like wattsupwiththat.com and you'll find out about a lot more than two mistakes in the IPCC report. Not that skeptic sites aren't filled with plenty of mistakes and garbage as well.

      Does the errors about glaciers ice loss question the existence of climate change?

      Yes, because every one of us can't go out and do the research ourselves. We have to evaluate whether the climate scientists are credible. This error, together with others has cast serious doubt on their credibility. And unfortunately the general science community was apparently circling the wagons with the climate scientists until the climate gate emails came out. I don't know if they still are. I'm guessing people are waiting for everything to shake out before deciding what side to join up with again. For example, it's going to be interesting when the Attorney General finally manages to pry Michael Mann's emails out of the University of Pennsylvania. And there will likely be a lot more skeptical research being published over the next couple years.

    17. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by Kijori · · Score: 1

      I still don't quite follow you. What was it that was hidden? From the information I can find they followed the best-practice laid out in a peer-reviewed article in Nature; the reasons for the practice are out there for everyone to see, published in a leading scientific journal and backed up by a number of other peer-reviewed studies, such as Briffa (1998) and Cook (2004). Are you really suggesting that they hid this data by openly discussing it in the world's most highly-cited scientific journal?

      Where scientific research has found that an instrument is reliable over a certain range and unreliable in another, is it dishonest to switch from one measure to another to cope with that? Is there actually an issue with the reliability of the data? I can't find any scientific literature that suggests that tree-rings are an inaccurate way to estimate temperature before 1960; the only studies I can find (such as Cook) suggest that it is accurate up to 1960. So even if there were any dishonesty - which I dispute, since I can't yet see how any of this could possibly be construed as hiding anything - would it even matter? If you fail to mention something that has no impact on the reliability of your conclusions is it significant?

      [...]I think it [the "hide the decline" in the email] does refer to a decline in temperature.

      Are you saying that the world is, in fact, getting cooler?

    18. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by Joce640k · · Score: 4, Informative

      The medieval warm period happened in northern Europe. At a global level there was no "medieval warm period".

      Here's the pesky facts:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Medieval_Warm_Period#By_world_region

      http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2004/12/werent-temperatures-warmer-during-the-medieval-warm-period-than-they-are-today/

      Sorry for bursting your cozy little bubble.

      --
      No sig today...
    19. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by mrcaseyj · · Score: 1

      The divergence was hidden. They may have made a vague mention of it buried in the text, but the graph was the key element to sway public opinion, and they left the divergence out of the graph for no good reason. Also, I'm not sure, but I don't think they talked about it until they were exposed by skeptics. And they continue to hide it from the general public by continuing to minimize discussion of it and continuing to minimize the divergence in the graphs they publish.

      Is there actually an issue with the reliability of the data?

      Absolutely. If a tree is giving falsely low temperatures for the last 50 years, for some reason they still don't know, then temperatures from that tree cannot be trusted for any time period. Failure to put the divergence clear and up front was corrupt science. They wouldn't think such tricks were acceptable if an oil company tried to pull them.

      Are you saying that the world is, in fact, getting cooler?

      No, I'm saying that my understanding is that some of the tree ring proxies are showing temperatures declining relative to the thermometer temperatures, or at least not rising as fast.

    20. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by mrcaseyj · · Score: 1

      Wikipedia and realclimate are highly biased sources on this issue. Realclimate defends hiding the decline. Are you unbiased enough to fairly recognize bad science? Will you admit that it was bad science to hide the decline from the hockey stick graph? Will you admit that it hurts the credibility of the climate science community to defend that trick?

    21. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by epiphani · · Score: 1

      So how does the presence or lack of presence of a medieval warming period impact our understanding of current climate?

      This is the problem with the emails that were circulated: you don't have context. Neither do I. Before this, had you ever heard of the medieval warming period?

      If you want to get wrapped into the details regarding what an entire discipline of science is espousing, and use those details to discredit the work those thousands of individuals are doing, please spend six years getting properly educated on the subject. Then publish a paper properly discrediting the science they are doing. Until then, your opinion is ignorant and probably damaging.

      I feel the same way about many other things - and I'm sure you do too. Somehow though, this topic has become political - and everyone is allowed a political opinion.

      --
      .
    22. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 4, Insightful

      According to the Wikipedia cite, it is known that it occurred in Europe and the North Atlantic, but the evidence for the rest of the world is inconclusive. Your other cite is a website that is home to AGW propagandists, while it bases its viewpoints on scientific evidence, it also dismisses out of hand any scientific evidence that does not support AGW and it promotes greater government regulation. Climate scientists who support AGW would go a long way towards improving their credibility if they would stop promoting "solutions" and stick to declaring what they perceive to be happening.
      One of the interesting things about the medieval warm period (even if it was localized to Europe and the North Atlantic) and the little ice age (which the concensus agrees was global) that followed is that storms in the North Atlantic were more mild during the warm period and more violent during the little ice age which followed, which is exactly the opposite of what the AGW Alarmists tell us should be the case.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    23. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by mrcaseyj · · Score: 1

      If the medieval warm period was as warm as today then that would suggest that the current warming is either largely natural, or even if it is caused by humans, it won't hurt anything more than what was hurt back then (i.e. not extinct polar bears or mass extinctions or tipping points to catastrophe)

      I don't have to have a lot of expertise on climate to know that hiding the decline is not acceptable science. If those thousands of scientists defend that practice, then I see no reason to trust their recommendation to spend trillions to reduce co2 output. I understand science and have tremendous respect for it, but it looks like climate scientists may be environmentalists that have left behind science and shifted to advocacy.

    24. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by SmilingSalmon · · Score: 1, Troll

      Here is a list of many studies showing evidence of MWP around the globe. The wikipedia article you cite is biased toward Mann. It even prominently displays the MBH hockey stick graph! See this for an explanation of what's wrong with the hockey stick graph.

    25. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by Raenex · · Score: 1

      It's sad that you just can't open your eyes and see just how badly these scientists were behaving in plain sight, and even worse, how the scientific community, instead of condemning bad science, actually defend it. You can't just fudge the data when it doesn't show what you want, and then present this in a graph as evidence that temperatures are rising, and say "See, we have two sources of data in agreement! Oh, read the fine print for technical details."

      There's NO excuse for fudging the data. It's just confirmation bias and political advocacy. Even the latest whitewash report that exonerated the scientists did mildly rebuke them for the graph.

      By the way, that Feynman clip on YouTube that somebody else pointed you to is priceless. It's unfortunate that we don't have a modern day Feynman that the public would trust to cut through the climate bullshit. It's sad to see people defending this bullshit.

    26. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      I was just listening to NPR a few days ago talking about the climate gate emails. One caller asked if the hockey stick was disproven. The answer was no.

      I don't have time to google too much for you, but one of the first hits talks about the myth that the hockey graph is disproven.
      http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn11646-climate-myths-the-hockey-stick-graph-has-been-proven-wrong.html

    27. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by Kijori · · Score: 1

      Well, maybe I need to "open my eyes", so perhaps you can help me. I still just don't see where the data got fudged. Here's what happened:

      1995: First peer-reviewed article discussing the problem with tree ring temperature measurement is published.
      1998: Mike Mann publishes in Nature, the most widely-cited journal in the world, an article setting out the "trick".
      1998-2004: Multiple peer-reviewed articles supporting the technique are published. No dissenting articles are published. The technique appears to be accepted.
      2001: The IPCC publishes its third report on climate change. This report, which is available online in its unedited entirety (as certified by UNEP), contains the following image: Image: variations in the Earth's surface temperature. The image clearly differentiates between different sources of data.
      2009: "Climategate". The email is found, removed from its context and used to attack climate change scientists.

      So please, explain to me exactly "how badly these scientists were behaving in plain sight" when they published peer-reviewed articles explaining exactly what they were going to do, confirmed those with more peer-reviewed articles and then published a graph that clearly shows the different sources of data. What were they fudging when they repeatedly published their methodology and data?

    28. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The medieval warm period happened in northern Europe. At a global level there was no "medieval warm period".

      Here's the pesky facts:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Medieval_Warm_Period#By_world_region

      http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2004/12/werent-temperatures-warmer-during-the-medieval-warm-period-than-they-are-today/

      Sorry for bursting your cozy little bubble.

      Re-read the article you are pointing out as evidence. The medieval warm period was in fact global. Newfoundland is not in Northern Europe, nor is the Sahara desert. The Vikings died out in Newfoundland due to the end of this period, hence they could not support farming to sustain them.

    29. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I see no burst bubble, only a toppled strawman. GP did never claim what you refute. Even if the scientists ended up with the correct results what they did is still not science.

    30. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As Kijori has pointed out, it's you that needs to open your eyes, you patronising idiot.

    31. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      Follow a site like wattsupwiththat.com and you'll find out about a lot more than two mistakes in the IPCC report.

      Correction: Follow a site like that, and get your head filled with misinformation.

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    32. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      Before the climate gate emails were released I had heard of the "hockey stick" but I didn't look into it because I thought it was probably just anti-science oil company propaganda.

      That's interesting, because before Climategate, I actually believed the nonsense denialists were spewing about the hockey stick. I actually thought scientists had been manipulating data and making up stuff. I didn't really care, so I didn't bother to look into it. Then Climategate hit, and I did look into it because it made me curious.

      I found that the hockey stick is indeed valid, and has in fact been validated by later research. And I found that denialists are lying about everything else I've looked up too.

      But after hearing about the trick to "hide the decline", I looked into it more. Climate scientists wanted to get rid of the medieval warm period because if temps were just as warm in the recent past, then there couldn't be much worry about today.

      Huh? The "trick to hide the decline" was about tree ring data diverging from other proxy data around the 1960, wasn't it? So what are you talking about? The MWP wasn't global anyway.

      So they found some tree rings that showed temps were cool back in the medieval warm period. Problem was that some of these trees were saying that temps were also cool during the last 50 years. Instead of eliminating these lying trees from the data set, they covered up the inconvenient data for the last 50 years from the lying trees with thermometer measurements and left us to think that these lying trees were telling the truth about the temperatures 1000 years ago.

      No, this is not what happened. What happened was that the tree ring data perfectly matched other proxy data until the 1960s. This has been extensively described in the published literature, so you have obviously fallen for the typical denialist BS propaganda.

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    33. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      I don't have to have a lot of expertise on climate to know that hiding the decline is not acceptable science.

      Please stop mindlessly parroting denialist propaganda, and educate yourself instead. "Decline" is not referring to temperature, but to the decline in reliability of tree ring proxy data since the 1960s. The problem is extensively covered in the scientific literature, and there is nothing about it that's "bad science".

      If those thousands of scientists defend that practice, then I see no reason to trust their recommendation to spend trillions to reduce co2 output.

      Defend what practice? To look at the decline in tree ring proxy data reliability, then producing large amounts of research to cover that? Geez.

      I understand science and have tremendous respect for it, but it looks like climate scientists may be environmentalists that have left behind science and shifted to advocacy.

      This is a conspiracy theory. You are saying that thousands of scientists from across the world have all come together to fool us all. Quite insane, really.

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    34. Re:Didn't even check if evidence existed by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      co2science.org? McKitrick? LOL. That's like referring to the Discovery Institute or Ken Ham for information on Evolution.

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
  9. Re:first by Fluffeh · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    this is my 40th first post.

    And also your 40th waste of time - and in this case, 40th fail. Seriously, if you want to get first posts, log in, become a subscriber (they get to see the news stories about 10-30 minutes before everyone else) and you can post first to your hearts content.

    You will get first posts, and as you subscribe, you get to also support the site the rest of us like to visit and read rather than waste time on squealing "first post... blah blah...". It's a win win scenario.

    --
    Moved to http://soylentnews.org/. You are invited to join us too!
  10. The Newest Wave of Warmist Alarm by SuperKendall · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Seeking desperately to do anything to deflect public attention from rigged data sets and lack of peer review, the Warmists have for some odd reason returned to their Waterloo of the Himalayas, seeking to show that in fact the glaciers will all vanish in short order (even the summary writer goes there with the link).

    The pictures to me are not that convincing, given the time of year may be (and looks to be) different. Furthermore just as with most other Warmist alarm-filled propaganda, they give no hard data - they never define just what "alarming rate" really means, or give any details why the pictures show what they claim.

    We know glaciers have been receding somewhat, but is this case really alarming or is it simply receding at the same rate other glaciers generally have been? Remember kids that there can still be a general warming trend WITHOUT being sure that the bulk of it is caused by man, or that the amount of warming is really enough to be that concerned about over any other normal climate shift the Earth might undergo.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:The Newest Wave of Warmist Alarm by bug1 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Furthermore just as with most other Warmist alarm-filled propaganda, they give no hard data

      As opposed to the climate change deniers who release 900 page reports reviewed by the elite of the world scientific community with only 1 or 2 mistakes in them ?

      Hmm, actually, no. Its the "Warmists" who are releasing the hard data, its the deniers who are a lunatic propaganda followers with a "Flat earth society" culture.

      Get a grip

    2. Re:The Newest Wave of Warmist Alarm by jjohnson · · Score: 1

      I think you mean "as opposed to the denialists who release petitions with 30,000 names on them, of whom 29,900 either have no scientific expertise in climate change, or flat-out deny that they signed the petition."

      --
      Anyone who loves or hates any language, platform, or manufacturer, doesn't know what they're talking about.
    3. Re:The Newest Wave of Warmist Alarm by mjwx · · Score: 1

      Seeking desperately to do anything to deflect public attention from a few typos hyped up by tabloid newspapers,

      TFTFY,

      You're doing this whole scepticism thing wrong. Just to elaborate how:
      Sceptic: I need to see evidence. A does not lead directly to C, show me B.
      Denalists: I dont believe in C therefore A must be some kind of conspiracy.

      I think it's fairly obvious you fit into the second category as you seem to lack the ability to demonstrate a semi-objective view and evaluate all evidence and the source from which it came.

      I think you need to get a grip, you are more interested in pushing your agenda then actually presenting evidence.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
    4. Re:The Newest Wave of Warmist Alarm by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Hmm, actually, no. Its the "Warmists" who are releasing the hard data, its the deniers who are a lunatic propaganda followers with a "Flat earth society" culture.

      That's really a broad over-generalization, there are some good scientists on both sides. Richard Lindzen is often called a denier, but he probably understands cloud dynamics as well or better than anyone on earth. He is good enough that he was invited to help with the IPCC report. Here he debates a climatologist who is not labeled a denier. If you watch him, it's hard to say he's not a good scientist even if you don't agree with him.

      Another good, publishing 'denier' is John Christy. He was a lead author of the 2001 IPCC report. He's been active in the field for a while, and has a major goal of verifying scientific research. He was initially responsible for using satellite data to measure the change in the earth's temperature. He's gone out to Africa personally to build temperature datasets. He is as respectable as any climatologist.

      As long as we're talking about lunatic fringes, Richard Lindzen has had death threats from his position on global warming. Why? But yet whether there are crazy people on either side doesn't affect the truth or falseness of the thesis.

      --
      Qxe4
    5. Re:The Newest Wave of Warmist Alarm by hsthompson69 · · Score: 1, Troll

      Sceptic: I need to see evidence. A does not lead directly to C, show me B.
      Denalists: I dont believe in C therefore A must be some kind of conspiracy.

      Interesting definitions. I'll add two more for you:

      Warmist: The overwhelming weight of the evidence shows C, so any data that contradicts C must be wrong.
      Scientist: My fundamental hypothesis is predicated on C, so any data that contradicts C invalidates my hypothesis.

      All too often, we forget science is the ruthless application of skepticism to one's *own* ideas.

    6. Re:The Newest Wave of Warmist Alarm by Capsaicin · · Score: 1

      Richard Lindzen is often called a denier.

      Now I'm not adverse to dispensing the term 'denialist' to those I feel fit to wear it, but to do so to Lindzen seems to me very unfair. Lindzen, notwithstanding some of his questionable contributions to the popular media, has generally engaged with the science on a scientific basis and where over time a point as been fairly well established, has conceded (or at least not persisted) and moved on. That's the very opposite behaviour from that which characterises a denialist.

      However we have to be careful to be specific about what sceptical climatologists such as Lindzen, Christy or Pielke actually take issue with and when they did and not merely assume their position endorses the entire denialist agenda. And further we need to take into account the response of orthodox climatologists make to the sceptical critique, bearing in mind that Lindzen's expertise as a "respectable climatologist" puts him in a privileged position relative to say a pharmacologist (my original training) when it comes to disputing the orthodox position in climate science.

      --
      Better to be despised for too anxious apprehensions, than ruined by too confident a security. --Edmund Burke
    7. Re:The Newest Wave of Warmist Alarm by V!NCENT · · Score: 1

      Who cares what causes global warming? All we know is that it is there and if we don't do something about it we could be seriously fscked.

      I personally don't believe all of this is caused by carbondioxide, but if we reduce it then we might reduce the effects a little.

      All that matters is that the avarage temperatures need to stay the same. Tiny increases already show how bad that is for us humans; our society. Without it we are just instinctive trash.

      Who cares about the environment? The environment adapts. It is our society and the way we live that we endanger.

      In other words we screw ourselves if we don't reverse gobal avarage temperature increases...

      --
      Here be signatures
    8. Re:The Newest Wave of Warmist Alarm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So to summarize your position: "Meh, looks shopped."

    9. Re:The Newest Wave of Warmist Alarm by 5KVGhost · · Score: 1

      "As opposed to the climate change deniers who release 900 page reports reviewed by the elite of the world scientific community with only 1 or 2 mistakes in them ?"

      Please try to understand. It's not that they made "one or two mistakes". It's the sloppy and stupid nature of these errors, and the profound lack of scientific rigor that they revealed.

      If you had a 900 page allegedly peer-reviewed report from "the elite of the medical community" which casually included a statement that cancer rates would rise because of increased demonic activity, would that make you wonder about the process? How about if a bunch of them then denied the possibility of a problem? Suppose it then became clear that a bunch of people had pointed this out in the past, but were ignored? Would any of that be enough to make you stop relying on faith, and start relying on thinking?

    10. Re:The Newest Wave of Warmist Alarm by bug1 · · Score: 1

      Ever hear of the expression, "cant see the wood for the trees" ?

      Something like 98% of scientists agree the climate change is real, there are three or four (so im told now) what you would call "sloppy and stupid natured" mistakes in detailing the consequences of climate change, and you think the whole report is a fraud...

      Where is the hard evidence supporting the theory that the climate isnt changing ?

      Start relying on thinking.

    11. Re:The Newest Wave of Warmist Alarm by steelfood · · Score: 1

      There's a lot of rhetoric being thrown around from both sides. Both proponents and opponents have made exaggerated, outrageous, and sometimes untrue claims. Sure, the proponents have "science" on their side, but the reality of science is that it is filled with uncertainties and acknowledge numerous unaccounted variables. It's not to say that the science becomes invalid, but that the issue isn't as black and white as both sides would like to think.

      It's easy to point to somebody else's house and say it's messy, but you really ought to clean up your own house before doing so.

      --
      "If a nation expects to be ignorant and free in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be."
    12. Re:The Newest Wave of Warmist Alarm by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      and not merely assume their position endorses the entire denialist agenda.

      I'm curious now, what exactly do you consider to be the denialist agenda? As far as I can tell, there are several different types of denialists: those who say global warming isn't happening, those who say it is happening but is not significant, those who say it is happening but would be better to adapt than to stop using fossil fuels, those who say it is happening but the results will be good.....

      In fact, to me it seems denialist is a rhetorical smear term used by those with an agenda to push, placed on those who oppose their agenda. Dividing the world into 'deniers' and 'believers' is a technique I utterly despise.

      --
      Qxe4
    13. Re:The Newest Wave of Warmist Alarm by Capsaicin · · Score: 1

      I'm curious now, what exactly do you consider to be the denialist agenda? As far as I can tell, there are several different types of denialists

      You are correct of course, though I don't think the last two categories, especially the penultimate, you list can properly be labelled 'denialist.' To satisfy your curiosity, it was perhaps a poor choice of words. My point was nothing more than that one cannot take, for (an extreme) example, Pielke's position that fossil fuel combustion is not the major contributor to observed change, as supporting the position I once saw put that the C02 forcing is thermodynamically impossible.

      In fact, to me it seems denialist is a rhetorical smear term ...

      Well it's certainly no compliment! But are we forbidden from using negative terms for people who do negative things?

      ... used by those with an agenda to push

      You can use it even without having an agenda to push, surely?

      Dividing the world into 'deniers' and 'believers' is a technique I utterly despise.

      I'm clearly not making that division. Rather, as ought to be clear from the post you are responding to, I'm dividing those who disagree with the consensus position on climate change into sceptics (based both on expertise and the scientific nature of their opposition) and denialists (based on their denial of empirically verifiable "facts" and their FUD techniques). It's my opinion that the latter stymie scientific progress while the former foster it.

      It's a division I need to make because calling people who uncritically accept any quackery which supports their preconceived ideas "sceptics," sticks in my craw.

      --
      Better to be despised for too anxious apprehensions, than ruined by too confident a security. --Edmund Burke
    14. Re:The Newest Wave of Warmist Alarm by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      It's a division I need to make because calling people who uncritically accept any quackery which supports their preconceived ideas "sceptics," sticks in my craw.

      The use of the term denialist in global warming context is frequently used to smear anyone who disagrees with the 'orthodox' view of global warming (or any government program related to AGW).

      Instead, for these people, use the term 'idiot,' or if you are trying to be more helpful (for example if you are talking to their face), 'uninformed.' This will give them a clear path to bettering themselves (they need to inform themselves), plus it tends to isolate them from the conversation (if they persist point them to places they can inform themselves) until they get smarter.

      If you prefer to use the term denialist, you should make clear how you are using the word, otherwise people might assume you are trying to smear anyone who disagrees with the 'orthodox' view of global warming, even intelligent people, when in fact you are just trying to smear idiots.

      --
      Qxe4
  11. This makes sense by hopejr · · Score: 5, Informative

    Nepal's power is run from hydro installed by the Russians many years ago. The generators are on the rivers that contain run-off from the Himalayas. I used to live there ('99-'01) and there was enough problems with lack of water then for us to have many brown outs. But lately, friends over there have been telling me that the power has been out for weeks on end, with hospitals, etc, having to constantly run their diesel generators, increasing the already excessive amount of pollution in the air, especially around Kathmandu. They've been saying that it's because the rivers have had hardly any water in them, which is caused by the decreasing amount of ice on the mountains.

    1. Re:This makes sense by Bill+Currie · · Score: 1

      While it might be due to decreasing amounts of ice on the mountains, it would be more accurate to say it's due to decreased melting of ice on the mountains. Now, whether that's due to there being less ice to melt, or the ice just isn't melting as fast as it was in the past is the real question. If it is that there's less ice, then another question is is it because the ice has been melting faster, or has it not been forming as quickly (ie, decreased precipitation).

      Pointing at decreased melt-water and saying there's less ice is missing other possibilities.

      Pointing at decreased ice and saying it's due to increased melting (higher temperatures) is also missing other possibilities.

      --

      Bill - aka taniwha
      --
      Leave others their otherness. -- Aratak

    2. Re:This makes sense by Delgul · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well... If it melts at an alarming rate, should they not have had MORE water to drive those powerplants with? This proves nothing! If it proves anything at all, it is that there is less melting going on...

    3. Re:This makes sense by hopejr · · Score: 1

      That's actually a good point.

    4. Re:This makes sense by hopejr · · Score: 1

      You are a fucking LYER. None -NONE- of what you say has any basis in truth. FOLKS, check it out before you mod the parent "insightfuL" because in fact it is hog wash.

      So I'm lying that I lived there for 2 years, and that there is a major power shortage there? Troll.

    5. Re:This makes sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is rather confusing. If the glacier is melting a unheard of rates, or beyond its replenishment level from snow falls, shouldn't there be more free water running - not less?
      And shouldn't this be flowing through the year, rather than just the summer melt?
      The mountains are well above the snowline in height, so a 1deg rise or whatever in the last century doesn't seem to be the explanation. It seems that something else is a more valid explanation, such as precipitation changes, monsoon pattern changes etc. Heat doesn't seem to be a driver of less water in rivers.

    6. Re:This makes sense by Anne_Nonymous · · Score: 1

      So if the Soviets had put in some good old fashioned coal burning, pollution spewing power plants... then Kathmandu would have enough melt water to run their hydro generators.

    7. Re:This makes sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your logic is backwards. Try this:

      There used to be bigger glaciers, and the summer meltwater from those bigger glaciers formed bigger rivers ran the hydro generators full speed and all of the time.

      Now, there are smaller glaciers, and as a result there is a smaller amount of summer meltwater, which makes smaller rivers and problematic hydro generation.

      Where did the ice/water go to make bigger into smaller (that you allude to an irreconcilable problem because we don't see a melting flood today)? It made up the past years' larger-than-sustainable meltwater generation, which was caused by a warmer climate, and decreased snowfall as a result of climate change shifting large weather patterns.

    8. Re:This makes sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      er, if the glaciers are melting drastically shouldn't there be MORE water in the rivers? at least until the glaciers melt altogether.

    9. Re:This makes sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Increaing ice melt would INCREASE the amount of water running off, not decrease it.
      if the rivers are lower then it means that ice melt is LOWER.

      At those altitudes, snowfall is unlikely to reduce (its already cold enough..) and
      global warming predicts increased atmospheric moisture.....

      Of course dont let a little critical thinking get in the way..

    10. Re:This makes sense by hopejr · · Score: 1

      Believe it or not, the increased melt happened in the late 90's. In fact in 1999, the ice melted so much that the body of an explorer was found on Mt Everest that went missing in the 20's. After that, there was so little rainfall that the ice didn't build up enough to melt in summer, so the power issues started. Precipitation is low, the ice melted in torrents prior to 2000, so it's never building up again.

  12. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    So we have a few photographs and the conclusion that the ice loss is devastating--despite no investigation as to whether the photographs were taken during the same day of the year nor as to what the internal variability is.

    Oh right, you're one of those deniers I've heard abou;, who requires evidence before he'll believe. Behold the power of faith, my friend, and you don't need evidence! (hopefully my sarcasm is evident...)

  13. Ignoring the really important facts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This article completely ignores the obvious fact that the amount of cloud cover over mount everest has quadrupled in just 80 years.

    At this rate the entire planet will be surrounded by clouds before 2035.

  14. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by Just_Say_Duhhh · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Yes, there are people who study these things, and who get research grants to do so. Grants that in NO WAY influence the conclusions of such research? Reducing use of fossil fuels is a noble cause, but using AGW as the reason is akin to telling a teenage boy to stop what he's doing because he's gonna go blind!

    --
    I need trepanation like I need a hole in the head.
  15. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by louarnkoz · · Score: 1

    So we have a few photographs and the conclusion that the ice loss is devastating--despite no investigation as to whether the photographs were taken during the same day of the year nor as to what the internal variability is. But still, the editors immediately jump to the ice loss is devastating....

    Glaciers do not change much with the seasons. Ever heard of things moving "at glacier pace"? Normal movements are in inches. What we see on the photos are differences in miles. No way you can explain that by spring versus fall! This glacier did melt.

  16. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by martin-boundary · · Score: 5, Informative
    Unfortunately, the images in TFA are a bit misleading, as they are not taken from the same point. If you look closely, you'll find that the black and white image only starts about 20% into the left of the color image, and similarly the color image ends too soon, about 20% on the right of the black and white image.

    To visually compare the images properly, the color image needs to be turned into grayscale, and the two images need to be cut so that they can be properly superimposed. When this is done, the loss is a bit less impressive, but still noticeable in the valley if not on the mountains.

  17. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by Paua+Fritter · · Score: 1, Informative

    Dude, get off your high horse for a moment and check out the photographic exhibition website where they say that we are talking about 100m (actually they say "320 vertical feet") of ice that's been lost in Rongbuk glacier. That's a lot of ice, and is far more than anything attributable to seasonality.

    http://sites.asiasociety.org/riversofice/comparative-photography

  18. Get it right, damn it. by kurokame · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Since it's inevitable that this will devolve into a bunch of AGW/anti-AGW trolling, let's get our facts straight.

    No one with any knowledge about the subject is disputing that climates change. The disputed points are that human-produced carbon dioxide is or is not a significant factor, that Al Gore does or does not have any clue what he's blabbing about, and that the green movement does or does not constitute anything more than lies and snake oil.

    Anthropogenic or not, climate change is a serious issue which affects the future of our species. The people who support (or object to) AGW by chanting an entrenched position over and over, and the people selling us snake oil as a "fix" are NOT helping. In fact, they're probably selling the future of humanity off in order to make a quick buck off of people who get their science from Twitter and Fox News.

    Slinging around words like "denialist" doesn't help a damn thing either. Have we forgotten Godwin's Law so quickly?

    With that said, the "before and after" photo trick is extremely passe. It is good for gulling the public, but little more since you only have two data points and are doing absolutely nothing to control for any of numerous confounding factors. It doesn't tell you crap about local conditions (pollution? construction? traffic? did someone just set off dynamite as an anti-avalanche measure?). It doesn't tell you about shorter-term cycles of climate variation (what's normal? was it unusually heavy in the "before" photo? was there more or less pollution historically? what about solar cycles?). It doesn't tell you about the cause of the climate trend if any exists, and it absolutely does not tell you a single bloody thing about the global situation.

    Nor is this "incontrovertible" proof all that clear. The saturation in the 1921 photo is such that it is very hard to compare the two photos directly; you would need to analyze each in detail including examining the depth in a given area, the seasonal and longer-term variations, the characteristics of the camera and film used in either photo...the list goes on. The "experts say" line is a bullshit maneuver pulled by journalists in order to make their craptastic statements of absolute truth seem like they have some authority behind them - in reality, it usually means that the journalist is aware that they don't have the means to back up what they're claiming. Three huzzahs for the terrible state of science journalism, eh? FUD and misinformation and more FUD is all you can expect.

    1. Re:Get it right, damn it. by Kumiorava · · Score: 1

      You start your post by saying that nobody disputes the climate change (to the warmer), yet still it seems to be hard to believe that due to increasing global temperature glaciers would start melting. Why is that? This article describes clearly that glaciers are retreating and fresh water supply for hundreds of millions of people is at risk.

      What comes to your questions about traffic conditions, we are not talking about a some ski resort here! These glaciers and mountains are far away from any even moderately populated areas.

      From the article: "The result is a then-and-now series of photographs from Tibet, Nepal and near K2 in Pakistan - all of which show glaciers in retreat."

      That means very insignificant variations in pollution, traffic, construction, etc. Dynamite is useful to clear the surface snow but not whole mountains of ice. Glaciers by definition are formed over years and diminish over years, seasonal variations on snow cover will be there but glaciers are not changing much between seasons. Focus on glaciers is quite obvious, they are the "canary in a coal mine" because they quite accurately reflect long term trends of the climate change. This image compilation is hardly FUD, it gives normal person a view to very remote glacier images. I don't think the article should reference the IPCC study at all and the focus should be purely on the comparing the images and drawing the conclusions from these images.

      Here are comparison images with greater accuracy and explanation: http://sites.asiasociety.org/riversofice/comparative-photography

    2. Re:Get it right, damn it. by Tom · · Score: 3, Informative

      Before you yell "get it right" to others, and then ramble on about "just two data points", how about reading TFA ?

      oh, look:

      He has not only followed in the footsteps of Mallory but also those of Italian photographer Vittorio Sella, whose work spanned the 19th and 20th Centuries.

      The result is a then-and-now series of photographs from Tibet, Nepal and near K2 in Pakistan - all of which show glaciers in retreat.

      It appears that there are lots more than just two data points. It's just the /. summary and maybe limited space or journalistic choice at the BBC that made them pick out only one specific picture set to show.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    3. Re:Get it right, damn it. by bazorg · · Score: 2, Insightful

      [...]No one with any knowledge about the subject is disputing that climates change. The disputed points are that human-produced carbon dioxide is or is not a significant factor[...]

      At the risk of writing the asshat post of the month here, I'd say that these news about the Everest are very significant for the politics of this climate change matter: if the governments of that region (representing more than 2 000 000 000 people) assume that it is the human factor that is causing the climate change that is depleting their drinking water resources, their position at the negotiating table with the other governments is likely to change.

      As an exercise of rhetoric, it is all very fine and dandy that the developing countries say that their present day pollution should not count towards negotiated limits in the way that England didn't have such limits during the XIX century... but now if the damage is visible in the medium turn and directly in the territories and population of India and China, then let's see if they will take the driver's seat in negotiations and mitigating the effects of their pollution.

    4. Re:Get it right, damn it. by thijsh · · Score: 1

      Excellent post. We all know some warming is occurring, but I dispute the Al Gore view on the subject. Critical thought is a good thing, but by labeling you a 'denialist' and comparing it with fucking holocaust denial they try to label you in a very sleazy way...

    5. Re:Get it right, damn it. by justthisdude · · Score: 1
      AGW/anti-AGW debate? I thought we were just exchanging travel photos from our vacations. If dated photos of glaciers is what you want, I have a picture of Everest from Feb 1981 that looks much less snowy than either of these.

      http://piczasso.com/s.php?s=f4n0wcs.JPG (taken from the small hill past the glacier in the lower center of Hillary's photo, I kid you not.)

      On the other hand, I also have a picture of the remaining sliver of glacier on Kilimanjaro last August (which also stars my beautiful Fiancé).

      http://piczasso.com/i/v84a31k.JPG

      As my photos clearly show, Everest had less snow 29 years ago, Killamanjaro is almost melted away, and I am a very lucky man to be marrying that woman. I dare you to show that my photos are less scientific than the comparison in TFA.

      --
      "I love his boyish charm, but I hate his childishness" - Leela
    6. Re:Get it right, damn it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Um...in the photo from 1921, there is a gigantic glacier running through the valley right in front of the camera. In the 2010 shot...it's gone. It doesn't take any fancy image analysis or cropping to do that. Glaciers don't come and go much with the time of year - they are essentially permanent features where the ice flows very slowly over the course of hundreds to thousands of years. The amount of pollution/construction/traffic in the middle of the himalayas is vanishingly tiny...and there are certainly no anti-avalanche measures in place - not that either of those things could result in the loss of an entire glacier.

      As someone said earlier - you can't use an anecdotal report like this in place of data. However, you can use it to raise public awareness in support of data.

      The AGW denialists love to talk about Al Gore. It's like "If you don't like Al Gore - then global warming can't exist - ergo, you can't be a Republican unless you deny AGW"...but Gore only reported on the data - he publicized what was already well known to science. You don't have to believe him or trust him or anything like that. You just have to look at the copious volumes of data that's out there. "An Inconvenient Truth" turns out to report the data fairly accurately. Sure, there are a few things he got wrong - and a couple of data points that have been revised since he made it - but at least 90% of it is still true. Finding a couple of flaws in a 90 minute presentation doesn't entitle you to disregard the whole thing.

      Since Inconvenient Truth, more and more VISIBLE consequences of global warming have shown up. The hallmark of a good scientific theory is its ability to make testable predictions - and those tests are only validating the theory.

    7. Re:Get it right, damn it. by Svartalfar · · Score: 0

      This is another perfect opportunity for a AGW debate though. Every time I see a post like this it's like Slashdot just set up a mock mortal kombat arena for the supporters and objectors to do battle in.Slinging facts, hyperbole, talking points and as you said "FUD", the battle gets us nowhere but it sure draws a crowd. I guess I'm just waiting for mother nature to scream FINISH HIM.

    8. Re:Get it right, damn it. by Dread_ed · · Score: 1

      The people who support (or object to) AGW by chanting an entrenched position over and over, and the people selling us snake oil as a "fix" are NOT helping.

      As far as I have seen, every proposal put forth by scientists, concerned environmentalists, and politicians falls short of what is necessary. Scientists and concerned environmental groups (the mainstream ones at least) are recommending methods they hope will reduce the pesky CO2 emissions they feel are key to anthropocentric global warming. Unfortunately, they are missing the point entirely. The government answer has been to foment fear and panic so they can, ostensibly, execute an opportunistic power and money grab. They miss the point as well; drastically so in fact, because they will be diverting vital resources to taxes, their pet projects, and graft generating, nepotism infested cottage industries. This is criminally negligent because those resources could be better spent on the lasting changes necessary to safeguard their countries, and ultimately humanity, from the dangers of climate change.

      The fact that we are considering unprecedented changes in the structure of our industry and government in response to an assumed change in climate should be the first indication that we are totally unprepared for any drastic change in climate. I think we need to consider whether putting a brake on our industry and economy by reducing emissions is the best long term solution. In short, taking steps to combat the supposed anthropocentric elements of climate change does absolutely nothing to prepare for the inevitable reality of global climate change which will eventually happen. Our societies are subconsciously built around the assumption of a stable and, by comparison to the known historical record of the Earth, exceptionally favorable climate. When the global temperature begins to fluctuate towards the extremes, as it has since the Earth was formed, it will not matter one little bit if we have eliminated all CO2 emissions from our industries. We will still face insurmountable problems concerning water and food supply destruction (fishing, farming, and livestock), drastic changes in the habitability zones for humans, and huge potential losses of industry, infrastructure, and utilities. Scarcity problems like this can lead to war in the best of times. Under these circumstances, wars, with all their waste of resources, lives, and money, will are sure to happen and will exacerbate the situation to unendurable levels.

      The question in my mind is, are we mature enough to make the right decisions and then hold our leaders accountable for carrying them out. Or, will this situation continue as it has: a good crisis that is not being wasted on solutions but on achieving political ascendancy, furthering the political agendas regardless of their impact on society, and establishing a new order that will ultimately weaken our ability to overcome the real and looming obstacles already discussed above.

      --
      When the only tool you have is a claw hammer every problem starts to look like the back of someone's skull.
    9. Re:Get it right, damn it. by snowgirl · · Score: 1

      No one with any knowledge about the subject is disputing that climates change.

      But there are people who dispute the climate change, and while they may not have any knowledge on the subject, they project their beliefs with sufficient confidence to inspire people to believe them. To wit, I take issue with this later in your message:

      Slinging around words like "denialist" doesn't help a damn thing either. Have we forgotten Godwin's Law so quickly?

      What else am I supposed to call the people who deny the existence of climate change itself. Sure, they're idiots like Glenn Beck, and a lot of other characters on Fox News... but they do exist, they push their belief as fact, and people believe them.

      So, what pray tell, should I call them?

      --
      WARNING! This girl exceeds the MAXIMUM SAFE standards established by the FDA for BRATTINESS
    10. Re:Get it right, damn it. by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      The disputed points are that human-produced carbon dioxide is or is not a significant factor,

      This is not disputed in the actual scientific research.

      that Al Gore does or does not have any clue what he's blabbing about

      Al Gore is irrelevant. He is not a scientist. What he has to say does not change the scientific facts.

      and that the green movement does or does not constitute anything more than lies and snake oil.

      The green movement is irrelevant. They are not scientists. What they have to say does not change the scientific facts.

      The people who support (or object to) AGW by chanting an entrenched position over and over, and the people selling us snake oil as a "fix" are NOT helping.

      "The people who support (or object to) the theory of evolution by chanting an entrenched position over and over are not helping"? What do you expect scientists to do when denialists keep lying through their teeth?

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
  19. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

    It should also be noted that the 2350 figure is for ALL the ice to melt. Considering roughly a quater of the world's population rely on these glaciers for water there will be severe consequences well before it's all gone.

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  20. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by drmerope · · Score: 1

    Yes glaciers are not seasonal. The author invites us to conclude that everything in the old picture is glacier. That's just not necessarily so, and that's why its important to understand what the normal variability in snow cover is for the particular slopes in view.

  21. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by TheLink · · Score: 1

    They can change relatively rapidly with some human help. Either shrinking or in the following cases growing:

    http://www.allvoices.com/contributed-news/4932332-indian-engineer-builds-glaciers-to-fight-climate-change

    As of this year he has built 10 artificial glaciers, using a simple system of pipes and stone dams to pool and direct streams of water into heavily shaded parts of valleys above a given village. During winter the pools become thick ice masses - frozen water tanks for farmers who need reliable summer flows as a hedge against changing weather patterns.

    The first one he built was in 1987; it is now two kilometers long and provides supplemental water to four villages. "In four months you can have one million cubic feet of ice," said Norphel, who won a CNN-IBN "Real Heroes" Award in 2008 for his work.

    http://www.umb.no/statisk/noragric/publications/master/2007_ingvar_tveiten.pdf

    Quote:
    People in the districts of Baltistan and Gilgit practice 'glacier growing' with the intention of
    making glaciers that will enhance water availability. This is done by carrying glacier ice from
    a naturally occurring glacier up to elevations over 4000 m a.s.l., where it is placed in a dug
    out cave in a scree-slope. Apart from the ice, gourds containing water are also added to
    interior of the cave. Then a layer of charcoal, and sawdust or wheat husks is put on top of the
    ice. The workers close off the cave by piling up rocks to cover the entrance.

    --
  22. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by matunos · · Score: 1

    Compared to those photos, I find your unsourced blog comments to be much more compelling evidence.

  23. OMG, it's *just* like this story by scdeimos · · Score: 1

    They even took the same photo from the same spot...

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/earthnews/7895611/Photos-show-dramatic-shrinking-of-Mount-Everest-glaciers.html

    1. Re:OMG, it's *just* like this story by scdeimos · · Score: 1

      [In case you missed it, the second photo was taken in 2007]

  24. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by thestuckmud · · Score: 4, Insightful
    "Nonsense"???

    We have a lot more than a few photographs supporting this. The worldwide retreat of glaciers is well established and is know to acutely affect the Himalayas, potentially threatening water supplies for millions of people.

    Also, can you provide some sort of reference for your claim that the photos were taken in different seasons? I find this unlikely, since the regularity of the Monsoon storms and lengthy acclimatization process tend to force Everest climbers to focus their efforts during the same season each year. There are exceptions, but it is unlikely that Breashears would have intentionally chosen to retrace the old expeditions steps for documentary purposes off season.

    Finally, why focus on the erroneous report, when the correct prediction suggests dire consequences for millions of people who rely on the rivers fed by those glaciers. "Several hundred years" might seem like a long time, but it is a geological blink of an eye. We should be very concerned.

  25. Global warming and you. by jcochran · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Sigh. When the global warming people are able to explain just a couple of minor details, then and only then will I believe them. Here are a few little facts that tend to be conveniently omitted when global warming is mentioned.

    1. Yes, there is a definite positive correlation between CO2 levels and global temperatures. Using ice core samples, tree growth rings, etc., this has been confirmed. But the fly in the ointment is that the CO2 levels *lag* the temperature changes by 40 to 50 years. Excuse me? The "cause" of the global warming happens "after" things warm up? That little datum all by its lonesome is rather hard to dispute.

    2. The major greenhouse gas in our atmosphere isn't CO2. It's H2O. Yup, plain old water. The effect of the CO2 is about 1 percent of the overall greenhouse effect. And of that 1%, mankind is contributing a much smaller percentage.

    3. There seems to be some viking farms being uncovered in Greenland. Yup, the glaciers are melting and in the process exposing abandoned farms. Hmm. Seems to me that if there were farms where there's currently glaciers, that would imply it being much warmer in the past.

    4. And finally, the polar ice on Mars seems to be also shrinking. Guess those probes we've sent there have had a massive effect on Mar's temperature as well.

    Seems to me that the global warming crowd have a bit of a secondary agenda running that has nothing what so ever to do with actual global warming. When the above independently verifiable but inconvenient little facts are explained, then I will consider the GW crowd to have done due diligence and be worth listening to. But until then, it's a transparent attempted power grab and quite frankly they can take their propaganda and stuff it into the nearest fireplace. Should make 'em quite happy since paper is carbon neutral and no fossil fuels would be used.

    1. Re:Global warming and you. by Azureflare · · Score: 1

      Who cares about the global warming crowd. We need to focus on what the impacts of a warming climate are going to have on societies and prepare for them before millions (if not billions) of people are displaced or killed by changing climates. If we don't prepare for it, we are going to face incredible challenges, including regional conflicts over scarce resources and probable immigration to countries which are better off environmentally.

      Seriously, we need to get out of this polar opposite argument and start looking at the practical issues which we are inevitably going to face. Who cares what caused it, we know we can predict what's probably going to happen so we need to prepare for it! To just stick our heads in the sand and do nothing is foolish and shortsighted. Because that sand might be underwater soon. (I kid, I kid...)

      Then again, shortsighted foolishness is the story of the human race... So I don't have much hope.

    2. Re:Global warming and you. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

      You would like to think that they get omitted, but your questions have been addressed.

      1. But the fly in the ointment is that the CO2 levels *lag* the temperature changes by 40 to 50 years.

      This has been answered.

      2. The major greenhouse gas in our atmosphere isn't CO2. It's H2O.

      This has been answered too.

      3. There seems to be some viking farms being uncovered in Greenland.

      They have covered this one as well.

      4. And finally, the polar ice on Mars seems to be also shrinking.

      Wouldn't you know it, they forgot to omit this question.

      Seems to me that the global warming crowd have a bit of a secondary agenda running that has nothing what so ever to do with actual global warming.

      That's right, because the big companies behind the denialist movement couldn't have any agenda!

      When the above independently verifiable but inconvenient little facts are explained, then I will consider the GW crowd to have done due diligence and be worth listening to.

      So will you change your opinion now, or just ignore all this and move on to other pesky facts that the so called "warmers" have allegedly failed to mention.

    3. Re:Global warming and you. by alexibu · · Score: 2, Informative

      1. Time lag disproves causality - true, but irrelevent, past changes driven by temperature caused co2 changes. This time we are driving with Co2 and causing temp changes. Coupled system - both effect each other. This is not good news as CO2 begets more temp which begets more CO2 and so on, also these changes happen much slower in past so who knows what happens this time when ocean thermal reservoir catches up.

      2. H20 vs CO2. Yes lots more water - difference is that there arn't oceans of CO2 lying around H2o is in equilibrium with liquid water. We couldn't have any effect on H20 concentration directly if we tried. It would rain out if we added it or evaporate out of oceans if we took it out. CO2 on the otherhand is just the right powerful lever to pull and we are yanking it like it's never been yanked before in the history of earth - certainly since mammals were evolved anyway. CO2 also begets H2O which aggreed is most of the greenhouse effect. CO2 is a forcing H2O is a feedback.

      3. Viking farm anecdotes. Climate changes - this was not a global phenomenon, and is interesting but doesn't disprove AGW.

      4. So you are arguing the point about the temperature record on earth but you think that there is sufficient data on mars global temps to make that statement and use it to disprove AGW (one of the greatest scientific efforts ever) ? Thats just silly.

      They have done due diligence but unfortunately - we have to watch the earth get stuffed seriously and rub your face in a post civil society - stuffed planet for you to get it. Plus we actually have to get it before major problems happen because of the decade time lags between action and response in the climate system and the political, engineering time lags, and tipping points.

      Some of these points were probably worthy of discussion during the early 1990s.
      Maybe this is one of the most important subjects out there and is worth more of your time investigating than just learning enough to parrot other ignoramuses.

    4. Re:Global warming and you. by PrecambrianRabbit · · Score: 2, Informative

      These are pretty reasonable questions, but I've seen them answered before. I'll take a crack at them here:

      1. Yes, there is a definite positive correlation between CO2 levels and global temperatures. Using ice core samples, tree growth rings, etc., this has been confirmed. But the fly in the ointment is that the CO2 levels *lag* the temperature changes by 40 to 50 years. Excuse me? The "cause" of the global warming happens "after" things warm up? That little datum all by its lonesome is rather hard to dispute.

      CO2 has lagged global temperature changes in the past, but that doesn't mean it can't lead in the future. The geologic record has no precedent for the rapid rise in atmospheric CO2 we've seen since the Industrial Revolution. Furthermore, the magnitude of previous warnings can only be explained by the CO2 rise: it didn't start the fire, but it kept it burning.

      2. The major greenhouse gas in our atmosphere isn't CO2. It's H2O. Yup, plain old water. The effect of the CO2 is about 1 percent of the overall greenhouse effect. And of that 1%, mankind is contributing a much smaller percentage.

      Water is a significant greenhouse gas, but it precipitates out of the atmosphere so readily that it's not as concerning as CO2, which can stay in the atmosphere for hundreds of years. Also, 1% is a very low figure for the total heat absorbed by CO2. I think it's more in the 15% neighborhood (but I'm only lightly fact-checking myself here, so please correct if I'm wrong). The larger issue is that global warming is a 1% type of problem. That extra percent can cause significant climactic changes, even if it appears numerically small.

      3. There seems to be some viking farms being uncovered in Greenland. Yup, the glaciers are melting and in the process exposing abandoned farms. Hmm. Seems to me that if there were farms where there's currently glaciers, that would imply it being much warmer in the past.

      We do know that some regions have been warmer in the past, so it's entirely plausible that it was warm enough to farm there. It may have been a localized phenomenon, also. The issue with the current climate is that we're currently looking at a very rapid temperature increase, with few brakes in sight and possible feedback loops. We probably don't want to race past "farms in Greenland" and into hot water.

      4. And finally, the polar ice on Mars seems to be also shrinking. Guess those probes we've sent there have had a massive effect on Mar's temperature as well.

      Nobody (sane) ever claimed that there was only one variable affecting climate, so Mars could very well be warming for reasons totally different from ours. Climate models don't show that solar effects could account for all Earth's recent warming, AFAIK.

      The bottom line is that we understand most of the major climate forcings, including CO2, and can model climate with enough accuracy to say that the globe is increasingly, if gradually, warming, and will continue to do so if we continue to add carbon dioxide to the atmosphere. There are climate fluctuations in the record, but they're useful more in calibrating the models and understanding climate as a whole, because CO2 release on a modern scale simply has not happened before.

      Seems to me that the global warming crowd have a bit of a secondary agenda running that has nothing what so ever to do with actual global warming.

      I don't have an agenda other than that people attempt to understand and accept what's happening, physically, when deciding on an appropriate political response. Personally, I'd like to see more efforts on deploying concentrated solar power, photovoltaics, wind turbines, and electric vehicles.

    5. Re:Global warming and you. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      so how is "carbon trading" a solution.

      I don't think the sea level is going to rise by meters in a 100year time-frame.

      humans have survived "climate change" for tens of thousands of years. so relax bro.

    6. Re:Global warming and you. by jcupitt65 · · Score: 2, Informative

      This is a standard list of objections, all of which are addressed by every "top ten climate myths" list every science magazine has ever published.

      For example, here's the New Scientist (the UK equivalent of Scientific American) list:

      http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn11462-climate-change-a-guide-for-the-perplexed.html

      It answers all your points (I think) and several others as well.

    7. Re:Global warming and you. by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 2, Informative

      Yes, there is a definite positive correlation between CO2 levels and global temperatures. Using ice core samples, tree growth rings, etc., this has been confirmed. But the fly in the ointment is that the CO2 levels *lag* the temperature changes by 40 to 50 years. Excuse me? The "cause" of the global warming happens "after" things warm up? That little datum all by its lonesome is rather hard to dispute.

      The whole reason why GW is perceived as so dangerous is that it is a positive feedback loop - warming up means more CO2 means more warming up. Historically, some other reason for warming (e.g. Sun) would also trigger that cycle, so no surprise there.

      The major greenhouse gas in our atmosphere isn't CO2. It's H2O. Yup, plain old water. The effect of the CO2 is about 1 percent of the overall greenhouse effect.

      H2O is in equilibrium - if you add more to the atmosphere, the excess will fall out as precipitation. But if you add more CO2 to the atmosphere, it stays there. We don't care about the part that cannot change no matter what happens, it's just "always there" (similar to ocean albedo, for example). But that "tiny 1%" can grow practically indefinitely, and what's worse, it's that positive feedback loop again, so the effects are exponentially proportional to the amount we add, rather than linearly.

      There seems to be some viking farms being uncovered in Greenland. Yup, the glaciers are melting and in the process exposing abandoned farms. Hmm. Seems to me that if there were farms where there's currently glaciers, that would imply it being much warmer in the past.

      Yeah, it's called a Medieval warm period, and it was pretty much localized to North Atlantic. The mean surface temperature during it was actually below what we had 40 years ago. Other places were actually much colder. North America had some major droughts, by the way - I presume you're planning your move to Greenland already?

      And finally, the polar ice on Mars seems to be also shrinking.

      Mars has different atmosphere and different orbit, and its caps are covered by frozen CO2 - dry ice - which likely changes their interaction with everything else. Also, the observed changes in the caps mostly have to do with dry ice, not with water ice.

      Overall, it's a system that plays by entirely different rules which we don't presently understand anywhere nearly as well as those on Earth, so it's unclear what - if any - relevance it has to Earth GW discussion. Anyway, here is one take on why the Martian caps shrink.

    8. Re:Global warming and you. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      All of these have been explained. If you want to stop people from labeling you a 'denialist' and be accepted as a skeptic, you ought to know at least the basics of these explanations when you bring these points up. The arguments and references are all on Wikipedia or RealClimate.org, go and have a look:

      1. CO2 ice core lag (more here),

      2. Water vapour,

      3. Greenland,

      4. Mars polar ice.

    9. Re:Global warming and you. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

      Oh yes, because those so called answers are the final words. Mmhmm, just call something a fact and you can shut down an argument.

      In the real world:

      1. It's true that the lag is there (and by the way, some data sets show 800 years of lag). And yes, it is true that there is SOME form of foward correlation (same dataset shows this). However, it would be an INCREDIBLE jump to go from this "tight" correlation, with it's latency and claim that this is CO2 causing the temperature to rise. This is what Al Gore et al did and they have been called out. Thus, this point STANDS.

      2. Still missing the point:

      "It is however, not considered a climate "forcing," because the amount of H2O in the air basically varies as a function of temperature"

      And the same thing with CO2 (see above). Wow, isn't that nice? The AGW crowd can't even remain consistent. So please do tell, what is temperature a function of? God forbid the sun right, that doesn't exist. Modern flat earthers.

      3. Data shows MWP was indeed global:
      http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2002AGUFMPP71C..09L

      This is what the AGW crowd denies -- global warming ... in the 1200s. Quite hilarious.

      4. "Warming on another planet would be an interesting coincidence, but it would not necessarily be driven by the same causes.

      The only relevant factor the earth and Mars share is the sun, so if the warming were real and related, that would be the logical place to look. As it happens, the sun is being watched and measured carefully back here on earth, and it is not the primary cause of current climate change."

      BZZZZZZZT, sorry that doesn't cut it. Coincidence? REALLY? With a failed biosphere such as mars? The sun is practically the only forcing element since martian volcanic activity is practically non-existent.

      So, now that your little AGW-site has been thoroughly debunked, will you change your mind or will you stick to your guns and lurk the Realclimate website?

      I think we both know what you will do.

      P.S. IAAP.

    10. Re:Global warming and you. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't see how you can call any of the facts above a myth. Quite a disingenuous piece of language legwork.

      Call us when a peer reviewed journal claims these facts are myths, until then I will happily ignore the tabloid science rags.

    11. Re:Global warming and you. by mykdavies · · Score: 1

      Sigh. These are well-known anti-AGW claims that mis-represent the evidence and the understanding of that evidence by climate scientists. If you've really been looking for answers to these claims, can I ask where you've been looking?

      1. It has been well-known to climate scientists for twenty years that on long timescales trends in CO2 levels follow trends in average temperature by about 1000 years. This is because on long timescales the Earth's temperature is driven by its orbit around the sun, and these changing temperature causes changes to mechanical and chemical processes, which affect the amount of natural CO2 in the atmosphere. However, it is also very clear from the same records that on shorter timescales, rises in the level of CO2 lead increases in temperature.
      2. It's well-known to climate scientists that the level of water vapour in the atmosphere is purely a function of temperature, and so is a (slightly lagging) indicator of global temperatures. Basic physics tells them this, and the climate records bear this out. Adding more water to the atmosphere causes more water to precipitate out, and the temperature remains unchanged. Adding CO2 to this atmosphere causes the atmosphere to warm up, causing more water to remain as vapour, and so increasing the effect of warming effect of water vapour. Water vapour's role in the atmosphere is to strengthen the impact of changes of CO2 levels, not to buffer it.
      3. It's well-known that Greenland was slightly more habitable during the Mediaeval Warm Period, which was a localised warming around the North Atlantic. Greenland got settled then, and when the Warm Period ended a few decades later, everyone there starved to death.
      4. There was some research (Fenton 2007) that seemed to indicate changes in climate on Mars. However this was based on two data points, and use of more data points makes it clear that there is no evidence of such a change. Even if the climate was changing on Mars, so what? Unless you can identify the mechanism, and explain how that mechanism applies to the Earth, it makes no difference to our situation.

      Now that your misunderstandings have been addressed, I'm interested to see if you change your opinion on this matter.

      --
      The world has changed and we all have become metal men.
    12. Re:Global warming and you. by Eunuchswear · · Score: 2

      2. Still missing the point:

      "It is however, not considered a climate "forcing," because the amount of H2O in the air basically varies as a function of temperature"

      And the same thing with CO2 (see above). Wow, isn't that nice? The AGW crowd can't even remain consistent. So please do tell, what is temperature a function of? God forbid the sun right, that doesn't exist. Modern flat earthers.

      No, you are completely missing the point.

      Yes, CO2 increases as a function of temperature.

      So in the past, without CO2 being released by human activity, CO2 lagged temperature rise.

      But CO2 is now rising because it's being released by human activity. Which, as CO2 is a greenhous gas causes temperature rise, (which will, as in the past, cause more CO2 to be released).

      What part of this is too hard to understand - oh, that's right, you can't hear it because you've got your fingers stuck in your ears as you sing lalallalala...

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    13. Re:Global warming and you. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And that little website of yours has been answered by thousands of other blogs:

      http://reallyrealclimate.blogspot.com/

      If you don't want to be an alarmist, you better read the other side of the argument also.

    14. Re:Global warming and you. by abionnnn · · Score: 1

      This is not good news as CO2 begets more temp which begets more CO2 and so on.

      It doesn't work like that. What have you been reading?

    15. Re:Global warming and you. by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Who cares about the global warming crowd. We need to focus on what the impacts of a warming climate are going to have on societies and prepare

      Yes! By god this should be modded up. The large portion of the crowd has completely missed the point. Yeah we know the world is changing, there seems to be some strong evidence supporting that CO2 is the cause of all this. But the policy of global governments of 1st world nations to basically bankrupt a large portion of their economy to reduce their CO2 emission growth by a pittance is the worst possible outcome. Reducing the growth doesn't change the amount we're putting out. There would need to be a fundamental change in the entire world economy for CO2 emissions to even just cease growing let alone actually reduce. Heck funny fact is about the best thing you could do for the environment is to simply not reproduce. An additional person on this planet is a carbon footprint that simply can't be offset. Better yet why not kill all the greenies driving stupid government agendas.

      We should be putting the money towards preparing for the worst cases. Here where I live the government spent 4 years screwing around trying to build a single dam while the city of 1.8million people was looking in angst as their water levels dropped below 20% for the first time ever despite insane water restrictions. 4 years and then the dam project got canned because some greenies were worried about some kind of a frog. We need to spend money in building the infrastructure that could allow us to survive in the upcoming warming.

    16. Re:Global warming and you. by jcupitt65 · · Score: 1

      It's in the article:

      So for those who are not sure what to believe, here is our round-up of the most common climate myths and misconceptions.

      Honestly, it's worth a read. You need to understand the 'establishment' case if you plan to criticise it.

    17. Re:Global warming and you. by SlashDread · · Score: 1

      Im no climatologist, but your logic is all flaw.

      1. You pose a correlation between co2, and global temps, yet you attack co2 as -cause- NOW. History is not now.
      2. A small dose of cyanide (less the 1% of your bodyweight) will kill you dead. Small doesnt mean insignificant.
      3. There were iceages before, so todays warming must be natural. Again, history is not now.
      4. Given that Mars melts, earth warming must be natural. Another red herring. Earth is not Mars.

    18. Re:Global warming and you. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "But the fly in the ointment is that the CO2 levels *lag* the temperature changes by 40 to 50 years. Excuse me? "

      You're excused. Now where did the 40-50 year "lag" turn up?

      "The major greenhouse gas in our atmosphere isn't CO2. It's H2O. "

      Which falls out of the sky when the equilibrium is disturbed. CO2 not so much known to rain.

      "There seems to be some viking farms being uncovered in Greenland"

      Which was a settlement made by a real estate seller who wanted to get people to live there. Also, little tip: when you build in heavily iced up areas, you don't built foundations to the rock, therefore your house eventually sinks.

      "And finally, the polar ice on Mars seems to be also shrinking"

      But you refute that ones we can walk to on earth are? You DO know that

      a) Mars polar caps are much thinner than ours
      b) Mars is in a different orbit
      c) We can't actually walk on Mars and get 50 years worth of data

      So, now that your four little points have been answered, will you do as you say and believe the IPCC?

      No, you won't because that was just a lie by you, wasn't it.

      "When the above independently verifiable but inconvenient little facts are explained"

      So where did you get your Mars facts? NASA? They say it's CO2 too.

    19. Re:Global warming and you. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1. Yes, there is a definite positive correlation between CO2 levels and global temperatures. Using ice core samples, tree growth rings, etc., this has been confirmed. But the fly in the ointment is that the CO2 levels *lag* the temperature changes by 40 to 50 years. Excuse me? The "cause" of the global warming happens "after" things warm up? That little datum all by its lonesome is rather hard to dispute.

      If you look at the data, there is a saw tooth pattern that cannot be explained by solar forcing alone which is the origin of the cycle, there is a feed back mechanism between CO2 and temperature so that a initial increase in temp. causes an increase in CO2 which increases temp. and so on until the CO2 available for release is used up. This is one of the predictions of Global Warming Science that was then latter show true with the data you mention. It is also on of the reason that the amounts of CO2 we are talking about can have a bigger effect than you would naively think.

      2. The major greenhouse gas in our atmosphere isn't CO2. It's H2O. Yup, plain old water. The effect of the CO2 is about 1 percent of the overall greenhouse effect. And of that 1%, mankind is contributing a much smaller percentage.

      So what the two are not independent variables, an increase in CO2 heats the atmosphere which allows for water vapour which heats the atmosphere more, sounds like our feedback mechanism. Human are a large contibute of CO2. The idea that humans are an insignificant contribute of CO2 is an idea that was put out by an earlier version of the movie 'The great global warming Scam' (or something like that), its completely wrong, and was removed from a latter release. There have been multiple versions of this movie, where they re-edit it to remove fact that have been shown to be wrong.

      3. There seems to be some viking farms being uncovered in Greenland. Yup, the glaciers are melting and in the process exposing abandoned farms. Hmm. Seems to me that if there were farms where there's currently glaciers, that would imply it being much warmer in the past.

      Politically Europe may be a huge percentage of the world but geographically it is not. It has been pointed out again and again, that europe experience local warming, even today europe is much warmer for is latitude due to ocean current from the equator.

      4. And finally, the polar ice on Mars seems to be also shrinking. Guess those probes we've sent there have had a massive effect on Mar's temperature as well.

      And other planets in the solar system have been getting cooler, (Neptune or Uranus, can remember which off the top of my head), if you look at photos of mars over the years the reason is obvious, dust storm have stirred up the surface soil leaving mars a darker red colour, which of cause absorbs more heat.

      All this information is freely available on the web, to anybody who is interested, instead people like you keep bring up the same arguments that I can now discredit without having to do any research any more.

    20. Re:Global warming and you. by Poorcku · · Score: 1

      A correlation between the melting on Mars and Earth can be explained by:;2 1. Clima on Mars has an effect on Earths climate. 2. Earths climate has an effect on Mars climate. 3. There is no linkage (measurement error, lack of statistical power, etc). 4. Mars and Earth are affected by the same thing. No red hering. just red mars.

      --
      I take my children to see Madonna(..), but I never for once ever thought I was in the same business.Chris Rea.
    21. Re:Global warming and you. by alexibu · · Score: 1

      Which bit doesn't work like that ?

      CO2 makes higher temps (obvious part of greenhouse effect)

      Higher temps mean oceans dissolve less CO2, and more plants are stressed and release CO2, and permafrost and potentially methane clathrates make (OK not more CO2 but more CO2e).

      Am I wrong ? - I am genuinely interested if I am wrong.
      I read a lot of stuff.

    22. Re:Global warming and you. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well at least he has something between those ears to block out, clearly I can't say the same for you

      Circular argument:

      But CO2 is now rising because it's being released by human activity. Which, as CO2 is a greenhous gas causes temperature rise, (which will, as in the past, cause more CO2 to be released).

      So your proof that CO2 causes a SIGNIFICANT rise in temperature is that CO2 causes a rise in temperature. Fantastic. AGW -- the new age anti-science religion.

      Please tell me if this is too difficult for you to understand, I'll do my best to help.

    23. Re:Global warming and you. by abionnnn · · Score: 1

      Indeed, but you're ignoring all the negative feedback elements. Put it this way: if positive feedback was the only factor here, then there would have been run away warming from, lets say, volcanic activity.

      Furthermore, CO2 is actively soaked up by the oceans forming calcium carbonate, that is why the level of CO2 in the atmosphere has been decreasing over the last 100 million or so years (though, this is obviously a MUCH slower process than our immediate concern, which is the next 100-200 years).

      What is being argued in the scientific field is the correlation between an increase of CO2 and the increase in temperature. Using the green house model this will have a logarithmic relationship, where a lighter initial concentration of CO2 has a great slope.

      The climate is very very complicated, I would go as far as to say, as complicated as a biological entity. I'm willing to bet that research on it will still be very active a hundred years from now, if we haven't destroyed ourselves until then.

    24. Re:Global warming and you. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      since I don't actually understand the details, I've reserved judgement. However, the fact that you're insulting those who don't understand does not engender those of us on the fence to your camp. Instead, you make me less interested in believing you.

      Complain about ts all you want, but you're dealing with people, not automatons. nIf you want to conivince people that you're right, you have to deal with all those other human things in addition to logic, such as emotion. Ignoring this will make you lose the argument whether you'rre right or not.

    25. Re:Global warming and you. by thijsh · · Score: 1

      You have an excellent post with some good points against the global warming consensus. Sadly this will label you an AGW denier, and most likely also a holocaust denier and member of the flat earth society in one breath... It's responses like this to every little critical question that convinced me science is not a priority in this highly politicized debate. Do not be discouraged to ask questions, even though you will most likely never get any good answers...

      They always post links to sites created on 'how to deal with denialists', but there is never enough scientific detail to satisfy your quest for actual knowledge on the subject. I noticed all these 'how-to-talk-to' sites have exactly the same questions, but phrase it slightly different, but they all lack answers to the important questions. It's enough to satisfy anyone who does not want to look into the details, and there are millions of these exact same sites popping up to give the public a feeling of consensus and legitimacy. Try a broad google search like this, there are currently over 46 million of them (obvious overestimate), each with a slightly different title, they call you 'denier', 'skeptic', 'conservative' or 'disruption denialist', when you search for these terms specifically you will find up to a million distinct sites just like that...

    26. Re:Global warming and you. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Im no climatologist, but your logic is all flaw [sic]

      Apparently not too good with logic either:

      You pose a correlation between co2, and global temps, yet you attack co2 as -cause- NOW. History is not now.

      Their point is the historical causation is the reverse of what his opponents claim.

      A small dose of cyanide

      I don't really get what you mean here, is this an attempt at a strawman?

      Again, history is not now.

      Generally, the laws of nature don't really care what era you live in. Unless you believe in some diety that makes this time special or something?

      Another red herring. Earth is not Mars

      I give up.

    27. Re:Global warming and you. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Concern troll is concerned.

    28. Re:Global warming and you. by weicco · · Score: 1

      The whole reason why GW is perceived as so dangerous is that it is a positive feedback loop - warming up means more CO2 means more warming up

      This can hold true. Earth has been warmer and there's been more CO2 in the atmosphere in the past. Still we aren't burnt to crisp. If positive feedback would work as advertised the temperature should have been rising ever since the pliocene epoch. Because this haven't happened there must be some negative feedback that cools the planet when it gets too hot.

      And besides, if I'm correct TFA talks about the ice which is so high above the sea level that the temperature there is below freezing point the whole year, like Mt. Kilimanjaro. I'm not sure how global warming could cause ice to melt below freezing point.

      --
      You don't know what you don't know.
    29. Re:Global warming and you. by drinkypoo · · Score: 2, Informative

      So your proof that CO2 causes a SIGNIFICANT rise in temperature is that CO2 causes a rise in temperature. Fantastic. AGW -- the new age anti-science religion.

      The proof that CO2 will causes a significant rise in temperature lies in physics. CO2 is a known greenhouse gas and releasing more of it contributes to the greenhouse effect. Man puts out orders of magnitude more CO2 than volcanism which we know to be a major driver of global climate for a variety of reasons but most certainly including CO2 release. The simple truth is that by your own description the CO2 system is a feedback loop, which is another fairly simple concept today. So basically, you can try to ignore physics, but that doesn't usually work so well for people. If you would like to pretend that CO2 is not a greenhouse gas, perhaps you'd also like to pretend that objects at motion do not tend to stay at motion, and throw yourself in front of a speeding bus.

      I bet you deny that CO2 causes oceanic acidification, too.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    30. Re:Global warming and you. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      humans have survived "climate change" for tens of thousands of years. so relax bro.

      Humans have survived in the past. They most likely will this time, too, but that doesn't mean CIVILIZATION will.

      There have never before been so many humans in so fragile equilibrium. If ANY heavily populated part of the planet becomes uninhabitable, be it due to rising sea levels or drought, there will be a mass exodus of hundreds of millions, maybe even billions, of people with nowhere to go, but they sure as hell will try, by force and the subsequent wars will make the past "world" wars look like children squabbling at sandbox.

    31. Re:Global warming and you. by argStyopa · · Score: 1

      Your first link (about CO2 lag/lead temperature) shows this graph: http://www.grist.org/i/assets/volstok.gif
      Truly then, how does one look at that graph and say sincerely "It's clear that human activity has grossly changed the natural cycles."? I look at that and see an ABSOLUTELY clear cycle of sudden (in geological terms) warming about every 100,000 years. Yes, that may show current warming is sudden....but it's just like 125k, 240k, 325k years ago. And I'd suggest that the slight changes in the current spike are more a function of record accuracy than anything.

      Your second link is about water vapor. My question about water vapor is precisely in this context of dismissal. Essentially, if I understand it, water vapor doesn't force climate in any significant way over climatological timescales. However, I'd be interested to see an extended discussion about water vapor because despite its short-term impact, cloud cover has a significant affect on planetary albedo; the amount of moisture being forced into the air in the very short term is increasing significantly (look up the % of arable land being sprinklered) and almost entirely in the Northern Hemisphere. We saw that the simple elimination of jet traffic after 9/11 had an apparently large impact on weather in the US. Weather =/= climate, of course, but it's hard to believe that there is NO impact.

      Your third link (Greenland used to be green!) is patronizing and dismissive. It amounts to "well it may have been nicer but it was never really nice and the Vikings were stupid." Nevertheless, the Vikings lived in Greenland, subsisting (per your link) off FARMING, for (per your link) hundreds of years. Given iron-age technology, could we do that in Greenland of today?

      Rather than comment on the inherent smugness that AGW devotees can't seem to understand makes themselves so fundamentally repellant, I'll simply ask: So will you open your mind now, or just ignore all this and move on to other pesky facts that the so called "ecomarxists" have allegedly failed to mention?

      --
      -Styopa
    32. Re:Global warming and you. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If only the rest of the scientific community weren't part of the conspiracy you could submit a paper to Nature about how you have managed to so thoroughly debunk AGW.
      Damn the scientific community and their evidence based discourse.

    33. Re:Global warming and you. by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      In 2009, the CO2 global average concentration in Earth's atmosphere was about 0.0387% by volume.

      Ahem, listen: zero point zero four percent. Isn't that within background noise range? Don't you think there might be another cause for "warming" if there actually is any beyond cherry-picking? http://www.surfacestations.org/odd_sites.htm

    34. Re:Global warming and you. by weicco · · Score: 1

      Hmph. The first sentence should be: This can't hold true.

      --
      You don't know what you don't know.
    35. Re:Global warming and you. by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      In 2009, the CO2 global average concentration in Earth's atmosphere was about 0.0387% by volume.

      Ahem, listen: zero point zero four percent. Isn't that within background noise range?

      From your fine link: "In 2009, the CO2 global average concentration in Earth's atmosphere was about 0.0387% by volume, or 387 parts per million by volume (ppmv).[1][5] This is 103 ppmv (36%) above the 1832 antarctic ice core levels of 284 ppmv." Or in other words, we've seen it increased by over a third. That's not background noise. Thanks for playing though. For further reference see Zodiac in which Neal Stephenson takes a gigantic shit on eyedropper-in-tank car analogies with bananas on football fields. Weather is chaotic, you can't just say "oh it's apparently a small change so nothing happened." That's so very fucking Newtonian and we've already moved beyond Einstein, try to keep up.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    36. Re:Global warming and you. by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      Are you the sort that wets his pants when told that your risk of getting cancer has tripled to 0.49%? You are referencing science fiction authors? Have you heard of Jerry Pournelle or is he too old and not with it. I'm curious - do you have children?

    37. Re:Global warming and you. by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      No, yes, read a bunch of his stuff because books are forever or until they are burned, and fuck no! I'm not qualified to be a parent for a variety of reasons.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    38. Re:Global warming and you. by Coryoth · · Score: 2, Informative

      There seems to be some viking farms being uncovered in Greenland. Yup, the glaciers are melting and in the process exposing abandoned farms. Hmm. Seems to me that if there were farms where there's currently glaciers, that would imply it being much warmer in the past.

      Do you actually have a cite for this, because it would be significant news to me -- not the fact that there were Norse farms in Greenland, but that there are Norse farms that are only now being uncovered by retreating glaciers. You see, as far as I know (and I've had an ongoing interest in the Norse settlements in Greenland) all the settlements that were ever mentioned in historical records have been accounted for -- the Eastern and Western settlements. For some time no-one quite believed in the Eastern settlement, until they eventually found it, not quite where people were expecting. So, two settlements known from records, two settlements found. Are either of those settlements under ice? It seems Google maps and satellite photos can come to out aid. Consider these Googlemaps images of the sites for the Western and Eastern Settlements:

        Eastern settlement area, and Eastern settlment map
        Western settlement area, and Western settlement map.

      Just for reference, here is a zoom of the area of the Brattahlid and Gardar farms (two of the largest/richest farms), and a zoom of the Sandnes farm area from the Western settlement.

      Want more? How abut on the ground photos of the ruins?
      Gardar ruins
      Bratthlid ruins
      Hvalsey church

      Obviously not "under ice", but rather sitting in what are nice green pastures (the benefits of being situated in fjords). So can you tell me where the newly discovered settlements that are being revealed by retreating glaciers are to be found?

    39. Re:Global warming and you. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In 2009, the CO2 global average concentration in Earth's atmosphere was about 0.0387% by volume.

      Wow, that's a pretty amazing link. Just looking at the first graph alone, the CO2 concentration has increase by 23% since 1960. That is an amazing increase. And look at the third graph, which shows the cycle of CO2 over the last 400,000 years. That is pretty compelling evidence that what is happening this time around is nothing like the normal cycles.

      Ahem, listen: zero point zero four percent. Isn't that within background noise range?

      Let's put it into perspective. OSHA standards prohibit worker exposure to more than 50 parts of CO2 per million parts of air averaged during an 8-hour time period. That is one eighth of the levels in the atmosphere (fortunately it accumulates higher up). And to put the 50ppm into perspective, if the workers were exposed to 0.0087ppm of Sarin gas over that same period then they would die.

      Yes, I know the human body is not the same as the atmosphere, but it is an indication while these numbers seem small to the untrained general public, they are still quite effective at having hugh effects. Who should we believe, the scientist who understands the physics involved, or an uneducated person who just looks at the number and says that it seems too small therefore the scientists must be wrong.

      As for your link about the placement of weather monitoring stations, the problem is not that these stations are reporting that it is hot, but that it is getting hotter. It doesn't matter that some stations will be different than ones in other places, because that is why they calibrate them to a baseline.

      If the stations just reported that it was constantly hot and that it wasn't changing, then nobody would be worrying. It wouldn't be global warming - just global warm. As it stands, the NOAA did test the pictured stations and found that no discrepency between the cited stations and others (PDF warning). So it appears that you are cherry picking the data by ignoring the fact that all the other monitoring stations agree with the ones you think are wrong.

    40. Re:Global warming and you. by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      Are you the sort that wets his pants when told that your risk of getting cancer has tripled to 0.49%

      1 in 200 sounds low to you?

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    41. Re:Global warming and you. by not_anne · · Score: 1

      Your links to Coby Beck's blog leave much to be desired. The headline above all of the linked articles says, "How to Talk to a Climate Skeptic: Responses to the most common skeptical arguments on global warming." The "answers" come from the compiled opinions of a software engineer, not a geologist/climatologist/scientist.

      Coby Beck. Age: 45. Stuff I Like: climate change, cosmology, music, photography. Former musician, turned tree planter, turned software engineer. Same old story... I have been blogging about climate change since 2006 at A Few Things Ill Considered.

      --
      My comments here are my own; I do not speak for my employer.
    42. Re:Global warming and you. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually your viking farm example is proof of global warming. When they started farming Greenland was at the peak of the warming cycle. They stopped when it passed the peak and started to freeze again. Why? Because we were entering a cooling cycle. That cycle started to reverse in the mid 1800s. Guess what started then? The industrial revolution and a massive uptick in the burning of coal in Europe and other parts of the globe. It picked up speed in the 90s as the third world became major users of fossil fuels. The denier's mantra is the same one they used in the past to claim we couldn't damage the oceans because they are too big. The Grand Banks simply had too many fish for us to damage them. Between the massive garbage patches and dead zones and the collapse of most of the world's fisheries I think that myth has been put to bed. Any idea what the most damaged ecosystem on the planet is? The Great Plains. We virtually wiped them out and converted it to farming. Only a few percent of the original plains still exist. That's like the Amazon being reduced to a few patches of trees, which it will one day. Saying the billions of tons of CO2 we are releasing each year has no effect on the environment is just as moronic as saying we can't affect the oceans. The direct correlation is between disbelieving global warming and the unwillingness to change lifestyle. I hate to break it to the flat earth crowd but you will be changing your lifestyles very soon. Why? No choice and it has nothing to do with saving the planet. It has to do with changes in available resources forcing change. Over the next 20 years water and fossil fuels will get harder to come by forcing change. The flatearth crowd are exactly like people refusing to believe we have a massive asteroid headed for the planet. Why waste billions stopping something I can't even see with the naked eye? By the time the danger is clear to everyone it's simply too late. It's mindnumbing to me that a geek site constantly blasts scientists because their findings don't match their preconceived view of the world.

    43. Re:Global warming and you. by drsmack1 · · Score: 1

      >> The whole reason why GW is perceived as so >> dangerous is that it is a positive feedback loop

      And the whole reason why the GW political machine is perceived as so dangerous is that it is a positive feedback loop.

    44. Re:Global warming and you. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You would like to think that they get omitted, but your questions have been addressed.

      1. But the fly in the ointment is that the CO2 levels *lag* the temperature changes by 40 to 50 years.

      This has been answered.

      This answer has been well refuted. This is a very simple trick of obfuscation and is disgusting in its application. By its very nature, it proves that there are much more powerful forces at play than AGW. And in itself is also unprovable. It sounds nice, can be verified in laboratory conditions, but a good scientist will also tell you that this only provides an explanation for the difference, but doesn't prove it.

      2. The major greenhouse gas in our atmosphere isn't CO2. It's H2O.

      This has been answered too.

      H2O was never a good factor for study, due to the nature of saturation (relative humidity) to temperature. A person debating either side of this should ignore it.

      3. There seems to be some viking farms being uncovered in Greenland.

      They have covered this one as well.

      This article that your reference and its "argument" is beyond laughable. A grade school student should be able to see through its obvious agenda. Simply because an area may have a more pronounced change than another does not refute the change. If sea levels do rise 6cm in the next 50 years, then I am going to lose roughly 5 total acres of my beachfront property (due to the gentle rise of the beach). I doubt people in Denver are going to care that much. The attempts at ignoring the medieval warm period are only done by those with an agenda, not by true climate scientists who must look at, understand and incorporate all data points.

      4. And finally, the polar ice on Mars seems to be also shrinking.

      Wouldn't you know it, they forgot to omit this question.

      Another poor choice. This grist.org site seems to be full of garbage and you may want to spread your reach a bit more. There are literally thousands of astrophysicists who would make a claim to the contrary on the effects that a star has on its own local systems, and even beyond. Quite frankly, without the sun, life doesn't happen. Water doesn't warm up enough to become a universal solvent, and saying that the sun doesn't drive climate is about as denialist as it gets. The fact that the earth is on a 23 degree angle to the sun drives our climate and weather in very dramatic ways. This one has been debated to death, but without enough consensus to provide any real final answer.

      Seems to me that the global warming crowd have a bit of a secondary agenda running that has nothing what so ever to do with actual global warming.

      Boy do they ever. I don't have a problem with people making a living, but the agenda seems to be to ensure that very few people are alive to do so, and those that are, they rule.

      That's right, because the big companies behind the denialist movement couldn't have any agenda!

      Please, this is the lamest excuse provided by those proponents of AGW. Companies will do anything to make a dollar. They don't care about voting, or about your feelings. They care about a quarterly increase in EPS. I work for a company that has a "green" policy, complete with bamboo packaging, solar panels covering outdoor parking, etc. and they squeeze every possible penny in marketing, government kickbacks, and etc. They aren't spending money to lose it. And to totally blow your argument out of the water, one of the largest contributors to driving the AGW and Green agenda is BP. BP who in 2001 changed their names from British Petrol

    45. Re:Global warming and you. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I love how you throw around charges of sinister oil-company agendas like everyone who doesn't share your point of view is getting a check from Exxon. I guess this is what passes for intellectual curiosity in middle school these days.

      Of course you neglect to point out how overwhelmingly liberal the research establishment is, or that the typical environmentalist makes Nancy Pelosi look like Rush Limbaugh.

      Go ahead - call me a "denialist" I double-dutch dare ya!

      Yawn. Typical leftist tool.

    46. Re:Global warming and you. by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      This can hold true. Earth has been warmer and there's been more CO2 in the atmosphere in the past. Still we aren't burnt to crisp.

      You're right - we weren't burned to a crisp.

      Of course that may be because we weren't there then.

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    47. Re:Global warming and you. by weicco · · Score: 1

      It doesn't matter. If CO2 causes temperature to rise, which causes CO2 to rise, which causes temperature to rise, ad infinitum, it doesn't matter where the CO2 comes from (from volcanoes, humans, cows) or how quick the rise of the CO2 in the atmosphere is, still at some point temperature would've been so high that nothing would've survived; and it still should be because if you believe IPCC gang that there's no negative feedback to cool the earth (or at least I haven't heard then talking such thing). This whole thing sounds like a big false premise.

      The really interesting thing is what have caused temperature and CO2 to drop in the past?

      --
      You don't know what you don't know.
    48. Re:Global warming and you. by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      You have an excellent post with some good points against the global warming consensus.

      I disagree. All I saw was the same old denialist talking points, based on misconceptions and misinformation. Did you even bother to read any of the numerous responses?

      Sadly this will label you an AGW denier, and most likely also a holocaust denier and member of the flat earth society in one breath... It's responses like this to every little critical question that convinced me science is not a priority in this highly politicized debate. Do not be discouraged to ask questions, even though you will most likely never get any good answers...

      Give me a break. Stop playing the victim card. You are not victims. It is your own fault that you keep parroting the same old denialist lies over and over and over and over. When people respond to your talking points, you get all teary-eyed over the mean rational people who correct your lies and misconceptions. Boo hoo.

      Again: You are not a victim. Stop trying to avoid answering the facts that were presented by playing the vicim card.

      They always post links to sites created on 'how to deal with denialists', but there is never enough scientific detail to satisfy your quest for actual knowledge on the subject. I noticed all these 'how-to-talk-to' sites have exactly the same questions, but phrase it slightly different, but they all lack answers to the important questions.

      On the contrary, they accurately answer the denialist talking points. You are just choosing to willfully reject reality because of your political convictions.

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    49. Re:Global warming and you. by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      Call us when a peer reviewed journal claims these facts are myths

      Huh? You are the ones spewing denialist talking points that directly contradict the facts. The peer reviewed research is already there, and it clearly shows AGW.

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    50. Re:Global warming and you. by hkmwbz · · Score: 1
      You are indeed a denialist, because you are denying the scientific facts just because they contradict your political ideology.

      The amazing part is how hypocritical denialists are. You throw around charges about other people throwing around charges, and other things. How hilarious is that?

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    51. Re:Global warming and you. by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      Oh no, he once again refuted your false claims! Quick, change the subject before anyone notices!

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    52. Re:Global warming and you. by hkmwbz · · Score: 1
      The blog doesn't leave a lot to be desired at all. It quite accurately reflects the scientific reality of global warming.

      Your comment, on the other hand, leaves a shitload to be desired, considering that all you did was to reject the facts in the blog out of hand just because the facts disagree with your political ideology.

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    53. Re:Global warming and you. by hkmwbz · · Score: 1
      If you look at the graph, you will notice that it deviates significantly and clearly from the natural cycle. But thanks for playing.

      I'll simply ask: So will you open your mind now, or just ignore all this

      Oh, the hypocrisy... Why do you insist on denying the scientific facs exactly? Is that your definition of "open mind"?

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    54. Re:Global warming and you. by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      In other words: Fact's don't matter. Go with your gut feeling?

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    55. Re:Global warming and you. by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      There is far too much money being pushed at those that are proponents of AGW

      Quit being a hypocrite. You know as well as everyone else that the oil industry has vast resources at its disposal, and has been caught using them to lie about global warming.

      Denialist hypocrites always say "follow the money", but fail to do so in practice.

      Frankly, it scares the shit out of me, how easily duped the public has been on this

      The ones doing the duping are the liars in the denialist propaganda machinery.

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    56. Re:Global warming and you. by argStyopa · · Score: 1

      "And I'd suggest that the slight changes in the current spike are more a function of record accuracy than anything."
      Hm, reading failure, or simply not seeing what you don't want to.

      If you look at that graph and see "SIGNIFICANT" deviation from the natural cycle, I'd suspect you're using a different definition of significant.

      --
      -Styopa
    57. Re:Global warming and you. by thijsh · · Score: 1

      First lets agree the earth is warming slightly, there is no dispute there. Secondly lets agree to disagree that CO2 is the main cause. But third of all I hope you also agree that these carbon credits are a scam which does not help us solve the problems of climate change...

      These sites never really prove to me that CO2 is in fact to blame... for example the objection that historically CO2 has been shown to be lagging temperature rise, and thus being more of an extra positive feedback mechanism than a prime cause has not been refuted, but even confirmed. But somehow this is no real objection. But my biggest problem with sites like this is they pretend to be scientific in nature, while they word their articles like you're dealing with idiots who should believe them on their word... It's a bit over-the-top-one-sided for a scientific site. So the question is: can you conceive that someone feels like a victim when his legitimate concerns are met with an 'idiot' response and compared to holocaust deniers... This is not the same, not even close! You are true that a lot of the deniers are the same people who believe in UFO's etc. but to group all together and discard all (possible helpful) theories because of that is a red herring!

      A serious theory I have never seen discredited (other than saying people are a crackpot for suggestion it) is that the cause of warming is basically the excess heat from burning (think of the atmosphere as your house and all the fossil fuel as your heater). This actually amounts to quite a lot of warming, just calculate the energy released by all the barrels of oil every year, it's not insignificant as my first thought was... The prime cause can be the temperature, and the CO2 amplifies this. My biggest concern with this theory is this: if it actually is true we have a much bigger problem than we thought! When we completely stop burning fossil fuel, and move to fission and (in the future) fusion this will still be a problem, with out without the CO2!

    58. Re:Global warming and you. by hkmwbz · · Score: 1
      I have no idea if carbon credits are a scam. I'm basically not interested in those things. My "interest" in AGW only reaches a certain point, and I used to be equally indifferent (and ignorant) about AGW. The only reason I know something about AGW is because Climategate compelled med to educate myself. You see, denialists seemed to act an awful lot like creationists in debates, and that's the part I'm interested in: Blatant anti-science propaganda. If climate science had not been under intense attack by anti-science loons, I wouldn't have even bothered learning anything about AGW.

      And again, you are simply repeating the same old denialist talking points, such as the silly CO2 lags temperature nonsense.

      The sites accurately and nicely refute the good old denialist talking points. The sites (or articles) do not pretend to be more than what they are: Lists of responses to denialist propaganda. Just like TalkOrigins and other sites contain lists of responses to creationist propaganda. If you feel like a victim because your old and tired talking points are being met with lists that refute those common talking point, then that's your problem. You still aren't a victim!

      A serious theory I have never seen discredited (other than saying people are a crackpot for suggestion it) is that the cause of warming is basically the excess heat from burning (think of the atmosphere as your house and all the fossil fuel as your heater).

      Do you really think scientists are this fucking stupid? That they don't take these things into account? Christ.

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    59. Re:Global warming and you. by thijsh · · Score: 1
      The link to the site you send actually has some nice discussions going on about the science, I'll read up on that because i'm genuinely interested. But once again the conclusion of the article is that CO2 amplifies warming and helps it to spread across the planet, this is a known an proven property of CO2, but this still does not mean that CO2 is the leading cause. If the only answer I get all the time for pointing things like this out and comparing me to creationists... It's not comparable, and by doing that you behaving in an unscientific manner by trying to label (and victimize) people.

      Do you really think scientists are this fucking stupid? That they don't take these things into account? Christ.

      Hmmm... yeah, that figures... That's exactly what I thought first. But trust me, it helps to look up numbers and do research for yourself instead of just assuming that others would have thought of it. Here are some numbers for you: we release almost 500 exajoules (that 18 zeros, or 5*10^20 j) each year, this is energy that comes on top of the equilibrium created by the sun (which is in the order of 10^25 j, so it's a factor close to 100000, which is fucking small when you compare it to the burning ball of gas that provides us with *all* our power and temperature). Where does that energy magically dissipate to??? When you know how black body radiation works (it actually works slower for earth exactly because of our atmosphere with CO2 and the albedo, when interested look up the Stefen-Bolzman law) but when just considering the effect of the raw joules burned it should come down to an increase in temperature of around 0.3 degree in fifty years...

    60. Re:Global warming and you. by not_anne · · Score: 1

      Au contraire, mon ami. I did not espouse any political agenda in my previous comment, but I can see how you think that I did, so I will be more direct. I do not disagree with the facts of global warming. The planet is warming, the global climate is changing, and global warming is certainly happening. Is that clear now? See any political agenda there?

      However, as my previous comment suggested, I do agree with proven science done by actual scientists, rather than unscientific bloggers, pundits, or commentators. Anyone and everyone can talk about global warming, but if you want to get your "facts" from bloggers and the like rather than scientists, hey, more power to ya. To be even more direct, I should have added that a better response would have been to link to the actual scientific articles and graphs, rather than a poorly written and arranged blog by some random person who is not a climate scientist.

      --
      My comments here are my own; I do not speak for my employer.
    61. Re:Global warming and you. by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      What "actual scientific articles and graphs"? As you may have noticed, denialists always distort those. They are often difficult to read for people who aren't deeply involved in the field, and require you to pay for access. The sites I link to contain simple explanations, much like TalkOrigins contains simple, straightforward responses to creationist bullshit.

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    62. Re:Global warming and you. by not_anne · · Score: 1

      Both sides are distorting and cherry picking the facts to make their side look more plausible. Linking to the blogs of condescending one-sided pundits doesn't help convince anyone of the other side's position. Links to more neutral articles are preferable, rather than obviously one-sided diatribes that belittle others who don't believe in their way.

      Scientists are usually pretty good at writing summaries and showing pretty graphs that the average person (myself included) can digest, so linking to accessible articles at the UN, NOAA, Journal of Climate, or even Nature magazine is preferable. There are many wiki articles that have active links to these articles. Or even just link to the wiki article on the global warming controversy

      --
      My comments here are my own; I do not speak for my employer.
    63. Re:Global warming and you. by hkmwbz · · Score: 1
      No, the science side is not distorting and cherry-picking the facts. Your comment about "condescending one-sided" is very revealing, though. Clearly, you think "there has to be more than one side". What you are basically saying is that just because someone makes a claim, that claim must hold some merit, and anyone who refutes that claim is "condescending and one-sided".

      In other words: Rejecting claims about a flat earth is "condescending and one-sided".

      That's just insane.

      Other sites are doing for AGW what TalkOrigins does for Evolution. You failed to address that.

      TalkOrigins lists responses to common creationist lies. Some sites are doing the same for AGW, and denialist lies. These "accessible articles" of yours are usually buried somewhere, without an easy way to look it up. There's a reason why TalkOrigins and such sites exist: They provide you with a quick reference of the common lies and talking points of the anti-science crowd.

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    64. Re:Global warming and you. by not_anne · · Score: 1

      There are (at least) two sides to this story and I for one am not going to arbitrarily silence one side of the discussion just because you don't think their argument has merit. A dialogue is the sharing of information, not one side beating the other over the head with their side.

      I believe that everyone should be heard, even the crazies. Heck, maybe I'm crazy, but I can dismiss the crazies without using using degrading or inflammatory language, which it seems you cannot. Real scientists don't hide dissent behind a wall of insults.

      We can agree to disagree. I will get my science directly from scientists, you can get your science from bloggers. Enjoy your day.

      --
      My comments here are my own; I do not speak for my employer.
    65. Re:Global warming and you. by hkmwbz · · Score: 1
      You are the one trying to silence people. I'm the one explaining to you that easily accessible lists of comon creationist/denialist lies is a good thing to have.

      These lists specifically refute the idiotic claims from the crazies with calm, factual information.

      Your last sentence is just pure idiocy. You are misrepresenting my statements just like a dishonest creationist or denialist would. Good job.

      And you have still failed to address the fact that other sites are doing for AGW what TalkOrigins does for Evolution. You are just trying to change the subject, and you are spewing red herrings all over the place.

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
  26. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    It's worth also remembering that anytime something like this happens, it is natural to jump to CO2 as the cause, even though that might not be a valid assessment. At one time, for example, people thought the melting glaciers off Kilimanjaro was caused by global warming, but it turned out it was mainly caused by deforestation.

    The article (which is light on evidence) doesn't make the connection or give any evidence as to the cause. Whether you think AGW is a serious problem or not, you ought to demand rigorous testing for any thesis presented. Anything less is unscientific.

    --
    Qxe4
  27. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by mSparks43 · · Score: 0

    BBC in Ice melts in summer shocker

  28. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by Qantravon · · Score: 1

    I was actually about to post that very link. The BBC article is kind of useless, since it doesn't really give any actual information, just, "Experts say this is bad."

    Looking at the photos, there does seem to be a lot of change. However, there is also a shelf (immediately in front of the camera) of what appears to be rock in the old photo, that looks much lower in the newer one. Not quite sure what's going on there. Could be some of the glacier that had rocks on top (it says glaciers can get covered with debris), or could be that some geological activity caused the rock to shift in some way (quite possible, considering the Himalayas are on a continental plate boundary). If it is the latter, it could be that the whole glacier got shifted by geological activity. If someone wants to do the research on earthquake activity in the Himalayas over the past 80 years, it would be appreciated.

    As far as AGW goes, I would normally be inclined to believe the scientists. However, considering that there have been instances of data mishandling, and people have been caught in outright lies and fabrication, I have to be somewhat suspicious. I find that I just can't trust them completely. It also doesn't help that the whole situation is being pressed by all kinds of political and corporate agendas.

    The thing about this is, the public-at-large is really incapable of making an informed analysis of this data itself. Most of us are not trained in the necessary skills to do so, and it is an extremely complex field, making people who study the science as a hobby very, very rare. Therefore, in order for us to have any grasp on what's going on, we have to be informed by the scientists. We have to put our trust in them. Unfortunately, enough of them have broken that trust, as I previously mentioned, that we can't really take what is said by any of them at face value.

  29. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by pspahn · · Score: 1

    ...despite no investigation as to whether the photographs were taken during the same day of the year nor as to what the internal variability is.

    Brashears is a pretty bright dude. He knows that mountain as well as anybody who has ever lived. If he went to the trouble of going up there to take photos as close to Mallory's as possible, I'm sure he also went to the trouble to make sure any other variability was as close to the original as possible.

    --
    Someone flopped a steamer in the gene pool.
  30. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by Eunuchswear · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Grants that in NO WAY influence the conclusions of such research?

    Please explain the mechanism. How could a research grant affect the outcome of the research? Do you have any concrete examples.

    Or are you merely trying to smear the honesty of all reseach scientists for narrow, short-sighted political reasons?

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  31. Operation Hat by afabbro · · Score: 1, Interesting

    This should really get exciting once the icepack around the lost Operation Hat SNAP reactor melts.

    If you've never heard the story...briefly...in 1965, the US put a spy station in the Himalayas to observe Chinese nuclear tests. It had a SNAP (keg-sized) nuclear reactor as its power source. Unfortunately, it was lost in an avalanche. It's still there, buried under a pile of snow, its plutonium poised over the headwaters of the Ganges...

    --
    Advice: on VPS providers
  32. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by pspahn · · Score: 1

    So we have a few photographs and the conclusion that the ice loss is devastating--despite no investigation as to whether the photographs were taken during the same day of the year nor as to what the internal variability is.

    Brashears is a pretty bright dude. He knows that mountain as well as anybody who has ever lived. If he went to the trouble of going up there to take photos as close to Mallory's as possible, I'm sure he also went to the trouble to make sure any other variability was as close to the original as possible.

    --
    Someone flopped a steamer in the gene pool.
  33. Hugely surprised by crackerpipe · · Score: 1, Funny

    I actually believed Bush and company that we shouldn't trust the science and I was entirely in favor of all the related political firings from NASA, the NOAA and so on without cause. And also I was entirely for funding an unnecessary war on credit to the point where it bankrupted our country to such a degree that the following administration essentially has no way to fix it except to commit political suicide a la Jimmy Carter measures. I was right on the bandwagon for torture and illegal domestic monitoring of our citizens. Dang, but now it turns out I was incorrect, that some of these scientists who are analyzing maps are correct? Well then, they need to be fired. Alternatively, we can declare the receding ice photos a "national security" issue, in the same manner we deal with any information we think might embarrass us these days. I can't take photos of certain buildings in my own country anymore but I am certainly free to be surreptitiously videotaped and so forth. Since I live in this manufactured ignorance world created by spin doctors, this ice information is very surprising to me. I really thought we had these scientists under proper control, but here they go telling home truths yet again. Boy do I feel foolish.

    1. Re:Hugely surprised by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're thinking about this entirely wrong. Retreating glaciers demonstrate a conscisive military victory. Spin: done.

  34. The present rate never just continues by hsthompson69 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Gotta love the cherry picking here. Take two arbitrary end points, get a downward slope, and then simplistically extend that slope forever. Never mind that another two end points would provide an upwards slope and reverse the prediction. Never mind that the system behaves in a demonstrably non-linear manner.

    This is like saying the temperature from July to December decreased 20 degrees, and if that rate continued, we'll be at -200C in another ten years. I call BS on the church of global warming.

    1. Re:The present rate never just continues by BlackPignouf · · Score: 1

      I'd also call this "analysis" bullshit, but generalizing this lack of seriousness to the "church of global warming" is exactly the kind of dubious extrapolation you're complaining about.

  35. Re:Wake me when that happens by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

    And that report had far more than "one or two" mistakes.

    How many mistakes?
    Here are the ones I've heard of, maybe you can add some more?

    1. Incorect calculation of sea level rise
    2. wrong citation for Amazonian rain forest vunerability
    3. incorret figure for percentage of the Netherlands below sea level
    4. absurd date for dissapearence of Himalayan glaciers

    What have I missed? Do you count four as "far more than one or two"

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  36. Conservatives!!!! by b4upoo · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    There is absolutely no global warming at all for the conservative party swears that it is so. And even our wonderful chowder headed ex president Bush declares that global warming is a fraud. Where as that nasty old liberal, Gore, has mislead us into thinking that ice is melting. Meanwhile the right wing swears that they must have absolute proof that human activity contributes to the problem or it must be a lie.
                      Ignorance is a profoundly deep well.

  37. Incontrovertible? What garbage by abigsmurf · · Score: 1, Insightful

    I could've taken a picture of the weather in the UK late last year when we had an incredibly large amount of snow that stayed around for weeks (unusual in the UK where snow usually becomes muddy slush within a day).

    Would that be incontrovertible proof the UK is getting colder? Of course not.

    Junk science is unacceptable, no matter which side of the fence you sit. Is it any wonder scepticism is on the rise when scientists point to stuff like this as cast iron proof?

    1. Re:Incontrovertible? What garbage by dbcad7 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I don't think we they talking about yearly snowpack that has melted.. but really thick Ice that is gone or going.. glaciers are not just a bunch of snow.. Now whether or not mankind has caused it, doesn't matter.. What matters is how you plan for the future for people who benefit from the ice, and what will they do if it is no longer there, or diminished.. Water is a staple of life,, surely your not that young, or focused on your own backyard to ignore the famines in history caused by a lack of water.

      --
      waiting for ad.doubleclick.net
    2. Re:Incontrovertible? What garbage by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 2, Informative

      The difference, of course, is that glaciers are much more stable, even on geological timescale. It's not something that can reasonably be compared to a pile of snow in your backyard.

    3. Re:Incontrovertible? What garbage by drinkypoo · · Score: 0

      The problem is that you have to walk up to a glacier and carve it up to tell where the snow ends and the glacier begins. You can see the difference, I just watched a documentary where someone demonstrated it very nicely while dangling off the edge of one. Each year's snowfall makes an easily-distinguishable layer. Snow, snow, snow, snow, almost ice, ICE. So photos of glaciers are completely, utterly, and totally useless unless you have a big pile of them with dates on and a record of snowfall against which to compare.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re:Incontrovertible? What garbage by tehcyder · · Score: 0, Redundant

      This might come as news to you, but local weather variations are not the same thing as medium or long term climate changes.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    5. Re:Incontrovertible? What garbage by Yvan256 · · Score: 0, Redundant

      Experts say that the evidence is incontrovertible

      Like my raincoat! - President Skroob

  38. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by hsthompson69 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    when the correct prediction suggests dire consequences for millions of people who rely on the rivers fed by those glaciers. "Several hundred years" might seem like a long time, but it is a geological blink of an eye. We should be very concerned.

    The problem is that if we take the measures often suggested by warmists, and increase energy prices by eschewing the cheapest forms of energy available to us, we'll drive the poorest of the poor deeper into poverty and despair in several hundred days. If you're willing to assert we should be concerned about the fate of millions of people hundreds of years from now, surely you'll admit that we should be more concerned about millions of people hundreds of days from now, right?

  39. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by Montezumaa · · Score: 1

    Reducing use of fossil fuels is a noble cause, but using AGW as the reason is akin to telling a teenage boy to stop what he's doing because he's gonna go blind!

    Well, perhaps that boy should quit playing with his new lightsa...err, ambiguous, bar-shaped laser "toy".

    Oh wait, I see what you did there.

  40. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by Kenoli · · Score: 0

    potentially threatening water supplies for millions of people

    How will we get our water if the glaciers melt?!

    Oh, wait...

  41. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by hsthompson69 · · Score: 1

    The thing about this is, the public-at-large is really incapable of making an informed analysis of this data itself

    I'll grant you that, in the case of a dearth of data (such as simply two photos, sans any sort of historical collection of other relevant data), but really, given the raw data, any executable programs used to massage the data, the general public at large is probably better qualified to sniff out problems than you think. They might not pick up on certain subtleties, such as UHI, proxy problems, the inappropriateness of using black body radiation equations to assert the existence of a "greenhouse effect", or other definitions of technical constants. But there is no such thing as "the scientists" in the end - they're just people, some who may disagree with each other on various points here and there. The idea of some amorphous group of "the scientists" giving us wisdom we can't grasp is a generalization that warps the conversation, I think.

    Phil Jones, couldn't trust that man to flush the toilet. Richard Lindzen, might not be a good prom date, but he's certainly as trustworthy as anyone else in the field.

    I think the dilemma comes when we have two people we can trust, and they've both come to diametrically opposed conclusions. If anything, this should be a clue for us as to the current insolubility of the problem in question - but boy, if there's anything people hate it's ambiguity.

  42. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    Also, can you provide some sort of reference for your claim that the photos were taken in different seasons?

    They look like they were taken at different seasons. Look at the snowcap towards the top of the mountain: in one picture there is a lot of snow, in the other there is a lot of bare rock.

    I don't know much about seasons on Everest, but the snowpack on the top seems to change a lot, as can be seen in this picture and this picture.

    Sometimes it's better to investigate rather than throw out wild challenges.

    --
    Qxe4
  43. Fine, but where's the proof? by pandrijeczko · · Score: 0

    Geological fact shows that this planet has gone through at least four previous Ice Ages before man ever existed - indisputable proof that Earth has gone through extreme cooling & warming cycles before we were here.

    I'm more than willing to accept scientific fact that man is responsible for climate change when it is put in front of me. I'm also willing to take part in green policies *JUST IN CASE* we're the cause of the problem.

    However, to this day, there is no firm evidence that mankind is the major cause of climate change - if anything, Al Gore's figure-massaging & FUD campaign, as well as other manipulated data suggests that certain parties are desperate

    --
    Gentoo Linux - another day, another USE flag.
    1. Re:Fine, but where's the proof? by ProteusQ · · Score: 1

      I'm with you. It used to be the norm that there were vineyards as far north as Sweden. It seems that that will be the norm again soon. Our choices are to adapt or die, not to whine and go all 'Chicken Little' when faced with the unavoidable.

    2. Re:Fine, but where's the proof? by Aladrin · · Score: 1

      "I'm also willing to take part in green policies *JUST IN CASE* we're the cause of the problem."

      Policies? Perhaps. But actually spend money on it? It's ridiculous. If it's not happening, money is being WASTED that really COULD clean up the environment.

      I'm an odd duck. I actually -want- to accept AGW as fact... But the refusal to release the data means I can't. And then 'climategate' (which was cleared by funding from the same people who caused it) showed me that the 'scientists' involved have a complete disregard for the scientific process, even going so far as to destroy data so that other scientists can't replicate their work.

      I just read grist.org's answer to the fact that CO2 follows temperature, and not the other way around... The answer amazed me. They said that most of the time they are in lock-step. Only some of the time does temperature lead a change in CO2. Notice how CO2 never leads? That's like Car A being followed by Car B and then B accusing A of following it. "But the only time you lead was when we turned a corner!" ... Seriously.

      --
      "If you make people think they're thinking, they'll love you; But if you really make them think, they'll hate you." - DM
  44. Hubris? by N0Man74 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I really don't know the answer to how much of climate change is man-made. I tend to think that it's possible we have had some impact, but I can't say to what degree. However, I do have a few thoughts on the matter:

    Even if our impact on climate is minimal to none, we certainly do have impact on our habitats and environments. Even if we aren't creating a greenhouse effect, I think it's a very good idea to pursue renewable resources and cleaner living so that we can prevent discomfort, health problems, and harming ecosystems (that again might have long term and indirect impacts on us all). I may doubt that a household can shit enough on their lawn in order to make it uninhabitable, but I think they can make it unpleasant and unhealthy.

    You say that it is hubris to suggest we could have an impact on the environment. I say it is hubris to think that we are so smart that we won't screw things up by accident. Not only that, it's in contradiction to history. By accident (or unintentional side-effects), we have created acid rain, we have brought many species to the verge of extinction (without even including those that may be victims of climate change), we have caused diseases and birth defects, we have ruined ecosystems, and we have many small areas uninhabitable. You question whether all the industry and waste of the world in modern times combined could have a negative impact on our environment by accident, when single industrial facilities in one city have been proven to be able to greatly harm local environments by accident.

    There may be a question of whether we are doing it, but I honestly do not think there is any question of whether we could. I guarantee we could (if we tried), and it's in the realm of possibility that we might without even trying.

    Man has split the atom, left our planet and returned, and mapped code of life. We have imagined strange and amazing things, and then have proven them to exist millions of light years away. We are currently researching ways to not only build artificial intelligence, but even recreating the spark of life itself, and the most incredible thing is that we've gotten to the point that those possibilities don't even seem absurd anymore! Man has done great and terrible things. We will very likely continue to do so.

    I don't think you give man enough credit in what we accomplish, or how badly we can botch things.

    1. Re:Hubris? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The whole "is global warming caused by man?" debate is a bit of a red herring IMHO.

      Even if we didn't do it, it's happening. Even if it isn't happening, pollution and landfill are still major problems we have to solve. Oil is still going to run out.

      This is a huge opportunity. People developing green forms of power generation, better recycling methods and more efficient devices stand to make a fortune selling them to the rest of the world. It also saves us money on petrol and waste disposal services (i.e. local taxes).

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    2. Re:Hubris? by Pax681 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Even if we didn't do it, it's happening. Even if it isn't happening, pollution and landfill are still major problems we have to solve. Oil is still going to run out.

      This is a huge opportunity. People developing green forms of power generation, better recycling methods and more efficient devices stand to make a fortune selling them to the rest of the world. It also saves us money on petrol and waste disposal services (i.e. local taxes).

      hmmz well have a wee look at this, in general it's about recycling however at 21:45 it specifically goes on about lanfills. you might find it very interesting indeed.

      seems from this that recycling, apart from tin, isn't the benefit most people think and is generally worse environmentally than making from scratch
      Penn and Teller's Bullshit on recycling
      Lanfills also can be used, as seen here to help generate power from the gases in it. it gets tapped and voila.. a groovy source of electricity.

      if i have got you wrong on what you meant about lanbdfills then sorry bud, howevere it's worth a watch anyways.

    3. Re:Hubris? by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      There's still plenty of oil to keep a couple more generations of oil barons in luxury. They'll fight it to the end because being a billionaire isn't enough for these people.

      --
      No sig today...
    4. Re:Hubris? by khakipuce · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's not hubris, it is our second-law-of-thermodynamics destiny. It is why we exist.

      The sun is busy doing it's thing, chucking heat out all over the universe, except for this one little annoying planet that is covered in plants and trees. The damn things keep capturing the carbon and eventually store it as fossil fuels, all that energy locked up and unable to escape.

      The gods of thermodyanics want an earlier return on their investment, so we evolve to burn the fuel, chop down the trees and generally put back as entropy what was rightly universal entropy before those pesky trees got in the way.

      --
      Art is the mathematics of emotion
    5. Re:Hubris? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or we could go back to how it was in the 1950s, with TVs made in America that last 30 years...you know, instead of buying and trashing a toxic Chinese TV every 30 months.

    6. Re:Hubris? by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      The "even if we didn't do it, it's happening" is a bit of a red herring IMHO. It's too "fair and balanced", too reasonable to unreasonable positions.

      It's also wrong: We have to use science to determine the type of steps to take, and their magnitude. Yes, you can get people to recycle their bottles, but can you get them to pay triple gas price? Can you convince them to leave the rest of the world's coal reserves in the ground? What if that's the kind of effort we are talking about?

      If global warming isn't caused by man, our understanding of physics is so out of whack, scientists shouldn't be trusted to advise us on these issues, or ANY issue. Neither should any other kind of science - after all, there must have been a grand conspiracy, involving not just climate scientists but all adjoining fields, and their adjoining fields, since climate science has been treated as solid by all major science journals for thirty years.

      No, we can not just say that black is white, and give the point to the denialists to please them and avoid conflict. There will be harsh negotiations in the future - we will even face harsh negotiations with ourselves about what's worth keeping and what can be sacrificed. It makes a huge difference for these negotiations whether climate change is accepted as real or not.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    7. Re:Hubris? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What most people seem to get though, is that other than global warming, CO2 is not a pollutant. It's not like SO2 - there are many negatives to that kind of output and that makes it a pollutant. CO2 instead has many benefits. For example, CO2 is one the main constrainsts on plant growth in many places in the world. More CO2 output gives us more rain forests.

    8. Re:Hubris? by hey! · · Score: 1

      Let's actually talk about "hubris" for a second: the overweening pride of the tragic hero. Hubris means he cannot see the unintended consequences of his own actions.

      In real life, hubris is always a two-way street. It is perfectly possible for the people who want A to suffer from just as much hubris as the people who want not-A. It's quite possible for some people on both sides of the climate debate to suffer from hubris.

      The real tip-off is when somebody says something like "I've always thought it was more hubris. It takes quite a bit of arrogance to believe that humanity can change the Earth's climate that much, that fast." What kind of argument is that? The writer dismisses anything that contradicts his intuition as "hubris", and therefore not just one sided (as real hubris is), but entirely wrong. That attitude doesn't even have the one-sided semi-validity needed to qualify as hubris. It's simply argument by magic. The bogeyman might not be real, but wishing somebody didn't exist then calling him a "bogeyman" isn't a valid argument.

      It reminds me of the time in the early 90s that the board of a certain public agency turned down the MIS department's request to buy anti-virus software. There was a lot of pressure to reduce the appearance of overspending. The board was outraged that after spending so much money on systems and then be forced to pay more money to keep them running. In their decision, they wrote this: "The integrity of the systems we have paid for will prevent damage from computer viruses." It was like verbally classifying their systems as "having integrity" negated the facts they'd been prevented.

      Wishful thinking and a thesaurus is a dangerous combination.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    9. Re:Hubris? by Hausenwulf · · Score: 1

      "I really don't know the answer to how much of climate change is man-made. I tend to think that it's possible we have had some impact, but I can't say to what degree. "

      That's it in a nutshell. Nobody can deny that global warming does occur and may be occurring now. The question really should be asked, "How much of current global warming is man-made and how much is natural." No scientist in the world today can answer that.

      That being said, yes, we should take care of this planet. Unfortunately, all the care in the world is not going to save us unless we get population growth under control. So.... how many of you are be willing to take the very hard steps to limit population growth?

    10. Re:Hubris? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I bet HIV is pretty darn arrogent, to think it can completely change something as huge as a human.

    11. Re:Hubris? by DavidTC · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What we need to do is stop worrying about separating out things it's inherently stupid to recycle, like paper and glass, which we have essentially an limitless supplies of(1), and start separating out things we really shouldn't be putting in landfills, like batteries.

      Fuck 'recycling'. Call me when I have they'll come to my house to pick up smoke detectors. That's the problem in landfills, not people who don't recycle their newspapers. I'm perfectly fine with drinking water that seeped through newspapers. Are you fine with drinking water that seeped through motor oil?

      Work on getting the 5% of the landfill that is unsafe from getting put in the landfill, and maybe everyone else will stop caring so much about where landfills are built in the first place. As long as the only only requirement is 'far enough away we can't smell them', we've got plenty of room for them.

      1) If someone figures out it's more profitable to recycle glass and paper than to make more, by all means, they should set up some sort of infrastructure to do so...but they shouldn't be asserting it's good 'for the environment' or having government help with it.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    12. Re:Hubris? by N0Man74 · · Score: 1

      So.... how many of you are be willing to take the very hard steps to limit population growth?

      C'mon, you're talking to a Nerd site! Reproduction is the least of our worries! ;-)

    13. Re:Hubris? by N0Man74 · · Score: 1

      I didn't mention it in my regular response, but that word choice bothered me as well... Not just in the context of what was written, but because of the fact I keep hearing that word being thrown around in these types of discussions.

      I can only assume that some conservative radio or television commentator is responsible for injecting this specific word into the topic, and fans have latched onto it.

    14. Re:Hubris? by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      You fail at understanding science.

      Thermodynamics is a model. It is really useful for predicting the behavior of matter under certain conditions. The universe as a whole is NOT one of those conditions.
      The model in thermodynamics specifically breaks down the moment there is enough mass in the system for gravity to exceed the repulsive "forces" between individual molecules.

      The second law of thermodynamics does not predict how the universe will end (don't worry, Asimov made the same mistake once) because there is NOTHING in thermodynamics to account for gravity. Gravity on the small scale where themodynamics is designed to be used is such a weak force that it can be safely ignored.
      On the scale of universes and galaxies it exceeds the effects of thermodynamics. This is why our universe's history shows it becoming ever more clumpy and ordered rather than ever LESS clumpy and disordered.
      To imagine that one day it will all start to break down because that's what the second law predicts is just plain wrong - that can only happen if we somehow remove from the universe all the gravitons.

      Modern physics don't have "forces" or even "energy" as you think of it, it has fundamental particles that influence the way matter interacts with space-time in various ways. Gravitons bend space time for example.
      Thermodynamics is really just simple Newtonian physics adapted to model the behavior of gases and liquids in particular circumstances, it is incredibly useful for doing that, BECAUSE it ignores those aspects of the universe which on the scale of a tank full of gas simply doesn't have a sufficient measurable impact to actually affect the outcome.
      But when you talk about the scale of planets... then gravity and other factors become not only measurable but EXCEED the forces thermodynamics looks at. There is still thermodynamics INSIDE Jupiter, but it will never cause the planet to slowly leech gas until it doesn't exist anymore because the gravity is stronger than their molecular repelling force.

      What causes suns to die is the nuclear power running out, that's another whole different kettle of fish.

      Always remember that written right INTO the laws of thermodynamic (and sadly usually not taught) is the qualification that it ONLY applies to a CLOSED system. Where no energy or matter can either enter or leave.
      Planets and stars are not a closed system. The universe as a whole could possibly be described as one - but frankly we can't even prove that (we have NO idea what lies outside our lightcone and according to current theories we never CAN know - but that doesn't mean there ISN'T something there)
      Even if we assume it's a closed system - it's still a HUGE closed system, it has gravity. The big bang started us off pretty damn entropic -a lot of basic matter scattered fairly uniformly over the universe... we did NOT do what the second law predicted and smooth out the few lumps and end up stable. On the contrary - the universe has gotten more and more lumpy over time.

      Thank you for you time.

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    15. Re:Hubris? by N0Man74 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The above post may have a score of zero, but I think it brings up an interesting point (though I wouldn't have brought in the America vs China sentiment).

      We live in a very disposable culture. Our goods (and even our entertainment) tend to be replaced constantly either due to lack of reliability, industries constantly pushing for cycles of obsolescence (either technological, or social) in various products, or even as an intentional feature of the product!

      One of our problems is that stagnation, and conservation of resources are enemies to profit and capitalism. It's more profitable to make disposable goods, disposable entertainment, and disposable consumer electronics.

      Conserving resources, making cheap and renewable energy, and making products that can last a lifetime are in direct opposition to the interest of businesses and could eventually lead to slowing down the economy in general.

      People are talking about red herrings, and I think they are right. The real issue isn't even whether we are causing change, or whether the change even exists.

      The real issue is how much money is it worth sacrificing in order to live in a sustainable and clean way. Really, that's what it's all about. Industries don't want to change because it cuts into profits, and conservatives don't want changes forced on them because they feel it takes away their rights (to make more profit).

      I'm reminded of a line I vaguely recall from a Kurt Vonnegut novel, where he describes a future message left by an extinct mankind for any possible future alien visitors of Earth.

      "Welcome to Earth. We could have saved it, but we were too damn cheap."

    16. Re:Hubris? by hypergreatthing · · Score: 2, Informative

      Global warming is part of a cycle. It was warmer in the past, and it was cooler in the past. The water level has risen and fallen in the past as well. What we can't discount is the amount of change that humans have to this cycle. In the last 100 years we've changed the atmosphere more than it's changed over the past 10,000. You can't really fight that fact. How that affects the earth is unknown, hence why people study climate change and try to model predictions. As far as i know we're due for a cooling period, which may have been offset by human activity. Great! Now about that warming period with human activity...

    17. Re:Hubris? by operagost · · Score: 1

      People developing green forms of power generation, better recycling methods and more efficient devices stand to make a fortune selling them to the rest of the world.

      Then why are we subsidizing them? So that people like Al Gore and George Soros can get richer?

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    18. Re:Hubris? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      This is why there is such a big opportunity for companies who develop better recycling technology. If you can get the cost of recycling down you end up with with a very attractive product. Governments are putting laws in place to require more recycled plastic to be used and consumers seem to like it too if there is little extra cost involved. When I bought my last car the brochure mentioned how it used recycled materials and how the factory was reducing it's carbon emissions.

      Sure, the really cheap end of things like the "5 toothbrushes for £1" sellers are going to take longer to get there, but eventually taxes on non-recycled plastic (or tax breaks on recycled plastic) will outweigh the extra few pennies they currently save.

      We are actually well on the way to getting there I think. A lot of companies only use sustainable wood. The calculator on my desk is made of recycled photocopier plastic. All my printer paper and toilet roll is recycled. All my milk and most of my food is organic which I know is a loaded term but does at least reduce pollution from pesticides. My car has a low emission high efficient engine with Stop and Go which I bought on purely selfish grounds (lower road tax, less spent on petrol). There is demand for renewable energy, if only to try and get away from nuclear power and the associated waste. I'd love to have a smart fridge that saved me money by trying to use as much off-peak electricity as possible.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    19. Re:Hubris? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      I can get them to pay triple the current price of petrol, it's easy. Just get electric cars to the point where they are as good as petrol cars and cost the same to buy and run. Then slowly bump up petrol prices as everyone moves over. It might take decades but making the green option cheaper is by far the easiest way to make people choose it.

      Governments have already started doing this and it is already having an effect. In the UK your road tax depends on the emissions and efficiency of the vehicle. For that reason many people buy smaller engined and more efficient cars, just to save a hundred or two every year on the road tax. Oh, and to save on petrol costs as well, of course.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    20. Re:Hubris? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Air con and heating are both expensive to run. On the other hand there are things you can do to houses to reduce the amount of heating and cooling required (insulation, solar water heating, better heat removal in summer) and improvements to air con and heating technologies that reduce their energy consumption and thus cost to run.

      There are big opportunities in shipping thanks to global warming. People still want the same fruits and other foods but they are being grown in different parts of the world. There is the never ending demand for water and better crop growing techniques which have to deal with global warming too.

      The reason why it is happening is not nearly as important as what we are going to do about it, even if that just means accepting it and adapting to a warmer world.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    21. Re:Hubris? by sexconker · · Score: 1

      This is a huge opportunity. People developing green forms of power generation, better recycling methods and more efficient devices stand to make a fortune selling them to the rest of the world. It also saves us money on petrol and waste disposal services (i.e. local taxes).

      Horse.
      Shit.

      "Green" power is actually terrible for the environment. Your hybrids and your solar cells do more harm when they're manufactured than they'll ever make up for over their lifetime.
      Wind turbines require constant maintenance (i.e., OILING) and provide very little power, and do so very unreliably.
      We need to be using hydroelectric and nuclear power. But the "environmentalists" hate these. They're safe, they provide massive amounts of power cheaply, they generate no pollution, they can run for years without maintenance, completely autonomously, etc.

      Better recycling methods? Seems to me there's a ton of places for me to recycle aluminum cans, but zero places for me to recycle something useful, like steel. Whenever I take my recycling in, soup cans, cans for compressed air or air fresheners, etc. get tossed in the trash.
      "We don't take those."
      "Who does?"
      "No one."

      Certain types of glass aren't accepted. Certain types of plastics aren't accepted. And no, they don't take paper.

      Not only are the recycling programs available to the consumer today worse than they were decades ago, the methods of recycling have gotten less efficient. They're staffed by overpaid, underqualified peons who painstakingly separate garbage from garbage, only to throw both piles into the dump.

      What was an efficient system run by private companies who wanted your valuable materials has been taken over by the government and, as usual, turned into a inefficient joke.

      There's no place anywhere near me to recycle used cooking oil or batteries or whatnot. If I want to get rid of my mattress I have to post it on craigslist and hope, or pay someone to haul it away. I've got a couple of quarts of cooking oil sitting in a tupperware container on top of my fridge. I fried some chicken, and I'd have to pay someone to take that oil from me. I'll probably wrap the thing in a plastic bag and just toss it in the dumpster one day.

      Sure, we may be recycling things more fully, and using more recycled materials, but it's overall a net loss, especially when the taxpayers end up funding everything, instead of the cheaper materials bringing down manufacturing costs, as promised. In the early 90s I would have been able to drop anything short of a dead body off at a local recycling plant, and get paid a decent amount. Hell, I could have waited til a specific day of the month and just put anything I wanted out on the curb and it would be gone by the next day.

      If you want to talk about saving money, then you don't want to talk about recycling. In areas that do have robust recycling programs, they have 4 or 5 different trash cans, and 4 or 5 different pickup schedules and trucks. Surely local taxes don't pay for those.

      Recycling was profitable decades ago before the government felt the need to step in.
      Now it's extremely profitable for the politicians that hold the reigns of those programs. They get kick backs from the companies they sell the contracts to, they get votes from the morons who will happily keep a "used toilet paper" trash can in their bathroom, and it's all paid for by taxes.

      So basically, fuck you.
      "Green" isn't a "huge opportunity" for anyone except the dirty, lying fucks who are already in charge.

    22. Re:Hubris? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What we need to do is stop worrying about separating out things it's inherently stupid to recycle, like paper and glass, which we have essentially an limitless supplies of...

      The point to recycling glass and paper (and aluminum, for that matter) is not because they're in short supply. It's the same reason scrap iron, copper, and the like have real cash value — starting from old scrap uses less energy to turn out product and therefore lowers manufacturing costs.

    23. Re:Hubris? by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      That's all well and good. If someone wants to buy used junk from me, I have no problem with it. I might even give it to them for free.

      However, that's not a environmental issue, now is it?

      And I'm sick of it being passed off as one, with community running weekly pickups of fucking harmless and easily replaceable paper, and schools teaching everyone of the importance of recycling stuff that grows on trees, while people happily throw batteries and other hazardous shit in the trash, because it'd just be totally insane to try to teach people not to do that or have a weekly pickup of hazardous stuff.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    24. Re:Hubris? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Why is the fossil fuel industry so heavily subsidized? They get far more subsidies than green energy, at least in the US.

    25. Re:Hubris? by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      Just get electric cars to the point where they are as good as petrol cars and cost the same to buy and run.

      And how long will that take?

      Then slowly bump up petrol prices as everyone moves over.

      And how slowly can we afford to do that?

      It might take decades but making the green option cheaper is by far the easiest way to make people choose it.

      Maybe the slow and easy path isn't an option anymore. We won't know if we throw out the science (which you do when you claim that it doesn't matter anyway).

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    26. Re:Hubris? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      starting from old scrap uses less energy to turn out product and therefore lowers manufacturing costs.

      However, that's not a environmental issue, now is it?

      Energy use is an environmental issue, at least as long as energy is produced non-renewably.

    27. Re:Hubris? by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Yes, and the government should feel free to tax it.

      But having giant programs and wasting everyone's efforts and the entire direction of the environmental so that a tiny fraction of the industry energy used in this county can be reduce by a tiny fraction of that tiny fraction...um...no. Just no.

      You want to reduce energy use, you add a 1% tax to electricity, which would do more to reduce energy use in the next year than all the recycling programs combined.

      I find it very suspicious that the sole recognizable environmental project in the US is not that is not particularly helpful, but it is the one that uses free human labor and government resources to reduce the costs for companies to operate. So a few of the companies that make goods that can be recycled save a tiny tiny tiny tiny amount of energy, and everything else is exactly the same.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
  45. The Ground Realities by tanveer1979 · · Score: 5, Informative

    Since I live very close to himalayas, I can say with confidence, that things have changed quite a bit.
    Is it global warming/regional warming or no warming, I dunno.
    But over the past 6-7 years these changes have forced farmers to change crop cycles, modified travel plans of seasonal roads, etc., etc.,

    Basically, in the Western himalayas, around November, snowfalls would start, seasonal roads would close by december, and jan feb were heavy snowfall months, with some in April and may.

    Now from past few years, there is hardly any snow during December and even January, which leads to lousy apple crop.
    Then in feb, it snows some, and in April may and june, well heavy snowfall in higher reaches.
    This kills the standing crop.
    The entire north India reels under heat wave as there is hardly any winter rain. We start getting summer in feb instead of April.
    The mountains start getting snow.

    So is it warming or cooling. No idea, but its a big change from what has been happening since 1900 or so(when record keeping started).

    Winter rain, at the correct time, and winter snow at correct time is very important for healthy crops. all this cycle change has led to big problems.
    To add to that, monsoon summer rain has also reduced. Thankfully, this year, though a bit late, monsoon is mostly adequate, but then here also instead of sustained rain over few days, most places get a cloudburst like havoc creating spell, and then its humid and dry. The dams will get filled up, but areas depending only on rain will suffer.
    Such rains also lead to big landslides.

    Part of the blame is on local deforestation, and micro climate change in the Himalayan region due to rapid commercialization and deforestation. Since protecting the environment is not yet a major election issue, its just a lip service on world environment day, when we switch of lights for an hour(and then get the routine 10 hour power cut due to overload of AC).

    So all in all, pics or no pics, the local weather in western himalayas has changed. Hopefully, this weather pattern will stabilize, and farmers will switch there crop sowing times. But since its still too erratic, its a big problem.

    As for global warming, when I see the temperature records for the region since 1900, the average temp has been rising steadily in most places, but whether this warming is caused by humans or not, I dunno. I am not a climatologist and like many people here, I will refrain from posting my theories on the changes.
    All that matters to many, is that its getting hotter and drier, and rainfall patterns are shifting alarmingly.
    Many glaciers in central himalayas are indeed receding, and its a fact. Not that they are warmer now, but because from past few years, there has been little winter snow in these areas.
    The ski slopes of Auli, which used to be snowed out in winters, now are devoid of snow many times. Last year Auli did not get a snow season.
    This year in June higher reaches of himachal got a few feet of snow. Not unusual, but definitely unusual in the peak of summer!

    So the weather is changing, but who is changing it I dunno. I hope it can be fixed, because it causing a lot of food supply problems. Fruits are out of reach of many, and if this continues, even cereals will become precious.

    --
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  46. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by ashvin213 · · Score: 1

    The problem is that the article takes pains to explain that it was shot at the same place, but cleverly (or rather dumbly) leaves out of the fact on the timing. Secondly, the question "what time of the year in 2010 would correspond to the same time as the 1929 photo was shot" is quite tricky so answer. There is the variability due to earth's revolution not being 1 year exact (Given that we take 365.25 years, he needs to have visited the place 20 days later in 2010 than when it was visited in 1929), other factors (non-global warming related) such as direction of the wind and its changes, etc Only after this has been well scrutinized, one could possibly conclude that the loss is due to AGW.

  47. Re:Wake me when that happens by Namarrgon · · Score: 4, Insightful

    since you, the warmist, just mistook the deniers for the warmists...

    Whoosh....

    "That report" had a handful of factual errors in the WG2 section, dealing with the likely consequences of climate change, but no mistakes at all have been identified in the crucial WG1 section, where the veracity of anthropogenic global warming is firmly established. This despite it being one of the most closely-examined scientific reports of our time.

    You are treating end results as fact without letting other scientists check your work.

    Much of the WG1 data is in fact publicly available. I don't see any systematic analysis papers by reputable scientists challenging WG1's conclusions, only bloggers with an agenda presenting cherry-picked numbers and anecdotes as if they were somehow expecting to be taken seriously. Strangely enough, the thousands of climatologists who have systematically analysed climate data from a variety of unrelated sources and published their findings in peer-reviewed journals almost universally agree with WG1's conclusions. So on which side of the debate is the science fail, exactly?

    Not sure why I'm bothering to respond, since your flamebait was modded as such early on this time. You did better when your rants were subjective opinions; it's not working out for you so well since you tried challenging the scientific conclusions of the nearly all the relevant experts on the planet.

    --
    Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
  48. Snow cover by dargaud · · Score: 2, Informative

    Talking as a mountain climber, and trying to put the discussion back on topic (I see 141 comments, mostly trolling and inevitable answers), I'll just say that comparing pictures for snow covers is misleading, even when taken at the same time of the year. A few inches of snow can be enough to make it appear as if you have lots more. Only depth samples and yearly layer comparisons can give you hindsight. Even comparing the length of a given glacier over time can be misleading: if it rains a lot, it will lubricate the bottom interface between ice and rock and the ice will flow faster, hence a longer glacier (for a while).

    --
    Non-Linux Penguins ?
    1. Re:Snow cover by PhilHibbs · · Score: 1

      Talking as a mountain climber, do you know the difference between snow and a glacier?

    2. Re:Snow cover by dargaud · · Score: 1

      I do when I'm on it, but can _you_ tell the difference at a distance or even looking at a picture ? Certainly not.

      --
      Non-Linux Penguins ?
    3. Re:Snow cover by PhilHibbs · · Score: 1

      Well, if I see a photograph that a climatologist says "this is a glacier", I tend to believe them. And anyway, yes I thought I could tell the difference from a photograph, but maybe I'm mistaken.

    4. Re:Snow cover by dargaud · · Score: 1

      To give you an example, a small glacier was recently discovered where I live (in the Alps). It took a small landslide to expose the layer of ice under what everybody thought to be just a rock field. And there are still debates on whether the boulderfield under Long's Peak summit (Colorado) is a glacier or not. Some glaciers are so covered with rocks as to make the ice impossible to reach. And let's not even get into the glacier vs neve debate (a glacier flows, a neve doesn't). And, like I stated in my original post, add 10cm on fresh snow on top and it becomes even harder.

      --
      Non-Linux Penguins ?
  49. Well said by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

    Though I don't think TFA (apart from the photographer himself) was claiming any form of proof of anything, or even that it was billed as "science journalism". It's certainly not a controlled study, as you say, just an interesting anecdote in the context of prior arguments about Himalayan glacier loss.

    --
    Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
    1. Re:Well said by Simmeh · · Score: 1

      Well said. Article was submitted on the basis of the changes to the local ecosystem, rather than as evidence for the global debate - but this is slashdot....

  50. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by Michael+Kristopeit · · Score: 0

    This glacier did melt.

    so did all the glaciers that created many of the lakes in the northern midwest. who is to blame for the global warming that must have occurred to melt them?

  51. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by IRoll11!s · · Score: 1

    ...(Given that we take 365.25 years, he needs to have visited the place 20 days later in 2010 than when it was visited in 1929)...

    Wait..what? Leap years dude. =]

  52. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by nothings · · Score: 3, Interesting
    It's true that they're not taken from the same spot, although what you describe could be true of photos taken from the same spot but in slight different directions, or just somebody screwing up the cropping.

    However, comparing the prominent S-curves in the foreground reveals a significant difference in perspective/foreshortening that makes it clear that the color photo is taken from a higher elevation. The distant shapes seem to match pretty well so I don't think it's an aspect-ratio fuck-up, although that would be all too common in this modern world where nobody seems able to notice that effect either.

  53. Error in summary - wrong year by frank_carmody · · Score: 2, Informative

    I RTFA and it mentions the date '1921' not '1929' as appears in the summary.

  54. Simplistic Arguments by LKM · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It takes quite a bit of arrogance to believe that humanity can change the Earth's climate that much, that fast

    It takes quite a bit of arrogance to believe that a little virus can kill such a big human that quickly.

    I'm sorry, but the real world doesn't work the way you imply. Nature doesn't care about your simplistic intuition of what's possible; the climate isn't a stable system that requires a lot of input to change in fundamental ways. It's constantly in flux, and small changes can cause the balance to shift in fundamental ways.

  55. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    First off, pleas don't quote from Wikipedia when discussing climate science. It's bias is well known.

    Secondly, the comment that "can you provide some sort of reference" is a straw man, as you cannot provide evidence that they were.

    Please flog your belief system, but use some discretion.

  56. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    it's a fucking glacier you moron. *by definition* they are present year-round (or at least were).

  57. It's not about saving the planet by LKM · · Score: 4, Insightful

    You are missing the point. This is not about saving the planet, it's about saving our own asses. Yes, the planet will continue rotating, and will still be here long after we're all dead. But, uh, we won't be here unless we make sure that the planet continues to be able to sustain human life.

    The idea that we can't change our planet is defeatist bullshit. In the 80s, people thought that overpopulation would cause major world wars within a decade, that we would have revolutions in Europe, and that billions of people would die. It didn't happen. Why? Because of science. We managed to improve resource usage so much that we were able to sustain ever growing populations (and now we're seeing that at some point, human population stop growing naturally in developed nations without being constrained by a lack of resources, so there's a good chance that we might eventually reach a balance that doesn't involve billions of people dying due to a lack of resources).

    Humanity is capable of doing awesome, great things, and there is no reason to believe that we can't solve this problem, if we accept that it is a problem and start actually taking it seriously before it is truly too late.

  58. More than that, bacteria changed the Earth itself by Kupfernigk · · Score: 4, Insightful
    You've actually understated the (correct) case you are making. The Earth itself is currently habitable by us because bacteria terraformed the Earth - not purposefully, but because their metabolic processes in the early Earth produced oxygen. There is a great deal of knowledge now accumulated about the processes involved. Jay Gould commented once in an article that, in terms of biomass and the effects on the planet, it is still the Age of Bacteria.

    Of course, since the crazies posting here think the Earth was sneezed out by the Argleblaster six thousand years ago, there is no arguing with them.

    It seems to me that the more scientists learn about the Earth and our place in the Universe, the more the religious fundamentalists disbelieve them. Galileo is bloody lucky he didn't live in Alabama in the 21st century.

    --
    From scarped cliff or quarried stone she cries "A thousand types are gone, I care for nothing, no not one."
  59. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by houghi · · Score: 1

    Finally, why focus on the erroneous report,[...]

    Because that means we do not have to do anything and go on with whatever we are doing. Taking responsibility is not an easy thing to do. Ignoring the issue is much easier.

    --
    Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
  60. That's not how science works by LKM · · Score: 1

    I don't think you understand how science works. You seem to think that some scientist comes up with something, and then it's the law.

    No. Science doesn't work that way. Scientists publish their results, and then other scientists look at their data, try to reproduce the results, and generally try to find problems. You know how you become a famous scientist? By disproving something every other scientist believes. This gets you the nobel price. This is the incentive. Find errors. Be smarter than everybody else. Have better data, a better explanation, a better way of predicting things.

    There is no incentive at all for thousands of scientists to be part of some kind of insane global conspiracy that misleads everybody else.

    1. Re:That's not how science works by Sarius64 · · Score: 1

      I don't think you understand how science works. You seem to think that some scientist comes up with something, and then it's the law.

      No. Science doesn't work that way. Scientists publish their results, and then other scientists look at their data, try to reproduce the results, and generally try to find problems. You know how you become a famous scientist? By disproving something every other scientist believes. This gets you the nobel price. This is the incentive. Find errors. Be smarter than everybody else. Have better data, a better explanation, a better way of predicting things.

      There is no incentive at all for thousands of scientists to be part of some kind of insane global conspiracy that misleads everybody else.

      How Many Scientists Fabricate and Falsify Research? A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Survey Data

  61. You can get grants to disprove another paper by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You can get grants to disprove another paper. So if they affect the paper, then they can affect it both ways, all you have to do is look at the literature against the theory we are affecting the climate.

  62. your post by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    is about psychology and sociology, not climatology

    the power of denial

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  63. Re:This message has been brought to you by OPEC by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The point of it is to get you to start talking about what AGW means and how stupid it is to create a new acronym, while no one discusses global warming itself.

    Game. Set. Match,

  64. So where's the empirical proof of God? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So where's the empirical proof of God? If people are denying that, then they would be deniers.

  65. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by Jafafa+Hots · · Score: 1

    Yes, there are people who study these things, and who get research grants to do so. Grants that in NO WAY influence the conclusions of such research?

    Reducing use of fossil fuels is a noble cause, but using AGW as the reason is akin to telling a teenage boy to stop what he's doing because he's gonna go blind!

    Whereas the few scientists who disbelieve AGW and who are under the employ of the oil industry, and the conservative commentators pushing the conspiracy theories... THEY all work for free. Not a one has a vested interest in what they're pushing, and in fact they have a stellar record of honesty and impartiality.

    --
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  66. What does really matter? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Fighting over whether all these reports are real or fabricated than investing time on trying to understand what actually is happening is not going to work out. I don't see any point in trolling as it won't lead anyone to any kind of solution. Accept the fact there are changes which even with regret can not be undone.

    And we even haven't got a place to run yet when things supposedly are going to go wrong.. This guy has made really good point in Ted talks few years ago..

  67. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by delinear · · Score: 1

    This is the major problem - too many people on both sides of the argument evagelising their point of view. We get a few photographs with little supporting data (even the most basic of measurements such as time of year, and you'd really want photos for each of the interim years to see if this is natural variation, etc) and even on a site with a heavily scientific skew there are people claiming it supports everything that's been said about climate change, instantly forgetting the old rule of correlation != causation. And both sides are equally guilty of this - I'm singling out the pro-climate change viewpoint as that's the story here, but there have been plenty of instances of the anti- viewpoint doing the same thing. Meanwhile there are regular people in the middle trying to sort the facts from the emotional outpourings and they'd just like more actual data to do so. Won't somebody please think of the science! I know it's frustrating to have actual data denied by frothing madmen on the opposing side, but the way to counter that is to explain to the sensible people why the data is accurate, not to roll out your own New and Improved Frothing Madmen (now with 30% more shoutiness).

    </rant>

  68. Only in America... by Hurricane78 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    ...is there even a discussion about “if” this is man-made...

    OK, not really a discussion. Because one side would not even recognize proper logic and structure of a discussion, if 16 tons of it hit it in the head.

    --
    Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
    1. Re:Only in America... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yup, only in America do we question what is force fed down our throats...

  69. so any pictures from the 1940s by night_flyer · · Score: 1, Offtopic

    you know, after the last global warming spell?

    --


    Thanks to file sharing, I purchase more CDs
    Thanks to the RIAA, I buy them used...
  70. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by Aceticon · · Score: 2, Insightful

    You remind me about the story on slashdot a little while ago http://idle.slashdot.org/story/10/07/14/1235220/Given-Truth-the-Misinformed-Believe-Lies-More

    Clearly no amount of information will ever convince those who look at climate change as an "Us against Them" subject (it's all tribalism for them, logic has no bearing) instead of approaching it as a social/economic risk-cost analysis.

  71. Re:Wake me when that happens by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the thousands of climatologists

    There are no "thousands of climatologists", baby. look over at the IPCC authors list - there are a couple of hundreds at most. Look at the titles of the "seminal" papers -- those that matter are about 30-40 people or so, and they belong to the same jerk circle (lead the same conferences, edit the same journals, participate in the same organizations). The rest of the people in the ecosystem are just working on bolts and nuts, as in programming, collecting tree samples and shit. You're telling me that 50 or so people who've been in this together for two decades or more cannot come up with a workable conspiracy?

    And, it is BS that you can confirm the models independently, without substantial government support. The (few) models that are run by the "community" require a lot of cash for computing power to get running.

  72. We will all DIE! by piotru · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Quick! Show me a shaman who would generously accept all of mine and my descendants' money, kidneys and lifelong service. Would that be enough to revert the wrath of The Great AGW Gods?

  73. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Alright.

    Do you remember the Slashdot discussion two weeks ago, about how Monsanto scientists were, like, totally faking research results in the hope of convincing everyone that GM food is safe?*

    Or perhaps you remember the Slashdot discussion last week, about how Pepsico scientists were going to start blogging on Scienceblogs.com? And of course they were certain to spend all their time making out that "science proves junk food is good".*

    The source of research funding in each case is a corporation, and not a very popular one. Please can you explain how the funding of, say, the Climate Research Unit certainly does not affect the research outcomes under any circumstances, but the funding of a Monsanto or Pepsi scientist definitely does affect the research?

    * I'm not exagerrating, this is basically what the article summaries said. Extreme editorial bias. Fact is, this is just politics. We only trust the scientists who say the things we like. Never mind about "evidence" and "facts", the thing that distinguishes good science from bad science is truthiness.

  74. Dead climbers by Matz0r · · Score: 0

    Imagine the smell when all 120 lost climbers thaw.

    http://adventure.howstuffworks.com/dead-everest.htm

  75. Re:Dear moron... by Lumpy · · Score: 0, Troll

    How do you know his house is not there on the left? Maybe that is is MOTHERFUCKING back yard?

    --
    Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
  76. Hectares? Try ares. by denzacar · · Score: 1

    There are 6.85 billion people affecting the planet TODAY.

    How many have lived and died during only the last 100 years? How many alive today will continue to live for decades to come.
    Changes we are making are cumulative - particularly the ones involving the use of large quantities of fossil fuels. Per person, per lifetime.
    Even in death we continue affecting the planet with our slow rotting in the ground.

    Heck... Ares might be overoptimistic.
    We are probably down to affecting simply our own back yards, going down to a pot of dirt on each persons windowsill.

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
  77. Thank the gods... by liposuction · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    Thank the gods no one in Cancer research has ever said, "The science is settled." Or AIDS research. Or oil technology, plastics, coal, space flight. (That one I may be wrong about as it seems NASA is headed into Islam outreach.)

    --
    "Thoughts are more powerful than any weapon, and I don't even let my people own guns." --Joseph Stalin
  78. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    oh stop interrupting a perfectly good emotional argument with your focus on "logic" and "data". Actual analysis seems hard so we won't even try to understand it. Therefore it means nothing. I own a copy of Photoshop (well a pirated copy anyway), therefore the all chemists and physicists are making it all up, just as I would if I were in their place! Don't you know that perception is reality and we only need to look as far as next quarter's balance sheet? (or election, as the case may be)

    If science is hard it must be wrong! Because I like easy and familiar, and I like being right!

  79. Simple... by denzacar · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    NOBODY has Himalayas in their MOTHERFUCKING back yard.

    Unless he/she/it is the Sovereign Emperor Of Asia, where "All Of Asia" can be then considered "his house".
    Last I checked, nobody has claimed being that for ages now.

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
  80. Um, yes... by Joce640k · · Score: 1

    I don't know what your mental is of the depth of The Earth's atmosphere but it's about about as thick as the layer of varnish on a one-foot globe. There's mountains that you can't survive on if you climb to the top of them.

    ie. It's *thin*.

    Man is perfectly capable of changing its composition, eg. if we all burn a couple of gallons of gas a day for our lifetimes and burn a few tons of coal per year to run our lights, TVs and computers.

    --
    No sig today...
  81. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It may not be bad to let those million people die in a few hundred years. Earth is overpopulated after all. We can let the excess go. /s

  82. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    > However, considering that there have been instances of data
    > mishandling, and people have been caught in outright lies and
    > fabrication, I have to be somewhat suspicious.

    except of course there hasn't been and they didn't. Actually there probably has been, but not by the scientists.

    you want to talk about transposition typos? fuck off

    you want to take one word in isolation and twist its meaning? fuck off

    you want to talk about someone getting annoyed at having to deal with 500 FOI requests A MONTH from people whos expressed intention is just to waste as much of your time as they can, when they know you don't even own the data and couldn't legally give it out even if they wanted to? fuck off

    you want to talk about filtering out statistical outliers using an objective formula (I thought we were supposed to do that) and accounting for the effects of urban sprawl when the weather station on the edge of town eventually ended up downtown 80 years later? fuck off

    you want to talk about a group of scientists banding together to avoid a journal that started to publish bogus crap? (a case in which quite separately the journal's editor and half the editorial board had earlier resigned in protest about the same crap being pushed in by the publisher) fuck off

  83. Re:More than that, bacteria changed the Earth itse by Gulthek · · Score: 1

    Still? It will *always* be the age of bacteria. They simply out-live us. There's more of them by any measure you'd care to take, they adapt faster, they survive in more environments, and they were here first. We've evolved around their presence. We literally could not live without them.

    Also, that's an excellent point in the crazy global warming debate. I don't think enough people know/realize that the Earth's atmosphere wasn't always as oxygen rich as it is now.

  84. Re:non-existence-of-God-denialists by GrantRobertson · · Score: 1

    non-existence-of-God-denialists

    Awesome. I have been calling them "myth-believers" but I like your term better.

  85. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    What he's referring to is that if you don't get some conclusions similar to the ones they're looking for in the grants, you won't get more money along those lines- and possibly elsewhere.

    Grant funded research really isn't very good research in that it's politics, not science, that really drives what is getting done and reported.

  86. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by sparrowhead · · Score: 1

    I have to agree, that the visual impression of the pictures in TFA are not very convincing, however if you take a look at the pictures of Alpine Glaciers you'll see that the time of the year isn't really an issue. There's a distinct difference between a blanket of snow and a glacier.

  87. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by foniksonik · · Score: 1

    Devils advocate but if your findings preclude additional studies and funding you are stopping a potential gravy train. So yes a grant could affect the outcome if it is the basis for more grants.

    --
    A fool throws a stone into a well and a thousand sages can not remove it.
  88. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by tehcyder · · Score: 1

    Yes, there are people who study these things, and who get research grants to do so. Grants that in NO WAY influence the conclusions of such research?

    Look, why not just come out and say that it's a fucking ZOG conspiracy? Then we'll know you're a retard and can ignore you.

    --
    To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
  89. FLAMEBAIT tag here prooves my sanity. by piotru · · Score: 1

    Being favoured in the thread about AGW would cause me double-check my basic motor skills before driving a car :-)

  90. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Grants that in NO WAY influence the conclusions of such research?

    Please explain the mechanism. How could a research grant affect the outcome of the research?

    Seriously? Ok...

    "Hmm Jim Smiths latest research shows that X is happening - that's going to make us look bad (any organisation that comes out against MMAGW is slated as an oil shill long before anyone looks at the evidence) - better kill this project"

    The next time Jim Smith goes to apply for a research grant....

    "Oh it's this guy again - well unless he promises not to do anything that will draw negative press he ain't getting squat."

    Sure in most (if not all) cases it probably is that Jim is total nutter that is not following the correct methodologies and coming out with crackpot ideas. But when the university starts to suppress this kind of stuff based on the topic of research and not on the credibility of the researcher or his methods, then we're bound to hit 1 or 2 cases where a solid hypothesis could be completely ignored and starved of funding purely because it does not meet the current preferred theory. There hasn't been a recorded instance of this within the field of climate science yet , but their have been suggestions of preferred funding towards string theory (as the one path to a 'theory of everything') and similar attacks levied on organisations like the Templeton Foundation for funding research that blurs the line between science and religion

  91. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

    The source of research funding in each case is a corporation, and not a very popular one. Please can you explain how the funding of, say, the Climate Research Unit certainly does not affect the research outcomes under any circumstances, but the funding of a Monsanto or Pepsi scientist definitely does affect the research?

    So, what is it? The guys who work for Monsato are whiter than white, or the guys who work for the UEA CRU are corrupt? Do you want to have your cake, or eat it?

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  92. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by foniksonik · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The poorest of the poor don't use oil for anything. They could care less what the world does with oil. Their great grand children may have a use for it but by then a suitable alternative would be much more useful to them since it's likely they won't be profiting from oil and it will be more scarce regardless of conservation measures.

    --
    A fool throws a stone into a well and a thousand sages can not remove it.
  93. Use to have glaciers in my neck of the woods by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Seems the area I live in was once no twice covered in hundred foot ice called glaciers. Seems the earth goes through cycles. Who gets to determine which cycle is best for the planet... man or nature?

  94. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

    But when the university starts to suppress this kind of stuff based on the topic of research and not on the credibility of the researcher or his methods, then we're bound to hit 1 or 2 cases where a solid hypothesis could be completely ignored and starved of funding purely because it does not meet the current preferred theory. There hasn't been a recorded instance of this within the field of climate science yet

    So, it's never happened, but when it does happen...

    Like I said. This is mere slander in order to refute reality with preconceived political dogma.

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  95. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's my point exactly. Clearly, in both cases, the source of the funding affects the outcome. Obviously. Why wouldn't it?

    In your earlier post you asked "How could a research grant affect the outcome of the research?" Well, you already know the answer.

  96. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by shadowofwind · · Score: 1

    Grants that in NO WAY influence the conclusions of such research?

    Please explain the mechanism. How could a research grant affect the outcome of the research?

    Suppose you've got 20 climate scientists, fairly honest but not immune to their prejudices influencing what kinds of questions they ask, or what contextual information they consider or leave out when presenting results. Suppose 10 find that global warming is a very serious problem that needs further study, and 10 find that there isn't much there that's worth looking at. In the next round, only the 10 with the more alarmist spin get funded, and the other 10 have been weeded out.

    Or you can flip this around, and argue that global warming denialists are going to be able to get oil company grants. I'm not arguing for or against a particular position on global warming. I'm just trying to explain one way that funding affects scientific outcomes without overt fraud being committed.

    Do you have any concrete examples.

    I'm not a climate scientist, but I could give many, many concrete examples in other areas. This is a bit of a minefield, so I'll just give one. I know of a scientist who's work showed that the space station has severe limitations as a platform for microgravity research. His report was suppressed by NASA for political reasons, and he received no additional funding on that topic.

    Or are you merely trying to smear the honesty of all reseach scientists for narrow, short-sighted political reasons?

    I can't speak for that other guy. If he's like other global warming denialists I've argued with, his stance is likely to be all political. However, in my experience, the people who get all offended at the suggestion that money corrupts science are often the worst offenders, with the least amount of objectivity about their own biases.

  97. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

    What he's referring to is that if you don't get some conclusions similar to the ones they're looking for in the grants, you won't get more money along those lines- and possibly elsewhere.

    Begging the question. Where is your evidence that someone is "looking for conclusions".

    You are slandering people based on your political prejudices.

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  98. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

    Because if you don't generate results that indicate that more study is desperately needed, you won't get the next grant. If the results of the study funded by this grant says that there is nothing to worry about then the next grant will go to some other field of study or to some scientists who says that there is a disaster waiting to happen and we need to do more study to understand how to stop it.

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  99. Now I'm worried. by archangel9 · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    So Wall-E wasn't an instructional video?

  100. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by blueg3 · · Score: 1

    Not really. Most of the people who do the research are climatologists. Their work is only done when we understand everything about climate, which isn't going to happen as a result of global warming research, regardless of the outcome.

  101. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by dasunt · · Score: 1

    Finally, why focus on the erroneous report, when the correct prediction suggests dire consequences for millions of people who rely on the rivers fed by those glaciers. "Several hundred years" might seem like a long time, but it is a geological blink of an eye. We should be very concerned.

    I'm a little curious about the cause, which the article doesn't really go into.

    Is this all due to global warming? Or is part of it due to some sort of decreased snowfall?

    There's been a lot of changes in the region in the past century. I wouldn't be surprised if the resulting loss of (say) forest has changed precipitation.

  102. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

    That's my point exactly. Clearly, in both cases, the source of the funding affects the outcome. Obviously. Why wouldn't it?

    and since your cynicism lets you dismiss any worry that maybe you'd have to get off your fat arse, you're happy with that.

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  103. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

    Because if you don't generate results that indicate that more study is desperately needed, you won't get the next grant.

    What nonsense. If you were able to cast doubt on AGW in some credible way you'd have money poured into your pockets so fast your trousers would fall down.

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  104. Further by sycodon · · Score: 2, Interesting

    In fact, I'll take the analogy even further.

    The reason anyone feels the need to declare their environmentalist bonfides is because there is a new bigotry developing, which I will ball the EnviroBigot. This is a person who feels others who do not show the appropriate amount of deference to the "Environment" is any one or all of Stupid, Selfish, Evil.

    It allows EnviroBigots to discount policy arguments with a simple dismissals such as "oh, he drives an SUV", or "ignore what he says, he works for Big (Insert most currently reviled industry here)". It saves the EnviroBigot the need to think critically and re-enforces the echo chamber that they call debate.

    So everyone get ready. Soon you won't be able to say squat about the environment without first declaring that you are a "friend" to the environment.

    Here are some handy dandy phrases you can use...

    "I recycle, but I don't think I should have to pay a fine if I miss a can in the trash."

    "I really support Alternative Energy, In fact, I have a solar array on my roof. But I think that at this time Nuclear Power is the best bet to reduce carbon emissions"

    "I drive a car that gets 1000 miles per gallon and I never use the A/C, but we really do need to keep drilling for oil because it is used for so many other things than just fuel."

    --
    When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    1. Re:Further by sycodon · · Score: 1

      "ball the EnviroBigot"

      Hey, even EnviroBigots need love I guess.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
  105. Re:Dear moron... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I live in the great lakes region. I'm sure if you took a photo of this area 10000 years ago, there would be a huge glacier where my house is currently sitting and oddly enough, a million or so years ago, this was a dense tropical region. The earth changes, things adapt. Really, they do.

    Scientists can not predict the weather next week, how is it that the global warming camp can somehow predict that this warming trend will wipe out all fresh water and all of the earths land masses will suddenly turn into either a desert or will be a tropical rain forest and we will have no livable land?

  106. Bad calculation... Land mass area much smaller by Fallen+Kell · · Score: 1

    You used the total surface area of the earth. Land area is only 148,940,000Km^2. So, the correct calculation is 0,0217 Km^2/habitant, which is only 4,01 "football fields" (according to your calculation for football field size, as I simply did the ratios). And you need to remember that unfortunately the calculation isn't just for our lifetime, but our parents, grandparents, great-grandparents..., and our children, grandchildren, great-grandchildren. We already inherited an earth that is pretty messed up compared to just 700 years ago in terms of man created trash and pollution. Just look at the floating plastic "island" in the Pacific for more proof of that.

    --
    We were all warned a long time ago that MS products sucked, remember the Magic 8 Ball said, "Outlook not so good"
  107. Pointless Speculation... by pastafazou · · Score: 1

    ...unless you have some way of proving it. It's just as possible that Photo A taken in August, Photo B taken in March. That being said, assume the glaciers are retreating. How does the fact that they are retreating prove global warming and not just regional change? Me, I would think the extra 4 billion people now making their home all about the Himilayas as compared to 1921 would be able to modify the local environment enough to induce such a change. Soot, deforestation, dams, irrigation, pollution, strip mining, and more should have a pretty big impact, but it's all just pointless speculation...

  108. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by thestuckmud · · Score: 1
    As I understand it, global warming does not explain the incredibly fast retreat of these glaciers.

    Soot may be to blame.

  109. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You know absolutely nothing about me, and that comment is absolutely despicable. What is wrong with you?

    I think I've made an entirely valid point, viz. "Q: why trust one group and not the other, A: politics." and rather than acknowledge that I'm right about this, you assume that I'm one of those "denialists" and hurl personal remarks, which, incidentally, many people would rightly regard as hate speech. I won't forget your user name.

  110. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So, suppose your results are that the data is inconclusive for determining whether a specific process is happening. Suppose the signal within the data is so noise contaminated that realistically it is impossible to make a clear call. Which do you think the researcher will say ?

    1. My results are inconclusive. Due to noise sources, it is unlikely that any studies of this sort will produce results with known sources

    or

    2. Using new and revolutionary techniques, I show the following positive/negative result

    I claim you are always going to see 2 stated, simply because 1 is a sure end to your funding. They might be honest and give choice 2 huge error bars and show the definite result as small, but there is always going to be a small spin if just to maintain funding. Do this long enough and not be of scientific demeanor and have a working self-bullshit-detector and you are going to end up believing your own press.

  111. Phenology and Climate Change by ajaxlex · · Score: 2, Informative

    in the "what are you going to believe, your own eyes?" department...

    Research in Phenology (the study of the seasonal changes of plant and animal life) shows significant advances in spring activity at points across the globe.

    http://www.scienceonline.org/cgi/content/summary/sci;324/5929/887
    http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15592880
    http://www.seaturtle.org/PDF/Parmesan_2003_Nature.pdf

    These are supplemented by anecdotal evidence - particularly in higher latitudes - that things are changing rapidly, and that surroundings are changing with in a generations living memory.

    http://harvardmagazine.com/2002/11/the-great-global-experim.html

  112. The glaciers are still large for Holocene standard by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Reality check.

    At several times during the current interglacial the glacier extend in the Himalayas and the European Alps has been much smaller than today. In fact, the glacier extend today is larger than it has been for most of the Holocene.

    What invariably never is mentioned in this kind of "OMG teh Glaciers are melting fast Global Warming Proof OMG!!!" stories, is that many glaciers reached the largest extend of the past 9000 years a mere 150-200 years ago. During the Little Ice Age cold snap of the 17th-18th century, glaciers have massively expanded (and yes: there are numerous solid, peer-review published studies confirming this). While shrinking today, they are still larger than they have been for most of the Holocene. Europe Alpine glaciers were much smaller in size during the Roman age for example than they are now, today.

    People seem to somehow think that the 1850-1900 AD glacier extend is equal to the average glacier condition for the current interglacial, and hence that "getting smaller" means "attaining an unnatural state". But the reality is, that the 1850-1900 AD glacier extend is anomalous compared to most of this interglacial.

    So larger glaciers 100 years ago than today do not equal let alone proof Antropogene effects on glacier extend, even though some AGW activists tout it as that.

    Glacier extend by the way, is in most cases determined more by precipitation than by temperatures.
       

  113. Re:More than that, bacteria changed the Earth itse by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And it seems to be that the more you make ignorant generalizations, the less credible you become.

  114. Re:More than that, bacteria changed the Earth itse by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So it's OK for bacteria to terraform the earth, but not us? That which crawls out of the slime is no better than the slime!

    "But...but! We're supposed to be better than mere animals that act purely in their own self-interest! We're capable of moral and ethical thinking! We can figure this out!!!"

    Yeah, right. I hope you don't have too grand of a vision of humanity's future, but it looks like you probably do.

  115. Humbug! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hey, Fundie, riddle me this: Adam and Eve had two sons, right? Where did the rest of humanity come from?

    1. Re:Humbug! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Incest, duh...

    2. Re:Humbug! by dgower2 · · Score: 1

      I understand your point. Cane and Eve, as sick as is sounds, must have goteen together. The gene pool was a lot cleaner back then - lol. I do hope you don't base an entire disbelief of the bible on that one point. Every single prophecy in the book has come true so far. Scientists have used it to find geological locations due to its historical accuracy. Nothing scientific has ever proven anything in it wrong. It was written by 40 different authors over a span of thousands of years, yet Genesis to Revelation complement and relate perfectly. Have you read it? People (Lee Strobel for one) have set out to prove that it's just another book, and in the process have become Christians.

      Contrary to popular belief, the bible and science complement each other. They are not polar opposites or in diametric opposition. Obviously they can't be since God himself created science, but I know most people in here don't share this viewpoint : ) And that's an example of the free will that He has granted you ; )

      --

      Proverbs 21:19 It is better to dwell in the wilderness, than with a contentious and an angry woman.

    3. Re:Humbug! by operagost · · Score: 1

      I understand your point. Cane and Eve, as sick as is sounds, must have goteen together.

      Just because other created people were not mentioned in Genesis does not mean they did not exist. For example, if you asked me who went to a concert, I could tell you "Joe, Tina, and I." Just because I didn't mention the other 5,000 strangers (who are not relevant to us) or that our mutual friend Bob was also there but we didn't know that doesn't mean those people did not attend. Adam and Eve were the first two humans, and they had three offspring-- that's what we know. We can infer that other people existed, because Cain and Seth took wives. Their origin is not explained, but I can theorize that they were also created.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    4. Re:Humbug! by dgower2 · · Score: 1

      Excellent point. Much more eloquent and reasonable than mine.

      --

      Proverbs 21:19 It is better to dwell in the wilderness, than with a contentious and an angry woman.

    5. Re:Humbug! by David+Greene · · Score: 1

      I am a devoted Christian and I must comment on a couple of things from your post.

      Every single prophecy in the book has come true so far.

      Prophecy as understood by the inspired authors has little to do with predicting the future. It has everything to do with opening the eyes of the people to what's going on in the here and now. Isiah, Jeremiah, Ezekiel, Micah, all of the major and minor prophets, were anointed by God to speak the truth of the day, which is unfortunately quite relevant to us today as well. The "predictions" are God's message about what kind of life the people were getting themselves into. We have our modern day prophets: Martin Luther King, Jr. is an oft-cited example and many of his prophetic speeches and writings about social justice beyond racial equity have been suppressed, not unlike what the ancient prophets experienced in their day. The truth is that we are all called to be prophets to one another. We need that to keep society going

      Scientists have used it to find geological locations due to its historical accuracy.

      The bible is not nor was it ever meant to be a history book in the sense we understand the term in our modern society. At the time the books were written, the historical focus was not writing down exactly what happened with attention to every fine detail. The intent was to convey how God is active in our lives and what kind of relationship we can have with God. That this or that specific thing actually happened is not important. What's important is the overall message of relationship, love and salvation.

      Are there points of history in the bible that are validated with out modern scientific methods. Absolutely. Anyone who has studied ancient history understands that. Are there other points that are questionable with little hope of being "proven?" Yep. But for the Christian, it really makes no difference at all. The history isn't the point. The message is.

      --

  116. Dismissing your nonsense by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    The worldwide retreat of glaciers is well established

    So is the rate of decline of glaciers including that one, so we know what it is and it's not as alarming as the story is trying to make it sound.

    Are you really saying glaciers would never ever retreat under any natural scenario for climate change? Have I got a few valleys to show you...

    Also, can you provide some sort of reference for your claim that the photos were taken in different seasons? I find this unlikely, since the regularity of the Monsoon storms and lengthy acclimatization process tend to force Everest climbers to focus their efforts during the same season each year.

    And I find that comment exceptionally ill-informed. They are nowhere near the top. Many people go there to hike around Everest, not necessarily to ascend. As others have noted the snow on the mountain itself clearly indicates it was taken in a different season, and people are there year-round to do so.

    It's sad to see people parroting the latest fear-mongering story, even after the whole "Himalayan glaciers are gone by 2035" exploded in the faces of the Warmists.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Dismissing your nonsense by thestuckmud · · Score: 2, Insightful
      "Exceptionally ill informed"? Really?

      If you don't believe Breashears' photos in this news blurb, try the videos from the Extreme Ice Survey. Or the conclusion based on data from NASA's GRACE satellites that the rate of glacier thinning in the Himalayas is 22 cm per annum. Or visit a glacier and see the signs of retreat for yourself.

      You are correct that someone is misinformed here. Alas, my friend, it is not me.

  117. Video of lecture by Martin+Spamer · · Score: 0, Redundant
  118. Video with better pictures by jcaplan · · Score: 2, Informative

    The photos in the linked article are small and hard to interpret. Better photos with commentary available at: http://asiasociety.org/OnThinnerIce Also check out the "Then and Now link". It shows several other glaciers in the region and shows measurements of the 300-400 feet (122 meters) loss of thickness of ice in several glaciers.

  119. Missleading/Deceptive comment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The 1921 expedition photos were where taken in spring, when the glacier is at its minimum.
    The modern photos were taken last winter (October), when the glacier close to it's seasonal peak.

  120. Good or Bad? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But is global warming a bad thing? Our climate has been hotter and cooler before. Global cooling is VERY bad and will cause a lot more death and destruction than global warming. Global warming just shifts the climate a little on the globe giving those of us in the northern and southern latitudes away from the equator more growing seasons. This is a good thing. It opens up a tremendous amount more ocean and land to life. On the other hand, even a few degrees of global cooling, a mini-ice age, would be a disaster.

    All of this misses out on the real issue: pollution and the use of resources. Stop being so faddish.

  121. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

    I won't forget your user name.

    And I won't forget yours.

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  122. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

    2. Using new and revolutionary techniques, I show the following positive/negative result

    I claim you are always going to see 2 stated, simply because 1 is a sure end to your funding. They might be honest and give choice 2 huge error bars and show the definite result as small, but there is always going to be a small spin if just to maintain funding.

    If you do 2 then your papers are going to be regarded as junk, you'll probably end up publishing them in E&E, and that will be the end of all future funding.

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  123. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

    Or you can flip this around, and argue that global warming denialists are going to be able to get oil company grants. I'm not arguing for or against a particular position on global warming. I'm just trying to explain one way that funding affects scientific outcomes without overt fraud being committed.

    But that's exactly the problem.

    Whenever anyone comes out with the "funding corrupts the science" meme it's always the evil warmists who are being accused. Because, bizarrely, there is no serious research "debunking" AGW.

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  124. Please return to troll school by RingDev · · Score: 1

    Please can we take the belief terminology and appeals to authority out of the debate? If you believe in global warming, then you are an idiot.

    Awesome, first, insist that others drop beliefs and appeals to authority, then immediately state your own beliefs installing yourself as an authority figure. Well done! If this was kinder-troll-garten you would have earned a golden star for that one.

    If you believe in anything because the majority of scientists do, then you are an idiot.

    So how many "idiots" here believe in the laws of thermodynamics? Sure, there are probably a handful of /. readers who may be able to fully grasp the science behind it, but the vast majority of us just accept it because the majority of scientists do. But by all means, continue on your quest to create a perpetual motion machine. Obviously all those scientist are just incompetent, or part of a huge plot to ensure energy demands for the future.

    Heck, along with thermodynamics lets toss in life sciences. Since only an "idiot" would trust the popular opinion of scientists, you must not be big on western medicine. Those quacks are just out to make a quick buck scamming insurance companies. They can't do anything that a good leech or lancing can't fix.

    This whole "write off the scientists" argument has to be the most mentally deficient angle ever produced in such a debate. Do us all a favor, take your drivel back to school and get some proper trolling education before you spout off that weak crap.

    -Rick

    --
    "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
    1. Re:Please return to troll school by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      Wow, a long rant, but you completely failed to actually read my post. If your reading comprehension is that bad, you are the one who should return to school. I haven't felt the need to go back much since I got my PhD, although I do return to university and do some lecturing occasionally. For future reference, I'd suggest that if you stop reading a post after the first paragraph, you are likely to sound like an idiot in your reply.

      I don't 'believe' the laws of thermodynamics because scientists tell me to, I accept them as a well-tested hypothesis because there are numerous experiments (including a few that I've repeated myself in school) that test the predictions that they make and fail to provide evidence that contradicts them.

      I've actually done some work with climate scientists recently (on public engagement for their open source atmospheric modelling software), and, like most scientists, they never asked me to believe in their hypotheses, and they certainly didn't ask me to accept them simply because they were the ones presenting them. They presented me with models, hypotheses that might explain them, and tests that they were doing that would either affirm or disprove their hypotheses, along with tests that had done the same with earlier versions. That is how science is supposed to work (in bold, just in case your obviously short attention span skips most of this post as well).

      If someone is asking you to believe in their hypothesis based on the fact that everyone else does, they are not doing science. They are doing religion, and have no place in rational debate. Science does not require belief and is actually harmed by it. If you believe in a hypothesis, you will reject evidence that does not support it. If you are doing science properly, you understand that a hypothesis is just a convenient model that may need replacing or refining in the face of more data.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    2. Re:Please return to troll school by RingDev · · Score: 1

      Wow, a long rant, but you completely failed to actually read my post. If your reading comprehension is that bad, you are the one who should return to school.

      Pot, meet Kettle. Kettle, Pot.

      haven't felt the need to go back much since I got my PhD, although I do return to university and do some lecturing occasionally.

      Last I heard there wasn't a huge speaking demand of 'University of Pheonix Online' graduates, but it's good to hear you're getting some work out of it. I have no interest in getting into a credentials pissing match with you, but I assure you, your PhD isn't likely to impress me. Besides, anyone who has put in the effort to get a piece of paper that says "PhD" on it, but doesn't feel the need to learn more, really didn't learn much at all on their trek of earning the PhD.

      I also never claimed anything about how science "is supposed to work". I actually agree with you whole heatedly on that. BUT, I did say that only an idiot would write off anything that is of popular scientific agreement due to the fact that it is of popular scientific agreement alone.

      You yourself are proposing the very religion you are preaching against. You are claiming at no one should ever accept the commonly held beliefs of the scientific community for the sole reason that those beliefs are held by the popular majority.

      I could understand if you were to argue for the questioning of specific assertions of specific scientist with out specific proof or understanding. But to write off all of them for a reason no better than, "they are popular" is just as asinine as believing in them all for the reason of "they are popular".

      I tell you what, I'll send you a funny hat and some robes, you can start up your Church of "Don't believe anything scientists say." Any way, I'm off to the bathroom, mind if I borrow that PhD of yours? We're low on toilet paper.

      -Rick

      --
      "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
    3. Re:Please return to troll school by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      Again, you failed to read my post, and you keep disagreeing with a straw man argument, now throwing in some ad hominem attacks. Wonderful.

      I did not say that you should discount ideas because they are popular, I said that the fact that they are popular should not be the reason for accepting them.

      You should neither accept nor reject scientific theories because they are popular. Their popularity is irrelevant. You should accept scientific theories that have been tested and have not been contradicted by experimental evidence. You should reject theories that contradict experimental evidence.

      Saying 'this theory is true because lots of people believe it' is not science. I am, however, not saying that you should therefore say 'this theory is false because lots of people believe it'. I am saying (and I'm going to repeat this, in spite of the fact that you've failed to understand the first few times I said it), that the number of people who profess to believe in a theory is completely irrelevant. It is neither a factor in favour, nor against, a particular theory.

      In most scientific communities, the number of people who accept a theory correlates with the number of tests that the theory has survived, but it is the number of tests, not the number of believers, that gives the theory weight.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
  125. 500 replies and no mention of 'Sublimation' by scorp1us · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The problem is everyone sees ice loss, and assumes melt. It's not melt, it is sublimation.

    Sublimation - when solid goes directly to gas is to blame. This is like water ice on Mars evaporating (not melting) into the martian atmosphere. Here on Earth the increased sublimation is caused by land use changes. What was once moist forest at the feet of the mountains, has become drier farm land. This drier air then travels over the mountain and picks up moisture directly from the ice.

    How else can you explain ice loss at below-freezing temperatures? You can't just say the "ice melted" unless you show that it is warmer at the peak. These pictures are proof that man is modifying the environment, but only locally, and has nothing to do with temperature.

    --
    Slashdot's rate-of-post filter: Preventing you from posting too many great ideas at once.
    1. Re:500 replies and no mention of 'Sublimation' by kimvette · · Score: 1

      THANK YOU for pointing this out. I'm sure that the global warming alarmists will conveniently discount it though.

      I'm glad someone mentioned this. In New England you can observe sublimation in your backyard; you can watch each day packed snow and ice decrease even in a single-digit-*F cold snap. Where did the snow and ice go, when it's too packed or solid to be blown around? It sublimated directly to water vapor; it never had to "melt." Imagine that happening on a much larger scale all year on a mountain as Scorp1us described with upwind water availability having been eliminated.

      --
      The Christian Right is Neither (Christian nor right). See: Matthew 23, Matthew 25, Ezekiel 16:48-50
  126. My Back Yard by darkpixel2k · · Score: 1, Funny

    It reminds me of the difference between my back yard during the winter of 1921 and my back yard during the summer of 2010...

    --
    There's no place like ::1 (I've completed my transition to IPv6)
    1. Re:My Back Yard by PhilHibbs · · Score: 1

      The 1921 photo was taken in September

  127. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by shadowofwind · · Score: 1

    bizarrely, there is no serious research "debunking" AGW.

    I don't think its bizzare, irrespective of the facts about global warming. Energy companies are also to some extent on the global warming bandwagon for political reasons, because their lobbyists are in a good position to determine who would control a gigantic carbon trading scheme and who would benefit.

    It doesn't seem to me that the fact of influence of money can be used to make a decisive pro or con argument about global warming. All a person can do is continue to argue the merits of the science, even though a lot of people aren't going to be convinced by that.

  128. HO...LEE...SHIT. by GameboyRMH · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Is this how AGW denialists picture the "post-AGW world?" Some kind of genocidal ultra-authoritarian oligarchic dystopia? Holy fuck, I don't know where to start. I'll just take a stab at it.

    Look, it won't be too different from today. Your car will go weeng instead of vroom, there will be nuclear plants in place of coal plants, you'll see more dams and wind turbines, you'll put recyclable garbage in separate bins, and that's basically it.

    The "post-AGW world" will look similar to a wealthy Canadian town full of eco-chic yuppies (but hopefully without everyone acting like a pretentious douchebag). No genocide and certainly no shortage of electronics.

    --
    "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    1. Re:HO...LEE...SHIT. by bunratty · · Score: 1

      Sarah Palin has said that reducing carbon dioxide emissions will destroy the economy. So, yes, this is what the denialists claim. To me, this is the actual alarmism, as opposed to the calm, rational explanation of the effects of global warming such as that we'll see a meter of sea level rise this century. These same denialists say that people who believe in AGW claim that global warming is a threat to the planet, or at least an end to human civilization. In their minds, everything is all switched around, and stating the facts of the matter simply reinforces their misinformed opinion even more. No doubt I'll be modded as a troll by these people, though.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    2. Re:HO...LEE...SHIT. by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, if there's one thing AGW'ers hate more than oil companies, it's nuclear energy.

      Let's pretend you didn't know this, even if it does sound a bit ridiculous.

    3. Re:HO...LEE...SHIT. by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      Damn, you shoulda called Guinness if you were going to make the world's biggest sweeping generalization. It doesn't count unless their officials are there to observe it you know.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    4. Re:HO...LEE...SHIT. by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      Let me guess, you see yourself as reasonable ?

      Sarah Palin has said that reducing carbon dioxide emissions will destroy the economy.

      And Barack Obama has said "fuck niggers", you know, while drunk at a frat party.

      How about we take a reasonable assessment of her opinion ? Say ...

      Within her executive order, Palin described warming as a "global challenge" and sought "opportunities to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from Alaska sources, including the expanded use of alternative fuels, energy conservation, energy efficiency, renewable energy, land use management, and transportation planning."[117] In December 2009 she wrote, "any potential benefits of proposed emissions reduction policies are far outweighed by their economic costs."[118]

      (from wikipedia)

      Meaning, obviously,
      a) no to mandatory reductions (no to reductions at all costs)
      b) (reasonable) encouragement of private sector renewable energy production*

      * and if, as you people keep claiming, renewable energy is indeed cheaper, then lighting a minute spark should transform the US into a renewable nation.

      Of course, despite tons of sparks, this hasn't happened, which means that renewable energy both isn't cheaper and is not a good idea. Or, more optimistically, it is not (yet ?) sufficiently superior to warrant rebuilding all energy infrastructure. Or it could be that it's somewhat harder than you think, and you live in a fantasy world where congress should just vote out the laws of physics. (I don't claim this proves it's impossible. It does indicate it's hard, very hard). And of course, there's this idiot Jevon.

      And quite frankly, the reason greenies want more legislation is exactly for that reason : they know perfectly well renewable energy doesn't work. It's EREOI is barely 1, except in very special cases.

      My reaction to that is "let's try again in ten years". Apparently your reaction is "this must be the conspiracies". Let me guess (I'm in Europe and you do find this sort of opinion here on the street in Brussels) : it's the Jews again ? (Ironically you find both pro-agw "it's the jews" idiots and anti-agw "it's the jews" idiots. Amongst Brussel's muslims, this is unfortunately quite a normal attitude)

    5. Re:HO...LEE...SHIT. by conureman · · Score: 1

      I sort of pictured the "post-AGW world" to be me in a wealthy Canadian town full of eco-chic yuppies (but hopefully without everyone acting like a pretentious douchebag). The coming droughts in the American South-West will certainly drive up our property values along B.C.'s fastest flowing river, where the rain is expected to continue or increase. I just hope they don't start treating Americans like we {DESERVE?} ...treat the Mexicans. The genocide has been going on for some time, BTW, and will probably happen in other places soon.

      --
      The cost of that cleanup, of course, will be borne by taxpayers, not industry.
    6. Re:HO...LEE...SHIT. by Sigmon · · Score: 1

      Seriously?... One meter of sea rise over the next century? I'm not sure if you're being sarcastic or not, but those kinds of figures just floor me. And it's astounding to me that people actually believe crap like that.

      Do the math. There's not enough surface water/ice on all the continents COMBINED to raise the ocean levels by one meter... even if ALL the surface water somehow migrated all at once to the sea.

    7. Re:HO...LEE...SHIT. by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      Have you read your own past posts ? You're beyond hypocritical.

      Is this how AGW denialists picture

      Let me guess : it did prove that I was wrong, but it doesn't prove you were wrong.

      Allow me to quote futurama : THIS IS THE WORST KIND OF RACISM ! The kind against me.

      But really I want to hear you say directly what you just alluded to in this post : you're saying that "on average" greenies are pro-nuclear power ? I repeat, you know, because it's like saying rocks fall upward, you are saying green parties are pro-nuclear power ?

      Can you even say that with a straight face ?

    8. Re:HO...LEE...SHIT. by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      I don't mean to sound like Glenn Beck here but I did ask a question, not make a statement (it was an honest question).

      Greenpeace is against nuclear power - they're eco-nuts, not environmentalists. The overwhelming majority of intelligent environmentalists (those you'd probably run into on Slashdot) are pro-nuclear, and the rest can go either way in my experience. On average I'd say "greenies" are neutral towards nuclear power. The attention-whoring eco-nuts are very much against it, but eco-nuttery != environmentalism

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
  129. I call bullshit by 2names · · Score: 2, Interesting

    6)Has to be able to support thousands of pounds while filled with liquid without breaking or deforming (this isn't an exaggeration. Cases of water will be stacked 6 or 7 tall on a pallet then two or three more full pallets will be stacked on top of that.)

    A friend of mine owns the local Culligan water business. I have been in the warehouse many times and have NEVER seen one water bottle holding up 5 or 6 layers of cases of water on its own. In fact, each layer of the pallets have always contained [gasp] the SAME NUMBER OF WATER BOTTLES, which means if the cases are stacked 7 high, each bottle on the bottom only needs to hold up the weight of 6 water bottles and a little extra weight from cardboard and plastic packaging, which doesn't amount to much. Even if you do stack pallets 3 high of 7 layers, each bottle on the bottom layers is probably holding up roughly 30 lbs, which is much less than your "thousands of pounds" claim.

    I should probably tell my friend to let the rest of the bottled water industry know that they no longer have to balance 6 layers of cases of water onto a single bottle. It gets tricky moving those stacks around with a skid loader.

    --
    "I'm just here to regulate funkiness."
    1. Re:I call bullshit by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Not the original poster but I'm taking a second to say 'you are a fucking idiot'.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    2. Re:I call bullshit by 2names · · Score: 1

      Would you care to explain why you think that?

      --
      "I'm just here to regulate funkiness."
    3. Re:I call bullshit by toddestan · · Score: 1

      Take a water bottle. Put the ends of the bottle in the palms of your hand and push together as hard as you can. The water bottle will deform, and I can guarantee you can't generate thousands of pounds of force with your bare hands. Thus, it is demonstratively false that a plastic water bottle must be able to hold up thousands of pounds of force.

    4. Re:I call bullshit by Rutefoot · · Score: 1

      I didn't mean to imply that each individual bottle has to hold the thousands of pounds of weight, but the bottle as a part of the whole layer.

      In response to Todd: It deforms on purpose. That is how it holds that weight. A bottle that doesn't flex will break under enough pressure. By allowing it to flex in a controlled manner (with the aid of an hourglass shape and ridges placed in certain locations to stop it from buckling) you can minimize the amount of material and maximize the strength by distributing the weight.

      So try taking an unopened bottle and do just what you said, try to crush it with one hand on the cap and one hand on the bottom. Try to get it to break. Let me know how that turns out for you.

    5. Re:I call bullshit by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      You knew exactly what the GGP poster meant yet wasted significant time composing a pointless rant in a lame attempt to make yourself feel smarter while attacking a straw man of your own construction.

      I called you out because it was the same kind of thing I would have done 20 years ago (I was a lot smarter back then).

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  130. Except by Snaller · · Score: 1

    Here we must recycle, its the law - so when we get rid of stuff we take the extra 5 mins to sort it. When the whole country does it, it makes a difference.

    --
    If Google really cared they would fix Android Chrome to reflow text, instead of discriminating
  131. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There are exceptions, but it is unlikely that Breashears would have intentionally chosen to retrace the old expeditions steps for documentary purposes off season.

    Because the global warming community has proven itself to be above gimmicks, half-truths, and hiding critical details.

    Even if the current group went up in-season, it does not mean that the old group did.

    Glaciers creeping around sounds awfully like an ice age, and creeping away sounds awfully like the opposite of an ice age. Notice your link starts in 1850. Good luck controlling the Earth's decision on this one.

  132. The pic from the article by rsax · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    I don't know, I checked out the image in the article and to me it just looks like everything looked pretty grey and dreary in 1921 whereas 2010 is cleary super awesome and colourful. Thank.. you climate change?

    1. Re:The pic from the article by conureman · · Score: 1

      That Bluish bit trickling off down the middle of the valley is the tap about to run dry for a whole lot of people. You're welcome!

      --
      The cost of that cleanup, of course, will be borne by taxpayers, not industry.
  133. You're making my point. by LKM · · Score: 1

    How Many Scientists Fabricate and Falsify Research?

    That's the point I was making. Other scientists replicate results, so sooner or later (usually sooner), when scientists falsify results, it always comes out. As you yourself point out, there's even scientific inquiry into how often scientists do this kind of stuff!

    1. Re:You're making my point. by Sarius64 · · Score: 1
      Your conclusion emphasized was:

      There is no incentive at all for thousands of scientists to be part of some kind of insane global conspiracy that misleads everybody else.

      Obviously, this was not similar to my point as I provided at least some evidence that your conclusion was wrong. Scientist has plenty of reasons to fabricate research. Dollars, influence, or fame. All provide historical proofs as to why scientists would lie. I believe your issue is that you believe scientists you support do not lie.

    2. Re:You're making my point. by LKM · · Score: 1

      You misread what I wrote. I did not, in fact, write that individual scientists (or even research groups) don't fabricate research. I wrote that, quoting what you just quoted, "There is no incentive at all for thousands of scientists to be part of some kind of insane global conspiracy that misleads everybody else". Science is a self-correcting endeavor; as you yourself have pointed out, scientists actually investigate stuff like fabricated research themselves. One of the goals of every scientist is to prove another scientist wrong, especially if it's about something that is widely accepted as true.

      And yes, a lot of the research into the climate was eventually shown to be wrong, or not precise enough, and a lot of the data we have now will eventually be shown to be imprecise, or even wrong. In fact, that's the whole point: if people wouldn't find flaws in the existing data, they could just stop researching it and call it a day. "Hey, we know everything there is to know about the climate, let's go home and watch some Futurama!"

      The fact that there is still a ton of research in this area is because we don't have all the answers, and a lot of the stuff we have is imprecise or possibly wrong. That's science. Today, we know more than we knew yesterday (and no, that doesn't mean that yesterday's predictions are useless, just not as precise as they could have been).

      I believe your issue is that you believe scientists you support do not lie.

      Again, you don't understand how science works. You don't "support" a bunch of scientists and then believe everything they say (well, you apparently do, but it's not what you're supposed to do).

    3. Re:You're making my point. by Sarius64 · · Score: 1

      You misread what I wrote. I did not, in fact, write that individual scientists (or even research groups) don't fabricate research. I wrote that, quoting what you just quoted, "There is no incentive at all for thousands of scientists to be part of some kind of insane global conspiracy that misleads everybody else".

      If I was too vague, I apologize. I'm calling you wrong and stating that there is plenty of incentive to the effect. My single article of evidence shows glaring issue with most scientific venues that compete for funding.

      Again, you don't understand how science works. You don't "support" a bunch of scientists and then believe everything they say (well, you apparently do, but it's not what you're supposed to do).

      Now you add mind reading to your skill set.

      My supposition was about the context of your comments. You were the one that beautify scientists' morals.

    4. Re:You're making my point. by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      My single article of evidence shows glaring issue with most scientific venues that compete for funding.

      The question was: "Please explain the mechanism. How could a research grant affect the outcome of the research? Do you have any concrete examples."

      A research grant can't affect the outcome because it needs to be independently verified by other scientists. The whole scientific process is created to catch cheating. To cheat, you would need to get thousands upon thousands of scientists from all over the world to enter into a major conspiracy, bigger than anything else in the history of the world. That's just crazy talk.

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
  134. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "always the evil warmists".

    Except for here and here and here, yes, that's right, every time the "funding corrupts the science" meme shows up, AGW researchers are being accused of corruption by "denialists". Absolutely every time.

    I even pointed this out to you politely above, and you responded to that before posting this. Well, I say "responded"... I mean "lashed out with an ad hominem personal remark based on unfounded assumptions, and when called out on these, didn't retract them or apologise."

  135. One datum missing by whitroth · · Score: 1

    I can hear the deniers of AGW screaming now... the article says the same location, but not the same date or time of year.

                          mark "please put those living in Cloud Cucooland to rest"

  136. False dilemma is the universal tactic here by sean.peters · · Score: 1

    These arguments are always presented the same way: our choices are 1) keep doing what we're doing, regardless of the resulting environmental devastation, or 2) go back to the Stone Age. But of course, in reality we have the third option of better energy conservation + non-polluting energy generation, which not only are pretty much solved problems, but actually save everyone a bunch of money in the long run. But they're not so good for the bottom line of outfits like ExxonMobil... so with the aid of a bunch of bought-off lawmakers and vast quantities of FUD, nothing gets done.

    1. Re:False dilemma is the universal tactic here by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      *ahem* allow me to insert a few links in your statement

      These arguments are always presented the same way: our choices are 1) keep doing what we're doing, regardless of the resulting environmental devastation, or 2) go back to the Stone Age. But of course, in reality we have the third option of better energy conservation + non-polluting energy generation, which not only are pretty much solved problems, but actually save everyone a bunch of money in the long run. But they're not so good for the bottom line of outfits like ExxonMobil... so with the aid of a bunch of bought-off lawmakers and vast quantities of FUD, nothing gets done.

      And I'll skip the conspiracies, after all, obviously I'm part of them, right ? Rex will pay me millions just for this post.

    2. Re:False dilemma is the universal tactic here by tbannist · · Score: 1

      Did you bother to read the links you inserted? Jevons paradox doesn't always apply and doesn't apply at all if taxes were used to offset price reductions and diminish demand. Additionally, regardless of whether better energy conservation actually reduces energy useage (and in the short term it has) it tends to raise living standards by making better use of energy. It really does seem only a fool would try to argue against it.

      As for the second law of thermodynamics, there just doesn't seem to be any sane way to apply it to the discussion at hand.

      Lastly, no, you're obviously not a part of the not-very secret conspiracy. You're quite obviously a useful idiot and nothing more. Not even your political masters respect you. This is not the first time these people have lobbied against the public interest and it will likely not be the last, as it can be very profitable to defend the wealthy against the public.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    3. Re:False dilemma is the universal tactic here by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      Perhaps you should add to your signature :

      May I suggest :

      Fanatically anti-fanatical

      &

      Consistently inconsistent

      Adding taxes is going to improve the economy. You know, even Karl Marx didn't dare to go that far.

    4. Re:False dilemma is the universal tactic here by tbannist · · Score: 1

      Of course, I didn't say that at all, I said taxes could be used to combat increased usage due to increased efficiency and that even if that doesn't work, it would boost living standards to pursue that efficiency.

      You seem to have trouble reading what people write instead of what you would like them to have written.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    5. Re:False dilemma is the universal tactic here by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      So adding taxes will :
      a) damage the economy
      b) boost living standards

      Unless I'm once again "reading what I want you to have written" you might want to look into that signature change to "consistently inconsistent" again.

      You know, I've always wondered and you seem the perfect person to ask : where I can get me some water that's not wet ?

    6. Re:False dilemma is the universal tactic here by wrex · · Score: 0

      Define "wet". Ice perhaps. lol.

      --
      http://wrexallen.blogspot.com/
  137. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

    Except for here and here and here, yes, that's right, every time the "funding corrupts the science" meme shows up, AGW researchers are being accused of corruption by "denialists". Absolutely every time.

    1. ScienceBlogs.com Deals With Community Backlash Over PepsiCo Column
      Nothing to to with climate science. Bloggers complaining about their blog collective being corrupted by money, not people complaining about research being corrupted.
    2. Avoiding GM Foods? Monsanto Says You're Overly Fussy
      Nothing to do with climate science, the BBC printing an op-ed piece from the famous John Innes triffid breeding station without revealing the writers affiliation.(*)
    3. Big Tobacco Funded Anti-Global Warming Messages
      Nothing to do with science - "big tobacco" being accused of funding political action.

    So it's bloggers with twisted nickers, more dodgy stuff from UEA and and "astroturf".

    What does this have to do with research funding again?

    ((*) When I was at UEA in 1977-1980 we all knew what was going on behind those strong fences with bright floodlights at night. The CRU was obviously set up as a cover operation to hide what the loonies in the John Innes centre were up to).

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  138. Climbers have been documenting glacial retreat by snowwrestler · · Score: 1

    See for instance: http://www.americanalpineclub.org/pt/climbatology, which is a study similar to the one Breashears just did. Or http://www.tipping-points.com/?p=44, which is an article that ran in Climbing Magazine in 2002.

    I have a copy of Climbing Magazine from the mid-1990s that has a guide to climbing in the Cordillera Blanca of Peru. Many of the routes in that guide are now unclimbable because the ice and snow on the routes have melted, leaving weak, shattered rock that is unsafe for climbing.

    It's a real phenomenon, and not just in the Himalaya. How much is due to temperature changes vs. precipitation changes vs. melting accelerants is an open question, and probably the factors are a bit different for different ranges. But for whatever reason, most mountain glaciers around the world seem to be losing mass.

    --
    Build a man a fire, he's warm for one night. Set him on fire, and he's warm for the rest of his life.
  139. What? by sean.peters · · Score: 1

    Half your post is pretty much an off-topic, protectionist rant - I'm not sure what it has to do with the topic of global warming. But this:

    So if someone comes up with a real plan, like closing down all coal fired plants and replacing them with a combination of nuclear, wind, molten salt solar, and other long term zero carbon energy sources? I'll be the first one on the bandwagon. But carbon trading is nothing but a scam, a Catholic indulgences scheme cooked up by the same folks that gave you credit default swaps to yet again bleed cash from what little the American people have.

    I'm sorry, dude, but this is freaking ridiculous. There's two ways you can get the results you're talking about: 1) Soviet-style command economy measures, where the gov't just orders the coal plants shut down and new green plants built, or 2) market-driven measures (yes, cap & trade) which essentially prices carbon based fuel out of the market. 1) has the advantage of being quick, but it's politically impossible, probably illegal, and this kind of thing frequently results in distortions of the energy market - plants are built in powerful lawmakers' jurisdictions rather than where they're needed, and using technology built in powerful lawmakers' districts rather than the most effective technology.

    2) avoids all that, by just using pricing mechanisms to make coal fired plants uneconomical to continue operating. It's unquestionably legal (similar plans are in place to reduce other pollutants) and more efficient because it doesn't pick favorite sites or technologies.

    What about the costs? Ask fisherman on the Gulf Coast what Deepwater Horizon is costing them. Or hotel operators along the beaches. Ask the families of dead coal miners in Appalachia, and the people whose entire landscapes have been destroyed in mountain-leveling operations. Ask the people suffering from various pollution-related illnesses. Ask the people who can't eat fish more than once a week because it's poisoned with mercury (from burning coal). The point: there are costs no matter what we do. Green power is cheaper in the long run, and if we don't do cap & trade, what? A magic wand? And while there are substantial change-over costs to get there, it's a lot cheaper than, say, invading random countries in the Middle East and occupying them for decades so as to ensure a steady oil supply.

    1. Re:What? by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      For cap and trade India and China have to get onboard, so how exactly is it protectionist (I looove how those that enjoy the currently rigged free market scream protectionist, yet when India and China do THE EXACT SAME THING it is called nationalist and ignored) to use the ONLY tool we have, our money, to get them onboard? Do you have ANY idea what will happen if cap and trade is passed and they aren't on board? I hope you don't like having a job, because what little business we have left will jump to the third world like rats leaving the Titanic to avoid crap and trade.

      Maybe you should just watch the video and see exactly what you are advocating. if you'd like I can wallpaper this post with links showing even in the limited capacity cap and trade has been done there have already been massive scams. All cap and trade is is socialism for the rich. It will do NOTHING, I repeat NOTHING about AGW, it will only line the pockets of Goldman Sachs and the other leeches like Rev Al Gore. The biggest polluters like coal plants will be given indulgences from mommy government leaving only YOU, the American taxpayer, who don't have the lobbyists to bribe your reps, paying the bill. It is "too big to fail" and credit defaults all rolled into one.

      Meanwhile China and India along with the rest of the third world will tell you to stick it and they will become the first world while the west goes to shit. So if you are all for massive wealth redistribution, taking what's left of that 15% we have to scrape for and giving it to the 1%ers, go right ahead with cap and trade. But your are deluding yourself if you think it will do anything about AGW. Cap and trade isn't a solution, it is just feeding on the misery of others.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    2. Re:What? by tbannist · · Score: 1

      This isn't really true. Cap and trade is a poor solution to the problem, but it has, in fact, worked in the past to reduce overall emissions. Are you old enough to remember Acid Rain? The United States approach to reducing Acid Rain was cap and trade. The U.S. reduced emissions by about 40%, however, traditional regulation in the E.U. reduced emissions by about 70%. So yes, cap and trade is an inefficient regulator.

      However, the reason why cap and trade is becoming the system of choice for dealing with AGW has a lot to do with people like you who rail against doing anything about AGW. The preferred solution, regulation, is heavy lobbied against by the people who stand to loose money due to regulation and the people who think they will make a lot of money from trading emission allowances. Cap and trade is a concession to get the would be traders on board to get a solution. Everyone knows it's a poor solution to the problem, but in democracies you get the best solution you can drum up support for.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    3. Re:What? by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      "People like me"? Excuse me, show me where I said I was against regulation. What I said I was against was snake oil, and giving the 1% giant checks fed off the misery of others, and that is EXACTLY what crap and trade is! You want to see what'll happen with crap and trade, here you go: crap and trade is passed, senators lobby for the big coal barons, who get indulgences that let them pollute ALL THEY WANT. Same will go for big oil, and any other corp that writes big checks. So who is left paying the bill for crap and trade? Look into the mirror pal, you're looking at him.

      You want to fix AGW, it's simple: Quit flushing billions down third world countries with shitty wars, cut off ALL aid, period, and use that money to invest here in the USA in tech like nuclear, wind, and molten salt solar, and watch our carbon go down while our profits go up! Wow, I'm a genius, why hasn't anyone in the AGW camp thought of that? Simple, they have, but they can't leech massive profits from it like crap and trade. Look up "Al Gore Lear Jet Carbon Neutral" to see the kinds of total bullshit you'll get under crap and trade. The rich will simply pay shell corps they own for indulgences for their 2MPG planes and boats, while you get $9 a gallon gas and a 150% jump in your heating bills. Now does THAT seem like a "real solution" to you?

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
  140. Obvious by DarthVain · · Score: 1

    I think it is obvious what happened. The largest event between 1929 and today was WW2. Hitler caused the shrinking of the glaciers.

    Quid Pro Quo - Hitler is Causing Climate Change!

    Surely two pieces of evidence is enough for anybody!

    They say a "Picture is worth a thousand words", and by my estimation that gives us about 2000, which is about the length of your average 1st year university enviromental sciences paper, conclusively proving Climate Change to be evaluated by some tired TA.

    Yes I was an ES major once upon a time, and took ES100 and passed it (barely), therefor I am ultimately qualified to critique this topic! I may have skipped every single lecture, with the exception of one, which we watched a movie, however I did skim over the textbook before the final exam, and managed to pull off an overall passing grade.

    Anyway before I get flamed to death, I am mostly just joking around. However I will point out that this only proves that there is less glacier today than they had in 1929, it doesn't prove climate change as so many are wont to point out. As the tired old phrase that gets pointed out about every science academic topic, usually making big headlines, "Cause VS Causality" needs to be addressed before ones jumps to conclusions. I also like the Climatologists who dislike anyone outside their "order" commenting on their holy book of proof, when the only ones qualified to look at the glacier, take measurements and come up with any kind of conclusion would be a Geographer or Geologist with a Geofluvial background and understands the dynamics and processes at work at the time scales used to working in geologic time, but whatever.

  141. Mtn glacier loss is a real phenomenon by snowwrestler · · Score: 1

    You're criticizing one set of photos, probably because that's all you know about, from this story.

    If you were plugged into the climbing community you would know that very many mountain glaciers and permanent snowfields are in retreat worldwide. It's well known among mtn guides that many high-mountain routes in South America, for instance, have had to change over the past few decades as the size of glaciers and snowfields have decreased. This particular story has happened to make it into the mainstream press but it's far from the only one that climbers have been talking about.

    You are right that this data does not prove one or another theory as to why it is happening. But my question is--why are you so eager to attack its validity? You spent the 2nd half of your post doing so. You're right that pictures around Everest don't prove a global phenomenon, but they don't disprove it either.

    If you really want to know about the global situation you can find out pretty easily by contacting guide services working in the high mountains of the world. They spend more time there than anyone else.

    --
    Build a man a fire, he's warm for one night. Set him on fire, and he's warm for the rest of his life.
  142. Photo dates? by craftycoder · · Score: 1

    The story didn't mention if the photos were taken at the same time of year, only the same place. I wonder if that has anything to do with the apparent results.

  143. Oil dependency is political by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That would shift (the rest of) the political power from the browns to the nerds. You know, from the Texas oil barons and their crowd to the telcos and Silicon Valley trolls.

    What it's really all about is which hobnailed boot will be pressed against the face of humanity in the future. The browns want to keep their boot where it is now. The nerds want to substitute their birkenstocks.

    Everyone else really wants "none of the above"....

  144. Re:Dear moron... by kingramon0 · · Score: 1

    It is cold there all the time, but it is not equally cold all year. Notice that TFA said that

    "The melt waters of these high altitude glaciers supply crucial seasonal flows to the Ganges, Brahmaputra, Salween, Irrawaddy, Mekong, Yangtze and Yellow rivers, which hundreds of millions of people downstream depend on for their livelihoods,"

    That means the ice DOES naturally melt at certain times of the year, so the time of year that the new photo was taken IS relevant, and conspicuously absent from the article.

  145. Problem with the last paragraph by sean.peters · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Now this is an interesting question. In the long term the most effective means would likely be to control the amount of sunlight that reaches Earth with space-based sunshades and mirors, but right now we don't really have many tools besides controlling the levels of greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere.

    There are a lot of problems with sunshade methods of climate control. The most realistic methods involve putting reflective particles (sulfates or water droplets) into the stratosphere.

    • These methods reduce the earth's average temperature, but (per modeling) still result in significant warmups in polar regions (they work by slowing down warming in equatorial regions). Problem: ocean currents are driven mainly by temperature differences between the warm equator and cold poles. If this temperature differential continues to be reduced, do the currents slow down or stop? If that happens, do the oceans become stagnant? Do they continue to produce sufficient O2, etc? No one knows.
    • This does nothing to address another problem with high CO2 in the atmosphere: ocean acidification (sulfates might even make the problem worse, as they're acidic). We know that molluscs can't build their shells below a certain pH... if there's a massive mollusc die-off, what does that mean for the ocean ecosystem? No one knows. Are there other bad effects? No one knows.
    • These methods worsen a less remarked-upon phenomenon: global dimming. Sounds funny, but the amount of light reaching the earth's surface has been gradually decreasing since measurements started to be taken in the 50's. There are real concerns that crops that require intense light (example: tomatoes) may suffer productivity losses. Are there other ecological effects? No one knows.
    • Once you start with these methods, you're stuck: if you ever stop, all the warming you were holding at bay comes back with a vengeance, in a period of a few years. Catastrophic doesn't begin to describe it. There's also the danger that people will act as if the problem is solved and go back to profligate use of fossil fuel, causing warming to worsen again.

    I won't even bother discussing space umbrellas and the like. If we can't afford to switch to green energy, we really can't afford these. It's pretty much pie-in-the-sky.

    Bottom line: the whole idea of geoengineering on this scale is a giant exercise in "what could possibly go wrong?" Trying to do this on the only planet you have to live on is not much short of crazy. We know the cause of global warming, and we know how to mitigate it - burn less carbon. So why don't we just get started?

    1. Re:Problem with the last paragraph by ultranova · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Bottom line: the whole idea of geoengineering on this scale is a giant exercise in "what could possibly go wrong?" Trying to do this on the only planet you have to live on is not much short of crazy.

      That being the reason why I said it's a long-term solution :). The thing is, the Sun is slowly but surely getting hotter due to its evolution in the Main Series, so eventually we must do this if we wish to keep Earth habitable. Of course it'll be a few million years more, but still... In a way we evolved in the last possible moment.

      We know the cause of global warming, and we know how to mitigate it - burn less carbon. So why don't we just get started?

      The Libertarians are against it because it'll require government regulation to force power producers to bear the external costs. The Conservatists are against it because it might lessen corporate profits. The Greens are against nuclear power, thus forcing us to keep using polluting oil and coal instead. Everyone is against windmills at sea because they "spoil the view".

      Basically, any attempt to transfer to green power has to fight both the oh-so-fashionable right-wing ideologue and corporate lobbyists, and then run the gauntlet of NIMBY. It's hopeless. We'd better just get used to live with a superwarm planet, and energy shortage once oil runs out. Any attempt to do something about it runs against the brick wall of the usual assholes, both well-meaning and malicious.

      I can only hope that humanity survives long enough to get over its fear of nuclear power, and uses it to colonizes a few other planets, to serve as our springboard to the stars. The other choice is that we die, and Earth dies once Sun gets bright enough.

      I also hope there's a special place in Hell for BP executives and Greenpeace members both.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

  146. This is an important but seldom made point by sean.peters · · Score: 1

    Switching to green energy would be worthwhile even in the absence of global warming. We could avoid all sorts of air and water pollution (with attendant cost savings), avoid sending money by the supertanker load to the middle east, achieve significant defense savings by not having to police the middle east (the region's importance is largely driven by our need to secure oil resources), remove our need to knock down entire mountains for coal (with attendant safety hazards for miners), eliminate hugely costly environmental disasters like Deepwater Horizon, etc, etc. The bottom line here is economic: we'd save a lot of money in the long run if we'd get our ass in gear and started the switch to clean energy now.

  147. Sublimation probably only a tiny effect by snowwrestler · · Score: 1

    Sublimation is what happens when ice is exposed at below freezing temperatures to dry air. But most of the ice in mountain glaciers is covered with snow, especially when the ambient temperature is significantly below freezing (i.e. during winter). Winter is a period of growth for a mountain glacier--even a mountain glacier that is in retreat over a longer time scale.

    During the summer, the snow cover might melt off, directly exposing ice. Of course, if it's warm enough to melt the snow cover, it's warm enough to melt the ice too.

    Sublimation does happen on high mountains but mostly to steep or vertical ice faces, which do not develop a protective cover of snow during the winter.

    --
    Build a man a fire, he's warm for one night. Set him on fire, and he's warm for the rest of his life.
    1. Re:Sublimation probably only a tiny effect by scorp1us · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't be so dismissive. You can readthis report

      Basically, what happens when you make the base of the mountains unable to trap moisture. You get less snow, which is undoubtedly less protection for the glacier. It may even manifest as increased melt, but it is not a temperature-induced melt. It all stems from environment becoming drier, and less water product deposited and even more transported away.

      To say the glaciers are shrinking because of temperature increase (melt) is to completely ignore the nature of glaciers and reduce it to one thing: temperature. Glaciers are also made of water.

      Also see this, not pay-walled

      --
      Slashdot's rate-of-post filter: Preventing you from posting too many great ideas at once.
    2. Re:Sublimation probably only a tiny effect by snowwrestler · · Score: 1

      If your environment is drier, and you get less snow during the winter, your glacier will shrink even if the amount of ablation remains constant. No need to posit increased sublimation.

      --
      Build a man a fire, he's warm for one night. Set him on fire, and he's warm for the rest of his life.
    3. Re:Sublimation probably only a tiny effect by scorp1us · · Score: 1

      Completely true. But there is a difference between "drier" and "hotter".

      --
      Slashdot's rate-of-post filter: Preventing you from posting too many great ideas at once.
    4. Re:Sublimation probably only a tiny effect by snowwrestler · · Score: 1

      Agreed. I think the only place I mentioned heat is my sig. :-)

      --
      Build a man a fire, he's warm for one night. Set him on fire, and he's warm for the rest of his life.
  148. Re:More than that, bacteria changed the Earth itse by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nice generalization ya got there. Be a shame if something was to happen to it.

  149. One of the dumbest arguments out there by sean.peters · · Score: 1

    Do you believe that the current environmental "stasis" (however incredibly brief it is, by any measure of geologic time) is somehow "good" and any deviation from this stasis is "bad"?

    Our society has grown up under the climactic conditions that have been prevailing since the retreat of the last glaciation. By definition, changes in our current environmental conditions are going to result in things like changes in rainfall patterns (affecting crops), changes in sea level (as Antarctica and Greenland ice sheets melt), and the resulting human migrations and social changes. So, in answer to your question: yes, deviation from the current conditions are bad. This is not a hard concept to understand.

  150. By Neruos by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Going "green" is big businesses method of capturing the morons who think that they actually have a force in the world.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse_gas

    If you want to fix all the temp issues then develop a method of removing the greenhouse gas layer that is in the atmosphere.

  151. True, but by sean.peters · · Score: 1

    As an exercise of rhetoric, it is all very fine and dandy that the developing countries say that their present day pollution should not count towards negotiated limits in the way that England didn't have such limits during the XIX century... but now if the damage is visible in the medium turn and directly in the territories and population of India and China, then let's see if they will take the driver's seat in negotiations and mitigating the effects of their pollution.

    Whether or not it's fair for developing countries to be exempted from carbon limits, from the perspective of a 1st world person, is kind of beside the point. Whether we can get China onboard is one issue, and getting our own house in order is another. We shouldn't link one to the other - the idea that no one can do anything until everyone is ready to do something is a recipe for stasis.

  152. I was speaking in Moron... by denzacar · · Score: 1

    Note the "all caps speak" as well as generous use of bold all caps and exclamation marks.
    Sadly, sometimes you must use such a crude language and sacrifice lower caps in order to explain something to someone on the other side of the intellectual barrier.
    Simplifications and over-explanations such as "it is colder on the mountain the higher up you go" are also crucial when trying to translate something to Moron.
    You see... Morons don't have the mental capacity to understand such concept when they are bound to single word.
    So you must cast you net very wide and stretch the concept such as "Mount Everest==cold" over many words.
    And you can't just "think in Moron" as that would get you nowhere, and would kind of defeat the purpose of your argument.

    Also, note the difference from the tone of my second post in this particular thread which was written in Idiot.
    Very similar BUT with Idiot you MUST think in that particular language.
    Otherwise it all just gets lost in translation.

    That means the ice DOES naturally melt at certain times of the year, so the time of year that the new photo was taken IS relevant, and conspicuously absent from the article.

    Indeed, it IS relevant.
    Particularly since Mallory's Reconnaissance Expedition was there from July to September 1921, the part of the year we here on the Northern half of the planet Earth like to refer to as "summer" - which is characteristically related to longer and hotter days.
    While on the other hand David Breashears took those shots in April of 2010.
    Part of the year known as "spring", characteristically related to still relatively lower temperatures (compared to that "summer" thing) and high chances of rainfall. Which translates into snowfall high up in the mountains, naturally.

    Oh and, glaciers don't disappear over the summer.
    We are talking permanent ice caps here consisting of HUGE chunks of ice in a very cold environment.
    The fact that they are powering all those rivers mentioned in TFA should be telling you something.

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
    1. Re:I was speaking in Moron... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      YES! THANK YOU DENZACAR!

      "Mallory's Reconnaissance Expedition was there from July to September 1921"
      "David Breashears took those shots in April of 2010"

      That is just the info I was looking for.
      WTH it's absent from the article is beyond me.

      Thank you for that research. If I had mod points I'd send some your way right now.

      --
      from the anonymous moron

  153. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by Weedhopper · · Score: 1

    At one time, for example, people thought the melting glaciers off Kilimanjaro was caused by global warming, but it turned out it was mainly caused by deforestation.

    The deglaciation of Kilimanjaro is not due to just one cause. Anyone who says it is, isn't really fully considering the problem.

  154. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by Weedhopper · · Score: 1

    Anyone who claims that deglaciation is due to any one cause isn't fully considering the problem. Maybe you ought to reconsider rephrasing your first paragraph so it's not inconsistent with the second?

  155. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    I didn't claim that deglaciation (or in this case, the deglaciation of Kilimanjaro) was due to any one cause.

    --
    Qxe4
  156. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by rovolo · · Score: 1

    Please explain the mechanism.

    One such mechanism is that you can choose the researchers you fund. Then, results that jive with your purpose will be over-represented. I'm not saying that such a thing is happening here, because I don't think that there is enough funding to skew results in favor of AGW, but we should remember that cigarette companies planted uncertainty in the danger associated with smoking. Eventually the more correct result does reign I think, but there are advantages to lengthening the period of uncertainty.

  157. PROOOOOOOF! by DarrenBaker · · Score: 1

    Here is a photo of my house in winter, covered in snow. Here is a photo of my house in summer, surrounded by green, leafy trees. From this, we can deduce that global warming has forever changed my local environment. The snow, which we know from the first photograph has always been here, is now gone forever, as proven by the second photograph.

    1. Re:PROOOOOOOF! by PhilHibbs · · Score: 1

      Snow != glacier - and anyway, the 1921 photo was taken in september

    2. Re:PROOOOOOOF! by DarrenBaker · · Score: 1

      It's not about snow, it's about context.

  158. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

    You mean the way that the grant money at the CRU went from thousands to millions? Oh that's right, that was for supportingAGW.
    Please provide some evidence for you assertion regarding the reverse. Everything I have seen says that in total the usual suspects (oil companies, coal companies, etc) have spent more money on grants to AGW promoters than they have to AGW skeptics. In addition, there are all those organizations that have billions tied up betting on the policy changes that AGW Alarmists promote (GE, etc).

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  159. Re:Offtopic blurt. by conureman · · Score: 1

    Sorry, Crow, I didn't research properly on your comment's context. I was referring to what is common knowledge to Botanists et al. "I find it hard to put too much concern in climate readings that only go back about 100 years" is what I was responding to. My bad.

    --
    The cost of that cleanup, of course, will be borne by taxpayers, not industry.
  160. You are worried about the wrong thing. by StormBear · · Score: 1

    So the UN was off by 10 years? That is the chief complaint?

    Our glacial is are melting and we are bitching about who is more wrong in the estimation, instead of bitching about nothing being done to prevent it in the first place.

  161. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by hsthompson69 · · Score: 1

    Well, if you're super poor, and burning wood or dung for fuel, the availability of cheap oil (and therefore cheap kerosene, or gasoline) can make a huge difference in quality of life.

    Available energy per capita maps quite nicely to quality of life, so if you're trying to help the poorest of the poor, making energy cheaper is the best way to raise them out of poverty, period.

  162. Re:Photos from the same spot but not the same seas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "The worldwide retreat of glaciers is well established and is know to acutely affect the Himalayas, potentially threatening water supplies for millions of people. "

    If the glacier's melt is providing the water supply, wouldn't you expect the glaciers to get smaller? How is the water in the glaciers replenished?

  163. If the cap fits by Capsaicin · · Score: 1

    I'm suggesting equating standpoints you don't like with holocaust denialism trivializes the holocaust and its unsavoury denialists.

    Sure, and personally I wouldn't use the term to describe people who merely have a standpoint I don't like. I would restrict it's use to people who practise denialism, of whatever flavour. Nor is calling a climate science denialist a 'denialist' equating them with a holocaust denialist, though obviously for some people a connotation is raised. Climate denialists clearly do not necessarily deny that the holocaust happened. OTOH, some similarities in their MO, --eg. the quack-chemistry which proves the Zyklon-B could not possibly have been used to gas victims and the quack-climatology which proves that human activity could not possibly play a role in observed climate change, --cannot be ignored.

    In any case, what's the hangup with holocaust deniers anyway? They're a harmless enough bunch of nutters. Sure they cause offence, but how many people have been killed as a result of David Irving's writings? Constrast this to the effect of Thabo Mbeki's endorsement of AIDS denialism in facilitating the spread of HIV, at a time when it was perhaps the most critical to take action. And though it is too early to tell, to the best of our current knowledge the human misery to which climate denialists are contributing will be orders of magnitude greater still. Really for a genocidal ;) climate science denialist to complain about comparison to an unsavory holocaust denier seems like a murderer complaining of being compared to a pick-pocket.

    Trying to tar your opponents with that particular brush is an unworthy tactic ...

    OK, let's recap what's happened in this thread. Someone made a joke which used the word 'denialist,' someone else tried the reverse Godwin "you're calling us holocaust deniers," and I pointed out that denialism is a term which covers much more than merely holocaust denialism. Personally if I hear the unmarked case 'denialist' I assume we are talking climate nowadays. Some people would have us believe they think of holocaust deniers and that they are unable to separate the terms even when the case is marked with "climate science," or "AIDS" or whatever. Twenty years from now when some new species of denialist is properly called a denialist they might well retort "oh you are calling me a climate denialist." Can't be helped.

    ... which alienates rather than convinces your opponents.

    Again personally I'll leave it to the denialists to "convince" with whatever persuasion techniques they choose to employ. Well no I won't leave them, I'll just call a spade a spade. You are free to be offended by that.

    Now, 'uncritical skepticism' I might buy as a term. Think about it.

    For some odd reason it makes me think of the line from Scott, "Oh what a tangled web we weave, when first we practise to deceive." You would prefer so palpable a contradiction in terms to a clear word which accurately denotes the activity the perpertor is engaged in?!

    You see, as a sceptic, it's my time to be offended at the idea that propagandists who spread lies and undermine science should be honoured with this term. Note also that I distinguish climate sceptics from climate denialists.

    It seems that there are people out there who simply want to prohibit the use of a particular term with a very clearly defined meaning from ever being employed because of their particular political sensitivities. That's just like Hitler!

    --
    Better to be despised for too anxious apprehensions, than ruined by too confident a security. --Edmund Burke
    1. Re:If the cap fits by deoxyribonucleose · · Score: 1

      I must offer my heartfelt apologies. Sometimes, rhetoric is used to convey insights between people in a debate, within the precept of 'I may be wrong and you may be right: come let us reason together.' Sometimes, rhetoric is used to convince people of the value of an idea, whether or not they entertained it themselves earlier. But in this case, rhetoric is apparently being used to build group cohesion by disparaging your perceived opponents, associating them with the holocaust denialists, who are perceived as harmless only by those who fail to remember or refuse to understand their 20th century history. I failed to see this: more fool I.

      I therefore wish you good luck with your self-esteem and cosy groupthink: do keep on using whatever terms you wish, since you aren't interested in convincing anybody outside your group. After all, a little polarization is a small price to pay for feeling good about oneself.

  164. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

    You mean the way that the grant money at the CRU went from thousands to millions? Oh that's right, that was for supporting AGW.

    No it wasn't, it was for researching climate.

    More baseless ad-hominem attacks. I'm geting bored.

    Everything I have seen says that in total the usual suspects (oil companies, coal companies, etc) have spent more money on grants to AGW promoters than they have to AGW skeptics

    The reason for that is simple - AGW "skeptics" don't do any science, so obviously they don't get funding to do research.

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  165. just wondering ... by knacjesus · · Score: 1

    did anyone notice slashdot's story has 1929 for the pictures being taken ... but the article lists 1921 and that the original photographer died in 1924 ... a correction is maybe needed ?? my 2 ... no change needed ...

    --
    my 2 cents ... no changed needed ...
  166. Re:Yes, you can trust me, I'm a professor by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

    One such mechanism is that you can choose the researchers you fund. Then, results that jive with your purpose will be over-represented.

    But if that were the case there would be a group of researchers who have published papers that refute the "consensus" on AGW, then given up because they can't get any grants, or reversed their positions and started getting money.

    Where are they?

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  167. How's this for denial? by dbIII · · Score: 1

    The OP stated that 80's technology was crappy. I just said that it is what we have today AND hasn't killed anyone.

    1986 happened and a lot of people did die. The old plants you pretend were good enough were modified a lot after that wake up call, and others that couldn't be were shut down.

    1. Re:How's this for denial? by sycodon · · Score: 1

      "Funny, because except for 1 accidents (in the U.S, in which no one died)"

      http://slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=1723706&cid=32950064

      Stick to the conversation

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    2. Re:How's this for denial? by dbIII · · Score: 1

      The big old soviet stuff is a lot more similar to the big old US stuff than you think. Anyway, instead of pretending I'm answering a previous post that was answered by somebody else why don't you read the new article about where nuclear technology is in 2010. You don't need enormous reactors to get a lot of steam - lots of little ones that are not prone to catastrophic failure can do the same job.
      The economy of scale from having big old plants is removed by the costs required to guard against failure and the extra costs of having expensive components under more extreme conditions than smaller reactors (expensive materials and frequent replacement). While some idiots like to ignore what happened in 1986 the result in the USA is that a lot more care has been taken since then with inspection and maintainance and that has pushed up the cost of operation of large reactors. You have to shut the entire thing down just to take a look at it. There is also a far smaller tolerance for defects - a small crack that would have been left alone in 1985 is now seen as a reason to keep everything shut down until it's fixed. In areas with a lot of neutron bombardment and/or high temperature and stress you get a lot of microcracking which eventually leads to full sized cracks but it may take decades - so now with a lower tolerance for defects there is a lot more downtime and a lot of early replacement of components going on.

  168. Google Earth view by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    http://dl.dropbox.com/u/1182463/Everest%20Glacier.kmz

  169. Technology is everything by dubsnipe · · Score: 1

    Gotta love the use of new technology on this article: photography. It makes us wonder how this hadn't been noticed earlier. Sounds as if denialists are really denying reality.

  170. Water levels by jscotta44 · · Score: 1

    I keep waiting, at my beach house, for the water levels to rise. And waiting. And waiting. I thought that with the reported rise in global temperatures due to human activity, that I would see it. I guess that water levels rising due to human caused global warming has its own physics and does not rise in all places around the world. Just those out of the way places where false reports cannot be verified by little ol' me sitting on my local beach for the past fifty years and watching the water at the same level. There has been one recent change on my beach–an occasional tar ball from that little leak off-shore.

  171. Greens and nuclear by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

    Let's pretend you don't know this yet : anyone who's "against global warming" in the democrat party is a whole lot more against nuclear power.

    Let's pretend, however unlikely it sounds, that this is a discovery for you.

    example :

    http://www.green-blog.org/2009/03/18/al-gore-nuclear-power-is-not-the-answer-to-our-energy-and-climate-crisis/

    “It’s always nice when people agree with you. We’ve maintained that nuclear power is a dangerous distraction to the real solutions to the climate crisis for a long time now. It’s dirty, it’s unsafe, it’s a threat to world peace and it is terribly, terribly expensive.”

    When people are starting to use multiple unfounded insults to describe something, it generally means they don't like it.

    1. Re:Greens and nuclear by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Yes, because I mentioned the Democratic party. No, wait, I didn't, I guess someone else did. No, they didn't either.

      Anyway, pretending the Democratic party is relevant here...so, to talk about the 'Democratic party', you quoted fucking Greenpeace? When did they become the representative of the Democratic party's stance on environmentalism? Greenpeace isn't even American.

      You could have at least picked an American environmental group, like the Sierra Club, which would have had a better claim to representing 'Demcratic thought'...oh, wait, they aren't opposed to nuclear power. Decades ago they were opposed to nuclear power until safety issues were worked out, but haven't made a comment on normal nuclear reactors in thirty years. But, of course, they aren't the Democrats either.

      Al Gore, who doesn't really represent the Democratic party's stance either, said, 'I’m not a reflexive opponent of nuclear. I used to be enthusiastic about it, but I’m now sceptical about it.'

      Which, I must point out, the article says was a surprising comment, which rather implies that other pro-environmental people tend to lean towards nuclear, and it is Al Gore (Who, I must point out, has never been chosen to represent the Democratic party in any way since taking his strong environmental stance) who is the outlier.

      And he's the outlier in that he's less enthusiastic about nuclear power. Not against it. He basically says 'Companies might not want to invest in it', and 'We have to worry about nuclear weapons', not 'We shouldn't build any'.

      So, you misrepresent me as being 'pro-Democratic methods of energy production', then you misrepresent them as saying something that Greenpeace believes by quoting an article about how a Democratic politician surprisingly isn't entirely in favor of nuclear power.

      You are, frankly, a liar.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?