The Surprising Statistics Behind Flash and Apple
Barence writes "PC Pro's Tom Arah has dug up some statistics that cast severe doubt over Steve Jobs' assertion that Flash is the technology of the past, and Apple's iOS is the platform of the future. He quibbles with Net Applications' assertion that iOS growth is 'massive,' considering that mobile accounts for only 2.6% of web views, and the iOS share stands at only 1.1%. By comparison, Silverlight penetration now stands at 51% while 97% of web surfers have Flash installed, according to Stat Owl. 'At least when Bill Gates held the web to ransom he had the decency to first establish a dominant position,' Arah claims. 'In Steve Jobs' case, with only 1.1% market share, the would-be emperor isn't even wearing any clothes.'"
Because Firefox users have no need for flash or Ad blockers do they.
How to we mark an entire story as -1, Flamebait?
Trolling is a art,
Who funded this study?
or statistician misrepresents the truth?
How is SJ holding the web at ransom if he is in such a weak position?
Trying to win an argument on its merits as opposed to by leveraging your monopoly position seems like a very decent thing to do.
Very simple.
Proprietary (yes comment on my spelling, I'm drunk) is not the way to go.
Open source Flash or move on to other technologies, sure +/- 4 years. We'll survive.
GO HITLER.
I've read a recent statistic that has said that of the 500m Facebook users, 100m visit via the iPhone. So 2% of web views depends entirely on the sites you count, and whether those sites actually make money from their web presence.
Back when Apple stopped shipping floppy drives with their computers just about 99% of 'manufactured' computers shipped with floppy drives. People said Apple was moving too fast. Now, a decade or so later, floppies have gone the way of the dinosaur.
There's probably quite a lot to make that analogy faulty. But I think Apple isn't holding anything randsom. They're just knowingly not supporting (what they see to be) old software.
PS: I don't reply to ACs.
On the other hand, Steve Jobs was right. This is a bigger problem for Adobe. Let them admit thet they need some help wit Flash...maybe Linus hackers can help out.
Bottom line: Flash sucks on Android big time.
'Installed' doesn't mean 'enabled'. Plus, 87% of all statistics are made up.
Will this be remembered as the "Get a horse!" mis-statement of years past?
This:
mobile accounts for only 2.6% of web views, and the iOS share stands at only 1.1%.
is presumably measured over a single set time period and is not a rate of change. It says nothing about this:
iOS growth is "massive"
I have no idea what the ransom bit is on about tho. Troll?
"Welcome to our world. We are the wasted youth. And we are the future too." Yes, I know these are stupid lyrics.
Just because hundreds of millions of people have it installed, doesn't mean they like it.
Silverlight is probably closer to what Flash's market penetration would be if Flash hadn't become a compulsory install. If it weren't installed by default. SIlverlight is only installed because it blocks the path to content that people want to see. There's no SilverlightTube (yet). Few Silverlight webgames. It's only there because people want access to what it blocks.
When the day comes where it isn't assumed you need Flash player in order to be a good Internet consumer, you can expect to see it's market share plummet.
The numbers also don't account for the amount of frustration Flash causes people who have to use it. It's only been recently (version 10.1.18xxxxxx) that I can run Flash on my MacBook and not have it cripple the performance.
I think they should give it a few years and see what happens. It smells a lot like the same argument that used to be thrown against Firefox when it had only been out a little while versus. IE's market share.
Look where that wound up.
Reeses
"it won't work" ?
and adobe never could come up with a flash that doesn't blow chunks (And eat mad battery)....
At the end of the day it's going to be the FCC settling this debate. Limiting consumer choice is never a good idea when you have a strong market position (like Apple's with mobile devices). The US government tends to frown on that in the long run.
I'm really curious how Silverlight got to 51% unless it's a default install for Windows 7 or something of the sort. So far I've only seen it in the wild three times: Photosynth, the Feynmann Lectures (posted by MS...), and some random video at MSNBC or similar news site. I don't even really know what it does, so how is it at 51%? I'm really not trolling; I'm genuinely curious.
And to generalize a bit, what do statistics like this actually say? I promise you my parents don't know what Flash is, although they've probably seen plenty of irritating animated ads. The numbers they quote for Apple and Flash are on opposite ends of the spectrum, but based on their numbers for Silverlight versus the apparent usage of Silverlight, I'm having a tough time deciding what to take away from this article.
"In Steve Jobs' case, with only 1.1% market share, the would-be emperor isn't even wearing any clothes."
Dear Slashdot,
Please do not ever make me picture Steve Jobs naked again.
Thank you.
Over-paid, pretentious, power-mad executives who think they can cheat, deceive and manipulate the market seem to be in charge of way too much. Isn't there a cure for megalomania yet? Can't they support the community through open standards? I'm so tired of proprietary schemes that as soon as I see one, I leave.
Mr. Jobs. you're way overpaid in my opinion.
The university I work for has over 25 to 30 percent (5000 +) of it's staff using iOS devices. We gathered this info from our Exchange system. Students don't use Exchange so these are mostly well established professors and staff not a bunch of upstart kids. We have reason the believe the percentage of students using iOS is well over 30% if not closer to 50%. It's important to note that if you own an iOS device you also own a computer of some kind. People aren't using one device to access all content and iOS is by far the primary mobile platform if you are talking about small form factor or phones. You just can't produce stats that say otherwise. And yes Android is moving fast up the stats and they don't like Flash on it. Just think of all the Flash adds you are missing.
It all starts at 0
I bet if I go through my installed applications list, there's a ton of crap I don't use.
Silverlight? Yeah sure, huge installed base. I've never installed it. When I hit a site that requires it, I say "no thanks". I have yet to hit a site that was so good it broke down my resistance to installing that. I'd uninstall Flash too, but YouTube requires it. That's it. YouTube is my killer app for Flash. Whatever YouTube requires, I will probably use, unless it requires something I so despise that I decide to pull the plug on YouTube.
So to reiterate. Installed base: Worst. Stat. Ever.
You can't automaticly detect user base without being a bit more intrusive. It's user base that matters.
Note, I'm not really defending Apple's position here. I'm just saying that installed base is a flawed counter-argument.
Silverlight would be dead if it weren't for Netflix. I really wish they'd use something else ( although, honestly, it seems to outperform every Flash-based video service on my lower end computers ).
Flash sucks even on real computers, I don't get why people get so worked up about this. Flash can die in a fire. A *poo* fire.
The only reason I had Flash installed was to watch video on the web. With HTML5 video support in Firefox 4 I increasingly don't need Flash. Sure, WebM support has a ways to go even on sites like YouTube but it's making sure and steady progress.
1.1%? He didn't factor in the 100x Reality Distortion Field.
Who needs those pesky light bulbs Mr. Edison - over 99% of the homes and offices already have either gas lights or candles.
the would-be emperor isn't even wearing any clothes.
Maybe I'm being pedantic, but it seems like a failed attempt to be clever. "It's like the emperor's new clothes, except this time... HE ISN'T EVEN WEARING ANY CLOTHES!" He's not wearing clothes in the original story.
Last night I watched the Atlas V launch from Vandenberg from 100 miles away. it was GREAT to be able to see the video of the first moments of the launch on my Android phone and then listen to the radio chatter as I watched it come up over the horizon and soar up through the sky with my own eyes. All of this because my phone supports flash and thus the flash video on spaceflightnow. It played smoothly and without issue as a sat out in the middle of the desert with a good 3G signal on Verizon.
If I had still had my iPhone, which I had until May of this year, I wouldn't have been able to do that. I am so happy to be away from Apple's walled garden I can't begin to describe it.
...on the Mac, perversely.
It piggy-backs on Flip4Mac's WMV codecs. It can be de-selected during install, but a) how many users know to do that, and b) how many do it EVERY SINGLE UPDATE?
Bottom line: Flash sucks ... big time.
There, fixed that for 'ya
Damn_registrars has no butt-hole. Damn_registrars has no use for a butt-hole.
how can Jobs achieve further penetration with such a small penis?
Step 1: Install flash blocker on firefox or ClickktoFlash on Safari ( I'm sure there are other similar solutions for other browsers )
Step 2: keep a tally of the number of times you have to click to activate a flash object you wanted to see
Step 3: realize this is so very very low, with the possible exception of Hulu, youtube, etc, but each of those sites have an HTML5 or H.264 direct feed
Step 4: never care about flash again
face it Adobe blew it. They had 15 years to propose flash as a real internet standard and they got greedy and didn't do it.
HTML5 is indeed the future... flash is old tech. We won't be talking about it at all in 5 years. Do you talk about GIF animations anymore?
Please do not ever make me picture Steve Jobs naked again.
I've heard that even when Steve Jobs takes off all his clothes, he still has a turtleneck and jeans on. So you really don't have anything to fear...
Damn_registrars has no butt-hole. Damn_registrars has no use for a butt-hole.
How to we mark an entire story as -1, Flamebait?
Let's see, Steve Jobs says a technology is complete crap and nobody would ever want to use it. So, that means in a year and a half, Jobs will be having a Flash love-in on stage somewhere.
My God, it's Full of Source!
OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
I was blocking flash before there ever was such a thing as iPhone or iOS. Between my household and office computers I have it blocked in 7 browsers. But all 7 of my browsers are counted in that "97% of web surfers have Flash installed" statistic.
I have an iphone. I use it for, oh, a good five or ten percent of my browsing. If that. ... But if a site doesn't work on it, I tend to stop going to that site even when I'm on a different browser. Because I had a bad experience and I didn't like it.
It doesn't matter how many page hits are iOS; it matters how many page hits are from users who use iOS enough of the time to notice that your page didn't work from their mobile browser.
My blog: http://www.seebs.net/log/ --- My iPhone/iPad app: http://www.seebs.net/seebsfrac/
Well it would explain a lot that he gets paid to say this. Why he feels the need to drag actual computers into something that is strictly about small portable devices. Gee, next hell tell us that everybody making cell phones is a dickhead, because 99% of PCs have a DVD or at least a CD-ROM drive, so not having one must mean you are taking the silvery disk buying community at ransom.
Fandroids hate facts.
It's super easy to have 97% installation base when the IT guys behind MOST of the Fortune 500 bundle them in their Windows desktop builds and some of the most highly-visited web sites out there (YouTube, a few news sites, a couple of amazing porn sites, etc) still require Flash. Same goes for Silverlight (though Microsoft bundled that in Windows Update, so its numbers should be higher).
HTML5 video isn't there yet. For starters, Firefox doesn't support H.264, which is the de facto video streaming codec at the moment. Even if it wasn't, Theora doesn't hold a candle to it and seems to be in the middle of growing pains. VP8 is coming, but it isn't here yet. HTML5 YouTube doesn't work all the way yet. Worse still, differences in CPU performance with HTML5 when compared to Flash have been shown to be negligible. (In fact, some of the stats on that page show that Flash 10.1 is more efficient with its CPU utilization.) Worst, and most importantly, of all, tons upon tons of people are still on IE6, which doesn't support HTML5.
I think we all agree that, on paper, HTML5 is a great idea and will do more to unite a powerful web experience with the convenience of mobile computing. In practice, however, it's still very nascent and will take a while before it supplants Flash, et. al. And I guarantee you that Adobe will be on top of that (unless they're stupid and become a numb bystander to their own death).
if apple users are stupid enough to buy it... Then I say you get what you deserve.
iOS' market share is huge. Their market isn't the PC market - it's the touch screen market. Last I saw iOS owned more than 50% of the market. If you think it's just part of the larger "PC" market, you're not getting it.
Do you have ESP?
Steve Jobs listed 6 reasons why Flash wasn't going on iOS devices. In the very last sentence of his thoughts on flash he says:"Perhaps Adobe should focus more on creating great HTML5 tools for the future, and less on criticizing Apple for leaving the past behind." While you may not agree with any of the six reasons, Jobs said Flash is archaic is being asserted as the only reason. Also I don't know about anybody else but my understanding is that Jobs has always talked about Flash on mobile devices (Reason#4 was battery life). Even if mobile browsing represents 2.6% of web usage, 1.1% represents 42% of mobile devices. That's a rather large percentage of mobile users.
Well, there's spam egg sausage and spam, that's not got much spam in it.
http://www.dailytech.com/article.aspx?newsid=19681
Apparently the iPhone4 (yes, the article mentions an iPod Touch 4 which has only 256 megs of RAM, but comments from users on this gen of iPhone affirm the benchmark result) is much slower than phones like the Nexus One in HTML5 tests and uses twice as much battery charge to run the same program at half the framerate. From the comments, it looks like the iPhone 4 is almost identical to the first gen Droid in this benchmark, except for the double battery burn issue. And oddly enough, switching to a Flash version on the Android phones results in much higher performance than was seen with HTML5. Someone with a hacked iPhone should run the Flash version to find out whether Flash>HTML5 in iOS.
Yes, this is just one particular benchmark, and it says nothing conclusive about hardware or platform. It does make for an interesting early comparison, though, doesn't it?
"I zero-index my hamsters" - Willtor (147206)
As is usually the case, the technology itself isn't really good or bad, but what people do with it can be.
No, on Mac OS the technology is bad. It crashes, and it crashes, and it crashes again.
Almost entirely it falls into two categories:
- Flash is used in the most perverse and annoying advertisements that contain video and audio and which load the CPU unnecessarily
- Flash has security concerns
No, on Mac OS it crashes, and it crashes, and it crashes again.
Flash + silverlight = can play video = browser plugins = win for particular corporations with vested interests to win at any cost
HTML5 (ie iOS, firefox 4) = can play video = html5 inside webbrowser = open standards = win for all
The "particular corporations with vested interests" being the MPEG-LA members, I take it? There are two kinds of video codecs: those that work in Safari for iOS and don't work in Firefox 4, and those that work in Firefox 4 and don't work in Safari for iOS. Apple has chosen not to implement any permissively licensed audio or video codec in Safari for iOS, not Vorbis, not Theora, and not VP8. How is this any improvement over the QuickTime vs. Windows Media Player war that existed before FLV?
I don't want Flash on my iPhone. There's no content that I'm missing out on
If not SWF, then what format do you recommend for vector animations with synchronized audio, such as Homestar Runner or Weebl and Bob?
I find it hilarious that people choose to complain over something they can actually control. If you don't like it, then stop using your iPhone. If you like your iPhone (and applications) enough then quit your bit$hin and stop thinking you should have a say in the closed platform because you don't and never will...
But you can already make a web app on iOS that bypasses the store
Of course you can in theory. It'll just run dog slow because the JavaScript engine reportedly isn't a JIT compiler, and it won't be able to use any feature of the hardware that the Safari DOM doesn't expose. For example, how well does WebGL run? Can web apps prompt the user to turn on the mic or camera?
You can hardly claim Apple has "dominant" market position.
In the U.S. market for PDAs, or MP3 players that run apps from an online repository, what significant players are there other than iPod touch? Other MP3 player brands seem content to match iPod shuffle or iPod nano. Archos tries to make a competitor to iPod touch that runs Android, but Google apparently won't officially let any device that isn't a cell phone access the Market.
They stopped shipping floppy drives in 1998; by then, every computer had a CD drive
The CD drives in the first iMac were read-only and thus couldn't be used for backing up documents from the HDD.
FTFS: mobile devices account for 2.6% of web traffic, but the iOS accounts for only 1.1% so it doesn't have a dominant position. However, if those figures are correct, then the iOS has roughly 47% of the mobile market, which is probably the biggest single slice of that pie.
To throw in another wrinkle, Android supposedly has 17% of the smartphone market while iOS has 24% and RIM has 39%. Do Blackberry users, not surf the web?
mobile accounts for only 2.6% of web views, and the iOS share stands at only 1.1%. By comparison, Silverlight penetration now stands at 51% while 97% of web surfers have Flash installed
What do "web views" have to do with "installed apps"? Those aren't measuring the same thing at all.
Besides, as some have already pointed out, mobile devices like the iPhone tend to have dedicated apps (Facebook, Twitter, NY Times, AP News, Yelp, dictionaries, maps. email, weather, you name it) rather than just using the web browser.
If you don't want to abandon flash, then don't support the iDevices. There's only a tiny market you're ignoring, right?
Personally, i see no flash as a win. Yes, there are uses for it, but virtually anything flash can do, can be done in Javascript + HTML. Both of which are open and have freely available development tools. Flash no longer has a reason to exist, and is a huge lock-in to Adobe.
You'd think that the /. crowd would be in full support of this given the abysmal support linux has "enjoyed" from Adobe for the past decade or so, but it seems that a lot of them can't be pleased.
If you fall into the Linux fanboy camp, why does it matter to you what apple does? Buy an android device instead.
The reason the apple hardware/software combo is usually so slick is BECAUSE of restrictions like this. If this does not interest you, then you are not apple's target market.
I run: Windows, OS X, Linux, FreeBSD. Just because you have a hammer, doesn't mean everything is a nail.
What a series of ridiculous assertions.
Silverlight penetration now stands at 51%
What a surprise. Anything bundled with windos and IE will reach numbers like that quickly and easily. If they were to add a cooking recipe to IE, they would reach those numbers with it. In fact, given the de-facto monopoly especially in companies, and that it was lobbied/bought as the only choice if you wanted streaming videos of the last two Olympics, that is a surprisingly low number
while 97% of web surfers have Flash installed
Flash was introduced in 1996. That was 14 years ago. And for many of those years it was a de-facto standard for the loud and colourful parts of the web (games, movie sites, anything that wanted "more interactivity").
And then he compares two plugin technologies to an operating system. Because, you know, 27% of elephants have one leg slightly shorter than the other, which clearly proves that the 32% of plane flights that are delayed is a much too high number!
Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
...which is blisteringly fast on the Mobile devices it is allowed on and has perfect integration with the onboard accessories of those devices.
I think this is a hilarious justification from Flash-boys -- Flash is better than HTML5 because it isn't standardized, and thus its single reckless proprietary vendor will use it as a vehicle for sloppily exposing internal APIs on whatever platforms it runs on. And this is more free and democratic or something.
In what way is Apple trying to lockout competitors from HTML5? There's absolutely zero evidence of that. They have probably the most standards compliant browser ever on a mobile device and they've put in the hands of tens of millions of people.
Their relentless obsession of standards-compliant browsing is exactly what this is about. They are trying to shoot down a 'single-vendor controlled proprietary de-facto standard' replace it with the industry standard HTML5.
Do you know anything at all about computers?
This website used to have smart people on it.
it's an 'affront' I tell you.
waaaaaaah, waaaaaaaaaaah.
Jobs is correct, IOS owns the mobile smart phone market. He who owns the games will own the market. Android is enjoying a little bit of growth right now due to creative marketing but that is only going to last so long. Google is paying the price in more ways than one already (lawsuits, performance issues, battery life etc) for going with a jvm based system.
Got Code?
...that the liberal media isn't out to force him to marry a gay dude and have an abortion.
Steve Jobs is not trying to cancel Christmas, he wasn't born in Kenya, and he isn't trying to close the internet.
the arguments haven't changes, it is just that there are many.
Take your time.
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/09/21/technology/21cookie.html?
Good old Flash!
-- My apologies if the above facts contain any opinions, or vice versa! --
The people who don't like them can just avoid them, right?
I mean, how can adding a degree of freedom ever be a bad thing?
...and not H.264, or else the internet wouldn't work right now.
Anyone else around here wondering why Cisco is not suing the shit out of Apple for using the name IOS? I'd expect that.
I hadn't the slightest objection to his spending his time planning massacres for the bourgeoisie... (P.G. Wodehouse)
This completely misses the point of what that little percentage that iOS represents: people with money and the notion to spend it. All the craze that is going on about the Apple AppStore is because apps sell there much better than anywhere else.
This has the consequence, that a lot of the web content also adapts to non-flash/silverlight/java content to cater to this audience.
Though I'm personally not a fan of Apple, I like the way things go. HTML5 based apps make the life of browser developers / security maintainers much easier (I'm not in that group either).
I personally welcome this trend, because I hate to be forced to install one or the other, proprietary peace of crap just to see a website. Especially when it drains all resources, brings a bunch of security and stability issues and integrates horribly into the user experience.
Don't get me wrong, I don't have anything against proprietary applications. What I hate with a passion are proprietary infrastructure applications. They are just a crime against the free market and democracy.
See title
Steve has said that the iPhone is open for Flash. He just said it needs to be not buggy, and not drain batteries.
Adobe has not yet fulfilled those 2. All I hear about flash on Android is, that you are better off without, as it slows the device, eats battery, and crashes.
I don't want my iPhone to be infected by such malware from Adobe.
I suggest Steve Jobs to put his money where is mouth is.
Please change http://trailers.apple.com/ so that it doesn't require quicktime plugin for watching video.
I miss old good days of WWW (green VT100 screen) and LYNX (in atonishing colour!!!), where all web browsers were text-only UNIX executables...
I guess it was a mistake to embed a GIF viewer in MOSAIC and following browsers. Then there came all the rest: JPG, PNG... It could had been a better approach to let MPEG Consortium to offer a plug-in for every browser, and several others from Compuserve, the creators of GIF.
Nowadays we have at last the good approach from Flash, Silverlight, etc.
Maybe you don't know yet I'm kidding. Maybe you don't remember there was a patent fight about LZW compression between Compuserve and Unisys. Maybe you don't remember both companies. Maybe you think Flash or Silverlight are super-optimized binary code and HTML is a slooow-interpreted language. Maybe you don't know what modern javascript parser/interpreter/jit-compilers do. Maybe it's time to let the web viewer do what it's supposed to do, allow you to view the web content, even video.
Maybe in a few years you won't either remember Flash and Silverlight and, this is the key scary point for them, Maybe you won't remember their creators.
What people don't get is that Jobs makes his claims based on reason and foresight, not on current numbers. And what you will have to admit, most of the time he is dead on.
I don't like Apples Content Delivery Lock-In as much as the next guy, but what most people rarely get when talking about Steve Jobs and the things he claims is that this guy actually knows what he is talking about.
He said it time, and time again: Flash got a no-go on the iPhone BECAUSE ADOBE COULDN'T GUARANTEE A MINIMUM PERFORMANCE without hogging the entire iPhone CPU! And given, that is, of course, due to the VM nature of Flash. Ever since the dawn of ActionScript 2, Flash is a plattform, not a mere animation plugin. ... Ok, so this is Slashdot, and most people contiuously ragging on Flash here don't know squat what it actually is all about, but I guess I'll never give up trying.
Get it in to your freaking skull: Steve said it time and time again: NO VMs and no inner frameworks or inner operating systems on the iPhone. Period. End of story. I might emphasise that he was absolutely right with his strategy, hence the bizarly massive return on investment the iPhone line is racking in to this very day. Check out the smooth performance of the iPhone and the third-party apps crutching around on last generation Android Phones to see what I'm talking about.
And I am *not*, I repeat *NOT* an iPhone fanboy - in fact, I am, if at all, most probably going to replace my BlackBerry with an Android Phone whenever the need arises. Given, I might take an iPhone after all, if Android and Ubuntu 10 turn out to be just as prissy as last years versions.
Now go ahead and mod me into oblivion.
We suffer more in our imagination than in reality. - Seneca
Of course replacing Adobe lock-in with Apple lock-in would be dumb. HTML has 100% market share and CSS+JS are still ahead of Flash.
Jobs didn't block Flash on desktop, where Flash has high market share, so why quote that statistic? He refused to support it on mobile, where currently iOS has much higher market share than Flash.
Flash delays ARM-based netbooks
Sorry for sounding like a mindless zealot, but whatever you do with web technology, please use something that is truly cross-platform. (an open technology would help)
...does this article seem biased and paid-for by certain companies...?
To me it seemed the author tried to spin some facts to the point he was trying to make. Sorry mate, not convinced. Try harder and maybe.
They did put flash on Android but I remember reading (I think I saw it on /. as well) that the end user experience is dog-slow and disappointing. So there you have it Adobe. I'm not an Apple fanboy but on this one I'm with Steve 100%.
Everyone knew the iPad wouldn't do flash. If you move into my house, you can't claim I abducted you, even if you chain yourself to my railing and refuse to be moved.
and gosh, since the iPad sells millions, maybe a lot of those buyers who knew they wouldn't be able to use flash didn't mind? Maybe the only outrage is with windows lusers who are jealous of the iPad and idiots who buy a petrol car then complain it doesn't run on diesel are complaining and the rest don't care?
The stats are just idiotic by the way. Silverlight is pushed by MS so installed doesn't mean a concious choice and installing flash for youtube hardly means that people want flash. They want youtube. iPad got youtube, so who needs flash?
Some people need to seperate what people WANT from meaningless statistics.
Countless PC's have got malware installed. Conclusion: people want malware. No? Then why do you think flash installs mean people want flash? Most people probably don't care. It is just a popup they auto-accept that they don't get on the iPad.
MMO Quests are like orgasms:
You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.
Steve Jobs and Adobe have been at each other's throats ever since Adobe had to be dragged kicking and screaming into supporting Mac OS X. Adobe thought they could hold Apple's OS strategy for ransom and prevent Apple from dumping Classic Mac OS. Adobe finally relented on OS X after they realized how much money they were loosing by not supporting it and that competitors were making similar OS X products.
now we have stevie wonder jobs. microsoft developed the business model and sold it to the emo's. you either get this or you are willfully ignorant or outright stupid.
Given, I might take an iPhone after all, if Android and Ubuntu 10 turn out to be just as prissy as last years versions.
You non-fanboi stuff was all nice and well until you decided to let it out right at this sentence. Fairly obvious !
Let me guess: Flash for Blackberry is not yet ready. Quick! Enemies of my enemies are my friends!
Oh the Internet..
You non-fanboi stuff was all nice and well until you decided to let it out right at this sentence. Fairly obvious !
Let me guess: Flash for Blackberry is not yet ready. Quick! Enemies of my enemies are my friends!
Wrong. You didn't read my parent post. Flash is a VM. And notably unsuitable for mobile phones, trackball/pad and touch input. ... Goes to show your in with the usual crowd here on /. when it comes to Flash.
To the issue:
I don't use my Phone for surfing. And I certainly wouldn't use it for the things I build and maintain in Flash. However, I do use it for taking notes, as a calendar and for managing my contacts. I might use it for Facebook, Mail or the one or other utility website, like Trainschedules or something. But that's not primary concern for me.
If I get a new phone other than my current BB 8310 I expect it to react less sluggish (BB uses Java too), sync my calendar and contacts without further hassle with desktop applications using open and/or documented formats and have a working, offline-capable navigation as the new plus compared to my current phone. I'll take whatever phone delivers that best. Be it with Android, iOS, Symbian or whatever.
And it might even be that I stay with BB. They've finally got a OS X syncapp by now and the keyboard on the BB8310 and simular BBs is the best there is. I'll be checking the new models when time is due.
We suffer more in our imagination than in reality. - Seneca
There are no barriers to entry. Anyone can create an Android Touch and open a marketplace.
The barrier to entry is to attract developers. As of right now, as I understand it, most developers of Android apps who publish on a market publish on Google's market, which is exclusively for phones, and they don't have the time==money to promote their apps elsewhere. This creates a network effect that boosts Google's market at other markets' expense.
I don't like the whole iPhone fad (come on, it's about the same size as the brick I used to have back when a cell phone didn't fit in a pocket).
However, GO APPLE on this issue. Why? Because I don't like being forced to have Flash installed. Opening a few tabs, and Firefox slows to a crawl. And recently, even Flashblock doesn't cure it.
Getting a significant userbase with no Flash will force web developers to consider options other than "click here to download flash", thus allowing the rest of us to CHOOSE if we want the HTML+javascript version, or the animated, slow, non-bookmarkable, crappy Flash version.
Have you ever actually written complex web based applications in JavaScript/HTML5 and ActionScript3? Well I have, and I'll tell you right now ActionScript3 as a language is obscenely superior to JavaScript. Furthermore, you don't need to worry about checking your application on every browser, and you don't need to worry about older browsers when you write in AS3. Oh, and you may want to note the AS3 standard is published and the compiler is free - I write code on a 64bit Ubuntu box using make files. And here's the deal breaker - Flash lets you access web cameras, audio input, game controllers, and more. Furthermore you can manipulate raw (binary) data in Flash whereas doing the same in JavaScript would be obscenely difficult (the only real exception being images, which you access as bitmaps). Dynamically including in JavaScript is near impossible unless you import as objects through AJAX - which is iffy and in then end means you need to make extensive use of evaluation functions and worry about cross domain blocking. Oh, and try using drag features in JavaScript - go on just try it, I dare you. Next go ahead and look at those nifty Apple HTML5/JavaScript demos that make use of CSS3 features----oh wait those aren't standard and won't work on anything but Apple products!?
Seriously, there are some annoying things about Flash and the fact that Adobe controls it completely can be considered a downside - but the reality is it is that control that allows Adobe to progress Flash and ActionScript3 as they see fit without any arguments from anybody else and that has allowed them to progress way past areas that haven't even come up for discussion in HTML5/JS (Camera input, binary handling, plug and play encryption back ends that don't need SSL, various forms of media protection, dynamic stream adjustment, real non-blocking asynchronous asset loading). Furthermore, if people would take the time to look at it they would realize ActionScript3 is a surprisingly capable language, and is significantly more powerful and feature filled than JavaScript with basically none of the bizarre anomalies JavaScript has ("this" context changing randomly, definition of classes, defintion of class methods ("function name(args)" and "name = new function(args)" behave totally differently)). And if you are a business with designers and programmers, programmers can code in AS3 and just hand the source files off to designers who can use CS5 to plug all that code into their framework effortlessly. Before you call me a zealot or whatever take note of this: until I actually had to code an application in AS3 I hated Flash probably much more than you. Actually writing in application in AS3 that could not have been written in JS, and actually realizing how good AS3 is made me realize I was ignoring reality over my love of Open Standard and Open Source... which are also two things Apple abuses to no end and seems to only participate in to leech of others work and throw their weight around in comities for no good but their own (Khronos, W3C - particularly see "multi-touch" extensions and CSS3 proposals from Apple).
In this case the emperor not only isn't wearing clothes, he's been shaved bald and the outer layer of his skin abraded off.
never heard of it, you are telling me I have a fifty fifty chance my computer comes with some kind of light saber?
And this bullshit is marked 'insightful'?
Bunch of fucking fools on this site.
Steve Jobs' assertion that Flash is the technology of the past, and Apple's iOS is the platform of the future
Steve sometimes forgets words it seems. iOS is the platform of the future for Apple.
Tis worse with Steve adds words.
Lisa is not my daughter. - a fine example where Steve added a rather hurtful word.
No one gives a shit what steve jobs thinks except steve jobs and his legion of worshippers, aka 1.1% of the population.
To his credit, he is probably right about html5 video. as people's flash licenses expire, and browser support becomes ubiquitous, content providers may switch to html5 video to simply avoid paying adobe, and skip dealing with adobe's security flaws.
For now he needs to add flash to his operating systems. There's no way he'll force adoption by himself, though he may claim he's responsible in steve-o fantasy land after support becomes wide spread, like Algor did with the internet. His worshippers will cheer him.
Don't kid yourself. It's the size of the regexp AND how you use it that counts.
Seriously, you must be new here. Flash is a proprietary closed-source hunk of binary that we're stuck with. This is the reason most people on Slashdot hate it. We can't fix it, and it has regular unfixable problems on every platform I've used it on. It's so bad that most browsers have had to re-engineer their plug-in system to prevent Flash from taking down the browser. Not to mention the regular and horrible security holes, the fact that it bypasses browser cookie policy with it's LSOs (newsflash: not in HTML5.)
Yes, HTML5 might eventually become an advertisers dream but that's what AdBlock is for. At least it will be free, open and standards based. The day that the Flash plug-in is not needed will be a great day. I can't imagine why anyone would champion it. All it is is one less Adobe product you have to buy as a developer.
I have a theory that the truth is never told during the nine-to-five hours. - Hunter S. Thompson
pretending to be stupid. I guess at some point it doesn't matter.
It is entirely reasonable for a group of people to make a single up-front decision (like going to Disneyworld or buying an iPhone) which restricts their ability to make subsequent decisions (like going to a strip club or using a battery-draining flakey Flash implementation) because they don't want those options around where they have to look at them or worry about accidentally stumbling into one. It happens everyday in every industry. Walled gardens are nice.
Silverlight? Oh, you mean that thing Netflix uses?
The only interesting thing to infer/extrapolate here is that:
1) maybe Netflix has a very broad subscriber base
2) More people are buying newer computers, and Silverlight has been out long enough to be bundled with the vast majority of new Windows 7 desktops and laptops.
I've yet to see a Silverlight site aside from Netflix. Maybe I'm just not looking, but I've yet to see one.
~/ssh slashdot.org ssh: connect to host slashdot.org port 22: too many beers
Wouldn't it make more sense to put an asterisk on the box and say "This device does not support adobe flash. Adobe flash is a significant proprietary technology that may affect your web experience" or something similar?
Or is Apple okay with returning iPad/iTouch/iPhone to the store because "it doesn't support flash"?
Remember Apple holds a minority position in the smart phone market but they make more profits from their smart phones than Samsung, LG, and Nokia. The 1.1% share they have may not be much, but the demographics of their users (avg household income, education level, etc.) is probably much higher than average.
What people don't get is that Jobs makes his claims based on reason and foresight,
In the sense that he uses reason and foresight to determine what makes himself the most money, you're correct.
Steve said it time and time again: NO VMs and no inner frameworks or inner operating systems on the iPhone.
"Inner operating systems"? I think you're confused. The core problem is that Apple won't allow 3rd parties direct access to hardware or to use their own toolchain, they must use Apple's interfaces. If your application runs sub-optimal using Apple's interfaces (Flash, as one of many examples), it sucks to be you.
Just because many of have at some point installed the Silverlight plugin, that does not translate into a lot of sites with Silverlight or a lot of continuing traffic to such sights. I tried out silverlight out of curiosity on my mac just visiting the demo sites but I have yet to run into a site using it since then. Flash is also something that I only run into as ads and google finance. I hate flash only sites.
Jesus was a compassionate social conservative who called individuals to sin no more.
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