Glenn Urges Direct-to-Mars Trip
Geno Z Heinlein writes "Reuters reports that astronaut John Glenn testified March 4 before the President's Commission on Moon, Mars and Beyond, saying that Bush's plan 'pulls the rug out from under our scientists' and that 'It just seems to me the direct-to-Mars [route] is the way to go.' Referring to the Moon as an 'enormously complex' Cape Canaveral, Glenn said that NASA might spend all the money getting to the Moon and never get to Mars."
Spending all our money on the moon, that is. The moon has military value. Mars doesn't. If anything should serve as a base between here and Mars it should be ISS (after all it's a big reason we built the thing.) ISS should also be exploited as a place where returning astronauts (or samples) can be studied, safely, without risk to life on Earth (as low as that risk might be.)
Frankly I don't care where we go, Moon, Mars or asteroids. Let's just get off this rock.
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(Disclaimer: I don't think Nasa Lewis should have been changed Nasa Glenn)
Isn't it obvious why $800billion of stuff sitting on the moon is better than $800billion of stuff sitting on Mars?
So. why doesn't John Glenn want the rest of us to go to the moon? what's he hiding? WHAT DO THEY KNOW IS UP THERE.
whoops. ignore I said any of that. tinfoil hat slipped
The ISS budget is not 2.5 million, but 2.5 BILLION! Plus there is an additional ~3 BILLION that is spent on shuttle launches that service ISS. He of all people should know that...
A moon base is just a way to get people thinking about votes.
...of people treating John Glenn as if he were some expert in space travel. He was sent to space but never had a damn thing to do with the scientific planning that was necessary to get there. To me he is no more an expert than those monkeys they sent up in flight suits.
John Glenn lost all credibility with me when, as a US senator, he pulled that garbage line about "exploring the effects of age on space travel" as an excuse to get NASA to launch him back to space.
He was once part of a band of heros. Now he's just another politician.
Ha, ha! Nobody ever says Italy.
Though Mr. Glenn's arguments are sound, they fail to take into account one of the most pressing reasons for a permanent moon base - China intends to build one in the next 12 years. Though it smacks of the Cold War, could the president really allow a (communist) foreign power unlimited access to the moon?
Never underestimate the potential of Human stupidity. -Heinlein
For serious manned space missions, the moon is not a particularly good waystation. What's needed is a serious long-term space station for interplanetary vehicle construction, industrial micro-gravity operations, and scientific research. (This implies a two-part station, incidentally, with a rotating section for living quarters and office space and a stationary section for labs, factories and docks.)
The moon is a gravity well. It may be shallower than the Earth, but it still takes a lot of energy to slow descents and then escape again. Eventually it may be a useful source of material resources, but there's nothing particularly attractive about it now.
how many people ride in a scud?
every day http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:Random
what better time to join up with the other countries of the world and create starfleet early.
Jonathanjk.com
Glenn is exactly right. If you want to go to Mars, go to Mars! If you want to go to the moon to do science, then fine, but ya ain't gonna learn ANYTHING on the Moon that would help you get to Mars. Okay, maybe practice keeping space-suits clean from the nasty fine dust.
George W Bush's scientific advisors have been urging him to go to the Moon first, as a stepping-stone to Mars. The politics are only just hotting up. More soon.
Is there any kind of International treaties governing use of the Moon? I'm thinking particularly of the situation with the Antarctic here. There certainly should be some kind of International agreement that it's "common ground".
If not, I suggest ESA had better at least mount some similar type of mission to NASA, making sure that there is more than one "presence" on the moon.
Yeah, OK, it's just a ball of rock - but it's a tad upsetting to think someone else might single-handedly "claim" the entirity of that pretty disc in the sky.
-- *~()____) This message will self-destruct in 5 seconds...
Did John Glenn go to the moon? I don't think so...
He was the first American to orbit the Earth.
But then again, I wasn't alive then, so what do I know?
I bootleg Fizzy Lifting Drinks.
a lot on the type of vehicle to be used? If we start looking at NERVA rockets and such, the moon would be a much better place to launch them from than Florida. A standard chem rocket to get to the moon, then something nuclear to get to mars.
Or, if the rocket is refuelable, you use a tank getting to the moon, escaping the 1G gravity well, then you refuel and use a lot less fuel getting out of moon's gravity field (isn't it 1/6th of earth?). This puts you in orbit for Mars with a whole lot of fuel left in a tank of the same size, right?
- No matter how subtle the wizard, a knife between the shoulder blades really cramps his style.
Bush has got to be the worst cheerleader for the cause. He likes to talk up his strong leadership qualities but what it really means is strong-arming policy decisions. That's just not enough to push a space mission of this magnitude through. We need someone who truly understands and has internalized the need to explore space and isn't repeating words put in his mouth.
---Technology will liberate us if it doesn't enslave us first.
Just because the man made it to the moon does *not* mean he is an authority on the economic / social / political needs to make a manned trip to Mars. I use the American Economy every day.. I don't get asked to testify before congress, etc., on economic matters.. -DB in 2004
Why go to mars in the first place? Its not like there is some ancient alien technology on mars... or is there??? Not to mention, it sure as hell isnt going to fix the problems we have on earth... how about instead we devote more of the money into propulsion systems research?
...only because it can then be used as a strategic platform to launch whatever we would need to explore the other planets in our system. We could establish a base on the moon, and then ship parts there to be assembled on-site, and launch at our discretion. Considering the fundamental fact that the moon has about one-sixth of the gravitational pull of the Earth, numerous logistical details (fuel, distance needed to travel, transport, etc.) would be easier to handle (not easy, but easier).
First of all, I completely disagree with the Bush agenda. However, there is at least one compelling reason to go back to the moon, and that's to put a radio telescope on the far side.
One of the big problems with radio astronomy is noise interference from Earth and the many satellites we have in orbit. The nearest zone free of this interference would be the far side of the moon.
Building a radio telescope on the moon would likely require a full-time manned base for handling repairs and maintenance. One of the disadvantages of having a radio telescope on the moon is that radio astronomy has been advancing along with other technological areas and upgrades would be needed periodically in addition to repairs.
I think Radio Astronomy would benefit enormously from such a project, but I doubt that's on the Bush agenda...
It is about military. Putting stuff on the Moon has much more strategic value than putting stuff on Mars. From the Moon point of view, you have all Earth's communication sattelites on the palm.
And about the modern veaponry, the scalar translator having Moon-Earth parallax would have been much much more accurate then anything you can build on Earth only.
There you are, staring at me again.
This talk of trips to the moon and Mars makes me ask: why?
What can people on the moon or Mars do that a robot can't?
The answer is, of course, nothing. Robots are even better suited because, well, they can be specially built to be suited.
Bush announcing these plans felt, to me, like he was announcing a return to the Cold War. Then, and now, space travel exists merely so nations can demonstrate that their country is the most advanced.
Patriotism - the last resort of scoundrels.
Bush's plan 'pulls the rug out from under our scientists' and that 'It just seems to me the direct-to-Mars [route] is the way to go...
Which translated means Lewis Reasearch Center in Ohio has entrenched interests in the Space Station and stands to loose funding in the short term with President Bush's initiative. What Senator Glenn doesn't make clear is how a direct Mars effort can be funded concurrently with Shuttle/IIS. It can't.
an ill wind that blows no good
In "The Case for Mars". Moon bases and space stations increase cost and complicate missions and crucially will push back the date by which we get there. Direct to Mars is clearly the best approach but who is going to convince Nasa? Or Bush?!
I don't read your sig, why do you read mine?
I think it would be a lot cheaper to conduct a mission from earth than the moon. Think about it, how much money will it take to construct a platform on the moon? Ship materials? Fuel? How much time will this actually take?
Considering the answers above, utilizing the time and materials needed to deploy a mission from the moon will be better spent conducting a mission from earth.
That being said, the moon has become a political tool and could provoke another cold war... this time with china (they are planning on building a moon base).
~Turd
From the Moon, you can drop Big Rocks on Earth. Having the gravitational high ground is a good thing if you're planning a war where space is a theater. True, you can essentially do the same from a station in orbit (they were called Thor shots in Shadowrun, I think), but that puts your platform within reach of Earth-based weaponry. Still, I wouldn't want to be the engineer in charge of designing a system for launching rocks off the Moon and getting them to hit the right place on Earth. Don't want to accidentally wipe out Kansas with a couple million kilojoules of kinetic energy.
This is all coming out of full-on paranoia-mode thinking, of course. It's complicated, conspiratorial, and completely lacking in evidence. Rampant uninformed speculation is what the Comments section is all about, though.
-Carolyn
Like Daddy always said: if you can't dazzle 'em with brilliance, baffle 'em with bullshit.
Will it defeat MAD though? I mean, if you shot them straight down onto a city rather than across the country, would the satelites be able to pick them up in time?
There's a growing sense that even if The Future comes,
most of us won't be able to afford it.
-- Lemmy
A space station in earth orbit, where you can get fueld up for a powered journey to the moon. In moon orbit, another space station that has a shuttle down to the moon, where cheap solar energy is farmed, and used to fuel the stations, the shuttle, and to put together enough fuel for sending a fuel barge to mars.
The fuel barge docks with a small station in mars orbit. This is reserve fuel to get you home.
Now you take a powered journey to mars from moon orbit. You use the fuel from the fuel barge to return to earth.
You go powered all the way. This is the future of space travel, not the current coasting, taking years to arrive anywhere, but it needs a moonbase where fuel can be manufactured.
-- oldthinkers unbellyfeel ingsoc
The real point of the Bush policy changes is to promote reform at NASA. Terminate the shuttle program -- and redirect resources to achieving lower costs to orbit. Terminate ISS -- it's not turning out to be a real benefit for science or much of anything else.
I can easily support a manned mission to Mars. But it must be part of a space effort that is more broad based than the current work is. To achieve that, we're going to have change the way we do things. The spectacular project that sometimes succeeds, sometimes doesn't, offers little hope for this style of action.
NASA's predecessor, NACA, helped make revolutionary progress in aeronautics by sticking to technology development and working with nascent aeronautical companies to develop real airplanes that could be used for a wide range of activities by a wide range of organizations. We need the same kind of work from NASA.
"Beer is proof God loves us and wants us to be happy." -- B. Franklin
I remember, a few years ago (5?) that the various Mars programs being fronted by the U.S. government were in direct opposition to the way Zubrin and his Mars Society were proposing we do it - with the "Mars Direct Program".
... and thats good news.
Now, it seems that there are a significant number of Washington players who are getting behind the scientific thinking that Zubrin's program has produced for us
When I think about where we are currently at, evaluating the Mars situation, and where we've come as a result of an independent organization, it warms my heart. The Mars Society have done a lot to get humans thinking about going to Mars properly, and finally it seems like their momentum is having a great effect.
; -- the corruption of government starts with its secrets. a truly free people keep no secrets. --
If they would just fund research on the Space Elevator They could have both the Moon and Mars!
All of the sudden everyone is an expert on space travel...do these people really understand the complexities of traveling to space, landing on celestial objects and coming back to earth...or do they just dream up ideas and expect that scientist are smart enoug to do it....they might as well set deadlines for traveling to the nearest star , creating worm holes and instantaneous transportation.....
I support that Mars fanatic's way of going there. First send an unmanned supply ship that will land with all the equipment to make air and water. Then something like a year later, send the crew so when they get there, they already have a liveable platform and enough H20 and oxygen to live.
This is a test. This is a test of the emergency sig system. This has been only a test.
I agree with Mr. Glenn, but I do not believe that we have enough expertise built up on the idiosyncrasies of the Martian atmosphere or the planet itself. We have been having a educational, albeit difficult experience with unmanned rovers on Mars' surface. We had to h4x0r the rovers! I would not want to have to h4x0r an actual shuttle. We also now know we need wiper blades on the solar panels of any vehicle that would potentially be sent to Mars, on account of the dust. I think it would be more prudent to send crews back to the moon, get that down, then maybe stretch to Mars. Any manned Mars mission before we are absolutely ready for one is suicide for the astronauts aboard. The amount of time/fuel it would take to get to Mars for a manned, fully loaded shuttle, complete with life support systems, testing equipment, rovers, etc, would be astronomical (pun intended).
I hate sigs.
Sounds to me like Glenn would like to see the Mars trip in his lifetime (whatever is left of it). I'm sure that if it occurs he would try to pass some legislation to allow examination of long term space flight on the elderly.....and of course he would just happen to mention that he would be the prime candidate for this.
It is called TMA-1, is just a magnetic anomaly, not a big deal.
"There is no teacher but the enemy."-Mazer Rackham
But you suck more troll
There is no such word, partner. The proper spelling is "heating".
...
Just because you hear your dumb-ass string-based illiterate President use it on the TeeVee, doesn't mean its common language, or correct
; -- the corruption of government starts with its secrets. a truly free people keep no secrets. --
We should prcatice setting up a manned installation on the moon first. It's the perfect technology testing area. If problems develop, people could be rescued, or, supplies and repair equipmnent could be somewhat quickly shuttled to the moon. Face it, Mars is a long way from a 7-11. There's only going to be one chance to get it right. If a Mars mission is successful, there will be plenty of return trips. If it's a disaster, funding will be cut and it'll be decades before anyone tries again. Small steps, but quicker steps.
If you really want to make the USA into a Space Faring Nation again, we should put our money into space elevators.
In just 2 decades, this idea has gone from being impossible to far-out to design studies.
By comparison, the ISS is a waste and the Moon would be an expensive diversion. Space elevators would really open the solar system up for human - not just robot - exploration.
And a Politician that's a Hero is a man I wouldn't otherwise respect.
1) Glenn has name-recognition.
2) Name-recognition translates to Power.
3) Power can move mountains.
The goals are lofty, but the fact he states them gives it more credence than anyone else.
John Glenn saved Cliton from conviction in return for a ride on the Space Shuttle.
That's pretty much all I have to know about him.
The military value is in creating a "death star" by placing a giant "laser" on the moon and deploying two units to run the facility...moon unit alpha and moon unit zappa....
Even if I knew that tomorrow the world would go to pieces, I would still plant my apple tree. -Martin Luther
Glenn has alread said he doesn't think he should be sent back into space.
Where is Bush, or Congress, or the Senate, or any federal elected or unelected official granted any power to do this in the Constitution? This is complete cronyism focused on a few priviledged companies who are close to those elected. Anyone who doesn't vote NO on this idea is just as guilty.
I have a business to run here, actually two. I have bills to pay, right here in the Chicago area. I have some great ideas that I'd like to risk my money on, in order to help myself and my family. I have some long term things to purchase that will make my life better. I could care less about Mars or the Moon or higher orbits. None of that affects me, except in a negative way.
These tyrants (Bush, Clinton, Gore, Kerry, whatever Statist is focused on by the media) want to take YOUR money and give it to their friends. Don't believe it if you think they will do exactly what you want them to do with Mars. It will be immensely over budget. It goes directly against the Constitution's limit on federal government's powers. It will continue the slippery slope towards more lost freedom.
I'm sick of it. My money is MY MONEY. Your money is YOUR MONEY. The feds have no power to spend it unless we continue to allow Statists in office. None of them care for you, your family, your community, or your morals and values.
This is bad for capitalism, and bad for almost every citizen except for those few who directly work for a company involved in this scheme.
Since we're $7 trillion and change in the hole already, do we have any business even talking about this? We ran $500 billion over budget last year, a new record. Want to see if we can break that? How about this for a novel idea: stop spending money on these little adventures and charging it off til the future, sooner or later the future will arrive...
At the bottom of the endless pile of paper work which characterizes all regulation lies a gun.
Alan Greenspan
As other people here have said...if your goal is to get to Mars, the Moon is a complete waste of time. The resources necessary to build a lunar-launching facility be enormously draining. More importantly, all the people who say "but it's so much easier to launch stuff from the Moon!" forget one key point: we're decades or more away from being able to build the necessary parts from scratch on the Moon. That means that, at some point, these parts will have to be launched from Earth to the Moon. Considering that the Delta-V required to get from Earth to the Moon and then from the Moon to Mars is greater than Earth to Mars, why should we stop by the Moon at all?
How To Get Humans To Mars
Is a digital camera or a DVD better than your eyes? Would you rather be at the Duke basketball game or watch it on TV?
Can you look at a mountain range on a video or in a picture and see it context to your height, surroundings, atmosphere?
The answers to all thos questions and more is no.
Manned missions are important to the entire human race as accomplishment and to be cliche, "To seek out new life and new information" - Experience moves the human race forward - Robots confine us to to the earth - limit our boundaries. Both are useful - but one is only a step for the other - each is an enhancement to the knowledge gathering.
Yell & scream & rant & rave... it's no use... you need a shaaaave ~ Bugs Bunny
Radio Astronomy is an interesting field but can it possibly be worth the untold $100G that would be spent to build a lunar antenna farm just to be free of noise? What science returns are we missing due to noise? Arguably, not much. If noise free environment is really needed I would suggest that a free flying telescope, similar in mission design to SIRTF, would make a lot more sense.
an ill wind that blows no good
Because you really think that NASA will go to the moon or Mars like Bush said?
Because you really think the Congress will let him do that with a half trillion deficit?
Well, it's election year guys. NASA will go nowhere, the Congress will never vote for it and one year from now we won't even talk about it.
Iraq: war to save the U
The point is that a strong space culture, technologically advanced and experienced is percieved as having a greater chance of success. Skipping these intermediate steps IMHO will produce a more fragile attempt, focused on what we want to accomplish; but not as prepared for the unknowns. We reached the moon largely due to carefully thought out 'staged' successes. The consequence of a single catastrophic failure of an over-extended Mars mission would IMHO be far more devistating and could possibly lead to a single point of failure for the whole space program.
"Can there be a Klein bottle that is an efficient and effective beer pitcher?"
And in other news, Democratic Senators find any excuse to criticise the sitting Republican President during an election year.
It wouldn't be hard to put together a field of collectors that then shoots a laser at a target. Hell, with a few well-placed sat's in orbit acting as mirrors, you could do hit anywhere on earth.
While I realize that you could mostly do this from sats themselves, you then have to worry about other sats. Starting from the moon though, you're way away from missles.
And talk about a secure computing facility! Having your NOC on a privately owned island is one thing...but on the *moon*? ;)
:P
posted AC since I modded.
But I wanna evolve into a Morlok....
Eat at Joe's.
ISS is largely useless, and probably will remain so for use as a true space based way station. A true way station needs to be in a higher orbit, so that excess fuel isn't consumed getting there and leaving (ie, moon/mars/other shuttle service - required for any type of permanent base). Actually, putting such a base on the moon might not be such a bad idea, but the moon should only be a jumping off point.
The moon actually could serve to nullify some of the dangers of more efficient drives or issues with nuclear reactors in space, although it doesn't solve the actual getting the nuclear material to the moon.... It would, however, be a great place to dump spent fuel. No environmental hazards if it's far enough away from peopel. Oh wait, wasn't that done already? Space 1999 comes to mind.... ;)
The cesspool just got a check and balance.
I can see clearly now my brain is gone.
I will blow-up all obstacles in my way.
Gone all the logic and thought that made me blind
It's going to be a bright, (bright) bright (bright) sun shiny day
When the people fear their government, there is tyranny; when the government fears the people, there is liberty.
Here is a sound bite from his testimony:
GlennTestimony.wav
free online diet tracking.
Assuming you want to inhabit a place, the first thing you need to do is establish a permanent presence. Build a base on the moon. Don't send scientists. Send mining and construction equipment. Get the inhabitants to tunnel out areas to support more people - build stuff. Get the place established as a viable and growing place for people to stay. The scientists will follow along with everyone else. Some company will build a hangar there for building spacecraft. Why does everyone always want to jump to the end-game without doing the necessary but boring stuff first? Oh right... it's boring.
Well, yes and no. There's probably lots of helium 3 on the moon, and it can probably be extracted from lunar soil. He-3 makes a great fuel for fusion reactors.
One minor sticking point: There are no fusion reactors at the moment.
It already takes a lot of energy to climb out of Earth's gravity well. Granted, on the moon, it takes less to achieve orbit, but why decend into a gravity well at all unless theres a good reason? The ideal place to launch into transfer orbits (in the Earth-Moon system) is LEO. Right now, it costs an arm & a leg to get things into LEO. In addition to that, Hohmann transfers, while energy efficient are painfully slow. If a spacecraft could ride 1 G of accelleration for extended periods of time, journeys around the solar system could be measured in weeks, not decades.
If I were the President, my priorities would be:
However, due to the nature of the government in the US, the office of chief executive can only be held for 8 years. I have serious doubts as to wether or not the US can commit to any kind of timeline longer than that in this day and age. It's a shame really.
We have the perfect example of what happens when you do big, decade long PR maneuvers in space: Apollo.
Yeah, we got to the Moon (and people who believe it was a hoax can all go hop on a +6 lance), but that was followed by a complete blowout and no followup.
Steady, logical, incremental steps are what we need. Well designed, expandable, modular orbital stations. Get some industry going. Solar panel farms. Zero gee manufacturing. Tourism. Establish something at L4/L5- maybe various manned observatories. Really look into the space elevator concept. Lunar bases (another good location for observatories- easier to work on). THEN we can go to Mars.
If we had started that back in the 1950's like some advocated back then, we'd already *have* lunar bases and probably a Mars mission underway right now. Martin Landau might have really been able to be on the Moon in 1999.
--- Ban humanity.
The Bush proposal demonstrates that he (Bush) does everything for political value; Bush doesn't ask scientists about science policy (see the recent news story about this) just like he doesn't ask experts from all sides about economic policy. Especially if he might get a dissenting vote.
That's how he comes up with patent nonsense like using the Moon as a way to get to Mars. Finally, someone with some experience exposes this nonsensical fraud for what it is.
here come the moon wars!
Americans, get your toy lightsabers, and the chinese will get their 5 dollar cheaply built light guns that make 5 different noises every time the triggers are pulled!
fun for the whole family!
actually, that'd be pretty funny to watch
a buncha people in space suits hitting each other with toy lightsabers.
Van Allen radiation belts two belts (sometimes considered as a single belt of varying intensity) of radiation outside the earth's atmosphere, extending from c.400 to c.40,000 mi (c.650-c.65,000 km) above the earth. Their existence was confirmed from information secured by launching the first U.S. earth satellite, Explorer I, sent up during the International Geophysical Year of 1957-58. The belts were named for James A. Van Allen, the American astrophysicist who first predicted the belts and then was first to interpret the findings of the Explorer satellite. The region of external belts has been given the name of magnetosphere to distinguish it from the atmosphere . The charged particles of which the belts are composed circulate along the earth's magnetic lines of force extending from the area above the equator to the N Pole, to the S Pole, and circles back to the equator. These particles are believed to originate in periodic solar flares. Carried by the solar wind, they become trapped by the earth's magnetic field and are responsible for the aurora borealis seen at polar regions. A part of a belt dips into the upper region of the atmosphere over the southern Atlantic Ocean to form the southern Atlantic Anomaly. This can present a dangerous hazard to satellites orbiting the earth. Herbert Friedman, in his book Sun and Earth, describes Van Allen's global survey of cosmic-ray intensity: "The results from Explorer I, launched on January 31, 1958, were so puzzling that instrument malfunction was suspected. High levels of radiation intensity appeared interspersed with dead gaps ... Explorer III succeeded fully, and most important, it carried a tape recorder. Simulation tests with intense X rays in the laboratory showed that the dead gaps represented periods when the Geiger counter in space had been choked by radiation of intensities a thousand times greater than the instrument was designed to detect. As Van Allen's colleague Ernie Ray exclaimed in disbelief: 'All space must be radioactive!'." Herbert Friedman later explains that "Of all the energy brought to the magnetosphere by the solar wind, only about 0.1 percent manages to cross the magnetic barrier."
The April 28, 1997 HST Update: Recommisioning Status Report states that the Van Allen radiation belts, between 200 and 500 miles high, "act as a thin, protective skin for Earth, trapping charged particles before they bombard our planet and harm us."
The terrorists were Saudis? Let's go to Iraq!
We just landed on Mars? Let's go to the moon!
-n-
Surely it would be easier to build a space elevator on the moon than it would be on the Earth?
Especially since gravity on the moon is 1/5th that of Earth's?
The moon may have been a military resource in the 60's, but it's hardly one now.
Soldier 1: "We're taking fire from that alley!"
Soldier 2: "Quick, deploy the moon missiles!"
It's hard to argue that the US has any problems controlling the top of the hill these days. ICBM's still work. US planes have operated pretty much undeterred for a long time. And MAD, on the other hand, is less viable than ever as a strategy (given enemy psychology).
The moon has tons of resources for constructing weapons, especially new kinds of nuclear weapons
That's silly. Constructing weapons would be a ludicrously costly, stupid thing to do on the moon. New kind of nuclear weapons? The old kinds work perfectly well, thank you - they are perfectly capable of supplying any kind of abomination the military might demand of them, even if they must be dropped out of a plane rather than launched from the moon.
The US military needs more precise ways to blow small things up that they can't see - not bigger ways to blow big things up that they can see from the moon.
Let's not stir that bag of worms...
If we are talking about a trip to Mars like Zubrin's Mars Direct concept, there are still considerable engineering challenges to make it work.
We have to consider the following:
1. How do we launch such a spacecraft into Earth orbit in the first place? Should it mostly assembled on the ground (e.g., using technology derived from the Space Shuttle) or be assembled in space?
2. What kind of propulsion system do we use? Chemical rockets mean we'll need a pretty big spacecraft (and the flight time will be six to nine months), and nuclear rockets (which could reduce the time to six weeks) are still not completely proven technology.
3. How do we accommodate 5-7 astronauts on the spacecraft? That means we'll need a fairly good amount of space inside the spacecraft for food and potable water if the trip is going to take six to nine months or proper shielding against radiation on a nuclear-powered spacecraft. We also have to consider how space will be needed for a full-scale science lab and stowage space for manned rover vehicles.
4. Can we get full assurances we can extract water from the Martian soil, which would drastically simply living on Mars and provide a source of fuel for the return trip?
I think one of the big advantages of building a base on the moon first is just to build up the space industry. The moon is a lot more accessible than Mars - it's only 3 days away and we have all the technology to get there already. Why is this important? The majority of space exploration is currently done by the government. But what happens if the US opens a base on the moon, provides landing/launching facilities and invites companies to make it a tourist attraction. Suddenly we have not only the government spending money on the moon but also individual companies. The government can charge them taxes on the moon and this way finance further expansion on the moon and beyond.
What does this give us? A bunch of companies dedicated to building space vessels and a new generation of people who expect to be able to get into space. If the US spends the initial money to get to the moon, 10 years afterwards we might have a thriving colony on the moon. Not only will commercialization decrease costs, it'll also make space travel a reality for more people, who will then demand more opportunities and before you know it we'll have colonies established on mars and beyond.
In fact, my opinion is that essentially no progress has been made in spaceflight in those 32 years. After all, it doesn't matter to me if a very select few gets to occasionally ride into space because I want to go, and I think that there are lots of people like me. Our interest in space is derived, not from a desire to read about or watch the exploits of a Glenn or an Armstrong, but to go ourselves. However, it appears as if the folks at NASA don't want that. They still view flying in space as being something only for the, well, few that they've selected. I'd like to see that change. Establishing a lunar base gives us the possibility of seeing that change.
There are a number of companies that have been established to exploit space commercially. However, none have really been successful so far. The primary reason is that the income from that exploitation has been uncertain at best. NASA now has the opportunity to change that. If they were to call for a request for bid on, say, five contracts: For providing transfer of personnel from the earth's surface to low earth orbit, for providing transfer of cargo from the earth's surface to low earth orbit, for providing transfer of personnel from low earth orbit to the lunar surface, for providing transfer of cargo from low earth orbit to the lunar surface, and for the construction of a lunar base, this would be the sort of guaranteed income needed to get commercial space ventures really going.
And once those contractors become established, they're going to look around for other ways to make money. One of those ways will be tourism.
In fact, in order to do business those contractors will have to build just the infrastructure you need to send human explorers off to the other planets. It is the establishment of the infrastructure that makes the cost of launching a Mars mission from a lunar base larger than going the Mars direct route. If NASA can get others to build the infrastructure instead, then the numbers look a lot better for launching from the moon or from a space station than for Mars direct.
The moon has tons of resources for constructing weapons, especially new kinds of nuclear weapons
...
The surface of the moon is overwhelmingly composed of worthless and/or low-value materials. You're not going to find anything there that'll be useful for a nuke. The surface of the moon is awash in helium-3, which is very useful for fusion power, but is not all that useful for nuclear weapons.
While your first two points are bang-on right, your third point sounds like a paranoid Nader rant against the "military-industrial complex". It undercuts the other two points, which, as I just said, are exactly correct.
Its very, very difficult to defend against moon-launched attacks
No harder than defending against an ICBM, mostly.
The reason why the Air Force was, at one time, making plans to put nuclear silos on the moon has nothing to do with how devastating lunar-based attacks can be. Instead, the moon would be the ultimate defensive weapon.
How long does it take a nuclear missile to arrive on Earth after it's been launched from the Moon? A few days at the very least. So what happens if you do a launch from the moon? Everybody else sees you launch and turns your country into rubble days before the missile arrives.
That's why the Moon is useless offensively. And that's why the Moon is useful defensively. Because even if America were to be totally wiped out in a nuclear first-strike, the lunar silos would still be safe for a minimum of a couple of days while the ICBMs launched from Earth were en route to it. And in those couple of days, the lunar silos could mount a pisser of a counterattack.
Mutually Assured Destruction, or MAD. While I'm no fan of plans to militarize the Moon, I have to say in some way I'm vaguely pleased that the Air Force was considering turning the Moon into the ultimate defensive weapon, one which would be utterly worthless for offense.
"One minor sticking point: There are no fusion reactors at the moment."
But everyone knows that fusion reactors are only about twenty years away. I mean, they've been only twenty years away for about fifty years now, so it would be hard not to know that.
While a moon base is a good place for launching things cheaply it costs a lot more energy to land something on moon than on earth.
On earth all we need to do is to place a robust heat shield and let the atmosphere do the job but on the moon we need to reduce the velocity using fuel all the way.
Moon does have an atmosphere but it sabout a million times less dense than our own.
So a moon base will be more or less one way.
Wanted : A Signature.
Now this is an excellent point. Except the docking collar for the space elevator would probably be more difficult to construct on the moon because of the lack of oceans. Most space elevator plans call for a floating docking collar/station to minimize the variouses stresses on the docking collar itself.
The end of the cold war came about because of Russia could not afford it anymore. But, the ending of the cold war hurt the American economy. I was hoping that we could some how get into a cold war with the french but if China is planning on building a moon base then America better beat them to it. Just think of all the jobs it will create.
Heck, sign me up to be a network analyst for the moon base once they get it built.
Nick Powers
Encryption: I may not agree with what you say, but I will defend your right to encrypt it...
> "Blast shield in case the fuel goes up"? There's no oxidising (or reducing, for that matter) atmosphere in space. If you have the sense of a gopher, you'll keep your oxidizer on one side and the fuel safely away from that.
Fuel doesn't need an oxidizer to cause explosive damage. It's reasonable that you're going to be storing the fuels under pressure (the only exception to this is solid fuels, because even liquid fuels will evaporate if there's no atmosphere). The safety of no oxidizing atmosphere becomes the danger of no drag when a tank ruptures and the rapidly-vaporizing fuel pops it like a balloon. The shrapnel from such a rupture would run out in all directions, unimpeded by any atmospheric drag that would slow the parts down, so when they reach and impact other parts of the station, they'll have essentially the same energy as they had right near the blast. Therefore, some sort of shield is still necessary to protect the rest of the station from being peppered with high-velocity debris.
Virg
Ya gotta respect the guy for obvious reasons but he's doing nothing more then politicing(sp).
On the surface, Bushy boys plan is sound. Setup a moon base (so we can also start harvesing its riches), build up to a mars flight and away we go. Its the timeline that sucks... stuff like this isn't supposed to go quickly.. patience...
- Jimbob
Collins (best known as CMP for Apollo 11) said the same thing in a book he wrote in the 1980's. When I first read it, I thought it was a pretty radical idea to bypass the moon, but it seems the radical has become accepted by many members of the space community.
I've found that my posts don't format quite right w/o a sig.
How does the moon have military value?
That's obvious. You can build a "frikkin" laser there and proceed to hold the world to ransom for a million dollars.
However.....he also states on his going into space at the end of the article - "I don't think I should," he said. "If they are going to send somebody else up in this age bracket, they should pick somebody else so we get a database that starts to expand beyond me.
"But if NASA said they've been going through the data and they would like me to go up again and run some more research on me and would I be willing to go -- yeah, I'd be down there tomorrow morning."
Today, Glenn divides his time between Ohio and Washington. He heads the John Glenn Institute For Public Service and Public Policy at Ohio State University and serves on a NASA advisory committee."
So...as a typical politician...he is well versed at waffling.
Well, wasn't 9/11 supposed to be an example of just how poor the US is controlling its hill? Isn't that the point?
If we define "top of the hill" as "the ability to know if terrorists are controlling your planes intent on smashing them into buildings" - then yes, the US has trouble controlling the top of the hill.
If we define "top of the hill" as "the ability to target and hit things all over the battlefield" like any normal person would, then your post reads like the nonsense it is.
And if anyone is claiming the US no longer has "top of the hill" in this sense, they're retarded. The US's problems are with controlling the "alleys", the "bunkers", and in very few cases the "beaches" - but "hill" has been well covered since about 1989 (when there was still two hills).
Keep it straight, man.
Let's not stir that bag of worms...
Oh great... So he wants us to run off to Mars, plant our flag, say "yay", come back, kill the program, and go back to underfunded hell like LEO. Gee... Just like we did with the moon.
"If it did, Rumsfeld & Cheney would be sitting in a Belgian prison right about now"
I don't think some Phlegm has jurisdiction over much of anything outside of that little pissant country.
Belgium indeed. You can kiss my shiny black ass.
But then again, I wasn't alive then, so what do I know?
I was alive for it. And yes, you are right.
I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
The Earth is very fortunate to have the Moon. The only better things for space manufacturing are asteroidal moons and even a rubble ring (like Saturn has).
... memories, rocks, lost billions and finally piles of equipment rusting in the Florida sun. A "straight to Mars" mission is almost entirely political -- with the remaining portion being some scientific intent.
A waystation is generally better served in an orbit, yes, but the Moon is a currently unparalleled manufacturing site for space development. It has only 1/6g; is abundant in sunlight, oxygen, aluminum, silicon and iron (with calcium, titanium and other traces); has no atmosphere; and is about a 3-day journey from the mother world.
The problems of the Lunar well are solved by mass drivers built on the surface. With no atmosphere to stop it, an iron bucket carrying cargo (usually basic materials mined from the Lunar regolith) can be flung off the Moon at Lunar escape velocity -- you just have to build the linear accelerator long enough. Then you have to have mass catchers in Cislunar space to capture and make use of said materials.
Really, reaching for Mars without first preparing a Lunar manufacturing site is such abominable stupidity that I can only predict the Mars Adventure will end as Apollo ended
With a well established Lunar base, all other planetary tours can take place as a side-effect of Lunar manufacturing activity. And once asteroidal missions return a sufficient chunk of volatiles to Cislunar space, shipments from Earth can be reduced to personnel and other small, specific cargoes like medicine, special equipment, biologicals and trace elements.
[You have a stable society when some nut guns down a schoolyard and the law doesn't change.]
A bit off-topic, but an important distinction. Cape Canaveral is the Military Base in florida. Kennedy Space Center is the NASA complex. Is Glenn stating that he feels the moon would be a military base or just a space launching point. True, there are launches from Canaveral - but they're done by the military. This point was stressed on a recent trip I took to the Kennedy Space Center.
One ring to rule them all, and in the darkness named them...
> Before doing anything like building a manned base on the far side of the moon... or even an unmanned radio telescope for that matter, is to create a series of 'stationary' communication satellites in moon orbit for communication.
The very idea of being free from interference, also prevents us from retrieving data due to the giant piece of rock in the way.
A valid point, but there are many cheaper ways of doing this than a network of lunar satellites. Ground based transmissions using the age-old technology of wires are valid on the Moon, where danger of damage to the wire is relatively low (heck, you can just roll the cable out on the ground, and a few thousand miles of wire isn't all that expensive compared to a lunar satellite). Targetted microwave transceivers on towers are another valid route to take, if cables concern you. Both of these solutions use technology that's cheap today, and both are cheaper than the satellite network you propose. I'm sure other answers can be brought up as well.
One thing repeated over and over in this topic is using the moon as some sort of Uber military space station. Please stop and really think about it. What kind of attacks do you think you'd be launching from the moon? Precision tactical attacks that would knock out targets like the size of buildings? The U.S. already has excellent essentially unstoppable relatively CHEAP weapons for doing that including B-2s, cruise missiles, F-117s, and hypersonic cruise missiles soon that will do the job in under an hour. Even the most powerful railgun on the moon would take much longer to cross the quarter million miles to attack and that's if the moon is visible from that hemisphere at that time! Lasers? You still have to hope the part of the earth is viewable and radiation based weapons are subject to the inverse square law. (Laser on moon would have to be 1 million times more powerful than one in LEO). How about using the moon for a strategic attack? (Dropping big rocks?). Well the strategic supremacy of the U.S. is so far from being challenged (submarines, ICBMS, bombers) by any other power that I question the need. We already have extremely formidable weapons that can reach anywhere on the planet in half an hour, they are called H-bombs. Won't it be cheaper to launch these weapons from the moon? Only if you build them there (otherwise you'll be dragging them from here to there and back again). The costs of building an infrastructure of the sort to build any of these weapons (rail guns, lasers, bombs) is so huge it defies comprehension. (Ten's of thousands of people, industrial scale operations in vacuum and hard radiation). Remember that the moon is still a very hostile place. Just one problem: unless they can find ice at the pole (which is now in doubt) there is NO WATER. (If there was concrete on the moon, astronauts would mine it for water!). Also all this talk of Helium 3 is just talk. Seen any nuclear fusion reactors working in your neighborhood? How much effort would it take to refine this He, on the moon, found in mere parts per million (billion) in the lunar dust? The moon may be a great (good?) place for astronomy but not for the military.
To that end, going to the Moon is very logical. We're finally going to learn how to live away from Earth. If we go to Mars a few times, never to return, whats the point?
Also, a lunar base can be mothballed more easily than ISS. In times of an economic downturn, you can stop going to the lunar base for a few years. If you stop going to ISS for a few years, it crashes back to Earth.
"Open the pod by doors, Hal" > "I'm afraid I can't do that, Dave" sudo "Open the pod bay doors, Hal" > alright
Is a digital camera or a DVD better than your eyes? Would you rather be at the Duke basketball game or watch it on TV?
Can you look at a mountain range on a video or in a picture and see it context to your height, surroundings, atmosphere?
Ahh... tourism is a reason to go there!
a space elevator on the moon also wouldn't have to worry about the added stresses from the atmosphere, such as jet streams and such.
the only reason you hate us is because we own you.
Are you suggesting that we exploit the "dark side" of the moon to realize a "large moon-like space station, capable of destroying an entire planet"!?
That plot can easily be thwarted by a number of small spacecraft which would be small enough to bypass your large defenses and exploit your criticalities. Duh...
If you don't know what AltaVista is (was), get off my lawn.
I think there's a lot of value to the prestige of having a moonbase. In the current atmosphere, having military capabilities there would have positives and negatives in terms of prestige.
I'm not sure how potent it would be as a deterrent. Terrorists aren't blind to practicality, and moon-missiles just don't have a lot of advantages. A much less costly option, and much more effective (both practically, and as deterrents) would be legions of super-Predator drones.
Esp. when we can create a nuclear explosion without the nasty radioactive fallout
The most potent fallout of a nuclear weapon now would be political. Current technology could produce fairly clean "battlefield nukes" - it's just not politically feasible regardless of practicality or science. And honestly, they wouldn't serve a significant field role in currently-imaginable conflicts.
Overall, I really like the moonbase plan. Having a peaceful, positive "national goal" can be a powerful force for good - and I think that's about what Bush wants out of the whole effort.
Let's not stir that bag of worms...
There's no waffling in these statements. What he said paraphrases correctly to "I'd go tomorrow if they asked me to, but I think they should ask someone else to go if they need to further examine space flight on the elderly." That's common sense, couched in personal preference. No flip-flopping to see here.
Virg
Due to the orbit the ISS is in, it's useful primarily as a political compromise project between the US and Russia.
IMHO, even though budget cuts have made the ISS virtually useless for science research, it continues to be incredibly valuable for *engineering* research. This ISS is the biggest/most complex orbital assembly ever attempted. Mir was assembled in orbit, but essentially by docking intact pieces from earth. The ISS is truly being constructed in orbit.
ISS construction is perhaps around an order of magnitude beyond Mir. But it's still one or two orders of magnitude shy of the wheel in 2001: ASO.
There are many who point to the lack of science and push to abandon the ISS. I look at it and say, "We've got to solve these engineering problems," before we ever get anything better than the ISS.
The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
I have nothing interesting to say about your absurd conspiracy theory - it's irrelevant to the discussion at hand.
To me, that's a failure to keep your hill safe from moles.
"Hill", in this case, is not a generic metaphor for territory or power. It has a specific meaning relating to military capability.
Perhaps I need to be clearer about how irrelevant this is: the possibility of terrorists killing lots of civilians via low resource infiltration doesn't mean we need a hill on the moon to hit targets in Syria.
I suppose next you'll remind me that Bush wasn't really elected ON THE HILL.
Let's not stir that bag of worms...
The one thing about Zubrin is he has the personality of Don Cherry (Have to know hockey especially in Canada to get the parallel). He does know what he's talking about and is very intelligent but he is so abrasive in his advocacy he's never going to get anywhere dealing with politicians. He has no reservations about challenging their intelligence publicly which isn't a way to win friends and influence people.
@de_machina
> Considering that the Delta-V required to get from Earth to the Moon and then from the Moon to Mars is greater than Earth to Mars, why should we stop by the Moon at all?
Because being on the Moon would not be completely and solely to build a jumping-off point to Mars? Stopping by the Moon has the benefit of being on the Moon. If we weren't considering going to Mars at all, there would still be enormous benefit to building a Moon base. Add to that that we can build a Mars mission there once it's established, and that's just an added plus.
In short, we should stop by the Moon because the Moon is worth stopping by all on its own.
Virg
because if we all moved to mars we could leave the terrorists here!
If the threat is "total destruction", we already have that threat with nuclear subs, and that is far far more tangible than some hocus-pocus base on the moon.
Now lets move on to the future of warfare...i.e., Timothy McVeigh. Tell me how a base on the moon keeps him from levelling a building? 9/11...once again tell me how your moon base prevents twenty guys from levelling part of NYC and tanking the US economy for the cost of some box cutters.
> Get the inhabitants to tunnel out areas to support more people...
...and...
> Oh right... it's boring.
Was this an intentional pun?
Virg
Back in the 50's and 60's they were looking at nuclear propulsion, both space and atmospheric. They got so far on the latter as to begin looking for pilots 'past reproductive age.' Eventually they dropped the manned ideas, and focused on a thing called, 'Project Pluto,' a kind of Mach-3 cruise missile that dropped bombs as it flew. Before the project was killed, they decided it didn't even need to drop bombs. The low-altitude supersonic overflight and radioactive exhaust were 'sufficiently destructive.' Part of the reason it was killed was that they couldn't figure out how to handle the test flights.
The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
Added to which the value of human observation is vastly overstated. No human can do what the Mars probes have already done. What human can stand in one place for a week and take measurements? The analysis is still done on Earth, the remote probe, be it human or robotic, is just fetching the samples.
Here's an analogy.
You're standing at the bottom of a well.
50 feet above you is the rim of the well.
There are effectively an unlimited supply of large heavy rocks on the ground up there.
Would you say that being at the top of that well has military value over those at the bottom of the well? You can drop rocks on them all day long, for just about zero energy.
Bottom of the well = earth, top of the well = the moon, rocks = moon rocks.
Yessir, being on the moon would be great if you wanted to rule the earth with an iron heel.
And no, it wouldn't necessarily be possible to detect a moon launch as people here have boldly stated. Due to the low gravity well, such things could be done very quietly (or on the backside!) and with a minimum of absorbative coating on the rock, you could probably slip under the radar until it was far too late to do anything about it, apart from evacuate the doomed city. Maybe some of the richest nations in the world have the resources to scan rigorously enough to do this, but certainly not the vast majority.
And even if you did detect it, you wouldn't know exactly where it's going to end up. Attitude jets on the back of the rock could retarget that sucker until very late in the trajectory. You could put 5 rocks into space and tell someone they've got 3 days to meet your demands or you'll level 6 random cities. If they pay up, you just veer the rocks into space and no harm done.
so Democratic Senators don't have to waste their time doing research to criticize Pres. Bush - just open the paper, and I'm sure he'll have been dishonest about something or said something stupid to criticize.
Besides, it wasn't long ago when Republican Senators in the same position didn't need actual facts to criticize the President - they could just make them up. (wait, that implies intelligence - maybe their aides did it for them)....
Most everyone, Bush included, is missing the point. The Moon is a big waste of resources. Mars is actually easier to attain. Here's a must-read: "The Case for Mars: The Plan to Settle the Red Planet and Why We Must," by Robert Zubrin.
This isn't the sig you're looking for... Move along.
See, this exhibits the reason why proposals like this are better than first blush would suspect. Firstly, we're discussing a manned (or locally maintained) array, so there's already something there if this plan is to work. That given, why send wires to the Moon? Why not send the current bottle-rocket space shot with big blocks of some conductive material (copper would work, but there are lighter materials that would work just as well)? You don't even plan for an entry vehicle, just let it tunnel in when it hits. Then the Moon base folks fly out in their Eagle (erk, sorry, obligatory "Space: 1999" reference) and fetch it, and roll the wire locally. Or, make wire out of local materials, and what difference if they're lower conductivity than copper? Even so, I imagine the best answer would be microwave towers, for servicing purposes (adding bandwidth just requires more transmitters, not more wire rolled out), but I think you can see the idea. The obvious advantage to a ground-based solution appears the first time one of the transceivers breaks, and a pair of astronauts can drive out in a buggy and fix it. How does one fix a lunar satellite? And before you suggest that it's the same for an Earth-orbit satellite, I put forth that there are still lots of wires on the Earth because of that very fact.
Virg
OK,
. ......6.0.........4.5
I keep hearing this idea of using the moon as a refueling station. If you haven't looked at the numbers, t seems like a good idea. However, a quick look at the actual orbital mechanics shows that the Moon is a big waste of time. Here's the breakdown for ow much Delta V is needed to get to the Moon and Mars:
Moon.........Mars
LEO to Moon/Mars..3.2.........4.0
Orbital Insertion.......0.9.........0.1
Orbit to Surface.......1.9.........0.4
Total.............
Yes, it actually takes LESS fuel to get to Mars primarily because it has an atmosphere you can use to aerobrake. The Moon has no atmosphere and so you have to carry fuel to bleed off your transorbital speed. Furthermore, Landing on Mars is assited by being able to use the aerobrake to bleed off speed on the way down unlike the Moon. Those figures even assume that you don't use a parachute and rely upon retrorockets to come to a stop.
OK, what about the idea of the Lunar refuelling station? You now lose the 1.9km/s of energy you need to get back off the lunar surface. (you still pay for it but the refuelling barge now pays that cost) The problem is that the cost of getting to the Moon and in and out of Lunar orbit is as expensive as getting to Mars to begin with. Sure, you now havea refuelled ship that can go to Mars from lunar orbit which is cheap BUT you just spent as much fuel getting to the Moon as it would have taken to go to Mars without stopping!
To use an analogy, I want to drive to New York from Seattle. Now, would it a be a good idea to send a bunch of my friends out to Washington DC to build a gas station for me so that I can drive there, gas up and then drive up to New York? NO! The only way it would make sense is if we were building a spaceship in lunar orbit which is simply insane - we can't even do that in LEO right now. Hell, we have enough trouble doing it on the ground right now.
Furthermore, as the other respondant mentioned, you can't make fuel on the Moon. All rockets that aren't ion drives (which have no need to refuel at the Moon anyways) need an oxidizer and fuel. There's plenty of O2 on the moon in the form of metal oxides. The Moon's something like 70% oxygen. There's plenty of metal and O2 if we want to expend the energy to get it. However, O2 is the oxidizer - we still need the fuel. All our fuels use (to my knowledge) carbon, nitrogen or hydrogen. That includes everything from gasoline and candle wax to hydrazine and liquid H2. The moon has no large supplies of H2, C or N. You'll have to haul all of those in anyways. It really makes no sense to refuel there.
There's plenty of good reasons to go to the Moon, refuelling on the way to Mars is NOT one of them.
Right. I agree with you.
... let someone else do all the lovin' ...
Which is why its good that folk like John Glenn are getting behind the program. It doesn't have to be Zubrin's baby, he just needs to be in bed at the time its made
; -- the corruption of government starts with its secrets. a truly free people keep no secrets. --
Yeah, yeah, I'm putting a Mod parent up on my own message. I just want it to get read - there's too many people on this thread that seem to be under the impression that the Moon makes sense as a refuelling stop.
Hell, if you don't want to give me extra karma, mod it up as Funny or something - I just want to make sure it gets read so I don't have to see any more of these 'moon as a refuelling station' posts.
If the (Democratic) Senator wishes to say that getting to the moon is "enormously complex," then precisely how would he define a trip to Mars? It's a six day journey to the moon, but it's a six-to-nine month journey to Mars, followed by an almost mandatory one year stay, then a six-to-nine month return trip.
If complexity and danger are enough for Senator Glenn to rule out a moon colony, just how in the hell can he claim a Mars run is an easier choice?
Perhaps the Senator has, in his old age, forgotten Apollo 8, which did a dry run of the entire Apollo CM/LM setup all the way around the moon before an actual landing was attempted. Many claimed it was a waste to send the whole damned setup to the moon and not land, but NASA (rightly) decided that a shorter hop was safer than a massive leap. By establishing a moonbase first, we are in a far better position to send manned expeditions and, more importantly, colonization efforts to Mars.
The last thing I want to see happen is for NASA to blow its wad on a Mars trip, bring back a few rocks, and then sit on its thumb for the next fifty years like we did post-Apollo. We need permanent offworld settlements, not rock gathering missions. A moonbase gets us a toehold, but with an election year dawning and the Democratic Senator Glenn wishing to derail Republican Bush space initiatives, I guess politics wins out over safety of astronaut lives. Thanks, Senator. You're such an American hero.
In the end they will lay their freedom at our feet and say to us, Make us your slaves, but feed us. - Fyodor Dostoyevsky
Well, I wouldn't have put it quite like that but I agree with your sentiment. /me pats the troll on the head
. . .anything even remotely intelligent to say?
Anything at all?
If the will among Americans is present, then we will go - whether it's Bush, his successor, or someone else calling the shots. Part of the reason politics come in to play is because the people may not want to go to Mars - whether that is derived from selfishness, self-interest, the mistakes of NASA, diagreement about methods, or something else is an exercise for the political consultants among us.
If we want to go, then the Democrats will lose position by criticizing Bush and the Republicans on this point, will lose votes, and will either change their position or continue to lose votes. If Americans don't want to go to the Moon or Mars, then Pres. Bush's initiative will not survive. While some of the criticism of this plan is partisan (based on nothing other than the party suggesting it), part of the criticism is of GWB's willingness to fund and support what he wishes to do. Empty promises do good only to the lucky few who receive the bounty of gov't funding that comes from such projects. While changing project plans in midstream is always a bad idea, there may be legitimate reasons to do. Locking in methods and funding for the long term may be a bad idea.
Politics is in this decision, and will or should not leave. The people suggesting and proposing to implement this are our representatives, and if they don't listen to those who elected them, they will be no longer. Implementation of this may be fixed once we decide to do it, but the decision on the plan needs to be subject to politics, because without the will of the people to go to Mars, we shouldn't go.
This man got it figured out, send a copy of the book "The case for mars" to the senate.
The Case For Mars
ISBN 0-684-83550-9
think that in your rush to argue with a +5 Insightful comment
:)
Slashdot ratings are meaningless. If you derive any satisfaction from having a +5 rated comment that is really, really sad. And, if you're wondering, my Karma dick is undoubtedly bigger than yours.
Did the Pentagon fail to protect the country or not?
My argument was that this was irrelevant. Let me be clear: I am not interested in talking about your absurd conspiracy theories or whether Bush was elected. As a hint for future reference, pretty much nobody is. I brought up Bush being elected as a joke - it's irrelevant to the point of cliche. I wasn't trying to argue it either way - it is completely irrelevant.
I never said anybody needed a base on the moon, I merely gave reasons for why it might be militaristically important, especially in the current political context
Actually, I think we should have a moonbase. My post was to give arguments as to why it didn't make sense as a military resource - arguments you ignored. Instead, you brought in 9/11, which is (at the risk of repeating myself) irrelevant - despite your vigorous metaphor mixing attempt.
Let's not stir that bag of worms...
Of coarse the length of a space elevator depends on two things. The mass of the planet it's orbiting, and the rotational period of that planet. The moon has 1/5 the gravity of the earth, but it has a rotational period 30 times as long. So an elevator on the moon may not be that feasible.
He's right. If you run the numbers, you will see that going to Mars directly is the only real way to go. The Moon only turns out to be a good launch base for the gas giants.
Blaze a trail to the New World
Just one more thing to add...
On the other hand the moon has no atmosphere. So launches from the moon could easily be done with a rail gun.
I found a link in First Science, The Audacious Space Elevator
Later, Jerome Pearson thought about building a tower on the Moon. He determined that the center of gravity needed to be at the L1 or L2 Lagrangian points, which are special stable points that exist about any two orbiting bodies where the gravitational forces are balanced. The cable would have to be 291,901 kilometers long for the L1 point and 525,724 kilometers long for the L2 point. Compared to the 351,000 kilometers from the Earth to the Moon, that's a long cable, and the material would have to be gathered and manufactured on the Moon.
Various tree hugging organizations will do whatever they can to stop the launch of a nuclear craft from Earth, but they can't say anything if it's launched from the moon.
But how do you propose to get the nuclear fuel to the moon without launching it from Earth first?
Even assuming we know where to find Uranium on the moon, which we don't, mining and enriching it there would be mindbogglingly expensive.
Name one military scenario in the last twenty five years that would be mitigated by a threat from the moon.
How nice of you to limit it to such a historically short period, but I'll still play along. Do you honestly think a new precision targeted crater in the desert of Iraq wouldn't have an impact (pun intended) on relations with that country and the Middle East?
In any case, I was pointing out how it could be of military use, which was the question, not that is was entiry practical. However, if you feel that in a war between nations that dropping a bus sized rock on someone's capital isn't going to bother them, then you might want to put a little more thought into it.
Also, tell me this: say you're a nation and you want to go to space. How are you going to build a launch platform when it's raining rocks at the launch site? There is significant military value to keeping any others from entering space if someone already has this capability on the moon.
Of course, this is all just theory about why it could be of military value, not that any of this should be done.
...is even better, in case the enemy manages to wipe out your moon missles.
*sigh* I posted anonymously be accident, so I'll repost and address another point.
Name one military scenario in the last twenty five years that would be mitigated by a threat from the moon.
How nice of you to limit it to such a historically short period, but I'll still play along. Do you honestly think a new precision targeted crater in the desert of Iraq wouldn't have an impact (pun intended) on relations with that country and the Middle East?
In any case, I was pointing out how it could be of military use, which was the question, not that is was entiry practical. However, if you feel that in a war between nations that dropping a bus sized rock on someone's capital isn't going to bother them, then you might want to put a little more thought into it.
Also, tell me this: say you're a nation and you want to go to space. How are you going to build a launch platform when it's raining rocks at the launch site? There is significant military value to keeping any others from entering space if someone already has this capability on the moon.
If the threat is "total destruction", we already have that threat with nuclear subs, and that is far far more tangible than some hocus-pocus base on the moon.
Just because we have weapon A, that doesn't mean weapon B is useless. This argument is meaningless.
Of course, this is all just theory about why it could be of military value, not that any of this should be done.
enough said
UGH! Is everyone here illiterate? We can ALREADY level the Middle East. Anything you can do with a rock from space I can do for 1% of the cost here, and the difference is my threat is tangible, yours is scifi.
Yes one of RAH's best works.
A catapult on the moon could be of great strategic value as a weapon system. Rocks are cheap, and you don't have the problem of fa;;out. Of course you have to be able to defend your catapult or have it hidden underground, like the revolutionaries did in the book.
From the article: "Glenn, a retired Democratic senator from Ohio and the first U.S. astronaut to orbit the Earth..." Is the fact that he was a senator really more important than the fact that he was the first American in space? The reason people will listen to him on this issue is because of the latter, not the former (His political experience may in actual fact be more important, but that doesn't change things).
In just 2 decades, this idea has gone from being impossible to far-out to design studies [sciencentral.com].
Only 2 decades your say? Wow what progress. At this rate a space elevator may take over controlled nuclear fusion over as the technology most likely to revolutionize the world "real soon now."
an ill wind that blows no good
And what is your delivery window for this? If its less than one half hour (and thats probably generous), you and all of your assets are DOA. In that time a capable enemy can have ballistic missiles (more than you can shoot down) in the air. In fact they could likely level all of your assets before your rock hits them. And since they will likely have a significant warning about your rock, they may even be able to stop it.
Once again you will have a tough time pinpointing this rock against your most likely adversary, who is likely already in the US by time they are ready to strike. Of course since you do not treat terrorism as war, I guess we would just be "scuffling".
He's right in that getting to Mars via the moon is utterly laughable, but he's wrong about keeping that multibillion dollar floating tin can of a boondoggle in orbit. The NASA bozos should never have blown billions on the ISS.
Maybe they could strap rockets to the ISS and use it as the human habitation section for a Mars mission. That'd get my vote and maybe even save a few billion on any Mars mission.
Living on an environmentally hostile planet like the moon or Mars is just crazy at this point, never mind the technological feasibility, or the cost. When NASA can keep a group of people alive for 2 years in a TOTALLY self-contained environment on Earth then we might stand a chance.
The biggest obstacles, IMHO, are the psychological and physiological factors. There is no "going out for a breath of fresh air" on the moon or Mars. We take many things for granted on this earth and have no real substitute for the ocean, rivers, trees, bacteria, etc for renewing our environment. We would need to replicate big parts of Earth to make a distant planet habitable, in any real sense.
What needs to happen is the terraforming of Mars to see if it is feasible. If we have the patience to wait 100 years or so we could make parts of Mars much more hospitable, probably with the help of robotic factories to augment the environment. Of course in this "Short Attention Span" society of ours, 10 years seems like an eternity so what are the odds that anyone would consider a more long-term solution.
"Meaningless!, Meaningless!" says the Teacher. "Utterly meaningless!"
there is the matter of the He-III which has collected on the moon's surface over the millenia. That's a big, big resource to anyone interested in sustainable nuclear fusion.
+++ATH0
The goal isn't to get there. It's to get there and stay there. To do that, we first need to learn how to stay on the moon.
For great justice.
Yup, kinda sad to see someone who was once a great man, and a supporter of the space program, spend so much time in Congress he forgets all that and becomes just another political operative. Guess is a Democrat first and and an astronaut/space booster/etc second. All that matters is Bush proposed it so he now has to oppose it. Sad.
Democrat delenda est
Its now the Glenn Research Center (ironically enough)
"Open the pod by doors, Hal" > "I'm afraid I can't do that, Dave" sudo "Open the pod bay doors, Hal" > alright
NO, you don't understand. The idea is not to build the ships here, land then on the moon, refuel them there and launch them form the moon. That would be idioitic.
The idea is to BUILD the ships and equipment on the moon using lunar materials and lanuch them from there. This does make a lot of sense because it is a lot easier to launch from the moon than from earth. Further, it results in us having the infrastructure on the moon to mount similar future missions.
Also it gives us the chance to gain experiance building self-sustaining colonies on other planets. That way when we do get to mars, we can build a perminant colony there too.
In short, it is cheeper in the long run because you get a long term return on your investment(a perminant self-sustaining colony on the moon). And don't you tell me that a self sustaining colony is impossible, nothing is impossible.
Glenn and numerous others are also living under the illusion that everything of value must be prefixed with "manned"--manned trips to the moon (1960s), a manned space shuttle (1970-80s), a manned space station (1990s) and now manned trips to Mars. All were or are too much money for too little benefit to the public or to science.
In reality, telescopes, computers and robotics have improved to the point where people have become a costly nuisance in space. Their life support system are too complex, they always have to be returned to earth, and too much money has to be spent on their safety. And so forth....
The ISS costs far too much for the pitifully little science it produces. Hubble would have been been a better telescope and had a longer life if it had been designed to be serviced by robots rather than people. Mars multiplies all the factors that make people in space a costly nuisance by a hundred. Mars could be explored better and cheaper by an increasingly complex series of robotics, some able to return material to earth.
Space fans need to face the fact the the public is no longer interested in manned space ventures to the point where they're willing to fund schemes like Mars. From their perspective (and that of science), a robot gives 95% of the value for 5% of the cost. Send more robots and you get 300% of the value for 15% of the cost.
Space fans have always been caught up in the illusion that space is the new frontier, that going to the moon or Mars is like Columbus discovering American and the Lewis and Clark expedition. That's nonsense. In Columbus' day you could buy a ship in which you could sail around the world (slowly) in any of dozens of European ports. Even the cost was no big deal. Private individuals regularly funded trading trips to Asia via the horn of Africa. Going around the world was only about 2 or 3 times more costly than that.
Space isn't like that. We don't have the technology to take us to Mars and getting it will take huge sums of money that most Americans think, quite rightly, ought to be spend elsewhere.
As much as I like space exploration, we have to be realistic. Manned trips anywhere but near earth probably won't make sense for several generations or longer. The chief advantage of Bush's Mars program isn't that it will take us to the moon and on to Mars. It's that it provides us cover for leaving the foolish ISI to Europe and the Russians. Then we can conveniently forget about the moon and Mars.
In the long run, being realistic may give us a real and continuing presence in space sooner than a single symbolic push to put human footprints on the red sand of Mars. Look at what happened to our drive to the moon. We went a few times and haven't returned once in over 30 years. Our moon landing came too soon, was too rushed and became more symbolism than substance (much like the JFK who originated the idea).
Like it or not, the future of space exploration is robotics for our solar system and telescopes for the rest of the universe. If we're smart, we'll put our creativity and money there. Until someone comes up with the actual physics for a "warp drive" we're stuck on Earth.
And there are certainly worse places to be stuck than our charming little planet.
--Mike Perry
http://www.InklingBooks.com
A few checks with military radar and the course can be traced back to point of origin.
As long as the rock was observed (by people who survive the impact) for several seconds before impact, the origin would be well known.
If it was suspected that there was anything like a loaded military mass driver on the Moon pointed at Earth, you can bet it there would be radar watching it 24/7.
Lasers aren't subject to inverse square law. Consider the typical laser pointer: it can illuminate a point up to 25+m away using only 5mW of power. An equivalent light bulb, which *does* obey inverse square, can't do diddly squat at that distance.
Lasers only diminish at far distances because the wavefunctions of the output photons aren't perfectly coherent.
BTW, the inverse-square-law occurs for light bulbs because they generate radiation uniformly in all directions; hence, the intensity = P/A = P/(4*pi*r^2) drops off proportional to r^(-2).
I agree with a lot of your other points.
Human being (n.): A genetically human, genetically distinct, functioning organism.
>>John Glenn lost all credibility with me when, as a US senator, he pulled that garbage line about "exploring the effects of age on space travel" as an excuse to get NASA to launch him back to space.
>Yes, of course it was an excuse.
20 million here and 20 million there, and it all adds up to real money.
Fortunately, I work for a VERY large bank (nameless, as am I).
I know it's stupid to spend that kind of money when we are in debt more than any other time in history. BUT, if the government was borrowing less I can tell you for a FACT that people in my company (inc. me!) would have bbeen laid off after Sept 11.
Yes, loansharking is not an honorable trade. But who'se got the Lexus?? :-P
All *I* can say is, I'm glad I am 58 years old. I'll be dead before this dinner chekc gets paid. God bless you young kids you're predestined for one fuvked economy.
isn't the moon (250,000 miles) and even LEO pretty much a "far distance" when compared to a laser with a beam width measured in meters? At this point doesn't the cross section of the beam still drops with the inverse of the distance? (and the intensity light/area drops with the inverse square?) A laser pointer with a beam with of a few millimeters illuminating a target a few tens of meters away has a beam width that is still relatively large in proportion to the overall distance. That is I can shine my laser pointer at a wall 1 meters away and it covers a spot 10mm across. At 10 meters the beam may only have expanded to say 30mm across (not 100) because the output at the beam's source was 10mm to begin with. On the other hand this same beam shining on an object 1km away might produce a spot 1m across. Now if it illuminated an object 10km away the beam would be 10m across (and 100th the intensity). What I'm trying to say is that at far enough distances, everything is a point source. Check out my post in the tumbleweeds in Mars article!
I would give you 5 informative :))))
You are right!!!!
Even 0.5c is impossible!!!
selfmade terrorism owns you.
Oh yes, because we are opressing the islamic world. It's all big bad America's fault. We are so tyranical!
Ahem!!!
Stand on the surface of the moon. Drop a rock. What happens?
Hint: the rock does not go hurtling towards Earth.
Any military utility from rocks on the moon pre-supposes a rail gun, the construction costs of which would dwarf the wettest dreams of the most hardware-lovin' Pentagon techno-wonks.
So why is this viable again?
Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
...and he sure as hell isn't an accountant. I've not seen a serious scientist yet advocate a direct trajectory mission to mars with a straight face. The cost getting enough fuel and payload off the ground is enormous (and will remain so until the space elevator gets erected). A moon base is a practical first step and fuel generation point (mmm, He3 fusion rockets).
Quite right. Rail guns only work for cargo, however. Squishy people do much better with a space elevator. I wouldn't be surprised if the two technologies even existed in tandem. You could certainly make use of a rail gun in constructing an elevator, for that matter.
~Idarubicin
The most frequent argument against going to Mars seems to me to be that it costs too much and doesn't fix problems on Earth. Supporters usually mention the technology spin-offs but this doesn't really address the concerns of the fix-Earth-first brigade.
For 10 biillion or so people to live happily on Earth we are going to have to improve our resource utilisation and recycliing technologies. These technologies will be critical for the success of a Mars base and the necessity of being super-efficient on Mars will lead to breakthroughs that can be used on Earth. It would be a crucible for pushing the state of the art in recycling.
It wouldn't have to accelerate people very fast. It could be miles long and accelerate people over it's entire length. In order to get escape velocity while giving the cargo 3 G's of force would take 80 seconds, and 100Km of track.
Wow, enigma, you really shouldn't take so many red pills at once.
An astronaut talks about keeping things simple and you somehow turn this into political posturing. Further, you so invert the logic to even say "I guess politics wins out over safety of astronaut lives."
How does a 2 or 3 stop mission improve safety?
The only thing that'd make the irony thicker is if Glenn, instead of Shepp, were famous for the "everything was made by the lowest bidder" quote.
Incidentally, there are a lot of responses to the story showing the fuel costs make a 2 stop mission a bad idea. Add in stresses to hardware under takeoff and landing, dust and other unforseens on the moon and I agree with the senator: keep it simple. Redo apollo, with an orbiter and lander pair. Get there, get back.
After that, we can go to work on increasing budgets to prevent another 30 year lag before the next mission. The two are separate issues, though. Budget cuts and cancellations (bipartisan) have gotten us here.
Attn moderators: If this was a carefully researched rant, I'd support your moderating it up. But it isn't. There is a factual error (30 not 50 years), several unsupported declarations (need settlements, the lesser complexity of a moon COLONY vs. a mars RUN, a moonbase improves access to mars, and his safety vs. politics rant) and it *insults* a prominent figure just to declare partisan politics as the basis for Glenn's thinking. If the parent message doesn't deserve being modded down, not much does. Repeatedly, I've stepped up to defend space programs, and repeatedly I get notes from other pro-space types that say it's a waste of breath, since there seems to be something about space exploration stories that makes computer geeks into armchair rocket scientists. Please... prove 'em wrong.
He was merely posing for the press. He barely altered NASA's budget (adding $1B to existing $87B budget, a 1% increase). The science is bad. Unless the moon already has sufficient resources to provide most of the mass of the project, using the moon as a stepping stone is bad physics.
Why loft materials out of Earth's gravity well and into another sizable gravity well (the moon). You end up doing the heavy lifting twice.
If they wanted to stage from an earth orbiting station, that might make a little more sense. All told you expend the same/similar energy getting out of Earth's well if you pause part of the way out. If there is benefit of assembly in zero-G (free fall), then you could utilize a space station.
(Existing space station orbit is too far out of the solar plane to be useful in its current location, BTW.)
whoops. ignore I said any of that. tinfoil hat slipped
Actually, if your tinfoil had slipped, you would not say anything of that, since THEY would obviously be able to manipulate thoughts in your brain, unprotected from the biomagnetic mind control devices. Assuming THEY == guvmint, you would be forced to believe that the mission to Moon in fact happened and nothing interesting was found there.
So I would presume you are an agent of the system, be it the guvmint or aliens. You are attempting to turn the question of the true Moon findings into a joke, trying to make those of us with fully functional tin hats and those immune to mind control believe that there was nothing of note there. But you will not fool us!
Future Wiki -- If you don't think about the future, you cannot have one.
What can your rail gun do that the nukes we have already bought, paid for, and tested not do???
I think you misunderstand. The desire for bigger and better weapons is not driven by their destructive ability, but by the lust for their destructive ability. A lot of people in very high places get their rocks off by thinking about being able to kill billions, not just millions, of people. These are the people who drive military development today.
I've had this sig for three days.
I agree with everything above. We are not the only Nation that has a space program. Unless you have a Secret Plan to make Everybody Love Each Other Right Now (in which case, I would love to hear your secret plan), what is being said is a good argument for A United States Presence on Luna. Now, mind you, I don't really care who gets there first; we are currently on Good Terms with two of the three other Powers that have the independant capability of placing Human People on the Moon. But we must be there, and there must be a military presence there. .
There Is No God Where I Is.
The secret colony of Women Who Love Engineers, of course.
Then how were lasers used to accurately determine the distance of the moon? If what you say is true, there wouldn't be enough detectable photons deflected from the mirror left on the moon to be received.
I don't have Bradley Edwards' book with me which discusses this in some detail, but IIRC you can't build a space elevator on the moon because the "selino-stationary" orbit is way, way, way, too far out.
Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from a rigged demo
--Andy Finkel (J. Klass?)
I used to work on a truck dock, and we had a philosophy that we lived by when loading and unloading trucks: never move your freight twice. It's double work. I'm with Glenn.
In your example, the mathematical relationship between the numbers is not 1/r^2 but 1/r^n, where n is about 1. I'm willing to accept a 1/r^n relationship as likely, but I am fairly confident that n is close to 0.
As evidence, I would appeal to the use of lasers to find the distance to the moon. Apollo 11 left mirrors on the moon, and lasers have been used to check the distance to the moon. In order for this to work, the drop-off in intensity must be negligible, at least for well-tuned lasers (i.e., not the cheapo solid-state laser pointers).
Regards,
Jeff Cagle
P.S. read your post. It was interesting, although I confess ignorance on Mars issues.
Human being (n.): A genetically human, genetically distinct, functioning organism.
ye gods... manner, not manor. s/manor/manner/g for the perl-inclined. Also, s/Not Going/Not debating Going/g
I only see a few solutions, but maybe someone else can suggest others:
Any other ideas?
Allegedly real newspaper headline from 1998:
Man Struck by Lightning Faces Battery Charge