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Panel Challenges NASA Over Shuttle Safety

Uttini writes "NASA skipped some shuttle safety improvements as it tried to meet unrealistic launch dates for the first flight since the Columbia tragedy, some members of an oversight panel said in a scathing critique. Poor leadership also made shuttle Discovery's return to space more complicated, expensive and prolonged than it needed to be."

266 comments

  1. Hey by PunkOfLinux · · Score: 5, Insightful

    They need to keep people thinking that their program is deserving of taxpayers' money. The best way to do that is to launch the shuttle, especially after something like columbia.

    They did what they with what they had; the government keeps cutting nasa funding, and THAT is what lead to columbia -- too little money, too much to do.

    1. Re:Hey by Raelus · · Score: 3, Interesting

      NASA isn't a magic organization. They can't turn turds into space shuttles in a week. There's really no news here, we knew that NASA was underfunded and overpressured to get this done.

      --
      "It is the stillest words which bring the storm. Thoughts that come with doves' footsteps guide the world."
    2. Re:Hey by Mr2cents · · Score: 2, Insightful

      the government keeps cutting nasa funding, and THAT is what lead to columbia -- too little money, too much to do.

      That or the space shuttle is inherrently flawed. Let's scrap the shuttle and make something better, before the next crew dies.

      --
      "It's too bad that stupidity isn't painful." - Anton LaVey
    3. Re:Hey by Stonehand · · Score: 3, Informative

      Cutting NASA funding? No, it's been increasing -- if slowly.

      Graph on budget

      It is true, however, that priorities have been shifting away from the shuttle program.

      --
      Only the dead have seen the end of war.
    4. Re:Hey by Vellmont · · Score: 5, Insightful


      That or the space shuttle is inherrently flawed. Let's scrap the shuttle and make something better, before the next crew dies.

      The shuttle may be "flawed" as you put it. Or maybe spaceflight is just dangerous? Do we really have reason to believe the next generation craft is going to be safer? If so, how much safer? Life is risky you know. Hell, we can hardly build a bridge or a skyscraper without SOMEONE dying.

      There is one thing that's not disputed, and that is that the shuttle flights are way too expensive. The shuttle IS set to be scrapped, but we have to complete the space station before that can happen. For the moment the shuttle serves a purpose that can't be quickly replaced.

      I think they should be doing exactly what they are, and that is get the damn ISS built, then scrap the shuttle since it's purpose will have been served.

      --
      AccountKiller
    5. Re:Hey by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      Just sending crew on smaller, less complex vehicles and sending cargo on larger, more complex vehicles would be a start. Of course, then you have to actually justify sending the humans whereas now you can claim that the humans are just hitching a ride.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    6. Re:Hey by toddbu · · Score: 1, Interesting
      too little money, too much to do

      When a single ISS beam costs $600 million, you gotta ask what they're spending their cash on.

      --
      If you don't want crime to pay, let the government run it.
    7. Re:Hey by Monkelectric · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I doubt you are a engineer, let alone an aerospace engineer. I also doubt a single beam actually cost 600 million. However, whatever it did cost, I have one phrase for you "extreme material constraints".

      --

      Religion is a gateway psychosis. -- Dave Foley

    8. Re:Hey by demachina · · Score: 2, Interesting

      To get people in to space affordably I vote for either Kliper or CRX.

      The Russians just announced the Kliper launch targets, 2011 first unmanned flight and 2012 first manned flight. It will carry six so if it works its the best bet to actually fully man the ISS. It can't be over 3 people now due to the emergency lifeboat limit which is currently a Soyuz. At a 3 man crew very little research or manufacturing can be done.

      CRX is essentially Burt Rutan's LEO successor to SpaceShipOne in partnership with Transformational space and under a small contract from NASA. CRX is not as well known as CEV. Its intended to just get people to and from LEO and the Space Station reliably, safely and affordably. Its a leader, follower NASA contractor. If the leader, which is I think Transformational and Scale succeeds they stay the leader, if they fail the followers move up on the funding ladder. A real improvement in competition over NASA's usual approach which is just pick between Boeing, Lockheed or a consortium of the big names.

      As for the grandparent's assertion that NASA's problem is not enough money THAT is absurd. NASA has squandered $100 billion and heading for $160 billion on the ISS by 2010. The Shuttle averages over its life $1.3 billion a launch. Its the most expensive launcher in history.

      NASA's problem is waste not insufficient funding. If its budget is getting cut by the politicians its because they to waste much doing to little in their manned space program. Of course politicians in Florida, Texas, Utah and Mississippi, in particular, fan the flames by encouraging NASA to maintain bloated payrolls so they have lots of nice jobs in their states and districts. The Shuttle and ISS are great for a bloated payroll, jobs program. In that regard they will be missed. The danger is new programs like CEV will have to maintain the same bloated payroll to win political and budget support. If you keep the bloated payroll the bloated launch costs will live on.

      --
      @de_machina
    9. Re:Hey by Zen+Punk · · Score: 2

      They're working on it. The shuttle already has a set date for retirement, and there are plans for a next-generation vehicle. What do you expect them to do?

      Throw up their hands and say, "Yeah, we know that the last flight was succesful and we have tons of modules for the ISS completed and awaiting launch, but we feel like scrapping the only vehicle capable of installing them and just letting them rust. Gotta make sure that astronauts never die, and the only way to do that is to never fly."

      --
      Sleep is futile.
    10. Re:Hey by dnoyeb · · Score: 1

      You scrap a design when your list of design improvements are incompatible with the present design foundation.

      You don't scrap something then decide on how to make a new one. You'll just end up with the same thing, or something different for no good reason.

    11. Re:Hey by s0meguy · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Try reading this for some provocative reasons why ity's a big waster of time: http://www.idlewords.com/2005/08/a_rocket_to_nowhe re.htm "In the thirty years since the last Moon flight, we have succeeded in creating a perfectly self-contained manned space program, in which the Shuttle goes up to save the Space Station (undermanned, incomplete, breaking down, filled with garbage, and dropping at a hundred meters per day), and the Space Station offers the Shuttle a mission and a destination. The Columbia accident has added a beautiful finishing symmetry - the Shuttle is now required to fly to the ISS, which will serve as an inspection station for the fragile thermal tiles, and a lifeboat in case something goes seriously wrong."

    12. Re:Hey by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 1
      They did what they with what they had; the government keeps cutting nasa funding

      That's a common myth, examination of the inflation adjusted figures show that NASA's budget has been flat since Apollo was cancelled.

      Every year they threaten to cut the budget, but they always work it out in the end.

      --

      -WolfWithoutAClause

      "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
    13. Re:Hey by FleaPlus · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The shuttle may be "flawed" as you put it. Or maybe spaceflight is just dangerous? Do we really have reason to believe the next generation craft is going to be safer? If so, how much safer?

      A lot of people tend to assume that space travel is inherently dangerous, but that isn't necessarily true. Just look at the Russian Soyuz, which hasn't had a fatality since 1971.

      The shuttle IS set to be scrapped, but we have to complete the space station before that can happen.

      Why? There's no way that the benefit we'll get from the ISS will be worth the cost. Although it's been great for pork-barrel politics, the benefits of the ISS to science and exploration are rather dubious:

      http://www.thespacereview.com/article/391/2

      If the main concern is keeping the promises we've made to our international partners, I'm fairly certain that we can offer them other things which will cost us far less than completing the ISS with the shuttle.

    14. Re:Hey by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      There's one thing being developed at the space station that is terribly important for manned space flight: a radiation shield. When we went to the Moon, how big a ship we could take and how long we could stay were limited by exposure to the van allen belts. If we wanted to take a hundred people to the Moon we had to do it in 40+ trips cause any ship that could carry 100 people would expose them to radiation for too long. Having a station at the L1 libration point (where the gravity of the Moon and Earth meet) would allow us to refuel, change ships and do science. But you can forget about it if we have to make a radiation shield out of physical materials. So yeah, until we get that breakthrough (and some breakthroughs in propulsion would be good too) we won't have anywhere to go.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    15. Re:Hey by Vellmont · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm not sure how much science the ISS really is going to produce, but if we're going to do manned space exploration to Mars, we're going to have to tackle long duration space flight. To do that you need a place to study long duration spaceflight. Currently (and for the long term future) the only place to do is the ISS.

      It may not be perfect, but it's what we've got. The shuttle certainly isn't perfect, but it's what we've got right now. It's not like the political climate that produced these imperfect beasts has changed much, so ditching the ISS and starting over would likely lead to the same thing.

      I will say this though, if the only goal of NASA were science they should absolutely ditch the ISS and the shuttle. That's not the only goal of NASA however. You can argue about what the goals should be, but be clear about what you're arguing for. A waste of time is different depending upon what you value.

      --
      AccountKiller
    16. Re:Hey by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can only hope the readers of this letter are as outraged as I am at NASA. Unless you share my view that NASA is fluent in the impudent patois of escapism, there's no need for you to hear me further. The oppressive fetishism I've been writing about is not primarily the fault of homophobic airheads, nor of the misguided scrubs who mold your mind and have you see the world not as it is, but as NASA wants you to see it. It is the fault of NASA. I mean, NASA operates on an international scale to elevate its strictures to prominence as epistemological principles. It's only fitting, therefore, that we, too, work on an international scale, but to push a consistent vision that responds to most people's growing fears about intolerant loudmouths. If I am correct that what may seem insignificant or humorous to NASA is often hurtful and confusing to others, then blackguardism is dangerous. Its grungy version of it is doubly so.

      Even if we accepted NASA's sentiments, so what? Does that mean that no one is smart enough to see through its transparent lies? Of course not. NASA wants nothing less than to irritate an incredible number of people, hence its repeated, almost hypnotic, insistence on the importance of its huffy ideals.

      NASA coins polysyllabic neologisms to make its wheelings and dealings sound like they're actually important. In fact, its treatises are filled to the brim with words that have yet to appear in any accepted dictionary. By the same token, NASA and I disagree about our civic duties. I assert that we must do our utmost to give our propaganda fighters an instrument that is very much needed at this time as expeditiously as possible. NASA, on the other hand, believes that we can change the truth if we don't like it the way it is. I've never bothered NASA. Yet NASA wants to jump on everything that is written, said, or even implied and label it as either empty-headed or depraved. Whatever happened to "live and let live"? While it is reasonable to expect that NASA rarely tells its stooges that it plans to provoke terrible, total, universal, and merciless destruction, it remains that it says that it has its moral compass in tact. This is at best wrong. At worst, it is a lie. In short, I feel we must bear witness to the plain, unvarnished truth. I hope other members of the community feel the same.

    17. Re:Hey by Col+Bat+Guano · · Score: 2, Insightful
      The shuttle may be "flawed" as you put it. Or maybe spaceflight is just dangerous? Do we really have reason to believe the next generation craft is going to be safer?

      Yes it can be dangerous, just like airflight is dangerous. Airflight is a lot safer and spaceflight can be made similarly safe as well.
      One solution is to simply use Russian rockets for people, and dumb cargo rockets for everything else.

    18. Re:Hey by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you realize that the things that NASA must pay for are also increased in price due to inflation?

      $100 is still more than $10, no matter what. EVERYTHING adjusts itself with inflation, not just one side of the buyers/sellers.

    19. Re:Hey by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      CRX is essentially Burt Rutan's LEO successor to SpaceShipOne in partnership with Transformational space and under a small contract from NASA.

      Don't you mean the CXV?

      By the way, there's a rather good article over at Wired which talks about the CXV a little. It includes photos and video of their recent full-scale capsule drop test and water landing:

      http://wired.com/news/space/0,2697,68528,00.html?t w=wn_tophead_1

      There are some additional photos and videos here.

    20. Re:Hey by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The shuttle IS flawed. The side-by-side configuration is dangerous. Much more dangerous than the shuttle-on-top configuration.

      No amount of money is going to change the fact that anything going wrong with any part of the shuttle is going to cascade and damage something else that is sitting right next to it.

      We don't have to complete the space station either. We can let it fall into the ocean. The world won't end if that happens, and we can get on to REAL exploration instead. Or, we could finish it with different technology. The Shuttle can't lift any more weight than an itty-bitty Delta, so it's a crappy vehicle to lift the space station to orbit.

      The Shuttle-B next gen spacecraft is the way to go. We could launch the ISS in a handful of flights instead of the dozens that it's taken.

      Scrap the shuttle NOW. Spaceflight is dangerous, but don't fool yourself. The shuttle isn't helping at all.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    21. Re:Hey by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      They're working on it. The shuttle already has a set date for retirement, and there are plans for a next-generation vehicle. What do you expect them to do?

      Throw up their hands and say, "Yeah, we know that the last flight was succesful and we have tons of modules for the ISS completed and awaiting launch, but we feel like scrapping the only vehicle capable of installing them and just letting them rust. Gotta make sure that astronauts never die, and the only way to do that is to never fly."


      I would expect them to scrap the shuttle and use its funds to develop the next-generation craft. Then, if people still want the ISS completed for whatever reason, they can launch its modules on the next-gen craft for far less money.

    22. Re:Hey by Vellmont · · Score: 1


      We don't have to complete the space station either. We can let it fall into the ocean. The world won't end if that happens, and we can get on to REAL exploration instea

      No, the world won't end. But I'd give a very good chance that taxpayer support for Nasa would take a huge nosedive if all the money thrown into the ISS was all for nothing. The same thing is probbably true for other taxpayers in other countries funding the ISS as well.

      No amount of money is going to change the fact that anything going wrong with any part of the shuttle is going to cascade and damage something else that is sitting right next to it.


      Strange. I'm under the impression that things go wrong all the time with parts of the shuttle and they don't cascade into further failures. The foam has fallen off on all 200 some flights, and only once did it cascade into further failures. Just this last flight the gap filler came out, and it didn't cascade into further failures.

      --
      AccountKiller
    23. Re:Hey by Vellmont · · Score: 2, Informative


      Just look at the Russian Soyuz, which hasn't had a fatality since 1971.

      And the Soyuz program has had about 60 manned launches compared to a little more than 100 shuttle launches. The shuttle has been lost twice, and Soyuz once. Sounds like about the same safety record to me. (which is completely igoring the fact that Soyuz has been redesigned a couple times during that period, so we have even less data on it).

      --
      AccountKiller
    24. Re:Hey by demachina · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "Don't you mean the CXV?"

      Yes, thanks. Acronym fatigue.

      "It includes photos and video of their recent full-scale capsule drop test and water landing:"

      Thats the thing I like about Rutan most. He bends metal and tries stuff instead of producing endless studies, artists conceptions and expendive half hour animations like NASA and its behemoth contractors. If you watch NASA TV they seem to have a penchant for expensive CG videos about how cool it would be if they did all this stuff. They aren't going to actually get around to bending metal and actually doing it, but aren't our animations cool? I suspect NASA needs to fire everyone who produces these animations and hit them with a clue stick, bend metal and stop the mental masturbation producing animation.

      I also like the fact Rutan exploits available, simple, proven technology instead of relying on stuff that is high risk, going to cost a fortune and take forever to develop.

      --
      @de_machina
    25. Re:Hey by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I used to work with a program manager for Apollo (no, I'm not that old, but those old NASA guys refuse to retire!) After Apollo, he was on the shuttle review board in Washington. I have also worked with one of the guys who got blamed for Challenger (the O-ring guy, yes him, you've never heard of him, but he cries when he tells the story). I have worked with lots of NASA guys from the 60's, 70's, and 80's, and they will all tell you the Shuttle was a political abortion. If you don't believe it, do some freaking research on your own people, you don't have to go any farther than the Internet(s), it's all true, and it's Your Government At Work.

      Scrap the Shuttle. Scrap all the Shuttle proponents and all the people who depend on the Shuttle program for their living. Scrap NASA for that matter, announce a $15 billion prize (NASA's annual budget), sit back and watch Rutan get busy.

      Oh yeah, I worked with some of Rutan's people, too. They got the vision thing. In spades.

      What do you call a camel? A horse designed by committee. Same with the Shuttle.

      Yeah, I'm posting this anonymously. Because freedom of speech doesn't exist in this country anymore.

    26. Re:Hey by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then you'll probably agree that it's time to build NX-01, the starship Enterprise.

    27. Re:Hey by Vellmont · · Score: 1


      Yes it can be dangerous, just like airflight is dangerous. Airflight is a lot safer and spaceflight can be made similarly safe as well.


      And how long did it take to make airflight safe? The first flight took place in a hot air ballon in 1783. It took until 1903 to even get to a primitive airplane from the Wright brothers. With spaceflight, we're not a hell of a long way past the hot air balloon stage.

      --
      AccountKiller
    28. Re:Hey by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      Thats the thing I like about Rutan most. He bends metal and tries stuff instead of producing endless studies, artists conceptions and expendive half hour animations like NASA and its behemoth contractors. If you watch NASA TV they seem to have a penchant for expensive CG videos about how cool it would be if they did all this stuff. They aren't going to actually get around to bending metal and actually doing it, but aren't our animations cool? I suspect NASA needs to fire everyone who produces these animations and hit them with a clue stick, bend metal and stop the mental masturbation producing animation.

      Heh, very true.

      Not that cool animations are somehow intrinsically bad. t/Space's video of their overall concept is pretty cool:

      http://www.transformspace.com/index.cfm?fuseaction =media_gallery.viewalbum&albumid=A1663F17-06A1-129 4-296BE5E624169B1B

      What gets me is that they did this all for $6 million: paper studies, shiny animations and videos, a couple of drop tests, full-scale mock-ups, a new crew seat prototype, and more. Meanwhile, LockMart and Boeing have gotten $28 million each, and have still only produced powerpoint slides and paper studies.

    29. Re:Hey by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Shhh!

      Don't let facts get in the way of our Star Trek fantasies! Space is the ultimate destiny for the human race... or something like that. A friend of mine who talked to the brother of some guy at NASA said that aerospace engineers are starving in the streets because of the the current administration--err sorry EEEVIL BUSH. Quick, let's pour more of our failing GDP into the money-sink!

    30. Re:Hey by S.O.B. · · Score: 1

      Did you create this some sort of Mad Lib for rambling fanatics by plugging in "NASA" for "people I don't like today"?

      --
      Some of what I say is fact, some is conjecture, the rest I'm just blowing out my ass...you guess.
    31. Re:Hey by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you want to get technical the shuttle was never the direct cause of the fatalities, it was a booster rocket o ring and a piece of foam from the main rocket.

    32. Re:Hey by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    33. Re:Hey by Bad+D.N.A. · · Score: 1, Troll

      Please get your facts straight.

      ":There's one thing being developed at the space station that is terribly important for manned space flight: a radiation shield"

      So they are developing a "radiation shield" on the space station? I'm looking forward to reading the papers on this topic.

      "When we went to the Moon, how big a ship we could take and how long we could stay were limited by exposure to the van allen belts."

      And what L shell is the moon at? Like 57 or something? Radiation is certainly an issue at L shells of like 1.5-4 but beyond that it's a non issue.

      "If we wanted to take a hundred people to the Moon we had to do it in 40+ trips cause any ship that could carry 100 people would expose them to radiation for too long."

      Hum...your math lost me there.

      "Having a station at the L1 libration point (where the gravity of the Moon and Earth meet)"

      No, the L1 point is where the forces between the Earth and the Sun are balanced. We have a number of spacecraft there... ACE, SOHO, WIND, etc...

      "would allow us to refuel, change ships and do science."

      While your there would you please replace my thermal blankets and one of my SSDs, it's become pretty noisy. I'll gladly pay perdium.

      "But you can forget about it if we have to make a radiation shield out of physical materials"

      So what do you propose we make our shields out of? I guess I'm kind of behind the times on the un-physical-shielding-materials.

      "So yeah, until we get that breakthrough"

      in what?

      "(and some breakthroughs in propulsion would be good too)"

      agreed

        "we won't have anywhere to go."

      Does anything in your discussion have to do with where we go?
      --

      --
      "Truth is much too complicated to allow anything but approximations"
    34. Re:Hey by demachina · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Your wired article was good too, I forgot to say.

      I'm starting to develop this fear that it might be better if CXV stayed obscure and they keep their progress and success secret. If they start getting to much good press, make to much progress and make CEV, the NASA politburo, and the behemoth contractors look bad that could be bad. They may unite to squash CXV like a bug and once the politics start engineering excellence wont matter a bit.

      The contrast between CXV doing stuff and CEV not, is so stark its kind of embarrassing to the CEV team.

      I wager Mike Griffin will do everything in his power to keep it alive but he runs the risk he may get squashed like a bug too if he rocks the leaky NASA barge to much. Everything I've seen of him I really like him. I wager if anyone can turn NASA aroound he might be the man with a little prodding from below from Rutan. He's about the only Bush appointee I can think of where I can say "That guy is good". His worst problem is I don't think he has enough good people in the upper and middle management to support him. O'Keefe was an embarrassing catastrophe more in line with the Bush track record.

      --
      @de_machina
    35. Re:Hey by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      radiation shielding research on the ISS. Being fried by radiation from the Sun is even worse than being fried by radiation in the Van-Allen belts. Going back to the Moon to put more flags and footprints down is pointless. Going back to utilize the Moon's resources is a lot harder to do without a good radiation shield.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    36. Re:Hey by Zen+Punk · · Score: 1

      That is a well put-together troll. Why let it languish at 0, O Anonymous Coward?

      --
      Sleep is futile.
    37. Re:Hey by demachina · · Score: 5, Informative

      Mike Griffin summed this up pretty well in his congressional testimony before he became administrator. Back then he only really supported Shuttle and ISS if Congress would give NASA buckets of money to do it and fast track CEV, and unless they redirect all the money being squandered on Iraq, its unlikely NASA will get buckets of money to do both. Maybe now that he is administrator he has to be more diplomatic and support the Shuttle and ISS more.

      "But the more important question is whether the return to be obtained from the use of ISS to support exploration objectives is worth the money yet to be invested in its completion. The nation, through the NASA budget, plans to allocate $32 B to ISS (including ISS transport) through 2016, and another $28 B to shuttle operations through 2011. This total of $60 B is significantly higher than NASA's current allocation for human lunar return. It is beyond reason to believe that ISS can help to fulfill any objective, or set of objectives, for space exploration that would be worth the $60 B remaining to be invested in the program."

      "Equally important is the delay in pursuing the President's vision. Respecting present budget constraints, we return to the moon in 2020, thus accomplishing in 16 years what it required eight years to achieve in the 1960s. This is not because the task is so much more difficult, or because we are today so much less capable than our predecessors, but because we do not actually begin work on the task until 2011. I do not need to point out to this body the political pitfalls endemic to such a plan."

      "I, and others, have elsewhere advocated that the shuttle should be returned to flight and the ISS brought to completion, if only because the program's two-decade advocacy by the United States and commitment to its international partners should not be cavalierly abandoned. But, if there is no additional money to be allocated to space exploration, this position becomes increasingly difficult to justify. It is worth asking whether our international partners might judge the issue similarly."

      --
      @de_machina
    38. Re:Hey by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nasa technicaly calls the whole thing the Shuttle and the plane-like part the Orbiter.

    39. Re:Hey by demachina · · Score: 1

      "To do that you need a place to study long duration spaceflight"

      First problem ISS does very little to progress dealing with radiation exposur which is probably the biggest problem on a Mars mission.

      Second, after a decades on Mir, Skylab or ISS has anyone developed a real solution to zero G issues there. Unless you know something I don't the one big answer is its a good idea to exercise a lot. Not sure that conclusion is worth $160 billion. Russians have already established endurance records long enough to get to Mars.

      Third, no one has a feel for how Moon 1/6 G or Mars 1/3 G compares to zero G issues. The ISS ain't going to help there either.

      Forth, one solution to zero G is build a ship with the ability to produce artificial gravity. Again the ISS is no help.

      Fifth if you change the Mars mission profile to one way colonization instead of a round trip, the people never have to return to 1G which is where the worst of the problems come from. Then what you want to know is how they fare when they get to and stay in 1/3G and ISS is no help.

      In most respect a Moon base would be a lot more useful place to be until you go to Mars. There you do have to deal with radiation and you can start developing the experience working on a place with land and resources at your feet. You also get data on long term exposure to 1/6 G to compare to all the zero G we already have.

      --
      @de_machina
    40. Re:Hey by demachina · · Score: 1

      Radiation in the Van Allen belts is a potentially solvable problem. Here is a design for a space tether that would take most of the punch out of particles in the belts in about six months. If we ever become serious about deep space travel a tether to defang the betls is almost certainly a good first step.

      Its the cosmic radiation thats hard. Shielding against that takes a lot of mass.

      --
      @de_machina
    41. Re:Hey by myowntrueself · · Score: 1

      "If the main concern is keeping the promises we've made to our international partners, I'm fairly certain that we can offer them other things which will cost us far less than completing the ISS with the shuttle."

      Like NASA refraining from referring to the ISS as "The NASA Space Station Project" in press releases?

      That'd be a nice touch, almost respectful of the contribution made by outfits other than NASA...

      --
      In the free world the media isn't government run; the government is media run.
    42. Re:Hey by ptbarnett · · Score: 4, Informative
      No, the L1 point is where the forces between the Earth and the Sun are balanced. We have a number of spacecraft there... ACE, SOHO, WIND, etc...

      L1 is a point between two massive bodies orbiting around a common center of mass. There is one between the Earth and the Sun. There is also one between the Earth and the Moon.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lagrange_point

    43. Re:Hey by demachina · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "The foam has fallen off on all 200 some flights"

      I think its more like 114 flights.

      Do you work for NASA? They said the same thing and used it to rationalize doing nothing about it until Columbia. They were really panicky about it when they saw tile damage in all the early launches, but hey they landed OK. After a while since they kept getting away with it they made the assumption it was OK. They were wrong. There is a scathing indictment of your attitude by Feynman.

      Basically NASA was shooting craps with the foam because its always been dangerous and on Columbia they rolled snake eyes.

      Space flight IS dangerous but that is no reason to let fixable problems that heighten that danger go unfixed. The only contradiction to this point is the foam and tile damage may not be fixable. They may be a fundamental design flaw which means you either abandon the design or keep shooting craps.

      --
      @de_machina
    44. Re:Hey by Zen+Punk · · Score: 1

      The modules have(for the most part) already been designed and built to be launched by the shuttle. The shuttle is a proven platform, the only current craft capable of on-orbit construction. If you scrap it now, the ISS will likely never be finished.

      No matter how much money you throw at it, a new craft won't fly until it has been engineered and simulated and tested thoroughly. And that won't happen until a design has been chosen. Which won't happen for years. Junking the shuttles won't change that. Or would you rather they rushed a half-assed design out the door? I'm sure that would be much more reliable.

      --
      Sleep is futile.
    45. Re:Hey by MightyMartian · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      I think what should be done is that the shuttle be scrapped, ISS be deorbited and a better orbiter be developed and attention turned to actual space technology rather than keeping an overpriced, near-useless garbage can in space just so we can say "Hey, we've got people up there!"

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    46. Re:Hey by JChung2006 · · Score: 1

      If spaceflight is inherently dangerous and can never be made safe enough, maybe we should invest more money, time, and energy into unmanned spaceflight.

    47. Re:Hey by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow! So they get 500 mil and are told "Get people to Mars in 30 years"! lol!

    48. Re:Hey by tuomoks · · Score: 2, Insightful

      First time I miss that I don't have any points to give ( 5 already but anyway.. ). This is life - and life is risky - after you didn't slip in bathroom try to walk over a street and so on.. I fully agree - let's first do the tasks in hand but not forget to plan for next things to do. This subject is very common - we are just now ( one week from delivery ) stuck with requirements that the management refused even to to think six months ago - go figure ?? Doesn't this sound familiar to all ( most ) developers - space, computers, whatever ??

    49. Re:Hey by toddbu · · Score: 2, Interesting
      I also doubt a single beam actually cost 600 million.

      http://www.spacedaily.com/news/shuttle-02d.html

      I doubt you are a engineer, let alone an aerospace engineer.

      I'm not an aerospace engineer, but I am an engineer. I'm an engineer who believes in redundant systems and simple solutions over "space hardened" systems. There are lots of examples of guys building working systems on shoestring budgets that last well beyond their engineered lifetimes. Check out http://www.hypocrites.com/article2897.html for just one example. I also cite a story from the Apollo days when Joe Shea vetoed a crazy design for measuring the remaining fuel in the fuel tanks of Apollo spacecraft. Instead of using a nuclear detector to measure fuel in a weightless environment (page 8), he chose a design based on one found in his Karman Ghia. They installed reserve fuel tanks capable of getting the crew home, and always made sure that they were within their limits.

      I find it interesting that NASA always talks about how they fly the most complex systems in the world, yet somehow its the Russians with their 40 year old designs that have the most reliable systems.

      --
      If you don't want crime to pay, let the government run it.
    50. Re:Hey by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      I'm starting to develop this fear that it might be better if CXV stayed obscure and they keep their progress and success secret.

      It's tricky, I think. If CXV is obscure, it also means it can be easily killed off without anybody noticing. However, if it's widely publicized, people start asking questions and want to hear more.

    51. Re:Hey by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      True, true. In any case, the statistics get somewhat tricky when you have to deal with sample sizes this small.

    52. Re:Hey by Vellmont · · Score: 1


      There is a scathing indictment of your attitude by Feynman.

      An attitude you just invented. If you'll recall I was replying to someone claiming that the shuttle falls apart at the slightest failure. It doesn't. That was the point I was trying to make. Remember, context is key.

      --
      AccountKiller
    53. Re:Hey by Col+Bat+Guano · · Score: 1
      And how long did it take to make airflight safe?

      Long time! But that was when we didn't have computers, materials engineers, great theories on lots more things.
      Look at how quickly planes advanced during WWII. There's another timeline that you could compare against.

      Anyway most of this is irrelavent. You can make it safe right now simply by not using the shuttle, and by buying Russian rockets.

    54. Re:Hey by Vellmont · · Score: 1


      Long time! But that was when we didn't have computers, materials engineers, great theories on lots more things.
      Look at how quickly planes advanced during WWII. There's another timeline that you could compare against.


      And space flight is easily MUCH harder than air flight. A bird can fly in the air, but no animal but man can get into space.

      Anyway most of this is irrelavent. You can make it safe right now simply by not using the shuttle, and by buying Russian rockets.

      Ridiculous. The Russians don't own some magic that makes spaceflight safe, they've just launched fewer manned spacecraft into orbit. If you count all the Soyuz craft, it amounts to about 60. The shuttle has flown a little more than 100 times. The Russians lost one Soyuz crew, the Americans two Shuttle crews.

      If you think the Russian spacecraft is any more safe than the Americans, I suggest you take some courses in statistical analysis.

      --
      AccountKiller
    55. Re:Hey by ultranova · · Score: 1

      Look at how quickly planes advanced during WWII. There's another timeline that you could compare against.

      So, the best way to jumpstart casual spaceflight would be to start World War 3 ?

      You know, that would explain recent US politics - Bush is simply trying to keep his word about getting US to Mars ;).

      Sorry, couldn't resist...

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    56. Re:Hey by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      The shuttle may be "flawed" as you put it. Or maybe spaceflight is just dangerous? Do we really have reason to believe the next generation craft is going to be safer? If so, how much safer?

      A lot of people tend to assume that space travel is inherently dangerous, but that isn't necessarily true. Just look at the Russian Soyuz, which hasn't had a fatality since 1971.

      Yes, lets.

      Since 1971 the Soyuz has had - 2 nearly fatal launch accidents, 4 loss-of-mission accidents on orbit, 2 nearly fatal reentry accidents, and multiple significant landing accidents. All of this in just under 70 flights.

      In just the last two years they've had a complete loss of the flight control computer during re-entry, an undocking accident that resulted in recontact, and several pyros fired accidentally during launch preparation. (That's 3 major problems in just four flights.)

      Not a very pretty record for a craft thats flown only eighty-odd times. They've avoided killing someone mostly by luck.

    57. Re:Hey by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      I also doubt a single beam actually cost 600 million.

      http://www.spacedaily.com/news/shuttle-02d.html

      The truss, regardless of what Space Daily says, isn't a beam. It's a complex collection of support systems contained within the structural truss. (See the articles on the Z1 truss here and here.)

      [In passing I note Space Daily is about as reliable as the wind.]

      I'm not an aerospace engineer, but I am an engineer. I'm an engineer who believes in redundant systems and simple solutions over "space hardened" systems.
      Experience however proves that your belief is incorrect.
      There are lots of examples of guys building working systems on shoestring budgets that last well beyond their engineered lifetimes. Check out http://www.hypocrites.com/article2897.html for just one example.
      For every 'cheap' spacecraft that last beyond it's modest goal, there's two more that don't meet theirs. (And the bird whose story you linked to hasn't in fact exceed it's engineered lifetime yet.)
      I find it interesting that NASA always talks about how they fly the most complex systems in the world, yet somehow its the Russians with their 40 year old designs that have the most reliable systems.
      Soyuz - 80 flights, 2 fatal accidents, 4 near fatal accidents, 4 complete loss of mission failures, and numerous serious incidents on landing. Shuttle - 115 flights, 2 fatal accidents, one loss of mission failure. (And that was a partial failure - the flight hardware was later reflown, something impossible on Soyuz.)

      Who precisely is safer and more reliable?

    58. Re:Hey by Lars+T. · · Score: 1

      Of course the Shuttle (as it was build) is inherrently flawed. The government wanted more features for less money. And NASA wanted to make something better a long time ago - but they don't get the money to even start planing.

      --

      Lars T.

      To the guy who modded me down from perfect to terrible Karma - Apple haters still suck

    59. Re:Hey by Shaper_pmp · · Score: 1, Troll

      "The shuttle may be "flawed" as you put it. Or maybe spaceflight is just dangerous?"

      Everything is dangerous, including driving a car or dropping at thousands of miles an hour from orbit to sea-level. However, the purpose of enabling technology (like cars, or the space shuttle) is to protect us from that danger. If we're still dying that indicates the space shuttle isn't doing a good enough job. This could be because of one of two reasons - either (i) safe, reusable orbital insertion and landing is beyond our current level of technology, or (ii) the space-shuttle's crap.

      Now, you don't hear much about Soyuz capsules coming apart on re-entry (and they're generally considered lower-tech than the shuttle), so that suggests the task is within the bounds of humanity's ability. Therefore, this suggests the shuttle is crap.

      There are two reasons the shuttle could be crap - either it was always a bad design, or it's just been badly-maintained and used wrongly.

      I don't know enough to judge if the shuttle was ever a good design, but I certainly don't remember major things always going wrong with it with the current stunning regularity. This (admittedly perceived) lack of regular major incidents in the past compared to the present-day rate suggests that in the past it was at least a bit more reliable.

      Therefore, the only conclusion I can come to is that, whether or not the shuttle was ever any good, they aren't now. Whether they were badly-designed in the first place or they've just aged badly and the program's been starved of budget, they just aren't reliable any more.

      "Do we really have reason to believe the next generation craft is going to be safer? If so, how much safer?"

      Well yes - safety should be priority number one for reusable orbital vehicles. If they produce a ROV that's got a worse safety record than the shuttle I don't think it deserves the moniker "next generation".

      "Life is risky you know. Hell, we can hardly build a bridge or a skyscraper without SOMEONE dying."

      Yeah, but they tend to die working on it, not driving to the site every morning. And they tend to die singly, often from their own (or a co-worker's) mistake. I think you'll find that if construction workers regularly died in groups of 6-7, and did so because their hammers occasionally exploded and vapourised them, there might be a small public pressure to develop a safer hammer.

      The problem is simple - whether or not the shuttle was ever any good, it isn't now. The design is rooted in the '70s, using '70s technology. Look at cars in the '70s, and look at them now - don't tell me we couldn't design a far, far more efficient, safe and cheap method of achieving orbit, even with a smaller budget than the shuttle program enjoyed.

      All we can possibly lack is the budget (NASA has to pay through the nose to keep the creakingly ancient shuttle programme running), the will (new research is expensive, patches the holes is cheaper) and the political accord (as I recall, shuttle part maintenance is one big barrel of congressional pork, and intensely political in how it's managed).

      The irony is that America was the clear winner of the space race, but it took its eye off the ball and stopped developing new enabling technologies. Now, maintaining its creaking infrastructure is so hamstringing any development efforts that you're in grave danger of being leapfrogged by the rest of the world, and are actually in the process of turning to private companies for the future of manned orbital missions...

      --
      Everything in moderation, including moderation itself
    60. Re:Hey by drsquare · · Score: 1

      The shuttle may be "flawed" as you put it. Or maybe spaceflight is just dangerous? Do we really have reason to believe the next generation craft is going to be safer

      What makes you think that spaceflight was perfected in 1981? I'd be very surprised if space technology hasn't progressed an inch in 24 years, especially with all the money they get. Maybe NASA should stop hobbling alternatives and start helping them instead.

    61. Re:Hey by DisownedSky · · Score: 1

      The NASA budget hasn't quite kept up with inflation over the years, but it hasn't been cut in a long time. The space shuttle and ISS get the lion's share. A HUGE amount of money has gone into these two over the years - close to $100 billion, and without a great deal to show for it. About $100 million was spent just trying to fix the foam problem alone.

      Funding has been a factor in some notable failures - e.g. the Mars Polar Lander, but it has never been an excuse, and in the case of Shuttle safety, not a factor at all, IMO.

      Now, it looks like enough money to fund an entire robotic exploration program will again be spent on the external tank.

      --

      "The impossible often has a certain integrity that the merely improbable lacks" - Dirk Gently

    62. Re:Hey by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      Try crossing the desert on a horse.

      Pah, a horse is a camel designed by Rutan?

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    63. Re:Hey by demachina · · Score: 1

      Track record indicates Shuttles do fall apart due to tiny failures 1 out of 57 launches.

      --
      @de_machina
    64. Re:Hey by Monkelectric · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the defense. I get so tired of the armchair engineers... people who can look at one of the most complicated human endevaours *EVER* and provide advice without any actual knowledge.

      --

      Religion is a gateway psychosis. -- Dave Foley

    65. Re:Hey by Pxtl · · Score: 1

      I think that's a fantastic record. Any vehicle robust enough to survive such abysmal failures is pretty impressive. Compare v. the space shuttle, which blew up because of one little tile.

    66. Re:Hey by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There have been two Soyuz flight losses. One with a single crewmember who died when the parachutes failed to deploy on landing, then three when a valve popped open at high altitude and asphyxiated the crew before landing.

      The advantage Soyuz has over the Shuttle is that it is mounted 'above' it's launch vehicle so crap can't fall onto the crewed vehicle and damage it. The next NASA vehicle will go back to this rather wise design.

      The Shuttle design was to be *on top* of the fuel tank, but budget cuts forced redesign after redesign that ended up with the current higher-risk design.

      As with all such projects, you can spend $X to get a certain level of safety, or $X+Y to get 'slightly' more safety. How much money you want to throw at it for how much safety improvement is where the politics gets involved. Engineers would prefer to spend every cent they can, while still trying to get the job done in the end.

    67. Re:Hey by Mr2cents · · Score: 1

      Going back to utilize the Moon's resources is a lot harder to do without a good radiation shield.

      Just dig yourself in, it's not rocket science...

      --
      "It's too bad that stupidity isn't painful." - Anton LaVey
    68. Re:Hey by alienw · · Score: 1

      Well, it _is_ a crappy design. The whole issue with debris falling off and hitting the tiles is caused by a major design error (namely, placing the orbiter at the bottom of the foam-covered fuel tank with its heat shield facing the tank). Also, considering that the ISS serves virtually no useful purpose aside from providing something for the shuttle to do, I don't really see why it needs to be completed. It seems to be a huge money pit.

    69. Re:Hey by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 1

      You should check out the story of the launch of Skylab. Now tell me that the Shuttle could survive that.

      The Saturn survived because when half of the power supply for your space station gets ripped off the rocket during launch, it just falls away without damaging anything else.

      For further convincing, watch the famous closeup film of a Saturn V launch. Huge hunks of ice are falling off all over the place. None of them are any kind of thread to the vehicle, because there's nothing for them to hit.

      Both shuttles that were lost were because of the side-by-side stacking. Challenger was lost because a leak on the *side* of the booster burned a support on the *side* of the main tank. Columbia was lost because a hunk of foam hit the orbiter, which was mounted on the *side* of the main tank.

      In both cases if these rockets were stacked vertically there would have been no problem at all.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    70. Re:Hey by Moofie · · Score: 1

      "shuttle is a proven platform"

      *eyebrow*

      "the ISS will likely never be finished."

      I can live with that.

      "Or would you rather they rushed a half-assed design out the door?"

      Nope. We've been using a half-assed design for 20 years now, and you see where that's gotten us.

      There are LOTS of smart people working on next-generation manned spacecraft. The fact that NASA can't find its ass without guidance from Mission Control and a huge articulated arm from Canada doesn't mean that somebody else can't do the job.

      --
      Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
    71. Re:Hey by mfrank · · Score: 1

      I don't see anything in that article about them doing shielding research on the ISS. The only mention of the ISS is that occasionally the crewmembers have to spend time in the most heavily shielded part of the station because of solar activity. That's not research, it's survival.

    72. Re:Hey by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Rumour spreadin' a-'round in that texas town
      'bout that shack outside la grange
      And you know what I'm talkin' about.
      Just let me know if you wanna go
      To that home out on the range.
      They gotta lotta nice girls.

    73. Re:Hey by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      Call it flamebait if you want, Moderator, but the ISS is an incredible waste of money and resources that could be much better spent elsewhere in the space program.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    74. Re:Hey by jafac · · Score: 1

      That or the space shuttle is inherrently flawed. Let's scrap the shuttle and make something better, before the next crew dies.

      That's not at all what the panel said.
      Doesn't anybody RTFA anymore?

      The panel criticized the lack of program management and system engineering skills in today's generation of NASA managers.

      Basically, we're talking about managers who were selected with business backgrounds rather than engineering backgrounds.

      The shuttle, like ALL technology, has strengths, weaknesses, trade offs, and dangers. The whole point of sound engineering processes and practices is so that engineers can accurately appraise, mitigate, and manage risks, and make the correct decisions on how to act.

      The problem is that the organization's lack of skills in this area are not preventing that. Partially a result of budget cuts, which brought about a "brain-drain", and partially due to the political nature of the organization's appointees.

      The criticism that the Shuttle is Inherently Flawed may be true - but ALL machines are inherently flawed. The reason why we're losing vehicles and crews is not because of technical flaws. It's because of organizational flaws.

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    75. Re:Hey by mfrank · · Score: 1

      It's easier to incrementally improve throwaway rockets, both in reliability and cost. The shuttle just gets less reliable and more expensive.

    76. Re:Hey by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Not a very pretty record for a craft thats flown only eighty-odd times"

      But an impressive record for a safety-based design.

      Compare this with the Shuttle, where even what should be considered minor failures meant complete lose of ship and crew.

      It seems Soyuz is a C-grade spaceship that tends to work even damaged, while Shuttle is an A-grade, when everything goes OK, but tends to wreak havoc quite too easy.

    77. Re:Hey by S.O.B. · · Score: 1

      Actually I'm glad that it was generated. I would hate to think there was someone out there who actually thought that way.

      By the way, thanks for the link. It should come in handy.

      --
      Some of what I say is fact, some is conjecture, the rest I'm just blowing out my ass...you guess.
    78. Re:Hey by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      It's the trip there that's hard. You can't carry 10k ton trucks to the moon with a chemical rocket.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    79. Re:Hey by pasamio · · Score: 1

      Rumour has it that you can use food to block most forms of dangerous radiation on the trip to mars! Food ain't physical now is it...

      --
      I always wondered where this setting was...
    80. Re:Hey by toddbu · · Score: 1
      Who precisely is safer and more reliable?

      How about comparing length of service and overall cost in those figures? If I remember right, a shuttle launch costs around $500 million and a Soyuz is about $50 million. As long as you don't lose the crew, the important factor is total cost. I'd say that Soyuz delivers better value. Even if you factor in the number of crew killed, Soyuz comes out on top. According to this page, total crew loss on Soyuz is 4 and the Shuttle is 14. That means that Soyuz has one loss in 20 flights whereas the Shuttle is more on the order of 1 loss in every 8. I should also note that the last death in a Soyuz occurred in 1971.

      (And the bird whose story you linked to hasn't in fact exceed it's engineered lifetime yet.)

      According to this page, the engineered lifetime was one year. The article I previously quoted said that they hoped to get three years. Given that PCSat launched on 9/29/01, either figure puts us beyond its expected lifetime.

      [In passing I note Space Daily is about as reliable as the wind.]

      I fully understand your concerns over the source. I suggest Google or Boeing if you're looking for better info. I had heard the number before on major news outlets and was looking for confirmation.

      The truss ... isn't a beam.

      Whether you call it a truss or a beam, at the end of the day it's used to hook other elements of the station together. Can you explain how only one truss would cost $600 million? Even if you load it up with a bunch of gear, I just don't get the cost.

      On a related note: On good thing about the Shuttle/ISS sucking up most of the space dollars is that it's forced us to fly deep space missions on a budget. For example, the two Viking landers in the 70's cost several billion because we made them powered landing systems. The airbag approach of the Mars landing systems has dramatically cut the expense, and we're getting really good science to go along with it. The great thing about flying less expensive, redundant systems is that if both survive the journey then you're ahead of where you would be with a single, more expensive system.

      --
      If you don't want crime to pay, let the government run it.
    81. Re:Hey by toddbu · · Score: 1
      armchair engineers... provide advice without any actual knowledge.

      If you've got something to add to the discussion then by all means jump in. If all you want to do is hurl insults then please find another place to do it. If you're concerned about someone's lack of knowledge on a topic then provide facts that you feel will prove them wrong, as your parent did. We can't have a reasonable discussion about a topic if it boils down to a name calling exercise. I'd be more than happy to have a real debate on this topic and provide links to references in order to defend my position. Would you be willing to do the same?

      --
      If you don't want crime to pay, let the government run it.
    82. Re:Hey by Col+Bat+Guano · · Score: 1
      If you count all the Soyuz craft, it amounts to about 60. The shuttle has flown a little more than 100 times. The Russians lost one Soyuz crew, the Americans two Shuttle crews.

      So that's makes it 1 in 60 for Russian flights, and 1 in 55? for US flights? Doesn't that make the US system more dangerous?

      The failure in 1971 was the result of faulty valves/system -and- the decision to not require spacesuits. I think they all have spacesuits on reentry now (see http://www.astronautix.com/details/soy51200.htm).

      You can certainly say that since the space shuttle has been used, no Russian spacecraft has resulted in deaths (as far as I can tell), which is perhaps the more interesting statistic.

    83. Re:Hey by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      Who precisely is safer and more reliable?

      How about comparing length of service and overall cost in those figures?

      Why? The question was reliability and safety.
      If I remember right, a shuttle launch costs around $500 million and a Soyuz is about $50 million.
      The marginal cost of a Shuttle flight (the cost to add one more flight to the schedule) is around 180 million, and for that you get a far greater passenger, cargo, and operational capacity than you get from Soyuz. One might as well compare apples and orangutans.
      As long as you don't lose the crew, the important factor is total cost. I'd say that Soyuz delivers better value
      Only if your sole metric is cost. In the real world, real engineers compare performance as well.
      According to this page, total crew loss on Soyuz is 4 and the Shuttle is 14. That means that Soyuz has one loss in 20 flights whereas the Shuttle is more on the order of 1 loss in every 8.
      Nope. They have both killed about 2% of the seats (not individuals, as many individuals have flown more than once) they have launched. (And Soyuz has done so in 87 flights, compared to 115 for Shuttle.)
      I should also note that the last death in a Soyuz occurred in 1971.
      So? In the real world real engineers look at performance records - and the record for Soyuz isn't pretty. It has an ongoing record of near misses.
      The truss ... isn't a beam.


      Whether you call it a truss or a beam, at the end of the day it's used to hook other elements of the station together.

      Only if you handwave away the functions of the equipment mounted on the Z1 truss.
      Can you explain how only one truss would cost $600 million? Even if you load it up with a bunch of gear, I just don't get the cost.
      Try reading the articles I linked.
      On a related note: On good thing about the Shuttle/ISS sucking up most of the space dollars is that it's forced us to fly deep space missions on a budget. For example, the two Viking landers in the 70's cost several billion because we made them powered landing systems.
      No. They were expensive because they were sophisticated and complex landers - the life detectors alone are more complex than anything landed since.
      The airbag approach of the Mars landing systems has dramatically cut the expense, and we're getting really good science to go along with it.
      No. We've switched to airbags because the probes are smaller. Period.
      The great thing about flying less expensive, redundant systems is that if both survive the journey then you're ahead of where you would be with a single, more expensive system.
      Not really. No matter how many duplicates of a simple, cheap system you fly, you won't have the same instruments that a larger more expensive system will have.
    84. Re:Hey by NateTech · · Score: 1

      Bwahahaha.. he thinks computers make things safer!

      Oh, my sides hurt...

      --
      +++OK ATH
    85. Re:Hey by Col+Bat+Guano · · Score: 1
      Yep, I sure do. That's why I'll only choose cars with computer controlled ABS, and if I can get one, one with yaw sensors attached to the ABS and traction control system that is said to reduce the risk of serious injury in accidents by -45%-!

      You can keep driving cars without computers if you like; i'll take the safe option.

    86. Re:Hey by NateTech · · Score: 1

      Computers have equal ability for good or evil, mostly because they're simply tools.

      You completely missed my point.

      It's like saying "screwdrivers make things safer". Well, perhaps in the hands of a careful technician who knows to tighten the screws that have worked their way loose over time -- but in the hands of an unskilled moron, a screwdriver is far more dangerous.

      Computers are just boxes full of really fast switches. They don't make anything safer. The ideas the people that created them put in them make things safer.

      --
      +++OK ATH
  2. NASA needs a shake-up by swschrad · · Score: 0, Troll

    the suits are defensive and pinheaded there

    --
    if this is supposed to be a new economy, how come they still want my old fashioned money?
    1. Re:NASA needs a shake-up by Rosco+P.+Coltrane · · Score: 1

      The suits are defensive, yes, they have to be. But pinheaded? I'd that that's a pretty big pin...

      --
      "A door is what a dog is perpetually on the wrong side of" - Ogden Nash
    2. Re:NASA needs a shake-up by $RANDOMLUSER · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Suits are always pinheaded and defensive. That's why they call them PHBs.

      I was contracting for a Rockwell division the day the Challenger blew up, and 20 minutes after it went down, we had an office pool going: "How long will it take them to figure out that it was caused by some middle-manager (somewhere in the supply chain) screaming "Whaddaya mean I can't ship on schedule??!!??""

      --
      No folly is more costly than the folly of intolerant idealism. - Winston Churchill
    3. Re:NASA needs a shake-up by hplasm · · Score: 0

      Who won?

      --
      ...and he grinned, like a fox eating shit out of a wire brush.
  3. Can the government spin it off. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful
    It'd be interesting if the sold their technolies to private companies (perhaps Virgin Group could get a big head start that way) and/or IPO'd them.

    I'd think private industry probably has a better system of checks&balances than most government agencies these days.

    1. Re:Can the government spin it off. by Alex+P+Keaton+in+da · · Score: 1

      Private industry also desires profit... Which I believe makes the shuttle uninteresting to private industries...
      Even with tourism, and a full shuttle every time, it would lose money. And those putting payloads into orbit already have cheaper to operate rockets.
      The Chinese may buy the Space Shuttle infastructure to show up the US

      --
      And All I Ask is a Tall Ship And a Star to Steer Her By
    2. Re:Can the government spin it off. by quarkscat · · Score: 2, Informative

      "I'd think private industry probably has a better system of checks&balances than most government agencies these days."

      Oh, really?

      Let's take a look at the methodology used by the FAA AND the aircraft industry to weigh the need for new safety systems.

      A commercial aircraft crashes. The FAA and the aircraft manufacturer determine that a new safety device will be required that costs $100 Million USD in R&D, $5 Million USD per commercial aircraft installed, and $1 Million USD per aircraft for lifecycle maintenence -- for a total cost of (WAG) $2,000 Million USD. But the statisticians determine that the odds of the very same accident occuring again are 1 in 1x10^6, while the industry-wide accepted liability is figured at $2.5 Million USD per life lost. The break-even point for justifying the expense of the new safety device requires odds of 5 in 1x10^6, so the device never gets installed.

      The commercial interests have weighed the cost (better safety) versus benefit (reduced liability exposure) and determined that this particular new safety device, which would save lives, really is not needed after all. Manned travel into space is a risky business, as it essentially puts the human body into a completely hostile environment with safety reliant upon 5 million components from 10,000 vendors who won their contracts by being the lowest bidders. That being said - I would still rather risk a flight on the STS (shuttle) to the ISS than on a commercial aircraft cross-country.

    3. Re:Can the government spin it off. by KarmaMB84 · · Score: 1

      A person is more likely to be struck by lightning than a crash ever occuring because of that problem?

  4. Jump On The Bandwagon... by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Gotta love it when the critics come out of the woodwork. Even if the mission was completely flawless, they would still find something to carp about.

    1. Re:Jump On The Bandwagon... by Rosco+P.+Coltrane · · Score: 0, Troll

      Gotta love it when the critics come out of the woodwork. Even if the mission was completely flawless, they would still find something to carp about.

      The mission wasn't flawless. If it had been, nobody would have had to stop work and spacewalk bits of things out of the heatshield. An hour of astronaut work up there is very, *very* costly. The time they took to make extra-sure the shuttle returns safely was a total waste of money.

      --
      "A door is what a dog is perpetually on the wrong side of" - Ogden Nash
    2. Re:Jump On The Bandwagon... by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      The time they took to make extra-sure the shuttle returns safely was a total waste of money.

      If astronauts are going to go to the moon and Mars in the near future, checking and fixing the outside of the ship is going to be routine. No matter how many cameras and sensors you put on the outside to monitor things, someone will have to go outside to fix it. The recent mission prove that we have capability to do that.

    3. Re:Jump On The Bandwagon... by toddbu · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I heard a news report that said that gap fillers had been known to come loose in the past and no one worried about it too much. We're now hyper-sensitive to any damage to the tile system, probably way beyond what we should be. The fact that it took them so long to decide whether to go out and fix the problem shows that the associated risk was low, especially when compared to the risk of screwing something up if they accidentally pulled off a tile during the repair.

      --
      If you don't want crime to pay, let the government run it.
    4. Re:Jump On The Bandwagon... by Vellmont · · Score: 1


      I heard a news report that said that gap fillers had been known to come loose in the past and no one worried about it too much.

      Very true. But I think the thing that's more pertinent is that they've not had the ability to see when the gap fillers had come out. If you can't see there's a problem, you can't fix it.

      The other risk is just the inherent risk of spacewalks. One paint chip going 30,000 mph hits an astronaut, and he's instantly dead.

      --
      AccountKiller
    5. Re:Jump On The Bandwagon... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One paint chip going 30,000 mph hits an astronaut, and he's instantly dead.

      That is why they should use female astronauts for the spacewalks.

    6. Re:Jump On The Bandwagon... by AJWM · · Score: 1

      ... someone will have to go outside to fix it. The recent mission prove that we have capability to do that.

      No.

      Pete Conrad proved that 32 years -- thirty-two years! -- ago when he repaired Skylab, which had been damaged on launch.

      I've always been impressed by Conrad and Bean's pinpoint landing of Apollo 12 within walking distance of Surveyor III -- which proved we could land on the Moon with sufficient accuracy to think about building lunar bases. I had the opportunity to chat with Pete for a couple of hours once, and asked him what he was proudest of having achieved in space. He told me it wasn't that landing, but rather his repair of Skylab (part of which involved physically manhandling the solar panel mechanism to get it to deploy). That, he told me, proved we could do impromptu work in space (and also saved the rest of the Skylab program).

      --
      -- Alastair
    7. Re:Jump On The Bandwagon... by slamb · · Score: 1
      Even if the mission was completely flawless, they would still find something to carp about.

      And would they have been wrong? When you say that something is unsafe, you're saying there's a significant unnecessary risk of someone being hurt or killed. If the supposedly unsafe thing happens and no one is hurt, that does not mean it was safe. If everything appears to have happened perfectly, that does not mean it was safe.

      "Unsafe" can't be confirmed by someone being hurt (the risk might have been necessary) or by no one being hurt (the point is that they could have been hurt). It's not a direct observable; it's a conclusion.

      For specific, falsifiable claims and recommendations, you need to read their report. But I'm sure you did so before challenging the conclusions of a panel of experts. What was wrong with it?

    8. Re:Jump On The Bandwagon... by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      But I'm sure you did so before challenging the conclusions of a panel of experts. What was wrong with it?

      Nah... Just complaining about the critics. It's the only thing that /. is good for. :P

    9. Re:Jump On The Bandwagon... by toddbu · · Score: 1
      But I think the thing that's more pertinent is that they've not had the ability to see when the gap fillers had come out.

      Don't you think that this says something about what they thought the risk was? For as much of a critic as I am of NASA today, I have to believe that even in the pre-Columbia days, if the risk of a problem was deemed to be greater than that of losing an entire mission that they would have done something to mitigate the problem. I can remember several times when they ripped apart a shuttle that had already gone out the pad because they found cracks in a fuel line that had the possibility of causing a problem at launch. I just think that they were so concerned with vibration and pogo that they really didn't think about foam. After all, if you paint that foam piece red and put some eyes on it then you've got Elmo, and we all know that Elmo would never hurt anyone.

      --
      If you don't want crime to pay, let the government run it.
    10. Re:Jump On The Bandwagon... by Vellmont · · Score: 1


      Don't you think that this says something about what they thought the risk was?


      Oh I'm sure it does. Nasa has said the risk of the gap filler was minimal. With the new ability to inspect the Shuttle in orbit there's a few more things to look for, and potentially fix.

      --
      AccountKiller
  5. Teleporter? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    All these spacecraft seem like such an awkward and impractical way of transporting things through space. Wouldn't it be much easier to develop teleporter technology like you see in the science fiction shows and just send objects and astronauts to other planets that way?

    You can get all sorts of things over the wireless internet these days, music, movies, all kinds of software. Since dna is just information too, it seems to me that it shouldn't be too hard to figure out how to broadcast people and things from one place to another. NASA should get to work on this instead of silly space shuttles.

    1. Re:Teleporter? by corky842 · · Score: 1
    2. Re:Teleporter? by Rosco+P.+Coltrane · · Score: 4, Funny

      Something tells me there was a carrier loss when they transmitted your DNA...

      --
      "A door is what a dog is perpetually on the wrong side of" - Ogden Nash
    3. Re:Teleporter? by VikingBerserker · · Score: 1

      I can picture this plan in action now:

      "Hey Frank, weren't you supposed to transport Henderson to our base today? So far, all we've got is 200 pounds of chunky salsa, and it isn't even in jars!"

    4. Re:Teleporter? by YrWrstNtmr · · Score: 1
      Since dna is just information too, it seems to me that it shouldn't be too hard to figure out how to broadcast people and things from one place to another.

      Sure. We'll get right on that. How does next Tuesday sound?
      Oh...we'll need a volunteer for the first test. You up for it?

    5. Re:Teleporter? by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      At first I laughed too at the idea. But you know something, I thing he might be right...

      The idea of "faxing" an object from one area to another via quantum entanglement is not all that far fetched as it sounds. And with a quantum computer, you could have the raw processing power to keep track of everything in transmission down the the sub-atomic particle. I mean, who knows.. Maybe all the airports in the world will be converted into teleporation terminals in 50 to 100 years. After another $20, private teleporters will be available to install in your own house.

      The geo-political and science implication of such technology as as mind boggling to imagine as it was for someone in the 1950s to imagine everyone having a PC in the home!

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    6. Re:Teleporter? by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      Why did I put $20? I ment 20 years.

      Note to self: check my head for tumors..

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    7. Re:Teleporter? by xSauronx · · Score: 1

      if there was a carrier loss though...he wouldnt be here, but would have been smeared on some kleenex wouldnt he?

      --
      By and large, language is a tool for concealing the truth. -- George Carlin
    8. Re:Teleporter? by Farmer+Tim · · Score: 1

      After another [years] 20, private teleporters will be available to install in your own house.

      Oh great, another avenue for spam.

      Which is interesting: I could see people being killed in filter accidents. "I'm sorry, ma'am, your husband was a false positive".

      --
      Blank until /. makes another boneheaded UI decision.
  6. What if there had been no foam loss? by ashitaka · · Score: 1, Informative

    What if that one chunk hadn't fallen off right in view of the camera?

    The return-to-flight mission would have been declared an outstanding success. Regular launches would have resumed. We would be back on track again.

    Now we have to wait another seven months or more because little pieces of crap still keep falling off the fuel tank.

    This is so completely pathetic.

    --
    If you don't want to repeat the past, stop living in it.
    1. Re:What if there had been no foam loss? by furiousgeorge · · Score: 4, Insightful

      >>> What if that one chunk hadn't fallen off
      >>>right in view of the camera?

      Dude.... they are using HUNDREDS of cameras now.

      It didn't fall right in view of '*the* camera'. They just relesed the best view to show what happened.

      >>The return-to-flight mission would have been
      >>declared an outstanding success. Regular
      >>launches would have resumed. We would be back
      >>on track again.

      So if you don't see the problem it doesn't exist? Sounds like you're NASA material!

    2. Re:What if there had been no foam loss? by eighthevachild · · Score: 0

      They're the same little pieces of crap falling off that led to the crash of Columbia. If NASA knows that the insulation tearing off the body of the shuttle caused the crash of one shuttle don't you think it's just a LITTLE important for them to research how to stop that from happening?

    3. Re:What if there had been no foam loss? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well I say we keep on trucking till all the shuttels are toast. Shouldnt burn up money thats getting them no where. They know the risks.

      It is pathetic, why cant they just coat the foam in a plastic, or duct-tape that faom in place!

    4. Re:What if there had been no foam loss? by Martin+Blank · · Score: 1

      Part of the foam breakage may be due to the formula change that was made in an attempt to get away from using freon. Even though the EPA granted NASA a specific exemption, the desire to at least appear more 'green' caused them to change the formula used, which has had a number of unexpected side effects, one of which, as I understand it, is that the new foam is far more brittle than the old.

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
    5. Re:What if there had been no foam loss? by Andy+Gardner · · Score: 1
      What if that one chunk hadn't fallen off right in view of the camera?
      The return-to-flight mission would have been declared an outstanding success. Regular launches would have resumed. We would be back on track again.

      Until the next Shuttle vapourised...

      If I can't see it , it can't hurt me!

    6. Re:What if there had been no foam loss? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are a lot of NASA apologists around here, NASA's shuttle programme is shameful.

    7. Re:What if there had been no foam loss? by ashitaka · · Score: 1

      The foam loss was seen by only two cameras: The rocketcam on the external tank and the astronaut's hand-held cameras

      None of the other ground or chase-plane-based cameras would have caught the foam loss at the altitude it ocurred. In addition, there was only one rocketcam on the external tank and so foam loss on the far side of the orbiter, the side that got Columbia, would not have been seen. I also doubt the astronauts were able to see the entire external tank after separation and could easily have missed foam loss.

      NASA was extremely lucky to capture this loss the way it did.

      I should have put quotes around the "back on track" comment because that is what I envisioned NASA boasting in all their post-launch press releases had they not visually seen any loss. You are right, if NASA had not seen any problem there would have been no problem in their eyes until, as another poster pointed out, the next burnup.

      --
      If you don't want to repeat the past, stop living in it.
    8. Re:What if there had been no foam loss? by ashitaka · · Score: 1

      Right. See my other response. What I wrote was how NASA would react to no visible foam loss, not what I think. You can just picture Griffin's press conference.

      --
      If you don't want to repeat the past, stop living in it.
  7. Management by ucblockhead · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Maybe it is time for new management.

    --
    The cake is a pie
    1. Re:Management by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They just got new management a few months ago...

    2. Re:Management by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      Good idea. I volunteer my services as the new head of Space Shuttle operations. Now, granted I don't know much about managing the Shuttle ... but then again, I'm not sure that NASA does anymore, either.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    3. Re:Management by ucblockhead · · Score: 1

      I don't mean just changing the guy on top. I mean scrapping the organization and starting over.

      --
      The cake is a pie
  8. Routine is not necessarily so great... by thc69 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If we simply are 100% as perfectly careful as possible, fearing to tread anywhere but our exact previous footsteps, taking forever to inspect and re-inspect, we will never learn how to do it differently.

    It is through our mistakes that we learn. Anybody willing to go up in a space shuttle knows they run a strong risk of death. Personally, I'd be excited to have the chance to risk my life in that noble work. Instead, for the sake of those who love me (okay, and for lack of ability or opportunity), I toil with my daily work, contributing my bit to the economy, so indirectly supporting the space program.

    --
    Procrastination -- because good things come to those who wait.
    1. Re:Routine is not necessarily so great... by MHobbit · · Score: 1

      If we simply are 100% as perfectly careful as possible, fearing to tread anywhere but our exact previous footsteps, taking forever to inspect and re-inspect, we will never learn how to do it differently.

      Exactly. Back then, people knew the risks, but did the best they could without being overly cautious, and look at the results! They made a couple of high achievements... We're stopping ourselves from proceeding on.

      --
      Debugging? Klingons do not debug. Bugs are good for building character in the user.
  9. Panel Challenges NASA Over Shuttle Safety by Kev_Stewart · · Score: 1

    Well that's what Progess Prevention Officers are supposed to do isn't it?

    1. Re:Panel Challenges NASA Over Shuttle Safety by $RANDOMLUSER · · Score: 1

      Hey!! Hey!! Hey!!
      You must be new here.
      Around these parts, we call that "Quality Assurance".
      Mess up again, and we're sending you for Vocabulary Training.

      --
      No folly is more costly than the folly of intolerant idealism. - Winston Churchill
    2. Re:Panel Challenges NASA Over Shuttle Safety by BiggerIsBetter · · Score: 1

      The real question is, who was on the "panel"? 7 engineers? 7 rocket scientests? 7 management experts? Or 7 career politicians?

      --
      Forget thrust, drag, lift and weight. Airplanes fly because of money.
  10. $1 Billion and No Solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Did anyone notice that NASA spent $1 billion to fix the foam problem that caused the destruction of the Columbia shuttle? Yet, after spending $1 billion, the foam problem manifested itself again during the launch of Discovery.

    The failure of Columbia was not a failure of engineering. Successful rocket launches occur often in Japan, Europe, and Florida.

    The failure of Columbia was a failure of management. Managers wanting to show results to their superiors ignored the "grunt" engineers when they warned of a potential problem with tragic consequences for Columbia. The warnings became reality.

    1. Re:$1 Billion and No Solution by MrFlannel · · Score: 3, Insightful

      ROCKET launches. And thats it. We too can launch ROCKETS. The shuttle is NOT a rocket.

      Even the most advanced cargo rockets we have now cannot carry something as large as the shuttle. Let alone people AND cargo.

      Someone else mentioned that russia hasnt had a fatality since 1971, but all the soyuz missions do is launch people (or supplies), they dont launch both, with a nice big arm, and a huge bay for storing large things that simply will not fit anywhere else.

      Get a clue people, the shuttle has no suitable replacement as far as other space programs go.

      --
      Clones are people two.
    2. Re:$1 Billion and No Solution by DerekLyons · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Did anyone notice that NASA spent $1 billion to fix the foam problem that caused the destruction of the Columbia shuttle? Yet, after spending $1 billion, the foam problem manifested itself again during the launch of Discovery.
      False. The chunk of foam that had everyone concerned came from an area that has not been observed to shed foam since 1982. None of the areas that were fixed shed any foam.
      The failure of Columbia was not a failure of engineering. Successful rocket launches occur often in Japan, Europe, and Florida.
      False. Sucessful launches elsewhere have utterly no bearing on whether or not the Shuttle is an engineering failure.
      The failure of Columbia was a failure of management. Managers wanting to show results to their superiors ignored the "grunt" engineers when they warned of a potential problem with tragic consequences for Columbia. The warnings became reality.
      False. Despite the popular mythology of perfidious managment, there's not a shred of evidence that your fantasy resembles reality in any way, shape, or form. The overwheliming evidence that the *engineers* concluded that the foam was a maintenance (of the tiles) issue and that managment concurred in the assesment.
    3. Re:$1 Billion and No Solution by silentbozo · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Someone else mentioned that russia hasnt had a fatality since 1971, but all the soyuz missions do is launch people (or supplies), they dont launch both, with a nice big arm, and a huge bay for storing large things that simply will not fit anywhere else

      Could it be they're doing something right, that we aren't? Is it absolutely necessary to have a man-rated launch AND reentry vehicle, with live astronauts on board, just to deliver supplies, and bring back garbage? Couldn't we just double the number of Soyuz craft docked at the station, and maintain a larger crew, and just send up supplies using multiple big dumb boosters? That way, if we lose a supply run, big deal, just light up the next one. Right now, we have problems with the shuttle, and the astronauts stuck on the ISS have to start counting calories and oxygen generators...

    4. Re:$1 Billion and No Solution by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      Titan IV almost reached the shuttle's capacity of 60,000 lbs to LEO (which has never been used afaik). Delta IV heavy exceeds the space shuttle's capacity. and those are just American rockets.

      It is irrelevant that the space shuttle is capable of lifting its own massive weight in addition to a useful payload since the whole point of the exercise is to lift the useful payload. (of which the people are counted as being part of) The fact that it must lift so much more to accomplish this is not a positive.

      Apollo/skylab and mir made much more sense for a manned space station approach. Send the pieces up on unmanned rockets and if assembly is necessary, use the station itself to complete that assembly. No need for complicated heat shield tiles to require inspection and repair between each and every mission if you just throwaway a "cheap" ablative shield every go. (of course that requires a smaller shield which is less exposed to danger during the violent launch)

      I'll even go so far as to suggest that an RLV might be appropriate for unmanned launches if it is cost effective, but where safety is a concern, the principle of KISS rules supreme. Make it small, make it simple and make it fresh every time. We shouldn't have to deal with age related problems like fatigue life and corrosion in a manned vehicle if we can avoid it.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
  11. Let NASA make up their own minds about risk by ip_freely_2000 · · Score: 4, Insightful


    People seem to forget that space travel is freaking dangerous. The whole concept of a lit rocket attached to your ass is probably never going to be as safe as walking to the store.

    At some point, NASA will do as much as can be reasonably be expected and allow a volunteer to climb in the shuttle and hope for the best.

    People who can, do. People who can't, sit on committees and complain.

    Those people need to get out of the way and let NASA do their job.

    1. Re:Let NASA make up their own minds about risk by moviepig.com · · Score: 1
      People who can, do. People who can't, sit on committees and complain.

      ...and posture.

      It would be refreshing for an oversight committee's report, just once, to make affirmative use of the phrase, "acceptable risk".

      --
      Seeing bad movies only encourages them. Watch responsibly
    2. Re:Let NASA make up their own minds about risk by patdabiker · · Score: 1

      I agree there is inherent danger in sitting atop an absurd amount of rocket fuel. But we should not just accept space travel is dangerous.
      It will be dangerous for the first explorers, but when (and I mean when) space travel gets big, you are going to need failure rates much much less than 2 out of every 114 flights.
      Progress towards safety is justified. The real question is, we landed on the moon a LONG time ago. Why haven't we come up with a safer solution by now?

    3. Re:Let NASA make up their own minds about risk by Deviant+Q · · Score: 1

      Indeed. Remember, in the immortal words of That Guy From Armaggeddon, the shuttle is: "...4 million pounds of fuel, one nuclear weapon, and a thing that has 2 million moving parts, all built by the lowest bidder."

      --
      "May the days be aimless. Let the seasons drift. Do not advance the action according to a plan."
    4. Re:Let NASA make up their own minds about risk by haggar · · Score: 1

      People are not as dumb as you would like to make it look. No, it's ratherthat they have noticed how the Shuttle is:

      - more expensive to launch (per payload) than the conventional Saturn lifters were. In fact, MUCH more expenisve!
      - more prone to disaster, due to an overengineered, way too sensitive (someone likened it to eggshells) heatshield.
      - Can only go to LEO! Isn't THIS point alone enough to show you how flawe3d the Shuttle really is? The ISS has been built in LEO for this freaking rason, and has to be readjusted every now and then. A flaw introduced to accomodate another.

      --
      Sigged!
    5. Re:Let NASA make up their own minds about risk by Detritus · · Score: 1

      Mankind has been launching modern rockets for 60+ years. Even today, a 2% failure rate is a very good record for a modern launch vehicle. Space travel is unforgiving of small errors, and the physics of launching stuff into space forces engineers to accept small safety margins.

      --
      Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
    6. Re:Let NASA make up their own minds about risk by Nicholas+Hill · · Score: 0

      People seem to forget that space travel is freaking dangerous. The whole concept of a lit rocket attached to your ass is probably never going to be as safe as walking to the store.

      People drive cars every day. Here in Britain we can't get enough cars, and I'm sure that for most of the world, people are highly dependent on them. I'm sure they'd take a car any day over walking to the nearest out-of-town superstore.

  12. There is alot of politics in nasa by Billly+Gates · · Score: 1

    Didn't the new Nasa chief fire like 50 people? Most of them were just paper pushers and beacracy creators but my guess is the poor leadership group could be part of the group that got outcasted when Okeefe left.

    Nasa is a mess

    1. Re:There is alot of politics in nasa by tivoKlr · · Score: 2, Informative
      Washington Post article discussing this very thing.

      "he is willing to oust as many as 50 senior managers in a housecleaning rivaling the purge after the 1986 Challenger explosion."

      Pretty harsh...

      --
      Ocean is land, covered with water.
  13. Safe by Blandarg · · Score: 1

    You want safe.. stay home. Buckle the seat-belts and light it up.

  14. *Grumble* by Y-Crate · · Score: 3, Insightful

    To think, the inherent problems with the shuttle have finally snowballed to the point where launching is next-to-impossible now that they are finally trying to hurry up and get something done (ISS).

    Kinda makes you even angrier about the countless, 600 million dollar "We're growing some more fucking crystals, dammit" missions we've had for the past 20 years. Talk about time wasted. Let's not even get started on how the constant redesigns of the ISS have left it borderline useless (and how the costs of the redesigns and the station we have now equal the cost of the original proposal)

    1. Re:*Grumble* by Barnoid · · Score: 1

      Kinda makes you even angrier about the countless, 600 million dollar "We're growing some more fucking crystals, dammit" missions we've had for the past 20 years.

      To put that number in perspective: the US military budget for the last 5 years is 1869.1 billion US$ (2001: 310, 2002: 342.2, 2003: 396.1, 2004: 399.1, 2005: 420.7 billion US$)
      For the same amount of money you could have had approximately 3100 600 million dollar missions during the same amount of time, or about 1.7 launches per day.

  15. what's the point? by evoltap · · Score: 1

    What exactly do these billions of taxpayer dollars toward Nasa really do for us? It just seems redicules to me.....these ancient 1960's shuttles that keep fucking breaking. I know that in the 60's it was the big "beat the Russian's" and excelerate technological research argument....but now? I mean, there are those that believe that the moon landing was filmed in hollywood.

    I assume they're currently perfecting space weapons or some other very benificial technology.
    Again, how is this shuttle program really benefiting american citizens? If they were ditchhing the shuttles and really investing in REAL space travel (think quantum mechanics) i might think differently.
    Just my 2cents

    1. Re:what's the point? by Crunchie+Frog · · Score: 1
      If they were ditchhing the shuttles and really investing in REAL space travel (think quantum mechanics) i might think differently

      um... very small spaceships ? no... wait... no you lost me

      --
      --- Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity
    2. Re:what's the point? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're fairly young, aren't you? 60's was Saturn V's. Shuttles are 70's technology. They can't really make even LEO. Orbits below 1000 miles degrade rapidly due to atmospheric drag. The ISS was built so low so that the shuttle could reach it, and needs a push every few months to keep from falling back to earth. The shuttle isn't going to "complete" the ISS. The shuttle is needed continuously just to keep what's there from hitting the ground.

      60's technology took us to the moon.

  16. Old vehicles are trouble no matter what type! by GecKo213 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    How many of you drive old cars, trucks, vans, or SUV's that say they are a joy to drive and run like the day they were brand new? No one would say that. Why NASA is using a shuttle that is 20 years old is beyond me. When I was 16 my parents gave me the old family '81 Datsun 310. I was grateful and even a bit excited to have it. I even thought I was "the man" because I had a car and most of my friends didn't, but it was a 13 year old car by the time I got it and had plenty of quirks. It had more than 300K miles on it when I got it. It ran pretty well and didn't cause me any major malfunctions, (Other than a clutch) but as soon as I could afford it I got a newer car! The car made it a year or two for my brother before giving up. I think it finally died in '97 with well over 400K miles on it. Those Damn shuttles have TONS more miles on them than that stupid car. Plus they are in a tad more hostile condition than the local freeways and roads. It baffles me that they are still willing to send astronauts up in them? Beyond that, I'm just as perplexed by the fact that there are astronauts blinded by the "I'm going to be in a text book one day" mentality that they are willing to ride up in the damn thing! Just plain stupidity if you asked me. It's time to produce something new with new seals, gaskets, and gap filler, and maybe a satelite dish. (Weather shouldn't affect their picture up there being so close to the satelites themselves.) If they plan on putting a man on Mars they've got a long way to go with those shitty shuttles they're still nursing along.

    I mean, how many of you would really rather be sitting at say a 20 year old computer right now versus the one you're on reading /. on at this moment? I mean c'mon, be honest with yourself!



    -- My Rant is now over, we'll return you to your regularly scheduled blah.
    --
    Generation Trance: What generation are you?
    1. Re:Old vehicles are trouble no matter what type! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      From what ive herd the EPA is resonsible for the columbia tragedy. NASA had to reformulate the foam on the fuel tank to remove florocarbons which resulted in weaker foam.

    2. Re:Old vehicles are trouble no matter what type! by patdabiker · · Score: 1

      It's this way with many government vehicles. Both the military and NASA have very high reliability requirements (with good reason). This makes the initial cost very very expensive, but they get a lot more use out of it. Cars aren't designed to last 20 years. It seems like the shuttle can handle it. Old age didn't bring down Columbia.

    3. Re:Old vehicles are trouble no matter what type! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      if you asked me.
      1. We didn't.
      2. Your Datsun story is irrelevant.
      3. You obviously don't know what you're talking about.
      4. Have another beer and pass out already.

    4. Re:Old vehicles are trouble no matter what type! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My '84 Jaguar qualifies. And actually, since upgrading the sway bar from the XJS series, rides _nicer_ than when it was new.

      Any of even today's cars will easily last 20 years, although the maintenance costs will go up as parts get harder to find.

      And if you build it right in the first place, it will last a lot longer than that....

    5. Re:Old vehicles are trouble no matter what type! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      thats a pretty good point actually. the us is absolutely "the man" in the cargo lift game. the capacity of the shuttle is magnetudes larger than the soyuz capsules can do. its the only vehicle that exists that can carry the huge pieces of the space station up there.

      and much like the datsun, we will have some of the best times of our lives together, than end up in some museum so kids can point and say "they used to travel in THAT?!"

    6. Re:Old vehicles are trouble no matter what type! by myowntrueself · · Score: 1

      "How many of you drive old cars, trucks, vans, or SUV's that say they are a joy to drive and run like the day they were brand new? No one would say that."

      I have a friend with a Model-T Ford who says exactly that. In fact it was his first car.

      --
      In the free world the media isn't government run; the government is media run.
    7. Re:Old vehicles are trouble no matter what type! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't know what you're talking about. Arianne has us beat in simple cargo lifting.

    8. Re:Old vehicles are trouble no matter what type! by dhaines · · Score: 1
      Those Damn shuttles have TONS more miles on them than that stupid car. Plus they are in a tad more hostile condition than the local freeways and roads.
      Congratulations. You've motivated me to do something I've been pondering for years -- start a journal of lame Slashdot comparisons and analogies.
    9. Re:Old vehicles are trouble no matter what type! by _Sprocket_ · · Score: 1

      The maintenance schedule on the Shuttle (and most other US Government vehicles for that matter) tends to be a little more agressive than your average family hand-me-down car.

    10. Re:Old vehicles are trouble no matter what type! by EECS_zotzot · · Score: 1

      You seem to be forgetting how long it takes to develop something like the Space Shuttle. It literally is one of the most complex machines ever built by humans. These programs are thought of years before the first prototype rolls out. Do you think that they havent been thinking of replacements until now? It takes a long time to gather the resources and manpower to complete a single project. Most modern aircraft are thought up 10+ years before they first fly. Also, you sound surprised that they are re-using something that was meant to be RE-USABLE. Discovery has been on over 30+ missions. Secondly, the shuttles recently underwent massive overhauls (new computers, engine improvements, etc). Space travel IS dangerous but people take it for granted because so many mission were a success. "If they plan on putting a man on Mars they've got a long way to go with those shitty shuttles they're still nursing along." The space shuttle has nothing to do with putting a man or Mars. That type of mission will most likely be launched from the moon and the space shuttle can't even get there (not enough fuel and thrust). Out.

    11. Re:Old vehicles are trouble no matter what type! by Farmer+Tim · · Score: 1

      I think it finally died in '97 with well over 400K miles on it.

      There are flyable aircraft well over 50 years old and functioning steam engines more than a century old, which is partially good engineering, but probably more due to the fact that none of them have ever been operated and maintained by 16-year olds.

      --
      Blank until /. makes another boneheaded UI decision.
    12. Re:Old vehicles are trouble no matter what type! by ebvwfbw · · Score: 1
      How many of you drive old cars, trucks, vans, or SUV's that say they are a joy to drive and run like the day they were brand new? No one would say that. Why NASA is using a shuttle that is 20 years old is beyond me......

      You really don't know what you are talking about. Cars are one thing, aircraft and spacecraft are totally different. For example I just purchased a 1947 Cessna 140. I would stack that plane against a brand new model Cessna and probably win. Even after almost 60 years that plane stacks up well considering how much it can carry and how much fuel it uses. It is certaintly very air worthy. That is because aircraft are inspected EVERY year for corrosion and problems (they call it an annual). They are repaired if a problem is found and usually they are better than new. I know for a fact I can take my 140 into fields that a brand new 172 wouldn't dream of going into. The 172 is about 15 knots faster, it also burns twice as much gas (at $3.50/gal). Same thing with the shuttle. It is inspected very closely. Considering what is going on to push it up into space and return it, I think it is about as safe as it can be. New doesn't necessarily mean better.

      20 years for a car is a very long time, 20 years for an aircraft really isn't. My son for example just flew on a 35 year old 747. B-52 jets used in Iraq were built in the 1950s (much older than the pilots flying them). Still safe. Cars will last indefinately too if you keep corrosion down and replace parts as they go bad. Most people get rid of cars because they are tired of them or want new features. Some cars do suck from the begining, however.

      The design of the shuttle makes as much sense today as it did in the 1970s when Nixon signed the bill to start construction. He was badgered into doing it. Throughout the shuttles history it has been criticized. I'd ditch the environmentalist change on the foam for the tank (makes it flake off) and keep the shuttle until a space elevator can be built out of nanotubes HERE

      Either that or bring back Saturn V rockets. They can take a heck of a payload at a time.

  17. Uh. Yeah. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    The problems that the most overcautious, paranoid organization on the entire planet is having with getting 99.999% safety instead of 100% safety will be fixed if we just throw it away and hope private industry starts doing stuff in its place.

    I'm sure a for-profit company will be ecstatic about the ridiculous anal-retentive security procedures and public transparency, plus downtime of literally months every time there's hint of a problem, that has been the hallmark of NASA and is currently probably being taken so far overboard it's preventing NASA from doing any real work.

    Oh, and of course what people tend to forget is that the NASA technology, good and bad, is generally being developed by private companies, companies with budgets which absolutely dwarf that of lockheed martin. Oh, but they're getting government money, so somehow that's different.

    1. Re:Uh. Yeah. by CargoCultCoder · · Score: 1
      I'm sure a for-profit company will be ecstatic about the ridiculous anal-retentive security procedures and public transparency, plus downtime of literally months every time there's hint of a problem, that has been the hallmark of NASA and is currently probably being taken so far overboard it's preventing NASA from doing any real work.

      That risk doesn't seem to stop Boeing or Airbus from building vehicles that crash now and then and kill hundreds of people at a time.

      I'm not sure why our tolerance for risk for sending humans into space is so much less. (I understand that in terms of deaths per flight, commercial aviation is far less risky than flying NASA.) But private companies have been building vehicles whose failures can cause many deaths for quite some time now.

  18. New tank design? by pin_gween · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I am not oa rocket scientist but, looking at the present external tankdesign, it doesn't appear to be vacuum insulated.

    I know it would add weight, but couldn't they have inner chambers to hold the fuel that are separated from the outer wall by a vacuum layer (like a thermos bottle)?

    I think the weight difference would be offset by a safety factor -- namely less ice build up on the foam.

    --
    Ignorance is not a crime; neither should it be a way of life

    Congress control $ = inmates run the asylum
    1. Re:New tank design? by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 1

      I think the weight difference would be offset by a safety factor -- namely less ice build up on the foam.

      Show your math. You've stated that the safety factor is greater than the weight penalty. Prove it. Show me how you arrived at that conclusion.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    2. Re:New tank design? by pin_gween · · Score: 1

      You've stated that the safety factor is greater than the weight penalty

      No I didn't -- read your own post. You QUOTE ME as saying "I THINK" and then you want me to show my math? What metric can I give you?

      What I THINK: less ice on foam = less danger from falling foam.

      --
      Ignorance is not a crime; neither should it be a way of life

      Congress control $ = inmates run the asylum
    3. Re:New tank design? by hplasm · · Score: 0

      Why not put the insulation on the inside of the tank? Worked for Saturn.

      --
      ...and he grinned, like a fox eating shit out of a wire brush.
    4. Re:New tank design? by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 1

      Did you know that a thermos type tank would probably not get off the ground because it'd be too heavy?

      Name one other rocket system that uses a vacuum as insulation.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    5. Re:New tank design? by Moofie · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I'm sure there wouldn't be a substantial weight penalty incurred by making the ENTIRE EXTERNAL TANK SHELL a pressure vessel. That won't be really, really heavy or anything.

      It might be safer, but so is sitting on a park bench. Making Shuttle even heavier is not the way to make it work better.

      --
      Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
    6. Re:New tank design? by mikerich · · Score: 1
      It isn't vacuum insulated, the foam does all of the hard work.

      I don't think any dewar flasks on that scale have ever been launched into space - the engineering challenges of making one so big and capable of surviving a rocket launch would be - ahem - astronomical.

      Previous rockets had an outside steel skin then a thick layer of insulation between that and the cryogenic tanks. However, that did not prevent the skin becoming extremely cold which led to ice forming in the moist Florida atmosphere. When the engines were ignited, the ice comes crashing down off the rocket - you can see tonnes of it falling off the Apollo rockets.

      This isn't a problem in a traditional rocket where the important bits are sitting safely at the top, but on the Shuttle all of that ice would smash into the belly tiles or the leading edges of the wings - shredding the thermal protection and destroying the aerodynamics.

      And the reason we have the Shuttle we do today is because NASA said in the late 1950s that it could design and build a reusable vessel for $5 billion rather than the $12 billion they had previously estimated. Putting the Orbiter on the side of a foam-clad external tank was just one of the many terrible compromises they had to make to even come close to that original budget.

      One of the bigger savings was by turning the external tank into just that rather than a proper booster (along the lines of the Soviet Energia), the engines were put on the Orbiter and could be reused, the external tank would be discarded each time. But in doing that they turned the Space Shuttle Main Engines into engineering nightmares that took many years to debug and reduced the amount of cargo the Shuttle could take into space.

  19. First off, these people ARE NASA... by jd · · Score: 3, Insightful
    ...and second, NASA stated prior to the mission that (a) the foam problem had been fixed to the point where no large fragments would fall off, and (b) that fragments larger than a certain size could cause a catastrophic disaster.


    In light of that, I can see no reason for NASA's own safety panel to NOT issue these kinds of complaints. That is what they are paid to do - look at what is going wrong and SAY something. They looked, and they spoke.


    Now, as for anyone else - you've a point. Outsiders don't have the information needed to make the kinds of observations needed. Well, to an extent. There were several teams that had offered NASA solutions that would have guaranteed zero foam loss, but received no feedback from NASA. Those teams went public and I can understand that. Again, that's their area of expertise.


    Now, do I think NASA should have chosen those solutions? I don't know. The safety panel didn't mention them, so maybe there were good reasons for declining. On the other hand, as a public organization, NASA might help themselves (and us) a lot by saying WHY those solutions were declined.

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    1. Re:First off, these people ARE NASA... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      There were several teams that had offered NASA solutions that would have guaranteed zero foam loss, but received no feedback from NASA. Those teams went public and I can understand that.

      I didn't hear about that. Can you list some URLs or some keywords to search for?

  20. ya, sure, ya betcha, then by swschrad · · Score: 1

    I'm sure Virgin has been exposed enough to a different culture, in which our government space agency is known as "nay-say," so they're not ready to absorb the system.

    on the plus side, nasa made it possible, period.

    on the negative side, we're kind of in "Perils of Pauline" mode with the present systems and support... AM news cycle, everything's fine. noon news cycle, "we have a problem." evening news cycle, folks are scurrying around like bugs chasing issues. lather, rinse, repeat throughout the flight of discovery in sts-114.

    the characters who offed the future space vehicle program several years ago should be closely examined as prime examples of what the program should NOT be striving for, IMHO. the present bunch has to clean those water buckets before they can carry water to the project.

    time will tell if they can.....

    --
    if this is supposed to be a new economy, how come they still want my old fashioned money?
  21. Heh. Behold my typos by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    companies with budgets which absolutely dwarf that of lockheed martin

    Should have been

    companies like Lockheed Martin with budgets which absolutely dwarf that of Virgin

  22. There's Dumb Risk versus Unavoidable Risk. by mbkennel · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Unavoidable risk: a rocket is an enormous explosive just barely controlled by exotic, expensive and difficult technology.

    Avoidable risk: doing stupid things in your design to endanger lives.

    The laws of physics, and many realities of engineering, are exactly the same today as they were in 1960.

    For instance: what is the right place to locate the humans?

    On the very top, because then they are the furthest away from the really dangerous bits. And delicate stuff needed for re-entry can be shielded and be far away from the immensely violent launch and debris and whatever is coming out of the ground and shaken off the rocket.

    Corollary: where do you put the fuel tanks? On the rear end, dummy.

    There's lots of reasons the Saturn V looked like it does. And how it looks like a whole lot of other rockets, except the shuttle. Ain't a coincidence.

    These problems were known and solved, and the shuttle un-solved them.

    Obviously, we need some more Nazi rocket scientists.

    So a plane which can fly back is supposed to be 'cost effective'. But why does it have to be so big? You generally take big fat cargos up and then work on them. So take them in a big fucking can, which sits UNDER your small, human sized space plane which re-enters and holds the people, tools and control bits. You throw away the can. And under the cargo, you put the fat ass rockets.

    You make them as cheap as possible, with metal-wrangling shipbuilding level technology, not ultra-high tech fancy pants stuff. That stuff is use 'once or twice', if it's still OK when you get it back off the ocean. Only the engines are the big monetary per-launch loss, but even now they have big solid rocket boosters which are one-use only.

    They should make a big Saturn V style launcher with cheap ass solids strapped around the bottom for the initial heavy lift, like the Soyuz, then a cheap ass liquid booster module. Then a cargo can, and on top, the orbital and re-entry vehicle.

    And also put that doohickey on the very top like with the Saturn V. What's it for? It's a little escape pod rocket and parachute to get the people the fuck away from the big explosive bits if something really bad happens.

    If the Challenger worked like that, the crew might have been able to walk away, depending on circumstances.

    1. Re:There's Dumb Risk versus Unavoidable Risk. by p3d0 · · Score: 1

      Uh, hey... Good post, but they were German rocket scientists, not Nazis. Big difference.

      --
      Patrick Doyle
      I mod down every jackass who puts his moderation policy in his sig. Oh, wait a sec....
    2. Re:There's Dumb Risk versus Unavoidable Risk. by demachina · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "But why does it have to be so big?"

      I know this is rhetorical, but it ended up so big because of DOD requirements to win their approval and participation. They need a big cargo capability AND worse they demanded a 1000+ mile cross range landing capability to launch from Vandenburgh, do 1 polar orbit and land back at Vandenburgh. To do this the Shuttle wings had to be dramatically enlarged, which led to the whole thing getting much bigger. Since the $6 billion launch pad at Vandenburgh was abandoned after Challenger, in fact the DOD largely abandoned the Shuttle at this point, the irony is this cross range capability was never really needed.

      "And also put that doohickey on the very top like with the Saturn V. What's it for? It's a little escape pod rocket and parachute to get the people the fuck away from the big explosive bits if something really bad happens."

      Transformational and Burt Rutan's CRX design has a good point on this. They are proposing an air launch at 25,000 ft. The advantage is if there is a problem when lighting the first stage its easy to get the capsule away in any direction and there is plenty of time to open parachutes to soft land the capsule or even have the crew bail out of the capsule if there is a problem with the capsule chutes.

      Its actually pretty challenging to safely get the capsule clear from booster if there is major failure on a launch pad, and get it high enough for the parachutes to safely deploy.

      The problem with CRX is it takes a BIG plane, 747 class, to carry an LEO capable launch stack to 25,000 feet. On the plus side the mother ship saves 10-25% of the fuel needed to get to orbit versus a ground launch

      The CRX URL above is a great read because its short, concise, innovative but more importantly you can see they are totally focused on safety, simplicity, low cost and reliability which is the antithesis of Shuttle thinking for the last 30 years.

      "Only the engines are the big monetary per-launch loss,"

      If you air launch at high altitude you can build a much cheaper engine. The Falcon/CRX VAPAK concept heats and presssurizes the Propane fuel so it pushes itself out of the tank. Couple this with high altitude and you don't need expensive turbopumps to pressurize the fuel. This dramatically simplifies and lowers cost of the booster. You can't do this with from a launch pad because the atmospheric pressure makes it harder to get the fuel out of the tank.

      --
      @de_machina
    3. Re:There's Dumb Risk versus Unavoidable Risk. by msaulters · · Score: 1
      So a plane which can fly back is supposed to be 'cost effective'. But why does it have to be so big? You generally take big fat cargos up and then work on them. So take them in a big fucking can, which sits UNDER your small, human sized space plane which re-enters and holds the people, tools and control bits. You throw away the can. And under the cargo, you put the fat ass rockets.


      The shuttle is NOT just a launch vehicle. It is the only vehicle capable of RETURNING a payload from orbit. It is also an orbital laboratory platform designed for a time when there was no ISS. The cargo bay can be outfitted with lab modules which make the round trip with the crew. Finally, it is also a maintenance platform, where satellites can be brought for repair. No other vehicle has yet been designed, much less built, that is all of these things. You can't just stick all that way up at the tip-top of a rocket. You can't just put it in a can and discard it, because the WHOLE THING has to come back, not just the crew compartment.

      However, the shuttle is the product of design by committee, and it shows. Since the main engines themselves aren't used in landing (except for the deceleration burn to exit orbit) a different design could work that is a lander only. The problem is handling all that weight on the return. For a crew capsule, you only need parachutes. But chutes can't safely handle the enormous weights the shuttle returns to ground.
      --
      These people looked deep into my soul and assigned me a number based on the order in which I joined.
    4. Re:There's Dumb Risk versus Unavoidable Risk. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      ...but they were German rocket scientists, not Nazis. Big difference.

      The rocket scientists had slave laborers working for them. Whether they were actually members of the Nazi party is irrelevant. Their human rights abuses made them defacto Nazis and war criminals. It was only their rocketry knowledge that saved them from the fates.

    5. Re:There's Dumb Risk versus Unavoidable Risk. by AJWM · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I'd mod you up if I hadn't already posted. Even though I think re-usable vehicles are the way to go rather than expendables, I agree totally with you that the Shuttle is just Designed Wrong -- and isn't very reusable anyway.

      As for "make a big Saturn V style launcher with cheap ass solids strapped around the bottom for the initial heavy lift", there's no need for the solids. A Saturn V could put the equivalent of four full Shuttle payloads into LEO (Low Earth Orbit) in one shot, or a complete Shuttle Orbiter. Or, for that matter, Skylab. Or a fully fueled S-IVB stage, LM, and CSM, all set for a trip to the Moon. That thing (the SV) had 7.5 million pounds of liftoff thrust, the Shuttle has about 5.

      The original plan was only for Shuttle to replace medium-lift launchers, retaining the Delta at the low end and Saturn V at the high end. NASA quickly scrapped that plan (along with the Saturn V stacking capability in the VAB and the Saturn V launch towers) when they realized that the existance of a working manned and heavy lift capability (Apollo-Saturn) meant it would be politically easy to cancel Shuttle if (when) that hit budget overruns.

      --
      -- Alastair
    6. Re:There's Dumb Risk versus Unavoidable Risk. by AJWM · · Score: 1

      It is the only vehicle capable of RETURNING a payload from orbit.

      No.

      It may be the only vehicle capable of returning LARGE payloads from orbit, but the Apollo CM did just fine at returning hundreds of pounds of rocks that it didn't bring up with it in the first place. Soyuz doesn't do too shabby a job either.

      And of the hundred-plus missions Shuttle has flown, how many returned a big payload? Not counting Spacelab missions -- and wouldn't it have made more sense to leave that module up there as part of a space station? -- I can only think of perhaps two satellite-return missions.

      Sure, it's a useful capability to have, but using it for every launch is like using an 18-wheeler when all you need is a minivan.

      --
      -- Alastair
    7. Re:There's Dumb Risk versus Unavoidable Risk. by myowntrueself · · Score: 1

      "If the Challenger worked like that, the crew might have been able to walk away, depending on circumstances."

      I just love the way that, in order to 'escape' from a space shuttle, you'd have to do *something* like:

      0. Ensure that your t-shirt is on straight.

      1. Unbuckle from your seat.

      2. Get out of your seat and 'walk' down the aisle being careful to mind the other escapees.

      3. Go to the hatch, open it and clamber out.

      Contrasting to the Soyuz where you do something like:

      0. Ensure that your space suit helmet is properly fastened.

      1. Press the ejector seat button and hold tight to your lunch.

      2. Get propelled clear of the vehicle by a rocket ejector seat.

      --
      In the free world the media isn't government run; the government is media run.
    8. Re:There's Dumb Risk versus Unavoidable Risk. by l33td00d42 · · Score: 1

      Speaking of Saturn V...

      Last summer i visited an uncle at the plant near New Orleans that makes the external tanks. He gave me a tour and talked about the changes they were making, but he also made a comment that suprised me: he said if it were up to him, he would have never scrapped the Saturn V. His comment seems to have even more wisdom since Discovery's complications.

      He's been there a while. He was part of the Apollo 1 disaster investigation also. (!)

    9. Re:There's Dumb Risk versus Unavoidable Risk. by kfg · · Score: 1

      The rocket scientists were no more in charge than they are at NASA. They worked under a purely military administration. Higher members of that administration did, in fact, do time.

      KFG

    10. Re:There's Dumb Risk versus Unavoidable Risk. by Detritus · · Score: 1

      The Soyuz does not have an "ejector seat".

      --
      Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
    11. Re:There's Dumb Risk versus Unavoidable Risk. by dthx1138 · · Score: 1

      The sheer hilarity, you could write for NBC.

      First off, the Saturn V didn't have the crew module at the top because its the safest. Its at the top because the only way to get to the moon was to have 3 frigging stages on the thing, and THEN the command module/LM.

      Secondly, no rocket is cheap. The Boeing Delta IV Heavy's are over $250 million each. Considering it only lifts about 2/3 as much as the shuttle, isn't manrated in any way, and doesn't have the ability to dock with anything or return anything to earth, the shuttle doesn't look as expensive anymore at $500 mil per launch

      Also, the shuttle's SRBs are reusable

      --
      I just found the box to change my sig. Um.... [timeless witticism].
    12. Re:There's Dumb Risk versus Unavoidable Risk. by jschrod · · Score: 1
      As a German, let me tell you: They were opportunists who would have sold their mothers to work on rockets. They did nothing against the slave workers. They were proud on their V2 work to target London.

      There are other German scientists who either knew what happened and went to exile in the first place, or who downplayed the war-related abilities to the Nazis. von Braun et.al. did not do this.

      In my opinion, these folks were as dangerous as the Nazis. We had lots of such opportunits, and without them the NSDAP couldn't have got such power.

      --

      Joachim

      People don't write Manifestos any more -- what's going on in this world? [Frank Zappa]

    13. Re:There's Dumb Risk versus Unavoidable Risk. by Lars+T. · · Score: 1

      Eugen Sänger's Junkers RT8 Study from 1961 and based on that the Sänger II. Why use a huge rocket in the atmosphere?

      --

      Lars T.

      To the guy who modded me down from perfect to terrible Karma - Apple haters still suck

    14. Re:There's Dumb Risk versus Unavoidable Risk. by tomlouie · · Score: 1

      "The Right Stuff" by Tom Wolf talks about how the early US astronauts resented at being just a passenger inside a tin can. They wanted to ability to fly a bird back home on their own, not be chute dropped strapped on their backs.

      I have a feeling there's still a lot of that mentality that's preventing the use of capsule style space vehicles in the US.

      Tom

    15. Re:There's Dumb Risk versus Unavoidable Risk. by bluGill · · Score: 1

      Don't forget that depending on the emergency, you might be doing all that while accelerating at 13G. (If none of the engines shut down in the emergency) Of course if the engines all shutdown you might do this at ~0G, and since this is launch you aren't used to this. (though presumably you were in training)

    16. Re:There's Dumb Risk versus Unavoidable Risk. by StarfishOne · · Score: 1
      "They should make a big Saturn V style launcher with cheap ass solids strapped around the bottom for the initial heavy lift, like the Soyuz, then a cheap ass liquid booster module. Then a cargo can, and on top, the orbital and re-entry vehicle."


      That actually sounds very much like ESA's Hermes design.


      Although that project was sadly enough cancelled, there's something new scheduled:


      EADS Phoenix


      Come to think about it:


      1) Perhaps the USA, Russia, the European Union and other possibly interested countries (Canada, Japan, etc) should just cooperate on designing a reusable launching system/platform. Combined these parties have massive amounts of (overlapping) experience!


      2) Once designed, each participant in this deal could then use and launch their own craft when and wherever they deem suitable without being too dependent on other parties once again.


      3) ???


      4) Profit! ;)

    17. Re:There's Dumb Risk versus Unavoidable Risk. by jafac · · Score: 1

      ince the $6 billion launch pad at Vandenburgh was abandoned after Challenger,

      IIRC, the Vandenberg Shuttle launch didn't happen because Thiokol said they'd have new SRB's that could loft the shuttle to higher inclination orbits, and they failed to deliver the new SRBs.

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    18. Re:There's Dumb Risk versus Unavoidable Risk. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      OK, go back to 1970. The cost of sending up a rocket is getting expensive, all the armchair quarterbacks are demanding a reusable launch vehicle. (Nobody has done one, yet.) Reusing the most expensive parts of a launch vehicle will save the most money, right? (Crew compartment and cargo compartment are a given.) OK, what are the most expensive parts? Engines. OK, where to put them? (Most people would put them on the bottom - safer and simplifys plumbing, but hey, whatever turns your crank.)

      Now do you see why they attached the main tank to the side of the shuttle? (BTW, cargo had been strapped to the side of a rocket before.)

      It's easy to look back and criticize, harder to look ahead and design...

      Since you are obviously a genius, why not do us all a favor - put your brain power into building a perfect launch and recovery system. Oh, and don't forget to demonstrate it for us.

  23. Self contradictory headling? by XaXXon · · Score: 1

    NASA skipped some shuttle safety improvements as it tried to meet unrealistic launch dates for the first flight since the Columbia tragedy, some members of an oversight panel said in a scathing critique.

    Oh, so they should have taken longer, right? And been more thorough?

    Poor leadership also made shuttle Discovery's return to space more complicated, expensive and prolonged than it needed to be."

    Oh, so they did too much and spent too much money and it should have taken less time, right?

    I'm confused -- it seems like the headline contradicted itself within the span of two sentences. Am I misreading this?

  24. Is environmentally-friendly foam flawed? by geoffrobinson · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I keep hearing that if they used environmentally unfriendly foam (CFC's I would suppose). Does anyone know the veracity of this or shed any light on the situation with the foam?

    --
    Except for ending slavery, the Nazis, communism, & securing American independence, war has never solved anything.
    1. Re:Is environmentally-friendly foam flawed? by AJWM · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It's a pretty minor factor, actually. They saw some foam shedding (popcorning) with the old foam, and didn't think anything of it.

      Anyway, apparently the hand-applied foam -- in the areas where we've seen big chunks coming off -- still uses the old CFC formula. The enviro-friendly foam is only used in the automated application on the large smooth areas of the tank.

      --
      -- Alastair
    2. Re:Is environmentally-friendly foam flawed? by Zen+Punk · · Score: 1

      I keep hearing that if you finish your sentences

      --
      Sleep is futile.
  25. kill shuttle now by BigBir3d · · Score: 1

    i have been saying it for years. and now, yet another example.

  26. Can the Shuttle Fly Itself? by THotze · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Alright, I've got a question that I haven't seen addressed, at all, anywhere.

    We've spent God knows how many hundreds of millions of dollars trying to make the shuttle safe enough for human spaceflight. Maybe that just isn't going to happen. Not with the shuttle, not with the fact that we're looking at band-aids and not limb replacement solutions here.

    So, what would it take to make the shuttle run on autopilot? Rockets fly to space all the time, Russian Progress vehicles even dock with the space station, although I'm not sure if they do it alone or via teleoperation.

    Either way, why not invest a certain amount of money in an autopilot (or teleoperation) system so the shuttle could fly up, dock with the station, and then could be entered by ISS crew who could use the shuttle's robotic arm, etc., to set up the next component of the station. If manpower's an issue (and with 2 on board the station, it probably is) you could do it when there was a crew change and there were more people at the station, or you could really, really hurry with the CEV and wait until you could have enough people at the station to do the job.

    Or, for that matter, you could just HOLD on station construction until the CEV was ready and you could squeeze enough people into the station to make this work.

    This would solve the main issue: that the shuttle isn't safe for humans due primarily to reentry problems. In the future, you could even have the CEV dock with an in-space, unmanned shuttle and complete shuttle missions, such as a Hubble servicing mission, then undock, let the shuttle make its way home (or, in an unfortunate, but no longer life-threatening event, crash) and the CEV, with crew, would return to earth safely (as I can't recall a SINGLE EVENT where a capsule has burned up and people have died in reentry.)

    Anybody know why this hasn't been suggested, at all? I think it may be cheaper and faster, certainly if we'd done this after the Columbia disaster, but even fi its not, it allows us to keep on using the shuttle for YEARS relatively cheaply.

    Tim

    1. Re:Can the Shuttle Fly Itself? by patdabiker · · Score: 2, Informative

      See this article: http://www.floridatoday.com/columbia/columbiastory 2N1124AFTERSHUT.htm It says exactly that. I haven't heard any more recently though.

    2. Re:Can the Shuttle Fly Itself? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Yes, it can. The only reason the shuttle doesn't fly itself now are the humans that ride it. Seems they want to fly it themselves.

    3. Re:Can the Shuttle Fly Itself? by EvanED · · Score: 2, Informative

      I'm not criticizing the overall message (except that I think the proper response is a complete replacement), but I do have a couple comments:

      or, in an unfortunate, but no longer life-threatening event, crash

      It'd still be life-threatening to people on the ground. Not much, and not any more than a manned entry, but there would be a tiny risk.

      I can't recall a SINGLE EVENT where a capsule has burned up and people have died in reentry

      The Soviets had a capsule decompression on reentry. Not burning up, but the three cosmonauts did die.

    4. Re:Can the Shuttle Fly Itself? by demachina · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The one obstacle I seem to remember, and Feynman refers to is the Shuttle computers are short on memory. One of the main roles of the humans on board is about 4 times a mission to load the next part of the mission in to the computers from tape, punch a button and make it go.

      Now maybe you could load one profile in for launch and then the ISS crew could load another to reenter. If the mission has to abort before it docks with the ISS you would need to insure the computers have the program for the abort and reentry without human intervention.

      A big hurdle is I don't think the shuttle is designed to auto dock with the ISS, though I could be wrong. The Russians are lot fonder of auto docking than the Americans. If it can't do it now it would take a lot of R&D and a pretty dangerous first test flight.

      The Shuttle does let the human take over for the vary last part of the landing but that is really totally to indulge the ego's of the pilots on board. I wager a computer could do it better and more consistently than the humans barring equipment failure. Some humans do it better than others.

      A question is why would you want to fly it unmanned other than to not risk lives. You still don't want another catastrophic failure of a Shuttle because that would probably devastate the program even if it was unmanned. If you lost a shuttle with a key ISS component in it during launch that would devastate completion of the ISS too. Loss of life of astronauts is a bit overrated. They know its dangerous and they will still do it. No point in needlessly risking their lives but its a bit silly to stop them flying all together too.

      --
      @de_machina
    5. Re:Can the Shuttle Fly Itself? by Detritus · · Score: 1

      Part of the reason for multiple software loads is safety. The ascent and entry software is only modified when absolutely necessary. An in-orbit software load with a bunch of new and mission specific code will not kill the crew if it crashes.

      --
      Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
    6. Re:Can the Shuttle Fly Itself? by Antique+Geekmeister · · Score: 1

      Using a shuttle on autopilot is a complete waste of money. The very heavy and expensive equipment to support human life would be a complete waste of lift capacity and fuel, since it's very inefficiently using a considerably lower thrust than an unmanned craft can use.

      Instead, in the short term, use Titans for basic equipment launches. The technology is established, it's robust, and it's a lot cheaper and uses less fuel per pound to get to orbit. Don't waste shuttle launches on raw shipping, use it only for material that can't stand high accelerations.

    7. Re:Can the Shuttle Fly Itself? by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      (as I can't recall a SINGLE EVENT where a capsule has burned up and people have died in reentry.)
      The Russians have had two serious reentry failures. One flight had a decompression during re-entry, killing the crew. On another flight the orbital module failed to separate - and Soyuz is stable nose-first in that configuration. The capsule got hot enough to scorch the paint on the *inside* of the crew compartment before the orbital module tore away and the crew compartment flipped over into it's proper position.
  27. Taking Up Space by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

    All the Shuttle needs to fix all that is to write a new constitution. They've got a week to fix their budget, timeline and technical problems. No sweat - America's rooting for you!

    --

    --
    make install -not war

  28. Anything with tits or wheels by HermanAB · · Score: 3, Funny

    sooner or later gives you shit... ;-)

    --
    Oh well, what the hell...
  29. The Space Shuttle by DarkNemesis618 · · Score: 1

    The Space Shuttle is fine in itself, the wings and it's nosecone were SEVERELY reinforced. Heck they took apart all 3 orbiters to do this. Of what I understand, Endeavour is still being refitted, which is why Discovery is Atlantis' backup whenever it goes up (tentatively March 4, 2006). This was done as a last resort should something fall off (make the shuttle key body parts stronger). The foam itself is the problem as most of you know. Whether their solutions worked or not they will never know, but are assuming that they did not for safety. For all NASA knows, it could have been a misapplication of the foam. The place where the foam came off was on a part of the tank that is difficult to uniformly apply so it could have been misapplied leading to it falling off. Another thing could have been during transport. The tank is made in Louisiana and is loaded onto a barge and sailed through the Gulf of Mexico to Florida to be used. It could have been bumped in just the right way to cause it to loosen just enough. Either way, NASA will never know so they're taking the "don't take any chances" approach which in the long run is probably the better idea. They need to fix the shuttle to complete the ISS. NASA's new vehichle is probably going to be a 3 man capsule similar to the old capsules, particularly Apollo. Finally, Spaceflight in itself is inherently dangerous. NASA knows it, the astronauts (who obviously are not forced to go up) know it. Tragedies happen (Apollo 1, Challenger, Columbia) Not to make it sound like I don't care, they were indeed tragdies and horrible things to happen, and NASA has for the most part learned from its mistakes. I am confident that NASA will quickly lock down on the problem and will get the Shuttles back in full, safe operation.

    --
    What's the matter, James? No glib remark? No pithy comeback?
  30. NASA is the Amtrak of space. by imstanny · · Score: 1
    Inefficient & Unsafe.

    I'm afraid to even imagine a society where NASA exclusively produced cars and plublic transit.

    Hey, I have a great idea. How about the government gives me $4 billion and in exchange I won't send anything into outer space.

    Ok, I am being a bit sarcastic, but the point I am trying to get across is that Hindsight is 20/20. We all know that Government/NASA are inneficient, so let private companies take over.

  31. You obviously haven't read Larry Niven by antispam_ben · · Score: 1

    Wouldn't it be much easier to develop teleporter technology like you see in the science fiction shows and just send objects and astronauts to other planets that way?

    There are substantial problems with teleporter technology, ESPECIALLY when going from Earth's surface to low Earth orbit - that can create monster problems. I forget what story that was from (I enjoy Niven's hard SF, he takes into consideration a lot of things you might not think of), but I'd rather work on the foam problem than mess with stuff we know way too little about...

    --
    Tag lost or not installed.
  32. The Russian Shuttle already can... by Wacky_Wookie · · Score: 1
    Well the Russian Shuttle Bruan can already do that.

    Check thy wiki, foo!

  33. My dream job... by Ingolfke · · Score: 3, Funny

    is to sit on a panel and bitch and complain and nitpick and attack people who actually do work.

    1. Re:My dream job... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ahh then you fit right in here at Slashdot where everybody does nothing but sit and bitch and complain and nitpick and attack people :)

    2. Re:My dream job... by isorox · · Score: 1

      is to sit on a panel and bitch and complain and nitpick and attack people who actually do work.

      You want to be a manager?

    3. Re:My dream job... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hmmm...interesting.

      This panel you are dissing is led by Tom Stafford who flew Geminis and Apollos including a trip to within 50 thousand feet of the moon and pretty much ran Air Force technology procurement afterwards (he specced out the stealth bomber on a hotel napkin or somthing like that.) This panel was also led by Dick Covey who was in the right hand seat on STS-26 in 1988 - the FIRST time Discovery flew a "return to flight" mission after a disaster.

      Some pretty weak people on that panel, huh?

  34. Just Go Back to the Pre-1999 foam formula by DumbSwede · · Score: 2, Informative
    It was the switch to foam that isn't manufactured with freon in 1999 that led to the Columbia tragedy. NASA knew that the new foam shed more than the old foam but ignored the problem.

    So what the hell have they been doing for the last 2 1/2 years? They're still using the non-freon based foam for environmental reasons even though they have an EPA exclusion to use freon. They should have just gone back to the old foam formula and been back up to flight status in 6 to 12 months. As it is they essentially did nothing to improve the problem in 2 1/2 years because for some reason I can't fathom they won't go back the formula they know works, but instead slap on a bunch of other remediation fixes that didn't work.

    Seriously someone should loose their job over this, someone high up that should have known to go back to the old formula which they've know since 1999 worked better.

    Am I missing something? It would seem like a no brainer to go back to the freon formula. Especially since they fleet is on the fast track to be retired anyway -- then no more freon anyway.

    1. Re:Just Go Back to the Pre-1999 foam formula by Jeremy+Erwin · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It was the switch to foam that isn't manufactured with freon in 1999 that led to the Columbia tragedy. NASA knew that the new foam shed more than the old foam but ignored the problem
      Please, do a little research.
      Learn the difference between BX-250 and BX-265. Discover for yourself what foam compound was used for ET-93.
      Here. Maybe this will help...

  35. Well, What Do We Need? by nate+nice · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Many is the excuse that NASA simply isn't getting enough money. They need passionate scientists that can construct the program as something taxpayers are interested in and demanding more support. It doesn't start with money, it starts with a vision.

    --
    "If you are a dreamer, a wisher, a liar, A hope-er, a pray-er, a magic bean buyer ..."
  36. Natalie and Shuttle by Aaron+W.+LaFramboise · · Score: 1

    Natalie Portman and next shuttle launch: both postponed to March 2006. Coincidence?

    1. Re:Natalie and Shuttle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Imagine an orbiter naked and petrified, with hot grits down its pants.

  37. Or not. by pseudochaotic · · Score: 1

    People are saying that the shuttle is dangerous, and that may be so now, but the fact remains that it still has a success rate of ~99%. This is an extremely good record, especially considering the inherent risks in space travel.

    (Disclaimer: I live in Houston, and may therefore be slightly biased.)

    --
    And the l33t shall inherit the 34r7h.
  38. Budget by PacketScan · · Score: 0, Redundant

    If you are going to critize nasa to this extent lets look at the budget they are dealing with. For crying out loud they are creating masterpieces with peanuts. Of course there are going to be mistakes on a shoe string budget but hey who's to blame? That's for another story. For What nasa has accomplished i think everything that has happened wasn't in vein.

  39. This is a shake up by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Most of this work was under O'Keefe. Griffin will take a while to get hold of all this and change it, but the shake up is occuring. Thank God. O'Keefe was a disaster as he appointed a bunch of managers/politicians (read PHBs) under him rather than engineers.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  40. As A Matter Of Fact I Did Google by DumbSwede · · Score: 2, Informative
    So why do so many News sites report exactly what I am saying? here is the Google News I used

    http://news.google.com/news?hl=en&ned=us&q=freon+s huttle+foam+nasa&btnG=Search+News

    From the first site returned (and similar to several others)
    http://www.spiked-online.com/Articles/0000000CAD09 .htm

    ...If we are not prepared to take bold, calculated risks, this brings hazards of its own. For example, the detachment of a lump of insulation foam that imperilled Discovery's latest mission has been connected to the fact that NASA has changed its foam formula, in order to comply with environmental guidelines. Under pressure from the Environmental Protection Agency, NASA reduced the use of the refrigerant freon because of its role in ozone depletion - even though the replacement foam formula is known to be less effective at adhering to fuel tanks. Of the four large pieces of foam shed by Discovery, at least two were applied using the new formula (5).

    If I'm misinformed, I'm not alone. Regardless of which exactly which formulas were used on which flights, we know that there are better formulas and we choose not to use them despite knowing how critical this is to a safe mission. Your facts have the stench of butt-covering and obviscation trying to deflect from the core fact that freon based foams should have been used when it was known they had suppior characteristics.

    1. Re:As A Matter Of Fact I Did Google by virtual_mps · · Score: 3, Insightful
      So why do so many News sites report exactly what I am saying?

      1. Because most "news sites" simply regurgitate (or flat-out copy) stories from other "news sites". The amount of real investigative journalism is approaching zero; rumor and hearsay become self-perpetuating.

      2. Because there is a major ideological incentive for environmental controls to be "the cause" of the Columbia disaster. There is a large consumer population that is eager to hear confirmation of what they already knew--that the big bad EPA causes more problems than it solves. Providing that population with the product they're looking for sells more papers and leads to a satisfied "told you so" and a happy consumer.
    2. Re:As A Matter Of Fact I Did Google by Jeremy+Erwin · · Score: 1

      If f I'm misinformed, I'm not alone. Regardless of which exactly which formulas were used on which flights, we know that there are better formulas and we choose not to use them despite knowing how critical this is to a safe mission. Your facts have the stench of butt-covering and obviscation trying to deflect from the core fact that freon based foams should have been used when it was known they had suppior characteristics.

      1. BX 250 is blown with freon. BX-265 is blown with an HCFC substitute.
      2. For Colombia's final mission, SST-107, NASA used an older tank in its inventory, ET-93.
      3. The fabricators of ET-93 used BX-250 to insulate a number of components, including the bipod ramps.
      4. BX-265 was not used on ET-93.
      5. Foam from the bipod ramp is believed to have been shed, and it is this foam that hit the orbiter's wing.

      The "better" foam was used. Your core facts are stale lies promulgated by conspiracy theorists, polluters, and objectivists. Perhaps you also believe that Greenpeace terrorists planted bombs on the French naval vessel Guerrier D'Arc-en-ciel in a delusional attempt to steal atomic weapons.

      I believe your original comment was:

      It was the switch to foam that isn't manufactured with freon in 1999 that led to the Columbia tragedy. NASA knew that the new foam shed more than the old foam but ignored the problem.


      Yet in a desperate attempt to save your polemic, you cited

      If we are not prepared to take bold, calculated risks, this brings hazards of its own. For example, the detachment of a lump of insulation foam that imperilled Discovery's latest mission has been connected to the fact that NASA has changed its foam formula


      Now assuming that the recent discovery mission was imperiled by a HCFC based foam, then we know one thing:

      NASA foam formulations shed. Switching from one blowing agent to another does not change the fact that they shed.. Shedding can cost lives.
    3. Re:As A Matter Of Fact I Did Google by jswatz · · Score: 1

      Good news sites do NOT get it wrong. Political hatchetmen have been banging this drum about CFC foam since the Columbia accident. It's convenient, gives a satisfying answer that allows them to beat up on political correctness. But the CFC changes applied to acreage foam, plain and simple -- not the hand-applied foam on the ramps. The problem with non-cfc foam is called popcorning, and it's been addressed through a procedure called venting. But the big chunks come off of the hand-applied areas, and NASA now has to deal with that. Which is why the shuttle launches are delayed until March at the earliest.

      --
      "speaking only for myself since 1957"
  41. "Get the damn ISS built"??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's a laugh. Maybe you're forgetting that the ISS was a ruse from the get-go, and is only being built to give the shuttle a destination to fly to in the first place.

    The scenario went something like this:

    NASA Suit #1 - "Now that we've got the shuttle, what are we going to do with it?"
    NASA Suit #2 - "Well, I suppose we'll have to create a space station for the shuttle to fly to. Besides, my brother-in-law's an engineer and he could use the job."

  42. Wernher von Braun and Operation Paperclip by Savage650 · · Score: 1
    [..] but they were German rocket scientists, not Nazis. Big difference.

    I hate to burst your bubble, but Wernher von Braun was one of many german scientists the Military wanted to "import" to the US who were initially refused immigration due to the stringent requirements of Operation Paperclip (as originally authorized by President Truman, who had expressly excluded anyone found "to have been a member of the Nazi party and more than a nominal participant in its activities, or an active supporter of Naziism or militarism.")

    Nevertheless, the war department had already decided that this was an issue of National Security(TM), so they sidestepped the president: The scientists files were passed from hand to hand until all damning evidence had been whittled away. In this particular case:

    A September 18, 1947, report on the German rocket scientist stated, "Subject is regarded as a potential security threat by the Military Governor."

    The following February, a new security evaluation of Von Braun said, "No derogatory information is available on the subject...It is the opinion of the Military Governor that he may not constitute a security threat to the United States."

    But then, nobody doubts the Ministry of Truth ...

  43. Lets blame illegitimate wars by unlabeledchick · · Score: 2, Interesting

    If you look at how small the budget is, compared to the (illegitimate) war in Iraq is costing and how much it will cost in the future. I reckon that an 'economy' based on how Earth runs in StarTrek would be great. I know that managers would be bored, coz everyone else would tell them to get stuffed :D

  44. In soviet russia. by miffo.swe · · Score: 2, Funny

    It must be pretty irritating for NASA to watch the reds sending their old heap of scrap up into space without a glitch since 1971. The Souyz is like an old truck while the shuttle is like a Ferrari, great tech but very delicate and error prone.

    --
    HTTP/1.1 400
  45. What if we planned for foam loss? by vivafelis · · Score: 1

    I wonder if the insulating foam could be designed to fall off in very small chunks that wouldn't cause problems. If things happen wouldn't make more sense to make them happen the way you want instead of trying to prevent them?

  46. Give Me A Break by Dust'-_-'Worm · · Score: 0

    First of all, come on, this is space flight it is not like going out with your friends. Those astronauts know very well they risk their lives. But they are willing to do that for science,adventure and whatever you can think of.

    "Poor leadership also made shuttle Discovery's return to space more complicated, expensive and prolonged than it needed to be."

    I do not think that was a "poor leadership". We need such exercises to learn more freedom in space. I think they did a good job and probably helped to understand much more about spacewalk and fixing crafts in space for future flights. Experience is what counts.
    NASA, good job and government shut up and give more money to fund space exploration because it is impossible to stay on this dirty filled with wars earth. Peace Out!

  47. You ignore facts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    1. Because most "news sites" simply regurgitate (or flat-out copy) stories from other "news sites". The amount of real investigative journalism is approaching zero; rumor and hearsay become self-perpetuating.

    That's an utterly useless generalization that in no way contradicts or otherwise addresses any of the points you're attempting to refute. It's merely an attempt to change the subject with a non-sequitor.

    2. Because there is a major ideological incentive for environmental controls to be "the cause" of the Columbia disaster. There is a large consumer population that is eager to hear confirmation of what they already knew--that the big bad EPA causes more problems than it solves. Providing that population with the product they're looking for sells more papers and leads to a satisfied "told you so" and a happy consumer.

    Was it coincidence that large chunks of foam started falling off after the switch to a "better" process that didn't use freon?

    And just because "there is a major ideological incentive for environmental controls to be "the cause" of the Columbia disaster", we can't objectively look at the impacts of environmental controls?

    Or do we have to bow to the major ideological incentives to never find that environmental controls can and do have negative as well as positive effects?

    1. Re:You ignore facts by virtual_mps · · Score: 2, Insightful
      1. Because most "news sites" simply regurgitate (or flat-out copy) stories from other "news sites". The amount of real investigative journalism is approaching zero; rumor and hearsay become self-perpetuating.

      That's an utterly useless generalization that in no way contradicts or otherwise addresses any of the points you're attempting to refute. It's merely an attempt to change the subject with a non-sequitor.

      No, it isn't. It's a direct reply to your question, which was, "why do so many news sources report the theory". That's the question I replied to, not the question about the foam. The fact that something is written up in a news story doesn't make it true.

      [snip further rant]

      You obviously still haven't read the CAIB report. I didn't bother to respond to your original message because it would be a waste of time until you've read the authoritative source already linked in a previous post. The issue of whether changes to the foam composition somehow made worse foam is completely moot, as you'll see if you ever actually read the CAIB report, because the foam that fell off columbia's ET was attached prior to the reformulation. The question of bad foam is worth studying, but it has absolutely nothing to do with the Columbia disaster. Tying the two together is nothing but junk science.

      Your post is a rant about the evil EPA that makes a lot of assertions utterly without regard to the facts of the case. You ask leading questions like "do we have to bow to the...incentives to never find that environmental controls...do have negative...effects" which are pointless (the answer is obviously no) but which are intended to cast doubt on any conclusion that the columbia tragedy simply doesn't fall into that category.
  48. Since when? by Mr.+Underbridge · · Score: 1
    Cutting NASA funding? No, it's been increasing -- if slowly.

    Not sure your evidence supports that. Compared to the 80s? Yes. Compared to the 90s? No. Also, total funding here would be less relevant than space shuttle funding, which got almost all the pie in the 80s.

  49. The Foam loss could not have been seen... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    by some mythical "astronauts hand-held cameras". The foam fell off between the shuttle and the external tank (ie, underneath the shuttle, where there are no windows), and all the Astronauts were strapped into their seats at the time, owing to the fact that the shuttle was at the time, accelerating through Mach 8 on it's way to orbit.

    1. Re:The Foam loss could not have been seen... by ckaminski · · Score: 1

      He meant after ET separation prior to or just after orbital insertion.

  50. don't worry ... by freaker_TuC · · Score: 1

    They will filter that out with the bio-scan in your teleporting module so don't worry ... ... only hope Microsoft is not the leader in this technology .. where do you want your dna today?

    --
    --- I am known for the ones who want to find me on the net. Is that a privacy risk or a privilege? One might wonder..
  51. It's Hardly Brain Surgery ... by NewStarRising · · Score: 1

    Everyone seems to have their own pet theory on how to improve Shuttles.
    Most seem to start "If only they would ..."
    Or "Have they never heard of ..."

    Well I'm not sure, but I beleive that they do actually have some experts on the team.
    And yes, it IS Rocket Science.

    How many slashdotters out there (especially the ones with the pet theories) are rocket scientists?

    --
    b3 4phr41d 0f my 4bov3-4v3r4g3 c0mpu73r kn0wI3dg3!
    MadDwarf
  52. I've Got A Question the Panel Can Ask NASA by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

    Public Common Knowledge:
    1. That Space Ship One can fall from 60 miles and not use tiles, but generic composits and land,(with M&M's on board floating around like a Skittles commerical).

    2. The shuttle starts a "Phase 2 Descent" at 50 miles, its here that heat shielding and tiles are spoken of in the same sentence.

    3. 6000 degrees heat is alot to ask of any material to endure.

    Question:
    Why does NASA still cling to a space launch model that is expensive, AND deadly; In the face of public common knowledge?

    And don't even get me started on the wasteful use of the main fuel tank after launch.

    1. Re:I've Got A Question the Panel Can Ask NASA by mfrank · · Score: 1

      Well, the easy answer to your question is that Space Ship One didn't have to use the atmosphere to slow down from ORBITAL VELOCITY, which is about 5 miles a freakin' second, or about 17 times the speed of sound. Space Ship One didn't endure anything remotely near the heat the shuttle does.

      And the main fuel tank, well, that's for holding the fuel that gets them going 5 miles a second. Something Space Ship One doesn't even remotely come close to doing.

      There's a HUGE difference between getting into space and getting into orbit.

    2. Re:I've Got A Question the Panel Can Ask NASA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      3. 6000 degrees heat is alot to ask of any material to endure.

      Uhh, heat and temperature ain't quite the same thing

    3. Re:I've Got A Question the Panel Can Ask NASA by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

      I guess the best way to get things going in a direction that leads to space travel is for me to ignore the nay-sayers of NASA, and show it mathmatically. Damn it! I haven't used Calculas in thirty years.

    4. Re:I've Got A Question the Panel Can Ask NASA by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

      You got a point there. I would think that the problems of space travel would be solved alot faster if NASA Administrative Offices were moved to a La'Grange Point. Of this engineering problem, I think the NASA administrative staff might be a little bit more motovated at that point.

  53. unrealistic?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    >it tried to meet unrealistic launch dates

    Yeah, there's no way they'd be able to launch and land that thing...

    Oh wait, they did.. Seems pretty realistic to me..

  54. To Boldly Criticize and Go Nowhere by rtrifts · · Score: 1

    What's wrong with NASA is not a "culture of wrecklessness".

    The same culture of wrecklessness got American driving cars on the moon.

    The same culture of wrecklessness ran about 100 Shuttle Flights with a 1 in 50 failure record.

    NASA's manned space program had its genesis in the desert. These were men who flew aircraft that were plainly unsafe in a manner where death was a constant companion.

    We have replaced those who wish to push the envelope with those who wish to push pencils and teach kindergarten. Where is the courage to stand up to these people?

    Because now - that sense of adventure and acceptance of risk which is inherent when strapping yourself on the top of a chemical rocket has been replaced with some conception of space which has more to do with TV fantasy than it does with hard science.

    Hubble will now be lost because of "the danger" associated with servicing it. What a complete pile of crap.

    This is political hackery. There is no one left at NASA who has the balls to stand up to these pencil pushers and tell 'em straight up: this is inherently dangerous. "We lost astronuats before and guess what - we'll lose them again. It is a statistical certianty. That's reality."

    Every astronuat who is part of that program and wants to get to space takes that risk. Virtually all of them will do so again if presented with that risk. The few astronauts who have joined the Cabal of the Criticizers have done so in a effort to exert administrative *control* over the US manned space program. This chorus of cowardice is just a means to an end.

    To boldly go? What a laugh.

    --
    .Robert
    1. Re:To Boldly Criticize and Go Nowhere by sjaskow · · Score: 1

      I agree completely. If I got a call saying "Stuart, you can ride on the next Shuttle mission, but you have a 1 in 50 chance of dying on it.", my response would be "When do I leave?".

  55. That's just non-sensical... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The piece of foam that came off the external tank that was roughly the same weight as the one that brought down Columbia came off during lift-off, and could not have been seen by any hand-held cameras or astronauts (since it came off UNDER the shuttle, and passed between the wing and the External Tank, during a phase of flight in which they were all still in their seats.)

    The external tank is released at ME-CO (Main Engine Cut Off), and the astronauts are still firmly strapped into their seats at the time.

    1. Re:That's just non-sensical... by ckaminski · · Score: 1

      Yes, but upon reaching orbit, they SPECIFICALLY photographed the ET as it floated away from them. They have pictures (ON ORBIT) of the missing foam in the PAL ramp shot by handheld camera by an astronaut. I've seen them.

      <URL:http://www.nasa.gov/returntoflight/multimedia /external_tank_images.html>

      Can *YOU* find where the piece of missing foam came from? :-P

  56. Bad math, bad science and stone walls by Certified+Space+Cade · · Score: 1

    I have been for some years out on the edge of the NASA back to flight process. It has been years since I even played a minor part in a manned spaceflight mission. That being said, I am sorry to report the CAIB response effort at NASA has occurred to me as a powerful stone wall against innovation and meaningful change.

    One good example is the BSA contract. This $30m effort was intended to generate cultural change at NASA. It contained bad science. It is simple as that, the science was 40 years out of date. I pointed this out a few weeks after the contract was let (there were no public discussion before the contract was let), but I met with a stone wall of refusal to even discuss the problem. An important book was available on this subject from a major university, so they could not say my point was groundless. It took a year of hard work, but the BSA contract was finally cancelled after a $10m expenditure. No reason was given, but the primary reason was probably simply cost.

    Unfortunately a similar problem has again reared its ugly head. The risk management process now used by NASA contains bad mathematics. Specifically, it includes a multiplication of two numbers with large error bars without any consideration of the inflated error bar of the result. The local people responsible for implementing this process do not want to talk about it because I was rude (In private, I said the program was cr...p. In public I said it was rubbish.). I now have to find the intelectural strength to spend another year pounding away at the stone wall. The trick is to make enough noise to be heard over the stone wall, but not so much as to be acturally fired (that is RIFed).

    At the very least, NASA processes should not contain bad science or bad mathematics.
    Wish me luck.

    1. Re:Bad math, bad science and stone walls by Certified+Space+Cade · · Score: 1

      This situation sets up a very interesting mathematical mystery. The promoters of this risk management process say they have known about the bad math for a long time and it does not make any difference. Besides it is currently in use by the military and many fortunate 500 companies. How can that be? A quick investigation shows that the system has a larger problem that completely masks any effect of the math error. The system simple does not work well at all. Statistical tests barely show it to have any ethically. The math error is a red herring. The entire system is lame. The problem seems to be in the basic application of data mining techniques to the process of risk management. The problem can be seen by comparing this procedure with one that has a good track record. We use similar data mining techniques for tracking schedule and cost on major projects. For these functions the process works, but for risk management the effect is small if present at all. What is the difference? I think the difference is in the type of functions. For cost and schedule people must make very detailed estimated and then revise those estimates every few months. Hundreds of our team members put in many man-days estimating detailed costs and schedules only to see them change and then re estimate them again. This can happen a dozen times before a project is launched. We could do detailed archives of all these estimates, compare them with actual costs at each bench mark in the time line, and build up a detailed and powerful statically picture of our ability to do these estimates. Such a process is so expensive that it is not routinely done, but it could be done. With sufficient work and expense the result could, at least in theory, be statically significant and could be thought of as a piecewise linear function. What we are doing with this process then is mining the information held in the minds of our workers. Because good data is present, we can data mine it. Data mining is not about generating data from thin air. If there is no good data, then data mining is a colossal waste of time. Risk on the other hand is about breakdowns. Breakdowns occur by a power rule. Every day there are dozens of little announces, many of them being near misses, that must be addressed by each individual worker. There are so many of them that they are barely noted. Occasionally a mid-side event occurs that requires team work and unexpected expense. These are usually forgotten as soon as they are put behind us. Rarely a major breakdown occurs that puts the entire project at risk. The severity of breakdowns occurs as a power time function. You could not do a statistical study of the small announces, because nobody pays that much attention to them. They are not recorded. We might be able to study medium sized events, but this is rarely worth the time to study and usually end up only as war stories. We do log the big, rare events, like Challenger, in great detail and at great expense, but they do not occur often enough to establish statically valid trends. It is therefore very questionable that the minds of our workers contain information about the risks of breakdowns that is strong enough to mine. The ore simply essays out as very low grade. The data mining process that was transferred from the cost and schedule process -- without additional detailed analysis -- fails. The whole procedure goes into a cocked hat. This opens questions of the relationship between power functions and data mining. Has it been done successfully? Am I merely entertaining myself with these ramblings? Does anybody, any where in the whole wide world give two figs if risk management works? Does anybody on this thread think this thought exercise is fun? What do you think will happen if I try to sell this line to middle management?

    2. Re:Bad math, bad science and stone walls by Certified+Space+Cade · · Score: 1

      I think the next step is to bring in some mathematics that was not around when the middle-level managers were in school. Math that they do not even know exists. One absolute mind bender is the No Free Lunch Theorems. The risk management procedure like most management procedures is intended as a process to provide an advantage over random action. Such advantages have great financial value and so have been studied in detail. We would all like to live in an universe where progress for human kind is a forgone conclusion. A universe where when we develop a process that provides us with an advantage we get to add it to our foundation of knowledge and build upon it forever. Unfortunately we do not live in that universe, but we have only known that we do not for about a decade. The No Free Lunch Theorems (NFLT) demonstrates that the advantage provided by all such processes, when integrated over all time and all space, is exactly equal to zero. If that doesn't change your view of the universe than nothing will. NFLT does not say that such processes cannot provide an advantage. They clearly do. It just limits the advantage to some region of time and space. It is not enough to show that a proposed process produces an advantage. You must show the limits of the space in which that advantage is provided. In the risk management case, it looks like a process that worked well in the cost and schedule space was extended to a space governed by a power law in which it simply provides no advantage. It is clearly the responsibility of the people proposing a new process to demonstrate functionality in the new space. I do not think this was done. Now we must find a variation of the process that works in the new space. This is not a trivial thing to do. Does anybody on this thread know enough about the NFLT to apply them rigorously to the risk management problem? Is anybody out there? You never write; you never call.

    3. Re:Bad math, bad science and stone walls by Certified+Space+Cade · · Score: 1

      Clearly complexity theory is another area of new math that is open to powerful application to risk management. All the systems of interest for risk analysis are complex. Major breakdowns show a pattern of change in state for unexpected reasons that are at the core of complexity theory.

      When you look at a major break down in hindsight, you invariably can make a long list of small breakdowns and near misses that lead to the catastrophic failure. The system may of running in a safe state for years, and usually remained running in a safe state with numerous small problem areas for some time, then suddenly all hell broke loose as the entire system suddenly changed to an unsafe state.

      Complexity theory demonstrates that a system can be in one state for a long time and then suddenly change to another without a major trigger event. Effects in the fifth decimal place, that are too small to measure or model, can build up and trigger a state change. Systems as simple as a double pendulum show this effect.

      Perhaps we can develop a figure of merit for impending state change that can be applied to risk management. Even a vague warning that something might change soon would be a great help.

      Does anybody have experience with the rigorous application of complexity theory to risk management? The Santa Fe Institute use to do this kind of thing. Are they still around? Has anybody worked with them?

  57. radiation deflector by sail4evr · · Score: 1

    There was a recent article about electric fields being able to divert electrically charged particles protecting people under the electric field, on the moon for example. Being that this concept is still in its infancy, I would suspect it is just a matter of time till they have some kind of field to divert cosmic and gamma radiation from space vehicles with only a small incremental increase in mass.

  58. Who the hell modded me Troll? by Shaper_pmp · · Score: 1

    I thought it was a reasoned, logical statement of position. Apparently not.

    --
    Everything in moderation, including moderation itself