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The Myth of Renewable Energy

Harperdog writes to this "Excellent piece by Dawn Stover about what renewables can and can't do. The sun and wind may be practically inexhaustible, but 'renewable' energy isn't. Solar, wind, and geothermal power are not fundamentally different from other energy technologies that consume finite natural resources. Good reading for anyone who thinks they know how to combat climate change."

835 comments

  1. Renewable or infinite? by jtoj · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Renewable doesnt mean infinite.

    --
    Jose T Oliveira Jr.
    1. Re:Renewable or infinite? by FTWinston · · Score: 5, Informative

      The argument being made is that expensive and potentially hazardous materials are required to make wind turbines and solar panels.

    2. Re:Renewable or infinite? by stanlyb · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Yep, like the hybrid, they burn less, but if you calculate the amount they burnt to actually build them......

    3. Re:Renewable or infinite? by betterunixthanunix · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Solar panels would not surprise me -- semiconductor manufacturing is not exactly eco-friendly. As for wind turbines, I cannot help but think of the kid in Africa who built them out of recycled auto parts.

      Really the question is, are these things better on the whole than fossil and nuclear fuels? I suspect that the answer is yes, although I am not an expert. Only people who live in shacks in Montana are seriously arguing that humanity can or should live without disturbing the environment at all; but we can at least try to not completely wreck the planet.

      --
      Palm trees and 8
    4. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Ethanol-fueled · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You can argue that making and charging EV's just shifts the problem downstream to the power plants, many of which are coal-fired, but having all of the pollution more localized still makes a difference in the environment and quality of life.

      Just sucks to be you if you happen to live near a coal plant or an unsafe nuke plant.

    5. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      thermal plants have better efficiency than explosion engines in car.

    6. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Leuf · · Score: 1

      But once you have the rare earth metals in the wind turbine, do they wear out?

    7. Re:Renewable or infinite? by scamper_22 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Almost everything is renewable. It's the cost of renewing it.

      I'm sure we could burn fossil fuels, capture the emissions from the air, send it to some plant, combine with energy and other things, and recreate the fossil fuel.

    8. Re:Renewable or infinite? by FTWinston · · Score: 1

      Well, every manufactured thing has a limited lifespan ... but I'd guess that they can be recycled - and that it is probably economically feasible to do so (or that it will be in 30 years or whenever the current generation start to expire)

    9. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even steel constructions are recycled today, why the fuck shouldn't a ton of rare earth stuff be worth it?

    10. Re:Renewable or infinite? by jackspenn · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I would argue nuclear is the best solution. It has the smallest impact and the greatest potential for recycling and reusing materials. The problem with nuclear power is the fear people have about it.

      --
      Respect the Constitution
    11. Re:Renewable or infinite? by slew · · Score: 0

      thermal plants have better efficiency than explosion engines in car.

      Although the thermal plant might have more efficiency, depending on the level of NIMBY, the transmission losses and the overhead of maintaining base-load for the electric grid may make the actual net efficiency closer than anyone may like... Sadly, reality is a must-satisfy condition in this analysis...

    12. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem with nuclear power is the fear people have about it.

      Also the huge amounts of water required to run a nuclear plant. It's not a problem now but it will be in the future.

    13. Re:Renewable or infinite? by betterunixthanunix · · Score: 5, Interesting
      Nuclear power is not really renewable -- eventually all the uranium and thorium on Earth will be mined, and then we will need to start finding new sources of energy (or mining celestial bodies). I think nuclear power is part of the answer, but on its own it is not enough.

      I used to be a big fan of wind, but I am starting to lean in the direction of (properly managed) biomass these days, for the following reasons:
      1. Terrain that could not otherwise be farmed for food can be put to use
      2. Existing coal plants can be converted at relatively low cost to use biomass power
      3. The ashes can simply be spread on the biomass farming areas to replenish minerals in the soil (compare to coal ash, which cannot be used in this way)
      4. If properly managed, it is carbon-neutral or nearly so (on a reasonable timescale)
      --
      Palm trees and 8
    14. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Nemyst · · Score: 4, Informative

      That's entirely dependent on current nuclear reactors (BWR, PWR, which all share the "water reactor" part in common). Molten salt reactors would need a lot less water.

    15. Re:Renewable or infinite? by JMJimmy · · Score: 5, Informative

      Unfortunately the article glosses over the fact that far more of those expensive and [s]potential[/s] actually hazardous materials are required to make carbon and nuclear based power generating stations. It also glosses over the lifespan of those products vs their counterparts (largely because no one bothers to collate the data on all the replacement parts that need to go into existing stations). The argument has never been that these solutions are perfect, nor infinite. The argument for green tech is that it's better overall and more sustainable than what we're currently doing.

    16. Re:Renewable or infinite? by siride · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think the real point is that we're fucked. Yes, fossil fuels and nuclear are worse, but wind/solar/biomass/geothermal won't save us either, for the same reasons. Although each individual installation may not be as environmentally or economically detrimental as a fossil fuel or nuclear installation, the fact that you have to have so many more "renewable" installations to meet the same energy needs counteracts that.

      The takeaway from this article is that we have to change our energy needs and growth model. There's simply no way to continue down this path, no matter what "green" technologies are developed. Energy isn't free. Energy production has side-effects. The only real solution is to use less and less of it.

    17. Re:Renewable or infinite? by JMJimmy · · Score: 5, Informative

      ... they're still better over the lifetime of the vehicle. MIT: http://www.pacinst.org/topics/integrity_of_science/case_studies/hummer_vs_prius.pdf

    18. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Auto parts don't grow in the ground, they are the "waste" of Western high-energy civilization. How many turbines can be built that way? What is the reliability? How much energy does it generate? How long will it last?

      Really, the question is, are we ready to adapt to a more expensive, less available energy future? I suspect that we won't have a choice, but that people will cling to the old ways as desperately as people always have.

    19. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not to mention that actually building the things helps the research to build better ones both directly and indirectly.

      I don't hold any belief that the wind and solar power of today makes any sense at all from an accounting based perspective. But what would we otherwise do? Keep researching it from a purely theoretical perspective and then as soon as it reaches the "fantastic, better than oil!" level in 40 years time, plonk them opp globally overnight?

      That's not how research works. The best practical research happens in any field where there's an entire ecosystem driving progress, not just purely mathematicians and blackboards.

    20. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Luckyo · · Score: 2

      Wind turbines are mostly built in the West. This isn't simple tech to build, and even a small deviation from norm may cause much harsher wear and tear. Incidentally, most of the costs of wind turbines aren't in making them but MAINTAINING them. As a result, skimping on manufacturing costs at the cost of increased maintenance makes no financial sense.

      This is exact opposite of most consumer products, where we largely gave up on maintenance because it's more costly then buying a new, made in [poor country on slave wage] product.

    21. Re:Renewable or infinite? by skids · · Score: 4, Informative

      but if you calculate the amount they burnt to actually build them......

      ... then they still burn less.

    22. Re:Renewable or infinite? by JMJimmy · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I don't think we're fucked just yet, we're close. Personally I think the energy debate is moot - market forces have and will determine where we get it. The real debate should be about food and water. We're headed for a very serious collapse and globalization has created conditions where the second there are food shortages, protectionism is going to rear it's ugly head and there will be massive starvation in some areas. Canada already experienced this in a small way, no starvation obviously, but when Katrina hit food shipments were diverted down south instead of to Canada - many shelves were empty for weeks.

    23. Re:Renewable or infinite? by microbox · · Score: 1

      Almost everything is renewable. It's the cost of renewing it.

      It is a fundamental question of thermodynamics. Energy-in-energy-out. Nothing comes close to oil, and maybe nothing will. That remains to be seen.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    24. Re:Renewable or infinite? by skids · · Score: 1

      Mainly this is just an argument that even if we still burn fossil resources, we should still be democratizing the power system by using cogen for waste heat capture.

    25. Re:Renewable or infinite? by multimediavt · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The argument being made is that expensive and potentially hazardous materials are required to make wind turbines and solar panels.

      Yes, I got that from the article too, that using current technologies for renewable energy we will be using, potentially, a lot of non-renewable resources. The whole fallacious article is about how current technologies, unimproved over years of research and development YET TO COME, will do these horrible awful things. Indeed they will, if newer and more efficient ways of providing two megawatts of wind power aren't found, or better than 30% efficiency from solar panels and internal combustion engines, or maybe even less expensive ways to get power from rivers and the ocean than big dams. So, yeah, if nothing advances and no further research is funded then this guy's fantasy world of doom will come to pass. Let's hope others aren't as narrow minded as the author seems to be and that we will have some tremendous breakthroughs in renewable energy technologies with continued funding.

    26. Re:Renewable or infinite? by durrr · · Score: 1

      You don't need all that much semiconductor area for solar panels(see concentrated PV), and once they are installed they are relatively maintenance free.
      Now classic wind is a maintenance nightmare, and whenever subsidies run out and they become unaffordable you're stuck with a decomissioning cost, or you can leave an ugly (or five hundred or whatever the size of the average farm is) to scar the landscape.

      Save wind for off-grid small scale installations until second or third generation mills are developed.

    27. Re:Renewable or infinite? by polar+red · · Score: 1

      answer : transmission of the electricity + storing in the battery, and taking it out ... is MORE efficient than your gearbox.

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    28. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is enough uranium in seawater to supply all human energy needs on earth for the next few billion years as it is continually replenished by rivers and erosion.

      Japanese testing shows uranium from seawater only costs about 4-6 times mined uranium ($250 vs $40-$60) and if used in fast breeder reactors produces something like $50000/kg in electricity. Then of course you can also tap much more abundent Thorium.

    29. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Luckyo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This is a bit of doomsaying more then anything else. Burning technologies (for large plants, talking around 200MW per boiler) have really advanced with modern automation. Did you know that one of the biggest annoyances when burning things, SO2 has been largely eliminated in most modern plants that burn... pretty much anything by extreme control over the burning process? In other words, you don't even need complex filters on those anymore, the advances in the burning process itself due to computerization have made processes much less harmful to environment. This is why we talk so much about CO2 and so little about other products of burners - when we used to talk about those other products all the time before. Because the new plant technologies have virtually eliminated most of those, and those that remain are usually rendered harmless by solidifying them on the plant and not allowing them to spread into environment.

      Add to this the fact that we can in fact burn what we grow (biomass), then consider that nuclear is pretty efficient and safe and we have enough uranium and thorium for at least a millenium... we're not so fucked anymore. At least as long as we can develop fusion into workable system in a few hundred years. The only real problem that remains is upgrading the existing burner plants before they shit all over the environment with really toxic stuff (which is what is happening in China at the moment) as well as upgrading nuclear to more efficient and safe plants.

    30. Re:Renewable or infinite? by JMJimmy · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Uranium is incredibly common and existing stocks can be rotated in. Typically nuclear plants only use 1% of the available energy in a fuel rod before swapping it out. Some plants are now recycling the older rods from 25+ years ago but few stations overall are capable of doing this.

    31. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Technically, Fossil Fuel is endlessly renewable. The problem is time scale. Takes millions of years and a bucket load of pressure to turn today's carbon (Trees/Animals) into Coal and Oil.

    32. Re:Renewable or infinite? by ElrondHubbard · · Score: 4, Insightful

      On the contrary, I would argue that the problem with nuclear power is that, as is becoming increasingly clear, people's fears about it are *justified*. The current installed base of nuclear tech represents an enormous and unsolved long-term problem to produce what are, on a historical scale, very short-lived benefits. We should not be creating any additional problems for our posterity to deal with.

      --
      "The deep-fried Mars bar is a symptom of a wider crisis." -- Nutritionist Ann Ralph, on the Scottish diet
    33. Re:Renewable or infinite? by polar+red · · Score: 1
      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    34. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Pieroxy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I didn't even click on the link. But comparing a Hummer and a Prius is completely insane and can only lead to biaised results.
      I mean, come on ...

      I could compare my motorcycle to a Prius and deduce that the Prius is worse. Now, could I conclude that hybrids are worse than pure gasoline vehicles?

    35. Re:Renewable or infinite? by JMJimmy · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Well, when I interviewed a representative from the company putting in the wind farm in Kingston Ontario they said they're looking at a 50 year payback on 87 turbines.

      I'd say the average person is more wasteful in the computers, cell phones, electronic gadgets, etc than any turbine/solar panel/etc.

    36. Re:Renewable or infinite? by stanlyb · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      This report does not prove your point.All it does is to bust, or to try to bust the myth that Hummer is more eco friendly than Prius, by questioning the used methodologies and statistic data. But, what about the regular ford and regular prius driven by regular Joe? What about the battery pack that needs to be replaced every 1-2 year? What about the limited mileage per charge? And, finally, what about the reduced free space, that is already occupied by all these heavy batteries? Translated, Prius is not a family car, it is, how to say, "posh" car? So why should the regular fella buy and use such a car!!!!

    37. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Canazza · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I like Nuclear Power, but it has a massive problem if it's poorly managed. Even just one cock-up can cause a major problem.
      The fear is justified, since If I know anything about the Human Race, it's that we can grossly mismanage things.

      --
      It pays to be obvious, especially if you have a reputation for being subtle.
    38. Re:Renewable or infinite? by ccool · · Score: 5, Insightful

      And it is much easier to have one good centralized filter/catalizer than many small one on a great many cars.

    39. Re:Renewable or infinite? by gstoddart · · Score: 2, Informative

      I didn't even click on the link. But comparing a Hummer and a Prius is completely insane and can only lead to biaised results.
      I mean, come on ...

      Actually, the Hummer comes out ahead ... so, the bias is exactly opposite to what you'd expect it to be.

      The Hummer runs on bio-diesel I believe. That's the whole point of the poster, not that you compare a Hummer to a Prius and the Pruis is better.

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    40. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Hentes · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Nuclear power is the best intermediate solution. It's a finite resource, so the best we can do is to use it to buy some time until we develop effective renewable alternatives.

    41. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't think that an article on wind-turbines answers the hybrid car problem posed by the parent.

    42. Re:Renewable or infinite? by skids · · Score: 1

      Yes, of course they can be recycled. Short sighted as we are, however, we haven't been doing a good job at collecting the scrap in one place. Efforts to increase recycling rates are underway. Meanwhile a lot of the time these metals end up in a harder-to-salvage form when they are deposited in slag from steel/Al/Zn recycling plants where they just throw them in with the rest of the product.

    43. Re:Renewable or infinite? by slim · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Really, the question is, are we ready to adapt to a more expensive, less available energy future? I suspect that we won't have a choice, but that people will cling to the old ways as desperately as people always have.

      We already are doing that, in a small but increasing number of ways.

      We insulate our houses, to save heating bills.
      We look at the fuel economy when we're choosing a car.
      We use energy saving lightbulbs.
      We have showers instead of baths.

      Really, I feel that if governments stopped striving to keep the cost of fossil fuel down, this natural adjustment would accelerate. Whether it's ways of reducing our energy usage, or better ways to get clean/renewable energy, or somewhere inbetween, I don't really mind.

    44. Re:Renewable or infinite? by qzjul · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure if you noticed, but our planet's surface is 70% water. Would it be more of a concern if we said "Also the huge amounts of dirt required to run a nuclear plant"? Fresh water may be an issue in the future, but who says you have to use fresh water? Most of the population of the planet lives pretty close to the ocean.

    45. Re:Renewable or infinite? by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      That's entirely dependent on current nuclear reactors (BWR, PWR, which all share the "water reactor" part in common). Molten salt reactors would need a lot less water.

      Assuming they work. Again, I rant that there are numerous nuclear technologies that 'sound good' (like Thorium cycle reactors) but have never been deployed in a commercial success. Until you do so, one has no idea if it's a serious candidate for large scale power production.

      The reasons for this are many. Money, NIMBY, irrational and rational fear and just plain old greed and incompetence (cf, TEPCO). But they still are there.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    46. Re:Renewable or infinite? by scamper_22 · · Score: 1

      Technically, diamonds require millions of years to form as well... except we have this wonderful thing called technology that allows us to speed things up in artificial conditions.

    47. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The problem with the Prius is that it's a crappy economy car. When the batteries fail on them, they will end up scrapped, no one will want a crappy economy car with a dead battery that doesn't even get good gas mileage anymore. The batteries are prohibitively expensive, they won't be replaced as they'll cost more than the car is worth.

      Boring, crappy cars are the most environmentally damaging, they end up being scrapped rather than repaired. A 67 Camaro is better than a Prius, even 44 years later it is still desirable, people will still fix them, and the environmental costs of scrapping one car and building another is removed. That will not be the case with the Prius.

    48. Re:Renewable or infinite? by newbie_fantod · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Unfortunately the article glosses over the fact that far more of those expensive and [s]potential[/s] actually hazardous materials are required to make carbon and nuclear based power generating stations.

      Unfortunate but not surprising in an article published by the Bulletin Of the Atomic Scientists.

    49. Re:Renewable or infinite? by ElrondHubbard · · Score: 1

      As I see it, the downside in moving to renewable energy (as we inevitably must and will do) is less to the environment and more to people's expectations. Our expectations about technology and the kind of society we can have were formed in a historically brief period of energy abundance, in the form of hundreds of millions of years of stored sunlight that comes down to us as an enormous, but finite, pool of highly energy-dense fossil fuel. In effect, we've been living off (in fact, spending profligately) our inheritance. When we switch to renewable sources, we will have to go back to living on an energy *income* instead. Cornucopians, or anyone who expects technology to make up the difference, are not reckoning with the fact that most of the benefits of technology are actually the benefits of energy. Technology is simply how we put the energy to use to achieve results that we like. There will be no technological singularity in a low-energy environment. A more realistic view of our future comes from the permaculture movement, who are a lot closer to dealing with reality in this respect. Get ready for less energy, lowered expectations, economic contraction, and a return to self-reliance for most.

      --
      "The deep-fried Mars bar is a symptom of a wider crisis." -- Nutritionist Ann Ralph, on the Scottish diet
    50. Re:Renewable or infinite? by DM9290 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      thermal plants have better efficiency than explosion engines in car.

      Although the thermal plant might have more efficiency, depending on the level of NIMBY, the transmission losses and the overhead of maintaining base-load for the electric grid may make the actual net efficiency closer than anyone may like... Sadly, reality is a must-satisfy condition in this analysis...

      And driving massive tanker trucks full of gasoline all over the the country, tearing up roads, to deliver fuel to gas stations is efficient?

      --
      No one has a right to their *own* opinion. They have a right to the TRUTH.
    51. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      no. The problem is the catastrophic failure mode and the lack of facilities to deal with their waste.

    52. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What about those spent fuel rods, that will remain radioactive for pretty much forever? How do you reuse those? What do you store them in that will last for the 4.7 billion years that is uranium half life? Even plutonium has a half life of 24,000 years. And that still just HALF of the time, half life is called so for a reason you know. Can you build a container that will last that long? Because currently all they do is put them in a pool of boric acid by the reactor. and after a few years stick them in a dry cask of steel wrapped in concrete.. still at the reactor site, still very dangerous.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_fuel_cycle:

    53. Re:Renewable or infinite? by gstoddart · · Score: 3, Informative

      My apologies .. the above is incorrect. I had assumed it was about the Hummers running on bio-diesel ... this is something else.

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    54. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That has more to do with implementation choices. You can still harness solar (solar water heaters, solar mirrors) and wind power (windmills) without using expensive and potentially hazardous material. Stone and sand (in form of glass) can be used for passive solar heating. Of course, how that harnessed power can be applied and how far it can scale economically is limited by the implementation.

    55. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      LOL, tell that to people living in Kiev or Tokyo, and tell me why no nuclear plant is properly insured.

    56. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      as opposed to nuclear???

    57. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      No, the huge amount of water needed by a nuclear reactor isn't dependent on the type of reactor. It doesn't even matter if it's a nuclear reactor or a coal power plant. The huge amounts of water are used in the generation part of the plant, where the heat from the nuclear reaction or the coal fire is turned into mechanical energy which then drives generators that turn it into electricity. This process is less than 40% efficient, which means about two thirds of the heat produced by any type of nuclear reactor must be cooled off. That's why you need huge amounts of water.

    58. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Stoopiduk · · Score: 1

      I've often wondered, when creating a solar panel (or wind turbine or any other "green" power source) for a particular purpose, does someone actually work out the net emissions saving?

      If you factored in the emissions of extracting and refining all of the materials, transporting them, creating components from them, putting them together, putting them in place (often set in concrete or similar) - how long does a green energy device need to run for it to counteract its own impact on the environment? Do you need to add in the impact of the researchers jumping in their cars every morning to get to the office/lab and work on the next breakthrough? Who is offsetting them? I completely understand that renewable energy sources are almost certainly better alternatives than burning coal or oil or babies, but how much better? How carbon neutral are carbon neutral enterprises?

      It might be that the impact of manufacture is taken into account in some schemes, but by my knowledge of the shipping industry at least, it usually isn't.

    59. Re:Renewable or infinite? by polar+red · · Score: 1
      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    60. Re:Renewable or infinite? by skids · · Score: 5, Informative
    61. Re:Renewable or infinite? by amiga3D · · Score: 2

      67 camaro yes, 67 amc ambassador not so much.

    62. Re:Renewable or infinite? by rubycodez · · Score: 4, Interesting

      not 1%, more like 14% of what can be extracted. But yes, the point is most of our "spent fuel" is a gold mine of energy. And we have thorium sufficient for centuries while we figure out fusion or just massive solar harvesting coupled with biotech so we grow what we need instead of refining and smelting.

    63. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bingo. Nuclear power is relatively cheap, is environmentally neutral, scalable (from a bathtub sized "battery" to a multi-gigawatt reactor), is energy dense (not much space for a nuke plant needed compared to a solar or wind farm that puts out as much electricity), and nuclear power can be used for some cool things if coupled with a desalination plant, thermal depolymerization plant (essentially "boiling" waste plastic into usable short chain petroleum products), and many other things.

      However, here is my one reservation: Lousy contractors. Not all are like this, but there are plenty who would make a reactor head out of tinfoil coated wood, then have their company go bankrupt (the top brass will have their golden parachutes, and all the main funds will be safely offshore).

      Here in the US, we can't get contractors to even build bathrooms where soldiers can't even take a shower without getting electrocuted. If we can't get people to even understand the concept of a ground wire, how can we trust them to design, build, deploy, secure, fuel, maintain, repair, renovate, and ultimately decommission something as precise as a reactor? Until we have people personally held accountable (the stakeholder, not shareholder concept), we will get potentially dangerous disasters.

      At least with solar, they can be made offshore in Chinese plants (where there is some QC because the Chinese government has a stake in build consistancy), then imported to the US and put up. Worst that can happen is that someone drops the panel on their foot while swilling one too many Bud Lights, or puts 120VDC through their nipples. A lot less can go wrong.

      With the Big Oil/Big Coal fueled lobbies who know that reliable nuclear reactors would put them out of business, it doesn't take much to have nuclear put away for another 20-40 years, just like how Carter put a permanent moratorium on all new plants, which persists to this day.

      So, if we get some people who are interested in making reactors and not just making messes, nuclear power will be hamstrung for a long while, while the good ol' coal plants will be making far bigger environmental messes (in both mining and burning of lignite coal) in their proper running.

      It is the old stakeholder versus shareholder thing. Until this is changed, nuclear power is pretty much on the sidelines for the known future.

    64. Re:Renewable or infinite? by skids · · Score: 2

      That's not how research works.

      More importantly, it isn't how industry works. Supply lines take years, sometimes even a a decade, to ramp up. Which is why those that have an economic incentive to suppress renewables find it worth their while to finance screeds like the OP to discourage investment.

    65. Re:Renewable or infinite? by tnmc · · Score: 2

      Industrial scale biomass farming is destroying the eroding the soil. The grassland in the Midwest prairie had uninterrupted millennia to grow and create the soil that grows so much corn and soy today. Iowa has lost 10 inches of topsoil in the last 100 years due to soil erosion caused by industrial farming. Good luck powering your iPad off the corn grown in Iowa when the 8 inches left is gone in the next hundred years and the place literally turns to dust.

    66. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are wind power designs that use standard materials, and same for solar. The most cost effective solar devices are solar water, and solar heat - both of which can be done without rare and precious metals.

    67. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Dexter+Herbivore · · Score: 1

      Yep, like the hybrid, they burn less, but if you calculate the amount they burnt to actually build them......

      Soooo.... that relates to the nuclear option also?

    68. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Dexter+Herbivore · · Score: 5, Funny

      So GP didn't RTFA, you didn't RTFA. I guess everybody wins! :)

    69. Re:Renewable or infinite? by rasmusbr · · Score: 2

      I've often wondered, when creating a solar panel (or wind turbine or any other "green" power source) for a particular purpose, does someone actually work out the net emissions saving?

      That's called a life-cycle assessment.

      I think most companies probably do a back of the envelope assessment at least (any engineer with half a brain would do that because it's interesting), but as you can imagine it is a difficult and seemingly intractable problem that requires a theoretical understanding and skills that most engineers don't have and most companies don't really look for when they hire people.

    70. Re:Renewable or infinite? by modmans2ndcoming · · Score: 0

      You mean the battery that does not have to be replaced every 1-2 years right?

    71. Re:Renewable or infinite? by bsane · · Score: 1

      Nuclear power is not really renewable -- eventually all the uranium and thorium on Earth will be mined

      Solar* power is not really renewable -- eventually all of the hydrogen in the core will be fused.

      *and every form of power related to solar: wind, hydro, bio, probably more.

      While this is kind of a smart ass answer- the reality is we don't need an energy source to last forever, just long enough for us to either get off this rock, or go extinct. The later will happen in the next 100,000 years (couldn't find a cite in time, but often discussed on universe today, because of solar heating) if we don't leave.

    72. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      That's very true, it's the second top reason on my list of why I don't drive a car with an explosion engine. The top reason is still that a modern internal combustion engine is much safer than an explosion engine.

    73. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Dexter+Herbivore · · Score: 1

      Or possibly fusion?

    74. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Isn't that an upstream shift?

    75. Re:Renewable or infinite? by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      Unlikely. If we fail to replace our current energy-generation methods with something more practical, get ready for global warfare and a mass die-off. However, there's absolutely no reason why we can't manufacture practical replacements. As a worst-case scenario, we can let up on the safety-laws associated with nuke plants, and buy another few hundred years to develop better technology.

    76. Re:Renewable or infinite? by TWX · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's also much easier to verify that the filter/catalyzer is actually working when there aren't hundreds of millions of them to monitor.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    77. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Dexter+Herbivore · · Score: 1, Insightful

      The problem with nuclear power is that a lot of people aren't willing to even TRY to find solutions due to fear and the NIMBY attitude.

    78. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Dexter+Herbivore · · Score: 1

      Half life doesn't mean exactly what you think it means, judging from what you just posted.

    79. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Adriax · · Score: 5, Funny

      Till you get a plant manager who feels inadequate as a man, who chops off the catalyzer to put in glasspacks instead.

      --
      I don't suffer from insanity, I enjoy every minute of it!
    80. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nuclear is too expensive. If it weren't for substantial government subsidies and release from liability, no privately held company would ever build a nuclear power plant.

    81. Re:Renewable or infinite? by skids · · Score: 1

      Because bringing hybrids into the discussion is beside the point, and anyway, another poster already posted a link debunking that point, as well.

    82. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes. However, in the case of wind turbines much of that material (mostly metal) can be recycled. In the case of solar-electric panels only some of it can, and the raw materials, while not especially common, aren't so rare that the supply is going to run out any time soon (like, centuries). For solar-thermal, the materials are cheap and easy to obtain. Hydropower from dams has a limited lifetime mainly because dams do. More precisely, it isn't the dam structure or even the turbines that are the limitation, but the reservoir itself as it fills with sediment. Properly engineered they could still theoretically last for many decades, perhaps a century. Worst case you tear it down and either let nature re-grade the reservoir or excavate some of it out, depending upon practicalities. Geothermal has capacity limitations due to limited water supply, but that assumes you don't have a "closed loop" system. A closed loop system that reinjects the water doesn't last forever either, because pipes will get filled with mineral deposits. Solution: you re-drill the wells. Biomass? Theoretically renewable but on an industrial scale via lots of fertilizer and other self-defeating energy-intensive agriculture, no.

      All of this means that renewable energy systems require long-term maintenance. That's true for *any* energy source on a large or small scale. You don't get it for free once you build the power plant. Is the long-term maintenance for renewable energy any worse than conventional power systems? Not that I can see. And unlike coal, uranium/thorium, oil, and gas, we aren't facing long-term supply limits of sunshine, precipitation, or geothermal heat.

      I mean, sheesh, if you're going to do this kind of analysis for solar and wind, then you better consider all the exotic metals and other materials that go into a nuclear or fossil-fuel power plant too.

    83. Re:Renewable or infinite? by drb226 · · Score: 5, Funny

      If I know anything about the Human Race, it's that we can grossly mismanage things.

      Well, in our defense, we're better at managing nuclear power than any other species in the known animal kingdom.

    84. Re:Renewable or infinite? by jscotta44 · · Score: 0

      Hey! Get your facts straight. The sun has nothing to do with global warming. ;-)

    85. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And the argument is bullshit.

      Why wouldn't you be able to recycle those materials??
      In fact that's exactly what makes them renewable: Everything they need is recyclable or abundant (like sunlight) or even recyclable and abundant (like sand or iron).

      For concentrated solar power plants (especially the tower variants), all you need is glass, aluminium, water, steel, copper and ceramics. All are abundant, are only needed for construction, not consumed, and can be completely recycled afterwards, using nothing but electricity (made from sunlight, obviously).

      Glass + aluminium = mirrors.
      Steel = mirror support frames.
      Glass + water = tube to be heated.
      Steel + copper = turbines.
      Steel + copper = generators.
      Copper + ceramics = cables with isolation.

      Add pumped-storage hydroelectrics, which need all the above minus the glass, and you have 24/7/365 availability too.

      Also, no matter how you twist and turn it to keep your pride about "being right" for no reason other than childish drivel, they don't even have to be free of those materials to be better. Everything is already way better than fossil and nuclear fuels, even if only for the reason that everything they need can be recycled afterwards!
      Good luck trying to make oil out of excess heat and exhaust gas from cars again! Then maybe you'll notice you only deplete it faster. Try to deplete the sun of energy next. ^^

    86. Re:Renewable or infinite? by jscotta44 · · Score: 1

      Striving to keep the cost of fossil fuel down? You must be kidding - or living in a place where they allow for local extraction of fuel and without the taxes on all aspects of the extraction to delivery process. So...you must not be living in the US.

    87. Re:Renewable or infinite? by BasilBrush · · Score: 5, Interesting

      What about the battery pack that needs to be replaced every 1-2 year? What about the limited mileage per charge?

      Bullshit.

      Consumer reports tested a Prius after 10 years, and compared it with a test of a similar model when it was new. In 10 years and 200,000 miles, the battery performance had hardly degraded at all.

      http://news.consumerreports.org/cars/2011/02/200000-mile-toyota-prius-still-performs.html

    88. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Caraig · · Score: 4, Informative

      You mean the battery in my Prius that's still going strong after five years? The Prius that has more cargo space than my old Jeep and can hold four people as opposed to the Jeep's two (four if you cut off two peoples' legs)? The Prius that gets me fifty miles to the gallon because I take the highway to and from work?

      Have you even driven one? Hell, have you even SEEN one?

      --
      "I am an Adept of Tantric VAX."
    89. Re:Renewable or infinite? by tp1024 · · Score: 1

      Wrong. It depends on the temperature of the steam used and that temperature depends on the type of reactor. Unlike coal power plants water moderated reactors do not use superheated steam for technical reasons, which limits temperatures. The Advanced Gas-Cooled Reactors as used in Great Britain run at higher temperatures. Reactors using liquid metals (sodium or lead) as coolant run on still higher temperatures, as will molten salt reactors. The difference in water used can easily make up 50%.

    90. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, but then you still have to transport that energy to the car, which is not vry efficient..

    91. Re:Renewable or infinite? by anwaya · · Score: 5, Informative

      The tl;dr on the Pacific Institute paper "Hummer vs Prius" is:

      1. Someone else wrote a paper called "Dust to dust" that claimed the lifetime energy cost of a Hummer was less than that of a Prius.
      2. The "Hummer vs Prius" author disputes the "Dust to dust" paper's conclusions because they used arbitrary figures for lifetime mileage, energy used in manufacture, and so on.
      3. The "Hummer vs Prius" author claims a quick recalculation shows the lifetime energy cost of a Prius is, indeed, lower than the Hummer.

    92. Re:Renewable or infinite? by pla · · Score: 2

      The argument being made is that expensive and potentially hazardous materials are required to make wind turbines and solar panels.

      Wind turbines use essentially the same materials as an electric motor, albeit optimized for working backward (not to mention, they use the same materials as every other mechanical-to-electrical energy converter in common use, whether powered by coal or nuclear or geothermal). Solar panels use essentially the same materials as CPUs.

      Trying to justify the stance that we can't use them to generate power amounts to the same argument as saying we can't use that power (for anything more interesting than heat and light), either.

    93. Re:Renewable or infinite? by BasilBrush · · Score: 4, Informative

      When the batteries fail on them, they will end up scrapped, no one will want a crappy economy car with a dead battery that doesn't even get good gas mileage anymore.

      Early Priuses are now more than 10 years old and the batteries have hardly degraded. Looks like they don't need to be changed any more often than an engine in an internal combustion engine car.

      http://news.consumerreports.org/cars/2011/02/200000-mile-toyota-prius-still-performs.html

      Note the average life of a car is about 13 years. The very first production Priuses are already older than that.

    94. Re:Renewable or infinite? by wired_parrot · · Score: 1

      I think you missed the point. The article is not arguing in favour of coal, oil or any other non-renewable energy source. He is pointing out that the "renewable" energy sources have their own sets of environmental issues that need to be addressed and shouldn't be ignored. The need for water in solar-thermal installations is a valid concern, when most solar plant installations are being planned in arid desert areas, for example. These concerns shouldn't be swept aside by environmentalists for the greater good of green energy, because if they are, the oil and coal industry would be just as happy to point them out, and the debate will be defined by oilmen instead.

    95. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The argument is idiotic. The materials can be recycled when we are done with them. This is also true about the materials used to make coal, oil, and gas power plants, but it is critically NOT true about fossil fuels.

    96. Re:Renewable or infinite? by robthebloke · · Score: 5, Informative

      The massive problem is the long term cost of decommissioning. I was at primary school when they started decommissioning my local nuclear plant. I'll be dead by the time they've finished.....
      That's one hell of a burden we are placing on our grand children.....

    97. Re:Renewable or infinite? by turbidostato · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Not at all, since the other species take the best management decision they can given circumstances: do not go nucular.

    98. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Really the question is, are these things better on the whole than fossil and nuclear fuels? I suspect that the answer is yes

      The answer is, maybe. It is true ONLY if you do not care about 100% reliable power supply. If you can live with days without having your fridge or lights working. Then, renewable is great. In parts of Africa, where partial electrification is better than nothing, wind works. But if you want industry and not nomadic and agrarian lifestyle, it simply is too expensive to go with renewable alone.

      I've done a little exercise about capital costs (ie. price) of having even a 12-24h battery backed backup to the grid if the grid is 100% wind powered. Wind, while it is unlikely it will completely stop over large areas, has been known to have prolonged calm. This is especially true during very hot heat waves where there is a high pressure cell parked over top of you for a week or two. The bottom line, it is as expensive to build a 20h battery backup to the grid using lead acid batteries (and I'm ignoring the cost of mining all that lead, never mind the supply needed!) than it is to build a 100% nuclear power plant electric grid. Now, the lead batteries will need replacing every few years, while nuclear reactors are OK for 60 years, more or less without significant changes. The cost does not include the cost of actual wind power, just battery costs.

      So is wind power "useless"? Far from it. It serves great as additional power source to augment the grid. This is especially true for hydroelectric + wind, these are complementary. Hydroelectric rarely runs at 100% due to lack of water. Wind has about 40% yearly load factor, on average. So both can be used together to achieve higher overall baseload.

      But that's how far I would take wind. Using wind as a major source of power for the grid is politics, not practicality. It will require overbuilt grid with fossil fuel backups. The cost of these backups will be the same as if wind never even existed in the first place, basically doubling cost of electricity so we can "feel good" about it.

      Anyway, I do not view your comparison of renewables vs. fossil + nuclear. I view the future as nuclear + renewables vs. fossil. It is time for environmentalists to be *practical* for a change and learn about nuclear fuel cycle. Nuclear power does not pollute.

      In worse case accidents accidents, it is *humans* that pay the price not the natural world (mostly due to fear, not rationality, but I'm fine with this). In case of fossil fuels and renewables, the opposite is true - the environment suffers while we reap the rewards. This reality of nuclear power why it is ideal from environmental point of view. It ha the lowest impact. Nuclear power is the only source of energy where WE have to deal with ALL the wastes and not just dump them into the environment. And this is why I support it.

    99. Re:Renewable or infinite? by iserlohn · · Score: 2

      Which, funnily enough, needs energy.... hum....

    100. Re:Renewable or infinite? by chriso11 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Well, I looked into the amount of water an equivalent coal-powered generator would use. It turns out 1GW of coal power uses 13500 acre-ft of water (4.4billion gal) per year, vs the 600 acre-feet for the solar project.

      --
      No, I don't trust in god. He'll have to pay up front, like everybody else.
    101. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Pieroxy · · Score: 1

      But the GP uses the paper to assert that "[hybrids] are still better over the lifetime of the vehicle". This paper doesn't prove that. It proves that a Hummer is worse than a Prius.

      As far as I can tell, without clicking the link, my comment still stand.

    102. Re:Renewable or infinite? by drsquare · · Score: 0

      Of course because coal stations and oil refineries are made out of rainbows and unicorn shit. More right-wing Luddite shit from America.

    103. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "(or mining celestial bodies)"

      Right, because one thing that a culture that's running out of energy is good at, is sending humungous mining robots into space (which don't exist BTW) to get back less energy than what it took to make the robot.

      Space Nutter detected!

    104. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But other than RTGs, nuke plants are still used to heat up water which operates steam turbines. That side of the plant is little different than what's done with coal or other fuel sources. And it still requires a lot of water. (Even water cycle plants don't need that much water on the primary side. It's pretty much close to sealed off as you can get it once operating.)

      However, based on what modern super-power navies have been doing - if you put your reactors on or anywhere near the ocean - the cooling water issue becomes a moot point. You'll never run out. (At least until the sun goes boom.) In regards to a typical civilian power plant, if you replaced the cooling towers with a desalination plant you'd get a two-fer usage out of an ocean cooled nuclear plant. (Power and fresh water. Why waste that heat?) I think the only reason why we don't see combined power/desalination facilities constructed is the NIMBY factor, extra hardening of the facilites (must withstand storms/hurricanes, tsunamis), and outside of any catastrophic failure - possible environmental risk from concentrated brine effluent that such facility may produce.

    105. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Beardo+the+Bearded · · Score: 1

      I ride a bike, so I'm getting a kick out of your comparison.

      --

      ---
      ECHELON is a government program to find words like bomb, jihad, plutonium, assassinate, and anarchy.
    106. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, strictly speaking nothing is renewable. Most of our power sources (including fossil and nuclear -- and in part geothermal, because much of the earth's heat comes from radioactive decay) are ultimately stellar fusion power. At some time, all the hydrogen in the universe will have fused, and then no more stellar fusion power will be produced. Also power from gravitational systems (tidal power, the non-nuclear part of geothermal) is a large, but finite resource.

    107. Re:Renewable or infinite? by heinousjay · · Score: 0

      You are absolutely free to live like them and make the comparison valid, otherwise, you don't actually have a point.

      --
      Slashdot - where whining about luck is the new way to make the world you want.
    108. Re:Renewable or infinite? by symbolset · · Score: 2, Funny

      Bikes consume even more fossil fuels than a Hummer. It turns out you're a really inefficient engine for propulsion, and while you don't consume fossil fuels, the things you consume do.

      --
      Help stamp out iliturcy.
    109. Re:Renewable or infinite? by pla · · Score: 5, Insightful

      When the batteries fail on them, they will end up [snip]

      I believe the word you wanted looks more like "recycled". People don't just toss 99% recyclable $3000 batteries like they do with a pair of dead double-As.


      A 67 Camaro is better than a Prius, even 44 years later it is still desirable, people will still fix them

      A 67 Camaro gets 15MPG. A Prius gets 50MPG. After 10 years of typical (1k miles/month) use at today's gas prices ($3.50/gallon), keeping that "desirable" Camaro on the road will have cost you literally the price of a new Prius ($19600) more.

      The word "better" can mean an awfully lot of different things to different people. I can't, however, find a way to use it to describe something more expensive, less safe, and with fewer features - Other than the dumb nostalgia of "I wanted one as a kid and can finally afford it 40 years later".


      And for the record, I don't own a Prius. I most certainly will, however, as soon as my current car dies.

    110. Re:Renewable or infinite? by SuperQ · · Score: 1

      Spent fuel rods with long strongly radioactive times like you are talking about come from LWR reactors. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Light_water_reactor)

      These "spent" rods can be recycled into the perfect fuel for several other kinds of reactors that use the U238 "waste" directly as fuel.

      See:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liquid_fluoride_thorium_reactor
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CANDU_reactor

    111. Re:Renewable or infinite? by higuita · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Fine, but nuclear is NOT environmentally neutral!! you forget that nuclear generate nuclear waste that take thousand of years to read safer levels and even in a mine are dangerous, water can enter, spread to the floor to the water fields and back to the human contact...

      Also, a single big nuclear "leak" might produce more "pollution" than any of the other options... as history shows, nothing works without problems, accidents or evil doing can happen.

      --
      Higuita
    112. Re:Renewable or infinite? by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 1

      Or, he understands that the last war we entered was strictly to secure the country's oil resources. Or, he understands all the subsidies and tax breaks that exist for oil and coal companies. I'm guessing you're a tea partier?

      --
      Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
    113. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Another problem with nuclear power is that we are not charging the power companies with the huge external costs associated with incidents and with storage of wastes. Since in the US the government (and future generations of taxpayers for the waste that lasts several thousands of years) foots the bill for storage of radioactive wastes, the nuclear power companies are effecticely receiving huge government subsudies, which does make nuclear power appear cheaper.

      Also, who payed the bill for evacuating Chernobyl or Fukushima? The governments? Who paid for the environmental damage? Yeah, we need to change that.

      As far as renewability and longevity of fuel supplies, though, yeah, it is better than petrol or coal. It's just too bad that these companies aren't correctly financially charged for externalities.

    114. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Rising+Ape · · Score: 1

      Where I live, the solar companies are howling loudly about a reduction in the feed-in tariff (subsidy) provided to PV from eight times the wholesale electricity cost to a mere four times. At this, lower price, apparently solar power is not viable and a lot of proposed projects are being cancelled.

      If solar is so cheap, how come it's not viable at five times the standard price of electricity?

    115. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Surt · · Score: 1

      If you like biomass, we should really put our efforts into solar research. Because biomass is just solar power collected very inefficiently.

      --
      "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
    116. Re:Renewable or infinite? by tp1024 · · Score: 1

      You mean like solar power or wind power in countries where those are not privileged?

      Wherever those are supposedly "successful" there are laws in place that guarantee that all power they generate is paid for - whether it is needed or not. Germany has run out of grid capacity years ago because of that policy. Since 2008 wind power generation has remained stagnant (even fallen by 10%) despite a 25% increase in generation capacity, because there are no power lines between northern and eastern Germany, where most of it is generated, and Southern and Western Germany, where it is needed. Wind turbines then have to be shut down to avoid a grid collapse. (Don't worry, the money keeps flowing, even for electricity not generated.) If they had to actually sell their electricity on an equal footing with everybody else, wind power would collapse.

      I'm not even talking about the absurd prices of wind and solar. France shut down the Super Phenix reactor in 1997 when it became clear that its power would cost between 6 ct/kWh initially (running 50% of the time) and about 4ct/kWh (running 80% of the time). Luxurious compared to wind or solar, but too expensive compared to 2-3ct/kWh PWR power plants.

    117. Re:Renewable or infinite? by myrdos2 · · Score: 3, Informative

      The wikipedia has this to say about the Prius battery: "They are normally charged to 40–60% of maximum capacity to prolong battery life". As such, they don't reflect the lifespan of a battery that will be fully recharged after each use.

    118. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Surt · · Score: 2

      I'd say we're the worst: no other species has a higher count of nuclear disasters, nuclear disasters per population, or pretty much any other metric with regards to frequency of nuclear disasters.

      --
      "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
    119. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Surt · · Score: 1

      The solar heating problem won't kill us for closer to a billion years. And we actually have the technology to solve that one today (and it will only get cheaper with time). So the moment that threat gets serious enough, we'll solve it.

      --
      "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
    120. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 2, Informative

      "On the contrary, I would argue that the problem with nuclear power is that, as is becoming increasingly clear, people's fears about it are *justified*."

      Nonsense. All significant accidents have happened in old (in some cases, 3 "generations" old) technology plants, and sometimes human error was a major component.

      Newer designs are inherently safer. Chernobyl, for example, was a poorly-constructed plant using technology that was long outdated even when it was built. The majority of damage in Japan was caused by the improper storage of spent fuel right at the reactors -- areas that were neither designed nor safe for such storage.

      Use newer technology (like molten-salt thorium reactors, for example), and you can virtually eliminate the problems that have plagued old nuclear plants, while protecting natural resources... we have plenty of thorium, for example. Thorium reactors are also -- or can be -- "breeder" reactors that produce more fuel than they consume. They can also be designed to eliminate the biggest causes of human error, making them that much safer still.

    121. Re:Renewable or infinite? by tinkerghost · · Score: 1

      Actually - a 'spent' fuel rod still has about 80% of it's original isotopes in it. If you were allowed to re-process it, thats 4 brand new rods for every 5 old rods - and an 80% reduction in waste. Add to that the ability to feed the waste into a breeder reactor & you can convert a plants 'spent' fuel into more energy and low level waste.
      The problem isn't with the creation of nuclear waste, it's with how it's being handled - or not handled. Because reprocessing the rods would produce weapons grade materials - the US forbids it. Because it's so much safer to have thousands of tons of radioactive material sitting in hundreds of sites rather than a few nukes worth of stuff in a single central location that can be well guarded and controlled.

    122. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Surt · · Score: 4, Insightful

      But the fear and NIMBY are directly caused by the nuclear industry's crying of 'no-wolf' turning out to be untrue. Now they are crying 'no-wolf' again, and asking us to trust them. They have a credibility problem so sever it likely cannot be solved until the impacted generation passes on.

      --
      "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
    123. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Thorium reactors have been built, and a couple are still operating. India is building a commercial thorium plant right now.

    124. Re:Renewable or infinite? by publiclurker · · Score: 2

      Well since they are normally charged at the lower level, why would you charge it more. Assuming you aren't just trying to skew the test results for some reason.

    125. Re:Renewable or infinite? by sjames · · Score: 1

      They do offer the possibility to charge them with cleaner energy. Or we can snatch defeat from the jaws of victory and charge them with a poorly maintained coal plant.

    126. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Suck on that, rabbits!

    127. Re:Renewable or infinite? by skids · · Score: 1

      While that might be relevant when comparing hybrids to EVs to assess the current state of battery technology, it is not relevent to the point at hand.

      Oh, and since the above link only addresses that silly hummer FUD, while it is not by an independent research firm, what Toyota has to say on the matter is still interesting (PDF),

    128. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think the real point is that we're fucked. Yes, fossil fuels and nuclear are worse, but wind/solar/biomass/geothermal won't save us either, for the same reasons.

      I believe solar will save us. Need more energy? Build more solar panels. Suburbia takes up lots of space, stick solar panels over roads, buildings, front yards, everything. Need more storage? Build more Zebra batteries, or the new kind that Sadoway is working on. Yes, building this infrastructure will require a one time mining, but once mined, can be recycled many times.

      The big question is if everyone can afford those solar panels.

    129. Re:Renewable or infinite? by wierd_w · · Score: 4, Interesting

      This is not true. Unless you live in an anarchy dominated territory, like somalia, you really cannot "live like they do" without violating several laws, including tax evasion.

      Say for instance, I quit my job and packed up a knife, an axe, a tent, and some various other sundry items, then headed west into the large expanses of BLM owned forested wilderness:

      Unless I sell all my properties first, and liquidate all my accounts, and sell my vehicle when I get there, I am guilty of tax evasion. (Property taxes, vehicular taxes, income taxes.)

      Then, upon arrival, should I set my axe against the BLM owned forest so as to build myself a survival structure and to start a cooking fire, I break several more laws.

      Illegal poaching, destruction of public property, endangering public property, building without a permit, creating a permanent structure that does not meet building code... (you get the idea.)

      Simply put, what you suggest as the baseline comparison is not legally permitted in countries where there is an energy problem, and is actively discouraged by the governments of those countries which do.

      This is why it is absurd to demand such measures from people wanting reform in energy production. If they are hipicrites for wanting such while consuming dirty energy, it is because they are forced into a legal catch-22 where there is no legal alternaative. Asserting that there is such an alternative without first getting said power production reform to enable its use is downright disingenuous.

    130. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      But even with the occasional cock-up nuclear is still better than the coal plants we already have, radiation-wise (the smoke from coal plants is more radioactive than you might think), and they won't cook us in CO2, which is a much more pressing problem than radioactive waste.
      Even if you don't consider nuclear the full solution for our energy demands, it's at least an improvement over pre-existing plants. The downside is of course that the buggers have an insane start-up cost. Yes, they'll pay themselves back over time, but a huge up-front investment is required, which makes it attractive for governments and power companies to cave to public protests and shift the problem on the next generation.

    131. Re:Renewable or infinite? by skids · · Score: 1

      What's so intermediate about a power source that requires almost a decade to build a new plant?

    132. Re:Renewable or infinite? by eggstasy · · Score: 1

      But we need to consume those things anyway, and biking a few miles per day does not significantly increase your energy needs.

    133. Re:Renewable or infinite? by patjhal · · Score: 1

      I hope your joking. Most of the things you consume keep you alive. Very little extra is needed to ride a bike. You eat basically the same amount bike commuting or sitting your ass in a car. If you did need to eat more everyone would bike commute and gorge on high calorie food.

    134. Re:Renewable or infinite? by JMJimmy · · Score: 1

      Actually that's not what that states at all. It states that when revisiting the same data without the invalid assumption that a hummer will last over 300,000 miles and a Prius will only last 100,000 miles that the numbers prove the opposite point that the original study was claiming.

    135. Re:Renewable or infinite? by sjames · · Score: 1

      The uranium and thorium available might actually be enough to get us through the perpetual 50 years to practical fusion power. We should use as much renewable energy as possible while we're at it, but it seems that just isn't enough alone.

      Note that no "renewable energy' is technically renewable. Eventually the sun will go out. It's just that by that time we either get off the planet or go extinct.

    136. Re:Renewable or infinite? by JMJimmy · · Score: 1

      oh and before I forget:

      Even if the battery pack had to be replaced every 1-2 years (not the case) Toyota has a $200 bounty on used batteries so that they can recycle them.

      As for "reduced space" - there is no reduced space. The gas engine/tank/etc are reduced in size and the hybrid components fit in the space previously allotted to the gas engine. The Prius has 93.7 cubic feet of passenger space and 21.6 cubic feet of trunk space. Compare this to say, the Ford Focus which has 93.4 cubic feet of passenger space and only 14 cubic feet of trunk space. They're only 0.6 inches different in length.

    137. Re:Renewable or infinite? by drb226 · · Score: 1

      Well if you just *count* the disasters, it makes us look bad. (Reminds me of a book I've never read: How to Lie with Statistics). If you look at disasters per nuclear plant managed, the statistics are undefined (0/0) for all other species.

    138. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Renewable doesnt mean infinite.

      What does it mean then? Because really, there is no qualitative difference between "renewable" and "non-renewable" sources.

    139. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What burden? It *just sits there*. That's one part of the process - for the radionuclei to make themselves disappeared. Not sure if I can make it simpler.

      Unlike chemical pollution that will last forever (see dioxin contamination), and rehabilitation of the site requires intervention, with nuclear sites, you can get rid off MOST of the problem by simply *waiting* and sitting on your ass while the problem goes away due to laws of physics. You just keep taps on it so the building remains intact. That is all. It's the *cheapest* option available. Then later, the final cleanup costs are but a tiny fraction of what they would be if you went gung-ho and try to do anything within the first few months after it was shut down and fuel removed.

      If you want a HELL of a burden placed on our grand children, just look at the chaos Global Warming, and general pollution associated with "the other" energy sources (never mind species extinctions, deforestation, and fisheries collapses). I don't know, I would rather have some former nuclear plant sitting there for 200 years until it decays to long term, low level radiation contaminants rather than any other issue we are facing.

    140. Re:Renewable or infinite? by JMJimmy · · Score: 1

      It is inane and will lead to biased results. This paper was countering that original study which said the hummer was more environmentally friendly over time.

      By not clicking the link you missed out on the fact that it wasn't only a comparison of those two vehicles but rather numerous vehicles including the Accord, Escape, Civic, Highlander.

      What you also missed out on is that a half dozen or so reports from various sources determined that the energy used in the production of gas is about 8% and the production of the vehicle sits between 7% and 12% whether it's hybrid or not.

    141. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why not building reactors at sites which are already f* up, like Chernobyl or Fukushima? Who will complain if some reactor explodes again? It's already 100% contaminated!

      I'm a genius...

      (Idea 100% personal. No one has nothing to do with it... besides, would someone really claim to be the author of this?)

    142. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is nothing unsafe about a nuclear plant. Check out the link below.

      I would prefer to live near a nuclear plant than a coal plant. The exhaust from coal plants kills a lot of people every week. Nuclear power has killed a lot of people twice in history.

      http://nextbigfuture.com/2011/03/deaths-per-twh-by-energy-source.html

    143. Re:Renewable or infinite? by rubycodez · · Score: 4, Informative

      I'd rather have reactors that can't possibly melt down. we invented those over 25 years ago, but still use gen I and generation II designs which are inherently dangerous, need constant cooling for months even after shut down.

    144. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Spoke · · Score: 4, Informative

      To be fair, the original Prius (Gen I - 2003 and older) batteries are starting to fail fairly regularly now that they're pretty old. But replacing them isn't that expensive - best bet is to replace the pack with a refurbished pack and send your old one back to the refurbisher to salvage the usable parts and recycle the rest. Many opt to refurb the pack with the cells from a Gen II (2004-2009) pack which are more robust and perform better.

      Gen II Prius batteries are much more robust than the Gen I batteries - the occasional pack still fails here or there (usually because of a weak cell, not because the whole pack fails) but even then the best route is to replace the pack with a refurbished unit for half the price of a new pack.

      There are shops that specialize in this (like Luscious Garage - their blog has lots of info on what normally goes wrong in hybrids as well as how well they hold up under taxi use), though the best shops tend to be in locations where there is a high concentration of hybrid vehicles.

      All that said - one doesn't need to worry about hybrid battery failure - in their best selling states (CARB states) the batteries are warranted for 10 years / 150k miles. You can be sure that the manufacturers have engineered them to hold up for at least that long - frequently replacing batteries that fail certainly isn't good for business.

    145. Re:Renewable or infinite? by runningduck · · Score: 1

      It turns out that the same slight of hand is used with runways which only last so long because they choose to have airplanes come into contact at specific angles instead of just belly flopping at a single point. Just think about how much more efficient runway construction could be. It is obviously all a shame.

      --
      -rd
    146. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Hentes · · Score: 1

      Which is why we shouldn't shut down the existing ones. Also, you can build them in parallel, thus building all would not cost more time than building one.

    147. Re:Renewable or infinite? by jackspenn · · Score: 0

      People who are pro-biomass, make me laugh. Isn't it more logical to use oil and natural gas first on this planet and then transition to biomass as it begins to run out? I believe the current supply of oil and coal came from something like 60 million years of tropical plants making that biomass and then 200 million years of it being converted into coal and oil. So whatever we could make in a year minus the energy it takes to get into a usable form, we have roughly 60 million times more in the ground and it requires less energy to get into a usable form. I know, I know there I go with logic again.

      PS - C02 is not a pollutant or nearly as effective a greenhouse gas as say H20. Just ask your plants if they have a problem with C02 (Ok, that would be silly we all know the only plant that talks is marijuana after you have smoked enough of it's leaves). Carbon neutral, is code for give up more of your liberties. What is worse giving your rights and freedoms to the state (or worse world government) or having the temperature go up 1% in the next 100 years? That is assuming GW was real, which FYI it has gotten colder the last decade.

      --
      Respect the Constitution
    148. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Nemyst · · Score: 1

      No, nuclear power is not renewable and is not a perfect solution. But it is amongst the best ones we currently have available.

      The problem is when people, faced with the choice of a new, imperfect solution and the status quo, almost invariably choose the status quo. There is a point where we must take what we have; the alternative is far too dire.

    149. Re:Renewable or infinite? by lightknight · · Score: 1

      Nothing is environmentally neutral. *Shhhhhhhhhh!* It's a big secret.

      And as for the nuclear waste, the general rule is the more dangerous something is, the shorter the half-life it has. This is a general rule, with a few exceptions, but it tends to work.

      --
      I am John Hurt.
    150. Re:Renewable or infinite? by lightknight · · Score: 1

      Not if the solution has become a cultural taboo by that point.

      --
      I am John Hurt.
    151. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh yes. If people are going to "upgrade" their electronics, they might as well properly dispose them. And properly disposing things should also mean common batteries, like AA batteries, and also CFLs.

    152. Re:Renewable or infinite? by CohibaVancouver · · Score: 2

      You eat basically the same amount bike commuting or sitting your ass in a car

      True. The difference is that the bike commuters "in general" aren't fat like car commuters.

    153. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Surt · · Score: 1

      Hmm ... universally across the world, without ever having been tried? This does not seem like a likely outcome. The price of implementing a solution to solar heating will be within reach of basically every country in 100 years, barring some sort of collapse of civilization.

      --
      "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
    154. Re:Renewable or infinite? by sgbett · · Score: 1

      I'm not fat, I'm just a high capacity battery!

      --
      Invaders must die
    155. Re:Renewable or infinite? by shilly · · Score: 1

      But this is simply because the externalities are not fully factored into the build or operate costs for the power plants. Fossil fuel plants don't pay anywhere near the costs of mitigating their environmental impact. So they look artificially cheap.

    156. Re:Renewable or infinite? by JMJimmy · · Score: 1

      "of what can be extracted" is the key statement there. 1% of the total energy stored but not necessarily can be extracted with current technology/economics

    157. Re:Renewable or infinite? by lightknight · · Score: 1

      Chernobyl was a source of infinite stupidity.

      They performed a series of tests, on a live nuclear reactor, WITH (ALMOST) ALL THE SAFETIES DISENGAGED. Purposefully disengaged. For experiments. On a live reactor.

      And one of the fail-safe pumps, I believe, that was supposed to work, was never actually tested. Something about the manufacturer wanted a bonus for completing the work (well, the workers wanted their bonus, and they needed to complete it by a certain date or ahead of schedule in order to collect), so they skipped the tests. I think it was declared a Worker's Victory, or something of some similar nonsense.

      The point is, we have dedicated reactors, in the US, that we perform research in. Some of them are actually safe enough to walk around in. And while I am partial to return on investment, we reeeeeeeaaaaaaaaallllllllyyyyyy need to retire the Model-T of reactor designs.

      --
      I am John Hurt.
    158. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

      No, the word I was looking for was NOT recycled. It was the one I used, scrapped, as in, sold for scrap. Prius' will be scrapped in large numbers. Pieces here and there might be recycled in the process, as will be the steel, but the end product will require all the energy and a great portion of the materials to make another car. 67 Camaros (as an example, there are plenty of great cars that fit the bill) are generally not scrapped. Dreary eco-boxes are scrapped, I've been to enough scrap yards to see it in action.

      I would never buy a Prius. It is one of the worst cars I have ever driven, numb steering, somewhat dangerous handling (low rolling resistance tires = low grip tires, affects both turning and stopping) no power, and one of the ugliest cars ever made. Aesthetically, dynamically, and environmentally, they're crap. Realistically, they will be scrapped. No one will want one in 20 years, there's zero desirability outside the "I appear green" reason. Plenty of cars get better gas mileage without the idiotic pitfalls and cost less. Most of them will end up in the scrap heap as well.

      You can't find a reason someone would want a 67 Camaro rather than a Prius besides nostalgia? That's sad. You must really hate cars. Of course, you said you're buying a Prius, so I'm being redundant.

    159. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      or a high capacity buttery. Sorry, couldn't resist.

      Did you know that the food chart in the 40's recommended at least two tablespoons of butter a day as part of a healthy diet? Probably better than eating all these new modified fats and starches that our bodies don't even know how to digest. :-)

    160. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A worse burden is the national debt we are leaving our children, but I have never seen a environmentalist that had a problem with the welfare state.

    161. Re:Renewable or infinite? by lightknight · · Score: 1

      It's intermediate until we crack nuclear fusion. After which every nuclear fission proponent of every color will stop supporting nuclear fission, and move onto nuclear fusion. We really wouldn't be supporting a form of energy that is as....interesting...as nuclear fission if we hadn't already weighed the costs and benefits of all the other ones, and found this one favorable.

      --
      I am John Hurt.
    162. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      None of those tests tested the battery life of the battery.

    163. Re:Renewable or infinite? by jhoegl · · Score: 1

      Motorcycles actually put out more harmful emissions than vehicles, ala Mythbusters.

    164. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A millennium? Only if our energy needs don't continue to grow exponentially. The scariest blog in the world warns us that thermodynamics requires the surface of the earth to reach 100C in about 400 years. That doesn't depend on what type of energy we're using, just that the energy use grows exponentially. It falls out of the laws of thermodynamics without ever taking into effect things like the greenhouse effect. So we cannot continue to grow our energy consumption at current levels for 1000 years. If we did, earth would be hotter than the surface of the sun by that time. (Scroll down to the section labeled "Thermodynamic Limits." Somebody should explain to that guy how to use anchors.)

    165. Re:Renewable or infinite? by shilly · · Score: 1

      Actually, the article being linked to shows that the original claim that the Hummer comes out ahead is utter horseshit

    166. Re:Renewable or infinite? by eh2o · · Score: 1

      Green tech is also not necessarily helping our economy (in the US at least), solar panel installation is a growing industry but not solar panel production. China dominates the market in green technology manufacturing, in part due to their forward-looking strategies such as subsidies for domestic polysilicon production and the export restrictions on rare-earth materials.

    167. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ever heard of energy balance? Better not discuss with physics. I guess even corrupting physics has never worked out.

    168. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How about the amount of mercury output in the fumes of the coal centrals? China or not, I doubt that *you* would want to anywhere close to an incinerator, even a recent one.

    169. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Stormthirst · · Score: 1

      That's kinda the point though. Gas and oil *is* running out. Peak Oil happened back in the 70's

      As for Carbon Neutral being code for giving up liberties? That's rubbish. No one is infringing you liberties by suggesting you move to a carbon neutral source of energy. It might cost more to switch, but that's mostly an economy of scale issue, than anything else. I'd love to see how you connect those dots - but I'd suspect it would involve smoking more of your aforementioned marijuana.

      CO2 is a pollutant - it clearly changes the quality of the air you breath. On top of that, all the human uses of fuel that create CO2 also create other pollutants, many of which are incredibly harmful to the environment of everyone around you. But don't let that infringe your liberties you selfish idiot.

    170. Re:Renewable or infinite? by nmos · · Score: 1

      I'm pretty sure the folks who run the conventional power plants account for the cost of the materials needed to build/maintain their plants and we see the result on our electric bill (coal/gas are much cheaper). IMHO the only argument for green tech has to do with the external costs of polution, CO2 etc . If you're talking strictly about the cost to build, operate, and maintain there's really no contest.

    171. Re:Renewable or infinite? by rbrander · · Score: 1

      Look up the energy content of uranium and thorium, and the world reserves, and the Japanese experiment with extraction from seawater, and do the math, assuming that with an exttra cent per kwH you can pay for reprocessing or the seawater trick.Your "eventually" becomes many millenia. Many.

      A favourite dump on nuclear power is the free subsidy it gets from government research; but divide original R&D by millenia and it isn't so much . We'll be driven there eventually because everything else does run out: sites where you can put wind turbines or solar farms that are also near consumers, massive storage of hydro to balance out intermittent sources no good for base load, good geothermal spots. And once we finally go there, we'll stay for millenia (unless we get fusion, somewhere over the rainbow, but that's nuclear too) and the R&D will look cheap.

    172. Re:Renewable or infinite? by eh2o · · Score: 1

      The current designs for wind-turbines and electric cars rely heavily on neodymium magnets, without which they would operate at a fraction of the efficiency. Neodymium extraction is extremely toxic, and for the past decade or more nearly all of it is done in China where the environmental side effects and worker safety issues are largely ignored.

      We need to develop methods of neodymium extraction that are safe and inexpensive to compete with China. Or, to develop new types of generators and motors that don't need permanent magnets, e.g., switched reluctance motors (which are very non-linear and difficult to control but it is possible).

    173. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Patch86 · · Score: 1

      It's probably safe to assume that a car with 10 years and 200,000 miles on the clock has been used pretty much as intensively as any normal user (my car is 1 year older than that, and is only on half that many miles). What usage pattern would you need to adopt in order to knacker the battery in the way you describe?

    174. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Mashiki · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Your prius gets 50mpg? Well that's not bad, should I tell you that I just finished driving nearly 5000mi, in a '96 saturn and got around 49mpg on the highway. Yep, a car that's 15 years old, getting nearly the same performance.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    175. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      [Quote]you forget that nuclear generate nuclear waste that take thousand of years to read safer levels[/quote]

      That's not an engineering problem though, that's a legal problem. With breeder reactors we could lower that from thousands of years to two or three hundred. Which is certainly still a significant amount of time, but hardly unmanageable.

    176. Re:Renewable or infinite? by jbolden · · Score: 1

      Does it really take that long? I get quite a bit of new soil within months under a leaf pile or near burned wood.

    177. Re:Renewable or infinite? by 32771 · · Score: 1

      Right, but wouldn't it be nice if it could replace fossil fuels ideally over the next 50 years? If you try to use todays silicon production volume for solar cells you end up with millions of years until replacement. With wind it looks better but still an order of magnitude off from the 50 years.

      Somehow I hope we can deal with the decline coming from peak oil at some time, in a bearable manner.

      --
      Je me souviens.
    178. Re:Renewable or infinite? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      As for wind turbines, I cannot help but think of the kid in Africa who built them out of recycled auto parts.

      So kids in Africa build wind turbines from recyceld cars? How do they craft a 130m diameter turbine with 5MW yield from cars? Would be interesting to hear, I guess a noble price or some other industrial award would be in order!
      Africa! Woe, so innovative ... I have to go thee and learn how to achieve that.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    179. Re:Renewable or infinite? by wisnoskij · · Score: 1

      But that is not a absolute, right now we use those things but in the future who knows, maybe we can make solar panels out of 100% bio degradable hemp for example.

      They are fundamentally different because oil and all other classic fuel sources cannot ever be created in a timely enough fashion to meet even a fraction of our needs (I think we use ~ 300 million years worth of oil production every day for example).
      While for solar, by definition, we only use a days worth in one small area (at absolute maximum) to power the solar panel. What techniques we currently use to make the solar panels or the oil rigs is incidental.

      --
      Troll is not a replacement for I disagree.
    180. Re:Renewable or infinite? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Although the thermal plant might have more efficiency, depending on the level of NIMBY, the transmission losses and the overhead of maintaining base-load for the electric grid may make the actual net efficiency closer than anyone may like... Sadly, reality is a must-satisfy condition in this analysis...

      Baselaod: the load you always produce (regardless of demand), basically the minimum power you feed into the grid. This has no "overhead". People who don't know what baseload is, just should stop using the word, like they should stop using words like "law of thermodynamics", kosher, halal etc.

      A electric engine in a car has an efficiency of 95% - 99%.
      Transmission losses in power grids are roughly 7% -8%.
      A thermic power plant has an electric efficiency of roughly 42%.
      Lets assume a battery charge station has an efficiency of 80%, then an electric car fed from a thermal power plant puts roughly 38% of the "thermal" energy produced in a power plant down on the road as traction.

      Now, a combustion engines has an efficiency of roughy 20% (usually less). A car run by that has to take into account: minus transmission losses, catalyzer (yes, that one eats fuel, about 2% - 5% of your total fuel amount).

      So bottom line with counting storage in the car and losses on the power grid an electric car is roughly twice as efficient than a car run on hydro carbones.

      Soooooo how would look that if the power grid was fed with wind and solar power?

      Suddenly the electric car is 4 to 5 times as efficient than a car burning gasoline. In fact it makes no sense to compare them anymore as the term "efficiency" becomes meaningless when you don't have to burn fuel.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    181. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Serious+Callers+Only · · Score: 1

      Incorrect. The problem with nuclear is the cost. There is a good reason no private companies will touch it without huge subsidies. Fusion might be feasible if we can get it to work but for large scale power generation nuclear fission is just too expensive if you actually include real decommissioning, waste and insurance costs. Compared to coal for example it is less polluting but IMO we should be pouring money into hydro, wave and solar to bring the costs down instead of building more coal gas and fission stations.

    182. Re:Renewable or infinite? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      What kind of "solar heating" do you mean?

      The sun wont change much next 4 billin of years, you seem mislead or mix up something.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    183. Re:Renewable or infinite? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      That is assuming GW was real, which FYI it has gotten colder the last decade.

      Where do you live? I would like to move to you!
      OTOH the rest of your post was utter nonsense I can not stand stupid people, better don't tell me where you live. I can not stand dilemmas either!

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    184. Re:Renewable or infinite? by deroby · · Score: 1

      True, but you the thermal engine brings the power (more or less) directly to the drive train while the power plant needs to transport it over (long) wires (=losses), doing some low-high-low-voltage magic along the road (= losses), stuffing it into batteries (= losses) and out again once you actually start using it (= losses).

      That said, having less centralised production by means of solar panels on everyone's roof and/or local wind-turbines might offset quite a bit of supra.

      I'm not a fan the ICE, or at least not of what it runs on most of the time. But I think very few people truly appreciate the amount of energy stored in a liter of fuel. (**) That said, I'm hoping that by the time my current car needs replacing there will be decent EV's at affordable prices, and just like cheap PV-cells are just around the corner, I'm not holding my breath on this oen either =( Currently options seem to be either small and with limited capacity (C-Zero, Leaf, ...) or (very) expensive and by the looks of it not really aimed at family usage (eg. Tesla Roadster). I'm actually hoping that by then there will be a viable Prius plug-in but I guess they'll suffer the same technical hurdles as all the others; they simply have my sympathy for sticking with the concept (and development costs) of hybrids over the years even when they weren't "hip" yet.
      Currently I'm keeping an eye on the Fluence ZE which is here and now and looks practical enough but 160km on a charge isn't quite there yet IMHO. Oh well, I've got at least 3-4 more years before I need to start looking around, I hope =)

      As for the TFA, IMHO, regardless of what we will come up with to produce our electricity, the main hurdle remains storage. There are plenty of ways to get "free" energy converted into what we need, but often time it's neither where nor when we want it... inventing/building a sustainable method to store it -preferably in a distributed pattern- would cut out the 'when' problem and solve 85% if the issues. All that from my armchair-engineer-masters off course.

      (**: if you think about it, people go all happy-greeny for replacing an 80 Watt bulb with a 17 Watt 'energy saver' but then go out and buy a pick-up truck with a 250.000 Watt engine in it !?! I'll agree you won't be using that power all the time, but assuming the thing would put out electricity it would be able to deliver over a 1000 Amps @ 220V ! That's quite a few households.)

      --
      If there is one thing to be learned on slashdot, it has to be sarcasm.
    185. Re:Renewable or infinite? by UpnAtom · · Score: 2

      I'm one. Mind you, Britain's welfare state probably costs 4x per person that of the US.

    186. Re:Renewable or infinite? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Rofl.

      Neodymium is a trace resource found in nearly all other ores (iron, wolfram, tantal, molybdenum etc.), in other words there is no secret pollution involved in refining it, and it is not particular scarce.

      90% of the world Neodymium comes from Brazil, not from China, where they have mines with a very rich Neodymium ore "mix ins".

      Back to homework please.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    187. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well then it's a good thing he corrected himself 3 hours before you posted this.

    188. Re:Renewable or infinite? by cheekyjohnson · · Score: 1

      Right now, anyway.

      --
      Filthy, filthy copyrapists!
    189. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Jappus · · Score: 1

      Bikes consume even more fossil fuels than a Hummer. It turns out you're a really inefficient engine for propulsion, and while you don't consume fossil fuels, the things you consume do.

      Well, I could say now, that I can't remember the last time I drank fossil fuels to recharge my batteries.

      Of course, that was not what you were getting at. It's clear that currently the production of our food consumes lots of fossil fuels by the indirect processes of transportation, fertilizer production, etc. pp.

      But get that: We still need to eat even if we're not using a bicycle, so you can subtract the fossil fuel in the food needed to sustain you lying in bed all day. If you drive a modern bicycle with modest speed (~20km/h); and you're not trying to cross the Alps, you're not burning much more energy than if you had just walked during that time -- all the while crossing much more distance. Thus, over almost all distances, the energy usage of a car is much higher than that of a bicyclist. For one, you only need to lug around some few kilograms of extra mass (even if you transport your own food) instead of the hundreds of kilograms of dead mass that your average car has.

      Furthermore, using less fossil fuel for human food production is much easier than using less fossil fuels for cars; just by the fact that you can reduce the use of fossil fuels on much more fronts with a much broader impact.

      All in all, using Bikes consumes massively less fossil fuels than cars -- even hybrids and full electrics. Just ask the humans of the 19th and early 20th century.

    190. Re:Renewable or infinite? by BeaverCleaver · · Score: 1

      In the 1940s people were a lot more physically active.

    191. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is actually pipelines that crisscross many countries. When buying gas from say the local Exxon you may actually be buying gas produced by BP. However at some point Exxon put x number of gallons in at a wellhead. They then somewhere close to where you live pulled it out of that pipeline. Gas is Gas... They then mix the 'additives' at the local depots. Most of those tanker trucks you see drive 25-50 miles tops...

      How do I know this? Remember Katrina? Well I live *NOWHERE* close to to LA. Yet I had no gas for 2 weeks. Because the gas wellheads were in LA. They were turned off due to flooding.

      http://www.theodora.com/pipelines/united_states_pipelines.html

      What most people though can not get past is the fact pound for pound oil is still *the* 2nd most cheapest form of fuel we have and the number one most portable. Most of the price increase you are seeing right now are due to the repeal of the glass-stegal act and massive amounts of speculation (nearly 70% of produced oil is 'used' for that). Solar/Nuke/Wind are more expensive even with that. The only one that beats it is hydro. It takes most of the alternatives (without tax incentives which mess up the numbers) 15-20 years to ROI and be cheaper. By that time those items are worn out unfortunately. I am not one of those we should only use solar or 'not' use it for whatever reasons. I dont want less energy in our nation (our nation is driven by it). I want more, and more ways to produce it. So if they can make it better than great. But until those alternatives can get better (and more portable) then oil is the big one.

    192. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And don't forget that the "real" solar, is solar thermal collection. Photovoltaics is for hobbyists.

    193. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Dan541 · · Score: 1

      Absolutely, the sooner we go 100% nuclear the better. The scaremongering from the greenies is holding humanity back.

      --
      An SQL query goes to a bar, walks up to a table and asks, "Mind if I join you?"
    194. Re:Renewable or infinite? by thogard · · Score: 1

      A friend had Toyota Camry that got hit with what would have been minor damage. The insurance company would have written it off but had no information about how much it costs to get repairs done one these. It turns out they spent about half the cars new price on getting it fixed and they didn't even replace the rear bumper cover. If those costs don't come way down, the insurance prices is going to go way up meaning there is even less incentive to buy a hybrid or insure one. Once cars stop being insurable their value drops quickly and they tend to get scrapped. I'm sure there will be a few home mechanics who want to rebuild hybrids but right now the costs of that seem like they will exceed the costs of buying a new car.

    195. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "nuclear generate nuclear waste that take thousand of years to read safer levels"

      Not entirely accurate. Nuclear reactors do not produce radioactive "waste" they produce a radioactive by product that is reused to create thermal energy. Only "environmentalists" advocate discarding an energy source as "waste".

    196. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For those of you keeping score:
      GP: (math and facts showing the viability of Prius ownership)
      Parent: TEH PRIUS SUXORZ, AND SO DO U!!!1!!!!111111

      Ironically enough, the pro-Prius side in this discussion has just proven that they emit 67 percent less smug than the anti-Prius side.

    197. Re:Renewable or infinite? by mug+funky · · Score: 1

      don't let it go to waste then, you need to tap that ass!

    198. Re:Renewable or infinite? by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1

      >>It turns out 1GW of coal power uses 13500 acre-ft of water (4.4billion gal) per year, vs the 600 acre-feet for the solar project.

      Yeah, the article is complete rubbish. 600 acre-feet sounds like a lot, except it's not. The Colorado river alone supplies 7.5 million acre-feet a year.

      The guy that wrote the article had no clue as to the relative value of these "numbers" things, or that things like water are indeed "renewable" resources as well.

      You think he could figure out for himself why certain things might be a concern, but other things not, but he just sort of throws everything against the wall to see what sticks. He also assumes that the growth in human energy consumption is some law of nature, and exponential and compounding, when in reality it simply has to do with more humans getting access to electricity and/or air conditioning. Americans are actually using less energy per capita now than in 2000.

      Contrary to what the article believes, we can support 7B people at the US's level of consumption without any major problems.

    199. Re:Renewable or infinite? by ozmanjusri · · Score: 3, Interesting

      But comparing a Hummer and a Prius is completely insane and can only lead to biaised results.

      So how does that differ from suggesting solar power is only possible with photovoltaic panels or desert groundwater steam turbines?
      Or that California's geothermal power is typical of all world installations and other types like HDR don't exist at all.
      Or that the only possible type of wind turbine to use is the type installed in the US in 2009, ignoring newer tech like the blade tip generators (http://www.windtronics.com/honeywell-wind-turbine)
      Or that Biomass is anything but another form of solar.

      Or... Or... Or... But there's no point. This whole article is barely thought out, half-baked page-click bait. WHBT HAND.

      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    200. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Raenex · · Score: 2

      Let's be real here. The vast majority of people are not going to give up the convenience of modern living even if there weren't any legal barriers.

    201. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Solar and wind are finite too.

    202. Re:Renewable or infinite? by mcvos · · Score: 1

      That's true, but the summary is wrong to claim that that's fundamentally the same as relying on non-renewable fuel.

      If implemented correctly, renewable energy can really last us until the sun explodes. That doesn't mean that all current renewable energy plants are done correctly, but it is a solvable problem, unlike the depleting fossil fuel supplies.

    203. Re:Renewable or infinite? by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      Fat people bind carbon in their body and thus fight global warming! :-)

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    204. Re:Renewable or infinite? by myrdos2 · · Score: 1

      Electric vehicles are normally charged to 100% capacity to extend the range. I don't know of any that deliberately charge to less than 100%.

    205. Re:Renewable or infinite? by mdielmann · · Score: 1

      In fact, the pdf is a review of a report from a different group, which was claiming that the Hummer was more efficient "dust-to-dust". This report listed various flaws and warning signs of the original report, starting with a lack of peer review (i.e, could be as realistic as your average fairy tale) and going downhill from there. The end result is to say the report is too flawed to be useful, and even correcting for the flaws that can be, it still isn't possible to verify the value of the report.

      This short review and analysis calls into question the unsubstantiated conclusions of the CNW “Dust to Dust” report – it appears that the report suffers from fatal flaws. Indeed, correcting only a few of these flaws completely changes the conclusions. A full analysis, however, would require more information about the data, assumptions, methods, and calculations used in the report. CNW has not released this information for independent review. We call on them to do so. At that time, it may be possible to accurately review and assess the important question of life-cycle energy for automobiles. Until then, substantial peer-reviewed and verifiable research indicates that the only reliable ways to cut the use of fossil fuels in the transportation sector are to build more efficient automobiles, develop cars that use alternative energy sources, and drive fewer miles.

      --
      Sure I'm paranoid, but am I paranoid enough?
    206. Re:Renewable or infinite? by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      But the big difference between then and now is you were MUCH more likely to be doing a much more manual labor intensive job than you are today. my great grandma ate everything cooked in lard and butter and made sweet tea that was so sweet it would choke you and was healthy as a hog right up to the last 2 years of her life and passed away at age 99. But she got up at 4AM and after a big country breakfast was out tending the fields until lunch and then back out in the fields until supper. I used to think "Bah I lug big heavy servers down 2 flights of stairs, how hard can it be?"...yeah. Working field hand with nothing but hand tools is some seriously back breaking works folks, no damned wonder they could eat anything they want. of course she never ate processed food product either, they slaughtered their own hogs and traded some of the meat to those that slaughtered their own cows.

      as for TFA? That is why we need Thorium reactors AND wind AND solar and a half a dozen other technologies for generating power. Everything i've read on the new Thorium designs they can reprocess until you end up with waste that is no hotter than a DU round and more importantly it can provide power 24/7 rain or shine. while the ultimate goal should be a 100% renewable energy source we just haven't gotten there yet and rising power costs kills the economy. like it or not progress requires power and we will need ever more electricity if we are to move away from fossil fuels and start using electric cars and telecommuting.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    207. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you're also forgetting there are other means of using that "waste" in another type of 'reactor'

    208. Re:Renewable or infinite? by myrdos2 · · Score: 1

      Well, I guess you could alter the charger to stop charging the battery once it reaches 60% capacity... I believe the Prius stops drawing from the battery before it is completely drained as well. But in that situation, you'd be looking at making very short trips only.

      I would just use up your battery as you see fit. I suspect the price of lithium ion batteries will continue to drop within the next 5-10 years.Tthe US government expects the cost of an electric vehicle to fall to $3,333 by 2030: http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/gas_graphic_fullsize.jpg

    209. Re:Renewable or infinite? by myrdos2 · · Score: 1

      Oops, that should have been the cost of the battery, not the vehicle.

    210. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Grishnakh · · Score: 0

      Not only that, this completely neglects the effect of recycling. Just because a solar panel or wind turbine gets old and needs to be replaced doesn't mean all the materials in those devices needs to go into a landfill, you just need to recycle them. In fact, since these materials are at a much higher purity state than, say, raw ore, it'll take far less energy to recycle these solar panels or turbines into new ones than to create new ones from raw materials.

      Wind turbines in particular aren't made of exotic materials to my knowledge, just some kind of blades, and then a big electric motor (used as a generator), which is mostly copper and iron. The copper windings in old electric motors are already recycled to a very large extent, because pure copper is quite valuable, and it's just plain stupid when it's thrown in the landfill.

    211. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not necessarily. All of the animals on earth use nuclear fusion via plants and the sun. So, I would say that humans are actually the worst at managing nuclear power amongst all animals in the animal kingdom.

    212. Re:Renewable or infinite? by tick-tock-atona · · Score: 1

      Nonsense. All significant accidents have happened in old (in some cases, 3 "generations" old) technology plants, and sometimes human error was a major component.

      When it comes to failures in complex, potentially deadly systems like nuclear plants, "human error" isn't ever a factor. If the system relies on a human to act a certain way without a failsafe then it is just bad design, pure and simple. This book explains it well.

    213. Re:Renewable or infinite? by ozmanjusri · · Score: 2

      So GP didn't RTFA, you didn't RTFA. I guess everybody wins!

      I read TFA, and can vouch for the fact that anyone who didn't read it won.

      It most certainly wasn't an "Excellent piece" and showed almost nothing "about what renewables can and can't do". About the only truthful part of the summary is that it does appear to be written by Dawn Stover, though the lack of mention of whichever lobby group sponsored it is disturbing.

      Low quality, factually misleading garbage. No wonder it's on the Slashdot front page.

      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    214. Re:Renewable or infinite? by shentino · · Score: 1

      The fallacy is expecting that humans will cut back on their own usage for the sake of society as a whole.

      "Privatize profits, socialize losses" is the motto of the corporate capitalist.

      "Privatize losses, socialize profits" is the motto of the naive hippy that gullibly remains unaware of the fact that there are greedy people who cheat the system.

      It's hard enough resisting the self interested nature that "looks out for number one" to try and benefit society as a whole.

      Holding back when others greedily steam ahead and take your share anyway is almost impossible.

      Cutting back on your own portion when others steal your part of the pie anyway only makes them fatter and doesn't save the baker any work.

    215. Re:Renewable or infinite? by shentino · · Score: 1

      So why did they quit making them?

      Not enough profits for the petro industry?

      People just love to consume, and they're not going to stop it.

      If the real problem is too much energy being used, then we may as well admit that humanity is the selfish race we already know it to be in our own hearts.

      Eating a big share of the pie just to make sure nobody else takes it away is only going to empty the pan faster.

    216. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Surt · · Score: 1

      Not me:
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sun#Life_cycle

      The sun will be steadily brightening over the next 4 billion years before going red giant. It will make the earth quite toasty.

      --
      "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
    217. Re:Renewable or infinite? by shentino · · Score: 1

      Here's something that burns less per person:

      Public mass transporation, such as buses and trains.

      Also see: bicycles.

      Apparently people care more about their own convenience than they do for the welfare of the planet as a whole.

    218. Re:Renewable or infinite? by ozmanjusri · · Score: 1

      then they still burn less

      You can't burn hybrids. They're green.

      Duh.

      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    219. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "When it comes to failures in complex, potentially deadly systems like nuclear plants, "human error" isn't ever a factor. If the system relies on a human to act a certain way without a failsafe then it is just bad design, pure and simple. This book explains it well."

      What you mean is that human error should not be a factor. But in fact it has been, and if you read the comments above you will get two good examples: Chernobyl, where humans purposely operated the reactor in an unsafe fashion (yes, there was bad design, but human error was a direct contributor to the failure), and Fukushima and other reactors in Japan, where humans decided to store spent fuel rods in places that were never designed for that.

      The latter example, especially, is an example of that corollary of Murphy's law which says, "Nothing can be made foolproof, because fools are so ingenious."

    220. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, the problem is population. More people have more needs (wants). Disease is in check. Modern medicine has lengthened our lives for what purpose, do devour the earth's resources in a few generations?

      We are not sustainable. The medium term solution, as stated by Stephen Hawking, is to leave the Earth en mass. The remaining options are system collapse, mass starvation, genocide, and biological apocalypse.

    221. Re:Renewable or infinite? by chrb · · Score: 1

      I'm afraid biomass does not appear to be the answer. See Sustainable energy without the hot air - solar biomass. I recommend reading it, it's a well thought out book, with free electronic versions (epub/pdf) for download.

    222. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      ^DON'T BOTHER READING ABOVE^

      There is so much wrong with this half-invented pretend folksy wall of text that I can't even begin to comment. All I can do is post a warning to others.

    223. Re:Renewable or infinite? by chrb · · Score: 1
    224. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They're confusing the energy source with the means to obtain it.

      Just because you can't make solar panels and windmills out of recycled materials doesn't mean solar and wind aren't renewable sources.

    225. Re:Renewable or infinite? by chrb · · Score: 1

      1. Biomass can only meet a small amount of our energy needs. If we devote 75% of land to growing biofuels, and burn it all, we get about 10% of our current energy consumption.

      2. Nuclear does not look promising, but it is an interesting one. Currently we get less than 3% of our daily Western life energy from nuclear plants. Nuclear would last 1000 years if we each used 0.55 kWh per day. But we don't - Westerners use about 250 kWh per day. We would need to ramp up production 40 times to cover our current daily usage. If we tried to cover all of our energy needs with nuclear, we will run out in of (currently known) recoverable reserves in 25 years. Ocean extraction of uranium is possible, but currently costs 10 times more than mining ore. Maintaining our current life styles on 10x energy cost isn't feasible: we would need some major technology developments here...

      (Figures from Sustainable Energy without the hot air. Read it, it's free to download and full of interesting figures.)

    226. Re:Renewable or infinite? by chrb · · Score: 1

      The emissions cost is kind of reflected in the price, because energy costs money, and there is a correlation between energy used during manufacturing and emissions. There have been many analyses of solar power; a typical panel has an energy yield ratio of between 4 and 7 (ref. Sustainable energy without the hot air). So it generates 4 to 8 times more energy than it costs to manufacture, transport and install.

    227. Re:Renewable or infinite? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Fail.
      Or?
      Isn't it fail to link a wikipedia article with some nice diagrams that support my claim?
      Please try to read the article and understand it.
      It is far more than 4 billion years that the sun gets significantly hotter. But if you are scared it will happen the next years, feel free to move a bit farer towards your preferred arctic circle.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    228. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The risks of mining Uranium are much smaller than the risks of mining coal, natural gas, metals for windmills, compounds for Solar, etc. This is due to the fact that you have to mine a tiny amount of Uranium to generate the same power as the other sources. Of all these energy sources, Nuclear produces the least amount of damage to the environment since so few resources are required to build and operate a nuclear plant. Even if you include Chernobyl, a design that is not used in any nuclear plant built since, the number of deaths per terawatt hour of generated capacity is by far the lowest for nuclear. There were zero deaths caused by radiation release from Fukushima, and perhaps a cancer rate decrease will be seen due to hormesis. We should be building newer nuclear plants that make use of spent nuclear fuel instead of burying it in a mountain, which would eliminate the nuclear waste problem. Furthermore, newer plants would have better safety features.

    229. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Smidge204 · · Score: 2

      Electric vehicles are normally charged to 100% capacity to extend the range. I don't know of any that deliberately charge to less than 100%.

      There's "consumer available capacity" and "actual pack capacity."

      Electric car manufacturers aren't stupid, and they know how to take care of their equipment. You build an EV with a 24kWh battery pack and only let the end user use the middle 21kWh. Keeping the state of charge away from the extreme ends (especially the low end) helps stave off damage to the chemistry.

      So when you charge your EV to 100%, that's not the top of the battery's physical limit.
      =Smidge=

    230. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Smidge204 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Analysis HAS been done. To use electric cars as an example, a well-to-wheels analysis using a mix of power sources, electric cars emit half or less CO2 per mile driven over gasoline powered cars. A good number to keep in mind is that just the refining of a gallon of gasoline uses a little over 7 kWh of energy... 7kWh can move even a mediocre electric car 20+ miles. Don't forget to include THAT in your efficiency calculation either!
      =Smidge=

    231. Re:Renewable or infinite? by ahodgson · · Score: 1

      An ammonia fuel cycle could be constructed along those lines. Liquid fuels do have a lot of advantages over batteries for now.

    232. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      Nonsense. All significant accidents have happened in old (in some cases, 3 "generations" old) technology plants, and sometimes human error was a major component. Newer designs are inherently safer. Chernobyl, for example, was a poorly-constructed plant using technology that was long outdated even when it was built. The majority of damage in Japan was caused by the improper storage of spent fuel right at the reactors -- areas that were neither designed nor safe for such storage.

      This is the problem. We were told the older plants were safe. Thinking they were safe, we watched TMI, Chernobyl, and now Fukushima have accidents. There were many more accidents that weren't very publicized. But now the plants we were told were safe were not safe? But now the newer designs are safe?

      So... Which is it? This sounds like an abusive spouse situation

      And this is the problem with the Nuc industry and it's supporters. Most people at this point just assume that they are being lied to. Listening to the smug jerks here on Slashdot expound on the latest disaster at Fukishima is indicative. I've read posts about how well the plant handled the problem. So the average person reading that, and seeing the aftermath photos and the explosions starts to see what great handling is. Remember, people were told how safe those old plants were too.

      What to do? Admit that there is a massive p.r. issue, and let grownups handle the issue. The pro nucs have to drop the smugness and condescension. They have to adopt a different attitude toward the people who will be served by the technology. Try showing exactly why the newer designs are safer. The public is actually smarter than a lot of people realize.

      Finally, my own recommendations are to give up on the idea of mega plants. That much energy concentration just makes for bigger problems when they do happen. Use new and conservative designs. Then maybe the years of "smarter than thou" and the fact that things we were told were safe actually were really unsafe might be smoothed over

      And this is really important, because if we do not adopt nuc power as our main source of power, we're going to revisit the dark ages, with a global population carrying capacity reduction in line with that.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    233. Re:Renewable or infinite? by ahodgson · · Score: 1

      We're dealing with Peak Oil right now. Global oil production has been on a plateau for almost 7 years. Global net oil exports have declined every year since 2005. The share available to the OECD has declined dramatically in that time due to the rise of China and India.

      Unfortunately the way we're dealing with it is through denial, steadily increasing unemployment, and massive financial crises. And oil production hasn't even dropped off the plateau yet.

    234. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Surt · · Score: 1

      Go back and look again. It's more than 4 billion to red giant. Only 1 billion to significant heating.

      --
      "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
    235. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wasn't being too close to the water the problem at Fukushima?

    236. Re:Renewable or infinite? by jklovanc · · Score: 1

      A management decision to not go nuclear implies that the species could make the management decision to go nuclear. Since humans are the only species who can go nuclear no other species can make a management decision not to go nuclear. If one can not do something there is no decision necessary not to do it.

    237. Re:Renewable or infinite? by aiht · · Score: 1

      Bikes consume even more fossil fuels than a Hummer. It turns out you're a really inefficient engine for propulsion, and while you don't consume fossil fuels, the things you consume do.

      Yeah, stop eating, Beardo! You're inefficient!

    238. Re:Renewable or infinite? by similar_name · · Score: 1

      I think the Prius gets its best advantage in city driving vs a traditional gasoline car. A gasoline engine runs constantly whether you are at a red light or not and the Prius returns energy from stopping so energy consumption to accelerate is offset a little by returning energy from deceleration.

    239. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Everything, including you are radioactive to some extent. In the case of spent nuclear fuel rods, they are especially dangerous for a few decades while the highly radioactive stuff with short half-lives burns off. I'd like to see them recycled because there's still a lot of usable fuel in them but then you have to deal with a bunch of other nasty stuff too so maybe it's not cost effective.

    240. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      600 acre-feet? Doesn't compute...
      How much is that in libraries of congress?

    241. Re:Renewable or infinite? by hibiki_r · · Score: 1

      Nah.Yields keep going up, and protectionism would go to hell the minute you have anything that resembles severe food inflation that isn't caused by higher oil prices.

      Africa and chunks of Asia still use agronomic tech that yields from 1/10th to 1/4th of what we get in the US and Europe. Some tech transfer and we'd still have plenty of production to go. Not to mention that population growth doesn't appear to be the problem we once thought: As populations become richer, they also realize that having 10 children that will survive into adulthood is, for your average family, nothing more than putting your kids at a disadvantage when compared to a family that has 2.

    242. Re:Renewable or infinite? by rjstanford · · Score: 1

      The thing is, there really is no wolf. At least, not comparitively. More people die and are injured installing solar panels on roofs (a relatively rare form of power generation) than have ever been affected by nuclear disasters. But people falling off of roofs is normal and doesn't make headlines. Same with coal - mining is incredibly dangerous, both individually and geologically, but we're used to it. Nuclear power is (as power generation goes) still by far the safest option out there.

      --
      You're special forces then? That's great! I just love your olympics!
    243. Re:Renewable or infinite? by isorox · · Score: 1

      Nuclear power is the best intermediate solution. It's a finite resource, so the best we can do is to use it to buy some time until we develop effective renewable alternatives.

      The sun is also finite. In fact the universe will die one day somehow. Ultimately we only really care about the next 100-1000 years

    244. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      FISSION is the best intermediate solution.

      FUSION is a nearly infinite solution. Vastly more concentrated power source than fission can deliver without radioactive waste (except the reactor building itself). Renewable sources of energy cannot support 7 billion people on this planet if we want to continue to use more energy to automate more of our lives.

      Heck, everything can be measured in cost of energy unit. Recycling tech is 100% possible, down to every atom, if we have large amounts of very low cost power. Pollution is what we get because of lack of energy.

    245. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ... this guy's fantasy world of doom will come to pass...

      The author is a science writer called Dawn Stover. Not a guy.

    246. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes because not enough people are starving right now. Let's make sure more of them do just so You can drive Your SUV to work.
      I live in Poland, few years back they passed bill that made a requirement for fuel to be 3% organic. Food prices rised almost 6% in one year after that (above normal inflation of 3%).

      So fuck biofuels.

    247. Re:Renewable or infinite? by theshowmecanuck · · Score: 1

      Mythbusters did an episode on cars versus motorbikes with respect to pollution. The upshot was that motorbikes polluted about as much as cars. They used less gas and create less carbon dioxide, but also create way more other polluting oxides like those of nitrogen and others (by orders of magnitude). So you can try and say your bike is not as bad as a Prius, but you are likely wrong considering a Prius is much less polluting (with respect to emissions) than traditional internal combustion engined cars.

      --
      -- I ignore anonymous replies to my comments and postings.
    248. Re:Renewable or infinite? by theshowmecanuck · · Score: 1

      Sorry, boneheaded the link about the results of the Mythbusters bike versus car episode in my original post.

      --
      -- I ignore anonymous replies to my comments and postings.
    249. Re:Renewable or infinite? by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      "democratizing"? Please stop abusing the language.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    250. Re:Renewable or infinite? by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      The conditions that allow for the estimate of a 50 year payback are so delicate that they are for all practical purposes useless. Just a few percent improvement in the efficiency of a competitor, or an uninsured shutdown of a couple of years, and the project never pays for itself.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    251. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 2

      In fact it makes no sense to compare them anymore as the term "efficiency" becomes meaningless when you don't have to burn fuel.

      Not quite. Your solar panels for example have a life time of X years, over which time they can be expected to produce n MWh of power. A more efficient vehicle will require less % of that power, which in turn means more of that output is available for the eventual replacement cost of the solar plant.

    252. Re:Renewable or infinite? by neyla · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but the article tries much too hard. For example, quoting the fact that hydropower needs concrete for dams, and some metal for the pipes and turbines.

      We're not in any immediate danger of running out of concrete and a dam, once built has a very long lifetime with fairly low maintenance needed. The metal for the pipes and turbines is not consumed - you can easily melt-down a old broken turbine and re-use the metal in it.

      We produce 90%+ of our electricity this way, and there's no reason hinted at in the article why we cannot do that for the next 1000 or the next 10000 years. The sun will go out one day, so technically nothing is *truly* renewable.

      But in practice, if something is sustainable for the next several millenia, it's probably not worth worrying about it now.

      The problem with non-renewables such as oil, is that our current consumption is not even sustainable over the next century.

    253. Re:Renewable or infinite? by inglorion_on_the_net · · Score: 1

      Contrary to what the article believes, we can support 7B people at the US's level of consumption without any major problems.

      [citation needed]

      --
      Please correct me if I got my facts wrong.
    254. Re:Renewable or infinite? by ryanov · · Score: 1

      My father has one. Very decent cargo area (as one would expect from a hatchback really).

    255. Re:Renewable or infinite? by inglorion_on_the_net · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately the article glosses over the fact that far more of those expensive and [s]potential[/s] actually hazardous materials are required to make carbon and nuclear based power generating stations.

      Unfortunate but not surprising in an article published by the Bulletin Of the Atomic Scientists.

      Still, it's one of the better reasoned and more sensible objections to renewable energy I've ever seen.

      --
      Please correct me if I got my facts wrong.
    256. Re:Renewable or infinite? by ryanov · · Score: 1

      There is nothing unsafe about a properly maintained and regulated nuclear plant with appropriate safeguards. There's also nothing cost-effective about one of those either.

    257. Re:Renewable or infinite? by ryanov · · Score: 1

      No, but they do take issues with the noxious greenhouse gases released by that content-free post.

    258. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More efficient, yes. Especially when you factor in all the electrical grids and transmission, charging efficiency loses, etc. (FYI average sized tanker truck will burn ~6mpg, carrying say 6000gallons. Over 200miles thats 99.45% efficiency, right?)

      Also, well to wheel carbon productions of both EV and gasoline cars are surprisingly equivalent on average in the US. Take something like the Leaf versus a Prius. The Prius wins, but not by much. (Note, not including the CO2 created in the production of the two cars.) In a country with greater coal use (say Australia), the gas car wins by a mile. In a country with a lot of nuclear obviously the EV comes out on top.

    259. Re:Renewable or infinite? by F34nor · · Score: 1

      He leaves out Algae and space based solar; two of the most promising. All in all just another example of a hard core nerd missing the point that perfect is the enemy of the good.

    260. Re:Renewable or infinite? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      transmission losses and the overhead of maintaining base-load for the electric grid

      This is a solved problem. In fact the EU is looking to build solar thermal plants in north Africa with transmission back to the mainland.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    261. Re:Renewable or infinite? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      We don't have that technology though, it needs to be developed. That will cost billions and take at least a decade, and during that time some countries will have completely replaced nuclear with clean renewables. If you look at it from a purely economic point of view it makes sense to develop energy sources that are low cost and can be sold around the world. Demand for nuclear is falling and you can't export it to a lot of places, and even if you could each country needs its own extensive oversight and support facilities.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    262. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      Your prius gets 50mpg? Well that's not bad, should I tell you that I just finished driving nearly 5000mi, in a '96 saturn and got around 49mpg on the highway. Yep, a car that's 15 years old, getting nearly the same performance.

      I'm gonna go right ahead and call BS on that. It's not hard to look up EPA ratings even for old cars, and in 1996 Saturn sold nothing rated higher than 36mpg highway. EPA ratings don't always hit the mark spot on, but they aren't that bad.

      GM sold only one car line during the 1990s with 40+ mpg EPA ratings: the Geo Metro. I used to drive one. I had the 1990 model year, EPA rated for 45mpg highway, and it really did hit that figure.

      The way it got there was pretty easy to understand. The only tech which was "advanced" for 1990 was the use of electronic fuel injection and an engine computer which would turn a light on in the dash when you should shift up to save fuel. Everything else was just a matter of reducing power & drag, and cutting weight. It had a 3-cyl 1.0L 49hp engine, ultra narrow tires inflated to high pressure, a 1620 lb curb weight, and a very aerodynamic body (not quite so good as the Prius, but I don't think CFD design was being used for cars back then).

      In later model years (including 1996) the fuel economy of the Metro actually dropped to about 40mpg highway, because they redesigned it to be slightly heavier with more creature comforts and upgraded it to a 1.3L 4-cyl engine with significantly more power. (Why? Gas was still cheap and people hated how gutless the 1.0L engine was.)

      Saturns were significantly larger, heavier, and more powerful than Metros. The 1996 Saturn rated for 36 mpg had a 1.9L 4-cyl 100hp engine, a 2282 lb curb weight, and aerodynamics not quite so good as the Metro (hatchbacks and Kammbacks are the best body designs for aero). Saturns did not have some kind of revolutionary high efficiency engine, so there's no reason to believe they could've matched and exceeded Metros: too heavy, not aerodynamic enough, too big an engine.

      Now before you go off on some asinine rant about how the Metro proves that the Prius is nothing special, the Prius is really in an entirely different league:

      * It gets 50mpg in the city, not just on the highway.
      * Curb weight of 3042 pounds (meaning: enough weight budget for real crumple zones, unlike tin cans such as my Metro)
      * 98hp engine
      * Lots of torque from the electric motor, so it's actually fairly zippy off the line
      * Real creature comforts (those high fuel economy Metros were pretty spartan inside, to save weight)
      * Isn't a cheap piece of shit (I loved my Metro, but I have no illusions!)

      In other words, while you still have to make some sacrifices to get 50mpg, they're no longer anywhere near as stark as they were with the Metro, thanks to the hybrid drive system, and there's an entirely new capability that the Metro didn't have (high efficiency in stop-and-go traffic).

    263. Re:Renewable or infinite? by KeithIrwin · · Score: 1

      You're definitely correct that nuclear isn't renewable. But we have enough known, accessibly Uranium to last 10,000 years at current rates of consumption. And that isn't even factoring in the Thorium. So, hopefully that 10,000 years will give us enough time to find a better energy source which we can use or at least enough energy to build a shitload of solar panels.

    264. Re:Renewable or infinite? by KeithIrwin · · Score: 1

      Best estimates suggest that it can buy us several thousand years. I think that should be enough time.

    265. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 1

      You are forgetting the loss from the oil refinery (my guess would be 25% or so)
      You are fogetting the 3 km/l truck that drives the fuel to the tank station (assuming 400 km and 10,000l this comes down to 1.2%).
      If you calculate the efficiency of both the supply lines the gas car starts to look even worse.

      --
      Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
    266. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      even if they could the energy it would take to "recreate the fossil fuel" would be at least what you got out of burning it...so what would be the point? burn a ton of coal to produce a different ton of coal?

    267. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Yev000 · · Score: 1

      Yes, but you forgot that the Camaro will emit a lot more aerosols thus contributing to global cooling and offsetting the global warming. This surely makes it more efficient than a Prius!

    268. Re:Renewable or infinite? by gbjbaanb · · Score: 1

      phew. thanks for that. I thought we were using up all the wind!

      Of course, it would have helped if the summary had said something like that instead of suggesting renewable sources were somehow finite (in any practical way, sure the sun will stop one day, but I doubt any of us will care by then)

    269. Re:Renewable or infinite? by unitron · · Score: 2

      "...but who says you have to use fresh water?"

      Those aware of the corrosive effects of salt water?

      --

      I see even classic Slashdot is now pretty much unusable on dial up anymore.

    270. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Stoopiduk · · Score: 1

      Very helpful and informative, and the link provides exactly what I was looking for, with the life spans of the solar panels included.

      Thanks!

    271. Re:Renewable or infinite? by tsa · · Score: 1

      Except when they're cremated after their death.

      --

      -- Cheers!

    272. Re:Renewable or infinite? by semi-extrinsic · · Score: 1

      Concerning Superphenix, it turns out that "shut down due to high costs" is not necessarily true. The plant was shut down by Lionel Jospin of the left-green coalition about a month after he became Prime Minister. Thus many argue that "high costs" was just an excuse for the political action of shutting down something nuclear and pleasing his voters/coalition partners.
      (This is not to say that you don't have a point, solar and wind are much more expensive per kWh.)

      --
      for i in `facebook friends "=bday" 2>/dev/null | cut -d " " -f 3-`; do facebook wallpost $i "Happy birthday!"; done
    273. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Stoopiduk · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't like to have to work out the per cargo transport emissions for any given load.

      Truck-> ship -> lorry -> warehouse -> van -> consumer? And don't forget the flight that sales guy took to go and meet the client.

      Add that sort of work for every component and you've got a headache. I'd limit myself to the back of an envelope too...

    274. Re:Renewable or infinite? by DrBoumBoum · · Score: 1

      I hear this argument all the time on slashdot that we don't have those nice thorium/breeder/fusion reactors because of despicable greenies and nimbies or detestable "ludites" and "joe-six-packs" (and also this revoltingly idiot Jimmy Carter, compared to whom even W. Bush looks like a chess grand-master) but I don't buy it, it just doesn't cut it. Those people simply do not have such a political momentum. From my understanding breeder reactors have shown to simply be too complex and fragile to deploy on a commercial scale. Fusion energy is currently unreachable for engineering reasons. I'm not sure why thorium reactors have not been more developed lately but I suspect the reason is much more mundane, it's the same as why we don't have solar power plants: fossil fuels are simply too profitable to too many people to allow any serious investment in any other direction.

    275. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Acre-feet. Are you fucking kidding?

      Metric. FFS.

    276. Re:Renewable or infinite? by semi-extrinsic · · Score: 1

      The US has some of the cheapest fuel in the world when compared to average income. The average UK citizen (comparable income level) pays twice as much for a gallon of gasoline as the average US citizen. Here in Norway, we pay 2.6 times as much as in the US. So... surely you jest?

      --
      for i in `facebook friends "=bday" 2>/dev/null | cut -d " " -f 3-`; do facebook wallpost $i "Happy birthday!"; done
    277. Re:Renewable or infinite? by tp1024 · · Score: 1

      Yes, it's likely. Given that eco-terrorists shot several RPG's at the building during the construction ...

    278. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Because some bozo has decided to call me out on that statement, allow me to clarify:

      The storage pools at the reactor sites were always intended to be temporary holding facilities, until proper storage was built. It's just that the corporations and governments involved never got around to spending the money for properly-built long-term storage. However, the Daichi plant had fuel rods that had been stored there for over 20 years.

      Despite earlier controversy, the Yucca Mountain facility in the U.S. was approved, and some construction even started. But when Obama got into office, magically all construction stopped. You'll have to ask him why, but the DOE has officially announced that the problems are a matter of administration's "policy", and definitely not due to any technical problems.

    279. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 1

      The 100,000 years you mentioned is way shorter than the true time required for the sun to go red giant (when it does it will get a bit bigger than the orbit of Earth so at that point we are most definetely screwed).
      The sun will go red giant in a couple of billion years.
      Up to that point we can use solar energy as much as we wish.
      We may be able to keep the sun for 10 billion years if we find a way to peel off the external layers with some huge magnetic field within the next 1 million years, but we are nowhere near that technology. It would require a particle accelerator the size of the orbit of Mercury. Not that we need to be close to it now, but it's fun to speculate.

      --
      Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
    280. Re:Renewable or infinite? by CapuchinSeven · · Score: 1

      Dude, I can get about 45mpg and the motor/freeway from my Mini Cooper S sat in 6th gear, I find comments about 50mpg from Hybrids to be kinda shocking to be honest.

    281. Re:Renewable or infinite? by JasterBobaMereel · · Score: 1

      ...and if I compare a Prius to a Toyota iQ then the Petrol iQ wins hands down ... but they are not really comparable ....

      --
      Puteulanus fenestra mortis
    282. Re:Renewable or infinite? by JasterBobaMereel · · Score: 1

      Prius saves in stop start driving, and cruising, it falls down on urban driving when it is in congestion but not stopped

      A conventional engine, or electric wins in this environment

      But as always with or without a Prius you can save huge amounts of fuel by altering your driving styles to be economical

      --
      Puteulanus fenestra mortis
    283. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 1

      And that still just HALF of the time, half life is called so for a reason you know

      Half life is the time in wich half of the atoms degrade. If I have 1Kg of pure plutonium 239, after 24,000 years this will be 0.5 Kg of plutonium and 0.5 kg of Uranium 235 (ignoring the fact that U-235 degrades a bit in and of itself). After another 24,000 years I have 0.25 Kg of P-239 and 0.75 Kg of U-235. 24,000 years later it'll be 0.125 Kg of P-239.
      Now as to the danger of it:

      1. Due to the fact that P-239 decays so slowly it doesn't generate a lot of radiation. Your body is able to handle quite a lot of radiation, there are many protection mechanisms. This because the environment is actually radioactive (even water is a bit radioactive) and we evolved to cope with that (or God designed us to cope with that (I do not want to mix that discussion in))
      2. P-239 has alpha decay. As long as you don't get much (micrograms) into your body you'll be fine. It can not penetrate a sheet of paper or the outer layers of your skin. Storage is done in many small containers. If one breaks each decade the amount that gets into your drinking water supply (and thus into you will be miniscule. Your body will be able to cope.

      3. ...
      4. Profit (in the form of cheap and semi-renewable energy).
      --
      Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
    284. Re:Renewable or infinite? by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1

      >>The massive problem is the long term cost of decommissioning. I was at primary school when they started decommissioning my local nuclear plant. I'll be dead by the time they've finished.....
      That's one hell of a burden we are placing on our grand children.....

      Which is why you typically pay decommissioning fees up front as part of the cost of energy from the power plant.

      I've been paying to decommission Diablo Canyon for years, and it's still happily operational

    285. Re:Renewable or infinite? by jscotta44 · · Score: 1

      Yep, and it can be cheaper. It is not my problem if other countries choose to screw their citizens and control them with higher energy costs. That is a problem for them to solve. In the US, it is my problem. We are based on freedom (freedom that has been and continues to be seriously eroded) and using taxes to control us is unacceptable to me and to a very large and growing segment of our population.

    286. Re:Renewable or infinite? by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      The Prius that gets me fifty miles to the gallon because I take the highway to and from work?

      That doesn't actually sound that impressive. A diesel VW Jetta wagon would get you ~45mpg on the highway, and it's a larger car at that - I would expect a bigger gap between that and a hybrid with regenerative braking.

    287. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Kavafy · · Score: 1

      "On the contrary, I would argue that the problem with nuclear power is that, as is becoming increasingly clear, people's fears about it are *justified*."

      Nonsense. All significant accidents have happened in old (in some cases, 3 "generations" old) technology plants, and sometimes human error was a major component.

      But, in fairness to the parent poster, human error, slackness in applying regulations, construction short-cuts etc. will always be a risk. Of course newer designs are much safer, and FWIW I am pro-nuclear, but is it really nonsense to say that people's fears are justified?

    288. Re:Renewable or infinite? by georgesdev · · Score: 1

      I used to be a big fan of wind, but I am starting to lean

      Am I the only one who finds this funny?

    289. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 2

      More importantly I really don't give a toss if people thousands of years from now, somehow having lost all knowledge of nuclear waste sites, radiation symbology, or the understanding and ability to detect radioactive materials - die from ancient radioactive waste.

      Because if a situation exists where that is possible, then it means there were in fact far bigger disasters we failed to avert.

    290. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      Destruction of the commons.

      Much as you don't have the right to shout fire in a crowded theater, you also don't have the right to keep nuclear materials on your property without due consultation and consideration of those around you, and nor do you have the right to contribute to reductions in the suitability of atmospheric composition for human existence without the same.

      You are not, for instance, allowed to simply start venting acidic fumes into the air in your local neighborhood either.

    291. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      Probably more importantly, if the public weren't continuously and perpetually out to shut down nuclear power plants, then we could create a regulatory and oversight environment which was above board.

      As it stands, there's incredible drive to keep things quiet because literally any hint of a problem is used as an excuse to demand the immediate shut down of the entire industry in any country. That is not an environment conducive to effective oversight.

    292. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      Well don't worry, Greenpeace has also pre-emptively ramped up it's "anti-nuclear" campaign to include opposition to the use of nuclear fusion.

    293. Re:Renewable or infinite? by towermac · · Score: 1

      ... and if you try you'll get creosote in your chimney.

    294. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My problem with the article is that it just seems to say, 'they're not as good as we think' and then just king of stops. So ... what? We should then just chuck them all? The point, while true, is very narrow. Yes, even "renewable" technologies have environmental consequences and yes, we should look at the big picture, do life cycle analyses (LCA) that include the impacts of manufacturing components and transmitting the energy and have a more realistic understanding of the magnitudes involved. We need these to have a more realistic expectation of the renewable technologies. That's a good point, but the article doesn't present any of those and or actual comparisons between renewable to non-renewables. I bet renewable technologies do compare favorably with all the factors considered, even if they're not appropriate everywhere or as a complete replacement of non-rennewable energy.

    295. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      The fridge you buy today, compared to the 1960's is about 3 times as large, and uses 3 times less power.

    296. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Ost99 · · Score: 1

      If the recent events in Japan taught us anything, it's that nuclear power is much safer than most people think.
      A major earthquake with a devastating flooding caused some *minor* local contamination; compared to the energy produced during the plants lifetime the damage is insignificant.

      The power plant was 40 years old, built on ancient technology. A modern plant would be even safer.

      --
      ---- Sig. gone.
    297. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We can't wreck the planet.
       
      We can however, destroy all life on the planet including ourselves.
       
      The planet will still be here long after we aren't, along with other life.
       
      It's ridiculous, even conceded to think that we will have some major impact on the planet.

    298. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 1

      No. "It's not economically feasible" would be more sensible.
      The article claims solar power uses silicon and pretends it will be gone forever. No it will not. If the solar panel is degraded the high grade silicon isn't lost. It can be recycled.
      He compares that with coal for example: the coal is burned into (mostly) CO2 and H2O. To get coal again you'd have to put, by definition, at least as much energy in it as you got out of it in the first place. That's not an recyclable energy source, that's an expensive battery.

      --
      Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
    299. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      2. Nuclear does not look promising, but it is an interesting one. Currently we get less than 3% of our daily Western life energy from nuclear plants. Nuclear would last 1000 years if we each used 0.55 kWh per day. But we don't - Westerners use about 250 kWh per day. We would need to ramp up production 40 times to cover our current daily usage. If we tried to cover all of our energy needs with nuclear, we will run out in of (currently known) recoverable reserves in 25 years. Ocean extraction of uranium is possible, but currently costs 10 times more than mining ore. Maintaining our current life styles on 10x energy cost isn't feasible: we would need some major technology developments here...

      These numbers aren't right. The 25 year number in particular I've heard a lot, and it's true assuming (1) no breeder reactors and (2) no fuel reprocessing (because the US shut it all down for some reason related to nuclear proliferation - hah!).

      Factor in reprocessing alone, and the number jumps to the hundreds of years range, with breeder reactors - thousands of years. With thorium it's tens of thousands and sea-water processing pushes it to hundreds of thousands.

      The "only 25 years" number has been created by Greenpeace and over environmental lobby groups to add a "why bother" aspect to nuclear power which simply isn't true.

    300. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      Eh. Not even that - it's literally a few decades of higher taxes (gasp) while we spam wind/solar/tidal plants everywhere and maybe ignore a few environmental impact studies in the process.

      Zero emissions Australia is priced at about $370 billion total, which you amortize over 10 years to 3% of GDP - then reap the benefit since all the upkeep costs are enormously lower.

    301. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      EPA ratings are shit, and don't reflect real world numbers.

      Go look up the numbers yourself, actually you can go look up some of the numbers right off the saturn wiki page and then head over to Saturn Fans and go look up the numbers posted by people over there. Seeing 42-49mpg was not uncommon for S-series models.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    302. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Surt · · Score: 1

      It goes back to a belief in control (whether true or not). It's the same reason people fear to fly but not to drive, even though statistically, flying is safer. You can't control whether you die in a plane crash. But you believe you can drive safely (and maybe that's even possible).

      You can't control whether or not a nuclear plant gets regulatory approval to be built near you (except through NIMBY efforts), and you can't control whether or not it releases nuclear materials that will affect your life. But you can decide for yourself not to become a solar roofing installer, and reduce your personal risk to zero.

      --
      "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
    303. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      13500 acre-ft of water (4.4billion gal) per year - how quaint. What's that in teaspoons per fortnight for those of us who don't know your advanced units system?

    304. Re:Renewable or infinite? by dkathrens77 · · Score: 1

      EVEN IF we can find a cheap, abundant replacement energy source for everyone to use, replacing fossil fuels completely: We still have a problem! No energy conversion process is 100% efficient. There are SO MANY of us now, using SO MUCH energy, and generating SO MUCH WASTE HEAT, that the planet's heat level is rising with no end in sight -- short of apocalyptic decimation of the swarming mass of humanity.

    305. Re:Renewable or infinite? by tbannist · · Score: 1

      I thought one of the biggest problem with a nuclear (fusion) plant was that we don't have really have enough fuel for a wide scale adoption of the current designs. As I understand it, we have proven reserves of Uranium to last us 100 years at "current" usage rates. If we, say, tripled the current usage we'd only have enough fuel for about 30 years or roughly one power-plant generation of fuel. Any more than tripled and we'd be cutting into the usable lifespan of the plants.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    306. Re:Renewable or infinite? by tbannist · · Score: 1

      You should probably read this or at least look at the pretty graph. When someone tells you it's gotten colder over the last decade, they're "spinning" the facts to the point where they no longer mean anything. By taking a warm year in the past and comparing it to a more recent cold year, you can invent a graph that "proves" it's getting colder. The problem is you can do that for every decade and show how "it got colder" in every decade we have records for and yet since the 1950's every decade average temperature is higher than the previous decade.

      That because cherry-picked data is used to confuse people and convince them that what they want to believe is true.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    307. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Rakarra · · Score: 1

      EPA ratings are shit, and don't reflect real world numbers.

      Yeah, but they way in which they're shit is that the actual miles per gallon seen is almost always far less than the EPA ratings.

      I can't find any mention of being able to reach 49 mpg on the wiki page, the closest it came was 43 mpg (imperial) which translates to 36 mpg (US). Not that I would consider a wiki page authoritative, and I sure as hell wouldn't trust numbers from saturnfans.com.

    308. Re:Renewable or infinite? by tbannist · · Score: 1

      True and I think that says much about the reason and sensibility of those who object to renewable energy given the poor quality of this article.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    309. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anthony+Mouse · · Score: 1

      The problem is the fear cycle. Plants in operation are old and less safe than newer plants. We can't build newer plants because plants in operation are "unsafe." Plants in operation thereby continue to be "unsafe" rather than being replaced with newer, safer plants.

      (Naturally the existing plants are not really "unsafe" because safety is a numbers game. The number of deaths per TWh is still lower for nuclear than it is for any of the alternatives by a wide margin. But when something happens it makes the news, and people are more about what the television says than the reality.)

    310. Re:Renewable or infinite? by tbannist · · Score: 1

      That's why you hook up the solar plant to the oil creation system. Then you can generate all the oil you need....

      This is likely to eventually happen actually, when oil starts getting more expensive that synthetically created oil, it'll probably be used to generate the long hydrocarbons needed for plastics and cosmetics, for example. And of course, for the inevitable eccentric billionaire "enthusiasts" who will still be be able to afford combustion-powered cars.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    311. Re:Renewable or infinite? by qzjul · · Score: 1

      Corrosion can either be designed for or water can be filtered or distilled, if it really comes down to a "we can't do nuclear because of a lack of fresh water" problem.

    312. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fine, but nuclear is NOT environmentally neutral!! .

      It's environmentally positive if done correctly. That stuff you call nuclear "waste" is a cornucopia of valuable materials that can be used for industrial and medical uses. The rest of that "waste" is something that can be used as energy sources.

      Nuclear "waste" is just a term used by people without imagination or technical competence, or by people who use stupid fuel management techniques and reactor designs.

    313. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      The number comes from two major assumptions:

      1. We do not recycle our fuel at all.
      2. We only use uranium, and only the one we are currently mining.

      As usual, devil is in the details. The reason why we're not reprocessing is two-fold. One is fear of profiliteration. The other is price. Uranium is dirt cheap right now, even with price having gone up several times over last decade. It's simply not economically feasible to prospect for new uranium deposits or recycle.

      As a result, even worst-case REALISTIC scenarios featuring uranium-only future are over two hundred years. Recycling fuel essentially adds about 5-10 times more fuel then we have now (depending on technique used and how many times we're willing to run it through recycling). Prospecting is likely to add at least a thousand years if not more - we have almost no uranium prospecting done (in comparison to more used metals like nickel or copper for example) and we actually know that there is often refinable uranium in already existing mines, that is currently dumped in purification process as a cheap, useless byproduct.

      And when you actually add thorium to the picture, even if we have entire world on electric cars and driving as much as people of USA do right now, and even if our energy needs keep increasing in addition to that, we're bound to last several thousands of years on those alone with occasional biomass and coal/fossil fuel plant running where nuclear makes no sense (which after the russians made the floating version of plants shrunk significantly). France makes a great example of a modern industrialized country that chose to supply most of its base electricity needs with nuclear, and it works quite well.

      And finally, there is fusion. We're bound to get the damn thing to work in a few hundreds of years, and that is near-infinite source of energy considering the amount of fuel we have in our oceans.

    314. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Any nuclear reactor design with reasonable output requires a "cold" side - they all work off the temperature difference between the coolant that has just run through the reactor core and the coolant that has been cooled down. The molten salt reactors just simply have no water in the core. Just like PWRs, they still rely on a secondary water circulation where steam powers a turbine and is condensed again. The last step requires external sources of water to cool down the steam, that's what the cooling towers, that evaporate tons of water are there for.

      The water that is run through the core is usually more chemically pure than common tap water, to prevent contaminants in there from turning radioactive.

    315. Re:Renewable or infinite? by turbidostato · · Score: 1

      "You are absolutely free to live like them and make the comparison valid, otherwise, you don't actually have a point."

      It was not me the one comparing animals to humans but I *do* have a point: when you can't reasonabily manage something for a long term output that's somehow better than doing nothing, then the best management decision is doing nothing. In that regard, since animals can't possibly manage nuclear energy in any satisfactory way their "decision" (not out of their free will, but anyway) about not going nuclear is the best one they could reach. And doing this they have done better than we, humans: they have not had their Chernobyls nor Fukushimas, we did.

    316. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      Try two paragraphs down.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    317. Re:Renewable or infinite? by turbidostato · · Score: 1

      "The vast majority of people are not going to give up the convenience of modern living even if there weren't any legal barriers."

      That's why there are legal barriers to start with.

      On the other hand, since not everybody has what's needed to build, say, a nuclear energy installation, they are *not* the most guilty on the current state of affairs.

    318. Re:Renewable or infinite? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but then you have to start with mining/banking of oil and coal, and carrying the coal to the plants (or uranium, whatever).

      You are right though ;D

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    319. Re:Renewable or infinite? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Well,

      nevertheless this is just theory crafting. Solar panels have certain limits. You can only capture a photon of a certain wavelength (in fact a small band) all others "get lost". So a 20% efficient PV cell only captures 20% of the available photons.

      Bottom line you can argue, financial as you did, however if you compare it with a coal plant (and that is the point of this) people usually compare "input energy" and "electric power gain".

      With PV cells you get the input for free (except for
        making the cells/panels) in coal plants the input is coal, and costs money. Finally: all non solar plants have building costs associated as well ...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    320. Re:Renewable or infinite? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Erm, are you sure we look at the same wiki page?
      There is *no* heating the next 10 billion years. There is only an increase in brightness. And the red giant phase seems to be around 10 billion years as well.
      Nevertheless that was not the point. You claimed (or was it your parent?) it would be heating up in a few thousand years. I pointed out it is several billion years. And I don't care if it is 1 billion or 4 or 10 (because this is the same order of magnitude above "thousand").

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    321. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Surt · · Score: 1

      The increase in brightness is going to do guess what to the earth? Heat it up. 20% more brightness should be plenty to boil off the oceans. If you're concerned with the actual temperature at the sun, that's irrelevant to us. All (nearly) the energy transfer to the earth is light.

      And yes, it was the parent I was responding to who had the thousands of years claim.

      --
      "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
    322. Re:Renewable or infinite? by eh2o · · Score: 1

      In 2010 China produced 130,000 tons of neodymium. The next largest producer was India with 2700 tons and then Brazil 550 tons.

      Source, USGS report: http://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/commodity/rare_earths/mcs-2011-raree.pdf

      China produces 97% of rare-earths and is using significant export restrictions to create artificial scarcity to drive up the price and gain political power: http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/asia/concern-as-china-clamps-down-on-rare-earth-exports-1855387.html

      Rare-earths (which are not particularly rare) must be extracted from, e.g., Bastnäsite by leeching with acid (e.g. hydrochloric is used in the USA productions but in China they just cook it in sulfuric acid) followed by a solvent extraction and various other steps. The Bastnäsite contains a mix of various rare-earths including thorium, which is radioactive. Thats not necessarily a problem but it does need to be managed. EPA shut down the Molycorp mine at Mountain Pass due to accidental discharge of radioactive waste.

    323. Re:Renewable or infinite? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Solar panels are not suited to large scale generation, for that we have solar thermal. Basically some big mirrors pointed at a heating tower. The mirrors last pretty much forever and are cheaply replaced if damaged. No fuel, no waste, no chemicals for manufacture, unlimited lifespan if maintained.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    324. Re:Renewable or infinite? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      The link you provided is "rare earth" production. Not Neodymium.

      "Rare Earthes" is a group of chemical elements, not a single one.

      Production processes are like you describe, if you mien for "rare earthes" explicitly. Like just blowing up some rock to dust and extract the "trace" materials.

      However if you just mine for iron and separate the raw earthes you don't need to use such "dirty" methods.

      China is claimed to "produce" over 90% of rare earthes because it provides the world with lithium. However there are dozen more rare earthes.

      Dont mix up a singel element with a whole group of chemical elements.

      However to support your case, the american wikipedia article also claims that most Neodymium comes from china. OTOH, the german one supports my point ;D

      Where to find solid data?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    325. Re:Renewable or infinite? by symbolset · · Score: 1

      Look, I wasn't shitting. It turns out that even the most efficient human propulsion, the bicycle, cannot compete with the Hummer for efficiency on net inputs. The good thing about the bicycle is that it encourages you to work someplace that's close enough to bike to. You could defeat this efficiency by just living in the attic of your office, and then you wouldn't have to commute at all. You could just slide down the pole in the morning. That's the most efficent way.

      That's why the most efficient factories in the world are cities unto themselves where workers sleep as close as possible to their workstations. There are some downsides though, like the anti-suicide nets.

      --
      Help stamp out iliturcy.
    326. Re:Renewable or infinite? by semi-extrinsic · · Score: 1

      I don't think that higher energy prices are being used to "screw citizens and control them". Did you know that the average US citizen uses nearly twice as much energy as people here in Europe, but we still have a higher standard of living, lower poverty rates, better health care and education and a higher life expectancy? You are basically wasting a lot of energy on nothing. If you halved your energy usage and doubled the price of energy, your expenses would be unchanged.

      Furthermore, if the average US citizen reduced their energy consumption to be on par with Europeans, the US would become a net exporter of energy, and you would not have to go to war in Iraq to ensure you still have gasoline to fuel your cars! Those $1.3 trillon could be used for something more important, say, eliminating the budget deficit or improving the education system. Your argument is, as they say, moot.

      --
      for i in `facebook friends "=bday" 2>/dev/null | cut -d " " -f 3-`; do facebook wallpost $i "Happy birthday!"; done
    327. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We need to be more specific about types of pollution:

      Toxic pollution (dioxins for example - solar cell manufacture causes toxic pollution)
      Radioactive pollution (thorium waste from neodynium refinement for wind turbine manufacture, uranium/plutonium fuel rods from traditional nuke reactors)
      Air pollution (particulate matter - biomass, coal, combustion)
      Climate pollution (otherwise benign CO2, methane etc - combustion)

      While nuclear may produce a lot of radioactive toxic pollution, it doesnt produce climate pollution, which is the whole point of this discussion. Its only because fossil fuels produce climate pollution that we are even considering large scale neodynium power sources, which do produce radioactive pollution in their manufacture (think thorium 'enriched' tailings lakes in China from wind warm factories) or solar cells which cause toxic pollution in their manufacture.

      We are attempting to switch away from climate pollution and whatever choice we make, there will be either radioactive or toxic pollution in its place.

      Of course if we produced solar and wind infrastructure in a juridiction with better developed anti-dumping laws (eg USA, EU, UK, Canada, Australia) then there wouldnt be so much toxic or radioactive pollution being dumped into the environment from the production of 'renewables' but that would make the cost of renewable even more ridiculous compared to fossil fuels, so its not gonna happen.

    328. Re:Renewable or infinite? by unitron · · Score: 1

      "...or water can be filtered or distilled..."

      So, in other words, that's someone saying you have to use fresh (i.e., de-salinated) water?

      --

      I see even classic Slashdot is now pretty much unusable on dial up anymore.

    329. Re:Renewable or infinite? by NoseyNick · · Score: 1

      Ah! The huffpo, that famously accurate beacon of science journalism! http://skeptoid.com/episodes/4283

      --
      Nick Waterman, Sr Tech Director, #include <stddisclaimer>
    330. Re:Renewable or infinite? by nobodie · · Score: 1

      Somewhere, i think actually it was car talk on NPR, it was stated that the best range for operation of lithium batteries was the 30-70% range. You should not (according to this) let the charge go below 30% and there was no gain in charging above 70%. The final comment I heard on this said that, essentially, don't run your lithium batteries down to zero, recharge daily.

      Now this is exactly opposite for lead/acid batteries where the number of charging cycles defines the life of the battery. So, i am opining that the poor person who started this was basing their opinion on someone else's statement that was based on a knowledge of lead acid applied to lithium, which obviously don't work.

      Admittedly, when lithium batteries first came out both my wife and I did the old-fashioned "bleed til they're dry" and burned up some pricey batteries. Now we know better and my last phone was charged daily for almost 4 years on one battery. So i have no need to laugh at the mistake .

      --
      Subversion of spatial scale luxury decoration ideas.
    331. Re:Renewable or infinite? by 32771 · · Score: 1

      Yes, it is still on a Plateau. Technically if you want zero growth you need increasing energy input to an economy, but your explanation is probably more fitting for now.

      Once it goes down everyone will scramble to blame it on peak oil I would bet.

      --
      Je me souviens.
    332. Re:Renewable or infinite? by psydeshow · · Score: 1

      Your prius gets 50mpg? Well that's not bad, should I tell you that I just finished driving nearly 5000mi, in a '96 saturn and got around 49mpg on the highway. Yep, a car that's 15 years old, getting nearly the same performance.

      I'm gonna go right ahead and call BS on that. It's not hard to look up EPA ratings even for old cars, and in 1996 Saturn sold nothing rated higher than 36mpg highway. EPA ratings don't always hit the mark spot on, but they aren't that bad.

      Probably a significant tail wind in play. Or the driver likes to tailgate large trucks.

    333. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Carnildo · · Score: 1

      It's one foot of rainfall on 13,500 acres of land, or 30.48 centimeters of rain on 5463.2561 hectares for you metric types.

      The acre-foot is a very useful unit of measure for reasoning about environmental water supplies: if you've got something that needs 13,500 acre-feet of water per year and you're setting up somewhere that gets a foot of rain per year (say, semi-desert), you know you need a catchment area of roughly 13,500 acres that nothing else is drawing water from. If you're somewhere that gets more rain (say, Atlanta's four feet per year), you've got a smaller footprint (3400 acres).

      --
      "They redundantly repeated themselves over and over again incessantly without end ad infinitum" -- ibid.
    334. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lightwater reactors (the kind most in use today) use 0.6% of the energy in uranium. Reprocessing like the French use increases that resource utilization to a whopping 0.8%. Fast reactors like the Integral Fast Reactor, on the other hand, can utilize up to 100%. Using IFRs, uranium supply will never be a problem, as they are so efficient that just filtering uranium out of seawater would still be economically feasible (though we have so much fuel already that we wouldn't even have to consider that for hundreds of years).

    335. Re:Renewable or infinite? by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      But we need to consume those things anyway, and biking a few miles per day does not significantly increase your energy needs.

      It nevertheless increases your energy needs. Just because your body has a really good battery (ie. your fat tissue and your liver) does not mean it doesn't use energy to move. Your body can actually store nearly double the amount of energy per kilogram that oil can, making your body about 10x more energy dense than the best electrical storage system known to man.

      However, while the battery that is a human being is really, really good (I once calculated that human fatty cells + a liver should actually be able to provide enough energy to get a car like a clio to do 100km/h, though only for about 15 minutes or so, so the range would be significantly less at high speeds, and actually a little more at low speeds). Even if we can store huge amounts of energy, systems that have more intermediate steps necessarily pay the price in efficiency. The human body is no different here. Humans are actually worse than a hummer at converting energy into movement (calorie intake vs work done).

      Add to that the fact that we are very inefficient (energy-wise) at growing plants and breeding animals, using massive amounts of fossil fuels to breed them. The best plants are about 4% efficient at using the energy in solar radiation, the ones we eat generally 2% or less. So, the overall efficiency of a human moving around is dismal, less than one-thousandth of a percent.

      You move -> you eat more (over a period of weeks or months, so you don't notice, but it's there)

    336. Re:Renewable or infinite? by Medievalist · · Score: 1

      Small cars like that are very efficient in continuous driving, and (if you ignore tailpipe emissions) a much better bargain than hybrids.

      However, does your car burn zero gas and generate zero pollution while sitting at a stop light with the ignition turned on? Because my prius does. The engine fires up automatically in about a quarter-second if I need it to. It seats two adults and three kids comfortably, too.

      I think hybrids are a way that people (who can afford it) can potentially lessen the amount of pollution-related cancers our fellow humans will suffer. If you don't care about anybody else, they aren't really a good bargain. And honestly not everyone can afford a hybrid - the market's distorted, because the costs of pollution are not allocated to those who create the pollution.

  2. Don't worry by RStonR · · Score: 5, Interesting

    After all, why worry when you know that global warming is good for world peace?

    1. Re:Don't worry by RoLi · · Score: 2

      As crazy as that may sound, it may actually be true. After all we talk about the medieval optimum (= warm, peace and progress) and the "little ice age" (= cold, wars and misery)

    2. Re:Don't worry by 0123456 · · Score: 1, Troll

      Indeed, cold kills. Only fools think that a planet that's 1C warmer would be a bad place to live.

    3. Re:Don't worry by radaghast · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The world is not as Euro-centric as most of our history lessons. I doubt the mass 'migration' of millions of pacific islander will do any wonders for world peace.

    4. Re:Don't worry by FooAtWFU · · Score: 0

      I think the point is to worry, because they're all "replace this energy with renewable or we're surely doomed", and what they call renewable isn't actually, so we're doomed, barring "new technology".

      --
      The World Wide Web is dying. Soon, we shall have only the Internet.
    5. Re:Don't worry by Darfeld · · Score: 1

      Brass Yourself. The Winter is coming...

      --
      (\__/) This is Lapinator
      (='.'=) copy it in your sig
      (")_(") so it can take over the world
    6. Re:Don't worry by hedwards · · Score: 3, Insightful

      So does drought and famine. Some parts of the world would likely become more habitable than they are now, but others would have water shortages and resulting famine.

      But, then again, you're trolling so I doubt that it's going to make a difference.

    7. Re:Don't worry by Brian+Feldman · · Score: 3, Insightful

      There is a pretty awesome "new technology", and it was discovered a few thousand years ago -- it's called "humans not reproducing at a disgustingly unsustainable pace with the apparent goal of destroying the world as quickly as possible."

      --
      Brian Fundakowski Feldman
    8. Re:Don't worry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      After all, why worry when you know that global warming is good for world peace?

      So for once, people will not be lying when they say that USA spread peace in the world?

    9. Re:Don't worry by Un+quebecois · · Score: 1

      So I suppose you will do your part and not reproduce. Ho, slashsdot... Nevermind

    10. Re:Don't worry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      "Brass yourself."

      Which begs the question: is it a mute point?

    11. Re:Don't worry by robably · · Score: 4, Interesting

      We're not reproducing any faster - we're having children later and we're having fewer of them. We're just being rather selfish and refusing to drop dead as quickly as we used to.

    12. Re:Don't worry by fnj · · Score: 1

      In general, the hasty "you're a troll; go away" meme does not demonstrate intellectual willingness to consider relevant input. The small mind dismisses all thought that doesn't conform to canon.

      Since I am reluctant to believe you have a small mind or are unwilling to consider relevant input, perhaps you might wish to reconsider your dismissiveness.

      The relevant question before us is is whether the positive results or negative results would have more impact. Perhaps you could explain why a warming would be presumed to reduce ground water. That certainly does not appear to be a given, considering the amount of rainfall found in tropical rain forests.

    13. Re:Don't worry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      WAT? Expected link to be about pirates vs global warming. I am disappoint, son. This is Slashdot. Certain memes must be observed for eternity.

      Pirates vs global warming:

      You may be interested to know that global warming, earthquakes, hurricanes, and other natural disasters are a direct effect of the shrinking numbers of Pirates since the 1800s. For your interest, I have included a graph of the approximate number of pirates versus the average global temperature over the last 200 years. As you can see, there is a statistically significant inverse relationship between pirates and global temperature.

    14. Re:Don't worry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you really believe that global warming means the planet will uniformly warm by 1C? Because if you do, you must have had your head up your ass.

      Global warming creates climate change. Some areas may be 1C warmer while other areas can become significantly colder.

      Ask someone who lives in Northern Germany how their summer was this past year. I'll tell you how it was in Berlin: the weather in July and August was cold, grey, and rainy - the kind of weather and temperatures you'd expect in November. I'm not talking about just a few freak days, I'm talking about weeks on end. People were not happy about it (myself included). It was as if the one time of the year where they could depend on warm, sunny weather had been stolen from them.

      Now I don't know about you, but I'm NOT of the opinion that cold, depressing weather in Germany is good for world peace. (You can imagine how this situation may have affected people's opinions toward warm, sunny, debt-ridden Greece at the time.)

    15. Re:Don't worry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Me, my wife, my parents and her parents have done their part. 4 people down to 1, my son.

    16. Re:Don't worry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you kidding? The GGP is the one who started in with "only a fool" followed by a baseless assertion. He's a troll. I don't understand how that's in question, unless you're pretending he's not a troll because he happens to be trolling for your cause.

    17. Re:Don't worry by nmos · · Score: 1

      Ironically the places where population growth is the slowest is in the west where energy use per person is the highest.

    18. Re:Don't worry by Xoltri · · Score: 0

      Citing overpopulation is such a lazy and sad argument. Who's to decide how many people are too many? What do you suppose we do with the extra people? Should we be sterilizing all but of a few dedicated government controlled reproducers? Taken to it's logical conclusion you suppose the Earth would be a better place without us. Well I disagree, and you sir are an idiot.

      --
      -Xoltri
    19. Re:Don't worry by cfzirbes · · Score: 1

      Actually, if we, as a human race, decided to have fewer children and decrease world population, the economic effects would be DEVASTATING. Joblessness, poverty and famine would spread quickly. For reference, see Japan.

    20. Re:Don't worry by Stormthirst · · Score: 1

      Yay for medical advances - the unintended consequences is destroying the world.

    21. Re:Don't worry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oceania has a total population of about 37 million people. Of those, about 33 million live in Australia, Papua New Guinea and New Zealand, none of which are particularly threatened by rising sea levels. Of the remaining 4 million, many live on volcanic (mountainous) islands, but even if you assume that all those islands would become uninhabitable, you're talking about - 4 million people.

      Around a quarter-million Pacific islanders already live in New Zealand, so that would probably be the first-choice destination for many other Fijians, Samoans, Tongans, Tuvalans and others if their own countries became uninhabitable. NZ could absorb maybe another half-million (1/8th of its total population), Australia a similar number (1/60th of its total population). That leaves 3 million for the whole of the rest of the world.

      Okay, it's a lot, but it's hardly the Hunnic Horde.

    22. Re:Don't worry by XDirtypunkX · · Score: 1

      Brass myself? If I have to be covered in molten metals, at least let it be Gold like Viserys.

    23. Re:Don't worry by rapidreload · · Score: 1

      And yet even though you and I both know this, neither one of us is likely to want to die any earlier than is necessary (or more bluntly, if given the option to take medicine or perform a procedure to extend our lives in some way, we'll take it despite knowing it's purely for selfish reasons despite the facts above).

      --
      To all newcomers - people here are very close-minded and can't handle complaints about Linux. Keep this in mind.
    24. Re:Don't worry by dbamps · · Score: 1

      This is so true.

      The effect is clearly visible in the laste decade, where we all know global warming has stopped. This is, of course, the result of the increase in pirates over the last decade: both the real kind off the shores of the Horn of Africa and the phantasy ones personified by the always very cool Johnny Depp.

      If you think I'm trolling, I guggest you check this wiki link:
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tongue-in-cheek

    25. Re:Don't worry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Brass yourself."

      Which begs the question: is it a mute point?

      For all intensive purposes, yes.

    26. Re:Don't worry by tbannist · · Score: 1

      Here the real issue with climate change. It takes time to adapt to changes, we are probably driving climate change faster than nature can adapt to it. So while, technically the world at 4 degrees warmer could, in theory, be a better place. It's going to cost a lot of money and lives to get there. And when we get there nothing will be optimized for that climate. Areas that used to be great for growing crops may no longer be any good at all, areas that will eventually good for growing crops won't be ready for centuries naturally, so someone is going to have pay to have them artificially improved. Until that's done, people may starve if demand for food exceeds production capacity and although we can produce much more food than we need now, we don't know how much food production capacity we will lose and how much we could eventually gain.

      The U.N. already calculates that we've lost about 4% of global crop yields due to climate change (a number which is, fortunately, much lower than the increases attributable to improved farming practices), that number could become much larger when we reach 2C or 4C where we may trigger tipping points. Those tipping points represent potential feedback mechanism that could trigger global extinction events. For instance, more than once in the pat 98% of the sea life has been killed off by warm, acidic oceans. How much better will the world be if there's a massive fish die off in the oceans? If the prairies become the deserts?

      There is potential for gain, but there is a much greater potential for loss. We are running an uncontrolled experiment on the only planet we have and we don't know what the outcome will be. Globally, we're acting about as responsible as the people who were in charge of Chernobyl. Let's hope the results aren't much worse.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
  3. finite geothermal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The finite nature of geothermal always bothered me. Won't the core stop rotating and the Earth's protective magnetic field disappear if we used too much of it? Granted, that would not be an easy thing to do. If only fusion was easier than it is, and we would have almost unlimited energy at the cost of some sea-water.

    1. Re:finite geothermal by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      Doesn't geothermal heat largely come from nuclear decay in the core?

    2. Re:finite geothermal by KumquatOfSolace · · Score: 1

      Some of it comes from decay of radioisotopes in granite or other types of rock in the crust (very low-level, but the heat builds up over thousands or millions of years if it is insulated).

    3. Re:finite geothermal by yndrd1984 · · Score: 1

      Won't the core stop rotating and the Earth's protective magnetic field disappear if we used too much of it? Granted, that would not be an easy thing to do.

      Technically true but irrelevant, because radioactivity in the Earth generates more than twice as much power as mankind currently uses, and even without that it would take several billion years at our current rate of energy usage to drain the heat that's already there.

    4. Re:finite geothermal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A) anything extractable by humans is a drop in the bucket compared to the natural geothermal flux;
      B) anything extractable by humans in the very thin skin of the Earth is virtually irrelevant to what's happening in the core, several thousand kilometres deeper;
      C) even if the heat humans extracted was significant in quantity, it would take millions of years for the thermal effect to propagate to the core (rocks are very poor thermal conductors);
      D) it probably wouldn't do anything to the magnetic field anyway, and the Earth and people on it could survive just fine without a magnetic field (there are no major extinctions statistically associated with magnetic field flips, which usually have a period of time without an organized magnetic field or it is very weak).

      In short, humanity has about as much chance of affecting the Earth's magnetic field through geothermal heat extraction as you would if you ran outside in the middle of winter and tried to melt the snow with your hands in order to hasten springtime. No the core won't stop rotating, no the Earth's magnetic field won't cease, no this isn't being overly optimistic or anything like that. The heat in the Earth is at such a scale that anything humans could try to do to it is completely irrelevant.

      Sheesh we're getting paranoid about "breaking" things on Earth. It's not THAT easy. You may as well be afraid to piss into the ocean because it might cause sea level to rise and drown cities.

    5. Re:finite geothermal by Tomato42 · · Score: 1

      It's about twice. If you have idea to use 50% of global geothermal energy I'm all ears. But this only proves that geothermal is infeasible right now, let alone in 10-20 years when we will be using twice as much energy as now...

    6. Re:finite geothermal by KumquatOfSolace · · Score: 1

      ...except for the "it would take several billion years at our current rate of energy usage to drain the heat that's already there" part.

    7. Re:finite geothermal by Tomato42 · · Score: 1

      I don't claim that we can actually use it up in foreseeable future. I say that it's not enough on its own now to support our current, ever growing, energy needs.

    8. Re:finite geothermal by ResidentSourcerer · · Score: 1

      The bigger problem if we use enough geothermal to freeze the upper mantle: Plate tectonics grinds to a halt and in a few million years all the continents erode down to tidal flats.

      --
      Third Career: Tree Farmer Second Career: Computer Geek First Career: Teacher, Outdoor Instructor, Photographer.
    9. Re:finite geothermal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The bigger problem if we use enough geothermal to freeze the upper mantle

      Lol! Are you for real? :)

    10. Re:finite geothermal by yndrd1984 · · Score: 1
      No, if it was possible to tap that energy it could supply us for quite a long time, even at an energy usage rate a thousand times what we have now - the mantle would just cool a bit. It wouldn't be 'renewable', but if aliens/time travelers/angels dug the holes for us tomorrow (and assured us that it wouldn't cause earthquakes, etc) we wouldn't have to worry about energy problems for quite some time.

      The real problem is that, like wind and solar, it's hard to collect enough of that highly diffuse energy to be useful.

    11. Re:finite geothermal by yndrd1984 · · Score: 1

      The bigger problem if we use enough geothermal to freeze the upper mantle

      Which would take an engineering project lasting millennia, spanning much of Earth, and done miles underground and much of it beneath the seabed. And we have to believe that nobody discovers the danger, even after planet-wide geological changes occur, and this method of harvesting energy remains one of the most reasonable for the entire time-span.

      Really not too concerned.

    12. Re:finite geothermal by Tomato42 · · Score: 1

      Total Earth thermal flux (including oceans) = 44TW
      Human energy usage = 15TW with doubling every 12 years (6% annual growth rate)
      Electricity generation efficiency from geothermal = 20%
      Even if it was doable, it isn't sustainable. It also isn't clean, as it releases methane, brings up heavy metals and radioactive materials.

    13. Re:finite geothermal by yndrd1984 · · Score: 1

      Even if it was doable, it isn't sustainable. It also isn't clean, as it releases methane, brings up heavy metals and radioactive materials.

      True, but that's a different claim than:

      I say that it's not enough on its own now to support our current, ever growing, energy needs.

    14. Re:finite geothermal by Tomato42 · · Score: 1

      Sorry, but where I live 44TW * 20% = 8.8TW and 8.8TW is considered less than 15TW. Even if we could increase the efficiency to 35% we would still need to capture energy in each and every place on the whole globe, including oceans. It's technically unachievable let alone economically feasible! If we were drawing more than than 44TW (at 35% efficiency) the wells would need to go deeper every year driving the cost ever higher just to compensate for the cooled rock. Then there's the problem of ever increasing demand...

      It's impossible, plain and simple.

    15. Re:finite geothermal by yndrd1984 · · Score: 1

      Sorry, but where I live 44TW * 20% = 8.8TW and 8.8TW is considered less than 15TW.

      Pointing out the current rate that heat flows out of the Earth is like pointing out the current rate that coal is deposited. It does set a limit on the sustainable rate that we could tap that resource, but that's not the type of resource usage KOS and I were suggesting. With 10^31 joules 'saved up', we could use a thousand times as much power as we do now for generations without making a dent in that 'stockpile'.

      You may be completely right about its technical/economic feasibility, but that doesn't make your original argument relevant.

    16. Re:finite geothermal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > the mantle would just cool a bit.

      It's cooling anyway. That heat is getting dissipated whether we use any of it or not.

      This is like the argument that more windmills will "remove energy from the atmosphere" and screw up the climate. I guess we'd better chop down all the trees then, because they do the same thing to wind that windmills do.

  4. Psychotic retard defies logic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Claiming solar power isn't renewable because it requires water, you do realize the water used returns back to the earth once it is used right? That water is also renewable (as long as you don't pollute it while using it, you can use it forever). Will it maybe take 10% of the power generated to transport water, sure.. but that leaves us with 90% gains and full renew ability.

    I'm not even going to bother refuted this ultra netcase's other bits, there is something mentally off with this idiot.

    1. Re:Psychotic retard defies logic by Darfeld · · Score: 1, Troll

      You might want to think a bit more before calling someone an idiot. Or you just enjoy the Troll.

      Sure cycle of water is a wonderfull thing, but if you used it more than it recycle, the shit hit the fan at the end. That what the author is talking about.

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    2. Re:Psychotic retard defies logic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah - we need to be careful about using up all the water in the Oceans before it can be recycled.

    3. Re:Psychotic retard defies logic by skids · · Score: 1

      The issue is with where the water supply is used, which is generally in the desert, where water is at a premium.

      However the issue is overblown, and the solar industry is already addressing it by putting study into more parsimonious panel cleaning strategies, including some that work without using any water

  5. photovoltaics require silicon by Walter+White · · Score: 0

    That's a finite resource. Has anyone even calculated how long our present known reserves will last?

    600 acre feet of water? I probably use that much to shower every year.

    1. Re:photovoltaics require silicon by bmuon · · Score: 2

      Silicon can (and should) be recycled.

    2. Re:photovoltaics require silicon by Stormthirst · · Score: 1

      Indeed - isn't glass mostly silicon-dioxide and is one of the most recyclable products available?

    3. Re:photovoltaics require silicon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Actually, there are new prototypes not using silicon but organic materials instead. It's an active research field, but it's already showing concrete results.

    4. Re:photovoltaics require silicon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Silicon = sand. There's a lot of it.

    5. Re:photovoltaics require silicon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      That's a finite resource. Has anyone even calculated how long our present known reserves will last?

      Yes, about 600 million years.

      Since our crust is approximately 28% silicon by mass, there can never really be a shortage of silicon on earth.

      I realize you were trying to be sarcastic, because my sarcasm beeper is beeping.

    6. Re:photovoltaics require silicon by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      They are finding alternatives to the rare doping elements.

      I don't think energy production will be a problem in the end. The end problem is population density and total population.

      Anyone with a house can slap panels on the roof sufficient to reduce power generation needs by 75%. 100% if they use batteries (which are highly unrenewable - 7 years and they are toast under very good conditions- less under bad conditions).

      But apartment buildings don't have enough surface area for the residents power needs.

      It does seem like solar and wind energy would not increase the net heat- because that is already in the environment. Releasing stored energy (coal, oil, uranium) would increase the net heat.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    7. Re:photovoltaics require silicon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Silicon can (and should) be recycled.

      Can yes but in the case of IC's "should" is up for discussion.
      Whe current method to recycle electronics is to send it in containers to China where it is desoldered by the cheapes labour available. There are plenty of information on the process available on internet but here is one of the first that a google search gave me.

      Pretty much all who work in the field suffers from lead poisoning. (Yes, the RoHS directive will mitigate this slighlty but most electronics recycled is still the old leaded stuff and it is not like there is still a lot of unhealthy matherials used.)

      With our current methods of recycling the choice is pretty much between if you want the environment or the persons to suffer.

      When you by that cheap remote controlled toy with brittle plastics and components that look worn you can be pretty sure that someone have paid with a few days of their life-span to make it that cheap.

    8. Re:photovoltaics require silicon by ceoyoyo · · Score: 2

      Silicon is the most common element in the crust of the Earth. There's a LOT of it. That's like saying solar power is non-renewable because the sun will eventually burn out.

      Plus we can recycle it.

    9. Re:photovoltaics require silicon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They are looking for replacements of Boron and Phosphorous? WTF?
      I am talking about the standard PV technology. For CdTe and CIS you do need some scarce elements, but why bother?

    10. Re:photovoltaics require silicon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course it can be recycled. The issue is how much energy (and other inputs) does it take to do so, what is the cost (would it be a lot cheaper to just dump it), and what would be the environmental impact of massive cycling.

    11. Re:photovoltaics require silicon by aXi · · Score: 0

      They never named photovoltaics. They are talking about solar heat pump systems.

      Photovoltaics are allmost allways forgotton because of the so-called low-return. While in germany big homeowners are making a killing selling energy back to the grid.

      The fact that they did not compare photovoltaics tells me that this "research" might be biased.

    12. Re:photovoltaics require silicon by blueg3 · · Score: 1

      Who would bother recycling silicon? Difficult-to-make silicon-based molecules, maybe. But silicon is insanely common.

    13. Re:photovoltaics require silicon by srjh · · Score: 1

      It's not a lack of silicon in the Earth's crust that pushes recycling into making economic sense, it's the tremendous amount of energy that is required to refine silicates into solar-grade silicon, as well as the associated chemical processing and carbon dioxide emissions.

      To get metallurgical-grade silicon, the SiO2 is reacted with carbon in an arc furnace, producing carbon dioxide directly, but more importantly indirectly from the energy input to the arc furnace. To purify it to the point of solar-grade silicon, there are several more high-energy steps involved (reacting it with HCl and back again, then melting and recrystalising it for the more efficient crystalline silicon, etc.).

      It generally takes a few years of output to make up for the energy put in to make the panels, and most of that is the processing of silicon itself. Recycling the silicon at the end of its life cycle would cut down on that by quite a lot.

    14. Re:photovoltaics require silicon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Silicon is the most common element in the crust of the Earth. There's a LOT of it. That's like saying solar power is non-renewable because the sun will eventually burn out.

      Plus we can recycle it.

      I don't think we need to worry about sun recycling. The matter is automatically distributed and becomes a part of the next generation of stars.

    15. Re:photovoltaics require silicon by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 1

      100% if they use batteries (which are highly unrenewable - 7 years and they are toast under very good conditions- less under bad conditions).

      The materials are not wasted, they are simply in the wrong place. Most western countries have begun recycling batteries and making new ones from the "waste". Batteries are renewable.

      --
      Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
  6. Hot tip: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Did you know that things like coal and oil came from the capture and processing of Photons, just like wind/PV/hydro does?

    Coal/Oil only seems cheap on a photon processed basis because Man didn't spend the effort and time converting biomass into the coal/oil.

  7. So want to conserve energy? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Only have one child.

    1. Re:So want to conserve energy? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

      I think most of Slashdot is well ahead of the curve in this department, albeit not necessarily by choice.

    2. Re:So want to conserve energy? by PhilHibbs · · Score: 2

      Unfortunately the ever increasing lifespan due to improved medicine and nutrition requires an ever increasing population to support the ever increasing number of old people who are not contributing to the economy.

    3. Re:So want to conserve energy? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are two presumptions there that don't necessarily hold up:

      1) That people aren't capable of working longer aswell as living longer
      2) That those who are of working age are not able to be more productive as a result of technological improvements.

    4. Re:So want to conserve energy? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      From the article: "600 acre feet of water [to clean, cool and maintain a solar plant]"

      OMFG! The sky is falling! Wait, how much is that really?

      About 0.7 Glitres which is a tiny fraction of the amount in any storage dam anywhere in the world. And this is water that is itself recyclable.

      Preserve me from concern trolls.

  8. RTFA and reached a conclusion by DontBlameCanada · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The author, by failing to mention the current oil-based energy strategy at all, while vilifying the alternative energy sources leaves the reader with a sense of, "the alternatives are bad, lets keep using the current infra until we come up with something better." Interestingly, nuclear energy is *not* mentioned either, positive or negative - it's completely omitted.

    I'd not be surprised if the author was either a shill for the oil and gas companies or the nuclear energy affiliates.

    1. Re:RTFA and reached a conclusion by BergZ · · Score: 4, Informative

      This is an article from The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bulletin_of_the_Atomic_Scientists).
      In the 50+ years that they've been publishing I bet they're sick of talking about nuclear (power, weapons).

      --
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    2. Re:RTFA and reached a conclusion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Odd that the "Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists" wouldn't mention nuclear energy.

    3. Re:RTFA and reached a conclusion by travisco_nabisco · · Score: 1

      I didn't even notice the lack of nuclear power in the list until you mentioned it. Since the article failed to mention it, what would you put down as the negatives for nuclear, just so everyone gets fair representation. There is obviously the accident risk, even if it pales in comparison to the lives lost coal mining. It takes a lot of concrete to build a reactor. I imagine a lot of rare / difficult to refine materials are used in the construction of a reactor as well.

    4. Re:RTFA and reached a conclusion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oil and engines are far better then electric motors at this time for vehicles. Add on the fact that you are charging your electric car by either burning oil or coal for the most part and it just becomes clear you are looking for an excuse to use fossil fuels and/or you prefer to use them and pollute somewhere else.

    5. Re:RTFA and reached a conclusion by FooAtWFU · · Score: 4, Interesting
      I disagree. He's clearly a neo-Malthusian arguing for population limits, calling for a " in which energy demands do not continue to escalate indefinitely" and highlighting California's expected population growth and how "There are now seven billion humans on this planet" before saying that we need "a way to reduce our energy consumption and to share Earth's finite resources more equitably among nations and generations".

      He does mention that "renewable technologies are often less damaging to the climate and create fewer toxic wastes than conventional energy sources." Are those the words of an oil-industry shill, or someone who cherishes the status quo?

      You note that "nuclear energy is not mentioned". But look! This is published in "Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists". The front page will supply you with nuclear-power reading if you really want it.

      --
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    6. Re:RTFA and reached a conclusion by RivenAleem · · Score: 1

      I was wondering where the comparison charts for oil/gas/coal were, but I guess the point TFA was assuming was they they required no infrastructure to mine, process and burn these materials.

      How much acre feet of groundwater does the average coal burning plant use by comparison (KWh of electricity produced)

    7. Re:RTFA and reached a conclusion by compro01 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      No idea on acre-feet, but according to the US DOE, a coal plant needs 1.2 to 2.2 litres of water per kilowatt-hour depending on the design.

      Compare natural gas at 0.7-0.9, geothermal at 5.3, oil at 1.3-1.4, nuclear at 2.8-3.2, and solar at 2.8-3.5.

      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
    8. Re:RTFA and reached a conclusion by PhilHibbs · · Score: 1

      Nuclear power is mentioned twice and uranium once, and the article is about renewables anyway so it isn't about nuclear.

    9. Re:RTFA and reached a conclusion by PhilHibbs · · Score: 1

      It does. Twice.

    10. Re:RTFA and reached a conclusion by moonbender · · Score: 1

      I didn't like the article, either, it raises many issues but doesn't seem to deal with any of them in a sufficient way. But calling for energy efficiency is hardly neo-malthusian, it's just common sense. Every strategy towards a sustainable energy economy I'm aware of requires significant improvements in energy efficiency. The good thing is that there are still lots of low hanging fruit when it comes to improving efficiency: huge amounts of energy used to heat up or cool down housing can be saved by improving isolation, for example. Or just think of the transportation sector, both bulk as well as personal transportation.

      If it were just up to the western world, reducing the overall energy consumption should be incredibly easy. I'm pretty sure it's already stagnated in Europe; for Germany, it has remained constant at around 14000 PJ since the 90s. Unfortunately, that's where his point about sharing finite resources equitably among nations comes in -- we need to reduce our consumption while simultaneously allowing for an increase in developing countries, while desperately trying to prevent their per-capita energy consumption from coming anywhere close to our (soon: historic) extremes.

      Also, the Bulletin isn't a pro-nuclear shill publication. While I can't rule out that they have an overall pro-nuclear energy bias, they're most famous for covering issues of nuclear armament and proliferation (the clock thing). I briefly looked at the nuclear energy articles and they didn't strike me as particularly partisan; they have a moderately optimistic article about the recent German commitment to phase out nuclear energy, which I'm pretty sure marks them as anti-nuclear fringe in US terms.

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    11. Re:RTFA and reached a conclusion by elsurexiste · · Score: 1

      We are the pariahs of Slashdot: we RTFAs. :P

      --
      I rarely respond to comments. Also, don't ask for clarifications: a brain and Google are faster, believe me!
    12. Re:RTFA and reached a conclusion by shilly · · Score: 1

      There is obviously the accident risk, even if it pales in comparison to the lives lost coal mining.

      Risk = frequency * impact

      Nuclear accidents are very rare compared to coal accidents. The impact thus far has been relatively low, but the potential impact is very very high. A bad coal disaster might kill a few hundred people. A bad nuclear disaster might kill a lot more....

    13. Re:RTFA and reached a conclusion by travisco_nabisco · · Score: 1

      There is obviously the accident risk, even if it pales in comparison to the lives lost coal mining.

      Risk = frequency * impact

      Nuclear accidents are very rare compared to coal accidents. The impact thus far has been relatively low, but the potential impact is very very high. A bad coal disaster might kill a few hundred people. A bad nuclear disaster might kill a lot more....

      Very true, also, the number of nuclear plants in the world pales in comparison to the number of coal powered plants/mines. As the number of nuclear reactors increases the likelyhood of a high impact accident increases.

    14. Re:RTFA and reached a conclusion by Sabriel · · Score: 1

      Interesting. Link please?

    15. Re:RTFA and reached a conclusion by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Risk = frequency * impact

      That is a layman definition, or a cultural thing.

      Risk := do I get harmed || do I likely die?

      "Risk" (in the original sense) has nothing to do with frequency, it is basically just another word for impact.

      You are standing at a cliff/canyon, you think you could jump to the other side. What do you riks? You risk your life. Thats all, you can jump as often as you want, your risk is not changing. The likelihood may change ... after all you become more traine din jumping.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    16. Re:RTFA and reached a conclusion by compro01 · · Score: 1
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    17. Re:RTFA and reached a conclusion by shilly · · Score: 1

      In this field, matey, an OO programmer is the layman, not a risk analyst. Risk does indeed equal frequency times severity. The rest of your post is just twaddle, and a reference to an "original" -- lay -- definition of risk.

    18. Re:RTFA and reached a conclusion by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Nope, my definition was not the "laymans" definition but "the definition".
      The risk you mean or the parent of me is only interesting for insurance companies, because they look at the financial risk ;D That is something completely different than "the risk". The better term would perhaps be risk portfolio, but alas the term risk is allready coined.

      If you are an engineer you have a complete different usage for the word risk.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    19. Re:RTFA and reached a conclusion by shilly · · Score: 1

      I'm struggling to understand what you mean. It's particularly weird because you're criticising my usage of the term risk but doing so using practically unintelligible phrases like "the risk you mean or the parent of me".

      You are utterly and completely wrong if you think that the use of the term risk I have described is specific to financial risk. It is routinely used to quantify risks to human health by epidemiologists and other scientists.

    20. Re:RTFA and reached a conclusion by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Well,

      I did not remember if I originally answered to you or if you only answered after I had answered to someone else.

      You are utterly and completely wrong if you think that the use of the term risk I have described is specific to financial risk. It is routinely used to quantify risks to human health by epidemiologists and other scientists

      I believe that, but can not make up an example from ym mind. Perhaps you could say "the risk to get lung cancer is ..." etc. Or "if you have lung cancer your risk to die is X%" however this are more layman term or lets say "more common term" than science or engineering. Because the correct term is not risk in this case but likelihood.

      In science and engineering e.g. make a measurement. Lets say the range is 13 till 41 (very simplified, but imagine some image processing software or a terrain following radar) now you get a number X somewhere in that range. That is your signal. Lets assume 13 - 14 is the "to low" bracket, 14 to 25 is the "low" bracket, 26 to 39 is the "good" bracket and 40 - 41 is the "to high" braket.

      Now what does X mean, it can be the temperature of the engien in your car (in some arbitrary unit) or it can be the temperatue or oil level in your aircrafts engine. What is the problem? The problem is if I have an measuring error or rounding flaw in the processing which lets me place my measurement into the bracket "low" while it should be in fact in the braket "to low".

      So: now lets talk about risk. Hence we do an risk assessment:
      What do I risk by misjudging X into "low" instead of "to low"?
      In my car I risk that my engine fails and I break down with the car on the road. Follow risks are possible involvement with an accident because I can not maneauver. This is *risk*. And I don't even speak about the likelihood, nor about the amount of cars having this problem. I only talk about "what do I risk".
      Now lets look at my aircraft. Lets assume "to low" means the oil supply is really to low. When I accidently place my measurement into the braket "low", what do I risk? I risk a plane crash, in case is a plane with one engine. I risk an air emergency if I have a plane with more than one engine.
      Now: you can go and do as the financial industry does: calculate "cost of that single risk" times "likelihood" and call that risk again (while the correct term for an insurance would be "expected damage").
      However my point is: in engineering you have to be more precise and distinguish between risk, likelihood and expected cost/damage.
      Even most software does so at least internaly.

      So, what I don't know is: do medics use the word risk, just because it is more convenient or do they so in talks to teh public to be easyer understood?

      So ask yourself: would you rather risk to drive a car with the "problem" decribed above? Or fly a one engine plane? (Hint, you understand "this usage" of the word risk, and what it implies?)

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    21. Re:RTFA and reached a conclusion by shilly · · Score: 1

      Honestly, this is just semantic twattery

      In your example, you simply define the term "risk" to be the expected damage from a single incident.

      I am *telling you* that this is not how medics, epidemiologists and risk analysts define risk. It does not make them less precise. They still care about expected damage. They call this severity. They also care about the likelihood of incurring that expected damage. They call this frequency.

      You have not introduced any third variable beyond frequency or severity. It seems you just object to calling the results of the multiplication of these two things together "risk".

      Your question at the end proves the value of the calculation: the way you phrase it seems to imply you think there's a single right answer that is inherently deducible from the circumstances, but in fact there is no way for me to know whether I'd prefer to be in a car with the "problem" you describe or a one-engined plane with the other problem you describe without knowing the likelihood of the following risk (the crash) and the severity of the outcome -- that requires knowing things like how effective the mitigation engineering is in both the car and the plane (car: will I retain steering/braking? how effective are the airbags? plane: how effective is it at gliding? is there a reserve oil supply? etc) and also environmental issues such as speed at time of failure etc.

    22. Re:RTFA and reached a conclusion by shilly · · Score: 1

      Incidentally, there's a ton of material out there on the risk = frequency * severity equation, all of which happens to show that this is an absolutely standard way of defining risk.

      You could start here:
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk_Matrix
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk#ISO31000:2009_Risk_Management_Standard
      or just google risk frequency severity

    23. Re:RTFA and reached a conclusion by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I am *telling you* that this is not how medics, epidemiologists and risk analysts define risk.

      And I tell you: you are wrong :D

      Your question at the end proves the value of the calculation: the way you phrase it seems to imply you think there's a single right answer that is inherently deducible from the circumstances, but in fact there is no way for me to know whether I'd prefer to be in a car with the "problem" you describe or a one-engined plane with the other problem you describe without knowing the likelihood of the following risk

      Insightfull answer and interesting.

      I would not fly the plane, as risking my life for no gain is for me no option. Using the car and breaking down somewhere is only a nuisance.

      That exactly was my point: that risk and gain and likelyhood and cost and if you want frequency are all seperated terms.

      If you design and program software you need to know that.

      In ym example, sorry that it was so complicated, I tried to come to the "problem" of wrongly asserting that a measured value belongs into the "acceptable" bracket. As a software engineer or as an engineer you have to make sure that the value "to low" is correctly recognized. It is arguable in this case better to have a false positive (a value put into "to low" while it actually belongs into "acceptable") ... and you do that because the risk is DEATH. Completely unrelated to frequency, likelihoods or costs.

      (car: will I retain steering/braking? how effective are the airbags? plane: how effective is it at gliding? is there a reserve oil supply? etc) and also environmental issues such as speed at time of failure etc.

      Yes, a sensible thought. But this has nothing to do with risk analysis. Here you are balancing and judging risk versus gain! The risk is the same, regardless what you gain if the risk is not happening.

      You have two doors A and B, you can choose which you take. If you take the right door you gain $10. If you take the wrong door you get killed.
      The risk is death. The likelihood is 50%. The gain is $10. The likelihood is 50%. The average gain is $5.
      Now lets make the game more "interesting". If you take the correct door you get $1,000,000. Now look at this: the risk is still death. The likelyhood to die is still 50%. The RISK IS UNCHANGED!
      The likelihood to win is still 50% only the average gain is now $500,000.
      I agree that certain people use the term risk conveniently for expected damage. However in many scenarios that makes no sense.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    24. Re:RTFA and reached a conclusion by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Perhaps you should read the wikipedia article?

      Risk != level of risk != amount of risk.

      The first two sentences more or less exactly describe what I wrote in my previous post.

      However for laymans the 3 different things:

      • risk
      • level of risk
      • amount of risk

      Are often expressed with the same short term word "risk" (and the wording of the wikipedia article is a bit poor, imho)

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  9. Steam by slim · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Several times, she talks of water consumed by steam turbines.

    Wouldn't any sane design condense the steam into water, and re-use it? Otherwise you're throwing away water *and* heat.

    1. Re:Steam by Stormthirst · · Score: 2

      I remember being taught in school (which was some years ago now, and I'm too lazy to google it right now), but doesn't Iceland have several geothermal plants, which the by-products (heated water/steam) then go on to be used to heat nearby homes and provide hot water?

    2. Re:Steam by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      The article alludes to that and says that the new models will use 90% less water.

      Like most humans, they probably ignored/missed constraints in the first iteration because they saw the water as an "unlimited" resource.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    3. Re:Steam by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Some is always lost, that's all. Think of maintenance and leaks etc. Still, water is probably the least of the issues.

    4. Re:Steam by KumquatOfSolace · · Score: 1

      The "hot dry rock" geothermal prototypes use a closed loop...sort of. Water is injected into cracks in granite several kilometers below the surface and then pumped out again from a different location.

    5. Re:Steam by Gordonjcp · · Score: 3, Funny

      It's not really "lost", though. It just gets out of your local closed system and back into the global environment. If you just let all the steam go, it will float off into the atmosphere until it gets cold and all the little molecules start to miss their friends.

      There's currently about 5cm an hour of the result coming down all over NW Scotland.

    6. Re:Steam by slim · · Score: 1

      Indeed, but the heat goes nowhere useful. And a solar plant is unlikely to be in NW Scotland. It's more likely to be in a desert.

    7. Re:Steam by ceoyoyo · · Score: 2

      Yes. Iceland is a country without water heaters. I was there in August... it's pretty cool. Every tiny village also has a really nice swimming pool because the things are dirt cheap when you get hot water for free.

    8. Re:Steam by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Also, the hot water doesn't just heat nearby homes. It's piped around the country like we pipe oil around.

    9. Re:Steam by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

      Yes, this is one of the big downsides of solar here - in the winter when you need the electricity (or heat for that matter) you get about six hours of direct sunlight at most.

      Wind isn't much good either, since it's usually too gusty for wind turbines to operate efficiently. In the winter the winds are either too high for the turbines to run safely, or it's flat calm.

    10. Re:Steam by slim · · Score: 1

      In fairness to the author, most power plant designs can be sited close to abundant water sources; solar power plants tend to be in deserts. So water usage is more of a concern for solar plants than for other kinds.

      However, you can transport water to the desert. You can minimise loss of water. Or, you can trade off water availability against sunshine levels when choosing where to site the plant.

    11. Re:Steam by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More importantly, by not recycling the water in your steam turbine, you're putting whatever is dissolved in the new water into your pristine, expensive turbine.

    12. Re:Steam by slim · · Score: 1

      You've got slopes though, so hydroelectric storage is practical (pump water uphill when the wind is blowing or the sun is shining; bring it downhill through turbines when the demand exceeds the supply)

      You just need the political will to dam some valleys. They did it in the 60s.

      I'm sure people objected for all kinds of reasons at the time -- those displaced from their homes; those who liked the valleys as they were -- but within a decade, at the Rheidol hydroelectric plant I'm thinking of, both the top and bottom reservoirs are beauty spots and havens for nature.

    13. Re:Steam by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

      Yeah, hydroelectric power isn't very ecologically friendly though. You've got to destroy truly massive amounts of land to get a relatively small amount of power. Not a great way to go about it.

      (You can see my dad driving a dump truck in one of the films about the construction of the Loch Awe pumped storage scheme)

    14. Re:Steam by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Recently had a chance to tour a plant, the super heated steam that goes through the turbine is in a relatively closed system, but after it passes through the turbine then it has to be cooled/condensed before it can go back into the boiler, it goes through a sort of huge radiator that's cooled by a constant flow river water (pumped in, then drained off to a holding pond to further cool before returned to the environment). I don't know if this is a common design or not, if I understand it was the second stage of a combined cycle gas turbine plant.

    15. Re:Steam by greed · · Score: 1

      Almost all thermal plants, regardless of heat source, use a closed steam loop. Otherwise, you have to continually de-mineralize the feedwater, and deal with precipitate in the boiler.

      How the steam is condensed varies; if you're near enough water, you can just use that. If you're near enough to a town, you can sink your waste heat into the district heating system. If you're out of all other options, you can build one of those hyperboloid cooling towers people associate with nuclear plants. (They're actually used with all sorts of thermal plants, including coal and oil.)

      So, even the little 550 MW combined-cycle gas-fired plant in my neighbourhood recycles steam. (Combined-cycle means the waste heat from gas turbines boils water to run a steam turbine.)

    16. Re:Steam by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, but Iceland is smaller than a medium size city and pretty much irrelevant to anything.

      Oh, not really

    17. Re:Steam by kheldan · · Score: 1

      No system is lossless.

      --
      Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
    18. Re:Steam by dorre · · Score: 1

      Water consumption is needed to maximise efficiency. With evaporation cooling you can almost have vacuum after the turbine (increasing pressure with~1 bar over turbine) thus producing much more power.
      the alternative is air cooling and then efficiency becomes dependent on ambient temp.

    19. Re:Steam by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Wind isn't much good either, since it's usually too gusty for wind turbines to operate efficiently. In the winter the winds are either too high for the turbines to run safely, or it's flat calm.

      Depends on whee you life, or?
      In germany in winter we always have medium to strong winds. The stormy period is autumn, not winter. Regarding "efficiency" thats simply the wrong word. You don't put anything into it. So you judging the output is ... difficult.
      A engine in a car has an efficiency of 20% (roughly) so 80% of the fuels is wasted.
      A wind turbine ... uses just some wind and produces just some electricity ... there is noting wasted.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    20. Re:Steam by Stormthirst · · Score: 1

      Except of course to the Icelanders. It's pretty relevant to them, don't you think?

    21. Re:Steam by dak664 · · Score: 1

      Existing nuclear plants heat to a relatively low water temperature ~320C as opposed to fossil fuel plants heating to 500 or 600C. Thermodynamic efficiency depends on the temperature difference between that and the steam exhaust, so raising the exhaust temperature by 50C to run a condensing system is not a big deal for a coal plant but a killer for a nuke plant. That is why they often use cooling towers (which becomes consumptive use of water) instead of non-consumptive river cooling - the extra 20C drop at the top of the tower translates into a few percentage points increase in efficiency.

      A 3 GW thermal plant at 30% efficiency would put out 1 GW electricity, At 25% efficiency you would need 4 GW(t) to get 1 GW(e). That is a whopping 25 percent increase in heat generation, or if you like decrease in profit.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermal_power_station,

    22. Re:Steam by chrb · · Score: 1

      The problem is that the water is too hot to re-use for cooling, and cooling it would in turn require time and energy. It's therefore easier to pump the hot water out to sea and forget about it. It is used as heating water in some places, but this has problem, see Sustainable energy without the hot air: Combined heat and power: "Delivering useful heat to a customer always reduces the electricity produced to some degree. The true net gains from combined heat and power are often much smaller than the hype would lead you to believe."

    23. Re:Steam by dkf · · Score: 1

      You've got slopes though, so hydroelectric storage is practical (pump water uphill when the wind is blowing or the sun is shining; bring it downhill through turbines when the demand exceeds the supply)

      You just need the political will to dam some valleys. They did it in the 60s.

      The problem with the UK when it comes to hydro (of all kinds) is a shortage of suitable sites for large schemes (that aren't already in use). Either the topography is just wrong or the geology isn't suitable; you don't build reservoirs on top of limestone or chalk because you'll never seal them properly, and "mostly low and gently rolling hills" is truly unsuited to large reservoirs.

      That's before taking into account insane land prices and obstructive development control laws.

      --
      "Little does he know, but there is no 'I' in 'Idiot'!"
  10. This makes perfect sense... by Gordonjcp · · Score: 0

    ... so watch it get shouted down by the right-wing big-government cloud-cuckoolanders.

  11. I say BS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the water need to wash panels doesn't get "consumed" ... the water cycle is kind of renewable (and ongoing since a few billion years on this planet).

    1. Re:I say BS by slim · · Score: 2

      In fairness, if the solar power plant is in the desert (where they often seem to be) where water is scarce, water used to clean mirrors is going to evaporate and fall as rain elsewhere, probably where water is less scarce.

      However, it doesn't seem insurmountable. If it's really an issue, I'm sure one could design cleaning systems that minimise the amount of water lost - and the cost (both financial and environmental) of transporting water in trucks ought to be minimal compared to the power output of a large plant.

    2. Re:I say BS by Stormthirst · · Score: 1

      Granted, some of the water will evaporate from the panels as they get washed, but most of the water will run off - get filtered and then get re-used.

    3. Re:I say BS by siride · · Score: 1

      There's always a cost to this kind of stuff. That's what people don't think about and what this article tries to point out. Yes, there is a lot of energy coming from the sun and there is a lot of water out there in the world, but the cost to get it may put us in a situation where we don't even break even, let alone have enough extra energy to do things like run the internet.

    4. Re:I say BS by PhilHibbs · · Score: 1

      Solar power is best in hot, low-population places - i.e. deserts. 90% of that water will be lost to evaporation and will go elsewhere.

    5. Re:I say BS by Ja'Achan · · Score: 1

      Doesn't the water that evaporates come down again? Think it's called "rain" or something.

    6. Re:I say BS by Stormthirst · · Score: 1

      I very much doubt it's anywhere near as high as 90%. It wouldn't be hard for the water to be collected at the bottom of the mirror in a trough of some kind and then pumped away to be cleaned and re-used. Water just doesn't evaporate that fast.

    7. Re:I say BS by PhilHibbs · · Score: 1

      That's a lot of water-recycling infrastructure, which adds to the cost and maintenance of the whole installation.

  12. Not so much "renewable" by Scareduck · · Score: 1

    as "scalable". Solar is really impractical to harvest in large quantities, doesn't work well for baseload generation because of no way to store surplus, needs distribution, etc. I get his point but the title is somewhat misleading.

    --

    Dog is my co-pilot.

    1. Re:Not so much "renewable" by vipw · · Score: 1

      Orbital solar seems pretty smart as a long term energy source. But it's not so nice here on earth where there's an atmosphere and plants that would also like a little bit of sun.

    2. Re:Not so much "renewable" by jo_ham · · Score: 1

      Of course you can store surplus in solar plants. It's not all PV you know - you can run the plant using mineral oil (or some other liquid with a high Cv) and pump it round the system, heating it using the sun and storing it for use when there's no sun - like at night. Then just run steam turbines from this stored heat. This has been done in prototype plants, and is subject to economies of scale.

      The distribution issue is one that's common to many renewables - the best places to put the plants tend to be far away from where the load is wanted.

    3. Re:Not so much "renewable" by cloudmaster · · Score: 2

      No way to store surplus electricity? Batteries are one. Flywheel-based storage is another. There are a number of ways to store energy. And distributing electricity is a pretty much solved problem. :) I'm pretty sure the problem with solar energy is almost entirely one of the extreme cost to do it with in any kind of volume.

    4. Re:Not so much "renewable" by skids · · Score: 2

      Orbital solar is the stupidest idea I have seen get traction in a long time. As far as I'm concerned it's a bid by the DoD to coopt renewable funds for a friggin space laser.

    5. Re:Not so much "renewable" by Hentes · · Score: 1

      Molten salt solar plants can store energy quite efficiently.

    6. Re:Not so much "renewable" by lightknight · · Score: 1

      Oh yes. Lead-acid or lithium ion batteries are an excellent choice for rapid cycling and high currents. I don't think even NiCad is looking too hot there.

      And yes, there are many ways of storing electricity, but it pushes up the price for your powerplant. And typically takes up more land, which solar already does a lot of.

      And most importantly: batteries will store less power than a nuclear reactor can provide at full tilt. The old light-water reactors are limited, by law, to half their efficiency, because greater efficiency requires higher temperatures. They can easily double their power output by lifting those laws; not that doing so with 50 year old reactors is, in my opinion, a good time to start, but with newer ones, why not? What other technology do you know of would let you double your power output with your existing equipment?

      --
      I am John Hurt.
    7. Re:Not so much "renewable" by lightknight · · Score: 1

      Bah. The lasers they want (X-Ray) can't be powered by a reasonable number of solar cells. You'd have to pepper the moon with solar cells to get enough energy to power one of those lasers.

      If think the best idea they have come up with for powering those x-ray lasers involved detonating a nuclear fission bomb, and mirroring the resulting X-Rays toward the earth. Something complicated and single-use, like that.

      And the atmosphere, even with the latest optics, is still something of an obstacle.

      --
      I am John Hurt.
    8. Re:Not so much "renewable" by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      ... doesn't work well for baseload generation because of no way to store surplus ...

      Another one who does not know what baseload means. (Hint: what is the difference between base load and peak load in terms of percentage of daily production? Monthly production, yearly production, month per year production???)
      Surplus? Who cares if I "only" want to generate baseload?
      Storeage? Hu? What the fuck has the means of power generation to do with how to store it?
      If you generate surplus nuclear power you store it in a: pumped hydro storage plant (or a compressed air plant)
      If you generate surplus coal power you store it in a: pumped hydro storage plant (or a compressed air plant)
      If you generate surplus wind power you store it in a: pumped hydro storage plant (or a compressed air plant)
      If you generate surplus tidal power you store it in a: pumped hydro storage plant (or a compressed air plant)
      If you generate surplus gas power you store it in a: pumped hydro storage plant (or a compressed air plant)
      Etc. etc. etc.
      Get a damn, clue.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    9. Re:Not so much "renewable" by ahodgson · · Score: 1

      Baseload means it has to work when it's dark outside and the wind isn't blowing.

    10. Re:Not so much "renewable" by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      No, baseload does not mean this:

      Baseload means it has to work when it's dark outside and the wind isn't blowing.

      Try again please ;D
      (Hint: are you sure that base load can fail when it is daytime and wind is blowing like mad?)

      Simple explanation: baseload is the amount of power you always generate regardless of demand. In other words your power production is never below X, then X is your baseload. Usually that has nothing to do with actual demand as you are producing quite above baseneed in late night to fill up your pumped storages.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    11. Re:Not so much "renewable" by badkarmadayaccount · · Score: 1

      Or, implement distributed load balanced flywheel storage on a per substation basis?

      --
      I know tobacco is bad for you, so I smoke weed with crack.
  13. Quoth Homer of Simpson by damn_registrars · · Score: 4, Informative

    "In this house we obey the laws of thermodynamics!"

    --
    Damn_registrars has no butt-hole. Damn_registrars has no use for a butt-hole.
  14. Nice read... by alendit · · Score: 2

    Interesting read, because of all the factual information in it (I assume, it's actually correct).

    Is "renewable energy" a meaningless term? Sure, even sunlight isn't limitless. Everything's finite and we're all gonna die, buhu. The things we call "renewable" are more sustainable in a long run, than current main energy sources (e.g. coal), that's what it is about. You can discuss semantics all you want.

    So, while understanding the technology limitations is surely important, the solution is not to do nothing, just because we can't achieve perfect results just yet.

    1. Re:Nice read... by nmos · · Score: 1

      So, while understanding the technology limitations is surely important, the solution is not to do nothing, just because we can't achieve perfect results just yet.

      I'm not sure that's really true. For some computing problems you are actually better off waiting a while to get started (due to Moor's Law). Energy tech. may be another one of those kinds of situations where the tech will be so much better in the future that we're better off saving our money. We have something like 100 years of coal, gas, oil in North America so there's really no hurry.

  15. Quick Summary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Less people == eco-friendly

    If there were only a billion or so humans around, we could dump pretty much anything we wanted, anywhere we wanted, and it would never matter. Certainly with current technology, we could truly conserve the planet.

    So the problem is figuring out how to murder about 6-10 billion humans over the next few decades without wrecking the global economy.

    1. Re:Quick Summary by schnikies79 · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      No need to kill anyone. Limit reproduction and the problem is solved in just a few decades.

      --
      Gone!
    2. Re:Quick Summary by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      So the problem is figuring out how to murder about 6-10 billion humans over the next few decades without wrecking the global economy.

      They're working on it. Better top-down control of how food is produced and distributed is getting rolled out now. Studies on lab-created viruses and rolling out vaccines to the general population is an important component, too.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    3. Re:Quick Summary by slew · · Score: 1

      No need to kill anyone. Limit reproduction and the problem is solved in just a few decades.

      That doesn't work in our current economic model where we assume some sort of economic growth to fix the problems of caring for our elderly and sick (e.g., pensions, insurance). Of course if we fix that, you won't need to kill anyone, just all old folks live in poverty and nobody can afford to get sick (or we all collectively take our standard of living down a couple notches).

      Japan and some european countries are already dealing with this issue of reduced reproduction rates screwing over their current economic model. Some countries like Canada, Australia, and the USA have historically addressed this problem with immigration.

      Currently, China seems to be an outlier in that they seem to be both limiting reproduction and growing, but many suspect that is because they are essentially sucking the wealth out of their trading partners by over-exploiting their natural resources w/o having to deal with the pension and insurance issue too much. In China there is a two-tier system where jobs with good pensions and locations with good health care are only in the larger cities and are not generally available citizens that originate outside the cities. To restrict the pension/insurance issues, citizens aren't allowed to officially move to the cities (although they can be migrant workers there, but generally don't have access to services).

      Many are not sure how sustainable this two tier situation is. When you get lots of repressed masses, sometimes the result is a bunch of killing.

    4. Re:Quick Summary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just eliminate all reproduction and the problem with people's impact to the environment is eliminated in short order. This would be a 12 monkeys scenario where the human race just dies of old age and disinterest instead of an acute disease. If you engineered it so it gave you a buzz you could probably get every teen in the world to take it voluntarily.

    5. Re:Quick Summary by schnikies79 · · Score: 2

      In that case, which is true, our economic models are the problem. Relying on continuing growth instead of stabilization will always fail in the long run.

      --
      Gone!
  16. Mostly just FUD by skids · · Score: 4, Interesting

    OP seems to be a compendium of old FUD I've read before. Yeah sure, solar panels have a limited lifetime -- about 25 years, by which time the next generation of them will make twice or more as many panels from the same amount of materials harvested by recycling them. Oh dear, solar sites need to wash panels, they'll never figure out how to make dust-resistant coatings, of course. OMG wind turbines use a lot of Nd (using the worst case of a direct drive unit) so naturally it follows that that's the only way to do it and we won't be switching to Separately Excited Syncronous or Switch Variable Reluctance gensets when it becomes cost effective to do so.

    I'll be glad when these clowns finally sell their Exxon stock so I don't have to listen to them whine any more in the face of the inevitable.

    1. Re:Mostly just FUD by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      I'll be glad when these clowns finally sell their Exxon stock so I don't have to listen to them whine any more in the face of the inevitable.

      They're promoting nuclear, not fossil fuels.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    2. Re:Mostly just FUD by Hentes · · Score: 1

      Yeah sure, solar panels have a limited lifetime -- about 25 years, by which time the next generation of them will make twice or more as many panels from the same amount of materials harvested by recycling them.

      Current high-end panels can convert 20% of the sunlight to electricity so I'm curious about the ones in 2085 that will have an efficiency of 160%...

    3. Re:Mostly just FUD by bmo · · Score: 1

      >I'll be glad when these clowns finally sell their Exxon stock so I don't have to listen to them whine any more in the face of the inevitable

      Did you read the same article I read?

      The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists isn't generally thought of as a Big Oil propaganda rag by environmentalists.

      In the same issue:

      When politicians distort science
        Updated: 23 November 2011

      Republican presidential candidate and Texas Gov. Rick Perry recently questioned the science of climate change in ways so unsupported by evidence that Glenn Kessler, the "Fact Checker" columnist at The Washington Post, gave him a rating of "four Pinocchios." Perry's is but one scientific misstatement among many that regularly roil the US political scene. What is the proper scientific response to the political distortion -- or even outright rejection -- of science? In coming weeks, three Bulletin experts will offer authoritative and at times provocative analysis.

      Yeah, Big Oil. Right.

      GFY.

      --
      BMO - who used to pay attention to the Bulletin's Clock during the Cold War.

    4. Re:Mostly just FUD by AdamJS · · Score: 1

      They really should be promoting the use of Nuclear alongside alternative energies, as a good base power source for the transitional period from current sources to renewable ones.

    5. Re:Mostly just FUD by AdamJS · · Score: 1

      He was talking about the amount of panels from the raw materials, not the efficiency of the panels.

      I.e. a panel that takes 10 pieces of resource X to make today, but 25 years from now, an equivalent panel might be constructable from 1 piece of resource X that may be harvest-able from the now-dead panel.

    6. Re:Mostly just FUD by skids · · Score: 1

      Exxon isn't just a fossil fuel company. I don't know if there even exist oil companies that don't have a stake in nuclear anymore.

    7. Re:Mostly just FUD by KonoWatakushi · · Score: 1

      You haven't addressed the most relevant point: cost. It is as prohibitive today as it was decades ago, and so will it be decades from now. There is simply no solution to the fundamental problems, and pretending that there is, is a dangerous fantasy which distracts from real and practical solutions. If molten salt reactor technology was pursued rather than set aside by politicians, we would be energy independent today, or close to it. Furthermore, we could be exporting these reactors throughout the world, where energy and clean water are desperately needed. We need to invest in technologies that have the potential to solve the very real problems facing us, both social and otherwise.

      The energy density of renewables is simply too low and requires massive resources to harvest it, in terms of both materials and land, and also ongoing maintenance and replacement. The low capacity factor and remote locations will also require enormous growth of the distribution network, which is not economically viable when the infrastructure is idle 80% of the time, to say nothing of the completely intractable energy storage problems. Base load energy sources such as gas are still required, so don't forget to factor in that cost as well. When all is accounted for, the panels could be free and it still wouldn't make sense. Nuclear is also an option for base load, but then why bother with the renewables at all?

      Neodymium aside, concrete and steel require considerable energy input to create in such quantities, primarily from fossil fuels. We talk about lost land to contamination from nuclear accidents, but that is nothing compared to the amount of land that would be permanently unusable due to wide scale renewables, to say nothing of natural habitat destruction. Even hydro is very destructive and land intensive.

      Finally, solar and wind are labor intensive, and while that might create jobs, it is not a constructive use of human abilities, any more than having those people slaving away in coal mines would be. As we are better able to exploit the atom, we should have the luxury of working not only less time, but on more intellectual satisfying endeavors. The purpose of jobs programs should not be to keep people busy with mindless work.

      The important thing, is that we get away from fossil fuels as soon as possible; their cost in terms of life (including resource wars) and environmental damage is simply too great. I would advocate conventional nuclear, but only as a stopgap measure until advanced reactors can be developed and deployed. Little could be worse though than maintaining the status quo, and preventing the replacement of aging reactors with newer and safer options.

    8. Re:Mostly just FUD by smellotron · · Score: 1

      I'll be glad when these clowns finally sell their Exxon stock...

      Most people who have money sitting in the stock market include some variant of the S&P index. The popular ETF SPY has ~3% of its holdings in Exxon (XOM). You may be waiting a long time, and when you get your wish you'll probably find another waiting to take Exxon's spot.

    9. Re:Mostly just FUD by skids · · Score: 1

      It is as prohibitive today as it was decades ago, and so will it be decades from now

      OK, I'll address that: false, and false.

      The energy density of renewables is simply too low and requires massive resources to harvest it

      ...and false.

    10. Re:Mostly just FUD by benhattman · · Score: 1

      FUD was my thought as well.

    11. Re:Mostly just FUD by chrb · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately for our society, the original poster is mostly correct. Please read this book: Sustainable energy without the hot air. The author is a big proponent of sustainable energy, but reading the calculations on energy density you begin to realise what a huge problem we are facing. The book is a free download, or you can buy the dead tree version. There's no reason to not be educated on this issue.

    12. Re:Mostly just FUD by skids · · Score: 1

      There's no reason to not be educated on this issue.

      I do keep myself educated on this issue. I simply do not give the idea that energy density is a problem for renewables much merit, because it doesn't deserve merit.

  17. Disinformation - Shame on you /. ! by bridgey655 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Do not let anyone tell you this drivel. "Solar, wind, and geothermal power are not fundamentally different from other energy technologies that consume finite natural resources" BS! BS I say! Check out www.thevenusproject.com

    1. Re:Disinformation - Shame on you /. ! by bridgey655 · · Score: 1

      Here is one of many many examples!! The truth is, and you wont like it, the energy companies DO NOT CARE about the environment. PROFIT makes this world go round but that is all about to change pretty soon. It has to. Free energy gathering, storage, and TRANSMISSION: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ghhgUmGBjX8&sns=fb

    2. Re:Disinformation - Shame on you /. ! by bundio · · Score: 1

      www.thevenusproject.com??? Seriously? Curiously farther from Kissimee than I had expected.

  18. Infinite energy, finite disposal space by Meeni · · Score: 1

    We do not want infinite energy. The earth is (approximately) a closed system that only takes input from the sun. It does not radiate much energy in the void of space.

    Said otherwise, if we have infinite (even clean, but non-renewable) energy and produce too much, we will increase the energy input of the system, but that will not translate into a greater dissipation into space. Hence, nuclear fusion/fission is not a long term solution, even if it is rendered completely clean and harmless.

    Actually, the only safe option is sun power, although the impact of transforming a significant amount of sun energy into waste heat from thermal losses might have a variety of consequences, compared to when it is used to produce hydrocarbons in plants.

    We do not want more energy, we want less people.

    1. Re:Infinite energy, finite disposal space by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      We do not want more energy, we want less people.

      So kill yourself. One less person filled with self-hatred would be a good thing.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    2. Re:Infinite energy, finite disposal space by siride · · Score: 2

      Earth is not a closed system. It does radiate a lot of energy back into space. If Earth really weren't dissipating heat, but only collecting it from the sun, the planet would have been toast a long time ago.

    3. Re:Infinite energy, finite disposal space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What a strange knee-jerk reaction. Ironically, it seems to indicate some level of self-hatred.

    4. Re:Infinite energy, finite disposal space by Meeni · · Score: 1

      I'd propose that as a solution, if it didn't had a variety of ethical and moral issues. Birth control is less obviously wrong, so I'd rather propose that option instead (still, it has some ethical challenges).

      Thanks for your polite and thoughtful answer though.

    5. Re:Infinite energy, finite disposal space by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      I'd propose that as a solution, if it didn't had a variety of ethical and moral issues.

      You've entirely lost your compass. The most fundamental basis of ethics and morality starts with choosing life, and existence itself, over death. Since you have chosen death as preferable, every decision that flows from that is by definition amoral.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
  19. Its Not An Energy Problem, Transportation Fuels by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The most likely cause of a major die-off for the human race (say 500M+) is Peak Oil and the lack of a decent transportation fuels substitute.

    Wind and solar don't help that problem.

    MontyHigh, www.worldofwallstreet.us

    1. Re:Its Not An Energy Problem, Transportation Fuels by chocapix · · Score: 1

      If you solve the energy problem (ie, you can produce eco-friendly electricity cheaply enough), you can make pretty much any hydrocarbons you want out of CO2, water and electricity. Efficiency won't be perfect (or even good), but if your electricity generation is eco-friendly and abundant enough that's not a problem.

      Maybe batteries/capacitors/whatever will improve enough so that we won't need to do that but if they don't, it won't necessarily mean the end of cheap transportation.

  20. Real Question by foobsr · · Score: 1

    Did not bother to read TFA but quite fruitlessly did a little research on the effects of large scale extraction of wind energy. There must be a 'dark' side. Anyone able to enlighten the crowd, including myself?

    CC.

    --
    TaijiQuan (Huang, 5 loosenings)
    1. Re:Real Question by buglista · · Score: 5, Funny
      If all the axes of all the wind turbines line up at once, it will act as a giant gyroscope and throw the earth out of orbit.

      Or were you actually serious?

    2. Re:Real Question by jo_ham · · Score: 1

      The only real downsides to wind are the problems of relying on it for base load (you can't really) and the visual impact/area required for large scale farms, and the cost of distribution since you need to collate all the individual turbines and then send the power off into the grid from the farm's hub which tends to be on the edges of your power network, or at the very least unlikely to be central to the system.

      It's an excellent piece of the puzzle for our future energy needs, but not the only one.

      Personally I favour nuclear for baseload, with combinations of wind, solar (PV and thermal), tidal etc depending on the local conditions. Pumped storage hydro too, if it can be done with minimal impact on the local environment.

    3. Re:Real Question by RivenAleem · · Score: 1

      Scientist 1: The Wind Turbines, they've become self aware.
      Scientist 2: Dammit, scorching the sky won't work!
      Scientist 3: We need to drill to the earth's core to counter the influence over the earth's spin
      Scientist 4: No we have to go to space and detonate a nuke, call Bruce Willis

      Hollywood's latest summer blockbuster

      "The return of the Deep Matrix Armageddon Terminators"

    4. Re:Real Question by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      "and the visual impact/area required for large scale farms"

      Odd. In most of the world outside the US, wind farms are considered visually attractive. The ones in southern Alberta, Canada are an advertised tourist attraction. I've got plenty of pictures of the ones Spain built near some of it's nicest beaches.

      As for land, wind turbines can be built at sea and on existing farm land. They effectively don't take up any space at all.

    5. Re:Real Question by cyfer2000 · · Score: 1

      If we extract too much energy from wind, there will be no more ocean current. You know, the ocean current is driven by wind. And if there is no ocean current, the world will become a miserable place to stay. I assume the earth will become a frozen ice ball if there is no ocean current. BTW, I hope you have a rough idea how much energy we are talking about, so you can still have a good sleep after your turkey.

      --
      There is a spark in every single flame bait point.
    6. Re:Real Question by hipp5 · · Score: 1

      I do recall a study a few years back that determined you'd have to cover the landmass of the USA in turbines before you'd start affecting weather patterns. I may be guilty of spreading rumors though. I'll see if I can dig that study up.

    7. Re:Real Question by jo_ham · · Score: 1

      Just try building one near to where people live. The NIMBY factor is almost as bad as for a nuclear power plant.

    8. Re:Real Question by hazah · · Score: 1

      The ocean current is driven by the sun.

    9. Re:Real Question by cyfer2000 · · Score: 1

      There are two kinds of ocean circulation, horizontal and vertical. The horizontal circulation is driven by wind. The vertical circulation is driven by change in the density of sea water. The horizontal circulation is way more powerful than the vertical one. And technically, both wind and density change in sea water are caused by the sun, so I would not say you are wrong, but it's still about the wind.

      --
      There is a spark in every single flame bait point.
    10. Re:Real Question by deadhammer · · Score: 1

      "Windmills do not work that way!"

      -Morbo

      --
      I'll be honest, we're throwing science against the wall to see what sticks. -Cave Johnson
    11. Re:Real Question by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      The farmers in Alberta were fighting over the opportunity to have one on their land. Quite a few even bought a share in their windmill.

      The NIMBY seems to be predominantly an American thing.

    12. Re:Real Question by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      The only real downsides to wind are the problems of relying on it for base load (you can't really)

      Suppose your base load is 30% of your peak load.
      Suppose your wind farms produce 50% of your peak load.
      Why can't you use wind plants for base load then?
      (Hint: you can, as the rest fo the world is doing. I wonder where you get this silly idea from ... Baseload is an artificial invention/terminology to describe the behaviour of your power grid. Traditionally you use the cheapest plants/energy source and let the plants constantly run at 90%/95% yield. That has nothing to do with "baseload capable" or how ever the current internet meme is called )

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    13. Re:Real Question by jo_ham · · Score: 1

      I don't live in the US.

    14. Re:Real Question by jo_ham · · Score: 1

      Ok, so your base load is x.

      Your wind farms, on average produce 2x.

      All fine.

      Now, what happens if the climate doesn't play ball and your windfarms only manage 0.9x for that day?

      Sure you can build them in areas where long term study of the conditions mean that you can pretty much know the normal bounds of the conditions (namely the wind speed in this case - and too high can be as bad as too low). If you build your entire infrastructure on the assuring that you always had x load, then you're in trouble.

      Nothing operates in a vacuum of course, except my sample drying on the schlenk line, but if you're adding in other power plants to "cover" that potential loss in base load that your wind is meant to be creating then that's hardly ideal is it?

    15. Re:Real Question by hazah · · Score: 1

      The source of wind's motion that causes additional movements in ocean currents, and ocean currents themselves is the sun. Feel free to rebuke that, but the original point remains -- no sun, no current.

    16. Re:Real Question by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Your post would make so much more sense if you simply would omit the word baseload and replace it with "load".

      Baselaod ios a VRY VERY low load. Baseload has nothing to do with fluctuations in demand, nothing to do with your wind farms only produce 0.9x ... etc. p.p.

      Sure you can build them in areas where long term study of the conditions mean that you can pretty much know the normal bounds of the conditions (namely the wind speed in this case - and too high can be as bad as too low). If you build your entire infrastructure on the assuring that you always had x load, then you're in trouble.

      The current energy grids in civilized countries are exactly built like that. And further more civilized countries interconnect their energy grids.
      You all on /. believe that there are magical new problems coming up just because you switch the source of your energy. No there isn't any fundamental new problem. The energy grid can not distinguish a lack of wind at the west coast from a nuclear power plant emergency shut down in texas. It is just the same problem!
      The grid is already built to compensate for a "lack of power" (production) in one area and the need of feeding from another area.
      Looking at the USA e.g.
      They have an east coast 1500 miles long (sorry, google maps is switched to miles right now, to lazy to calculate that int km.). The east coast and mexican gulf coast is roughly 3000 miles long.
      There are "hills" or mountain chaines in the middle west of the USA going from north to south roughly 2000 miles long.
      If you place every 100 miles a wind farm of 5x5 miles area you can produce 5 times or 10 times the energy the USA are needing right now.
      So to have "not enough" power would require that more than 80% of all those plants fail/have no wind (and you have no failover). How likely is that???

      Nothing operates in a vacuum of course, except my sample drying on the schlenk line, but if you're adding in other power plants to "cover" that potential loss in base load that your wind is meant to be creating then that's hardly ideal is it?

      Again: base load is not what you think it is.
      Base load: bottom part of energy production, hence the name: base. Midrange or residual load, the anticipated load (varying with daytime) which is supplied by plants that can be powered up and down relatively quickly. Peakload, the load you need to adapt to quickly in means of 30 seconds or a few minutes. Unexpected (not planned ahead a day before), e.g. here see an image: http://www.abc.net.au/science/indepth/opinion/img/baseload.jpg
      Or google for better informations.

      The /. crowed completely gets it wrong: you can produce base load with every plant (type). You can produce peak load: not so easy with a nuclear or coal plant.

      Germany is replacing its complete base load capacity with wind plants ....

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  21. He gets to the point at the end by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 2

    There are 7 billion people on the planet.

    Way too many.

    At our current energy usage growth rates, the planet is the temperature of boiling water before 2500.

    This has nothing to do with global warming. It's just a fact that as you use energy, it flows into the environment. Just like a 100 watt lightbulb also warms up the room, 7 billion people worth of devices releasing energy warm up the planet faster than it can radiate the heat into space.

    http://hardware.slashdot.org/story/11/08/02/2315207/limits-on-growth-of-energy-use-and-economies

    --
    She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    1. Re:He gets to the point at the end by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, that is global warming, just because Al Gore didn't mention it or the fact that the lightbulbs aren't coming out of the exhaust of a car doesn't mean it isn't global warming.

    2. Re:He gets to the point at the end by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You could not be more right.

      You are the problem, the one too many, the straw that broke the camels back, so to speak.

      Please go somewhere and die in an eco-friendly way you fucking surplus scum.

    3. Re:He gets to the point at the end by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think people will start to die from their proteins denaturing way before that happens.
      Then we use less energy and the temperature drops.
      Problem solved.

    4. Re:He gets to the point at the end by KonoWatakushi · · Score: 2

      Way too many people to continue consumption of fossil fuels at current rates, but the planet will support considerably more if we adopt responsible technologies, such as the Liquid fluoride thorium reactor. Observe that developed countries do not experience exponential population growth; their growth is typically only slightly greater than the replacement rate. So, one we have an inexpensive and ubiquitous means of energy production, we can focus on raising the standard of lining for the rest of the world, and the problem will solve itself. (Along with many other social problems created by contention over energy resources.)

      Beyond that, it is silly to be concerned about population problems; there is plenty of space off world.

    5. Re:He gets to the point at the end by rufty_tufty · · Score: 1

      "There are 7 billion people on the planet."
      By what definition?
      Yes I agree there are too many people for them all to live at a western standard of liviing with current technology.
      No 7 Billion can clearly be supported by the planet because they are! Sure some are starving but in those environments people are breeding fast enough to replace those that die from it. Is this pleasant? No but it is what is happening.
      Currently farming is not exploiting all the square footage it could - how many towns/cities are built on good farmland that could be producing crops? People are eating too much meat, if they ate vegetables instead we could support more people still.
      Do I think any of this is good, no, do I think the population will continue to increase for the moment? Yes because how am I going to stop other people from breeding and more importantly do I have the right to tell them that? Ethically can I choose to prevent people from breeding for the greater good? That way leads to dangerous thinking.
      True the current situation will destroy the environment if it carries on the way it does but we could do that with 1 billion people if we carried on chopping down rain forests and strip mining for coal. If everyone demands that we have economic growth at positive percentages and that is what makes us unsustainable not the number of people. I'm convinced we could support 10 billion if we were either prepared to screw the enviroment completely for our advantage or is we would live at much lower energy usage per capita; We just can't have both.

      --
      "The weirdest thing about a mind, is that every answer that you find, is the basis of a brand new cliche" -
    6. Re:He gets to the point at the end by Just+Some+Guy · · Score: 1

      It's just a fact that as you use energy, it flows into the environment. Just like a 100 watt lightbulb also warms up the room, 7 billion people worth of devices releasing energy warm up the planet faster than it can radiate the heat into space.

      And that's an extremely good point, when the source of the energy is non-renewable. But renewable sources take the energy already present in the environment and move it to more convenient places.

      --
      Dewey, what part of this looks like authorities should be involved?
    7. Re:He gets to the point at the end by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Way too many.

      Why not be part of the solution by killing your family and then yourself?

    8. Re:He gets to the point at the end by Hentes · · Score: 1

      You misunderstood what you have read, it only pointed out that indefinite exponential growth in energy usage is impossible. You don't have to be afraid of the planet boiling away.

    9. Re:He gets to the point at the end by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The link is actually about the thermodynamic limits of the amount of energy used to do useful work. The source of that energy doesn't matter. The point being that exponential growth of energy usage can't last forever... but that's obvious, and not really likely to be a serious issue.

    10. Re:He gets to the point at the end by GuB-42 · · Score: 1

      Nothing can support an exponential growth. At least not in the universe as we know it.

    11. Re:He gets to the point at the end by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      The disadvantage of using linear extrapolations is that eventually you are wrong. Among other difficulties, do you understand that radiation is a T^4 phenomenon?

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    12. Re:He gets to the point at the end by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Quality of life has already been dropping for most for the last 30 years. 4 billion was too many to sustain. We have been killing the oceans, destroying the top soil, exhausting resources that took millions of years to create for decades.

      We can't stop people from breeding so it is going to end in extremely ugly fashion within the next 100 years with most the world like Africa.

      Another response said 1st world countries only had a small rate of growth so we didn't have to fear exponential growth. I think they understand the term exponential growth. Only the end point matters- if the max capacity of the planet is 17 billion- and we are growing at 100% per generation we get to it sooner. But at 1%, we still get to it.

      All it would take is a major war and disruption of deliveries and a couple billion people could die in a few years.

      Nothing will change until we have a major die off. Probably not then- because by the time that happens, the capacity will have been overshot and the carrying capacity will be a fraction of the number of people alive at that point.

      In any population- the subpopulation which breeds faster will come to dominate the population. It doesn't matter if a subset prefers color TV's. The group that prefers to have big families will become the dominant population.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    13. Re:He gets to the point at the end by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      No. Obviously not. That wasn't my point.

      We have too many people. We are going to trade quantity of life for quality of life.

      And then in the end, it won't matter because we'll out breed even that capacity and things will fall apart in an extremely ugly way.

      And there is nothing you or I can or anyone else can do to stop it.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    14. Re:He gets to the point at the end by Hentes · · Score: 1

      This is a bit pessimistic. Human population is projected to peak at 10 billion, which with rational consumption, should be manageable.

    15. Re:He gets to the point at the end by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Yes. It's very pessimistic. I don't think the population will peak. If there is any part of the human population which breeds at a higher rate, it will come to dominate the population over time. Right now in america, there are people who choose lower standards of living so they can have more children and they have children at significantly over 2 children per family.

      There are large parts of the world that will die off when we stop feeding them because they have destroyed their own land and we kept feeding them so they wouldn't starve and they continued to increase in population. There is nothing left but dirt and humans.

      I suppose we could find a way to artificially make food directly from energy.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    16. Re:He gets to the point at the end by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > I don't think the population will peak.

      So you think it can grow indefinitely?

    17. Re:He gets to the point at the end by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      I do not think it will peak.
      Instead, I think it will continue to grow until it collapses.

      It could be war or a significant disaster over a very brittle and complex system that has no slack left in it. It might be a plague. The plague wouldn't kill more than 2% directly but might disrupt the systems. Whatever the trigger is, the real cause will be a population 4x to 5x over the true carrying capacity of the planet.

      Losses of up to 90% since the deaths would probably overshoot 1x.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    18. Re:He gets to the point at the end by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I do not think it will peak.

      Instead, I think it will continue to grow until it collapses.

      Okay, I tend to agree, but for future reference "peak" simply means "to reach a maximum."

      Whether it collapses or just stops growing, it has passed its peak.

    19. Re:He gets to the point at the end by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      When I was just rereading this I saw it could be read that way as well.

      I do not think it will plateau or level out at a set value.

      I think it will grow until the day commences a precipitous collapse.

      I'm not a doomsday person... I don't think we can do anything to change the outcome...and it just seems so obvious I wonder why everyone can't see it.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
  22. A bit absurd by Asic+Eng · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Sure materials which we need to use in order to build e.g. wind turbines are theoretically finite. They are not being used up by building wind turbines, they can be recycled if that's economically interesting. Stuff like "While sunlight is renewable -- for at least another four billion years -- photovoltaic panels are not." is just silly. We are not going to run out of sand in any plausible scenario, so that's just nitpicking.

    In any case, renewable energy refers to the energy source. That clearly sets it apart from other energy sources, and is thus a good description. There is nobody who believes the installations required to use renewables can be build without any environmental impact in terms of pollution, area use etc. That doesn't distinguish them from other installations. If people were calling renewable energy plants "impact free", fine the author would have a point. The myth the article is debunking is one which doesn't exist, however.

    1. Re:A bit absurd by slim · · Score: 1

      We are not going to run out of sand in any plausible scenario, so that's just nitpicking.

      I read in Michael Welland's book "Sand" (which is rather good) that chip manufacturers tend to be quite secretive about the source of their sand, because not just any old sand will do, and the right sort of sand is in limited supply.

      That said, I imagine that if it ran out, they'd develop ways to refine other kinds of sand.

    2. Re:A bit absurd by skids · · Score: 1

      Will be a moot point by then, because thin-film or organic panels would have superseded Si-based panels by then, and they are essentially made out of plastic.

    3. Re:A bit absurd by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Photovoltaic panels, especially the newer and more efficient varieties require rare earth elements. So we are not going to run out of sand, but we could run out of Germanium, etc. which is a critical component to the newer cells.

    4. Re:A bit absurd by fnj · · Score: 1

      Of course the supply of materials used to make plastic is limitless, eh?

    5. Re:A bit absurd by ceoyoyo · · Score: 2

      It's all recyclable. And rare earth elements aren't particularly rare anyway.

    6. Re:A bit absurd by cyfer2000 · · Score: 1

      I doubt organic panels can overcome the UV degradation problem.

      --
      There is a spark in every single flame bait point.
    7. Re:A bit absurd by skids · · Score: 1

      Yes. Petro oil is not the only source for plastic feedstock.

    8. Re:A bit absurd by skids · · Score: 1

      Yes I'm sure that will be a completely insurmountable problem that ,materials science won't be able to solve ever.

  23. What was the point of that article? by guises · · Score: 1

    I'm not trying to be overly negative but that article (yes, I read it) didn't seem to go anywhere. The author correctly points out that nothing is free and then... stops. No conclusion, no message, just one obvious statement and then nothing. Maybe he's trying to point out the need for reduced population growth? Maybe he's one of those "nothing works, so I'll do whatever I want" doomsayers? Maybe he's trying to encourage further energy research? I have no idea. The article just stopped.

  24. Source: Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists by 1u3hr · · Score: 4, Informative

    Interesting that the summary doesn't mention that TFA is published in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Which is a quote respectable group; but nevertheless, they have a horse in the energy race, one that burns Uranium. TFA simply counts the cost of various "green" energies, but never compares them to the costs of "conventional", or nuclear, energy generation. You're left with the impression that "green" energy is a shill, that all forms of energy are equally bad, and so you might as well sit back and keep burning oil and coal until someone invents perpetual motion.

    1. Re:Source: Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists by tinkerton · · Score: 1

      Maybe - well , probably - the Atomic Scientists agenda explains why the writer is happy to point out -selectively- the things he does, but if you take a look at this thorough reference article http://www.phoenixprojectfoundation.us/uploads/IEEE_Solar_Hydrogen_Paper.pdf
      , which is not linked to the Atomic Scientists, there are very good reasons to look into the degree of renewability of renewable sources. Incidentally that article also treats the limited usability of atomic energy.

    2. Re:Source: Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists by 1u3hr · · Score: 1

      It's not that there are no drawbacks or costs to renewable energy, but that this article simply presents the negatives for renewables, with no comparison with the alternatives. So much groundwater, concrete, etc, etc. All true no doubt. But is it more than is used in a coal or nuclear power station? Wouldn't it have been useful to present that as well?

    3. Re:Source: Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 5, Informative

      FAIL.

      The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists is NOT a nuclear power advocacy group. It was founded by former Manhattan Project scientists as an anti-nuclear weapon advocacy group in 1945 in order to bring public attention to the dangers of nuclear arms.

      They are probably most famous for the Doomsday Clock.

      More recently the BAS has increasingly focused on explaining the dangers associated with nuclear power.

      Here is a link to one of their publications:

      http://books.google.com/books?id=ngYAAAAAMBAJ&printsec=frontcover&source=gbs_ge_summary_r&cad=0#v=onepage&q&f=true

    4. Re:Source: Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists by fermion · · Score: 1
      The summery also did not mention that the jist of the article was that new energy sources are not going to solve the problem. That requires increased efficiency. This is what many people have saying for at least 40 years, and was the basis for Carter's energy policy. Efficiency is sound, but requires people to make what are often perceived as sacrifices. Cars that lok different, lighting sources that have higher front end costs, threats to the cash flow of aristocratic people who require enormous amounts of cash to survive. Some of the sacrifices are real, but it is always a mistake to minimize the effects of are not real. Right now there are poeple horrified that some firms, in operating within the parameters of the free market, are slaughter turkeys so they can be sold to those faithful to islam. Does not change the turkey, does not really cost more, but the perceived sacrifice on the patriotic amercan christian is not to be discounted.

      Beyond this much of what the article states is either obvious to anyone who has thought for a minute about these energy sources, same for all energy sources, or bordering on scare mongering. Take the water thing for instance. Solar cells do not have to use water and most other power sources use water as well. Most of these are going to contaminate the water to a greater degree than geo or solar. In terms of metal, all power plants require great deals of metal, which are mined to great detriment of the environment. We don't really know how much rare earth metals are available, and the current scarcity is really a result of lack of demand. In terms of mining, I suppose a case can be made that mining rare earth metals in california to better than flowing up mountains in west virginia. if we consider biomass, switchgrass is probably close to the ideal because it grows where we do not grow crops, on the vast prairie wasteland.

      In any case, I would agree that energy conservation is superior to building new power plants. I might even agree that replacing current power plants with solar or wind might not be the best idea. However, that is conventional thinking. There is some unconventional ideas that suggest we might have more point generation of energy. Solar, fuel cells, and geothermal will do this. It will not provide 24 hr guaranteed energy, nor will it maintain the power grid and the profits of firms that manage those lines. Therefore, like efficiency, more localized power is going to be a political decision.

      But energy production is not a local problem, it a global problem, and this is where the article becomes irresponsible. In countries that are not fully industrialized, there is not a simple trade off between increased efficiency and power plants. Increased industrialization is going to require higher levels of energy output. If those plants are based on fossil fuels, all of us are going to suffer. OTOH, if china, who has lots of rare earth metals available, as well as land, uses wind we all will benifit in terms of cleaner air, cheaper oil, and utimately better and cheaper wind turbines that the US can then install when our plants expire.

      --
      "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
    5. Re:Source: Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists by 1u3hr · · Score: 1

      The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists is NOT a nuclear power advocacy group

      "FAIL" yourself, asshole. I didn't say they were. Nevertheless, they DO represent "atomic scientists" and this was omitted from the summary. Excuse me for thinking that the source of an article is significant, especially in considering what it took care not to mention.

      More recently the BAS has increasingly focused on explaining the dangers associated with nuclear power. Here is a link to one of their publications:

      1986 is "recent"?

    6. Re:Source: Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      FAIL, AGAIN. You wrote:

      "Which is a quote respectable group; but nevertheless, they have a horse in the energy race, one that burns Uranium"

      That is a direct accusation that the BAS is an advocate of nuclear energy.

    7. Re:Source: Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists by 1u3hr · · Score: 1

      That is a direct accusation that the BAS is an advocate of nuclear energy.

      FAIL off, twat with trying to restate what I wrote .

      Saying that the BAS advocate nuclear power (which I think they do) isn't the same as calling them an "advocacy group".They're not corporate shills, and I'm well aware of their criticisms of nuclear policy. Nevertheless, since many of their members work in the industry, it would be naive to say they have no interest. And to get back to the original point, the summary is remiss in not mentioning the source, and TFA is biased by omitting any comparison of alternative with nuclear or fossil fuel energy.

  25. 600 acre-feet, WHAT? by buglista · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's really time to go metric guys, unless anyone can explain to me what that means?

    1. Re:600 acre-feet, WHAT? by LQ · · Score: 2

      A unit of area x a unit of length = a unit of volume
      1 cubic metres = 0.000810713194 acre foot (per google).

    2. Re:600 acre-feet, WHAT? by nickovs · · Score: 3, Informative

      An acre-foot is a quite reasonable measure of volume if what you are interested in is collecting rain water in a place where land is sold by the acre and shallow depths remeasured in feet.

      That said, I'd wholeheartedly vote for the US switching to metric measures if I had a vote.

      --
      If intelligent life is too complex to evolve on its own, who designed God?
    3. Re:600 acre-feet, WHAT? by ballpoint · · Score: 3, Funny

      It's about 0.091 cubic furlongs, which you can easily convert to osp (olympic swimming pools) yourself.

      --
      Flourescent (adj): smelling like ground wheat.
    4. Re:600 acre-feet, WHAT? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Agree the term is odd, but it's quite commonly used in the power industry, for example hydro reservoirs. Even Wikipedia's on board: Williston Lake.

    5. Re:600 acre-feet, WHAT? by cyfer2000 · · Score: 1

      wikipedia is your friend. That's 740,000 ton of water or water used by about 1,500 households a year.

      --
      There is a spark in every single flame bait point.
    6. Re:600 acre-feet, WHAT? by Brian+Feldman · · Score: 1

      Presumably it's a prismatic volume, six hundred acres of surface area and one foot of depth.

      --
      Brian Fundakowski Feldman
    7. Re:600 acre-feet, WHAT? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, acre-feet is a hard to understand unit.
      In units that are easy to relate to 600 acre-feet is about 4/3 million football-fields times the width of a hair.

    8. Re:600 acre-feet, WHAT? by buglista · · Score: 1
      and yet the rest of the world manages with mm of rainfall, and measuring land in hectares :) (or square kilometers if you're a national park)

      an acre-foot looks to be about 1300 m^3. (acre is ~4000m^2 and a foot is about a third of a meter). oh yeah, Google sez 1233m^3. Silly me.

    9. Re:600 acre-feet, WHAT? by buglista · · Score: 1

      1233 cubic metres. Trust those crazy Europeans to make it so complicated!

    10. Re:600 acre-feet, WHAT? by tp1024 · · Score: 1

      Oh c'mon, that unit is sanity itself!

      It's when people start talking about acre-feet per acre (in watering golf courses) that I want to strangle and knock some math into them.

    11. Re:600 acre-feet, WHAT? by calidoscope · · Score: 2

      It's the customary unit of measure in the US for water/irrigation districts as the most common unit for describing land area in the US is the acre. Converting to metric would require updating millions of legal titles and the benefit from doing so is not considered to be worth the cost.

      --
      A Shadeless room is a brighter room.
    12. Re:600 acre-feet, WHAT? by Kohath · · Score: 1

      Do Europeans measure rainfall in cubic meters? Or liters? If you get 2cm of rainfall on a .2 square km plot of land, how much water is that? And how is it usually expressed?

      Because 6 inches of rain on a 2 acre plot of land is an acre-foot of water. It's a sensible unit of measurement. When all that rain runs off into a 1 acre lake, can you guess how much higher the water level will be?

    13. Re:600 acre-feet, WHAT? by buglista · · Score: 1
      .2 square km is 200 000m^2

      2cm is 0.02 m

      cancelling gives 4 000 m^3.

      Do you rate drainage systems or river flow in acre-feet/second ? or do you change to a new unit convenient for that particular application?

    14. Re:600 acre-feet, WHAT? by Kohath · · Score: 2

      I'm not in that business, but I think it's acre-feet per minute or per hour. Because rivers drain rainfall, which falls on a watershed area measured in acres or square miles. Using straight volume measurements like liters or gallons would mean converting and then converting back. You want to know whether the levee is high enough, not how many 1-liter containers it would take to bail all the water out.

    15. Re:600 acre-feet, WHAT? by Kohath · · Score: 1

      Cubic furlongs is a nonsense unit. A furlong is how far my oxen can pull a plow without resting. Oxen normally don't fly, and when they do fly, the plow no longer plows -- the furrow doesn't get any longer.

    16. Re:600 acre-feet, WHAT? by ShieldW0lf · · Score: 1

      Why would you choose to express it in such an awkward way?

      It's 91 cubic chains.

      --
      -1 Uncomfortable Truth
    17. Re:600 acre-feet, WHAT? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Do Europeans measure rainfall in cubic meters? Or liters? If you get 2cm of rainfall on a .2 square km plot of land, how much water is that? And how is it usually expressed?

      Yes we do. But what is your point?
      If we get 2cm rainfall on a 0.2 km^2 it is obviously the same as 2cm on 1m^2, so it is 2 / 100ds of a qubic meter. Hm, wow even at my old ge this was not hard. However usually if the number is that small or is used for "annual" average rainfall, we use millimeters. So that would be 20mm per square meter.

      But how did you get from 6 inches to one (as in *1*) foot? Ah, you dived by a six somewhere? Hm, what if you had 9 and a half inch, would that be 1 and a half foot and a half inch? Or would you stick to 9.5 inch?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    18. Re:600 acre-feet, WHAT? by Kohath · · Score: 1

      Yes we do. But what is your point?

      I was actually just wondering, and there didn't seem to be an obvious answer I could guess. I like understanding things.

      Sometimes I'll reply to a post like this because there seems to be a double-standard: someone will tell us we're supposed to respect diverse cultures, but then they'll openly mock the unique US culture. But I don't think the original poster was doing that here. And I genuinely wanted to know how rainfall amounts were expressed in metric units.

    19. Re:600 acre-feet, WHAT? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Well, as I tried to express: if there is a thunderstorm with heavy rainfall we use cm per square meter. As cm or meter is the most graspable unit.
      If scientists are talking about how much rainfall you have on average per year we use millimeter (mm). I guess that has historical reasons or shows more clearly the difference between a desert ( about 10mm, often less, per year) to pretty rainy about 2,000mm or 3,000 mm. Germany e.g. is rated as 1500mm per year. However obviously that depends on the area. I guess there is no area below 1000mm but a few areas are pretty moisture.
      Snow and hail are usually measured in cm ... would not make much sense to say: we have 203mm snow in Karlsruhe.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    20. Re:600 acre-feet, WHAT? by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Most often it's acre-feet per year, because one of the most common uses of water is agriculture, which has an annual cycle.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    21. Re:600 acre-feet, WHAT? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's 700,000 cubic meters or 0.0007 cubic kilometers. Happy now? (No, dekameters and hectometers are not used.)

      Or maybe you'd like to go with 700 megaliters or simply 700 gigagrams, which for some reason even the most metric of us would shun.

  26. Author neglects the experience curve by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Had he been comparing transistors to vacuum tubes in 1950, he probably would've written that while transistors probably had some specialized uses such as in portable radios for the military, the visionaries who championed them didn't seem to notice that cost 10 times more to manufacture than tubes.

    But technology marched on. A collection of millions of transistors embedded on a microchip now costs orders of magnitude less than the same number of staples, and requires orders of magnitude less storage space.

  27. Goatse Above by Frankie70 · · Score: 1

    Don't click

  28. Who is this again? by JDG1980 · · Score: 2

    Who is Dawn Stover and why should we be taking her opinions seriously?

    1. Re:Who is this again? by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      MA Journalism, BS Biology.

      Not much reason to take her seriously.

    2. Re:Who is this again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      who is JDG1980 and why should we take his attempt to shoot the messenger seriously?

    3. Re:Who is this again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      http://www.dawnstover.com/ is her website. After reading TFA I can't wait to read her article on troubled teens, which some consider to be a renewable reource.

  29. Myth? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    so, to make your energy properly renewable -
    Solar plants, which use ground water to wash panels, need to look after water use.
    geothermal needs fresh water, from more than just the local aquifer.
    Wind turbines need good recycling for their metal components.
    Biomass needs to come from non arable wasteland and crop waste not new cut forest and good farmland.
    Also hydro electric needs a huge investment as well as sediment management behind the dam.

    and you must bear in mind that everything you build needs cement, which is usually recycled as hardcore, not back to cement (unless you bother to use lime mortar which can be reprocessed back into mortar by the same manufacturing process as was used to make it.

    Why is this news to anyone with half a brain?
    Of-course we need to be take care with these new technologies and of-course they do not magically fix everything, but none of the problems are insurmountable, and even without fixing them most are still much better than fossil fuels.

  30. One Word by ylon · · Score: 1
  31. Reserves of SILICON??? by Nicolas+MONNET · · Score: 1

    Is this a joke?

    Are you seriously suggesting that it's reasonable that we could one day run out of fucking sand?

    1. Re:Reserves of SILICON??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One day, sure.

      By which time we'll have consumed this planet entirely, and been forced to move onto the next...

    2. Re:Reserves of SILICON??? by CrackedButter · · Score: 1

      Only in a wave of hysteria.

    3. Re:Reserves of SILICON??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Solar panel production also needs a lot of glass. Where would all that come from? :-)

    4. Re:Reserves of SILICON??? by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 1

      Glass is mostly silicon dioxide although it does contain some other oxides. We will not soon run out of silicon dioxide because it is the main component of sand (sand is mostly silicon dioxide with a lot of impurities). Calcium oxide and Sodium oxide are no big problem either. My estimate would be: we can coat the entire earth's surface with a layer of 10 cm (4 inches) of glass if we wanted (energy requirements of making so much glass not withstanding).

      --
      Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
  32. Want to combat climate change? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Get rid fo 5 billion people, and stop making more.

    1. Re:Want to combat climate change? by bridgey655 · · Score: 1

      Bull shit. no need. we need to overthrow the bastards that are holding back new technologies and get rid of money and declare the Earth's resources the common heritage of ALL the worlds people. We do this or we die. www.thevenusproject.com

  33. Cooling towers do just that by Nicolas+MONNET · · Score: 2

    They're not practical for mobile steam engines, but they certainly are used in most nuclear plants. Those that don't are located near the sea. Not gonna run out of sea water any time soon.

    1. Re:Cooling towers do just that by cstdenis · · Score: 1

      You turn sea water into steam and you have a big pile of salt to deal with.

      --
      1984 was not supposed to be an instruction manual.
    2. Re:Cooling towers do just that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You do realize that cooling towers cool by vaporizing the water and dumping the energy with that water vapor into the atmosphere?

  34. things get better by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I remember when household cleaning chemicals used to be really dangerous.
    then we started with the safer ones, that didn't really work.
    Now we have safer ones, for us and the environment, and they work pretty good!
    already more "organic" solar panels are being researched. and in the end they will be easier to produce then working with harsh chemicals.
    technology doesn't generally get dumber.

  35. So green energy sources aren't perfect by gatkinso · · Score: 2

    Thank you Captain Obvious.

    --
    I am very small, utmostly microscopic.
    1. Re:So green energy sources aren't perfect by prefec2 · · Score: 1

      No he states: Renewable energy alone does not solve the problem. True. It is like, flower alone is not a cake. True, but without flower it will never become a cake (at least non I know).

      The primary goal is sustainability. Part of that is re-newable energy.

  36. Every plant has building costs by Hentes · · Score: 1

    First of all, we should make a distinction between renewable and clean energy sources, as the article seems to treat them like they were the same. For example, biomass is renewable but not ecology-friendly, while nuclear power is clean but not reneweable.

    The argument that building plants costs resources has little to do with long-term usage, as it is a one-time cost. And at the end of it's lifetime most building materials can be recycled would we ran out of them.
    That plants use water, yes it's true, but they don't make water disappear, they just turn it into vapor. The problem seems to be only local, as the area of the plant runs out of water. That's why most non-renewable plants are built next to rivers. The problem with some renewable sources is that they require optimal places to work effectively. This is a valid problem but one that has little to do with renewability.
    Yes, hydropower and especially biomass have severe ecological and social problems, which again has nothing to do with renewability.

    Worrying about when will we run out of steel, concrete, rare earths or water is simply stupid.

    1. Re:Every plant has building costs by Hentes · · Score: 1

      Not if we kill them first!

  37. focus by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You can't combat "climate change", it's inevitable with or without humans and not necessarily a bad thing. What should be focused on is making technologies that provide energy at less and less cost, which inevitably means less consumption of resources.

  38. Houses, mountains, bridges, trees ... by Nicolas+MONNET · · Score: 2

    ... all extract wind energy. They interrupt the flow of wind and generate turbulence, and eventually turn wind energy into heat, except that unlike wind turbines they don't make electricity as well. It's a rather silly question when you know the first thing about thermodynamics.

    1. Re:Houses, mountains, bridges, trees ... by foobsr · · Score: 1

      It's a rather silly question

      Thank you, I am aware of posing silly questions all the time. As far as I remember, the first seriously silly one was when I was in doubt about evolution without information transfer between generations. This was in school in the mid 60ies when epigenetics was quite unheard of. Also, one of the few things that I accept as a heritage from my father is the saying that those who laugh in sight of seemingly silly utterances are those who are dumb.

      CC.

      --
      TaijiQuan (Huang, 5 loosenings)
    2. Re:Houses, mountains, bridges, trees ... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Pffft...

      Wind is heat. So wind turbines convert heat into electricity. Finally most of that will become heat again ...

      So ... what was your point again? You lost me somewhere in the middle when you used the magic phrase thermodynamics.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    3. Re:Houses, mountains, bridges, trees ... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Your father was quite smart.
      My father told me: there are no silly questions. There are only silly answers. (In fact he said: dumb answers).

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    4. Re:Houses, mountains, bridges, trees ... by CubicleView · · Score: 1

      That’s a rather condescending response that doesn't answer the question. There are very few offshore houses, mountains bridges and trees, so I don't see how you can be so confident that saturating these locations with turbines will have no negative consequences.

  39. Re:There is even better article by scamper_22 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Probably the biggest problem to addressing the 'population issue' is that the areas of the world where environment movements tend to exist tend to also exist alongside groups which love population growth.

    Big cities like New York, Toronto, London... tend to have a lot of 'green movements'.
    Yet they're also places which keep advocating high immigration rates for both political reasons (diversity...) as well as special economic reasons (prop up the housing industry, cheap immigrant labor...). More often than not the same groups in the green movement are the same who love increasing population.

    It's one of the reasons why things like pollution/Capita are tricky. A lot of people seem to think per Capita measures are the ultimate measure. But it doesn't take into account societal and cultural choices.

    For example, we compare two societies.

    1. A huge population like India where the consumption/capita is very low. (545 kg in oil equivalence)
    2. A sparsely population country like Iceland with high consumption/capita (17338 kg)

    source: http://www.google.ca/publicdata (energy use per capita).

    Now many who just look at the per capita measures like to rant how inefficient and wasteful western people are. Yet don't look at the per capita numbers alone. Look at the society as a whole.

    Icelandic society provides a high standard of living for everyone and keeps its population reasonable. That each Icelandic person lives much better than an Indian is not a problem... as the Icelandic society has managed to keep its population small.

    Put simply... is the solution to shove everyone in to a city and make everyone live like they're in Tokyo? Only for those who like to measure everything in per capita use and don't want to look at the greater functioning of society.

  40. There are invariably limits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    One of the great thing about fuel is its transportability. You cannot transport wind energy unless you convert it to electricity. There are limits to that conversion because you need to manufacture the battery and the construction of the battery itself is problematic.

    Moreover, if you need to expend gobs and gobs of mechanical/wind energy to create electricity, you may not be that much further ahead given the size of the average wind farm.

    Nothing is free.

  41. Er. Hmmm. by DeathToBill · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Published in The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Can't see any agenda there...

    She doesn't exactly cover herself in glory for facts, either. She doesn't appear to know what neodynium is used for (why, exactly, would you want magnets in a gearbox?). She (quite deliberately, I think) confuses consumable fuels with non-consumable equipment - a turbine may need 800 pounds of neodynium, but after 20 years of operation you've still got 800 pounds of neodynium. In fact the whole magnet is reusable as is. Today's largest wind machines are 10MW (in construction, anyway). 4.5 million of them would (on average, not peak capacity) provide the entire world's energy use - not sure where her need for an additional ~2 billion devices comes from.

    Of course it's not infinite - nothing is (probably) but that's not really the claim, is it? The only sensible point made is that renewable sources require materials that are finite, but I think we knew that already.

    --
    Slashdot - News for Nerds, Stuff that Matters, in ISO-8859-1 Has just realised that beta makes this signature redundant
  42. self-cleaning solar panels by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There is now self-cleaning glass - this should be used if technologically appropriate.
    A thin layer of titanium dioxide and impinging photons cause dirt to fall off with application of water.
    This could be rain or recycled water.

  43. The piece is arguing for by Stirling+Newberry · · Score: 5, Insightful
    A great deal more austerity. However, it makes a rather weak argument about a very real trade off problem, that problem is the water-energy trade off problem. In almost all forms of energy generation, it is not usable energy that is created directly, instead, heat is generated, the heat is used to do work, and the work is used to store the energy. So, the classic steam turbine has water heated to gas, and the resulting steam spins the turbine, and that carries wires through a magnetic field, which generates a corresponding electrical current, and that current is sent down wires. Another water energy trade off is to have wind turbines pump water up a shaft, which then is allowed to fall, spinning turbines, when power is needed. Bio-fuels, the same way: water is used to grow plants, the plants fix sunlight into hydrocarbons.

    The solution to the water energy problem is more energy, because energy can be used to get water. This, however, lowers the Life Cycle Output of the energy system. LCO or LCA is the expected usable energy out, divided by the expected usable energy used to create and run a system. So if a system produces 10 watts for every watt it takes to build, run, and dispose of it, then its LCA is 10. The 20th century got by on a miracle: namely petroleum has a high LCA, and its its own storage mechanism. Gasoline has great power to weight storage capacities with internal combustion. And internal combustion engines can be built of very cheap metals. There are many quandaries in replacing hydro-carbon energy, and the water energy trade off that the piece mentions is one of them, but it is one of scale. Once there is a large enough renewable base, then the low LCA that getting the water to run it has, is not a problem. It is at the beginning, when the return is eaten through by the water problem, because there are competing uses for water that have much higher economic returns in the short run, such as airconditioning and agriculture. None of these uses want to pay much higher rates for water so that people not yet born can have the advantages.

    Where the article falls down is pressing an agenda, and making sloppy equivalences. The first is equating capital requirements with expendable requirements: we don't burn the rare earths we use in kinetic energy extraction – that is water, wind, and geothermal – and in fact, rare earths, are not, as a percentage of the earth's crust, all that rare. For example, wikipedia has this chart. It shows that all of the Lanthanide rare earths, plus scandium and yttrium, are more common than either gold or silver, many are more common than tin, and some more common than lead. The problem with them is that they tend to be found near the Actinide rare earths, particularly Thorium. If you have seen a press for "Thorium reactors" it is because exploitation of rare earths leads to Thorium by product, and reactors which burn it would be fantastically profitable, for the people who sell the rare earths. In reality, they have the same problems, only more so, of actively cooled salt reactors. Namely, they work until they blow up. The Chinese dump their Thorium in a holding lack, which, should it break, would contaminate large areas of land and volumes of water.

    Side note: how is it that a browser's spell check doesn't know Actinide?

    But for all of that, rare earths are not burned, the way for example Lithuium is not burned in a battery and can be recycled. These are recyclable, which is different from consumable. Hence moving from consumption of hydrocarbons, which really are burned, to using rare earths in capital energy, is a positive step, and while the author of the paper implies that there would be rare earth shortages, the reality is that this is not the case, and substitutes in the form of ceramics and active magnets (See Rare Earth Prices Plunge as Manufacturers turn to substitutes

    1. Re:The piece is arguing for by tp1024 · · Score: 1

      Please tell us how an even moderately well designed molten salt reactor is supposed to blow up. There is no pressure in such a reactor, because no component is gaseous and can't turn into a gas either without triggering the safety release into the storage tanks first. Because the core cannot be compressed in any way, a Bethe-Tait excursion is physically impossible and over-heating will cause the salt to expand and suppress the nuclear reaction without any intervention - even in the case of suicidal staff deactivating all safety mechanisms and pulling out all control rods simultaneously.

      So, please, where is a sudden release of energy (aka "blowing up") supposed to come from?

    2. Re:The piece is arguing for by Stirling+Newberry · · Score: 1
      The problem is the corrosion of the cooling salts and the high temperature that they operate under, the two primary problems have either been the coolant dropping below its phase transition, at which point heat builds up in the reactor, or a burn through of the cooling system, at which point the molten coolant spills out, heating whatever is surrounding it rapidly, and causing the reaction vessel to overheat. Since the preferred salt mix is a fluorine based salt, when the the salt breaks down at this point, there several failure chains that lead to what is euphemistically known as "energetic disassembly." One of the most troubling is contamination with water that creates HF, and a vicious cycle forms: acid eats the piping and containment, which produces more HF, which ionizes into Hydrogen and Fluorine gas.

      Bottom line here is that building reactors to dispose of thorium by-product directly is an inherently problematic enterprise, since it has many of the same problems as light water actively cooled generation, and then adds more besides. It isn't impossible, but the present generation is being pushed before the technology is mature because there is a thorium problem growing now, even though the reactor technology is not ready for deployment at scale.

    3. Re:The piece is arguing for by tp1024 · · Score: 1

      I agree that corrosion is a problem and a spill anything but pretty. However, a spill is not the same as blowing up. As to contact with water causing problems, well, just keep water out of the containment - using either gas-driven turbines or a tertiary coolant loop. (That's part of "moderately well designed".)

    4. Re:The piece is arguing for by tp1024 · · Score: 1

      I should have added that in case of the reactor overheating, there is a plug at the lower face of the reactor vessel with a melting point below operating temperature (which must be cooled all the time) - if it fails, either due to overheating or malfunction, the interior of the reactor is drained into the storage tanks. Those are designed to keep them deeply sub-critical and sufficiently cooled. (Even and especially when running at full power.)

    5. Re:The piece is arguing for by Stirling+Newberry · · Score: 1
      It's not a spill, the coolant is inside the reactor, which means that the corrosion occurs inside the reactor vessel. Why build a low efficiency unproven reactor design that gets, at best, 20 year out of thorium availability and leaves behind radioactive acid salts with a chance of Chernobyl style failure and is specialized for one fuel mix, when fast breeder gas cooled reactors have a larger potential fuel supply, better efficiency, are safer in their failure modes, and can be standardized for a number of different fuel? The breeder thorium chain in a breeder context is considerably more efficient. However, it means waiting and not building what is essentially a sexed up Russian sub propulsion unit now.

      For those wanting pay outs now, and the ability to dump the problems forward, molten salt reactors are a compelling profit opportunity. From the point of view of long term economic viability however, fast breeding of thorium is far superior. Doing energy wrong now is one of our problems. However, fast technologies are farther out, and will require a very different approach to the development of nuclear energy.

    6. Re:The piece is arguing for by tp1024 · · Score: 1

      I don't think you know how a molten salt reactor works. The salt is not just the coolant, it is also the fuel itself. It contains both the Uranium, Plutonium or Thorium (molten salt reactors can use all of them) and the fission products. As the fuel is liquid and directly accessible, fission products can be removed from the reactor every couple of days, instead of leaving fuel rods (including fission products) in the reactor for over a year. This limits their amount to 1-2% at any time. Things that are not in the reactor in the first place, can't get out in an accident.

      It also means that the fuel has a much lower power density. Because the fuel only consists of a small fraction of fissle materials and fission products, whereas fuel rods consist mostly of nothing else. They have a high power density, even after shutdown, because the fission products are tightly packed and there is almost a year's worth of them. Which is why they easily heat up and melt unless there is a steady flow of coolant - once molten, there is a small chance for a Bethe-Tait accident - depending on if and how fast the molten core is collapsing, the distribution of absorbing materials in the molten core and how much fissle material it contains.

      None of this should happen on a major scale, but why go the risk of even small damage to the reactor vessel aggravating an accident, if you can avoid it outright by using an incompressible liquid with homogeneously dispersed fuel, where any such scenario is physically impossible? (Also, the amount of fissle material is limited to the minimum necessary to keep the chain reaction stable for just a few days, instead of months or years. Which reduces the scale of any power excess to very manageable levels even if you provoked one in a case of gross misconduct - as it happened in Chernobyl or the SL-1 accident.)

  44. toxic materials by lkcl · · Score: 2

    any electronics manufacturing requires vast quantities of ultra-pure water, as well as large amounts of heavy metals and rare earth metals. pollution levels surrounding electronics factories, thousands of miles away from where you (the 1st World Reader) can actually see what's really going on, are beyond belief.

  45. Resources are recyclable, energy is not by Kjella · · Score: 3, Informative

    If we burn coal, we still have carbon and oxygen just in a much lower energy state. We can't get that back without spending at least as much energy as we got out (in reality a lot more), which would defeat the whole point. Same with oil, gas and nuclear. So solar panels have a limited lifespan, but it's not like they disappear when they break down. Recycle them and make new ones, as long as you manage to get a net positive contribution of energy it's sustainable. The reason is of course that solar panels have an external power source while coal does not. Of course we have to design them to be recyclable and actually do it, but that's a matter of will and economics. But there's no way to do the same with fossil fuels, they'll never be sustainable because their energy is consumed.

    --
    Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
  46. Silicon simply cannot be the limiting factor by Nicolas+MONNET · · Score: 1

    They might be secretive (or not, I've never heard that claim before) because purer sources should require less work. In any case microelectronics grade silicon needs to be extremely pure, and the industrial processes involved are very advanced; finding a good source of raw materials is likely to be a trivial problem in comparison.

    But that is rather moot because the total amount of Si used is rather small compared to its economic value. Chips and solar cells are etched on extremely thin discs. Considering that there are enormous amounts of the element in the crust (it's the 2nd most common element there after oxygen, 28% in mass), there's bound to be plenty of places where you can find it in the right configuration.

  47. We all know how to combat climate change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We all know how to combat climate change.

    Less humans.

    It's that easy.

    But we do not want to face the facts and the consequences.

  48. And that's just the surface of the issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If we were to collect enough solar, wind, or geothermal energy it would cause climate change like we have never seen before.

    See, the Earth depends on the power from the sun and core to run everything. There is a finite amount of that power that we can suck off before it would really screw up the Earth.

    Who knows, maybe we're screwing it up already. Probably not yet since our "renewable" energy sources provide a very small amount of our power but if we scale up and start pulling away too much of the Sun or core's energy then expect bad things.

  49. I've never understood this line of argument by Nicolas+MONNET · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Coals plants also need to be built, they also need generators that require rare earth elements, they also need plenty of steel and concrete. And not only do they obviously spew shitloads of CO2, you also need to build the roads, railways or ships and ports to carry the coal around, as well as mine the damn thing.

    So what is the argument? That since it's just merely much better, and not simply perfect, we should just give up on them?

    1. Re:I've never understood this line of argument by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      The need much less rare earth elements. That is because they can use heavier magnets with little problem. Wind can't because the turbine's speed changes all the time, and because it is up there, and you'll need more steel to keep it there the heavier the magnet is.

      But I'm yet to be convinced that the supply of rare earth elements is a problem.

    2. Re:I've never understood this line of argument by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And don't forget to add that Washington State has Hydro-dams being removed, loosing the power generated from them, although small, so that fish, that will not feed as many as the dam serviced, will be able to swim up stream as they have historically done. go figure.

    3. Re:I've never understood this line of argument by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, rare earth is a problem since it is a significant geopolitical risk--a certain large Asian country owns most of the operating mines, and has a track record of stopping shipment every time it wants to throw a tantrum.

      Having said that, the article is maliciously misleading in at least three ways.

      • - Rare earth is needed to enhance magnet performance in turbines. Guess who else uses turbines besides wind and solar thermal. Yeah, coal and nuclear plants, and basically anyone else who converts heat to electricity.
      • - Rare earth can be recovered via recycling.
      • - Rare metal free replacements are already making good progress in the lab. Thus, this could become a non-issue in the next decade.
    4. Re:I've never understood this line of argument by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      Most operating mines of rare earth elements are located on China just because nobody else wants to operate mines of rare earth elements. Their distribution is quite wide, and a big number of countries could mine them.

      Coal, nuclear, natural gas, and solar thermal could live without rare earths. They'd be slightly more expensive. Wind would be a lot more expensive.

    5. Re:I've never understood this line of argument by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, I didn't come to that conclusion.

      What I concluded is simply that you need to consider the whole picture when looking at *any* energy system, and that there is no free lunch (or silver bullet, if you like). You must consider the total of *all* input costs (including the energy and materials needed to build the systems, as well as the costs of acquiring the fuel) and compare that against the total energy output over the life of the system. While this may be obvious to some, the author was simply pointing out that many folks neglect these costs.

      The next step is obvious: let's see some comparisons of various energy systems with all these costs included.

  50. Like magnets can't be re-used by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Lets see. Coal. Expensive to mine from underground and a blight on the load in open mines. Nuclear material? Same issues with mining it and that love waste to get rid off. Oil? That is running out and drilling for it has proved hazardous. Mining it from tar sand is even worse then coal mining and even just transporting it ain't save.

    Funny the article doesn't mention any of that. Or for that matter that efficient generators ANYWHERE need rare earth magnets. In the end, almost all power generation needs the same kind of generator, the only difference is what makes them spin and how efficient you want them to be.

    And yes, desert water is not infinite... Greenland is a desert now? Funny. I expected them to be warmer. And less wet.

    Troll article cherry picks arguments to support its troll and ignores everything else.

    How unexpected.

    --

    MMO Quests are like orgasms:

    You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.

    1. Re:Like magnets can't be re-used by calidoscope · · Score: 4, Informative

      Or for that matter that efficient generators ANYWHERE need rare earth magnets. In the end, almost all power generation needs the same kind of generator, the only difference is what makes them spin and how efficient you want them to be.

      Large central station generators (actually alternators...) have been achieving 98 to 99% efficiency for several decades now using copper and electrical steel (no Neodymium). A larger rotor allows for more copper, which reduces the percentage of the alternators output power needed for generating the field. With a wind turbine sized alternator, the power required to maintain the field can approach 5% of the rated output, hence the use of permanent magnets (especially since the turbine is rarely producing rated output). Also note that making concrete for the foundations for the wind turbines does involve a lot of CO2 emissions - look up cement kilns.

      FWIW, the NdFeB magnet material was originally developed at General Motors.

      --
      A Shadeless room is a brighter room.
    2. Re:Like magnets can't be re-used by compro01 · · Score: 1

      Greenland is a desert now? Funny. I expected them to be warmer. And less wet.

      Deserts aren't required to be hot. A desert is an area that gets less than 10 inches of precipitation per year. Antarctica is classified as a desert (it's also the largest one). Parts of the Brooks mountain range in Alaska are also desert, as is much of the rest of the Arctic.

      Greenland, however, isn't a desert. They average about 24 inches.

      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
    3. Re:Like magnets can't be re-used by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your anti-mining bias shows through and corrodes your argument.

      Please try to discuss this topic without resorting to hysterical and jaded views of an important and respectable industry.

    4. Re:Like magnets can't be re-used by Biogenesis · · Score: 1

      The electric generators in coal power stations in Australia (ie: ones that I'm aware of) use synchronous generators which don't use rare earth magnets. They have a DC power source which energises an excitation winding to create the internal magnetic field.

    5. Re:Like magnets can't be re-used by liquiddark · · Score: 1

      I don't know what you're talking about with "98 to 99% efficiency", but maybe be a bit careful throwing a number like that around. Nothing is vaguely close to 98% efficiency when looking at potential->output energy.

    6. Re:Like magnets can't be re-used by mdielmann · · Score: 1

      And yes, desert water is not infinite... Greenland is a desert now? Funny. I expected them to be warmer. And less wet.

      In point of fact, the definition of a desert is how much precipitation per year there is. The arctic is one of the biggest deserts in the world, and I'm sure that could include Greenland. Here's a map for your perusal.

      --
      Sure I'm paranoid, but am I paranoid enough?
    7. Re:Like magnets can't be re-used by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In point of fact, the definition of a desert is how much precipitation per year there is.

      +1 Correct.

      One of my best profs taught me this. And it isn't just a technical point; lack of precipitation defines areas as much as precipitation does.

      News for Nerds: Precipitation Matters.

    8. Re:Like magnets can't be re-used by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The article is about the term 'renewable'. But it introduces irrelevant criteria while determinedly obfuscating the reality that coal and oil supplies really are finite and wind and sunlight aren't. All the other constraints mentioned apply in equal or greater measure to the old technologies, with the added kick that their actual source of energy will run out one day, and get more and more expensive in the interim, while continuing to give out significant levels of CO2 (or radioactive waste).

    9. Re:Like magnets can't be re-used by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Deserts are defined in terms of anual rainfall, inner Greenland sees very little rainfall, so yes, it is a desert, by the geological definition. But don't expect oases and palms there.

    10. Re:Like magnets can't be re-used by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1. Coal has nasty remains (ash), half-life forever. Lots of it. Huge lots of it.

      2. Nuclear waste can be safely reprocessed (pyroreprocessing) into new fuel until 99% of the fuel capacity is burned off, leaving a small residual amount of waste with a decades long half-life.

      3. Coal requires megatons of ore.

      4. Nuclear requires a small (comparative) amount of ore.

  51. Base Loads by z00_miak · · Score: 2

    What the article fails to mention, and what most people fail to understand, is that renewable sources of energy such as wind and solar are not suitable to replace the majority of conventional power sources. Your average pro-renewable energy advocate would have you believe you can throw a bunch of turbines and solar panels onto the grid and solve all your problems: unfortunately you need to supply your base load with guaranteed sources.

    It sounds simple enough when you think about it, but you can't replace a coal, nuclear (or hydro power plant in certain cases) with solar or wind because those plants supply a large amount of power all of the time. If the wind isn't blowing or the sun isn't shining, nobody is getting electricity. This relegates these sources of power as contributors, not dominant supplies of electricity.

    1. Re:Base Loads by hipp5 · · Score: 1

      Waa waa this gets mentioned every time renewable energy comes up, and it's a poor excuse for not developing renewables.

      I don't think anyone thinks it's simplistic as running out and replacing all of our power plants with turbines. In the short term we will need traditional base-load capacity. But in the long term it's quite possible that renewables coupled with energy storage systems will make up a major chunk of our energy needs. Until you start making the investment in renewable energy it's not worth developing the needed storage systems. Since our grid can take around 20% renewabels with no storage, it sure makes a lot of sense to me to make that investment and at the same time start researching storage systems.

  52. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  53. source website is bunk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    I checked that atomic website thebulletin, they dont have very many scientists, and are not a scientific
    agency. their board of directors is pure PR experience, Corporate directorship experience, banking etc....

    one of the more qualified members of the board is an MD..... remember the discussion material
    is regarding engineering and biological sciences....

    seriously check out the qualifications of the people who run the organization....

    propaganda and misdirection.

  54. What is the amount burnt to build coal plants? by Nicolas+MONNET · · Score: 3, Informative

    For a given power generation capacity, there is no intrinsic reason why the energy cost for building windmills / solar cells should not be a fixed ratio of that of building coal plants. Maintenance costs for wind/solar are very low, but even if you don't believe me on this one, ask yourself, again, whether coal plants require no maintenance -- they do.

    After that, solar/wind cost nothing in energy, while coal plants need to be fed coal, that also has to be transported.

    1. Re:What is the amount burnt to build coal plants? by zach_the_lizard · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't say solar and wind require no maintenance. Probably less, but not none, especially in the case of wind. Eventually some of the moving parts will break and have to be repaired / replaced. Solar might require the occasional cleaning for maximum efficiency.

      --
      SSC
    2. Re:What is the amount burnt to build coal plants? by TWX · · Score: 5, Informative

      I think that the point is that they all require maintenance, but that once started up, the solar and wind don't require mining, transportation of fuel, or environmental cleanup just by operating, while solar and wind just require machinery maintenance.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    3. Re:What is the amount burnt to build coal plants? by higuita · · Score: 2

      I think that the point is that they all require maintenance, but that once started up, the solar and wind don't require mining, transportation of fuel, or environmental cleanup just by operating, while solar and wind just require machinery maintenance ... that the other also need.
      No only that, the others will need even more maintenance, because of higher usage of moving parts, heat, different materials (corrosion), etc

      they are just trying to forget all the support machinery needed to operate a coal central
       

      --
      Higuita
    4. Re:What is the amount burnt to build coal plants? by patjhal · · Score: 1

      Actually I think the point is that nothing will save us except population control.

    5. Re:What is the amount burnt to build coal plants? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Go back to china where they murder their kids. I hear they have population control there, hitler.

    6. Re:What is the amount burnt to build coal plants? by TWX · · Score: 1

      If you can convince all four of the Abrahamic religions to ignore "Be Fruitful and Multiply" line then we'll be okay. That's only a little less than four billion people, so you shouldn't have any trouble there.

      I actually agree with having less people. My parents had two children. My wife and I would probably have two children at most. But, unfortunately the entire world as Humans see it seems to be geared toward growth. Growth to sustain retirement. Growth to add more profit. Growth to add more people. Unfortunately no one seems to understand that growth is not infinite with a finite amount of resources. We need a bit of a sustained steady state, but until we run out of natural resources we're not going to get it.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
  55. Thanks Capt. Obvious by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

    None of it's truly renewable because the universe will experience heat death at some point!

    Also, there's this thing called recycling, look it up.

    --
    "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
  56. Wind power future shock by benwiggy · · Score: 2

    I have always wondered about what might happen if large quantities of energy were taken out of the wind/climate system and used to generate power. Might this cause some even greater climatic change? Not trolling, just genuinely scared of everything.

    1. Re:Wind power future shock by prefec2 · · Score: 1

      It influences the system. However, the amount is small and the energy you extract from the wind is transfered as electric energy and then in the end converted to heat. Introducing the energy back into the system.

  57. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 2

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  58. A bit of truth for RE as pushed by big business by Jmc23 · · Score: 3, Informative
    It's obvious this person has an agenda as they don't take water recycling into account, whether within systems or within nature.

    However, this deals with renewable energy as touted by big business. They make big huge systems that consume lots of resources so that they can sell them and make money. A passive solar house isn't going to use all these rare precious resources. Geothermal energy that is designed into the house going down 10 to 20 feet using convection isn't going to require the same massive resources that a huge power plant going hundreds of feet into the ground nor is there any fracking required. A personal wind turbine or hydro isn't going to need rare earth magnetics to squeeze out every drop of possible energy because energy use will already be reduced and you can just take the inefficiency of normal magnets/em into account when designing the system.

    Besides the obvious slant of the article what we should realize is that large, centralized, hi tech renewable energy products are unsustainable. The way to go is smaller, decentralized, personal systems. Decentralization reduces the need for large quantities of any resource to be taken from any given area, making it sustainable. Is it a bother to have to wipe down your mirrors 2 or 3 times a year on your passive solar oil collection system, sure, but you won't need 600 acres of water in your back yard, just a damp cloth.

    Unfortunately that involves designing tech that can be put together/serviced by your average joe and that simply isn't going to happen without government or industry help to educate the masses which won't happen because there's no money in teaching a man how to fish instead of selling him a fish everyday for the rest of his life.

    Which is unfortunate. I'd love to see bamboo sand biofilm water filters with added activated carbon (provided by gov't/business) in homes for cleaning water instead of huge water treatment plants and plastic encased water filters that are non-renewable by the customer.(activated charcoal is renewable, if they let you get at it)

    --
    Don't complain about syntax, grammar, or spelling. There is no.hell like input on android.
    1. Re:A bit of truth for RE as pushed by big business by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 2

      What you are describing is the most expensive, inefficient way of generating power possible. Any engineering project of this type follows a scaling law where cost per output follows a power law with the exponent less than 1. A house size wind turbine will typically cost $5 per kw, while a commercial scale turbine will be $1 per kw.

    2. Re:A bit of truth for RE as pushed by big business by hipp5 · · Score: 1

      This isn't necessarily true. While there certainly is a place for decentralization, it isn't the ideal for our complete energy future. Large-scale wind turbines are much more efficient on a resources-used:energy-gained ratio because the energy gather increases by the square of your blade length. And for current solar systems it's much more efficient to generate power at a large concentrated solar plant than it is to build a puch of PV panels and stick them on houses.

    3. Re:A bit of truth for RE as pushed by big business by DamonHD · · Score: 1

      Not in cloudier climes.

      For the UK for example, IIRC there probably isn't any significant benefit of scale of solar farms of any type vs domestic-scale PV, and the advantages of (a) not taking new land and (b) injecting power directly into the local distribution system avoiding ~9% transmission/distribution losses (c) and focussing the mind of the householder and neighbours on conservation, might make domestic-scale better.

      Rgds

      Damon

      --
      http://m.earth.org.uk/
    4. Re:A bit of truth for RE as pushed by big business by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Well, not arguing the numbers. However, if *I* buy a wind turbine for *my* house it is *my* wind turbine. If some energy company buys a wind turbine and sells me the electricity then *I am* still bound to *their* terms.
      The cost in buying one or the other, either flat or per kW is not changing that in any way.
      Bottom line I easy can pay more money in buying electricity from that company instead in buying my own turbine.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    5. Re:A bit of truth for RE as pushed by big business by Jmc23 · · Score: 1
      Difference is, I can build my own wind turbine. There's also power loss over distance and maintenance for all those towers and distribution.

      On top of that, what do you think is more important, big companies trying to save money so they can make more profit while depleting our resources or building a sustainable future?

      --
      Don't complain about syntax, grammar, or spelling. There is no.hell like input on android.
    6. Re:A bit of truth for RE as pushed by big business by Jmc23 · · Score: 1
      Helical vertical wind turbines. Easier to build, high efficiency compared to small horizontal turbines. Can work in lower and faster wind speeds as well as more chaotic wind than horizontals, safer in operation. Ever wonder just how much resources and specialized training it takes to transport those huge blades and assemble the turbines? As well, large scale wind farms block airspace for birds.

      I do see a place for companies to make the inverters though, that's something i really don't want to wire up myself.

      As well, i didn't mention anything about solar panels. I see those as part of the problem. Why use solar panels to inefficiently produce energy to power my hot water tank when i can just heat up my water directly from the sun without all the loss?

      What has to happen is a re-organization of domestic appliances. How many of our appliances have their own transformers? Heat sources? Cooling sources? Motors? The world would need a hell of a lot less energy if our houses and appliances weren't so badly designed and engineered.

      --
      Don't complain about syntax, grammar, or spelling. There is no.hell like input on android.
  59. Power plants are much more efficient than engines by Nicolas+MONNET · · Score: 1

    From memory, typical internal combustion engines are on the order of 20% efficiency; advanced combined cycle fossil fuel power plants, taking into account transportation losses, conversion, charging, battery losses, driver and motor translate into something like 40% efficiency.

  60. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  61. Scale by inhuman_4 · · Score: 4, Informative

    The problem is not so much with the technologies' themselves as it is people's understanding of the scale of them. For example Tom Murphy explains that dropping the great lakes by 1m would produce 54 billion kWh. Compare that to the 2,000 billion kWh produced every year by coal plants. My napkin math says we would drain the great lakes of their current supply of water in the order of years, not decades just to replace coal.

    Since the people on Slashdot are mathematically inclined, try to calculate the physical area needed for solar panels to replace a nuclear power station near you. To replace the Pickering Nuclear Planet (3.1GW) the oldest planet here in Ontario with solar assuming Ontario get the global average amount of sun light (which is pretty generous for Ontario) and gets an average of 20% efficiency you get 250W x 0.2 = 50W/m^2. So, (3.1E9W) / (50W/m^2) = 62E6 m^2 or 62,000 square km, a box 8km by 8km of solid solar panels or a circle with a radius of 4.4km. That is approx 2% the size of the exclusion zone around Chernobyl. We are talking about building something 2% the size of the area we fenced off during the worst nuclear accident in history per nuclear station.

    Most renewable source of energy are not very concentrated, so anything dealing with them has to be huge, it's inescapable.

    1. Re:Scale by eriks · · Score: 2

      Most renewable source of energy are not very concentrated, so anything dealing with them has to be huge, it's inescapable.

      While that is certainly true, there's something to be said for decentralized energy generation. In areas with a lot of sun, if you can get a majority of buildings to install solar heating/cooling/lighting and photovoltaic, and some local storage, you can make a big dent in the energy requirements (from coal) in a particular region.

      In areas with less sun, solar systems can still be viable, though less economical, and augmented with wind, micro-nuclear (maybe someday), ground source heat pumps, and even wood burning furnaces.

      If we then keep going with high-efficiency systems (thermal barriers, pumps, major appliances) with individual and community installations approaching energy self-sufficiency, there is a benefit even beyond the reduction in coal burned, in that the grid can be more resilient in the event of power plant or distribution issues.

      Having had *three* long term (more than a week) power outages here in the northeast US in the past few years, I know if I could afford it, I would be installing a grid-connected system that could keep us going on emergency power (enough for a little heat, water and communication systems) for extended periods, even if we can't generate 100% of our needs, the peace of mind that would bring is priceless.

    2. Re:Scale by tp1024 · · Score: 1

      But that's just peak power - you have to consider night and day, the angle of the sun, the weather etc. You must further consider the gaps between the collectors. Practical values are more on the order of 10W/m^2 (Andasol in southern Spain - things get much worse even somewhat further north - with clouds being the primary culprit, latitude a not-too-distant second.)

    3. Re:Scale by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      And how big is the exclusive one around the Pickering Nuclear Plant? 2km x 2km? Just about a 1/4th of your 8km x 8km solar plant then ...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    4. Re:Scale by chrb · · Score: 1

      Yes, energy density is a problem. If every single rain drop that fell on the Britain were exploited perfectly (100% capture of energy from first impact to sea level), then the whole lot would meet about 3% of the nation's current energy consumption. (Figures from Sustainable energy without the hot air: hydroelectric). Photovolatic farming also has big problems. To meet our current daily energy use with PV solar would require 20% of the land to be covered in panels, and to do it on a scale to power the UK alone would require 500 times all the photovoltaics in the whole world today. We either need some huge advances in science, or to seriously lower our energy consumption.

    5. Re:Scale by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Think large-scale. Every house and every office building gets upgraded with solar panels. It wouldn't completely replace all the coal and nuclear plants, but it would cover a lot of residential and light commercial electricity needs. You could cut the number of coal plants down to a couple hundred, worldwide.

      Likewise with wind: Install enough turbines over a wide enough area, and you're guaranteed power because the wind is always blowing somewhere.

    6. Re:Scale by chrb · · Score: 1

      In areas with a lot of sun, if you can get a majority of buildings to install solar heating/cooling/lighting and photovoltaic, and some local storage, you can make a big dent in the energy requirements (from coal) in a particular region.

      Unfortunately it doesn't even come close. From this book: if you cover every south facing rooftop with solar panels you get 10 square meters of solar panels per person, which provides energy of 5 kWh per day per person. Current Western energy usage is estimated at 250 kWh per day. Those figures are based on the UK, where average sun level is 60% of the level at the equator. So moving the panels to Africa is only going to get us an extra 66%, so we still aren't meeting even 5% of our current energy needs (and then you would have to deal with transmission loss etc.). It isn't going to make a big dent...

    7. Re:Scale by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We are talking about building something 2% the size of the area we fenced off during the worst nuclear accident in history per nuclear station.

      Most renewable source of energy are not very concentrated, so anything dealing with them has to be huge, it's inescapable.

      I think we might already have done that.

      It's called a roof.

    8. Re:Scale by dbIII · · Score: 1

      OK, so you've deliberately taken an example that doesn't have an economy of scale and then deliberately assumed that nothing else can use the land assigned for it. You then pretend that this flawed example can be extended to a general case. Sadly that tells us far more about yourself than the topic being dicussed.

    9. Re:Scale by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1

      >>I know if I could afford it, I would be installing a grid-connected system that could keep us going on emergency power (enough for a little heat, water and communication systems) for extended periods, even if we can't generate 100% of our needs, the peace of mind that would bring is priceless.

      Grid tied systems will typically shut down if they detect a failure in the grid. If you want a battery backup, they add a tremendous cost to the system to handle the very occasional power outages. Just get a UPS. =)

      >>In areas with a lot of sun, if you can get a majority of buildings to install solar heating/cooling/lighting and photovoltaic, and some local storage, you can make a big dent in the energy requirements (from coal) in a particular region.

      Indeed. In my neck of California, top tier power rates are so high that solar panels have been sprouting on rooftops every where you look. Even with the decrease in federal and state subsidies, the excessively high power rates (up to 50c/kWh or so) are driving very strong demand for solar. And people generally aren't doing anything with their roofs anyway, so the land-use issue is a moot point.

    10. Re:Scale by gullevek · · Score: 1

      And at night? Cloudy sky? You calculate at peak time of the sun, but then this is not the peak time of the electricity usage. Unless we stop using electricity at night you need some way to store the electricity for the time when you cannot get peak. Which means you need to build the array much larger, much much larger. And you need electricity storage in very large volumes. I honestly do not know a system where you can store several megawatts of energy in a battery.

      --
      "Freiheit ist immer auch die Freiheit des Andersdenkenden" - Rosa Luxemburg, 1871 - 1919
    11. Re:Scale by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most renewable source of energy are not very concentrated, so anything dealing with them has to be huge, it's inescapable.

      But it goes both ways: Due to their distributed nature, we don't have to concentrate them in first place, just to distribute them subsequently. We certainly have some underutilized space in our immediate vicinity.

      We have been very relaxed when it comes to wasting energy and then we come around and rant about energy crisis. Frugality is our greatest yet almost completely untapped energy source today. Energy should become the world currency and economy should be based on energy, not some completely imaginary and poorly defined property (fiat, or even precious metal based money). That would put everything in proper place.

    12. Re:Scale by MrL0G1C · · Score: 1

      250 kWh per day.

      That's an absurd figure approx 20+ times too high. Have a look at your electricity bill. The figure doesn't need to be estimated, the energy Co's & gov't will know exact figures.

      see:
      http://www.carbonindependent.org/sources_home_energy.htm

      source:
      http://www.berr.gov.uk/files/file43304.pdf

      Also see:
      http://www.esru.strath.ac.uk/EandE/Web_sites/01-02/RE_info/hec.htm

      The above show the average house using approx 14KWh per day (UK), by switching to more energy efficient products, this could be closer to 10kWh per day. So by your figure of 5KWh/day per person we could be running Britain from solar power completely.... WOW!!!!!

      --
      Waterfox - a Firefox fork with legacy extension support, security updates and better privacy by default.
    13. Re:Scale by chrb · · Score: 1
      The figure of 250 kWh/day includes all energy (gas heating, transport etc.), not just electricity, see references at Sustainable energy without the hot air: Red reflections. Secondly, household electricity consumption does not reflect actual usage, since most people spend most of their days at work (or school etc.). Workplaces are significant consumers of energy. Read the book.

      The average American consumes about 250 kWh per day. If we all raised our standard of consumption to an average American level, the green pro- duction stack would definitely be dwarfed by the red consumption stack. What about the average European and the average Brit? Average Eu- ropean consumption of “primary energy” (which means the energy con- tained in raw fuels, plus wind and hydroelectricity) is about 125 kWh per day per person. The UK average is also 125 kWh per day per person. These official averages do not include two energy flows. First, the “em- bedded energy” in imported stuff (the energy expended in making the stuff) is not included at all. We estimated in Chapter 15 that the embedded energy in imported stuff is at least 40 kWh/d per person. Second, the official estimates of “primary energy consumption” include only industrial energy flows – things like fossil fuels and hydroelectricity – and don’t keep track of the natural embedded energy in food: energy that was originally harnessed by photosynthesis.

    14. Re:Scale by inhuman_4 · · Score: 1

      The problem is not so much with the technologies' themselves as it is people's understanding of the scale of them.

      My point was not that this or that particular method will not work, in fact I support solar and wind technology. My point is that most people don't have a good grasp of the scale of these projects.

      Nuclear most people understand, partly because of the huge upfront costs and partly because Greenpeace has scared the shit out of them. But if you ask people what it would cost to replace a nuclear or coal plant they have no idea.

      assumed that nothing else can use the land assigned for it.

      I calculated the raw area needed to be occupied by solar panels based on the energy per m^2 so that land cannot be used by anything else. I'm not talking about wind farms, try reading my post again.

    15. Re:Scale by rapidmax · · Score: 1

      This is a hugh area if used for the sole purpose of installing solar panels. Fortunately there are vast amount of surfaces available without the need to cover additional areas.

      I did your calculation before for Switzerland: For the 1.5 million buildings you have to use one square meter of solar panel to replace a nuclear reactor. We have five reactors resulting in about 5 square meters for each building to replace all of them. While this is a huge project it's possible to get a average area of 5 square meters per building.

      An this example only take in account buildings. There are more unused surfaces: Avalanche barriers[1], surface parking lots, motorway and rail road borders (maybe even across motorways and rail roads), waste depots, yes even on atomic power plants [2] (while they wait to be decomposed).

      1. [1] http://www.solesuisse.ch/Projekte/Sonnenenergie/Solarkraftwerk-Lawinenverbauung-St-Antoenien.aspx
      2. [2] http://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kernkraftwerk_Zwentendorf
    16. Re:Scale by eriks · · Score: 1

      There are many multiple-source inverter systems available that work in conjunction with (or function as) an automated transfer switch for when utility power is unavailable, though such an inverter does add to the total cost to the system. A battery system is not necessary, although a small battery system for limited power at night isn't really all that expensive, compared with total system cost.

      I would *love* to be able to produce 5kWh per day! That's just a little less than half our energy usage, and would be sufficient to hum along during an extended power outage almost indefinitely, especially with a genset running occasionally to fill a water pressure tank and heat water.

    17. Re:Scale by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1

      >>I would *love* to be able to produce 5kWh per day!

      That's actually a pretty modest system. You could probably build it out for $6k or so, if my really rough back of the envelope estimate is accurate.

      My system produces 30kWh/day at peak during summer, and around half that these days.

      >>There are many multiple-source inverter systems available that work in conjunction with (or function as) an automated transfer switch for when utility power is unavailable, though such an inverter does add to the total cost to the system. A battery system is not necessary, although a small battery system for limited power at night isn't really all that expensive, compared with total system cost.

      Well, if you have blackouts at night, you need batteries. =)

      Adding a battery to cover 100% of my energy needs at night worked out to about $10k or so, but that was for a completely off-the-grid system... if you only need a little battery backup for occasional blackouts, you can probably pay a lot less.

  62. addendum by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ... and lack of respect, or attention, for Murphy's Law.

    As in the case of the Fukushima Power Plant disaster, diesel generator and control room 'emergency battery power' relocation would have made a statistically significant difference against the effects of the tsunami. Then again, so would not putting profits ahead of maintenance and quality standards.

    Pick your nit, but this all comes back to human error. Greed and foresight seem to be our biggest obstacles.

  63. Depressing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Makes me want to off myself. Very depressing view. How about just say we need more cleaner renewable materials going into the process? Be positive. Must be an oil and nuke shill.

  64. This Science Writer Blows... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This Science Writer Blows...Renewable Energy way out of proportion. This to me seems like some kind of inflated straw man argument, and a step away from "Because we can't turn matter into energy without any efficiency loss and no means of production with nothing but our MINDS, 'Renewable Energy' is a terrible polluter!" (yes that's an example of a straw man argument itself :P).

    I'm glad that most commenters can see right through this sloppy 'critique'.

  65. I thought slashdotters would know that by mshenrick · · Score: 2

    While I'm taught in RS/RE, science and geography lessons that renewable energy will never run out, obviously it will. Wind power: caused by vacuums caused by sun. Waves: caused by moon movement caused by big bang. solar: caused by sun. Also note, the energy cannot be destroyed, so in theory solar makes the world slightly darker, and turbines slow the wind down slightly. However, it will last so long that it's near finite to the human mind I thought slashdotters knew this!

  66. We have plenty of food by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You realize that our government pays farmers to NOT grow food? World hunger is not caused by insufficient farmland...we have enough to feed the world several times over. World hunger is purely an economic problem. Those who have too much can't conscience the thought of giving the extra away to the have-not's for free, so instead we give free money to the already-have-plenty's to prevent them from upsetting the global food market.

    Humans are stupid.

  67. Some notes about solar cells by h5inz · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Solar cells are potentially made from carbon :
    graphene - http://www.alternative-energy-news.info/carbon-based-solar-cells/
    or carbon nanotubes - http://www.bitsofscience.org/solar-cell-carbon-nano-energy-3418/
    http://inhabitat.com/carbon-nanotubes-could-create-better-solar-cells/

    The other technologies like wind turbines and those steaming solutions are just alternative green solutions to solar cells that are often cheaper. When the solar cells are going to continue to get cheaper like they are and no new alternative pops out, then they will probably be the prefferable choice of green energy.
    http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2011/jun/20/solar-panel-price-drop
    Their co-existence with new ways of storing electricity would make them even more practical.
    New cheaper ways for making hydrogen:
    http://www.gizmag.com/fukai-hydrogen-extraction-process/16674/
    or carbon based supercapacitors?
    http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/05/110512150731.htm
    My point is, that there are actually new advancements in every horizon, which make this article a bit outdated.

    1. Re:Some notes about solar cells by gestalt_n_pepper · · Score: 1

      And all this advancement is just *spiffy* if it scales, has an energy density similar to hydrocarbons and doesn't chew up the machines that run on it, AND we can implement it after hydrocarbons get expensive enough to break most of the world's manufacturing supply chains.

      Solutions don't matter if people are too stupid and short-sighted to implement them.

      --
      Please do not read this sig. Thank you.
  68. I called the question silly, not you by Nicolas+MONNET · · Score: 1

    But you're making me change my mind.

    1. Re:I called the question silly, not you by foobsr · · Score: 1
      ... quote: "

      Wind Turbines Alter Farm Microclimates

      Researchers at the U.S. Department of Energy’s Ames Laboratory and the University of Colorado find evidence that wind turbines alter microclimates for farm crops, possibly for the better.

      “We’ve finished the first phase of our research, and we’re confident that wind turbines do produce measureable effects on the microclimate near crops,” said Ames Laboratory associate and agricultural meteorology expert Gene Takle. According to Takle, who is also a professor of agricultural meteorology and director of the Climate Science Program at Iowa State University, the slow-moving turbine blades that have become a familiar sight along Midwestern highways, channel air downwards, in effect bathing the crops below via the increased airflow they create.

      Wind turbines might reduce temperature extremes and lengthen growing seasons.

      For instance, crops warm up when the sun shines on them, and some of that heat is given off to the atmosphere. Extra air turbulence likely speeds up this heat exchange, so crops stay slightly cooler during hot days. On cold nights, turbulence stirs the lower atmosphere and keeps nighttime temperatures around the crops warmer.

      “In this case, we anticipate turbines’ effects are good in the spring and fall because they would keep the crop a little warmer and help prevent a frost,” said Takle. “Wind turbines could possibly ward off early fall frosts and extend the growing season.”

      Global climate engineering is controversial. Yet microclimate alteration using wind turbines looks like it is not going to generate much if any opposition." (found at FuturePundit)

      CC.

      --
      TaijiQuan (Huang, 5 loosenings)
  69. skirting all of the negatives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is just another group skirting all the negatives in their own industry while trying desperately to paint their competitors with a 'dirgy energy' brush. Never a mention of the materials required by the "clean coal" they so prominently touched upon. The point is, yeah, energy doesn't just jam itself into those electrical lines that ALL THOSE FORMS OF ENERGY REQUIRE. And most importatly, ALL of the polluting, NON-renewables likewise use and lock up amounts of resources, including concrete, and steel to produce energy.

    Remember there is no such thing as 'clean coal' except as a topic for television brainwashi - er, commercials.

    Feh!

  70. Desertec wants to build worse in the desert by tp1024 · · Score: 1

    Solar thermal is about the worst technology in this respect - About 6l per kWh. Nuclear power (PWR) clocks in at around 3l per kWh, coal plants use about 2l.

    And of course you will find the most fervent supporters of Desertec - a project to build solar thermal on a HUGE scale in Northern Africa, well known for such water rich places as Libya or Morocco - among the exact same people who claim that nuclear power in France is unsustainable for lack of cooling water.

    1. Re:Desertec wants to build worse in the desert by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      You may not have noticed, but Libya has a massive coastline.

    2. Re:Desertec wants to build worse in the desert by tp1024 · · Score: 1

      But Desertec doesn't plan to use sea water to cool its turbines - which would be hard to do anyway, because of the way such plants scale. The turbines and thermal storage must be centrally located in the collector array and this array is limited in size. Otherwise losses are too large. Which makes placing the turbines next to the coast impractical, not to mention a lot more expensive.

      The 2km^2 demonstration plant Andasol already cost 300mio Euro, delivering about as much electricity as a small conventional 20MW power plant (180GWh per year). The new 12km^2 plant in Morocco, based on the same technology, is going to cost 2bn Euro. Right. Six smaller plants in Spain are cheaper than one big plant in Morocco - so much for claims that larger plants and more experience would decrease costs.

  71. two things are all that's needed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Renewable forms of energy, along with increased EFFICIENCY of production and use of it.

  72. Research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The significance of (almost certain) future energy shortages are so grossly understated. They start to lead to economical problems since financial growth stops being possible which makes them much harder to tackle (specially in a democracy). We desperatly need some alternatives and start deploying them now. But funding to research is laughable in comparison to the problems we are facing. If there is some silver bullet in fission or fusion for example we would not know....

  73. Twitter account by vinlud · · Score: 1

    If you want to let Ms. Stover know how you think about her article, she can be found on dawnstover

    --
    Repeat after me: We are all individuals
  74. And mercury by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And not only do they obviously spew shitloads of CO2

    and mercury ..

    The reason why tuna, swordfish, shark, and other top of the marine food chain has soooo much mercury is because of coal fired power plants.

  75. Distributed Solar Power... by SwedishChef · · Score: 1

    Distributed solar power... where we put as many 8kw solar systems with inverters and battery-backups on family homes around the country as we can... reduces the need for new nuclear, coal, hydro, wind, wave or biomass generators. And it also eliminates the "infrastructure" problem (the infrastructure that delivers that can also move it the other way without change). If we can get to the point where solar panels provide 90% of the daytime energy use of every family home then the other power generation systems will only need to be used to fill in the gaps and to provide the power for industry.

    This can be done for about $20,000 per home rooftop and will also mean that a tree falling on a power line six blocks away won't take your power down; you'll just keep going on your backup system.

    My wife and I used two 33-watt solar panels for five years on a sailboat cruising the Pacific augmented by a wind generator I made by carving a propellor and buying a surplus 36-vdc electric motor and hanging it in the rigging. We ran our diesel engine about 30 minutes a week and still had power for lights, ham radio, and our little 12-vdc refrigerator. And this was in 1981 long before the advent of LED lighting and new - farm more effective - insulation materials.

    It *CAN* be done. We cannot eliminate point-source power generation systems but a nationwide thrust to do this will make new ones much less necessary.

    --
    No one ever had to evacuate a city because the solar panels broke!
  76. Do you know what happens to all that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Do you know what happens to all that purified silicon (which requires a lot of toxic chemicals to purify) when the solar panel (for example) is replaced?

    It remains there. Refined. Able to be reused without anywhere near the resources for refining originally required.

    Rare earth elements likewise also are renewable.

    Your "finite resources" is, frankly, bollocks.

    You don't generate wind power by burning your turbine blades and motors.

  77. Are you dreaming? by Framboise · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "It has the smallest impact" ???

    Fukushima and Tchernobyl come to mind of course. Do you realize that making an area like (40 miles)^2 unusable amounts to not a small cost on the economic point of view, or ruining the lives of 10'000's of displaced people is not a small nuisance?

    Presently nuclear energy is the energy method having the largest impact in the far future (~100'000 years), as the nuclear wastes will require to be watched for a long time. Do you realize that such a timespan is comparable to the total time homo sapiens existed on Earth? (The salary of a single engineer over 100'000 yr corresponds already to the total building cost of a nuclear plant).

    Can you imagine what will happen when the next global war occurs? And it will occur well before a century for sure. Each nuclear power plant will be an easy target, at the least a serious menace for those countries foolish enough to have forgot how stupid and nasty human beings may be.

    1. Re:Are you dreaming? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Not only was Fukushima old-technology, the vast majority (some estimates have been 80 to 90 percent) of damage done in Japan was due to improper storage of spent fuel near the reactors, not from the reactors themselves. They had stored the fuel right at the reactors... areas that were not designed for fuel storage... rather than at a facility that was specifically designed for that.

      Why should it surprise anybody that using things -- especially potentially dangerous things like nuclear reactors -- in ways that they were not designed to be used, causes problems?

      That's like saying that running your car into a telephone pole can cause injury. Duh.

    2. Re:Are you dreaming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, smallest impact (at least of the power sources that can be used relatively easily in a wide variety of geographies). It has a very localized impact and very concentrated generation, so even that relatively small impact is dramatic when looked at up close. But it's not like our other sources have zero cost per gigawatt. Meanwhile, the potential impact of just about any energy source (including but not limited to nuclear), overused, is total ecological collapse, which is the largest impact to the far future.

      The fact is, you can't just list the downsides of one energy source and conclude that it does not have the smallest or near-smallest impact because of the presence of downsides. You have to rationally assess it against the competing sources, in the proper context (eg. solar isn't going to be good in Antarctica during the long night, and tidal power will lose to anything in Kansas).

      If there's a global war that starts targeting enemy civilians, nuclear power plants will be the least of our worries. Even if they don't have actual nuclear bombs to drop, you can simply bomb a population center.

    3. Re:Are you dreaming? by Framboise · · Score: 2

      Humans do errors all the time, and by errors I mean in the broad sense (wars, corruption, mere stupidity, ...). Several percents of the population has over years mental problems which can not be detected in advance. This is incompatible with an energy production method which requires perfect people, especially for time spans exceedings a generation. Fukushima, Tchernobyle, TMI all illustrate this simple fact. And for sure, such accidents will repeat as humans do not improve.

      I trust insurance companies that they have done the math: no one is willing to insure nuclear plants to an acceptable cost; this is rather unique in the industry and shows that when the proper insurance costs are factored in, nuclear energy is not economically justifiable.

    4. Re:Are you dreaming? by lightknight · · Score: 1

      I mean, nothing is safe if you're not willing to follow the basic safety requirements, which Fukushima apparently violated. Like smoking while filling the car up with gas. There are unavoidable risks, and then there are avoidable ones.

      Planning for a Tsunami far in excess of that region's previously recorded history? I can understand that as an avoidable/unavoidable risk. Not having a gravitation-ally-inclined reservoir with which to flood the reactors with fresh water and halt an out of control reaction? Avoidable.

      And once again, the more dangerous something is, the shorter the half-life is. Visiting an area immediately after a dropping a nuclear bomb? Very bad for your health. Visiting an area 60 years after dropping a nuclear bomb? Your health won't notice.

      --
      I am John Hurt.
    5. Re:Are you dreaming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And both Fukushima and Tchernobyl were known to be unsafe long before those incidents. Tchernobyl was an unsafe reactor design in which they ran an unsafe experiment and shut down the safety systems and ignored the warnings. That disaster wasn't because nuclear power was unsafe, it was because the Soviet Union was unsafe. Fukushima was a reactor that was never designed to handle earthquakes, as the area wasn't that seismically active when it was built. Then when they started having earthquakes, they decided to NOT upgrade the reactor to be able to handle them for a few decades. And it still wasn't a HUGE problem, compared to the dangers of mining coal or natural gas or nearly any other way of getting that energy. Nuclear isn't at all unsafe if you aren't a dumbass about it, and even if you are it's still one of the safest options out there. Do you even know how many people die every year in coal mines? Or drilling oil wells? Or extracting natural gas? Or from the effects of all of the pollution released from those extraction processes?

    6. Re:Are you dreaming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "It has the smallest impact" ???

      Fukushima and Tchernobyl come to mind of course. Do you realize that making an area like (40 miles)^2 unusable amounts to not a small cost on the economic point of view, or ruining the lives of 10'000's of displaced people is not a small nuisance?

      As opposed to hydroelectric which makes land like that unusable in simply normal operation? Or wind where in some countries a general exclusion zone of a couple of hundred meters makes an area unusable in simply normal operation? Or a coal powerplant which requires a metric shitload more coal (read more coal mines) which makes large areas of land unusable in simply normal operation?

      You count disaster but don't consider lifecycle cost of the plant. You live in fear of 40 year old technology and refuse to allow many newer designs to evolve. Tell me, did you buy a car with seatbelts when they were introduced or did you give up driving altogether?

      Why not treat technological advancements in nuclear like any other technological advancements?

    7. Re:Are you dreaming? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Not only was Fukushima old-technology, the vast majority (some estimates have been 80 to 90 percent) of damage done in Japan was due to improper storage of spent fuel near the reactors

      That either is bullshit or a /. myth or a new comming internet myth. (I only answer because some moron wrote nearly exactly the same a few posts up from yours).
      Yes, in the reactors lots of old fuel was stored. Just like in the rest of the world in nearly any other plant. As we don't know where to store the burned fuel.
      The more important thing is: the stored fuel was not involved in the main disaster.

      Why should it surprise anybody that using things -- especially potentially dangerous things like nuclear reactors -- in ways that they were not designed to be used, causes problems?

      The reactors are designed to serve as storage for burned fuel. Exactly that is the problem. No one wants to have another site with potential dangerous stuff.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    8. Re:Are you dreaming? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Visiting an area 60 years after dropping a nuclear bomb? Your health won't notice.

      Sure, when you are already 60 years old and god gave you the destiny to live till 70 years. You won't notice that you die unscheduled at 69 ... poor god in casting your destiny, though.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    9. Re:Are you dreaming? by lightknight · · Score: 1

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hiroshima_Peace_Memorial

      Looks safe to me.

      --
      I am John Hurt.
    10. Re:Are you dreaming? by dodobh · · Score: 4, Insightful

      As opposed to all those coal mines you don't see?

      --
      I can throw myself at the ground, and miss.
    11. Re:Are you dreaming? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Because it got cleaned up?

      Hu?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    12. Re:Are you dreaming? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "That either is bullshit or a /. myth or a new comming internet myth."

      Okay... let me amend my statement to one that is more accurate:

      "The spent fuel was kept in local storage units that were obviously not properly designed for it, rather than in a properly-designed storage facility."

      Does that make you happier? Only one word was changed from the meaning of what I originally wrote.

      "The more important thing is: the stored fuel was not involved in the main disaster."

      That's part BS, and part irrelevant. The spent rods WERE involved in the "main disaster", as it was particularly the fuel rods that they had trouble keeping cool to prevent fires and/or meltdowns.

      But even more to the point: in the long run, the spent rods are the main disaster: giving off more radiation and otherwise causing more problems than the reactor cores themselves. That link is only an example: you can find references from reputable sources to how bad the spent fuel rod problem has been, all over the internet. A few minutes with Google should suffice to show you that you are wrong about that.

      Further, we do know what to do with spent fuel; government just hasn't been willing to spend the money.

    13. Re:Are you dreaming? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      This "spend rod" problem you have basically in every nuclear plant on this planet.

      Do you really think in the USA or in germany or in the UK it is different?

      Yes, they had trouble to keep the "spend rods" cooled. But far less than with the core itself. Also the spend rods 'only' where problematic regarding fires, not regarding a melt down. The melt down happend in the core(s).

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    14. Re:Are you dreaming? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "This "spend rod" problem you have basically in every nuclear plant on this planet."

      That has absolutely no relevance to the point I made... except to reinforce that putting spent rods in these "temporary" holding pools is a stupid thing to do and a real problem that needs to be addressed.

      "Yes, they had trouble to keep the "spend rods" cooled. But far less than with the core itself. Also the spend rods 'only' where problematic regarding fires, not regarding a melt down. The melt down happend in the core(s)."

      Sorry. Wrong. Melting of the spent cores -- which could happen if the cores were kept wet but not cool enough -- was a very major concern. That's just one example. Again, reports of what was happening at those reactors were all over the internet. And I'm not just talking about stupid reporters, but comments by nuclear industry experts.

      Why not try looking things up sometime, rather than just pulling arguments out of the air?

    15. Re:Are you dreaming? by mellon · · Score: 1

      You are making the opposite of the point I think you intend to make. Improper storage of fuel at nuclear sites is the norm, not the exception, because nobody ever solved the storage problem. They built the plants before they had it solved. Because hey, why worry?

      The mismanagement at Fukushima is the norm, not the exception. If you look at actual reports of what goes on in these plants, it becomes clear that the reason we don't have more meltdowns is that the plants _are_ fairly safe, but unfortunately they are not safe enough, because they are operated by people who are trying to make money and who are indemnified against loss by the government of whatever country they are in.

      So yes, sure, the plants are very safe. But since they are not operated safely, it doesn't matter. Any UI design that assumes infallibility on the part of the operator will produce accidents. And here the UI is a very big target: the entire operational structure of the plant and the entire financial infrastructure of the organization that runs it. These UIs are not designed to fail safe, and history shows us that they do not. Until we figure out a way to solve that problem, every nuclear power plant is just a mind-bogglingly big accident waiting to happen.

    16. Re:Are you dreaming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So a nuclear accident has an impact on an area 40 miles across.

      As opposed to the CO2 which causes natural disasters across the planet, affecting everyone eventually.

      Oh, I forgot, climate change isn't happening.

    17. Re:Are you dreaming? by Fallingwater · · Score: 1

      When nuke plants create problems, they do so in flashy and dramatic ways, and instantly give major problems to thousands of people.
      Oil- and coal-fired powerplants do much more damage to many more people, but since it happens in a boring, long-term way that doesn't attract the media as much, people are much less afraid of them.

      Yes, nuclear can cause immense amounts of trouble, and finding where to keep the spent fuel is a major problem all by itself, but we have no choice - not as half of the world is starting to finally wake up and demand more and more energy. Unless someone makes cold fusion workable in a very short time, which seems exceedingly unlikely, OR someone finds out how to harvest solar power in a much (much much) more efficient way, we can either go nuclear or starve of energy.

    18. Re:Are you dreaming? by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      Actually it's because people oppose nuclear waste repositories every time we propose them. Yet nuclear waste is still being generated.

      For example: every hospital in Australia, as well as every university, has a shed or basement filled with nuclear waste. It's vital stuff for research and medicine, and not actually very dangerous individually, but it needs to be stored somewhere safe. And since even low and medium level stores can't be built, instead it's distributed everywhere.

      We could have simply shut down nuclear power plants after the first run of fuel when it became apparent that storage was not incoming, but they're far too useful for that and people don't want to spend the money to build or be near coal powerplants. So instead, out-of-sight-out-of-mind has prevailed. And the product? Global warming - climate change. Arsenic poisoning of local lands and the huge radiation release of brown coal powerplants. Soot choked air, heavy metal choked rivers.

      Nuclear is not the only power source to have this problem, but it has the most irrational fear attached to it while no one seems to worry about heavy metals in their water ways or soil (even though that's actually worse, since it's as bad as radiation, but undetectable remotely).

    19. Re:Are you dreaming? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Pffft ... did I hit an itching nerve of you?

      The reactor CORES did melt down!!!

      Do you forget that? The spend fuel rod storage DID NOT.

      WTF, did I say in any way it is sane to store stuff like this? No, I did not. So please reread or leave me alone.

      You dare to call an NYT article a " And I'm not just talking about stupid reporters, but comments by nuclear industry experts."???

      I did not pull any argument out of thin air ... in fact I assume I followed the disaster in Fukushima very closely.

      Perhaps with all your reading you mix up "theoretical problem" with "what actually happend"?

      The spend fuel storages where in danger but got cooled from the outside, not easy, but it worked.

      The reactor cores melted down ... because they could not cool them at all.

      You just claim that the molten down cores "are no problem" but that the stored fuel rods are one. In other word you imply that running a reactor is save if you don't put spend fuel rods under its roof.

      Perhaps I was unclear in my wording: reactor technology as we have it is not safe. Putting spend fuel rods under the roof however does not increase the "likelihood" of a catastrophe, only the impact (if at all).

      You however seem to be convinced that the storing of spend fuel rods is the main cause for trouble ...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    20. Re:Are you dreaming? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Why do nuclear apologists keep bringing up coal? It isn't the only other option you know.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    21. Re:Are you dreaming? by dodobh · · Score: 1

      Hydro? Your base load choices are hydro, geothermal, coal/natural gas and nuclear.

      --
      I can throw myself at the ground, and miss.
  78. efficiency by cekander · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The #1 thing we can do to combat energy inefficiency, which is the only thing we really need to do, is switch from an economy that maximizes profit at all costs, to one that minimizes waste. It's THAT simple. Seriously.

    The question is, how is this even possible? Well, we need a department of government that analyzes products and their life-cycles and somehow comes up with a waste quotient that takes into account production waste (this is where renewable energy use comes into play, and makes my post not off-topic) as well as product waste (so that companies will be incentivized to make products that last), and somehow work this into a tax scheme that eats into the profits. Boo-yah. Done

  79. More limits by Viadd · · Score: 1

    Once you hit Kardeshev-III, it's a long hard slog to M31, and that only buys you another doubling.

    1. Re:More limits by lavaboy · · Score: 1

      heh. or we just wait for M31 to come to us...

      --
      Steve -- If you have to call it a system, you don't know what it is.
  80. You don't by Nicolas+MONNET · · Score: 2

    You use fresh water in a closed circuit for steam, and you cool _that_ with seawater.

    1. Re:You don't by lightknight · · Score: 1

      Yes, but you'll still have somewhat corrosive salts touching metal pipes. With very few exceptions, that's a no-no.

      It's kind of why nuclear powerplants tend to use relatively pure water. The nuclear chemistry of that water, what is put into it, and where its value should fall whenever they test it is rather exact.

      --
      I am John Hurt.
  81. this is news? by khipu · · Score: 1

    Of course, power plants based on "renewable energies" consumes other resources. But those other resources (including water) can be obtained with energy that the plant produces. The idea is to have excess energy and sustainable output overall.

    Also, unless you think that technology is just going to stop dead in its tracks, we don't need eternally sustainable solutions, just solutions that work for the next decades or centuries. The history of humanity and progress has always been driven by unsustainable practices. Europe became big and powerful by turning its oil, minerals, and forests into technology, innovation, and conquest, and the same is happening on a global scale.

  82. article misses the point in many levels by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    While agreeing that energy consumption control is key in the (near) future, this article is flawed in so many levels that I do not know where to start.

    As mentioned before, if we run out of materials for doing PV (silicon, glass, some Aluminium and copper/silver), we are screwed, and those can be recycled easily, specially the metals, which are more scarce and expensive than silicon and glass.
    Solar thermal plants do have technical challenges in regard to water use, which in the desert may be discussed as consumption. Work to do.
    Wind and "rare" elements, somebody already debunked it- the magnets are there to be reused if the turbine is decommissioned, for Gods sake.
    Biomass grows back! However, it is true that its use is problematic due to environmental issues and food issues. It cannot be deployed to the infinite.
    Geothermal has to be made with care, but same applies to mining and look! there you have, fracking around... Work to do to improve!
    Water pumping is nice, but same as biomass, not applicable to the infinite.

    Thing is, if we do not start to apply renewables to a great extent, we are going to fuck up the planet, even more than we did already. So yes, stop driving SUVs, stop running your AC all day long, etc, but help with your decisions change the energy generation paradigm. And that is not done choosing a next president who would rather qualify for the loon than for Harvard, or one who is in bed with "big corporation".

  83. two words by charnov · · Score: 1

    Breeder reactors...

    --
    [RIAA] says its concern is artists. That's true, in just the sense that a cattle rancher is concerned about its cattle.
  84. Re:How much coal did you burn... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Today? you fucking hypocrite bitch. I love how NONE of you live by example

    If all the libtard, agw alarmist cult following religious freaks STOPPED USING THE COAL THEY DISPARAGE...

    The problem would be solved. So unplug your damn computer, turn off all your lights and take residence in a hole.

  85. Whatr we have by prefec2 · · Score: 2

    We have so called renewable energy source, which is obviouly limited due to the fact that the sun output does not increase significantly (and that is good) and the earth is not getting warmer inside. And we have limited resources. So no we cannot replace every car with a lithium-battery powered electrical engine. A) we do not have enough copper and b) we do not have enough lithium.

    So to switch to a sustainable way of life, we have to rethink transportation of electrity, goods, and humans. I personally find it very interesting that the average time used to get to ones job didn't change over the centuries. The faster we could go the longer the distances become. For a lot of office jobs, travel could be avoided or reduced, if people start working in offices closer to theri homes. If they are in a 20 minute walk or bicycle distance, you can skip the car. And you even could use busses or trams which can be implemented much more resource efficient than cars and even more personal cars.

    In short: Sustainability requires renewable energy, but it also needs resource efficieny.

  86. i always seen "renewable" energy like this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I mean the fuel source is renewable.. but so is oil.... just the rate it takes to make oil more is a hell of a lot slower than corn.
    Then you also have the energy needed to turn either non-renewable or renewable into a usable energy source. Some are cleaner than others, untill we can find a way to make energy clean and use clean sources, engery both non and renewable will be dirty

  87. Her point is demand needs to be lowered by trevelyon · · Score: 1

    I seem to have taken something different from the article than most. Yes, the author spends most of the time pointing out "the cost" of renewable energies but the last three paragraphs seem to sum up her take on it: consumption (i.e. demand) need to lower for it to be sustainable. She concedes that renewable are "often less damaging to the climate and create fewer toxic wastes than conventional energy sources" but merely points out that our demand (especially in light of ever increasing population) must decrease for it to have any meaning. Even using renewable energy technologies we need to cut how much we use for it to be sustainable. I believe that is the point she was making.

  88. Solar and Water by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    According to the article "California's Blythe Solar Power Project, which will be the world's largest when it opens in 2013, will require an estimated 600 acre-feet of groundwater annually for washing mirrors, replenishing feedwater, and cooling auxiliary equipment."

    In the same arid region they grow rice with irrigated water using literally millions of acre-feet of water so lets not get to crazy about the water costs. If they decided to grow a less water intensive crop than rice you could have enough water for solar for thousands of similar solar plants.

    I don't think we should discount costs of renewable in fact we should measure all the costs of pollution and emissions from mining of raw materials to the maintenance costs.

  89. NOT an excellent article by dr2chase · · Score: 5, Informative

    It's a misleading hack piece. First, 600 acre-feet of water per year to run a 1000-MW plant is diddly-shit. For comparison, a unit-home consumes about 1kw (averaged over a month, give or take a factor of two) and one acre-foot/year of water. So a plant supplying enough power for a million homes, which themselves consume a million acre-feet/year of water, will add 600 acre-feet/yr of water to their consumption. Whoopie-shit.

    Notice how no numbers were given for the geothermal plants and their consumption. The Geysers were initially run from in-place groundwater, which they did consume (there was no condensation, no recharge). Now they are being recharged, NOT with groundwater, but with treated sewage water. So the article was misleading there, too, since groundwater is no longer the limiting factor.

    She gives numbers for windpower resource consumption, but is again misleading. A "4-foot-wide, 7630 mile sidewalk". How do you suppose that compares to a single lane of interstate highway (12 feet wide) capable of carrying truck traffic? 636 miles of 4-lane interstate, NOT accounting for the increased road thickness. She repeats the "rare earth metals are rare" canard.

    Neodymium: "Although neodymium is classed as a "rare earth", it is no rarer than cobalt, nickel, and copper ore, and is widely distributed in the Earth's crust". She may be right about Dysprosium, at least with current magnet technology. It's not clear if it's necessary, or merely nice at current prices. Note that the current main consumption appears to be hybrid automobiles, not wind turbines. (Hybrid autos, not a good idea at present size.)

    Her treatment of hydropower is similarly deceptive -- first dismiss newer technologies as "experimental", then hammer on the problems of (some) hydropower installations. Wave power looks interesting. There's not too much that can go wrong with a buoy anchored to the bottom; we've got ample experience with them in their non-power-producing form.

    All of the article lacks a good "compared to what" -- how much water and concrete are consumed by existing energy production? What resources do they consume?

    So, NOT an excellent article.

  90. Do worry by munch117 · · Score: 1

    In a temperate climate, increased temperatures means higher agricultural production yields, which means lower resource contention, and fertile ground for peace and progress.

    The study linked to by the GP is about mostly-temperate China. All is well when the sun shines, but when the temperature falls and crop yields do the same, it's a disaster for a slow-adapting tradition-bound empire.

    Unfortunately, quite a lot of the world's population lives in tropical climates, where higher temperature is going to mean lower yields. And it doesn't help when resource contention is already high in these areas. So alas, the fairy tale of warmth and peace is not true - there is every reason to believe that global warming is going to lead to a less peaceful world.

    Checking Wikipedia, it seems "The Heartland Institute" that produced this fairy tale has a climate skeptic history. Not really surprised.

  91. I call bullshit. by tombeard · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I gotta see some backup for:
    "The gearbox of a two-megawatt wind turbine contains about 800 pounds of neodymium and 130 pounds of dysprosium "

    I've worked on a lot of gearboxes and several turbine/generator sets in my career as an ME. The gearbox on a 15MW gas turbine generator might weigh 1/2 a ton total and I assure you that is 90% iron and 10% oil. I think somebody seriously slipped a decimal point or two.

    --
    The reason we subjugate ourselves to law is to better procure justice. If law does not accomplish this purpose then it m
  92. CAISO - web page daily renewable utility contrib by mrflash818 · · Score: 2

    The CAISO ("The California ISO provides open and non-discriminatory access to the bulk of the state’s wholesale transmission grid") keeps a daily set of graphs on the utility generation demand, and contributions by renewables here:

    http://www.caiso.com/Pages/TodaysOutlook.aspx

    --
    Uh, Linux geek since 1999.
  93. Ok cool by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    let's just keep burning fossil fuels and coal then, who cares.

  94. Steady State Economics answers all this. by echtertyp · · Score: 1

    The real problem (if you read the article) is not the energy sources themselves, but using up all other other finite resources required to tap the sun, wind, etc. As long as one accepts infinite economic growth as indispensable, the resource problem won't go away. Happily, there is an answer, and it's been well thought through for over 3 decades: steady state economics. In a nutshell, you stop growing quantitatively (more and more oil burned, people born) but keep growing quantitatively (ever better use of a fixed , sustainable demand on the planet's resources and waste sinks). This is more widely known here in Europe, where the German federal president recognized the need for qualitative but not quantitative growth a while back. But the English-speaking world has some great intro resources too: check out Wikipedia of course, and a very accessible series of articles is available on http://www.steadystate.org./

  95. 4 billion years of life by fadethepolice · · Score: 2

    This guy is an idiot. There are NO citations for his calculations in the article. I would like to say that I am employed as a consultant to oil, and gas companies. Geothermal plants do not have to run off of steam produced by the earth. I have to run now as turkey is being served. Life on this planet has been using renewable energy for 4 billion years. The world has a shitload of water on it. We can move it to the desert. Renewable energy is the future of mankind. Our population will continue to increase. His take on everything is anti-humanity. As a humanist, I expect our energy use to increase along with our population while we simultaneously decrease our negative effects on the environment because that's how we roll.

  96. Re:Renewable or infinite? -- more equal than other by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So the take-away from this economics-ecology alarmism, is that there are too many humans ?
    Because energy resources are finite, and should only be usable by a select few ?

  97. Cement? by feranick · · Score: 1

    Something that always escape the discussion on the reduction of carbon emissions is the production of cement. As boring cement is, its production is one of the highest sources of carbon emissions due to high temperature processes required for the formation of calcium silicates (the main component of cement). Its contribution in carbon emissions is major at least in the tens of %. Yet, nobody talks about it. There is great research done and sponsored by the cement manufactures, but too little. As the needs for cement are rising as fast an our energy needs, one has to wonder when we start taking this problem seriously.

  98. Renewalbe Energy, still renewable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Solar panels don't generate energy, they capture energy from the sun (the sun being the power source). Wind turbines don't create wind, they draw energy from the wind (which is, again, the power source). Coal power plants burn coal for power. Nuclear power creates a nuclear reaction to generate power. See how that works?

    As always, the desperate pro-Pollution Industry propaganda is based on logical fallacies and fabricated results.

  99. They can go first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The author of the article should reduce global energy consumption by removing herself from the planet. The rest of us will follow suit.

  100. Crap that Fox News Would Publish by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is just the usual right wing propaganda. Don't listen to it for one big. It is sad to see such a respected organization stoop so low. Just like everybody has a car in their garage, once peak oil hits everyone will have a windmill and solar panel that will charge a whole house battery. One of the Google guys was saying that if you link windmills in different states that it would smooth out the bumps. Solar doesn't just end at night anymore with new technologies like storing the heat in salt. Please never ever give into crap posted on sites like www.junkscience.com and wattsupwiththat.com.

    http://www.popsci.com/science/article/2009-12/panasonic-will-market-li-ion-storage-battery-home-use-2011

    http://advantagessolarenergy.info/how-to-use-solar-energy-at-night-scientific-american/

    Nai Modnar

  101. Way to miss the point by OneAhead · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The point is that the whole shameful article is a cesspit of incorrect arguments, and that the author either has no knowledge in the field at all, or is biased - most probably both.
    - Photovolatic: the most important component of photovoltaic panels is silicon. It's one of the more abundant elements on earth. One can cover all landmass on earth with photovoltaics and still not run out. There are dopants in there that are less abundant, but only small quantities of them are required. Also, organic (as in carbon-based) photovoltaics are on the rise, which don't need said dopants. Also, at the end of the lifetime of a silicon-based panel, the silicon and dopants get recycled - they are way to valuable to throw away.
    - Thermal solar energy and geothermal power: (cooling) water requirement is equivalent to current thermal technologies (nuclear, coal, gas,...). Also, in the case of geothermal, one could make a closed-cycle plant; this would work especially well in colder climates.
    - Wind power: all electrical generators (except photovoltaic) contain magnets, so the argument goes agaist conventional energy as well. Also, the term "rare earths" is historical - we now know they are not really rare in the earth's crust.
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abundance_of_elements_in_Earth's_crust
    For instance, Neodynium is more abundant than for instance lead and tin. The problem with it is that it's hard to purify from natural deposits, so the annual supply is limited. Luckily, permanent magnets can be made from all kind of other materials, including abundantly available ones. The resulting generators will be somewhat heavier and less efficient, so it's currently cost-effective to use Neodynium, but if the price goes up, the industry will just switch to something else. Finally, these magnets are not consumed, they can be (and are) recycled or even reused in their original form.
    - Biomass: this is not my personal favorite, but even so, the article is overly gloomy about it. The surface used for biomass is not lost forever - it can readily be re-purposed for agriculture once it's needed (or better energy-producing technologies become available). Also, a lot of agricultural land is being used for growing animal fodder, which is quite a wasteful business; if we would just stop eating those excessive amounts of meat that are a contributing factor to the current heart disease epidemic and eat a bit more vegetable protein sources, we could easily feed ourselves from half as much farmland (and still get more than enough meat to eat for a healthy and enjoyable diet). Also, at some point, technology might become available to grow excellent animal-free meat in bioreactors, which would make meat production way more efficient.
    - Hydropower: just like silicon, the supply of concrete and steel is nearly inexhaustible. Yes, CO2 is emitted during the production thereof, but it's a tiny fraction of the CO2 that would be emitted when matching the lifetime energy production of the dam using fossil fuels. Also, building nuclear power plants also requires large quantities of concrete and steel (and given the current safety debate, they're still not using enough).

    I'm sure there's more fallacies to be found in the article, but again, the point is that the author is either a nitwit or terribly biased (presumably both).

  102. The simple solution is ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ... less humans. Might sound harsh but that's nature! A limitied pool of natural resources also limits the amount of humans which may be sustained.

  103. Renewables aren't Perfect, but Still Game Changers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Eh, nothing in there that we didn't already know. Renewable energy is not a deus ex machina for fixing our environmental problems. What else is new? Governments should still be focusing on using more renewables over conventional methods and should still be funding research into existing and new renewable energy forms. And of course we're going to have to reduce consumption. That's a given. We're going to have to reduce it quite a bit. But it's possible to reduce consumption a ton and still maintain a first world standard of living.

    The thing that really gets me going is that many forms of renewable energy can be used in a distributed manner! Not centralized power plants. It's possible to install enough solar panels on the roof of a suburban home to nearly completely power the home. They'll do it for a good twenty years or more, with out fuel inputs. In that time they will completely pay for themselves. That's a total game changer! It slices out a huge chunk of people's utility costs.

  104. Finite resources /= GHG emissions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Just because solar panels are produced using 'rare earth' minerals doesn't mean solar is the environmental equivalent of coal.

    First, the biggest problem with coal, oil and gas is the GHG emissions, not the scarcity of the fuel. Solar, wind and geothermal have very very low GHG emissions. Just because they may eventually be constrained by scarcity of essential materials doesn't negate this.

    Second, at least in relation to 'rare earths' which are the components most commonly cited as being finite (I haven't RTFA so I can't be sure this is their argument) they aren't very rare at all. They' re all over the place. There just aren't lots of commercially viable mines at current prices. That's mostly because China hasn't enforced very strict environmental regulations, so Chinese rare earth mines have brought the cost of those minerals way down. That's changing because the Chinese people are sick of having toxic rivers and birth defects. The only result is on the market is slightly higher prices and some non-Chinese mines become viable again.It doesn't mean that suddenly solar panels can't be produced.

    Without reading it, I can guarantee that this article is FUD.

  105. Sterling engines.. by Paracelcus · · Score: 1

    Easy to build and will run on any heat source from reflected sunlight to biomethane to peat or alcohol.
    And the village blacksmith can build one, no factory needed!

    --
    I killed da wabbit -Elmer Fudd
    1. Re:Sterling engines.. by gestalt_n_pepper · · Score: 1

      These will be good for distributed local power, eventually. At the moment, they're not economically viable.

      --
      Please do not read this sig. Thank you.
    2. Re:Sterling engines.. by Paracelcus · · Score: 1

      Economics are NOT APPLICABLE!

      #1, You are rural
      #2, You are "not wealthy" = poor
      #3, You know or are a blacksmith/machinist
      #4, You need power
      #5, You build a small power plant for your village

      Money? We don't need no stinking money!

      --
      I killed da wabbit -Elmer Fudd
    3. Re:Sterling engines.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Who run Bartertown!?"

    4. Re:Sterling engines.. by gestalt_n_pepper · · Score: 1

      But economics are applicable *now* eh? How many sterling engine manufacturers are there? Even in the third world, people still favor Lister engines and will as long as liquid hydrocarbons or cheap biodiesel are available.

      --
      Please do not read this sig. Thank you.
    5. Re:Sterling engines.. by Paracelcus · · Score: 1

      You just don't get it, if a villager in Afghanistan can replicate an AK47 from bar stock and wood with the resources of a country machine shop/blacksmith the same fellow could build a Stirling engine that runs on reflected sunlight or waste heat.

      I can't stand technology snobs that think that because they have no mechanical ability (with a master/doctorate in somthing) that someone who might not have a sixth grade education can create complex machines with few resources!

      --
      I killed da wabbit -Elmer Fudd
    6. Re:Sterling engines.. by gestalt_n_pepper · · Score: 1

      I hear what you're saying, but I think you're missing the point. If sterling engines at all scales were ubiquitous, then we avoid the whole problem of having to have them cobbled up post-collapse by the local smithy, which will inevitably happen.

      Unfortunately, the mindless properties of capitalism prevent this from happening because sterling engines won't turn a profit tomorrow, and tomorrow is as far as most business people see.

      --
      Please do not read this sig. Thank you.
    7. Re:Sterling engines.. by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, the mindless properties of capitalism prevent this from happening because sterling engines won't turn a profit tomorrow, and tomorrow is as far as most business people see.

      1) scratch "business" out of there
      2) economics states that if you're doing well, and there is an inevitable global collapse coming, which will impact everyone equally ... that you should ... try to accelerate and worsen the collapse.

      Even if the collapse can be avoided the case can easily be made that a global collapse will not impact villages in afghanistan much (they're dead either way), yet it will impact their competitors (ie. you, me) hugely, resulting in a huge net benefit for them (their skills will gain enormous amounts of value as a result of the collapse).

      Sadly a misguided interpretation of economics that's at fault here, not so much short-term view of people. Economic collapse would be hugely inconvenient for everyone in an advanced society, which is only about ~50% of the human race (and that's counting the huge amount of people that may live in an "advanced" city but don't have the living conditions that exist in the US, otherwise, I doubt you'll make 30%). For the rest of the human race, it would probably be a huge boon.

      Furthermore, you should travel to Africa once. Compare a Stirling engine (you will find them, built by a well-meaning monk, for example) to a diesel engine. Diesel engines are nice little things. You supply the fuel, and they almost maintain themselves. Stirling engines are twitchy, unreliable little things that require constant problem-solving, cleaning, ... to keep them running. Their speed is far from constant, their torque is far from constant, ... And a diesel engine "works like the west" : you don't have to do anything, they do the work for you (mostly).

      So the diesel engines you find are mostly operational, the Stirling engines, despite being "free" to run, are rusted broken down remains. I have little doubt that an American village would probably choose to run a Stirling engine in a pinch, if they didn't have money for the fuel. African villagers will simply do nothing at all.

      African people aren't nearly as dumb as you think. They fully understand that the only way they're ever going to work themselves up to the living standard "in the west" is by massive aid. And they're perfectly aware that to get more aid, they need to get in more serious trouble. As long as you think it's their knowledge/intelligence that is the problem, your solutions will fail. The problem is that if they don't *have* to do something (absolutely positively have to do it for survival that is) they won't. Doing nothing brings planes with the letters "US" on their hulls that drop almost ready-made west-quality bread from the sky. Making their own bread ... well you should go there and taste it once. Maniok. Brrrrrrr ...

      Try to see the perspective of people outside of the west. Think about it. You should not do this to "make your peace" with having a collapse, but because it will enable you to see how you can actually fix the problem. How you can make sure that incentives change, which will eventually change people and might (might) prevent the collapse here. Saying that some easy piece of technology is the solution and looking for conspiracies ... will make things worse.

      The real problem is that we have 7 billion people on this planet, and we can only "use" about 1-2 billion of them ("provide jobs for" if you want to use the lefty terminology), a number that is rapidly going down. If no solution is found ... let's just say nature will adapt, and you know perfectly well what I mean by that. That's what's at stake, and there is no "quick fix".

    8. Re:Sterling engines.. by Paracelcus · · Score: 1

      You have absolutely no knowledge whatsoever about engines, do you?

      So, professor, what discipline are you credentialed in?

      --
      I killed da wabbit -Elmer Fudd
  106. Complete crap nonsense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How can such a suggestion be published here while we are witnessing the biggest hike in emissions in history, crap!

  107. Silly by jbolden · · Score: 1

    The article is basically saying that green energy does bad stuff though in lesser amounts than traditional energy. Which means that as consumption grows bad stuff must grow too. It isn't really an argument against green energy so much as against energy utilization growth which is incredibly popular.

  108. E-Cat by Physician · · Score: 1

    I thought the E-Cat was about to solve all our energy needs.

    --
    Does God treat us as servants or friends? Check my homepage.
    1. Re:E-Cat by gestalt_n_pepper · · Score: 1

      I thought it was pink unicorns and fairies. There's about as much of chance of them being real as E-cat, after all. :)

      --
      Please do not read this sig. Thank you.
  109. Re:Er. Hmmm. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    > why, exactly, would you want magnets in a gearbox?

    Magnets are used in some gearboxes as "chip collectors", which a "chip detector" can sense to alert for contamination or impending failure of the gearbox.

  110. My computer runs on nuke by Nicolas+MONNET · · Score: 1

    gfy

  111. I demand that hydroelectric is the solution by artifactual · · Score: 1

    The three biggest power stations in the world are all hydroelectric.
    Norway, Brazil, Venezuela, and Canada all get more than 60% of their electricty from hydro, and in Norway's case it's more than 98%
    There are already a lot of dams that don't have power stations attached, so you could replace/upgrade them without adding to the overall land use.
    And here comes the one that's different from the other ones: The plants can stop floods.
    What's not to like? Blocking sediment: There are ways to let the sediment through (see three gorges dam) and these can probably be improved further. Habitat destruction: Ok good point, but you don't have to keep mining for coal, uranium, etc. Virtually everything humans build will destroy the natural habitats of other species, but in this case it's a one-off finite use of an area for long term energy production.

  112. its about consumption Vs creation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    IF people consume more energy than what can be produced then there is going to be serious issues as the population grows!

  113. Coal could be clean. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why do smoke stacks point up? If the exhaust from coal plants could be deposited 30 miles below the Earth's surface... would they still be contributing to greenhouse gasses?

  114. Total BullSh*t by youngone · · Score: 1

    Stupid article makes stupid claims like "Wilderness is not renewable once roads and power-line corridors fragment it." Which is stupid. Don't trees grow back? All the bush I've seen with power lines through are regenerating nicely. Stupid article.

  115. Re:There is even better article by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    Comparison on a per capita level is very useful when you compare New York with Bangkok or Mexico City or Tokyo.

    It does not make so much sense if you compare a very smal town close to the arctic circle in the first world with a hugh town close to the equator in the second or third world.

    In fact I don't really get your point ... you have a better as in "more useful" measurement? Go ahead and tell us.

    This however:

    ... also exist alongside groups which love population growth. ...

    is utter nonsense. Except the catholic church no one loves "population growth".

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  116. Retire the old reactors by symbolset · · Score: 1

    If the nuclear industry were willing to retire more of these T-Rex reactors before they blow up, people might be less resistant to letting them build new ones. But they aren't.

    --
    Help stamp out iliturcy.
    1. Re:Retire the old reactors by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      If the nuclear industry were willing to retire more of these T-Rex reactors before they blow up, people might be less resistant to letting them build new ones. But they aren't.

      If the nuclear industry could get regulatory approval to build a new plant without the anti-nuke nutjobs screaming and suing, perhaps they'd be able to actually build new plants.

      And note that if you turn off the old plant before the new one is built, you're looking at a lot more coal being burnt for a decade (or two, including lawsuits) while the new plant is built (or not, including lawsuits).

      Let's try an alternate method - build a new plant, shut an old one down as soon as the new one goes online.

      Or an even better one - build three new plants, shut two old plants plus one coal plant down as soon as the three new ones go online. Lather, rinse, repeat.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    2. Re:Retire the old reactors by symbolset · · Score: 1

      That'll work. Or even just shut down one old creaker and one coal plant for each three new nuclear plants - our energy needs aren't going to go down.

      Work that into the plant approvals process and it looks like a winner.

      --
      Help stamp out iliturcy.
  117. This article is really stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It makes a whole bunch of unsupported assertions and ignores facts. It's a blatantly one-sided article from the journal of atomic scientists.

    Nuclear energy astro-turfing is UTTERLY DISGUSTING. The people starting these discussions have a vested interest and should not posted to /.

    Deny that.

    1. Re:This article is really stupid by Hartree · · Score: 1

      "Nuclear energy astro-turfing is UTTERLY DISGUSTING."

      Huh?!?

      What are you smoking? Or are you really just that ignorant?

      The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists is one of the best known ANTI-nuclear publications.

      From their own "about" page:

      "The Bulletin publishes information from leading scientists and security experts who explore the potential for terrible damage to societies from human-made technologies.
      We focus as well on ways to prevent catastrophe from the malign or accidental use of nuclear, carbon-based, and biology-based technologies."

      You have a serious lack of clue, AC.

  118. Re:Power plants are much more efficient than engin by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

    Heck, you can just equate money to energy for the sake of argument, and look at the actual cost to drive a gas-powered car 40 miles, versus an electric car. Any handwaving analysis of the costs of these two rides will easily show the EV to be the winner in terms of money, and there's a good reason for that: it really does use that much less energy, even neglecting the differences in subsidies/taxes between gasoline and electric generation.

  119. Buulllllshit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    QTD says classical thermodynamics is wrong. L2cope.

    1. Re:Buulllllshit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      O rly?

      "During the 20th century, the laws of mechanics have been profoundly modified by two major revolutions in our understanding of natural sciences: quantum theory and relativity. The laws of thermodynamics, instead, have survived both revolutions, unaltered and strengthened."

      http://www.quantumthermodynamics.org/

  120. Biomass plants by dj245 · · Score: 1

    I spent a summer working at a biomass plant. The plant had originally been designed to operate on peat, but it was determined that the peat was too wet to be commercially viable. And the plant was mothballed for a decade.

    When I arrived there, they were burning wood chips. Except they needed 40 18-wheeler trucks a day (approx 1600 tons) to make about 20MW. This is a pretty big logistical problem for a piddly 20MW. There were a lot of problems at that place, but the principal one was the fuel handling system wasn't any good, and it wasn't economically viable anyhow- it would have been cheaper to just burn the diesel fuel that the 40 trucks/day were burning instead of the wood. And it would have been more environmentally friendly also.

    # Existing coal plants can be converted at relatively low cost to use biomass power
    # The ashes can simply be spread on the biomass farming areas to replenish minerals in the soil (compare to coal ash, which cannot be used in this way)

    Existing coal plants would need a different fuel handling system. Coal pulverizers are designed to pulverize coal, not biomass. They may, depending on the boiler design, require a partial or complete boiler retrofit in order to burn biomass. This would cost a few hundred millions of dollars for an average 500MW coal unit. I am not an expert on permitting, but they might need permit re-approval or a new permit to switch fuels. This would cost millions of dollars and is not a sure thing.

    EPA says that you can not spread the ashes on the ground. When I worked at the wood-chip fired plant, the company was fined heavilly by the EPA for letting their ash containers overflow onto the ground, and not keeping the ash on a pad with a water barrier. Fly ash is nasty stuff.

    Recently I visited a new coal plant under construction in western Virginia (not West Virginia). They did not have a rail line (yet), so were anticipating approximately 500 trucks a day of coal, plus about 100 trucks a day of lime when they started operations. This is approximately a 500MW plant. I'm not sure they can be economically viable with trucking all their fuel in- I have never heard of a coal power station without rail on site. The good thing about coal is it generally comes out of a hole in the ground, so you can usually use rail to move it. With Biomass, the source is spread out more so trucks are generally required.

    --
    Even those who arrange and design shrubberies are under considerable economic stress at this period in history.
  121. Cost competitive != scalable by gestalt_n_pepper · · Score: 1

    Renewable energy sources may be cost competitive, but they will never scale fast enough to replace oil, gas and coal in our lifetime. We can't run a civilization of the type we have now on it (possibly a good thing). You can review the numbers here to find out what that would take (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cubic_mile_of_oil).

    There's an irony here lost on most people concerned with renewable energy. The reason every river isn't dammed and every square foot of arable land hasn't been farmed for palm oil and sugar cane is because oil, natural gas and coal exist. If hydrocarbons weren't there, we'd have exploited every natural energy source to support an exploding human population and the ecology be damned. Hydrocarbons have, so far, saved what natural ecology is left, and will continue to do so since desequestering hydrocarbons will eventually cycle them back into the ecosphere. Short term effects of that desequestration will suck (acid rain, etc.). Long term, much better.

    --
    Please do not read this sig. Thank you.
  122. Get into space is the answer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Mine a few asteroids. Erect solar collectors in space, have spaced based factories using space-based sources of materials to make stuff. This article is assuming we've only got one planet, which will be true so long as we don't take the plunge.

    Here is the really scary thing:

    Getting into space needs vast resources. We have to do it _now_ before we use up the fossil fuel. We have to jump start the space-based economy while the earth-based one can afford it. If we don't the window will close, effectively forever because all the resources will go into battling climate shift, in feeding 8+ billion people, and so on. And the oil takes how many millions years to 'regrow'?

    Long term is not 10 years or 50. It's 2000. If we want to have a developed economy with all the tech we love so much but that can persist indefinitely in terms of its resource usage (THAT is what sustainable means -- indefinitely), there are really two alternatives. Wipe out 90% of the Earth's population (and keep it down there), or get into space. Anything else is ultimately lost in the noise.

  123. Usless argument against Renewable Energy solutions by tyrione · · Score: 1

    We're in the infancy of this new era of Energy production away from fossil fuels. Come back in 10 years and look at the article's premise to the direction R&D has led to new, more efficient and more benign solutions to Green Energy. Hell, in 18 months what is created today will look archaic.

  124. Homer the Liar by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No, no we don't. Of course everyone keeps harping on them, but this isn't the 1800's. We have new physical theories of the universe now, and the contradict the laws of thermodynamics.

    1. Re:Homer the Liar by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Really? There's a tested theory that contradicts the laws of thermodynamics?? News to me.

      I think you've got a Nobel prize waiting for you if you can demonstrate that.

  125. Cherry picking by Dasher42 · · Score: 2

    There's a lot of cherry picking here with a valid point in the end that the ridiculously wasteful way we use energy right now can't continue. However, the points made do not serve as the hit piece on renewable energy that someone along the chain seems to want. I would expect this of the Atomic Scientists: they're by definition interested in yet another fuel that is only created by supernovae, and is not renewable. They're on the wrong end of this debate, muddying the issue.

    Renewables are renewable but within a specific timeframe. You have to tailor your way of life to resources that can renew at least at the rate you're consuming them, or else you're creating an energy deficit. If you're liquidating other resources like the environment doing it, you're screwing humanity's future, and you have to adjust to that. There is no other option for the long term.

    They're cherry picking a couple of really badly done attempts to characterize the entire concept of cleaner, greener electricity. A bunch of solar panels out in the desert is not a good example of renewable energy done right. It's not cost-effective, whereas concentrated solar thermal is in that setting. Solar panels, however, can go places that other power generators can't, and this means you can generate power onsite, eliminating waste due to resistance of the grid. They aren't the full answer.

    You could do solar thermal - or you could build with heavily insulated windows and thermal mass to let the sun heat your home and water to where your requirements from electricity sources should be minimal. You can also use thermal mass and basic convection for cooling. I know firsthand: I've stood outside a strawbale home on a 90 degree day and had goosebumps from air cooled by a huge northern wall that was kept out of the sun flowing down into an enclosed garden with a solid fence around it and plants respirating, all of which combined to cool part of the outdoors more than adequately. That only cost what it took to build: straw, plaster, and rebar. The investment is good for at least the owner's lifetime.

    The other thing is excessively part things out. If you have a woodstove that's your home's backup heat, your cooking, your hot water, that's your answer when solar and wind aren't there for you for a lot of things. If you burn at the right temperatures to create pyrolysis and generating biochar, you're getting more from that biomass and creating your fertilizer for plants you'll presumably be replenishing and fertilizing so that not a drop of sun goes to waste. The maximum uptake of energy through living, renewing systems is key, and we have to respect how good nature has gotten at that and play along.

    Digging up hydrocarbons from hundreds of millions ago to burn wastefully, that's what these authors should be targeting. We all know it on some level. I'm tired of the denial and false logic keeping it going just so the oil companies can have their business model, consequences be damned.

  126. Re:Power plants are much more efficient than engin by Smidge204 · · Score: 1

    It takes 7.5 kWh of energy to produce a gallon of gasoline. Put into an EV, that 7.5kWh is good for at least 22 miles of driving, and perhaps 45 miles or more in the hands of a skilled driver in favorable conditions. In other words, an EV can generally go as far on just the energy needed to make a gallon of gas as a traditional vehicle can go actually burning that same gallon.
    =Smidge=

  127. Re:Power plants are much more efficient than engin by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

    WTF? This is total BS. There's a lot more than 7.5kWh in a gallon of gasoline. The fact that it's already been made by millions of years of evolution is irrelevant, and the amount of energy needed to make gasoline is constantly going up as extraction costs rise (i.e., tar sands require far more energy for extraction than pumping out of the ground in Texas).

  128. Re:Power plants are much more efficient than engin by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

    Oh wait, I do see where you're going with this, because the cost of the fuel equates to the energy needed for extraction. Nevermind the BS comment.

    Even so, the numbers I've seen generally show EVs at a significantly lower cost-per-mile than gas cars, and as gas prices rise (which they will), this advantage will grow larger.

  129. Infornative? So ignorant that it's entertaining by dbIII · · Score: 3, Informative

    The water in the reactor loop just keeps on going around the loop without getting released, barring a rare leak, and isn't a huge volume of water anyway. It's expensive water because it's been treated with a lot of chemicals to remove anything that is going to corrode the pipework. The same holds for the water in the turbine loop - that doesn't get thrown away either. For the same heat output it really doesn't matter if it's BWR, PWR, molten salt or even non-nuclear as far as water consumption goes.
    The huge amounts of water required is a consequence of the advantage that nuclear power has over other forms of thermal power generation and you can't really use less without giving up that advantage. That advantage is the high temperatures and the large temperature difference that give you. That means a lot of cooling so you need a LOT of water available. That's really just a siting problem and only limits where you can put the reactors because the water isn't actually lost - just heated up. With a large river, lake or on the seashore the used cooling water can be released in such a way that it makes little difference.

  130. The heat is exchanged but not the water by dbIII · · Score: 1

    It means seawater cooled thermal power plants are more expensive and generally a pain - but there have been lot of them for a long time with an even longer history of seawater coolant on ships and the problems are known and managed.
    It does appear that you are considering a simplistic idea of thinking ALL the water used is the same. It isn't. Even fairly clean fresh water has a lot of dissolved solids that you don't want to get into your boiler water, and most nuclear plants have reactor coolant and inner water loops as well which never go anywhere near the turbines let alone the cooling water.
    The cooling water I've had the most to do with (at an inland coal fired plant) was full of diatoms and algae - not the sort of stuff you want going through the turbines. Stuff grows in those cooling towers.

  131. Now that is amusing by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Are you aware of how long it takes to build a nuclear power plant? Don't blame it on Government or hippies - it takes a long time in China and India as well.
    There isn't a completed example of the 1980s AP1000 design yet.

  132. Concern troll article? Not really. by Ranger · · Score: 1

    At first reading this blurb I thought, "Ah another concern troll." but when I went to the article it was posted on the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists website. The essay isn't nearly long enough and I don't have time to deconstruct it, but the author does have some valid points to make. I say we need to transition to less destructive and more sustainable forms of energy and transform our lifestyle to using less resources. And we really need to think through the implications of what "renewable energy" really means.

    --
    "You'll get nothing, and you'll like it!"
  133. To put things simply by dbIII · · Score: 1

    A leak of very hot stuff touching water can result in a steam explosion (yes, I've got the audacity to use Chenobyl as an example) instead of a chemical explosion. A leak can make things blow up. There are other mechanisms as well when you have hot things under pressure - if they escape suddenly and cause a lot of damage that is an explosion by definition.
    It's only worth attempting to be some sort of pedant if you check to see if you are correct first.

    1. Re:To put things simply by tp1024 · · Score: 1

      I keep reading about things touching water in places where there is no water. Strange.

  134. Can't draw pictures for the slow on Slashdot :( by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Steam is made out of boiled water.
    Is that clear enough?
    I can't draw pictures here.

    I'll bet it wasn't clear enough to stop you pretending to be very stupid in order to make some point, so I'd better point out that it's steam that spins the turbines which spin the generators and make the electricity. That's how thermal power stations of all kinds work whether it's nuclear or anything else.
    There's more. Really hot stuff often has to be kept cool so that it will last for a useful period of time. Water often gets used for that.
    Understand?

    1. Re:Can't draw pictures for the slow on Slashdot :( by tp1024 · · Score: 1

      First of all: You don't need steam spin a turbine. In fact, it is more efficient not to use water steam, provided that you have a high enough temperature to begin with. in this case, you can use a Brayton Cycle turbine with CO2 as your working gas.

      But even if you insist on using steam turbines, there is nothing to stop you from using two heat exchangers to decouple the (radioactive) coolant flow inside the reactor from the water heated outside of the containment. In this case, if water get in contact with anything hot, it won't be anywhere near the reactor, there won't be any radioactivity involved. It would be a mess, it would be an accident, but not a nuclear one.

    2. Re:Can't draw pictures for the slow on Slashdot :( by dbIII · · Score: 1
      OK so you are shifting the goalposts from the general to the specific and not existing yet - fair enough with warning but a bit of a weasel trick without it.
      Second:

      there is nothing to stop you from using two heat exchangers to decouple the (radioactive) coolant flow inside the reactor from the water heated outside of the containment

      WTF do you think is already done?

      if water get in contact with anything hot, it won't be anywhere near the reactor, there won't be any radioactivity involved. It would be a mess, it would be an accident, but not a nuclear one.

      I mentioned the Chenobyl steam explosion not far above so you appear to have a very short attention span :(
      If you are going to pretend to "correct" people please at least attempt to get a clue yourself first if you don't want to appear to be both stupid and lazy.

    3. Re:Can't draw pictures for the slow on Slashdot :( by tp1024 · · Score: 1

      If you read the fourth comment in this thread, which I wrote long before your initial comment, you will find the following:

      "As to contact with water causing problems, well, just keep water out of the containment - using either gas-driven turbines or a tertiary coolant loop. (That's part of "moderately well designed".)"

      I didn't shift any goal posts, it's just that you're blind to the goal posts I set long ago.

    4. Re:Can't draw pictures for the slow on Slashdot :( by dbIII · · Score: 1

      You've reposted a bit that shows you are far out of your depth here. Perhaps by "moderately well designed" you mean completely ignore reality and how annoyingly inconvenient it is?
      I also suggest you actually read the post by another above - the one where HF isn't as bad as it gets. Also the French and Russians haven't yet found a decent solution to the liquid metal embrittlement problems you get with using other coolants and nobody else has even seriously tried.
      Now do you get why I thought I'd have to write to you as if you were a child? That's some pretty stupid stuff you've been spreading around by pretending it's all a solved problem.

  135. Re:How much coal did you burn... by ryanov · · Score: 1

    This is a moronic argument. What you're saying is that all I can do is stop using energy entirely until clean energy sources become more widespread? How about opting to pay more for solar/wind generated power and using as little power as you can? I don't find anything terribly hypocritical about that, or see why I shouldn't be allowed to argue for cleaner energy in the meantime.

  136. Terrible article, only handwaving, no numbers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    That article does everything wrong that a science-related article possible can. For everyone who doesn't blindly trust in handwaving arguments, I highly recommend Tom Murphy's blog "do the math": http://physics.ucsd.edu/do-the-math/

  137. One more thing to head you off at the pass by dbIII · · Score: 1

    If you were taking this seriously you would have considered some of the "interesting" liquid sodium cooling incidents that the French had. If you have a lot of heat to get rid off bad stuff happens unless you take care to stop it happening. Pretending that something is inherently safe when it is not is somewhat dishonest.

    1. Re:One more thing to head you off at the pass by tp1024 · · Score: 1

      I'm not talking about sodium. I haven't said a word about sodium. It's an entirely different material, they neither belong to the same group of chemicals nor do they contain the same atoms. They don't have the same chemical reactions. And I'm not being dishonest for not talking about the properties of molten Na-metal, when I'm talking about LiF and BeF2 salts. You don't blame people working with concrete for not mentioning the flammability of wooden structures either.

      Keep talking to yourself, I'll stop talking to you, that's for sure.

  138. Here's why you're wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    At the beginnging of nuclear power era it was a design principle that used-up uranium rods would be sent to repreocessing plants for reenrichment. HOWEVER, as it turned out, the reprocessed rods increasingly accumulate Uranium 236 which weakens their energy-generation efficiency. So much so that it affects economics of energy production.It was observerd as early as the seventies that nuclear power plants prefer fresh uranium rods to reprocessed ones - for less of them are needed to produce a given amount of energy, and so it costs less. And so the used-up rods problem arose which is present until today - the rods are stored in many places and pose a real threat to the environment. For an excellent reference try reading "The Curve of Binding Energy" - it's an excellent book even though it was first published in 1974. It describes the life and the career of Theodore B. Taylor, one of the most bright scientists of the U.S. nuclear program.

  139. I don't really see the problems in wind/solar powe by whoisisis · · Score: 1

    In wind power, yes, you use rare earth materials. But at end of life, these can be recycled. It's not like we throw
    the rare earth materials into space when we're done with them.

    Solar power uses ground water in deserts. Does this even run out? I mean, ground water is there because it rains or comes in from the sea.
    Evaporating water from solar panels still make it into rain and so the cycle should continue.

    What's the fuss?

  140. So no coolant then? by dbIII · · Score: 1

    So no water as coolant, no sodium, no liquid metal cooling? So it just stay hot until it melts it's way out?
    Back to school with you!

  141. I don't see any myth about renewable energy. by master_p · · Score: 1

    Is it a myth that it is renewable? it is not. For 4 billion years, the big star near our planet can provide plenty of energy; while technically not infinite, it can certainly provide much energy.

    Is it a myth that it needs infrastructure? it is not. Old materials may be recycled and create new infrastructure. At some point in the future, the very same energy that is extracted from renewable sources will be used to recycle and reuse old infrastructure, just like with oil.

    Is it a myth that it needs water? it is not. But water is plenty on our planet. 70% of it is filled with water.

    So why does this article exist? what does it bring to the table? should we abandon renewable energy just because it is difficult to create it cheaply now? if we abandon it, and we don't have any more oil in a few hundred years, we will go back to the stone age.

  142. Low cost and plentiful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oil, natural gas, and coal are cheap and plentiful. Man-made global warming is the real myth.

  143. ad hominem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    n/t

  144. Not sure the author's intentions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's "The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists" and they are, from what I understand, watchdogs of nuclear power and weapons. It's possible there may be some shills in the mist. Like NPR was once considered fairly left, but moved ever rightward through fiscally conservative and outright Republican managers. Now it's synonymous with Nice Polite Republicans.

    On the other hand, perhaps more likely, the author thought they needed to do the same about warning about the potential downsides of "renewable energy" as they have about the problems of nuclear energy.

  145. Rebutal to the Myth. by ResidentSourcerer · · Score: 1

    I respectfully disagree with some of Ms. Stover's points.

    Overall there seems to be some confusion between "Renewable" "Zero Impact" and "Expandable indefinitely"

    Some of this confusion is in the public mind. I'll agree that many people consider "renewable" to mean "until the sun grows cold" Meanwhile there are some low impact resources that do run out after a few decades.

    Yes, even renewable sources have a cost of operation. That does not mean they are a bad idea.

    Let's take another look:

    1. The Blythe solar project is expected to use 600 acre feet of water per year. To put that in perspective that is the amount of water to irrigate 120 acres of tomatoes in California's San Joachin valley. I live near a 2 GW coal fired power plant. For cooling they have a 3 square mile pond. In our climate a dugout evaporates about 4 feet a year. So just the evaporative losses alone account for roughly 7200 acre feet per year. Given that the pond is about half uncovered even in midwinter, I suspect that the additional evaporation from it being hotter water than a farmer's dugout raises this evaporative amount considerably.

    Yes, water is more scarce in the desert. However compare the water use by the power plant compared to the water used by either industry or the residents that will use that power.

    I'll agree the solar PV power is a marginally green technology at this time.

    Report card:
    Renewable: Long term.
    Impact: Water use -- on the order of 1/10 that of conventional power.
    Expansion: Moderate. Very large expansion can alter local climate and heat balance. (Solar thermal is overall darker than native desert, so the area will experience an overall temperature increase.

    Geothermal:
    Geothemal can use injected water, but depending on the nature of the hot rock formation, they will cool off the rocks. There is some work being done on drilling in very hot rock. This would mean that, like some classes of water well, each well has a finite life span.

    Report card:
    Renewable: Each installation has a limited lifespan. Use of directional drilling technology may allow each installation to harvest the heat from several cubic miles of crust.
    Impact: Requires reinjection of water. The use of air cooled condensers (Like at the Blythe project above) would reduce this considerably.
    Expansion: Natural sites fairly rare. Quite expandable when we can drill hot rock.

    Wind Power.

    Citing the rare earth magnets as a non-recoverable cost is disingenuous. They would be reused in the next turbine. And they aren't that rare. They are just difficult to separate. The concrete is not much concrete. Many cities have at least 8000 miles of sidewalk..

    Report card:
    Renewable: Indefinately.
    Impact: Cost of construction is significant. Given their relatively short lives, it may make sense to use steel pylons for foundations. My understanding is that they have short lives because the tech keeps improving, and that after 3-4 years it is worth replacing a 2 MW unit with a 5 MW unit because they already have the site permits, and the power line right of way. There is a good market for used wind turbines. Good sites are rare, and usually not convienient to consumption. Requires extensive power grid infra-structure increases.
    Expansion: Lots of room for expansion. Windfarms can co-exist with other agricultural use.

    Biomass:
    Argueably the best way to use biomass is with the residue of regular crops. A good case can be made for extracting syngas from any biomass feed stock, and returning the charcoal to the land to create terra pretta. Some research needs to be done to see if this is viable in temperate climates. There are methods for fermenting celluose using a bacterial process for breaking the cellulose into sugar, then yeast to make alchohol. This is a much more complex process than distallation for syngas.

    I have also seen the numbers (Scientific American, many years ago) that for a Tennessee based power plant t

    --
    Third Career: Tree Farmer Second Career: Computer Geek First Career: Teacher, Outdoor Instructor, Photographer.
  146. Re:Scale - Musings of Common Sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Agreed, creating centralized power for 7 Billion is a monumental task. The population levels are always a wildcard in trying to figure out how to change the power systems of the world. However, there is one inescapable fact that I think we can all agree on: current energy production methods will not last forever. Oil and Coal will eventually run out and they do make a mess in the mean time. I, however, will not accept that this excuses us from attempting to tackle the problem at as many levels as we possibly can. I also don't lend much credence to arguments that state the problem without offering anything to address it. Status quo is intellectually lazy in my opinion. There are several angles we can take to mitigate the problem and some simple population measures we can take to at least buy us more time if not reduce population levels outright.

    Rather than focus solely on how to centrally generate power for the masses, I prefer to think in terms of self sustainability. I don't like depending on anyone for my power, water, etc... If I make my own power, grow my own food, etc..., I am not as much of a subject of the state. I think of it like an insurance policy against natural disaster, economic fluctuations, infrastructure failures, etc... Now, similar to the larger problem, I would have to spend a huge amount of money/ time making myself completely self sustaining. The idea here is to move in that direction tackling it in small steps. A 700 Watt windmill and 300 Watts of solar step me in the right direction and reduce my dependance. It can also help feed an electric car, further freeing me from dependance and reduce the mess I make. I think people loose sight of this aspect when they argue back and forth regarding "earth sustainability". From this perspective any movement toward self sufficiency within your means is worth it as it affects you directly. At an absolute level, dependency feels like servitude. You must depend on someone else (in increasing amounts every year) whom you don't know to take care of you and hope they are competent to do so.

    Now in the larger picture, many live at density levels that don't allow for many of these technologies. Living in an apartment doesn't allow for wells, solar, or wind. This is where we can focus the green infrastructure efforts. In this way, the scale of necessary energy needs can be reduced by focusing on a smaller population. We are already moving in this direction but the idea is to create incentives for those with some land to generate their own energy (and even provide back to the grid). The current barrier is still the initial cost of installation. Here in California, there was a model by which the initial cost of installation could be tacked onto your mortgage regardless of equity. Unfortunately, it was squashed by political/ financial interests. As I believe self sustaining home power will increase the values of homes by increasing amounts as energy costs continue to increase annually, I believe this idea needs to be readdressed aggressively at a national level. The net result would be increasing the value of the home, reducing the draw from the grid, reduce dependency, and create a ton of jobs especially with the America only brands allowed for the incentive. Whatever it takes, I think this should be a high priority.

    Now all this is may be helpful but the pink elephant will be addressed whether we like it or not. We simply can not maintain these population levels. I think it would be better to be proactive to reduce the pain. If we don't, it will self-adjust at our expense (or the expense of our children/ grandchildren). Now there are lots of studies and numbers are thrown around all over the place but lets make an argument based on the following numbers which seem to be fairly accepted by people who seem to be fairly smart. Again, please don't get lost in the exact numbers, the point is the same assuming you believe we are beyond sustainable levels at all...

    "Several recent studies show that Earth’s resources are enough to sustain onl

  147. Roof! by dbIII · · Score: 1

    It's not just wind farms that provide multiple uses for land. I'm amazed that I had to make that point.

  148. OTEC by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The article makes some good points, and the future to our energy will be getting the most "length" out of these technologies. The article makes one drastic mistake, and that is leaving out Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion. OTEC takes the temperature difference between warm surface water, and cold deep water to create base-load, emission free power. It's truly revolutionary stuff, and the water used is pumped back into the ocean un-harmed, or some is desalinated to produce any number of gallons of clean drinking water. Once an OTEC plant is up and running, there is really no end in sight for it's cycle. The Bahamas recently committed to building 2 commercial OTEC plants and other Caribbean nations are lining up to harness the power themselves. To learn more about this game-changing technology, and stay up to date with all the OTEC news, check out The On Project.

    http://www.theonproject.org/?utm_source=slashdot&utm_medium=messageboard&utm_campaign=mscomment

  149. Re:Er. Hmmm. by DeathToBill · · Score: 1

    Okay, I learnt something :-)

    Still, 800 pounds? I think we all knew she meant in the generator.

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    Slashdot - News for Nerds, Stuff that Matters, in ISO-8859-1 Has just realised that beta makes this signature redundant